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Federal Reserve Bank of Da1Ias -- 9 I Iy 74 ;; I ) I Business Review I ~~-0~~ ~ (fA ~I . A ·1·~ A October f ~ 1975 ~i (I , District AgrlC. uIture- ~ II' ~ \ iL \ ~r.~ " /~'\\ l _ Sugar Production in Texas Valley Regains Competitive Advantage )~ Unemployment- ~~ Recession Has Less Impact ... In Southwest Than in Nation This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) I I D' . lstnct Agriculture- l f I( SUgar Production in Texas Valley Regains Competitive Advantage I I J r I I I I I I --With th . last e run-up In sugar prices b· Year, sugar producers in the ~"lO Gr d ized h an e Valley of Texas realtelll uge profits. Holders of a Souf~rarilY scarce commodity, 1974 7Texas sugar fanners in the $60 -.5 .season grossed about 29 OguOIlion from a harvest of acres. indu~~t s~ason was the Valley sugar after ry s second year of operation inact'~ore than five decades of crop ~Vl~. Thus, sugar-a dominant cent III outh T~xas early in this Unp ury-has agam become an far~rtant cash crop for Valley ers. And although sugar prices i .......... Deficits' 7 I In Sugar production ... .9 MILLION SHORT TONS _ _ __ 7.6 _ 7.3 _ 7.0 _ .... 1.5 _ ANNUAL DEFICIT . . :!.o_ .... :!.s SOUR -r-r--,-..--,--'-T"'__'69 CE: Us '70 '71 '72 '73 , '74 . . Department of Agriculture ............... ~~.~--------------ltless Review I October 1975 have fallen from historic highs last year, income prospects remain promising nevertheless. Revival of the sugar industry in the 1973-74 season climaxed over ten years of efforts to replace and diversify crops that were becoming less profitable. Over time, the competitive advantage of other crops had been eroded by such factors as changes in immigration policies and labor costs, problems with the natural environmentfreezes and drouth, for exampleand an inability to mechanize operations. In a sense, agriculture in the Rio Grande Valley has come full circle . As production of other crops has become less profitable, Valley fanners have again turned to sugar production to bolster incomes. Industry declines, •• Historians date production of sugar in the rich delta land of the Rio Grande Valley as early as 1830. And they cite the sugar industry as a determining factor in the settlement of South Texas. Sugar production in the Valley of Texas was thriving at the beginning of this century. Railroad lines were completed to Brownsville in 1904, linking the industry with markets in other areas of the country. With increased outlets for its harvest, the sugar industry grew rapidly. By 1913, five major mills were producing sugar in South Texas . But in the same year, the domestic :p1arket chang~d radically. Passage of the Underwood Tariff eased restrictions on imports of raw sugar, and, as a result, foreign sugar poured into the U.S. market . Sugar prices fell sharply-to less than 1 cent a pound in 1922. Profits evaporated, and sugar production in the Texas Valley ceased. The decline in profitability of sugar production increased the attractiveness of producing other crops. A long growing season in the Texas Valley-330 frost-free days, on average-afforded a competitive advantage to the production of citrus and winter vegetables. Factors that had boosted sugar production also boosted output of other crops in the 1920's. Inexpensive labor was abundant, since Valley farmers could hire either farm laborers that were Valley . .. fuel dramatic rise in prices 30 CENTS PER POUND - - - . . , . . - - 25- 20- 15 - 10 - ", 5- ........... "" 1,,1"'" " "" """ WORLD PRICE O--r,-"r-,,--,,--r,-.-'69 '70 '71 '72 '73 '74 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Agriculture 1 residents or illegal aliens looking for agricultural work. Too, railroads provided citrus and winter vegetable producers access to national markets for their crops. A glutted domestic market, combined with competitive advantages for other crops, therefore, effectively ended sugar production in the Valley. In 1934, when the United States attempted to stabilize the sugar market through the passage of the original Sugar Act, Texas received no consideration for an allotment. • • • lies dormant ••• Crop production in the Valley in following decades reflected these changing competitive advantages. Citrus and winter vegetables became the primary cash crops in the 1930's, accounting for over half of total farm sales in 1939. Reflecting the postwar boom in the apparel industry, cotton became the leader in cash receipts in the 1940's. Demand for cotton for domestic and export use was high, and the Government's pricesupport program, initiated during the Depression, continued after World War II. By the midsixties, grain sorghum had joined cotton as a leading cash crop. Large quantities of grain were needed to support the burgeoning Texas cattle feeding industry. And production costs were lower for grain sorghum than for most other crops. Cotton and grain sorghum, together, accounted for 48 percent of total farm sales in 1969. Meanwhile, competitive advantages for production of citrus and winter vegetables had dwindled . Citrus production was hit hard by almost back-to-back freezes in 1949 and 1951. And rather than making the necessarily large reinvestment in new groves, many growers opted for producing other crops. The citrus industry was rocked by another hard freeze in 1962. By then, orchards had become rife with low-yielding trees, curtailing profits. And competition from other areas, especially Florida, was dampening sales of Valley citrus products. Production of winter vegetables was also constrained in the early 1960's. Less expensive foreign imports-primarily from Mexicowere making inroads on established markets. And consumer preference for fresh vegetables waS gradually deteriorating. But, in the main, the inability to mechanize harvesting of citrus and winter vegetables led to a shift away froIll these crops. The harvesting of crops by hand was predominant in the Rio Grande Valley through the midfifties. However, the bracero program that was enacted in 1954 . sought to control the flow of MeVcan agricultural labor into the United States. And a provision of the new program guaranteed S bracero workers the minimum V. . wage. This, in effect, drove up labor costs and induced .valley farmers to mechanize operationB. Termination of the bracero program in 1964 further reduced the number of available farm workers, encouraging mechanization to Ii greater extent. Consequently, Valley farmers shifted acreage Shifts in Valley farm production reflect changing markets 1,200 THOUSAND ACRES - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SUGAR VEGETABLES CITRUS GRAIN COTTON o 1940 1945 1949 1954 1959 1964 1969 1974 SOURCES: Texas Department of Agriculture U.S. Department of Agriculture , -------------------------------------------------------------------~ 2 from ' t cltrus and winter vegetables o cotton and grain sorghum rops better suited to mechaclcal arvesting C . See tott?n producers also began to in hen profits squeezed. Steady ar~fea~es in the substitution of in ficlal fibers for cotton in clotha ~ and textiles during the 1950's t! ;:60's created a surplus of cotac' nd under the Government's alIr~age control program, cotton d 0 ments to the Valley steadily c:~:eased. This program, also a tried~ver from the Depression era, to l'n °k match production quotas •....ar et demand Atb . broke est, ~otton farmers merely those eVen lU some crop years. In lar Years, any profit stemmed (wt~ly from subsidy payments in l~~~)subsequentlY were ended on . adva ~alance, then, competitive di~ ages of several other crops lookin shed. And Valley farmers, So g for new-and betterf' to urces su 0 lUcome, were attracted gar production again. h ( I ~ • and then revives re~:. farmers began thinking of diplolUlUf Sugar production after Were a lC relations with Cuba long bevered in 1960. Cuba had fo rel' een the nation's leading gn sup Ii Cent of II Per, producing 35 perUnited a Sugar consumed in the Cent· States in 1959 and 26 perV lU 1960. sho~~6 farm~rs believed they of the ellconsldered for a portion Cubanrea ocation of the huge interestq~o.ta, Moreover, they were to'offsete lU pr?ducing sugar dolUest , perenlllal shortfalls in consl'd lC production. Puerto Rico ered ff ' Producer han 0 .shore domestic qUota for' ad failed to meet its faU was 19,Years, but its shortforeign routinely reassigned to two fa ~r~ducers. Based on these SUgar c ,lUterest in producing Valley~as regenerated among armers. !lUs' Iness It . evtew I October 1975 By the midsixties, Valley farmton allotment for raw sugar beginers were experimenting to find the ning in 1973. Farmers immediately best source of sugar-beets, cane, began gearing up for production. or sweet sorghum. In the main, Sugarcane is a perennial crop research efforts centered on sugar that requires 50 to 60 inches of beets and sugarcane. irrigation water a year in the Research showed, however, that Valley. Thus, farmers had to conproduction of sugar beets was illvert irrigated acreage on which advised. Valley farmers concencotton, grain, and vegetables had trated their efforts on sugarcane. been grown a year earlier. Congressional hearings on It is estimated that almost extending the Sugar Act-which 11,500 acres of cotton were conentailed review of production vened and a like acreage of grain sorghum. Winter vegetables quotas-were scheduled for 1971. In preparing a formal application accounted for the remaining acreage, as little if any citrus acreage for a quota at the hearings, Valley farmers financed a feasibility study was converted, A total of 25,700 acres was planted to sugarcane of sugarcane production that was in 1973. completed in 1970. The revitalized sugar industry Results showed that sugarcane would tolerate the winter tempera- centers around a sugar-processing tures and high salinity of irrigation mill established at Santa Rosa, a small community near Harlingen. water in South Texas. Moreover, the report predicted that-based on The plant employs 200 people full time and an additional 1,200 durassumed costs of 8 cents a pound for raw sugar and 15 cents a gallon ing harvest in the fall. Production in the first season for molasses-net returns to sugarwas severely damaged by a hard cane growers would average $334 freeze in December 1973. Almost a an acre, considerably higher than of the 25,700-acre crop was third net returns on other crops. With the extension of the Sugar destroyed, and, consequently, the net return to the farmers Act, Texas was given a 100,000- Before the Sugar Act expired in late 1974, less than a fifth of sugar production was traded in the free market 100 MILLION METRIC TONS 80 60 - - 16 PERCENT :., . .: ~ .: .: 14 - WORLD PRODUCTION 20 0 '69 "" '## ~ , ~ 40 - '## ....... $ $ .,.. 12 !:REE MARKET'S $ SHARE OF WORLD PRODUCTION SUGAR TRADED IN FREE MARKET - '70 '71 '72 '73 '74 '75 '69 '70 '71 '72 '73 '74 SOURCE: U.S, Department of Agriculture 3 approached the break-even point. If grain and cotton had been planted, harvesting would have been completed before the freeze and the farmers would have made a profit. The scenario was dramatically reversed in the 1974-75 season. Sugar prices rose sharply, and Valley farmers reaped large profits. With over 29,000 acres in sugarcane by then, producers netted about $980 an acre. Data indicate that, overall, they netted approximately $28.4 million. Ratio of stocks to consumption dips under 25 percent, exerting extreme upward pressure on prices 90 MILLION METRIC TONS - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 80 70 - 60 50 40 - Prices rocket The sharply higher prices for sugar last year reflected not only world39 PERCENT - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - wide shortfalls in production but also the nature of the domestic and 33 world markets. Before the Sugar Act was permitted to expire late last year, the 27 ... ... 25 .. , .. , .. .. ... ............. .. ...... " .. .. , .. .. .... .. U.S. sugar market operated under a system of preferential trade 21 agreements whereby foreign and domestic producers were allocated output quotas. Reliance on foreign 15 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I , '1' 1' 'I 1 1 I 1 ,supplies always has been high. For '53 '55 '57 '59 '61 '63 '65 '67 '69 '71 '73 '75 example, imports accounted for YEARS BEGINNING MAY 1 51.4 percent of U.S. consumption SOURCE: U.S. Department of Agriculture in 1974. But several foreign suppliers either refused or were unable to meet assigned quotas last year. demand were adjusted downward. With about 10 percent of the U.S. on the free market price unless By mid-September 1975, the NeW quota unfilled, domestic refiners stocks fall below 25 percent of York spot price was down to 18 were forced to purchase sugar in expected consumption. But world consumption has outpaced produc- cents a pound. the free world market. The nature of the domestic mar' The large purchases by refiners tion in recent years, pushing the ratio of world stocks to consumpket changed markedly when the in the United States and several other countries overtaxed the thin tion down to 19.2 percent last year. Sugar Act expired and quota aUo,! cations ended. Beginning this yea, Consequently, the free market free world market. Since only 14 percent of world sugar is traded in price soared. The New York spot the United States will purcha~fie rs t the open market-86 percent is price averaged 30 cents a pound in sugar in the free market on a I 1974-compared with 8 cents a come, first served" basis. either consumed domestically or traded under preferential agreepound in 1970-peaking at 64.5 Outlook good ments-excess demand exerts cents a pound in November. Expansion of the sugar industrY ill After that, prices dropped extreme upward pressures on free the Valley would not necessitate rapidly as large industrial users market prices. switched to other sweeteners, con- capital spending in the short ruIl, Excess demand can usually be sumer resistance peaked, estimates since the mill at Santa Rosa ca~OO accommodated by drawing down existing stocks. As a rule of thumb, of world supply were adjusted accommodate the outpat of 10, IlO more acres of sugarcane. As yet, upward, and estimates of world upward pressures do not impact 4 ca 't ul p~ al expansion has been schedquestions on the h e .. Several borIZO f n WI'11 need to be answered eNre any such steps are taken. h Ow that quota restrictions a:v~ been removed, Valley farmers E e ree to expand production thxperts, though, cannot agre~ on Stettyp e of sugar policy the United be a es should pursue. There have of ~h calls for the reinstatement ad e Sugar Act, but opponents SU v~cate a ~otally free market for r in r, argumg that it would result OWer prices I \VatE'It~er way, .Congress will be Ply ~~mg bo~h prices and the supThe Sugar m the world market. dOlll~~ount of protection afforded IC producers and the assuranc to e 0 a relatively stable price cO~s~ndsumers will be carefully I ered. Que t· regarilinlOns h.ave also been posed tio n ' g the llnpact of a resumpthin: tr~de with Cuba. Current still b ng IS that active trading may ently e a long way off. Cuba presits s eXports about 70 percent of agreUgar under preferential trade and e~ents with the Soviet Union Euroo er countries in Eastern lJ S pe. Cuban sugar entering the to. h·lllarket would not be expected . llnpact . sUchaVe. a dep ressmg under E c~rcumstances. . by thnVIronm T en t aI questIOns posed Boar; c eXas ~ir Quality Control SUgar oncernmg the burning of haVe ~~~e fields before harvest will crop c resolved. Before the vesteda~ .e mec?anically harthe st 'lkhIck folIage surrounding becau:e ~ mU,st be burned off. But ~shes, th UrUlng produces residual tnvestiga~,re~la!ory agency is standa d mg ItS llnpact on air I f I i now lie idle five to six months a year. At present, sugarcane is ground from November to May, and the processing of sorghum would extend operation of the mill from July through October. For the present, stocks remain at historically low levels. Raw sugar prices more closely reflect the realistic balance between world demand and production. Inflation, however, has driven up production costs, and Valley growers now need a raw sugar price of approximately 18 cents a pound to assure an adequate return. On balance, nevertheless, the outlook for the sugar industry in the Rio Grande Valley appears bright. But as history has clearly shown, the industry will be viable only as long as a competitive advantage is maintained over other crops. -Michael J. Minihan* *Economist, San Antonio Branch, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas b V r s. rese:6' farmers are continuing tion. Effoefforts on sugar producon extra ;~s have mainly centered s\Veet s c Ing quality sugar from of Suga~rghum. If viable, this form better production would afford USe of milling facilities that nUs' tness neVIew . I October 1975 5 llnenaploynaent- Recession Has Less Impact In Southwest Than in Nation The recession cut deeply into the nation's labor market. Not since the Depression years of the 1930's had the unemployment rate risen so high. But with recovery underway, demand for labor has firmed, as evidenced by the rise in employment since May. Most analysts are forecasting a moderate decline in the unemployment rate as economic activity picks up. While aggregate statistics portray a substantial decline in the demand for labor in the past two years, employment in some areas of the country fared better than in the nation as a whole. The Southwest was one such area. During the softening in business activity, the unemployment rate for the nation rose, on a seasonally adjusted basis, from 4.6 percent in October 1973 to 9.2 percent last May and stood at 8.4 percent in August. By contrast, the unemployment rate for the five states of the Eleventh Federal Reserve District climbed from a low of 4.1 percent in February 1973 to 7.4 percent last May. But this rate fell to 6.9 percent in June before edging up to 7.0 percent in July. Two factors have been primarily responsible for the smaller overall rise in unemployment in these southwestern states. One is the composition of the labor marketemployment in manufacturing represents a smaller percentage of total nonagricultural employment in the Southwest than in the nation. Late in developing in the Southwest, manufacturing accounts for about a sixth of nonagricultural employment in the five southwestern states, compared with a fourth in the nation. This smaller man6 ufacturing base has spared the Southwest wide swings in unemployment that other areas have experienced. Manufacturing employment fluctuates cyclically in the Southwest. But service-producing jobs stabilize labor markets in the Southwest during periods of economic recession. Wholesale and retail trade accounts for the highest percentage of nonagricultural employment-nearly a fourth. Government and services are the next largest employment categories. Unemployment in the Southwest is also held down by rapid economic growth. Such factors as an expanding population, better weather, less congestion, and available energy supplies have attracted many new firms. In turn, businesses already established here have prospered. This growth in business has led to increased investment in the Southwest, which has provided a stream of new employment opportunities. For example, Texas continues to be one of the leading states in attracting business capital. New capital expenditures by manufacturers in the state have exceeded $1.4 billion a year since 1968. Louisiana has also attracted a large amount of capital spending by business. Rise in unemployment rates The last cyclical low in the unemployment rates for both the nation and the Southwest occurred in 1973. The unemployment rate for the nation averaged 4.9 percent that year, after touching a seasonally adjusted 4.6 percent in October. By contrast, the unemployment rate in the southwestern states averaged 4.4 percent in 1973, after dropping to a low of 4.1 percent, seasonally adjusted, in February. The unemployment rates for both the nation and the Southwest climbed steadily as the recession deepened. Nationwide, the uneIIlployment rate edged up slowly from the October 1973 low until September 1974. But after September, the rise in the jobless rate accelerated sharply. . A similar pattern developed 111 the southwestern states. UneIIlployment held at a seasonallY adjusted rate of 4.8 percent for much of 1974 before beginning a pronounced upswing in N oveIIlb er. Within the Southwest, the t unemployment rate increased rn~ rapidly in Arizona, rising from 3. percent in July 1973 to nearly 12 percent in June 1975. Job loss~s were largely related to layoffs 111 construction and manufacturing. Significant advances were also d reported for Texas, Oklahoma, ~h New Mexico. For Louisiana, whic usually has the highest uneIIlpl~h ment rate of the five states, gro in the unemployment rate wa~ modest throughout the recess~on. The rise in unemployment 111 the nation and the Southwest hIlS had both similar and contrasting characteristics. In both, expan- s sion in the civilian labor force W8 S fairly steady in the past 2 % y~ar I although the Southwest experIenced a marked increase in the .{ work force in the last half of 197~ . The hi~her unemploym~nt r8 ine In the natIon reflected a bIg d,fcl tal in the number of jobholders. _1~ d employment in the nation pe~_ at a seasonally adjusted 86.4 d lion workers in July 1974, edge ::n through October, and then Rate of unemployment has been lower b pped sharply to 83.8 milli in Southwest than in nation ... y March 1975 S. on eVer . mce then, how10PERCENT--------------------------------------85.4,=loyment has grown to r (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) elnplo on. ~y contrast, total stat .Ylnent m the southwestern 9lion es leveled off at about 8.6 milstoo;o~kers in October 1974 and 8Thea 8.~ million in July. lnen decline in total employof la~otogether with the inability 7the' r markets to accommodate forc~1r~ases in the civilian labor 6Plo~ e to a ~uch higher unemin th ent rate In the nation than that Southwest. It is also likely SOUTHWEST rural ecause the region's large lnan se~tor was able to absorb the Js~.slocated urban workers, 4-r.-=~--------r------------r----------~~ 1975 1974 1973 in the S: ~nemployment statistics u west was dampened. SOURCES: State employment agencies U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 'l'he Weakn • 'l'\...ess In employment ••. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas ... wo elllpl accOuntedoyment categories in lln8lll I for much of the increase South p o.Ylnent in both the The steep decline in manufacstructfest and the nation. Conbiggest number of construction turing employment in the nation first to employment was the jobs of any southwestern state. also began last fall. By July this decJin Xpel'lence a substantial The sharp rise in the unemploybe~~ T~en, when the recession ment rate in the Southwest would year, 2.1 million manufacturing jobs had been lost to the recession ufacturi WI espread last fall, manhave been even worse if, as in prefor a 10-percent decline. The bigfall off ng .employment began to vious recessions, deterioration of l;l rapIdly. gest decline-12.6 percent-in the labor markets had not been cush.l!Ilnplo.Yln t· of manufacturing jobs was number structi . en m contract conioned by the smaller role played by in durable goods industries. CYclical~In t~e nation reached a manufacturing employment. The Employment in nondurable had ret gh In February 1974 and deterioration from the July 1974 goods industries had fallen 8.5 perbelow theated to a level a fifth peak was slow at first. By Novemcent by last March. The demand advanc' e ~eak by last July before ber, however, the recession· was for labor in nondurable goods mansteady Ing In August. While not as readily apparent, and manufacufacturing began firming in April, decreasas.the national decline the turers began making large-scale but it was not until August that lnent inet~n construction empioyreductions in their work forces. employment in durable goods manhas, nev ~southwestern states The number of jobholders in ufacturing picked up. In July ~~ eless, been severe. manufacturing, which provides As in the nation, many durable fewer c ' ere were 12 percent about one job in six in the Southgoods manufacturers in the SouthJanua;nstruction jobs than in west, declined 6.5 percent between west were hard hit by the recesIn t 1974. October 1974 and June 1975. erllls f sion. Significant job losses were COnstruct' 0 number of jobs lost Employment in durable goods depressed' IOn TempIoyment was most ' reported for lumber and wood manufacturing declined 55,100, products, furniture and fixtures, cant bec In exas. That is signifi- or 7.4 percent. The reduction in primary and fabricated metals, ~early 6~use the state accounts for employment in industries producelectrical machinery, and stone, tlon jobs percent of all construcing nondurable goods, however, OkIaholll~n the five-state area. was smaller-32,600, or 5.7 percent. clay, and glass products. In contrast to the rising unemdecline' also suffered from the Employment in both durable and ployment in durable goods mancentage~ constru~tion, but in per- nondurable goods manufacturing ufacturing overall, employment in 11 lllls, Al'lzona lost the rose in July 1975. Uain ess It . ( b 0: eView I October 1975 7 ... although rates have varied widely from state to state 8 PERCENT TEXAS 6- 42 8 PERCENT OKLAHOMA 642 9 PERCENT NEW MEXICO 75 9 PERCENT 75 12 PERCENT 10 8- 6- 42 1973 1974 SOURCES: State employment agencies Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (seasonal adjustment) 8 1975 transportation equipment manufacturing, which experienced widespread layoffs in the auto industry nationwide, was fairly stable in the Southwest. This was due to the composition of the industry here. With only one auto assembly plant located in the Southwest, much of its transportation equipment industry-particularly in Texas-produces aircraft and asSOciated equipment. And this production has been stable and should expand, since one producer won a major contract for the manufacture of fighter planes. The deterioration of employment in many durable goods industries has been partially offset by increased hiring of workers in energy-related industries. PriInarily because of efforts to expand exploration and production to meet growing energy needs, emploYment in mining-a major indust~Y in the Southwest-rose steadilY Jll 1973 and 1974, especially in the Permian Basin. The boom in mining led sup- . pliers of oil field equipment to hire new workers to satisfy increased demand for their specialized products. As a result, the number of jobs in oil field machinery manufacturing grew 17 percent. Even with the sharp rise in . employment in mining and the oil field equipment industries, sornt jobs could not be filled. Demand or workers with special skills-welders and machinists, for example-was so strong that many firms tried to hire workers from depressed areas, such as Detroit. But the rs increase in the demand for wo rke in the energy-related fields was not enough to offset the overall decline in employment in durable goods manufacturing. Employment in nondurable goods manufacturing fell less .th~~ in the durable goods sector. SIgn icant job losses were reported for paper and allied products, petro- -lelUn and and ki dr coal products, and food B n ed products. dec! ~t the biggest employment due Ine fOl' ~ondurable goods pror ers Was In the textile and app arel' d Apr'II In ustries. Job losses from 10 pl 974 to March 1975 exceeded Wer ercent in the Southwest and WO:k~ve~ larger nationwide. 85 p rs In these industries-about tiII ercent of which are womentu~ea~ly a tenth of all manufacDe! J?bs in Texas, for example. tnent 'plte the big falloff in employI of theI~ thes~ two industries, one SOuth rst SIgns of firming in appeawest;rn labor markets appar:;d In bot~ textile and COIn Ie pr~du?tIo~ last spring. tOrie~ b te liquIdatIOn of invenducers : .nondurable goods prodetnand tllnulated the renewed that h for Workers-a situation durabl~s not y~t developed in some tnajor gooI ds Industries that are elUp oyers. I I ( I are in retailing, and a fourth in wholesaling. The generally stronger economy of the Southwest bolstered the number of trade jobs throughout the recession. Some weakness was noted, however, last winter. As was the case throughout the country, retailers and, to a lesser extent, wholesalers in the Southwest pared their work forces during the slim Christmas buying season. The cutbacks were minimal, however, and renewed vigor in sales early this year led to a resumption in hirings. Government provides the second largest number of jobs in the service-producing sector. And about four-fifths of these jobs are at the state and local levels. Although the number of government jobs also trended upward during the recession, virtually all the gain occurred at the state and local levels. Employment in the services category was little affected by the recession. The number of service jobs peaked last March, but the decline since then has been small. Gains in medical and other health services have been a major source of strength. Employment in the finance, insurance, and real estate category held up during the recession. Although-some weakness developed last spring, renewed growth was noted in July. The weakest of the serviceproducing categories has been transportation and public utilities, where employment peaked at mid1974. A significant number of job Decline in total employment ••• and the strength less severe for Southwest than for nation 1'he strength . 95 MILLION - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - In labor markets in the So th (SEASONALL Y ADJUSTED) servo u west has been in the lee-Prod . CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE ._ .............. . ,',." nonIn UCIng categories of , ,., .... ' Acco~n,!facturing employment. 90, UNITED STATES fOurth tIng for nearly three, ' eInplo s of total nonagricultural group[~ent, these occupation 85 EMPLOYMENT "ices fi rade, government, ser( ance and pUbt ! ~~d transportation I grow eVe c .utIlitIes-have tended to 80turns' n In the face of down~ etnPIo~n the business cycle. Their 9.5?tfset t~ent ~row~h has more than ,~'_,_'_,. Ing eInpl declInes In manufacturCIVILIAN LABOR FORCE " , .. 1'he °yment. 9.0 _ ,.SOUTHWEST groups nUmbe d r 0 f workers in these ,.",_ ...as in lU oes not fluctuate as widely ,.. , etnplo anufacturing. In fact h YlUent . , 8.5 as grown .In these categories EMPLOYMENT Years. faIrly steadily in recent 1'r ade is th the Servo e largest employer in 8.0 1975 1974 1973 aCCOUnti~e-producing sector, ~Ourth of g for apprOximately a SOURCES: State employment agencies U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics In the so all nonagricultural jobs Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas three'fou~~hwestern states. About hs of the trade jobs .,'" .. , ..... ........ ..... ..... I I I ......... ........ ........,. .. ', I I nUs'lt1ess R . eVlew I October 1975 9 -losses occurred in the first half of this year in the communications industry, and several hundred railroad employees were laid off. Despite the few isolated areas of weakness, the service-producing categories added more than 262,000 workers to their payrolls for a 4-percent increase in the past two years. By contrast, manufacturing employment declined 2.5 percent, or 32,000 workers. Importance of growth Strong economic growth in urban areas of the Southwest has also helped dampen the rise in unemployment in the region. For example, in Houston, where increased demand for energy-related goods and services has spurred growth, the unemployment rate was 4.6 percent in July-well below the rates for the state, the region, and the nation. At one time, much of the growth in Houston was related to the development of national markets. But in recent years, Houston has become a major exporter of goodsr and services in world markets. \ This latest development has been the source of much of the recent economic growth and has provided a large number of new job opportunities. The development of Houston, as well as the Southwest as a whole, can be traced to many factors. But several may be key for the Southwest. And although they may be identified separately, they work simultaneously and in harmony with each other. First, population growth in the Southwest has been rapid, exceeding that for the nation. From 1963 to 1973, the last ten-year period for which data are available, the population of the five-state area rose 14.6 percent, compared with 11.3 percent nationwide. Much of this growth has been an in-migration in response to employment opportunities avail10 able here. The inflow of workers to primary industries has generated demand for additional goods and services. That, in turn, has stimulated the growth of secondary and tertiary industries. And the development of these industries has created a demand for even more workers. The second key factor is the location of many "growth" industries in the Southwest. The most important is the petroleum industry, especially since the Arab oil embargo. Until the energy crisis, this industry was largely national in scope, but, now, much of its growth comes from supplying both goods and services in international markets. With the development of energy resources, other major industries have germinated and expanded. Among these are chemicals, primary and fabricated metals, transportation and public utilities, and finance. With the growth in population , and business, the Southwest has I been able to attract and invest the capital necessary to expand. Texas has long been a leading state in capital expenditures, even topping all other states in capital expenditures for manufacturing in 1971. These and other factors-including climate, lower taxes, and less urban congestion-should continue to attract business to the Southwest. And with continued growth likely, the unemployment rate should remain well below the national average. -Edward L. McClelland New member banks Continental National Bank, San Antonio, Texas, a newly organized institution ~cated in the territory served by the San Antonio Branch of the Federal Reserve f I J Rank of Dallas, opened for business September 2, 1975, as a member of the Federal eserve System. The new member bank opened with capital of $635,512, surplus of $?35,512, and undivided profits of $317,756. The officers are: Pete D. Cruz, Chru:znan of the Board; John Taylor, President; and J. Ernest Rodriguez, Vice PreSldent and Cashier. Nat~onal Security Bank, Tyler, Texas, a newly organized institution located in the terrltory served by the Head Office of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, opened for business September 2, 1975, as a member of the Federal Reserve System. The new. member bank opened with capital of $500,000, surplus of $250,000, and undivided profits of $250,000. The officers are: Ernest S. Sterling, Chairman of the Board; Robert L. Davis, President and Chief Executive Officer; and William Carroll Rigg, Vice President and Cashier. Colonial National Bank Houston Texas a newly organized institution located in the territory served by the Houst~n Bra~ch of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, opened for business September 16, 1975, as a member of the Federal Reserve System. The new member bank opened with capital of $400,000, surplu~ of $40~,000, and undivided profits of $200,000. The officers are: Jerry E. F!Dger, Chamnan of the Board; C. B. Silverthorne, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Robert J. Kramer, Vice President and Cashier. State Bank of East Fort Worth, Fort Worth, Texas, located in the territory served by the Head Office of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, became a member of the Federal Reserve System on September 22,1975. The new member bank, which was organized in 1951, has capital of $1,000,000, capital debentures of $120,000, surplus of $1,000,000, undivided profits of $1,066,000, and total resources of $4.0,345,000. The officers are: Irby G. Metcalf, Jr., Chail;nan ?f the ~oard; Michael C. Stinson, President; Bobby J. Cooper, Executive VlCe Presldent; Barry G. Smith, Senior Vice President· Ed Corzine, Vice President; James E. H.errington, Vice President; W. B. Featherston, Vice President; Martin A. Turner, Vlce PreSident; and Gary W. Shipp, Cashier. ~---------------------------------------------------------- ~Ils'Utess n . eVlew I October 1975 11 New par banks Gessner Southwest Bank and Trust, Houston, Texas, a newly organized insured nonmember bank located in the territory served by the Houston Branch of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, opened for business August 28, 1975, remitting at par. The officers are: Orville W. Crowder, President; M. Bing Wu, Inactive Vice President; Richard Chofiell, Assistant Vice President; and Vera Garcia, Cashier~ Southwest Bank, San Angelo, Texas, a newly organized insured nonmember bank located in the territory served by the Head Office of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, opened for business September 9, 1975, remitting at par. The officers are: Edward H. Holmes, President, and Nancy Crisp, Cashier. City Bank and Trust Company, Natchitoches, Louisiana, an insured nonmember bank located in the territory served by the Head Office of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, and its Campti Branch, Campti, Louisiana, began remitting at par September 10, 1975. The officers are: J. E. Pierson, President; Joe H. Pierson, Executive Vice President; H. H. Bernard, Vice President; J. S. Mitchell, Vice President; and Ludlow N. McNeely, Cashier. 12 " I I I I Research Department Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Station K, Dallas, Texas 75222 Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas October 1975 I Stat·IstlCal · Supplement to the Business Review --- Sh' th:pments of grain stemming from do not quit jobs unless they feel the capability of loading five ships Dn' recent United States-Soviet that chances are good for getting simultaneously at a rate of 300,000 Sll} IOn sale are expected to move positions offering higher wages or bushels an hour, the port can is i~~hlY through Texas ports. This handle the increased level of grain better working conditions. The quit rate in Houston in June Portat .arked contrast to transshipments. was up 25 percent over its 1975 low after t~on bottlenecks that occurred e 1972 grain sale. in February. Quit rates in DallasThe labor market for production A.t I Fort Worth and San Antonio were cars hthat d tim e, a sh ortage of rall. workers in Texas continues to also higher in June. of th a ~eveloped, as a large share improve. Manufacturing employbein e natIon's rolling stock was The average workweek in manument in the state rose in August, . d us trIal . prodfacturing in Texas, seasonally Ucts gBused to. m ove m the second consecutive month of . ut this year, WIt . h economic adjusted, has also advanced. In recover' increase. Before turning upward in August, production workers averPlent y Ju~t underway, there are July, the number of jobholders in y of raIl cars available aged a 40.9-hour workweek, up over manufacturing hd declined for six A.Is o ' . the 40.4-hour average a month Year ,gram movements three consecutive months. before, and well above the 1975 low arriv:fg~ re h~mpered when the Barometers of future strength in of 39.7 hours in February. With ra~ s .ps ~d not coincide manufacturing employment indiage of dehverIes of grain. A short- cate this trend will likely continue. Other highlights: a qUict~rt storage areas prevented Data on manufacturing labor turn• Paced by sharp gains in total 1'his urnaround of grain cars. over-the rate at which workers loans and in holdings of municipal arran ,Year, grain dealers are separate from old jobs and acquire securities, total bank credit at POrt c~g sc?edules to minimize new ones-for the four largest weekly reporting banks in the Elevearll}ar~gestIon. Much of the grain metropolitan areas in Texas show enth District increased substanstored' ed for Russia is being that total worker accessions have M'd tially more in the four weeks ended advanced while separations have Illoved m t the. 1 west before being September 17 than in comparable Ship a .0 port m coordination with declined. Moreover, two key coml' rrlVals. periods of the past five years. ponents of the total separation here ap However, for the first time since to handl pears to be ample ships rate-the quit rate, which reflects October 1974, banks reduced their el(Ports ;~he expected volume of the number of workers leaving jobs holdings of Government securities. tanke' e oversupply of oil voluntarily, and the layoff rate, Most of the increase in total be conr~, many of which can easily which reflects involuntary separaloans resulted from sizable gains in aUg"" erted to carry grain has tions-have been improving. ·"en ted th '. ' loans to nonbank financial instituBy June, the layoff rate for CargO shi s e ex~t~g supply of tions and security loans. Real l'ate hik ~ . In addItIon, the recent Dallas-Fort Worth was a third of estate loans also advanced notably. D.S. Me. ~r grain shipments by the the January figure, an indication Demand for business loans el(pectea:~t~e Administration is that manufacturers are no longer remained sluggish in September. fil'llls t 0 mduce more American reducing work forces. The layoff However, loan demand by the lllarketO enter the grain transport rate for San Antonio fell even more petroleum refining and construcdramatically-to a quarter of the S MUch of th . tion industries increased sharply. January figure. And the layoff rate OViet U' ~ gram headed for the Port ofHOlon IS moving through the for Houston-which was the small• Cattle on feed in Texas and el(Portin ous~~n-the largest grain est rate for the four areas at the Arizona on September 1 totaled 1. 7 Y~ar, shi g faclhty in the world. Last beginning of the year-had been million head, 21 percent fewer than bIllion d~~ent~ valued at over a halved. a year earlier. The number of cattle fifth of D S rs, mcluding over a While manufacturing firms placed on feed in August was appear less willing to trim work thr?ugh H~ wheat exports, moved slightly fewer than in August 1974 graIn el uston. WIth four major forces, recent gains in the quit rate capacit eVators having a combined suggest workers sense job prospects and 9 percent below July 1975. y of 25 m]'11'IOn bushels and (Continued on back page) are improving. Generally, workers I 'hl I I I I I r CONDITION STATISTICS OF WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS Eleventh Federal Reserve District - (Thousand dollars) ASSETS Federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to resell ........ Other loans and discounts, gross Commercial and Industrial loans Agricultural loans, excluding CCC certificates of Interest .............................. Loans to brokers and dealers for purchasing or carrying : U.S. Government securities .. Other securities .................................... Other loans for purchasing or carrying: U.S. Government securities .. Other securities .................................... Loans to nonbank financial Institutions: Sales finance, personal finance , factors , and other business credit companies .. Other ............ Real estate loans ... Loans to domestic comm ercial banks Loans to foreign banks ... Consumer Instalment loans ................ Loans to foreign governments, official Institutions , central banks, and International Institutions ... ...........•................. . .. Other loans ..................................•.•. ,. Total Investments ........................ ... Total U.S. Government securities .. Treasury bills . Treasury certificates of Indebtedness ... Treasury notes and U.S. Government bonds maturing : Within 1 year .. 1 year to 5 years ..... After 5 years .................................................. Obligations of states and political subdivisions: Tax warrants and short-term notes and bills All other ............................................................ Other bonds, corporate stocks, and securities: Certificates representing participations In federal agency loans ........... All other (Including corporate stocks) ... Cash Items In process of collection , . Reserves with Federal Reserve Bank .......... Currency and coin ....................................... Balances with banks In the United States . Balances with banks In foreign countries Other assets (Including Investments In subsidiaries not consolidated) ........................ TOTAL ASSETS ................. ",. Sept. 17, 1975 Aug . 20, 1975 Sept. 18, 1974 1,554 ,664 10,543 ,252 1,400,825 10,419,539 1,202,129 10,517,817 5,082,498 5,070,527 4,734,735 203 ,286 197,309 252,659 200 59 ,096 200 29,054 1,253 35,309 768 371 ,037 1,018 364,227 5,292 432,765 Total deposits .. ---- ---- ---- 174,901 595 ,932 1,510,658 64 ,004 88,329 1,125,610 165,915 565,690 1,494,407 54,460 87 ,096 1,112,905 169,578 719 ,125 1,564 ,974 47,054 93,745 1,121,050 2,234 1,264,699 5,139,374 1,976 1,274,755 5,106,011 73 1,340,205 4,175,540 1,595,299 331 ,915 0 910,294 96,375 0 ---1,568,990 264 ,664 0 ---- ---- 248 ,472 842,217 172,695 135,506 521,900 156,513 296,130 2,971 ,865 241,007 2,965 ,352 183,454 2,766,108 10,282 292 ,107 1,566,519 1,187,633 133,329 549,543 43,188 11 ,274 293,079 1,536 ,302 1,187,822 139,399 535,251 41,602 14,336 301 ,348 1,541,540 1,059,898 130,248 420,699 26,Q67 1,141,402 1,113,637 924,037 21,858,904 21,480,388 19,997 ,975 ---- ---- Total demand depOSits ......................................... Individuals, partnerships, and corporations ... States and political subdivisions ...... U.S. Government ............ Banks In the United States .... Foreign : Governments, official Institutions, central banks, and International Institutions . Commercial banks ........................ Certified and officers' checks, etc . . Total time and savings deposits . Individuals, partnerships, and corporations: Savings deposits .......... , ....... "." .. Other time deposits ............................ States and political subdivisions .................. U.S. Government (Including postal savings) Banks In the United States ....................... Foreign: Governments, official Institutions , central banks, and International Institutions Commercial banks ................................. Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to repurchase ..... Other liabilities for borrowed money . Other liabilities ..... Reserves on loans .................... ,." .. Reserves on securities ............ " .... Total capital accounts . -- 2,173 60,966 99,871 8,767,863 2,123 61 ,888 95,892 8,713,245 2385 64:9 45 102,507 7,786,67t 1,353,935 4,811,474 2,222,024 34,785 325,657 1,362,215 4,696,923 2,277,998 35,733 314,740 17,264 2,724 23,248 2,388 2,842,030 44,470 672,737 202,000 23,207 1,513,778 2,842,267 50 ,895 641,875 205,112 23,186 1,511,747 2640,13 7 ,229,304 591,36 6 187,963 20,43 6 1 363,186 ~ 21,480,388 ~ =::-- Sept. 18, 1974 Aug . 20, 1975 3 16,205,306 14965,58 ~ 12 7,178,9 7,792,819 7,492,061 5099,677 5,604,394 5,478 ,718 '533,83 7 564,098 486,470 166,417 115,229 87,925 1,209,144 1,346,088 1,279,045 16,560,682 TOTAL LIAB ILITIES, RESERVES , AND CAPITAL ACCOUNTS 292 ,778 840,898 170,650 ---- Sept. 17, 1975 LIABILITIES 21 ,858,904 1 129,426 4'4458 69 2'064:97~ , 10,27 114,366 11 ,780 9,987 ---- DEMAND AND TIME DEPOSITS OF MEMBER BANKS Eleventh Federal Reserve District --- (Averages of dally figures. Million dollars) TIMEDEPO~ DEMAND DEPOS ITS U£ ' g5 Date Total Adjusted' Government Total ~ -19-7-3' A-u-g-u-st---12-,94-1---9-,-49-2----1-72----1-3-,5-0-7--~2,857 1974 : ~ugtUS\ ... . . ~U~ci ~'m m ~;';~~ November . December . 1975: January ........ February March . April May June . July . August.. .. 13,687 13,843 14,351 14,180 13,956 14,114 14,247 14,106 14,333r 14,501 14,514 9:976 10,148 10,355 10,353 10,245 10,349 10,572 10,374 10,529r 10,698 10,745 149 138 208 166 150 165 213 195 199r 164 129 15:714 16,016 16,177 16,842 17,052 17,177 17,196 17,303 17,273r 17,315 17,452 O~~o~~r .~r::: CONDITION STATISTICS OF ALL MEMBER BANKS Eleventh Federal Reserve District (Million dollars) Item ASSETS Loans and discounts, gross . U.S. Government obligations Other securities ..................................... . Reserves with Federal Reserve Bank .. .. Cash in vault ............................................ . Balances with banks In the United States . Balances with banks In foreign countrlese Cash Items In process of collection .... Other assetse TOTAL ASSETSe ........................ . LIABILITIES AND CAPITAL ACCOUNTS Demand deposits of banks .. Other demand deposits . Tim e depOSits Total deposits .................. . Borrowings . .. .................... .. Other Ilabllltiese Total capital accountse TOTAL LIABILITIES AND CAPITAL ACCOUNTSe ........................... .. e-Estlmated Aug. 27, 1975 July 30 , 1975 Aug . 28, 1974 21,792 3,071 7,314 1,620 406 1,512 48 1,757 2,037 21,573 2,867 7,236 1,705 397 1,570 45 1,744 2,032 20,981 2,100 6,775 1,473 383 1,286 33 1,682 1,691 39,557 39,169 36,404 2- 2'952 2:9070~ 3, 49 3,0 ~,~~~ 3:2 26 3325 3:348 3 409r 3:480 3,49 3_____ __ _ - - - - - - -- - - - - - - - - - -- - - - -- ' - - - -- cBS" 1. Other than those of U.S. Government and domestic commercial bankS, leSS Items In process of collection r-Revised RESERVE POSITIONS OF MEMBER BANKS EJeventh Federal Reserve District (Averages of dally figures . Thousand dollars) ~ 1,767 12,694 17,485 1,797 12,471 17,486 1,662 11 ,834 15,579 4 weeks ended 5 weeks ended 4 weekS ~~74 --------------------------------------------~rded Sept. 3,1975 Aug . 6, 1975 s~ Item 31 ,946 3,139 1,724 2,748 31 ,754 2,979 1,711 2,725 29,075 3,174 1,572 2,583 39 ,557 39,169 36,404 - - - - - - - - - - -- - - - - - - - - - - --;;202 1,581 Total reserves held .. 2,012 ,846 2,012,971 1'684,363 With Federal Reserve Bank 1,659,870 1,660,488 '337,218 Currency and coin 352,976 352,483 2 005,36 1 Required reserves . 2,007,122 1,998,602 ' 16,220 Excess reserves ...... 5,724 14,369 177,019 Borrowings ........ 12,362 8',212472 .... 160,79~ 6 _F_re_e_r_e_s_ er_v_e_ s ____________________-_6_,6_3_8__________________ ---------- BANK DEBITS, END-OF-MONTH DEPOSITS, AND DEPOSIT TURNOVER SMSA's (Do in Eleventh Federal Reserve District liar amoun ts In thousands, seasonally adjusted) DEMAND DEPOStTS' DEBITS TO DEMAND DEPOSIT ACCOUNTS ' Percent change Aug . 1975 (Annual-rate basis) Standard metropolitan statistical area ARIZON ........................... ,. LOU A: Tucson ISIANA' M .. . S~nroe ........ . NEW MEX reveport ..... .............. " .... TE ICO : Roswell ' XAS: Abilene ................... .................... Amarillo ........... i~;~~oni~port·Arth~i~6;~~::~::::: Bryan~~V~IIII~gHea~i~~~~-san ~en'tto ................ .. , Corpus Christi ................... Corsicana' ............ ... ..... ............... ......................... .......... " ......... Dallas ......... .. EI Paso FortWo·r iii ........ .. ....................... , ~aIVeston-+e;; ~s ·c'tty· Ouston .. .. ......... Kille Lare~n- Temple ... .... " .................... ........... " ........................ ~~~~:~~~~~;:E·diii~~r : ::::::::::::::::::··.......................... Midland g ........... ............... Odessa . San Angelo" .. ~an Antonio :: ...................... T herman-Denison'" ......... "", .............. ~!~~rk~~~. (~eXas-A·;ks~s·aS) · . . ..................... W o . lehUs 'Fail's" Total_3 ~enters Aug. 1975 from ....................... $27,038 ,648 6,135,588 26 ,022 ,518 1,591 ,236 5,118,190 12,511 ,591 22,046,873 10,966,613 3,537,664 1,890,689 12,630,120 823,596 249,819,385 17,073,712 41 ,450,756 4,830,635 280,121 ,305 2,923,056 2,184,784 10,221 ,934 4,830,784 5,256,042 4,027,328 3,099,937 36,633,236 1,747,850 2,440,810 4,009,121 6,493 ,802 5,201,978 Aug. 31 , 1975 Aug . 1975 July 1975 Aug, 1974 53% 5 12 10 15 8 10 - 2 - 25 15 21 0 - 5 24 8 2 22 13 8 2 20 27 29 7 15 6 13 6 23 5 23% 8 19 7 9 1 11 4 3 11 5 6 - 1 9 5 18 20 9 12 - 4 25 26 34 12 12 4 13 11 19 9 $403 ,465 133,773 370,503 57 ,747 160,973 266,670 495,571 357,285 124,484 66 ,533 333,463 44 ,317 3,305,637 350,845 1,002,842 160,054 4,103,768 135,626 75,924 256,178 172,725 219,460 146,666 104,177 985,218 90,455 98,909 151,681 172,012 185,833 66,9 47.5 68.9 27.4 31 .3 46.9 44,2 30.8 27.4 29.5 37.6 18.4 76.2 48.0 41 .9 31 .1 67.9 22.1 29.4 40.6 27.2 24 .1 28.1 29,8 36.9 19.5 24.7 26,3 37.7 27 .9 54 ,2 44 .3 73.4 25.9 28.9 43.0 47.9 31 .6 31 .7 30,2 36.7 16.8 74.4 46,1 41 .7 33.3 60.9 23 .2 30.6 40.5 28.7 20.5 28.5 29.6 33.9 20.1 24 .8 24.8 33.4 25.9 47.0 46.0 65.4 27.5 30,1 49.7 43.8 35.7 38.1 27.0 35,1 20.3 83 .3 40.8 42.9 33.6 61 .0 21 .6 30.8 41.3 25 .6 20.6 25.8 30.2 35.6 19.4 23.1 26.3 32.9 29.5 $14 ,532 ,794 53.1 55.2 10% 56.0 10% ~~~4 22% 8 - 8 4 7 8 - 10 - 3 - 19 0 0 4 1 2 1 - 5 7 - 5 ...................... ..................................................... $812,679,781 8 months, 1975 from 1974 July 1975 - 2 0 - 10 15 1 -1 8 - 4 - 1 4 13 5 Annual rate of turnover 4% ty basis 2. CoE~slts of Individuals ' partnerships, and corporations and of states and political subdivisions CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS (Tho BUILDING PERMITS usand dOllars) VALUATION (Dollar amounts In thousand s) """;;;;-Item L al gOld O~~ns to m~':;,~lcate reserves Fe er loans er banks .. .. . .. . U ~eral agen .. .. . r' Govern ey Obligations MOlal earnln;ent securi ti es . F ember ba k assets . ederal res~ reserve deposits . ClreUlatlonrve notes In actual . ~ . . . . . .... VALUE OF C (Mlilio Sept. 24 , 1975 Aug. 27, 1975 Sept. 25, 1974 422,062 21 ,340 0 275 ,799 4,256,383 4,553 ,522 1,761 ,553 422,062 6,185 0 275,855 4,165,928 4,447,968 1,619,764 554,472 133,417 0 176,368 3,525,418 3,835,203 1,683,109 2,834,872 2,827,290 2,576,235 ONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS n dOliars) .......... January-August FIVE and type ~ Aug. 1975 July 1975 June 1975 992 373 386 233 10,037 2,784 1,035 376 369 290 9,044 3,093 825 359 257 210 9,324 3,116 , 3,165 2,786 3,169 3,040 1975 1974r 8,797 2,683 3,458 2,656 64 ,040 20,506 21 ,858 21,676 8,249 3,126 3,196 1,927 63 ,762 25,246 22,597 15,919 SOUTH ~TATES ' WESTERN eSldenti ...... Nonre al bUiiiiin g" .... NOnb Sldentlal b II .......... U ulidln u ding NITED ST g eonst ru ctlo~' Resld ATES ... NOnreentlal bulid in g·.......... · NOnb ~Identlal b II ............ · ~on~tr~~tTori r R rllona L .... ~ '~~~ NOTE eVlsed S : 0 ' oulslana ,New e xM l e o, Oklahoma, and Texas OUReE.etalis may not . F. W. DOdge a~d ~o total s because of rounding . , e raw-H ili , Inc . Percent change Aug. 1975 from NUMBER Aug. 1974 8 months, 1975 from 1974 Aug. 1975 8 mos. 1975 Aug . 1975 8 mos. 1975 July 1975 4,102 $5,423 $64 ,836 - 43% 492 72 805 572 6,019 1,264 10,958 9,726 48,998 30 51 - 71 199 - 35 - 34 TEXAS 130 Abilene .... 274 Amarillo ..... 500 Austin ..... 202 Beaumo nl ... 126 Brownsville ... 118 Corpus Christi 1,461 Dallas 54 Denison .. 474 EI Paso .......... 341 Fort Worth 48 Galveston 1,995 Houston . 50 Laredo 185 LubbOck 118 Midland .... 125 Odessa ..... 125 Port Arthur .... 45 San Angelo San AntoniO ...... 1,525 34 Sherman .. 66 Texarkana 207 Waco ....... 90 Wichita Falls 866 2,195 3,626 1,721 960 1,901 13,367 318 3,863 2,925 414 15,269 496 1,471 916 956 796 559 11 ,637 269 526 1,678 753 1,710 4,558 26,517 2,318 1,120 3,094 17,273 373 6,398 64,704 510 52,297 1,562 6,691 2,084 1,222 496 1,791 12,659 322 411 3,377 1,027 18,654 56 ,196 112,873 30,655 13,544 39,455 180,264 1,993 81,167 142,126 6,283 379,475 9,712 84,864 16,735 15,306 3,166 13,587 96,589 3,427 3,794 13,782 10,312 9 - 81 51 57 - 34 166 116 62 29 - 33 - 8 - 34 - 10 - 25 58 - 36 34 - 79 - 19 24 - 19 - 33 5 91 32 - 32 - 14 - 38 - 56 1 9,662 78,175 Area ARIZONA Tucson . LOUISIANA MonroeWest Monroe Shreveport Total -26 cities -$230,159 $1.457,519 - 77 - 81 - 24 - 62 159 - 35 1,443 - 82 23 13 - 32 - 17 - 48 75 - 46 - 22 - 15 -1 0 26 15 2% 34% - 64 18 6 384 - 22 815 - 44 - 22 122 - 34 121 - 9 182 185 70 95 - 4 - 53 26 38% 6% - 19% DAILY AVERAGE PRODUCTION OF CRUDE OIL LABOR FORCE, EMPLOYMENT, AND UNEMPLOYMENT (Thousand barrels) Five Southwestern States' Percent change from Area FOUR SOUTHWESTERN STATES Louisiana New Mexico Oklahoma Texas Gulf Coast West Texas East Texas (proper) . Panhandle Rest of state UNITED STATES Aug. 1975 July 1975 Aug . 1974r July 1975 5.818.3 1,790.3 256.2 452.7 3,319.1 641 .0 1,787 .7 212.7 57 .8 619.9 8,351 .2 5,833 .7 1,808.0 256.9 441.9 3,326.9 637 .9 1,790.2 213.8 58 .2 626.8 8,372.6 6.125.9 1.964.9 271 .7 479.6 3.409.7 677.4 t ,794 .5 194.7 57 .7 685.4 8,681.5 - 0.3% - 1.0 -.3 2.4 -.2 .5 -. 1 -.5 -.7 - 1.1 -. 3% Aug. 1974 - 5.0% -8.9 -5.7 -5 .6 - 2.7 -5.4 - .4 9.2 .2 -9.6 -3.8% r-Rev lsed SOURCES : American Petroleum Institute U.S. Bureau of Mines Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas --- (Seasonally adjusted) Percent change Thousands of persons Item Civilian labor force Total employment .. Total unemployment . Unemployment rate Total nonagricultural wage and salary employment Manufacturing . Durable Nondurable ... Nonmanufacturlng Mining Construction ..... Transportation and public utilities Trade .......................... Finance" . Service Government' Aug . 1975f~ AUg· 1974 Aug . 1975p July 1975 Aug. 1974r July 1975 9.233.5 8,563.8 669.7 7.3% 9,175.0 8,535.0 640.0 7.0% 8,957 .3 8,527.8 429.5 4.8% 0.6% .3 4.7 ' .3 7,586.8 1,252 .5 698.5 554 .0 6,334 .3 269.3 466.2 7,542 .3 1,247.6 698.6 549.0 6,294 .7 267.7 466.7 7,506.1 1,305.4 734 .8 570.6 6,200.7 262. 1 504 .9 497.6 1,824.2 420.0 1,297.7 1,559.3 495 .8 1,815.1 418.7 1,292 .3 1,538.3 520.4 1,782.8 409 .4 1,243 .4 1,477.7 .6 .4 .0 .9 .6 .6 -. 1 .4 .5 .3 .4 1.4% 1. Arizona, Louisiana, New Mexico , Oklahoma , and Texas 2. Actual change p-Prellmlnary r-Revlsed NOTE : DetailS may not add to totals because of rounding . SOURCES: State employment agencies Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (seasonal adjustment) 3.1% .4 55.9 '2.5 t .t _ 4.t _ 4.9 _2.9 2.2 2.7 _7 .7 _ 4.4 2.3 2.6 4.4 5.5% -- INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND TEXAS MANUFACTURING CAPACITY UTILIZATION (Seasonally adjusted Indexes, 1967 - 100 for production) Area and type of Index TEXAS Total Industrial production "" '" Manufacturing .. ..................... Durable ........... ........................ Nondurable .. .. ... Mining .. .. Utilities ................ Capacity utilization In manufacturing (1972 - 100) . UNITED STATES Total Industrial production ......... Manufacturing ........................ Durable .. .. ........ .......... Nondurable .......... ..................... Mining Utilities ....... Aug . 1975p July 1975 June 1975r Aug. 1974 124.2 128.7 129.2 128.4 108.5 162.3 121 .5 124.7 125.7 123.9 108.5 162.3 121 .1 123.9 126.2 122.0 108.5 166.2 127.8 132.4 134.8 130.5 11 2. 1 166.7 TOTAL OIL WELLS DRILLED 94.9 92.2 91.9 101.7 112.9 111.0 103.8 121 .7 103.7 152.2 111 .5 109.3 102.3 119.7 106.1 151 .7 110.9 109.2 102.9 118.2 105.8 152.6 125.2 125.2 121 .6 130.4 107.3 152.7 p-Prellminary r-Revlsed SOURCES : Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Marketings of fed cattle in August were down 17 percent from a year before but were 11 percent more than in July. • Cash receipts from farm and ranch marketings in states of the Eleventh District through July were 4 percent lower than in the same period a year earlier. Sales improved markedly in July, as cash receipts in June were 15 percent lower than in June 1974. The advance in the District exceeded a slight improvement nationwide. --- percenl Area FOUR SOUTHWESTERN STATES .. ................... Louisiana ....... Offshore ... Onshore ... New Mexico ...... ...... Oklahoma ... Texas ..... .. ...... .... ...... Offshore ............... Onshore ..... .. UNITED STATES ......... Second quarter 1975 First quarter 1975 2,067 191 50 141 97 359 1,420 0 1,420 3,520 2,090 224 45 179 115 403 1,348 0 1,348 3,738 Percent change - 1.1% - 14.7 11 .1 - 21 .2 - 15.7 - 10.9 5.3 5.3 - 5.8% 1975 cumulative 4,157 415 95 320 212 762 2,768 0 2,768 7,258 cha~~~4 from tW e ~ 30.5% 6.1 _28. 0 23. 6 30.9 44.9 31 .4 31 .4 ~ SOURCE: American Petroleum Institute Receipts for the United States through July were 5 percent lower than a.year before, after having lagged year-earlier sales 8 percent in June. Continued strengthening in farm prices, a large crop harvest, and high rates of grass-fed cattle slaughter will likely push total cash receipts in states of the District for 1975 over 1974 levels. • In the first seven months of this year, retail sales of farm tractors in the Eleventh District were 19 percent lower than in the same period last year. The decline was in line with an 18-percent slump in tractor sales nationwide. Fewer purchases d of tractors mainly reflected reduce farm incomes in 1974 and in the first half of 1975. Furthermore, many farmers have had to renew or extend 1974 loans and have been reluctant to assume more farm machinery debt.