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St. Louis Fed's Bullard Discusses the Outlook for the U.S. Economy
and Monetary Policy
8/19/2010
ROGERS, Ark. – St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Thursday that while the U.S.
macroeconomic outlook has been downgraded, continued expansion is the most likely
course going forward. He noted that should economic developments suggest
increased disin ation risk, purchases of Treasury securities in excess of those required
to keep the size of the balance sheet constant may be warranted.
In his presentation, “The State of the U.S. Economy and Monetary Policy,” given at a Fed
Exchange conference held in Rogers, Ark., Bullard said that core in ation is at low, but
still manageable levels, and that any additional quantitative easing undertaken by the
FOMC should be a disciplined reaction to further disin ation risks. “Large, sudden
purchases rarely are optimal,” he said. “ ‘Shock and awe’ is almost never a good way to
proceed.”
“Policy actions should be commensurate with the risks that the economy faces. A
series of smaller policy actions can add up to a large action, but only if incoming data
suggest that as the appropriate course,” he said. “Purchase size should be in proportion
to the size of any deterioration in the outlook.” A key goal of the program should be to
keep core in ation in the U.S. from falling close to levels observed in Japan.
Bullard said that the European sovereign debt crisis has abated somewhat, but remains
a factor in the global economic mix.

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