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FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS MONTHLY REVIEW O F BU SIN ESS CONDITIONS IN FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT N o. 8 Released for Publication On and After the Afternoon of July 31, 1924. W I L L I A M M cC. M A R T IN CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD AND FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT I N a m ajority o f lines investigated, sales during June developed further declines as compared with the corresponding period a year ago. The general dis position then was to purchase with caution and con servatism and for well defined needs. The more favor able agricultural aspect during the past three weeks, however, is being reflected in renewed interest in goods for future delivery, and accelerated buying both at wholesale and retail. Production in basic industries and most subsidiary lines is being brought down to square more nearly with current consumption, and in some instances output has fallen slightly below the level of consumption. A s a result of these m ovements stocks generally are light and in unusually strong position. By dint of special sales and price reductions there has been a more or less thorough clearing out o f merchandise, the m ovem ent of which had been hindered by unseasonable weather or other causes, so that the stocks remaining consist o f readily salable assortments and closely represent existing market values. Since the first of July there has been a marked change for the better in weather conditions through out the district, and this has resulted in a considera ble improvement in crop prospects and sentiment in the farming communities and through the business structure generally. Another favorable factor has been the sharp advance in cereal values, notably wheat and corn. Retail trade has picked up somewhat in the last three wreeks, and reports of wholesalers indicate a bet ter tone in their business. A ccording to reporting dry goods, boot and shoe, hardware and clothing interests, advance orders booked during the second and third weeks of July were larger than the total for the four weeks immediately preceding. T he slow ing down in manufacturing activities is reflected in some increase in unemployment in the large industrial centers, and this has been emphasized by the usual mid-year closings of plants for repairs and inventorying. A large part o f the surplus of com mon labor, however, has been absorbed by harvest and road building operations. The demand for thresh ing hands in the W est and Southwest is being strongly felt, and has resulted in a large exodus of idle workers from the cities and coal, lead and zinc mining districts. A ccordin g to the employment service o f the U. S. Department of Labor, employment in meat packing, flour milling and public improvements maintained about the same rate of activity as during the preced ing thirty days, but was slightly less than a year ago, and there is a surplus o f skilled workers in the larger cities. Railroad shops continue on a part time em ploy ment basis, and there have been heavy releases of both skilled and com m on labor in the iron and steel, automotive, and brick and cement industries. There are some scattered reports of lowered wages, but no general scale reductions. The outstanding feature in the agricultural situa tion was the sharp upturn in grain prices. P oor pros pects during the early grow ing season, coupled with the Government’s reduced estimates of yields of wheat and corn contained in its report on conditions as of July 1, created an active buying movement in these cereals. In the St. Louis market July corn advanced from 8 1 ^ c on June 16 to $1.11 on July 15, while cash corn moved upwrard from 8 6 ^ c to $1.14. B e tween the same dates July wheat advanced from $1.12 per bushel to $1.19j4, and No. 2 winter wheat in the cash market rose from $1.18 to $1.34. The closing price of cash wheat on July 15 was 33c to 34c higher than on the corresponding date last year, and that of cash corn 27c to 28c higher. Since the middle of July the advance in wheat and corn has been carried considerably further. M iddling cotton ranged from 2 8 % c to 30c per pound, the high figure of the range being recorded on June 16 and the low point on July 15. Live stock prices declined during the latter part of June, being affected by the radical slump in the fresh meat trade. Fat steers fell to new low price levels for the year and hog values fell to a parity with last December, while fat lamb and sheep prices were reduced to those wrhich prevailed at the first of the year. D uring early July some of the losses were recovered, the strengthening influence being the rise in corn. The movement of farm products to market was maintained at a high rate, arrivals of many of the leading products being in excess of the same period last year. Shipments of garden truck and fruits were unusually large, and represented in part the delayed movement occasioned by lateness of the season. Continued apathy and a further decline in prices featured the fuel situation in this district. Curtailed industrial activity is reflecting a falling off in the demand for steaming coal, and screenings in the Illi nois field reached a new low level on the downward movement. Ordering by dealers is considerably below normal for this time of year, and they explain their unwillingness to purchase by the fact that house holders are unusually slow in filling their fall and winter requirements. The tonnage of threshing coal thus far this year has been so small as not to consti tute a factor in the situation. Gas engines are largely supplanting steam as m otive pow er for threshing machines. In the immediate past some slight im prove ment is reported in the Kentucky fields, and strip mines in Illinois, which are meeting the low prices of the Kentucky operators, are getting good running time. Production of bituminous coal for the country as a whole showed a further decline. In virtually all fields the decrease is largely accounted for by lack of orders, other causes being negligible. Total produc tion of soft coal during the first 158 w orking days of the calendar year, or to July 5, was 231,971,000 tons, which compares with 279,553,000 tons for the corres ponding period in 1923, 196,706,000 tons in 1922 and 291,509,000 tons in 1918. Similar conditions of dullness obtain in coke. Ordering o f dom estic sizes is back ward, and consumption o f metallurgical coke has decreased sharply with the blow ing out o f numerous blast furnaces and reduced operations at mills and foundries. Traffic o f railroads operating in this district during June, while still of large volum e as contrasted with previous years, was smaller than for the correspond ing month in 1923. T otal loadings o f revenue freight for the country as a whole during the four weeks of June totaled 3,625,472 cars against 4,074,603 cars for the corresponding month in 1923 and 3,414,031 cars for the same period in 1922. T he week ending June 28 showed a slight gain over its predecessor, the increase being in the grain, coal, ore, and miscellaneous classi fications. Extensive preparations have been made by Southwestern roads for handling the grain crops, the movement of which is already under way. T he T er minal Railway Association o f St. Louis, which handles the interchange o f 28 connecting carriers, interchanged 175,492 loads in June, against 199,572 loads in M ay and 187,035 loads in June, 1923. For the first nine days o f July 48,868 loads were interchanged, against 52,613 loads* for the corresponding period in June and 51,472 loads in July, 1923. Passenger traffic of report ing roads decreased 8 per cent under June last year. Tonnage m oved by the Mississippi River section of the Federal barge line between St. Louis and New Orleans during June amounted to 81,500 tons, which compares with 68,600 tons in M ay and 69,900 tons in June, 1923. Collections during June, while less satisfactory than during the same month in 1923, showed slight improvement over the M ay record. W holesalers in the large centers report that they are being paid promptly with more of their customers taking advant age o f discounts offered for cash. Cessation of the recent heavy rains has had a tendency to increase co l lection efficiency in rural sections. Some backward spots are still noted, particularly in the coal fields, where requests for extensions are more numerous. Retailers in the large cities report the usual backward ness in payments occasioned by persons being away on vacations, but generally their customers are meet ing bills promptly. Replies to 406 questionnaires ad dressed to representative interests in various lines throughout the district show the follow ing results: Excellent Good Fair Poor 28.4% 58.4% 12.3% June, 1924....... 0.9% May, 1924....... 2.7 23.2 58.9 15.2 June, 1923....... 1.0 42.0 54.0 3.0 Commercial failures in the Eighth Federal Reserve District during June, according to D un’s, numbered 81, involving liabilities o f $975,155, against 62 defaults during May with indebtedness of $174,163 and 68 fail ures for $2,450,239 in June, 1923. The per capita circulation of the United States on July 1 was $42.20 against $42.78 on June 1 and $42.51 on July 1, 1923. M A N U F A C T U R IN G A N D W H O L E S A L E Autom obiles Production of automobiles and trucks for the country as a whole sustained another sharp decrease during June, the loss compared with the preceding month being 21.4 per cent, while a loss of 35 per cent was recorded under June, 1923. Companies reporting direct or through the Autom obile Chamber of C om merce built 217,845 passenger cars in June, against 279,385 in May, and 337,048 in June, 1923. T he output of trucks in June was 27,040 against 32,326 in M ay and 39,945 in June, 1923. The total number of passenger cars and trucks manufactured during the first half o f 1924 was 1,992,030 against 2,035,313 for the first six months of 1923. W arm er weather and the termina tion of the long protracted spell of heavy rains had a stimulating effect on distribution o f passenger cars during the period under review. June sales of 230 dealers scattered through the district were 7.5 per cent larger than for the same month in 1923, and 4 per cent in excess of the M ay total this year. M uch of the improvement noted was in the country, and the comment was also made that standard makes were relatively much more active than the less well known cars. Stocks of new cars, with but few exceptions were reported about normal for this time of year, the total having been materially reduced since April. The intensive campaign to sell accessories has met with satisfactory results, business in June show ing a good gain over the same month last year. N o change from recent dull conditions occurred in the tire market. Stocks continue excessive and recent reductions in price have failed to stimulate purchasing. The used car market improved slightly during June, with stocks generally normal, and in some instances smaller than at this time last year. B oots and Shoes June sales of the 11 reporting interests were 4.3 per cent larger than for the same month in 1923, but 16.9 per cent under the May total this year. The decrease from M ay to June is largely accounted for by seasonal considerations. Ordering for immediate shipment is holding up in good shape, and the past three weeks have been marked by a decided im prove ment in future buying. Comment is made upon the active demand for sport shoes, and sales o f w om en’s and children’s shoes continue more satisfactory than of men’s wear. Prices of finished goods underwent no change worthy of note. Factory operation was at approximately 74 per cent of capacity. The total num ber of pairs of shoes manufactured in this district during June was 3.3 per cent in excess of the output during the preceding month, but for the country as a whole June production was 7.9 per cent under the May total. Clothing Nothing during last thirty days indicates any change in fundamental conditions obtaining in this line, and midsummer dullness prevails, inasmuch as fall buyers have not yet entered the market. There is continued apathy in the matter of forward com m it ments, and the absence of burdensome stocks is a decidedly favorable factor. Forward orders on the books of reporting firms are about 30 per cent less than at this time last year. Sport clothes constitute the outstanding feature of the list, though the sporadic hot spells during the past month stimulated demand for summer suitings. Prices are spotty. Sales of men’s hats underwent a decided improvement during June, due largely to more seasonable weather. June sales of 11 reporting clothing interests were 17.2 per cent under those of the same month a year ago and 1.9 per cent less than the May, 1924 total. Drugs and Chemicals Sales of the 11 reporting interests during June were 9.1 per cent under those of the same month in 1923, and 6.8 per cent under the M ay total this year. Buying by retail druggists is along extremely conserv ative lines, the average size of orders being the small est in a number of years. In the drug and fine chem ical market com petition is keen, and prices definitely in favor of buyers. O f 34 changes during June 21 were downward revisions and 13 advances. Since the last week o f June marked betterment has taken place in sales of soda fountain supplies, and the volum e in this department for the first half of July is close to the high record of the corresponding period last year. A further slump in the movement of heavy chemicals and crude drugs to manufacturers was noted. D ry G oods W hile the volum e of business in this classification continues under that of a year ago, the past tw o weeks have developed more optimism, and inquiries for goods for future delivery are more numerous. Country mer chants appeared in large numbers for the opening of the market season in the chief wholesale centers, and their buying reflected larger and more diversified demands. There has been some reordering of summer merchandise, and the volum e of small orders for prom pt shipment is holding up well. A feature has been the large number of requests by retailers for goods to dispose of in special sales. Prices generally showed no notable change during the period under review. Brown sheetings and print cloths were a shade lower, but silk mixtures, which have improved in demand, were steady at the recent decline. U ncer tainty relative to the raw cotton market is making for hesitation in commitments on cotton goods. June sales of the 11 reporting interests were 29.7 per cent under those o f the same month in 1923, and 2.7 per cent under the M ay total this year. Orders booked by a number o f important interests during the first tw o weeks o f July were about on a parity with the corresponding period last year. Electrical Supplies T he decrease in building activity, unseasonably cool weather and uncertainty relative to prices are given am ong reasons for a loss in June sales by the 12 reporting interests of 17.2 per cent as compared with the same month in 1923. Sales of electric fans and fan m otors have been held down by cool weather, but business in the general line of m otors is fairly steady. There has been a rather sharp falling off in electrical installations, and all sorts of supplies for coal mines are reported inactive. T h e trend of prices is lower, with specific reductions on bare and insulated copper wire, pole line hardware, mazda lamps and some specialties. Fire Clay Products Unsettled conditions in the oil fields and the sharp reduction of operations at blast furnaces and foundries were factors in a slow ing down in this industry. Maintenance of the recent high rate of production in the cement industry has resulted in an active demand from that quarter, while extensive municipal opera tions have aided the movem ent o f vitrified products. Total production, however, is at only about 60 per cent of capacity. There has been a reduction of $2 per thousand on 9-inch straights in the three standard grades, and proportionate downward revisions on shapes and hollow tile. June sales o f the 5 reporting interests were 19 per cent under those of the same month last year, but 1.5 per cent in excess of the May, 1924 total. Flour ^Production of the 11 leading mills of the district during June was 277,560 barrels, which compares with 322,106 barrels in May and 286,463 barrels in June, 1923. In point of new business booked, particularly in car lots, the past thirty days have been marked by continued dullness. Shipping directions from the domestic trade on flour previously purchased, how ever, were good, and some inquiry from abroad for clear flours was noted. Since July 1 prices have stif fened, in sympathy with the upturn in wheat, but flour buyers are not disposed to follow the advance, and are holding off or purchasing on a hand to mouth basis. W ith but few exceptions millers are refraining from quoting prices on new wheat flour. Mill opera tion was at 63 per cent of capacity. Furniture Sales of the 28 reporting interests during June were 34.2 per cent less than for the same month in 1923, and 7.1 per cent below the total of M ay this year. Buying by dealers is slow, and chiefly of goods to fill in with, stock orders being unusually light, even for this season. Sharp curtailment of production was reported, a number of factories operating only tw o days per week. Prices on new goods displayed at the special trade periods at Chicago, Grand Rapids and St. Louis, averaged about 5 per cent lower than levels in the immediate past. Manufacturers say their customers are pressing for reductions, which they are unable to grant under present conditions of material and labor costs. Groceries The lateness of most garden vegetables has con tributed to the demand for canned goods, and this situation has been further stimulated by the fact that little or none of this year’s canned goods have as yet made their appearance on the market. T he continuance of the Brazilian export limitation has lent a firmness to all grades of coffee, which has moved into consumers’ hands in good volume. Sugar, after a flurry of strength during the first week of July, has turned dull again at prices only slightly above the low for the year. Stocks in retailers’ hands are close to normal. Candy is seasonably dull. June sales of 23 reporting interests were 1.6 per cent under those of the same month a year ago and 4.3 per cent under the May, 1924 total. Hardware Aside from slight improvement in the country, where the better crop outlook and upturn in cereal prices have served to stimulate buying, conditions in this line showed little change from the preceding thirty days. A further recession was noted in the demand for builders’ tools and hardware, but sales of seasonal goods in the country, such as hand imple ments, harness, wire netting and spraying apparatus, were in somewhat better volume. Generally through the line price changes were nominal, but mainly in the direction of lower levels. June sales of the 12 reporting interests were 10.9 per cent under those of the same month in 1923, and 8.7 per cent under the M ay total this year. Iron and Steel Products Buyers of both raw and finished materials con tinue to exhibit a hesitating attitude in the matter of filling their requirements. Further curtailment of activities at mills, foundries and machine shops was reported, and since the first of this month there have been numerous closings o f important manufactories for repairs and inventory taking. There was a further decline in production of pig iron and steel ingots. Total output of pig iron for the country during June was the smallest for any single month since August, 1922. On an average daily basis, ingot production in June fell 15.5 per cent below May, bringing the total loss from the high point in March to 40.89 per cent. The slow ing d o w n ' in operations was accompanied by additional price reductions, am ong the com m odi ties affected being pig iron, plates, shapes and bars, certain wire products and track materials. No. 2 Southern iron, 1.75 to 2.25 per cent silicon, declined to $18 per ton, furnace, while Northern iron o f the same analysis dropped to $19 per ton. The leading pro ducer o f the district reduced its minimum price from $22.50 to $20, f. o. b. Granite City, Illinois. T he demand for structural steel showed a falling off, and that sec tion o f the industry was marked by scarcity of large awards. Buying by automobile manufacturers con tinued the decline of recent months, and there were numerous requests for delay in shipments of quotas due on earlier contracts. The demand for all sorts of iron and steel supplies from the oil fields is holding up well, and during the period under review was one of the market’s most active features. F or the most part railroads continue to postpone buying or carrying out improvement programs, their takings being confined to absolute requirements. W arehousem en report lack of interest on the part of their customers. In the immediate past some improvement has developed in the farm implement trade, but stove manufacturers report no change in the dull conditions which have featured their business for the past several months. June sales o f stove manufacturers, 7 reporting, were 11.8 per cent under the same month in 1923, but 4.3 per cent larger than the May total this year; railway supplies, 5 reporting, decreased 57.7 per cent under the same month in 1923 and 8 per cent under the preceding month this year; farm implements, 6 report ing, decreased 38.4 per cent under June, 1923, and 3 5 per cent under the May, 1924, total; job foundries, 5 reporting, decreased 23.5 per cent under June, 1923, and were 17 per cent below the M ay total this year * manufacturers o f boilers, stacks, elevators, radiators,’ wire rope and miscellaneous products, 14 reporting’ decreased 19 per cent under June, 1923, and 6.2 per cent under the preceding month this year. Lumber July has witnessed quite an improvement in mar ket tone, resulting more from balancing production with orders and from brighter outlook for farm trade than from gains in the demand. There has been some increase in buying and still more in inquiry, but it is the prospect for fall, mainly, that accounts for the better and more confident feeling which is becom ing wide-spread. Prices are now fairly steady at present low levels. Transit cars under or threatened with demurrage and occasional cars or lots offered under financial pressure constitute the sum of the market’s real weakness. Mixed cars are rather inclined toward minor advances, and many pine mills are asking som e what better prices on descriptions of stock in which their holdings are light. Retailers in the district appear to be gradually taking on more new lumber, without doing any actual stock buying as yet. The factory trade is buying only for immediate needs, particularly the automotive and furniture industries. Consumption of Electricity In contrast to the slight upturn noted last month, reporting centers indicate decided irregularity, with gains and declines exactly balancing in number in the five cities. It is also noted that in some sections of the district certain lines are using heavier loads, while elsewhere the same industries are reducing the wattage taken. General upward trends are noted by ice manu facturers, cold storage concerns, packing plants and cable manufacturers, while losses are recorded by steel plants, automobile manufacturers and cement and railroad equipment companies. Detailed figures fo llo w : No. of June, May, June, 1924 June, June, 1924 custom* 1924 1924 comp, to 1923 comp, to ers *K.W.H„ *K.W.H„ May, 1924 *K.W.H. June, 1923 Evansville ...........40 9 ^ 8 ^ 1,058 — 9.5% 1,212 — 21.0% Little Rock.........11 845 692 +22.1 793 + 6.6 Louisville ...........67 4,123 4,244 — 2.9 3,990 + 3.3 1,1001,450 — 24.1 931 +18.2 Memphis ............ 31 St. Louis ...........77 13,007 12,948 + 0.5 13,781 — 5.6 Totals.......... 226 20,033 *In thousands (000 omitted). 20,392 — 1.8 20,707 — 3.3 The follow ing figures, compiled by the Depart ment o f Interior, give kilowatt production for both lighting and industrial purposes for the entire cou n try : By water power By fuels May, 1924................................1,948,108,000 2,848,804,000 April, 1924................................1,849,312,000 2,889,434,000 May, 1923................................1,901,400,000 2,729,073,000 Totals 4,796,912,000 4,738,746,000 4,630,473,000 R E T A IL Clearance sales, more seasonable weather and increasing optimism in rural districts has lent a decided stimulus to retail trade during the past three weeks. Sales of most reporting groups are, of course, still behind those of the first seven months of 1923, but buying that has been in abeyance for the last few months is now making itself felt. H ot weather has prompted buying of all lightweight suitings and there has been a gratifying movement of men’s straw hats. Fancy summer yard goods are in normal demand and there have been large retail sales of cosmetics. A relative improvement is noted in jew elry, with sales of reporting firms for the year to date approximating those of the same period in 1923. Sporting goods are spotty, with sustained demand for g olf and baseball supplies, but a retarded movement of tennis, fishing and camping supplies, the relative quietude in the latter group being traceable to the abnormally heavy rains of June. Convention broadcasting brought an unprecedented movement of radio supplies, with June sales of reporting firms 60 per cent above those of the same period in 1923. Demand for electric fans, hand implements and garden hose has been slow, but lawn mowers, builders’ hardware and the general line of shelf goods have moved briskly. Shoes are dull. June sales of 3 interests operating 1,576 chain grocery stores in this district were 0.4 per cent in excess of those of June, 1923, but sales per store were less than a year ago. The number o f stores operated was slightly greater than during the same period in 1923. A lthough the 21 reporting department stores of the district report a 9.1 per cent loss during June as compared with June, 1923, July sales to date have been more encouraging. Detailed department store figures fo llo w : Annual rate of Net sales comparisons Stocks on hand stock turnover June, 1924 Six months ending June 30, 1924 For 6 months comp, to June 30, 1924, to comp, to ending June, 1923 same period, 1923 June 30, 1923 June 30, 1924 Evansville .........— 6.9% — 4.0% — 6.9% 1.93 Little Rock.........— 12.0 — 1.3 + 3.3 2.22 Louisville ...........— 4.5 — 1.1 +• 5.6 2.84 Memphis .........— 10.2 — 5.4 — 2.4 2.34 Quincy ...............— 11.6 — 4.2 — 2.3 2.24 St. Louis.............— 9.5 — 2.1 + 5 .0 2.92 8th District.........— 9.1 — 2.4 + 3.4 2.67 Entire U. S........— 6.1 + 1.3 + 3.1 3.02 A G R IC U L T U R E Taken as a w hole agricultural prospects in this district showed improvement during the period under review. M ost o f the betterment, however, came dur ing the closing days o f June and the first tw o weeks of July, when the end of the long spell of heavy and continuous rains and the arrival of seasonal tempera tures gave impetus to the grow th and development of crops and permitted farmers to cultivate their fields. Since the return of more favorable weather all sorts o f farm operations have been aggressively pushed. Fields which three or four weeks back seemed hopelessly encumbered with weeds and grass have been cleaned up. Delayed spraying in orchards and vegetable and fruit plantations has been accom plished and the wheat harvest and haying have pro ceeded at a satisfactory pace. Generally the outlook for production is good, and latest reports from vir tually all sections reflect more optimism than at any time since the cropping season opened. Corn got off with one of the poorest starts on record, and the July 1 condition for the country as a whole, according to the U. S. Department of Agricul ture, was only 72 per cent, the lowest ever recorded for that date. The low condition was due to the fact that an unusually cool M ay was follow ed during June by excessive rainfall. In all states o f the district the crop is late, and m ore replanting than ever before was required. In some sections, particularly in the river bottom s, the soil was too soaked to permit of seeding until too late, and much o f this land will in all likeli hood remain idle. In Illinois, the m ost important corn producing state of the district, the indicated yield is 248,276,000 bushels, against 337,312,000 bushels last year and a five year average (1918-1822) o f 317,273,000 bushels. M issouri’s estimated yield is 142,480,000 bushels ,against 196,860,000 bushels in 1923. The yield for the entire district is estimated at 394,972,000 bushels against 403,090,000 bushels harvested last year. W heat — Oats — Corn The U. S. Dept, of Agriculture, in its report as of July 1, 1924, gives condition o f winter wheat, oats and corn in states o f the Eighth Federal Reserve Dis trict as follow s: W IN T E R W H E A T ♦Production Farm price Condition Forecast 1924 Harvested per bu. J.uly 1 from condition 5-yr. av. June 15 1924 10-yr. July 1 June 1 1923 1918-22 1924 1923 _____ ___ av. ______ ____ % % Bu. Bu. Bu. Bu. cents cents Illinois .....66 80 33,931 33,368 60,534 51,377 100 105 Indiana .....80 79 28,044 26,567 34,188 33,707 100 112 Kentucky ..68 83 3,984 3,773 7,688 8,320 110 126 Missouri ....68 78 23,214 21,808 37,882 45,106 100 104 U.S.Total ..77.9 80.9 542.551 509,319 572,340624,653 ..................... OATS Illinois .....89 83 156,601 142,524 Indiana ......89 81 63,154 59,207 Missouri ....8381 40,318 32,941 U.S.Total 86.9 84.7 1,356,338 1,231,728 135,100 48,692 34,500 146,005 59,088 42,189 44 45 54 42 44 51 1,299,823 1,302,516 46.8 43.7 CORN ♦Production Farm price Average 1924 Condition 'Forecast ’24 Harvested per bu. % of July 1 from cond. 5-yr. av. June 15 1923 Acres 1924 10-yr. July 1 1923 1918-22 1924 1923 . _ _ av. _ _ ______ _ _ _ % % Bu. Bu. Bu. cents cents Illinois .......102 9,175 66 86 248,276 337,312 317,273 76 77 Indiana ....... 92 4,603 61 85 123,545 192,616 177.513 72 80 Kentucky ..... 96 2,960 78 87 72,727 87,866 89,159 100 101 Missouri .....103 6,759 62 84 142,480 196,860 173,702 85 90 Tennessee ....105 3,169 81 85 77,007 73,941 83,241 104 106 U. S. Total....l01.4 105,604 72.0 85.0 2,515,385 3,046,387 2,899,428 80.8 85.8 *In thousands (000 omitted). W inter wheat prospects for the country improved during June, the indicated yield o f 542,551,000 bushels on July 1 being larger by 33,232,000 bushels than the indicated outturn on June 1. June weather was in the main favorable for maturing the crop; and comments relative to the quality of the crop are generally favor able. The grain is well filled out, with weight and milling quality good. Cutting has been completed, and threshing is well under w ay in the southern tiers of the district and rapidly m oving northward. There are some complaints o f w et harvest, and the crop is generally late. The estimated outturn of all wheat for this district is 50,879,000 bushels, against 83,426,000 bushels, the final estimate for 1923. Due to the cool, w et weather in May, hay crops were slow in starting, but with warmer weather there has been substantial improvement in prospects, and in many important producing areas the condition is above the average. Haying, however, was delayed seri ously and in some localities rains made saving the crop difficult. Oats promise a heavier yield than last year, the estimated production for this district being 59.416.000 bushels, against 52,072,000 bushels in 1923. The planting of forage crops in the South is nearing completion. Pastures generally are in excellent shape, the average condition on July 1 for Illinois, for in stance, being 94 per cent. Reports relative to live stock indicate a generally healthy condition am ong herds, but fewer animals, particularly hogs, than last year. The decrease in the number of hogs in important pro ducing sections is ascribed chiefly to the continued adverse corn-hog ratio. The acreage planted to potatoes shows no material variation as contrasted with last year, but conditions are spotted, and the indicated output for this district is estimated at only 16,342,000 bushels, against 18.223.000 bushels harvested in 1923. The area seeded to sweet potatoes shows a slight reduction from last year, due mainly to unfavorable weather conditions, and in some localities to scarcity of labor and shortage of slips caused by potatoes rotting in the bed. Planting of rice is entirely completed and condi tions of the crop exceptionally good. The general crop is from tw o to three weeks ahead of the 10-year aver age, and the acreage and prospective yield both larger than a year ago. Virtually all the rice has been flooded the first time, and a good portion has received a second flooding. There are scattered complaints of water maggots, but nothing of a serious character. The stock of old rice is small, and it is expected that it will be moved by the first week of August. The demand continues active, with prices steady to strong. M ost recent reports indicate that the acreage of tobacco planted in this district will be under that of last year. In the burley tobacco district acreage is approximately 92 per cent of last year’s planting, and percentages of the 1923 acreage in the dark districts are about as fo llo w s : Green river and stemming, 85 per cent; W estern district, 83 per cent; one sucker, 75 per cent and dark fired, 95 per cent. W hile quite late the crop has made favorable progress, especially during the past three weeks. A s a whole fields are in fair state of cultivation, though in the lowlands where moisture has interfered with cultivation, weeds and grass have made headway. A ll desirable old tobacco being offered is m oving at good prices. The past several weeks have been generally fav orable for growth and developm ent of the cotton crop. According to the U. S. Department of Agriculture the outlook is more hopeful than at this time last year. The season is still late, but comparatively not nearly as late as a month ago, there having been some “ catch ing up.” The crop is grow ing well, has good color and is well cultivated, except where there has been excessive rain. The stand is about average, but some what ragged on account of replanting. Boll weevils are less numerous in this district than at the corres ponding time in 1923. The area of cotton for the country as a whole on June 25 was estimated at 40,403,000 acres, or 4.4 per cent above last year. Cotton The condition of cotton in states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District and the United States is given by the Department of Agriculture as follow s: Area June 25, 1924 Change between Preliminary estimate Condition May 25 and % compared June 25 June 25 with 1923 Acres " 1924 1923 10-yr,av. 1924 10-yr. av. 3,058,000 68 66 77 -4-10% 4-3% Arkansas .....98 Mississippi ........... 96 3,256,000 74 67 75 4- 5 0 Missouri .............. 115 453,000 60 62 79 + 8 +2 Tennessee ............ 97 1,184,000 67 67 77 +13 +2 U. S. Total.........104.4 40.403,000 71.2 69.9 74.8 + 5.6 + 2.0 Live Stock M ovem ent Receipts and shipments at St. Louis, as reported by the National Stock Yards, were as follow s: June 1924 Cattle and Calves................... ...103J § ° £ s .....••••••• ........................ 361 Horses and Mules.................... 2 Sheep ......................................... 76 *In thousands (000 omitted). ♦Receipts May June 1924 1923 ""ToF " T T 392 349 2 2 33 92 June 1924 "~62 222 2 15 ^Shipments May June 1924 1923 "“ {TT ~S7 280 197 2 9 25 Receipts and shipments at St. Louis, as reported by the Merchants’ Exchange, were as follow s: 1?24 Beef, lbs..................... 62 Com, bu...................... 2,834 |L1.°ur’ |£ls.................. . i04 ? |S’ ii! .................... 6,793 Lard, lbs...................... 5,181 Lead pigs.................... 240 Lumber, cars.............. 18 g atf> b.u........................ 3,018 £°£k, lbf*..................... 21,276 Wheat, bu................... 1,732 Zmc slabs................... 182 In thousands (000 omitted). 1924 ......... 3,077 399 6,512 5,718 255 21 3,420 22,322 1,731 260 * Shipments June May 1924 1924 21,824 20,405 2,195 1,858 384 426 6,706 8,853 11,398 12,743 156 195 June 1923 22,863 1,703 465 5,342 12,576 108 2,7482,656 2,545 22,185 29,351 27,681 1,6071,527 1,471 302 213 293 2,314 31,165 1,733 281 3mTe 1923 47 2,344 356 4,149 6,479 203 21 11 14 14 Com m odity Prices Range of prices in the St. Louis market between June 14, 1924, and July 15, 1924, with closing quota tions on the latter date, and on July 14, 1923: Close Wheat ...................... per bu. High Low July 15, 1924 July 14, 1923 July ....................... “ $1.2054 $1.0954 $1.1954 $ .95*6 September ........... “ 1.23^ 1.11$$ 1.2054 .96 December ............. « 1.26% 1.1454 1.23K .99^ No. 2 red winter.. “ 1.34 1.16 $1.30 @ 1.34 $ .97 @ 1.00 No. 2 hard.......... “ 1.21 1.12 1.21 .96 @ .98 Corn luly •••••................. ;; h j j s .s ik 1 .11 % .85^ September ........... “ 1.07 .81 1.02H -™% December ............. “ .87% .74 .85*6 -6254 No. 2 ... .............. “ 1.1454 .8654 1.14 .87 No. 2 white........... “ 1.17 .8754 1.16 @ 1.17 -8»H @ .89 Oats ....•••.•.............. “ -57 .4 75/5 .56 .39 % No. 2 white........... .60 .52 .59 A\% @ .42 Flour Soft patent...........per bbl. 7.00 5.25 6.00 @ 7.00 5.00 @ 6.00 Patent....... “ 7.50 6.50 7.00 @ 7.50 5.75 @ 6.20 Middling cotton.......per lb. .30 .2854 .2854 .2754 Hogs on hoof.........per cwt. 7.65 5.00 5.00 @ 7.65 6.50 @ 7.65 B U IL D IN G In point o f dollar value building permits issued in the five leading cities of the district in June showed a rather sharp decrease under the preceding month, also under June last year, and represented the smallest New Construction Permits *Cost 1924 1923 1924 1923 Evansville ..... I T T "144* $ 178 $ 262 403 247 Little Rock..... 99 106 1,137 731 273 Louisville .,. . 353 382 1,245 1,479 Memphis .... 2,582 .. 867 879 1,981 1,784 $4,944 $5,301 June totals....1,881 7,679 7,383 2,234 May totals.....2,013 7,512 April totals....2,429 2,139 9,502 *In thousands of dollars (000 omitted). Repairs, etc. * Cost Permits 1923 1924 1923 1924 $ 13 72 $ 44 " tT 30 75 144 88 15 132 148 37 38 60 112 164 324 611 663 596 963 1,139 1,231 1,283 1,463 1,210 $760 1,031 669 $582 728 855 F IN A N C IA L 2 Com m odity M ovem ent *Receipts total since last October. Generally building operations showed a falling off, due to a disposition to postpone new enterprises and the fact that much work com menced earlier in the year has been completed. In the June lists residential building continued to make a relatively good showing, but there was a noticeable decrease in the number of permits for industrial structures. The demand for building materials in the country showed the usual seasonal decline, due to the fact that farmers are preoccupied with harvesting. There was no change w orthy of note in material prices, but the trend continues easier. Im proved weather since the end of June has permitted of increased activities in highway construction. Production of portland cement for the country as a whole during June totaled 13.538.000 barrels, against 13,777,000 in M ay and 12.382.000 barrels in June, 1923. Building figures for June fo llo w : The chief features of the financial and banking situation in this district during the past thirty days were reduced credit demand from commercial and industrial sources, over-abundant funds in the larger cities, and lower interest rates. Apathy on the part of mercantile borrowers was offset in some degree by increasing demands for funds to finance agricul tural operations. In the cotton producing sections the inquiry for credits was considerably better than heretofore, a number of financial institutions in that region finding it necessary to extend their lines to borrowers during the past several weeks. Require ments in the grain sections are also increasing with the progress of the wheat harvest, and borrow ing by millers, elevator interests and grain shippers has in creased. The demand from live stock raisers is holding up well, but recent heavy shipments of cattle and hogs to market have resulted in considerable liquidation, leaving this general class of loans about at the same level as at the end of the preceding thirty days. A fair volum e of liquidation is reported in the tobacco district, and extensive payments have been made in sections where early fruits and vegetables are im por tant crops. Deposits of reporting member banks are holding up well, and a number of banks with surplus funds have turned to the investment market to find employment for them. Loans to member banks by the Federal reserve bank showed a further sharp decrease, and recorded a new low point for the year. Between June 16 and July 15 accom m odations granted to mem ber banks by this institution decreased $2,240,035 and there was a decrease of $2,420,000 in Federal reserve note circulation. Commercial Paper May sales of reporting brokerage interests were 12.5 per cent larger than for the corresponding month in 1923, and 8.3 per cent larger than the M ay total this year. The demand from city banks was reported good, but due to the depressed interest rates and the fact that they are finding local outlet for their funds, country banks purchased sparingly. General condi tions considered, offerings are holding up fairly well from all classes of borrowers. Rates were again lower, ranging from Zl/2 to 4 per cent, with an occasional choice name selling at 3J4 per cent. This compares with 4 to 4 y2 per cent, the range prevailing during the preceding thirty days. Savings Deposits No. of banks reporting Evansville .... 4 Little Rock .. 5 Louisville .... 7 Memphis ...... 4 St. Louis.......12 *Amount of savings deposits July 2, June 11, July 3, 1924 1924 1923 9,090 9,590 $ 9,243 7,915 7,670 7,484 26,627 23,839 26,806 17,899 19,322 16,072 76,374 72,922 76,866 Totals.......32 $138,550 *In thousands (000 omitted). $139,262 July 1924 July 1924 comp, to comp, to June 1924 July 1923 + 1.7% ' — 3.6% + 3.2 + 5.8 — 0.7 -f-11.7 — 7.4 + 11.4 + 5.4 0.6 $129,907 + — 0.5 + 6.7 Postal Receipts *For quarter ended June 30, Mar. 31, Dec. 31, 1924 1924 1923 Evansville ..........................$ 143 $ 146" $ 145 ’ Little Rock........................ 187 203 208 Louisville .......................... 630 644 680 Memphis .............. ............. 444 426 476 St. Louis............................ 2,836 2,915 3,244 Totals ................................$4,240 *In thousands (000 omitted). $4,334 $4,753 June 30, 1923 $ 140 187 569 435 2,694 $4,025 June 1924 comp, to June 1923 + 2.1% 0.0 + 10.7 + 2.1 + 5.3 + 5.3 $ 37,038 7,263 25,084 9,601 3,114 3,525 49,014 140,057 103,277 4,975 9,868 647,761 3,989 6,946 Totals...................... $1,014,601 $1,051,512 *In thousands (000 omitted). $ 40,889 10,627 31,339 9,351 2,845 3,545 44,035 157,197 104,155 5,162 9,735 612,203 "n ;S 62 ............ — 5.6% — 3.1 + 13.0 — 5.6 — 4.9 + 2.8 + 1.9 + 13.6 — 1.0 + 2.5 — 0.4 — 9.2 — 4.7 + 53.0 3.5 — 14.5% — 33.8 — 9.5 — 3.1 + 4.1 + 2.2 + 13.4 + 1.2 — 1.8 — 1.2 + 0.9 — 3.9 — 10.3 The follow ing statement shows principal resources and liabilities o f reporting member banks in Evans ville, Little R ock, Louisville, Memphis, and St. L ouis: Loans and discounts (incl. rediscounts) Secured by U. S. Gov’t, obligations.... Secured by other stocks and bonds..... Other *July 9, 1924 , t34 *June 11, *July 11, 1924 1923 t34 36 .$ 8,277 . 142,915 , 309,040 $ 8,168 145,625 304,145 $ 11,329 137,001 298,618 .$460,232 $457,938 $446,948 . 14,809 . 23,091 . 3,689 . 15,087 1,380 . 91,993 14,309 22,805 5,049 13,763 1,865 92,023 15,335 23,184 9,373 24,764 6,406 87,875 .$150,049 . 45,834 . 7,569 . 363,252 . 197,826 . 2,467 $149,814 39,937 7,504 355,464 197,049 1,849 $166,937 39,832 8,464 351,199 182,469 7,205 Government deposits.................................... Bills payable and rediscounts with Federal reserve bank 1,114 Secured by U. S. Gov’t, obligations.. 242 11,627 All other................................................. 3,847 . 2,796 14,995 *In thousands (000 omitted). tDecrease due to consolidation. Total resources of these 34 banks comprise approximately 54 per cent of the resources of all member banks in the district. *July 16, 1924 Gold with Federal Reserve Agent............... . $ 61,589 Gold redemption fund with U. S. Treasury.... 1,440 *June 18, *July 18, 1924 1923 $ 63,118 $ 51,708 2,084 4,226 Gold held exclusively against F. R. notes..$ 63,029 Gold settlement fund with F. R. Board......... 30,424 Gold and gold certificates held...................... 8,261 $ 65,202 29,304 7,780 $ 55,934 19,810 3,818 Total gold reserves....................................... $101,714 Reserves other than gold.................................. 10,684 $102,286 11,924 $ 79,562 13,660 Total reserves.............. .................................. $112,398 Non-reserve cash................................................. . 4,332 Bills discounted : Secured by U. S. Government obligations.. 3,887 Other bills discounted...................................... 15,277 $114,210 4,164 $ 93,222 6,346 5,198 17,717 17,910 28,327 Total bills discounted......................................$ 19,164 $ 22,915 Bills bought in open market.............................. 224 1,196 U. S. Government securities: Bonds ............................................................................................... Treasury notes............................................... 8,527 6,303 Certificates of indebtedness.......................... 1,792 1,701 $ 46,237 3,446 Total U. S. Government securities.........$ 10,319 Total earning assets.............. .....................$ 29,707 Uncollected items............................................... 32,908 Bank premises............................................. ....... 2,116 All other resources........................................... 140 RESOURCES...................... ..... $181,601 $ 8,004 $ 32,115 33,495 1,994 139 $186,117 6,150 1,101 ............. $ 7,251 $ 56,934 36,040 1,031 146 $193,719 F. R. Notes in actual circulation.................... $ 60,430 Deposits: Member banks-reserve account.................... 70,741 U. S. Government......................................... 2,170 Other deposits.......................... ..................... 422 $ 62,225 $ 73,244 73,411 1,234 381 66,648 3,327 712 Total deposits....................................... ..... $ 73,333 Deferred availability items................................ 32,209 Capital paid in................................................... 5,064 Surplus ................................................................ 10,072 493 All other liabilities........................................... $ 75,026 33,029 5,072 10,072 693 $ 70,687 34,153 4,951 9,665 1,019 TOTAL L IA B IL IT IE S ..........................$181,601 MEMO—Contingent liability on bills purchased for foreign correspondents......... 1,882 Ratio of total reserves to deposit and F. R. Note liabilities combined.................... 84.0% *In thousands (000 omitted). $186,117 $193,719 1,906 1,612 83.2% 64.8% C O S T O F L IV IN G — 2.7 Condition of Banks Total investments............ . Reserve balance with F. Cash in vault................... RESOURCES LIABILITIES *For four weeks ending July 1924 July 16, /une 18, July 18, comp, to comp, to 1924 1924 1923 June 1924 July 1923 Investments U. S. PreLiberty b< Treasury 1 During June the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis discounted for 260 of its 631 member banks, which compares with 268 of its 633 member banks accommodated in May. The discount rate of this bank remains unchanged at 4 per cent. Comparative statement of this bank fo llo w s : TOTAL Debits to Individual Accounts E. St. Louis and Nat’l. Stock Yards, 111..$ 34,971 El Dorado, Ark............. 7,037 Evansville, Ind............... 28,356 Fort Smith, Ark............. 9,059 Greenville, Miss.......... 2,962 Helena, Ark.................... 3,623 Little Rock, Ark........... 49,924 Louisville, Ky............. 159,035 Memphis, Tenn.............. 102,243 Owensboro, Ky............. 5,099 Quincy, 111...................... 9,825 St. Louis, Mo................ 588,037 Sedalia, Mo............... . 3,800 Springfield, Mo.............. 10,630 Federal Reserve Operations Slight changes in the retail cost of food and cloth ing caused an increase of two-tenths of one per cent in the cost of living in the United States between May 15 and June 15, 1924, according to the National Indus trial Conference Board. Between July, 1920, when the peak of the rise in the cost of living since 1914 was reached, and June, 1924, the cost o f living decreased 20.9 per cent. T he increase since July, 1914 was 61.7 per cent. The follow ing table shows detailed changes: Relative Percentage of increase Percentage of decrease in the cost of living in the cost of living impor above average prices on June 15, 1924, tance in July, 1914 to------ from average prices in Item in June, May, family May, July, July, 1924 1920 1924 budget 1920 1924 41 42 35.2 119 0.7** Food* ........................43.1 17.1** 0.0 85 Shelter ......................17.7 68 85 74 34.6 0.9 166 76 Clothing .................... 13.2 65 0.6 0.0 66 65 Fuel and light........... 5.6 0.0 (92) (77) (7.8) (77) (Fuel) .................. (3.7) (23.4) 0.0 (42) (15) (42) (Light) ................ (1.9) 5.9 0.0 85 74 74 Sundries .................. 20.4 Weighted average 20.9 61.7 0.2* 104.5 61.4 of all items.........100.0 *Food price changes are from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics. **Increase. The purchasing value of the dollar, based on the cost of living in June, 1924, was 61.8 cents as con trasted with one dollar in July, 1914. (Compiled July 25, 1924) B U SIN E SS C O N D IT IO N S IN T H E U N IT E D S T A T E S Prices Production The Federal Reserve Board's index of production in basic industries, adjusted to allow for seasonal variation, declined about 9 per cent in June to a point 22 per cent below the level of the first two months of the year. Iron and steel and cotton manufacturing industries continued to show curtailment of activity, and decreases were general in other industries. Latest figure, June=94. Factory employment decreased 3 per cent in June, the metal, automobile, textile and leather industries reporting the largest reductions in force. Value of building contracts awarded in June was 8 per cent smaller than in May, though 4 per cent larger than in June of last year. Condition of the corn crop on July 1, as reported by the Department of Agriculture was the lowest on record for that date and indicated a probable yield of about 500,000,000 bushels less than last year. Condition of the cotton crop was recorded less satisfactory than a month earlier, while forecasts for wheat and oats were larger than in June. Trade Railroad shipments decreased in June and were about 15 per cent less than a year ago, owing to smaller loadings of all classes of freight except grain and livestock. Wholesale trade showed a further slight decline in June and was 11 per cent smaller than a year ago. Sales of hard ware, drugs, shoes and drygoods decreased, while sales of groceries and meat increased slightly. Sales of department stores and chain stores showed more than the usual seasonal decrease during June and were smaller than last year. Mail order sales in June showed less than the usual seasonal decline and were larger than a year ago. Department stores further reduced their stocks of merchan dise and slightly increased their outstanding orders. Wholesale prices, as measured by the index of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, declined more than 1 per cent in June to a level 5 per cent below the high point for this year. Prices of all groups of commodities except clothing showed declines and decreases were particularly large for building materials. During the first three weeks of July quotations on wheat, Latest figure, June=145. corn and hogs advanced sharply, while prices of sugar, cotton goods and iron and steel products were lower. Bank Credits Commercial loans at member banks in leading cities dur ing June and the first two weeks of July remained at a rela tively constant level, considerably below the peak reached in April, while investment holdings and loans secured by stocks and bonds increased rapidly and carried total loans and investments to the high point for the year. Demand deposits, owing partly to the growth of bankers’ balances at financial centers, advanced to a record level. At the Federal reserve banks there was continued decline in discounts and an increase in purchases of government securi ties in the open market. As a consequence, total earning assets in the middle of July were only slightly less than at the beginning of June. Member bank reserve balances increased rapidly, reflect ing a return flow of currency from circulation and further imports of gold. Total deposits at the reserve banks on July 16 were larger than at any time since the organization of the System. Money rates in July were comparatively steady but con tinued to show a somewhat easier tendency. Discount rates at the Federal Reserve Banks of Kansas city and Dallas were reduced during July from 4^ to 4 per cent.