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BUSINESS CONDITIONS Monthly Review of Agriculture, Industry, Trade and Finance Released for Publication in Afternoon Papers of September 30,1941 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. TTiy'TTwn vJ JlNJLJLJtLfJLr STATES SAVINGS BONDS JRL J&m* dBms/mem LOUIS D E F E N S E SA V IN G S BO N D S B y C lar ence M . S tew art Cashier and Secretary of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, recently appointed Liaison Officer to cooperate with the State Organizations of the Defense Savings Staff in the Eighth Federal Reserve District. To help finance A m erica’s great defense efforts and to m aintain our internal economic stability, the T reasury D epartm ent placed three types of Defense Savings Bonds on sale to the public on May 1 of this year. They are known as Series E, Series F, and Series G Bonds. Series F and G Bonds may be purchased upon application to a Federal Reserve Bank or the T reasurer of the U nited States. Bank ing institutions generally may subm it applications for account of custom ers. Series E Bonds may be purchased from banks, post offices, and other quali fied agencies, as well as from the Federal Reserve Bank and its branches. From the beginning of M ay through the third week in September, about $1,500,000,000 of Defense Savings Bonds and Stam ps were sold in the nation. Through Septem ber 23, sales of Defense Savings Bonds of all series (E, F, and G) by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and other qualified issu ing agents (other than post offi'ces) in the E ighth Federal Reserve D istrict am ounted to $67,442,000. Of this total the St. Louis reserve bank sold $46,511,000 Series F and G Bonds and $3,333,000 Series E Bonds. D uring the period there were $17,033,000 Series F and G Bonds sold in St. Louis and vicin ity alone. There were 945 qualified issuing agents (other than post offices) in the E ighth D istrict for Series E Bonds. These included 862 banks, 72 build ing and loan and savings and loan associations, and 11 credit unions. T he num ber of banks qualified as issuing agents represents more than 57 per cent of all banks in the D istrict and is increasing daily. Series E Bonds can be bought at cost prices from $18.75 up to $750, and ten years from the date of purchase they will have a m aturity value one-third greater than their cost price; th at is, they will be worth from $25 to $1,000. If these bonds are kept until m aturity they will yield 2.9 per cent. Series E Bonds are intended for the smaller in vestor. They provide a splendid opportunity to put away a p art of his income where it will earn a good return. Should an em ergency arise w hereby the purchaser is obliged to use p art or all of the money th at he has invested in these securities, he can get back his money with interest as shown on bond. A grow ing num ber of companies are adopting salary deduction plans, under which their employees may voluntarily authorize the deduction of a fixed am ount from their pay each pay-day, to accum ulate money for the purchase of Series E Bonds. Page 2 T o facilitate the purchase of Defense Savings Bonds, the Treasury issues Defense Savings Stamps, which range in price from 10c to $5 and are sold by post offices, banks and a large num ber of cooperat ing private concerns including m any retail stores. As enough of the stam ps are accum ulated they may be exchanged for interest-bearing Series E Bonds. M any individuals purchase the stam ps at regular intervals as a part of their running budgets. A purchaser hesitating as to the am ount of money to invest in Series E Bonds m ay be guided in his choice by this f a c t: Should he, at any time, desire to turn in a bond and receive p art of its equivalent in cash and part in a bond of lesser denomination, a new bond for the lesser am ount will be issued to him, and it will be dated w ith the date of issue of the original bond. Thus, he has nothing to lose by buying a bond for the larger amount. Much the same conditions prevail w ith regard to Series F Bonds, except th at these are also available for purchase by corporations and associations and they provide an opportunity for persons w ith larger incomes to make investm ents in excess of the limit set for Series E Bonds. Series F and G Bonds are issued in denomina tions of $100 to $10,000 m aturity value. T heir yield is about 2.5 per cent a year, and they m ature in twelve years. The chief difference between them is th at the Series F Bond is for individuals who wish to let the interest accum ulate, and the Series G Bond is for those who prefer to draw the interest every six months. The Series G Bonds provide an unusually a ttrac tive opportunity for investm ent by corporations or individuals, T hey are especially suited for sinking funds or comparable situations. These bonds pro vide an exceptional opportunity, also, for the invest m ent of tru st funds and were, in fact, created largely for th at purpose. They pay interest every six m onths by check from the T reasury D epartm ent. They may be redeemed on a m onth’s notice at any time after six m onths from issue date. An attractive feature for individuals possessing Series G Bonds is th at in case of death, the bonds are redeemable at par, regardless of any interest th at has been paid. In such case, they will provide the means for paying inheritance or other taxes, or debts of the estate, thereby safeguarding the estate and avoiding the possible necessity of liquidating other assets at a sacrifice to m eet obligations. SUMM ARY OF EI GHTH DIS TR IC T A . Sept. 1, 1941, comp, with 1940 A v. 1923-40 Agriculture: Estimated yield of 7 crops................ . — 6% — 5% Aug., 1941, comp, w ith July, 1941 A ug., 1940 Livestock: — 4% Receipts at National Stock Y ards. ... — 5 Shipments from aforesaid Yards --Production and Distribution: Sales by mfrs. and wholesalers.......... ...+ 12 + 28 Department store sales.......................... — 1 Car loadings........................................... Building and Construction: ....—21 Bldg. permits, incl. repairs | —21 Value construction contracts awarded.. — 48 M iscellaneous: — 8 ~ • 1 rfailures *1 Commercial (S Number........ LiabiIities — 1 Consumption of electricity.................. — 9 Debits to individual accounts.............. — 2 Life insurance sa les............................. + 1% — 29 + + + 40 36 22 — 2 — 8 + 122 — — + + + 45 71 26 32 6 Sept. 17/41, comp, w ith Aug. 2 0 /4 1 !S ept., 18/40 Member Banks (24): 3% + 21% Gross deposits......................................... , . . . + + 33 Loans ....................................................... . . . + 6 1 Investments............................................. . . . + + 19 A C T IV IT IE S in E ighth D istrict industry and trade remained at very high levels during A ugust and the first half of September, with some lines moving to new highs. The defense pro gram continued to create near boom conditions in sections where its projects are developing. Com modity prices rose further indicating continued strong consumer demand coupled with actual and anticipated shortages and rising costs. Shortages of certain m aterials needed in defense production and the possibility of greater priority restrictions tended to create some apprehension concerning production of consumer goods and advanced prices in the face of probable price control legislation. D uring A ugust the rate of industrial production increased slightly more than seasonally. The Fed eral Reserve Board's index adjusted for seasonal variation advanced to 161 per cent of the 1935-1939 average as compared w ith 160 per cent for July and 159 per cent for June. Characteristic of activities in the defense program sharp increases were evidenced in machinery, aircraft, and railroad equipm ent indus tries, with chemicals, leather goods, and explosives also showing large gains. Production continued to be considerably behind orders. O utput of bitum inous coal at mines in this area in A ugust increased 10 per cent over July and 18 per cent over A ugust, 1940. Steel ingot production at mills in the district rem ained at the near capacity rate of 98 per cent. T here has been virtually no change in this rate for the past five months. Pig iron production was begun at Granite City, 111., in Septem ber m arking the first time in nine years that pig iron has been produced in this area. A ugust consumption of electricity by industrial users was 1 per cent less and 24 per cent more, respectively, than a m onth and a year earlier. Production of lum ber at mills in the district was at or near capacity during August. New orders and shipments contin ued to exceed production. Building activity, as re flected by perm its granted and contracts let, showed a decrease for A ugust from July and from a year ago. Tonnage moved by the Federal Barge Lines on the Mississippi River in A ugust decreased 2 per cent from July but was 24 per cent greater than a year ago, and cumulative tonnage during the first eight m onths of this year exceeded that of the com parable period in 1940 by 11 per cent. Load inter changes for 25 connecting lines handled by the T er minal Railroad Association of St. Louis during A ugust were 2 per cent less than in July but 41 per cent greater than in August, 1940. Cumulative total of interchanges for eight m onths of this year ex ceeded the similar period in 1940 by 28 per cent. Both wholesale and retail distribution of mer chandise during A ugust increased over July and was considerably greater in volume than a year ago. This bank's index of departm ent store sales, sea sonally adjusted, reached a new high for the second m onth in a row. A ugust sales of departm ent stores in the principal cities of the district were 28 per cent more than in July and 36 per cent greater than a year earlier. Cumulative total for the first eight m onths of the year was 21 per cent greater than for the similar period in 1940. Sales in A ugust of all wholesaling and jobbing firms whose statistics are available to this bank were 12 per cent more than in July and 40 per cent above a year ago. Debits to individual accounts in A ugust were 9 per cent less than in July and 32 per cent greater than in A ugust, 1940. Gross deposits increased to a new record high reflecting increased loans and invest ments. General agricultural prospects in this dis trict declined by about 1 per cent in August. Prices of farm products continued to rise and prospects for an excellent farm income for 1941 are indicated. Farm labor shortages are developing in some sec tions but production is being maintained at very high levels through more efficient operation of farms. In States wholly or partly w ithin the E ighth Dis trict employment in non-agricultural industries in July was 0.9 per cent greater than in June and 14.1 per cent greater than in July, 1940. In non-agricultural industries in the U nited States employment increased 1.0 per cent from June to July and 10.7 per cent from July, 1940 to July, 1941. Page 3 D E T A I L E D SU R VE Y OF D IS TR IC T IRON AND STEEL The continued pressure of defense requirem ents and civilian dem and sustained activities in the iron and steel industry in this area at extrem ely high levels during A ugust and the first half of Septem ber. As expected the greatest pressure came from classifications filling orders for the defense program , notably engines, m achinery, airplanes, railroad equipment, etc. Dem and for sheets, strip, plates, and other flat rolled m aterials continued strong. In past weeks warehouse stocks have shrunk considerably. A lm ost all production of sheets is for defense needs. Plates remain very tig h t although some sources look for a slight easing in the next few m onths. Scrap moved somewhat better in the St. Louis area in late A u gust with the character of m aterial indicating more intensive efforts in collection, but the situation has tightened m aterially in the past tw o weeks. A new blast furnace for pig iron has been blown in at Granite City, 111., and for the first tim e since 1932 pig iron will be produced in the St. Louis area. The new plant will have a capacity of 700 tons daily, and is expected to produce about 250,000 tons an nually. T he plant will use northern iron ore at present, but it is expected th at ore found in south ern M issouri m ay be used to some extent in the future. A second furnace m ay be rehabilitated and be put in operation later this fall. This pig iron pro duction should lessen som ew hat the demand for scrap in the G ranite City section. As of m id-Septem ber steel ingot production at mills in this section was at 98 per cent of capacity, the same as during the preceding five m onths, and comparing w ith 80 per cent a year ago, and 66.5 per cent in Septem ber, 1939. Production of pig iron in A ugust for the entire country, according to the m agazine “Steel,” was the highest of record w ith a tonnage of 4,784,639. This was slightly g reater than July production of 4,766,216 tons and 13 per cent above A ugust, 1940, pro duction of 4,234,576 tons. Steel ingot production in the U nited States in A ugust was 7,000,957 tons, compared w ith 6,821,682 tons in July and 6,186,383 tons in A ugust, 1940. MINING Coal — Both industrial and domestic demand for bitum inous coal rem ained strong during A ugust. A t mines in this area production in A ugust was 10 per cent more than in July and 18 per cent greater than in A ugust, 1940. F or the first eight m onths of this year output exceeded th at of the correspond Page 4 ing period last year by 4 per cent. In Illinois there were 88 mines in operation in A ugust w ith 24,311 men on payrolls, compared w ith 89 active mines and 24,667 operatives in July. WHISKEY Due to m ergers and com binations the num ber of distilleries in K entucky declined from 61 to 57 in A ugust. Of these, 19 were in operation on A ugust 31 as compared w ith 25 a m onth earlier. T rade sources report th a t because of increased demand for whiskey practically all of the distilleries in the State will be in operation next fall. The general price structure of bulk whiskey re mains firm w ith the price trend of aged whiskey rising steadily. T here is some apprehension about possible restrictive legislation concerning produc tion. Cost of cooperage has risen considerably over last year w ith a scarcity of whiskey barrels apparent for the past few months. AGRICULTURE Farm ing Conditions — Despite m ore favorable w eather conditions in A ugust and early Septem ber crop prospects in the E ighth D istrict declined slightly. Considerable deterioration of corn and cotton is indicated. T he form er crop had been dam aged so badly by drouth in M issouri and southern Illinois th at precipitation during the past m onth made little headway in bettering its condition. O n Septem ber 1, total farm employm ent in the U nited States, according to U. S. D epartm ent of A griculture estim ates, was at the lowest point for th at date since the series was initiated in 1925. Dem and for farm workers continued strong w ith supply down due to increased possibilities of indus trial employm ent and the rising num ber of those inducted into the arm y. Despite the decline in w orkers farm production rem ains high. R eturns from crops and from livestock and live stock products in July were sharply higher than a year earlier. F or the seven m onths of 1941 returns from cotton, cottonseed, m eat anim als, dairy prod ucts, and poultry have shown the greatest increases. Prices received by farm ers increased from m id-July to m id-August. On A ugust 15 the index of prices received by farm ers for all farm commodities stood at 131 per cent of the 1909-1914 average, compared w ith 125 on July 15 and 96 on A ugust 15, 1940. Corn — T he U. S. D epartm ent of A griculture’s Septem ber 1 estim ate indicates a corn crop in the E ighth D istrict of 333,438,000 bushels, a decrease of 3 per cent from a m onth earlier, but 2 per cent over the 1940 harvest of 326,128,000 bushels. In m any sections of this area the crop was benefited by rain fall in the latter p art of A ugust and early Septem ber. Lack of m oisture damaged corn in Missouri more than any other crop. Corn is m aturing rapidly throughout the D istrict w ith m ost of the harvest now safe from frost. Cotton — An E ighth D istrict cotton crop of 3,214,000 bales is forecast by the U. S. D epartm ent of A griculture as of Septem ber 1. This represents a decrease of 9 per cent from the A ugust 1 estimate of 3,546,000 bales, and of 2 per cent from 1940 pro duction of 3,277,000 bales. D uring A ugust and the first part of September w eather conditions were not unfavorable for cotton grow ing bu t weevil infestation increased and fre quent showers made poisoning difficult. Certain sections reported plant defoliation by leaf worm activity. T he crop is two to three weeks earlier than last year w ith receipts and shipm ents at compresses in much g reater volume than at the same tim e a year ago. Picking and ginning are well advanced in m ost sections of the D istrict. •Cotton prices advanced strongly during A ugust and the first p art of Septem ber reaching the highest point in 12 years at m id-Septem ber. D espite the high levels trade reports indicate th at a large pro portion of the crop will go into Governm ent loans. Dom estic mill activity during the past m onth de clined som ew hat from the record high of July but was substantially g reater than a year ago. Demand rem ained brisk for finished goods but slackened for unfinished goods, and offerings by mills were few. Mill m argins narrow ed further. In the St. Louis m arket prices on m iddling grade cotton ranged from 15.60c per pound on A ugust 16 to 18.10c on Sep tem ber 15, which compares w ith 15.55c on A ugust 15 and 9.40c on Septem ber 15, 1940. Fruits and Vegetables — O w ing to somewhat more favorable w eather, grow ing conditions for vegetables im proved during the past m onth. H ow ever, cool tem peratures and light showers which prevailed in some sections were insufficient for the best developm ent of certain crops, such as snap beans, sw eet corn and tom atoes. Prospects for the E ighth D istrict indicate sm aller supplies of white potatoes and truck crops for m arket, but larger sup plies of sweet potatoes and truck crops for proces sing. T hroughout this area fruit crop prospects are considerably better than in 1940. Livestock — Production of feed grain this year in the U nited States will be above average but not equal to prospective feeding requirem ents, accord ing to the Septem ber 1 report of the U. S. D epart m ent of A griculture. It is anticipated th at some of the large stocks accum ulated in past years will be utilized. In this area estim ated production of tam e hay is som ewhat lower than last year but consider ably greater than the 18-year (1923-1940) average. Livestock prices moved sharply upward in A ugust and early Septem ber but declined slightly at midSeptember. H og prices reached the highest point since September, 1937. Average prices on hogs at St. Louis betw een A ugust 16 and September 15 ranged from $11.33 to $12.15 per cwt., closing on the latter date at $11.94. F or the same period in 1940 the range was from $6.35 to $7.45, closing at $6.49. Rice — Prospects for the A rkansas rice crop im proved during A ugust. The report of September 1 indicates a crop of 11,128,000 bushels, an increase of 642,000 bushels over the A ugust 1 forecast. Both yield per acre and acreage planted are estimated above 1940 and the 10-year (1930-1939) average. W eather during A ugust was generally favorable for growing and early varieties are reaching m aturity in all sections. W hile rains have delayed harvest ing, cutting of early rice is under way with threshing expected to begin shortly. Tobacco — T he U. S. D epartm ent of A griculture estimate of Septem ber 1 indicates virtually no change in the prospective yield of the tobacco crop in the Eighth D istrict. For all types of tobacco the forecast is 233,008,000 pounds, compared w ith 232,975,000 pounds a m onth earlier. More favorable w eather conditions in late A ugust and early Septem ber hastened the grow th of early tobacco and advanced the grow th of late tobacco. Recent activities in old crop stocks have m easurably reduced quantities held by dealers. An indication of considerably higher prices for this year’s crop was evidenced by opening week sale prices for E astern Carolina flue cured tobacco. The general average price per cwt. for the week was $29.51 compared with $17.96 per cwt. in the opening week of 1940. COST OF L IV IN G A N D P R IC E S The cost of living in 20 cities in the U nited States rose 0.8 per cent from Ju ly 15 to A ugust 15 and 7.7 per cent from June 15, 1940 to A u g u st 15, 1941, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Living costs in St. Louis, the only E ighth D istrict city for which m onthly indexes are available, rose 0.4 per cent and 5.5 per cent, respectively, in the same intervals. Food costs in 51 cities in the U nited States rose 1.2 per cent betw een July 15 and A u g u st 12, and 12.3 per cent from A ugust 13, 1940 to A u gust 12, 1941. In the year ending A ugust 12 food costs in the four E ighth D istrict cities covered by the in dexes rose m ore than the U nited S ta te s average Page 5 with Memphis showing the m ost pronounced gain, 16 per cent. For the m onth ending A ugust 12, food costs in Louisville declined slightly, those in St. Louis rose less than the national average, while those in L ittle Rock and Memphis increased more than the average. W holesale prices of all commodities have advanced 17.6 per cent in the past year with a rise of 2.2 per cent in the last month. Farm products and foods show the greatest rises w ith the former advancing 37.1 per cent in a year and 6.0 per cent in the last month, and the latter 25.0 per cent and 2.8 per cent, respectively, for the same intervals. B A N K IN G A N D FIN A N C E D uring A ugust and the first half of September the upward trend in demand for credit in the Eighth D istrict continued, w ith some irregularities with regard to geographic sections. Requirements re mained well diversified. P a rt of the increased de mand is attributed to construction activities in defense areas and to the desire of business institu tions, particularly smaller ones, to increase inven tories. A few localities report th at loans are slightly down from recent levels, or at best have shown very small increases. There is some apprehension regard ing the effect of priorities restrictions on industries with the consequent possibility of reduced credit demand. Interest rates were virtually unchanged from the low levels of recent months. M ember Banks — Between A ugust 20 and Sep tem ber 17 total loans and investm ents of reporting m em ber banks in the principal cities of the District increased 3 per cent, and on the latter date were 25 per cent greater than a year ago. Investm ents were up only 1 per cent in the four-week period but loans increased 6 per cent. Loan volume of reporting banks is one-third greater than last year. Gross deposits continued to rise sharply, and at $1,339,446,000 on Septem ber 17 reached a new peak. Total reserve balances declined slightly and at the close of the four-week period were 1 per cent and 2 per cent less, respectively, than a month and a year ago. T h e aggregate am ount of savings deposits in se lected m ember banks on Septem ber 3 was 0.2 per cent less than on A ugust 6, and 0.4 per cent greater th an on Septem ber 4, 1940. Since the preceding issue of this review the fol low ing banks have become members of the Federal R eserve S y stem : The State Bank of Salem, Salem, In d .; Com m unity Bank, Steelville, Mo.; The Farm ers and M erchants Bank of Vandalia, Vandalia, 111.; T eutopolis State Bank, Teutopolis, 111.; Bank of L incoln County, Elsberry, Mo., and The Union Savings Bank of St. Charles, St. Charles, Mo. Page 6 P R O D U C T IO N O F B IT U M IN O U S C O A L ( I n th o u san d s A ug. ,’41 com p, w ith of tons) A u g .,’41 J u ly ,’41 A u g .,’40 J u ly ,’41 A u g .,'40 U nited S ta tes___ I l l i n o i s .................. 45,650 4,151 43,300 4,118 39,010 3,496 + + 5% 1 +17% +19 FA R M IN C O M E I N C L U D IN G G O V E R N M E N T B E N E F IT PA Y M E N T S ( I n th o u san d s ________ J u ly C um ulative for 7 m onths of d ollars) 1941 1940 1941 1940 1939 A rk a n s a s ................ Illin o is ..................... I n d i a n a .................. K e n tu c k y ................ M ississip p i.............. M isso u ri.................. T e n n e s s e e .............. $ 7,998 64,473 34,868 14,863 5,283 35,279 11,296 $ 6,448 46,476 27,890 11,891 3,60,5 29,384 9,237 T o ta ls ................ 174,060 $ 72,368 $ 53,225 $ 50,397 358,921 314,755 288,442 189,130 163,923 145,767 97,552 88,889 82,454 61,849 53,901 55,669 182,463 151,068 134,945 80,895 67,883 66,913 134,931 1,043,178 893,644 824,587 R E C E IP T S A N D S H IP M E N T S A T N A T IO N A L ST O C K Y A R D S ________R eceipts_______ _______ Shipm ents_______ A ug., J u ly , A ug., A u g ., J u ly , A ug., 1941 1941 1940 1941 1941 1940 C attle and C alv es......... 127,453 H o g s .................................. 194,751 H orses and M u l e s ___ 1,414 S h e e p .................................. 98,648 T o ta ls ........................... 422,266 114,019 122,761 204,338 215,7'04 149 1,116 119,538 77,099 438,044 416,680 52,180 41,859 56,195 61,951 72,404 96,799 1,366 74 1,186 29,499 37,812 24,052 144,996 152,149 178,232 B U I L D I N G P E R M IT S N ew C o n stru ctio n R epairs, etc. N um ber N um ber C ost Cost 1941 1940 1941 1940 1941 1940 1941 1940 (C ost in th o u san d s) L ittle R ock L o u is v ille ......... A u g u st T o tals . Ju ly “ . 28 43 57 40 178 159 230 547 295 340 788 1,129 1,260 964 $ 119 134 504 757 1,813 3,327 1,977 $ 106 801 363 685 650 2,605 3,891 134 108 38 498 153 931 904 118 87 50 177 199 631 723 $ 72 111 55 285 398 921 590 $ 73 72 23 134 205 507 647 V A L U E C O N S T R U C T IO N C O N T R A C T S L E T ( I n thou san d s A u g .,’41 comp, w ith of dollars) A u g .,’41 J u ly ,’41 A u g .,’40 J u ly ,’41 A u g .,’40 T o ta l 8 th D is t.. . $55,793 $101,256 S o u rce : F . W . D odge C orporation. (K .W .H . in th o u s.) $25,170 — 48% +122% C O N S U M P T IO N O F E L E C T R IC IT Y A ug., N o. of A ug., A u g u st, 1941 Ju ly , C ustom 1941 1941 1940 com pared w ith ers* K .W .H . K .W .H . K .W .H . Ju ly , 1941 A ug., 194C 5,483 2,884 14,344 4,153 949 59,140 86,953 E vansville . . L ittle R ock . .. . 40 5,137 35 2,949 82 14,738 31 4,390 20 1,100, P in e B luff . . 58,0,84 . . . 125 . .. 333 86,398 *Selected in d u stria l custom ers. 4,361 2,357 11,963 2,758 529 47,763 69,731 — 6% + 2 + 3 + 6 + 16 — 2 — 1 + 18% + 25 + 23 + 59 + 108 + 22 + 24 W H O L E S A L E P R IC E S IN T H E U N IT E D S T A T E S B u reau of L ab o r S tatistics Sept. S ept. A ug. Sept. Sept. 13,’41 comp, w ith (1926= 100.) 13,’41 6,’41 16,’41 14,’40 A ug. 16/41 Sept. 14,’40 A ll C om m odities. . 91.6 F a rm P ro d u cts . 91.6 89.1 91.6 91.0 89.1 88.6 91.4 89.6 86.4 86.7 90.7 77.9 66.8 71.3 82.5 + + + + 2.2% 6.0 2.8 1.0 C O ST O F L IV I N G B u re au of L a b o r S ta tistic s A ug. 15, J u ly 15, Ju n e 15, A ug. 15,’41 (1935-1939= 100) 1941 1941 1940, J u ly 15,’41 U n ite d S ta te s .......... St. L o u is .................. 106.0 105.0 105.2 104.6 98.4 99.5 Hh i 7 .6 c. -37.1 -25.0 -J-11.0 comp, w ith J u n e 15,’40 + 0.8% + 0,.4 +7.7% + 5.5 A ug. 12,’41 J u ly 15/41 comp, w ith A ug. 13/40 C O ST O F F O O D B u re au of L a b o r S ta tistic s A ug. 12, (1935-1939= 100) 1941 Ju ly , 15, A ug. 13, 1941 1940 U . S. (51 cities) . . . 108.0 St. L o u is .................. 109.4 L ittle R o c k ......... .... 108.1 L o u is v ille ................107.8 M em p h is.................. 108.2 106.7 108.5 104.9 107.9 105.7 96.2 96.1 93.4 93.3 93.3 + + + — + 1.2% 0,8 3.1 0.1 2.4 + 1 2 .3 % + 1 3 .8 + 1 5 .7 + 1 5 .5 + 1 6 .0 W H O L E S A L IN G Lines of Commodities N et Sales F E D E R A L R E S E R V E O P E R A T IO N S D U R IN G A U G U S T , 1941 (Incl. Louisville, Memphis, L ittle Rock branches) Pieces Am ounts Stocks D ata furnished by Bureau of Census, U . S. D ept, of Commerce. A ugust , 1941 compared with July,’41 A ug., 40 A utom otive S u pplies................................ B oots and S h o es....................................... Dry G o o d s .................................................. Electrical Su pplies..................................... Furniture....................................................... G roceries....................................................... Hardw are........................... ........................... M achinery, Equipment and Supplies. Plum bing Supplies . . . . ................ .. Tobacco and its P rodu cts..................... M iscella n eo u s.............................................. Total all lin es.............................................. + 16% — 1 +33 + 4 + 6 + 19 + 11 — 7 + 11 + 3 + 2 + 12 A ug. 31, 1941 comp, with A ug. 31, 1940 + 49% +25 + 47 +80 +40 +29 + 63 +23 + 15 +26 +36 + 40 ... % -1 3 [-31 -3 4 -12 -58 + 20, + 14 Stocks on Hand Stock Turnover A ug. 31/41 comp, with A ug. 31,’40 Jan. 1, to Aug. 31, 1941 1940 hi 7 K20 R E T A IL T R A D E Department Store Sales N et Sales A ugust, 1941 compared with July,’41 A u g .,’40 8 mos. ’41 to same period ’40 + 20% + 16% Ft. Smith, A r k ... +37% + 29 +27 L ittle Rock, Ark. +35 1.99 1.63 + 16 + 32 Pine Bluff, A rk.. +35 +27 E. S.t. Louis, 111. +28 + 14 2.69 2.58 + 13 Quincy, 111............ +51 + 15 E vansville, I n d .. . +19 *3.28 2.80 + 37 + 38 Louisville, K y .. . . 2.82 2.82 + 27 + 16 St. Louis, M o .. .. 2.18 2.37 +43 + 84 Springfield, M o .. . + 4 3 Jackson, Tenn. . . 2.25 2.19 + 36 +20 M emphis, T en n .. . 2.02 2.01 21 *A11 other c itie s. . + 19 2.72 2.62 +30, +21 8th F. R. D istrict *EJ Dorado, Fayetteville, A rk.; Alton, Harrisburg, M t. Vernon, 111.; Vincennes, I n d .; D anville, H opkinsville, K y .; Chillicothe, Mo. Trading days: A ug., 1941— 2 6 ; July, 1941— 26; A ug., 1940^-27. O utstanding orders of reporting stores at the end of A ugust, 1941, were 104 per cent greater than on the corresponding date a year ago. Percentage of accounts and notes receivable outstanding A ugust 1, 1941, collected during A ugust, by cities: + Installm ent E xcl. Instal. A ccounts A ccounts Installm ent E xcl. Instal. A ccounts A ccounts Fort S m ith . . L ittle R eek . . L ouisville . . . Memphis . . . . ..% 12 17 23 38% 35 49 42 Q u in cy ............ St. L o u is .. . . Other cities. . 8th F. R. D ist. 50% 53 42 48 19% 19 13 18 I N D E X E S O F D E P A R T M E N T S T O R E S A L E S A N D ST O C K S 8th Federal Reserve D istrict (1923-1925 = 100): June, A ug., A ug., July, 1940. 1941 1941 1941 78 82 92 Sales (daily average), U n a d ju s te d ............. . 106 104 119 100 Sales (daily average), Seasonally adjusted. . 141 76 66 77 Stocks, U n a d ju sted ..,* ......................................... . 89 67 80 81 . 90 Stocks, Seasonally adjusted. . . ..................... Trading days: A ug., 1941— 2 6 ; July, 1941— 2 6 ; A ug., 1940.— 27. S P E C IA L T Y ST O R E S N et Sales 8 mos. ’41 A ugust, 1941 to same compared with July,’41 A u g .,’40 period ’40 Stock Turnover Jan. 1, to A ug. 31, 1941 1940 Stocks on Hand A ug. 31,’41 comp, with A ug. 31,’40 M en’s Furnishings +18% +37% +26% +31% 1.89 1.59 B oots and S h o es. . +24 +27 +20 +25 5.69 4.85 Percentage of accounts and notes receivable outstanding A ugust 1, 1941, collected during A u g u s t: M en’s F u rn ish ings....................... 35% Boots and S h o es............................ 39% C H A N G E S I N P R I N C IP A L A S S E T S A N D L I A B I L I T I E S F E D E R A L R E S E R V E BA*NK O F ST. L O U IS Change from Sept. 17, Aug. 20, Sept. 18, 1941 1940, (I n thousands of dollars) 1941 Industrial advances under Sec. 13b......... . $ ............ 192 Other advances and red iscoun ts................ . 105,517 T otal earning a sse ts......... . ....................... . 105,709 + 95 + + 95 + 5 103 7,353 7,255 T otal reserves..................................................... , 562,360 399,319 F. R. N otes in circulation....................... . 270,120 + 1,605 + 2,887 + 11,415 + + + 91,743 20,374 69,824 Industrial commitments under Sec. 13b. — + 337 705 1 Checks (cash item s) han dled................................ 5,300,945 $1,531,477,399 Collections (non-cash item s) handled................ 56,657 36,334,833 Transfers of fu nds....................................................... 4,618 362,958,074 Currency received and counted.............................. 9,912,077 33,283,177 Coin received and counted........................... .. . . . 11,276,80,1 1,131,530 Rediscounts, advances and com m itm ents......... ............16 381,200, N ew issues, redemptions, and exchanges of securities as fiscal agent of U . S. Govt., etc. 55,341 34,676,059 Bills and securities in custody— coupons clipped 8,304 ............................... R A T E S OF T H I S B A N K F O R A C C O M M O D A T IO N S U N D E R T H E F E D E R A L R E S E R V E AC T Advances to banks, secured by direct obligations of >per annum the United States, under paragraph 13 of section 1 3 .. 1 Advances to member banks, secured by direct obliga tions of the U nited States or by such Government guaranteed obligations as are eligible for collateral, i per annum under paragraph 8 of section 13.............................................. 1 Rediscounts and other advances to member banks un der sections 13 and 13a....................................................., . . . . 1 ^ % per annum Advances to member banks under section 1 0 (b ). Advances to individuals, firms, and corporations, other than banks, secured by direct obligations of the U nited States, under paragraph 13 of section 1 3 ........... Industrial advances to member banks, nonmember banks, and other financing institutions under sec tion 13 b : ■i % to (a) On portion for which such institution is obligated 1{ 2 % per annum (b) On remaining portion — N o charge to financ ing institution. Federal Reserve Bank w ill retain interest collected from borrower. Advances to established industrial or commercial ( 3y2 % to per annum businesses under section 13b.................................. .. Commitments to member banks, nonmember banks, and other financing institutions, under section 1 3 b .. . .1 * per annum P rovid ed: that on commitments issued for periods of 90 days or less the minimum charge shall be 54 of 1% flat; and further provided, that on commitments for loans secured by assignm ent of “ Em ergency P lant F acil ities Contract” w ith the U nited States Government, the rate may be as low as J4 of 1% per annum. y* \5y2 P R IN C IP A L R E S O U R C E A N D L IA B IL I T Y IT E M S O F R E P O R T IN G M E M B E R B A N K S (In thousands of dollars) Sept. 17, 1941 A ug. 20, 1941 Sept. 18, 1940. Commercial, industrial, agricultural 1 $256,213 +20,, 132 + 74,370 Open market paper.......................... 21,940 + 650 + 12,187 Loans to brokers and dealers.............. 4,206 + 385 + 447 Other loans to purchase and carry securities.. 11,938 193 597 Real estate loan s....................................... , 60,041 + 377 + 4,359 Loans to banks............................................ 1,098 + 74 985 , 80,684 + 5,086 + 17,320 Treasury bills , 3,174 + 1,999 7,426 Treasury notes . 34,814 - 0 - .— . 3,392 U. S. b o n d s.., , 220,386 + 481 + 71,437 t 79,671 34 + 7,906 , 110,632 + 221 + 2,359 20,1,973 1,239 + 25,160 . 593,223 — 2,199 + 94,066 Time d e p o sits.............................................. , 190,828 .— . 169 + 429 U. S. Government deposits.................. , 24,917 + 2,535 + 9,710 Interbank deposits................ .................... . 443,764 + 2 2 ,4 3 4 + 94,809 *Other than interbank and Government deposits, less cash items on hand or in process of collection. Above figures are for 24 member banks in St. Louis, Louisville, M em phis, L ittle Rock and E vansville. Their resources comprise approximately 75% of the resources of all member banks in this district. D E B IT S TO IN D IV ID U A L A C C O U N TS A ug., A ug., A u g .,’41 comp, w it! July, 1941 1941 1940 July,’41 A u g .,’40 5,923 $ 6,304 $ E l D orado,. . . . ,Ark.$ 5,339 __ 6% + 11% “ 14,810 Fort Smith, 14,931 11,672 — 1 -27 “ 1,407 1,498 1,170 — 6 -20 Little Rock, . .. . “ 49,645 53,986 33,997 — 8 -46 “ 7,890 8,168 Pine Bluff, . . . . 6,296 — 3 -25 Texarkana, Ark.-Tex. 8,942 9,372 6,916 — 5 -29 E .S t.L .-N at.S.Y '.,111. 57,686 56,281 2 40,928 + -41 Q uincy,............. .. “ 10,774 10,803 8,733 -0-23 E vansville,......... , Ind. 42,206 46,788 31,993 — 10 1-32 L o u isv ille ,...........K y . 232,727 255,609 155,143 — 9 + 50 Owensboro, . . . 6,678 6,747 6,072 — 1 MO 5,652 Greenville,......... M iss. 5,371 5 4,285 + h-32 .M o. 683,420 759,300 548,980 10 +24 “ 2,591 2,574 2,155 + 1 +20 “ 20,362 Springfield, 21,382 15,553 5 + 31 Tenn. 158,009 176,293 115,099 — 10 + 37 1,308,722 1,435,407 994,331 — 9 +32 (In thousands of dollars) C O M M E R C IA L F A I L U R E S IN E IG H T H F. R. D IS T R IC T A u g .,’41 comp, w ith A ug., ’41 July,’41 A u g .,’40 July,*41 A u g .,’40 23 25 N u m b e r ................ Liabilities.............. $183,000 $184,000, Source: D un and Brad street. (Completed September 23, 1941) 42 $638,000 — 45% — 71 Page 7 N A TIO N A L SUM M ARY O F CO N D ITIO N S INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION B Y B O A R D O F G O V E R N O R S O F F E D E R A L R E S E R V E SY ST E M Federal Reserve index of physical volume of production, adjusted for seasonal variation, 1935-39 average = 100. B y months, January, 1935 to A ugust, 1941. Latest figure 161. FREIGHT-CAR LOADINGS Federal Reserve index of total loadings of revenue freight, adjusted for seasonal variation, 1935-39 average = 100. Subgroups shown are expressed in terms of points in the total index. B y months, January, 1935 to August, 1941. WHOLESALE PRICES OF BASIC COMMODITIES 180 160 140 120 100 Bureau of Labor Statistics* indexes based on 12 foodstuffs and 16 industrial materials, A ugust 1939 = 100. Thursday figures, January 3, 1935 to September 11, 1941. MONEY RATES IN NEW YORK CITY TR!LASURY BO NDS " ‘Z - \ A \ s \ An TREASURY NOTES ' W v i Vi I 1, TREASl JRY B IL L S _____ (935 1936 A . - -A--~ /W *A 1937 W eekly averages of daily Treasury notes, Treasury average discount of new within week. For weeks tember 13, 1941. Page 8 yields of 3- to 5-year tax-exempt bonds callable after 12 years, and issues of Treasury bills offered ending January 5, 1935 to Sep Industrial activity increased further in August and the first half of Sep tember, and commodity prices continued to advance. Distribution of com modities to consumers expanded considerably. Production — In August industrial output increased somewhat more than seasonally and the Board’s adjusted index advanced from 160 to 161 per cent of the 1935-39 average. There were sharp further advances in activity in the machinery, aircraft, shipbuilding, and railroad equipment industries. Lumber production also increased, while furniture production, which had been unus ually large in July, showed less than the customary seasonal rise in August. Output of steel and nonferrous metals continued at near-capacity rates. In the automobile industry output of finished cars declined sharply as plants were closed during the changeover to new model production and out put in factories producing bodies and parts also was reduced considerably. In the first half of September automobile assemblies increased as production of new models was begun but from now on, owing to Government restriction on passenger car production, output will be considerably below that during the previous model year. In most nondurable goods industries production in August continued around the high levels reached earlier this year. At cotton mills activity declined slightly from the record level reached in July, while at woolen mills there was some increase. Rayon output continued at peak levels. In the silk industry operations were curtailed sharply, as the Government requisitioned all supplies of raw silk, and deliveries of silk to mills declined from 28,000 bales in July to 2,000 in August. Rubber consumption also decreased, owing to a Government curtailment program. Shoe production, which had been unusually large, increased less than seasonally in August, and output of man ufactured food products and chemicals showed seasonal increases from the high levels prevailing in June and July. At mines coal production in August, as in other recent months, was unus ually large for the season, and output of crude petroleum rose to a record level of 4,000,000 barrels daily in the latter part of the month. Iron ore ship ments down the Lakes amounted to 11,500,000 tons, the largest monthly total on record. Value of construction contract awards showed a further sharp increase in August and was about four-fifths larger than a year ago, accord ing to F. W. Dodge Corporation reports. The rise from July was substantial for all general types of construction but was most pronounced for publiclyfinanced projects. Awards for residential building continued to increase. Distribution — Sales of general merchandise rose sharply in August and were at an extremely high level for this time of year. The Board’s seasonally adjusted index of department store sales advanced to 133 per cent of the 1923-25 average as compared with 115 in July and an average of 103 in the first half of this year. In the early part of September department store sales declined from the peak reached in the latter part of August. Railroad freight-car loadings in August were maintained in the large volume reached in June and July. Coal shipments increased, following some reduction in July, while loadings of grain, which had been large since last spring, declined. Commodity Prices — Wholesale prices of most groups of commodities continued to advance from the middle of August to the middle of September. Prices of grains, other foodstuffs, and cotton showed large increases and there were advances also in prices of a number of industrial commodities not covered by Federal price ceilings. Fragmentary data available indicate that retail prices of foods and other commodities rose further during this period. Agriculture — The outlook for agricultural production in 1941 showed little change during August. Crop prospects were reduced slightly by drouth but aggregate crop production is expected to be two per cent larger than last year and the largest for any year except 1937. Total marketings of livestock and livestock products will probably be the largest on record. Preliminary estimates of the Department of Agriculture indicate that cash farm income, including Government payments, will be about $10,700,000,000, compared with $9,120,000,000 in 1940. Bank Credit— Commercial loans at reporting member banks in 101 cities continued to rise substantially during the four weeks ending September 10. Bank holdings of United States Government securities showed little net change, while holdings of other securities increased somewhat at New York City banks. As a result of the expansion in loans and investments bank deposits continued to increase. United States Government Security Market — Prices of Treasury bonds increased in the latter part of August but subsequently declined some what in the first part of September. On September 15, the partially taxexempt 2% per cent 1960-65 bonds were yielding 2.06 per cent compared with the record low yield of 2.02 per cent. Yields on Treasury notes showed little change in the period.