Full text of Survey of Current Business : August 1973
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A UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE PUBLICATION U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Social and Economic atistics Administration R-EAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS AUGUST 1973 / VOLUME 53 NUMBER 8 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS AUGUST 1973 / VOLUME 53 NUMBER 8 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS U.S. Department of Commerce THE BUSINESS SITUATION Monetary Policy Commercial Banks Residential Construction and Finance 2 3 4 Wages Under Collective Bargaining 5 National Income and Product Tables 11 ALTERNATIVE MEASURES OF PRICE CHANGE FOR GNP, 1970-73 THE INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION OF THE UNITED STATES: DEVELOPMENTS IN 1972 THE BEA QUARTERLY MODEL AS A FORECASTING INSTRUMENT STATE AND REGIONAL PERSONAL INCOME, 1959-1972 FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS IN THE UNITED STATES IN 1972 15 18 24 39 Frederick B. Dent / Secretary Edward D. Failor / Administrator Social and Economic Statistics Administration Bureau of Economic Analysis George Jaszi / Director Morris R. Goldman / Deputy Director Lora S. Collins / Editor Leo V. Barry, Jr. / Statistics Editor Billy Jo Hurley / Graphics Staff Contributors to This Issue Robert Boyke Robert B. Bretzfelder David T. Dobbs Albert A. Hirseh Donald A. King Thomas W. Kraseman Robert B. Leftwich Bruce Levine Barbara L. Miles John. C Musgrave Russell B. Scholl 50 CURRENT BUSINESS STATISTICS General S1-S24 Industry S24-S40 Subject Index (.Inside Back Cover) Annual subscription, including weekly statistical supplement: $20 domestic, $25 foreign. Single copy $2.25. Order from Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D . C 20402, or any Commerce Field Office. Make check payable to Superintendent of Documents. Annual subscription in microfiche, excluding weekly supplement: $9 domestic, $12 foreign. Single copy $1.45. Order from National Technical Information Service, Springfield, Va. 22151. Address change: Send to Superintendent of Documents or NTIS, with copy of mailing label. 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Newark, N.J. 07102 24 Commerce St. 645-6214 New Orleans, La. 70130 610 South St. 527-6546. New York, N.Y. 10007 26 Federal Plaza 264-0634. Los Angeles, Calif. 90024 11000 Wilshire Blvd. 824-7591. Philadelphia, Pa. 19107 1015 Chestnut St. 597-2850. Phoenix, Ariz. 85004 112 N. Central 261-3285. Memphis, Tenn. 38103 147 Jefferson Ave. 534-3214. Pittsburgh, Pa. 15222 1000 Liberty Ave. 644-2850. Portland, Ore*. 97205 St. Louis, Mo. 63103 2511 Federal Bldg. 622-4243. Salt Lake City, Utah 84111 125 South State St. 524-5116, San Francisco, Calif. 94102 450 Golden Gate Ave. 556-5864. San Juan, Puerto Rico 00902 100 P.O. Bldg. 723-4640. Savannah, Ga. 31402 % 235 U.S- Courthouse and P.O. Bldg. 232-4321. the BUSINESS SITUATION r OLLOWING a gradual tightening of credit during most of the first half of this year, the monetary authorities have, in the past few months, greatly intensified their efforts to slow the growth of money and credit. The recent, progressive tightening of credit, coupled with continuing strong loan demands, has resulted in a sharp escalation of short-term interest rates to levels well above the record highs of late 1969 and early 1970 (chart 1). From mid-May to mid-August, the rise in short-term open market rates was roughly 2% percentage points. That 3-month rise was noticeably faster than the increase during the 6 months ending in May, the period roughly comparable to the first phase of the Federal Reserve System's present course of credit tightening. From mid-May to mid-August, the prime commercial loan rate—the rate banks charge their most creditworthy business borrowers—was raised from 6% to 9}i percent in ten steps. In the preceding 6 months, by contrast, this rate was raised 1 percentTable 1.—Change in Interest Rates and Bond Yields [Percentage points] Jan. 1972 to Nov. 1972 Prime 4- to 6-month commercial paper rate 3-month Treasury bills (new issues) Federal funds rate Bank prime rate Corporate Aaa bond yield (Moody's) _ U.S. Treasury long-term bond yield State and local bond yield (Bond Buyer) 1969-70 Nov. Mid-May 1972 1973 month to to to May mid-Aug. mid1973 1973 Aug. 1973 1.17 2.02 2.72 1.16 1.37 1.56 1.00 1.58 2.78 1.50 2.39 2.58 2.50 .70 1.20 .75 -.07 .17 .29 -.90 -.12 .72 .76 -.02 .23 .45 -1.54 age point in four steps; during that period, the Government's Committee on Interest and Dividends was vigourously engaged in efforts to force the banking system to slow the increase in the cost of credit. The rate on 3-month Treasury bills increased from 6% percent in mid-May to 8% percent in midAugust, and the rate on Federal funds, the price at which banks buy and sell excess reserves and one of the most sensitive indicators of money market conditions, increased from 7% percent to about 10}<2 percent. The impact of credit stringency was concentrated in short-term markets until the past month or so, when the upward drift of capital market yields began to accelerate. As a result of the recent firming in long-term markets, most yields increased a little more in the three months ending in mid-August than they had in the six months ending in May. From mid-May to mid-August, yields on corporate Aaa bonds rose about }{ of a percentage point to 7}i percent and yields on State and local bonds about % point to 5% percent. In the six months ending in May these yields increased less than ){ point. Despite the recent acceleration, the increases thus far this year have been moderate and these yields remain well below their peaks in early 1970 (Table 1). Yields on U.S. Treasury long-term bonds, however, increased about % of a percentage point to 7 percent from mid-May to mid-August, about the same as the increase from November to May. The more rapid increase in yields on U.S. bonds than on other long-term securities is due mainly to efforts on the part of the CHART 1 Short- and Long-Term Interest Rates Percent if 10 Federal Funds Rate - -J IT- ^^ Prime Commercial Paper rp"^ (4-6 Months) \ 1 / : Prime Rate 6 3-Month Treasury B ills if Pf 4 -- • 1111.. .....h mill ..C.I.M.. 10 FHA New Home •Mortgage Yields / - State and Local (Bond Buyer) llilililiiilmiiliMiiliMiiliiiiiLinlimiLnilinn 1969 1970 1971 Data: 1972 1973 FRB, HUD, Moody's, Bond Buyer & Treasury • Last data plotted are weekly figures through mid-Aug. U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis 73-8-1 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Treasury to lengthen debt maturity. Although Treasury borrowing has been moderate this year, a relatively large part of that borrowing has carried longterm maturity, and this has put upward pressure on U.S. bond yields. Mortgage yields typically respond to changes in money and capital markets with a lag, which reflects, in part, the fact that mortgage rates actually quoted borrowers increase more rapidly than reported in the official statistics. After showing virtually no change in 1972 and early 1973, reported yields began to edge higher in March of this year. The average yield on FHA-insured new home mortgages was 8.2 percent in July up from 7.6 percent in February. An unusually wide inverse yield differential has developed between shortterm and long-term borrowing costs— short-term being considerably higher. One reason why the current round of credit tightening has not seen long-term rates rise considerably more than they have may be that the volume of new State-local and corporate bond issues coming to market has been moderate this year. On the other hand, the borrowing of Federally-sponsored credit agencies also affects long-term markets, and these agencies have been borrowing increasingly in recent months and are expected to step-up their demands in the second half of this year. Table 2.—Percent Change in Monetary Aggregates l [Seasonally adjusted at annual rates] 1972 I Reserves available to support private nonbank deposits Money stock (Ml) ... Money stock plus time deposits at commercial banks other than large CD's (M2) M2 plus depostis at nonbank thrift institutions (M3) II 1973 III 4 IV I II 10.4 9.2 6.5 8.1 10.0 8.2 10.6 8.6 9.6 1.7 11.0 10.3 12.7 14.9 8.5 10.8 10.3 12.4 10.2 11.5 5.7 8.6 9.5 9.4 months ending July 12.3 9.4 8.7 8.6 1. Change calculated from end of period. acceleration since mid-May—and the growth of monetary aggregates slowed. Money stock (Ml, currency in circulation and private demand deposits) rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.7 percent in the first quarter as compared to 8.6 percent in the fourth. However, part of that slowdown was due to transitory factors, including transactions associated with upheavals in international currency markets (see the February " Business Situation" article), heavy State and local government buying of certificates of deposit (CD's) with demand deposits previously swelled by receipt of revenue sharing funds, and the transfer of corporate demand deposits to U.S. Government accounts (not counted in Ml) in payment of taxes. The growth of commercial bank time and saving deposits other than large negotiable CD's also slowed in the first quarter, as depositors began to respond to rising market interest rates by diverting funds to higher yielding investments. Time and Monetary Policy saving deposits increased at a seasonally Since moving toward a more restric- adjusted annual rate of 9.5 percent in tive monetary policy late last year, the the first quarter as compared to 11.6 Federal Reserve System has used all of percent in the fourth, and M2 (Ml plus its major tools of control to impose time and saving deposits at commercial credit stringency: open market opera- banks other than large negotiable CD's, tions have been employed to restrict increased 5.7 percent at an annual rate, growth of bank reserves and thus of down from 10.2 percent in the fourth money and credit, reserve requirements quarter. were raised on two occasions, and the The first-quarter slowdown in the discount rate was increased seven growth of the aggregates was followed, times. The objective of policy early however, by acceleration. Reserves this year was apparently to achieve a gradual slowdown in the growth of the available to support private nonbank monetary aggregates without a sharp deposits (RPD's) increased at an anincrease in interest rates; however, nual rate of 11 percent from March emphasis shifted in the second quarter to June, up from 9% percent in the toward much more aggressive restraint. first quarter. That acceleration supAs restraint began to take hold early ported very strong expansion of CD's this year, the rise in interest rates and of the money stock, as growth of accelerated-^though much less than the Ml surged to an annual rate of 10M August 1973 percent in the second quarter. The reasons for the acceleration are not clear. In part, the unusually strong expansion of the money stock reflected the fact that the transitory influences suppressing growth in the first quarter had abated, and the fact that Federal Government demand deposits declined sharply as unusually large personal income tax refunds were paid. Growth of M2 also accelerated in the second quarter; however, that was due entirely to the surge in Ml, for the growth of consumer-type time and saving deposits continued to decelerate. Recent policy developments The Federal Reserve became increasingly concerned about the growth of money and credit as the seconc1 quarter wore on. As a consequence, open market operations became more restrictive—as was reflected in the escalation of the Federal funds rate— reserve requirements were raised, and increases in the discount rate were explicitly aimed at slowing the credit expansion. During this period, the Federal Reserve also suspended interest rate ceilings on longer-term large negotiable CD's thereby permitting a lengthening of the maturity structure of bank liabilities and also permitting interest rates to function more freely as the allocator of credit. In mid-May, the Federal Reserve System imposed an additional reserve requirement of 3 percent on any further expansion of the amount of large negotiable CD's outstanding, raising the reserve requirement on those deposits from 5 to 8 percent. That action was aimed at raising the cost of CD funds and slowing the issuance of CD's; large money center banks, in the face of increasirg pressure on reserve positions and very strong loan August 1973 SUKVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS demand, had been bidding agressively for these deposits. The outstanding volume of large negotiable CD's increased from $45 billion at the end of 1972 to $58% billion in mid-May; by mid-August, volume reached $66j^ billion. In mid-May, at the same time that reserve requirements OD large CD's were raised, the monetary authorities also suspended the Regulation Q ceilings on interest rates on large negotiable CD's with maturities of 90 days or more. With market interest rates rising, banks were encountering difficulty in selling the longer term CD's and were concentrating sales in short-term CD's (30 to 89 days maturity) on which the rate ceiling had been suspended in mid-1970. This was creating an unstable situation as the maturity structure of bank liabilities was shortening appreciably. For example, at the end of April, more than 78 percent (roughly $44 billion) of total large CD's outstanding had less than 90 days to maturity, as compared with 67 percent or about $30 billion at the end of 1972. Since mid-May, banks have been selling longer term CD's and the pressure from the shortening maturity of the banks' liability structure has abated. The Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee apparently decided at its mid-June meeting to tighten credit further. (The record of policy actions taken by the Committee in mid-June will not be made public until midSeptember.) In late June, in a further effort to slow the growth of money and credit, the Federal Reserve imposed an additional reserve requirement of ^ percentage point on member bank demand deposits in excess of $2 million. The behavior of the monetary aggregates in July was mixed. Growth of the money stock slowed appreciably, as did growth of time and saving deposits at commercial banks, but nonborrowed reserves and RPD's continued to expand rapidly. Moreover, the volume of large CD's continued to increase substantially, and the expansion of bank credit, especially business loans, continued strong. Testifying before the Congressional Joint Economic Committee in early August, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve said that he expected the growth rate of Ml to slow in the near future, but warned that if the restrictive actions already taken by the Federal Reserve do not reduce the growth of money and credit to "an acceptable rate," further restrictive measures will be adopted. He specifically mentioned that reserve requirements on CD's could be raised further if banks continue to finance "excessive" expansion of business loans with CD funds. Increases in the discount rate As credit conditions became tighter in late 1972 and early 1973, member bank borrowing from Federal Reserve Banks began to rise sharply. Borrowing demand was enhanced by the fact that rising market rates of interest progressively widened the gap between the cost to banks of attracting reserves (loanable funds) through issuance of CD's and the cost at which they could borrow from Federal Reserve Banks. Outstanding member bank borrowing from the Federal Reserve rose from an average of nearly $750 million in the fourth quarter to $1.5 billion in the first quarter and $1.8 billion in the second. As a proportion of total reserves, borrowings averaged 2.3 percent in the fourth quarter, 4.8 percent in the first, and 5.5 percent in the second. In efforts to close the differential between the discount rate and rising market interest rates, the monetary authorities raised the discount rate from 4% to 6 percent in four steps from December to mid-May. On each occasion, the authorities stated that the purpose of the increase was to achieve a better alignment with rising market interest rates—an implication that the Federal Reserve was simply "following" the market rates. After mid-May, the discount policy apparently become more stringent. In early June the rate was raised to 6% percent, an action the authorities termed as partly an anti-inflation measure. In late June, at the time that the increase in demand deposit reserve requirements was announced, the discount rate was raised to 7 percent and the action was explicitly intended "to restrain continuing excessive expansion in money and credit." After late June, market interest rates rose sharply and by mid-August, the spread between the discount rate and the rate on large CD's was 3% percentage points, or more than twice as large as at any time earlier this year when the discount rate was raised. The authorities again raised the discount rate to 7}i percent in mid-August, but noted that this action did not signal any new tightening of policy, but was taken to keep in step with the upward movement in other short-term rates. Commercial Banks The situation of commercial banks during the present course of credit tightening has been very different from their situation during the tightening in 1966 and 1969, for this time the banks have been able to compete directly for loanable funds by selling CD's; as a result, they have been able to maintain their position in the credit flow process. The difference lies in the fact that interest rate ceilings on short-maturity CD's have been suspended since 1970, and on longer CD's since May of this year. Commercial banks accounted for nearly 38 percent of total funds advanced in credit markets in the first quarter of this year and 33 percent in the second, as compared with 33 percent in 1972 and 36 percent in 1971, years when monetary policy was accommodative or only mildly restrictive. This is in sharp contrast to the situation confronting the banking system in 1969, when market interest rates rose far above the Regulation Q ceilings and depositors shifted funds from banks to direct investment in open market instruments. The banks' role as intermediaries was constrained, and they accounted for only 14 percent of total funds advanced in credit market in the year 1969, as compared with 35 percent in 1968. Borrowers have indeed been finding funds progressively more costly and harder to get, but in contrast to the credit stringency of 1969 and 1966, funds have been available. A so-called "credit crunch"—a situation where funds are not available even to borrowers willing to pay high borrowing costs—has thus far been avoided. Thus, SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS a fundamental difference between the credit stringency in 1973 and that in 1969 and 1966 is that market interest rates this time have a much more important role as an allocator of credit. Nondeposit sources of funds Given their ability to bid freely for CD funds, commercial banks have made only moderate use of nondeposit sources of funds. Under present conditions, they have little motivation to borrow Eurodollars as a way of getting loanable funds, and the volume of such borrowing in July was little different from that of last December. (In a move to correct an anomaly in reserve requirements, the Federal Reserve reduced requirements on Eurodollar CHART 2 Change in Bank Credit Billion $ 30 I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 20 10 - I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I -10 20 INVESTMENTS 10 Other • \ V\ -10 1 1 1 1 1 1i 1968 1 i i 69 70 1| 1 I1 71 Government \ u.sSecurities * i I 1 i I i 1 72 73 Change calculated from end of quarter to end of quarter Seasonally Adjusted » July at a quarterly rate. Source: FRB U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis 73-8-2 August 1973 borrowing in mid-May, putting this business in the early months of the source of loanable funds on equal foot- year reflected not only the strength of ing with large CD's.) In 1969, when economic activity, but also the policy banks were facing a major runoff of of the Committee on Interest and CD's, Eurodollar borrowing from for- Dividends, which forced the banking eign branches rose $6.8 billion to $12.8 system to hold back increases in the billion during the course of the year. prime rate. As a consequence of that Another mechanism heavily used by policy, corporations found more favorbanks in 1969 was the sale of loans to able borrowing terms at banks than their own affiliates—their parent hold- could be obtained from alternative ing companies in particular—which sources, e.g., through the sale of comcould legally sell commercial paper at mercial paper. The much slower pace of economic competitive market interest rates and use the proceeds to buy the loans. activity in the second quarter was reBank sales of loans to their affiliates flected in a slackening of bank credit rose from $1.5 billion in May 1969 growth. Loan expansion was about half (when data were first collected) to that of the first quarter and loans to nearly $4.0 billion yearend. From business increased about $7 billion. A December 1972 to June of this year, large part of the slowdown in business loan sales increased nearly $1 billion, loan growth occurred in June when to $3.5 billion, and there appeared to some corporations apparently used probe some step-up in activity in July ceeds from maturing CD's to meet tax when sales increased about $% billion payments, rather than increasing their further. Commercial paper issued by borrowing from banks. Loans to conbank affiliates has increased somewhat sumers and loans to finance real estate more rapidly this year than other non- activities increased about as much in deposit sources of loanable funds, from the second quarter as in the first, $2.6 billion last December to $4.3 bil- though the expansion of loans to nonlion in June (the latest month for which bank financial institutions slowed data are available). Nonetheless, that sharply and loans to finance security increase is only a little more than half transactions declined a little more than as large as the increase from May to in the first quarter. Commercial banks increased their seDecember 1969. curity holdings by $1 billion in the Bank credit second quarter after reducing holdings Loans and investments at commer- $1.5 in the first. Because banks have cial banks in the first 7 months of this been able to compete for money market vear increased an extraordinary $44 funds, they have been able to accombillion. Bank credit increased a little modate this year's huge loan expansion more than $25 billion in the first without sizable reductions in security quarter, $14 billion in the second and holdings—the typical pattern of port$4% billion in July. It is important to folio management in periods of credit note, however, that a significant part stringency. of this unusually large credit expansion Following the slowdown in June, does not reflect a net increase in total credit expansion was again strong in volume of funds advanced in credit July. Loans increased $5% billion and markets. Rather, it reflects a rerouting security holdings declined a little more of funds from savers (mainly buyers of than %y2 billion. Loans to business inCD's) to borrowers that otherwise creased $2 billion and continued to be would have flowed through other credit the fastest growing component of bank channels, i.e., the commercial paper credit. market or capital markets. Residential Construction and Loan growth has accounted for virFinance tually all of this year's net expansion of Homebuilding activity, although still bank credit. Loan expansion amounted to nearly $27 billion in the first quarter, at a very high level, was weakening $12% billion of which represented loans noticeably by mid-year. Housing starts to business. The volume of lending to held in the first quarter at last year's August 1973 record annual rate of 2.4 million units but slipped to an average 2.2 million units in the second. In July, starts held at an annual rate of 2.2 million units. Virtually all of the slowdown in starts through mid-year was in starts of singlefamily homes (although issuance of housing permits has declined more for multi-unit structures (24 percent) than for single family units (9 percent) since the peak in the fourth quarter). Starts of single-family units were at an annual rate of 1.36 million in the first quarter, 1.20 million in the second, and 1.25 million in July. Sales of new homes have declined about 10 percent from their peak in the fourth quarter of last year, and the inventory of new homes for sale has continued to rise. The rate of starts of multi-unit structures held at about 1 million units in the first and second quarters but declined slightly in July. The starts rate continued to exceed completions in the first half, and the number of units in multi-unit structures yet to come to market continued to rise. Rental vacancy rates have moved somewhat higher, but these rates have become a less reliable indicator of the condition of demand for multi-unit housing because of the increasing proportion of new apartment units that are owneroccupied rather than rented. It was widely forecast that residential construction would undergo a cutback this year, as an adjustment following the building boom of 1970-72. The tightening of credit conditions in recent months has probably not yet had a significant impact on homebuilding in most sections of the country, but a growing impact can be expected. The rise in interest rates and the competition for credit this year are greater than most forecasters expected, and could well result in a steeper decline in homebuilding than would otherwise have occurred. With market interest rates rising, savers began earlier this year to divert funds away from the thrift institutions, and the net flow of savings to these institutions slowed appreciably. The net flow at the savings and loan associations amounted to $5% billion (seasonally adjusted) in the second quarter, down from $8}i billion in the first and SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS the smallest quarterly increase since mid-August, when Congress reinstated 1970. In all probability the drop would the temporerily lapsed legal authority have been worse had it not been for for FHA mortgage insurance. unusually large personal income tax refunds paid in April and May. Data Wages Under Collective are not yet available for July, but the Bargaining indications are that the weakening of The average size of settlements savings flows intensified sharply last agreed upon in major union contract month. negotiations diminished further in the The slowdown of savings came at a first half of 1973, continuing a trend time of an unusually large volume of that began in mid-1971, when wage and mortgage takedowns, i.e., lending under price controls were first instituted commitments previously made. Mort(chart 3). Wage and benefit increases gage debt expansion was at a record negotiated in the first half of this year pace of more than $8% billion in the in contracts covering 5,000 workers or second quarter, up from $8 billion in more averaged 7.5 percent for the first the first. The growing pressures on the contract year, and 6.2 percent annually S&L's have led to cutbacks in mortgage over the life of the contract—in each commitments—the volume outstandcase about 1 percentage point less than ing peaked in February at a record the average for the full year 1972. For $21% billion (seasonally adjusted) and wage changes alone, in contracts covhad declined to $19% billion by June ering 1,000 workers or more, increases (the latest month for which data are negotiated this year averaged 5.8 peravailable)—and to a rise in mortgage cent for the first contract year alid 5.3 interest rates. Late in the second percent annually over the contract life. quarter, lending was further curtailed The first-year increase was about l}i in some States as mortgage interest percentage points less than the 1972 rates rose above the limit permissible average, and the contract-life increase under existing usury laws. about 1 percentage point less. Several steps have recently been A larger than usual number of major taken to improve the availability of contracts were up for negotiation. Almortgage funds. The Federal Home together, 351 major agreements (those Loan Banks have stepped up then- involving 1,000 workers or more) coverlending to the S&L's, with outstanding ing about 2% million workers were conadvances up from about $8 billion at cluded in the first half of this year; the end of last year to $8% billion in major settlements were reached in the March and $12% billion in July. In railroad, apparel, petroleum, electrical addition, the Federal Home Loan Bank machinery, trucking, rubber, and conBoard reduced the reserves that the struction industries. S&L's must maintain from 6.5 to 5.5 The decline in the size of contract percent of deposits, thereby freeing settlements in the first half was ensome $2% billion for expansion of tirely in nonmanufacturing industries, mortgage lending activity. To offset where settlements averaged 5.6 percent some of the adverse impact that rising for the first year and 5.1 percent per market interest rates were having on year over the life of the contract (chart the flow of funds to the thrift institu- 3). In contrast, there was almost no tions, the Federal regulatory agencies change from 1972 in the size of manuin early July raised the structure of facturing settlements, which averaged interest rates permissible on consumer- 6.3 percent for the first year and 5.6 type time and saving deposits. In an percent per year over the contract life. effort to increase lending under Gov- This was the first time since comparable ernment-guaranteed and insured loans, figures became available in 1968 that interest rates at which FHA and VA increases negotiated in manufacturing mortgages can be written were raised exceeded those in other industries. from 7 percent to 7% percent in July. The average annual life-of-contract However, commitments under the new increase in manufacturing settlements ceiling could not become effective until has shown remarkably small fluctua- 6 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS tions since 1968, holding in a range of 5 in manufacturing, while in the first half to 6 percent except for a somewhat of 1973 it was only about the same as in larger figure in 1971. The range of first- manufacturing. This sharp reduction year increases has been somewhat wider in construction settlements reflects in but still moderate. In construction, on part the efforts of the Construction Inthe other hand, fluctuations have been dustry Stabilization Committee, which extreme. For example, in 1970 the came into existence in March 1971, average life-of-contract increase in and to some degree also an increase in construction was 2 y2 times as great as competition from lower-paid nonunion workers. The wage control authorities under the various phases of the economic CHART 3 stabilization program that began 2 years ago have focused their attention Wage Increases Under mainly on increases currently becoming Collective Bargaining effective, deferring action on increases • • In first year of contract scheduled for the future. Partly as a • • Over life of contract Percent Per Year result of this policy, the amount of 15 ALL INDUSTRIES "front loading"—providing for a disproportionate share of the total increase 10 to become effective in the first contract year—has diminished sharply. In the first half of 1973, the difference in size batween the average first-year and the average annual life-of-contract wage increases was only ){ percentage point, MANUFACTURING much less than in any of the past 5 years; in 1970, at the peak of front 10 loading, this difference was 3 percentage points. The heavy emphasis on front loading in 1970 reflected pressure by unions for an immediate "catch up" on the unexpectedly large price inflation which had occurred during the life of CONSTRUCTION earlier major contract settlements, 15 mostly negotiated in 1967. NONMANUFACTURING EXCLUDING CONSTRUCTION 15 10 i 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1st Half NOTE —Figures plotted are mean percentage increases in straight time hourly earnings resulting from collective-bargaining agreements reached in the time period indicated and covering 1,000 or more workers. Data: BLS U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis 73-8-3 Cost of living escalation The number of workers covered by cost-of-living escalator clauses increased sharply in 1971, from about 3 million at the beginning of the year to 4.3 million at the end—about 20 to 25 percent of the total union membership—as the clauses were introduced or reinstated in several large contracts. Since then, however, the number of major contracts with escalator clauses has shown little change, but the proportion of workers on nonfarm payrolls who are covered by escalation is the highest since 1960. Although the number of major contracts with escalator clauses has not changed significantly this year, the improvement of existing escalator clauses, generally to permit faster escalation, is an important bargaining August 1973 issue. In the auto industry negotiations, the United Auto Workers are demanding a major liberalization of the cost-ofliving formula in their contract. In an inflationary period, of course, escalator clauses have the effect of increasing wage rates by a larger percentage than the increases actually specified in the contracts. In manufacturing settlements this year, those without escalator protecttion specified somewhat larger wage increases than those with escalation—the typical pattern. In norimanufacturing settlements, however, wage increases in contracts without escalator clauses averaged somewhat less than those in contracts which include such clauses. This development largely reflects the relatively small wage increase, with no provision for escalation, in the railroad settlement, where emphasis was mainly on pension benefits. Another factor was the further sharp decline in settlements in the construction industry, where escalator clauses are very rare. Strike activity Although some 40 percent more workers were covered by major contract settlements ir. the first half of this year than in the same period of last year, agreements were reached with remarkably little conflict, and the amount of work time lost in strikes continued the downtrend of the past 2 years. The number of man-days of idleness in strikes in the first half of this year w^as about 20 percent below the relatively small number in the first half of last year, and the estimated percent of working time lost in strikes was lower than in any year since the early 1960's, when the postwar lows were reached. An exception to the general harmony was the public schools, where strikes in five major school systems accounted for 8 percent of the time lost in strikes in the first half of this year. The downtrend in negotiated wage increases and the relatively low level of strike activity in the first half coincided with a very sharp acceleration of the rise in consumer prices—chiefly in food, which rose 10 percent in the 6 (Continued on page 52) SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 CHART 4 • Revised estimates show GNP up $29V2 billion in second quarter, real GNP up 2.4 percent • In July: Employment was little changed, unemployment rate edged down to 4.7 percent Wholesale price index fell as result of drop in nonindustrial prices TOTAL PRODUCTION THE LABOR MARKET Billion $ 1,400 Percent 92 16 CURRENT DOLLAR GNP ** 1,300 PRICES Million Persons CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE AND EMPLOYMENT* IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATOR FOR GNP (Change From Previous Quarter)** 12 Labor Force \ Inventory Change 1,200 J ^ ~ 84 r .... 1,100 80 - T o t a l ^ ^ ^ * F i n a l Sales \ 1,000 i i i i Quarterly (II) i 1 1 I / • • " " Hi. Lull - .. Employment i 1111 111 11 i 11 11 >l i i 76 * i i ii i Ii i il I II i Monthly (July) BEA Quarterly I BLS Billion $ 80 CURRENT DOLLAR GNP (Change From Previous Quarter)* Percent Percent 8 16 60 6 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE * CHAW PRICE INDEX FOR GNP (Change From Previous Quarter)* Total 12 ' 4 Fin ISales ; - ^% Married Men L / lh. hull 2 0 Quarterly (II) Monthly (July) Billions 80 170 Inventory Change Total -- ^Je^* ^ - •• - ? • • " ' 68 Final Sales 1 1 i I i I Quarterly (II) i I i 64 i 11 111 i 11 i i i i i 1111111 i i i I I 11 i 111 i Monthly (July) BEA Hours 15 45.0 CONSTANT DOLLAR (1958) GNP (Change From Previous Quarter) ** 130 140 120 42.5 130 110 - Average Weekly Hours (left scale) 35.0 1973 BEA Q u a r t e r l y (II) "Seasonally Adjusted at Annual Rates U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis ^ Monthly (July) ' Retail Food* | 11 M 1 1 1 1 11 1 1 111 11111 i i iiii1 iiii i BLS 1967 = 100 160 3.50 140 — Farm Products Processed Foods andFeedsv A / ^ / / 1973 120 " i 11 M | i 11 i i i M i il i i M i i 11 i 11 i 11 i i 3.00 1972 "- 180 3.75 3.25 1971 r v Totay 37.5 1972 Total WHOLESALE PRICES Average Hourly Earnings / " ' (right scale) N ^ . - - * * " •*•*• / Monthly (June) 4.00 " - BLS Dollars 40.0 ^Seasonally Adjusted 150 PRODUCTION OR NONSUPERVISORY WORKERS (PRIVATE)* Final Sales 1971 140 Man-Hours** (right scale) Percent 10 160 - 72 \ 600 150 CONSUMER PRICES 76 Employment* (left scale) BEA 1967 = 100 NONFARM ESTABLISHMENTS 900 - 800 - Quarterly (II) BLS Million Persons CONSTANT DOLLAR (1958) G N P * * 700 1 1| M |M 11 1 1 f 11 1I 1| 1 | | 1 111 1i 1 11 1 1 BEA Billion $ 1,000 BEA BLS 100 Industrial Commodities i 111 \ | j 11 | | I I i i i 1 t i I i i 111111111 i i 1971 1972 Monthly (July) 1973 BLS 8 SUEVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 CHART 5 In July: Personal income rose $7lA billion, about equal to average increase in first half Advance report shows retail sales up 3% percent Sales rate of new domestic-model cars edged back up to 10 million units • • • CONSUMPTION AND SAVING INCOME OF PERSONS Billion $ 1,100 850 PERSONAL INCOME** 1,000 FIXED INVESTMENT Percent Billion $ Billion $ 18 125 14 100 PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES* AND PERSONAL SAVING RATE* - 800 /I 900 - 750 800 - 700 Personal Consumption Expenditures (left scale) Producers' Durable Equipment * 10 75 Residential Structures** 50 Personal Savirg Rate (right scaje) 11111111 700 LLl 1 1 1 I 1 I 1 1 1 1 11 1 1 I I 1 I I I I I i 650 i I i Billion $ ^Nonresidential Structures** i i Quarterly (II) BEA Monthly (July) i Billion $ 700 Billion $ i i i i i i i i BEA Quarterly ( H ) Billion $ no J^ 650 - i BEA 45 WAGES AND SAURIES** i RETAIL STORE SALES* PUNT AND EQUIPMENT EXPENDITURES ** / ,.©-'" y 40 100 .&' Total (left scale) ^ y ^ / 200 35 150 30 11111 h 11 1 1 1 111111111 1 I I 1 1 I 1 I 1 1 1 1100 25 600 ****** 550 ~ - 7~7"n,,., 1 Million Unit* 12 NEW CAR SALES** Billion $ 900 DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME** i,.... y - 800 Imports (right scale) 700 i i i 1 70 1 A 10 Domestic (left scale) New Orders i i i i i t 4 Ii ii i IIi i i i i 1 I i i l II IIi i i I 1Ii i I 1 i i i )I1 0 Monthly (July) BEA 6 i n i 11111 11 Trade Sources & BEA 1 ry* 3.5 REAL PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME** 2,900 _ (In 1958 Dollars) - 2.4 2,800 - 1.6 2,700 - .8 1 1 1 1972 Q u a r t e r l y (II) 1 n 1 BEA **Seasonally Adjusted at Annual Rates Digitized for U.S. FRASER Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis I - 3.0 - 2.0 A Permits i 111 1111 111 1 1 11971 II 1 II 1 1 i 1973 Census PRIVATE HOUSING* NET CHANGE IN INSTALLMENT CREDIT OUTSTANDING* 1 i 11 i 11111 11 11111 1 11111 Monthly (June) Million Units ^Seasonally Adjusted 1 - 3.2 1 1 8 Billion $ I 1 12 3,000 1971 1 Billion $ Dollars 1 1 Shipments Quarterly (II) 2,600 1 CAPITAL GOODS MANUFACTURERS* (NONDEFENSE) - y0^— o Expected 80 14 A ' - Census Million Units 10 850 111111111M Monthly (July) BEA Monthly (July) 750 90 ^Excluding Automotive Group / Manufacturing (right scale) 500 - 1972 Monthly (June) II 1 1 ! I 1 1 1 II 1.5 1**11 i \ I n n i i i i111 i I I i 1971 1973 FRB 1972 Monthly (July) I IIII1 I I 1973 Census SUEVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 CHART 6 In June: Book value of manufacturing and trade inventories rose $2.6 billion, ratio to sales increased slightly In second quarter: balance of payments position improved on both net liquidty and official reserve bases Federal fiscal position was in approximate balance on NIA basis GOVERNMENT FOREIGN TRANSACTIONS INVENTORIES Billion $ 15 Billion $ Billion $ 10 200 GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND SERVICES** NET EXPORTS ** CHANGE IN BUSINESS INVENTORIES* (6NP Basis) 160 10 llii.illn Quarterly (II) 120 Federal Total 80 Defense \ * 40 -10 -5 State and Local BEA Quarterly (II) Quarterly (ll) BEA BEA Billion $ Billion $ 320 210 MANUFACTURING AND TRADE INVENTORIES* - (Book Value, End of Month) 200 FEDERAL BUDGET** (NIA Basis) , / _ 280 / Expenditures 190 Total - 180 ^ ^ t 11 111 111 i i 170 >^ 111111 i 11 i i - 240 - 200 i 111 11 i 11 11 Monthly (June) 2 I i il i i 1i I i ItI I II ii Iii Iii Ii i i Il III i i I Census & BEA Monthly (June) 5 Manufacturing -5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 i 1 1 1 1 11 11 1I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 60 Monthly (June) i i i i i i i Quarterly (II) I BEA Billion $ 50 - - r\ .>•••"• .V... 80 i - Current Account __—X—-—i — Trade 100 Receipts BALANCE OF PAYMENTS * MANUFACTURING AND TRADE INVENTORIES* (Book Value, End of Month) 120 160 — Census Billion $ 10 Billion $ 140 /*"" - 10 -Current Account and Long-Term Capital i i i - i Census & BEA i i i i Quarterly (I) i -50 BEA BEA Billion $ Billion $ Ratio Quarterly 2.6 INVENTORY-SALES RATIOS* BALANCE OF PAYMENTS * DEFENSE PRODUCTS MANUFACTURERS* 2.2 Net Liquidity, Balance Manufacturing New uraers Orders / \ . -5 -10 1.0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1i 1 1i 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1971 1972 i 111 11 i 11 11 1973 Monthly (June) Census & BEA ^Seasonally Adjusted **Seasonally Adjusted at Annual Rates Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis Digitized forU.S. FRASER -15 Shipments Y N f f i i c i a l Reserve Transactions Balance Total Manufacturing' and Trade i i 1971 i I i i 1972 Quarterly { i 0 IIII II{II IIIIIII I1 JtIIIM III IIIIII I 1973 1971 BEA 1972 Monthly (June) 1973 Census 73-8-6 10 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 CHART 7 • • • In July: Bank credit increased strongly, money supply growth slowed Interest rates and bond yields rose further In second quarter: Corporate profits before tax (including IVA) rose more than $4V2 billion INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Billion $ 280 Nondurable Manufactures / no z*s"" 550 Money Supply (right scale) Total ,—' *S/^ 100 w*+ y r - 500 _ 450 N ^ Durable Manufactures - 260 100 - 240 -- 220 50 200 25 I Nonfinancial Corporations ^ B a n k Credit (left scale) 11 1 1 11 1 I 1 1 1 111111 111 11 I i 1 I I 1 I 1 I 1 l 90 CORPORATE PROFITS AND IVA, BEFORE TAXES* / , •*** r Billion $ 125 BANK CREDIT AND MONEY S U P P L Y * / ^ INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION* 120 PROFITS AND COSTS MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITIES MARKETS Billion $ 600 1967 = 100 130 400 i 11 i 11 111 11 . i i . i f i « . i i 11111111111 I I I I I 34 100 32 75 i I I I II I II I II i I t I II Il I i II )l M I I I I II I Monthly (June) -2 i i i nTi i i i i i ii i I Iiii i i I IIIIIIi I I 30 50 28 25 I Billion $ 100 10 Manufacturing 90-Day Commercial Paper 6 I I I I I I Q u a r t e r l y (II) I ? 1 I I I I I 1 I BEA /f 16 Compensation _ // Output - JlMJU V 3-Month I I COMPENSATION AND REAL OUTPUT PER MAN-HOUR, PRIVATE ECONOMY (Change From Previous Quarter)** 4 70 I .•- Quarterly (II) / Corporate Aaa (Moody's) 8 90 1 BEA Percent 24 INTEREST RATES AND BOND Y i a D RATIO, OUTPUT TO CAPACITY* I FRB Monthly (July) FRB Percent I I Cash Flow After Dividends \ I I Profits After Tax 75 60 I I CORPORATE CASH FLOW AND PROFITS** 'Net Free Reserves (left scale) 80 I Billion $ 125 /V—' 50 I Quarterly (II) Billion $ 1967=100 150 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION* I Monthly (July) FRB Monthly (June) bZF*' Treasury Bills i 11 11 111 i 11 11 i i 111 11 i i i i 111 i 11 i i i i -8 Quarterly (II) Monthly (July) FRB Billion $ 1941-43=10 Percent 52 140 24 STOCK PRICES DURABLE GOODS MANUFACTURERS* 120 ~~ BLS UNIT LABOR COSTS, PRIVATE ECONOMY (Change From Previous Quarter)** Standard and Poor's 500 s 16 V 100 80 20 I IiI IIIIII I 1971 i i I i i l I I 1972 M o n t h l y (June) ^Seasonally Adjusted i iI I i iI i i I I I 111 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 1971 1973 Census **Seasonally Adjusted at Annual Rates Digitized forU.S.FRASER Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis 60 - - !•-1 .. il !•-••! 1 1 1 1 ll 1 1 1 II 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 II- 8 1972 Monthly (July) 1973 1971 1972 Quarterly (II) 1973 BLS SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 11 NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT TABLES 1972 1971 1972 I II 1973 III IV I 1972 II 1971 1972 I II Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1973 III IV I II Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Billions of current dollars Billions of 1958 dollars Table 1.—Gross National Product in Current and Constant Dollars (1.1, 1.2) Gross national product ,055.5 1,155.2 1,112.5 1,142. 4 1,166.5 1,199.2 1,242.5 1,272.0 Personal consumption expenditures.. Durable goods Nondurable goods. Services Gross private domestic investment. Fixed investment Nonresidential Structures...^ Producers' durable equipmentResidential structures . Nonfarm Farm Change in business inventories. Nonfarm Farm 745.4 790.7 768.0 785.6 796.7 812.3 829.3 834.3 667.2 726.5 700.2 719.2 734.1 752.6 779.4 795.6 496.3 526.8 512.5 523.4 531.0 540.5 552.7 553.3 103.6 278.7 284.9 117.4 299.9 309.2 111.5 288.8 300.0 115.1 297.9 306.2 120.2 302.3 311.6 122.9 310.7 319.0 132.2 322.2 325.0 132.8 330.3 332.6 92.2 211.6 192.4 104.0 220.9 201.8 99.2 215.0 198.2 101.9 220.7 200.8 105.8 222.2 202.9 109.2 225.8 205.4 116.2 228.0 209.1 153.2 178.3 167.5 174.7 181.5 189.4 194.5 198.2 110.3 122.9 116.5 121.0 124.8 129.1 117.0 228.8 207.0 130.2 147.1 172.3 165.8 169.2 172.9 181.2 189.9 193.7 105.0 118.3 115.4 116.7 118.2 122.8 126.9 126.9 104.4 37.9 66.5 118.2 41.7 76.5 114.0 41.0 73.1 116.3 41.5 74.9 118.3 41.3 77.0 124.3 43.0 81.2 130.9 45.3 85.5 134.1 47.2 86.9 76.1 22.5 53.6 83.7 23.0 60.8 81.5 23.0 58.4 82.5 23.0 59.5 83.4 22.7 60.7 87.5 23.1 64.3 91.2 23.8 67.4 91.5 24.4 67.2 42.7 42.2 54.0 53.5 51.8 51.2 52.8 52.3 54.5 53.9 56.9 56.4 .5 59.0 58.4 59.6 59.1 .5 29.0 28.6 .4 34.6 34.2 .4 34.0 33.6 .4 34.2 33.9 .4 34.7 34.3 .4 35.3 35.0 .3 35.6 35.3 .4 35.3 35.0 .3 6.1 4.5 1.6 6.0 5.6 .4 1.7 1.4 .4 5.5 4.8 .7 8.7 8.4 .3 8.2 7.9 .3 4.6 4.4 .2 4.5 4.4 .1 5.3 3.8 1.4 4.6 4.5 .1 1.1 1.0 .1 4.3 4.0 .3 .0 6.3 6.2 .1 3.3 3.2 .1 3.4 3.3 .1 -4.6 -5.5 -5.7 -3.8 -3.5 .0 2.8 .4 -2.0 -3.7 -2.8 -.9 2.0 5.6 66.3 65.5 73.5 78.1 70.3 75.8 69.9 75.6 74.0 77.7 79.7 83.2 89.7 89.7 97.2 94.4 52.7 52.4 56.4 55.4 59.1 54.1 56.8 56.6 57.5 59.6 60.3 65.3 63.3 66.6 61.1 234.3 255.0 250.3 254.2 254.7 260.7 268.6 275.3 138.4 142.7 144.0 141.8 143.5 144.4 145.2 98.1 71.6 26.5 104.4 74.4 30.1 106.0 76.5 29.5 106.7 76.6 30.1 102.3 71.9 30.4 102.7 72.4 30.3 105.5 74.3 31.2 107.3 74.2 33.1 60.9 63.0 62.9 58.8 58.6 58.2 58.2 136.2 150.5 144.3 147.5 152.4 158.0 163.0 168.0 77.5 79.7 81.1 83.0 85.0 ,6.2 87.0 Net exports of goods and services Exports Imports Government purchases of goods and services Federal. National defense.. Other State and local. 130.2 58.4 143.0 60.8 82.2 Table 2.—Gross National Product by Major Type of Product in Current and Constant Dollars (1.3, 1.5) Gross national product _ 1,055.5 1,155.2 1,112.5 1,142. 4 1,166.5 1,199.2 1,242.5 1,272.0 745.4 790.7 768.0 785.6 796.7 812.3 829.3 834.3 Final sales Change in business inventories. Goods output. 1, 049. 4 1,149.1 1,110. 8 1,136. 9 1,157. 8 1,191.0 1, 237. 8 1, 267. 5 6.1 8.2 6.0 1.7 5.5 4.6 4.5 8.7 497.1 541.4 536.4 516.9 548.6 589.6 563.6 604.2 740.1 5.3 786.1 4.6 766.9 1.1 781.3 4.3 790.0 6.6 806.0 6.3 826.0 3.3 831.0 3.4 396.1 423.9 407.3 421.5 428.4 438.4 452.1 453.9 555.4 8.2 233.2 222.8 10.4 585.0 4.6 599.6 4.5 390.8 5.3 419.3 4.6 406.2 1.1 417.2 4.3 421.7 6.6 432.1 6.3 448.7 3.3 450.5 3.4 214.6 211.4 3.2 539.9 8.7 222.6 216.8 5.8 242.5 238.1 4.4 249.7 242.4 7.3 163.0 161.3 1.7 184.1 180.2 3.9 173.5 173.2 .3 180.4 177.7 2.7 186.2 181.8 4.4 196.3 188.0 8.2 203.4 200.3 3.2 207.1 201.8 5.4 311.0 309.7 1.3 321.9 319.6 2.3 326.0 323.1 2.9 330.3 332.5 —2.2 347.2 346.9 .3 354.5 357.3 -2.8 233.1 229.5 3.6 239.8 239.1 .7 233.8 233.0 .8 241.1 239.5 1.6 242.2 240.0 2.2 242.1 244.1 —1.9 248.7 248.5 .2 246.7 248.7 -2.0 471.8 123.8 481.5 124.4 491.8 126.2 503.9 131.7 514.8 138.1 527.7 140.1 280.1 69.1 292.6 74.2 286.8 73.9 290.3 73.8 294.5 73.8 298.8 75.1 300.6 76.7 304.1 76.3 Final sales Change in business inventories. Durable goods Final sales Change in business inventories. 491.1 6.1 535.4 6.0 515.2 1.7 531.0 5.5 193.1 191.1 2.0 219.1 214.1 4.9 205.9 205.5 .4 Nondurable goods Final sales Change in business inventories . 304.0 299.9 4.1 322.3 321.2 1.1 447.4 110.9 487.3 126.5 Services Structures. Table 3.—Gross National Product by Sector in Current and Constant Dollars (1.7, 1.8) Gross national product.. Private Business Nonfarm. Farm Households and institutions. Rest of the world General government.. Federal State and local 1,055.5 1,155.2 1,112.5 1,142.4 1,166.5 1,199.2 1,242.5 1,272.0 S30.3 1,019.7 980.3 1,008. 6 1,030.0 1,060.0 1,098.9 1,126.2 889.9 859.4 30.4 975.4 941.0 34.4 937.8 904.8 33.0 965.2 931.3 33.9 33.5 7.0 36.8 7.5 35.5 7.0 36.6 6.8 37.5 7.6 125.1 47.6 77.6 135.4 50.3 85.1 132.2 50.5 81.7 133.8 50.0 83.8 136.5 50.2 86.4 984.9 1, 013. 6 1, 050. 5 1,075.6 976.9 1, 008. 9 1,032.3 951.0 33.9 36.7 41.6 43.3 37.8 8.7 139.2 50.5 88.7 745.4 790.7 768.0 785.6 796.7 812.3 829.3 834.3 684.7 729.5 707.3 725.0 735.3 750.3 767.1 772.0 662.2 636.3 26.0 706.6 682.0 24.6 684.7 659.2 25.6 702.6 677.4 25.2 712.3 688.7 23.6 726.8 702.5 24.2 742.9 718.1 24.8 747.5 726.1 22.4 39.3 9.1 40.5 10.1 16.8 5.6 17.4 5.5 17.2 5.4 17.4 5.0 17.5 5.5 17.4 6.2 18.0 6.3 18.2 6.3 143.5 52.5 91.1 145.8 52.2 93.6 60.7 23.0 37.6 61.1 21.8 39.3 60.7 22.1 38.6 60.6 21.7 38.9 61.3 21.7 39.7 62.0 21.7 40.3 62.2 21.6 40.6 62.4 21.4 41.0 HISTORICAL STATISTICS THE national income and product data for 1929-63 are in The National Income and Product Accounts of the United States, 1929-1965, Statistical Tables (available at $1 from Commerce Department District Offices or the Superintendent of Documents; see addresses inside front cover). Each July SURVEY contains preliminary data for the latest 2 years and fully revised data for the preceding 2. The July 1973 issue has data for 1969-72. Prior July issues have fully revised data as follows: 1968-69, July 1972; 1967-68, July 1971; 1966-67, July 1970; 1965-66, July 1969; 1964-65, July 1968. BE A will provide on request a reprint of the fully revised data for the years 1964-69. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 12 1972 1972 1971 II I August 1973 1973 III I IV 1972 II* 1971 1972 Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 1,055.5 1,155.2 1,112.5 1,142.4 1,166.5 1,199.2 1,242.5 1,272.0 Less: Indirect business tax and nontax liability... Business transfer payments Statistical discrepancy.. Plus: Subsidies less current surplus government enterprises Equals: National income Less: Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment Contributions for social insurance Wage accruals less disbursements Plus: Government transfer payments to persons. Interest paid by government (net) and by consumers. „ Dividends Business transfer payments Equals: Personal income.. 102. 4 98.4 103.6 98.4 102.3 8 1,064. 961.6 1,052.8 1,014. 2 1, 105.1 106.9 109.1 [,094.1 1,135.5 11,162.9 102.4 109.5 106.5 108.4 110.5 112.8 115.6 117.2 4.3 4.6 -1.5 4.5 -6.7 4.6 -1.0 4.7 1.6 4.7 .2 4.8 1.1 4.9 1.9 -3.4 1.7 1.2 1.5 I II* 859.4 941.8 911.0 928.3 949.2 978.6 1015.0 1039.4 Compensation of employees. Wages and salaries._ - Private Military Government civilian. 1.8 .4 2.2 978.6 1,015.0 1,039.4 859.4 941.8 911.0 928.3 949.2 80.1 91.1 86.2 88.0 91.5 98.8 104.3 109.0 64.6 73.7 71.7 72.9 74.5 75.8 89.3 90.9 .6 -.5 -1.4 -.4 -.2 .0 .0 -.3 88.9 98.3 94.3 95.3 96.4 107.3 108.8 110.8 31.0 25.1 32.7 26.0 31.6 25.7 32.6 25.9 32.9 26.2 33.7 26.4 34.7 26.9 36.1 27.3 4.8 4.9 4.3 4.6 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.7 863.5 939.2 910.8 926.1 943.7 976.1 644.1 707.1 684.3 699.6 713.1 731.2 757.4 774.9 573.8 627.3 607.3 620.8 632.5 648.7 666.7 682.3 449.7 493.3 476.4 488.4 497.5 510.9 525.1 538.7 19.4 20.3 20.9 20.1 20.0 20.1 20.9 20.5 104.7 113.8 110.0 112.3 115.1 117.7 120.7 123.1 Supplements to wages and salaries. _ 70.3 Employer contributions for social insurance 33.7 79.7 77.0 78.9 80.5 82.5 90.8 92.6 39.0 37.9 38.7 39.3 40.2 47.4 48.3 36.6 40.7 39.1 40.2 41.3 42.3 43.3 44.2 68.7 74.2 72.5 73.2 74.1 77.1 80.6 81.5 51.9 16.8 54.0 20.2 53.1 19.5 53.3 19.9 54.3 19.8 55.3 21.8 56.3 24.3 57.1 24.4 Rental income of persons 24.5 24.1 24.1 22.6 24.9 24.9 24.7 24.6 Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment 80.1 91.1 86.2 88.0 91.5 98.8 104.3 109.0 85.1 98.0 92.8 94.8 98.4 106.1 119.6 130.1 37.4 47.6 25.1 22.5 42.7 55.4 26.0 29.3 40.6 52.2 25.7 26.5 41.4 53.4 25.9 27.5 42.9 55.6 26.2 29.4 Other labor income.. 1.2 IV Table 6.—National Income by Type of Income (1.10) National income Equals: Net national product.. III Billions of dollars Table 4.—Relation of Gross National Product, National Income, and Personal Income (1.9) Less: Capital consumption allowances II Seasonally adjusted at annual rates- Billions of dollars Gross national product I 1973 Proprietors' income Business and professional. Farms Profits before tax.. Profits tax liability Profits after tax Dividends Undistributed profits . Inventory valuation adjustment Net interest -4.9 -6.9 42.0 45.2 45.9 60.3 26.4 33.9 52.7 66.9 26.9 40.0 57.5 72.6 27.3 45.2 - 6 . 6 - 6 . 7 - 6 . 9 - 7 . 3 -15.4 -21.1 43.9 44.8 45.7 46.6 47.9 49.4 996.6 1,019.0 Table 7.—National Income by Industry Division (1.11) Table 5.—Gross Auto Product in Current and Constant Dollars (1.15, 1.16) Billions of current dollars Gross auto product*. Personal consumption expenditures Producers' durable equipment Change in dealers' auto inventories Net exportsExports Imports 40.9 43.6 40.1 42.1 46.5 45.6 51.5 51.2 35.4 39.4 36.6 38.1 41.8 41.2 45.1 44.6 7.9 All industries, total. 859.4 941.8 911.0 928.3 949.2 978.6 1015.0 1039.4 Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries Mining and construction Manufacturing. Nondurable goods. Durable goods 26.2 30.4 29.5 30.0 29.9 32.2 34.7 53.7 59.9 58.3 59.3 60.4 61.8 64.0 226.4 252.6 241.3 248.7 253.9 266.5 280.8 91.8 99.9 i.4 97.7 100.8 104.6 107.3 134.5 152.7 144.9 151.0 153.1 161.9 173.5 Transportation. Communication Electric, gas, and sanitary services Wholesale and retail trade Finance, insurance, and real estate Services Government and government enterprises Rest of the world... 32.8 36.0 35.2 35.3 36.2 37.3 38.2 17.8 20.0 19.2 19.5 20.4 20.8 20.9 16.5 18.2 17.2 18.3 18.5 18.6 19.1 130.9 139.7 136.7 138.3 140.5 143.2 146.9 100.1 107.9 105.0 105.7 109.2 111.6 114.2 109.8 120.1 115.9 119.0 121.8 123.9 128.4 6.3 7.0 6.5 6.7 7.4 7.3 8.0 1.4 -.5 -.4 -.4 -.8 -.4 .9 1.2 -2.6 2.5 5.1 -2.7 3.0 5.7 -2.9 2.7 5.6 -2.8 2.8 5.6 -2.3 3.2 5.4 -2.9 3.3 6.2 -2.8 3.6 6.4 -2.9 3.6 6.5 35.7 7.8 37.9 8.6 34.9 8.2 36.9 8.2 40.3 8.8 39.5 9.4 44.0 10.6 44.8 9.8 Table 8.—Corporate Profits (Before Tax) and Inventory Valuation Adjustment by Broad Industry Groups (6.12) 46.4 45.5 Financial institutions 138.2 149.5 145.8 147.6 150.7 153.9 158.6 7.6 9.1 7.5 7.0 7.0 6.8 8.7 Addenda: New cars, domestic 2 . New cars, foreign Billions of 1958 dollars All industries, total Gross auto product l Personal consumption expenditures Producers' durable equipment. Change in dealers' auto inventories Net exports. Exports... Imports... 36.4 31.4 39.0 35.2 36.1 32.8 37.7 34.0 41.0 36.7 41.4 37.3 40.4 39.6 5.6 6.3 5.8 6.1 6f5 6.7 7.2 7.0 1.2 -.4 -.4 -.3 -.7 -.3 .8 1.0 -2.3 2.3 4.5 -2.4 2.6 5.0 -2.6 2.3 4.9 -2.4 2.4 4.8 -1.9 2.7 4.7 -2.6 3.0 5.5 -2.4 3.2 5.6 -2.5 3.1 5.6 Addenda: New cars, domestic 2 . New cars, foreign 32.4 7.2 34.6 7.9 32.0 7.5 33.5 7.5 36.2 8.0 36.7 8.8 40.6 9.9 40.7 9.0 1. The gross auto product total includes government purchases. 2. Differs from the gross auto product total by the markup on both used cars and foreign cars. •Second quarter corporate profits (and related components and totals) are preliminary and subject to revision next month. Federal Reserve banks Other financial institutions Nonfinancial corporations. Manufacturing Nondurable goods Durable goods Transportation, communication, and public utilities All other industries.. 80.1 91.1 86.2 88.0 91.5 98.8 104.3 109.0 15.2 17.5 16.6 17.3 17.6 18.6 19.8 21.3 3.3 11.9 64.9 3.4 14.1 73.6 3.4 13.3 3.4 14.0 4.4 17.0 70.7 3.4 15.2 80.2 3.9 16.0 69.6 3.4 14.2 73.9 84.5 87.7 32.5 17.8 14.7 40.1 20.0 20.2 37.3 18.6 18.7 38.7 18.5 20.2 39.9 20.4 19.5 44.7 22.4 22.3 49.7 22.8 26.9 8.6 23.9 9.3 24.2 8.5 23.8 8.9 23.1 9.8 24.1 9.9 25.7 9.2 25.6 SUEVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 1972 1971 1972 II 13 1973 III IV I 1972 1971 II 1972 Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Compensation of employees. Wages and salaries Supplements Net interest 60.4 65.9 63.4 66.2 66.0 68.0 57.7 60.8 59.3 60.2 61.2 62.5 Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment Profits before tax Profits tax liability Profits after tax Dividends Undistributed profits Inventory valuation adjustment.. Cash flow, gross of dividends. Cashflow,net of dividends... Gross product originating i n financial institutions Gross product originating in nonfinancial corporations Capital consumption allowances Indirect business taxes plus transfer payments less subsidies — Income originating in nonfinancial corporations...'- 195.4 713.4 70.6 64.3 65.2 17.6 198.7 510.7 121.4 539.5 561.9 577.6 9.2 428.9 414.2 424.6 432.4 444.6 461.6 140.9 373.8 360.9 370.0 376.7 387.6 398.3 48.4 55.1 53.3 54.6 55.6 56.9 63.3 473.4 408.7 64.6 5.0 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 74.4 84.9 80.7 82.3 85.2 91.2 100.5 79.3 91.8 87.3 89.1 92.2 98.6 111.9 121.5 45.9 52.7 42.9 37.4 42.7 40.6 41.4 57.5 41.8 49.1 46.7 47.7 49.3 52.7 59.2 64.0 22.3 23.3 23.2 23.4 23.5 23.0 23.6 23.9 19.6 25.8 23.5 24.3 25.9 29.7 35.6 40.1 - 4 . 9 - 6 . 9 - 6 . 6 - 6 . 7 - 6 . 9 - 7 . 3 -15.4 -21.1 102.\ 115.0 110.1 113.8 115.4 120.7 128.5 134.6 80.0 91.7 86.9 90.5 91.9 97.' 104.9 110.7 32.6 35.4 34.0 35.1 35.7 36.8 38. 40.5 554.1 608.9 587.4 601.9 612.9 633.2 656.7 672.9 60.9 63.5 63.3 65.2 66.3 67.6 58.1 63. 55.1 58.0 56.6 57.4 58.4 59.6 61. 62.2 481.0 491.3 508.4 529.1 543.1 440.9 487. Net interest 398.8 406.1 417.8 434.1 445.4 365.3 403.0 320.3 351.5 339.3 347.8 354.1 364.6 375.0 384.9 45.0 60.5 49.8 51.0 51.9 53.2 59. 16.5 17.4 16.8 17.2 17.5 17.9 18.2 18.6 Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment Profits before tax Profits tax liability Profits after tax Dividends Undistributed profits Inventory valuation adjustment. 67.3 64.0 65.0 67. 72.7 76.? 79.1 74.3 70. 71. 74.6 80.0 92. 100.2 35.0 33.2 33. 35.2 37. 44.3 48.3 34. 39.2 37.4 37.9 39.4 42.2 47.8 51.9 20.3 21.2 21.2 21.3 21. 20.9 21.4 21.8 18.1 16.2 16.6 18. 14. 21.2 26.4 30.2 -4.9 -6.9 -6.6 -6. -6. - 7 . 3 - 1 5 . 4 -21. l Compensation of employees Wages and salaries Supplements .-.. Gash flow, gross of dividends Cash flow, net of dividends 59.2 64.1 92.5 102.5 72.2 81. 77. 101. 102.7 107.3 114. 80.2 81.4 86.4 92. 119.5 97.7 Billions of 1958 dollars Gross product originating in nonfinancial corporations 442.7 475.5 462.3 471.9 477.8 489.8 503.4 509.9 Dollars Current dollar cost per unit of 1958 dollar gross product originating 2in nonfinancial corporations Capital consumption allowances Indirect business taxes plus transfer payments less subsidies Compensation of employees Net interest Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment Profits tax liability Profits after tax plus inventory valuation adjustment.. 1 1.305 1,320 1.252 1.281 1.271 1.276 1.283 1.293 .131 .133 .132 .135 .132 .133 .132 .125 .825 .037 .122 .847 .037 .122 .842 .036 .122 .845 .036 .122 .850 .037 .122 .853 .037 .122 .862 .036 .122 .874 .036 .134 .067 .142 .074 .139 .072 .138 .072 .142 .074 .148 .077 .152 .088 .155 .095 .067 .068 .067 .066 .068 .071 .064 .060 Personal income. I II 163.5 939.2 910.8 926.1 943.7 976.1 996.6 1019.0 Wage and salary disbursements 573.3 Commodity-producing industries. _ 206.3 Manufacturing 160.5 Distributive industries 38.3 Service industries .04.7 Government . ,23.9 627.8 226.0 175.9 51.5 116.1 134.2 608.8 218.2 .9 147.5 111.6 131.6 621.1 223.7 174.0 50.0 114.9 132.6 632.7 227.3 177.0 152.5 117.9 135.0 348.7 234.8 1.7 156.0 120.1 137.8 666.7 241.6 189.1 159.5 123.9 141.6 682.6 248.6 194.8 163.3 126.9 143.7 Other labor income.. 36.6 40.7 39.1 40.2 41.3 42.3 43.3 44.2 Proprietors' income. Business and professional.. Farm. 68.7 51.9 16.8 74.2 54.0 20.2 72.5 53.1 19.5 73.2 53.3 19.9 74.1 54.3 19.8 77.1 55.3 21.8 80.6 56.3 24.3 81.5 57.1 24.4 Rental income of persons.. Dividends Personal interest income.. 24.5 25.1 73.0 24.1 26.0 78.0 24.1 25.7 75.5 22.6 25.9 77.4 24.9 26.2 78.6 24.9 26.4 80.3 24.7 26.9 24.6 27.3 85.6 Transfer payments Old-age, survivors, disability, and health insurance benefits State unemployment insurance benefits Veterans benefits Other.... 93.2 103.0 98.8 44.5 49.6 46.6 47.3 48.0 56.4 5.7 11.2 31.8 5.5 12.7 35.1 5.8 12.0 34.4 6.3 12.1 34.1 5.3 12.6 35.2 4.7 14.1 58.3 4.1 13.3 37.8 30.9 34.7 33.8 34.3 35.2 35.7 41.9 Less: Personal contributions for social insurance 101.1 112.0 82.7 113.6 115.7 60.0 4.1 13.4 38.2 42.6 Less: Personal tax and nontax pay117.5 142.2 138.0 140.7 142.8 147.4 145.1 ments. 149.3 Equals: Disposable personal income.. 746.0 797.0 772.8 785.4 800.9 828.7 851.5 869.7 Less: Personal outlays 685.8 747.2 720.0 739.5 755.1 774.3 801.5 Personal consumption expenditures. 667.2 726.5 700.2 719.2 734.1 752.6 779.4 Interest paid by consumers 19.7 18.8 19.4 20.0 20.7 21.2 Personal transfer payments to for- 17.7 eigners 1.0 1.0 1.0 .9 1.1 1.0 Equals: Personal saving. 49.7 52.9 45.9 45.8 54.4 50.0 60.2 818.7 795.6 22.0 Addenda: Disposable personal income: Total, billions of 1958 dollars.. Per capita, current dollars Per capita, 1958 dollars Personal saving rate,s percent. 554.9 577.9 565.7 571.6 579.3 595.1 603.9 3,603 3,816 3,711 3,765 3,831 3,955 4,057 2,680 2,767 2,716 2,740 2,771 2,841 2,878 8.1 6.2 6.8 5.8 5.7 5.9 1.0 51.0 604.8 4,137 2,877 5.9 Table 11.—Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type (2.3) Personal consumption expendi667.2 726.5 700.2 719.2 734.1 752.6 779.4 tures . 103.6 117.4 111.5 115.1 120.2 122.9 132.2 Durable goods 795.6 132.8 46.6 52.8 49.4 51.2 55.0 55.7 60.5 Automobiles a n d parts 5.0 3.7 4.4 4.1 4.0 4.2 3.3 Mobile homes 48.1 46.6 47.3 48.6 50.0 53.7 Furniture and household equipment. 42.1 17.3 18.0 16.5 16.6 16.6 15.4 14.9 Other 278.7 299.9 288.8 297.9 302.3 310.7 322.2 Nondurable goods 330.3 136.6 145.3 141.0 144.7 146.5 149.1 154.7 57.0 '62.3 59.4 61.7 62.9 65.1 68.3 23.5 25.5 24.7 25.0 25.8 26.6 27.5 61.5 66.8 63.6 66.6 67.2 70.0 71.7 158.1 69.3 28.8 74.2 284.9 309.2 300.0. 306.2 311.6 319.0 325.0 332.6 98.5 105.5 103.1 104.7 106.3 107.9 110.6 39.7 43.8 41.8 43.2 44.5 45.7 46.5 20.4 21.8 21.6 21.7 21.8 22.2 22.8 126.3 138.0 133.5 136.6 138.9 143.1 145.1 113.3 47.1 23.2 149.0 Food and beverages. Clothing and shoes.. Gasoline and oil Other Services.. Housing... Household operation. Transportation Other 59.7 5.0 54.4 18.6 Table 12.—Foreign Transactions in the National Income and Product Accounts (4.1) Receipts from foreigners 1. Excludes gross product originating in the rest of the world. 2. This is equal to the deflator for gross product of nonfinancial corporations, with the decimal point shifted two places to the left. 3. Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income. •Seefootnote on page 12. IV Table 10.—Personal Income and its Disposition (2.1) 186.7 344.3 621.5 537.1 548.6 ;70.i Income originating in corporate business 468.6 III Billions of dollars Table 9.—Gross Corporate Product * (1.14) Gross corporate product.. II Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Billions of dollars Capital consumption allowances Indirect business taxes plus transfer payments less subsidies I 1973 Exports of goods and services.. Capital grants received by the United States Payments to foreigners Imports of goods and services.. Transfers to foreigners.. Personal Government Net foreign investment.. 67.0 74.2 71.1 70.6 74.7 80.4 89.7 97.2 66.3 73.5 70.3 69.9 74.0 79.7 89.7 97.2 .7 .7 .7 .7 .0 .0 67.0 74.2 71.1 70.6 74.7 80.4 89.7 97.2 65.5 78.1 75.8 75.6 77.7 83.2 89.7 94.4 3.6 1.0 2.6 3.7 1.0 2.7 3.9 1.0 2.9 3.8 .9 2.8 3.8 1.0 2.8 3.5 1.1 2.5 3.0 .9 2.1 3.3 1.0 2.3 -8.7 -6.9 -6.3 -3.0 -.5 .7 -2.1 -7.6 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 14 1972 1971 1972 I II August 1973 1973 III IV I 1972 II* 1971 1972 I Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 198.9 228.7 222.9 225.4 229.6 236.9 253.6 Personal tax and nontax receipts 89.9 107.9 105.6 106.6 108.1 111.3 108.5 Corporate profits tax accruals 33.3 37.8 36.0 36.7 38.0 40.7 46.6 Indirect business tax and nontax accruals 20.4- 19.9 19.7 19.7 19.9 20.3 20.7 Contributions for social insurance. _ _ 55.2 63.0 61.5 62.4 63.6 64.6 77.8 Federal Government expenditures 221.0 244.6 236.6 244.4 237.0 260.3 258.6 Gross national product - 111.4 50.9 Personal consumption expenditures 21.2 79.1 262.4 98.1 104.4 106.0 106.7 102.3 102.7 105.5 71.6 74.4 76.5 76.6 71.9 72.4 74.3 26.5 30.1 29.5 30.1 30.4 30.3 31.2 107.3 74.2 33.1 Transfer payments... To persons To foreigners (net). 74.9 72.3 2.6 82.9 80.1 2.7 79.7 76.8 2.9 80.1 77.3 2.8 80.8 78.0 2.8 91.0 88.5 2.5 91.8 89.7 2.1 91.5 2.3 37.7 13.5 32.2 13.1 38.0 13.6 34.4 13.4 46.1 13.7 41.1 14.7 40.5 15.6 6.1 5.5 -.6 5.5 4.7 -.8 5.9 5.1 -.8 6.2 6.1 -.1 6.7 6.1 -.6 5.5 4.6 -.9 5.1 3.9 -1.2 .0 .0 -.1 .0 .0 .0 -.1 Durable goods.. _ Nondurable goods . Services .. - Table 14.—State and Local Government Receipts and Expenditures (3.3, 3.4) 152.3 177.2 166.2 175.9 175.3 191.2 190.2 192.8 34.3 4.9 32.4 4.6 34.1 4.7 34.6 4.9 36.1 5.2 36.6 6.1 37.9 6.6 89.6 10.7 37.7 86.8 10.2 32.2 88.7 10.5 38.0 90.6 10.9 34.4 92.5 11.3 46.1 94.9 11.6 41.1 96.0 11.8 40.5 State and local government expenditures 148.3 164,0 157.8 160.8 165.9 171.6 176.4 181.2 Purchases of goods and services 136.2 150.5 144.3 147.5 152.4 158.0 163.0 Transfer payments to persons 16.6 18.2 17.5 18.0 18.5 18.8 19.1 Net interest paid - . 2 - . 4 - . 3 - . 4 - . 5 - . 6 -1.2 Subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises -4.1 -4.4 -4.3 -4.4 -4.5 -4.6 -4.6 Subsidies .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 Current surplus 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.3 4.5 4.6 4.7 Less: Wage accruals less disbursements .2 -.1 -.6 .0 .0 .0 - 1 4.0 13.1 8.4 15.2 9.5 19.6 13.9 168.0 19.4 -1.6 -4.7 .0 4.7 11.6 Table 15.—Sources and Uses of Gross Saving (5.1) Gross private saving _ 171.9 174.2 170.2 170.0 170.3 186.0 181.5 184.1 Personal saving 60.2 49.7 52.9 45.9 45.8 54.4 50.0 51.0 Undistributed corporate profits 22.5 29.3 26.5 27.5 29.4 33.9 40.0 45.2 Corporate inventory valuation adjustment - 4 . 9 - 6 . 9 - 6 . 6 - 6 . 7 - 6 . 9 - 7 . 3 -15.4 - 2 1 . 1 Corporate capital consumption 60.4 65.9 63.4 66.2 66.0 68.0 69.3 allowances 70.6 Noncorporate capital consumption 33.4 36.5 34.9 37.5 36.3 37.1 37.7 allowances 38.6 Wage accruals less disbursements .0 -.1 .4 - . 3 - . 9 - . 2 - . 2 .0 Government surplus or deficit (—), national income and product accounts - 1 8 . 1 - 2 . 8 - 5 . 4 - 3 . 9 8.9 2.0 - 3 . 8 11.7 -22.2 -15.9 -13.8 -19.0 - 7 . 4 -23.4 - 5 . 0 Federal 4.0 13.1 8.4 15.2 9.5 19.6 13.9 State and local. Capital grants received by the United States .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 .0 .7 Fixed investment 140.1 145 7 143 6 145 0 146 3 147 6 149 7 152 7 Nonresidential 137.3 141 3 140.0 141 1 141 8 142 1 143 5 146 5 Structures. _ . 168.4 181.7 178.2 180.4 182.2 186.0 190.7 193.9 Producers' durable equipment.. 124.2 126.0 125.0 125.9 126.8 126.3 126.8 129.3 Residential structures Nonfarm . ... Farm. .0 151.1 170.6 158.9 165.9 174.7 183.1 191.5 197.7 198.2 -.5 *See footnote on page 12. 147.5 156.3 152.4 154.4 157.0 161.2 165.6 168.6 147.5 156.4 152.4 154.5 157.1 161.3 165.6 168.6 141.9 150.8 147.2 149.0 151.5 156.0 159.2 162.7 Change in business inventories.. . . Net exports of goods and services 125.7 130.2 127.0 129.2 130.7 133.7 137.4 145.9 125.0 133.6 128.3 133.0 135.2 137.8 141.8 154.5 Exports Imports . . . . . . . State and local 1.9 169.2 178.3 175.4 176.6 179.6 181.6 186.0 189.6 160.9 171.7 168.2 169.8 173.9 175.5 181.2 184.4 175.8 183.2 181.0 181.9 183.7 185.9 189.2 193.1 Table 17.—Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product by Major Type of Product (8.2) Gross national product Final sales Goods output 141.60 146.10 144.85 145.42 146.42 147.63 149.81 152.46 141.8 146.2 144.8 145.5 146.6 147.8 149. 9 152.5 125.5 127.7 126.9 127.3 128.1 128.6 130.4 133.1 118.5 119.0 118.7 118.9 119.2 118.8 119.2 120.5 130.4 134.4 133.0 133.5 134.6 136.4 139.6 143.7 Durable goods Nondurable goods-Services 159.7 166.5 164.5 165.9 167.0 168.6 171.3 173.5 Structures.. 160.4 170.6 167.5 168.6 170.9 175.4 180.1 183.6 Addendum: Gross auto product- 112.4 111.7 111.2 111.9 113.4 110.1 111.1 112.6 Table 18.—Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product by Sector (8.4) Gross national product _ 141.60 146.10 144.85 145.42 146.42 147.63 149.81 152.46 135. 88 134.4 135.1 117.1 Private Business . . . Nonfarm . Farm Households and institutions.. Rest of the world 139.78 138.0 138.0 139.5 138.59 137.0 137.3 129.0 139.12 137.4 137.5 134.8 140.07 138.3 138.1 143.6 141.27 139.5 139.1 151.3 143.25 141.4 140.5 167.6 145.88 143.9 142.4 193.0 198.9 212.1 206.2 221.5 217.9 220.8 222.6 224.6 230.8 233.9 General government.. 206.1 230.5 228.1 229.9 231.4 232.6 243.2 244.3 206.0 216.5 212.0 215.6 217.8 220.2 224.2 228.4 Federal State and local. Table 19.—Gross National Product: Change from Preceding Period (7.7) Percent at annual rate Percent .1 11.6 Gross private domestic investment-. 153.2 178.3 167.5 174.7 181.5 189.4 194.5 Net foreign investment -2.1 -7.6 -8.7 -8.7 -6.9 -6.3 -3.0 3.4 -1.5 -6.7 -1.0 Statistical discrepancy. 1.6 .2 1.1 Gross investment. ... 134.4 137.9 136.6 137.4 138.2 139.2 141.0 143.8 112.3 112.8 112.3 112.9 113.5 112.5 113.0 114.3 131.7 135.7 134.3 135.0 136.0 137.6 140.8 144.8 . . . 148.0 153.2 151.3 152.5 153 5 155 3 157 0 159 0 Gross private domestic investment . . . F e d e r a l . . ._ . Surplus or deficit (—), national income and produ ct accounts II 141.60 146.10 144 85 145 42 146 42147 63149 81 152 46 Government purchases of goods and services Surplus or deficit (—), national income and product accounts - 2 2 . 2 -15.9 -13.8 -19.0 - 7 . 4 -23.4 - 5 . 0 Personal tax and nontax receipts 27.7 Corporate profits tax accruals 4.1 Indirect business tax a n d nontax accruals 82.0 Contributions for social insurance. __ 9.4 Federal grants-in-aid 29.1 I Table 16.—Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product (8.1) 262.5 Purchases of goods and services National defense Other State and local government receipts IV Index numbers, 1958=100 Table 13.—Federal Government Receipts and Expenditures (3.1, 3.2) Grants-in-aid to State and local governments 29.1 Net interest paid 13.6 Subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises 5.3 Subsidies 3.9 Current surplus -1.4 Less: Wage accruals less disbursements .0 III Seasonally adjusted Billions of dollars Federal Government receipts. II 1973 Gross national product; Current dollars Constant dollars . Implicit price deflator Chain price index Gross private product; Current dollars Constant dollars Implicit price deflator Chain price index . . . . 8.7 5.8 11.7 15.2 3.3 3.9 8.7 5.7 5.2 2.8 3.2 8.1 1.6 2.6 6.1 7.1 9.9 2.4 7.3 7.0 9.6 10.6 12.2 15.5 10.3 5.4 4.9 4.0 12.1 10.4 8.7 6.5 2.9 3.1 5.8 2.7 3.2 8.4 3.5 3.9 9.3 5.7 6.5 2.5 7.6 7.2 9.4 6.1 10.9 11.2 4.9 9.5 4.7 5.1 3.2 3.6 7.9 3.5 4.3 4.5 8.0 3.2 1.6 2.2 By JOHN C. MUSGRAVE Alternative Measures of Price Change for GNP, 1970-78 1 HE implicit price deflator for GNP, a byproduct of the calculation of constant-dollar, or "real", GNP, is a composite index of the prices of all the goods and services that make up GNP. Unlike most price indexes, which are constructed with fixed weights, the GNP deflator is based on shifting weights that- reflect the shifting composition of GNP. This was explained in an article in the March 1969 SURVEY,1 which carried a table for the period 1965-68 comparing the quarter-toquarter behavior of the implicit deflator with that of alternative indexes of GNP prices using fixed weights. The fixed weighted price indexes published in 1969 were based on 1958 weights and fourth quarter 1965 weights. New fixed weighted indexes based on 1967 weights were published in the August 1971 SURVEY, which carried a table for the period 1965-71 showing quarter-to-quarter percentage changes in the implicit deflator, in the fixed weighted index using 1967 weights, and in the chain price index. In the chain index calculation, quarter-toquarter percentage changes are weighted by the composition of GNP in the first of the two quarters involved. These measures were updated in the August 1972 SURVEY, to take account of the revised GNP data for 1969-72 published in July 1972. The data presented here take account of the revision of GNP data for 1970-73 published in July 1973. The data for 1965-68 published in the August 1971 SURVEY and the data for 1969 published in the August 1972 SURVEY have not been revised. The quarter-to-quarter percentage changes in the implicit 1. "Alternative Measures of Price Change for GNP" by Allan H. Young and Claudia Harkins, SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS, March 1969. Reprints are available on request. to a steady decline in the weight of Federal general government employee compensation in real GNP, resulting from declining Federal employment, particularly in the military. Because the level of the deflator for Federal general government employee compenSURVEY. Table 1 shows quarter-to-quarter sation is high relative to the deflator for percentage changes in the various price total GNP (on a base of 1958 = 100), a measures. Table 2 shows quarterly decrease in this component's weight values of the fixed weighted price tends to hold down the level of the imindexes calculated with 1967 weights. plicit deflator for GNP, and this has The indexes are shown on the base the effect of holding down the rate of 1958 = 100, the same base used for the increase in the implicit deflator. implicit deflators. The declining weight of Federal general government employee compensaFor total GNP, the fixed weighted tion was not the only factor in the index based on 1967 weights and the divergence of the price measures since chain index increased at about the same 1971-1. A similar, though less sharp, rate as the implicit deflator in the pattern of divergence can be seen in the period 1965-70, although there were measures of price change for gross occasional short-run divergences beprivate product (GNP less output of cause of changes in the composition of constant-dollar GNP, which affect the general government, represented by implicit GNP deflator but neither of compensation of ^general government the two alternative measures. However, employees). Here, too, the fixed as was noted in the August 1972 weighted index increased faster than the SURVEY, the alternative measures implicit deflator in nine of the ten quarshowed faster increases than the im- ters, but the excess averaged only 0.6 plicit deflator in the period 1971-1 percentage point (at an annual rate), through 1972-11. This divergence con- and the chain index increased faster tinued through the second quarter of than the deflator in eight of the ten 1973. Thus, in nine of the ten quarters quarters, but the excess averaged only from 1971-1 through 1973-11, the fixed 0.3 percentage point. This divergence weighted index increased at a faster resulted from a decline over this period rate than the implicit deflator, while in the weights of components of gross the chain index increased at a faster private product with relatively high rate than the implicit deflator in eight deflators (on a base of 1958 = 100), of these ten quarters. The quarterly in- notably output of highways and streets crease in the fixed weighted index and nonresidential buildings purchased averaged 0.8 percentage point greater by State and local governments and (at an annual rate) than the increase output of private industrial buildings, in the deflator over this period, while and from an increase in the weights of the quarterly increase in the chain index components with relatively low deaveraged 0.5 percentage point greater flators, notably output of passenger than the increase in the deflator. This cars and furniture and household equippersistent divergence was due largely ment purchased by consumers. deflators and chain indexes for total GNP and for gross private product are updated on an ongoing basis in table 19 of the national income and product tables published every month in the SURVEY and in table 7.7 in the July 15 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 16 August 1973 Table 1.—Price Changes as Measured by Implicit Deflators, Fixed Weighted Price Indexes, and Chain Indexes, Quarterly, 1970-1—1973-II [Percent change at annual rate] 1970 I Implicit deflator 1967 weights Gross national product 6.37 6.15 Personal consumption expenditures 5.12 2.27 5.10 5.79 Durable goods Nondurable goods Services Gross private domestic investment Fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Producers'durable equipment- . Residential structures. Change in business inventories _. . _ ._. -. . - Net exports of goods and services Exports Imports -- . . - . Government purchases of goods and services Federal State and local Addendum: Gross private product II Chain Implicit deflator 1967 weights 5.99 4.57 4.96 5.13 1.82 5.40 6.00 5.05 1.82 5.31 5.97 3.60 2.25 3.86 4.19 4.20 6.02 6.38 5.39 -2.80 3.15 5.04 6.21 4.39 -2.75 3.14 4.99 6.40 4.23 -2.76 1.52 4.60 1.59 4.73 13.22 18.42 7.86 5.02 III Implicit deflator 1967 weights 4.97 4.12 3.93 3.81 2.44 3.79 4.30 3.82 2.41 3.86 4.29 3.46 3.34 2.74 3.95 3.34 3.05 2.82 3.99 5.32 5.91 9.55 4.18 5.20 6.20 6.53 10.79 4.23 5.11 6.17 6.50 10.72 4.22 5.10 2.44 5.23 8.62 4.32 -7.41 2.72 5.95 9.28 4.11 -7.39 1.59 4.76 6.48 5.99 6.41 5.79 6.41 5.80 6.23 12.33 11.54 14.94 8.21 11.46 15.29 8.21 9.74 10.29 7.91 7.21 5.70 8.76 7.36 5.61 8.87 4.76 4.63 4.10 4.54 4.54 Chain IV Chain Implicit deflator 1967 weights 3.76 6.36 5.40 5.52 3.33 2.96 2.823.99 5.97 7.33 3.19 6.31 5.17 7.79 3.27 6.29 5.16 7.31 3.30 6 30 2.68 5.77 9.02 3.99 -7.37 9.45 10.17 9.70 7.80 4.42 7.43 8 30 9 63 7.56 4.51 7.61 8 55 9 80 7.87 4.50 6.16 12.36 6.16 12.38 -.28 .95 -.08 1.25 -.08 1.24 9.11 8.65 8.67 7.42 5.22 9.67 7.31 5.08 9.10 6.26 4.79 7.09 5.49 4.04 6.94 5.84 4.33 6.98 3.90 3.56 3.36 6.18 5.30 5.42 Chain Table 1.—Price Changes as Measured by Implicit Deflators, Fixed Weighted Price Indexes, and Chain Indexes, Quarterly, 1970—I—1973-11— Continued [Percent change at annual rate] 1971 I Implicit deflator 1967 weights 6.78 4.86 5.25 4.92 4.77 2.86 7.08 4.20 2.41 3.55 5.50 4.32 2.11 3.91 5.49 6.61 6.46 9.34 4.84 7.12 6.49 6.28 8.86 4.78 7.12 6.79 4.77 13.16 1.62 10.77 10.20 7.25 10.23 7.70 10.24 7.60 12.02 18.23 7.12 11.72 16.00 7.58 4.29 5.38 Implicit deflator 1967 weights Gross national product 5.48 6.94 Personal consumption expenditures 3.71 4.67 2.87 7.13 5.00 5.42 2.89 7.06 5.65 4.78 9.45 3.60 7.22 --- Durable goods Nondurable goods Services Gross Drivate domestic investment Fixed investment Nonresidential S tructures Producers' durable equipment Residential structures Change in business inventories.. . _- Net exports of goods and services Exports Imports -- Government purchases of goods and services Federal State and local - Addendum: Gross private product - _. . II Chain III Chain Implicit deflator 1967 weights 3.61 1.30 2.34 1.94 3.48 -1.05 3.22 5.43 1.24 -4.14 2.53 2.28 1.41 -3.41 2.35 2.07 1.27 -3.61 2.36 2.04 6.07 5.13 11.79 1.47 8.45 -1.10 -2.02 7.08 -3.84 1.49 1.77 8.60 -2.18 .62 .64 8.01 -3.45 .59 .53 .55 .44 .52 5.24 5.27 2.13 4.41 3.03 3.87 3.01 3.90 4.10 3.92 4.29 3.87 3.62 4.04 2.62 3.02 2.36 5.40 7.16 3.66 4.99 7.33 3.33 3.71 3.59 .82 1.53 1.25 Implicit deflator 1967 weights 5.18 2.83 3.73 4.23 2.00 3.79 5.48 2.99 -1.26 3.11 5.33 3.49 -1.19 3.20 5.39 6.97 5.89 11.90 2.54 10.74 7.22 5.95 12.24 2.46 10.76 5.68 4.08 12.43 5.94 5.20 11.46 1.64 8.46 2.68 3.16 2.98 3.60 3.00 3.52 5.36 11.60 17.21 7.58 6.40 3.89 8.16 6.88 4.76 9.06 6.92 4.93 8.39 1.31 -1.94 3.89 5.35 4.79 5.10 5.01 2.76 .11 8.41 .99 IV Chain Chain SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 17 Table 1.—Price Changes as Measured by Implicit Deflators, Fixed Weighted Price Indexes, and Chain Indexes, Quarterly, 1970-1—1973-11— Continued [Percent change at annual rate] 1972 I Gross national product-. . .. 1967 weights . 5.73 5.63 3.13 3.27 3.57 3.30 3.27 3.53 3.57 2.89 . . 5.16 1.58 2.83 2.61 2.78 3.16 3.16 3.39 3.41 2.84 2.32 2.11 2.02 3.26 2.61 2.09 2.18 3.22 2.55 1.89 2.14 3.21 2.47 2.32 3.23 2,67 3.15 3 63 3.36 2.78 6.82 6.46 8.94 5.06 6.88 6.71 6.66 9.78 4.72 6.89 6.87 6.88 10.07 5.14 6.85 3.84 3.17 5.09 2.95 5.43 4.32 4.00 5.09 3.33 5.41 4.27 3.76 4.82 3.17 5.42 3.64 2.14 4.01 2.79 6.90 1.45 3.73 .62 4.38 .63 4.43 6.93 15.37 6.94 14.94 6.93 15.19 . . 10.53 16.49 6.41 11.83 15. 78 7.94 10.67 15.59 7.23 2.93 3.80 2.06 3.79 3.60 3.99 . 4.92 4.08 3.96 1.56 2.48 . _. Net exports of goods and services Exports. . Imports Govern ment purchases of goods and services _ Federal State and local Addendum: Gross private product. . . . Chain IV 1967 weights _ Gross private domestic investment Fixed investment . _ Nonresidential Structures Producers' durable equipment Residential structures Change in business inventories Chain III Implicit deflator . Personal consumption expenditures _ Nondurable goods Services. Implicit deflator II Implicit deflator 1967 weights Chain Implicit deflator 1967 weights 3.21 3.35 4.02 3.09 3 26 3.39 2.74 2.92 —3 56 4.64 4.58 3.39 ~ 3 36 4.71 4.30 3.18 —3 70 4 62 4.52 4.11 3.29 5.03 2.21 6.92 4.46 3.36 5.20 2.35 6.92 3.56 .64 8.63 -1.58 11.24 4.83 2.97 8.52 -.42 11.21 4.82 1.97 9.02 -1.67 11.21 4.59 6.79 4.50 6.87 4.50 7.00 9.78 8.11 9.84 8.15 9.86 8.15 4.08 3.71 4.35 6.95 10.01 3.91 3.27 2.35 4.23 3.50 2.57 4.18 4.60 3.66 4.95 4.57 2.41 6.82 4.63 2.72 5.94 2.21 2.74 3.14 3.15 3.50 4.11 3.86 Chain 3.85 1973 I .. Gross private domestic investment... Fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Producers' durable equipment Residential structures... . Change in business inventories . 1967 weights 7.11 7.26 7.55 7.00 6.41 2.35 9.81 4.72 8.14 4.53 11.90 5.27 8.49 4.62 13.20 5.01 8.04 4.62 12.54 5.07 ' 7.13 5.90 11.05 2.67 11.22 6.99 5.08 10.07 2.51 11.24 8.24 8.81 6.78 8.28 7.45 6.53 6.25 6.34 6.19 7.45 6.74 6.43 6.67 6.31 7.44 11.53 11.99 11.29 12.00 11.28 12.09 26.93 41.12 27.21 40.36 26.91 41.00 9.88 13.74 7.28 10.30 12.92 7.70 9.64 12.91 7.55 8.09 7.37 8.48 7.58 7.05 8.13 8.06 7.03 8.73 5.71 7.03 6.53 7.56 7.92 7.18 1967 weights 6.05 7.79 5.14 1.70 9.76 4.57 6.85 2.60 10.37 4.71 5.82 4.01 10.65 1.71 11.23 . . . . Net exports of goods and services Exports. Imports Government purchases of goods and services Federal State and local . . . Implicit deflator Implicit deflator Gross national product Personal consumption expenditures Durable goods _ Nondurable goods Services. II _. Addendum: Gross private product Chain Chain Table 2.—Fixed Weighted Price Indexes, 1967 Weights, 1970-1—1973-11 [1958=100] 1970 II Gross national product.. 1971 III IV II 1972 III IV 1973 II III IV II 133.293 134.917 136.222 138.025 140.361 142.169 143.478 144.311 146. 301 147.327 148.477 149.947 152.785 155.591 Personal consumption expenditures... Durable goods. Nondurabl e goods Services 127.935 107.839 126.611 138.214 129.137 108.491 127.794 139.677 130.203 109.308 128.685 141.050 131.854 111.379 129.724 143.217 133.472 112.858 130.651 145.681 134.889 113.448 131.909 147.640 136.050 113.110 132.951 149.592 136.526 112.133 133.727 150.359 137.629 113.111 134.903 151.434 138.517 113.696 135.631 152.638 139.595 114.713 136.757 153.688 140.762 113.737 138.340 155.316 143.112 114.470 141.794 157.112 146.057 115.769 146.258 159.045 Gross private domestic investment Fixed investment _ Nonresidential Structures. Producers' durable equipment... Residential structures. Change in business inventories....... 130.486 127.878 147.168 119.260 139.860 132.462 129.917 150.987 120.503 141.612 133.355 131.806 154.375 121.723 138.922 135.767 134.461 157.963 123.960 140.462 137.955 136.580 161.529 125.434 142.899 140.298 138.548 166.134 126.223 146.591 142.335 140.315 170.703 126.738 149.598 142.862 140.933 174.261 126.044 149.797 145.202 143.225 178.408 127.506 152.311 146.746 144.636 180.637 128.552 154.332 148.232 145.811 182.866 129.256 156.936 149.990 146.882 186.640 129.119 161.161 152.593 149.002 191.596 129.972 165.502 155.026 151.277 194.563 131.939 168.501 Net exports of goods and services.. Exports Imports 118.198 115.709 120.049 117.348 121.857 120.818 121.834 121.194 124.837 123.461 125.757 124.558 125.894 126.157 126.836 127.361 127.631 128.732 129.181 133.292 130.611 135.525 133.712 138.206 137.335 142.179 145.850 154.756 Government purchases of goods and services Federal _ State and local 152.157 144.105 161.329 154.827 146.116 164.751 157.622 147.987 168. 597 159.740 149.461 171.450 164.226 155.110 174.611 166.980 156.921 178-438 168.667 158.437 180.321 170.899 161.200 181.948 175.742 167.215 185.455 177.384 168.700 187.277 178.819 169.682 189.227 180.828 170.693 192.374 185.316 175.959 195.975 188.733 178.982 199.842 128.615 130-050 131.193 132.898 134.649 136.335 137.583 138.107 139.494 140.352 141.439 142.871 145.316 148.113 Addendum: Gross private product.. By RUSSELL B. SCHOLL The International Investment Position of the United States: Developments in 1972 X HE recorded net international investment position of the United States declined $7.0 billion in 1972. Although this was substantially less than the record $11.5 billion decline in 1971, the real deterioration was probably greater in 1972, when a record deficit on current CHART 8 International Assets and Liabilities of the United States Billion $ - 200 - 180 Nonliquid, U.S. Government l account in the U.S. balance of payments was by far the major contributing factor. In 1971, on the other hand, much of the decline was due to a very large errors and omissions outflow, suggesting that a large part of the recorded deterioration that year was due to substantial underreporting of foreign assets acquired by U.S. private residents. Total U.S. international assets rose $18.6 billion in 1972 to almost $200 billion, but U.S. liabilities to foreigners increased $25.6 billion to about $149 billion. The net investment position at yearend was $50.6 billion, 26 percent below the peak net investment position registered in 1970. This article reviews the factors accounting for the changes in the net international investment position during 1972. It discusses changes in the composition of U.S. assets and liabilities, noting especially the shifts between liquid and nonliquid categories. Finally, the pattern of change in the liquidity structure of the investment position is examined by comparing selected categories of assets and liabilities. Changes in the net international investment position Nonliquid, Private - Liquid, Private Liquid, U.S. Government 1960 1971 1972 Liquid liabilities include other readily marketable and nonliqid liabilities toforeign official agencies as in table 3 line 36. 2. Assets not separately available in 1960. included with private nonliquid assets. 20 The major factors that determine the change in the U.S. net investment position are shown in table 1. The first is the balance of payments effect; it is the sum of the balance on current account (the balance of goods and services and unilateral transfers), alloca- 1. Note.-Refer to table 3 for data. U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis 18 NOTE.—Data prepared under the supervision of Richard Carter with significant contributions from Julius Freidlin, Nancy R. Keith, and E. Seymour Kerber. tions of SDR, and an adjustment for unrecorded transactions (errors and omissions in the balance of payments). This sum, in, an accounting sense, must be equal to net recorded balance of payments capital flows, i.e., the net recorded change in U.S. assets and liabilities resulting from balance of payments transactions. If the unrecorded flows in the balance of payments could be identified, part would presumably go into the recorded current account and part into recorded balance of payments capital flows; then, the current account plus allocations of SDR would equal net recorded balance of payments capital flows. The other two factors that determine the change in the investment position are not included in balance of payments transactions. Net reinvested earnings are retained earnings of U.S. direct investment abroad less those of foreign direct investment in the United States. The third factor is net valuation and other adjustments to outstanding U.S. investments abroad and foreign investments in the United States, including changes in reporting coverage and definition, changes in the market value of outstanding assets and liabilities, and changes in exchange rates. (See table 2, footnote 1.) Essentially, the United States increases its net investment position by making a net transfer abroad of goods and services (i.e., by having a surplus on current account, adjusted for errors and omissions) or by the net reinvesting of foreign, earnings abroad. The position is also affected by changes in the valuation of outstanding assets and liabilities. August 1973 SUEVEY OF CUEEENT BUSINESS The 1972 deficit in the current account, $8.4 billion, was $5.6 billion larger than the $2.8 billion deficit in 1971. Allocations of SDE of $0.7 billion were again favorable. The adjustment for errors and omissions was unfavorable, at $3.1 billion, although this was significantly smaller than the $10.8 billion negative adjustment in 1971. The net result of these three items was unfavorable by $10.8 billion, equivalent to the net recorded capital inflow in 1972. This was somewhat below the previous year's record inflow of $12.9 billion. There was a favorable impact in the net investment position from $4.0 billion of net reinvested earnings, and there was a very small adverse net valuation adjustment of $0.2 billion. In 1971, the net favorable effect of these two factors was much less. A major reason for the continued deterioration in the trade balance and the current account was the strong rise in business activity in the United States, compared with that of our leading trade partners abroad, as well as the initial perverse effects of the December 1971 dollar devaluation. As a result of unsettled exchange markets in 1972 and to a much greater extent in 1971, large errors and omissions outflows in the U.S. balance of payments contributed to the deterioration in the net investment position. As confidence in exchange markets improved in 1972 in response to the appreciation in value of a number of major 19 foreign currencies during the second increase was attributable to the apprehalf of 1971, and due to the Smith- ciation of leading foreign currencies sonian accord of December 1971 devalu- against the dollar. Eeinvested earnings ing the dollar, these outflows were of foreign direct investment in the reduced. However, uncertainties over United States also increased, but were currency values continued, especially only a fractional offset. Valuation adafter the pound floated in July 1972, justments in 1972 were of little conseand induced further large errors and quence to the change in the net investomissions outflows. Such unrecorded ment position. outflows in both years of speculative flare-ups in exchange markets suggest Changes in U.S. assets and liabilities that there is substantial underreporting Both U.S. assets abroad and liabiliof foreign assets acquired by U.S. prities to foreigners showed substantial vate residents. If we could record these increases again in 1972, assets growing flows, the deterioration in the net by 10 percent and liabilities by 21 perinvestment position would be reduced, cent, compared with the 1971 increases but by a lesser extent in 1972 than in of 8 percent and 26 percent, respec1971. tively. Eeinvested earnings of U.S. incorU.S. international assets rose $18.6 porated affiliates abroad net of rein- billion. Balance of payments capital vested earnings of foreign-owned enter- flows accounted for $10.1 billion of the prises in the United States totaled $4.0 rise and other items contributed $8.5 billion in 1972, compared with $2.7 billion (table 2). Liquid assets increased billion in 1971. Since 1968 the rate of $2.2 billion; $1.2 billion was capital increase in the value of U.S. direct outflows reported by U.S. banks and investment abroad, resulting from re- nonbanking concerns. The remaining investment of earnings plus capital increase of $1.0 billion in liquid assets outflows, has fluctuated in a narrow was associated with changes in monerange between 9.0 percent and 10.3 tary reserves. Of this, balance of paypercent. Capital outflows were unusu- ments transactions accounted for none ally low in 1972, but the value of U.S. of the change; the $0.7 billion SDE direct investments abroad nevertheless allocation in 1972 was offset by a small rose 9.2 percent because of the large decline of $0.2 billion in convertible increase in their reinvested earnings. currencies and in the U.S. gold tranche Eeinvested earnings of U.S. incorpo- position in the IMF, and a reduction rated affiliates abroad are reported in of $0.5 billion in the U.S. gold stock, dollars, and therefore some of the 1972 largely reflecting an IMF repurchase of T a b l e 1.—Factors A c c o u n t i n g for C h a n g e s i n t h e N e t I n t e r n a t i o n a l I n v e s t m e n t P o s i t i o n of t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s 1 [Millions of dollars] Average Item 1968 1961-65 1966-70 3,762 659 1. Balance of payments factors: Balance on current account (surplus (+)). 2. Plus: Allocations of SDR 3. Plus: Adjustment for errors and omissions (receipts (-J-)) -824 4. Sum of lines 1, 2, and 3 equals net recorded balance of payments capitalflows(outflows (+)) -443 1969 -1,050 173 1970 1971 1972* 416 -2,790 867 717 -8,353 710 -1,042 —431 -2,395 -1,205 -10,784 -3,112 2,938 -210 -874 -3,445 78 -12,859 -10,755 1,072 1,786 1,687 2,173 2,514 2,659 3,973 -618 -39 -660 3,061 -791 -1,262 -198 3,392 1,537 153 1,789 1,801 -11,462 -6,980 65,487 67,276 69,077 57,615 50,635 Other factors: 5. Plus: 6. Plus: Net reinvested earnings (increase (+))-Net valuation and other adjustments. 7. Equals: Change in net international investment position of the United States... . 8. Addendum: Net international investment position of the United States at end of period 2 s v Preliminary. 1. Revised. 2. The net position at the end of a given period is equal to the position at the end of the preceding period plus the total net change during the period. NOTE.—Details may not add to totals because of rounding. Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. SUEVEY OF CUEEENT BUSINESS 20 August 1973 Table 2.—Changes in the International Investment Position of the United States Reconciled with Balance of Payments Capital Flows [Millions of dollars] Lines in table 3 1971' Item (increase (+)) Net international investment position of the United States Balance of payments capital flows Other than capital flows U.S. assets abroad Capital flows Other than capital flows Nonliquid assets Capital flows Other than capital flows 4 5,6 U.S. Government Long-term credits _ Capital flows Exchange rate adjustments 1 Changes in coverage and statistical discrepanciesForeign currencies and other short-term assets Capital flows Exchange rate adjustments i Changes in coverage and statistical discrepancies_ - Direct investments abroad _ Capital flows _ Reinvested earnings. Valuation adjustments Foreign bonds Capital flows Price changes Exchange rate adjustments 1 Foreign corporate stocks Capital flows Price changes _1 _ Other claims,rate reported by U.S. banks.. Exchange adjustments Capital flows Other claims, reported by U.S. nonbanking concerns Capital flows Private, short-term nonliquid Claims reported by U.S. banks Capital flows Changes in coverage and statistical discrepancies. Claims reported by U.S. nonbanking concernsCapital flows Statistical discrepancies Liquid assets. Capital flows Other than capital flows. -6,980 -12,859 1,397 -10,755 3,775 U.S. liabilities to foreigners 25,412 25,551 Capital flows Other than capital flows 22,520 2,892 20,833 4,718 14,721 16,346 10,912 3,809 8,876 7,470 2,018 2,049 2,077 2,074 13 -10 2,445 1,742 -309 1,012 -59 -182 123 -396 -166 -231 10,907 8,020 3,157 -80 1,494 938 548 7,833 3,404 4,521 -92 1,190 1,027 159 4 4,571 10,467 1,806 2,765 5,749 4,718 U.S. Government Capital flows Exchange rate adjustments i Statistical discrepancies Private, long-term -447 -467 21 -1 4,976 238 238 10,056 Capital flows Other than capital flows. 2,288 2,688 5,338 4,718 30 Direct investments in the United States.. Capital flows Reinvested earnings Valuation adjustments 385 -115 708 160 548 31 Corporate and other bonds. Capital flows Price changes 1,748 1,433 315 2,285 2,067 218 32 Corporate stocks.. Capital flows... Price changes... 2,740 836 1,904 6,220 2,268 3,952 -250 -250 149 149 28 29 33 1,999 -412 2,239 172 Other liabilities, reported by U.S. banks.. Capital flows 613 27 306 280 34 Other liabilities, reported by U.S. nonbanking concerns... Capital flows Statistical discrepancies 353 384 -31 694 694 612 612 1,269 1,269 35 168 168 202 202 Private, short-term nonliquid, reported by U.S. nonbanking concerns Capital flows Statistical discrepancies 42 -15 57 173 173 1,796 1,804 1,280 1,802 -522 1,495 1,495 516 530 -14 309 315 -6 -771 2,225 -1,251 480 1,202 1,023 359 531 -172 499 492 7 -2,320 Gold... Capital flows Par value adjustments * 281 -547 828 249 249 858 703 155 Convertible currencies Capital flows Exchange rate adjustments i_ -353 -381 28 -35 Gold tranche position in I M F . Capital flows Par value adjustments i -1,350 -1,350 -120 -153 33 r Revised. P Preliminary. 1. The "exchange rate adjustments" in lines 5/6, 7,10 and 11 represent changes in the dollar value of foreign currencies as indicated by exchange market movements. In lines 24, 28, 42 and 44 are adjustments representing changes resulting from the realignment of par values, which were altered under the 1971 Smithsonian Agreement. In lines 22, 23, and 25 the "par value Nonliquid liabilities to other than foreign official agencies Capital flows Other than capital flows. 12,493 Claims reported by U.S. nonbanking concernsCapital flows Statistical discrepancies 25 27 1 742 742 24 1972 P 18,571 1,241 SDR Capital flows Par value adjustments i 1971' 10,078 1,190 566 624 23 Item (increase ( + ) ) 9,661 4,289 1,549 U.S. monetary reserve assets.. U.S. Liabilities to foreigners 13,950 Claims reported by U.S. banks. Capital flows Changes in coverage — Private- 20 1972 P -11,462 4,943 Private, long-term 10 Lines in table 3 Net International Investment Position and U.S. Assets Abroad 36 Liquid liabilities to private foreigners and liquid, other readily marketable, and nonliquid liabilities to foreign official agencies Capital flows Other than capital flows. To private foreigners. To foreign commercial banks Capital flows Changes in coverage and statistical discrepancies. To international and regional organizations Capital flows Statistical discrepancies To other foreigners Capital flows _ Statistical discrepancies _ _ To foreign official agencies Liquid Capital flows Changes in coverage and statistical discrepancies. i Exchange rate adjustments _Other readily marketable liabilities Capital flows _ Nonliquid, reported by U.S. Government. C apital flows Exchange rate adjustments 1 20,841 15 084 20, 714 127 15,084 -6,006 4,776 -6,220 -6,908 3,861 3,862 -1 677 682 -5 104 104 -463 -465 2 811 810 1 26,847 10,308 26,987 27,615 -668 40 -551 -551 9,720 9,720 411 341 70 189 189 399 adjustments" represent the change in the official dollar/gold parity under the Smithsonian Agreement as officially implemented on May 8,1972. NOTE.—Details may not add to totals because of rounding. Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 assets associated with the change in the official dollar /gold parity from $35 to $38 in May 1972. gold held in the United States. AH of the $1.0 billion increase in liquid assets reflected a revaluation of U.S. reserve 21 The change in nonliquid assets amounted to $16.3 billion, and accounted for most of the 1972 increase Table 3.—International Investment Position of the United States at YearendJ [Million of dollars] Western Europe Total Line 21 22 23 24 25 Net international investment position of the United States. U.S. assets abroad.... Nonliquid assets U.S. Government Long-term credits: Repayable in dollars 1 - Other 2 Foreign currencies and other short-term assets Private, long-term Direct investments abroad Foreign securities: Foreign bonds Foreign corporate stocks Other claims, reported by U.S. banks... Other claims, reported by U.S. nonbanking concerns * Private, short-term nonliquid Claims, reported by U.S. banks. Claims reported by U.S. nonbanking concerns Liquid assets -• Private Claims reported by U.S. b a n k s . . Claims reported by U.S. nonbanking concerns U.S. monetary reserve assets Gold SDR Convertible currencies Gold tranche position in I M F . . . 26 U.S. liabilities to foreigners 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 27 Nonliquid, liabilities to other than foreign official agencies 28 29 30 U.S. Government ™ Private, long term Direct investments in the United States U.S. securities: Corporate and other bonds Corporate stocks — Other liabilities, reported by U.S. b a n k s . . . Other liabilities, reported by U.S. nonbanking concerns Private, short-term nonliquid, reported by U.S. nonbanking concerns 31 32 33 34 35 37 38 40 41 42 43 44 Latin American Republics and other Western Hemisphere Japan 3 Type of investment 1960 5 6 7 Canada 1970 1971' 1972P 44,658 69,077 57,615 50,635 85,577 166,764 180,714 199,285 66,158 149,865 164,586 180,932 16,854 32,079 34,097 36,146 1971' 1972P 1971' -29,371 45,644 26,543 40,011 1972P 1971' Other foreign countries 3 International organizations and unallocated t 1972P 1971' 1972P 1971' 1972P 1971' 29,211 -7,759 44,144 8,343 42, 563 8,029 78 606 -11,676 9,663 9,031 21,471 30,791 30,220 6,653 23,038 33,847 7,095 30,622 36,370 36,192 17,520 30,128 40,222 39, 918 18,682 16,110 19,557 7,666 1,419 17,827 21,255 8,345 1,488 75 482 95 762 94 5,942 675 6,397 654 10,847 4,535 12,785 4,148 1,414 1,483 1972P 7,851 -37,895 50,155 48,137 7,902 25, 529 28,407 5,745 6,178 6,799 872 6,906 849 2,892 1,994 2,449 44,497 104,960 115,867 128,360 31,865 78,178 86,198 94,031 180 33,295 27,740 147 36,690 30,714 2 37,500 24,106 3 41,209 25, 784 29 3,047 1,821 47 4,136 2,222 36 19,506 15,789 44 20,964 16,644 2,138 16,273 12,473 1,749 18,504 13,934 5 6,247 4,270 5 6,857 *4,733 504 2,819 310 3,329 8,726 3,261 9,642 4,136 256 1,188 1,108 173 1,188 141 2,070 225 2,324 255 1,977 2,124 572 246 315 1,463 1,996 1,023 1,422 C) 139 4,376 4,043 155 3,992 3,667 973 4,061 3,215 995 4,880 4,020 482 569 2,732 1,954 (*) 846 571 571 282 860 908 908 425 707 178 178 127 778 304 304 201 7 289 483 7 ['13,956 23,445 6,185 5,574 3,984 13,160 6,437 14,654 7,050 15,844 9,049 1,698 3,035 3,647 4,916 707 800 208 1,376 6 4,813 6 3,594 4,150 12,826 9,592 4,318 14,622 10,872 4,520 16,426 12,367 1,525 2,837 1,344 1,537 3,545 1,889 1,199 949 578 1,264 1,276 837 6 1,219 19,359 3,234 16,899 2,412 1,210 3,750 16,128 3,961 2,400 4,059 18,353 5,202 3,142 1,493 1,661 1,386 705 1,656 2,018 1,778 938 371 1,513 1,513 1,049 439 1,581 1,581 1,083 314 313 237 325 632 631 495 1,202 14,487 11,072 851 629 1,935 1,561 2,060 12,167 813,151 10,206 U0.487 1,100 " 1,958 241 276 8 465 585 681 275 7 840 240 464 C) 498 C) 76 1 136 1 275 240 (*) (*) 1 1 (6) (6) () 19, 359 17,804 1,555 7 7 51 7 11,891 1 12,910 11,891 10,206 1,100 12,910 10,487 1,958 103 585 465 10,809 5,748 10,094 3,447 3,428 4,225 4,854 1,613 2,209 1,850 2,291 13 3,730 2 4,318 88 1,145 433 1,343 1,850 2,291 146 145 1,246 253 1,420 391 351 480 40,859 97,687 123,099 148,650 75,015 88,050 13,468 14,933 16,102 21,339 19,830 50,681 55,252 65, 719 40,270 47,466 7,207 8,051 88 849 793 18,418 2,005 44,785 1,558 49, 761 1,796 59,817 1,413 36,196 1,312 43,409 18 6,952 31 7,779 26 -111 18 678 6,910 13,270 13,655 14,363 10,086 10,441 3,339 3,612 -230 -132 315 649 9,302 6,878 18,689 8,626 21,429 10,911 27,649 6,825 14, 779 8,753 19, 548 285 3,121 375 3,596 8 70 58 254 200 2,562 9,320 273 3,014 62 644 32 846 7 1,008 758 907 244 258 4 1 1 1 115 131 43 1,550 4,940 5,293 5,987 4,262 4,409 203 195 40 497 538 602 250 619 3,891 3,933 4,106 2,661 2,745 237 241 173 153 482 534 380 Liquid liabilities to private foreigners and liquid, other readily marketable, and nonliquid liabilities to foreign official agencies • 21,029 47,006 67,847 82,931 34, 745 40,584 6,261 6,882 16,014 20,490 5,095 5,955 4,135 7,885 1,597 1,137 22,619 16,613 9 21,389 17,169 910,949 914,810 4,572 3,374 6,357 5,045 2,281 1,898 2,603 2,159 n.s.s. n.s.s. n.s.s. n.s.s. 3,664 1,265 4,222 1,374 n.s.s. n.s.s. n.s.s. n.s.s. 1,053 1,137 1,190 30,173 29,468 10 1,302 34,227 33,533 n.s.s. n.s.s. n.s.s. 328 2,071 1,431 1,431 334 2,514 1,733 1,733 n.s.s. n.s.s. n.s.s. n.s.s. n.s.s. n.s.s. 1,137 444 4,279 n.s.s. n.s.s. n.s.s. 1,053 383 3,980 1,340 1,439 705 694 135 135 2,640 2,840 To private foreigners To foreign commercial banks u.. To international and regional organizations To other foreigners To foreign official agencies Liquid _ Other readily marketable Nonliquid, reported by U.S. Government l 0 9,139 4,818 1,541 2,780 11,890 11,888 846 »1, 523 4,604 »4,141 24,387 » 51,234 20,623 9 47,610 9 144 3,069 3,480 91,627 9 4,952 > 61,542 9 57,330 9 543 3,669 r Revised. v Preliminary. *Less than $500,000 ( ± ) . {Includes U.S. gold stock, n.s.s. Not shown separately. 1. Also includes paid-in capital subscription to international financial institutions (other than IMF) and outstanding amounts of miscellaneous claims which have been settled through international agreements to be payable to the U.S. Government over periods in excess of 1 year. Excludes World War I debts that are not being serviced. 2. Includes indebtedness which the borrower may contractually, or at its option, repay with its currency, with a third country's currency, or by delivery of materials or transfer of services. 3. The Ryukyu Islands are included with Japan in 1972; in previous periods they are included With other foreign countries. 4. For the most part represents the estimated investment in shipping companies registered primarily in Panama and Liberia. 5. The long-term position data given here include estimates for real estate, insurance, estates, and trusts. 6. Liquid claims are not available separately and are included with nonliquid claims. 36 284 433 544 544 7. Country detail for Western Europe includes the six countries of the European Economic Community, United Kingdom, and Switzerland only, and for Latin America and O.W.H. includes only Bahamas and Bermuda. Remaining countries are not separately identified due to insignificant amounts and are included in other foreign countries. 8. Total reserve assets include an increase of $1,016 million resulting from a change in par value of the U.S. dollar on May 8,1972, consisting of $828 million total gold stock, $155 million SDR, and $33 million gold tranche position in IMF. 9. The regional breakdown for these liability lines may not add to the world total since certain items cannot be shown separately. 10. U.S. Government liabilities are broken down into those to foreign official reserve agencies in line 44 and those to others in line 28, including foreign official agencies other than reserve agencies. 11. As reported by U.S. banks; ultimate ownership is not identified. NOTE.—Details may not add to totals because of rounding. Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. SUEVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 22 in U.S. assets abroad. Capital outflows totaled $8.9 billior, while other items totaled $7.4 billion, including reinvested earnings and valuation adjustment to U.S. holdings of foreign stock. U.S. Government assets abroad increased $2.0 billion. Net capital outflows were $1.6 billion, but there was an adverse adjustment of $0.5 billion for the loss in dollar value of U.S. Government claims denominated in currencies that depreciated against the dollar in 1972. The rest of the increase resulted from other adjustments to the U.S. Government's long-term claims on foreign governments. These adjustments reflect future payments to be CHART 9 Liquidity Ratios: Outstanding U.S. Assets Abroad to Liabilities to Foreigners by Degree of Liquidity 1.0 - .5 - 1960 62 64 66 68 NOTE.-- Refer to table 4 for description and data. U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis 70 72 made to the U.S. Government by the Japanese Government under the agreement for the reversion of the Ryukyu Islands to Japan, and by the Soviet Union in settlement for its outstanding lend-lease obligations. Private nonliquid assets abroad increased $14.2 billion in 1972, mainly in long-term assets. Direct investment, the major category of U.S. private investment abroad, rose $7.8 billion. This was only slightly less than the 1971 increase, as lower direct investment capital outflows were offset by a large rise in reinvested earnings. U.S. investments in foreign securities in 1972 increased $3.2 billion. Net purchases by U.S. residents of foreign bonds amounted to $1.0 billion and the increase in value of outstanding bonds contributed another $0.2 billion, with only negligible adjustments for foreign exchange rate changes. There were net sales of foreign stocks of $0.4 billion, but the value of U.S. holdings of foreign stocks was sharply boosted by a $2.4 billion increase in the value of outstanding holdings reflecting the rise in foreign stock prices; in addition, there was a $0.2 billion appreciation in the dollar value of outstanding holdings due to changes in foreign exchange rates. Other nonliquid claims, including both short- and long-term, increased $3.3 billion, mainly as a result of drawings by foreigners on their lines of credit with U.S. banks. The rise in bank claims on foreigners was stimulated by the lackluster domestic demand for bank loans throughout most of 1972 and by the exemption of export credits from the Voluntary Foreign Credit Restraint Program towards the end of 1971. Moreover, foreign utilization of these credits in 1972 was stimulated by expectations of a further dollar devaluation. Total U.S. liabilities increased $25.6 billion in 1972. The increase was similar in size to that in 1971, but its composition was markedly different. The increase in liquid liabilities to foreign official agencies, which was enormous in 1971, was much smaller in 1972, while nonliquid and liquid liabilities to private foreigners rose much more in 1972 than in 1971. August 1973 Nonliquid liabilities to private foreigners rose $10.5 billion, more than double the 1971 gain. Especially noteworthy was the increase in foreign investment ir U.S. securities of $8.5 billion, one-half of which was accounted for by net purchases and one-half by increases in the value of outstanding holdings. The $2.3 billion increase in foreign holdings of U.S. bonds largely reflected $2.1 billion in net purchases. Increases in U.S. stock prices encouraged these purchases as nearly one-half the foreign purchases of U.S. bonds in 1972 was accounted for by debt instruments convertible into U.S. equities. The rise in U.S. stock prices also attracted $2.3 billion in net purchases of U.S. stocks and resulted in a $4.0 billion appreciation in the value of existing foreign holdings of U.S. stocks. Such holdings have grown markedly in the past few years. The value of direct investments in the United States increased $0.7 billion in 1972, double the 1971 rise. Reinvested earnings were $0.5 billion, and there were net capital inflows of $0.2 billion following outflows in 1971. Other nonliquid U.S. liabilities of banks and nonbanking concerns increased $] .0 billion; $0.4 billion of the increase was due to corporate long-term borrowing in Japan, which for the first time became a major source of such funds. The Japanese monetary authorities, having accumulated substantial amounts of dollars, were easing foreign credit controls and depositing dollars in Japanese commercial banks, resulting in attractive terms being made available to U.S. and other borrowers. The combined increase in liquid liabilities to private foreigners and liabilities to foregin official agencies was $15.1 billion in 1972, much less than in 1971 but still high by historical standards. Liquid liabilities to private foreigners, which had declined in 1970 and 1971, rose $4.8 billion in 1972. A faster rise in short-term interest rates in the United States than in most leading foreign money markets, particularly the Eurodollar market, narrowed the differential which favored those centers. U.S. banks and U.S.-based agencies and branches of foreign banks thus borrowed from their offices abroad, in SUEVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 contrast to their reduction in liabilities to those offices in 1971. Liabilities to foreign official agencies rose $10.3 billion in 1972, far below the 1971 increase of $26.8 billion. Some confidence in the dollar's value had been at least temporarily restored by the December 1971 Smithsonian realignment of exchange rates, but the further build-up in 1972 in these liabilities reflected the fact that uncertainties continued during that year. In summary, the change in the international investment position of the United States in 1972 indicated an unusually large increase in nonliquid categories—nonliquid liabilities increased $10.5 billion and nonliquid assets rose $16.4 billion. However, in the liquid categories our position worsened further as liquid liabilities rose more than liquid assets. Liquidity structure The liquidity structure of the U.S. international investment position can be analyzed with the help of the ratios in table 4. All of the ratios declined in 1972 but much less than in 1971 (except ratio B2, discussed later). The slower delcine, particularly in the monetary combinations, was associated with a reduction of the U.S. balance of payments deficit and with less turmoil in foreign exchange markets than in 1971. These developments were especially reflected in ratio Al, which relates U.S. official reserve assets to U.S. liabilities to foreign official agencies. Changes in this ratio, the investment position counterpart of the official reserve transactions balance in the payments accounts, are related to the financing of the overall U.S. balance of payments. In 1972, U.S. reserve assets were revalued upward by the change in the official dollar/gold parity but were otherwise relatively stable as the dollar was inconvertible into reserve assets. Liabilities to foreign official agencies rose less in 1972 than in 1971, as the dollar devaluation of December 1971 reduced expectations of further rate changes in 1972. Even so, there were several exchange market flare-ups and additional accumulations of dollars by foreign monetary authorities in support of the Smithsonian exchange rate structure. Ratio A2, the investment position counterpart to the net liquidity balance, declined somewhat less than ratio Al, for A2 also takes into account U.S. private liquid claims and liquid liabilities to private foreigners. These liquid claims on and liabilities to foreigners, while sensitive to exchange market developments, are also strongly influenced by interest rate differentials between the United States and other international money centers, particularly the Eurodollar market. In 1972, U.S. short-term interest rates generally rose faster than Eurodollar rates, except during a few periods of exchange market speculation, and encouraged inflows to U.S. banks from their foreign branches and to U.S. agencies of foreign banks 23 from their head offices abroad, thus increasing U.S. liabilities. Liquid assets other than reserves also increased in 1972, but less than liabilities. The other combinations of assets and liabilities in table 4 are concerned with longer term developments in the liquidity structure of the international investment position. Ratio Bl, which compares total U.S. short-term assets to total short-term liabilities, including nonliquid, declined much less in 1972 than in 1971. Exemption of export credits from the Voluntary Credit Restraint Program in the fourth quarter of 1971 allowed banks to increase further their foreign short-term nonliquid assets in 1972. On the other hand, U.S. short-term nonliquid liabilities showed only a small rise in 1972, as U.S. corporate overseas borrowing was mostly longer term since long-term interest rates remained relatively stable and rising U.S. stock prices favored convertible bond issues at low interest rates. A significant change in 1972 was the decline in ratio B2, which compares long-term assets to long-term liabilities to private foreigners. This ratio, which had been virtually stable in the last four years, dropped to 2.67 in 1972 from 2.93 in 1971. The decline probably reflected the combined influences of a rapid rise in U.S. business activity and the dollar devaluation of December 1971, as both these factors attracted foreign funds to the U.S. securities market. Table 4.—Liquidity Ratios: Outstanding U.S. Assets Abroad to Liabilities to Foreigners, by Degree of Liquidity Refer to chart Lines in table 3 Ratios 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1.48 1.26 1.11 1.00 0.93 0.77 0.85 1.00 0.59 0.24 .92 .82 .71 .70 .66 .58 .54 .47 .48 .43 .36 .24 .22 1.12 1.06 .92 .91 .84 .79 .71 .70 .64 .58 .43 .40 3.20 3.00 3.38 3.26 3.27 3.36 3.56 3.37 2.94 3.03 2.93 2.93 2.67 2.09 2.00 2.08 2.02 2.02 2.06 2.08 1.94 1.81 1.74 1.71 1.47 1.34 Monetary combinations Ai A2 21 41 Reserves Liabilities to foreign official agencies 17 36 Liquid assets Liquid liabilities to private foreigners and liquid and nonliquid liabilities to foreign official agencies 0.21 Other combinations Bi B2 Bj 14+17 36+36 Liquid and nonliquid short-term assets Liquid and nonliquid short-term liabilities and nonliquid liabilities to foreign official agencies 4+8 28+29 Long-term assets Long-term liabilities to other than foreign official reserve agencies 2 26 Total U.S. assets abroad Total U.S. liabilities to foreigners By ALBERT A. HIRSCH The BEA Quarterly Model as a Forecasting Instrument O I N C E the early 1960's, there has "exogenous" variables (those that are been an explosive growth in the number determined outside the system) and the of econometric models of the U.S. "initial conditions" (values of both economy. The models now existing kinds of variables in the period(s) just differ considerably as to the underlying before the prediction period) are "given" theoretical framework, intended use, (in the sense of being known or being extent of disaggregation, specific for- hypothetically assumed). Predictions mulation of comparable relationships, can refer to the past as well as to the and time unit (month, quarter, or year). future. One may also assume both the The Bureau of Economic Analysis initial conditions and the exogenous (BEA) quarterly model belongs to the variable hypothetically, in which case family of "large" models whose primary the predictions do not pertain to any use is in forecasting. It is also used to historical time period at all. The preanalyze the impact of alternative Gov- dictions that are analyzed in this arernment policies. It is a substantially ticle, however, were made with actual revised and enlarged version of a model initial conditions and known exogenous published in 1966.l The model now variables. Forecasting refers to the estimation contains 63 behavioral equations. The model equations and an explanation of of the probable future values of ecothem are presented in a BEA staff nomic variables. Forecasts differ from paper.2 An interim version of the model, predictions in that they require judgtogether with an analysis of sample mental forecasts of exogenous variables period predictions and cyclical proper- in place of known or hypothetical values. (As is explained later, most ties, is presented elsewhere.3 This article examines and evaluates econometric forecasters introduce other the predictive and forecasting proper- judgmental elements as well.) They share in common with predictions the ties of the model. In the present confeature that the model translates the text, the following distinction is drawn initial conditions and exogenous varibetween prediction and forecasting. ables into a set of endogenous outputs. Prediction pertains to the determina- The end result in the case of forecasts, tion of values of the "endogenous" however, is a set of unconditionally variables in the model (the variables stated expectations of what is most that are explained by the system of likely to happen, thus contrasting with equations), when the values of the the conditional nature of predictions. (In practice, we frequently deviate 1. Maurice Liebenberg, Albert A. Hirsch, and Joel Popkin, from forecasting in this pure sense by "A Quarterly Econometric Model of the United States: A generating more than one set of outputs Progress Keport," SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS. May 1966. The model was generally referred to as the "OBE model" for a given time period, based on alterprior to the renaming of the Office of Business Economics as native assumptions for some of the the Bureau of Economic Analysis. 2. Albert A. Hirsch, Maurice Liebenberg, and George R. inputs.) Green, "The BEA Quarterly Model," Bureau of Economic The first major section of the article Analysis Staff Paper No. 22, July 1973, available from the National Technical Information Service, Springfield, presents an investigation of the errors Virginia 22151. Order by COM 73-11114. Price is $3.00. made when the model is used without 3. George R. Green, in association with Maurice Liebenberg and Albert A. Hirsch, "Short- and Long-term Simulations with the OBE Econometric Model" in Econometric Models of Cyclical Behavior, edited by Bert G. Hickman, Studies in Income and Wealth, 36, Vol. 1, National Bureau of Economic Research, 1972. 24 NOTE.—Computational and clerical assistance in the preparation of this article by Fannie M. Hall, Irene M. Mattia, and Judith K. White is gratefully acknowledged. judgmental modifications to predict both within and beyond the "sample period," that is, the period from which the data used to fit the equations are taken. The basic summary statistic used to measure error is the "root mean square error," which is defined later. While the main focus is on the quantitative accuracy of predictions, the degree of success in predicting business cycle turning points is also examined. The second major section analyzes the record of errors in actual forecasts made with various versions of the BEA model over the period 1966-71 and compares those results with the post-sample prediction errors and with errors generated by certain other procedures. A final section summarizes the major statistical findings. The whole inquiry—both its prediction and forecasting aspects—is aimed at the question: How reliable is the model as a forecasting instrument? The article does not provide an unambiguous answer to this question. However, both the quantitative error statistics and the analysis of turning point predictions show a substantial tendency toward deterioration as the prediction or forecast horizon lengthens. Since a large part of the impact of many kinds of Government economic policy actions occurs several quarters after such actions, further improvements in econometric modeling are desirable. An econometric model is a set of equations comprised of behavioral relationships plus "identities," or definitional relationships. The behavioral relationships are specified (as far as possible) on the basis of economic theory and are estimated by fitting regressions to actual data. A basic assumption is that the relationships are "stochastic." That is, even if all of the important causal determinants are August 1973 included as explanatory variables in an equation and the form of the equation is properly specified, there remains a random or unexplained error term (often called "disturbance'7) which represents the net effect of the myriad other forces that are acting on the dependent variable. The stochastic nature of the behavioral relationships is a fundamental source of predictioD error in an econometric model. The unexplained, and therefore unpredictable, random disturbances are a direct cause of errors in the dependent (endogenous) variables. They also cause prediction error indirectly since in the estimation process they give rise to sampling errors in the coefficients; and erroneous coefficients result in wrong predictions of the effects that changes in one variable have upon another. A second source of prediction error is errors in specifying behavior relationships. Specification errors can take the form of omission of important causal variables that should be included, inclusion of variables that should be excluded, or incorrect mathematical formulation of the function. A related source of error which manifests itself primarily in post-sample predictions and forecasts is structural change, i.e. the tendency for the "true" parameters of the system to change over time. It can be argued that this phenomenon simply reflects omission of variables, but such omissions can be manifold and hard to pinpoint or quantify. A third class of sources of prediction error are various special problems of estimation. As in the case of random disturbances, these problems can give rise to prediction error via their tendency to yield incorrect estimates of parameters. These include intercorrelation among explanatory variables, autocorrelation of disturbances, simultaneity of equations, inclusion of lagged dependent variables, errors in the measurement of data, and again, errors in specification. The deficient characteristics of the estimated coefficients that arise when appropriate corrective econometric techniques are not or cannot be applied are mainly "bias" (the tendency to under- or overestimate the parameters), and "inefficiency" (the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS tendency for parameter estimates based on different samples of data to be widelv dispersed). Forecasts are subject to all the sources of prediction error, but they are also subject to additional sources of error. First, there are errors in projecting exogenous variables. Second, there are errors in the judgmental adjustments made to the model equations. Third, forecasts are normally made using preliminary (and sometimes incomplete) data for initial conditions; this is a source of error that would be absent if complete revised data were used. Fortunately, the law of large numbers in statistics leads us to expect that the various sources of error tend to be offsetting in their impact on the prediction of particular variables. As the evidence presented in this article shows, there is an analogous offsetting tendency with respect to errors in the components of key aggregates. Prediction Errors There is no direct way to test the forecasting ability of a model prior to actual forecasting use. However, since prediction errors are likely to be major contributors to forecasting errors, an obvious indirect test of a model's likely forecasting performance is to see how well the model predicts endogenous variables in periods for which actual values are known, using known values of exogenous variables, the latest revised data for the initial conditions, and perhaps crude estimates of the direct impacts of such exogenous factors as major strikes or strike threats. Such tests can be made both within and beyond the sample period. Tests beyond the sample period are particularly crucial since these indicate the stability of the model relationships; good performance within the sample period may reflect, in part, ad hoc selection of relationships on the criterion of fit. Unfortunately, the "degrees of freedom" provided by usable time series observations are relatively scarce. Accordingly, most of the available observations must be used for fitting the model's equations, leaving only a small number of available 25 periods for post-sample testing. For this reason, as well as the need to determine how well the post-sample performance holds up relative to that of the sample period, the error statistics for the latter provide important additional information. One- to six-quarter predictions The quantitative prediction errors were obtained by running dynamic simulations for overlapping six-quarter spans covering both the bulk of the sample period, which is 1953-11— 1968-IV, and a post-sample period (1969-1—1971-11) and comparing predicted with actual values. In dynamic predictions, computed rather than actual values of lagged endogenous variables are used as inputs for subsequent periods. The first sample-period prediction sequence begins in 1953-IV and ends in 1955-1; the second begins in 1954-1 and ends in 1955-11, and so on, through the sequence ending in 1968-IV. A six-quarter span was chosen because that is a usual forecasting horizon. Error statistics (to be described shortly) were calculated for all predictions one quarter ahead, all predictions two quarters ahead, . . ., and all predictions six quarters ahead. In order to calculate all the summary error statistics with the same number of observations for all horizons and to have all of them cover the same time period, errors for periods prior to 1955-1 were not used. Thus, the sample-period error statistics are based on 56 sets of predictions covering the 14 years from 1955-1 through 1968-IV. For the post-sample period, there are only 10 sets of predictions covering the 2Y2 years from 1969-1 through 1971-II.4 In making the predictions, account was taken of serial correlation in the equation residuals, that is, the tendency for the residuals of successive time periods to be systematically related; this is, after all, useful information that should not be discarded in making pre4. The data reported in this study were compiled prior to the July 1972 revision of the national income and product accounts. Hence the "actual" values of national income variables against which errors are measured are based on the accounts as of July 1971. 26 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS evaluating RMSE statistics, that the RMSE gives more weight to extreme errors than does the average absolute error and thus tends to be larger. Sample period. Table 1 shows RMSE's for the period 1955-1—1968-IV for predictions of major variables with horizons of from one to six quarters. Only RMSE's for endogenous components of GNP are shown since exogenous variables are assigned their actual values and hence show no error; Adjt+i = Y2 b^et+het-i) for this reason, exports, military imports, and government purchases of where et is the observed residual in the goods and services are not listed. initial quarter (first quarter prior to Second, it should be noted that the prediction period), et-i is the residual model determines components of real in the previous quarter, b is the esti- GNP and corresponding price deflators; mated autocorrelation coefficient, and thus the RMSE's for current-dollar i is the number of quarters from the magnitudes—real magnitudes times initial quarter being predicted.5 prices—represent composites of errors in the basic variables. Size of prediction errors Two generalizations can be made The basic summary error statistic about the RMSE's. First, the errors in this study is the root mean square generated grow in size as the prediction error (RMSE), which is given by the horizon lengthens. This phenomenon reflects accumulation of errors through formula lagged variables, which, after the first predicted quarter, also contain prediction errors. The tendency toward inwhere Pt represents the predicted value creasing error is greatly subdued in the for the i-th observation, At the cor- prediction of quarterly changes, as responding actual, and N the number of can be seen in the second line of table 1 observations. Alternative measures, where RMSE's for change in currentsuch as the average absolute error,6 dollar GNP are shown. The reason for could be used. However, the RMSE has this is that in any prediction sequence useful analytical characteristics; in the accumulation of errors through particular, its square (the mean square lagged variables tends to be in one error) can be decomposed into contrib- direction; to this extent, accumulation uting elements, as shown later, is registered in the levels, but not in the whereas the average absolute error changes. The second generalization is cannot. It should be kept in mind, when that RMSE's for aggregates, such as GNP or personal consumption expenditures, are less than the sum of com5. The adjustments were made to the "normalized" equations. Thus, if the dependent variable of a behavioral eqa- ponent RMSE's. This reflects the tion that is estimated in constructing the model is not a tendency of errors to be offsetting. simple endogenous variable, but, for example, a ratio such as CSNH/N (nonhousing services consumption per capita), The largest errors among components then the equation is first transformed so that only a single of real GNP are in nondurables conendogenous variable appears on the left. In the example here, both sides of the equation are first multiplied by N (popu- sumption, nonresidential fixed investlation) before the adjustment formula is applied. It should be noted that use of the above formula for the ment, and change in business invensample period predictions is quantitatively not very importories. (The size of the RMSE's in nontant, since many of the estimated equations already contain a durables consumption is not surprising correction for serial correlation in the residuals via the "Cochrane-Orcutt" transformation. Thus, with a few excep- since this is the largest single component tions, the 6 coefficients are relatively small. of real final demand in the model.) 6. Average absolute error= Relative sizes of errors in the real final demand components are roughly reflected in those of the corresponding i.e., in computing the sum of the errors, the signs of individual current-dollar magnitudes. errors are disregarded. dictions. Specifically, in equations in which serial correlation is significantly present, additive adjustments were made to the constant term based on the last two observed residuals prior to the prediction period and the estimated autocorrelation coefficient. The adjustments are such that they decay from a weighted average of the two residuals toward zero over the prediction period. In algebraic terms: August 1973 RMSE's for personal income are larger than those for corporate profits, and increase more rapidly as the prediction horizon lengthens. However, profits are much smaller than personal income; thus, in percentage terms (not shown), profit predictions are subject to considerably larger errors. Compared with errors in currentdollar GNP and real GNP, errors in the implicit price deflator for private GNP are surprisingly small. This can be seen from comparisons of root mean square percentage errors for the three magnitudes, as shown in the last three lines of table 1. A percentage error is computed as and the root mean square percentage error is calculated analogously to the RMSE. Because errors in the price level predictions are relatively small, errors in real GNP carry through directly into errors in current-dollar GNP. In the first prediction quarter, the root mean square percent error in real GNP is more than three times as great as that in the private deflator. By the fifth and sixth prediction quarters this ratio is nearly four. However, the relatively small errors in the aggregate price index reflect larger but offsetting errors among component price deflators. Errors in the unemployment rate reflect, in part, those in real output. This is seen in the fact that errors in employment, which is directly related to output, are larger (the more so as the prediction horizon lengthens) than those in labor force. Errors in both short- and long-term interest rates remain quite low over the whole six-quarter prediction horizon. Post-sample period. Error statistics for predictions beyond the sample period are derived from only 10 sets of overlapping predictions covering 2}& years, as against 56 full sets covering 14 years in the sample period. Predictions over six-quarter spans in the post-sample period (1969-1 through 1971-11) were obtained in the same way as the sampleperiod predictions with two modifications: (1) The constant adjustments were made to decay over the prediction horizon from the average of the last SUEVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 two periods' residuals prior to the prediction period toward an average of the last eight quarters' residuals rather than toward zero; 7 (2) special adjustments were incorporated to handle the direct effects of the General Motors strike in late 1970. The first modification allows for the fact that beyond the sample period, the average prediction error of the equation may differ from zero because of specification errors or gradual structural change. The eight-quarter average error is intended to represent an updated long-run average of expected errors. The second modification takes into consideration that the impact of the GM strike was considerably greater than that of previous strikes, whose mean effects are represented 7. The formula used is Adjt+i=Hbi[(et-6-i:8)+b(et-i-e-i: 8 )]+8-i:8, where e-i:s= by the coefficients of strike dummy variables. Prediction errors for the post-sample period, shown in table 2, are generally larger than for the sample period. This result is to be expected. Most of the variables in the model exhibit substantial growth trends. I t is thus natural that the prediction errors should be larger in the post-sample period when the values of the variables are large as compared with those of the sample period. Furthermore, it can be shown that even if the random disturbances do not increase in size with that of the endogenous variables, expected prediction errors grow with the increasing gap between current and sample mean values of the explanatory variables. The tendency toward increasing error is aggravated by errors in specification and by structural changes. Another likely 27 reason for the larger errors is that this particular period was an inherently difficult one to predict. For current-dollar GNP, the ratio of RMSE's in the 1969-71 period to RMSE's in the 1955-68 period averages to about 2.3 over the whole prediction horizon (see table 3). For real GNP this ratio is about 1.7. For the private GNP deflator, the ratio is 1.5 for onequarter predictions and rises to 2.6 for six-quarter predictions. The "amplification" of the root mean square percentage errors is much smaller, though for each variable and all prediction horizons it is still greater than 1.0. Among GNP components, errors in personal consumption expenditures are much larger relative to errors in total GNP in the post-sample than in the sample period. Most of this difference is accounted for by substantially larger Table 1.—Root Mean Square Errors of Selected Variables: Sample Period Predictions (1955-1—1968-IV) Table 2.—Root Mean Square Errors of Selected Variables: Postsample Period Predictions (1969I—1971-11) Table 3.—Ratios of PostSample Period to Sample Period Root Mean Square Errors Prediction horizon (quarters) Prediction horizon (quarters) Prediction horizon (quarters) 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 5Q 6Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 5Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 5Q 2.94 2.94 5.16 3.83 9.36 4.05 11.61 4.10 13.65 4.25 6.01 6.01 11.01 7.42 18.42 7.46 23.63 6.79 6.68 1.91 .95 .54 2.03 .51 2.77 1.69 1.06 2.58 7.31 3.96 3.66 2.35 1.43 2.82 4.62 3.04 1.66 3.12 1.12 5.90 3.79 1.73 3.45 1.28 7.10 4.50 1.72 3.74 1.45 2.05 1.26 3.01 3.56 6.97 3.41 2.85 3.66 3.84 10.83 4.95 3.56 4.54 4.08 13.77 6.56 3.64 5.54 4.99 5.36 6.72 8.16 3.26 7.79 13.32 18.00 6Q 30.56 6.43 2.0 2.0 2.1 1.9 2.5 1.9 2.5 1.7 2.4 1.6 2.2 1.5 16.69 8.84 3.48 5.31 5.21 18.82 10.71 3.31 4.58 5.44 2.1 2.2 2.3 1.5 7.0 2.5 2.0 2.7 1.4 5.3 3.0 2.1 2.5 1.6 3.0 2.2 2.2 1.8 4.5 2.8 2.3 2.0 1.5 4.1 2.7 2.4 1.9 1.2 3.8 22.62 25.76 1.7 2.5 3.4 3.4 3.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 Billions of dollars: Gross national product Change in GNP Personal consumption expenditures Fixed nonresidential investment Residential structures Change in business inventories Imports of goods and services. _ Personal income Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment 1.97 1.95 .72 3.14 4.22 3.2 5.32 5.60 5.53 1.1 1.1 .92 13.28 7.98 3.20 2.04 2.83 2.32 .30 3.77 2.55 3.79 3.07 1.06 16.06 9.41 3.86 2.31 3.10 2.63 .38 4.77 2.57 4.66 3.72 1.16 17.78 10.31 4.19 2.26 3.35 2.88 .54 6.35 2.48 4.46 3.76 1.21 17.16 10.11 4.26 1.90 3.15 2.90 .67 7.56 2.39 3.91 3.77 1.23 1.6 1.7 2.3 2.2 1.3 3.2 .7 1.7 1.8 1.3 6.5 5.8 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.7 1.5 3.8 .5 1.8 2.1 1.2 4.5 6.6 2.0 2.3 2.7 3.0 1.5 4.3 .5 1.8 2.0 1.4 3.6 7.1 1.9 2.2 2.7 3.0 1.5 4.7 .5 1.8 1.7 1.6 3.6 7.3 1.7 2.0 2.6 2.5 1.4 5.0 .5 1.9 1.6 1.4 3.2 7.1 1.5 1.7 2.5 1.9 1.2 4.6 .5 1.9 1.6 1.1 2.8 6.8 .27 50.0 .93 .44 74.1 1.36 .61 110.2 1.66 .70 143.9 1.71 .95 176.6 1.89 1.51 200.2 1.87 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.9 1.6 1.5 2.1 1.4 1.8 2.3 1.4 2.6 2.3 1.2 .35 .65 .79 .42 .42 .22 .59 .78 .39 .74 1.18 .67 .89 1.52 1.03 1.83 1.15 1.14 2.03 1.26 1.8 1.4 .7 2.1 2.0 2.5 2.7 1.2 2.8 3.1 1.4 3.0 3.2 1.6 3.3 3.1 1.6 .25 .20 .27 .20 .70 .84 .49 .84 .47 .95 .49 1.11 .46 3.9 4.2 3.7 3.8 3.5 3.3 3.5 2.6 3.8 2.3 4.1 2.3 1.98 1.90 .49 2.34 2.19 .57 .64 .63 .21 2.00 1.83 .47 2.53 2.22 .55 2.99 2.45 .76 3.23 2.37 1.20 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.1 2.1 3.78 4.50 5.22 5.71 2.15 3.20 4.92 2.68 1.00 .59 1.56 .48 .43 1.52 .99 2.48 .69 .14 6.75 3.51 1.20 .67 1.86 .54 .60 2.11 1.31 2.71 .86 .15 8.46 4.30 1,42 .78 2.10 .56 .78 2.70 1.49 2.99 1.03 .16 10.25 5.16 1.62 .89 2.35 .58 1.00 3.38 1.52 3.31 1.19 .17 11.83 5.92 1.74 1.01 2.59 .63 1.23 4.02 1.46 3.60 1.34 .18 4.56 3.21 1.78 1.05 1.73 1.26 .17 1.50 .91 2.52 2.97 .75 8.11 5.50 2.45 1.57 2.26 1.83 .20 2.66 2.09 3.05 3.10 Implicit price deflator, private GNP (1958=100)_ .18 .30 Wages per private employee (dollars per year). _. 30.4 43.5 Index of private output per manhour (1958=100). .72 .82 .40 57.2 1.01 .48 68.7 1.20 .52 77.4 1.35 .58 89.0 1.52 .32 .49 .65 .34 .58 .73 .24 .15 .24 .18 1.26 1.28 .36 1.59 1.59 .44 2.84 4.4 1.3 Billions of 1958 dollars: Gross national product... Personal consumption expenditures Automobiles and parts Nonauto durables Nondurables.. Nonhousing services. Housing services Fixed nonresidential investment Residential structures Change in business inventories. M erchandise imports S e rvices imports, nondefense .-. 2.80 1.90 .77 .48 1.32 .39 .26 .87 .52 1.96 .46 .13 Miscellaneuos variables: Civilian labor force (millions) Employed Unemployemnt rate (percent) .24 .30 .32 Average yield on 4-6 months commercial paper (percent). Average yield, corporate bonds (percent) .28 .40 .48 .23 .13 Root Mean Square Percentage Errors: Gross national product GNP in 1958 dollars. Implicit deflator, private GNP. _ ... 1.19 1.12 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 28 errors in purchases of autos and parts and of nonhousing services. Errors in imports are also much larger. By contrast, errors in housing services are smaller and errors in inventory investment are only moderately larger. Errors in personal income are much larger. This results from positive bias (discussed below) both in the average private wage rate and in private employment, which result in large errors in employee compensation. The errors in corporate profits, however, are only slightly larger. The unemployment rate is very well predicted on the average in one- and two-quarter predictions, but the error mounts more rapidly in subsequent quarters than in the comparable quarters within the sample period. Errors in the short- and long-term interest rates are uniformly larger. Bias component of errors To what extent are prediction errors the result of systematic factors rather than purely random? There are several kinds of systematic error, the most important of which is bias, that is, a persistent tendency to underpredict or overpredict.8 The degree of bias in sample period and post-sample period predictions is examined here. The quantitative importance of bias can be analyzed by decomposing the mean square error (MSE) into the bias component (F-J) 2 —that is, the square of the average prediction error—and the variance of the error around the average (S2P.A): MSE=RMSE 2 = (P-S) 2 +S 2 p. A Table 4 shows, for sample-period predictions of selected variables, the average prediction error (F-5), the standard deviation of the mean prediction error (Sp_J), and the "bias proportion" of the MSE, that is (F-J) 2 / 8. Two other kinds of systematic error may be noted. First, even if errors are on the average unbiased, it is possible that for low values of a variable actuals are underpredicted while for high values they are overpredicted, or vice versa. Such predictions are said to be inefficient. Another systematic factor frequently found in judgmental forecasts, is underprediction of changes, whether postive or negative. Under estimation of change is not necessarily inconsistent with unbiasedness and efficiency. MSE. The average error is a direct measure of bias which preserves its sign (direction) and the bias proportion indicates the importance of bias in the total error. Table 5 shows the same statistics for post-sample predictions. During the sample period, average errors for current-dollar GNP and real GNP are small for the whole prediction horizon and not statistically significant.9 There is also an absence of significant bias in most GNP components, personal income, corporate profits, the implicit deflator for private GNP, and the unemployment rate. There is, however, a significant negative bias in imports for all six quarters. There is also a noticeable positive bias in business inventory investment, but it is not significant at the 5 percent level. Except for imports, the bias proportion is well under 10 percent. The post-sample period errors present a marked contrast to those of the sample period in respect to bias. (However, the caution given in footnote 9 about interpreting the significance test for bias applies even more strongly to the post-sample than the sample period because of the much smaller number of observations in the former.) Average errors in both current-dollar GNP and real GNP are positive and, after the first quarter, significantly so at the 5 percent level. Moreover, bias accounts for a sizable proportion of the mean square error. Average errors in the private GNP deflator are also positive, but are significant only in the fifth and sixth quarters. All major endogenous GNP components begin to show significant positive bias at some point within the sixquarter prediction horizon. For residential construction and business inventory investment, the bias is significant from the start; for other components, it is significant only after the second or third quarter. The positive bias in imports tends to dampen the positive bias in GNP. 9. The 5-percent level of significance is used, based on the J-test, £=(P-A)/p_-j A f-ratio of approximately 2 or more indicates that the mean error is significantly different from zero, that is, that bias is significant. It should be noted, however, that in the present context the significance test is deficient since the observations are not truly independent because they derive from overlapping predictions. August 1973 On the income side, there is significant positive bias in personal income. There is negative bias in the unemployment rate and significant positive bias in the private GNP deflator after the fourth quarter. Turning point errors Thus far we have been concerned with the quantitative aspect of predictive performance, that is, with the size of errors. Of perhaps equal importance is the ability of a model to detect well in advance changes in the direction of economic activity. The degree of reliance that can be placed on models to anticipate business cycle turning points depends on the extent to which they incorporate the cyclical dynamics of the real world. The view of the business cycle that is consistent with the structure of most econometric models is that the basic (nonstochastic) behavior relationships in the economy do not result in sustained cycles, but that cycles are induced by interaction, via dynamic lag patterns, between that system of relationships, on the one hand, and random shocks to those relationships and to the smooth paths of the exogenous variables, on the other. The theoretical foundation for this view was developed by Slutsky.10 Its relevance was later tested first on an earlier annual U.S. model n and more recently on two quarterly models including a version of the BEA model.12 In the first study a clear similarity was found between observed historical cycles and cycles simulated by a model "shocked" with random disturbances. In the more recent study, the similarity was found to be somewhat more tenuous. Nonstochastic simulations with the BEA model and with two other quarterly models, made continuously over each model's full sample period and beyond (i.e., simulations without 10. Eugen Slutsky, "The Summation of Random Causes as the Source of Cyclical Processes," Econometrica, April 1937. 11. Frank and Irma Adelman, "The Dynamic Properties of the Klein-Goldberger Model," Econometrica, October 1959. 12. Victor Zarnowitz, Charlotte Boschan, and Geoffrey H. Moore, "Business Cycle Analysis of Econometric Model Simulations" in Econometric Models of Cyclical Behavior, edited by Bert G. Hickman, Studies in Income and Wealth, 36, Vol. 1, National Bureau of Economic Research, 1972. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 29 Table 4.—Bias in Sample Period Predictions of Major Items Table 5.—Bias in Post-Sample Period Predictions of Major Items [Average errors and standard deviations are in $billions, except as otherwise indicated] [Average errors and standard deviations are in $billions, except as otherwise indicated] Prediction horizon (quarters) Prediction horizon (quarters) 1Q 2Q 1 3Q 4Q 5Q 6Q 0.53 0.88 0.74 0.49 0.18 -1.01 s [(P-S)2/MSE]o P-Sb GNP in 1958 dollars: P-S .50 .83 .032 .029 1.05 .010 .32 .55 .30 1.26 .003 -.10 1.42 .000 -.76 1.57 .006 -1.40 S P-S [(P-S)2/MSE] Implicit deflator, private GNP (1958= .72 .013 .90 .013 .002 1,07 .001 1.22 .005 .03 .04 .05 .07 .06 .45 1.36 .014 100): P-S S P-S [(P-S)2/MSE] Personal consumption expenditures: P-S s P-S [(P-J2/MSE] Fixed nonresidential investment: P-S s P-S [(P-S)2/MSE) Residential structures: P-S s P-S [(P-S)2/MSE] Change in business inventories: P-S s P-S [(P-S)2/MSE] Imports of goods and services: P-S s P-S [(P-S)2/MSE] Personal income: P-S s [(P-S)2/MSE] P-S Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment: P-S b P-S [(P-S)2/MSE] Unemployment rate (percent): P-S .01 P-S [(P-S)2/MSE] .02 .04 .19 .07 .08 .10 .028 .018 .016 .021 .013 .0003 .12 .22 .34 .37 .26 .01 .25 .36 .48 .61 .78 .95 .004 .018 .009 .007 .002 .000 .08 .17 .32 .43 .45 .39 .13 .23 .31 .40 .50 .60 .007 .011 .018 .020 .014 .008 -.05 -.12 .07 .14 .010 .012 .41 .64 -.16 -.20 -.22 -.225 .19 .22 .23 .23 .013 .014 .016 .017 .71 .71 .67 .64 .21 .34 .37 .41 .45 .49 .041 .061 .064 .052 .038 .029 -.15 -.26 -.34 -.42 -.48 -.55 .06 .09 .11 .14 .16 .18 .081 .131 .136 .141 .143 .144 .36 .66 .78 .69 .39 .01 .31 .49 .62 .75 .86 .99 .033 .045 .034 .017 .004 .000 .23 .39 .28 .25 .10 .31. .014 -.06 -.14 .45 .58 .68 .76 .82 .018 .006 .003 .000 .000 -.08 -.09 -.08 -.04 .00 .04 .06 .07 .07 .08 .08 .035 .028 .024 .015 .004 .000 a Average prediction error. b Standard deviation of average piediction error. c Bias propoition (square of average en or as a proportion of mean square error). 3Q 1.38 5.10 9.38 .053 1.31 .215 2.12 .259 2.65 .295 3.06 .337 3.24 .373 .48 3.04 5.96 8.31 9.78 9.18 .61 .011 1.00 .141 1.59 .201 1.84 .268 1.99 .303 1.94 .286 .01 .04 .12 .17 .43 1.01 .03 .05 .08 .09 .11 .15 .000 .010 .038 .059 .205 .447 4Q 5Q 6Q (P-A> 12.84 16.31 18.66 q P-Sb [(P-S)2/MSE]e GNP in 1958 dollars: P-S s P-S [(P-S)2/MSE] Implicit deflator, private GNP (1958=100): P-S .78 S Q b 2Q Gross national product: Gross national product: (P-S)* 1Q P-S [(P-S)2/MSE] Personal consumption expenditures: P-A q o P-S [(P-S)2/MSEJ Fixed nonresidential investment: P-S q b P-S [(P-S)2/MSE] Residential structures: P-S q b P-S [(P-S)2/MSE] Change in business inventories: P-S q b P-S [(P-S)2/MSE] Imports of goods and services: P-S q b P-S [(P-S)2/MSE] Personal income: P-S q b P-S [(P-S)2/MSE] Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment: P-3 q b P-S [(P-S)2/MSE] Unemployment rate (percent): P-S s P-S [(P-S)2/MSE] -.17 .59 2.30 4.12 6.50 8.90 .53 .92 .002 .007 1.42 .045 1.76 .090 2.06 .152 2.22 .224 .05 .59 1.98 3.30 5.11 6.81 .27 .45 .61 .76 .97 .001 .030 .160 .253 .334 1.11 .404 1.07 2.63 3.41 3.57 3.35 3.14 .09 .15 .13 .10 .13 .14 .721 .852 .918 .962 .927 .900 .73 2.00 3.14 3.76 4.00 3.40 .36 .41 .44 .54 .47 .41 .058 .300 .478 .461 .567 .551 .25 .67 1.41 .48 .51 .51 .005 .030 .119 .73 3.46 .42 .93 .050 .197 6.95 1.87 2.60 3.54 .62 .61 .55 .140 .249 .423 10.23 13.60 16.38 1.52 .272 1.98 .323 2.42 .361 2.66 .404 .36 1.03 1.30 1.18 •1.32 1.06 .28 . .41 .104 .63 .70 .73 .73 .072 .049 .056 .037 .028 -.01 -.23 .03 .05 .002 .349 -.50 -.75 -.97 -1.08 .08 .10 .12 .12 .557 .651 .711 .734 a Average piediction error. 6 Standard deviation of average piediction eiror. c Bias pioportion (square of average en or as a pioportion of mean square error). SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 30 random shocks), show that the models turn in 1956-IV and the upturn in tend to replicate well the first actual 1958-11 are not nearly as good. While business cycle in the period being the changes in direction of real GNP simulated but to follow only weakly are recognized in all six simulations, the contours of subsequent cycles, or to those beginning more than one quarter miss turning points altogether.13 This before the downturn and that beginning happens in part because the shocks that three quarters before the upturn preare reflected in the lagged endogenous dict the respective turning points one variables that define the initial con- quarter early. More important, the ditions damp out over time, and so, depth of the 1957-58 recession is badly accordingly, does the cyclical behavior underestimated. of the model since it receives no further The 1960-11 downturn is predicted shocks other than erratic changes in the by all three simulations begun prior to exogenous variables. it, despite the relative mildness of that The above theoretical and empirical recession. However, the model depicts a evidence leads us to expect that for shorter recession than actually ocshort prediction horizons models may curred. In all simulations except the do reasonably well in predicting turning one beginning one quarter before the points. The panels in chart 10 show upturn, an early upturn is predicted. The moderate downturn in 1969-IV actual paths of real GNP in the vicinity of specific cyclical turning points in is correctly predicted in each of the real GNP, and predicted paths using downturn simulations. However, the the BEA model. Three six-quarter simu- upturn in 1970-11 is predicted with a lations were run in the vicinity of each lag by each of the three simulations turning point. A turning point (down- related to it. The simulation beginning turn or upturn) is defined to be the from 1970-1 does show a slight gain for quarter following a peak or trough in 1970-11, but that is followed by two real GNP. The simulations were initi- quarters of further decline so that it ated from one, two, and three quarters cannot be regarded as a genuine upturn before the turning point. The turning prediction. Nevertheless, the simulapoints include four upturns beginning tions do follow broadly the contour of with that of 1954 and three downturns beginning with that of 1957. All the the actual economy. (It should be noted recessions and recoveries, except the that the sharp temporary dip in 1970most recent one, occurred within the IV is associated with the General Motors strike, and is unrelated to the sample period,. recession; no allowance was made for A summary tabulation showing the u degree of the model's success in identi- strike effects in these simulations.) fying turning points and the extent of Forecasting Errors: 1966-71 mis timings is given in table 6. As one might expect, the proportion of misForecasts using the BEA quarterly timed turning point predictions in- model, beginning with the version pubcreases with the interval between the lished in 1966, have been made regularly initial quarter and the turning point. with horizons of four or more quarters. For all predictions, approximately twothirds of the turning points are cor- From these forecasts summary error rectly predicted. Among the eight cases statistics have been compiled for the which do not show the correct timing, predicted turning points are off by more than one quarter in only two cases. The upturn in 1954-III is well replicated by the model. Each simulation correctly predicts the upturn quarter and follows the actual path of real GNP quite closely. Predictions of the down13. Ibid., Section 3. 14. Zarnowitz, Boschan, and Moore (op. cit.), examined not only the detection of turning points, but also the degree to which simulations in the vicinity of cyclical turning points replicate, for such business cycle indicators identified by the National Bureau of Economic Research as occur in the models, the lead-lag relationships typical of the actual behavior of those indicators. They conclude that models have a bias toward leads. For the BEA model, they find that "most of the simulated leading and coinciding series lead [actual turns], while lagging series show a tendency to coincide" (Ibid., p. 341). One must emphasize the tentativeness of this finding, however, since the period covered by the model runs is short relative to the time span that forms the basis of the N B E R ' s classification of indicators. August 1973 Table 6.—Prediction of Turning Points in Real GNP Number of quarters from initial quarter to turning point Date of turning point* All simulations Successes(O) or failures (X) 1954-III ( U ) . 1957-IV ( D ) . 1958-11 ( U ) . . 1960-11 ( D ) 1961-11 (U)_. 1969-IV ( D ) . 1970-11 (U)_. Relative number of successes Turning point missed by 1 quarter Turning point missed by 2 quarters Turning point missed by 3 or more quarters o o o o o o o X X 6/7 4/7 3/7 13/21 0 2 4 6 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 o o o X X *U=Upturn, D=Downturn. period 1966-1 through 1971-II.15 The historical record does not represent a set of values generated by a constant forecasting mechanism. Rather, it represents the experience of a team using an evolving econometric model. The model structure has been changed continually in both major and minor ways and was periodically reestimated, and each forecast was made with the latest version. There is also a lack of exact consistency among forecasts in the degree of exogeneity and in the choice between expectations-based and endogenous variants of fixed nonresidential investment equations. Before turning to an examination and evaluation of forecasting performance, we first explain the role of judgmental elements (other than the forecasting of exogenous variables) in model forecasting. Also, two methodological problems involved in compiling forecast errors and their solution are discussed. Judgmental elements in forecasting It is possible to generate model forecasts mechanically, just as was done in the case of the predictions, simply by "plugging in" the necessary exogenous variables over the forecasting horizon, perhaps adding formula-based constant adjustments, and solving the model 15. This quarter is set as the cutoff point primarily b the new price and wage policy, beginning with the l. imposed on August 15,1971, introduced an important sti tural change that was not anticipated. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 31 given by the formula. For instance, one would obviously not want to use the formula employed in the post-sample predictions if recent residuals show a clear trend; rather, one would tend to continue the trend in the adjustments. Second, there may be special factors which explain the most recent residuals, but which are not relevant to the forecast period or are relevant in a special way. Third, the forecaster may know about an impending circumstance, either as a certainty or as a substantial possibility, which calls for sequentially for the desired period. To structure or is inconsistent with premost practitioners of econometric fore- liminary model outputs), or judgmental casting, however, such a procedure ap- restrictions on the outputs. Judgmental elements (other than pears inadequate. A model can be a powerful aid to forecasting, but it projections of exogenous variables) are should not be a straightjacket. Most usually introduced by using constant experienced model forecasters exercise adjustments that do not rest on a forconsiderable control over their model's mula. Such adjustments are mostly output by departing from mechanical made prior to running a forecast. The procedures. Such departures are based following are specific reasons—based on on internal information (nature of past internal or external information—why equation residuals), external informa- such prior adjustments are made: tion (knowledge about the economy First, the recent pattern of residuals that is not incorporated in the model may not suggest the "decay" process CHART 10 Cyclical Turning Points in Real GNP Billions of 1958 $ 4601 Billions of 1958 $ 490 UPTURN 1954-111 490 DOWNTURN 1957-IV 520 UPTURN 1958-11 DOWNTURN 1960-11 450 480 480 510 - 440 470 470 500 - - / 430 460 460 490 420 450 450 480 410 440 440 470 400U L I I I I t I 4 1 2 3 1953 1954 4 1 2 3 1955 4 540 4301! I I 1 2 3 1957 750 UPTURN 1961-11 1 4 I I I 1 2 3 1958 I 4 I 1 1959 43"! I I 3 4 1957 760 DOWNTURN 1969-IV 530 740 - 520 730 510 720 500 710 - - 720 490 700 - - 710 - 750 r 740 t 1 1 1 2 3 1958 I 4 1 1 I 1 2 3 1959 460 I I I I i I 3 4 1960 1 2 3 1961 4 1 2 3 1962 I I 690 1 1 1 i i i 4 1 2 3 1970 4 1 1971 1 1 1 7nnl I I 3 4 1969 Seasonally Adjusted at Annual Rates U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis i - i i I 1 1 l 1 2 3 1960 4 1 2 3 1961 UPTURN 1970-11 730 1 2 3 1969 3 4 1959 — i«nl I -/ 1 I I I 1 2 3 1970 I 4 I I I 1 2 3 1971 Actual One Quarter Ahead Two Quarters Ahead Three Quarters Ahead I i 32 special adjustment; or he may regard certain factors that are not incorporated into the model structure as relevant during the period of forecast. Examples are: legislation having some future effect; a strike threat which is expected to lead to certain kinds of anticipatorybehavior; the direct effects of a strike on production; the effect on consumption of a large and prolonged decline in stock prices. There is one kind of external information in response to which adjustments are (normally) made only after an initial run is obtained. Since the first quarter covered by each forecast is usually well in progress at the time of making a forecast, there is partial information already available on developments in that quarter. Thus, if model outputs obviously conflict with what is indicated by the partial data, the differences become a basis for making further adjustments. After making adjustments based on objective information, the forecaster may still decide that certain outputs are "unreasonable," and he might, therefore, make further adjustments. What constitutes ' 'reasonableness,'' that is, a valid basis for imposing a judgmental constraint on a model's output, is a moot philosophical issue. As a practical matter, judgmental modifications are introduced, for example, when predicted changes are strikingly large or small compared to past changes or when certain ratios are well outside their historical range. It should be emphasized that we have tried to refrain from making judgments about global or summary magnitudes, such as total GNP or the price level, but rather have confined them to specific items, such as components of GNP, and to notions of "consistency" among variables.16 16. This assertion contradicts the following conclusion based on a study of BEA(OBE) and Wharton model forecasts by Yoel Haitovsky and George Treyz: "We find that there is reason to believe that in the first quarter of the forecast, both the values chosen for the exogenous variables and the discretionary constant adjustments were influenced by interaction between the forecaster and the model forecast and that this interaction improved . . . first quarter forecasts [of GNP]" ("Forecasts with Quarterly Macroeconometric Models, Equation Adjustments, and Benchmark Predictions," Review of Economics and Statistics, August 1972, p. 320). This statement suggests that the forecasters systematically adjust constants in such a way as to offset the effect of errors in the exogenous variables on the forecasts of GNP. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS At times certain behavioral relationships break down to such an extent that it becomes easier to substitute extraneous estimates of certain variables for endogenously determined values than to try to modify the results by constant adjustments. This has, for instance, sometimes been the case with housing starts. Another example: Equations based upon past market determination of wages and prices become inappropriate if price-wage policies such as those initiated in August 1971 are effective in modifying price and wage behavior. Selection of forecasts and tion of errors computa- We have frequently made more than one forecast during a quarter because of significant data revisions, new data on the quarter in progress, or other new information calling for the modification of previously made assumptions. Moreover, we have often presented alternative versions of a forecast incorporating alternative assumptions about policy decisions or about the occurrence of some exogenous future event, such as a strike, or alternative time paths of certain exogenous variables about which there was considerable uncertainty. Also, in some instances where it appeared unlikely that certain endogenous variables would turn out as predicted by the model, alternative forecasts, making these variables exogenous, were run. For the purpose of analyzing forecast errors, only one forecast made in each quarter has been selected. The principles underlying the selection were as follows: First, wherever possible, the forecast chosen was one made after the final national income and product account estimates for the previous quarter had been completed, but before substantial two-month information for the current quarter was becoming available, i.e., roughly between the fifteenth day of the second month of the quarter and the tenth day of its third month. Second, if a given forecast had versions with differing degrees of endogeneity, that with the maximum endogeneity was selected. Third, where August 1973 more than one fiscal policy or strike variant was available, the variant whose assumption most closely approximated the actual subsequent event was selected. The periodic revision of data creates a problem for the measurement of forecasting error, but one which can be essentially overcome. It is assumed that revised data are more accurate than preliminary data and hence are a more appropriate basis against which to evaluate forecasts. Since the initial conditions and the data being forecast tend to be revised in the same direction, some kind of adjustment of the forecast for revisions in the initial conditions is warranted. (When a forecast horizon extends over the time of the annual (July) revisions of the national income and product accounts, unrevised data for the final quarters of the forecast horizon that are comparable to the unrevised initial conditions do not even exist.) On the assumption that forecasting accuracy is to be judged on the basis of cumulative changes from the initial levels, the solution to this problem is straightforward for a linear system: To compute the adjusted error for any variable in period t+i, where t denotes the initial period, calculate the adjusted forecast level in t-\-i by adding the cumulative change originally forecast from t to t+i to the revised initial level; the revised actual level in t+i is then subtracted from the adjusted forecast level: where et+i is the adjusted error, A and F are actual and forecast values, and the superscripts r and u indicate revised and unrevised values respectively. In a nonlinear system, such as the BEA model, this approach can lead to inconsistent errors. For example, the adjusted forecast level of a currentdollar GNP component in t+i is, in general, not precisely the same when current-dollar values are used directly as it is when the separately forecast August 1973 real GNP components and implicit price deflators are used. However, over relatively short forecasting horizons the inconsistency is not likely to be serious. Thus, the approach described above was used to calculate adjusted error, following the convention that the adjustment is applied directly in each case to the variable that is the subject of error measurement. The plan for the remainder of this section is as follows: First, RMSE and bias statistics for ex-ante (i.e., actual) forecasts are presented. Errors in exante forecasts are then compared with errors in post-sample predictions. Next, errors in ex-ante forecasts are compared with errors in corresponding "ex-post" forecasts (adjusted ex-ante forecasts with actual values of exogenous variables substituted for the forecast values) in order to determine the effect of errors in forecasting exogenous variables. Finally, after a brief discussion of the problems of evaluating forecasting performance, comparisons are made between errors in the ex-ante forecasts and those based on extrapolation using autoregressions as "naive" benchmarks. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Errors in personal consumption expenditures and in business inventory investment are heavy contributors to errors in current-dollar GNP forecast one quarter ahead. Errors in forecasting consumer purchases of autos and parts (shown only in 1958 dollars in the table) account for a major portion of the errors in forecasting total personal consumption expenditures, despite the fact that autos and parts purchases are only about one-tenth of the total. Errors in fixed nonresideutial investment and imports become prominent by the fifth quarter. The RMSE's for each of the two main exogenous components of GNP— exports and government purchases— are also substantial, but the RMSE for the sum of the two components is considerably less than the sum of the separate RMSE's, reflecting substantial offsetting of errors. The size of errors in the sum of government purchases relative to that of errors in total GNP diminishes as the forecast horizon lengthens. Forecast errors in personal income increasingly dominate those in corporate profits as the forecast horizon lengthens. In percentage terms (not shown), however, RMSE's for corporate profits are uniformly larger. Bias As noted above, errors in forecasts of current-dollar GNP are moderated by offsetting errors in forecasts of prices and real GNP. This offsetting reflects a positive bias in forecasts of real GNP and a substantial negative bias in Table 7.—Root Mean Square Errors of Selected Variables: Ex-ante Forecasts (1966-11971-11) Forecast horizon (quarters) 1Q Number of observations. 2Q 22 21 3Q 4Q 20 18 5Q 6Q Billions of dollars: Size of errors in ex-ante forecasts Gross national product Change in GNP Table 7 shows root mean square errors for major variables from ex-ante forecasts with horizons up to six quarters. As is indicated in the first line of the table, the number of forecasts is not constant for the various horizons, but diminishes as the horizon lengthens. The RMSE's show a general tendency to rise as the horizon lengthens, as they did in the case of the predictions. (A falling off in the RMSE's for many of the items in the table in the sixth quarter may simply reflect the fact that only five of the 22 forecasts are represented for that horizon.) As in the case of the predictions, there is a tendency for offsetting errors among GNP components. Moreover—and this is a new feature—there is a very strong offsetting of errors between real GNP and the price level (represented by the private GNP deflator), resulting in only moderate errors in current-dollar GNP. As shown below, forecast errors in these v a r i a b l e s show b i a s in o p p o s i t e directions. Personal consumption expenditures Fixed nonresidential investment Residential structures Change in business inventories Exports of goods and services*. Imports of goods and services. Government purchases of goods and services* 33 2.94 2.94 6.67 6.00 10.80 5.60 15.27 7.60 16.95 7.42 15.48 6.94 3.93 1.67 1.14 3.78 1.70 1.84 1.86 2.84 1.78 4.15 2.14 2.52 2.83 9.32 3.18 2.53 4.19 2.29 3.12 3.62 11.87 4.34 3.38 4.77 2.52 3.84 5.05 12.09 5.68 3.24 3.86 3.40 5.19 4.46 11.59 5.02 3.64 2.00 3.18 5.98 4.94 Exports plus government purchases* 2.24 3.13 3.98 4.87 3.65 4.19 Personal income 2.69 2.74 6.02 4.29 9.19 5.16 13.16 6.47 18.43 10.26 18.76 8.56 2.89 2.54 1.60 .70 2.14 .75 .23 5.61 4.29 2.58 .85 1.91 1.22 .37 8.78 6.01 2.87 1.26 2.78 1.62 .50 11.94 7.35 3.50 1.73 3.62 1.92 .63 15.84 7.86 3.50 1.71 2.78 2.62 17.27 9.50 4.57 1.76 3.28 3.07 .82 2.48 .77 3.42 1.67 .48 2.35 1.19 3.81 1.76 .70 2.46 1.86 3.64 2.19 3.45 2.46 4.43 2.51 1.11 3.87 2.06 3.48 2.70 1.38 3.84 2.24 1.81 2.55 1.20 .44 41.2 .97 .75 56.6 1.34 1.16 87.2 1.92 1.63 129.6 2.53 2.64 126.5 3.29 2.47 113.1 3.92 _ Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment.. Billions of 1958 dollars: Gross national product Personal consumption expenditures Automobile and parts Nonauto durables Non durables Nonhousing services.. Housing services Fixed nonresidential investment. Residential structures Change in business inventories Merchandise imports** Services imports, nondefense** Miscellaneous variables: Implicit price deflator, private GNP (1958=100) Wages per private employee (dollars per year) Index of private output per manhour (1958=100)** Civilian labor force (millions) Employed Unemployment rate (percent) .28 .29 .13 .61 .66 .38 .59 .78 .53 1.03 1.04 .74 1.11 .99 .84 Average yield on 4-6 months commercial paper (percent) Average yield, corporate bonds (percent) .47 .23 1.32 .82 1.85 1.08 2.34 1.41 2.46 1.58 Root Mean Square Percentage Errors Gross national product GNP in 1958 dollars.... Implicit deflator, private GNP *Exogenous. **Based on forecasts since April 1967 only. 50 60 55 .80 .82 .70 .95 1.05 .89 1.13 1.23 1.10 1.10 1.41 1.34 1.10 1.46 1.43 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 34 Table 8.—Bias in Ex-ante Forecasts for Major Items [Average errors and standard deviations are in $billions, except as otherwise indicated] Forecast horizon (quarters) 1Q 2Q 3Q -1.60 -1.77 4Q 5Q 6Q -7.02 -2.48 Gross national product: (P-3)> S P-Ib [(P-3) 2/MSE] • -0.90 .98 .086 -3.07 2,16 .058 3.55 .028 4.98 .041 5.15 .171 2.38 4.57 6.24 9.28 1.69 .183 2.49 .274 3.40 .270 4.27 .345 5.09 .026 GNP in 1958 dollars: P-3 1.42 Q O P-3 [(P-3) 2/MSE] .84 .235 13.46 3.59 .611 Implicit deflator, private GNP: P-3 -.32 -.54 -.90 -1.24 -2.28 -2.64 Q D P-3 [P-3) 2/MSE] .10 .465 .17 .482 .22 .634 .36 .549 .20 .934 .35 .856 Personal consumption expenditures: P-3 -.49 -.06 -.30 -1.33 -7.53 -5.60 Q O P-3 [(P-3) 2/MSE] 1.29 .016 2.27 .000 3.10 .001 3.93 .013 3.15 .388 3.38 .233 Fixed nonresidential investment: P-3 -.16 -.13 -.36 -1.76 -2.65 -2.58 b P-3 [(P-3) 2/MSE] .55 .009 .95 .002 1.05 .012 1.32 .164 1.67 .218 1.43 .264 Residential structures: P-3 -.39 -.71 -.80 -.81 -.46 -.64 S P-3 [(P-3) 2/MSE] .36 .117 .54 .159 .80 .100 1.09 .057 1.07 .020 .09 .47 1.59 .000 1.28 .015 .85 .059 Change in business inventories: P-3 -.51 -.77 -.08 1.16 Q D P-3 [(P-3) 2/MSE] 1.25 .018 1.36 .034 1.40 .000 .54 .336 Exports & government purchases*: P-3 -.44 -1.40 -2.20 -2.95 -1.55 Q D P-3 [(P-3) 2/MSE] .73 .038 .93 .200 1.11 .306 1.29 .367 1.10 .180 -.14 1.40 .001 Imports of goods and services: P-3 S P-3 [(P-3) 2/MSE] -.85 .54 .213 -1.56 .66 .383 -2.20 .74 .497 -2.78 .88 .524 -4.86 .61 .877 -5.96 .16 .993 Personal income: P-3 -1.46 -3.05 -4.46 -8.05 -14.11 -13.60 Q O P-3 [(P-3) 2/MSE] .75 .294 1.73 .257 2.62 .266 3.47 .374 3.95 .586 4.23 .535 .57 1.71. 2.78 3.95 5.34 5.62 .89 .043 1.36 .095 1.45 .290 1.71 .373 2.92 .371 2.15 .431 Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment: P-3 S P-3 [(P-3) 2/MSE] Unemployment rate (percent): P-3 -.02 -.00 -.06 -.12 -.17 -.42 Q O P-3 [(P-3) 2/MSE] .04 .028 .12 .000 » Average prediction error. Standard deviation of average prediction error. ° Bias proportion (square of average error as a proportion of mean square error). *Exogenous. b .12 .024 .17 .001 .24 .054 .24 .248 August 1973 forecasts of the deflator, as can be seen in table 8 (comparable to tables 4 and 5). The bias in the real GNP forecasts becomes significant at the 5 percent level after the fourth quarter. For the deflator, bias is significant for all quarters. The positive bias in the real GNP forecast errors reflects a positive, though not significant, bias in the forecast errors for real personal consumption expenditures and a strong negative bias in forecast errors for real merchandise imports (not shown in the table). In current dollars, there are large and significant negative errors in total imports, while the sum of the two main exogenous variables (exports and government purchases) also has a negative mean error for all quarters with bias significant in the third and fourth quarters. On the income side, a strong negative bias in the personal income errors is partly offset by a positive, but marginally significant, bias in corporate profits. Errors in the unemployment rate show no significant bias. The source of bias in forecasting errors is not clear. However, through a systematic decomposition of errors by sources of error—which we intend to undertake in the near future—we can identify equations that are critical in producing bias and make adjustments that tend to eliminate it. Reduction of bias, of course, serves to reduce the size of errors. Ex-ante forecasts versus post-sample predictions The ex-ante forecasts reviewed in this article differ from the post-sample predictions in the following ways: (1) The forecasts cover a longer time period; (2) they incorporate a mixture of model versions and a somewhat varying degree of exogeneity; (3) they use judgmental projections of exogenous variables rather than actual values; (4) they embody many judgmental (in place of mechanical) constant adjustments; (5) they use unrevised rather than revised data as initial conditions. Because of the multiplicity of differences, it is difficult to compare error statistics from the two sets of runs in a meaningful way. It is also hazardous to August 1973 generalize from them because of the extreme shortness of the period covered by the post-sample predictions. Having both sets of results, however, makes a comparison between them irresistible, and we shall try to draw such tentative inferences as we can. Comparison of table 7 with table 2 reveals that for both current-dollar GNP and real GNP, EMSE's of the ex-ante forecasts are in almost all cases smaller than the EMSE's of the postsample predictions. For current-dollar GNP, the comparative sizes of the errors reflects primarily the fact that offsetting biases between price and output errors occur in the forecasts, but not in the predictions. EMSEVfor components of real GNP are also generally smaller in the forecasts. However, the relative composition of errors is broadly similar in the two cases; in the case of the forecasts, errors in personal consumption expenditures dominate those in total GNP to a somewhat greater extent. Errors in the private GNP deflator, besides being negatively biased, are substantially larger in the forecasts than in the predictions. For horizons up to five quarters, the root mean square percentage errors are almost twice as large. Forecast errors in the unemployment rate are smaller than those in the predictions, a result that is consistent with the smaller errors in real GNP. Errors in forecasting both short- and longterm interest rates are generally much larger than in the predictions. This stems in large part from failure to forecast correctly changes in the discount rate, which is exogenous and which has a strong impact on the shortterm rate and an indirect and weaker short-run impact on the long-term rate. In order to remove, at least for the aggregative output and price variables, differences between forecasts and postsample predictions that are due to the difference in the time period covered, EMSE's for these variables were also computed for the subset of forecasts covering the same period (1969-1 to 1971-11) used for the predictions. Table 9 shows these EMSE's for currentdollar GNP, real GNP, and the implicit private GNP deflator. The same general SUEVEY OF CUEEENT BUSINESS 35 Table 9.~Root Mean Square Errors of Selected Variables: Ex-ante Forecasts Versus Post Sample Predictions (1969-1—1971-11) Forecast or prediction horizon (quarters) 1Q 2Q 3Q 2.07 6.01 4.87 11.01 5.40 18.42 2.37 4.56 5.65 8.11 .51 .27 .87 .44 5Q 6Q 5.51 23.63 8.88 28.08 30.5 9.22 13.28 13.26 16.06 18.40 17.78 20.84 17.16 1.32 .61 1.85 .70 2.45 .95 3.16 1.51 Gross national product (billions of dollars): Ex-ante forecasts Post-sample predictions Gross national product (billions of 1958 dollars): Ex-ante forecasts Post-sample predictions Implicit deflator, private GNP (1958=100): Ex-ante forecasts Post-sample predictions pattern emerges as in the comparison of the full set of forecasts with the predictions. For current-dollar GNP, RMSE's in the subset of forecasts are smaller than in the the full set, averaging only about one-third as large as in the predictions. After the first quarter, real GNP errors are larger in the subset of forecasts than in the full set, and are, therefore, closer to the prediction errors; in the fifth and sixth quarters they are greater. Price errors are generally somewhat greater in the subset of forecasts than in the full set, and thus show an even wider margin over the price errors in the post-sample predictions. There is evidently more offsetting of errors between real output and the price level in the 1969-71 subset of forecasts than in the full set. The relatively poor performance of the forecasts of the price level, as compared with the predictions, is largely explained by bigger errors in productivity (output per man-hour) in the forecasts than in the predictions (judging from comparisons based on the full set of forecasts). Another possible explanatory factor is that a recently introduced method of solving for the price level, which has been shown to reduce errors,17 was used in all of the predictions, but in only the last few of the forecasts. Errors in the private sector wage rate—the other element of unit labor cost, which is the main determinant of the price level—are somewhat smaller in the forecasts than in the predictions. 17. Albert A. Hirsch, "Price Simulations with the OBE Econometric Model," in Econometrics of Price Behavior, edited by Otto Eckstein, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 1972. The reason why errors in real GNP are smaller in the ex-ante forecasts than in the post-sample predictions is less obvious. The above comparisons do not indicate offsetting of larger errors among components of real GNP; nor do the results of the next section show substantial offsetting between errors in exogenous variables and model prediction errors. A likely explanation— though a tentative one—is that judgmental adjustments have contributed to forecasting accuracy, at least for the first few forecast quarters.18 Ex-post versus ex-ante forecasts The main judgmental element in econometric forecasting is the projection of exogenous variables. It is thus of interest to determine whether errors in these projections have worsened the accuracy of the GNP forecasts, and if so, to what extent. This can be ascertained by repeating forecasts made in the past with all inputs other than the exogenous variables kept intact; for the latter, the actual values are used. This type of repetition of past ex-ante forecasts is called ex-post forecasting. What cannot be done, unfortunately, is to update the judgmental elements in the constant adjustments—that is, departures from mechanical adjustments —in accordance with data revisions and 18. This inference is corroborated by evidence in the study by Haitovsky and Treyz (op. cit.). For both the BE A and Wharton Model forecasts that are analyzed, the forecasts of current-dollar GNP, real GNP, and the unemployment rate are generally poorer when the judgmental constant adjustments are replaced by mechanical adjustments (but the exante exogenous variables are used). We are undertaking a more intensive investigation of the role of different kinds of judgment in forecasting and we will report the results when more observations become available. 36 SUEVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Table 10.—Root Mean Square Errors: Ex ante versus Ex-post Forecasts (1967-11—1971-II) Forecast horizon (quarters) 1Q Number of observations 17 16 3Q 4Q 15 13 5Q 6Q Gross national product (billions of dollars): Ex-ante Ex-post 2.45 3.82 7.08 9.43 10.98 14.58 14.95 19.11 18.45 22.04 17.27 18.41 Gross national product (billions of 1958 dollars): Ex-ante . Ex-post 2.59 2.61 5.92 6.61 9.11 10.24 12.23 13.42 17.39 14.38 18.74 14.69 Implicit deflator, private GNP (1958-100): Ex-ante Ex-post .38 .78 .76 1.23 1.20 1.78 1.79 2.57 2.79 3.12 3.79 Unemployment rate (percent): Ex-ante Ex-post .14 .15 .29 .35 .42 .55 .59 .72 .81 .94 .85 ex-post knowledge of special factors. The problem is that this would have to be done in a way that is not prejudiced by the actual outcome of the data being forecast. Putting it in another way, so far as the constant adjustments are concerned, we cannot disentangle the uncertainty of the forecaster's judgment from the "uncertainty" (i.e., purely stochastic elements) inherent in the model. Thus, in our effort to remove errors of judgment, we are limited to the removal of errors in projecting exogenous variables. Reference has already been made to the study by Haitovsky and Treyz of ex-ante and ex-post forecast errors in the BEA and Wharton models (footnote 14); the period covered for the BEA model in that study is 1967-111 through 1969-111. It has not been possible to replicate forecasts made prior to 1967III, but results of the forecasts covering 1969-IV through 1971-11 have been added. Thus, ex-post forecasts can be examined for all but the first five of the full set of ex-ante forecasts. In the ex-post forecasts, values of the exogenous variables were determined by linking changes in them, as measured by data now available, to the initial levels used in the ex-ante forecasts. Adjusted errors in the endogenous variables were then computed in the same way as described for the ex-ante forecasts. Table 10 compares root mean square errors in current-dollar GNP, real GNP, the private GNP deflator, and the unemployment rate for this set of ex-post forecasts with those of the corresponding ex-ante forecasts. The results are mixed. Forecasts of current-dollar GNP are uniformly and substantially poorer ex-post. We have not compiled all the necessary data to determine precisely why this rather surprising result occurs. As in the case of the analogous superiority of ex-ante forecasts over post-sample predictions of current-dollar GNP, it must result from offsetting errors. In this instance, however, the offsetting occurs between errors in the exogenous variables and the errors in the model equations. For real GNP, RMSE's of ex-post forecasts are only slightly worse in the first four quarters and are substantially better in the fifth and sixth quarters. The R VlSE's for the ex-post and the e: -ante forecasts of the private GNP deflator are almost identical until the sixth quarter. Ex-post forecast errors in the unemployment rate are slightly larger until the sixth quarter, primarily reflecting the larger ex-post errors in real output. While there are no formal hypothesis tests to ascertain whether the differences between ex-ante and ex-post forecast errors are statistically significant, the small differences for variables other than current-dollar GNP and the small number of degrees of freedom strongly suggest that the differences are not significant. Further evaluation performance of forecasting Comparisons have been made tetween ex-ante forecast errors and pre- August 1973 diction errors and between ex-ante and ex-post forecast errors. However, neither set of comparisons, answers the question : Is an econometric model (and the BEA model in particular) a useful device for forecasting? This question cannot be answered unambiguously for at least the following reasons: (1) There is no single criterion of forecasting quality; (2) what constitutes a sufficiently accurate forecast depends on how the results are to be used; (3) as previously noted, one cannot fully separate the use of a model in forecasting from the judgment of the forecaster; hence, various tests that attempt to assess the contribution of the model to forecasting are not wholly satisfactory; (4) the continuing process of model development and improvement and the changing structure of the economy imply that the past record of a model is not a clear guide to its future performance. In regard to the first point, it must be borne in mind that a forecast does not yield a single magnitude, but a whole vector of outputs (and for multiperiod forecasts, a set of such vectors or matrix of outputs). A forecaster or forecasting system can, for instance, produce an excellent record in terms of current-dollar GNP, but a poor one in terms of composition of final demand, prices, profits, etc. Again, a set of quarterly forecasts might include good oneand two-quarter projections, but poor ones beyond that; or it may provide good year-ahead forecasts, but give misleading quarterly patterns and fail to indicate cyclical turning points. There is no objective basis for weighting these various elements to arrive at an overall rating of forecasting quality. One may compare model forecasts with forecasts obtained by other techniques, but here also there are problems. For instance, the record of an econometric forecaster, or of a group of econometric forecasters, can be compared with that of a selected group of judgmental forecasters over the same period. However, it is not likely that a reputable judgmental forecaster exists who can claim to be uninfluenced by econometric forecasts (and probably also vice versa) and there is an obvious problem in deciding which econometric August 1973 and judgmental forecasts are to be compared. Another obstacle to meaningful comparison is that judgmental and econometric forecasters do not project a common set of values for the exogenous variables of the models.19 Standardized comparisons of the forecasting ability of different econometric models are also hard to obtain. The difficulty in sorting out the forecaster's judgmental errors from the performance of the model is a particular problem here. 20 Comparison of ex-ante forecasts with "naive" benchmarks In view of the problems of finding an absolute standard for evaluating forecasts and in comparing model forecasts with judgmental forecasts or one model's forecasts with those of another, it is worthwhile to make still another kind of comparison, namely, between ex-ante forecasts and so-called "naive" extrapolations. The latter approach is one that makes no use of economic knowledge other than past data on the variables in question and hence is merely a mechanical device for projecting the data. Such a benchmark can represent a sort of floor below which, it is hoped, forecasting performance based on the non-naive method will not sink. A whole spectrum of naive benchmarks, varying in degree of com19. Notwithstanding these difficulties, a very tentative comparison between model and judgmental forecasts has been made by Victor Zarnowitz, using the BE A and Wharton model results obtained by Haitovsky and Treyz. According to Zarnowitz, models have "a slight edge" on judgmental forecasts; "Forecasting Economic Conditions: Record and Prospect," The Business Cycle Today, edited by Victor Zarnowitz, National Bureau of Economic Research, 1972, especially pp. 222-27. 20. A cooperative attempt to make intermodel comparisons of predictive ability and other properties, by imposing procedures as uniform as possible, has been undertaken by various model builders under the sponsorship of the National Bureau of Economic Research and the National Science Foundation. Preliminary comparisons of sample period and post-sample period predictions of current-dollar GNP and real GNP for all models, including the BE A model, have been published in Lawrence R. Klein and Gary Fromm, "A Comparison of Eleven Econometric Models of the United States," American Economic Review, May 1973. (Comparisons of ex-ante forecasts have not been made by this group.) The results indicate relatively little variation across models in RMSE's within the sample period. There is more variation in the post-sample comparisons; however, these comparisons are hampered by lack of perfect uniformity in the time period covered, shortness of the post-sample period in most cases, and adjustment procedures. For the period 1967-III—1969-III, comparisons of ex-ante and ex-post forecast results for key variables from the BE A and Wharton models using actual and alternative constant adjustment procedures have also been published (Haitovsky and Treyz, op. cit.). SUEVEY OF CUREENT BUSINESS plexity, is available. The simplest one is a projection of no change from the previous period. Since the economy is generally upward trending, it is clear that all serious forecasting systems would win over this benchmark. A benchmark that provides a somewhat harder test is extrapolation of the same change as in the previous period. A more complex benchmark, which involves statistical inference applied to past economic data but which again fails to incorporate hypotheses of economic casuality, is an autoregressive equation, that is, one in which the variable in question depends on its own lagged values: t _2+. . . + anYt_n. 37 Table 11 shows RMSE's for extrapolations of major variables one to six quarters ahead made using "secondorder" autoregressive equations, that is, equations having two lagged values of the dependent variable. Inclusion of the second as well as the first lagged value results in difference equations which may yield cyclical movements as well as growth. As in the predictions and forecasts made with the model, the autoregressive extrapolations were generated dynamically; that is, extrapolated rather than actual values of the lagged dependent variables were used where needed as inputs. Extrapolations with the autoregressive equations were made for the same Table 11.—Root Mean Square Errors for Selected Items: Ex ante Forecasts versus Extrapolations using Second-order Autoregressive Equations Forecast horizon (quarters) 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 5Q 6Q Billions of dollars: Gross national product: Ex-ante forecasts Autoregressive 2.94 4.53 6.67 7.44 10.80 10.62 15.27 14.28 16.95 17.68 15.48 19.61 Personal income: Ex-ante forecasts Autoregressive 2.69 2.41 6.02 3.74 9.19 5.66 13.16 6.74 18.43 7.80 18.76 8.51 Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment: Ex-ante forecasts Autoregressive 2.74 2.53 4.29 3.65 5.16 4.90 6.47 6.44 10.26 7.89 8.56 2.89 4.25 5.61 7.29 8.78 11.41 11.94 16.75 15.84 22.62 17.27 28.27 2.54 3.79 4.29 5.25 6.01 7.21 7.35 10.22 7.86 13.32 9.50 16.03 1.60 2.39 2.58 2.14 2.87 2.08 3.50 2.78 3.50 2.70 4.57 2.45 2.48 1.37 2.35 2.49 2.46 3.99 3.45 6.08 3.87 8.40 3.84 10.62 .77 .78 1.19 1.41 2.46 2.31 2.06 2.45 2.24 2.45 Change in business inventories: Ex-ante forecasts Autoregressive— 3.42 4.41 3.81 5.19 3.64 5.57 4.43 3.48 7.05 1.81 7.24 Merchandise imports: Ex-ante forecasts* Autoregressive 1.67 1.19 1.76 1.61 2.19 1.67 2.51 1.60 2.70 1.52 2.55 1.83 Implicit price deflator, private GNP (1958=100): E x-ante forecasts Autoregressive .75 1.16 1.01 1.63 1.37 2.64 1.86 2.47 2.48 Unemployment rate (percent): Ex-ante forecasts Autoregressive .37 .50 .38 .53 1.14 .74 1.38 .84 1.56 Average yield on 4-6 months commercial paper (percent) Ex-ante forecasts Autoregressive .93 .82 1.32 1.15 1.85 1.38 2.34 1.67 2.46 1.99 .52 1.59 2.29 1.08 2.76 1.41 2.81 1.58 .87 Billions of 1958 dollars: Gross national product: Ex-ante forecasts Autoregressive _ _ Personal consumption expenditures: Ex-ante forecasts Autoregressive Automobiles and parts: Ex-ante forecasts Autoregressive Filed nonresidential investment: Ex-ante forecasts Autoregressive Residential structures: Ex-ante forecasts Autoregressive Miscellaneous items: Average yield, corporate bonds (percent): Ex-ante forecasts Autoregressive •Based on forecasts since April 1967 only. — 38 period as that for which the model forecasts are presented, i.e., 1966— 1971-11. However, two sets of parameter estimates were made for each autoregressive equation: The first set was estimated over the period 1953II—1966-IV and used to extrapolate in 1967 and 1968; the second set was estimated through 1968 and used to extrapolate in 1969—1971-11. This reestimation of the autoregressive equation parameters corresponds to the timing of major reestimations of the model. For current-dollar GNP, the model ex-ante forecasts are, on balance, superior to the autoregressive extrapolations, although a reversal occurs in the third and fourth quarters. The model forecasts of real GNP are distinctly superior to autoregressive extrapolations throughout, while the forecasts of the private GNP deflator are inferior to the extrapolations until the sixth quarter. Perhaps the autoregressive price equation captures the role of price expectations to a substantial degree. Among components of real GNP, model forecasts are better than autoregressive extrapolations of total consumption expenditures, fixed nonresidential investment after the first quarter, business inventory investment, SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 and, to a slight extent, residential construction outlays. However, model forecasts are weaker for consumer purchases of autos and parts after the first quarter and merchandise imports in all quarters. Beyond one quarter, the model forecasts of personal income yield substantially larger errors than the autoregressive extrapolations. For profits, the two sets of errors are closer, although the model forecasts are slightly poorer. The model forecasts are superior for the unemployment rate and the longterm interest rate, but not for the short-term interest rate. The mixed performance of the ex-ante forecasts relative to extrapolation based on autoregression is somewhat disappointing. However, this does not suggest that we should abandon econometric models in favor of autoregressive or other empirical extrapolation techniques. Rather, it points up the need for further improvement in model structure or, in statistical techniques of estimation or prediction. Even if they would consistently yield more accurate forecasts, purely empirical techniques could not deal with the impact of assumed alternative policy decisions and other contingencies. Only a model can do this. Summary of Major Findings Table 12.—Errors in Forecast of August 8, 1968 [Predicted minus actual] 1969 1968 III IV I II III IV Billions of dollars (except as indicated): Gross national product. -14.6 -25.0 -32.3 -37.3 -31.4 Personal consumption expendituresAutomobiles and parts Other durable goods Nondurable goods Services -8.4 -3.2 -1.1 -2.5 -1.7 -11.0 -3.7 -1.3 -3.8 -2.3 -17.5 -5.4 -2.4 -6.5 -3.3 -22.5 -5.4 -3.3 -9.2 -4.7 -22.2 -5.5 -1.1 -8.9 -6.7 -24.3 -5.8 -.9 -9.1 -8.3 Fixed nonresidential investment Residential structures Change in business inventories .4 .1 -1.2 -1.2 -2.0 -2.5 -.1 -4.3 -4.2 -5.9 -4.8 -4.2 -8.7 -3.8 -7.2 -9.3 -.9 -1.7 Net exports Exports Imports 1.2 -1.6 -2.8 3.5 1.5 3.8 5.2 1.5 4.0 -2.9 -7.0 2.9 -3.4 -6.3 2.9 -3.7 -6.6 .6 1.5 1.3 2.8 -1.5 1.8 2.8 -1.0 2.2 3.1 -19.4 -10.4 -27.6 -16.6 -32.4 -24.7 -36.4 -29.0 Government purchases of goods and services Federal State and local Personal income Disposable personal income Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment Gross national product in 1958 dollars Implicit price deflator, private GNP (1958=100) Wages per private employee (thousands of dollars per year). -2.0 .2 .0 -1.5 -L0 -3.9 -3.4 -11.0 -2.5 -7.7 -2.2 -2.7 .5 7.5 -5.0 -1.5 -12.8 -14.2 -13.8 -5.0 -.2 -7.5 -1.2 -1.8 -2.6 -3.4 -.06 -.7 -.16 -.24 -.24 -.22 -.15 (1) Both prediction and forecasting errors tend to grow in size as the prediction horizon is extended. This tendency is greatly subdued in predictions and forecasts of quarterly changes—as distinct fiom the levels— of the variables. (2) In both the predictions and the forecasts, root mean square errors (RMSE's) in such aggregates as GNP and personal consumption expenditures are substantially less than the sum of RMSE's in the components, indicating offsetting of errors. (3) The errors in the post-sample predictions are generally much larger than in the sample period predictions. For trend-type variables, the excess of post-sample over sample period errors is less in percentage than in absolute terms, but still substantial. (4) The ex-ante forecast errors are smaller than the post-sample prediction errors for real output, but substantially larger for the price level. It is concluded tentatively that judgmental adjustments in the constant terms helped to improve the forecasts. (5) There is virtually no bias in the sample period predictions. However, errors in both the post-sample predictions and the forecasts show evidence of significant bias, though the significance tests are tenuous. The postsample predictions show significant positive bias in real GNP and in certain GNP components, but not in the price level for the first few quarters. In the ex-ante forecasts, by contrast, bias in real GNP is positive, though not statistically significant until the fifth quarter. There is a strong negative bias in the price level forecasts, which offsets the positive bias in real output and results in relatively small errors in money GNP. (6) For current-dollar GNP, ex-post forecasts (those in which the projected values of exogenous variables used in the ex-ante forecasts are replaced by actual values) yield larger errors than ex-ante forecasts for the whole forecast horizon; this results from offsetting errors in exogenous variables and model (Continued on page 52) by ROBERT B. BRETZFELDER State and Regional Personal Income, 1959-1972 The State personal income series is fully integrated into the national income and product accounts of the United States. However, the personal income total for^the Nation differs in the two series because the national acSURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS. The counts include—and the State accounts new data incorporate two revisions: (1) exclude—income disbursed to military the usual revision of the three most re- and civilian government personnel stacent years (in this case, .1970-72) to tioned temporarily abroad. bring the State numbers into line with the revised national data published in Personal income defined the July 1973 SURVEY; and (2) inPersonal income consists of private corporation into the State estimates of and government wage and salary payinterstate commuting patterns de- ments in cash and in kind, farm and veloped from the 1970 Census of Popu- nonfarm proprietors' income, interest, lation, which make possible more ac- net rents, dividends, and transfer paycurate estimates of residence-adjusted ments, less personal contributions for total and per capital State income. The social insurance. It is measured before revisions to incorporate the new com- the deduction of personal income or muting patterns extend back to 1959. other personal taxes. Estimates of total and per capita inPer capita personal income is total come for all years since 1957 and for personal income divided by total popselected years 1948-57 are shown in ulation. Total and per capita personal tables 1 and 2. Data for 1929, 1940 and income are measured in current dollars all years 1948-57 can be found in the (i.e., no "correction" is made for price April 1969 SURVEY, pages 22 and 26. changes). Tables 4-62A are shown here for 197072 only; and tables 63 and 70 are shown Personal Income in 1972 for 1972. Data for tables 4-62 A, 63, and Total personal income in the Nation 70 for earlier years as published in rose nearly 9 percent last year, with previous issues of the SURVEY should gains of 7 percent or more in each of the not be used, because of subsequent reeight regions and in all but three of the visions. Annual data for tables 4-62A States. The exceptions were New York, and tables 63 and 70 back to 1948 can Vermont, and Connecticut, where the be obtained from the Regional Ecoincreases were between 5% and 6% nomics Division, Bureau of Economic percent. Nationally, consumer prices Analysis, U. S. Department of Comrose 2y percent as measured by the 2 merce, Washington, D.C. 20230. implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures. The perNOTE.—The State income estimates were sonal income gains in all regions and in prepared in the Economic Measurement Branch, Regional Economics Division, by all States exceeded the increase in Wallace Bailey, Jr., Kenneth Berkman, Robert Brown, Michael Carroll, Vivian Conk- consumer prices by at least 3}i percent, lin, Francis Dallavalle, Frederic Gatlin, Judith so that the purchasing power of perHubert, Raymond Leach, Gordon Lester, Jr., Myles Levin, Allan Millican, Elizabeth Queen, sonal income apparently increased at William Reid, Jr., Katharine Richardson, least moderately. Victor Sahadachny, Susan Schmid, and John The largest gains in total personal Wells under the direction of Edwin J. Coleman. Special programming for this article was income, ranging from 14% to 13 perprepared by Francis Dallavalle, David Cartcent, were in Wyoming, Montana, Colowright, and Yvonne Collins. X HIS report presents revised estimates of annual regional and State total and per capita personal income for the years 1959 through 1972. These estimates replace those published in the April 1973 and earlier issues of the rado, Arizona, Florida, Mississippi, and South Dakota. The income gains in these States were broadly based, with income from both basic (export-type) and secondary (service-type) industries rising at rates well above the national averages for these industries. Farm income was sharply higher in all of these States except Colorado and Arizona, and manufacturing payrolls increased very strongly in all except Montana. Contract construction payrolls were up strongly in the seven States and government payrolls increased sharply in all but Montana. There were unusually large gains in mining payrolls in Arizona, Montana, and Wyoming. Largely reflecting the strength in these basic industries, income from most other industries—most of which are servicerelated—also rose in the seven States at rates well above the national averages for those industries. In New York, Vermont, and Connecticut, the three States where the income rise was weakest, manufacturing payrolls rose only moderately. Construction payroll gains were also weak and income from most service-related industries rose less in these States than in the Nation. Per Capita Personal Income Changes in per capita personal income over the first three years of the 1970's clearly show a continuation of the long-term convergence of State and regional per capita incomes toward the national average. As has been typical over the past four decades, per capita income tended to grow faster from 1969 to 1972 in States with below-average incomes and to increase more slowly in States with above-average incomes. Of the 34 States and four regions with per capita incomes less than the national average in 1969, 27 States and two regions showed gains by 1972 in their per capita income standing rela39 CHART 11 Per Capita Personal Income, 1972 R< $4,483 $5,328 O o td el CO M United States $4,490 $4,800 and Over $4,400-$4,799 $4,100-$4,399 | | $3,650-$4,099 $3,649 and Under $4756 $4,725 $4,278 $4,187 > U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis United States Mideast Far West New Great England Lakes Plains Rocky South- SouthMountain west east 73-8-11 CO SUEVEY OF CUKEENT BUSINESS August 1973 41 CHART 12 tive to the Nation; three States and two regions showed no change in relative standing, and the remaining four States showed small declines. A State or region's relative standing is measured as the ratio of its per capita income to the national average per capita income. Conversely, of the 14 States and four regions with per capita incomes more than the national average in 1969, nine States and all four regions registered declines in per capita income relative to the national average between 1969 and 1972; four States showed slight gains in relative standing, and one State's relative position was unchanged. In 1969, two States—Indiana and Rhode Island—had per capita incomes equal to the U.S. average. In 1972, income in Rhode Island still equaled the national average while income in Mideast Indiana was 3 percent below the average. Far West The long-term convergence of State New England and regional per capita incomes toGreat Lakes ward the national average is illustrated in table A and chart 12. The table UNITED STATES — shows the coefficient of variation of regional and State income in selected Rocky Mountain years and the chart shows the regional Plains income relatives for selected years since 1929. The coefficient of variation of State Southwest per capita income fell from 37.9 percent Southeast in 1929 to 16.4 percent in 1969, and to 14.9 percent in 1972. However, despite the large reduction in inequality of per capita income among the States, substantial differences remain: Connecticut's per capita income of $5,328 was 70 percent larger than Mississippi's $3,137. Regional Per Capita Income Differentials Narrow Regional Per Capita Income as Percent of U.S. Average 150 140 70 Table- k Year 60 50 1929 1940 U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis 1948 1960 1969 1972 Regions States Average change Coefficient per year in of variation coefficients (percent(percent) age points) Average change Coefficient per year in of variation coefficients (percent) (percentage points) 37.9 1929 29 8 1940 27.7 -0.2 38.1 0.0 1948 15.9 -2.0 21.0 -2.1 1960 14.6 -.1 20.4 -.1 1969 11.8 -.3 16.4 -.4 -.8 14.9 -.5 1972 9.4 SUEVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 42 August 1973 Table 1.—Personal Income, by States and Regions, Selected Years * [Millions of dollars] State and region Line N e w England. 13,796 14,911 17,453 18,498 18,729 20,038 22,477 23,027 24,363 25,465 26,507 28,059 29,359 31,260 33,620 36,511 39,782 43,367 Great Lakes. 17 18 19 20 21 Michigan.. Ohio Indiana Illinois Wisconsin _ 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 1,087 704 425 7,654 1,262 3,779 1,291 833 496 8,675 1,446 4,710 1,298 884 521 9,179 1,531 5,087 1,314 915 526 9,293 1,523 5,160 1,449 1,583 983 1,102 619 549 9,891 11, 074 1,614 1,701 5,552 1,637 1,132 626 11, 438 1,748 6,446 1,722 1,816 1,179 1,237 678 720 12,152 12, 685 1,840 1,886 6,793 7,121 1,834 1,300 734 13, 237 1,956 7,445 1,902 1,393 774 13, 887 2,101 8,000 1,948 2,114 1,470 1,572 845 792 14,513 15, 382 2,186 2,337 8,450 9,011 2,285 2,450 1,711 1,901 937 1,062 16,400 17, 677 2,496 2,729 9,790 10, 693 2,567 2,091 1,144 19, 249 2,983 11, 749 2,784 2,315 1.263 20, 998 3,268 12, 740 26,051 27,841 31, 396 33,206 8,063 8,934 10, 934 11, 750 14, 716 16,189 18, 617 19, 938 835 782 537 684 3,331 3,772 4,721 5,041 1,644 1,790 1,978 1,914 34,275 11, 957 19,515 857 5,069 1,917 36,453 40,818 41, 715 12, 688 14,550 14,823 23,414 23,594 1,125 1,135 5,467 6,314 6,567 1,949 2,061 2,132 44,251 15,835 24, 799 1,202 6,963 2,205 46,154 16,500 25, 528 1,248 7,283 2,304 47, 783 17, 322 25,824 1,285 7,793 2,371 50, 480 18,423 27,007 1,368 8,331 2,532 52,484 19, 393 27,960 1,476 8,944 2,670 55, 879 20,576 30,008 1,591 9,734 2,820 59,329 22, 201 32,007 1,739 10, 661 2,963 63,552 23,964 34, 861 1,838 11, 649 3,102 68,405 25, 819 37,113 1, 942 12,572 3,303 74, 706 28, 218 40,007 2,128 14,002 3,521 47,805 50,849 61,019 66,314 65,547 70,776 78,618 78,541 83,612 86,691 88,191 93,348 97,948 105,168 115,718 126,405 133,169 145,190 9,691 10, 895 13,050 14, 741 12, 269 12, 930 15, 942 17,423 5,624 5,998 7,326 8,073 15,521 15, 948 18,608 19,812 4,701 5,078 6,093 6,265 14,354 17, 397 7,653 19, 933 6,212 15,900 18, 762 8,265 21,167 6,682 16, 870 20, 959 9,187 24,056 7,547 16, 603 17, 647 18, 378 20, 637 22,034 22, 758 9,192 9,746 10,193 24,353 25, 759 26, 693 7,755 8,426 8,670 18, 306 23,004 10, 462 27,478 8,941 19, 636 24, 203 11,118 28, 932 9,459 21,112 25,184 11, 762 30,155 9,736 23, 084 26, 875 12,518 32,161 10, 530 25, 942 29, 376 13, 930 35, 033 11, 436 28, 326 32,194 15,115 38, 223 12, 546 29, 768 33, 786 15, 838 40, 564 13, 213 32, 949 37,087 17, 229 43, 579 14, 346 19,647 20,134 23,016 23,434 24,233 24,762 27,858 29,526 30,199 31,838 32,900 34,986 36,359 37,942 41,965 45,606 48,106 52,102 Plains. Minnesota Iowa Missouri North Dakota. South Dakota. Nebraska Kansas. 4,106 4,042 5,338 813 916 1,909 2,523 4,227 3,897 5,672 782 814 1,978 2,765 4,823 4,338 6,576 740 828 2,187 3,524 5,079 4,200 757 892 2,125 3,434 5,202 4,525 6,974 766 916 2,253 3,597 5,483 4,307 7,450 848 857 2,191 3,626 6,135 5,077 8,053 905 1,068 2,615 4,006 6,585 5,200 8,461 1,030 1,094 2,713 4,443 6,778 5,295 8,957 948 979 2,756 4,485 7,218 5,452 9,181 1,083 1,215 2,985 4,703 7,558 7,844 8,286 8,584 10,334 11,110 5,722 5,983 6,327 6,622 7,539 8,286 8,482 9,478 9,""" 10,508 11,145 12,104 13,018 13, 999 962 1, 1,290 1,287 1,505 1,567 1,599 1,223 1,402 1,345 1,315 1,522 1,672 1,724 3,043 3,271 3,339 3,482 3,853 4,242 4,416 4,913 5,135 5,265 5,507 5,944 6,487 6,776 12,156 9,104 15, 262 1,661 1,877 4,658 7,385 31,769 34,589 42,042 43,957 43,779 47,558 54,082 56,419 60,387 62,636 65,976 70,516 75,265 81,386 88,791 97,945 106,433 117,559 Southeast. Virginia West Virginia.. Kentucky Tennessee _ North Carolina. South Carolina. Georgia! Florida Alabama Mississippi Louisiana Arkansas Southwest. 44 45 46 47 Oklahoma Texas New Mexico.. Arizona 48 Rocky Mountain. 49 50 51 52 53 1,084 668 407 7,012 1,175 3,450 54,343 59,211 68,428 72,684 73,590 78,207 88,282 89,967 95,255 99,017 102,378 108,142 112,928 120,608 128,901 138,966 149,153 162,582 New York.. New Jersey Pennsylvania Delaware... Maryland. District of Columbia. 16 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 1968 208,876 226,214 269,769 285,456 287,607 308,266 348,460 358,474 380,987 398,726 414,411 440,189 463,054 494,912 535,924 583,698 625,576 684,745 Mideast- 22 1950 1952 1953 1954 1955 1957 1958 1959' 1960' 1961 ' 1962 ' 1963' 1964' 1965 ' 1966' 1967' United States. Maine New Hampshire. Vermont Massachusetts Rhode Island Connecticut 10 11 12 13 14 15 1948 Montana.. Idaho Wyoming _ Colorado.. Utah 3,624 2,126 2,788 3,037 3,732 1,779 3,154 3,043 2,571 1,639 2,679 1,597 4,070 2,136 2,881 3,295 4,219 \,r~ 5,150 2,462 3,587 3,810 4,851 2,527 4,447 4,554 3,287 1,907 3,636 1,823 5,292 2,473 3,752 4,080 5,040 2,615 4,581 5,050 3,432 1,943 3,858 1,842 5,338 2,347 3,692 4,105 5,120 2,434 4,536 5,328 3,314 1,875 3,881 1,810 6,349 2,967 4,291 4,872 5,980 2,810 5,531 7,730 4,261 2,172 5,028 2,091 5,638 2,492 3,866 4,374 5,571 2,599 5,000 6,070 3,761 2,102 4,114 1,970 6,591 2,887 4,441 5,025 6,263 2,885 5,767 8,453 4,442 2,349 5,105 2,210 6,988 2,960 4,640 5,397 6,725 3,127 6,183 9,292 4,734 2,572 5,351 2,418 7,328 7,764 8,428 8,966 9,887 10,700 11, 661 12, 731 3,026 3,121 3,264 3,489 3,729 3,995 4,256 2,! 4,784 5,122 5,430 5,741 5,994 6,553 7,203 7,776 5,524 5,884 6,259 6,644 7,141 7,854 8,661 9,285 8,166 8,618 9,303 10,101 11, 330 12, 292 7,137 7,1 3,290 3,460 3,746 3,946 4,277 4,730 5,327 5,766 6,448 6,712 7,238 7,844 8,573 9,458 10, 466 11, 440 9,726 10,236 11,039 11, 849 12, 966 14,174 15,649 17, 446 4,923 5,062 5,317 5,712 6,158 6,767 7,728 2,632 2,821 2,978 3,292 3,426 3,750 4,128 4,435 5,407 5,581 5,901 6,292 6,793 7,406 8,235 9,048 2,457 2,699 2,892 3,097 3,380 3,569 3,986 4,230 14,108 4,506 8,526 10, 217 13,567 6,401 12, 662 19,785 8,448 4,861 9,885 4,592 3,574 3,599 2,691 1,643 3,021 1,575 13,065 14,850 18,327 18,923 19,288 20,663 23,751 25,013 26,395 27,419 28,947 30,413 31,923 33,988 36,662 40,282 43,673 48,249 2,390 2,547 9,142 10, 486 655 811 879 1,006 3,087 12, 837 1,004 1,399 5,092 6,168 962 764 484 1,970 911 1,075 932 547 2,498 1,116 4,651 3,201 3,193 3,390 3,744 4,000 4,144 4,365 4,571 13,196 13,504 14,438 16,538 17,175 18,059 18,599 19, 623 1,048 1,077 1,181 1,442 1,618 1,748 1,788 1,862 1,478 1,514 1,655 2,028 2,220 2,443 2,667 2,891 6,238 6,244 7,893 6,775 8,280 8,722 9,167 4,710 4,904 20, 581 21, 649 1,959 2,022 3,163 3,349 5,249 5,689 6,175 23,116 24, 951 27, 642 2,106 2,260 2,371 3,517 3,761 4,094 6,708 7,263 30,003 33,284 2,457 2,652 4,505 5,051 9,665 10,420 10,714 11,085 11,898 12,657 13,439 14,666 1,592 1,460 827 4,983 2,223 1,874 1,915 2,029 1,794 1,890 1.' 936 1,002 894 6,119 5,691 2,676 6,849 2,895 2,518 23,802 26,578 33,317 35,406 36,197 39,486 45,499 47,702 52,055 54,358 57,611 61,957 66,074 70,767 75,487 82,191 88,384 97,219 876 725 429 1,810 810 Far West Washington. Oregon Nevada California... 1,096 899 549 2,528 1,166 1,079 902 533 2,566 1,165 1,297 1,104 645 3,365 1,482 1,178 951 570 2,804 1,272 1,370 1,161 677 3,524 1,549 1,345 1,226 715 3,756 1,681 1,383 1,238 749 4,021 1,777 1,371 1,309 776 4,296 1,913 1,581 1,410 795 4,560 2,074 1,587 1,410 813 4,745 2,159 3,995 4,697 4,934 5,035 5,306 5,912 6,114 6,533 6,691 7,066 7,615 7,756 2,278 2,482 2,966 2,990 2,961 3,198 3,416 3,556 3,780 3,912 4,020 4,259 4,518 283 32" 440 480 711 753 809 890 1,094 1,233 604 673 519 52, 567 17, 633 19, 774 25, 214 27,002 27, 682 30, 378 35, 497 37, 321 40, 988 42, 945 45, 636 Alaska.. Hawaii. 723 322 692 511 562 528 562 659 972 1,315 1,178 1,315 1,476 495 908 13, 796 48,830 47,805 19, 647 22, 970 10,036 15, 807 6,467 23,519 14, 911 52, 964 50, 849 20,134 25, 730 10, 510 17, 629 7,235 26, 251 17,453 60,947 61,019 23,016 31, 472 12,592 21, 382 9,011 32,877 18, 498 64, 894 66, 314 23, 434 32, 841 13,207 22,097 9,244 34, 926 18, 729 65, 747 65,547 24, 233 32, 944 12,986 22, 388 9,355 35, 678 20,038 69, 811 70, 776 24, 762 35, 767 14,104 23, 911 10, 215 38, 882 ' Revised. State estimates of personal income from 1959-to-date reflect the inclusion of 1970 Census of Population journey-to-work data. 672 1,676 711 1,772 8,080 8,652 9,927 10, 925 4,851 5,287 5,710 6,049 1,319 1,399 1,472 1,544 56,518 60,149 65,082 69, 866 801 1,907 2,014 916 2,219 1,022 2,414 12,106 6,577 1,751 76, 786 1,111 2,700 Personal Income, by Census Regions Addenda New England Middle Atlantic.... East North Central. West North Central South Atlantic East South CentralWest South Central. Mountain . . Pacific 641 1,595 1,721 1,668 855 5,294 2,359 22, 477 78, 782 78, 618 27, 858 40, 867 15,596 27, 401 12,036 44, 826 23,027 80,132 78, 541 29, 526 42, 681 16, 257 28, 490 12, 829 46, 991 24, 363 84,885 83, 612 30,199 45, 646 17, 342 29, 971 13, 667 51, 302 25, 465 88,182 86, 691 31, 838 47, 743 17, 863 30, 828 14, 432 55, 683 26, 507 90,929 88,191 32,900 50, 256 28,059 95, 911 93, 348 34, 986 53, 969 19, 984 32, 474 34,084 15, 307 16, 637 58, 958 63, 211 29, 359 31,260 33, 620 36,511 39, 782 43, 367 , 337142, 931 99, 837 106, 462 113, 538 122, 378 131, 145,190 97,948 105,168 115,718 126, '" 405 133,169 "' 36, 359 37, 942 41,965 45,606 48,106 52,102 57, 578 62, 640 68. 255 75,016 81, 747 90, 680 21,390 22, 718 24, 924 27, 296 29,224 32,053 35, 914 38,537 41, 616 46,039 49, 989 55,024 17, 317 18,027 19,319 20, 593 21, 945 24,119 67, 324 72,157 76, 970 83, 854 90,276 99,280 1. Due to lack of space, data for 1929, 1940, 1949, 1951, and 1956 are omitted. These data are available in the April 1969 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS, pages 22 and 26. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 43 Table 2.—Per Capita Personal Income, by States and Regions, Selected Years [Dollars] [Millions of dollars] 1969 r 1970' 746,449 803,52 47,121 50,796 3,006 2,528 1,372 22,854 3,459 13,902 3,255 2,779 1,480 24,731 3,748 14,803 1971 r 1972 r 86,070 33,347 46, 593 2,466 16,856 4,016 1948 1 1,921 1,905 2,030 2,241 2,253 2,334 2,418 2,485 2,598 2,672 2,795 2,968 3,194 3,441 3,727 4,015 4,278 4,454 4,756 2 1,421 1,616 1,374 1,910 1,878 2,346 3 4 5 6 7 8 1,496 1,494 1,601 1,865 3,407 2,983 1,602 26,131 3,999 15,378 3,714 3,270 1,703 28,096 4,340 16,421 1,235 1,284 1,133 1,500 1,493 1,713 1,186 1,323 1,121 1,633 1,605 1,875 157,831 166,038 177,680 193,375 1,411 1,557 1,324 1,866 1,804 2,263 1,797 1,689 1,431 1,720 1,467 1,958 1,873 1,834 1,541 2,132 1,602 2,221 1,602 1,666 2,067 2,134 1,773 2,293 1,888 2,457 40,081 45,176 21,138 53,552 17,734 44,325 48,888 23,101 57,829 19, 232 1,560 1,558 1,451 1,815 1,418 1,701 1,620 1,512 1,825 1,477 56,808 61,297 64,966 71,118 1,444 1,428 1,624 13,448 9,881 16,346 1,874 1,985 5,302 7,972 14, 709 10,609 17,682 1,928 2,080 5,653 8,635 15,516 11,001 18,885 2,182 2,223 5,973 9,186 16, 746 12,396 20,403 2,363 2,512 6,642 10,058 1,431 1,590 1,389 1,401 1,497 1,509 1,333 1,410 1,485 1,431 1,263 1,242 1,490 1,443 1,863 2,032 1,851 2,458 2,206 2,799 1,844 2,103 1,882 2,536 2,280 2,879 1,914 2,205 1,970 2,639 2,412 3,022 1,962 2,266 1,995 2,716 2,495 3,099 2,129 2,370 2,117 2,823 2,640 3,221 2,292 2,531 2,320 2,981 2,795 3,427 2,452 2,791 2,571 3,194 3,036 3,683 2,557 2,999 2,705 3,441 3,281 4,003 2,801 3,266 2,936 3,738 3,544 4,298 3,030 3,492 3,139 4,045 3,711 4,634 3,272 3,745 3,311 4,340 3,941 4,871 3,366 3,935 3,528 4,535 4,170 5,013 3,610 4,241 3,686 4,855 4,483 5,328 2,139 2,247 1,870 2,379 1,964 2,363 2,167 2,231 1,804 2,328 1,888 2,423 2,283 2,306 1,889 2,519 1,994 2,483 2,493 2,536 2,137 2,641 2,198 2,701 2,513 2,517 2,134 2,621 2,202 2,817 2,652 2,633 2,207 2,727 2,271 2,897 62,192 68,568 8,617 40,240 3,173 6,507 9,109 42,353 3,420 7,310 9,995 46,486 3,796 8,292 16,206 18,049 19,651 22,205 1,419 1,457 2,200 2,154 1,118 7,615 3,119 2,438 2,352 1,268 8,541 3,451 2,529 2,538 1,308 9,501 3,774 2,875 2,858 1,494 10,782 4,197 1,616 1,315 1, 595 1,433 1,241 1,622 1,295 1,668 1,487 1,309 2,741 2,704 2,253 2,780 2,340 3,012 2,801 2,765 2,267 2,788 2,454 3,047 2,918 2,889 2,378 2,917 2,553 3,213 3,006 2,969 2,447 3,056 2,642 3,346 3,177 3,089 2,605 3,201 2,788 3,534 3,346 3,281 2,754 3,430 2,962 3,718 3,562 3,498 2,989 3,563 3,153 3,921 3,814 3,727 3,177 3,699 3,346 4,176 4,139 4,028 3,407 3,985 3,670 4,526 4,447 4,331 3,693 4,331 3,986 4,879 4,714 4,635 3,943 4,483 4,281 5,333 4,957 4,904 4,166 4,800 4,512 5,763 5,242 5,232 4,465 5,188 4,882 6,265 2,161 2,028 1,930 2,186 1,787 2,031 1,961 1,795 2,154 1,722 2,183 2,081 1,894 2,243 1,816 2,229 2,227 2,028 2,488 1,991 2,165 2,150 2,006 2,463 2,018 2,272 2,278 2,113 2,580 2,165 2,346 2,338 2,181 2,647 2,188 2,319 2,334 2,212 2,713 2,230 2,475 2,438 2,348 2,814 2,336 2,620 2,522 2,451 2,899 2,368 2,820 2,666 2,578 3,040 2,528 3,104 2,880 2,830 3,276 2,702 3,328 3,117 3,024 3,527 2,935 3,449 3,244 3,134 3,705 3,071 3,789 3,527 3,383 3,964 3,302 4,090 3,825 3,674 4,271 3,531 4,156 3,992 3,752 4,492 3,794 4,455 4,207 4,031 4,789 3,965 Line 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 4,881 4,534 4,366 5,140 4,255 17 18 19 20 21 1,642 1,677 1,681 1,860 1,969 1,987 2,064 2,113 2,235 2,314 2,403 2,653 2,870 3,018 3,247 3,506 3,745 3,936 4,278 22 1,665 1,598 1,728 1,244 1,376 1,612 1,722 1,671 1,723 1,715 1,254 1,398 1,681 1,762 1,729 1,608 1,802 1,378 1,293 1,594 1,732 1,874 1,869 1,922 1,479 1,603 1,876 1,882 1,988 1,920 2,021 1,699 1,668 1,962 2,074 2,014 1,940 2,104 1,533 1,468 1,973 2,076 2,108 1,978 2,122 1,708 1,779 2,106 2,155 2,178 2,076 2,179 1,500 1,764 2,105 2,218 2,233 2,176 2,291 2,148 1,988 2,234 2,302 2,347 2,303 2,393 2,00i 1,899 2,262 2,375 2,413 2,412 2,509 1,983 1,876 2,349 2,493 2,644 2,749 2,710 2,318 2,200 2,619 2,695 2,857 3,000 2,878 2,422 2,448 2,914 2,949 3,036 3,037 3,084 2,554 2,569 3,031 3,084 3,283 3,248 3,341 2,675 2, 80 > 3,175 3,333 3,578 3,523 3,523 3,017 2,972 3,597 3,565 3,848 3,749 3,768 3,120 3,124 3,794 3,841 4,020 3,847 4,004 3,474 3,298 3,961 4,070 4,298 4,300 4,293 3,738 3,699 4,355 4,455 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 1,968 2,121 2,318 2,498 2,731 2,979 3,223 3,458 3,801 30 2,269 1,942 1,916 1,894 1,937 1,728 2,013 2,243 1,814 1,529 1,971 1,782 4,298 3,594 3,609 3,671 3,799 3,477 3,909 4,378 3,420 3,137 3,543 3,365 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 1,513 1,555 1,570 1,629 1,783 1,839 1,902 1,926 1,986 2,037 2,113 2,225 2,379 2,588 2,776 3,016 3,257 3,519 3,672 3,965 43 1,391 1,544 1,367 1,662 1,641 1,823 1,702 1,802 3,795 3,991 3,564 4,263 44 45 46 47 1,727 1,699 1,661 1,742 1,919 2,000 2,064 2,107 2,149 2,275 2,313 2,372 2,531 2,673 2,810 3,013 3,279 3,580 3,810 4,187 48 1,786 1,588 1,866 1,830 1,542 1,779 1,509 1,892 1,767 1,578 1,297 58,536 7,873 36,642 2,905 5,752 1-671 4,020 1,799 1,977 1,752 2,375 2,146 2,692 1970 r 1971 ' 1972 r 1,847 1,143 1,349 1,177 1,330 53,173 1,536 3,705 1,734 1,948 1,648 2,283 2,038 2,635 1968 ' 1969 2,097 1,818 1,854 1,787 1,817 1,604 1,880 2,105 1,701 1,467 1,863 1,651 1,144 1,199 1,034 1,274 1,130 1,120 990 944 973 891 968 1,180 866 790 1,032 875 1,404 3,476 1,679 1,927 1,647 2,247 1,998 2,712 1958 1,611 1,668 1,755 1,187 20,478 6,402 11,905 14,796 19,809 9,268 18,451 31, 779 12,004 7,099 13,179 6,656 1,249 3,045 1,552 1,765 1,463 2,026 1,962 2,414 1957 1,838 1,608 1,573 1,545 1,561 1,376 1,630 1,944 1,504 1,206 1,659 1,373 1,470 1,258 1,229 1,137 1,181 1,160 1,241 1,442 1,071 886 1,279 992 18,493 5,784 10,845 13, 298 17,706 8,311 16,632 28,042 10,937 6,278 12,052 5,912 14,349 15,399 8,446 9,354 2,424 2,676 94,412 102,009 1,592 1,652 1,656 1,217 1,272 1,668 1,783 1,228 1,065 981 994 1,037 893 1,034 1,281 880 755 1,120 825 17,000 5,320 10,008 12,118 16,383 7,691 15,269 25, 275 10,053 5,753 11,180 5,527 13,730 7,765 2,195 89,312 1,417 1,651 1,395 1,893 1,866 2,294 1955 984 1,022 1,213 1,267 1,257 1,343 1,467 1,507 1,584 15,445 4,810 9,228 11,233 15,034 7,045 14,201 22,535 9,254 5,278 10,367 5,000 13,165 7,213 1,998 83,138 1954 1,937 2,062 1,983 2,095 2,248 2,208 2,327 2,389 2,409 2,528 2,622 2,777 3,013 3,245 3,384 3,662 3,955 4,113 4,373 4,725 1,962 1,926 1,766 2,078 1,757 36,993 42,665 19, 539 50,023 16,818 105,515 113,001 U9,631 129,528 1953 1,648 1,756 1,985 2,068 2,054 2,153 2,378 2,385 2,493 2,565 2,616 2,734 2,817 2,974 3,142 3,360 3,584 3,878 4,181 4,454 4,699 5,008 35, 917 40,406 18,898 47,153 15,458 129,430 141,576 154,292 171,827 r 1,733 1,804 1,785 1,876 2,045 2,068 2,161 2,216 2,265 2,370 2,458 2,590 2,770 2,986 3,170 3,436 3,708 3,943 4,164 4,492 1,430 57,545 96,280 38,543 53,249 2,931 19,803 4,686 r 1952 53,499 90,963 35,825 49,580 2,683 18,079 4,339 1959 r 1960 r 1961 r 1962 r 1963 r 1964' 1965 r 1966 r 1967 1950 858,620 935,350 176,071 189,348 201,470 215,493 80,509 30,729 43,359 2,339 15,416 3,718 1 1,488 1,282 1,293 1,229 1,223 1,199 1,288 1,526 1,124 923 1,346 1,035 1,467 1,583 1,386 1,654 1,501 1,232 1,272 1,222 1,239 1,119 1,259 1,520 1,099 908 1,346 1,044 1,445 1,611 1,412 1,623 1,729 1,503 1,818 1,718 1,554 1,571 1,326 1,328 1,281 1,313 1,181 1,375 1,620 1,233 1,020 1,396 1,142 1,507 1,667 1,504 1,677 1,852 1,539 1,857 1,814 1,625 1,652 1,610 1,465 1,419 1,369 1,236 1,469 1,768 1,371 1,040 1,614 1,207 1,944 1,720 2,054 2,023 1,794 1,684 1,565 1,500 1,448 1,431 1,252 1,516 1,826 1,405 1,126 1,618 1,280 1,764 1,857 1,826 1,861 2,057 1,797 2,148 2,114 1,833 1,769 1,596 1,547 1,532 1,509 1,332 1,599 1,933 1,477 1,203 1,668 1,377 1,811 1,920 1,903 1,938 2,010 1,866 2,234 2,196 1,933 1,868 1,933 1,874 2,019 2,037 1,844 2,262 2,273 1,974 1,896 1,655 1,677 1,624 1,632 1,436 1,672 1,952 1,527 1,279 1,698 1,495 1,921 1,998 1,929 2,055 1,970 1,914 2,302 2,330 2,044 2,016 1,725 1,764 1,704 1,735 1,546 1,771 2,022 1,600 1,328 1,764 1,561 1,941 2,047 2,001 2,150 2,265 2,037 2,387 2,401 2,165 2,011 2,131 2,044 2,202 2,258 2,064 2,421 2,451 2,216 2,146 2,251 2,094 2,260 2,426 2,088 2,087 2,068 2,077 1,897 2,183 2,381 1,965 1,669 2,119 1,885 2,617 2,251 2,289 2,266 2,314 2,114 2,390 2,564 2,109 1,839 2,320 2,099 2,332 2,404 2,234 2,375 2,438 2,432 2,576 2,667 2,380 2,516 2,635 2,354 2,536 2,824 2,406 2,452 2,406 2,482 2,276 2,595 2,795 2,235 1,991 2,527 2,225 2,695 2,831 2,457 2,737 2,732 2,608 2,906 2,980 2,626 3,095 2,556 2,669 2,635 2,711 2,501 2,825 3,076 2,452 2,191 2,744 2,414 2,902 3,076 2,668 3,003 3,348 2,755 2,886 2,883 2,988 2,741 3,120 3,393 2,690 2,378 2,865 2,614 3,106 3,318 2,874 3,312 3,653 3,047 3,104 3,082 3,218 2,963 3,318 3,692 2,913 2,596 3,068 2,869 3,350 3,576 3,117 3,631 3,918 3,272 3,310 3,329 3,433 3,157 3,566 3,992 3,137 2,790 3,264 3,030 3,503 3,706 3,273 3,926 3,999 3,780 4,330 4,574 3,728 49 50 51 52 53 1,715 1,801 2,103 2,144 2,117 2,239 2,400 2,429 2,563 2,615 2,682 2,793 2,889 3,021 3,154 3,378 3,567 3,868 4,122 4,346 4,535 4,866 54 1,600 1,621 1,814 1,752 1,674 1,620 2,018 1,852 1,919 1,875 2,429 2,167 2,001 1,867 2,462 2,204 2,001 1,821 2,437 2,172 2,038 1,927 2,549 2,313 2,170 1,996 2,588 2,489 2,205 2,070 2,645 2,508 2,316 2,165 2,699 2,650 2,344 2,208 2,781 2,706 2,452 2,249 2,825 2,766 2,588 2,342 3,109 2,870 2,625 2,438 3,105 2,975 2,255 2,147 2,438 2,530 2,273 2,651 2,438 2,767 2,836 2,495 2,899 2,720 3,092 3,231 2,813 3,170 3,046 3,399 3,516 2,979 3,498 3,280 3,796 3,839 3,228 3,562 3,444 3,857 4,173 3,447 3,442 3,702 3,938 4,022 4,169 4,472 3,057 3,282 3,498 3,694 3,949 4,287 3,438 3,773 4,163 4,452 4,753 5,078 3,643 3,959 4,218 4,467 4,654 4,988 55 56 57 58 2,612 2,492 2,300 2,273 2,507 2,357 2,507 2,876 2 694 2,733 2 778 3,046 3 205 3 378 3,676 3,898 4,219 4 603 4,907 5 141 1,407 1,386 1,748 1,795 1,802 1,838 2,156 1,981 2,156 2,366 2,481 2,567 2,641 2,813 2,885 3,183 3,410 3,756 4,098 4^562 4,749 5,031 59 60 2,729 2,569 3,096 3,114 2,916 2,729 3,151 3,236 3,247 2,900 3,299 3,451 P e r Capita Personal Income, by Census Regions 47,121 154, 598 157,831 56,808 100,543 34,993 59,882 26,862 107,810 50,796 166,010 166,038 61,297 110,275 37,932 65, 564 29,924 115,687 53,499 176,368 177,680 64,966 120,071 41,358 69,426 32,804 122,447 57,545 188,072 193,375 71,118 133,607 45,805 76,316 36,969 132, 542 1,494 1,652 1,602 1,444 1,137 906 1,118 1,368 1,715 1,601 1,751 1,666 1,428 1,211 915 1,207 1,418 1,798 1,865 1,978 1,937 1,624 1,422 1,096 1,405 1,691 2,099 1,921 2,066 2,062 1,642 1,467 1,161 1,457 1,676 2,140 1,905 2,055 1,983 1,677 1,450 1,145 1,472 1,650 2,113 2,030 2,154 2,095 1,681 1,541 1,233 1,535 2,732 2,235 2,241 2,383 2,248 1,860 1,666 1,349 1,691 1,897 2,397 2,253 2,389 2,208 1,969 1,704 1,392 1,737 1,978 2,426 2,334 2,501 2,327 1,987 1,786 1,462 1,799 2,044 2,561 NOTE.—Details may not add to totals because of rounding. Alaska and Hawaii included 1960 to date but not in earlier years. 2,418 2,573 2,389 2,064 1,830 1,480 1,812 2,087 2,608 2,485 2,619 2,409 2,113 1,884 1,549 1,878 2,131 2,674 2,598 2,738 2,528 2,235 1,985 1,622 1,928 2,254 2,781 2,672 2,819 2,622 2,314 2,076 1,723 2,014 2,297 2,877 2,795 2,976 2,777 2,403 2,217 1,812 2,134 2,353 3,014 2,968 3,143 3,013 2,653 2,375 1,974 2,286 2,496 3,147 3,194 3,366 3,245 2,870 2,575 2,153 2,503 2,639 3,374 3,441 3,594 3,384 3,018 2,773 2,298 2,692 2,786 3,566 3,727 3,884 3,662 3,247 3,030 2,516 2,923 3,012 3,867 4,015 4,185 3,955 3,506 3,316 2,743 3,133 3,288 4,122 4,278 4,454 4,113 3,745 3,583 2,958 3,380 3,586 4,353 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 4,453 4,696 4,373 3,936 3,838 3,180 3,529 3,826 4,542 4,756 4,994 4,725 4,278 4,205 3,496 3,819 4,182 4,870 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 SUEVEY OF CUEKENT BUSINESS 44 August 1973 Tables 4^27.—Personal Income [Millions Table 4.—United States Item Line 1970 Table 5.—New England 1972 Table 6 . - M a i n e T a b l e 7.—New Hampshire Table 8.—Vermont 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 50,796 53,499 57,545 3,255 3,407 3,714 2,779 2,983 3,270 1,480 1,602 1,703 2,076 24 2 2,160 20 1 2,374 19 2 1,901 8 4 2,005 6 4 2,220 6 4 938 11 7 991 11 6 1,055 10 7 (0 0) 0) 154 760 415 345 359 106 30 77 7 86 278 200 78 134 38 12 26 6 83 275 196 79 148 42 13 29 7 75 293 208 85 158 45 15 30 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 Wage and salary disbursements 537,178 568,781 523,550 34,104 35,478 38,491 3,433 Farms 3,578 3,879 95 97 96 5,824 Mining 6,037 34 6,718 35 34 1,395 (i) Coalmining 1,475 1,768 CO Crude petroleum and natural gas 2,575 1 2,655 2,905 33 1,854 34 33 1,907 2,045 Mining and quarrying except fuel . Contract construction2,283 2,434 32, 351 35, 038 38, 440 2,125 Manufacturing _ . . . 158, 294 160,519 175, 897 11,656 11,335 12,223 7,225 7,806 Durables _ . . . . 97, 984 98,101 108, 678 7,575 4,110 4,417 Non durables 60,310 62, 418 67, 219 4,081 5,855 6,288 Wholesale and retail trade. _ 88, 993 95,191 103, 592 5,528 2,121 Finance, insurance and real estate 2,296 27,031 29,608 32,569 1,959 Banking _ 566 602 8,642 7,439 530 8,049 Other finance insurance and real estate 1,694 1,555 19,592 21,559 23, 927 1,429 Transportation, communications and public 2,390 2,129 utilities 40, 297 43,155 47, 899 1,978 178 169 Railroad transportation . 6,530 6,973 6,268 163 602 540 Highway freight and warehousing 9,032 10,127 11,524 493 369 342 9,126 9,846 Other transportation 8,970 326 1,242 1,078 996 Communications and public utilities 16,027 17,372 19,556 5,472 6,048 Services 5,065 69 616 75,067 83,510 205 3,892 169 180 Hotels and other lodging places 3,432 3,220 544 541 9,611 539 Personal services and private households 9,539 9,455 1,003 1,065 981 Business and repair services 14,486 15,035 16,733 179 201 Amusement and recreation _ _ 167 4,397 3,757 3,988 Professional, social and related services. . 3,209 3,570 4,033 38,698 43,073 48, 877 6,061 6,579 Government 110 244 119 377 129 710 5,577 1,316 1,400 Federal, civilian. . . . 1,263 28,106 29,947 32,102 709 662 671 Federal, military 15,675 15,849 16,757 4,074 4,470 State and local.. 66,463 73,581 80, 851 3,652 94 100 Other industries. . 1,211 1,336 87 1,095 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 g 9 10 11 12 13 14 li 16 Personal income 1971 803,521 $58,620 935,350 2 134 692 217 475 337 83 27 56 137 32 33 12 60 223 17 39 21 7 140 437 111 71 255 7 0) 142 678 218 460 365 90 30 60 2 151 731 245 487 397 96 33 63 4 132 681 368 313 304 90 25 65 4 136 682 369 313 331 98 27 71 150 34 36 13 67 241 166 35 40 14 77 287 107 5 29 11 62 236 117 5 33 11 68 259 134 5 37 12 80 292 59 10 16 6 27 153 64 11 18 5 30 167 69 10 19 6 34 183 25 20 22 30 25 19 40 23 7 41 27 7 29 35 13 29 38 14 152 466 114 77 274 7 188 516 123 86 307 9 139 335 102 50 183 4 156 367 107 55 206 4 21 24 29 40 15 19 12 4 19 12 4 179 400 113 62 225 5 97 171 34 6 130 2 108 194 38 6 150 2 19 12 4 124 212 41 6 165 2 32 Other labor income 32,149 36,542 40,692 1,960 2,155 2,373 112 126 140 108 123 138 53 59 63 33 34 35 Proprietors' income Farm Nonfarm . . . 66,919 68,270 16 902 16,377 50,017 51,893 74,676 20,689 53, 987 3,329 3,337 3,444 289 194 156 169 175 9 184 207 10 196 218 58 231 306 66 240 15 203 54 101 55 114 57 117 36 Property income 37 Transfer payments. 38 221 200 201 3,108 3,136 3,243 288 68 220 . . . . 116,102 122,660 128,147 8,107 8,283 8,752 479 470 504 405 436 467 206 229 243 79,107 93,208 102,954 5,087 6,106 6,576 407 479 522 267 320 350 178 211 231 Less: Personal contributions for social insurance.. 27,934 34,669 1,789 1,859 2,091 107 118 132 95 109 122 51 57 64 30,841 Table 17.—Maryland Table 16.—Delaware Item Line 1 2 Personal income Wage and salary disbursements 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 2,466 2,683 2,931 16,856 18,079 19,803 4,016 4,339 1,652 1,790 1,975 14,655 24 2,896 3 1 1 13,286 24 2,719 2 1 12,452 23 <7 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 Mining Coal mining Crude petroleum and natural gas Mining and quarrying except fuel Contract construction... M anufacturing Durables Nondurables Wholesale and retail trade _. . Finance, insurance and real estate Banking .. . Other finance, insurance and real estate Transportation, communications and public utilities Railroad transportation . .. Highway freight and warehousing. _ Other transportation Communications and public utilities Services Hotels and other lodging places.. . . Personal services and private households Business and repair services Amusement and recreation . . ... Professional, social and related services Government Federal, civilian Federal, military State and local... ..... Other industries ... 32 Other labor income.. 33 34 35 Proprietors' income Farm Nonfarm 36 Property income.. 37 Transfer payments 38 Less: Personal contributions for social insurance. See page 48 for footnotes. . - . . . . . . Table 18.—District of 4Columbia 2 1 (i) 22 8 1 23 8 1 27 10 2 1 113 1 124 1 141 676 177 499 722 208 514 772 224 548 283 84 1,960 563 2,120 617 15 1,003 2,381 1,345 1,036 2,351 684 23 25 27 118 129 49 57 445 92 101 109 19 22 14 19 26 11 232 66 44 252 74 13 810 2,239 1,273 13 913 2,220 1,233 2 1 0) 0) 75 2 1 0) 0) 83 1971 1972 4,686 166,038 177,680 193,375 36,993 40,081 44,325 3,079 113,893 120,198 131,377 324 376 296 2 707 794 680 347 1 291 277 25,234 63 27,103 30,194 70 80 116 134 0) 1 96 129 44 85 220 94 231 100 139 19 21 23 488 545 67 72 77 791 847 931 127 188 146 134 212 149 135 147 21 29 11 121 166 143 131 27 11 33 361 1,698 54 207 533 385 1,829 59 210 557 435 2,103 29 10 27 67 598 17 80 71 69 642 81 73 76 688 18 82 79 72 832 77 927 9 420 10 461 10 500 4,323 2,288 4,666 2,471 1,129 5,123 2,683 1,444 1,017 1,558 1,099 1,638 1,151 564 566 594 1,471 1,630 1,846 24 26 28 193 233 30 198 262 33 208 279 38 38 181 44 194 49 226 6 6 9 30 38 30 39 31 50 10 98 280 47 50 183 3 11 109 311 52 51 209 3 12 125 346 55 55 236 3 987 64 214 615 81 228 86 28 9 27 17 1972 Table 20.—Michigan 1970 126 45 81 965 Table 19.—Great Lakes 139 48 90 1970 108 1971 112 121 112 1 11 1 13 1 17 294 304 7,162 6,805 45, 234 46,391 32, 944 33, 696 12, 290 12f695 18,361 19,499 5,214 4,773 1,267 1,366 3,506 3,848 325 7,485 51, 272 37, 656 13, 616 20, 927 5,640 1,455 4,185 100 1,341 10, 799 8,842 1,958 3,838 895 102 1,445 11,456 9,421 2,035 4,151 966 116 1,600 12,966 10, 746 2,219 4,536 1,053 266 285 302 629 681 751 7,864 1,537 2,198 1,020 3,109 12, 722 8,491 1,596 2,504 1,037 3,355 13,656 9,394 1,706 2,826 1,083 3,779 15,143 1,418 1,527 1,699 695 2,803 744 2,981 831 3,376 431 454 529 82 85 1,630 2,400 1,631 2,494 569 8,509 18,588 3,487 535 7,727 17, 007 3,347 1,644 2,725 197 395 132 363 518 206 446 130 355 533 220 510 139 92 366 603 625 116 124 136 9,620 20,176 3,707 1,724 3,932 1,884 4,357 2,179 4,712 567 155 606 171 925 903 922 530 149 12,735 14,197 15,547 3,254 3,635 3,935 151 167 3,629 2,411 170 32 35 38 132 160 176 571 650 721 81 94 103 8,717 10,131 11,288 2,588 3,200 149 151 166 1,112 1,127 1,193 138 149 157 54 112 126 986 89 122 280 216 343 1,037 1,072 138 149 157 13,570 3,463 10,107 2,224 42 109 12,494 2,713 9,781 2,262 39 110 12,079 2,570 9,509 1,982 2,008 2,067 421 451 473 2,010 2,115 2,234 600 617 633 22,915 24,329 25,577 4,853 5,070 5,356 181 213 231 1,374 1,644 1,833 623 733 879 14,278 16,786 18,603 3,235 3,824 4,245 70 80 90 664 743 834 146 151 164 5,844 6,258 7,039 1,180 1,341 1,509 SUEVEY OF CUEEENT BUSINESS August 1973 45 by Major Sources, 1970-72 of dollars] Table 9.Massachusetts Table lO.-Rhode Island Table 13.—New York 1971 1972 1970 28,096 3,748 3,999 4,340 14,803 15,378 16,421 189,348 201,470 215,493 86,070 90,963 96,280 17,323 18,732 2,589 2,708 2,966 10,037 10,290 11,144 128,424 135,199 146,207 56,688 59,527 63,673 27 11 27 10 3 1 3 1 3 2 25 10 27 10 1971 1972 24,731 26,131 16,563 25 10 0) 1 (i) (i) (0 0) 11 10 5,101 3,113 1,987 2,824 1,094 4,999 3,002 1,997 2,980 1,050 1,177 5,365 3,237 2,127 3,187 1,121 980 286 695 Table 12.—Mideast 1970 1970 10 988 Table 11.—Connecticut 302 748 317 804 1,004 1,082 1,226 65 246 196 496 87 271 206 538 72 302 221 631 2,825 3,028 3,336 1 145 850 533 317 402 122 34 88 (0 1 150 846 519 326 427 131 37 94 0) 2 162 924 573 351 464 143 40 103 1972 32 11 0) 0) 0) 9 677 10 714 4,053 3,142 3,856 2,921 1,526 1,603 4,150 3,128 1,022 1,724 (i) 0) 1971 1 9 640 911 646 146 499 935 709 157 553 785 167 618 536 42 128 84 282 572 44 138 89 301 636 47 154 96 338 1,297 1,419 1,546 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 Table 14.—New Jersey 1970 Table 15.Pennsylvania Line 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 33,347 35,825 38,543 46,593 49,580 53,249 1 23,565 24,951 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 26,988 31,349 32,750 35,838 223 517 297 38 182 235 518 298 37 183 250 611 356 62 193 82 88 4 17 67 93 85 1 15 68 97 107 2 35 70 42 50 9 2 38 41 49 9 2 37 45 55 11 4 40 69 354 274 18 62 70 357 277 18 63 77 418 331 20 66 7,041 38,106 21,763 16,343 20,607 8,116 2,298 5,818 7,723 38,069 21,414 16,654 21,772 8,822 2,471 6,351 8,215 40,383 22,872 17,511 23,472 9,554 2,592 6,962 2,738 14,724 8,086 6,638 9,520 4,828 1,409 3,419 3,093 14, 613 7,956 6,657 9,869 5,221 1,501 3,720 3,153 15,211 8,326 6,885 10,501 5,621 1,577 4,044 1,421 8,369 4,432 3,937 4,003 1,225 1,519 8,423 4,355 4,069 4,321 1,346 1,614 9,003 4,661 4,342 4,699 1,454 1,885 11,973 7,750 4,223 4,664 1,349 1,990 11,962 7,618 4,344 4,990 1,470 2,209 12,877 8,268 4,609 5,406 1,611 1,088 400 949 1,038 1,150 10,156 1,187 2,036 2,820 4,113 18,695 10, 625 1,235 2,258 2,808 4,324 20,207 11,683 1,303 2,552 2,975 4,853 22,427 4,826 4,892 5,382 1,920 2,077 2,258 2,396 2,573 2,856 377 674 389 721 404 833 1,822 1,953 9,259 1,785 1,998 9,985 1,903 2,242 10,958 123 577 494 726 129 647 506 796 142 713 514 889 518 589 320 969 542 667 332 575 755 364 3,086 3,351 3,739 3,873 1,032 4,206 1,162 4,713 2,199 4,693 2,207 4,806 1,022 11,463 26,959 7,625 1,790 17,544 2,229 5,281 1,087 13, 034 29,299 8,147 1,842 19,310 1,059 2,391 1,057 2,399 1,066 2,603 1,020 1,128 4,833 10,521 1,727 5,532 11,562 1,783 6,248 12,504 1,878 1,512 3,407 1,977 4,069 368 786 408 1,728 3,777 2,448 4,746 1,324 2,710 5,084 1,387 3,055 5,681 1,482 8,463 9,441 10,257 2,213 2,518 2,767 3,222 3,486 3,925 40 46 52 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 2,490 32 3,489 329 895 363 984 365 432 461 1,834 2,059 47 50 52 135 8 41 17 69 331 8 39 55 15 214 595 148 174 273 6 929 1,021 1,128 141 158 176 616 668 728 7,238 8,078 8,871 2,925 3,277 3,560 1,456 1,630 1,820 2,072 2,266 1,497 1,504 1,548 223 4 219 234 3 231 239 1 238 972 49 923 934 41 893 958 34 924 12,374 12,732 13,020 5,567 5,711 5,822 2,014 2,133 2,193 3,394 3,461 866 724 606 329 299 221 42 32 21 331 263 189 11,508 12,008 12,413 5,238 5,413 5,601 1,972 2,101 2,172 3,064 3,199 3,300 33 34 35 540 573 2,527 2,582 2,695 28,749 30,102 30,476 14,626 14,887 15,108 4,681 5,036 5,290 6,411 6,997 6,737 36 24,932 8,913 10,530 11,454 2,874 3,423 3,776 5,035 5,941 6,759 37 8,012 2,649 2,968 3,337 1,243 1,348 1,523 1,669 1,835 2,064 38 69 248 600 79 1,829 2,759 665 260 73 248 605 86 2,016 3,001 683 259 80 248 624 100 2,284 3,232 724 254 2,254 144 8 44 18 74 359 8 39 58 16 239 640 169 168 304 6 159 9 49 20 82 403 8 39 64 18 274 699 188 175 336 7 34 166 259 49 789 1,281 204 102 976 22 35 165 268 53 899 38 163 298 57 986 1,393 1,521 1,080 1,183 206 108 24 212 126 25 675 984 10,144 24,721 7,190 1,747 15,785 242 709 269 38 34 28 1,460 1,471 1,521 3,979 4,027 4,270 511 2,621 3,118 3,387 441 515 560 1,173 1,462 1,525 19,001 22,484 859 862 969 155 156 175 523 558 628 6,439 7,125 Table 22.-Indiana Table 21.—Ohio 797 313 Table 24.—Wisconsin Table 23.—Illinois 365 611 331 104 374 623 338 115 383 658 141 Table 25.—Plains 103 351 979 141 42 108 350 148 834 425 46 125 352 156 897 405 51 Table 26.—Minnesota 130 471 682 141 201 145 479 718 154 212 198 484 805 171 211 Table 27.—Iowa Line 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 42,665 45,176 48,888 19,539 21,138 23,101 50,023 53,552 57,829 16,818 17,734 19,232 61,297 64,966 71,118 14,709 15,516 16,746 10,609 11,001 12,396 1 29,647 30,883 33,500 13,372 14,070 15,623 34,710 36,639 39,440 10,929 11,501 12,620 37,042 39,315 42,646 9,513 10,079 10,890 5,808 6,182 6,743 58 232 124 46 62 63 245 132 47 65 73 286 165 52 69 38 74 38 7 28 807 45 77 41 7 29 808 56 84 47 6 30 892 78 235 114 43 78 81 242 116 44 81 9,5 262 133 45 83 59 27 1 64 28 1 320 360 19 89 252 376 368 20 87 261 406 382 23 87 272 64 143 6,828 5,299 1,529 2,304 2,458 12, 997 8,578 4,419 6,914 2,145 2,340 9,804 5,614 4,190 6,970 1,803 2,544 9,921 5,624 4,297 7,435 1,962 2,624 10,949 6,352 4,596 7,899 2,119 93 28 2 1 25 389 6,096 4,681 1,415 2,120 2,466 11, 992 7,832 4,161 6,518 1,990 93 27 2 1 25 386 5,888 4,531 1,357 2,016 2,201 11,860 7,797 4,063 6,163 1,813 80 26 2 1 23 367 1,355 1,494 1,613 1,268 1,390 1,514 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 3,192 3,449 3,809 831 764 477 867 869 491 926 986 545 1,814 12,396 8,957 3,439 4,595 1,110 277 833 1,773 1,808 12,495 13,667 8,941 9,865 3,555 3,802 4,846 5,168 • 1, 219 1,299 522 143 379 561 153 408 616 165 452 298 921 314 985 2,088 2,267 2,463 2,989 3,337 462 832 223 946 968 215 297 67 389 2,770 432 741 229 865 904 206 271 65 361 1,079 417 644 233 794 232 338 68 441 607 681 518 964 629 782 535 672 876 572 3,122 3,406 3,798 1,207 1,298 1,449 4,376 1,043 4,654 1,217 5,062 458 496 531 0) 0) 27 669 73 30 1 1 28 727 4,291 2,817 1,475 1,748 4,351 2,821 1,530 1,863 4,815 3,167 1,647 2,004 26 643 434 123 311 478 133 344 527 143 385 535 573 604 46 132 0) 1 131 673 59 135 0) 0) 134 735 1 142 724 2,676 1,550 1,126 1,827 2,647 1,494 1,153 1,959 2,911 1,658 1,253 2,062 1,791 1,019 1,851 1,035 2,083 1,228 1,076 1,143 1,209 742 187 168 137 251 805 194 188 149 273 893 205 209 173 305 462 101 137 27 198 701 24 95 88 24 470 504 108 155 2(9 213 792 34 95 99 26 538 476 131 345 523 141 382 559 148 411 773 283 89 194 816 306 95 211 855 332 101 230 684 109 208 73 294 740 113 237 76 314 815 121 269 80 344 1,214 1,318 1,458 1,120 4,622 1,223 4,958 1,352 5,499 1,261 1,345 1,472 3,146 6,122 1,176 1,810 1,970 3,247 8,218 1,768 3,663 8,874 1,893 1,662 1,851 2,043 1,196 1,297 960 287 51 303 49 320 47 1,098 391 2,985 7,555 1,652 378 243 40 1,010 2,149 63 143 222 53 991 418 96 117 25 179 653 22 93 81 22 435 245 22 4,155 4,555 1,527 5,030 5,542 6,021 1,324 228 20 948 17 16 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 2,253 2,576 2,853 1,063 1,210 1,355 2,084 2,318 2,530 727 827 921 2,144 2,437 2,709 533 595 667 333 380 424 32 3,047 2,927 3,203 1,624 1,957 2,005 3,461 3,740 1,684 1,647 1,663 1,691 585 570 1,093 10,290 5,918 4,372 1,542 1,062 8,606 4,389 4,216 1,708 698 986 8,659 4,525 4,134 838 870 697 845 820 871 2,114 1,287 1,872 1,032 2,514 1,654 860 33 34 35 36 95 421 602 145 1,859 4,192 1,073 239 2,880 40 101 426 643 155 2,081 4,524 1,104 241 3,179 45 129 447 708 176 2,339 4,894 1,165 47 189 175 42 755 1,904 220 408 89 3,510 1,408 45 13 49 191 186 44 828 2,083 435 91 1,557 14 54 193 208 48 947 2,300 477 99 1,724 15 161 508 934 184 2, 589 5,168 1,093 407 3,667 47 171 507 950 195 2,832 5,654 1,121 53 202 490 1,014 211 49 46 149 171 48 800 19 49 152 181 50 885 261 39 1,670 20 53 149 193 54 284 42 1,822 23 178 610 678 170 873 75 189 623 717 182 908 84 227 615 793 201 85 53 146 197 44 820 56 149 205 47 888 1,499 21 1,676 18 19 213 18 867 15 1,031 465 380 570 430 640 644 697 892 2,583 2,546 2,633 1,194 1,317 1,361 2,764 2,847 4,288 1,336 2,953 5,675 6,141 6,452 2,500 2,696 2,852 7,412 7,862 8,215 2,476 2,559 2,701 9,389 9,872 10,397 2,067 2,240 2,357 1,639 1,741 1,835 3,658 4,281 4,716 1,652 1,956 2,112 4,159 4,879 5,476 1,573 1,845 2,054 6,022 6,963 7,569 1,376 1,625 1,775 1,047 1,201 1,297 37 1,616 1,633 1,837 672 752 846 1,803 1,887 2,121 572 645 726 1,960 2,226 2,492 489 565 634 331 374 417 38 827 840 SUEVEY OF CUEEENT BUSINESS 46 August 1973 Tables 28-51.—Personal Income [Mi llions Table 28.—Missouri Line 1970 Personal income Wage and salary disbursements Farms M ining C oal mining Crude petroleum and natural gas Mining and quarrying except fuel Contract construction Manufacturing Durables : Nondurables Wholesale and retail trade Finance, insurance and real estate Banking Otherfinance,insurance and real estate Transportation, communications and public utilities Railroad transportation Highway freight and warehousing Other transportation... Communications and public utilities Services Hotels and other lodging places Personal services and private households Business and repair services Amusement and recreation Professional, social and related services Government Federal, civilian Federal, military State and local Other industries 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 Table 29.—North Table 30.—South Dakota Dakota Table 31.—Nebraska Table 32.-Kansas Item 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 17,682 18,885 20,403 1,928 2,182 2,363 2,080 2,223 2,512 5,653 5,973 6,642 8,635 9,186 10,058 11,424 63 77 10 6 60 658 3,346 1,959 1,387 2,117 553 150 403 12,077 70 79 11 7 62 728 3,374 1,995 1,379 2,249 602 160 442 12,997 68 82 13 7 62 737 3,651 2,179 1,472 2,388 650 169 482 1,042 1,134 1,119 23 20 1,230 25 21 3,343 5,381 42 12 53 13 0)5 0)4 17 53 115 38 77 215 45 21 24 19 63 123 43 80 229 47 22 25 0) 0) 3,660 64 13 5,076 31 14 3 9 2 93 75 32 43 233 44 18 26 1,039 22 17 3,140 25 13 3 8 2 80 70 30 40 217 41 17 24 1,265 40 14 3 8 3 112 82 37 44 251 48 19 29 41 82 4 68 11 299 48 80 4 65 12 321 1,198 1,222 710 488 914 222 75 147 711 511 980 240 80 159 5,860 52 81 5 65 11 343 1,387 835 552 1,057 260 85 175 1,071 202 277 242 350 1,412 54 193 235 59 871 2,111 597 259 1,255 16 1,149 209 313 242 385 1,523 57 197 245 63 960 2,287 637 266 1,383 17 1,268 223 350 266 430 1,692 67 195 275 71 1,084 2,442 677 273 1,493 19 95 34 14 5 41 141 7 18 9 3 103 358 73 95 190 2 102 36 17 5 45 153 8 19 9 3 114 387 81 102 205 2 113 39 20 5 49 175 12 19 11 3 130 429 89 117 223 3 78 13 22 5 39 150 6 22 11 5 106 339 87 47 206 4 13 26 6 40 159 7 22 12 6 112 365 92 53 219 5 477 168 104 43 162 598 20 87 86 22 383 510 176 117 42 175 644 21 89 95 23 416 1,230 1,321 251 289 691 14 267 298 756 15 0) C1) 20 71 138 56 82 239 51 23 27 Q o 211 608 309 299 604 183 53 131 219 628 313 315 643 200 56 144 96 14 32 6 44 179 8 22 13 6 130 406 103 61 242 4 311 131 62 20 98 406 15 51 59 15 266 757 146 114 497 6 335 138 70 21 107 434 16 52 62 16 288 811 160 120 531 7 0) 9 249 697 360 337 693 219 59 161 374 148 87 20 118 485 20 53 71 17 323 858 173 133 553 561 189 133 45 193 704 22 88 101 25 468 1,399 286 309 804 16 32 Other labor income 720 825 909 48 56 59 65 162 184 203 297 339 381 33 34 35 Proprietors' income 1,706 592 1,114 1,799 598 1,201 2,047 813 1,234 361 227 135 498 364 134 507 367 140 474 332 142 519 364 155 655 496 159 986 576 409 1,015 1,310 1,361 582 433 1,266 821 446 674 637 752 610 1,610 948 662 36 Property income 2,619 2,740 2,883 328 326 347 345 330 351 1,021 1,045 1,098 1,370 1,449 1,526 37 Transfer payments 1,791 2,074 2,273 209 240 229 264 287 520 592 644 851 967 1,029 578 630 706 60 72 58 76 174 206 230 270 312 348 Farm Nonfarm Less: Personal contributions for social insurance.. Table 40.—Georgia Line Personal income 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 Table 41.—Florida Table 42.—Alabama Table 43.—Mississippi Table 44.—Louisiana Item Wage and salary disbursements Farms Mining .. C oal mining Crude petroleum and natural gas Mining and quarrying except fuel Contract construction Manufacturing Durables Nondurables Wholesale and retail trade Finance, insurance and real estate Banking Otherfinance,insurance and real estate Transportation, communications and public utilities Railroad transportation Highway freight and warehousing Other transportation Communications and public utilities Services Hotels and other lodging places Personal services and private households Business and repair services Amusement and recreation... _ Professional, social and related services. Government --• Federal, civilian.. .-Federal, military State and local... Other industries - 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 15,269 16,632 18,451 25,275 28,042 31,779 10,053 10,937 12,004 5,753 6,278 7,099 11,180 12,052 13,179 10,616 59 50 1 1 49 539 2,930 1,127 1,803 1,943 542 139 403 11,480 61 54 1 1 53 638 3,059 1,150 1,909 2,146 611 155 456 12,870 64 59 1 1 58 808 3,432 1,303 2,129 2,421 695 170 524 15,639 239 67 17,074 229 85 19,688 258 92 7,311 3,780 7,266 7,748 0) 66 55 71 57 4,315 72 60 42 481 43 509 8,496 52 559 0) 11 73 1,547 2,455 1,378 1,078 3,462 1,085 213 872 16 75 1,978 2,776 1,572 1,203 3,957 1,284 242 1,042 50 6 13 393 2,229 1,150 1,079 1,091 297 83 213 8,062 40 83 62 8 13 449 2,462 1,253 1,208 1,219 335 92 243 3,492 9 58 1,430 2,374 1,357 1,017 3,143 957 191 766 6,804 40 70 49 4 16 355 2,132 1,110 1,021 1,009 267 75 192 0) 0) 0) 1,372 1,453 872 140 193 229 310 1,101 66 278 204 48 506 2,541 740 641 1,160 38 957 145 219 250 343 1,216 71 283 226 50 586 2,697 778 600 1,319 40 1,097 153 259 292 393 1,393 78 288 283 56 689 2,855 831 564 1,460 47 1,310 125 181 490 514 2,509 243 409 452 150 1,255 3,548 746 746 2,056 62 1,441 130 200 525 586 2,819 267 421 475 211 1,445 3,883 806 766 2,311 1,659 138 235 590 696 3,199 312 432 587 243 1,626 4,406 884 846 2,676 81 452 94 100 60 198 768 27 187 170 17 365 1,698 605 299 794 15 488 98 111 58 220 825 29 191 183 19 404 1,864 670 305 888 16 570 667 773 754 881 1,009 415 1,464 461 1,003 1,570 490 1,080 1,652 538 1,114 2,051 483 1,567 2,303 596 1,708 2,471 704 1,767 0) 0) 49 6 208 0) 50 7 211 1,040 1,130 570 469 517 136 45 91 626 504 565 151 50 101 560 106 131 61 263 927 31 193 200 21 480 1,970 712 300 957 19 220 42 45 25 108 391 20 123 56 246 44 55 26 120 420 22 126 55 184 847 196 173 479 12 208 917 214 177 526 12 467 525 211 249 904 300 604 969 297 672 1,048 356 692 848 441 407 901 453 448 1,025 551 475 32 Other labor income 33 34 35 Proprietors'income. Farm Nonfarm 36 Property i n c o m e . . 1,800 1,988 2,125 4,665 5,056 5,398 1,175 1,288 1,373 669 727 37 Transfer payments 1,354 1,625 1,814 3,035 3,651 4,253 1,126 1,330 1,476 716 842 38 Less: Personal contributions for social insurance.. 784 868 923 1,040 372 428 480 183 221 See page 48 for footnotes. - 534 52 8 244 1,336 790 546 640 169 54 114 283 47 67 31 138 471 24 127 62 11 247 1,027 237 206 584 14 450 32 604 478 32 630 569 803 597 856 1,263 1,369 316 86 230 342 94 248 745 84 102 325 234 874 43 190 173 30 438 111 88 114 317 258 946 46 193 188 32 487 1,550 1,656 277 264 297 268 1,009 1,092 0) 528 31 701 1,581 662 919 1,506 383 103 280 850 95 131 332 291 1,041 56 194 217 35 538 1,798 320 278 1,200 24 19 22 443 499 547 1,001 1,086 309 692 341 745 1,239 436 803 783 1,642 1,731 1,819 938 1,201 1,393 1,533 248 373 405 455 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 47 by Major Sources 1970-72—Continued of dollars] Table 34.-Virginia Table 33.—Southeast 1972 1970 141,576 154,292 171,827 94,435 102,080 114,591 1970 1971 818 832 890 1,620 1,736 1,978 757 566 298 814 600 322 977 661 340 6,077 25,309 11,161 14,148 15,412 4,177 1,097 3,080 6,729 26,695 11,729 14,967 16,829 4,663 1,209 3,454 7,989 30,049 13,511 16, 537 18,869 5,305 1,339 3,966 7,051 1,250 1,556 1,587 2,659 10,960 7,692 1,306 1,761 1,662 2,963 12, 028 8,715 1,402 2,053 1,848 3,412 13,547 2,285 1,928 2,333 2,060 2,364 2,419 5,636 22, 774 6,367 5,139 11,268 6,379 24, 615 6,945 5,165 12,505 5,257 10,008 10,845 11,905 12,118 13,298 14,796 4,201 6,476 6,954 8,162 8,876 9,997 420 391 17 11 261 9 440 410 17 12 319 9 532 502 18 13 343 47 232 197 15 21 421 51 260 224 15 22 467 42 49 15 1 33 423 45 54 19 1 34 495 51 60 22 1 37 563 26 624 1,011 1,046 1,123 1,964 1,167 2,077 1,236 7,633 56 299 261 15 23 504 2,353 1,430 922 1,142 275 2,892 1,231 1,661 1,342 3,427 1,489 1,938 1,689 4,183 1,375 2,808 1,749 84 192 355 98 256 3,038 1,283 1,754 1,480 545 170 120 54 200 720 29 124 101 30 436 606 183 141 58 225 791 32 124 111 33 490 518 116 187 63 153 956 59 195 165 28 509 574 122 217 68 167 653 131 259 73 190 1,036 1,505 1,597 1,572 1,746 61 150 126 1 23 932 2,412 1,032 1,380 1,729 2,559 1,119 1,440 1,877 2,895 1,323 1,571 2,071 4,673 2,070 1,240 1,363 4,984 2,268 1,247 1,469 5,410 2,461 1,311 1,638 6,053 6,897 564 657 13,217 4,260 8,958 13,996 4,326 9,669 15,371 5,301 10,070 1,107 1,187 190 917 164 223 1,022 18,712 20,245 21,554 2,057 14,875 17,628 19,830 1,455 4,921 5,709 6,416 608 705 Table 45.—Arkansas 6,402 3,816 59 129 108 1 21 810 83 236 291 43 711 591 294 5,784 3,538 9 49 122 101 1 20 725 7,325 26,955 7,526 5,460 13,968 261 5,320 14,885 1,687 239 1972 20,478 1,486 513 1971 18,493 1,363 434 1970 13,390 1,040 848 1972 12,425 921 191 184 208 338 743 1971 17,000 615 161 454 21 Table 38.—North Carolina 1970 1970 542 148 394 Table 37.—Tennessee 1972 1972 487 135 352 Table 36.—Kentucky 1971 1971 843 183 165 194 301 678 Table 35.—West Virginia 614 397 485 99 34 65 642 404 533 108 37 71 703 420 582 119 40 79 797 993 235 72 163 501 162 105 52 181 668 28 122 92 842 1,061 257 78 179 1970 Table 39.—South Carolim i 1972 1970 1971 1972 16,383 17,706 19,809 7,691 8,311 9,268 1 11,336 97 28 1 12,240 99 29 1 13,872 100 30 1 5,522 34 11 5,968 38 12 6,705 42 14 27 678 0) 29 827 0) 0) 0) 4,464 1,474 2,991 1,892 5,070 1,735 3,335 2,120 2,044 2,152 2,414 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 709 77 282 86 264 783 80 319 87 296 897 87 364 97 349 1,179 1,093 1,202 1,915 2,374 581 146 371 734 1,083 1,188 1,269 396 109 287 445 121 324 0) 457 129 329 0) 11 318 521 536 614 ,1,615 1,800 790 217 55 162 886 238 61 176 1,348 60 278 192 46 772 286 43 72 28 143 549 26 137 92 16 278 316 45 81 30 160 603 32 140 99 17 315 357 49 99 32 177 672 37 141 110 21 363 2,561 2,882 1,350 1,475 1,652 399 723 446 793 1,439 1,642 509 142 367 571 159 413 24 403 125 72 26 181 391 20 56 53 17 245 695 143 25 527 3 28 398 1,407 332 333 742 9 15 22 24 28 293 472 586 11 748 275 300 347 423 492 556 510 582 674 605 689 788 1,282 345 11 334 391 19 372 1,137 415 722 1,169 1,310 1,146 1,240 1,326 1,695 1,752 1,916 434 734 539 771 276 870 270 970 328 998 685 628 761 1,059 362 15 347 1,010 1,124 2,228 2,377 589 637 676 1,185 1,284 1,363 1,462 1,615 1,720 1,925 1,737 1,977 740 899 1,026 1,128 1,325 1,466 1,279 1,499 1,661 1,392 790 186 213 240 340 378 424 440 515 580 570 691 23 103 238 337 54 956 Table 46.—Southwest Table 47.—Oklahoma 362 330 813 10 383 330 884 11 Table 48.—Texas 456 137 980 12 63 200 172 28 572 524 139 13 73 208 201 40 658 Table 49.—New 47 274 142 38 593 14 418 726 192 48 144 369 115 64 24 165 353 19 55 46 17 217 636 132 22 481 4 94 239 305 47 802 12 354 1,523 343 110 59 23 151 323 18 53 42 15 196 584 119 21 443 3 206 207 238 388 316 500 658 11 335 565 752 12 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 286 328 370 32 1,155 633 177 456 666 185 481 725 230 495 33 34 35 2,089 2,219 817 840 892 36 1,627 1,792 711 838 944 37 777 278 329 368 38 50 278 155 40 679 Table 50.—Arizona Table 51.—Rocky Triouniaiii 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 Line 1971 Line 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 5,527 5,912 6,656 58,536 62,192 68,568 8,61? 9,109 9,995 40,240 42,353 46,486 3,173 3,420 3,796 6,507 7,310 8,292 18,049 19,651 22,205 1 3,159 3,444 3,866 38,007 40,581 44,893 5,323 5,646 6,171 27,791 30,541 2,090 2,256 4,889 5,642 11,593 12,756 14,559 90 37 1 20 16 187 87 40 2 21 17 223 50 386 6 367 13 342 247 272 1,048 0) 0) 1,142 1 994 53 1,086 1,014 1,142 2,036 6,356 3,502 2,854 5,800 1,603 87 261 2 2 257 627 896 713 183 924 294 90 204 352 1,175 2,357 1,489 2,035 2,287 2,585 2,088 78 219 1 2 215 500 778 622 156 824 251 77 174 307 2,030 1,263 1,207 2,482 76 207 1 1 204 378 758 614 143 732 214 68 146 276 1,897 1,175 1,065 2,234 25 153 7 61 85 188 172 106 66 374 99 29 69 192 205 452 35 158 260 930 1,181 1,839 5,809 3,167 2,642 5,282 1,428 23 146 5 57 83 152 147 88 59 333 88 26 62 172 221 496 43 171 282 1,754 5,774 3,265 2,509 4,865 1,284 22 142 4 55 83 124 137 82 55 301 80 23 57 157 204 453 32 159 262 771 1,034 40 354 6 335 12 288 993 629 363 862 234 78 156 443 41 357 6 339 13 326 2,538 4,354 94 35 1 20 14 168 955 488 467 512 133 44 89 252 26,240 244 1,004 1,018 1,113 1,284 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 72 66 12 102 365 18 80 50 13 204 630 164 79 387 15 75 76 15 109 400 20 82 56 14 228 691 178 88 425 17 81 88 18 122 448 22 84 66 15 261 750 193 96 460 17 293 440 543 811 307 480 571 876 332 547 61f 988 39 54 44 169 653 63 78 118 29 365 42 61 52 197 757 68 78 142 35 433 291 298 176 518 3,828 37 48 42 149 586 55 272 249 159 432 3,435 36 34 17 104 433 24 38 151 12 208 897 278 154 465 262 216 156 386 3,251 34 29 17 92 382 20 36 143 11 171 807 250 141 416 5 1,432 1,584 1,822 1,268 304 249 716 11 1,433 336 282 815 13 3,262 1,068 6 277 217 624 9 1,086 3,941 1,268 630 2,042 30 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 200 240 870 508 362 539 495 563 150 47 102 275 636 544 635 177 53 124 310 383 389 434 1,707 1,770 1,941 12 13 15 1,343 1,392 1,516 2,545 7,662 4,592 3,070 6,761 1,812 2,817 7,748 4,496 3,252 7,377 2,023 3,193 8,566 5,024 3,542 8,140 2,283 1,309 2,964 1,473 3,195 1,676 3,560 408 629 713 426 692 752 461 786 815 1,214 4,794 1,325 5,114 1,497 5,727 353 503 365 550 410 607 619 395 938 256 85 172 482 190 217 73 2,796 10,067 2,710 2,233 5,125 80 3,222 10,962 2,936 2,382 5,644 88 45 114 113 170 591 23 94 81 18 375 1,503 539 298 666 15 274 2,165 2,476 2,755 314 350 807 457 350 985 616 368 5,987 2,095 3,891 5,632 1,700 3,932 6,419 2,118 4,301 926 379 547 728 762 809 8,846 9,331 9,873 739 863 950 5,479 6,392 7,122 170 203 228 1,947 2,221 2,494 248 796 997 174 2,578 9,307 2,552 2,141 4,613 266 809 1,053 294 802 1,191 703 439 1,042 288 91 196 534 951 53 334 950 363 C) 56 397 722 501 157 344 767 562 174 388 868 648 192 456 1,724 5,931 1,499 1,490 2,942 1,849 6,422 1,597 1,560 3,264 2,123 6,968 1,725 1,668 3,575 54 32 26 16 83 367 19 36 144 10 158 755 238 136 381 5 20 3,570 1,178 536 1,855 24 389 1,523 1,743 1,926 92 109 123 236 274 318 589 682 778 32 857 301 556 1,033 397 637 4,144 1,395 2,749 3,819 1,085 2,735 4,393 1,401 2,992 329 148 181 318 132 185 337 135 202 588 173 415 638 183 456 656 186 470 2,161 934 1,227 2,105 825 1,280 2,433 1,077 1,356 33 34 35 1,343 1,451 1,528 6,204 6,441 6,805 405 446 473 894 993 1,068 2,638 2,830 3,015 36 979 1,130 1,238 3,495 4,065 4,512 355 413 462 651 784 910 1,705 1,988 2,218 37 267 325 364 1,366 1,506 1,691 98 122 137 216 268 302 636 711 797 38 51 144 131 208 709 28 96 106 22 458 47 128 121 187 643 26 96 92 19 410 1,571 558" 283 729 15 596 278 789 15 1,663 151 591 663 121 44 158 599 699 130 49 174 591 792 148 75 109 26 322 1,118 99 166 272 60 834 538 1,656 109 172 302 71 930 120 176 354 86 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 48 August 1973 Tables 52-62A.—Personal Income by Major Sources, 1970-72 [Millions of dollarsl Table 52.—Montana Item 1970 Personal income. Wage and salary disbursements Farms M ining Coal mining Crude petroleum and natural gas Mining and quarrying except fuel Contract construction Manufacturing Durables Nondurables Wholesale and retail trade Finance, insurance and real estate Banking Otherfinance,insurance and real estate Transportation, communications and public utilities Railroad transportation Highway freight and warehousing. Other transportation _ Communications and public utilities Services. Hotels and other lodging places Personal services and private households Business and repair services Amusement and recreation Professional, social and related services Government Federal, civilian _ .. Federal, military. State and local Other industries 1971 1972 2,438 2,529 1,350 40 58 1 15 42 98 175 113 62 244 48 22 26 1,462 46 51 2 13 37 106 186 121 65 264 54 24 30 147 64 24 11 49 155 13 21 18 4 99 382 109 50 223 3 158 67 27 12 52 168 15 22 20 5 108 425 122 52 251 3 Table 54.—Wyoming Table 53.-Idaho Table 55.—Colorado Table 56.—Utah Table 57.—Far West 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 2,875 2,352 2,538 2,858 1,268 1,308 1,494 1,619 51 63 2 15 46 127 201 131 70 294 59 26 33 1,378 43 30 1,493 45 30 1,704 57 30 0) (0 0) 0) 0) 0) 174 72 31 13 59 187 17 22 24 5 119 459 130 57 272 4 113 36 23 7 47 178 13 22 54 5 84 326 88 40 199 4 30 97 284 162 122 251 52 21 31 30 102 307 179 127 275 47 23 35 123 38 28 7 51 192 14 22 57 357 96 40 220 5 29 121 349 205 144 313 65 25 39 137 41 33 8 56 227 15 23 64 6 119 400 105 51 244 5 1970 1971 1972 8,541 9,501 10,782 3,451 3,774 4,197 113,001 119,631 129,528 752 22 105 3 63 39 60 53 20 33 109 23 11 12 814 24 106 5 57 43 72 56 22 34 120 25 12 13 920 26 121 8 64 49 89 63 25 38 131 27 14 14 5,716 85 145 14 72 58 394 978 601 378 1,028 283 75 6,361 75 149 14 75 60 500 1,058 649 409 1,186 322 85 7,376 74 156 16 72 67 644 1,260 791 469 1,349 379 93 2,397 14 116 13 10 93 122 406 279 127 403 95 28 66 2,626 14 116 14 12 90 149 424 291 133 442 104 31 73 2,939 13 127 17 20 90 194 483 337 147 498 118 34 84 75,907 1,016 403 1 226 176 4,259 18,382 13,089 5,294 12,803 3,724 1,012 2,713 91 37 16 8 29 72 16 12 10 3 31 216 53 30 133 1 97 39 16 8 33 78 17 12 11 3 34 236 57 32 146 1 107 41 18 9 39 88 19 13 13 4 40 266 62 38 166 1 465 66 97 109 193 741 46 84 143 33 435 .,589 440 383 766 509 68 110 108 222 829 50 87 163 40 489 1,721 483 370 868 12 610 73 135 121 281 961 54 89 193 49 575 1,928 540 433 954 16 203 59 55 21 68 285 11 28 47 14 185 749 378 35 336 3 226 60 68 23 74 317 13 28 51 18 207 831 420 42 369 3 79,169 1,052 411 2 231 177 4,471 18,072 12,583 5,489 13,586 4,062 1,095 2,967 86,432 1,130 442 5 252 185 4,913 19,831 13,891 5,940 14,807 4,526 1,202 3,324 254 5,749 6,115 64 629 656 81 1,100 1,216 1,721 26 1,719 83 2,301 2,522 360 10,883 11,560 15 658 685 1,180 30 1,187 61 2,449 2,512 1,239 22 1,214 233 5,375 5,943 887 18,489 19, 621 431 4,159 4,377 51 3,120 3,100 405 11,211 12,144 197 220 703 1,379 1,865 2,742 12,748 755 1,193 2,812 1,363 6,626 21,103 4,662 3,241 13,200 241 Other labor income. Proprietors' income. Farm Nonfarm. 74 82 92 72 83 94 40 48 53 274 320 370 130 149 169 3,943 4,371 4,846 459 283 176 395 219 176 532 346 447 256 191 434 236 198 282 206 199 94 105 137 63 194 106 790 238 552 855 245 609 909 268 641 265 63 285 62 223 309 75 234 8,838 1,409 7,428 9,059 1,465 7,594 9,812 1,973 7,839 Property income 384 306 337 357 208 241 1,272 1,379 1,477 489 520 16,191 17,084 17,896 Transfer payments. 254 140 777 905 1,008 381 434 12,346 14,465 15,634 319 359 156 173 4,519 5,092 187 397 420 292 322 Less: Personal contributions for social insurance. 83 110 Table 58.— Washington 74 202 229 239 281 314 112 90 89 100 42 469 129 323 55 288 49 Table 60.— Nevada Table 59.— Oregon 4,223 133 Table 61.— California Table 62.— Hawaii Table 62.AAlaska Item 1970 1971 1972 13,730 14,349 15,399 Personal income. Wage and salary disbursements 9,151 95 19 1 2 16 571 2,324 1,679 645 1,538 428 121 306 F arms . Mining _ _. Coalmining Crude petroleum and natural gas Mining and quarrying except fuel Contract construction Manufacturing.. _ ., Durables Nondurables Wholesale and retail trade Finance, insurance and real estate Banking _ Otherfinance,insurance and real estate Transportation, communications and public utilities 691 Railroad transportation. 122 Highway freight and warehousing 130 Other transportation. 226 Communications and public utilities 213 Services _ 1,003 Hotels and other lodging places 51 Personal services and private households 132 Business and repair services 208 Amusement and recreation 40 Professional, social and related services 571 Government.. 2,458 Federal, civilian 582 Federal, military 505 State and local 1,372 Other industries 24 1970 1971 2,424 2,676 89,312 94,412 102,099 3,476 3,705 4,020 1,404 1,536 1,671 6,032 64 116 1,641 11 35 1,793 12 33 2,726 70 2,964 74 1,179 0) 0) 0) 0) 15 14 369 305 1,486 1,676 1,103 1,262 414 382 1,016 1,142 271 242 83 76 188 166 35 134 70 43 27 229 59 17 42 33 152 75 46 30 249 68 19 49 1,983 60,142 62,664 68,410 884 960 12 847 343 369 34 337 1 0) 0) 250 0) 223 34 114 118 114 171 3,276 3,405 3,765 88 14,602 14,355 15,688 54 10,345 9,937 10, 910 34 4,258 4,418 4,777 279 10, 096 10, 710 11,628 77 3,013 3,303 3,694 874 964 21 802 56 2,211 2,429 2,730 0) 0) 0) 281 182 43 139 384 138 29 109 258 193 42 151 408 148 32 116 280 201 45 156 450 160 34 126 1,279 1 42 2 37 3 122 64 30 33 142 31 13 18 1,390 1 37 2 33 2 131 67 32 35 156 38 14 23 468 97 131 68 173 618 36 80 100 24 378 1,150 274 32 844 13 522 104 156 73 189 704 40 83 114 28 439 1,254 296 33 925 14 119 18 18 28 56 610 199 27 116 191 77 372 90 70 213 2 131 18 19 30 64 659 203 27 122 217 89 410 96 76 239 217 231 249 115 2 17 47 50 107 10 127 2 18 53 54 121 12 8 22 3 77 705 218 234 252 7 310 352 C) 0) Other labor income.. 452 488 537 269 Proprietors' income.. 1,169 242 926 1,217 248 1,404 404 999 794 142 652 838 134 703 917 190 727 151 26 125 167 27 140 1,891 2,024 2,120 1,138 1,259 1,332 254 280 Farm Nonfarm Property income _ Transfer payments Less: Personal contributions for social insurance. 1,507 1,790 1,895 856 440 503 565 264 324 1972 162 198 365 74 85 3,161 181 37 145 295 232 95 1. Less than $500,000. NOTE.—Detail may not add to total because of rounding. 1971 1972 147 4,500 4,790 5,219 20 414 443 397 21 922 1,034 838 34 1,390 1,398 1,511 72 1,875 2,057 2,230 716 8,705 9,194 10,128 393 428 230 374 941 947 29 950 125 2,033 2,081 2,337 956 1,060 227 960 105 4,388 4,823 5,356 455 14,606 15,504 16,763 105 3,232 3,400 3,614 85 2,510 2,520 2,737 265 8,864 9,584 10,412 195 160 178 71 1,085 1970 3,502 6,724 6,838 999 1,055 5,725 5,782 12,908 9,822 3,445 3,877 7,310 1,341 5,968 13,522 14,148 11,493 12,421 3,607 4,067 2,594 76 0) 0) 22 102 92 345 76 35 63 18 153 964 313 310 341 6 1972 1972 9,354 2,195 0) 0) 1971 1971 1971 5,378 66 14 1970 1970 1970 7,765 8,446 9,334 0,007 4,972 90 93 64 21 23 12 2 3 0) 2 0) 2 17 12 17 610 277 609 2,157 2,379 1,385 1,497 1,664 1,022 660 364 715 1,610 1,757 940 449 225 484 126 71 134 322 154 350 725 801 439 127 136 92 144 167 115 246 225 75 251 229 156 1,089 1,201 566 53 56 34 134 132 78 236 209 93 42 48 22 652 726 339 2,557 2,631 1,053 606 255 646 472 386 35 1,478 1,599 763 29 11 1972 C1) 0) 22 107 101 380 88 36 65 20 172 1,031 336 319 375 6 24 119 106 426 105 36 70 24 191 1,117 345 376 395 7 C1) 50 1 45 3 107 61 28 32 132 28 11 17 107 2 18 49 38 100 9 8 23 2 57 588 195 221 173 2 63 648 205 224 219 44 49 99 116 126 201 21 180 224 33 191 227 32 196 90 1 89 473 494 513 95 236 127 151 357 100 114 168 61 67 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. SUKVEY OF CUREENT BUSINESS August 1973 49 Table 63.—Broad Industrial Sources of Personal Income, by States and Regions, 1972 Table 70.—Industrial Sources of Civilian Income Received by Persons for Participation in Current Production 1 , by States and Regions, 1972 [Millions of dollars] Table 63 State and region Total personal income Farm income Table 70 Government income disbursements l Federal State and local Private nonfarm3 income Total Farms Mining Contract construc- Manution facturing Wholesale and retail trade TransporFinance, tation, cominsurance, munications, and real and public estate utilities United States.. 935,350 24,073 132,859 96,011 682,407 720,373 24,626 7,232 46,507 198,934 121,168 39,779 54,146 New England.. 57,545 290 7,493 5,495 44,267 43,484 299 39 3,009 13,500 7,176 2,785 2,719 3,714 3,270 1,703 83 20 66 649 487 243 381 261 198 2,602 2,503 1,195 2,722 2,503 1,279 85 20 67 2 4 7 200 195 97 807 834 323 469 420 195 118 133 58 28,096 4,340 16,421 53 5 64 3,651 820 1,643 2,871 411 1,373 21, 522 3,104 13,342 21,106 3,196 12,679 55 5 66 11 2 12 1,445 202 871 5,920 1,023 4,593 3,591 538 1,963 29,092 24,297 161,270 165,917 860 699 9,845 45,180 10,497 4,420 7,105 13,190 3,280 5,098 72,282 30, 780 40, 788 72, 549 30,535 41, 512 319 66 267 114 60 490 3,715 1,968 2,688 16,944 10,058 14,441 314 269 2,051 2,289 12,860 2,253 15,944 62 146 3 30 162 1,203 896 2,689 Maine New Hampshire. Vermont M assachusetts. Rhode Island.Connecticut Mideast. 215,493 New York New Jersey— Pennsylvania. 96,280 38,543 53,249 311 63 257 Delaware Maryland... District of Columbia- 2,931 19,803 60 142 4,750 409 2,272 3,123 109 152 18,221 19,887 4,138 5,321 2,449 151,503 155,003 3,845 873 9,066 59,405 4,740 4,023 1,946 35,032 38,915 18,019 35,996 39,253 18,841 425 644 701 147 319 92 1,941 2,211 1,135 15,953 15,677 7,830 1,402 631 5,896 2,084 5,433 2,079 45,098 14,439 45,795 15,117 1,432 644 282 33 2,874 904 71,118 6,206 9,561 6,816 48,535 54,518 6,329 411 3,284 16,746 12,396 20,403 2,363 2,512 6,642 10,058 867 1,714 865 399 511 868 981 1,884 1,429 2,932 445 433 915 1,523 1,892 1,173 1,737 250 268 599 12,102 8,080 14,868 1,269 1,300 4,260 6,656 13,161 9,631 15,637 1,707 1,879 4,982 7,521 885 1,748 883 407 521 885 1,001 162 31 92 15 23 14 74 854 515 919 139 94 317 446 3,224 2,313 4,169 94 155 781 1, 590 193,375 3,765 Michigan.. Ohio Indiana.. 44,325 48,888 23,101 416 630 687 57,829 19, 232 Illinois. Wisconsin. Plains. Minnesota Iowa Missouri North D a k o t a . . . South D a k o t a . . . Nebraska Kansas Govern- Other ment 2 11,820 113,928 2,233 7,873 5,916 170 191 154 82 19 392 240 434 341 207 1,360 174 941 1,396 181 715 4,244 527 2,072 3,001 529 1,403 14 44 27,276 11,325 13,162 29,421 27,690 461 12,129 5,350 6,540 6,538 1,810 1,965 6,074 2,540 3,206 14,314 4,902 6,380 12,200 3,693 5,453 201 87 84 320 99 796 123 1,050 289 2,716 293 4,598 5 45 2,672 2,006 Great Lakes. Service 116 169 819 1,453 39 6,822 10,555 20,348 19,379 297 1,279 1,589 763 2,544 646 1,916 2,765 1,227 4,423 5, 232 2,098 4,566 4,710 2,217 61 80 31 14, 517 5,427 24,415 5,285 6,026 2,747 7,951 2,404 3,717 930 6,620 1,974 5,770 2,116 86 39 12,326 9,516 2,666 4,336 7,498 7,975 176 2,391 1,533 2,812 314 307 870 1,288 685 424 807 64 67 273 347 1,099 594 1,436 128 113 418 638 1,915 1,151 2,287 227 242 673 1,004 2,007 1,283 2,191 315 348 731 1,100 29 40 41 4 8 19 33 264 171,827 6,072 30,292 15,991 199,473 130,971 6,207 2,204 9,631 33,572 22,263 6,523 9,896 18,496 21,714 465 Virginia West Virginia... Kentucky Tennessee North Carolina. South Carolina.. 20,478 6,402 11,905 14, 796 19,809 9,268 278 27 585 373 845 267 5,459 1,078 1,988 2,171 2,799 1,761 1,804 627 1,036 1,375 1,811 814 12,937 4,669 8,297 10,877 14,354 6,427 15, 566 4,896 9,145 11,808 15, 742 7,203 285 28 596 380 862 273 180 617 357 71 33 15 1,096 401 644 729 1,009 491 3,242 1,273 2,679 3,849 5,553 2,621 2,390 695 1,396 2,037 2,532 1,059 742 146 346 550 700 296 1,166 456 691 743 1,016 406 2,266 600 1,138 1,640 1,893 927 4,159 675 1,280 1,784 2,104 1,098 38 6 18 24 40 17 Georgia.-. Florida... Alabama. 18,451 31, 779 12,004 590 941 388 2,880 5,677 2,266 1,724 2,912 1,154 13,256 22, 250 8,195 14,689 22,272 9,291 603 965 396 63 97 96 990 2,275 562 3,834 3,095 2,760 2,820 4,476 1,473 845 1,576 405 1,235 1,892 1,920 4,165 1,243 2,317 3,589 1,689 61 140 27 Mississippi. Louisiana... Arkansas... 7,099 13,179 6,656 610 478 690 1,246 1,839 1,128 718 1,447 569 4,526 9,415 4,270 5,385 9,971 5,002 624 489 705 573 41 314 843 276 1,509 1,820 1,337 814 1,792 779 218 476 223 329 967 356 1,440 829 1,531 660 24 42 27 68,568 2,499 11,494 6,348 48,227 51,535 2,559 1,969 3,862 9,796 9,626 2,929 4,065 7,891 8,671 170 9,995 46,486 438 1,907 7,328 968 3,987 6,682 33,533 7,291 35,098 447 1,677 380 1,130 432 2,511 1,263 6,849 379 2,048 615 2,831 1,024 5,302 1,403 5,354 26 112 New Mexico.. Arizona 3,796 8,292 157 266 825 1,435 517 877 2,297 5, 715 2,830 6,316 160 274 162 297 225 695 1,321 7,284 195 996 445 1,068 124 377 219 400 540 1,025 751 1,162 23 Rocky Mountain.. 22,205 1,272 3,765 2,297 14,872 17,080 1,301 534 1,422 2,634 3,019 839 1,445 2,477 3,347 61 Montana.. Idaho Wyoming.. 2,875 2,858 1,494 389 332 129 473 433 231 299 278 174 1,714 1,814 960 2,177 2,225 1,122 397 340 132 69 34 125 155 164 110 228 386 78 354 383 158 82 87 37 197 158 120 279 309 128 406 353 230 10 13 4 Colorado.. Utah 10,782 4,197 335 87 ,1,783 845 1,091 455 7,573 2,810 8,204 3,352 343 89 166 141 754 239 1,399 544 1,549 575 487 146 1,282 479 1,511 848 26 282 129,528 3,032 19,755 15,829 90,912 97,645 3,119 464 5,920 22,224 17,194 5,661 7,537 17,123 18,009 394 15,399 9,354 487 249 2,637 1,301 1,829 1,011 10,446 6,793 11, 531 7,246 499 256 738 474 2,647 1,869 2,078 1,376 614 347 901 593 1,707 1,051 2,265 1,230 58 32 2,676 102,099 48 2,248 395 15,422 277 12,713 1,957 71,716 2,154 76, 714 49 2,315 39 383 190 4,518 98 17,610 318 13,422 4,601 166 5,877 373 817 13, 548 14,142 298 1,671 4,020 1 103 538 982 263 455 1,289 2,932 1 107 39 2,480 146 323 74 224 177 506 46 184 148 284 476 751 27 13 Southeast. South west _ Oklahoma. Texas Far West. Washington. Oregon Nevada.... California.. Alaska.. Hawaii. Footnotes to table 63: 1. Consists of net income of farm proprietors', farm wages, and farm other labor income less personal contributions under the OASDHI program. 2. Consists of income disbursed directly to persons by the Federal and State and local governments. Comprises wages and salaries (net of employee contributions for social insurance), other labor income, interest and transfer payments. 3. FRASER Equals total personal income less farm income and government income disbursements. Digitized for 154 539 Footnotes to table 70: 1. Consists of wage and salary disbursements, other labor income, and proprietors' income. 2. Does not include earnings of military personnel. 3. Less than $500,000. By ROBERT B. LEFTWICH and ROBERT BOYKE Foreign Direet Investments in the United States in 1972 ± HE value of foreign direct investments in the United States rose $708 million in 1972 to $14,363 million at yearend, following a rise of only $385 million in 1971. The 1972 increase was comprised of reinvested earnings of $548 million and net capital inflows of $160 million. Valuation adjustments in 1972 were nil. The data presented here update the information published in " Foreign Direct Investments in the United States, 1962-71" in the February 1973 issue of the SURVEY. The $160 million net capital inflow to foreign-owned U.S. affiliates in 1972 folloAved the $115 million capital out- flow of 1971, a favorable swing of $275 million. The swing resulted from a $47 million increase in inflows for new investment and a $228 million decline in capital outflows resulting from liquidations and changes in intercompany accounts. Capital flows with Japan showed a favorable swing of $570 Table 1.—Foreign Direct Investments in the United States, Selected Data Items, Countries, and Industries [Millions of dollars] Book value at yearend 1^Jet capital Area and industry Total By Area: Canada . . Europe _ United Kingdom European Economic Community Belgium and Luxembourg _. France Germany Italy Netherlands . Other Western Europe _ Sweden Switzerland Other Japan.. Latin American Republics and other Western Hemisphere Other By Industry: Petroleum. Manufacturing Trade. Insurance Other Finance Other 1971' 1971 r 1972 P -142 1,110 1,233 621 719 498 548 39 -107 -19 -148 -50 —23 -61 —4 —10 60 21 27 12 218 757 350 274 22 21 55 264 851 415 337 20 48 81 —5 193 99 4 92 3 88 465 236 134 3 10 19 5 97 96 11 83 2 115 509 274 160 4 18 24 6 108 J75 3 70 2 137 292 104 140 20 11 39 -4 75 49 150 350 139 179 16 24 62 -10 87 32 48 1 29 3 92 75 40 64 53 40 36 8 42 1 28 (*) 30 1 8 7 7 1 235 537 141 215 5 78 27 116 217 50 185 5 39 14 124 204 70 215 5 87 19 78 318 71 110 334 86 26 5 4 14 13,270 13,655 14,363 -115 255 -370 160 302 3,117 9,554 4,127 3,555 338 286 680 100 2,151 1,872 208 1 545 119 3,339 10,086 4,438 3,761 341 315 771 109 2,225 1,888 229 1,537 123 3,612 10,441 4,581 3,874 307 321 807 108 2,331 1,986 254 1 595 138 85 236 206 65 -17 18 52 13 —1 -35 21 —59 3 6 217 119 85 123 5 4 -65 —50 —18 -25 9 19 66 25 29 12 84 112 23 83 29 12 2 9 1 79 20 87 -20 —17 g 6 13 —30 -46 19 —68 2 229 —230 —132 —512 19 —531 58 105 —47 248 121 315 146 298 145 60 16 3 11 57 5 -24 -2 1 -25 -2 2 992 6,140 994 3 2 256 3,113 6,755 512 3 2 352 3,243 7,228 523 3 2 411 43 294 -553 81 — 11 30 4 220 24 39 74 -577 81 —13 26 32 142 106 -12 -3 -181 56 -2 -1 203 512 130 185 5 62 18 (4) 923 (4) 958 ' Revised. p Preliminary. *Less than $500,000 (±). 1. "Earnings" represents the foreign share in corporate and branch earnings; "interest, dividends, and branch earnings" is the amount of earnings distributed after withholding taxes. 2. "New investments" consists of the first reported capital inflow to establish or acquire a new company or operation in the United States and the cost of acquisition of additional shares of existing companies. 50 1972 P 1972 P New Total invest-2 Other ments 10 46 2 5 New Total invest-2 Other ments 20 139 -75 56 —1 21 5 36 13 29 6 4 2 1 21 1972 P 1971 r 1971 ' (4) Reinvested earnings 1972 P 1970 888 Interest, dividends, and branch earnings l Earnings l inflows 176 133 10 118 5 ,1971' 3. Includes market revaluation of securities held by insurance companies. 4. Included in "insurance". 5. Interest paid by agency banks in the United States to foreign home offices has been excluded from direct investment totals. Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. August 1973 million from 1971 to 1972, which more than accounted for the total improvement as net capital inflows from other countries declined $295 million from 1971 to 1972. The inflow for new investments in 1972, $302 million, was not particularly large by recent standards, but it was noteworthy that new investments by Japanese firms rose to a record $105 million from only $19 million in 1971. The previous high for new investment inflows from Japan was $74 million in 1968. Most of the Japanese investments in 1972 took place during the third and fourth quarters and represented the acquisition of additional shares in U.S. trade affiliates. Capital flows with Japan other than for new investments moved even more favorably—from an outflow of $531 million in 1971 to an outflow of only $47 million in 1972. There was a large increase in the first quarter of 1972 in U.S. trade affiliates' receivables from their Japanese parents, but these capital outflows were substantially reversed during the remainder of the year. The large outflows in 1971, and perhaps those in the first quarter of 1972, were apparently associated with anticipations of the appreciation of the yen SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS that occurred in 1971 and 1972. At yearend 1971, the value of the Japanese direct investment position in U.S. affiliates was negative (—$230 million), largely reflecting prepayment during 1971 for imports from Japanese parent firms. Despite the increase in inflows for new investment in 1972 and the large improvement in other capital flows with Japan, the Japanese direct investment position remained negative (—$132 million) at yearend 1972. There was a net capital inflow from Western Europe of only $5 million in 1972 compared with $236 million in 1971. New investments dropped from $217 million to $112 million and other capital flows deteriorated from an inflow of $20 million in 1971 to an outflow of $107 million in 1972. Foreign exchange market uncertainties may have contributed to this swing. The reported outflows were related to intercompany transactions and were concentrated in countries whose currencies appreciated against the dollar. The $61 million outflow to Germany and the $50 million outflow to Belgium and Luxembourg were particularly noticeable. Earnings of foreign direct investments in the United States totaled 51 Table 2.—Value of Foreign Direct Investments in the United States by Major Industry and Country-End of 1972 [Millions of dollars] Total ManFiufac- nance Petroturand leum Other ing insur- ance All areas Canada Europe United Kingdom Netherlands Switzerland Other Other areas 14,363 7,228 2,411 3,243 1,481 3,612 2,194 310 268 840 10,441 4,581 2,331 1,595 1,933 4,781 1,735 760 1,158 1,128 1,936 1,205 46 373 312 2,959 1,286 1,399 274 764 355 126 64 219 311 253 165 16 -123 $1,233 million in 1972, up 11 percent from the 1971 total of $1,110 million. Branch earnings accounted for most of the increase, rising from $232 million in 1971 to $316 million in 1972. Earnings of affiliates in the petroleum, insurance, and other finance industries showed above average gains. Income paid to their foreign parents by the U.S. affiliates was $719 million in 1972, an increase of 16 percent from 1971. Most of the increase resulted from the sharp rise in branch earnings, but common stock dividends also showed a substantial increase. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 52 (Continued from page 6) August 1973 ment cost of goods taken out of in- Table 3.—Relationship of Federal Government Receipts and Expenditures in the ventory and the cost at which these National Income Accounts to the Unified Budget, Fiscal Year 1973 items are charged to production. Pro[Billions of dollars] fits as measured in the national income accounts (NIA) include only profits January August 1973 1973 arising from current production, and budget preliminary thus exclude inventory profits—which were at an annual rate of $21 billion Receipts in the second quarter, up $5% billion Unified budget receipts. _ 225.0 232.2 from the first. Thus, pretax profits on Coverage differences -.2 -.3 the national income basis rose $4% Netting and grossing 5.3 5.0 Timing differences. _ . . ._ 6.2 3.6 Miscellaneous. billion to a seasonally adjusted annual -.1 -.4 rate of $109 billion. The national Federal receipts, NIA basis 233.3 242.9 Expenditures income profits figure had risen $5% billion in the first quarter and $15% Unified budget outlays 246.6 249.8 Coverage differences_ billion from end-1971 to end-1972. .6 .3 months ending in June. An official of the United Auto Workers has stated that the union's demands in bargaining on the auto industry contract, which expires September 15, could shift to placing a much higher priority on getting a large wage increase, if the members begin to press for it. Recent statements by both the Treasury Secretary and the President of the AFL-CIO have acknowledged that if the price rise does not slow, labor can be expected to demand substantially larger wage increases later this year and in 1974 than has been the pattern thus Outer continental shelf de1.1 1.1 posit funds far in 1973. Federal fiscal position -.5 -.8 Other . . F inancial transactions -.9 -1.3 2.9 Net purchases of land 2.3 The Federal fiscal position as meas5.3 5.0 Netting and grossing National Accounts in the 2.8 1.8 Timing differences ured in the NIA was in approximate -.6 .3 Miscellaneous _ Second Quarter balance in the second quarter. Large Federal expenditures, NIA basis 255.0 259.9 On the basis of more complete increases in receipts far outpaced the Unified budget surplus or deficit (—)... -24.8 -17.8 -26.6 -12.1 source data, BEA has revised the growth of expenditures, and the ac- NIA deficit surplus or deficit ( - ) counts registered a nominal surplus estimate of second quarter GNP. The Source: Estimates by BEA. revisions of the components are very of $.1 billion at a seasonally adjusted (Continued from page 38) small, and have a negligible effect on annual rate. There has been deficits total GNP. Real GNP is very slightly of $5 billion in the first quarter and equations. Differences between errors smaller than previously estimated, cur- $23.4 billion in the fourth; a surplus in ex-post and ex-ante forecasts of real rent dollar GNP is slightly larger, was last registered in the fourth quarter GNP, the private GNP implicit deand the implicit price deflator is also of 1969. For the fiscal year 1973, the pre- flator, and the unemployment rate are higher. liminary figures (based on data not generally slight. (7) For key aggregates—currentCorporate profits seasonally adjusted) show a Federal According to the preliminary esti- deficit of $12.1 billion as measured in dollar GNP, real GNP, real personal mate, corporate book profits before the NIA. This compares with a $26.6 consumption expenditures, and the untaxes increased $10% billion in the billion deficit estimated on the basis employment rate—model forecasts are second quarter to a seasonally adjusted of the January budget, with NIA superior to extrapolations based on annual rate of $130.1 billion. Book receipts having come in higher, and autoregressions; for the private GNP profits had risen $13/2 billion in the expenditures lower, than indicated in deflator, some GNP components, and first quarter, and about $19 billion in the budget. Table 3 shows the relation- personal income, the latter are superior. the year from end-1971 to end-1972. ship between the unified budget and (8) While the model tends to underMore than one-third of the second the NIA measures of receipts and estimate the amplitude of cyclical quarter increase was in durable goods expenditures, as estimated in the Janswings in real output, it generally manufacturing; advances were also uary budget and as indicated by the recognizes turning points. However, reported by nondurables manufactures preliminary actual figures. Detailed accuracy in identifying the quarter of and financial institutions. explanations of the reconciliation items downturn or upturn diminishes as the Book profits include gains or losses appear on page 28 of the February prediction horizon lengthens. 1973 issue of the SURVEY. due to differences between the replace- U. S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1973 O - 517-658 CURRENT BUSINESS STATISTICS J.HE STATISTICS here update series published in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS, biennial statistical supplement to the SURVEY That volume (available from the Superintendent of Documents for $3.00) provides a description of each series, references to sources of earlier figures, and historical data as follows: For all series, monthly or quarterly, 1967 through 1970 (1960-70 for major quarterly series), annually, 1947-70; for selected series, monthly or quarterly, 1947-70 (where available). Series added or significantly revised after the 1971 BUSINESS STATISTICS went to press are indicated by an asterisk (*) and a dagger (f), respectively; certain revisions for 1970 issued too late for inclusion in the 1971 volume appear in the monthly SURVEY beginning with the September 1971 issue. Also, unless otherwise noted, revised monthly data for periods not shown herein corresponding to revised annual data are available upon request. The sources of the data are given in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS; they appear in the main descriptive note for each series, and are also listed alphabetically on pages 189-90. Statistics originating in Government agencies are not copyrighted and may be reprinted freely. Data from private sources are provided through the courtesy of the compilers, and are subject to their copyrights. OF CURRENT BUSINESS. 1970 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes a r e a s shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1971 1972 1970 II Annual total III 1971 IV I II 1972 III IV I II 1973 | III I IV | II Seasonally adjusted quarterly totals at annual rates GENERAL BUSINESS INDICATORS—Quarterly Series NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCTf Gross national product, totalt bil.$. 977.1 1,055.5 1,155.2 970.6 987.4 991.8 Personal consumption expenditures, total..do 617.6 667.2 726.5 614.0 623.7 628.3 650.0 662.2 673.0 683.4 700.2 719.2 734.1 752.6 779.4 ' 795.6 Durable goods, total9 do Automobiles and parts do Furniture and household equipment...do Nondurable goods, total? do Clothing and shoes do Food and beverages do Gasoline and oil do Services, totalQ do. Household operation do. Housing do. Transportation do. Gross private domestic investment, total...do.. Fixed investment do Nonresidential do Structures do Producers' durable equipment do Residential structures do Nonfarm do Change in business inventories do Nonfarm do Net exports of goods and services do.. Exports do. Imports do. Govt. purchases of goods and services, total. do Federal do National defense do State and local do 91.3 37.3 39.6 103.6 46.6 42.1 117.4 52.8 48.1 92.8 39.3 39.4 93.4 39.1 39.6 88.1 33.1 40.3 100.3 44.7 41.3 101.9 45.5 41.6 105.4 48.3 41.9 106.7 47.8 43.6 111.5 49.4 46.6 115.1 51.2 47.3 120.2 55.0 48.6 122.9 55.7 50.0 132.2 60.5 53.7 263.8 52.8 130.0 22.2 278.7 57.0 136.6 23.5 299.9 62.3 145.3 25.5 261.2 52.5 128.5 22.1 265.7 52.7 131.5 22.3 271.1 54.5 133.3 22.7 273.5 55.7 134.1 22.9 278.0 57.0 136.2 23.1 279.8 57.4 137.6 23.6 283.5 58.1 138.4 24.5 59.4 141.0 24.7 297.9 61.7 144.7 25.0 302.3 62.9 146.5 25.8 310.7 65.1 149.1 26.6 322.2 r 330.3 68.3 '69.3 154.7 ' 158. 1 27.5 '28.8 262.6 36.4 90.9 18.3 284.9 39.7 98.5 20.4 309.2 43.8 105.5 21.8 259.9 35.9 90.2 18.0 264.6 36.9 91.4 18.5 269.1 37.3 93.3 276.1 38.4 95.4 19.4 282.3 39.3 97.6 20.1 287.8 40.3 99.5 20.6 293.2 40.7 101.4 21 2 300.0 41.8 103.1 21.6 306.2 43.2 104.7 21.7 311.6 44.5 106.3 21.8 319.0 45.7 107.9 22.2 136.3 153.2 325.0 r332.6 46.5 r47.1 110.6 ' 113. 3 22.8 23.2 178.3 135.4 139.2 131.7 100.6 36.1 64.4 31.2 30.7 4.5 4.3 147.1 104.4 37.9 66.5 42.7 42.2 6.1 4.5 172.3 118.2 41.7 76.5 54.0 53.5 6.0 5.6 130.5 101.0 36.1 64.9 29.5 29.2 4.9 4.7 133.2 102.8 36.4 66.5 30.4 29.9 6.0 5.8 62.9 59.3 66.3 65.5 -4.6 73.5 78.1 3.9 63.1 59.2 4.2 63.9 59.7 132.3 98.5 36.5 62.0 33.8 33.1 5.1 4.9 2.8 63.2 60.4 219.5 96.2 74.6 123.3 234.3 98.1 71.6 136.2 255.0 104.4 74.4 150.5 217.3 95.8 74.0 121.5 220.3 94.7 73.2 125.6 223.3 94.8 72.6 128.5 972.6 466.7 182.5 284.1 410.3 '95.6 1,049.4 491.1 191.1 299.9 447.4 110.9 1,149.1 535.4 214.1 321.2 487.3 126.5 965.7 466.8 184.9 281.9 405.8 93.2 981.3 472.1 186.2 285.9 413.5 95.7 986.7 465.9 175.0 290.9 421.0 99.8 4.5 1.2 3.3 6.1 2.0 4.1 6.0 4.9 1.1 4.9 .2 4.6 6.0 5.2 5.1 -1.1 6.2 By major type of product:! Final sales, total Goods, total Durable goods Nondurable goods Services Structures.. Change in business inventories Durable goods Nondurable goods do.. do.. do.. do.. do.. do.. do.. do.. do.. 18.9 137.4 1,027.2 1,046.9 1,063.5 1,084.2 1,112.5 1,142.4 1,166.5 1,199.2 1,242.5 '1,272.0 145.5 152.7 153.8 160.8 167.5 174.7 181.5 189.4 138.5 101.4 37.0 64.4 37.1 36.6 7.0 5.8 145.0 103.6 37.6 66.0 41.5 41.0 7.6 149.5 104.7 38.4 66.3 44.8 44.1 4.3 2.4 155.6 108.0 38.5 69.5 47.5 46.9 5.3 3.5 165.8 114.0 41.0 73.1 51.8 51.2 1.7 1.4 169.2 116.3 41.5 74.9 52.8 52.3 5.5 4.8 172.9 118.3 41.3 77.0 54.5 53.9 8.7 8.4 181.2 124.3 43.0 81.2 56.9 56.4 8.2 7.9 3.8 65.9 62.1 .5 67.1 66.fr 1.1 69.1 68.0 -2.2 63.0 65.2 -5.5 70.3 75.8 -5.7 69.9 75.6 -3.8 74.0 77.7 227.9 96.1 72.3 131.8 231.5 96.7 71.3 134.8 235.5 98.2 70.3 137.3 242.2 101.2 72.4 141.0 250.3 106.0 76.5 144.3 254.2 106.7 76.6 147.5 254.7 102.3 71.9 152.4 194.5 r 198.2 -3.5 79.7 83.2 189.9 130.9 45.3 85.5 59.0 58.4 4.6 4.4 .0 89.7 89.7 r 193. 7 ' 134. 1 47.2 '86.9 '59.6 '59.1 '4.5 '4.4 '2.8 '97.2 '94.4 260.7 102.7 72.4 158.0 105.5 74.3 163.0 ' 275.3 ' 107.3 ' 74.2 ' 168.0 1,237.8 585.0 238.1 346.9 514.8 138.1 •1,267.5 r 599. 6 ' 242.4 ' 357.3 ' 527. 7 ' 140.1 1,020.2 1,039.2 1,059.2 1,078.9 1,110.8 1,136.9 1,157.8 1,191.0 531.0 539.9 555.4 482.1 485.9 501.1 515.2 495.2 211.4 216.8 222.8 187.4 196.2 205.5 188.1 192.8 319.6 323.1 332.5 294.7 304.9 309.7 297.8 302.4 481.5 491.8 503.9 433.9 471.8 450.8 460.9 444.0 124.4 126.2 131.7 104.1 117.0 123.8 113.2 109.3 7.0 4.1 2.9 7.6 4.2 3.4 4.3 .7 3.7 5.3 -.9 6.2 1.7 .4 1.3 5.5 3.2 2.3 8.7 5.8 2.9 ' 132.8 '59.7 '54.4 4.6 '4.5 4.4 '7.3 .3 ' - 2 . 8 8.2 10.4 -2.2 GNP in constant (1958) dollarsf Gross national product, totalt bil.$.. Personal consumption expenditures, total..do Durable goods Nondurable goods Services do.. do.. do. Gross private domestic investment, total...do. Fixed investment do.. Nonresidential do.. Residential structures do.. Change in business inventories do.. Net exports of goods and services do Govt. purchases of goods and services, total, do... Federal do... State and local do... 722.5 745.4 790.7 722.1 727.2 719.3 735.1 740.4 746.9 759.0 768.0 785.6 796.7 812.3 829.3 ' 834.3 477.5 496.3 526.8 477.5 480.9 477.5 489.5 493.6 498.0 504.1 512.5 523.4 531.0 540.5 552.7 ' 553.3 206.5 187.2 92.2 211.6 192.4 104.0 220.9 201.8 85.8 205.1 186.5 85.6 207.2 188.1 79.3 209.8 188.4 210.1 189.9 90.2 211.8 191.7 211.5 192.9 95.8 213.0 195.3 99.2 215.0 198.2 101.9 220.7 200.8 105.8 222.2 202.9 109.2 225.8 205.4 117.0 ' 116.2 228.8 '228.0 207.0 ' 209.1 103.4 110.3 122.9 103.5 105.4 102.1 106.6 110.3 109.5 114.8 116.5 121.0 124.8 129.1 130.2 99.5 77.2 22.2 3.9 105.0 76.1 29.0 5.3 118.3 83.7 34.6 4.6 99.1 78.3 20.8 4.4 100.5 78.6 21.8 4.9 97.6 73.5 24.1 4.5 100.7 74.8 25.9 5.8 103.8 75.5 28.3 6.5 105.5 75.6 29.9 4.0 110.1 78.4 31.7 4.7 115.4 81.5 34.0 1.1 116.7 82.5 34.2 4.3 118.2 83.4 34.7 122.8 87.5 35.3 6.3 126.9 ' 126. 9 91.2 '91.5 35.6 35.3 3.3 '3.4 2.3 .4 -2.0 2.1 3.0 2.0 2.4 -1.6 -3.7 -2.8 141.8 58.8 83.0 143.5 58.6 85.0 144.4 58.2 86.2 138.4 143.0 139.3 139.1 138.0 60.8 60.9 64.5 64.3 62.4 82.2 74.6 77.5 '75.0 75.5 r Revised. » Preliminary. t Revised series. Estimates of national income and product and personal income have been revised back to 1969 (see p. 14fif.of the July 1973 SURVEY); revisions prior to May 1972 for personal income appear on pp. 27-28 of the July 1973 SURVEY. 517-658 O - 73 - S-l 136.7 136.7 138.6 141.6 137.8 60.1 59.9 61.1 62.5 61.8 76.6 77.5 79.1 76.0 76.8 9 Includes data not shown separately. 142.7 63.0 79.7 144.0 62.9 81.1 2.0 S-l ' 130. 2 '5.6 ' 145. 2 '53.2 '87.0 OF CUKEENT S-2 Unless otherwise stated i n footnotes b e l o w , data through 1970 a n d descriptive n o t e s a r e a s s h o w n in t h e 1971 edition of B U S I N E S S S T A T I S T I C S 1970 1971 | 1970 1972 1971 I IV III A n n u a l total August 1973 1972 III II IV I II 1973 III I IV II III GENERAL BUSINESS INDICATORS—Quarterly Series—Continued NATIONAL I N C O M E AND PRODUCT—Con. Quarterly Data Seasonally Adjusted at Annual Rates National income totalf - bil. $ 800.5 859.4 941.8 809.3 806.3 835.9 853.6 865.6 882.7 911.0 928.3 949.2 978.6 ,015.0 Compensation of employees, totalf ..do.... 603.9 644.1 707.1 610.1 610.6 627.6 638.8 648.8 661.2 684.3 699.6 713.1 731.2 757.4 774.9 Wages and salaries, total Private Military Government civilian Supplements to wages and salaries Proprietors'income, total 9 -Business and professional 9 Farm Rental income of persons ..do... ..do.... -.do.... do do ..-do.... do .-.do—. 542 0 426 9 19 6 95.5 61.9 66.9 50.0 16.9 23.9 573.8 449.7 19.4 104.7 70.3 68.7 51.9 16.8 24.5 627.3 493.3 20.3 113.8 79.7 74.2 54.0 20.2 24.1 547 1 431 0 19.4 96.7 62.9 66.2 50.2 16.0 24.2 546.7 429.2 19.0 98.5 63.9 66.2 50.0 16.2 24.4 559.8 438.5 19.8 101.6 67.7 67.9 50.9 16.9 24.4 569.3 446.3 19.3 103.6 69.6 68.3 51.7 16.6 24.7 577.6 452.3 18.9 106.3 71.1 68.6 52.3 16.3 24.7 588.6 461.7 19.6 107.3 72.6 70.2 52.7 17.5 24.4 607.3 476.4 20.9 110.0 77.0 72.5 53.1 19.5 24.1 620.8 488.4 20.1 112.3 78.9 73.2 53.3 19.9 22.6 632.5 497.5 20.0 115.1 80.5 74.1 54.3 19.8 24.9 648.7 510.9 20.1 117.7 82.5 77.1 55.3 21.8 24.9 666.7 525.1 20.9 120.7 90.8 80.6 56.3 24.3 24.7 682.3 538.7 20.5 123.1 '92.6 81.5 57.1 24.4 24.6 69.2 80.1 91.1 71.3 65.9 75.8 80.5 80.9 83.4 86.2 88.0 91.5 98.8 104.3 J>109. 0 13.6 55.6 27 8 17 3 10.5 15.2 64.9 32 5 17 8 14.7 17.5 73.6 40.1 20.0 20.2 14.0 57.3 29.1 17.8 11.4 14.2 51.7 23.7 17.5 6.3 14.0 61.8 31.8 17.6 14.2 14.7 65.8 32.7 17.8 14.9 15.9 65.0 31.8 18.0 13.8 16.3 67.1 33.6 17.9 15.7 16.6 69.6 37.3 18.6 18.7 17.3 70.7 38.7 18.5 20.2 17.6 73.9 39.9 20.4 19.5 18.6 80.2 44.7 22.4 22.3 19 8 84.5 49 7 22 8 26.9 78 20.1 8.6 23.9 9.3 24.2 7.9 20.2 7.3 20.7 8.2 21.8 9.1 23.9 9.1 24.1 7.9 25.7 8.5 23.8 8.9 23.1 9.8 24.1 9.9 25.7 92 25.6 74.0 34.8 39 3 24.7 14.6 -4.8 36 5 85.1 37.4 47.6 25.1 22.5 -4.9 42.0 98.0 42.7 55.4 26.0 29.3 -6.9 45.2 75.7 35.7 39.9 24.7 15.2 -4.4 37.5 69.8 33.0 36.7 24.5 12.2 -3.8 39.2 80.8 37.0 43.8 25.3 18.5 -5.0 40.2 85.5 38.4 47.1 25.1 22.0 -5.0 41.4 87.0 38.0 49.0 25.2 23.7 -6.1 42.7 86.9 36.4 50.6 24.9 25.7 -3.6 43.5 92.8 40.6 52.2 25.7 26.5 -6.6 43.9 94.8 41.4 53.4 25.9 27.5 -6.7 44.8 98.4 42.9 55.6 26.2 29.4 -6.9 45.7 106.1 45.9 60.3 26.4 33.9 -7.3 46.6 808 3 116 6 691.7 635.5 56.2 863.5 117.5 746.0 685.8 60.2 939.2 142.2 797.0 747.2 49.7 816.8 114.3 702.4 641.7 60.8 822.9 115.7 707.2 646.6 60.6 840.0 112.6 727.4 668.3 59.2 859.5 115.5 744.0 680.6 63.5 870.2 118.1 752.0 691.8 60.2 884.4 124.0 760.4 702. 6 57.8 910.8 138.0 772.8 720.0 52.9 926.1 140.7 785.4 739.5 45.9 943.7 142.8 800.9 755.1 45.8 976.1 147.4 828.7 774.3 54.4 996 6 145 1 851 5 801 5 50.0 79.71 31.95 15.80 16.15 81.21 29.99 14.15 15.84 88.44 31.35 15.64 15.72 20.26 7.99 3.87 4.12 21.66 8.66 4.26 4.40 17.68 6.69 3.11 3.58 20.60 7.55 3.52 4.03 20.14 7.31 3.40 3.91 22.79 8.44 4.12 4.32 19.38 6.61 3.29 3.32 22.01 7.63 3.71 3.92 21.86 7.74 3.86 3.87 25.20 9.38 4.77 4.61 47.76 1.89 1.78 3.03 1.23 13.14 10.65 2.49 10.10 16.59 51.22 2.16 1.67 1.88 1.38 15.30 12. 86 2.44 10.77 18.05 57.09 2.42 1.80 2.46 1.46 17.00 14.48 2.52 11.89 20.07 12.27 .46 12.99 .50 10.99 .49 13.06 .54 12.83 14.35 12.77 14.38 14.12 15.83 .46 .74 .43 .76 .34 .34 .47 .60 .30 3.58 2.79 .33 3.74 3.12 .28 3.11 2.70 .36 3.83 3 20 .55 .42 .39 .37 .59 .45 56 .37 4.29 3.60 .69 2.84 5.26 .58 .48 .50 .32 .61 .48 .73 .39 .63 .47 .63 .40 3.63 3.19 .44 2.72 4.55 4.24 3.61 .62 2.95 4.98 .59 .38 .61 .35 4.39 3.67 .72 2.84 4.97 21 50 i 24. 93 i 25.32 9.43 9.28 7 80 4.83 4.78 3 92 4.60 4.50 3.88 15.89 15.65 13.69 .71 .68 63 4.74 4.01 .73 3.39 5.57 Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment total bil. $.. By broad industry groups: ..do.... Financial institutions . do Nonfinancial corporations total .. do . Manufacturing total ...do—. Nondurable goods industries do Durable poods industries Transportation, communication, and public utilities bil. $ ...do.... All other industries do Coroorate Drofits before tax total do Corporate profits tax liability ...do Corporate profits after tax --do..Dividends ...do.... Undistributed profits do Inventory valuation adjustment do __ Net interest DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME f Quarterly Data Seasonally Adjusted at Annual Rates Personal income total bil $ do Less* Personal tax and nontax payments do Equals* Disposable personal income do Less* Personal outlays© do Equals' Personal saving§ NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT EXPENDITURES Unadjusted quarterly or annual totals: All industries bil. $ ...do-... Manufacturing do Durable goods industries f do Nondurable goods industries 1 Nonmanufacturing Mining Railroad Air transportation Other transportation Public utilities... Electric Gas and other Communication Commercial and other Seas. adj. qtrly. totals at annual rates: All industries Manufactiirincr NondiiralDlft c^oods industries IF NoTiTnfl.nnfa.ctnriiicr Mining Air transDortation Public ntilitips Electric Gas and other Communication Commercial and other do do do .- do. . ..-do.-.. —do... do do do do 2.56 4.16 2.81 4.42 2.50 3.94 2.81 4.44 4.07 3.35 .71 2.62 4.42 do do do do 81.88 32.15 15.74 16.40 78.63 30.98 14.92 16.05 79.32 30.46 14.21 16.25 81.61 30.12 14.06 16.06 80.75 29.19 13.76 15.43 83.18 30.35 14.61 15.74 86.79 30.09 15.06 15.02 87.12 30.37 14.77 15.60 87.67 30.98 15.67 15.31 91.94 33.64 16.86 16.78 do do do do do do do do do do 49.73 1.86 1.96 3.24 1.22 13.84 11.34 2.50 10.62 17.00 47.66 1.94 1.56 3.08 1.22 13.68 11.20 2.48 10.20 15.97 48.86 2.04 1.46 1.29 1.33 14.64 12.16 2.48 10.70 17.39 51.50 2.08 1.88 2.28 1 40 14.91 12.61 2.30 11.21 17.72 51.56 52.82 2.30 1.64 2 26 1.33 56.70 2.42 2.10 1.96 1.48 56.75 56.70 2.23 1.72 1.68 1.48 2.38 1.88 2.89 1.53 2.40 1.50 2.67 1.41 58.30 2.46 1.71 2.33 1.42 15.87 13.56 2.30 10.73 17.85 15.74 13.01 2.74 10.44 19.10 16.92 14.27 2.65 11.71 20.10 16.60 14.32 2.27 11.59 19.88 17.01 14.62 2.38 11.56 20.16 17.53 14.67 2.86 12.63 20.21 18,49 12,36 19,92 13,21 26 28 .78 .63 .41 .63 U.S. BALANCE OF INTERNATI ONAL PAYMENTSd* Quarterly Data Are Seasonally Adju rtcd (Credits +; debits - ) Exports of goods and services (excl. transftjrs under mil. $ military grants) Merchandise, adjusted, excl. military _ do Transfers under U.S. military agency sales contracts .mil $ Receipts of Income on U.S. investments abroad. mil. $ Other services _. .—do— 62,91 41,96 66,28 42,76 73,46 48,76 15,97 10,70 15,80 10,45 16,48 10,87 16,78 10,79 17,28 11,52 15,73 9,58 17,58 11,65 1,47 1,91 1,16 34 42 49 50 48 41 32 11,42 8,05 12,89 8,71 13,92 9,60 2,86 2,06 2,85 2,06 ... do Imports of goods and services Merchandise, adjusted, excl. military... .—do— Direct defense expenditures do Payments of income on foreign investments in the U.S . mil. $ Other services .—do— -59,28 -39,78 -4,85 -5,16 -9,68 -65,48 -45,46 -4,82 -4,92 -10,25 -78,07 -55,68 -4,72 -14,92 -9,96 -1,21 -1,28 -2,47 -15,09 -10,26 -1,20 -1,21 -2,41 -6,06 -11,60 704 1.04 -4,60 80 3,63 — .do— Balance on goods and services, total -6,91 -2,69 2,17 18 Merchandise, adjusted, excl. military . . _—do— 74 r Revised. r> Preliminary. i Estimates (corrected for systematic biases) for Apr.June and July-Sept. 1973 based on expected capital expenditures of business. Expected 2 expenditures for the year 1973 appear on p. 11 of the June 1973 SURVEY. Includes communication, f See corresponding note on p. S-l. 9 Includes inventory valuation adjust ment. © Personal outlays comprise personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by 3,31 3,03 2,98 2,23 2,12 2,16 -15,53 -16,650 -17,00 -10,74 -11,708 -11,90 —1,20 -1,17 -1,214 -1,29 -1,13 -1,16 -2,59 -2,45 -2,59 17,463 11,53 28 P21.3 ?87. 7 119.6 P130. 1 52.7 P 5 7 . 5 66 9 v 72.6 26 9 45.2 40 0 -15.4 - 2 1 . 1 49.4 47 9 46 52 .32 3.95 3 45 50 2 87 4 94 1,019.0 r 149. 3 r 869. 7 r 818. 7 '51.0 .46 .68 .50 .46 .40 .42 4.75 4.00 5.24 4.36 2 8.66 2 8.57 .74 .88 96 19 i 98. 57 1101.80 38.01 35 51 37.05 19.68 17 88 19.14 18.34 17.91 17.63 63.79 61.52 60.68 2.90 2.68 2.59 2.05 1.75 2.11 2.03 2.58 2.21 1.61 1.58 1.53 20.18 18.68 18.38 17.22 15.92 15.40 9 Qfi 2.98 12. 34 2 35. 03 2 34. 25 21.53 p 22,42 P34 3,55 2,18 3,31 2,29 3,27 2,36 3,47 2,39 3,86 2,55 *>4,10 -16,29 -11,10 -1,23 -18,96 -13,47 —1,22 -18,88 -13,31 —1,24 -19,43 -13,93o —1,108 -20,79 -14,95 P-22,43 -1,34 -2,61 -1,42 -2,84 -1,47 -2,85 -1,52 -2,86 lie , 039. 4 P v 1fiQft i jfi -1,63 v -1,85 -3,04 p—3,12 V -87 *-96 -1,74 P706 -1,42 -93 28 13 -1,3" 95 -56 P-294 -38 -1,57 -1,77 12 -1,52 -1,82 -91 consumers, and personal transfer payments to foreigners. § Personal saving is excess of disposable income over personal outlays. . HData for individual durable and nondurable goods industries components appear in tae Mar., June, Sept., and Dec. issues of the SURVEY. d"More complete details appear in ino quarterly reviews in the Mar., June, Sept., and Dec. issues of the SURVEY. August 1973 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 1971 1970 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS S T A T I S T I C S 1970 1972 Annual total III S-3 1971 IV I II 1972 III IV I II 1973 III IV 1 II I III GENERAL BUSINESS INDICATORS—Quarterly Series—Continued U.S. BALANCE O F INTERNATIONAL PAYMENTS—Con. Quarterly Data Are Seasonally Adjusted Unilateral transactions (excl. military grants), net mil. $ . . -3,214 416 Balance on current account do Long-term capital, net: -2,018 U.S. Government do -1,429 Private do Balance on current account and long-term capital mil. $ -3,031 Nonliquid short-term private capital flows, net -482 mil. $ . . 867 Allocation of special drawing rights (SDR)...do -1,205 Errors and omissions, net do -839 -135 -803 151 -859 -728 -958 -678 -978 - 1 , 538 -969 -2,343 -938 -2,364 -954 -1,893 -373 -205 -680 -642 -895 -575 - 1 , 691 -598 2,018 -544 -53 201 -289 1,143 -95 604 -366 -393 -9,842 -356 -868 -1,386 -2,994 - 3 , 294 -1,881 -3,775 -1,855 -2,652 -1,637 -221 r-517 '-822 '-516 -535 -430 216 180 179 179 179 178 310 178 -33 ' 949 '-2,391 '-5,511 '-1,933 944 -940 -1,626 - 5 , 698 -9,448 -4,151 -647 -2,434 - 1 , 749 -6,345 -11, 882 - 5 , 900 -3,188 -288 -3,476 -2,307 1,456 -851 5,738 2,546 1,057 4,467 -17 366 221 280 27 -2 34 78 -3,598 -2,790 - 3 , 744 -8,353 -825 -2,359 -4,401 -1,339 -151 -9,550 -2,347 222 717 710 42 217 -10, 784 -3,112 -705 -906 -2,672 Net liquidity balance .. _ .do . . . -3,851 -21,965 -13,882 -802 3,542 -1,084 -2, 258 -2,958 -5,988 -7,788 Liquid private capital flows, net __do -9,839 -29, 753 -10,340 -1,886 -3,164 -5,630 Official reserve transactions balance do Changes in liabilities to foreign official agencies: 1,547 2,451 5,157 7,637 27, 615 9,720 Liquid mil. $ 399 -810 -551 -233 -188 -201 Other readily marketable do Nonliquid do Changes in U.S. official reserve assets, net .do Gross liquidity balance, excluding S D R do Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes areas shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 535 341 2,477 -4,466 2,348 -23, 779 1971 1972 189 77 -8 5,854 -160 -8 10,870 -173 -9 682 824 32 584 659 1,194 -187 429 -231 -15,826 -1,023 -1,000 -3,183 -5,801 -10,079 - 4 , 720 -4,168 -2,376 177 July Aug. Sept. -586 781 p -344 p —120 - 1 , 556 p-1,214 -982 P-1,420 177 -1,490 p-4,237 -4.531 -3,851 p-6,709 p-1,496 7 2,367 p-3,830 PI,959 -4, 524 -1,484 p-10,539 P463 -55 -5,118 1972 June Annual -12 ••-492 -881 p - 7 5 1 - 1 , 751 p -750 1,645 J>9,161 117 P1,202 P-907 P259 -167 p-44 P168 -111 P22O P17 -4,159 P - 8 , 6 3 1 P - 7 0 5 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July P GENERAL BUSINESS INDICATORS—Monthly Series P E R S O N A L I N C O M E , BY S O U R C E f Seasonally adjusted, at annual rates: Total personal income bil. $. 863.5 939.2 927.0 935.2 944.4 951.3 967.0 977.6 983.6 989.1 997.4 1,003.3 1,011.6 1,018.7 Wage and salary disbursements, total do Commodity-producing industries, total-do Manufacturing do Distributive industries do 573.3 206.3 160.5 138.3 627.8 226.0 175.9 151.5 624.6 224.6 174.8 151.3 627.0 224.4 174.9 151.6 632.6 227.4 177.0 152.4 638.7 230.1 179.3 153.6 643.8 232.8 181.6 155.2 648.4 235.0 183.8 155.6 654.0 236.8 185.6 157.2 661.7 239.2 187.1 158.7 667.2 242.2 189.6 159.3 671.1 243.5 190.6 160.6 677.6 245.9 192.9 162.2 682.0 248.3 194.7 163.2 • 688. 2 251. 7 197. 0 164. 5 692.9 253.5 198.2 165.3 Service industries Government Other labor income Proprietors' income: Business and professional Farm do_ do_. do_. 104.7 123.9 116.1 134.2 40.7 115.8 132.9 40.6 117.2 133.8 40.9 117.6 135.1 41.3 118.8 136.2 41.6 119.2 136.7 42.0 119.8 138.1 42.3 121.3 138.7 42.7 122.9 140.9 43.0 124.1 141.6 43.3 124.9 142.2 43.6 126.4 143.1 43.9 126.8 143.7 44.2 127.7 • 144.4 44.5 129.0 145.0 44.8 do. do. 51.9 16.8 54.0 20.2 52.4 19.6 54.0 19.3 54.5 19.8 54.3 20.3 55.1 20.8 55.1 22.4 55.6 22.3 56.1 24.0 56.3 24.3 56.4 24.6 56.8 24.2 57.1 24.4 ••57.3 24.6 57.6 24.5 24.5 25.1 73.0 93.2 24.1 26.0 78.0 103.0 19.8 25.9 78.2 100.2 24.4 26.1 78.3 100.6 25.2 26.3 78.5 101.3 25.1 26.2 78.9 101.4 25.1 26.3 79.6 109.7 24.7 26.3 80.4 113.7 24.9 26.5 81.1 112.6 24.8 26.8 81.9 112.5 24.8 26.9 82.6 113.8 24.6 27.0 83.4 114.5 24.3 27.3 84.5 115.3 24.6 27.3 85.7 115.9 24.9 27.4 '86.5 • 116. 0 25.0 27.6 87.6 117.2 35.4 35.4 42.5 '42.8 43.4 Rental income of persons do Dividends do Personal interest income do Transfer payments do Less personal contributions for social insurance bil. $.. 30.9 34.7 34.4 Total nonagricultural income do FARM INCOME AND MARKETINGS \ Cash receipts from farming, including Government payments, total! mil.$.. 55,950 911.5 900.1 Farm marketings and C C C loans, total Crops , Livestock and pproducts, total 9 Dairy Di products d t Meat animalss do.. do.. do.. do. d do_. Poultry and eggs do.. Indexes of cash receipts from marketings and CCC loans, unadjusted: % All commodities 1967=100.. Crops do Livestock and products do Indexes of volume of farm marketings, unadjusted: X All commodities 1967 = 100-. Crops do Livestock and products do 35.0 35.2 917.3 923.6 35.7 35.9 41.7 41.9 42.0 42.4 947.7 953.6 957.4 965.3 970.9 979.5 1,026. 6 1,033.9 • 994.2 1,001.4 64,632 4,310 7,431 5,469 5,520 7,453 7,220 5,963 6,295 4,814 5,112 4,560 5,148 5,582 52, 805 22,245 30,560 6,811 19,524 3,958 60,671 25,075 35,596 7,157 23,955 4,165 4,293 1,262 3,031 613 2,043 343 4,526 1,807 2,719 597 1,734 362 4,856 1,913 2,943 595 1,933 391 5,477 2,313 3,164 581 2,178 381 7,383 3,827 3,556 602 2,543 387 7,188 4,016 3,172 579 2,178 393 5,901 3,038 2,863 606 1,860 370 6,246 2,841 3,405 5,102 1,517 3,585 653 2,436 4,483 1,268 3,215 651 2,043 487 5,140 1,413 3,727 5,562 1,931 3,631 618 2,336 424 4,796 1,636 3,160 563 2,186 384 2,476 2,367 572 6,300 2,900 3,400 600 2,100 600 124 121 126 142 136 147 121 82 150 127 118 134 136 125 146 154 151 157 208 249 176 202 261 157 166 198 142 176 185 168 135 106 156 143 99 177 126 83 159 144 92 184 156 126 180 177 190 168 110 113 108 112 115 109 69 113 105 111 100 108 107 109 118 123 112 162 212 124 161 226 113 126 165 98 130 160 107 51 108 92 79 104 106 120 95 • 125. 3 128. 5 121.3 84 63 101 694 519 648 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION & Federal Reserve Board Index of Quantity Output Unadjusted, total index & By market groupings: Final products. Consumer goods Automotive products Home goods and clothing Equipment Materials By industry groupings: Manufacturing Durable manufactures Nondurable manufactures. _ 1 121. 6 • 122. 7 1120. 4 109.9 • 116.4 114.1 126.5 134.2 121.3 96.7 107.0 117.5 93.5 107.8 113.7 127.3 108.0 121.6 94.8 119.9 134.3 137.2 126.2 99.8 119.7 133.2 147.0 127.8 100.8 116.1 126.8 141.9 122.3 101.1 112.0 120.2 123.9 115.3 100.5 115.3 125.3 138.5 119.0 101.4 117.4 119.2 110.3 117.0 121.3 124.0 123.5 122.5 114.0 108.4 122.1 116.4 110.5 125.0 107.8 101.2 117.4 114.6 106.3 126.6 120.3 113.5 130.2 122.2 116.4 130.6 120.0 115.3 126.7 116.3 113.3 120.6 1967=100.. 106.8 _do. .do. do. do. do- 104.7 115.7 119.5 107.4 89.4 111.9 123.6 127.7 117.7 95.5 do. 107.4 do. do. do. 105.2 99.4 113.5 r 115. 2 • 117.1 Mining and utilities ...do. 130.4 118.9 123.2 125.1 124.1 r Revised. » Preliminary. fSee corresponding note on p . S-l. tSeries revised http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ beginning 1969; monthly data prior to May 1972 appear in the Farm Income Situation, July Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ' 117.3 • 118. 9 • 123. 6 124. 6 124. 5 119.1 129.2 149.1 126.9 104.9 120.0 130.8 151.5 130.2 105.0 118.9 129.2 147.6 129.2 104.6 119.8 130.0 147.4 128.5 105.6 124.4 135.3 150.5 133.4 109.2 118.2 127.2 122.7 118.5 105.8 122.8 128.6 129.2 129.9 130.3 131.7 121.9 117.6 114.9 121.5 123.2 121.0 126.3 124.6 122.5 127.7 124.7 122.4 128.0 125.6 123.0 129.3 128.8 125.8 133.1 121.0 118.2 125.2 128.7 125.7 123.5 122.7 131.2 126.5 123.8 125.2 128.6 127.5 125.0 cf Series revised back to 1970 to reflect new seasonal adjustment factors and production levels. Monthly revisions are available upon request. SURVEY OF CUEEENT BUSINESS S-4 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1972" 1971 1972 June Annual August 1973 July Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. June July GENERAL BUSINESS INDICATORS—Continued INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTIONJ—Continued Federal Reserve Index of Quantity Output—Con. 103.8 115.2 114.4 115.1 116.3 117.6 119.2 ' 120.2 121.1 122.2 ' 123.4 '123.7 124.8 '125.4 126.3 103.4 104.7 115.7 113.8 111.9 123.6 112.7 111.0 122.7 113.3 111.6 123.3 114.7 112.6 124.3 115.6 113.6 125.2 117.3 115.3 127.0 IIS. 6 116.3 127.4 119.1 116.8 127.7 120.7 118.6 129.8 121.5 119.3 130.2 121.7 119.6 130.8 122.0 120.0 130.9 122.9 120.8 131.4 123.2 121.2 131.5 124.1 122.0 132.2 115.1 119.5 108.3 140.9 125.7 127.7 112.7 156.5 125.0 125.1 108.2 157.5 124.5 125.3 108.2 158.0 124.9 126.0 109.5 158.1 125.7 125.4 109.6 155.8 129.1 132.3 118.9 158.0 131.0 13S.3 128.6 160.6 135,0 142.9 133.9 160.0 136.0 138.6 130.2 155.0 137.8 141.7 131.5 161.4 140.4 144.1 130.8 169.9 140.5 141.7 128.1 167.5 141.5 142.6 129.8 167.0 140.0 138.8 132.6 150.7 141.1 140.1 134.0 151.9 112.6 111.5 117.2 124.5 124.6 132.6 124.9 125.0 132.5 124.1 121.6 132.3 124.3 118.6 136.4 125.8 123.0 134.5 127.3 124.1 137.6 126.9 121.7 137.6 130.5 133.3 139.0 134.5 140.7 142.1 135.8 137.8 145.0 138.3 143.0 145.7 139.8 149.7 146.7 140.9 148.0 147.8 140.7 147.9 149.7 141.6 115.9 101.4 119.8 113.6 126.3 122.8 109.7 126.2 117.5 135.3 121.8 108.8 125.3 117.1 134.1 122.8 110.4 126.1 116.7 135.9 124.1 112.0 127.3 118.4 136.6 124.9 113.5 127.9 118.3 138.1 126.2 113.5 129.5 119.5 140.0 126.0 114.8 128.9 119.9 138.3 125.0 112.2 128.4 119.1 138.1 127.4 115.1 130.7 121.1 140.9 127. 3 115.2 130.5 121.5 140.0 127.1 115.4 130.3 120.9 140.1 127.2 114.5 130.6 121.0 140.7 127.6 113.8 131.2 121.0 141.9 128.2 128.7 131.3 121.3 141.9 132.0 121,4 143.1 Equipment do Business equipment do Industrial equipment $ do Building and mining equipment-do Manufacturing equipment do 89.4 98.8 92.9 92.9 82.6 95.5 108.1 102.5 104.8 92.7 94.7 104.7 101.1 104.9 90.9 95.3 105.5 102.4 106.0 93.2 96.3 107.2 104.0 103.9 96.1 97.7 109.6 107.9 10S.1 99.1 98.9 111.6 109.1 10S.3 101.0 100.7 113.4 110.4 108.7 102.6 101.5 114.4 111.5 112.3 102.5 102.9 116.9 113.0 113.0 104.7 104.1 118.2 114.5 115.1 106.1 104.1 118.6 115.6 116.0 107.5 104.7 119.6 117.4 118.1 109.4 105.8 121.3 119.2 118.8 112.0 106.8 122.7 120.9 121.0 113.5 107.9 123.1 121.1 120.9 114.5 Commercial, transit, farm eq$ ...do Commercial equipment do Transit equipment.. do 101.2 110.0 89.4 110,3 118.4 96.8 108.8 116.7 95.5 109.1 118.6 92.5 110.9 120.4 93.0 111.6 122.4 92.9 114.4 123.9 96.8 116.6 125.5 101.9 117.6 126.5 101.7 121.4 128.8 110.0 122. 4 129.9 111.8 121.9 130.6 110.2 122.2 131.3 107.5 123.7 131.6 109.8 124.7 133.2 110.4 125.4 133.8 110.4 Seasonally adjusted, total indexj 1987=100.. By market groupings:! Products, total. do.... Final products do.... Consumer goods .-..do— Durable consumer goods .....do Automotive products do Autos. do Auto parts and allied goods do— Home goods9 do,. Appliances, TV, home audio...do,. Carpeting and furniture do.. nondurable consumer goods Clothing Consumer staples. _ Consumer foods and tobacco Nonfood staples do do.. do.. do. do.. r 124.1 do. 77.1 77.9 78.1 78.3 78.1 77.6 77.9 79.6 80.1 79.8 80.6 80.1 80.0 79.9 80.6 82.4 do do. do 112.6 112.6 112.6 121.1 120.8 121.3 119.4 118.5 120.2 119.8 118.0 121.3 122.3 121.2 123.0 122.8 122.9 122.8 124.7 125.6 123.9 127.6 130.0 125.9 127.7 128.7 126.9 128.4 129.6 127.4 129.5 130.3 128.9 129.4 130.7 128.3 129.3 132.2 127.0 130.6 132.0 129.4 131.0 134.4 128.3 131.6 134.5 Materials do. Durable goods materials $ do Consumer durable paits do Equipment parts do. Nondurable goods materials $ do. Textile, paper and chem. materials...do Fuel and power, industrial do 107.4 101.7 104.2 87.1 114.1 116.6 116.3 117.4 113.5 113.8 99.3 122.5 129.2 120.9 117.1 112.6 111.6 98.0 122.8 128.5 121.9 117.8 113.0 113.2 100.2 124.0 131.0 122.8 118.8 114.5 115.5 100.1 124.7 132.5 121.1 120.9 118.1 118.1 103.1 124.6 132.0 124.5 122.3 120.2 119.0 107.5 125.3 132.9 123.2 122.8 121.4 120. 5 103. 7 124.6 132.9 122.6 124.4 123.5 123.6 112.0 126.4 136.0 119.5 124.5 124.1 123.9 111.6 126.3 136.0 120.6 126.7 126.6 125.4 113.0 127. 7 136.5 122.7 127.0 127.6 125.9 114.6 127.1 136.3 122.6 127.7 127.9 129.0 113.8 128.5 138.8 122.1 127.7 128.0 125.7 117.9 128-3 138.4 122,7 129.2 130.3 129.4 118.0 129,0 139.4 123.4 130.2 131.6 130.0 119.5 129.7 140.5 124.0 do-. do,. ..do.. do.. do.. do.. do.. 105.2 99.4 104.0 100.9 96.6 108.7 107.5 114.0 108.4 113.9 113.1 107.1 123.6 114.8 113.1 107.5 112.8 111.3 102.7 125.1 114.5 114.3 108.8 114.7 115.1 108.1 123.0 114.3 115.4 109.7 115.3 114.3 108.1 124.8 116.6 117.0 111.6 118.8 119.7 114.7 128.4 118.0 118.5 113.8 121.3 122.1 118.4 131.5 120.4 119. 5 115.3 122. 6 122.9 119.2 132. 0 122. 2 120.4 116.3 124.0 125.4 120.0 134.0 122.3 121.4 117.5 124.3 123.1 118.6 130.0 125.7 122.7 118.7 125.4 124.7 120.0 133.9 126.2 123.4 119.9 125.8 123.5 117.5 134.4 128.4 123.8 120.6 127.3 125.8 119.7 137.8 128.9 124.9 121.7 127.0 124,2 119.8 129.7 130.1 125.2 122.5 129.0 125.0 120.0 133.1 133.4 126.6 123.9 130.1 126.0 120.0 do dodo do 94.9 96.2 94.3 98.3 103.5 107.5 105.7 109,6 102.7 108.6 104.4 108.8 103.7 108.4 107.0 109.9 104.6 109.7 109.8 109.5 106.0 111.8 111.7 112.0 108.2 114.0 113.5 114.7 110.1 115. 7 115.3 116.1 111.2 116.8 114.4 119.6 112.5 118.4 116.3 120.8 113.7 119.1 117.3 121.2 115.1 121.4 119.0 123.9 115.7 122.6 121.5 123.8 117.2 124.6 123.0 126.2 118.0 126.0 124.9 127.3 119.1 126.8 126.0 127.6 do do do. do. 114.1 72.5 108.5 99.0 123.1 75.8 120.2 97.4 119.6 76.1 120.7 97.7 120.2 76.0 121.7 98.1 121.0 76.1 122.7 99.5 122. 9 77.2 124.3 102.7 128.7 77.6 125.0 105.0 132.3 78.7 125.1 106.6 135.9 78.3 126.6 107.6 139.3 no,o 130.1 141.5 79.7 131.9 110.3 141.0 80.8 133.8 110.0 140.1 81.1 134.7 111.0 140.9 82.2 138.9 110.7 142.5 80.1 138.9 111.9 144.1 80.8 139.7 Lumber, clay, and glass do Lumber and products.. _..do Clay, glass, and stone products do 111.5 113.9 110.0 120.0 122.4 118.6 118.5 121.2 117.0 120.0 122.5 118.6 121.0 121.8 120.4 121.9 123.6 120.9 124.9 127.3 123.5 124.5 126. 8 123.1 123.7 122.7 124.3 126.4 125.8 126.8 127.3 128. 5 126.6 129.1 129.5 128.9 129.9 129.1 130.4 130.3 127.4 132.0 128.9 125.9 130.8 131.0 Furniture and miscellaneous Furniture and fixtures Miscellaneous manufactures 111. 7 102.1 120.5 122,7 113.5 131.1 122.1 112.8 130.6 123.7 115.5 131.0 126.2 116.4 135.1 126.6 116.7 135.6 126.9 117.6 135.4 126.6 118.5 134.0 127.7 120.3 134.5 130.3 119.1 140.5 132.8 122.3 142.4 133.4 122.8 143.0 133.1 123.8 141.6 136.1 126.5 144.7 135.0 128.5 141.1 138.7 do . do ..do do... do 113.6 100.7 108.6 97.8 87.4 122.1 108.1 117.4 105.7 88.9 121.4 107.5 116.4 104.4 92.2 122.5 109.0 118.7 106.0 90.1 123.6 109.7 120.8 106.8 86.5 124.8 111.2 121.1 108.3 91.6 125.2 112.1 123.2 109.5 88.0 125.6 113.0 125.7 110.1 85.9 126.2 113.2 124.2 111.1 87.4 127.0 113.4 125.3 112.3 81.3 128.4 114.4 126.1 112.6 85.1 128.6 114.6 127.1 112.4 85.0 128.4 114.0 126.1 111.7 129.9 114.4 127.3 112.1 83.0 129.3 114.7 129.6 130.4 116.2 do. doWVVVV"" do... 107.8 115.8 102.5 116.1 128.2 107.9 114.6 125.1 107.3 117.0 131.0 107.6 117.6 130.5 108.7 117.7 130.1 109.4 119.9 131.1 112.4 120.0 131.3 112.6 120.3 133.6 111.3 120.0 131.8 112.1 121.5 134.1 113.0 122.4 137.1 112.4 120.8 133.6 112.2 122.0 135.1 113.2 120.1 130.6 113.1 124.8 126.4 115.7 126.0 137.8 139.6 120.6 145.5 136.9 138.3 117.7 146.8 138.5 140.0 120.5 147.8 140.0 141.3 121.0 150.6 142.2 144.8 121.3 149.8 141.6 143.9 123.8 148.4 142.0 143.2 124.4 151.5 143.8 144.7 125.5 154.7 145.5 146.4 127.3 157.1 146.3 147.2 124.1 160.4 146.3 146.8 123.5 163.4 147.9 147.8 126.9 165.1 149.6 149.2 128.9 166.8 149.7 129.3 166.3 113.7 114.9 97.7 117.6 118.6 103.7 117.9 119.5 96.4 117.0 118.5 96.7 118.3 119.0 108.5 118.6 119.8 103.0 118.5 119.0 111.8 119.0 119.4 112.5 118.5 119.7 102.5 119.6 120.5 107.9 122.0 122.9 110.3 121.5 121.8 118.1 120.7 121.3 112.9 123.2 124.2 111.2 121.8 122.6 122.0 123.0 118.9 107.0 121.4 93.2 107.6 99.8 108. 108.3 124.1 108.8 120.9 98.1 109.2 104.2 110.0 107.3 123.2 108.6 108.0 96.6 110.4 109.0 110.7 108.8 124.0 108.6 109.8 96.8 110.3 109.0 110,5 108.6 124.8 108.8 118.6 98.5 109.3 97.8 111.1 108.8 126.5 110.8 124.8 101.1 110.8 105.2 111.8 108.4 126.6 110.2 122.8 102.0 110.1 100.8 111.5 107.9 126.7 109.7 124.7 104.4 109. 0 102.6 110.0 107.0 126.1 108.2 128.1 104.0 10S.8 98.6 108.2 106.4 127.3 108.5 130.3 108.9 106.5 99.1 107.7 105.5 128.0 110.2 131.9 107.8 108. 103.9 109.1 108.7 127.3 109.5 127.8 109.4 107.6 105.7 107.9 103.7 126.6 109.0 128.5 108.8 107.1 99.9 108.3 103.6 126.8 108.8/ 127.4 108/4 107.0 100.9 107.9 104.0 126.8 109.3 121.1 104.8 108.7 106.4 109.1 105.1 127.7 110.6 133.9 138.1 119.8 143.4 149.4 123.4 141.5 147.4 122.5 143,3 149.5 122.9 144.9 151.3 123.1 148.2 148.5 146.4 147.1 151.0 155.6 153.1 154.2 155.2 159.1 124.9 123.7 124.0 124.3 tSee note marked "c?" on p. S-3. 150.5 158.3 149.6 157.4 148,7 156.2 149.5 156,8 148.8 156.1 149.0 156.4 Defense and space equipment Intermediate products Construction products Misc. intermediate products By industry groupings:!: Manufacturing, total Durable manufactures _ Primary and fabricated metals Primary metals Iron and steel Nonferrous metals Fabricated metal products Machinery and allied goods 9 Machinery Nonelectrical machinery.. _ Electrical machinery Transportation equipment Motor vehicles and parts Aerospace and misc. trans, eq Instruments do. - . do. I -. do... - Nondurable manufactures Textiles, apparel, and leather Textile mill products Apparel products Leather products Paper and printing. Paper and products Printing and publishing Chemicals, petroleum, and r u b b e r - . . d o . . Chemicals and products do.. Petroleum products do.. Rubber and plastics products do.. Foods and tobacco. Foods Tobacco products do VV.VV.'.VVV"do" Mining and utilities.. Mining IVVVVVVVVVAOV * do ^ "* Stone and earth minerals". Coal, oil and gas Coal "II Oil and gas extraction"I do" do" <J0~" "do Metal mining.."IIIIH Crude oil Utilities. do" ~ IHIIIIIIIIdo." R e v ised. v Preliminary. 9 Includes data for items not shown separately fEevised data for 1966-72 for the indicated series appear on pp. 24-25 of the Oct 1972and p. 7 of the July 1973 issue of the SURVEY. See also notes marked "f" on pp. 8-11 and S-12. 77.1 134.8 86.5 122.1 150.7 151.3 109.4 109.4 109.4 CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1971 1972 1972 Annual S-5 June July Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July GENERAL BUSINESS INDICATORS—Continued BUSINESS SALES § Mfg. and trade sales (unadj.), total t- mil. 3 1,347,209 1,496,165 129,379 116,846 126,226 130,245 133,059 133,511 136,768 125,858 130,874 144,004 141,559 147,013 150,140 Mfg. and trade sales (seas, adj.), total f do.. 11,347,209 U,496,165 122,347 122,783 126,792 127,656 130,336 131,918 133,483 136,863 138,910 141,010 141,274 142,694 142,446 Manufacturing, total % _ Durable goods industries Nondurable goods industries.. Ketail trade,total t Durable goods stores Nondurable goods stores Merchant wholesalers, total... Durable goods establishments Nondurable goods establishments do.. do.. do. do.. do. ...do. do— do do 1671,002 1749,587 359,371 406,707 311,631 342,880 61. 295 61,047 32, 019 32,803 28; 376 28, 244 63.686 34.687 28,999 64,503 35,249 29, 254 65,451 36, 302 29,149 66,993 36,870 30,123 67,104 36,614 30,490 68,401 37, 773 30,628 69, 245 38.122 31.123 69, 719 38, 064 31, 655 70,468 38,651 31,817 •71,284 39,284 32,000 71,545 39,240 32,305 408,850 ^448,379 131,814 149,659 277,036 298,720 3o,R22 12,253 24,569 37,342 12,468 24,874 37,969 12,842 25,127 37,746 12,614 25,132 39,106 13,168 25,938 38,713 13,173 25,540 39,417 13,640 25,777 40, 707 14, 234 26,473 41,242 14,405 26,837 41, 979 14, 612 27,367 41,185 14,339 41,735 14,299 27,436 41,218 13,698 27,522 267,357 1298,199 122,420 138,446 144,937 159,753 24.230 24,394 11,248 11,326 12,982 13,068 25,137 11,802 13,335 25,407 11,918 13,489 25,779 12,016 13,763 26,212 12,155 14,057 26, 962 12, 546 14,416 27, 755 12, 974 14, 781 28,423 13,181 15,242 29,312 13, 720 15,592 29,621 13,806 15,815 29,675 29,683 13,964 1 13,898 15,711 i 15,785 186,943 187,113 192,435 195,104 192,593 195,042 198,076 201,231 202,919 '204,647 1205,778 194,151 187,681 189,093 190,486 191,583 192,921 194,151 196,295 198,172 199,525 200,787 '202,896 1205,505 107,719 70, 218 37, 501 54,700 24,442 30,258 31,732 18,884 12,848 104,685 67,734 36,951 105,822 68, 568 37, 254 106,168 68, 875 37,293 52,940 23,194 29,746 53,661 109,082 71,136 37,946 56,039 24,638 31,401 30,657 18,239 12,418 106,617 69.308 37.309 53,934 23, 675 30,259 31,032 18,296 12,736 BUSINESS INVENTORIES § Mfg. and trade inventories, book value, end of year or month (unadj.), total f mil. $.. 181,847 Mfg. and trade inventories, book value, end of year or month (seas, adj.), total f ..mil $.. 183,622 Manufacturing, totalt Durable goods industries Nondurable goods industries Retail trade, total f _•_ Durable goods stores.. Nondurable goods stores Merchant wholesalers, total Durable goods establishments Nondurable goods establishments -do— 102,445 do 66,050 do— do.... 52,261 do.... 23,808 do 28,453 28,916 -do 17,254 do 11,662 do BUSINESS INVENTORY-SALES RATIOS Manufacturing and trade, total t ratio. Manufacturing, totalt Durable goods industries Materials and supplies Work in process Finished goods - - Nondurable goods industries Materials and supplies Work in process Finished goods __ Retail trade, total t Durable goods stores Nondurable goods stores -__. Paper and allied products Chemicals and allied products Petroleum and coal products Rubber and plastics products r.-u K l -' 2 "-8 -.11 30,056 18,182 11,874 53,107 23,037 30,070 30,164 17,984 12,180 30,053 106,974 69,613 37,361 107,719 70, 218 37, 501 108,187 70,590 37,597 54,658 24,235 30,423 31,289 18,628 12,661 54,700 24,442 30,258 31,732 18, 884 12,848 55,526 24,472 31,054 32,582 19,229 13,353 110,174 71. 873 38, 301 33,051 19,321 13,730 56,106 24, 538 31,068 33,245 19, 457 13,788 110,577 72,213 38,364 56,636 24,624 32,012 111,625 1113,039 72,! 73,736 •38,758 39,303 57,285 58,079 25,094 25,454 32,191 32,625 33,5.74 33,986 i 34,388 19,496 19,929 i 20,302 14,078 r14,057 I 14,086 1.51 1.53 1.53 1.49 1.49 1.47 1.46 1.45 1.43 1.43 1.41 1.42 '1.42 1.44 -do,. do.. do.. -—do.. do.. 1.82 2.22 .65 1.67 2.00 .57 .90 .53 1.70 2,05 .57 ,92 ,55 1.71 2.06 .59 .92 .55 1.66 1.98 .56 .88 .53 1.65 1.95 .55 .88 .52 1.63 1.91 .55 .87 .50 1.60 1.89 .54 ,86 .49 1.61 1.92 .55 .87 .50 1.58 1.87 .54 .85 .48 1.58 1.87 .54 .85 1.58 1.89 .54 .87 .48 1.57 1.87 .54 .86 .47 1.57 '1.85 .54 .85 .47 1.58 1.88 .55 do_ do.. do.. do.. 1.37 .51 .21 .65 1.29 .48 .20 .61 1.30 .48 .20 .61 1.31 .49 .20 .62 1.28 .48 .20 .61 1.27 .47 .20 .60 1.28 .47 .20 .60 1.24 .46 .20 .59 1.23 .45 .20 .58 1.23 .46 .19 .58 1.22 .46 .19 .57 1.21 .46 .19 .56 1.21 .46 .19 1.21 .46 .19 .56 do.. do. do.. 1.47 2.06 1.19 1.42 1.90 1.19 1.45 1.5)3 1-21 1.42 1.86 1.20 1.40 1.79 1.20 1.42 1.87 1.20 1.38 1.80 1.17 1.41 1.84 1.19 1.39 1.79 1.17 1.36 1.72 1.17 1.36 1.71 1.17 1.34 1.68 1.15 1.38 1.72 1.19 '1.37 ' 1.75 '1.17 1.22 .47 .19 .56 1.41 1.86 1.19 1.23 1.60 .92 1.21 1.55 .91 1.22 1.58 .91 1.23 1.61 .91 1.20 1.52 .91 1.21 1.53 .92 1.20 1.52 1.19 1.53 1.18 1.51 1.17 1.48 .90 1.16 1.47 .90 1.13 1.42 1.13 1.41 .89 1.15 1.43 1.16 1.46 .89 21,583 25,108 i 097 1,738 1,951 1,997 2,201 2,111 2,145 2,288 2,268 2,218 2,171 2,446 2,217 2,153 2,289 2,427 2,499 2,699 2,518 2,530 2,487 2,759 2,660 2,638 2,572 65,260 56,394 61,578 67,168 67,222 66,567 63,675 63,764 70,335 72,843 72,014 1,810 4,341 2,101 1,610 32,367 2,072 4,743 2,295 1,761 36,579 37,058 2,064 2,092 5,122 5,138 2,481 2,449 1,932 1,899 36,503 1,987 5, 025 2,479 1,811 34,636 1,736 5,051 2,518 1,806 35,061 1,752 5,242 2,679 1,815 1, 5,793 2,891 2,084 40,328 2, 051 6,030 3,012 2,153 39,942 '40,707 42,641 2,064 ' 2,182 2,264 6,028 '•6,195 ' 6,402 3,034 3,134 2,946 2,368 2,222 ' 2,253 2~5~605~ 3,568 4,663 4,201 6,610 3,681 1,056 3,992 4,867 4,584 7,086 3,895 1,119 4,242 5,230 3,866 5,326 4,959 9,134 5,520 1,175 3,860 5,316 4,644 9,784 6,710 1,047 4,372 5,903 5,178 10,769 7,134 1,138 4,403 6,294 5,345 10,854 7,097 1,182 4,426 ' 4,503 6,216 ' 6,199 5,192 '5, 111 10,663 '11,151 6,741 ' 7,006 1,170 ' 1,170 4,736 6,731 5,614 11,249 7,176 1,265 2 9, 295 32,072 '31,884 10,683 '10,740 483 '526 2,501 ' 2,549 11, 313 545 2,734 '2,699 ' 5,784 ' 2,781 ' 1,716 2,812 5,999 2,983 1,807 Merchant wholesalers, total do... Durable goods establishments do.__ Nondurable goods establishments do... MANUFACTURERS* SALES, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS Manufacturers' export sales: Durable goods industries: Unadjusted, total ._ mil. $.. Seasonally adj., total do. Bhipments (not seas, adj.), totalt Durable goods industries, total? t Stone, clay, and glass products Primary metals Blast furnaces, steel mills Nonferrous metals _ Fabrlcated metal products Machinery, except electrical Electrical machinery Transportation equipment Motor vehicles and parts Instruments and related products N ondurable goods industries, total 9 Food and kindred products Tobacco products. Textile mill products.. 192,593 _.do_ do.. do_ do_. do. do.. do.. do_ _._do_. do_. do_ do_ _.do.. do.. do.. do.. do.. do.. do.. do.. 671,002 749,587 359,371 18,535 53,067 25,790 20,170 406, 707 35, 793 22,344 1, 976 57,941 •V074 28,109 2, 447 21,392 1,865 42,026 47,098 55, 559 61,024 49,169 55,950 90,941 105,340 58,138 66,762 13,393 12,275 311.631 342,880 103.632 114,496 5,863 5,528 24,030 26,726 25,459 51,872 17,044 28, 278 57,437 29,932 19,185 4,182 5,512 4, 826 9. 148 5, 909 3,141 29.462 26,762 9. 768 9,073 515 489 2,451 1,931 ?, 460 5,027 2. 505 1,066 2,217 4,382 2,490 1,419 4,261 5,398 5,021 9,543 6,247 1,242 10,155 6,629 1,209 3,974 5,130 5,109 10, 208 6,670 1,232 29, 211 30,589 9,639 10,375 502 509 2,313 30,164 10,012 495 2,323 30,064 10,126 515 2,368 10,183 489 2,294 28,703 9,687 475 2,215 31,349 10,380 478 2,451 32,515 11,032 486 2,687 2,470 4,979 2,528 1,718 2,406 4,845 2,618 1,604 2,288 4,740 2,685 1,490 2,432 4,885 2,649 1,560 2,566 5,579 2,723 1,709 2,652 5,741 2, 675 1,766 2,411 4,798 2,553 1,636 2,456 5,076 2,611 1,735 2,628 5,910 2,723 1,796 •72,591 I 76,232 37,233 64,503 65,451 Shipments (seas, adj.), totalt do.. Cl,295 61,047 67,104 68,401 69,245 69,719 70,468 '71,284 71,545 By industry group: 32,919 34,687 35,249 36,302 36,870 36,614 37,773 38,122 38,064 38,651 '39,284 • 39,257 2 41,410 Durable goods industries, total 91 do.. 2,067 1,968 2,013 2,042 2,068 2,029 ' 2,096 1,804 1,940 1,926 1,964 2,025 1, Stone, clay, and glass products do.. 5,652 5,634 4. 590 5,471 ' 5,710 ' 5,789 2 6,103 5,002 5,212 5,437 5,349 5,567 5,449 4,728 Primary metals do.. 2,797 2,820 2,784 2; 160 2,413 2,583 2,595 2,704 2,766 2,226 2,730 2,823 2,751 Blast furnaces, steel mills do. 2,031 2,033 1, 725 1,863 1,903 1,910 1,859 2,188 2,081 ' 2,115 1,815 1,957 1,909 Nonferrous metals _ _ do. Fabricated metal products do.. 4,093 4,362 ' 4,487 4,415 3. 904 3,985 4,264 4,449 4,330 4,015 4,047 3,822 3,931 6,128 5,975 ' 6,047 Machinery, except electrical do.. 5,297 5,635 5, 005 5,221 5,684 5,818 5,196 5,488 5,534 5,103 5,289 5,393 ' 5,296 Electrical machinery do.. 5,141 4,756 5, 215 4, 538 4,677 4,695 5,085 4,937 4,901 4,610 10,018 Transportation equipment do.. 9,765 10,105 '10,317 ' 10,229 211,288 9,153 9,820 8. 295 9,411 10,259 9,915 9,601 8,040 6,254 6,407 Motor vehicles and parts . do_ 6,342 5,840 6,266 5,157 6,076 6,650 6,395 6,253 6,398 6,194 4,833 1,186 1,194 '1,171 1,170 1,181 Instruments and related products do_ 1,115 1,158 1, 071 1,140 1,163 1,206 1,181 1,130 2 ' Revised. 1 Based on data not seasonally adjusted. Advance estimate; total mfrs. ing are shown below and on p. S-6; those for wholesale and retail trade on pp. S-ll and S-12 shipments for June 1973 do not reflect revisions for selected components. §The term "busifSee corresponding ncte on p. S-4 and note marked "t" on pp. S-ll and S-12. JSee ness" here includes only manufacturing and trade; business inventories as shown on p. S-l corresponding note on p. S-7. $ Includes data for items not shown separately. cover data for all types of producers, both farm and nonfarm. Unadjusted data for manufactur- CURRENT BUSINESS SURVEY S-6 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of B U S I N E S S STATISTICS 1971 | 1972 1972 Annual August 1973 June July Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June GENERAL BUSINESS INDICATORS—Continued MANUFACTURERS' SALES, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERSJ—Continued Shipments (seas, adj.)%—Continued By industry group: Nondurable goods industries, total 9 - - .mil. $. Food and kindred products do Tobacco products do Textile mill products do Paper and allied products do— Chemicals and allied products do Petroleum and coal products do Rubber and plastics products do___ By market category:% Home goods and apparel do Consumer staples.. . do Equipment and defense prod., excl. auto.do Automotive equipment do Construction materials and supplies do Other materials and supplies do Supplementary series:$ Household durables do Capital goods industriesd". do Nondefense do Defense do 28,376 9,497 478 2,310 2,348 4,752 2,434 1,558 28, 244 9,425 478 2,239 2,357 4,752 2,503 .,538 28, 999 9,696 491 2,269 2,384 4,886 2,544 1,636 29, 254 9,817 485 2,312 2,387 4,874 2,584 1,700 29,149 9,637 497 2,133 2,421 4,982 2,550 1,659 30,123 10, 008 511 2,331 2,446 5,072 2,640 1,662 30, 490 10,284 501 2,381 2,433 5,314 2,668 1,648 30, 628 10,303 505 2,420 2,522 5,245 2,667 1,681 31,123 10, 454 503 2,477 2,520 5,464 2,674 1,687 31, 655 10, 866 498 2,532 2,548 5,488 2,702 1,679 31,817 10, 926 499 2,541 2,609 5,409 2,745 1,698 32, 000 32, 305 10,872 10,996 520 505 ' 2,611 2,574 ' 2, 715 2,688 ' 5,387 5,628 ' 2, 819 2,913 ' 1, 663 1,688 165,346 133,517 191, 798 168,594 156,389 1255,358 171,555 146,257 103.198 179,835 163,500 285,242 5,870 12,145 8,538 6,198 5,216 23,328 5,823 12, 039 8,655 5,847 5,220 23,463 12,383 8,746 6,982 5,376 24,191 6,087 12,411 8,727 7,223 5,389 24, 666 6,141 12,335 8,989 7,415 5,484 25,087 6,543 12, 741 9,241 7,567 5,580 25,321 6,354 12, 936 9,172 7,334 5,547 25, 761 6,473 12, 961 9,638 7,703 5,715 25, 911 6,554 13,148 9,496 7,558 5,979 26, 510 13,532 9,467 7,518 5,943 26, 620 6,761 ' 6, 682 6,655 13,559 • 13, 570 13,622 10, 025 •10,192 10,325 7,482 ' 7,560 7,421 5,939 '6,079 6,039 26, 702 •27,201 27,483 127,210 1109,058 189,567 119,491 131,354 121,611 1103,294 18,317 2, 545 10, 060 8,606 1,454 2,597 10,134 8,578 1,556 2,695 10, 268 8,780 1,488 2,698 10, 256 8,705 1,551 2,734 10,539 8,966 1,573 2,922 10, 737 9,165 1,572 2,825 10, 681 9,121 1,560 2,835 11,295 9,597 1,698 2,929 11,161 9,531 1,630 2,968 11,155 9,490 1,665 3,011 ' 2, 993 11, 695 •11,844 10,055 •10,098 1,640 ' 1, 746 2,975 11,964 10,381 1, 583 dodo.. do.. 102,130 65, 620 36, 510 107,415 69,803 37, 612 104,496 67, 733 36, 763 104,248 67, 613 36, 635 105,552 68, 639 36, 913 105,311 "1,529 36, 782 106,105 ' 1,958 37,147 106,623 107.415 "1,334 69, 803 37, 289 37, 612 108,572 70, 625 37, 947 109,737 71, 453 38, 284 110,837 72,390 38, 447 111,469 112,604 72,884 •73,562 38, 585 39, 042 13,203 73,856 39,347 do. 102, 445 107, 719 104,260 104,685 105,822 106,168 106,617 106,974 107,719 108,187 109,082 110,174 110,577 111,625 13, 039 do. do. do do. do. 66, 050 2,362 9,219 4,913 3,393 70, 218 2,463 9,658 5,268 3,354 67,502 2,379 9,691 5,357 3,400 67, 734 2,376 9,728 5,394 3,400 2,420 9,801 5,410 3,444 68, 875 2,442 9,799 5,442 3,406 69,308 2,454 9,716 5,393 3,362 69, 613 2,454 9,670 5,356 3,325 70, 218 2,463 9,658 5,268 3,354 70,590 2,468 9,575 5,161 3,364 71,136 2,446 9,483 5,043 3,384 71,873 2,495 9,365 4,915 3,391 72, 213 2,477 9,425 4,925 3,421 72,867 73, 736 ' 2,524 2,607 r 9,425 9,379 ' 4, 940 4,825 ' 3,403 3,458 7,539 13,735 9,756 14,836 4,202 2,546 7,832 14,386 10,381 16,150 4,589 2,717 7.475 7,397 13, 727 13,725 9,981 9,943 15,370 15,527 4,486 4,403 2,592 2,649 7,623 7,536 13,819 13, 969 10, 084 10,158 15, 956 15, 822 4,623 4,798 2,679 2,663 7,781 7,762 14, 010 14,175 10,197 10, 279 15,931 15, 979 4,659 4,603 2,715 2,719 7,832 14,386 10,381 16,150 4,589 2,717 7,887 14, 482 10, 654 16,217 4,530 2,659 8,062 14,652 10, 768 16,320 4,553 2,627 8,203 8,113 ' 8,189 8,238 14,843 14, 975 15,172 15,402 10, 954 11,030 11,211 11,337 16, 492 16,604 16,634 16,872 4,644 4,732 ' 4,799 4,933 2,698 2,713 ' 2,744 2,801 By stage of fabrication^ Materials and supplies 9 do.. Primary metals do.. Machinery (elec. and nonelec.)._.do_. Transportation equipment do.. 19,270 3,315 6,121 3,253 20, 010 18,900 3,283 3,351 6,071 6,516 3,022 3,016 19,596 3,304 6,156 3,247 19, 790 19, 902 3,271 3,280 6,303 6,411 3,169 3,071 20,010 3,283 6,516 3,022 20,252 3,309 6,640 3,035 20,463 3,302 6,744 3,034 20, 659 20, 887 3,267 3,328 6,857 7,017 3,139 3,081 Work in process 9 do.. Primary metals do. Machinery (elec. and nonelec.)___do_ Transportation equipment do. 29,142 3,175 10, 492 10,038 32, 074 30,380 30,323 30, 563 30, 932 3,520 3,526 3,485 3,448 3,476 11, 250 10, 648 10, 647 10, 775 10, 871 11, 774 10, 805 10, 902 10, 885 11, 066 31,412 3,484 10,931 11,389 31, 639 3,451 11,077 11,539 32,074 32, 286 32,559 33, 005 33,114 33, 318 33,631 3,485 3,474 3,466 3,509 ' 3,544 3,464 3,488 11, 250 11,414 11,526 11,741 11, 801 11,964 12,146 11, 774 11, 860 11, 952 12, 036 12,064 11,999 12,130 Finished goods 9 do. Primary metals do. Machinery (elec. and nonelec.)___do_. Transportation equipment do. 17, 638 2,729 6,878 1,545 18,134 2,890 7,001 1,354 18,385 2,987 7,011 1,649 18.106 2,961 6,973 1,373 18.072 2,939 6,966 1,369 18,134 2,890 7,001 1,354 18,052 2,792 7,082 1,322 18,114 2,693 7,150 1,334 18, 209 18, 212 18,351 18,640 2,632 2,588 r 2,533 2,544 7,199 7,187 ' 7, 262 7,354 1, 375 1,401 1,458 1,440 Nondurable goods industries, total9-.do Food and kindred products do. Tobacco products do_ Textile mill products do. Paper and allied products do. Chemicals and allied products do Petroleum and coal products do Rubber and plastics products do By stage of fabrication:J Materials and supplies do. Work in process do_ Finished goods do. 36,395 9,298 2,157 3,806 2,846 6,877 2,367 2,202 37,501 36, 758 9,316 9,421 2,154 2,369 4,044 3,988 2,830 2,875 6,882 7,018 2,326 2,300 2,305 2,383 36, 951 37, 254 37, 293 37,309 9,566 9,471 9,435 9,448 2,228 2,263 2,157 2,279 3,992 3,972 3,998 4,029 2,844 2,870 2,830 2,861 6,930 6,962 6,916 6,999 2,350 2,374 2,336 2,351 2,338 2,322 2,310 2,324 37,361 9.434 2,319 4,034 2,871 7,019 2,345 2,345 37, 501 37, 597 9,421 9,595 2,369 2,338 4,044 4,060 2,882 2,875 7,002 7,018 2,262 2,300 2,380 2,383 37, 946 9,723 2,343 4,106 2,885 6,992 2,280 2,391 38,301 38,364 •38,758 39,303 9,830 9,760 ' 9,864 10, 019 2,326 2,333 ' 2, 352 2,350 4,192 4,255 ' 4, 295 4,323 2,912 2,915 ' 2, 948 2,994 6,955 6,998 ' 7, 036 7,028 2,268 2,345 ' 2,321 2,384 2,397 2,389 ' 2,457 2,487 13,578 5,647 17,170 13,865 13,708 5,968 5,722 17, 668 17,328 13, 706 13,776 13,827 5,871 5,813 5,751 17,494 17, 665 17,595 13, 780 13, 808 5,928 5,927 17, 601 17, 626 13,865 13, 965 5," 5,960 17, 668 17,672 14, 251 6,006 17, 689 14, 406 14,531 •14,660 15,025 6,093 ' 6,134 6,157 6,048 17, 848 17, 740 ' 17, 964 18,121 do___ do do... do do___ do___ 10, 891 14, 020 25, 659 5,547 8,432 37,896 11,852 14, 373 27, 251 6,081 8,931 39,231 11,440 14,156 26, 013 5,950 8,427 38, 699 11, 629 14, 295 26, 612 6,153 8,830 39,098 11,703 14,314 26, 917 6,113 8,801 39,126 11,852 11, 929 14,373 14,374 27, 251 27,452 6,097 6,081 8,942 8,931 39, 231 39,393 12, 208 14, 474 27, 656 6,152 8,950 39,642 12, 404 14, 575 27,931 6,264 9,062 39, 938 do__. do... do... do 5,054 29,030 24, 445 4,585 5,376 5,401 5,562 5,315 5,342 5,446 30, 771 29,368 29, 421 29, 633 29, 867 29. 998 25,684 24, 566 24,590 24, 722 24, 930 25, 020 4,937 4,831 4,911 4,978 5,087 5,498 30,300 25,312 4,988 5,562 5,613 30, 771 31, 087 25, 684 25, 877 5,087 5,210 5,746 31,345 26, 097 5,248 5,779 5,758 ' 5,870 31, 677 31, 931 '32,101 26,411 26, 547 '26,717 5~~' 5,266 5,384 57, 765 62.329 30, 996 33,143 26, 769 29,186 67, 075 36,827 30, 248 65, 814 66,527 36, 730 37, 657 29,084 28, 870 73, 046 41, 467 31,579 76, 638 74,476 '74,318 77,926 43,926 42, 241 '42,341 • 44,914 32, 712 32, 235 •31,977 33,515 66, 355 67, 726 70, 016 71, 022 72, 806 73, 325 '74,535 357,010 418,400 35, 396 33, 207 35, 772 37, 292 37,127 5,516 5,441 5,060 5,044 5,512 52, 048 60,143 2,812 2,740 2,530 2,870 29, 813 2,624 25,220 1,924 1,955 1,795 1,85! 19, 760 21, 670 1,726 37, 462 5,449 2,757 1,916 Inventories, end of year or monthrj Book value (unadjusted), total Durable goods industries, total Nondurable goods industries, total Book value (seasonally adjusted), total? By industry group: Durable goods industries, total 9 Stone, clay, and glass products Primary metals Blast furnaces, steel mills Nonferrous metals Fabricated metal products do.-. Machinery, except electrical do... Electrical machinery do Transportation equipment do Motor vehicles and parts do Instruments and related products. _do By market category:! Home goods and apparel Consumer staples Equip, and defense prod., excl. auto Automotive equipment Construction materials and supplies Other materials and supplies Supplementary series:% Household durables Capital goods industriescf_ Nondefense Defense New orders, net (not seas, adj.), totalj Durable goods industries, total Nondurable goods industries, total _do___ do... do New orders, net (seas, adj.), totalt By industry group: Durable goods industries, total 9 . Primary metals Blast furnaces, steel mills Nonferrous metals do_. Fabricated metal products Machinery, except electrical Electrical machinery Transportation equipment Aircraft, missiles, and parts ...do.. do.. do.. ...do.. do.. do_. do.. do.. do.. 18, 222 2,892 6,951 1,549 11,365 14,016 25, 930 5,844 8,454 38, 651 1668,784 1762,170 66,839 357,010 418, 400 37,377 311, 774 343,770 29,462 668,784 41,576 55, 014 49, 769 89,841 21,869 762,170 48,075 63, 779 57,171 109,377 29, 615 19,317 3,325 6,102 3,070 18,094 2,927 6,957 1,555 18,409 2,971 6,972 1,824 11,523 14.328 26, 214 6,290 8,519 38, 948 63, 817 61, 486 64,809 4,002 5,294 4,721 9,635 3,554 3,959 5,287 4,609 7,828 2,012 19, 558 3,292 6,245 3,107 11,567 14,355 26,460 6,106 8,659 39,021 69,095 67, 957 38, 466 37, 690 30, 629 30, 267 66, 620 4,053 5, 34f 5,521 4,659 5,161 9,453 10,003 2,565 2,693 Nondurable goods industries, total do.__ 311, 774 343, 770 28, 421 28, 279 29,037 7,515 Industries with unfilled orders© do 7,388 80, 456 89, 291 7,447 Industries without unfilled orders^ do. 231,318 254,479 20, 974 20,891 21,522 2 ' Revised. i Based on data not seasonally adjusted. Advance estimate; total mfrs. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ new orders for June 1973 do not reflect revisions for selected components. JSee corresponding note on p. S-7. Includes data for items not shown separately. c? Capital goods Federal Reserve Bank of St. 9Louis 38, 325 39, 218 12, 299 14, 613 28,237 6,323 9,044 40, 061 21,198 21,465 ' 3,348 3,371 ' 7,157 7,239 ' 3,195 3,284 12,426 14,849 •28,338 ' 6,432 ' 9, 235 •40,345 1 12, 633 15, 027 28, 688 6,634 9,376 40, 681 5,937 32,526 27, 066 5,460 74,786 ' 42,449 1 43,016 ' 7, 042 ' 7, 015 ' 3, 729 3,778 2,234 '2,316 5,557 2,767 1,970 5,694 2,819 2,047 39, 765 6,015 3,061 2,138 41, 021 41, 341 6,500 6,656 3,459 3,604 2,146 2,147 4,449 6,116 5,320 10, 657 2,889 4,635 6,093 5,496 10, 203 2,727 4,556 4,488 ' 4,861 4,674 6,443 6,411 ' 6,544 6,602 5,727 5,710 ' 5,696 5,655 10, 281 10,503 '10,739 1 11,329 2,674 2,678 ' 3, 068 3,250 4,109 5,580 4, 10,150 2,705 3,' 5,886 5,152 9,813 2,369 4,393 6,101 5,010 10, 226 2,960 29,328 29, 228 7,576 7,548 21, 752 21, 680 30,264 7,815 22,449 30,583 7,73' 22,844 31, 984 '32,086 32, 283 8,129 8,301 '8,417 23, 683 •23,669 24,154 (old series) categories. ©See corresponding note on p. S-7. HFor these industries (food and kindred products, tobacco manufacti"other textile products, petroleum and coal products, chemicals and alii 30, 798 7,919 22,879 31, 257 8,009 23,248 31,785 8,081 23,704 July August 1973 ±5U£ UF { Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of B U S I N E S S S T A T I S T I C S 1971 1972 Annual 5S S-7 1972 June July Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July GENERAL BUSINESS INDICATORS—Continued MANUFACTURERS' SALES, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERSJ — Continued New orders, net (seas, adj.) J—Continued By market category: Home goods and apparel Consumer staples Equip, and defense prod., excl. auto Automotive equipment Construction materials and supplies Other materials and supplies. Supplementary series: Household durables Capital goods industries^! Nondefense-. Defense 5,946 5,780 12,038 8,508 5,888 5,271 24,001 mil. $._ do do do _do do 2 65,383 2133,569 2 91,469 2 68,773 2 55,786 2253,804 2 71,896 2146,254 2108,318 280,395 2 64,323 2290,984 12,141 10,106 6,228 5,309 24,087 do ..do do -do 2 27,200 2107,755 2,616 2,547 11, 799 10,077 8,954 8,981 2,818 1,123 6,006 12,382 6,182 12,405 9,690 7,022 7,299 5,589 5,453 24, 957 25,455 6,205 12,330 9,363 7,501 5,439 25,517 6,493 6,315 6,393 6,694 6,707 6,858 ' 6,695 6,706 12, 742 12, 941 12,964 13,146 13,533 13,565 13,561 13,623 9,810 9,864 10, 205 10,100 10, 724 10,903 11,097 11,194 7,605 7,913 7,449 7,655 7,577 7,523 ' 7, 746 7,736 5,565 5,895 6,249 6,118 6,190 6,017 '6,423 5,909 25,511 26,430 26,646 27,309 28, 075 28,459 •29,013 29, 278 2,691 10,533 1,634 2,796 11,530 9,727 1,803 2,797 11,062 9,625 1,437 2,860 11,124 9,699 1,425 2,785 11,815 9,991 1,824 2,751 12,037 10,277 1,760 3,061 11,830 10,105 1,725 3,033 12,461 10,572 1,889 3,077 12,571 10, 619 1,952 82, 667 83,175 78, 927 79,251 3,740 3,924 85,314 81,345 3,969 88,077 90,788 83, 941 86,422 4,136 4,366 94,583 90,020 4,563 97,044 98,772 100,461 92,316 93, 950 96,222 4,728 ' 4,822 4,749 84,216 86,020 87, 635 89,412 ' 3,007 ' 3,078 i 3,243 •12,768 13,590 i 12,493 10,919 11,415 i 11,447 r 1,849 ' 2,175 1 1,046 219,686 2 31,645 2128,461 2107,790 2 20,671 Unfilled orders, end of year or month (unadjusted), total* mil. $.. Durable goods industries, total do Nondur. goods ind. with unfilled orders®.... do 72, 731 69, 652 3,079 85,314 81,345 3,969 77,883 74,268 3,615 79,254 80,005 75, 632 76,408 3,622 3,597 81,932 78,295 3,637 Unfilled orders, end of year or month (seasonally adjusted), total* mil. $.. By industry group: Durable goods industries, total 9 do Primary metals do Blast furnaces, steel mills do Nonferrous metals .do 73,282 86,020 78,900 79,339 80,462 82,579 92,499 95,354 •98,602 101,839 70,152 5,657 3,216 1,571 81, 986 75,326 6,740 7,964 4,104 5,008 1,749 1,861 75,730 7,056 4,408 1,729 76,815 7,570 4,807 1,790 78,858 7,799 4,964 1,842 79,683 7,874 5,037 1,791 80, 275 81, 986 83,431 7,974 7,964 8,209 5,064 5,008 5,076 1,848 1,861 1,999 85,074 8,572 5,317 2,106 88,031 9,438 5,992 2,219 90, 719 10, 623 7,000 2,305 do do do do do 9,943 12,150 14,511 22, 098 15,400 10,926 14, 917 15, 748 26,107 18, 010 10,127 13,036 14, 747 24, 574 17,144 10,264 13,220 14, 746 24,362 16, 843 10,386 13,369 14, 728 24, 662 17,073 10,596 13, 669 15,194 25,254 17,396 10, 612 13,952 15,424 25,584 17,596 10,580 14,350 15, 639 25,482 17, 468 10, 926 14, 917 15, 748 26,107 18, 010 11,111 15,349 15, 983 26,505 18,198 11, 297 15,807 16,338 26, 690 18,330 11,523 16,432 16,850 27, 206 18, 617 11,650 ' 12,024 16,866 '17,365 17,166 717,566 27, 604 ' 28,025 18,497 18,663 Nondur. goods ind. with unfilled orders®..do 3,130 4,034 3,574 3,609 3,647 3,721 3,800 3,941 4,034 4,204 4,338 4,468 Fabricated metal products Machinery, except electrical Electrical machinery Transportation equipment Aircraft, missiles, and parts By market category:% Home goods, apparel, consumer staples Equip, and defense prod., incl. auto Construction materials and supplies Other materials and supplies Supplementary series :X Household durables Capital goods industries^.. Nondefense Defense.. 4,635 do do do do 2,083 38, 696 9,433 23,070 2,432 2,414 44,365 41,275 10,270 9,640 28, 953 25,571 2,370 41,169 9,691 26,109 2,367 41,452 9,768 26,875 2,456 42,491 9,968 27,664 2,515 42, 951 9,923 28,094 2,466 43,558 9,908 28,284 do .do do do 1,637 43,298 26,079 17,219 1,933 1,928 50,165 46,639 30, 612 27,032 19,553 19,607 1,878 46,582 27,408 19,174 1,874 46,847 27,527 19,320 1,972 48,121 28,549 19,572 2,035 48,644 29,208 19,436 2,112 2,046 1,973 1,849 1,933 1,981 49,031 50,165 50, 907 51, 576 52, 882 53, 755 29, 742 30, 612 31, 292 31,866 32, 948 33,509 19,289 19,553 19, 615 19, 710 19, 934 20, 246 New incorporations (50 States and Dist. Col.): Unadjusted© _..number.. 287,577 Seasonally adjusted© do 316, 601 28,331 26,303 26,103 26,118 26, 815 26,420 24,761 26,798 26,736 27,417 23,991 26,387 •93,882 97,647 11,954 13,181 ' 8,025 9,036 ' 2,506 2,552 1 4,720 12,282 17,839 17,931 29,126 18,991 98,374 98,947 13,822 28,589 4,696 2,562 2,663 ' 2,668 2,715 2,432 2,355 2,493 44,365 45,142 45,843 47,159 48,076 '49,165 50,351 10, 270 10,450 10, 589 10,836 10,915 '11,258 11,467 28, 953 29, 688 30,487 31, 942 33,700 '35,511 37,306 ' 2,127 '54,679 '34,329 '20,350 ' 2,230 i 2,326 56,308 56,491 35,364 36,159 20,944 20,332 BUSINESS INCORPORATIONS^ INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL FAILURES^ Failures, total number. Commercial service _do.__ Construction do... Manufacturing and mining do Retail trade do__. Wholesale trade __do.__ Liabilities (current), total thous. $__ Commercial service do Construction do Manufacturing and mining do Retail trade.... do Wholesale trade do Failure annual rate (seasonally adjusted) No. per 10,000 concerns.. 10,326 1,464 1,545 1,932 4,428 957 9,566 1,252 1,375 1,576 4,398 965 730 88 81 126 338 97 740 103 92 127 344 74 824 101 124 147 372 80 730 106 103 107 352 62 755 88 106 125 363 73 799 91 127 121 393 67 1,916,929 356,923 222,357 712,611 444,086 180,952 2,000,244 231,813 193, 530 766, 991 558, 270 249, 640 127,900 14, 228 10,447 48,979 27,036 27, 210 204,624 18,022 7,619 112, 769 45,419 20,795 253, 619 16, 058 22, 000 114,160 87,812 13, 589 113,540 13,807 9,435 50, 938 31,597 7,763 152, 974 14,072 12, 737 47, 907 63,580 14,678 208,583 17,502 22,044 52,284 105,445 11,308 2 38.3 34.2 38.5 40.5 38.8 38.5 2 41.7 26,059 30,114 27, 614 27,173 708 98 118 108 308 76 772 90 105 125 376 76 26, 821 31,967 '29,304 *30,476 28,640 29,914 '28, 693 *28,422 753 85 94 126 378 70 874 117 115 137 411 94 86,786 205, 837 137,162 252,349 16,089 17, 526 5,407 37, 035 13,728 20, 282 18,490 21,120 19,266 115, 440 73,929 84, 669 22,401 37, 826 30,184 73,237 15,302 14, 763 9,152 36,258 37.4 838 97 149 106 390 96 840 94 124 125 411 119,343 167,949 8,071 9,290 19,202 37,982 38,588 57, 965 33,528 33, 665 19,954 29,067 180,209 9,822 16,928 89,959 36,923 26,577 796 94 119 112 396 75 34.9 36.0 35.9 35.2 36.3 38.2 COMMODITY PRICES PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS Prices received, all farm products Crops 9 Commercial vegetables Cotton Feed grains and hay Food grains Fruit Tobacco. _ Livestock and products? Dairy products Meat animals Poultry and eggs 1910-14 = 100.. do do do do___I do do do do __do do do 285 242 322 206 185 167 261 619 321 354 402 133 320 261 327 243 183 192 280 685 371 366 494 137 318 261 316 264 180 166 303 665 366 345 502 126 323 259 308 258 178 164 276 677 377 350 515 136 324 265 322 258 178 183 293 717 375 361 508 133 328 264 332 206 187 209 314 717 383 373 512 145 329 264 300 216 188 228 325 702 385 383 513 136 332 272 354 229 192 239 277 704 383 391 497 151 349 287 336 216 221 283 265 704 402 391 527 168 365 295 402 187 223 283 282 707 424 391 560 192 379 299 395 199 216 243 301 704 447 392 612 179 405 316 411 222 218 251 331 704 481 388 669 204 400 324 463 229 220 262 316 707 466 381 638 211 413 348 434 255 243 262 316 707 469 378 650 204 437 385 444 249 281 291 345 706 480 378 664 221 438 371 430 257 288 294 335 703 495 386 687 228 Prices paid: All commodities and services do Family living items do Production items do All commodities and services, interest, taxes, and wage rates (parity index). 1910-14 = 100._ 352 382 331 371 401 350 '370 400 348 372 403 349 372 403 349 376 406 356 377 404 358 381 408 361 386 410 369 394 414 379 401 421 386 409 426 396 413 433 399 421 438 409 '434 '443 '428 433 443 426 410 '432 '431 433 433 437 440 443 449 458 465 473 480 488 '500 499 Parity ratio § __ do.. 75 75 69 74 74 ' Revised. v Preliminary. i Advance estimate;2 total mfrs. unfilled orders for June 1973 do not reflect revisions for selected components. Based on unadjusted data. \ Revised back to 1966 to reflect benchmarking to Annual Surveys of Manufactures (1966-71) Digitizedand for calculation FRASER of new seasonal factors. Revisions and further details available from the Census Bureau as follows: 1966—Mfrs. Shipments, Inventories, and Orders: 1966-72, M3-1.4, http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Revised; 1967-Mar. 1973—Mfrs. Shipments, Inventories, and Orders: 1967-73, M3-1.5. USee N note marked "d>"ofonSt. p. Louis S-6. Federal Reserve Bank '87 85 75 82 83 75 78 80 86 75 © Includes textile mill products, leather and products, paper and allied products, and printing and publishing industries, unfilled orders for other nondurable goods are zero. $ Includes data for items not shown separately. cf Compiled by Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (failures data for 48 States and Dist. of Col.). O Revisions for Jan.-Dec. 1970 (unadj.) and Mar. 1970-Dec. 1971 (seas, adj.) will be shown later. § Ratio of prices received to prices paid (parity index). SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS S-8 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1971 1972 Annual August 1973 1973 1972 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June COMMODITY PRICES—Continued CONSUMER PRICES (U.S. Department of Labor Indexes) Unadjusted Indexes: All items Special group indexes: All items less shelter All items less food All items less medical care.. Commodities. Nondurables _ Nondurables less food Durables9Commodities less food.. Services Services less rent 1967=100. do... do__. do... do do__. do... -do .do... do... do Food 9 do Meats, poultry, and fish do Dairy products ..do Fruits and vegetables.._ _ _do Housing do. Shelter? do. Rent do Homeownership do Fuel and utilities? do Fuel oil and coal ...do. Gas and electricity do Household furnishings and operation...do Apparel and upkeep -_do Transportation _ ..do. Private do New cars do Used cars. do Public _ ___do Health and recreation? do Medical care ...do Personal care do Reading and recreation do 121.3 125.3 125.0 125.5 125. 126.2 126.6 126. 127. 127. 128. 129. 130. 131. 132.4 119.3 122 1 120.'9 122.9 125.8 124.9 122.7 125.7 124.6 123.1 125.9 125.1 123. 126. 125. 123.8 126.7 125.9 124.2 127.1 126.2 124. 127. 126. 124. 127. 126. 125. 127. 127. 126. 127.9 128. 127. 128. 129. 128. 129. 130. 129. 129.7 131.3 130.6 130.3 132.2 117.4 117.7 117.0 116.5 116.8 128.4 130.8 120.9 121.7 119.8 118.9 119.4 133.3 135.9 120.7 121.2 119.5 119.2 119.4 133.1 135.7 121.2 121.7 119.3 119.6 119.4 133.5 136.2 121. 122. 119. 119. 119. 133. 136. 122.0 122.8 120.8 119.8 120.3 134.1 136.7 122.3 123.1 121.3 120.1 120.8 134.6 137.2 122. 123.5 121. 120.3 121.0 134.9 137.6 122. 123. 121. 120. 121. 135. 138. 123. 124. 120. 119. 120. 135. 138.3 124.5 126. 121.6 119.9 120.9 136.2 138.7 126. 128.3 122.4 120. 121.5 136.6 139.2 127.4 129. 123.3 121.0 122.3 137.0 139.6 128.3 130.7 124.0 121.8 123.0 137.5 140.1 129.4 132.0 124.7 122.3 123.7 138.1 140.7 118.4 123.5 128.0 117.1 125.0 129.2 134.5 119.2 140.1 120.1 118.5 120.5 121.0 122.3 119.9 117.5 111.0 110.5 143.4 126.1 132.5 119.8 122.8 123.0 126.4 117.0 127.2 129.0 134.1 119.0 139.6 120.1 117.8 120.3 121.0 122.1 119.8 117.3 111.3 112.0 143.0 126.1 132.4 120.0 122.9 124.2 129.9 116.8 128.4 129.5 I 134.9 119.2 140.7 120.2 117.7 120.3 121.1 121.1 120.3 117.8 111.0 112.7 143.3 126.3 132.7 120.0 123.0 124.6 130.8 116.6 128.1 129.9 135.5 119.6 141.3 120.1 117.9 120.5 121.2 120.8 120.5 118.1 110.6 112.4 143.3 126.5 132. 9 120.2 123. 0 124.8 130.9 116.9 125.7 130.1 135.7 119.9 141.5 120. 118.0 120.5 121.6 123.1 121.0 118.6 109.6 113.6 144.0 126.8 133.1 120.5 123.7 124.9 131.3 117. 124.5 130.4 136.0 120.3 141.8 120.6 118.1 120.9 121.8 124.3 121.2 118. 110.1 115. 144.1 127.2 133. 120.8 124.0 125.4 131.5 117.7 126.5 130.8 136.2 120.5 142.0 121.7 119.3 122.2 122.1 125.0 121.4 119.0 110.2 116.0 144.1 127.4 134.1 121.0 124.1 126.0 131.2 118.3 127.3 131.2 136.8 121.0 142.6 121.9 110.6 115.0 144.5 127.5 134.4 121.5 124.0 128.6 136. 119. 130-5 131.4 136.9 121.5 142.6 122.8 120.7 124.1 122.2 123.0 121.0 118.5 111.1 112.8 144.3 127.8 134.9 121.8 124.1 131.1 142.8 121.0 133.3 132.0 137.3 122.1 142.9 124.1 127.2 124.5 122.6 123.6 121.1 118.7 111.0 112.4 144.3 128.1 135.3 122.4 124.3 134.5 152.7 121.5 136.8 132.3 137.7 122.6 143.2 124.6 127.8 125.0 123.0 124.8 121.5 119.1 110.8 113.7 144.5 128.6 135.8 123.1 124.5 136.5 155.4 121.8 141.8 132.8 138.1 123.0 143.6 125.1 128.3 125.5 123.6 125.8 122.6 120.3 111.1 117.3 143.9 129.2 136.2 123.8 125.2 137.9 155.6 123.2 144.6 133.3 138.7 123.5 144.2 125.4 129.3 125.7 123.9 126.7 123.5 121.3 111.1 120.6 143.9 129.6 136.6 124.4 125.6 139.8 156.5 124.1 151.7 133.9 139.4 123.9 145.0 125.6 131.6 125.4 124.7 126.8 124.6 122.4 111.0 122.3 144.9 130.0 137.0 124.9 125.9 120. 0 115.0 123. 0 119.1 112.7 123.7 119.8 114.4 123.7 121.0 115.8 124.6 122.7 119.7 124.8 124.5 119.4 128.1 126.2 118.7 131.6 130.8 125.0 134.8 134.4 127.5 139.3 143.0 136.6 147.5 149.9 142.3 155.3 161.1 158.6 162.9 113.9 119.1 118.8 119.7 119.9 120.2 120.0 120.7 122.9 124.5 126.9 129.7 152.9 145.4 158.2 130.7 133.5 171.2 172.8 170.1 136.7 115.0 114.0 113.5 112.7 116.6 127.6 118.7 117.2 116.6 119.5 127.2 118.5 116.9 116.1 119.6 130.1 118.8 117.8 117.3 119.7 130.3 119.2 117.9 117.4 119.8 130.3 119.7 118.2 117.7 119.9 129.2 119.9 117.6 117.1 119.7 130.4 120.6 118.3 117.9 119.9 138.3 122.3 119.5 119.3 120.3 143.3 123.1 121.0 121.2 120.6 151.3 125.1 122.5 122.9 121.2 159.0 127. 4 124.6 125. 5 121.7 158.8 128.5 125.6 126.6 122.3 167.7 131.5 126.8 127.9 123.1 177.5 134.3 128.7 130.2 123.4 117.0 111.7 113.8 117.0 110.5 121.1 117.6 117.9 121.1 114.7 121.2 117.0 117.8 121.3 114.3 121.4 118.5 118.3 121.5 115.1 121.6 118.6 118.5 121.7 115.1 121.8 119.1 118.8 121.9 115.6 121.7 118.8 118.8 121.7 115.8 121.8 120.0 119.2 121.8 116.5 122.1 123.5 120.7 122.1 119.2 122.7 125.7 121.6 122.6 120.6 123.9 129.2 123.6 123.7 123.5 125.6 132.9 125. 7 125. 4 125.4 128.0 137.7 128.7 127.7 129.7 116. & 115.3 119.1 124.3 128.8 115.2 133.7 115.1 117.5 114.7 118.1 119.8 118.6 116.6 112.0 110.2 137.7 122.2 128.4 116.8 119.3 119. & 122.5 122.3 125.0 121.3 118.9 WHOLESALE PRICESo1 (U.S. Department of Labor Indexes) Spot market prices, basic commodities: 22 Commodities 1967=100.. 9 Foodstuffs do 13 Raw industrials do All commodities doBy stage of processing: Crude materials for further processing do Intermediate materials, supplies, etc do Finished goods© do Consumer finished goods. do Producerfinishedgoods do By durability of product: Durable goods do Nondurable goods do Total manufactures do Durable manufactures do Nondurable manufactures do Farm prod., processed foods and feeds do U08.0 1109. 3 »107. 1 1 1 1 113.8 122.4 121.3 124.0 123.8 124.5 123.3 125.3 132.6 137.0 142.4 149.0 127.0 133.5 126.7 126.7 126.6 147.9 154.9 128.2 143.1 130.9 178.8 134.0 163.6 112.9 120.1 100.9 100.3 118.3 125.0 127.6 102.9 104.0 142.5 124.0 121.7 94.5 102.9 146.4 128.0 129.9 96.3 118.4 152.4 128.2 138.9 99.8 106.8 148.1 128.6 138.1 109.5 112.3 144.9 125.5 122.8 109.2 103.8 144.2 128.8 141.8 113.6 102.8 139.5 137.5 134.6 137.6 103.6 152.6 144.2 151.2 135.6 127.9 159.4 150.9 146.9 128. 2 137.0 177.8 160.9 158.5 126.1 ] 64. S 194.4 160.6 176.0 130.9 185.8 184.1 170.4 186.0 149.9 180.3 188.7 182.3 197.5 178.6 184.5 193.8 114.3 115.8 111.4 115.4 114.3 116.0 120.8 118.0 114.7 118.6 119.7 130.0 119.6 117.8 113.3 115.3 119.5 131.4 121.5 117.9 113.6 117.7 119.6 135.8 121.0 118.9 115.3 118.6 120.2 132.3 121.8 119.1 116.1 119.0 120.1 131.7 121.8 118.8 116.9 120.0 121.8 130.4 123.1 119.4 118.3 121.8 123.8 127.9 129.4 119.7 120.1 123.0 124.7 136.3 132.4 119.8 121.0 123.8 125.3 145.2 137.0 120.0 120.8 124.0 125.9 153.1 141.4 120.8 121.3 126.8 126.2 165.1 139.8 121.4 123.7 127.2 126.6 163.2 145.0 121.9 124.3 126.5 127.2 162.5 151.8 121.4 125.9 127.5 127.9 164.9 114.0 117.9 117.9 118.1 118.5 118.7 118.8 119.1 119.4 120.0 121.3 122. 7 124.4 125.8 126.9 Chemicals and allied products ? ...do 104.2 104.2 104.3 104.2 104.4 Agric. chemicals and chem. prod do 92.3 91.9 92.0 92.2 91.7 Chemicals, industrial do... 101.4 101.5 101.3 102.0 101.2 Drugs and Pharmaceuticals do 103.1 103.2 103.3 102.4 103.0 Fats and oils, inedible do... 115.9 113.2 121.4 133.5 115.8 118.3 Prepared paint do 118.3 118.3 115.6 118.0 Fuels and related prod., and power ? do... 114.2 118.2 118.6 118.6 119.7 Coal do... 191.2 191.2 191.5 181.8 193.8 Electric power do 121.5 122.1 122.1 113.6 121.5 Gas fuels do ... 112.9 114.3 113.2 108.0 114.1 Petroleum products, refined do 108.5 110.7 109.1 106.8 108.9 Furniture and household durables? do... 109.9 111.4 111.2 111.7 111.4 Appliances, household do._ 107.1 107.7 107.3 107.2 107.6 Furniture, household do_. 117.2 117.8 114.8 117.3 117.4 Home electronic equipment do... 92.6 92.4 92.4 93.8 92.7 1 Computed by BEA. ? Includes data for items not shown separately. c^For actual wholesale prices of individual commodities, see respective commodities. 104.4 92.0 101.3 103.1 116.4 118.3 104.4 92.1 100.8 103.3 117.2 118.2 104.7 92.4 100.9 103.6 123.2 118.2 104.8 92.5 101.0 103.7 128.2 118.2 105.1 93.0 101.4 103.5 130.3 119.4 105.6 93. 1 101.8 103.6 139.1 119.4 106.7 93.6 101.9 103.8 173.9 119.9 107.7 94.5 102.6 103.8 184.0 120.3 109.3 94.7 102.7 104.0 232.0 120.8 110.4 95.0 103.0 104.4 263.6 121.0 120.3 192.2 122.6 116.7 111.3 120.6 192.4 123.1 117.5 111.5 121.3 201.2 123.0 119.0 111.5 121.9 205.5 122.9 119.2 112.0 122.2 205.5 123.8 118.4 112.3 126.0 206.9 125.9 118.6 118.7 126.7 207. 4 126.8 118.9 119.4 131.8 213.8 127.6 120.1 127.9 135.5 214.2 128.2 121.4 133.9 142.8 215.1 128.4 128.0 146.6 112.0 108.1 117.7 92.9 112.0 108.0 117.7 92.9 112.3 108.0 118.1 92.5 112.4 107.9 118.5 92.3 112.6 107.8 119.1 92.4 113.1 108.2 119.4 92.4 113.5 108.4 120. 0 92.2 114.1 108.3 121.8 92.2 115.1 108.0 122.3 92.2 115.2 107.4 123.3 91.6 Farm products? do Fruits and vegetables, fresh and dried-do Grains do. Live poultry do_ Livestock... do. Foods and feeds, processed? Beverages and beverage materials Cereal and bakery products Dairy products Fruits and vegetables, processed Meats, poultry, and fish Industrial commodities do do do do do do... do 0 Goods to users, incl. raw foods and fuels. July August 1973 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1971 1972 1972 Annual June July Aug. COMMODITY WHOLESALE PRICEScf—Continued (U.S. Department of Labor Indexes—Continued) All commodities—Continued Industrial commodities—Continued Hides, skins, and leather products 9 1967=100 Footwear, do__ Hides and skins do__ Leather do._ Lumber and wood products do_. Lumber do._ S-9 Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July PRICES—Continued 114.0 116.8 115.1 112.5 127.0 135.5 131.3 124.5 213.7 140.3 144.3 159.4 130.9 125.8 204.1 138.6 144.2 159.0 131.6 126.5 212.5 138.1 146.1 161.6 134.6 126.5 243.0 140.6 148.1 164.1 135.7 126.8 244.0 143.5 148.5 165.1 139.8 127.0 270.8 153.3 149.2 166.1 144.0 128.5 287.0 162.6 149.4 166.8 142.2 128.7 255.2 162.2 149.8 167.9 143.9 129.0 274.0 162.8 151.0 169.0 144.9 130.9 272.7 162.9 161.0 182.3 143.5 131.1 246.4 164.5 173.2 195.8 145.0 131.5 270.2 161.1 182.0 207.2 142.2 129.3 253.5 159.7 186.9 215.4 140.9 129.3 241.6 156.4 183.1 214.8 141.4 129.5 246.3 156.8 177.8 209.6 do_. do... do.. do.. do... 115.5 117.2 121.4 109.5 117.3 117.9 122.3 125.7 110.4 120.2 118.1 122.7 125.9 110.6 120.2 118.3 122.7 125.9 110.7 120.5 118.3 122.8 126.1 110.6 120.8 118.3 122.6 126.1 110.6 121.0 118.4 122.6 126.1 110.5 121.2 118.5 122.9 126.3 110.6 121.3 118.6 122.9 126.3 110.6 121.3 118.9 123.6 126.6 110.9 121.8 119.4 124.4 127.4 111.0 122.5 120.0 124.7 128.6 111.3 123.4 120.8 124.7 130.4 111.7 124.5 121.5 125.0 130.9 112.3 125.2 121.9 125.4 131.3 112.7 125.6 122.0 125.5 130.9 112.7 125.8 do__. do... _..do_.. do_. 119.0 115.5 121.8 116.0 123.5 118.2 128.4 116.9 123.6 118.6 128.1 117.6 123.7 119.2 128.6 116.8 124.0 119.2 128.8 117.4 124.1 119.2 128.9 117.3 124.1 119.2 129.0 117.2 124.4 119.2 129.5 117.4 125.6 118.8 131.9 117.9 126.9 119.2 133.0 121.0 129.2 119.5 133.3 128.3 130.5 120.5 134.0 131.4 131.7 120.2 135.3 133.2 132.5 120.7 135.9 135.0 132.8 120.9 135.9 135.9 Nonmetallic mineral products 9 __do._ Clay prod., structural, excl. refractories do.. Concrete products do... Gypsum products do._ Pulp, paper, and allied products. do._ Paper do... Rubber and plastics products do.. Tires and tubes do... 122.4 126.1 125.8 123.5 119.0 128.3 116.8 126.2 126.7 114.2 120.6 106.8 110.1 114.1 109.2 109.2 117.3 125.6 114.7 113.4 116.3 109.3 109.2 117.4 125.3 113.9 113.5 116.2 108.9 108.7 Textile products and apparel 9 Apparel Cotton products Manmade fiber textile products Wool products do._. do... do... _.do__ ..do... 108.6 112.9 110.6 100.8 93.5 113.6 114.8 121.8 108.0 99.4 Transportation equipment9.--Dec. 1968=100. Motor vehicles and equip 1967=100. 110.3 114.7 Miscellaneous products 9 Toys, sporting goods, etc Tobacco products 112.8 112.6 116.7 Machinery and equipment 9 Agricultural machinery and equip Construction machinery and equip Electrical machinery and equip Metalworking machinery and equip Metals and metal products 9 Heating equipment Iron and steel Nonferrous metals do... do... do... 126.9 127.3 127.3 127.4 128.2 128.4 129.0 130.0 130.5 131.1 130.0 117.5 126.1 116.1 114.1 116.7 109.5 109.7 117.5 126.3 115.2 114.3 116.7 109.5 109.7 118.4 127.2 115.5 114.7 116.8 109.5 109.7 118.8 127. a 115.0 115.0 117. 3 109.8 109.7 118.9 127.5 114.8 115.1 117.5 109.8 109.7 120.3 128.5 117.4 115.8 117.8 110.0 109.7 121.5 128.9 115.8 116.5 118.5 110.1 109.3 122.2 129.6 118.1 118.3 119.2 110.3 109.3 123.0 130.8 119.6 119.8 120.2 110.6 109.4 123.6 131.5 120.4 120.7 120.8 111.5 110.0 123.8 132.3 124.1 122.0 122.5 112.6 110.4 123.8 132.3 122.9 122.3 121.8 112.9 110.4 113.6 114.4 122.6 108.6 99.2 117.5 126.0 115.7 113.7 116.7 109.2 109.5 114.0 115.1 123.0 108.9 100.0 114.1 115.1 122.8 108.7 101.1 114.3 115.3 123.6 108.6 102.5 114.8 115.6 124.0 108.6 106.6 115.1 115.9 124.2 109.5 107.1 116.6 116.5 126.0 111.4 114.5 117.4 116.8 128.2 111.8 119.2 119.0 117.0 130.0 115.2 127.7 120.8 117.7 133.3 118.7 129.8 122.3 118.4 137.4 121.5 127.5 123.7 118.8 141.3 122.9 131.3 124.2 118.8 144.6 123.1 132.1 113.7 118.0 114.2 118.5 114.1 118.4 114.2 118.5 114.2 118.5 112.9 116.9 113.0 117.0 115.6 116.0 124.8 110.3 108.8 114.2 118.4 114.1 118.2 114.2 118.2 114.5 U8.6 114.9 119.0 115.1 119.1 115.0 118.9 115.0 119.0 114.6 114.4 117.5 114.2 114.4 117.5 114.9 114.5 117.5 115.1 114.5 117.5 115.2 114.8 117.6 115.0 114.9 117.5 115.0 115.0 117.5 115.1 115.1 117.5 115.8 116.2 117.5 117.1 116.5 121.0 117.9 117.1 121.8 118.6 117.2 122.0 119.5 117.3 122.3 120.2 117.5 122.5 120.9 117.6 122.5 $0. 840 $0.842 .798 .800 $0.835 .797 $0,834 .796 $0.832 .792 $0. 833 .790 $0,829 .788 $0,814 .786 $0. 803 .783 $0. 788 .778 $0.771 .770 $0.765 .765 $0,749 .760 $0.732 .755 $0,741 .754 •11,748 12,417 PURCHASING P O W E R OF T H E DOLLAR As measured b y Wholesale prices Consumer prices 1967=$1.00. do.. $0.878 .824 CONSTRUCTION AND REAL ESTATE CONSTRUCTION PUT IN PLACE 1 mil. $.. 109,238 123,836 11,015 10,943 11,420 11,489 11,571 11,048 10,502 ' 9,491 1 9,102 9,974 10,857 Private, total 9 do Residential (including farm) do New housing units _ do Nonresidential buildings, except farm and public utilities, total 9 -mil. $_. Industrial _ _ _do Commercial do Public utilities: Telephone and telegraph do 79,367 43,268 35,066 93,640 54,186 44,736 8,283 4,865 3,912 8,307 4,981 4,065 8,542 5,054 4,143 8,597 5,075 4,215 8,114 4,677 3,954 ' 7,260 r 4,171 3,553 1 5,046 4,236 8,506 4,946 4,181 6,894 3,911 3,328 7,552 4,254 3,559 ' 8,277 ' 8, 901 r 4, 744 r 5, 153 ' 3,822 9,390 5,450 4,408 22,479 5,423 11,619 24,036 4,676 13,462 2,075 416 1,161 2,017 398 1,132 2,144 415 1,203 2,171 401 1,252 2,221 397 1,274 2,121 399 2,051 420 1,137 1,929 391 1,862 360 2,063 418 2,194 ' 2,302 '446 437 2,445 525 1,357 3,005 3,283 299 266 296 Public, total 9 do.. 29,871 30,196 2,732 2,636 2,878 2,892 2,885 -.do do ...do do.... do 11,397 1,136 572 901 10,658 11,500 875 534 1,080 10,448 951 73 46 97 1,014 927 94 40 101 1,015 1,040 78 42 85 1,104 1,049 62 44 98 1,093 1,102 73 47 100 1,045 2,542 958 71 43 108 914 121.6 121.6 123.0 125.1 128.5 92.6 92.4 93.9 94.5 53.3 43.8 53.8 44.1 54.5 44.7 24.0 4.8 13.3 23.5 4.6 13.2 3.3 do.. do.. do.. do . do.. do.. New construction (unadjusted), total 1 Buildings (excluding military) 9 Housing and redevelopment Industrial Military facilities _ Highways and streets New construction (seasonally adjusted at annual rates), total 1 bil. $.. Private, total 9 do.. Residential (including farm) do New housing units .do Nonresidential buildings, except farm and public utilities, total 9 bil. $.. Industrial _ do Commercial do Public utilities: Telephone and telegraph do Public, total 9 Buildings (excluding military) 9 Housing and redevelopment Industrial Military facilities Highways and streets 1,187 314 307 307 1,088 1,051 1,154 1,235 223 245 300 299 2,388 336 '2,847 3,027 1,162 75 '52 106 57 104 2,231 1,051 66 56 94 579 2,208 1,001 57 45 96 2,422 1,012 77 51 103 717 126.8 131.6 ' 134.1 134.3 136.6 '135.3 ' 136.7 137.6 96.2 97.5 98.4 101.4 • 102.0 103.0 102.7 '104.4 105.1 55.5 45.9 56.4 46.9 57.2 47.8 57.5 48.0 '57.8 '48.1 59.4 49.4 59.8 49.6 '59.3 48.9 59.6 '49.2 59.9 49.5 24.1 4.7 13.4 23.7 4.5 13.4 24.3 4.3 13.9 24.5 4.6 13.6 24.8 4.8 13.9 '26.3 5.3 26.2 5.2 14.9 26.7 5.5 15.1 27.0 5.3 '15.5 '27.7 '5.3 16.1 28.2 6.1 15.5 3.2 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.6 4.0 29.0 29.2 29.2 30.6 32.3 29.3 33.1 32.3 33.6 32.6 '32.3 10.8 .8 .5 1.1 10.1 11.0 1.2 .6 1.3 10.1 11.4 1.0 .5 .9 10.0 12.0 .8 .5 1.0 10.4 13.3 .9 .5 1.1 10.6 11.1 .7 .5 1.2 10.6 12.9 '12.7 .7 .6 1. i '11.0 14.0 1.0 '13.6 13.5 .9 .5 '1.3 r 2,580 1,131 1,074 74 83 52 48 85 94 727 643 r '15.0 3.6 3.6 '33.7 ' Revised. * Preliminary. cfSee corresponding note on p. S-8. 9 Includes data for items not shown separately. HBeginning Jan. 1969, data have been revised to reflect the incorporation of new basic '1,322 32.4 '14.2 '.8 1.1 1.2 1.3 .7 9.9 10.5 1.2 '10.9 data and the introduction of new seasonal factors based upon data through 1972; monthly 1.2 11.0 data are available upon request. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS S-10 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of B U S I N E S S STATISTICS 1971 1972 1972 Annual August 1973 June July Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 9,910 July CONSTRUCTION AND REAL ESTATE—Continued CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS Construction contracts in 50 States (F. W. Dodge Division, McGraw-Hill): Valuation total mil. $ Index (mo. data seas, adj.) Public ownershin Private ownership By type of building: Nonresidential Residential -Non-biiildinsr construction New construction planning (Engineering News-Record) O - 80,188 '91,512 ' 8,358 8,067 8,875 8,197 8,225 7,248 6,464 6,795 6,839 8,644 8,814 9,428 1967=100.. i 145 i 165 154 155 180 187 171 177 163 181 191 193 177 173 183 mil. $__ - do 23,927 56, 261 ' 24,099 ' 67,412 ' 2, 468 ' 5, 890 2,528 5,538 2,466 6,409 2,017 6,181 1,669 6,557 1,785 5,462 1,650 4,814 1,918 4,877 1,717 5,122 2,046 6,599 2,071 6,743 2,359 7,069 2,995 6, 916 do do . . . do _ do 25, 590 34,714 19, 883 ' 27,237 r 45,379 ' 18,896 ' 2, 399 ' 4, 328 ' 1, 630 2,461 3,864 1,741 2,458 4,671 1,746 2,378 4,135 1,684 2,384 4,298 1,544 2,184 3,663 1,402 2,212 3,120 1,132 2,420 3,195 1,180 2,229 3,^77 1,333 2,707 4,643 1,294 2,634 4,512 1,668 2,629 4,754 2,045 2,976 4,612 2,323 65, 578 68,001 5,000 3,894 5,315 4,470 6,489 8,032 7,679 6,102 6,014 7, 600 5,710 6,602 4,026 5,070 2, 084. 5 1,518.5 2,052. 2 1,151.0 2,378.5 1,732.7 2,356.6 1,309.2 226.2 160.4 223.1 131.9 207.5 149.8 206.5 119.1 231.0 168.2 228.6 131.3 204.4 142.9 203.0 120.5 218.2 158.0 216.5 117.0 187.1 137.1 185.7 97.4 ' 152. 7 116.2 150.5 73.2 147.3 113.0 146.6 77.1 139.5 106. 1 138.0 73.6 ' 201.1 ' 152. 7 200.0 105.1 '200.4 145.9 199. 6 ' 114. 0 201.8 2,315 1,283 2,244 1,319 2,424 1,373 2,426 1,382 2,446 1,315 2,395 1,324 2,369 1,207 2,497 1,450 2,456 1,372 2,260 1,245 2,123 1,202 r 2, 413 1,271 r r r 2, 093 1,117 2 176 1 249 1,816 891 HOUSING STARTS AND PERMITS New housing units started: Unadjusted: Total (private and public) Inside SMSA's Privately owned One-family structures Seasonally adjusted at annual rates:\ Total nrivatelv owned One-familv structures thous -.do do do do do New private housing units authorized by building permits (13,000 permit-issuing places): Monthly data are seas. adj. at annual rates: t Total thous One-family structures do Manufacturers' shipments of mobile homes: Unadjusted do Seasonally adjusted at annual rates do CONSTRUCTION COST INDEXES ' 205.4 ' 234.1 ' 154. 5 ' 171.4 205.0 r 234. 0 120.5 131.6 r 1,925 906 2,130 990 2,121 989 2,108 1,013 2,237 1,031 2,265 975 2,216 1,086 2,139 961 2,377 947 2,254 1,084 2,221 1,089 2,102 1,011 1,882 943 ' 1,838 ' 954 ' 2, 030 '934 496.6 575.9 55.0 586 48.5 559 52.1 537 49.1 497 54.4 551 50.7 670 38.0 610 40.7 648 42.9 642 57.0 737 61.6 680 57.3 661 57.3 616 Dept. of Commerce composite.- 1967=100.. 130 139 138 138 139 140 142 143 144 144 145 -•147 '148 148 149 American Appraisal Co., The: Average, 30 cities . Atlanta .. __ ______ New York San Francisco St. Louis _- _- 1913-100.. do. _ do do . __do . 1,258 1,411 1,359 1,174 1,219 1,369 1,563 1,436 1,285 1,286 1,367 1,545 1,436 1,267 1,284 1,375 1,577 1,436 1,306 1,285 1,379 1,577 1,440 1,315 1,285 1,383 1,581 1,440 1,319 1,286 1,399 1,588 1,441 1,319 1,318 1,405 1,590 1,443 1,319 1,320 1,407 1,592 1,443 1,319 1,320 1,426 1,670 1,456 1,349 1,335 1,464 1,696 1,513 1,406 1,372 1,496 1,728 1,569 1,434 1,413 1,512 1,752 1,584 1,437 1,430 1,517 1,752 1,581 1,440 1,441 1,522 1,753 1,582 1, 497 1,441 201.2 114.8 Associated General Contractors of America, Inc., 1 Thfi Cbnildin-r onlvi r? 1967—100 Boeckh indexes: Average, 20 cities: 135.0 Apartments hotels office buildings 1967—100 133.9 Commercial and factory buildings do 132. 8 Residences do Engineering News-Record: Building 1967 = 100.- 140.5 146.7 Construction. _ do Federal Highway Adm.—Highway construction: Composite (avg. for year or qtr.) 1967=100. 131.7 CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS Output index: 175.7 Composite, unadjusted?_ .1947-49 = 100 Seasonally adjusted ___do Iron and steel products, unadjusted do 163.8 182.7 Lumber and wood products, unadj do 209.0 Portland cement, unadjusted do REAL ESTATEf Mortgage applications for new home construction: FHA net applications. thous. units 366.8 Seasonally adjusted annual rates do 217.9 Requests for VA appraisals do Seasonally adjusted annual rates do Home mortgages insured or guaranteed b y Fed. Hous. Adm.: Face amount mil. $.. 10,374.54 Vet. Adm.: Face amount§ do 6,065.83 Federal Home Loan Banks, outstanding advances to member institutions, end of period mil. $.. New mortgage loans of all savings and loan associations, estimated total _ mil. $ By purpose of loan: Home construction ... _.do _ Home purchase _ do All other purposes... . , do Foreclosures number.. Fire losses (on bldgs., contents, etc.)t mil. $__ 146.6 146.1 145.4 144.8 148.3 147.9 147.5 146.9 148.6 148.3 151.6 152.6 153.7 155.1 160.1 1 A.7 *< 163.2 171.1 155.2 163.0 155.0 163.9 138.2 133 7 189.7 205.6 191. 9 185.9 194.3 213.4 195.7 195.1 191.0 207.8 187.0 185.4 193.7 157.8 180.3 170.5 180.9 ' 169. 5 ' 193.0 199.7 207 0 175.0 193.9 219.3 189.4 201.1 269.6 164.3 182.4 253.0 197.3 208.5 304.5 183.7 194.8 264.2 193.2 211.7 275.4 175.8 192.0 198.6 156.7 163.4 144.2 168.1 190.6 143.3 ' 168. 5 ' 186. 9 148.5 206 2 213.0 201.0 225.2 20.4 221 20.3 219 17.2 224 17.3 200 19.5 207 19.2 202 14.0 166 15.9 192 12.3 147 15.7 189 12.6 162 16.4 207 9.7 131 12.0 194 9.4 124 15.5 ^22 8.2 100 15.3 217 9.2 93 18.4 201 6.3 68 15.9 169 8.4 89 15.1 161 9.1 103 p 14.9 8,067. 06 8,419. 86 643.05 854.60 635.16 672. 96 750.10 771. 98 585. 28 758. 57 598. 00 737. 74 592.11 791. 77 435.11 731. 77 577. 47 687. 68 396.44 630.43 462.88 599. 05 374.25 618. 02 385. 90 655. 67 381. 62 650. 60 665. 86 7,936 7,979 6,075 6,138 6,295 6,736 7,045 7,245 7,979 7,831 7,944 8,420 9,429 10,156 11,142 12,365 39 485 51 408 5 449 4,572 5 379 4 689 4 522 4 393 4 591 3 702 3 710 4 990 4 989 r 5 477 p 5 738 6,835 18,810 13 840 8,553 26, 615 16 240 872 2,920 1 657 743 2,515 1 314 803 3,087 1 489 739 2,587 1 363 761 2,423 1 338 714 2,307 1 372 667 2,167 1 757 590 1,970 1 142 614 2,019 1 077 887 2,685 1 418 *>903 886 ' 931 2,762 ' 3 , 1 4 1 ; v 3,469 1 341 ' 1 405 •p 1 366 116 698 132,335 12 469 10,533 11,124 10 735 10 834 10, 857 10 382 2,316 2,304 187 188 184 178 182 164 194 218 213 218 209.2 155.8 164.9 156.4 165.4 157.9 166.2 158.4 167.0 160.1 168.3 141.2 r Revised. p Preliminary. i Computed from cumulative valuation total. 2 index as of Aug. 1,1973: Building, 169.4; construction, 178.8. OData for June, Aug., and Nov. 1972 and Mar. and May 1973 are for 5 weeks; other months, 4 weeks. 9 Includes data for items not shown separately. §Data include guaranteed direct loans sold. cfNew base; comparable data for earlier periods will be shown later. HHome mortgage rates (conventional 161.4 169.0 164.9 172.2 144.4 167.3 173.7 168.0 174.4 168.9 175.0 137.8 168.5 176.5 2168. 3 2177. 0 145 9 229 224 i 12.4 135 223 1st mortgages) are under money and interest rates on p. S-17. f Beginning Jan. 1970, data include estimates for uninsured fire losses and are not comparable with those for earlier periods. Revised monthly data back to 1970 are available upon request. ^Beginning Jan. 1973, housing starts in permit-issuing places are for 14,000 permit places. SUEVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown In the 1971 edition of B U S I N E S S S T A T I S T I C S 1971 1972 1972 June Annual S-ll July Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July DOMESTIC TRADE ADVERTISING McCann-Erickson national seasonally adjusted:f Combined indexf Television (network) Spot TV Magazines Newspapers.. advertising index 214 24' 338 187 148 214 264 321 186 142 219 267 310 187 162 225 281 360 183 146 228 27; 348 184 169 233 272 377 195 162 242 287 410 192 163 238 275 418 187 164 1, 297. 7 44.4 119.8 23.2 148.2 115.2 109.0 1.7 12.2 2.2 13.3 10.6 83.8 1.2 8.4 1.3 10.5 8.7 78.1 3.7 5.0 .9 11.2 6.3 117.0 6.4 8.4 2.2 12.1 136.5 5.0 15.1 2.1 13.5 11.8 138.5 4.1 11.7 2.1 13.6 13.7 111.2 3.5 6.8 1.0 11.5 9.7 72.5 1.7 5.9 1.0 9.3 5.0 2.2 8.8 1.7 11.7 109.8 4.9 11.3 2.8 12.1 8.0 126.7 5.7 13.6 3.4 11.6 9.5 126.7 3.5 13.3 3.5 13.0 8.3 109.8 2.0 11.0 2.5 12.6 9.3 64.0 33.1 17.8 118.2 486.0 91.0 76.7 29.7 20.6 116.2 512.7 8.5 6.2 2.4 1.7 9.6 40.5 6.4 4.6 1.6 1.6 9.8 29.8 4.7 3.4 2.3 1.4 8.6 30.5 6.7 7.6 3.3 1.8 11.3 48.1 10.2 10.2 2.4 1.7 11.1 53.2 11.4 9.5 3.0 1.9 11.4 56.0 14.8 4.9 1.9 1.3 11.3 44.6 3.4 2.9 1.9 .9 7.2 33.4 3.7 3.8 1.6 1.4 8.1 38.0 5.1 6.5 2.5 2.0 8.3 46.2 6.9 9.5 2.7 2.0 9.3 52.5 8.0 9.4 3.9 2.0 8.7 53.1 7.4 7.3 3.4 1.3 8.6 44.4 3, 208. 100.8 751.7 103.1 445.4 1, 807. 3 3,648. 6 102.5 914.9 122.1 504.4 2, 004. 7 310.3 8.3 79.3 11.5 43.6 167.6 280.4 7.6 82.6 10.2 30.4 149.7 273.4 7.4 76.7 6.3 30.0 153.0 281.2 10.5 74.3 8.3 40.2 147.9 333.7 8.2 82.9 11.6 50.6 180.3 339.1 8.8 72.8 9.4 50.5 197.6 306.4 5.9 64.4 9.8 35.4 190.9 279.6 6.9 79.8 13.6 36.4 143.0 274.1 7.8 76.9 8.3 37.3 143.9 315. 5 8.7 87.4 11.4 43.7 164.4 340.7 9.7 92.2 15.2 46.9 176.8 338.5 9.7 91.2 10.4 44.5 182.8 Merchant wholesalers sales (unadj.), totaL.mil. { Durable goods establishments do.. Nondurable goods establishments do.. 267,357 122,420 144,937 298,199 138, 446 159,753 25,389 12,127 13,262 23,491 11,085 12, 406 26,654 12,552 14,102 25,555 12,092 13,463 26,823 12,604 14, 219 27,154 12,301 14,853 26,089 11,557 14,532 26,326 11,856 14,470 25,562 11,699 13,863 29,852 13,831 16,021 28,859 '31,232 13,841 r 14,828 15,018 r 16,404 30, 267 14, 692 15,575 Merchant wholesalers inventories, book value, end of year or month (unadj.), total mil. $_ Durable goods establishments do... Nondurable goods establishmentsdo._. 28,828 16, 987 11,841 31,895 18,672 13, 223 29,648 18,003 11,646 29,901 18,332 11,569 29,868 18,098 11,769 30,367 18,166 12, 201 31, 255 18, 250 13,005 31,665 18,471 13,194 31, 895 18,672 13, 223 32,865 18,970 13,895 33,171 19,139 14,032 33,493 19,525 13,968 33,614 19,714 13,900 r 34,154 20,489 13, 665 mil. $. do... do... do do 408, 850 448,379 149,659 88 612 81 521 7, 091 38, 730 37, 522 39,014 39,790 47,004 41,309 40,686 12,785 7,406 6.770 12,501 7,192 6,592 600 13,569 8,043 7,396 647 13,229 7,775 7,136 639 13, 725 7,274 6,624 650 35,768 12,154 7.504 7,019 485 34,977 13,735 8,372 7,716 36,961 12,624 7,486 6,869 617 37, 994 131, 814 78, 916 72, 538 6, 378 12,284 7,612 7,143 469 14,853 9,374 8,761 614 14,535 8,989 8,347 642 do do. do. 18, 560 11, 004 6, 221 21, 315 12, 550 7, 029 1,770 1,101 544 1,749 1,001 1,817 1,070 607 1,760 1,022 595 1,863 1,107 599 1,959 1,166 623 2,330 1,235 854 1,789 1,044 595 1,754 1,058 563 1,927 1,158 610 1,856 1,137 578 17, 378 20,064 13, 733 15,973 3,645 4,091 277,036 298,720 20,804 21, 993 4,727 5,198 8,193 8,386 3,532 3,774 1,841 1,460 381 24,995 1,739 432 653 298 1,837 1,465 372 24,337 1,580 371 605 267 1,952 1,590 362 1,924 1,567 357 33,279 3,177 827 1,197 480 1,458 1,188 270 23,614 1,608 424 595 283 1,470 1,198 272 25,445 1,923 445 737 340 1,759 1,398 361 26,561 2,055 504 777 351 1,664 1,212 452 25,209 1,759 389 667 317 1,883 1,541 342 25,021 1,846 401 708 361 22,693 1,460 339 585 247 1,746 1,417 329 26,456 1,829 399 712 342 1,184 2,943 8,253 7,676 2,606 1,189 2,902 7,862 7,293 2,686 1,201 2,782 7,991 7,441 2,668 1,668 2,910 8,948 8,321 2,724 1,205 2,715 7,995 7,468 2,589 1,151 2,623 7,646 7,106 2,474 1,222 2,975 8,792 8,202 2,773 1,219 2,950 8,171 7,579 2,808 1957-59=100. do .do. do do 199 233 302 175 141 Magazine advertising (general and natl. farm magazines) : Cost, total mil. $. Apparel and accessories do... Automotive, incl. accessories do Building materials do Drugs and toiletries do Foods, soft drinks, confectionery do. 1,251.4 47.0 Hi. 3 19.2 158.6 108.1 Beer, wine, liquors do... Household equip., supplies, furnishings..do.._ Industrial materials do... Soaps, cleansers, etc do... Smoking materials do... Allother do... Newspaper advertising expenditures (64 cities): © Total* mil. $. Automotive do... Classified do... Financial do... General do... Retail do... 219 262 340 186 151 WHOLESALE TRADE r 33,820 20,062 13, 758 RETAIL TRADE t All retail stores:t Estimated sales (unadj.), total % Durable goods stores 9 Automotive group Passenger car, other auto, dealers Tire, battery, accessory dealers Furniture and appliance group 9 Furniture, homefurnishings stores Household appliance, TV, radio Lumber, building, hardware group 1 do.. Lumber, bldg. materials dealersd" do.. Hardware stores do.. Nondurable goods stores 9 do.. Apparel group do.. Men's and boys' wear stores do.. Women's apparel, accessory stores.._do_. Shoe stores do.. Drug and proprietary stores Eating and drinking places Food group Grocery stores Gasoline service stations do. do.. do. do.. do. General merchandise group with nonstores9 mil. $.. General merchandise group without nonstores 9§ mil. $. Department stores do Mail order houses (dept. store mdse).do Variety stores do Liquor stores do Estimated sales (seas, adj.), total % do.... Durable goods stores 9 do Automotive group do Passenger car, other auto, dealers do Tire, battery, accessory dealers do 43,190 43, 641 15,465 • 15,372 9,428 ' 9,236 r 8,525 8,744 711 1,953 1,214 r 602 2,024 1,208 679 1,861 r 2,098 1,487 r 1, 656 374 -•442 26,151 •27,725 2,007 r 1,920 440 M48 743 -•738 408 ••324 2,175 1,709 466 28,269 r 1,989 492 738 345 13, 736 31,131 89, 239 82, 793 29,163 14,523 33,891 95, 020 88,340 31, 044 1,195 3,022 8,173 7,592 2,645 1,163 3,063 8,092 7,492 2,752 1,222 3,127 8,100 7,494 2,758 68,134 74,903 5,977 5,660 6,224 6,151 6,540 7,487 10,755 4,999 4,933 6,307 6,467 62, 242 42, 027 4,301 6,972 8,773 68,936 46,302 r 4, 722 7,756 9,215 5,493 5,208 3,739 3.486 324 313 584 616 774 803 16,822 37,342 L2,253 12,468 7,266 7,399 6,704 6,821 562 | 578 5,735 3,787 417 638 760 37,969 12,842 7,723 7,104 619 5,628 3,835 366 610 749 37, 746 5,985 4.006 477 623 757 39,106 6,887 4.622 620 698 779 38,713 10,243 7,098 528 1,304 1,069 4,572 3,076 300 492 692 5,776 3,849 473 620 740 39,417 40,707 4,469 2,961 340 496 667 41,242 12, 614 7,503 13,173 7,825 7,215 610 13,640 8,300 7,729 571 14,234 8,507 7,904 14,405 8,575 7,945 630 41,979 14, 612 8,769 8,127 642 5,975 4,034 425 666 718 41,185 r r r r 1,281 3,238 8,745 8,139 2, 947 ' 1,299 r 3,361 r 9,222 ' 8,593 r 3,002 6,713 r 6,194 4,209 '419 '668 ••789 r 6,778 6,298 r 4,290 367 699 824 41, 735 41,218 14,299 r13, 696 8,503 7,937 ' 7,870 7,330 -633 607 615 13,168 7,853 7,195 658 Furniture and appliance group 9 Furniture, homefurnishings stores Household appliance, TV, radio do do do 1,735 1,051 527 1,781 1,026 607 1,797 1,040 613 1,750 1,034 580 1,846 1,093 602 1,846 1,093 591 1,808 1,048 601 1,962 1,145 640 2,021 1,215 659 2,014 1,184 659 2,024 1,208 1,995 1,203 ••635 1,998 1,162 Lumber, building, hardware group Lumber, bldg. materials dealers^ Hardware stores do.. do.. do.. 1,605 1,263 342 1,679 1,338 341 1,714 1,362 352 1, 746 1,406 340 1, 780 1,427 353 1,747 1,390 357 1,711 1,379 332 1,915 1,545 370 1,937 1,556 381 1, 936 1,547 389 1,896 1,508 388 1,939 1,546 '393 1,938 1,525 413 r Revised. 1 Advance estimate. ©Source: Media Records, Inc. 64-City Newspaper Advertising Trend Chart. *New series. Beginning Jan. 1971 the series was revised to reflect trends in newspaper advertising expenditures in 64 cities instead of linage in 52 cities as formerly published, t Revised to reflect new sample design, improved techniques, and new information from the 1967 Census of Business; revisions for periods prior to Oct. 1970 appear on p . 55 ff. of the Dec. 1971 SURVEY (complete details appear in the Census Bureau Monthly Retail 14,339 8,555 7, 927 628 Trade Report, Aug. 1971 issue). 9 Includes data for items not shown separately. fFormerly Marketing/Communications advertising index. Series revised in June 1971; comparable 1970 monthly data are in the SURVEY for t h a t month (no comparable earlier data are available). d" Comprises lumber yards, building materials dealers, and paint, plumbing, and electrical stores. §Except department stores mail order. SURVEY S-12 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1971 CURRENT | 1972 August 1973 1973 1972 June Annual July Aug. Sept. Nov. Oct. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 28,277 DOMESTIC TRADE—Continued RETAIL TRADEf—Continued AH retail storesf—Continued Estimated sales (seas, adj.)—Continued Nondurable goods stores? mil. $_. Apparel group do Men's and boys' wear stores __do Women's apparel, accessory stores do Shoe stores -do Drug and proprietary stores Eatingand drinking places Food group Grocery stores Gasoline service stations 24,569 1,788 429 683 294 24,874 1,801 433 695 299 25,127 1,813 438 699 300 25,132 1,836 433 701 318 25,938 1,947 468 718 350 25,540 1,891 445 710 344 25,777 1,899 438 730 347 26,473 1,949 476 741 26,837 2,012 471 788 348 27,367 2,175 506 825 397 26,846 1,878 444 706 339 27,436 1,974 '456 '753 ••335 27,522 2,011 482 762 338 1,218 2,801 7,832 7,279 2,500 1,204 2,818 7,956 7,374 2,677 1,246 2,797 8,039 7,457 2,622 1,204 2,830 8,005 7,438 2,611 1,226 2,873 8,209 7,637 2,686 1,250 2, 913 8,134 7,570 2,6S1 1,236 2,957 8,071 7,503 2,713 1,246 3,057 8,476 7,894 2,714 1,254 3,057 8,409 7,800 2,821 1,241 3,089 8,431 7,834 2,821 1,280 3,060 8,616 8,012 2,868 1,291 3,096 8,665 8,074 2,884 1,313 3,092 8,680 8,076 2,837 6,143 6,267 6,333 6,548 6,354 6,362 6,590 6,753 7,137 6,696 6,917 6,945 5,632 3,792 370 638 776 5,801 3,899 393 643 785 5,772 3,845 412 654 775 5,858 4,007 400 634 767 6,065 4,092 432 663 800 5,833 3, 937 415 643 5,884 4,008 366 671 740 6,095 4,101 412 703 759 6,223 4,212 429 681 795 6,621 4,439 489 738 779 6,166 4,167 452 656 783 4,326 '453 '688 '799 60,889 23,152 11,384 3,557 3,219 53, 283 53,697 52,794 23, 782 24, 701 23,592 10, 950 12, 084 11,083 3,746 3,692 3,691 3,631 3,568 3,543 51,693 21,749 9,169 3,672 3,536 53,187 22,451 9,845 3,750 3,561 55,075 22,984 10,165 3,803 3,574 !56, S16 53,283 i 23,908 23,782 ;10, 707 10,950 ! 3, 923 3,746 3,631 ; 3,646 53,605 24,078 11,222 3,754 3,692 55,168 24, S39 11,845 3,766 3,809 56,901 25,574 12,346 3,816 3,910 57,836 25,976 12,613 3,932 4,006 58,223 26,335 12,823 4,008 4,061 58,421 26,538 13,085 3,996 4,031 27,737 4,397 5,507 29, 501 28,996 4,556 4,509 5,859 5,538 29,202 4,598 5,563 29,944 4,834 5,631 30,736 5,044 5,645 32,091 5,188 5,893 32,908 29,501 5, 302 4,556 6,030 5,859 29,527 4,354 5,728 30,329 4,616 5,731 31,327 4,834 5,892 31,860 4,886 6,012 31,888 4,819 6,020 31,883 4,804 6,137 11,062 6,613 11, 784 12,106 7,075 7,273 12,153 7,203 12,541 7,469 12,981 7,763 54, 700 53,293 24,442 23,665 11, 324 11,086 3,791 3,703 3,732 3,508 52.940 23,194 10,596 3,725 3,529 53,107 23,037 10,407 3,690 3,579 53,661 23,608 10,937 3,743 3,612 13, 203 7,859 56,039 56,106 24, 638 24,538 11,522 11,435 3, 851 3,835 3, 824 3,826 13,482 7,994 52,261 23,808 11,772 3,604 3,312 13,680 14,132 11,784 12,097 7,075 7,200 8,316 j 8,759 53,934 ! 54.658 54,700 55, 526 23,675 i 24 235 24,442 24,472 10,918 i 11,247 11,324 11,335 3,714 | 3.761 3,791 3,732 3,764 3,628 i 3,705 56,636 24,624 11,508 3,885 3,886 13,541 7,993 57,285 25,094 11, 786 3,972 3,931 13,533 7,899 58,079 25,454 12,027 4,004 3,964 28,453 4,580 5,442 30, 258 29,628 4,746 4,673 5,790 5,560 29,746 4,726 5,597 30,070 30,053 4,753 4,777 5,734 5,714 31,401 4,818 5,806 31,568 4,858 5,892 32,012 4,920 6,012 32,191 4,902 6,026 32,625 4,983 6,168 11,753 7,035 12, 521 12,462 7,527 7,545 12,380 7,380 12,561 7,499 12,446 7,443 30,259 ! 30 423 30,258 31,054 4,746 4,722 4,835 | 4.S60 5,800 I 5.S15 5,790 5,815 12,388 12,500 12,521 13,095 7,485 7,527 7,818 7,710 13,356 7,955 13,427 7,963 13,696 8,124 13,664 8,049 13,921 8,201 126,607 137, 650 11,430 do. do_. __do_. do.. do_. General merchandise group with nonstores 9 mil. $.. General merchandise group without nonstores 9 § mil. $.. Department stores _ do Mail order houses (dept. store mdse.)do Variety stores do Liquor stores do— Estimated inventories, end of year or month: X Book value (unadjusted), total X— mil. $.. Durable goods stores 9 do Automotive group do Furniture and appliance group do Lumber, building, hardware group. _do Nondurable goods stores 9 do Apparel group _ do Food group _ ...do General merchandise group with nonstores mil. $.. Department stores _do Book value (seas, adj.), total X do Durable goods stores 9 ...do Automotive group do Furniture and appliance group do Lumber, building, hardware group...do Nondurable goods stores 9 -.do Apparel group do Food group do General merchandise group with nonstores. mil. $.. Department stores ...do Firms with 11 or more stores: t Estimated sales (unadj.), total9___ Apparel group 9 Men's and boys' wear stores Women's apparel, accessory stores Shoe stores _ Drug and proprietary stores Eating and drinking places __ Furniture and appliance group .do do. do. do do do do do General merchandise group with nonstoros9 mil. $.. General merchandise group without nonstores § mil. $. Dept. stores, excl. mail order sales do Variety stores.. _ do Grocery stores Tire, battery, accessory dealers Estimated sales (seas, adj.), total 9 0 Apparel group 9 Men's and boys' wear stores Women's apparel, accessory stores. Shoe stores Drug and proprietary stores Eating and drinking places _ do .do do.... 10,892 11,465 11,661 11,826 12,814 16,906 10,482 10,162 12,377 12,119 12,665 13,006 6,741 750 2,123 1,498 4,693 2,735 1,600 6,055 782 2,194 1,737 5,246 2,887 1,902 472 67 171 129 441 267 164 410 50 153 111 417 278 152 487 51 180 144 445 274 165 532 59 189 178 431 230 156 545 66 194 169 431 229 171 584 75 213 176 442 168 910 126 335 246 695 240 221 405 53 141 126 420 228 160 383 40 152 115 407 222 154 520 56 193 163 440 263 178 610 64 215 206 445 263 167 ••536 '63 '200 ' 144 479 '277 ' 159 555 68 200 159 497 288 181 62,092 58,113 4,635 4,385 4,814 4,800 5,096 \ 5,904 8,630 3,878 3,830 4,964 5,075 '5,268 5,317 49,008 36,544 5,398 55,100 40, 795 6,191 4,393 3,307 493 4,165 3,102 465 4,578 3,365 503 4,531 3,400 486 4,785 3,533 500 5. 593 4,082 568 6,240 1,075 3,680 2,721 391 3.609 2. 629 393 4,686 3,432 495 4,836 3,580 539 ' 5,005 ' 3,725 '538 5,076 3,803 568 45,235 1,955 49,206 2,094 4,114 178 4,122 191 4,315 171 4,090 186 4,232 188 4,727 198 4,243 141 4,032 134 4,719 180 4,235 192 r 200 4,524 '189 4,776 198 11,268 11,449 11,592 11,660 12,202 : 11,944 473 65 177 122 451 249 493 67 180 132 431 259 491 59 185 137 450 249 511 63 183 154 443 228 4,737 4,817 4,846 4,481 3,310 515 4,604 3,413 521 4,597 3,379 516 4,724 3,534 513 4,060 4,151 165 4,223 187 4,133 182 4,384 j 4.2S8 191 ! 177 22,486 22,094 7,687 7,809 14,677 14,407 9,452 9,124 13,034 12,970 22,288 7,805 14,483 9,163 13,125 22,808 7,966 14,842 9,442 13,366 22,504 22,714 7,606 7,714 14, 898 15,000 9,163 9,238 13,341 13,476 23,031 7,781 15,250 9,429 13,602 do.. do.. do.. do.. do., do.. General merchandise group with nonstores 9 - . mil. $. General merchandise group without nonstores § mil. $. Dept. stores, excl. mail order sales do.. Variety stores do... Grocery stores do.. Tire, battery, accessory dealers do. All retail stores, accts. receivable, end of yr. or mo.: d" Total (unadjusted) mil. $. Durable goods stores _ do Nondurable goods stores do... Charge accounts _ do Installment accounts do Total (seasonally adjusted) Durable goods stores Nondurable goods stores Charge accounts Installment accounts _ do do I_I"___Ido~I~ __ _do "I'.IIIdo." 23,514 7,753 15,761 9,385 14,129 25,068 8,115 16,953 10, 090 14, 978 22, 046 7,580 14,466 8,986 13,060 23,518 22,494 7,940 7,649 15,578 14,845 9,671 9,252 13, 847 13,242 ' Revised. i Advance estimate. fSee note marked " J " on p. S-ll. iSeries revised to reflect benchmarking to the levels of the 1968-71 Annual Retail Trade Reports (Census Bureau), and also recalculation of seasonal factors for all lines of trade; description of revisions and revised data appear on p. 55 £f. of the Dec. 1971 SURVEY (1968-69) and pp. 24-25 of the 12, 628 7,470 6,443 4,333 446 717 11,830 12,477 12,503 12,814 12,524 12,742 12,693 531 63 li>4 107 460 240 528 62 188 165 451 544 64 197 170 461 252 574 59 226 172 472 260 616 72 224 192 454 270 548 63 202 170 483 258 '550 '64 '208 '148 480 '262 556 64 204 154 506 265 5,008 5,023 5,242 5,331 5,565 5,252 • 5,426 5,445 4,874 i 4.748 3,627 ' 3,519 529 I 517 4,798 3,554 544 4,986 3,672 567 5,076 3,750 546 5,303 3,900 579 4,991 3,698 539 • 5,158 • 3,821 '554 5,197 3,822 586 4,139 166 4,480 185 4,335 184 190 4,525 184 • 4,533 '174 4,455 169 23,061 23,563 8,010 7, 42 15,051 i 15.621 9,664 j 9,653 13,397 I 13.910 25,068 24,143 23, 703 23,655 8,115 7,910 7,845 7,822 16, 953 16,298 15,881 15,745 10,090 9,417 9,333 9,441 14, 978 14, 726 14, 370 14,214 23,957 '8,065 15,892 ' 9,705 14,252 24,547 8,367 16,180 10,195 14,352 24, 764 8,536 16, 228 10, 241 14,523 23,139 7,757 15,382 9,530 13,609 23,518 23,669 23, 983 24,106 7,940 8,053 8,123 8,205 15, 578 15, 616 15, 860 15,901 9,671 9,567 9, 749 9,800 13, 847 14,102 14,234 14,306 24,232 '8,276 15,956 '9,785 14,447 24,665 8,467 16,198 10,040 14,625 24,843 8,380 16,463 10,031 14,812 551 66 189 179 455 223 5,147 | 23, 364 7.847 15.517 ; >,524 13.840 Oct. 1972 SURVEY (1970-71). 9 Includes data not shown separately. §Except department stores mail order. d"See note marked " J " on p. S-ll; data prior to Feb. 1971 will be shown later. GRevised data (seas, adj.) back to Jan. 1971 appear in the Census Bureau Monthly Retail Trade Report, Dec. 1972 issue. suit V J b i l UJb UU-KJttiiiJN J. August 1973 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1971 S-13 1972 1972 Annual ttl) June July Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July P LABOR FORCE, EMPLOYMENT, AND EARNINGS POPULATION OF THE UNITED STATES Total, incl. armed forces overseas t mil.. LABOR FORCE § Labor force, persons 16 years of age and over_.thous_. Civilian labor force --do— Employed, total do— Agriculture -do— Nonagricultural industries do— Unemployed do— Seasonally Adjusted Civilian labor force do— Employed, total do— Agriculture do Nonagricultural industries do.... Unemployed ...-do Long-term, 15 weeks and over do Rates (unemployed in each group as percent of total in the group): All civilian workers Men, 20 years and over Women, 20 years and over.. Both sexes, 16-19 years . White Negro and other races. Married men Occupation: White-collar workers Blue-collar workers Industry of last job (nonagricultural): Private wage and salary workers Construction _ Manufacturing Durable goods EMPLOYMENT Employees on payrolls of nonagricultural estab.:t Total, not adjusted for seasonal variation...thous— Private sector (excl. government) do. Seasonally Adjusted Total employees, nonagricultural payrolls t__ do Private sector (excl. government) do. Nonmanufacturing industries* do. Goods-producing* do. Mining... do. Contract construction do. Manufacturing.-.... do.. Durable goods do. Ordnance and accessories do. Lumber and wood products do.. Furniture and fixtures. do. Stone, clay, and glass products do. Primary metal industries do. Fabricated metal products do. Machinery, except electrical. do. Electrical equipment and supplies, -do. Transportation equipment do. Instruments and related products.-do. Miscellaneous manufacturing do.. Nondurable goods do. Food and kindred products do.. Tobacco manufactures do.. Textile mill products do. Apparel and other textile products. _do. Paper and allied products do. Printing and publishing do. Chemicals and allied products do. Petroleum and coal products do. Rubber and plastics products, nec.do. Leather and leather products do. Service-producing* do.. Trans., comm., electric, gas, etc do.. Wholesale and retail trade do.. Wholesale trade do.. Retail trade do.. Finance, insurance, and real estate do.. Services _..do. Government do. Federal _ do. State and local do. 207.04 1 208.84 208.71 208.84 208.98 209.13 86,929 84,113 79,120 3,387 75, 732 4,993 88,991 86, 542 2 81, 702 3,472 78, 230 2 4, 840 90,448 88,055 82,629 3,976 78,653 5,426 91,005 88,617 83,443 4,061 79,383 5,173 90,758 88,362 83,505 4,031 79,475 4,857 82,034 3,658 78,376 4,658 86,597 81,782 3,443 78,339 4,815 1,151 86,941 82,061 3,610 78,451 4,880 1,170 209.58 209.72 209.83 209.92 210.04 210.16 210.28 89,400 4,470 82,703 3,363 79,340 4,266 89,437 86,997 82,881 3,163 79,719 4,116 88,122 85,718 81,043 2,955 78,088 4,675 89,075 86,683 87,325 81,838 2 82,814 2,956 3,131 78,882 79,683 4,845 4,512 89,823 87,473 83,299 3,295 80,004 4,174 89,891 87, 557 83,758 3,467 80,291 3,799 92, 729 90,414 85,567 4,053 81,514 4,847 87,066 82,256 3,579 78,677 4,810 1,134 87,236 82,397 3,658 78,739 4,839 1,117 87,023 82,525 3,556 78,969 4,498 1,068 87,267 82,780 3,650 79,130 4,487 1,001 86,921 82,555 3,501 79,054 4,366 919 87,569 83,127 3,424 79,703 4,442 88,350 83,917 3,311 80,606 4,433 763 88,405 84,024 3,275 80,749 4,381 802 88,932 84,674 3,403 81,271 4,258 775 5.5 3.8 5.4 16.2 5.0 10.0 2.8 3.4 6.0 5.6 9.8 5.1 4.8 5.5 3.9 5.5 15.4 5.0 10.0 2.8 3.5 6.0 5.6 10.3 5.1 4.5 5.2 3.5 5.0 15.6 4.6 10.1 2.5 3.1 5.8 5.3 10.5 4.6 4.2 5.1 3.4 5.1 15.7 4.6 9.6 2.4 3.3 5.6 5.2 9.8 4.4 3.9 5.0 3.3 5.3 14.3 4.6 8.9 2.4 3.2 5.6 5.1 3.4 4.9 15.8 4.6 9.0 2.4 3.0 5.7 5.0 3.4 4.9 14.2 4.4 9.0 2.5 2.9 5.4 5.0 3.4 4.7 15.4 4.5 9.1 2.4 3.1 5.4 5.0 3.4 4.6 15.4 4.4 9.4 2.3 2.8 5.4 4.8 3.2 4.9 13.3 4.3 8.5 2.3 2.8 5.3 5.1 9.0 5.0 4.6 5.1 8.7 4.5 4.3 4.9 8.5 4.6 4.5 4.9 9.4 4.3 3.8 4.9 9.0 4.5 4.1 4.7 7.9 4.4 3.7 89,591 87,176 82,707 3,721 1,181 1,158 86,554 81, 752 3,331 78,421 4.802 1,139 5.9 4.4 5.7 16.9 5.4 9.9 3.2 3.5 7.4 5.6 4.0 5.4 16.2 5.0 10.0 2.8 3.4 6.5 5.5 4.0 5.6 14.9 5.1 9.2 2.9 3.2 6.5 5.6 3.9 5.7 15.5 5.0 10.0 2.7 3.4 6.5 5.6 3.9 5.5 16.7 5.1 9.7 2.6 3.5 6.4 6.2 10.4 6.8 7.0 5.7 10.3 5.6 5.4 5.6 9.6 5.7 5.8 5.7 10.7 5.6 5.7 5.8 11.0 5.5 5.2 70,645 57,790 72,764 59,475 73,463 60,152 72,469 59,720 72,975 60,295 73,519 74,118 60,606 74,449 60,804 74,778 61,071 73,343 59,772 73,724 59,993 74,255 60,459 74,861 '75,404 '76,214 61,068 '61,589 '62,514 70,645 57,790 39, 262 22,542 602 3,411 72,764 59, 475 40,541 23,061 607 3,521 72,705 59,478 40,547 23,072 601 3,540 72,694 59,423 40,530 22,993 601 3,499 73,016 59, 693 40,718 23,122 603 3,544 73,268 59,883 40,814 23,226 606 3,551 73,584 60,178 40,968 23,379 608 3,561 73,835 60,382 41,070 23,444 608 3,524 74,002 60,500 41,098 23,468 607 3,459 74,252 60,774 41,311 23,571 610 3,498 74,715 61,182 41,596 23,792 612 3,594 74,914 61,340 41,697 23,857 610 3,604 75,105 61,491 41,764 23,906 608 3,571 18,529 10,565 192 581 458 634 1,227 1,328 1,805 1,768 1,724 437 410 7,964 1,758 76 957 1,336 684 1,071 1,008 191 581 302 48,103 4,442 15,142 3,809 11,333 3,796 11,869 12,856 2,664 10,191 18,933 10,884 188 612 493 660 1,235 1,371 1,864 1,833 1,747 456 425 18, 931 10,857 188 611 18,893 10,867 190 613 495 662 1,219 1,371 1,859 1,828 1,751 456 423 8,026 1,754 75 990 1,312 698 1,077 997 189 628 306 49,701 4,477 15,685 3,917 11,768 3,927 12,341 13,271 2,613 10,658 18,975 10,933 191 614 497 663 1,241 1,377 1,872 1,834 1,757 460 427 8,042 1,740 70 994 1,335 700 1,080 998 189 630 306 49,894 4,487 15,762 19,069 11,003 187 614 499 665 1,263 1,381 1,885 1,849 1,772 462 426 8,066 1,746 67 995 1,339 701 1,083 1,007 189 634 305 50,042 4,507 15,794 3,946 11,823 11,848 3,940 3,953 12,382 12,403 13,323 13,385 2,624 2,633 10,699 10,752 19,210 11,112 191 616 503 671 1,274 1,393 1,909 1,878 1,782 466 429 8,098 1,746 68 1,003 1,343 706 1,085 1,010 189 644 304 50,205 4,540 15,839 3,958 11,881 3,969 12,451 13,406 2,639 10,767 19,312 11,194 196 621 505 673 1,278 1,400 1,932 1,888 1,800 470 431 8,118 1,743 70 1,008 1,347 706 1,088 1,013 189 652 302 50,391 4,549 15,911 3,963 11,948 3,981 12,497 13,453 2,644 10,809 19,402 19,463 19,586 19,643 19,727 •19,782 •19,868 11,270 11,326 11,421 11,463 11,534 •11,602 •11,657 196 198 197 '193 197 195 '192 623 624 628 '629 630 631 '627 508 511 514 517 ••523 520 '525 673 674 682 692 687 687 '693 1,286 1,284 1,286 1,280 1,288 ' 1, 299 '1,308 1,407 1,419 1,432 1,436 1,448 ' 1,456 1,455 1,950 1,965 1,973 1,990 2,006 ' 2, 021 '2,038 1,908 1,925 1,945 1,957 1,970 ••1,984 ' 2,004 1,814 1,845 1,817 1,846 1,869 ' 1,877 '1,884 472 481 477 484 '490 481 '494 433 433 437 439 438 439 '437 8,132 8,165 8,137 8,180 8,193 ' 8,180 '8,211 1,749 1,751 1,744 1,748 1,746 ' 1,736 ' 1,739 72 72 73 76 76 76 '76 1,015 1,014 1,023 1,023 1,023 ' 1,022 ' 1,024 1,345 1,349 1,337 1,350 1,357 ' 1,351 ' 1,351 708 707 711 719 715 712 '719 1,093 1,095 1,090 1,092 1,094 1,096 1,100 1,016 1,014 1,014 1,018 1,021 ' 1, 025 ' 1,029 189 189 185 186 183 '185 ••182 664 672 657 674 680 '688 676 299 295 295 296 299 '300 298 50,534 50,681 50,923 51,057 51,199 r51,311 '51,301 4,558 4,574 4,580 4,580 4,591 ' 4,593 ' 4,589 15,946 16,013 16,114 16,163 16,217 ' 16,256 ' 16,244 3,970 4,001 4,022 4,029 4,044 ' 4,046 ' 4,071 11,976 12,012 12,092 12,134 12,173 -•12,210 '12,173 3,991 3,995 4,014 4,044 ' 4,049 4,024 4,031 12,537 12,621 12,682 12, 716 12,746 r 12,776 '12,803 13,502 13,478 13,533 13,574 13,614 ' 13,642 '13,616 2,641 ' 2,613 2,650 2,634 2,628 2,628 2,631 10,852 10,844 10,905 10,943 10,986 '11,001 '11,003 8,049 1,751 72 991 1,335 697 1,080 1,002 190 627 304 49,704 4,495 15,683 3,918 11,765 3,927 12,309 13,290 2,650 10,640 490 661 1,224 1,372 1,858 1,830 1,740 457 426 8,074 1,771 74 990 1,332 698 1,080 1,001 190 629 309 49,633 4,486 15,678 3,922 11,756 3,927 12,315 13,227 2,639 10,588 Production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagric. payrolls, not seas, adjusted £.. .thous.. 47,732 49,223 49,862 49,407 49,952 13,434 13,838 13,960 13,590 14,023 Manufacturing _ ...do. Seasonally Adjusted Production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls** thous. 47,732 49,223 49,228 49,169 49,412 Goods-producing* do 16,717 17,205 17, 219 17,150 17,268 Mining* do... 451 456 459 453 455 Contract construction* do... 2,928 2,908 2,832 2,925 2,887 Manufacturing do.._ 13,884 13,838 13,841 13,808 13,434 Durable goods ...do... 7,972 7,919 7,598 7,896 7,907 Ordnance and accessories do... 94 97 94 2 'Revised. *> Preliminary. * As of July 1. See note § below. fSeenote"f,"p. S-14. §Effective Jan. 1972, data are adjusted to the 1970 Census and are not directly comparable with earlier data. On unadjusted basis, 330,000 were added to civilian labor force and 301,000 to civilian employment. Effective Mar. 1973, subsequent adjustments added 60,000 to the labor force and to total employment. Beginning in the Feb. 1973 SURVEY, data reflect new seasonal factors; comparable earlierfiguresappear in EMPLOYMENT & EARNINGS (Feb. 1973), USDL, BLS. 209.44 50, 036 50,256 14,180 14,225 49,581 17,350 458 2,936 13,956 8,027 93 49,839 17,486 460 2,944 14,082 8,124 96 83,889 3,480 80,409 4,379 859 •75,321 •61,679 •41,897 •24,010 '608 ' 3,620 75,432 •61,816 41,948 •24,131 '613 '3,650 50,442 50,689 14, 281 14,282 49,365 14,130 49,562 14,258 49,994 14,345 50,554 51,025 14,394 ••14,457 50,105 17,555 458 2,841 14,256 8,266 102 50,316 17,624 462 2,867 14,295 8,307 102 50,708 17,827 464 2,961 14,402 8,386 103 50,830 17,890 462 2,977 14,451 8,425 102 50,947 51,090 •51,197 17,920 17,996 18,108 ••461 '463 461 3,018 2,938 '2,984 14,521 14,551 14,625 8,483 ' 8,528 ' 8,576 99 101 50,021 17,539 459 2,905 14,175 8,200 102 51,857 14,752 *New series; see also note "J". tEffective Oct. 1972 SURVEY, employment, hours, earnings, etc., reflect revised benchmarks and seasonal factors, and are not comparable withfiguresin earlier SURVEYS and in BUSINESS STATISTICS. Unadjusted data through June 1972 and seasonally adjusted data through Dec. 1967 appear in BLS Bulletin 1312-9, EMPLOYMENT & EARNINGS, 1909-72. Effec- tive June 1973 SURVEY, all seasonally adjusted data again reflect new factors; comparable data, 1968-73, appear in EMPLOYMENT & EARNINGS (June 1973), BLS. . 15 U ^lJNiD UJb UUJKJ S-14 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1971 1972 Annual August 197^ 1972 June July Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 544 430 550 1,033 1,118 1,356 1,361 1,351 ' May June July? '542 '428 555 1,044 1,123 1,366 1,370 1,354 296 '304 343 343 6,038 ' 6, 023 1,178 '•1,170 63 63 900 ••900 1,182 ' 1, 174 552 557 663 '661 593 596 115 115 536 531 256 ••256 33,027 33, 094 3,952 3,957 14,404 14,435 3,381 ' 3, 385 11,023 11, 050 3,139 ' 3,143 11,532 11,559 '541 '435 '554 ' 1, 052 ' 1,124 ' 1, 379 ' 1,386 ' 1,360 '306 '341 ' 6, 049 ' 1,173 '63 '900 ' 1,176 '557 '664 '598 '117 '544 '257 33,091 ' 3, 953 14,409 ' 3,405 11,004 ' 3,143 11, 586 541 430 553 1,046 1,116 1,370 1,394 1,347 302 336 6,013 1,177 64 901 1,131 562 666 604 117 539 252 33,112 3,962 14,419 3,401 11,018 3,149 11,582 LABOR FORCE, EMPLOYMENT, AND EARNINGS—Continued EMPLOYMENT—Continued Seasonally Adjusted Production or nonsupervisory workers on payrolls} —Continued Manufacturing, durable goods industries—Con. Lumber and wood products thous.. Furniture and fixtures .do Stone, clay, and glass products do Primary metal industries do Fabricated metal products do Machinery, except electrical do Electrical equipment and supplies. ..do Transportation equipment do Instruments and related products do Miscellaneous manufacturing do Nondurable goods do Food and kindred products do Tobacco manufactures do Textile mill products do Apparel and other textile products._.do Paper and allied products do Printing and publishing do Chemicals and allied products l..do Petroleum and coal products do Kubber and plastics products, nee._.do Leather and leather products do Service-producing* do Transportation, comm., elec, gas, etc* do Wholesale and retail trade* do Wholesale trade* do Retail trade* do Finance, insurance, and real estate* do Services* _ do 500 377 503 968 1,010 1,178 1,171 1,218 261 316 5,836 1,186 63 839 1,168 523 654 580 117 448 258 31,015 3,844 13,439 3,181 10, 258 2,984 10,748 527 408 527 984 1,049 1,236 1,238 1,248 276 331 5,919 1,180 59 871 1,165 537 657 581 117 489 261 32,018 3,883 13, 923 3,278 10, 645 3,072 11,140 526 405 527 976 1,052 1,231 1,236 1,242 276 331 5,945 1,201 62 870 1,163 539 657 580 117 491 265 32,009 3,879 13,911 3,283 10, 628 3,074 11,145 528 409 529 969 1,049 1,234 1,234 1,253 276 330 5,901 1,186 62 870 1,142 539 655 579 116 489 263 32,019 3,865 13,919 3,280 10, 639 3,069 11,166 529 411 530 992 1,056 1,246 1,240 1,260 279 332 5,912 1,168 57 874 1,164 540 657 580 117 492 263 32,144 3,871 13,983 3, 296 10, 687 3,083 11, 207 37.0 42.3 37.3 39.9 37.2 42.5 37.0 40.6 37.2 37.6 42.2 37.0 40.4 40.6 3.4 529 413 530 1,013 1,059 1,252 1,251 1,273 281 333 5,929 1,174 54 875 1,168 541 658 585 531 416 537 1,023 1,069 1,277 1,278 1,278 284 335 535 419 539 1,025 1,075 1,298 1,288 1,294 287 338 37.1 37.6 42.5 37.0 40.6 • 40.6 3.5 37.3 37.4 42.7 36.9 41.0 40.8 37.3 37.3 42.5 37.4 40.8 40.7 3.6 37.2 37.1 42.4 36.9 41.0 40.8 3.7 539 424 539 1,031 1,091 1,324 1,316 1,310 292 339 5,988 1,181 59 893 1,161 548 662 590 119 522 253 32,692 3,947 14, 211 3,350 10, 861 3,111 11,423 543 426 547 1,033 1,104 1,328 1,337 1,327 295 343 6,016 1,184 61 902 1,173 552 661 587 115 529 252 32,881 3,949 14,320 3,363 10, 957 3,127 11,485 543 428 550 1,027 1,108 1,343 1,349 1,334 298 343 6,026 1,181 63 900 1,174 554 661 592 117 531 253 32,940 3, 945 14,362 3,372 10, 990 3,134 11,499 37.0 37.2 41.8 35.8 41.2 40.7 3.8 36.9 36.6 41.5 36.1 40.0 40.3 3.7 37.2 36.8 42.0 36.2 40.6 41.0 3.9 37.1 36.9 41.9 37.0 40.8 40.9 3.9 37.2 36.9 41.7 37.0 40.7 40.9 4.1 37.2 37.0 42.5 '37.5 '40.7 '40.7 3.9 37.2 37.5 '42.8 '37.4 '40.9 '40.6 37.3 37.7 42.8 37.4 40.7 40.9 538 421 538 1,033 1,082 1,314 1,306 1,305 289 338 5,975 5,990 5,958 1,171 1,175 1,175 57 59 55 887 894 882 1,176 1,172 1,171 546 547 545 659 660 659 589 590 587 119 119 118 117 513 517 505 495 258 257 261 262 32,231 32,353 32,482 32,550 3,885 3,922 3, 930 3,937 14,025 14,067 14,137 14,157 3,301 3,319 3,324 3,315 10, 724 10, 752 10,818 10,833 3,090 3,106 3,111 3,097 11, 231 11, 267 11,309 11,345 AVERAGE HOURS PER WEEK Seasonally Adjusted Avg. weekly hours per worker on private nonagric. payrolls: ^Seasonally adjusted hours.. Not seasonally adjusted do Mining do Contract construction .do Manufacturing: Not seasonally adjusted _.. do Seasonally adjusted do Overtime hours .do Durable goods.. do. Overtime hours do. Ordnance and accessories do. Lumber and wood products do. Furniture and fixtures do. Stone, clay, and glass products.. do. Primary metal industries do. Fabricated metal products do. Machinery, except electrical do. Electrical equipment and supplies do. Transportation equipment do. Instruments and related products do. Miscellaneous manufacturing ind _ do. 2.9 3.5 37.1 37.4 42.6 36.9 40.9 40.6 3.4 40.4 2.8 41.7 40.3 39.8 41.6 40.4 40.4 40.6 39.9 40.7 39.8 38.9 41.3 3.6 42.2 41.0 40.5 41.9 41.6 41.2 42.0 40.5 41.8 40.5 39.3 41.3 3.4 42.0 41.2 40.7 42.0 41.4 41.1 42.1 40.5 41.5 40.6 39.5 41.2 3.5 42.3 41.1 40.4 41.9 41.5 41.2 42.1 40.4 41.4 40.5 39.3 41.3 3.6 42.6 41.2 40.5 41.9 41.6 41.2 42.2 40.5 41.4 40.6 39.4 41.4 3.8 42.3 41.3 40.5 42.0 41.9 41.3 42.4 40.6 41.9 40.7 39.5 41.4 3.8 42.5 41.0 40.3 42.1 42.2 41.4 42.4 40.6 41.7 40.6 39.3 41.7 3.9 42.3 41.0 40.3 41.8 42.7 41.6 42.6 40.8 42.2 40.5 39.3 41.5 4.0 42.5 39.8 40.0 41.6 42.4 41.6 42.6 40.5 42.4 40.6 39.1 41.3 4.1 42.5 39.9 39.0 41.1 42.4 41.4 42.4 40.4 42.3 40.4 38.7 42.0 4.4 42.7 40.7 40.6 42.2 42.4 41.9 42.9 41.1 43.2 40.8 39.4 41.6 4.1 42.4 41.0 40.6 42.3 42.1 41.7 42.6 40.6 42.0 40.7 39.3 41.8 4.4 42.0 41.1 40.4 42.3 42.2 41.8 42.5 40.6 43.5 40.8 39.0 41.6 4.2 '41.9 '40.7 40.1 42.3 '41.9 '41.6 '42.6 40.6 '42.1 '40.7 '39.1 '41.4 '4.0 '41.7 '40.8 40.1 ••42.1 '41.9 '41.5 '42.5 '40.1 '42.0 '40.5 39.0 41.6 4.2 42.5 40.9 40.3 42.5 42.9 41.8 42.3 40.3 42.7 40.3 38.8 39.3 3.0 40.3 37.0 40.6 35.6 39.7 3.3 40/4 34.7 41.3 36.0 39.7 3.3 40.4 34.3 41.3 35.9 39.6 3.3 40.4 34.2 41.2 35.9 39.7 3.3 40.3 35.3 41.3 36.0 39.8 3.4 40.3 34.4 41.4 36. 2 39.8 3.4 40.4 35.5 41.3 36.2 39.8 3.5 40.3 35.4 41.3 36.1 39.6 3.4 40.4 35.4 41.2 35.7 39.1 3.4 40.1 33.9 39.5 34.5 39.7 3.4 40.2 35.6 41.2 36.0 39.8 3.5 40.2 36.0 41.3 36.2 39.8 3.6 40.1 36.5 41.6 36.1 39.6 3.4 '40,4 '35.3 40.9 36.0 '39.6 '3.3 '40.2 '35.2 40.8 35.9 39.8 3.4 40.2 36.4 41.2 36.3 do. do. do. do. do. ...do. 42.1 37.5 41.6 42.4 40.3 37.7 42.8 37.9 41.8 42. 2 41.2 38.3 42.9 37.8 41.9 42.1 41.2 38.6 42.8 37.9 41.8 41.7 41.0 38.4 43.0 37.9 41.8 41.8 41.3 38.9 42.9 38.2 41.9 42.3 41.2 38.7 42.9 38.0 42.0 42.3 41.3 37.9 43.1 38.2 41.9 42.4 41.6 37.8 42.9 37.7 41.9 42.2 41.3 36.5 42.5 37.8 41.6 41.9 41.0 37.2 43.0 38.0 42.0 41.9 41.5 37.8 43.1 38.0 42.0 42.0 41.5 37.9 42.8 38.0 41.9 41.9 41.5 38.2 42.8 '38.0 42.0 '42.1 '40.8 '37.9 42.7 '37.8 42.1 '41.7 '40.7 38.1 42.8 38.0 42.2 41.9 40.8 38.3 do.. do.. do.. do.. ...do.. do.. 40.2 35.1 39.8 33.7 37.0 34.2 40.4 35.1 39.8 33.6 37.2 34.1 40.6 35.2 39.9 33.8 37.2 34.2 40.3 35.1 39.9 33.6 37.3 34.2 40.6 35.0 39.6 33.6 37.1 34.1 40.3 35.0 39.9 33.6 37.2 34.2 40.5 35.1 39.8 33.5 37.2 34.2 40.4 35.0 39.8 33.5 37.0 34.1 40.5 35.1 39.7 33.6 37.1 34.0 40.6 34.9 39.7 33.4 37.0 34.1 40.4 35.0 39.7 33.5 37.1 34.1 40.4 34.8 39.7 33.4 37.0 34.0 40.7 34.8 39.5 33. 4 37.2 34.1 '41.0 34.8 '41.0 '34.9 '39.7 33.4 37.0 34.2 39.5 '33.5 37.0 34.4 40.8 34.9 39.6 33.4 37.2 34.4 137.72 111. 72 1.32 6.62 38.34 9.29 27.74 7.30 21.11 26.00 142.46 115.37 1.34 6.78 39.68 9.47 28.68 7.59 21.83 27.09 142. 66 115. 59 1.33 6.81 39.68 9.49 28.79 7.60 21.88 27.07 143. 73 144. 27 116. 26 116. 90 1.35 1.34 6.94 6.83 40.35 40.05 9.58 9.46 144.60 117. 20 1.34 6.78 40.69 9.58 29.01 7.67 22.14 27.40 144.52 117.10 1.32 6.46 40.74 9.62 29.11 7.71 22.15 27.43 145.15 117. 67 1.32 6.57 40.94 9.66 29.12 7.69 22.38 27.47 146. 28 118. 69 1.34 6.76 41.37 9.62 29.37 7.74 22.49 27.59 146.38 118. 85 1.33 6.93 41.35 9.62 29.39 7.74 22.48 27.53 146.98 147.50 119.37 119.84 1.32 '1.34 '7.06 6.87 41.62 '41.58 9.72 '9.79 29.45 r 29.56 7.78 7.80 22.60 22.72 27.61 ' 27. 67 147.65 120.18 1.36 '7.10 '41.68 '9.78 ' 29.57 '7.79 " 22.90 • 27.47 148.09 120.31 1.37 7.14 41.66 9.76 29.57 7.83 22.97 27.78 102.8 94.0 95.6 103.5 106.6 98.1 97.5 105.5 106.7 98.0 96.6 105.8 Nondurable goods do.. Overtime hours __.do_. Food and kindred products do.. Tobacco manufactures do.. Textile mill products.... do.. Apparel and other textile products do.. Paper and allied products Printing and publishing Chemicals and allied products Petroleum and coal products Rubber and plastics products, nee Leather and leather products.. Trans., comm., elec, gas, etc Wholesale and retail trade Wholesale trade Retail trade Finance, insurance, and real estate Services _ _ MAN-HOURS Seasonally Adjusted Man-hours of wage and salary workers, nonagiic. establishments, for 1 week in the month, seasonally adjusted at annual rate J..bil. man-hours.. Total private sector* do Mining do Contract construction do . Manufacturing do Transportation, comm., elec, gas do". Wholesale and retail trade do Finance, insurance, and real estate " " d o Services do Government* _ ......do.... Indexes of man-hours (aggregate weekly): J If Pl "iy a te nonagric. payrolls, total* 1967 = 100 Goods-producing* do Mining*... _ " &0~ Contract construction* do"... p *New series. Revised. Digitized^Revised. for FRASERv Preliminary. JSee note "J," p. S-13. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ 1 Production and nonsupervisory workers. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 142. 26 142. 67 115. 23 115. 74 1.32 1.33 6.75 6.84 39.53 39.78 9.40 9.49 28.68 28.76 7.62 7.61 21.94 21.93 26.92 27.03 106.4 97.6 96.1 104.7 106.9 98.4 97.0 106.2 7.65 22.04 27.47 7.68 22.12 27.37 108.4 109.8 109.9 110.4 '110.8 1 111.1 111.2 99.5 103.7 102.1 102.4 102.9 ' 103.1 ' 103.4 95.9 99. g 97.5 96.9 99.1 18.0 96.2 101.4 105.0 107.9 106.5 ' 109.7 '110.6 111.6 NOTE FOR S-13: {Revisions (back to 1960), to adjust to the 1970 Census, appear in "Estimates of the Population of the United States and Components of Change- 1972 " P-25. No. 499 (May 1973), Bureau of the Census. 107.5 99.2 97.8 106.2 108.1 100.1 97.8 107.9 108.4 100.5 97.4 105.0 108.2 99.8 95.8 99.7 August 1973 UV (JUKI Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1971 S-15 1972 1972 Annual 51JN.E June July Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July v LABOR FORCE, EMPLOYMENT, AND EARNINGS—Continued M AN-H O URS—Continued Indexes of man-hours, private nonagric. payrolls, goods-producing indus-t, Useas. adjusted—Con. Manufacturing 1967 = 100_. Durable goods do Nondurable goods do Service-producing* do Transportation, comm., elec, gas* do Wholesale and retail trade* do Wholesale trade* do Retail trade* do Finance, insurance, and real estate* do Services* do HOURLY AND WEEKLY EARNINGS Average hourly earnings per worker :1ft Not seasonally adjusted: Private nonagric. payrolls dollars Mining do_. Contract construction do. Manufacturing do.. Excluding overtime do. _ Durable goods do. _. Excluding overtime do. -. Ordnance and accessories do._ Lumber and wood products do_-. Furniture and fixtures do... Stone, clay, and glass products do... Primary metal industries do_ _. Fabricated metal products do... Machinery, except electrical do... Electrical equipment and supplies.do._. Transportation equipment do... Instruments and related products..do... Miscellaneous manufacturing i n d . - . d o . . . Nondurable goods do... Excluding overtime do. -. Food and kindred products do... Tobacco manufactures do... Textile mill products do._. Apparel and other textile prod do_. Paper and allied products do... Printing and publishing do... Chemicals and allied products do... Petroleum and coal products do.. Rubber and plastics products, nee . d o . . . Leather and leather products do._ Transportation, comm., elec, gas do.. Wholesale and retail trade do.. Wholesale trade do.. Retail trade do.. Finance, insurance, and real estate do.. Services do. _ Seasonally adjusted:* Private nonagricultural payrolls do. Mining do. Contract construction do. Manufacturing do. Transportation, comm., elec, gas do. Wholesale and retail trade do. Finance, insurance, and real estate do.. Services do. Indexes of avg. hourly earnings, seas, adj.: <£>*% Private nonfarm economy: Current dollars 1967 = 100 1967dollarsA do... Mining do. Contract construction do... Manufacturing do. Transportation, comm., elec, gas do___ Wholesale and retail trade do_ _ _ Finance, insurance, and real estate do... Services do... Hourly wages, not seasonally adjusted: Construction wages, 20 cities (E N R ) : cf Common labor $ per hr Skilled labor ______ do Farm, without board or rm., 1st of mo do.... Railroad wages (average, class I) do Avg. weekly earnings per worker, ^private nonfarm: Current dollars, seasonally adjusted*... 1967 dollars, seasonally adjusted*A Spendable earnings (worker with 3 dependents): Current dollars, seasonally adjusted 1967 dollars, seasonally ad justed A Current dollars, not seasonally adjustedz% Private nonfarm, total dollars.. Mining do Contract construction do Manufacturing do. Durable goods I_IIdoIIII Nondurable goods do Transportation, comm., elec, gas do Wholesale and retail trade do Wholesale trade do Retail trade do Finance, insurance, and real estate do Services do_ 92.3 89.1 97.1 108.9 102.7 106.7 105.5 107.1 116.1 112.8 96.8 94.9 99.5 112.5 104.4 110.4 109.0 110.9 120.1 116.8 96.7 94.5 99.9 112.8 104.7 110.8 109.3 111.3 120.3 117.0 96.4 94.6 99.1 112.5 103.6 110.3 109.2 110.7 120.4 117.2 97.1 95.5 99.5 112.8 104.5 110.6 108.9 111.2 120.3 117.3 98.0 96.6 100.0 113.2 104.1 111.2 109.9 111.6 120.9 117.9 98.8 97.8 100.4 113.6 105.6 111.2 110.1 111.6 121.2 118.3 99.8 99.2 100.7 113.8 105.6 111.7 110.3 112.3 120.9 118.4 99.9 99.6 100.4 114.1 106.0 112.0 110.1 112.8 121.4 118.4 99.3 99.6 98.8 114.5 106.6 112.0 111.0 112.4 121.1 119.6 101.7 102.1 101.2 115.2 106.1 113.1 111.4 113.7 122.0 120.2 101.6 101.7 101.6 115.1 106.0 113.2 111.7 113.7 122.0 120.0 3.43 4.06 5.69 3.56 3.44 3.79 3.66 3.84 3.15 2.90 3.66 4.23 3.74 3.99 3.48 4.41 3.52 2.97 3.65 4.38 6.06 3.81 3.65 4.05 3.88 4.09 3.31 3.06 3.91 4.66 3.99 4.27 3.67 4.73 3.72 3.11 3.63 4.34 5.94 3.79 3.63 4.03 3.86 4.09 3.33 3.05 3.91 4.62 3.98 4.26 3.65 4.69 3.71 3.10 3.64 4.35 5.96 3.78 3.63 4.01 3.85 4.10 3.34 3.04 3.93 4.64 3.97 4.24 3.66 4.63 3.70 3.09 3.77 4.60 6.42 3.98 3.81 4.23 4.04 4.18 3.45 3.15 4.03 4.87 4.13 4.44 3.80 5.00 3.82 3.24 3.43 3.14 3.48 3.34 3.59 3.57 2.71 2.58 3.97 4.49 4.23 4.97 3.61 2.70 4.66 3.01 3.87 2.70 3.45 3.14 3.53 3.38 3.66 3.49 2.78 2.68 4.03 4.56 4.29 5.02 3.68 2.72 4.82 3.07 3.94 2.75 3.49 3.25 3.58 3.43 3.72 3.49 2.83 2.69 4.06 4.59 4.33 5.03 3.72 2.74 4.86 3.07 3.99 2.75 3.52 3.27 3.61 3.47 3.75 3.56 2.87 2.72 4.06 4.56 4.36 5.09 3.74 2.77 4.87 3.11 3.99 2.78 3.54 3.27 3.78 4.55 6.31 3.97 3.80 4.23 4.03 4.15 3.47 3.17 4.04 4.86 4.15 4.45 3.78 5.00 3.82 3.22 3.59 3.45 3.75 3.65 2.88 2.72 4.07 4.58 4.35 5.09 3.73 2.78 4.90 3.13 4.02 2.80 3.56 3.28 3.80 4.55 6.28 3.98 3.81 4.23 4.03 4.17 3.47 3.19 4.07 4.88 4.15 4.46 3.79 4.96 3.82 3.23 3.45 3.31 3.59 3.53 2.72 2.59 3.92 4.47 4.20 4.94 3.56 2.70 4.58 3.00 3.85 3.74 4.41 6.22 3.86 3.69 4.11 3.92 4.13 3.37 3.12 4.02 4.74 4.05 4.35 3.71 4.81 3.73 3.13 3.52 3.37 3.63 3.38 2.76 2.67 4.02 4.55 4.28 5.01 3.69 2.72 4.80 3.06 3.93 2.74 3.48 3.24 3.74 4.55 6.32 3.95 3.78 4.21 4.01 4.18 3.38 3.15 4.02 4.81 4.13 4.44 3.79 5.01 3.83 3.19 3.47 3.33 3.60 3.43 2.73 2.61 3.94 4.48 4.20 4.95 3.60 2.71 4.64 3.02 3.88 2.70 3.45 3.18 3.72 4.42 6.15 3.86 3.68 4.11 3.92 4.15 3.38 3.11 3.99 4.75 4.05 4.33 3.72 4.80 3.74 3.13 3.51 3.36 3.61 3.35 2.75 2.65 4.01 4.56 4.26 5.00 3.66 2.72 4.74 3.05 3.91 2.73 3.47 3.23 3.74 4.47 6.23 3.89 3.72 4.14 3.95 4.13 3.40 3.13 4.00 4.80 4.07 4.38 3.74 4.87 3.74 3.15 3.26 3.14 3.38 3.15 2.57 2.49 3.67 4.20 3.94 4.57 3.40 2.60 4.20 2.87 3.67 2.57 3.28 3.01 3.66 4.37 6.03 3.80 3.64 4.04 3.87 4.10 3.33 3.08 3.96 4.69 3.99 4.26 3.68 4.71 3.71 3.09 3.47 3.32 3.57 3.38 2.73 2.61 3.97 4.49 4.23 4.94 3.63 2.70 4.70 3.01 3.86 2.70 3.44 3.14 3.43 4.06 5.69 3.56 4.20 2.87 3.28 3.01 3.65 4.38 6.06 3.81 4.64 3.02 3.45 3.18 3. 63 4.37 6.01 3.79 4.60 3.00 3.44 3.16 3.65 4.39 6.02 3.79 4.65 3.02 3.45 3.16 3.67 4.41 6.07 3.83 4.69 3.03 3.45 3.17 3.69 4.42 6.10 3.86 4.70 3.05 3.48 3.21 3.73 4.41 6.15 3.88 4.80 3.06 3.49 3.23 3.73 4.44 6.19 3.89 4.81 3.07 3.49 3.24 3.75 4.53 6.29 3.93 4.85 3.09 3.53 3.27 3.77 4.58 6.37 3.97 4.86 3.09 3.53 3. 26 129.7 106.9 127.2 138.1 127.5 130.0 128.3 126.8 131.1 137.9 110.1 136.7 146.9 135.4 143.7 135.0 133.4 138.4 137.2 109.9 136.3 145.6 135.0 142.1 134.5 133.0 137.5 138.0 110.1 137.3 145.8 135.5 144.0 135.3 133.9 138.3 138.5 110.2 137.7 147.0 136.1 145.1 135.5 133.8 138.4 139.3 110.4 138.1 148.0 136.8 145.9 136.5 134.9 139.7 140.4 110.9 137.8 149.2 137.5 148.2 137.2 135.4 140.7 140.7 110.8 138.4 149.6 138.0 148.7 137.4 135.2 141.0 141.9 111.5 140.9 151.8 138.8 150.1 138.4 136.5 142.0 6.010 8.340 1.73 14.416 6.642 9.146 1.84 6.704 9.174 6.758 9.255 1.85 6.773 9.280 6.786 9.337 6.813 9.490 1.82 6.836 9.378 6.841 9.396 102.3 103.0 101.3 116.4 107.8 113.7 112.3 114.2 122.3 122.4 102.5 103.2 101.3 116.4 107.5 113.6 112.4 114.0 123.2 122.3 3.61 3.46 3.77 3.70 2.88 2.73 4.08 4.60 4.36 5.15 3.73 2.80 4.89 3.14 4.03 2.81 3.55 3.30 3.83 4.60 6.31 4.01 3.83 4.26 4.06 4.18 3.51 3.21 4.11 4.92 4.19 4.49 3.81 5.00 3.81 3.22 3.63 3.48 3.78 3.81 2.90 2.74 4.11 4.63 4.40 5.22 3.76 2.79 4.96 3.16 4.07 2.83 3.59 3.32 3.85 '4.61 '6.34 '4.02 3.85 4.28 4.08 '4.23 '3.54 3.24 4.14 '4.95 '4.21 4.50 '3.81 '5.00 '3.86 3.26 3.64 3.50 3.82 3.84 2.90 '2.74 4.12 4.67 '4.42 5.22 '3.71 2.80 4.96 3.17 4.09 2.84 3.57 '3.32 3.87 4.64 '6.35 4.04 '3.85 4.30 '4.09 '4.22 '3.61 '3.25 4.16 '4.96 4.24 '4.50 3.83 '5.04 '3.85 3.26 3.65 '3.50 '3.81 '3.87 2.89 2.74 '4.15 '4.66 4.45 '5.24 '3.74 '2.79 '4.98 3.18 '4.09 2.85 3.57 '3.33 3.89 4.70 6.38 4.05 3.88 4.30 4.11 4.23 3.58 3.26 4.18 5.02 4.23 4.48 3.85 5.05 3.84 3.26 3.68 3.53 3.80 3.95 2.89 2.73 4.20 4.69 4.48 5.24 3.82 2.79 5.01 3.19 4.12 2.86 3.61 3.34 3.78 4.52 6.29 3.96 4.90 3.11 3.53 3.27 3.81 4.54 6.31 3.98 4.92 3.13 3.54 3.30 3.84 4.59 6.35 4.01 4.97 3.15 3.58 3.32 3.85 '4.62 '6.34 '4.02 4.97 3.16 3.56 '3.32 3.87 4.67 '6.43 4.04 '5.00 3.18 3.58 '3.35 3.90 4.74 6.44 4.06 5.00 3.20 3.61 3.36 142.3 111.3 142.4 154.0 139.5 150.4 138.7 136.8 142.2 142.5 110.7 141.5 151.6 139.7 151.5 139.2 137.0 142.3 143.3 110.4 142.5 152.6 140.4 152.1 140.2 136.9 143.6 144.4 144. 110.5 110. 144.0 '144. 153.4 153. 141.1 141. 154.6 153. 141.2 141. 139.1 138. 144.7 144. • 145. 110. 146. 155. • 142. 154. 142. •139. 146. 146.4 110.5 147.6 155.9 143.2 155.1 143.3 140.7 146.4 6.896 9.410 1.98 9.410 6.897 9.414 6.910 9.490 1.97 6.93 9.48 7.04 9.52 7.09 9.55 2.02 5.199 126.91 104.62 135. 78 134. 67 135. 78 108.36 107. 88 108.35 136.16 137. 64 139.13 108. 36 109. 07 109.89 138. 76 109. 28 138. 75 139.11 109. 05 108. 79 140. 62 109. 22 141. 35 142.85 108. 83 109.30 143.22 108.94 143.96 108.89 145.47 109. 78 112.12 92.43 120. 79 119. 92 120. 79 96.39 96.40 96.07 121. 09 122. 26 123. 43 96.36 96.89 123.14 96.98 123.14 96.78 122.51 95.81 123. 70 124. 26 95.67 125.42 95.96 125. 70 95.61 126.28 95.51 127.44 96.17 126.91 171.74 212. 24 142.04 153.12 128.12 168.84 100.74 146.07 86.61 121.36 102.94 135.78 186.15 224. 22 154.69 167. 27 137. 76 187. 46 106. 00 154. 42 90.72 128.34 108. 44 136.86 137. 62 184.44 186. 60 225.88 230.35 152.71 154. 28 164.01 166. 04 138.16 138. 80 189.66 191. 76 108.36 108.06 155.19 153. 63 93.69 93.69 129.03 127. 97 108. 64 109. 27 ' Revised. v Preliminary. i Includes adjustments not distributed by months. JSee corresponding note, p. S-13. ^Production and nonsupervisory workers. *New series. Digitized0Source: for FRASER USDL, Bureau of Labor Statistics; the indexes exclude effects of changes in the proportion of workers in high-wage and low-wage industries, and the total and manufacturing http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 102.1 102.5 102. 8 103.0 101.7 101.1 115.7 116.1 107.0 107.9 113.4 113.7 112.2 111.5 114.1 ' 114. 3 122.8 ' 122. 3 120.7 121.4 135.76 186.62 223.34 155.01 167.65 137.66 186.86 106. 50 154.00 91.73 127.60 107.39 139.13 139.50 138.75 139.13 137. 98 139.10 140. 22 141.33 142.45 145.13 146. 65 189.18 189.19 191.10 189.98 188.37 188. 37 191.82 195.46 '200.45 202.10 234.93 237.60 224. 28 222.46 223.42 220.22 229. 85 232.21 237.75 '241.94 244.35 158. 26 157. 49 159. 49 162. 74 159.20 161.18 162.38 163.21 163. 61 '165.24 164.84 171.39 170.57 173. 05 177. 24 173.43 175.97 175. 97 177. 22 178. 05 '179.31 177.59 140.40 140.10 141.20 142. 84 139.71 141. 09 142. 96 143.39 143. 78 '145.27 146. 83 191.97 194.88 195.21 197. 80 195.77 197.47 196. 58 199.39 '201.87 '205.18 206.41 107. 06 106.79 106. 53 108.37 107.30 107. 99 108. 33 108.70 109.37 '111.94 114.20 156. 01 156. 41 156.81 160.00 157.61 158.79 159. 59 159.95 161.56 '161.96 163. 98 93.39 93.72 ' 96.33 98.67 92.45 91.73 91.24 91.30 93.23 91.46 92.12 65 128. 74 129.80 129.13 130. 59 130.98 132.08 131. 35 133.55 131. 73 132.09 134. '114.55 116. 90 110.48 112.88 112.55 110.47 110. 50 111. 18 110.85 111.19 111.87 indexes also exclude, for the manufacturing sector only, effects of fluctuations in overtime premiums. See also note " t , " p. S-13. tfWages as of Aug. 1,1973: Common, $7.18; skilled, $9.66. AEarnings expressed in 1967 dollars are adjusted for changes in purchasing power since the base period, 1967, by dividing by the Consumer Price Index for the respective period. CUERENT S-16 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are a s shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1971 August 1973 1972 1972 Annual June July Aug. 1973 Sept. Nov. Oct. Dec. Jan. Mar. Feb. Apr. May June July LABOR FORCE, EMPLOYMENT, AND EARNINGS—Continued HELP-WANTED ADVERTISING Seasonally adjusted indexf.1967=100. LABOR TURNOVER* Manufacturing establishments: Unadjusted for seasonal variation: Accession rate, total mo. rate per 100 employees. New hires— _— do Separation rate, total -do Quit. — .do.— Layoff do Seasonally adjusted: Accession rate, total-.. do New hires.. ...do Separation rate, total do Quit ...do... Layoff -..do 82 100 97 103 107 103 109 109 117 122 119 121 122 122 3.9 2.5 4.2 1.8 1.6 4.4 3.3 4.2 2.2 1.1 5.2 4.1 4.2 2.2 1.1 4.6 3.4 4.8 2.2 1.7 6.0 4.4 5.4 3.6 .9 5.3 4.2 5.3 3.4 4.8 3.8 4.3 2.5 3.6 2.9 3.7 1.9 1.0 2.7 2.0 3.6 1.6 1.3 4.6 35 4.2 2.2 1.0 4.0 3.1 3.7 2.1 4.4 3.5 4.2 2.5 4.5 3.6 4.1 2.4 .7 5.3 4.4 '4.3 '2.7 '.6 4.0 2.9 4.5 2.2 1.4 4.4 3.2 4.3 2.2 1.2 4.5 3.3 4.2 2.4 1.0 4.4 3.3 4.1 2.1 1.0 4.6 3.5 4.0 2.3 4.5 3.6 4.1 2.4 4.3 3.5 4.1 2.5 1.0 4.9 4.0 4.4 2.6 .9 4.8 3.9 4.4 2.7 4.9 4.0 4.7 2.9 .9 4.9 3.9 4.4 2.6 5.1 4.3 '4.7 '2.8 425 670 640 360 630 440 710 320 560 270 510 200 410 310 480 380 590 410 670 470 710 580 860 520 840 311 388 3,513 177 426 3,185 108 198 2,492 129 214 2,049 139 196 1,065 93 136 1,075 41 99 914 118 145 1,433 141 200 1.281 110 156 1,330 146 167 1,890 155 253 2,483 238 299 2,173 1,952 2,088 1,763 1,554 1,512 1,692 1,993 2,333 2,250 2,075 1,828 1,610 1,523 1,119 1,507 1,347 1,801 1,539 2,124 1,000 2,062 916 1,898 920 1,669 1,465 1,383 3.3 3.0 1,350 342.0 3.8 2.7 1,758 465.3 3.7 2.7 1,803 415.0 3.4 2.8 1,751 1412.3 2.8 2.7 1,506 361.1 2.5 2.7 P2.4 31 28 INDUSTRIAL D I S P U T E S Work stoppages: Number of stoppages: 5,138 P 5,100 Beginning in month or year number-. In effect during month do— Workers involved in stoppages: p 1, 700 3,280 Beginning in month or year thous.-. In effect during month do— Man-days idle during month or year d o — ~47~589" UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE Unemployment insurance programs: Insured unemployment, all programs, average 2,186 2,593 weekly §9 thous.. State programs: 13,580 15,337 Initial claims do 2,150 1,848 Insured unemployment, avg weekly...do Percent of covered employment:^ 3.5 4.1 Unadjusted Seasonally adjusted. P 1,470 1,814 Beneficiaries, average weekly thous.. 1 Benefits paid mil. $.. 4,957.0 4,471.0 Federal employees, insured unemployment, average weekly thous.. Veterans' program (UCX): Initial claims do Insured unemployment, avg weekly...do— Beneficiaries, average weekly do Benefits paid mil. $.. Railroad program: Applications thous. Insured unemployment, avg weekly...do Benefits paid _ mil. $. 34 36 1,095 1,636 1,378 1,823 974 1,565 795 1,388 955 1,357 3.1 3.6 1,342 382.1 3.4 3.7 1,376 364.3 2.9 3.4 1,294 363.0 2.6 3.4 1,116 280.1 2.5 3.4 1,129 280.3 1,203 307.2 39 38 38 39 39 39 37 31 69 66 18.2 30 67 66 18.0 35 70 64 16.9 39 76 74 20.9 35 76 73 17.7 33 72 74 20.0 16.9 6 16 12 20 3.5 11 16 3.8 7 21 5.9 3 18 3.8 26 15 3.7 2.9 10 2.3 29 622 131 115 356.0 523 106 102 361.8 43 110 112 30.9 40 107 104 27.5 38 95 99 28.5 33 78 80 20.9 609 26 75.7 105 20 51.5 11 14 2.8 27 18 2.9 10 17 3.7 18 3.4 1 1 P6.0 *>5.1 M.5 P2.9 P.7 P3. 6 M. 9 P3.0 58 9 13 FINANCE BANKING Open market paper outstanding, end of period: 7,889 Bankers'acceptances mil. $_. 2 32,126 Commercial and finance co. paper, total do 11.418 Placed through dealers do Placed directly (finance paper) do 2 20,708 Agricultural loans and discounts outstanding of agencies supervised by the Farm Credit Adm.: Total, end of period mil. $.. Farm mortgage loans: Federal land banks do Loans to cooperatives do Other loans and discounts do 16,347 7,917 2,076 6,354 7,069 6,898 34,721 34,366 12,172 12,867 22, 549 21,499 6,643 34,785 12,923 21,862 6,639 34, 233 12,944 21,289 6,602 34,012 13,088 20,924 6,748 6,864 6,898 35,651 35,775 34,721 13,558 13,221 12,172 22,093 22,554 22,549 6,859 6,564 6,734 35, 727 35,196 34,052 12, 552 10,924 9,359 23,175 24, 272 24, 693 6,713 34,404 9,334 25,070 35,672 9,436 26,236 18, 294 17,667 17,654 17,722 17, 872 18,012 18,046 18,294 18, 925 19, 343 19,733 20,075 20,319 8,857 2,335 6,799 8,972 2,313 6,761 9,107 2,298 9,387 2,936 7,020 9,767 2,859 7,449 9,953 2,765 7,601 9,107 2,998 Bank debits to demand deposit accounts, except interbank and U.S. Government accounts, annual rates, seasonally adjusted: © Total (233 SMSA's)0 Jbil. $_. New York SMSA do.... Total 232 SMSA's (except N.Y.) 6 other leading SMSA'sJ.. 226 other SMSA's 2,145 7,092 8,517 2,137 7,000 7,499. 7 7,361.0 7,817. 6 7,737. 6 7,748.1 8,175. 4 8,178. 7 8,617.4 8,821.9 9,087.3 9,072.8 '9,256.2 9,397.5 3, 096. 4 2,996.3 3, 233. 0 3,191.0 3, 225.8 3,411.9 3, 495. 4 3,653.7 3,788.3 3,856.6 3,873.7 3,907.8 4,035. 8 4,403. 4 4,364. 7 4,584, 6 4,546. 5 4, 522. 3 4, 763. 5 4, 683. 4 4,963.7 5,033.7 5,230.7 5,199.1 '5,348.4 5,361. 7 do.. do. do. 99,523 97, 675 99,746 Reserve bank credit outstanding, total 9 ..do.... Discounts and advances.. do U.S. Government securities do 75,821 39 77, 291 1,981 69,906 75, 964 74,154 83 130 _ Liabilities, total 9 Deposits, total. _ Member-bank reserve balances Federal Reserve notes in circulation do do... ..do... do do 70,218 9,875 99,523 31,475 27,780 54,954 10,303 97,675 99,440 70,822 71,356 10,303 10,303 99,440 99,746 30,942 29,263 27,482 26,185 59, 914 55, 702 56,127 28, 667 25, 647 99,541 100,039 93,635 76,474 74,85 9 75,173 73,476 239 481 501 1,092 69,874 70,094 69,501 70,740 10,303 10,303 10,303 10,303 98,658 100,039 93,635 99,541 29,159 25,666 30,738 29,719 28, 227 27,515 26,757 23,667 56,347 56,351 57,062 58,419 r 2 Revised. v Preliminary. i See note " § " , this page. Beginning Dec. 1971, data on new basis reflect inclusion of paper issued directly by real estate investment trusts and several additional finance companies. § Insured unemployment (all programs) data include claims filed under extended duration provisions of regular State laws; amounts paid under these programs are excluded from the annual figure and, beginning Jan. 1973, from Digitized for the FRASER monthly data. t Revised (back to 1951) to reflect new seasonals and other modifications. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8,749 2,233 6,890 9,591 2,895 7,246 13,280.6 12,994.0 13,969.4 14,022.7 13,896. 7 15,154. 714, 783. 6 15,472.8 16,049.0 15,932.1 16,000.3 '16,433.2 16,622.1 5,780. 8 5,633. 0 6,151.8 6, 285.1 6,148. 6 6,979. 3 6, 604.8 6,855. 4 7,227.0 6,844. 8 6,927.5 7,177. 0 7,224. 6 Federal Reserve banks, condition, end of period: Assets, total? ..mil. $. Gold certificate account 8,631 2,156 6,935 9,251 2,808 6,866 7,237 35,786 9,489 26, 297 99,061 99,492 99,325 100,010 100,010 77, 291 77,228 1,981 1,310 69,906 72,022 78,228 1,564 72,620 79,598 2,048 74,276 79,832 1,716 79,392 1,224 75,495 74,128 10,303 10,303 10,303 10,303 10,303 10,303 97,675 99,061 99,492 99,325 28,667 25,647 30,458 26,727 58,402 30,814 27,653 31,626 27,713 100, 010 30,968 25, 700 58,466 58,676 59,414 97,675 59,914 100,509 P104, 282 ' 80,355 83,192 2,224 ' 1, 770 75,022 77,098 10, 303 100,509 100,010 29,920 29,123 24,892 • 24,818 32,304 28,338 60,847 61,362 60,223 ©"Insured unemployment as % of average covered employment in a 12-month period. ©Series revised to reflect recalculation of seasonal factors and trading-day adjustment; revisions back to 1964 are shown in the July 1972 Federal Reserve Bulletin, p. 634. JSee note "%", p. S-13. GTotal SMSA's include some cities and counties not designated as SMSA's. ^Includes Boston, Philadelphia, Chicago, Detroit, San Francisco-Oakland and Los Angeles-Long Beach. 9 Includes data not shown separately. August 1973 OF (JUKKKJNl 13Ufc Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1971 | 1972 1972 End of year S-17 s« July June Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May 31,973 31,678 295 1,858 -1,563 32,277 32,125 152 1,721 -1,560 32,393 '32, 028 32,275 31,969 118 '59 1,786 '1,789 -1,638 -1,653 96,237 • 97,246 95,932 June July FINANCE—Continued BANKING— Continued All member banks of Federal Reserve System, averages of daily figures: Reserves held, total© mil. $_ Required do... Excess© do... Borrowings from Federal Reserve banks.__do.__ 'Free reserves© do___ Large commercial banks reporting to Federal Reserve System, Wed. nearest end of yr. or mo.: Deposits:! Demand, adjustedd" mil. $. Demand, total? Individuals, partnerships, and corp State and local governments U.S. Government Domestic commercial banks Time, total 9 Individuals, partnerships, and corp.: Savings Other time do— do do do do do... 131,329 i 31,164 U65 U07 158 31,353 31,134 i 219 i 1,049 32,539 32,335 204 94 110 33,021 32,874 147 202 —55 33,148 32,893 255 438 -183 33,003 32,841 162 514 -352 91,910 91,355 91,964 91,683 106,219 91,204 152,699 106,885 6,563 7,571 20, 880 169,768 121,308 7,221 6,469 22,412 146,199 147,378 140,450 146,133 102,356 104,095 102,374 103,334 6,872 6,491 6,744 6,038 4,472 6,479 5,726 1,715 20,034 20,957 20,357 20,010 33,803 33, 556 247 574 -327 31,774 31,353 31,460 31,134 4 314 219 606 1,049 * -292 98,220 97,444 32,962 31,742 32,620 31,537 342 205 1,165 1,593 - 8 2 3 -1,388 106,219 97,765 95,489 155,144 152,024 169,768 156,909 157,135 109,379 108, 876 121,308 110,248 109,337 7,180 7,403 6,483 7,221 6,968 6,289 4,824 3,888 6,469 7,230 21,947 20,620 22,412 21,992 22,531 P33,524 ^33, 202 P322 P 2,051 p-1,605 97,944 100,189 149,421 156,704 150, 507 149,950 157, 605 105,786 109,067 109, 212 107,431 111,528 6,561 6, 901 6,582 6,836 7,504 3,010 2,891 7,258 5,646 7,447 19, 059 21,021 20, 342 19,362 22, 749 140,932 160,661 do do 54,542 61,274 58,572 72,334 Loans (adjusted), total d*f Commercial and industrial For purchasing or carrying securities To nonbank financial institutions Real estate loans Other loans do do do do do do 192,238 83,770 8,835 14,504 38,400 57,183 Investments, totalj U.S. Government securities, total Notes and bonds Other securities do do do do 81,033 28,944 24,605 52,089 85,146 29,133 22,552 56,013 80,065 26,009 22,384 54,056 79,962 25,770 22,502 54,192 80,031 25,651 22,085 54,380 81,013 26,307 21,535 54,706 81,615 25,985 21,837 55,630 83,394 27,925 22,357 55,469 85,146 29,133 22,552 56,013 84,343 28,926 22,426 55,417 80,868 25,663 21,066 55,205 80,653 25,373 20,473 55,280 • 79,618 24,495 '19,973 '55,123 79,498 23, 991 19,770 55, 507 79,388 23, 839 19,800 55,549 78, 333 22, 301 19,447 56, 032 Commercial bank credit (last Wed. of mo., except for June 30 and Dec. 31 call dates), seas, adj.: Total loans and investments© bil. $.. LoansO do... U.S. Government securities do Other securities do 485.7 320.6 60.7 104.5 557.5 378.2 62.4 116.9 517.5 343.7 63.2 110.6 521.3 347.8 62.3 111.3 529.1 355.3 61.4 112.5 535.6 360.1 62.0 113.5 540.5 366.9 59.9 113.6 549. 8 373.6 60.6 115.6 557.5 378.2 62.4 116.9 564.6 385.5 61.9 117.1 573.7 582.6 404.9 60.6 117.2 585.3 408.0 60.6 116.6 596.4 418.1 69.6 118.7 596.6 417.8 60.8 118.0 601.4 423.3 58.7 119.5 Money and interest rates: § Bank rates on short-term business loans: In 35 centers percent per annum New York City do... 7 other northeast centers do... 2 6.32 2 6.01 2 6.56 2 5.82 2 5. 57 2 6.07 5.84 5.55 6.14 6.33 6.09 6.61 6.52 6.22 6.89 7.35 7.04 7.71 2 2 2 2 6.30 6.62 6.46 6.38 2 2 2 2 5.79 6.06 6.07 5.82 6.27 6.56 6.36 6.41 6.45 6.76 6.63 6.50 7.45 7.37 7.33 7.25 6.50 7.00 8 north central centers 7 southeast centers 8 southwest centers... 4 west coast centers do do do do Discount rate (N.Y.F.R. Bank), end of year or month percent.. 149,647 152,111 155,495 156,270 157,686 158,858 160,661 162,936 168,212 174,302 176,383 180,341 179,961 185,434 57, 844 65, 476 57, 892 67,564 59,827 70,796 58,069 70, 841 58,113 71,778 58,184 73,103 58,572 72,334 58,186 74,310 58,091 78,195 58,591 • 58,093 58, 219 82,599 • 83,266 •86,317 58, 250 87,207 57,345 92, 791 226,042 203,086 206,437 206,401 211,016 215, 876 217,337 226,042 225,628 232,731 238,308 •242,960 246,091 250,625 256,139 91,442 84,954 85,307 86,631 88,014 85,011 99,872 102,487 102, 794 104,997 107,557 88,642 91,442 92,314 96,250 12,535 10,588 11,423 11,279 9,130 12,218 10,924 11,868 12,535 12,007 11, 457 10, 671 '10,054 10,119 9,705 20,524 16,043 16,279 17,030 18,234 18,249 20,524 19,850 20,938 22,246 '23,107 23,651 24, 879 26, 496 16,527 45,992 41,992 42,846 44,112 44,972 43,517 46,473 46,955 47,501 '48,193 49, 060 50,003 51,006 45,630 45,992 72,063 60,954 62,615 61,738 63,117 66,363 72,063 68,619 72,218 72,812 74,540 74,849 75,226 76, 612 5.74 6.07 6,02 5.80 60.2 117.2 4.50 2 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 5. CO 5.50 5.50 5.50 6.00 2 6.37 2 6.00 5.86 5.81 5.81 5.84 5.90 6.05 6.20 6.32 6.40 6.50 6.71 6.34 Home mortgage rates (conventional 1st mortgages) : New home purchase (U.S. avg.) percent.. Existing home purchase (U.S. avg.) do 2 7.59 2 7.54 2 7.45 2 7.38 7.41 7.36 7.43 7.37 7.45 7.39 7.43 7.42 7.48 7.43 7.50 7.44 7.51 7.45 7.71 7.70 7.71 7.77 '7.79 '7.79 7.84 7.84 Open market rates, New York City: Bankers' acceptances (prime, 90 days) do Commercial paper (prime, 4-6 months)__do Finance Co. paper placed directly, 3-6 mo.do Stock Exchange call loans, going rate do 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4.47 4.69 4.52 5.16 4.47 4.64 4.45 5.00 4.73 4.85 4.72 5.23 4.67 4.82 4.58 5.25 4.84 5.13 4.91 5.25 5.05 5.30 5.13 6.70 5.01 5.25 5.13 5.75 5.16 5.45 5.24 5.75 5.60 5.78 5.56 6.01 6.14 6.22 5.97 6.29 6-82 6.89 6.44 6.80 6.97 7.14 6.76 7.00 7.15 7.27 6.85 7.18 7.98 7.99 7.41 7.83 9.19 9.18 8.09 8.41 3 4.071 3 5.85 3.874 5.77 4.059 5.86 4.014 5.92 4.651 6.16 4.719 6.11 4.774 6.03 5.061 6.07 5.307 6.29 5.558 6.61 6.054 6.85 6.289 6.74 6.348 6.78 7.188 6.76 8.015 7.49 Federal intermediate credit bank loans do 4.85 5.11 4.91 5.73 Yield on U.S. Government securities (taxable): 3-month bills (rate on new issue) percent.. 3 4.348 3-5 year issues do 3 5.77 «7.e 57.6 7.70 7.72 CONSUMER CREDIT If (Short- and Intermediate-term) Total outstanding, end of year or month mil. $. 138,394 157, 564 .43,812 145,214 147, 631 148,976 150,576 152,968 157, 564 .57,227 157,582 do... 111,295 127,332 Automobile paper Other consumer goods paper Repair and modernization loans Personal loans do... do_._ do... do... 38,664 34,353 5,413 32,865 44,129 40,080 6, 201 36, 922 By type of holder: Financial institutions, total Commercial banks Finance companies do.. do.. do. 97,144 51, 240 28,883 111,382 59,783 32,088 do.. do.I.. 14,770 2,251 16,913 2,598 Installment credit,total Credit unions Miscellaneous lenders .16,365 117,702 119, 911 121,193 122,505 124, 325 127,332 41,019 35,041 5,717 34,588 42,644 36,745 6,049 35, 755 .27,368 127,959 .59,320 161,491 164,277 167,083 L29, 375 131,022 133,531 136, 018 45,610 39,951 6,328 37,486 46,478 40,441 6,408 37,695 47,518 41, 096 6,541 .02, 909 104,132 106,146 107, 278 108,405 109, 673 111, 382 .11,690 112,630 .14,190 54,883 55,688 56,846 57,566 58,266 58, 878 59, 783 60,148 60, 582 61,388 29,722 30,065 30,464 30,650 30, 970 31, 427 32, 088 32,177 32,431 32,750 .15,727 62,459 33, 078 .18,165 120,450 63,707 64,999 33,859 34,367 15,786 2,518 41,603 35,470 5,799 34,832 15,910 2,469 42,323 36,188 5,950 35,450 43,162 37,216 6,124 36,003 43, 674 38, 064 6,174 36,413 44,129 40, 080 6,201 36, 922 44,353 39, 952 6,193 36, 870 44,817 39, 795 6,239 37,108 48,549 41,853 6,688 38,928 16,278 2,558 16,439 2,623 16,556 2,613 16, 742 2,626 16,913 2,598 16, 847 2,518 16,973 2,644 17,239 2,813 17,455 2,735 17,832 2,767 18, 269 2,815 Retail outlets, total do.. 14,151 15, 950 13,456 13,765 13,570 226 261 243 251 Automobile dealers do... 248 Revised, v Preliminary. 2 4 Average for Dec. Average for year. 3 Daily average. See note "©" for this page. 5 Beginning Jan. 1973, data reflect changes in sample and weighting. ©Beginning Nov. 1972, data are not comparable with those for earlier periods because of regulatory changes affecting reserve requirements (Regulation D) and check collection processing (Regulation J) that became effective in early November. cf For demand deposits, the term "adjusted" denotes demand deposits other than domestic commercial bank and U.S. Government, less cash items in process of collection; for loans, Digitized exclusive for FRASER of loans to and Federal funds transactions with domestic commercial banks and 13,915 253 14,100 257 14, 652 259 15, 950 261 15,678 15,329 266 15,185 272 15, 295 278 15,366 284 15,568 289 r 1 after deduction of valuation reserves (individual loan items are shown gross; i.e., before deduction of valuation reserves). ^Revisions for months prior to Feb. 1971 will be shown later. 9Includes data not shown separately. ©Adjusted to exclude interbank loans. §For bond yields, see p. S-20. f Revised: new data incorporate adjustment of sample-based estimates to reflect recent benchmarks and new seasonal factors. Monthly revisions appear in the October 1972 Federal Reserve Bulletin. OF CURRENT BUSINESS S-18 1971 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are a s shown in the 1971 edition of B U S I N E S S S T A T I S T I C S 1972 1972 June Annual August 1973 July Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 30,746 12,817 11,359 1,458 31,065 12,990 11,520 1,470 8,319 6,387 1,932 9,610 8,555 6,544 2,011 9,520 FINANCE—Continued CONSUMER CREDIT U—Continued Outstanding credit—Continued Noninstallment credit, total mil $_ Single-payment loans, total do... Commercial banks do.__ Other financial institutions do__. Charge accounts, total Ketail outlets Credit cards Service credit Installment credit extended and repaid: Unadjusted: Extended, total Automobile paper Other consumer goods paper All other - 27,099 10,585 9,316 1,269 30, 232 12, 256 1C, 857 1,399 27,447 11,181 9,831 1,350 27,512 11,235 9,900 1,335 27,720 11,411 10,053 1,358 27,783 11,541 10,165 1,376 28,071 11,717 10,339 1,378 28,643 11,917 10,527 1,390 30, 232 12, 256 10, 857 1, 399 do_. do. do_. do_. 8,350 8,397 1,953 8,164 9,002 7,055 1,947 8,974 7,610 5,689 1,921 8,656 7,644 5,664 1,980 8,633 7,717 5,676 2,041 8,592 7,693 5,613 2,080 8,549 7,780 5,794 1,986 8,574 8,010 6,081 1,929 8,716 9, 002 7,055 1, 947 8, 974 8,357 6,402 1,955 9,298 7,646 5,735 1,911 9,568 7,702 5,825 1,877 9,703 8,036 6,129 1,907 9,747 do. do_. do_. do_. 124,281 34,873 47,821 41,587 142, 951 40,194 55, 599 47, 111 13,096 3,938 4,779 4,379 11,833 3,480 4,544 3,809 13,166 3,696 5,094 4,376 11, 535 3,110 4,695 3,730 12,337 3,663 4,831 3,843 12, 806 13, 643 3,505 3,195 5,202 6,171 4,052 4,277 11,923 3,393 4,949 3,581 11,214 3,407 4,252 3,555 13,681 4,164 5,169 4,348 13,661 4,101 5,378 4,182 14, 792 14,608 4,409 4,313 5,698 5,678 4,685 4,617 do_. do_. do. do_ 115,050 31,393 44,933 38,724 126, 34, 49, 42, 10,914 2.982 4,177 3, 755 10,496 2,896 4,115 3,485 10,957 2,976 4,376 3,605 10,253 2,789 4,138 3,326 11,025 3,145 4,360 3,520 10,986 2,993 4,354 3,639 10,636 2,740 4,155 3,741 11, 887 10,623 3,169 2,943 5,077 4,409 3,641 3,284 12, 265 3,371 5,013 3,881 12,014 3,233 4,888 3,893 12, 283 12,121 3.369 3,282 5,043 4,921 3,871 3,918 914 729 872 313 29,859 29,623 29,945 30,469 12, 204 12,409 12,540 12, 686 10,825 10, 989 11, 074 11,237 1,449 1,379 1,466 1,420 Repaid, total Automobile paper Other consumer goods paper All other Seasonally adjusted: Extended, total Automobile paper Other consumer goods paper All other do. do.. do. do_ 12,057 3,412 4,577 4,068 11,687 3,298 4,684 3,705 12,484 3,491 4,990 4,003 11,953 3,368 4,772 3,813 12,404 3,504 4,971 3,929 12,846 3,620 5,118 4,108 12, 627 3,763 4,876 3, 988 13,304 13,434 4,006 3,972 5, 282 5,245 4,016 4,217 13, 852 4,001 5,349 4,502 13,465 3,822 5,563 4,080 13, 932 3,989 5,504 4,439 13,646 3,762 5,505 4,379 Repaid, total Automobile paper Other consumer goods paper All other do.. do.. do. do.. 10,671 2,922 4,164 3,585 10,593 2,917 4,249 3,427 10,841 2,896 4,395 3,550 10, 667 2,873 4,303 3,491 10, 908 11,128 3,023 3,041 4,354 4,444 3,661 3,513 10, 964 2, 977 4,341 3,646 11,355 3,097 4,649 3,609 11,808 3,225 12, 061 11,941 3, 218 3,261 4,917 4,963 3,763 3,880 12,034 3,253 4,955 3,826 25,589 23, 202 15,207 18, 591 18, 213 20, 581 22,183 18,471 14,738 16,748 20, 055 21,165 18, 972 19, 721 21,130 23,631 —750 -5,317 - 4 , 4 1 8 750 5,317 4,418 4,197 5,298 2,851 - 3 , 447 2,466 -2, 501 2,501 1,519 982 11,437 3,145 4,627 3,665 4, 755 3,828 FEDERAL GOVERNMENT FINANCE Budget receipts and outlays: Receipts (net) Outlays (net) Budget surplus or deficit (—)... Budget financing, total Borrowing from the public Reduction in cash balances mil. $ do. do.. do. do. do. Gross amount of debt outstanding do. Held by the public. do. Budget receipts by source and outlays by agency: Receipts (net), total mil. $.. Individual income taxes (net) do Corporation income taxes (net) do Social insurance taxes and contributions (net) mil. $_. Other do 3,712 2,387 - 3 , 3 8 4 - 2 , 369 -23,227 3,384 i 23, 227 -2,387 2,369 —3, 712 3,730 376 i 19, 442 -3,368 934 4,088 -346 981 i 3, 785 1,435 • 409,468 437, 329 437,329 442,461 446,051 444,580 450, 604 455,285 460,243 461, 030 465,792 469,587 467,322 467,555 468,426 • 304,328 323, 770 323,770 327,499 328,433 328, 809 331,660 336,958 341,155 342,674 346,537 349,542 347,383 345,414 343,045 15, 207 7,355 1,071 18, 213 8,380 665 22,183 11,005 4,965 14,738 7,595 965 16, 748 8,613 559 18, 972 8,206 5,632 21,130 12,897 1,382 i 48,578 i 53, 914 i 26,798 i 27, 832 4,122 2,180 4,277 2,505 2,318 4,038 2,175 3,759 2,420 4,969 2,606 2,975 2,160 4,486 2,366 1211,425 1231,876 10, 943 i 8,560 75,150 174,546 23, 202 588 8,264 18,591 2,688 5,193 20, 581 1,532 5,662 18,471 403 5,204 20,055 1,083 6,066 21,165 681 6,250 19, 721 207 5,965 161, 866 i 20,990 i 3,381 19,756 71, 779 22 124 3,422 10, 710 8,211 1,869 292 906 5,456 1,862 289 882 6,013 1,864 289 855 6,271 1,991 273 831 7,044 1,720 271 893 7,037 2,098 272 1,276 6,972 4,518 284 986 198.9 228.7 225.4 229.1 236.9 253.1 *>262.5 89.9 33.3 20.4 55.2 107.9 37.8 19.9 63.0 106.6 36.7 19.7 62.4 108.1 38.0 19.9 63.6 111.3 40. 7 20.3 64. 108.5 46.6 20.7 77.8 <• 111.4 do 221.0 244.6 244.4 237.0 260.3 258.6 • 262.4 do .do 98.1 71.6 104.4 74.4 106.7 76.6 102.3 71.9 •102. 7 72.4 105.5 74.3 • 107. 3 '74.2 74.9 29.1 13.6 82.9 37.7 13.5 80.1 38.0 13.6 80.8 34.4 13.4 91.0 46.1 13.7 91.8 41.1 14.7 r93.8 40.5 r 15.6 5.3 6.1 5.9 Transfer payments do Grants-in-aid to State and local govts do Net interest paid do Subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises bil. $.. 1 Less: Wage accruals less disbursements...do Surplus or deficit (—) 18,067 15,987 25,860 16,584 28,504 20, 227 20,806 22,306 20,157 20, 892 3,554 - 3 , 573 -2,160 -4,820 7,612 4,820 -3, 554 3,573 - 7 , 612 2,160 3,005 -2,159 1 , 970 2 , 369 3,863 1,815 -1,395 5,543 - 5 . 243 -1,703 25,589 11,054 8,267 Personal tax and nontax receipts do Corporate profit tax accruals do Indirect business tax and nontax accruals.do Contributions for social insurance do Purchases of goods and services National defense 1-23,033 i 23,033 i 19,448 i 3,794 208, 649 231, 876 188, 392 1208, 649 86,230 i 94, 737 126,785 i 32,166 Outlays, total? _.. do Agriculture Department do Defense Department, military do Health, Education, and Welfare Department mil. $.. Treasury Department do National Aeronautics and Space Adm do Veterans Administration do Receipts and expenditures (national income and product accounts basis), qtrly. totals seas. adj. at annual rates: Federal Government receipts, total bil. $.. Federal Government expenditures, total 188,392 211,425 18, 067 15,987 8,067 3,409 4,867 672 25,860 11, 587 5,657 16, 584 3,825 923 28,504 12,321 8,739 7,029 2,298 5,340 2,371 6,359 2,258 9,380 2, -156 5,085 2,359 23,631 1,366 6,332 20,227 770 6,075 20,806 328 6,633 22,306 643 6,207 20,157 62 6,238 20, 892 433 7,503 7,121 4,210 271 1,154 7,051 2,148 241 1,043 6,554 2,475 301 1,061 7,125 3,760 265 1,111 7,583 ' 2, 214 255 1,014 7,782 2,123 306 5.5 '5.1 .0 .0 -.1 -23.4 -5.0 .1 do -22.2 -15.9 bil. $.. do_ do. do. do. 222.10 11.00 99.80 75.50 69.90 239.73 11.37 112.98 76.95 71.27 229.95 11.13 107.08 75.40 69.82 231.60 11.20 108.35 75.46 233.54 11.32 109.88 75.52 69.91 234.63 11.40 110.34 75.59 69.97 236.23 11.47 111.66 75.69 70.06 238.34 11.62 113.18 75.90 70.27 239. 73 11. 37 112.98 76.95 71.27 241.02 11.19 114.53 77.48 71.86 6.90 17.06 1.76 10.07 7.30 18.00 1.98 11.15 7.14 17.52 1.33 10.34 7.20 17.60 1.37 10.42 7.25 17.69 1.36 10.52 7.24 17.77 1.42 10.87 7.22 17.86 1.46 10.86 7.26 17.93 1.43 11.02 7.30 18.00 1.98 11.15 7.37 18.08 1.60 10.78 -19.0 '21.2 '79.1 LIFE I N S U R A N C E Institute of Life Insurance: Assets, total, all U.S. life insurance cos Government securities Corporate securities Mortgage loans, total Nonfarm Real estate Policy loans and premium notes Cash Other assets r 1 do.. "do do. _ do. Revised. * Preliminary. Data shown in 1971 and 1972 annual columns are for fiscal years ending June 30 of the respective years; they include revisions not distributed to months. 242. 07 243. 08 11.15 11.14 115. 39 115. 97 77.59 77.51 71.89 71.95 7.43 18.17 1.57 10.86 ifSee similar note on p. S-17. $ Includes data for items not shown separately. 7.45 18.29 1.55 11.08 242. 56 11.46 115.18 77.26 71.61 243.59 11.43 115.90 77.40 71.72 244. 53 11.36 116.15 77.91 72.19 7.52 18.42 1.66 11.07 7.54 18.53 1.69 11.09 7.55 18.67 1.78 11.10 July SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, datP through 1970 and descriptive notes are a s showi* in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS S T A T I S T I C S 1971 1972 1972 June Annual S-19 July Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct.. Nov. Dec Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July FINANCE—Continued LIFE INSURANCE—Continued Institute of Life Insurance—Continued Payments to policy-holders and beneficiaries in TT ^ tntol T^pntli l^PTipfit^ mil $ do 17 177 2 18,574.1 7,423 3 8,007. 0 990.2 1,000.4 271.2 256.8 1,944.4 2,213. 2 2 881 6 3,027.4 3,680.9 4,054.9 Life Insurance Agency Management Association: Insurance written (new paid-for insurance):! Value, estimated total -mil. $.. Ordinary (incl. mass-marketed ord.) do Group _ _ . _ . _ do_ _ Industrial - - do MONETARY STATISTICS Gold and silver: Gold: Monetary stock, U.S. (end of period)_._mil. S.Net release from earmark§ do Exports thous. $. Imports . _ do Production: South Africa mil. $ Canada do United Srafps do Silver: Exports _ . __ thous. $_. Imports do Price at New York dol. perfineoz._ Production: Canada thous.fineoz1... TVTexico r\o United States _ do--_ Currency in circulation (end of period) bil.$_. 189,484 132,803 49,407 7,274 208,497 146,116 55,054 7,327 18,346 15, 757 12, 661 11, 035 5,070 '4,064 615 10,132 -889 51,249 283,948 10,410 -1,715 63,053 357,689 1,098.7 77.3 16, 726 12,145 4,024 16, 544 11, 218 4,788 17,371 12, 686 4,118 17, 531 12,855 4,116 23,526 13,838 9,181 15, 285 11,316 3,443 16, 265 12,048 3,691 20,604 14,905 5,077 18, 793 13,733 4,458 19, 244 14,362 4,274 19, 680 13,858 5,242 658 557 538 567 560 507 526 526 622 602 608 580 10,410 0 2,029 25,801 10,410 0 3,436 11,953 10, 410 12 16,339 52, 656 10,410 -1 4,705 31,502 10,410 0 4,257 29, 216 10, 410 1 44,535 10,410 0 3,322 42, 212 10,410 4 2,786 19,745 10,410 4 2,015 32,487 10,410 3 2,405 27,526 10,410 6 2,899 41,127 10,410 2 3,056 33,070 10, 410 25 52,341 34,990 1,109. 8 77.2 94.3 94.4 94.1 93.9 94.2 91.5 84.3 88.2 86.5 88.5 86.6 86.0 6.2 6.4 5.9 6.3 6.3 6.0 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.3 6.2 6.8 19,499 49,507 1.546 31, 592 59,357 1.685 1,204 3,414 1.569 16,347 5,955 1.736 9,040 2,963 1.846 774 1,515 5,911 1.811 1,640 5,735 1.832 2,331 4,765 1.976 616 436 8,287 2.017 6,993 2.236 1,960 8,664 2.309 856 5,431 1.777 6,838 2.207 1,718 7,490 2.401 15,231 2.621 41, 030 39,727 2,841 3,527 3,244 3,597 2,865 2,420 3,212 3,275 3,629 2,953 4,615 4,118 3,036 66.5 62.2 62.4 62.7 62.6 63.6 65.1 66.5 64.3 64.7 65.2 66.1 67.2 67.8 246.2 54.6 191.6 293.4 243.2 54.4 188.8 291.4 6.9 246.6 55.1 191.6 294.0 7.3 245.5 55. 1 190.5 299.5 5.3 248.7 55.2 193.5 302.7 5.9 251.2 55.7 195.5 305.9 6.6 254.3 56.7 197.7 307.7 6.2 262.9 57.8 205.0 311.7 7.3 262.6 56.7 205.9 316.6 8.0 254.0 56.7 197.3 322.5 9.6 254.1 57.3 196.7 331.4 10.1 259.5 58.2 201.5 336.1 8.2 256.0 58.7 197.3 340.9 8.4 '261.2 59.4 '201.8 342.7 6.9 263.4 59.9 203.4 345.9 245.1 54.4 190.7 291.7 247.7 54 6 193. 1 295.0 248.6 54 8 193.8 298.9 250.1 55.3 194.8 301.9 251.6 55.7 195.9 304.8 252.7 56.2 196.5 308.4 255.5 56.8 198.7 312.8 255.4 57.0 198.4 317.0 256.7 57.5 199.3 322.6 256.6 57.9 ' 198. 7 330.9 258.2 58.7 199.5 336.7 260.5 59.0 201.6 341.8 '263.2 59.4 203.9 ' 344.1 264.5 59.5 205.1 347.8 84.8 199.9 58.7 88.1 47.6 82.4 194.4 57.2 84.2 46.9 87.6 206.9 60.2 90.2 48.8 88.7 214.9 60.1 89,8 48.8 86.7 208.3 59.2 89.2 47.8 93.5 229.2 62.1 93.9 50.0 90.7 215.7 61.8 95.6 48.9 94.0 224.0 64.3 98.5 51.2 97.8 238.0 65.9 102.6 51.9 96.9 228.3 67.6 104.0 53.7 95.9 228.9 66.4 102.3 52.7 97.7 235.1 67.2 103.4 53.5 99.8 245.0 68.6 107.1 54.0 7,325 r 9, 030 r 6,552 11,066 61.1 Money supply and related data (avg. of daily fig.):® Unadjusted for seasonal variation: 231.2 Total money supply bil $ 51.1 Currency outside bank s__ do ,_ 180.1 Demand deposits do 254.0 Time deposits adjusted! . do 6.5 U.S. Government demand depositsif .__ do___ Adjusted for seasonal variation: Total money supplv do Currencv outside banks do Demand deposits do Time deposits adjusted! do Turnover of demand deposits except interbank and U.S. Govt., annual rates, seas, adjusted:% Total (233 SMSA's)O ratio of debits to deposits New York SMS A ___ _ do Total 232 SMSA's (except N.Y.) do.... 6 other leading SMSA'sd" - - do_ 2260ther SMSA's do PROFITS AND DIVIDENDS (QTRLY.) Manufacturing corps. (Fed. Trade and SEC): Net profit after taxes, all industries mil. $.. 31,038 Food and kindred oroducts do 2 754 Textile mill products _ ._ do 558 Lumber and wood products (except furniture) mil. $.. 603 Paper and allied products do 501 Chemicals and allied products. do 3,780 Petroleum refining do 5,829 853 Stone, and glass products . _ _ do do Primaryclay, nonferrous metal 621 Primary iron and steel._ _ do Fabricated metal products (except ordnance, 748 machinery, and transport, equip.) mil. $_. 1,070 Machinery (except electrical) do. Elec. machinery, equip., and supplies do 2,489 2,563 Transportation equipment (except motor vehicles, etc.) mil $ 585 M^otor vehicles and prminmpnt r\n All other manufacturing industries do Dividends paid (cash) all industries do Electric utilities, profits after taxes (Federal Reserve) mil $ SECURITIES ISSUED Securities and Exchange Commission: Estimated gross proceeds, total By type of security: Bonds and notes, total Corporate.. ___ _ Common stock Preferred stock... o AQ7 4,990 15 252 mil. $.. 106,430 do 92, 289 do 31 883 do 10,459 do 3,683 7.3 36,467 3 021 659 9,628 782 161 8,776 770 163 10,125 807 196 10,506 1,012 941 4,499 286 271 1,117 312 223 1,149 234 279 1,157 370 291 1,337 5,151 1,060 687 1,022 1,090 328 214 318 1,296 355 145 1,478 252 168 327 1,406 168 252 336 1,569 437 3,481 2,999 950 763 780 255 o5,944 con 16 110 A 1 HA 98,481 7,588 208 1,468 6,921 7,136 5,635 9,505 10,987 8,210 2.706 2,089 6.3 190 465 1,091 851 223 1 393 1,369 4,122 877 956 175 1 115 1,730 4 553 916 716 188 342 1,555 3 570 876 766 374 437 83,420 5,802 5,803 6,187 28 896 2 555 2 465 1 945 743 9,694 913 1,174 612 3,367 206 206 ' Revised, v Preliminary. i Beginning Jan. 1972 valued $38 per fine ounce. §Or increase in earmarked gold (—). eEffective February 1973 SURVEY, data revised to reflect: Annual review of seasonal factors; regular benchmark adjustment; effect of changes in check collection procedures (Regulation J); and adjustments to include new figures from internationally oriented banking institutions. Monthly revisions back to 1959 are in the Feb. 1973 Federal Reserve Bulletin. 983 10,410 6,523 5,472 6,320 '7,213 * 5,794 10,258 8,051 7,440 9,953 4,566 957 r 2,117 r 1, 726 1,660 2,343 2 625 1,276 1 651 2,336 622 558 832 913 r 984 880 1,033 498 765 186 200 172 137 421 154 272 305 833 1f At all commercial banks. iSeries revised to reflect recalculation of seasonal factors ivvision, back to 1964 are shown in the July 1972 Federal Reserve Bulletin p. 634 ©Total bMbA include some cities and counties not designated as SMSA's. ^Includes Boston, Pniladelpnia Chicago, Detroit, San Francisco-Oakland, and Los Angeles-Long Beach. : UF S-20 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are a s shown in the 1971 edition of B U S I N E S S S T A T I S T I C S 1971 | (JU-K KKN August 1973 1972 1972 June Annual 1 13L July Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 1,962 213 68 596 3,933 MOO 91 931 ' 2,484 r 282 141 '519 100 174 751 r 108 1,008 • 1, 222 92 '258 r 961 May June July FINANCE—Continued S E C U R I T I E S ISSUED—Continued Securities and Exchange Commission—Continued E s t i m a t e d gross proceeds—Continued B y type of issuer: Corporate, total 9 mil. $ Manufacturing do... Extractive (mining) do__. Public utility do__. !,468 381 109 765 46,025 11,645 1,261 11, 752 41,957 6,629 2,010 11,357 4,341 767 168 1,538 3,583 574 163 2,893 452 255 635 2,720 603 93 1,247 3,791 383 278 1,280 3,377 426 338 794 3,396 589 176 861 2,327 176 90 900 do... do.-. do... 2,411 5,818 3,048 4,817 10, 580 185 800 529 160 586 1,148 96 237 823 61 33 232 165 371 1,074 69 658 730 238 50 1,165 121 33 903 do... do__. do... 60,406 17,325 24,370 54, 523 17,080 23,028 3,248 536 2, 222 3,338 496 1,784 4,243 606 1,898 2,915 474 1,701 5,714 2,530 1,970 7,610 3,590 1,817 4,814 2,553 1,760 4,196 1,199 1,889 5,363 1,603 1,445 5,096 606 2,304 do... do._. 24,370 26, 281 22, 941 25, 222 2,222 2,705 1,784 1,215 1,898 1,840 1,701 2,475 1,970 1,587 1,814 2,764 1,801 1,640 1,887 1,622 1,445 1,130 2,304 1,638 1,688 2,062 1,870 •2,492 i 6,535 i 5,700 1835 i 1,298 i 9,045 i 8,180 i 865 i 1, 528 8,747 7,792 955 1,274 8,924 7,945 979 1,285 9,092 8,060 1,032 1,298 9,091 8,083 1,008 1,255 9,024 8,081 943 1,351 9,068 8,166 902 1,396 9,045 8,180 865 1, 528 8,840 7,975 865 1,484 8,620 7,753 867 1,508 8,344 7,465 879 1,566 8,165 7,293 872 1,482 7,650 6,784 866 1,502 i 387 i 1, 837 1 414 i 1,957 386 1,845 403 1,842 384 1,733 380 1,677 389 1,708 390 1,828 414 1, 957 413 431 1,770 442 1,719 389 1,536 413 1, 564 65.0 80.0 65.9 84.4 65.6 83.4 65.6 83.1 65.8 84.2 65.6 83.4 65.5 85.2 65.9 87.1 66.0 87.1 66.0 86.9 65.5 86. 1 65.2 84.1 64.9 85.7 64.7 86.1 64.4 85.8 .8.71 69.05 69.23 69.55 68.06 68. 09 69.87 68.68 65.89 64.09 63. 59 64.39 63.43 62.61 Sales: T o t a l , e x c l . U.S. G o v e r n m e n t bonds ( S E C ) : All registered exchanges: M a r k e t value mil. $__ 8,803.91 9, 515. 67 10,157.90 10,077.35 Face value do 799.32 840.74 632. 67 679. 82 723.49 775. 83 525.26 580. 92 676. 38 935. 61 807. 45 841. 21 734.02 747. 69 989. 33 866. 54 952. 20 790.10 783.47 869.21 781.70 923.56 645. 90 738. 59 615.35 725. 34 8,009.57 8, 717. 24 9,080.68 9,168. 52 740.74 776.82 581. 21 625. 30 669. 41 481. 76 527. 60 629.34 692.12 740.12 828.62 747.12 810.76 606. 45 684, 98 585.14 679. 35 6,563.82 5,444.12 443. 07 362.57 415.73 309. 72 370. 69 463. 55 417. 92 448. 44 362. 93 392.0 351. 32 379.95 335. 55 7.66 7.66 7.61 7.59 7.59 7.52 7.47 7.19 7.43 7.64 8.19 7.22 7.41 7.64 8.09 7.21 7.45 7.64 8.06 7.12 7.39 7.58 7.99 7.08 7.36 7.50 7.93 Transportation § Communication Financial a n d real estate Noncorporate, total 9 U . S . Government State a n d municipal State a n d municipal issues (Bond B u y e r ) : Long-term Short-term r 367 568 • 4,068 8,598 3,353 564 1,795 1,688 • 2,046 •2,517 SECURITY MARKETS Stock M a r k e t Customer Financing* Margin credit at brokers and banks, end of month total mil. $. At brokers do_.. At b a n k s do__. Other security credit at banks do__. Free credit balances at brokers: Margin accounts do__. Cash accounts d o . _. Bonds Prices: S t a n d a r d & Poor's Corporation: High grade corporate: Composited 1 dol. per $100 b o n d . . Domestic municipal (15 bonds) do U.S. Treasury bonds, t a x a b l e ! N e w York Stock Exchange: M a r k e t value Face value do do_. do. New York Stock Exchange, exclusive of some stopped sales, face value, total mil. $_. Yields: Domestic corporate (Moody's) B y rating: Aaa Aa 67.7 886.17 740. 76 786.18 692. 06 928. 53 790. 08 837. 91 738. 43 7.57 7.62 7.62 7.62 7.69 7.15 7.37 7.53 7.90 7.22 7.47 7.60 7.97 7.29 7.49 7.66 8.03 7.26 7.49 7.64 8.09 7.29 7.49 7.64 8.06 7.37 7.55 7.71 8.13 7.22 7.48 7.91 7.27 7.51 7.87 7.34 7.61 7.92 7.43 7.64 7.94 7.43 7.64 7.98 7.41 7.63 8.01 7.49 7.69 8.07 4.99 5.03 5.11 5.03 5.16 5.05 5.22 5.12 5.26 5.30 5.10 5.16 5.22 5.12 5.25 5.15 5.69 5.50 5.63 9.62 4.89 3.79 7.31 11.02 9.21 9.97 4.90 3.83 7.31 11.02 9.22 9.97 4.92 3.92 7.39 11.10 percent.. 7.94 do. do do do 7.39 7.78 8.03 8.56 7.21 7.48 7.66 8.15 7.23 7.51 7.69 8.20 7.21 7.50 7.71 8.23 do do . do_._. 7.57 8.13 8.38 7.35 7.74 7.98 7.36 7.83 7.98 7.39 7.80 8.00 7.35 7.69 7.99 7.36 7.63 7.97 7.36 7.63 7.97 7.28 7.55 7.95 Domestic municipal: Bond Buyer (20 bonds) Standard & Poor's Corp. (15 bonds) do. do. 6.46 5.70 5.25 5.27 5.43 5.37 5.32 5.39 5.38 5.29 5.30 5.36 5.04 5.20 U.S. T r e a s u r y bonds, taxable© do 5.63 5.59 5.54 5.70 8.81 9.50 4.77 3.78 7.28 10. 62 8.92 9.61 4.87 3.73 7.32 10.99 8.87 9.58 4.86 3.78 7.31 11.02 8.87 9.59 4.86 3.78 7.31 11.02 8.97 9.60 4.88 3.78 7.31 11.02 8.97 9.60 4.89 3.78 7.31 11. 02 261.43 318.75 84.16 85.12 290. 65 362.44 80.20 91.00 283. 32 354.96 75.27 87.87 285. 55 357. 81 75.11 86.96 295.79 369.60 78.25 90.16 294. 25 366. 24 78.48 85.86 3.11 2.68 6.47 4.35 3.28 3.13 3.03 2.60 6.24 4.19 3.08 2.90 3.05 2.62 6.23 4.40 3.02 2.94 A.. Baa By group: Industrials Public utilities. Railroads.. 7.63 7.49 6.22 Stocks Dividend rates, prices, yields, and earnings, common stocks (Moody's): Dividends per share, annual rate, composite dollars.. Industrials _ . . . . do Public utilities do. Railroads . . . .do N . Y . banks do. Property and casualty insurance cos do. Price per share, end of m o . , composite Industrials Public utilities Railroads do... _ do do... do. Yields, composite Industrials Public utilities Railroads N . Y . banks Property and casualty insurance cos percent.. do._ do do... do do 3.37 2.98 5.6: 4.44 4.14 3.25 3.07 2.65 6.07 4.10 3.35 2.92 3.13 2.70 6.46 4.30 3.53 3.00 Earnings per share (indust., qtrly. at ann. ratepub, util. and R R . , for 12 mo. ending each qtr.): Industrials dollars Public utilities do. Railroads do. 17.55 7.14 3.93 20.28 7.73 6.71 20.81 7.53 4.71 r Revised. * Preliminary. i E n d of year. *New series; more detailed information appears in the F e b r u a r y 1972 Federal Reserve Bulletin. 9 Includes data not shown separately. § Beginning April 1971 SURVEY, data res t a t e d to include "other transportation" in addition to railroad data formerly shown. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 17.44 9.32 10.09 4.98 3.96 7.39 11.53 9.34 10.10 4.99 3.96 7.54 11.53 9.38 10.17 4.99 4.00 7.54 11.53 9.39 10.18 4.99 4.00 7.54 11.64 9.41 10.19 5.00 3.97 7.54 12.89 295. 56 309. 50 313. 81 311.61 298. 69 365. 83 383.21 389. 48 388. 63 373. 23 83.61 86.86 79.43 77.54 83.36 91.26 83.85 93.33 81.39 86.38 298.30 374. 61 75.20 84.58 286. 63 358. 35 74.73 77.95 281.78 352. 21 74.69 71.60 280. 68 351.31 72. 89 71.40 3.13 2.70 0.64 4.68 3.30 3.20 3.27 2.84 6.68 5.13 3.49 3.56 3.33 2.89 6.68 5.59 3.46 3.71 3.35 2. 90 6.86 5.56 3.20 3.82 3.04 2.63 5.87 4.52 3.05 2.70 2.60 5.64 4.10 3.17 2.52 2.94 2.56 5.88 4.30 3.06 2.67 24.42 7.73 9.29 10.06 4.95 3.95 7.39 11.38 2.98 2.59 6.23 4.57 3.07 3.09 3.12 2.70 6.42 4.87 3.26 3.30 23.70 .17 o" Number of bonds represented fluctuates; the change in the number does not affect tli< continuity of the series. UPrices are derived from average yields on basis of an assumed 3 percent 20-year bond. O For bonds due or callable in 10 years or more. August 1973 SU1 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1971 KEJN'JL1 B U S1JNH OF Annual S-21 1972 1972 June July Aug. Sept, 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 6.93 6.92 6.87 6.91 7.03 7.11 7.13 7.25 7.35 FINANCE—Continued SECURITY MARKETS—Continued Stocks—Continued Dividend yields, preferred stocks, 10 high-grade (Standard & Poor's Corp.) percent.. Prices: Dow-Jones averages (65 stocks) Industrial (30 stocks) Public utilitv (15 stocks) Transportation (20 stocks) 6.89 *% 1 2 319.36 950.71 112.83 241.44 nf bo4./6 117. 22 217. 20 Standard & Poor's Corporation:d" Industrial, public utility, and railroad: Combined index (500 stocks) 1941-43=10.. Industrial, total (425 stocks) 9 Capital goods (116 stocks) Consumers'goods (184 stocks) Public utility (55 stocks) Railroad (20 stocks) 6.75 do.... do do do do Banks: New York City (9 stocks) _ do... Outside New York City (16 stocks) do Property-liability insurance (16 stocks)_.do New York Stock Exchange common stock indexes: Composite 12/31/65=50.. Industrial „ do Transportation do Utility . . _ —do Finance do 6.99 315. 09 306.91 943.43 925.92 106.27 107.09 243. 84 229.95 6.90 7.00 7.03 315.22 310.15 321.92 958. 34 950. 58 944.10 109.07 109.76 113.06 233.53 222.86 215 88 322.19 ,001.19 121.33 227.89 332.15 ,020.32 121. 47 232 74 325.94 1,026.82 118.06 216.58 308.40 974.04 113.08 202.04 300.94 957.35 109.52 194.60 297.65 944.10 108.02 194.22 286.34 274.32 922.41 893.90 107.38 105.34 175. 53 159.79 275.35 903.61 101.38 162 70 109. 20 108. 01 107.21 111.01 109.39 109. 56 115.05 117.50 118.42 114.16 112.42 110.27 107. 22 104.75 105.83 108.35 102.80 99.78 59.33 41.94 121.79 119.39 113.90 56.89 44.11 120.84 120. 92 113.43 53.73 43.66 119.98 119.13 112.57 53.47 42.00 124. 35 124.47 116.17 54.66 43.28 122.33 121.63 113.19 55.36 42.37 122. 39 119, 50 112. 94 56.66 41.20 128.29 122.11 119.51 61.16 42.41 131.08 124.57 122.26 61.73 44.62 132.55 127.04 122.57 60.01 42.87 127.87 125. 56 117.54 57.52 40.61 126.05 124.53 116.41 55.94 39.29 123.56 120.38 111.24 55.34 35.88 119. 95 116.48 107.44 55.43 36.14 117.20 114.75 104.83 54.37 34.35 118.65 116.31 105. 94 53.31 35.22 46.31 87.06 57.37 105.81 55.27 103.63 57.35 106.94 61.28 112.21 62.11 116.62 63.99 118. 20 63.45 117.74 62.48 114. 24 65.03 113.88 59.30 103.73 61.21 105.59 59.50 100.49 59.79 97.72 58.28 97.45 66.05 102.23 115.04 132.58 132.63 127.13 131. 71 129.86 133.04 149.68 144.16 134.69 124.23 124.67 119.77 109. 50 113.36 122.09 54.22 57.92 44.35 39.44 70.38 60.29 65.73 50.17 38.48 78.35 59.87 65.76 51.26 36.32 76 59 59.21 65.13 48.45 36.02 75.41 61.07 67.25 48.97 36.87 78.27 60.05 65.72 46.49 37.82 78.41 59.99 65.35 44.95 38.93 79.64 62.99 68.29 47.50 41.81 84.57 64.26 69.96 48.44 42.28 83.45 64.38 70.55 45.14 41.72 81.62 61.52 67.67 42.34 39.95 74 47 60.15 66.20 40.92 39.13 72.32 58.67 64.41 40.57 38.97 69.42 56.74 62.22 36.66 39,01 65.33 55.14 60.52 33 72 37.95 63 52 56.12 61.53 34.22 37.68 68.95 204,032 '16,740 6,299 506 13,915 427 17,596 525 12,183 367 14,809 461 18,540 556 17,856 547 18,926 565 15,062 446 16,486 519 12,878 408 14,931 475 12,085 409 159,700 4,496 12, 989 360 10,831 307 13, 828 378 9,669 264 11,930 346 15,047 414 14, 473 398 15,407 414 12, 323 330 13,449 382 10,591 301 12,343 357 9,852 308 4,138 315 289 357 246 317 406 345 394 318 342 278 337 269 308 871. 54 19,159 793.22 18,432 791.10 18,607 821.15 18,773 816. 22 824. 96 863.52 18,875 19,002 19,063 87L 54 19,159 854.13 19,323 816.96 19,403 809. 76 19, 525 775.81 19,686 758.59 20; 066 752.58 20 327 792.06 20,466 98.29 Sales: Total on all registered exchanges (SEC): 185,027 Market value mil $ 5,916 Shares sold millions On New York Stock ExchangeMarket value . mil. $.. 147,098 4,265 Shares sold (cleared or settled) millions.. New York Stock Exchange: Exclusive of odd-lot and stopped stock sales (sales effected) millions 3,891 Shares listed, N.Y. Stock Exchange, end of period: Market value, all listed shares _ bil. $. Number of shares listed _ . . . . millions. 6.93 741.83 17,500 FOREIGN TRADE OF THE UNITED STATES FOREIGN TRADE Value of Exports Exports (mdse.), incl. reexports, total Excl. Dept. of Defense shipments. Seasonally adjusted By geographic regions: Africa Asia Australia and Oceania Europe mil. $.- 44,129.9 '49,788.2 '4,050.7 '3,742.9 '3,979.8 '4,006.6 '4,508.5 '4,613.5 '4,722.7 5,595.8 6,064.0 5,896.9 5,387. 7 43, 548.6 '49,218.6 '4,014.7 '3,676.9 '3,934.0 '3,963.4 '4,441.0 '4,582.9 5,560.5 6,023.0 5,858.4 5,321.6 5,487.0 5,602. 8 5,778.1 5,868. 5 do do do.. do.. do.. do. '3,971.0 '4,074.1 '4,196.5 '4,176.4 '4,316.3 '4,472.9 138.9 1,572.0 11,275.7 ' 931.6 1,034.9 '69.7 16,098.4 1,183.5 111.5 109.9 146.6 150.9 134.1 855.2 1,016.8 1,072.5 878.5 893.3 84.9 83.9 93.9 93.9 104.3 ,187.4 1, 246. 5 1, 282. 7 1,407.2 1,535.8 167.4 200.4 232.0 1,417.7 1,444. 2 1,444.2 150.5 134.0 109.3 1,827.4 2,022. 5 1,899.0 10,367.4 12,419.0 '1.115,4 3,154. 5 3,564.2 283.7 3,327.7 3,711.4 328.0 875.5 1,008.9 1,062.9 1,158.3 1,138.6 279. 4 298.1 304.0 349.6 325.6 337.7 296.1 310.8 306. 3 308.1 ,090.4 1,283.3 1,314.1 1,422.1 1,334.3 410.5 415.9 383.8 363.1 324.2 375.2 352.2 356.8 353.6 307.5 1,694.3 9,855.3 1,168. 4 14,562.3 Northern North America Southern North America South America do .do do By leading countries: Africa: Egypt Republic of South Africa do. -..do 62.9 622.3 76.1 597.1 7.7 46.4 5.0 37.5 12.1 64.0 4.4 48.6 3.0 70.1 8.8 50.9 2.9 53.9 7.4 61.3 12.5 55.1 29.9 52.5 12.7 57.6 26.2 56.5 34.4 60.3 do.. do. do.. __do_. 1,018. 3 648.1 211.4 71.5 857.0 350.0 183.0 128.0 58.4 49.2 17.1 7.0 70.0 28.2 14.3 5.8 90.3 20.8 15.1 16.9 69.2 20.9 8.2 21.0 75.3 21.0 16.0 18.7 76.1 25.3 8.9 8.5 67.5 27.6 14.2 9.1 86.7 23.8 15.7 8.1 89.2 28.7 21.0 11.7 80.3 39.4 10.3 11.2 90.5 35.1 16.6 8.6 130.2 31.4 16.0 12.8 108.6 35.5 15.7 10.4 do.. do.. .do.. 263.0 340.2 4,054.8 307.6 365.6 4,941.2 29.8 31.0 387.7 22.3 34.4 376.5 11.3 27.8 405.3 21.5 32.8 378.5 21.1 29.5 463.7 24.0 29.4 488.5 44.0 32.0 511.6 46.3 25.3 547.8 34.1 29.1 565.3 21.8 32.4 771.7 27.2 41.4 657.5 30.6 39.0 697.9 35.7 44.6 706.2 do.. do_. do.. 1,373.2 25.4 2,831.1 1,609.6 14.9 2,811.2 117.0 .5 '218.5 113.5 .5 219.9 108.8 .6 199.0 117.6 .2 206.9 150.6 .2 247.3 151.2 262.9 160.9 3.0 272.0 187.4 .3 246.5 180.2 2.4 259.1 240.6 .8 314.0 191.4 2.0 306.9 200.1 1.2 293.6 160.5 .6 322.1 do. do do 1,313.9 160.9 2,369.2 1,425.2 546.7 2,658.2 115.3 21.0 '200.6 103.2 19.3 192.8 93.3 75.1 184.9 105.2 67.8 236.2 100.9 64.0 215.2 129.4 56.1 275.3 138.9 101.4 241.0 129.6 98.3 249.7 143.3 99.8 238.0 183.5 111.6 310.4 188.7 103.1 248.9 172.6 137.7 340.5 225.3 142.9 282.5 Asia; Australia and Oceania: Australia, including New Guinea India Pakistan Malaysia Indonesia Philippines Japan Europe: France East Germany West Germany __ Italy Union of Soviet Socialist Republics United Kingdom .3 North and South America: Canada do. 10,365.4 12,415.4 •1,115.4 873.8 1,008.2 1,062.8 1,157.9^ 1,138.5 1,060.0 1,080.1 1,090.1 1,283.2 1,313.5 1,422.0 1,334.1 ' Revised. 9 Includes data not shown separately, rf Number of stocks represents number currently used; the change in number does not affect continuity of the series. MJJK S-22 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1971 | UUKJ tJt!JJN V Hi I 1972 Annual 1 August 1972 13 U> 1972 June July Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July FOREIGN TRADE OF THE UNITED STATES—Continued FOREIGN TRADE—Continued Value of Exports—Continued Exports (mdse.), incl. reexports—Continued By leading countries—Continued North and South America—Continued Latin American Republics, total? mil. $~ 5,666.5 6,471.2 390.9 400.1 Argentina do 966.3 1, 242.9 Brazil do__._ 187.0 223.7 Chile do.— 317.3 377.5 Colombia do 1, 620. 0 1, 982. 2 Mexico do 923.7 787.1 Venezuela do Exports of U.S. merchandise, total Excluding military grant-aid Agricultural products, total N onagri cultural products, total do do do do 43, 491. 8 42, 910. 5 7, 698. 0 35,793.7 Beverages and tobacco do 709.2 541.2 34.9 106.9 15.0 23.3 171.4 73.0 550.4 43.1 100.4 12.1 23.9 171.2 78.1 617.9 45.1 118.5 15.5 26.9 207.6 73.1 474.3 23.7 296.2 436.4 19.5 272. 8 469.3 18.7 318.4 • 517. 2 • 550.6 19.6 29.9 333.6 337.4 604.9 27.1 119.7 14.4 32.9 188. 9. 547.4 28.0 113.7 14.0 23.6 180.2 74.4 554.4 20.8 101.4 14.1 30.3 180.6 92.5 648.7 27.3 123.0 15.4 34.9 215.6 81.0 118.4 15.6 32.1 214.8 94.9 688.1 30.6 139.3 11.2 27.0 240.4 77.9 705.7 29.4 149.0 19.4 39.0 235.8 71.4 •4,527.2 '4,649.2 4, 719.5 •4,496.6 '4,617.1 4, 677. 7 1,079.9 1.110.8 1,136.1 3,447.2 3,540.9 3, 583. 5 4, 831.1 4, 794.5 1,179.4 3.651.7 5, 878. 7 5, 825.8 1,407.7 4,471.0 5,491.8 5,456.4 1, 264.1 4,227.7 5,967. 7 5,926. 7 1,364.9 4,602. 8 5, 793.4 5, 754.9 1, 376. 0 4,417.4 669.4 26.2 802.3 48.4 531.1 767.9 45.6 510.0 834.7 45.1 565.1 949.6 38.5 548.7 26.8 104.2 9.6 26.4 184.4 76.2 ' 615. 7 23.9 384.8 • 658.0 23.1 441.4 21.7 476.7 455.5 644.4 34.9 ' 908.5 54.1 59.7 66.2 76.3 85.8 94.8 90.5 62.9 74.5 78.4 74.8 68.4 73.3 4,328. 6 ' 5,030.5 502.8 583.2 1,324.8 1, 507.7 507.9 486.7 371.6 24.6 106.1 42.2 362.0 17.7 91.5 45.6 311.4 13.8 53.0 43.1 '500.0 30.4 186.2 51.2 ' 566.0 55.9 214.8 44.2 • 566.4 85.7 185.5 61.6 586.4 103.2 185.9 55.8 663.1 82.0 254. 6 59.3 840.7 104.7 304.4 90.8 718.0 92.5 248.1 67.5 779.7 69.8 290.4 101.3 676.6 81.5 187.0 93.3 122.9 84.9 '35.3 62.1 335.3 404.4 63.5 70.8 44.3 102.9 62.5 36.1 353.2 10.1 84.5 49.3 157.2 113.9 38.2 '38.3 349.1 421.8 66.2 73.8 38.6 130.3 89.1 35.6 36.3 r 335.9 r 405. 7 64.9 75.0 44.6 137.1 91.1 37.2 35.2 392.9 445.7 74.2 70.9 51.5 146.9 95. 3 41.8 '47.8 '331.9 ' 127. 4 67.5 41.4 '35.9 ' 386.0 ' 440. 6 75.5 71.2 51.2 105.3 62.0 36.2 44.0 403.9 478.2 78.3 85.5 57.8 106.7 55.5 36.3 44.8 384.7 457. 6 71.6 75.2 54.1 121.2 71.4 38.2 61.0 441.8 534.0 85.9 98.0 59.7 142.0 95.1 40.2 38.0 443.6 564.9 91.8 98.6 69.0 141.0 95.9 40.7 137.8 91.1 39.8 58.9 475.8 587.0 96.4 102.2 71.2 1,497. 4 ' 1,552.5 Mineral fuels, lubricants, etc. 9 do.. 950.7 1,019.1 Coal and related products do.. 478.9 445.0 Petroleum and products do.. 615.2 ' 508.0 Animal and vegetable oils, fats, waxes—do.. 3,836.0 ' 4,132.9 Chemicals do.. 4,413.4 ' 4,904.1 632.1 Manufactured goods 9 do.. 778.8 791.6 825.9 Textiles do.. 595.6 566.8 Iron and steel do.. Nonferrous base metals do.. Machinery and transport equipment, total '21,532.7 mil. $_- 19, 459. 8 ,560.9 13, 244.4 Machinery, total 9 do. 596.7 749.6 Agricultural do. 404.5 410.0 Metalworking do. 404.2 1,601.1 Construction, excav. and mining do 066.7 • 3,697.8 Electrical do 899.0 • 8,296.6 Transport equipment, total do 157.1 4,796.4 Motor vehicles and parts do 734.1 • 3,189.7 Miscellaneous manufactured articles do 531.4 • 1,559.4 Commodities not classified _do Value of Imports General imports, total do 45,562.7 "55,563.4 Seasonally adjusted do By geographic regions: Africa do_._. 1,236.3 1.595.2 Asia d o . . . . 11,779.5 15,111.5 Australia and Oceania do 894.9 1,145.4 Europe do j 12,881.1 15, 740.3 Northern North America do 12,695.4 14,915.3 3, 000.5 3.536.3 Southern North America do. 3,033. 7 3,460.0 South America do. By leading countries: Africa: 19.1 16.9 Egypt do 286.5 324.7 Republic of South Africa do Asia; Australia and Oceania: 636.1 819.9 Australia, including New Guinea do 329.1 426.6 India do 77.1 40.2 Pakistan do 269.0 301.2 Malaysia do 277.8 207.2 Indonesia do 483.5 Philippines do 495.6 Japan do 7,258. 8 9, 064. 3 Europe: 1, 087. 7 1,368.5 France do. 10.1 East Germany do. 10.3 West Germany do_ 3, 650. 5 4, 248. 7 italy do 1,405. 7 1.755.8 Union of Soviet Socialist Republics do 57.2 95.4 United Kingdom do. 2, 498. 5 2.985.9 North and South America: Canada do. 12,691.5 14,908.9 Latin American Republics, total 9 do | 4,881. 0 5, 772.1 Argentina do j 175.8 201.4 Brazil do | 761.7 941.6 Chile do j 90.9 82.9 Colombia do | 239.2 284.1 Mexico do j 1,261.6 1,631.6 Venezuela do 1,215. " 1, 297.5 By commodity groups and principal commodities: Agricultural products,total mil. $. 5, 765. 5 6, 504.9 Nonagricultural products, total do 39,797.3 49.050.4 ' Revised. 9 Includes data not shown separately. 526.0 38.8 112.4 14.8 22.9 153.9 73.0 '48,978.6 '3,977.8 •3,684.4 •3,909.5 '3,936.6 '4,447.2 '48,419.1 '3,941.8 3,618.3 •3,863.9 '3,893.4 '4,379.7 684.0 9,409.6 709.9 908.0 681.8 744.1 39,466.6 3,233.7 2,986.1 3, 236. 0 3, 228.1 3,540. 9 By commodity groups and principal commodities: Food and live animals9 mil. $_. 4,366. 6 ' 5,660.8 252.0 192.0 Meats and preparations (incl. poultry)..do 2,449.1 3,505.0 Grains and cereal preparations do. Crude materials, inedible, exc. fuels 9 — d o . Cotton, raw, excl. linters and waste do Soybeans, exc. canned or prepared do Metal ores, concentrates, and scrap do 551.7 24.9 107.9 '14.8 29.9 158.9 94.4 44.5 332.8 374.1 54.6 64.2 37.9 ' 426.4 72.0 54.4 460.0 578.4 94.2 109.7 64.3 1, 756. 5 '1,592.4 1,673.8 1, 739.7 '1,885.9 '1,904.1 1,937. 2 1,956. 4 2,026.9 2, 527. 8 2, 250.0 2,569. 7 2,317.7 101,3 1,031.3 1, 063. 2 1, 034. 6 1,132. 6 , 185. 2 1,199. 0 1, 222. 6 1, 223. 0 1,444.5 1,360.9 1, 474. 2 1,428. 8 69.6 64.3 63.1 58.8 62.8 105.0 92.6 56.7 59.3 61.8 86.6 78.3 97.0 31.2 42.1 31.7 30.4 32.5 37.2 32.4 35.6 30.6 44.4 35.8 31.4 37.0 139.8 135.0 137.4 130.2 119.3 180.7 176.3 124. 1 148.1 130.4 151.0 182.9 179.8 303.5 • 283. 7 • 296. 5 309.6 369.7 341.3 409.7 337.5 389.6 334.8 352.4 413.8 439.5 561.5 • 610. 8 675.1 655.1 733.8 754.8 ' 721.8 738.2 889.1 1,095.5 889.0 803.9 1, 083.4 399.0 283.4 357.4 527.8 474.2 551.0 433.2 521.7 543.6 455.8 448.5 426.7 477.5 265.4 261.0 264.7 325.7 324.3 263.3 ' 282. 8 '264.9 345.4 334.7 275.1 276.3 270.8 131.4 •118.6 168.4 145.7 116.0 131.0 120.5 146.7 171.1 118.9 131.0 128.7 132.6 4, 766.1 '4,313.6 4, 727.0 •4,491.4 '5,008.5 "5,201.4 •4,795.7 5,423.0 14,944.6 5, 595. 6 5,347.3 '6,032.0 5,900.8 5, 651. 8 4,467. 7 '4,565.1 4, 726.0 •4,612.2 '4,737.5 •5,147.9 •5,002.3 5,280.9 15, 540. 8 5,432.1 5, 290. "i 5,760.7 5,793.6 5,762.4 124.5 182.5 ' 126.5 134.6 216.4 184.2 137.8 165.5 187.5 141. 4 164. 7 155.4 226.3 1,240.2 1,174. 8 1,488. 6 1,339. 8 1, 398. 7 1,404.1 1,247.6 1, 364. 3 1, 245. 0 1,413.3 1,352.4 1,515.7 1, 549.1 128.0 101.2 96.6 90.1 87.2 108.5 127.8 123.4 90.1 123.0 101. 0 83. 4 120.3 1,346.0 1,314.4 1,341. 6 1,122. 0 1,355.3 1.491.7 1,366.4 1, 555.3 1,405. 2 1,587.9 1, 529. 7 1,723.2 1,628.9 1,373. 3 1,063.5 1, 027. 3 1, 206.1 1,372.9 1.456.8 1,302.4 1,477.9 1,337.8 1,546.9 1,443.4 1,667.1 1,673.7 248.7 308.7 287.5 258.3 368.4 277. 7 411.6 428.3 287.7 305.5 310.9 419.2 I 418.4 312.5 292.0 297.4 292.3 277.1 393.4 301.8 324.3 299.6 283.9 314.3 356.4 316.0 2.5 22.1 1.2 36.4 1.9 26.4 1.3 26.7 1.1 33.9 1.6 26.5 1.6 23.1 3.7 25.2 .5 37.2 1.2 30.1 2.6 32.3 1.4 31.7 2.2 28.4 68.4 42.8 3.3 23.3 20.1 50.8 707.1 57.5 38.2 1.9 24.1 18.2 33 8 680.1 92.0 37.3 5.1 21.5 26.1 50.8 911.1 91.3 30.2 2.2 17.6 29.5 52.7 805.5 89.1 27.3 2.5 33.9 28.2 34.9 819.0 79.9 34.0 2.3 24.9 24.2 41.5 863.9 61.9 29.1 2.6 21.8 26.1 56.0 724.6 72.3 35.2 3.3 23.3 29.4 35.0 800.8 29.0 3.3 23.6 25.0 31.3 708.7 61.9 38.4 3.6 30.9 34.2 50.3 792.2 70.7 29.7 2.5 25.4 30.1 44.6 779.9 76.9 35.9 2.3 40.7 43.8 56.1 812.6 82.5 39.2 1.7 40.0 48.4 55.0 810.9 115.8 .6 349.2 143.2 7.4 296.1 108.7 .7 373.2 142.3 7.3 132.5 94.3 .6 282.0 134.6 14.0 197.1 113.8 .7 364.5 124.4 9.5 271.8 127.1 1.0 380.9 156. 2 11.1 319.0 121.6 .8 357.5 147.9 12.8 264.7 138.1 .9 421.2 170.2 18.4 123.1 .5 379.7 162.6 12.5 266. 6 128.3 .7 436.8 167.0 15.5 140.9 .6 415.3 138.9 17.8 153.3 1.1 482.8 156.6 10.9 317.0 145.7 1.2 460.1 166.8 11.4 298.5 246.9 173.1 9.7 208.2 296.4 292.6 1,373.2 1,062.9 1, 025. 8 1, 205. 6 1,372.3 1,456.5 1,301.8 1, 477. 8 1,337.8 1,546.1 1,443.4 1,666.4 1,672.8 604.9 644.4 473.6 604.1 482.9 488.9 562.5 608.9 476.3 447.4 486.1 521.1 615.8 17.9 18.6 16.8 17.1 23.6 16.1 15.5 17.7 15.0 24.4 16.9 16.3 21.3 94.5 102.7 85.2 76.5 108.2 74.2 131.2 80.5 85.3 74.7 86.2 70.6 78.9 2.9 4.9 7.1 10.1 6.3 13.3 12.4 6.5 5.4 5.7 12.6 5.3 6.8 32.8 38.7 26.1 35.1 30.7 17.0 33.6 21.0 19.2 27.9 24.9 30.1 23.2 206.6 125.2 189.5 126.6 114.6 161.7 193.2 149.4 170.5 125.0 196.8 121.3 146.6 101.9 126. 8 121.9 104.1 108.6 134.4 109.2 107.8 130.6 113.9 130.8 99.1 108.8 670.1 787.8 659.7 556.1 545.4 6.0 )9.4 580.3 554.1 564.3 618.1 526.7 471.3 •4,239.4 3,842. 4 4,171. 2 3, 939. 4 4,426. 7 4,635.7 4, 230. 7 4, 763. 3 4,326. 5 4,929.6 4,637.8 5, 244. 2 5, 230. 7 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are a s shown in t h e 1971 edition of BUSINESS S T A T I S T I C S 1971 1973 1972 1972 Annual S-23 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Jan. Dec. Mar. Apr. May June 568.4 24.1 121.5 99.7 48.9 630.1 20.1 141.1 96.6 72.1 732,7 24.0 180.1 135.9 85.5 627.1 15.5 126.1 120.8 69.3 Feb. July FOREIGN TRADE OF THE UNITED STATES—Continued F O R E I G N TRADE—Continued Value of Imports—Continued General imports—Continued B y commodity groups and principal commodi ties: Food and live animals 9 mil. $. Cocoa or cacao beans do__. Coffee _ do__. Meats and preparations -do... Sugar do__. Beverages and tobacco do... Crude materials, inedible, exc. fuels? Metal ores _ Paper base stocks Textile fibers _ Rubber... _ _ do... do... __do__. do... __do__. Mineral fuels, lubricants, etc do... Petroleum and products do__. Animal and vegetable oils and fats Chemicals _ Manufactured goods? Iron and steel Newsprint Nonferrous metals Textiles.._ Machinery and transport equipment Machinery, t o t a l ? Metalworking Electrical Transport equipment Automobiles and parts Miscellaneous manufactured articles do... do... do... do__. do... do__. do... do__. do... do__. do... do._. do... do... Commodities not classified do... Indexes Exports (U.S. mdse., excl. military grant-aid): Unit value 1967=100. Quantity do... "Value ^ do General imports: Unit value .. do_._ Quantity _ do... Value do.__ Shipping Weight and Value Waterborne trade: Exports (inch reexports): Shipping weight thous. sh. tons. Value mil. $. General imports: Shipping weight thous. sh. tons. Value. mil. $. 5,528.6 181.3 1,166.6 1,050.1 763.6 875.5 6,369.9 150.7 1,181. 7 1, 222. 8 824.1 585.1 8.0 128.8 127.0 62.0 ' 545.1 6.8 103.5 111.9 52.4 '539.4 23.6 83.7 89.6 62.7 72.4 107.1 347.3 87.8 45.9 15.7 18.0 99.3 324.9 88.5 38.5 14.9 18.3 388.5 84.4 56.7 21.9 19.5 76.3 341.2 62.6 48.1 21.0 18.0 83.5 334.9 85.6 43.4 14.6 14.3 117.3 383.1 112.5 49.0 16.9 17.6 658.2 21.6 145.2 119.8 80.3 98.9 383.8 69.8 52.2 21.8 23.3 398.3 92.7 50.0 19.2 20.0 102.5 444.3 103.6 57.5 23.2 27.0 453.1 121.9 51.9 21.0 29.2 412.4 371.0 ' 417.0 374.4 475.7 431.1 532,7 488.1 494,9 452.4 595.1 553.7 502.2 463.2 609.4 565.2 604.3 566.7 16.8 14.7 13.6 15.8 19.8 189.1 190. 2 202.7 221.9 213.1 208.7 r 968.4 1,107. 8 240.7 286.6 110.6 87.9 224.7 161.5 144.2 114.4 232.0 90.6 178.2 124.1 1,078.2 220.1 107.3 199.5 143.5 992.8 1,178. 7 1,114.0 204.4 243.5 296.2 100.5 109.4 104.8 159.1 178.9 186.2 133.5 128.3 137.8 1,713.6 -1,492.3 1,675.9 1,560.0 1, 813.0 812.3 737.5 698.4 647.4 702.0 13.3 17.4 14.4 12.8 11.8 363.8 332.0 284.6 275.0 317.0 1,710.1 1,954.3 1,918.2 806.8 865.0 853.8 10.9 14.5 16.5 391.2 344.4 377.4 1,009. 5 3,382.0 •3,859.8 1,043. 9 1,021.6 502.3 509.9 158.4 195.9 216.0 196.2 525.5 13.3 78.8 89.8 102.4 88.6 324.1 95.6 42.8 '16.7 11.5 '63.5 55.7 316.8 86.7 36.9 16.9 12.7 316.9 90.3 41.4 19.6 16.4 3,714. 8 3,323.3 4,798.9 4,299. 6 375.1 336.1 378.4 341.4 400.2 365. 8 409.3 366.7 171.6 179.6 15.5 16.3 11.1 11.5 15.5 10.1 21.7 1,612.3 '2,014.8 ' 175.1 144.2 ' 168.1 159.0 ' 165. 8 177.4 166.4 1,551.6 1,391.2 11,421.5 1,018.0 2, 926. 4 263.4 1,053. 9 91.8 1,933. 2 '200.4 1, 528.4 127.0 ' 940.4 256.5 85.7 147.9 118.5 994.1 291.9 83.3 141.3 140.2 r 939. 7 263.1 87.0 151.2 116.3 13,873.2 5,967. 8 106.8 2,555.1 •17,400.6 1,531.6 1,247.2 7,786. 9 • 672.6 610.7 140.4 9.0 14.7 3,375. 4 • 282.5 266.6 1,370.6 667.1 12.0 315.8 7,905. 5 6,776.4 9, 613. 2 7, 945. 9 9,545.8 2,725.2 5,372.9 '6,910. 6 1,475. 6 1,598.0 858.9 705.0 580.9 131.9 484.3 9.9 79.2 101.8 65.9 576.2 7.6 111.7 128.4 91.0 636.5 513.0 703.4 552.8 595.9 ' 698.8 126.5 135.6 555.1 4.0 130.1 125 4 64.4 1,086.4 1,072.5 314.9 303.8 96.5 96.4 173.0 179.8 125.8 141.5 1,273.8 1,523.6 687.4 613.1 11.4 9.0 331.4 299.1 652.0 836.0 965.2 797.7 527.8 618.2 603.0 147.1 132.7 621.4 143.9 616.7 25.7 132.9 108.8 71.9 109.2 844.5 697.3 977.5 805.0 858.0 1,000.6 841.0 715.8 563.0 631.5 584.2 643.2 144.6 162. 8 128.7 151.3 97.3 903.3 1,100. 5 1,053. 2 896.2 941.7 748.3 697.1 649.7 609.8 160.9 131.6 141.4 114.4 122.4 140.0 ' 117.6 ' 134.3 ' 158.0 118.0 130.8 154.4 117.7 119.9 141.0 116.7 130.0 151.7 118.0 129.2 152.5 118.4 145.0 171.6 122.8 143.3 176.1 122.6 144.6 177.3 123.5 147.5 182.1 126.8 148.0 187.7 127.2 179.3 228.0 128.4 166.3 213.6 132.4 175.3 232.1 134.5 167.5 225.3 117.4 144.5 ' 126.1 ' 163. 8 206.6 126.7 167.9 212.7 126.1 152.7 192.5 127.3 165.8 211.0 128.3 156.0 200.1 129.8 172.1 223.5 130.4 177.5 231.6 130.3 164.3 214.0 133.3 181.5 242.0 134.3 164.3 220.7 137.5 181.6 249.7 145.1 164.5 238.6 146.9 183.3 269.2 147.8 178.2 263.3 204,132 22,610 230,137 25,523 19,631 2,031 17,742 1,991 21,938 2,088 20,432 2,025 21,680 2,338 21,943 2,449 20,720 2,531 19, 814 2,600 18,865 2,633 22,218 3,144 22, 741 2,946 313,167 26,993 350,551 33,610 30,050 2,860 28,083 2,737 31, 753 3,154 28,377 2,825 30,923 3,107 32, 531 3,076 33,428 2,853 33,411 3,207 29,981 2,919 34,408 3,319 31,522 3,171 11.05 47.9 1,534 12.94 50.2 1,814 13.24 51.8 1,796 13.16 50.3 1,822 10.44 226 55 10.11 255 58 2.80 148 43 3.05 27.8 465 27.8 448 TRANSPORTATION AND COMMUNICATION TRANSPORTATION Air Carriers (Scheduled Service) Certificated route carriers: Passenger-miles (revenue) bil._ Passenger-load factor § percent . Ton-miles (revenue), totalf mil- 152.41 53.0 20,746 13.95 55.9 1,847 10,046 8,220 826 288 9,717 30 11,163 9,271 938 272 10, 579 222 2,801 2,321 225 65 2,638 68 106.44 2,278 708 118.14 2,567 686 10.68 218 55 7,753 7,496 31 8,652 8,158 196 2,156 2,035 47 Operating revenues9©__ __ Passenger revenues Freight and express revenues Mail revenues Operating expenses©.. Net income after taxes© Domestic operations: Passenger-miles (revenue) Express and freight ton-miles Mail ton-miles.. Operating revenues© Operating expensesO Net income after taxes© bil mil._ do... mil. $_. do.." do International and territorial operations: Passenger-miles (revenue) Express and freight ton-miles Mail ton-miles _ bil ..mil.. do 29.22 1,518 617 34.27 1,738 515 3.26 141 38 mil. $_. do... do 2,292 2,221 -1 2,512 2,420 26 645 603 21 27.4 ' 5,274 27.2 '440 Operating revenues© Operating expenses© Net income after taxes© mil. $.. do do dol__~ do do~___ 135. 63 48.5 18,685 Local Transit Lines Fares, average cash rate cents 26.6 5,497 Passengers carried (revenue) ...mil.. ' Revised. » Preliminary. 9 Includes data not shown separately. ^Applies to passengers, baggage, cargo, and mail carried. 15.10 60.9 1,931 15.65 62.7 2,034 12.47 53.8 1,705 12.29 50.9 1,725 11.52 50.0 1,687 11.93 229 55 9.22 223 53 9.50 235 55 9.25 253 57 2,278 2,045 108 3.82 144 36 3.72 147 38 3.25 145 38 27.8 411 27.8 427 2,785 2,322 241 66 2,808 -46 10.42 237 75 9.80 208 56 8.80 203 52 2.79 164 42 2.27 169 55 2.66 155 68 2.69 136 46 2.24 133 42 27.8 446 27.8 424 2.68 166 47 579 602 -17 600 613 -18 27.8 451 10.26 246 61 2,207 2,206 -29 2,212 2,093 52 732 630 57 27.2 384 12.50 49.1 1,696 2,812 2,308 268 76 2,705 34 3,010 2,535 236 62 2,675 165 11.28 192 49 13.08 53.1 1,842 27.8 438 27.8 424 27.8 512 27.8 420 §Passenger-miles as a percent of available seat-miles in revenue service; reflects proportion of seating capacity actually sold and utilized. ©Total revenues, expenses, and income for all groups of carriers also reflect nonscheduled service. SURVEY S-24 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1971 CURRENT BUSINESS 1972 1972 Annual August 1973 June July Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July TRANSPORTATION AND COMMUNICATION—Continued TRANSPORTATION—Continued Motor Carrier! (Intercity) Carriers of property, class I : Number of reporting carriers Operating revenues, total _ _ _ _ __. _ mil. $_. do.... Expenses, total . Freight carried (revenue) „ mil. tons . Freight carried, volume indexes, class I and II (ATA): Common and contract carriers of propertv (qtrly )cf average same period, 1967=100 . Common carriers of general freight, k seas. adj. 1967=100... Carriers of passengers, class I: Number of reporting carriers mil. $ Operating revenues total do Expenses total mil Passengers carried (revenue) 1 i 1,475 12,693 11,907 596 1,475 14,270 13,434 642 1,529 8 7, 076 8 6,668 «321 119.0 128.0 131.0 124.5 136.4 132.5 172 759.9 665.4 166.7 172 768.1 682.5 156.8 70 8 349. 8 8 327.8 8 75.7 Class I Railroads Financial operations, qtrly. (AAR): mil. $ 712,697 Operating revenues, total 9 do.. . 11,793 Freight .. 7 294 do Passenger © do 10, 058 Operating expenses © 1 939 Tax accrual*? and rents do 700 Net railway operating income do do Net Income (after taxes) 0 8 351 Traffic: Ton-miles of freight (net), revenue and nonrev752 2 enue bii Revenue ton-miles, qtrly (AAR) do 739.7 1.594 Revenue per ton-mile cents mil 8,901 Passengers (revenue) carried 1 mile. . . Travel Hotels and motor-hotels: § 18.74 Average sale per occupied room dollars., c 60 VoOt total.. Rooms occupied 114 Restaurant sales index .same mo. 1951 = 100. Foreign travel: 7,591 U.S. citizens: Arrivals _ _ _ thous Departures . . . . _ do . . 7,059 4 325 do Aliens: Arrivals 3,567 Departures. . _ do 2,399 do Passports issued do National parks, visits^ 48,863 7 13,411 12,571 7 257 7 1,475 8 7,194 8 6,766 8 321 129.0 134.4 129.7 137.6 7 3,437 3,226 7 68 140.0 124.0 144.9 154.8 150.2 7 3,302 3,088 7 66 166.0 160.1 153.1 7 3, 475 3,255 7 60 162.5 163.4 3,523 3,305 7 59 10, 550 2,026 835 «500 2,686 512 239 « 151 2,616 508 178 •88 2,716 509 250 •184 2,761 562 200 6 119 800.8 780.7 1.616 8,560 8 395. 2 198.8 * 1. 612 «4,251 190.4 204.4 204.1 19.21 62 123 19.53 68 136 19.45 63 124 19.83 68 117 19.54 64 125 20.43 71 125 19.38 60 111 18.88 48 122 19.52 57 105 19.85 60 118 20.32 65 143 20.06 67 129 20.53 69 153 749 931 445 382 1,055 1,003 579 450 1,130 856 586 539 844 736 542 416 771 625 434 383 664 542 368 324 543 606 407 382 663 548 452 342 589 583 346 272 713 686 426 343 780 746 451 359 775 787 427 376 2,728 54,087 329 7,258 249 10,819 235 10,393 174 5,651 140 3,896 132 2,055 119 1,716 183 1,656 230 1,848 322 2,252 345 3,356 335 4,826 23, 079 11, 261 8,984 14, 869 4 03° 117.3 3 5,625 3 2,699 3 2,172 3 3,603 3 1 024 3 117.5 9 5,155 2,513 8 2,012 5 3,415 9 842 s 110.3 3 5,854 3 2, 860 s 2, 264 3 3, 754 3 i 033 3 115. 7 <*5,297 «2,593 •2,032 °3,504 °906 fflll. 6 6,033 2,923 2,371 3,867 1 088 117.3 659 '1,353 117 886 209 '661 32, 036 '586 * 9, 068 * 8, 312 < 5 193 * 4, 310 213.0 2 60.8 306 7,435 255 COMMUNICATION (QTRLY.) Telephone carriers: Oneratinc revenues Q mu c Station revenues --do.... Tolls, message • __ _ do.... Operating expenses (excluding taxes). do Net operating income (after taxes) Phones in service, and of period mil._ Telegraph carriers: Domestic: Operating revenues ... mil. $Operating expenses do Net operating revenues (before taxe s) do International: do Operating revenues Operating expenses do Net operating revenues (before taxe s) do 20, 410 9,970 7,945 13, 253 3 487 111.6 9 396.8 337.0 31 7 109.4 88.9 13 9 102.6 89.0 8 0 206 0 150 8 44 3 56 2 39 9 12.9 56 0 40 4 12 5 i 1" CHEMICALS AND ALLIED PRODUCTS CHEMICALS Inorganic chemicals, production: Acetylene! mil. cu. ft. Ammonia, synthetic anhydrous}: .thous. sh. tons. Carbon dioxide, liquid, gas, and solidj do Chlorine gas (100% C13)J do ._ Hydrochloric acid (100% HC1)J do Nitric acid (100% HNOj)t do... Oxygen (high and low purity)© mil. cu. ft_ Phosphoric acid (100% P 3 O 6 )t thous. sh. tons Sodium carbonate (soda ash), synthetic (58% NajO)t thous. sh. tons. Sodium bichromate and chromate do Sodium hydroxide (100% NaOH)J do Sodium silicate, anhydroust do... Sodium sulfate, anhydroust do Sulfuric acid (100% H3SO4H do ' 12,349 14, 029 ' 1,344 9,352 2,099 6,742 319,171 6,240 ' 11, 568 14,302 ' 1, 481 9,869 4 2, 201 7,022 353,190 6,263 1,212 '138 810 181 577 29,263 490 '932 1,150 '133 838 180 531 29,014 501 '961 1,223 '140 857 190 524 29,064 507 '912 1,133 '132 809 179 552 29,269 512 '984 1,167 -128 851 194 608 31,796 557 1,151 '119 843 195 587 30,992 510 1,183 '106 851 197 597 32,065 528 965 1,197 102 849 198 582 31, 084 469 855 1,135 98 779 180 608 29,286 524 717 1,319 108 862 211 616 32, 945 567 661 ' 102 103 848 202 '644 31,627 567 4,275 138 9,667 628 1,356 29,422 4,301 137 10, 263 663 1,358 31,046 342 11 837 54 118 2,522 353 12 856 45 106 2,487 380 13 892 331 11 840 55 109 2,495 376 12 886 65 117 2,660 376 12 873 70 113 2,628 366 12 885 58 108 2,672 333 12 879 42 103 2,501 328 11 808 53 110 2,518 350 13 895 65 141 2,672 330 12 882 64 138 '2,634 49 109 2,659 ' Revised. v Preliminary. 1 Number of carriers filing complete reports for the year. 2 For month shown. 3 For 63 carriers. * Annual total reflects revisions not distributed to the monthly or quarterly data. «Based on six months ending in month shown. 6 7 Before extraordinary and prior period items. Reporting roads only; excludes AMTRAK operations. 8 For six months ending in month shown. » For 3d qtr. 1971, 63 carriers. cfIndexes are comparable for the identical quarter of each year (and from year to year). ©Natl. Railroad Passenger Corp. (AMTRAK) 1972 operations (not included in AAR data 337 12 928 72 142 ' 2,840 1,337 618 "534' ' 2,567 above), mil. dol.: Passenger revenues, 138.2; expenses, 286.3; net income, —147.5 (ICC). 9 Includes data not shown separately. tRevised monthly data back to 1969 will be shown later. ©Not comparable with data in 1971 BUSINESS STATISTICS. §Effective Jan. 1972, data reflect an expanded sample that includes many motor-hotels; restated data for 1971 are comparable. «For 4th qtr. 1971, 63 carriers. IData include visits, effective Jan. and July 1971, to Guadalupe vlts. and Redwood National Parks, and effective Jan. 1972, to Arches and Capitol Reef National Parks. SUKV EY (JF C UKKJ KJNT August 1973 1971 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are a a shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS LNJSS S-25 1972 1972 June Annual July Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July CHEMICALS AND ALLIED PRODUCTS—Continued CHEMICALS—Continued Organic chemicals, production:cf © Acetic anhydride Acetylsalicylicacid (aspirin). Creosote oiL— 1,545.8 31.7 119.2 1, 560.6 »34.6 119.1 119.4 3.0 10.3 121.1 2.7 8.9 124.2 2.5 11.3 3.0 9.8 2.9 11.0 130.1 2.5 8.9 2.3 8.7 3.0 7.8 () 2.8 11.4 3.0 10.7 2.4 8.9 2.4 9.1 3.0 8.5 i 159.8 4,373.1 1 217. 2 6,500.0 20.5 443.4 11.8 384.5 21.3 519.8 19.6 430.8 19.8 458.8 18.4 458.5 20.3 460.0 18.1 479.5 14.7 465.7 23.8 519.2 24.5 527.7 '17.1 ' 511.3 18.7 521.2 do ..do ..mil. gal_. mil. lb_. 339.8 28.2 » 754.7 » 766.4 353.0 25.6 * 897.0 31.4 26.2 70.5 95.0 25.7 26.3 75.1 82.1 32.1 26.1 85.3 74.2 29.1 30.1 81.0 73.6 30.8 24.5 64.7 75.5 25.7 24.3 87.5 71.2 30.9 25.6 84.4 77.7 31.5 24.7 83.5 75.5 28.1 23.8 79.4 71.4 30.8 21.6 93.1 29.5 22.6 88.7 81.9 '29.8 17.1 79.7 "91.6 30.0 15.0 90.6 86.2 552.9 132.8 432.7 88.0 621.4 76.9 453.0 82.5 56.7 100.0 36.8 8.4 54.7 98.1 38.6 6.0 57.7 _ mil. tax gal_. do do do 39.0 6.1 64.0 103.8 36.4 6.1 59.3 105.4 40.7 7.3 51.5 96.2 37.3 7.0 53.4 76.9 35.3 5.8 67.1 95.9 41.3 6.1 62.5 90.7 37.5 4.9 57.1 87.8 41.3 6.2 58.4 97.6 36.7 5.7 58.1 87.7 38.8 6.6 Denatured alcohol:% Production Consumption (withdrawals) Stocks, end of period ...mil. wine gal.. do _ do 234.1 234.6 2.9 245.9 246.7 2.0 21.0 21.0 2.8 21.1 21.2 3.0 21.2 21.4 2.7 19.4 19.5 2.7 21.9 22.0 2.6 20.1 19.9 2.8 19.1 19.6 2.0 22.2 21.8 2.8 20.2 20.4 2.6 22.2 22.5 2.5 19.8 19.6 2.7 21.6 21.5 2.8 .thous. sh. tons.. 17,106 1,050 do 113,431 do do 1,033 19,612 1,123 14,953 1,353 2,182 78 1,849 79 1,697 75 1,324 133 1,643 104 1,217 124 1,802 61 1,292 217 1,702 135 1,209 140 1,358 88 1,013 75 1,699 107 1,103 111 1,666 81 1,259 95 1,451 52 1,054 136 1,830 91 1,438 129 1,770 109 1,391 83 1,518 110 1,141 114 1,540 68 1,109 146 374 229 4,549 203 378 264 4,855 111 19 14 283 31 10 13 260 4 15 16 298 23 17 13 410 0 20 23 507 1 17 14 274 5 27 26 442 16 28 23 431 3 39 46 761 1 74 46 713 0 37 22 547 3 25 12 305 9 5,026 4,913 388 174 307 369 494 246 330 384 611 782 706 581 '308 4,966 389 5,482 433 431 324 427 410 415 449 461 347 477 418 469 433 491 455 477 437 491 333 ••494 '233 '495 '233 447 304 Ethyl acetate (85%) Formaldehyde (37% HCHO) Glycerin, refined, all grades: Production Stocks, end of period Methanol, synthetic Phthalic anhydride -mil. l b . . ___do mil. gal.. .mil.lb. do..~ 1 ALCOHOL Ethyl alcohol and spirits:t Production Stocks, end of period Used for denaturation Taxable withdrawals FERTILIZERS Exports, total 9 Nitrogenous materials Phosphate materials Potash materials Imports: Ammonium nitrate Ammonium sulfate Potassium chloride Sodium nitrate do do do do Potash deliveries (KjO) do... Superphosphate and other phosphatic fertilizers (100%PjO6): Production J.._ .thous. sh. tons. Stocks, end of period.. 1 P231 do MISCELLANEOUS PRODUCTS 528.5 Explosives (industrial), shipments, quarterly! mil.lb. Paints, varnish, and lacquer, factory shipments: Total shipments mil. $_ Trade products do Industrial finishes do 2,120.0 2,108.7 673.0 2,830.9 1,562.8 1,268.2 3,009.2 1,659.3 1,349.8 292.4 171.7 120.7 257.6 160.0 97.7 286.4 167.2 119.1 269.0 152.0 116.9 254.0 135.4 118.6 224.7 113.8 110.8 190.0 95.0 95.0 225.5 114.5 111.0 235.0 124.7 110.3 264.0 140.1 123.9 ' 270.0 1 147.4 • 122. 6 294.4 161.9 132.5 Sulfur, native (Frasch) and recovered: Production thous. lg. tons. Stocks (producers'), end of period do « 8,620 4,120 * 9,218 3,794 715 4,104 741 4,159 776 4,008 805 4,019 776 4,003 785 3,956 790 3,832 697 3,807 812 4,127 802 3,779 844 3,762 830 3,802 mil. lb. do do do () » 637.7 () 11,141.8 11,680.1 i 683.4 (2) 122.9 116.7 124.1 146.5 173.3 156.9 165.4 215.7 162.9 182.6 159.1 • 172.6 154.4 Thermoplastic resins: Cellulose plastic materials do... Coumarone-indene and petroleum polymer resins mil. lb. Styrene-type materials (polystyrene) do Vinyl resins (resin content basis)f do__. Polyethylene do () 3,749.8 14,602.0 i 4,075.8 14,288.9 i 6,395.8 17,629.5 391.2 352.8 603.9 370.7 323.3 604.3 389.9 349.0 658.0 ;86.1 357.9 662.2 404.4 384.1 686.2 406.9 377.1 413.0 396.7 689.8 421.6 384.2 679.5 403.1 363.2 638.5 443.6 395.0 721.0 407.3 ' 418.4 385.9 , ' 3 8 8 . 8 693.8 ' 705.8 409.3 358.7 678.9 534.0 476.0 479.1 PLASTICS AND RESIN MATERIALS Production: Thennosetting resins: Alkyd resins Polyester resins Phenolic and other tar acid resins Urea and melamine resins ELECTRIC POWER AND GAS ELECTRIC POWER | Production (utility and industrial), total X mil. kw.-hr.J 1,717,520 Electric utilities, total do.... 1,613,936 By fuels do 1,347,616 By waterpower do 266,320 Privately and municipally owned util Other producers (publicly owned) Industrial establishments, total By fuels By waterpower do do do do _do 1,853,390 154,360 166,652 171,861 156,028 152,759 152,625 163,329 1,747,323 145,523 157,846 162,822 147,358 143,742 143,867 1,474,589 122, 254 134,292 140,075 128,291 124,401 122,473 272,734 23,269 23,553 22,747 19,067 19,341 21,394 154,350 129,587 24,763 1,322.540 1,435,599 119,219 129,089 133,735 121,992 118,971 118,425 291,396 301,724 26,304 28,756 29,087 25,366 24,771 26,443 126,636 27,714 103,585 100,325 3,260 106,067 102,678 8,837 8,537 299 8,807 8,522 285 9,040 8,756 284 ' Revised. * Preliminary. 1 Reported annual total reflecting revisions not distributed to the monthly data. » Series discontinued. 3 Less than 500 short tons. « Annual total reflects sulfur content, whereas monthly data are gross weight. 1" Beginning Jan. 1972, data exclude polyvinyl acetate, poly vinyl alchohol, and other vinyl resins. 517-658 O - 73 - S-2 8,670 8,428 242 9,018 8,747 271 8,758 8,460 298 8,979 8,669 310 0Except for glycerin, scattered revisions have been made in the annual data back to 1965; monthly revisions are not available. d*Data are reported on the basis of 100 percent content of the specified material unless otherwise indicated. 9 Includes data not shown separately. §Data exclude black blasting powder. | Revised monthly data for 1970 will be shown later. SUEVEY S-26 in the 1971 edition of B U S I N E S S S T A T I S T I C S Annual August 1973 1972 1972 1971 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown CUKKESTT BUSINESS June July Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July ELECTRIC POWER AND GAS—Continued ELECTRIC POWER—Continued Sales to ultimate customers, total (Edison Electric Institute) mil. kw.-hr.. Commercial and industrial: Small light and power§. do Large light and power§_. do 1,466,441 1,577,714 128,367 134,108 141,473 141, 720 135,133 131,021 134,957 143,115 139,596 136, 747 131,897 333,752 592,699 361,859 639,467 30,514 53,651 32,423 52, 492 345 43, 899 906 3,601 442 33,874 55,020 33,784 55,575 31,384 56,259 341 347 46, 882 41,929 985 1,075 3,715 3,704 435 29,781 55,404 30, 021 31, 665 31,124 54, 111 55, 111 54,619 30, 646 29, 848 55,627 55,753 325 397 45,126 41,142 1,021 1,078 3,447 3,381 426 426 358 326 395 379 4,440 390 335 4,537 Railways and railroads do 47,232 40, 253 45,137 50, 700 48,428 479,080 511,423 38,827 Residential or domestic do 1,124 1,165 950 1,187 1,092 901 12,193 11,673 Street and highway lighting do 3,687 3,705 3,641 3,617 3,534 43,190 3,671 39,819 Other public authorities do 415 442 424 420 5,142 422 4,880 469 Interdepartmental do Revenue from sales to ultimate customers (Edison Electric Institute) mil. $.. 24, 725.2 27,921.1 2, 286.8 2,412.0 2,529.1 2,544. 2 2,417.1 2,333.4 2,402.1 2, 540.6 2, 511. 3 2,472. 6 2,403.4 GASf Total utility gas, Quarterly (American Gas Association): Customers, end of period, total thous.. Residential do Commercial do Industrial. --do Other .do... . Sales to customers, total tril. Btu._ Residential... do.... Commercial do Industrial _ do Other do Revenue from sales to customers, total—mil. $.. Residential — -do Commercial do Industrial do Other do 42, 728 39,280 3,198 194 56 43,307 39, 716 3,332 209 50 43,826 40,171 3,366 16,680 5,040 2,156 8,643 841 43,307 42, 673 39,716 39,191 3,332 3,230 205 209 47 50 3,977 16,969 1,067 5,176 489 2,334 8,530 2,207 213 928 3,250 464 267 2,262 257 4,266 1,402 638 2,000 225 5,286 2,256 966 1,850 213 11,355 5,635 1,829 3,568 323 12,498 6,138 2,074 3,873 413 2,841 1,328 442 980 91 1,985 699 235 953 3,292 1,671 566 949 106 4,563 2,552 892 1,005 114 42,706 39,189 3,264 206 81 FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS; TOBACCO ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES Beer: mil. bbl Production do Taxable withdrawals Stocks end of period _ do_ _ Distilled spirits (total): Production mil- tax pal Consumption, apparent, for beverage purposes mil winp crnl Taxable withdrawals mil- tax pal . do _ Stocks, end of period __ _ Imports mil nroof pn\ Whisky: Production mil tax pal Taxable withdrawals Stocks, end of period Imports do _ _ _ _ _ _ _ do mil proof g a l . . Rectified spirits and wines, production, t otal mil proof gal do Whisky Wines and distilling materials: Effervescent wines: Production mil wine gal do Taxable withdrawals __ _ do Stocks end of period do Imports ___ _ Still wines: Production _ _ _ _ do _ do Taxable withdrawals do Stocks end of period do Imports Distilling materials produced at wineri 3S—_dO 137.36 127. 40 12.23 141. 28 131. 81 12.44 14.21 13.12 14.40 13.18 12.22 14.49 13.09 12.89 13.75 11.41 10.88 13.54 183.27 190. 27 16.50 15.83 8.04 12.79 16.08 16.33 2 382. 35 2 393 37 27.80 29 34 35.18 182. 07 18.19 14.19 16.73 200.43 996. 62 971.70 1,007. 56 1,001.98 991. 93 102.14 6.99 6.13 9.27 100.16 30.68 18.65 984. 85 7.10 33.73 22.14 977.70 11.61 39.52 20.75 972. 30 11.64 119. 38 116. 84 945.80 i 89. 29 11.15 10.61 13.36 9.92 9.92 12.77 9.59 9.27 12.44 10.98 9.67 13.07 10.72 9.43 13.70 13.14 12.01 14.00 12.86 11.65 14.42 13.83 12.87 14.48 15.52 15.25 15.75 18.44 16 14 18.31 48.34 16.46 971.70 12.65 28.20 15.14 970.43 7.77 26.73 13.87 971. 96 6.78 17. 98 972. 74 8.37 16.00 971. 86 7.58 19.36 970. 31 9.30 8.17 6.98 116. 56 130.09 924.41 87.69 9.89 10.83 958.39 8.20 4.72 9.36 952. 97 6.20 3.63 10.94 944.46 5.26 6.62 12.75 937.44 6.19 9.32 15.86 929. 65 10.17 10.52 14.29 924. 70 10.29 9.94 10.22 924. 41 11.33 10.47 9.64 924.02 6.68 11.00 8.90 926. 03 5.70 11.89 11.33 926.32 7.21 11 18 10 23 926. 58 6.55 11.93 11.96 925.34 7.95 120 31 ' 62. 64 11.44 6.36 8.97 5.47 9.26 4.43 9.51 4.75 12.59 6.69 12.29 6.35 9.21 4.14 9.24 3.86 7.51 3.53 9.77 4.40 9 11 4 42 10.78 5.27 r 23.83 ' 2 1 . 64 8.57 1.88 21.13 20.36 8.09 1.98 1.65 1.78 9.58 .15 .79 1.01 9.31 .12 2.83 1.35 10.65 .12 1.37 1.63 10.36 .10 1.91 2.51 9.64 .20 1.98 2.80 8.71 .24 2.30 2.74 8.09 .31 1.41 1.11 8.19 . 18 1.42 1.10 8.44 .15 1.93 1.24 9.07 .18 1.91 1.06 9.88 .14 1.72 1.54 10.00 .15 .14 357.36 246.97 366.31 »34.28 301.16 269. 89 350 88 45.07 7.51 24.24 262.06 3.80 7.52 17.70 251. 81 3.49 26.39 19.95 255.37 4.02 75.58 22.98 305.25 3.33 84.87 25.04 356.65 3.90 42.62 25.09 366.39 4.94 19.87 25.39 350. 88 4.66 12.26 22.13 331 79 4.38 10.28 20.90 314. 70 3.52 12.19 26.26 294. 31 4.30 10.54 22.87 277 34 4.42 10.01 24.54 257. 93 5.10 4.93 402.38 261.10 .48 .96 50.22 123.59 50.38 6.96 7.84 1.97 3.05 4.25 1.10 3.41 66.4 178.4 .710 75.2 154.7 .708 73.5 132.5 .703 81.6 107.5 .715 96 1 108.7 .687 84.4 109.5 .687 90.6 116.6 93.7 125.8 .624 100 3 140.8 .620 199.7 124.2 197. 3 119.5 184.9 107.9 204.7 119.5 202 9 123.5 193.7 120.1 226.5 142.7 238.8 151.3 261 5 171.7 404.0 335.8 15.6 379.3 314.2 17.8 353.6 291.7 20.3 331.4 269 4 19.9 322.1 260 4 15.2 321.1 260.1 11.4 302.4 244 9 14.9 303.4 247.3 12.2 .709 .718 .736 .744 .745 .746 .765 .783 116.12 63.05 r DAIRY PRODUCTS Butter, creamery: 75.0 110.0 1,143.7 1,101.9 87.7 Production (factory) % mil lb 198.4 195.9 _ do 210.7 96.8 107.5 Stocks, cold storage, end of period _ .704 .688 Price, wholesale, 92-score (N.Y.) $ per lb__ .693 .688 .696 Cheese: Production (factory), totalf mil. lb « 2,380.4 2, 611. 8 257.9 237.8 220.0 do 142.7 1,511.5 1,644.3 174.8 157.6 American, whole milkj 409.7 304.3 376.3 407.6 Stocks, cold storage, end of period do 331.4 341.9 American, whole milk do 238.9 341.2 307.8 269 4 Hn 14.1 179.4 10.1 95.5 14.8 Imports Price, wholesale, American, single daisies (Chicago) $ per lb__ .702 .671 .714 .709 .707 r 1 Reported annual total; revisions are not distributed to the monthly data. 2 Revised. Includes Hawaii; no monthly data available. §Data are not wholly comparable on a year to year basis because of changes from one ' 149. 4 .619 149.7 .639 330.6 271.1 16.1 ' 376.3 r 309 6 20.2 392.4 320.0 .792 .802 .801 classification to another. fData restated to represent the total gas utility industry, 99 percent of which is natural gas; also, sales are expressed in B.t.u. instead of therms. JRevised data for months prior to May 1971 will be shown later. SURVEY O F <CURRENT BUSS1JNE August 1973 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 a n d descriptive notes are a s shown in the 1971 edition of B U S I N E S S S T A T I S T I C S 1971 1973 1972 1972 June Annual 3-27 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS; TOBACCO—Continued DAIRY PRODUCTS—Continued Condensed and evaporated milk: "Production case croodsrt1 80.8 * 75.8 73.5 92.4 97.4 114.2 104.1 74.7 60.2 55.2 35.6 56.2 85.4 .1 .2 4.4 .3 3.2 .2 3.8 .1 2.9 3.5 .2 4.8 9,460 4,549 '6.38 8,987 4,156 '6.52 9,401 4,464 '6.54 5.4 69.1 6.8 63.6 6.3 57.2 6.1 72.1 6.7 85.2 5.9 79.9 6.0 86.3 5.4 64.7 4.8 47.9 4.7 34.9 3.4 37.9 4.4 34.5 4.9 17.5 2.2 12.5 4.5 17.0 3.0 10.8 2.4 7.9 2.0 3.7 .320 .321 .322 .330 .342 .359 153.0 137.4 170.9 181.5 168.8 8.9 2.2 453.6 321.7 132.0 1.2 1.18 1.17 1.18 1.18 1.25 1.25 63.9 97.1 31,126 3 751 3 375 108.7 1.22 1.30 1.21 1.36 1.28 1,268.1 1,174.2 130.8 109.4 109.5 85.7 83.8 69.6 88.6 74.7 125.0 145.6 140.2 143.8 138.8 35.1 32.7 14.4 40.5 .1 3.2 .3 3.1 .1 5.0 3.6 118,532 do 8 do 60,363 5.87 $ per 100 lb_. 120, 278 7 61,731 '6.07 10,983 6,673 '5.72 10,450 5,887 '5.80 9,982 5,405 '5.99 9,443 4,646 '6.21 78.9 1,223.5 7.3 155.3 4.3 121.2 4.8 92.4 3.4 37.9 7.5 105.7 7.1 107.4 38.3 164.1 2.8 26.5 .331 7 Exports (barley, corn, oats rye, wheat),..mil. bu._ 1,204.5 U,789.3 mil. lb Stocks, manufacturers', case goods, end of month Exports: Condensed (sweetened) __ EvaDorated (unsweetened) Fluid milk: Production on farms . TTtili7a.tion in mfd dairv oroducts Price, wholesale, U.S. average do do Dry milk: Production: 7 77.8 Dry whole milk mil. lb 1,417.6 Nonfat drv milk (human food) do Stocks, manufacturers', end of period: 4.0 Dry whole milk do «77.0 Nonfat drv milk (human food) do Exports: 25.0 Dry whole milk do 7 124.2 Nonfat dry milk (human food) . do Price, manufacturers' average selling, nonfat dry .307 milk (human food) $ per lb_. 0) 0) .1 .2 4.0 3.1 3.0 10,488 5,386 6.40 11,078 5,960 6.37 10, 706 6.9 95.1 8.6 97.3 9.3 121.5 4.1 36.9 3.4 38.3 5.2 56.8 5.1 75.4 3.7 3.6 4.3 4.1 1.4 4.6 5.2 .4 1.0 .2 .376 .394 .398 .422 .440 .445 181.2 202.1 211.2 192.2 216.2 217.4 243.0 282.7 3.4 2.1 361.8 246.2 115.6 7.3 2.7 5.4 '263.7 166.4 '97.3 7.7 7.5 10.4 33 164. 2 88. 8 3 75 4 7.6 1.32 1.32 1.32 1.32 1.43 1.42 1.57 1.56 1.54 1.53 1.60 1.59 1.62 1.61 1.64 1.64 1.72 1.69 79.8 91.0 4,815 3,674 1 141 84.2 102.5 1.31 1.28 1.31 1.30 1.53 1.54 1.55 1.57 9,630 9,055 10,321 ' 4,713 ' 4,475 ' 5,176 6.52 6.55 6.56 10,105 '6.37 6.2 1.5 GRAIN AND GRAIN PRODUCTS Barley: Production (crop estimate) Stocks (domestic), end of period On farms Off farms Exports, including malt§ _ Prices, wholesale (Minneapolis): No. 2, malting No. 3, straight. . _ do do do do __do__ 2 463.6 392.4 255.5 136.9 7 53.2 $ per bu do 1.21 1.20 Corn: Production (crop estimate, grain only)..mil. bu Stocks (domestic), end of period, total do On farms do Off farms do Exports, including meal and flour do Prices, wholesale: No. 3, yellow (Chicago) $ per bu_. Weighted avg., 5 markets, all grades _ do Oats: Production (cror) estimated Stocks (domestic), end of period, total On farms Off farms mil bu do do do Exports, including oatmeal . do Price, wholesale, No. 2, white (Chicago) $ per bu._ Rice: Production (crop estimate) mil bags 9 California mills: Receipts, domestic, rough. .mil. lb Shipments from mills, milled rice do Stocks, rough and cleaned (cleaned basis), end of period mil lb Southern States mills (Ark., La., Tenn., Tex.): Receipts, rough, from producers mil. lb__ Shipments from mills, milled rice do Stocks, domestic, rough and cleaned (cleaned basis), end of period- . mil. lb Exports do Price, wholesale, Nato, No. 2 (New Orleans) $ perlb.. 2 5,641 4,700 3,551 1,149 7 511.7 2 423. 5 3 174. 8 361.8 246.2 33 107. 0 67. 8 115 6 11.6 60.6 1.23 1.23 2 5, 553 4,815 '2,173 3,674 " 1,589 584 1 141 65.2 886.2 1.39 U.36 a 1.20 1.21 1.30 1.26 881 943 693 2 695 780 559 1.27 1.20 220 33 541 336 3 205 7.1 25.2 3.4 i. 75 «.85 251 3 85.8 2 2,004 1,446 1,774 1 266 92.2 1.57 1.56 1.63 1.65 2.01 2.02 2.43 2.30 249 .4 .80 .79 .82 164 83 297 282 328 259 82 112 174 46 102 71 120 112 186 97 215 182 .6 .7 .7 3 3 3 586 380 '207 780 559 220 .4 .5 .5 .9 10 708 6.9 4.0 7.0 .95 1.03 252 141 272 311 151 123 120 83 1.00 2.59 2.33 414 231 183 85.2 10 99.3 98 86 165 116 104 46 117 114 86 135 120 174 80 62 61 5,567 4,206 7,472 5,133 51 396 208 245 1,128 332 1,814 456 1,728 528 645 503 270 453 252 438 124 384 90 367 57 313 67 234 41 227 1,737 3,252 1,967 4,447 491 532 395 541 858 360 1,643 2,275 2,217 444 1,967 407 1,429 313 1,713 242 329 299 1,138 478 876 423 672 271 499 159 .091 .091 .100 .105 .125 .125 .129 .129 .129 .153 .153 .153 1.00 62.6 1.02 1.15 54.1 1.18 1.20 '48.9 1.12 .087 ».O98 .091 3 49.3 54.6 1.06 2 29.5 54.1 1.07 3 45.6 1.02 Wheat: Production (crop estimate), total Spring wheat _ Winter wheat... . Distribution 21,618 2 474 2 1,144 1,482 21, 545 2 359 2 1,186 1,697 1.01 1.08 1.17 3 1.18 1.27 .153 10 25.5 33.3 1.35 1.52 10 1,717 10424 ioi,293 348 3 Stocks (domestic), end of period, total do 1,547 1,396 853 3 On farms do_._ 694 507 355 Offfarms.. . do 853 889 3 508 'Revised. * Preliminary, i Less than 50 thousand pounds. 2 Crop estimate for the year. 3 Previous years' crop; new crop not reported until beginning of new crop year (July for barley, oats, rye, and wheat; Oct. for corn). * Effective May 1971, weighted average, 4 markets, all grades. « Average for Jan.-April, June-Oct., and Dec. « Average for JulySept., and Dec. i Annual total reflects revisions not distributed to the months. 92.0 1,931 1,366 564 136.6 1.57 1.57 1.79 1.80 10 5,661 ' 3,330 2,375 ' 955 104.6 92.0 2.6 Rye: Production (crop estimate) mil bu Stocks (domestic), end of period do Price, wholesale, No. 2 (Minneapolis)..$ per bu._ mil. bu do do do. 932 683 10 430.2 543 470 '470 499 3 428 ' 927 1 396 3 125 725 316 507 3 303 1,141 ' 611 889 • Monthly revisions for 1970 and 1971 will be shown later. • Effective May 1972, price is for No. 2 (Southwest Louisiana). *° August 1 estimate of 1973 crop. cf Condensed milk included with evaporated to avoid disclosing operations of individual firms. §Excludes pearl barley. 9Bags of 100 lbs. 1 866 1 VEY UK (JUKI S-28 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown In the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1971 1972 1 1972 Annual August 1973 BUISINE June Aug. July Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS; TOBACCO—Continued GRAIN AND GRAIN PRODUCTS—Con. Wheat—Continued Exports, total, including Whe8tonly 627.1 588.3 817.0 778. 5 72.7 66.9 62.1 58.8 71.2 69.1 71.2 69.0 85.0 82.6 87.4 83.5 109.7 107.3 105.5 101.9 94.3 92.9 101.9 98.1 111.4 108.8 130.6 128.3 128.4 126.1 1.77 1.60 2 1.72 1.86 1.86 2 1.87 1.61 1.53 1.66 1.69 1.61 1.69 1.91 1.86 1.88 2.03 2.10 2.05 2.12 2.18 2.12 2.23 2.29 2.20 2.42 2.60 2.42 2.42 2.67 2.46 2.28 2.48 2.36 2.32 2.50 2.40 2.39 2.55 2.48 2.61 2.64 2.62 2.75 2.79 2.77 ..thous. sacks (100 lb.)_. 249,810 4,279 .thous. sh. tons.. thous. bu_. 555,092 250,441 4,303 557, 801 21,133 363 47,174 19.811 343 44,155 21,293 369 47,459 21,347 369 47,713 22,493 384 50,121 21,072 361 46,822 20,799 358 46,380 21,346 375 47,529 20,023 346 44,475 21,051 358 46,777 19,310 327 42,792 20,603 354 45,808 19,771 342 43,765 4,362 16,637 4,746 16,549 4,379 2,494 1,381 930 4 886 '965 1,049 1,665 4,746 1,049 1,553 611 5,581 1,626 1,134 977 5,393 993 6.145 5.446 6.534 5.867 5.950 5.338 6.025 5.463 6.525 6.163 6.888 6.363 6.850 6.413 6,938 6.600 7.625 7.600 7.613 7.375 7.138 6.813 7.263 6.875 7.325 7.163 7.313 7.038 7.875 7.738 2,807 31,419 2,421 32,266 166 2,833 164 2,494 208 2,928 197 2,789 211 2,909 209 2,705 202 2,615 209 2,807 169 2,422 188 2,618 139 2,167 131 2,692 117 2,560 32.03 32.09 38.58 35.49 38.89 46.88 37.48 38.37 47.00 37.65 38.81 47.00 35.18 38.20 48.10 34.69 41.29 49.00 34.68 40.87 49.00 33.38 40.66 49.00 36.58 42.61 49.00 40.25 44.25 49.00 42.76 48 06 54.00 44.98 50.90 56.00 44.61 50.67 57.80 45.83 50.79 57.50 46.66 49.38 61.40 78,759 6,313 5,276 6,512 6,420 7,048 6,988 6,197 6,641 5,712 6,652 5,992 6,637 5,711 ' 26. 58 25.71 27.24 27.87 28.41 27.37 26.91 29.33 31.28 35.47 37.62 35.12 35.82 37.66 22.2 22.7 24.1 24.3 23.0 23.0 22.3 20.8 22.3 25.3 28.0 24.7 21.9 18.7 10,256 9,905 807 737 840 866 937 828 751 835 700 710 858 727 27.43 30.13 34.00 32.88 31.25 30.00 26.75 27.00 29.25 33.62 39.26 40.75 34.60 36.25 38.00 35,625 2,996 2,577 3,080 2,966 3,228 3,130 2,893 3,077 2,658 2,911 2,511 2,992 2,747 675 66 143 1,624 '333 8 102 flour mil. bu. do—. Prices, wholesale: No. 1, dark northern spring (Minneapolis) $ per bu. No. 2,hd. and dk. hd. winter (Kans. City).do.— Weighted avg., 6 markets, all grades do... Wheat flour: Production: Flour... Offal Grindings of wheat Stocks held by mills, end of period thous. sacks (1001b.)_. Exports.. do Prices, wholesale: Spring, standard patent (Minneapolis) $ per 1001b.. Winter, hard, 95% patent (Kans. City).-do.... LIVESTOCK Cattle and calves: Slaughter (federally inspected): Calves thous. animals.. Cattle do—. Prices, wholesale: Beef steers (Omaha) ..$ per 1001b.. Steers, stockerand feeder (Kansas C i t y ) . . d o — Calves, vealers (Natl. Stockyards, 111.).-do Hogs: Slaughter (federally inspected)..-thous. animals.. 86,667 Prices: Wholesale, average, all grades (Sioux City) $ per 100 1b.. 18.41 Hog-corn price ratio, (bu. of corn equal in value 14.5 to 100 lb. live hog) — Sheep and lambs: Slaughter (federally inspected)., thous. animals.. Price, wholesale, lambs, average (Omaha) $ per 1001b.. MEATS AND LARD Total meats: Production (carcass weight, leaf lard in), inspected slaughter-_ mil. lb_. 36,209 Stocks (excluding lard), cold storage, end of 796 period mil. lb.. 1547 Exports (meat and meat preparations) do i 1,789 Imports (meat and meat preparations) do. 670 614 2,012 710 68 152 48 166 599 49 216 594 47 206 642 67 202 702 57 174 670 57 138 680 48 165 661 62 148 687 81 133 706 75 149 700 74 166 19,697 375 44 i 1,265 20,523 380 54 1,461 1,762 265 4 115 1,561 269 4 119 1,847 294 4 168 1,760 308 4 169 1,876 337 4 166 1,761 363 7 131 1,693 380 6 101 1,801 395 5 121 1,652 383 4 108 1,645 369 6 94 1,363 374 5 104 349 7 119 .547 ».577 .612 .610 .568 .553 .548 .633 .590 .645 .690 .712 .719 mil. lb. do... 522 19 514 16 21 42 21 43 19 49 18 44 17 40 16 45 13 38 11 39 11 Inspected mil. lb. 15,989 14, 588 1,193 1,192 1,163 1,304 1,325 1,160 1,232 1,068 1,227 1,110 1,250 1,086 12,546 214 105 395 1,012 320 14 25 839 '256 1,023 204 5 29 1,011 192 8 24 1,132 209 17 35 1,144 242 7 35 1,015 214 7 31 1,077 207 6 34 938 204 12 30 1,074 242 33 29 976 248 31 37 1,079 259 29 37 940 '253 14 35 .626 .645 .604 .694 .605 .581 .654 .694 .668 .641 .682 .703 .644 .752 .720 .730 .768 .705 .799 .798 .756 .764 .737 .722 .737 .745 .730 100 282 .147 1,465 51 164 .148 131 83 13 .144 102 64 13 .144 121 52 5 .147 108 44 14 .149 123 44 12 .153 130 58 32 .164 103 51 4 .157 111 52 19 .156 92 44 5 .178 109 50 7 .205 122 50 5 .215 105 39 17 .238 10,357 10,883 961 918 1,113 981 1,091 977 833 855 721 781 725 378 223 324 208 249 143 320 213 422 314 521 408 690 473 413 297 324 208 294 187 251 153 204 116 179 90 174 '229 '138 .128 .133 .140 .145 .135 .145 .135 .130 .130 .155 .190 .235 .255 .220 .240 Beef and veal: Production, inspected slaughter do Stocks, cold storage, end of period do Exports __.do Imports do— Price, wholesale, beef, fresh, steer carcasses, choice (600-700 lbs.) (New York) . „ $ per lb._ Lamb and mutton: Production, inspected slaughter Stocks, cold storage, end of period Pork (Including lard), slaughter production, Pork (excluding lard) : U3.452 Production, inspected slaughter do 330 Stocks, cold storage, end of period do— 72 Exports do 357 Imports do Prices, wholesale: .534 Hams, smoked composite $ per lb_. Fresh loins, 8-14 lb. average (New York)—do—. Lard: Production, inspected slaughter mil. lb.. Stocks, dry and cold storage, end of period..do Exports.. do-_. Price, wholesale, refined (Chicago) .$ per lb. POULTRY AND EGGS Poultry: Slaughter (commercial production) mil. lb. Stocks, cold storage (frozen), end of period, total mil. lb. Turkeys do... Price, in Georgia producing area, live broilers $ per lb. r Revised. i Annual total reflects revisions not distributed to the months. 32 .728 38 '16 949 a Effective May 1971, data are for S markets; beginning April 1972, for 4 markets. • Beginning Jan. 1972, price for East Coast (New York and Philadelphia average). July August 1973 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1971 1972 1972 Annual S-29 June July Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS; TOBACCO—Continued POULTRY AND EGGS—Continued Eggs: Production on farms Stocks, cold storage, end of period: Shell thous. cases©.. Frozen mil. lb._ Price, wholesale, large (delivered; Chicago) $per doz_. 194.9 193.1 15.8 16.1 16.0 15.3 15.8 229 85 234 88 200 88 247 84 173 80 15.3 16.9 15.8 14.4 16.1 15.7 16.0 15.1 116 58 49 48 .332 .338 294 .330 .327 .373 .344 .402 .498 .526 .431 .499 .500 .486 562 .650 315.8 282.2 .322 25.6 .315 17.5 .320 13.4 .341 6.8 .360 13.1 .385 10.0 .376 36.1 38.1 34.2 3 27.7 .414 29.0 .525 29.3 .614 17.0 .674 .870 4,000 19,607 3,663 20,075 3,506 4,972 21,669 5,991 2.461 1,974 20, 757 6,152 3.544 1,976 1,452 443 .485 134 1,434 333 302 415 4,585 6,601 1,230 MISCELLANEOUS FOOD PRODUCTS Cocoa (cacao) beans: Imports (incl. shells) ...thous. lg. tons.. Price, wholesale, Accra (New York) $ per lb.. Coffee (green): Inventories (roasters', importers', dealers'), end of period thous. bagscf1-Roastings (green weight) ___do Imports, total do From Brazil do Price, wholesale, Santos, No. 4 (N.Y.)..$ per lb._ Confectionery, manufacturers' sales ..mil. $._ Fish: Stocks, cold storage, end of period mil. lb_. Sugar (United States): Deliveries and supply (raw basis) :§ Production and receipts: Production thous. sh. tons. Entries from off-shore, total 9--do Hawaii and Puerto Rico do Deliveries, total 9 For domestic consumption Stocks, raw and ref., end of period Exports, raw and refined Imports: Raw sugar, total 9-From the Philippines Refined sugar, total Tea, imports 3,871 5,230 110 1,947 383 .625 177 2,149 969 .590 221 2,057 454 .580 195 1,643 430 .560 199 1,288 319 .670 172 1,996 696 .570 184 1,844 250 .620 172 2,101 266 .655 182 2,040 321 .650 '154 2,494 475 .650 '143 1,710 424 .670 135 251 290 352 398 419 416 416 382 344 298 263 269 P274 4,938 6,700 1,262 90 574 187 121 488 122 130 617 90 188 542 160 783 481 179 1,028 391 30 096 396 43 650 547 55 397 379 49 305 536 90 281 617 120 211 592 137 648 140 11,439 11,288 2,687 11, 531 11,420 2,757 1,096 1,088 2,343 1,001 992 2,032 1,167 1,155 1,532 1,106 1,099 1,204 865 853 855 849 2,217 1,043 1,035 2,757 787 780 2,941 743 738 3,038 1,058 1,049 2,777 892 886 2,831 •2,604 P2,280 481 778 46 38 55 100 67 61 104 35 1,454 64 134 137 313 5,262 1,544 48 5,154 1,246 76 627 160 2 411 54 4 579 217 1 401 187 3 352 45 35 317 117 2 381 143 5 435 104 1 288 47 5 441 127 3 475 139 2 506 168 1 418 153 $ per lb_. .085 .091 .088 .091 .094 .094 .094 .090 .092 .094 .092 .094 .097 .100 .103 .102 $ per 5 lb_. _.$perlb._ .695 .117 .704 .123 .692 .124 .692 .124 .695 .124 .699 .124 .704 .124 .711 .122 .713 .122 .713 .122 .725 .132 .734 .132 .736 .133 .751 .127 .767 .127 .132 thous. lb_. 175,432 151,495 16,563 10,835 11,581 12,830 14,348 11,460 10,731 15,481 14,295 15,399 14,107 17,423 12,425 295.6 120.8 329.2 118.7 316.1 127.8 288.5 127.3 295.5 140.5 275.5 128.8 317.6 125.1 275.3 136.8 • 291.6 •120.6 260.5 138.5 307.8 78.2 320.2 84.5 • 307. 5 92.0 317.0 85.6 320.6 92.9 314.1 88.8 367.9 88.8 306.2 92.6 ' 354.3 ' 90.9 362.5 113.3 197.1 68.9 203.5 69.8 215.8 67.7 228.4 69.3 232.5 80.6 191.5 80.2 198.4 70.1 184.3 66.6 200.1 '68.2 170.3 70.3 .313 .313 .313 .313 .313 .313 .313 .317 .324 .327 46.2 53.9 35.7 52.9 59.1 37.2 61.6 63.9 38.3 48.1 47.3 45.3 44.4 54.1 50.8 34.2 54.3 43.9 40.5 61.8 31.8 32.4 44.9 28.3 '39.5 '44.3 '26.9 39.3 40.9 22.7 394.0 236.7 346.1 423.6 240.3 330.7 424.9 222.5 323.5 404.2 204.5 346.1 408.1 232.6 343.0 341.1 205.7 392.0 365.5 234.7 363.7 312.3 205.3 336.3 •• 375.9 ' 231.1 " 313.4 349.1 204.4 334.8 3.3 3.5 3.3 3.2 3.7 2.0 1.8 1.8 50.6 71.4 126. 6 31.7 (*) 54.2 69.7 182.1 67.0 48.0 70.9 186.1 37.3 44.9 66.5 229.1 50.4 58.7 80.5 232.5 69.8 (*) 50.1 69.4 240.4 112.5 56.5 79.4 218.8 70.9 54.2 71.0 181.0 36.7 43.2 40.4 38.0 69.8 44.1 43.0 39.6 73.3 40.3 42.8 41.6 72.7 40.1 38.1 41.1 '76.8 42.6 45.3 41.6 69.7 41.7 34.7 39.7 65.9 46.3 51.2 45.5 66.7 40.6 40.4 40.2 79.5 do do do sh. tons.. thous. sh. tons.. do ...do Prices (New York): Raw, wholesale Refined*. Retail (incl. N.E. New Jersey) Wholesale (excl. excise tax) 3,663 5,127 3,852 4,660 1 .700 988 984 FATS, OILS, AND RELATED PRODUCTS Baking or frying fats (incl. shortening): 258.5 290.5 314.9 Production mil. lb,_ 3,515.0 3, 532. 5 120.8 137.7 127.3 114.2 127.6 Stocks, end of period© do Salad or cooking oils: 3,500.0 '3,904. 8 • 355.1 ' 307.2 344.7 Production do 89.9 '85.6 76.1 99.7 88.2 Stocks, end of period© _ do Margarine: 164.2 2,361. 2 186.1 2,290.0 194.5 Production _ _ do 68.4 69.3 67.1 57.1 71.0 Stocks, end of period© do Price, wholesale (colored; mfr. to wholesaler or .313 .313 .313 .313 large retailer; delivered) $ per lb._ Animal and fish fats:A Tallow, edible: 40.2 '544.8 44.7 641.6 47.6 Production (quantities rendered) mil. lb_. 46.0 633.6 50.7 57.8 598.6 Consumption in end products do.. 45.3 43.1 44.1 36.7 Stocks, end of period 1 do. 41.3 Tallow and grease (except wool), inedible: 360.4 414.2 4,967.7 4,834.3 408.2 Production (quantities rendered) do. 201.0 251.6 2, 622.7 2, 761. 6 241.8 Consumption in end products do. 348.1 346.1 365.3 379.7 326.5 Stocks, end of period if do Fish and marine mammal oils: 41.9 4.3 57.1 2.9 4.6 Consumption in end products _ do Vegetable oils and related products: Coconut oil: Production: Crude.. _ mil. lb_. (*) 53.9 41.1 593.0 553.3 Refined do 48.3 824.9 65.3 76.5 Consumption in end products do 75.1 740.4 229.1 •179.4 ' 169.5 Stocks, crude and ref., end of period 1f do 127.8 191.1 677.0 53.1 58.2 47.0 Imports _ do 628.6 Corn oil: 507.2 45.7 43.3 43.5 485.1 Production: Crudedo. 464.5 440.3 43.6 34.0 38.2 Refined do 446.3 463.7 41.2 36.6 Consumption in end products do 41.3 57.0 81.1 Stocks, crude and ref., end of period^ do. '76.8 '74.5 '67.3 d ' Revised. » Preliminary. Data withheld to avoid disclosure of operations of in2 dividual firms. » Reflects revisions not available by months. Average for Jan.-Nov. 3 Average for Apr.-June and Aug.-Dec. * Less than 500 sh. tons. C) 2.1 00 .327 2.1 '62.5 82.1 ' 183.4 61.3 56.2 77.1 171.7 43.7 '46.2 '41.0 39.5 '88.4 47.5 42.9 42.0 91.4 OCasesof30dozen. cfBags of 132.2761b. §Monthly data reflect cumulative revisions for prior periods. 9 Includes data not shown separately: see also note " §". AFor data on lard, see p. S-28. ©Producers' and warehouse stocks. ^Factory and warehouse stocks. I S-30 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1971 | Vt UUJ US1JN August 197; 1972 1972 June Annual < L 15 July Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS; TOBACCO—Continued FATS, OILS, AND RELATED P R O D U C T S - Continued Vegetable oils and related products—Continued Cottonseed cake and meal: 1, 720. 6 1,923. 8 Production thous. sh. tons 93.1 50.0 do Stocks fat oil mills) end of Deriod Cottonseed oil: _ mil. lb._ 1, 209.4 1,355.2 Production* Crude 985.7 ' 1,133.5 do Refined 728.5 '* 712.0 do Consumption in end products Stocks, crude and refined (factory and ware188.3 187.4 _ mil. lb_ house), end of period 2 400. 7 476.4 Exports (crude and refined) do .159 .190 Price, wholesale (N.Y.) ..._$perlb.. Linseed oil: Production, crude (raw) mil. lb Consumption in end products do Stocks, crude and refined (factory and ware_ mil. lb. house), end of period Price, wholesale (Minneapolis) .__$ per lb_. Soybean cake and meal: Production thous. sh. tons do Stocks (at oil mills) end of period Soybean oil: mil. lb Production: Crude do Refined Consumption in end products do Stocks, crude and refined (factory and waremil lb house) end of period do Exports (crude and refined) Price, wholesale (refined; N.Y.) ..Iperlb.. 101.8 137.5 76.6 102.6 87.2 67.7 78.4 32.9 200.4 37.5 242.4 44.5 228.4 50.0 238.7 48.7 218.0 51.7 236.8 73.2 208.9 100.6 195.7 '114.8 159.1 122.3 75.8 88.8 "61.6 54.4 61.3 '51.6 61.2 74.6 '70.6 53.4 41.8 '50.9 139.3 95.4 '65.7 165.5 121.9 '68.7 157.3 140.1 '63.5 163.3 124.9 61.2 152.0 135.0 55.4 163.4 140.7 88.4 172.0 128.9 '73.7 ' 136.3 ' 126.0 '88.1 108.5 100.7 81.2 239.7 49.7 .168 203.8 33.5 .168 1/7.9 58.3 .150 114.2 13.0 .147 142.5 18.9 .150 161.5 70.6 .139 187.4 32.2 .141 215.4 57.9 .141 239.1 56.6 .166 212.7 78.7 .185 220.6 40.7 .190 ' 232.5 63.7 .210 219.2 55.3 .223 412.2 213.6 439.7 243.7 39.0 24.3 33.2 21.9 40.4 23.2 41.1 20.9 34.0 21.7 35.0 18.5 28.2 17.1 31.3 15.8 25.1 14.5 26.5 18.7 28.5 17.3 30.2 '20.2 39.9 21.1 224.8 .089 253.7 .092 276.6 .095 263.8 .095 253. 3 .095 259.1 .095 258.4 .095 246.3 .095 253.7 .095 225.3 .095 224.1 .095 177.3 .095 153.4 .095 ' 127.1 .095 115.9 .140 17,104.2 16, 993.1 180.5 119.8 1,308.8 158.1 1,338.9 205.9 1,335 4 174.6 1,198 5 150.6 1,519.2 148.3 1,612.0 1,571.5 180.5 133.7 1,611.9 162.3 1,479.7 177.8 1,461.6 167.1 8,083.7 6,464.0 6,748. 7 635.4 534.4 565.8 648.6 479.1 497.1 645.7 550.4 571.6 581.0 528.1 560.6 713.3 561.1 595.1 742.4 558.0 584.7 716.6 553.9 588.1 723.5 570.1 589.2 676.8 519.4 538.9 680.8 575.2 589.0 655.8 618.3 511 8 ' 538. 9 521.2 ' 581.8 555.9 519.6 546.2 802.2 U,611.7 .151 896.5 1,148. 7 .131 829.6 263.3 .136 854.1 94.1 .126 841.6 57.5 .128 785.2 68.3 .125 806.2 58.4 .120 839.1 109.7 .117 896.5 50.7 .124 948.6 52.7 .117 966.5 120.9 .150 920.5 132.3 .166 1,004.8 ' 900.1 111.8 49.3 .189 .174 838.1 90.3 .226 54,114 20,924 63,105 17,123 4 700 56,151 19,637 43,050 21, 516 45, 276 24,416 4 460 45,597 20,052 43,573 20,904 46,140 25,603 4,039 45,321 19,045 2,907 51,321 561 3,544 4,136 46,937 520 3,476 4,079 36, 762 344 3,089 4 070 48, 230 464 2,343 4,917 45,576 402 3,546 5,219 49,346 463 3,834 4,821 44, 693 485 4,226 3,988 52,042 507 2,642 2,917 39,164 16,112 40,455 23,934 4,405 48, 264 21,040 Manufactured: Consumption (withdrawals): Cigarettes (small): Tax-exempt _ __ Taxable Cigars (large), taxable Exports cigarettes 3,170 38, 468 442 2,886 4,676 53, 566 563 2,923 4,172 45,038 485 2,921 _ _ millions do do do 1,324.3 ' 1,406.2 1,118.2 156.8 169 4 ' 156.5 8,081.5 6,298.0 6,322.9 TOBACCO Leaf: 1 1,705 r 1 1, 749 mil lh Production (crop estimate) Stocks, dealers' and manufacturers' end of period mil lh 4,828 4,186 4,700 thous. lb_. 2 474,209 606,176 33,348 Exports, incl. scrap and stems. do Imports, incl. scrap and stems . 2 248,529 240, 509 18,281 49,206 528, 858 6,506 31,802 47,171 551,016 5,889 34,602 4,608 49,127 473 2,770 «1,777 LEATHER AND PRODUCTS H I D E S AND S K I N S Exports: Value, total 9 thous. $.. Calf and kip skins thous. skins_. Cattle hides thous. hides,. 155,821 2,222 15,962 292,023 2,064 17, 589 19,256 126 1,317 32,641 117 2,152 23,993 180 1,324 24,376 153 1,290 36,113 164 1,893 40, 816 156 1,733 37,255 172 1,524 35,887 223 1,461 45,483 177 1,837 44,199 200 1,802 30,863 131 1,340 33,474 209 1,411 25,441 113 1,266 52,100 19,283 1,956 65, 200 16,852 3,355 5,900 1,245 415 5,800 1,627 198 5,700 1,393 268 4,400 1,075 206 5,700 704 425 4,200 326 159 3,800 405 165 7,000 910 256 7,500 1,437 253 9,700 1,883 152 9,400 1,547 237 8,700 1,219 272 7,900 804 52 .294 .145 .563 .296 .560 .293 .560 .293 .650 .340 .650 .335 .650 .405 .650 .430 .660 .320 .660 .340 .660 .335 .660 .283 .610 .383 .610 .363 .610 .338 LEATHER Production: Calf and whole kip thous. skins.. Cattle hide and side kip thous. hides and k i p s . Goat and kid thous. skins.. Sheep and lamb do 1,621 20,477 3,148 21,385 1,603 20,084 3,522 20,191 153 1,818 419 1,867 97 1,220 219 1,389 148 1,804 334 1,869 118 1,693 292 1,645 133 1,712 309 1,663 143 1,546 291 1,727 106 1,387 330 1,614 114 1,504 278 1,312 88 1,446 215 1,268 99 1,637 246 1,422 77 1,551 251 1,374 117 1,627 257 1,418 124 1,582 248 1,343 Exports: Upper and lining leather 82,944 »117,556 10,360 8,406 10, 935 11, 781 11.413 10,323 8,223 8,746 7,872 9,254 11,311 12,618 10,873 194.2 194 2 194 2 194 2 194.2 194 2 194 2 194.2 166.8 111.7 115.3 117.9 117.9 117.9 117.9 117.9 117 9 124 2 Imports: Value, total 9 Sheep and lamb skins Goat and kid skins thous. $.. thous. pieces_. do Prices, wholesale* f.o.b. shipping point: Calfskins, packer, heavy, 9H/15 lb Hides, steer, heavy, native, over 53 lb $ per lb_. do thous. sq. ft. Prices, wholesale, f.o.b. tannery: Sole, bends, light index, 1967=100. Upper, chrome calf, B and C grades index, 1967=100. LEATHER MANUFACTURES Shoes and slippers: Production, total thous. p a i r s . Shoes, sandals, a n d play shoes, except athletic thous. pairs. Slippers „ do Athletic _-_do___. Other footwear do Exports do... Prices, wholesale, f.o.b. factory: Men's and boys' oxfords, dress, elk or side u p p e r , Goodyear welt index, 1967=100. Women's oxfords, elk side upper, Goodyear welt index, 1967=100. Women's p u m p s , low-medium quality_._do r 114.4 » 157.5 152.5 152 5 81.8 106.7 106.4 109.0 535,777 525,665 46,224 36,089 46, 246 44, 243 46,398 41,056 38,547 42,574 41,555 46,495 41,678 41,669 41,513 425,875 98,147 8,440 3,315 417,604 98, 272 8,726 2,053 36,823 8,463 736 202 30,117 5,450 409 113 36,546 9,760 729 211 33,749 9,526 772 196 34,615 10,818 810 155 30,663 9,305 861 227 31,298 6,364 705 180 34,301 7,249 861 163 33, 265 7,343 802 145 36,761 8,701 884 149 32, 584 8,059 860 175 31,395 9,094 943 237 32,301 8,169 842 201 2,106 3 2,253 195 161 222 206 218 231 220 190 226 254 264 284 335 117.5 128.6 130.1 131.4 131.4 131.4 131.4 135.0 135.0 135.0 138.9 138.9 140.1 140.1 140.1 125.3 130.4 127.9 130.4 127.9 130.4 127.9 127.9 129.2 129.2 129.2 131.2 131.2 135.5 130.4 135.5 121. 1 135.5 121.1 120.1 121.2 125.7 < 127.0 Revised. « Corrected. » Crop estimate for the year. 3 Annual total reflects revisions not distributed to the monthly data. > Average for Jan.-July and Oct.-Dec. .150 * Jan.-Aug. average. * August 1 estimate of 1973 crop. 9 Includes data for items not shown separately. SUKVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 1971 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are a s shown in the 1971 edition of B U S I N E S S S T A T I S T I C S 1972 Annual S-31 1972 June July Aug. Sept. 1973 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July LUMBER AND PRODUCTS LUMBER—ALL TYPES 9 National Forest Products Association: Production, total mil. bd. ft.. 136,693 ' 138, 815 6,949 Hardwoods do i 7,244 29, 744 '131,570 Softwoods do 3,301 550 2,752 3,102 542 2,561 3,417 600 2,817 3,303 595 2,708 3,528 627 2,901 3,193 615 2,578 2,664 430 2,234 3,012 535 2,477 3,074 545 2,529 3,456 567 2,890 3,272 510 2,763 3,290 491 2,799 3,207 549 2,658 Shipments, total Hardwoods Softwoods do do do 1 37,769 7,455 30,314 r 40,010 r 7, 731 32, 279 3,429 567 2,862 3,236 588 2,648 3,468 609 2,859 3,387 630 2,757 3,520 627 2,893 3,203 615 2,588 2,776 479 2,297 3,153 678 2,475 3,102 606 2,496 3,474 642 2,832 3,386 620 2,766 3,351 563 2,788 3,264 544 2,720 Stocks (gross), mill, end of period, total Hardwoods Softwoods do do do 5,288 999 4,289 r 4,094 512 r3,582 4,368 635 3,834 4,236 489 3,747 4,184 479 3,705 4,097 441 3,656 4,149 441 3,708 4,094 438 3,656 4,095 512 3,583 3,954 369 3,586 3,926 307 3,619 3,802 224 3,677 3,896 222 3,674 3,835 150 3,686 3,765 152 3,613 1,081 7,599 1,390 9,428 127 761 170 132 690 129 820 139 815 104 103 125 935 130 760 176 194 837 201 931 174 899 8,507 666 9,210 639 844 645 735 622 718 597 939 700 773 704 634 639 759 597 720 717 774 783 753 692 665 813 658 8,398 943 9,137 722 762 785 738 758 765 707 743 729 852 836 745 776 769 752 735 743 744 546 592 698 743 710 731 736 691 776 814 804 856 769 780 845 792 820 817 329 88 240 405 111 294 40 9 31 30 6 24 35 12 24 37 34 17 18 35 4 31 25 4 21 46 16 31 45 14 31 76 27 49 79 39 40 53 13 40 Prices, wholesale: Dimension, construction, dried, 2 " x 4", R. L. $ p e r M bd. ft._ 2 117.68 144. 27 143. 55 149.32 149. 72 150.30 150.70 151.28 151. 28 152.46 168.46 193.96 197.22 209.91 192.13 i 7,942 421 i 8, 539 435 821 499 788 510 824 508 510 794 504 706 494 634 435 677 472 703 536 763 561 644 525 726 556 656 546 1 18,337 i 8,525 803 816 744 777 802 826 770 796 815 800 710 716 697 693 640 640 639 731 738 643 680 705 695 649 666 1,048 1,041 1,004 1,014 997 8,803 9,580 Exports, total sawmill products do Imports, total sawmill products do SOFTWOODS Douglas flr: Orders, new Orders, unfilled, end of period Production Shipments Stocks (gross), mill, end of period Exports, total sawmill products Sawed timber Boards, planks, scantlings, etc Southern pine: Orders, new Orders, unfilled, end of period mil. bd. ft._ do do do do do do do ...mil. bd. ft.. do Production .do Shipments do Stocks (gross), mill and concentration yards, end of period mil. bd. ft_. 1 7, 734 7,894 877 807 1,216 1,028 1,098 1,065 1,041 1,015 1,030 1,024 1,028 1,047 M bd. ft_. 64, 923 64,456 3,912 4,760 5,044 4,852 7,728 4,429 6,618 4,877 4,715 6,508 10,020 Prices, wholesale, (indexes): Boards, No. 2 and better, 1" x 6", R. L. 1967=100.. Flooring, B and better, F . Q . 1 " x 4", S. L. 1967=100.. 133.7 156.2 158.5 159.6 159.9 159.9 159.9 160.4 168.6 176.5 188.4 195.0 204.9 143.4 143.4 143.4 150.3 162.7 169.9 178.6 200.1 Exports, total sawmill products Western pine: Orders, new Orders, unfilled, end of period mil. bd. ft._ do Production Shipments do do Stocks (gross), mill, end of period do Price, wholesale, Ponderosa, boards, No. 3, 1" x 12", R. L. (6' and over) $ per M bd. ft_. 154.7 155.5 132.8 140.8 140.7 140.7 140.7 141.5 141.8 10,299 362 10,634 436 964 426 874 465 933 460 1,025 500 918 453 723 384 794 436 820 450 877 497 950 510 877 483 901 433 10,019 10, 271 10,436 10,560 910 950 818 835 933 938 974 985 960 965 815 792 726 742 745 806 818 830 933 937 934 904 971 951 1,382 1,258 1,289 1,272 1,267 1,256 1,251 1,274 1,258 1,197 1,185 1,181 1,211 1,231 134. 59 135.18 139. 34 138. 78 138.44 138.05 136. 37 139.85 154. 21 183.12 212.59 243.95 228.13 96.44 130.91 323.3 8.1 268.2 11.6 24.5 15.8 18.5 15.8 26.1 14.6 21.6 14.0 20.2 13.4 17.3 12.2 14.6 11.6 18.4 9.2 14.8 7.9 16.3 7.3 13.3 5.0 15.1 4.0 306.6 320.9 22.0 244.8 261.1 6.6 22.3 25.4 11.1 17.1 18.5 9.7 25.1 25.7 20.5 22.1 7.2 20.4 20.8 19.3 20.0 6.8 15.4 14.8 16.8 18.6 5.7 14.9 15.8 5.1 16.3 17.1 4.6 15.1 15.9 3.8 15.8 16.6 3.7 288 900 221 836 1 323 1,090 1 340 771 2 372 1,217 1 323 1,057 1,170 31 11 1,051 33 59 1,604 46 71 1,229 51 53 5,071 3,899 8,915 7,973 5,013 3,693 8,846 7,843 5,080 3,833 HABDWOOD FLOORING Oak: Orders, new Orders, unfilled, end of period mil. bd. ft_. do Production Shipments Stocks (gross), mill, end of period do do do METALS AND MANUFACTURES IRON AND STEEL Exports: Steel mill products thous. sh. tons. Scrap do_._ Pig iron do___ 2,827 6,256 34 2,873 7,383 15 211 653 00 220 760 2 18,304 325 320 17, 681 373 653 1,599 27 71 1,531 34 78 1,787 24 43 thous. sh. tons.. 49,169 »51,399 do i 33,987 1-138,562 do i 82, 567 v90,404 8,494 do v 8,134 4,342 3,301 7,509 8,373 3,905 2,659 6,374 8,642 4,334 3,087 7,279 8,792 Imports: Steel mill products Scrap Pig iron do_. do_. do.. 301 595 304 611 252 653 2 207 695 2 245 895 3 1,570 31 68 1,910 26 1,824 32 49 1,609 35 116 1,381 36 27 4,336 3,142 7,591 8,644 4,542 3,480 8,149 8,593 4,342 3,351 7,877 8,390 4,408 3,187 7,848 8,134 4,731 3,459 8,381 7,878 00 () Iron and Steel Scrap Production Receipts, net Consumption Stocks, end of period Prices, steel scrap, No. 1 heavy melting: Composite (5 markets) $ per lg. ton.. 33.19 33.36 34.24 35.68 34.65 Pittsburgh district do 36.00 38.50 I 40.50 38.00 36.80 f ! Revised. *> Preliminary. Annual data; monthly revisions are not available. 1 Beginning Jan. 1971, data reflect changes in size specifications, and are not comparable with 4,465 3,328 7,866 7,918 7,783 36.62 37.09 39.08 35.76 44. 57 48.27 49.65 43.53 46.37 40.50 38.50 40.50 43.00 48.50 48.00 48.00 44.50 52.50 3 those for earlier periods. Less than 500 tons. 9 Totals include data for types of lumber not shown separately. 52.92 55.50 S-32 <JU1 su Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 a n d descriptive notes a r e a s shown In the 1971 edition of B U S I N E S S S T A T I S T I C S 1971 June July Aug. Sept. 1973 1973 1972 1972 Annual AugUS t T B\JSJLN E S S Oct. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 6,651 2,035 1,783 5,260 2,492 1,585 5,931 2,367 1,529 4,018 9,037 10, 729 11,156 84 213 4,561 10,423 46 69,063 66,962 63,232 14,893 14, 289 17,973 51, 751 50,061 42,923 2,336 2,419 2,612 Nov. Dec. May June 5,987 6,635 2,863 9,046 10,414 3,977 8,940 10,404 4,577 4,334 11,542 65 9,058 11,404 215 14,419 11,771 164 14,363 11,408 331 59,565 20,626 37,061 1,878 55,267 24,174 29,853 1,240 52,347 23,537 27,582 1,228 53,499 22,096 30,230 1,173 55,301 20, 642 33,204 1,455 July METALS AND MANUFACTURES—Continued IRON AND STEEL—Continued Ore Iron ore (operations in all U.S. districts): Mine production thous. lg. tons. 11 80,762 77,692 Shipments from mines do Imports do— 40,124 U.S. and foreign ores and ore agglomerates: Receipts at iron and steel plants do 114,051 Consumption at iron and steel plants do._. 108,966 Exports do... 3,061 Stocks, total, end of period At mines At furnace yards At U.S. docks Manganese (mn. content), general imports do do do do-_. do 78,815 17,653 57,738 3,424 • 75, 285 ' 78, 201 35,761 7,448 9,240 4,191 112,305 119,937 2,095 66,962 14, 289 50,061 2,612 6,536 9,062 3,695 5,569 7,677 4,501 12,676 9,901 239 12, 205 13, 581 12, 541 13,176 9,632 10,294 9,785 9,933 275 325 289 329 11,094 10,205 91 66,298 25,952 39,022 1,324 66,697 23,645 41,424 1,628 72 78 97 88,952 88,191 1,656 7,427 7,374 1,688 7,321 7,153 1,827 7,385 7,362 1,841 80.33 3 71.38 81.70 72.21 74.33 81.70 72.21 995 1,363 764 1,019 1,027 629 1,019 Pig Iron and Iron Products Pig Iron: Production (excluding production of ferroalloys) thous. sh. tons.. 81, 299 Consumption do 1 81,178 Stocks, end of period do— 1 1, 779 Prices: Composite $ perlg. ton 76.03 Basic (furnace)IT $ per sh. ton.. 67.70 Foundry, No. 2, Northern H do 68.75 Castings, gray iron: Orders, unfilled, for sale, end of period thous. sh. tons_. Shipments, total do 13,839 For sale do 7,606 Castings, malleable iron: Orders, unfilled, for sale, end of period thous. sh. tons.. Shipments, total do 882 For sale do... 606 1,140 15,320 8,293 96 960 578 Steel, Raw and Semifinished Steel (raw): Production thous. sh. tons. 120,443 133,241 Index daily average 1967 = 100. 94.7 104.5 Steel castings: Orders, unfilled, for sale, end of period thous. sh. tons. 281 318 Shipments, total do... 1,589 1,609 For sale, total do... 1,295 1,321 Steel Mill Products 8teel products, net shipments: Total (all grades) -thous. sh. tons.. 87,038 By product: Semifinished products do_ 4,962 Structural shapes (heavy), steel piling do_ 5,666 Plates do. 7,939 Rails and accessories _do_ 1,564 Bars and tool steel, total do 14,166 Bars: Hot rolled (incl. light shapes) do 8,179 Reinforcing _ _ do 4,621 Cold finished __.do_ 1,378 Pipe and tubing do 7,574 Wire and wire products do 2,791 Tin mill products do ___ 6,811 Sheets and strip (incl. electrical), total...do _ 35,674 Sheets: Hot rolled do 11,760 Cold rolled do 14,898 By market (quarterly shipments): Service centers and distributors do 1 16,184 Construction, incl. maintenance do 1 9,541 Contractors' products do""" 14,946 Automotive do. 117,483 Rail transportation do. 3,004 Machinery, Industrial equip., tools do 4,903 Containers, packaging, ship, materials.. _do._. 7,212 Other do. 1 23,765 Steel mill products, inventories, end of period: 10.0 Consumers' (manufacturers only)..mil. sh. tons 67.6 Receipts during period do.... 67.0 Consumption during period do 7,101 9,442 3,336 »91,805 7,886 10,535 4,141 7,985 9,277 3,257 67,669 69, 656 70,159 21,022 19,731 17,019 45, 071 47, 980 50,862 2,278 1,945 1,576 5,553 5,883 2,757 90 74 60 106 72 52 101 7,116 7,175 1,787 7,606 7,684 1,745 7,475 7,438 1,711 7,960 7,682 1,656 8,199 8,242 1,655 7,756 7,778 1,542 8,627 8,762 1,450 8,490 8,526 1,415 8,809 8,930 1,357 81.70 72.21 74.33 81.70 72.21 81.70 81.70 72.21 81.70 72.21 74.33 71.99 74.33 71.99 75.89 77.90 76.89 77.90 75.89 77.90 1,030 1,242 715 1,070 1,292 707 1,102 1,319 692 1,140 1,206 641 1,245 1,425 709 1,237 1,362 690 1,297 1,542 781 1,339 • 1,437 '746 1,394 1,549 814 62 110 87 52 115 95 57 116 -88 '51 118 94 55 74.3 1,093 1,415 771 0) 78 75.89 77.90 10,341 95.7 10,842 100.4 10,913 104.4 11,657 107.9 11,398 109.0 11,878 109.9 12,373 114.5 11,626 119.1 13,088 121.1 12,789 122.3 13,174 121.9 291 151 124 271 102 85 295 119 97 310 134 108 322 153 128 311 135 111 318 144 120 338 148 123 364 150 124 407 168 140 444 157 131 466 163 137 7,971 6,875 7,805 7,929 8,243 8,044 8,127 9,111 8,665 9,861 9,163 10,023 9,657 519 671 124 466 589 816 148 463 500 702 146 460 452 679 138 529 562 821 167 460 604 785 146 540 672 847 156 477 619 806 143 1,347 825 367 147 621 243 445 3,606 1,318 1,423 1,362 873 338 143 732 235 436 3,342 1,250 1,312 1,412 880 350 173 653 275 772 4,188 1,458 1,761 1,374 845 359 161 646 251 845 3,820 1,332 1,605 1,667 1,033 434 190 776 318 486 4,535 1,568 1,883 1,522 937 396 179 737 293 483 4,134 1,388 1,744 1,660 977 481 192 818 292 586 4,453 1,449 1,908 1,578 952 434 184 785 286 629 4,334 1,439 1,801 4,917 5,656 7,553 1,601 430 456 615 137 357 451 541 106 395 488 609 108 455 481 646 115 483 609 664 129 1 15,518 9,299 4,454 1,675 7,609 2,952 6,135 1 39,862 14,036 16,123 1,345 791 399 147 671 289 642 3,387 1,166 1,361 1,132 654 352 120 582 210 526 2,971 1,095 1,142 1,339 775 419 139 664 258 577 3,367 1,209 1,306 1,335 791 395 142 649 263 491 3,493 1,277 1,365 1,381 819 400 153 645 264 494 3,674 1,311 1,474 118,598 9,299 5,055 18,217 4,807 2,443 1,298 4,641 4,619 2,388 1,310 4,302 5,140 2,396 1,346 4,819 5,322 2,556 1,459 6,129 2,730 5,396 6,616 125,893 682 1,377 1,876 6,589 592 1,314 1,696 728 1,514 1,511 6,960 771 1,607 2,186 7,613 8.8 68.0 69.2 8.9 5.8 5.8 9.0 5.9 6.0 8.9 6.5 6.6 8.9 6.0 6.0 8.8 5.4 5.5 8.9 7.0 9.0 6.7 8.6 Service centers (warehouses) do... 7.4 7.0 7.4 7.8 Producing mills: 10.6 11.3 11.7 11.8 In process (ingots, semifinished, etc.) do... 11.8 10.2 8.8 10.0 9.8 Finished (sheets, plates, bars, pipe, etc.)-do.... Steel (carbon),finished,composite price.__$ per lb.. .1089 .1189 .1191 .1191 .1191 r Revised. v Preliminary. i Annual data; monthly or quarterly revisions are not available. 2 For month shown. 3 Average for 11 months. * Series discontinued. 7.5 7.2 7.8 8.6 8.1 11.5 9.8 11.3 10.0 11.2 10.1 11.3 10.2 11.0 10.0 .1191 .1191 .1191 9.2 4.9 4.6 21,850 2 2,041 21,992 2 924 2 1,047 21,015 2 605 2 593 2 544 2 2,017 2 2,125 2 2,021 2 1 2 292 268 2 550 2 547 2 649 2 545 2,467 2 2,715 2 7.1 7.2 9.0 6.7 6.6 7.6 8.0 '8.5 10.8 9.7 10.5 9.2 10.2 9.0 '9.5 '7.5 7.0 75. J 12,488 P12,287 ' 119.4 P113.7 10,980 105.0 9.1 5.6 5.7 58 2 282 2 542 2 683 2,531 »7.0 10.0 9.0 .^Effective May 1973 SURVEY, prices are in terms of dollars per short ton. SURVEY OF CUKRENT BUSINESS August 1973 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are a s shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1971 1972 Annual S-33 1973 1972 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July METALS AND MANUFACTURES—Continued NONFERROUS METALS AND PRODUCTS Aluminum: Production, primary (dom. and foreign ores) thous. sh. tons.. Recovery from scrap (aluminum content)..do 3,925 1943 4,122 1,041 340 91 78 87 do do 560.4 71.0 646.4 80.9 66.3 7.7 44.8 5.9 do do— 112.3 149.0 108.3 154.0 8.4 13.7 Price, primary ingot, 99.5% minimum—$ per lb._ . 2900 .2645 Imports (general): Metal and alloys, crude Plates, sheets, etc Exports: Metal and alloys, crude Plates, sheets, bars, etc.* Aluminum products: Shipments: Ingot and mill prod, (net ship.) Mill products, total Sheet and plate Castings mil. lb._ do do— do — 363 90 357 83 364 372 87 351 389 99 371 90 380 99 39.2 7.5 52.2 5.0 47.0 5.4 53.3 5.9 54.5 6.0 68.2 6.5 38.8 6.2 50.9 6.4 43.1 4.6 44.7 5.6 7.7 11.6 7.3 9.7 9.1 11.9 14.2 14.4 10.0 14.8 14.0 13.7 12.4 18.5 11.5 13.1 10.6 18.5 12.4 19.4 11.1 17.0 50.7 4.8 10.3 17.3 .2500 .2500 .2500 .2500 .2500 .2500 .2500 .2500 .2500 .2500 .2500 .2500 .2500 1,047. 5 840.8 440.0 160.3 881.6 726.0 388.1 117.8 998.8 797.1 407. 3 147.7 983.1 778.6 403.6 150.7 1,015.4 794.2 397.3 165.8 1,038.8 1,024.0 1,157.0 1.101.8 1,257.1 1,179. 7 818.8 r 951.3 906.0 776.9 826.3 765.8 393.0 424.2 430.5 *r 502. 0 479.9 404.4 191.9 172.7 178.6 171.6 186.3 154.3 180.5 4,804 4,871 4,919 4,877 4,840 4,828 1, 642. 8 1, 809.1 1,616.2 192.8 383.0 137.7 159.4 143.5 15.9 *96 115.1 128.2 114.1 14.1 136.7 142.0 129. 4 12.6 138.2 149.9 128. 7 21.2 *93 140.6 149.2 131. 2 18.0 423.6 189.8 267.7 182.7 35.9 25.1 44.7 14.1 36.3 14.0 19.2 12.9 17.9 11.0 35.6 18.5 19.6 12.3 20.8 12.8 10, 258.2 111,821.8 7.846. 2 19,209.2 3,976.4 4,760.4 1, 577. 2 1,855.7 Inventories, total (ingot, mill prod., and scrap), 5,029 end of period mil. lb.. Copper: Production: Mine, recoverable copper. ______thous. sh. tons. - 1,522.2 1,591.8 Refinery, primary do From domestic ores d o — 1,410.5 181.3 From foreign ores do Secondary, recovered as refined do 371.0 Imports (general): Refined, unrefined, scrap (copper cont.) _.do Refined do Exports: Refined and scrap do Refined do 347 365.8 162.1 283.0 1S7.7 2, 014 277 174 2,230 271 114 2. 5201 .5124 2,711 2,354 751 2,985 2,647 767 794 678 212 Lead: Production: Mine, recoverable lead .thous. sh. tons.. Recovered from scrap (lead cont.).. do 578.6 i 596.8 ' 618.9 595.1 51.2 50.4 Imports (general), ore (lead cont.), metal—do. Consumption, total do. 261.7 1,431.5 344.6 1,485.3 154.7 52.1 125.6 76.2 .1380 Consumption, refined (by mills, etc.) do Stocks, refined, end of period do Fabricators' do... Price, electrolytic (wirebars), dom., delivered $ per lb.. Copper-base mill and foundry products, shipments (quarterly total): Brass mill products mil. lb.. Copper wire mill products (copper cont.)-..do Brass and bronze foundry products __.do Stocks, end of period: Producers', ore, base bullion, and in process (lead content), ABMS thous. sh. tons_. Refiners' (primary), refined and antimonial (lead content) thous. sh. tons-. Consumers' (lead content)6" do Scrap (lead-base, purchased), all smelters (gross weight) thous. sh. tons.. Price, common grade A $ perlb.. Tin: Imports (for consumption): Ore (tin content) Metal, unwrought, unalloyed Recovery from scrap, total (tin cont.) As metal Consumption, total Primary Exports, incl. reexports (metal) Stocks, pig (industrial), end of period Price, pig, Straits (N.Y.), prompt Zinc: Mine prod., recoverable zinc Imports (general) : Ores (zinc content) Metal (slab, blocks) lg. tons.. do do do do do . 5257 .5063 .5061 4,764 135.3 157.6 134.9 22.7 137.4 143.8 132.7 11.1 *94 137.3 157.4 141.1 16.4 135.7 143.8 128.8 15.0 151.9 166.7 145.6 21.0 150.4 158.1 143.1 15.0 153.5 168.7 153.7 15.0 43.0 21.7 47.6 23.3 22.8 11.6 40.8 21.3 39.9 18.2 44.6 21.5 27.9 12.7 20.3 13.7 15.8 10.7 19.9 14.7 22.1 15.9 24.4 15.6 23.6 12.8 28.8 17.7 31.5 16.2 23.4 13.5 31.1 IS. 3 .5061 .5239 .5457 .5978 .6008 .6008 .6008 55.7 59.1 22.1 123.7 .5061 .5061 .5061 50.6 51.4 51.7 49.5 46.1 51.6 45.0 45.4 53.5 55.3 49.5 56.2 44.8 56.4 51.8 122.9 22 9 123. 4 38.4 122.2 22.6 127.6 27.2 125.8 23.6 116.0 45.1 128.8 27.6 124.1 17.7 134.4 '39.3 56.8 16.5 121.7 168.0 158.6 159.1 161.4 165.3 169.4 173.0 168.0 165.9 151.9 141.7 127.4 126. 3 64.5 113.2 40.3 135.3 55.3 142.6 67.5 I 69.1 128.6 I 125.8 63.7 119.4 64.2 117.2 64.5 113.2 57.3 115.1 51.6 109.8 39.7 115.6 32.9 117.1 60.2 .1503 .1550 62.8 . 1550 65.2 .1541 62.9 .1500 63.3 .1467 53.7 .1450 60.2 .1450 59.3 .1482 59.9 .1526 63.0 .1600 64.9 .1602 34.7 118.7 68.8 .1648 4,216 3,060 52, 451 i 46,940 i20, 096 i 20,180 i 2,324 i 2,199 i69,950 i 69,033 151,980 i 53,506 0 4,701 1,770 245 5,985 4,660 1,072 2,842 1,410 220 5,260 4,130 0 3,406 I 1,690 ! 220 j 5,660 i 4,335 | 529 2,105 1,815 195 5,405 4,210 599 6,532 1,685 215 5,700 4,345 91 4,723 1,820 180 5,365 4,115 496 4,135 1,470 135 5,525 4,180 504 5,103 1,670 175 5,870 4,735 709 2,967 1,710 145 5,945 4,625 452 5,221 1,955 150 6,370 5,025 16 3,547 1,755 155 6,310 5,040 564 5,474 1,725 190 6,465 5,185 12,195 ! 10,080 1.7912 S 1.8199 95 j 145 34 11,370 1. 8040 81 12,180 1.7721 226 126 311 11,766 10, 270 8,880 1. 7625 1.7904 1.9197 130 9,610 2. 0509 95 9,270 2. 0244 51 8,155 2.0911 42 162 11,240 11,235 1. 7503 1. 7661 502.5 1 478.3 41.9 37.4 41.4 38.9 40.7 38.9 33.9 40.8 36.5 19.3 '36.9 39.5 do do 342.6 319.6 254.9 522.6 24.9 59.8 14.7 44.9 8.9 40.6 16.2 56.5 21.8 46.9 14.4 60.4 11.8 37.8 22.0 69.8 19.8 46.2 20.4 52.1 18.0 38.8 20.6 40.7 do do i 119.3 i 277.3 l 118.3 i 292.1 12.2 22.3 11.2 21.3 8.5 22.2 9.3 21.7 12.1 22.0 13.2 22.8 13.3 21.9 13.7 22.0 12.7 22.1 13.9 22.8 15.1 22.3 14.9 25.6 53.1 5.4 121.8 57.1 7.0 129.0 0 56.6 6.4 123.6 ) 51.8 5.3 112.8 .2 56.0 5.8 129.6 () 50.7 5.3 123.7 .1 56.8 6.4 134.7 .3 54.1 6.4 128.3 .4 53.2 6.4 134.0 .4 thous. sh. tons.. .6008 786 699 187 56.9 49.6 I 21.5 10.4 * 601 271 114 700 628 172 Slab zinc: Production (primary smelter), from domestic and foreign ores thous. sh. tons - i 766. 4 ' i 639.4 64.3 59.5 56.3 67.5 i 80.9 Secondary (redistilled) production ..do. 4.9 3.8 5.8 11,254.1 1,418.3 121.7 Consumption, fabricators. do 97.9 125.4 4.3 Exports do 13.3 0 Stocks, end of period: 121.2 Producers', at smelter (ZI)O do 141.3 21.3 23.5 26.7 i 126.1 Consumers' do 111.4 138.4 U04.3 125.0 .1775 Price, Prime Western $perlb..1800 .1800 .1613 .1800 r Revised. *> Preliminary.3 i Annual data; monthly revisions are not available. 1 Average for 11 months. Less than 50 tons. * For quarter ending in month shown. • New series. 4,840 *504 294 136 272 143 .2500 ' 4,696 4,621 4,804 52.5 48.9 17.1 91.0 2,306 1,466 .do do j 9,804 '11,766 1.7747 $ perlb.-j 1. 6734 Consumption (recoverable zinc content): Ores Scrap, all types 349 21.3 . 1650 .1150 489 4,033 6,230 4,850 153 9,030 2.1227 2.3755 19.0 50.3 .6 25.1 24.6 * 22.2 32.7 30.4 28.1 31.2 32.3 31.8 31.3 28.0 114.0 120.9 127.4 123.9 143.9 138.8 140.4 121.1 144.3 .2034 .2032 .2039 .2031 .1985 .1800 .1866 .1811 .1928 .1800 .1800 AEflective Dec. 1971, nationwide delivered price substituted for N.Y.-basis price. ^Includes secondary smelters' lead stocks in refinery shapes and in copper-base scrap. G Producers' stocks elsewhere, end of July 1973, 9,700 short tons. Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS Augus t 1972 OF CUKKENT^ BUSINESS S-34 1971 1972 June Annual 1973 1972 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Feb. Jan. Mar. Apr. May 113.6 108.7 84.6 June July METALS AND MANUFACTURES—Continued MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT Foundry equipment (new), new orders, net mo. avg. shipments 1967 = 100.. Heating, combustion, atmosphere equipment, new orders (domestic), net, qtrly mil. $.. Electric processing heating equip. ..do Fuel-fired processing heating equip do Material handling equipment (industrial): Orders (new), index, seas, adit 1967 ==100.. Industrial trucks (electric), shipments: Hand (motorized) number-. Rider-type do Industrial trucks and tractors (internal combustion engines), shipments^ numberIndustrial supplies, machinery and equipment: New orders index, seas, adjusted*f. 1967-69=100.. Industrial suppliers distribution: Sales index, seas, adjusted* 1967=100.. Machine tools: Metal cutting type tools: Orders, new (net), total mil. $.. D omestic do Shipments, total do Domestic do Order backlog, end of period do Metal forming type tools: Orders, new (net), total do_. Domestic do _ Shipments, total do D omesti c do Order backlog, end of period do_ 83.9 166.5 84.2 75.4 67.0 63.7 7.5 79.3 12.8 41.3 23.8 4.0 12.8 99.6 128.4 123.9 130.6 153.7 136.5 132.9 155.0 149.4 157.4 164.1 180.6 186.7 174.0 12, 644 14, 621 1,283 1,685 1,102 1,282 1,312 1,385 1,619 1,544 1,377 1,457 1,416 1,518 1,476 1,701 1,544 1,525 1,696 1,626 1,841 1, 97! 1,740 1,860 2,001 2,055 2,155 1,947 36,645 15, 482 16, 902 40, 698 3,940 2,940 3,832 3,589 3,995 4,000 3,828 3,797 4,654 4,865 99.1 116.3 116.4 117.0 118.4 121.4 123.7 127.8 129.5 130.4 134.6 139.1 144.2 147.7 148.0 104.7 120.3 119.0 116.0 120.7 120.4 118.9 123.5 121.5 130.5 129.4 129.9 135.4 140.0 143.4 144.: 608. 75 1, 008. 95 524.10 877. 25 672. 30 714. 45 554. 20 627.15 407.5 702.0 75.00 66.70 70.05 63.00 517.8 64.65 47.80 42.25 548.6 77.60 69.45 48.45 44.05 577.8 97.50 76.80 76.25 65.00 599.0 94.45 84.35 63.85 56.05 629.6 112.70 103.45 66.20 58.80 676.1 133.20 110.00 102. 90 90.40 1, 056. 7 *135. 50 ill. 35 p 75. 60 p 65. 85 252. 40 223. 20 325.60 285. 60 161.8 403.05 368. 20 304. 25 267. 20 260.5 40.10 38.45 33.85 30. 45 170.8 25.80 22.90 24.60 22. 65 172.0 31.35 29.70 19.30 17.25 184.0 42.25 38.05 19.95 18.10 206.3 47.35 42.10 27.40 25.95 226.2 53.20 48.90 30.65 26.05 248.8 78.20 74.15 42.05 39.85 494.6 p 52. 60 M8. 95 ^30.65 p 28. 00 P516. 6 21,225 546. 0 4,904 185.8 5,682 153.2 1,713 69.2 5,157 135.7 1,230 12,040 46,052 1 801.7 214.1 10, 276 184.3 11,798 205.8 196,988 1,141.0 52, 571 310.5 40,845 254.8 50, 466 3 18.906 3 16,917 319, 264 319, 701 319,858 321.5 111.4 3109.3 3 124. 9 3 122. 9 3 201.4 43,220 2,794 3,178 67.5 60.3 79.6 35.8 22.5 21.3 37.7 32.3 Tractors used in construction: Tracklaying, total. units.. 118,520 mil. $.. i 479. 6 Wheel (contractors' off-highway) units.. i 4,334 mil. $-. i 166.9 Tractor shovel loaders (integral units only), wheel and tracklaying types units_. i 27,145 mil. $_. i 640. 9 Tractors, wheel (excl. garden and contractors' offhighway types) units.. 16.5,343 mil. $.. i 891.9 ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT 1 54.6 58.4 90.0 101.1 58.2 101.1 74.6 27.0 5.7 13.0 21.1 3.4 11.4 18.3 2.9 9.7 118.30 124.80 130.40 170. 80 104. 20 103. 25 117. 80 149.10 98.80 92.40 74.40 66.15 83.95 83.45 67.40 58.60 888.6 702. 0 760.6 816.6 37.65 34.10 25. 95 21. 45 260.5 4,591 3 2,085 120.1 3 63.7 2 940 2 35.1 76.70 72.05 35.35 33.55 375.4 72.45 66.40 28.70 25.85 334.0 56.85 49.55 27.15 25.70 290.2 3 1,960 3 59.2 5 32. 5.2 18.9 159. 95 154.85 145. 90 139.55 76.30 100.60 68.80 ' 84.55 972.2 1,026.4 80.95 74.45 30.60 28.60 425.8 70. 95 66. 50 38. 25 35. 30 458.5 2,360 3 2, 086 3 2,109 3 67.9 3 61.6 3 61.9 2,837 2,782 50.8 50.3 Batteries (auto, replacement), shipments thous.. Electronic components, factory sales: Semiconductors: Discrete devices mil. $.. Integrated circuits do Tubes, selected power and spec, purpose...do Microwave do Electro-optical .do High vacuum, gas, and vapor do Capacit ors do Motors and generators: New orders, index, qtrly. _ 1967=100.. 39,144 87.1 103. £ Radio sets, total, production^ thous. Television sets (incl. combination), prodcf-.-do... Household electrical appliances, factory sales: Air conditioners (room) thous. Dishwashers* do... Disposers (food waste)* do... Ranges do... Refrigerators. .do... Washers do... Dryers (incl. gas) do... Vacuum cleaners do. 18,579 11,197 1,954 1,312 1,314 793 102.5 1,543 * 2,194 4 963 1, 451 1,786 1,184 1,658 * 2,132 5 4,025 1,200 * 1,353 s 1,252 5, 209 1,425 4 5,211 * 1, 681 2,916 1,189 3,860 4 3,990 1,341 i 1,778 3,067 1,018 5,438 2,477 2,292 2,714 5,691 4,608 3,377 7,973 407.5 262.6 241.0 242. 9 563.0 408.7 255.1 583.5 280.6 236.1 210.5 261). 3 637.4 406.8 272. 2 498.1 129.7 293.8 250.3 297.4 629.2 505.1 375.1 689. 5 82.1 288.8 267.2 278.5 521.5 466.7 392. 2 727.7 137. 4 333.1 243.7 312.7 606.5 496.5 442.4 838.1 157.2 308.9 236.4 297.0 502.2 439.0 384.0 764.0 293.1 267.7 232.8 258.9 409.5 381.9 335.7 625.4 486.8 284.9 215.4 285.2 472.3 457.2 379.3 727.9 448.9 252.3 224. 5 240.0 452.8 417.2 318.2 775.3 782.4 322.7 254. 0 293.8 579.8 464.8 331.9 795. 9 686.4 296.9 245.6 286.4 554. 1 428.5 305.4 710.5 722.4 325.2 260.6 311.9 623.8 476.0 309.3 677.6 306.2 272.4 236.0 304.0 703.2 432.5 319.2 1,795 2,549 3,088 165.5 238.5 244. 1 156.3 169.4 240.8 184.1 238.7 248.5 193.6 253.1 239.7 216.0 232.3 291.4 178.2 224.1 249.8 157.2 218.2 254.1 163.9 174.8 278.2 133.0 205.9 278.9 161.8 260.9 280.3 516 40 560 5 633 93 1621 534 i 300 124 180 176 435 34.7 4,538 4,553 4,507 4,473 4,226 39.2 40.3 37.9 39.7 43.2 3,108 ' 2,914 122. 0 105.0 771.6 304.1 268.2 292.6 618.5 463.4 330.3 671.7 GAS EQUIPMENT (RESIDENTIAL) Furnaces, gravity and forced-air, shipments* thous. Ranges, total, sales* do... Water heaters (storage), automatic, sales* do... • 148. 8 • 145.5 206.3 • 230.6 275.0 265.5 135.9 245.0 263.5 PETROLEUM, COAL, AND PRODUCTS COAL Anthracite: 445 493 659 Production thous. sh. tons « 8 727 i 6,637 31 49 87 Exports 671 d0.._. 780 Price, wholesale, chestnut, f.o.b. car at mine 17. 738 17. 738 18.130 $persh. t o n . ' 17.673 18. 228 Bituminous: I 49,660 >40,810 51,675 Production thous. sh. tons..! « 552,192 590,600 " Revised v Preliminary. 1 Annual data; revisions are not available. 2 Excludes figures for rubber-tired dozers. 6 3 p o r m O n t h shown. < Data cover 5 weeks; other periods, 4 weeks. « See note "cf". Monthly revisions are available upon request. ^Revisions for 1969-71 are on p . S-34 of the Apr. 1972 SURVEY. <|See " T \ p. S-35. cf Effective Jan. 1973, data reflect total market: Sets produced in the United States, imports by L . S . manufacturers for sale under their brand name and, beginning 1973, also sets imported directly for resale. fEffective Mar. 1973 SURVEY, index revised back to 1968. 585 141 653 623 531 121 41 19.110 I 19.110 574 58 633 91 19. 600 P650 72 19.845 19.110 19.110 19.600 51, 020 •46,010 43, 030 48,905 : 51,180 i 49,805 i 44,460 48,740 44,960 I 49,640 40,620 *New series. Industrial hardware supplies and machinery (marketed through distributors) — orders index (Amer. Supply & Mach. Mfrs. Assn.) and sales index (Natl. & Southern Ind. Distributors Assns.) are based on 2-month moving average of selected members' operations and are adjusted for no. of working days. Effective June 1973 SURVEY, sales index revissi back to 1970. Dishwashers and disposers (Assn. of Home Appliance Mfrs.) and gas equipment (Gas Appliance Mfrs. Assn.) reflect total industry sales. Monthly data prior to 1971 are available upon request. 19.110 19.110 19.110 19. 600 August 1973 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are a s shown in the 1971 edition of B U S I N E S S S T A T I S T I C S 1971 1972 Annual S-35 1973 1972 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 11.616 11.551 PETROLEUM, COAL, AND PRODUCTS—Continued COAL—Continued Bituminous—Continued Industrial consumption and retail deliveries, total9 thous. sh. tons_ Electric power utilities do... Mfg. and mining industries, total do Coke plants (oven and beehive) do Retail deliveries to other consumers do_. Stocks, industrial and retail dealers', end of period, total thous. sh. tons. Electric power utilities do Mfg. and mining industries, total do Oven-coke plants do Retail dealers do_. 494,862 519, 689 40,599 326, 280 348, f 25 27,600 157,024 159,253 12,620 87,272 82,809 7,210 11,351 11,748 356 43,191 30,088 12,615 7,355 44,891 31,470 12,627 7,360 42,286 28,800 12,342 7,040 43,362 28,967 13,164 7,345 44,409 29,691 13,394 7,165 48,077 32, 286 14,328 7,630 51,208 34,175 15,486 7,804 45,993 30,425 14,322 7,182 45,905 30, 533 14,450 7,950 43,673 28, 868 14,262 7,727 470 770 1,124 1,214 1,305 1,455 1,563 1,246 920 530 89,985 P115, 313 114,493 109, 733 112,855 114,346 P117.668 P119,211 *>115,313 P108, 590 76, 987 P98,450 95,330 92, 574 95, 397 97,209 *100,653iJ>l01,953 *98, ' \ 450 P92, 279 12,778 *16, 573 18,873 16, 839 17,128 16, 787 16, 687 *16,958 *16,573 P15,996 7,199 *8, 973 10,138 8,259 8,777 »9,052 »9,418 *8, 973 *8,498 8,558 v106,422 *109, 065*110,861 92,971 p 89,516 P92,246 * 16,601 16,499 P 17,550 8,439 p 8,500 * 8,381 220 *>290 290 320 340 350 *>315 *>305 56, 633 55,960 4,882 3,627 6,337 4,923 5,173 5,380 3,392 2,954 2,669 3,377 5,063 5,140 9.696 11.209 10.378 11.367 10.146 11.120 10.146 11.120 10,146 11.120 10.426 11.120 10. 443 11.120 10.933 11. 990 11. 209 12. 240 11. 209 12.240 11.311 12.240 11.160 11. 267 11.541 11. 267 11.570 11. 283 thous. sh. tons. do___ do... 772 56,664 21, 823 654 59, 853 23,953 53 4,976 1,821 49 5,024 1,884 54 5,088 2,239 54 4,822 2,112 5,026 2,219 62 4,914 2,148 70 5,183 2,254 53 5,364 2,282 62 4,891 2,012 () 5,356 2,227 64 5,262 2,175 5,454 do._. do do.__ do_._ do... 3,510 3,376 134 1,489 1,509 2,941 2,590 351 1,563 1,232 2,907 2,643 263 1,589 107 3,089 2,748 340 1,661 76 3,185 2,831 355 1,613 74 3,202 2,818 384 1,548 130 3,089 2,729 360 1,570 132 3,011 2,662 349 1,485 80 2,941 2,590 351 1,563 179 2,824 2,497 326 1,720 76 2,560 2,269 291 1,795 34 2,291 2,039 252 1,948 114 2,035 1,829 206 1,895 61 1,796 1,638 159 1,922 227 1,712 1,572 139 1,042 3.41 355.3 89 833 3.41 368.5 89 946 3.51 369.4 89 1,065 3.51 363.4 91 792 3.51 368.1 860 3.51 355. 6 89 985 3.51 375. 5 91 758 3.51 377.9 91 777 3.51 341.2 90 953 3.56 378.2 90 699 3.77 366.2 90 749 3.77 380.8 767 4.13 912 4.11 .145 .145 Exports do Prices, wholesale: Screenings, indust. use, f.o.b. mine $ per sh. tonDomestic, large sizes, f.o.b. mine do... *300 *>340 COKE Production: Beehive Oven (byproduct) Petroleum coke§ Stocks, end of period: Oven-coke plants, total At furnace plants At merchant plants Petroleum coke Exports 60 5,325 108 PETROLEUM AND PRODUCTS Crude petroleum: Oil wells completed Price at wells (Oklahoma) Runs to stills Refinery operating ratio number 2 11,858 11,348 $ per bbl 3.41 3.45 mil. bbl._ 4,087. 8 4, 281. 6 % of capacity.. All oils, supply, demand, and stocks: New supply, totaled Production: Crude petroleum Natural-gas plant liquids Imports: Crude and unfinished oils Refined products mil. bbl_. 5,510. 7 5.837.3 474.0 484.5 487.5 478.3 508.5 485.1 520.7 517.6 490.7 543.0 498.2 523.6 do __do 3,453. 9 3,459.1 623.9 643.0 287.6 52.4 294.1 54.1 294.9 54.5 284.3 52.8 294.3 55.3 283.3 53.4 54.0 284.6 52.9 262.5 49.8 284.4 54.8 277.0 53.2 288.4 54.9 do do 774.3 856.8 878.4 65.6 68.4 71.0 65.4 69.1 69.1 74.9 66.3 82.2 76.6 72.8 75.6 87.4 89.6 88.0 92.2 82.9 95.5 102.2 101.6 96.2 71.7 103.7 76.7 26.1 -85.0 -38.8 Change in stocks, all oils (decrease,—) do.. 7.2 31.8 1.9 20.9 4.4 -36.7 -54.9 -53.3 20.5 25.9 20.4 Demand, total Exports: Crude petroleum Refined products Domestic demand, total 9 Gasoline Kerosene do.. 5,499. 4 5,929. 6 464.6 454.8 487.6 459.3 503.5 523.5 574.6 571.4 526, 5. 527.9 475.5 505.9 do.. do.. do.. do.. do.. .2 .5 81.3 81.3 5,417. 6 2,213.2 5, 848.1 90.9 2.350.4 85.9 971.3 1,066. 0 925.6 838.0 382.5 368.7 0 6.3 458.3 206.1 3.5 0 6.4 448.4 208.3 2.9 0 7.2 480.4 216.6 5.3 0 6.9 452.4 194.9 5.9 0 7.3 496.2 198.5 7.4 0 7.4 516.1 195.5 8.6 0 7.5 567.1 198.8 11.4 0 6.5 564.9 190.9 12.6 0 7.3 519.2 181.5 10.8 0 6.9 520.9 203.2 6.2 0 8.3 467.2 197.5 4.9 .1 7.2 498.6 215.7 4.1 65.8 65.9 34.9 54.8 65.4 31.0 64.0 70.1 29.3 66.2 67.1 31.0 85.5 73.2 36.3 101.5 85.3 31.5 131.2 97.6 31.9 128.2 101.1 34.4 118.8 92.5 30.5 102.7 95.2 30.8 79.0 74.2 30.8 82.0 78.1 34.5 4.3 19.2 33.1 4.8 20.0 34.4 4.7 24.2 38.2 4.3 19.7 37.0 4.6 17.6 46.9 4.6 11.1 52.6 3.9 6.8 60.0 4.6 5.6 61.8 4.6 5.4 52.0 4.9 8.1 43.6 4.4 11.3 38.9 5.1 16.1 39.3 991.6 1,023.4 1,025.3 1, 046. 2 1, 050.6 1,013.9 258.0 271.4 250.8 265.8 253.7 251. 3 111.9 120.4 113.1 116.0 110.2 107.5 655.4 599.8 641.6 682.3 686.6 655.1 959.0 246.4 100.8 611.7 905.7 237.5 94.0 574.3 866.9 235.4 93.7 537.8 887.4 244.1 103.6 539.7 913.3 248.8 111.6 552.9 933.7 258.2 112.4 563.1 173.0 .2 220.0 192.2 .1 211.1 192.9 .1 208.2 .2 205.3 .133 Distillate fuel oil Residual fuel oil Jet fuel do.. do.. do.. Lubricants Asphalt Liquefied gases do.. do.. do.. Stocks, end of period, total Crude petroleum Unfinished oils, natural gasoline, etc Refined products Refined petroleum products: Gasoline (incl. aviation): Production Exports Stocks, end of period do do do do do """"" do do 49.3 158.5 456.8 52.8 163.8 515.3 1,043.9 259.6 106.8 677.5 959.0 246.4 100.8 611.7 2, 202.6 2,320. 0 1.6 1.0 223.8 217.1 189.1 .1 204.3 206.7 .1 204.7 206.2 0) 196.8 Prices (excl. aviation): Wholesale, ref. (Okla., group 3) $ per gal._ .120 .120 .119 .120 Retail (regular grade, excl. taxes), 55 cities (1st of following mo.) $ per gal.. .252 .261 .245 .240 .235 Aviation gasoline: Production mil. bbl.. 18.5 17.0 1.4 1.6 1.3 Exports do 1.2 .5 .1 0) .1 Stocks, end of period do 4.3 4.4 3.8 3.9 3.7 Kerosene: Production do.. 87.5 80.1 5 0 5.9 5.7 Stocks, end of period do 24.4 19.1 22.1 18.6 21.5 Price, wholesale, bulk lots (N.Y. Harbor) .126 .127 $ per gal.. .127 .127 .127 r 1 Revised. v Preliminary. Less than 50 thousand barrels. 2 Reflects revisions not available by months. 3 Withheld to avoid disclosing individual company data. 9 Includes data not shown separately. § Includes nonmarketable catalyst coke. 204.6 .2 211.7 194.9 200.7 197.9 213.2 217.1 226,0 .120 .120 .120 .120 .120 .125 .130 .130 .254 .250 .252 .253 .248 .259 .263 .265 1.0 .8 4.0 3.6 1.2 .1 3.3 8.0 16.4 199.8 .1 203.7 1.4 0) 1.7 0) 3.8 0) 1.5 0) 1.2 0) 4.1 4.3 0) 0) 6.7 22.9 6.4 22.0 7.8 21.4 9.0 19.1 9.5 16.0 9.4 14.6 .127 .127 .127 .127 .127 .138 .268 1.2 0) 3.3 6.6 18.1 0) 3.1 19.1 .138 .138 .138 .138 .138 cf Includes small amounts of "other hydrocarbons and hydrogen refinery input," not shown separately. NOTE FOR P. S-34—Industrial trucks and tractors: HRevisions for 1971 appear in July 1973 SURVEY, p. S-35. August 1973 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS S-36 1971 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are a s shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1972 Annual 1973 1972 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July PETROLEUM, COAL, AND PRODUCTS—Continued PETROLEUM AND PRODUCTS—Continued Refined petroleum products—Continued Distillate fuel oil: Production mil. bbl Imports do Exports do Stocks, end of period do Price, wholesale (N.Y. Harbor, No. 2 fuel) $ per galResidual fuel oil: Production ...mil. bbl.. Imports do Exports do Stocks, end of period do Price, wholesale (Okla., No. 6) ..$ per bbl.. 912.1 55.8 2.8 190.6 963.6 66.4 1.2 154.3 .116 .117 274.7 577.7 13.2 69.7 2.37 292.5 637.4 12.1 55.2 2.35 19.8 49.5 .6 56.1 2.35 20.9 49.4 1.1 60.2 2.35 20.9 51.2 1.2 61.4 2.35 304.7 27.7 310.0 25.5 25.8 28.4 27.1 29.4 65.5 15.8 15.0 65.3 15.0 13.3 5.6 1.1 13.9 .270 *.270 .270 mil. bbl. do 157.0 21.2 155.3 21.6 Liquefied gases (inch ethane and ethylene): Production, total mil. bbl.. At gas processing plants (L.P.O.) do... At refineries (L.R.G.) do... Stocks (at plants and refineries) ...do 547.9 417.6 130.2 94.7 575.1 444.7 130.4 85.7 Jet fuel: Production Stocks, end of period .mil. bbl. do Lubricants: Production do Exports do Stocks, end of period do Price, wholesale, bright stock (midcontinent, f.o.b., Tulsa) $ per gal. Asphalt: Production Stocks, end of period Asphalt and tar products, shipments: Asphalt roofing, total thous. squares Roll roofing and cap sheet do_. Shingles, all types do.. Asphalt siding Insulated siding Saturated felts .1 128.8 .117 78.5 3.1 .1 155.6 80.2 2.9 (2) 174.7 78.8 3.0 .1 190.3 .117 .117 .117 84.5 6..; (J) 81.7 6.8 (J) 182.6 91.2 11.8 .2 154.3 .117 .117 94.0 11.2 .3 131.0 82.3 18.8 .1 113.3 82.8 18.0 .1 111.3 75.4 7.2 .2 114.7 7.7 .1 119.1 .117 .128 .128 .128 .128 .138 138 29.1 58.0 .9 43.1 2.35 29.6 67.7 .8 44.7 2.35 26.3 51.1 1.2 47.0 2.60 51.7 1.2 49.2 2.60 2.60 2.60 195.6 21.3 48.7 .9 63.7 2.35 .117 23.1 51. 3 1.5 63.8 2.35 26.7 53.1 .9 57.7 2.35 34.9 61.0 1.0 55.2 2.35 34.5 61.3 1.0 49.2 2.35 26.0 31.6 24.3 30.6 25.5 28.6 24.0 26.6 25.1 25.5 26.8 24.8 25.2 25.4 28.4 27.6 26.6 27.9 25.8 5.4 1.1 13.4 5.8 1.2 13.3 5.3 1.1 13.3 5.6 1.2 13.2 5.4 1.4 12.9 5.5 1.4 13.3 5.7 1.2 13.4 5.4 1.1 13.3 5.9 1.2 13.3 6.5 1.2 13.4 1.2 12.9 16.0 28.6 17.1 26.4 17.5 20.7 16.6 18.8 15.1 17.2 11.4 18.4 9.1 21.6 7.9 24.3 8.3 27.6 10.1 30.0 12.1 31.0 30.2 46.4 35.6 10.8 101.2 48.4 36.8 11.5 109.8 48.4 37.0 11.4 114.9 46.8 36.0 10.8 119.4 49.1 38.4 10.7 115.5 47.7 37.6 10.1 103.2 49.0 38.2 10.8 85.7 48.6 37.4 11.2 69.2 45.5 35.4 10.1 59.9 50.4 38.7 11.7 63.8 48.9 37.7 11.2 70.4 •~8~6.~6" 38.4 ' 93,246 3 97,696 • 35,307 3 35,466 • 57,939 3 62,230 do... do-_. __thous. sh. tons. r 186 -•375 '916 3 136 3 367 3 895 PULP, PAPER, AND PAPER PRODUCTS P U L P W O O D AND W A S T E P A P E R Pulpwood: Receipts Consumption Stocks, end of period Waste paper: Consumption Stocks, end of period thous. cords (128 cu. ft.) do.. do_. 67,220 67,501 5,371 67,680 69,170 5,165 6,042 6,079 5,504 5,706 5,742 5,481 6,031 5, 927 5,651 5,795 5,615 5,779 5,944 6,084 5,697 5,597 5,852 5,453 5,294 5,609 5,165 6,458 5,905 4,701 5,693 6,707 4,734 thous. sh. tons do._ 10,997 558 11.269 626 967 538 840 547 1,000 566 564 1,010 585 971 604 626 1,008 608 950 575 thous. sh. tons .do do.. do.. 43,933 1,671 29,551 2,101 46,341 1,676 31,255 2,129 3,942 142 2, f)G5 182 3,766 126 2,569 152 3,991 138 2,685 183 133 2,468 185 4,123 144 2,788 200 3,876 143 2,600 178 3,662 129 2,468 165 4,054 145 2,748 186 do.. do.. _do_. 4,462 2,405 3,743 4,617 2,720 3,943 241 332 359 236 325 390 256 337 346 216 320 380 266 345 376 255 325 355 229 317 Stocks, end of period: Total, all mills Pulp mills Paper and board mills Nonpaper mills do do.. do.. do_. 1,093 623 398 71 943 477 392 74 907 432 402 73 914 430 411 73 866 392 402 73 862 323 393 75 839 371 390 78 Exports, all grades, total.._ Dissolvlng and special alpha Allother do.. do do.. 1 2,175 790 U.385 12,253 793 i 1,460 176 62 114 186 69 116 175 67 108 196 72 125 195 72 123 Imports, all grades, total Dissolving and special alpha All other do do... do._. »3,615 313 1 i 3,202 3,728 224 !3,504 309 16 293 271 6 265 310 21 331 319 22 342 55,032 23,817 26,103 137 4,975 59,310 25,320 28,637 136 5,217 5,023 2,127 2,436 12 448 4,613 1,926 2,255 11 421 5,232 2,205 2,532 12 483 110.6 102.4 103.0 109.0 105.5 106.4 108.5 106.0 106.6 108.8 106.0 106.8 108.8 106.0 107.2 WOODPULP Production: Total, all grades Dissolving and special alpha Sulfate Sulflte Groundwood Defibrated or exploded Soda, semichem., screenings, etc 5,994 5,603 6,044 5,897 4,636 ' 4,343 6,027 6,133 4,291 1,078 546 ' 1,012 r509 1,058 495 3,743 129 2,536 173 4,217 155 2,845 '206 3,983 125 2,715 186 4,150 141 2,838 193 375 255 343 351 249 305 390 271 351 365 257 335 375 264 339 803 323 393 797 357 370 69 791 350 376 65 788 341 381 66 ••777 330 -•377 '70 783 324 381 78 229 73 155 150 51 99 174 70 104 187 61 126 198 74 124 214 65 149 184 68 116 210 60 150 334 16 319 346 17 363 278 8 271 18 376 338 11 327 359 6 353 329 13 316 365 22 343 333 17 315 4,734 2,003 2,285 12 434 5,258 2,227 2,552 11 467 5,065 2,178 2,449 11 428 4,612 2,039 2,171 10 392 5,149 2,226 2,485 12 425 4,856 2,076 2,338 11 432 5,416 2,312 2,605 11 5,171 2,191 2,487 '11 5,512 2,364 2,629 12 108.8 106.5 107.3 109.6 106.8 107.3 109.6 106.8 107.2 109.6 107.1 107.2 109.6 108.2 107.1 109.6 109.7 108.1 111.0 110.7 108.5 111.7 113.0 109.3 P A P E R AND P A P E R P R O D U C T S Paper and board: Production (Bu. of the Census): All grades, total, unadjusted...thous. sh. tons Paper do... Paperboard do... Wet-machine board do... Construction paper and board . do... Wholesale price indexes: Book paper, A grade 1967 = 100. Paperboard do_. Building paper and board do... 'Revised. 'Reported annual total; revisions not allocated to the months. 1 1 Less than 50 thousand barrels. Monthly data no longer furnished. '482 111.7 114.6 110.8 * Average for May and June. 112.4 116.7 111.7 112.4 116.7 112.2 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1973 1971 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown In the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS | 1972 1973 1972 June Annual S-37 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July PULP, PAPER, AND PAPER PRODUCTS—Continued PAPER AND PAPER PRODUCTS—Con. Selected types of paper (APT): Groundwood paper, uncoated: Orders, ne w thous. sh. tons. Orders, unfilled, end of period do... Shipments. do Coated paper: Orders, new do... Orders, unfilled, end of period do... Shipments --do... Uncoated book and writing and related papers-. $ Orders, new do... Shipments .do... Unbleached kraft packaging and industrial converting papers: Orders, new. _ do._. Orders, unfilled, end of period do... Shipments. do... Tissue paper, production.. do... 1,216 80 1,229 1,405 164 1,317 108 96 113 108 99 107 125 108 118 121 117 113 133 131 120 134 154 115 118 164 107 126 174 115 102 188 134 181 121 132 205 105 112 192 120 3,255 287 3,251 3,630 393 3,522 306 284 275 287 322 272 316 345 315 325 365 299 335 374 321 310 372 314 298 393 291 332 379 317 348 445 305 354 448 343 329 457 316 344 462 339 6,023 505 509 446 460 501 518 519 507 554 640 536 528 508 503 565 557 546 508 622 560 569 526 584 562 342 218 324 241 326 303 213 318 341 316 212 '317 313 366 219 '347 346 331 219 328 329 355 214 352 345 3,868 156 3,755 3,750 4,039 241 3,916 3,897 339 326 321 301 164 309 292 346 176 333 330 318 189 303 314 204 337 345 do. do.. do_ 8,297 8,210 323 8,661 8,740 244 733 753 488 699 711 475 7?4 721 489 694 775 407 784 832 359 750 796 313 735 804 244 767 729 283 722 730 274 811 788 297 773 801 270 813 825 258 803 799 267 do_. 3,296 3,288 41 3,422 3,437 27 283 287 70 275 273 72 294 298 68 260 277 61 293 293 300 35 278 286 27 297 293 31 275 271 35 312 310 292 290 309 313 34 282 281 35 Consumption by publishersc? do.. Stocks at and in transit to publishers, end of period thous. sh. tons_ 7,057 7,569 613 683 605 625 698 661 610 585 671 682 702 642 705 544 610 618 627 617 639 544 573 601 637 637 642 671 Imports do-. Price, rolls, contract, f.o.b. mill, freight allowed or delivered $ per sh. ton 6,881 7,101 611 625 553 562 640 650 710 578 679 634 656 678 157.00 163.20 163.70 163. 70 163.70 163.70 163.70 163.70 163.70 166. 70 167.75 168.68 168.58 1C8. IS 169.42 611 1,664 576 629 1,792 592 611 1,905 584 594 1,899 688 596 1,860 683 541 1,874 518 Newsprint: Canada: Production Shipments from mills Stocks at mills, end of period United States: Production Shipments from mills Stocks at mills, end of period do_... do-.. Paperboard (American Paper Institute): Orders, new (weekly avg.) thous. sh. tons Orders, unfilled § do-.. Production, total (weekly avg.) do-_. Paper products: Shipping containers, corrugated and solid fiber, shipments mil. sq. ft. surf. area- Folding paper boxes thous. sh. tons. mil$. sot 41 701 583 615 330 163. 70 474 917 501 578 1,446 549 690 1,332 562 519 1,309 520 556 1,397 563 543 1,420 533 589 1,505 575 568 1,481 573 741 1,446 537 526 1,599 495 191,832 1211,926 18,939 15,427 15,858 21,482 19,721 18,643 17,158 17,990 17,530 20.434 18,192 19,758 19,591 214.9 112.6 183.0 95.9 221.5 117.4 216.2 115.2 230.7 123.6 208.7 111.5 207.2 112.0 ' 197.0 ' 117.1 221.8 121.0 207.1 112.8 213.4 116.0 ••211.9 r 116. 2 52.88 58.08 116. 72 2122.84 56.04 57.67 56.83 116.77 48.09 63.15 120.47 59.44 59.43 57.34 117. 54 116.17 55.48 43.26 54.46 111. 08 53.44 .228 .255 .286 .308 201.65 199.14 2217.35 209.17 193.96 193. 45 2 206.51 199.80 495. 66 495.68 2 471.86 473.14 218.54 220.64 454.83 223.63 199.03 461.63 2, 445. 0 1,250. 0 2,525. 0 1,330.0 219.1 118.2 209.3 116.3 RUBBER AND RUBBER PRODUCTS RUBBER Natural rubber: Consumption Stocks, end of period.I m p o r t s , incl. latex and guayule thous. lg. t o n s . . do_... do 677.81 133.32 612. 72 *640.40 *116. 72 602.16 53.23 109.09 36.43 40.86 102.86 38.67 55. 25 112. 25 50.65 64.08 109.47 39.30 58.47 109.59 54.73 52.57 112.30 55.32 Price, wholesale, smoked sheets (N.Y.)__$ per lb_. .180 .181 .173 .175 .175 .180 .194 .205 thous. lg. t o n s . . 2,241.00 *2,424. 7 do 2,104.87 2,291. 5 do x>495. 7 488.17 191. 01 197.67 485. 05 195. 61 202. 74 152.09 191.90 619. 24 512. 64 200.44 195.26 515.46 211.64 210.19 504.39 Synthetlc rubber: Production Consumption Stocks, end of period _ Exports (Bu. of Census) Reclaimed rubber: Production Consumption Stocks, end of period .210 .310 .413 222. 59 199. 86 197. 72 196.06 469.41 469.93 do 269.82 257.10 18.14 20.06 22.10 16.47 24.04 21.92 23.99 23.65 22.20 22.99 22.36 24.18 23.58 do do do 199.19 200.47 22.67 »194.45 »187.58 *19.91 16.99 16.87 23.13 11.28 11.81 21.72 15.87 15.12 20.74 15.48 15.35 19.87 16.41 16.44 19.17 14.87 14.45 19.29 15.20 219.08 14.71 215.92 19.91 219.33 20.52 16.30 19.49 22.29 17.40 19.42 19.39 14.35 20.55 19.02 13.42 22.40 18.46 13.81 23.16 T I R E S AND T U B E S Pneumatic casings, automotive: Production thous.. 216,361 229,611 20,270 14,765 18,608 19,352 20,999 18,721 19,387 21,001 19,993 22,229 19,193 18,693 214,539 58,941 153,646 1,953 227,965 63,870 161,766 2,328 21,277 5,349 15,685 243 16,209 2,946 13,073 191 19,628 4,685 14,781 162 21,339 5,793 15,308 238 21,840 6,201 15,415 224 17,647 5,922 11,564 161 16,677 5,178 10,263 236 17,769 6,613 11,005 251 17,780 6,054 11,521 204 22,352 7,114 14,907 330 23,429 6,211 16,950 268 21,646 6,360 14,969 317 do. . do 54,982 1,589 60,255 2,127 215 57,836 180 56, 894 54,965 161 225 55,769 211 56,319 180 60, 255 214 63,646 66,419 131 66,708 310 62,872 295 60,485 '404 440 _.do do do._ do . 35,562 40,476 8,271 979 38,705 41,774 9,391 766 3,323 3,878 9,144 63 3,166 3,392 9,168 40 2,950 2,977 9,391 3,425 3,804 9,605 61 3,664 3,616 9,896 3,836 4,085 10,153 71 3,364 3,912 10,175 149 3,438 3,568 10,366 121 149 Shipments, total Original equipment Replacement equipment Exports do do do do Stocks, end of period Exports (Bu. of Census) Inner t u b e s , automotive: Production Shipments _ Stocks, end of period ._ Exports (Bu. of Census).... 3,367 3, 697 9,813 68 2,441 2,986 9,481 3,282 3,615 9,482 65 ' Revised. *> Preliminary. i Reported annual total; revisions not allocated to months. 2 Publication of monthly rubber statistics was discontinued by the Census Bureau effective with the Dec. 1972 report (Series M30A). Data beginning Jan. 1973 are from the Rubber Manufacturers Association and are not strictly comparable with earlier data 3,227 3,498 9,363 28 tRepresents the sum of book paper, uncoated and writing and related papers formerly shown separately; data for new orders no longer available for the individual items. & As reported by publishers accounting for about 75 percent of total newsprint consumption § Monthly data are averages for the 4-week period ending on Saturday nearest the end of the month; annual data are as of Dec. 31. « Corrected. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS S-38 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are a s shown in the 1971 edition of B U S I N E S S S T A T I S T I C S 1971 1972 Annual August 1973 1973 1972 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 24,112 23,915 24,824 33,606 36,106 46,452 47,181 ' 569.8 610.2 5.8 782.4 7.3 136.3 783.6 6.4 138.5 858.6 7.1 Dec. July STONE, CLAY, AND GLASS PRODUCTS PORTLAND CEMENT Shipments, finished cement _.thous. bbl_. 420,238 440,064 45,043 42,335 50,447 44,436 46,048 785.1 11.0 162.4 727.8 8.4 836.2 8.1 725.1 7.0 752.0 7.2 152.3 177.6 162.0 158.2 11.0 13.1 12.2 12.4 24.4 29.0 25.9 27.5 122.1 122.1 122.1 123.7 33,197 CLAY CONSTRUCTION PRODUCTS Shipments: Brick, unglazed (common and face) mil. standard brick_. 7,569.7 Structural tile, except facing thous. sh. tons.. 157.0 Sewer pipe and fittings, vitrified do.... Facing tile (hollow), glazed and unglazed 1, 720. 6 mil. brick equivalent.. Floor and wall tile and accessories, glazed and un155.4 glazed mil. sq. ft.. Price index, brick (common), f.o.b. plant or 276.1 N.Y. dock 1967 = 100.. 117.4 GLASS AND GLASS PRODUCTS Flat glass, mfrs.' shipments thous. $.. 464,674 F 8,402.2 100.5 1,718.0 133.3 307.9 122.1 13.2 28.4 122.1 11.6 8.4 8.2 24.3 124.1 21.3 124.5 24.4 127.4 96.1 «8.4 22.2 147.2 5 10.1 26.8 '26.4 130.1 130.8 148,539 142,235 '37,704 -•110,835 37,519 104,716 11.2 27.3 131.3 21,014 18, 622 22,253 22,320 25,089 23,076 24,772 24,456 20,754 20,058 21,281 19,537 23,567 21,881 26,458 23,816 1,645 5,201 3,903 2,052 1,475 5,558 4,013 1,837 1,876 5,236 4,217 1,865 1,983 4,756 3,902 1,652 2,290 5,880 5,289 2,104 1,987 5,506 5,104 1,861 r 2, 296 ' 7,030 ' 5,836 r 2, 218 1,857 7,094 5,359 1,886 5,426 26 4,892 21 4,359 21 5,006 20 4,378 14 4,749 16 4,483 16 ' 5,692 25 4,655 13 2,683 393 2,692 348 2,492 303 2,694 367 2,496 356 2,856 383 2,582 370 36,604 35, 470 37,474 37,424 35, 842 36,705 39,208 40,282 2,536 r 2,925 '436 388 41,006 38,727 24,589 24,351 22,145 22,119 2,638 6,859 5,266 1,870 2,510 5,557 4,540 1,806 1,766 5,257 4,436 2,132 4,569 11 5,505 23 4,877 22 2,492 362 1,961 301 2,680 392 2,485 348 35,842 36,377 37,406 110,418 i 9,526 112,328 112,005 3,149 2,996 3,229 3,115 3,270 3,020 2,924 3,081 i 6,094 7,718 1,905 2,179 1,995 1,572 i 4,305 4,719 1,301 1,353 1,202 309 86 73 80 330 513 14,372 451 357 343 10,738 91 126 3,584 114 90 93 2,668 571 82 140 3,782 118 96 91 2,824 596 57 71 124 3,657 102 92 82 2,733 587 60 264,869 24,420 21,518 25,233 do do do do 24,310 67,552 63,189 21,146 24,333 71,053 54,404 22,425 2,021 6,904 5,731 2,021 1,850 6,294 5,070 1,460 Wide-mouth containers: Food (incl. packer's tumblers, jelly glasses, and fruit jars) thous. gross. Dairy products do... 57,208 305 58, 241 4,870 19 Narrow-neck and Wide-mouth containers: Medicinal and toilet do. Household and industrial do. 27,645 3,906 29,892 4,283 35,652 131.3 130.9 129.1 21,155 22,651 255,261 do-._ 616.8 5.1 99.5 38,427 99,672 do Stocks, end of period 101'. 3 550,292 131,685 Sheet (window) glass, shipments do 150,344 ' 157,189 40,235 314,330 ' 393,105 91,450 Plate and other flat glass, shipments do Glass containers: Production thous. gross.. 263,780 267,347 24,518 Shipments, domestic, total Narrow-neck containers: Food Beverage.. Beer _ Liquor and wine 6.1 136.9 39,200 GYPSUM AND PRODUCTS (QTRLY) Production: Crude gypsum Calcined Imports, crude gypsum thous. sh. tons. do... do... Sales of gypsum products: Uncalcined Calcined: Industrial plasters Building plasters: Regular basecoat All other (incl. Keene's cement) Board products, total© Lath Veneer base Gypsum sheathing Regular gypsum board Type X gypsum board.. Predecorated wallboard do... do... ..do... do... mil. sq. ft do... do... do... do... do... do... 382 534 11,939 477 292 272 9,014 1,766 117 2,279 204 -I. 76 123 3,661 110 97 80 2,719 603 52 TEXTILE PRODUCTS WOVEN FABRICS t Woven fabrics (gray goods), weaving mills: Production, total9 mil. linear yd Cotton _ _ do Manmade fiber do 10,911 6,156 4,647 11,151 5,740 5,315 21,098 2 578 2 511 697 340 350 _ do do do 1,089 472 608 983 408 567 1,054 456 588 1,055 464 581 1,051 453 590 Orders, unfilled, total, end of period9 H___do Cotton do Manmade fiber._. do 2,657 1,494 1,138 4,164 2,111 2,010 3,396 1,902 1,467 3,380 1,848 1,504 40 Stocks, total, end of period 9 cf Cotton Manmade fiber ___ 867 2 1, 171 431 2 581 429 3 581 867 31.170 2 561 421 2 596 436 1,021 424 590 980 418 555 973 416 550 983 408 567 951 407 539 3,371 1,837 1,497 3,460 1,844 1,580 3,653 1,944 1,680 3,986 2,100 1,854 4,164 2,111 2,010 4,227 2,140 2,037 521 1,826 6,860 9,310 11,610 12, 276 «13,267 3 «12,740 544 * 13,702 2 747 597 845* a 1,040 424 2 528 414 2 504 COTTON Cotton (excluding Unters): Production: GinnlngsA thous. running bales Crop estimate, 480-pound bales, net weight thous. bales. Consumption do Stocks in the United States, total, end of period thous. bales.. Domestic cotton, total _ do On farms and in transit do Public storage and compresses. do Consuming establishments do Foreign cotton, total do. 310,229 • 13,267 U0,477 * 13,702 8,128 2772 587 493 7,777 10,054 3,304 16,050 3,808 12,333 10,035 3,785 3,280 16,030 12,319 2,389 119 3,346 150 13,338 6,416 1,997 7,947 1,472 1,607 1,669 1,230 1,026 1,220 1,523 23 14 19 20 24 ' Revised. i Reported annual total; revisions3 not allocated to the months or quarter. 2 Data cover 5 weeks; other months, 4 weeks. Crop for the year 1971. « Crop for the year 1972. s Excludes unglazed and salt glazed facing tile. 0Data for total board products are available back to 1947. {Monthly revisions (1968-71), reflecting recent benchmark adjustments, appear in "Woven Fabrics: Production, Stocks, and Unfilled Orders," M22A— 9 Includes data not shown separately. Digitized forSupplement FRASER (Dec. 1972), Bureau of the Census. 3 715 593 2 739 601 2 719 579 575 7,351 '6,203 9,883 15,364 14,997 13,696 12,333 10,890 8,781 7,336 ' 6,191 9,866 8,766 15,345 14,979 13,680 12,319 10,874 1,065 1,376 8,490 2,420 3,346 1,895 2,041 12,333 5,739 2,733 4,397 ' 3,476 7,321 5,601 5,463 7,947 6,527 2,018 6,992 ' 1,650 1,596 1,133 1,563 1,408 888 1,026 1,298 994 949 12 13 16 15 15 18 14 17 19 16 c?Stocks (owned by weaving mills and billed and held for others) exclude bedsheeting, toweline, and blanketing, and hilled and held stocks of denims. ^Unfilled orders cover wool apparel (including polyester-wool) finished fabrics; production and stocks excludefiguresfor such finished fabrics. Orders also exclude bedsheeting, toweling, and blanking. ° Aug. 1 estimate of 1973 crop. ATotal ginnings to end of month indicated, except as noted. August 1973 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are as shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1971 | 1972 Annual S-39 1973 1972 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July TEXTILE PRODUCTS—Continued COTTON—Continued Cotton (excluding llnters)—Continued E xports thous. bales. Imports _ do... «4,128 38 75 128.1 133.0 18.4 11.4 113.8 .438 70.3 191 352 2 534 654 4 528 677 607 2 437 4 500 2 26.7 27.9 26.7 25.7 27.4 27.2 25.2 29.3 22.4 32.3 22.8 33.2 26.2 35.0 27.1 40.2 30.2 45.2 29.5 46.0 18.2 10.7 8.9 .444 5.1 18.2 10.5 2 11.0 18.2 10.5 9.1 .455 5.2 18.4 10.5 *11. 5 .460 2 6.4 18.3 10.4 8.3 .416 4.7 18.4 10.4 3 11.6 .463 2 6.4 18.1 10.2 5.2 18.1 10.0 9.3 .464 5.1 18.1 10.0 2 11.6 .462 2 6.3 18.1 9.9 9.2 .458 5.0 18.2 10.0 9.1 .456 4.9 1.121 1.117 « 1.107 1.103 1.105 1.107 1.127 1.147 1.174 1.225 * 1.235 110 5 »26.6 135.6 147 8 31.3 36.8 30.9 35.2 30.7 33.1 18.3 10.4 115.9 .445 67.7 18.4 10.9 ail.5 .460 3 6.8 18.3 10.8 7.4 .371 4.3 1.105 1.123 1.123 6,149 5,666 1,475 16.9 22.7 18.0 24.8 18.6 18.8 4.5 4.1 3.9 5.6 4.0 3.8 .27 .18 .22 .23 .22 .20 Exports, raw cotton equiv thous. bales.. 312.6 669.5 Imports, raw cotton equiv.. do Mill margins: Carded yarn cloth average cents per lb.. «45.10 Prices, wholesale: Print cloth, 38^-inch, 64 x 54cTcents per yard.. 15.8 22.2 Sheeting, class B, 40-inch, 48 x 44-48d"-do 409.2 735.5 35.8 71.4 29.7 53.1 34.2 67.9 31.3 51.7 39.0 64.6 52.12 50.10 52.12 63.81 58.64 18.1 8 25.0 18.3 18.3 18.3 7, 293. 6 653.1 713.2 ,831.9 170.9 185.1 1,826.6 148.1 174.8 1,920.5 155.0 174.3 2,019.9 158.0 168.6 2,773.3 2, 582.4 571.6 679.6 655.5 140.8 716.0 644.0 143.7 765.4 673.3 152.5 812.1 717.8 163.4 130,511 181,612 117,405 205,485 8,501 17,312 8,194 17,351 10,533 15,713 8,429 14,625 10,034 18,979 10,054 17,810 13,463 22, 212 14,122 23,831 14, 205 27,654 18,196 25,082 20,794 19,451 27,438 28,661 21,773 24,730 249,819 175,306 249,948 157,857 18,358 13,577 21,484 13,114 26,279 16,771 23,089 13,307 24,938 14,622 28,804 13,527 20,452 13, 575 26,738 12,604 22,097 14,929 22,692 14,504 19,277 16,876 10,329 16, 759 14,695 16,276 65.2 40.7 61.6 61.5 64.7 36.4 63.7 51.9 61.6 61.5 60.3 50.9 297.6 252.9 89.7 293.7 298.1 84.0 270.8 280.3 78.7 297.4 304.1 81.7 293.7 278.9 258.4 75.4 .61 1.03 1.30 .61 1.05 1.31 1.05 1.31 Price (farm), American upland©..cents per lb_. Price, SLM (41) staple34,12 markets*©....do... COTTON MANUFACTURES Spin d If activity (cotton system spindles): Active spindles, last working day, total Consuming 100 percent cotton Splndle hours operated, all fibers, total Average per working day Consuming 100 percent cotton mildo... bil_ do__. do__. Cotton yarn, price, 36/2, combed, knit $ per lb_. Cotton cloth: Cotton broadwoven goods over 12" In width: Production (qtrly.) mil. lin. yd-. Orders, unfilled, end of period, as compared with avg. weekly production No. weeks' prqd_. Inventories, end of period, as compared with avg. weekly production-.No. weeks' prod-Ratio of stocks to unfilled orders (at cotton mills), end of period t 1.061 MANMADE FIBERS AND MANUFACTURES Fiber production, qtrly. total mil. lb- 6,125.4 Filament yarn (rayon and acetate) do 752.7 Staple, Incl. tow (rayon) do 611.7 Noncellulosic, except textile glass: Yarn and monofilaments _. ...do 2,187. 9 Staple, Incl. tow do 2,104.9 Textile glass fiber do 468.2 Exports: Yarns and monofllaments thous. lb. Staple, tow, and tops do___ Imports: Yarns and monofilaments do__. Staple, tow, and tops do._Stocks,producers', end of period: Filament yarn (rayon and acetate) mil. lb. Staple, incl. tow (rayon) do._. Noncellulosic fiber, except textile glass: Yarn and monofilaments do... Staple, incl. tow do._. Textlle glass fiber. do... Prices,manmade fibers, f.o.b. producing plant: Staple: Polyester, 1.5 denier $perlb_ .61 Yarn: Rayon (viscose), 150 denier do Acrylic (spun), knitting, 2/20, 3-6D..do... Manmade fiber and silk broadwoven fabrics: Production (qtrly.), total 9 mil. lin. yd 4, 885.6 Filament yarn (100%) fabrics? do.__ 1,433.1 Chiefly rayon and/or acetate fabrics do... 521.1 Chiefly nylon fabrics do. 296.1 Spunyarn (100%) fab., exc. blanketing9-.do 2, 773. 9 Rayon and/or acetate fabrics and blends do... 381.8 Polyester blends with cotton do 1, 998.5 Filament and spun yarn fabrics (combinations and mixtures).. mil. lin. y d . . 450.5 7 18.3 .62 .62 .62 .62 .62 1.03 1.24 1.03 1.24 1.03 1.24 1.04 1.24 5,530.9 1, 384. 2 438.4 1, 723.0 126.2 506.2 97.2 377.0 758.4 3,052.6 22.6 23.2 24.0 22.5 3.6 3.2 3.2 3.0 .16 .14 .14 .13 30.7 46.4 38.3 59.4 38.0 56.0 38.8 59.2 37.9 56.2 56.91 57.27 59.28 59.78 58.39 62.51 18.3 25.5 19.5 28.0 19.5 28.5 33.0 20.5 22.7 3.8 4.1 .18 .18 .17 34.0 63.6 36.0 46.0 32.3 68.0 61.65 60.52 59.10 18.3 '18.3 «25.0 18.3 25.0 19.3 3.8 .20 22.0 84.0 .62 1.04 1.24 .62 1.05 1.22 .62 1.05 1.25 1.05 1.25 .61 .61 1.02 1.26 1.02 1.28 1,540.6 478.8 126.1 99.i 741.2 1,468.1 452.9 124.5 98.2 839.4 1,335.6 410.4 115.6 94.8 105.7 535.5 112.5 602.6 115.4 629.1 515.4 127.6 130.7 120.0 127.5 142.2 76.4 96.6 71.8 3 15.5 2 7.3 6.3 4.3 Wool prices, raw, clean basis, Boston: Good French combing and staple: Graded territory, fine Graded fleece, H blood Australian, 64s, warp and half-warp $ per lb do... do._. .664 1.157 .925 1.321 1.200 .962 1.270 62.63 33.0 .61 .61 1.05 1.31 878.5 106.7 544.0 116.2 74.8 126.6 1.225 1,400 428.2 2,190.1 mil. lb. do do... do..- 9.6 3.5 9.0 4.2 9.9 8.0 12.6 5.8 10.7 7.8 3 13.6 3 7.3 6.2 4.6 10.9 6.0 5.8 4.4 3 12.5 3 6.5 6.7 4.2 9.2 4.5 5.7 4.2 2 12.6 2 5.9 7.7 4.3 5.1 7.2 4.7 9.6 4.2 5.7 3.1 U0.9 2 5.0 5.6 3.6 '10.1 '3.7 6.4 4.3 1.270 1.025 1.230 1.275 1.025 1.289 1.350 1.043 1.500 1.455 1.165 1.672 1.635 1.310 1.771 1.650 1.325 1.975 1.880 1.545 2.523 2.325 1.819 3.118 3.025 2.075 3.968 2.338 1.462 2.955 2.335 1.375 3.093 2.575 1.600 <= 3.242 2.600 1.650 3.215 113.4 122.7 119.9 126.4 135.7 143.1 176.6 157.1 147.8 149.7 154.3 WOOL MANUFACTURES Knitting yarn, worsted, 2/20s-50s/56s, American system, wholesale price 1967=100. 94.4 106.3 107.8 108.2 111.5 , Wool broadwoven goods, exc. felts: Production (qtrly.) mil. lin. yd. 101.8 27.7 113.3 Price (wholesale), suiting, flannel, men's and boys', f.o.b. mill... 1967=100. r 2 3 Revised. * Season average. r o r 5 weeks; other months, 4 weeks. Less than 500 bales. * Price not directly comparable with earlier data. * Revised total; revisions not distributed by months. e Beginning Aug. 1971, net weight basis; 1971 average is for Aug.7 s 9 Dec. Avg. for Oct.-Dec. Avg. for Nov.-Dec. Season average based on sales through May. *New series. Effective with Aug. 1973 SURVEY, market price refers to Strict low middling (grade 41) staple cotton, lMe"; monthly prices back to 1947 are available. © Beginning 1,384 1,277 1.03 1.22 WOOL Wool consumption, mill (clean basis): Apparel class.._ _ Carpet class Wool imports, clean yield Duty-free (carpet class) _ .656 .802 .438 2 6.3 9.3 .464 30.4 52.1 22.2 26.6 5.3 28.5 Aug. 1971, prices are on 480-lb. net-weight bale basis (for earlier months, on 500-lb. grossweight bale basis); to compute comparable prices for earlier months, multiply farm price by 1.04167 and market price by 1.0438. f Effective with the Oct. 1972 SURVEY, series restated on an unadjusted basis. e 9 Includes data not shown separately. Corrected. 0* Effective Nov. 1972, specifications were changed: Print cloth, to 64x56; sheeting, to 47x44. SURVEY OF iCURRENT1 BUSINESS S-40 Unless otherwise stated in footnotes below, data through 1970 and descriptive notes are a s shown in the 1971 edition of BUSINESS STATISTICS 1971 1972 Annual August 1973 1973 1972 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 14,420 '15,747 16,237 20,354 17,805 17,875 22,267 1,392 17,089 1,485 756 1,332 18,744 1,589 1,492 20,864 1,722 858 1,571 20,648 1,677 740 1,751 16,614 1,753 737 364.6 '435.8 5,462 ' 7,121 205.0 325.2 599.6 7,698 314.2 Dec. Nov. Jan. July TEXTILE PRODUCTS—Continued APPAREL Hosiery, shipments __thous. doz. pairs-. Men's apparel, cuttings :J Tailored garments: Suits thous. units.. Coats (separate), dress and sport do Trousers (separate), dress and sport .do Shirrs (wovene), dress and sport thous. doz... Women's, misses', juniors' apparel, cuttings:}: Coats _ ___ thous. units.. Dresses _._ do Blouses and shirts thous. doz.. Sklrts do_... 210,872 21,497 19,726 23,058 20,613 22,044 20,223 16,477 13,972 183,738 20,795 858 1,833 16,084 2,020 1,732 921 13,044 1,250 1,663 1,585 15, 861 1,738 1,661 15, 703 1,756 1,631 1,335 13,945 1,556 1,660 1,313 14, 297 1,673 20,690 I 20,109 234,153 231,423 12,639 16,386 6,985 I 7,470 1,850 21,374 1,419 575 1,647 14,830 1,334 623 2,072 21, 661 1,630 1,896 18, 671 1,493 658 2,170 19,124 1,628 659 1,947 18, 272 1,329 491 228,723 1,418 14, 723 1,244 402 TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT AEROSPACE VEHICLES Orders, new (net), qtrly. total mil. $__ U.S. Government _ do Prime contract do Sales (net), receipts, or billings, qtrly. total.-do U.S. Government do 21,553 15,229 19,028 21,679 14,114 6,167 3,899 5,385 5,435 3,298 7,006 4,288 6,413 5,442 3,713 5,965 3,554 5,254 5,674 3,445 7,043 3,592 6,320 5,641 3,431 24,579 Backlog of orders, end of period 9 do 26,922 25,067 13,997 U.S. Government do 15,322 14,638 Aircraft (complete) and parts do 11,999 13,060 12,404 Engines (aircraft) and parts do 2,281 2,572 2,417 Missiles, space vehicle systems, engines, propulsion units, and parts.__ mil. $. 4,780 5,272 4,867 Other related operations (conversions, modifications), products, services mil. $.. 3,274 2,990 2,787 Aircraft (complete): Shipments 2,973.9 3,231.8 289.7 .do. A irframe weight ..thous. lb. 48, 818 47,694 4,316 Exports, commercial mil. $. 1,906.8 1,608.7 128.2 26,631 15,213 12,733 2,591 26,922 15,322 13,060 2,572 28,324 15,483 13,726 2,663 5,228 5,272 5,557 3,019 2,990 2,909 223.7 3,175 85.6 226.9 3,485 105.3 MOTOR VEHICLES Factory sales (from plants in U.S.), total Domestic . __ Passenger cars, total _._ Domestic Trucks and buses, total Domestic 532.3 505.1 411.9 393.6 120.3 111.4 552.4 516.5 398.5 371.0 153.9 145.5 23, 842 14,817 21,274 21,499 13,492 thous. 10,637.7 11,270.7 1,025.4 do L0,036.0 10,646.8 968.8 do 8,584.6 8,823.9 804.2 do 8,121.7 8,352.5 761.6 do 2,053.1 2,446.8 221.2 do 1,914.3 2,294.4 207.3 Retail sales, new passenger cars : Total, not seasonally adjusted thous.. DomesticsA do Imports A do Total, seasonally adjusted at annual rates...mil.. DomesticsA do ImportsA do.... Retail inventories, new cars (domestics), end of period :A Not seasonally adjusted-Ji thous.. Seasonally adjusted do 192.9 2,815 76.3 270.0 3,785 102.5 297.1 4,076 120.5 1,050.2 1,135.6 1,111.0 987.1 1,066.0 1,048.9 859.3 895.7 873.4 808.8 841.7 827.4 190.9 237.5 239.9 221.5 178.3 224.3 334.8 4,555 85.7 277.1 3,912 114.7 390.6 5,435 182.5 436.9 5,379 145.2 907.6 1,164.3 1,108.2 1,220.0 1,096.5 1,219.8 1,186.3 852.6 1, 107.3 1,053.1 1,143.1 1,021.5 1,140.4 1,122.5 855.1 940.9 921.3 844.0 706.0 941.2 900.5 815.5 880.1 873.3 786.6 666.2 882.8 859.8 253.2 278.9 265.0 252.5 201.6 278.7 263.8 237.7 260.3 249.2 234.8 186.3 260.3 247.5 10,250 8,681 1,568 10,949 9,327 1,622 1,026 877 149 10.4 8.9 1.6 904 769 135 11.4 9.8 1.6 813 656 157 11.1 9.3 1.7 879 741 138 11.9 10.2 1.6 1,069 932 137 11.2 9.6 1.6 1,032 891 141 11.6 9.8 1.8 848 719 128 11.1 9.2 1.9 876 736 140 12.1 10.2 1.9 920 775 146 12.3 10.3 2.0 1,143 964 179 13.0 11.0 2.0 1,024 863 162 12.4 10.5 1.9 1,145 173 12.5 10.7 1.8 1,086 909 177 11.6 9.7 1.9 1,447 1,590 1,311 1,454 1,751 1,540 1,393 1,373 1,263 1,488 1,300 1,485 1,288 1,492 1,313 1,473 1,311 1,454 1,528 1,535 1,649 1,563 1,652 1,493 1,654 1,480 1,648 1,452 1,708 1,523 2.1 1.7 1.9 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.9 19.51 18.39 8.68 19. 50 18.04 8.24 45.89 43.40 8.93 46.36 42.49 11.58 38.06 34.04 12.70 39.10 34.40 11.91 36.76 31.47 13.13 34.93 31.18 12.76 53.32 48.59 15.50 51.06 46.94 14.80 49.52 45.81 13.49 41.74 38.24 12.96 209. 70 153.95 89.72 47.36 26.34 13.06 11,745 10,132 7,362 6,746 170. 35 35.23 22.09 11,580 8,175 142.98 58.41 14.64 11,635 7,934 198.80 74.99 14.72 204.92 67.92 15.14 12,220 8,228 235.42 87.36 18.93 11,633 7,524 219.15 74.65 12.17 13,622 8,612 246.53 203.09 89.82 64.37 13.37 10.21 14,672 14,205 9,599 '8,950 251.29 98.25 19.59 14,541 9,222 232.73 91.01 15.40 8,900 229.71 86.87 22.84 11,140 7,476 2,895 3,442 3,444 3,208 3,550 3,385 3,748 -2,655 2,061 Inventory-sales ratio, new cars (domestics) A 2.1 2.0 ratio.. Exports (Bureau of the Census): Passenger cars (new), assembled thous.. 386.64 410. 25 348.40 376.23 To Canada do 100.04 Trucks and buses (new), assembled do 120.62 Imports (Bureau of the Census): Passenger cars (new), complete units do 2,587.48 2,485.90 From Canada, total do 802.28 842.30 Trucks and buses, complete units do 160.87 ^ 238.70 Truck trailers (complete), shipments number.. 103,784 141,143 65,785 95,281 Vans do Trailer bodies and chassis (detachable), sold separately number.. 18,509 33,664 Registrations (new vehicles):© Passenger cars thous.. «9,830.6 1610,409.0 Imports, incl. domestically sponsored do * I,487.6|i6i,516.2 Trucks do < 1,993.2 162,502.1 35.85 34.11 10.26 2,069 2,322 3,353 « 964.0 * 877. 2 * 947.8 6 823. 6 « 894.6 «926.3 6 970.5 «806.4 6 823.8 6 971.5 «942.8 * 133.0 * 124.8 * 156.9 6 140. 2 « 125.5 6 131.9 6 133.9 8 106.9 « 117.1 «145.1 5 133.8 * 238.2 « 213.0 « 215.5 6 184.7 6190. 2 6 235.0 8 251.0 5 193.8 «202.8 s 245.2 «246.5 972 1,035.9 61,040.8 «155.4 6159.3 «247.5 «274. 6 RAILROAD EQUIPMENT Freight cars (all railroads and private car lines): Shipments number.. 155,331 47,460 4,351 2,846 3,389 3,199 4,131 4,782 4,475 5,157 4,069 4,647 4,677 4,001 3,705 2,297 2,822 2,619 3,487 3,557 Equipment manufacturers do 4,536 4,191 3,830 4,414 41,971 4,912 3,766 4,390 148,014 5,923 2,932 5,112 5,357 5,095 3,316 New orders do 5,425 4,725 9,811 47,922 5,484 13,994 6,551 11,664 152,482 4,543 2,711 4,975 4,957 4,708 4,516 3,116 Equipment manufacturers do 5,084 8,661 42,323 5.433 13,894 6,121 10,964 i 46,913 Unfilled orders, end of period _ do... 22,221 21,244 16,936 17,027 18, 750 20,642 19,822 21,114 21,244 22,283 26,134 26,535 36,527 38,027 44,469 Equipment manufacturers do... 18,753 17,666 11,921 12,340 14,493 16,386 16,010 17,314 17,666 18,610 23,545 24,140 34,267 35,624 41,600 Freight cars (revenue), class 1 railroads (AAR):§ 1,426 1,413 1,426 1,424 1,424 1,412 1,402 Number owned, end of period _ -thous.. 1,422 1,411 1,409 1,408 1,411 1,409 1,403 1,407 6.2 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.0 5.9 Held for repairs, % of total owned 5.8 5.8 5.9 5.9 5.7 5.8 5.7 5.8 5.6 Capacity (carrying), aggregate, end of period 98.38 98.49 98.56 98.64 98.10 97.95 98.07 98.09 98.41 98.12 98.15 98.20 mil. tons— 97.14 98.08 68-97 69.09 69.19 69.44 Average per car ton: 69.27 69.35 69.61 69.97 69.64 69.74 68.29 69.53 69.53 69.83 r Revised. i Annual total includes revisions not distributed by months. 3 Estimate 9 Total includes backlog for nonrelated products and services and basic research. of production, not factory sales. 3 7Excludes 3 States. * Excludes 1 State. * Excludes ADomestics include U.S.-type cars produced in the United States and Canada; imports 4 States. « Excludes 2 States. Effective Feb. 1972, imports include trucks valued cover foreign-type cars and captive imports, and exclude domestics produced in Canada. less than $1,000 each. JRevisions appear in Census report, Men's and Women's Selected OCourtesy of R. L. Polk & Co.; republicaticn prohibited. Monthly Apparel Cuttings, 1970-72, Revised (MA-23A Supplement), Feb. 1973. Beginning (Excludes railroad-owned private refrigerator cars and private line cars. 1973, a new panel of items is planned for men's apparel- data are not presently available. INDEX TO CURRENT BUSINESS STATISTICS, Pages S1-S40 SECTIONS General: Business indicators Commodity prices Construction and real estate Domestic trade 1-7 7-9 9,10 11,12 Labor force, employment, and earnings Finance Foreign trade of the United States Transportation and communications 13-16 16-21 21-23 23,24 Industry: Chemicals and allied products Electric power and gas Food and kindred products; tobacco Leather and products 24,25 25,26 26-30 30 Lumber and products Metals and manufactures Petroleum, coal, and products Pulp, paper, and paper products 31 31-34 34-36 36,37 Rubber and rubber products Stone, clay, and glass products Textile products Transportation equipment 37 38 38-40 40 INDIVIDUAL SERIES Advertising 11,16 Aerospace vehicles 4,40 Agricultural loans 16 Air carrier operations 23 Air conditioners (room) 34 Aircraft and parts 6,7,40 Alcohol, denatured and ethyl 25 Alcoholic beverages 11,26 Aluminum 33 Apparel 1,3,4,8,9,11-15,40 Asphalt andtarproducts 35,36 Automobiles, etc 1,3-6,8,9,11,12,19,22,23,40 Balance of international payments 2,3 Banking 16,17 Barley 27 Battery shipments 34 Beef and veal 28 Beverages 8,11,22,23.26 Blast furnaces, steel works, etc 5-7 Bonds, outstanding, issued, prices, sales, yields 19,20 Brass and bronxe 33 Brick 38 Building and construction materials 4-7, 9,10,31,36,38 Building costs 10 Building permits 10 Business incorporations (new), failures 7 Business sales and inventories 5 Butter 26 Cattle and calves 28 Cement and concrete products 9,10,38 Cereal and bakery products 8 Chain-store sales, firms with 11 or more stores... 12 Cheese 26 Chemicals 4-6,8,13-15,19,22-25 Cigarettes and cigars 30 d a y products 9,38 Coal 4,8,22,34,35 Cocoa 23.29 Coffee 23,29 Coke 35 Combustion, atmosphere, heating equipment 34 Communication 2,20,24 Confectionery, sales 29 Construction: Contracts 10 Costs 10 Employment, unemployment, hours, earnings.. 13-15 Fixed investment, structures 1 Highways and roads 9,10 Housing starts 10 Materials output indexes 10 New construction put in place 9 Consumer credit 17,18 Consumer expenditures 1 Consumer goods output, index 3,4 Consumer price index 8 Copper 33 Cora 27 Cost of living (see Consumer price index) 8 Cotton, raw and manufactures 7,9,22,38,39 Cottonseed cake and meal and oil 30 Credit, short- and intermediate-term 17,18 Crops 3,7,27,30,38 Crude oil 4,35 Currency in circulation 19 Dairy products Debits, bank Debt, U.S. Government Department stores Deposits, bank Dishwashers Disputes, industrial Distilled spirits Dividend payments, rates, and yields Drug stores, sales 3,7,8,26,27 16 18 11,12 16,17,19 34 16 26 2,3,19-21 11,12 Earnings, weekly and hourly Eating and drinking places Eggs and poultry Electric power EUctricJ m.chta«y .nd ^ ^ X , ^ 15 11,12 3,7,8,28,29 4,8,25,26 „ . „ ^ 4-7. Electronic components 34 Employment estimates 13,14 Expenditures, U.S. Government 18 Explosives 25 Exports (see also individual commodities).... 1,2,21-23 Failures, industrial and commercial 7 Farm income, marketings, and prices 2,3,7,8 Farm wages 15 Fata and oils 8,22,23,29,30 Federal Government finance 18 Federal Reserve banks, condition of 16 Federal Reserve member banks 17 Fertilisers 8,25 Fire losses 10 Fish oils and fish 29 Flooring, hardwood 31 Flour, wheat 28 Food products 1,4-8,11-15,19,22,23,26-30 Foreclosures, real estate 10 Foreign trade (see also individual commod.) 21-23 Foundry equipment 34 Freight cars (equipment) 40 Fruits and vegetables 7,8 Fuel oil 35,36 Fuels 4,8,22.23,34-36 Furnaces 34 Furniture 4,8,11-15 Gas, output, prices, sales, revenues Gasoline Glass and products Glycerin Gold Grains and products Grocery stores Gross national product. Gross private domestic investment Gypsum and products 4,8,26 1,35 38 25 19 7,8,22,27,28 11,12 1 1 9,38 Hardware stores 11 Heating equipment 9,34 Hides and skins 9,30 Highways and roads 9,10 Hogs 28 Home electronic equipment 8 Home Loan banks, outstanding advances 10 Home mortgages 10 Hosiery 40 Hotels, and motor-hotels 24 Hours, average weekly 14 Housefurnisbings 1,4,8,11,12 Household appliances, radios, and television sets. 4, 8,11,34 Housing starts and permits 10 Imports (see also individual commodities)... 1,2,22,23 Income, personal 2,3 Income and employment tax receipts 18 Industrial production indexes: By industry 3,4 By market grouping 3,4 Installment credit 12,17,18 Instruments and related products 4-6,13-15 Insurance, life 18,19 Interest and money rates 17 Inventories, manufacturers* and trade 5,6,11,12 Inventory-sales ratios 5 Iron and steel 4-7,9,10,19,22,23,31,32 Labor Advertising index, stoppages, turnover IS Labor force 13 Lamb and mutton 28 Lard 28 Lead 33 Leather and products 4,9,13-15,30 life insurance 18,19 Linseed oil 30 Livestock 3,7,8,28 Loans, real estate, agricultural, bank, brokers* (see also Consumer credit) 10,16,17,18,20 Lubricants 35,36 Lumber and products. 4,9,10-15,19,31 Machine tools 34 Machinery 4-7,9,13-15,19,22,23,34 Mail order houses, sales 11 Man-hours, aggregate, and indexes 14,15 Mamnade fibers and manufactures 9,39 Manufacturers* sales (or shipments), inventories, orders 5-7 Manufacturing employment, unemployment, production workers, hours, man-hours, earnings... 13-15 Manufacturing production indexes 3,4 Margarine 29 Meat animals and meats 3,7,8,22,23,28 Medical and personal care 8 Metals 4-7,9,19,22,23,31-33 Milk 27 Mining and minerals 2-4,9,13-15,19 Monetary statistics 19 Money supply 19 Mortgage applications, loans, rates 10,16,17,18 Motor carriers 23,24 Motor vehicles 1,4-6,8,9,11,19,22,23,40 Motors and generators 34 National defense expenditures 1,18 National income and product 1,2 National parks, visits 24 Newsprint 23,37 New York Stock Exchange, selected data 20,21 Nonferrous metals 4,9,19,22,23,33 Noninstalhnent credit 18 Oats Oils and fats Orders, new and unfilled, manufactures* Ordnance 27 8,22,23,29.30 6,7 13-15 Paint and paint materials Paper and products and pulp 8,25 4-6, 9,13-15,19,23,36,37 Parity ratio 7 Passenger cars 1,3-6,8,9,11,12,19,22,23,40 Passports issued 24 Personal consumption expenditures 1 Personal income 2,3 Personal outlays 2 Petroleum and products 4-6, 8,11-15,19,22,23,35,36 Pig iron 31,32 Plant and equipment expenditures 2 Plastics and resin materials 25 Population 13 Pork 28 Poultry and eggs 3,7,8,28,29 Prices (see also individual commodities) 7-9 Printing and publishing 4,13-15 Private sector employment, hours, earnings 13-15 Profits, corporate 2,19 Public utilities 2-4,9,19-21,25,26 Pulp and pulpwood 36 Purchasing power of the dollar 9 Radio and television 4,11,34 Railroads 2,15,16,20,21,24,40 Ranges 34 Rayon and acetate 39 Real estate 10,17,18 Receipts, U.S. Government 18 Recreation 8 Refrigerators 34 Registration (new vehicles) 40 Rent (housing) 8 Retail trade 5,7,11-15,17 Rice 27 Roofing and siding, asphalt 36 Rubber and products (incl. plastics) 4-6, 9,13-15,23,37 Saving, personal 2 Savings deposits 17 Securities issued 19,20 Security markets 20,21 Services 1,8,13-15 Sheep and lambs 28 Shoes and other footwear 9,11,12,30 SUver 19 Soybean cake and meal and oil 30 Spindle activity, cotton 39 Steel (raw) and steel manufactures 22,23,31,32 Steel scrap 31 Stock market customer financing 20 Stock prices, earnings, sales, etc 20,21 Stone, clay, glass products 4-6,9,13-15,19,38 Sugar 23,29 Sulfur 25 Sulfuric acid 24 Superphosphate 25 Tea imports 29 Telephone and telegraph carriers 24 Television and radio 4,11,34 Textiles and products.... 4-6,9,13-15,19,22,23,38-40 Tin 33 Tires and inner tubes 9,11,12,37 Tobacco and manufactures 4-7,9,11,13-15,30 TrIIa^(!eteii'and'whoiesalej.'.!..'.'!.'.!.'.!!!! 1 5,11,12 Transit lines, local Transportation Transportation equipment Travel Truck trailers Trucks (industrial and other) 23 1,2,8,13,23,24 4-7,13-15,19,40 23,24 A f£ 34,40 Unemployment and insurance U.S. Government bonds U.S. Government Utilities IJ, J§ 16-18,20 finance 1§ 2-4,9,19-21,25,26 Vacuum cleaners Variety stores Vegetable oils Vegetables and fruits Veterans* benefits. Wages and salaries Washers and dryers Water heaters Wheat and wheat Wholesale price indexes Wholesale trade Wood pulp Wool and wool manufactures Zinc. ^4 • • !*• JJ 23,29,30 ?,? 16 flour * * 1? JJ JJ •••••• oo *\1 5,7,11,13-15 o ;g v dy » 33 UNITED STATES ;TON. D.C. 20402 Recent Staff Papers from the Bureau of Economic Analysis Input-Output Analysis as a Predictive Tool. A comparison of projections of industry outputs obtained by 1-0 and various other methods. Price $3.00 in paper, $1.45 in microfiche. Accession No. COM 73-10146. Size Distribution of Family Personal Income: Methodology and Estimates for 1964. Prepares the foundation for a new BEA series. Price $3.00 in paper, $1.45 in microfiche. Accession No. COM 73-10976. The BEA Quarterly Econometric Model. Describes the model, consisting of 63 stochastic equations, designed to analyze the impact of alternative macroeconomic policies and to serve as a forecasting instrument. Price $3.00 in paper, $1.45 in microfiche. Accession No. COM 73-11114. Order by title and accession number from: National Technical Information Service Springfield, Virginia 22151