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BUSINESS CONDITIONS , Monthly Review of Agriculture Industry, Trade and Finance Released for Publication on Afternoon of January 31, 1940 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF Burley loose-leaf tobacco on the floor of a warehouse near Louisville, Ky. ST. LOUIS SUMMARY OF EIGHTH DISTRICT D ec., 1939 comp, w ith N ov., 1939 D ec., 1938 Live Stock: Receipts at National Stock Yards---- , .. + 2.1%+ 5.0% 6.5 — 3.0 Shipments from aforesaid Yards---Production and Distribution: — 7.2 + 4.9 Sales by mfrs. and wholesalers........ 4- 52.6 + 4.6 Department store sales......................... — 2.9 + 7.6 Car loadings........................................... Building and Construction: tiij i CNumber. . . . — 32.0 + 12.1 Bldg. permits, mcl. repairs < ^ ^ ... — 7.1 + 14.8 Value construction contracts awarded. ...+ 622.3 +381.3 Miscellaneous: + 26.7 + 15.2 Commercial fa.lures { Liab;iities — 17.2 — 21.6 Consumption; of electricity.................. 4.1 + 11.8 Debits to individual accounts.............. + 16.0 + 10.2 + 7.2 — 34.3 Life Insurance Sales............................ Tan. 17. ’40 como. with Member Banks (24): Dec. 20, ’39 Jan. 18, ’39 , . . + 0.5%+ 12.2% Gross deposits.................................. Loans............................................... ; . . . . . .— 2.0 + 7.7 Investments............................................. , 3.8 — 7.6 G E N E R A L business in the E ighth D istrict during December carried further forw ard the notable im provem ent which began last sum mer. A fter allow ing for the custom ary seasonal changes, industrial activity reached the highest level in recent years. In virtually all the principal lines, production showed less than the expected contraction, and in a num ber of instances was m ain tained at or about the best rate of the year. Bolstered by the heaviest holiday trade since the predepression era, retail distribution in December expanded to the highest volume for the year. The prolonged spell of extrem ely low tem peratures, ac companied by heavy snows and ice, since the first of this year has served to slow down retail buying in both the large cities and the country. W eather handicaps have also interfered w ith activities in the building and some other industries. Taken as a whole, 1939 was the m ost favorable year for business experienced in this area since 1929, and in several lines all-time high records were established. W hile there were gains during the first six m onths over the relatively low levels ob taining in the sim ilar period a year earlier, substan tial upsw ing took place in the final half and was given m arked im petus by the outbreak of the w ar in Europe. Increased production occurred in virtu ally all classifications of commodities, but was m ost pronounced in the durable goods industries, particu larly iron and steel and their products. Reflecting the heavy volume of distribution, freight traffic of railroads operating in the district was m easurably greater than a year earlier. Revival in the building industry during the year Page 2 was reflected in notable expansion in demand for all descriptions of building m aterials. There were sharp increases in production of lumber, cement, glass, fire clay products, builders hardw are, paints and kindred products. Activities in the iron and steel industry increased steadily throughout the year until mid-December, when seasonal influences, such as repairs, inventorying, vacations, etc., caused a tem porary slow ing down. Recovery from the holiday lull, however, has been more rapid and com plete than is ordinarily the case. Production of bitum inous coal at mines in this general area ex ceeded th at of the preceding year by a considerable amount. O w ing to the extensive developm ent in new Illinois oil fields, production of petroleum in the district in 1939 was more than twice as large as th at in any preceding year. W eather conditions throughout the district in late December and the first half of January were in the main favorable for fall sown cereal crops and agri cultural operations generally. H eavy snows af forded needed m oisture and protection for the grow ing w inter w heat crop. T he open fall per m itted of uninterrupted outdoor work, and more plowing for spring plantings has been accomplished than in any recent season. From the standpoint of yields per acre of the principal crops, 1939 was an exceptional year in this area. Generally production was large, particularly of food and feed crops. December sales of departm ent stores in the prin cipal cities increased more than seasonally from November and the same was true of variety store sales. D epartm ent store volume in December was 52.6 per cent greater than in Novem ber and 4.6 per cent more than in December, 1938; for the year the total was larger by 5.9 per cent than during the preceding 12 m onths. Combined sales of all whole saling and jobbing firms whose statistics are avail able to this bank were 7.2 per cent less in December than in the preceding m onth and 4.9 per cent greater than a year earlier. Retail sales of passenger auto mobiles in the St. Louis area in December were 2.0 per cent and 13.7 per cent greater, respectively, than a m onth and a year earlier. Commercial failures in the E ighth Federal Re serve D istrict in December, according to D un and B radstreet, num bered 38, involving liabilities of $391,000, against 30 defaults w ith liabilities of $472,000 in Novem ber and 33 insolvencies for a total of $499,000 in December, 1938. In 1939 there were 397 failures w ith liabilities of $6,100,000, compared w ith 499 defaults for a total of $6,401,000 in 1938. DETAILED SURVEY OF DISTRICT M A N U F A C T U R IN G A N D W H O L E S A L IN G Lines of Commodities N et Sales Stocks D ata furnished by Bureau of Census, U . S. Dept, of Commerce. December, 1939 compared with N ov., *39 D ec., ’38 Dec. 31, 1939 comp, with Dec. 31, 1938 A utom otive Su p p lies......... B oots and S h o es................... Dry G oods............................. Electrical Su pplies.............. Furniture................................ G roceries................................ Hat d w are.............................. Tobacco and its Products. M iscellaneous....................... -0 - % — 0.7 — 30.5 + 7.1 — 20.5 — 8.1 — 8.3 + 10.5 — 0.6 + 5.6% + 9.4 — 0.4 + 33.3 + 8.4 — 4.2 + 4.9 6.1 + + 6.8 + 14.2 + 4 1 .2 + 2 6 .3 + 2 2 .3 + 12.7 + 6.5 In December all lines of w holesaling whose statistics are available to this bank, excepting dry goods, continued to show a larger volume of busi ness than during the corresponding period in 1938. Combined sales of all groups were approxim ately 5 per cent larger than a year earlier. Decreases from Novem ber to December shown in the above table were for the m ost part seasonal in character, and w ith the exception of dry goods were som ew hat sm aller than average during the past decade. In ventories at the close of the year were larger in all lines than a year earlier, w ith the heaviest increase being in furniture. Changes from the preceding m onth were negligible in a m ajority of lines. P re lim inary figures indicate an increase of about 3.6 per cent in district shoe production from Novem ber to December. Automobiles— Combined passenger car, truck and taxicab production in the U nited States in Decem ber totaled 452,024 as against 357,782 in Novem ber and 388,346 in December, 1938. In 1939 production am ounted to 3,574,678 vehicles which compares w ith 2,489,555 in 1938 and 4,809,515 in 1937. Iron and Steel Products—A ctivities in the iron and steel industry in this area have recovered more rapidly than usual from the holiday interruption. Strong resistance was opposed to the seasonal trends by the industry as a whole, and in certain lines operations were m aintained at or about the best rate recorded in recent m onths. T his was true particularly of specialty m akers, such as heating apparatus, engines and some other types of m achin ery. Backlogs held by mills and a m ajority of foundries, while below the levels of early December, are m easurably greater than at the corresponding period a year ago. New purchasing has receded noticeably from the peak last fall, but this is a ttrib uted to prior heavy coverage and the fact th at m any consum ers have not completed their annual in ventories. Dem and for structural steel, including reinforcing concrete bars, is more active than usual at m id w inter and pending projects, m ainly State and Government, indicate an increased volume of buy ing during the next four to six weeks. December sales of warehouse and jobbing interests reporting to this bank were slightly higher than in November, and about one-fifth greater than in December, 1938. Reflecting the taking off of several open-hearth furnaces for repairs, ingot production in this dis trict in late December declined from the year’s peak of 85 per cent to 70 per cent, b u t by m id-January the rate had recovered to 83 per cent, which com pares w ith 40 per cent a year ago. F or the entire country, production of pig iron in December, according to the m agazine “ Steel”, was 3,767,605 tons, best for any m onth since July, 1929, and com paring w ith 3,720,100 tons in Novem ber and 2,212,718 tons in December, 1938. Steel ingot pro duction in the U nited States in December amounted to 5,164,420 tons, against 5,462,616 tons in Novem ber and 3,130,746 tons in December, 1938. Produc tion for all of 1939 totaled 45,768,899 tons, an in crease of 18,026,674 tons over the preceding twelve m onths. W H IS K E Y As of m id-January 28 of the 60 distilleries in K en tucky were in operation, tw o less than a month earlier. The decrease is of little significance as the distillers have well defined program s for 1940, and several plants will shortly be placed in production. According to trade sources consum ption of Bourbon whiskey in Novem ber was the highest for that m onth of record, and the upw ard trend continued through December. An increase in holiday sales of bottled-in-bond goods of approxim ately 10 per cent over the 1938 season was reported. W hiskey production in K entucky during 1939, w ith December output estim ated, is placed at ap proxim ately 37,500,000 gallons, an increase of 4,000,000 gallons, or 11.9 per cent, over 1938. Taxpaid w ithdraw als totaled about 24,400,000 gallons, an in crease of 3,000,000 gallons over 1938. M IN IN G A N D O IL Coal— Soft coal production at mines in this general area in December totaled 11,371,000 tons, as against 11.460.000 tons in Novem ber and 12,123,000 tons in December, 1938. December production in the U nited States totaled 37,283,000 tons, which compares with 42.835.000 tons in Novem ber and 36,541,000 tons in December, 1938. O utput for the year 1939 totaled 389.298.000 tons against 342,317,000 tons in 1938. A t Illinois mines 4,318,953 tons were lifted in December, as against 4,228,066 tons in November Page 3 and 4,562,573 tons in December, 1938. T here were 108 mines in operation in December w ith 27,345 men on payrolls, against 116 active mines and 29,997 operatives in November. Petroleum — November output of crude oil in states of the E ighth D istrict was 1.7 per cent less than in O ctober and 152.6 per cent greater than in November, 1938. 'Cumulative total for the eleven m onths of 1939 exceeded th at of the like period in 1938 by 153.8 per cent. These increases reflect de velopm ents in the new Illinois fields. Stocks on December 1 were 2.2 per cent less and 9.1 per cent greater, respectively, than a m onth and a year earlier. D etailed production and stocks by states are given in the following ta b le : _____ Production_____ Stocks (I n thousands of barrels) N ov., 1939 Oct., 1939 N ov., 1938 A r k a n s a s .............. I llin o is....................... In d ian a ..................... K entu ck y................ T o ta ls................... 2,071 1,993 10,222 10,601 222 180 472 443 12,987 13,217 1,470 3,072 85 514 5,141 Cumulative 1939 1938 19,002 16,624 83,570 20,083 1,196 905 5,132 5,298 108,900 42,910 N ov., 1939 N ov., 1938 1,896 2,291 13,123 11,311 3,209 3,198 1,361 1,147 19,589 17,947 R E T A IL T R A D E D epartm ent Stores—T he trend of retail trade in the E ighth D istrict, as reflected in statistics of de partm ent stores in the principal cities which report to this bank, is shown in the following com parative sta te m e n t: Stock Stocks N et Sales L2 mos. ’39 to same period ’38 compared with N o v .,*39 D ec.,’38 Ft. Smith, A rk.. . . + 5 8 .6 % L ittle Rock, A r k .. . + 4 3 .0 Louisville, K y ............+ 6 7 .4 Memphis, T en n .. . . + 6 2 .4 Pine Bluff, A r k .... + 9 4 .7 Quincy, 111...................+ 7 2 .2 St. Louis, M o.............+ 4 7 .7 Spring-field, M o ... . + 4 7 .1 A ll Other C ities. . . + 6 1 .5 8'th F . R. D is t iic t .. + 5 2 .6 + 6.0*5 + 3.6 + 5.0 + 5.8 + 3 .3 + 5.9 + 4 .0 + 5.5 + 8.6 + 4 .6 D ec. 3 1 /3 9 comp, with D ec. 31,’38 L 0.4% - 6.7 - 5.9 - 8.0 -14.4 - 7.5 - 5.2 - 5.7 -11.3 + 5.9 + 9.2% + 9.1 + 1.6 + 8.9 + 17.2 — 5.8 + 4.9 + 11.7 — 0.1 + 5.5 Turnover Jan. 1, to Dec. 31, 1939 1938 2.99 3.47 4.48 3.75 3.14 4.15 4.76 3.41 3.64 4.38 3.03 3.25 4.10 3.49 2.64 3.40 4.36 3.16 3.30 4.03 T R A N SP O R T A T IO N The St. Louis Term inal Railw ay Association, which handles interchanges for 28 connecting lines, interchanged 84,309 loads in December, as against 86,821 loads in November and 78,358 loads in De cember, 1938. In 1939 the interchange am ounted to 982,081 loads, which compares w ith 904,081 loads in 1938, 1,109,147 loads in 1937 and 1,066,898 loads in 1936. D uring the first nine days of January 23,321 loads were interchanged, as against 21,376 loads during the same interval in 1939. Passenger traffic of the reporting roads in December showed a de crease of 1.0 per cent in num ber of passengers carried and an increase of 0.4 per cent in revenue as compared w ith the same m onth a year ago. For the entire country loadings of revenue freight in 1939 totaled 34,102,759 cars, against 30,457,078 cars in 1938 and 37,670,464 cars in 1937. Estim ated tonnage of the Federal Barge Line be tween St. Louis and New Orleans in December was 129,400 tons, against 192,435 tons in November and 171,244 tons in December, 1938. In the twelve m onths of 1939 the Barge Line carried 1,896,483 tons, as against 2,408,943 tons in 1938 and 1,831,055 tons in 1937. T he decline from 1938 was attributable m ainly to labor difficulties experienced last spring which tem porarily halted the service. A G R IC U L TU R E Combined receipts from the sale of principal farm products and Government benefit paym ents to far m ers in states including the E ighth D istrict during the period January-N ovem ber, 1937, 1938 and 1939, and during November, 1938 and 1939, are given in the following table: November 1938 1939 $ 23,919 $ 20,824 41,393 36,582 30,929 26,480 5,888 7,175 . 12,070 12,228 20,375 21,572 M ississip p i.. . , 18,218 21,579 , $155,276 $143,956 of dollars) Percentage of accounts and notes receivable out standing December 1, 1939, collected during De cember, by c itie s : Installm ent E xcl. Instal. A ccounts A ccounts Fort S m ith .. . . % L ittle R ock. . . . 17.1 L o u isv ille ......... 15.6 M em phis............. 32.8 45.2% 37.3 44.3 48.6 Installm ent E xcl. Instal. A ccounts Accounts Q u in cy ............................ % St. L o u is.............. 20.4 Other C ities......... 15.9 8th F. R. D istrict 21.0 52.3% 60.4 46.6 53.0 Specialty Stores—December results in m en’s fur nishings and boot and shoe lines are shown in the following table : Stock Stocks Turnover N et Sales on H and December, 1939 12 mos. ’39 D ec. 31, ’39 Jan. 1, to compared w ith to same comp, with D ec. 31 N o v .,*39 D ec.,’38 period *38 D ec. 31, ’38 1939 1938 M en’s Furnishings + 4 6 .9 % + B oots and S h o es. . + 4 5 .4 + 2.5% 2.5 + 4.8% + 1.0 + + 9.9% 7.8 2.80 7.36 2.61 7.38 Percentage of accounts and notes receivable out standing December 1, 1939, collected during De cember : M en’s F u rn ish ings................ 35.6% Page 4 B oots and S h o es..................3 8 .8 % Cumulative for 11 months 1939 1938 1937 $ 239,552 $ 235,052 $ 266,009 422,879 406,451 439,257 235,793 227,135 251,194 114,043 129,138 130,222 110,526 112,837 115,940 123,408 128,878 122,508 140,262 140,763 145,227 $1,381,963 $1,384,754 $1,470,357 Farm ing Conditions—The U. S. D epartm ent of A griculture’s end-of-the-season survey shows that from the standpoint of yields per acre and produc tion of the principal crops, 1939 was an exceptional year in E ighth D istrict agriculture. W ith the ex ception of wheat, oats and potatoes, output of all the principal productions was higher than a year earlier, and in the case of wheat, cotton, corn, hay, legumes and some lesser crops, exceeded the aver age of the preceding 16 years. F ru it and vegetable crops were large and m ainly of high quality, w ith prices generally favorable. An exception to satis factory returns to producers was apples, heavy pro duction and demoralization of the export m arket caused by the European w ar resulting in prices during the fall and w inter so low th at profits were negligible or entirely absent. A favorable developm ent during the season was the replenishm ent of farm supplies, which had been lowered by recent years of drouth, w ith abundant feed, forage and hay crops. Stocks of corn on farms as of January 1, 1940, were 4.6 per cent higher than a year earlier and 43.5 per cent above the 10-year (1929-1938) average. H ay production in the dis tric t in 1939 was approxim ately 17 per cent above average, and output of legumes, including soy beans, the largest of record. T aken as a whole the status of the livestock industry underw ent distinct betterm ent during the year. T hroughout the period the condition of herds was high, and num erically all species were greater than since the pre-drouth era. Progress was made in dairying and poultry raising. D uring December prices of grains, cotton, live stock and poultry, and some lesser products moved upward. W heat reached the highest levels in a num ber of years, being influenced by the w ar in Europe and unfavorable conditions for the grow ing crop in this country. As of December 30 the farm products group of the U. S. B ureau of Labor Statis tics index stood at 68.5 per cent of the 1926 average. T his represented an increase of 12.1 per cent over last A ugust 26, and compared w ith 68.3 per cent on Decem ber 31, 1938. Cotton — From the beginning of the m arketing season the crop has moved rapidly, owing to active dom estic and export dem and for the staple and sharp upturn in prices. As illustrating the unusual ly rapid movem ent, combined receipts at Arkansas and M issouri compresses from A ugust 1, 1939, to Jan u ary 12, 1940, totaled 1,716,840 bales, as against 1,526,244 bales during the same interval a year earlier. Shipm ents during the period am ounted to 1,454,051 bales as against 665,202 bales in the pre vious season. Stocks on hand as of January 12, w ere 1,619,348 bales compared w ith 1,678,656 bales on the corresponding date in 1939. In the St. Louis m arket m iddling cotton ranged in price from 10.25c to 10.65c per pound between Decem ber 15 and January 15, closing at 10.50c on the latter date, which compares w ith 10.60c on Decem ber 15 and 8.90c on January 16, 1939. The open fall was ideal for field work, and generally more plow ing and preparation of the soil for the 1940 crop than usual is reported. Livestock— In all sections of the district fall and early w inter conditions were ideal for livestock operations and the status of herds at m id-January was exceptionally high. M ovem ent to m arket of cattle, hogs and sheep combined in December was measurable larger than a year and tw o years ago. The rapid upsw ing in hog production, th at started in the spring of 1938, continued through the fall of 1939. The num ber of sheep and lambs on feed as of January 1 in states of the E ighth D istrict was approxim ately 3 per cent larger than on the same date in 1939. Because of the rather early move ment of lambs into the Corn Belt this season, it is expected th at m arketings of fed lambs from the Corn Belt in January and early February will be relatively large. Receipts and shipm ents at St. Louis as reported by the National Stock Y ards were as follow s: _________ Receipts_______ D ec., 1939 N ov., 1939 D ec., 1938 Cattle and C alves___ 84,372 115,856 92,315 H o g s.................................. 292,512 237,943 252,825 Horses and M ules. . . . 2,735 1,876 2,349 Sheep................................ 46,959 62,307 58,955 T o ta ls........................... 426,578 417,982 406,444 Shipments D ec., 1939 N ov., 1939 D ec.r 1938 51,630 77,223 63,007 159,269 143,042 143,034 1,570 1,402 2,143 6,926 12,897 17,883 219,395 234,564 226,067 The following table shows com parative receipts and shipm ents for the years 1937, 1938 and 1939: ________Receipts________ Shipments (In thousands) 1939 1938 1937 1939 1938 1937 Cattle and C alves......... H o g s .................................. Horses and M u les. . . . Sh eep.................................. T o ta ls........................... 1,294 2,626 29 820 4,769 1,403 2,412 40 988 4,843 1,589 2,265 52 1,050 4,956 812 1,608 27 265 2,712 893 1,435 39 330 2,697 995 1,308 52 382 2,737 Tobacco—T otal gross sales of burley leaf to the holiday recess, December 22, was 183,000,000 pounds at an average of $16.09 per cwt. Consider able colory thin tobacco is noted in offerings thus far, with red grades of good body relatively scarce. Good to fine grades, the latter quite scarce, are somewhat cheaper than last year. T he m arkets re opened on January 8 , and a new season high aver age of $18.69 was recorded, which compares with the previous high of $17.11 on December 18. Subsequent sales were slightly under the peak average. Ow ing to severe w eather the crop has not moved as rapidly or in as large volume as before Christmas. In the dark fired district unfavorable w eather conditions have held back stripping and preparing the crop, and as a result opening of the m arkets for this type has been delayed. Tw o floors did open on January 10, however, w ith light sales at an average of $7.47 per cwt., $2.00 above the 1939 opening average. Indications point to a crop of good, aver age quality and useful style. Only two m arkets in the Green River and stem ming area were reported operating when sales were resumed January 2. Previously only 2,000,000 pounds were sold at approxim ately $7.10 per cwt. The crop is generally reported disappointing, the leaf showing a tinge of grayish color. .Page 5 Offerings of the one sucker type were light and ot common to medium grades, totaling 4,998,000 pounds, w ith an average price of $7.10 per cwt. Volume of sales is expected to be limited until more favorable w eather conditions for handling. W inter W heat — According to estimates of the U. S. D epartm ent of A griculture, the area of w inter w heat seeded in states of the Eighth D istrict last fall was 5,963,000 acres, which compares with 6.317.000 acres in 1938, 8,054,000 acres in 1937 and 6.862.000 acres for the fall planting average in the 10-year period 1927-1936. Owing principally to the fall and w inter drouth, the condition of the grow ing crop as of December 1 in all states of the district was considerably below a year earlier and the December 1 average during the 10-year period. Smaller plantings are attributed to a num ber of causes, am ong them the large world stocks, con form ing w ith the AAA program , and low prices prevailing during the early m arketing season of the 1939 crop. Farm stocks of w inter wheat in states of this district as of January 1 were 17,712,000 bushels, against 25,446,000 bushels on the same date in 1939 and the 10-year (1929-1938) January 1 aver age of 22,634,000 bushels. C O M M O D ITY PR IC ES Range of prices in the St. Louis m arket between December 15, 1939 and January 15, 1940, with clos ing quotations on the latter date and on January 16, 1939, follows: and $27,458,000 in December, 1938. T he large De cember, 1939, total includes figures for a dam under construction by the Tennessee Valley A uthority. For the year, construction contracts totaled $336,323,000, as against $208,735,000 for 1938. Building figures for December follow: N ew Construction (C ost in thousands) Perm its 1939 1938 E v a n s v ille .... L ittle R o ck ___ L o u isville......... M em phis............ S t.L o u is............ D ec. T o ta ls. . . N ov. “ ----Oct. “ ----Year “ ----- 9 4 18 10 58 42 233 133 162 189 480 378 631 622 752 679 8,206 6,865 W heat * M ay.....................per bu. $1.05?6 1.04 *Ju ly ..................... *Sept.................... “ 1.0054 N o. 2 red wintei “ 1.11H N o. 2 hard “ “ 1.1154 Corn *M ay..................... .57 *July..................... “ .5754 *Sept...................... “ .5 8 ^ N o. 2 m ixed. . . . “ .60% N o. 2 w hite. . . . “ .64 Oats *M ay..................... “ .3954 .3434 *July..................... .3 2 ^ *Sept...................... “ N o. 2 w hite. . . . “ .45 Flour Soft patent. . . . perbbl. ..7 .1 0 Spring “ ......... “ 6.55 M iddling C otton.per lb. .1065 H ogs on H oof. . .per cwt. 5.80 ^Nominal quotations. Low $ .95 .92% .9256 1.03 1.0254 $ .9756 .947/s .9456 1.03 1.0254 $ .6554 .65 ^6 . 66*6 .72 .72 .543,4 .555* .5554 .56 .62 .64 .4956 .5054 .51 .52 .5254 .37*6 .33*6 .3154 .42 .39 .3334 .3154 .45 .2854 .2756 .26*6 .3354 6.00 5.85 .1025 5.30 6.00@ 6.70 5.85@ 6.10 .1050 5.71 4.00@ 5.35 5.25@ 5.55 .0890 7.58 •5524 •5656 .5 654 .60 y2 B U IL D IN G The dollar value of perm its issued for new con struction in the five largest cities of the district in December was 12.9 per cent more than in November and 14.1 per cent greater than in December, 1938. According to statistics compiled by the F. W. Dodge Corporation, construction contracts let in the E ighth D istrict in December amounted to $132,164,000, which compares w ith $18,297,000 in November Page 6 $ 11 24 90 212 1,161 1,498 2,035 1,525 17,309 1939 Cost 1938 47 35 $ 35 $ 23 47 53 9 16 18 23 19 87 105 103 46 52 99 118 296 165 316 332 405 343 761 539 394 367 668 523 457 586 7,200 6,567 5,986 5,063 P O ST A L R E C E IP T S Quarter ending: D ec. 31, 1939 E van sville................ $ 202,823 L ittle R ock .............. 246,022 849,013 L ouisville................. M em phis................... 870,703 S t .L o u is .................. 3,055,954 T o ta ls....................... $5,404,515 Sept. 30, 1939 D ec. 31, Comp, last Qtrs. 1938 ’39 and ’38 $ 175,268 216,560 687,714 648,666 2,526,044 $4,254,252 $ 189,998 243,070 796,254 847,158 3,032,588 $5,109,068 + + + + + + 6.8% 1.2 6.6 2.8 0.8 5.8 The following table shows the com parative totals for the years 1937, 1938 and 1939: 1939 T o ta ls............ $18,591,947 1938 1937 $17,840,176 $17,739,649 1939 comp, with 1938 1937 + 4.2% + 4.8% C O N SU M PT IO N OF EL E C T R IC IT Y Jan. 16, 1939 Jan. 15, 1940 $ 258 52 126 591 682 1,709 1,514 4,022 26,149 Perm its 1939 1938 R eturns from the five largest cities of the district show an increase of 27.0 per cent in combined postal receipts for the final quarter of 1939 over the pre ceding three m onths, and of 5.8 per cent over the last quarter of 1938. Detailed figures follow : Close H igh Repairs, etc. Cost 1939 1938 Public utilities companies in six large cities of the district report consumption of electric current by selected industrial custom ers in December as being 4.1 per cent less than in November and 11.8 per cent greater than in December, 1938. T otal consumption in 1939 was 12.1 per cent greater than in 1938. Detailed figures follow : (K . W . H . in thous.) N o. of D ec., N ov., Custom- 1939 1939 ers K„W .H. K .W .H . E vansville............ 40 L ittle R ock......... 35 L ouisville............ 82 M em phis.............. 31 Pine B lu ff........... 20 S t .L o u is .............216 T o ta ls..............424 3,778 2,055 9,285 2,369 1,268 24,887 43,642 3,505 2,184 9,697 2,439 1,068 26,605 45,498 D ec., December, 1939 1938 compared w ith K .W .H . N ov., 1939 D ec., 1938 2,922 1,918 7,987 2,404 1,035 22,759 39,025 + 7.8% — 5.9 — 4.2 — 2.9 + 1 8 .7 — 6.5 — 4.1 + 2 9 .3 % + 7.1 4-16.3 — 1.5 + 2 2 .5 4 - 9.4 + 1 1 .8 The following table shows com parative figures of consum ption of electric current by selected in dustrial custom ers, for the years 1938 and 1939 : 1939 K .W .H . Evansville, In d ian a ................ L ittle Rock, A rkansas......... Louisville, K en tu ck y .............. Memphis, T en n essee.............. Pine B luff, A rkansas............ St. L ouis, M issouri................ 38,398,000 25,487,00^ 109,182,000 27,952,000 9,550,000 304,370,000 T o ta ls.........................................514,939,000 1938 K .W .H . 1939 compared w ith 1938 28,430,000 24,178,000 96,676,000 26,046,000 10,032,000 273,816,000 + 3 5 .1 % 4" 5.4 + 1 2 .9 4" 7.3 — 4.8 + 1 1 .2 459,178,000 + 1 2 .1 B A N K IN G A N D F IN A N C E Changes in the banking and financial situation in the E ighth D istrict during the past th irty days were influenced solely by the usual seasonal considera tions, nothing having occurred to alter trends ob taining during the preceding several m onths. Yearend settlem ents w ith m erchants and m anufacturers were in substantial volume, and were reflected in considerable liquidation of loans at city banks. The call for funds to finance agricultural operations was seasonally light. Grain handlers and flour milling interests reduced their com m itm ents in about the expected am ount, but total borrow ings in this cate gory were heavier than a year earlier, owing to the higher level of w heat prices. In the tobacco sec tions some new borrow ing was in evidence, but due to the rapid m arketing of the crop, particularly burley types, liquidation has exceeded the volume of new loans. Member Banks — F or the first tim e in a num ber of m onths, total loans of weekly reporting member banks in the principal cities declined during the four-week period ending January 17. T he total on th at date, however, was still 7.7 per cent greater than at the same tim e in 1939. Gross deposits changed in m inor degree only during the period, and at its end were 12.2 per cent above a year earlier. Follow ing a decline in late November and through December, reserve balances held by these banks turned sharply upw ard after the first of the year, and as of January 17 were only slightly below the record high established at mid-November. Statem ent of the principal resource and liability items of the reporting m ember banks follow s: Change from Jan. 17, Dec. 20, Jan. 18, (I n thousands of dollars) 1940 1939 1939 Commercial,industrial, agricultural lo a n s .. .$199,931 — 6,340 + 1 0 ,0 9 5 Open market paper.............................................. 9,542 + 1,059 + 6,131 Loans to brokers and dealers......................... 5,253 + 251 — 1,056 Other loans to purchase and cariy securities. 12,371 —- 284 — 747 Real E state lo a n s.................................................. 51,487 + 66 + 3,213 Loans to ban ks..................................................... 1,577 — 713 — 5,612 Other lo a n s.............................................................. 56,976 — 901 + 1 1 ,9 8 6 Treasury b ills ......................................................... 2,840 — 3,550 ) Treasury n o tes....................................................... 44,283 — 9,887 r —43,242 U . S. bon ds.............................................................. 139,957 — 895 ) O bligations guaranteed by U .S . Government 70,360 — 853 + 1 1 ,6 7 9 Other secu rities...................................................... 104,163 + 1,025 + 1,709 Balances with dom estic ban ks......................... 199,515 + 1 3 ,2 6 7 + 6 3 ,5 8 6 + 2 7 ,6 7 6 Demand deposits— adjusted*........................... 477,107 — 3,636 Time dep osits......................................................... 189,849 + 937 + 2,131 U. S. Government deposits.............................. 18,016 + 3 — 108 Inter-bank d e p o s its .............................................. 368,348 + 8,291 + 7 8 ,3 7 6 B o r r o w in g s ..................................................................................................... *Other than inter-bank and Government deposits, less cash items on hand or in process of collection. Above figuies are for 24 member banks in St. Louis, Louisville, Mem phis, L ittle Rock and Evansville. Their resources comprise approximately 62.0% of the resources of all member banks in this district. T he aggregate am ount of savings deposits held by selected member banks on January 3 was slightly larger than on December 6 and 2.0 per cent greater than the total on January 4, 1939. Interest rates remained unchanged. A t down town St. Louis banks as of the week ended January 15, rates charged were as follow s: Custom ers’ prime commercial paper, 124 to 5H per cent; col lateral loans, 2T A to 6 per cent; loans secured by warehouse receipts, 13 A to 5H per cent and inter bank loans, 2% to 5H per cent. Federal Reserve O perations—T he volume of the m ajor operations of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, during December, 1939, is indicated below: (Incl. Louisville, M emphis, L ittle Rock branches) Pieces Checks (cash item s) handled................................... 5,676,795 Collections (non-cash item s) handled.................. 157,692 Transfers of fu n d s......................................................... 4,913 Currency received and counted.............................. 9,683,529 Coin received and counted......................................... 9,422,167 Rediscounts, advances and com m itm ents............ 25 N ew issues, redemptions, and exchanges of securities as fiscal agent of U .S . G ov’t, etc......... 23,636 Bills and securities in custody— coupons clipped. 33,975 Amounts $1,327,805,939 34,636,995 390,439,144 34,478,911 1,121,465 711,750 71,288,548 Changes in the principal assets and liabilities of this bank appear in the following ta b le : Jan. 18, (In thousands of dollars) 1940 Industrial advances under Sec. 13b............$ 5 26 Other advances and rediscounts................... 236 Bills bought (including participations) . . U. S. securities..................................................... 111,091 Total earning a sse ts....................................... 111,353 F. R. N otes in circulation.............................. Industrial commitments under Sec. 1 3 b .. Ratio of reserve to deposit Change from D ec. 18, Jan. 18, 1939 1939 2 + 5 + — 119 + 158 2 *+ 2 6 ,1 6 4 — 8,732 + 2 6 ,0 5 0 — 8,574 426,444 345,646 190,608 152 79.5% — 13,062 + 18,521 — 2,688 — 236 — 5.0% + + + 90,273 74,959 10,478 — + 289 4.9% Following are the rates of this bank for accom modations under the Federal Reserve A ct: Advances to banks, secured by direct obligations of the United States, under paragraph 13 of Section 13 ..1 Advances to member banks, under paragraph 8 of Sec tion 13, secured by direct obligations of the U nited States or by such Government guaranteed obliga tions as are eligible for collateral thereunder.................. Rediscounts and other advances to member banks under Sections 13 and 13a..................................................... Advances to member banks under Section 10b.................. Advances to individuals, firms, and corporations, other than banks, secured by direct obligations of the U nited States, under paragraph 13 of Section 1 3 ___ .4 Rediscounts, purchases, and advances to member banks, nonmember banks, and other financing insti tutions, under Section 13b: (a) On portion for which such institution is obligated 3y2 % (b) On remaining portion.................................................. .4 7c Commitments, not exceeding 6 months, to member banks, nonmember banks, and other financing insti tutions, to rediscount, purchase, or make advances, under Section 13b..................................................................... . . Advances to established industrial or commercial { 4 % businesses under Section 13b................................................ 1 5 per annum per annum per annum per annum y2%flat to y2%per annum The Bloomfield State Bank, Bloomfield, Ind., be came a member of the System on January 4. Debits to Individual Accounts — The following comparative table of debits to individual accounts reflects spending trends in this d istric t: (I n thousands of dollars) D ec., 1939 ’1 Stock Yards, 111..$ 38,640 E l Dorado, Ark......... 6,060 Evansville, Ind ........... 36,825 Fort Smith, Ark......... 13,849 Greenville, M iss......... 7,610 Helena, Ark................ 3,196 Little Rock, A rk .. . . 46,747 Louisville, K y............. 196,738 197,290 8,054 Owensboro, Ky. 11,307 9,169 Quincy, 111................... St. Louis, M o........... 688,373 2,510 Sedalia, M o.................. 14,039 Springfield, M o......... 9,328 Texarkana, A rk.-Tex. T otals......................... 1,289,735 ,289,735 (Completed January 22, 1940) N ov., 1939 $ 36,526 5,237 29,832 11,997 7,071 2,959 39,150 154,697 170,511 6,205 9,666 8,791 605,600 2,201 13,875 7,304 1,111,622 D ec., 1938 $ 36,147 6,204 31,995 13,883 5,432 2,457 39,631 183,540 138,466 8,749 10,780 8,704 659,539 2,438 14,018 8,771 1,170,754 D ec.,’39,comp, with N o v .,’39 D ec.,’38 - 5.8% (-15.7 -23.4 -15.4 - 7.6 - 8.0 -19.4 -27.2 -15.7 -29.8 -17.0 - 4.3 -13.7 -14.0 - 1.2 -27.7 + 16.0 + 6.9% — 2.3 + 15.1 — 0.2 + 4 0 .1 + 3 0 .1 + 18.0 + 7.2 + 4 2 .5 — 7.9 + 4.9 + 5.3 + 4.4 + 3.0 + 0.1 + 6.4 + 10.2 Page 7 N A TIO NA L SUMMARY OF B U SIN E SS CO NDITIONS B Y B O A R D O F G O V E R N O R S O F F E D E R A L R E S E R V E SY ST E M INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Index of physical volum e of production, adjusted for sea sonal variation, 1923-1925 average = 100. B y months, January, 1934, to December, 1939. L atest figure 128. DEPARTMENT STORE SALES AND STOCKS Industrial activity, after a rapid rise in recent months, declined less than seasonally in December. In the first half of January activity did not show the usual seasonal increase. Distribution of commodities to consumers was maintained in large volume. Production—Industrial output decreased in December, but by a smaller amount than is usual at this season, with the consequence that the Board’s index, which allows for usual seasonal variations, advanced further from 124 to 128 per cent of the 1923-1925 average. As in other recent months, the rise in the index continued to reflect mainly increased activity in in dustries producing durable goods. Automobile production rose sharply in December owing to the reopening of plants of one large producer which had been closed for almost two months. Plate glass production also in creased. At steel mills activity was maintained near the high level that prevailed in October and November; fourth quarter production of steel ingots was greater than in any other three-month period on record. Output of zinc and deliveries of tin continued to increase in December, and lumber production declined less than seasonally. In the nondurable goods industries, where production had been at high levels throughout the autumn, changes in output in December were largely seasonal in character. At woolen textile mills, however, there was a con siderable reduction in activity, and activity at silk mills declined to a low level, reflecting in part continued high prices of raw silk. Output of crude petroleum continued at a high rate in December, while coal production was reduced, following a large volume of output in the two preceding months. In the first half of January steel ingot production was at a somewhat lower level than in December, while automobile assemblies were maintained at about the same high rate as in the previous month. Indexes of value of sales and stocks, adjusted for seasonal variation, 1923-1925 average = 100. B y months, January, 1934, to December, 1939. WHOLESALE PRICES Value of construction contracts awarded, as reported by the F. W. Dodge Corporation, increased further in December, owing to the inclusion in the December figures of a large amount for a dam under construction by the Tennessee Valley Authority. Contracts for private building, both residential and nonresidential, declined seasonally. Employment — According to reports from leading industrial States, factory employment decreased less than seasonally in December and pa}' rolls showed a further advance. Distribution — Distribution of commodities to consumers increased further in December. Sales at variety stores showed about the usual sharp rise and sales at department stores and mail-order houses increased more than seasonally. Freight-car loadings declined by more than the usual seasonal amount from November to December, reflecting chiefly a further reduction in coal shipments and a decrease in loadings of ore, which had been at a high level in the previous month. Index compiled by the U nited States Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1926 = 100. B y weeks, 1934 to week ending January 13, 1940. L atest figure 79.5. MEMBER BANKS IN 101 LEADING CITIES Commodity Prices—Prices of wheat, which had advanced sharply early in December and continued at the higher level during the rest of the month, declined considerably in the first half of January. Smaller decreases occurred in some other commodities, including hides, tin, and zinc. Prices of most other basic commodities, such as cotton, wool, lead, and steel scrap, showed little change. Government Security Market — Prices of United States Government securities continued to advance during December and were steady during the first two weeks of January. Bank Credit—Total loans and investments of reporting member banks in 101 leading cities declined in the four weeks ending January 10, following an increase during the first half of December. These changes reflected largely a temporary rise and a subsequent decline in loans to security brokers and dealers in connection with the Government’s flotation of a new issue of bonds. Total holdings of United States Government obligations at city banks showed little net change during the period. W ednesday figures for reporting member banks in 101 leading cities, September 5, 1934, to January 10, 1940. Commercial loans, which include industrial and agricul tural loans, represent prior to M ay 19, 1937, so-called “ Other loans” as then reported. Page 8 As a result chiefly of further increases in gold stock as well as the post-holiday return of currency from circulation, excess reserves of member banks increased sharply in the four weeks ending January 10.