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I The following address, rrLegislation Facing Banking Today, " by W. Braddock Hickrnan, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, is to be delivered at 9:30 a.rn. Monday, Novernber 16, 1964, before tt,e 7 Oth annual conven- tion of The Kentucky Bankers Association at the Brown Hotel 1n Louisville, Kentucky. For release Monday P. M, rs and af-ter, Novernber I6, 1964. -zI would like to use this occasion to discuss with you rny thoughts about sorne rnajor issues in banking legislation. Although 1964 was a year in which very few banking laws were put on the books, sorne people, including rny friend, Joe Barr, the Chairrnan of the FDIC, believe that we are on the threshold of a period of sweeping legislative changes. I arn less willing to go on record about Mr. Barr, partly because I donrt know the answer, and this than partly because of the well- known reluctance of central bankers to forecast the future in public. Nevertheless, it is tirnely to take a look at sorne irnportant bills affecting banking that are under consideration and that will certainly be discussed fully during the next session of the Congress, whether they are enacted or not" But before looking ahead, let's look back at the nìeager accornplishrnents in the field of banking tegislation in L964" It has been weII said that to understand the future \Ã/e rnust know the past. To the best of rny knowledge, of the lnany banking bills introduced in the 88th Congress, only four of significance were passed. One pertained to the liberalization of bank loans on forest tracts, â second to the disclosure of financial inforrnation to stockholders, a third to rnoderately rnore liberal lending lirnits on real estate loans under the Housing Act, and a fourth, to notification regarding significant changes in bank ownership. These actions were hardly earth shaking; as one not-too-original cornrnentator observed, they caII to rnind rrA rnountain laboring to bring forth a rnouse. " rnore -3'Why was so little accornplished in the field of banking legislation in 1964? Basically, I think the reason was the general conviction of the rnajority of the people that our econornic systern and the financial institutions supporting it were working pretty well" There were, of course, disagreernents within Congress on a nurnber of rnajor iterns, as weII as between interested financial agencies and among various pressure groups. But so far as the public was concerned, the area of agreernent was large, and the areas of disagreernent correspondingly srnall" No one single point of view carried sufficient weight in the popular rnind to bring about irnportant Iegislative changes" It would be a rnistake, however, to judge the irnportance of the issues facing banking today by the rneager legislative accornplishrnents of the recent past. Sorne very fundarnental issues rernain very rnuch alive in the rninds of sorne very irnportant people. Bankers, above all others, should be farniliar with good ideas that are in the public interest, as weII as bad ideas against which all of us should be prepared to take a stand. It seerns to rne that there are four areas in which legislation will be considered in 1965. The first and rnost irnportant one has to do with the structure of the Federal Reserve Systern, and I shall return to this later, The second has to do with sections of the Federal Reserve Act having to do with the discounting of eligible papero a subject that could becorne critical in the event of a liquidity squeeze orl banks. A third irnportant area has to do with the organízation of bank supervision at the federal leveI" A fourth area has to do with legislation that, while not specifi- cally banking legislation, should be of rnajor interest to bankers. I refer specifically to the Interest Equalization Tax, which was passed by the Congress last Septernber, and which wiII corne up for consideration again in rnore I965" 1M'" -4- Braddock Hickrnan Let us look first at the Interest Equalization Tax, which was intended to help irnprove the U. S. balance of payrnents by reducing the outflow of U. S. capital to foreign countries. In effect, the legislation levies a tax on the sale of foreign securities to Arnericans, rnaking it Tnore costly for other nations to borrow capital funds in this country. As originally drafted, the legislation did not affect banks or bank 1oans, but an arnendrnent--known as the Gore Arnendrnent-was added less than a rnonth before final passage. This arnendrnent gives the President standby po\ñ/ers to extend the coverage of the tax to include bank terrn loans to foreigners, specifically, loans rnaturing in rnore than one year, if it appears that such Ioans are becorning excessive. Under the Interest Equalization Tax legislation banks are requíred to report detailed inforrnation about current loan cornrnitrnents to foreigners. Such reports currently are being filed with the various Federal Reserve banks, and are transrnitted by us to the Treasury filore for evaluation. -5- According to recent official pronouncernents, it seerns likely that the Interest E,qlaalization Tax will be renewed alter its presently scheduled terrnination in Decernber I965, and it is at least conceivable that the tax could be extended to terrn loans rnade by banks on a cornpulsory rather than a standby basis" Let rne say that I arn personally disturbed over both of these possibilities--the possible renewing of the Interest Equalizatton Tax and the possible inclusion of bank term lending" The tax serves as an artificial constraint upon the flow of capital throughout the worId, and is alrnost bound to bring forth a spate of retaliatory rneasures by other nations, such as irnport quotas and tariff s, export subsidies and the like. If the rationale of the tax is to bring interest rates here and abroad into closer alignrnent, so as to better balance capital flows, there is a better way to accornplish the sarne result. SpecificaIIy, we could adjust the rnovernent of capital funds by the use of open rnarket operations--by influencing the availability of credit and interest rates. This, as yorl know, is the task of the Federal Reserve Systern and of rnonetary policy, and could be accornplished in a free rnarket with- out artificial restraints or hindrances. I believe bankers should express thernselves forcefully on this subject when the Interest Egualization Tax is brought up in the Congress next yeat. rnore -6- \M, Braddock Hickrnan Let us turn now to the rnatter of bank supervision and the choice between centralized or decentralized authority. ,{s you know, at present the responsibility for exarnination and supervision of cornrnercial banks is shared by three federal agencies, and the state banking departrnents. The Cornptroller of the Currency supervises national banks; with the cooperation of state authorities, the Federal Reserve Systern supervises state rnernber banks, and the FDIC, insured state nonrnernber banks. This tripartite arrangernent has rnany advantages and has worked well in the past, Recently, however, conflicts and controversies have ernerged arnong the federal agencies, reflecting a general lack of cooperation, principally between the Cornptroller of the Currency and the Federal Reserve Systern. I will not enurnerate the various points of controvêrslr since this would take up all of rny tirne and then sorne. The irnportant point is that these controversies all focus attention on a single fundarnental issue. That issue is whether centralized control over all banks would be better for banking and for the general public than our present decentralized systern, The bill introduced by Congressrnan Multer (and fathered by Governor J, L. Robertson of the Federal Reserve Board) would place in a single agency all phases of bank supervision that are now distributed arnong the three federal agencies. Proponents of the bill argue that such consolidation would do away with disagreernents in applying rules and regulations to banks and thereby elirninate inconsistencies at the federal level, which is true so far as it goes. Proponents of the bili also contend that a r-lnified agency would relieve the Board of Governors of an onerous burden and allow the Systern to devote so far as it its full tirne to rnonetary policy, which is also true goes. rnore 'W. Braddock Hickrnan -7- Despite these advantages, I arn not convinced that the unified agency approach is in the public interest. It wouLd in effect elirninate the dual banking systern as \Me know it and place rnonolithic power in the hands of a srnall board or a single individual" The unified approach rnight work well under one individual or board, and rnight be disastrous under another" In any event, I arn always uneasy about great concentrations of power" Besides opening the way for possible rnisuses of power, the unified agency approach rnay sacrifice certain advantages in the present setup. For one thing, the burden of bank supervision borne by the Federal Reserve is not an unrnixed blessing" Because we supervise banks, as well as forrnulate rnonetary policy, \Ã/e are in a good position to observe the irnpact of rnonetary policy on the banking systern, and this we need to do to be effective" In addition, the unified agency rnay not have all the advantages clairned for it. Centralized bank supervision would not necessarily irnprove the quality of supervision, even though it rnight elirninate sotne inconsistencies, It seerns doubtful that such an approach would autornatically provide better solutions to such cornplex problerns as bank chartering, rrtergers, branching, and deposit insurance. I suspect that under the unified systern, the sarne technicians would be pr:ocessing these rnatters in rnuch the sarne way as they are today, but without the present checks and balances. rnore -8- IM. Braddock Hickrnan The fundarnental issue under our present decentralized systern is whether rnen of good wiII can reach reasonably consistent positions on rnatters having do with bank regulation. If the regulatory authorities fall out and issue conflicting regulations, the banking systern to arnong thernselves will be divided into splinter groups and will lose out in the cornpetitive struggle with rnore rationally supervised financial institutions. I believe that the present systern can be rnade to work, as in the past, by the restoration of a spirit of cooperation anlong the regulatory agencies. Turning now to the rnatter of eligible paper, lort rnay recall that bills were introduced last year by Congressrnan Clarence Kilburn and Senator'W-illis Robertson to liberalíze tlne regulations in the Federal Reserve Act dealing with rnernber bank assets that can be pledged as collatexal when borrowing at the discount window" Thus far there has been no action on either bill. The Federal Reserve Systern has taken a strong position on the need for this Iegislation and has recornrnended favorable action by the Congress. Interestingly enough, the Cornptrollerrs office has taken a position sirnilar to that of the Board of Governors, altho.ugh the two agencies would probably prefer sornewhat different versions of the final legislation. rnore -9- lM. Braddock Hickrnan The bill that has been introduced would help the Federal Reserve rnake discounts and advances on the basis of sound collateral without irnposing a penalty rnerely because the collateral did not rneet the archaic requirernents of rreligible paperrr as defined in the Federal Reserve Act. A change of this type would acknowledge the changes that have taken place in both banking and the econorny at large since the I'eligibilityrr requirernents were first written into the original Act in 1913, 'We need a rnore flexible credit rnechanisrn than is provided by current provisions that allow banks to borrow at the discount rate only if they use rreligible paperrr or Governrnent securities. 'W'hen rnernber banks use other collateral, they are subject to a penalty rate set I l2 percent above the discount rate. I rnight note that the 'religible paperrr requirernent represents a historical hangover frorn the old "real billsrr doctrine, with which I arn sure rnany of you are farniliar. The doctrine holds that banks should discount only short-terrn, self-liquidating paper, used to finance the production and distribution of physical goods" The present provisions exclude as collateral rnost of the assets now held by banks, except at a penalty rate. lTtO re - 10- \M. Braddock Hickrnan It is not surprisingtlnat rnost rnernber banks, as and the Federal Reserve banks well, prefer U. S. Governrnent securities as collateral for purposes of borrowing at the discount window, since that procedure involves less adrninistrative detail and is sirnpler and less expensive, Thus, as long as banks have enough U. S, Govern- rnents on hand, there is no problern under the present Act. But as you know, the proportion of such securities held in bank portfolios has declined steadily since 'World'War II. At the end of 1945, for exarnple, cornrnercial banks had about SIZS $91 billion in loans and investrnents, of which U. S. Governrnents arnounted to billion, or 73 percent. By the end of 1963, Governrnents held by banks had shrunk to fi62 billion, and accounted for only 25 percent of total earning assets. Further reductions in holdings of Governrnents, which could easily corne about for both supply and dernand reasons, would encourage banks to offer other collateral to obtain Federal Reserve credit. Ultirnately, this could create serious adrninistrative problerns. It is thus prudent to act now, when the situation is not pressing. The Federal Reserve banks should be given the authority to allow rnernber banks to borrow on any satisfactory collateral, subject to such requirernents as the Board of Governors rnight wish to spe1l out in Regulation A. By so doing, the Federal Reserve would be better able to rneet the needs of a dynarnic banking systern and a growing economy. 1Ve should provide appropriate credit to rnernber banks, when warranted, and thus help banks to rneet the legitirnate credit dernands of businesses, consurners, and the general econorrty. rr¡.ore -Il- W. Braddock Hickrnan Now a word or two about recent proposals that would alter the structure and independence of the Federal Reserve Systern. As background, I think it is irnportant to point out that the Federal Reserve is always interested in legislation that would irnprove its effectiveness, whether the legislation would alter its structure or would provide it with new or irnproved tools for efficient operation. This is evident frorn our support of legislation designed to broaden the eiigible paper provisions of the Federal Reserve Act. 'What is of the utrnost irnportance for aII of us to realize is that there are people in this country who do not want an independent, regional , nonpartisan Federal Reserve Systern. These individuals--including sonìe Congressrnen, lnany acadernic economists, and vocal spokesrnen for powerful pressure groups--would like to reorganíze our central banking systern and place it directly under the Executive Branch of the Governrnent. The nature of the changes considered cornes out clearly frorn a report entitledrrProposals for knprovernent of the Federal Reserve Systern,rr that was released this surnrner by the rnajority rnernbers of the Subcornrnittee on Dornestic Finance of the House Banking and Currency Cornrnittee. The Subcornrnittee indicated that it intended to consider a nurnber of proposals in public hearings when the next Congress convenes in January. The principal proposals of the Subcornrnittee include the following: t. Retire the stock of the Federal Reserve banks. z" Elirninate the Federal Open Market Cornrnittee, and invest all power to conduct open rnarket operations in the Federal Reserve Board. 3" Reduce the nurnber of Governors on the Board to terrns to five years. rrrore five and shorten their -rz- W. Braddock Hickrnan 4. Make the terrn of the Chairrnan coterrninous with that of the President. 5. Provide for public audit of all expenditures of the Systern. 6. Provide that all incorne of the Systern be channeled into the Treasury and 7. all expenditures be authorized by Congressional appropriation. Require that the President in his annual econornic reports set forth rrguidelines'r concerning rnonetary policy, and express the sense of the Congress that the Federal Reserve operate in the open rnarket so as to achieve these guidelines. B. Transfer the present bank supervisory functions of the Federal Reserve Systern to the Cornptroller of the Curr€ncl, the FDIC, or a newly forrned Federal banking authority. This is a watered-down version of proposals originally rnade by the Chairrnan of the House Banking and Currency Cornrnittee, and we rnight take heart frorn this fact. On the other hand, the entire Iist of proposals received the enthusiastic support of one of 'Washingtonrs most influential newspapers. In addition, one of New York's leading newspapers, which favors the retention of the Federal Open Market Cornrnittee and the regional structure of the Systern, endorsed the public audit proposal and the elirnination of the capital stock. rnore \M. Braddock Hickrnan - t3- Things have been relatively quiet in recent weeks insofar as the dialogue about the tr'ed is concerned. Much of this can probably be explained by the exciternent of the election carnpaign, and the need of rnany legislators to turn their ternporary attention to other rnatters--including the irnportant rnatter of being reelected. But this is only a lull in the storrn. The reconvening of the Congress in January will bring forth a resurgence of interest in the structure and organizatíor: of the Federal Reserve Systern. The Chairrnan of the House Banking and Currency Cornrnittee has prornised us rnore investigations, rnore hearings, and rnore discussion--sorne of which could be inforrnative and fruitful. In closing I should like to say that, despite rnuch discussion to the contrary, I do not believe the Federal Reserve Systern \Ã/ay will be changed in any fundarnental over the foreseeable future. If the public really wanted change, this would have been reflected in the platforrns of our two rnajor political parties. Instead, both platforrns were silent on the structure of our rnonetary system. Yet, silence on this rnatter does not necessarily irnply approval. V/hile the Fed is notrron the spotrr at the rnornent, the public should be apprised of the fact that persistent rnaneuvering is going on to bring about fundarnental changes in the Systern. rnore Vf -14- " Braddock Hickrnan 'Where does aII of this corne out? Changes will corne about, in rny opinion, only if the Systern rnakes a serious blunder, or if the Systern fails to act in a responsive, judicious and prudent rnanner. Stripped down to the fundarnentals, the Federal Reserve rnust be responsive to the goals of the Arnerican þeople. This rrì.eans that the Federal Reserve rnust provide all the credit needed for balanced and sustainable econorrric growth, but Iead to price it rnust not provide so rnuch credit as would inflation, deterioration in credit quality, and a worsening of our balance of payrnents position. Recognition of the appropriate role of the Federal Reserve was clearly revealed in a staternent by President Johnson, just before the election. Mr" Johnson pointed out that, if there is restraint by labor and industry ín wage and price dernands and if govêrnrnent holds the line on spending, there is no reason why we should not have the rrrnonetary expansion essential to econornic growth. " The President went on to say, however, that I'if inflation occurs, or if excessive outflows of funds occur, the Federal Reserve Systern is in a position to do what is necessary"'l Doing what is necessary has never been an easy task--in fact, it taxes the resouïces of the Federal Reserve Systern to the utrnost, But so long as we perforrn to the best of our ability in the public interest, I believe we will continue to have the support of the rnajority of the people.