Full text of Review (Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas) : May 1963
The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
, business • revIew may 1963 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS This publication has been digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) contents cattle numbersstill going up? ... .. . . .. ... . .... .. .... ..... . 3 construction drive carefully! . ..... .... . .. . . ... .......... . 1 district highlights .... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 cattle numbersstill going up P . "The only way to make money on cattle IS to have some" is an expression sometimes repeated by cattlemen. Recent trends indicate that this adage still has great appeal. On the other hand, too many cattle can result in unprOfitably low prices. Cattle numbers in the five ~Outhwestern states and the Nation have been mc reaslllg for the past 5 years from the cyclical . low point reached in 1957 and, at the beginning ~f ~his year, reached a new high in both areas. his development and the decline in prices, particularly of fed cattle, during the past few months have resulted in some reappraisals of the near-term prospects for beef cattle. Since cattle marketings and cattle prices tend to have an inverse relationship, the size of cattle and calf inventories and the rates at which numbers are b' . . emg Illcreased or decreased are quite Important. Cattle and calf numbers in the United States (eXclusive of Alaska and Hawaii) bave risen 14 percent to 103.5 million head since 1958, ~hen the present upswing in inventories began. n the Southwest, the number of cattle and ~alves has increased 26 percent to a level of 8.1 million. The pace at which U. S. cattle ~umbers have been advancing since 1958 has i e.e~ more moderate than the rate during the nltlal 5 years of the 1949-58 cycle. On the ?ther hand, the increase in the cattle population In .the Southwest has been relatively more rapid, pnmarily reflecting the somewhat more severe redUction in herd numbers in the region as a ~es~1t of the drought-related liquidation of cattle unng the 1953-57 period. In the Nation, inventories of all cattle and calves rose around 18.8 million head from the beginning of 1949 through 1953, compared with about 12.4 million head since January 1, 1958. In the five southwestern states, the cattle population showed a net gain of 2.3 million head during the 5-year period beginning in 1949, which is significantly less than the 3.7 million increase during the past 5 years. About 30 percent of the total expansion in U. S. cattle and calf numbers since 1958 has occurred in the Southwest, compared with only about 12 percent during tbe first 5 years in the previous cycle. Currently, cattle numbers in the five states account for slightly more than 17 percent of the U. S. total , a proportion little different from that just prior to the liquidation of southwestern herds as a result of drought. Potential beef supplies also have been expanded by a change in the proportion of cattle which are raised primarily for beef and those which are kept for milk production. Milk cattle numbers in the United States have been gradually trending downward from their high point in 1944. By tbe beginning of 1963, the milk cattle inventory was 28.8 million head, or 30 percent below two decades earlier. Milk cattle as a percentage of total cattle numbers had begun to decline in 1939. At the beginning of that year, livestock kept for milk comprised 54 percent of the total, but by 1963 this proportion had declined to 28 percent. The downtrend in milk cattle numbers in the Southwest has followed national developments, and, at the beginning of this year, only about 10 percent of the cattle population in the five states was for milk production. Reductions in the inventory of dairy animals in both the United States and the Southwest have arisen business review/may 1963 3, FIVE S STAl Resic Nonl Publl UNITE[ Resic Nom Publ Ar pNOl SOL 1 ELEVE~ Texc G Vol Ec Pc R. Soul' Norl OUTSI[ UNITEC p- SOU as a result of changing patterns of consumption and the trend toward greater specialization and increased usage of capital in farm production. A gradual shift has occurred in the utilization of milk, with a greater proportion of the milk being used for drinking purposes and for manufactured products containing less butterfat and a lower percentage being consumed as cream and butter. The bulk of the small-sized family dairies which often marketed dairy products in the form of butter or farm-separated cream have disappeared. Those remaining in dairying have boosted herd sizes and, more importantly, have increased output per cow. Average production per cow in Texas, for example, increased 55 percent during the past decade, compared with 33 percent in the Nation. However, total outturn of milk has eased slightly in the Southwest, but that in the Nation has continued to rise. In 1962, U. S. milk production was at a record level, despite a decline in milk cow numbers and the drought conditions in several important dairying areas. On a per capita basis, milk production and consumption in the Nation generally have been decreasing since World War II. CATTLE ON FARMS AND RANCHES, JANUARY 1 UNITED STATES * TOTAL CATTLE AND CALVES 80 60 40 20 o 1920 M 48 1101 ... 1 930 SOURCE: U 5.Q.por1m.nl 01 Agr lew lholf'. 4 4 1940 1950 UNITED STATES* MILLI ONS OF HEAD DOL.L.ARS PER HUNDREDwEIGHT 110 30 100 25 90 20 80 15 70 10 60 5~~.-L-"~ 0 ~-'1~ 0~--~~ IO 19 2~ 93~ 194 0~--~ 50~L-~ 60 0 19~ 19L~ * 48,101 ... SOURCE: U,S,D,pollm, nl of Ag,lelllll"., The potential for increased output of beef is especially evident in the trend in numbers of beef cows 2 years of age and over. Since 1958, U. S. numbers of this class of livestock have increased 5.7 million, with about 29 percent of this rise occurring in 1962. Further, inventories of heifers 1 to 2 years old rose nearly 8 percent last year. Thus, the size of the basic breeding herd indicates that the calf crop will be moderately larger in ] 963 than it was in 1962. Although there is little indication that the current expansion phase in cattle numbers is coming to an end, increased marketings arising from the larger-sized basic breeding herds eventually may be reflected in a softening in cattle prices unless offset by population growth and rising per capita disposable income. In a typical cycle, prices begin to decline before the peak in inventories is reached. In addition to the effect of increased cattle marketings upon prices, the supply of competing meats, such as pork and poultry, can also have an important impact. MILLIONS OF HEAD 100 CATTLE NUMBERS AND PRICES 1960 Consumer preference for beef has been one of the more favorable aspects in the long-run outlook for the beef cattle industry, and recent trends do not suggest that this preference has Waned. Beef consumption per person has risen quite sharply, from about 62 pounds in 1952 to around 90 pounds currently. Steadily rising per capita disposable income also has permitted the increasing population to exercise its preference for beef. Thus, general business conditions may affect beef cattle markets significantly. An Unduly large expansion or a sharp temporary Surge in beef supplies could be excessive in terms of population growth, established eating habits, and family food expenditure patterns. SUch an occurrence could result in lower meat prices in order to induce consumers to increase their purchases of beef. Throughout the expansion phase of the c.urrent cattle cycle, cattle prices have been fairly favorable and relatively free of sharp fluctuations until a few months ago. Prices received by U. S. farmers for a11 beef cattle moved UPward from an average of $14.90 per hundredweight in 1956, when drought-related liquidation of herds was quite severe, to $22.60 per hundredweight in ] 959. During the next 2 years, prices eased but averaged well above $20 per hundredweight. Selling prices strengthened again in 1962 but, in the latter part of the year, STEER AND COW PRICES AT SELECTED MARKETS DoLLARS PER HUNOAEDWEIOtiT 40 declined quite noticeably. These overall price trends for beef cattle, however, mask some of the more extreme variations that have occurred in prices for certain types of cattle in recent months. The largest changes in cattle prices during the past several months have occurred in the fat slaughter cattle market; the prices of stocker and feeder steers and slaughter cows have shown less pronounced swings, although the prices for each class have moved somewhat together. Prices for high-grade slaughter steers moved up about one-fifth between June and November 1962. Prices then began to decline and, by March, had dipped below the June 1962 level. Recent developments, however, do not suggest that the entire cattle price structure is about to experience a severe and prolonged decline or that the expansion in cattle numbers is being halted. Apart from the changes in cattle marketings and prices over the span of the cattle cycle itself, substantial short-run changes within a cycle can occur in the volume of beef being produced as a result of the numbers on feed, average marketing weights of animals, and the pattern of marketings. Thus, unusual factors associated with the fat cattle market may be primarily responsible for the recent price adjustments, and the cattle feeder (rather than the cattle breeder) has borne the brunt of the recent price weakness. CHOICE SLAUGHTER STEERS 20 10 [ UTILITY SLAUGHTER COWS o L__~__L-~__-L~~~~~~~ 1956 1957 1958 SOURCC: U,S,O,porlmenl 01Allrl,,,lIu,.. 1959 1960 1961 1962 1 963 The U. S. Department of Agriculture has attributed the decline in fat cattle prices to several factors, including a large increase in steer beef production in the last quarter of 1962 and first quarter of 1963, large supplies of pork in the first quarter of this year, a larger output of broilers, prospective further increases in red meat production, and the usual lag of retail prices behind wholesale pric:es. A considerable volume of fat cattle remams to be marketed, and the supplies may hold down prices for this kind of cattle for several months. business review/may 1963 I S ~ L!----.~~~~~~~ As of April 1 this year, the number of cattle and calves on feed in 28 key states totaled 8.1 million head, or ] 1 percent above a year earlier. If cattle feeders carry out their intentions to market almost half of these cattle during the second quarter of this year, marketings would be 7 percent greater than those in the comparable period in 1962. In the four major feeding states in the Southwest, cattle on feed on April 1 were 30 percent higher than on this same date last year. Despite recent developments in the cattle market, the present buildup in cattle inventories has been fairly orderly; and if range and pasture conditions remain favorable, it is likely that some further increase in herd numbers is in prospect. Grazing conditions throughout much of the western ranching country in 1962 were relatively good, and the strong prices for stockers and feeders encouraged the retention of heifers to add to the basic breeding herd. Cattle came through the winter in fairly good shape, and spring forage conditions in most western range states are about as favorable as a year earlier. The range areas in the southwestern states are among those sections of the country where pastures have deteriorated to a somewhat greater degree and grazing is slightly less favorable than a year ago. The level of prices which cattle feeders receive for their livestock during the coming months could have an important influence upon the sales and prices of stocker and feeder replacements this year. Low or unprofitable feeding margins can reduce the willingness 6 of cattle feeders to bid aggressively for feeder replacements. A sharp and widespread drought also could alter cattle raisers' plans to increase herds further, although a drought today probably would have less impact upon the cattle industrY than a drought of similar intensity would have had a decade or more ago. The wider dispersion of breeding herds throughout the country, as well as the improved range and animal huSbandry practices which have been adopted, haS made the cattle industry somewhat less susceptible to drought-related liquidation. A greater proportion of the breeding herds are located in the southeastern and midwestern sections of the country .than was the case several decades ago. In the Eleventh Federal Reserve District, cattle numbers in counties and parish~s east of a north-south line running apprOXImately through Dallas, San Antonio, and Brownsville more than doubled between 1925 and 1959, while inventories in the more westerly sections showed only a 2-percent rise. These more humid areas to the east accounted for about 54 percent of the total cattle popu~a tion in the District in 1959, compared wltn about 37 percent in 1925. The likelihood of larger calf crops fronl existing herds may induce cattlemen to b~ cautious about retaining excessive numbers 0 heifers to achieve net increases in cow number~ Many stockmen may prefer to cull overage an less thrifty cows and generally upgrade the quality and productivity of their herds, rather than concentrate primarily upon increasing numbers. constructiondrive carefully! Detour signs and large earth-moving equipll1ent are a common sight throughout the SOuthwest as cooperating Federal and state a~thorities push ahead on a multibillion-dollar hIghway program. This construction activity is eXpanding and improving the road network in order to catch up and then keep pace with the ever-increasing need for adequate, safe, and economical motor transportation. Highway congestion is a national problem, reflecting the inability of the road network to keep pace with the increase in the number of automobiles and trucks on the road, as well as the rise in miles driven per vehicle. In the Nation, motor vehicle registrations during the Past decade have increased 50 percent to 79 ll1illion, and the average number of miles each Vehicle is driven has risen 5 percent. The problem of highway congestion has been further intensified by the substantial concentration of population in major metropolitan areas. Not only has this urbanization resulted in ?reater demands for speeding traffic flow on Intracity streets and roadways, but, because of the interdependence of cities and outlying ~reas, the necessity for improved connecting Inks with all sections of the country has become 1l10re pressing. h 'f~e southwesterner, in particular, rel!es eavtly upon motor transportation. Major ~etropolitan centers expanded rapidly after orId War II, but mass transit facilities have nOt developed as fully in the Southwest as in ll1any other sections of the country. Further1l10re, the distances between most major trading centers, the relatively large geographical size of the states in the Southwest, and the lack of nearby railroad facilities in many areas prompted an early interest in highway construction and maintenance. A southwestern family without an automobile is a rarity. There is approximately one motor vehicle for every two persons in the southwestern states (Arizona, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) and the 60percent increase in automobile registrations in the Southwest since 1952 has outstripped the gain for the Nation. It is estimated that 72 percent of the southwesterners use private automobiles in going to and from work - a proportion which is virtually the same as on the West Coast but compares with 64 percent in the Nation. The Federal-Aid Highway Act of 1944 laid the basis for much of the present national system of highways, although a considerable amount of spadework toward designing such a network had been done prior to the outbreak of World War II. Highway systems are classified as "primary," which refers to roads such as those currently in the National System of Interstate and Defense Highways and other U. S. highways, and "secondary," comprised of roads that generally feed into the primary system, such as state highways and farm-to-market roads . In addition to the road systems established cooperatively by the Federal Government and the states, county or parish and city roads form an important link in the total transportation net. An important feature of the 1944 legislation was the provision for the Interstate Highway System, which was to be a selective part of the business review/ may 1963 7 primary system. The roads in the interstate system were to be limited-access highways which would span the Nation and would connect most of the major metropolitan areas. Because of the size of the southwestern states and their position along the southern boundary of the Nation, a considerable portion of the total mileage on the interstate system was allocated to the Southwest. The feature of the 1944 act providing for sharing in construction costs of major interstate roads was designed to accelerate the building of major arteries. Progress in constructing the Nation's highway system remained unsatisfactory, however, as usage increased at an even more rapid rate than had been envisaged in 1944, and Congress felt that additional stimulus to highway construction was needed. Furthermore, it became apparent that a major problem was that of speeding ground transport through and around major cities, which were growing with startling rapidity. The Federal Highway Act of 1956 increased further the national share of highway expenditures and levied additional Federal taxes on highway users in order to raise necessary revenues. The need of an adequate road system for defense purposes was particularly stressed. Under the 1956 law, the Federal Government will pay 90 percent of the cost of interstate and defense highways and continue to match the states' expenditures for securing rights-of-way and construction costs for other roads which are eligible for Federal aid. Perhaps the most glamorous highways, likely the most important thoroughfares, and certainly the most costly roads to construct are those included in the Interstate and Defense Highway System. The 41,000 miles of highways included in the system are expected to cost $41 billion, and the network is scheduled for completion by 1973. Considerable mileage of the new system embraces existing interstate highways; however, substantial improvements and some realignment of the routes of these highways are required to meet the standards' outlined for interstate and defense highways. Although they will encompass only 1 percent of the to't alnumber of miles of the Nation's roads, the interstate and defense highways will handle more than one-fifth of the traffic. It haS been estimated that one-half of the U. S. population will use these roads daily and two-thirds of the population will use them weekly. The roadways win generally have four traffic laneS but will have as many as eight lanes in metrOpolitan areas. Almost one-half of the cost of the Interstate and Defense Highway System is expected to be spent in urban areas, although only about 15 percent of the mileage will be located in such areas. The large proportiOn likely to be spent in urban areas as compared with other sections reflects the relatively higber costs of rights-of-way, increased number of lanes, and the greater preponderance of cloverleaf intersections and similar arrangements designed to alleviate traffic tie-ups as much as possible. The renewed emphasis upon construction of major highways has had a vital impact upoll the rate of road building in the Southwest. Th~ five states have been allocated 6,706 miles 0 the Interstate and Defense Highway System, or about 16 percent of the national total. Of t~e mileage in interstate and defense highwayS III t" the Southwest, Texas accounts for 45 percen, Arizona, 18 percent; New Mexico, 15 percent; Oklahoma, 12 percent; and Louisiana, 10 percent. Approximately 14 percent of the mileage ll allocated to the southwestern states is in ur?a OIl ' areas - only slightly less than in the Natl Traffic along the Interstate and Defense Highway System in the Southwest has mor~ than doubled since 1956. During the past d years, the number of surfaced miles increase f 6 percent, and the traffic carrying capacl'ty 0 . hthe roads rose measurably. Southwestern hlg ways with four or more lanes accounted for only 18 percent of the system in 1956 but, I I I INTERSTATE HIGHWAY SYSTEM IN FIVE SOUTHWESTERN STATES r -.. -.. -.. -.. _ _ .. COMPLETED OR IMPROVED ...... MAJOR TOLL ROADS "10""'","", UNDER CONSTRUCTION SOURCE: U.S. Department af Commerce. IOday, account for approximately one-half of ~he total mileage. Especially notable progress as. been made in constructing costly urban PrOJects. At the beginning of 1957, only 269 ~rban miles of southwestern highways in the I~terstate system had more than two lanes. At I e present time, there are more than 700 miles o~ these highways, most of which are divided I oroughfares. The proportion of multiple-lane Urban highways is currently higher in the SouthWest than in the Nation. 11. 1n addition to the Interstate and Defense Ighway System, important strides are being Illade in the Southwest in constructing and imProving the other road systems. The south~~ster~ states have constructed an average of . miles of other state highways for every Ill~le completed on the interstate system. The ~Ileage of state roads other than interstate tghways built since 1958 amounts to approxi~at~ly 20 percent of the total built in the abon. Thus, the five states have constructed twice as much mileage in recent years as the total mileage allocated to them for the interstate system. Road building is an expensive undertaking, and expenditures for constructing and maintaining highways in the Southwest are second only to funds disbursed at the state level on education. Total highway disbursements by state authorities during 1962 in the southwestern states exceeded $800 million, with threefourths of this total being spent for construction and other capital outlays. About $500 million of these expenditures was for building new roads. Costs of building roads are much lower in the Southwest than in many other parts of the Nation, and these lower costs and the factors related to them probably account for much of the rapidity with which highways are being completed in the region. In 1962, for instance, approximate construction costs incurred in Texas were $2 million per mile for In/,Sines!; review/ may 1963 9 a six-lane divided urban highway, $500,000 for a mile of four-lane divided highway in the open country, and $30,000 per mile for a typical farm-to-market road. The average costs per mile for similar types of highway in the Nation were about twice as high. A large part of the lower costs of highway construction in the Southwest may be the result of the relatively flat terrain, somewhat lower overall right-ofway costs, more moderate weather, and similar factors. Highway-related taxes amounted to almost 30 percent of state receipts in the Southwest during 1962. The five states received about $600 million from state taxes on motor vehicle fuels and motor vehicle and carrier taxes. In addition, approximately $300 million was distributed to these states from the Federal Government as its share of the cost of building new highways. The total revenues from these sources were slightly higher than the states' expenditures on highways during 1962. To a large extent, the southwestern states are making good progress in building and improving their roads on a pay-as-you-go basis. At the end of 1961 the long-term debt outstand ing arising fro~ highway construction purposes in the five states HIGHWAY RECEIPTS AND DISBURSEMENTS FIVE SOUTHWESTERN STATES 196 1 DISBURSEMENTS lit Do.. nOl lnclt,ld. Iron.',,,, Irorn lotol 90n,nm.nll or borro. in;,. SOU RC E: U,S. D.porlm.nT of Cornm' fct . 10 SURFACED URBAN MILEAGE IN INTERSTATE HIGHWAY SYSTEM Type of road Two lanes Three lanes One·way streets Four or more lan ~~:' . Undivid ed . . Divided Dec . 31. 1961 Five south· United w este rn States states = Dec . 31. 1~ Five south· western United StateS states ---- 221 6 11 1.627 146 66 255 3 2.170 198 42 171 548 1.239 3.321 74 192 1.073 1.49 6 SOURCE : U. S. Department of Commerce. ---- totaled less than $400 million, with Louisiana and Oklahoma accounting for 83 percent of the total. Even the debt outstanding in each of these states, however, was significantly beloW the national average. The economic impact of the surge in road building, which has represented approximately ] 0 percent of all construction outlays in the Southwest in recent years, is difficult to assess precisely. Expenditures in the magnitude of around one-half of a billion dollars annuallY for the construction and improvement of highways provide a direct and immediate boost to employment and income. Road-building activity affects a diverse group of businesses, such as those producing and supplying cement, gravel, asphalt, and similar materials, aluminum and steel, heavy equipment, and even paint. The additional investments in service stations, roadside eating places, and similar facilities catering to the motoring public traveling the new roads will also be quite important. In addition to the stimulus provided by road construction, the demands in maintaining the roads also contribute importantly to emploYment and income. Total employment of the highway departments in the southwestern stateS exceeded 32,000 persons in 1962, and most of these workers were engaged in the multitude of jobs involved in keeping roads and rights- ofway safe and in good repa ir. Despite the high st construction standards which new roads J11u meet, the need to bolster maintenance activities will expand as mileages and traffic increase and the roadways become older. The economic impact of more efficient roadWays could be considerably more important than that generated by the construction of the roads themselves. It is estimated that the savings accruing to the American people as a result Of. using the improved interstate system alone will equal the cost of its construction by 1973 :-- the time when the system is supposed to be In its first full year of operation. The greater a~cessibility and speed that better roads provide will have the effect of opening up and broadening markets and industrial opportunities for businesses and increase the ease and efficiency of motor freight. Shortening the time required to reach distant points has the effect of lengthening weekend, holiday, or vacation periods, thereby encouraging travel that otherwise might not be undertaken. Apart from the savings in time and transportation costs, the increased safety of moving the ever-swelling volume of automotive traffic would be an additional benefit. D. STULIGROSS Industrial Economist JOHN dist,-ict highlights . In comparison with prior years, the formahon of new commercial banks during 1962 Proceeded at an advanced pace. At the close of the year, there were 1,179 banks in the 311 COunties of Arizona, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas which comprise the Eleventh Federal Reserve District, reflecting an increase of 30 banks during the year. With the population in the District counties exceeding 12 million, there are approximately 10,178 persOns per bank. Eighteen branches and offices Were added to the District banking facilities, 16 of which are attached to nonmember banks. During 1960 and 1961, the number of banks operating in the District increased by 23 and 9, respectively. A.mong the five states compnsmg the Eleventh District, Texas led in the establishll1ent of new banking facilities in 1962. The number of banks in the State reached a total of 1,045 by advancing 28, compared with increases of 21 and 8 during 1960 and 1961, reSpectively. The number of offices (primarily facilities at military reservations) expanded by 12 during the year; nonmember banks added 15 such facilities, while member banks disposed of 3 offices. Economic activity in the District states continued at a high level in March and April. In Texas the output of manufacturing firms in March was maintained at the February rate, but mining output showed a slight decline. The seasonally adjusted Texas industrial production index in March was 113 percent of the 1957-59 base, compared with 114 percent for February and 109 percent for March 1962. Easter trade at Eleventh District department stores this year, measured by sales in the 3 weeks before Easter, rose 10 percent above the corresponding weeks in 1962. Stimulated by unseasonably warm spring weather, District families began their Easter shopping early, and department store sales in each of the 3 weeks rose successively to new records for an Easter season. Sales in the week before Easter were particularly large, rising to 121 percent business review/may 1963 11 of the 1957-59 average, compared with 112 percent in the corresponding week last year. Nonagricultural employment in the District states during March advanced to a record for the month and reached a level second only to the all-time high attained in December 1962. The unemployment rate in Texas during March showed moderate improvement, decreasing to 5.2 percent of the civilian labor force from a rate of 5.8 percent in February. Continued improvement has also occurred in the insured unemployment situation in Texas. Both the total number of individuals filing claims and the number of persons filing initial claims for benefits were below the comparable year-earlier levels during almost every week of March and April. Prospective 1963 winter wheat production in the District states has deteriorated sharply from the output indicated last December. As of April 1, the crop is placed at 118.7 million . bushels, or only about 2 percent below the 1962 outturn but almost 29 percent smaller than was indicated 4 months ago. Rains in the latter part of 1962 provided a good start for winter wheat in most areas of the District except north of the Canadian River. However, the severe January weather thinned wheat stands in much of the High Plains, and inadequate moisture and high winds during the first quarter of this year further reduced prospects. Some wheat-growing sections of the District received rains during the early part of April, but much of the important High Plains area stiIl has insufficient soil moisture. The Lake Air National Bank of Waco, Waco, Texas, a newly organized institution located in the territory served by the Head Office of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, opened for business April 6, 1963, as a member of the Federal Reserve System. The new member bank has capital of $200,000, surplus of $150,000, and undivided profits of $100,000. The officers are: George Nokes, Chairman of the Board; W. A. Lanning, President; W. F. Landers, Vice President and Cashier; and Curtis Glockzin, Assistant Cashier. new member banks The Bowie National Bank, Bowie, Texas, a newly organized institution located in the territory served by the Head Office of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, opened for business April 15, 1963, as a member of the Federal Reserve System. The new member bank has capital of $200,000, surplus of $200,000, and undivided profits of $100,000. The officers are: G. L. Griffin, Chairman of the Board; Speegle Berry, President; and Wm. A. Sell, Vice President and Cashier. . ~he .Republic National Bank of Houston, Houston, Texas, a newly organized lDstItutlon located in the territory served by the Houston Branch of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, opened for business April 15, 1963, as a member of the Federal Reserve System. The new member bank has capital of $250,000, surplus of $250,000, and undivided profits of $100,000. The officers are: Hyman E. Finger, Chairman of the Board; Jerry E. Finger, President; Orlie J. Baker, Executive Vice President; and Don E. Johnson, Cashier. The First National Bank of Denton, Denton, Texas, a newly organized institution located in the territory served by the Head Office of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, opened for business April 26, 1963, as a member of the Federal Reserve System. The new member bank has capital of $200,000, surplus of $100,000, and undivided profits of $100,000. The officers are: Dorcell Young, President; Joe E. Kimbrough, Senior Vice President and Cashier; and Robert A. Nichols, Vice President. ]2 STATISTICAL SUPPLEMENT to the BUSINESS REVIEW May 1963 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS CONDITION STATISTICS OF WEEKLY REPORTING MEMBER BANKS IN LEADING CITIES RESERVE POSITIONS OF MEMBER BANKS Eleventh Federa) Reserve Di strict Eleventh Federal Reserve District (Averages of daily figures. In 'thousands of dollars) (In tho usands of dollars ) ~ 4 weeks end ed 4 weeks en de d Apr. 3, 1963 Mar. 6, 1963 4 weeks end ed Apr. 4, 196 ~ 585,779 545,696 40,083 581,568 4,211 330 3,88 1 584,163 544,193 39,970 579,76 1 4,402 9,612 -5,210 593,855 554,164 39,69 1 588,124 5,73 1 4,804 927 539,583 427, 101 11 2,482 492,640 46,943 1,732 45,2 11 544,741 432,880 111,861 495,74 1 49,000 1,037 47,963 549,487 445,974 103,513 483,496 65,991 1,054 64,937 1,125,362 972,797 152,565 1,074,208 51, 154 2,062 49,092 1,128,904 977,073 151,83 1 1,075,502 53,402 10,649 42,753 1;143,342 1,000,138 143,204 1,07 1,620 71,722 5,858 65,864 Item Apr. 24, 1963 Mar. 20, 1963 Apr. 25, 1962 1,785,882 53,930 1,817,423 50,090 1,727,553 49,429 32,194 59,124 20,274 49,752 30,074 64,425 2, 180 231,457 62,978 2,321 2,081 219,552 88,965 2,433 2,536 177,064 70,372 206 All oth er loans .. .... ............ ......... . 96,085 216,11 5 298,822 869,399 99,734 209,794 289,104 859,763 90,979 168,594 252,708 799,988 Gross loans •••.• . •..•.....•....... . . . .. Less reserves and unallocated charge-offs . . 3,710,487 69,080 3,708,965 69,035 3,433,928 62,188 Net loans .. .••. ...••..•........... ••• · • 3,641 ,407 3,639,930 3,371,740 Treasury bills ••.• ••• •.•.••••• . ...•• • • •• ••• 149,672 11 0,898 174,697 98,170 111 ,043 73,817 Oth er se curities . •.•... .. •......•.•... ....• 126,639 704,094 510,039 570,668 103,159 690,449 530,422 548,474 272, 123 692,562 421,709 480, 11 8 Total investments .. . • . ••.••• • .•. ..... ...• 2,172,010 2,145,37 1 2,05 1,372 Cash items in process of collection . ••..••• .•.• Balanc es with banks in the United States •....• . Balances with bonk s in foreign countries ..•.• • • Currency and coin . •..... .•••.•.. ...... .. . • Reserves with Fe dera l Reserve Bank ... •.•. .. •• Other a ssets .•• ... .... •• .•.•••••.•...•.•.• 620,479 471,734 5,118 64,100 550,950 226,000 609,800 540,939 4,623 59,128 568,193 224,403 587,914 490,734 2,2 15 60,984 550,192 202,629 7,751,798 7,792,387 7,317,780 Date Total Re serve city banks Country TOTAL ASSETS.... . .................. banks Total city banks Country banks 3,135,464 3,104,584 3,1 32,033 1961: March ..... 1962: March • ••.. October •.. 3,308 8 1,238 292,494 5,973 126,634 284,6 12 3,390 81,855 232,706 1,119,742 15,307 5 1,509 1,033,135 13,210 65,708 3,877 4,034 4,170 4,113 4, 180 4,234 4,007 4,05 1 3,969 4,065 4,167 4,257 4,316 4,477 4,347 4,266 2,700 3,125 3,398 3,435 3,497 3,602 3,706 3,783 1,376 1,596 1,688 1,70 1 1,718 1,771 1,8 11 1,854 1,32 4 1,529 1,710 1,73 4 1,779 1,831 1,895 1,929 Banks in foreign countries. .... . .......•... Certifl e d and offIcers' checkl, etc.• . .••..... 1,020,946 14,853 60,075 7,846 8,099 8,337 8,370 8,496 8,711 8,354 8,317 Total d emand deposits •• • •••.... • .. • • • • 4,608,378 4,708,36 1 4,562,037 1,038,995 863,885 1,027,746 829,964 890,672 666,731 512 6,202 322,751 1,512 6,277 342,532 3,007 6,617 345,806 8,911 2,350 4,762 2,350 5,988 2, 150 Total time and savings d eposits ••........ 2,243,606 2, 215, 143 1,920,971 Total de posits • ••••••.. ..•• • •.. •••.• Bill s payable, rediscounts, etc ... .. ....... .• .. All oth er lia biliti es ... . .................... . Co pital accounts ••............•. .......... 6,851,984 124,415 111,925 663,474 6,923,504 104,090 105,542 659,25 1 6,483,008 107,525 98,445 628,802 TOTAL LIA81l1TIES AND CAPITAL ACCO UNTS. 7,751,798 7,792,387 7,3 17,780 Item RESERVE CITY BANKS Tota l reserves held .. .......... ASSETS Commercial and industrial loans •....• ••...• .• Agricultural loan s•• •. .... ... ••....•• ... ••.• loans to brokers and dealers for purchasing or carrying: U. S. Government securities .. . ..... . ...... . Other securities ...... .•• .. ....... . ••••.• Oth er loans for purcha sing or carrying: U. S. Government securities •• • ... .. • ..... • • Other se curities .•... •..... ......... .•... loan s to domestic comm ercial banks ••• . •.....• loan s to foreign banks ..• •... ..... •• . • ....• loans to other financial institutions: Sales finance, personal Anance, etc ... . .. . .. . Saving s banks, mtge. cos., ins. co s., etc .. .... . Real esta te loan s. •... ..••...... ..••.... ... Treasury certiAcates of indebtedness ••... ..... Trea sury notes and U. S. Government bonds, including guaranteed obligations, maturing: Within 1 year ....• . ..•..•...... •••.••. • After 1 but within 5 ye ars ..... .... ....... . After 5 years ............... . ......... .. LIA81LITIES AND CAPITAL AC COUNTS Demand dep osits Individuals, partnerships, and corporations ..•. Foreign governments and offlcial institutions, central banks, and internationa l institutions . • U. S. Government .... . ..... .... ....... . • States and political subdivisions . ... ... .... . Banks in the United States, including mutual savings banks ... ... ..... .... ... . Time and sa ving s d eposits Individuals, partnerships, and corporations Saving s deposits . •.... . . ... ..•... . • ... Oth er tim e d eposits .... ........... . " .. Foreign governments and ofAcial institulions, central banks, and international institutions .. U. S. Government, including postal savings ••• Stat es and political subdivisions •.. ......... Banks in the United States, including mutual savings banks••• ••• . . . • . ••.....• Banks in foreign countries ... .......•...... With Fed eral Rese rve 8ank .... Currency and coin . ... . . . ... . Require d reserves .... ......... Exc ess reserves .. .. . ... ... . ... Borrowings .......... •. . ...... Free reserves ................. COUNTRY BANKS Total reserves held .. ...•. . . ... With Federal Reserve Bank .... Currency and coin . .. ........ Requir ed reserves •...... .. . ... Excess rese rves . ... ..... ...... Borrowings . .... .. .........•.• Free reserves . .. ...•.....•..•. ALL MEMBER BANKS Total reserves held ... . . ..•. •.. With Fed eral Reserve Bank ... . Currency and coin . ..•.. . .. .. Required reserves •• ......... . . Excess reserves . . ............ . Borrowing s........... . .... . .. Free reserves . .............•.• GROSS DEMAND AND TIME DEPOSITS OF MEMBER BANKS Eleventh Federal Reserve District (Averages of daily figures. In millions of do lla rs ) GROSS DEMAND DEPOSITS November .• Decem ber .. 1963: January .•• February .. . March ••• . • Reserve (I n thousands of dolla rs) Total gold certiAcate reserves ..... ..... .. •.. Discounts for member banks ............... . Other di scounts and advances ..•......•.. . . U. S. Governm ent securi ti es . .. .•.•. .. .•.... Total earning a ssets . .•.. . .... . ......•..... Member bank reserve d ep osits ••• . •.. .. ..... Federal Re serve notes in actual circulat ion ..•.. 544,547 53,100 1,710 1,268,252 1,323,062 920,422 886,390 Eleventh Federal Reserve District (In millions of dollars) ~ --- Mar. 27, 1963 Feb.27, 1963 Mar. 28, 1962 Loans and disco unts • •...•. ... . .....•.... U. S. Government obligations..•......•... Other securities .. .. . .. ... .•..... . .. . ... Reserves with Federal Reserve Bank • • ••.. .. Cash in vault e ••.•..••.... ... ......... . Balanc es with banks in th e Unite d States .... Balances with banks in forei gn countries e .... Ca sh items in proc ess of collection .. •...... Other assetse . • • .. . . . ...... .... ... ... .. 6,204 2,889 1,194 909 174 1,106 6 65 1 375 6,127 2,960 1,1 87 903 173 1, 10 1 5 677 367 5,6 14 2,880 1,030 976 161 1 146 ' 3 572 309 TOTAL ASSETS- .... ................. 13,508 13,500 1,256 7,050 3,815 1,250 7, 104 3,74 1 Total de posits •• .• .•• •• ••• . .•.• .• • . .• Borrowings e . .. .•.. . .... ..... ....••...• Other liabilitie se . •.•..••...••• • ... .. ... Total capital accounts e • .. .•..•...•••.... 12, 12 1 90 156 1,141 12,095 104 159 1,142 TOTAL L1A8Il1TIES AND CAPITAL ACCO UNTSe .•.. • •.. • • ••••••.• . ... 13,508 1 12Q9_ It e m ASSETS Mar. 20, 1963 576,541 2,050 1,710 1,256,072 1,259,832 929,765 884,501 Apr. 25, 1962 596,509 7,226 3,65 1 1,172,516 1,1 83,393 938,081 822,340 e - 2 --- CONDITION STATISTICS OF ALL MEMBER BANKS LIA81L1TIES AND CAPITAL ACCOUNTS Apr. 24, 1963 - Demand d eposits of banks . . ....•.•...... Other d emand d e posits...•.. .... '... ..... Time d eposits••... ..•••.•......•....... CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS Item -= TIME DEPOSITS Esti mated. 1W:b 1 29 1 6:936 3,198 - 11,425 75 121 1,07 0 -- ~ ~ BANK DEBITS , END-Of-MONTH DEPOS ITS AND ANNUAL RATE Of TURNOVER Of DEPOSITS NONAGRIC ULTURAL EMPLOYMENT five Southwes te rn Stotes ' (Dollar amounts in thousands) = Percont change deposit acco unts l De mand depositsl chang e from March 1963 Monroe • • •••• . . •• ..• Shreveport •••••••••• New MEXICO Roswell •• ••••. ••.••• TeXAS Abilene • • • ••• • . ••••• Amarillo • • ••••• • .. • • Austin•.. . • . . . . . ...• 1962 356,503 - 1 87,269 330,447 ARIZONA Tucson • • •• • . •• .• • • .. $ LO UISIANA Fe b. 1963 March 31, 1963 -5 13 1 -5 -13 Mar. 1963 Feb. 1963 1962 $ 160,691 26.9 26.9 29.2 57,011 173,422 18.2 21.7 16.6 21.1 21.5 23.9 Mar. Mar. 52,657 -5 36,041 17.3 16.7 17.5 99,815 226,993 269,045 181,322 200,272 17,571 3,084,540 382,727 784,598 90,756 3, 153,032 35,06 1 240,007 63,269 50,528 710,190 28,732 99,112 125,272 11 6,997 0 -12 0 -3 -8 7 13 - 8 -I -6 2 4 -6 -10 15 -5 4 -8 14 -2 10 0 9 2 1 3 7 -10 -2 -7 6 2 21 19 12 5 -6 7 - 8 3 72,557 121,516 164,324 107,147 114,579 20,179 1,279,798 192,958 401,8 12 61,99 1 1,490,544 24,925 129,996 40,970 47,008 4 16,579 18,862 69,195 7 1,459 98,544 16.8 22 .3 19.3 20.3 21.0 10.2 29.0 22.7 23.8 17.8 25.4 16.8 21.8 18.4 13.1 20.6 18.5 17.8 20.5 14.2 17.0 2 1.7 21. 1 17.9 21. 1 9.7 30.7 19.8 22.9 15.5 23.3 15.2 20.6 16.6 13.2 19.2 15.5 16.4 18.7 13.6 18.2 23.8 19.1 22.1 22 .4 10.1 32.3 25.3 26.3 16.7 26.8 16.9 21. 1 18.4 13.3 20.8 16.7 18.0 22 .1 15.7 TOlal_24 citi es • ••• .•• •$10,786,7 15 -5 24.1 23.4 25 .8 Beaumont • • • • .••••.• ~or~us Christi ••••.•.• D~li~~~~~: :::::::::: ~I Paso • • • ••• • • • . . .• art Worlh •••. .••• .• Walveston .......... . l ouston •• • • ••••• . •• l~bb~~k:::::: ::::: : ~ort Arthur .. . ....... San Angela . .. ...... Tan Anlanlo ......... Teltorkana 2. •.. . . . .. ~~~~:::::::::::::: ichlta Falls •• ...• .• -- ---$5,372,108 February 1963 March 1963e 1962r Feb. 1963 March 1962 4,667,000 807,000 3,860,000 237,700 309,400 4,638,800 801,200 3,837,600 238,400 299,500 4,559,600 792,600 3,767,000 242,900 302,900 0.6 .7 .6 - .3 3.3 2.4 1.8 2.5 -2.1 2. 1 393,000 1,109,900 234,600 648,500 926,900 393,000 1, 101,200 234,400 647,400 923,700 390,200 1,087,300 225,900 624,500 893,300 .0 .8 .1 .2 .3 .7 2.1 3.9 3.8 3.8 March Annua l rate of turnover Percent Area March 1963 from Number of porsons Debits to d emand ~ Deposits of individ ual s, partners hips, and corporations and of states and political II divis ions . b :! Th ese flgures include o nl y two banks in Texarkana, Texa s. Total debits for all Type of emplo yme nt Total nonagricultural wage and sa lary workers . • Manufacturing •.... . .... • Nonmanufacturing • . .. .... Mining .. • .. •..... .• . . Construction • . ....•••. . Transportation and public utiliti es •• •. . • .• Trade •• • • • •• . . ••• • •.• Finance •••.. . ....•.••• Service • •••••• • . .. . .. . Governm ent • .••.• . ••.• 1 Ari zona , loui si ana , 0 - Esti mated. r - SOURCES, Stale emp loyme nt agencies. Federa l Rese rve 8ank of Dallas. IN DUSTR IAL PRO DUCTION (Seaso nally odlusted indexes , 1957·59 mounled to $58,415,000 for the month of March 1963 . 1963 March 1962 11 4 129 122 134 95 113r 128r 121 133r 94r 109 123 119 126 91 120 121 121 12 1 105 137 Durab le •• •••• • • ••••••• • •• Nond urable • ••• • • ••• • •• • .• Mining • •. .•. •••.... ... ... . . 119 120 119 120 104 138 119 119 119 120 103 136r 117 11 7 117 119 105 129 UNITED STATES Tota l industria l production •• • .. . . . Manufacturing •. •.•••••• •.• • , p - r - ~~================================================= January 1963 113 129 122 134 92 Tota l industrial production • •••. . .• Manufacturing •........ .. . . . . Mining, . , ..... , .... .... .... Utiliti es • .•.•. • .• . . . .... .. • •• (Percentage change in retail va lue ) February TEXAS Durable •• • •. •• •• • • • •• ••• • Nondurable • •• . •• ••• •••••• DEPARTMENT STORE SA L ES = 100) March 1963p Area and type of Index I aonks in Tex arkana, Texas-Arkan sa s, including on e bank located in th e Eighth Di st rict, New M ox ico, Oklahoma , a nd Tex as. Revised . Pre limi nary. Rovisod. SOURCES , 80ard of Gove rnors of the Federa l Reserve Syste m. Fede ra l Reserve Bank of Dallas. March 1963 from '"""------- 3 months, 1963 from 1962 February 1963 Area ~Olal Eloventh District •• •• •••.• D~;fauS Chrisli ..... . . . . . . . . . . . ~ Pa:~::: : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : S~USlon • ••• . . • •• . .• •• • . • • •• Sh n Anlonio •••••• • • • • . .• •• •• Wre'Veport, la . • . • ••. . • .• .• .. Olh~~': : """ • • •.•• •••••• • " "" " "" • clhes • • •. March 1962 33 25 30 3 3 3 2 o -7 3 22 I 8 7 5 8 34 38 50 33 34 BU ILD ING PERM ITS 2 VALUATION (Dolla r amaunls in thousands) I 7 Percent chang e 6 3 5 Mar. 1963 NUMBER '-------------------------------------------------------- from 3 months, Fe b. 1963 Mar. 1963 from 1962 Mar. 3 mos. Mar. 3 mos. 1963 1963 1963 1963 686 1,81 2 6,909 46 5 -19 261 677 3,167 5,991 79 153 63 130 304 392 280 325 2,275 447 598 165 3,183 224 122 87 131 1,249 227 130 324 800 1,029 74 1 861 6,098 1,1 41 1,526 386 5,926 562 323 226 310 3,357 650 340 1,678 4,585 6,843 1,284 2,8 16 14,007 3,886 3,301 453 58,415 3,525 1,998 700 365 5,7 19 862 1, 174 4,482 11,273 26,701 2,898 6,339 68,892 8,5 11 11,713 2,070 95,828 16,126 4,577 2,382 1,192 15,844 5,841 5, 11 8 3 36 -42 82 48 -61 40 7 -26 217 60 34 - 13 15 33 -8 19 -8 -13 -23 -27 69 -35 -16 -40 -90 136 -19 -30 27 - 49 -3 -34 10 40 -35 15 43 -30 6 -78 7 53 -6 - 1 -20 0 25 44 Tota l- I 9 cities •• 11,216 27,089 $1 17,377 $302,687 24 Area 1962 ARIZONA Tucson • • •• .. . . LO UISIANA Shreve port •..• TEXAS Abil ene •• • • •. • Ama ril lo •• .... INDEXES Of DEPARTMENT STORE SAL AND STOCKS ES Eleventh Fe dera l Reserve District (1957· 59 = 100) ~~============================================ SALES (Daily average) STOC KS (End of month) Sea sonally :---.. Date 19 62. March . • •• • .••• October •••.• • • No'Vember • •.. • 196 Decem ber •• •• • 3, January ••• • •• • February • •• ••• ~rch • •• • •••• P- Unadjusted adjusted 91 102 126 193 83 80 98 106 100 109 III 107 109 113 Seasona ll y Unadjuste d 115 127 128 103 99 106 117p adjusted 11 4 113 112 111 11 3 113 116p Austin . . .. . •.. Beaumont . •• .. Corpus Christi .. Da lla s ... . . ... EI Pa so •. • . ••. Fort Worth •• .• Ga lveston .••. . Houston • ••... l ubbock • • . •• • Midland •• ••• . Od ess a ••••. . . Port Arthu r • ••• San Antonio ... Waco .•...... Wichita Falls •• $ 2,599 $ -73 17 14 11 Proliminary. 3 DAILY AVERAGE PRODUCTION OF CRUDE OIL VALUE OF CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS (I n thousands of barre ls) (In millions of doliars) January-March March 1963p 439 188 126 125 3,583 1,642 1,1 46 796 Area and type FIVE SOUTHWESTERN STATES' ... .... . ...... . . Resid ential building .. . .... Nonresid ential building ... . Public works a nd utiliti es . .. UNITED STATES ..... . ...... Res id ential building • .. •• .. Nonresid ential building .... Public works and utilities . .. March 1962 Februa ry 397 171 133 94 2,917 1,215 1,005 698 1963 1963p ================================= Pe rcent chang e from March 1963p 1962 Ar ea 1,148 494 353 30 1 9,240 4,100 3,150 1,990 444 169 160 115 3,986 1,552 1,325 1,108 1,044 439 340 265 9,372 3,928 3,063 2,382 ELEVENTH DISTRICT. ••• .. • . Texas ••.• . .• •.. . .... • .. Gulf Coast • •• .•••• • • .• West Texa s . .. . . .•... . East Texa s (proper) ••. •. Panhandle •• . .••. •.•.• Rest of State •• .•. . . ..• Southea stern New Mexico •• Northern Louisiana .•.. .. .. OUTSIDE ELEVENTH DISTRICT. UNITED STATES ..... . ... .. . Arizona, loui siana, Ne w Mex ico, Oklahoma, and Tex as. Pro liminary. NOTE . - De tail s may not add to total s be cau se of rounding , SOURCE , F. W . Dodg e Corporation. 1 p - p - February 1963p Ma rch 1962 3,001.2 2,581.2 484.9 1,1 53 .1 11 2.0 105.0 726.2 278.2 141.8 4,456.4 7,457.6 3,013.6 2,597.9 487.8 1,163.3 11 2.7 104.3 729.7 275.3 140.4 4,346.7 7,264 .5 ------1963 March 1962 -0.4 - .7 - .6 - .9 - .6 .7 -.5 1.1 1.0 2.5 2.7 0.7 .3 3.6 _ .2 - 13.1 2.3 1.0 1.2 7.8 1.4 1.1 February 2,980.2 2,573.7 468.2 1,155 .1 128.8 102.6 719.0 275.0 131.5 4,396.2 7,376.4 -- Pre lim inary . SOURCES , Am erica n Petrol e um Institute. U . S. Bureau of Mines. Fede ral Rese rve Ba nk of Dallas. WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION (In thousands of bushels) 1963, indicate d Average Area April 1 1962 1957-61 Arizona • ..• . • .....• . .... ... Ne w Mexico . .. . .. ... . .... . •. Oklahoma •• • • •..•• • • • •• • • •• Texas ...... . .. . .. . •. ... . ... 1,044 968 4,425 68,194 44,076 1,008 720 4,200 71,953 43,696 2,406 866 4,462 96,233 64,329 Total ............. ....... . 118,707 121,577 168,296 Louisiana • • • • • , •..• • •• • •..• • NATIONAL PETROLEUM ACTIVITY INDICATORS (Seasonally adiusted indexes, 1957-59 SOURCE , U. S. De partme nt of Agriculture. = 100) = March Seasonally adjusted index (1 957-59 = 100) In million s of cub ic fe et Fourth Third Fourth quarter quarter quarter Area 1962 1962 1961 1962 1962 1961 l ouisiana ........ .. Texas ... • ..••.••.. 954,500 225,100 243,800 1,527,100 803,700 183,700 215,800 1,422,600 889,800 241,300 239,700 1,524,800 174 120 152 110 160 106 125 108 162 128 149 110 Total ............ 2,950,500 2,635,200 2,895,600 129 122 126 N ew M exico . .• . .... O klahoma .• • • •.... SOURCES , U. S. Bureau of Min es. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. 4 Fourth Third Fourth quarter quarter quarter March 1963p 1963p 1962 CRUDE OIL RUNS TO REFINERY STILLS (Daily averag e) . • • •• • ••.• ••• •• DEMAND (Daily averag e) MARKETED PRODUCTION OF NATURAL GAS February Indicator 104 111 105 109 137 114 92 108 11 2 145 126 107 11 6 109 137 11 2 99 109 105 123 99 87 102 104 112 99 87 100 103 126 108 76 102 Gasoline ••.• . . • .. • • ••. . . . ...... ••• • Kerosene .•.•.....• . ......... . . . . • . Dislillate fuel 011 ...... .... ... .. . . . . . . Residual fuel oil .................... . Four refln ed products ••.. • . . .... .. . STOCKS (End of month ) Gasoline .•. . .... .... .... .... . .. ...• Kerose ne • • • .............••.....•. • Distillate fu el oil .... . ............... . Residual fue l oil • •••••• • ••• •••• ••••• • Four refln ed products •••••......• . • p - Pre liminary. SOURCES , Am e rican Petrole um Institute . U . S. Bureau of Min es . Fede ral Reserve Bonk of Dallas. --- ---