Full text of Roundup : November 1983
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DALLAS Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas November 1983 Boykin Speaks on Economic Outlook “The past has demonstrated rather clearly that we have not been able to achieve a sustained, ongoing recovery without suffering accelerating rates of inflation,” stated Robert H. Boykin, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, in a luncheon address to the Corpus Christi business community and news media on October 20. The luncheon followed a meeting held by the board of directors of the San An tonio branch of the Dallas Fed. Boykin traced acceleration of the rate of inflation from the mid-1960s when economic growth began to slow, unemployment increased and interest rates rose to levels not experienced in a post-war period. The detrimental, long-term effects of these conditions caused the Federal Reserve to institute a more restrictive policy beginning in late 1979, he said. “The payoff is that the rate of infla tion has been cut to one-fourth its former rate of increase,” Boykin con tinued. “ Now economic recovery is underway.” The consensus forecast, Boykin said, is that the substantial increase in economic activity will drop off in the last quarter of 1983 and will continue to fall in 1984 to the four to five percent range—a modest and sustainable rate of growth. Under this forecast, the rate of inflation should stay fairly low, he said, as will both long-term and short term interest rates. “This is the economic outlook that I hold and hope will materialize,” he asserted. £ a: g z g Boykin acknowledged another school of thought which represents a sharp division of opinion in the forecasting community—that the rate of growth in economic activity will con tinue at the present rapid and unsus tainable rate, rekindling a rise in infla tion and interest rates. “The controversy, for the most part, surrounds monetary policy and whether or not to take the recent, rapid rates of growth in money at face value,” he explained. “ It is our conclu sion within the Federal Reserve System that this rapid growth does not represent the inflationary threat that the raw numbers suggest.” To achieve economic recovery with out inflation, Boykin stressed the need for a balanced monetary and fiscal policy, the reduction of large budget deficits and the resolution of problems in the international financial arena. “ I feel we have laid a solid founda tion for non-inflationary growth,” he concluded . “ T h is is a ra th e r remarkable achievement, in my view, given the fact that we started with a highly inflated, poorly performing economy just a short time ago.” In honor of his visit to Corpus Christi, Boykin was presented a key to the city by Mayor Pro Tern Betty Turner. INSIDE • Securities Prices • Reserve Requirements • IRA, Keogh Accounts New Securities Fee Schedules in Effect in which they are deposited for collection. Definitive securities safekeeping consists of vault storage, primarily of municipal and corporate securities. Noncash c o lle c tio n provides a payments mechanism designed to col lect items—such as maturing bonds, debentures or coupons—that cannot be processed through normal check collection channels. fees based on the number of receipts or issues held in an account also is part of the revisions. The changes to the noncash collec tion service include adding an out-of district component to the coupon col lection fee and converting the bond collection charge from a per-item to a per-transaction fee. The out-of-district fee is a surcharge for coupons payable outside of the Federal Reserve district New fee schedules became effective October 27 for definitive securities safekeeping and noncash collection services. The revisions to the definitive securities safekeeping service include e lim in a tin g fees fo r acco unt sw itches —tra n sfe rrin g d e fin itive securities from one account to another—and for bond redemption. A differentiation in account maintenance New Securities and Noncash Collection Prices DEFINITIVE SAFEKEEPING M a in te n a n c e (per re c e ip t, per a c c o u n t) D e p o s its (per tra n s a c tio n ) W ith d ra w a ls (per tra n s a c tio n ) 1 -4 0 0 $10.00 $10.00 $2.75 400 + $2.50 P u rc h a s e s and S a le s (per tra n s a c tio n ) $26.50 NONCASH COLLECTION B o nd C o lle c tio n (per tra n s a c tio n ) $15.00 L o c a l C o upon (per e n ve lo p e ) $2.10 In te r d is tr ic t C o up on (p e r e n ve lo p e) $2.55 P o s ta g e and In s u ra n c e (p er $1,000 c o u p o n v a lu e ) $1.00 Advisory Committee Discusses Automation The future of electronic payments and on-line computer communications were central topics of discussion when the Advisory Committee of Financial Institutions met at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas October 13. The advisory committee meeting began with an overview of the Eleventh District economy by Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Robert H. Boykin. Afterward, Dallas Fed opera tions personnel informed members of the committee of current develop ments in the areas of check proces sing, wire transfer, automated clear inghouse, securities, noncash collec tion and cash processing. Assistant Vice President Robert L. Whitman discussed current Federal Reserve Board proposals to enhance the ACH service and provide additional benefits for financial institutions. These proposals include the possibil ity of modifying the ACH service so it might serve as a mechanism to facil itate the interbank clearing and settle ment of electronic payments. Another proposal concerns the initiation of same-day funds availability for ACH transactions which especially would benefit institutions in exchanging debit card transactions. Vice President Jack A. Clymer pro vided committee members an update on the Dallas Fed’s RESPONSE com munications network which led to a general discussion on the future ap plications of personal computers in banking operations. The 17-member Advisory Committee of Financial Institutions is composed of representatives from commercial banks, savings and loan associations, and credit unions. Board of Governors Modifies Reserve Requirements on Deposits The Federal Reserve Board has modified Regulation D—Reserve Requirements of Depository Institu tions. Effective October 6, nonper sonal time deposits with original maturities of one and one-half years or more have no required reserves. Nonpersonal time deposits with original maturities of less than one and one-half years will continue to have a three percent reserve requirement. Previously, nonpersonal time deposits with original maturities of two and one-half years or more had no reserve requirement. The Board of Governors amended Regulation D in connection with action by the Depository Institutions Deregula tion Committee freeing most time deposits from interest rate ceilings effective October 1. IRA and Keogh Accounts Growth of IRAs and Keogh Accounts BILLION DOLLARS Significant Growth in Deposits Since 1982 Deposits in individual retirement ac counts and Keogh plans have grown significantly since the beginning of 1982. At that time a 1981 law became effective which relaxed eligibility restrictions for both types of accounts, making them accessible to a greater number of people. This law—the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981—made changes to IRAs and Keogh plans such as raising the limits on funds invested by single and mar ried investors and permitting people covered by other pension plans to hold these types of accounts. The graph ac companying this article illustrates growth since the act went into effect and shows that, as of August 1983, deposits in these accounts still are increasing. The appeal of these accounts comes from the tax advantages they provide. Funds deposited in IRAs and Keogh plans are subject to federal income taxes only when withdrawn. In addi tion, since funds deposited are sub tracted from yearly income, federal taxes are reduced on current income. Keogh plans first were allowed by a law authored by Congressman Eugene James Keogh in 1962. The law allows a self-employed individual to deduct an nually a certain amount of earned in come for investment and defer the tax on it as well as on the interest the ac count earns until retirement. The Economic Recovery Tax Act increased the actual limit on deductions from $7,500 to the lesser of $15,000 or 15 percent of net earnings. IRAs first were offered in 1974 to in dividual employees who are not covered by a company pension plan. Effective January 1, 1982, the law was expanded to allow individuals, even if ■ J F M A M J 1982 §§§ 1983 already covered by an employer’s retirement plan, to open an IRA. Any employed person under 70 Va years of age is eligible to open an IRA and deduct contributions to it from federal income taxes. If an employee is covered by an employer’s pension plan, the full benefits of an IRA still are available. A self-employed individual can have an IRA in addition to a Keogh plan. Employees also can have a Keogh account if they earn additional income from self-employment, such as fees from freelance or consulting work. IRAs are only for individuals who earn income. A person who has only in terest or dividend income cannot con tribute to an IRA. As of January 1,1982, a person can contribute the lesser of 100 percent of earnings or $2,000 per year. If married and both people are working, each wage earner can con tribute a total of $2,000 to separate IRAs. If one spouse does not work, a total of $2,250 can be placed in an IRA. In both cases, an IRA is set up for each person individually. This amount does not have to be divided evenly between the accounts, but no more than $2,000 J A S O N D * 1983 ESTIMATED may go in one account. There were three types of IRAs originally established. These were ac counts at financial institutions, an nuities offered by insurance com panies and retirement bonds issued by the Treasury. The latter category was discontinued in April 1982. Accounts established as IRAs must be ad ministered as trust deposit accounts by financial institutions or other o rg a n iza tio n s approved by the Treasury. When IRAs first were introduced, few restrictions were placed on the types of assets in which a financial in stitution could invest IRA funds. However, money in IRAs cannot be used to purchase life insurance or collectibles such as art or antiques. Although IRAs are treated as trust ac counts, individual investors do have in put into allocation of funds among eligible assets. Recent rulings now have expanded the types of accounts available for use as IRAs and Keogh accounts, giving them more flexibility and the potential to earn higher rates of return (see box). New Accounts Opened to IRA Funds S ta rtin g Decem ber 1, the minimum required balance of $2,500 on money market deposit accounts, super NOW accounts, and seven- to 31-day tim e deposits w ill be eliminated for accounts designated by customers as IRAs or Keogh ac counts. The rules approved by the Depository Institutions Deregula tion Committee are designed to in crease the flexibility of investment instruments available to IRA and Keogh customers. The $2,500 minimum previously had excluded use of these accounts as IRAs, which have a $2,000 limit per year on funds invested. Under the new rul ing, depositors will be able to earn market rates of return on their ac counts if invested in one of these three deregulated accounts. Dallas Fed Hosts FHLB Reception The Dallas Fed recently held a reception to honor the Federal Home Loan Bank of Dallas, which opened operations in Las Colinas August 26. In attendance were Federal Home Loan Bank officers and directors, executives from the savings and loan industry, and of ficers and directors of the Dallas Fed. The bank, which acts as head quarters for the ninth district of the Federal Home Loan Bank System, previously had been located in Little Rock, Arkansas. The move was undertaken in part because of Dallas’ role as a technological center and transportation hub. The ninth district is made up of the states of Texas, New Mexico, Arkan sas, Louisiana and Mississippi. In attendance at the FHLB reception were (from left to right) Dallas Fed President Robert H. Boykin, FHLB President Joseph E. Settle, FHLB Chairman of the Board Robert D. Mettlen and Dallas Fed First Vice President William H. Wallace.