Full text of Survey of Current Business : February 1940
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ANNUAL REVIEW NUMBER FEBRUARY 1940 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE BUREAU OF FOREIGN AND DOMESTIC COMMERCE WASHINGTON VOLUME 20 NUMBER 2 1939 IN REVIEW Business in the late months of 1939 moved ahead vigorously. Aggressive buying for future needs which followed immediately upon the outbreak of war in Europe provided industry with exceptionally large order backlogs. Production was accelerated and by the year end many basic manufacturing industries were producing at record rates. On the surface the cyclical pattern of 1939 was much the same as in 1938 though activity was on a consistently higher level. Closer analysis as presented in this review reveals significant and fundamental differences. . . . This issue presents a review of business for the year 1939, summarizing the changes which occurred in major fields. Thirty-nine charts have been included. A summary table is presented on p. 53 which gives comparative yearly figures for a series of recent years. This provides the cumulative yearly data usually presented in the short tables at the end of the regular reviews in the monthly issues. Number 2 Volume 20 UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE HARRY L. HOPKINS, Secretary BUREAU OF FOREIGN AND DOMESTIC COMMERCE JAMES W. YOUNG, Director SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS FEBRUARY 1940 A publication of the DIVISION OF BUSINESS REVIEW M. JOSEPH MEEHAN, Chief MILTON GILBERT, Editor TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction National income Cyclical background , Business pattern In 1939 Production: Industrial production Agricultural output Consumption , Retail trade Wholesale trade , Inventories , Construction Public utilities , Electric light and power Railroads , Employment and unemployment. Page 3 3 4 5 7 12 14 14 15 16 17 21 21 22 25 Page Commodity prices 27 Domestic finance 33 Banking and credit 33 Security markets 36 Federal financial operations 37 International trade and finance 45 Balance of payments 45 International investments 51 Appendixes: A. Selected business indicators for specified years and percentage changes 53 B. Legislative summary 55 STATISTICAL DATA Monthly business statistics General index 58 Inside back cover Subscription price of the monthly and weekly issue* of the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS is $2 a year. Single-copy price: Monthly, 15 cents; weekly, 5 cents* Foreign subscription*, £3.50. Price of the 1938 Supplement is 40 cents. Make remittances only to Superintendent of Documents, Washington, D. C, 205737—40 1 1 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 Monthly Business Indicators, 1929-39 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 140 INCOME PAYMENTS AND CASH FARM INCOME VOLUME (1923-25=100) 130 A 120 110 \ V 100 90 80 f f I A, W-MONTHLY INCOME PAYMENTS 11 JV V A \ v V 70 60 1929 , ! ! ! »CASH INCOME FROM FARM MARKETINGS (EXCLUSIVE OF RENTAL & BENEFIT PAYMENTS) 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 192,9 1929 1930 193! 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS AWARDED** 140 80 60 FOREIGN TRADE * I VALUE (1923-25=100) 140 VALUE (1923-25=100) ! 120 100 120 MONTHLY INCOME PAYMENTS (1929=100) CASH FARM INCOME (l924M929=100) 120 -EXPORTS, INCLUDING REEXPORTS /A \ V 1L i \ ( CONSTRUC TION ALL 1"YPES OF \ / J \A4-J / \ 40 20 JU GENERAL IMPORTS-^ l'\f^\ /-RES 7DENTLAL BUILDINGS 0 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 1929 FACTORY EMPLOYMENT AND PAYROLLS 140 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 WHOLESALE PRICES AND COST OF LIVING 100) 120 100 FACTOt^Y EMIDLOYMl ZNT-^ 1JUSTB D) ~ r- 80 60 VT 40 '^•FACTORY PAYROLLS (UNADJUSTED) 20 0 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 STOCK PRICES RETAIL SALES * 175 350 (1923-25=100) AUTOMOBILE SALES (l929~31-100) DEPARTMENT STORE SALES (1923-25=100) 150 125 100 75 50 25 NEW PASSENGER AUTOMOBILE SALES 0 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 * A D J U S T E D FOR SEASONAL VARIATION Figure 1. • THREE-MONTH MOVING AVERAGE ao 93J2 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 An Economic Review of 1939 Introduction economic review of the year 1939 must largely A^Nrevolve around two not unrelated phenomena— recovery and war. Despite the sagging of industrial production during the early months, the year was generally one of expanded business activity. From January to August the sharp improvement of the second half of 1938 was being consolidated with assurance of better results for 1939 than had been achieved in the previous year. The change from the end of 1938 to August in most economic indicators was not very large; nevertheless business was in a moderately rising phase even before the war in Europe started. It is perhaps strange to recall, in the light of subsequent events, that the small magnitude of the recovery of industrial production before September, the continued weakness of commodity prices, the restricted activity on the stock exchange, and the comparatively low level of capital investment were widely attributed to the threat implicit in unsettled political conditions abroad. When European war became a reality at the beginning of September, its repercussions on domestic business were anything but depressive. It changed the moderate recovery into a sharp and vigorous expansion that in its early stages had the characteristics of a speculative boom. Prices of commodities and equity shares rose rapidly, while securities which were selling on a yield basis experienced a marked decline. A forward buying movement developed immediately and was followed by a rise in purchasing of producers' goods that pushed production forward at a spectacular rate. By December, industrial production on an adjusted basis was the highest on record. All this occurred without a significant rise in exports—the area in which the impact of war-resultant demands would be focused —until the sharp, nonseasonal increase in December. Although the outlook was being viewed less optimistically by the middle of October and although the seeds of a decline had already been sown, business activity was maintained at an expanded rate through the end of the year. This marked business rise of the final third of 1939 contributed materially to the substantially better results which the year as a whole presents over 1938. Expansion of the National Income. An over-all measure of the improvement in 1939 is afforded by the national income. The net value of goods and services produced during the year is estimated at 68.5 billion dollars, a gain of 4.5 billion or 7 percent over 1938 national income of 64 billion dollars. As averages for prices and living costs were little different for the 2 years, this change indicates quite accurately the gain in real income. The year brought a renewal of the upward trend in the national income which began in 1933 and was interrupted only in 1938, as can be seen in figure 2. In contrast with 1938, when business enterprises drew heavily on accumulated resources to meet their current income payments, final data for 1939 are expected to reveal that business savings and losses (defined as the aggregate of undistributed earnings and of deficits after the payment of dividends) were in approximate balance. This elimination of business drafts, which amounted to approximately a billion dollars in 1938, was accompanied by a rise in the volume of income payments from 66.3 billion dollars in 1938 to 69.7 billion in 1939 (seefig.2). The dollar total of income produced in 1939 compares with the 1929 figure of 82.7 billion and the 1937 aggregate of 71.9 billion. The question of what this means in terms of real income—that is, actual goods and services—is a difficult one to answer because of the shifts in the types of income produced and the radically altered price structure. Evidence of a generally related nature indicates on a rough approximation that real income, or the dollar total adjusted for price changes, was about the same in all 3 years. The 1939 national income of 68.5 billion dollars was approximately 14 billion less than the record total of 1929. This 17-percent difference, however, was accompanied by differences of 19 percent in wholesale prices and 15 percent in the cost of living. Neither of these price series is adequate for correcting the dollar figures for price changes, but they indicate that the quantity of goods and services produced in 1939 was very nearly the same as that of 1929, despite the large variance in the dollar figures. Likewise, the difference between 1939 and 1937 income of 5 percent must be associated with the wholesale price decline of 11 percent and the reduction in the cost of living of 4 percent. What cannot be lost sight of in comparing income at both ends of the decade, however, is the increase of population, estimated to be about 8 percent, which means that real income per capita was significantly smaller in 1939 than in 1929. As a result of the higher rate of economic activity, particularly in the final quarter of 1939, the business earnings for the year were far ahead of the 1938 results. Dividend disbursements increased markedly in the final quarter of 1939, and the total for the year was $4,250,000,000, $550,000,000 higher than in the preceding year, though they were considerably less than in 1937. Interest payments in 1939 were not much different in total from those in the preceding year. Aggregate salaries and wages showed a marked rise in 1939, and labor's share in the total flow of income payments increased. The relatively sharper rise in labor income was in large part the result of the marked increase in activity in manufacturing, since labor's share of income in that industry is considerably above its portion in all industries combined. The rise in SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS labor's share of income flowing to individuals occurred notwithstanding a 275 million dollar decline in workrelief wages. Pay rolls in manufacturing industries alone are estimated to have increased by approximately 1.5 billion dollars, or one-eighth, over the 1938 total. INDEX NUMBERS, 1329 = 100 100 INDEX NUMBERS, (929 = 100 {PAYMENTS TO 1/ETERAbS fSQCIfiL 5fcmry _ '/////-/,7XS^ 'VIDENDS ANL 3mnTS AND OTl'fff MJR INCOME r DIRECT AND OWE f. I 90 I 80 i 70 | '^^M^$T^jI^NJi^ik ^%^^%^f^ 60 50 February 1940 modity-producing industries as a whole had a dollar contribution smaller relative to 1929 than that of other groups. Rise in Profits. The improvement in business profits was shared by all major groups, notably by railroads, industrial concerns, and public utilities. The rise in profits was very substantial in the last quarter, but, even in the first 9 months, earnings were higher than during the corresponding period of 1938. The trend of profits of industrial corporations is indicated by the data in figure 26. Although the earnings of this particular group of corporations averaged less in the first 9 months iNDEX NUMBERS, 1929=100 14 01 40 30 Figure 2.—Indexes of Income Payments by Type of Payment, 1936-39 (U. S. Department of Commerce). All the major groups distinguished in figure 3 conCOMMODITY PRODUCTION tributed, though in varying degrees, to the material improvement in income during the past year. Particularly marked was the increase in the contribution of 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 the commodity-producing industries—those which exFigure 3.—Indexes of National Income by Major Industrial Sources, 1929-39 perience wide cyclical fluctuations. Despite the wide (U. S. Department of Commerce). gains over 1938, this group remained farther below the recovery peak of 1937 than the other producing groups. of 1939 than the last-quarter peak of the preceding year, Manufacturing industry experienced the largest in- the average for the first 9 months was 148.5 million crease. Contract construction also improved, and the dollars per quarter in 1939—more than double the mining industry showed a gain despite the bituminous comparable average of 70.5 million in 1938. The indicated rate of earnings on net worth for the coal shut-down of the spring. Agricultural income experienced only a slight advance over 1938, and this industrial corporations rose markedly in the final was traceable to a marked increase in government bene- quarter of 1939; the profits for this period were much fits. Income from marketings of crops and livestock better than those for the year as a whole. Data for 370 manufacturing corporations, tabulated by the was 1.5 percent greater than in the preceding year. The distributive industries also contributed notably National City Bank of New York (including those to the 1939 rise in national income, with steam railroads whose fiscal year closed prior to December 31) reveal making the best showing on a percentage basis. More- that earnings in 1939 for this group represented 7.5 over, the product of the distributive industries was the percent of net worth at the beginning of the year, or same as the dollar total in 1937. The service industries about double the return of 3.6 percent calculated for as a group have experienced only minor changes over the same group for 1938. For the year, the rate of the past 2 years, and for 1939 showed but little im- earnings was less than in 1937 because of the comprovement over a year ago. Government's contribu- paratively high returns under conditions of sustained tion to the national income was practically the same in activity during the first 8 months of the earlier year. 1939 as in 1938; the regular pay rolls of the Federal, While additional reports are necessary to measure the State, and local Governments continued to expand as in actual changes, sufficient information is available to recent years, but this increase was largely offset by a indicate that cost-price relationships are such that rising considerable reduction in work-relief wages (not shown volumes have been accompanied by sharply advancing profits. in the chart). Government in 1939 was the only major sector of the The Cyclical Background. economy where the contribution to the national income Of more interest and importance than the gain in was larger than the 1929 dollar volume. The com- income for the year as a w^hole is the cyclical pattern February 1940 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS of business during the year, the course that was charted as the year developed, and the economic situation and prospects as they appeared at the year end. A brief discussion of the cyclical background is necessary for an understanding of this movement. As is well known, the recovery from the depression lows of 1932-33 ended with a speculative inventoryprice rise which reached its peak about the middle of 1937. Leaving aside the problem of the underlying causes of the movement from July 1936 to April 1937, the facts are that Moody's price index rose 22 percent, while inventories were increased from January to September of 1937 by probably more than 2,500 million dollars. There ensued a precipitous decline during the latter part of 1937 in most phases of economic activity, and this continued, though at a slower pace, for the first 5 or 6 months of the following year. The set-back in industrial production, spurred on by a liquidation of inventories, was particularly large; from peak to trough, May 1937 to May 1938, the Federal Reserve Board's unadjusted index dropped 37 percent, with two-thirds of the decline accounted for by the durable-goods component. The decline in sensitive prices was of similar magnitude, as is indicated by the fall of 35 percent in Moody's index from May 1937 to May 1938. No doubt these declines magnify the severity of the recession in economic activity generally. A more accurate picture of its impact is indicated by the reduction of approximately 12 and 10 percent in income payments and nonagricultural employment, respectively, from the peak to the trough in each of these series. While this evidence need not minimize the sharpness of the downswing experienced over a relatively brief span, the fact remains that the movement fortunately was not transformed into a vicious deflationary spiral. By the middle of 1938 the trend was definitely reversed. This must be attributed primarily to four favorable elements in the situation: 1. Construction activity was well maintained during the production downswing and, although there was some dip in new contracts awarded in the second half of 1937, a sharp and early pick-up—especially in residential awards—came in 1938. 2. The volume of exports, even without the unusually heavy grain shipments, held at a relatively high level during the fiscal year 1938 and gave support to the domestic business structure. 3. The net contribution of the Government to the flow of purchasing power was sharply increased under a broad program designed to effect a quick revival. 4. All effort was made by the monetary authorities to establish extremely easy conditions in the money market, with the result that interest rates declined markedly. As a consequence, a period of revival got under way somewhere around the middle of the year. Stock prices turned up as early as May, and industrial production began to rise perceptibly by July. In the sense that production of new investment goods—even including that represented by Government outlays—formed a smaller proportion of the national income than was usual during the 1920's or even in 1936 and 1937, it was a consumption recovery. Under this condition of comparatively low volume of new investment, the lower level around which prices hovered contributed to the magnitude of the expansion. With inventories being liquidated at a much slower rate, industrial production expanded rapidly. From June to December there was a gain of 35 points in the Federal Reserve index—a recovery of more than half the loss*off;the previous year. The adjusted index of income payments 1 rose from 79.9 in May (1929 = 100) to 83.4 by the end of the year, and there was a corresponding increase in consumption, as indicated by the data on retail trade. Business Pattern in 1939. Developments during 1939 in various sectors of the economic structure form the subject of the following pages of this review. Here, only the broad outlines of the movement can be blocked in, especially as they are reflected in fluctuations in income payments. By the beginning of the year, the factors responsible for the recovery in 1938 had spent their expansive powers. During the first half of 1939 the economic machine was operating on a relatively even keel, allowing for the usual seasonal movements. Of course, there were changes—expansion in some spheres and contraction in others—but by and large they acted as offsetting influences. Construction activity, for example, was expanding, while industrial production showed some recession. Consumption was increasing slightly with the easing of prices; inventories were on a gentle downgrade. But with private capital investment not increasing and with the Government program operating at a steady pace, with inventories at best a neutral factor and with no significantly added stimulus from abroad, the situation essentially lacked any dynamic quality. This can be seen in the movement of income payments from January to July shown in figure 4. During that period the fluctuations in this index were very slight. Thus, the first half of the year was not marked by a real change in trend, from slightly down to slightly up, as might be suggested by the change in industrial production. Viewing the situation from the movement of industrial activity, the first half of 1939 appears much the same as the corresponding period of 1938, although in the later year operations were at a consistently higher level. But the difference is evident from the widening 1 "Income payments" differ from "income produced" by the inclusion in the latter of the net savings of business units (after dividends and withdrawals), the employer and employee contributions to the Social Security funds, and the exclusion therefrom of direct relief, social-insurance benefits, and similar disbursements for which no services are currently rendered. 6 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS of the gap between the curves of income payments for the 2 years as is shown in figure 4. The fore part of 1938 was the end of a deflationary movement, while no deflating tendency was revealed during the similar period of 1939. In August, for the first time in 1939, the adjusted index of income payments rose significantly above the December 1938 figure. Much has been made of the fact that economic activity was expanding prior to the outbreak of war, but it may be doubted whether this upward trend had the staying power to carry total activity to an appreciably higher level. There was INCOME PAYMENTS NDEX NUMBERS, 1929 = 100 95 90 (939 ^ ~ ~ ~ ^ ' 85 . ^ — ^ 60 75 1 1 1 INDEX NUMBERS, 1923-25 = 100 140 I I i 1 1 1 1 ! ! INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION DEC. DD-fO-37 Figure 4.—Indexes of Income Payments and Industrial Production (Adjusted for Seasonal Variations), 1938 and 1939 (Income Payments, U. S. Department of Commerce; Industrial Production, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System). not much evidence of a sizable increase in any of the basic demand factors which determine the volume of total production and employment. However that may be, neither the character nor the magnitude of the expansion which followed the outbreak of war had much to do with the prior trend of industrial activity. From the very beginning of hostilities there was an immediate and spectacular change in the situation. The pound, the franc, and related currencies depreciated sharply in foreign-exchange markets as a large volume of foreign funds sought refuge in the United States and as official support was withdrawn from sterling. Early in September, commodity prices began a steep rise as a forward buying wave developed. Even consumers were affected by the prevailing sentiment to the extent of purchasing unusual supplies of staple foodstuffs. Orders piled up for a broad range of semi February 1940 manufactured and finished goods, and manufacturing operations were stepped up to meet the new demand. Naturally the producers of more standardized materials felt the impact of the buying wave first; but, after several weeks, makers of all types of highly processed goods were receiving an enlarged flow of new business. As a consequence of the large backlogs so quickly accumulated, industrial production was stepped up at an unusual rate during September and October. By the end of the latter month many industries—for example, steel, machine tools, shipbuilding, aircraft, rayon, and paper—were operating at a rate which taxed existing capacity. The suddenness of the move is a clear indication of the extent to which it rested upon a change in expectations. Especially in its initial phases the basis of the rise W2S forward buying for inventory purposes in anticipation of a rise in prices and a shortage of supplies that was expected to result from the war. As the production rise gained momentum, there was a marked increase in the rate at which business was making equipment commitments, although there was only a small increase in the volume of new factory contracts awarded. But no material stimulus from abroad had as yet developed. Exports from September to November did not advance more than seasonally, and on balance little new foreign buying occurred except in a few lines, such as aircraft, machine tools, and trucks. Within a relatively short time a calmer attitude came to prevail as the real nature of the underlying situation was apprehended. Sensitive prices reached their peak by the middle of September and thereafter began to ease off from their "highs." The buying spurts in nondurable goods and a few semifinished durables reached a top during September, and by the middle of October new orders for these commodities were around their August levels. For many durable goods, particularly industrial equipment, new business was higher in October than in September, and in some lines was holding at this improved level in November. Production was increased somewhat further in November, but by the final month of the year there was a slight (much less than the usual seasonal) contraction. Toward the end of the year the high rate of industrial operations was maintained at the expense of the enlarged backlogs of unfilled orders. Generally speaking, unfilled orders were being reduced in nondurable-goods industries by the end of October and in durable-goods industries by the end of November. Despite the rise in capital-goods commitments and in the actual expenditures which occurred, inventories were being accumulated at a rapid rate throughout the fourth quarter of the year. Although there was a change from the highly optimistic sentiment of September during the final months of the year, the feeling still prevailed that the war did make a difference. Prices of both commodities and equities remained above February 1940 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August levels, and there was no disposition, as the year ended, to shorten inventory positions. Considering the high rate of industrial operations and the large increase in earnings which was assured for the fourth quarter, however, stock prices were weak from the middle of October to the end of the year, reflecting the doubts which were being entertained about business prospects. Furthermore, there were no signs of increased demands in the market for new capital. The two most interesting developments during December were a renewal of the rise in certain agricultural prices and, for the first month since the war started, a significant increase in exports. By-way of summary it may be noted that the expansion in economic activity which came during the last 4 months of 1939 resulted in a spectacular rise in income payments, the magnitude of which can be seen in figure 4. On an adjusted basis the increase in this index was from 85.4 in August to 89.8 in December. What a rise of this magnitude means is that by December income payments were being made at an annual rate of 73 billion dollars, compared with the midsummer flow of slightly over 68 billion. As a consequence consumption increased during this period, and, in fact, at about the same rate as income payments, although both consumption and income payments rose much less than production. The record for the year was thus one of progress, greatly accelerated during the final 4 months. At the end of the year, however, the economic situation was definitely not one in which the high December rate of activity would be maintained. The expanded volume of production had been based in large part upon investment in inventory, and by the end of December it was evident that that movement would not continue much longer. Hence, the prospects for early 1940 were for a decline in business volumes as the rate of inventory accumulation fell off. The reduced flow of new orders and the cutting down of backlogs pointed in this direction. At the time, there did not appear to be any new demand factors in immediate prospect of sufficient magnitude to offset a cessation of inventory investment and thus to hold productive activity at existing levels. Business investments, apart from inventories, had undoubtedly increased, but the extreme quiet in the new-issues market did not indicate expansion in this sphere for the months ahead. The export returns for December showed a large gain, and prospects as 1940 opened were for demands from abroad to be much larger than in the opening months of 1939. But the probable increase in this sphere during the early months of 1940 could hardly be large enough to fully cancel the inventory factor. Production Industrial Production The pattern of industrial production as shown by the Federal Reserve index of industrial production was superficially much the same in 1939 as in 1938. In the first half of each year there was a small initial decline followed by a leveling off and equivalent recovery, which left the midyear index at approximately the opening level. In the latter half of each year there was a sharp advance that carried the index to a December figure approximately one-third higher than the average for the first half. The only noticeable difference to be seen in a chart of this index (seefig.4) is that the 1939 monthly values were more than one-fifth above the corresponding monthly values of 1938. Analysis reveals, however, that this similarity is indeed superficial, and that tremendous differences are concealed within the similarity of the over-all movements. In 1938 the initial decline was the tail end of the sharp recession that occurred in the last 4 months of 1937; it brought production to a point low enough to make possible a liquidation of the inventories that had been accumulated up to the third quarter of 1937. In 1939, on the other hand, the movement during the first half constituted merely a plateau in the recovery; production and consumption remained closely in balance and there was comparatively small change in the total volume of inventories. The recovery in the second half of 1938 was a rebound from the depressed levels of the first half; incomes and consumption had been rather well maintained, and the flow of goods through our markets provided a firm base upon which to build a higher level of production. The recovery in the last half of 1939, on the other hand, represented a forging ahead of production to levels that would allow the building up of larger inventories and the provision of some additional capacity through new equipment; it was stimulated by recollections of the large demands that had been made during the 1914-18 war and by the speculative urge to take advantage of, or protect against, possible price increases or delivery delays. In short, the pre-war recovery from the 1938 lows was based upon increased consumers' outlays and larger orders for Government account, particularly public construction; while the recovery after August 1939 was based upon producers' efforts to anticipate needs that would develop under conditions of large-scale war. In 1938 the general level had been lifted by increased activity in lines that ultimately enhance the Nation's consumption, and in the sharp spurt of 1939, it was pulled up by activity designed to increase the volume of inventories and the ultimate level of production. 8 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS The motivation, the sources of the greaterflowof purchasing power, and the types of situation at the opening and the close of these years were strikingly different in spite of the similarity in the broad movements of the index. Table 1.—Indicators of Change in Selected Manufacturing and Mining Industries » Percent change Item 1939 from 1938 Foods: Animal fats Butter . . Meats _ Sugar meltings Vegetable oils Wheat flour ...„ Textiles and apparel: Boots and shoes . Cotton consumption „ Hosiery Rayon-yarn deliveries._ -... Silk deliveries Wool consumption. _ Paper and pulp. Book paper, uncoated.. Newsprint paper . Paper, total Paper, wrapping Paperboard _.-. Paperboard shipping boxes . Wood pulp . Fuels: Anthracite coal . Bituminous coal ---. Coke —. Electric power.... . Fuel oils ^ . Gas, manufactured... Gas, natural Gasoline, refined _ Automotive: Glass, plate _._ Passenger automobiles Rubber tires and tubes. Trucks Building materials: Brick, common Cement ..__. Glass, window . Lumber . Paint, varnish, and lacquer Roofing, prepared Metals: Lead, refined Pig iron Steel ingots Zinc, slab . Machinery and equipment: Air-conditioning equipment Electrical goods Electric overhead cranes Electric refrigerators Electric washing machines Floor vacuum cleaners Foundry equipment Freight cars on order Oil burners Woodworking machinery Steel barrels Miscellaneous: Cigarettes.. Furniture . Glass containers— Lamps, incandescent . Tanning +19 o +8 -4 +1 +1.1 +7 +25 +11 +33 Percent change December 1939 from December 1938 2+24 -4 +15 +13 2+9 +6 +30 -7 -40 -23 +18 +15 +19 +14 +28 +17 +19 +27 +3 +23 +20 +30 +14 +25 +10 +14 +36 +12 +5 +5 +10 +7 2+2 2+17 +41 +30 +15 +62 +16 _}_14 + £ +10 +9 +9 +46 +15 -9 +26 +18 +18 +19 +17 +26 -4 + 21 +68 +65 + 18 +37 +70 +65 +28 +42 +38 +40 2+59 +69 +72 +15 +24 +95 +629 +51 +11 -29 +51 +26 + 11 +48 +134 +55 +31 +43 + IS +11 +21 +20 -9 +10 -3 -20 +4 -5 +15 +39 +65 +43 +38 +46 1939 from 1929 +1 +12 +10 December 1939 from December 1928 3 +8 +28 +2 -10 +30 +22 +17 +178 -38 +282 -53 -33 -32 +8 +21 +8 +42 -31 —I"7 -19 +36 +10 +2 +33 +37 *—42 +9 +55 +11 +51 -6 -38 -21 -8 +75 •+83 -23 + 163 -28 -22 -13 -14 0 +19 -36 -25 -16 -15 +12 +29 +15 -18 -68 2+17 -30 -10 -25 -59 +192 -81 -73 +45 +46 +53 +70 0 +9 +130 +26 -12 -15 i For sources of basic statistics, see the 1938 Supplement and current issues of the Survey of Current Business, except for incandescent lamps, which are from Electrical Merchandising, issue of January 1940. Data represent production 0unless otherwise stated and except as follows: Cigarettes are tax-paid withdrawal from bonded warehouses; electrical refrigerators, paint, varnish, and lacquer, passenger automobiles, floor vacuum cleaners, electric washing machines, and incandescent lamps represent manufacturers' sales; manufactured gns and natural gas are sales to consumers; glass containers, hosiery, common brick, foundry equipment, electric overhead crane?, paperboard shipping boxes, prepared roofing, oil burners, and woodworking machinery represent factory shipments; air-conditioning equipment and electrical goods are new orders placed with manufacturers; furniture data are derived from an index of plant operations. 1 Fourth-quarter comparisons. Some estimate of the part played by the various types of commodities can be made from the data in table 1. This table indicates the extent of the increases from 1938 to 1939, distinguishing between changes in February 1940 the annual averages and changes from December to December. Since recovery took place in two stages, roughly in the latter half of each year, the commodities making the greater part of this recovery in 1938 show relatively large changes from the 1938 average to the 1939 average, while those making the greater part of their recovery in 1939 show relatively large changes from December 1938 to December 1939. The latter are, of course, the group whose recovery was based primarily upon factors connected with the war-stimulated advance. It may be noted that some of the products listed in this table, such as steel and cement, show no important differences as between the average and the December comparisons. These products are, in the main, materials undifferentiated as to consumer or producer uses. They fall into an intermediate position because they are subject to all the influences affecting production in these years. Table 1 also provides comparisons between 1939 production and the prosperity levels of 1929, in cases where data are available for both these years. Data for 1928 rather than 1929 are used for the December comparisons, because of the large decline that took place in the latter part of 1929. The most favorable comparisons with 1929 are made by consumers' goods, especially products favored by special long-term trends, such as cigarettes, rayon, gasoline, and electric refrigerators. Most consumers' durable goods, on the other hand, failed to reach the peak levels of the 1920's, and most producers' goods were still lagging far behind, although this disparity was in many cases greatly reduced by the year end. Some commodities that lagged-—coal and silk, for example—-were affected by increasing competition from other commodities; and special influences affect a few comparisons, such as the changing seasonal for automobiles. The broadest distinction, however, runs along consumption and capital goods lines, and somewhat less definitely along nondurable and durable goods lines. The tendency of durable goods to show a less substantial recovery may be observed in the Federal Reserve indexes of manufacturing production, which are presented in figure 5. From the beginning of the depression to the middle of 1939, durable-goods production was in a definitely lower position. This may be observed most readily in the annual data. The 1939 durable average of 95 (1923-25 = 100) was 22 percent below its 1929 average of 122 and 11 percent below its 1937 average of 107. The nondurable average of 112 for 1939, on the other hand, was only 4 percent below its 1929 average of 117 and was approximately 2 percent above its 1937 average of 110. This failure of durable goods to reattam its pre-1930 level has been a fundamental feature of the great depression. Under the stimulus of the September buying wave, however, the durable-goods index moved upward with 9 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 exceptional rapidity and before the end of the year exceeded the more stable non-durable-goods index. This had occurred only once before since the beginning of the depression. On that earlier occasion, the higher relative level for durable goods was accomplished, in part at least, because nondurable production had already begun the downturn from its early 1937 highs. On the present occasion the movement was only a cent as compared with 1938, but were still almost 20 percent below the 1937 level. As in other recent years, the comparisons are less favorable for plant than for equipment expenditures. Plant expenditures rose about 4 percent from 1938, recovering only 15 percent of the loss from 1937 to 1938. Equipment expenditures, on the other hand, rose almost one-fifth from 1938 to 1939, recovering 40 percent of the previous loss. This difference should be typical with respect to outlays for these classes of producers' goods during a depression. The need for new equipment rises as old equipment wears out or becomes obsolete; but fixed plant facilities are relatively permanent, and additions are not required until output approaches capacity levels except insofar as they are affected by the development of new industries. Table 2.—Estimated Expenditures for New Durable Producers* Goods [Millions of dollars] 1929 1930 193! 1932 1933 !934 !935 1936 !937 !936 1939 j Year Figure 5.—Indexes of Manufacturing Production, 1929-39 (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System). ComMining Agri- mercial Rail- Electric Tele- Trans- Other and utiliand misculTotal roads power phones it manu- ture ties facturing cellaneous Equipment NOTE.—Durable manufactures include iron and steel, automobiles, lumber, shipbuilding, locomotives, nonferrous metals (including copper smelting through 1031 only; comparable data are not available subsequent to that date), cement, polished plate glass, and coke; nondurable manufactures include textiles, leather and products, foods, tobacco products, paper and printing, petroleum refining, and automobile tires and tubes. Indexes are based upon physical volume and are adjusted for seasonal variations. month old. mul both indexes were still moving up. By December the durable-goods index had reached a figure of 1.41, approximately 18 percent above the corresponding figure of 120 for the non-durable-goods index. For the purposes of analysis, however, the nature of the underlying differences between the recoveries of 1938 and 1939 is obscured as well as clarified by the comparison of the indexes of production for durable and for nondurable goods; for these indexes do not distinguish clearly between consumers' and producers' goods and the separate forces affecting each. The durable-goods index cannot be considered primarily an index of producers' goods; it is dominated by steel, automobiles, cement, and related commodities, which are destined directly or through construction processes to consumer as well as producer uses. Similarly, the non-durable-goods index, while more directly a consumers' goods index, exhibits the effects of inventory accumulation in the post-war period; for example such accumulation occurred in textiles, the most important component of this index. Producers' Goods. Estimates of total annual outlays for new plant and equipment, as compiled for the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, are presented in table 2. According to these estimates, total expenditures for new producers' goods in 1939 were up almost 14 per205737—40—2 1920 1930.... 1931.... 1932 1933 1934.... 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 5,595 4, 572 2,941 1. 607 1,504 2,307 3,091 4,133 5,276 3,613 4,284 337 344 76 38 16 96 83 167 337 121 210 387 426 280 136 61 69 93 143 228 240 213 287 302 254 173 129 141 158 199 248 230 243 53 39 63 32 25 48 77 64 62 42 53 113 112 69 41 22 26 29 43 45 38 45 2,155 1, 504 920 543 619 936 1, 255 1,675 2, 069 1. 240 1, 650 613 507 265 117 130 241 411 542 697 5S2 520 1, 650 1, 338 1,014 527 502 750 985 1,300 1,590 1,120 1,350 256 186 174 86 35 47 57 92 117 1, 441 1,037 515 387 373 524 552 728 1.053 755 775 379 223 146 74 104 115 180 187 222 182 175 1,186 997 582 289 155 190 225 289 403 339 355 Plant 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933. .,__ 1934 1935 1936. 1937 1938 1939.. . . 4,562 3,768 2, 182 1,192 867 1,129 1, 258 1,650 2,294 1, 776 1,851 503 521 284 126 85 122 83 139 188 117 152 387 409 258 121 52 57 73 108 172 182 160 328 310 154 80 42 44 48 62 100 88 90 82 85 69 29 21 30 40 45 39 41 54 90 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. The movements of these expenditures within the year are even more important for an understanding of the current situation than are the broad movements of the subgroups as shown by over-all annual estimates. New business booked by many machinery manufacturers in the fall of 1939 is reported to have exceeded all previous records. Buying for armament programs undoubtedly was a leading factor, though accelerated placement of domestic orders occurred in many cases in anticipation of price increases, which, however, did not materialize. At the end of the year, the backlog of unfilled orders was reported as still at a high level. The index of machine-tool orders maintained a fairly steady upward move from the 1938 lows through the middle of 1939. In the summer months, from May through August, it stood at an average level of 217 (1926 shipments =100), as compared with an average 10 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS of 210 for the first 6 months of 1937 and 88 for the first 6 months of 1938. This index was not published after August, but it was announced that the previous high record of 283 in April 1937 was surpassed in the later months of 1939. This tremendous burst in activity was the very center of the war boom. What requires explanation is the early high levels; and in that connection, armament programs again appear, especially in foreign orders and aircraft, although the earlier shift to the new models in the automobile industry also made some contribution. Most other monthly data on machinery and equipment show a more definite distinction between trends in the early and in the latter part of the year. The flow of new orders—as indicated by data for such items as foundry equipment, iron and steel castings, steel office furniture, air-conditioning equipment, pumps, and transmission and distribution equipment—gradually moved upward from the 1938 lows through August of 1939, and then jumped abruptly in September to an average level for the last 4 months more than 50 percent above that prevailing during the first 8 months. Railroad-equipment brying remained depressed through August; unfilled orders for freight cars averaged less than 8,000 in this period, as compared with an average of 6,000 in 1938 and 31,000 in 1937. In September and October, however, unfilled orders increased sharply, the figure for the latter month being 29,000, compared with the 1937 high of 46,000. Agricultural-equipment sales for the fiscal year ended October 31, 1939, were reported by Barron's to have been more than 10 percent below the previous fiscal year; sales in the last 2 months of 1939, on the other hand, were reported to be more than 60 percent higher than the last 2 months of 1938. In general, it appears that so long as incomes remained low and capacities ample to meet current needs, there was little incentive for increased equipment installation, but when increased needs were anticipated and brought prospects of rising prices, there was a rush to carry out plans for improving productive facilities. Other Durable^Goods. The production of other durable goods also increased substantially in 1939, but the trend was in most instances not so sharply affected by the outbreak of war as was true of producers' goods. Consumers' incomes had recovered substantially in the last part of 1938; construction for housing and Government account had moved to higher levels in this earlier period; and rearmament programs were well under way in the early part of 1939. Trends in the various industries most directly affected by these factors therefore exhibit relatively greater continuity throughout the year than those brought only to recovery levels during the latter part of the year. The aircraft and shipbuilding industries have been dominated by the international situation for several February 1940 years. The recession of 1938 had little effect on either of these industries. The aircraft manufacturing industry has expanded to record levels by reason of large Government and foreign orders for military planes. As a result of these combined large demands, the industry shows an accelerating increase in employment throughout the year, with December almost 2H times as high as January, when the number employed was about equal to the record 1937 average. The end of the year saw the industry working at capacity on an unprecedented backlog of unfilled orders. The shipbuilding industry was bolstered by the acceleration of the building program of the Maritime Commission in September. Ships originally scheduled for 1940 were placed under contract at that time. At the year end, total tonnage under construction in American shipyards was the highest since 1920. In addition to merchant ships of nearly 1,200,000 gross tons, naval vessels of 498,000 tons were under construction on December 31, of which 239,000 tons were in private yards. The demand for merchant ships may be restricted somewhat through the application of the cash-and-carry provisions of the neutrality legislation, but the contracts already placed assure a continued high level of activity in shipbuilding yards for some time. Building materials were also produced in increasing quantities during the year. As indicated in the section on construction, residential building and public works were primarily responsible for the comparatively high demand of the early part of the year. Stimulated by the rise in construction, production of most building materials rose in 1939. Cement production was more than 15 percent above the 1938 aggregate and was approximately 5 percent higher than in 1937. Lumber production was up almost 16 percent from 1938, with the increases well distributed throughout the year. Other building materials behaved in much the same general manner. Practically all clay, gypsum, and glass products used in construction showed substantial increases over 1938, often reaching post-depression highs. Production of consumers' durable goods is generally geared to sales. As indicated in the section on retail trade, many factors were operating to stimulate consumers' purchases in 1939, before as well as after the outbreak of war. The movement in production was somewhat sharper because of inventory changes. Production increased markedly, but remained well below previous peak levels for most items—for example, automobiles, refrigerators, and washing machines. The Federal Reserve index of automobile production shows an average of 91 in 1939, as compared with 63 in 1938 and 121 in 1937. This larger volume was more evenly distributed through the year than was the case with most other commodities, the first half averaging 42 percent higher than the 1938 monthly average, on an adjusted basis, and the second half 47 percent higher. February 1940 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 11 tion of fuels. Production of bituminous coal in 1939 was 14 percent larger than in 1938, but was still 12 percent below 1937 and 26 percent smaller than in 1929. Output was reduced during the mine tie-up during April and May. In June, after the industrial dispute had been terminated, output rebounded to the high Metals and Minerals. levels of the early part of the year, and after the outMetal and mineral products go into a wide variety break of war in Europe, production went on to a level of uses, and the pattern of production for these prod- in the final quarter that was exceeded in recent years ucts is generally intermediate between those of the only at the 1936-37 peak. Coke production rose even various uses to which they are put. For this reason, more sharply at the year end, reflecting the higher rate the character of the general economic movement cannot of steel operations. The high bituminous coal output be appraised from combined data for these products, in the last 4 months was sufficient not only to meet the which include production for all uses. The group as a enlarged demand but also to bring stocks, which had whole is very important in the aggregate, however, and been reduced almost 40 percent during the industrial reflects the combined movements of finished-goods dispute, above the figures of a year earlier. production. Output of refined petroleum products maintained a For example, steel goes into consumers' goods such steady upward trend through 1939, reaching an allas automobiles and tin cans, into producers' machinery time high for the year and averaging 8 percent above and equipment, and into construction projects of all 1938. This resulted in almost continuous additions to kinds, public as well as private. In 1939 practically stocks of gasoline. Crude-petroleum output for the all consuming industries took more steel than in 1938. year was up 4 percent from 1938, but was under the 1937 After rising to an intermediate peak of about 60 percent total; production in August was about one-fourth of capacity in November 1938, steel operations began below the average for the year, as oil wells in major to recede, reaching a low of 47 percent of capacity in producing areas were shut down by official order to May 1939. From May to August there was a gradual prevent heavy supplies from driving prices down. In recovery that returned production to 60 percent. After the last 4 months, however, production moved up to the outbreak of war, a large backlog of unfilled orders new high levels. In December, output was approxiwas accumulated, and production rapidly moved up mately 3 percent above the previous high of August to a record level. In December, the Federal Reserve 1937. At the end of November, stocks of refinable steel index (adjusted) stood at 178 (1923-25=100), as crude oil, at 234 million barrels, were about 40 million compared with 151 in July 1929 and 144 in August 1937. barrels lower than a year before, and of this reduction 32 The initial spurt in buying quickly spent itself, however, million barrels were accounted for by the August shutand new orders subsequently dropped, so that opera- down. Other petroleum products also show improved tions during December cut into backlogs. Moreover, inventory positions as compared with gasoline. Higher since the rate of production was higher than that of the demand for such products and improved refining techmovement into consumption, steel inventories were nique which produces more gasoline per barrel of crude accumulating in the steel-consuming industries. oil are responsible for this trend. Nonferrous metals, on the other hand, show much more definitely the type of upsurge in the last 4 months Nondurable Goods. that was characteristic in the producers' goods indusProduction in nondurable lines normally is based tries. Output of refined copper was 28 percent higher upon current factors of supply and demand, rather than than in 1938. In the final quarter of the year, brass and upon a cycle in the accumulation and wearing away of bronze mills were operating practically at capacity, and supplies. Where production schedules are flexible, purdeliveries of ingots and billets were almost twice those chases by consumers are generally the determining facprevailing in the first 6 months. Lead and zinc also tor; but at times production deviates significantly from show large increases in production, rising 22 percent the level of consumption by reason of changes in invenand 18 percent, respectively, above 1938 figures. tories. The recent large upturn in some nondurable Refiners' stocks of both these metals were halved in the lines must at least in part be attributed to this factor. last 4 months, although production of zinc in the last The Federal Reserve index of textile production rose quarter rose 30 percent above the first-half average. sharply in 1939. The average of 114 for the year was Lead production rose about 25 percent on the same about one-fourth higher than the 1938 average and comparison. The consuming industries, in other words, was higher than that for any other calendar year since were taking nonferrous metals in the late months of 1929. In December the adjusted index at 123 was the year at a rate well above the high rate prevailing two-thirds above the low of 74 in April 1938. Since in these industries in the pre-war period. the average for the last quarter of 1938 was about 110, A diversity of influences appears also in the produc- more than three-quarters of the total recovery occurred The last quarter probably would have averaged much higher except for the industrial dispute that held up production of one large company in October and November. For this reason, also, field stocks of new cars at the end of 1939 were at a fairly low level in relation to sales. 12 SUEVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS in that year. For the first 7 months of 1939, production remained near, though slightly below, that at the close of 1938, and did not break into new highg round until August. Cotton consumption, after reaching a low in April, when the adjusted production index was 105 (1923-25 = 100) moved up steadily; by December the adjusted index was about the same as the previous record, in December 1936. Production of woolen goods also was near a record in the last 4 months of 1939. Rayon yarn moved into new high ground, a continuation of the long-term upward trend. The major part of the increase in output of rayon yarn occurred in the latter half of 1938, rather than in 1939; the average for the year shows an increase of 33 percent, while the average for the latter half shows an increase of only 16 percent over the corresponding 1938 levels. Silk consumption, in contrast with that of other textile fibers, was smaller in 1939 than in 1938. There was a temporary bulge in deliveries to mills in September and October, but this was more than wiped out by a major contraction in the next 2 months. Inventories of textile products were considerably higher at the end of the year. Production of foodstuffs on the whole appears to have been somewhat higher in 1939 than in 1938, although the largest increases were confined to specialties. The inventory picture is somewhat confused. In the early part of the 37ear, a considerable amount of inventory liquidation appears to have taken place; this was in many cases offset by later accumulation. Year-end inventories in some instances are reported higher, and in some lower, than those of the preceding year. The Federal Reserve index of slaughtering and meat packing shows production lower in the early part of the year and higher in the second half, especially in the last quarter. Dollar-value inventories of pork products are reported higher; no increases are reported for some other products, but larger tonnage may be offset by lower prices. Paper production is perhaps a more significant indicator of general trends than many other nondurable goods, because of the variety of uses into which paper goes. In 1939, total production for all types was about 18 percent higher, with gains fairly well distributed throughout but increasing during the fourth quarter. Little advance from the November-December 1938 level was made by the newsprint production series. Inventories of newsprint ended the year substantially above 1938 after monthly increases beginning in April. Total paper production, excluding newsprint and paperboard, was up 12 percent; much of the gain was due to the 1938 increase, so that the leveling off in the early part of 1939 left the third-quarter totals about equal; but production took a new spurt in September and ended the year at a record high. The European war carried the threat of restricted pulp supplies and rising prices for some types of paper, which led to rapid inventory February 1940 accumulation by most consumers. An unusually large rise in shipments of paperboard containers after August probably indicates stocking up, not only of such containers, but also of the products ordinarily shipped in them. Agricultural Output and Income Production of agricultural commodities is generally dominated by factors that do not respond readily to changes in the general economic situation. For most crops the acreage harvested in 1939 was unusually small, but yields per acre averaged higher than in any other of the last 25 years except 1937. The higher yields provided an almost complete offset to the reduction in acreage, so that production fell less than 2 percent below the 1938 total. Furthermore, large surpluses of many crops were carried over, and available supplies continued heavy. INDEX NUMBERS .00 V 00 90 SO 70 ess r?6 ceivec * by farmers (A<. 909- Jo /y /9I4 °/oo) r \ V 60 50 A0 30 . ,., . 1929 1930 i93! \ \ J i v 1932 1933 f \ -Cos Mar/ / 5/77S from A?rm sC/924-29=sOOJ \ J S934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 Figure 6.—Indexes of Prices Received by Farmers and Gash Income From Farm Marketings, 1929-39 (U. S. Department of Agriculture). NOTE.—The index for cash income is adjusted for seasonal variations and doe? not include governmental payments. A large part of the reduction in acreage was in the i Great Plains region, where drought conditions still j continue. Heavy losses of crops, as well as reduced plantings, were responsible for the large reduction in harvests in this area. In a half dozen States of this region, which normally have a fifth of the crop acreage of the co an try, nearly a sixth of the acreage was lost, and the yields from a large portion of the harvested I area were extremely low. In other regions the primary j factors in bringing about the reduction in acreage were i depressed prices and large surpluses at planting time, and more general compliance with the adjustment program than in previous years. The index of yield per acre for 27 important crops stood at 112.7 percent of the predrought (1923-32) average. This yield represents an increase of about 1 percent over 1938, and was exceeded only in 1937. Contributing to these results were the continuance of favorable weather conditions in most areas and the increasing use of more productive agricultural techniques, Production of all wheat in 1939 is estimated at 755 million bushels. This is about 19 percent smaller than February 1940 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS the large 1938 crop of 932 million bushels, but is slightly larger than the 10-year average from 1928-37. Supplies are only about 75 million bushels smaller than a year earlier, however, because of an increase of about 100 million bushels in the carry-over. A reduction in exports and in the quantity of wheat fed to livestock in 1939-40 is expected to result in a carry-over on July 1, 1940 of between 275 and 300 million bushels as compared with 254 million a year earlier. The production of corn for all purposes in 1939 is estimated at 2,619 million bushels, about 2 percent higher than in 1938 and 13 percent higher than the 1928-37 average. This increase of 2 percent was obtained despite a 4-percent reduction in acreage. Unusually heavy yields were obtained; among the most prominent factors in improving yields were the increased planting of high-yielding hybrids, the restriction of planting to more fertile land, near ideal weather conditions, and the increased use of power machinery. The 1939 yield per harvested acre of 29.5 bushels was the highest since 1920. Total supplies on hand were the largest since 1932. Despite reduction in total acreage picked to the smallest figure in more than 40 years, the 1939 cotton crop of nearly 11.8 million bales was almost as large as the 1938 crop and was less than 15 percent below the 1928-37 average. Yields were unusually high; the average of 236 pounds per acre was exceeded only in 1937. The world supply of cotton remains only a little under the 50 million bale record high supply of each of the two preceding seasons. The world cotton carry-over on August 1 will probably be only a little smaller than the exceptionally large carry-over of 21.5 million bales last August. Of this carry-over at the end of last season, about 14 million bales were American cotton, the largest carry-over on record. The largest tobacco crop on record was produced in 1939, amounting to 1,770 million pounds for all types combined. The yield per acre of about 911 pounds established a new high, and the season's acreage was the fifth largest in history, resulting in an increase of 29 percent from 1938 production. Pressure on prices resulted from British measures to restrict imports, as well as from the heavy supply. The upward trend in consumption of fresh fruits and vegetables continued in 1939. The total gross tonnage of 13 major fruit crops in the 1939-40 season was only about 1 percent less than the record tonnage produced in 1937-38, and nearly 2 percent above the total for last year. Production of 17 truck crops marketed fresh in 1939 was the largest on record. The total tonnage of vegetables produced for canning declined about 10 percent from 1938, with high yields partially offsetting the much larger decline in acreage that resulted from last spring's heavy stocks of canned vegetables. At present, such stocks are well below the large carry-over of last year. 13 In livestock and derivative products, the feed-price product-price cycle hampered efforts to prevent surpluses. The number of animal units on farms is about equal to the average of 138 million for the predrought period of 1928-32. The total number has been estimated at 136 million for 1939-40, as compared with 127 million for 1938-39. Supplies of feed continue plenti| ful, however; estimates place the total, excluding hay, on October 1 at 116 million tons, as compared with 110 million tons on October 1 a year earlier. On this basis, the supply per animal amounts to 0.85 ton this year, as compared with 0.87 ton in the previous year. The comparable figure for the predrought period was 0.77 ton, indicating that feed supplies remain relatively large despite the recovery of farm-animal population to previous levels. A still larger number will probably be fed in 1939-40 than in the preceding year, and marketings can be expected to increase. As a result of recent price changes, however, the ratio of livestock prices to feed prices is now unfavorable for feeding livestock; if these changes prove permanent, 1940 should see a reversal in the recent upward trend in farm animal population. The total spring and fall pig crops amounted to about 84 million head, or about 13 million more than in 1938. This total marks the return of production to the predrought level. Exports of pork and lard increased more than a third in 1939 as compared with 1938. While foreign sales may be a factor of strength in 1940, increased domestic consumption may be an even more important factor in moving the large supply. These products have been added to the list of surplus commodities under the Food Stamp Plan. Marketings of poultry and eggs were about 9 percent higher in 1939 than in 1938. On November 1 there were about 4 percent more layers than on the corresponding date a year earlier. Eggs per layer were only slightly down from the previous year's high record, so that total egg production was about 3 percent higher than the previous year and 24 percent higher than the 10-year November 1 average. Dairy products also show the effects of the continuing upward trend in consumption. Consumption of butter and of evaporated milk made new high records in 1939, much of the increase in butter consumption resulting from the distribution of this food by the Federal Surplus Commodities Corporation. Milk production also made a new record in 1939, with the total of 111 billion pounds exceeding the previous record of 1938 by about 1 billion pounds. At the end of 1939 there were more milk cows on farms, and supplies of feed were relatively large. The inventory position is much improved with respect to most dairy products, however. Cold-storage stocks of butter totaled 128 million pounds on November 1, about 34 percent less than the excessively large stocks of a year earlier, and stocks of American cheese were the smallest since 1932. 14 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Cash Farm Income. Cash farm income from marketings and Governmentprogram payments was up 5 percent from the 1938 level. Estimates for 1939 show a total of 8.5 billion dollars, as compared with 8.1 billion in 1938. Figure 6 presents the adjusted index of income from marketings and the index of prices received by farmers. The broad movements of the two series were in a general way similar in 1939, except that the income series fluctuated more widely. Throughout the first 7 months, income drifted toward lower levels and then advanced sharply in August, just ahead of the war-stimulated general upsurge. The advance continued into September; and after a minor decline to October, the adjusted index leveled off, with the monthly average for the last quarter about one-sixth higher than in the earlier part of the year. For the year as a whole, income from marketings of farm products of 7.7 billion dollars was up only slightly from 1938. This increase was confined entirely to the crops subtotal, the livestock groups remaining unchanged. Within the livestock group, small gains in income from meat animals and wool were offset by declines in income from dairy products and poultry and eggs. In the crops group, the small gains made by fruits and vegetables were partly offset by declines in cotton and tobacco, and the total income from marketings of grain rose about 8 percent. A new program designed to increase income from marketings was inaugurated by the Government in 1939. Under this program, blue stamps which can be used only to purchase surplus farm products are issued to needy families, to an amount equal to one-half of their expenditures for other food-store products. In addition to increasing sales of surplus farm products, this program is designed to improve the diets of needy families and to stimulate business in the normal channels of trade which it utilizes. In 1939, however, operations under this plan were limited, and its effects on farm income were comparatively unimportant. More directly influencing farm income were price parity and conservation payments by the Government. In 1939 such payments amounted to $807,000,000, an increase of $325,000,000 from the total for 1938. This was equivalent to $112 per farm and $24 per person living on farms, and represented an addition of over 10 percent to total income from marketings. Consumption Retail Distribution The flow of goods to consumers is determined by consumer incomes and the willingness of consumers to utilize available funds for consumption purposes. Up to the outbreak of war, the improvement in sales appeared to be dependent upon the increase in incomes. From the 1938 lows, incomes had made relatively steady upward progress through the last half of the February 1940 year and then had leveled off; similarly, there was a sharp increase in retail sales in the latter half of 1938, which was followed by a leveling off, during the first half of 1939. In the latter half of 1939, on the other hand, sales responded to the new increases in income flowing from the war-stimulated expansion in business activity. Hoarding of a few commodities by consumers was supposed to be the basis of sharp, though temporary, bulges in sales and prices of such staples. The threat of prospective price advances probably influenced some consumer provision for future needs in a number of durable and semidurable lines. The pattern of retail sales within the year was almost identical with that of income payments. There was a sidewise movement from January to July, and then a steady rise to the end of the year which corresponded with the rise in income payments. Table 3 presents estimates of total sales by types of retail outlet. Total retail sales are estimated at 37,950 million dollars in 1939. This total is 7 percent above the total of 35,425 million dollars for 1938, but is 5 percent below the total of 39,930 million dollars for 1937. Since retail prices were lower in 1939 than in 1937, however, a large proportion of this decline from that year, especially for nondurable goods and foods, must be attributed to lower prices. Table 3.—Estimated Retail Sales, by Kinds of Business Sales in millions of dollars Business group (Census classifications) United States total.. Food group ._ _ . _ ,. Beer and liquor stores Eating and drinking places . __ __ Farmers' supply and general stores Department, dry-goods, and general-merchandise stores -. -. . _ --- -_.. Mail order (catalog sales of mail-order houses) .._.__ . . ___Variety stores ._ _ _. Apparel group Automotive group Filling stations . Furniture and household appliance stores Lumber, building, and hardware group _ Drug stores Jewelry stores Other stores _. _ . _ _ Percentage increase, 1939 from 1938 1937 1938 1939 39,930 35, 425 37,950 7.0 9,340 408 2,878 1,993 8,920 394 2,676 1,784 9,095 418 2,770 1,820 2.0 6.0 3.5 2.0 4,107 3,783 4,030 6.5 490 885 3,195 5, 910 2,478 1,718 2,565 1,411 312 2, 240 463 858 2, 923 3,900 2,404 1, 425 2,270 1,376 279 1.970 519 905 3,085 4,990 2,428 1,603 2,497 1,410 307 2,073 12.0 5.5 5.5 28.0 1.0 12.5 10.0 2.5 10.0 5.0 Source: U. S. Bureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce. All lines of retail trade showed increases in 1939 over 1938. The largest gains were made by the durable-goods lines, which had declined the most from 1937 to 1938; these groups made relatively poor showings, however, in terms of the comparison with 1937 levels, which they failed to reach by a substantial margin. The effects of special longer-term trends maybe observed as influencing the sales of various other groups; mailorder sales, filling-station sales, variety-store sales, and beer and liquor store sales show favorable comparisons with 1937, while sales of farmer's supply and general stores were distinctly below the 1937 level. The influence of prices on the total value of sales in 1939 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 was also important; the smallest gains from 1938 to 1939 were made by filling stations and by all outlets handling foodstuffs, prices of which were weakest, at least until the outbreak of war in Europe. Figure 7 shows the monthly trends of new passengercar sales and of department-store sales, adjusted for seasonal variation. After a high first quarter, automobile sales fell back more than halfway to the 1938 average level and then stabilized until after the introduction of the new models. This stability was succeeded by a sharp upward movement in the last quarter that carried the index in December up to the i 1929 ! 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 a a 40-25 Figure 7.—Indexes of New Passenger-Automobile Sales and DepartmentStore Sales, Adjusted for Seasonal Variations, 1929-39 (New PassengerAutomobile Sales, U. S. Department of Commerce; Department-Store Sales, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System). 1937 average. The year as a whole was up more than a third from 1938, but was still 16 percent lower than in 1937; it was about 8 percent above 1935 and 14 percent below 1936. Since the highest proportion of trade-ins tends to come in the second or third years, 1939 should have obtained the benefits of the maximum trade-ins from the recent peak years 1936 and 1937. The low level of sales in 1938 may also have contributed to the higher level of sales in 1939, increasing the number of potential buyers who desired a new car but were unwilling to make commitments while incomes were at depressed levels. A more typical pattern of retail sales is that shown by the department-store index. After the small initial decline, sales moved up to a new post-depression high at the end of the year. This upward swing was only slightly larger than the advance in the latter half of 1938, so that the margin of gain in 1939 over 1938 remained fairly stable throughout the late months of the year. Sales of such articles as furniture and appliances were undoubtedly aided through the year by the higher level of residential construction and its counterpart in new homes being established. Installment Sales Use of installment credit has been extended in recent years largely as an instrument of retail competition. Today there are virtually no limitations on the types 15 of merchandise available for immediate use on deferred payments. Automobile sales, however, account for about 60 percent of installment-sales volume, and other durable goods, primarily household appliances and furniture, account for a large proportion of the remainder. The extension of installment credit on "soft goods'7 is a recent development that was greatly expanded in 1939, but its importance cannot be adequately appraised at this time. There was also some easing of terms in 1939. Down payments were eliminated, and the period for repayment was lengthened for some durable goods other than automobiles; but this is calculated to have had little effect on sales of such goods. According to preliminary estimates, the total volume of installment sales in 1939 was approximately 4,200 million dollars. This represented an increase of 900 million dollars, or more than a fourth from the total of 3,300 million dollars for 1938. It was still 400 million dollars, or approximately 9 percent below the total of 4,600 million for 1937. These changes in installment sales are much larger than the corresponding changes in the total volume of retail sales, since durable goods constitute the bulk of installment sales. The greater range of fluctuation of deferred-payment sales appears to be their most important characteristic; thus, in 1939 they provided expansionary influence in the movements of incomes and consumption, as contrasted with the depressing influence of consumer installmentdebt liquidation in the preceding year. A succession of annual increases in retail installment sales served to increase year-end outstanding consumer debts on such accounts from about 1,000 million dollars at the close of 1933 to perhaps 2,750 million dollars at the close of 1937. The sales decline in 1938 produced a net liquidation of perhaps somewhat more than 500 million dollars between the year-end points of measurement. The sharp rise of installment volume in the closing months of 1938 probably terminated this liquidation. A preliminary estimate would place consumers' retail installment obligations at about 2,500 million dollars at the end of 1939, somewhat below the recent high point at the close of 1937. The aggregate consumer use of credit during 1939 was much larger than these figures indicate, as retail charge accounts and loans of consumer-cash lending agencies are not included in the retail installment-credit data. A rough estimate places the net increase in total consumer debt during 1939 at something in the neighborhood of 750 million dollars, of which about half is represented by the increase of retail installment debt alone. Wholesale Trade Sales of service and limited-function wholesalers during 1939 are estimated at 20.7 billion dollars, or approximately 9 percent higher than the 1938 total of 19.0 billion. Quarterly sales show increasing gains for each 16 SUKVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 successive quarter of 1939; the first quarter was only about 5 percent higher than the first quarter of 1938; the second quarter was almost 7 percent higher than the corresponding 1938 quarter; the third quarter was 10 percent higher; and the fourth, 13 percent higher. Greater cyclical swings than those shown by actual consumption are more or less typical of wholesale sales, in part because of difference in the types of goods moving through these channels, but also because of changes in retail inventories. Since the general wholesale price average, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics index, was about 2 percent lower in 1939 than in 1938, there was a moderately larger gain in the quantity of goods sold at wholesale than is reflected in a comparison of the dollar sales for the 2 years. On a physical-volume basis, moreover, wholesale sales in 1939 were back to and perhaps somewhat above the 1937 level, since the decline of 7 percent in dollar value from 1937 to 1939 is somewhat less than the decline in the price index during the same period. All of the various wholesale groups recorded gains in 1939 over 1938. These follow a pattern similar to that observed in the case of retail sales; they range from a 3-percent rise for sales of drugs and drug sundries, grocery and food products, and tobacco products, to a more than 20-percent rise for some durable-goods lines. Up to September there appears to have been minor liquidation of inventories. With the change in sentiment consequent upon the war, however, a quick move to readjust inventory positions upward occurred. This was in part purety speculative, but it was also designed to protect against delivery delays and to prepare for anticipated increases in business volumes. Estimates of the changes in inventories from the end of 1935 to date are presented in figure 8. After a period of relative stability from the middle of 1938 to the middle of 1939, the dollar value of inventories is estimated to have increased more than 1 billion in the second half of 1939. In 1937 the switch to inventory liquidation after excessive accumulations in the first three quarters of that year was one of the primary factors leading to abrupt decline in production in the late months of 1937. Subsequently, much of the excess was liquidated, although the total value dropped by less than half the previous increase from the low figure at the end of 1935 to the extremely high aggregate at the end of 1937. At the middle of 1939, inventories were still fairly high, but apparently were not burdensome, and there were major differences in various lines. As sales rose with increasing incomes and cash positions were ample to maintain liquidity, the need for further liquidation had ceased. In the last half of 1939, however, the new upward movement carried the estimated total to within one-half billion dollars of the high end-of-1937 level. Inventories Expressing these inventory totals in terms of physical The unusually large swings in production relative to volume indicates, however, that all of this deficiency consumption during the past year are evidence that from the 1937 level was due to price reductions and important changes in inventories have taken place. that the physical volume of inventories was perhaps PHYSICAL VOLUME OF INVENTORIES, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED JANUARY 1, 1936 = 100 140 VALUE OF INVENTORIES, UNADJUSTED JANUARY 1, 1936 = 100 140 MANUFACTURING--^ / 130 130 TOTAL- 120 120 MO 110 100 100 90 JAN. I, 1935 JAN. I, JAN. I, '36 '37 JAN. I, JULY I, JAN. I, JULY I, JAN. I, '38 '38 '39 '39 '40 90 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 DD-4Q-35 Figure 8.—Inventory Values and Trends, 1935-39 (Dun & Bradstreet and U. S. Department of Commerce). NOTE.—Value of inventories (Dun & Bradstreet's series), for January 1, 1940, was estimated by the Department of Commerce upon the basis of changes in sample data during the last half of 1939. The monthly index of total inventories in terms of January 1, 1936, dollars is based upon the Dun & Bradstreet's series; adjustments for wholesale price trends, and interpolations for monthly figures have been made by the Department of Commerce. This index also has been adjusted for seasonal variations. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 slightly higher than at the end of 1937. (See fig. 8.) The inventory index used to interpolate between endof-year totals indicates that most of the 1939 advance occurred in the last quarter and that the rate of accumulation in that quarter was as rapid as in any quarter during the 1936-37 rise. This high rate of accumulation raises a serious question as to the ability of the economy to maintain the production rate attained by the close of 1939; for a cessation of the inventory accumulation would necessitate a reduction in the rate of production unless new demand factors came into play to offset such a deflationary force. Inventories in wholesale and retail trade channels, as well as in manufacturing industry, increased in the second half of 1939. Preliminary estimates based on early reports place these increases at 9 percent for manufacturing, 6 percent for wholesale, and only a slight rise for retail inventories. Sales, on the other hand, increased more than these percentages in each of these fields and the inventory-sales ratios have declined for all groups. On this basis, present positions have been widely stated to be fully justified. Dependence upon inventory-sales ratios is not an adequate safeguard, however, if the volume of sales itself is unduly expanded as a result of inventory accumulation at later stages. Construction 17 occurred almost entirely in the field of new residential building, while the rise in public work is primarily the result of largely expanded construction operations BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1924 '25 '26 '27 '28 '29 '30 '31 '32 '33 '34 '35 '36 '37 '38 '39 Figure 9.—Estimated Value of Total, Private, and Public Construction, 1924-39 (U. S. Department of Commerce). NOTE.—Data for 1939 are preliminary. under the 1938 Public Works Administration program. The volume of neither public nor private construction done during the year appears to have been greatly affected by the outbreak of the European war in September, though the industrial expansion that followed the beginning of the European war brought some increase in the amount of industrial and commercial building on which construction was started. The maintenance of a high level of construction expenditures during 1939 operated throughout the Table 4.—Estimated Value of Total Private and Public Construction ' year as a factor of definite strength in the general [Millions of dollars] business situation. The total value of construction 1926-29, 1932 1933 1936 1938 1939 » 1937 Item work done during the year is estimated to have average amounted to slightly less than 10 billion dollars, and construction: to have been roughly 12 percent larger than in 1938. NewPrivate 1,091 2,551 3,326 3 2,932 3,515 8,363 1,767 2,154 2,014 2,339 1,794 1,216 2,157 2,800 Public For the sixth consecutive year, construction activity 5,340 3 5,089 4,705 6,315 2,307 Total 10,702 3,561 continued to advance, with the result that the total 1,032 114 1,130 775 1,202 for 1939 was more than 2}{ times as large as the low Work-relief construction . . value reached in 1933. Despite this increase, total Maintenance: 1,742 1,854 1,837 1,016 1,800 1,128 2,195 Private 710 718 800 624 527 736 Public 765 expenditures on construction in 1939 were less than 2,452 2,572 2,573 2,600 Total 1,752 1,543 2,960 three-quarters of those attained in the peak years construction: 1926 to 1929, though the physical volume of construc- TotalPrivate 10, 558 2,895 2,107 4,293 5,180 3 4,769 5,315 3,994 3,507 4,095 4,632 3,104 1,857 2,418 Public tion last year may have been as much as seven-eighths 8,287 3,964 8,687 38,864 9,947 Total 13,662 5,313 of that reached at the peak, when allowance is made for changes in construction costs during the intervening These estimates measure construction activity as represented by actual expenditures for labor, material, and other items. Figures beginning with 1915, substandecade. tially companble with those presented above, are shown in Domestic Commerce No. 99, Construction Activity in the United States, 1915-37, by Lowell J. As the Bureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce Series Chawner. and in Recent Developments in Construction Activity, by Samuel J. Dennis. of Current Business, August 1939, both published by the Bureau estimates presented in figure 9 and table 4 indicate, of ForeignSurvey and Domestic Commerce. The estimates for 1939 are based on incomplete data and are subject to revision. both private and public work contributed to the rise 3 Revised. * Work-relief not elsewhere included. See table 6. in expenditures for construction from 1938 to 1939. For the first time in 3 years, changes in these two Residential Construction types of work were in the same direction, and total construction increased more rapidly than in either of The value of new residential construction in 1939 is the two intervening years, when an increase in one of estimated to have been nearly 40 percent larger than in these types of work was partially offset by a decrease the previous year. This increase, as table 5 shows, is in the other. In private construction, the increase made up of a rise of 37 percent in private residential 4 1 2 18 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS construction and an increase of 150 percent in publicly owned residential work. The expansion of private residential construction accompanied a generally favorable market situation. The increase in public residential construction resulted from the fact that the program of the United States Housing Authority began during the year to reach the stage of actual construction on a substantial scale. The peak of construction operations under the present USHA program, however, was not reached during 1939, and a further Table 5.—Estimated Value of New Construction, by Principal Uses or Functions of Projects [Millions of dollars] 1926-29, average Item New private construction: Residential (nonfarm)... __ 1932 1933 1936 1937 1938 1939 i 1,390 1,900 4,066 641 314 1,101 1,393 Commercial . _ Factorv Other nonresidential 1,188 640 659 263 78 220 135 128 104 268 222 184 386 391 185 2 311 2 192 227 315 200 250 Total nonresidential building ._ ... Deduct nonresidential building by utilities 2,487 561 367 674 962 2 730 765 74 22 10 16 29 24 30 Total nonresidential building 3 2,413 539 357 658 933 2 706 735 Farm construction (includes repairs) Public utility construction 4 5 -_. 468 1,416 125 462 175 245 328 464 360 640 336 500 330 550 Light and power production and distributio n 376 121 52 108 172 182 160 Total new private construction New public construction: Total new public construction fl. Residential Nonresidential building Total new private and public construction __ 8,363 1,767 1,091 2,551 3,326 2 2,932 3,515 2,339 1,794 1,216 2,154 2,014 2,157 2,800 620 408 191 61 521 93 440 32 542 80 750 10, 702 3,561 2,307 4,705 5,340 2 5,089 6,315 1 The estimates for 1939 are based on incomplete data and are subject to revision. 2 Revised. 34 Excluding nonresidential building by utilities. Private ownership only. 8 Only those items are shown under this total for which reasonably accurate preliminary estimates for the year 1939 are available. expansion of residential construction under the USHA program to a total in the neighborhood of 350 million dollars is to be expected during 1940. The total cost of USHA projects now contemplated under the present program is about 770 million dollars. Of this sum, only about 625 million dollars will be spent for construction, including site improvements, construction and equipment of dwelling structures, construction and equipment of nondwelling structures, and architectural and engineering costs. The remainder goes for land, administrative expenses, financial costs during construction, and other expenditures. Taking into account the 75 million dollars spent for construction during 1939, and the estimated 350 millions that are likely to be spent during 1940, it appears that about 200 million dollars will remain on the basis of funds now available for construction in 1941. Public residential construction in 1940 should be further increased by some state and local construction independent of the USHA program and by small amounts of residential construction by other Federal agencies. February 1940 Annual figures for the total number of nonfarm dwelling units on which construction was started in the entire United States increased substantially. It is estimated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics that work was started during the year on 475,000 dwelling units, as compared with 347,000 in 1938. While the major part of this increase in the number of units started occurred in privately owned residential construction, the volume of public residential construction undertaken during the year rose markedly, showing a much larger percentage increase than that for private residential work. Approximately 57,000 of the 475,000 units started during the year w^ere under the program of the United States Housing Authority, while in 1938 this public program had accounted for only about 7,000 units.1 While annual figures for both residential work done and residential construction initiated show substantial increases in 1939, it appears probable that the net increases in activity from month to month (after allowance for the usual seasonal changes) were not large during 1939 itself, and that the upward movement in the annual figures reflects the fact that there was a rising trend in 1938. The basis for this belief is the behavior of the volume of new residential construction initiated, as measured by contract awards. An index of the value of contracts awarded for residential building is presented in figure 10, in comparison with a similar index for all types of construction. During the first 9 months of 1938 the index of residential contracts rose rapidly, and by late 1938 had reached a level higher than at any other time since 1929. Thereafter, until the middle of 1939, it remained substantially unchanged. In the last part of 1939 a further rise occurred, partly because of a rapid expansion (on a seasonally adjusted basis) of private construction of one- and two-family houses, and partly because of the increase in the volume of publicly owned residential work. The maintenance of a moderately high level of private residential construction during 1939 was facilitated by relatively favorable real-estate market conditions, as well as by various governmental actions which are discussed below. Although, for the first year since 1932, the net increase in the number of available dwelling units appears to have been larger than the net increase in the number of families, the excess was small, and residential vacancies appear in general to have undergone only minor changes during 1939. The rather fragmentary information available suggests, in fact, that vacancies remain close to the relatively low point reached in early 1937. The downi These figures for the number of dwelling units started are not comparable with the estimates of the value of work done during the year, though they serve as the basis for the value estimates for private work. The former relate to work started, the latter to the value of work done, as measured by expenditures for materials, labor, and other items. In addition, the value estimates include nonhousekeeping residential structures and additions to residential structures, which are not covered by the estimates of the number of family dwelling units on which construction was started. February 1940 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS ward shift in the price class of new dwellings constructed w^hich, on the basis of the average permit value per unit, occurred between 1937 and 1938 appears not to have continued during 1939, as the average permit value in 1939 was substantially the same as in the preceding year. Residential rentals, as measured by the National Industrial Conference Board index of the rents set in new rental contracts, which had declined 2.8 percent during 1938, were practically stable during the first half of 1939, and rose slightly beginning with July to bring the index for December 1939 to a point fractionally above that for December 1938. Selling prices of residential properties at the end of the year were also somewhat higher than in December 1938. The National Association of Real Estate Boards reports that prices were higher than a year ago in 23 percent of the cities reporting in their semiannual survey of the real estate market, the same in 64 percent of the cities, and lower in only 13 percent. According to the same survey, mortgage interest rates continued to decline during the year. Rates in December 1939 were at the lowest level yet reached, and were more nearly uniform geographically than at any previous time. Changes in Federal Housing Administration Procedure. The influence of government on residential construction was felt not only in the direct construction of residential structures under the program of the USHA but also through the actions of many other governmental agencies. Particularly important in this respect were the amendments to the National Housing Act, approved June 3, 1939, and the consequent changes in the FHA regulations. Various provisions of the act which were scheduled to expire on the 1st of July were extended, and a number of other changes were made. The amendments, together with the revisions in regulations which became effective July 1, made specific provision for insurance, under title I of the act, of loans up to $2,500 for the construction of low-cost houses. The maximum maturity of such loans was extended to 10 years and 32 days, and an insurance premium charge of one-half of 1 percent per annum of the net proceeds of the loan was instituted, to be paid by the lender. In September, further changes were made in the regulations. The maximum maturity of the smallhouse construction loans under title I was lengthened to 15 years and 5 months; the borrower was required to make only a 5-percent down payment, in cash or in land; and regulatory restrictions in connection with the plan were kept to a minimum. In December, changes in the regulations were again made, in a further effort to render these loans on low-cost houses more attractive to both borrowers and lenders. In consequence of the interest in title I loans for new small-house 19 construction and of the revisions in regulations, the number of loans increased in 1939, though the proportion of all residential construction financed through these channels remained very small. During 1939, the number of loans reached 10,783, while only 5,845 such loans had been made during the preceding year. The amendments approved June 3 also made certain changes in connection with the FHA's rental housing program. Payment of prevailing wage rates was required in the construction of projects, and restrictions were imposed preventing the amount of the mortgage from exceeding the estimated cost of the structures. The effect of the latter restriction was to remove certain opportunities for profit through increases in land values resulting from construction of the housing developments. In addition, the Federal Housing Administration, through administrative action, discouraged new projects in some cities where rentals could not be made low enough to find a satisfactory market. The volume of new projects approved by the FHA (as measured by those accepted for insurance) thus fell sharply in 1939. Finally, effective August 1, the maximum permissible interest rate on small home mortgages under title II was reduced from 5 percent to 4% percent, and the maximum rate on mortgages on large-scale rental projects from 4% to 4 percent. Private Nonresidential Construction In contrast with residential construction, the value of business construction during 1939 increased only moderately as compared with 1938. For new commercial buildings, expenditures were little, if any, larger in 1939 than in the previous year. Vacancies in office buildings continued high, the National Association of Building Owners and Managers reporting that 18 percent of office space in over 100 cities was vacant on October 1,1939. In consequence, construction of buildings of this type was at a relatively low level in most cities. Construction of neighborhood store buildings, however, was encouraged by extensive residential construction and by the growth of new residential areas. For new factory construction actual expenditures for work done during 1939 were only moderately higher than in 1938. The volume of industrial construction initiated during the year, however, rose sharply, increasing 44 percent over the previous year as measured by contract awards in 37 States reported by the F. W. Dodge Corporation. The explanation for this difference in behavior has several aspects. Shortly after the sharp decline in industrial production in 1937, which increased excess plant capacity in most industries, the volume of contract awards for factory construction also decreased, and in 1938 reached a very low level. On the other hand, actual construction operations in 1938 were sustained by the necessity of completing the large volume of projects started in the latter half of 1937. 20 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS In 1939 the situation was reversed. The volume of work initiated, in response to rising levels of output, began to increase, while the volume of construction activity was held down by the small amount of unfinished work carried over from 1938. After the outbreak of the European war and the beginning of the rapid rise in industrial production in September, the increase in the volume of work initiated became more pronounced. In the last 4 months of 1939, contracts awarded for factory construction were 70 percent larger than in the corresponding period of 1938, though the i INDEX NUMBERS, 1923-25 = 100 100 V 80 TOTAL, Au / 60 40 \ -J\ A A vV \j / 11 BUILDING 20 ~ I TRUCT/ON-^l ryp£S OF co/vs N y Q 1935 1936 1937 1938 l9S9 M4vr Figure 10.—Indexes of the Value of Construction Contracts Awarded in 37 States (Adjusted for Seasonal Variation), 1935-39 (Computed by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System From Data Compiled by the F. W- Dodge Corporation). NOTE.—Indexes for December 1939 are preliminary. resulting expansion in actual construction operations will be felt mainly in the first part of 1940. Despite this increase, however, contract awards are still small in comparison with the best months of 1937. February 1940 ished at the end of 1939, the value of construction to be done on PWA projects during 1940 is unlikely to exceed 600 million dollars, if no further appropriations are made. The predominant influence which the large volume of construction contracts awarded under the Public Works Administration program exercised on total contracts during the last part of 1938 and the early part of 1939 is indicated by the seasonally adjusted indexes for all types of construction shown in figure 10. The rapid rise in the volume of contracts awarded that began about the time the PWA program was initiated in June 1938 culminated in December, when the seasonally adjusted index reached the highest point since mid-1930. In early 1939 the volume of work initiated, as measured by contract awards, was high, but fell sharply as the award of contracts on PWA projects approached completion. Until July, however, public contracts were higher in each month of 1939, except May, than in the corresponding month of 1938. By mid-1939 the index of total contracts had lost about two-thirds of the rise that had taken place between March and December 1938. Since that time some increase has occurred, aided in the midsummer and early fall by the rise in residential construction and affected very sharply in the last 2 months of 1939 by inclusion of two large Federally owned dam and power projects, one of which was of sufficient size to account for nearly one-third of all contracts awarded in the month of December. Table 6.—Estimated Work-Relief Expenditures for Construction Purposes [Millions of dollars] Item 1933 1936 1938 1937 1939 Public Construction not otherwise included in The total value of public construction increased in Construction table 4:2 67 Highways, roads, streets, etc 450 672 805 658 1939 by over 500 million dollars, or 13 percent. The 71 76 65 85 Public buildings . 15 1 3 1 2 Housing increase was thus of about the same magnitude, both 2 48 Public recreational facilities _ _ 94 58 43 Irrigation and water conservation .. 52 49 73 41 absolutely and proportionately, as the rise in private 4 Electric utilities 4 4 6 5 41 45 35 Water supply . 43 work. As indicated above, expansion of public con20 86 122 Sewerage systems 123 116 40 Transportation facilities . . . . . ._ 34 50 39 struction resulted primarily from the effects of the 4 Miscellaneous Public Works Administration program of 1938. While 114 1,202 1,032 Total 1,130 775 Construction included in other items of table 4 3 135 160 120 work on all projects under this program was required * 110 114 1,337 Total work-relief construction 895 to be started before the end of 1938, construction opera1,290 * 1,142 tions were not under way in any substantial volume Includes estimated construction expenditures of the Civil Works Administration, until the early part of 1939. Moreover, when the the Federal Emergency Relief Administration, the Works Progress Administration, and the Civilian Conservation Corps. Includes both new work and maintenance. projects were once started, the pace of work was per- Excludes expenditures for educational, professional, and clerical projects and other projects not considered to involve construction. For a fuller explanation, see tables haps particularly rapid because of the necessity of 53 and 54, Domestic Commerce Series No. 99, Construction Activity in the United States, 1915-37, published by the Bureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce. completing all projects before the middle of 1940, in 2 The figures here presented for several of the categories have been reduced below those appearing in the Treasury Department reports. This reduction has been made conformity with the requirements of the authorizing to avoid double counting for certain construction which is included in other items of table 4 and to omit items that are not considered to be construction. The categories legislation. On the basis of "reported project costs" as concerned, and the proportion of the total here included, are as follow s: Public buildings, one-half; housing, one-half; public recreational facilities, one-third. compiled by the Public Works Administration it is estis Estimated amounts of work-relief construction included in the data for nonresidential building contracts awarded, as reported by the F . W. Dodge Corporation, mated that expenditures on PWA projects in 1939 which are used as the basis for the estimates of new nonresidential building in table construction included in the estimates for new public construction in (including Federal and non-Federal funds) were approx- 5.tableWork-relief 4 cannot be separated from the totals there shown and a distribution of this work by type is not available. imately 1,200 million dollars, as compared with 581 Preliminary, subject to revision. million dollars in 1938. In both years the major part of The contribution made by public residential conthe expenditures were on non-Federal projects. In view of the diminished volume of work remaining unfin- struction to the total increase in public construction 1 T 4 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 has already been discussed. However, the increases under the USHA and PWA programs were offset in part by a decrease of nearly 200 million dollars in the amount of work relief construction, as the volume of funds available for work relief was reduced. As table 6 shows, the reduction in work-relief construction was general, affecting practically all types of work, Construction Costs and Related Factors The increase in construction activity which occurred during 1939 was aided by a generally stable, or perhaps declining, level of costs. The index of the cost of construction of a small house prepared by the Federal Home Loan Bank Board, which appears in figure 11, records a slight drop in costs during the early part of 21 developments which occurred during the year, both of which may prove more important in future years than in 1939. The first of these was the establishment, by the Congress of Industrial Organizations, of the Construction Workers Organizing Committee to effect the organization of construction labor into industrial unions. Particular attention is being given to residential construction workers, who are now mainly unorganized. While progress of the CWOC was perhaps not extensive during the year, agreements were negotiated in several cities. The second development was the action taken by the American Federation of Labor to lessen the extent of jurisdictional disputes. Under the new ruling made by the president of the Building Trades Department, jurisdictional strikes are forbidden and machinery is set up for the prompt rendering of a temporary decij sion with regard to the division of work among the i various crafts and for following this with a well-conj sidered permanent decision, to be binding on all of the unions concerned. The lasting effects of this new machinery to reduce the number of jurisdictional disputes cannot yet be determined, though some improvement in the situation appears to have taken place during the year just ended. Public Utilities 1936 1937 Figure 11.—Indexes of Construction Cost for a Standard Six-Room Frame House, 1936-39 (Federal Home Land Bank Board). NOTE.—Data are as of the first of each month. the year, followed by an increase immediately after the outbreak of the European war in September. This increase in costs at the end of the year occurred almost entirely in the prices of materials, as wage rates remained substantially unchanged. The diversity of | movement which has characterized the components of | this index since early 1937 has thus continued. The decline in. costs from August 1937 to August 1939 was caused by a relatively rapid drop in material prices combined with an almost stable level of wages. Likewise, the ensuing rise has resulted from changes in the materials component only. To some extent the weakness of prices during the firstpart of 1939 may be attributable to various governmental pressures for lower costs, including the investigation by the Department of Justice of restrictive practices within the construction industry. While the | effect of this investigation on construction costs cannot be ascertained, there is evidence that in several cities substantial declines in the prices of certain materials and in the costs of certain kinds of work have followed very closely after the undertaking of the investigation in those communities. Labor costs and labor relations within the construction industry have been further affected by two other Electric Power Electric power production, which had recovered sharply during the second half of 1938, declined less than seasonally during the first 5 months of 1939 and exceeded corresponding 1938 levels. Beginning in July a marked upturn became evident, which by the end of the year brought the industry to an all-time high. Total energy generated in 1939 is estimated at 123 billion kilowatt-hours—a new high. For the first time in history energy sales to ultimate consumers exceeded 100 billion kilowatt-hours, reaching an estimated 107 billion for the year. The experience of the industry shows marked secular increases in output, although, in the short run, increasing business is linked with general economic activity. Residential sales have been increasing almost continuously since 1920, and in recent years have represented nearly one-fifth of all sales. Sales to farm customers have shown a steady rise since 1935, reaching over 3 billion kilowatt-hours in 1939, more than double sales in 1932, New rural lines constructed by private industry are estimated by the Electrical World at 20,000 miles, and the Rural Electrification Administration reports 100,000 miles of new line in 1939. The downward trend of revenue per kilowatt-hour was continued during 1939. This trend has been particularly uniform in residential and small commercial sales, as is apparent from the accompanying table. Revenue per kilowatt-hour from total sales declined from 2.31 cents in 1938 to 2.15 cents (see table 7). 22 SUKVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS New generating capacity added during 1939 fell off markedly from 1938 additions, disclosing a typical lag behind revenues. The Electrical World estimates prospective 1940 additions to capacity at over 2,000,000 kilowatts, a figure not attained since 1930. It is predicted on the basis of present plans that capital expenditures for new construction in 1940 will reach $600,000,000, as compared with $430,000,000 in 1939. It is doubtful whether the companies will finance expenditures of this volume so largely out of earnings as in recent years. Table 7.—Revenue per Kilowatt-Hour of Electrical Energy Sold, by Consumer Classes, 1929-39 i [Cents] Residential Year 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 . 1939 . . . . - ._ . 6.30 6.00 5 74 5.57 5.49 5.30 4.99 4.65 4.39 4.21 4.05 ComCommercial, mercial, small large Farm 2.54 2.61 2 70 2.98 2.85 2.65 2.86 2.77 2.84 3.00 2.83 4.24 4.13 4 17 4.14 4.07 3.99 3.82 3.60 3.44 3.33 3.22 Total February 1940 of only 12 percent. The railroads thus participated extensively in the business expansion of the fall. The experience of the railroads during 1939 again illustrates their dependence for improved operating results upon the expansion of production and national income. The movements of gross railway revenue, paralleling those of national income and production, are shown in figure 12. The importance of volume is apparent from the disproportionate variations in net operating income (after expenses but before fixed charges), also shown in figure 12. The fundamental reason for the dependence of the railroads upon volume is, of course, the high proportion of fixed costs, which do not vary with the volume of traffic. No progress was made during the year toward reducing these costs through consolidation and other 2.57 2.65 2.75 2.85 2.66 2.58 2.46 2.27 2.19 2.31 2.15 1.38 1.41 1.47 1.53 1.38 1.35 1.30 1.19 1.15 1.21 1.12 i Data for 1939 are slightly affected by classification changes. Source: Edison Electric Institute. An outstanding development in the program of the Tennessee Valley Authority was the acquisition of several large private utility properties at a price totaling approximately $110,000,000. Purchases during 1939 brought the total number of acquisitions to 22, in which the Authority bought transmission lines and generating stations, and municipalities and cooperatives bought the distribution systems. Table 8.—New Capacity Added, Capital Expenditures, and Security Issues by the Electric Power Industry, 1936-39 Year New capacity added (1,000 kw.) Capital expenditures Security issues New capital Total Figure 12.—Indexes of Financial Operations of Glass I Railways, National Income, and Industrial Production, 1936-39 (Railway Data, Except for Operating Revenues for December 1939, and Industrial Production, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; National Income Payments, and Estimate for Railway Operating Revenues for December 1939, U. S. Department of Commerce). NOTE.—All indexes are adjusted for seasonal variations; indexes for financial operations of railways also are adjusted to a uniform month basis, and indexes of industrial production also for the number of working days in the month. Data for net railway operating income for December 1939 were not available in time to include them in this chart. internal economies, steps which the Interstate Commerce Commission has repeatedly declared to be of 1936 721.1 289.7 59.7 1,331.9 major importance. 1937 . 1,118.8 455.5 82.0 645.7 1, 695. 9 1938 482.0 123.1 964.0 While the rapid rise of net operating income accom1 1, 284. 8 1939,. . 430.0 16.2 992.3 panying a gradual increase of gross revenues is explained i Estimated. by the high proportion of fixed costs, the still sharper Source: Capacity added and capital expenditures, from Electrical World; security issues, from Commercial & Financial Chronicle. rise of net income (see table 9) is traceable to the high proportion of net operating income that is taken by Railroads fixed charges (bond interest, rentals, etc.). These totaled Kailroad operations during 1939 improved markedly. $728,428,000 in 1929, and by 1938 had been reduced only Freight revenue, constituting four-fifths of total reve- slightly more than 10 percent. Operating revenue durnue, rose by 393 million dollars, while passenger reve- ing the same period fell 43 percent. Consequently, nue increased about 12 million dollars. Monthly car- fixed charges, which in 1929 had taken 58 percent of net loadings during the year were consistently higher than operating income, represented 175 percent of that item in the corresponding months of 1938. Despite a more in 1938; part of the excess was charged against nonthan seasonal decline in December, carloadings in the operating income, but such income was not sufficient to last quarter rose 16 percent above those in the final quar- cover all of the fixed charges. The corresponding proter of 1938, as compared with an increase for the year portion for 1939 is estimated at 110 to 115 percent. Millions of dollars SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 Railroad Capacity. With the expansion of business in the fall of 1939, the problem of railroad capacity has become increasingly important. The number of cars on line has decreased 28 percent since 1928, so that the 1939 upsurge reduced the surplus to a narrow margin. The minimum surplus during the year was 64,000 cars, compared with 107,000 in 1929, according to the Association of American Railroads. A similar situation prevails for locomotives; it is estimated that the 1939 peak carloadings reduced the reserve of freight-locomotive capacity to only 10 percent. Table 9.—Net Railway Operating Income, Fixed Charges, and Net Income, 1932 and 1936-39, for Class I Steam Railways (Excluding Switching and Terminal Companies) [Millions of dollars] Net operating income Year 1,262.6 326.4 667.1 590.2 373.2 588.2 1929 1932 1936 1937 1938 1939 Fixed charges l Net income 2 728.4 701.5 693.5 670.3 654.0 655.0 (3) * 150. 6 165. 5 98.7 * 121.6 90.0 1 Includes interest, rentals, and certain minor charges. 2 Calculated after inclusion of nonoperating income. 3 Comparable figure not available. < Deficit. Source: Interstate Commerce Commission; 1939 estimated from data for first 11 months. While equipment buying increased sharply in September as business improved, the total for the year was still 60 percent below the 1929 figure of $397,000,000. As table 10 shows, neither equipment nor maintenance expenses have been at levels comparable with those of 1929. MILLIONS OF DOLLARS MILLIONS OF CARS RA/LWAY OPEPAT/NG REVENUES^ creased the speed and efficiency of their freight service. New materials for the construction of freight cars, as well as mechanical improvements, have made this possible. However, the net effect of these advances has been to accentuate the obsolescence of existing equipment. This applies with equal force to locomotives, 68 percent of which are at least 20 years old. If business continues to improve, further increases in equipment purchases will ensue. Meantime, the high level of fixed-charges contributes to the deferment of both replacement and maintenance. Reorganization and Finance. little actual reduction in fixed charges was achieved during 1939. Under reorganization plans approved by the Interstate Commerce Commission or recommended by examiners, however, very substantial reductions of interest charges are in prospect. Under these plans, a reduction of three-fourths in the annual fixed charges of 21 roads is proposed. At the close of the year none of these plans was in operation, although one had been ordered placed in effect. Table 10.—Equipment Purchases, Expenses for Maintenance of Equipment, and Fixed Charges, 1929-39, Class I Steam Railways Equipment purchases Expenses for maintenance of equipment Millions Percent of 1929 of dollars Millions of dollars Percent of 1929 100.0 36.9 1, 202.9 1, 019. 3 817.0 618.9 598.7 637.9 681.9 782.8 826.7 676.5 764.0 100.0 84.7 67.9 51.5 49.8 53.0 56.7 65.1 68.7 56.2 63.5 Fixed charges i Year 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 397.1 146.5 28.9 2.6 5.9 7.3 .7 1.5 66.9 35.7 222.6 173.3 74.0 160.0 56.1 43.6 18.6 40.3 16.8 9.0 Millions Percent of of dollars 1929 728.4 716.7 708.6 701.5 703.7 694.4 686.7 693.5 670.3 654.0 655.0 100.0 98.4 97.3 96.3 96.6 95.3 94.3 95.2 92.0 89.8 89.9 X (LEFT SCALE) 1 Includes interest, rentals, and certain minor charges. Source: Expenses for maintenance of equipment and fixed charges, Interstate Commerce Commission; equipment purchases, Railway Age. A A /\ / W \ j \ ^ C4PLOA£/NGS. NET INCOME OR DEF/C/T (LEFT SCALE) M M ! 1936 I 1937 1938 1939 Figure 13.—Financial Operations and Carloadings of Class I Railways^ 1936-39 (Financial Operations, Except for December 1939, Interstate Commerce Commission; Carloadings, and Estimates for Financial Operations for December 1939, Association of American Railroads). NOTE.—Data for financial operations exclude switching and terminal companies, while data for carloadings include cars loaded in switch service movement and given to class I roads for the road haul. Data for "Net Income or Deficit" for December 1939 were not available in time to include them in this chart. The recent approach to full utilization of capacity is made more significant by the accumulated obsolescence of railroad equipment. Recent technical developments have accentuated this factor. With the heightened competition for traffic, the railways have in Meantime, accompanying capital expenditures estimated at $375,000,000, the railroads refinanced $101,000,000 of bonds and notes and raised $85,000,000 in new capital. The corresponding 1938 figures were $56,000,000 and $16,000,000, respectively. Reconstruction Finance Corporation loans to the railroads increased during 1939 by $12,700,000 to $448,800,000. This is the highest year-end total on record. One class I railroad went into bankruptcy during the year. The number of roads in charge of receivers or trustees at the end of the year decreased from 109 to 108, and the total mileage operated by receivers oi trustees decreased slightly—from 76,938 to 76,801. Competition and Rates. In its 1939 annual report the Interstate Commerce Commission commented at length on the railroads' intensified policy of meeting the competition provided by other types of carriers, particularly motor carriers. A related development during the year was a Com- 24 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS mission decision authorizing lower rates on multiplecarload shipments than on single carloads. The Commission had previously recognized only carload and lessthan-carload rates; this ruling is, therefore, a significant new departure. The increase in the basic passenger fare from 2 cents to 2% cents a mile, which, was authorized in July 1938, continued unaltered through 1939 and was extended in January 1940 for 60 days beyond its original expiration date in that month. Underlying the plea for maintenance of the higher basic fare, however, was experimentation with the sliding scale of round-trip coach fares authorized in June 1938, under which an initial round-trip rate of 2% cents a mile is progressively lowered to 1.7 cents a mile for trips longer than 900 miles. The Commission granted an increase of express rates in a companion proceeding to that in which a general increase of freight rates was authorized in 1938. The increases were adjusted to enable the Railway Express Agency to compete more effectively for a "fair share of the small-package business/' Motor and Air Transportation Motor-truck operations expanded during 1939, continuing the up-turn which began late in the first quarter of 1938. The rate of recovery of truck loadings appears TH0U5SANDS OF POUNDS 1,000 M 1 LLI ONS OP N/1 I LE5 .. . _L J _ 800 •—"— ; H t M 1 4 A ess C"orr/ed—eft Sec 600 400 — 200 —— 0 1 O0 ! i .„ .rr^—r"" 1929 11930 ip A ^Passenger 80 60 40 20 M//es F/own 0 1931 1932 1933 1 1934 1 1935 1936 1937 1 !938 I9S9 Figure 14.—Passenger Miles Flown and Express Carried by Scheduled Airlines in the Continental United States, 1929-39 (Civil Aeronautics Authority). February 1940 Air transportation showed marked increases in 1939. Express carried was 30 percent above the 1938 total, and express-revenue miles flown were up 19 percent. The number of passengers carried increased 40 percent, while passenger-miles flown were about one-third above the 1938 mileage. (Sec fig. 14,) Shipping The most notable development in shipping during 1939 was the outbreak of war in Europe and the passage of the Neutrality Act which it occasioned. In the first quarter of 1939 tramp shipping rates sagged below 1938 charges; later increases restored rates to approximately their previous positions. With the outbreak of war a general rise occurred in tramp and liner rates to all ports except those in Central America and the West Indies. Southbound rates on the Atlantic to South American ports rose about 10 percent, while on the Pacific the rise was somewhat greater. For northbound traffic there was a rise of one-third on the Atlantic and about 50 percent on the Pacific. In the period September 7-9, rates to the United Kingdom and the Continent—determined by the freight conferences for these areas—rose one-third. In the Scandinavian and Baltic service, rates were doubled, individual shipowners setting rates at their own discretion. Subsequent advances in the rates to these European areas became subject very largely to government control, both as regards belligerent and neutral countries. Kates on traffic to the Far East increased about a fifth. According to the United States Maritime Commission, 82 vessels with an aggregate tonnage of 518,000 were transferred from the combat zone created on November 4, 1939, by the Neutrality Act. Many of these have been shifted to other routes where expanding business has warranted, while some of the others are in process of transfer or sale. The effect of this legislation on United States shipping cannot as yet be accurately determined, but indications are that it is less serious than had been anticipated! NOTE.—Data for December 1939 were not available in time to include them in this chart. to have exceeded that of railroad car loadings. Interstate Commerce Commission reports on motor carriers for the first 6 months of 1939 indicate an increase of the operating revenues of class I intercity freight motor carriers amounting to 30 percent of the revenues in the first half of 1938. Tons of revenue freight transported by these 640 carriers increased slightly more than 20 percent during the period, and net income increased markedly. The 75 class I local carriers reported very slight gains. Statistics for both local and intercity bus operations collected by Bus Transportation, covering regular route operating companies earning over $100,000 annually, indicate substantial increases over 1938. Communications Year-end estimates of the number of telephones in service in the United States indicate an all-time peak of about 20,800,000 stations, an increase over 1938 of about 846,500 stations. Operating revenues of 90 major carriers for the first 11 months of 1939 amounted to $1,116,100,000, compared with the 1938 figure of $1,060,500,000. Net operating revenues of $370,591,000 for 11 months represented an increase of nearly 12 percent over the $332,150,000 for the corresponding period in 1938. For the telegraph industry, the improvement in general economic conditions during 1939 brought a marked reduction in the net deficit which has been characteristic SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 of the industry in recent years. Operating revenues of the three telegraph carriers reporting to the Federal Communications Commission amounted to $106,015,000 during the first 11 months of 1939, representing an increase of 4 percent over the corresponding period of 1938. Whereas in 1938 both major carriers operated at a net deficit, in 1939 Western Union showed a net income of $828,768 for the first 11 months of the year. The industry totals shown below reflected this in a deficit of $2,944,000, as compared with a net deficit of $5,777,000 for the first 11 months of 1938. Year 1936 1937 1938 1938 a 1939 2 Operating revenues Thous. of dols. 122,116 123,893 112,858 102,305 106,015 Operating income 25 of workers has remained about 800,000 below the 1937 high, and more than 2 million under the 1929 peak. Agricultural employment* has continued to evidence a slight downward tendency, but for the year the offset against the increased nonagricultural employment was of no great significance. MILLIONS OF PERSONS Net income Thous. of Thous. of dols. dols. 5,840 14,921 i 167 8,509 1 5, 672 2,915 i 5,777 2,146 i 2,944 4,980 » Deficit. 11 months. 2 Source: Federal Communications Commission. Figure 15.—Number of Persons Employed and Unemployed in the United States, 1929-39. The industry has been in critical condition because NOTE.—Figures for unemployment are estimates made for the Committee on of the costs of maintaining duplicate and excess facili- Economic Security by Robert R. Nathan and kept up to date by him. ties and the competition of other forms of communication. The Postal Telegraph & Cable Corporation, Wide Gains in Manufacturing. which had been in bankruptcy proceedings since 1935, The rise during 1939 was particularly prominent in completed a plan of reorganization during the year, manufacturing and mining industries. After May which was confirmed by the Federal District Court in there was an almost continuous increase, with the rate January 1940. of gain markedly accelerated in the early fall months. In response to a Senate resolution adopted during From May through October the number of employees the first session, the Federal Communications Commis- in these industries rose more than 200,000 per month, sion in December submitted a report on the telegraph a somewhat more than seasonal increase. Employindustry. The Commission emphasized the effects of ment leveled off subsequent to October, reflecting competition and of excess facilities and recommended seasonal influences and the less rapid increase in prothat the law be amended to enable Western Union and duction. Postal to merge their land lines. It was strongly In the aggregate the mining and manufacturing inurged, however, that merger be limited to the tele- dustries expanded employment by more than 850,000 graph industry and that telephone and radio remain workers in 1939; the additions by these industries accompetitive with the telegraph. This and other prob- counted for aoout two-thirds the rise in the nonagricullems of the telegraph industry are being investigated tural total. At the end of the year the number emby a subcommittee of the Senate Interstate Commerce ployed in mining and manufacturing v\ras only about Committee, and public hearings are expected to be held 750,000 below the 1929 and 1937 peaks. Other groups early in tho spring. j contributing substantially to the larger volume of em! ployment over the year were transportation and public trade and finance, and government. For Employment and Unemployment Ij utilities, these, however, the aggregate gain was less than ! With the increase in business activity during the 400,000. In factories the largest part of the rise in employment year opportunities for employment rose appreciably, in 1939 occurred in the durable-goods industries. and by December the number at work in nonagriculLittle change occurred in the first few months of the tural pursuits * approached 35 million, an increase of 1 more than 1 million for the year. As is shown in figure Data relating to nonagricultural employment are compiled by the IT. S. Departof Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, to cover all persons engaged in gainful 15, the gains amounted to about 2.5 million over the ment work outside of agriculture (including self-employed and casual workers) except 1938 low recorded in July, and nearly 9 million over those employed on Government emergency work programs. These data are undera revision which may materially affect the figures for recent years. Farm emthe minimum 1933 figure. Compared with maximum going ployment data are compiled by the U. S. Department of Agriculture, Bureau of employment in the decade just completed, the number Agricultural Economics. 26 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS year, but from May to December the seasonally adjusted index for this group increased more than onefifth, while for the non-durable-goods index the rise was only 5 percent. The accelerated rate of factory output subsequent to August resulted in a marked improvement in the rate of gain for employment in durable-goods industries, but for non-durable-goods lines the expansion rate was not much greater than that of the summer months. The rise in durable-goods industries has eliminated a large part of the disparity between the two group totals when comparison is made with earlier years. Thus, in December, the seasonally adjusted durable-goods employment index stood at 94.1 (1929 = 100) and the index for non-durablegoods industries was 102.7. In mid-1938 the difference amounted to 27 points. Employment in the mining industries, while influenced somewhat by increased demand for products of the mines, did not show any marked changes from 1938, when averages of the midmonth indexes for the 2 years are compared. The number at work in the fuel-producing industries was somewhat lower than in 1938, on the average, while metalliferous mining and quarrying and nonmetallic mining showed moderate improvement. Workers employed by retail and wholesale trade establishments averaged about the same as in 1938, although the indexes subsequent to April 1939 were above those of the corresponding months of 1938. Factory Average Hours Markedly Higher. The rising demand for manufactured products in 1939 was reflected in an extension in factory working hours as well as in an increase in the number employed. As for employment, the largest gains in hours worked were concentrated in the durable-goods industries. Several lines showed increases of 4 to 5 hours per week during the year, but in most instances the gains were moderate. In a few cases declines occurred. For all manufacturing industries the average was lifted from 36.6 hours per week in January to 38.0 in August, and thence to 39.1 in November, in comparison with a 1938 low of 33.3 hours per week and a 1937 high of 41.0 hours per week. Time lost as a result of industrial disputes in 1939 was nearly double that lost in the preceding year, but the total for the period remained well below that of other recent years of comparable business volumes. Man-days idle for the year totaled about 18,000,000 as compared with 9,148,000 in 1938 and 28,425,000 in 1937. More than one-half of last year's loss of time was concentrated in the automobile and bituminous coal industries. Number Without Work Remains Large. Unemployment continues to be a serious problem despite the marked expansion in general business activity in 1939. Although subject to a considerable February 1940 margin of error, estimates of the number of unemployed, including more than 2,000,000 on WPA and CCC rolls, indicate approximately 9 to 10 million idle workers at the close of 1939, as is shown in figure 15. This large volume of unemployed labor power exists despite the record flow of goods and services which was attained in the latter part of the year. Both industrial production and real income on a per capita basis, however, are still considerably below 1929, since there has been an increase of nearly 10 million in the population during the past decade. In order to attain full employment, with prevailing hours of work per week, production will have to exceed the 1929 per capita level. Even with a return to 1929 per capita output, the available information indicates that there would still be something in the neighborhood of 5 million workers without employment. These unused labor resources would be accounted for by the normal minimum volume of unemployment, technological changes which have displaced labor, and the change in the age distribution of the population which has increased the proportion of these in the working-age group. There is always some unemployment because of seasonal patterns of production, time lapses between jobs, and other irregularities. During the 1920's, this minimum varied around 2 million persons per annum. With the present number of employable individuals, minimum unemployment would probably be somewhat larger. Technological developments during the past decade have resulted in a substantial increase in the productivity per employee and, more particularly, per manhour. Much of the increase in productivity per manhour has been offset by a substantial reduction in the average number of hours worked per week. Even with the substantially curtailed schedule of hours, however, fewer workers are required now than in 1929 for the same output of goods and services. As was pointed out earlier, the number of persons actively engaged in private nonagricultural industries and in the regular government service at the close of 1939 was within 2 million of the 1929 employment figure. At the same time, the real national income in December 1939 was equal to or above the peak of 1929, and certainly above the average for that year. This gives some indication of the higher productivity per employed worker now than prevailed 10 years ago, although significant changes in the relative importance of various industries tend to qualify such a conclusion. Estimates of the new entries in the labor market in excess of those dying, retiring, or otherwise leaving the labor market vary from 500,000 to 600,000 per annum for the past decade. Thus, the number of employables has increased 12 to 15 percent since 1929, while the population is about 8 percent larger. These new workers could, if fully employed, permit a higher per capita standard of living than prevailed in 1929, SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 even if average hours of work per week were reduced to completely offset the rising productivity per manhour. In other words, with full employment at the present time and the same productivity per worker as prevailed in 1929, the per capita real income of the total population would be well above that of 1929. 27 industrial commodities alone considered, there was some strengthening in the latter half of 1938; but the rise in such prices did not keep pace with the expansion in industrial activity. The large volume of industrial commodity stocks on hand in 1938 is probably the principal reason that a substantial increase in industrial activity could occur without causing a parallel rise in Commodity Price Movements the general level of commodity prices. The rise in industrial activity was checked by the end of 1938, In contrast with most business indicators, whose up- apparently before commodity stocks had been sufficiward trends were merely accelerated in September of ently absorbed to bring about a significant rise in their last year, the outbreak of war in Europe had the effect of prices. Declining activity in the early months of 1939 reversing the general movement of prices. The level of lessened the demand for raw materials and thus concommodity prices at wholesale declined gradually from tributed to a further slight weakening of prices. January through August, continuing a trend which The sagging tendency of wholesale prices in the first began in the spring of 1937. As a result of the buying 8 months of 1939 was manifested in all groups included wave touched off by the war, the general level of whole- in the Bureau of Labor Statistics wholesale price classification with the exception of building materials, some INDEX NUMBERS, I929-I0O of the textiles, petroleum products, and automobile 1 10 tires and tubes. Aside from a marked rise in silk, prices 100 for the latter groups remained substantially unchanged. The only substantial declines recorded in this 90 dustn ol Procfaction n / i period were those in farm and food prices. Chief i \ ' I |_L,7 80 i ** / factors accounting for the downswing in these and other ^{ i \\ \ / A P groups were bumper world grain crops in 1937-38 in 70 I the face of reduced world demand, leading to increased 60 I carry-overs; large increases in livestock, encouraged by \ 50 low feed prices during an extended period; continued V~—-Moody's Spot large stocks of most other primary commodities; and \ A 1 Commodity Price /ndex 40 V\ 1 the decline in industrial activity in the first 5 months of 30 1939, with its consequent reduction of income in the In,,, , I o1 1929 hands of important consuming groups. Because stocks 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 o.o. to • of many commodities 'were smaller by the summer of Figure 16.—Indexes of Industrial Production and Commodity Prices, 1939 (just prior to a sharp rise in industrial activity) 1929-39. than they had been a year previously, it is possible that NOTE.—These indexes have been recomputed, with 1929 as base, from the following: there would have been some rise in prices during the Federal Reserve index of industrial production, adjusted for seasonal variations; and the spot price index, covering 15 important commodities, published by Moody's fall months even without the buying wave engendered Investors Service. by the beginning of war. sale prices rose early in September to approximately Prices Rise With Outbreak of War. its position in the closing months of 1938. By the end The change in expectations that came with the of December 1939 the Bureau of Labor Statistics com- reality of war in Europe has already been traced. bined index was still almost 10 points below the April Heavy buying ensued as the result of a general failure 1937 peak of 88.0 (1926 = 100). To some extent, how- to observe that on the basis of 1914 experience there ever, the gaps that had opened during the period from was no danger of immediate price inflation, as well as April 1937 to September 1939 between such contrasted a failure to note that the positions of the United States groups as farm and nonfarm prices, or raw-material and and of the belligerents differed considerably in 1939 finished-goods prices, were narrowed after the Sep- from the positions in 1914 in several important respects. tember upturn. The immediate result was a rapid rise in many prices, After the middle of 1938 and throughout the first some of which were bid up 30 to 40 percent and more in two-thirds of 1939, prices generally failed to respond a short period. The extent of the impact of September to the increase in industrial production. Figure 16 events upon sensitive prices, both of foodstuffs and shows the divergence between the movements of prices industrial materials, is most clearly revealed in the beand production that developed after the middle of that havior of Moody's index of the spot prices of 15 comyear—a divergence which is all the more interesting in modities. During the year preceding September 1, the light of the correlation evidenced between these 1939, the mean deviation of this index had amounted series during the previous years of the decade. It is to only 1.47 points, or 1 percent of the mean (a high true that if foodstuffs are excluded and prices of raw degree of stability), and the fluctuations from Novem- 1 V\ V 1.... ! V I.M. i\ v 1 J MM,It.,,, 14. 28 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS ber 1937 to September 1938 had not been very much more marked. From 140.3 (December 31, 1931 = 100) on August 31, 1939, however, the index advanced to 172.8 on September 22, a rise of 23 percent in 3 weeks. A slow recession to 158.5 by November 29 then occurred; but a new upswing that was in evidence throughout December (mainly in grains, cotton, and silk) carried the index to 170.7 on the 26th, practically as high as the peak reached in September. Fluctuations somewhat similar to those in the combined index naturally characterize the movements of individual sensitive prices. Table 11 shows for selected items the rapid September rise, the declines in the following 2 months to the end of November, and the renewed trend upward in December. The increase in the general level of prices subsequent to August was less spectacular, as shown by the comparatively moderate rise in the Bureau of Labor Statistics combined index from a low for the year of 75.0 (1926 = 100) in August to a high of 79.4 in October. The smaller advance in the general index is a reflection of the fact that finished-goods prices rose less than those of most raw commodities. Table 11.—Prices of Selected Foodstuffs and Industrial Materials Item Aug. 31 Sept. N o v . 22 29 PerPercentage centage change, Dec. change, Aug. Sept, 26 2231Nov. 29 Dec. 26 February 1940 magnitude of the rise that occurred in finished industrial-goods prices can be seen in figure 20. Retail food prices rose from 75.1 (1923-25 = 100) in August to 79.0 in September. Fairchild/s index of prices of department-store articles increased 2.7 percent in 3 months, a large change for this indicator. This movement appeared to lose some of its strength after the initial impact had once been felt; the weakness in many wholesale prices, resulting in part from a slackening in forward buying and in part from a temporary loosening of quota restrictions on such items as sugar, rubber, and tin, had its effect. There is some reason for believing that the business community had become aware, by the end of the year, of the limitations implicit in the advance in activity and of the dangers inherent in any substantial upward trend of prices to ultimate consumers. Changes in Price Relationships The September reversal of the trend of prices may prove temporary; that will depend on the course of domestic business in 1940, as wrell as on the character of the war in Europe. It seems quite unlikely, however, that the pre-September structure of prices will be precisely restored. It is therefore of interest to examine the shifts that have recently occurred in the relationships among various groups of prices. INDEX NUMBERS, 1926 = 100 100 FOODSTUFFS Wheat, No. 2, hard, Kansas City, ordinary protein cents per bu-. Corn, No. 3. yellow, Chicago do . Rye. No. 2, c.i.f, New York do... Sugar, 96° delivered, duty-free cents per lb Coffee, Santos, No. 4, New York_.do Cocoa. Accra, New York do Hogs, Chicago * dol. per cwt_ Lard, cash, Chicago cents per lb,. Beef, Chicago 1 dol. percwt.. 53 72H +L4 104 58 99->£ +55. 2 +27.8 +71.0 3.65 7% 7M -1.47 6.25 5. 62 7.46 5.75 8.10 8.92 10.17 2.95 7H 5.50 5.28 5.80 9.61 -19.2 -8.1 -12.0 -29. 2; -28. 4| -5.5 2. 95 7M 6.00 5.32 6.32 9.65 +1.0 0 +3. 42 -5.3 +9.9 +8.2 8.55 2.65 0.86 9.59 3.43 1.16 +9.6 10.68 +8.2 4.60 -10.8 1.16 +24.9 +73.6 +34.9 67 45% 86 58% 58H , 7 1 % 2.92 2 2 INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS Cotton, 10-market average.cents per lb Silk, New York dol. per lb Wool tops. New York 3 do Hides, heavy native steers, Chicago cents per lb Rubber, plantation, New York.__do Copper, electrolytic, New York..do Lead, New York do , . Tin, Straits, New York do Zinc, New York do 4 Steel, scrap dol. per gross ton _ 8.75 3.17 1.30 14 -15.2 20% -9.4 12H +4.2 5. 501 0 5.05 53-K -21.0 49 Vi 6.89| 15.62] 19.25J 18.5F-|j —3.5! 11 16H 10 U 12 5.50 ±11 15 20% 12H! 5. 50l 49% 6.391 17.67; +36.4 +22.2 + 19.0 +8.9 +.5 +24.3 ++ 131 3.1 i Figure 17.—Indexes of Wholesale Prices of Farm Products and All Commodities Other Than Farm Products and Foods, 1935-39 (U. S. Department of Labor). The decline in prices after the middle of 1937 affected the components of general indexes in varying degree. Numerous divergencies appeared, the most significant of which (revealed in table 12) were those between farm-product and food prices, on the one hand, and all Inasmuch as the recovery movement prior to the out- other commodities on the other, and between raw break of war was essentially a consumption recovery materials and finished goods. In both cases, divergent and as the subsequent expansion was based so largely tendencies were apparent in 1938, and these became on forward buying, the communication of the price rise even more marked by the summer of 1939. The to finished goods appeared as a decided threat to con- decline in 1938, which carried farm-product prices onetinued recovery. With capital investment at a com- third below7 their 1926 level, had been partially offset paratively low level, the general upturn might well Lave by a slight upward movement in the latter part of the been checkmated by a sharp increase in finished-goods year; but in August 1939 they were even low7er than at prices; and for a while the rise was quite rapid. The any time during the previous year. Figure 17 shows the 1 U. S. Department of Agriculture. Data represent averages of daily prices for week ended on nearest Saturday except when otherwise noted. 3 Average price for week ended Aug. 26. 34 U. S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Iron Age. Based on No. 1 heavy melting steel, quotations at Pittsburgh,Philadelphia, and Chicago. Figure represents average for week ended on nearest Tuesday, Source: Journal of Commerce unless otherwise indicated, 29 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS .February 1940 gap that had opened between farm-product prices and prices of commodities other than farm products and foods between 1937 and 1939, until the general upward surge of sensitive prices that occurred in September. The net effect of the recent upturn on farm-product prices in relation to other prices is suggested by figure 17 and indicated more specifically in table 12. Here it may be seen that, while the "all other" commodity index averaged only 2 percent higher in September of 1939 than it had in the first 6 months of the year, grain prices were 15 percent and food prices 8 percent higher. The same point can be made by citing the rise in the ratio of prices received by farmers to prices paid by them from an average of about 75 (1910-14 = 100) during the first 8 months to 80 during the final 4 months of the year. Such shifts meant a rise in farm income; for it is a commonplace that farm income tends to vary directly with the level of farm prices. Table 12.—Wholesale and Other Price Indexes for Selected Periods Annual averages Percent- First 6 months— age Item 1932 1937 I 193SJ 1937 i I 1939 ' Percent change September 1939 change Last 4 (first 6 months, months, 1939J 1939-Sept. 1939) December 1939 WHOLESALE PRICE INDEXES (U. S. Dept. of Labor, 1926=100) Combined index, all commodities2 Economic classes: Raw materials . _. .. Semimanufactured articlesFinished products . Farm products Grains ._ Livestock and poultry Foods _ Dairy products.. Meats All commodities other than farm products and foods Building materials Chemicals and drugs Fuel and lighting materials.-.. .... - .. Hides and leather products .. _ Hides and skins _. . ... . Textile products Cotton goods Silk and rayon ... Woolens and worsteds... . Metals and metal products Iron and steel . Nonferrous metals , Hqusefurnishing goods,.. Miscellaneous 64.8 86.3 77. 1 87,1 76,4 -12.3 79.1 +3.5 79.2 79.2 55.1 59.3 70.3 48.2 39.4 48.2 61.0 61,3 58.2 70.2 71.4 73.5 70.3 72.9 42.1 54.9 54.0 31.0 57.7 80.2 79.4 49.8 75.1 64.4 84.8 85.3 87.2 86.4 98.3 95.5 85.5 83.1 99.1 85.3 95.2 83.9 77.6 104.6 113.5 76.3 84.3 32.5 91.1 95.7 98.2 89.6 89.7 77.8 70.2 77.0 80.4 65.3 58.6 72.2 70.4 69.5 77.2 81.3 90.5 76.5 73.1 95.6 84.6 69.7 67.2 40.9 79.8 94.4 95.8 78.0 86.3 74.8 88.1 87.4 86.6 91.2 112.8 93.8 86.0 81.9 93.6 85.3 95.2 86.3 76.9 104.7 117.2 78.3 92.4 33.4 92.9 94.5 96.7 92.7 88.4 79.0 69.5 74.5 80.0 65.0 56.4 75. 6 69.6 64.2 80.4 80.4 89.6 76.2 73.2 91.9 73.5 66.7 63.8 36.8 75.1 94.0 95.9 75.1 85.4 73.9 -21.1 -14.8 -7.6 -28.7 -50.0 -19.4 -19.1 -21. 6 -14.1 -5.7 -5.9 -11.7 -4.8 -12.2 -37.3 -14.8 -31.0 +10.2 -19.2 72.6 81.8 81.9 68.7 65.1 76.3 75.1 74.5 81.0 82.1 90.9 77.3 72.8 98.5 97.4 71.7 70.4 43.4 84.0 94.8 95.5 84.7 86.6 76.6 +4.5 +9.8 +2.4 +5.7 +15.4 72.7 82.3 82.0 67.7 65.6 69.2 73.2 78.7 74.1 83.5 92.4 77.9 73.4 102.7 104.8 75.4 73.7 48.1 89.0 95.7 95.9 84.9 87.8 77.2 73.3 82.0 81.7 67.6 71.6 63.8 71.9 81.3 69.1 83.9 93.0 78.1 72.8 103.7 105.2 78.0 75.2 55.0 90.3 96.0 96.1 84.6 88.5 77.4 77.9 88.5 85.2 18.0 85. 0 -3.4 I 85.9 + 1.1 ! 85.7 85.3 65 68.3 121 85.1 95.1 92.0 77.0 128 85.5 91 76.7 -28.9 ! -10.3 98 79.0 97 96 76.9 89.9 94.7 -5. 9 90.2 +7.7! +3.0 : i -.5 -.8 -19.0 -3.4 -6.5 +.9 +7.9 +16.0 +.7 +2.1 +1.5 +1.4 -.5 +7.2 +32. 5 +7.5 +10.3 +17.9 +11.9 +.9 +12! 8 +1.4 +3.7 OTHER INDEXES Cost of living (National Industrial Conference Board, 1923=100)__ Prices received by farmers (U. S. Dept. of Agriculture, August 1909-July 1914=100) ... Retail foods (U. S. Dept. of Labor, 1923-25=100) Retail prices of department-store articles (Fairchild Index, Dec. 31, 1930=100) 75.8 89.1 ! +1.21 78.1 91.3 ! » Simple averages of monthly indexes. 1 Based on 813 price series in 1939, and on 784 in the earlier years shown. Foodstuff prices, as a group, were about as strongly influenced by September developments as were the prices of industrial materials. Although the former started to decline before the end of that month, changes in the two groups were quite similar, as evidenced by figure 18. More significance attaches to a distinction between imported and domestic commodities; the greater price rise of imported items is indicated in figure 19. As has already been in part suggested, this disparity may be explained in terms of domestic buyers' expectations of higher shipping costs, dislocations in shipping service, and further limitations by foreign governments on exports of certain basic materials. Drastic shifts in prices of industrial raw materials resulted in new relative standings of important price groups. Figure 20 shows the extent of recent divergence between the prices of raw and semifinished indus trial materials and those of finished goods. On the basis of the relative levels of these two groups of prices in 1934 the year 1937 had seen a greater increase in the level of raw-material prices than in those of finished goods; but this divergence disappeared by the end of the year, and in the first half of 1938 the index of rawmaterial prices fell below that for finished goods. From August 1938 to September 1939 the two indexes remained together at a practically unchanging level, but raw-material prices again rose more sharply in the latter part of 1939. At the same time, the upturn in the finished-goods index indicates the tendency for rising prices to become generalized. A final divergence in price movements is to be found in a comparison of wholesale and retail prices. As is usually the case, retail prices failed to show the flexibility that characterized wholesale-price move- 30 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS ments in the 1937-39 period. Table 12 indicates that the National Industrial Conference Board composite index of the cost of living, which reflects the retailprice situation to some extent, averaged only 3 percent less in the first 6 months of 1939 than in the same part of 1937, whereas the Bureau of Labor Statistics combined index of wholesale commodity prices fell 12 percent. On the other hand, the September 1939 rise over INDEX NUMBERS, AUG. 1939=100 1401 130 I ZO FOODSTUFFS- no -RAW INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES 100 90 1939 NOV. DEC. O.D. Figure 18.—Indexes of Spot Market Daily Prices of Foodstuffs and Raw Industrial Commodities, August 31-December 29, 1939 (U. S. Department of Labor). NOTE.—The index of foodstuff prices is based on 12 items: Wheat, barley, corn, butter, tallow, hogs, steers, lard, sugar, coffee, cocoa beans, and cottonseed oil. The index of industrial raw commodity prices is based on 16 quotations (15 items1*: Flaxseed, shellac, rubber, hides, rosin, print cloth, silk, wool, burlap, steel scrap (Chicago and Philadelphia), tin, copper, lead, zinc, and cotton. the average for the first 6 months of the year amounted to 3.5 percent for wholesale prices and only 1 percent for the cost of living. Between the 1937 and 1939 periods the Fairchild index of department-store prices declined 6 percent, and then rose only 1 percent last September. In the wholesale-price classification, textiles, leather and its products, and housefurnishings are most comparable with the Fairchild indicator; and these groups showed declines from the 1937 period to the 1939 period of 15 percent, 12 percent, and 3 percent, respectively. Their September advances amounted to 7.5 percent, 7 percent, and 1 percent. Thus, with the exception of housefurnishings, the changes in wholesale prices were significantly larger in this comparison. The tendency toward inflexibility in both downward and upward movements of retail prices may be seen in the case of foodstuffs alone, where the average of prices during the first half of 1939 compared with the corresponding period of 1937, and the September 1939 average compared with that of the first half of the year, reveal movements in retail food prices about half as great as those for foods at wholesale. February 1940 at that time. In the last quarter, reductions from listed prices were withdrawn on most items. With operations at better than 90 percent of capacity and with many mills in no position to make delivery of sheets, strips, bars, wire, and tin plate for several months, sellers were in a position to insist on listed prices. Increases in export prices to the level of domestic prices also indicated the extent of a seller's market in steel. In addition, domestic prices on certain items were actually raised by some mills, notably on plates and bars. With the sudden increase in steel production in September, pig-iron prices were advanced $2 a ton, while Iron Age's composite scrap price rose $2.50 a ton in a single week and approximately 45 percent within a month. Shortages of scrap steel were not in all cases actual physical shortages, but resulted in part from holding by manufacturers and dealers in a rising market. Higher prices for scrap brought some increase in the percentage of pig iron used, with a corresponding reduction in the proportion of scrap. INDEX NUMBERS, AUG. 1939=100 14 40 i A 130 j 20 10 ^ r fI x ^^ -. J IM W/?/" COMMODITY ^VNv—, ^^>—^ i ^DOMESTIC C:OMMODITIES 00 90 1939 DEC. £> O. 4O- 29 Figure 19.—Indexes of Spot Market Daily Prices of Import and Domestic Commodities, August 31-December 29, 1939 (U. S. Department of Labor). NOTE.—The index of import commodity prices is based on 11 items: Flaxseed, sugar, coffee, cocoa beans, shellac, rubber, hides, silk, wool, burlap, and tin. The index of domestic commodity prices is based on 17 quotations (16 items): wheat, barley, corn, butter, tallow, hogs, steers, lard, rosin, cottonseed oil, print cloth, steel scrap (Chicago and Philadelphia), copper, lead, zinc, and cotton. As a calmer appraisal of the prospects came to prevail and dealers released amounts they had held during the rapid market rise, scrap prices receded quickly to about $18 per gross ton at the year end—well above the low for the year of about $14 in May. Tin.—In the nonferrous-metals group the largest advance was recorded by the spot price of tin, which at about 49 cents a pound from June to August was higher than any monthly average in 1938, and which rose to nominal levels of over 70 cents a pound in September. Some Developments Among Individual Prices Supplies in the market had been somewhat depleted Iron and Steel.—Quoted prices for finished steel for after a 10-percent rise in deliveries in both July and the most part showed customary stability in 1939, August, and September demands could not be fully met although some price weakness in May stimulated buying even at greatly advanced prices. Large shipments fol- February 1940 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS lowed the raising of quotas by the Tin Committee, however, and the price dropped to 51 cents by the end of the year. A shortage of supply at the prevailing price appears quite unlikely. Rubber.—Spot-rubber prices fluctuated around 16 cents a pound early in 1939, but from May through August they showed a slight but persistent rising tendency, reaching almost 17 cents at the end of August. Heavy demand early in September shot prices to 25 cents (largely nominal), a peak from which they dropped fairly quickly. By the end of the month they were at 21 cents. For the remainder of the year they fluctuated around 20% cents, except for the sharp decline to about 19 cents at the end of December. The pre-September rising tendency reflected declining stocks in the United States. August 1939 stocks were 27 percent less than those of January; average stocks for this 8-month period were about equal to the average for 1937, which was 29 percent less than average quantities on hand in 1938. September end-of-the-month stocks were the lowest since March 1930. Production of tire casings and inner tubes increased rapidly during the last half of 1938; and output during some months of 1939 was double the monthly average for the first half of the previous year. Gradual reduction of stocks accounts for the strengthening of rubber prices before September and for the extent of the advance in September. Subsequent declines were made possible by the raising of export quotas in producing countries. Silk.—Among textile prices, that of raw silk had the most spectacular rise in 1939. Although the larger part of the rise for the year came after September 1, a strong upward movement was in progress from January through May. For the year as a whole, the high of daily prices soared from $1.90 per pound in early January to $4.65 near the end of December, a peak not hitherto reached since the early months of 1930. Visible stocks, both in total and in United States warehouses, declined rapidly during the first 6 months of the year. The market shortage of silk has been explained in terms of rising costs of production and increased home consumption in Japan, but the fact that the 1939 cocoon crop was substantially higher than that of 1938 suggests that other factors, notably speculative holding in Japan, have played a part. The advance of raw-silk prices has been held by the trade to necessitate increased prices for full-fashioned hosiery from levels that permitted record sales in 1939 and may cause some shift to rayon and to silk and cotton combinations. Wool.—Wool consumption was quite high in 1939, approximately 400 million pounds, or about 40 percent in excess of 1938 consumption. Wool prices changed little until September, and then a series of quick advances carried them 50 percent above those prevailing earlier in the year. Acquisition by the British Govern 31 ment of the wx)ol clips of Australia and New Zealand caused some uncertainty as to the amounts that would be made available to the United States in the near future; recent reports indicate that tentative plans for the release of 13,500,000 pounds (scoured basis) have been made. Cotton.—The 10-market price of raw cotton rose from around 8% cents a pound in the early months of the year to about 11 cents in the middle of December, the average for the year being about a cent higher than that for 1938. Huge stocks of cotton owned or held in loan by the Federal Government might have been expected to prevent a price rise of such a magnitude; their failure to do so is explained by the fact that most of the carry-over cotton could be made available only at materially higher prices—sufficient to cover accumulated charges as well as the original purchase price, in the case of Government-owned cotton, and the amount of note, in the case of loan cotton. AccumuINDEX NUMBERS, 1934 = 125 MtV <$ SEM/F/N/S//EO MTEfiMLS ^F/N/SHED PRODUCTS 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 Figure 20.—Indexes of Wholesale Prices of Industrial Commodities, 1934-39. NOTE.—Computed by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System from United States Department of Labor data; all foods and feeds, both raw and processed, are omitted. lated charges were, for the most part, greater on the Government-owned cotton; hence the old cotton, that the rise of prices in the last third of 1939 made it profitable to market, was chiefly cotton that had been held against loans to growers. During the last quarter of 1939, 164,489 bales of 1938 loan cotton were actually released, but requests for a much greater amount were received. From the middle of November to the middle of December the spread between prices in domestic markets and prices at Liverpool widened; in the case of American Middling Fair Staple the spread of Liverpool over New Orleans advanced from 1.94 cents per pound on November 13 to 3.43 cents per pound on December 13. The Department of Agriculture attributed the increased spread to a rise in transportation costs of about 1 cent a pound, and also in part to the reduction in the export payment rate, announced by the Federal Government, from 1.50 cents to 0.20 cent a pound. The spread narrowed somewhat on December 15, but was 3.39 cents on December 22, 32 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Estimates by the Department of Agriculture as of the end of the year looked to an increase of 300,000 bales in the American cotton supply to a total of 25,700,000 bales in 1940, but this is expected to be more than offset by a decrease of more than 1,000,000 bales in the supply of foreign cotton. Some increase in domestic consumption is anticipated, and this, together with favorable prospects for an increase in cotton exports, may result in a lessening of the carry-over of American cotton on August 1, 1940, from the 14,000,000-bale total of last year. It was estimated late in November that world consumption in 1939-40 would be about equal to this season's world output, leaving a world carry-over in August not materially less than that of a year previous. By the end of 1939, however, 1940 consumption prospects, hence those of carry-over and prices, had become more uncertain. The restriction of civilian consumption in the warring countries must be set off against potential increases in the demand for consumption goods arising out of particular war needs. Wheat and corn.—Leading farm products tended to sag in price for the first 8 months of 1939, with the exception of a temporary strengthening in wheat in April and May as a result of a protracted dry spell; wheat prices turned down again after rainfall, when it became clear that not only was the damage to winter wheat less than previously expected, but also that the outlook for spring wheat was exceptionally good. Hence, by midsummer, prices of leading farm products were rather low, despite the fact that much wheat, for example, was being taken off the market on Federal Government loan, and despite continual war scares from Europe. Several factors contributed to the drastic upward spurt of farm prices in September. Of chief importance was the expectation of large buying from abroad at an early date, which colored the thinking of speculators and domestic consumers alike. Some recession from the September peak for wheat took place, but a rapid new advance occurred in December, carrying spot prices to highs of $1.10 a bushel and more. The December upturn is attributable to the drought situation that developed in the final quarter of the year, giving rise to predictions of one of the lowest winter wheat crops on record. Heavy snows in late December in the West and Southwest were thought to have arrived too late, in view of considerable deterioration that had already occurred. Domestic wheat production for 1940 was estimated at the close of last year at around 600,000,000 bushels, 60,000,000 less than estimated domestic consumption. An additional factor tending to strengthen wheat prices was the outlook for an Argentina yield of only 150,000,000 bushels or less, as compared with last year's 336,000,000 bushels. The domestic carry-over on July 1 next may be 300,000,000 bushels, an increase of 46,000,000 over that February 1940 of July 1, 1939, resulting from the large 1939 crop and the probability of diminished exports in the coming months, especially because of the suspension of the export subsidy program for wheat on December 29, as well as rising shipping costs. The excess of estimated disappearance over production in 1940 indicates, however, a substantially reduced carry-over for 1941, although it will probably still exceed 200,000,000 bushels. Continued large stocks of surplus wheat overhanging both the world market and the domestic market will necessarily exercise a restraining influence on prices for some time to come. Figure 21.—Weekly Average Market Prices of Important Farm Products, 1936-39 (U. S. Department of Agriculture). NOTE.—Prices are as follows: Cotton, Middling, %-inch, average spot price at 10 markets; wheat, No. 2, Hard Winter, weighted average price of reported cash sales at Kansas City; corn, No. 3, Yellow, weighted average price of reported cash sales at Chicago; beef steers from the Corn Belt, weighted average price of all grades sold out of first hands at Chicago for slaughter; hogs, weighted average price, packer and shipper purchases, at 7 markets. In July, corn prices reached a 6-year low, in part because farmers, confronted with a shortage of crib space, were struggling to make room for the new crop by unloading the corn they had in a market that was already depressed. There was a recovery by the end of July to 45 cents a bushel (No. 3 yellow), where the price remained with little fluctuation until the meteoric September rise to about 65 cents. A recession almost to the 45-cent level occurred at the end of the month and in early October. A renewed rise in late November and December, resulting from the strong upward trend in wheat plus some increase in corn exports, brought the price almost to 60 cents by the end of the year. Cattle and hogs.—Hog and cattle prices moved sharply downward during the first 8 months of the year. Large feed crops in the immediately preceding years led to SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 increased production and, in the case of hogs, to increased slaughterings; the result being an average price of $5 a hundred pounds for hogs in seven markets in the middle of August, the lowest since 1934, compared with $7.80 in February. The average price of beef steers at Chicago went a little below $9 a hundred pounds in August in contrast to $10.40 early in the year. The large herds that had exerted so depressing an influence on livestock prices earlier in the year were sufficient to pull prices down from the peaks to which they jumped in September—in the case of hogs, back to August figures after speculative activity diminished. Sugar.—Prior to September, visible United States stocks of sugar were substantially above those for 1938 and were even further above the 1935-37 average. Excess stocks were due chiefly to a high level of output of beet sugar added to large existing supplies from other areas. Owing to the volume of stocks, prices were somewhat depressed during the first 8 months of the year, duty-free raw sugar fluctuating between 2% and 3 cents per pound. Apparently because sugar became a rationed commodity during the war of 1914-18, heavy buying took place last September. As a result of the ensuing rise of raw-sugar prices to 3.85 cents per pound and refined sugar prices to $5.75 per 100 pounds, the President suspended quota restrictions. The price of raw immediately fell and was 2.80 cents at the close of the year. During the period of about 3Y2 months while the quotas were inoperative, producers sold eagerly in order to avail themselves of an opportunity to dispose of their heavy stocks without thereby cutting into 1940 quotas. Announcement of the restoration of marketing and import quotas as of January 1 was made by the President on December 26. Subsequently the Department of Agriculture released its initial estimate that domestic sugar consumption in 1940 would be 6,725,100 short tons, raw value. The trade seems to believe such a volume of production will be sufficient, in view of the widespread increase in invisible stocks during the buying wave that followed the declaration of war in Europe. During the period of suspended quotas, the duty on Cuban sugar automatically reverted to 1% cents a pound, but a %0-cent duty became operative on December 27, after the President's proclamation announcing quota restoration. Domestic Banking and Finance Banking and Credit The principal developments in domestic banking and finance in 1939 were closely connected with the outbreak of the European war and with the prolonged international tension which preceded it. The growing certainty that a major conflict was imminent led to a wholesale transfer of funds to this country for safekeeping or for future use by foreign governments and 205737—40 3 33 was responsible also in some degree for the continude large balance of commodity exports from the United States. (See p. 45.) The counterpart of these two factors was an addition to monetary gold stocks from foreign sources during the year which exceeded $3,000,000,000. The inflow of gold from abroad, together with output from domestic mines, raised gold stocks from $14,512,000,000 at the end of 1938 to $17,643,000,000 at the end of 1939, an increase of more than a fifth in holdings already greatly increased by the heavy inward movement during the period since the beginning of 1934. This is shown in figure 22. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 18 4 J 1934 1935 Figure 22.—Monetary Gold Stock and Member Bank Reserves, 1934-39 (Monetary Gold Stock, U. S. Treasury Department; Member Bank Reserves, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System). NOTE.—-Data are for Wednesday of each week. The additions to monetary gold during 1939 resulted directly in the creation of additional bank reserves, on the one hand, and in new bank deposits, on the other. Insofar as the reserve position of the banks was concerned, the effect of the gold movement was accentuated by other factors tending to increase the volume of funds at the disposal of the banking system. Chief among these was the net disbursement by the Treasury of approximately $600,000,000 from its cash and from its deposits with Federal Keserve banks. (See table 13.) An increase of about $750,000,000 in the amount of money in circulation absorbed a part of the resources arising from gold inflow and from Treasury disbursements, but the resulting increase in member-bank reserves during 1939 was $2,900,000,000. Nonmember institutions increased their deposits with Federal Reserve banks by more than $200,000,000. These trends in basic credit and banking conditions were practically unbroken throughout 1939, largely because the inflow of gold, the predominant element in the situation, was virtually uninterrupted. In September, at the time of the sharp break in the prices of government bonds, the Federal Reserve banks increased 34 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS their holdings of government bonds and notes by about $475,000,000 and thus temporarily accentuated the increase in the reserves of banks. At the end of the year, however, the amount of Federal Reserve bank credit outstanding was slightly less than it was at the end of 1938. Table 13.—Factors Affecting Total and Excess Reserves of Member Banks, 1939 [Millions of dollars] End of 1938 Item End of 1939 Net change Factors of increase: Treasury cash Treasury deposits with Federal Reserve banks. Treasury currency outstanding Other factors 14 512 2,706 923 2,798 260 17 643 2,409 634 2, 903 251 Total. 3 131 297 289 165 9 3.891 Factors of decrease: Fedoral Reserve bank credit outstanding Money in circulation. . . Nonmember deposits 2,601 6,856 441 2, 593 7, 598 653 8 742 212 February 1940 to influence the reserve position of banks or the general conditions underlying the money market since the easing of credit early in 1938. In February 1938 the Treasury abandoned, in effect, its gold sterilization policy and proceeded in April to desterilize an accumulation of approximately $1,400,000,000 of gold in its inactive account. Desterilization was accomplished through the deposit of gold certificates with the Federal Reserve banks, and an increase in bank reserves was produced by drawing down the resulting Treasury deposits through the retirement of Treasury bills with cash. The reduction in the reserve requirements on all classes of deposits for all member banks immediately followed this action by the Treasury. Earlier, in August and September 1937, the discount rates of the Federal Reserve banks had been lowered—to 1 percent at New York and to 1}£ percent in other districts. Loans and Investments of Member Banks. The investments of banks in the United States, as indicated by weekly reports from member banks in 101 _ leading cities, rose gradually during 1939 by virtue of Excess reserves „ 3,205 5, 209 2,004 further purchases of government obligations. Their Source: Federal Reserve Bulletin. loans, after showing a declining tendency up to the middle of the year, increased slowly until the beginning Excess Reserves. of the w^ar in Europe, and then more rapidly as the rise The enlargement of banking reserves in 1939 was in industrial production and the building up of invenaccompanied by a further accumulation of excess retories created new demands for bank accommodation. serves in the banking system. (See fig. 22.) The surThe rise in the total loans of reporting member banks plus reserves of member banks rose from $3,200,000,000 for the year as a whole, approximately $250,000,000, on December 31, 1938, to $5,200,000,000 on December was relatively small; but the increase during the second 30, 1939 (the total had reached $5,500,000,000 in half of the year was nearly $600,000,000. (See table October), despite the fact that required reserves against 14.) The expansion in loans to commerce, industry, deposit liabilities were higher by $900,000,000 at the and agriculture was primarily responsible for the inclose of the year. By comparison with August 1937, crease in total loans during 1939. Other loans, espeafter the Federal Reserve Board had raised reserve cially loans connected with the marketing and trading requirements on March 1 and May 1 to the full extent of securities, were reduced. permissible under existing legislation, the excess reserves of Weekly Reporting Member Banks on of member banks had increased more than sevenfold— Table 14.—Loans and Investments Selected Dates, 1938-39 partly, however, as a consequence of a reduction in [Millions of dollars] requirements in April 1938. At present levels, the Net reserves of member banks above legal requirements change, Net of End of JulyEnd of End place them largely beyond the control of the monetary Item June change, Decem1939 1938 1939 1939 ber authorities through the use of available instruments of 1939 credit. The further use by the Board of its power to industrial, and agricultural raise required reserves would absorb less than a billion Commercial, loans . . . . . . . . -. _. ._ ___ 3,843 +510 +520 3,833 4,353 for purchasing and carrying securiof the surplus, and the sale of the Reserve banks7 entire Loans -204 1,191 1,204 ties . 1,408 +13 -62 3,179 3,065 3,117 +52 holdings of Government securities would take up two Other loans . . . 8,674 +244 Total loans 8,430 8,089 +585 and a half billion, leaving well over a billion and a half in U. S. Government obliof excess reserves still in the possession of member banks. Investments +544 gations . _. __ 9,998 10, 571 11,115 +1,117 3,221 3,291 3,298 +77 Action by the Treasury to reduce bank reserves or to Other investments +7 +551 13,219 13,862 14,413 +1,194 Total investments _. sterilize gold would involve an increase in the Federal Total loans and investments 21, 649 21,951 23,087 +1, 438 +1,136 debt, which is already near its statutory limit, and, in the case of sterilization procedures, would be effective, Source: Federal Reserve Bulletin. of course, only in respect of future gold acquisitions. If the temporary increase in holdings of Government The combined loans and investments of reporting obligations by the Federal Reserve banks in September member banks at the close of 1939 were again at the is excepted, no official measures have been taken directly high level reached at the end of 1936, and investments Total... Member-bank reserve balances.. Required reserves ._.. . . 962 8,724 5,519 11,653 6.444 2,929 925 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 alone were above the previous maximum, attained in that year. By comparison with 1929, loans were approximately half of those then outstanding: whereas investments, largely increased holdings of government securities, were considerably more than twice as large, as may be seen in figure 23. The combined aggregates were of approximately the same magnitude. Since 1932, the primary change in bank portfolios has been the steady growth in holdings of the direct and fully guaranteed obligations of the Government, which comprised nearly 50 percent of their total loans and investments at the end of 1939, as compared with 28 percent at the end of 1932 and with 11 percent at the end of 1929. The volume of loans, although naturally responsive to fluctuations in business activity, remained at a level 35 money outside the Treasury. Considered in relation to the requirements of industry and trade, there was during 1939 a growing redundancy of money in the hands of the public as well as of reserves in the possession of banks. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 120 INDEX NUMBERS, 1919-25 = 100 100 DEMAND DEPOSITS, ADJUSTED (right scale) ^~ ^TURNOVER OF DEMAND DEPOSITS (left scale) MONEY IN CIRCULATION (riaht scaleK * •*"*• 40 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS c) 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 !6 18 20 2Z 24 1 1929 1932 •tzn \\ ol..... i 1934 /-TOTAL * J m - • _WmKkQ U. S. GOVERNMENT 0BLI6AT/0NS (DJPECT <? FULLY GUARANTEED) OTHER SECURITIES COMMERCIAL, INDUSTRIAL £ AGRICULTURAL LOANS OTHER WANS DD- 39-34/ Figure 23.—Loans and Investments of Reporting Member Banks in 101 Leading Cities, 1929, 1932, 1937, and 1939 (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System). NOTE.—Data are for the Wednesday nearest the end of the year. Due to changes in classification, comparable data for "Commercial, Industrial, and Agricultural" loans are not available separately for 1929 and 1932; therefore "total loans" for these years are shown in this chart. apparently permanently reduced from that of the 1920's and not much above the lowest levels of the past decade. Deposit and Money Supplies. The increase in bank loans and investments during 1939, coupled with the additions to monetary gold, served to raise the demand deposits of individuals and business firms to a record figure. (Fig. 24.) For reporting member banks, the rise during the year was $2,600,000,000 and, for all banks in the United States, more than $4,000,000,000. There was at the same time; however, a further fall in the rate of turn-over of deposits at commercial banks. The rise in the amount of money in circulation during the year, which carried the total well above the level reached at the peak of currency hoarding in 1933, was only in part the reflection of a greater need for hand-to-hand currency. As in other recent years, special circumstances, including exports to Europe for hoarding and speculation, an accumulation of individual savings in the form of currency, the shift from bank deposits to currency as a means of making payments, and increased holdings of idle cash by banks must account for much of the additional supply of 1935 1936 limn 1937 1938 1939 r to September 1934 Figure 24.—Demand Deposits, Adjusted, and Annual Rate of Turn-Over of Demand Deposits (Adjusted for Seasonal Variations) in Reporting Member Banks in 101 Leading Cities, and Money in Circulation, 1034-39 (Demand Deposits, Adjusted, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; Annual Rate of Turn-Over of Demand Deposits, Federal Reserve Bank of New York; and Money in Circulation, U. S. Treasury Department). 'pmm B37 {939 *Comporab/e data LOANS-S I ' NOTE.—Data for "Demand Deposits, Adjusted," represent deposits other than inter-bank deposits and United States Government deposits, less cash items reported as on hand or in process of collection. Data for "Annual Rate of Turn-Over of Demand Deposits" are based upon the relation between debits to individual accounts and demand deposits in reporting member banks in 101 leading cities. Figures for "Demand Deposits, Adjusted" are for the Wednesday nearest the end of each month, and data for "Money in Circulation" are as of the end of each month. The base period for the indexes of "Annual Rate of Turn-Over of Demand Deposits" is a daily average for the years 1919 through 1925. Interest Rates Except for some brief rises in September, the general structure of interest rates in the United States was virtually unchanged during 1939 and continued to reflect the extreme ease in the money market induced by the plethora of funds available for investment. Open market rates in New York on 4 to 6 month commercial paper ruled at % to % percent except during the period from the middle of September to the middle of November, when the range was % to % percent. Rates on 90-day bankers' acceptances, 90-day stockexchange time loans, and stock-exchange call loans were unchanged at %6 percent, \}{ percent, and 1 percent, respectively. These low quotations were the culmination of an almost continuous decline in the cost of short-term money since 1929. Restrictive gold and reserve policies put into effect in 1936 and the first half of 1937 resulted in some hardening of rates, but the reversal of these policies with the downturn in business activity in the latter half of 1937 restored a condition of extreme ease in the money market. Dealers' quotations for 91-day Treasury bills, reported at 0.03 percent throughout the first half of 1939, rose to 0.20 percent in September and then fell to 0.04 percent in December; the yield on new issues 36 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS at the opening and close of the year was negligible or nil, and reached only 0.159 percent at a maximum in September. The average yield on 3-year to 5-year Treasury notes was 0.68 percent at the beginning of January and 0.47 percent at the end of December, February 1940 activity slackened toward the end of that year. (See fig. 26.) The weakness in industrial shares extended into the early months of 1939 and became marked in April. (See table 15.) After April, an irregular rise set in—with renewed weakness appearing, however, in August. The beginning of hostilities in Europe set off PERCENT YIELD Table 15.—Common Stock Prices on Selected Dates, 1938-39. [1926 = 100] 3 XJ.—— 4 - ^ " • Item * 350 industrials 40 utilities 30 railroads 420 stocks. \'"\jrBaa ._ Dec. 28, 1938 Apr. 12, 1939 Aug. 23, 1939 Oct. 25, 1939 111.3 77.5 30.1 92.6 92.8 77.8 23.6 79.3 95.0 82.8 23.3 81.6 114.9 87.5 33 5 97.2 Dec. 27, 1939 107.4 86.5 28.8 91.3 Source: Standard Statistics Co., Inc. 5 6 7 , 1936 1937 , , . , ! 1938 • , , , , 1 I ! 1 1 ! ! I ! 1 ! 1939 Figure 25.—Yield of Corporate Bonds, by Ratings, 1936-39 (Moody's Investors Service). NOTE.—In the rating classification followed by Moody's Investors Service, Aaa indicates bonds which are and may be expected to remain the most conservative type of investment. Such bonds will tend to fluctuate in price with fluctuations of the prevailing long-term interest rates. Bonds rated A have distinct investment qualities, but do not have the elements of strength which would necessarily prevent their intrinsic worth from being affected by some special development; while those rated Baa have definitely less of an investment and more of a speculative character. Each group includes 30 bonds. a brief buying wave based obviously upon widespread expectations of sharply improving business and of a sustained rise in commodity prices. After September, prices fluctuated within narrow limits around a level roughly 10 percent above averages for August, with, on the whole, a slight downward tendency despite the fact that industrial production and corporate profits continued to rise. It was apparent from these developments in the market for industrial shares that a more sober view of business prospects, as affected by wartime circumstances, soon came to prevail. At the end of 1939, representative averages were at approximately the level of December 1938, but much below the peak reached in early 1937. with a high of 1.18 percent in September. Corporate bond yields, along with yields on Government bonds, showed a generally declining tendency through the middle of the year, rose sharply upon the outbreak of the war, and turned downward again hi October. (See fig. 25.) The yield on low-grade corporate bonds increased abruptly, as stock prices fell, in March and early April; whereas the rate of return on high-grade issues showed only a slight upward tendency. In September, on the other hand, the rise was much more pronounced and endured longer in the case of highgrade than in the case of low-grade bonds. At the end of the year, the spread between yields on the two classes of obligations, although narrowed as compared with the interval at the end of 1938 and nearly halved as compared with that in April 1938, was considerably wider than at other times during the year, particularly in September. Security Markets Figure 26.—Indexes of Industrial Stock Prices, Domestic Corporate Bond Prices, and Quarterly Earnings of Industrial Corporations, 1936-39. (Basic figures for stock and bond prices are from Standard Statistics Company, Inc., and quarterly earnings data are from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, except for the fourth quarter of 1939, which was estimated by the U. S. Department of Commerce.) Although the security exchanges reacted at times to international developments—as, for example, during the dismemberment of Czechoslovakia in March— industrial stock prices in the first three quarters of 1939 followed in general the course of business activity at home. The improvement in the market for this class of equities which accompanied the upswing in industrial production and corporate profits during the latter half of 1938 was followed by a moderate recession as business The prices of utility shares followed a rising trend throughout 1939, with only brief recessions in April and September. (See fig. 27.) Railroad stocks, which had remained at a low level after April while the market for industrials and utilities was showing general improvement, rose in September and October to the highest quotations since 1937 in response to the sharp increase in car loadings and the prospects for substantial net earnings by the railroads during those months. RELATIVES, 1929-31 = 100 160 1936 1937 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 In the bond market, the prices of all classes of obligations rose during the early months of the year, weakened in April along with stock prices, tended upward through July, and then, with the exception of low-grade issues. INDEX NUMBERS, 1926 = 100 •350 INDUSTRMLS 37 1937 and 1936. The aggregate of refunding issues, on the other hand, as a result of low rates of interest and favorable market conditions, was relatively high. The low volume of new security issues, while reflecting the reduced rate of capital formation, exaggerates the decline over the past decade in expenditures for new durable producers' goods. It is well known that the proportion of new capital financed by publicly announced capital issues is much lower now than a decade ago. Federal Financial Operations Both the receipts and the expenditures of the Federal Government in 1939 were directly influenced by the 30 RAfLROADStrend of national income and business activity. The decline of individual and corporate incomes, which began in the latter part of 1937 and continued until the 1939 1937 1936 middle of 1938, caused a reduction in Federal tax revenues during 1939. At the same time, the expansion Figure 27.—Movement of Stock Prices, by Major Groups, 1936-39 (Standard Statistics Company, Inc.). of the farm program and the adoption, in the spring broke sharply in September. At the time of the Sep- of 1938, of a policy designed to stop the receding tide tember break in corporate bond prices, occasioned ap- of business were among the factors which resulted in an parently by expectations of a hardening of interest expansion of Treasury outlays. The net result was rates and of more attractive uses for investment funds, that the excess of actual disbursements over receipts an abrupt decline in long-term government bond increased by 1,300 million dollars above those of the prices led to heavy purchases by the Federal Reserve preceding year. Despite this development, however, System as a means of maintaining an orderly market. the Treasury borrowed on balance only 100 million dolBy the end of December, government bonds had re- lars more from the public than it had in 1938, and the covered most, and corporate bonds all, of their earlier net volume of interest-bearing securities which it sold to the public in marketable form (that is, exclusive of losses. U. S. savings bonds) was actually 240 million dollars New Security Issues. smaller than in 1938. The volume of publicly announced corporate security issues for obtaining new capital in 1939, given in figure Treasury Expenditures. It will be recalled that in April 1938 a move toward 28, was the smallest since 1935. These offerings totaled enlarged relief and public-works outlays was inaugurated as part of a program designed to reverse the downMILLIONS OF DOLLARS ward movement of business activity which was then in progress. The expansion of expenditures under this policy began immediately and continued into 1939, Federal outlays reaching their peak in the second quarter of the year, as may be seen in table 16. Outlays under the WPA, which is the most flexible of the major programs and which had been almost halved between the end of 1936 and the autumn of 1937, were the chief means of putting the policy into immediate effect. From a figure of 353 million dollars in the first quarter of 1938 these outlays rose to a high point of 621 million in the last quarter of the year. During 1939, however, they declined steadily, almost to the early 1938 figures. As a result, WPA expenditures during 1939 were less 1926 '27 '28 '29 "30 '31 '32 '33 '34 '35 '36 '37 '38 '59 than in the previous year by 170 million dollars. In Figure 28.—Total Corporate Capital Flotations Publicly Announced, addition, expenditures of the Civilian Conservation 1926-39 (Commercial and Financial Chronicle). Corps declined somewhat, bringing the total expendiless than $400,000,000, as compared with $900,000,000 tures under work-relief programs to a figure about 200 in 1938 and with $1,200,000,000 in each of the years million dollars below 1938. i i t i I i i i ' i SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 38 While the major part of WPA programs has been financed with Federal funds, from 15 to 30 percent of the total expenditures on projects operated by WPA have been contributed by the sponsors. The sponsors' contribution has gradually increased—from 334 million dollars in 1937 to 438 million in 1938 and to roughly 500 million in 1939. In terms of employment, these dollar figures represent a reduction from the WPA alltime high of 3.2 million workers in the autumn of 1938 to 1.6 million in the autumn of 1939. During 1937, WPA provided employment for about 20 percent of the average number of estimated unemployed; in 1938 this rose to 23 percent, and was again reduced in 1939 to 20 percent. In contrast with the immediate expansion of WPA outlays, actual expenditures under the public-works program increased more slowly, reaching a peak in the first half of 1939. As a result of the expansion, total disbursements on public works of various sorts in 1939 exceeded those made in 1938 by 250 million dollars. Outstanding among Federal activities was the increase of approximately 400 million dollars, or nearly 50 percent, in expenditures under the agricultural programs. These outlays were at their height in the second and fourth quarters of the year. The increased outlay to farmers in 1939 was largely due to payments made under provisions of the Price Adjustment Act of 1938. This act appropriated 212 million dollars for parity payments to producers of wheat, cotton, corn, tobacco, and rice who participated in the acreage restriction and conservation features of the act. In addition, some increase in payments represented a wider participation in the Agricultural Conservation Program during 1939. The national-defense expenditures have increased quarter by quarter throughout 1939 and probably will February 1940 continue to expand for some time. Their growth continues a trend which has been in progress since 1934 and is the outstanding feature of central government budgets all over the world. In 1939 these outlays amounted to nearly 1,300 million dollars, as compared with slightly more than 1,100 million dollars in 1938. Of the increase, about 54 percent went to the Navy and 46 percent to the Army. In addition to these changes, there was an expansion of departmental outlays in 1939. On the basis of new classifications used by the Treasury (shown in footnote to table 16) these expenditures increased from 715 million dollars to 805 million.1 These and other actual outlays (including the budgeted expenditures of the Reconstruction Finance Corporation and Commodity Credit Corporation, which are omitted from table 16) totaled 8,790 million dollars in 1939, as compared with 7,880 million in 1938. In addition, the Treasury credited the Old-Age Reserve and Railroad Retirement Accounts with about 200 million dollars more than in 1938. These charges, as well as debt retirement, are included in budget expenditures and thereby raise total budget expenditures for 1939 to 9,510 million dollars from 8,490 million in 1938. If the various budget outlays are considered as percentages of the total (excluding transfers to trust accounts and debt retirement), certain striking changes appear in the past few years. As figure 29 shows, work programs and relief accounted for less than one-quarter of the total, as compared with one-third in 1936. Agricultural programs increased from less than 8 percent in 1936 to nearly 14 percent in 1939. Nationali It will be seen that these figures run higher than those shown in the body of table 16, whereas expenditures for public works are lower in the footnote figures than in the table itself. Certain expenditures formerly included under public works are now classified as "departmental." This shift in classification should be borne in mind when Treasury data are used. Table 16.-—Major Types of Budget Expenditures, 1 1936-39 [Millions of dollars] 1939 1938 Major category National defense2 Public works Work programs and relief. . Retirements, pensions, and assistance Agricultural programs Departmental 4 Other Interest Debt retirement Transfers to trust accounts— _ Total expenditures Total, excluding debt retirement and transfers to trust accounts 1936, total 1937, total First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter Total First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter Total 980 1,185 2,470 685 575 475 215 795 120 «1,775 985 1,005 1,900 835 735 545 215 895 90 «1,180 260 190 435 215 170 140 40 185 20 170 275 185 545 220 255 140 90 310 5 30 285 240 640 225 165 180 55 175 15 140 290 300 690 230 220 165 15 250 10 230 1,110 915 2,310 890 810 625 200 920 50 570 290 290 615 220 290 175 30 165 10 155 305 290 575 220 355 160 20 350 20 160 9,275 8,385 1,825 2,055 2,120 2,400 8,400 2,240 2,455 2,310 2,340 9,345 7,380 7,115 1,635 2,020 1,965 2,160 7,780 2,075 2,275 2,015 2,165 8,530 335 3 275 480 255 210 3 210 65 185 10 285 360 3 275 440 235 350 3 215 20 270 10 165 3 1,290 1,130 2,110 930 1,205 S760 135 970 50 765 » Genera] and special accounts, basis of daily statement of U. S. Treasury. Figures rounded to 5 millions. Excludes budget transactions to account of Reconstruction Finance Corporation and Commodity Credit Corporation. 2 Includes Panama Canal and items formerly classified under "Public works—national defense" in the daily Treasury statement. 3 In the second half of 1939 certain expenditures, classified under "Public works" in previous periods, are classified under "Departmental," in accordance with revisions in the daily Treasury statement. A classification on this new basis for all of 1938 and 1939 gives the following approximate figures: 1938: Public Works Departmental January-June... 325 325 July-December. 390 480 1939: January-June... 505 400 July-December.. 405 550 * Includes general expenses of Rural Electrification Administration. 8 Includes adjusted service certificates. defense expenditures have constituted a slowly but steadily rising percentage of the total; while the relative importance in the budget of interest and retirement, pensions and assistance, after increasing in 1937, has declined. Departmental expenditures, as now defined, 10 PERCENT 15 20 25 30 35 WOm PROGRAMS MO REL/EE AGRICULTURAL PROGRAMS PL/BUC WORKS NAT/O/ML 39 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 DEFENSE RET/REMENTS, PENSIONS, MS ASS/ST/WCE the preceding year, yielded slightly less than 1,850 million dollars, a decline of 770 million from 1938. (See table 17 and fig. 30.) Total Federal revenues, however, were only 500 million dollars lower than in the preceding year. The expansion of business activity and pay rolls during 1939 led to an increase in the yield of miscellaneous internal-revenue taxes and of Social Security taxes by 220 million dollars, while the accompanying expansion of imports resulted in a minor increase in the yield of customs duties. These increases in miscellaneous internal revenue occurred despite the repeal of certain excise taxes on toilet preparations, sporting goods, cameras, furs, chewing gum, phonograph records, and other articles under the Revenue Act of 1938, and despite a reduction in declared capitalstock values under the provisions of the act which permitted corporations to make new declarations. On the other hand, the revenues were somewhat increased by the higher tax rate on distilled spirits other than brandy and the accompanying floor tax. MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1800 INTEREST 1600 'TOTAL 1400 DEPARTMENTAL — 1939 V//WA 1938 Eflas&ga 1937 I 1936 1200 OTHER 1000 800 Figure 29.—Relative Importance of Major Categories of Budget Expenditures, Excluding Debt Retirement, Transfers to Trust Accounts, and Certain Governmental Corporations, 1936-39 (on Basis of Daily Statem e n t , (Unrevised), of t h e U. S. Treasury). *Arrows point to percent of total expenditures in 1938 and 1939 on basis of new Treasury classifications. See table 1, footnote 3. increased only slightly between 1938 and 1939, while public-works expenditures increased from 10.3 percent to 12.3 percent of the total. Treasury Receipts. The decline of national income during 1938 was the chief influence upon the tax revenues of the Federal Government during the past calendar year. Income taxes, which are paid for the most part on incomes of 600 400 200 I?i,gure 30.—Budget Receipts, 1938 a n d 1939 (on Basis of Daily Statement (Unrevised), of the U. S. Treasury). The decrease in income taxes, although primarily a reflection of the fall in incomes between 1937 and 1938, was also affected by the Kevenue Act of 1938, which changed corporation tax rates, including the rate on undistributed profits, and permitted a more liberal treatment of capital gains and losses of individuals. Table 17.—Major Types of Budget Receipts,* 1936-39 [Millions of dollars] 1938 1936, total Major type Income taxes 2 Social security __ Other internal revenue Customs All other Total total First quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter Total First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter Total 2,609 666 2,324 483 230 838 170 506 76 54 639 170 509 68 36 577 166 639 81 46 558 166 564 83 47 2,612 672 2,218 308 183 610 229 498 75 50 438 179 539 79 44 407 182 717 89 52 389 194 561 89 64 1,844 784 2,315 332 210 4,372 6,312 1,644 1,422 1,509 1,418 5,993 1,462 1,279 1,447 1,297 5,485 * Basis of daily statement of U. S. Treasury. Second quarter 2,168 414 213 1,577 _ ._ 1939 1937, »Includes taxes on carriers and their employees. 40 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Public Debt. As a result of the billion-dollar increase in budget expenditures and the half-billion decline in receipts, the calendar-year deficit rose to approximately 4 billion dollars, 1,500 million more than in 1938. Despite this large increase in the deficit, however, the net amount of cash obtained from the public through borrowing operations was only 100 million dollars greater than in 1938. This was possible partly because the Treasury Item 1938 1939 Change Mil. of dot. Mil. of dol. Mil. of dot. 8,491 9,506 +1,015 5,992 5,485 -507 2,499 Budget deficit 4,021 Deduct transfers to trust accounts and debt +1, 522 613 retirements 816 -203 1,886 3,205 +1,319 Deduct net cash receipts of other accounts '.... 779 1,157 +378 Add decrease (—) or increase (+) in general+111 fund balance -719 -608 +1,218 +1. 440 *+222 Increase in publicly offered debt Budget expendituresBudget receipts 1 Expenditures for national bank-note retirements and for investments in special Treasury securities and receipts through transfers from general fund are excluded. * Includes 123 million dollars of publicly offered issues sold directly to government investment and trust accounts. drew on the general-fund balance to the extent of 610 million dollars, and because nonbudgetary accounts provided 380 million dollars more cash than they had in 1938. As a consequence, the market debt rose by 1,440 million dollars, as compared with 1,218 million in the preceding year. The following figures show how the deficits of the past 2 years were related to the Treasury's public borrowing. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 45 _ j CERr/f/aFES ANDB/LLS ^ Iflfllf''' AND TRUST raws SPEC/AI ISSUES 0 GOVCRNMENT 1930 1931 Wm$%m& A C f / K t t S ^ ^ ^ ^ W&mgM 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 • 1 1938 1939 Figure 31.—Composition of Interest-Bearing Public Debt Outstanding, 1930-39 (on Basis of Daily Statement (Unrevised), of the U. S. Treasury). If we consider only the publicly offered securities which are marketable, the comparison with 1938 is even more striking. Of the 1,440-million-dollar increase in market debt in 1939, almost 770 million took the form of United States savings bonds and over 120 million February 1940 consisted of Treasury bonds sold directly to Treasury trust and investment accounts. The supply of marketable interest-bearing Treasury obligations sold to the public (excluding United States savings bonds sold directly to trust and investment accounts, and noninterest-bearing debt) rose by only 610 million dollars in 1939, as compared with nearly 850 million in 1938. Cash borrowing from the market during the year was confined to the net issue of 150 million dollars in Treasury bills and one bond issue of 9 to 11 years, bearing a 2-percent coupon, floated in December 1939, of which 520 million dollars was sold to the public. Treasury notes were redeemed in a net amount of 60 million dollars. A major characteristic of recent Treasury financing has been the replacement of short-dated debt with obligations of longer maturity. This tendency is clearly shown in the rising average length of maturity of the interest-bearing debt: 2 December 31: 1935 1936 1937_ __ .. 1938 ... 1939--- - Years Months 8 7 9 11 9 3 10 0 10 5 The longer average life of the debt is also indicated by the change in the type of obligation outstanding, shown in table 18 and figure 31. In the past 2 years the volume of publicly offered bonds has been increased by 7.6 billion dollars, while the volume of Treasury notes and bills has been reduced by 4.8 billion. This substitution of longer-dated debt, varying from 9 to 27 years in life, for debt with a maximum life of 5 years makes interest charges in succeeding years higher than they would be if maturing obligations were refinanced by new securities of approximately equal maturities. The public-debt operations of 1938 actually did have the effect of raising interest costs. In 1939, however, the effects which this shift toward longer-dated debt might be expected to have upon total interest charges were largely offset by the fact that the new securities issued, though of maturities equal to or longer than those for which they were exchanged, bore lower coupons, or bore coupons only slightly higher, and also by the fact that several issues were sold in March 1939 at a premium—all of which was credited to interest charges in 1939. The following figures, which show the chief refinancing operations carried out in 1939 (or at the end of 1938 in anticipation of 1939 maturities) permit a comparison of coupons and maturities of old and new securities. * Exclusive of consols, postal savings bonds, U. S. savings bonds, adjusted service bonds, and special issues to government agencies and trust funds. Coupon (percent) Securities Old.. New. Old.. New Amount exchanged (millions of dollars) Maturity 4H years. 22-27 years._„ 4H years 9 years 5 years. 2% 22-27 years 5 years ______ 12-14 years 2 years, 3 months—, 5 years OldNew. Old.. New. Old.. New. Old.. New. Old,. New. 188 701 894 319 Old,. New Total cash. Total gross debt.. 283 1938 1939 +614 +865 +478 -106 +149 -59 +644 +767 -61 + 1 , 221 i +1,440 -2,664 +2,664 +928 +2.232 +1.075 +2,149 +2,515 -630 The increase in bonds publicly offered in 1939, issued both for cash and for refinancing of notes, does not account for much of the rise in interest charges on the budget for the calendar year 1939. Actual cash payments of interest changed only slightly from 1938, according to Treasury figures. The increase of 52 million dollars in budgeted interest was to a great extent a reflection of noncash charges. In the neighborhood of 13 million dollars represented accruals of interest on United States savings bonds. A more important factor in the increase is to be found in a second significant characteristic of recent debt operations—-the growing volume of debt held by special accounts. Under recent legislation, funds appropriated to certain trust and investment accounts must be invested in special United States Government obligations bearing coupons specified by statute. Of the 52-million-dollar increase of budgeted interest in 1939, about 33 million reflected payments on the 4 Old Age Reserve Account Unemployment Trust Fund.. 513 561 349 439 573 445 These accumulations represent primarily moneys credited to or deposited in the two accounts by the Federal and State treasuries. For accounting purposes these credits and deposits are regarded simply as expenditures of the various public treasuries. In substance, however, they are closely related to the payroll taxes levied under the act. If the transactions under the various social-security laws are viewed as a whole, it is clear that the legislation has had a powerful effect not only upon the source of funds from which the Federal deficits have been financed, but also upon Table 19.—Federal Receipts and Expenditures Under Social Security, Railroad Retirement, and Railroad Unemployment Insurance Acts, Excluding Transfers From General Fund and Investments, Calendar Years 1936-39 [Millions of dollars] Item - 2 , 232 1 Includes 123 million dollars of publicly offered issues sold directly to Government investment and trust accounts. 1939 Millions of dollars 1,017 [Millions of dollars! Exchanges: Treasury notes.. Treasury bonds. Special series..-. 1938 Fund Table 18.—Changes in Gross Public Debt, 1938 and 1939 Market operations: Cash: Treasury bills Treasury notes Treasury bonds United States savings bonds Other 1937 515 The possibility of selling equal or longer term securities to yield less or only slightly more than the refunded obligations is a result of the sharp decline in interest rates which has occurred since 1934 and 1935, when most of the recently matured debt was issued. Type of issue special 3-percent notes and 2}£-percent certificates of indebtedness held respectively by the Old Age Reserve Account and the Unemployment Trust Fund and on other special securities held by trust and investment accounts. A large part of the public debt has recently been taken by the Old Age Reserve Account and the Unemployment Trust Fund. These funds, set up under the Social Security Act, have accumulated the following amounts of Treasury securities in the past 3 years. 416 4 years, 5 months... 4 years, 4H months. 5 years 12-14 years. 5 years 4 years, 9 months._. 205737—40 41 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 1937 1936 1938 1939 Total, 1936-39 RECEIPTS General Fund: Taxes under Social Security Art Taxes under Railroad Retirement Act Taxes under Railroad Unemployment Insurance Act Total taxes - Trust funds and accounts: Deposits by States—Unemployment Trust Fund Interest on investments: Old-Ago Reserve Account Unemployment Trust Fund Railroad Retirement Account..Total interest Total receipts - 598 538 670 1,806 68 135 113 316 2 2 666 673 785 2,124 64 567 829 831 2,291 1 2 8 16 9 2 27 27 2 45 45 4 1 10 27 56 94 65 1,243 1.529 1.672 4,509 5 103 23 224 25 302 27 334 80 963 108 247 327 361 1,043 1 35 10 96 14 110 5 25 241 5 2 404 430 836 38 510 559 1,107 108 285 837 920 2,150 -43 958 692 752 2,359 EXPENDITURES General Fund: Administrative expenses Grants to States Total General Fund.... „._ Trust funds and accounts: Old-A?e Reserve benefits Railroad Retirement benefits. Railroad Unemployment, benefits Unemployment Trust Fund—Withdrawal by States Total trust funds and accounts Total expenditures Excess of receipts..- 42 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS the net funds withdrawn from and paid out again into the stream of the country's money income. Table 19 shows that revenues under this legislation have been over 2,360 million dollars more than the amount paid out in grants, administrative expenses, benefits, and withdrawals by States. Federal Corporations and Credit Agencies. The increasing complexity of the economic activities of the Federal Government since the World War has led to the creation of numerous corporations and agencies whose operations are not, for the most part, reflected in the Federal budget. In the case of the corporations, budgetary appropriations have usually provided all or part of the original capital stock; in the case of the credit agencies, they have usually provided part or all of the original operating funds; and in addition, the corporations may receive annual appropriations for specific purposes, such as grants or operating expenses. Conversely, the corporations or agencies frequently repay the Treasury for previous advances, either as a result of liquidation or from funds derived from nonTreasury sources, and these repayments serve to in- February 1940 crease Federal receipts. To this extent, therefore, the operations of the corporations and agencies do affect the budget; but these effects are highly irregular, as they result from shifts in capital funds. The bulk of the ordinary loan and investment transactions are not reflected in budgetary receipts or expenditures, since most of the funds are not supplied by the Treasury. This situation, however, makes them no less important a part of the Federal financial picture. The total assets of Federal corporations and credit agencies aggregated 12,824 million dollars on November 30, 1939. This constituted an increase of 728 million dollars during the preceding 12 months. As table 20 shows, loans and investments and capitalstock holdings totaled 8,860 million dollars, an increase of 434 million. Holdings of United States and United States-guaranteed securities were 874 million dollars, and portfolios of other securities (principally Land Bank bonds held by the Federal Farm Mortgage Corporation) totaled 889 million, an increase of 34 million. Other assets, including cash, accounts receivable, business property, and real estate held for sale, increased by 260 million dollars to 2,201 million. Table 20.—Assets of Government Corporations and Credit Agencies, November 30, 1939 [Millions of dollars] Loans, capital-stock holdings, etc. Agencies Nov. 30, 1939 12-month change Total assets l Investments United States and United States-guaranteed securities Other Nov. 30, 1939 N o v . 30, 1939 12-month change 12-month change 12-month change N o v . 30, 1939 LENDING AGENCIES Industrial, financial, etc.: Reconstruction Finance Corporation Export-Import Bank of Washington United States Maritime Commission Rural Electrifloation Administration Home mortgage and housing: Home Owners' Loan Corporation Federal Home Loan Bank Board The RFC Mortgage Company Federal National Mortgage Association Federal savings and loan associations 3 United States Housing Authority Agricultural* Commodity Credit Corporation Federal Farm Mortgage Corporation Federal intermediate credit banks Federal land banks Banks for cooperatives Farm Credit Administration Farm Security Administration Public Works Administration Disaster Loan Corporation , . Other 4 -_ .-. Total, lending agencies 8 1,589 38 49 175 -146 2 2, 255 169 56 143 40 116 -145 —21 657 695 185 1,910 73 259 256 70 19 51 +305 8,805 +404 367 +28 55 +30 362 120 25 55 +30 507 +23 48 +7 +6 11 —4 4-94 -1 50 +11 +71 +96 3 +2 75 80 87 +1 +16 —65 +5 -80 -13 +167 +79 +33 +13 -8 1,708 49 199 177 -136 2,966 251 59 146 40 269 -111 -31 —9 +26 —4 +94 +73 4-111 694 1,541 314 2,310 186 287 256 70 21 286 +312 -68 11, 829 +561 +5 +5 -9 490 122 50 14 +49 +1 676 +72 761 A 7 +3 102 24 889 +5 +43 -40 -4 +167 +80 +33 +10 +22 INSURANCE AGENCIES Federal Federal Federal Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation Housing Administration. _. Crop Insurance Corporation Total, insurance agencies Tennessee Valley Authority Grand total • _ . 1 2 ._ 8,860 +434 874 +29 889 +5 +6 +10 +7 319 +95 12, 824 +728 Also includes cash, receivables, and property holdings. Including shares in State and Federal savings and loan associations. *4 Shares held by United States Treasury. Regional Agricultural Credit Corporations, Production Credit Corporations, Electric Home and Farm Authority, Federal Prison Industries, Inc., Indian loans of Interior Department, Inland Waterways Corporation, Panama Railroad Co., Puerto Rico Reconstruction Administration, Tennessee Valley Associated Cooperatives, Inc., and Treasury Department railroad loans. • Includes war emergency corporations and agencies (in liquidation). 43 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 The increase in the capital funds of the corporations and agencies during 1939 reflected a large expansion of their debt, partly offset by a decline of the Federal Government's proprietary interest. Their guaranteed debt (including accrued interest) rose by 712 million dollars, while an additional 335 million reflected an increase in nonguaranteed liabilities and reserves. The Federal Government's proprietary interest, on the other hand, fell by an amount equal to the increase in nonguaranteed obligations and reserves. These changes are shown in table 21. It will be noted from the tables that, although most of the corporations and agencies are primarily engaged in lending or similar operations, four are insurance agencies—the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation, the Federal Housing Administration, and the Federal Crop Insurance Corporation. Their assets take the form, for the most part, of investments from capital and reserves which are in the process of being built up from premium payments. Also, the Tennessee Valley Authority is in a class by itself, its assets being primarily real estate and business property. Table 21.—Liabilities of Government Corporations and Credit Agencies, November 30, 1939 [Millions of dollars] Proprietary interest Liabilities and reserves Guaranteed by United Slates i Agencies Nov. 30, 1939 12-month change N o v . 30, 1939 Owned by United States Privately owned Not guaranteed 12-month change Nov. 30, 1939 12-month change N o v . 30, 1939 12-month chancre LENDING AGENCIES Reconstruction Finance Corporation Home Owners' Loan Corporation Home loan banks United States Housing Authority Commodity CreditCorporation Federal Farm Mortgage Corporation Federal intermediate credit bank? Federal land banks Banks for cooperatives Farm Credit Administration Other Total, lending agencies. _. 1,098 2,836 +587 +19 1 -1 95 82 75 3 187 46 210 1,804 4 197 161 5,734 +710 2,864 +272 258 200 2 6 139 +2 +49 3 3 +2 208 +55 139 16 +8 +335 115 407 1,277 -76 +115 +201 -116 -16 -36 +2 +112 51 +5 -3 +33 —22 +1 +192 203 4 +10 +15 -10 742 -10 515 48 125 151 100 217 104 303 178 90 1,153 +330 2.984 -426 150 44 121 +6 -5 -1 +51 +10 -29 -5 -25 INSURANCE AGENCIES Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Federal Housing Administration Other Total, insurance agencies Tennessee Valley Authority ._ Grand total 5,737 +712 3,088 +1 +5 397 +15 315 +5 303 +87 3,602 -334 » Including accrued interest totaling $29,000,000. With respect to loan operations the expansion in the year ended November 1939 was largely confined to agricultural agencies, which showed a net increase of 398 million dollars. The home mortgage and housing group showed no change in loans outstanding, whereas loans of the industrial and financial group declined 33 million dollars. The Commodity Credit Corporation, which makes loans on certain farm crops, showed the largest individual increase, 305 million dollars; Farm Credit Administration loans rose by 167 million. On the other hand, loans of the Reconstruction Finance Corporation and the Home Owners' Loan Corporation each declined by about 145 million. The Reconstruction Finance Corporation, the Home Owners' Loan Corporation, and the Federal land banks remain by far the largest of the agencies from the viewpoint of loans outstanding, having among them 5,754 milieu dollars in loans, or nearly two-thirds of the total loans of all the agencies; their combined assets constitute 54 percent of the aggregate. ^ The holdings of United States securities and securities guaranteed by the United States are concentrated in the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation, which have 363 million and 120 million dollars, respectively. These investments represent most of their capital and their reserves accumulated against insurance liabilities. Similarly, the capital of several other agencies is invested in direct Treasury or guaranteed securities. The holdings of other securities are composed principally of the 761 million dollars of Federal land bank bonds held by the Federal Farm Mortgage Corporation. There was little change in these categories during 1939. The 710-million-dollar rise in guaranteed obligations resulted largely from a net increase in Reconstruction Finance Corporation issues of 585 million dollars (plus 2 million of accrued interest), the proceeds of which were used to retire indebtedness to the Treasury. The Commodity Credit Corporation floated a note issue of 200 million dollars and the United States Housing Authority an issue of 100 million for the purpose of financing their current loan transactions. The outstanding guaranteed obligations of the Federal Farm 44 SUKVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 Mortgage Corporation, on the other hand, declined United States Housing Authority, while project adby 116 million dollars, and those of the Home Owners' vances to the end of November 1939 amounted to 107 million dollars, the total loan contract commitments on Loan Corporation by 76 million. There was little change during the year in the pri- those projects were 349 million. Additional commitvately owned proprietary interest in the corporations. ments, on which no advances had been made, amounted This interest is confined to capital-stock holdings in the to 188 million dollars, and earmarkings totaled 130 Federal land banks, the Federal Deposit Insurance million. Furthermore, the United States Housing Corporation, and the Federal home loan banks, plus a Authority has agreed, in connection with an arrangesmall amount in the banks for cooperatives. The ment inaugurated in November 1939, to refinance 51 decline of 334 million dollars in the proprietary interest million dollars of local housing-authority notes floated of the Federal Government was largely the result of the privately. shift in Reconstruction Finance Corporation financing of 742 million dollars. This was offset in part by a rise Gash Income and Outgo. in the miscellaneous category and the Tennessee Valley As has been indicated above, the budget operations of Authority. the Federal Government alone do not give a complete A general indication of the types of loans made by picture of the movements of cash into and out of the the corporations and agencies is provided by their Federal Treasury. The growing importance of the nomenclature. However, a specific break-down by type of borrower is presented in table 22. It will be observed MILLIONS OF DOLLARS I2OO that in the year ended November 1939 the classification of crop, livestock, and commodity loans showed by far A 1000 the largest increase—389 million dollars. Farm mortOUTGO 1 \~ /Agage loans fell by 146 million dollars, and urban mort800 gage loans by 64 million. In order of size, the largest 600 / outstanding categories were farm and urban mortgage \srCASH INCOME V loans, crop loans, and loans to (or purchases of capital 400 stock of) banks, railroads, and building and loan EXCESS Of CASH Ol/TGO^ 7 associations. 200 CA5H 1 i -A J Table 22.—Loans and Capital Stock Holdings of Government Corporations and Credit Agencies by Type of Borrower, Nov. 30, 1939 [Millions of dollars] -200 1 1 1 1 1 1 ! ! 1 1936 1 1 i 1 1 1 I 1 1 ! 1 1937 1 i ! 1 , 1 1 1938 . ( i i i 1 i i i i . i939 DO-TO-3/ Type of borrower Banks _ _ Kailroads Insurance companies __. Building and loan associations Mortgage loan companies--. Cooperative associations States. Territories, etc, Ship construction and reconditioning loans. Urban mortgage loans (n. e. c.) Farm mortgage loan* (n. e. c.) Crop, livestock, and commodity loans Low-cost housing loans .... Foreign-trade loans . Other loans and stock Total.. . Nov 30, 1939 12-month change 655 497 29 423 60 259 185 49 2,242 2,605 1,019 116 38 683 -64 — 146 +389 +96 +23 +90 8,860 +434 -29 -6 -1 -30 -13 +81 +48 The balance sheets of the corporations and agencies by no means show the full scope of their activities during the course of the year. New loans were constantly being made and old loans were being repaid; the amounts outstanding on any one date and the net change from one year to the next understate the extent of their loan operations. Similarly, in the case of some agencies the loan and investment transactions constitute merely an incidental part of their activity. This is notably true of the insurance corporations. At the end of 1939, the Federal Housing Administration had outstanding insurance on mortgages with a total value of over 3,050 million dollars; this represented an increase of 950 million for the year 1939. In the case of the Figure 32.—Cash Income and Outgo of the Treasury, and Excess of Cash Outgo, 1936-39 (U. S. Treasury Department). NOTE.—Data are plotted on a 3-month moving average, centered at the second month. Basic figures for January 1940 were not available in time to compute moving average figures for December 1939. social-insurance accounts and the segregation of certain self-financing credit agencies and governmental corporations must also be considered. To fill this need, the Treasury has compiled a series designed to show its cash income and outgo, excluding public-debt transactions other than redemptions of adjusted service bonds. This series, slightly smoothed, is shown in figure 32. Cash outgo declined sharply from the middle of 1936 until 1938 largely because of the peak in the summer of 1936 when the adjusted service certificates were paid. Cash income, on the other hand, rose sharply in 1937, with the result that the excess of cash outgo, from a high at the time of the prepayment of the adjusted service certificates in the middle of 1936, was converted into an excess of cash income in several months of 1937. In 1937 as a whole, the cash deficit fell to 330 million dollars. This sharp decline was reversed in 1938. Disbursements increased in 1938, while receipts fell. This movement continued into 1939 and consequently the cash deficit in 1939 exceeded that of the preceding year by 1,285 million dollars. 45 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 International Trade and Finance movement, because of major opposing trends within the year, playing a subordinate role. In 1939, the Balance of Payments transfer of capital funds to the United States was clearly the primary influence. By contrast with the The broad features of the balance of international preceding several years, however, the results of trade payments of the United States in 1938 were reproduced and service transactions in both 1938 and 1939 conin 1939. (See table 23 and figure 33.) The unusually tributed substantially to the shift of gold to the United large surplus of merchandise exports over imports in States, whereas in the years 1934-37 the inflow of these years was offset to only a minor extent by net capital was the dominant or sole factor operating to payments to foreigners for various services. The draw gold from other countries. resulting excess of receipts by this country on trade and service account, coupled with an influx of capital BILLIONS OF DOLLARS funds from abroad, was responsible for a heavy inflow 91 of gold in continuation of the extraordinary movement begun in 1934. Table 23.—Balance of International Payments of the United States, 1938-39 [In millions of dollars 1938 (Unrevised) Item Trade and service items: Merchandise . ._ Freight and shipping Travel expenditures Personal remittances Inst itutional contributions Interest and dividends Government transactions Miscellaneous services a n d adjustments _. _. Total trade and service i t e m s . . Gold and silver: Gold exports and imports Gold earmarking operations (net) Gold movements (net) Silver exports and imports Total gold and silver movements (net) Capital items:. Lon^-term capital movements Short-term capital movements Paper currency and miscellaneous capital movements Net capital movements Residual item Source: merce. Net reNet receipts Pay- ceipts PayReReceipts ments ceipts ments or net or net (ex(im(im(expaypayports) ports) ments ports) ports) ments 525 34 2,318 216 485 137 40 230 98 +859 -79 -320 -102 -40 +295 -64 +178 277 99 +178 4,261 3,235 +1,026 4,350 3,623 +727 6 1,979 - 1 , 9 7 3 +333 1 3,094 113 159 35 549 34 277 7 1,961 +1,133 155 -42 516 - 3 5 7 150 - 1 1 5 40 -40 216 +333 98 -64 99 231 -1,640 -224 3,177 137 165 35 15 +12 +330 +508 85 - 3 , 040 -70 -3,110 —1,864 +23 +295 3,575 - 3 , 574 +534 1 f 1+1,232 +1,232 +1,151 Bureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce, U. S. Department of Com- In point of relative magnitudes, the merchandise trade balance was reduced from $1,133,000,000 in 1938 to approximately $859,000,000 in 1939, or by 24 percent; while net payments to foreigners on service transactions, including interest and dividend items, were only slightly changed from an estimated $107,000,000 to $132,000,000. The influx of capital in 1939, as indicated by available data (see p. 49), was roughly four times the volume reported for 1938; and, wholly as a consequence of the increase in the capital movement, the gold inflow rose to an unprecedented figure of $3,040,000,000 in 1939 from $1,640,000,000 in the previous year. The structure of the balance of payments in the two periods differed in one significant respect. In 1938, the principal factor affecting the goldflowwas the excess of commodity exports, with the net capital NET GOLD INFLOW (inc/ucfing Earmarking 1939 (Preliminary) 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 Figure 33.—Cumulative Net Movements of Gold and of Capital Between the United States and Foreign Countries, and Cumulative Excess of Merchandise Exports Over Imports, Since the Beginning of 1935 (Net Gold Inflow, U. S. Department of Commerce and the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; Net Capital Movement, U. S. Treasury Department; and Merchandise Trade Balance, U. S. Department of Commerce). N O T E . — D a t a for " N e t Capital M o v e m e n t " are plotted weekly; other data are plotted monthly. Data for " N e t Capital M o v e m e n t " subsequent to the week ended September 27, 1939, were not available in time to include them in this chart. Merchandise Trade As indicated in table 24 and figure 34, the increase in total merchandise exports in 1939 as compared with 1938 was entirely the result of larger shipments during the second half of the year.1 From January through May, exports were below the levels of the preceding year. Beginning in June, they rose above shipments in the corresponding months of 1938 by a margin which widened to 37 percent in December. For the year as a whole, however, the increase in the value of exports was only 3 percent and the aggregate was smaller than in 1937. Merchandise imports in 1939 were consistently larger than in 1938, as a rising trend, paralleling the course of industrial production, carried import trade up from the low point of mid-1938. The increase for the year was approximately 18 percent. The physical volume of foreign trade rose about 5 percent in the case of exports and about 15 percent in the case of imports. » See Recent Trends in United States Export Trade, Survey of Current Business^ January 1940. 46 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS INDEX NUMBERS, INDEX NUMBERS, 1935 = )00 !3OI '"" TOTAL EXPORTS 1923-25 = 100 140 A f .A W. 120 QU4/vr/ry^ NIT VALUE (PRICE) OF IMPORTS \ A 100 February 1940 RAT/O OF IMPORT TO EXPORT PRICES " /••••: 80 A---./ -VALUL 60 A V 40 1 I ! 1 1 1 1 A/\ 1 1 1 1 ! ! 1 TOTAL IMPORTS AND INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 1936 1938 1939 Figure 35.—Indexes of Unit Value (Price) of Exports of United States Merchandise, and Imports for Consumption (Unadjusted), and Ratio of Import. Prices to Export Prices (Terms of Trade) 1936-39 (U. S. Department of Commerce). 1936 Figure 34.—Indexes of Quantity and Value of Exports of United States Merchandise, and Imports for Consumption (Unadjusted), and Volume of Industrial Production (Adjusted for Seasonal Variations), 1936-39 (Exports and Imports, U. S. Department of Commerce; Industrial Production, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System). Price changes tended to raise the value of imports throughout 1939 and to depress the value of exports until the sharp rise in export prices during September. Table 24.—Foreign Trade of the United States, by Months, 1938-39 [Millions of dollars] General imports Total exports Month 1938 January February March April May ___ June July August September October November December Total - -- - __ ___.._ -. 1939 289 262 275 274 257 233 228 213 219 268 231 249 236 230 Percentage change -26 -16 -3 -16 -3 +1 +1 +9 231 24(i 251 289 278 252 269 332 293 368 +17 +19 + 16 +37 3,094 3,177 +3 1938 171 163 173 160 148 146 141 1939 Percentage change +4 178 158 190 186 202 179 169 +10 +16 +36 +23 +20 ]78 176 171 215 235 247 +8 +21 +34 +44 1,960 2,318 +18 166 168 176 181 +6 Source: Bureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce, U. S. Department of Commerce. The comparative trends of export and import prices, shown in figure 35, indicate that the terms of international trade have become less favorable to the United States during recent years; that is, the cost of goods imported into the United States expressed in terms of domestic goods exported has risen. This development, which is fairly typical in a period of generally expanding international trade for a country exporting chiefly manufactured articles and importing chiefly crude products (because of the greater sensitivity of raw-material prices), became marked during the last half of 1938 and the first half of 1939 as import and export prices moved in opposite directions—the former up, the latter down. In September the sharp rise in the prices of certain export products made the terms of trade temporarily more favorable to the United States. Lower dollar-exchange rates for foreign currencies, shown in figure 36, notably for the pound sterling and the French franc, contributed to the downward movement of import prices during the first three quarters of 1938. In the early part of 1939, however, the unit value of imports rose, while the prices of foreign currencies in New York remained fairly stable. In September, when rates for the pound and associated units reached levels approximately 14 percent below those of July, import prices nonetheless increased. In both instances, of course, the increase in import prices was due to a rise in the foreign-currency prices of imported goods. As suggested by the data in table 25, the effect of the depreciation of foreign currencies on import prices and the terms of international trade has been largely or entirely counterbalanced since September by the rise in internal prices in neutral as well as in belligerent countries. Although detailed returns for 1939 reveal significant changes in the character and direction of United States export trade, the outbreak of the war in Europe had considerably less effect upon exports than (to judge by domestic reactions to the events of September) was generally anticipated. Shipments of goods to foreign countries had advanced prior to the outbreak of war, and the increase from September through November was of little more than seasonal proportions. In December, however, there was a sharp gain. The increases after September did not occur in trade with the United Kingdom and France (despite their large purchases of aircraft, metals, and other war supplies in the United States), but wTere almost entirely the consequence of increased exports to the European neutrals and to countries outside Europe. Purchases of United States merchandise by the Scandinavian countries rose by no less than 67 percent over 1938; those by Canada increased approximately 43 percent; and for Latin American countries the gain was 42 percent. Direct shipments to Germany, already materially reduced during recent years, fell to negligible proportions. areas as compared with 1938 results, or, in the cases of northern North America, Latin America, and Asia, as compared with 1937 returns. The sharp increase in cotton exports in December, together with large shipments during the preceding 4 months, offset the small movement during the first half of the year and brought the total for the year to the 1938 level. Exports of agricultural products as a group dropped during 1939 Table 25.—Dollar Exchange Rates and Wholesale Price Movements in Selected Countries, July and December 1939 INDEX NUMBERS, 1935 = 100 IOO ^•WEIGHTED 47 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 BY U. S. IMPORTS Value of currency in terms of dollar Wholesale Country WEIGHTED BY U.S. V ---• i J 1938 . . . . ! December 1939 United Kingdom Canada Japan Netherlands Switzerland United States . $4. 682 .998 .273 .533 .226 $4.040 .890 .234 .531 .224 .. . - -14 -11 -14 0 -1 +23 +12 +16 +21 +17 +4 , 1939 Figure 36.—Indexes of Prices of 40 Foreign Currencies in New York, 1938 and 1939 (U. S. Treasury Department). Exports to the United Kingdom and, until December, to France were on much the same scale as in 1938. The reduced importance of the United States as a supplier of food and raw materials to Europe, the greater self-sufficiency of the British and French Empires, the anticipation of present war needs through the building up of reserve stocks, the absence of destructive land operations, and the speed with which wartime controls were imposed by the belligerent powers account for the failure of the export trade to expand quickly and for major differences between the outlook for export trade in 1914 and 1939. Before the end of the year it was apparent that the Allied Powers, in addition to cutting off direct trade with Germany and restricting trade with neutral countries contiguous to Germany, wxre keeping at a minimum their purchases in the United States of nonessential commodities or of commodities which for economic or political reasons could be obtained more advantageously elsewhere. Thus, for example, imports of American tobacco into the United Kingdom, hitherto the principal foreign market for the product, were sharply curtailed and then shut off altogether. On the other hand, heavy Allied demands for manufactures such as airplanes, machine tools, petroleum products, and motor trucks were evident in export returns for the closing months of the year. In December, shipments (particularly of aircraft) to the European belligerents materially affected the export total, which reached the highest point since March 1930. General imports were larger than in any month since July 1937, but the balance of exports— $120,000,000—exceeded that of any month since October 1929. Besides the rise in shipments to the United Kingdom and France in December, there were continued substantial gains in export trade with all world J u l y 1939 EXPORTS^ prices (percentage change Percentage July 1939change December 1939) Source: Federal Reserve Bulletin, except December currency values, for United Kingdom and Canada, which are official rates. largely as a consequence of reduced shipments of grains, which had been in heavy demand in 1937-38, and of leaf tobacco and fruit, both of which came under wartime restriction. Increases in exports in 1939 as a whole, as well as during the last 4 months of the year, were concentrated largely in manufactured products, especially metals and manufactures, aircraft, machinery, lubricants, and chemicals. Service Transactions Preliminary estimates indicate that net payments by the United States to foreigners for services were somewhat increased in 1939 as compared with 1938. The higher volume of merchandise imports, the restrictions and prohibitions placed upon the operations of American vessels under the provisions of neutrality legislation, and the jump in ocean freight rates following the outbreak of war in Europe, all tended to increase payments to foreigners for ocean freight. On the other hand, outlays by United States residents for foreign travel, although reduced from 1938 levels, were not seriously affected by the virtual stoppage of outbound traffic to Europe, which occurred after travel to the Continent was past its seasonal peak. Expenditures by American travelers in Canada and Mexico were about the same in 1939 as in 1938. Foreigners visiting the United States spent a larger aggregate sum in 1939 than in the preceding year, entirely as a result, however, of larger outlays by visitors from overseas. Net income from foreigners on interest and dividend account, while continuing to reflect the substantial creditor position of the United States in respect of longterm investments, was reduced in 1939, partly as a consequence of smaller receipts of interest on American holdings of foreign dollar bonds. The return on American direct investments abroad was not much changed, 48 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS so far as available indications show. Payments to foreigners during 1939 on interest-and-dividend account were probably somewhat higher than in 1938, not because of the heavy inflow of capital during the year (which was largely a transfer of foreign funds into balances on which no interest can be paid rather than a shift in investments of actual or prospective earning capacity), but because of an improved dividend rate on foreign holdings of domestic shares. Among other service transactions, personal remittances to foreign countries by alien and other residents of the United States declined during 1939 by approximately 10 percent from 1938 estimates. Gold and Silver Movements The rate at which foreign gold has moved to the United States in recent years has been a fairly accurate measure of the explosive potentialities of political developments in Europe. The inward gold movement, serving as the vehicle for the transfer of capital funds, assumed extremely large proportions in the autumn of 1935, when Italy undertook the subjection of Ethiopia. It reacted sensitively to the shifts from one financial and political crisis to another in France during the first 9 months of 1936, became highly accelerated at the time of the Munich conference in September 1938, and finally in 1939 reflected a flight of capital from Europe of such proportions as only the apparent inevitability of war could induce. This inpouring of gold from foreign countries during 1939, which added $3,040,000,000 to domestic monetary gold stocks, was far in excess of the previous record inflow of $1,739,000,000 in 1935. Table 26.—Gold and Silver Imports Into the United States and Gold and Silver Production Outside the United States, 1934-39 [Millions of dollars] Year 1934 . 1935 1936 . . . 1937 1938 1939 _ Total .. Silver proGold proGold im- duction out- Silver im- duction outports (net) side United ports (net) side United States States 1,217 1,739 1,030 1,386 1,640 3,040 862 930 1,025 1,078 1,154 i 1,132 86 336 174 83 224 71 76 113 86 92 90 190 10,052 6,181 974 547 * Preliminary. Total receipts of gold from foreign sources in the years 1934-39 amounted to more than $10,000,000,000. (See table 26.) During each of the years in this period, the inflow from abroad exceeded world production outside of the United States, although output was considerably increased. Nearly three-fourths of total imports of gold into the United States in 1939 came from accumulated reserves or from new production in the United Kingdom, Canada, and other British countries, which together control two-thirds of the world's output. Receipts from the European neutrals were exceptionally heavy during the year, and those from Japan and from producing areas in Latin America continued large. February 1940 In addition to shipments of gold to the United States for immediate conversion into dollar balances in 1939, large amounts were imported to be placed under earmark for foreign account during the months preceding the outbreak of the war in Europe and again in December. These deposits of gold for safekeeping or for future conversion into dollar balances raised the total amount of gold held in this country under foreign ownership from $629,000,000 at the end of 1938 to $1,288,000,000 on July 31. These resources were drawn down during the succeeding 4 months by $325,000,000, but further additions in December brought the aggregate to $1,163,000,000 at the end of 1939. Both the heavy inflow of gold after August (aggregating almost $1,000,000,000), against which there was no visible accumulation of dollar balances, and the building up of earmarked stocks in December revealed the extremely heavy requirements, either current or prospective, for dollar exchange to meet commitments in the United States by foreign governments and others. Net imports of silver in 1939, amounting to about $70,000,000, were the smallest in 6 years and only about a third of net receipts in 1938. Cumulative net imports since the beginning of 1934, representing for the most part purchases by the Treasury in accordance with the terms of the Silver Purchase Act, reached nearly $1,000,000,000 by the end of 1939. In effect, these receipts of silver from foreign sources absorbed the whole of silver production outside the United States as well as very substantial sums coming out of existing stocks in other countries. Capital Movements Two periods of extreme international tension in the first 9 months of 1939, the latter culminating in war in Europe, caused a reported inflow of capital into the United States of $1,179,000,000, as reflected in figure 37. The average monthly rate of flow thus substantially exceeded the rate during any of the four preceding years. Eighty-five percent of the net capital imports took the form of foreign short-term banking and brokerage balances in the United States, increasing the total of such investments to $3,195,000,000 as of September 27, 1939. Foreign long-term investments declined slightly to $5,635,000,000 as of this same date, as a result of net sales of United States securities by foreigners amounting to $46,000,000. On balance the changes in these two items account for an increase of about $950,000,000 in foreign investments in the United States during the first three quarters of 1939. United States short-term investments in foreign countries were afi'ected by the withdrawal of $157,000,000 of banking and brokerage funds from abroad, bringing the total of such investments in foreign countries down to $532,000,000 at the end of September. In addition, American portfolio investments abroad were reduced to $3,950,000,000 by reported net foreign purchases of foreign securities totaling $67,000,000. The combined effect of all these four classes of capital movements was a substantial reduction in the net creditor position of the United States. January, February, and early March of 1939 were, as regards capital movements, a continuation of the last 3 months of 1938, in that they were not dominated by political crises. There was, however, considerable uncertainty, and this was reflected in pressure on sterling, which in November 1938 dropped from $4.75}£ to $4.63. Sterling recovered early in December to $4.70, but leveled off again and reached $4.62% on January 3. At this point the British Government took steps to protect the exchange by placing informal restrictions on the operations of speculators and by MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 5000 4000 TOTAL ~ V ^ \ 3000 / BANKING FUNDS / 2000 1000 0 y to / / / >\ ^ ^>S w S£C RITY TRANSACTIONS IN BR0 KERAC£ BALANCES - ^ 500 1935 49 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 1936 1937 1938 1939 Figure 37.—Cumulative Net Capital Movements Between the United States and Foreign Countries, by Types, Beginning with January 2, 1935 (U. S. Treasury Department). NOTE.—Data subsequent to the week ended September 27,1939, were not available in time to include them in this chart. strengthening the position of the exchange equalization account. For a time these measures seemed to be effective. However, weaknesses in some neutral currencies soon became evident. Late in January and in February the Dutch guilder was subjected to especially heavy pressure as a result of the outflow of refugee funds and remittances of the proceeds of several foreign loans. The belga was affected adversely by cabinet difficulties. Capital and gold were exported from the Netherlands and Belgium in large volume. Foreign Official Balances Increased. About the middle of March the motivation of capital movements changed. On the 15th, Germany invaded Czechoslovakia and the unrest which followed induced a reported capital inflow averaging more than $75,000,000 a week during a 6-week period. The invasion of Czechoslovakia and the pressure on Rumania caused, first, the ostentatious dropping of the appeasement policy by the British Government, and, second, the formulation of a system of European alliances and guarantees by England and France. The vast rush of European capital to the United States in search of safety had subsided, or worn itself out temporarily, by early May. After that time capital movements, instead of being almost entirely an inflow of private funds, seemed to be dominated by the flow of foreign-government and central-bank funds. From April 26 to September 27 the deposit liabilities to foreign banks of member banks in 101 cities reporting weekly to the Federal Reserve Board, which include the accounts of foreign individuals and commercial banks, rose about 18 percent. During the same period the deposit liabilities of the Federal Reserve Banks to foreign central banks increased 106 percent. Approximately the same 5-month period saw a net increase in gold earmarked for foreign account at the Federal Reserve banks amounting to $365,000,000. The total gold so held at the end of September was $1,133,000,000. These developments pointed to a policy of building up reserves of dollar purchasing power on the part of neutrals as well as of belligerents. As shown in table 27, each country or area except Germany and Italy increased its short-term assets in this country. Accounts for the United Kingdom, France, and Canada increased $424,000,000, or about 50 percent, as shown in table 27. The accounts of European neutrals increased $369,000,000, or about 60 percent, while those of Latin America and the Far East increased $186,000,000, or about 25 percent. As conditions in Poland approached a crisis and war fears became greater in August, a flight of capital again occurred. This time, in order to conserve gold resources and penalize the export of capital, the British official support was withdrawn from the exchange market. As a result, sterling fell from $4.60 on August 25 to $4.12 on August 28, recovering by the end of August to $4.40, only to fall upon and after the opening of the war to $4 and below. Table 27.—Foreign Short-Term Liabilities of United States Banks and Brokers, by Countries, December 28, 1938, and September 27, 1939 [Millions of dollars] Country or area United Kingdom France. Germany Italy. Netherlands SwitzerlandOther Europe Increase (+) or decrease (—) December 28, 1938 September 27, 1939 446 196 20 23 102 224 253 669 304 8 17 192 312 450 +197 1,264 239 257 401 32 1,952 332 388 456 67 +C88 +93 + 131 +55 +35 2,193 3,195 +1, 002 _ Total Europe CanadaLatin America Far East All other Total +223 +108 -12 -6 +90 +88 Source: Bulletin of the Treasury Department, Office of the Secretary, issues of March and December, 1939, as adjusted for certain special deposit accounts not included in the Treasury figures. Transactions in Domestic Securities. Total reported foreign transactions in United States securities from January through September resulted in net sales of $46,000,000. At the same time that the United Kingdom was building up deposits in American 50 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS banks, it was selling United States securities. Net sales by the British occurred in seven of the nine months and aggregated $64,000,000. They were particularly heavy in January, when the British Government exhibited a determination to support sterling exchange, and in September, the first month of the war, Canada, France, Germany, and Italy also sold United States securities on balance during the first three quarters of 1939, whereas all other countries and areas were net purchasers. Contrary to the reaction to the opening of the war in 1914, the stock market experienced a substantial rise in September. Stock price indexes advanced 14 percent during the month. The United Kingdom was a large net seller during the last 3 weeks of the month, while the Netherlands, Switzerland, and the Far East were net purchasers during the first 3 weeks in almost equal volume. It is not possible at this time to estimate the longterm effect of the war on the prices of American securities. The liquidation of European holdings which will undoubtedly occur if the war is of moderate or long duration will exert a depressing effect on prices, whereas the stimulation of production in this country as a result of larger foreign orders will tend to counteract that downward pull. It was apparent as early as last July, however, that the British Government appreciated the importance of American investments and would take measures to insure an orderly liquidation in the event of war. It was at that time that the Government instituted a study of the holdings of British investing institutions. This was followed on August 27 by a ban on the sale of certain foreign securities, including those payable in dollars, and by an order that all investors report their holdings to the Bank of England. On September 17 the French Government decreed that French holders of funds or property abroad must declare them to the Government by December 1. While these measures do not strictly involve mobilization of foreign assets, other measures of exchange control restrict the sale of such assets. Furthermore, it is likely that if the need arises, belligerent and even neutral governments will mobilize all the foreign assets of their citizens in order to conserve all possible dollar purchasing power. American-Owned Funds Repatriated. American-owned short-term assets in foreign countries were reduced more sharply during 1939 than in any year since 1935. The reduction of $157,000,000 by the end of September was accomplished without interruption except for July. Reductions which occurred in all areas except Latin America bear witness to the efforts of American banks to avoid the risk of having large assets tied up in areas greatly affected by war. Substantial reductions were again reported in assets in Germany throughout the year, and in noticeable volume in the United Kingdom in March and April. February 1940 Transactions in foreign securities during the JanuarySeptember period resulted in net purchases amounting to $67,000,000. They were probably restricted largely to taking care of maturities. New foreign issues offered publicly in the United States were confined to three Canadian issues—two Provincial and one corporate. According to preliminary estimates, only about $35,000,000 of the $82,000,000 par value of these issues was for new capital, the remainder being for refunding purposes. Political and Economic Factors. At times the flow of capital to the United States during the last 5 years was induced by purely economic conditions, domestic and foreign; at other times national political events caused special movements of more localized importance yet of considerable volume; and, again, world political crises leading to threats of war became the principal influences. These influences did not always operate separately. In fact, they were generally associated, although often in a rather broad sense, and with one usually in the dominant role. MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 10001 900 NET PURCHASES NET SALES 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 DO-39-34O Figure 38.—Foreign Purchases and Sales, and Net Purchases or Sales of United States Domestic Securities, 1935-39 (U. S. Treasury Department). NOTE.—Data include transactions executed in the United States for foreign account, executed abroad for domestic account, and transactions in joint foreign arbitrage accounts as reported by banks, brokers, and dealers in the United States. Quarterly figures in chart are totals of weekly transactions through September 27, 1939; data for subsequent weeks were not available in time to include them in this chart. Without evidence of advancing business in the United States, particularly as reflected in rising security prices, the large net foreign purchases of American stocks and bonds in 1936 and early 1937 probably would not have taken place. Nevertheless, the recession in the summer and fall of 1937 did not immedi- February 1940 SUEVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS ately result in net sales for any extended period. Foreigners did sell on balance during the first 6 months of 1938. (See fig 38.) Economic conditions in France, in particular, were at the bottom of the intermittent financial and political exigencies which featured French developments for several years and therefore were important factors in the flights of French capital. Economic conditions were likewise important as contributing factors in the political stress and capital movements of other countries. The large movements of short-term banking funds to the United States preceding the devaluation of the belga in March 1935, the gold-bloc difficulties which both preceded and followed that event, and the franc devaluation of September 1936 were, in their origin, motivated by economic and political forces. These mixed financial and political factors had their principal effect in the flow of short-term capital rather than in the longer-term securities movements. The more purely political influences resulted primarily in the movement of banking funds. The few weeks preceding the critical conditions in Europe in September of 1938 and, to a much lesser degree, in March of 1938 and 1939 were characterized by net sales of United States securities, apparently in anticipation of a falling market in the event that war resulted. In each instance, however, these were quickly followed by net purchases of at least equal volume. Capital and Gold Movements Closely Related. Net capital imports into the United States from the beginning of 1935 to September 27, 1939, aggregated $4,959,000,000, and net gold imports, including changes in earmarked gold, totaled $8,176,000,000. Part of the difference between these two figures is caused by the inability to get reports on certain types of capital transactions. During the first 9 months of 1939, net capital imports totaled $1,179,000,000 and gold imports $2,381,000,000. It seems likely that in the future to a considerable extent, as has happened in some instances in the past, gold will be shipped to this country for the purpose of maintaining dollar balances as these are consumed in making purchases in this country. The relationship between the two movements—gold and capital—may be obscured by the use of net figures and the more apparent relationship will be that between gold movements and net merchandise exports. In other words, the bank accounts into which the proceeds of the gold imports might be placed may not reflect those sums because they will be drawn upon concurrently in order to pay for merchandise exports. International Investment Position of United States. World conditions during the years 1935-39 have been such as to induce capital to flow to the United States in large volume each year from all parts of the world with correspondingly large changes in interna 51 tional investments. The net reported inflow of capital from January 2,1935, to September 27,1939, aggregated $4,959,000,000, as shown in figure 39. About 63 percent, or $3,117,000,000, of the capital which has come to the United States during this period has been banking and brokerage funds. Part of these funds have been American-owned and, as a result, the foreign assets of American banks and brokers were reduced to less than half their previous volume—that is, from $1,234,000,000 to $532,000,000. On the other hand, the inflow of short-term funds multiplied the foreign liabilities of these institutions almost five times—from $679,000,000 to $3,195,000,000. D BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 2 3 ^\ 5 TOTAL UNITED KINGDOM FRANCE GERMANY ITALY NETHERLANDS SWITZERLAND mmm OTHER EUROPE CANADA m LATIN AMERICA y//////m V//////A 1935-38 ^ ^ 9 MONTHS, 1939 FAR EAST Z, ALL OTHERS Figure 39.—Net Capital Movements Between the United States and Foreign Countries, by Selected Countries, Beginning with January 2, 1935 (U. S. Treasury Department). NOTE.—Data are totals for the periods from January 2, 1935, through December 28, 1938, and December 29, 1938, through September 27, 1939; data for subsequent weeks were not available in time to include them in this chart. At the end of 1934, foreigners had accumulated a portfolio of investments in United States stocks and bonds totaling $2,089,000,000. The net purchases in 5 years of active trading aggregated $1,164,000,000— a little more than half of the previously accumulated holdings. Through these net purchases and changing market prices, foreign holdings at the end of September 1939 were estimated to have increased to $3,200,000,000. Foreign ownership of subsidiary and branch enterprises (direct investments) brought the total long-term investments to $5,635,000,000 (table 28). Fourteen percent ($677,000,000) of the net capital inflow into the United States during the period hi question went into net purchases of foreign securities in this market. Most of these purchases reduced American holdings of foreign dollar bonds, with the result that the par value of such investments was reduced from $5,296,000,000 at the end of 1934 to about $3,950,000,000 at the end of September 1939. United States direct investments in foreign countries were estimated at $7,100,000,000. It is at once apparent from the data regarding foreign securities that net purchases by foreigners were made at prices averaging around 50 percent of par. Many of the purchases wore made by investors in the issuing and other foreign countries who were at- 52 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS tracted by the low prices at which particular issues were selling: in this country. Some purchases, however, were sinking-fund and redemption purchases made in accordance with the provisions of the bond indentures. Some of the redemptions, such as those by Canada in 1936 and Argentina in 1937, were made before maturity and were the means by which foreign countries were able to reduce their external debts. The net creditor position of the United States on long-term and short-term international investments, excluding the war debts, amounted to $8,494,000,000 at the end of 1934 and to $3,876,000,000 at the end of 1938. Capital movements during the first three quarters of 1939 followed the trend of recent years and caused a further large reduction to $2,752,000,000 at the end of September 1939.1 (See table 28.) The inflow of short-term capital, consisting of banking and brokerage funds, was responsible for all of the reduc- February 1940 tion in the net creditor position of the United States in 1939. It was also the most important factor during the years 1935-38. However, there were over this period large increases in foreign holdings of United States securities and still larger reductions in American holdings of foreign securities. Table 28.—United States International Investments, End of 1934 and 1938 and September 1939 [Millions of dollars] Item United States investments in foreign countries: Long-term Short-term Total ._. Foreign investments in the United States: Long-term __ Short-term _. Total i The data on international capital movements and on the creditor-debtor position of the United States used in this analysis are based on available statistical data and do not take account of the very large residual of unidentified transactions which presumably consists in large part of unreported capital transfer. Net creditor position of the United States End of 1934 End of 1938 September 1939 (preliminary) 12.2% 1,234 11, 070 689 11,050 532 13, 530 11,759 11,582 4,357 67<J 5,690 2,193 5,635 3,195 5,036 7,883 8,830 8,494 3,876 2, 752 Source: Bureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce, U. S. Department of Commerce. 53 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 Appendix A. Summary Table: Selected Business Indicators for Specified Years and Percentage Changes NOTE.—Data for the intervening years and for those prior to 1929, together with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the 1938 Supplement to the Survey of Current Business unless other reference is given in the appropriate footnotes on pp. 58 to 95 of this issue. Percentage change, 1939 compared with— Year Unit or base Item 1929 1932 1933 1937 1938 1939 INCOME PAYMENTS Total. Salaries and wages: Total Commodity producing industries. _. Distributive industries Service industries Government... _._ Work-relief wages . Direct and other relief Social security benefits and other labor income. Dividends and interest Entrepreneurial income and net rents and " royalties. Total nonagricultural income 1929 1932 1933 1938 +8.3 +4.9 +26.4 +46.7 +5.1 +5.4 +10.6 +4.6 +3.6 +3.3 -12.8 +5.6 +5.6 +23.3 +60.0 -11.2 -5.9 +7.1 +3.2 +47.0 -2.8 +5.3 -4.5 -3.7 — 11 2 -25 6 +6.9 +22.1 +25.0 +46.2 +42.9 +15.5 +66.3 +63.6 +12.0 +8.5 +3.1 +7.0 +43.0 +4.5 +23.9 +5.0 +13.8 +4.2 +11.6 +31.4 +17.0 +27.0 +16.4 +14.2 -24.0 -10.7 -24.4 -17.7 -4.7 -3.2 -1.9 -4.7 -4.4 -.5 +14.4 +27 A +29.8 +14.0 +24.2 +17.7 -7.8 -17.2 -9.7 +2.1 -26.5 +12.7 +18.6 +16.0 +16.0 -9.5 -5.5 -2.4 85.2 -14.9 +9.4 +13.8 -3.7 -1.4 -16.3 +36.0 ofdol. ofdol. of d o l . ofdol. ofdol. ofdol. ofdol. ofdol. of dol 81,644 53. 352 21,1 13, 837 11, J 4,922 0 72 859 49.398 31,071 9,428 8,637 7,991 4,883 132 338 1.158 46, 783 29,082 9,146 7,756 7,169 4,365 646 554 949 72, 449 45, 258 17. 260 10, 697 9.947 5,571 1.783 841 1,112 66, 271 41, 557 14, 086 10. 049 9,438 5,839 2,145 1,007 1,545 +48.9 69. 683 -14.7 +41.1 +50. 6 43, 783 -17. +40.9 +70.4 15. 586 -28.2 +65. 3 +35. 6 10, 514 -24.0 +21.7 +36 4 9,782 -17.8 +22.4 +38.2 6,031 +22.5 +23.5 1. 870 +1,316 7 +189. 5 +91.9 1,063 -f-1,376.4 +214. 5 +71.9 1,631 +40.8 +89.9 Mil. o f d o l . Mil. o f d o l . 11,517 26,844 8,286 8,545 7,366 8,826 10,225 15.013 8,476 13, 686 9,081 14,125 -21.2 -16.1 +9.6 +65.3 Mil. of dol. 73. 542 46, 551 43,174 65,282 60,236 63,452 -13.7 +36.3 1923-25=1001923-25=1001923-25=100.. 1923-25=100.. 1923-25=100-. 1923-25=100.. 1923-25=100.. 1923-25=100-. 1923-25=100.. 1923-25=1001923-25=100.. 1923-25=1001923-25=100. 1923-25 = 1001923-25=100. 1923-25 = 100. 1923-25=100- 119 119 122 135 114 152 130 117 110 137 168 135 94 115 134 102 137 95,925 63 33 35 51 53 31 88 95 105 140 78 89 83 111 59 107 82,377 76 75 50 48 43 91 53 98 106 100 145 88 97 97 116 64 123 84,736 110 109 107 121 78 194 118 110 125 142 204 106 84 111 159 85 174 121,837 86 84 65 63 71 86 66 100 118 127 200 79 88 92 159 65 165 116, 681 105 105 95 90 82 143 108 112 128 131 214 113 92 114 167 74 172 130, 271 -11. -11.8 -22.1 -33.3 -28.1 -5.9 -16.9 -4. 146 95.3 104 99 9 91.6 65 64.8 48.2 61.0 70.2 70 65.9 51 4 60.5 71.2 121 86.3 86.4 85.5 85.3 95 78.6 68.5 73.6 81.7 92 77.1 65.3 70.4 81.3 -37.0 -19.1 -37.8 -29.5 -11.3 +41.5 +19.0 +35. 5 +15.4 +15.8 94.5 97.5 93.9 70.3 55.1 59.3 70.5 56.5 65.4 87.2 84.8 85.3 82.2 72.0 75.4 80.4 70.2 77.0 -14.9 -28.0 -18.0 104.7 68.3 75.8 66.4 77.5 85.1 95. 1 78.9 89.7 77.0 89.9 77.9 74.9 88.5 86.4 Mil. Mil. Mil. Mil. Mil. Mil. Mil. Mil. Mil. 1937 -3.8 -3.3 -9.7 -1.7 -1.7 PRODUCTION industrial production, total. Manufactures, total . Durable goods, total Automobiles Cement . . __.. Glass, plate Iron and steel . Nondurable goods, total .__ Boots and shoes Newsprint consumption.... Petroleum refining . Rubber tires and tubes Slaughtering and meat packing. Textiles Tobacco manufactures... Bituminous coal Petroleum, crude Electric power production.— ... Mil.kw.-hr.. +16.4 -4.4 +27.4 -16.3 -2.1 -.9 +24.6 -27.5 +25. 5 +35.8 +64.1 +38.2 +66.7 +40.0 +90 0 +187.9 + 157 1 +87 5 +90.7 +60.8 +57. 1 + 169.8 +248. 4 +103. 8 + 14.3 +27.3 +20.8 +34.7 +31.0 +24.+47.6 +52.9 +28.4 +44.9 -5.2 +3.4 +17.5 +37.3 +44.0 +50.5 +15.6 +25.4 +39 8 +60.7 +53.7 +58.1 +5.1 -26.3 -8.5 + 18 +2.4 +4^ +6 6 +9.5 +2 7 +5 0 -12.9 -1.1 PKICES Prices received by farmers—..-._. Wholesale, combined index Farm products.. _. Foods Commodities other than farm products and foods. Economic classes: Finished products Raw materials . Semimanufactures Retail: Food (Bureau of Labor Statistics) Fairchild's, department store articles... 1909-14=100--. 1926=100 1926=100 1926=100 1926=100 1926=100 1926=100 1926=100 Cost of living, combined index (N. I. O. B.)_ 1923-25=100 . . . Dec. 31, 1930 = 100. 1923=100 .. 0) 100.1 -2.2 -2.5 +.2 TEADE Sales, retail: New passenger a u t o m o b i l e . . . . - . . . — Chain store: Grocery Variety store (7 chains) Department store, total Rural general merchandise ._. Foreign trade: Exports, total (Incl. reexports) value. U. S. merchandise: Quantity-.. Value .. Imports (general), total value___-_._. Imports for consumption: Quantity „„ Value 1929-31 = 100 144.1 35.5 43.3 108.3 66.7 90.7 -38.1 +155. 5 +109. 5 1929-31 = 100 1929-31 = 100 1923-25=100 1929-31 = 100 102.9 107.1 111 124.9 85.7 80.8 69 63.1 95.7 102.0 92 121.7 94.1 98.0 85 114.1 102.5 102.0 90 127.5 -.4 -4. -18.9 +2.1 +19.6 +26. 2 +30.4 +102.1 +27.6 +23.6 +34.3 +84.2 1923-25 = 100-_.__ 115 35 80.3 82.5 67 69. 2| i 37 70 -39.1 +100.0 +89.2 +58.0 +89.2 +62.2 -5.4 -25.0 +17.6 1923-25 = 100 1923-25 = 100 1923-25=100 1923-25 = 1 0 0 - . . . . 1923-25 = 100 132 115 113 35 34 2 131 * 113 2 79 2 34 37 37 73 -2.2 +4.8 +8.9 +4.1 +5.9 +11.7 +2.9 +3.8 105 74 105 68 51 109 70 -17.4 -39. 1 -46.9 +58. 0 +100.0 +76.5 131 79 94 51 108 59 -17.6 -47.8 +36.7 +73.5 +25. 6 +59. 5 -17.6 -25.3 +14.9 +15.7 +182.8 +21.9 +11.1 +3.8 +2.9 CONSTRUCTION -38.3 +162. 8 Thous. ofdol. Thous. ofdol.. Thous. of dol . 487. 622 417.462 1,156,161 1,072.137 965. 638 280. 069 249. 264 905. 293 985. 787 1, 334. 272 62. 380 84, 525 262.948 288. 847 288. 951 469.616 940,138 521,088 504. 458 588. 658 850,157 961. 682 3,950, 315 11,219, 309 1,068,369 2,437,623 2, 791,931 3, 002, 856 -60.2 -30.4 -38.5 +98.0 +131.3 -16.5 +376 4 +435. 3 +47.4 +363. 2 +241.9 +9.9 +84. +90.6 +63. 4 +146.3 +181.1 +23.2 1923-25=100.-. Thous. of doL , Thous. of dol.-. 55 78 62 70 58 107 6,283 062 3, J, 125,428 3,095. 539 4,;, 166,182 3, 564,,830 3,995,061 1, 252, 297 326,392 474,268 590, 221 373,151 588,201 -34. 6 -36.4 -53.0 +27.3 +27.8 +80.2 +20.7 +29.1 +24.0 -10.3 -4.1 Q +12.9 +12.1 +57.6 0) 127,039 173,492 476,603 557,719 749,787 249,634 1,003,970 1, 510, 215 7,127, 369 7, 335,967 9, 514, 300 + 3 , 711. 3 +490.2 +820.2 +332. 2 +530.0! +57.3 +33.5 +34.4 +29.7 Thous. ofdol Construction contracts awarded, total, 37 States (F. W. Dodge Corporation). Nonresidential buildings Residential buildings Utilities . Public works Engineering construction contracts awarded (Engineering News Record). 5, 750, 791 1,351,159 1, 255, 709 2,913,060 3,196,928 3, 550,543 Thous. of dol____ 2,425. 308 Thous. of dol. 1,915.729 +2.3 -24.0 +35.4 (3) +13.1 +7.6 TRANSPORTATION Steam railways (class I ) : Freight-car loadings ( F . R. index) Operating revenues, total N e t railway operating income Operations on scheduled domestic airlines: Passenger miles flown .. . Express carried Bee footnotes at end of table. _. , Thous. of miles. Pounds 54 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1040 A. Summary Table: Selected Business Indicators for Specified Years and Percentage Changes—Continued Percentage change, 1939 compared with— Year Item Unit or base 1929 1932 1933 1937 1938 1939 1929 1932 1933 1937 193$ FINANCE Federal Reserve reporting member banks, condition, end of year: Deposits: Demand, adjusted Time Domestic interbank Investments, total Loans, total Bank debits, total New York City Outside New York City Gold, monetary stock, United States, end of yearCurrency in circulation, total, end of year Federal debt, gross, end of year Capital flotations, total New capital, total Domestic, total Corporate Municipal, States, etc Foreign, total Refunding, total Domestic, total Corporate Municipal, States, etc Foreign, total Bond prices: Average price of all listed bonds (N. Y. S. E.), end of year. Bond yields: Moody's, domestic, 120 bonds, end of year.. Stock prices: Average price of all listed stocks (N. Y. S. E.), end of year. Stock yields: Moody's, common, 200 stocks, end of year_Stocks, dividend rate per share, 600 companies (weighted average), end of year. Corporation earnings (Fed. Res. Bank of N . Y.)_ Commercial failures: Number . Liabilities Mil. of dol. Mil. of dol. Mil. of dol. Mil. of dol Mil. of dol. Mil. of dol. Mil. of dol. Mil. of d o l . . . . Mil. of dol Mil. of d o l . . . . Mil. of d o l . . . _ Thous. of dol.. Thous. of dol.. Thous. of dol.. Thous. of dol.. Thous. of dolThous. of dolThous. of dol_. Thous. of doL. Thous. of doL. Thous. of dol_. Thous. of doL. Dollars 0) 6,787 0) 5,514 17,649 935,027 603,089 331,938 3,997 4,578 16,301 11, 592,164 10,182. 767 9, 419, 839 8,002,064 1, 417, 775 762,928 1, 409, 398 1, 387, 365 1, 374, 489 12, 876 22, 033 95. 59 18, 566 15,986 14,431 5,276 5,160 -22.3 5,205 8,190 6,061 5,090 13, 219 14,413 +161. 0) 12,015 8,674 8,430 -50.9 9,387 8,507 8, -58.3 433,042 373, 523 389,680 10, 297 8,915 171,382 -71.6 322, 366 282. 706 197, 836 168, 778 -34.2 167,964 148,449 235, 206 204, 745 218, 298 17, 644 +341.4 14,512 154,401 134, 257 12, 760 7, 6, 856 +66.0 4,226 6,550 4,036 39,439 5,388 37, 286 41,942 +157.3 5,519 001.338 20,805 23, -49.6 4, 457, 910 5,836,i, 715 730, 282 1,053, 815 -77.5 100, 691 2, 353, 798 i 2293, 435 712 4, 192, 248 709. 515 093,641 323, !, 233, 735 - 7 6 . 3 164, 941 707,88212, 225,012 872,036 371, 250 -95.4 325,362 160, 584 1 711,628 970, 614 938.055 -33.8 762,480 483, 398 -92.2 30, 299 59, 700 7,050 27, 307 104,112 3, 543. 280 +151.4 900, 648 2, 1,633 538. 034 344,197 680.073 061,, 487 3,,454.030 +149. 0 1, 498,034 282, 597 208,680 1, 267,', 146 1, 728,124 +25.7 318, 534 219,266 1 190,679 129,144 188, 776 + 1 " " 1 87,000 37,080 220, 575 42,625 89, 250 +305.1 40,000 61,600 -3.4 77.: 89.70 92.33 91.27 83. 34 0) 5,656 () 4, 0) -6.7 +9.7 +69.4 +66. 3. -15.8 -2.7 +20.9 +2.0 +41.4 +317. 5 +337. 2 +41.0 +37.7 +101.6 +76.1 +237. 3 +453. 9l +92.4 +223. 2 +91.7 +215. 61 +14.1 +131.2! +94.11 +23.0 ., 555. 8 +118. 6+3, ' +558.6 +929. 4 +593. 5 + 1., 122. 2 +442. 5 +688.1 +117.0 +409.1 +44.9 +123.1 +28.7 +1.4 +60.9 +20.0 -7.6 -10.0 -13.4 -7.2 +38.3 +16.0 +12.51 +45.9 +9.2 +6.7 -69.7 +31.8 +746. 8 +86.4 +105. +43.0 -1.0 -59. 5 +10.1 +2.2 +35.1 +9.0 +2.9 +4.3 +1.5 +6.6 +21.6 +10.8 +6.3 +30.9 -2.6 -3.9 -57.4 -3.4 +97.0 +68. 4 +67 6 +36.4 +46.2 +109. 4 A +19.5 +10.! +2.9 + 1.2 6.31 5. 931 4.16 3.95 3.69 -28.6! - 4 1 . 5| -37.8| -11.3; -6.6 111. li 34. 51 51. 0 54. 6 66.2 64.4 -42.0! +86.7 +26. 31 +17.91 -2.7 4.4 3.03 5.9 1.21 3.8 1.11 6.7 2.18 3.6 1.41 4.5 1.70 +2.3 -43.9 -23. +40.5 +18.4 +53.2 -32. 8 -22.0 +25. 0 +20. G 1,348.8 <*99.6 170.7 977.9 391.0 « 724. 6 -46.3 +324. 5 -25.9 +85.3 « 22,909 8 31, 822 19,859 Thous. of doL.._ « 483, 250 928,313 457, 520 9,490 183, 253 12,836 246, 505 11,408 168,204 -50.2 -65.2 -64.2 -81.9 -42.6 -63. 2 +20.2 -8.2 -11.1 -31. 8 Percent. 5.1 Dec. 31, 1924= 100. Percent. Dollars.. Mil. of dol EMPLOYMENT AND P A Y ROLLS Employment: Nonagricultural employment, monthly average. Factory Durable-goods group Non-durable-goods group Selected nonmanufacturing industries: Mining: Bituminous coal Metalliferous Petroleum, crude, producing Public utilities: Electric light and power, and manufactured gas. Railways, class I (I. C. C.) Telephone and telegraph. Trade: Retail Wholesale Pay rolls: Factory Durable-goods group Non-durable-goods group Selected nonmanufacturing industries: Mining: Bituminous coal Metalliferous Petroleum, crude, producing. _. Public utilities: Electric light and power, and manufactured gas. Telephone and telegraph Trade: Retail Wholesale 1 36,160 27, 775 27,886 35,083 32, 823 33, 685 -6.8 +21.3 +20.8 -4.0 106.0 106.2 105. 66.3 52.8 79.2 73.4 57.5 88. 5 108.6 104.3 112. 89.7 77.9 110. 96.8 87.8 105.4 -8.7 -17.3 —. 5 +46.0 +66.3 +33.1 +31.9 +52.7 +19.1 -10.9 -15.8 -6.4 +7.9 +12.7 -5.0 1929=100.. 1929 = 100.. 1929 = 100.. 100.0 100.0 100.0 76.3 36.5 55.3 79.9 34.6 62.2 99.3 76. 76.5 86.7 59.0 72.1 78.7 62. 65.8 -21.3 -37.3 -34.2 +3.1 +71.8 +19.0 -1.5 +81. 2 +5.8 -20.7 -18.4 -14.0 -9.2 +6.3 -8.7 +10.7 +16.6 -3.9 +1.7 +6.1 -11.4 -4.0 -13.5 -10.8 -4.3 -5.6 +12.6 +16.1 +13.7 +17.2 -3.7 -3.0 +1.5 +. 5 Thous. of employees. 1923-25=100.... 1923-25 = 100.... 1923-25 = 100..-. 1929=100.. 100.0 83.0 78.1 95.6 92.3 91.9 1923-25 = 100. 1929=100 93.0 100.0 57.8 79.1 54.4 70.4 52. 75.1 55.: 74. 1929 = 100 1929 = 100.... 1923-25 = 100.. 1923-25=100.. 1923-25 = 100.. 100.0 100.0 76.8 76.8 76.1 76.1 62.4 77.8 89.8 92.0 110.4 111. 109.6 46. 33.4 61.6 50.1 36.8 65.0 102. 102.4 102.6 77. 67.6 89.6 90.8 85.3 97.0 -17.8 -23.3 -11. +94.4 +155.4 +57. +81.2 +131.8 +49.2 -11.4 -16.7 -5.5 +16.6 +26.2 +8.3 1929=100.. 1929=100. 1929=100.. 100.0 100.0 100.0 41.3 21.6 44.1 45.4 20.6 44.1 74.0 68. 67.9 50.4 66.5 69.9 56.1 60.9 -30.1 -43.9 -39.1 +69. +159. +38. +54.0 +172.3 -21.0 -24. -10.7 +2.9 +11.3 1929=100. 100.0 79.8 72.0 98.5 99.2 -.8 +24. 68.2 92.1 93.6 1929 = 1001929 = 100. 1929=100. Not available. 2 Indexes are based on "general" imports, 1929, 1932,1933. Change less than one-tenth of 1 percent. Based on 11 months, January, February, and April-December. « Data for 1929 and 1932 are not strictly comparable with later years. * Deficit. • Estimate. 3 4 100.0 100.0 100.0 81.1 63.2 64.2 55.2 56.8 73.1 76.6 85.2 88.8 70.4 74.7 72.2 76.6 -40.5 -25.3 -6.4 -27.8 -23.4 +15. +14. +19. +38.1! +37. si +37. 21 +30.8 +34.9 -.4 +4.5 -1.2! 0 + -.5 -8.4 +.7 +1.6 +2.6 +2.5 February 1940 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 55 B. Legislative Summary [COMPILED IN THE DIVISION OF COMMERCIAL LAWS] lantic Ocean or its dependent waters south of 30° north latitude; or (d) on the Pacific or Indian Oceans or their dependent waters: Provided, That no such port is included within a combat area. 3. Transportation by aircraft of mail or any articles or materials, except arms, ammunition, or implements of war, to any port (a) in the Western Hemisphere; or (b) on the Pacific or Indian Oceans or their dependent waters: Provided, That no such Agricultural Adjustment Act Amendment port is included within a combat area. PUBLIC RESOLUTION NO. 35, APPROVED JULY 26, 1939 4. Transportation by a neutral vessel to any port referred to 2 above, of any articles or materials, other than arms, ammu"Joint resolution to amend section 335 (c) of the Agricultural in nition, or implements of war, provided, such port is not inAdjustment Act of 1938, as amended/' cluded in a combat area. Purpose.—Liberalize marketing quota provision. 5. Transportation, as described in (1), (2), and (3) above, of Scope.—Wheat. arms, ammunition, and implements of war, if they are to be Administration.—Secretary of Agriculture. exclusively by American vessels, aircraft, or other vehicles Amends section 335 (c) so that a farmer whose wheat acreage used connection with their operation and maintenance. does not exceed his farm acreage allotment may sell, without in After issuance of the Presidential proclamation, it shall be penalty, the normal or actual production, whichever is greater, unlawful,theexcept such rules and regulations as may be of his farm acreage allotment; also, he may sell the amount of prescribed, for anyunder citizen of the United States or any American wheat from a previous crop which could have been sold during vessel to proceed into or through any such combat area. the preceding marketing year without penalty. A farmer who Citizens of the United States may not travel on vessels of stores wheat, subject to regulations of the Secretary of Agricul- belligerent States except in accordance with such rules and ture, in a lesser amount than would be subject to penalty, shall regulations as may be prescribed. be presumed to have marketed the amount of wheat which is It is unlawful for any person in the United States to purchase, subject to penalty and which is not so stored. bonds, securities, or other obligations of a Previous to the enactment, a farmer might have been subject sell, or exchange government, or of any political subdivision of such to marketing restrictions even though he had complied with belligerent State, or of any person representing such State or subdivision, his farm acreage allotment. issued after the date of the Presidential Proclamation or to make any loan or extend any credit to such government, political Neutrality subdivision, or person. With the exception of section 12, which requires the licensing PUBLIC RESOLUTION NO. 54, APPROVED NOVEMBER 4, 1939 of manufacturers, exporters, and importers of arms, ammuni"An Act to preserve the neutrality and the peace of the United tion, or implements of war, the act does not apply to any AmeriStates and to secure the safety of its citizens and their interests." can Republic engaged in war against a non-American State or States, provided the American Republic is not cooperating with Purpose.—To preserve neutrality. a non-American State or States in such war. Administration.—Department of State. The President is given the authority to restrict the use of Whenever the President, or the Congress by concurrent resolution, shall find that a state of war exists and that it is American ports by submarines or armed merchant vessels of a necessary to promote the security pr preserve the peace of the foreign State. The National Munitions Control Board is reestablished under United States, the President shall issue a proclamation naming the States involved, and thereafter American vessels (including this act, and the Secretary of State as chairman and executive aircraft) are prohibited from carrying passengers or any articles officer of this Board is required to register the manufacturers, or materials to any State (belligerent), with the following excep- exporters, and importers, and to control through a licensing system the export and import of all articles and materials protions: 1. Transportation of any passengers or any articles or mate- claimed by the President to be considered arms, ammunition, rials by American vessels (including aircraft) on or over lands, and implements of war. Any vessel which shall use the flag of the United States or lakes, rivers, and inland waters bordering on the United States. 2. Transportation by American vessels, other than aircraft, make use of any distinctive signs or markings, indicating that of mail, passengers, or any articles or materials, except arms, the same is an American vessel while operating under the jurisammunition, or implements of war, to any port (a) in the Western diction of any foreign State, shall be denied for a period of 3 Hemisphere north of 35° north latitude and west of 66° west months the right to enter the ports or territorial waters of the longitude; (b) in the Western Hemisphere south of 35° north United States, except in cases of force majeure. The President is given authority to make such rules and latitude; (c) on the Atlantic Ocean or its dependent waters south of 30° north latitude; or (d) on the Pacific or Indian Oceans regulations as may be necessary and proper to carry out the or their dependent waters: Provided, That no such port is in- provisions of the act. cluded within a combat area. 3. Transportation by aircraft of mail, passengers, or any arReconstruction Finance Corporation ticles or materials, except arms, ammunition, or implements of PUBLIC, NO. 2, APPROVED MARCH 4, 1939 war, to any port (a) in the Western Hemisphere; or (b) on the Pacific or Indian Oceans or their dependent waters: Provided, "An act to continue the functions of the Reconstruction That no such port is included within a combat area. Corporation, and for other purposes." 4. Transportation, as described in (1), (2), and (3) above, of Finance functions of the Corporation, among which are included arms, ammunition, and implements of war, if they are to be used theThe making of loans to business, agriculture, and commerce, and exclusively by American vessels, aircraft, or other vehicles in to provide emergency assistance for financial institutions, are connection with their operation and maintenance. It is also required that all right, title, and interest in any continued until June 30, 1941. articles or materials (except copyrighted articles or materials) to Commodity Credit Corporation be exported or transported to a belligerent country, must be transferred to foreign ownership at the port of lading in the Export-Import Bank United States before the articles or materials are so exported or transported, or attempted to be so exported or transported, or PUBLIC, NO. 3, APPROVED MARCH 4, 1939 caused to be so exported or transported, except as follows: "An act to continue the functions of the Commodity Credit 1. Transportation of articles or materials, other than arms, ammunition, or implements of war, by American vessels (includ- Corporation and the Export-Import Bank of Washington, and ing aircraft) on or over lakes, rivers, and inland waters bordering for other purposes." on the United States, or by vehicles or aircraft on or over lands Purpose.—To continue functions. bordering on the United States. Scope.—Finance marketing agricultural commodities, and 2. Transportation by American vessels, other than aircraft, of exports and imports. Administration.—Corporation and Bank, respectively. mail or any articles or materials, except arms, ammunition, or The functions of the Commodity Credit Corporation and the implements of war, to any port (a) in the Western Hemisphere north of 35° north latitude and west of 66° longitude; (b) in the Export-Import Bank of Washington are continued until June 30, Western Hemisphere south of 35° north latitude; (c) on the At- 1941. The amount of outstanding loans at any one time by the The following digest of legislation enacted by the first and second (special) sessions of the Seventy-sixth Congress presents in summary form important laws of an economic character enacted during 1939. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 56 Export-Import Bank is limited to $100,000,000, and the amount of bonds, notes, and other obligations which the Commodity Credit Corporation may have outstanding is increased from $500,000,000 to $900,000,000. National Housing PUBLIC, N O . I l l , APPROVED JUNE 3, 1939 "An act to amend certain sections of the National Housing Act." Purpose.—Insure modernization and improvement loans; insure small home mortgages; and establish national mortage associations. Administration.—Federal Housing Administration. The power of the Administrator to insure modernization and improvement loans under title I is continued until July 1, 1941. The amendment fixes the maximum loan for modernization or new structure which may be insured at $2,500, and the term of rehabilitation loans is limited to 3 years and 32 days except with respect to loans which are made for the purpose of financing the construction of new structures for use in whole or in part for residential or agricultural purposes. Administrator directed to fix an annual premium charge for insurance of not more than three-fourths of 1 percent on the net proceeds of the loans insured after July 1, 1939. Authority of Administrator under title II to insure small home mortgages on existing construction is extended to July 1, 1941, but mortgages insured on existing construction are not to exceed 25 percent of all insurance authorized to be outstanding. After July 1, 1941, the Administrator can insure only mortgages on property approved for insurance prior to completion of the property, or which had been previously covered by a mortgage insured by the Administrator. The act extends indefinitely the Administrator's authority to insure mortgages having a maturity in excess of 20 years but not exceeding 25 years on small, newly constructed, owner-occupied homes. No mortgage refinancing an existing mortgage can be insured without a certificate from the mortgagor that the first mortgage holder was given an opportunity to refinance and failed to meet the terms of the mortgage offered for insurance. The provisions of section 203 are amended to permit an increase in the aggregate amount of outstanding insurance under this Title from the present $3,000,000,000 to $4,000,000,000 subject to the approval of the President. Section 207 (c) is amended to restate the conditions under which insurance may be granted on mortgages on large-scale or rental housing projects. To be eligible for insurance the amount of the mortgage may not exceed $5,000,000, nor be in excess of $1,350 per room for such part as may be used for dwelling purposes. No mortgage can exceed in amount 80 percent of the amount which the Administrator estimates will be the value of the property when the proposed improvements are completed. The interest rate may not exceed 4% percent per annum on the amount of the principal obligation outstanding at any time. A new section prevents insurance of any mortgages under section 207 (rental housing) unless the principal contractor files a certificate to the effect that the laborers and mechanics employed in the construction have been paid the prevailing wages as determined by the Secretary of Labor. The provisions of title III of the act dealing with the establishment and supervision of national mortgage associations are amended to give the Administrator discretion in issuing charters for such associations by authorizing their creation only when he finds that their establishment would be desirable to provide a market for insured mortgages and would be in the public interest. Strategic and Critical Materials PUBLIC, N O . 117, APPROVED JUNE 7, 1939 . "An act to provide for the common defense by acquiring stocks of strategic and critical materials essential to the needs of industry for the manufacture of supplies for the armed forces and the civilian population in time of a national emergency, and to encourage, as far as possible, the further development of strategic and critical materials within the United States for common defense." Purpose.—As stated in title. Scope.—Strategic and critical materials. Administration.—Secretaries of War and Nav}?. The act declares that the national resources of the United States in certain strategic and critical materials are deficient or insufficiently developed to supply the industrial, military, and naval needs of the country and authorizes an appropriation of February 1940 $100,000,000 for the procurement, transportation, maintenance, rotation, and storage of such materials as are determined by the Secretaries of War, Navy, Interior, State, Treasury, and Commerce to be necessary. The act directs the Bureau of Mines and the Director of Geological Survey to investigate the resources of strategic materials and to inquire into the feasibility of increasing domestic production of such essential materials. Food, Drug, and Cosmetics PUBLIC, N O . 151, APPROVED JUNE 23, 1939 "An act to provide for temporary postponement of the operations of certain provisions of the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act." Purpose.—As stated in title. Scope.—Labeling provisions, use of coal-tar colors, new drugs, etc. Administration.—Secretary of Agriculture. Postpones until January 1, 1940, the effective date of sections 402 (c); 403 (e) (1); 403 (g), (h), (i), (j), and (k); 501 (a) (4); 502 (b), (f), (g), and (h), except insofar as they relate to new drugs (sec. 505); 502 (d) and (e), except insofar as they relate to new drugs (sec. 505), and to any substance named in section 8, paragraph second, under drugs, of the Food and Drugs Act of June 30, 1906, as amended, or any derivative thereof; 601 (e); and 602 (b) of the Food, Drug, ancfCosmetic Act (52 Stat. 1040). The act also provides that the Secretary of Agriculture shall promulgate regulations further postponing to July 1, 1940, the effective date of all the above sections, except sections 402 (c), 501 (a), (4) and 601 (e), with respect to lithographed labeling manufactured prior to February 1, 1939, and to containers bearing labeling which, prior to February 1, 1939, was lithographed, etched, stamped, pressed, printed, fused, or blown on or in such containers, where compliance with such provisions would be unduly burdensome by reason of causing the loss of valuable stocks of such labeling or containers, and where such postponement would not prevent the public interest being adequately served: Provided^ That in no case shall such regulations apply to labeling which would not have complied with the requirements of the Food and Drugs Act of June 30, 1906, as amended. It also provides that sec. 8, paragraph fifth, under food, of the Food and Drugs Act of June 30, 1906, as amended, and regulations thereunder, and other provisions of such act relating thereto, also the provisions of the act of June 30, 1906, as amended, to the extent that they impose any requirement of section 403 (k) of the Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act, shall remain in force until January 1, 1940. In addition, section 502 (d) of the Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act is amended by substituting the wrords "name, and quantity or proportion" for the words "name, quantity, and percentage." Revenue Act of 1939 PUBLIC, N O . 155, APPROVED JUNE 29, 1939 "An act to provide revenue, equalize taxation, and for other purposes." Purpose.—Provide revenue. Scope.—Income, capital stock, etc. Administration.—Bureau of Internal Revenue. Provides a tax of 18 percent upon net taxable income of corporations with incomes above $25,000, the changed rate being applicable only to taxable years beginning after December 31, 1939. Corporations with incomes of $25,000 or less are subject to the graduated rates on small corporations provided by existing law. An alternative tax is provided for corporations with incomes slightly in excess of $25,000. Banks, insurance companies, China Trade Act corporations, corporations in the possessions of the United States, joint stock land banks, rental housing corporations, and corporations in bankruptcy or receivership are taxed like other corporations; foreign corporations engaged in a trade or business within the United States and mutual investment companies are taxed a flat rate of 18 percent regardless of the amount of their income; foreign corporations not engaged in a trade or business within the United States are taxed at the rate provided for such corporations in existing law. Domestic corporations may make a redeclaration of value of their capital stock for the years ending June 30, 1939, and June 30, 1940. This new value must, however, exceed the adjusted declared value computed in accordance with the law. Capital losses on assets held for not more than 18 months may be applied only against capital gains on assets held not more than SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 57 18 months. If such capital losses exceed such capital gains, the excess loss (if not in excess of the net income) may be carried over into the following taxable year and may be applied against such short-term capital gains of such year. Capital losses on assets held for more than 18 months may be deducted in full against ordinary net income, regardless of the amount of capital gains from such assets. The above provisions applicable only with respect to taxable years beginning after December 31, 1939. In computing the income for any taxable year beginning after December 31, 1939, net operating losses for the 2 preceding taxable years may, with minor exceptions and under certain conditions, be carried over and used in the computation. Such preceding taxable years must be years beginning after December 31, 1938. A corporation which is in an unsound financial condition may redeem its bonds, notes, or other evidence of indebtedness in existence on June 1, 1939, at less than their face value without the recognition of gain, if such redemption occurs on or after June 29, 1939, and in a taxable year beginning prior to January 1, 1943. Corporations may continue bona fide business reorganization without being subject to taxation immediately upon such reorganization by reason of the assumption by one corporation of the liabilities of the other in the process of reorganization, and will not be subject to tax in the case of such reorganization in prior years. The act validates a Treasury regulation of long standing which required that where a nontaxable stock dividend was declared, the basis of the original shares be apportioned between those shares and the dividend stock for computing the gain or loss on the sale thereof. An optional method of taking inventories of goods is made available to all taxpayers on certain conditions. The temporary excise taxes, which under existing law expire at the end of June or July 1939, are extended for 2 years, with exception of the tax on firearms, shells, and cartridges, which is made permanent. Amends Bankruptcy Act so as to provide a means for alleviating the financial difficulties under which certain railroads are laboring because of heavy capital structures or maturing obligations. The act is intended only for roads in temporary financial difficulties and the jurisdiction conferred upon any court by the act shall not be exercised after July 31, 1940, although actions initiated prior to that time may be completed in due course. Roads in temporary financial difficulties may, upon agreement by creditors representing 25 percent of creditor claims, submit to the Interstate Commerce Commission a plan for solution of its difficulties. If the plan is approved by the Commission and by two-thirds of the road's creditors, the railroad may then file a petition with the United States district court asking authority to carry out its program of adjustments. There shall then be convened a special court of three judges which shall be vested with and shall exercise all the powers of a district court sitting in equity and all the powers as a court of bankruptcy necessary to carry out the purposes of the act. The court shall carefully examine all phases of the plan and will take all necessary steps to protect the creditors, stockholders, and the public. After concluding its investigation, the court will file an opinion relating its findings and decision; and in the event of its approval, shall enter a decree confirming the plan which shall be binding upon the petitioner, creditors, and security holders. Any final order or decree of the special court may be reviewed by the Supreme Court of the United States upon application for certiorari made by any person affected by the plan within 60 days after the entry of such order or decree, pursuant to the provisions of the Federal Judicial Code. Stabilization Fund and Monetary Matters "An act to provide for the regulation of the sale of certain securities in interstate and foreign commerce and through the mails, and the regulation of the trust indentures under which the same are issued, and for other purposes." Purpose.—Regulation of trust indenture under which bonds, notes, debentures, and similar securities are sold. Scope.—All such securities sold in interstate commerce or through the mails. Administration.—Securities and Exchange Commission. Requires the qualification with the Securities and Exchange Commission of trust indentures under which new issues of bonds, notes, debentures, and similar securities are sold to the public. Strictly business features of indentures, such as the wisdom of the issue, offering price, interest rate, and sinking fund provisions, are not regulated, but both the indenture trustee and the indenture itself must meet certain minimum standards. The principal provisions regarding the trustee have to do with its financial responsibility and the absence of interests conflicting with its duties to security holders. The provisions relating to the indenture itself are both negative and affirmative. An important negative provision is that prohibiting clauses in the indenture which relieve the trustee from liability for negligence or misconduct. Among the affirmative provisions is a requirement that the trustee be furnished an engineer's or appraiser's certificate of the fair value of property deposited or substituted under or released from the lien of the indenture. Provision is also made for full and complete information, both at the time the securities are issued and throughout the life of the indenture. Any prospectus used in offering the securities must contain an analysis by the issuer of certain salient features of the indenture, such as its provisions relative to defaults, authentication of securities, release and substitution of collateral, and satisfaction and discharge of the indenture. It must also include, if the Commission so orders, an independent supplementary analysis of these features, prepared by the Commission. The trustee is required to transmit an annual report and certain interim reports to security holders. Bondholders' lists are made available to the trustee, and under certain conditions, to security holders. The issuer of the securities must file certain reports with the Commission and the trustee, and must send summaries of these reports to security holders. PUBLIC, N O . 165, APPROVED JULY 6, 1939 "An Act to extend the time within which the powTers relating to the stabilization fund and alteration of the weight of the dollar may be exercised." Purpose.—To extend powers relative to stabilization fund and alteration of the weight of the dollar and to provide for the receipt by the coinage mints of certain newly mined domestic silver. Administration.—The President and the Secretary of the Treasury. The act extends until June 30, 1941, the powers relative to the stabilization fund granted by section 10 of the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, as amended, unless the President shall sooner declare the existing emergency ended and the operation of the stabilization fund terminated. The act also amends the second sentence added to paragraph (b) (2) of section 43, title III of the act approved May 12, 1933, by section 12 of the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, as amended, so that the powers of the President specified therein, including the power to alter the weight of the dollar, shall expire June 30, 1941, unless the President shall sooner declare the existing emergency ended. The act also makes provisions relative to the receipt by the coinage mints of silver mined subsequently to July 1, 1939, from natural deposits in the United States or any place subject to the jurisdiction thereof, and prescribes a deduction of 45 per centum as seigniorage for services performed by the Government in connection with silver so received. Bankruptcy—Railroads PUBLIC, N O . 242, APPROVED JULY 28, 1939 "An act to amend an act entitled 'An act to establish a uniform system of bankruptcy throughout the United States,' approved July 1, 1898, and acts amendatory thereof and supplementary thereto." Purpose.—Alleviate financial difficulties of railroads. Scope.—Only roads in temporary financial difficulties. Administration.—Interstate Commerce Commission and Federal Courts. Trust Indenture Act of 1939 PUBLIC, N O . 253, APPROVED AUGUST 3, 1939 58 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 Monthly Business Statistics The data here are a continuation of the statistical series published in the 1938 supplement to the SURVEY OF That volume contains monthly data for the years 1934 to 1937, inclusive, and monthly averages for earlier years back to 1913 insofar as available; it also provides a description of each series, and references to sources of monthly figures prior to 1934. The 1938 supplement may be secured from the Superintendent of Documents, Government Printing Office, Washington, D. C , for 40 cents per copy. A few series have been added or revised since the 1938 Supplement went to press. These are indicated by an asterisk (*) for the new series and by a dagger (f) for the revised series. A brief footnote accompanying each of these series provides a reference to the source where the descriptive note may be found. The terms "unadjusted" and "adjusted" used to designate index numbers refer to the adjustment for seasonal variations. Data subsequent to December will be found in the Weekly Supplement to the SURVEY. CURRENT BUSINESS. Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 1938 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- December ber 1938 Supplement to the Survey 1939 January February March April May June July August SepNovemtember October ber BUSINESS INDEXES INCOME PAYMENTS t Adjusted index ....1929=100.. Total mil. of doL. Salaries and wages: Adjusted index 1929=100.. Total mil. of dol.. Commodity producing industries .-do Distributive industries do Service industries do Government _ do Work relief wages do Direct and other relief do Social security benefits and other labor income mil. of doL. Dividends and interest do Entrepreneurial income and net rents and royalties.. __mil. of doL. Total nonagricultural income. do Adjusted index of nonagricultural income _ 1929=100.. INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 83.4 6,145 83.3 5,703 83.0 5,247 84.1 5,727 83.0 5,654 83.4 5,432 84.1 6,918 83.7 5,695 85.4 5,400 86.8 ' 6,010 '88.0 ' 6,195 '88.6 ' 5,804 *535 *138 *>87 83.0 3,672 1,244 889 814 527 198 88 82.3 3,525 1,191 841 800 505 188 92 82.0 3,522 1,215 828 796 503 182 93 82.1 3,575 1,235 850 797 506 187 95 81.0 3,550 1,212 849 799 510 180 90 81.4 3,598 1,235 862 806 520 175 87 82.8 3,665 1,281 874 815 530 165 85 82.8 3,516 1,271 868 810 422 145 85 84.0 3,560 1,318 871 813 423 135 87 '84.5 ' 3,692 ' 1, 357 '892 821 507 '115 87 '86.6 ' 3, 858 '1,434 '922 835 '539 '128 88 '87.3 ' 3.834 * 1,421 '911 '839 531 '132 '87 132 1,514 124 1,115 128 827 133 433 148 772 133 760 139 471 145 920 136 849 145 451 135 805 128 783 129 496 v 1, 277 *6,316 1,146 5,657 1,131 5,244 1,066 4,848 1,137 5,256 1,121 5,192 1,137 4,943 1,103 5,453 1,109 5,222 1,157 4,887 1,291 ' 5,364 1, 338 '5,510 ' 1, 258 ' 5, 217 *90.5 84.7 84.4 84.4 84.8 83.8 84.3 85.4 85.5 86.7 87.0 88.8 P89.8 v 6, 898 J>87.9 v 3,888 v 1.416 *>948 P851 89.6 (Federal Reserve) J>120 94 97 98 99 95 98 100 100 Combined index, unadjusted 1923-25=100.. 94 97 95 98 98 v 121 99 96 100 Manufactures, unadjusted do 85 83 »129 84 84 78 85 84 86 Durable goods* ._ _.do 91 66 142 88 106 117 100 105 105 Automobiles do 75 64 48 88 98 100 42 79 65 Cement do 112 93 78 232 153 133 91 147 138 Glass, plate _ _..do 152 79 89 93 89 92 87 Iron and steel _ do 93 90 P115 108 111 111 111 107 108 105 106 Nondurable goods* _ do 104 112 *104 105 104 126 125 112 115 Leather and products do 222 211 215 211 202 202 208 205 201 Petroleum refiningt do 110 102 112 111 109 112 114 104 110 Rubber tires and tubesf do 92 86 84 118 83 84 81 101 101 Slaughtering and meat packing do ' 117 111 115 112 104 105 103 114 100 Textiles. do.... 172 186 171 145 147 156 151 151 157 Tobacco manufactures do 97 105 107 v 113 103 102 88 105 105 Minerals, unadjusted do 66 50 83 73 51 44 "58 74 66 Anthracite do 83 40 63 68 *>88 82 26 83 77 Bituminous coal . do 132 150 82 0 0 0 0 0 0 Iron-ore shipments do 79 71 75 70 80 71 65 58 70 Lead. do 164 177 173 178 171 164 168 » 181 174 Petroleum, crude._ do 106 86 108 94 102 69 105 59 86 Silver do.... 93 90 87 84 123 96 94 94 96 Zinc... do x>128 104 101 99 98 92 92 98 101 Combined index, adjusted do J>130 104 100 97 96 92 91 97 100 Manufactures, adjusted do J-141 92 71 82 88 84 80 76 88 Durable goods' do 87 73 81 90 105 100 87 127 91 Automobiles do 75 79 82 82 96 80 81 69 90 Cement... do 232 153 133 131 83 89 124 87 147 Glass, plate do 100 89 101 73 173 88 79 93 83 Iron and steel do 110 110 114 *120 109 105 108 110 110 Nondurable goods* do *123 123 121 113 108 114 124 124 115 Leather and products do 212 215 221 205 211 201 201 202 209 Petroleum refiningt . do 112 109 102 112 111 110 114 104 110 Rubber tires and tubest do 99 86 83 89 90 94 87 89 87 Slaughtering and meat packing do 111 111 117 109 104 110 109 »123 97 Textiles _ do.... 179 162 170 170 158 186 165 164 164 Tobacco manufactures -...do 104 106 J>120 98 '110 110 110 110 95 Minerals, adjusted do 59 53 73 67 69 61 80 61 »59 Anthracite do 71 75 »83 75 79 46 78 77 31 Bituminous coal do 67 74 55 0 0 0 0 0 0 Iron-ore shipments do 71 82 70 68 73 78 57 69 70 Lead... do P186 169 171 169 173 175 170 174 174 Petroleum, crude do 107 70 105 86 101 71 85 86 100 Silver do.... 121 91 89 90 91 94 87 89 90 Zinc. do.... ' Revised. p Preliminary. •New series. For indexes of durable and nondurable goods production beginning 1919, see table 8, p. 14 of the March 1939 Survey. tRevised series. Petroleum refining, revised beginning 1934, and rubber tires and tubes, beginning 1936; see table 36, p. 17 of the August payments beginning 1929, see table 41, pp. 15 and 16 of the October 1939 issue. 99 99 85 28 98 121 103 111 130 217 122 80 112 180 96 53 75 159 68 129 78 87 103 104 92 89 76 121 105 115 117 218 122 92 120 168 91 53 77 78 71 127 79 93 112 110 99 59 98 165 120 119 120 221 123 91 121 181 123 72 90 187 67 179 98 93 111 111 103 85 78 165 121 117 104 221 123 100 121 164 114 71 84 97 71 174 104 98 124 122 123 93 99 222 152 122 119 233 126 97 129 179 132 74 104 218 72 183 90 106 121 121 123 78 87 222 157 119 108 232 126 99 125 166 121 58 94 128 70 181 91 110 124 123 125 108 90 191 155 122 '110 229 118 111 131 175 ' 127 62 102 130 86 '185 98 117 124 124 130 90 91 191 167 118 '114 228 118 100 126 172 124 60 91 155 83 '187 91 117 1939 Survey. For revised income 59 SUKVEY OF CUEEENT BUSINESS February 1940 Monthly statistics through December 1937, to1939 1938 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- Decem1988 Supplement to the Survey ber ber 1939 January February March April May June July August SepNovemtember October ber BUSINESS INDEXES—Continued AGRICULTURAL MARKETINGS Quantities marketed: Combined index.. 1925-25=100. Animal products do... Dairy products do... Livestock do.._ Poultry and eggs do... Wool w do... Crops . do ... Cotton do... Fruits _ do... Grains. .do._. Vegetables do... Cash Income from farm marketings: Crops and livestock, combined index: Unadjusted.... 1924-29=100. Adjusted do... Crops do._. Livestock and products do... Dairy products do... Meat animals do... Chickens and eggs do... WORLD STOCKS Combined index (quantlty)f 1923-25=100. Cotton, adjusted. do.._ Rubber, adjustedf do.._ Silk, adjusted do... Sugar. adjusted do... Tea, adjusted do... Tin, unadjusted _ do... Wheat, adjusted do... 87 80 75 132 35 90 133 74 59 61 76 81 91 67 116 68 71 78 85 62 61 77.0 75.5 70.5 81.0 91.5 79.5 60.5 72.5 68.0 55.0 82.0 89.5 78.0 81.0 68.5 67.5 55.6 80.0 88.5 79.0 67.0 61.0 600 44.5 76.5 85.5 77.6 56.5 189 201 255 164 192 127 105 167 186 202 268 144 184 132 111 162 183 204 258 120 187 126 126 151 (1) 207 120 123 65 81 103 62 123 77 50 22 95 50 81 99 135 72 145 193 63 23 92 80 109 82 93 145 62 114 387 71 26 81 101 112 94 88 133 66 91 386 101 46 78 184 49 85 84 122 70 79 266 87 75 80 116 41 120 82 100 78 75 144 159 251 79 120 72 125 87 90 90 75 90 163 278 95 94 82 104 90 80 r81 126 42 119 200 75 68 66 57.5 64.0 49.5 79.5 80.0 84.0 71.5 55.0 64.5 51.5 78.0 76.0 75.0 70.0 60.0 65.0 49.0 82.0 76.5 83.5 80.0 59.0 60.0 45.0 75.5 77.0 76.0 73.0 63.0 62.5 51.0 74.5 77.0 73-5 75.0 71.0 71.0 66.5 75.5 81.5 74.0 70.0 92.5 79.0 70.0 88.0 87.0 89.5 96.0 72.5 61.5 £3.5 89.0 83.5 66.5 78.5 74.0 62.0 86.5 91.0 87.0 74.0 181 201 248 111 191 118 127 151 182 205 241 101 187 110 129 162 182 211 239 84 184 106 119 166 190 223 '226 88 185 105 115 186 0) 0) 78 104 65 104 45 57 35 93 50 107 245 '228 98 194 108 115 73.0 0) 0) 241 '216 101 216 107 225 105 219 105 102 110 153 139 COMMODITY PRICES COST OF LIVING (National Industrial Conference Board) Combined index Clothing . Food Fuel and light . Housing Sundries 1923=100 do - do do do do . _ _ 85.3 72.9 78.5 85.6 86 6 96.8 85.8 73.0 80.3 86.0 86.2 96.8 85.4 72.7 79.2 85.9 86.2 96.8 85.1 72.4 78.4 85.9 86.1 96.7 84.9 72.3 78.0 85.8 86.1 96.7 85.0 72.2 78.2 85.2 86.2 96.7 84.8 72. 1 78 1 84.0 86 2 96.6 84.7 72.0 77.9 83.4 86.0 96.6 84.9 71.9 78 1 83.8 86.3 96.9 84.5 71.9 76.7 84.0 86.3 96.9 85.9 72.2 80.7 84.4 86 5 97.0 85.8 72.6 80.1 85.2 86.6 96.8 85.7 72.9 79.6 85.6 86.7 96.8 96 97 82 118 65 96 127 70 112 73 01 88 71 100 81 89 83 73 94 93 97 117 75 117 66 72 112 73 107 110 83 105 81 88 90 71 100 70 64 101 101 100 97 108 74 112 73 114 83 89 89 73 96 80 66 107 101 89 98 102 76 107 73 63 109 89 87 70 95 82 67 114 102 86 90 85 72 92 85 87 101 92 91 70 107 78 66 116 108 92 114 98 PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS § (17. S. Department of Agriculture) Combined index Chickens and eggs Cotton and cottonseed Dairy products Fruits Grains Meat animals Truck crops Miscellaneous _ _ . 1909-14=100 do do do do . do . do do . ..do 96 104 108 108 94 97 71 109 76 66 112 96 109 76.9 81.8 89.3 78.6 77.5 76.8 80.8 89.4 76.4 76.6 76.5 75.1 85.2 76.3 76 5 75.1 75.7 86.9 79 0 78.4 77.9 92.0 88.9 89.1 89.1 89.1 89.1 89.1 89.1 89.3 89.5 90.2 91.2 91.9 96.4 88.7 9] 0 93.5 85.3 96.3 88.7 89.0 90.4 84.3 96.3 88.7 89 0 90.5 84.3 96.2 88.5 88 9 90.5 84.3 96.2 88.4 88.8 90.5 84.3 96.0 88.4 88.8 90.5 84.1 95.9 88 4 88 8 90.5 84.1 95.9 88.4 88 9 90.6 84.0 95.9 88 4 88 9 90.6 84.1 96.0 88 4 89 0 90.7 84.1 96.1 88.6 89 5 91.7 84.3 96.3 88.7 90 4 92.7 84. 7 96.4 88.7 90.9 93.5 85.0 66 116 83 117 77 112 128 94 79 107 130 98 RETAIL PRICES T. S. Department of Labor indexes: Coal: Anthracite _. . . 1923-25-= 100 Bituminous . . do ._ Food do Fairchild's index: Combined index Dec. 31,1930=100.. Apparel: Infants' do Men's do Women's do Home furnishings do.... Piece goods ._ do WHOLESALE PRICES U. S. Department of Labor indexes: Combined index (813 quotations)—1926=100.. 76.9 79.4 79.2 77.0 76.9 76.2 79.2 76.7 75.0 76.2 75.6 79.1 75.4 Economic classes: Finished products do 80.0 80.1 79.6 80.2 80.2 80.2 82.3 82.0 81.7 79.9 79.2 79.1 81.9 Raw materials. do 70.9 68.5 67.7 72.4 70.9 70.1 70.9 72.3 73.3 68.9 66.5 72.6 67.8 82.1 Semimanufactures _ . do 74.4 74.1 74.4 74.6 83.1 82 0 74.9 75.2 74 5 81 8 74 3 74 4 Farm products _...do 6T. 2 63.7 67.2 67.1 67.3 67.6 65.8 62.4 61.0 67 6 63 7 68 7 62.6 Grains do 54.4 61 6 64.1 56.3 54.7 64.5 55.2 58.2 52 3 51 5 71 6 69 6 65 1 Livestock and poultry do 74.4 78.0 79.2 78.2 75.5 66.1 69.4 70.5 73.2 66.0 63.8 69.7 76.3 73.1 71.5 71.5 70.2 68.6 73.3 72.3 67.6 71.9 68.2 67.2 67.5 75.1 Foods do Dairy products do 73.9 71.6 71.8 64.8 58.1 78.9 80.1 81 3 60 0 58 6 64 6 67 9 74 5 Fruits and vegetables..„ do 62.1 60.4 60.9 60.2 61.2 63.2 64.3 63.0 62.0 58.5 63.8 62.5 62.8 Meats do . 83.2 71.2 79.9 81.6 82.5 81.0 73.7 74.9 69.1 78.6 75.3 81 0 75.7 Commodities other than farm products and 80.2 83.8 foods 1926=100 80.2 80.2 80.3 80.2 80.4 80.5 82.1 80.1 80.6 84.0 83.9 89.5 89.6 89.6 92.8 Building materials do 89.4 89.8 89.5 89.7 90.9 89.5 89.6 93.0 93.0 92.4 93.0 92.4 91.5 Brick and tile do 91.7 91.1 90.6 91.5 92.5 91.0 91.6 91.6 90.5 91.2 91.5 91.5 90.6 91.3 91.3 Cementf do 91.3 90.6 91.5 91.5 91.5 91.3 91.3 Lumber . . . . do 92.1 9S.0 1 90.9 92.6 91.5 91.2 91.7 98.3 90.7 91.8 91.8 97.8 93.7 ' r Revised. 1 Temporarily discontinued; for several of the series, European stocks have not been available since the outbreak of war. tRevised series. Combined index of world stocks revised beginning January 1920; see table 5. p. 17 of the January 1939 Survey. Cement price index revised beginning 1926. and data not shown on p. 20 of the May 1939 Survey will appear iu a subsequent issue; the building materials group and the combined index of all commodities have not been revised, as the effect of the change in cement prices on these indexes is small. §Data for Jan. 15, 1940: Total 99, chickens and eggs 91, cotton and cottonseed 85, dairy products 119, fruits 66, grains 90, meat animals 103, truck crops 117, miscellaneous 113. 60 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem19S8 Supplement to the Survey ber 1938 December February 1940 1939 January February March April May Juno July NovemSepAugust tember October ber COMMODITY PRICES—Continued WHOLESALE PRICES-Continued U. 8. Department of Labor indexes—Contd. Combined index—Contd. Commodities other than farm products and foods—Continued. Chemicals and drugs 1926=100.. Chemicals do Drugs and Pharmaceuticals do..... Fertilizer materials . do.... Fuel and lighting materials.. do Electricity _ do Gas . do Petroleum products ...do Hides and leather products. _- d o . . . Shoes do... Hides and skins __ do Leather . . do.... House-furnishing goods.. do.... Furniture.. .do Furnishings . do. Metals and metal products ...do Iron and steel do Metals, nonferrous-._„ do_._. Plumbing and heating equipment 1926=100.. Textile products _ do Clothing do Cotton goods..... do Hosiery and underwear... do Silk and rayon do... Woolen and worsted goods .do Miscellaneous do... Automobile tires and tubes do.... Paper and pulp do World prices, foodstuffs and raw materials: Combined indexf 1923-25=100.. Cotton . do Rubber. . . do Silk ..... . ...........do.... Sugarf. ~ do Tea _ do Tin _ do.... Wheat do—. Wholesale pHces, actual. (See under respective commodities.) 84.1 51.9 90.9 101.2 68.3 82.8 85.4 81.0 89.6 94.0 96.1 74.7 75.9 79.4 71.9 69.7 73.9 79.3 86.0 62.5 91.6 101.3 72.1 83.1 85.5 81.0 89.8 93.5 95.7 73.1 75.7 79.2 71.9 69.5 73.0 77.8 88.9 52.5 92.3 101.3 75.3 83.8 85.6 81.0 90.0 93.2 95.2 72.9 75.0 78.2 71.8 67.5 72.8 78.1 89.0 52.2 92.5 100.8 76.9 84 1 85.6 81.0 90.0 93 2 95.1 73.3 74.6 77.5 71.7 67.2 72.6 75.8 86.7 51.7 92.7 100.8 77.2 84.0 85.6 81.1 90.0 93.2 95.1 74.6 77.3 81.2 72.8 69.2 72.8 77.5 87.2 53.3 98 5 101'. 8 97.4 92.0 86.6 81.3 91.7 94.8 95.5 84.7 78.1 82.1 74.4 70.6 73.9 75.4 84.4 54.0 104.6 105.7 112.4 97.8 87.8 81.7 93.7 95.8 96.0 85.3 78.0 81.4 75.0 73.0 74.1 76.5 82.2 53.9 104.0 107.2 104.3 97.8 88.4 82.3 94.2 96.0 96.0 So. 1 79.3 66.6 81.5 63.7 59.9 36.1 75.1 74.1 60.5 81.3 79.3 66.9 81.6 63.4 60.2 37.8 75.2 74.4 60.5 81.1 79.3 67.5 81.7 63.3 60.2 40.7 75.4 74.2 60.5 80.4 79.3 67.3 81.7 64.1 60.1 39.1 75.6 73.8 60.5 79.9 79.3 67.6 81.2 65.1 60.2 40.2 75.4 73.4 60.5 79.9 79.3 67.8 81.5 65,5 61.5 39.5 75.5 73.3 60.5 80.0 79.3 71.7 81.7 70.4 62.8 43.4 84.0 76.6 60.5 81.8 79.3 75.5 83.2 74.3 63.5 46.2 91.3 77.6 60.5 86.3 79.3 76.4 83.8 74. S 64.8 47.7 90.5 77.0 55.6 88.0 37.8 33.1 37.3 29.5 30.9 67.0 90.8 41.1 37.3 33.1 38.1 31.0 31.9 66.6 91.9 36.-8 38.4 32.4 37.2 33.4 35.2 69.6 93.9 38.5 41.3 35.3 37.6 37.6 40.5 68.9 97.5 40.4 41.0 36.4 38 3 35.4 37.4 68.8 97.2 40.8 39.6 35.7 38.7 37.0 37.7 67 5 96.5 34.3 38.0 34.6 39.0 36.9 32.7 74.3 97.0 32.4 0) 130.9 130.2 159.7 119.5 131.3 130.9 161. 6 119.8 132.1 130.5 165.3 119.6 132.1 130.7 163.4 119.9 133.2 131.1 165. 3 120.0 133.5 130.7 165.3 119.8 134.2 133.2 166.9 120.3 52.5 103.7 107.5 105.2 95.2 88.5 82.4 94.4 96.0 96.1 84.6 76.7 80.0 73.5 68.6 73.2 82.7 81.6 50.9 93.1 100.6 78.8 85.9 86.0 81.6 90.3 94.8 96.8 76.8 76.7 79.7 73.0 70.2 718 82.9 82.2 50.4 93.1 101 2 78.4 85.0 85.4 80.5 90.1 94.4 96.4 76.7 76.3 79.4 72.7 69.3 73.0 82.8 81.8 50.7 91.9 101.1 72.8 84.2 85.2 80.5 89.8 94.3 96.1 76.5 76.5 79.9 72.2 69.7 73.1 80.3 82.2 50.9 91.8 101.2 73.8 82.7 85.2 80.5 89.7 94.3 96.1 76.6 79.3 78.0 84.2 75.2 66.0 55.0 90.3 77.4 55.6 89.0 78.7 65.8 81.6 64.6 59.3 30.8 74.8 73.1 68.8 80.9 78.7 65.9 81.5 64.3 59.1 32.1 74.5 73.2 58.8 81.0 79.2 66.1 81.5 63.7 68.8 34.7 74.7 73.5 59.7 81.1 (0 36.5 32.0 37.6 25.3 30.4 67.2 91.9 38.1 37.2 32.7 36.9 26.5 31.3 66.7 92.3 39.3 130.8 127.2 153.1 118.5 130.9 129.0 156.5 319.0 78.1 81.1 75.6 74.5 72.8 40.4 46 9 54.8 43.4 100.7 76.0 79.3 719 69.6 73.4 814 (0 0) 34.2 49.7 41.8 59.7 34.2 46.6 45.7 49.4 ' 126. 3 109.9 103.9 127.3 126.6 149.9 118.3 126.8 127.6 151.5 118.5 127. 2 128.4 151.5 US. 6 36.0 47.3 47.4 40.8 PURCHASING POWER OF THE DOLLAR Wholesale prices Retail food prices Prices received by farmers Cost of living _ 1923-25=100.. do do do 127.2 130.0 153.1 119.2 CONSTRUCTION AND REAL ESTATE CONTRACT AWARDS, PERMITS, AND DWELLING UNITS PROVIDED Value of contracts awarded (F. R. Indexes): 63 70 76 75 73 77 69 Total, unadjusted... 1923-25=100.. 73 76 51 45 65 48 68 '59 64 Residential, unadjusted do 63 66 86 73 63 96 67 63 Total, adjusted _._.do 67 73 73 55 55 57 58 55 58 58 Residential, adjusted do 62 67 68 F. W. Dodge Corporation (37 States) :t 13,015 20,233 22,282 23,244 21,701 18,831 16,027 13,281 22,402 21,806 23,270 '22,984 22, 323 Total projects ...number. Total valuation thous. of dol.- 354,098 389.439 251, 673 220,197 300, 661 330.030 308, 487 288,316 299,883 312,328 323,227 261, 796 299,847 127, 776 159,656 134,757 127,595 136, 543 158,459 144,216 91, 604 143,647 147,916 110,975 225,095 279. 403 Public ownership .....do 129,003 110,036 103, 757 109, 220 172,885 170,374 173,730 160,721 163, 340 153,869 179,011 170,192 156,200 Private ownership .do Nonresidential buildings: 2,348 2,711 3,495 2,456 3.592 3,457 4,052 3,400 3.823 3,650 3.749 3,242 3,453 Projects _ number.. 14, 351 12,783 17,944 17,691 12. 268 16,490 15,494 15,418 Floor area>. tbous. of sq. ft.. 11,675 25,503 16, 563 12,700 15,418 76, 749 92,845 77, 769 88, 501 69, 882 82,466 72, 684 Vajuation thous. of doL- 57, 757 139, 513 84,999 69, 544 97, 786 94,656 Residential buildings, all types: 9,669 9,750 15,438 17. 387 18.262 15,942 17,136 17. 756 16, 287 18,003 17,589 Projects. _ number.. 14.899 10,413 19,176 30, 725 28.382 32,602 27.502 29.371 31.009 27,181 31,165 32,977 Floor area thous. of sq. ft.. 22, 584 22, 720 19,981 Valuation... .....thous. of dol— 88, 681 91,539 80,163 79,020 125, 225 114, 405 133,818 111,896 109, 330 127,163 129,680 118; 303 116,58S Public utilities: 273 330 259 251 258 323 500 234 294 254 356 328 350 Projects number.. 21,779 9,968 23,906 23,092 20,113 39,663 20,450 Valuation. thous. of dol 26,977 44,312 29,509 18,518 19, 640 35,336 Public works: 891 1,619 725 944 1,274 817 1,172 1,473 1,442 1,389 1,223 1,486 975 Projects number.. 180,683 114,075 57,002 53,115 76,141 73,607 58,010 85,633 50, 359 81, 584 Valuation.. thous. of dol 78,960 95,170 71,418 Building permits issued in 1,790 citiesit 73,921 64, 537 73,318 67,618 60.373 Total buildings number.. 44.016 38,247 38, 902 37, 721 62, 303 62. 775 77,913 71,040 152,727 147,791 156, 704 149, 572 177,903 165,978 204,437 202, 429 185,019 197,937 179,605 173,649 174,501 Total estimated cost.... thous. of dol New residential: 15. 083 11,059 11,652 11,476 19. 224 17,884 18, 635 17, 697 20,961 19, 571 19. 697 16,818 17, 559 Buildings. number. 91,921 105,400 96,114 116, 260 87,308 Estimated cost ,_ thous. of dol_. 95,677 62,767 70,768 85, 719 94,374 87,441 119,600 99,775 New nonresidential: 7,960 6,449 6,961 5,690 10,496 11, 520 13, 711 12.085 14, 521 11,214 11,915 13.037 13,053 Buildings. number.. 38,004 63,115 61,399 37, 730 .'2, 886 44,830 51,162 70,974 52, 745 46,123 Estimated cost. thous. of dol. 59, 794 49,096 63,702 Additions. alterations, and repairs: 20,555 33,172 36, 558 43,241 39,731 39,829 35, 439 40, 584 37,747 30.899 Buildings number., 20,973 20,227 20,801 19,045 21,909 24, 537 28,123 30,643 28,983 22,978 33, 706 33, 674 31, 680 29,111 32, 580 28,595 Estimated cost thous. of dol. »• Revised. » Preliminary. * Temporarily discontinued; for several of the series, data have not been available since the outbreak of war. fRevised series. Data on world prices revised beginning 1920; see table 4, p. 17, of the January 1939 issue. For construction contract awards, see note marked with a " t " on p. 21 of the July 1939 issue. The data on building permits are based on reports from 1,790 identical cities having populations of 2,500 or more, and supersede those shown ID the Survey through the issue of May 1939 which were for 1,728 cities in the same size group. The present series include data for 62 additional cities, but the total estimated cost of permits issued was increased by only 0.2 percent in 1937. Data beginning January 1936 will appear in a subsequent issue of the Survey. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 193* Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- December 1938 Supplement to the Survey ber 61 1939 January February March April June May July August Septem- October |N<™» ber CONSTRUCTION AND REAL ESTATE—Continued CONTRACT AWARDS, PERMITS, AND DWELLING UNITS PROVIDED-Con. Estimated number of new dwelling units provided in all urban areas:f Total . number.1-family dwellings do 2-family dwellings do.._. Multifamily dwellings do Engineering construction: Contract awards (E. N. R.)1 thons. of dol~ 190,327 18, 355 22,096 •• 11,707 13, 226 1,205 ' 836 7,665 ' 5,812 339,250 311,693 26,1 TO 28,511 IV', 588 12. 2^2 1,404 1.20K 12,660 7,519 203,843 26,937 19,359 1,432 6,146 285, 566 240,735 30, 224 21, 796 1,443 6, 9«5 28, 337 21,601 1, 254 5,4S2 33,9*9 23,346 1,439 9,204 26, 624 18, 597 1,591 6,436 252,992 r 268,395 181,469 311,222 209,337 36, 468 25, SHI 1.S99 8,708 245,062 302,215 2,655 1,067 1.588 3,718 2,491 1,228 2,824 30, 750 3,100 35,316 HIGHWAY CONSTRUCTION Concrete pavement contract awards: 4,951 Total . thous.sq.yd.. 4,270 3,190 3, 260 Roads do 2,765 2,085 1,691 8treets and alleyscf _ -do 1,505 1,105 Status of highway and grade crossing projects administered by the U. S. Bureau of Public Roads: Highways: Approved for construction: 3,528 Mileage ..— no. of miles.. 3,306 3,390 Federal funds thous. of dol_. 40,132 37, 677 36,294 Under construction: 5,984 Mileage no. of miles.. 7,514 7,540 Federal funds thous. of dol__ 91,42C 113,828 113,466 184,441 221, 530 218,965 Estimated cost _ do Grade crossings: Approved for construction: 12,794 Federal funds. d o . . . . 11,428 13,572 11,986 Estimated cost .-do 13,867 14,587 Under construction: Federal funds.--.. do..__ 30, 528 35.023 36, 440 32, 258 36,026 Estimated cost do 37,932 4, 465 3, 058 1,407 1,245 686 560 2,143 860 1,283 2,081 1,304 4,458 2,179 2,280 6,855 4,232 2,623 5,713 3,820 1,893 6,161 3,907 2,254 3,177 35,968 3,081 34,969 S, 081 35,600 3.615 40,769 3,867 41,024 3,701 37,802 3,130 34,254 2,723 30,821 7,721 114,185 221,046 7,855 115,212 222,630 8. 522 8.554 8.570 123. 554 124,975 123.044 240,218 244,860 242,924 8,386 119,472 237,214 13, 613 14, 285 12,906 13, 374 12.107 12, 529 10.224 10. 583 11.312 12,191 37.930 39, 777 38,817 40,747 40.654 42,654 43,771 45,723 42,299 44,094 8,301 8.4R3 120, 505 122.758 233,772 238,637 7,473 6,746 110. 543 101, 855 222,062 205,183 11, 504 12, 414 40,336 42,052 10,654 11,437 10,581 10, 283 10,909 10,180 11,060 38.579 40,505 37,919 39,756 35,435 37,190 35,112 36, 577 185 173 196 173 188 CONSTRUCTION COST INDEXES Aberthaw (industrial building) 1914=100.American Appraisal Co.: Average, 30 cities 1913-100.. Atlanta do New York ._ do San Francisco —— do 8t. Louis do.... Associated General Contractors (all types) 1913=100E. H. Boeckh antf Associates, Inc.: Apartments, hotels, and office buildings: Brick and concrete: Atlanta U. 8. av., 1928-29-100.. New York... ..do San Francisco do 8t. Louis do Commercial and factory buildings: Brick and concrete: Atlanta do New York do.... San Francisco do St. Louis -do.... Brick and steel: Atlanta do New York do San Francisco.. do St. Louis -.... do Residences: Brick: Atlanta do New York ..do San Francisco.._. . do St. Louis do-_. Frame: Atlanta ._ do New York do San Francisco do St. Louis do Engineering News Record (all types) § 1913-100.. Federal Home Loan Bank Board:* Standard 6-room frame house: Combined index .1936-100-. Materials _.._ .....do Labor do 191 189 185 174 196 172 188 182 169 192 166 184 183 169 192 167 185 183 169 192 167 185 183 169 192 167 185 182 168 193 169 185 182 168 193 169 185 182 168 193 169 185 182 168 193 169 185 183 168 195 169 184 184 171 195 171 185 185 173 196 173 188 188 188 188 188 188 188 187 188 187 188 188 188 191 187 95.3 131.4 118.2 119.0 96.1 130.1 116.0 119.1 95.3 130.0 117.6 119.1 95.2 130.1 117.6 119.1 95.3 130.0 117.6 119.1 95.3 130.0 117.6 119.1 95.3 130.8 117.0 118.6 95.4 130.6 118.9 118.5 94.8 130.9 116.8 118.3 94.8 130.8 116.8 118.4 94.6 130.8 116.8 118.4 94.8 130.8 117.8 118.6 94.9 130.9 117.9 118.7 97.5 134.0 122.6 120.0 98.0 132.8 121.0 120.1 97.4 132.6 122.3 120.1 97.5 132.7 122.3 120.1 97.4 132.7 122 3 120.1 97.4 132.7 122.3 120.1 97.6 133.4 121.4 119.7 97.6 133.4 121.3 119.7 97.2 133.8 121.2 119.6 97.2 133.7 121.2 119.6 97.0 133.7 121.2 119.6 97.2 133.7 122.0 119.7 97.2 133.7 122.5 119.8 93.8 131.0 118.2 118.9 96.2 129.3 116.2 120.5 96.0 129.4 117.7 120.4 96.2 129.2 117.7 120.4 96.0 129.4 117.7 120.6 96.0 129.5 117.7 12U. 6 95.6 129.8 115. 3 118.5 95.7 129.9 114.7 118.5 93.3 130.2 114.4 118.2 93.2 130.2 114.4 118.3 93.0 130.2 114.4 118.3 93.2 130. 5 117. 5 118.5 93.3 130.6 118.0 118.7 88.1 125. 5 107.0 111. 1 86.3 122.4 105.4 111.0 85.0 122.5 106.6 110.7 85.7 122. 2 106.6 110. 7 85.0 122.2 106.6 110.3 85.0 122.5 106.6 110.3 86.1 123.1 104. 7 110.3 123.1 104.7 110.0 86.5 123.6 104.7 108.9 86.1 123.5 104.7 109.3 85.4 123. 5 104.7 109.3 86.0 123.9 105.4 110.3 124.3 106.1 110.9 85.3 124.8 101.6 108.1 83.1 121.2 97.5 108.1 81.6 121.3 98.7 107.7 82.5 121.1 98.7 107.7 81.6 121.0 98.7 107.2 81.6 121.4 98.7 107.2 82.8 121.9 98.7 107.2 83.7 121.9 98.7 106.8 833 122.1 98.7 105.4 82.8 122.0 98.7 105.9 81.9 122.0 98.7 105.9 82.8 122.8 99.8 107.2 83.7 123.3 100.5 107.9 238.2 234.9 234.7 234. 3 234.4 234.9 234.7 235.0 234.9 234.9 235.0 236.9 238.2 106.6 104.5 110.6 106.1 103.1 112.1 106.0 103.0 111.9 106.0 103.0 112.2 106.1 103.0 112.4 105.9 102.9 111.9 105.6 102 7 111.5 105.4 102.5 111. 3 105.3 102.4 111.3 105.2 102.3 111.2 105.7 102.9 111.2 106.1 103.6 111.1 106.5 104.4 110.8 REAL ESTATE Federal Housing Administration, home mortgage insurance: Gross mortgages accepted for insurance thous. ofdol.. 53, 200 51,058 41,224 63,486 82,322 64,895 73,701 42,218 74,216 65, 013 62,269 52,603 62,008 Premium-paying mortgages (cumulative) thoug. of dot.. 1,969,862 1,300,446 1,355,829 i,400,212 1,450,575 1,496,794 1,546,237 1,607,147 1,658,306 1,723,357 1,776,784 1,837,923 1,905,071 'Revised. §Index as of J a n u a r y 1, 1940, is 238.3. •New series. For data beginning 1936, see table 30, p . 17 of t h e June 1939 Survey. fRevised series. Data on number of dwelling units provided revised beginning January 1937; the more significant revisions were shown in the footnote on p. 22 of the September 1939 Survey. cf Data for streets and alleys, formerly shown separately are available in total only ?ubseouent to "December 1938. fData for December 1938 and March, June, August, and November, 1939, are for 5 weeks; other months, 4 weeks. 62 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the December 1938 Supplement to the Survey 1939 1938 December February 1940 January February March April May June July August September October ber CONSTRUCTION AND REAL ESTATE—Continued REAL ESTATE—Continued Estimated new mortgage loans by all savings and loan associations:! 58,309 63, 934 55, 567 83, 425 Total loans thous. of dol_. 83,112 73, 378 89,123 94,154 85,172 86,076 95,038 89,732 93, 297 Loan5 classified according to purpose: M.»rtgaee loans on homes: 23,727 16, 099 16, 027 21, 254 19, 152 26.646 26, 865 26. 923 29,919 29. 863 26,607 Construction do 27.854 29,255 17, 503 19, 118 24, 705 29. 903 20, 826 31.289 27, 779 32, 228 29. 638 30. 434 32, 282 31.367 33. 383 Home purchase do 11,749 12, 551 14. 871 12, «05 15, 384 15. 687 15,001 17,123 15,445 15, 353 17,005 16, 021 15,835 Refinancing do 3,389 3,593 4,211 4,025 6,069 4,335 4,974 5,802 4,720 6. 133 5,544 5.909 5,784 Reconditioning do 6,827 7,020 8,337 7,126 9,432 9,074 9,082 9,437 8,946 8,870 8,183 9,040 Loans for all other purposes do 9,979 Loan- classified according to type of association: 25. 019 29,811 33,400 20, 894 22.298 36. 358 34,055 Federal thous. of dol.. 34,053 39.094 40, 645 34, 785 37.090 37,854 26, 504 23. 071 30, 124 32, 562 24, 191 33, 209 35, 426 36,465 34.146 37, 340 34,671 State members do 36, 989 37,847 11,602 12,411 13, 443 17,463 11,820 15,850 17,339 Nonmembers _ do 18,595 17,053 16,620 16,971 15,653 17,596 Loans outstanding of agencies under the Federal Home Loan Bank Board: Federal Saving and Loan Associations, estimated total mortgages outstanding thous. of dol._ 1,271,161 1,034,162 1,040,770 1,051,109 1,067,887 1,089,879 1,117,228 1,136,289 1,157,536 1,186,784 1,206,887 1,231,685 1,252,559 Federal Home Loan Banks, outstanding advances to member institutions i thous. of dol_.i 181,313 198,840 178, 852 170,614 161,614 157,176 157,911 168,962 161,537 159,470 163,687 168, 654 168,822 Home Owners' Loan Corporation, balance of loans outstanding thous. of dol.. 2,038,186 2,168,920 2,149,038 2,134,261 2,117,598 2,105,824 2,091,324 2,080,512 2,067,844 2,059,792 2,054,865 2,049,421 2,043,288 Foreclosures: 154 154 173 159 164 129 186 168 159 153 Nonfarm real estate 1926=100.. 147 131 136 145 138 157 151 141 121 165 161 152 146 Metropolitan communities do 136 120 129 27, 615 29, 304 30,682 32, 758 27, 062 24,191 27,032 22,468 22, 792 Fire losses.. _thous. of dol.. 27,959 22,837 24,301 27,248 DOMESTIC TRADE ADVERTISING Printers' Ink indeses (with adjustment for seasonal variations): Combined index 1928-32=100.. Farm papers _ do Magazines do Newspapers do Outdoor , do Radio do Radio advertising: Cost of facilities, total thous. of dol_. Automobiles and accessories do Clothing ... do Electric household equipment do Financial do Foods, food beverages, confections do House furnishings, etc do Soap, cleansers, etc do Office furnishings, supplies do Smoking materials do Toilet goods, medical supplies do All other do Magazine advertising: Cost, total do Automobiles and accessories do Clothing do Electnc household equipment.. do Financial _ do Foods, food beverages, confections do House furnishings, etc do Soap, cleansers, etc do Office furnishings, supplies do Smoking materials do Toilet goods, medical supplies do All other do Linkage, total thous. of lines.. Newspaper advertising: Lineage, total (52 cities) do Classified do. Display, total do Automotive do Financial do. General. do Retail do 76.4 57.6 72.6 71.5 72.2 273.6 79.5 59.9 78.4 74.2 73.8 265.6 84.4 56.4 80.4 79.8 82.0 262.7 82.2 66.2 80.6 76.0 89.0 253.3 84.4 69.0 80.3 78.0 90.5 290.8 85.5 65.0 82.0 79.8 76.6 329.7 81.7 61.8 80.0 74.0 89.8 337.7 84.8 70.1 78.5 79.1 76.6 355.6 82.6 66.1 72.8 77.4 83.5 333.7 82.8 65.8 78.1 77.7 75.8 298.4 84.0 69.3 82.0 79.9 60.6 312.6 7,023 647 25 0 41 2,318 49 714 0 836 2,045 348 6,567 617 33 0 53 2,194 39 691 0 796 1,859 285 7,404 747 50 0 64 2,501 38 818 0 885 2,020 281 6,678 657 25 0 54 2,241 39 746 0 870 1,781 264 7,034 745 66 0 74 2,277 65 857 0 921 1,844 186 6,471 640 37 0 129 2,101 18 792 0 887 1,718 148 5,813 496 32 0 97 1,669 23 771 0 1,000 1,583 141 5,859 520 58 0 109 1,657 23 818 0 1,048 1,498 128 558 75 0 102 1,860 48 813 0 969 1,538 126 8,014 648 72 0 107 2,608 62 923 0 1,170 2,150 273 8,036 641 34 0 11, 529 1, 295 531 470 299 1,931 509 234 266 755 1,815 3,424 1,658 ' 8,045 1,186 272 67 320 ' 1,479 194 211 122 654 1,266 2,274 1,929 ' 11, 562 1,475 495 195 376 r 2,124 377 500 148 r 5^2 2, 183 3,096 2,294 14, 277 2,153 829 395 431 ' 2. 285 r M7 M23 220 ••744 2, 537 ' 3, 622 2,591 16,818 2,997 1,020 808 608 2,180 *• 1,026 468 ' 202 684 2,508 4,419 2,715 r 15, 717 2,854 921 757 435 ' 2,015 ' 1,036 471 233 692 2,249 ' 4,054 2,356 13, 279 ••710 603 486 1,893 '760 464 100 636 2,187 r 3. 235 1,796 10,131 1,635 246 170 337 2,072 266 311 64 622 ••1,902 2,507 1,625 8,387 1,033 405 68 245 1,695 215 370 123 431 1, 558 2,253 1,784 "11,814 1,322 989 213 352 1,744 628 411 327 693 2,029 r 3, 207 2,182 14,925 2,312 1,136 392 414 2,206 1,086 403 204 665 2,422 ' ' 3 , 685 2,378 13,821 ' 2,159 755 337 400 2,103 874 382 203 704 2,474 3,429 2,255 118,096 20, 372 97, 723 3,581 1.574 14. 028 78, 540 87,418 19. 55-6 67. 861 2,446 2,301 12, 771 50,343 86, 651 18,318 68, 333 3, 458 1,403 14, 024 49,448 111,815 22.147 89,P69 4, 768 1. 695 17,414 65, 792 111,1P0 22. 824 88, 335 6,055 2,105 17, 655 62,520 112,377 22,692 89,685 6.075 1,615 18, 538 105,086 21, 785 83, 301 5, 345 1,663 17,408 85,407 20, 570 64,838 3,496 2,120 13, 999 45, 222 90, 526 21,115 69,410 3,512 1,349 12, 527 52,022 101,937 20,884 81,053 3,067 1.278 15,045 61,663 119, 612 22, 393 97, 220 6,436 1,767 19,824 69,192 113,457 20,194 93,264 4,537 1,376 18, 470 68,880 60.5 70.8 70.4 70.4 70.2 70.4 70.7 70.2 69. { 69.4 70.4 72.3 1,943 2,210 1,821 2,226 1,874 2,190 1,712 1,724 1,718 1,471 1,787 1,850 2,616 63,456 r 98 2,729 45 925 0 1,153 2,163 247 GOODS IN WAREHOUSES Space occupied, merchandise in public warehouses percent of totaL. NEW INCORPORATIONS Business incorporations (4 States) number.. 1,901 POSTAL BUSINESS Air mail: 1,221 1,427 1,386 1,244 1,447 1,356 1,421 1,431 1,435 Pound miles performed millions.. Money ordersDomestic, issued (50 cities): 4.288 4,150 3,907 3,907 3,906 4, 554 4,171 4,170 4,234 4,140 4, 6*2 4,248 4, 664 Number thousands.. 39,723 38,553 38,165 37, 262 39, 227 38,119 42, 202 41. S91 36,900 Value _ thous. of dol.. 41,190 39,229 ''Revised. tBevised series. For revised data on estimated new mortgage loans by all savings and loan associations, 1936-37, see table 12, p . 16, of the March 1939 Survey. 63 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 Monthly statistics through December 1937, together with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the 1938 Supplement to the Survey 1939 1938 December December 1939 January February March April May June July August September October Novem ber DOMESTIC TRADE—Continued POSTAL BUSINESS-Continued Money orders—Continued. Domestic, paid (50 cities): Number. Value Foreign, Issued—value Receipts, postal: 50 selected cities 50 industrial cities _ thousands.. 15,285 thous. of dol._ 111,851 do 15, 793 113,841 7,717 12.939 94, 176 2, 142 12. 371 88,734 2,027 15. 307 109, 980 3, 170 13,164 95,899 2,079 13. 724 99, 757 2,066 13.918 101,345 2,210 12.142 91. 709 2,069 13.130 99. 498 2,205 12.624 97. 376 1,895 14,152 109,016 1,833 14,385 108, 449 1,773 42,938 5,117 ' 42, 473 5,154 28, 537 3,667 27, 710 3,493 33, 478 3,979 29. 830 3,618 30,922 3,687 29. 791 3,587 25, 464 3,271 28, 233 3,540 30.038 3,413 31,960 3,788 32, 446 3,658 Pill. 3 v 109.0 96.1 92.5 70.8 91.0 71.2 96.0 106.7 88.0 106.3 79.5 107.1 79.0 101.2 79.0 87.5 80.5 63.7 76.5 56.5 83.5 96.5 93.7 ' 107.9 ' 102.8 120.0 142.0 112.9 127.0 107.5 118.0 108.8 112.7 109.8 130.0 110.0 117.6 110.0 119.0 111.0 118.0 113.0 126.0 113.0 124.0 114 5 127.0 113.3 125.0 117.0 132.0 p 112.1 p 108. 8 101. 1 98.1 93.5 96.4 98.7 98.2 100.5 99.5 102.0 99.0 102 9 101.4 100.8 99.3 97.6 99.6 99.0 103.1 107.2 109.4 106.9 106.4 109.0 109.0 P 206. 6 P 112.0 193.6 104.9 73.6 98.7 79.7 95.5 85.0 98.8 97.6 97.1 96.3 96.3 95.8 100.8 91.3 102.6 89.5 101.1 96.1 100.6 102.9 101.4 '108.4 ' 106.8 6,228 5,952 133 1,998 133 1,959 132 2,442 133 2,869 133 2,733 133 2,712 132 2,502 132 2,446 133 2,785 133 2, 855 133 3,066 133 24, 406 686 24,114 687 8,801 680 9,058 681 10,606 683 11,940 683 11,401 682 11, 293 683 10, 369 685 10, 578 683 11,513 683 11,938 682 12, 356 685 15, 232 240 14,429 238 5,055 238 5,163 238 5,969 238 6,315 239 6,818 239 6,406 239 6,225 240 6,490 240 6,596 240 7,286 240 7, 295 240 7, 655 200 7,003 '201 2,535 202 2,738 202 3,196 202 3,648 202 3,300 202 3,420 202 3,158 201 3,136 200 3,354 200 3,431 200 3,622 201 8,163 202 7,223 201 2,686 201 2,752 201 3,205 201 3,848 201 3,741 201 3,758 201 3,564 201 3,470 201 3,789 201 4,090 202 4,219 202 52, 333 2,020 50,379 2,017 19,653 2,014 20,686 2,011 23,104 2,012 25,919 2,008 24, 725 2,005 24, 662 2,013 24, 340 2,015 24,123 2,014 25,810 2,015 26, 530 2,018 29,952 2,019 0) <*) (>) 0)l () 0) 0) 0) <») 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) _ ..do _.do RETAIL TRADE* Automobiles: Value of new passenger automobile sales: Unadjusted 1929-31*= 100.. Adjusted do Chain-store sales: Chain-Store Age Index: Combined index (20 chains) av. same month 1929-31=100.. Apparel chains do Grocery chain-store sales: Unadjusted _ 1929-31 = 100.. Adjusted ___ do Variety-store sales: Combined sales of 7 chains: Unadjusted ._ do Adjusted _ do H. L. Green Co., Inc.: Sales thous. of dol._ Stores operated number.. 8. S. Kresge Co.: Sales thous. of d o l . . Stores operated number.. 8. H. Kress & Co.: Sales. thous. of dol Stores operated. number.. McCrory Stores Corp.: Sales thous. of d o l . . Stores operated. number.. G. C. Murphy Co.: Sales .thous. of d o l . . Stores operated number.. F. W. Woolworth Oo.: Sales __ thous. of d o L . Stores operated number.. Restaurant chains (3 chains): Sales. .. thous. of dol_Stores operated.__ number. Other chains. W. T . Grant & Co.: Sales thous. of dol. Stores operated number. J. C. Penney Co.: Sales thous of dol. Stores operated number.. Department stores: CollectionsInstallment accounts percent of accounts receivable Open accounts do . Sale*, total U. S., unadjusted...1923-25=100 Atlanta do Boston __do___ Chicago do... Cleveland _ do... Dallas do Kansas City ...1925=100. Minneapolis. 1929 31=100 Nev York.. 1923-25 = 100. PhiladHphiaf do... Richmond do... St Louis.... _ _ do... San Franciscot do... 8ales, total U. 8., adjusted do... Atlanta do Chicago. do___ Cleveland!-. do... Dallas do.. Minneapolist 1929-31=100. New York. 1923-25=100 Philadelphiaf do St. Louis _ do... San Franciscof do Installment sales. New England dept. stores percent of total sales Stocks, total U. S., end of month • Unadjusted. 1923-25=100.. Adjusted . .do Mail-order and store sales: Total sales. 2 companies.. thous of dol._ Montgomery Ward & Co do Sears. Roebuck & Co do 0) 0) 0) 0) « 18,868 491 17,996 491 5,531 489 5,748 489 7,164 489 8,376 489 8,496 491 8,386 493 7,298 493 7,210 494 8,235 495 8,733 495 9,316 494 43, 215 1,554 '38,930 1,539 ' 16, 527 1,539 '14, 614 1,540 ' 18, 733 1,542 '21,314 1.544 '22,232 1,545 '22,236 1,543 ' 19, 504 1,544 '20,679 1,548 '26,143 1,552 28, 722 1,553 '28,215 1,554 18.0 44.5 168 230 140 164 171 195 154 160 172 139 217 156 179 96 135 98 100 113 105 95 76 94 104 17.2 46.4 156 203 138 157 152 182 151 147 164 127 209 143 170 89 119 94 89 105 96 91 70 87 100 16.4 47.1 69 91 64 69 67 87 67 75 68 49 77 69 81 88 115 86 89 114 94 86 68 87 99 16.2 43.9 69 101 54 67 71 89 64 63 71 52 75 68 83 87 115 84 90 105 87 87 68 79 99 18.6 46.6 82 116 68 92 82 99 87 97 80 65 105 82 89 88 125 98 90 105 96 91 70 88 99 17.2 45.3 88 119 75 89 92 104 82 97 86 67 102 89 96 88 115 86 87 104 95 89 68 86 98 17.3 46.9 87 118 75 89 89 105 86 94 85 70 115 86 93 85 116 88 83 105 94 88 71 86 97 16.7 46.8 83 108 76 89 82 90 74 95 87 65 105 75 88 86 119 91 84 101 95 90 66 82 97 16.0 45.3 60 88 49 61 63 72 61 69 63 46 73 62 81 86 126 85 86 103 97 89 67 90 99 16.8 43.6 69 114 55 77 73 83 79 89 67 50 86 70 94 89 146 95 88 107 102 90 67 94 100 17.2 44.0 97 133 83 102 96 115 90 116 97 74 118 98 98 91 142 98 92 104 104 93 74 92 95 17.7 47.0 99 138 85 98 98 116 94 116 104 80 132 96 103 90 116 89 94 103 97 91 69 85 99 17.7 48.7 106 142 88 99 107 117 88 97 115 95 '131 102 105 95 125 90 100 104 94 97 78 87 100 6.6 7.1 11.6 11.8 10.2 8.5 9.0 7.7 9.5 15.5 11.1 12.4 10.4 64 68 62 66 60 67 65 68 69 68 69 67 68 66 64 67 60 67 65 67 71 68 77 69 82 71 148, 447 66,020 82,427 125,706 57, 0*5 68, 622 58, 320 24. 769 33. 551 59, «fi5 24. 9R4 34, 901 85, 497 35, 730 49, 768 92,831 41,595 51. 236 101,936 42, 323 59,613 98, 070 41,302 56, 768 77,393 33, 452 43, 941 87, 257 38, 998 48, 259 107, 493 44, 743 62, 751 122,191 54, 945 67,246 108,095 47, 764 60,330 r Revised. Preliminary. i Discontinued pending receipt of revised data from one cooperator • Reports showing percentage rhanges in *al»'s of chain drug stores and chain men's wear stores are available from the Washington, D. C , office of the Bureau of foreign and Domestic Commerce The Bureau of the Census ha^ av ailable percentage changes for (1) Independent stores in 34 States and 4 cities, by kinds of business, (2) Wholesalers' sales by kinds of business, (3) Manufacturers saie> hy kinds o' busings t Revised series Indexes of Department ^tore sales in San Francisco area revised beginning 1919; see table 3, p. 18 of the January 1940 issue. Seasonally adjusted indexes of department store sales revised beginning l9'-'9 for the Cleveland district and beginning 1934 for the Minneapolis district; see tables 4 and 5, p. 18 of the January 1940 issue. Indexes of department store sales in Philadelphia revised 1923-37; revisions will appear in a subsequent issue. 64 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the December 1938 Supplement to the Survey 1939 1938 December February 1940 January February March April May June July August September October November DOMESTIC TRADE—Continued R E T A I L TRADE—Continued Rural sales of general merchandise: Total U. S., unadjusted .1929-31 = 10 Middle West do. East do South . do Far West do_ Total U. S., adjusted!-. do Middle Westj . do Eastt--. do Southf __>-do. Far Westt do ! 211.7 190.1 229.2 236.4 242.8 132. 4 121.9 137.7 157. 4 148.8 183.6 166.4 195. 9 202.8 211.0 114.8 106.7 117.6 135.0 129.3 91.3 84.1 87.8 111.3 100.2 120.0 109.9 115.6 140.7 136.4 100.1 89.1 97.9 134.8 105.7 123.7 112.1 119.6 147.8 142.9 115.0 105.2 118.6 141.5 118.5 131.0 118.7 132.0 156.6 144.0 120.2 110.2 116.6 144.8 125 8 130.8 118.0 122.4 164.3 140.9 120.5 113.3 118.8 137.6 131.8 131.2 119.6 129.1 162.2 146.6 120.0 109.9 122.8 133.3 137.3 131.7 116.4 133.8 165,8 144.1 91.1 81.8 88.3 103.8 115.2 124.8 110.9 124.1 152.8 140.5 107.2 99.1 105.8 111.7 134.6 131.1 120.1 132.7 155.0 146.1 132.6 116.3 126.4 165.6 162 3 125 4 113.5 128.6 150.0 138.7 160.3 143. 9 155.4 215.4 166.5 123.4 113.3 120.7 145.4 138. 7 159.7 142.8 167.0 208.2 164.7 122.7 108. 9 129. 5 151. 6 135.8 EMPLOYMENT CONDITIONS AND WAGES EMPLOYMENT | ! j Factory, unadjusted (U. S. Department of Labor)f ..1923-25=100.. 104.0 94.0 92.2 93.6 94.3 94.1 93.0 93.4 93.5 ' 100.0 96.3 103.6 103.8 Durable goods . do.... 100.0 83.8 82.3 83.3 84.1 84.8 84.0 84.6 83.0 96.1 83.9 '89.7 '98.2 Iron and steel and their products, not including machinery 1923-25=100.. 111.5 90.2 88.8 90.0 91.3 91.3 90.2 90.4 89.7 '97.2 92.3 106.8 '111.1 Blast furnaces, steel works, and rolling mills 1923-25 = 100123.5 94.4 94.2 94.8 95.6 95.7 94.6 95.7 95.3 115.1 97.0 101.1 121. 8 Hardware do.... 105.1 90.8 89.2 87.6 87.4 85.0 80.1 72.1 69.0 94.2 99.7 75.6 '106.4 Structural and ornamental metal work 1923-25=10075.5 61.3 61.1 63.4 65.6 66.3 66.5 67.1 68.8 71.5 73.8 76.3 '76.0 Tin cans and other tinware do 94.3 88.4 87.0 87.9 89.8 92.7 93.6 97.7 100.2 107.4 107.0 ' 105.7 ' 100.0 72.4 Lumber and allied products do— 71.1 63.7 61.4 62.0 62.1 63.9 65.0 66.3 66.7 68.7 '73.0 70.0 Furniture -.do 94.4 84.4 80.7 83.3 83.4 82.4 81.4 83.2 84.3 87.5 90.7 '94.6 '96.8 ' 65. o Lumber, sawmills. do 63.4 57.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 58.0 60.2 60.9 61.1 62.7 63.4 '65.5 Machinery, not including transportation equipment. 1923-25=100112.9 91.9 91.5 93.5 94.6 95.0 94.9 95.6 95.7 106.6 96.8 100.3 '111.0 Agricultural implements (including trac117.8 tors) ...1923-25 = 100.. 131.0 110.3 116.4 127.0 130.5 129.4 122.8 118.7 113.0 114.4 116.1 124.6 Electrical machinery, apparatus, and supplies 1923-25=100102.1 84.6 82,8 84.3 85.9 86.8 86.6 86.5 86.8 92.2 97.3 87.8 100.4 Engines, turbines, water wheels, and 105.2 windmills 1923-25=100-. 120.5 84.8 86.6 90.0 93.2 95.7 97.4 99.0 96.2 96.8 99.2 ' 109. 8 Foundry and machine-shop products 84.1 91.2 85.8 1923-25=100-. 97.2 79.3 79.4 80.9 81.6 82.0 82.1 82.6 82.6 95.4 135.9 176.5 Radios and phonographs do 160.1 130.4 119.8 113.2 109.3 104.5 106.5 119.9 129.6 150.1 ' 179.7 110.4 Metals, nonferrous, and products do 112.1 94.5 91.7 93.1 93.8 92.9 92.0 91.3 91.3 94.7 100.3 '113.4 Brass, bronze, and copper products.do 137.9 105.8 103.8 104.4 104.8 103.9 104.7 104.2 104.0 107.7 115.2 131.1 ' 137. 4 Stone, clay, and glass products do 83.6 76.2 71.9 72.1 75.1 78.5 78.5 80.5 79.7 80.8 84.8 81.7 '85.6 Brick, tile, and terra cotta do.... 62.3 55.1 52.5 51.7 53.4 57.6 57.6 61.3 61.5 61.8 64.8 63.2 64.6 Glass do.... 109.0 99.0 95.3 95.2 96.4 97.8 97.4 99.0 96.3 98.5 100.9 106.9 ' 109. 8 75.2 ' 105. 3 ' 102. 8 Transportation equipment....do— 116.4 96.9 96.6 96.8 96.5 96.1 91.2 90.8 79.9 '97.0 Automobiles do 118.0 106.8 106.1 104.4 103.8 101.8 93.3 91.6 76.4 70.4 '98.7 ' 107. 8 ' 102.1 Nondurable goods do.... 107.9 103.8 101.7 103.5 104.0 103.0 101.6 101.8 103.5 110.7 108.1 110.2 109.2 Chemical, petroleum, and coal products 109.2 ' 122.3 1923-25=100122.2 114.3 113.2 113.4 116.0 116.6 112.9 109.8 110.4 '118.0 122.6 Chemicals.... , do 137.2 119.0 117.5 118.1 118.6 117.0 116.5 116.5 117.1 119.1 123.6 133.6 ' 137. 5 122.1 125.1 Paints and varnishes ..do..._ 124.4 117.1 116.5 117.2 119.7 122.5 123.4 124.3 122.2 122.1 ' 125.1 Petroleum refining do 122.2 119.2 118.2 117.5 117.4 117.2 118.1 120.5 121.8 122.7 122.7 123.1 123. 7 Rayon and allied products ._.do 312.2 298.4 300.3 305.9 303.8 302.4 295.7 286.2 297.0 255.1 300 2 ' 310. 2 ' 313.4 147.0 ' 137. 6 '129.7 Food and kindred products d o . . - 125.8 123.8 116.9 114.2 115.4 117.6 120.5 127.2 135.0 150.7 148.0 146.9 146.5 Baking. do 145.2 144.2 141.0 142.2 142.8 142.7 146.1 147.4 147.8 148.0 100.2 102.7 Slaughtering and meat packing d o . — 112.4 104.0 101.4 96.1 94.0 93.3 96.9 99.4 100.7 101 3 ' 108.0 Leather and its manufactures... do 93.3 94.3 99.0 103.0 103.9 100.2 92.5 94.1 99.7 100.7 97 8 96.2 '91.9 94.1 Boots and shoes do..._ 90.9 92.3 97.7 102.4 103.8 99.6 91.0 92.5 99.1 100.3 96 5 '89.0 Paper and printing. .do..— 118.7 113.2 110.6 111.0 111.1 111.1 111.2 109.8 110.1 110.9 113.2 116.5 117.5 Paper and pulp . do— 115.6 106.3 105.5 106.3 105.9 106.3 106.7 106.1 105.8 107.0 113. 6 108.8 '115.2 Rubber products do 92.9 83.5 81.3 81.5 82.8 82.1 81.2 80.1 78.7 82.6 92.4 86.0 94.0 68.3 73.6 R u b b e r tires and inner tubes ..do 74.7 66.7 66.6 65.6 66.7 66.7 66.7 66.2 66.6 74.6 70.0 Textiles and their products do 105.7 101.9 100.9 104.6 104.9 101.9 99.4 98.0 98.1 103.5 104.5 ' 107.9 108.3 93.1 98.8 93.5 Fabrics do.... 98.5 93.8 92.8 94.1 93.1 90.7 90.3 89.6 91.1 100.9 122.1 1217 124.8 Wearing apparel do-... 116.9 115.5 114.4 123.9 127.0 122.8 115.6 112.6 109.5 '118.7 66.6 66.4 66.7 66.4 Tobacco manufactures do 65.6 66.6 60.5 63.7 60.9 63.1 64.2 65.2 65.4 '95.9 101.2 ' 97. 5 Factory, adjusted (FederalReserve)t do.... 104.4 94 4 94.6 94.3 94.0 93.8 93.3 94.3 95.3 103.4 '85.3 '94.6 '88.9 '97.3 Durable goods do..99.9 83.7 84.4 84.2 83.7 83.9 82.9 83.9 84.7 Iron and steel a n d their products, not 105.9 92.5 '96.4 ' 110.7 including machinery 1923-25=100.. 112.2 90.9 90.7 90.4 90.7 90.5 89.6 90.3 90.6 Blast furnaces, steel works, and rolling 97 115 101 122 mills .1923-25=100124 95 95 94 94 95 94 96 78 '95 99 106 Hardware do 105 91 89 87 87 84 80 72 70 Structural and ornamental metal work 69 71 75 76 1923-25=10076 62 63 66 67 67 67 66 67 98 '103 103 97 T i n cans and other tinware do 99 93 94 95 95 96 95 95 95 66.4 69.4 67.4 '72.2 Lumber and allied products d o . - . 72.5 65.0 65.7 65.1 63.2 64.2 64.8 65.3 66.0 86 89 '93 87 Furniture do 93 83 84 85 85 85 84 85 60 63 61 66 Lumber, sawmills do.... 66 59 60 59 56 57 59 59 60 Machinery, not including transportation 97.3 105.7 '99.8 ' 110. 6 equipment 1923-25=100.. 112.7 91.7 92.3 94.0 94.8 94.9 94.4 95.4 96.1 Agricultural implements (including trac121 125 123 128 tors) 1923-25=100.. 131 110 114 123 124 122 119 118 115 Electrical machinery, apparatus, and sup88 92 97 100 plies 1923-25=100.. 102 85 84 85 86 87 86 87 87 Engines, turbines, water wheels, a n d 97 108 windmills 1923-25=100.. 125 88 92 91 91 91 93 95 95 99 '116 F o u n d r y and machine-shop products 85 91 86 95 1923-25=10097 79 80 81 82 82 81 83 83 126 145 Radios and phonographs do.... 151 123 126 129 130 124 121 122 131 129 '160 '96.3 107.0 Metals, nonferrous, and products do— 110.5 93.1 93.3 93.4 93.4 93.2 92.8 92.8 94.6 99.2 '110.0 109 130 Brass, bronze, and copper products.do 138 106 105 104 104 103 104 105 106 115 137 Stone, clay, and glass products —.do 85.4 77.8 79.6 77.4 77.4 77.9 75.4 77.5 78.4 78.1 79.0 82.0 '85.1 57 61 59 Brick, tile, and terra cotta do.__. 65 57 61 59 58 58 55 57 58 64 Glass ..do.... 109 99 100 95 95 97 96 98 99 106 100 110 '88.3 Transportation equipment do 112.4 93.2 94.1 92.9 91.2 91.1 87.2 88.9 90.0 '99.5 ' 105. 6 ' 101. 2 '88 '102 Automobiles „ do.... 112 102 102 98 97 96 89 89 90 '100 ' 108 r Revised. fRevised series. R u r a l sales of general merchandise adjusted for seasonal variations revised beginning J a n u a r y 1934; see table 37, p . 17, of t h e August 1939 issue. D a t a for employment and pay rolls without adjustment for season;1.1 variations beginning 1933 and for the entire series on employment adjusted for seasonal variations have been corrected to the trends indicated by t h e Census of Manufactures for 1935 and 1937. For total, durable, and nondurable Jioods indexes, see table 42, p . 17, of the October 1939 issue and tables 1 and 2, p p . 15-16. of the December 1938 Survey. For individual industries a n d industrial groups, data from 1935 to date are available upon request. Earlier figures are correct as shown in tables 76 a n d 77, p p . 13-18, of the November 1938 issue. 65 SURVEY OF CUREENT BUSINESS February 1940 Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 1938 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- December 1938 Supplement to the Survey ber 1939 January February March April May June July August September m October Nove ber EMPLOYMENT CONDITIONS AND WAGES—Continued I EMPLOYMENT—Continued Factory, adj. (Federal Reserve)t—Continued Nondurable goods 1923-25 = 100-. Chemical, petroleum, and coal products 1923-25=100.. Chemicals do Paints and varnishes do Petroleum refining do Rayon and allied products do Food and kindred products do Baking do Slaughtering and meat packing do Leather and its manufactures do Boots and shoes do Paper and printing do Paper and pulp do Rubber products do Rubber tires and inner tubes do Textiles and their products.. ..do Fabrics do Wearing apparel do Tobacco manufactures do Factory, unadjusted, by cities and States: City or industrial area: Baltimore 1929-31=100.. Chicago 1925-27=100.. Cleveland... 1923-25=100.. Detroit do Milwaukee 1925-27=100.. New York. do Philadelphia! 1923-25=100.. Pittsburgh! do Wilmingtonf. do.... State: Delaware! do Illinois 1925-27=100-. Iowat ....1923-25=100.. Maryland. __ 1929-31=100_. Massachusetts.. ..._ 1925-27= 100.. New Jersey! 1923-25=100.. New York 1925-27=100.. Ohio ..1926=100.. Pennsylvania! .1923-25=100.. Wisconsin! 1925-27=100.. iVonmanufacturing, unadjusted (U. S. Department of Labor): Mining: Anthracite 1929=100.. Bituminous coal do Metalliferous do Petroleum, crude, producing do Quarrying and nonmetallic do Public utilities: Electric light and power, and manufactured gas 1929=100.. Electric railroads, etc do Telephone and telegraph do Services: Dyeing and cleaning do Laundries do Year-round hotels... do Trade: Retail, total __ __do General merchandising do Other than general merchandising.do Wholesale do Miscellaneous employment data: Construction employment, Ohio. _1926=100.. Federal and State highway employment: Total number.. Construction (Federal and State)._do Maintenance (State) do Federal civilian employees: United States do... District of Columbia, do Railway employees (class I steam railways): Total thousands.. Index: Unadjusted.. 1923-25=100.. Adjusted do Trades-union members employed: All trades percent of total.. Building do Metaj do Printing do All other do On full time (all trades) do 108.8 104.7 104.4 103.9 103.8 103.3 I 103.3 104.2 ' 105. 3 105.9 105.7 107.6 109.2 121.8 138 126 122 311 131.0 145 109 97.0 96 116. 5 116 92.3 75 106. 0 96.9 121.6 64.5 113.7 120 119 119 297 128.8 144 100 98.1 97 111.1 106 82.9 67 102.2 92.3 120.0 65.6 113.6 119 119 119 297 128.8 144 98 98.9 98 111.0 106 81.4 67 101.9 91.9 119.5 65.9 112.9 120 118 119 301 125.7 144 96 99.0 98 111.1 106 81.4 66 101.8 91.7 120.2 64.8 113.4 120 120 119 299 127.3 144 96 99.2 98 111.4 106 82.2 67 101.0 91.0 119.2 61.4 114.2 118 121 118 309 127.0 144 96 97.7 97 111.5 106 81.3 67 99.6 90.2 116.4 64.5 114.4 117 119 119 302 128.4 146 98 93.7 92 111.5 107 81.1 67 99.8 91.0 115.2 65.1 113.1 117 120 120 295 129.4 147 100 97.1 96 111.1 106 80.8 66 101.2 92.0 117.5 65.5 ' 113.7 115 122 121 298 127.9 147 101 98.7 98 111.8 106 79.7 67 104.1 94.5 121.1 65.7 ' 111.9 119 125 122 254 129.7 146 101 97.4 96 112.0 107 83.6 68 104.9 95.4 121.4 65.2 116.2 122 123 122 297 128.1 146 102 96.8 95 112.8 109 86.1 70 103.6 '94.1 120.4 64.4 119.7 132 125 122 309 126.8 146 103 97.4 96 115.0 114 91.2 74 106.2 97.8 120.4 63.5 '121.2 137 ' 126 123 ' 310 r 129.5 145 106 '99.1 '98 r 115. 7 115 93.1 75 r 107. 7 -99.8 r 120.5 63.1 102.5 80.4 94.9 112.1 104.0 95.1 86.8 93.0 90.1 87.2 70.6 82.3 102.9 92.4 86.9 81.0 72.3 79.6 84.8 69.7 81.8 100.8 90.6 85.4 79.8 71.0 80.3 86.7 70.4 81.8 99.3 93.6 89.1 81.5 71.9 81.8 89.2 70.6 82.3 97.7 94.8 90.5 81.1 72.6 83.0 90.3 69.8 82.2 96.0 94.5 88.0 81.0 73.1 84.4 91.7 70.0 81.8 62.4 92.9 85.5 80.1 71.7 83.9 91.7 70.5 81.4 86.7 94.3 83.6 81.1 73.6 81.0 92.6 70.9 80.3 59.5 92.2 83.1 81.9 73.4 78.1 93.8 72.2 82.8 89.4 94.3 91.1 83.1 76.4 75.6 98.7 74.3 90.0 107.1 98.0 95.3 83.7 79.2 79.9 101.0 78.5 93.3 102.4 96.2 97.8 '88.1 87.9 86.9 101.8 80.3 95. 7 105.9 102.7 95.9 '87.7 '91.1 89.6 98.5 87.8 89.0 75.2 127.6 89.4 73.0 92.8 80.0 84.9 78.4 80.6 90.5 76.8 128.0 92.4 74.6 93.8 81.9 86.0 80.2 82.7 91.4 77.8 129.0 94.5 74.8 94.2 82.7 87.1 80.4 83.6 93.1 77.6 131.1 95.5 73.1 93.7 82.0 86.6 80.1 83.7 92.8 77.6 131.9 95.8 71.6 94.3 80.4 85.2 78.8 84.5 90.0 78.1 133.2 95.8 71.2 95.4 80.9 85.5 79.7 86.9 89.0 78.3 129.2 96.7 73.3 94.4 80.6 84.7 '81.0 89.2 93.7 80.7 129.3 90.5 75.5 97.7 84.0 87.2 82, 5 90.0 99.9 82.3 129.4 101.5 76.8 100.1 87.5 91.1 83.7 90.9 98.6 86.0 132.4 104. 8 80.2 105.0 90.6 95.9 '90.0 89.4 98.2 87.7 105. 6 83.0 106.2 91.4 98.0 91.1 92.9 88.2 76.1 131.0 91.6 73.8 94.0 81.3 86.4 80.2 82.4 105.5 '81.4 107.4 91.3 97.0 91.4 92.1 51.0 92.8 67.6 63.5 44.1 51.3 89.3 62.3 67.8 41.4 50.0 88.7 62.6 67.0 38.3 52.2 88.6 60.9 66.4 37.9 51,7 87.4 61.0 66.2 40.1 53.0 25.9 61.5 65.8 43.0 52.6 47.9 61.9 66.1 45.6 51.2 78.3 61.6 67.0 47.3 44.7 79,4 60.4 67.3 47.5 48.5 81.4 60.4 66.7 48.1 49.4 85.4 62.9 65.0 47.9 51.9 '93.0 '65.3 '64.3 '48.0 52.2 '95.0 '66.3 '63.7 47.0 92.9 69.8 74.6 91.4 69.4 74.3 90.0 69.2 74.1 89.6 69.3 73.3 '89.5 69.5 73.4 90.3 69.1 74.1 91.0 69.6 74.7 92.3 69.9 75.3 93.2 69.7 75.4 93.8 69.8 75.5 93.7 69.8 75.3 93.5 '70.1 '75.4 93.4 '69.8 74.8 96.0 95.5 90.5 97.9 93.4 92.0 94.2 93.3 91.8 92.1 92.8 92.6 95.4 92.9 92.7 102.2 93.5 93.2 107.0 95.5 93.9 110.1 98.7 92.8 106.5 100.0 90.3 102.7 99.1 89.8 105.2 97.8 91.3 105.1 '96.0 '92.9 '99.5 95.6 '91.9 101.2 152.4 87.8 92.2 98.1 144.1 86.0 90.0 82.2 90.7 80.0 88.3 81.5 88.8 79.6 87.9 83.8 93.2 81.3 87.4 85.5 96.9 82.5 87.3 85.7 96.8 82.8 87.2 86.4 97.4 83.5 88.1 83.6 91.7 81.5 87.9 82.5 89.8 80.6 89.0 87.3 100.1 83.9 90.5 '88.4 ' 103. 2 84.5 '92.4 ' 110.1 84.5 '92.4 41.0 32.0 28.7 28.6 32.4 35.0 43.0 43.6 50.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 44.0 185, 661 81, 845 103, 816 266, 629 103,491 163,138 201,307 73,116 128,191 176,079 58,815 117, 264 169,155 58,622 110,533 187,523 78, 394 109,129 220,923 104,804 116,119 252,316 130,743 121,573 264, 502 138, 345 126,157 274,949 142, 788 132,161 277, 703 142, 868 134. 835 262, 760 133, 904 128,856 227, 233 112, 816 114, 417 987, 538 127,597 919,161 120,852 864,342 120,229 875, 541 120, 445 879,504 120,873 885,766 122,003 903,112 122, 792 925,982 123, 541 928,195 124,015 933, 386 124, 634 940,130 125,902 961 948 958 966 967 974 1,010 1,019 1,022 1,039 1,075 1,058 56.5 58.0 52.8 54.2 52.2 54.4 52.7 54.8 53.1 54.6 53.2 53.6 53.6 53.0 55.6 54.4 56.1 54.7 56.3 54.9 57.1 '56.0 59.1 57.5 '58.2 57.7 88 72 88 91 92 70 85 67 78 84 65 78 88 89 65 85 66 79 87 90 66 86 68 82 88 91 67 87 71 83 90 91 89 78 84 90 92 70 88 76 84 90 91 70 88 75 85 89 92 71 '937,576 '932, 641 '126,502 126, 277 89 75 88 92 92 72 LABOR CONDITIONS Average weekly hours per worker in factories: National Industrial Conference Board (25 industries)! hours-. 36.6 36.6 36.8 36.9 36.8 36.5 37.1 37.1 37.9 39.1 38.2 39.0 U. S. Department of Labor (87 industries)! 37.3 hours.. 36.6 37.1 37.3 36.7 36.9 36.7 37.3 38.0 39.1 38.0 38.6 ' Revised. !Revised series. Iowa employment revised beginning July 1937; revisions a/e shown on p. 26 of the March 1939 Survey. Wisconsin employment and pay rolls have been adjusted, beginning 1929, to trends indicated by Census data. Indexes not shown on p. 26 of the November 1938 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue Other State and city employment indexes revised beginning with the year specified: Philadelphia, 1932; Pittsburgh, 1932: Wilmington, 1931: Delaware, 1931- New Jersey 1931- and Pennsylvania, 1932; data not shown on p. 26 of the December 1939 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. For data on factory employment, adjusted (Federal Reserve), revised, see footnote marked with a " ! " on p. 64. For U. S. Department of Labor average weekly hours per worker in factories, see note marked with a " ! " on p 68 National Industrial Conference Board data relating to factory weekly and hourly earnings and to weekly hours per worker have been revised beginning 1934: see table 2 yp 18 of the January 1940 issue. ' ' 205737—40 5 66 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 1938 Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- December 1938 Supplement to the Survey ber February 1940 1939 January February March April May June July August Xovem September October ber EMPLOYMENT CONDITIONS AND WAGES—Continued LABOR CONDITIONS—Continued Industrial disputes (strikes and lockouts): Beginning in month number.. In progress during month do Workers involved in strikes: Beginning in month thousands.. In progress during month do Man-days idle during month do Employment operations (Social Security Board) i Applications: Active file thousands.. New do Placements, total ___do Private do Katio of private placements to active file percent.. Labor turn-over in mfg. establishments: Accession rate...mo. rate per 100 employees.. Separation rate; Total do Discharge do Lay-off do Quit -.do P215 177 310 '190 '310 '186 '319 198 '329 '237 '377 *375 38 62 513 ' 51 72 '516 67 87 '547 42 63 '612 391 420 ' 4, 882 7,216 477 230 161 7,434 644 199 130 7,080 483 181 126 6,749 500 254 185 6,545 478 270 195 v 105 5,729 (0 265 235 230 '215 359 '205 '327 ' 226 '364 158 '304 ' 170 '297 v 275 93 454 ' 3, 529 60 125 '954 172 '207 ' 1,151 75 112 ' 1,069 35 99 '874 ' 104 '136 1,477 v 1, 625 6,382 516 333 242 3,283 570 344 251 6,101 494 286 213 5,790 558 336 254 ' 5,682 5.466 r 5. 629 '352 287 366 308 289 249 0) 0) 0) 4.1 2.2 1.7 1.8 2.7 3.0 3.8 4.0 3.5 4.4 '5.1 '5.6 4.4 2.84 3.22 4.09 3.06 3.34 '2.93 3.29 3.92 4.16 5.06 6.17 5.89 4.10 3.46 .12 2.65 .69 3.88 .09 3.21 .58 3.19 .10 2.24 .85 2.61 .10 1.87 .64 3.18 .13 2.23 .82 3.46 .10 2.60 .76 3.48 .13 2.67 3.31 .12 2.46 .73 3.36 .12 2.54 .70 3.01 .14 2.05 .82 2.79 .14 1.58 1.07 2.91 .17 1.81 . 93 2.95 . 15 1.97 .83 103. 9 104.9 87.1 79.6 83.7 76.0 86.0 77.7 87.6 79.4 85.5 79.5 85.0 86.5 80.7 84.4 76.0 89.7 81.5 93.8 '87.8 101. 6 ' 99. 6 101.8 M01.3 PAY ROLLS Factory, unadjusted (U. S. Department of Labor)t 1923-25=100.. Durable goods do Iron and steel and their products, not including machinery. „_ .-1923-25=100.. Blast furnaces, steel works, and rolling mills . 1923-25=100.. Hardware do -Structural and ornamental metal work 1923-25=100-Tin cans and other tinware do Lumber and allied products do— Furniture do Lumber, sawmills do Machinery, hot including transportation equipment 1923-25=100-. Agricultural implements (including tractors) 1923-25 = 100.. Electrical machinery, apparatus, and supplies 1923-25=100Engines, turbines, water wheels, and windmills 1923-25 = 100 _ Foundry and machine-shop products 1923-25=100-Radios and phonographs do_ Metals, nonferrous, and products do Brass, bronze, and copper products.do Stone, clay, and glass products do Brick, tile, and terra cotta do Glass do-... Transportation equipment do Automobiles do Nondurable goods do.-_ Chemical, petroleum, and coal products 1923-25=100.. Chemicals . do Paints and varnishes do Petroleum refining . do Rayon and allied products do Food and kindred products do Baking do Slaughtering and meat packing do Leather and its manufactures do j Boots and shoes do Paper and printing do I Paper and pulp do__. Rubber products do Rubber tires and inner tubes do Textiles and their products __.do Fabrics do Wearing apparel do Tobacco manufactures do Factory, unadjusted, by cities and States: City or industrial area: Baltimore 1929-31 = 100.. Chicago .1925-27=100.. Milwaukee . do New York... _ do Philadelphia!.. .1923-25=100.. Pittsburghf. do Wilmingtonf. do State: Delawaref do— Illinois .1925-27=100.. Maryland.._ 1929-31 = 100.. Massachusetts 1925-27=100.. New Jerseyf— .1923-25=100.. New York.. _ 1925-27=100.. Pennsylvania! 1923-25=100.. Wisconsin!. 1925-27=100.. 115. 5 82.7 79.5 81.7 83.6 82.0 80.2 82.6 78.6 88.0 92.8 129. 4 116.5 85.7 93.2 84.5 84.6 85.9 81.6 87.3 84.7 85.2 79.3 82.3 77.6 85.9 73.8 82.0 65.4 92.7 80.1 95.3 113.9 123.6 109. 6 ' 127. 3 '118.6 67.1 99. 6 66. 2 85. 4 51.6 89.2 55.7 71.5 48.3 50.2 87.9 51.7 63.6 45.7 53.0 87.1 52.7 69.6 44.3 55.9 94.0 53.6 69.8 45.7 57.7 95.4 55.4 67.0 49.9 57.3 98.2 58.0 66.6 54.2 58.8 103.2 60.1 68.5 55.9 58. 7 102.8 56.4 68.0 50.5 63.9 114.9 62.9 75.5 56.8 63.3 117.4 63.5 78.1 56.5 68.3 ' 111.3 r OS. 7 84.9 ' 67.1 ' 104. 7 68.8 r 86. 2 r 60. 8 88.5 86.5 90.8 93.4 92.8 94.0 95.4 94.0 96.9 100.9 122.5 120.7 141.2 146.4 144.5 134.9 127.3 122. 7 124.0 125.0 86.1 83.5 86.9 90.1 89.2 90.6 91.6 91.0 93.4 98.4 95.3 95.7 104.0 109.0 111.9 114.0 114.3 110.2 113.5 116.2 70.8 118.1 87.1 103.0 67.0 42.8 104.3 97.7 107.4 95.4 69.8 106.3 81.7 96.9 60.4 39.8 96.6 93 2 101.3 92.4 72.8 96.3 85.3 100.4 61.6 38.6 97.9 91.6 97.3 95.3 74.2 93.4 86.2 102.7 65.5 40.4 100.0 91.7 97.0 96.7 73.5 88.7 83.2 99.9 66.4 43.0 93.8 94.2 99.5 92.2 75.0 92.3 84.0 103.5 67.7 43.8 96.3 87.3 88.0 91.9 76.9 104.5 84.0 103.1 70.6 50.1 100.8 88.9 88.6 93.0 74.8 113.6 82.4 103.9 65.9 46.4 91.5 76.6 72.9 93.7 78.4 122.8 88.7 110.5 71.6 50.1 102.5 78.3 75.0 99.0 80.2 139.0 96.5 122.8 71.7 50.4 105. 0 '99.5 ' 102.9 100.5 129.2 89. 5 109. 6 113.6 154. 1 80. 3 50. 6 121.2 109. 9 113.3 103. 8 '94.3 ' 170. 3 ' 115.3 ' 157. 0 r 78. 7 ' 54. 3 '120.2 ' 108. 0 ' 109. 3 102.4 119.3 132.2 117.6 134.2 276.8 118.9 131.5 109.4 74.8 69.8 108.5 103.5 86.8 76.9 85.5 82.4 86.0 61.7 118.8 130.2 115.3 134.6 283.3 113.1 129.5 108.0 83.0 80.0 103.2 102.7 82.2 74.2 83.2 80.1 83.9 51.3 118.9 132.0 117.9 132.5 287.8 110.0 130.0 98.5 89.5 87.8 103.6 105.2 81.0 71.0 90.3 82.5 99.6 52.7 120.6 133.3 122.7 131.6 286.9 111.8 131.3 97.8 89.4 88.3 105.4 105.6 83.2 74.1 91.4 80.6 106.8 53.3 119.5 130.2 125.6 128.6 278.6 112.1 129.1 96.7 79.8 77.3 104.5 104.7 81.0 71.7 82.0 74.9 90.5 55.0 119.6 131.3 129.8 132.2 273.0 J18.8 136.5 104.7 68.6 63.8 105.1 105.6 80.0 71.6 79.9 75.3 83.5 57.7 118.7 131.5 128.9 134.4 271.8 123.8 138.1 106.7 74.6 70.4 103. 5 104.5 82.1 74.8 79.6 75.6 82.3 61.5 117.9 130.8 124.0 131.5 283.2 128.6 139.1 109.2 83.6 81.9 102.0 101.2 81.5 77.1 79.3 76.6 79.7 61.8 119.0 136.3 125.6 135.9 246.6 135. 1 135.3 105.8 84.6 82.9 103.7 107.7 86.3 78.9 88.2 80.2 98.3 62.7 ' 124.6 139.7 127.5 134.8 286.4 ' 139.7 138.8 107.9 76.6 72.4 109.3 113.4 91.0 82.7 '86.6 81.0 92.1 62.9 133. 3 157.9 134. 6 140. 0 303. 0 129.9 136. 6 107.7 76. 5 71.1 113.8 125. 6 101.9 90 6 '93. 7 88.0 r 98. 7 63. 4 133. 0 ' 161.2 ' 131.5 ' 137. 9 r 310. 4 '125.3 ' 136. 9 112.5 '71. 1 ' 64. 6 ' 114.2 ' 124.6 ' 100. 1 ' 86. 4 92.9 '91.7 r eg o 62'. 9 127.7 69. 4 110.6 88 86. 0 97.9 85.8 99.4 58.5 92.8 79.0 74.6 62.5 72.2 96.0 57.1 88.8 77.6 73.1 61.8 72. 7 99.5 57.3 95.4 82.0 75.1 64.7 73.6 103.2 59.0 97.0 86.9 75.9 65.2 75.6 102.5 57.3 94.7 79.5 72.6 63.4 77.1 107.2 57.8 92.8 77.7 73.6 62.4 76.4 110.5 58.7 96.5 76.9 76.5 66.5 75.8 110.6 59.1 92.4 76. 3 77.6 62.4 71.4 114.0 61.3 98.1 85.5 79.1 72.0 67.7 118.3 62.8 96.4 86.4 79.7 72.6 73.7 126.2 67.4 103. 4 90.1 r 85. 6 92.7 81.7 128.2 67.5 109.4 87.4 85.6 '96.1 83.7 95 2 79! 1 127. 5 81.4 64.9 101.9 69.5 86.8 75.8 69.0 83.8 81.9 63.2 97.9 68.3 84.7 74.4 67.1 79.5 82.5 65.1 102.2 70.9 86.1 76.8 69.6 85.7 84.7 67.3 105.3 71.2 88.1 79.4 70.8 86.7 86.5 66.2 104.5 68.2 86.0 76.4 67.8 85.3 85.3 66.4 107.0 67.0 87.3 74.4 67.5 86.3 85.0 67.3 110.4 67.5 89.2 75.9 70.4 89.2 81.1 66.6 110.4 70.1 87.7 75.8 69.2 86.6 79.7 70.3 110.2 72.1 91.8 80.2 74.2 91.6 86.7 71.7 117.5 74.2 94.2 S2.4 74.9 90.1 92. 1 77.9 126.9 77.4 104.3 87.4 92.9 77.8 r 127. 8 78.9 106. 4 87.8 90.1 99.4 57.0 121.8 151.5 113.3 155. 9 98.8 147.0 115.7 159.0 76. 7 52.2 118.3 125.2 129. 4 102.7 133. 0 101. 4 130. 0 137.4 314.0 124.2 134. 1 121. 6 75. 6 70.4 116.8 122.7 99.1 87.8 91.8 89.4 90. 5 62.3 105. 7 89.3 90.5 100.1 1 '114.6 ' 61.6 111.0 ' 117.0 131.3 105. 7 rSS 7 96.2 ' 109. 6 '139.1 Discontinued by original source. !Revised series. For data on factory pay rolls (U. S. Dept. o i Labor) see footnote marked with a " t " on p. 64. For Wisconsin pay rolls, see footnote marked with a p. 65.- Other State and city payroll indexes revised beginning with the year specified: Philadelphia, 1932; Pit Pittsburgh, 1928; Wilmington, 1930; Delaware, 1932; New , ! " on p. J ersey, 1932; and Pennsylvania, 1932; data not shown in the December 1939 Survey will appear in i subsequent issue. ' Revised. v Preliminary. I Title changed from U. S. Employment Service. 67 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 1938 Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- December ber 1938 Supplement to the Survey 1939 January February March April May June July Sep- October NovemAugust tember ber EMPLOYMENT CONDITIONS AND WAGES—Continued PAY ROLLS—Continued Nonmanufacturing, unadjusted (U. 8. Department of Labor): Mining: Anthracite 1929=100.. Bituminous coal do— Metalliferous do Petroleum, crude, producing do— Quarrying and nonmetallic do— Public utilities: Electric light and power, and manufactured gas 1929=100. Electric railroads, etc do— Telephone and telegraph do— Services: Dyeing and cleaning... do— Laundries do— Year-round hotels do— Trade: Retail, total do.... General merchandising do— Other than general merchandising..do Wholesale do. WAGES Factory average weekly earnings: National Industrial Conference Board (25 industries)! dollars.. U. S. Department of Laborf do Durable goods do— Iron and steel and their products, not including machinery dollars.. Blast furnaces, steel works, and rolling mills ..dollars. Hardware do— Structural and ornamental metal work dollars.. Tin cans and other tinware do Lumber and allied products do... Furniture ..do... Lumber, sawmills do... Machinery, not including transportation equipment .dollars. _ Agricultural implements (including tractors) dollars.. Electrical machinery, apparatus, and supplies . dollars. Engines, turbines, water wheels, and windmills dollars.. Foundry and machine-shop products dollars.. Radios and phonographs do Metals, nonferrous, and products..do— Brass, bronze, and copper products dollars.. Stone, clay, and glass products do. Brick, tile, and terra cotta do. Glass _do Transportation equipment do Automobiles . do Nondurable goods do Chemical, petroleum, and coal products dollars. _ Chemicals do Paints and varnishes __ .do Petroleum refining do Rayon and allied products.. do Food and kindred products.__ do Baking do Slaughtering and meat packing. _do Leather and its manufactures do Boots and shoes do Paper and printing do Paper and pulp do Rubber products do Rubber tires and inner tubes do Textiles and their products .do Fabrics do Wearing apparel do Tobacco manufactures do Factory average hourly earnings: National Industrial Conference Board (25 industries)! dollars.. U. S. Department of Laborf do Durable goods do Iron and steel and their products, not including machinery dollars.. Blast furnaces, steel works, and rolling mills dollars.. Hardware do Structural and ornamental metal work dollars. . Tin cans and other tinware do Lumber and allied products do Furniture do Lumber, sawmills do ' Revised. V. s! 26.6 84.0 66.5 59.1 39.2 42.5 80.9 54.1 62.5 33.7 38.0 78.2 55.3 60.9 30.2 45.2 81.2 53.4 62.7 29.7 34.2 77.8 53.6 61.3 33.1 43.4 17.6 52.6 60.8 35,9 57.0 20.4 54.1 61.2 39.7 36.1 66.5 53.8 62.5 41.7 25.2 64.5 48.5 61.9 40.9 33.8 74.6 53.0 62.0 42.9 40.1 80.2 55.1 60.8 42.7 52.2 '97.6 '63.4 ' 58. 8 ' 45. 6 '42.7 '96.7 '63.7 ' 59.3 42.9 101.1 70.9 94.6 98.2 69.7 92.5 95.9 71.1 92.0 96.4 69.9 91.7 '96.7 70.5 91.9 96.9 69.6 92.1 98.8 70.1 93.7 100.2 71.2 93.7 100.0 70.6 94.6 101.1 71.0 94.3 101.0 70.4 94.9 ' 101.0 '72.4 ' 95. 2 101. 5 '70.6 '94.5 68.7 83.5 68.3 80.0 81.1 65.8 79.6 80.2 63.2 78.6 82.8 67.7 79.3 81.1 73.3 79.9 81.9 83.0 83.9 82.4 84.2 86.9 82.0 77.1 88.0 79.1 73.0 85.9 79.2 78.3 84.5 80.4 77.3 S3. 9 '72.1 '82.9 '81.9 82. 1 129.7 72.2 79.4 79.2 122.9 70.1 75.7 69.7 84.0 66.7 75.5 68.4 81.0 65.8 74.6 69.6 83.4 66.8 74.7 71.3 86.6 68.1 74.8 71.5 86.7 68.3 74.9 72.5 88.1 69.3 75.8 70.9 83.8 68.2 75.8 69.4 81.1 67.0 76.2 72.3 88.3 69.0 78.0 ' 74.1 '91.7 70. 5 ' 74.7 '95.7 ' 70.4 '79.3 28.53 26.05 24.26 27.27 25.95 23. 80 26.53 26.11 24.01 26. 78 26.25 24.18 27.02 26.27 23.79 26.92 26.19 23. 84 26.82 26.67 24.17 27.26 26.64 23.64 26.31 27.29 24.52 27.92 27.58 24.72 28.18 28 24 '25.81 ' 29. 71 28. 49 25. 69 29.32 .730 26.91 26.37 26.70 27.01 26.46 26.17 26.89 25. 81 28.17 28.25 ' 31.10 28.49 25.31 28.18 23.42 28.47 23.04 28.81 23.93 28.07 23.05 27.40 23.87 28.30 25.21 27.12 23.38 30.13 26.10 29.77 29.85 33.91 27.13 33. 08 27.58 27.18 22.76 19.36 20.60 17.62 26.59 22.78 18.71 19.13 17.50 26.93 22.33 19.04 20.26 17.18 27. 54 23. 57 19.19 20.20 17.57 28.06 23.19 19.18 19. 74 18.04 27.71 23. C6 19.72 19.86 18.95 28.13 23. 82 19.95 19.91 19.21 27.42 23.12 18.61 19.47 17.08 28.74 24.20 20.14 20.90 18.76 27.62 24.86 19. 95 20.95 18.39 28. 87 ' 28. 86 ' 20.80 21. 72 ' 19. 45 28 52 23.' 82 20. 64 21. 03 19.20 27.00 26.51 27.27 27.67 27.45 27.86 27.97 27.55 28.07 28.23 29. 20 29. .52 29.85 27.92 29.96 30.19 30. 00 29.56 28.85 29.20 29.11 28.91 29. 92 30.27 29. 34 27.26 27.05 27.63 28.09 27.57 28.11 28.42 28.05 28.50 28.71 29.24 29.73 29.21 30.50 30.92 30.94 30.95 30.57 30.36 31.01 30.97 32.48 33. 46 26.48 22.62 25.81 26.11 22.15 24.85 26.69 21.15 25.48 27. 02 21.14 25.60 26.70 21.19 24.90 27.23 21.73 25.38 27.71 21.63 25.52 26.95 21.71 25.11 27.78 22.38 25.98 27.86 22.92 26.69 oo 27 23. 79 28. 58 29. 43 23.47 28.25 26.92 24.03 20.06 25.76 32.72 33.22 21.52 25. 79 22.98 19.65 24.72 31.32 31.55 21. 29 26.42 23.43 19.47 25.04 30.69 30.80 21.47 26.98 23.72 19.59 25.30 30.81 30.87 21.58 26.43 22.96 19.46 23.37 31.80 32.33 20.89 27.18 23.47 19.91 24.15 31.04 31.18 21.09 27.32 23.94 21.25 24. 86 31.73 31.94 21.31 27.53 22.58 19.58 23.26 31.06 31. 50 21.25 28.00 24.26 21.17 25.45 33.71 35.15 21.58 29.15 24.03 ' 20. 52 25.43 »-33.25 ••34.41 21.54 32 21 2o.0S 22.51 27.71 ' 33. 82 ' 34. 75 ' 22. 02 31.39 22. 07 21.67 26.80 33. 96 35. 32 22.06 28. 36 30.72 27.80 35.30 23.80 24.75 25.26 27.69 18.62 17.11 28.61 23.85 28.40 33.76 17.00 16.82 17.61 16.92 28.48 30.63 27.34 35.75 24.22 24.96 25.47 28.05 19.71 18.54 27.87 23.82 27.59 32.59 16.75 16.55 17.38 15.59 28.38 30.89 27.84 35.23 24.15 24.83 25.40 26.98 20.19 19.13 27.89 24.16 27.11 31.68 17.35 16.81 19.03 15.19 28.14 31.08 28.30 35.20 24.24 25.00 25.52 27.32 20.12 19.17 28.37 24.43 27.40 32. 54 17.38 16.56 19.91 16.22 27.63 30.66 28.24 34.39 23.64 24.57 25.11 27.23 18.73 17.58 28.08 24.11 27.00 31.48 16.36 15.86 17.84 16.08 28.60 31.00 29.12 35.10 23.70 25.48 25.91 28.39 17.43 15.93 28.22 24. 25 26.78 31.46 16.36 16.02 17.43 16.60 29.23 31.07 28.62 34.99 24.38 25.13 25.96 28.25 18.65 17.28 28.10 24.13 27.88 33.06 16.51 16.20 17.46 17.19 28.85 30.74 28.14 33.91 24.47 24.61 26. 05 28.54 19.72 18.74 27.57 23.40 28.22 33.84 16.46 16.23 17.14 17.48 29. 49 31.48 28.47 34.76 24.81 23.95 25.49 27.77 19.78 18.74 28.04 24.65 28.52 33.77 17.20 16.63 18.77 17.43 '28.74 31.08 28.65 34.38 24.49 '24.19 26.00 27.99 18.45 17. 04 28.89 25.64 28.93 34.55 16.91 16.73 17.40 '17.44 ' 29. 54 32. 51 29. 46 35.77 ' 25. 03 24. 35 25. 65 27. GO IS. 74 17.20 29.40 27.19 30.11 35.91 r 17.58 ' 17.21 r 18. 63 <• 17. 55 29. 52 31.73 28.72 34.94 25. 42 24.93 25.97 27.45 18.20 16.46 29 22 26! 61 29.02 33. 78 17.72 17.67 17. 86 17. 50 .713 .642 .709 .713 .644 .710 .713 .643 .709 .715 .645 .711 .717 .642 .710 .720 .643 .707 .721 .642 .708 .721 .637 .702 .720 .634 .699 .722 '.638 '.709 '.724 '„ 646 '. 713 . 653 .757 .755 .753 .752 .752 .752 .756 .759 .757 .761 '. 764 .767 .842 .667 .835 .660 .835 .651 .835 .655 .835 .655 .835 .651 .842 .655 .849 .625 .843 .669 .845 .722 '. 848 .676 .847 . 685 .727 .608 .492 .526 .460 .731 .613 .490 .521 .458 .729 .610 .487 .523 .452 .731 .608 .492 .527 .460 .731 .611 .498 | .532 .471 .727 .609 .502 .530 .481 .721 .604 .504 .527 .484 .722 .605 .498 .528 .473 .726 .608 .502 .529 .481 .721 .615 .501 .530 .479 i '. 610 '.502 '. 527 '. 483 .725 .618 .515 . 536 .497 5; f o r .727 .716 68 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Monthly statistics through December 1937, together with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the 1938 Supplement to the Survey 1939 1938 Decem- December ber February 1940 1939 January February- March April May June July August September October November EMPLOYMENT CONDITIONS AND WAGES—Continued WAGES—Continued Factory average hourly earnings—Continued. U. S. Dept. of Labort—Continued. Durable goods—Continued: Machinery, not including transportation equipment dollars.. Agricultural implements (including tractors) dollars... Electrical machinery, apparatus, and supplies dollars. _ Engines, turbines, water wheels, and windmills dollars_. Foundry and machine-shop products dollars.. Radios and phonographs do Metals, nonferrous, and products, .do Brass, bronze, and copper products dollars.. Stone, clay, and glass products do Brick, tile, and terra cotta do Glass do Transportation equipment do Automobiles do Nondurable goods do Chemical, petroleum, and coal products dollars. Chemicals do Paints and varnishes do Petroleum refining do Rayon and allied products do Food and kindred products do Baking do Slaughtering and meat packing do Leather and its manufactures do Boots and shoes.... do Paper and printing do Paper and pulp do Rubber products do Rubber tires and inner tubes do Textiles and their products do Fabrics do Wearing apparel do Tobacco manufactures do Factory average weekly earnings, by States: Delaware 1923-25=100.. Illinois 1925-27=100.. Massachusetts do New Jersey 1923-25=100.. New York 1925-27=100.. Pennsylvania 1923-25=100 Wisconsin f 1925-27=100 Miscellaneous wage data: Construction wage rates (E. N. R.): § Common labor _dol. per hour.. Skilled labor do.... Farm wages without board (quarterly) f dol. per month.. Railwa y wages (average, class I) dol. per hour._ Road-building wages, common labor: United States, average dol. per hour.. East North Central. _ do East South Central do Middle Atlantic do Mountain do New England _ do Pacific do South Atlantic do.... West North Central do.... West South Central do .721 .724 . 725 .728 .726 .725 .803 .794 .804 S03 .795 .787 .780 .785 .743 .745 .742 .744 .744 .743 .787 .782 .736 93.5 97.9 .721 .723 .778 .782 .787 .740 .733 .731 .787 ^.794 .799 .72] .781 .793 .788 .787 .788 .712 582 .670 .713 .591 .667 .711 .577 .666 .715 .578 667 .714 .586 .670 .710 .589 .673 .716 .583 .671 .715 .576 .672 .714 .576 .668 .715 .577 .674 .718 .573 .691 .720 .583 .690 .707 .649 .537 .723 .901 .924 .589 .701 .651 .540 .728 .898 .921 .592 .704 .649 .542 .720 .897 .924 .591 .705 . 652 .544 .716 .900 .926 .591 .704 .648 .535 .707 .897 .928 .588 .70S .644 .534 .706 .894 .931 .592 .707 .647 .538 .711 . 895 .933 590 .715 .646 .531 .716 .886 .928 .587 .710 .646 .539 .714 .888 .935 585 .714 .647 .540 .718 .895 .934 .583 .757 '.654 r. 551 '.730 '.891 '.922 .590 .753 .657 .554 .735 .888 .925 .599 .739 .781 .699 .974 .641 .617 .615 .679 .526 .499 .770 .613 , 765 .961 .480 .460 .520 .469 .741 .780 .699 .980 .637 .628 .617 .683 .525 .498 .768 .616 .770 .957 .484 .461 .527 .481 .738 .780 .697 .970 .640 .632 .615 .684 .522 .496 .768 .611 .761 .953 .488 .461 .538 .473 .728 .780 .698 .973 .643 .629 .615 .689 .524 . 500 .771 .614 .763 .957 .489 .459 .541 .474 .721 .777 .697 .973 .647 .627 .613 .694 .524 .501 . 772 .'612 .760 .947 .480 .458 .518 .474 .740 .776 .701 .970 .647 .631 .617 .689 .528 .504 .774 .616 .760 .944 .478 .460 .511 .472 .757 .777 .697 .972 .643 .622 .618 .691 .529 .505 .776 618 .765 .947 .473 .459 .499 .474 .768 .783 .704 .985 .639 .613 .624 .687 .522 . 498 .772 .616 .472 .460 .496 .476 .766 .785 .707 .975 .643 .596 624 .688 .526 .502 .768 .618 .770 .956 .483 .460 .523 .472 .741 .781 .704 .969 .646 .585 .620 .686 .532 .508 .774 .620 .768 .959 .482 .461 .519 .475 '.738 .789 '.712 '.974 .646 .608 .623 '.685 .532 .508 .773 .629 .769 .961 .486 '.464 '. 527 '.574 .752 .787 .715 . 972 .'659 .625 .627 .684 .539 .514 .772 .627 .768 .959 .494 .478 .525 .479 89.0 91.3 93.8 110.2 93.0 98.1 88.3 92.0 95.3 110.8 93.7 100.3 103.6 89.6 93.9 95.4 112.8 92.5 93.4 91.4 93.4 94.9 113.0 93.8 101.0 ' 102.7 88.2 92.3 95.8 112. 1 94.0 97.3 '97.2 82.4 94.6 95.6 113.3 95.4 103.0 '101.7 83.9 94. 5 96.7 113.5 94.1 101. 5 99.1 90.3 98.2 96.6 119.7 96.4 111.1 107.6 '91.5 96.3 .682 1.43 1.44 .685 1.44 .685 1.44 .685 1.44 .685 1.48 120.0 97.7 111.7 107.6 92.6 94.3 111.5 93.3 98.8 101.8 .685 1.46 .682 1.43 95.9 101.2 103.7 110.7 93.1 96.9 101.9 92.8 93.5 111.8 92.6 97.5 ' 102.2 .680 1.43 1.44 .683 1.44 .682 1.44 .684 1.44 ,740 .750 .726 .732 .720 .719 .724 .714 .731 .729 .37 .59 .26 .43 .36 .35 .60 .27 .57 .54 .50 .65 .27 .40 .37 .39 .52 .53 .51 .66 .27 .42 .35 .35 .60 .28 .56 .51 .48 .67 .27 .41 .38 .54 .55 .57 .67 .28 .42 .37 .40 .60 .28 .51 .55 .52 .63 .28 .45 .37 .41 .63 .29 .51 .56 .49 .65 .28 .45 .37 .43 .60 .29 .52 .56 .49 .65 .29 .47 .35 .43 .61 .30 .51 .57 .47 .64 .30 .46 .37 .43 .60 .30 .53 .58 .45 .64 .30 .46 .37 .43 .59 .31 .51 .57 .48 .64 .30 .47 .38 .44 .59 .32 .53 .56 .49 .66 .32 .46 .38 325 316 310 318 309 308 305 279 276 258 '268 272 48 39 48 38 1 1 35.42 34.92 .735 .63 27 .51 .53 .50 119.5 96.1 110.8 107.9 36.13 36.26 ALL PUBLIC RELIEF Total, exclusive of cost of administration, material, etc.t — ..mil. of doL. Obligations incurred for. Special types of public assistance do General relief do Subsistence payments certified by the Farm Security Administration mil. of dol__ Earnings of persons employed on Federal work programs Civilian Conservation Corps...mil. of dol._ Works Progress Administration: Operated by W. P . A.f do Operated by other Federal agenciesf- do National Youth Administration: Student aid do Work projects t do Other Federal work and construction projectst mil. of dol.. 46 19 21 21 18 20 20 168 5 156 5 150 4 158 5 146 6 141 7 37 36 34 35 40 46 48 19 54 19 19 19 19 120 '3 108 3 98 4 102 4 2 4 3 5 53 51 •a• Revised. Less than $500,000. § Construction wage rates as of Jan. 1, 1940, common labor $0,685, skilled labor $1.47. t Revised series. For revisions in U. S. Department of Labor factory weekly and hourly earnings, and hours worked per week, see table 1, p. 17 of the January 1940 issue. Farm wages revised beginning 1913; see table 53, p. 18 of the November 1939 issue. Data on all public relief revised beginning with January 1933; the historical record can be obtained from the most recent Social Security Bulletin together with the issue for August 1939. The revised series differ from those previously published in that they include, in addition to earnings of persons certified as in need of relief, the earnings of all other persons employed on work or construction projects financed in whole or in part from Federal funds. Wisconsin weekly earnings revised beginning January 1929; data not shown in the December 1939 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. February 1940 Monthly statistics through December 1937, together with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the 1938 Supplement to the Survey 69 SUEVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 1939 1939 1938 Decem- December ber January February March April May June July August September October Novem ber FINANCE BANKING Acceptances and com'l paper outstanding: 233 235 247 245 216 221 236 Bankers' acceptances, total mil. of dol__ 270 223 255 248 245 238 Held by Federal Keserve banks: 0 0 0 0 0 0 For own account do 0 (a) (a) 0 0 0 0 For foreign correspondents do 0 0 Held by group of accepting banks: 175 192 191 179 191 172 212 177 204 198 191 189 188 Total mil. of dol_. 105 128 111 124 115 103 121 122 122 117 118 119 Own bills do 122 63 67 70 62 82 76 69 91 74 72 Purchased bills _._do 44 42 57 55 53 39 52 50 54 49 51 58 Held by others . do 201 205 210 195 195 191 192 181 209 189 194 214 187 Commercial paper outstanding do Agricultural loans outstanding of agencies supervised by the Farm Credit Adm: 3,134 3,057 3,158 3, 085 3,166 3,109 3,185 3,172 3,210 3,178 3,173 3,067 3,148 Grand total _.__mil. of doL2,637 2,596 2, 616 2,671 2,626 2,719 2,658 2,735 2,710 2,683 2,694 2,605 2,647 Farm mortgage loans, total do 1,928 1,916 1,905 1,923 1,948 1,941 1,982 1,973 1,969 1,955 1,910 1,960 1,934 Federal land banks do 708 699 691 718 704 741 723 728 695 753 746 734 Land Bank Commissioner do 713 84 99 83 93 84 112 105 95 Loans to cooperatives, total • do 85 91 Banks for cooperatives incl. Central 76 60 61 70 74 62 73 87 65 Bank mil. of dol.. 66 Agricultural Marketing Act revolving 22 21 22 23 22 24 21 24 23 24 23 22 fund mil. of dol.. 23 414 363 362 411 395 363 403 366 Short-term credit, total do 417 370 376 417 Federal intermediate credit banks, loans to and discounts for: Regional agricultural credit corps., prod, credit ass'ns, and banks for co165 188 190 170 180 164 187 165 168 175 167 183 189 operativesc?" mil. of dol__ 42 33 40 34 33 38 38 34 35 34 41 33 36 Other financing institutions do 154 185 188 163 183 174 148 148 168 155 188 178 157 Production credit ass'ns do 10 8 10 10 9 8 11 11 10 11 10 10 8 Regional agr. credit corps do 124 115 125 125 121 118 116 115 121 116 125 125 116 Emergency crop loans do 53 54 54 54 54 55 55 54 54 54 53 54 53 Drought relief loans do 66 79 80 76 75 87 85 83 85 77 73 82 70 Joint Stock Land Banks in liquidation.,do 40,019 33, 664 32,711 39,966 32,393 31,676 27,581 34,486 30,143 30, 477 30, 613 Bank debits, total (141 cities) mil. of doL 31,928 33,988 17, 633 18,879 15,138 13, 683 13,041 14,533 12,380 16, 274 13,311 12, 794 13,118 14,165 15,312 New York City.. do 22,386 18, 526 19, 029 18,636 17, 860 15,201 21.087 18, 211 16,832 17, 763 18, 676 17, 683 17,496 Outside New York City do Federal Reserve banks, condition, end of mo.: 18, 740 15,581 15, 639 15,862 16,186 16,766 16,922 17,172 Assets (resources) total mil. of dol.. 19,027 17,348 17, 823 18, 602 18,779 Reserve bank credit outstanding, total 2,593 2,446 2,579 2,801 2,878 2,607 2,595 2,650 2,601 2,598 2,486 mil. of dol.. 2,587 2,573 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 Bills bought ..do 7 5 6 5 5 3 8 4 4 5 4 4 6 Bills discounted do 2,484 2,426 2,551 2,564 2,574 2,736 2,571 2,804 2,552 2,564 2,564 United States securities do 2,564 2,488 15, 524 12,166 12,382 12,561 15,178 15,013 15, 295 12,951 13,476 Reserves, total do 13, 673 13, 874 14,230 14, 661 15, 209 11,798 11,948 12,125 14, 679 14, 838 14,976 12, 553 13,103 13, 326 13, 524 13,878 14, 321 Gold certificates do 19, 027 15,581 15,639 16,766 18, 602 18,779 18,740 15,862 16,186 16,922 17,172 Liabilities, total do 17,348 17, 823 12, 941 10.088 10,420 11,376 12, 953 12,988 12, 865 10, 571 10,919 11,535 11,701 Deposits, total do 11,952 12, 247 Member bank reserve balances, total 11,653 10,018 10, 918 8,724 11,655 11,973 9,215 9,900 mil. of doL. 9,157 10,029 10, 507 11,628 5,209 4,140 4.758 5,352 5,553 3,205 3,644 4,098 Excess reserves (estimated) do 3,559 3,387 4,218 4,553 5,160 4,959 4,720 4,773 4,511 4,631 4,452 4,339 4,353 4,458 Federal Reserve notes in circulation..do 4,380 4,862 4,530 4,477 86.7 85.0 85.6 85.5 83.7 83.9 84.2 85.1 86.3 Reserve ratio percent,. 84.7 85.4 Federal Reserve reporting member banks, condition, Wednesday nearest end of month: Deposits: 15,986 18, 333 18,556 16,048 15,965 15,991 16, 660 16,965 17, 220 18,972 Demand, adjusted mil. of dol._ 18, 566 17,462 18, 096 5,276 5,247 5,249 5,160 5,231 5,183 5,217 5,202 5,248 5,237 5,232 5,235 5,243 Time do 8,190 7,167 7, 954 6,061 7,667 6,359 6,466 6,414 6,627 6,747 7,894 7,012 6,675 Domestic interbank do 14, 413 14, 207 14,503 13,714 13,219 13, 408 13,388 13,209 Investments, total 5 do 13,554 13,862 14,078 14, 233 14,069 8,703 8,684 8,565 8,341 8,266 8,437 8,173 8,096 8,143 8,423 U. S. Government direct obligations, do 8,515 8,713 8,237 Obligations fully guaranteed by U. S. 2,412 2,286 2,232 1,732 2,232 1,789 2,019 2,026 2,148 2,241 2,026 2,055 Government .mil. of dol_. 2,408 3,298 3,382 3,400 3, 291 3,221 3,247 3,246 3,347 3,291 3,266 Other securities 1 do 3,262 3,322 3,382 8,674 8,209 8,350 8,233 8,186 8,071 8,430 8,191 Loans, total 1 do 8,656 8,126 8,166 8,521 Commercial, industrial, and agricultural 4,353 3,841 3,814 4,310 3,843 3,773 3,822 3,833 4,229 3,767 loans 1 mil. of dol_. 4,381 3,887 315 324 317 328 302 317 313 305 303 316 312 Open market paper do 308 313 To brokers and dealers in securities 700 792 764 533 603 848 799 721 648 mil. of doL. 655 Other loans for purchasing or carrying secu504 512 519 535 531 539 560 523 543 510 539 499 526 rities mil. of dol._ 1,188 1,184 1,174 1,174 1,169 1,148 1,140 1,136 1,161 1,180 1,156 1,189 Real estate loans do 1,168 50 49 36 115 99 60 35 94 92 59 51 36 74 Loans to banks do 1,564 1,567 1,542 1,533 1,546 1,559 1,521 1,547 1,543 1,550 1,550 1,543 1,579 Other loans ^ do Money and interest rates: Bank rates to customers*: 1.96 2.04 1.70 1.73 2.13 1.70 2.15 In New York City percent.. In seven other northern and eastern cities 2.59 2.78 2.97 2.69 2.95 3.05 3.05 percent.. In eleven southern and western cities 3.32 1.62 3.32 3.26 3.31 3.23 3.77 percent.. Bond yields (Moody's): 2.94 3.02 3.08 2.99 3.01 2.97 2.92 2.93 3.25 3.15 3.00 3.00 2.89 Aaa do 4.92 5.15 5.27 4.89 5.07 5.12 5.05 4.91 4.85 5.00 4.88 4.85 4.84 Baa do 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Discount rate (N. Y. F. R. Bank) do..4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 Federal land bank loans do 1.50 1.50 1.92 1.50 1.50 1.50 2.00 1.50 2.00 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 Federal intermediate credit bank loans..do Open market rates, N. Y. C : Me Me Me Me Me M Me M Acceptances, prime, bankers do M Me V 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Call loans, renewal (N. Y. S. E.) do 1.00 Commercial paper, prime (4-6 months) H-% H-H percent.. 4 2 1H Time loans, 90 days (N. Y. S. E.) do m IK m 1H 1H 1M M 1M m .03 .03 .03 .14 .03 Treasury bills, 91 days (yield) do .04 .03 .03 .03 .05 .05 .05 .04 .65 .50 .45 1.07 Treasury notes, 3-5 years (yield) do .42 .51 .67 .39 .63 .48 .77 .51 °Less than $500,000. ^ cf To avoid duplication, these loans are excluded from the totals. •New series. Data beginning 1928 not shown in the December 1939 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. Quarterly figures beginning March 1939 are not strictly comparable with earlier data. For explanation of new series, see the November 1939 issue of the Federal Reserve Bulletin. ISee note marked with a " 1 " on p. 30 of the July 1939 issue. •Includes a small amount of Federal intermediate credit bank loans (direct) not shown separately. m n-n m SUKVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 70 1938 Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 gether with explanatory notes and references DecemDecemto the sources of the data may be found in the ber ber 1938 Supplement to the Survey February 1940 1939 January February March April May June July August Novem September October ber FINANCE—Continued BANKING-Continued Savings deposits: Savings banks in New York State: 5,599 Amount due depositors mil of dol U. S. Postal Savings: 1,279 Balance to credit of depositors do 54 Balance on deposit in banks . do COMMERCIAL FAILURES! 882 Grand total . number 53 Commercial service, total __ _ do 52 Construction, total. do _. 179 Manufacturing, total „ do 6 Chemicals and drugs do 33 Foods do _ 11 Forest products . do Fuels do 15 Iron and steel do . . 3 Leather and leather products . do 10 Machinery.. do 17 Paper, printing, and publishing do 5 Stone, clay, glass and products ._ do 43 Textiles.. . . . do . 3 Transportation equipment do 28 Miscellaneous . do 508 Retail trade, total _ do 90 Wholesale trade, total do Liabilities, grand total thous. of dol. 12,078 746 Commercial service, total do 1,057 Construction, total do 4,837 Manufacturing, total do 65 Chemicals and drugs . do 1,462 Foods do 153 Forest products do 304 Fuels „_ do 162 Iron and steel do 19 Leather and leather products. ...do 844 Machinery . do 266 Paper, printing, and publishing do 272 Stone, clay, glass and products do.___ 857 Textiles __ do 168 Transportation equipment ..do 265 Miscellaneous do 4,176 Retail trade, total do 1,262 Wholesale trade, total . do LIFE INSURANCE (Association of Life Insurance Presidents) Aocpfc admitted total'1 mil nfdnl Mortgage loans, total do Farm do Other do Real estate holdings do Policy loans and premium notes do Bonds and stocks held (book value) total mil of dol Government (domestic and foreign) do Public utility do Railroad do Other do Cash do Other admitted assets do Insurance written:® Policies and certificates, total number 728 thousands.. 59 Group _ do 443 Industrial do 225 Ordinary do Value, total thous. of dol.. 646,545 105, 030 Group do 124, 662 Industrial _ _ _ do 416,853 Ordinary ._ . do Premium collections, total do Annuities do Group do Industrial do Ordinary -_ .do (Life Insurance Sales Research Bureau) f Insurance written,ordinary, total..thous. of doL. 567, 212 39,378 New England do 148,888 Middle Atlantic do 126, 840 East North Central do West North Central do.... 59,043 South Atlantic do 56, 672 24, 223 East South Central ._ do 45, 996 West South Central. __do 17, 347 Mountain do Pacific Lapse r a t e s . . . do 1925-26=100__ 5,405 5,417 5,431 5,478 5,463 5,471 5,514 5,519 5,529 5,557 5,522 5,547 1,252 86 1,259 83 1,263 81 1,266 80 1,264 76 1,262 73 1,262 68 1,268 58 1,271 56 1,267 55 r 1,271 ' 54 1,274 875 37 48 175 11 33 21 3 8 5 11 8 4 44 3 24 527 88 36, 528 1,628 797 6,285 185 1,743 489 156 524 169 704 89 116 540 1,206 364 4,142 23,676 1,263 54 54 218 7 43 17 9 12 12 17 15 8 41 3 34 802 135 19,122 1,912 615 6,803 81 1,636 387 357 1,090 575 713 267 335 650 26 686 7,731 2,061 963 32 45 177 12 42 18 6 9 9 11 16 4 31 0 19 618 91 12, 788 262 968 4,985 125 1,482 237 306 255 118 255 512 112 1,055 0 528 5,251 1,322 1,057 49 50 203 6 51 20 3 11 7 15 13 8 48 4 17 634 121 17, 851 1,106 r 1, 224 7,867 54 3,248 742 755 305 86 302 185 155 1,612 145 278 5,618 2,036 1,064 43 51 208 4 58 17 11 12 9 16 13 1 38 2 27 629 133 17, 435 490 744 8,286 100 1,441 339 1,164 363 1,837 563 666 8 1,022 388 395 5,526 2,389 1,028 42 62 189 4 51 21 1 10 4 8 11 8 52 4 15 608 127 14, 664 875 1,154 4,877 107 1,848 525 100 316 28 281 407 212 803 44 206 5,818 1,940 847 48 50 158 7 38 11 5 12 11 8 12 5 29 4 16 506 85 11,460 494 1,150 4,459 97 1,056 214 341 312 199 276 216 79 1,144 45 480 3, 734 1,623 885 25 35 186 3 49 14 6 6 5 14 19 6 40 1 23 548 91 14,128 330 361 6,701 32 2,368 212 1,017 53 213 773 260 263 1,130 58 322 4,668 2,068 859 41 46 151 4 39 18 1 8 11 5 12 3 31 1 18 528 93 11, 259 491 765 4, 069 38 1,642 521 40 337 311 51 269 20 535 16 289 4,461 1,473 758 34 45 133 7 32 14 4 2 3 8 10 6 22 4 21 462 84 9,402 498 927 3,175 124 569 415 816 18 28 192 59 98 342 95 419 3,700 1,102 916 29 46 175 11 40 14 3 8 6 11 16 886 28 46 190 9 49 13 4 8 33 2 24 557 109 16,140 739 1,095 6, 659 121 1,472 1,397 111 262 292 1, 455 421 170 506 126 326 4, 526 3,121 22, 729 4,381 670 3,711 1,751 2,636 22,850 4,395 670 3,725 1,743 2,628 22,929 4,403 669 3,734 1,740 2,621 23,018 4,410 667 3,743 1,738 2,611 23,100 4,416 667 3,749 1,743 2,605 23,199 4,424 666 3,758 1,746 2,598 23, 275 4,435 664 3,771 1,745 2,585 23,398 4,442 659 3,783 1, 747 2,573 23, 489 4,460 663 3,797 1,750 2,564 23, 608 4,472 662 3,810 1,751 2,557 23.711 4,486 662 3,824 1,753 2,547 23, 815 4,499 662 3,837 1, 754 2,534 12,869 5,794 3,004 2,649 1,422 635 457 12,884 5,857 2,957 2,653 1,417 747 453 12,950 5,895 2,974 2,657 1,424 759 456 12,999 5,903 2,995 2,671 1,430 810 450 13,065 5,952 3,003 2,675 1,435 827 444 13,127 5,977 3,007 2,684 1,459 858 446 13,358 6,057 3,139 2,699 1,463 727 425 13,428 6,079 3,163 2,702 1,484 780 428 13, 485 6,123 3,202 2,705 1,455 809 421 13, 553 6,110 3, 259 2,697 1,487 837 438 13,687 6,097 3,401 2,697 1,492 800 438 13,714 6,181 3,382 2,684 1,467 823 491 1,089 71 755 264 974,920 91, 294 226,085 657, 541 355, 603 50, 208 12,148 96,493 196,754 648 30 357 262 729,937 51,899 99,363 578,675 277,860 35,905 12.914 65,146 163,895 675 23 399 252 570, 491 40, 365 109,871 420,255 250,374 22,491 11, 667 56,981 159, 235 842 33 499 310 645,019 45, 205 138, 396 461,418 287, 539 25,817 13,019 62,960 185,743 716 20 464 232 550,666 35,981 129,051 385,634 243,414 19,838 10,450 61, 263 151,863 812 33 496 283 604, 445 43, 278 137,073 424,094 257,965 22,809 11,302 59,846 164,008 841 134 461 245 729, 749 194,223 128, 568 406, 958 268, 472 25, 496 11, 528 61, 255 170,193 687 26 427 234 506, 380 23, 862 118, 218 364, 300 248, 077 27, 712 10, 497 55, 554 154,314 942 261 431 250 584, 595 83, 901 119, 068 381, 626 244, 706 23, 472 11, 292 54, 271 155, 671 642 24 417 200 509, 897 59, 401 115, 935 334, 561 234, 418 18, 248 11, 320 59, 970 144, 880 790 51 484 255 637, 675 75, 929 135,769 425, 977 238,492 20, 879 10, 781 57,055 149,777 724 41 455 228 587, 498 44, 027 128,121 415,350 247, 397 23,412 10,854 52, 800 160, 331 902,741 61,883 281,685 188, 369 93, 598 78, 758 7 33, 643 67, 709 22, 278 74,818 48, 825 729, 766 58, 827 194,457 174,370 76,498 63,300 27,101 53, 202 17,806 64, 205 532,032 43, 632 140,911 122, 242 54,148 48,038 20, 386 42, 233 13, 677 46, 765 577, 203 44,852 159, 747 130,647 55, 913 53,050 22, 845 45,997 15, 848 48, 304 495,650 37, 658 140,175 109, 638 49, 272 45, 771 19,070 38,401 13,663 42, 002 532,089 40, 608 148,804 117,143 53,372 50,104 21,059 42, 221 14, 406 44,372 524, 925 41,314 142, 293 116, 689 53, 078 51,134 21,811 40, 791 14,935 42,880 93 462,423 36,030 124, 598 102, 981 48, 575 42, 233 18, 277 37, 658 13, 659 38, 412 479, 794 34, 364 123, 012 107,019 51, 080 48,480 19, 729 38, 831 14, 842 42, 437 442, 597 33, 493 118, 743 95, 351 45,611 43, 595 19, 741 36, 567 12, 756 36, 740 543,991 43,136 152,548 122, 888 54, 339 52, 598 19,413 40,088 14, 743 44,238 537,951 41,938 150, 742 122, 522 54.246 51,003 20,133 40,588 14,043 42, 736 00 12 9 36 31 525 97 11,877 494 4, I n 123 1,214 149 72 313 68 213 93 219 469 122 1,122 4, 505 1,955 ' Revised. nmercial failures revised beginning June 1934; see table 3, pp. 17-18 of the December 1938 issue. Data for insurance written, ordinary (Life fRevised series. Data on comn revised _ for. the period 1936-38 to include a small amount of intermediate insurance omitted from the original compilation. Revised data Insurance Sales Research Bureau)) r^...— „_„ ^ not shown on p. 31 of the November 1939 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. J37 companies having 82 percent of total assets of all United States legal reserve companies. ©40 companies having 82 percent of total life insurance outstanding in all United States legal reserve companies. February' 1940 Monthly statistics through December 1937, together with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the 1938 Supplement to the Survey 71 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 1939 1938 1939 Decem- December ber January February March April June May July SepAugust tember October Novem ber FINANCE—Continued MONETARY STATISTICS Foreign exchange rates: Argentina^ _ dol. per paper peso.. 0.298 0.311 0.311 0.312 0.312 0.312 0.312 0.312 Belgium dol. per belga__ .166 .169 .169 .168 .168 .168 .170 .170 2 Brazil, official dol. permilreis.. .061 .059 .059 .059 .059 .059 .061 () .300 British India dol. per rupee.. .349 .350 .351 .350 .349 .349 .349 .876 .992 .995 Canada. _ dol. per Canadian dol_. .996 .995 .991 .998 .996 .052 .052 .052 .052 Chile _ -dol. per peso.. .052 .052 .052 .052 .022 .026 .026 .026 .026 .026 France. -dol. per franc .026 .026 .401 .401 .401 .401 .401 .401 Germany dol. per reichsmark.. .401 .401 .050 .053 .053 .053 .053 .053 Italy _._. dol. per lira.. .053 .053 .234 .272 .273 .273 .273 .272 Japan dol. per yen.. .273 .273 .531 .542 .536 .531 .531 .544 .532 Netherlands ...dol. per guilder.. .536 .100 .046 (0 .050 .110 .110 Spain. .dol. per peseta.. 0) 0) .238 .240 .241 .241 .241 .241 .241 Sweden _._dol. per krona.. .241 4.681 4.670 1682 United Kingdom. __..dol. per £ . . 4.686 4.669 3.930 4. 681 4.685 .616 .615 .616 .614 Uruguay dol. per peso.. .658 .616 .616 .617 Goldf 14, 778 14, 599 15,014 14,416 Monetary stock, U. S mil. of dol._ 17,518 15,509 16,028 15, 878 Movement, foreign: 14,106 - 4 8 , 553 Net release from earmark^ thous. of dol._ -200, 811 - 6 2 , 387 10, 720 -114,842 -251, 579 •102, 596 15 81 11 16 Exports do 53 231 19 36 Imports do 451,183 240, 542 156,427 223, 296 365,436 606,027 429,440 240,450 Production: 1,028,774 1,033,939 985, 843 1,073,084 1,017,508 1,084,859 1,058,989 Union of South Africa, total fine ounces Witwatersrand (Rand) do 946, 895 953,916 910,084 989,974 1,000,181 977, 752 Receipts at mint, domestic (unrefined).-do 241, 879 235, 337 233,806 195, 780 209, 778 227, 642 219,161 201, 111 Currency in circulation, total. .mil. of dol__ 6,697 6,712 6,888 7,609 6,764 6,867 6,919 Silver: 2,054 1,344 1,671 Exports! thous. of dol_. 1,923 2,054 303 611 9,927 7,143 21, 533 10, 328 Imports do... 3,795 7,207 14,770 6,152 .428 .428 .428 Price at New York _.dol. perfineoz. .428 .428 .350 .420 .428 21,822 19,108 Production, world ..thous. offineoz. 19, 511 20,070 26,122 17, 469 18,197 1,454 1,552 1,575 1,637 Canada do... 1,411 1,920 1,766 1,559 6,794 4,281 4,922 Mexico do... 4,906 2,515 10, 274 4,586 5,268 4,624 4,669 United States -do.... 5,067 5,336 5,716 5,493 3,701 Stocks, refinery, end of month: 2,409 4,075 7,432 United States do. 3, 533 4,935 9,903 652 676 615 Canada do. 255 736 316 167 0.312 .170 .061 .349 .998 .052 .026 .401 .053 .273 .533 .110 .241 4.681 .616 0.298 .167 .061 .303 .893 .052 .023 (4) .050 .235 .531 .101 .238 4.011 0.311 .170 .061 .344 .995 .052 .026 .399 .053 .269 . 535 .110 .240 4.611 .607 0.170 .061 .299 .913 .052 .023 .395 .051 .235 .532 .105 .238 3.995 16,182 16, 390 16,823 17,002 17,217 -166, 212 9 278,645 152,125 13 259, 934 2,836 15 326,089 79,516 15 69, 740 90, 873 10 167, 991 1,084,334 1,099,816 1,080,474 1,098,842 998,800 1,015,643 997,012 1,014,593 281,317 282,130 362,866 421,796 7,098 7,328 7,249 7,051 274,843 7,413 () 0.298 .165 .061 .301 .878 .052 .022 .401 .050 .234 .531 .100 .238 3.925 .658 640 5,531 .349 21,878 2,099 8,004 3,200 937 4,365 .360 22, 522 2,703 6,971 4,226 1,292 4,639 .370 r 23,634 2, 679 ' 6,857 5,145 1, 773 7,268 .357 24, 426 2,913 7,931 4,874 ~5,~ 113 6,348 250 4,180 489 5,461 530 3, 589 715 4,638 756 487 4,183 .348 1,898 CORPORATION PROFITS (Quarterly) Federal Reserve Bank of New York: Industrial corporations, total (168 cos.)t mil. of dol._ Autos, parts, and accessories (28 cos.).do Chemicals (13 cos.)t do Food and beverages (19 cos.) do Machinery and machine manufacturing (17 cos.) mil. of dol.. Metals and mining (13 cos.) do Petroleum (13 cos.) do Steel (11 cos.) do Miscellaneous (55 cos.) do Telephones (91 cos.) (net op. income) do Other public utilities (net income) (52 cos.) mil. of dol._ Interstate Commerce Commission: Railways, class I (net income) do Standard Statistics Co., Inc. (earnings): Combined index, unadjusted*! 1926=100.. Industrials (119 cos.)-do p 118.0 Railroads (class l)*t do.... P74.2 v 134. 9 Utilities (13 cos.) ...do Combined index, adjusted*! do Industrials (119 cos.) do Railroads (class l)*f do Utilities (13 cos.) do 179. i 78.4 30.7 20.4 5.6 4.1 4.7 10.3 25.4 56.5 146.9 69.5 24.2 15.8 158.1 64.1 26.4 20.3 p 140. 6 »13.0 32.5 *>22.2 6.2 2.1 5.4 2.7 7.0 3.3 6.2 17.3 56.4 7.4 24.2 60.4 22.1 P28.6 60.1 48.6 54.1 54.5 51.3 53.7 M3.6 -M8.2 57.7 76.7 69.3 31.9 123.0 76.2 79.0 29.2 113.2 60.4 65.0 25A 62.0 J>66.6 d 124.7 62.4 .7 <* 19.8 113.4 r 114.9 57.0 62.1 >• 63.5 ' 34.2 '116.7 PUBLIC FINANCE (FEDERAL) Debt, gross, end of mo mil. of dol__ 41, 942 39,439 39, 641 39,864 39,990 40,068 40, 286 40,445 40, 896 • 40,861 41,040 r 41, 305 40,666 Public issues: Interest bearing* do 37, 214 35, 755 35,892 35, 949 35,994 36,089 36,122 36, 200 36, 261 • 36,282 ' 36, 421 36, 512 Noninterest bearing* do 510 533 543 531 540 534 516 538 548 497 498 528 554 Special issues to gov't agencies and trust funds* mil. of dol.. 4,231 3,382 4,094 4,109 4,295 3,156 3,215 3,454 3,492 3,770 4,063 3,666 3,918 Obligations fully guaranteed by the U. S. Government:©* Amount outstanding by agencies, total. mil. of dol.. 5, 448 5, 703 4,992 5,707 4,987 5,410 5,410 5,480 5,583 5,410 5,409 5,450 5,456 Federal Farm Mortgage Corporation_do 1,279 1,269 1,269 1,388 1,381 1,381 1,380 1,379 1,383 1,379 1,379 1,379 1,279 Home Owners' Loan Corporation do 2,813 2, 823 2,817 2,888 2,888 2,888 2,888 2,858 2,831 2,888 2,888 2,928 2,958 Reconstruction Finance Corporation^ do 1,096 1,096 820 509 819 820 509 819 819 820 820 820 820 Expenditures, total, including recovery and relieff thous. of dol 889, 329 870, 278 693,385 662,464 879, 300 786,517 744, 899 972,569 807, 325 822, 049 793,302 764,458 691,006 eeff o 822,858 809,351 649, 573 601,971 796,139 722,342 686, 824 886, 856 639, 232 745, 269 728,837 701,893 632, 573 G l General (including recovery and relief)*t_do -543 5,066 8, 785 Revolving funds, net* do 7,451 3,742 4,685 7,992 10, 679 5,264 10,365 5,599 8,474 856 Transfers to trust accounts* do 58,000 53, 000 48,500 38, 500 50,000 68,000 50,094 56, 004 167,103 66,100 50,150 53,000 55,000 Debt retirements* do 779 367 9, 013 127 530 0 8,685 626 9, 562 1,182 21, 235 9,051 134 569,136 704,494 308,152 417, 349 737,391 268, 343 396, 781 612, 522 307, 846 419,980 718,790 321,511 406,967 Receipts, totalt do 27, 814 25,121 29,049 24, 318 22, 361 29, 266 29, 437 25, 318 24, 517 25, 528 27, 213 35,595 32,418 Customs do 498,993 662, 252 315,845 333,518 691,401 279, 987 315, 037 568, 646 300,091 397, 421 624,254 292,241 339,615 Internal revenue . do 316,280 473,804 Income taxes do 50, 764 56,872 495,906 38, 832 43, 533 351,958 43, 230 31, 777 329,093 35, 482 33,721 Social security taxes* do 11,110 98, 992 125, 870 2,939 3, 855 69, 684 93, 044 16, 252 72, 754 97, 447 12,308 68,578 113,177 r d Revised. Deficit. 1Or increase in earmarked gold (—). ' Preliminary. •Number of companies included varies slightly. t _ o~~*. Quotations not available January 25-May 14,1939. * Quotations not reported April 10,1939, through June 8,1939. 3 Quotations not available September 1-October 16,1939. 4 s Quotation not available September 1 and September 3—November 5, 1939. Previously published figures based on incorrect quotations; quotations not available September 1 through November 28, 1939. 6 Indexes are in the process of revision. *New series. New items for Federal gross debt beginning June 1916 appear in table 21, p. 16, and for Federal expenditures beginning July 1931 in table 22, p. 17, of the April 1939 Survey. Data on receipts from social security taxes beginning June 1936 will appear in a subsequent issue. fRevised series. The Standard Statistics Co. index of railroad earnings and the combined index have been revised beginning 1932; see table 25, p. 18, of the April 1939 Survey. Total Federal expenditures and receipts revised beginning July 1931; see tables 22 and 23, p. 17, of the April 1939 Survey. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York corporation profits, industrial total and chemicals, revised beginning with 1928; data not shown above will appear in a subsequent issue. §Revised series. Data revised for 1937: see table 19, p. 14 of the April 1939 Survey. ©"Included in the total but not shown separately are guaranteed debentures of certain other Federal agencies. i"General" and "recovery and relief" not reported separately by Treasury Department after June 1939 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 72 Monthly statistics through December 1937, together with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the 1938 Supplement to the Survey 1939 1939 1938 Decem- December ber February 1940 January February March April May June July October NovemAugust September ber FINANCE—Continued PUBLIC FINANCE ( F E D E E A L ) - C o n . Receipts, total—Continued. Internal revenue—Continued. Taxes from: 1,564 2,020 1,975 Admissions to theaters, etc.thous. of dol... 1,650 1,754 1,012 Capital stock transfers, etc ..do 744 576 Sales of radio sets, etc do Government corporations and credit agencies:f Assets, other than interagency, total 11,515 11,451 mil. of dol.8,527 8,562 Loans and preferred stock, total do Loans to financial institutions (incl. pre1,314 1,344 ferred stock) mil. of doL512 511 Loans to railroads do 2,329 2,335 Home and housing mortgage loans..do Farm mortgage and other agricultural 3,486 3,469 loans... __ mil. of dol.902 A1I other _ „ do U. S. obligations direct and fully guaran855 teed.. _ _ mil. of dol_. 460 456 Business property.. do 698 689 Property held for sale.. do 961 889 All other assets do 7,117 7,048 Liabilities, other than interagency, total.do Bonds, notes, and debentures: 4, 4,992 Guaranteed by the U. S do 1,327 1,317 Other do 75" 739 Other liabilities incl. reserves do 383 381 Privately owned interests do Proprietary interests of the U. 8. Government 4,015 4,022 mil. of dol. . Reconstruction Finance Corporation, loans outstanding, end of month:f Grand total thous. of dol.. , 758, 354 1,808,288 1,770,335 697, 205 708, 484 666,999 Section 5 as amended, total do Banks and trust companies, including 120, 778 118,06; receivers thous. of dol.. 100, 00' 1,959 3,342 1,908 Building and loan associations do 2,964 2, 99! 2, 506 Insurance companies do 138, 595 140,644 100, 280 Mortgage loan companies ..do 448, 792 436, 094 437, 789 Railroads, incl. receivers. __.do 5,940 3, 963 All other under Section 5 do 6,06' Emergency Relief and Construction Act, 207,948 39,11 total, as amended thous. of dol.. 201, 604 Self-liquidating projects (including financ182, 149 38, 258 ing repairs) thous. of dol.. 180, 862 Financing of exports of agricultural sur25, 047 10c pluses thous. of doL. 20,04' Fmancing of agricultural commodities 752 and livestock thous. of dol. 696 Direct loans to business (incl. participations) thous. of doL. 130, 625 107, 412 109, 039 Total Bank Conservation Act, as amended 539, 936 584,890 578, 793 thous. of doL 82, 276 80, 991 83, 99^ Drainage, levee, irrigation, etc.* _do___ 265. 476 124. 907 125, 280 Other loans do.._ 1,503 1,394 404 1,607 1,083 353 1,385 1,259 287 1,606 1,273 279 1.491 735 258 1,534 813 292 1,513 1,124 402 1,852 1,210 590 1, 728 2 806 467 2,118 1,275 578 11, 650 8,509 11,696 8,523 11,688 8,497 11, 703 8,511 11, 706 8,465 11, 823 8,861 12,017 8,900 11, 967 8,923 12,105 8 956 12, 063 8,936 1,291 508 2,327 1,278 505 2,324 1, 509 2,323 1,297 501 2,325 1,311 493 2,331 1,299 493 2,332 1,272 492 2,337 1, 272 492 2,347 1 273 489 2 363 1,247 497 2,358 3,460 923 3,456 960 3,459 913 3,447 941 3,438 3,731 1,007 3,765 1,033 3,744 1,068 3 738 1 093 3,721 1,112 874 465 708 1,09, 7,588 885 468 712 1,108 7,592 849 472 71' 1,157 7,592 850 476 713 1,151 7,581 853 481 708 1,199 7,651 871 483 709 900 7,507 876 531 704 1,008 7,"' 879 i 535| 695 934 7,768 879 542 689 1, 039 7,845 874 543 678 1,033 8,064 5,410 1,369 809 384 5,410 1,374 808 386 5,410 1,379 803 5,410 If""" 790 5,471 1.389 791 387 5,291 1,349 867 390 5,489 1, 345 1,052 391 5,356 1,357 1,054 393 5, 449 1.357| 1,0391 3951 5, 708 1,352 1,004 397 3,678 3,718 3,709 3,73: 3,668 3,926 3,739 3,806 3, 866 3, 602 1,764,888 1,769,810 1,718,501 1,723,167 1,747,482 1,766,222 1,768,904 1, 783. 4041,787,43411,762,094 664, i r 673, 385 682, 524 676,434 677, 933 677,463 677,408 677,916 679,064 689,603 116,120 1,921 2,915 101, 225 436,139 5,797 112, 926 1,958 2,88: 110,392 439,560 5,660 110, 657 2,942 2,869 117,084 443,840 5,131 108, 220 3,027 2,836 120, 745 436,612 4,994 205,598 197,466 131,349 134,495 181,814 173, 682 107, 538 108, 995 23,047 23, 04 23,047 24, 73' 737 764 764 111, 343 112,162 114,141 738 110, 432 574, 791 82, 461 127, 489 572,975 576,969 .577, 723 82, 632 82, 9*0 83, 04 132, 008 132, 547 137, 326 104, 387 3,321 2,81 124, 550 439, ft 103, 4O.f 3,262 2, 125, 573 438, 863 3,658 3, 573 63, 682 62,152 102,121 3.405 2,662 126,842 438, 83" 101.187 3, 487 2,652 127. 647 438, 835 4,109 102, 126 100, 773 3, 433 3, 375 2, 615! 2, 571 130,167| 134, 432 436,650 444,314 4, 073 4, 138 3,541 62, 801 43, 478 41, 586 42, 679 42, 664 19, 871 19,371 63 752 751 751 61,57 39,441 40,108 40, 835 23, 480 21, 290 19, 989 760 754 752 116, 639 577. 498 83. 042 228, 688 121, 364 570, 83, 333 251, 256 122, 859 566. 919 83, 433 256, 708 I 125, 753 126,862 130,026 566,534 _ ,_; 83, 502 267,490 564,55fi| 541,423 83, 482i 83, 750 270,669; 273,814 CAPITAL FLOTATIONS New Security Registrations^ (Securities and Exchange Commission) New securities effectively registered under the 35, 181 30, 636 114, 924 21, 676 86,286 307,75' 144, 625 142, 735 57, 062 275, 410 232,712 298, 571 Securities Act of 1933, total thous. of doL. Estimated gross proceeds (total registration, less securities reserved for conversion), 26, 888 28, 461 113, 994 21, 366 69,242 277,657 55, 588 271, 720 227, 545 293, 650 total ..__ ..thous. of dol.- 153, 367 H40, 709 142,137 Type of security: 12,172 18, 749 11,317 33, 443 16, 385 23,124 8,737 9,645 29, 307 8,076 12, 393 47,438 20,473 Common stock do._. 1,936 11,628 2, 200 3,391 48, 305 18. 566 38,762 12,6' 2,70' 1,741 27,900 22, 260 Preferred stock do... 8, 710 0 800 1,000 12, 645 22, 826 10, 759 12,968 3,875 10, 586 1,766 4,008 3,406 Certificates of participation, etc do... ( 163,101 10, 380 13, 444 900 46, 815 39, 675 57,413 5,139 116,991 144, 872 28, 488 9,449 Secured bonds do... 125.68 100,172 1,600 500 17, 700 70,913 16,061 83, 562 74, 279 112, 42 22,613 Debentures and short-term notes do... 10, 900 Type of registrant: 1,582 2,74' 0 1, 523 523 702 8,281 12, 290 6.160 280 342 234 Extractive industries do... 3,485 33, 440 8.818: 9,929 10, 262 6,821 11,096 93,097 35, 763 146, 450 23, 517 3,779 Manufacturing industries. do... 88, 942 3,894 19, 444 2.92' 40, 776 22, 390 36,639 6, 660 21,941 224 4,758 17,024 Financial and investment do... 24,162 6,27: 4,548 380 1,750 3,921 0 1,827 1,40 250 7,823 Transportation and communications.do... 0 28, 834 5,305 Electric light and power, gas, and water 0 11, 194 217,149 54, 955 82,280 108,512 124,971 5,090 27,506 117,712 82, 914 119,171 31, 605 thous. of dol.. 1,997 31, 870 450 511 2,41 969 15, 500 935 2. 250 1,992 1,577 Other do... 2,696 2,89: Securities not presently intended to be offered for cash sale for account of registrants: Registered for account of others 11,870 1,448 855 3, 5781 13. 549 10, 215 971 3,64C 4,862 11,525 3,777 thous. of doL . Registered for options and for other subse286 159 0 11,1941 298 1,610 3. 192 420 170 2,086 147 219 quent issuance thous. of doLOther securities not intended for cash 4,134 624 37,178 18lj 2.068 3,615 1,930 28,379 20, 36£ sale _. thous. of dol.. Selling and distributing expenses: 4,092 5,006 2,053 6,031 1,247 4,387 6,678 4,679 4,213 1,190 Commissions and discounts.-thous. of doL. 3,414 2,767 2,12! Other selling and distributing expenses 654 942^ 202: 1,253 128! 1,443 1, 621i 917 215 627 235 thous. of dol-. 1,19C • The total includes $12,576,000 of face amount installment certificates. ^ Series differ from current presentation of the Securities and Exchange Commission, due to a reclassification of certain items, but data as shown here are comparable throughout. When earlier data are available on the new basis, they will be presented in the Survey. •New series. Data for drainage, levee, irrigation, and similar districts beginning December 1933 will appear in a subsequent issue of the Survey; this series was formerly included with "Other loans." tRevised series. Details for assets of Government corporations and credit agencies have been revised beginning June 1937 due to changes in the underlying U. S. Treasury Department compilations and are not comparable with the series shown in the 1938 Supplement. Several new series on loans and other assets have been brought out. No changes have been made in the series on liabilities. Data not shown on p. 33 of the November 1938 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. For Reconstruction Finance Corporation loans outstanding, minor revisions beginning August 1934 not shown on p. 33 of the January 1940 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. 73 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the December 1938 Supplement to the Survey 1938 1939 December January February March April May June July August September October Xovem ber FINANCE—Continued CAPITAL FLOTATIONS—Con. New Security Registrations—Con. 1 (Securities and Exchange Commission) Estimated gross proceeds (total registrations less securities reserved for conversion)—Con. Estimated cash proceeds to be used for: Total thous-nfdni do Organization development Purchase of: Plant and equipment*. do Other assets _ do do Securities for investment do Securities for affiliation Increase of working capital "Retirement of preferred stock do Repayment of bonds and notes . . d o . . Repayment of other indebtedness..do Miscellaneous do 144, 938 125, 424 1,920 0) 2,525 190 0 200 5, 963 3, 391 126, 208 6, 461 0 10,142 180 27, 669 0 8,400 10, 494 64, 567 2,036 16 132,009 416 14 956 201 58,886 1,690 229 546 190 28,865 25 244 611 857 182,134 335 270, 203 124 22, 635 130 2,040 0 20,399 0 2,139 35, 523 69,058 2,407 0 3 453 13 2 r 416 0 4 239 0 3 303 1 331 0 4,534 3 1,965 500 13,201 191 36, 531 267 4 1,936 24 3,629 0 70,634 1,034 147, 471 4,629 0 213 92 15, 278 46 3,770 239 8,641 561 0 7 469 3? 11 756 194 22, 824 100 187, 648 5,047 8, 684 10, 423 0 19. 058 898 11, 101 4,562 122, 061 13,697 0 9,441 110 2, 495 123 6,496 2,417 217, 818 1, 807 29, 372 1,088 1, 586 11,914 148 2,357 0 4.788 609 13.6S0 107 407 15 000 461 030 2 861 0 37 518 o 032 0 5 101 43 1 4 '2 8 1 223 0 379 067 214 53 970 384 0 Securities Issued (Commercial and Financial Chronicle)^ Securities issued, by type of security, total (new '21S 145 capital and refunding) --.thous. of dol__ 328, 851 '•515,932 r 277. 532 ' 540 625 »• 2 4 1 , 341 r-•358.117 '1,313,005 ' 585 583 ' 590,429 ' 460, 667 *" 179,919 r 740 94, 864 '•241,101 ' 220, 783 '377 452 M 6 1 , 9 7 4 144, 258 Ml6, 874 r 973 350 '318,016 M l 2 , 031 M l , 609 ' 336 o to ' 88 687 New capital, total do r r r r r 45? '•318,016 Ml6, 874 100 r ? 0 4 41, 609 243 ' 88, 687 82,031 330 94, 864 '•241,101 200, 783 ' 161, 974 143, 808 . d o.. . Domestic, total ii!) 241 50,139 25, 895 16.019 26,971 r 59, 044 5,926 18 200 23 571 ?,! 40S do . 7S 160 21,740 Corporate, total Bonds and notes: 18,428 21, 403 40, 340 14,320 21,191 r 44, 095 16,722 13. do 2,300 42,809 15 1S6 47,533 Long term 0 0 450 0 0 0 1, 460 0 0 do.. . 0 2,600 0 0 Short term do ^rofpTTod stocks do... Common stocks Farm loan and other government agencies thous . of dol.. Municipal, States, etc .. do..... Foreign, total do Corporate do.. Government United States possessions _ ..do.... RefundT"np" total Domestic totnl Corporate, total do do do Bonds and notes: Long term Short term Preferred stocks Common stocks 3 545 2, 236 11, 752 3,798 1,026 1 278 5,571 o 55,000 118.146 310.090 0 0 o 20'. 000 0 20. 000 0 0 0 0 235, 104 rr 274, 881 235 104 272 206 194,281 '" 237,1 13 0 r 187,771 r 226, 0 2 0 0 r 1 Of) 4, 900 10, 974 0 1, 61.0 do _ do . do Farm loan and other Government agencies 20,250 thous. of dol.. 18, 600 22, 223 14,813 Municipal, States, etc „._ do__ 0 2, 625 Foreign, total do 0 0 ..do.. Corporate 0 0 do Government rin 0 2, 625 United States possessions Securities issued by type of corporate borrower, total thous. of dol.. 221, 252 '-296,788 59, 544 New capital, total . , d o . . . 26,971 do 14,088 48, 801 Industrial Investment trusts, trading, and holding 0 0 companies, etc thous of dol 0 394 ..do.... I/and, buildings, etc 5, 360 6,461 . do . Public utilities 5,998 0 do . Railroad^ 1,525 3,888 do Shipping and miscellaneous . . d o . . . . 194, 281 237, 243 Refunding, total 15, 215 56, 404 do Industrial Investment trusts, trading, and holding 0 0 companies etc thous . of dol 0 416 do Land, buildings, etc 118,050 126, 395 Public utilities do60,000 46, 378 Railroads do 1,016 ' 7, 650 Shipping and miscellaneous —do n 0 ' 103 173 56 749 r 163 173 10, 386 136 115 5. 200 6. 000 0 186 r 0 0 101 286 0 M 8?9 0 17. 050 27* 112 r 10 Oils U 0 0 936 9,234 1 020 29, 607 2, 220 1,092 5 3 084 4,908 4,891 2,010 1,021 500 1.199 } 950 1.550 n 202, 553 0 9, 950 0 0 9, 250 30.000 0 0 o 2."!. 0 0 0 0 450 0 0 0 o f; 0 0 450 - w ' 79, 367 ••213,860 r r 76 367 r 161 360 l 180 3 si - 3 1 2 L"S 1 TVS 46. 689 129,249 151,002 46, 366 0 200 123 105,913 0 23,336 0 126, 102 4, 500 20,400 0 'J7:\ r \- < 0 9 3H6 ') ii, 0 0 0 37, ,*sri2 0 9',) 74. 0.">0 291,677' 500 0 16,500 0 0 343. 357 25 S95 17. 045 0 259,909 78,160 75, 981 183, 242 21, 740 3,987 282, 039 30,241 12,198 230, 577 50,139 10,339 500 630 1,170 0 2,500 10,386 3,986 0 375 2, 475 550 136. 115 11. 500 0 0 4,202 30.135 71 46,689 15, 301 500 1,100 579 0 0 181, 749 60,175 500 100 403 1,500 15, 250 161, 502 2,000 0 0 12 666 2, 700 2, 677 251, 798 79, 810 0 1,186 25,892 12, 435 288 180. 438 96,124 5, 770 317,463 20, 123 0 850 300 5,000 250 0 0 31, 388 0 0 12,755 720 106,500 1.600 0 0 202 154,400 4,900 0 0 111 0V9 12, 000 1,500 830 160,185 0 51 80,78* 0 3,475 2, 505 250, 835 7, 000 37,000 ' 77, 460 '107, 174 105.332 110,110 9, 438 1, 536 '.") 0 r ".(I", .")!). * <) 1 1 :i () 0 0 0 200 1 I ° 200 40N 7 058 1, r 95, 115 16.019 1.099 n 5(0 250 130 125 13. 005 1,600 * 79,096 600 0 0 9-7 ' 1 '9 1 90 12 ' 30, 554 64,931 ' 5 4 , 891 ' 2 2 , 018 975 525 523 792 000 0 1 952 70) 840 0 0, 250 569 147, 052 r 0 728 0 SI 1, 505 o, 2 0 0 1, 457 57 314 3, 413 230 23, 800 700 53,700 r 7',)° • "•) 0 0 0 1, 930 400 1 'H\ ,s •\,.-> 50. 87) 0 0 280 0 0 (\ i - - 1^.250 •" 12.'. .'3 16, 500 99, 668 52, 979 18, 572 0 86 ,'i ,1 !) ' \U< VI (1 710 :'.' \ () i) Or, {•, 0 0 159, 686 23, 571 20 171 n ' . , 'i 2-5, 53. 300 i) 0 r '}", 8>0 400 107 307 8. 7X0 5t) 16,312 5,926 1,126 0 0 >/ :<j 300. 963 0 0 0 0 0 0 o o C t i:? VX 5-G M o 30,U')'i L'7 '.. \]:\ r 463 '•[U 20, 750 1,021,114 15, 023 '- 14, 655 »• 1 1 , 3 6 0 15,7*0 52. 500 3.000 10,500 52, 500 0 5, 250 3, 000 0 0 0 0 1) o o 0 0 (Bond Buyer) State and municipal Issues: Permanent (long term).... Temporary (short term). thous. of dol... 101,665 .do 63,941 128, 654 43, 764 104.966 88,656 60,422 170,769 49, 297 92, 355 1,054 170 325 138 300 104 168 71 202 81 r r 133, 376 ' 80, 673 62, 150 154, 809 206, 65. r 290 207 413 COMMODITY MARKETS Volume of trading in grain futures: Wheat mil. of bu Corn 326 106 721 137 556 133 669 183 637 151 716 187 504 104 417 102 831 190 579 236 828 183 561 230 834 178 570 230 839 183 589 238 792 202 556 235 856 217 620 305 894 200 577 289 914 195 SECURITY MARKETS Brokers' Balances (N. Y. S. E. members carrying margin accounts) 906 967 Customers' debit balances (net) mil. of dol.. 991 971 953 207 Cash on hand and in banks do 190 192 168 174 637 709 Money borrowed 713 699 do 754 Customers' free credit balances 266 ..do.... 222 225 235 247 r 1 Revised. Less than $500. iSee footnote marked " 1 " on p. 72. •Fncludes reimbursement of corporate treasuries for capital expenditures. t Revised series. Data revised for 1937; see table 26 on pp. 15 and 16 of the May 1939 Survey. 205737—40 6 6^3 272 74 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 1938 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- Decem1938 Supplement to the Survey ber ber February 1940 1939 January February March April May June July August SepNovemtember October ber FINANCE—Continued I SECURITY MARKETS—Continued Bonds Prices: Average price of all listed bonds (N. Y. S. E.) dollars.. Domestic do Foreign do Standard Statistics Co., Inc. (60 bonds) dol. per $100 bond.. Industrial (20 bonds) ___do Public utilities (20 bonds) do Rails (20 bonds) do Domestic municipals (15 bonds) do U. S. Treasury bondsf ...do Sales (Securities and Exchange Commission): Total on all registered exchanges: Market value.._ ___thous. of dol.. Face value do On New York Stock Exchange: Market value do Face value do Sales on N. Y. S. E., exclusive of stopped sales (N. Y. S. E.) par value: Total thous. of doL. U. S. Government do. Other than U. S. Government: Total do. Domestic do_ Foreign do. Value, issues listed on N. Y. S. E.: Face value, all issues mil. of doL. Domestic issues. do Foreign issues . do Market value, all issues. do____ Domestic issues do Foreign issues ..do Yields: Bond Buyer: Domestic municipals (20 bonds)...percent.. Moody's: Domestic (120 bonds). ..do By ratings: Aaa (30 bonds)... do Aa (30 bonds) do A (30 bonds) do Baa (30 bonds) • do By groups: Industrials (40 bonds) .do Public utilities (40 bonds) ...do Rails (40 bonds) do Standard Statistics Co., Inc.: Domestic municipals (15 bonds) do U. S. Treasury bondsf do... 92.33 96.02 52.23 91.27 94.35 60.11 91.03 94.25 58.55 91.85 95.01 59.68 91.80 94.99 58.43 91.56 94.83 57.40 92.92 96.09 59.73 92.08 95.34 57.79 93.15 96.46 58.46 90.59 94.05 64.50 88.50 92.41 47.29 90.79 94.59 50. 55 91.24 95.05 51.23 82.1 86.8 101.6 58.0 119.9 106. 1 81.1 86.0 98.7 58.6 116.5 104.1 81.9 86.2 99.7 59.7 117.3 104.4 82.1 86.4 100.7 59.0 117.3 104.8 83.1 87.1 101.3 60.9 117.9 106.0 79.4 83.8 99.7 54.5 116.4 106.6 80.2 84.8 101.0 54.8 118.1 10'8.3 81.4 86.2 101.6 56.2 118.6 109.1 81.6 86.3 102.1 56.4 118.3 108.9 81.0 85.8 101.7 55.5 116.5 108.2 80.9 85.0 98.6 59.0 107.1 101.9 82.9 86.4 100. 5 61.6 110.7 102. 6 83.0 87.0 101.8 60.2 117.5 104, 6 125, 631 206, 047 98, 662 173,971 146,188 259,364 157,278 224,622 126, 687 166,855 179,440 245,123 119,057 165,925 125,737 167,691 127, 703 169,641 121, 420 162,425 122,908 159, 770 417, 429 498,100 162. 275 229,653 135,515 193,891 116,550 221,469 119,160 178,731 86,903 121,222 137,021 195,394 92,210 133,554 93,060 130, 243 91,785 129, 260 87,837 123,949 89,189 121,165 384,237 459, 821 131,901 194,212 105,994 159,374 176,100 4,322 217,609 6,535 159, 611 7,581 118,993 4,871 185,513 11,889 122, 804 7,459 123,104 7,390 126, 570 6,821 119,431 5,137 111,394 8,730 480, 789 227,101 170,089 14, 203 151, 685 5,628 171,778 211,074 146,192 185,528 25, 586 25,546 152,030 131,490 20,540 114,122 96,722 17,400 173,624 139,909 33,715 115,346 93,396 21,949 115,714 98,423 17,291 119,749 102,189 17,560 114,294 100,622 13,672 102,664 85,001 17, 663 253,688 227,997 25,691 155, 886 134,816 21,070 146, 057 123, 230 22, 827 51,554 46,920 4,634 47,053 44,268 2,785 51, 587 46,933 4,654 46,958 U, 233 2,725 51,466 46, 862 4,604 47,271 44,524 2,748 52, 670 48,071 4,599 48,352 45,665 2,687 52,564 47,975 4,589 48,128 45,493 2,634 52,647 48,056 4,591 48,921 46,179 2,742 52, 751 48,166 4,585 48, 571 45,921 2, 649 52,610 48,032 4,578 49,007 46, 331 2,676 52, 209 47, 642 4,567 47, 297 44,808 2,489 52,466 47,917 4,549 46,431 44,279 2,151 52, 452 47, 922 4,531 47, 621 45, 331 2,290 52, 435 47, 869 4,566 47,839 45, 500 2,339 2.76 2.80 2.72 2.78 2.66 2.66 2.67 3.21 3.30 2.93 2.72 3.84 3.78 3.71 3.66 3.67 3.95 3.83 3.70 54, 067 49,512 4, 554 49, 920 47, 541 2,379 2.59 2.78 3.69 3.95 3.81 3.74 2.94 3.14 3.74 4.92 3.08 3.42 4.02 5.27 3.01 3.32 3.97 5.12 3.00 3.26 3.94 5.05 2.99 3.22 3.87 4.89 3.02 3.22 3.97 5.15 2.97 3.16 3.92 5.07 2.92 3.13 3.86 4.91 2.89 3.07 3.83 4.84 2.93 3.11 3.80 4.85 3.25 3.49 4.05 5.00 3.15 3.35 3.94 4.88 3.00 3.16 3.78 4.85 3.21 3.38 4.47 3.40 3.63 4.82 3.31 3.57 4.70 3.29 3.52 4.63 3.29 3.48 4.46 3.35 3.51 4.66 3.30 3.45 4.60 3.23 3.42 4.47 3.17 3.39 4.42 3.21 3.40 4.41 ' 3. 57 3.70 ' 4 . 58 3.43 3.57 4.51 3.25 3.41 4.44 2.56 2.35 2.75 2.49 2.70 2.47 2.70 2.44 2.67 2.34 2.75 2.30 2.66 2.17 2.63 2.13 2.65 2.16 2.75 2.21 3.29 2.65 3.08 2.60 2.69 2.46 Stocks Cash dividend payments and rates (Moody's): Annual payments at current rates (600 companies) mil. of dol_. 1, 589. 37 1, 315.04 1,316. 25 1, 329.91 1,334.15 1, 337. 76 1,339.27 1,382.43 1, 391.46 1, 422.99 1,423.82 1, 442. 45 1,573.05 935.03 935.03 935.03 935. 03 935. 03 935. 03 935.03 935.03 935.03 935. 03 935.03 Number of shares, adjusted millions.. 936. 43 935. 03 Dividend rate per share (weighted average) 1.43 1.52 1.54 1.49 1.43 1.52 1.70 1.48 1.68 1.43 1.41 1.41 1.42 (600 cos.) dollars 3.01 3.01 3.01 3.01 3.01 3.01 3.01 3.01 3.01 3.01 3.01 3.01 3.01 Banks (21) do.... 1.31 1.38 1.42 1.45 1.31 1.42 1.63 1.37 1.61 1.30 1.28 1.28 1.30 Industrials (492 cos.) do 2.33 2.39 2.33 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.53 2.39 2.39 2.31 2.31 2.31 2.31 Insurance (21 cos.) do 1.92 1.94 1.92 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.95 1.95 1.92 1.92 1.91 1.91 Public utilities (30 cos.). .do.. .90 .87 .90 .90 1.25 .90 1.25 .90 .90 .90 .85 .90 .90 Rails (36 cos.) do_. Dividend declarations (N. Y. Times): Total . thous. of dol__ 330, 592 247, 569 194,118 303, 839 186, 095 154,076 377,394 220,175 181,033 310, 284 193,698 199, 969 659, 512 311,996 229,916 181,480 289, 412 182, 522 147,635 358, 417 200,698 167,167 296,168 191,364 192,915 608, 149 Industrials and misc do 13,866 18,976 14,116 2,334 7,053 51, 362 19, 477 18, 596 17,653 6,440 3,573 14,427 12,638 Railroads do__ Prices: Average price of aP listed stocks (N. Y. 8. E.) 60.2 62.2 63.2 57.9 65.8 56.6 65.9 66.2 57.0 64.4 57.0 64.4 Dec. 31, 1924-100. 62.6 Dow-Jones & Co., Inc.: (66 stocks) 46.82 44. 43 51.80 51.01 46.47 49.32 42.68 45.66 50.47 50.01 48.99 48.68 49.13 dol. per share.. 139. 26 r 137.89 132. 56 152. 15 149. 98 127. 73 136. 52 150. 72 148. 54 150.12 145.06 144. 60 146. 87 Industrials (30 stocks) do.. 24.96 23.05 25. 64 25.68 25.68 22.05 23.66 24.36 25.00 21.94 24.84 24.94 Public utilities (15 stocks) do. 23.30 28.29 27.02 34. 27 33. 38 27.67 25.75 27.59 31.97 31.63 30.52 31.07 Rails (20 stocks) _. d o _ 30.31 31.20 99.74 94.19 110.33 108. 59 99.44 90.46 96.95 110.38 109.01 105. 36 100. 59 102. 22 102. 73 New York Times (50 stocks).... do 178.03 167. 73 194. 82 192.28 178. 21 161.51 173.12 195. 86 194. 21 186. 99 178. 01 181. 21 Industrials (25 stocks) _do 181.82 21.45 20.67 20.68 19.41 20.79 24.91 25.84 24.90 23.82 23.18 Railroads (25 stocks).. do_. 23.74 23.24 23.64 Standard Statistics Co., Inc.: 83.1 86.1 95.3 94.2 81.9 86.0 86.3 92.4 91.8 92.0 90.1 Combined index (420 stocks) 1926=100.. 91.8 91.7 100.6 97.0 112. 7 95.9 100.5 100.5 109.4 107.9 110.9 110.6 106.3 109.3 108.0 Industrials (350 stocks)__ ..do 120.9 141.9 115.4 115.5 120.0 121.5 138.1 133.8 137.2 139.4 130.9 136.4 133.3 Capital goods (107 stocks)* do 96.2 101.6 88.7 95.4 96.9 98.3 100.6 91.5 102.0 96.5 98.5 97.8 98.7 Consumer's goods (194stocks)*_. do__ 84.9 86.0 80.0 84.7 87.0 84.3 87.3 82.4 83.8 86.7 77.9 81.2 85.8 Public utilities (40 stocks). do.... 25.7 32.9 24.8 25.9 25.4 29.7 31.6 28.0 25.0 29.6 28.8 29.8 29.7 Rails (30 stocks) do Other issues: 60.4 53.7 55.2 55.0 59.9 58.3 64.0 58.7 58.7 47.7 53.5 Banks, N . Y. C. (19 stocks) do 51.1 60.0 Fire and marine insurance (18 stocks) 88.2 84.3 89.8 90.7 91.9 94.0 89.3 85.3 81.0 87.6 do 86.1 85.7 87.0 Sales (Securitiesand Exchange Commission): Total on all registered exchanges: r 774 769 ' 1.185 i 844 882 603 556 1,225 2, 20,6 655 1,129 1,058 Market value _..mil. of doL. 42, 614 23,131 21,916 '31,464 ' 31, 839 <• 93, 628 '43,449 ' • 35, 426 52,913 26,057 Shares sold. thousands.. 31,446 40.384 47,393 »• Revised. •New series. For data beginning 1926 see table 24, p. 18, of the April 1939 Survey. fRevised series. Revised data for U. S. Treasury bond prices beginning 1931, and U. S. Treasury bond yields beginning 1919, appear In tables 17 and 18, p. 18, of the March 1939 Survey. February 1940 75 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Monthly statistics through December 1937, to1939 1938 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- Decem1938 Supplement to the Survey ber ber 1939 January February March April May June July August September 677 ' 25,016 24, 554 1,970 75,192 October November FIN AN CE—Continued SECURITY MARKETS—Continued Stocks—C ontinued Sales (8. E. O.)-—Continued. Total, on all registered exchanges—Con. On New York Stock Exchange: Market value mil. of dol. Shares sold thousandsExclusive of odd lot and stopped sales (N. Y. Times) thousands. Shares listed, N. Y. S. E.: Market value, all listed shares mil. of dol. Number of shares listed millionsYields: Moody's, common stocks (200) percentBanks (15 stocks) _ do... Industrials (125 stocks) ..do..Insurance (10 stocks) do-_. Public utilities (25 stocks) do... Rails (25 stocks) do... Standard Statistics Co., Inc., preferred stocks Industrials, high-grade (20 stoeks)-__percent. 649 23,175 1,065 39,954 37,051 561 19, 538 916 31,150 779 33,775 523 17,897 ••473 • 16,435 1. 045 • 35, 029 r 723 27, 516 17, 769 27,490 25,186 13,877 24,565 20,247 12,933 11,967 18,066 17, 372 57,081 23, 734 19, 220 46, 468 1,435 47, 491 1,424 44,884 1,425 46,271 1,426 40,921 1,427 40,673 1,427 43,230 1,427 41, 005 1,429 44, 762 1,430 41, 653 1,430 47,440 1,431 47, 374 1,431 45,505 1,432 4.5 4.2 4.3 4.1 5.3 4.5 3.6 4.8 3.1 4.1 5.7 2.9 3.8 4.8 3.4 4.1 5.6 3.5 3.7 4.6 3.3 4.0 5.3 3.2 4.2 4.8 3.8 4.3 5.8 4.2 4.8 3.9 4.4 5.7 4.0 4.0 4.4 3.7 4.1 5.4 3.7 4.4 4.5 4.1 4.2 5.7 4.1 4.1 4.4 3.8 4.0 5.2 3.5 4.5 4.6 4.2 4.3 5.5 4.1 3.9 3.9 3.6 4.1 5.4 2.8 4.0 4.0 3.7 4.0 5.3 3.0 4.5 4.2 4.4 3.9 5.3 4.6 4.94 4.94 4.94 4.02 4.94 4.87 4.92 5.14 4.98 Stockholders (Common Stock) American Tel. & Tel. Co., total numberForeign do... Pennsylvania Railroad Co., total. do_.. Foreign do... U. S. Steel Corporation, total _do... Foreign do.._ Shares held by brokers percent of total. 636, 884 6, 787 209, 346 2,752 164, 822 3, 191 28.03 646,671 7,173 214, 532 2,874 168,399 3,084 24.89 645,033 7,153 213,143 2,853 167, 650 2,998 24.78 639,019 7,003 211,014 2,807 168,176 3,286 26.00 642, 293 7,104 212, 358 2,832 169,079 3,288 25.54 FOREIGN TRADE INDEXES Exports: Total value, unadjusted ..1923-25=100.. Total value, adjusted do U. S. merchandise, unadjusted: Quantity do Value..do Unit value do Imports: Total value, unadjusted do Total value, adjusted do Imports for consumption, unadjusted: Quantity _. 1923-25-100. . Value do Unit value do Exports of agricultural products, quantity: Total: Unadjusted... 1910-14=100Adjusted do Total, excluding cotton: Unadjusted do Adjusted do 97 91 71 67 56 55 58 63 71 70 61 64 66 62 70 70 60 69 66 72 76 72 87 72 77 67 140 96 69 111 72 64 91 56 62 92 58 63 113 71 63 98 61 62 107 66 62 101 63 62 99 61 62 108 67 62 117 76 65 131 87 66 116 77 67 76 77 53 54 55 55 49 49 59 53 58 53 63 61 55 58 52 57 54 57 56 59 67 65 73 73 127 73 58 99 52 53 100 53 53 89 48 54 112 60 54 107 58 54 111 61 55 102 56 55 98 53 55 102 56 55 112 63 56 116 65 56 119 67 57 95 75 68 54 68 61 61 66 68 69 47 55 52 62 35 46 36 51 51 63 88 81 111 82 73 56 63 58 84 78 99 98 87 95 92 92 72 78 91 95 56 63 60 66 69 70 71 66 83 72 57 52 212,908 218,559 268,364 230,947 249,259 236,058 229,628 250,839 288, 573 332,079 292, 582 8,075 42,445 17,692 95,830 10,818 6,395 4,381 42,462 27,061 26,684 20,801 5,581 18, 695 3,114 4,968 1,736 8,523 46,406 17,484 95,445 10, 653 5,176 3,889 38,678 26, 258 25, 764 20,453 5,928 21,472 4,067 5,120 1,480 11,560 60,565 23,573 108,143 12, 614 6,446 5,056 41,874 33,092 32, 298 27, 598 7,991 27,407 5,281 6,664 2,188 10,101 49, 243 16,147 88,809 12,468 4,806 4,130 34,311 35,055 34,535 23,462 6,320 24, 277 4,068 6,007 1,479 8,530 54,165 21,394 97,955 12,944 6,294 4,460 37,410 43, 583 42, 637 22,356 6,296 22,669 4,918 5,417 1,621 9,996 49, 971 14, 769 85, 711 10, 807 5,299 4,263 36, 604 40, 452 39, 874 23, 358 7,922 26, 571 6,113 5,193 2,651 10,270 43,866 12, 551 87, 787 14,894 5,406 3,721 33,452 41,008 40,074 21,850 5,565 24,847 6,268 6,242 1,596 8,376 43, 360 12,126 113,954 22, 269 6,868 3,027 47,434 43,162 42, 332 20,120 4,606 21, 867 4,675 5,135 1,818 8,959 50, 632 19, 347 121, 301 12,132 607 4,834 60, 339 53,165 52,156 29,116 5,781 25,401 4,942 5,997 2,020 10, 385 62,780 23. 367 127,690 12, 555 39,090 6,301 52, 924 62, 847 61. 715 33,102 8.579 32, 960 6,989 8,609 2,667 8,997 58, 577 25, 243 104, 399 13,239 3 6,029 31, 485 52,113 51, 262 29, 510 8,700 38, 9X6 9,887 10, 608 3, 625 210, 258 36,391 14,975 31,051 16, 443 14, 608 7,227 4,596 8,201 35,452 107,365 21, 396 7,449 31,217 178, 201 216,036 36,485 13, 732 26, 553 11,402 15,151 6,404 4,145 7,403 34,868 118,128 25,335 6,367 34, 605 158,035 264, 578 40,072 16,958 27,966 12, 287 15, 679 7,017 4,724 6,406 45, 658 150,882 28,504 8,378 49,390 190, 437 227,597 26,016 9,185 23,621 9,810 13,811 6,656 3,698 5,459 41,008 136,951 24,921 6,813 43, 882 186,195 245,913 30,243 7,458 26,927 10,808 16,119 5,844 4,851 7,601 48,247 140,495 23, 753 10,119 44,401 202, 502 233, 359 25, 713 6,157 19, 521 6,026 13, 495 3,523 4,997 4,079 48, 462 139,664 20, 387 9,453 42,191 178, 953 226, 737 29, 667 5,970 19, 719 4,671 15,048 4,423 5,221 3,837 45, 994 131,357 18, 520 7,628 43, 654 168,925 248,148 36,499 11, 869 24, 329 8,384 15,945 7,199 4,036 5,465 53, 504 133, 817 14, 893 8,746 43,611 175, 756 284,041 66, 847 35, 661 28, 786 7,477 21,309 9,014 4,434 4,270 58, 993 129, 415 12, 457 9,728 40,143 181,461 323,163 78, 449 47, 254 37, 760 10,213 27, 547 13, 777 4,876 3,604 64, 537 142.422 18, 900 9, 256 42,316 215, 281 286,891 58, 318 30, 563 22, 656 5, 386 17, 270 5, 738 4,057 3, 078 63, 200 142,716 19, 870 7,524 38, 637 235, 402 3,741 51,818 11, 285 6,479 42, 780 7,896 6,964 59,952 9,707 8,571 51,162 10, 607 8,640 59,454 10,747 4,469 57,080 11, 237 4,497 53,040 8,716 5,702 54, 339 13,171 3,341 60, 511 19, 520 5.229 64,197 20, 438 9,033 77, 695 18, 985 VALUE§ Exports, incl. reexports thous. of dol._ 367,819 268,756 By grand divisions and countries: 11,342 13,185 Africa _ do 78,120 61, 591 Asia and Oceania do Japan do 27, 556 28, 528 157, 340 112, 672 Europe do 36. 645 11,134 France do Germany _. do 1 8,317 8,623 5,141 Italy do 50, 395 46,825 United Kingdom do 44, 477 29,067 North America, northern do 43, 878 28, 458 Canada do 32, 311 23, 705 North America, southern do 9,926 5,829 Mexico do 44,227 28,538 South America — _ do 10, 791 7,736 Argentina do 10, 483 6,749 Brazil do 3,908 2,139 Chile do.... By economic classes (U. S. mdse. only): Total thous. of dol.. 357, 450 266,171 64, 264 49,376 Crude materials do 19,048 Cotton, unmanufactured d o — 43, 741 24, 342 28,422 Foodstuffs, total do 7,784 11,170 Foodstuffs, crude _ do 16, 558 17, 252 Foodstuffs and beverages, mfrs do 4,099 10,000 Fruits and preparations do 5,133 4,204 Meats and fats.. do 1, 978 4,588 Wheat and flour .do 75, 661 50, 499 Manufactures, semido 193,183 137, 874 Manufactures, finished ..do 24,826 29,161 Autos and parts... do 9,638 12, 292 Gasoline. __ ...do 48,100 40,908 Machinery _ do 246, 903 171,474 General imports, total do By grand divisions and countries: 9,955 4,145 Africa do 91,005 52,130 Asia and Oceania do Japan do 18,915 12,020 r Revised. {Revised series. Data revised for 1937; see tables 19 and 20, pp. 14 and 15 of the April 1939 Survey. 76 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 1938 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- Decem ber 1938 Supplement to the Survey ber February 1940 1939 January February March April May June July vem SepAugust tember October N ober FOREIGN T E A D E - C o n t i n u e d VALUE §—Continued General imports—Continued. By grand divisions and countries—Continued. Europe __.thous. of doL. 57, 333 France do 5, 303 Germany do 3,383 Italy do—. 3,895 United Kingdom do 15,719 North America, northern do-~33, 215 Canada do 32.012 North America, southern do 17.111 5,912 Mexico do 38, 285 South America do 8, 363 Argentina.... _ . do Brazil do—. 10,215 7,879 Chile do.... By economic classes (imports for consumption): Total thous. of doL. 232, 738 86, 770 Crude materials ..do 25, 665 Foodstuffs, c r u d e . . . do 29, 786 Foodstuffs and beverages, mfrs do 55, 619 Manufactures, semi.do 34, 898 Manufactures, finished do... 53,609 5, 586 6,256 3,397 12, 251 24, 300 23, 554 12, 753 4, 74.8 24,538 4,252 9,191 2,457 51,273 4,703 5,231 3,266 11, 331 26,136 25, 222 17, 924 5, 429 27,309 6,633 8,420 3,277 47, 722 5,234 4.930 2,669 10,995 20,302 20,129 18, 650 5,270 22,102 6,086 7,667 2,272 52, 298 6,692 5,171 3,976 11,971 23, 559 23,128 22, 732 6,326 24, 932 5,460 9, 421 2,583 57, 574 5,411 13,829 3,289 11, 572 26,163 25, 671 19,406 4,442 23, 319 4,357 7,867 3,813 58,946 7,122 2,885 3,289 15,192 28, 850 28, 323 22,178 3,995 24, 434 4,355 7,420 2,750 46,009 4,903 3,349 2,711 11, 664 26,964 26,533 19, 299 4,365 25,132 3,952 9.160 2, 468 44,496 5,146 3,975 2,264 11, 081 26,993 25, 557 18,530 3,627 21, 370 3,207 6,657 1,822 165, 522 53,465 23, 093 20, 8S7 35, 265 32,812 169, 323 53, 890 26. 774 16. 638 37, 158 34,864 152, 528 48, 073 22, 947 18,635 34,047 28,827 191, 226 59, 507 28,205 26, 296 38,822 38. 396 185,800 54, 940 24, 053 25, 036 37, 936 43, 836 194,193 62, 277 25,886 26,062 39, 857 40,411 178, 405 54,725 22, 518 27, 725 38. 633 34, 804 170,451 50, 041 21, 759 27, 799 36,912 33,939 41,516 3,851 1,815 2,401 10, 967 34, 233 33,125 19, 655 3,460 22,206 3,803 8,351 1,813 53, 853 2,994 1, 557 5,123 14, 605 40, 426 39, 827 22, 029 4, 379 29,548 5,055 11,390 3,728 60, 344 6. 313 2,656 4, 965 13,577 36,109 34, 833 15,166 5,352 37, 053 6, 689 12,395 6,629 379 962 778 605 651 383 199, 483 67, 606 19, 465 38,412 38, 275 35, 725 207.140 70, 500 24,898 27,722 45,416 38, 604 214, 454 75, 386 27 88"! 21^777 48,614 40, 795 9,105 9, 696 62 9,560 7-1 48,150 5,708 3,797 2,080 10,990 26,681 25,970 18,490 3,534 22, 394 4,787 8,281 1,691 180, 60, 20, 27, 35, 35, TRANSPORTATION AND COMMUNICATIONS TRANSPORTATION Express Operations Operating revenue Operating income „ thous. of dol. do... 11,338 920 8,499 72 !, 899 68 9,165 67 9.454 59 9 374 69 7.873 7. 888 7. 888 7.873 7.864 838, 707 790,120 737,164 835,136 788,941 53, 361 59, 702 56, 628 7.864 811,584 58, 222 7.864 763,038 55 383 7.864 710,186 51,907 7.864 722,987 52,699 58 36 47 39 68 37 62 31 72 60 43 56 38 76 40 61 75 70 62 44 40 41 73 36 61 81 73 62 51 42 40 81 40 61 58 70 67 58 47 42 89 30 61 108 74 67 68 51 40 90 36 61 64 71 70 64 52 43 111 34 61 112 74 85 89 78 49 99 57 65 149 92 77 85 62 43 80 39 62 59 72 71 69 57 44 90 37 62 125 75 70 78 69 42 75 37 62 67 74 2,832 350 29 140 159 61 775 58 1,261 265 86 146 2,372 297 19 121 137 49 612 121 1,016 211 90 87 3 149 503 28 151 202 50 744 209 1 261 175 79 65 2,549 429 24 118 200 44 583 167 983 166 79 53 2,689 476 27 126 170 48 615 192 1.034 131 70 34 282,118 224, 588 31,791 227, 622 15, 258 * 27, 896 302, 618 243, 641 31, 758 237, 411 25,101 d 18, 594 617 763 436 786 095 685 332,436 265,086 41, 269 241,962 49, 012 6,578 23,983 1.035 1,681 25, 737 1.045 1,725 28 465 987 2 075 362 101 2,473 892 363 735 2,539 921 396 586 2,437 905 71 ,107 Electric Street Railways Fares, average, cash rate. Passengers carried t Operating revenues... - cents.. 7 8?9 thousands.. 830^ 320 thous. of dol.. 7.864 I 7.8H4 ! 7,804 747,175 814.00^ i 7*9,420 54,561 59,309 I 57.174 Class I Steam Railways Frelght-carioadings (Federal Reserve): Combined index, unadjusted. __ 1923-25=100._ 63 73 64 63 62 66 Coal _ do.... 78 79 76 76 67 58 Coke ...do 101 64 62 36 37 44 37 35 Forest products do 67 72 75 71 64 Grains and grain products do 32 40 39 40 31 Livestock .... do 62 59 60 59 80 Merchandise, 1. c. 1 . .___,__._do 21 23 29 22 22 Ore do.... 70 67 Miscellaneous do 81 65 64 66 69 78 69 67 Combined index, adjusted do 62 69 71 67 . 65 Coal do... 55 53 Coke do 92 55 46 36 43 Forest products do 51 42 36 73 83 87 79 70 Grains and grain products. do 40 41 40 41 38 Livestock . do 62 61 62 62 62 Merchandise, 1. c. 1 do... 86 92 116 102 93 Ore _ do 73 74 Miscellaneous do.. 89 76 75 Frelght-carloadings (A. A. K.):1 3, 262 ' 2,947 '2,289 2,297 2,390 Total cars... thousands.. 671 529 478 Coal do '662 '501 59 Coke ..do 35 30 29 30 155 Forest products do 131 105 99 '104 171 163 Grains and grain products.. ..do 125 116 129 63 67 42 Livestock do... 42 53 716 Merchandise,!, c. 1 ....do 612 577 708 561 55 Ore _ do 44 33 34 33 Miscellaneous do 1,371 1,138 870 967 878 160 209 202 221 Freight-car surplus, total. do 218 58 102 Box cars do 106 106 95 69 Coal cars do 71 67 67 Financial operations: Operating revenues, total thous. of doL. 345, 247 •318, 281 305, 769 276,904 315,091 276, 272 251. 304 246,803 224,819 257, 469 Freight. do Passenger do 37,816 -37,876 34, 785 30, 237 31, 201 249,013 •232, 619 232, 946 220, 620 240, 359 Operating expenses .do 60,953 '49,419 Net railway operating income do 32, 891 18, 591 34,317 22, 225 * 8, 721 * 24, 364 * 10, 605 Net income do Operating results: Freight carried 1 mile mil. of tons.. 25,553 28,133 28,152 28,831 Revenue per ton-mile .cents.. .981 .964 .972 .988 Passengers carried 1 mile millions.. 1,928 1,790 1,555 1,618 Waterway Traffic Canals: Cape Cod thous. of short tons.. New York State do Panama, total. thous. of long tons.. In U. S, vessels do I f Revised. 661 0 2,461 1,047 348 342 0 0 2,374 2,393 807 753 * Deficit. 326 0 2,207 317 0 2,664 873 I D a t a for D e c e m b e r 1938, A p r i l , J u n e , S e p t e m b e r , a n d D e c e m b e r , 1939 are for 5 weeks; other m o n t h s , 4 weeks. 321 255 38 241 39 *\ 89 96 Go 52 87 62 65 1C0 97 80 87 95 100 50 83 50 64 105 108 86 100 51 88 41 63 191 89 3, 844 740 45 171 219 90 780 277 1, 523 70 33 16 3,375 676 46 152 165 84 640 253 1, 358 68 34 3, 040 001 47 142 148 67 616 19P 1,236 108 47 344, 400 276, 707 39, 821 247, 622 54, 586 10,053 381,118 314, 400 37,146 251,167 86, 435 41, 078 419 /17 104 ^33 307 271 5S8 101 016 56 521 368, 027 310,434 29, 289 256,170 70,316 33, 004 29,824 .971 2,355 81, 389 .962 2,283 36,115 .941 2,097 40, 066 .951 1, 866 35,131 369 538 2,318 806 414 687 2,385 971 434 615 2,446 1,034 513 717 2 386 1 037 485 709 2,473 1,031 r.o 45 63 85 82 JFor comparable monthiy figures, January 1929-December 1936, see table 10, p. 15 of the March 1939 Survey. Data shown in that table beginning January 1937 have been revised; see p. 37 of the April 1939 Survey. §Revised series. Data revised for 1937; see tables 19 and 20, pp. 14 and 15 of the April 1939 Survey. 77 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 Monthly statistics through December 1937, together with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the 1938 Supplement to the Survey 1939 1938 December December 1939 January February March April May June July August September October November TRANSPORTATION AND COMMUNICATIONS—Continued i TRANSPORTATION—Continued Waterway Traffic—Continued Canals—Continued St. Lawrence _ thous. of short tons.. Sault St. Marie .-do Suez thous. of metric tons_. Welland thous. of short tons.. Rivers: Allegheny _do Mississippi (Government barges only)..do Monongahela do Ohio (Pittsburgh district) do Clearances, vessels in foreign trade: Total, U. S. ports thous. of net tons Foreign do United States do 33 953 404 214 2, 658 1, 443 5 323 2,422 181 0 0 2,166 0 0 0 2,277 0 0 0 2,561 0 50 43 2,569 200 1,189 5,799 2,476 1,324 1,161 8,622 2,220 1,580 1,119 9,598 2,406 1, 659 1,284 10, 552 2,329 1,713 1,216 11,493 986 1,564 180 171 1,798 1,074 175 183 1,568 1,003 135 124 1,557 880 199 136 1,742 1,114 101 169 348 469 136 67 661 655 230 145 1,688 1,265 242 191 1,704 1,400 234 228 1,949 1,411 279 150 2,077 1,355 5,062 3,813 1,249 4,670 3,539 1,132 4,734 3,607 1,127 6,424 4,160 1,263 5,280 4,038 1,242 6,241 4,766 1,475 6,667 4,971 1,696 7,082 5,280 1,802 7,280 5,C51 1,729 6,306 4,537 1,769 41, 594 38,403 99,119 89,002 761,090 577,982 5,665 5,453 35,002 81,131 564, 928 5,032 49,445 53,483 117,071 133,469 685, 274 663,884 6,125 6,268 63,361 162,682 725,061 7,122 70,199 179,055 824, 630 7,183 1,215 12,353 1,373 1,073 10, 438 1,748 1,535 320 181 2, 457 1,443 303 192 2, 494 1,427 5,974 4,285 1,689 6,071 4,196 1,875 Travel Operations on scheduled airlines: Passenger-miles flown thous. of miles.. 71, 530 Passengers carried number-- 175, 263 Express pounds.. 1,038,278 7,716 Miles flown thous. of miles.. Hotels: 3.29 Average sale per occupied room__ dollars. _ 54 Rooms occupied percent of total.. 90 Restaurant sales index 1929=100.. Foreign travel: Arrivals, U. S. citizens number. _ Departures, U. S. citizens ..do Emigrants do Immigrants _..do Passports issued do 1, 663 National Parks: Visitors do.... Automobiles do Pullman Co.:* Revenue passenger-mile3 thousands.. Passenger revenues thous. of dol__ 72,918 75,145 75, 800 77, 468 67, 031 185, 643 194, 418 192, 544 194,216 171,557 725, 922 933. 965 981,462 948, 501 844,413 7,541 7', 639 7,626 7,442 7,408 3.26 54 3.21 64 ••89 3.28 63 86 3.15 64 84 3.37 63 99 3.20 63 90 3.34 62 95 3.29 57 '84 3.39 61 93 3.35 64 89 3.39 67 03 16, 614 18, 765 2,663 8,042 5,184 19,556 24,307 2,344 5,661 5,927 25, 590 28,224 1,479 5,959 4,865 31,909 21,673 1,702 8,076 8,383 25,374 21, 575 1,851 7,063 8,839 19,800 19,011 2,077 6,049 16,080 20, 889 24, 788 3,168 4,512 21,013 29, 872 42, 246 3,163 4,694 10, 393 44, 501 38,573 7,006 2,950 7,444 40,295 26,656 5,518 2,301 1,843 19,700 10,033 5,492 1,996 1, 759 1,641 57,677 16,798 74,834 20, 587 62,848 17,618 72,280 21,779 164, 736 48,892 248,075 73,402 471,624 136, 576 916,175 249,905 875, 682 433,014 247, 149 238,296 131, 631 74, 366 83,966 27, 081 687,369 4,488 793,229 5,263 654,896 4,473 715,420 4,769 684,444 4,447 631,529 4,147 769,819 4,842 801, 514 764, 706 736, 325 696,186 562,047 4,990 4,855 4, 487 3, 704 4,679 101, 552 66,188 26, 591 69, 444 18,835 17, 704 99,234 65, 815 24, 731 67, 281 18, 527 17, 735 96,064 64, 504 22, 954 64,155 18, 438 17, 808 101,610 100,083 66, 491 66,162 26, 498 25, 275 68, 456 65, 683 19, 479 20,576 17,897 17,974 102,646 66,875 27,101 68,983 19,832 18,055 102,119 66,521 26,923 68,184 20,027 18,072 99, 824 101, 793 103, 843 105, 520 103, 403 64, 690 65,060 65, 696 68, 453 68, 394 26, 383 27,942 29, 361 28,318 26, 265 67, 738 68, 650 67, 210 69,157 70,052 18, 398 19,268 22,386 22, 240 19,406 18,102 18,160 18,263 18,447 38,357 12, 408 10, 553 10, 549 8,829 9,987 8,436 11,577 9,717 11,012 9,383 11,735 10,065 11,721 10,113 10,676 9,189 11,583 9,887 14,117 11,079 12, 350 9, 995 11,465 9,324 570 976 879 10. 756 1,041 291 527 856 864 9,816 15 '884 463 756 795 9,319 M7 «*934 901 960 10,031 814 502 768 861 9,809 512 '387 514 790 880 10,289 699 <*229 501 774 834 10,142 886 43 451 707 780 10. 028 d 77 d 951 542 802 893 10,146 695 d 222 900 1,417 1.622 10, 548 2,683 1,877 1,092 1, 263 10, 147 1,413 503 610 989 1,152 10,027 667 d245 3.44 61 ••96 COMMUNICATIONS Telephone: Operating revenues thous. of dol. Station revenues._ ..do... Tolls, message.. _ do... Operating expenses do Net operating income do... Phones in service, end of month.__ thousands._ Telegraph, cable, and radiotelegraph carriers: Operating revenue, total ..thous. of doL Telegraph carriers, total do Western Union Telegraph Co., revenues from cable operations thous. of doL _ Cable carriers .do. Radiotelegraph carriers do. Operating expenses do. Operating income . do. Net income do. CHEMICALS AND ALLIED PRODUCTS CHEMICALS Alcohol, denatured: Consumption ..thous. of wine gal_. 11, 434 Production do 11,158 Stocks, end of month do 1, 173 Alcohol, ethyl: Production thous. of proof gal.. 22, 080 Stocks, warehoused, end of month do 14, 614 Withdrawn for denaturing .do 19, 524 Withdrawn, tax paid do 1,729 Methanol: Exports, refined § gallons. 368, 246 Price, refined, wholesale (N. Y.).dol. per gal.36 Production: 434 Crude (wood distilled) thous. of galSynthetic do... 4,184 Explosives, shipments thous. of lb_ 30, 580 Sulphur production (quarterly): Louisiana long tons. 126, 650 Texas d o . . . 530,047 Sulphuric acid (fertilizer manufactures): Consumed in production of fertilizer short tons. 172, 332 Price, wholesale, 66°, at works dol. per short ton. 16. 50 Production short tons. 219,838 Purchases: 32, 885 From fertilizer manufacturers._ do... 36, 889 From others.. do Shipments: 47, 623 To fertilizer manufacturers do To others. ..do... 59, 870 r | 10,434 10,478 1,279 6,722 6,827 1,379 6,558 6,446 1,260 7,578 7,616 1,294 7,523 7,719 1,485 8,203 8,490 1,766 7,944 8,166 1,982 7, 395 7,437 2,015 9, 202 9,190 2,007 12, 848 12,625 1,776 15,453 15,181 1, 496 13, 008 13,060 1,479 16, 781 20,895 17, 391 1,841 17,067 24, 433 11,401 1,691 14,650 26, 072 11,198 1,363 17,438 27, 741 13, 202 1,851 17, 857 29, 625 13,253 2,074 18,655 31,078 15,031 2,009 16, 838 30,860 15,029 1,858 17, 643 32, 232 13, 823 1,765 18, 539 32, 919 16,050 1,780 18,104 25,913 22, 315 2,187 20, 965 17, 974 26, 033 2, 248 21,787 14,168 22, 944 2, 282 25,990 .36 24,355 .36 26, 359 .36 10, 806 .36 24,195 .36 18,441 .36 108,084 .36 195, 034 .36 28, 373 .36 28, 337 .36 263. 588 .36 123, 995 .36 357 2,844 28,415 352 2,463 29,258 336 2,267 26, 592 365 2,407 27, 801 389 2,276 26, 341 354 1,779 29,315 344 2,295 30, 210 378 2, 495 27, 652 360 2, 679 32, 700 405 2,640 35, 933 463 4,158 40, 612 480 4,612 35, 477 83, 260 405, 263 68, 900 478, 774 105,895 357,819 106, 795 372,655 148, 289 142, 451 138,273 119,081 112, 593 108,889 106,137 104, 378 115.119 134,287 175,338 176, 860 16.50 176,923 16. 50 181, 386 16. 50 169,769 16.50 169, 952 16.50 145, 689 16.50 155,902 16.50 140, 580 16. 50 139,248 16. 50 161, 791 16.50 153,897 16.50 205,024 16. 50 208, 461 20, R04 27, 515 20, 418 22, 343 18, 751 23, 778 11,951 17, 508 15,021 16, 542 8,853 20, 771 10, 535 25, 614 18, 635 17, 067 19,252 15, 568 30,040 33, 590 31, 774 40, :49 37, 562 32, 784 33,080 40, 915 38. 085 40, 850 39,167 35, 545 35.100 42, 864 33, 202 35, 528 38,123 38, 835 36, 966 43, 369 25, 804 45,376 45, 39f> 43, 346 37, 574 44, 089 42 3" 57. 1 44,979 58,318 Revised. <J Deficit. • Less t h a n $500. • N e w series. D a t a for P u l l m a n Co. r e v e n u e passenger miles beginning 1915 a n d passenger revenues beginning 1913 are given in table 7, p . 18, of t h e J a n u a r y 1939 S u r v e y . §Revised series. D a t a revised for 1937; see table 19, p . 14. of rhf April 1939 S u r v e y . 78 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 1938 Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- December ber 1938 Supplement to the Survey February 1940 1939 January February March April May June July August September October Novem ber CHEMICALS AND ALLIED PRODUCTS—Continued FERTILIZERS Consumption, Southern states thous. of short tons.. Exports, total§ long tons.. Nitrogenous § do do Phosphate materials § do . Prepared fertilizers § — do Imports total § do . Nitrogenous, total § do.... Nitrate of 8oda§ - _ Phosphates! do Potash § . Price, wholesale, nitrate of soda, 95 percent (N Y ) dol.nercwt short tons. Potash deliveries* Superphosphate (bulk): short tons Production do Shipments to consumers do Stocks end of month _ .. 187 70, 905 18, 629 43, 474 489 126,952 106, 510 59,518 705 18,161 217 133, 295 25,119 101,188 72 149,798 78,124 32, 336 3,421 66,897 '437 85, 542 11,317 71,045 83 141,898 118,159 63,854 903 20,186 627 85,095 15, 645 66, 552 340 109,932 101, 396 54, 552 969 6,795 1,476 123, 687 6,723 97,983 476 138, 782 116,806 42,920 3,599 17, 235 1,271 136,328 5,365 123, 270 343 191,057 167, 558 115,188 1,462 16,580 312 148,095 12,142 112, 773 302 145,432 99,074 62,010 7,033 10,415 86 136, 016 12, 655 105, 934 268 109, 737 90, 541 59,332 594 16, 425 48 154,800 8,067 137,446 447 90,102 45,632 18,479 2,321 41,234 43 141,171 26, 618 106, 607 349 76, 002 45, 795 9,481 408 29, 087 148 123, 792 27,157 76, 904 697 88,276 71,447 10, 445 392 15,877 190 112, 699 18,974 78,418 1,921 110, 046 91,431 42, 204 2, 549 14, 571 108 79, 270 7,538 55,009 486 109, 670 101, 335 66, 407 2,799 4,214 1.450 62, 635 1.450 101, 438 1.450 2,489 1.450 2,632 1.450 5,250 1.450 8,379 1.450 8,674 1.450 17, 337 1.450 26,632 1.450 38, 956 1.450 54, 762 1.450 72, 622 1.450 '70,952 405,199 343, 204 322,211 312, 284 301,694 17,147 29, 340 54, 893 161, 202 24, 368 1,233,297 1,361,127 1,298,883 1,288,536 1,106,679 286, 747 216,671 815, 911 277,437 139, 648 778, 758 243, 402 34, 263 871,109 243,356 13,496 924, 045 279,107 305, 538 406, 809 417,410 28, 277 109,223 67,143 19, 225 963, 431 1,012,067 1,122,492 1,228,028 NAVAL STORES Rosin, gum: Price, wholesale " H " (Savannah) 5.24 dol. perbbl. (280 lbs.).. Receipts, net, 3 ports _bbl. (5001bs.)_. 51, 032 642, 234 do Stocks, 3 ports, end of month.. Turpentine, gum, spirits of: .27 Price, wholesale (Savannah)... -.dol. per gal., bbl. (50 gal.).. 10, 202 Receipts, net, 3 ports 94, 677 do. . Stocks, 3 ports, end of month.. 4.34 48,095 678, 731 4.90 20, 473 657, 839 5.21 13, 757 642,825 5.65 19, 367 609, 502 4.86 43,810 615, 381 4.94 57, 079 625,138 4.96 61,744 639, 914 5.19 61,096 659, 878 5.05 57, 640 672,880 5.48 60, 289 679,127 5.44 54, 574 630, 926 5.34 43,736 643,443 .28 10,593 133,921 .25 2,390 123, 584 .26 1,908 118,954 .29 3,256 109, 626 .24 9,799 107, 339 .24 14,638 104, 759 .24 15, 884 102,941 .24 14,692 102,126 .24 13, 754 102, 285 .26 16,369 101,111 .27 14, 605 93, 317 .26 10,945 98, 986 24, 745 64, 593 12,402 52,191 16, 022 81, 674 6,943 74, 731 17, 222 31, 790 2,167 17, 774 2,154 34, 744 OILS, FATS, AND BYPB.ODUCTS Anima! Fats and Byproduc ts and Oils (Quarterly) Animal fats: Consumption factory Production Stocks end of quarter Greases: Consumntion factory Production Stocks end of quarter Shortenings and compounds: Production Stocks end of Quarter Fish oils: OonsnmDtion factorv Production Fish do . do 255, 751 628, 700 417, 333 222, 460 505,816 312, 725 233, 456 501,165 346, 321 217, 899 503, 947 403, 809 254,196 480,143 318,481 do do do 61,010 107, 355 60,316 44,480 87, 253 61, 276 48,182 86, 419 54,170 47, 438 92, 964 54.943 54,120 93, 578 52, 799 do do 330, 816 56, 621 370, 759 55, 662 354, 692 51,163 300, 076 55,350 405, 331 36, 539 do do 79, 894 111,628 245,155 71, 664 102,193 258,352 66, 512 47, 713 242, 725 66,138 8,983 180, 364 68,022 68,402 221, 405 1,019 17, 436 80,975 16, 733 64,242 1,062 997 2,656 92, 613 10, 525 82, 089 977 783 653 870 668 55, 482 28,658 35,160 58, 414 26, 745 36, 525 150, 528 58, 660 1,972 26, 686 150,922 78,573 7,204 34, 725 69, 478 73, 725 73, 68.* 82, 743 75, 457 75,064 66, 388 68, 213 61, 949 70, 338 178, 382 11,883 202, 30) 13, 332 202, 322 13, 735 226, 894 12, 315 197,485 12,100 509 384 1,162 '523 327 '1,369 rfn Vegetable Oils and Products Vegetable oils, total: Consumption, crude, factory (quarterly) miLrtf lb thous. of lb_. Exports do Imports, total§ . . . do Paint oils§ do All other vegetable oils§ Production (Quarterly) mil oflb Stocks, end of quarter: do Crude rtn _ Refined Copra: Consumption, factory (quarterly) short tnn<3 do.. Imports - ._ Stocks end of quarter do Coconut or copra oil: Consumption, factory: Crude (quarterly) thous. of lb do Refined (quarterly) . . do.. In oleomargarine do Lmports§ Production (quarterly): do Crude do Refined Stocks, end of quarter: _ . do Crudf do Refined Cottonseed: Consumption (crush) _.. thous. of short tons.. do . . . Receipts at mills ..... do Stocks at mills, ^ud of month Cottonseed cake and meal: short tons.. Exports . „ Production.. ... do— Stocks at mills, end of month . do . Cottonseed oil, crude: thous. of lb__ Production do _ Stocks, end of month Cottonseed oil, refined: y) do Consumption, factory (quarter fin 2,815 91, 692 11,414 80, 278 4,136 85, 466 8,169 77, 298 952 3,994 98,010 10, 708 87, 302 832 4,202 60, 455 12,136 48, 319 4,314 97, 275 9,382 87,894 860 760 20,967 17,491 7,244 23,101 5,295 29,122 '458 ' 148 ' 1, 059 ' 372 ' 103 '789 59, 473 22, 630 35, 816 154, 408 64, 957 4,729 41, 370 '389 ' 118 '519 816 3,673 91, 633 10, 755 80, 878 593 2, 559 79,467 9,841 69,625 3,865 86 413 10, 292 76,121 732 759 11. 643 20,880 3,428 22, 889 2,964 38,450 ' 258 '76 '337 '203 '60 194 52,114 12, 514 36, 081 137,891 53, 074 2,129 37, 556 '100 '46 ' 139 712 7,908 51,620 11, 277 40,343 583 661 523 19,928 3,773 1,559 21,215 1,763 32,898 49,469 7,533 13,881 143,265 52, 359 3,113 10,988 '70 '51 ' 121 151 227 196 524 1,141 813 712 1,165 1,266 643 664 1,287 189 3S9 506 81 4,468 124 407 46 343 228, 458 '236.259 ' 200, 385 072,401 '177,171 ' 120, 555 ' 94, 441 ' 45, 329 '33,119 219, 794 '312.810 '288, 544 '244,479 ' 195, 092 ' 175, 454 ' 172, 968 r 150,846 '119,718 675 68, 229 97, 085 1,318 232, 352 124, 374 2,335 320, 927 197, 618 1,403 288, 050 206, 931 159, 870 |'162, 410 145,077 '117,924 ' 126, 679 ' 85, 240 ' 68, 522 ' 34, 328 181, 235 '175, 464 ' 174, 446 ' 179, 569 '171,279 ' 155, 524 ' 137, 822 ' 89, 096 ' 22, 622 ' 72, 067 45, 355 62,000 162, 480 110,701 220, 362 156, 874 201, 656 184, 062 5,522 6,986 354,226 9,034 8,689 9,701 334,392 8,779 301, 398 10, 577 9,884 9,412 285, 230 9,678 7,584 6,781 272, 970 6,708 Price, summer, yellow, prime (N. Y.) .074 .066 .066 .061 .071 .069 .065 .055 .071 .067 .068 '. 065 .069 dol. per lb.. 54, 666 93, 924 163, 315 163, 052 Production thoas. of lb— 157, 221 '144, 737 ' 139, 432 '113,379 ' 127, 358 ' 98,577 ' 82, 476 ' 78, 548 ' 41,107 553,176 '565, 309 ' 613, 023 ' 637, 636 ' 642, 349 ' 658, 956 ' 641, 031 ' 616, 859 ' 560, 035 494, 718 411, 791 433, 637 490, 215 Stocks, end of month do v 'Revised. Preliminary. •New series. Data are on basis of potassium oxide content; figures beginning 1928 not shown on p. 39 of the August 1939 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. § Revised series. Data for 1937 revised; see tables 19 and 2J; pp. 14 and 15 of the April 1939 Survey; SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 1938 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- Decem1938 Supplement to the Survey ber ber OILS, FATS, AND 79 1939 January Febru ary March April June May July August September October Novem ber CHEMICALS AND ALLIED PRODUCTS—Continued 1 BYPRODUCTS-Con. Vegetable Oils and Products—Continued Flaxseed: Imports! tfaous. of bu._ Minneapolis: Receipts., do _ Shipments do Stocks _ ._ do Duluth: Receipts do Shipments . do __ Stocks do Oil mills (quarterly): Consumption do Stocks, end of quarter do Price, wholesale, No. 1 (Mpls)—dol. per bu._ Production (crop est.) thous. of bu Linseed cake and meal: Exports§ do Shipments from Minneapolis do Linseed oil: Consumption factory (quarterly) do Price, wholesale (N. Y.)_ dol. per lb._ Production (quarterly) thous. of lb Shipments from Minneapolis do Stocks at factory, end of quarter. do Oleomargarine: Consumption (tax-paid withdrawals) __do Price, wholesale, standard, uncolored (Chicago) dol. per lb__ Production thous. of lb Vegetable shortenings: Price, wholesale, tierces (Chi.) dol. per lb__ 623 1,474 2,111 2,248 2,031 1,418 1,155 1,802 1,123 1,511 452 875 682 269 104 3,616 136 80 637 107 47 524 38 30 452 62 64 319 35 58 283 61 38 280 73 20 225 67 28 231 8,100 389 2,659 2,709 648 5,456 679 367 5,154 318 428 4,059 145 1,178 51 1 8 112 110 1 0 111 1 82 29 29 2 0 2 99 41 59 58 2 801 144 659 2,032 1,170 1,521 948 1,360 1,109 541 566 1,084 8,736 4,866 2.07 b 20,330 7,206 2,389 1.90 " 8,152 1.99 1.92 7,112 2,521 1.97 1.89 1.83 6,207 1,958 1.81 1.57 1.54 6,814 6,383 1.75 1.86 1.84 52, 765 21, 320 61,820 9,760 50, 734 8,320 50,180 5,720 17, 219 7,920 50,396 8,280 40,849 7,280 48, 733 7,000 44,589 6,360 50,163 16, 400 40, 600 23, 280 14, 529 19, 720 30,914 21,480 88, 768 .102 166,150 8,820 142,643 72,419 .086 139,106 3,209 141, 785 .085 .085 .089 .089 .090 .086 3,960 3,900 9,780 6,480 5,880 8,100 25, 737 29,991 30,350 27,774 29,032 23,622 22,827 20, 745 20,114 21, 206 .120 25, 587 .143 30,373 .140 30,319 .140 27,701 .140 29,417 .140 23,325 .135 22,699 .135 21, 111 .135 19,262 .135 21,608 .099 .096 .093 .091 .095 .093 .093 .090 .090 .089 45 43 44 46 49 40 34 156 227 206 154 287 255 171 289 279 179 270 233 153 206 213 0) 76,674 .088 139,209 7,200 161, 251 1 (i) 91, 360 .093 124, 823 6,360 130 310 (i) 88, 397 .099 134, 326 14, 700 112,475 .102 .098 15,000 10,680 27,918 23, 676 27, 719 .124 28,105 .123 23, 785 .128 27, 886 .104 .104 .099 PAINT SALES Plastic paints, cold water paints, and calcimines: 32 Plastic paints thous. of dol.. 159 Cold water paints: 277 In dry form - - _ do 203 In paste form do Calcimines . do Paints, varnish, lacquer, and fillers: 25, 934 Total do 19,333 Classified, total . do 9,409 Industrial do 9,924 Trade do . 6,602 Unclassified _. do 30 32 33 44 46 113 169 222 126 211 235 144 219 251 187 316 280 210 317 282 230 338 305 206 309 281 20, 515 15,036 7,417 7,619 5,478 24,229 17,828 8,180 9,648 6,401 24,415 17,395 7,982 9,413 7,021 31, 555 23,003 9,626 13,377 8,551 32, 666 23,830 9,469 14,360 8,836 40,138 28, 546 9,611 18,935 11, 592 36,886 26,197 9,781 16,416 10, 690 29,472 20,769 8,199 12,569 8,703 33,087 23, 413 9,309 14,104 9,674 36, 960 25,515 10,420 15,095 11,445 34, 540 24,995 10,976 14,020 9,544 29,396 21,772 10, 234 11, 538 7,624 271 1,089 1,199 246 789 937 242 923 956 257 1,049 977 342 1,315 1,171 287 1,116 950 249 1,036 940 297 957 1,000 221 979 847 326 1,069 1,065 328 1,164 1,156 311 1,315 1,232 346 1,361 1,244 14 987 1,030 7 1,112 1,032 6 896 856 9 989 1,014 14 1,078 1,029 12 508 522 10 491 509 9 446 378 6 561 537 7 1,041 815 7 706 677 14 713 684 10 725 793 1,183 1,135 758 671 725 682 871 770 963 810 736 600 782 704 795 703 645 604 1,034 967 1,312 1,153 1,410 1,333 1,199 1,119 2,076 515 527 1,035 1,439 359 358 721 1,410 374 391 645 2,910 692 891 1,327 3,289 2,714 720 1,057 938 2,887 831 1,058 998 2,633 737 926 970 3,923 1,115 1,176 1,632 3,867 1,125 1,289 1,453 4,611 1,291 1,520 1,800 2,486 632 810 1,044 CELLULOSE PLASTIC PRODUCTS Nltro-cellulose, sheets, rods, and tubes: Consumption* ._ __ thous. of lb._ Production do ShipmentscT -do Cellulose-acetate sheets, rods, and tubes: Consumption*. . thous. of lb Production . do Shipmentso" . do Moulding composition:* Production . do. Shipments! . do ROOFING Asphalt prepared roofing, shipments: Total thous. of squares.. Grit roll Shingles (all types) S m o o t h roll . do . . _ do do _ 785 1,150 1,355 ELECTRIC POWER AND GAS ELECTRIC POWER 11,864 rll,e 10,651 11,116 9,955 10, 529 11,228 10, 641 9,654 10,567 10, 341 10,882 Production, totalt___ mil. of kw.-hr__ 12,067 By source: 8,727 7,997 5,562 6,743 '8,455 8,894 6,116 7,179 7,701 6,976 6,176 5,828 Fuel.. .do 3,138 3,786 3,472 3,118 '3,204 4,165 3 f 527 3,173 3,742 4,450 4,393 3,906 3,826 Water power do By type of producer: Privately and municipally owned public 10,974 9,321 9,820 9,846 10,260 10,736 10,205 9,900 10,329 9,965 9,043 utilities mil. of kw.-hr__ 11,151 804 856 '922 655 709 916 667 634 900 677 611 676 Other producers do Sales to ultimate consumers, totalt (Edison 9,274 8,779 8,282 8,577 8,583 8,953 8,324 8,398 8,240 8,806 Electric Institute) mil. of kw.-hr._ 1,782 1,755 1,604 1,719 1,627 1,620 1,890 ' 1, 847 1,987 1,815 1,700 1,620 Residential or domestic do 6,951 5,751 6,169 6,187 6,876 r 5,946 5,615 5,704 5,867 6,526 5,850 Commercial and industrial— do 169 149 159 111 115 188 -"234 134 121 128 192 166 Public street and highway ltg do 229 194 224 201 202 192 197 202 193 194 203 Other public authorities do '178 441 479 492 446 524 433 473 461 443 493 531 Sales to railroads and railways.. do 547 32 30 35 32 32 35 41 36 42 42 Interdepartmental do '27 * December 1 estimate. o Final estimate for the crop year. ' Revised. i Less than 500 bushels. •New series. For data on nitro-cellulose consumption, cellulose-acetate consumption, and molding compositions beginning 1935. see table 15. p. 1* of the March 1939 Survey. t Revised series. For electric power sales, see note marked with a " t " on p, 41 of the July 1939 Survey. Comparable data beginning January 1938 will be published in the 1940 Supplement. §Revised series. Data for 1937 revised; see tables 19 and 20, pp. 14 and 15 of the April 1939 Survey. cf Includes consumption in reporting company plants. ^Excludes consumption in reporting company plants tFor electric power production, see note marked with a " 1 " on p. 41 of the July 1939 Survey. Revised data on production "by type of producer,'* referred to therein, are shown beginning June 1938 on p. 40 of the August 1939 Survey; data beginning 1920 will be published when available. 80 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 1939 Monthly statistics through December 1937, to1938 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- December ber 1938 Supplement to the Survey February 1940 1939 January February March April May June July August September October Xovem bcr ELECTRIC POWER AND GAS—Continued ELECTRIC POWER—Continued Revenues from sales to ultimate consumers (Edison Electric Institute) thous. of dol__ 198,991 201,330 190, 219 186, 714 9,947 9,254 227 458 34,600 16,196 8,306 9,853 9,201 212 465 34,761 17,211 8,101 9,250 9,914 9,225 219 461 33,662 16, 687 8,004 8,785 9,907 9,218 210 467 33,600 16, 647 7,122 9,641 33, 310 21, 923 4,763 6,478 33, 734 22,125 5,196 6,292 32,811 21,038 5,429 6,227 32, 450 21,054 4,902 6,368 7,163 7,156 6,603 6,615 55.0 546 129, 398 134, 515 49,177 51,291 78,736 81, 770 7,194 6,636 555 127, 377 46, 791 79, 303 186, 600 189, 225 198, 947 201,709 185, 987 183,112 186,166 9,894 9,197 218 467 32, 626 16, 242 6,074 10,144 9,986 9,285 224 466 30,303 15, 755 4,421 9,979 9,290 214 465 27, 917 16,600 1,587 9,995 9,316 202 466 25, 652 15, 541 948 9,007 10, 016 9,336 206 464 24, 879 14, 702 756 9,305 10, 081 9,388 221 463 26,828 16, 367 876 9,461 10, 090 9,383 244 453 29, 893 17,116 2,389 10, 227 10, 078 9, 363 256 450 33, 002 15, 352 6,948 10, 520 31, 586 21, 252 3,840 6,368 30,707 21,845 2,519 6,231 29, 561 22, 253 1,232 5,990 27,662 21,105 788 5,683 26, 606 20, 121 663 5,731 28, 615 21,786 837 5,909 30, 786 22,513 1,848 6, 318 32, 230 21, 566 3,863 6,680 7,190 7,178 6,655 6,626 533 549 113, 379 101,438 36, 510 27,415 72,581 75,465 7,163 6,650 510 87, 413 18, 862 67,378 7,152 6,651 499 86,376 16,013 69,210 7,191 6,689 501 88, 739 15, 015 72, 233 7,232 7,424 7,298 6,727 6, 767 6,850 529 572 503 92, 700 102, 572 116, 966 30, 679 15, 491 19,414 81,748 84, 689 75,835 34, 644 19,873 14.550 28, 559 15,197 13,193 26, 235 13,011 13, 035 26, 278 12, 465 13, 597 26,855 12, 433 14, 221 31.060 14, 967 15, 895 5,651 5,079 9,086 6,271 5,656 9,447 5,637 5,538 9,330 5, 450 5,715 4,392 4,921 8,112 4,237 4,169 7,994 204,974 GAS§ Manufactured gas: Customers, total ._ ...thousands.. Domestic do House heating do Industrial and commercial do Sales to consumers mil. of cu. ft.. Domestic do House heating do Industrial and commercial do Revenue from sales to consumers thous. of doL_ Domestic ..do House heating. _ do Industrial and commercial.._ ...do Natural gas: Customers, total _..thousands.. Domestic do Industrial and commercial do Sales to consumers mil. of cu. ft.. Domestic do Indl., coml., and elec. generation do Revenues from sales to consumers thous. of doL. Domestic do Ind'l., com'l., and elec. generation do 7,220 6,655 563 126,093 42, 881 81,704 45, 619 27, 751 17, 630 50, 279 32,141 17,899 51,197 32, 619 18,331 47, 979 30,218 17, 520 41,034 24, 845 15.958 39, 022 21,217 17, 563 FOODSTUFFS AND TOBACCO ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES Fermented malt liquors: 3,541 Production thous. o 3,588 3,669 Tax-paid withdrawals do 3,916 7,083 Stocks do 7,191 Distilled spirits; 17,230 Production .thous. of tax gal.. 11,553 9,714 9,400 Tax-paid withdrawals do 1,691 1,501 Imports* thous. of proof gaL. Stocks... thous. of tax gal__ 508, 205 505,414 Whisky: 11,003 8,033 Production do 7,665 7,704 Tax-paid withdrawals do 1,459 1, 298 Imports* thous. of proof gal.. Stocks .thous. of tax gaL. 465, 018 466,785 Rectified spirits and wines, production, total 4,002 4,774 thous. of proof gal_. 3,898 3,249 Whisky*..—..-. do Indicated consumption for beverage purposes: All spirits*! thous. of proof gal_. 12, 390 13,118 10, 870 11,425 Whisky*t do.__ Still wines: Production* thous. of wine gal. •• 24, 250 8,730 Tax-paid withdrawals* do... 476 Imports* do 424 Stocks* do... 127, 721 Sparkling wines: 37 Production* do 78 Tax-paid withdrawals*.. do 138 Imports* do 554 Stocks* do_._ 3, 645 3,104 7,470 3,482 3,031 7,774 4,497 3,822 8,265 11,874 6,248 667 510,194 10, 700 6,112 676 513,462 13,022 8.566 831 516, 755 10, 940 7, 593 776 519,162 10, 756 6,868 845 521,251 8,304 6,456 772 522,058 5,381 5,605 632 520,429 9.204 5,007 571 470, 251 8,724 4,996 582 472, 934 9,993 6,791 706 475,150 8, 513 5,728 678 477,136 7,972 4,866 730 478,741 5,774 4,885 666 478,900 3,711 4,343 534 477,149 2,973 2,375 2,683 2,192 3,817 3,078 3,670 2,800 3,425 2,496 2,960 1,977 2,930 2,014 3.189 2,332 4,005 3,258 5. 202 4,329 8,192 7,743 6,816 10, 771 9,357 9, 775 8,122 9,137 7,142 8,699 6,767 7.570 6,131 8,709 7,104 11, 959 10, 309 13, 703 12,007 5,008 5,066 247 122,424 1,678 5,022 194 117,060 1,026 5,883 292 111,279 677 4,684 207 94, 842 914 4,247 154 91, 048 5,211 5, 053 152 87,127 15 16 23 548 11 19 546 25 13 22 558 39 25 36 647 19 20 20 646 16 21 26 639 21 34 84 27 50 59 597 4,641 3,985 8,746 1,103 1,003 4,994 5,171 310 229 105, 754 100,941 43 13 26 587 70 17 37 639 r 6,663 710 518,487 4,392 5,098 612 475, 371 3,685 3,826 7,696 t 10, 244 17, 946 14, 921 8,772 11, 066 13,485 1,843 1,058 1, 113 514, 433 510, 606 506, 894 4,985 7,074 8,946 6,793 8, 550 10, 385 1,599 912 959 472, 499 469,173 465, 934 6, 341 5,532 16, 266 14, 508 44, 293 105, 599 35, 895 8,624 6,195 8,011 379 370 420 99, 817 139, 099 142, 721 36 56 80 576 DAIRY PRODUCTS Butter: Consumption, apparentf thous. of lb... 152,701 r154,630 145,796 139,555 153,186 I 152,961 180,150 152,862 145,612 157 235 152 571 147 955 150 368 Price, wholesale 92-score (N. Y.) dol. per lb__ .30 .28 .26 .26 .24 j .23 .24 24 .24 24 28 29 30 Production, creamery (factory)t-thous. of lb._ 118,430 122,855 128,303 121,065 139,331 145,123 193,701 200,135 179,275 164,960 134,515 121,595 112,285 Receipts, 5 markets} do 45,775 53,269 55,705 53,955 60,091 59,385 77,966 84,566 77,460 69,674 55 208 49,357 45,197 Stocks, cold storage, creamery, end of month | thous. of l b . . | 55,468 128,770 111,354 92,780 78,909 70,909 | 84,437 131,609 165,183 172,825 154 594 128 111 '89,783 Cheese: | j j i ' Consumption, apparentf '...do | 48,049 51,593 j 56,741 57,241 62,356 64,704 I 77,595 70,249 57,671 61,789 71492 67 744 51043 Imports do.... 3,478 4,083 j 4,001 4,425 4,881 3,927 4,353 3,781 3,134 3,435 5,762 11,637 6,344 Price, wholesale, No. 1 Amer. (N. Y.) | dol. per lb... .18 .15 .14 .14 .14 .14 .14 .15 .15 .15 17 18 18 Production, total (factory)f thous. of lb_. 40,660 40,376 39,168 37,992 47,775 54,600 77.300 86,170 73,400 65,920 57,400 54 000 42,300 American whole milkf d o . . . . 28,600 28,258 28,171 27,175 34,281 41,145 60,640 68,320 58 400 52 420 45 075 41*310 30 145 Receipts, 5 markets do 9,981 10,998 10,753 11,492 11,960 11,157 14,402 14,322 13,786 14,579 16 527 15 145 10 614 Stocks, cold storage, end of month do 108,183 120,174 106,411 91,485 81,653 75,345 79,272 98,850 117 598 125 019 116 561 114*736 ^ 112 217 American whole milk do 86,785 102,563 90,401 77,270 68,812 62,866 64,750 81,262 97 448 103 594 97'530 93? 987] \r 90 219 Condensed and evaporated milk: ' ' Exports: Condensed (sweetened) thous. of l b . . 121 355 104 91 306 142 148 195 215 194 276 364 145 Evaporated (unsweetened).. ...do.... 2,615 2,198 1,522 2,007 1,785 1,710 2,508 1,799 2,338 1,976 3 414 3 715 1,876 Prices, wholesale (N. Y.): | Condensed (sweetened) dol. per case.. 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 ! 5.00 5 00 5 00 ! 5 00 Evaporated (unsweetened).— ..do 3.10 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 I 2.90 2.90 3.10 ; 3.10 'Revised. §See note marked with a "f" on p. 41 of the June 1939 Survey. •New series. Earlier data for the new series on alcoholic beverages appear in tables 2-8, pp. 15-18 of the July 1939 Survey. fRevised series. For 1937 revisions in consumption and production of butter, consumption of cheese, and production of American cheese, see p. 41 of the December 1938 issue; 1938 revisions not shown in the December 1939 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. For total production of cheese see table 50, p 17 of November 1939 issue; figures shown there are correct except for 1938 revisions shown in the footnote indicated by a "f" on p. 41 of the December 1939 Survey. Data for production and consumption of butter and cheese are preliminary for 1938-39. Total indicated consumption for beverage purposes of all spirits and whisky revised in their entirety; revisions not shown on p. 41 of the October 1939 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. JFor comparable monthly figures beginning 1919, see table 14, p. 17, of the March 1939 Survey. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 1938 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- December 1938 Supplement to the Survey ber 81 1939 January February March April May June July Novem temb'er October ber A st ^ FOODSTUFFS AND TOBACCO—Continued DAIEY PRODUCTS—Continued Condensed and evaporated milk—Continued. Production:! Condensed (sweetened): Bulk goods thous. of lb_ 0) Case goods do... 2,228 Evaporated (unsweetened) do-._ 135, 536 Stocks, manufacturers' end of month: Condensed (sweetened): Bulk goods thous. oflb. 0) Case goods do... 5,627 Evaporated (unsweetened), case goods thous. of lb_ 186, 081 Fluid milk: 4,988 Consumption in oleomargarine do... 2.25 Price, dealers', standard gradeVdol. per 100lb.. Production (Minneapolis and St. Paul) thous. of lb. 33, 548 Receipts: 12, 889 Boston (incl. cream) thous. of qt. Greater New York (milk only) d o . . . 123,192 Powdered milk: 573 Exports^ thous. of lb. 23, 948 Productiont do... 10, 987 Stocks, mfrs., end of mo.t do--. 13,157 3,138 114,739 12,847 3,421 129, 452 11,505 3,036 137,882 15,408 3,075 181,094 15,420 3,283 202,090 22,007 2,899 262, 957 21, 059 2,755 265, 586 16. 615 2,894 223, 953 16,817 2,461 194,162 15,170 4,398 159,880 3,479 143, 988 9, 235 7,139 8,536 6,101 7,202 4,985 5,809 4,959 6,135 4,608 7,910 6,437 11,416 7,764 12, 504 8,570 10, 986 8,001 7,741 6,039 205,073 150,311 120, 397 109,882 134,625 209, 044 292, 393 341, 686 355,071 5,830 2.23 5,856 2.23 5,422 2.21 5,861 2.20 4,561 2.15 4,498 2.11 4,112 2.10 3,870 2.10 4.315 2.12 32,002 36,421 34,829 40,237 39,031 44,144 41,873 34,051 14,342 118, 277 13,988 123,868 12, 681 112,501 13,906 125,570 13,322 121, 682 14, 648 132, 670 13, 897 134, 712 14,947 129,851 549 28,038 33, 259 473 25,006 32,860 519 22,890 32,318 28,233 30,972 31,190 32,102 1,069 38, 877 31,982 739 38,572 25,861 5,625 4,785 4,848 3,055 2,053 1.575 () ) 2,354 125, 529 6,312 0) f1) 5,990 135,135 175, 646 188, 290 5,297 2.15 4,538 2.19 5,337 2.22 28, 599 25, 226 26,043 28,215 15, 375 118, 956 13, 258 122, 715 13, 883 128, 697 131, 848 637 29,079 27, 613 798 23, 566 18, 298 823 22, 432 11, 903 796 20, 782 8,449 544 r 20, 225 7,548 976 1,007 971 4,833 10, 216 0 16,426 2,147 0 10, 853 1,111 0 9,154 1,668 3,366 7,203 3,343 1.813 1.295 1.588 1.806 11,541 7, 658 12,171 12,441 FRUITS AND VEGETABLES Apples: b 131,882 Production (crop estimate) thous. of bu_. 5,057 6,742 Shipments. carlotf no. of carloads.. Stocks, cold storage, end of month 8,727 8,736 thous. of bbL. 17, 508 18,938 Citrus fruits, carlot shipments! .no. of carloads. 1, 612 2,105 Onions, carlot shipments! do Potatoes, white: 1.456 Price, wholesale (N. Y.) dol. per 100 lb.. 1.850 Production (crop estimate) thous. of bii.. '360,, 992 374,163 Shipments, carlotf no. of carloads.- 12, 095 12, 402 6,903 18, 747 2,485 5.079 18,444 2,184 3. 046 22,939 2,380 1,569 20,387 3,094 555 17, 683 3,383 1. 595 1.519 1.375 1.800 1.680 17, 551 17, 343 25, 317 18,983 22, 833 23,930 20, 385 15, 521 15,435 11,368 16, 372 6,600 368 724 436 124 614 206 265 .54 .55 .55 .54 .56 .51 .57 .55 .56 .53 .60 .45 .47 6,670 13, 752 3,846 11, 726 5,967 10,182 4,579 8,874 4,474 5,745 3,791 6,210 7, 050 6,340 2,721 5,256 3,798 5,780 1,663 5,798 1,207 6,510 267 5,945 ) .53 .51 .46 .51 7,794 10, 329 13, 718 1,988 GRAINS AND GRAIN PRODUCTS Exports, principal grains, incl. flour and meal§ 8,374 11,495 thous. of bu_Barley: 399 649 Exports, including malt do.-. Prices, wholesale, No. 2 (Mpls.): .55 .52 Straight dol. per bu_. .57 .58 Malting do Production (crop estimate) thous. of bu__ *276, 298 253,005 7,307 5,846 Receipts, principal markets do 18, 614 15,015 Stocks, commercial, end of mo do Corn: 5,324 3,729 Exports, including meal do. 5,187 6,724 Grindings do. Prices, wholesale: .56 .48 No. 3, yellow (Kansas City)...dol. per bu.. .62 .54 No. 3, white (Chicago) do. Weighted average, 5 markets, all grades* . 57 .50 dol. per bu._ ft Production (crop estimate) thous. of bu__ 2,6i9.13; "2,562,197 21, 923 20, 262 Receipts, principal markets do 9, 469 10,069 Shipments, principal markets do 45, 851 52, 644 Stocks, commercial, end of mo do. Oats: 81 147 Exports, including oatmeal do_ Price, wholesale, No. 3, white (Chicago) .41 .29 dol. per bu.. Production (crop estimate) thous. of bu_. *>937, 215 o 1,068,431 4, 756 5, 658 Receipts, principal markets do 12, 054 16, 919 Stocks, commercial, end of mo do. Rice: Exports? pockets (100lb.)_. 107,179 298, 935 32,127 39, 991 Imports? do . Price, wholesale, head, clean (New Orleans) .038 .033 dol. per lb._ Production (crop estimate) thous. of bu.. & 52, 306 • 52, 506 Southern States (La., Tex., Ark.,andTenn.): Receipts, rough, at mills 679 912 thous. of bbl. (162 1b.).. Shipments from mills, milled rice 857 977 thous. of pockets (1001b.).. Stocks, domestic, rough and cleaned (in terms of cleaned rice) end of month 3,983 thous. of pockets (1001b.) — 3,282 California: 89, 892 212, 534 Recpipts, domestic rough ...bags (1001b.)_. 68, 417 136,365 Shipments from mills, milled rice do Stocks, rough and cleaned (in terms of cleaned rice), end of mo...bags (100 lb.)_. 545, 331 366,012 Rye: 85 Exports, including flour thous. of bu.. .67 Price, wholesale, No. 2 (Mpls.)..dol. per bu_. *>39, 249 55,564 Production (crop estimate) thous. of bu 2.070 1,248 Receipts, principal markets. do.. 10,540 8,369 Stocks, commercial, end of mo do r a 10,8 8,372 11,281 709 909 153 .46 .48 .55 .58 .53 .55 .52 .54 r 4,831 8,253 20, 062 16, 904 13, 546 19,421 8,744 20, 398 6, 732 20,106 4,929 1,121 6,693 1,855 8,094 5,580 8,113 1,266 6,333 .47 .52 .57 .50 59 .53 .60 C) C) .50 .55 .51 .47 .47 .49 .52 .51 .46 .47 .56 .50 .51 14, 373 8. 827 50, 889 10,216 5,398 13, 085 8,473 43, 741 12, 562 8,656 39, 262 23,333 20,170 34, 568 17, 381 17,042 30,880 11,864 12, 759 23,145 9,880 12, 077 14,192 22,655 11, 584 14,947 31, 609 13,135 27, 541 26, 723 15, 893 38, 202 101 117 353 .31 47,489 130 114 112 61 93 .31 .32 .34 .34 61 133 162 .30 .36 .35 .39 6,221 15, 545 .30 4,304 14, 649 5, 769 12, GDI 4,461 10,312 6,303 6,784 4, 540 5,695 6,673 5, 55t 18, 625 14, 681 12,528 16,104 6, 261 14, 552 5,632 13,199 306, 891 46, 344 302, 302 41, 296 302,102 67, 608 274,893 90,116 283, 341 84,857 241,755 75, 647 220, 315 83, 257 216, 072 70, 691 381, 765 37, 528 304, 543 8,568 89, 926 58, 365 .033 .033 .033 .033 .033 .033 .033 .033 .040 545 428 180 390 1,805 2.360 1,375 1,064 938 1,024 912 758 972 1,146 1,122 1,083 3,695 3,586 3,244 2,595 2,092 1,552 996 1,706 3,029 3,410 262, 200 129,003 169,184 118, 478 229, 760 143,617 160, 345 136, 287 203,447 144,414 197,332 97, 767 270, 965 130,025 486, 207 174, 422 497,338 224, 541 354, 776 123, 603 167, 793 65, 521 393, 811 375, 056 350, 435 301, 497 264,633 258, 494 0 .46 ) .45 (a) .43 ) .43 942 8,126 '496 7,637 1,241 7,630 795 7,153 891 1,250 2,894 681 389,027 466,045 554, 057 574, 503 .51 ) .50 ) .43 0 .42 (a) .53 1 .52 0 .51 1,045 6,813 1,955 7,384 1,470 7,708 3,455 9,246 3,160 9,857 2, 053 10, 577 1,295 9,954 C) Revised. Less than 500 bushels. & December 1 estimate. «No quotation. 9 Final estimate for the crop year. Discontinued by reporting source. tFor comparable monthly figures beginning 1918, see table 13, p. 17 of the March 1939 issue. *\Tew series. Data for price of milk beginning ly22 and average price of corn beginning 1918 appear in tables 38 and 39, p. 18 of the August 1939 Survey. fRevised series. For revisions in condensed and evaporated milk production in 1937, see p. 41 of the December 1938 Survey; 1938 revisions not shown in the December 1939 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. Revisions for 1938 for carlot shipments not shown in the December 1939 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. §Revised series. Data revised for 1937; see tables 19 and 20, pp. 14 and 15 of the April 1939 issue 1 205737—40 6 82 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 1938 Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- December 1938 Supplement to the Survey ber February 1940 1939 January February March April May June July SepOctober Novem August tember ber FOODSTUFFS AND TOBACCO—Continued GRAINS AND GRAIN PRODUCTS— Continued Wheat: Exports: 12,613 14,489 11, 087 9,468 7,414 6,970 11,946 4,629 6,033 Wheat, including flourj thous. of bu.. 2,485 8,935 5,675 4,173 597 8,782 5,874 10,672 4,430 8,487 3,929 10,217 1,701 1,452 Wheat only§-__ _ do 2,977 5,903 2,530 Prices, wholesale: No. 1, Dark Northern Spring, 1.03 .77 .86 .80 .78 .77 .88 .91 (Minneapolis) dol. per bu_. .76 1.04 .73 .69 .70 .73 .92 No. 2, Red Winter (St. Louis).do .69 .98 .76 .67 .67 • .86 .71 No. 2, Hard WTinter (K. C.) do.... .65 1.00 .68 .80 .88 Weighted av., 6 markets, all grades..do .73 .71 .72 .90 Production (crop est.), total thous. of bu_. 754,971 '931, 702 191,540 '243,569 Spring wheat. _ do 6563, 431 '688,133 Winter wheat . do 11, 510 19,799 12,190 9,512 14, 892 11,900 13, 748 16, 000 25, 525 44,016 99,006 43,924 38,995 Receipts, principal markets do 13,086 16,851 14,936 16, 856 18, 252 9,251 11, 113 11,174 14,423 30,840 22, 791 24,495 12, 758 Shipments, principal markets do (0 484,150 467, 360 412, 390 379, 820 359, 730 319,890 318,340 Stocks, end of mo. world est do 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) 315, 296 335,445 112,987 98,123 161,161 139, 071 89,281 144,817 134, 085 135, 793 Canada (Canadian wheat) do 150,376 274, 841 310,855 295,492 446,104 United States, total* do.... 614,904 653.639 794,074 132.842 128, 748 108, 936 82,687 74, 851 64,178 81, 334 149,372 166,289 161,987 151,015 141,986 Commercial .do 95, 474 128, 846 137,097 38, 291 91, 846 162, 542 Country mills and elevators*.. do 114,231 107. 706 85,029 82, 481 137,332 Merchant mills* ..do 238,985 280, 088 189, 090 332, 213 On farms* do Wheat flour: 9,946 7,944 8,549 8,783 8,003 9,552 11, 279 9,226 Consumption (Russell).. thous. of bbL. 8,350 8,689 8,201 402 623 579 812 944 448 673 645 540 510 553 669 765 Exports§ do Grmdings of wheat thous. of bu_. 36, 848 38, 357 38, 755 35, 447 41, 068 37, 698 39,066 38,927 38, 833 43, 746 51,101 43,025 37, 770 Prices, wholesale: 6.17 5.58 5.23 5.70 5.16 4.74 4.95 4.90 5.76 5.06 5.10 4.79 4.87 Standard patents (Mpls.) dol. per bbl_. 5.01 4,20 4.28 3.60 3.58 3.41 3.84 3.82 4.36 3.66 3.54 3.36 3.47 Winter, straight (Kansas City). do.... Production: 8,119 9,428 8,298 8,516 8,432 8,440 9,522 11,191 8,416 8,476 7,757 8,951 8,244 Flour, actual (Census) thous. of bbL. 55.0 61.5 56.3 55.4 55.0 57.4 54.0 57.2 60.3 75.9 57.0 56.0 55.7 Operations, percent of capacity __. 10, 779 _8,929 9,311 9,293 9,063 10. 347 12,148 9,266 8,711 8,512 0,142 Flour (Russell) thous. of bbL. 8,916 Offal (Census) thous. of lb_. 635,415 672, 015 681, 624 625, 888 730, 612 665, 468 693,372 699,737 689, 557 772, 787 890, 697 752,851 655, 454 Stocks, total, end of month (computed by 5,710 5,625 5,100 5,000 5,150 5,500 5,300 5,700 5,300 Russell) ..thous. of bbL. 5,550 5,200 5,150 5,165 3,641 4,058 3,865 Held by mills (Census). do 4,317 LIVESTOCK Cattle and calves: 1,404 2,438 1,912 1,737 1,667 1,476 Receipts, principal marketS-thous.of animals.. 2,117 1,465 1,294 1,542 1,635 1,467 1,764 Disposition: 833 1,124 963 1,068 971 Local slaughter _ do 934 1,019 843 807 972 975 952 869 572 1,270 973 647 664 Shipments, total. ..do 1,074 632 496 795 608 579 581 546 273 549 743 242 Stocker and feeder do 240 213 375 546 259 253 233 187 Prices, wholesale (Chicago): 9.59 9.87 9.30 9.63 9.22 10.23 Beef steers* dol. per 1001b.. 10.13 10.17 10.29 10.35 10.02 9.09 10.00 10.07 9.86 10.59 9.66 9.53 Steers, corn fed .do 11.60 11.36 11.44 10.68 11.59 9.26 11.22 9.66 10.78 9.75 9.13 9.63 11.19 10.34 Calves, vealers .do 10.38 10.03 11.09 9.56 Hogs: 3,331 2,458 2,847 2,410 Receipts, principal markets, thous.of animals.. 2,105 2,570 1,971 2,205 1,995 2,007 Disposition: 2,482 1,825 2,177 1,822 1,394 Local slaughter.. do 1,535 1,654 1,848 1,398 1,509 1,451 1,458 1,928 617 665 849 Shipments, total. do 575 560 546 534 726 754 566 547 485 550 37 40 Stocker and feeder. do 48 43 39 41 35 43 38 45 44 36 46 Prices: 6.97 5.95 Wholesale, heavy (Chi.)....dol. per 100 lb.. 6.39 6.03 7.17 7.66 7.30 6.91 7.54 7.18 5.75 5.15 Hog-corn ratio* 12.5 13.7 13.2 11.9 bu. of corn per cwt. of live hogs.. 16.4 14.5 13.1 12.6 16.0 16.0 15.4 12.0 10.0 Sheep and lambs: 1,907 1,546 1,951 1,711 Receipts, principal markets thous.of animals.. 1,993 2,042 2,625 1,552 1,766 1,746 2,392 1,514 Disposition: 1,075 944 Local slaughter .do 848 953 1,070 913 890 1,063 1,046 983 900 1,064 968 1,520 Shipments, total . do 671 673 677 720 984 595 804 884 1,564 1,040 1,082 1,419 693 Stocker and feeder do 141 155 113 110 429 82 167 235 613 261 251 504 Prices, wholesale (Chicago): 4.33 4.39 3.85 Ewes *._ dol. per 100 lb.. 3.78 4.60 2.97 3.97 4.38 4.78 5.66 3.38 3.59 3.17 9.00 Lambs do 8.38 8.59 8.54 9.38 8.63 9.25 9.36 8.84 7.93 9.07 8.85 MEATS Total meats: r r 1,157 899 1,064 1,105 1,053 1,169 1,040 1,057 Consumption, apparent mil. of lb... 1,157 943 1,073 1,132 1,138 42 31 37 34 39 42 48 42 37 30 Exports* do 43 39 40 1,410 1,285 1,162 1,227 1,202 927 1,067 1,127 Production (inspected slaughter).. do 955 1,083 1,033 1,037 1,065 806 '562 671 791 784 761 758 758 452 Stocks, cold storage, end of month do 749 699 573 478 94 76 65 72 Miscellaneous meats .do 68 58 66 59 Beef and veal: Consumption, apparent -thous. of lb.. 436,153 415,788 434,239 377, 363 450,183 402, 876 479,125 452, 721 452, 940 476, 716 503, 357 494, 208 457, 231 1, 531 1,546 1,795 841 1, 269 1,105 1,047 1,036 Exports§ _ do 710 1,114 1,525 1,401 2,042 Price, wholesale, beef, fresh, native steers .166 .170 .172 .150 .177 .173 .152 (Chicago) dol. per lb_. .168 .166 .159 .156 .151 .166 Production (Inspectedslaughter).thous. of lb._ 445, 234 416,041 425, 605 368,125 439, 576 390, 623 466,306 444, 337 445, 800 469, 534 495,867 499,306 r472, 202 78,9S8 46,404 40,970 36, 866 34, 650 33,591 49,242 Stocks, beef, coid storage, end of mo do 58,187 53,126 33, 456 33, 027 36, 917 67,672 Lamb and mutton: 56,704 54, 281 Consumption, apparent .do 61, 709 58, 558 63,777 51,198 55, 539 53,193 53, 010 56, 028 62, 517 61, 608 ' 58, 391 57, 555 Production (inspected slaughter) do 54,684 59,088 61,123 58,452 63,451 62,147 50,790 55,398 53,238 53,073 56, 599 63, 030 4,890 Stocks, cold storage, end of month do r 4,187 3,541 2,925 2,773 2,412 3,499 1,956 1,791 1,837 2,459 1,893 2,965 Pork (includinglard): 663,786 570, 273 561,329 463,239 550, 289 488,486 570,476 566,926 547, 518 605, 525 566, 582 613, 248 641,838 Consumption, apparent do 36, 308 Exports, totaL ..do 36,966 32, 727 33,022 25, 591 36,990 37,403 33,008 27,258 25, 700 42, 223 33, 028 33,848 18,917 28,520 24,483 25, 706 19,198 22,157 17, 531 25,303 Lardf do 22, 682 25, 339 22, 848 24, 693 19,091 Prices, wholesale: .200 .185 Hams, smoked (Chicago) dol. perlb.. .200 .200 .200 .203 .207 .206 .203 .203 .206 Lard, in tierces: .070 .074 .073 Prime, contract (N. Y.) do .073 .070 .067 .067 .069 .065 .071 .060 .061 .083 .077 .084 Refined (Chicago) do .081 .081 .078 .077 .079 .083 .075 .075 .071 .104 r h Revised. December 1 estimate. • Final estimate for the crop year. i Temporarily discontinued; data not available since the outbreak of war. *New series. For data on United States wheat stocks beginning 1923, see table 29, p. 17 of the June 1939 Survey. For data on hog-corn ratio beginning 1913, see table 33, p. 18 of the June 1939 Survey. Data on exports of meats beginning 1913 appear in table 46, p. 16 of the November 1939 issue. For price of beef steers beginning 1913, see table 40, page 18 of the August 1939 issue. tRevised series. Data on exports of lard revised for period 1913-37 to include neutral lard; revisions are shown in table 47, p. 16 of the November 1939 issue. §Revised series. Data revised for 1937; see table 19, p. 14 of the April 1939 Survey. February 1940 83 SUEVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 1938 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- December 1938 Supplement to the Survey ber 1939 January February March April May June July August SepNovemtember October ber FOODSTUFFS AND TOBACCO—Continued MEATS—Continued Pork (including lard)—-Continued. Production (inspected slaughter) total thous. of lb__ Lard do Stocks, cold storage, end of month do Fresh and cured __.do Lard... do 906,801 174,546 62S, 735 467,416 161,319 756, 532 134,776 537, 525 430,104 107,421 715,179 132, 533 658,489 526,411 132,078 500, 769 90,038 99, 442 667,419 652,456 542,138 523,204 125,281 129,252 513,160 91,858 656,746 527, 213 129,533 605,478 106,945 659,587 520,251 139,336 585,804 106, 218 645,173 496, 796 148, 377 534,284 94, 453 594,581 454, 766 139,815 510,693 506, 341 600,505 753, 588 91,676 88, 611 102,914 137,724 471,310 379,020 341,393 '421,227 360,932 300, 226 272,655 332, 272 110, 378 78, 794 68, 738 ' 88,955 POULTRY AND EGGS Poultry: 77, 731 65,855 16, 744 17, 825 16, 217 24,427 28,494 27, 712 25,429 29,985 37, 224 r 81,135 23,286 Receipts, 5 markets _„..thous. of lb 167, 458 139,108 133,531 116,229 90,987 127, 649 70, 568 66,796 67,470 64, 918 62,870 63,164 Stocks, cold storage, end of month do 79,228 Eggs: 803 1,161 2,311 760 1,649 1,041 2,065 967 608 788 Receipts, 5 markets thous. of cases.. 619 Stocks, cold storage, end of month: 533 7,024 302 5,880 165 1,105 1,580 136 3,357 6,977 5,430 Shell., .thous. of cases.. 3, 519 • 87, 802 50,345 44.476 60,465 Frozen thous. of lb. 72, 264 62,903 88, 867 117,900 141, 456 144, 359 135,928 121,471 104,282 Cocoa T I * O p i C A L PRODUCTS 15,887 33. 297 43, 792 32,052 28,889 14,130 16,093 23,311 18,143 13, 707 27, 215 28,366 Imports .long tons.. 17,032 .0446 .0433 .0462 .0460 .0537 .0437 .0468 .0436 . 0517 .0438 .0610 Price, spot, Accra (N. Y.)_. dol. per l b . . ,0588 .0448 Coffee: 990 1,222 1,638 1,217 1,305 2,088 1,596 1,451 1,191 1,232 1,563 1,357 1,632 Clearances from Brazil, total..thous. of bags.. 767 724 485 697 1,317 694 731 785 662 917 862 610 To United States ...do. 774 1,055 1,187 1,469 1,086 1,056 1,511 1,325 1,423 1,497 1,095 1,017 Imports into United States do. 1,560 1,302 Price, wholesale, Rio No. 7 (N. Y.) .052 .051 .054 .052 .052 .051 .053 .053 .051 .053 .053 .052 .051 dol. perlb__ 1,285 1,616 1,498 2,058 1,712 1,279 1,290 1,267 1,033 1,700 1,295 1,523 1,341 Receipts at ports, Brazil thous. of bags.. Visible supply, total, excl. interior of Brazil 8,249 8,079 8,334 8,059 7,960 8,163 7,836 7,740 7,757 8,017 7,816 7,916 7,918 thous. of bags.. 1,213 781 860 914 930 867 857 846 855 860 643 United States do. 846 Sugar: Raw sugar: Cuba: Stocks, total, end of month 2,263 624 1,846 804 1,407 2,580 750 725 2,038 1,570 1,294 1,082 2,621 thous. of Spanish tons.. United States: Meltings 8 ports . long tons.. 266,456 247,226 261,257 247,112 371,979 401,523 328,213 304, 631 362,129 349, 987 376,814 337, 292 247, 328 Price, wholesale, 96° centrifugal (N. Y.) .029 .029 .030 .029 .030 .028 .029 .029 .028 .029 .034 .037 .029 dol. perlb.. Receipts: From Hawaii and Puerto Rico 62,317 122,969 183,880 184, 440 137,011 127, 764 115, 750 84,140 163,801 137, 264 122. 525 long tons.. 91,612 232,668 43, 318 60,868 107,931 205,908 180, 469 152, 564 217,426 281, 731 250, 265 306,639 171,338 65,188 Importsf do 378,089 305,164 365, 491 194, 732 199,056 241,039 236, 666 271, 306 357,250 382, 443 351, 005 293,908 Stocks at refineries, end of month..do Refined sugar (United States): 8,723 17, 627 14,529 18,995 13, 469 5,532 6,557 3,778 4,472 5,344 4,018 3,641 8,997 Exports do. __ .050 .054 .050 .060 .050 .050 . 056 .049 .050 .049 .050 .064 .049 Price, retail, gran. (N. Y.) dol. perlb.. .046 .043 .044 .052 .044 .043 .048 .044 .044 .042 .042 .056 .044 Price, wholesale, gran. (N. Y.) do. Receipts: 3,846 8,499 1,284 9,799 3,550 17, 734 16,662 18,076 23,352 2,527 10,726 9,479 4,183 From Hawaii & Puerto Rico..long tons.. 63,229 18, 588 16,045 8,083 22, 782 19,615 31,799 38, 839 34,511 41, 251 63,979 2,748 2,613 Imports* do 62,175 13,948 1,643 5,223 328 18,922 10, 706 19, 384 25, 303 32, 855 36,430 59,120 12, 696 From Onbat do... 1,557 11,192 915 11,015 4,482 3,288 4,153 1,014 2,786 4,710 551 3,690 8,829 From Philippine Islandsf do Tea: 6,798 11,954 6,724 7, 653 9, 953 8,785 7,499 7,931 7,603 8,576 7,698 7,307 Imports thous. of lb Price, wholesale, Formosa, fine (N. Y.) .280 .280 .280 .280 .280 .280 .280 .280 0) 0) 0) 0) dol. per lb.. (0 243, 223 252,634 234,468 205,084 182,681 168,308 161, 255 158,739 0) 0) Stocks in the United Kingdom..thous. of lb.. 0) 0) 0) MISCELLANEOUS FOOD PRODUCTS 15,169 24,966 12, 696 11,185 18,886 15, 256 24, 272 23,442 16,223 Candy, sales by manufacturerst-thous. of dol_. 20,297 21, 243 17, 717 18,t95 Fish: 35, 848 38, 323 41, 665 45,789 39,208 38,. 406 27,112 Landings, fresh fish, prin. ports.thous. of lb__ 32,050 23,070 25, 652 30,983 41, 554 43,546 716,458 524, 250 487,357 525,662 524, 393 257,564 221, 785 211, 672 Salmon, canned, shipments cases Stocks, cold storage, total, 15th of month 14, 571 46,965 59, 940 72,765 79,383 83, 296 77,088 62,253 40,423 29, 756 35,295 thous. of lb__ 92, 718 90,711 Gelatin, edible: Monthly report for 7 companies: 953 1,811 1,641 1,444 832 1, 400 1, 558 1,518 1,437 1,538 1,554 1,546 978 Production do. 1,353 1,531 1,418 1, 509 1,194 1,468 1,441 1,557 1,242 1,335 1,301 1,178 1,387 Shipments. do. 6,096 5,616 5,335 6,520 4,970 5,929 5,488 5,593 5,948 5,845 Stocks do. 6,296 5,080 Quarterly report for 11 companies: 6,356 5,234 6,323 6,340 4,114 Production do 8,004 8,909 7,974 Stocks do. 8,844 9,478 TOBACCO Leaf: 28,532 30,457 37, 502 44, 333 21, 777 24,502 Exports§ -.thous. of lb.. 31, 260 54, 217 28,013 17,146 15, 940 33,773 45,576 6,463 9,478 8,425 7,765 0, 724 5,492 4,797 4,783 6,491 Imports, incl. scrap§ .do 5,820 7,541 6,592 6,865 Production (crop estimate). mil. of lb.. b 1,770 • 1,376 Stocks, total, incl. imported types, end of 2,343 2,137 2, 216 quarter mil. of lb._ !,367 1,912 1,705 1,819 Flue-cured, fire-cured, and air-cured_.do 334 319 Cigar types do. 298 Manufactured products: Consumption (tax paid withdrawals): 14, 461 11, 782 14,244 12, 656 13,863 16, 595 14, 260 16, 571 14, 790 15, 384 12, 269 15,445 Small cigarettes __millions_- 12,803 Large cigars ^. -thousands.. 331, 204 333, 982 349,497 361,233 437,584 403,042 470,580 486, 721 427, 533 500, 807 486, 865 551, 230 505, 098 Manufactured tobacco and snuff 30. 239 28,436 25,425 29, 594 25,628 30,499 30,107 26, 246 33, 291 30,361 26,914 thous. of lb._ 24, 057 27,126 Exports, cigarettes§thousands._ 607,719 576, 210 451,194 623,889 562, 225 424,857 592,851 593,218 691, 696 641, 931 714, 576 433, 967 466, 966 Production, manufactured tobacco: 23, 450 29,823 25, 614 24,825 23, 260 22, 571 26,052 22,895 27,150 27,493 Total. _ ..thous. of lb_. 26, 326 28,749 400 373 319 366 382 395 461 408 372 423 325 Fine cut chewing do. 348 4,294 4,370 4,974 4,652 5,153 3,851 4,290 3,419 4,145 4,322 4,076 4,471 Plug do. 3,089 4,346 3,827 4,133 3,501 3,917 3, 415 3,419 2,924 3,365 3,023 3,521 Scrap chewing do. 15,580 17, 747 17,979 15, 261 19, 357 17, 503 19, 660 17,467 15, 650 14, 711 17, 451 15,045 Smoking. do. 405 560 518 534 471 484 515 440 491 482 400 426 Twist do. h r December 1 estimate. « Final estimate for the crop year. i Temporarily discontinued; data not available since the outbreak of war. Revised, tRevised series, Data on imports of raw and refined sugar revised beginning 1913; data not shown on p. 44 of the November 1939 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. |For monthly data beginning 1928, corresponding with monthly averages for 1928-33 shown in the 1938 Supplement, see table 7, p 17, of the January 1939 issue. § Revised series. Data revised for 1937; see tables 19 and 20, pp. 14 and 15 of the April 1939 issue. •New series. Data on total imports of refined sugar beginning 1913 not shown on p. 44 of the December 1939 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. 84 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 1938 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- December 1938 Supplement to the Survey ber February 1940 1939 January February March J April May June July August October °^eerm 5. 513 46. 056 5.513 46. 056 5.513 46. 056 400 261 126 ber FOODSTUFFS AND TOBACCO—Continued TOBACCO—Continued Manufactured products—Continued. Prices, wholesale: Cigarettes dol. per 1,000.. Cigars do 5.513 46. 056 5 513 46 056 5.513 46.056 5.513 46.056 5.513 46. 056 5.513 46.056 5 513 46. 056 5 513 46 056 5.513 46.056 5 513 46 056 FUELS AND BYPRODUCTS COAL Anthracite: Exports§ thous. of long tons.. Prices, composite, chestnut: Retail dol. per short ton.. Wholesale do Production thous. of short tons.. Shipments do Stocks, end of month: In producers' storage yards. _ ..do In selected retail dealers' yards number of days' supply -. Bituminous: Exports§ thous. of long tons.. Industrial consumption, total thous. of short tons.. Beehive coke ovens do Byproduct coke ovens do Cement mills do.— Coal-gas retorts .do Electric power utilities.. .do Railways (class I) ._ do Steel and rolling mills do Other industrial _. do Other consumption: Vessels (bunker) thous. of long tons.. Coal mine fuel thous. of short tons.. Prices: Retail, composite, 38 cities dol. per short ton.. Wholesale: Mine run, composite do Prepared sizes, composite do— Production thous. of short tons.. Stocks, industrial and retail dealers, end of month, total thous. of short tons._ Industrial, total do Byproduct coke ovens do Cement mills do Coal-gas retorts ..do Electric power utilities do Railways (class I) do Steel and rolling mills do Other industrial.. do Retail dealers, total do 104 9.156 3,862 3,435 994 614 30, 909 489 6, 668 425 145 4,598 7, 424 1, 030 10,130 165 154 143 9.731 4,953 4,047 4,114 3,382 11.35 9.642 3,604 3,232 1,458 1,046 761 37 29 25 489 277 143 11.49 9.706 4,533 3,849 26, 533 123 4,742 342 144 3, 684 7,161 837 9,500 137 10.64 8.649 4,776 4,287 9. 031 4, 919 4, 333 9.160 ' 3, 936 3,329 408 1,172 1, 219 1,365 22 47 57 58 282 348 1,525 ' 1, 746 1,715 26,185 121 4,751 212 149 3,595 7,149 858 9,350 24,183 111 4,346 244 137 3,051 6,545 759 8,990 25, 786 107 4,855 368 143 3,168 6,970 805 9,370 24, 980 117 5,517 503 130 4,025 6,492 766 7,430 '29, 519 399 6, 400 r 531 138 r 4 , 501 r 7 , 450 r 980 9, 120 '30,243 540 6,457 '493 140 4,406 ' 7, 322 '1,055 9,830 261 92 249 105 259 81 9.078 5,296 4,842 8.68 1.68 158 315 178 293 4.271 4.362 38,150 4 332 4. 436 45, 950 4.333 4.428 42,835 36,943 30, 243 6,220 399 250 7,923 4,338 573 10, 540 6,700 41 919 '34, 270 7,250 r 442 r 278 ' 8 . 370 r 5 , 050 T 640 12 240 7,750 45, 542 '37,402 8,115 '472 '271 8,858 '5,341 665 13, 680 8,140 140 261 r 8.45 4.322 4.404 37,283 4.298 4.557 36,541 4.290 4.544 '35,750 4.286 4.520 33, 910 4.283 4.491 35, 290 4.421 4.345 10, 747 44, 402 36, 952 7,993 444 267 8, 959 p r , 17 692 13,080 7,4 r 0 40, 720 33,670 7,462 349 252 8,491 5,629 687 10,800 7,050 39, 720 33,270 7,374 350 236 8,379 5,819 742 10,370 6,450 39, 887 34,087 7,373 403 220 8,456 6,736 879 10,020 5, 800 40,505 35, 225 7,222 414 217 8,760 7,603 1,029 9,980 5,280 31,746 28, 226 4,434 321 179 7,642 6,387 803 8,460 3,520 25,413 22, 613 2,598 275 129 6,740 5,196 545 7,130 2,800 26,991 22, 761 3,548 286 170 6,695 4,484 518 7,060 4,230 29, 725 24, 665 4,535 342 192 7,002 4,242 512 7,840 5,060 33, 624 27, 424 5,632 357 229 7,500 4,224 542 8,940 6,200 COKE Exports thous. of long tons. Price, beehive, Connellsville (furnace) dol. per short ton. Production: Beehivet thous. of short tons. Byproduct! do... Petroleum coke do... Stocks, end of month: Byproduct plants, total. do... At furnace plants do... At merchant plants do... Petroleum coke ..do... 37 27 25 23 21 18 37 43 39 66 95 71 52 5.000 3.750 3.750 3.750 3.750 3.750 3.750 3.750 3.750 3.750 3.750 5.125 5.250 314 4,718 155 3,363 142 71 3,078 117 20 2,915 142 25 2, 396 132 52 3, 090 142 3, 365 145 256 4 527 165 346 4,567 159 3,610 1,291 2,319 1,091 1,876 734 2,751 951 1,800 716 2, 657 931 1,726 710 2,772 945 1,827 733 44 3,666 143 2,921 916 2,005 682 75 3,904 111 2, 561 896 1, 665 666 77 3,367 126 3,330 1,241 2,089 717 2,812 868 1,945 668 2, 600 806 1 794 652 2,607 836 1,771 647 3,116 1,242 1,874 705 3,439 128 3,037 1,198 1,839 694 40 I PETROLEUM AND PRODUCTS t Crude petroleum: 97, 964 99, 614 98,917 99,303 105, 755 104,687 106, 899 107, 632 105, 505 110 980 104,916 Consumption (runs to stills)_.-thous. of bbl. 105, 835 4,186 2, 651 1,371 1,73$ 2,942 1,343 2,788 3,279 3,061 2,678 Imports! do... 3 093 2,848 3,235 .960 .960 .960 .885 .960 .960 .960 .960 .960 .960 960 .960 Price (Kansas-Okla.) at wells dol. per bbL .960 80, 865 108,168 114*, 198 111,887 Production thous. of bbl. 114,810 102, 287 102, 490 93,475 106, 768 105, 510 110, 541 104, 607 110, 937 81 84 83 77 77 78 76 85 84 Refinery operations.. _.pct. of capacity. 86 83 85 Stocks, end of month: California: 85, 655 82 718 80, 223 84, 039 82, 927 85, 580 85, 049 81,112 87, 222 87, 595 87, 002 86, 294 86,075 Heavy crude and fuel thous. of bbL 35, 478 38,072 37, 372 37,193 36,927 38, 323 39, 383 39, 699 39, 878 38, 902 38, 427 35 533 35,129 Light crude do... East of California, total.._ d o . . . 195, 836 229,140 227,134 227,098 229,079 230,926 230, 279 226, 462 223, 558 192, 985 189, 341 187, 579 191,164 40, 033 37, 441 35, 781 40, 445 41, 463 41,817 36 922 41, 221 42, 540 41, 777 41,154 39, 427 40,180 Refineries do... Tank farms and pipe lines d o . . . 155,803 187,919 184, 594 185, 321 187, 925 190, 746 189, 834 184,999 181, 741 155, 544 153, 560 150 657 151,737 1,892 1,385 1,252 1,641 1,561 1,419 1,656 1,338 1,608 1,419 1 786 1,820 Wells completed number. 1,652 Refined petroleum products. Gas and fuel oils: Consumption: 1, 557 1 720 ; ' 1, 598 1,134 1,242 1, 727 1,668 1,346 1,243 1,236 1,116 1,354 Electric power plants! thous. of bbL 1,650 4,050 4,033 3,999 4,014 3,870 4,111 3,957 3,640 3,890 4 650 \ 4,240 Railways (class I ) . . do... 4,205 3,026 3,520 3,076 3,343 3,207 2 254 3.083 2,925 2,904 3.341 Vessels (bunker) do . . . 2,587 3,061 .850 .850 .850 .850 .850 Price, fuel oil (Oklahoma) dol. per bbl. .925 .850 .850 .895 (!) 0) 0) 6) Production: 25,644 26, 944 21, 476 25, 040 24, 750 27,022 25, 299 26, 088 25,197 25,800 24. 836 27, 594 26, 302 Residual fuel oilf thous. of bbl. 12,688 I 13, 246 14, 433 15,017 13, 873 14,135 12, 797 13, 539 13, 301 12, 353 13, 530 13,757 Gas oil and distillate fuels, total d o . . . 12, 975 x 'Revised. No quotation. fRevised series. Petroleum and products revised for 1937; see table 9, p. 15 of the March 1939 Survey. Revisions for 1938, which are minor, will appear in the 1940 Supplement. Beehive and by-product coke production revised for 1937; see p. 45 of the December 1938 Survey. Gas and fuel oils, consumption in electric power plants, revised for 1938; see p. 45 of the June 1939 Survey. §Revised series. Data for 1937 revised; see tables 19 and 20, pp. 14 and 15 of the April 1939 Survey. February 1940 85 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1S39 1938 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- Decem1938 Supplement to the Survey ber ber 1939 January February March April May June July August September October November FUELS AND BYPRODUCTS—Continued PETROLEUM AND PRODUCTSt—Con. Refined petroleum products—Continued. Gaa and fuel oils—Continued. Stocks, end of month: Residual fuel oil, east of California thous. of bbl._ 20,881 Gas oil and distillate fuels, total do 26, 374 Motor fuel* Demand, domestic thous. of bbl._ 43, 694 Production, total.. do 52, 351 Benzol do 275 22, 017 Straight run gasoline .do Cracked gasoline do 25, 589 4,470 Natural gasoline do 4, 018 Natural gasoline blended do 2. 895 Exports do Gasoline :^ Price, wholesale, tank wagon (N. Y.) dol. per gal.. . 127 Price, wholesale, refining (Okla.) do .050 Price, retail, service stations, 50 cities .do Retail distribution!mil. of gal.. Stocks, end of month: Finished gasoline, total thous. of bbl._ 77, 301 51, 920 At refineries. do 4,421 Natural gasoline do Kerosene: 6,613 Consumption, domestic .., ...do 631 Exports§ do Price, wholesale, water white 47°, refinery . 048 (Pennsylvania) dol. per gal__ 5,822 Production thous. of bbl_. 7, 576 Stocks, refinery, end of month do Lubricants: 1. 825 Consumption, domestic . do . . . Price, wholesale, cylinder, refinery (Penn.184 sylvania) dol. per gal._ 3, 478 Production thous. of bbl_. 7. 142 Stocks, refinery, end of month ...do Asphalt8 62? Imports? short tons.. Production do j 303' 700 Stocks, refinery, end of m o n t h . . . do 550, 000 Wax: | Prod uction .. _ thou s. o f 1b.. I ^, 440 Stocks, refinery, end of month do 26, 991 27, 873 24.309 24, 650 21, 952 21,731 19, 288 20,115 19, 534 21,058 21, 397 22,088 22,480 25,659 25, 025 27, 581 26, 111 29, 282 26, 249 30, 018 26,109 30, 951 24,018 30,179 41, 649 48,026 186 20, 794 22. 701 4,345 4, 285 4,607 37, 767 49,120 185 21,125 23, 546 4,264 3. 637 2, 764 34, 595 43, 409 170 18, 455 21,037 3, 747 3, 229 2, 569 42, 520 48. 367 192 20, 663 23, 280 4,232 3,243 3, 523 43, 977 48, 837 162 20,922 23, 521 4,232 2.983 2,900 49, 547 51, 384 130 22, 767 24, 207 4, 280 2, 646 3,915 49,812 50,861 174 21, 782 24,810 4,095 2,682 3,884 50, 508 51,896 191 22, 502 25,028 4,175 2,909 2,987 53,828 52,161 210 22, 371 26,180 3,400 3,092 3,580 49, 347 51,890 225 21,833 25, 700 4,132 3, 237 3,609 49, 687 54, 974 259 23,611 26, 623 4,481 4, 358 2,967 47, 275 52, 691 267 22,415 25, 621 4, 388 4, 286 2,348 .119 M32 1,745 .119 .041 '.128 1,548 .119 . 042 M30 1, 427 .118 045 M31 1,734 .114 047 . 132 1,796 .118 .049 . 133 ' 2.006 .111 .050 '•.135 2,055 .107 . 050 .134 2,112 .107 .051 .135 2,183 .114 . 053 .134 ' 2,001 .121 . 053 .136 1,945 .125 .052 ' . 134 65,949 41, 805 4,830 73, 847 49,419 4,647 79,691 54, 569 4,708 81.189 55, 464 4,721 81. 623 55,172 5, 484 78, 342 52, 076 6,212 74, 395 47,972 6,749 71, 824 44,196 7,123 66, 448 41.0-16 6, 624 65,498 41,423 5,891 68,116 43,516 5,140 71,619 46, 898 4, 579 6,813 783 5,980 776 5,901 516 5, 201 523 5, 042 691 4, 368 631 3, 570 460 3,710 753 4, 436 802 4, 638 560 5, 019 1, 089 6, 023 563 .049 5.739 7, 709 .049 5, 702 6,711 .052 5. 174 5, 452 .053 5. 900 5, 605 .053 5, 813 5. 663 . 053 5. 909 6, 551 .053 5, 439 7,949 .051 5, 390 8,855 .050 5, 783 9,361 . 050 5, 806 9. 952 .050 6.141 9, 9C7 . 050 5, 642 9,019 1,831 1. 600 1, 653 1,987 1,770 2,132 1,902 1,982 1,963 2, 207 2, 656 1,927 .105 2,3S4 7, 695 .105 2. 527 7, 762 . 105 2, 522 7, 951 .105 2, 664 7, 800 . 105 2, 672 7,886 .105 2, 856 7, 630 .105 2, 800 7,427 .105 2, 755 7,179 . 105 3,056 7,069 .134 2,854 6, 704 . 166 3, 575 6,639 . 168 3,277 6, 799 2.078 242 400 480, 900 2, 869 244.400 532.000 9, 662 189,300 572, 000 3, 232 308, 200 650, 000 1,521 374, 900 688, 000 2,505 477. 800 672,000 3,024 485,800 642,000 1,726 509, 400 596, 000 1,670 577, 300 529, 500 4,150 550,400 475,000 1,742 541,800 472,000 3, 455 391,400 497,000 36,120 129, 340 35, 280 128, 627 33. 320 117,711 44, 800 117, 537 35, 000 119,301 34, 440 113,925 39,480 111, 604 28, 840 109,322 31,080 108,173 40, 320 89,584 45.080 81,147 48,440 81, 369 r r r LEATHER AND PRODUCTS K I B E S AND SKINS Imports, total hides and skins§ thous oflb_. Calf and kip skins§ do Cattle hides§ do Goatskins§ do Sheep and lambskins§ do Livestock (federally inspected slaughter): Calves thous. of animals.. Cattle do Hogs do Sheep and lambs ,.__ do Prices, wholesale (Chicago): Hides,packers', heavy, native steers.dol. per lb_. Calfskins, packers', 8 to 151b___ do LEATHER Exports: Sole leather thous. of lb._ Upper leather§ thous. of sq. ft.. Production: Calf and kip thous. of skins.. Cattle hides thous. of hides.. Goat and kid thous. of skins.. Sheep and lamb do Prices, wholesale: Sole, oak, scoured backs (Boston) dol. p e r l b . . Chrome, calf, B grade, compositet dol. per sq. ft.. Stocks of cattle hides and leather, end of month: Total thous. of equiv. hides.. In process and finished do Raw do ;, 197 ,461 i,828 i. 821 •,114 25, 657 3,972 9,588 6.075 4,468 32, 826 3,563 13,528 6.317 7,901 28,189 2,809 13, 200 6,189 3,975 29,196 2,380 11,771 6,769 4,436 25,454 2, 505 11,374 5,260 4,858 27, 026 1,939 10, 388 6, 332 5,189 22,563 2,302 8,034 5,214 4,385 22, 682 2. 685 7, 128 5,236 4,619 25,093 1, 867 9,308 5,362 5,370 24,578 1,585 10,611 4,013 4,807 21.348 1, 503 8,873 5, 025 4,517 31,360 1,980 13,062 4, 576 8,586 381 773 ,236 ,389 417 758 4, 346 1,347 415 761 4,043 1, 456 385 653 2,890 1,361 478 774 3,229 1,473 457 677 2,931 1,224 509 814 3,416 1,392 448 778 3,185 1,401 417 782 2,778 1,399 414 823 2.792 1,457 427 880 2,885 1, 635 482 893 3, 545 1,585 450 837 4,437 1,469 .144 222 .123 .157 .121 .163 .104 .154 .107 .154 .097 .145 .105 .156 .110 .164 .115 .161 .116 .160 .146 .211 . 165 .240 .146 .214 274 4, 109 26 3,689 6 3,097 14 3,492 92 4,197 46 3,585 82 3,816 47 3,040 53 3,428 65 2,905 54 4,839 226 5, 757 446 4, 623 1,284 1,884 3,245 2,899 1,319 1,936 3,185 2,899 1,326 1,943 3,170 3,236 1,329 1,955 3,623 3,115 1,168 1,672 3,463 2,774 1,187 1,736 3,473 3,015 1,227 1,715 3,666 3,015 1,064 1,619 3,323 3,096 1,155 1,949 3,397 4,205 1,074 1,811 3,065 3, 770 1, 156 ' 1,928 3, 697 3,938 1,038 1,954 3, 354 3,402 .355 .318 .315 .303 .291 .290 .290 .294 .305 .305 .348 .374 .368 .452 .392 .395 .392 .390 .390 .391 .392 .392 .392 .419 .463 .453 13,996 10. 301 3,695 13, 602 9,868 3,734 13,375 9,699 3,676 13,009 9,229 3,780 12,813 9,026 3,787 12, 905 9,078 3,827 12,976 9,151 3,825 12, 899 9,059 3,840 12,606 8,876 3,730 ' 12,509 ' 8,694 3,815 r 12,413 r 8, 673 >• 3, 740 12, 592 8,857 3,735 LEATHER MANUFACTURES Gloves and mittens: 209, 026 202,008 Production (cut), total dozen pairs. 135,759 119,257 153,409 174,937 148, 148,420 149,591 591 184,099 161,643 206,134 201,356 209,026 420 149, Dress and semi-dress. ___ . do 362 125,360 988 130, 500 130,109 133, 74,065 103,739 88,480 104,988 130,500 133,362 93,123 103, 739 81,850 88, 480 111,927 104, 63,177 Work _._ do.... 71,247 75, 664 56, 655 75, 634 72,172 61,694 56,080 60,286 71,198 66,570 56,655 75,634 71,247 75,664 76,648 66, 570 61,111 r Revised. fFor petroleum and petroleum products, see note marked with a " t " on p. 84. Retail distribution of gasoline revised for 1937-38; data not shown on p. 46 of the June 1939 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. Wholesale prico of chrome, calf, B grade leather revised beginning January 1938; data not shown on p. 46 of the January 1940 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. \ The gasoline statistics in the above table have been rearranged and data on the production of benzol have been added. With this series included, it is possible to derive figures of total production of motor fuels, as shown here Data for benzol production beginning 1925 appear in table 52, p. 18, of the November 1939 issue. § Revised series. Data revised for 1937; see tables 19 and 20, pp. 14 and 15 of the April 1939 Survey. 86 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Monthly statistics through December 1937, together with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the 1938 Supplement to the Survey 1938 1939 Decem- December ber February 1940 1939 January February March April June May July August September October Novem ber LEATHER AND PRODUCTS—Continued LEATHER MANUFACTURES—Continued Shoes: Exports thous. of pairs.. Prices, wholesale, factory: Men's black calf blucher dol. per pair.. Men's black calf oxfordf -.do Women's colored, elk blucher do Production, boots, shoes, and slippers: Total thous. of pairs.. Athletic do.... All fabric (satin, canvas, etc.) do Part fabric and part leather do High and low cut, total do Boys' and youths'.. ._ do Infants' do Misses' and children's ..do Men's do Women's do Slippers and moccasins for housewear thous. of pairs.. All other footwear... do 161 113 108 195 310 223 304 176 184 234 205 169 426 6.00 5.05 3.15 5.75 4.70 3.00 5.75 4.70 3.00 5.75 4.70 3.00 5.75 4.70 3.00 5.75 4.70 3.00 5.75 4.70 3.00 5.75 4.70 3.00 5.75 4.70 3.00 5.75 4.70 3.00 5.75 4.70 3.00 5.75 4.85 3.10 6.00 5.05 3.13 28, 412 321 301 849 23, 465 1,085 1,627 3,262 7,928 9,563 29,988 331 355 476 24,359 1,426 1,775 3,399 8,403 9,355 33,561 260 457 652 30,149 1,414 1,987 3,740 8,876 14,132 35, 457 237 530 778 31,400 1,302 1,940 3,711 8,645 15,801 42, 375 281 760 832 37,131 1,545 2,256 4,505 9,930 18,894 32, 578 275 591 641 27,842 1,407 1,951 3,122 7,680 13,683 32, 222 307 526 355 27,161 1,404 1,825 3,435 7,739 12, 757 31,776 295 454 291 26,326 1,390 1,971 3,579 7,888 11, 498 33, 618 268 257 380 28, 802 1,439 1,836 3,401 7,628 14,497 43,581 358 247 567 36,913 1,894 2,131 4,240 10,065 18, 583 36,379 359 277 530 29, 659 1,502 1,967 3,681 8,572 13,936 3,237 239 4,297 170 1,695 348 1,983 530 2,651 721 2,464 765 3,002 871 3,702 708 3,600 310 5,185 311 5,303 251 37, 073 • 32. 056 440 383 334 241 676 ' 564 29.247 '24.688 1,476 1,172 2,171 1,923 3,783 3,228 9, 568 9,036 12, 248 ' 9, 328 6, 093 283 5. 839 340 LUMBER AND MANUFACTURES LUMBER—ALL TYPES Exports, total saw mill products* M bd. ft.. Sawed timber* do . Boards, planks, scantlings, e t c . t —.do.... I m p o r t s , total saw mill products*.. do.... National L u m b e r Mfrs. Assn.:f Production, total mil. b d ft Hardwoods do Softwoods. do Shipments, total . do Hardwoods do.. Softwoods do Stocks, gross, end of m o n t h , total" do.. Hardwoods do Softwoods.. do 84,832 17,063 62,104 53,253 '98,225 13,289 '81,187 46,884 70,652 10,633 57,969 49,521 70,727 10,879 59,228 47,803 92,980 21,766 65,505 62,591 82,956 16,586 61,726 58,292 98,932 18,819 73,430 48,941 112,130 17,984 89,254 54,692 115,264 19,698 92,051 53,021 124,021 20,256 99,156 54,222 100,834 14,491 82,164 59,406 84,326 5,928 73,918 102,606 73,669 6,563 60,088 73,935 2,002 359 1,642 1,848 306 1,542 7,665 1,807 5,858 1,711 279 1,433 1,790 301 1,489 '8,429 '2,098 6,331 1,782 328 1,455 1,866 336 1,530 '8.341 '2,091 6,253 1,637 325 1,312 1,709 308 1,401 '8,273 '2,109 6,164 1,923 336 1,587 2,091 358 1,733 '8,103 '2,086 6,017 1,968 296 1,672 '2,012 '326 1,687 '8,067 '2,057 6,010 2,235 302 1,933 ' 2,205 '325 1,880 '8.098 '2,033 6,065 2,252 301 1,951 '2,262 '343 1.914 '8,095 '1,985 6,110 2,143 303 1,841 2,157 354 1,803 '8,082 '1,940 6,142 2,401 352 2,049 2,534 392 2,143 '7,956 '1,904 6,052 ' 2,303 359 1,924 2,532 431 '2,121 '7,705 '1,842 5,863 ' 2,363 377 '1,946 '2,616 470 r 2,146 '7,440 '1,759 5,681 ' 2.250 382 '1,869 '2,208 414 '1,793 '7.474 '1,729 5,745 4,800 11,575 7,000 6,000 19,125 6,500 13,000 6,200 4,900 23,350 7,450 14,700 6,000 5,900 23,800 5,400 15,200 5,580 4,850 24,350 6,550 14,000 5,300 7,400 22,600 8,100 14,000 5,600 7,200 21,000 7,550 14,200 5,650 7,600 18,850 6,850 12,400 7,400 8,200 18,400 8,100 11,900 6,200 8,300 16,600 8,250 10,950 8,150 9,150 15,900 11,900 14,400 8,600 8,700 16,000 8,650 14,150 9,000 8,800 16,600 6,200 13,000 8,150 7,050 18,050 25,692 42,285 36,046 30,599 77,066 26,659 52,697 31,720 27,686 94,181 36,868 60,649 28,463 26,916 95,228 26,910 56,482 27,640 27,308 94,730 28,144 51,675 29,639 31,951 92,445 26,128 47,199 28,565 30,604 87,191 32,937 41,137 35,447 37,999 83,635 36,058 39,793 34,268 37,401 79,503 36,713 39,523 34,126 36,985 76,165 47,117 46,191 41,180 44,666 72,679 58,230 64,773 39,835 44,816 65,647 38,729 59,699 44,750 43,739 66,397 21,890 47,191 42,497 35,626 71,603 38.971 12,619 26,352 30,098 9,015 21,083 24,554 5,929 18,625 25,972 5,696 20,276 34,545 14,950 19,595 29,486 11,485 18,001 36,570 12,193 24,377 45,028 10,992 34,036 48,105 11,507 36,598 55,755 14,546 41,209 34,280 8,972 25,288 23,416 1,982 21,434 23,298 4,114 19,184 FLOORING M a p l e , beech, and birch: Orders, new . . Orders, unfilled, end of m o n t h Production Shipments Stocks, end" of m o n t h Oak: Orders, new Orders, unfilled, end of m o n t h Production ." Shipments Stocks, end of m o n t h M bd. ft do do . do " do do do " " do do do " SOFTWOODS Fir, Douglas: Exports, total saw mill products* M bd. ft Sawed timber do Boards, planks, scantlings, etc. do.... Prices, wholesale: No. 1. common b o a r d s , . . d o l . per M b d . ft Flooring, 1 x 4, " B " and better, V. G. dol. per M bd. ft. Southern P i n e : Exports, total saw mill products*__M. bd. f t . . Sawed timber . . . do Boards, planks, scantlings, etc do . Orders, newf mil. bd. ft Orders, unfilled, end of m o n t h do_... Price, wholesale, flooring._dol. per M bd. ft Production! mil. bd. ft Shipmentsf do Stocks, end of m o n t h do". Western Pine: Orders, newf do Orders, unfilled, end of m o n t h t do..-. Price, wholesale, Ponderosa Pine, 1 x 8 , no. 2, common (f. o. b . mills) dols. per M bd. ft Production!mil. bd. ft Shipments! do Stocks, end of m o n t h t do. West Coast Woods: Orders, new do Orders, unfilled, end of m o n t h . . do.Productiont do Shipmentst do Stocks, end of month."."..." II___I_IdoIM 21.070 18.008 18.424 18.820 18.620 18.620 18.620 18.620 18.620 19.110 19.845 20.874 21.070 42.140 35.280 35.280 36.000 34.300 35.280 35.280 36.505 37.240 37.828 39.445 41.552 42.140 19,063 4,017 15,046 480 306 41.875 611 517 1,919 26,925 4,012 22,913 562 307 41.013 597 578 2,094 19,609 4,326 15,283 608 330 40.764 591 585 2,100 18,496 4.709 13,787 534 327 39.885 538 537 2,101 25,314 6,706 18,608 670 343 40.303 645 654 2,092 20,857 4,954 15,903 618 360 39.968 608 601 2,099 24,740 6,168 18,572 675 346 40.298 681 689 2,091 23,476 6,668 16,808 673 347 38.998 637 672 2,056 30,028 7,916 22,112 624 341 39.383 626 630 2,052 18,821 5,529 13,292 760 378 40.568 689 723 2,018 28,664 5,287 23,377 894 536 40.560 625 736 1,907 24,221 3,659 20,562 661 431 42.998 670 766 1,811 23,332 2,258 21,074 545 343 42.393 647 633 1,825 329 262 348 259 264 224 239 197 317 198 366 225 402 222 443 238 454 272 509 298 600 415 470 377 302 254 28.99 291 321 1,955 22.92 236 320 2,014 24.30 181 299 1,896 25. 24 153 267 1,782 25.13 233 316 1,699 24.81 349 339 1,709 24.90 498 405 1,802 25.08 520 428 1,888 25.42 484 418 1,943 25. 65 552 484 1,975 26.81 502 483 1,994 28. 61 493 508 1,979 29. 64 431 425 1,985 463 452 516 487 930 451 361 447 448 988 445 388 502 474 1,021 426 383 434 431 1,024 602 373 507 551 982 513 376 519 549 970 660 402 528 549 955 572 437 566 580 950 547 487 519 537 946 772 483 580 673 869 674 570 577 632 838 514 521 600 609 839 1 513 444 '579 519 908 *New series. For t h e new series on exports of sawed timber and imports of sawmill products data beginning 1913 appear in tables 44 and 45, p . 18 of the October 1939 Survey. For Douglas fir and southern pine, the new series on total exports represent a total of the items regularly shown. N o t e t h a t the more definitive title "boards, planks, and scantlings, e t c . " has been substituted for " l u m b e r . " , tRevised series. Wholesale prices of men's black calf oxfords revised beginning J a n u a r y 1938 because of style change w i t n price of slightly different t y p e substituted at t h a t time. Revised data for 1938 are shown on p . 47 of the September 1939 Survey. D a t a for production, shipments, and new orders of southern pine, and production, shipments, and stocks of western pine for 1937 adjusted to 1937 Census of Manufactures; 1938 and 1939 data adjusted to the 1938 Census for production, shipments, and stocks of total l u m b e r and production, s h i p m e n t s , and new orders of southern pine; data for 1936-39 for new and unfilled orders and 1938 data for production and shipments of western pine have been adjusted to the 1938 Census of Manufactures. D a t a for 1934-39 for production and shipments of west coast woods have been revised to shift from a 4- and 5-week reporting basis to a 4H-week basis adjusted to quarterly totals; these revisions are carried to the figures for production and shipments of total softwoods and total lumber. D a t a for total exports of boards, planks, scantlings, etc., have been revised to include hardwood flooring, 1923-June 1938. Revisions for these items will appear in a subsequent issue. 87 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 1938 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- Decem1938 Supplement to the Survey ber ber 1939 January February March April May June July August September October November LUMBER AND MANUFACTURES—Continued SOFTWOODS—Continued Redwood,8 California: Orders, new... _...M bd. ft_ Orders, unfilled, end of month do... Production do... Shipments ..do-.. Stocks, end of month do_.. 17, 749 22,134 28, 678 25,310 27,883 27,284 20,802 19,961 297, 976 313,047 34, 270 20,875 34, 562 30,647 25, 261 26,272 23,811 24,243 309, 310 307,494 32,098 26,387 26,846 32,485 29,676 28,181 28, 585 27.930 31,614 30,822 28,096 27,806 300,378 298, 052 299,887 24, 498 23,168 32,085 24, 563 28,377 28,404 28, 262 25, 421 32,989 27, 469 23, 497 32,405 295, 551 296, 426 298,707 39,727 30, 782 22,005 41, 027 39, 092 31, 445 30, 295 33, 358 31, 204 26,772 32, 603 28, 019 299, 358 296, 462 298, 397 FURNITURE All districts: Plant operations percent of normalGrand Rapids district: Orders: Canceled .percent of new orders_ New no. of days' production. Unfilled, end of month. do-._ Plant operations .percent of normalShipments no. of days' productionPrices, wholesale: Beds, wooden 1926=100. Dining-room chairs, set of 6 ..-.do--Kitchen cabinets .do... Living-room davenports do... Steel furniture (see Iron and Steel Section). 65.0 58.0 56.0 56.0 57.0 53.0 53.0 50.0 51.0 59.0 63.0 66.0 67.0 8.0 13 26 67.0 16 7.0 12 13 62.0 13 4.0 19 21 58.0 12 5.0 14 19 53.0 13 5.0 14 16 53.0 15 6.0 10 13 42.0 12 7.0 11 13 47.0 11 2.0 25 28 47.0 13 4.0 16 30 50.0 13 3.0 20 30 56.0 18 3.0 23 31 56.0 19 5.0 26 35 63.0 21 7.0 23 35 65.0 20 77.9 102.3 88.1 87.2 77.6 102.3 87.6 87.2 77.6 102.3 88.1 87.2 77.6 102.3 88.1 87.2 77.6 102.3 88.1 87.2 77.6 102.3 88.1 87.2 77.6 102.3 88.1 87.2 77.6 102.3 88.1 87.2 77.6 102.3 88.1 87.2 78.1 102.3 88.1 87.2 78.1 102.3 88.1 87.2 77.9 102.3 88.1 87.2 77.9 102.3 88.1 87.2 METALS AND MANUFACTURES IRON AND STEEL Foreign trade: Exports (domestic) total§ long tons.. 600, 437 490,095 362, 672 359,690 206,402 323,691 227,884 224,913 Serap _ do 14, 709 28,767 27, 664 19,149 Imports, total§ do 1,267 1,413 3,333 6,519 Scrap do Price, wholesale, iron and steel, composite 37.18 36.37 36.37 36.36 dol. per long ton_. Ore Iron ore: Lake Superior district: Consumption by furnaces 5,538 3,041 2,927 2,853 thous. of long tons-. 0 0 0 Shipments from upper lake ports do "35,440 34, 579 31, 689 28,840 Stocks, end of month, total. do 30, 805 29,456 23,912 At furnaces.. ._ do 26,646 4,635 4,928 Lake Erie docks _ .do 5,123 5,043 163 179 Imports, total§ _ .do 187 180 Manganese ore, imports (manganese content)! 54 26 10 thous. of long tons.. 474, 360 394,008 312,262 240,124 25,369 44,083 780 2,769 532,641 384,881 28,142 3,971 513, 664 477,078 398, 888 350,066 291,896 32, 587 30,851 28,328 3,335 3,729 2,537 575, 613 591, 856 605, 555 330, 680 336, 775 272, 656 15, 216 29, 874 19,189 837 3,216 2,305 36.40 36.34 35.80 35.69 35.82 35.95 36.67 37.62 37.50 3,317 0 25,872 21,054 4,818 203 2,800 57 22, 791 18,306 4,485 162 2,246 3,601 23,071 18,835 4,236 217 2,830 5,573 25, 861 21,610 4,251 189 3,143 6,310 28, 507 24,196 4,311 222 3,775 6,955 32, 714 28, 365 4,349 213 4,185 7,865 35, 853 31, 203 4,650 179 5, 271 9, 201 39, 005 33, 944 5,121 203 5,478 5,440 40, 732 35, 516 5,216 304 21 11 17 15 24 18 43 57 64, 732 41,427 50.5 39, 215 63, 835 54, 263 66.3 49, 807 Pig Iron and Iron Manufactures Castings, malleable: Orders, new _ short tons.. 45, 978 53, 663 Production do 65.2 Percent of capacity Shipments short tons.. 53, 753 Pig iron: Furnaces in blast, end of month: Capacity.... long tons per day.. 122, 055 191 Number Prices, wholesale: 22.50 Basic (valley furnace) dol. per long ton.. 23.15 Composite do Foundry, No. 2, northern (Pitts.) dol. per long ton.. 24.89 Production thous. of long tons.. 3,768 Cast-iron boilers and radiators: Boilers, round: Production thous. of lb__ Shipments do Stocks, end of month ..do Boilers, square: Production.. do Shipments .__ do Stocks, end of month do Radiators: Convection type: Sales, incl. heating elements, cabinets, 701 and grilles,thous. sq. ft. heating surfaceOrdinary type: Production... ...do Shipments do Stocks, end of month. .do Boilers, range, galvanized: Orders: New. _.. number of boilers... 72, 380 44, 213 Unfilled, end of month, total .do 81, 252 Production do 77,166 Shipments do 34, 763 Stocks, end of month ...do 51, 778 59,143 69.6 54, 038 35,633 38, 802 46.0 36,434 38,105 35,372 43.5 36, 403 33,234 34, 786 42.9 34,698 35,997 39, 615 47.5 39,807 29,183 31,640 38.8 33,666 27,702 30,840 37.8 32, 657 29, 041 30, 781 37.0 32, 566 29,892 28,836 35.3 26,169 40,005 40, 212 47.9 71,315 117 70,235 118 74,285 121 77,460 123 60,160 102 60,515 107 72, 495 118 79, 765 130 87, 715 105, 525 120, 565 124, 085 191 169 138 20.50 21.15 20.50 21.15 20.50 21.15 20.50 21.15 20.50 21.15 20.50 21.15 20.50 21.15 20.50 21.15 20.50 21.15 21.50 22.35 22.50 23.15 22.50 23.15 22.89 2,211 22.89 2,175 22.89 2,060 22.89 2,395 22.89 2,056 22.89 1,718 22.89 2,118 22.89 2,356 22.89 2,660 23.89 2,879 24. 89 3,628 24.89 3,720 1,338 2,182 16,114 1,573 1,642 15,986 1,807 1,376 16,491 2,198 1,113 17, 579 1,916 1,203 18,301 1,930 1,051 19,084 1,950 1,427 19,421 1,387 1,749 19, 056 1.946 2, 537 18, 463 2,181 4,634 16, 010 2, 688 5, 445 13, 204 10,128 15,081 98,831 13,801 12,881 9,246 12, 276 99,128 104,303 19,960 10,406 114,878 15, 284 21, 442 20, 696 15, 339 16,429 16,194 9,448 11, 744 14, 577 16,807 25, 360 35, 593 119,839 124, 462 126,130 124, 581 120, 651 105, 757 20, 925 39, 869 86, 890 2,233 2,882 11,905 17, 273 23, 751 80, 391 498 442 305 340 556 729 811 1,106 915 792 660 3,955 4,815 25, 624 4,896 3,814 28, 279 4,711 2,950 30,800 5,593 2,887 33,612 4,350 3,103 34, 875 4,276 4,207 34,963 4,655 4,730 34,975 4,187 5,280 33, 902 5,299 7,234 32,007 5,299 9,209 28,133 6,754 10, 387 24, 543 5, 647 7,824 21,424 47,882 20,626 70, 232 64,426 37,625 61,003 15, 026 64, 094 66,603 35,317 50,876 12,604 56, 476 53,298 38, 495 57, 928 10,145 60, 421 60,387 38, 463 69, 772 19, 442 53, 454 60,475 31, 442 68,191 20,638 67, 610 66,995 32,057 59, 277 16, 245 62, 996 63, 670 31, 472 53, 914 19, 671 47,894 50, 488 28,878 66,082 133, 384 98, 692 16, 694 61, 494 51, 226 69, 656 86, 069 ] 10, 980 69,059 88, 584 108, 960 29, 475 26, 960 28, 988 80, 265 48, 999 84,181 82, 492 30, 677 41,660 37,774 ' 35. 6 -"32.3 12, 621 11,872 41, 359 40, 272 '35.3 '34.4 12, 506 11, 060 34, 804 '29.7 7,721 34,168 '29.2 8,498 39, 698 ' 33. 9 6,912 42, 428 '36.3 10, 229 96, 687 119,687 '82.6 ' 102. 3 42, 213 58, 530 43. 590 72, 096 ' 61. 6 '37.2 12, 449 26, 391 99,899 '85.4 52,146 85, 755 '73.3 36. 615 476 Steel, Crude and Semimanufactured Castings, steel: Orders, new, total. _ .short tons.. 64,143 38, 342 ' 42,972 31, 223 ' 42,139 ' 34, 388 54.8 Percent of capacity 34.2 '36.7 ' 36. 0 '29.4 '26.7 Railway specialties short tons.. 28, 262 14, 749 12, 606 9,655 11,125 6,848 79, 732 36,130 • 39, 802 37, 646 ' 41, 067 ' 36. 232 Production, total... do 68.1 Percent of capacity '31.0 '35.1 32.3 '34.0 '32.2 Railway specialties short tons.. 33,146 9,751 11,282 12,804 10, 060 10,173 ' Revised. JRevised series. Data revised for 1937; see tables 19 and 20, pp. 14-15 of the April 1939 issue. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 1938 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- Decem1938 Supplement to the Survey ber ber February 1940 1939 January February March April May June July SepAugust tember October Xovem ber METALS AND MANUFACTURES—Continued IRON AND STEEL—Continued Steel, Crude and Semimanufactured— Continued fngots, steel: 5,164 Production-. thous. of long tons.. 3,131 5,394 3,174 3,405 4,231 5,463 2,923 3,163 2,974 3,125 3,763 90 Percent of capacity 53 54 55 92 53 71 47 52 91 53 61 Bars, steel, cold-finished, carbon, shipments 55 short tons.. 61, 591 36, 315 39,648 42,808 55, 495 67, 599 38,571 67, 977 34, 287 42, 895 36,287 35, 615 Prices, wholesale: 32, 809 .0265 Composite, finished steel... do!, per lb .0268 .0264 .0268 .0268 .0263 .0263 .0268 .0261 .0262 .0261 Steel billets, rerolling (Pittsburgh) .0261 34.00 34.00 dol. per long ton.. 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 .0210 .0210 Structural steel (Pittsburgh) dol. per lb__ .0210 .0210 .0210 .0210 . 0210 .0210 .0210 .0210 .0210 .0210 .0210 16.56 13.75 Steel scrap (Chicago) dol. per gross ton 13.85 14.06 14.25 19.05 17.66 13.88 13.38 16.22 13.56 12.80 13.56 U. S. Steel Corporation: Earnings, net thous. of dol._ 19, 792 15,881 15, 881 Shipments, finished steel products 1, 304 694 thous. of long tons. 789 768 678 1,219 1,271 701 985 733 723 804 Steel, Manufactured Products Barrels and drums, steel, heavy type: Orders, unfilled, end of month I number.. 707, 59: 519,3751 438.746 421.037 351 °03 257, 961 208,000' 235, 772j 247, 720 771,714 1,138,543 S66,519 Production do.___ , 4f>8, 9f>: 830. 979] r 785, 591 1 597. 953 •737.155 '837.320 846,322 '861,102 ' 750, 270 r S5i T 087 1,203,820 '1,612,384 '1,636,293 T Percent of capacity ____• 02. 4 Shipments . number.. 457.47: 822, 746 r 781, 031 600,411 r 742, 4!.nj r 437. 32C 845,517 850,513 r 756.^91 ' 849, 697 l,576,G9 1,653.078 r r r Stocks, end of month do 61.25 32, 696 ' 36 34,COS 33, 021 34, 407 '~30?8 2S. 431 r 29,050 • 39, 639 49,781 66. oh Boilers, steel, new orders: 554 Area ..thous. of sq. ft.. 892 817 617 1,752 1,131 1,089 '802 765 1.032 890 877 Quantity . number.. 1,012 477 892 650 834 997 1, 033 659 1,175 1,380 983 1,264 1,098 Furniture, steel: Office furniture: Orders: r r 1 (V»9 New thous. of dol__ 1.S52 r 2, 097 1,769 ' 2, 120 ' 1, 774 r r r Unfilled, end of month... do ' 1,334 l' 179 • 1, 361 1,299 989 "pmennts. Shipn .do Shelving: Orders: r New , do... 540 315 421 '411 ' 668 r 404 Unfilled, end of month ....do... ' 101 205 ' 266 '293 263 ' 511 '323 r 534 Shipments do... 357 ' 418 •" 311 '456 '440 493 ' 378 '433 ' 460 Plate, fabricated steel, new orders :• i 23, 627 Total short tons. 28, 218 29, 784 20,511 22, 903 33.959 35, 844 ' 26, 020 31, 364 21,828 34,036 < > < / 6 6 i Oil storage tanks do.... 6, 665 5.950 7, 723 4,081 ll',498 13. 481 5, 429 8, 229 9,107 7,401 10,976 8,188 10,991 Plumbing and heating equipment, wholesale price (8 items) dollars. 236. 40 233.97 234. 82 235. 33 234. 77 234. 71 234. 64 234.82 234. 87 I 235.19 236. 33 234. 77 Porcelain enameled products, shipments ? thous. of dol. 645 959 984 610 771 826 1,128 1,062 951 853 851 1,151 221 Spring washers, shipments do. 177 215 185 233 180 262 183 149 234 184 181 171 Steel products, production for sale (quarterly): Merchant bars thous. of long tons.. 616 672 595 763 Pipe and tube do 611 595 814 620 943 Plates ....do. 452 491 505 Rails. _ do 105 293 188 386 2. 716 Sheets, total Z_ZZIIZIIII".clo. 1,812 1,654 1, 866 1, 492 Percent of capacity 69.0 95.5 60.1 65.6 52.7 Strip: Cold rolled do 160 152 125 110 Hot rolled do. 384 292 243 210 776 Structural shapes, heavy . do. 395 561 459 474 374 Tin plate .do 587 422 556 617 Wire and wire products... do..II 745 674 650 2,840 Track work, shipments . short tons.. 4,916 6,481 6,832 2,909 5, 330 4,250 5,402 6,640 5,658 6,819 6, 658 NONFERROUS METALS AND PRODUCTS Metals Aluminum: 58, 826 Imports. bauxite§ long tons 41,060 40, 309 44,805 33,133 43,629 33,660 45,660 40,644 54,801 35, 397 38,288 51, 027 Price, wholesale, scrap, castings (N. Y.) . 0950 dol. perlb.. .0800 .0713 .0713 .0688 .0750 .0702 .0713 .0713 .0950 .0703 . 0688 Babbitt metal (white-base antifriction bearing metal"): Consumption and shipments, total 2, 034 thous. of lb__ 1, 606 1,783 1,749 1,613 1,999 3,133 2, 635 2, 456 1,602 1,380 1 725 1 460 634 Consumed in own plants do 648 531 611 517 741 644 359 629 789 794 338 425 1, 400 Shipments __ZZ~doZ 958 2,392 1,096 1. 252 1 080 1,137 1 101 1,370 1,846 1,661 1,042 1,177 Copper: Exports, refined and manufactures! short tons.. 62, 505 40. 741 27, 364 39,350 25, 503 35,168 35, 696 23 807 45, 840 26, 806 41,049 28,162 36,303 29, 545 22,132 Imports, total § do 21,123 19, 365 23, 248 17,015 16,176 18 551 15, 360 19,937 20, 651 19,040 11, 534 27, 672 For smelting, refining, and export§._.do 21,731 18, 646 18 076 16, 664 21,992 18, 450 15, 582 13,012 17, 451 10. 509 19, 728 18,128 Product of Cuba and Philippine Islands 1,395 short tons.. 156 135 105 100 128 184 146 136 1,364 1,464 180 Allother§ do 478 244 1,072 374 2,342 810 224 979 1,122 459 903 742 Price, wholesale, electrolytic (N. Y.j .1228 dol. p e r l b . . .1103 .1103 .0978 .1026 .1103 .1228 .1027 .1164 Production: Mine or smelter (Incl. custom intake) short tons.. 2 409,072 72, 709 61,752 59, 672 ' 54, 850 69,170 60, 707 62, 548 58, 600 0) 0) 0) 0) 379,841 Refinery _ do 68,071 66, 718 57, 339 61,719 66,316 59, 452 58, 368 68, 536 0) 0) 0) 0) Deliveries, refined, total.. _.IIIIIIdo_.II 536,899 47, 804 55.025 75, 808 54. 827 63, 862 51,577 46. 667 63,894 0) 0) 0) 0) Domestic _ . . . d o . . .2 457,315 38,977 50,803 59, 681 53,573 51,059 42, 484 48. 267 51, 225 0) 0) 0) 0) Export do 2 79,584 8,827 4,222 16,127 3,768 4 1R3 10, 289 3 310 12, 669 0) 0) 0) 0) Stocks, refined, end of month_ do. 159,485 289, 755 301,244 309,119 320,812 332,513 337,155 335,012 316, 543 0) 0) 0) 0) Lead: Imports, total, except manufactures (lead content)! .short t o n s 4,241 13, 257 11,998 3,864 15, 485 10,961 5,179 16, 593 2,762 3,019 4,391 4,063 Ore: Receipts, lead content of domestic ore. do 38, 835 35, 885 37, 654 31, 593 31,748 30,614 33,589 32,300 31, 268 35,063 35, 612 35,936 37,057 4. 234 Shipments, Joplin districtt -do 9,695 6,314 3.926 3,734 4,544 '4,692 '4,104 3,491 3,415 6,355 4,380 4,484 r 2 3 Revised. i Monthly data not available. T o t a l for A u g u s t - D e c e m b e r . End of December. • Data are for 46 identical manufacturers; beginning January 1938 data are available from thereportsof the Bureau of the Census for 26 additional small establishments ^As ^Ported by 21 manufacturers through December 1938; subsequently, 2 of these ceased operations. For 1937 and 1938, data are available from the reports of the Bureau of the Census for 34 additional establishments, and, beginning January 1939, for 80 additional establishments icyuiu, JData for March, May, August, and November 1939 are for 5 weeks; other months, 4 weeks. §Revised series- Data ravised for 1937; see tables 19 and 20, pp. 14 and 15 of the April 1939 Survey. 89 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 1938 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- Decem1938 Supplement to the Survey ber ber 1939 January February March April May June July August September October November METALS AND MANUFACTURES—Continued NONFERROUS METALS AND PRODUCTS—Continued Metals—Continued Lead—C an tinned. Refined: Price, wholesale, pig, desilverized (N. Y.) dol. perlb.. Production from domestic ore. .short tQns.. Shipments (reported) _._do Stocks, end of month ..do Tin: Consumption of primary tin in manufactures long tons.. Deliveries do. Imports. bars, blocks, etc do Price, wholesale, Straits (N. Y.)~dol. per lb__ Visible supply, world, end of mo.f- -long tons.. United States do Zinc: Ore, Joplin districts Shipments short tons- Stocks, end of month do Price, wholesale, prime, western (St. L.) dol. per lb._ Production, slab, at primary smelters short tons.. Retorts in operation, end of mo number.. Shipments, total short tons.. Stocks, refinery, end of mo .do_ Miscellaneous Products Brass and bronze (ingots and billets): Deliveries short tons-. Orders, unfilled, end of month do Plumbing fixtures, brass, shipments thous. of pieces.. Radiators, convection type, sales: Heating elements only, without cabinets or grilles thous. of sq.ft. heating surface . Including heating elements, cabinets, and grilles thous. of sq. ft. heating surfacesSheets, brass, wholesale price, mill dol. per lb.. Wire cloth (brass, bronze, and alloy): Orders, new thous. of sq.ft.. Orders, unfilled, end of month do Shipments do Stocks, end of month .do MACHINERY AND APPARATUS Air-conditioning systems and equipment: Orders, new: Totalf .thous. of dol._ Air-conditioning group do Fan-groupf do Unit-heater group ...do Electric overhead cranes: Orders: New do Unfilled, end of month __do Shipments do Exports, machinery. (See Foreign trade.) Foundry equipment: Orders: New 1922-24 = 100.Unfllled, end of m o n t h . do Shipments do Fuel equipment: Oil burners: Orders: New number.. Unfilled, end of month do Shipments do Stocks, end of month .do Pulverizers, orders, n e w . do Mechanical stokers, sales: Classes l, 2, and 3 do Classes 4 and 5: Number Horsepower. Machine tools, orders, new X av. mo. shipments 1926=100.. P u m p s a n d water systems, domestic, shipments: Pitcher, other hand, and windmill p u m p s units. . Power p u m p s , horizontal type do Water systems, incl. p u m p s do P u m p s , measuring and dispensing, shipments: Gasoline: Hand-operated units.Power _ ..do Oil. grease, and other: Hand-operated do Power _ ...do r Revised. 0. 0550 38,903 66,060 73,963 0. 0550 44, 748 64, 365 58,061 5,900 6,295 4,735 .4876 26, 338 3,613 7, 630 6,570 6,040 5,050 5, 247 4,427 r . 6350 . 5525 38, 206 31,168 3, 536 3,413 7,540 7,870 7,629 .5224 38,035 3,283 26, 248 7, 601 35, 748 9,503 30,285 9,958 41, 663 9,701 .0452 .0472 .0610 36, 734 7, 204 . 0650 42, 302 39, 450 39, 669 40, 960 45,084 43,036 38, 251 38, 763 36, 331 36, 291 35,491 34, 443 45, 291 40, 641 39, 607 37, 284 43,128 49, 928 127,985 130, 380 133,075 135, 241 131, 782 122,814 42,225 37, 729 69, 424 95,615 50,117 43,109 73, 327 72, 405 53, 524 46,867 64,407 61, 522 8,497 13, 459 0.0481 0.0482 0.0478 0. 0475 0.0480 0.0485 0. 0504 36,391 37, 790 36, 704 43, 026 37, 237 34,926 36, 556 34, 421 40,871 40,124 38,710 42, 636 45, 025 37,903 122,112 122,035 123,394 129, 270 129, 636 124,017 117, 985 0. 0550 42, 547 44,881 58, 777 0.0484 30,988 33,908 115,902 0.0483 38,299 40,189 117,214 6,940 11, 366 12,518 .5064 38.280 3; 302 4,330 3,400 3,555 .4618 37, 712 5,157 4,230 4,330 3,971 .4638 39,100 4,624 4,410 4,105 5,097 .4562 40, 035 5,486 5,270 4,755 5,208 .4621 37,788 5,806 5,190 5,980 3,814 .4720 37,224 3,385 5,920 5,905 5,118 .4902 33,715 3,387 5,780 4,925 6,020 .4885 30, 039 4,388 r 5, 240 5,275 6,179 .4852 29, 615 5,339 28,163 13,548 34, 428 12,251 27, 3S9 12, 602 33, 220 8,652 35,189 10, 503 31,049 9,294 .0450 .0450 .0450 .0450 39, 733 7,851 .0450 31,212 6,749 .0450 .0598 .0450 57,941 48,159 53,468 65,995 45,345 38, 793 39, 354 126, 769 5,521 11,436 4,347 11,463 4,926 9,240 4,662 8,161 5,818 14, 571 1, 514 1,218 1,391 1,419 1,505 44,277 39,613 39, 500 39,459 42, 639 39,828 128,407 128,192 4,657 14,037 0.0545 35,086 59,889 97,473 4, 543 12, 688 5,026 11,065 5,035 14, 625 6,006 15, 542 7,539 22, 499 8, 993 17,878 1,554 1,577 1,532 1,721 2,109 1,992 .0650 109 37 26 62 101 591 .193 491 .174 410 .173 418 .173 497 .173 546 .170 717 .165 343 1,593 567 360 752 392 450 505 352 805 404 504 484 853 427 532 347 768 422 549 481 388 478 413 560 750 444 582 468 823 392 624 413 793 439 637 1,270 1,513 547 593 1,178 2,125 564 638 4,493 2,702 980 811 3,211 1,112 871 1,228 3,335 1,741 812 782 2,674 1,205 821 648 4,803 2,865 1,073 864 4,527 3,014 955 558 4,979 3,193 1,318 468 5,931 3,901 1,509 521 4,691 2,818 1,327 546 4,657 2,631 1,336 5,743 3,328 1,422 6,121 3,322 1,387 1,412 414 2, 368 435 377 1,171 257 168 1,173 166 201 1,131 244 284 993 270 823 1,504 312 438 1,755 174 274 1,813 215 383 1,917 844 2,414 347 434 2,474 375 569 2,665 378 445 2,390 719 165. 3 222.4 200.1 141.9 126.0 102.8 122.5 151.4 96.3 135.5 175.1 112.2 146.6 193.6 128.1 146.2 208.6 131.0 108.9 173.1 144.3 134.9 159.2 148.5 114.0 135.6 135 5 131.6 123.1 143.8 184.4 174.9 132.6 220.6 224.7 170.7 ' 203. 6 ' 257. 8 170.1 12, 566 2,905 13, 300 16, 764 6 8,435 2,155 8,824 21.326 19 9,616 3,033 8,738 21,885 16 7,981 3,340 7,674 22, 850 10 11, 806 4,475 10, 671 21. 790 33 11,346 5,181 10, 640 21, 619 15,284 5,456 15, 009 20, 214 23 17,901 6,451 16,906 19, 947 17 17,838 6,952 17, 337 18,854 11 22, 748 5, 040 24, 660 19, 642 14 36, 279 5,967 35,352 16,460 33, 657 4,966 34, 658 16, 675 18,758 3,639 20,085 18,165 "•45 4,762 4,752 r 2, 426 r 3,733 '3,473 r 5, 078 ' 7, 676 ' 9, 335 14,833 207 39, 038 219 40,117 189 34,909 186 168 34, 811 164 32,540 215 49, 255 267 56, 419 146.5 150.8 167.1 185.4 155.6 219.8 29,441 976 13, 389 24, 889 865 10, 402 41,191 464 14, 738 31, 485 740 14, 259 42, 693 732 16, 222 38,468 1,463 16,889 612 8,693 649 7,652 740 5,858 1,005 6,158 1,582 8,878 0) 14,417 1,349 r 3,415 138 125 68 105 80 94 814 .165 657 .167 787 .168 986 .183 891 .190 870 .191 1,829 616 612 ' 20,161 • 18, 040 439 86, 714 r r r 4,954 2,498 1,310 1,146 8,225 211.6 279 51, 673 230.9 206.5 (0 44,216 731 20,773 55,048 953 23,067 52,336 964 19,029 52, 897 1,138 19, 890 47, 439 860 18, 452 43,908 949 17, 444 35,961 792 16,993 1,346 9,637 1,601 12,017 1,129 11,430 875 9,419 736 9,275 962 7,624 768 8,611 741 8,751 11,982 13,078 13,919 10,297 10,708 2,071 2,981 4,305 3,544 1,480 1 Discontinued by reporting source. 17,085 3,332 15, 612 3,186 14,053 2,011 12,468 2,449 12,554 2,703 14, 785 r 2,384 1,914 376 63, 264 0) 51, 735 0) tRevised series. Data for "driving mechanisms for general fan u s e " have been removed from the fan group beginning J a n u a r y 1936. Revisions not shown on p . 50 of t h e M a y 1939 issue will appear in a subsequent issue. Beginning January 1939. data on air-conditioning systems and equipment are available for from 252 to 267 manufacturers; figures shown here are for 125 of these whose orders in J a n u a r y 1939 amounted to more than R5 percent of the total for 252 manufacturers. World visible supply of tin revised beginning January 1935 to include stocks of refined tin at all European smelters; data not shown on p . 50 of the November 1939 survey will appear in a subsequent issue. I D a t a for March, M a y , August, and November 1939 are for 5 weeks; other months, 4 weeks. | A new series based on the operations of manufacturers accounting for about 60 percent of the total dollar sales of machine tools has been compiled beginning January 1939. Available data are as follows (percent of capacity): Jan., 52.5; Feb., 56.1; M a r . 58.7; Apr. 61.2; M a y , 63.6; June, 65.5; July 65.8; Aug. 72.6; Sept., 74.6; Oct. 84.9; Nov., 91.2; and 90 SUEVEY OF CUEKENT BUSINESS Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 1938 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- Decem1938 Supplement to the Survey ber ber February 1940 1939 January February March April May June July SepAugust tember October November METALS AND MANUFACTURES—Continued MACHINERY AND APPARATUS—Con. Pumps, steam, power, centrifugal, and rotary: Orders, new thous. of dol.. Water-softening apparatus: Shipments, domestic units.. Woodworking machinery: Orders: Canceled thous. of dol_. New.... do Unfilled, end of month.... do Shipments: Quantity number of machines.. Value thous. of dol. ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT Battery sales (replacement only) :• Unadjusted. __ 1934-36=100. Adjusted do Electrical products:* Industrial materials, sales billed...1936=100. Motors and generators, orders received-do Transmission and distribution equipment, orders received 1936=100. Furnaces, electric, industrial, sales: Unit. kilowatts. Value thous. of dol. Electrical goods, new orders (quarterly) thous. of dolIroning machines, sales* units. Laminated products, shipments..thous. of dol Motors (1-200 hp.): Billings (shipments): A. O... do.._ D. C .do.... Orders, new: A. O do... D. C do._Power cable, paper insulated, shipments: Unit thous. of ft. Value. thous. of dol. Power switching equipment, new orders: Indoor dollarsOutdoor-. do._. Ranges, billed sales thous. of dol. Refrigerators, household, sales number. Vacuum cleaners, shipments: Floor _ do... Hand-type. _ do... Vulcanized fiber: Consumption offiberpaper thous. of lb. Shfpmentsf ..thous. of dol. Washing machines, sales* units. 1,049 1,155 1,204 1,282 1,258 1,230 1,236 1,673 1,090 1,585 1,469 1,809 1, 339 1,201 1,077 1,108 1,082 1,698 1,122 1,217 1,282 1,306 1,236 1,512 1,450 1, 481 518 1,364 4 612 910 13 363 863 14 410 1 445 484 ) 417 905 5 438 29 432 948 5 620 1,145 1 571 1, 206 261 492 236 418 190 397 216 422 209 384 152 360 216 510 224 411 157 357 269 435 218 418 2S8 599 232 505 149 132 100 127 78 122 73 121 72 132 84 151 111 163 133 139 176 132 239 154 219 129 165 118 79.2 72.1 79.6 69.2 79.2 67.8 90.8 99.3 80.5 77.5 84.1 77.5 78.2 76.0 91.6 94.3 98.5 116.4 123.0 87.8 132. 0 125. 1 5 393 923 C) 136.5 79.4 81.0 108.3 129.1 103.0 117.2 102.0 121.2 108.8 9,587 480 2,356 110 3,147 195 1,235 4,681 215 1,934 161 2,789 194 3,228 213 1,332 97 1,921 182 3,279 291 254, 302 11,854 1,306 160, 374 9,210 876 8,208 838 8,016 812 9,047 830 8,433 205, 567 7,216 901 7,741 805 11, 386 906 212, 001 10, 565 1,019 11,161 1, 298 9 990 1,348 3, 103 797 1,713 446 1,436 330 2,050 557 534 2,053 519 2,410 574 2, 053 538 2,398 524 2, 361 474 2, 535 449 2, 730 677 3,472 1,867 1,733 659 1,574 540 1,762 404 2,356 739 2,062 546 2,319 428 2,504 549 2,128 406 2,595 569 2,725 1,102 3,151 1,403 3,276 1,047 655 731 476 502 271 273 353 312 637 662 700 566 674 652 718 716 773 783 676 781 1, 074 824 752 656 64,153 272, 658 1,019 v 93, 056 91, 720 138,840 1,006 47, 599 51,124 109, 799 2,230 150,108 47,458 223, 286 2,103 198, 528 87, 019 197,175 2,263 251, 644 75,161 279, 093 1,939 260, 204 92, 347 346, 530 2,395 273, 966 217,846 2,025 268, 848 90, 302 283,614 1,428 164, 211 67, 963 259, 436 1,799 94, 734 71, 449 240, 535 1,891 73,149 88, 485 321,761 1,714 62, 055 126, 480 355,056 1, 442 55,113 118, 730 36, 471 95, 521 30, 632 78, 753 23, 846 87,140 25,182 122, 785 29, 470 100, 487 24,539 91, 055 23, 322 80, 660 19,014 61, 492 15,197 74, 333 22, 268 93, 851 26,857 106, 539 31, 362 108.338 32, 728 2, 492 854 77, 270 1,385 383 67, 502 1,410 458 109,909 1,561 470 129, 885 2,070 528 152, 725 1,575 466 116,199 1,749 458 105, 266 1,735 441 120,076 1,725 437 104, 817 1,971 528 132, 297 2,284 548 138,992 2,722 660 142, 830 2,594 748 102, 990 197, 654 11, 607 159. 8 6,103 438 4,153 368 PAPER AND PRINTING WOOD PULP Consumption and shipments:* Total, all grades ..short tons.. 652, 336 539,061 499,076 484, 507 546, 949 527, 307 524, 391 502,887 495,390 553, 653 594, 710 659, 794 •656, 073 Chemical: 275,080 211, 884 196, 419 199, 931 228, 680 221,196 204, 220 202,204 208,187 235, 709 240, 011 270,749 266, 207 Sulphate.. ._ do 198,883 174, 546 145, 040 136, 667 156,107 148, 801 152,108 146, 993 143,487 154,174 187, 725 207, 517 "207, 813 Sulphite, total do 91, 428 96, 894 119,799 131,641 131,003 93, 498 94, 398 91,164 97,156 85,120 125,082 115, 442 89,511 Bleached do 76,810 57, 280 67, 926 75,876 73, 801 59,104 55, 529 51, 547 58, 951 55, 303 57, 710 55, 829 52,059 Unbleached do 28, 303 32, 961 36, 216 42, 705 42, 928 32,946 34, 705 44,183 30,031 33, 713 31, 996 32, 643 31, 526 Soda ..do 134,190 120, 635 124,974 116, 383 127, 457 124,364 134, 350 123, 659 115, 413 130,809 130, 758 138, 823 139,125 Groundwood do Imports: Chemical §. do... 204,993 171. 520 150, 510 103, 504 117, 800 78, 534 140,131 152, 719 137,431 130, 920 136,843 194,615 249,886 9,867 7,312 30, 465 17, 366 20,076 17, 326 Groundwood§._ ..do 21, 527 22,163 18, 562 17, 403 19, 694 19, 649 23,574 Production: '648, 375 648,929 472,095 535, 230 554,607 507,857 484, 605 535,149 653, 790 543, 411 522, 220 533, 442 521, 590 Total, all grades do Chemical: 270, 742 212,884 207, 259 200,502 228, 632 212, 559 201,123 201, 364 206,479 233,197 233,789 208, 672 265,018 Sulphate do 198,539 152, 498 158,913 132, 662 149, 019 142, 401 161, 601 153, 526 132,460 158, 341 171,094 205, 701 '207, 341 Sulphite, total do 82, 527 97, 283 109, 200 130, 265 131, 581 125,173 88, 250 103, 464 97,308 95, 845 100. 337 79, 698 92,729 Bleached. do 75, 436 75, 700 58,137 61, 058 61,894 73, 366 56, 653 58, 576 52, 964 56, 290 54,151 56, 218 49,933 Unbleached do 26,846 44,183 33, 013 36, 234 42,136 42, 841 31,917 Soda do 32, 255 31, 075 34, 561 32, 768 34, 748 31,164 140, 326 124, 921 135, 015 120, 366 131,199 133,862 137, 677 121, 803 106, 310 110, 679 113, 490 132, 420 133,175 Groundwood do Stocks, end of month: 125,168 183,161 217, 526 217, 624 214,085 208, 369 219,127 224, 097 200, 803 182, 379 142,276 131,411 123,714 Total, all grades do Chemical: 22,998 21 809 17, 471 36,728 48,091 39, 454 36, 357 35, 517 33, 809 31, 297 25,075 47, 568 48,139 Sulphate do 79,304 ' 78, 832 93, 584 97, 751 81,120 78, 488 92, 205 106. 078 102,073 94, 985 88, 585 98, 078 104,611 Sulphite, total _ do 58,990 59, 379 48, 780 47, 404 47, 982 48, 073 56, 952 67, 778 62, 356 57, 929 52, 681 61, 747 67,891 Bleached... do Unbleached do... 30, 415 35, 253 38,300 39, 717 37, 056 35, 904 36, 331 36, 720 34, 594 38, 372 32, 340 31, 900 30, 850 4,445 3, 790 4,376 4,427 3,876 3,664 5,832 3, 790 4,699 4,826 3,842 3,986 4,437 Soda do 31, 636 25.233 19, 283 69,034 76, 666 79, 993 78,137 48,904 25, 419 49, 402 59. 443 63, 426 67,168 Groundwood ..do._ 2.13 2. 28 1.95 1.95 1.95 2.28 1.95 1.95 2.51 1.95 2.00 2.00 2.00 Price, sulphite, unbleached dol. per 100 lb_. PAPER Total paper: t Paper, incl. newsprint and paperboard: Production short tons.. 1,028,975 r 848, 764 843, 523 872, 883 1,035,675 912,204 959,841 898,307 861,310 1,046,459 1,027,542 1,151,014 1,177,111 Paper, excl. newsprint and paperboard: t Orders, new... short tons.. 445, 883 437,128 »• 436, 842 467, 624 542, 328 436,418 477,034 454,900 429,745 535, 601 737,095 •570, 453 523, 212 522, 033 r 443, 728 k 442, 805 403,212 534,170 461,887 498,197 441,236 419,773 523,233 504, 846 '566, 060 617, 051 Production do 523,128 441,194 j r 445, 020 459, 080 541, 722 447, 565 479,108 449,987 437,246 519, 276 532, 220 '576, 854 622, 383 Shipments do ' Revised. • Less than $500. •Pulp used in the producing mills and shipments to the market. p Preliminary. *New series. Data on battery sales beginning 1934 appear in table 35, p. 17 of the August 1939 issue. Sales of washing machines and ironers beginning 1929 appear in table 43, p. 17 of the October 1939 issue. For data on electrical products beginning 1934, see table 32, p. 18, of the June 1939 Survey; data are furnished by both member and nonmeraber companies rather than member companies alone as therein stated. ^Revised series. Data revised for 1937; see table 20, p. 15 of the April 1939 Survey. tRevised series. Data on vulcanizedfibreshipments revised beginning 1934; data not shown on p. 51 of the January 1939 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. Data on total paper production, and paper, excluding newsprint and paperboard, production, shipments and stocks, revised beginning January 1937; data not shown above will appear in a subsequent issue. February 1940 91 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 1938 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- Decem1938 Supplement to the Survey ber ber 1939 January February March April May June July August NovemSeptember October ber PAPER AND PRINTING—Continued PAPER— Continued Book paper:f Coated paper: Orders, new _ _ short tons.. Orders, unfilled, end of month do Production do Percent of potential capacity Shipments short tons.. Stocks, end of month do Uncoated paper: Orders, new do Orders, unfilled, end of month do Price, wholesale, " B " grade, English finish, white, f. o. b. mills_dol. per 100 lb.. Production short tons.. Percent of potential capacity Shipments short tons.. Stocks, end of month ...do Fine paper :J Orders, new do Orders, unfilled, end of month.. do.... Production. .do Shipments _ do Stocks, end of month... do Wrapping paper:! Orders, new _. do Orders, unfilled, end of m o n t h . . do Production do Shipments do.... Stocks, end of month do Newsprint: Canada: Exports ....do.... Production ...do Shipments from mills do Stocks, at mills, end of month do United States: Consumption by publishers do Imports^... do Price, wholesale, rolls, contract, destination (N. Y. basis).__dol. per short ton.. Production short tons.. Shipments from mills do Stocks, end of month: At mills do.... At publishers! do In transit to publishers! do Paperboard: Consumption, waste paper do Orders, new do Orders, unfilled, end of month do Production do Percent of capacity _. Stocks of waste paper, end of month: At mills... short tons.. 14,532 4,154 20,938 80.9 20,898 16,151 15, 769 2,714 17,096 62.6 17, 563 12, 776 16,961 3,071 16,845 63.3 17,319 12,070 17,911 3,552 17, 796 71.6 17,642 12,472 19,553 4,060 20,028 71.7 19,919 12,581 16,305 3,238 17,754 68.6 17,902 12,433 17,126 2,861 18, 579 66.5 17, 409 13,762 17, 276 3,090 15, 634 64.9 15, 771 15,139 15, 744 3,647 14,306 55.9 15,097 14, 211 15, 559 3,695 17, 737 69.9 16, 287 14, 971 33,887 12,862 19,401 75.0 20, 328 13,807 23, 872 12,813 24, 343 91.4 24, 291 13, 848 15, 553 8,687 23,853 91.3 22, 279 15, 850 100, 845 61, 368 86,840 34,958 94,160 40,314 88,218 36,931 102,810 38,053 92, 712 39,252 83, 692 28,179 89,681 32, 755 79, 210 30, 324 107,028 41, 701 149,857 77, 330 125, 511 85, 832 98, 727 69,634 5. 89 5.45 108,993 85, 779 92.2 68.7 86,076 109,197 « 50, 706 109,604 5.45 89,642 72.5 91, 667 107,518 5.45 90,589 81.1 89, 377 107,602 5.45 102,788 79.9 104,196 106, 435 5.45 90,289 77.7 5.45 5.45 5.45 98,180 101,148 79,345 85.8 78.7 68.8 9fi, 337 108,744 82, 516 a a 57,770 • 59, 839 50,209 5.65 118,967 97.9 119,489 "49, 399 5.70 114,507 94.6 114,319 «49, 725 ' 48, 207 ' 33,882 12,280 ' 14,928 ' 44, 541 »" 37,991 ' 45, 671 36,935 ' 57, 527 ' 59, 443 37,294 9,523 43,043 41,166 61. 504 31, 538 8,796 33,491 32, 216 62, 669 30, 967 10,827 29,342 29,691 60,539 74,053 41,103 40,941 42, 303 59, 739 44, 731 40, 802 44,410 46, 355 57, 752 42, 954 ' 28, 444 ' 56, 091 ' 54, 992 ' 58,878 106,381 5.45 5.45 96,088 87,953 77.4 73.9 89,393 84,862 • 58,282 • 60,981 32, 070 22, 011 41,179 38, 949 61,110 32,750 12,692 37,813 35,158 74,378 34,611 11,864 r 35, 833 35,803 ' 57, 739 ' 34, 896 ' 11,748 ' 36,427 ' 35, 517 ' 58, 655 159, 471 100, 428 173, 703 176, 871 91, 219 142, 220 68,956 151,076 149,033 126, 365 148, 562 64, 300 151, 374 149,088 126,551 163, 622 71,599 161, 510 159, 334 129,835 186,433 62, 718 194,280 195, 555 126,936 145, 740 58,629 159,353 152,265 132,148 186, 710 64, 050 184, 727 180, 344 136, 617 146,404 64,100 140,193 147,601 128,990 140,746 59, 354 135,976 142,166 115, 283 195, 375 265,252 67, 038 151,552 187, 921 169,259 191,030 178,678 112, 542 111,603 191, 250 154, 647 185, 944 191,002 106, 970 •199,841 p 117,910 '227, 446 '237, 551 '95,174 255, 259 240,656 264, 620 169, 502 211,452 209, 753 225,472 161,438 193,624 208,382 201,852 167,968 152,437 200,631 178, 236 190,363 217,651 220,648 205,099 205,912 162,352 220,843 214,255 212,500 244, 250, 274, 187, 400 015 635 880 244,655 240, 545 232,261 196,164 200,174 235, 487 228,163 227, 630 236,975 253, 230 221, 743 224, 367 267,005 202, 051 214, 659 200,884 270, 493 280, 985 289,260 192, 609 253, 997 288,726 287, 869 193, 466 193,076 230, 094 177,134 209, 782 160,916 183,050 153,346 144,308 174,096 189,360 179,542 209,597 178, 543 250, 668 170,980 216, 580 172,861 201, 991 159, 647 195, 644 177,078 250,005 195, 510 282, 581 181,259 261, 667 50.00 77, 836 78, 283 50.00 75, 855 77,974 50.00 77,264 72,967 50.00 70,868 71,926 50.00 79,929 81,616 60.00 77,393 77,463 50.00 85, 872 84, 443 50.00 80, 562 84,628 50.00 74,932 75,354 50.00 80,000 79,060 50.00 77,309 78, 559 50. 00 78, 591 79, 364 50. 00 78, 886 81,410 12, 952 21,822 18, 583 22,880 20,135 284, 283 "284, 471 267,155 251,041 223,469 43, 948 30,677 ' 36, 897 r 13, 623 32, 580 20,065 206, 744 37,253 21,494 229,142 39, 251 17, 428 231,165 47, 737 16,696 17,946 17, 006 252,652 •277,624 •283,315 43,459 ' 41,484 r47,815 283, 228 393,123 173, 212 429,106 72.6 221,768 334,711 94,411 329,181 60.1 233,311 342, 408 109,099 323,394 61.2 247,710 338,030 112,801 338,803 67.8 292,474 429, 545 124, 420 421,576 73.4 262,918 347, 575 97, 340 372,984 69.1 264, 348 372,893 93,643 375, 772 64.2 259,996 383, 371 95,058 376, 509 66.6 255,830 314,316 382, 682 454,817 108, 427 119, 502 366, 605 443, 226 72.4 63.9 320,073 628,272 290,467 445,387 75.5 365, 396 497, 834 285, 935 506, 466 85.6 339, 335 414, 224 204, 800 482,808 81.8 247,393 290,648 282,095 262,344 248,595 255,354 259, 423 255, 677 257,889 246,219 214,352 218, 649 215,850 74, 389 62,309 81, 867 77,477 85,778 85,267 80,246 80,115 76,903 86, 401 94,993 102,186 87, 504 2, 552 2,370 183 2,239 2,081 158 2,222 2,075 146 2,304 2,145 159 2,827 2,640 187 2,395 2,218 177 2,627 2,430 197 2,624 2,388 236 2,444 2,242 202 2,635 2,911 276 2,815 3,059 244 3,414 3,171 243 2,997 2,820 177 Book publications, total. no. of editions.. 952 New books do 819 New editions _IIIIIIdo—I! 133 Continuous form stationery, new orders thous. of sets.. 134,664 Operations (productive activity) 1923=100.. Sales books, new orders -thous. of books.. "157596 1,118 961 157 659 602 57 876 691 185 945 803 142 1,222 1,043 179 835 708 127 636 537 129 746 ••619 127 1,204 966 238 882 772 110 885 786 99 125, 811 89 14, 788 111,211 87 15, 998 107, 557 92 16, 286 128, 508 86 16, 889 108, 597 87 16,041 116,935 84 16, 498 128,583 81 16,466 112,194 76 16, 549 126, 552 78 17,414 137,299 78 18,947 162,230 77 20,284 144, 291 82 19,387 40, 831 10, 470 43,122 42,448 61,132 13,399 15,923 285,333 '295, 675 50,073 ' 50, 704 r PAPER PRODUCTS Coated abrasive paper and cloth: Shipments ..reams.. Paperboard shipping boxes: Shipments, total mil. of sq. ft.. Corrugated. ._ do Solid fiber „ do PRINTING RUBBER AND PRODUCTS CRUDE AND SCRAP RUBBER Crude: Consumption, total long tons.. 48,428 48,143 46,234 42,365 50,165 44,166 50,150 44, 377 55, 764 50, 481 54, 322 47,259 102. 646 For tires and tubes (quarterly) do _. 92,021 99,039 ' 96,033 Imports, total, including latexf do 71, 395 ' 37, 451 ' 37, 082 r 31, 038 ' 45, 725 ' 32, 031 '"45," 886" ' 34, 363 ' 37, 372 "'"38," 586' ' 37, 642 "'"45~622~ '"42," 586 .199 .213 .164 .165 .167 .202 .166 Price, smoked sheets (N. Y.) dol. per lb_. . 200 .163 .158 .159 .16?. . 159 Shipments, worldt —long tons.. 88,000 '57,643 r 87, 243 '"77,473 ' 76, 932 r 73, 742 «• 70, 750 ' 64, 298 ' 84, 378 92,000 ' 88, 000 a 15, ooo 86, 000 Stock3, world, end of month. do 391,000 483.000 498,000 480,000 461,000 438,000 430,000 408,000 419.000 397,000 397,000 •413,000 395, 000 96,000 Afloat, total d o . . . . 152,000 80,000 105,000 106,000 102,000 99,000 88,000 105, 000 120,000 134, 000 173, 000 171, 000 68, 310 100, 500 114, 044 66, 717 54,046 52, 990 For United States d o . . . . 91,095 45,105 48,210 55,814 55,981 57,918 51, 274 44,917 66,020 39, 359 ' 37, 000 37, 000 57. 234 London and Liverpool do 31,000 86,853 80,643 75,517 72,235 68,931 63,878 71,195 74,308 76,228 69,139 British Malaya . . . d o . . . - 70,214 84,499 90,142 87,968 81,274 77,683 83, 010 75, 419 71, 662 United States-.... . d o . . . . 138,020 231,500 221,880 210,093 205,214 192,638 193, 651 180,343 173, 395 161, 233 147,280 '131,251 118, 407 Reclaimed rubber: 16,953 Consumption d o . . . . 15,575 13,096 13,000 12,626 15,322 13,391 18,955 18,006 16,846 13, 517 14.870 13, 542 Production do 19,249 15,899 13,763 13,093 14,528 14,527 17,990 20,896 20. 755 17, 214 14, 769 12, 588 15.871 Stocks, end of month d o . . . . 25,427 23,000 21,960 21,390 19,955 22,628 21,185 21, 829 22, 362 21,339 20, 645 22, 771 23,058 Scrap rubber: 38,321 34,204 Consumption by reclaimers (quar.) do 36,248 _ 36,496 ' Revised. §Data revised for 1937: see table 20, p. 15 of the April 1939 Survey. •Change in inventory due to physical check-up. Figures prior to May 1939 not comparable with later data. fRevised series. For book paper, see note marked with a "f" on p. 51 of the July 1939 Survey. Stocks of newsprint at publishers, and in transit to publishers, revised for 1937 and 1938; revisions not shown on p. 52 of the April 1939 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. Crude rubber imports revised beginning 1913 to include guayule rubber. Revisions not shown above will appear in a subsequent issue. World shipments of rubber revisec ' - - - Revisions - - . . ... appear ;ed beginning January 1938. not. shown above will Digitized in fora FRASER subsequent issue. t Data on fine paper, 1938, and wrapping paper 1935, have been revised and will be shown in a subsequent issue. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 92 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 1938 Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- December ber 1938 Supplement to the Survey February 1940 1939 January February March April May June July August September October November RUBBER AND PRODUCTS—Continued TIEES AND TUBES Pneumatic casingsif Production . . thousands Shipments, total do Original equipment* . do Replacement equipment* do Exports* do Stocks, end of month do Inner tubes:f Production do Shipments, total do Exports* _. do _. Stocks, end of month do Raw material consumed: Crude rubber. (See Crude rubber.) Fabrics (quarterly) thous of lb 4,479 4,740 2,618 1,987 135 8,688 '4,814 ' 4, 282 1,707 ' 2, 349 99 8,451 4,581 4,163 1,685 2,397 81 8,932 4,344 3,739 1,472 2,156 111 9,573 5,137 4,583 1,747 2,723 113 10,109 4,211 4,356 1,529 2,719 108 9,998 4,418 4,753 1,415 3,239 100 9,919 4,870 5,750 1,370 4,267 113 8,909 4,510 5,056 809 1,162 85 8,300 5,492 4,919 611 4,205 103 8,891 5,007 5,621 1,249 4,227 146 8,364 5, 431 5,188 1,805 3, 237 146 8,657 4,867 4,244 1,823 2,273 148 9,244 3,824 4,443 92 7,174 4.351 3,859 55 8,166 4,098 3,936 71 8,069 3,681 3, 335 65 8,415 4,470 4,015 74 8,901 3,841 3,927 82 8,837 3,848 4,154 67 8,840 4,320 5,123 66 8,044 4,043 4,285 62 7,819 4,918 4,432 65 8,238 4, 512 5,025 98 7,846 5, 073 5,012 108 7,717 4,513 3,940 127 8,214 5,332 5,916 14,619 6,049 5,473 15,195 ' 62,969 58, 376 ' 62, 737 67,877 RUBBER AND CANVAS FOOTWEAR Production, total thous. of pairs.. Shipments, total .. _. ._ do... Stocks, total, end of month do 5,376 4,185 16, 388 5,523 5.035 16. 183 4,807 4,778 16,157 4,953 4,629 16, 582 5,897 5,214 17, 281 5,216 4,414 18,083 5,033 4,017 19,055 4,866 4,192 19, 729 3,280 4,894 18, 115 5,090 6,213 16, 956 4,713 6,452 15, 218 STONE, CLAY, AND GLASS PRODUCTS PORTLAND CEMENT Price, wholesale, composite Production _._ Percent of capacity Shipments Stocks, finished, end of month Stocks, clinker, end of month __dol. per bbl_. thous. of bbl_. thous. of bbl_. _ do do 9,488 43.3 6,772 23, 495 5,122 1.667 8, 066 36.9 6.290 23 947 ' 5, 286 1.667 5,301 24.3 5,640 23.611 5,563 1.667 5.505 27.9 5,044 24,092 5,986 1,043 877 355 953 891 219 831 795 255 728 673 321 12.080 12. 046 133,184 478, 260 12. 023 101,056 476, 359 12.024 95, 920 455, 859 12. 059 12.032 ! 12.026 I 12.077 | 12.118 166,380 178,903 I 209.716 I 199 945 177,165 397,838 I 374,572 j 351,155 | 361,264 393,393 37. 307 283,017 34, 499 292, 565 28, 785 300, 546 57,624 I 62.982 i 79,349 I 69,489 290,906 ! 277,291 256,825 252,395 3,261 956 3,549 3,562 959 4, 969 1, 285 7, 191 48, 127 4,276 48, 763 2,007 48, 585 3,994 47, 336 46,815 347. 147 50, 024 342, 408 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) 9,674 45.7 9,654 23, 837 6,568 11,185 50.9 12, 748 22, 251 5,728 11,953 56.5 12, 715 21,477 5,797 (0 8,171 37.4 8,467 23, 786 6,447 12, 644 57.9 11, 755 22, 361 5,928 12, 369 56.6 13, 401 21, 327 5,727 11,937 56.3 13,104 20,160 5,254 12, 539 57.2 12, 829 ' 19,870 4,854 583 552 374 762 792 377 814 819 382 1,027 908 1,168 1,213 376 1,148 1,160 397 1,282 1,215 369 1,022 958 375 12. 038 ' 12. 036 12. 043 189, 287 167, 348 ' 183, 201 416, 302 451,390 •466,150 12.0S3 167,335 468, 479 62, 527 ' 64, 278 241, 785 •236,784 54,108 243, 484 ' 5, 662 1,506 5.021 1, 360 8,149 ' 8, 947 43, 719 r 42,192 5,885 42, 261 0) 11,053 52.1 " 10,147 " 20, 779 ' 4, 824 CLAY PRODUCTS Bathroom accessories: Production thous. of pieces.. Shipments _ ..do Stocks, end of month do Common brick: Price, wholesale, composite, f. o. b. plant dol. per thous.. Shipments thous. of brick.. Stocks, end of month do Face brick: Shipments do Stocks, end of month do Floor and wall tile shipments:* Quantity thous. of sq. ft.. Value thous. of dol.. Vitrified paving brick: Shipments thous. of brick... Stocks, end of month do Hollow building tile: Shipments short tons.. Stocks, end of month do 806 720 350 I 4, 639 1, 208 62, 658 248, 673 66,906 245, 967 4,737 1,282 5,169 1,423 5,028 1,359 6,331 1,663 3,612 45, 761 6,647 43, 002 6,844 44,079 6,386 44, 214 9,038 44, 169 72, 546 81,994 43, 643 348, 792 340,348 | 327,847 105,173 307,810 96, 288 306, 435 4,516 69.7 4,485 8,293 4,662 72.0 4,618 8,209 () (02 (8) () ' 11, 790 I 7,268 (») (») (•) (2) 8,036 9,289 6,212 10, 450 13, 663 740 45.6 729 44.8 720 44.3 690 42.6 867 53.4 914 56.2 5,587 1,500 95,180 107, 771 305, 242 319, 464 90,184 316, 376 89, 700 324, 886 87, 280 336, 856 4,802 71. A 4,766 8,548 4,250 68.3 4,979 7,739 4, 891 75.5 4,471 8,061 4,300 69.1 3,884 8,374 18,369 j 15,812 1,121 69.1 1,143 70. 5 GLASS PRODUCTS Glass containers: f Production thous. of gross.. Percent of capacity Shipments thous. of gross Stocks, end of month do._. Illuminating glassware: Shipments, total.. thous. of doL Residential do... Commercial do... Miscellaneous do_.Plate glass, polished, production.thous. of sq. ft. Window glass: Production thous. of boxes.. Percent of capacity 3,519 58.8 3,046 8,130 3,585 r 55.4 3,464 8,179 18, 477 443 227 125 91 12, 691 443 217 130 97 12, 209 357 185 107 65 10,165 1,189 73.2 1,003 61.7 943 58.1 809 49.8 530,089 813,129 247, 673 683. 127 534. 415 4, 04G 65.0 3,114 9,237 () 3.386 56.6 3,320 8,192 r 4.125 I 4,071 -61.3 ; 65.4 3,931 3,978 8, 316 8, 336 396 201 ! 116 ; 79 912 56.1 4,593 '73.8 4,158 8,572 () () GYPSUM AND PRODUCTS Crude: Imports ._ ..short tons_ Production do... Calcined production do._. Gypsum products sold or used: Uncalcined do... Calcined: Lath thous. of sq. ft_ Wallboard „ do... Keene's cement short tons All building plasters.. do For manufacturing uses do... Tile thous. of sq. ft.. 40,423 541,183 533, 440 291,810 845, 524 773, 634 445, 756 995, 760 840, 245 230, 207 192, 931 139, 248 244,163 286, 391 290.358 98, 887 5,955 394, 592 30. 898 7,335 214, 151 89. 678 4,884 333 730 36. 517 4.885 207,418 95,981 5,506 331, 702 26, 233 5,228 297,267 113, 721 7,781 486,494 25, 515 8,581 342,060 102,400 7,949 533,790 28, 219 9,026 ' Revised. Discontinued by compilers; data on an index basis appear on p. 59. * Discontinued by reporting source. •New series. For data on floor and wall tile beginning 1935, see table 31, p. 18 of the June 1939 Survey. For the new series on pneumatic casings and inner tubes see tables 27 and 28, pp. 16-18 of the May 1939 Survey. tRevised series. Data for pneumatic casings and inner tubes revised for 1936. 1937. and 1938- sep tables 27 and 28. pp. 16-18 of the May 1939 Survey. Data for glass containers revised beginning 1936; revisions not shown in this issue or on p. 53 of the January 1940 Survey will appear in the 1940 Supplement. The changes are generally minor. 1 Monthly statistics through December 1937, together with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the 1938 Supplement to the Survey 93 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 1939 1938 December December 1939 January February March April May June July August Se P t e e r m - October rovernber TEXTILE PRODUCTS CLOTHING Hosiery: Production thous. of dozen pairs. Shipments _.___do___ Stocks, end of month do 10,411 10, 259 24, G58 10, 863 iO, 641 20,217 11, 235 10, 211 21, 301 11, 374 10,535 22, 201 13,198 13,142 22,317 11,024 10, 577 22,823 11. 796 10,891 23, 789 11,218 10,294 24,773 9,819 9,483 • 25,133 12, 448 12,924 24, 681 •11,977 12,820 23, 861 13,194 13,156 ' 23,923 12, 9^7 12,451 24, 482 652, 695 Consumption 807 Exports (excluding linters)§ thous. of bales.. 10 Imports (excluding linters)§. do .097 Prices received by farmers dol. per lb__ .110 Price, wholesale, middling (New York)..do Production: 11,276 Ginnings (running bales)* thous. of bales.. * 11, 792 Crop estimate, equivalent 500-lb. bales..do 1,548 Movement into sight do 0) Stocks, world, end of month* do American cotton do 18,106 In the United States _.do 1, 741 On farms and in transit do 14, 554 Warehouses do 1,811 Mills do.... In foreign countries __.do— (0 Foreign cotton__ _ do 565,627 368 11 .082 .087 598,132 290 12 .083 562,580 264 8 .082 .090 649,940 330 10 .083 .090 543,187 178 13 606,090 143 14 .085 578,436 114 12 .087 521, 353 107 16 .088 .097 28, 448 219 13 .087 .094 624,902 649 10 .091 .093 686, 936 886 14 .087 .093 718, 721 584 11 .088 .098 11,412 11,944 892 38, 331 20, 605 18, 286 1,319 15, 302 1,665 2,319 17, 726 11, 553 137 1,402 6,687 10,085 11,112 328 23, 723 14,826 13,487 595 11, 920 972 1,339 8,897 565 21,462 14, 030 12, 956 550 11, 591 815 1,074 7,432 870 2,761 3,093 2,288 0) 0) 0) 0) 22,327 ' 7, 280 14,176 '871 20,851 ' 3, 918 15. 468 '1,465 (^ 0) COTTON 0) • 11,623 19, 626 17,399 1,085 14,721 1,593 2,227 16, 272 418 33, 567 18, 713 16, 570 949 14,101 1,520 2,143 14, 854 428 31,005 17, 670 15, 626 803 13, 446 1,377 2,044 13, 335 28, 656 16, 766 14, 921 718 12, 948 1,255 1,845 11,890 296 26,155 15, 772 14,171 646 12, 393 1,132 1,601 10, 383 28, 634 6,188 20, 768 8,534 27, 618 9,210 33,135 10,108 29, 726 6,566 23,980 5,581 26, 982 7,151 28, 674 6,750 23,878 6,776 30, 023 11,189 40, 494 11,774 35, 564 11, 859 10.69 .043 .051 10.46 .043 .050 10.05 .042 .050 10.11 .043 .050 10.01 .042 .049 9.33 .042 .049 .045 .052 10.52 .047 .053 11.41 .047 .053 14. 56 .054 .063 15. 83 . 055 . 009 14. 93 .053 .068 141,266 102, 504 6,369 118,926 127,165 91,115 4,780 107, 960 126,641 93,483 5.130 106,396 144,021 109,652 6,633 127,815 127,858 97,270 4,962 109, 250 131,715 98,292 5,782 108,736 127,104 89,020 5,843 90,265 127, 634 90,267 6,543 87, 281 137, 722 102, 281 7,305 99, 242 153,025 106, 678 8.056 113,380 173, 256 120,460 8,322 124,201 165, 624 123,154 6, 516 117,393 22,433 7,185 276 82.3 22, 497 7,642 295 85.7 22, 533 7,164 277 87.8 22, 503 8,243 319 86.7 22,123 6,895 269 84.7 21, 970 7,573 297 81.9 21, 771 7,399 290 82.5 21,939 6,621 262 81.9 22,012 7,908 313 85.1 22,232 7,695 306 92.5 22, 659 8, 581 342 97.9 8, 803 353 101.3 .225 .220 .224 .225 .225 .228 .235 .238 .240 .277 .279 .338 .335 .335 .335 .335 .335 .335 .346 .349 .404 691 1,781 745 2,877 '739 3, 395 '673 3,955 ^ 691 3,457 '679 3,322 ••870 4,159 '924 3, 503 '827 3,423 '963 3,108 '925 4,062 ' 925 5,677 .51 39.5 .51 '39.5 .51 '39.6 .51 '41.4 .51 43.4 .51 '41.7 .51 ' 33. 3 .51 '26.4 .52 '19.3 .53 '13.1 .53 9.4 .53 '7.7 35, 204 5,542 40,816 5,039 33, 219 3,040 37,863 3,555 27, 802 3,943 26,150 3,592 26, 256 4,050 26,134 2,614 33, 095 4,495 36,869 7,262 41,858 6,936 32, 241 5,423 2.534 2.648 2.641 2.993 3.271 3.394 61,601 24,201 60,709 19,209 73, 348 25, 748 81,060 25,060 89,160 27, 760 89,135 35, 935 92, 527 41,927 437 (J) 1 23,484 11,025 •11,805 '654 0) 0) COTTON MANUFACTURES Cotton cloth: Exports! thous. of sq. yd_. 37, 899 16, 322 Imports§ do Prices, wholesale: 13. 61 Mill margins* cents perlb._ . 053 Print cloth, 64 x 60 .dol. per yd.. .066 Sheeting, unbleached, 4 x 4 do Finished cotton cloth :J Production: Bleached, plain thous. of yd.. 152. 215 109,419 Dyed colors do 5, 524 Dyed, black do 113,100 Printed do Spindle activity: Active spindles ._ thousands.. 22, 778 8,040 Active spindle hrs., total mil. of hrs.. 322 Average per spindle in place hours.. 100.7 Operations!.. pet. of capacity.. Cotton yarn: Price, wholesale, 22/1, cones (factory) dol. per lb_. Price, wholesale, 40/s, southern, spinning dol. per lb._ RAYON AND SILK Rayon: 897 Deliveries, yarn, unadjustedt— .1923-25=100.. 6,750 Imports! thous. of lb_. Price, wholesale, 150 denier, first quality .53 (N. Y.)dol. p e r l b . . 6.4 Stocks, yarn, end of mo.*.. mil. of Ib__ Silk: Deliveries (consumption) bales.. 21,128 5,322 Imports, raw thous. of lb__ Price, wholesale, raw, Japanese, 13-15 (N. Y.) 3.921 dol. per lb_. Stocks, end of month: 109,110 Total visible supply 55, 610 United States (warehouses) do 1.809 1.9Q0 2.114 2.218 2.393 149,778 53,278 124,354 48,554 98,078 38,178 86,816 23,116 77,238 20,738 0) 0) 0) 0) 19, 457 2, 266 15, 457 ' 1,734 (0 0) WOOL 19, 832 14,771 29, 625 22,909 18,162 20,542 14,054 16, 709 21,938 Imports (unmanufactured)! thous. of l b . . 26, 035 17,274 25,441 16,826 Consumption (scoured basis) :1 33, 984 23,772 24, 707 26, 436 20,244 25,006 27,489 Apparel class do.... 22,378 29,688 25,941 22,449 21,110 19,567 11,274 5,852 6,291 9,604 9,238 7,984 8,847 Carpet class. ...do 7,665 9,501 9,784 8,776 9,856 8,159 Operations, machinery activity (weekly average) ^ Looms: Woolen and worsted: 1,782 1,573 1,791 2,043 Broad.... thous. of active h o u r s . . 2,044 1,777 1,924 1,942 1,580 1,338 1,759 1,698 1,549 95 69 73 101 Narrow do 78 82 79 78 75 62 69 82 81 221 175 178 155 199 213 196 Carpet and r u g . do.... 197 178 186 209 213 198 Spinning spindles: 72,489 77,201 81, 748 63,248 80,173 73, 739 74,103 Woolen do____ 74,111 72,928 73,480 73,130 60,041 55,704 79,174 82,819 71,306 77, 698 Worsted d o . . . . 84,395 97,458 87,770 82,226 77,747 67,613 81,611 105, 604 103, 333 117 136 Worsted combs do 133 150 129! 137 124 95 132 145 167 144 157 Prices, wholesale: f .71 .72 1.06 R a w , territory, fine, scoured dol. p e r l b . . 1.06 .73 .73 j .73 .72 .69 .73 1.09 1.02 Raw, Ohio and Penn. fleeces do 46 .31 .31) .32 .30 .32 .32 .30 .33 .49 .45 .47 Suiting, unfinished worsted, 13 oz. (at factory).... _dol. per y d . . 2.178 1.634 1.634 1.646 1.683 1.683 1.683 1.683 2. 178 1.683 1.683 1.906 2.178 Women's dress goods, French serge, 54" (at mill) dol per y d . . 1.163 1.015 1.015 1.015 1.015 1.015 1.015 1.015 1.015 1.163 1.015 1.101 1.163 Worsted yarn, 32's, crossbred stock (Boston) 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.15 1.53 1.38 dol. p e r l b . . 1.45 1.11 1.10 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.46 b • Total ginnings to end of month indicated. ' Revised. • Total crop. As of December 1. i Data not available since the outbreak of the war. tRevised series. Cotton spindle activity revised beginning August 1933; see table 18, p . 18, of the March 1939 issue. D a t a on rayon deliveries revised beginning January 1936; revisions not given on p . 94 of t h e February 1939 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. D a t a on cotton cloth exports revised beginning 1913; see table 48, p . 16, of the November 1939 issue. JSee note marked with a " t " on p . 54 of the July 1939 Survey. •New series. T h e data on cotton stocks shown here are compiled by the New York Cotton Exchange and replace the data compiled by the Commercial and Financial Chronicle. Data beginning 1920 appear in table 34, p p . 15 and 16 of the August 1939 Survey. Data on total stocks of foreign cottons and total world stocks of all cottons beginning August 1934 and all other series beginning August 1938 have been revised. Revisions not shown on p . 54 of the January 1940 issue will appear in a subsequent issue. For cotton cloth mill margins data beginning 1925 are shown in table 51. p . 18 of the November 1939 issue. D a t a on rayon yarn stocks, poundage basis, have been substituted for the scries formerly shown, which was on basis of number of months' supply. Figures beginning January 1930 not shown on p. 94 of the February 1939 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. § Revised series. D a t a revised for 1937; see tables 19 and 20, p p . 14 and 15 of the April 1939 Survey. 94 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 1938 Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- December ber 1938 Supplement to the Survey February 1940 1939 January February March April May June July 55, 614 51,401 4,213 55, 355 51, 247 4,109 August t S ; r | October Novem. TEXTILE PRODUCTS—Continued WOOL—Continued Receipts at Boston, total thous. of lb.. 4, 678 Domestic . . do Foreign . do.. 0) Stocks, scoured basis, end of quarter, total 111, 289 thous. of lb 44,105 Woolen wools, total do 30,958 Domestic . do . 13,147 Foreign do 67,184 Worsted wools, total . _ do.. 31,713 Domestic do 35.. 471 Foreign . do MISCELLANEOUS 13, 678 9,009 4,670 15,539 5,374 10,164 11,820 6,660 5,160 115, 655 46,686 37,065 9,621 68,969 52,517 16,452 13, 608 5,939 7,669 17,173 10,241 6,932 31, 461 25,641 5,820 94,506 39,019 29,458 9,561 55,487 33,452 22,035 39,228 35, 287 3,941 123,096 39,602 31,357 8,245 83,494 63,128 20,366 24, 410 19,046 5,363 5,601 11,991 (i) r118 514 ' 40, 997 *• 32 2C1 r 8 796 r 77 517 r 57 260 ' 20, 257 PRODUCTS Buttons, fresh-water pearl. 30.4 Production . . pet. of capacity.. 6,014 Stocks, end of month thous. of gross.. v 1, 080 Fur, sales by dealers thous. of dol Pyroxylin-coated textiles (artificial leather) :f 2,797 Orders, unfilled, end of mo..thous. linear yd.. 5, 038 Pyroxylin spread . . . thous. of lb.. 5,148 Shipments, billed thous. linear yd 28.9 6,795 1,524 23.0 6,480 2,479 39.2 6,507 2,900 39.2 6,607 3,552 34.6 6,641 2,293 25.6 6,280 2,695 28.6 6,232 2,686 26.3 5,873 2,405 32.1 5,681 3 155 40.4 5,697 3 155 2,145 4,692 4,551 2,451 5,270 4,785 2,223 5,079 5,119 2,188 5,402 5,505 2,252 4,643 4,576 1,887 4, 7'27 4,759 2,087 4,710 4,387 2,243 4,351 3,971 2,415 5 581 5,143 4,562 6 243 5,807 3,578 6,371 6,482 r 46.5 5,784 2, 660 44.0 r 5,92? 2, 250 3,132 5,413 5, 556 TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT AIRPLANES Production, totals Commercial (licensed) For export number. do._. do... 294 276 174 102 208 136 72 266 152 114 352 220 132 379 270 109 475 319 156 679 530 149 329 207 122 578 440 138 486 424 62 43 4,901 1,947 5,024 3,835 8,499 5,806 6,043 4,222 6,315 4,526 2,274 1,592 5,480 4,075 6,027 4,630 4,821 3,040 6,154 4,804 1, 913 934 1,202 5SG 4,874 2, 386 22, 688 11,885 10,803 34,978 21, 322 13,656 23,958 15,126 8,832 27, 351 16,193 11,158 30,048 17,984 12,064 27,087 16, 213 10, 874 25, 220 14,430 10, 790 27,087 16,213 10, 874 19,183 8,375 10, 808 11, 592 3,985 7,607 7,834 4,493 3,341 18,140 9, 4H1 7, 679 19,676 10,678 8,998 113,188 66, 759 45, 905 524 174,219 93,452 54,933 37,955 564 188, 289 76, 390 40, 694 35, 281 415 134,150 76, 776 40,374 35,975 427 124,021 113,847 64,350 48,915 582 153,007 114, 696 66,064 48, 014 618 150,433 133,707 75, 304 57, 649 754 140, 284 130, 671 73,022 57,028 621 118, 268 114,481 64, 003 49, 932 545 96, 621 109, 739 59, 265 49, 903 571 44, 564 88,176 44, 248 43, 512 417 61, 973 102,743 56, 507 45, 643 534 125,717 107, 261 61,236 45, 548 478 130,932 76 37,869 '83 27,479 44 ' 31,199 58 29,878 83 35,331 65 34,790 76 35,501 90 37, 606 75 35, 527 76 38, 821 35, 804 38,471 67 33, 737 16,978 11,491 452, 024 373, 755 78, 269 2,071 18, 614 14,198 388, 346 326,006 62, 340 1,818 14,794 11,404 342,156 281,465 60, 691 1,714 14, 300 10,914 303,217 243,000 60, 217 1,443 17, 549 12,689 371,940 299,703 72, 237 1,730 16,891 12, 791 337,372 273,409 63,963 1,348 15, 706 11, 585 297, 508 237, 870 59, 638 1,244 14,515 10, 585 309,720 246, 704 63,016 1,020 9,135 5,112 209, 343 150, 738 58, 605 681 3,475 1,068 99, 868 61, 384 38, 484 971 3,921 3, 494 188, 751 161, 625 27,126 1,585 ' 11,296 7,791 251,819 61. 558 1, 882 • 16. 756 9, 8S2 351, 782 285, 252 66, 530 1,783 246,544 37, 460 226, 973 31,474 203,212 37, 715 164,942 33, 279 248,038 45,083 268, 335 46,063 280, 834 45, 381 243, 741 40, 482 229, 308 44, 747 182, 633 43, 523 141, 633 32, 983 212, 580 37,923 231,571 41, 286 156,008 207, 637 188,839 118,888 172, 669 150,005 88,865 136,489 116,964 83,251 133,511 115,890 142.062 161,057 142, 743 132, 612 142,002 126, 275 129, 053 128,453 112,868 124, 618 139,694 124,048 102,031 84, 327 71,803 76,120 12,113 7,436 56, 789 53, 072 47, 606 110,471 144, 350 129,821 162,881 200,071 180,133 143 138 148 139 147 136 128 125 110 117 128 177 101 127 87 157 129 121 83 160 131 129 91 140 140 129 95 153 142 141 105 129 132 150 105 120 115 154 108 115 113 166 108 94 113 154 97 96 104 166 106 133 94 173 106 1,638 1,682 1,672 1,668 1,664 1,662 1,657 1,654 1,653 1,650 1,644 154 9.6 37,049 231 14.0 5,080 225 13.7 6,637 225 13.7 6,788 214 13.0 6,602 221 13.5 6,391 231 14.2 9,261 223 13.7 10,062 229 14.0 8,448 225 13.8 8,754 195 12.1 23, 028 168 10.4 28,906 159 9.8 19,981 6, 507 15.9 57 ' 7, 878 18.6 30 8,084 19.1 25 8,053 19.1 63 8,149 19.3 62 8,175 19.4 61 8,640 20.6 63 8.382 20.1 60 8,059 20.3 72 8, 337 20.0 63 8,125 19.6 68 7,558 18.3 64 6,985 17.0 94 AUTOMOBILES Exports: Canada: Assembled, total. _ number... Passenger cars . do United States: Assembled, total§ do Passenger cars§ .do Tracks} _ do Financing: Retail purchasers, total.......-thous. of dol.. New cars. do Used cars... _.. do Unclassified do Wholesale (mfrs. to dealers) do Fire-extinguishing equipment, shipments: Motor-vehicle apparatus number.. Hand-type _' do Production: Automobiles: Canada, total . do Passenger cars do United States (factory sales), total do Passenger cars__ do Trucks . do Automobile rims. thous. of rims.. Registrations: New passenger cars... ..number.. New commercial cars__ _ do Sales (General Motors Corporation): To consumers in U. S do To dealers, total* do To U. 8. dealers do Accessories and parts, shipments: Combined Index Jan. 1925=100.. Original equipment to vehicle manufacturers Jan. 1925«100_. Accessories to wholesalers do.._. Service parts to wholesalers ..do Service equipment to wholesalers do RAILWAY EQUIPMENT (Association of American Railroads) Freight cars, end of mo.: Number owned thousands.. Undergoing or awaiting classified repairs thousands _. Percent of total on line Orders, unfilled cars.. Locomotives, end of mo.: Undergoing or awaiting classified repairs number.. Percent of total on line Orders, unfilled number.. 313, 377 135 159 106 183 101 154 107 167 91 1,641 (17. 5f. Bureau of the Census) Locomotives:! 184 150 136 122 165 151 123 132 169 100 148 156 100 Orders, unfilled, end of mo,, total—number.. 140 146 132 140 118 143 113 122 160 88 138 113 92 Domestic, total.do 110 113 86 90 72 80 68 62 100 83 78 92 84 Electric.._ do 30 60 27 46 42 63 45 60 60 5 60 8 Steam do 21 1 f Not available since the outbreak of war. Revised. Preliminary •New series. Data represent sales to United States and Canadian dealers only; discontinued series included sales of overseas subsidiaries, which are no longer available. Data on the new basis not shown on p. 55 of the December 1939 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. fRevised series. Data on pyroxylin-coated textiles revised beginning January 1938; see note marked with a " t " on p. 55 of the November 1939 Survey. Data on shipments and unfilled orders, locomotives, revfsed beginning January 1939 on the basis of a more definite segregation between railroad locomotives shown above and mining and industrial electric locomotives shown on p. 95. Quarterly data beginning 1939 are available from the Bureau of the Census for Diesel-electric, Diesel-mechanical, and gasolinemechanical or steam locomotives, in addition to the data for industrial electric locomotives shown on p. 95 which are for trolley or third-rail and storage-battery locomotives. ^Excludes military planes for domestic use. §Revised series. Data revised for 1937; see table 19, p. 14 of the April 1939 Survey. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS February 1940 Monthly statistics through December 1937, to- 1939 1938 gether with explanatory notes and references to the sources of the data may be found in the Decem- December ber 1938 Supplement to the Survey 95 1939 January February March April May June July August September 34 18 35 16 47 9 8 19 19 35 32 3 October Novem ber TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT—Continued RAILWAY EQUIPMENT—Continued (U. S. Bureau of the Census) Locomotives—Continued.^ Shipments, domestic, totaL ..number.. Electric do.. Steam do.... Industrial electric (quarterly): Shipments, total do__ For mining use do (American Railway Car Institute) Shipments: Freight cars, total . . number Domestic ._ . _..do Passenger cars, total do Domestic _ __ do (U. S. Bureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce) Exports of locomotives, total§ number.. Electric§ do Steam _ do INDUSTRIAL ELECTRIC TRUCKS AND TRACTORS Shipments, total number. . Domestic do Exports do WORLD SHIPBUILDING (Quarterly) Launched: Number - ships Tonnage thous. gross tons.Under construction: Number ships Tonnage thous. gross tons__ 39 33 6 88 87 21 18 3 20 17 3 16 16 0 23 23 24 24 19 19 0 0 0 56 52 102 101 31 31 o 18 15 3 16 97 96 86 86 4 366 4,136 36 36 1,254 1,204 0 0 1,148 1,148 7 7 1,917 1,917 0 0 2,194 2,174 0 0 1,313 1,313 12 12 279 279 15 15 2.149 2,148 9 9 880 813 799 880 18 IS 804 9 9 740 22 22 1 160 1,110 12 12 r 2 616 ' 2, 616 54 54 11 10 19 18 1 1 0 11 9 2 21 13 9 9 21 7 10 8 8 6 2 16 0 9 81 13 12 2 21 5 1 1 1 75 62 13 50 47 3 53 53 0 86 86 0 70 65 5 73 63 10 78 71 7 69 61 8 89 86 3 90 70 20 129 93 36 140 99 41 1 152 118 34 8 0 14 249 249 247 705 690 549 704 716 719 2,669 2,704 1 2, 859 CANADIAN STATISTICS Physical volume of business: 125.2 121.4 121.4 133. 3 120.5 113.2 116.7 125.8 Combined index 1926=100 113.0 133 1 115.6 111.7 133 0 Industrial production: 124.4 127.5 123.9 123.3 128.3 138. 2 114.2 115.2 119.1 114.1 139 7 Combined index do 118.1 139 0 61.9 59.4 53.2 59.8 48.6 51.3 48.6 40.3 56.2 62.7 47.5 43. 3 Construction .. do 40 4 239.1 233.2 238.8 235.6 226.4 235.5 241.1 246.0 245. 6 r 248. 1 230.0 232.3 Electric power . __.do 221.6 Manufacturing do 136.9 111.1 105.0 107.6 112.9 112.3 109.5 113.3 116.5 121.3 143 7 111.3 136 9 114.2 126.4 120.6 120.2 112.6 130.7 127.6 110.4 120.7 139. 3 111.7 Forestry do 111.6 128.7 233.2 238.5 223.2 228.9 232.7 196. 7 176.8 190.9 219.6 194. 2 Mining _ do 183.1 236.7 202.4 Distribution: 118.4 110.6 118.3 119.1 115.9 107.4 112.9 109.6 109.3 104.9 Combined index do 108.6 114.3 115.8 Carloadings _ do 82.6 73.7 70.7 66.7 71.8 71.3 76.8 69.2 81.1 82.0 95.6 80.0 84 0 122.1 122.8 112.8 120.3 115.1 118.1 123.7 122.9 103.3 98,8 106. 9 Exports (volume)f __ do 99.6 114.3 r 93.2 86.1 102.0 91.2 77.6 73.9 78.0 108.1 71.7 99 7 75.8 102 1 Imports (volume) do 87.7 137.5 137.1 135.9 138.0 135.0 137.2 138.0 141.8 133.8 133.4 137.0 138.3 137. 3 Trade employment do Agricultural marketings: 112.4 174.4 40.5 48.1 76.8 60.3 102.6 101.3 52.0 85.7 32.3 96.5 151 1 Combined index do 107 1 88.4 46.3 23.5 40.7 33.8 76.5 58.5 105.9 217.7 196.5 96 0 166 2 Grain do 78.3 88.7 75.7 70.5 87.5 75.2 81.2 68.1 77.9 71.7 99. 6 Livestock . do. _ 83 2 73.6 Commodity prices: 83.1 83.0 82.9 82.9 83.1 83.1 83.1 So. 5 83.6 83.3 84.7 85 0 83.1 Cost of living do _ 73.2 73.3 72.6 73.4 73.7 72.4 78.2 73.2 73.2 73.3 79.3 80.3 Wholesale prices . do Employment (first of month): 113.1 115.8 104.9 108.1 106.5 117.5 122 7 114.0 106.2 119.6 121 7 123 6 106.5 Combined index do 133.1 146.3 152.2 96.4 89.4 94.3 115. 3 91.6 94.2 93 8 131 5 117 6 112.8 Construction and maintenance do 112.8 108.4 111.4 115.3 107.1 122 2 110.1 106.0 107.0 111.3 122.1 104.3 119.7 Manufacturing do 165.6 168.0 160. 5 157.4 160.4 160.9 155.8 171.3 160.5 163.3 170.3 171.0 Mining do 164.1 132.9 131.7 131.7 129.5 128.5 141.8 147.6 131.4 133.2 149.8 151.7 136. 1 135 2 Service do 144.7 144.8 128.9 136.6 137.4 135.1 135.5 134.9 131.0 138. 6 140.2 139.7 131.1 Trade - -- -do 89.7 85.0 79.9 79.4 80.3 86.5 87.6 79.3 81.4 87.5 90.0 90.6 Transportation do 94.8 Finance: Banking: 2,390 2,832 2,377 2,473 2,839 2,831 3,057 2,512 2,428 2,899 2,930 2,905 2,050 Bank debits mil. of dol 99 132 93 99 83 94 89 120 154 120 71 121 95 Commercial failures* numberLife insurance sales, new paid for ordinaryf 32,244 28, 558 35, 766 33, 657 37,117 33, 578 28, 229 36,062 30,434 34, 677 36, 475 30,879 thous. of doL. 36, 692 Security issues and prices: 73, 633 113,450 50, 590 268, 083 60, 890 54, 657 128, 304 151,083 210, 421 112,400 76 043 ' 86,143 139, 515 New bond issues, total do 62.1 60.1 60.1 63.0 62.4 62.9 76.5 69.6 68.8 61.8 71.0 61.9 61.1 Bond yields - . 1926=100. 101.2 106.8 102.9 104.1 103.7 97.0 97.3 96.2 99.2 94.2 100.1 106.0 103.6 Common stock prices do Foreign trade: 76, 641 76,476 82,457 80, 774 70,083 77, 570 50,987 98,490 91,419 101, 973 69, 863 70, 810 58,243 Exports, totalf - - - thous. of dol 13,781 10, 273 15,641 6,564 14,637 2,832 7,879 13,655 20, 635 5,746 16,849 15,983 Wheat thous. of bu._ 34,412 403 379 417 361 401 516 573 380 275 444 903 291 Wheat flour . thous. of bbl. 365 72,109 44, 286 43, 743 40, 380 58, 381 63,709 58, 580 41,908 72,958 62, 708 73, 564 79, 053 84, 561 Imports..thous. of dol.. Railways: 200 178 171 160 195 196 215 Carloadings thous. of cars 191 229 179 270 295 248 Financial results: 27,794 29,774 42, 960 25, 700 26,160 25,191 27, 521 22, 652 29, 680 39, 681 23, 798 Operating revenues thous. of dol 26,038 27,054 24, 296 22, 906 29, 571 24, 333 22, 633 22, 923 22, 921 25,261 26, 985 Operating expenses do . 529 1,429 601 '382 3,190 1,029 12,049 193 11, 222 '1,490 Operating income do 3,597 Operating results: 2,394 2,114 2,054 1,819 1,957 4,800 3, 753 2,100 1,871 1,707 2,431 Revenue freight carried 1 mile mil. of tons 186 180 122 127 168 129 134 153 115 166 123 Passengers carried 1 mile mil. of pass Production: Electrical energy, central stations 2,333 2,206 2,293 2,367 2,197 2,381 2,607 2,387 2,214 2,246 2, 590 mil. of kw.-hr_. 2,535 2,353 53 66 Pig iron thous. of long tons 41 60 46 53 41 66 58 88 58 86 95 111 122 96 108 100 124 150 147 79 78 77 121 150 Steel ingots and castings do 1,098 1,037 1.192 1,188 1,106 1,114 1,382 1,927 1,194 2.090 1,960 1, 052 1,600 Wheat flour thous. of bbl.. d ' Revised. Deficit. •New series. Data compiled by Dun and Bradstreet, Inc., have been substituted for those compiled by the Dominion Bureau of Statistics; data beginning January 1934 appear in table 54, p. 18 of the November 1939 issue. §Revised series. Data revised for 1937; see table 19. p. 14 of the April 1939 Survey. t Data on life insurance sales revised beginning January 1936. Revisions for 1938 appear on p. 56 of the September 1939 Survey. Earlier revisions will be shown in a subsequent issue. Data on value of exports revised beginning 1926; figures not given on p. 56 of the December 1939 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. For the index of volume of exports, revisions are available for 1938-39. Data not given in the January 1940 Survey will appear in a subsequent issue. Indexes for the period 1926-37 are available only on the old basis. ISee footnote marked with a " t " on p. 94. u. s. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1940 iNDEX TO MONTHLY BUSINESS STATISTICS CLASSIFICATION, B Y S E C T I O N S Monthly business statistics: Business indexes Commodity prices Construction and real estate Domestic trade Employment conditions and wages. Finance Foreign trade Transportation and communications _ Statistics on individual industries: Chemicals and allied products Electric power and gas Foodstuffs and tobacco . Fuels and byproducts . Leather and products Lumber and manufactures Metals and manufactures: Iron and steel Nonferrous metals and products Machinery and apparatus Paper and printing Rubber and products Stone, clay, and glass products . Textile products Transportation equipment Canadian statistics Page 58 59 60 62 64 69 75 76 77 79 80 84 85 86 87 SS 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 CLASSIFICATION, B Y I N D I V I D U A L SERIES Page Abrasive paper and cloth (coated) 91 69 Acceptances 94 Accessories—Automobile Advertising 62 Agricultural products, cash income received 59 from marketings of Agricultural wages, loans 63,69 Air-conditioning equipment 89 62 Air mail ___„. 77, 94 Airplanes 77 Alcohol, denatured, ethyl, methanol 88 Aluminum 78 Animal fats, greases _. Anthracite mining 58, 65, 67, 84 Apparel, wearing 59, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68,93 85 Asphalt Automobiles 58, 62, 63, 64, 66, 67, 68,94 88 Babbitt metal 81 Barley 92 Bathroom accessories 82 Beef and veal _. Beverages, fermented malt liquors and dis80 tilled spirits Bituminous coal 58, 59, 65, 67,84 87,88 Boilers___ 69,74 Bonds, prices, sales, value, yields 91 Book publication 91 Boxes, paper 89 Brass 92 Brick ... 69 Brokers' loans 89 Bronze 60,61 Building contracts awarded 61 Building costs Building materials 59, 86,92 60,61 Building permits issued 80 Butter 95 Canadian statistics 76,77 Canal traffic 83 Candy. 72,73 Capital flotations _ 76 Carloadings 82 Cattle and calves 79 Cellulose plastic products 58,92 Cement 63 Chain-store sales 80 Cheese 83,84 Cigars and cigarettes 65 Civil-service employees Clay products 64, 66, 67, 68,92 Clothing 59, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68,93 Coal __-. 58, 59, 65, 67,84 83 Cocoa . 83 Coffee. 84 Coke 63 Collections, department stores 70 Commercial failures Commercial paper. 69 Construction: 60,61 Contracts awarded, indexes 61 Costs 61 ^Highways. 68 PiWage rates 88 Copper 78 Copra and coconut oil 59 Cost-of-living index Cotton, raw and manufactures 59, 60,93 78 Cottonseed, cake and meal, oil Crops 58, 59, 81, 82; 83,93 Page Currency in circulation 71 Dairy products 58, 59, 80,81 Debits, bank. _ „ 69 Debt, United States Government 71 Delaware, employment, pay rolis 65, 66, 68 Department-store sales and stocks. 63 Deposits, bank 70 Disputes, industrial 66 Dividend payments 74 Earnings, factory, average weekly and hourly. __„ 67, 68 Eggs 58, 59, 83 Electrical equipment 90 Electric power, production, sales, revenues _ _ 79, 80 Electric street railways 76 Employment: Cities and States _ 65 Nonmanufacturing 65 Emigration 77 Enameled ware 88 Engineering construction 61 Exchange rates, foreign 71 Expenditures, United States Government 71 Explosives .. _ _ _. 77 Exports 75 Factory employment, pay rolls 64, 65, 66, 67, 68 Fairchild's retail price index______ 59 Fares, street railways _ 76 Farm prices, index 59 Federal Government, finances 71, 72 Federal-aid highways Gl, 68 Federal Reserve banks, condition of 69 Federal Reserve reporting member bank statistics 69 Fertilizers 78 Fire-extinguishing equipment 94 Fire losses 62 Fish oils and fish _ 78, 83 Flaxseed_ 79 Flooring, oak, maple, beech, and birch 86 Flour, wheat. 82 Food products . 59,64,65,67,68,80 Footwear 86, 92 Foreclosures, real estate „__ 62 Foundry equipment 89 Freight cars (equipment) 94 Freight carloadings, cars, indexes 76 Freight-car surplus .__ 76 Fruits 59,81 Fuel equipment. __ . 89 Fuels ...84,85 Furniture 87 Gas, customers, sales, revenues 80 Gas ane fuel oils 84, 85 Gasoline . 85 Gelatin, edible 83 General Motors sales 94 Glass and glassware 58, 64, 66, 67, 68, 92 Gloves and mittens 85 Gold 71 Goods in warehouses 62 Grains 59, 73,81,82 Gypsum 92 Hides and skins. ____ 60,85 Hogs 82 Home loan banks, loans outstanding 62 Home mortgage insurance 62 Hosiery, „ _ 93 Hotels 65, 67, 77 Housing 59, 61, 62 Illinois, employees, factory earnings 65, 66, 68 Imports ,_ 75, 76 Income-tax receipts 71 Income payments 58 Incorporations, business 62 Industrial production, indexes . 58 Installment sales, New England 63 Insurance, life. 70 Interest and money rates 69 Iron ore, crude, manufactures. 58, 87 Kerosene 85 Labor turn-over, disputes 66 Lamb a n d mutton . 82 Lard . 82 Lead... 58,88,89 Leather 58, 60, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 85 Leather, artificial 94 Linseed oil, cake, and meal__ 79 Livestock 58,59,82 Loans, agricultural, brokers', real estate. 62, 69, 72 Locomotives 94, 95 Looms, woolen, activity 93 Lubricants. _ 85 Lumber 59, 64, 66, 67, 86 Machine activity, cotton, wool 93 Machine tools, orders 89 Machinery _. _ _ _ 64, 66, 67, 89 Magazine advertising 62 Manufacturing indexes 58 Marketings, agricultural 59 Maryland, employment, pay rolls 65, 66 Massachusetts, employment, pay rolls 65, 66 Meats 58, 59, 82 Metals _ _ 58, 60, 64, 66, 67, 68, 87, 88, 89 Methanol 77 Mexico, silver production ,__ 71 Milk.... 80,81 Minerals 58, 65, 67, 84, 88 Naval stores 78 Netherlands, exchange rates 71 Page New Jersey, employment, pay rolls 65, 66 Newsprint 91 New York, employment, pay rolls, canal traffic 65,66,76,77 New York Stock Exchange 74, 75 Oats _ _ 81 Ohio, employment 65 Ohio River traffic 77 Oils and fats 78, 79 Oleomargarine 79 Paint sales 79 Paper and pulp___. 60, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 90, 91 Passenger-car sales index 63 Passengers carried, street railways 76 Passports issued 77 Pay rolls: Factory 66, 67 Factory, by cities and States 66 Nonmanufacturing industries 67 Pennsylvania, employment, pay rolls 65, 66 Petroleum and products 58, 60, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 84, 85 Pig iron 87 Porcelain enameled products . 88 Pork . 82 Postal business . 62, 63 Postal saving3_ 70 Poultry . _ 58, 59, 83 Prices: Retail indexes 59 World, foodstuffs and raw material 60 Printing 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 91 Profits, corporation 71 Public relief 68 Public utilities. 71, 73, 74, 75 Pullman Co 77 Pumps 89,90 Purchasing power of the dollar 60 Radiators _ - _ _ _ 87, 89 Radio, advertising 62 Railways: operations, equipment, financial statistics. ____ 76, 77,94,95 Railways, street „ . _._ 76 Ranges, electric. 90 Rayon 93 Reconstruction Finance Corporation, loans outstanding 72 Refrigerators, electric, household 90 Registrations, automobiles 94 Rents (housing), index . 59 Retail trade: Automobiles, new, passenger 63 Chain stores: 5-and-10 (variety) 63 Grocery —. 63 Department stores 63 Mail order. 63 Rural general merchandise ._ 64 Rice 81 Roofing 79 Rubber, crude, scrap, footwear, tires 58, 59, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 91, 92 Savings deposits 70 Sheep and lambs „ 82 Shipbuilding 95 Shoes 60, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 85, 86 Silk 59,60,93 Silver 58, 71 Skins 85 Slaughtering and meat packing 64, 65, 66, 67, 68 Spindle activity, cotton 93 Steel, crude, manufactures. 58, 60, 64, 66, 67, 87, 88 Steel, scrap, exports and imports 87 Stockholders 75 Stock indexes, world 59 Stocks, department stores 63 Stocks, issues, prices, sales 74, 75 Stone, clay, and glass products.__ 64, 66, 67, 68, 92 Sugar... 59,60,83 Sulphur 77 Sulphuric acid 77 Superphosphate . 78 Tea 59,60,83 Telephone, telegraph, cable, and radiotelegraph carriers. . 77 Textile products 93, 94 Tile, hollow building 92 Tin__-_ 59,60,89 Tobacco 58, 65, 66, 67, 68, 83, 84 Tools, machine 89 Trade unions, employment . 65 Travel 77 Trucks and tractors, industrial, electric 95 United States Government bonds 74 United States Steel Corporation 75, 88 Utilities 71, 73, 74, 75 Vacuum cleaners 90 Variety-store sales index .__ 63 Vegetable oils— 78, 79 Vegetables 59, 81 Wages 67,68 Warehouses, space occupied 62 Waterway traffic 76, 77 Wholesale prices 59,60 Wire cloth 89 Wisconsin, employment, pay rolls, and wages 65, 66, 68 Wood pulp 90 Wool 93, 94 Zinc . 58, 89 A More than 6,000 copies of these two handbooks have been purchased by marketing men. . . . Have YOU a copy? CONSUMER MARKET DATA HANDBOOK—Presents 82 series of consumer marketing data, one-third of which have never been published before. The balance of the series was drawn from over 800 tables in 18 individual volumes and 49 separate releases. These series are presented for each of the 3,070 counties in the United States, and most series are shown for each of the 3,165 cities of the 2,500 population or more, classified under five principal groups: Population and Dwellings; Volume and Type of Business and Industry; Employment and Pay Rolls; Retail Distribution by Kinds of Business; and Related Indicators of Consumer Purchasing Power. Domestic Commerce Series No. 102. $1.75 (buckram). INDUSTRIAL MARKET DATA HANDBOOK—Contains complete figures on industrial production, employment, value of products, cost of material, fuel and power, and output per wage earner for the 3,070 counties in the United States, and similar data for every city with a population of 10,000 and over; these data are for the year 1935. None of the series have been available in such detail and a considerable amount of them are here presented for the first time. A tabulation of the county location of 169,111 manufacturing plants for each of the 280 industries is also included. Domestic Commerce Series No. 107. $2.50 (buckram). Copies of either of the above handbooks may be obtained at the price stated, from the Superintendent of Documents, United States Government Printing Office, Washington, D. C , or through any of the District and Cooperative Offices of the Bureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce located in principal industrial and commercial cities of the country. 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