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MONTHLY REVIEW O f Agricultural, Industrial, Trade and Financial Conditions in the Eighth Federal Reserve District RELEASED FOR PUBLICATION ON THE AFTERNOON OF SEPTEMBER 30, 1937 FEDERAL RESERVE District Summary Agriculture: Yield’ 1936 ’1923-3*6 Av. Estimated yield of 7 crops................. +58.6% + 6.2% Aug. 1937, comp, with Aug. 1936 Live Stock: July, 1937 Receipts at National Stock Yards.....+33.2% Shipments from aforesaid Yards...... +50.8 +23.0% + 44.8 Production and Distribution: Sales by mfrs. and wholesalers.......... + 8.1 Department store sales....................... + 8.6 Car loadings......................................... — 0.7 — 8.4 + 8.4 + 4.8 Building and Construction: t),i . . 1 $ Number...+ 3.4 Bldg.permits,mcl.repairs j Cost __13 3 Value construc. contracts awarded....— 5.2 Miscellaneous: +11.7 -—27 3 — 6.7 Commercial failures { L ta W H tfeZ l'Z + S i Consumption of electricity..................— 3.7 Debits to individual accounts............ —11.6 '+ 0 .9 + 4.6 +10.4 Sept. 15/37 comp, with Member Banks (24): A ug.i8/37 Sept.i6,’ 36 Gross deposits..................................... + 1.6% — 0.2% Loans.................................................... + 1.7 +18.6 Investments......................................... .— 3.1 — 11.7 H ILE many important lines of industry and commerce in the Eighth District main tained, and in some instances pushed fur ther forward the gains of recent months, business as a whole developed slightly slowing tendencies during August and the first half of September. A c tivities at numerous manufacturing plants through out the period showed no recession from the high levels which have been obtaining since last spring, but with a decline in volume of new orders, this pace has been at the expense of backlogs. This is true particularly of the heavy industries, including iron and steel, lumber, glass, quarry products and the general run of building materials. As reflected in returns of reporting merchants and transportation statistics, distribution of commodities continues in substantial volume, and is well extended over the entire area. Of the wholesale and jobbing groups investigated by this bank, drugs and chemicals and hardware recorded increases in August over both a month and a year earlier. Dry goods, furniture and groceries showed increases from July to August, but decreases under a year earlier. Boots and shoes, W BANK OF S T. LOUIS an important industry in the area, recorded a smaller volume of sales in August than in the preceding month and a year ago. The sharp decline in prices of farm products, commodities generally and the stock market since mid-August has had a tendency to retard advance commitments in a number of lines. In the iron and steel industry activities declined somewhat during the last two weeks in August and have receded further since that time. Shipments of pig iron and scrap to district melters in August fell slightly below July, but were approximately 15 per cent greater than in August last year. At midAugust steel ingot production at mills in this area was at 74.2 per cent of capacity as compared with 84 per cent a month earlier. Output of bituminous coal at mines in the district in August declined slightly from July, but was measurably greater than a year ago. Production and shipments of lumber de clined from the recent relatively high levels. For the first time in a number of months there was a decline in consumption of electric power by industrial users in the principal centers, but the volume was 4.6 per cent greater than in August, 1936. Industrial em ployment and payrolls, which had tended upward since early spring, showed no marked change as contrasted with the preceding thirty days. Dry hot weather prevailing over a considerable area of the district in August and early September reduced prospective yields of corn, hay, tobacco and certain fruit and vegetable crops. Excessive rains to the south interfered with the cotton harvest and in a number of important growing sections, a spe cific injury to the crop was reported. On the whole, however, the U. S. Department of Agriculture’s report, based on conditions as of September 1, tends to confirm earlier estimates of crop yields largely in excess of a year ago, and in the case of certain productions greater than the average of recent years. The season has been particularly favorable for food crops, and production of feed and forage crops is sufficiently large to permit of farmers feeding the usual rations to livestock, with assurance of an adequate carryover at the end of the season. De Page 1 spite the recent declines in prices of farm products, estimates of cash income from farm marketings, in cluding Government payments, indicate a substan tial increase over a year ago and an aggregate larger than in any year since 1929. Gauged by sales of department stores in the principal cities, volume of retail trade in August was 8.6 per cent greater than in July and 8.4 per cent larger than a year ago; for the first eight months cumulative total exceeded that of the like interval in 1936 by 11.0 per cent. Combined sales of all whole saling and jobbing firms reporting to this bank in August were 8.1 per cent greater than for the pre ceding month and 8.4 per cent less than a year a g o ; cumulative total for the first eight months exceeded that of the comparable period in 1936 by 16.9 per cent. The dollar value of contracts issued for new buildings in the principal cities in August was 14.7 per cent and 33.7 per cent smaller, respectively, than a month and a year earlier and for the first eight months the aggregate was 16 per cent greater than for the same period in 1936. The dollar value of construction contracts let in the Eighth District in August was 6.7 per cent smaller than in July and 5.2 per cent smaller than in August a year a g o ; for the first eight months the cumulative total was smaller by 9.3 per cent than in the like interval in 1936. Officials of railroads operating in this district report the movement of freight during August and the first two weeks of September in heavier volume than during any similar period since 1930. The movement of grain and grain products was above a year ago and a favorable showing was made by the miscellaneous and merchandise L. C. L. classifica tions. A moderate gain over a year ago was recorded in the movement of coal, but forwardings of cotton were considerably smaller than during the same period in 1936. Reflecting generally improved eco nomic conditions and intensive advertising cam paigns, vacation travel was the heaviest in recent years, August passenger traffic of the reporting lines showed an increase of 9.0 per cent over the same month in 1936. Estimated tonnage of the Federal Barge Line between St. Louis and New Orleans in August was 1.9 per cent greater than in July and 32.7 per cent larger than in August, 1936; for the year to September 1, the cumulative total was slight ly above that for the comparable period in 1936. Collections generally during the past thirty days showed little change as compared with the two or three preceding months, and volume compared fav orably with a year ago. September 1 settlements with wholesalers in the principal distributing cen ters were well up to expectations, and some im Page 2 provement in retail payments was reported, ac counted for partly by the return of numerous cus tomers from vacations. Liquidation with country banks and merchants in the winter wheat areas was in considerable volume. Questionnaires addressed to representative interests in various lines scattered through the district showed the following results: Excellent August, July, August, 1937............. 3.3% 1937............. 2.5 1936............. 2.4 Good 53.0% 51.3 53.0 Fair 38.2% 23.5 41.0 Poor 5.5% 12.0 3.6 Commercial failures in the Eighth Federal Re serve District in August, according to Dun and Bradstreet, numbered 24, involving liabilities of $217,000, which compares with 17 defaults with liabilities of $133,000 in July and 24 defaults for a total of $215,000 in August, 1936. Detailed Survey MANUFACTURING AND WHOLESALING Net Sales Stocks Aug. 1937 8 months 1937 Aug. 31, 1937 compared with comp, with same comp, with July, ’37 Aug., ’36 period 1936 Aug. 31, 1936 Boots and Shoes........ . — 12.8% — 23.2% + 2 0 .9 % — 13.5% Drugs and Chemicals.. + 2.4 + 9.4 + 4.5 + 11.9 + 52.3 + 8.0 — 2.7 + 54.0 Electrical Supplies...... — 12.8 + 17.7 + 36.3 + 30.4 + 12.9 — 9.4 +22.1 +28.1 + 0.7 — 9.2 + 5.1 + 15.9 + 3.2 + 11.8 + 22.0 +32.1 Lines of Commodities All above lines......... + 8.1 — 8.4 + 16.9 +28.9 Automobiles — Combined passenger car, truck and taxicab production in the United States in August was 394,322 against 438,968 (revised figure) in July and 271,274 in August, 1936. Boots and Shoes — Heavy purchasing by re tailers earlier in the year, mainly in anticipation of an advance in prices, was in large measure account able for the contraseasonal decline in sales of the reporting interests from July to August, shown in the above table. In the comparison with a year ago, declines were quite general through all lines, but relatively the most pronounced in the case of men’s heavy shoes. There was no change in prices during the past thirty days, but the average continues above a year ago. Clothing — August sales of the reporting cloth iers were 58 per cent larger than in July and 12 per cent smaller than the August, 1936, total. Stocks decreased 17.2 per cent between August 1 and Sep tember 1 and on the latest date were 5.5 per cent larger than a year ago. Advance sales of men’s suits and topcoats are reported in considerably larger volume than at the corresponding period a year and two years earlier. The trend of prices in certain lines of apparel was slightly easier, in sym pathy with the decline in raw materials. Dry Goods — Demand for virtually all lines of dry goods continued active, sales of the reporting firms in August being the largest for the month, with the exception of last year, since 1929. Reports covering the first half of September indicate a vol ume for the entire month about one-fifth greater than in September a year ago. In the immediate past there has been some hesitation in ordering for spring distribution, attributable to the sharp decline in cotton and other raw materials. Electrical Supplies — While August sales of the reporting firms showed a somewhat greater decline from July than usual, the total for the month was the largest for any August since these records started in 1924, and cumulative sales for the first eight months this year were also the highest of record. The larger than ordinary decline during August was attributable chiefly to the narrowed outlet through the building industry. There was also a recession in sales of household appliances and radio materials. Furniture — The increase in sales in this classi fication from July to August was seasonal in char acter, and about the average size. As has been the case during the past two or three months, there was a recession in demand for household furniture and furnishings. There was also a decline in large stock orders as compared with earlier months this year. Sales of school and hospital furniture and equipment were reported in considerable volume. Groceries — Demand for groceries in the rural areas was reported more active than at any similar period during the past several years. In anticipation of heavy fall requirements, incident to large crops and increased farm income, retailers were disposed to stock up more freely than heretofore. Through out the season sales of canning and preserving sup plies were in exceptionally heavy volume. Reflect ing the decline in farm products, the trend of prices during the past thirty days was noticeably lower. Hardware — The recession in demand for build ers’ tools and hardware, paints and kindred lines was more than offset by increased demands for merchandise consumed chiefly in the farming areas. Advance sales of winter goods generally, are re ported slightly larger than at the corresponding period a year and two years earlier. Collections are in the main satisfactory. Price changes during the past thirty days were negligible. Iron and Steel Products — Activities in the iron and steel industry during August were well sus tained, and at the highest rate for the month since the predepression era. Since September 1 there has been some slowing down in new orders for both raw and finished materials, but during the first half of the month shipments have been at about the same average daily rate as in August. Backlogs of steel mills have been noticeably reduced, and deliveries on sheets, plates, bars, strip and other rolled items are more prompt than in a number of months. New ordering is reported to be more conservative than earlier in the year. Schedules at steel casting plants, particularly those specializing in railroad work, con tinue at the high levels which have been in effect since last spring. Steel ingot production in this area at mid-September was at 74.2 per cent of capac ity against 82.0 per cent a month earlier. Manufac turers of stoves and heating apparatus report late August and early September shipments the largest for any similar period in recent years. Makers of farm implements and tractors continue to operate on full time schedules, and are still in arrears in de liveries of certain products. Reports from the job bing foundries reflect spotty conditions, with opera tions at mid-September ranging from three to five days per week. Outlet through the building industry developed further contraction. Structural steel fab ricating plants in the second week of September were operating at about 50 per cent of capacity, as contrasted with 75 per cent a month earlier. Less than the usual contraction in ordering of tin plate was noted, reflecting heavy requirements of contain er manufacturers incident to the large fruit and vegetable crops. August sales of warehouse and jobbing interests fell slightly below the July vol ume, but were the largest for any August since 1930. Aside from a rather sharp decline in iron and steel scrap, prices of both raw and finished materials showed little change as compared with the preced ing thirty days. Current pig iron prices were ex tended into the fourth quarter. Announcement was made that owing to interruption of tungsten ore shipments from China, prices of tool steel contain ing tungsten will be advanced from 67c to 80c per pound on October 1. Production of pig iron in August, according to the magazine “ Steel” , reached the highest level since August, 1929. The total out put was 3,616,954 tons, against 3,501,359 tons in July and 2,711,726 tons in August, 1936. Produc tion of steel ingots in the United States in August amounted to 4,861,789 tons, against 4,556,596 tons in July and 4,184,287 tons in August, 1936. MINING Further liquidation of surplus stocks of bitu minous coal accumulated early in 1937 in anticipa tion of possible strikes was reported by industrial consumers during July. Total stocks held by all classes of industrial consumers declined from Page 3 37.736.000 tons at the end of June to 37,000,000 tons at the end of July, a decrease of 2 per cent. In pre vious years stocks have usually increased during July. Industrial consumption during August contin ued on a large scale, and during the past several weeks dealers and consumers generally have in creased their purchasing in anticipation of a price advance on October 1. Estimated production of soft coal for the entire country in August was 33,665,000 tons, against 31,912,000 tons in July and 33,086,000 tons in August, 1936; for the year to September 1, production amounted to 287,688,000 tons against 265.922.000 tons during the first eight months of 1936. At mines in this general area, August output was 4.7 per cent more than a month earlier and 5.6 per cent smaller than in August, 1936; cumulative production for the first eight months was larger by 2.6 per cent than in the like interval in 1936. Mines in Illinois produced 3,005,108 tons in August, against 2,732,473 tons in July and 3,262,884 tons in August, 1936. There were 120 mines in operation in August and 27,999 men on payrolls, against 113 active mines and 27,364 men on payrolls during the preceding month. R E TA IL TR A D E Department Stores — The condition of retail trade is reflected in the following comparative state ments showing activities in the leading cities of the district: Stocks Net Sales on. Hand Aug. 1937 8 mos. 1937 Aug. 31/37 compared with to same comp, with July, 1937 Aug. 1936 period ’ 36 Aug. 31/36 El Dorado, Ark......... — 6.2% + 3.7% + 9.2% + 7 . Ft. Smith, Ark......... + 5.1 + 15.6 6.2 0.1 Little Rock, Ark....... 4*13.9 + 5.1 + 6.3 + 18.6 Louisville, K y........... + 3.2 6.0 + 10.7 + 15.4 Memphis, Tenn......... + 8.1 + 9.4 20.8 11.1 Pine Bluff, Ark......... + L7 + 4.5 — 10.7 + 12.4 St. Louis, M o........... + 9.3 + 8.9 + 11.9 + 16.0 Springfield, M o......... + 7.7 + 15.1 11.8 6.0 All Other Cities......... + 15.7 + 6.3 + 18.2 + 4.7 8th F. R. District..... 4* 8.6 + 8.4 11.0 + 16.4 + + + + + + + Stock Turnover Jan. 1, to Aug. 31, 1937 1936 1.90 1.79 1.61 1.63 1.68 1.88 2.62 1.99 2.17 2.45 1.61 1.94 2.29 2.75 2.07 2.45 2.57 1.69 2.01 2.41 Percentage of collections in August to accounts and notes receivable on August 1, 1937, by cities: Installment Excl. Instal. Accounts Accounts El Dorado................ ^ ..57.5% Fort Smith............... ..31.3 Little Rock....... 12.1 ..31.3 Louisville .........11.6 ..50.1 Memphis .......... 21.2 ..41.1 Installment Excl. Instal. Accounts Accounts Pine Bluff .... ...........30 2 % Springfield ............................... 28.6 St. Louis........... 18.0 ............49,2 Other Cities..... 13.8 ............37.8 8th F. R. Dist..l6.2 ........... 45.1 Specialty Stores — August results in men’s fur nishings and boot and shoe lines are shown in the following table: Stock Stocks Net Sales on Hand Turnover Aug. 1937 8 mos. 1937 Aug. 31/37 Jan. 1, to compared with to same comp, with Aug. 31, July, 1937 Aug. 1936 period ’ 36 Aug. 31/36 1937 1936 Men’s Furnishings....— 7.2% — 3.5% + 5.0% + 1 5 .6 % 1.58 1.65 + 15.0 + 17.0 + 38.2 4.30 4.42 Boots and Shoes....... + 3.7 Percentage of collections in August to accounts and notes receivable on August 1, 1937: Men’ s Furnishings............... 34.0% Page 4 Boots and Shoes....................36.4% AGRICULTU RE Weather conditions in the Eighth District dur ing August and the first half of September varied widely. Conditions approaching drouth prevailed over extensive areas, while elsewhere rainfall was excessive. The effects of these extremes on crop prospects were detrimental in greater or lesser de gree, but, according to the U. S. Department of Agriculture and the agricultural departments of the several states, indications still are for heavy produc tion, generally exceeding that of a year ago, and in the case of certain crops and localities, well above the average in recent years. In a number of impor tant producing sections, the hot, dry weather re duced prospective yields of corn, grain sorghums, legumes, late hay crops and certain fruits and vege tables. Outside the dry area the heavy rains inter fered with the garnering of some crops, notably cotton and tobacco, but were of benefit to pastures, commercial vegetables, gardens and tilth of the soil. Harvesting and threshing of small grains had been virtually completed at mid-September, with latest returns indicating no change in earlier official fore casts for wheat, but somewhat heavier yields of oats. Reduction of prospects for corn, soy beans, grain sorghums and late hay in the dry sectors is not be lieved to be sufficiently drastic to markedly affect the district feed status. Feed crops in the south were almost universally large, and generally throughout the district it is estimated that feed on farms is in ample volume to permit farmers to feed heavier rations to livestock than a year ago, and still have an adequate carryover at the end of the season. Prices of farm products, including such impor tant items as cotton, corn, wheat and potatoes, de clined sharply during the past thirty days. The downturn also affected values of livestock and poul try. As of September 11, the farm products group of the Bureau of Labor Statistics Price Index stood at 84.5 per cent of the 1926 average, a decline of .1 per cent from the preceding week and comparing with 87.5 per cent on August 14; 84.6 per cent on September 12, 1936; 81.2 per cent on September 14, 1935 and 55.9 per cent on September 16, 1933. Combined receipts from the sale of principal farm products and Government payments to farmers in states including the Eighth District during the periods January-July, 1935, 1936, 1937 and during July, 1936 and 1937, are given in the following table: (In thousands January-July of dollars) 1935 1936 1937 Indiana ............. ....$130,413 $148,889$171,328 Illinois ................... 215,484255,784 286,125 Missouri ............... 122,881 134,003 143,143 Kentucky ............. 78,169 62,151 97,546 Tennessee ............. 55,775 50,884 70,059 Mississippi ........... 39,342 36,833 61,226 Arkansas ............... 43,629 33,942 53,767 Totals............... 685,693 722,486 883,194 July 1936 1937 $ 27,148 $ 30,031 51,537 52,679 26,251 33,084 9,546 11,746 7,887 9,092 3,423 4,643 5,382 5,591 131,174 146,866 Corn — Hot, dry weather during August and the first weeks of September reduced corn prospects materially in the Eighth District and the country as a whole. In this area deterioration was confined chiefly to late planted corn, and more particularly crops on the uplands. However, the district yield will heavily exceed that of 1936, and is measurably larger than the average during the preceding four teen years. In its report based on conditions as of September 1, the U. S. Department of Agriculture estimated the yield in this district at 356,137,000 bushels, a decrease of 3,569,000 bushels from the August 1 forecast, and comparing with 202,726,000 bushels harvested in 1936 and the 14-year average (1923-1936) of 327,361,000 bushels. In the northern tiers of the district approximately 75 per cent of the corn crop was safe from frost damage at midSeptember; silo filling was in full swing and feed ing of new corn increasing rapidly. Cotton — In its September 1 report, the U. S. Department of Agriculture estimates the output of cotton in the Eighth District at 3,879,000 bales, an increase of 143,000 bales over the August 1 forecast and comparing with 3,404,000 bales in 1936 and the 14-year average (1923-1936) of 2,763,000 bales. Pick ing has become general, but the movement from producers’ hands is noticeably slower this year than in 1936. Heavy rains during late August and early September delayed harvesting, and in a number of localities resulted in considerable damage to the crop. A number of gins and mills were temporarily closed down in an effort to reduce losses to staple and seed because of the excessive moisture. A scar city of pickers is reported from scattered localities in the Mississippi Delta and Arkansas. Prices con tinued to decline, reaching a new low on the down ward movement in the second week of September. In the St. Louis market the middling grade ranged from 8.75c to 10.65c per pound between August 16 and September 15, closing at 8.85c on the latest date, which compares with 10.65c on August 16 and 13.00c on September 15, 1936. Combined receipts at Arkansas and Missouri warehouses from August 1 to September 10 totaled 81,590 bales, as against 147,812 bales during the same period a year ago. Stocks on hand as of September 10 amounted to 218,153 bales, against 357,726 bales on the corre sponding date in 1936. Fruits and Vegetables — Despite deterioration in certain sections where rainfall was inadequate during August and the first half of September, pros pects for fruit and vegetable crops in the district as a whole are the most favorable in a number of years. Most vegetable crops for canning, quick freezing and other manufacture are in abundant sup ply, with record or near-record packs indicated for several important species. Apple prospects declined somewhat during August, but the yield will still be well above a year ago and the average. In its report based on conditions as of September 1, the U. S. Department of Agriculture estimates the yield of apples in states including the Eighth District at 25.070.000 bushels, a decrease of 159,000 bushels under the August 1 forecast and comparing with 5.590.000 bushels harvested in 1936 and the 5-year (1928-1932) average of 15,199,000 bushels. In these states the peach crop is estimated at 10,538,000 bushels, against the virtual failure o f 3,422,000 bushels in 1936 and the 5-year average of 7,265,000 bushels; pears, 3,260,000 bushels, against 1,352,000 bushels in 1936 and the 5-year average of 1,870,000 bushels; grapes, 44,070 tons, against 25,060 tons in 1936 and the 5-year average of 33,010 tons; peanuts, 31.770.000 pounds, against 31,095,000 pounds in 1936 and the 5-year average of 33,113,000 pounds. Sweet potato prospects improved slightly during August, the September forecast being for 19,503,000 bushels, which compares with 15,031,000 bushels in 1936 and the 5-year average of 17,483,000 bushels. In the district proper the white potato crop is estimated at 12.986.000 bushels, against 8,333,000 bushels har vested in 1936 and the 14-year (1923-1936) average of 13,562,000 bushels. Garden crops, melons and truck crops generally have yielded well this year. Livestock — Reports from practically all sections of the district indicate little change in the condition of livestock during the past thirty days as compared with high average which has obtained since early spring. Pastures deteriorated in a number of sec tions under lack of moisture and high temperatures during August and early September; however, in the district as a whole the September 1 condition averaged higher than on the same date in seven of the eight years from 1929 to 1936. Hay production in the Eighth District is estimated at 6,058,000 tons, as against 4,447,000 tons in 1936 and the 14-year (1923-1936) average of 6,509,000 tons. Receipts and shipments at St. Louis reported by the National Stock Yards were as follows: _________Receipts ______ Shipments________ Aug., July, Aug., Aug., July, Aug., 1937 1937 1936 1937 1937 1936 Cattle and Calves..... 198,719 143,858 150,350 137,565 93,394 83,170 Hogs .......................... 126,231 107,847 148,050 71,578 66,701 94,484 3,935 5,869 3,824 3,189 4,663 Horses and Mules..... 3,829 Sheep ......................... 133,509 91,521 63,486 66,130 21,818 10,452 Totals..................... 462,288 347,161 367,755 279,097 185,102 192,769 Tobacco — In its report based on September 1 conditions, the U. S. Department of Agriculture estimates Eighth District production of all types of tobacco at 271,906,000 pounds, which is 349,000 Page 5 pounds below the August forecast and compares with 176,784,000 pounds harvested in 1936 and the 14-year average of 287,796,000 pounds. Quite gener ally growth of the crop was retarded in August because of lack of precipitation. The dry spell was followed by general rains which improved the con dition of late tobacco, but in some localities inter fered with cutting and housing. Farmers have taken advantage of every opportunity to harvest and pre pare the leaf and as of mid-September approximate ly two-thirds of the burley crop had been cut and housed. Growers in certain localities have experi enced considerable difficulty in procuring labor for harvesting. In the one sucker district the crop has improved steadily and is maturing satisfactorily. Cutting and housing in the eastern fired district tributary to Hopkinsville, Springfield and Clarksville progressed slowly up to September 10. Farmers are selecting ripe plants and permitting the remainder of the crop to mature before cutting. About 40 per cent of the crop in that district had been cut as of September 16. first 36 weeks this year, or to September 4, totaled 26,660,535 cars, against 23,876,296 cars in 1936 and 21,075,543 cars in 1935. Estimated tonnage of the Federal Barge Line between St. Louis and New Orleans in August was 182,500 tons, against 179,172 tons in July and 137,546 tons in August, 1936; cumu lative tonnage for the first eight months this year was 1,164,452 tons as compared with 1,164,325 tons during the like interval in 1936. CONSUM PTION OF ELE C TR IC ITY Public utilities companies in six large cities of the district report consumption of electric current by selected industrial customers in August as being 3.7 per cent smaller than in July and 4.6 per cent more than in August, 1936. Detailed figures fo llo w : (K .W .H . No. of Aug., in thous.) Custom1937 ers K .W .H . Evansville..... 40 3,078 Little Rock.. 35 2,398 Louisville .... 82 9,916 Memphis ..... 31 2,231 Pine Bluff.... 20 552 St. Louis.....189 28,077 Totals..... 397 46.252 July, Aug. 1937 1937 comp, with K .W .H . July, 1937 3,680 — 16.4% 2,377 + 0.9 10,510 — 5.7 2,112 + 5.6 743 — 25.7 28,596 — 1.8 48,018 — 3.7 Aug., Aug. 1937 1936 comp, with K .W .H . Aug. 1936 3,141 — 2.0% 2,392 - f 0.3 9,104 + 8.9 2,233 — 0.1 420 + 31.4 26,918 + 4.3 44,208 + 4.6 COM M ODITY PRICES BUILDING Range of prices in the St. Louis market be tween August 16, 1937, and September 15, 1937, with closing quotations on the latter date and on September 16, 1936, follows: The dollar value of permits issued for new con struction in the five largest cities of the district in August was 14.7 per cent smaller than in July and 33.7 per cent less than the August, 1936, total. A c cording to statistics compiled by the F. W . Dodge Corporation, construction contracts let in the Eighth Federal Reserve District in August amounted to $16,160,000 which compares with $17,054,000 in July and $17,313,100 in August, 1936. Building figures for August follow s: High $1.03 $ 1.0354 1.0454 1.05 1.07 1.03 1.08 1.09% 1.16** 1.14*6 1.13*4 1.1854 1.19 .943/4 .54*4 .62*4 1.04 1.06 1.04 .63% .65 1.07 1.09 1.14*4 .96% .92** 1.15 1.24 .29 •295* .20% •3154 .3254 .30 ^ .32 .32*4 5.45 7.05 .0875 8.75 5.45@ 5.95 7.05@ 7.45 .0885 10.25@ 12.60 Tt-VO OO Wheat *Sept................... ...per bu..$1.12 << *Dec................... 1.13H *May ............... 1.19*4 *No. 2 red winter “ 1.1654 “ *No. 2 hard “ 1.10 Corn “ *Sept.................. 1.08*4 (t *Dec.................... .6854 “ *May ............... . .70 ** *No. 2 mixed .., 1.08 “ *No. 2 white ... 1.09 Oats “ *Sept................... .3234 *Dec.................... .31 ♦May ................ •325* *No. 2 white .34 Flour Soft Patent...... 6.25 Spring “ ...... 8.05 Middling Cotton. ..per lb. .1065 Hogs on hoof......,.per cwt.12.75 *Nominal quotations. Close Sept. 15, 1937 Sept. 16, 1936 Low $ .46 5.35 @ 5.85 7.55 @ 7.75 .1300 7.75@10.90 (Cost in thousands) Evansville.... Little Rock Louisville.... St. Louis.... New Construction Permits Cost 1936 1936 1937 1937 6 55 $ 210 $ 149 364 126 14 41 115 431 1,357 228 25 195 286 520 504 241 413 283 Aug. Totals 668 July 650 June “ 770 620 567 542 TRAN SPORTATION The St. Louis Terminal Railway Association, which handles interchanges for 28 connecting lines, interchanged 95,935 loads in August, against 96,594 loads in July and 91,507 loads in August, 1936. Dur ing the first nine days of September the interchange amounted to 24,759 loads, which compares with 27,937 loads during the corresponding period in August and 24,500 loads during the first nine days of September, 1936. Passenger traffic of the report ing roads in August increased 9 per cent in passen gers carried and a like amount in revenue as com pared with the same month a year ago. For the entire country, loadings of revenue freight for the Page 6 1,704 1,998 2,987 2,571 1,380 1,144 Repairs, etc Cost Permits 1937 1936 1937 1936 92 $ 134 $ 55 184 37 26 54 84 269 46 213 88 73 46 91 149 357 169 202 84 711 684 815 615 656 673 570 624 549 ~557 491 408 LIFE INSURANCE Sales of new, paid-for, ordinary life insurance in states including the Eighth District during August, the preceding month, and a year ago, together with the cumulative totals for the first eight months this year and the comparable period in 1936 are shown in the following table: (In thousands Aug., July, Aug., Cumulative Totals of dollars) 1937 1937 1936 1937 1936 Arkanssas........ $3,701 $ 3,861 $ 3,613 $ 31,633 $ 30,451 Illinois.............. 43,735 46,774 41,454 397,941 368,684 Indiana............. 13,216 14,019 12,544 115,993 110,349 Kentucky......... 6,827 7,139 5,953 51,795 51,464 Mississippi....... 3,250 3,332 3,042 28,760 24,674 Missouri........... 16,428 19,842 16,226 156,455 147,108 Tennessee........ 8,650 8,017 7,313 68,170 60,730 Totals........... 95,807 United States... 546,067 102,984 588,523 Cumul. change + 3.9% + 7.9 + 5.1 + 0.6 + 16.6 + 6.4 + 12.3 90,145 850,747 793,460 + 534,077 4,950,941 4,687,686 + 7.2 5.6 M ONEY AND BANKING In the Eighth District the banking and financial situation during the past thirty days was character ized by a further improvement in demand for credit. The betterment extended to all the principal borrow ing groups, but was most pronounced in the case of mercantile and manufacturing interests, reflecting the usual seasonal expansion in commitments to finance merchandise for fall and winter distribution. Requirements for financing the crop movement in creased markedly, particularly in the cotton and tobacco producing areas. Borrowing of country banks from their city correspondents increased moderately, and employment of Federal Reserve accommodation by member banks broadened. In the third week of September bills discounted by this bank rose to the highest point of the year, and the total was approximately eight times larger than at the corresponding period in 1936. Increase in the demand for currency was reported in somewhat greater than the usual seasonal volume. Member Banks — Between August 18 and Sep tember 15, total loans of the reporting member banks increased 1.7 per cent and on the latter date recorded a new high for the year and an increase of 18.6 per cent over the total on the corresponding report date in 1936. Gross deposits, which had de clined in August, moved sharply upward during the first half of September, and at the middle of the month were about on a parity with a year earlier. Investments decreased 3.1 per cent and reserve bal ances increased 5.3 per cent in the four-week period. Statements of the principal resource and liabili ty items of reporting member banks follow : Sept. 15, Aug. 18, Sept. 16, (F or 24 banks— in thousands of dollars) 1937 1936 1937 Loans— total ......... ....... ........ .............................$313,690 $308,217 $264,197 Commercial, industrial, and agricultural: On securities................................................ 55,874 54,858 Otherwise secured and unsecured........... 136,630 131,462 Open market paper.......................................... 11,701 11,451 Loans to brokers and dealers........... ............ 5,891 6,070 6,752 Other loans for purch. or carry, securities 12,389 12,484 * Real estate loans.......................................... 45,869 45,547 43,637 Loans to banks................................................ 7,554 8,279 8,087 Other loans: On securities................................................ 11,288 11,807 Otherwise secured and unsecured........... 26,494 26,259 Investments— total ............................................ 352,046 363,303398,477 217,243231,692 U. S. Gov’ t obligations............................... 205,495 Obligations guaranteed by U. S. Gov’ t.... 45,735 45,941 58,258 Other securities................................................ 100,816 100,119108,527 Gross deposits........................ ....... ..................... 882,352 868,318883,771 Demand deposits.... ........................................ 692,203 677,927698,871 Time deposits................................................... 190,149 190,391184,900 Borrowings .................. .................................................................................. .......... * Comparable figures not available. Loans and Investments Gross Borrow(B y cities, Number Discounts in Securities Deposits ings Sept. 15, 1937) Banks $185,350 $242,363 $557,665 ................ St. Louis..................... 9 58,521 33,708 125,233 ................ Louisville ................... 5 45,041 46,983 123,636 ................ Memphis .................... 3 10,748 12,833 35,205 ................ Little Rock.................4 __________________ 14,030 16,159 40,613 ................ Evansville ...................3 The resources of these reporting member banks comprise approxi mately 63.6% of the resources of all member banks in this district. The aggregate amount of savings deposits held by selected member banks on September 1 declined slightly from a month earlier, but was 5.2 per cent greater than on September 2, 1936. At downtown St. Louis banks as of the week ending September 15, interest rates charged were as follows: Customers’ prime commercial paper, \y2 to 5 per cent; collateral loans, 2y2 to 6 per cent; loans secured by warehouse receipts, 2 to 5 per cen t; interbank loans, 3y to 4 per cent and cattle loans 4y2 to 6 per cent. Federal Reserve Operations — Effective Sep tember 2 the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis established a rate of \y2per cent per annum on re discounts of eligible paper for member banks and on member banks’ collateral notes, under Section 13 and 13a of the Federal Reserve Act as amended, and also a rate of 2 per cent per annum on advances to member banks under Section 10b of the Act. This is a reduction of one-half per cent in each rate. Following is a complete schedule of rates of this bank for accommodations: (1) Rediscounts and advances to member banks, under Section 13 and 13a........................................................\X A % per annum (2) Advances to member banks, under Section 10b........... 2 % per annum (3) Rediscounts, purchases, and advances to member banks, nonmember banks and other financing in stitutions, under Section 13b: (a) On portion for which financing institution is obligated........................................................3J^% per annum (b) On remaining portion....................................... 4 % per annum (4) Commitments not exceeding six months to member banks, nonmember banks and other financing in stitutions, to rediscount, purchase, or make ad vances, under Section 13b............................................ J4% flat (5) Advances to established industrial or commercial ( 4 % to businesses, under Section 13b................................. \ 5j£% per annum (6) Advances to individuals, firms and corporations, including nonmember banks, secured by direct obligations of United States under Section 13....... 4 % per annum Changes in the principal assets and liabilities of this bank appear in the following table: Sept. 18, 1937 .,$ 267 682 85 ... 111,385 (In thousands of dollars) Other advances and rediscounts.. U. S. Ratio of reserve to deposit and F. R. Note liabilit Sept. 18, 1936 $ 523 85 87 129,927 112,419 112,168 130,622 ... 294,197 ... 220,302 ... 180,565 288,168 213,660 180,104 249,030 198,582 172,657 Total earning assets.................. ............ Total deposits Aug. 18, 1937 $ 301 396 86 111,385 >.. 1,037 1,039 1,517 ... 73.4% 73.2% 67.1% Debits to Individual Accounts — The following comparative table of debits to individual accounts reflects spending trends in this district: Aug., 1936 Aug., (In thousands of dollars) 1937 East St. Louis and Natl. Stock Yards, 111..$ 37,816 El Dorado, Ark.... . 4,943 Evansville, Ind.... . 34,038 Fort Smith, Ark... . 10,725 Greenville, Miss..., 3,849 1,453 Helena, Ark.......... Little Rock, Ark.... 32,754 Louisville, K y...... . 150,903 Memphis, Tenn.... . 99,844 6,162 Owensboro, Ky.... . Pine Bluff, Ark.... . 7,878 8,151 Quincy, 111............ St. Louis, M o...... . 567,750 1,991 Sedalia, M o.......... Springfield, Mo.... . 14,783 Texarkana, Ark.-Tex. 7,600 $ 35,489 5,620 40,530 11,524 4,678 1,577 34,488 170,452 109,696 6,134 8,980 8,664 656,900 1,974 15,798 8,414 $ 30,382 4,092 27,519 9,632 3,843 1,384 29,449 141,576 101,824 5,219 6,984 7,488 505,754 1,856 13,915 6,193 , 990,640 1,120,918 897,110 (Completed September 23, 1937) July, 1937 Aug., 1937, comp, with July, 1937 Aug. 1936 - f 6.6% — 12.0 — 16.0 — 6.9 — 17.7 — 7.9 — 5.0 — 11.5 — 9.0 + 0.5 — 12.3 — 5.9 — 13.6 4- 0.9 — 6.4 — 9.7 +24.5% + 20.8 +23.7 + 11.3 + 0.2 + 5.0 + 11.2 + 6.6 — 1.9 + 18.1 + 12.8 + 8.9 + 12.3 + 7.3 + 6.2 +22.7 — 11.6 + 10.4 Page 7 N A T IO N A L SU M M AR Y OF BUSINESS CO N D ITIO N S B Y B O ARD OF G O V E R N O R S OF F E D E R A L R E S E R V E SYSTEM INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Index of physical volume of production, adjusted for sea sonal variation, 1923-1925 average = 100. By months, Jan uary, 1929, through August, 1937. Latest figure 117. FACTORY EMPLOYMENT AND PAYROLLS Indexes of number employed and payrolls, without adjust ment for seasonal variation, 1923*1925 average = 100. By months, January, 1929, through August, 1937. Latest fig ures employment 102.2, payrolls 103.7. In August industrial activity advanced from the level of the two preceding months and on a seasonally adusted basis was close to the volume of last spring. Early reports for September indicate a decline in steel output and a seasonal decrease in the production of automobiles. Production and Employment — Volume of industrial production, as measured by the Board's seasonally adjusted index, was 117 per cent of the 1923-1925 average in August as compared with a level of 114 per cent in June and July and 118 per cent during the spring. Steel produc tion rose slightly further and was close to the high level prevailing before strikes curtailed output in June. Automobile production was maintained in considerably larger volume than is usual in the month preceding the shift to new model production. Lumber output declined, following a period of increase. In the nondurable goods industries output increased in August, reflecting chiefly increases at cotton and woolen textile mills, following considerable declines in the preceding month. Activity at meat packing establishments increased somewhat from an extremely low level. Shoe production showed less than the usual seasonal rise. At mines, output of coal increased less than season ally, while crude pertoleum production continued to expand. Value of construction contracts awarded, as reported by the F. W. Dodge Cor poration, declined somewhat in August and the first half of September. Awards for private residential building showed little change and were in about the same volume as in the corresponding period in 1936, while publicly-financed residential building declined and was in considerably smaller volume than last year. Factory employment, which had increased in July, showed less than a seasonal rise in August. Factory payrolls increased by about the usual seasonal amount. The number employed at steel mills increased some what further, while at automobile factories, railroad repair shops, and sawmills employment declined. In the textile industries employment in the production of fabrics decreased somewhat, while employment in the production of wearing apparel increased. Changes in employment in most other manufacturing industries were small. Agriculture — Department of Agriculture crop estimates, based on September 1 conditions, were about the same as the estimates a month earlier, except for an increase in cotton and a decrease in corn. Output of leading crops is substantially larger than last season. Supplies of livestock and meats are expected by the Department of Agriculture to continue smaller than last year. Distribution — Mail order sales and sales at department stores showed somewhat less than the usual seasonal increase from July to August. Freight-car loadings continued at the level of the previous month. Wednesday figures, January 3, 1934, through September 22, 1937. Commodity Prices — Cotton prices declined considerably further from the middle of August to the third week of September and there were smaller decreases in cotton goods, silk, hides, steel scrap, copper scrap, and lumber. Prices of livestock and livestock products, after some decline in the latter part of August and the first week of Septem ber, advanced sharply in the middle of September. Bank Credit— Excess reserves of member banks increased in the five-week period ending September 22 from $800,000,000 to $1,000,000,000 as the result of a release of gold by the Treasury from its inactive account. The bulk of the increase in excess reserves went to New York City banks and on September 22 these banks had excess reserves of $350,000,000; Chicago banks had $50,000,000, and banks elsewhere $600,000,000. Commercial loans at reporting member banks in 101 lead ing cities, reflecting in part seasonal demands, continued to increase substantially during the four weeks ending September 15, both in New York City and outside. Holdings of United States Government obliga tions and of other securities showed a further decrease, with the result that total loans and investments declined somewhat. Wednesday figures of estimated excess reserves for all member banks and for New York City, January 6, 1932, through September 22, 1937. Page 8 Money Rates — Rates on 9-month Treasury bills declined from 0.71 per cent early in September to 0.44 per cent later in the month, and average yields on long-term Treasury notes declined from about 1-5/8 per cent to below 1-1/2 per cent.