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BUSINESS CONDITIONS Monthly Review of Agriculture, Industry, Trade and Finance Released for Publication on Afternoon of March 29, 1940 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK Scene at Limestone Quarry near Bedford, Indiana OF ST. LOUIS SUMMARY OF EIGHTH D IS TR IC T F eb., 1940 comp, w ith Livestock: Jan., 1940 Feb., 1939 Receipts at National Stock Yards..........— 24.7%+ 13.7% Shipments from aforesaid Yards............— 21.5 + 12.4 Production and Distribution: Sales by mfrs. and wholesalers..............+ 5.6 + 9.4 Department store sales..............................+ 2.0 + 12.0 Car loadings............................................... — 8.2 + 5.5 Building and Construction: i . /N u m b er ... + 79.6 + 10.1 Bldg. permits, mcl. repairs \ Q o st.......... + 47.2 — 11.5 Value construction contracts awarded... + 19.3 — 11.0 Miscellaneous: r• •1 f / Number.............. — 29.7 — 33.3 Commercial failures { Liabilities............ - 42.4 - 53.2 Consumption of electricity......................— 2.6 + 11.9 Debits to individual accounts..................— 13.4 + 11.5 Life Insurance S a les................................+ 0.3 — 8.8 Mar. 13, ’40 comp, w ith Member Banks (24): Feb. 14,’40 Mar. 15/39 Gross deposits............................................. — 1.9%+ 9.7% Loans........................................................... — 0.7 + 7.3 Investments.................................................+ 7.5 ■ 6.3 — O M M ER C IA L and industrial activity in the Eighth Federal Reserve D istrict during Feb ruary was less in many lines than in January, but practically all lines were ahead of the same period last year. In March, stim ulated by the early E aster date, distribution through retail channels, as reflected by departm ent store sales, showed a de cided increase. D epartm ent store sales in the principal cities of the district during February were 2.0 per cent more than January and 12.0 per cent greater than Feb ruary, 1939. For the first two m onths of this year sales were 7.9 per cent larger than during the like period of 1939. On M arch 1 inventories were 7.4 per cent larger than on the first day of March last year. D uring February distribution through whole salers and jobbers was 5.6 per cent and 9.4 per cent larger, respectively, than a m onth and a year earlier. Inventories were still much larger on M arch 1 than on the corresponding date last year, and were 2.3 per cent more than on February 1. Retail sales of passenger automobiles in the St. Louis area in Feb ruary were 4.9 per cent less and 26.6 per cent more, respectively, than in January and February last year. Cumulative sales were 8.8 per cent more than during the first two m onths of 1939. Production at iron and steel plants decreased dur ing the latter part of February and into early March from 68 per cent of capacity to 55 per cent. In midMarch last year production was 60 per cent of capacity. Current prices of pig iron have been re affirmed for the second quarter of the year, and buying has been very light. Shipments against con tracts have improved but the February total was C Page 2 considerably less than a m onth and a year earlier. Bituminous coal production at mines in this gen eral area during February continued well ahead of last year, but fell 15.6 per cent under output for January of this year. Oil production in fields of this district exceeded th at of last year by a considerable margin, and during January production in Illinois was the largest for any m onth during the threeyear boom in th at state. D uring February value of construction contracts let in the district was 19.3 per cent more than during January, but 11.0 per cent less than during Feb ruary last year. Cumulative value for the first two m onths this year was 7.4 per cent less than during the same period last year. In the larger cities of the district the value of perm its for new building de creased as compared w ith February last year, but were more than one-fourth larger than during Ja n uary, 1940. D uring January and February this year the value of perm its issued decreased 25.5 per cent under the same period last year. Electric power consumption by industrial users in the principal centers in February was 2.6 per cent less than in January and 11.9 per cent more than during February last year. Freight traffic of rail roads operating in this district was less during Feb ruary compared w ith the preceding m onth, but greater than in the corresponding period a year ago. Debits to individual accounts at banks in the report ing centers were 13.4 per cent less in February com pared with January, but 11.5 per cent more than during February last year. For the first two months of 1940 debits were 10.6 per cent larger than for the first two m onths of last year. Farm work in states of the E ighth D istrict was slow in getting started, but w ith im provem ent in the weather, progress has been made, and activity, especially in the southern tiers of the district, is now under way. February receipts of livestock at m arkets were less than during January of this year, but somew hat larger than during February last year. W inter w heat in states of the district is coming up in good shape. Some additional m oisture would be helpful. T ruck crops in the southern parts of the district are late because of the severe freezes of the past winter. Commercial failures in the E ighth Federal Reserve D istrict in February, according to Dun and Bradstreet, numbered 26, involving liabilities of $288,000. In January there were 39 defaults, w ith liabilities of $500,000, and in February last year, 37 insolvencies for a total of $615,000. D E T A I L E D SU R V E Y OF D IS TR IC T M A N U F A C T U R IN G A N D W H O L E S A L IN G Lines of Commodities N et Sales Stocks D ata furnished by Bureau of Census, U . S. Dept, of Commerce. February, 1940 compared w ith Jan., *40 Feb., ’39 Feb. 29, 1940 comp, with Feb. 28, 1939 A utom otive S u p p lies......... B oots and S h o es................... Drugs and Chemicals Dry G oods.............................. Electrical Supplies.............. Furniture................................ Groceries................................ H a id w a re.............................. Tobacco and its Products. M iscellaneous....................... — 4.2% + 2 4 .0 — 4.0 — 5.0 4- 9.7 + 13.1 — 2.0 + 3.0 — 2.0 5.5 + 32.4% + 64.4% + 7.3 + 13.0 — 5.1 — 10.3 — 15.4 — 8.3 — 9.0 — 11.5 11.6 — + 8.8 + 6.0 + 15.2 - 5.0 --7 8 .7 — 2 2.0 + 8.5 — 15.8 --1 4 .5 F ebruary sales of all wholesalers and jobbers in vestigated were higher than a year earlier, w ith sales of boots and shoes, electrical supplies, furni ture and hardw are showing increases over January of this year. Inventories of all lines were larger on M arch 1 this year than on the same date in 1939, except in the case of drugs and chemicals, the com posite increase being 16.0 per cent above the earlier date and 2.3 per cent over F ebruary 1 this year. Sales of reporting clothing firms during F ebruary were 26.0 per cent and 16.4 per cent larger, respec tively, than a m onth and a year earlier. Shoe pro duction in the E ighth D istrict, as indicated by prelim inary figures, decreased 2.4 per cent during February. Autom obiles—Com bined passenger car, truck and taxicab production in the U nited States in F ebruary totaled 403,627, as against 432,101 in January and 297,841 in February last year. Iron and Steel Products — D uring F ebruary and the first p art of M arch conditions in the iron and steel industry in this area have been about the same as in the corresponding period a m onth earlier. T here has been very little buying of finished steel by consum ers because of ample stocks on hand, due to previous heavy comm itm ents. T he rate of ingot production decreased from 68 per cent of capacity at m id-February to 55 per cent in the second week of M arch, due prim arily to a reduction in the num ber of larger furnaces active during the period. W arehouses in this area handling finished sheets, bars and plates report business in February about 10 per cent and 22 per cent, respectively, ahead of the previous m onth and February last year. Some orders th a t had been placed for shipm ent in January were held up until February on account of the severe cold w eather during the earlier m onth. De m and for galvanized sheets is about the same as earlier in the year. Jobbers have not been required to draw on mills for additional sheets as inventories are sufficient to m eet present demands. D ealers in scrap iron report new offerings from the country are small, but w ith improvem ent in the w eather scrap will be easier to handle and offerings should increase. Mills are out of the m arket because of com fortable inventories and commitments. S truc tural fabricators in this area have been operating at from 40 to 50 per cent of capacity and business has been rather slow. M ost of the projects have been small. F or the entire country, total output of pig iron in February, according to the magazine “Steel”, am ounted to 2,947,795 tons, which compares w ith 3,593,354 tons in January and 2,060,183 tons in Feb ruary, 1939. T he decrease during February was due to the fact th a t nineteen more blast furnaces were taken out of production and th at February was a tw o-day shorter m onth than January. February out put was the sm allest since last Septem ber both in tonnage and average daily production. O utput of steel ingots in the U nited States in February totaled 4,374,625 net tons, against 5,619,698 net tons in Ja n uary and 3,347,288 net tons in February of last year. M IN IN G A N D O IL C oal— On F ebruary 1 stocks of bitum inous coal held by industrial consum ers were 9.5 per cent less than on January 1. Industrial consumption of b itu minous coal during January rose 6.9 per cent above the December total and, at 33,183,000 tons, was the largest for any m onth since 1932, with the exception of M arch, 1937. W ith tem peratures continuing below normal dur ing the greater p art of the first two m onths of the year, the production record of the bitum inous coal industry was very good. F ebruary output of soft coal in the U nited States, according to the B itu m inous Coal Division of the U nited States D epart m ent of the Interior, totaled 39,270,000 tons, as against 44,940,000 tons in January and 34,134,000 tons in February, 1939. A t mines in this general area, production during F ebruary was 15.6 per cent less than in January, and 15.4 per cent greater than in February a year ago. F or the first two m onths, output was 24.2 per cent greater than for the like period in 1939. A t Illinois mines 4,622,625 tons were lifted in February, as against 5,522,343 tons in January and 4,390,462 tons in February last year. There were 117 mines in operation during February w ith 30,011 men on payrolls, against 116 active mines and 30,358 operatives in January. P e tro le u m — In states of the Eighth D istrict, January production of crude oil was 4.5 per cent more than in December and 114.2 per cent greater Page 3 than in January, 1939. These increases reflect exten sive developm ent in the new Illinois fields, output during January being the greatest for any m onth in the boom, now three years old. Stocks on Ja n uary 31 were 2.8 per cent and 8.1 per cent greater, respectively, than a m onth and a year earlier. De tailed production and stocks by states are given in the following ta b le : (I n thous. of barrels) Production D ec., 1939 Jan., 1939 j an., 1940 2,141 10,732 247 449 f .14,174 1,593 4,446 57 520 2,049 13,473 3,795 1,228 2,373 12,130 3,300 1,204 13,569 Arkansas . . . . 2,098 I l l i n o i s ............11,500 Indiana ......... 193 Kentucky . . . 383 T o ta ls. Stocks Jan. 3 1 /4 0 Jan. 3 1 /3 9 6,616 20,545 19,007 R E T A IL T R A D E D epartm ent Stores — T he trend of retail trade in the E ighth D istrict, as reflected in statistics of de partm ent stores in the principal cities which report to this bank, is shown in the following com parative sta te m e n t: 0. 1 0 . Stock 1 Stocks ____ N et Sales on H and Turnover February, 1940 2 mos. ’40 Feb. 29/40, Jan. 1, to compared w ith to same comp, w ith Feb. 29, Jan., ’40 F eb., ’39 period ’3 9 Feb. 28, ’39 1940 1939 F t. Smith, A r k .. .. L ittle Rock, A rk.. Louisville, Ky. . . . Memphis, Tenn. . . Pine Bluff, A r k ... Quincy, 111............... St. Louis, M o .. .. Springfield, Mo. . . A ll Other C itie s.. 8th F . R. D istrict + 7.9% + 14.3 1.1 — 2.1 + 11.4 + 2 4 .1 + 1.7 — 13.1 — 6.4 + 2.0 + + 11.9% + 13.6 + 11.7 + 6.7 + 12.4 + 18.6 + 13.3 — 5.6 + 13.2 +12.0 + 11.0 % + 10.2 % + 1 0 .4 + 9.1 + 4.6 6.1 + 7.4 - - 3.1 — 9.7 --2 1 .4 + 2.3 + 7.7 + 2.2 + 6.4 + 7.4 + + 8.1 + 8.2 — 3.4 + 1 4 .7 + 7.9 .39 .48 .55 .51 .35 .52 .68 .36 .48 .60 .38 .46 .52 .54 .38 .47 .67 .40 .43 .60 Percentage of accounts and notes receivable out standing February 1, 1940, collected during Feb ruary, by c itie s: Installm ent Excl. Instal. Accounts A ccounts Installm ent E xcl. Instal. A ccounts A ccounts 39.0% 36.3 50.6 38.3 Fort Sm ith............, . 9 L ittle Rock . . 14.6 Louisville — . 15.3 Memphis ----- 24.0 Q uincy ......................... % St. L o u is .............. 20.4 Other C i t i e s .... 17.7 8th F . R. D istrict 19.5 45.7% 52.4 41.4 47.1 Specialty Stores — F ebruary results in m en’s fur nishings and boot and shoe lines are shown in the following table : Stocks Stock N et Sales on H and February, 1940 2 mos. ’40 Feb. 29/40. compared w ith to same comp, w ith Jan., ’40 Feb., ’39 period ’39 Feb. 28, ’39 M en’s Furnishings. — 16.1% + 1 9 .5 % B oots and S h o e s .. + 1 2 .9 + 1.1 + 1 6 .2 % — 1.1 + 1 9 .3 % + 7.9 Turnover Jan. 1, to Feb. 29, 1940 1939 .37 .77 .37 .86 Percentage of accounts and notes receivable out standing February 1, 1940, collected during Feb ruary : M en’s F u rn ish ings................ 36.9% B oots and S h o es...................36.5% T R A N SP O R T A T IO N According to officials of railroads operating in this area, freight traffic handled during February was less than during the previous m onth, but some w hat larger than the same m onth last year. T he St. Louis Term inal Railw ay Association, which handles interchanges for 28 connecting lines, interchanged 78,686 loads in February, compared w ith 85,725 loads in January and 74,568 loads in February, 1939. Page 4 T he interchange during the first nine days of M arch am ounted to 25,290 loads, which compares w ith 25,097 loads during the corresponding period in February and 23,720 loads during the first nine days of M arch last year. D uring the first tw o m onths of 1940 freight traffic handled was approxim ately 6.3 per cent g reater than for the same period a year ago. Passenger traffic of the reporting lines in Feb ruary increased 6.7 per cent in num ber of passengers carried and 9.5 per cent in revenue as compared w ith the same m onth in 1939. F or the entire country, loadings of revenue freight for the first ten weeks this year, or to M arch 9, totaled 6,297,685 cars, against 5,754,446 cars for the sim ilar period in 1939, and 5,521,875 cars in 1938. E stim ated tonnage of the Federal Barge Line be tw een St. Louis and New O rleans in F ebruary was 79,500 tons, against 83,457 tons in January and 124,168 tons in February, 1939; for the first tw o m onths this year cum ulative tonnage was 163,100 tons, as compared w ith 307,617 tons for the same tim e a year ago. Ice gorges in the river during this period obstructed navigation. W H IS K E Y Of the 60 distilleries in K entucky, 39 were reported in operation at m id-M arch, an increase of three over the preceding m onth. A continued increase in the use of bottled-in-bond w hiskey was reflected in the fact th a t tax paym ents were 19 per cent higher for January, 1940, than during Jan u ary of last year. Consum ption of bottled-in-bond whiskies, in the country as a whole, increased 10 per cent during Jan u ary this year com pared w ith January, 1939, w ith the same situation existing in K entucky as to consum ption of bottled-in-bond goods. Continued purchases of whiskies have practically exhausted stocks of distressed whiskies, which fact is, no doubt, a factor in the strengthening of bulk prices, all of which are now ifirm. K entucky distil leries produced 4,221,000 gallons of whiskey in Ja n uary, 1940, compared w ith 4,325,000 gallons in the corresponding m onth of last year. T he decline in the m ovem ent of case goods has not been as large as was seasonally anticipated. Generally, the whole tone throughout the industry is b etter and no price changes are noted. A G R IC U L T U R E F arm ing Conditions— Farm w ork throughout the district, which had been retarded by adverse w eather conditions, is ju st gettin g under way. T he low tem peratures of the past w inter destroyed m any insect pests and the snow was beneficial to the surface soil. How ever, the subsoil needs much more pres- sure from the topsoil and, therefore, rain would be beneficial to spring planting. Spring truck crops in the southern tiers of the district have been delayed and m arketing of the crops will proceed slowly. Em ploym ent on farm s as of M arch 1, according to the U nited States D epartm ent of A griculture, was about 3.3 per cent m ore than a m onth earlier, and 2.1 per cent less than on M arch 1 last year. Prices of farm products fluctuated som ew hat dur ing the period under review. Follow ing a slight increase the latter part of February, they decreased to the lowest point since late December. As of the week ended M arch 9, the farm products group of the U nited States Bureau of Labor Statistics index stood at 68.5 per cent of the 1926 average, which compares w ith 68.9 per cent on F ebruary 10, and 68.0 per cent on M arch 11, 1939. Cotton — Due to the inclem ent w eather during m ost of February, little preparations were made for the new cotton crop, but farm operations got under w ay in early M arch. According to the National F er tilizer Association, total fertilizer consum ption in states of the E ighth D istrict during January and February, as indicated by the sale of tax tags, was 21.5 per cent and 25.9 per cent larger, respectively, than during the first tw o m onths of last year and the corresponding period of 1938. In the St. Louis m arket the m iddling grade ranged from 10.15c to 10.80c betw een February 15 and M arch 15, closing at 10.25c on the latter date, which compares with 10.60c on F ebruary 15 and 8.10c on M arch 15, 1939. Combined receipts at A rkansas and M issouri com presses from A ugust 1, 1939, to M arch 15, 1940, totaled 1,782,654 bales, against 1,549,197 bales dur ing the corresponding period a year earlier. Ship m ents during the period am ounted to 1,862,343 bales, against 783,137 bales in the previous season. Stocks on hand as of M arch 15 were 1,276,066 bales, com pared w ith 1,582,181 bales on the corresponding date in 1939. Fruits and Vegetables — A ccording to reports of the U nited States D epartm ent of A griculture, spring truck crops in the southern states of this district will be later than usual. Crops in M ississippi have been delayed by w et and cold w eather. Arkansas has experienced cold and cloudy w eather, but pros pects are in the main good, as the rains and snows fell rath er slowly, allowing the soil to retain a high percentage of m oisture. In the latter part of F ebruary straw berry plants in A rkansas were still dorm ant in all but the south w estern counties of the state, while in M issouri abandonm ent of acreage has been very heavy and the condition of the rem aining plants is poor. In Tennessee plants were dorm ant. T he extrem e drouth last summer and fall reduced stands and the Ja n uary freeze killed m any of the w eaker plants. H ow ever, if the spring is favorable, it is still possible to secure a fairly good yield. Planting of A rkansas potatoes was delayed by cool, wet w eather, but is now in full sw ing in the southern counties and will soon get under way in the western p art of the state. In M ississippi some have been planted but the ground is not yet in shape for general planting. It is too early to determ ine the full extent of the damage to the 1940 peach crop from the freeze of the past two m onths, but it appears prospects have been drastically reduced in Indiana, Illinois, Mis souri and northw est A rkansas. How ever, trees in these states were not seriously injured. Livestock — Adverse w eather conditions since the first of the year have m easurably affected the con ditioning of livestock. P astures were very short last fall due to lack of m oisture, and indications are th at they will be slow to s ta rt this spring even w ith favorable w eather and rainfall. Supplies of hay and feed grain are plentiful. There has been a m oder ate recession in wholesale prices of m ost types of livestock during February and early March. The U nited States D epartm ent of A griculture reports the early spring lamb crop in the principal producing states this year will be about the same as th at of last year. In states of this district condi tion of the lamb crop is about average, but m arket ings will be later than usual. In M issouri, the prin cipal lam bing state, the ground was covered w ith snow most of the w inter and sheep were closely housed. Pastures are late and green feed largely lacking. Receipts of livestock at the National Stock Yards during February were about one-eighth larger than during February last year, but alm ost one-quarter less than during January of this year. Milk produc tion as of M arch 1 was about 2 per cent less than on the corresponding date in 1939, and about 3.2 per cent over the 10-year (1929-1938) average. Receipts and shipm ent a t St. Louis as reported by the National Stock Y ards were as follows: _________ Receipts________ Feb., 1940 Jan., 1940 Feb., 1939 _____ Shipments_________ Feb., 1940 Jan., 1940 Feb., 1939 Cattle and C alves......... 71,065 90,614 75,902 37,855 50,380 45,646 H ogs .............................. 243,896 325,511 188,623 157,186 201,991 121,190 Horses and M ules----- 2,099 1,598 3,253 6,207 2,205 3,444 Sheep ................................ 29,319 42,0,06 36,846 2,788 5,455 11,200 T o ta ls..............................346,379 459,729 304,624 204,036 260,031 181,480 Tobacco — T he burley m arkets are closed for the year and reports indicate th a t 397,021,359 pounds of Page 5 tobacco were sold at an average price of $17.46 per cwt., compared w ith a little over 350,000,000 pounds sold last year at $19.10 per cwt. Sales of Kentucky burley tobacco totaled 295,380,292 pounds at an average price of $17.65 per cwt. The crop was taken in the main by m anufacturers and exporters, with little being bought by dealers and speculators. As compared w ith the 1938 crop, the present burley showed an im provem ent in quality and sales con tained a larger percentage of good quality lugs and flyings than last year. The crop was probably m arketed in record tim e considering its size. It is estim ated th at the tobacco crop in the Green River and stem m ing districts will be about 19,500,000 pounds. It is reported th at approxim ately 18,000,000 pounds have been m arketed at an aver age price of $7.50 per cwt. This average is about one-fourth less than during the comparable period last season. A pproxim ately 30 per cent of the crop has been received by the Growers’ Co-operative Association. W ith more favorable w eather conditions, sales in the eastern dark fired m arkets have been in heavier volume. Snuff interests are still making heavy pur chases of well-fired leaf, but are not paying top prices as heretofore. Sales at the Hopkinsville, Ken tucky, m arket were 6,063,512 pounds at an average of $9.33 per cwt., compared with 4,713,059 pounds w ith an average price of $5.88 per cwt. last year. T he tobacco sold consisted principally of fair and good quality heavy leaf and low to good quality thin leaf and lugs. T otal sales in the western dark fired district of 10,200,000 pounds, representing about 50 per cent of the crop, were reported at an average of $7.14 per cwt. A relatively large volume of the tobacco m arketed was in doubtful keeping condi tion as the prevailing w eather was warm and damp. T he one sucker m arkets should close shortly. To date 18,500,000 pounds of the crop have been sold at an average price of $7.10 per cwt., compared with total sales last year of 13,500,000 pounds at $6.00 per cwt. W inter W heat — T he w inter w heat crop in states of this district has apparently come through the severe w inter in good shape. The snow covering is gone from practically all parts of the district and only a small am ount of the crop has been smothered by ice or snow. Recent rains have provided addi tional beneficial m oisture and plants are beginning to green up in southern sections of the main w inter w heat belt, but in the northern sections fields still rem ain practically dorm ant. According to the Commodity Credit Corporation, Page 6 in states of this district, as of M arch 7, there were under federal loan 259,251 bushels of w heat on farm s and 11,492,452 bushels in warehouses, for a total loan stock in the E ighth D istrict of 11,751,703 bushels. C O M M O D ITY PR IC ES Range of prices in the St. Louis m arket betw een F ebruary 15 and M arch 15, 1940, w ith closing quo tations on the latter date and on M arch 15, 1939, follow s: Close H igh W heat *M ay.....................i * J u ly ...................... *Sept...................... N o. 2 red winter N o. 2 hard “ Corn *M ay..................... *J u ly ...................... *Sept...................... N o. 2 m ixed. . . . N o. 2 w hite. .. . Oats *M ay..................... * J u ly ..................... *Sept....................... N o. 2 w hite. . . . Flour Soft p a te n t.. . . p erb b l.. Spring “ ......... “ M iddling Cotton per lb. H ogs on H oof . .per cwt. *Nom inal quotations. Low $ 1 .0 2 ^ 1.00% $ -97 /s .95 .9 4 ^ 1.04 1.03J4 lo o m 1.10 1.04 Mar. 15, 1940 $ .977/s .9534 .9 5 ^ 1 .0 4 ^ 1.04 Mar. 15, 1939 $ .64*6 .645* .65 Vs .7 3 /z .71*4 .5434 .55 .5534 .64 .66*4 .5 3 H .5334 .54** .58 .6 5 ^ •41H .357/s .337/s A 6 /2 . 395/s .345/s .315/s .4434 ■ 315/s .45 .27*4 .2654 .25*4 .33 .6.85 6.25 .1080 5.25 5.90 5.75 .1015 5.08 5.95(§>6.65 5.80(g) 6.05 .1025 5.11 3.90,@ 5.25 5.25 @ 5.55 .0810 7.35 •43% •44*4 .45 H .4 sy 2 .51 .5 3Ys .5334 .5 4 ^ .58^4 .66 •395^ . 345/s B U IL D IN G T he dollar value of perm its issued for new con struction in the five largest cities of the district in F ebruary was 27.8 per cent greater than in January and 18.2 per cent less than in February, 1939. According to statistics compiled by the F. W . Dodge Corporation, construction contracts let in the E ighth D istrict in February am ounted to $15,411,000, which compares w ith $12,923,000 in January and $17,324,000 in February, 1939. Building figures for Feb ruary follow : ______N ew Construction (C ost in thousands) Permits 1940 1939 E van sville......... L ittle R ock. L ou isv ille......... M em phis............ St. L o u is......... Feb. T o ta ls. . . Jan. T otals. . . . * R evised figure. 11 34 58 280 195 578 320 8 18 72 288 185 571 454 ______ Repairs, etc.______ Cost 1940 1939 $ 119 156 358 422 731 1,786 1,398 $ 20 40* 1,517 363 577 2,517 1,758 Permits 1940 1939 71 96 30 116 140 453 254 61 56 28 115 105 365 443 1940, Cost 1939 $ 21 32 34 50 531 668 269 $ 39 12 22 61 122 256 331 C O N SU M PT IO N OF E L E C T R IC IT Y Public utilities companies in six large cities of the district report consum ption of electric current by selected industrial custom ers in February as being 2.6 per cent less than in January and 11.9 per cent greater than in February, 1939. D etailed figures follow : Jan., N o. of Feb., C ustom• 1940 1940 (K .W .H . in thous.) ers K .W .H . K .W .H , 3,647 3,765 E v a n s v ille .. ___ 40. 1,991 2,006 L ittle R ock. . , , 35 , , , 82 9,762 9,897 2,540 2,528 , . . . 31 1,078 , . . . 20 1,183 21,270, 22,004 . . . 427 40,288 41,383 Feb., 1939 K .W .H . 2,865 1,802 8,332 2,181 944 19,866 35,990 February, 1940 compared with Jan., 1940 Feb., 1939 + 2 7 .3 % — 3.1% — 0.7 + 10.5 + 17.2 — 1.4 + 16.5 + 0.5 + 14.2 — 8.9 — 3.3 + 7.1 — 2.6 + 11.9 B A N K IN G A N D F IN A N C E Dem ands for credit during the m onth of February and the first part of M arch were about the same as in the corresponding period a m onth earlier. Due to delayed farm operations in the rural areas, credit needs for this year’s crops are slow in being antici pated. New loans as a whole about offset liquida tions. Loans to grain handlers and flour milling interests were unchanged during the period. Bank ers dollar acceptances outstanding as of February 29 were 31.5 per cent and 15.6 per cent less, respec tively, than a m onth and a year earlier. M ember Banks — E ighth D istrict reporting mem ber banks, as of M arch 13, reported total loans and investm ents 3.6 per cent larger than on the corres ponding report date a m onth earlier, investm ents increasing 7.5 per cent during the period, while loans were off 0.7 per cent. Loans were 7.3 per cent larger than on the corresponding report date in 1939 due prim arily to the increase in commercial, indus trial and agricultural loans which were 8.2 per cent more than on M arch 15, 1939. Gross deposits were 1.9 per cent less than the all tim e high recorded last m onth, but were still 9.7 per cent more than on the corresponding report date last year. Reserve bal ances of reporting m em ber banks decreased each week during the four-week period under review and on M arch 13, were about one-fifth less than on Feb ruary 14, but 35.2 per cent more than on the midM arch report date in 1939. Statem ent of the principal resource and liability items of the reporting m em ber banks follow s: Change from Mar. 13, Feb. 14, Mar. 15, (I n thousands of dollars)) 1940, 1940 1939 C om m ercial,industrial,agricultural lo a n s...$ 1 9 2 ,7 1 9 — 1,651 + 1 4 ,5 5 7 Open market paper.............................................. 10,910 — 131 + 7,720 5,160 + 644 — 514 Loans to brokers and dealers......................... Other loans to purchase and carty securities. 12,152 — 109 + 127 Real Estate lo a n s.............................. .................... 52,118 + 416 + 2,648 Loans to ban ks..................................................... 1,219 — 131 — 4,047 Other lo a n s.............................................................. 56,417 — 1,511 + 1,942 Treasury b ills......................................................... 42,715 + 2 6 ,6 8 6 + 1 5 ,0 6 5 T teasury n o tes....................................................... 32,762 — 1,60.9 — 32,603 U . S. bon ds.............................................................. 139,111 — 275 — 20,000 O bligations guaranteed by U .S . Government 71,657 + 1,107 + 7,919 Other securities....................................................... 104,272 + 1,377 + 3,360 Balances with dom estic ban ks......................... 194,402 + 352 + 5 1 ,3 7 4 Demand deposits— adjusted*............................ 479,875 — 7,098 + 3 7 ,4 1 0 Time deposits......................................................... 189,732 + 122 + 712 U. S. Government deposits.............................. 17,114 — 552 — 2,924 Inter-bank d e p o s its .............................................. 361,572 — 14,495 + 6 0 ,5 4 4 B o r r o w in g s ....................... ..................................................................................................... *Other than inter-bank and Government deposits, less cash items on hand or in process of collection. A bove figures are for 24 member banks in St. Louis, Louisville, M em phis, L ittle Rock and Evansville. Their resources comprise approximately 62.0% of the resources of all member banks in this district. T he aggregate am ount of savings deposits held by selected m em ber banks on M arch 6 was slightly more than on February 7, and 1.9 per cent more than on M arch 1, 1939. A t downtown St. Louis banks interest rates as of M arch 16 rem ained unchanged. Rates charged were as follows: Custom ers’ prim e commercial paper, 1H to 5H per cent; collateral loans, 2% to 6 per cent; loans secured by warehouse receipts, 13 to 5H per A cent and interbank loans, 2H to 5H per cent. Federal Reserve Operations — The volume of the m ajor operations of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, during February, 1940, is indicated below : (Incl. Louisville, M em phis, L ittle Rock branches) Pieces Am ounts Checks (cash item s) han dled ........... .................... 5,213,517 $1,074,346,076 Collections (non-cash item s) handled.............. 56,502 29,433,850 Transfers of fu nds....................................................... 4,059 260,710,887 Currency received and cou n ted ....................... ... 7,732,224 25,631,512 Coin received and counted....................................... 10,245,678 1,045,689 Rediscounts, advances and com m itm ents......... 1 60,750 N ew issues, redemptions, and exchanges of securities as fiscal agent of U . S. Gov’t., etc.. 15,941 33,475,360 Bills and securities in custody— coupons clipped 8,122 Changes in the principal assets and liabilities of this bank appear in the following- table : Mar. 19, (In thousands of dollars) 1940, Industrial advances under Sec. 1 3 b . . . . $ 15 119 Other advances and rediscounts................ Bills bought (including participations) . . 111*031 U . S. securities.................................................. T otal earning a sse ts.................................. . 111,165 Change from Feb. 19, Mar. 18, 1940 1939 __ -0 6 — 69 + 19 2 —“ ” 60 — 9,258 — 129 —■ 9,247 407,327 Total reserves.................................................... Total deposits..................................................... . 321,259 F. R. N otes in circulation........................... . 192,431 — 37,045 — 39,978 + 1,723 + + + 58,326 36,789 12,932 Industrial commitments under Sec. 13b. Ratio of reserve to deposit and F. R. N ote liab ilities....................... , -0- __ 311 — 1.2% 151 + 4.1% Following are the rates of this bank for accom modations under the Federal Reserve A ct: 79.3% Advances to banks, secured by direct obligations of the United States, under paragraph 13 of Section 13. Advances to member banks, under paragraph 8 of Sec tion 13, secured by direct obligations of the U nited States or by such Government guaranteed obliga tions as are eligible for collateral thereunder.................. Rediscounts and other advances to member banks under Sections 13 and 13a..................................................... Advances to member banks under Section 10b.................. Advances to individuals, firms, and corpotations, other than banks* secured by direct obligations of the U nited States, under paragraph 13 of Section 1 3 ___ Rediscounts, purchases, and advances to member banks, nonmember banks, and other financing insti tutions, under Section 13b: (a) On portion for which such institution is obligated (b ) On remaining portion.................................................. Commitments, not exceeding 6 months, to member banks, nonmember banks, and other financing insti tutions, to iediscount, purchase, or make advances, under Section 13b....................................................................... Advances to established industrial or commercial businesses under Section 13b................................................ .1 % per annum ,1 % per annum 1 54 % per annum ,2 % per annum .4 % per annum 3 4 % per annum % per annum . Vi % flat 4 % to 5 j2 % per annum / Since February 29 the F irst Sate Bank of Mounds, Illinois, the Helena National Bank, Helena, A rkan sas, and the Farm ers and T raders Bank, California, Missouri, became members of the System. Debits to Individual Accounts — T he following comparative table of debits to individual accounts reflects spending trends in this d istric t: (In thousands of dollars) _ Feb., 1940 East St. Louis and N a t: 1 Stock Yards, 111...$ 30,539 4,842 El Dorado, Ark......... 30,065 Evansville, In d .......... Fort Smith, A rk .. . . 11,150 5,328 Greenville, M iss......... 1,726 Helena, A rk................ Little Rock, A rk .. . . 34,673 Louisville, K y ............ 153,137 Memphis, Tenn......... 126,431 6,669 Owensboro, K y .......... 6,574 Pine Bluff, Ark......... Quincy, 111. ................ 7,785 St. Louis, M o........... 518,317 2,282 Sedalia, M o.................. 12,967 Springfield, M o.......... Texarkana, A rk .-T ex._ 6,813 T otals......................... 959,298 (Completed March 23, 1940) Jan., 1940 $ 35,070 6,315 35,551 11,881 5,707 1,921 39,894 179,475 151,601 7,475 6,826 8,282 595,060 2,045 13,672 7,272 1,108,047 Feb., 1939 $ 28,786 4,458 23,438 10,235 4,811 1,148 32,636 138,198 100,422 6,513 6,318 6,263 478,183 1,691 11,235 6,245 860,580 comp, with F eb.,’40 i Jan.,*40 F eb .,*39 — 12.9% — 23.3 — 15.4 — 6.2 — 6.6 — 10.2 — 13.1 — 14.7 — 16.6 — 10.8 — 3.7 — 6.0 — 12.9 + 11.6 — 5.2 — 6.3 — 13.4 - 6.1% b 8.6 -28.3 - 8.9 -10.7 -50.3 - 6.2 -10.8 -25.9 - 2.4 - 4.1 -24.3 - 8.4 -34.9 -15.4 - 9.1 (-11.5 Page 7 N A TIO N A L SUMMARY O F B U S IN E S S CO N D ITIO N S B Y B O A R D O F G O V E R N O R S O F F E D E R A L R E S E R V E SY ST E M INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Index of physical volum e of production, adjusted for sea sonal variation, 1923-1925 average = 100. Durable man ufactures, nondurable manufactures, and minerals expressed in terms of points in the total index. B y months, January, 1934, to Feburary, 1940. FREIGHT CAR LOADINGS POINTS IN TOTAL INDEX POINTS IN TOTAL INDEX Index of total loadings of revenue freight, adjusted for seasonal variation, 1923-1925 average = 100. Miscellan eous, coal, and all other expressed in terms of points in the total index. B y months, January, 1934, to February, 1940. WHOLESALE P RICES Index compiled by the U nited States Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1926 = 100. B y w eeks, 1934 to week ending March 9, 1940. M ONEY RATES IN NEW YORK CITY PER CENT 4 For w eek i ending January 6, 1934, to March 16, 1940. Page 8 Industrial activity showed a further sharp decline in February and a less marked reduction in the first half of March. Wholesale commodity prices generally were steady, following some decline in January and early February. Production—In February the Board’s seasonally adjusted index of indus trial production was 109 per cent of the 1923-1925 average as compared with 119 in January and 128 in December. A further decline at a slower rate is indicated for March on the basis of data now available. In August, 1939, the month prior to the outbreak of war, the index was 103. Steel production, which had risen sharply in the latter part of 1939 and then decreased considerably in January, showed a further marked reduction in February to 69 per cent of capacity. In the first half of March output was steady at a rate of about 65 per cent. Plate glass production declined further in February and output of lumber, which had dropped sharply in January, showed less than the usual seasonal rise. Automobile production in February was maintained at the high level prevailing in January. Dealers’ stocks of new cars rose to high levels in this period, notwithstanding the fact that retail sales of cars were in large volume for this time of the year. In the first half of March output of automobiles showed less than the customary sharp increase. In some industries not included directly in the Board’s pro duction index, particularly the machinery, aircraft, and rayon industries, activity continued at high levels. Changes in output of nondurable goods were largely seasonal in February except at textile mills and sugar refineries. At cotton textile mills activity declined somewhat from the high levels prevailing since early last autumn. Activity at woolen mills, which had decreased considerably in December and January, declined further in February and output of silk products was re duced to an exceptionally low level. Sugar refining showed less than the sharp rise usual at this season. Mineral production declined in February, owing chiefly to a considerably reduction in output of anthracite. Bituminous coal production declined some what, following a rise in January, while output of crude petroleum increased to new high levels. Value of construction contract awards in February showed little change from the January total, reflecting a further decrease in contracts for public construction and a contraseasonal increase in private contracts, according to figures of the F. W. Dodge Corporation. The increase in private residential awards nearly equalled the decline that occurred in the previous month when severe storms curtailed building operations in many areas. Distribution — Retail distribution of general merchandise showed little change from January to February and remained somewhat below the high level of the latter part of last year, with due allowance for seasonal changes. Sales at variety stores and mail-order houses showed about the usual seasonal rise in February, while at department stores, where some increase is also usual at this time of year, sales remained at about the January level. Freight-car loadings declined considerably from January to February, reflecting for the most part a sharp reduction in coal shipments and some further decrease in loadings of miscellaneous freight. Foreign Trade — Exports of United States merchandise in February declined less than seasonally from the high levels reached in December and January. The principal decreases were in shipments of cotton, copper, and aircraft, which had been exceptionally large in previous months. Exports to Japan fell sharply and there were declines also in shipments to the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, and Russia, while exports to Belgium and the Scandinavian countries increased. There has been little change in the rate of gold inflow. The monetary gold stock increased by $246,000,000 in February and by $109,000,000 in the first two weeks of March. Commodity Prices — Prices of nonferrous metals advanced from the middle of February to the middle of March, while steel scrap and textile materials declined somewhat further. Most other commodities showed little change and in the week ending March 9, the general index of the Bureau of Labor statistics was at 78.3 per cent of the 1926 average as compared with 78.5 a month earlier. Government Security Market — Following a relatively steady market during February, prices of long-term Treasury bonds increased sharply after the announcement by the Treasury early in March that its operations during that month would be limited to the issuance of a five-year note to refund a note maturing next June. Bank Credit — Total loans and investments at reporting member banks in 101 leading cities rose during the six weeks ending March 13, largely as a result of increases in investments at New York City banks. Following a reduction during January, commercial loans increased, mostly at banks in cities outside New York. Bank reserves and deposits continued to increase during the period.