The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
BUSINESS CONDITIONS Monthly Review of Agriculture, Industry, Trade and Finance Released for Publication in Morning Papers of April 30, 1941 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS H ERBERT G EORG PHOTO , Aerial View of Fort de Chartres State Park Randolph County, Illinois The Fort, seat of civil and military government in the Illinois Country for half a century, was first completed in 1720. In 1753-56 it was rebuilt of stone and became one of the strongest forts in North America. Fort de Chartres was occupied by a French garrison until 1765. It was the seat of British Government in the Illinois Country until 1772. The site was made a State Park in 1913. SUMMARY OF EIGHTH DISTRICT April 1, 1941, comp, with 1940 Av. 1930-39 Agriculture: Estimated production of winter wheat,. . . — 22 % — 17% Mar., 1941 comp, with Feb., 1941 Mar., 1940 Livestock: Receipts at National Stock Yards....... . . . + 5% — 6% — 22 Shipments from aforesaid Yards........ , — 17 Production and Distribution: + 29 Sales by mfrs. and wholesalers............ . . + 12 Department store sales........................... . . . + 34 + 9 Car loadings............................................., . . + 18 + 24 Building and Construction: . + 49 + IS t ., , -x • t Bldg. permits, incl. repairs |J Number.. . +214 ^Qst + 10 2 Value construction contracts awarded.,..+ 2 7 7 +311 M iscellaneous: + 78 • + 14 Commercial failures { Liabilities +515 + 61 Consumption of electricity................... + 20 Debits to individual accounts............... , . . + 17 + 21 Life insurance sales............................. .. . . + 13 + 2 Apr. 16,’41 comp, with Member Banks (24): Mar. 19,’41 Apr. 17/40 Gross deposits....................................... . . . + 3% + 14% Loans........................................................ • + 1 + 19 Investments............................................... — 2 + 11 E IG H T H D istrict trade and industry during March and the first half of April recorded additional gains, and in virtually all lines investigated volumes were m easurably higher than at the corresponding period a year ago. D uring the period several new high production records were established, but taken as a whole specific increases were not as m arked as has been the case in the pre ceding several months, owing m ainly to the fact that near-capacity production has been approxi m ated in a num ber of im portant lines. Reflecting steadily increasing volume of national defense re quirem ents and noticeable expansion in civilian re quirem ents for a broad variety of goods, new orders in many im portant lines continued ahead of current shipments, w ith the result th at backlogs of unfin ished business rose to still higher levels. Steel in got production at mills in this area was m aintained at 99 per cent of capacity, and output of m anufac tories of engines, machine tools, m achinery and other heavy goods was at the highest rate of record. Considerable progress has been made on a num ber of im portant defense construction projects, and it is expected th at shortly employment will shift from construction of plants to those who will be engaged in operating them. D uring January and February the Arm y and Navy D epartm ents let m ajor con tracts with an aggregate value of $101,070,323, bringing to $500,953,323 the total of such contracts placed since June 1, 1940. Since M arch 1, this am ount has been considerably increased by orders placed for a wide variety of goods by the several Page 2 Government agencies. Reflecting the upsurge in industrial activity, trade, transportation, and gains in agricultural and other seasonal occupations, the employment situation improved further. As was the case in the entire country, production of bitum inous coal at mines in this general area in M arch increased sharply over both a m onth and a year earlier, being stim ulated by efforts of con sumers to stock up in anticipation of mine shut downs. Lum ber output continued at recent high levels, and according to trade reports, num erous small southern mills which have not been active for years have resum ed operations. New orders are still substantially above production. As indicating the high rate of industrial activity, consum ption of elec tric current by industrial users in the principal cities in M arch was 6 per cent greater than in Feb ruary and 20 per cent above March, 1940. O utput at lead and zinc mines in the district was at approx im ately the same average rate as during January and February, but considerably greater than a year ago. A substantial rise in construction activities in M arch is reflected in building perm its in the prin cipal cities and construction contracts let. As reflected in tonnage handled by transportation companies and sales of retail and wholesale m er chants, distribution of commodities in M arch and early April reached new high levels on the present upw ard movement, the usual seasonal factors con sidered. Reports from both the large cities and country indicate volume of E aster shopping ex ceeded expectations. M arch sales of departm ent stores in the large centers were about one-third greater than in February and 9 per cent more than a year ago. For the first quarter this year cum ula tive sales were greater by 13 per cent than during the same interval in 1940. In the four weeks ended April 12, sales were 17 per cent above the corres ponding period a year earlier. Combined sales of all wholesaling and jobbing firms whose statistics are available to this bank, were 12 per cent and 29 per cent larger, respectively, than a m onth and a year earlier. In the St. Louis area retail sales of auto mobiles in M arch exceeded the high February volume by 27 per cent and were 16 per cent greater than in M arch, 1940. Commercial failures in the E ighth Federal Re serve D istrict in March, according to Dun and B radstreet, num bered 48, involving liabilities of $800,000, com paring w ith 42 insolvencies in Feb ruary w ith liabilities of $497,000 and 27 defaults for a total of $130,000 in March, 1940. D E TA IL E D SU R VE Y OF DIST RI CT M A N U F A C T U R IN G A N D W H O L E S A L IN G Lines of Commodities Data furnished by Bureau of Census, U . S. D ept, of Commerce. A utom otive S u p p lies.............................. Boots and S h o es..................................... Drugs and C hem icals............................ Dry G oods................................................ Electrical Supplies................................ Furniture................................................... G roceries..................................................... H ardw are................................................... Machinery, Equipment and Supplies Plumbing Su pplies................................ Tobacco and its P rod u cts..................... M iscellaneous........................................... T otal all lin es............................................ N et Sales Stocks March, 1941 Mar. 31, 1941 comp, with compared with F eb.,’41 M ar.,’40 Mar. 31, 1940 + 5% + 3 + 2 + 6 — 3 +33 +23 + 12 + 19 + 42 + 15 + 15 + 12 + 26% + 28 + 7 + 23 + 109 + 51 + 15 + 30 — 76 + 15 + 9 + 42 + 29 ............% + 6 + 5 + 98 — 17 + 16 + 34 + 34 “ +17 + 5 + 10 Automobiles—Combined passenger car, truck and taxicab production in the U nited States in March totaled 507,868, as against 485,523 in February and 423,299 in March, 1940. Iron and Steel Products — March and early April were marked by further gains in virtually all sec tions of the iron and steel industry in this area. Owing, however, to the close approach to capacity limits, increases were not m easurably as large as during some recent months. This was true of steel ingots, machinery, machine tools and certain other commodities going into defense work. C ontrary to conditions in other sections, there was relatively little interruption to production in this district from labor troubles. March deliveries of finished prod ucts by mills, foundries, machine shops and other ferrous metal w orking plants were the highest for any m onth this year, and in numerous instances, the largest of record. Despite this fact, backlogs of un filled orders continued to m ount and delivery dates were further extended by the mills. The leading district m anufacturer of sheets, plates and other flat rolled m aterial reports operations and unfilled orders the largest in its history. Purchasing by the railroads has broadened con siderably. Orders for new freight cars placed in M arch totaled 8,074 units, and during the first quar ter this year the total was 28,751, comparing with 4,611 and 3,062 for the same period a year and two years earlier, respectively. W ith mills under urgent pressure to supply increasing needs of the defense program , railroads and railroad equipment builders are experiencing difficulty in obtaining adequate supplies of materials. Demand for all descriptions of building m aterials continued at the high rate which has obtained in recent months. The move m ent of repair m aterials to rural districts was re ported less than usual at this season, owing to diver sion of many items where more urgently required. The melt of pig iron during March was the high est for th at m onth of record. Blast furnaces are rationing their customers, but up to this time there have been few complaints of scarcity. The schedule which establishes maximum prices on iron and steel scrap was issued on April 3 by the Price Stabil ization Division of the National Defense Advisory Commission. The immediate reaction to this order was considerable confusion in the trade, and fever ish efforts on the part of sellers to complete deliv eries on outstanding orders. As a result shipments of scrap to melters increased markedly, particularly from country dealers. Prices of pig iron and most finished and semi-finished m aterials remained un changed. As of mid-April, steel ingot production at mills in this area was at the record rate of 99 per cent of capacity, the same as a month earlier and comparing w ith 45 per cent a year ago. For the entire country March production of pig iron, according to the magazine “Steel,” totaled 4,702,905 tons, the highest for any month of record, and comparing with 4,206,826 tons in February and 3,270,575 tons in March, 1940. Steel ingot output in the U nited States in March amounted to 7,146,372 tons, comparing w ith 6,250,413 tons in February and 4,390,090 tons in March, 1940. T R A N SP O R T A T IO N F reight traffic of railroads operating in this dis trict increased sharply during March and early April, with total volume considerably greater than during the same interval in any recent year. Com pared with a year ago, all classes of freight showed increases, but heaviest gains were in miscellaneous freight, coal and forest products. The movement of coal was stim ulated by heavy industrial consumer specifications in anticipation of possible shutdowns in the fields after April 1. The St. Louis Term inal Railway Asssociation, which handles interchanges for 28 connecting lines, interchanged 104,955 loads in March, as against 89,123 loads in February and 84,595 loads in March, 1940. D uring the first nine days of April the inter change am ounted to 29,566 loads, comparing with 29,994 loads during the same interval in March and 22,410 loads during the first nine days of April, 1940. For the entire country loadings of revenue freight during the first 14 weeks this year, or to April 5, totaled 10,065,603 cars, against 8,773,365 cars for the same period in 1940 and 8,083,203 cars in 1939. Estim ated tonnage of the Federal Barge Line between St. Louis and New Orleans in March was 130,100 tons, comparing with 99,966 tons in Feb ruary and 157,517 tons in March, 1940. For the first Page 3 quarter this year cum ulative tonnage was 334,008 tons, as against 320,166 tons for the first three m onths of 1940. R E T A IL T R A D E Department Stores — T he trend of retail trade in the E ighth D istrict, as reflected in statistics of de partm ent stores in the principal cities which report to this bank, is shown in the following com parative sta te m e n t: Stocks Stock N et Sales Turnover on Hand March, 1941 3 mos. ’41 Mar. 31,*41 Jan. 1, to to same comp, with compared w ith March 31, F eb .,’41 M ar.,’40 period ’40 Mar. 31,’40 1941 1940 +28% 5% .75 .66 Ft. Smith, A r k ... + 4% + 19 +26 9 - 0.95 .79 L ittle Rock, Ark. + 19 19 — 34 .74 .60 Pine Bluff, A rk.. + 2 — 19 + 19 + 59 E. St. Louis, 111. —6 + '3 4-33 .93 .90 Quincy, 111............ — 4 Evansville, I n d .. . 4-61 +49 --3 2 + ’2 1.15 +30 .93 Louisville, K y .. . . — 7 1.06 1.06 St. Louis, Mo. . . +31 + 7 + 7 + 56 + 39 — 48 .64 +56 .68 Springfield, M o. . . — 39 Jackson, Tenn. . . + 57 +27 ii — 11 + ’8 .82 +24 Memphis, Tenn. . + 2 .76 *A11 Other Cities + 39 .67 — 5 + 2 + 1 8th F. R. D istrict +34 12 1.00 .96 + 7 + .9 *E1 Dorado, Fayetteville, A r k .; Alton, Harrisburg, M ount Vernon, 111.; Vincennes, In d . ; D anville, Hopkinsville, K y .; Chillicothe, Mo. Trading days: Mar., 1941— 26; Feb., 1941— 24; Mar., 1940— 26. O utstanding orders of reporting stores at the end of March, 1941, were 77 per cent greater than on the corresponding date a year ago. Percentage of accounts and notes receivable out standing M arch 1, 1941, collected during M arch, by c itie s: Installm ent Excl. Instal. Accounts A ccounts Installm ent E xcl. Instal. Accounts Accounts Fort S m ith .. Little R o c k .. L ouisville . . . Memphis . . . . , .°/ 15 22 25 41% 33 54 41 Quincy .......... .19% St. L o u is .. . . 20 Other Cities . 16 8th F .R . D ist. 20 54% 56 45 50 Indexes of departm ent store sales and stocks, 8th F. R. D istrict (1923-1925 averag e= 1 0 0 ): Mar., 1941 Feb., 1941 Jan., 1941 Mar., 1940 97 81 80 Sales (daily average), U n ad ju sted .................. 100 Sales (daily average), Seasonally a d ju sted .. 107 94 72 62 Stocks, U nadjusted.................................................. 77 75 76 71 Trading days: Mar., 1941— 26; Feb., 1941— 24; Mar., 1940— 26. 91 92 72 70 Specialty Stores — M arch results in m en’s fur nishings and boot and shoe lines are shown in the following ta b le : Stock Stocks N et Sales March, 1941 3 mos. ’41 compared w ith to same F eb.,*41 M ar.,*40 period ’40 M en’s Furnishings. B oots and S h o es. . . +35% — 6 +-58 — 13 + on Hand Mar. 31,*41 comp, with Mar. 31,’40 5% T urnover Jan. 1, to March 31, 1941 1940 .64 .63 1.67 1.57 + 2 Percentage of accounts and notes receivable out standing M arch 1, 1941, collected during M arch; M en’s F u rn ish ings.......................41 % B oots and S h o es............................ 38% M IN IN G A N D OIL Coal—Reflecting a heavy buying m ovem ent am ong industrial users during late F ebruary and through March, in anticipation of a possible suspension of mining operations after April 1, production of bitu minous coal moved sharply upw ard during March. Industrial consum ption continued at a high rate, Page 4 and due to the unusually late spring demands for heating purposes were extraordinarily heavy. According to the Bitum inous Coal Division, U. S. D epartm ent of the Interior, production of bitum i nous coal for the entire country during M arch totaled 48,250,000 tons, as against 41,695,000 tons in F ebruary and 35,244,000 tons in M arch, 1940. D uring the first quarter 134,015,000 tons were pro duced, com paring w ith 119,497,000 tons for the same period last year. A t mines in this general area, out put in M arch was 15 per cent more than in the pre ceding m onth and 37 per cent greater than in M arch, 1940. Illinois mines produced 5,261,639 tons in M arch, as against 4,548,601 tons in February and 3,916,956 tons in M arch, 1940. Petroleum — F ebruary production of crude oil in states of the E ighth D istrict was 11 per cent less than in January and 17 per cent sm aller than in February, 1940. Cum ulative total for the first tw o m onths this year was 11 per cent below the corres ponding period in 1940. Stocks on F ebruary 28 were 1 per cent less and 2 per cent larger, respec tively, than a m onth and a year earlier. Detailed production and stocks by states are given in the following table: Production Feb., 1941 Jan., 1941 Feb., 1940 A rkansas............ 1,950, I llin o is .............. 9,069 Indian a .............. 574 K e n tu c k y ......... 387 T o ta ls..............11,980 2,158 10,293 617 424 13,492 2,010 11,727 235 422 14,394 (I n thousands of barrels) Stocks Cumulative 1941 1940 4,108 19,362 1,191 811 25,472 Feb. 28, Feb. 29, 1941 1940 4,108 1,889 1,934 23,227 14,557 13,630 428 2,973 3,664 8051,530 1,289 28,568 20,949 20,517 A G R IC U L T U R E Combined receipts from the sale of principal farm products and Governm ent benefit paym ents to farm ers in states including the E ighth D istrict during the period January-F ebruary, 1939, 1940 and 1941, and during February, 1940 and 1941, are given in the following ta b le : (I n thousands of dollars) T ennessee . . . . . . . February 1941 1940 $23,650 42,295 21,888 10,646 11,035 9,430 9,966 128,910 $19,592 44,918 16,739 13,148 10,048 10,980 9,925 125,350 Cumulative for 2 months 1941 1940 1939 $50,291 95,246 48,890 44,016 28,632 18,828 21,074 306,977 $ 47,865 102,762 45,262 44,811 22,180 20,829 18,894 302,603 $40,020 85,045 34,712 36,879 22,203 23,575 11,609 254,043 Farming Conditions — The spring survey of the U. S. D epartm ent of A griculture indicates th at the new season is startin g off w ith better than average prospects. In the southern half of the country crops and pastures are late, but in states of the E ighth Federal Reserve D istrict, the lateness apparently is not serious, and can be easily overcome w ith aver age conditions from this tim e forward. D uring the past several m onths precipitation has been light from the Tennessee and M issouri river valleys northw ard, but w inter m oisture in this area is not ordinarily im portant except for hay crops and in m ost sections late M arch and April rains have al ready brought partial relief. W inter w heat prospects are m ainly good, the exception being in northern M issouri and portions of adjoining areas, where considerable w inter wheat was killed by cold w eather in Novem ber and the land is being replanted in other grains. Stocks of grain on farm s are large. Reserves of corn are smaller than a year ago, but stocks of oats are much larger because of heavy production in 1940. P ro duction of milk per cow was outstandingly heavy in April as in earlier m onths this year. E gg produc tion per 100 hens was also exceptionally high dur ing the early p art of the year. Average condition of pastures in this district was about the same as last year but 6 per cent below the 10-year (1930-1939) April 1 average. Surplus labor is rapidly disappearing from farm ing areas near active industrial centers and some of the part-tim e of subsistence type farm s may not be actively worked this year. Present indications, how ever, are that the total acreage in crops will be fully m aintained and th at the num bers of milk cows, beef cattle, sheep and chickens will be increased. The trend of farm products prices was upw ard during M arch and early April, and throughout the period prices were m easurably above a year ago. As of April 5, the farm products group of the Bureau of Labor Statistics index stood at 72.7 per cent of the 1926 average, as against 70.4 per cent on M arch 1 and 67.0 per cent on April 6, 1940. Cotton — Farm preparations for the new cotton crop as of the first week of April were unusually backward, in m any sections tw o weeks behind the relatively late season last spring. The soil was too w et and cold for the desired progress. Since April 1, however, farm ers have taken advantage of every interval of favorable w eather and have pushed field work. Num erous planters w ith tractors have equip ped them w ith lights and plowed at night. Cover crops are in the main doing well. Some planting has been done in the extrem e lower tier of counties. Loans made by the Commodity Credit Corpora tion on 1940-1941 crop cotton through April 14 in states of the E ighth D istrict, and repaym ents on loans are as follows: T jrtariQ (A m ounts in thous.) T otal Loans Repayments Outstanding Bales A m ount B ales Am ount Bales Amount A r k a n s a s ................128,369 $ 6,083 95,582 $4,554 32,787 $1,529 M ississip pi......... ....77,144 3,544 55,300 2,510 21,844 1,033 M issouri..................12,738 5929,013 417 3,725 175 T en nessee............... 15,095 7339,574 463 5,521 270. T o ta ls .................. ....233,346 10,952 169,469 7,944 63,877 3,00.7 U . S. T o ta ls. . .3,152,859 151,839 1,179,186 56,565 1,973,673 95,274 T rading in spot cotton continued active, reflect ing the high rate of consum ption at domestic mills. According to trade reports miil activity in late March and early April was at near-record levels. W hile mill sales of cloth were not as high as here tofore, backlogs of unfilled orders perm itted of sus tained production. Mill prices for cloth and yarns continued strong. In the St. Louis m arket middling grade cotton ranged from 10.75c to 11.40c per pound between M arch 15 and April 15, closing at 11.20c on the latter date, which compares w ith 10.80c on March 15 and 10.40c on April 15, 1940. As indicating the heavy forw ard movement of cotton, combined receipts at Arkansas and Missouri compresses from A ugust 1, 1940, to April 18, 1941, totaled 1,957,020 bales, as against 1,800,953 bales a year earlier; shipm ents, 1,770,557 bales, against 1,992,802 bales. Stocks on hand as of April 18 amounted to 1,065,204 bales, com paring w ith 1,163,300 bales a year ago. According to the prelim inary report of the Bureau of the Census, cotton ginned from the 1940 crop in states of the E ighth D istrict amounted to 3,664,171 bales, com paring with 3,901,098 bales in 1939 and 3,924,282 bales in 1938. Fruits and Vegetables — Reports from virtually all sections of the district indicate th at injury to fruit trees from cold during the past w inter was slight, and as of mid-April prospects for all species ranged from good to excellent. In A rkansas, for example, the condition of peaches on April 1 was 82 per cent of full crop promise, compared w ith 70 per cent a year earlier. A ccording to the U. S. A gri cultural M arketing Service, straw berry production in the second early states, including Tennessee arid Arkansas, is expected to be unusually large, due both to the high condition and heavier acreage. Livestock — An im provem ent in demand for and a greater supply of m ost classes of meat during March than in F ebruary featured the livestock and meat trade during the last month. M eat supplies, with the exception of veal, also were somewhat more plentiful this M arch than a year ago, and greater than the average for M arch during the 10year period, 1931-1940. The increased supply of meat resulted from heavier m arketings in M arch compared w ith February. Livestock m arketings, with the exception of lambs were not greatly dif ferent from a year earlier. Lam b m arketings were estimated at approxim ately 10 per cent higher than last year. The num ber of cattle on feed for m arket in the Corn Belt States on April 1 was 16 per cent larger than a year earlier, according to the A gricultural M arketing Service. The num ber on feed was the largest since the drouths of 1934 and 1936 reduced Page 5 cattle feeding to the lowest level in recent years. The movement of stocker and feeder cattle into the Corn Belt in the first quarter this year was probably the largest for this period in all years. The estim ated num ber of cattle on feed April 1 in Eighth D istrict states as a percentage of the num ber April 1, 1940, is as follows: Indiana, 105; Illi nois, 113; M issouri, 112. Receipts and shipm ents at St. Louis as reported by the National Stock Yards were as follows: ________ Receipts_______ Mar., Feb., Mar., 1941 1941 1940 80,306 79,041 81,711 Cattle and C alves___ H o g s .................................. 242,622 229,778 249,419 H orses and M u les......... 2,113 2,273 3,277 21,128 20,015 32,274 S h eep................................ T o ta ls........................... 346,169 331,107 366,681 _______Shipments_______ Mar., Feb., Mar., 1941 1941 1940 22,713 23,200 26,440 69,851 87,185 90,534 1,774 2,156 2,747 261 804 2,134 94,599 113,345 121,855 W inter W heat — Based on conditions as of April 1, the U. S. D epartm ent of Agriculture estimates 1941 production of w inter w heat in states including the E ighth D istrict at 86,113,000 bushels, compar ing w ith 112,368,000 bushels harvested in 1940 and the 10-year (1930-1939) average of 104,203,000 bushels. W heat stocks on farms in these states on April 1 am ounted to 12,519,000 bushels, against 9,415,000 bushels a year earlier and 10-year average of 12,623,000 bushels. CO M M O D ITY PRICES Range of prices in the St. Louis market between March 15 and April 15, 1941, with closing quotations on the latter date and on April 15, 1940, follows: H igh W heat * M a y .. .. .per bu. *July . . . . *Sept...................... N o. 2 red winter N o. 2 hard “ Corn *M ay ..................... * J u ly ..................... *Sept...................... N o. 2 white . . . Oats *M ay ..................... * J u ly ..................... *Sept...................... Flour Soft p a t e n t.. . . per bbl. Spring “ ----M iddling Cotton per lb. H ogs on H oof . .percw t. *Nominal quotations. Low April 15,1941 Close April 15, 1940 $ .: 9 ^ .8 .8 8 ^ .89/4 .96 .9 5 # $ .8 3 # .80 .8 0 ^ .90 .893# .653/ .66 .6 6 # .73 .6 0 ^ .6 0 # .6 0 # .6 8 # .653# .66 .38 .343/g .33 5/8 •3 4 ^ •3 1 # .3 0 # .3 7 # .3 4 # 6.20 5.30 .1140 8.82 5.05 4.60 .1075 7.69 $ .8 7 # .88 .9 4 # .9 2 # .66# .73 .33y8 5.30@6.20 4.85@5.30 . 1120. 8.66 1 .0 5 # 1.04 # 1 .0 4 # 1 .1 0 M .5734 .59y 8 .60 H .40^ .36# .333/s 6.25@6.85 5.95@6.20 .1040 5.39 W H IS K E Y B U IL D IN G The dollar value of perm its issued for new con struction in the five largest cities of the district in M arch was 291 per cent greater than in February and 115 per cent greater than in M arch, 1940. Ac cording to statistics compiled by the F. W . Dodge Corporation, construction contracts let in the Eighth D istrict in M arch am ounted to $82,616,000, which compares w ith $21,894,000 in February and $20,095,000 in M arch, 1940. Building figures for March follow : N ew Construction Repairs, etc. Permits 1941 1940 (C ost in thousands) E van sville......... L ittle Rock L o u is v ille ......... 35 35 42 59 190 140 685 494 329 311 St. L ouis. 1,298 1,022 Feb. 578 849 * Includes a housing project. Cost 1941 1940 $ 102 295 397 1,225 4,043* 6,062 1,552 $ 105 132 673 1,129 786 2,825 1,786 Permits 1941 1940 116 87 46 234 121 604 427 1941 120 95 42 201 176 634 453 C ost 1940 $ 61 $ 26 38 70 51 52 265 169 123 122 538' 439 553 668 C O N SU M PT IO N OF E L E C T R IC IT Y Public utilities companies in six large cities of the district report consum ption of electric current by selected industrial custom ers in M arch as being 6 per cent more than in February and 20 per cent greater than in M arch, 1940. Detailed figures fol low : .68 As of M arch 31, 50 of the 61 distilleries in Ken tucky were in operation, four less than were in production on February 28. According to trade sources the whiskey industry is operating at as high a rate as possible under existing conditions. The current high rate is in a large measure due to appre hension that the m anufacture of whiskey may be curtailed as nonessential and to conserve materials for the national defense program . T here is a continued shortage of white oak staves for m aking whiskey barrels, and owing to shortage Page 6 of labor, correction of the cooperage situation may be deferred beyond recent expectations. Prices of barrels have increased substantially and in some instances distillers have been obliged to curtail pro duction because of inadequate supplies. A num ber of the larger whiskey m anufacturers, it is reported, continue to purchase stocks produced in preceding years in order to augm ent their inven tories of specific production periods. This policy has created a ready m arket for bulk whiskey and the industry as a whole is reported in good condi tion. (K .W .H . in thous.) Mar., Feb., N o. of Custom■ 1941 1941 ers K .W .H . K .W .H . Evansville. . . . . 40 L ittle R ock . , . . 35 . L ouisville . . . . . 82 , . 31 Pine B luff. . , . , 20 . . . 125 . . 333 5,160 2,242 12,736 3,877 1,0,48 48,215 73,278 4,880 2,279 11,986 3,624 851 45,256 68,876 Mar., 1940 K .W .H . March, 1941 compared with Feb., 1941 Mar., 194( 4,752 1,923 9,657 2,553 688 41,325 60,898 + 6% — 2 + 6 + 7 +23 + 7 + 6 b 9% h 17 -32 -52 -52 -17 +20 P O ST A L R E C E IP T S R eturns for the five largest cities of the district show an increase of 4 per cent in combined postal receipts for the first three m onths this year over the corresponding period in 1940, and a decrease of 14 per cent under the final quarter of 1940. Detailed figures follow : Quarter ending : Mar. 31, 1941 $191,337 263,959 Little Rock 766,041 728,170 .2,813,421 St. Louis ,4,762,928 Dec. 31, 1940 $ 215,665 257,192 877,376 901,182 3,267,824 5,519,239 Mar. 31, 1940 $ 186,430 239,748 728,273 695,287 2,726,300 4,576,038 1941 and 1940 + 3% t 1? ±1 + 4 B A N K IN G A N D F IN A N C E In the Eighth D istrict during the past th irty days there was a further increase in demand for credit from commercial and industrial interests. As has been the case in recent m onths, requirem ents have been more diversified than has been the case in a num ber of years. M any custom ers who have not been in the m arket for loans for m any m onths are applying for funds. This is true particularly of m an ufacturers. Retail interests in the large cities have increased their borrow ings in order to expand inven tories to accommodate heavier trade. According to a num ber of bankers, financial requirem ents of in terests supplying m aterials for the national defense program are becoming more outstanding. Quite generally throughout the district there is an active demand for real estate and building loans, also to finance building m aterials. Bankers in K entucky report that the recent increased production of whis key has resulted in a noticeable expansion in inquir ies for funds to finance th at commodity. Interest rates charged by commercial banks underw ent no change w orthy of note. M ember Banks — Reflecting continued expansion in demand for credit, total loans of reporting mem ber banks in the principal cities rose 1 per cent between M arch 19 and April 16, and on the latter date were approxim ately one-fifth greater than a year ago. Investm ents, which had risen sharply in the last week of March, declined slightly, but at mid-April were still 11 per cent above the same time in 1941. T otal reserve balances increased 14 per cent during the four-week period. Gross depos its also advanced, and on April 16 were close to the all-time peak reached on M arch 26. Statem ent of the principal resource and liability items of the reporting member banks follows : (In thousands of dollars) Apr. 16, 1941 Change from Mar. 19, Apr. 17, 1941 1940 Commercial, industrial, agricultural lo a n s.$225,892 -f- 1,21*8 + 3 7 ,0 5 0 Open market paper.............................................. 15,402 + 2,067 + 4,641 Loans to brokers and dealers......................... 5,125 + 1,025 + 730 Other loans to purchase and carry securities. 11,844 — 595 — 626 60,198 + 646 + 7,536 Real estate lo a n s.................................................. Loans to banks....................................................... 1,106 — 468 + 123 Other loans............................................................. 70,884 + 1,090 + 1 2 ,6 0 4 Treasury b ills......................................................... 58,269 — 14,754 + 7,036 Treasury n o tes.............................................. . . . . 36,631 — 5,037 + 4,302 U . S. bon ds............................................................. 183,703 + 1 4 ,9 4 2 + 3 1 ,9 0 0 Obligations guaranteed by U . S. Government 62,188 — 3,763 — 7,293 Other se c u r itie s....................... ............................. 116,736 + 1,242 + 9,446 Balances w ith dom estic ban ks......................... 196,506 + 4,567 + 5,438 Demand deposits — adjusted*......................... 554,811 + 1 9 ,9 5 0 + 7 7 ,6 8 2 Time d e p o s its ......................................................... 192,729 + 195 + 2,165 U . S. Government deposits................................ 14,344 + 2,878 — 2,574 Inter-bank d e p o s its ......................................... 420,465 + 4,537 + 6 0 ,5 0 3 *Other than interbank and Government deposits, less cash items on hand or in process of collection. A bove figures are for 24 member banks in St. Louis, Louisville, M em phis, L ittle Rock and Evansville. Their resources comprise approximately 75% of the resources of all member banks in this district. T he aggregate am ount of savings deposits held by selected member banks on April 2 was 0.1 per cent greater than a m onth earlier and 0.1 per cent more than on April 3, 1940. Federal Reserve Operations — The volume of the m ajor operations of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, during M arch, 1941, is indicated below : (Incl. Louisville, Memphis, L ittle Rock branches) Amounts Pieces Checks (cash items) han dled................................ 5,908,255 $1,615,202,927 38,721,289 Collections (non-cash item s) handled................ 144,0,57 442,476,871 Transfers of fu nds....................... .......................... . . 5,120 31,274,089 Currency received and counted.............................. 9,617,116 915,529 Coin received and counted....................................... 9,291,609 190,250 Rediscounts, advances and com m itm ents............ 7 New issues, redemptions, and exchanges of 156,628,613 securities as fiscal agent of U . S. Govt., etc. 33,171 Bills and securities in custody— coupons clipped 18,048 ............................... Changes in the principal assets and liabilities of this bank appear in the following ta b le : (In thousands of dollars) Industrial advances under Sec. 1 3 b ... Other advances and rediscounts............ U . S. securities.............................................. T otal earning a ssets................................ April 16, 1941 10.1.346 101.346 Total reserves.........................................................482,317 Total deposits.................. ......................................345,355 F. R. Notes in circulation.................. ........... ..234,850 Change from March 18, April 19, 1940 1941 15 — 13 — — 90 1,793 — 11,755 — 1,806 — 11,860 + 2 7 ,4 9 4 + 2 0 ,3 9 6 + 6,769 + + + 88,997 35,985 41,968 95 + Following are the rates of this bank for accom modations under the Federal Reserve A ct: 275 Industrial commitments under Sec. 1 3 b .. + Advances ^to banks, secured by direct obligations of _ the U nited States, under paragraph 13 o f section 1 3 .. 1 “ ) per annum Advances to member banks, secured by direct obliga tions of the U nited States or by such Government guaranteed obligations as are eligible for collateral, under paragraph 8 of section 13 .............................................. 1 i per annum Rediscounts and other advances to member banks un der sections 13 and 13a..............................................................1 % per annum Advances to member banks under section 1 0 ( b ) ................ 2 % per annum Advances to individuals, firms, and corporations, other than banks secured by direct obligations of the U nited States, under paragraph 13 of section 1 3 ............4 % per annum Industrial advances to member banks, nonmember banks, and other financing institutions under sec tion 13b: f i y 2 % to (a) On portion for which such institution is obligated i 2 % per annum (b) On remaining portion — N o charge to financ ing institution. Federal Reserve Bank w ill retain interest collected from borrower. Advances to established industrial or commercial f z y 2 % to businesses under section 13b................................................ < 5 y2 % per annum Commitments to member banks, nonmember banks, and other financing institutions, under section 1 3 b ... . . 1 Provided: that on commitments issued for periods of 90 days or less the minimum charge shall be % of 1 % fla t; and further provided, that on commitments for loans secured by assignm ent of “ Em ergency Plant Facil ities Contract” with the U nited States Government, the rate may be as low as of 1% per annum. Since the preceding issue of this review, the St. Charles Savings Bank, St. Charles, Mo., and the Elk H orn Bank and T ru st Co., Arkadelphia, Ark., became members of the Federal Reserve System. Debits to Individual Accounts — The following comparative table of debits to individual accounts reflects spending trends in this d istric t: (In thousands of dollars) Mar., 1941 El D orado,. . Fort S m ith ,.., Ark.$ 5,530 “ 13,561 “ 1,813 L ittle Rock, . . . . “ 51,525 “ Pine Bluff, . .. 8,481 Texarkana, Ark.-Tex. 8,800 46,00,1 E .S t.L .-N at.S .Y .,Ill. “ 9,720 E vansville,. . . 39,838 Louisville, . .. . .. K y . 227,977 “ Owensboro, . . 6,540 Greenville,. . . 5,652 Mo. 670,400 2,278 “ 17,711 Springfield,. .. 181,563 (Completed April 23, 1941) ..............1,297,390 Mar., 1940 Feb., 1941 $ 5,194 12,921 1,425 43,874 7,889 8,406 39,870 8,436 33,177 195,781 6,218 5,813 555,934 2,256 16,510 164,090 1,107,794 $ Mar .,’41 comp, with Feb .,’41 M ar.,’40 5,60,6 12,705 2,001 41,596 8,109 8,244 34,289 8,838 32,161 171,366 5,951 5,720 581,433 2,230 14,537 137,036 + + + + + + + + + + + 1,071,822 + + + + 6% 5 27 17 8 5 15 15 20 16 5 3 21 1 7 11 — 1% + 7 — 9 +24 + 5 + 7 + 34 + 10 +24 +33 + 10 — 1 +15 + 2 +22 +32 + 17 +21 Page 7 IN D U S T R IA L N A TIO N A L SUM M ARY O F CO ND ITIO NS PRODUCTION B Y B O A R D O F G O V E R N O R S O F F E D E R A L R E S E R V E SY ST E M Industrial activity increased further in March but declined somewhat in the first half of April owing to temporary reductions in output of bituminous coal and automobiles. Wholesale prices of many commodities advanced con siderably and the Government took steps to limit price advances of some additional industrial materials. Federal Reserve index of physical volume of production, adjusted for seasonal variation, 1935-39 average = 100. B y months, January, 1935, to March, 1941. Latest figure 143. DEPARTMENT STORE SALES AND STOCKS Production—Volume of industrial output continued to increase in March and the Board’s seasonally adjusted index rose from 141 to 143 per cent of the 1935-39 average. Activity increased further in most durable goods indus tries, particularly in those producing machinery, aircraft, ships, and arma ment. Steel production increased to about 100 per cent of rated capacity. Automobile production, which usually increases considerably in March, showed little change from the high rate reached in February. In the first half of April output was reduced considerably owing to a shutdown at plants of the Ford Motor Company during an industrial dispute which was settled about the middle of the month. Retail sales of new and used cars advanced to new peak levels in March and dealer’s stocks at the beginning of April amounted to about a month’s supply at the current rate of sales. Output of lumber, which had been sustained at unusually high levels during the winter months, rose less than seasonally. Activity in the textile and shoe industries increased further in March. Cotton consumption rose to a record level of 854,000 bales and there was also an increase in rayon deliveries. At wool textile mills activity was sus tained at the peak rate reached in February, not showing the usual large sea sonal decline, and in the chemical and rubber industries further advances were reported. Bituminous coal production rose considerably, while output of crude petroleum was maintained in March at about the rate that had pre vailed in the four preceding months. In the first half of April coal produc tion declined sharply, however, as most mines were closed pending conclusion of contract negotiations between mine operators and the miners’ union. Pro duction of nonferrous metals continued in large volume in March and deliv eries of refined copper showed a sharp rise as domestic production was supplemented by supplies received from South America. Federal Reserve indexes of value of sales and stocks, adjusted for seasonal variation, 1923-25 average = 100. B y months, January, 1935, to March, 1941. WHOLESALE PRICES Construction contract awards rose sharply in March and were larger than in any month since the middle of 1930, according to the F. W. Dodge Corporation data. The rise was chiefly in awards for publicly-financed work, which had been reduced considerably in January and February, and in private nonresidential projects, particularly factory construction. Awards for pri vate residential building, which had been unusually large during the winter months, showed less than the customary seasonal rise in March. Distribution — In March distribution of commodities to consumers was sustained at the high level reached in February. Sales at mail-order houses and department stores increased seasonally and variety store sales showed more than the usual seasonal rise. Freight-card loadings increased by about the usual seasonal amount. Loadings of coal and grain rose considerably, while shipments of miscellaneous freight, which in previous months had risen steadily, on a seasonally adjusted basis, showed a smaller increase than is usual at this time of year. 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 1940 1941 Bureau of Labor Statistics’ indexes, 1926 = 100. “ Other” includes commodities other than farm products and foods. B y weeks, January, 5, 1935, to week ending April 12, 1941. MEMBER BANKS IN 101 LEADING CITIES Commodity Prices — Prices of basic commodities continued to advance sharply from the middle of March to the middle of April. There were sub stantial increases in prices of domestic foodstuffs and further advances in burlap, cotton, rubber, and lead. Increases were also reported in wholesale prices of a number of manufactured products and the general index of the Bureau of Labor Statistics rose two points to 83 per cent of the 1926 average. Informal action was taken by the Government to discourage price in creases of some additional industrial materials and maximum price schedules were established for steel, bituminous coal, secondary and scrap aluminum and zinc, and iron and steel scrap. Sharp reduction in prices of some kinds of nonferrous metal scrap resulted. Announcement of an expanded Federal purchase program for hog, dairy, and poultry products was followed by price increases for these and related products. Bank Credit — Total loans and investments at reporting member banks in 101 cities increased during March and the first two weeks of April. Com mercial loans continued to rise substantially, and holdings of United States Government securities increased further, reflecting purchases of new Treasury offerings. W ednesday figures, January 2, 1935, to April 9, 1941. Commercial loans, which include industrial and agricul tural loans, represent prior to May 19, 1937, so-called “ Other loans” as then reported. Page 8 United States Government Security Prices — Prices of United States Government securities declined irregularly from March 15 to April 9, but subsequently rose slightly. The 1960-65 bonds showed a net loss of about % of 1 point on April 15, following a rise of about 3*/4 points in the previous month. The yield on this issue on April 15 was 2.14 per cent, compared with 2.03 per cent at the all-time peak in prices on December 10, and 2.30 per cent at the recent low in prices on February 15,