The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
F e b r u a ry , 1955 Volume X X X V II Number 2 TJ L H E ANNUAL TRANSMITTAL ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ to Congress of the Budget Message always raises the question of which type of budget best serves the purposes of fiscal decision-making. The administrative or traditional budget contains estimates, for the ensuing and current fiscal years, of receipts and disbursements of Federally-owned funds. By vari ous means of authorization, Congress is asked to grant an amount of new obligational authority, which does not coincide with expenditures for a particular year. To estimate the impact of fiscal operations on the economy, it is necessary to com bine budget and trust fund transactions in a consolidated cash statement. The “cash” budget yields information on money flows between the Federal Government and the public and furnishes the basis for short-run estimates of the effect of fiscal operations on bank reserves. A “capital” budget, not used by the Federal Government, would distinguish be tween “capital” and “current” outlays. Opponents of such a budget consider it a way of concealing chronically unbalanced budgets; proponents advance it as a means to public acceptance of large and necessary outlays by the Federal Government on durable goods. The three budget types are not alternative, but rather supplementary, control mechanisms to aid in the management of Government affairs. The annual transmittal to Congress o f the Budget Message always raises the question o f which type of budget best serves the purposes of fiscal decision-making. I n TH E M IDST OF HIS ANNUAL BOUT with the Federal taxgatherer, a citizen may be forgiven for putting aside the broader aspects of Federal fiscal problems. Yet current discussions of such matters intrude themselves upon his consciousness. The Fed eral Budget for 1956, after nearly a year in process of formulation, was sent by the President to Congress on January 17 of this year. Since then the general press and the financial journals have treated at length such subject as the effects of the proposed expenditures on different Government programs, the effect of a con tinuing budget deficit on the performance of the econ omy, and the prospects for a balanced budget in en suing years. Another, perhaps more fundamental, question has elicited a flurry of journalistic comment. Economists, Government officials, and economic research organi zations have argued that a “cash-consolidated” budget gives a more accurate picture of the impact of fiscal operations on the economy than does the “administra tive” budget in present use. Others have suggested that a system of “capital” accounting be incorporated in a cash budget to permit separation of items of cur rent expense from asset acquisitions. The average cit izen finds it difficult enough to make his way through Page 14 the present administrative budget, which is presented to him in a volume about the size of the St. Louis tele phone directory. When he contemplates the complex ities suggested by other types of budgets he is likely to despair of comprehending his Government’s finan cial operations. A solution to his intellectual difficul ties lies in the realization that different types of budg ets yield information useful for different purposes of decision-making. The administrative or traditional budget contains estimates, for the ensuing and current fiscal years, o f receipts and disbursements of Federally-owned funds To understand the various proposals for presenting budgetary information it is first necessary to become familiar with the elements of the conventional or ad ministrative budget. By the Budget and Accounting Act of 1921, as amended, the President is required to present to Congress in January of each year an esti mate of government revenues and expenditures for the ensuing fiscal year, a revised estimate for the cur rent fiscal year, and an accounting of receipts and ex penditures for the fiscal year which ended on the pre ceding June 30. On the receipts side of the budget are included funds owned directly by the Government and paid into the Treasury to the credit of the general and spe cial funds. Excluded from budget receipts are money obtained by borrowing, money paid into revolving funds such as those of Government corporations and the Post Office, and money earmarked for one of the trust funds. In general, then, budget receipts consist of the income taxes, excise taxes, and custom duties which people and businesses pay into the United States Treasury. By various means of authorization, Congress is asked to grant an amount . . . TABLE I SUMMARY OF THE BUDGET (Fiscal years. In billions) 1953 actual 1954 actual $ 80 .3 New obligational authority; Under existing legislation Under proposed legislation Total new obligational authority .................... 1955 estimate 1956 estimate $ 62.8 $ 57.2 .1 $ 53.1 5.5 8 0 .3 6 2 .8 5 7 ,3 5 8 .6 Budget receipts: Under existing legislation Under proposed legislation 64.8 6 4.7 5 8 .8 .2 5 7.7 2.3 Total budget receipts 64.8 6 4 .7 5 9 .0 6 0.0 Net budget expenditures: Under existing legislation Under proposed legislation 7 4 .3 6 7 .8 6 3 .5 60.5 1.9 7 4 .3 67.8 63.5 62.4 Net budget expenditures Budget deficit ......................... 9.4 3.1 4 .5 2.4 Public debt at end of year 266.1 2 7 1 .3 2 7 4 .3 2 7 6 .0 Balances of appropriations carried forward at end of year. . . 78.4 6 8 .0 5 3.9 4 9 .6 Budget expenditures are outlays of Federallyowned funds on the national security program, inter est on the public debt, Federal services and benefits, agriculture and agricultural resources, and so on. E x penditures of the general fund are stated on a gross basis, receipts not ordinarily being deducted from expenditures. Expenditures of the so-called “publicenterprise” revolving funds are reported on both a gross and a net basis, but in the main budget state ment receipts are deducted from expenditures to get a net figure. For example, it is estimated that gross expenditures for agriculture and agricultural re sources in the fiscal year 1956 will be $7.6 billion. But receipts, consisting mostly of collections on loans and sales of commodities, will amount to about $5.4 bil lion. Thus, the net estimated expenditures for the programs will be about $2.2 billion.1 Net budget ex penditures are estimated on a “checks issued” basis— i.e., the date of a check or cash payment determines the fiscal year in which the expenditure falls. How ever, interest on the public debt counts as an expen diture in the year in which it becomes payable even though the coupons (or savings bonds) may not be presented for payment in that year. Retirement of Government debt and investment in United States Government securities by Government corporations 1 On a gross basis budget expenditures for 1956 will be $73.3 billion, but after receipts of Government corporations and the postal service of about $10.9 billion are deducted, net expenditures amount to $62.4 billion. are always excluded from expenditures. Certain pay ments from one Government fund to another are elim inated from both the receipt and expenditure side. Federal agencies cannot commit themselves to ex penditures or pay bills until Congress authorizes them to do so. Usually authorization takes the form of an appropriation, which permits an agency to incur obligations and pay bills as they come in. Sometimes, though, Congress will grant a contract authorization, which gives authority to incur obligations but not to spend money; such an authorization requires a subse quent appropriation to liquidate contract authoriza tion to allow the actual expenditure of funds. Occa sionally reappropriations and reauthorizations are necessary to continue available balances of prior ap propriations or authorizations which would otherwise expire, though for a few purposes, such as interest on the public debt, Congress grants permanent authori zations under which sums become available year after year without further legislative action. Finally, au thorizations to expend from debt receipts may be nec essary to make borrowed funds available to an agen cy or to enable a Government-owned corporation to borrow directly from the public. . . . of new obligational authority, which does not coincide with expenditures for a particular year. Whatever form Congress may use, the sum of the various types of authorization, less the part of appro priations which is to liquidate previous contract au thorization, constitutes new obligational authority. The amount of new obligational authority granted will not be the same as expenditures for a particular year. There will ordinarily be a time lag between authorization and the receipt of goods and services, and in the case of such capital goods as an atomic energy installation or an aircraft carrier the interval between incurring an obligation and making final payment may be several years. Thus it happens that expenditures in any year come partly from new obli gational authority granted for that year and partly from authority granted in previous years. For ex ample, in fiscal 1956 about 40 per cent of the estimat ed expenditures of $62.4 billion will be from obliga tional authority granted in previous fiscal years, and about 60 per cent of the expenditures are to be from authorizations requested for 1956. Finally, it is antici pated that $20.8 billion, or about one-third, of the Page 15 BUDGET AUTHORIZATIONS re la te d t o e x p e n d itu re s FISCAL YEAR 1956, ESTIMATED $ BILLIONS 37.9 NEW O B L IG A T IO N A L 20.7 To be spent To be spent in 1956 after 1956 58.6 AUTHORITY 24.5 From ^ ^ EXPENDITURES 37.9 From New O b liga tio n a l Authority For 1956 new obligational authority will not be spent until fiscal 1957 or later. The above chart will help the reader to get these relationships in mind. In periods when Congress is making huge appro priations for the purpose of building up the military machine, new obligational authority in any year may greatly exceed budget expenditures. Table II shows how the conflict in Korea affected unexpended bal ances of appropriations in the early 1950’s. In fiscal 1955 and 1956 payments for military equipment authorized in previous years will exceed the dollar value of new equipment ordered, with the result that cumulative unspent balances of appropria tions will decline. By July 1, 1956, these balances will be down nearly $30 billion from their peak at the end of fiscal 1953. The administrative budget thus provides a means lor closely estimating receipts and expenditures of Government-owned funds in any year and for keep ing track of congressional authorizations over time. The primary function of the traditional budgetary Page 16 62.4 statements is to furnish a system of easy accounting controls to prevent overspending of appropriations. TABLE II BUDGET A U T H O R IZA T IO N S, EXPENDITURES, A N D UNSPENT APPRO PRIATIO N S 1950-1956 (In Billions of D ollars) C um ulative Am ount brought unspent forw ard into balances of the year appropriations Fiscal Y ear New obligational authority* 1950 4 9 .3 3 9 .6 1 1 .5 1 4 .1 e 1951 8 2 .9 4 4 .0 1 4 .1 5 0 .3 e Expenditures 1952 9 1 .4 6 5 .4 5 0 .3 6 8 .8 1953 8 0 .3 7 4 .3 6 8 .8 7 8 .4 1954 6 2 .8 6 7 .8 7 8 .4 6 8 .0 1955 e 5 7 .3 6 3 .5 6 8 .0 5 3 .9 1956 e 5 8 .6 6 2 .4 5 3 .9 4 9 .6 e Estim ated * Included authorizaLions to co n tract and to m ake expenditures from borrowed m oney, as well as appropriations to m ake expenditures from the general revenues of the G overnm ent. ** Includes reappropriations of spending authority w hich w ould lapse if not used in a given fiscal year, as well as continuing and new appropriations. Does not include authorizations to co n tra ct or spend from borrow ed m oney. Source: T h e B u d g et o f th e U n ited States G ov ern m en t fo r th e F isc a l Y ear E n din g Ju n e 30, 1956. To estimate the impact o f fiscal operations on the economy, it is necessary to combine budget and trust fund transactions in a consolidated cash statement. The administrative budget does not, however, per mit an accurate measurement of the impact of fiscal operations on the economy. In order to have some notion of what that impact may be within a particu lar year it is essential to have an estimate of the total amount of money which will be collected from people in taxes and the total amount which will be turned back as cash expenditures. The orthodox budget does not accurately describe cash flows to and from the public, for it does not include receipts and expendi tures of the trust funds, such as old-age and surviv ors insurance, unemployment insurance, railroad re tirement, and the like. Moreover, the customary budget counts as expenditures certain payments which do not find their way into the hands of the public. Chief items in this category are interest on the Government securities in which the trust funds are invested and accrued interest on savings bonds, which is counted as a budget expenditure at the time of accrual. In Special Analysis A of the budget doc ument is found a summary of Federal Government receipts from and payments to the public, here pre sented in somewhat simplified form as Table III. The Federal Government includes budget transactions, TABLE III RECEIPTS FROM A ND PAYMENTS TO THE PUBLIC (In Millions of Dollars) Fiscal Year 1955 Estimated Description Budget receipts ................................................................................. $60,0 0 0 Trust fund receipts ......................................................................... 11,283 Intergovernmental transactions .................................................. — 2,455 Seigniorage on s i l v e r ....................................................................... — 35 Total receipts from the pu blic.................... $68,793 Budget expenditures ....................................................................... $62,408 Trust fund expenditures ............................................................... 8 ,845 Intragovemmental transactions .................................................. — 2 ,4 5 5 Net accrued interest and other noncash transactions. . . . — Total payments to the pu blic....................... Excess of receipts over payments............................................. Source: 563 $68,2 3 5 $ Consolidation of budget receipts and expenditures with trust fund transactions yields helpful informa tion. In fiscal 1956 receipts of the trust funds will be about $2.5 billion more than expenditures from them; the excess cash will be invested in Treasury securities, payment to the public of these trust fund expendi tures is postponed, and the excess cash received from the public by the trust accounts is available to the Government. Of the transactions between Govern ment agencies and trust funds, interest paid on United States securities held by trust funds amounted to about $1.7 billion.2 Of the noncash transactions, ac crued interest on savings bonds will amount to more than $500 million in fiscal 1956. This amount plus the $2.5 billion excess of cash receipts in the trust funds changes a $2.4 billion deficit in the administra tive budget to a $500 million surplus when only the money flows between the Federal Government and the public are considered. If present estimates hold, the impact of Federal taxing and spending in fiscal 1956 will be almost neu tral. No one would pretend, of course, that the cash deficit or cash surplus is the only thing to be consid ered in assessing the effect of the budget on the econ omy. The kinds of taxes levied play a part in deter mining the level of economic activity, and the debt managers, by tapping alternative sources of borrowed funds, may encourage or discourage business expan sion. As the budget document itself points out, “. . . not only cash flows, but also many other Federal financial activities have important economic effects.” For example, a large increase in new appropriations will likely stimulate economic activity before the funds themselves are actually paid out. The repeal or modification of a tax law may affect business deci sions to invest or disinvest before cash flows between the Federal Government and the public have been influenced. 558 T h e Budget fo r the Fiscal Y ear 1956, p . 1131. trust fund transactions, and the transactions of those Government corporations carried on the books of the Treasury. The public includes household units, busi ness firms, the Federal Reserve and Postal Savings Systems, state and municipal governments, and inter national organizations. The "cash” budget yields information on money flows between the Federal Government and the public, . . . . . . and furnishes the basis for short-run estimates o f the effect o f fiscal operations on bank reserves. Incidentally, familiarity with the consolidated cash statement as presented in the budget document is of help in day-to-day monetary analysis. Treasury oper ations have an important effect on the reserves of 2 Presently United States Government securities held by the trust funds amount to about $50 billion, or close to one-fifth of the public debt. Page 17 commercial banks as may been seen from an inspec tion of Table IV. In the first two business days of 1955, for example, changes in Treasury deposits in the Federal Reserve banks added $177 million and $103 million to bank reserves. TABLE IV FACTORS AFFECTING MEMBER BANK RESERVES (Sign indicafes effect on member bank reserves) (In Millions of Dollars) January 3, 1 9 5 5 January 4, 1955 Treasury Federal Reserve Deposits. . + 177 + 103 Currency — 2 + 39 Gold and Foreign Federal Reserve Deposits ................................................ — 21 — 17 Federal Reserve Bank C redit............... + 355 + 4 Other Factors ........................................... + — 7 ..................................................... 35 + 122 + 544 Change in Member Bank Reserves Additions to, or subtractions from, bank reserves by the Treasury are the net result of a complex of transactions. The Daily Statement of the United States Treasury presents in a table of “Cash Depos its and Withdrawals” a consolidated cash statement of Treasury operating transactions." The Treasury cash statement is a convenient way of grouping Treasury transactions so as to show their effect on member bank reserves (see Table V.) TABLE V SOURCES A ND USES OF TREASURY FEDERAL RESERVE DEPOSITS (Signs indicate effect on member bank reserves) (In Millions of Dollars) January 3, 1955 January 4, ; Individual income taxes .................... Corporate income taxes .................... Other cash receipts ............................ — 33 — 2 — 31 — 99 — 11 — 62 Total deposits ................................... — 66 — 172 Defense Department expenditures. . Foreign aid programs ....................... Other cash exp end itu res.................... + 199 + 14 — 17 + 265 — 2 + 102 Total w ith d ra w a ls.............................. + 196 + 365 Net withdrawals ................................ + 130 + 193 Net cash borrowing ......................... — 25 — Change in other cash balances. . . . + 72 — 84 + 177 + 103 Treasury Federal Reserve Deposits. . 6 Cash income of the Treasury reduces commercial bank reserves, for individuals and business firms draw checks on their accounts to make tax remit tances or other payments. But the Treasury may de ss Although figures for Treasury cash deposits and withdrawals differ some what from Federal receipts from and payments to the public, the differences are small (about 1/10 of 1 per cent) and can for many purposes be neglected. For a reconciliation of the two statements see T h e Budget fo r Fiscal Y ear 1956, p. 1132. Page 18 posit funds in its Federal Reserve account, from which nearly all withdrawals are finally made, or it may temporarily leave funds in the Tax and Loan ac counts of commercial banks.4 Insofar as tax receipts are left in Tax and Loan accounts there is no imme diate effect on bank reserves, and in Table V an ad justment for Tax and Loan account changes is made under the heading “Change in Other Cash Balances.” And, of course, net cash borrowing (or repayment) affects bank reserves. Treasury cash withdrawals from its Federal Reserve deposits normally go into private accounts in commercial banks and thus add to bank reserves. A "capital” budget, not used by the Federal Government, would distinguish between "capital” and "current” outlays. Traditionally, Americans have applied one princi ple of private financial practice to governmental budgets and rejected another. They have felt that the budget should be balanced within the annual ac counting period, that outgo should not exceed in come. Yet, except in the budgets of certain munic ipalities, no distinction has been made between “cap ital” and “current” outlays.5 Capital goods, whether those of a business firm or a household, are ordinarily defined as goods which yield their service flows over a period of time longer than the annual accounting period. A manufacturing firm does not charge off the whole cost of a new plant in one year, nor does a family consider the purchase of a house as a drain on a single year’s income. But under present Federal practice all expenditures, whether on plant and equipment which may last for decades or on the current pay of soldiers and sailors, are financed in the same way. For a half century or more writers in public finance have discussed the pros and cons of adapting a capital budget to governmental accounting. Both Denmark and Sweden have adopted budgetary systems which distinguish between the operating budget and the capital, or investment, budget, and other countries, notably Canada, have separated the “ordinary” from the “extraordinary” budget. Under a system of capi tal accounting, durable goods may be entered in the 4 In fact, the purpose of Tax and Loan accounts is to cushion the with drawal of bank reserves as a consequence of tax and other payments. The Treasury closely gears its withdrawals from the Tax and Loan accounts to its expenditures. 5 Special Analysis D distinguishes between investment and operating ex penditures but is not intended to be a capital budget. See T h e Budget fo r the Fiscal Y ear 1956, p. 1153-1164. capital budget whether the expenditures are selfliquidating or non-income-yielding, or the capital budget may contain only remunerative enterprises. Whichever system is adopted, the original cost of the durable goods is met by borrowing, by transfer of amortization or depreciation allowances from the op erating to the capital budget, or by receipts from in heritance or gift taxes. It is essential to the notion of a capital budget that losses on income-earning proj ects, after depreciation and interest charges as well as operating expenses, be carried by the operating budget. Similarly, nonincome earning assets, such as schools, parks, or roads must be a charge against the operating budget to the extent of interest and de preciation charges plus operating expenses. Continuing international tensions, a rapidly grow ing population, and increasing urban congestion have brought demands for vast capital outlays which in turn have suggested the separation in the Federal budget of asset purchases from current expenditures. About two-thirds of Federal spending today is for the national security program. The reasons for quickly increasing the rate of school-and-road-building are compelling. The question arises whether in the inter est of efficient allocation of resources a new type of budgetary procedure should not be adopted. Opponents o f such a budget consider it a way o f concealing chronically unbalanced budgets; . . , Opposition to a system of capital accounting at the Federal level has historically been based on a number of grounds. Some writers have insisted that the bor derline between “capital” and “current” outlays is too fuzzy to permit a useful distinction between the two types. Others have contended that a multiple budget makes, at best, for an “incomplete budget and, at worst, for an evasion of fiscal responsibility by con cealing chronically unbalanced budgets. And stu dents of the problem, unconvinced by either of these objections, have remarked that private businesses dis tinguish capital outlays from others because capital expenditures are ordinarily financed by the issue of securities, whereas government borrowing should largely be determined by current levels of income and employment. . . . proponents advance it as a means to public acceptance o f large and necessary outlays by the Federal Government on durable goods. Proponents of capital budgets rejoin that a projec tion of outlays over several years is necessary to intel ligent decision-making concerning the allocation of the tax dollar. They point out, moreover, that the pressure for financing by direct borrowing of the responsible agencies will grow.6 Public acceptance of elaborate schemes for building roads and school buildings may well depend, they insist, upon provi sion for the amortization of necessary outlays over a carefully estimated period of useful life and the inclu sion of interest and depreciation charges in a mean ingful operating budget. The three budget types are not alternative, but rather supplementary, control mechanisms to aid in the management o f Governmental affairs. Presently the three budget types just described should not be viewed as alternative but rather as sup plementary tools to aid in the management of big Government. For the purposes of exercising control functions the administrative budget, with its stress on accounting for each period’s income and outgo of Federally-owned funds, is not likely to be superseded. There will probably be some shift in emphasis, how ever, toward analyses which yield more information of economic significance.7 People who would be in formed will come more and more to rely upon the consolidated cash statement, which helps to assess the role of Government in maintaining business stability and influencing the reserves of commercial banks. Finally, the possibility of adopting a capital budget will doubtless receive serious consideration as people increasingly sense the need for greater insight into the related problems of allocating tax monies among Fed eral activities and balancing the cost of capital out lays against the benefits of resulting service flows. Ross M. R o b e rtso n ° The issue of securities which are the obligation of the issuing corporation and not directly guaranteed by the Government enable the corporation to obtain funds without adding to the public debt. Certificates of interest issued by the Commodity Credit Corporation and notes of the Federal National Mortgage Association are examples. The lease-purchase method of obtaining public buildings is another device for obtaining the benefits of a capital good without additions to the public debt. 7 There have been repeated requests, for example, for changes in the form of the budget so that more information will be available concerning whole programs and less concerning details of expenditures by departments. Page 19 1 9 5 4 OPERATIONS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS A HE TOTAL VOLUME of work handled by the Fed eral Reserve Bank of St. Louis again increased in 1954. In the accompanying table showing the volume of selected operations at the St. Louis office of this bank and its three branches, 11 of the 17 items are larger than in 1953. Furthermore, only three of the six categories showing some slackening in activity were in the areas where sizable numbers of items are normally handled each year. As usual, the dollar volume of work done in 1954 reached striking proportions. Over $58 billion worth of checks were cleared, almost $38 billion in funds were transferred at the St. Louis office of this bank and its branches, over $10 billion of United States securities were issued, exchanged and redeemed, approximately $1.5 billion worth of advances (including renewals) were granted banks, and over $1 billion in currency and coin were processed. Dollar volume was down from last year in a number of cases, reflecting among other things the lessened business activity generally. While the figures in the table give a rough idea of the size and scope of operations during the year, there are numerous activities not represented there and several interesting developments that deserve further comment. Operational Activities Check collection operations continued as the largest single function of the bank in terms of number of em ployees and volume of work handled. Productivity was increased, a factor being the addition of more floor space in improved quarters. A continued gain in use of the check routing symbol program was also experienced. About 92 per cent of the checks drawn on Eighth Dis trict banks bore the routing symbol at the end of the year, ranking the district in sixth place among the 12 Federal Reserve districts in this respect. In the Money Department, a change in the method of sorting fit Federal Reserve Notes (those in condition for re-issuance) accounted for the slight relative drop in volume during 1954. Up to July 19, the law forbade a Reserve bank putting into circulation in its district any notes ftut its own. Consequently, the fit notes of all other Reserve banks received by it had to be sorted out and returned to the banks of issue. With a change in the law, the Reserve banks were given permission to pay out notes of other banks and in late July, discontinued the Page 20 practice of returning fit notes to the banks of issue. In stead, they began paying such notes out in their respec tive districts. In the past, this bank had consistently received from other Reserve banks more of its own fit notes—in number and in dollar volume—than it had sent COMBINED VOLUME OF OPERATIONS AT THE ST. LOUIS BANK AND THE LOUISVILLE, MEMPHIS AND LITTLE ROCK BRANCHES IN 1954 AND 1953 Number of Pieces Handled Checks ( T o t a l ) .................................... City Checks ................................. Country Checks ......................... Checks on this B a n k .................. Government Cheeks .................. Postal Money Orders (cards). . Currency .............................................. C o i n ........................................................ Transfer of Funds ......................... Non-cash C o lle c tio n s....................... U. S. Government Interest Coupons ........................................ Discounts and A d v a n c e s ............. 1954 1 953 1 8 4 ,4 0 2 ,0 0 0 2 5 ,3 0 4 ,0 0 0 9 8 ,9 6 3 ,0 0 0 182,000 4 3 ,0 5 7 ,0 0 0 1 6 ,8 9 6 ,0 0 0 2 1 5 ,1 9 8 ,0 0 0 365,974,00.0 120,000 4 7 0 ,0 0 0 18 2 ,9 5 4 ,0 0 0 24 ,6 8 9 ,0 0 0 9 7 ,8 1 1 ,0 0 0 174,000 4 3 ,2 3 9 ,0 0 0 1 7 ,041,000 2 2 3 ,6 4 0 ,0 0 0 3 2 9 ,9 4 1 ,0 0 0 115,000 4 2 9 ,0 0 0 6 7 3 ,0 0 0 612 7 2 3 ,0 0 0 1,388 Safekeeping o f Securities: Securities Received and Released .................................... 173,000 163,000 Coupons Detached .................... 2 9 6 ,0 0 0 29 7 ,0 0 0 Fiscal Agency O perations: U. S. Savings Bonds Issued, Exchanged, and Redeemed 7 ,0 9 7 ,0 0 0 6 ,4 5 0 ,0 0 0 Other Government Issues . . . . 3 0 9 ,0 0 0 2 4 8 ,0 0 0 W ithheld Tax Depository Receipts Processed ............... 5 3 1 ,0 0 0 5 1 4 ,0 0 0 Treasury Tax and Loan Account Transactions .......... 1 40,000 131,000 $ 5 8 ,5 2 7 ,8 0 4 ,0 0 0 3 4 ,1 1 1 ,5 4 0 ,0 0 0 1 4 ,3 1 6 ,6 6 3 ,0 0 0 2 ,8 2 7 ,0 5 4 ,0 0 0 6 ,9 8 6 ,4 7 9 ,0 0 0 2 8 6 ,0 6 8 ,0 0 0 1 ,2 8 4 ,3 3 5 ,0 0 0 3 2 ,2 5 0 ,0 0 0 3 7 ,9 9 2 ,6 9 9 ,0 0 0 3 4 1 ,6 8 5 ,0 0 0 1 ,4 7 8 ,3 4 0 ,0 0 0 $ 6 0 ,6 9 7 ,0 4 5 ,0 0 0 3 7 ,7 2 8 ,4 5 7 ,0 0 0 1 4 ,0 6 2 ,5 4 6 ,0 0 0 2 ,3 9 2 ,9 5 3 ,0 0 0 6 ,2 2 2 ,2 2 5 ,0 0 0 2 9 0 ,8 3 4 ,0 0 0 1 ,3 7 3 ,1 0 7 ,0 0 0 2 9 ,4 1 6 ,0 0 0 3 9 ,7 9 2 ,0 3 7 ,0 0 0 3 6 8 ,7 9 7 ,0 0 0 5 ,7 9 2 ,3 8 5 ,0 0 0 2 6 ,7 7 2 ,0 0 0 2 5 ,1 0 2 ,0 0 0 Dollar Volume Checks Handled (T o tal)............... City Checks ................................. Country Checks ......................... Checks on this B a n k .................. Government Checks .................. Postal Money Orders ............... Currency .............................................. Coin ..................................................... Transfer of Funds ......................... Non-cash Collections .................... Discounts and A d v a n ce s............... Safekeeping o f Securities: Coupons Detached .................... Fiscal Agency O perations: U. S. Savings Bonds Issued, Exchanged, and Reedemed 8 0 9 ,6 4 4 ,0 0 0 6 5 1 ,2 4 3 ,0 0 0 Other Government Issues . . . . 9 ,8 2 7 ,6 3 6 ,0 0 0 8 ,0 3 8 ,1 3 2 ,0 0 0 Figures are rounded to the nearest thousand except for the number of discounts and advances. back to the other eleven Reserve banks. Thus, with the discontinuance of the practice of returning fit notes to banks of issue, St. Louis began to show a reduction in the total volume of currency received from banks and a com pensating increase in the volume of new currency put into circulation. Another activity not shown by the table is the wrapping of coin, which involved about 163 million pieces. The handling of deposits of post office funds received from postmasters was undertaken by this bank on May 1. These deposits consist of currency, some coin, paid money orders, checks and redeemed United States Savings Stamps. By the end of the year, over 4,000 postmasters were forwarding remittances to this bank for processing. During the period, this bank received 252,780 remittances aggregating $181,766,000. Noncash collections, consisting of such items as drafts, promissory notes, stocks, bonds and coupons, increased in 1954 except for the number of United States Government interest coupons handled. During 1954 the discount rate was lowered in two steps (February and April) from 2 per cent to 1/2 per cent. However, since member banks’ reserve positions generally were much easier and other methods of adjust ing reserve positions were available, there was a very sharp drop in the aggregate amount and number of advances to member banks from 1953. There were no applications for industrial loan financing under Section 13b of the Federal Reserve Act in either 1953 or 1954. Safekeeping of securities was provided by this bank for 476 of the 490 member and 514 of the 969 nonmember banks in the Eighth Federal Reserve District during 1954. Use of these facilities by nonmember banks is limited to the holding of savings bonds or of securities pledged either as collateral for the Treasury Tax and Loan Account or to secure deposits of public funds. Fiscal operations constituted in 1954, as usual, the second largest related group of services of this bank from the standpoint of number of employees required. The bulk of the work of Fiscal Agency Department continued PIECES HANDLED— 1954 , M i ! l i ons Millions 1954 1953 CHECKS 1954 1953 CURRENCY a COIN to be the handling of Public D ebt securities, with United States Savings Bonds requiring the largest proportion or employees’ time. In addition, the department continued the verification and destruction of unfit United States Sil ver Certificates, handled subscriptions for new security offerings for the Commodity Credit Corporation and the Reconstruction Finance Corporation, and served as an in termediary in the collection of funds, particularly with re gard to Federal Taxes. Central Tabulating Department, a newly formed de partment, began operations on May 1, 1954. The first task of this department was to tabulate deposit tickets covering deposits of surplus funds by Postmasters in cer tain areas of the Eighth District. Also, the machine processing of records on securities held in safekeeping was taken over by this new department. The next major job given the department was the integration of a tabulat ing installation to help Fiscal Agency Department process Federal taxes and savings bonds for the United States Treasury. In addition, various statistical analyses for use of the Research Department were prepared. During its eight months of operation, the work of this department has already involved the handling of millions of items. A large part of the work of the Accounting Department during the year dealt directly with member banks. At the close of the year there were 490 member banks main taining reserve accounts and 37 nonmember banks carry ing accounts for settlement of check clearings with this bank. Throughout the year banks were furnished with daily transcript of entries that arose from collection and clearing of checks, noncash collections, transfers of funds, money shipments and receipts and other deposits and withdrawals of bank funds. The Accounting Department also recorded all internal expenses and income and kept track of transactions with other Federal Reserve Banks. During the course of the year, under established policy, the Examination Department made examinations of State member banks in the district. The Auditing Department made the customary internal audits of operations of this bank and its branches during 1954. In addition, the annual examination of the Federal 1953 (Selected Activities) Millions Thousands 8 r 500 r 1954 1953 BONDS 1954 1953 SAFEKEEPING Page 21 DESIGNATIONS AND APPOINTMENTS ANNOUNCED IN DECEMBER By the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis M. M oss A l e x a n d e r , President Missouri Portland Cement Co. St. Louis, Missouri Mr. M r . C a f f e y R o bertso n , President Caffey Robertson Co. Memphis, Tennessee Redesignated Chairman of the Board and Federal Reserve Agent for the year 1955. Redesignated Deputy Chairman of the Board for the year 1955. Reappointed Class C director for a three-year term beginning January 1, 1955. M r . J o seph H . M oore Charleston, Missouri Little Rock Branch R. N ic h o l s Des Arc, Arkansas Reappointed director for a three-year term beginning January 1, 1955. A. H o w a r d S t e b b i n s , J r ., President Stebbins and Roberts, Inc. Little Rock, Arkansas Appointed director for the unexpired portion of a term ending December 31, 1955. M r . Sh u f o r d Mr. Louisville Branch M r . P ier r e B. M c B rid e , President Porcelain Metals Corporation Louisville, Kentucky Reappointed director for a three-year term beginning January 1, 1955. Memphis Branch A. E. H o h e n b e r g , President Hohenberg Bros. Company Memphis, Tennessee Mr. Reappointed director for a three-year term beginning January 1, 1955. By the Board of Directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Little Rock Branch H. C. M c K i n n e y , J r ., President The First National Bank of El Dorado El Dorado, Arkansas Reappointed director for a three-year term beginning January 1, 1955. E. C. B e n t o n , President Fordyce Bank and Trust Company Fordyce, Arkansas Appointed director for a three-year term beginning January 1, 1955. Mr. Mr. Louisville Branch C. M i n o r , President The Farmers National Bank of Danville Danville, Kentucky Reappointed director for a three-year term beginning January 1, 1955. W. S c o t t M c I n t o s h , President State Bank of Hardingsburg Hardinsburg, Indiana Appointed director for a three-year term beginning January 1, 1955. Mr. M. Mr. Page 22 Memphis Branch M r . J ohn A. M c C a l l , President The First National Bank of Lexington Lexington, Tennessee M r . W m . B. P o l l a r d , President National Bank of Commerce in Memphis Memphis, Tennessee Reappointed director for a three-year term beginning January 1, 1955. Reappointed director for a three-year term beginning January 1, 1955. Member of Federal Advisory Council M r . W. W. C a m p b e l l , Chairman of the Board National Bank of Eastern Arkansas Forrest City, Arkansas Reserve Bank of St. Louis and its branches was made in December by the Chief Federal Reserve Examiner and his staff for the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. The general efficiency of operations throughout the year was aided by improvement in work scheduling and equipment and thorough maintenance of all property. Security measures also continued to be emphasized. New office space and floor plans that helped streamline opera tions were put into effect at St. Louis for Check Collec tion Department, Accounting Department, and the Sav ings Bond Division of Fiscal Agency Department. Developments at Branches While the general activities of the branches are com bined with parallel activities at the St. Louis office in this report, several branch developments not covered in the over-all picture deserve special note. At the Louisville Branch, a new site was acquired and preliminary plan ning for a new building was begun. At Memphis, a major space realignment of departments was carried out and a new cafeteria was established. At Little Rock, the interior of the branch building was redecorated. Other Activities Besides the contacts maintained with banks in the Eighth District in carrying out actual banking operations, the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis continued to keep in touch with the financial and business community through other visits, conferences and meetings. Over 1,400 bank visits were made during the year. Over 350 meetings were attended and bank personnel directly par ticipated in more than half of these. Programs in which the bank took part included a number of talks on busi ness and banking, over 80 presentations of an educa tional lecture on banking and the money supply, and 15 Reappointed member of the Federal Advisory Council to represent the Eighth Federal Reserve District for the year 1955. conferences on agricultural credit. Many of the meetings were jointly sponsored with other groups such as bank er’s associations and colleges. A seminar in central banking for Eighth District college and university specialists in these subjects was conducted at the St. Louis office in February. Over 3,000 visitors toured the bank’s premises, at either St. Louis or one of the branches, and the bank was host to a number of spe cial guests and international visitors. Films on the work of the Federal Reserve Bank and the System were made available for showing to numerous groups during the year. Research continued during the year on a wide variety of problems of interest to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and the System as a whole. The department continued its regular data collection throughout the year and published certain results of its analyses and interpre tations of the data in the Monthly Review. Also, a num ber of unpublished special studies were completed and new projects begun in 1954 in the fields of central bank ing and the Eighth District economy. Total employment at the St. Louis and branch offices at the end of 1954 was 1,209 compared with 1,288 at the end of 1953. There was about the same relative reduc tion at all offices, accounted for in part by increased efficiency as a lower turnover was experienced. A total of 31 employees entered the 10-year club during the year and 9 entered their twenty-sixth year of service. Nine employees retired upon attainment of age 65. Designations and appointments in December by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and the Board of Directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis are shown above and on page 22. There were also the following additional official ap pointments during 1954: Victor M. Longstreet was appointed Vice President and designated Manager of the Louisville Branch, replacing Charles A. Schacht, who Page 23 retired; Fred Burton was appointed Vice President and designated Manager of the Little Rock Branch, replacing Clarence M. Stewart, who retired; Donald L. Henry was appointed Assistant Manager of Louisville Branch. Earnings Total current earnings of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis were $18,352,000 during 1954, compared with $25,448,000 in 1953. The decline was attributable to a reduction in this bank’s holdings of securities in the Sys tem Open Market Account, a lessened volume of loans to member banks and a lower average yield on both securi ties and loans. Also, despite lower net expenses, net earnings before payments to the United States Treasury were substantially below 1953. Out of net earnings, $10,381,000 was paid to the United States Treasury as interest on Federal Reserve notes, $568,000 was paid to member banks as dividends and $1,154,000 was trans ferred to surplus. DIRECTORS AND OFFICERS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS February 1, 1955 Directors Officers M. Moss Alexander, Chairman Delos C. Johns, President Frederick L. Deming, First Vice President Caffey Robertson, Deputy Chairman S. J. Beauchamp, Jr. Phil E. Chappell J. E. Etherton William E. Peterson, Vice President Howard H. Weigel, Vice President and Secretary Joseph C. Wotawa, Vice President Dale M. Lewis, Vice President G. O. Hollocher, Assistant Vice President Earl R. Billen, Assistant Vice President John J. Christ, Assistant Vice President Willis L. Johns, Assistant Vice President Stephen Koptis, Assistant Vice President Woodrow W. Gilmore, Assistant Vice President John J. Hofer, Assistant Vice President William J. Abbott, Jr., Director of Research George E. Kroner, Chief Examiner Orville O. Wyrick, Assistant Chief Examiner Gerald T. Dunne, Counsel and Assistant Secretary George W. Hirshman, General Auditor William A. McDonnell Joseph H. Moore Louis Ruthenburg Leo J. Wieck LITTLE ROCK BRANCH Shuford R. Nichols, Chairman H. C. McKinney, Jr. A. Howard Stebbins, Jr. Donald Barger E. C. Benton Harvey C. Couch, Jr. Fred Burton, Vice President and Manager M. L. Bennett, Assistant Manager Clifford Wood, Assistant Manager W. J. Bryan, Assistant Manager LOUISVILLE BRANCH Smith Broadbent, Jr. Chairman W. Scott McIntosh M. C. Minor David F. Cocks Magnus J. Kreisle Noel Rush Pierre B. McBride Victor M. Longstreet, Vice President and Manager L. K. Arthur, Assistant Manager L. S. Moore, Assistant Manager Donald L. Henry, Assistant Manager MEMPHIS BRANCH Henry Banks, Chairman A. E. Hohenberg John A. McCall William B. Pollard Page 24 Ben L. Ross John D. Williams John K. Wilson Darryl R. Francis, Vice President and Manager C. E. Martin, Assistant Manager S. K. Belcher, Assistant Manager H. C. Anderson, Assistant Manager <*S r OF CURRENT CONDITIONS A gradual rise in business activity, . . . . . . continued in January as the automobile industry, other m anufacturing, . . . T he GRADUAL RISE in economic activity in district and nation which began last fall continued in January. Increasing production in the automobile and steel industries accounted for much of the rise in activity, but important support came also from a number of other durable and nondurable goods manufacturing industries and the continuing con struction boom. Activities which usually decline at this time of year, such as outdoor work, apparently declined no more than seasonally. Department store sales, after reaching record levels for the month of December, were considerably higher in January than a year ago. Despite the upswing in business activity the general price level remained fairly steady. . . . evident in D ecem b er, . . . Data recently available confirm the rise in activity which was evident in December. The Federal Re serve Board index of industrial production, at 130 per cent of the 1947-49 average in December, was one point above November and four points higher than in December, 1953. The increase at that time was greatest in durable goods industries, largely because of the increase in auto production. A similar rise in durable goods output was shown by use of electric power at selected industrial firms in major Eighth District cities. Total use of electric power rose 1 per cent in December from November and was 6 per cent better than a year ago. Power use at primary metals plants in the district advanced 17 per cent above a year ago, at fabricated metals factories, 15 per cent, and at transportation equip ment production facilities, 6 per cent. The rise in industrial production continued in January with a national rate of automobile produc tion 3 per cent higher than in December and 44 per cent higher than a year ago. District auto plants were also operating at a high rate and a second shift was added at one plant in mid-January. Steel ingot production both in district and nation flowed at more than 80 per cent of capacity after a slight dip during the holidays. Lumber production, after a better than usual December, was down about the customary amount in early January. Support for the market is expected from an increase in furniture manufac turers’ orders, a British announcement that restric tion on imports of hardwoods from the United States would be relaxed (thus opening a market that has been almost completely lost since the W ar), and con tinued high rates of construction. District crude oil output in early January was at a daily average rate of 341,000 barrels—almost reaching the wartime peak of 347,000 barrels, set in 1943. However, reductions in defense production and some inventory adjustments continued. A large ordnance plant announced a reduction in ammunition production. And one large district producer of con sumer’s durables closed a plant for the month of January to reduce finished stocks. Coal producers, although increasing mine output slightly in Decem ber, were unable to maintain production as high as a year ago as warm weather stifled household demand. . . . and a high rate o f construction supported the advance. Construction contract awards and housing starts in recent months give an indication of the unusually Page 25 high volume of construction underway as this year began. The number of housing starts in December in the nation was an all-time high for the month. In the Eighth District construction contracts for about $306 million were let in the final quarter of 1954, projects on which a major part of the actual work will carry over into 1955. Residential contracts awarded in the district reached a record level in dollar value, about 50 per cent greater than a year earlier. Prices rem ained fairly steady, . , . With activity increasing in the United States and continuing at a high level in Europe, demand for goods strengthened. However, the price level has remained remarkably stable. Some industrial ma terials, such as steel scrap, aluminum pig, and copper, have increased in price since December but others, such as finished steel, have remained stable. Prices of farm products recovered somewhat from the sea sonally low level of mid-December. Prices of important Eighth District farm products advanced moderately in January, largely reflecting a rise of approximately 20 per cent in broiler prices. Tobacco prices, on the other hand, declined 15 per cent. Prices for all other major commodities changed only moderately. Farm real estate prices in district states for the twelve-month period ending November 1, 1954, varied from declines of 1 or 2 per cent in the four southern district states to a 1 per cent increase in Missouri and a 6 per cent rise in Illinois and Indiana. For the district the dollar value of farm land ad vanced 2 per cent, as did the national average. especially in trade, without the major layoffs in manu facturing which were occurring at this time last year. According to a mid-January survey of employer in tentions in major labor market areas made by the Department of Labor, continuing job gains in manu facture of automobiles, aircraft, iron and steel prod ucts, farm machinery, furniture, and equipment for trade and service establishments are expected for the next two months. . , , and consumers continued to spend at a high rate. For the first three weeks of January, 1955, depart ment store sales volume, both nationally and for the district, was substantially above that a year earlier. Seasonal promotions and more favorable shopping weather were factors in the increase. Traditional “white” sales, of both durable and nondurable goods met with success. In the nation and in the district department store sales during December, on an adjusted daily average basis, advanced more than seasonally from Novem ber. December sales were at record levels for the month in the St. Louis, Little Rock, and Memphis areas. But in the Louisville and Evansville areas volume failed to gain seasonally from November and was somewhat below previous December peaks. At district reporting furniture stores December sales volume was substantially larger than in Novem ber, and totaled slightly larger than in December, 1953. The BLS index of retail prices was down slightly at mid-December from its November level, and Janu ary sales of white goods and clothing may have lowered it slightly more since then. Inventories of reporting district department stores and furniture stores at the end of December, 1954 were considerably lower than a month earlier and slightly under the level a year ago. Outstanding orders on December 31, 1954 at district department stores were substantially lower than on November 30, but somewhat larger than on December 31, 1953. . . , m anufacturing em ploym ent im proved, . . . Bank credit . , . Although total employment in January was down seasonally from its December level, there was prob ably some further improvement in the durable goods industries which experienced the largest reductions in employment during the recent period of inventory adjustment and declining defense production. The January increase in insured unemployment can be attributed primarily to normal seasonal movements, Bank credit contracted at weekly reporting banks in the district during the five weeks ended January 26. The decline in loans was in large part occasioned by a net reduction in advances to businesses and farmers. The bulk of the reduction by businesses reflected seasonal net repayments by trade concerns and processors and distributors of agricultural prod ucts. Loans on securities also were off. Reportedly the increase in margin requirements on stock pur chases from 50 to 60 per cent in early January had only a slight effect on these loans. On the other hand, “other” (largely consumer) loans rose in con trast to an average decline during the like weeks of other recent years. And real estate loans rose mod erately compared with little change at this time normally. The weekly reporting banks reduced their invest ment portfolios $25 million, reflecting large net sales of Government securities, primarily Treasury bills and Government bonds. Partially offsetting the decline in holdings of Government obligations were sizable net additions in other securities primarily at the St. Louis banks in the week ended January 26. . . . and total deposits declined . . . Total deposits declined substantially (about $200 million), banks in all reporting centers sharing in the loss. The decrease resulted in part from sizable Treasury calls on tax and loan accounts, but in dividuals and businesses reduced their balances also. To help meet the drains of funds, these banks re duced their reserve balances and other cash accounts and increased their borrowings. . . . and interest rates rose in January. During the first three weeks of January most inter est rates moved upward. For sensitive yields, the rise was fairly sharp. The average yield on Treasury bills issued on January 20 was 1.41 per cent, which was higher than any weekly rate during 1954 and compares with an average of 1.05 per cent on bills issued January 6 this year. Dealer rates on prime 4-6 months commercial paper were marked up U of 1 percentage point to a level of roughly 1% per cent. Several factors tended to increase both short and long-term interest rates. Demand for new capital funds to finance construction by local governments continued large. New capital placements by mu nicipalities in January were estimated at $750 million, or about double the amount floated in the correspond ing month a year ago. Issuance of around $570 million of notes by the FNMA also added to the demand for funds. Rates worked up in expectation (since confirmed) of a long-term bond in connec tion with the Treasury’s February-March refundings. The rate changes also reflected a tightening of bank reserve positions and press reports of a change in monetary policy. O sT O Page 27 V A R I O U S I N D I C A T O R S O F IN D U S T R IA L A C T IV IT Y H kt D ecem ber, 1 9 5 4 com pared with* Nov. 1 9 5 4 D ec. 1 9 5 3 D ec. 1954 Industrial Use of E lectric Power (thousands of K W H per working day, selected industrial firms in 6 district c itie s )................................................................................................. Steel Ingot Rate, St. Louis area (operating rate, per cent of cap acity) C oal Production Index— 8th Dist. (Seasonally adjusted, 1 9 3 5 - 1 9 3 9 = 1 0 0 ) ................ Crude Oil Production— 8th Dist. (Daily average in thousands of b b ls.)........................ Freig h t Interchanges at RRs— St. Louis. (Thousands of cars— 2 5 railroads— Terminal R. R. A ssn .)............................................................................................................................ Livestock Slaughter— St. Louis area. (Thousands of head— w eekly a v e ra g e )............. Lum ber Production— S. Pine (Average w eekly production— thousands of bd. ft.). . Lum ber Production— S. Hardwoods. (O perating rate, per cen t of ca p a c ity )................ 1 2 ,9 3 2 76 149 p 3 3 4 .1 + — + + 9 9 .6 1 1 5 .0 1 9 5 .0 85 1% 12 7 2 + 6% —- 5 — 1 + 7 + 5 — 1 + 8 — 4 — 1 + 8 +15 — 4 * Percentage change figures for the steel ingot rate, Southern hardw ood rate, and the coal production index, show the relative per cent change in production, not the drop in index points or in percents of capacity, p Preliminary. 1 4 1 .9 1 7 3 .9 1 8 6 .9 8 9 1 .3 8 1 6 .8 2 ,4 1 4 .3 — 4% + 9 + 10 + 20 + 2 + 19 + 2% + 1 + 14 + 12 + 10 + 7 $ 4 ,6 2 5 .1 + 15% Other Reporting Centers: Alton, 111............................ $ 3 9 .1 C ape G irardeau, M o .. 1 5 .8 El D orado, Ark. 3 0 .4 F o rt Smith, Ark. 5 6 .4 Greenville, Miss...........................3 8 .7 H annibal, Mo. 1 0 .0 H elena, Ark..................... ..............1 1 .6 Jackson, T enn................................2 6 .2 Jefferson City, Mo. 5 6 .3 Owensboro, Ky............... ..............5 1 .6 Pad ucah, Ky. 3 3 .4 Pine Bluff, A rk............................. 4 2 .1 Quincy, 111. .................................3 9 .1 Sedalia, Mo. ..............................1 5 .5 Springfield, M o............................. 7 8 .4 T exarkana, Ark. _____ 18.1 T otal— Other Centers ..................... $ T otal— 2 2 Centers $ 5 ,1 8 7 .8 5 6 2 .7 + + + + + + — — — + + — — + + + + 15% 8 19 3 12 12 18 7 6 30 18 13 1 16 8 4 5% + 13% + + — + + + + + + + — — + + 4% 1 6 19 27 CASH Arkansas. . . .$ 8 5 ,1 1 7 — 4 ( Illinois.......... 1 7 3 ,0 7 7 + 7 Indiana 9 5 ,9 8 0 -0 Kentucky 3 6 ,9 6 9 + 3 Mississippi 1 0 1 ,1 0 4 — 12 Missouri 1 0 0 ,4 2 0 — 8 5 0 ,4 9 4 — 13 Tennessee 7 States 15 9 — 11 + + 6% IN D E X O F BANK D E B IT S — 2 2 Centers Seasonally Adjusted ( 1 9 4 7 - 1 9 4 9 = 1 0 0 ) 1954 19 5 3 D ec. Nov. Dec. 1 6 0 .2 1 5 5 .9 1 4 8 .5 1 Debits to dem and deposit accounts of individuals, partnerships and corporations and states and political subdivisions. . 8th District $ 6 4 3 ,1 6 1 $ 3 3 8 ,1 7 6 (1 9 4 7 -1 9 4 9 = 100) Nov. 1 9 5 4 O ct. 1 9 5 4 Nov. 1 9 5 3 5% —15% 02 — 1 - 0—6 — 6 — 24 — 8 —2 — 5 —12 — 18 5% — 5% 9% — 8% - Source: State data from USDA prelim inary estimates unless otherwise indicated. Unadjusted 2 0 8 .6 1 9 6 .9 T o t a l ............. 1 9 7 .3 p 2 4 6 .2 1 6 9 .7 Residential 2 5 4 .3 p 2 0 9 .4 1 91.1 All O ther 1 7 0 .8 p Seasonally adjusted 2 2 9 .6 T otal 2 3 0 .5 p 2 4 5 .8 2 5 1 .2 1 9 9 .6 Residential 2 9 9 .2 p 2 2 2 .2 2 4 3 .5 All Other 1 9 8 .6 p * B ased on three-m onth moving average (centered on m id-m onth) of value of aw ards, as reported by F . W . D odge Corporation, p Prelim inary ASSETS AND LIABILITIES EIGHTH DISTRICT MEMBER BANKS (In Millions of D ollars) W eekly Reporting Banks All M em ber B anks C hange from Change from D ec. 2 2 , D ec. 2 9 , Nov. 2 4 , ___ 1 9 5 4 Jan. 2 6 , 1 9 5 5 1954 1954 Loans' ................................................................ Business and Agricultural Security ........................................................ Real Estate ................................................ Other (largely consumer) ................... U. S. Government Securities ................ Other Securities ........................................... Loans to Banks ...................................... . Cash Assets ...................................................... Other Assets ................................................... Total Assets .............................................. $ 1 ,3 9 7 711 39 276 391 1 ,1 7 7 238 15 867 42 $ 3 ,7 3 6 $— 4 8 —- 56 —■ 3 + 1 + 1 1 — 42 + 17 + 1 — 113 + 1 $— 1 8 4 $ 2 ,2 6 0 $ + 18 2 ,2 5 8 451 +40 —0— 1 ,5 0 0 59 $ 6 ,5 2 8 — 1 + 2 $ + 59 Liabilities and Capital Demand Deposits of Banks ................... $ 752 $— 8 6 $ 847 $ + 25 Other Demand Deposits ........................... 2 ,0 9 5 — 111 3 ,9 7 8 +20 Tim e Deposits ................................... 538 —0— 1 ,1 6 8 — 1 Borrowings and Other Liabilities . 97 + 13 91 +12 Total Capital Accounts .............................. 254 _____ —0 — 444 + 3 Total Liabilities and C apital ........... $ 3 ,7 3 6 $— 184 $ 6 ,5 2 8 $ + 59 1 F or weekly reporting banks, loans are adjusted to exclude loans to banks; the total is reported net; breakdowns are reported gross. F o r all m em ber banks loans are reported net and include loans to banks; breakdown of these loans is not available. DE P A R T M EN T ST OR ES Percentage of Accts. and Notes R eceiva b 1e Outstanding Stocks Stock D ec. 1, 1 9 5 4 , col*7 Net Sales on Hand Tum over lected during D ec. D e c.,’54 12 mos. ’54 Dec. 3 1 , ’54 Jan. 1 to E xcl. com pared with to same comp, with Instal. Instalm ent Dec. 3 1 , Nov., 1 9 5 4 D e c.,’5 3 period ’5 3 Dec. 3 1 , ’53 19 5 4 1 9 5 3 Accounts Accounts — 1 4 .1 2 3 .8 1 18% 51% 8th F .R . D istrict Total + 47% + 4% — 1% — 1 3.71 3 .6 6 + 62 — 6 48 F o rt Smith Area, A rk.i + 4 — 4 3 .9 2 3 .6 7 13 46 L ittle Rock Area, Ark. . + 48 + 2 + 1 3 .8 4 3 .7 1 + 25 Quincy, 111............................ + 45 + 3 + 2 — 13 — 10 Evansville A rea, I n d .. . . + 3 3 — 1 — 3 4 .4 4 4 .1 1 21 + 47 48 Louisville A rea, Ky., Ind. — 21 — 12 + 66 Paducah, Ky........................ 3 .8 4 21 + 44 — 5 4 .2 8 58 St. Louis A rea, M o., 111. + 1 3 .5 5 3 .2 6 + 59 + 18 Springfield Area, Mo. + 2 + 9 + 14 4 .1 3 3 .9 7 16 4 0 Memphis A rea, Tenn. + 2 + 8 — 11 11 — 4 2 .7 5 2 .8 7 + 60 35 All Other Cities2 ............. + 3 1 In order to perm it publication of figures for this city (or area), a special sample has been co n structed which is not confined exclusively to departm ent stores. Figures for any such nondepartm ent stores, however, are not used in com puting the district percentage changes or in com puting dep art m ent store indexes. 2 Fayetteville, Pine Bluff, Arkansas; Harrisburg, Mt. Vernon, Illinois; Vincennes, Indiana; D an ville, Hopkinsville, Mayfield, Owensboro, Kentucky; Chillicothe, Missouri; Greenville, Mississippi; and Jackson, Tennessee. IN D E X E S O F SA LES AND STOCKS— 8T H D IST R IC T Dec. Nov. Oct. D ec. 1954 19.54 1954 1953 193 137 123 185 1 18 1 12 115 113 103 127 Stocks, unadjusted4 129 104 116 105 115 118 3 Daily average 1 9 4 7 - 4 9 = 1 0 0 4 E n d of Month average 1 9 4 7 — 4 9 = 1 0 0 T rading days: D ec., 1 9 5 4 — 2 6 ; Nov., 1 9 5 4 — 2 5 ; D ec., 1 9 5 3 - -2 6 . O UTSTAN D IN G O R D ER S O F R EPO R T IN G STORES AT T H E EN D O F D E C E M B E R , 1 9 5 4 , W E R E 18 PE R C E N T L A R G E R TH AN ON T H E CORRESPOND IN G D A T E A Y EA R AGO. IN D E X O F C O N S T R U C T I O N C O N T R A C T S A W A R D E D E IG H T H FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT* Nov. ’5 4 Jan. thru Nov. com pared 1954 with com pared with Nov. ’5 3 1953 1952 Nov. 1954 — - - 5 FARM I N C O M E (In thousands of dollars) 3 11 11 8 17 16 10 1^ $ 00 Six L arg est Centers: E ast St. Louis— N ational Stock Yards, 111...................................... Evansville, Ind. L ittle Rock, Ark. Louisville, Ky. Memphis, Tenn............. St. Louis, M o............... T otal— Six L argest C e n t e r s ..................... D ec., 19 5 4 com pared with Nov. Dec. 1954 1953 + 00 Dec. 19 5 4 (In millions) e** M DE BI T S 1 B ANK + <0 ^ RETAIL F UR NIT URE ST O R E S Net Sales Inventories D ec., 1 9 5 4 D ec., 1 9 5 4 com pared with com pared wth N ov.,’5 4 D e c.,’5 3 N ov.,’5 4 D e c.,’5 3 8th Dist. Total* . St. Louis ........... Louisville A rea2 Louisville . . . +18% •+ H ■+ 2 1 . +19 . +33 L ittle Rock . . . . . + 3 1 Springfield . . . +45 + 4% + 10 + 9 + _ o7_ + 1 — + — — 12% 16 16 17 — •k 7 — — — — 5% 5 6 6 * * + 4 * Not shown separately due to insufficient coverage, but included in E ighth D istrict totals. 1 In addition to following cities, includes stores in Blytheville, F o rt Sm ith, Pine Bluff, Arkansas; Owens boro, Kentucky; G reenw ood, Mississippi; and E v an s ville, Indiana. 2 Includes Louisville, Indiana. Kentucky; and New Albany, P E R C E N T A G E D IS T R IB U T IO N O F F U R N IT U R E SA LES Cash Sales . . . . . . . . C redit Sales T otal Sales ............. D e c., ’5 4 16% 84 “ 100% N ov., ’5 4 14( 100 % D ec., ’5 3 17% 83 100 %