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FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS MONTHLY REPORT ON GENERAL BUS!NESS CONDITIONS !N FEDERAL RESERVE D!STR!CT No. 8 Released for Publication On and After the Afternoon of November 29,1921 W IL L IA M McC. M ARTIN, CHAIRM AN OF TH E BOARD AND FEDERAL RE8ERVE AGENT E N E R A L business in this district during the past thirty days, while holding recent gains, failed to continue the pace of improvement set during the preceding two months. In some lines excellent progress was reported, but elsewhere there was a decided slowing down. Gains about off set losses, and taken as a whole the situation at the end of the period under review may be described as steady. A further slight reduction in the number of unemployed is noted, and outside of industries based on iron and steel, plant operation has in creased over the average maintained during the preceding thirty days. The banking and financial position shows augmented strength, with ample funds available for all legitimate commercial needs. ftie principal barrier to broader distribution of merchandise has been the radical decline in the market price of farm products, particularly wheat, com and oats. Merchants in the typical grain areas report that farmers are cutting their purchases to absolute necessities, and there are endless com plaints of the disproportion existing between the price of products of the soil and manufactured goods. According to manufacturers of implements, fall crops were put in this year with fewer new im plements than has been the case in more than two decades. Color is given to this statement by the October sales of implement manufacturers and dis tributors reporting to this bank, which show de creases of from 45 to 90 per cent under the corres ponding period in 1920. In the South business through October held up well, but with the slowing down in the demand for spot cotton, and the decline in prices for that staple, the movement in all lines has been considerably less Keen. An enormous amount of cotton, both of this year's crop and the carryover from 1920, was mar keted at the advance, however, and in addition to being able to liquidate a material part of its in debtedness, including so-called "frozen credits," the cotton territory finds itself in position to purchase commodities on a scale which would have hardly been thought possible ninety days ago. W hat by merchants and manufacturers is pointed out as the most hopeful feature at the mo ment is the growth of buying for future delivery. While the greatest caution and conservatism is still being exercised, the percentage of orders for for ward shipment has shown a gratifying increase dur ing the last month. This manifestation is noted par ticularly in dry goods, groceries, shoes, hardware Rad clothing. Reporting interests in these lines state that as high as sixty per cent of their current orders are for shipment during late winter and early spring. Results of the change in this regard are re flected m greater confidence on the part of manuacturers, who are broadening their programs both lor the purchase of raw material and preparation of stock goods. Unseasonably warm weather throughout Octo ber had a derogatory effect on the movement of sea sonal merchandise, especially heavy clothing and fuel. Lmes which specialize in holiday goods report that the first signs of ordering for the Christmas season have been later in developing than for many years past. Manufacturers and wholesalers of toys, candy and other typical holiday goods report their orders to date are considerably below normal, and several give it as their opinion that the genera! wave of economy and conservatism will result this year in the buying for gifts of an unusually heavy percentage of necessary articles rather than things in the luxury classification. On the other hand manufacturers of electrical supplies report a decided improvement in the demand for specialties since the first of November. Save in a few instances, the decision of the rail road labor unions not to strike had little effect on business. Of considerably more importance than the strike question, according to reporting business interests, is rate adjustment. The waiting attitude of numerous prospective buyers is due entirely to expectations of lower prices later on, which they believe will be made possible by reductions in trans portation costs. This is true especially of heavy materials, such as iron and steel, 6re clay products, cement, lumber and fertilizers. Despite the decline in prices of cereals, the movement to market is holding up fairly well, which is taken as an indication that farmers are more reconciled to the change in values and con ditions and are liquidating their stocks. Prices con sidered, business in the grain areas is much better than might be expected. In November the Decem ber wheat option declined in the St. Louis market to 96%c, a new low record on the crop, and the low est point touched since October, 1915. December com fell to 42%c and December oats to 31 %c. Cash prices were correspondingly low, except in the case of choice milling wheat, which has ruled relatively strong because of the scarcity of prime offerings. Through the month of October, according to ofHcials of railroads operating in this district, the movement of freight was well maintained and a fur ther reduction recorded in the number of idle freight cars. Coal loadings were stimulated by ap prehension of a railroad strike, and this cause was also accountable for requests for expedition in the shipment of certain merchandise and raw materials. Since the first of November there has been a slow ing down on freight offerings to the roads, noted especially in grain and grain products, coal and coke and live stock. Lumber is moving in good vol ume, and the same is true of miscellaneous mer chandise. The St. Louis Terminal Railway Asso ciation, which includes in its membership 36 rail roads operating through this gateway, interchanged 191,762 loads in October; 161,168 loads in Septem ber; 162,168 loads in August; 146,500 loads in July; 142,700 loads in June and 147,879 loads in May. During the first nine days of November the inter change amounted to 92,924 loads, against 83,864 loads during the corresponding period in October. There has been no change worthy of note in passen ger traffic as contrasted with the preceding thirty days, but the volume is considerably under that of a year ago. Production of soft coal in the district and the country as a whole showed steady increase during October, due to impetus given by fears of a rail road strike and seasonal considerations, but the out put dropped sharply during the first week of November. Producers and dealers report continued quietness in the demand for steaming fuel, and con tracting for winter needs of domestic consumers is still much below normal. The recent cold snap, however, has been marked by freer orders from householders. The demand for metallurgical coke shows virtually no improvement, and the trend of prices is easier. Stocks of by-product coke are large and moving slowly into consumption. Production of soft coal during the first 261 days of the past five years has been as follows: 1917, 467,164,000 tons; 1918, 501,507,000 tons; 1919, 402,152,000 tons; 1920, 460,217,000 tons and 1921, 347,565,000 tons. It will be seen that 1921 is in round numbers 55,000,000 tons behind 1919 and 113,000,000 tons behind 1920, and compared with the average of the four preced ing years, it is 110,000,000 behind. According to reports from 230 automobile dealers scattered through the cities and small towns of the district, business during October lost much of the spontaneity noted in September. Sales in the country are reported very slow, especially in the grain sections. The market as a whole is feeling effects of an unusually heavy burden of used cars, prices for which are low and the demand poor. Large numbers of these used vehicles were sold in St. Louis during October at almost any figure they would bring. Cuts in new cars, ranging from $100 to $800, were made by eleven manufacturers. Rela tively the market for accessories is more active than that for new cars. Tire dealers report a seasonal decline in their business. Collections generally throughout the district continue satisfactory, especially on current accounts which are for the most part being met promptly. October settlements with the big wholesalers in leading cities of the district were well up to expec tations, and compare favorably with past years. Some complaints of backwardness in settling bills are heard from the grain regions, and during the past two weeks there has been a slowing down in liquidation to the South, due to the fact that cotton has not been selling as freely as heretofore, and em bargoes at certain points have hindered the move ment. Answers to 378 questionnaires addressed to representative interests in various lines in the Eighth Federal Reserve District, asking for data relative to collections, show the following results: 3.1 per cent excellent; 38.2 per cent good; 47 per cent fair and 11.7 per cent poor. The per capita circulation of the United States on November 1, 1921, was $52.71 against $52.45 on October 1, 1921 and $59.77 on November 1, 1920. Commercial failures in the 12 Federal Reserve Districts during the months of September and October, with comparative figures for October, 1920 as compiled by Dun's were as follows: District Boston, First........................ ........... New York, Second............. --------Philadelphia, Third............. ........... Cleveland, Fourth............... ........... Richmond, Fifth................. Atlanta, Sixth...................... ............ Chicago, Seventh................. ........... St. Louis, Eighth................. ........... Minneapolis, Ninth............. ........... Kansas City, Tenth........... --------Dallas, Eleventh................. --------San Francisco, Twelfth ........... _______ NUMBER Oct. Sept. 1921 1921 135 124 350 317 77 63 177 118 85 153 125 230 179 88 80 70 57 76 61 109 104 139 153 Total............................... ...........1,713 1,466 Oct. 1920 L IA B IL IT IE S September October 1921 1921 October 1920 59 275 27 69 58 38 122 47 16 41 42 129 $ 1,550,137 17,525,697 7,890,928 2,613,018 1,511,141 5,271,140 5,853,226 1,117,815 1,833,103 2,000,108 2,455,126 3,437,220 $ 2,725,247 10,439,409 978,713 2,815,406 1,692,840 2,328,764 6,777,026 2,383,404 980,471 1,042,641 2,872,281 1,984,635 $ 937,595 15,462,866 2,902,609 1,933,886 1,644,702 613,307 6,259,566 1,280,507 83,769 775,366 2,947,957 4,071,529 923 $53,058,659 $37,020,837 $38,914,659 M A N U F A C T U R IN G A N D W H O L E S A L E Reports from leading manufacturing interests of the district indicate somewhat varied results dur ing October, and the same holds true relative to wholesalers. Goods for common consumption con tinue to move well, and in some lines, notably shoes, drugs and chemicals and groceries, total sales and shipments were larger than in August or Septem ber, and with a number of important interests ex ceeded those of the corresponding period a year ago. Dry goods and clothing experienced fair activ ity in October, but during the past two weeks buy- ing has decreased, due in a measure to the unsea sonably warm weather. A universal comment of interests reporting is that while more confidence seems to be felt in current prices, there is a decided disposition to economy and conservatism. The pub lic is insisting upon quality and what it considers right prices. Retailers have disposed of the major part of their high priced goods and in most in stances have readjusted their prices to square with reductions made by manufacturers and wholesalers, but further progress in that direction must be made to restore the norma! balance. Stocks of merchan dise in retailers hands are light, and there is more of a disposition to restock and All out assortments. Buying for forw ard delivery has picked up more during the past thirty days than during the three months preceding. Lines based on iron and steel and the non-ferrous metals show no improvement over the dull conditions existing heretofore. There is a general tendency to defer purchasing until freight rates have been reduced and labor costs in the building industry lowered. Manufacturers of specialties, such as stoves and farm implements, report dull conditions, with the usual seasonal in crease in their business failing utterly to develop. Shoes— O ctober sales of 11 reporting interests ranged from 32 to 40 per cent larger in numbers of pairs than a year ago, while the dollar was from 8 per cent less to 12 per cent larger than in O ctober, 1920. Orders arriving since N ovem ber 1 indicate that this m onth will make a still m ore favorable showing. T h e new business includes a heavy show ing for future shipment, ranging from 42 to 60 per cent. Prices o f the finished product were unchanged during the past month, and are from 35 to 45 per cent under the same time in 1920. Raw materials are plentiful, with the trend of prices slightly higher. T h e demand centers principally on moderate and low -priced shoes, and factories producing such grades are operating at full capacity. C lothing— T h rou gh ou t O ctober, according to reports of 23 leading interests, the m ovem ent of all lines o f cloth ing was brisk, and above expectations. B uying, how ever, received a sharp check toward the end of the month, and the first weeks o f N ovem ber have been extrem ely dull. Prices continue the dom inant consideration, and this applies to w om en's w ear as well as men's. Several leading m anufacturers of men's suits have announced re ductions running from 5 to 15 per cent on spring lines. T h e m ovem ent o f heavy suits and overcoats has been backw ard, due to the warm weather dur ing the past six weeks. Sales of the reporting inter ests in O ctob er were from 4 to 12)^ per cent over the preceding month, and from 7 per cent less to 16 per cent better than a year ago. Iron and Steel Products— Sales of pig iron in the district during the past month were the smallest for any similar period this year. T h e dullness was accom panied b y a weakening in prices, No. 2 ern (1.75 to 2.25 per cent silicon) dropping to base, w ith small tonnages going at a slight ctmcession under that figure. Job foundries f^por e demand fo r castings at a low ebb, while the large steel plants are operating at only a small fraction oi capacity. W areh ouse interests are carrying lbera stocks and report the m ovem ent o f their good s into consum ption as slow as at any time since t e s ump set in last fall. Stove foundries com plain o f l ^ k orders, the seven reporting interests show ing O cto ber sales 4 to 10 per cent under those m September, and 10 to 25 per cent under the corresponding month in 1920. Boiler makers and manufacture^ of machinery and tools show heavy decreasesm volume of business in October as contras the like period a year ago. High railroad rates and uncertainty relative to future prices are delaying the placing of contracts for all sorts oi metal goods. Hardware— Business by the 12 reporting inter ests during October is described as steady with the preceding month, but the tendency is for purchasing to slow down in the grain sections. Several Arms report increases over the corresponding month last year, but make the comment that it was about this month in 1920 that results of the depression began to be felt. The trend of prices continues downward. T he demand for building hardware is gradually im proving, and sales of seasonal sporting goods con tinue in good volume. Shelf hardware and articles for use on the farm are moving slowly. Flour— Prices of all grades of Hour have de clined from 50c to 75c a barrel during the period under review, and generally business has been irreg ular and unsatisfactory from the selling viewpoint. Th e domestic demand continues in fair volume, but is on a hand to mouth basis, ordering for future de livery or in quantity being almost nil. There is some export business, mainly to Western Europe, but this is not sufficient to change conditions. Com plaints are made of the poor quality of wheat offer ings, it being necessary to pay premiums for good milling grades. Operation of mills in the district during the period under review was at from 50 to 60 per cent capacity. Buying by the Government for Russian relief is expected to stimulate business dur ing the next few months. Mills in this district wil! be benefited by the decision of the committee to purchase part Arst hard clears, instead of 100 per cent soft wheat flour, as was the original plan. Candy— A ccording to the 11 reporting firms, business in October failed to maintain the gains recorded in September. The demand for all grades is slow, and considerably below norma! for this time o f year. Plans being made for holiday trade are on a smaller scale than in previous years. Plant opera tion was curtailed, ranging from 50 to 85 per cent, against 70 to 90 per cent of capacity in September. Drugs and Chemicals— Measured in dollar va!ue, business of the 7 reporting interests was from 10 to 16 per cent under October, 1920, but about steady in point of volume. Orders received during the first tw o weeks of November show a good in crease over the same period in October. Chemicals for use in manufacturing are m oving in better vol ume, and some sundries for the holiday trade are being ordered. Prices averaged close to steady, as the list o f changes, which includes 22 articles, shows 10 advances and 12 declines. Furniture— Sales of 14 reporting interests were slightly in excess of September, and averaged 20 per cent under the same month in 1920. Buying contin ues almost exclusively for immediate shipment, but a better demand is reported for household furniture. Prices for finished goods were steady during the month, but some raw materials, notably !umber, were higher. Lum ber— A heavy demand for structural lum ber, m ost pronounced in yellow pine, and great im provem ent in demand for hardwoods, marked the four weeks ending November 15. Prices have ad vanced in all items of yellow pine and in the princi pal hardwoods, and though the yellow pine demand has declined to some extent in the last ten days of the period, the market is strong and bids fair to go through the usual winter lull without pronounced weakness. Some of the upper grades of yellow pine have advanced 60 to 70 per cent over low levels of three months ago, and the general level of this species has shown a gain of about 25 per cent. A l though yard buying has diminished in volume, de mand from other sources is increasing, railroad car material and maintenance of way material being in greater requirement and the wood consuming in dustries having increased their buying in many directions. Mill stocks are badly broken and re plenishment is slow, due to continued restriction of output. Shipments have been heavy, with a plen itude of cars. Increased foreign demand for the hardwoods has been simultaneous with a much bet ter domestic movement. Furniture factories and flooring mills have been in the market with heavy requirements. The upper grades of oak and gum, the principal commercial woods of the Southwest, are in very active demand at substantial advances in prices. There has also been a great improvement in demand for low grade materials and, in spite of almost prohibitive freight rates, these stocks are now moving at a small proAt to the producers. IN D U S T R IA L P O W E R C O N SU M P TIO N fell 7.7 per cent behind September. Louisville, on the other hand, seems to be improving rapidly, as that city's September figures were 33.5 per cent off from the September, 1921, totals, while the lag in October behind the same month in 1920 was only 15.5 per cent, and as compared with September, October shows a gain of 11 per cent. October statistics of the four leading electric power companies, located in the four largest cities of the district, reflect an upward trend. While the combined figures are 17.8 per cent under last year, there are marked gains in the two largest centers over the preceding month this year. Little Rock, the only center showing an increase over last year, The October figures follow: Percentage Inc. or Dec. 1920_________Sept. Representative CONSU M PTIO N IN K .W .H . Customers_______ Oct. 1920____________ Oct. 1921____________ Sept. 1921 7,865,534 k.w. h. 8,865,679 k. w. h. 8,153,658 k. w. h. St. Louis______68 9,933,295 " 7,119,890 " Memphis — 31 694,505 " 632,935 " 640,357 " Little Rock.. 11 1,666,000 " 2,190,000 " 1,849,600 " Louisville ___81 Location Total______191 21,621,909 17,763,505 " 10,126,039 3.6 -8.0 -28.3 1.1 -15.5 -7.7 11.0 -17.8 " R E T A IL communities. As in the case of wholesale distribu A rather sharp recession in activities at the tion, retail trade in the typical grain sections is be ultimate end of distribution during the past thirty ing adversely affected by the decline in the market days is attributed in a large part by retailers value of cereals. A rather universal comment with throughout the district to unseasonably warm weather and a general disposition on the part of retailers reporting to this bank is that holiday buy ing is unusually backward this season. Jewelers in the public to take only what it absolutely needs. The latter factor is working more particularly in the large cities report a radical falling off in their the country, though city merchants also comment on business. While in isolated cases gains are shown, the wave of economy. The demand for heavy cloth the average for the district is about 20 per cent un ing has been very disappointing, and large stocks der the preceding month. Hardware merchants say of both women's and men's wear, which it had been that while their general line is quiet, that they are hoped to move before this, are still on retailers' selling large quantities of ammunition and other shelves. While bargain goods are moving in fair supplies for hunters. Sporting goods generally are volume, department stores are not finding the re holding their own, with seasonal goods, such as sponse to advertised sales noted heretofore. Sales football and basketball supplies, moving in heavy of cotton fabrics, trimmings, and other materials in volume. Hand implements, and shelf hardware are this classification are relatively heavy, as are, also, dull. Printers report their business about steady purchases of paper patterns, which is interpreted with a month ago, but less active demand from cus as meaning a continuance of the practice of making tomers conducting selling campaigns. Railroads more dresses at home. In the southern sections the are furnishing more work for the printing shops. activity in retail trade which accompanied the rise The disposition to economize is reflected in de in raw cotton prices, has subsided in a noticeable creased receipts of places of amusement, and in degree. Collections of retailers in that region, how sales of candy shops, florists and other purveyors of ever, have been excellent, especially in the rural luxuries. Figures on retail trade as indicated by 21 representative department stores for October, 1921, were as follows: ^ Net Sales: St. Louis Oct., 1921, compared with Oct., 1920_______-9.5 Period July 1 to Oct. 31, 1921 compared with same period in 1920___________________ -12.7 Stocks at end of October, 1921: Compared with same month in 1920________-10.3 Compared with stocks at end of Sept., 1921..- .7 Ratio of stocks to sales--------------------------------- .408.7 Ratio of-outstanding orders to last year's purchases_____________________________ 6.3 Note: -Denotes decrease. Louisville Memphis Little Rock Evansville____ Quincy 8th District -7.1 -6.3 -7.2 -17.3 -8.3 -8.7 -11.1 -18.2 -11.1 -21.7 -10.8 -13.0 -11.6 5.7 643.8 -29.1 .7 567.0 -13.5 .9 380.5 - 2.4 1.4 858.3 -12.5 - 1.8 521.1 -12.5 .5 461.9 4.4 14.2 6.4 4.1 5.3 6.8 AG RICU LTU RE Husking of corn throughout the Eighth Fed eral Reserve District has made rapid progress and a considerable portion has already been cribbed. Reports from most sections where corn is raised in quantity indicate that the crop is well matured, and the yield both for silage and grain good. Unseason ably warm weather, however, has retarded curing, and there are complaints of damage from mold and ear worm. Pretty general precipitation furnished much needed moisture to the winter wheat crop, which is making excellent progress. There is good root and upper growth, and the plant is in prime condition to enter the cold weather. UnoHicial re ports indicate that the acreage will be slightly un der that of last year. Due to observance of immune planting dates, Hessian Hy manifestations are less in evidence this season than in a number of years. In Missouri corn averages 30 bushels to the acre, against 32 bushels last year, and the total yield 184,590,000 bushels, which compares with a five year average of 170,354,000 bushels. Total pro duction of corn in the district is estimated at 436,180,000 bushels, against 441,118,000 bushels in 1920. Recent advices are to the effect that the tobacco crop is better than expected, and markets are opening in certain sections, with prices satisfactory. The decreases in the size of the crop is due chieHy to reduced acreage. In Kentucky, the largest producing State in the district, quality is reported at 84 per cent, against 80 per cent last year. Present indications point to successful opera tion of the cooperative marketing plan in the burley tobacco belt. Pastures have been beneRtted by recent rains, and are generally in flourishing con dition. The protracted warm weather has enabled farmers to postpone placing their stock on prepared feeds to an unusually late date. Threshing returns from Arkansas indicate yields of rice higher than expected. In Illinois and Indiana the Irish potato crop has been harvested, and the yield is variable both as to quantity and quality. The U. S. Department of Agriculture, in its report as of November 1, gives the condition of com and tobacco in States of this district as follows: CORN Yield per Acre (bu.) 1921 10 yr. Prelim. Av. ....22.0 19.7 Arkansas .-.35.2 33.7 Illinois __ 36.4 -36.0 Indiana __ 27.3 Kentucky -25.6 17.7 Mississippi ____________ 18.0 26.0 Missouri ______________ 30.0 25.3 Tennessee _____________ 26.5 'P R O D U C T IO N S Bu. 1921 1920 l^lg-13 Prelim. Av. Dec. est. 45,224 60,742 44,967 346,330 304,550 294,168 163,620 184,072 178,777 100,650 97,735 85,325 63,733 63,680 85,968 198,880 170,354 184,590 84,834 93,100 92,512 QU ALITY 1 6 2 f 1929 % % &4 83 78 82 71 88 74 78 84 85 80 80 82 84 PRICE NOV. 1 ...... NR "BBT cents cent# 46 iii 35 77 75 36 58 99 112 65 37 80 59 103 TOBACCO (Pounds) Kentucky ______________ 850 858 Tennessee _____________ 800 771 'I n thousands, i. e., 000 omitted. 327,250 60,800 467,500 85,410 440,280 81,453 84 90 80 78 ic of prices on typical products in the St. Louis grain market between October 15 and Novem ber 15, with closing quotations on each of these dates: December wheat__________Per bu. May wheat________________ _" December corn___________ _" May corn_________________ _" December oats____________ _" May oats__________________ __" No. 2 red winter wheat__ __" No. 2 hard wheat.________ __" No. 2 corn ______________ __" No. 2 white corn_________ __" No. 2 white oats____________" Flour: soft patent_______ Per bbl. Flour: spring patent________ " Close October 15 $1.15% 1.19% .45% .51% .33% .37% 1.32 $1.14 @ 1.22 .44 @ .45 .44% .33 6.00 @ 7.00 6.80 @ 7.40 High $114% 1.18 .46% .52% .34 .38% 1.30 1.12 .47% .48% .34% 7.00 7.40 Low $ 96% 102% 42% .48% .31 .35 1.14 .97 .43% .43% .31% 5.75 6.10 Close Nov. 15 $1.00% 105% .45% .50% .32% .37 1.19 1.06 .47% .48% .33% $5.75 @ 6.75 6.30 @ 6.75 The following table, compiled from commercial sources for the Government marketreport, shows the cotton movement from August 1 to October 28: BALES 1921_____________________ 1920 Port receipts___________________________________________________________ ..2,052,952 1^19,779 Port stocks-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,551,377 1,120,134 Interior receipts-------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------- 2,719,536 1,792,610 Interior stocks__________________________________________________________ 1,380,236 1,217,067 Into sight______________________________________________________________ 3,528,896 2,880,827 Northern spinners' takings--------------------------------------------------------------------- 528,548 362,550 Southern spinners' takings----------------- :---------------------------------------------------- 927,949 606,252 W orld's visible supply o f American cotton------------------------------------------------4,519,489 3,519,062 B U IL D IN G official agencies to induce labor to reduce its scale. A further broadening in building activities In St. Louis pledges have been obtained to start throughout the district was noted in October. R e $9,250,000 in building construction in the four ports from scattered sections show considerable months follow in g January 1 providing organized grow th in the construction of new homes, with the crafts will accept a 20 per cent reduction in wages rural districts and smaller towns taking a much from $1.25 to $1 an hour. Extensive road-building more important part in the movement. There have program s are being pressed in M issouri, Arkansas been some further minor reductions in building and Illinois. T h e mild autumn has permitted of material costs, affecting chiefly clay products, considerable progress on this work. cement and metal goods, but lumber prices have advanced. E fforts are being made by private and Comparative figures for O ctober in leading cities of the district fo llo w : 1921 New Construction Permits Cost $1,350,158 St. Louis............ ...........604 722,600 Louisville .......... ...........179 897,780 Memphis .......... .......... 254 87 284,150 Little Rock........ . 55 100,400 Evansville ......... 1,179 Total.......... $3,355,088 OCTOBER 1920 New Construction Repairs, etc. Cost Permits Cost Permits 441 $207,015 411 $824,015 87 99,600 50,900 43 48 23,760 145 312,345 44 72,650 168 45,486 46 6,235 50 92,345 790 $333,396 693 Repairs, etc. Permits Cost 382 $231,715 153 76,800 52 22,600 112 76,586 49 9,647 $1,400,955 748 $417,348 C O M M O D IT Y M O V E M E N T R eceipts and shipments of important com m odities at St. Louis during O ctober, 1921 and 1920, and September, 1921, as reported by the Merchants' Exchange, were as fo llo w s: Oct. 1921 Flour, barrels......................... 589,380 Wheat, bushels....................... 3,510,165 Corn, bushels......................... 2,369,094 Oats, bushels......................... 2,477,225 Lead, pigs.... 199,090 Zinc and Spelter, slabs......... 213,880 Lumber, cars 13,560 Meats, pounds....................... 20,787,900 90,900 Fresh Beef, pounds.............. Lard, pounds......................... 4,133,100 Hides, pounds....................... 6,462,000 RECEIPTS Sept. 1921 621,390 5,457,000 1,855,100 2,437,260 221,960 219,810 11,724 20,182,600 3,216,300 4,403,000 SH IPM E N TS Oct. 1921 Sept. 1921 709,705 815,520 3,522,410 4,369,230 1,938,945 1,171,790 1,919,300 1,724,990 113,610 91,050 303,780 317,520 11,191 9,783 25,273,600 25,465,600 24,139,100 22,765,900 6,564,700 8,973,100 7,761,000 6,682,800 Oct. 1920 335,490 3,584,849 1,259,700 2,200,055 210,700 490,240 12,239 5,337,700 1,346,200 1,507,300 2,057,700 Oct. 1920 366,960 2,597,450 694,960 1,146,100 127,790 657,580 8,735 25,774,600 22,244,900 6,221,800 4,072,200 L IV E STOCK A s reported by the St. Louis National Stock Yards, receipts and shipments o f live stock in O ctober, with com parisons for October, 1920, were as fo llo w s : Cattle & Calves 1921 1920 129,877 131,882 81,760 65,124 1921 241,267 161,524 H ogs 1920 212,944 114,306 Sheep 1921 1920 41,699 41,548 12,287 8,935 Horses & Mules 1921 1920 8,229 7,075 7,091 6,613 L A B O R S IT U A T IO N OCTOBER Replies received from questionnaires addressed to 210 leading employers in 21 of the largest cities in the Eighth Federal Reserve District with an estimated normal complement of 203,219 workers, asking for employment data developed in the fol lowing results: Number of Date Wage Earners Pay Roll Oct. 1,1920 Men 186,890 Women 20,843 Oct. 1,1921 Total 207,733 Men Women 148,492 18,753 $17,834,620.38 Total 167,245 $12,572,533.84 From the above tabulation it will be noted that the number of employees of the reporting interests decreased 40,488 or 19.5% between the dates October 1, 1920 and October 1, 1921. On October 1, 1920 the number was 4,514 or 2.2% above normal and on October 1, 1921, the total was 35,974 or 17.7% under normal. Wages figured bn a semi-monthly basis decreased $5,262,086.54 of 29.5% between October 1, 1920 and October 1, 1921. N O T E : On July 1, 1921, the total number of wage earners was 27.4 per cent under normal and on August 1,1921, 23.1 per cent under normal. SEPTEM B ER Replies received from questionnaires addressed to 210 leading employers in 21 of the largest cities in the Eighth Federal Reserve District, with an estimated normal complement of 193,720 workers, asking for employment data developed in the fol lowing results: Date Sept. 1,1920 Sept. 1,1921 Number of W age Earners Men 191,285 W om en 17,940 Total 209,225 Men W omen 145,163 16,742 Total 161,905 Pay roll $17,948,421.81 $12,020,275.96 From the above tabulation it will be noted that the number of employees o f the reporting interests decreased 47,320 or 22.6 per cent between the dates September 1, 1920, and September 1, 1921. On September 1, 1920 the number was 15,505 or 8 per cent above normal and on September 1, 1921, the total was 31,815 or 16.4 per cent under normal. W ages figured on a semi-monthly basis decreased $5,928,145.85 or 33 per cent between September 1, 1920 and September 1, 1921. F IN A N C IA L Little change w orthy o f com ment has taken place in the genera! financial and banking status of the district during the past thirty days. Th e trend of things noted in the preceding issue of this report continued with considerable evenness, resulting in but slight variation in figures covering the princi pal items denoting financial fluctuations. Liquida tion o f com m ercial indebtedness made further pro gress, with paym ents in the South making a par ticularly favorable showing. Some slow ing down in collections was reported in the typical grain areas, which is accounted for by the decline in mar ket prices o f wheat, corn, oats and live stock. Opening o f the tobacco markets is reflected in the beginnings o f liquidation o f loans based on that staple. Initial prices paid by tobacco buyers have been good . T h e rice market has not opened suffi ciently to materially affect the situation in sections where that cereal is a leading crop. The demand for m oney is reported holding up well, and com m er cial banks are still able to place all their loanable funds. Generally m oney is more plentiful, consider able amounts being made available by com pletion o f the m ovem ent and marketing of a large part of the crops. A good portion of the slack thus created, how ever, is being absorbed in loans for live stock purposes, the demand from that source continuing strong. Rates charged by the com mercial banks have eased off, due to the less urgent demand. O c tober settlements with com m ercial houses in the large cities were heavy, and have resulted in cur tailment o f banking com m ittm ents o f these inter ests. T h e financial m ovem ent during the past thirty days is reflected in the follow ing record o f operations of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. L o u is: Between O ctober 15 and N ovem ber 15 earn ing assets decreased $14,252,000; net deposits de creased $1,378,000; Federal Reserve notes in circu lation decreased $829,000 and the reserve carried against com bined Federal Reserve note and deposit liabilities gained 2.7 per cent, standing at 65.6 per cent on November 15 and 62.9 per cent on October 15. Between the same dates there was a decrease of $4,908,062 in the amount of accommodations granted member banks by this institution. Dullness prevails in the market for commercial paper, with conditions reversed as compared with a few months back. Then there was ample paper and few buyers, while now there is a scarcity of paper, especially of the prime sort, and plenty of buyers. A s is usually the case when rates decline, country banks have withdrawn as buyers, and brokers rely chiefly on the city financial institutions. Investors are turning to bonds and other investments yield ing better returns. Rates range from 5% to 6 per cent, but relatively little paper is going at the major figure o f the range, and some has been placed as low as 5% per cent. The market for bonds continues, with the de mand described as better than at any time since 1916. Prices o f bonds have advanced from 2 to 12 per cent during the last sixty days, and bond houses report difficulty in finding securities to fill the demand. Several recent flotations of corpora tion bonds of large size have been readily ab sorbed, and the same is true of issues of South American cities and countries. There has been no diminution in the demand for U. S. Government obligations of all sorts. This bank's quota of the U. S. 4 % % Treasury Certificates, dated November 1, was $8,000,000 and subscriptions thereto were in excess o f $22,780,000. T he market for bankers acceptances during the past thirty days has developed more activity than for several months. Corporations with idle money and desiring a quickly convertable investment, have purchased fair amounts, and city banks have also figured as buyers. Virtually all the bills figuring in the negotiations have emanated from outside the district. Rates on acceptances reflect the generally easier tendency, ranging from 4% to 4%} per cent. IN T E R E S T RATES B etw een O ctober 16 and N ovem ber 15 the high, low and customary interest rates prevailing in St. Louis, L ouisville, M em phis and Little R ock, as reported by banks in those cities were as follow s: St. Louis______ Louisville______ Memphis______ Little Rock H L C H L C H L C H L C Customers Prime Commercial Paper: „ ^ ^ ^ 0 ^ 7 0 7 7 30 to 90 days.................................................................. 8 5% 6% 7 6 6 8 6 7 8 7 7 4 to 6 months.............................. .................................. 7 5% 6% 7 6 6 8 6 7 8 7 7 Prime Commercial Paper purchased in open market: „ , ^ ^ f.,/ 6 5% 5% ............................................... 30 to 90 days............................................... - ................. 6 5% 6 4 to 6 months.................................................................<3 5/^ 5/^ 6 5% 5% Loans to other banks........................................................... ^ 6 6/2 6 6 6 Bankers' Acceptances of 60 to 90 days: ^ ^ ^ Endorsed ..............- ........................................................4 ^ 4 ^ 6 6 6 ................ ................................ Unendorsed .....................................................................4% 4%; 4% 6 6 6 ..................... Loans secured by prime stock exchange collateral or other current collateral: R 7 R y — < -------------------------------------------------- — i Cattle Loans-------------------------------------------------------------- S ^ Commodity paper secured by warehouse receipts, etc— 7/2 o Loans secured by Liberty Bonds and Certificates---------7 6 % s L/ 0/^ 6/% ^ ? o : 6 6 ^ : r r 8 6 7 7 6 7 r { ? 8 7 8 8 7 8 ! C O N D ITIO N OF B A N K S The condition of banks in this district and changes since a month ago and last year, are reflected in the following comparative statement, showing the principal resources and liabilities of member banks in St. Louis, Louisville, Memphis, Little Rock and Evansville: Nov. 9,1921 Number of banks reporting................................................ 37 Loans and Discounts (including bills rediscounted with F. R. Bank): Secured by U. S. Govt. Obligantions.............................$ 18,840,000 Secured by stocks and bonds other than U. S. Bonds.. 122,220,000 AH other loans and discounts.......................................... 297,871,000 Total loans and discounts..................................................... $438,931,000 Investments: U. S. Government Bonds................................................ 29,642,000 U. S. Victory Notes................................- ....................... 1,540,000 U. S. Treasury Notes.......... ............................................ 185,000 U. S. Certificates of Indebtedness................................. 3,265,000 69,697,000 Other bonds, stocks and securities................- .............. Tota! !oans, discounts and investments (including biHs rediscounted with F. R. Bank)....................................... $543.260.000 Reserve Balance with F. R. Bank..................................... 40,309,000 Cash in vault..................—.................. - ............................... 7,574,000 Net demand deposits on which reserve is computed....... 294^362,&&0 Time deposits........................................................................ 148,964,000 Government deposits.........- ................................................. 8,881,000 Oct. 12,1921 37 Nov. 12,1920 35 $ 19,220,000 118,549,000 300,952,000 $ 31,940,000 127,261,000 $438,721,000 $- 27.164.000 2.069.000 1.859.000 3.277.000 68.118.000 $541,208,000 38.121.000 7,168,000 285.854.000 147.066.000 15.539.000 29,805,000 2,735,000 "4*077^000 $595,510,000 40.350.000 10.066.000 301.465.000 129.563.000 571,000 D EBITS T O IN D IV ID U A L A C C O U N TS The following table gives the total debits charged by banks to checking accounts, savings accounts and trust accounts of individuals, Arms, corporations and U. S. Government and also certificates of deposit paid, in the leading cities of this district during the past month and corresponding period a year ago. Charges to the accounts of banks and bankers are not included. These figures are considered the most reli able index available for indicating actual spending by the public during the periods which they cover. Debits to depositors accounts for four weeks ending: N O VEM BER Nov. 16,1921 S t Louis.. ............................$477,753,000 Louisville _ ............................ 86,852,000 Memphis ............................ 126,295,000 Little Rock ... ----------------------- 44,035,000 East St. Louis & Nat. Stock Yards.. 34,607,000 Evansville --------------------------------- 20,981,000 Springfield --------------------------------- 11,119,000 Quincy -------------------------------------8,477,000 COM PARISON November with October Oct. 12,1921 % Inc. or Dec. $491,736,000 - 2.9 84,786,000 2.4 117,332,000 7.6 51,305,000 -14.1 31,541,000 9.7 19,628,000 6.9 11,203,000 - .7 7,970,000 6.3 C O M PAR ISO N Nov. 1921 with Nov. 1920 Nov. 17,1920 % Inc. or Dec. -16.8 $574,349,000 108,283,000 -19.7 126,630,000 - .3 44,311,000 - .6 ... 21,811,000 - 3.8 ____ F E D E R A L R E SE R V E O P E R A T IO N S In October the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis discounted $121,338,578 of paper for 320 member banks, which is a decrease of $8,092,669 under the amount discounted in September and a decrease of 5 m the number of banks accommodated. Acceptances purchased in October amounted to $753,948, a de crease of $1,897,386 under the preceding month. Effective November 3 this bank reduced its discount rates on all classes and maturities to 5 per cent (Compiled November 19, 1921)