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MONTH LY BUSINESS REVIEW of the FEDERAL RESERVE BANK pf Dallas = ~==================================================== Number 8 Dallas, Texas, October 1, 1944 Volume 29 ====================================================== DISTRICT SUMMARY General rains throughout the Eleventh District late in August an~ early in September benefited late crops, provided needed mOIsture for fall plowing and seeding operations, revived livestock ranges and replenished stockwater supplies. Sales at department stores increased seasonally from July to August and w.ere about one-fourth larger than in August, 1943. ConstructlOn Contracts awarded in this district during August were subitantially larger than in the preceding month but were sharply OWer .than a year ago. Daily average production of crude petro,leum In this district during August reached a new peak for the fourth consecutive month at a level approximately 20 per cent above that a year ago. On the basis of production allowables authorized by the Texas Railroad Commission, daily average OUtrut will rise further in September, but will decline slightly ~urlng October. Deposits of weekly reporting member banks lUcr~ased further between August 9 and September 13, but loans decllned slightly during the same period. BUSINESS The dollar volume of sales at department stores during August Was 24 per cent above that of a year ago and 22 per cent g~eater th~n that of the preceding month. On a daily average baSIS the adjUsted index was maintained at a high le...el of 250 per cent o.f the 1935-1939 average. During the first eight months of this year the dollar volume exceeded that of the comparable period a year ago by 16 per cent. For the same period increases in dollar ~al~s by city groups ranged from 11 per cent in San Antonio to hIgh of 22 per cent in Dallas. Furthermore, sales reports from weekly reporting firms depict a continuation of this high dollar bolume inasmuch as sales during the two weeks ended Septemer 16 of this year were 21 per cent higher than those for the comparable period last year. .ouring August the dollar volume of sales of women's and ~sses' ready-to-wear and accessories, which represented half of he tota.l dollar sales reported, was 32 per cent higher than a year ago WhIle stocks remained practically at the same level as last year. Sales of piece goods increased 31 per cent over last year as Stocks decreased only slightly. Dollar sales of men's and boys' :ea r increased 22 per cent over last year, whereas stocks declined pproximately 7 per cent over a year ago. . The ratio of cash sales to total sales decreased from the wartIme high of 57 per cent in July to 53 per cent in August and was the first decrease in this ratio since March this year. However, ~ollections on regular accounts during August we~e ~4 per cent f the regular accounts outstanding at the begmmng of the ~onth representing a slight increase in this ratio from the precedlng month. Collections on instalment accounts represented 36 per cent of instalment accounts outstanding at the beginning of the month compared with a similar ratio of 31 per cent in July and 29 per cent in August of last year. Dollar sales at reporting furniture firms during August inCreased 8 per cent over the preceding month and 7 per cent over a year ago. On the other hand, stocks which increased 6 per cent OVer last month were approximately 8 per cent lorwer than last )'ear. According to Dun and Bradstreet, Incorporated, there was one business failure in this district in August. This is the first business failure reported in this district since December 1943 and compares favorably with the first eight months of l;st yea; during which period 11 business failures had been reported. AGRICULTURE The general over-all outlook for agriculture in the Eleventh Federal Reserve District has greatly improved during the past few weeks, due to the more favorable weather and moisture conditions. The hot, dry weather during July and the first three weeks of August had caused a general decline in late crop prospec.ts and a rapid deterioration in ranl?e feeds and pasturage. Senous shortages of stock water were be10g experienced in some of the. western .areas and irrigation .water supplies were running short 10 the ~o' Grande Valley. Smce late August, rains have fallen over vrrtually all of the district, ranging from light showers in some areas to torrential rains in others; the notable exceptions being in Arizona and parts of New Mexico where ranges were still reported dry and feed short in some sections. These general rains materially improved prospects for all late crops, especially cotton, sweet potatoes, peanuts, late feed crops and improved range feeds and pasturage over a large area. Th; improved moisture conditions have also aided in the preparation of the soil for fall seeding operation. Farmers have made good progress with the seeding of winter wheat. The rains came too late to benefit cotton in the eastern and coastal counties of Texas, but in other sections of the district :where cotton is late~ t~an ~sual, ~hedding an? premature open10g were checked. Plckmg JS neanng completlOn in South Texas and in southern counties of South Central Texas, but rains have delayed remnant harvest. Cotton picking is under way in all other districts, but due to the late start, the volume ginned to date is relatively small. The cotton crop, as a whole, is much later than usual, and will be subjected to a longer than usual period of fall weather and related influences. Reports indicate that farmers in many sections are experiencing difficulty in ohtaining labor to gather the crop. The September 1 report of the Department of Agriculture estimated the United States cotton crop at 11,483,000 bales which represents an increase of 461,000 bales above the August estimate. The per acre yield is estimated at 273.4 pounds on 20,164,000 acres r~maining for harvest, or slightly larger than the previous record yield of 272.4 pounds per acre produced in 1942. The forecast for Texas remained at 2,450,000 bales, which is 373,000 bales smaller than the crop produced in 1943. The abandonment of cotton acreage in Texas from all causes is estimated at 2.6 per cent of the acreage in cultivation on July 1, leaving a total oi 7,13 5,000 acres for harvest. On the acreage remaining for harvest, the yield was forecast at 165 pounds per acre, as compared with 174 pounds per acre in 1943, and an average of 162 pounds for the ten-year period (1933-1942). i Late grain sorghums were materially improved by rains and the September 1 production estimate for Texas of 84,708 ,000 bushels compares with 71,817,000 bushels produced last year. The yield per acre is now indicated at 18.0 bushels, as compared with 16.5 bushels last year and the ten·yooy average of 14.6 This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) 2 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW bushels. The damage caused to the Texas peanut crop by the earlier hot, dry weather was more than offset by rains in late August. The September 1 estimate of 323,000,000 pounds is moderately larger than the 1943 production of 298,980,000 pounds despite the much 'smaller acreage. The per acre yield of 420 pounds this year, while nearly one-third larger than in 1943, is well below the ten-year average of 470 pounds. Production of all tame hay in Texas was estimated on September 1 at 1,405,000 tons, as compared with 1,469,000 tons for 1943 and the ten-year average of 1,021,000 tons. The improved moisture conditions increased the prospects for both Irish potatoes and sweet potatoes in Texas, but the September 1 estimates of 5,016,000 bushels and 4,420,000 bushels, respectively, were approximately 20 per cent lower than last year's harvest. Due to earlier lack of water, rice prospects declined further in August with production now indicated at 17,640,000 bushels, as compared with 20,196,000 bushels in 1943. Broomcorn pmduction is estimated at 8,900 tons, which is over three times the 1943 production of 2,700 tons and about double the ten-year average production. The prospective pecan crop on September 1 indicated a production of 43,500,000 pounds, which is only sligptly below the record crop of 1935. The continued hot, dry weather and limited irrigation water supplies in the first half of August adversely affected the grapefruit and orange groves, but trees and fruit were greatly benefited by generous rains during the latter part of the month. The rains broke the severe drouth in South Texas, relieving the serious shortage of irrigation water which existed at mid-August, and greatly improving soil conditions for transplanting crops in the Rio Grande Valley where field work had been delayed. The favorable conditions may stimulate an increase in acreages of beets, carrots, cabbage and onions as seed beds in both irrigated and non-irrigated areas are reported in excellent condition. Range feeds and pasturage which had deteriorated seriously during the hot, dry weather, responded rapidly to the recent rains and the outlook for fall grazing is generally good except in. a few localities where moisture is still deficient. Livestock which had suffered during the drouth are beginning to pick up from the greatly improved range feeds and pastures. Stock water supplies have been replenished in all except a few local areas and moisture is adequate over most of the district to sustain the growth Of grass and other feeds. Seeding of wheat and other small grains is under way in North and Northwest Texas and there are some fields of volunteer growths which will provide winter grazing. During August, receipts of sheep and hogs at the Fort Worth and San Antonio markets declined, while those of cattle and calves rose to the highest level of the year. Since April, the marketings of sheep have been exceptionally heavy and while August receipts were sharply lower than in August last year, they were much larger than those in that month of any other year. Total receipts for the first eight months of 1944 were 47 per cent larger than the heavy movement in that period last year. Receipts of hogs have shown a downward movement since the first of the year, although the total movement thus far has exceeded that of last year by 21 per cent. The large movement of cattle and calves during the past four months has more than offset the small movement during the early months of the year, while the cumulative receipts for the eight months of 1944 were about 25 pe'r cent above those last year. The 1944 Texas wool clip is forecast by the Department of Agriculture . at 8 ~,OOO,OOO poun4s, \yhich exceeds the 1943 wool clip by ~87,OOO .. pounds an~.i~ 11 p~r ce,nt larger ~han the average of 72,662,000 pounds for the ten years (1933-1942). The Texas clip represents more than one-fifth of the total wool clip in the United States. Despite adverse weather conditions, labor shortages and transportation difficulties, income from agriculture continues co show gains. In June, cash income from agriculture in TeJ(aS amounted to approximately $95,000,000, an increase of slighclY more than $11,000,000 over the previous mOllth and was oyer $28,000,000 more than in June, 1943. The aggrega te cash farm income in Texas for the first six months of 1944 was $48 5,CASH FARM INCOME-(Thousands of dollars) ~- Juno 1944 Total rccoipt~----~Receipts from~ June Juno Jan. 1 to Juno 3O Crops Livestock· 1944 1943 1944 194 B Ariz.o~a................. 7,042 3,902 11,004 8,853 74,376 73,6~~ ifc~sM~~ico::::::::::::: 4,~~g Okl.homa .. ' " ., . .•.... . Texas.. ... . .. ...... ..... 23,146 40,035 W5 24,757 53,370 w: 47,903 95,411 U~~ 26,049 07,587 ~~:m 109,408 485,030 Totsl........... 75,050 92,808 108,524 114,184 835,847 °Includcs receipts from the salo of Iivestook and livestock produots. SOURCE: United States Department of Agriculturo. 3Nsl 142,~~ 401, m.OO9 LIVESTOCK RECEIPTS- (N umber) ~--Fort Worth---~-- San Antonio - -I J August August July Au~ust August u4~ 1944 1943 1944 ]944 1943 10 • 97,106 07,079 28,181 21,270 27,700 Cattle .................. . 110,853 Calves ................. . 52,997 40,108 37,609 20,575 20,952 23, 584 Ho~s ................... . 68,127 77,545 74,860 14,932 12,185 12,83 Shccp .................. . 209.754 406,530 361,703 57,076 03,283 68, 82 l COMPARATIVE TOP LIVESTOCK PRICES (Dollars per hundred weight) ~Fort Worth---~-- San Antonio - -I J August August July August August OU4~ 1944 1943 1944 1944 1943 1 Beof .teers ............. . $14.05 S13.75 $15.50 S14.00 $12.90 $13. 75 Stooker steers ........... . 11.50 13 .00 11.00 .i:foo .is:iJO 13.50 Heifers and yearlings .... . 14.50 15 .50 13 .50 10. 40 Butcher cows ........... . 12 .00 11 .50 11.25 11.50 11.00 13.00 Calve.. ..... ........... . 13.50 13 .00 13.25 13.00 12.05 25 14. Hogs .................. .. 14 .55 14.35 14.55 14.25 14.25 12.00 Lambs ................ .. 14.00 13.60 14.00 12.00 COTTONSEED AND COTTONSEED PRODUCTS ----Texns United States-August 1 to August 31 August 1 to August 31 n This season Last seasoll This seasoll Last seaso Cottonseed recoived at mills (tons) ................... .. 80.100 102,808 162,772 394,4021~ Cottonsced crushed (tons) .. . . . 28,014 44,526 99,095 133, Cottonseed on hand August 31: 851,683 (ton.) .. .... .............. . 83,645 102,051 181,778 Production of ~roducts: 40,102 8,212 Crude oil (thousand Ibe.) ... . 12,824 29,762 59,141 Cake and meal (tons) .. . . . . . 13,384 20,733 44,334 31,77~ 6,049 Hulls (tons) .............. . 10,357 23,589 30,78 Linters (running bales) ... . . . 8,432 12,910 29,321 Stocks on hand August 31: 17,582 Crude oil (thnusand Ibs.). .. . 4,360 5,100 12.461 Cake and meal (tons)....... 7,783 9,415 30,353 29,2~~ 19,2 Hulls (tOilS) . . . . .. . .. . .. .. . 4,083 5,842 17,000 111,701 Lintors (running bales). .. .. . 14,575 38,133 44,435 SOURCE: United States Bureau of Census. DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION AND STOCICS OF COTTON-(Bales) August 1944 Consumption at: Texas mills ..................................... . 17,978 United States mills ................. ....... ...... . 841,400 U.S. stocks-cnd of mon th : In consuming establishments ..................... . 1,710,225 Public storage and compresses ......... . ....... ... . 7.930,094 August 1043 19,601 843,187 1,928,263 8,027,415 July 1044 18,atl 724,107 1,873,~~r 8,245, CROP PRODUCTION-(Thousands of units) ~--Tcxas--~-Elcvonth DistrictCrop Winter wheat.. ...... .... Cotton.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Corn.............. ...... Oata..... .......... ..... Barley........... ....... Tamo hay. . . . . ... .. .... . Potatoes, Irish. . .. . . . . . . . Unit Bushels Bales Bushels Bushels Bushels TOilS Bushels Ki;:~~~'. ~~~~~'. '. :::::::: ~~:~~I: Estimated Sept. 1,1944 77,071 2,450 64,649 42,471 8,428 1,405 5,016 1~:~:g • Ari.ona, Now Mexico, Oklahoma Ilnd Texns. tTcxas and Louisiana. . . SOURCE: United States Department of Agrioulture. 1943 30,360 2,823 88,410 21,780 3,341 1,469 6,450 2~:~~~ Estimated Sept. 1, 1944 78,111 3,128 76,158 47,978 17,846· 1,967 6,006 ~~:gm 1943 37'M~ 3, as 102'~11 2~'370' 2'018 7'504 15'072 1 4 44:10 tLouisiana, Oklahoma and T~' .\ 8 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 600,.000 or slightly over 5 per cent more than the $461,600,000 ~ece1Ved during the same period in 1943. The increase in cash ~ncome this year appears to be the result of substantial increases I~ marketings. Large marketings of small grains, livestock, cl~rus. fruits and vegetables have been important factors contrlbutmg to the increase. Farm prices received by Texas farmers during August, as 7eported by the Department of Agriculture, showed significant Increases for hogs, potatoes, new crop sweet potatoes and hay, as compared with those of a month ago. On the other hand, continued moderate declines were indicated for most Texas grain ~rops and meat animals, other than hogs. Prices received for such Items as cotton and cottonseed, peanuts and poultry were unchanged to slightly higher. As a whole, crop prices were above the I~vels obtaining during August last year, while prices received for livestock and livestock products were generally below those a year ago. FINANCE The reserve balances of member banks in this district averaged f?64,000,000 during August, which was about $24,000,000 llgher than in the preceding month and $41,000,000 above the average for the first seven months of the year. Although reserve balances reached an all-time peak of $588,000,000 on September 15, the average for the first half of the month was ab~ut the same as during the corresponding period in August. DUl'l?"g A.ug ust , the deposits of member banks showed a further nse and there was a substantial conversion of reserve-exempt war loan deposits to customer deposits which is customary betwe~n war loan drives, as the Treasury withdraws funds fro,? ItS ~CCOUnts at depositary banks to meet Government expe~dltures 10 the area. While these factors increased average reqUired reserves by about $17,000,000, this increase was smaller than the expansion in reserve balances with the result that average excess reserves rose to $125,000,00'0, the highest for any month since May, 1943. The circulation of Federal Reserve notes of this bank during the first half of September averaged $493,900,000, which is $13,000,000 higher than in August and $130,000,000 greater than a year ago. . T~1e ~ross deposits of weekly reporting member banks in this dlstnct mcreased further by approxima tely $3 2,000,00 0 betw~en :Au?ust 9 and September 13, reflecting the continued expansIOn In m~erbank and time deposits and a rise in adjusted demand depOSits which more than offset the decline in Government deposits. The sharp increase in adjusted demand deposits during the five weeks raised the total on September 13 to a new peak of $1,171,000,000 which surpassed by $47,000,000 the previous pe~k reached in June prior to the large-scale transfer of customer deposits to war loan deposits in payment for securities p~r chased during the Fifth War Loan Drive. Government depOSits, consisting mainly of war loan accounts, which reached a peak of $350,000,000 on July 12, had declined to $227,600,000 on September 13. The loans of these banks declined further by about $9,000,000 ~uring the five weeks. The decrease was chiefly in commercial, ~dustrial and agricultural loans, which have shown a c~n SlStent decline since the sharp expansion that occurred durmg ~e Fifth War Loan Drive. These loans, which t otaled $334,00,000 on September 13, were at the lowest level re~ched since March this year, but were still about $36,900,000 higher than a year earlier. During June and July, when weekly reporting mem~e: banks greatly increased their holdings of Governm en' secunCleS, the CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK (ThousnnJs of dollors) Sept. 15, Sept. 15, 1943 1914 ~65 I ,8!;a Totol cas], reserves ..... .. ....... . ... . ........ . .. . S609,076 127 175 Discounts for member bnoks ........ ...... . ..... .. . t8 NonD Indu, trilll advone"" ..... .. ............... .. . . .... . 270,310 534 ,567 United Stntes Government securities .............. . . 270,455 534,742 Totlll earning assets . ... . . .......... . . .. .... . . .. . . 507,563 587.776 Member honk reeerve deposits . ........... . ... . . . . . 365,277 492,862 Federal Reserve Notes in aetu"I eireulotion ......... . August 15, 1944 $581 ,773 NOOD Nono 527,090 627,090 574,808 480,906 CONDITfON STATISTICS OF 33 MEMBER BANKS IN LEADD!G CIl'rES (Thousand. of dollnrs) Sept. 13, Sept. 15, Augu.qt 9, 1944 1943 1044 Totnl loans and investments ..... . ......... ········ SI,556,I 68 $1,256,718 $1,564,807 Total lonns .. ....... .......................... · 334,884 297,967 343,710 Commereiol, industrial, ond ngrieultural loons.... 227,896 210,857 236,33 1 Lonns to brokers ond dealers in securities..... . . . 2,245 2,339 2,605 Other lonns for purchasing or currying securities. . 41,535 19,356 4 I ,913 Real estate loon ............................ · · 20,713 19,566 20,389 Loon. to banks .............................. · 214 84 42 1 All other lonns.... ...................... .. .. . 42,281 45,705 41,961 Total investments .... . .. . .............. ········ 1,221,284 958,751 1,22 1,097 U. S. Treasury hills .. .... ...... .. .......... .. · 121,483 \04,015 126,652 U. S. Trel1llury certificates of indebtedness . ... .. . 348,923 239,47 1 352,482 U. S. Treasury notes .. ... .................... · 218,4 19 147,577 216,894 U. S. Government bonds . ... . ........ . ........ 467,423 358,434 460,314 Obli~ntion. ~unrnnteed by United States Gov't.. 20,629 56,714 20,629 Other £eeurities ....... ... .............. · .... · 44,407 52,540 44,\06 Reserves with Federnl Reserve Bonk .. ......... . .. .. 320,628 296,964 322,818 Bulnnees with dome.tie banks . . ....... . .. . ... ·,· · ·· 260,769 259,314 228,573 Demond dejlosits-tldjustcd- ..... .. . .. . . . . ... ,.... 1,17 1,356 1,002,29 1 1,075.048 T,me depo." ts........................ .......... 196,574 149,847 190,378 United Stntes Government deposits........ .. ....... 227,597 153,564 3\0,220 Interbonk deposits.... . .. .. .. . . . . . . .. . . .. . . . . .. . . . 4991070,,4e 454,442 478604 Borrowing. from Federal Reserve Bonk. N None None - Includrs all demond deposits other than ioterbank and UniteJ State. Government less cash items reported oS on hand or in proe",," of eollection . ' DEBITS TO INDIVIDUAL ACCOUNTS (Thousands of dollars) July Petg.ehan5e Petg.ehange Augu, t Au~ust 1944 over mont 1 over year 1943 1944 17,239 +2 +17 15,085 Abilene ................. S 17,608 -6 48,205 +23 36,781 45, 170 Amarillo .. .. .. . . . ....... 70,759 +5 +21 61,666 74,603 Austin ....... . ..... · ·· .. M,739 -9 - I 51,983 51,538 Beaumont . . .... ...... .. . 53,162 -8 +13 43,1~0 48,756 ('orpus Christi. . .... . .... - t3 0.449 -2 5,713 5,616 Corsienno ......... . ..... - 2 514,319 434,548 +16 503,415 Dnllas ....... · · ...... · .. 52,246 - 13 -4 47,466 45,547 Ell'oso ................. -5 215,168 177,706 205,233 Fort Worth .............. + 1& 45,986 -7 40,470 42,916 Gulv""ton . . ...... .. · .. · . 628,794 +2 452,343 540,403 + I~ HOll. ton .. ... . ···· .. ···· . 11.380 -2 10,285 11,148 Laredo ... .... ....... · ... - 1 23.943 19,925 +19 23,690 Lubhock .. . ............. 10,668 +12 15,051 + 1 16,815 Monroe, Ln ... . ..... · .. ·· -7 24,1 33 +20 1 ~,7 15 22,450 Port Arth ur . .. . . . . .. .... 12 8,587 6,949 +9 7,548 Ro,well, N. M. ....... · .. - 16 16,663 +10 12,635 13,843 Ban Angelo .............. 11 154,536 1 2~,075 +9 137,156 San Antonio ............ 72,879 +6 + 19 64,467 76,956 Shreve pori" La .. . . ... .• .. 18,940 +23 + I 15.614 19,202 Texarkana- . .... .. .. ··· · . -3 27,364 24,063 + 11 26,592 Tllcson, Ariz . ........ . . .. 22.4(10 +32 17,208 + I 22,743 - I 26,403 23,965 +9 W~~~:::::::::::::: : :: : : 26,183 -12 28,532 21,070 +17 2~,144 Wichita Flllls .... . ....... Totnl- 24 oities .... ...... $2,010,276 $1,743,473 + 15 $2,061.454 - 2 -Includes the figures of two banks in Texnrkana, Arkansas, loenteJ in the Eighth DistrIct . GROSS DEMA ND AND TIME OF-POSITS OF MEMBER BANKS (Average of daily figures- ThorrSllnds of Jollnrs) Combined totol Rc.... rve eity bunks Corrntry hnnks ~ Gross demnnd August 1942 ...... . ... · · .$1,985,1 28 August 1943 . ... . . ..... . , 2.925,647 ~ril 1944 .. .. ......... 3,292,252 ny 1944 .. .... .. . .. .. 3,275,467 June 1044.. .......... · 3,361,412 July 1944.. .. .. ...... · 3,601,462 Augu.t 1944, ............ 3,655,893 Gro.'jS demand Time $226,9 16 51,137,687 245,390 1,585,376 284,688 1.709,275 291,239 1,694 ,017 296,955 1,740,241 303,719 1,900,222 307,179 1,925,789 Gross Time demnnd Timo $127,231 $ 847.44 1 $ 09,685 145,304 1,340,27 1 100,OR6 175,62 1 1,582,977 108,918 180,464 1,581,450 110,775 184,628 1,612,171 11 2,327 187,985 1,701,240 115,734 192,204 1,730,104 114,975 SAVINGS DEPOSITS August 31, 1044 Number 01 rc~~~~:g Beaumont . ... .. . · · · .. · · . Dallas .. . ... · ........ · .. EI Paso ........ ........ · Fort Worth ............. · Gnlvrston ....... · ....... Houstoo ........ · .. .. · .. . Luhbork .. .... .. ........ Port Arthur .... ......... Snn Aut.onio ....... ...... Shreveport, La .. .. .. .. .. WarD ..... · .. · .. · ...... · Wiehitn Fall............. All other ................ ToW .... •• .. •• • a 8 2 a 4 10 2 2 6 3 3 3 68 106 Number 01 Mvings Amount of savin~s 63,573 dcpo."t. $ 5,667,611 44,456,713 13,612,199 20,786,280 14,011,713 46,497,842 498,762 3,913,440 27,814,212 10,924,867 6,792,006 3,804,545 34,642,535 414,09(1 ~734 depositor. 11,480 102,222 24,038 35,311 20,701 84.616 826 5,342 32,444 29,288 8,163 - 6,80~ Porrent.gc chan,e in savings deposits rom August 31, 1043 +18.3 +36.6 +38.7 +32.5 +2).5 +24.0 + 6.5 + 18.7 +29.0 +29.4 +20 .6 + 5.3 +19.5 --+26.9 July 31, 1944 + 2.3 + 3.5 + 3. 6 + 3 .9 +1.9 + 2. 0 +1.7 + a.1 + 2.7 + 2.7 + 3.3 + 1.9 + 3.5 + 3.1 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 4 additions represented to a large extent short-term securities consisting of Treasury bills and certificates of indebtedness. During the five weeks ended September 13, the total investments of these banks showed little change, but there was a shift of about $ 8,700,000 of their holdings from Treasury bills and certificates of indebtedness to Treasury notes and bonds. The funds made available through the increase in deposits and the decline in loans were utilized to build up their balances with the Federal Reserve Bank and with correspondent banks. On September 13, balances with correspondent banks were at the highest level since the spring of 1943. INDUSTRY Total nonagricultural employment in Texas, after showing a substantial seasonal decline in January, has remained relatively stable and during recent months has been at about the same level as during the corresponding period last year. Total manufacturing employment has shown relatively little change during the past year, but there have been substantial shifts between plants and among industries. The demand for munitions, which was intensified by the invasion of France early in June, imposed new pressures upon ordnance plants in Texas; consequently, employment at these plants has increased during the past three months and further additions to working forces are expected. Employment at petroleum refineries and at chemical and rubber plants has continued the upward trend in evidence since the beginning of the year. Employment at shipyards, which was well sustained earlier in the year, has recently shown some decline. The number of workers at aircraft plants has been declining for several months, largely because of the increasing productivity of workers, but the recent cut-back in the aircra'ft production program has accelerated the decline in employment at some Texas plants and further decreases in the number of workers are expected. Employment at lumber and textile mms is apparently considerably below the level of a year ago, due largely to the inability of plants to secure workers. During recent months, the trend of employment at iron and steel plants has been upward, while there has been a substantial downward readjustment in employment at nonferrous metal plants. Civilian employment at military establishments has been well sustained. NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT IN TEXAS 2000 ~------"~.-----4---- --t-------t-~s=~t_~~--~ ,~ F:7~4:":':'~5±t;~~tai@@~m~~~,,",~-----l'oco Construction activity in the Eleventh District reached an all-time peak in 1942 when the value of awards aggregated $914,205,000, and reached a monthly peak during October of 'that year with total awards of $132,286,000. Since 1942, the value of awards has fluctuated considerably from month to month, but the general trend has been downward, reflecting the effect of the completion of large installations for war purposes and the .shortages· critical building materials. In August, of the value of construction contracts awarded in this district indicated a marked increase over the preceding month but the aggregate of $16,769,000 was about 6 per cent below awarqs in August, 1943. The continued decline during August in residential and public utility awards was more than offset by substantial gains in non-residential and public works construction. The total value of construction awards for the first eight months of this year, however, amounted to only $106,932,000, or about 61 per cent below that for the same period in 1943. During most of 1942 and the early part of 1943, virtually all of the construction in Texas represented publicly financed projects, but the volume of privately financed construction increased substantially during the last half of 1943 and has constituted about 25 per cent of the total thus far in 1944. MILLION 200 ... CONSTRUCT ION El.evENTH CONTRACTS rEO~ R AI. RESERVe AWARCED OI.sTRIGT =I:=:::::j ': lfi--...·---+---J "" .. " '''' The production of Portland cement at Texas mills also reached a peak in 1942 coincident with the record volume of construction. In that year, production averaged 1,011,000 barrels monthly, but in conformity with the downward trend in constru~ tion, it declined to a monthly average of 798,000 barrels III 1943, and during the first seven months of tllls year, it dropped to a monthly average of 495,000 barrels, representing the lowest production rate since 1936. After the middle of 1942 wh~n mill stocks reached an exceptionally low level, production In most months exceeded shipment with the result that stocks reached an all-time peak of 1,124,000 barrels on February 29 this year. During recent months, the excess of shipments oyer production reduced mill stocks to 843,000 barrels on July ~ 1, or less than two month's supplies at the current rate of shIpments. Military needs for petroleum and its products have increased rapidly during the .past two years placing unprecedented demands upon the productive capacity of the oil fields of ~he nation, and especially on the oil fields of this district, whIch continue to account for virtually all of the increase in petrol eufll production in the United States. During the fust four mon~hs of 1943 the daily average crude oil production in this distnC t was 1,551,000 barrels, but since May of 1943 the general pro., duction trend has been upward .. In August this year, crude .ole production reached a new .peak fo'r the fourth consecu tlY month with an average of 2,289,300 barrels daily, exceeding that in July by 2 per ~ent and that of August last year by 20 per cent. Production of crude oil outside of this district increased only . slightly over the p~evious'~o'n:th arid was less than three pe~ cen d above the production for' August last year. The Texas Rallr<Yol Commission authorized ' a further ' increase in production for September, amounting to about 65,000 barrels daily in effec tiye . allowables, indicati.ng It continuance of the upward trend in production duril}.g,the month, ... MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW El Stocks o~ a~ove ground crude oil declined slightly in the b eventh Dlstnct during August, but the total of 119,740,000 rrels at the end of the month was about 5 per cent higher t an. a year earlier. On the other hand, the decline of 15 per ce~t IU crude oil stocks outside this district during the past year, re uced total United States stocks at the end of August this yha r to 222,931 ,000 barrels, which was about 6 per cent below t e total on the corresponding date in 1943. h On August 26 the Petroleum Administrator for War modified ~ell-spacing regulations in 42 countieS in North and West ent~al Texas to encourage drilling of additional wells and to Phrmlt simultaneous development of overlaying oil pools in t. se areas. The modification of restrictions on the use of matena s. in drilling operations in the areas specified were made primanly to permit more extensive drilling in fields that have tWO or more oil producing formations at different depths. i J pri~ling t activity in the Eleventh District, after declining in hy, IUcreased in August, resuming the general upward trend ~t has been in evidence since February, 1943, when the low h~mt was reach d. Despite the increase in d.rilli~g a~tivity that 7 year, the rate of completIOns IS stdl substan. s Occurred thiS tially below that obtaining prior to 1942. DAILV AVERAGE PRODUCTION OF CRUDE PETROLEUM .... ~~tUl I 'ooI 'oo :--- ... .... r ... ...~ ~ T I ;! I-- 7-51- 'oo I-.. ' 000 .00 .00 '00 U s. OUTSIOE ELEVENTH DISTRICT too K- W T ...I::::""'"4,~~ 'oo I-.. , 'II OUUIIO SO# •• ~IICl' I 'V I / , :.J 000 000 -;I- 100 . 00 100 ,000 I .00 .00 ' 00 ' 00 I .. -. " 0- 1'16 , .. ... ... tOO I'" .... Mill consumption of cotton in Texas during August amounted t? 17,978 bales, which was about 2 per cent below the consump~~n for July and about 9 per cent under the consump~ion ~or d ~ust, 1943. Cotton consumed at United States textile mllls ur mg August, which totaled 841 500 bales, sho·wed an increase oanf 16 per cent over July consumption, ' . and was larger t han tn . yother month of the current year except March. Moreover, It . approximately the same volume ' Thw as l~ as inI August ast year. e lag IU textile production which has been apparent for several honths has been caused by labor shortages, and according to e War Manpower Commission the number of workers must e greatly expanded in order to' increase output sufficiently to Irneet t h e estima ted requirements for all types of cotton textl.'1 es. bn fu rtherance of the Stabilization Extension Act of 1944, which ecame effective on June 30 the Office of Price Administration re on ~eptember 17, announced price increases at mill level agg gatmg about 10 per cent above present ceilings for all fine CO~to';l goods. It was indicated that, for the present, the mill Pl'lce Increases will not result in retail price increases since con. . 1Verters are not now perrrutted to pass on Increases at th e mill0 eve!. The new price increases were made retroactive to June 3 and the previous order permitting the sale of fine cotton goods on an ad'Justable basis was revoked. After the pnce . ad'Justments hye announced, mills released accumulated supplies, mostly to 0dders of high priority ratings and accepted some forward or ers f rom the civilian trade. Due ' to the heavy ml'1'Itary demand, however, deliveries to the trade are expected tD be CDn- t Retail furnitur.: Total lith Dist .... Dallas . ........... Houston ........... San Antonio ....... 50 6 8 3 +7 +13 -8 +18 Indcpond.nt stores:' New Moxico . ...... Oklahoma ... ... .. . Texas .. ...... . .... 393 075 +18 Wholesale trade:' Drugs .... . ...... .. Electrical supplies. . Groceri............ Hardware......... Surgieal eQuipmeot. 'Compiled by Unitod -8 - 30 +8 +3 - 7 +8 +iil +11 '+8 +is +0 +6 +16 5 +17 +16 +11 +21 + 1 - 20 + 13 3 20 + 4 + 6 + ' 6' ':":"2 ':":"4 13 + 8 +10 + 5 +10 + 0 6 +36 + 7 +27 - 3 - 3 States Bureau of Census (wholesalo trado figurcs preliminary). tBtoeks at ood of moath. INDEXES OF DEPARTMENT STORE SALES AND STOCKS AIU9g4ust4 IJOu41y J u0 0 l 944 Sales (1086-1030m 100)' 4 Without s.asonal adjustmeat. . . . . . . • 220 202 203 With s.asonal adjustment........... 250 277 245 Stocks (1923-1025 m I00) Without soasonal adjustm.nt ....... . With soasonal adjustment ....•.... · · 'Sales ind.x revised. 109 116 115 126 123 121 August 1943 183 208 117 115 100 ELEVENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT 'oo 'oo Wl,'IOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE STATISTICS ~_ _ _ _ P.rcontngc change il l : : - - - - -Number Net sal.s Stocks t - of August 1044 from Jan. 1 to August 1944 from reporting August July Aug. 31, 1944 August July Retail trado: firms 1043 1944 from 1043 1043 1014 Dcpartm.nt stores: 48 +24 +22 +16 + 4 + 8 Total 11th Dist ...• 7 +26 +30 +22 + 9 + 7 Dallas ....... .... . 4 +21 +22 +13 +17 + 0 Fort Worth ...... .. 7 +20 +17 +15 + 7 + 6 Houston .......... . 5 +30 +26 +11 - 4 + 9 San Antonio .. , .. • . 3 +10 +13 +20 Shreveport ....... . 22 +23 +18 +13 - 8 +."0 Otber cities . . .. .. . . CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION-(Barrels) Increase or decrease in daily August 1044 average produotion from Dailyavg • Total July 1944 August 1943 production production + 6,287 247,450 10,450 7,670,950 North Texas ...... .. .... ... .. 15,033,450 +20.626 222.447 484,050 WestTex ......... ··· .. ··· · .. 16,099,850 + 7,174 17,021 510,350 Enst Texas ....... · ·· · ...... · + 1,007 + 81,521 321,650 0,071,150 South T.xas .. . . ...... . ...... 16,501,200 + 3,650 + 60,371 535,200 Coastnl T.xas ............... . +30,734 +302,710 2,108,600 Total Texas ..... . ... 65,366,600 - 1,260 106,908 + 2,422 3,316,950 New Mexico .. .... .... ·· .. · .. + 1,621 9,345 73,724 2,285,450 North Louisiana . . . . . .. . . .. . , . +40,005 +385,787 2,280,322 Total District . .... ... 70,069,000 SOUROE: Estimated from Ameriean Petroleum Inetituto w.ekly reporUi. t --- - VALUE OF CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS AWARDED (Thousanda of dollars) January 1 to August 31 Augus~ August July 1944 1943 1944 1043 19.. I 106,932 $ 277,262 Elov.nth District-total. . I 16,760 I 17,814 I 9,451 20,240 68,209 Resid.ntlal. . . .. . . ..... 1,181 4.851 1,894 86,602 208,063 All other. .... ...... . . . 15,638 12,063 7,557 2,448,724 1,320,101 100,530 United Statcs'-total.. ... 169,341 413,701 610,455 262,078 25,818 Residential ...... . ... , . 23,273 67,403 1,820,260 1,067,123 164,726 All oth.r ... . , ...... . . . 146,068 346,208 '37 stat~s enst of the Rocky Mountain. SOUROE: F. W. Dodge Corporation. BUILDING PERMITS August 1044 Abil.ne. . . .. .. . .. Amarillo .. . .. .. .. Austin. .. . .. .. . .. Beaumont . ... . . , . Corpus Christi . . . . DallAs .. ... . . ,. . . EI Paso. ......... Fort Worth. .. .. .. Galveston. . . . . . . . Houston . ... .. " .. Lubbock . . . . . . . . . Port Arthur ..... , SaD Antonio. . . . . . Shreveport, La .. · Wnco. . .... .... .. Wiohita Falls. . . . . No. Valuation 11 I 50,335 80 119,416 84 40,676 127 161,061 122 202,016 571 323,110 66 178,496 246 293,908 24 1l,066 250 889,105 121 go,050 59 27,040 802 482,886 207 101,233 40 24,539 25 68,926 -- Total.. .... 2,834 12,842,938 Peroontagc chllDgo Perc.ntage Jan. 1 to Aug. 31, 19U ehanqa valuation from valuation No. Valuation from 1948 Aug.l043 July 1944 +440 201 I 315,266 + 88 38 + 19 595 906,539 + 91 +921 _ 61 809 425,763 +104 45 +336 1,060 626,459 - 71 +526 + 14 1,017 1,368,673 50 +141 _ 31 4,078 5,742,701 +138 - 57 _ II 676 1,081,677 +220 +418 + 30 1,866 2,303,312 - 50 - 57 - 96 600 811,663 + 17 -83 - 12 1,007 6,383,835 + 6 -17 _ 76 1,057 748,461 +374 +124 486 227,532 + 6 _ 29 +218 6,015 2,803,025 + 50 +88 -+ 40 62 1,195 766,706 +100 47 - 61 627 1,161,585 + 94 - 42 +228 242 196,050 + 44 + 62 + + + - 5 - 17 24,320 $25,858,146 + 12 6 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW tinued on a restricted basis. On account of the acute demand for cotton duck, the War Production Board has ordered a considerable number of looms to convert from the production of other fabrics to the manufacture of duck, and has required all looms producing the needed grades and qualities of duck to operate at a maximum number of hours per week. Stocks of cotton on hand in consuming establishments at the end of August totaled 1,710,000 bales, as compared with 1,928,000 bales in August last year, indicating a decrease of 11 per cent. Stocks held in public storage and compresses on August 31 were 7,937,000 bales, which was about four per cent below the amount on hand at the end of July and one per cent under the 8,027,000 bales held on August 31, 1943. Reflecting slow progress in the picking and ginning of cotton, cottonseed receipts at Texas cottonseed oil m ills during August were only 80,160 tons or about 51 per cent below the receiptS for the same month a year earlier. Although the amount of s~cd crushed showed a seasonal increase during August, as many mIlls resumed operations, the total was 37 per cent less than in August, 1943. August production of cottonseed oil, cake and meal, hulls and linters ranged from 35 to 42 per cent below that in the same month last year. Stocks of cake and meal and linters all hand at Texas mills declined further during August, and ell d of month stock of all products were sharply lower than those On August 31, 1943. INCOME PAYMENTS TO INDIVIDUALS IN THE ELEVENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT According to data compiled by the Department of Commerce, income payments of individuals in the five states, wholly or partially included in the Eleventh Federal Reserve District, are estimated to have reached $10,022,000,000 in 1943, as compared with $7,726,000,000 in 1942 and $4,585,000,000 in 1939. The increase of 30 per cent in income payments during 1943 was substantially larger than the national average. During the period from 1939 to 1943, inclusive, income payments in this district rose 119 per cent, as against an increase of 96 per cent for the n ation. While the increase in each of the five states in this district was above the national average, Arizona ranked first with a gain of 148 per cent, and was followed hy Texas and Louisiana with increases of 123 per cent and 120 per cent, respectively. These three states also showed the largest percentage gains in 1943 as compared with 1942. The rate of increase in income payments between 1939 and 1941 in this district was smaller than the national average, but it was greatly accelerated in 1942 and 1943 when this district became an important factor in war production. In 1940 and 1941, industries in this district received a relatively small volume of contracts for war production. This situation reflected the fact that industry in this district is composed mainly of small units, and the initial supply contracts were awarded chiefly to large units located in the industrial areas of the United States which had existing facilities to produce the products. In 1942, urgent war needs resulted in the inauguration of a huge building program for the construction of military camps and industrial facilities in this area and were responsible for the development of an extensive sub-contracting system which enabled small plants to participate extensively in war production. As the new facilities were completed, industrial employment rose rapidly, and large contingents of the military personnel were shifted to this area for training. The extent of the rise in the industrial activities is indicated by the fact that payrolls in war industries rose from $190,000,000 in 1941 to $919,000,000 in 1943. A large portion of this increase resulted from the expansion in aircraft production and in shipbuilding. There were also large increases in Government payments to soldiers stationed within this area and in allotments and allowances to dependents of military personnel. Moreover, the huge militdary demand for petroleum and petroleum products necessitate. a rapid expansion in petroleum production in this district durIng 1943. Although cash farm income in this district has more thad doubled since 1939, the rate of expansion has been less m arke d particularly in 1942 and 1943, than that of total income all has been slightly smaller than the national average. In each of the five states of this district, per capita income is substantially below the national average and the total for the region in 1943 constituted less than three-fourths that for the nation. During 1943, Texas had the highest per capita in cO l1!c, with a total of $818, but it was 20 per cent below the per capltd income of $1,031 for the United States. Between 1941 a~ 1943, Oklahoma had an increase of 75 per cent in per capIta income, while Texas and Louisiana had increases of 65 per cent. INCOME PAYMENTS-Ioao TO 1043 (In millions of doUars) 1030 1940 1941 70.601 75.852 92,260 Unite1 RtBt... ... .. ... .. . . 4,585 4,7M 5,800 Total- five states .. ... . . . 228 237 287 ~~i~r~~·a·. ', :: : : ::::: ::: ~ : 829 847 1,066 178 190 222 NOlO M~.ico .. .. .. . .. . .. . Oklahoma . .. .. .. .. . . ... . 79~ 829 956 Texus .. .. ... .... .. .... , . 2,554 2,652 3,269 1942 114,762 7,726 426 1,395 285 1,2R3 4,337 Income payments eaoh state as a percontage of National total 100 .0 100.0 100 .0 1000 United States.. . ... . .. . .. Total-five atate....... .. 6 .4 6.3 0 .3 0.7 Arizona........ .... . . . . . .3 .3 .3 .4 Louisiana..... .... .. . .. .. 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.2 New Mexico.. ...... .. .. . .2 .3 .2 .2 Oklahoma.. .. . . .. .. .. .. . 1.1 1. 1 1. 0 1. 1 Texll8.. .. .. .... .... .. .. . 3 .0 a .5 3 .6 3 .8 PER CAPITA INCOME PAYMENTS- (In dollars) 1980 1940 1941 1942 United Statc.-. . . . . . . . . • . . 539 575 003 858 ~~i~r.~n·(":, ::: : : ::::: : :: : Now Mexico.. .... ....... Oklahoma .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . m m 341 340 Texll8.... ....... .. .. . .. . 401 SOURCE: Dopartmont of Commerce. 35H 356 413 ~g~ 416 417 497 m 530 579 647 100. 0 7.3 .4 \.3 .3 \.2 4.1 1043 1,031 805 714 656 729 818 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW OCTOBER 1, 1944 NATIONAL SUMMARY OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS (Compiled by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System) INDUSTRIAL. PRODUCTION I'tIf' IO.I.L ~lIiI' ICUOUL., 401lltTU. !tU. " "" 'O~ r ' UL 'I 240 0 l - t-- leo ISO 120 100 I f\;- [QU?~ - rAN'~ ~ , 100 80 ''' ' ' '''4'fl. ~Ff /l . ,,' ._-/ 0r I / 60 !J,. 40 ClI.IfllAlr..r .L 20 o fff=f" I 1-1 , eo I 120 L'"LN!IIY ' h~J I LL 11' ,.ftfT • • ~" 140 20 o 1940 1942 1944 1940 1942 1944 tcr~derf l R~serv,e indexes, Groups are expressed in latess 0h POlOtS lO the total in dex, Monthly ligures, t s Own arc for August, 1944, Industrial output and employment showed little change in August. Retail trade was at a new high level for the month. There was a sm all further rise in retail commodity prices. INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Output at factories and mines was 232 per cent of the 1935 - 39 average in August as compared with 23 1 for July, according to the Board's seasonally adjusted index of industrial production. Steel production was maintained, while output of nonferrous metals continued to decline. Over-all, activity in the metal fabricati ng industries continued at the level of the preceding month, There were large increases in ou tput of heavy trucks, tanks, and some other critical ordnance items in August; aircraft production showed little change; while shipbuilding declined. Output increased in the shoe, woolen and worsted, and paper industries in August following a drop in July wh ich reflected chiefly the curtailment of operations around the Fourth. Output of manufacnured foods, after allowance for seasonal changes, declined in August, largely reflecting decreases in output of meats, d airy products, and Sl,lgar products. Distilleries were shifted for the montb of August from production of industrial alcohol for war purposes and output of about 50,000,000 proof gallons of beverage spirits was reported. Production of other nondurable goods was maintained at the level of the preceding month. .. . ,. .". . . '. DEPARTMENT STORE SAL.ES AND STOaKS ~ _ .~ . y I~ ,I ,-1\, IeOI- I. ·I M - Ii lI.IV'/J : \ ~-N 0 ",u~ 14 0 I , J I ~! h '/\ N !PI f£, V 120 100 E3; VI><' ___:r ~ V, 200 100 160 1'4 0 I20 ,oJ I 00 00 I937 19~e 1938 1940 19 41 1942 194:1 19·... sh Federal Reserve indexes, Monthly ligures, latest Own arc for August, 1944, MEMBER BANKS IN LEADING CITIE~ average has been at the highest level on record. Carloadings of railroad fright were maintained in large volume in August. During the first three weeks in September loadings were slightly less tban during tbe same period a year ago, owin!: to decreases in all classes of freight except merchandise in less tban carload lots and miscellaneous shipments. 1&40 194 1 and bricks were increased. R etail prices of food and other cost of living items increased slightly in August and the average of all items was 2 per cent higher tban a year ago, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics index. AGRICUL l'URE 10 ll1e~~mand ~eposits Wholesale prices of farm products and foods showed small seasonal decreases from the middle of August to the middle of September. Maximum prices of such industrial goods as cotton fabrics, cement, Crop prospects improved during August and tbe early pare of September and harvests of most major crops are expected to be larger than last season, Marketings of livestock products, which were at a record level earlier this year and 15 per cent higber than during the first six months of 1943, have declined in July and August to about the s~me level as tbau prevailing last year. 1 - - 1-__1-_ 1 1939 DISTRIBUTION Value of department store sales, according to the Board's seasonally adjusted index, was la rge r in August and the first half of September than in the first half of 1944 and averaged 12 per cent above the corresponding period of last year. In the third quarter the index at 90 per cent above the 1935 -39 COMMODITY PRICES eo 10 Minerals output in August rose 2 per cent from July, reflecting increases in coal and crud e petroleum. Crude petroleum production was at a rate 11 per cent above the same month last year. ~2 -'94 - '- - ' -"' - 4-" (ad justed) exclude U, S, Govern· GOvcr~nd Interbank deposits and collection items. iSSu es \WnJ secu rities include direct and guaranteed tCll1b~r 13~ 19c.;J.a y ligures, latest shown are for Sep- IAEMO ER BANK RES E ~VES -"-1-_ _..., 10 '~!la , 0 lNO 194 1 19 42 194& 1044 Breakdo ' I>ar'tly c , wn b etween required and excess reserves for SCpt~tJmbeated, Wednesday ligures, latest sbown are III r 20, 1944. BANK CREDIT Bank deposits of businesses and individuals, as well as currency in circulation, bave increased since the end of the Fifth War Loan Drive. This increase in the money holdings of businesses and individuals is largely a reflection of the expenditures made by the Treasl'ry from its war-loan accounts built up during the drive, Adjusted demand and time deposits at member banks in leading cities increasd by nearly 4 billion dollars between the close of t~e drive an,d mid-Sep~cmber, Or by ov~r three-quarrers of t he amount of reduction in such funds dunng the dnve. DepoSIts at non-reportlOg banks probably increased by nearly 2 billion dollars. Treasury war loan accounts at banks declined by nearly 8 billion dollars. In the same period loans and investments at weekly reporeing member banks in 101 leading cities , d b 2 2 billion dollars, Loans to brokers and dealers for purchasing and carrying Government y . , d ecIlOe securities declined to a level approximately equal to that of the pre-dnve period. There was, however, , crease in such borrowings in late August and early September presumably associated with a temporary 111 • , market transactions stemming from the Treasury offer to exchange certIficates maturlOg on September 1 and notes maturing on September 15 for new issues. Loans to others for purchasing and carrying " d l'ned steadily but on September 13 were Hill well above the pre-drive level. Government securitIes cc 1 . , , hid ' s showed a net decline of 800 million dollars over the period, reflecting mainly subsecunty a 109 . . , . st antial bill sales by reporting banks partially offset by some Increase In bond holdlOgs. As the result of the increase in deposits of businesses and individuals, the average level of required mber banks rose by about a billion dollars between the close of the Fifth Drive and II e m , . ." reserves at a 'd S b In addition a billion-dollar IDcrease 111 money In CIrculatIon and some further decrease ml - eptem cr. , , ld k ser ved to absorb reserve funds. Member bank needs for reserves due to these factors wece InF HOC , 'h gh an increase of 1.7 billion dollars in the Government security portfolio of the Federal met I arge I y t rou . , e was also a slight increase in Reserve Bank dIScounts. Excess reserves declined Reserve Ban k s an d tller vel of I 4 billion at the cl05e of the drive to somewhat less than a billion by early le rom an average . f September.