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•r J v i O V M a * ^ v LIBRARY ; J xv STATEMENT ON THE DEFENSE PRODUCTION ^he Defense Production Act of 1950 w o u l d carry ° u t the steps toward ACT larger prime contracts. OF 1950* It can also m a k e practical economic preparedness rec- the a w a r d i n g of more G o v e r n m e n t contracts, re- ommended by the President in his message of July q u i r i n g unusually large w o r k i n g capital or expan- the Congress. Because of the responsibilities "Uch the Congress has placed ,n upon the sion Board credit a n d monetary area, we are especially "^crested in those provisions of the bill relating a m a , re, therefore, addressing this statement % to the reasons w h y pri- financing, these concerns <e such be able to defense to production. formance of G o v e r n m e n t contracts, the mechanism with a promptness which we believe that these tion 301 of OF the DEFENSE under usual is not always possible procedures. T h e loan guarantee proved to be an eminently bill would private LOANS authorize the to the V-loan program operated by the Federal serve System d u r i n g W o r l d W a r I I . credit for facilitating production under G o v e r n m e n t contracts d u r i n g W o r l d W a r II. j r e s 'dent to reinstitute a guarantee program simi,,r contribution not successful means of encouraging the extension of GUARANTEE Sec would relatively Without can serve to expedite the c o n s u m m a t i o n of loans the broad legislation needed to meet the present p facilities, directly to medium-size concerns. Finally, where great speed is essential in the per- P r °visions should be promptly enacted as a part Nation. plant and m a k e a full guarantee of defense production loans and the regulation of consumer and real estate credit. Wc in small and guarantee V-loan program program of that referred period—the The so-called to earlier—was set up under Executive O r d e r of the President in M a r c h T h e pro- 1942. U n d e r that program, loans for war produc- P°sed program w o u l d be confined to the guarantee tion I y the national defense procurement agencies of through the agency of the Federal Reserve System. ° a n s made by banks and other financial T h e twelve regional Federal institu- te to contractors to finance the production of dense materials needed by the U n i t e d States in the Present emergency. Se lo d with T h i s program is not to be con- various proposals advanced in post- years for the peacetime guarantee of business an s j financing problems of contractors engaged defense production, particularly where they are s tnall and medium-size, are u n i q u e in character. iC ' 0 a n guarantee mechanism here proposed proes cts 1Uc e n an effective solution of these problems. for essential defense materials often larger financing Conrequire by contractors than able to c o m m a n d ^tices. the Armed Services Reserve Banks twenty-four branches, w i t h experienced and close daily contacts with financial and personnel institutions, afforded an already existing and well-adapted organization available for m a k i n g such guarantees to contractors throughout promptly the country. under ordinary by the to the Hoard of Governors Committee on Representatives, July 25, of Hanking Urr Fv, e n c y o f t h e S e n a t e , a n d read In' G o v e r n o r _l()i' «rK .• . ,, 1S t o t.il c ' Committee on Hanking and Currency "f proved for both large and small, 10.5 billion dollars were ap- guarantees by the Armed Services the a m o u n t of these guarantees were on loans to is essential for p r o m p t performance on the presented contractors, a m o u n t i n g to about Over 90 per cent of the n u m b e r and one-third of larly those w h o do not themselves have direct Reserve System D u r i n g the course of the V-loan program, bank loans to war partici- J 0 v ^ " n r h e n t contracts but whose work as subcon- n<| of the program. financing It can m a k e possible m a x i m u m * c ' (|lc, j. ^ i i u n t coordinating agency in the administration through the agency of the Federal Reserve System. • e Government's defense production program, par- lsc by they j^tion by n u m e r o u s smaller business enterprises in a guaranteed T h e Board of Ciovernors in W a s h i n g t o n acted as the 11 y- were R. 1950. M. i the small medium-size businesses; that is, busi- N o t w i t h s t a n d i n g the great volume of loans handled, the program Treasury was self-supporting; from the program receipts of the exceeded expenses and losses by 23 million dollars by the end of 1949. W i t h o u t tin.* program, the production of war materials w o u l d have required more G o v e r n m e n t financing through direct lending a n d other means. PREPRINTED FEDERAL RESERVE FOR and nesses with total assets of less than 5 million dollars. AUGUST FROM BULLETIN 1950 STATEMENT ON THE DEFENSE For the reasons indicated, the Board feels that the program of guaranteed loans which would be PRODUCTION ACT OF 19 5 0 neces- effort, including the materials and manpower sary to expand our total productive capacity. in authorized by Section 301 of the bill would con- T h e present international situation not only stitute an essential part of any plan for expediting creases greatly the Government's demand for th e deliveries under defense production contracts. goods and services of our economy, but at the same the President should Federal see fit again Reserve System for If to utilize the this loan guarantee time accelerates private demand. ' These two addi- tional factors of demand are imposed on a condi- program, the Board and the Federal Reserve Banks tion of already very high demand, employment, and would immediately direct their facilities toward its prices, vigorous North Koreans on June 25, prices were rising an" and expeditious the experience gained administration. by the System With under the we liven before the attack by the C o m m u n i s were in a potentially inflationary situation- with Because of developments of the past few weeks, 11 personnel both at the Board and at the regional is imperative that steps be taken to reduce or dt'fer Reserve Banks who participated civilian demands and V-loan program d u r i n g W o r l d War II and in the previous operations, it would be possible to develop and put into efTect within a very short time the new program of guaranteed loans contemplated by this bill. T h e state of public psychology has already stiff' ulated consumer buying and the accumulation In the week ending July I 1 business inventories. REGULATION OK C O N S U M E R AND R E A L ESTATE CREDIT Section 401 of the bill authorizes the President to regulate consumer and real estate credit. Under department store sales rose to a level 24 per cep^ above a year ago, with increases ranging from per cent in the R i c h m o n d District to 39 per ce"' such authority m i n i m u m down payments on pur- in the Dallas District. chases, m a x i m u m houses have risen to record levels. maturities, and other standards appropriate to limit credit extension could be prescribed. Section 402 of the bill would strengthen pi"eS' to lessen inflationary sures. Sales of automobiles an' Prices of 28 basic commodities, which had rise" 7 per cent from January 3 of this year to June 23advanced ing programs in the housing field when the na- Korea—1() per cent in one month. tional modity index of wholesale prices, which had ri^'1 interest so requires. We regard these as important provisions of the proposed legislation. Consumer credit regulations were administered sharply after the invasion of Sou''1 the President's authority to curtail Federal financ- The all-con1 4 per cent by June 20, has since jumped 3 per c^1'1 further. Consumer prices began to rise in Maf c by the Board of Governors from September 1941 and recently the advance has been further acce' through October 1947 and again from September erated. 1 Such t lt any other time, except for a short period i' 1948 through June 1949. regulations as might be necessary in the real estate credit field under Section 401 would have ,lt Consumer prices are now higher than ' latter part of 1948. vV Unless prompt action is taken, the country ' to be designed to meet the special needs of this face serious problems of gray markets and spifi1 area. ing prices. They would have the general purpose of Not only would this situation Upsel supporting and supplementing the President's pro- our economic balance but it would add to the <J'| gram of cutting back on Federally guaranteed and faculty in procuring the manpower and insured mortgage credit. necessary for the military effort. Authority for restrictions on consumer and real estate credit should be provided lor use to the O n e of the major private demand materia factors in the expansion is the growth of mortgage :l,lt extent necessary as an essential part of the program consumer credit. for conserving resources for defense and on the accompanying chart, consumer credit I1'1 ing the economy against inflation. would help to prevent current and protect- Since the end of 1945, as sho^ This authority been increasing by about 3 billion dollars a Ve*,r' potential de- The increase in the past 12 months was 3.5 bill'0'1 m a n d from exceeding supply in the areas affected. dollars and Accordingly, it would help to reduce inflationary largest increase on record for that pressure upon prices in these areas. It would help was before the Korean crisis precipitated the ()rt" to make materials and more cnt buying spree. available for the manpower national defense and readily military in May was about 500 million, ^ month. T h e most important segment of total consul STATEMENT CONSUMER CREDIT ON THE DEFENSE PRODUCTION ACT NONFARM OUTSTANDING OF 19 50 MORTGAGE DEBT BL IUOWS OF DOLLARS Cr edit is instalment credit, especially for the pur- chase of durable goods. D u r i n g the past year in- stalment credit rose nearly 3 billion dollars and C o u n t e d for 83 per cent of the increase in total c °nsunier credit. The role which instalment Cre dit has been playing in the growth of demand ls illustrated not only in the amount of the ex- tension but also by the relaxation u NEW LOANS MADE 1940 in the terms 'ider which such credit is extended. 1945 1950 *AHNUAL RATE ros JAN.JUNC Reports of declines in the required d o w n payment are wide- to the growth of bank deposits. spread and the average period of repayment has of both consumer instalment paper and mortgage en holdings gthcned progressively. paper are rising rapidly and are thus adding to the I he current record rate of residential construc- total supply of money which is already so large t'cin Cr Hank involves edit which the greatest the country increase has ever in in relation to current output as to provide a con- mortgage experienced. stant inflationary threat. Restriction of consumer 'Ionic mortgages made by all lenders in the first and mortgage credit, therefore, would help to keep of 1950 amounted to about 6.5 billion dollars within bounds the quantity of money and other °r annual rate of 13 billion dollars, as shown on The net increase in mortgage debt outstanding clu liquid assets in the hands of the public. In normal times consumer and mortgage credit accompanying chart. " n g the first half of 1950 ( after regular amorti- play a very important and desirable role in our economic system. W i t h o u t such credit widespread sation and other repayments) was about 3 billion home ownership and mass distribution of durable hilars, bringing the total outstanding on June 30 goods would not have been possible. ,0 production about 40 billion. T h e home mortgage debt of country has more than doubled since the end of tr, sustain If our mass its expansive of mortgage and consumer financing. Expansion of consumer and mortgage credit con- However, in order that such financing may be of W e s not only to the current demand for labor greatest value it is important that it be used most aru c is to character in normal times, we will need to have expansion the war. economy ' materials that go into housing and durable °nsumer goods, but also augments the demand tor other goods. The purchasing power created h V consumer and mortgage credit enters the income Str ^ m where it adds to the competition for goods " e l u d i n g materials vital to the national Growth of consumer and defense. mortgage credit in- c a s e s the volume of money and other liquid assets, ^ p a n s i o n of bank loans for such purposes adds [3] fully when industry is in a position to meet the demands created. When cupied to capacity and industry important is already ocresources must be diverted to the defense effort, the creation of new credit can not increase the general availability of goods. O n the contrary it contributes to infla- tion and economic disorganization. If mortgage and consumer credit is appropriately limited now it will be in a better position to play a necessary a e STATEMENT ON THE and desirable role whenever adequate DEFENSE productive PRODUCTION ACT OF 19 5 0 sociations took an active part in acquainting busi- capacity is once more available to meet freely con- nessmen and the public with credit regulations, and sumer demands. they cooperated to the fullest in helping to assemble Regulation of consumer credit should and can be flexible. needed T h e previous regulations were tailored technical information. Large and small institutions responded generously to oUr financing to fit prevailing conditions, with coverage and terms requests suited to changing circumstances. Federal supervisory authorities also gave us val- T o illustrate, in the fall of 1941 the regulation applied only to in- the like. When country entered the war the regulation With the was en- should be enlisted to design a regulation, similarly flexible and adapted to the changing economic situ- instalment, single payment, and charge account credit. ation. After The commercial banks play a strategic role the war, late in 1946, the scope of the regulation was made even more limited than when originally the real estate credit market. it was such credit will applied. effects on genthe Federal Rc" The need to strengthen our economic defenses ministration of consumer credit regulation as well program. which serve System is primarily interested. System operations proved well adapted to the ad V-loan guarantee in 111 A n y regulation of have significant eral credit conditions T h e decentralized character of Federal Reserve as to the practicable approach. T h e full co- operation of leaders in the mortgage financing field It covered practically all consumer durable and soft goods and State and respect to real estate credit, there should be an equally larged in scope in keeping with the general mobilization which took place. advice. work. sumer durable goods of substantial unit cost—autorefrigerators, and and uable assistance d u r i n g the course of their regular stalment credit relating for the most part to conmobiles, for information is no less than the need to strengthen our military Through our twelve Federal Reserve Banks and twenty-four defenses. branches, located in every region of the country, our economy by leaving it unduly exposed to the we were able to tap quickly and effectively the inflationary informed opinions of small as well as large busi- pressures that defense expenditures. ness. In W e can not afford to risk are inherent disrupting in large Prompt action is imperative. A s the President said in his message on the present our experience with the administration of situation: " W e must be sure to take the steps that consumer credit regulation, the business community are necessary now, or we shall surely be r e q u i r e d gave us excellent cooperation. to take m u c h more drastic steps later o n . " Various trade as- [ 4 J