The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
Search Site Home > Newsroom > St. Louis Fed's Bullard: Fed is the Nation's "Best Chance" for Avoiding Future Financial Crises 2/23/2010 RICHMOND, Va.—In remarks today to the CFA Virginia Society in Richmond, Va., St. Louis Fed President James Bullard provided an overview of the origins of the nancial crisis and explained why most of the regulatory reform proposals under debate in Washington will not be adequate for preventing future crises. In his presentation, “Will Regulatory Reform Prevent Future Crises,” Bullard called for a strengthened Fed with “appropriately broad regulatory authority to provide the nation with the best chance of avoiding a future crisis.” Bullard said the nancial crisis revealed that large nancial institutions worldwide are indeed “too big to fail.” He added, “We can let large nancial rms fail suddenly, but then global panic ensues. Any reform proposals have to face this fact.” At the same time, he noted that “Smaller banks did not cause the crisis and do not need to be re-regulated. Current regulation works well for the thousands of smaller banks in the U.S. The system features deposit insurance plus prudential regulation. It allows failure, but prevents bank runs and the panic associated with them.” The Fed had detailed knowledge only of part of the nancial landscape: that for which it had supervisory authority. “Yet, all eyes turned to the Fed as the lender-of-last-resort. This always happens in a crisis—only the central bank can play the lender-of-last-resort role,” Bullard said. The Reform Proposals Since “the Fed will also be at the center of all future crises because of its lender of last resort role, the reform response should be to provide the Fed direct access to detailed information across the entire nancial landscape—not less, as is the focus of current policy discussions,” Bullard said. “Only a few of the current nancial regulatory reform proposals are likely to help prevent future crises.” Bullard summarized several of the reform proposals now under discussion, including the following: Financial Services Oversight Council (FSOC) The proposed interagency FSOC would monitor systemic risks posed to the nancial system, while the Federal Reserve would serve as an agent of the FSOC. “Would this prevent a future crisis? I think the evidence is far from clear,” Bullard said. “It seems like it would be di cult for an interagency Council to come to agreement on a speci c risk and an associated action when times are good. In crises, decisions need to be made quickly, not subjected to long committee debates. It is also possible to overreact by shutting down a particular practice that, in reality, does not pose a systemic risk.” He added, “The Fed would be better at navigating this type of decision-making, which occurs commonly in monetary policy. The Fed is also more politically independent than such a council could be." Expanded FDIC Receivership Authority In the House bill, the FDIC would be granted expanded authority to put systemically important rms into receivership. “This reform goes in the direction of strengthening market incentives. A resolution regime is a way of putting market discipline on very large nancial rms—we could allow failure without creating panic,” Bullard said. “The fear of failure would then prevent the rms from taking excessive risks and from being able to borrow at low rates. Would this prevent a future crisis? It might.” He said that his main concern with this aspect of the bill is how credible the regime would be and how much global cooperation could be expected. “If it is not credible and the government is going to come in after all, then it is useless,” he said. “‘Funeral plans’ for the rm in the event of failure do not strike me as credible.” Limited 13(3) Lending Authority Another portion of the bill involves restrictions on Section 13(3) of the Federal Reserve Act, which allows the Fed to lend to any individual, partnership or corporation in “unusual and exigent circumstances.” “In the House bill, signi cant restrictions are placed on Fed lending to non-banks under the ‘unusual and exigent circumstances’ clause,” Bullard said. “Would this prevent a future crisis? No. This will probably exacerbate a future crisis.” With such a potential restriction, “a future Fed facing a crisis will be more likely to say that it does not have the authority to act, letting the crisis roll on,” he added. The Consumer Financial Protection Agency In addition, the House bill creates a separate Consumer Financial Protection Agency (CFPA) with rule-writing authority for all banks and non-banks that extend consumer credit. “Would this prevent a future crisis? I don’t think so,” Bullard explained. “A fair playing eld is certainly desirable in all consumer products. But the housing boom was a classic gold rush: most people bought houses because they thought the prices would keep rising. A CFPA would not have changed the gold rush dynamic.” Creditor Haircuts Finally, the House bill would potentially require secured creditors to take a 10 percent haircut if the government has to step in and take over a failing rm. “Would this prevent a future crisis? Probably not,” Bullard said. “However, this provision does go in the direction of enhancing market discipline. Creditors would have greater incentives to understand and analyze risk at large nancial rms.” However, Bullard questioned why creditor exposure should be limited to just 10 percent, citing “lots of evidence that money-at-risk is available.” He said the moral hazard created by implicit or explicit government credit insurance is a problem. ### GENERAL Home About Us Bank Supervision Careers Community Development Economic Education Events Inside the Economy Museum Newsroom On the Economy Blog Open Vault Blog OUR DISTRICT Little Rock Branch Louisville Branch Memphis Branch Agricultural Finance Monitor Housing Market Conditions SELECTED PUBLICATIONS Bridges Economic Synopses Housing Market Perspectives In the Balance Page One Economics The Quarterly Debt Monitor Review Regional Economist ST. LOUIS FED PRESIDENT James Bullard's Website INITIATIVES Center for Household Financial Stability Dialogue with the Fed Federal Banking Regulations FOMC Speak In Plain English - Making Sense of the Federal Reserve Timely Topics Podcasts and Videos DATA AND INFORMATION SERVICES CASSIDI® FRASER® FRED® FRED® Blog GeoFRED® IDEAS FOLLOW THE FED Twitter Facebook YouTube Google Plus Email Subscriptions RSS CONTACT US | LEGAL INFORMATION | PRIVACY NOTICE & POLICY | FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM ONLINE
@FedFRASER