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MONTHLY REVIEW O f Agricultural, Industrial, Trade and Financial Conditions in the Eighth Federal Reserve District Released for Publication On and After the Afternoon of April 29, 1931 J O H N S. W O O D , Chairman and Federal Reserve Agent FEDERAL RESERVE A IN L Y as a consequence of seasonal in fluences, business in this district during the past thirty days developed further moderate improvement as compared with the similar period just preceding. As compared with a year ear lier and the average during the past decade, however, operations continued to show substantial decreases. As was the case earlier in the year, considerable irregularity marked the course of both trade and industry. Taken as a whole, a more favorable ex hibit was made by distribution than production. All of the wholesaling and jobbing lines investigated by this bank reported gains in March sales over those of the preceding month, with several impor tant classifications, notably boots and shoes, hard ware, and groceries, showing increases somewhat larger than the average for the period. On the other hand, with but two exceptions, heavy decreases un der the March totals of last year were recorded. In the case of goods for ordinary consumption, the early Easter date was an important influence in expanding the volume of March merchandise sales. Certain manufacturing lines, notably those engaged in producing seasonable goods, held the gains achieved earlier in the year, and some increased their working schedules. On the other hand, a num ber of industries reduced their rate of operations in late March and early April. There was little, if any, variation noted in the policy of close and conservative purchasing of com modities, by both merchants and the public, which has obtained in recent months. Commitments for future requirements are being held within narrow limits, and the volume of advance business booked by interests reporting to this bank was smaller on April 1 than on any like date in more than a decade The slightly downward trend in commodity prices served to emphasize the disposition to buy cautious ly. Distribution of automobiles in the district dur ing March, according to the reporting dealers, was in considerably smaller volume than a year ago, but only slightly below the February total, and reports relative to business during the first half of April indicate a total for the month about equal to last M C. M . STEW ART, Assistant Federal Reserve Agent BANK OF ST. J. V I O N P A P I N , Statistician LOUIS year. The average rate of operations at iron and steel plants declined slightly during late March and early April. The estimated melt of pig iron in March was about equal to that of the preceding month. Under favorable weather conditions, the pro gress of growing crops and spring farm work made good progress, and the outlook for the principal agricultural productions of the district at the middle of April was unusually auspicious. Precipitation in March and early April supplied needed moisture, and soil conditions generally are better than at any time since last spring. As compared with the pre ceding thirty days, little change took place in em ployment conditions in the large industrial centers. Opening of outdoor construction operations and farm work however, measurably reduced the num ber of idle common laborers generally through the district. Sales of department stores in the principal cities in March were 20.7 per cent larger than in Febru ary, but 12.7 per cent smaller than the March, 1930 total. Combined sales of these stores for the first quarter of 1931 were smaller by 12.9 per cent than for the same period last year. Total March sales of all wholesale and jobbing firms reporting to this bank were 20.0 per cent larger than in February and 19.0 per cent less than in March last year. First quarter sales of these firms were 21.0 per cent less than for the same period in 1930. Contracts let for construction in the Eighth District in February, while slightly below the total of a year earlier, show ed a substantial gain over February, and represented the largest total since last October. The dollar value of building permits let for new construction in the five largest cities in March was 14.4 per cent smaller than for the same month last year, and 5.6 per cent less than the February total this year. Charges to checking accounts in March were 12.6 per cent greater than in February, but 21.3 per cent less than in March, 1930. The amount of savings accounts increased slightly between March 4 and April 1, and on the latter date were 2.3 per cent smaller than a year ago. While showing small weekly gains during March, traffic of railroads operating in this district continues in substantially smaller volume than a year and two years earlier. Grain and grain products, and livestock made a relatively better showing than some other classifications; the movement of miscel laneous freight and merchandise was considerably smaller in both comparisons. For the country as a whole loadings of revenue freight during the first thirteen weeks of the year, or to March 28, totaled 9,266,039 cars, against 11,269,184 cars for the cor responding period last year and 12,153,528 cars in 1929. The St. Louis Terminal Railway Association, which handles interchanges for 28 connecting lines, interchanged 192,150 loads in March, against 164,030 loads in February, and 220,296 loads in March, 1930. During the first nine days of April the interchange amounted to 53,784 loads against 64,680 loads during the corresponding period in March, and 64,523 loads during the first nine days of April, 1930. Pas senger traffic of the reporting lines decreased 14 per cent in March as compared with the same month a year ago. Estimated tonnage of the Federal Barge Line between St. Louis and New Orleans in March was 82,500 tons, against 69,672 tons in February and 75,157 tons in March, 1930. Reports relative to collections continue to re flect an unusual degree of unevenness,both in whole saling and retail lines. Taken as a whole, however, the average during the past thirty days showed little variation from the similar period immediately pre ceding, though considerably below the same time last year. Some betterment was noted in the south, particularly in the tobacco districts, where farmers are using the proceeds of their crops to liquidate indebtedness. April settlements with wholesalers in the large distributing centers were about equal to expectations, though there is an increasing number of complaints of backward accounts and actual losses. Smaller retail merchants in the large cities and country report moderate improvement in their collections, particularly in the case of goods pur chased on the installment plan. Questionnaires ad dressed to representative interests in the several lines scattered through the district showed the fol lowing results: Excellent G ood Fair P oor March, 1931..................% 12.6% 60.1% 27.3% February, 1931...................... 13.1 57.2 29.7 March, 1930........... 1.4 14.1 59.2 25.3 Commercial failures in the Eighth Federal Re serve District in March, according to Dun’s num bered 144, involving liabilities of $2,969,521, against 181 failures in February with liabilities of $5,158,243, and 133 defaults for a total of $2,419,565 in March, 1930. The average daily circulation in the United States in March was $4,590,000,000, against $4,598,000,000 in February, and $4,534,000,000 in March, 1930. MANUFACTURING AND W HOLESALING Boots and Shoes — Stimulated by the early Easter date and generally small retail stocks, sales of the reporting firms in March showed an increase of more than one-third as contrasted with the pre ceding month, but the total was 13.0 per cent below that of March, 1930. Stocks continued to decrease, inventories on April 1 being 20.0 per cent and 31.0 per cent smaller, respectively, than thirty days and a year earlier. There was no change in prices as compared with the preceding month, but the aver age was approximately 10 per cent lower than a year ago. Demand for work shoes and the more staple lines generally continues relatively less active than for women’s novelty wear and children’s lines. Clothing — The usual seasonal influences and early Easter date were reflected in a substantial gain in March sales of the reporting clothiers over the February total. Due to the unusually small volume of advance buying and belated ordering, some con gestion was experienced in meeting demands of cus tomers. Since April 1 some slowing down in new orders has developed, and the volume of advance business booked is below that at the same time last year. March sales of the reporting interests were 38.0 per cent larger than in February, but about onefifth smaller than in March, 1930. The decrease from a year ago was partly due to lower prices, the de cline being estimated at from 10 to 15 per cent. Drugs and Chemicals — Further improvement was noted in this classification, March sales of the reporting interests showing a small increase over the same month in 1930, and an increase of about 8.0 per cent over the February total this year. Belated purchasing of seasonal commodities, notably fertil izers and insecticides, were partly responsible for the gain in the month-to-month comparison. De mand generally through all lines showed betterment. April 1 stocks showed little change from a month earlier, and were about 4.0 per cent larger than on April 1, 1930. Dry Goods — While showing a gain of about 4.0 per cent over the preceding month, March sales of the reporting firms recorded a decline of more than one-fourth as contrasted with the total in March, 1930. Inventories decreased 6.0 per cent be tween March 1 and April 1, and on the latter date were 38.0 per cent smaller than a year earlier. As compared with the practice of preceding years, buy ing is distorted. Ordering by retail merchants is limited largely to goods to replace exhausted stocks; and goods which were purchased ordinarily in one month may now be acquired at an earlier or later period, according to the exigencies of inventory, de mand, prices, etc. These conditions were emphasized during the past two months, when effects of the ear ly Easter date and other seasonal influences were strongly in evidence. Electrical Supplies — Due mainly to a more ac tive movement of seasonal commodities, March sales of the reporting firms were 8.0 per cent larger than in February, but almost one-third smaller than in March, 1930. Inventories increased slightly between March 1 and April 1, and on the latter date were ap proximately 6 per cent larger than a year ago. In the yearly sales comparison, decreases were general in all lines, but particularly marked in radio materi al, household appliances and electrical installations in new structures. Advance orders at the end of March were the smallest for that particular date in more than a decade. Flour — Production at the 12 leading mills of the district in March totaled 299,439 barrels, the smallest for any month since June, 1926, and com paring with 304,656 in February and 388,661 in March, 1930. New orders booked by the mills con tinued in small volume, and practically all for im mediate shipment. Shipping directions were reported as showing further improvement, and the tone of the market was a shade firmer. Mill operations were at from 55 to 60 per cent of capacity. Aggregate stocks in the hands of mills and dealers were the smallest for any similar period in recent years. Furniture — March sales of the reporting firms were 9.0 per cent greater than in February, and 29.0 per cent less than the March, 1930, total. Inventor ies continue to decrease, and on April 1 were 17.0 per cent smaller than a month earlier, and more than one-third less than on April 1, 1930. Retail stocks are also light, but there is a disposition to postpone replenishing, and stock orders are lacking. Groceries— The volume of business in this clas sification during March showed somewhat more than the usual seasonal increase over the preceding month. Sales in the rural areas, particularly in the south, showed improvement, and retailers generally were ordering more freely to replenish depleted stocks and fill out assortments. March sales of the reporting firms were 11.0 per cent larger than in February, and 14.0 per cent smaller than in March, 1930. Stocks increased about one-third between March 1 and April 1, and were 16.0 per cent smaller on the latter date than a year earlier. Hardware — March sales of the reporting inter ests were 10.0 per cent larger than in February, but approximately one-third smaller than the March, 1930, total. In the monthly comparison, increases were general in all seasonal lines, and sales of mer chandise for distribution in the farming areas showed decided improvement. Some betterment was noted in demand for paints, and builders’ hardware. Stocks on April 1 were 5.0 per cent larger than thirty days earlier, and about one-fifth smaller than on April 1, 1930. Iron and Steel Products — The past thirty days were marked by a moderate recession in activities in the iron and steel industry in this district. As was the case earlier in the year, however, considerable irregularity existed in the several lines, with some important branches of the industry scoring further slight gains, while others failed to hold the improve ment achieved during January and February. New orders placed for finished materials were in smaller volume than during the preceding month, and pur chasing of all descriptions of iron and steel goods continues on an extremely conservative scale. Dur ing March contracting for second quarter require ments of raw materials was sluggish, the disposition among all classes of consumers being to cover cur rent needs in the open market and avoid heavy commitments for future delivery. Demand for cer tain building materials was stimulated by the plac ing of contracts for a number of large construction projects, steel mills and fabricators benefiting by this business. The outlet through the automotive and railroad industries, however, failed to show the expected broadening, and purchasing by numerous smaller consumers of finished iron and steel goods failed to show the usual seasonal improvement. Farm implement manufacturers reported new orders and shipments smaller than a month earlier, and demand generally for goods for consumption in the agricultural areas showed little, if any improvement. Producers and distributors of sheets reported a slowing down in specifications, with galvanized material particularly slow. Tubing, plates and the general run of oil country goods showed no change from the quiet conditions existing during recent months. Iron and steel warehouse and jobbing in terests report business quiet, with orders booked al most exclusively carrying immediate shipping direc tions. Requirements of the general manufacturing trade have failed to show the usual seasonal expan sion. Manufacturers of stoves and heating apparatus report advance sales the smallest for this particular period in more than two decades. Awards of struc tural steel and reinforcing concrete bars were in larger volume than during the preceding month, and pending inquires indicate further improvement dur ing the next sixty days. Prices of finished and semi finished materials showed no change worthy of note, and quotations on pig iron remain steady. Scrap iron and steel prices receded further, with all impor tant items reaching the lowest levels since prior to the beginning of the world war. Production of pig iron for the country as a whole in March totaled 2,028,906 tons, against 1,711,192 tons in February, and 3,252,822 tons in March, 1930, Steel ingot pro duction in the United States in March amounted to 3,023,440 tons, against 2,527,318 tons in February, and 4,299,905 tons in March, 1930. AUTOMOBILES Combined passenger car, truck and taxicab pro duction in the United States in March totaled 276,341, against 219,897 in February, and 401,378 in March, 1930. According to dealers reporting to this bank, dis tribution of automobiles in this district during March continued in smaller volume than during the corresponding month last year and the average for that period during the past half decade. The extent of the decrease was considerably smaller than the average in recent months, and reports relative to sales during the first half of April indicate an aggre gate volume closely approximating that of the same time in 1930. A small decrease was shown in March sales as contrasted with February, in which month the total was the largest since last April. Generally favorable weather throughout March had a stimu lating effect on business of country dealers, many of whom reported a larger volume of sales than for any single month since last spring. In both the large cities and the country, relatively the best showing was made by dealers distributing the lower priced cars. Good response generally was reported to new models and price reductions. Business in parts and accessories was spotted, but about on a parity with the preceding month, and only slightly smaller in aggregate volume than during the same period in 1930. March sales of new passenger cars by the reporting dealers were about a fifth smaller than for the same month in 1930, and 5.2 per cent less than in February this year. Stocks of new cars in dealers’ hands on April 1 were the smallest in recent years. Almost universally the distributors are order ing only cars for which they have actual orders or definite prospects. April 1 inventories were 1.5 per cent smaller than on March 1, and only slightly more than half as large as on April 1, 1930. Further moderate improvement was noted in demand for used cars, in both the urban centers and smaller communities. As compared with a year ago salable secondhand car stocks on April 1 were smaller by about one-third, while little variation was reported from the holdings on March 1 this year. There was the usual seasonal betterment in demand for small trucks for delivery service in March, but sales of all descriptions of trucks showed small declines as compared with a year and a month earlier. Accord ing to dealers reporting on that item, the ratio of deferred payment sales to total sales in March was 51.5 per cent, which compares with 56.0 per cent in February and 54.2 per cent in March, 1930. RETAIL TRADE The condition of retail trade is reflected in the following comparative statement showing activity at department stores in leading cities of the district: N et sales com parison Stocks on hand Stock turnover Jan. 1» to Mar., 1931 3 months ending Mar. 31, 1931 Mar. 31, com p, to Mar. 31, 1931 to com p, to 1930 Mar. 1930 same period 1930 Mar. 31, 1930 1931 — 19.5% 48 40 — 24.7% Evansville ......... ...— 2 7 .8 % J — 22.5 62 55 — 12.5 Little R o ck ......... 9.5 — 13.2 59 67 — 14.1 Louisville .......... ...— 12.3 73 66 — 25.8 — 24.6 ...— 24.2 61 61 — 16.9 — 17.1 89 92 — 5.9 ...— 10.0 — 9.6 30 34 — 7.0 — 12.4 Springfield, M o. ...— 9.5 80 — 12.9 — 12.0 78 8th D istrict........ ...— 12.7 Stocks on hand Mar. 1931 com p, to Mar. 1930 Feb. 1931 — 18.9% + 6 .2 % — 15.9 4* 5.2 N et sales com parison M ar. 1931 com p, to M ar. 1930 Feb. 1931 M en’ s furnishings............ + 2 2 .8 % ’ + 4 2 .3 % B oots and shoes.................— 21.5 + 4 0 .8 BUILDING The dollar value of building permits for new construction issued in the five largest cities of the district in March was 14.9 per cent less than for the same month in 1930, and 5.6 per cent less than in February this year. According to statistics compiled by the F. W. Dodge Corporation, construction con tracts let in the Eighth Federal Reserve District in March amounted to $22,970,128 which compares with $12,508,780 in February and $23,705,343 in March, 1930. Production of Portland cement for the country as a whole in March totaled 8,227,000 bar rels, against 5,920,000 barrels in February, and 11,225,000 barrels in March, 1930. Building figures for March follow: N ew Construction *Cost Permits 1931 1930 1930 1931 $ 189 $ 78 51 Evansville .. 208 76 217 65 Little R ock 31 478 748 145 Louisville .. 86 652 178 330 M emphis .... 309 873 969 440 St Louis.... 360 $2,049 $2,409 Mar. totals.. 994 1,031 2,170 2,127 937 Feb. totals.. 626 2,855 853 Jan. totals.. 484 548 * In thousands of dollars (000 om itted). _________Repairs, etc. *C ost Perm its 1930 1931 1930 1931 $ 12 $ 50 74 62 17 98 96 38 72 77 77 50 33 157 168 65 440 154 295 306 521 490 491 857 618 523 $ 288 299 331 $675 545 349 POSTAL RECEIPTS Returns from the five largest cities of the dis trict show a decrease in combined postal receipts for the first three months this year of 7.7 per cent under the corresponding period in 1930, and of 11.8 per cent under the final quarter in 1930. Detailed figures follow : Mar. 31, 1931 Evansville .....$ 165,000 L ittle R ock.... 212,000 627,000 Louisville ...... Memphis ....... 521,000 St. L ou is........ 2,890,000 T otals........ $4,415,000 F or Quarter Ending_______________ D ec. 31, Sept. 30, Mar. 31, 1930 1930 1930 $ 162,000 $ 157,000 $ 164,000 224,000 234,000 238,000 708,000 612,000 681,000 618,000 541,000 653,000 3,294,000 2,735,000 3,049,000 $5,006,000 $4,279,000 $4,785,000 |^ar * 9 3 j com p, to Mar. 1930 + 0 .6 % — 10.9 — 7.9 — 20.2 — 5.2 — 7.7 CON SUM PTION OF E L E C T R IC IT Y Public utilities companies in the five largest cities of the district reported consumption of elec tric current in March by selected industrial custom ers as being 6.2 per cent greater than in February, but 8.6 per cent smaller than in March, 1930. The increase in the month-to-month comparison was rather general through all classes of consumers, and the same holds true relative to decreases in the com parison with a year ago. Detailed figures follow : Mar. N o. of Feb. 1931 1931 C ustom ers * K .W .H . * K .W .H . 2,007 1,731 Evansville .... 40 L ittle R ock.. 35 1,280 1,308 L ouisville .... 85 5,648 5,303 948 M em phis ..... 31 1,704 17,275 15,527 St. L ou is......159 Totals ........... 350 27,158 * In thousands ( 0 0 0 om itted ). 25,573 Mar. 1931 com p, to Feb. 1931 + 15.9% — 2 .1 + 6.5 — 44.4 + 11.3 + 6 .2 Mar. 1930 * K .W .H . 1,687 1,331 5,834 1,714 19,162 29,728 M ar. 1931 com p, to Mar. 1930 + 19.0% — 3.8 — 3.2 — 44.7 — 9.8 — 8 .6 A G RICU LTU RE Intentions of farmers, in states including the Eighth Federal Reserve District, for planting the principal crops this spring, as indicated by the re port of the U. S. Department of Agriculture, reflect a larger total acreage than during the preceding three years. Considerable variation in acreage is shown with reference both to localities and the sev eral crops. Weather conditions have apparently had much influence on planting intentions, as have, also, market values. Including winter wheat planted last fall and excluding cotton, on which no estimate is made, the aggregate area in these states will be approximately 2.9 per cent greater than in 1930. Farmers plan to plant larger acreages this year than last, of corn, oats, barley, potatoes, sweet pota toes and tobacco, and smaller acreages of rice, tame hay and peanuts. Due to the favorable planting sea son last fall, the acreage seeded to winter wheat was greater than that harvested in 1930 or 1929. The following comparative table shows in tended plantings in 1931 by farmers in states of this district, and the number of acres of the several crops grown for harvest in the three preceding years: 1931 C orn ............................ 29,635,000 Oats ............................ 9,517,000 R ice ............................ 173,000 B arley ........................ 794,000 P otatoes ..................... 399,000 Sweet P otatoes........ 215,000 T o b a cco ..................... 749,000 Peanuts ..................... 56,000 T a m e H a y ................. 11,971,000 W in ter W h ea t.......... 6,332,000 T otals .........................59,841,000 1930 28,815,000 8,927,000 173,000 537,000 338,000 165,000 663,000 62,000 12,337,000 6,144,000 58,161,000 1929 27,937,000 8,389,000 157,000 429,000 333,000 168,000 630,000 46,000 13,235,000 6,656,000 57,980,000 1928 30,024,000 9,474,000 174,000 476,000 367,000 161,000 502,000 62,000 12,148,000 4,229,000 57,617,000 As pointed out by the Department of Agricul ture, the statement of farmers’ intentions to plant is not a definite forecast of acreage that will actually be planted. It is an indication of what farmers had in mind at the time they made their reports, com pared with the acreage grown by them a year ear lier. Final acreage will be larger or smaller than these early intention reports, due to weather condi tions, price changes, labor supply, and the effect of the report itself upon producers’ action. General Farm Conditions — Taken as a whole weather conditions during the past thirty days were favorable for field and farming activities of all de scriptions and for the growth and development of growing crops. Despite retardation of field work in certain sections, occasioned by rains and low tem peratures in March and early April, soil preparation and seeding of early crops are still well in advance of the usual seasonal schedule. Generally through the district, seeding of oats has been completed, and seeding of corn has made good headway. Extensive cultivation of cotton fields has been accomplished and some scattered plantings are reported. Due to the favorable season, farmers in many sections have been able to do an unusual amount of spring work with a minimum of hired help, which fact will tend to reduce ultimate cost of production. Throughout the district soil and subsoil condi tions have been substantially improved by the pre cipitation received since the second week in March. In the south there have been abundant rains, suffi cient to considerably cut down the deficiency result ing from drought. In the northern part of the dis trict enough moisture was received for immediate needs, both for agricultural and community pur poses, but at the middle of April soaking rains were still much needed to replenish water supplies for the late spring and summer. The stage of rivers remains universally low, with many creeks and ponds com pletely dry. Further marked improvement was noted in the situation with regard to financing spring farm opera tions. Governmental and other agencies have made considerable advances of funds to farmers in the drought areas, and in virtually all sections adequate seed and other necessary supplies for spring plant ing have been made available. Supply of farm labor ers continues in excess of requirements, with less than the usual seasonal reduction noted in idle work ers in this category. Winter Wheat — Universally through this dis trict wheat came through the winter in excellent shape, there being considerably less than the aver age damage due to cold weather. According to the U. S. Department of Agriculture the condition of the crop in all states of the district on April 1 was higher than on the same date last year and the 10year average, with the exception of Mississippi, a state of small importance in wheat culture. Based on the April 1 condition, the indicated combined yield in Illinois, Indiana and Missouri is 89,000,000 bushels, which compares with 86,317,000 bushels harvested in 1930, and a 5-year average of 75,350,000 bushels. While temperatures since plantings were favorable for plant growth, moisture was short most of the winter, preventing undue early spring devel opment. Moisture deficiency has been relieved to a considerable extent by precipitation during March and the first half of April, though subsoil moisture is still inadequate in some areas. Abandonment of acreage is expected to be the smallest in several years. Corn — In all states of the district intentions of farmers are to increase their acreage of corn this spring over the acreage grown for harvest last year. Relatively the largest increases are in the southern states, where the yield in 1930 was the smallest in many years and the carryover in this year practic ally nil. The increase indicated for all these states over a year ago is approximately 820,000 acres, or 3 per cent. Weather has been ideal for soil prepara tion and in the south seeding has made good pro gress. Germination was held back by the cold weather in March and early April. Fruits — The cold snap toward the end of March is believed to have done little, if any damage to fruit crops in this district. High winds and cloudi ness which generally accompanied the low tempera tures prevented killing frosts, and reports from prac tically all sections of the district, but more particu larly areas where commercial orchards are located, indicate very favorable prospects for tree fruits. Re ports relative to intended plantings of vegetables for commercial and general purposes vary rather broadly, but with the general trend in the direction of smaller acreages than last year and the average during the past half decade. Recent rains have sub stantially benefited early planted gardens. Live Stock — Changes in the condition of live stock during the past thirty days were seasonal in character, nothing having occurred to alter the gen eral status as contrasted with the preceding month. The season has been unusually auspicious for the spring lamb and pig crops. Receipts and shipments at St. Louis as reported by the National Stock Yards, were as follows: M ar. Feb. M ar. 1931 1931 1930 Cattle and Calves........ 86,896 77,694 79,627 H o g s .............................. 246,731 273,418 306,178 H orses and M u les...... 10,839 9,140 16,324 Sheep ............................ 26,901 22,848 29,029 Shipments Mar. Feb. Mar. 1931 1931 1930 52,227 47,610 50,764 198,500 223,658 263,597 9,434 8,646 13,811 12,652 11,518 16,221 Cotton — Preparations for planting the new crop are further advanced than at any like period since 1925. Seeding was delayed in March and the first days of April by low temperatures and heavy rains in some section, but since that time perfect weather for planting has prevailed generally through the district, and excellent progress is the rule. Soil conditions are universally good, and seed and labor supplies are ample for all requirements. For the season to the middle of April, fertilizer sales are substantially below a year earlier. Reflecting a slow ing in demand for both domestic consumption and export, prices of raw cotton declined during late March and early April. In the St. Louis market the middling grade ranged from 9.50c to 10c per pound between March 16 and April 15, closing at 9.35c on the latter date, which compares with 10c on March 16, and 15c on April 15, 1930. Stocks of cotton on hand in Arkansas warehouses April 10 totaled 185,154 bales against 236,016 bales on March 13, and 201,200 bales on the corresponding date in 1930. Tobacco — Sales of limited quantities of last year’s crop were conducted in markets of the Clarks ville, Springfield, Hopkinsville and Paducah dis tricts, with an upward trend in prices for choice leaf. As is usual when nearing their close, the markets were supplied chiefly with inferior grades of tobacco, on which prices were lower. Some darkfired markets will continue well into May because of adverse weather conditions for handling stock. Tobacco plant beds were generally sown early, but low temperatures in March delayed germination. Recent rains and warmer weather, however, have effected substantial improvement in the plants. In all sections plant beds are plentiful, and the plants mainly healthy. The open winter permitted of ex tensive preparation of land, and fields are in high state of cultivation. Commodity Prices — Range of prices in the St. Louis market between March 16, 1931 and April 16, 1931, with closing quotations on the latter date and on April 15, 1930. Close W heat H igh L ow A pril 16, 1931 A pril 15, 1930 $ .61*M{ $1.0454 July ..................... per bu..$ .62^4$ .5654 Sept. .................... “ .60H .56% .6 0 ^ , 1.0754 N o . 2 red winter “ .8 0 # ............ $ .80 @ .8 0 ^ $ 1 .1 6 ^ @ 1.17 N o. 2 hard.......... “ .81& .77 .81 @ .81J4 1.05 @ 1.0S& C°Mnay ....................... “ .6554 .59*6 .6 1 ^ July ...................... “ .6754 .6154 .6354 Sept......................... “ .6154 . 595? .6134 N o. 2 m ixed ........ “ .6354 .5954 .60 @ .61 N o. 2 w hite......... “ .64 .6054 .63 @ .64 Oats N o. 2 w hite......... “ .3454 .3254 .3 3 54 @ .3354 F lour Soft p atent.........per bbl. 5.65 4.90 .......................... Spring patent..... “ 4.50 4.20 4.20 @ 4.50 M iddling cotton....per lb. .10 .935 H ogs on h o o f........per cw t. 8.40 6.15 6.15 @ 7.75 .82 -8 4 ^ ............... .81 @ .81 54 .83 @ .84 .45 @ .4554 6.25 5.70 @ 6.50 @ 5.75 8.75 @ 10.15 FINANCIAL Except for slight changes, traceable to seasonal considerations, the same general trends in the bank ing and financial situation in this district which have been in operation since early in the year persisted during the past thirty days. Demand for credit for commercial and industrial purposes continued in relatively small volume; somewhat less than the usual seasonal requirements for agriculture were in evidence, and the tendency to augment the volume of funds in investment channels was even more marked than heretofore. Liquidation of commercial loans was in considerable volume, particularly in the large cities where banks supply accommodations to the boot and shoe, dry goods and other wholesal ing and jobbing lines with which April is an impor tant settlement month. Generally light inventories and reduced operations were reflected in a consider ably smaller demand from manufacturing interests than is usual at this time of year. Milling and grain interests further reduced their commitments, and be cause of the low price of wheat and small average flour stocks the volume of loans in this category is much below the average of recent years. Demand for credit for financing livestock operations was also below the seasonal volume. Contrary to the usual seasonal trend, deposits of the reporting member banks moved sharply up ward between March 11 and April 9, and on the latter date reached the highest point since February, 1929. Investments of these banks also moved rapid ly upward, continuing the increase which started last summer. The total of this item on April 9 was $211,465,000, the highest on record for that date, and represented an increase of 13.5 per cent and 37.0 per cent, respectively over a month and a year ear lier. Total loans decreased slightly, the moderate gain in “ all other loans” being offset by a decrease of approximately one-third in security loans. There was little change in the volume of borrowings by all member banks from the Federal reserve bank, but the average continued well below that for the same period last year and during the past decade. Reflecting abundant supplies of funds, and lim ited credit demands, interest rates eased slightly, reaching the lowest point on the present retrograde movement on certain classes of loans. Current quo tations at St. Louis banks were as follows: Prime commercial paper, 2^4 to 6 per cent; collateral loans, 4 to 5^2 per cent; loans secured by warehouse re ceipts, 3 to 5 per cent; interbank loans to 5y2 per cent and cattle loans 5y2 to 6 per cent. Condition of Banks — Loans and discounts of the reporting member banks on April 8, 1931 showed a decrease of 1.8 per cent as contrasted with March 11, 1931. Deposits increased 3.9 per cent between March 11, 1931 and April 8, 1931 and on the latter date were 4.6 per cent larger than on April 9, 1930. Composite statement follow s: *Apr. 8, 1931 N um ber of banks reporting.......... t25 Loans and discounts (incl. rediscounts) Secured by U . S. G ovt, obligations and by other stocks and bonds..$ 177,420 A ll other loans and discounts.... 273,741 *M ar. 11, 1931 t25 *A pr. 9, 1930 24 $188,401 270,869 $230,814 281,647 Total loans and discounts.................$451,161 Investments U . S. Governm ent securities...... 70,204 O ther securities............................... 141,261 $459,270 $512,461 45,869 140,490 37,805 116,524 T otal investments................................ $211,465 $186,359 Reserve balance with F. R . bank.. 47,250 44,735 Cash in vault......................................... 6,641 6,433 Deposits N et demand deposits..................... 385,525 378,654 Tim e deposits.................................. 247,055 239,259 ........................ Government deposits..................... 9,543 $154,329 45,439 5,599 380,305 231,215 2,178 T otal deposits.......................................$642,123 $617,913 $613,698 Bills payable and rediscounts with Federal Reserve Bank ................................. ................ 2,130 *In thousands (000 om itted ). tIncrease due to substitutions for closed banks. T hese 25 banks are located in St. L ouis, Louisville, M em phis, L ittle R ock , and Evansville, and their resources represent 52.6 per cent o f the resources o f all member banks in this district. Debits to Individual Accounts — The following table gives the total debits charged by banks to checking accounts, savings accounts, certificates of deposit accounts and trust accounts of individuals, firms, corporations and U. S. Government in leading cities of the district. Charges to accounts of banks are not included. El D orado, Evansville, Fort Smith, Greenville, A rk ..... In d..... Ark.... Miss.... Pme Bluff, Ark.!... Quincy, 111.............. **Texarkana A rk.-T ex.. *M ar. 1931 tl. > 28,950 5,083 21,752 9.444 3,550 28,732 144,099 109,695 5*367 6,807 7.753 616,583 3,642 14,000 $ 27,126 5,605 20,552 8,889 4,008 26,744 123,984 101,316 6,205 6,111 6,602 536,850 3,381 14,336 $ 40,994 7,404 27,686 13,589 5,249 49,413 181,365 162,689 7,064 10,013 13,453 736,277 4,587 15,983 9,264 9,813 14,042 *Feb. 1931 *Mar. 1930 Mar. 1931 com p, to Feb. 1931 M ar. 1930 + 6.7 % — 9.3 + 5.8 + 6.2 — 11.4 + 7.4 + 16.2 + 8.3 — 13.5 + 11.4 + 17.4 + 14.9 + 7.7 — 2.3 — 29.4% — 31.3 — 21.4 — 30.5 — 32.4 — 41.9 — 20.5 — 32.6 — 24.0 — 32.0 — 42.4 — 16.3 — 20.6 — 12.4 — 5.6 — 34.0 ,014,721 $901,522 $1,289,808 + 12.6 om itted ). **Includes one bank in Texarkana, T exa s not in Eighth District. — 21.3 Federal Reserve Operations — During March the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis discounted for 192 member banks against 185 in February and 206 in March 1930. The discount rate remained un changed at 3 per cent. Changes in the principal as sets and liabilities of this institution appear in the following table: Bills Bills U . S. *In thousands (000 om itted ). (Compiled April 23, 1931) *A pr. 17, 1931 .$ 7,978 . 9,635 . 23,899 *M ar. 17, 1931 $ 8,092 7,303 24,025 *A pr. 17, 1930 $13,791 12,139 19,268 .$41,512 . 76.450 . 76,865 $39,420 77,298 70,966 $45,198 78,808 77,446 , 78.0% 78.4% 77.3% BUSINESS CONDITIONS IN T H E U N ITED STATES PRODUCTION AND EMPLOYMENT — Industrial production increased 2 per cent further in March and the Federal Reserve Board’s seasonally adjusted index stood at 88 per cent of the 1923-1925 average, compared with 104 per cent in March, 1930. There was a considerable increase in daily average output of steel, which ordinarily shows lit tle change from February to March, while production of automobiles increased by about the usual seasonal percent age. Activity at cotton mills increased slightly, contrary to the ordinary seasonal movement, and there was a substan tial increase in output of shoes. In the first half of April, tentions to plant as reported March 1, indicate a considera ble reduction in spring, wheat acreage, and an increase in acreage to be planted to corn. DISTRIBUTION — Volume of freight-carloadings in creased seasonally in March and department store sales in creased during the Easter season by about the usual amount. PRICES — The general level of wholesale commodity prices continued to decline in March, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, reflecting chiefly reductions in the prices of petroleum products, bitumninous coal, and textile products. Prices of farm products increased slightly Indexes of the U nited States Bureau of L abor Statistics (1 9 2 6 = 1 0 0 ). Latest figures March, farm products, 70.6; nonagricultural, 75.6. steel mill activity declined. The number of men employed at factories increased between the middle of February and the middle of March by about the usual seasonal amount. In the iron and steel, and automobile industries somewhat larger than usual increases were shown, and at textile mills and shoe factories, where the number employed ordinarily declined in March, substantial increases in employment were reported. In the agricultural machinery and petroleum refining industries and at car building shops employment declined, contrary to the usual seasonal trend, and in the automobile tire, and fertilizer industries employment in creased less than usual. Volume of building contracts awarded in March increased considerably from February, according to the F. W. Dodge Corporation, reflecting in large part developments of a seasonal character. Contracts for residential building increased seasonably and were in and there was a substantial advance in the price of hides. In the first half of April prices of many commodities, in cluding cattle, cotton, rubber, and coffee, declined while, the price of wheat advanced. BANK CREDIT — Loans and investments of member banks in leading cities, which had increased in the middle of March as the result of treasury operations, showed a de cline for every week between March 18 and April 8, but on the latter date were still $270,000,000 larger than four weeks earlier. Investment holdings of these banks were at a new high figure on April 8, owing largely to an increase in their holdings of United States Government obligations, while loans on securities as well as all other loans showed a decline for the four week period. Volume of reserve bank credit has fluctuated since the middle of February around a level of $925,000,000. Continued imports of gold, depos ited by member banks with the reserve banks, have provided Federal R eserve B oard’ s index of fa ctory employment with adjustment for seasonal variation. (1923-1925 a v e r a g e s 100). Latest figure, M arch, 77.9. M onthly averages of w eekly figures for reporting m em ber banks in lead ing cities. Latest figures are averages o f first three w eeks in April. public works and utilities rose to the high level of March, 1930. AGRICULTURE — Definite improvement to moisture conditions in the drought area was an important develop ment in March and the first week of April. Supplies of moisture in the topsoil have been replenished, but the sub soil continued to be dry in certain areas particularly in the spring wheat belt. Department of agriculture estimates, based on April 1 conditions, indicate a winter wheat crop of 644,000,000 bushels, about 100,000,000 bushels larger than the five-year average and 40,000,000 more than last year. In the member banks with sufficient funds to meet an increase in the demand for currency. United States Government security holdings of the reserve banks have remained at the level of $600,000,000, established last summer, while dis counts for member banks have continued to decline, and holdings of purchased acceptances have fluctuated in re sponse to temporary changes in the demand for reserve bank credit. Money rates showed little change from the middle of March to the middle of April. Rates on commer cial paper declined further from a prevailing rate of 2^2 per cent to a range of 2 ^ -2 ^ per cent, while bond yields increased slightly.