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0 J^C.CAUt'fìi' |i>SU£S /M An address by L. William Seidman, Chairman Federai Deposit Insurance Corporati Washington, D.C. \ X Before the NATIONAL COUNCIL MANAGEMENT CONFERENCE ; / New York, New York, y ) December IO, 1985 ^ Current Issues I am pleased and honored*to address the National Council Management Conference. Our meeting today is fortunate 'for me. my way through the wide range of industry. As a new kid on the block, I am working issues confronting the financial Regardless of the type of charter your institution may hold, or whether we are regulators or regúlateos, we share a common goal: sound and prosperous financial system. services a stable, Being here gives me an early opportuni ty to hear some of your views about how that goal can be achieved. I would like to take a random walk through some current issues in the thrift industry. Items include: (2) Massachusetts (I) the certificate Insurance conversion; program (3) Funds' mergers past and future; (4) risk-related premiums and capital; and (3) business plans and FDIC. I. The Certificate Program. This audience scarcely needs to be reminded that thrift had too many tough years. institutions Ironically, many of the industry's problems devel oped as a result of our Nation's long-standing commitment to housing. this commitment was and sions for the thrift supply of mortgage is funds, interest rates, laudable, industry. lend long and borrow short. deposit have the it had adverse repercus To ensure that there would be an adequate public As in practice While policy consciously encouraged thrifts to long as there was only minimal pressure on industry's underlying maturity mismatch problem - could be Ignored. However, 2* during the late 1970s, the results of a poorly managed economy were manifested in a high inflation rate and rising interest rate levels. When these pressures resulted in rising deposit interest rates, the magnitude of the industry's problems became a painful reality. The trauma faced by the thrift industry beginning in the late 1970s was respon sible to a great extent for a significant number of legislative initiatives, including deposit interest rate deregulation, a wider array of permissible investments available to many thrift institutions and the net worth certificate program mandated in the Garn-St Germain Act of 1982. Initially, the FDIC opposed the net worth certificate provisions of Garn-St Germain on the grounds that the program would provide no "real" capital to troubled thrifts, institutions. and would Because of limit these its flexibility reservations, in dealing with savings banks failing participating in the program were required to enter into an agreement with the FDIC regarding periodic preparation and submission of meaningful business plans, on growth and a commitment to actively seek sources. To Voluntary Assisted willingness provide to an incentive to recapitalize, Merger consider recapitalization Program ("VAMP"), whereby the FDIC the FDIC providing substantive assistance to limitations from outside, instituted a expressed a facilitate the merger or acquisition of a participating savings bank. Under the theory that things always continue in the same direction, the FDIC's initial fears may have proved to be well founded. However, as usual, events -3- were to the contrary. Since Garn-St Germain, the interest rate climate gener ally has been favorable, with the most recent rate decreases bringing virtually all FDIC-insured significance thrifts is the have not observed above the responsibility savings banks break-even exhibited level. Of by management; attempting to recoup past perhaps greater generally, we losses by means of excessive growth or by upgrading asset returns by getting into high-risk ventures. And, at the risk of praising my predecessor, the FDIC's policies in the areas of capital adequacy and asset quality may have played some role. In today's Interest rate environment, thrift institutions have become a more attractive investment. Over the past few thrifts have been acquired, ass isted basis. months, some of our most troubled some with FDIC assistance and others on a non We currently are evaluating a number of other proposals. A common thread that runs through both the completed transactions and the current proposals normal capital is some degree of forbearance with respect to the FDIC's requirements. While we recognize that It Is unrealistic to require meeting these requirements immediately, we are uneasy about allowing an institution to further returns to the investors. leverage an already thin capital base to increase We believe that future asset growth should be adequately capitalized. In past transactions, capital levels and phase-in periods have been negotiated on an individual be handled. consistency basis. However, is the This may always be the way matters will this has hobgoblin of led to some degree of small minds, we would inconsistency. have to While like to develop an -4- appropriate policy to deal with these issues in a consistent manner. we hope to have a policy in place to guide potential for future savings bank acquisitions, we will While investors and ourselves continue in the interim to deal with sales and mergers on a case-by-case basis. 2. Massachusetts Conversion. Another in development concerns the Massachusetts. Until deposit recently, insurance status of savings banks deposits in many Massachusetts mutual savings banks had been fully insured by the Mutual Savings Central Fund (MSCF), an independent agency created by the State. record during its more than 50 years in private and state deposit MSCF had compiled a distinguished in operation. Insurors nearly has been destroyed by problems of State funds in Nebraska, Ohio and Maryland. Massachusetts earlier this to apply federal deposit for But public confidence year took the step Responding to this situation, of requiring savings banks insurance through the FDIC and F S U C . MSCF would continue to insure deposits over $100,000. To facilitate the new liquidating. insurance plan, MSCF is in the process of partially It has committed to provide necessary funds to* enable those banks applying to the FDIC to meet FDIC capital standards. Because Massachu setts law essentially prohibits MSCF from donating funds to any of the banks, it was necesssary to develop a capital assistance plan to get around that roadblock. Under the plan that was worked out between MSCF and the FDIC, MSCF will provide -5- capltal meet assistance to MSCF member FDIC capital issue Mutual to MSCF. standards. Capital banks In return Certificates (MCCs) applying to the FDIC that do not for this and/or assistance, banks Subordinated Notes would ("SNs") For its part, the FDIC has agreed to count funds obtained through MCCs as primary capital and funds obtained through SNs as secondary capital. The proposed MCCs are patterned after the instrument authorized by the Monetary Control Bank Act of Board. 1980 Terms for of institutions SNs were supervised by the Federal designed to meet the Home Loan definition contained in FDIC regulations. Applications for FDIC insurance have been approved for 81 Massachusetts savings banks. To date, about 13 capital assistance agreements have been entered into and capital conditions have been satisfied. In the time remaining, I would like to touch on two issues that are of interest to all financial institutions, regardless of the type of charter they holds the first relates to the merger of the deposit insurance funds; the second relates to risk-related premiums. 3. The Insurance Funds* Merger, Faced with a seemingly ability to survive. impossible task, the FSLIC has shown It has had to support a massive industry restructuring. In dealing with the problems caused by credit risk, some irresponsible managements, a remarkable the FSLIC has interest rate risk, and at times shown boldness and - imaglnation despite Its 6- limited personnel than one occasion the FDIC has borrowed and financial resources. On more ideas from some of the solutions forged by FSLIC to treat ailing thrifts. According to retiring head of the Fund Peter Stearns, the S&L Fund has serious financial troubles. FSLIC will addressed He says that it is inescapable that at some point the require assistance. is The fundamental question that needs to be from what source the necessary fundswill be supplied. There are three alternatives, none of which represents an easy choice. One alternative is to raise the funds from the S&L industry itself, in which case the principal with this rather burden would painful fall alternative, on the at stronger institutions. least some of those Faced Institutions might elect to shift charters to avoid a special assessment. A second alternative Is to recapitalize the FSLIC Fund through federal tax dollars. As an It would be like to * operate Independent certainly would be a step Insurer, with I don't want to speculate about congressionally appropriated funds. in the wrong direction in my opinion — give the government rights which I would hope could be what It it would left to the private sector. A third alternative — months — one which has received considerable press Is to merge the two deposit insurance funds. in recent Frankly, we already have plenty to do at the FDIC, but we certainly want to do what we can to -7- be helpful. I am sure a merger is the wrong approach for insuring finan cial institutions that undertake minimal commercial loan-making activities. As far as the FDIC is concerned, we shall we can be under the circumstances. be ready to be of whatever aid If Congress decides we should take addi tional actions to be of assistance, we will be prepared to do so. 4. Risk-Related Premiums and Capital. The aversion of policy makers to come to grips with difficult choices extends beyond the problems confronting the FSLIC. hensive reform To date, the enactment of compre legislation has proved to be an elusive goal. is any guide, we may have to settle for a piecemeal eventuality, enactment of legislation authorizing the If the past approach. In such an FDIC to implement a risk-related premium system would rank high on our "wish list." For some time, the FDIC has felt that the present flat-rate deposit insurance premium system has unfairly subsidized riskier banks at the expense of the better managed a proposed institutions. To this end, we recently sent out for comment risk-related premium system applicable to commercial banks. We think that what the FDIC is proposing represents a workable system that can be improved as we all gain further experience in this area. The FDIC has not made any proposal relating to a risk-related premium structure for FDIC-insured thrift a proposal, institutions. Before we are able to formulate such we must come to grips with the realities of the situation — - the problems facing many thrifts 8- (low capital levels, excessive interest rate risk and earnings insufficient to recapitalize within a reasonable time frame) exist and cannot easily be resolved in a short period of time. While we have not resolved many of the relevant issues, the FDIC in the near future likely will propose a risk-related premium system for thrifts not dissimilar to the commercial bank proposal. However, implementation may be phased in over time, in much the same manner as the FDIC has applied capital regulations to the thrift industry. At this point, it may be relating to commercial objective statistical informative to briefly banks. model, review the FDIC proposal Under this proposal, the FDIC would use an based solely on Call Report data, to classify banks as having either normal- or above-normal risk. In terms of determining which of the above-normal risk group does or does not get a full assessment credit, we will distinguish between those banks having composite CAMEL ratings of I or 2 and those which are rated 3, 4 or 5. The latter group — those banks rated as above-normal risk and rated 3, 4 or 5 —— will receive no assess ment credit. While banks having a composite CAMEL rating of I or 2 and which are rated as above-normal risk by the statistical test will receive the rebate, they will be immediately subject to analysts are satisfied that the bank stop there. it will will additional financial is indeed a If our I or 2, the process will If the analyst finds significant areas of weakness In the bank, be promptly scheduled for an FDIC examination. be available review. before the next risk-related These exam results assessment cycle begins so -9- that these banks will lose their rebate In that next cycle in the event their CAMEL rating is lowered below a I or 2 and they fail the statistical test. As I indicated earlier, the risk-related premium likely will parallel this general framework. system for thrifts most In fact, we could include savings banks in our statistical model and apply a uniform system to all FDIC-insured institutions. However, the risks presently Inherent in the thrift industry are somewhat different than in commercial banks. Specifically, the commercial bank system does not Include a measure of interest rate risk which, we believe, should be part of a system applied to thrift to collect Information with the Call to measure savings Report for year-end 1985. institutions. banks' risk begin exposure beginning Unlike some proponents, the FDIC does not view a risk-based premium system to be a panacea — improvement over the status quo. We will just a substantial It would be less arbitrary and considerably more fair than the current system. It would provide a significant, though not overwhelming, financial Incentive for banks to avoid excessive risk-taking and to correct their problems promptly. Perhaps as important. It would send a strong signal to a problem bank's management and board of directors. Another suggestion for regulatory change requirements. premiums. are not other Some have posed this It seems to me there mutually deals risk-based with capital exclusive. capital One idea as a substitute for risk-based is no reason to take this position; deals requirements requirements Is a system of risk-based capital plan with of bases insurance depository an premiums while institutions. individual bank's they the The capital - standard on the type of deemed to entail greater activities 10- that the risk would require bank undertakes. larger capital Activities reserves while investment in low risk, highly liquid assets would need little or no capital. It should be recognized that the agencies already employ risk-based capital standards. The federal banking agencies have for the first time in history adopted a uniform minimum capital standard for banks of all sizes. standard Is applicable only to well-run banks. problems, weak earnings, a high growth rate or poor management, The minimum Banks with above-normal excessive loan interest rate exposure, sizeable off-balance-sheet exposure are required to meet a higher capital standard on a case-by-case basis. Proponents of risk-based capital requirements note that It has special merit in that manner It weighs ex ante riskiness in a bank's operation. in which risk-based capital requirements would operate are not clear at this point. It seems to me its usefulness will depend on how and what kind of assets are classified for risk. of the However, the other usefulness regulators is the on ability risk of We shall be studying the suggestions capital the very regulators carefully. to The key to judge risk by its asset classification. 5. Savings Banks' Business Plans. An issue is the in your FOIC's increase capital industry which has recently been receiving some attention request for business plans from savings over time to meet minimum standards. banks Many designed to have objected 11 to the FDIC request because it, in effect, requires an institution to automatically admit to operating in an unsound manner if it does not achieve the capital objection. goals Our set goal forth was to in its assure plan. that This is institutions progress in achieving their stated business objectives. an understandable would make real We have to work with you to achieve this objective while avoiding requesting institutions to make unwarranted admissions against their interests. We will be working with your counsel on new language which will be satisfactory to all parties. This to be is a good example of how important flexible where possible, by the regulated, while, maintaining the safety, promoted. So, I look open and we will listen. and it is for a regulatory agency to listen to the positions expressed at the same time, assuring that the mission of stability and economic forward success of the system is to hearing your views. Our door will be