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Federal Reserve Banli. of Dallas This summary or agricultural and commercial conditions 'In the Eleventh Federal Reserve District Is Issued In the belief that a concise review or trade will be of Interest to our member banks. business men of the district and friends of the Federal Reserve System. The Information given Is obtained by the Federal Reserve Agent from various sources throughout the district. and In our opinion the same Is reliable. Those desiring the letter furnished them regularly will receive It without charge upon application. DALLAS, NOVEMBER, 1918, Unseasonably warm weather, accompani·ed by the influenza epidemic, has had a very serious effect on business in nearly all parts of the District during the past thirty days, and trade has been generally inactive as the result. In the larger cities, authorities have closed the sch.ools on account of the influenza scare and placed a ban on m'oving picture shows and theatres. as well as public meetings where crowds might congregate. This, of course, has resulted in people staying closely at home and made for a general dt111ness in business. Retail trade has su ffered most. It is expected that this slump in trade will be only temporary; in fact, reports now indicate that the situation is somewhat ~l11proved, and we believe the worst of the dang,er IS over. Our correspondents in all communities have been so thoroughly absorbed in the Fourth Liberty Loan campaign that replies to inquiries regarding business conditions have not been as numerous or satisfactorv as would otherwise have been the case. Conse~vatism in all lines is still very pronounced. Ot1tsicle of the developments above noted, but little change has occurred in trade conditions since a month ago. Wholesale dry goods firms report that the volume of business in September was unusually heavy. In fact, some of the largest wholesalers advis'e that the month's business was the greatest in their history. At the present writing there is a temporary lull, as with Fall shipments out of the way, and the Winter purchasing period later than usual, on account of warm weather, it is "between seaSons" with them and some inactivity is reported. Cool'er weather is badly needed to stimulate trade. The volume of orders with the large mail order houses also reflects the effect of warm weather and the influenza epidemic, and a decrease is reported over the same period a month ago. In other wholcsale lines, such as groceries, hardware and drugs, business is very good, and the volume exceeds last year. Collections in the wholesale trad·e are fair to good, and should greatly improve as cotton and other Fall crops are marketed. Manufacturing is active. Agricultural conditions continue to improve, as the result of fine rains over a large AGRICULTURE area of the district, especially those counties of Central and Vvest Texas, which have been heavy sufferers from the drouth. This condition is particularly true in such counties as Jones, Taylor, McCulloch, Menard, San Saba, and Tom Green, where advices within the past week indicate a rainfall averaging {rom one to three inches. N early all of Central and West Texas have received good rains during the past week. This will permit of extensive preparations for next year's crops, and our correspondents advise that an unusually large ·a creage of wheat and oats will be sown. Prospects for a top crop of cotton have been somewhat improved during the past thirty days, by rains in North, Northeast and l:"ast Texas, as the moisture greatly revived the plant, permitting of the maturity of bolls and stimulated the growth generally. While over most of the district the top crop will be negligible, it is a fact that in the Red River counties, and other favored sections, there will be a considerable yield. The agitation over Gov·ernment price-fixing has had· a demoralizing effect on the movement, and at this writing v·ery few sales are being made. In a bulletin issued by the Texas representative of the United States Department of Agriculture on October 2nd, the condition of the Texas crop is esti- This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) mated at 44 per cent of normal, against a condition at the same period last year, of 43 per cent. Based on this estimate Texas will produce 2,820,000 equivalent 500 pound bales. The sweet potato crop of East Texas is now being marketed, and the yield promises to be generally satisfactory. Our correspondent at Winnsboro, which is one of the principal potato producing centers, advises that owing to the scarcity of plants in th e Spring- the production there will be materially curtailed. Farmers who wer-c able to secure plants are selling to their less fortunate neig hbors, and as a result up to the present writing only thre'e cars have moved. Our correspondents in some of the principal feed producing counties of the "Panhandle," such as Wheeler, Gray and Swisher, report that the crop of maize, kaffir and sorghum will not average onetenth of normal. The feed crop is very light on account of the protracted dry weather. The Liberty Loan campaign has overshadowed all other financial matters during the BANKING month. At this writing figures indicate a large over-subscription. \Vhen the final returns are·received, the total should be materially increascd. It is quite gratifying to report that many of the counties in the drouthstricken sections were the first to raise their quota. Other counties in more favored sections, wher'e it was expected the quotas would be quickly raised, have seemingly found it difficu lt to do so. T?e influ'enza epidemic and rumors of peace senously retarded the campaign, as the impression generally prevailed that if t h e war ended quickly there would be no necessity to subscribe to the loan. The announcement that the Government is already making preparations for the F ifth campaign early in 1919 should and no doubt will, dispel this feeling. Of the six ~eries of Treasury Certificates (not including that of 9ctober 1st) issue~ in <1:nti~ipa~io,n of the Fourth LIberty Loan, of whIch thIS dlstnct s allotment was $86,400,000, we have subscribed $73,863,000; or a deficit of 14~ per cent of the. t.o tal allotment. When it is conSIdered that condItIons in t he Eleventh District are not 85 per cent of normal, we think t he showi ng made is an excellent one. T he demand for funds is very heavy, and altho ugh at th is season a gener al liquidation is to be expected, the same has not tal<:en place up t~ this t ime. T his is attributable to t he slow market111 g' of the cotton crop . As a result, the loans and discounts of member banks have decreas'ed but slightly, and deposits have not appreciably incr eas'e d. I nterest r ates are finn, and t he m ajority of loans are being made at prevailing rates of 6 t o 8 per cent. T his instit ution is enco uraging in every possib Je way the policy of memb er banks in discriminating hetween essent ial an d non-essential credits, an d thi s counsel, according t o our inform ation, is b eing pretty generall y follow ed. The demand on thi s b ank for the month ending Octob·er 21st has continued very heavy, and our loans and discounts have increased durin g that period approximately $8,000,000. In order to m0et the same, we have found it necessary to rediscount with other Federal Reserve banks. Member banks' reserve deposits have fluctuated but little within the past thirty days. During the same period the Federal Reserv'e note circulation of this bank has increased some $6,000,000. VI e continue to receive additional 'a pplications from state banks. At present ,our state bank membership is 89. Clearings at the principal cities of the district show a n incrcase of 31 per cent in September over the same month of 1917. Following are figures in detail for that period, also for the first nine months of 1917 and 1918: SEPTEM13ER Austi n ................. ,.......... $ Beanmont ................ ,.. DaIJas ........... ................. E1 Paso .......... .............. Port WorLh ............... , Galvcston ....................... Houston ..................... ,. Shreveport ...................... Waco ........... ...... ,. .,... 1917 12,165.646 4.145,924 69.664.280 16, 108.191 5'f.630,339 26,746.643 64,078,924 9.000,000 11,252,549 1918 $ 12,600.000 5.098.026 107.789.194 19.524.935 60,482,285 32.337.686 87,614,995 11.000,000 14.662,130 Inc. 3.6 23.0 54,.7 21.2 10.7 20.9 36.7 22.2 30.3 TaLa 1.. .......................... $267.792,496 $351.109.551 I ncreasc-$83,317,055-31 % NINE MONTHS 1917 AusLin ..._........................$130.0·17,471 Bcaul110nt ........................ 41.993.791 DaIJas .......................... ... 479,469,001 EI Paso ............................ 154,202.661 Port Worth .................... 437,681,572 Galvcston ........................ 186,995.227 Houston .......................... 463,390,426 Shrcveport ...................... 64,023.088 1918 $150,241.434 49,810.333 727,237.711 162,74S,257 506,666,912 192.085,329 567,218,977 88.199,151 Inc. 15.5 18.0 51.7 5.5 15.8 2.7 22.4 37.8 TOlal.. ........................$1,957,803,237 $2,444,208,104 Incl'case-$486,404.867-24.8% Building permits issued at the principal cItIes of the district in September show an BUILDING increase of 269 in number, and $56,554 in valuation, or 7.5 per cent, over the same month of 1917. The building industry shows little change in the past month . Oper ations are confined st rictly to Government demands, and conditions prevailing justify the statement that the industry is due for a long term of dull ness. The extreme shor tage of labor is preventing the lumber m ills from ru nni ng over half of the time. Added to this situation is the embargo placed by the Govern me nt Rai lroad Administration against the shipment of lumb er to poi nts East of t he Mississippi R iver or North of t he O hio River, except 0 11 w ritten ord'er, which has lar gely decreased shipments for that t erritory. 1 he r estrictio ns placed upon building operation s by th e War Industries Board, wh er eby no new buildings shall q e st arte d w ithout a permit . [rom that Board (except farm buildings costing not ~o exceed $1,000, and no repairs to existing buildIngs which shall exceed a cost of $2,500), are very materially reducing the retail lumber trade. 'The price of lumber remains steady at the Government ~1<aximum list. The clay products industry and ot.her hnes of building material are marking tim e on account of the Government's building r egulations. DetaiLed figures of building permits follow : Austin SEPTEMBER 1917 No. Va luation. 17 14,182 No. 9 1918 Valuation. 13,595 tort Worth ................ 1-Ialveston ....... -.......... S ouston ....... - ............. all An tonio .............. ~reve port .................. aco ............................ 24 200 164 169 67 17 79 388 251 203 55 24 85,792 15,286 205,400 242,680 73,940 45,250 ~ff~~~::~;::::~:::~~:~~~~~:~~:~~ 11~ ~H~! 66,545 14,326 211,030 120,065 28,967 56,217 ~ ~~:~~! TotaL ..................... 882 $754,340 1,151 $810,894 Increase in Valuation-$56,554-7.5% Increas e in Number-269 Detailed figures as shown below for the month of September indicate a decrease in FAILURES number of failures of 9, and an increase of $49,379 in the amount. of liabilities carri<ed, over the same month of 1917: Number 1917 1918 42 33 Lia bili ties 1918 1917 $223,142 $272,521 Labor conditions are about the same as previou sly reported . Little if any change has ocLABOR curred, except perhaps there is a greater shortage in skilled Iabor for all class<es of work. The influenza epidemic has depleted the organizations of many concerns, and more especially banking· institutions. In some instances 50 per cent of the clerical force is short on account of sickness, which has resulted in the work of such institutions getting very badly hehind. 'the live stock industry in Arizona is in a serious condition. Ranchmen who are LIVE STOCK able to do so are shipping their herds to other sections for pasturage, and a large number of cattle have been s'ent into Mexic,o. In Texas and New Mexico live stock conditions are somewhat improved, as rains during the past month have relieve d range conditions. From Roswell our correspondent advises that within the next sixty days range conditions will be greatly relieved by the shipment of sheep and cattle, and as a result there should be a general liquidation of indebtedness in that section. It is also expected that in the v·ery near future the deferred payme nts from the Government for the 1918 wool crop will he made and this should greatly relieve the [1I1ancial situation. The high price of cake and other feed has made for rather an unfavorable outlook as regard s cattle in the Northwestern part of the district. The experiences of last season have made the ranch men of that section realize that they cannot hold cattle at the present price of feed and make any profit out of them. It is expected that a large shipment of hogs-probably 50 or 75 carloadswill soon move from t.he Nacogdoches community, and this will ease financial conditions in that section. On account of the drouth, the consequent shortage of cars and the high prices of feed, there has been an unusually large run of cattle to the markets within the past 30 days. They are in an unfit condition and prices received ar'e low. Post office receipts at the principal cities of the district for Sept'ember show an POST OFFICE increase of $155,098, or 40.6 per RECEIPTS cent, over the same month of 1917. Detailed figures follow : 1917 Austin ....................... _................... _...$ 17,100 Beaumoll t ........................................ 10,0+2 Dallas ... "............................................ 114,258 E1 Paso ............................................ 25,796 Fort Worth ..................................... 47,609 Galveston ........................................ 12,792 Houston ....................................... _.... 58,769 San Antonio .................................... 60,997 Shreveport ...................................... 15,760 Waco ....................... _.. _................... 18,897 TotaL .......................... _...... _.... $382,020 Increase-$155,098-40.60/0 1918 $ 22,463 14,980 1.-14,044 29,798 68,512 21,609 85,582 91,005 22,295 36,830 $537,118 Business conditions over the Eleventh District may be summarized as generally satisfacGENERAL tory. We believe the present unsettled situation, caused by the epidemic, will soon pass away and as cooler weather approaches conditions should greatly improve. At present the Fall s'eason is rather late, and the weather during October has been warmer than that prevailing in September. This has had an unfavorable tendency, and has checkecl activities in many lines. Considering the various elements caused by the war the outlook is promising, ancl with the Liberty Loan campaign over, and the situation on a more even basis, the outlook is encouraging. STATEMENT OF CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS At the Close of Business OCTOBER 25, 1918. RESOURCES Gold coin and certificates in vault.. ............................................. ........... _...................................................................... . $ 8,032,537.50 7,822,254.66 :::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: 2, 158,750.00 Gold held with for eign agencies ........................................................................................................................................ 204, 0.10.61 Gold with Agent for retirement of F. R. Notes ........................................................................................................ . 24,215, 195. 00 g:~~ ~:~t~~~~~otn f~::d:::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::. $42,432,74;1;.77 Total L egal t ender notes, silver, etc...................................................... .............................................................................. ... . 935,829.85 $43,368,577.62 Total 5% redem ptio n fund-F. R. Bank Notes ....................................... - .............................................................................. . Bills discounted- m emb ers ......... _................................................................................................................................. . Bills bought in open ma rket ....................................................... ........... - ..................................................................... . 181,700..00 46,677,385.89 2\400,000.00 Total Bills on Hand ................................................................. ................................................................................... . $48,077,385.89 Investments-U. S. Bonds ............................................................. ................................................................................... . One year Treasury No tes ..................................• .................................................................................... U. S. Certifi ca tes of Indebtedness ................................................ .................................................................................... 4,00.4,80.0..00 901,00.0. 00 2a5,SOn.00 Total earning assets ................................................................ ................................................................................... . $53,188,685.89 7,005,633.98 F ederal R eserve Banks-Transfers Bought- (net) ............... .................................................................................. . Checks and drafts in process of collection ............................................................................... _.................................• 10,204,436.83 961,888.72 Due from other F . R. Banks ........................................ ········· ....... ................................................................................... . 4,921,288.32 All oth er resources ..................·····················:····· ........................................................................................._...................... . Total Resources ............................................................................................................... _........................................ $119,832,211 .36 LIABILITIES Capital paid in .................................. ·················· ............................... .................................................................................... $ 3,115,100.00 5,097,976.35 Gover nment deposits ...................................................................... ....................................... _.._.. _.. _.................. ........... . Due to member banks' reserve account .........................................,................................................................................ 37,347, 596. 09 7,262,467.79 Deferr ed credits, account checks and drafts in process of collection .................................................... ........ . Federal R ese rve N otes in circula tion ........................................ ................................................................................... . 62,212,120.00 3,163,900.00 F. R . Bank Note Circula tion ........................................................ ................................................,................................... 1,633,051.13 All other liabilities ...........................·.·············· ...................................- ............................................................................... Total Liabilities .............................................................................................................. _......................................... $119,832,211.36 OFFICERS W. F. RAMSEY, Federal R eserve Agent. J. W . HOOPES, Deputy Gov ernor. CHARLES C. HALL, Ass't F ederal Reserve Agent. R. L. VAN ZANDT, Governor. LYNN P . TALLEY, Cashier. R. R. GILBERT, Assistant Cashier. R. BUCKNER COLE MAN, Assistant Cashier. PAUL G. TAYLOR, Assistan t Cashier. FRE D HARRIS, Assistant Cashier.