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f FOR RELEASE ON DELIVERY 10:00 A.M. EDT OCTOBER 19, 1993 Statement by Wayne D. Angell Member, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before the Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs U.S. House of Representatives October 19, 1993 Mr. Chairman and members of the Committee, I appreciate this opportunity to give you my views on the accountability of monetary policy. As I have indicated previously in correspondence with you, my perspective is of one who throughout his career as an elected and appointed official has been in favor of opening government proceedings to the public and the press. Our democracy demands that the actions of its government be conducted "in the sunshine" to the greatest extent possible to ensure that the process of public policy formulation is appropriate and equitable; it also demands that government agencies adopt the very best policies. there is a trade-off between these two objectives. In some cases, As my statement will explain, I believe the current legislative requirements for monetary policy accountability and the Federal Reserve's current policies regarding the provision of monetary policy information strike a reasonable balance between these objectives. Monetary policy is best formulated within a framework that provides an appropriate degree of insulation from day-to-day political pressures while requiring full accountability. The Congress gave the Federal Reserve some insulation, for example, by establishing long terms for members of the Board of Governors and by exempting the budget of the Federal Reserve System from Congressional appropriations of funds. But at the same time, the Congress has provided for full accountability of monetary policy. As you know, the Board of Governors is required to report to the Congress on its monetary policy plans and objectives twice each year. In hearings before this Committee and the corresponding body in the Senate, the Chairman of the Board presents testimony on the monetary policy report and responds fully to your questions on monetary policy. Federal Reserve - 2 - policymakers also testify as requested before this and other Congressional Committees about monetary policy and other matters of interest, including a detailed accounting of our expenditures. Beyond the statutory requirements, the Federal Reserve provides significant additional information to the public about the conduct of monetary policy. In particular, the Federal Open Market Committee publishes minutes of each of its meetings. These minutes summarize fully the discussion and indicate the attendance at the meetings. They show the results of all recorded votes, including statements that explain dissenting votes. Significant decisions taken by the FOMC should always be made on the basis of recorded votes--in accord with an important principle of accountability. Each member of the Committee is afforded an opportunity to participate in the preparation of the minutes so that no individual or shared views are omitted. In my view, the minutes present an accurate account of each FOMC meeting. With regard to the timeliness of the release of such minutes, as you know they are published shortly after the following Committee meeting. It seems to me that such a lag is appropriate. The immediate release of information on the Committee's plans for contingencies could increase market volatility, particularly in circumstances when the contingencies do not eventuate. Such volatility is unnecessary, and could be especially counterproductive if concerns about possible volatility deterred some members of the Federal Open Market Committee from discussing such contingencies or drove them to relying on implicit or behind-the-scenes understandings. On balance, the market and the public are better served by more detail and more openness with delayed publication as compared with the -3- realistic earlier alternative of less s p e c i f i c i t y that w o u l d likely accompany publication. Similarly, I b e l i e v e that p r o v i s i o n s in t h e F e d e r a l R e s e r v e S y s t e m A c c o u n t a b i l i t y Act (H.R. 28) that would videotapes of C o m m i t t e e m e e t i n g s w o u l d h a v e d e l e t e r i o u s or t r a n s c r i p t s consequences. In any r e q u i r e r e l e a s e of s e t t i n g , t h e r e c o g n i t i o n that one's remarks will be r e p o r t e d v e r b a t i m w i l l d a m p e n p a r t i c i p a t i o n of m o s t m e m b e r s in the discussion. would In the context of m o n e t a r y p o l i c y , such p r o v i s i o n s likely cause m a n y p o l i c y m a k e r s to be m u c h less w i l l i n g to c o n j e c t u r e about f u t u r e e c o n o m i c and f i n a n c i a l d e v e l o p m e n t s , to e x p l o r e alternative policies, or to c h a l l e n g e o t h e r s ' v i e w s . Under those c o n d i t i o n s , d i s c u s s i o n s d u r i n g F O M C m e e t i n g s are l e s s l i k e l y to lead to a p p r o p r i a t e m e m b e r s to policy decisions. The w i l l i n g n e s s explore verbally what may seem to be low p r o b a b i l i t y m a y be the b e g i n n i n g of a n e w p e r s p e c t i v e that w a t c h i n g and continued debate. For t h e s e H.R. events elicits more careful The p r o c e s s of d e v e l o p i n g a c o n s e n s u s v i e w t h r o u g h an open c o n t r a r i a n f o r u m is e s s e n t i a l is to lead toward m o n e t a r y of i n d i v i d u a l if m o n e t a r y p o l i c y stability. reasons, I b e l i e v e that t h e relevant provisions of 28 w o u l d do l i t t l e to m a k e the m o n e t a r y p o l i c y p r o c e s s m o r e transparent and, u n f o r t u n a t e l y , w o u l d monetary policy less e f f e c t i v e . do m u c h to m a k e the c o n d u c t In m y v i e w , r e g a r d i n g d i s c l o s u r e are on the right r e v i e w of a l t e r n a t i v e p o l i c i e s w h i l e our c u r r e n t t r a c k : T h e y permit of procedures a careful a l l o w i n g the C o n g r e s s and the public to a n a l y z e both the p r o c e s s by w h i c h our d e c i s i o n s are reached and t h e i r r e s u l t s . In a d d i t i o n to s o l i c i t i n g m y c o m m e n t s on t h e a c c o u n t a b i l i t y of m o n e t a r y p o l i c y , y o u also FOMC m e e t i n g s and asked about n o t e s or r e c o r d s r e g a r d i n g about p r e m a t u r e r e l e a s e of i n f o r m a t i o n p e r t a i n i n g to - 4 - the d i s c u s s i o n at such m e e t i n g s . It has b e e n m y p r a c t i c e to t a k e s k e t c h y n o t e s d u r i n g t h e c o u r s e of F O M C m e e t i n g s ; the n o t e s are kept, solely for m y own use, Federal Reserve. in a locked file Others may cabinet in m y o f f i c e at the also t a k e n o t e s , but I h a v e no information r e g a r d i n g the l o c a t i o n and d i s p o s i t i o n , others will answer your question themselves. a w a r e of t h e e x i s t e n c e of rough t r a n s c r i p t s writing a dissenting statement. a v a i l a b l e to m e a t r a n s c r i p t from the p r e v i o u s m e e t i n g . The I became of t h e m e e t i n g s w h e n and only m y statements, regard to p r e m a t u r e d i s c l o s u r e of I have b e e n t r o u b l e d a p p e a r a n c e in the p r e s s of i n f o r m a t i o n that serves to give c r e d e n c e to c o n j e c t u r e and t h e r e b y d a m a g e s F e d e r a l R e s e r v e credibility. I have no k n o w l e d g e as to the source of such information. T h a n k y o u a g a i n for the o p p o r t u n i t y to t e s t i f y on t h i s important subject. I was s e c r e t a r y of the F O M C m a d e c o n f i d e n t i a l F O M C i n f o r m a t i o n , over the y e a r s the I a s s u m e the Some y e a r s ago of m y s t a t e m e n t s , With and by