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MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW o f the FEDERAL RESERVE Dallas, Texas, June 1, 1942 Volume 27, No.4 / DISTRICT SUMMARY The effects of war-time restrictions in certain lines of activity and shortages in transportation facilities for the moveme~t of some industrial products became increasingly apparent ~n the operations of some of the pri~cipal bra~ches of mdustry m the Eleventh District during Apnl. The dally average production of crude petroleum was curtailed sharply further, and drilling of new oil wells continued the downward tren? ~hat has been in progress since last September. The restnCtions placed upon non-essential building an~ a smaller v~lume of awards for the construction of war projects resuked m a pronounced decline in the value of new construction started during April. On the other hand, the dema~d for building materials, including lumber and cement, particularly for war purposes, continued heavy. The value of c,onsumer p~rc~ases at reporting department stores in this distnct was mamtamed at about the level attained in March, and the value of merchandise distributed through wholesale channels was ne~rly one-fifth higher than in April, 1941. The heavy and Widespread rains during April and the first half of !"fay retarded farming operations in some areas, but greatly Improved the outlook for livestock ranges and for crop production. BUSINESS The dollar volume of consumer buying at department stores in this district continued at a high level during April. The value of sales at reporting stores was abo~t the same as in March and Was 7 per cent higher than in Apnllas~ year. The pe~centag,e gain in sales as compared with a year earher was smaller m Apnl ~han during the first quarter of the yea~, apparently reflectlll,g In part the effect upon sales of the earher date of Easter t~lS year. This bank's adjusted index of department store sales, which makes allowance for seasonal factors and the variable dat~ of Easter, was 132 per cent of the 1923-1925 average in ,Apnl ~s compared with 133 per cent in March and 1 ~ 8 per c~nt m ApnI, 1941. During the first quarter of 1942, the,ll1crease l~ the, dollar volume of sales was about offset by the higher retail pnce~ of goods handled by department stores, indicating that the ~hyslcal volume of goods sold was about the same in the two per~od~. In A.priL, however, it appears that the physical volume of dlstnbution was considerably smaller than in that month ,of ~941. O~ A.pril 1, the index of retail prices, compiled by F01rclnl~ Publtcations, was 19 per cent higher than on the correspondmg date of 1941. During the first half of May the dollar value of sales ~t weekly reporting stores was about 4 per cent smaller than In the comparable period last year. The value of merchandise inventories at reporting departlllent stores increased further during April, and at the monthend was 40 per cent greater than a year earlier. The value of n1erchandise orders outstanding on April 30 was 29 per cent slllaller than a month earlier, but 69 per cent larger than on that date in 1941. BANK o f Dallas June 1 This copy is released for pub· lication in afternoon papers- pared with those during April last year closely approximated the average year-to-year gain for the first four months of 1942. Inventories of merchandise at reporting wholesale firms were reduced slightly during April. According to data compiled by the Bureau of Business Research of the University of Texas, employment in Texas was about the same in April as in March, but payrolls showed a further increase of about 2 per cent. In comparison with April, 1941, employment was 16 per cent higher and payrolls were up 41 per cent. The most pronounced decreases in employment from March to April< occurred at confectionery establishments, cotton oil mills, cement plants, and in the production of crude petroleum. The number and liabilities of business failures among manuf acturing, trade, construction, and commercial service establishments in this district increased considerably during April and exceeded by substantial margins the respective totals for the corresponding month a year earlier. Dun and Bradstreet reported 31 insolvencies during the month, with liabilities aggregating $252,000. AGRICULTURE Weather conditions during April and the first hal£ of May had varying effects upon agricultural conditions in the Eleventh District. Widespread rains relieved the moisture deficiency in most areas, checked insect activity, and stimulated the growth of crops. On the other hand, field work was seriously delayed in some sections, particu].arly in the eastern half of the district, and floods caused considerable damage and loss of crops in many lowland areas. In north and east Texas and in northern Louisiana, planting and cultivation of summer crops were seriously retarded and many fields became foul with weeds. In most other areas, however, f armers were able to make satisfactory progress with field work. The corn crop, although later than usual in some areas, has made satisfactory growth. Planting of cotton has extended into northwest Texas, while chopping of cotton is weU under way in south Texas. Reflecting the strong demand for and urgent need of domestic vegetable oils, as a result of the loss of important foreign sources of supply, farmers in this district have increased substantially the acreage planted to peanuts. According to the Department of Agriculture, seeding of peanuts is going forward in virtually all adapted areas of T exas, DEPARTMENT STORE SALES AND STOCKS ELEVENTH FEDERAL R~RVE DIURIGT PIA ClNT "'0 ~0~--4----+----r---4----+----r---i----+--i·~1--~1~ 00 l Total sales of reporting wholesale firms in eight lines of trade in this district showed little change from March to A.pril, as increases in sales of drugs, electrical supplies, hard\Vare, surgical. equipment, and tobacco, were count~rbalanced ~Y declines in the distribution of grocenes and machl11ery. The Increase of 18 per cent in sales during April this year as com- This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) 80 70 00 50 ~ '04, 30 2 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW and good stands are reported in the southern portion of the State. Physical conditions during April continued almost ideal for the growth and development of wheat in the heavy producing area of northwest Texas. The May 1 production forecast of the Department of Agriculture for the State was placed at 45,802,000 bushels, which, if realized, will be the second largest crop of record and 18,616,000 bushels in excess of the 1941 harvest. The estimated acreage abandonment is 18 per cent of the total area seeded to wheat in the fall of 1941, which compares with 33 per cent for 1941. Most of the acreage abandonment this year occurred in north and central Texas where the wheat crop was severely damaged by insects and drouth. The indicated per acre yield on the 2,955,000 acres remaining for harvest on May 1 was placed at 15.5 bushels, which compares with a yield of 10.4 bushels last year. Further evidence of the damaging effects of greenbugs and drouth is revealed by the condition of oats in Texas on May 1, which was placed at 39 per cent of normal as against 81 per cent on the corresponding date last year. The prospective production of wheat in Oklahoma was forecast at 54,800,000 bushels on May 1, which compares with a 1941 harvest of 48,610,000 bushels. The indicated production of 4,170,000 bushels for New Mexico is 73 per cent higher than the 1941 harvest. Although adverse weather prevailed during the blooming season, conditions since that time have been generally favorable for the growth of peaches in Texas. The 1941 production forecast was placed at 2,100,000 bushels on May 1, which compares with 2,475,000 bushels harvested in 1941. The 1930-1939 average production is only 1,200,000 bushels. Livestock ranges in this district, which had deteriorated considerably during the first quarter of the year, showed a marked improvement in April and the first half of Mayas a result of the heavy and widespread rains throughout most of the district. In contrast with the favorable situation prevailing in most sections, drouth conditions still prevail in some southwestern counties of Texas. In that area there is little range forage, cattle are thin, and ranchers have either continued WHOLESALE AND RETAIL 'URADE STATlSTICS Percentage cbange in: Stockot-Net oales Number April, 1942 Crom April, 1042 Crom Jan. I, to of April, March, reporting Ar.r. 30, 1042 Retail trade: 1~4~' ~04~h, rom IOU IOU 1042 firms Department stores: - I 47 +15 +40 +7 Totollltb Dist ..... +7 -1 -8 7 +27 +0 Dallas ... . ........ +3 4 +47 - 6 +18 +18 Fort Wortb . . .. •... +7 +16 +46 7 +7 Houston .. ..... ... . +7 +5 4 +24 +56 +18 San Antonio ... . ... +24 +3 +22 3 Shreveport ... ... .. +5 +11 +'3 22 +13 +47 Other cities .. . ....• +5 +8 Independent Btoras:' -t +15 Arizona . . . . . . .... . 239 +11 -1 New Mexico ....... 171 +1 +6 -3 - 5 +4 Oklahoma .. ....... 517 -t Texas .... .. . . ..... 1,119 +2 +5 Wholesale trade:' Maebinery, eqp't. de -12 - 27 4 Bupplies ...... .. . +3 No ehg. No chg. - 13 3 Automotive supplies ':":'io +14 +20 Drugs (inc1.liquors). 10 +10 +2 -1 I!.lectrical supplies .. 3 +40 +61 - 4 - 4 30 +24 Groceries . .... . .. . . +17 - 2 +26 Hardware . . . . . .. . . +25 +5 ~ +27 +16 Surgical eqp't . ... . . 5 +25 +1 +37 -2 4 -t Tobacco & products. +10 'Compiled by United States Bureau of Census. tChange less tban one-half of one per cent. i2~ INDEXES OF DEPARTMENT STORE SALES AND STOCKS (1023-1925 average ~ 100) April March February 1042 1042 1942 Sales 1rlaily average): 129 108 128 \Vit out seasonal adjustment . . . ..... 13S 127 132 With seasonnl adjustment ... . ... . ... Stocks (end of month): 01 101 108 Without seasonal adjustment .. .. .. .. 05 lOt 98 With seasonal adjuBtment . ... ..... . . April 1941 117 118 77 74 supplemental feeding or have shipped stock to other areas for pasturing. More rain would also be beneficial to the TransPecos area of Texas and in scattered localities elsewhere. Since the betterment in range conditions, livestock have made more than average gains for this season. Cattle generally are in vigorous condition, with many grass-fat cattle available for marketing. The calf crop, which is better than average, has made good growth. An active demand prevails for all classes of cattle. Sheep and lambs are now making satisfactory progress, following a slow start due to the prolonged drouth and poor range conditions in the sheep growing territory earlier in the year. Sheep shearing, although later than usual, has made satisfactory progress. Marketings of cattle and calves for the first quarter of 1942 totaled 421,000 head, the second largest movement of record for that period, as compared with 351,000 head in the corresponding quarter of 1941. The market movement of sheep and Lambs for the quarter was 353,000 head as compared with 242,000 head a year earlier. The March movement of 160,000 head was the largest of record for that month. FINANCE United States Treasury financing during the first half of May included an issue of 2 per cent Treasury Bonds of 19491951 in the amount of $1,250,000,000, which was offered for subscription to all investors, and a new so-called "tap" issue of 2Yz per cent registered Treasury Bonds of 1962-1967, which was offered for subscription to investors other than commercial banks with demand deposits. Subscriptions to the latter issue were allotted in full and investors in this district purchased a total of $19,339,700 of such securities. Subscriptions by investors in this district to the 2 per cent Treasury Bonds of 1949-1951 amounted to $84,688,500, against which allotments of $35,329,800 were made. Beginning with the issue dated May 13, the Treasury bill offerings were raise? from $150,000,000 weekly to $250,000,000 weekLy. On Apnl 30 the Federal Open Market Committee directed the Federal Reserve banks to purchase for the System Open Market Account all Treasury bills that; might be offered to them on a discount basis at a rate of Ys of 1 per cent per annum. OASH FARM INOOME FROM THE SALE OF PRINOTPAL FARM PRODUCTS AND GOVERNMENT BENEFIT PAYMENTS (In thouoandBof dollars) ,,---February, 1942-.., Receipts Crom: Govern. r Total rcce~ts ----, ment Fcbruary February all. 1 to Feb. 28 1941 1042 1041 Crops Livestock' payments 1042 11,173 3,561 272 4,335 8,168 3,982 10,458 Arizona . .... . . 15,734 5,246 11,605 6,052 307 6,533 24,371 LouiBiana .. .... 6,88 1 1,541 1,655 302 3,588 3,150 7,099 New Mexico .. . 31,661 4,714 9,822 3,028 17,564 16,100 38,237 Oklahoma . .... 78,769 20,206 3,735 43,859 34,866 103,644 Toxas ....... .. 10,828 40,466 7,734 84,784 64,640 103,700 Total. ... . 36,584 "Includes roceipts Crom the Bale of livestock aad livestock products. SOURCE: United States Department of Agriculture. \ ~ f - 144,168 LIVESTOCK RECEJPTS- (Numbcr) ~--Fort Worth Cattie . ........ . ....... . . Calves . . . .. .... . .. .... .. ~oe~~::::: : : :::: : : ::::: : April 1042 78,702 17,006 62,760 83,202 April 1041 37,153 18,844 40,040 87,710 March 1042 40,868 10,835 60,626 77,967 April 1042 17,012 15,678 11,810 8,870 San Aatoni0--;-h" arc April 1041 1942 10,083 17,7~ 16,547 l~'~IO 12,265 0'061 8,172 ' COMPARATIVE TOP LIVESTOCK PRICES (Dollar. per hundredweight) ~--Fort Worth San An\onio ~ April March A1ltil Apr>1 1042 tC4~1 1041 1942 1042 1942 $10 .25 $11. 26 $12 .50 Beof stecrs ... .. ... . ..... . $13.00 $11 .00 S13 .00 11.25 12 .00 Stocker steers .. ... . ... . .. 13 .00 .i2:00 12 .85 Heifers and yearlings .. ... 13.25 11.35 13 .00 0. 26 7.50 Butchor cows . . , . .... . ... 0.50 8.00 0.25 0.50 12. 00 10 .50 12 .50 13 .50 Calves .. ......... .. .. . . . 13 .50 11.50 6 13.1 8.50 13 .65 14 .10 Hogs ....... . .. .. . ... .... 14 . 60 8.75 11 . 25 8.25 Lambs .. .. . ... .. .. .. . . . . 12.75 11.35 13 .00 10 .50 .io:oo > I ( MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW The total earning assets of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas rose approximately $7,100,000 between April 15 and !vfay 15, reflecting chiefly this bank's participation in the net Increase during the period in holdings of United States Government securities by the System's Open Market Account. The reserve balances of member banks in this district have continued to show wide fluctuations, reflecting largely the effects of Treasury operations. Although reserve balances declined approximately $31,000,000 between April 14 and April 21, SUbsequent increases raised the total to a newall-time peak of $327,600,000 on May 14. However, on the following day ~hen payments were effected for the allotments to the new ISSue of 2 per cent Treasury bonds, dated May 15, 1942, total reserve balances declined to $315,000,000. The demand for c~rrency in this district has continued unabated. The actual Circulation of Federal Reserve notes of this bank totaled $147,700,000 on May 15, which was $5,300,000 higher than a month earlier and $46,700,000 higher than a year ago. . Reflecting chiefly a substantial decrease in loans, the principal earning assets of weekly reporting member banks in leading cities of the Eleventh District declined $10,600,000 between April 15 and May 13. The contraction in loans was accOunted for by declines in advances for commercial, indus~rial and agricultural purposes and in "all other" loans, includIng personal and instalment loans. Since the beginning of 19 42, total loans at these banks have shown a net decline of $28,900,000, as compared with a contraction of only $3,500,000 during the corresponding period a year earlier. The Jarger d~c1ine during the current year reflected decreases in commerCial and industrial loans, in loans on securities, and in personal and instalment loans. Investments of reporting banks were r~duced $1,200,000 during the four-week period, reflecting hquidations of Government direct obligations and municipal and corporate securities. Despite the decline that took place between April 15 and May 13 in the principal earning assets of these banks, total loans and investments on the latter date Were stiU $93,100,000 greater than a year earlier. Total deposits at reporting banks declined $8,600,000 during the four-week period, due to a pronounced reduction in United ~tates Government deposits which more than offset increases In adjusted demand and interbank deposits. INDUSTRY 11: Construction activity in tllls district declined sharply from arch to April, reflecting in part the limitations placed upon ~on-essential building and in part a smaller volume of awards Or the construction of war projects. The value of contracts aWarded during April, amounting to $18,750,000, was about 60 per cent lower than in either the preceding month or the c.orresponding month of 1941, and the smallest for any month Since the inauguration of the National defense program in June, 1940. The decline in the value of awards occurred in eac.h of the principal classes of construction work, including l~Sldential, non-residential and engineering, and in both pubdc1~ and privately financed projects. Despite the marked ;cl~ne in the value of construction contracts awarded during 1 pril, total awards during the first four months of 1942 were 8 per cent higher than in the corresponding period a year carher. . The demand for lumber at pine mills in this district con- ~Inued to expand in April when unfilled orders and shipments h r lll mills reached the highest levels in recent months. On the ht I er hand, production of lumber declined, apparently being led down to some extent by a shortage of logs. Mill stocks of U1llber have continued to decline, with reports indicating that 3 the supplies are inadequate to meet the heavy demand. To partially relieve this situation, the Government has made substantial purchases of lumber from retail yards. Operations CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK (In thousands of dollora) May 15, May 15, 1042 1041 Total cash reserves .... ... . . . . .......... . .. .. .. . . . $417,235 $341,530 Discounts for member banks . .. .. . ...... .. ....... . . 246 43 Industrial advanoes ... .. ..... . .. ...... .... . . . .. .. . 212 277 United States Govcrnment securities . . .. .. . . .. .•... . 90,020 88,040 Total earning asscts . .. .... ...... . .... ..... .... .. . 00,478 88,300 Mcmber bank rescrvc dcposits .... . ... .. ... . ...• .. . 315,230 258,407 Fedcral Reserve notes in actual circulation ..... . . . . . 147,717 101,006 April 15, 1042 1410,122 147 230 89,027 89,404 307,034 142,441 CONDITION STATISTICS OF MEMBER BANKS IN LEADING CITIES (In thousands of dollara) May 13, May 14, April 15, 1042 1041 1042 Total loans and investments . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .. $601,012 $598,494 $702.208 Total loans . . . . .. ... ... ... ..... . . .. .. .. . ... . .... . 344,050 315,223 354,383 Commercial, industrial ond agricultural loans . . .. . . 244,088 213,150 251,599 Open market papor... . . ....... ...... . . . . ... . ... 3.210 2.410 3,204 LOans to brokers and dealers in securities... . . . . . . . 3,270 3,059 3,077 Other loans for purchasing or earrying ••curities . ... 12,501 11.805 12,438 Real estate loans. . . . ... .. .................... . . 21,832 23,486 21,787 Loans to banks...... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 288 458 277 All other loans. . ... . . . . .. . .... . . ....... .. . .... . 50,074 60,849 61,101 United States Government direct obligations . .. . . .... 244,908 178,330 245,737 Obligations fully guaranteed by United States Gov't.. 37,744 43,401 37,746 Other securities. . .. . .. .. .. .. . .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . .. . 64,001 61.540 64,342 Reserves with Federal Reserve Bank... . .. . ...... . .. 200,831 102,208 190,781 Bclances with domestio banks .. .. .. . . . . . .. . • .. .. . . . 301,040 310,102 310,205 Demand deposits-adjusted' ... '" ....... . .. . . . ... 650,820 561,343 642.285 Time d~poslts. ... ... ..... . . . . . . . . ........ . ....... 130,423 136,304 130,478 Uuited Stutes Government deposits .. ....... .. . . . . .. 20,280 28,783 52,170 Interbank deposits.... . . . . .. . . . . . .. . . .. . ... .. . . . . . 332,141 294,006 326.314 Borrowings from Federal Reserve Bank. .. . .. . ... . .. None None NOlle 'Includes all demand deposits other than interbank and United States Government, less oash item reported as on hand or in proce.. of oolleotion. DEBITS TO INDIVIDUAL ACCOUNTS (In tbouaande of dollars) April April Potg.ohango 1042 1941 over year Abilonn ......... . .... .. . $ 13,170 12,008 + 4 Austin ... .. .... ... ...... 42,020 37.947 +11 Beaumont ....... . .. .... . 33,591 30,169 +11 Corsicans . .... . .. ... . . .. 4,547 3,811 + 19 Dallas .... .... .. ... .. ... 360,053 311,555 + 10 EI Paso . .. .............. 43,813 89,105 + 12 Fort Worth ... ..... ... .. . 100,049 92,441 + 18 Galvoston . .• .. ... . .. . ... 32,192 20,277 + 10 Houston .... . . . .......... 343.053 274,955 + 25 Port Arthur ....... . ..... 14,936 10,205 + 45 Roswell . . . . .. .. ....... .. 6,237 5,217 + 20 San Antonio ......... . ... 97,984 83,996 + 17 Shreveport . .. ........... 58,807 50,757 + 10 Toxarkana- . ... . ..... . ... 26,921 9,834 +174 Tueson .... . ............. 17.413 15,009 + 12 12,708 12,408 + 2 ~~~~: :::: : ::::::::::: : : 19,700 15,267 + 29 Wichita Falls ............ 18,779 18,080 + 4 Maroh 1042 12,030 02.514 33,917 4.736 367,002 40.495 119,960 38,460 344,537 14,245 0,176 98,080 62,134 29,171 17,337 12,398 21,104 19,988 Potg.ohan~e over mont \ +4 -,'13 -1 -4 - 2 - 6 - 9 - 4 - t +5 +1 -1 -5 -8 + t +3 - 6 -6 Total .... ...... .. ... $1,256,833 $1,053,541 + 19 $1,300,808 - 4 'Includes tho figures of two banks in Telarkana, Arkansas, located in tb. Eigbth District tIndioatcs chango of lcs., than one-half of one per cent. • GROSS DEMAND AND TIME DEPOSITS OF MEMBER BANKS (Average of daily figures-in thousands of dollars) Combinod total Reserve oity banks Country banks Gross demand April, 1940 ... ...... . $1,340,972 April, 1041.. .. .. .... 1,541,825 December, 1041 . .... . . ... 1,803.380 January, 1942 . . . . ...... 1,801,210 February, 1942 .. .. . .. ... 1,805,045 Muroh, 1042 ... . .... . . 1,804,123 April, 1042.. .. .. .... 1,803,410 Time $232,400 243,042 230,810 231,871 227,543 227,001 227,515 Gross domand $ 777,099 801,686 1,028,881 1,020,567 1,034,477 1,030,318 1,033,595 Gross Time demand $128,764 5563.873 135,990 050,139 131,948 774,440 128,427 774.043 120,490 771,168 126.307 767.805 127,278 760,815 SAVINGS DEPOSITS April 30, 1942 Beaumont . .. ........ .... Dallas . . . . . ...... . . . .. . . El Paso ....... ... ....... Fort Worth .............. Galveston . . ..... . . .. . . .. Houston .. .. .... .. ....... Lubbook .. . . . .. . . . .... . . Port Arthur ..... .. ... . .. San Antonio .... . ..... .. . Shreveport .... . . .. .. .... Waco .... ...... ..... . . .. Wiohita Falls ... .. .. . .. .. All other ..... . . . .. .. .. .. Total. .. . .... . .. Number of ret:rting anks 3 8 2 3 4 10 3 2 5 3 Number of savings 3 63 depositors 10,353 80,961 18,241 33,108 18,174 74,464 1,373 5,411 22.863 20.574 7,307 7,097 53,100 112 368,042 3 Amount of aavin~s Per~enta~e ol~ange in saVlllgS 24,902,264 0,758,581 12,322,043 10,638,192 30,978,158 544,223 3,026,504 17,391,405 11,088,334 4,106,182 3,333,223 27,107,634 April 30, 1941 - 2.5 - 7.0 - 20.3 - 6.5 - 11.9 - 5.4 - 1.7 - 7.2 - 3.6 - 2.3 - 9. 2 - 0.9 - 9.7 Sl57,384,605 - 7.4 depOSits $ 4,197,142 Time $103.045 107.952 104.871 103,444 101,044 100,784 100,237 eposlts from March 31, 1942 - 1.0 .0 .5 .1 -1.5 + .5 .1 + .7 .1 + .1 +1.1 + .1 .8 -- - - .2 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW at cement mills in Texas have been at exceptionally high levels. During the first four months of 1942, production of cement exceeded the previous peak established in that period of 1941 by nearly one-third and shipments were 22 per cent higher. Consumption of cotton in the United States during April reached a new peak of 999,000 bales, which compares with 967,000 bales in March and 921,000 bales in April, 1941. Total consumption during the first nine months of the current season amounted to 8,245,000 bales, representing an increase of 18 per cent over that during the corresponding period of the preceding season. Stocks of cotton at consuming establishments on April 30 were slightly smaller than the record supply held at the end of the previous month, but were still 36 per cent larger than a year earlier. On April. 21, the War Production Board directed the cotton textile industry to convert within 30 to 60 days a substantial part of its capacity from civilian to military or more essential constructions. Under that order the production of bag sheetings and bag osnaburgs, which are needed in the war program or for industrial purposes, will be greatly increased. Steps had already been taken to expand the output of some other essential constructions. The new program, which calls for a shift from the lighter to heavier weight constructions, will require greater quantities of cotton per yard of fabric produced, further stimulating the consumption of cotton. According to the War Production Board, plans now being worked out call for the production of 14 billion square yards of cloth during the calendar year 1942 and 15 billion square yards in 1943 . These amounts would compare with slightly more than 9 billion square yards of cloth produced in 1939. The General Maximum Price Regulation Order, announced by the o.ffice of Price Administration on April 28, togetheU:' with the amendments relating to cotton yarns and textiles, placed absolute price ceilings on all cotton products, eliminating the previous fixed rel.ationship under which price ceilings for cotton goods varied with the price of cotton. Although the movement of petroleum and petroleum products by railroad tank cars has continued to increase, it has Abileno ...... .. .. Amnrillo ......... Austin ... , ... . •.. Beaumont ... . .. .. Corr,us Christi .... Dol as .......... . EIPaso .......... Fort Worth ....... Galveston ... ..... Houston .......... Lubbook ... ...... Port Arthur ...... San Antonio ... ... Shroveport ... . . .• Waoo ............ Wichita Falls . . ... BUILDING PERMITS Percentage change Percentage April,l942 valuation from Jail. 1 to Apr. 30, 1042 ohan~o valuatIon Valuation from 1041 No. Valuation Apr.,1941 Mar.,1942 No. 170 S 780,405 + 57 24 S 445,811 +522 +427 157 432,811 - 40 108,000 -03 - 41 36 153,541 - 69 - 00 489 1,138,488 - 40 107 196,423 - 22 680 928,300 + 10 173 - 20 2,810,500 - 49 1,003,001 - 49 +282 618 106 2,723 4,430,718 432,088 - 02 - 35 025 5 294 1,250,156 79 117,739 - 56 - 87 27 1,153 5,004,210 +102 3,229,198 +567 209 +287 53,221 - 84 458 033,559 - 44 121 - 78 -03 1,620 4,914,685 -31 547,050 - 60 295 45,858 - 88 539 1,645,890 + 39 84 - 05 - 17 276 215,410 - 40 37,104 - 61 85 3,290 2,406,785 + 3 386,987 -14 - 50 810 462 1,134,220 + t 133 261,582 + 9 - 37 292 179,887 - 87 649,596 - 66 72 + 4 93,047 - 46 154 317,298 - 38 43 - 35 + + --- - 0 Total. ....... a,131 $7,291,197 - 22 tIndioate. ohangc of leBS than one-half of one pcr ocnt. 13,387 $28,709,160 - 12 VALUE OF CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS AWARDED (In thousands of doUars) Jan. 1 to April 30 April April March 1942 1941 1942 1042 1941 Eleventh Distriot-total... $ 18,703 $ 45,234 S 46,934r $131 ,877 S11l,357 48,974 36,109 Residential. . ... .... . .. 4,525 12,240 10,780r All other.. ............ 14,228 32,994 86,154 87,903 75,188 United Statcs"-totn!.. ... 498,742 406,675 010,790 1,859,944 1,390,120 052,145 542,080 Residential. . . ........ . 162,007 166,462 219,276 AU other . . . .. . . ... . .. . 380,045 240,213 391,523 1,207,700 857,040 r-Roviecd. "37 etatcs cast of the Rooky Mountaine. SOURCE: F. W. Dodge Corporation. only partially relieved the transportation diiliculties resulti?g from the virtual withdrawal of ocean tankers from the serVIce of moving such products for civilian consumption. The effect of shortages in transportation facilities is reflected in the rationing of gasoline along the East Coast and in states in the northwestern part of the United States, and in the curtailment of operations in the petroleum industry in the Southwest, particularly Texas. The dail.y average output of crude oil in the Eleventh District during April was reduced 16 per ce~t below that .in March and was 18 per cent lower than that In April, 1941. Elsewhere in the United States daily average production increased slightly from March to April and was 6 per cent higher than in the corresponding month last yea~, Although daily average production in this district during April was about one-third lower than in January this year, stocks of crude petroleum increased approximately 10,000,000 barrels between January 31 and May 2. Refinery operations in the United States were curtailed further in April, when crude oil runs to refinery stills wer~ a~ the lowest level since August, 1940. Inventories of princlpa pe't roleum products likewise declined . While stocks of gasol me and heating oil on May 2 were above those on the same date last year, those of industrial fuel oils were 16 per cent smaller than a year ago. The rate of well completions in this district showed a further noticeable decline in April, but there was a moder~th increase elsewhere in the United States. In comparison WIt April, 1941, well completions in both this district and the United States reflected a decline of about 45 per cent. ~e number of drilling rigs in operation in the Eleventh DistrlC~ at the beginning of May was 17 per cent fewer than a mont earlier, STATISTICS ON COTTONSEED AND COTTONSEED PRODUCTS ~---Texas Ullited StalesAugust 1 to April 30 August 1 to April 80 This season Last season Thie season Last SOBSOD Cottonseed received at mills (tons) ... .......... . ...... . 053,093 1,071,442 3,884,600 4,3752'06~ 025,438 1,038,477 8,714,540 4,01 , Cottonseed crusbed (tons) .... . Cottonseed on hnnd April 30 401,283 55,440 48,712 (tone) ........ " ......... . . 300,502 Production of products: 266,091 318,474 1,290,O~r Crudo oil (thouaand lhe.) ... . 1,154,258 Cako and menl (tons) ...... . 405,201 485,000 1,020,649 1,780'~16 240,500 Hulls (toile) ..... ... . . . ... . 203,a05 021,632 1,008'789 1,000, Lintere (running bales) .. .. . . 257,000 252,458 1,004,450 Stooks on hand April 30: 47,663 Crude oil (thollaand lhe.) . . . . 5,571 17,010 10,063 256,4~! Cako alld meal (tOilS). . . . . . . 76,407 58,816 311,403 100,2 Hulls (tons). . . . . . .. . . .. . .. 51,011 86,775 124,998 256,202 Linters (running bales).. . . . . 31,240 08,566 05,308 SOURCE: United States Burenu of Census. DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION AND STOCKS OF COTTON-(Bnles) April April Maroh August 1 to April ~on 1042 1041 1042 'fhis senson Last ac· Consumptioll at: 1 22,481 23,401 22507 181,520 174,671 Texas mills .. .... . . . .. . 098,754 920,050 960;031 8,245,493 6,902,50 United States mills .. . . . U.S, stooks---end o[ month: In oonsuming cstab'mts . 2,031,880 1,935,365 2,051,014 Publio stg,« compreBBCS. 10,396,902 12,300,807 11,352,007 ...... CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION-(Barrole) . dailY April, 1042 Jnorease or deorea~e If oW averago prodllot~ Daily nvg. Total 0 produotion April, 1041 Marob, 17:: produotion 6,630,450 + 12623 - 7, ()3 North Toxas ................ . 221,015 - 40;005 - 30,3 96 5,380,800 Wcst Texas ............ • ..... 170,600 8,732,200 - 137,824 - 08,t77 East Texas . . . .... ..... . .... . 201,073 4,375,950 - 48,622 - 36'&00 South Texas ...... ....... ... . 145,805 _ 30,731 - 30, Texas Coastal. .... . ......... . 6,636,000 221,200 - 253,049 - 209'0J7 1,058,813 Total Texas ... ....... . 31,704,400 2,302,000 New Mexico ................ . 78,733 - 30,100 - 12'665 2,382,750 70,425 North Louisiana ....... . .•.... + 8,752 ~ _224,04 3 Totnl distriot. . . . . . . . . . 30,500,150 1,216,971 - 275,000 SOURCE: Amerioan Petroleum Institute woekly reports. -6Gl i MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW JUNE I, 1942 NATIONAL SUMMARY OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS (Comviled by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System) INDUSTRIAL PRODU CTION ""~ 200 I BO 18 0 PRODUCTION '" / 160 16 0 I fi 140 140 J 120 100 Industrial activity increased i.n April and the first half of May reflecting conti.nued advances in armament production. Following an increase in buying during the first quarter, retail trade declined somewhat. Wholesale commodity prices advanced further. L ~ \ 80 1 9~6 1937 12 0 I IV \ \ v / ~ 100 -.....1. eo 1 9~9 19'8 1940 1941 1942 l'edderal Reserve monehly index of physica l volume of P . ro uceion, adjuseed for seasonal va ri adon, 1935-39 .'verage = 100. Laeese figures shown arc for April , 1942. FREIGHT-OAR LOADINGS ' OI ."I"~fiL I .... Expansion of industrial product ion in April was reflected in an advance in the Board's seasonally adjusted index f rom 172 to 174 per cent of the 1935-39 average. This increase followed upon a period of relative stability during the first quarter of the year, when growing war production was offset by decreased civilian output. Since the beginning of the year total volume of industrial output has shown little change but there have been marked differences among individual industries. In general output of machinery, chemicals, and armament of all kind s has continued to expand at a rapid rate. There have also been substan t ial increases in output of electric steel, nonferrous metals, glass containers, wood pulp, and coal. On the other hand , output of many products for civilian use such as automobiles, tires and tubes, wool textiles, elect rical appliances, alcoholic beverages, petroleum, and petroleum products has been sharply reduced either by direct order' or by shortages of material or transportation facilities. In the month of April crude petroleum and petroleum products were the principal commodities showing a decline in output. Output of furniture, cotton and rayon textiles, manufactured foods, paper products, and tobacco products has been maintained in large volume. I 60 I 40 120 100 .. ~ '\ TOU£ t\/ iV k1(V 7 I 00 '0 -- 20 80 40 ~ AI.L OTIC It ['--- qo V" 'V i"" ."..."... ~ \-~~ If I 20 V 20 y V eoA !. o F 1936 1937 1938 1939 1940 194 1 1042 rcederal Reserve monthly index of total loadings of 19;~nu e freight, adjusted for seasonal variation , 100. Subgroups shown are exr . 39 . average I> essed In terms of points in the toeal index. Latese figures shown are for April, 1942. = MONEY RATES IN NEW YORK CITY '11 CUI 4 Value of construction con t racts awarded in April, as reported by the F. W.' Dodge Corporation, was almost one-fifth below the high March total, reflecting a decline in publicl y financed construction. Residential contracts decreased by one-fourth and for the month were at about the same level as last year. Awards for non-residential building increased slightly, mainly because of a 40 per cent increase in awards for factory construction, practically all publicly financed. In the first four months of 1942, total awards were about one-fourth greater than in the corresponding period last year; public awards more than! doubled , while those for private projects were down by about two-fifths. Public awards in this period made up over 70 per cent of the total, compared w,ith about 40 per cent last year. DISTRIBUTION Retail sales declined somewhat in April, following a cOll.'liderable amount of anticipatory buying during the first quarter of this year. At department stores, dollar sales in April were about 10 per cent below the first quarter average, making allowance for usual seasonal variations, but were 5 per cent above the level prevailing during the latter part of 1941. During the first half of May sales showed a further decrease and were around 6 per cent larger than a year ago in contrast with price increases amounting on the average to about 20 per cent over the year period. Total freight car loadings increased sharply in April owing chiefly to larger shipments of coal and forest products, and to a sharp rise in iron are loadings as the Great Lakes shipping season got underway. Shipments of mer~ handisc in less than carload lots, which had begun to decline in March, were reduced sharply further in April, reflecting Government action to increase the average load per car in order to effect fuller utilization of railroad equipment. COMMODITY PRICES Beginning on May II, wholesale prices of most commodities were limited to the highest levels reachec\ during March, according to the general maximum price regulation issued April 28. Effective May 18, retail prices of most commodit ies wero likewise limited. Retail prices of related services will be limited beginning July 1- \'(1 19'6 1937 1938 u~a9 1940 194 1 1942 an~e~)' averages of daily yields on T reasury nOees lre oods and average discount on new issues' of as u ry bills offered within week. Latest figures shOwn are for week ending May 16, 1942. t.lEt.lBER BANK RESERVES AND RELATED ITEt.l9 ~ I "-"",,~, e" I-' ACTO"'s.u"L1'IHG Mst~vt r\llolOS ~l.o ITL~ ~ 22 rAtTOll3 USINO"t'C I'!Vl r\IN~ I----~-----t----~ I. MI ... . U ' I- t~ulUlIV CUIlIU.NtY G::,.-r--------l-- :-U' I·. '"··iI BANK CREDIT IlANK I. LL IS I, 'o Wholesale prices of most farm products and basic foods, which are exempt from direct control, showed little change in this period, following sharp increases earlier in the year. Ittsutvt lAl.AHCU 2or-.L 2 About 30 new maximum price schedules for industrial products were issued from the middle of April to the middle of May. Most of these covered wholesale prices of items previously subject to informal or temporary controls. Upward adjustments in maximum prices were allowed for coal, ferroman ganese, tires, petroleum produc ts, and a few other items. \'(1 d 11 40 19 41 1942 1940 10 41 1942 e Ilesday fi gures. Latese fi gures shown are for May 13, 1942. During the five weeks ending May 2 0 Federal Reserve Bank holdings of Government securities increased by about 200 million dollars, while currency in circulation rose by 260 million. Member bank deposits increased during the period and required reserves showed a corresponding growth . The net res ul t was a decline of 300 million in excess reserves. Holdings of United States securities at banks in leading cities increased further, while commercialloal1S declined. Liquidation of loans was concentrated at banks in N ew York City and in the Kansas City district. UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT SECURITY PRICES Prices of U. S. Government bonds declined in th e last half of April, but steadied in the fir st half of May. Rates on current Treasury bill issues rose from about 0.20 prr cent in March to 0.36 per cent in May. The Federal Open Market Committee announced on April 30 that Federal Reserve Banks stood ready to purchase all Treasury bills offered at 0.375 per cent. I MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW BATTLE FRONTS AND HOME FRONTS The long heralded spring offensives are under way. Intensive action is taking place on battle fronts in widely separated areas, and in the critical months ahead increasing quantities of war materials will be needed to equip and support the expanding fighting forces in the ever-widening spheres of activity. Industry is making rapid strides in meeting the tremendous goals set ~y the President early in January this year, and reports from official quarters indicate that In many instances actual output is exceeding previous expectations. In fact, the Director of the Budget, in issuing revised estimates of war expenditures for the fiscal years ending June 30, 1942 and 1943, stated that the remarkable acceleration of war production had necessitated upward revisions in probable expenditures. It is now estimated that war expenditures alone will amount to $70,000,000,000 during the fiscal year ending June 30, 1943, an amount which is about eight times total Government expenditures during the fiscal year ended June 30, 1940, the year preceding the inauguration of the defense program. It is needless to ~a) that the financing of such huge expenditures constitutes a great financial problem, and that it is VIta that ever),! measure possible be taken to carry out the financing on a basis that will preserve the soundness of our economic system. Taxes have already been increased and additional levies are under consideration, yet it is apparent that a large proportion of total expenditures must be financed through borrowing. In that, individuals throughout the nation can make an important contribution by purchasing increasing amounts of War Savings bonds and stamps. In the first year that War Savings bonds and stamps were on sale, May 1, 1941 to April 30, 1942, the Treasury sold to the public a total of approximately $ 5,400,000,000 of such securities, including appro){~ imately $3,400,000,000 during the five months following Pearl Harbor. On May 1 this year, the Secre~ tary of the Treasury outlined a new and enlarged program for the sale of War Savings bonds and starnps. That program calls for total sales of $600,000,000 in May, $800,000,000 in June, and $1,000,000,00 0 in July and each month thereafter. Quotas for the sale of War Savings bonds and stamps are being set up for every county and parish in the United States. Sales during the first half of May suggest that the goal for that month will be met or exceeded, but it is important to remember that the goals for future months can be met only through increased buying by those who are now participating in the program and by enlisting the cooperation of the millions who are not now buying War Savings bonds and stamps. The realization of the goals set by the Secretary of the Treasury will require coordinated action on the part of all institutions and individuals. Financial institutions and corporations have the important function of providing the means by which individuals may make their purchases of War Savings bonds and stamps as conveniently as possible. Many businesses have already established a payroll allotrnent plan, whereby their employees can save regularly specified amounts of their salaries for the purchase. of War Savings bonds and stamps. Some of these concerns have qualified as issuing agents so that indivId~ ual purchasers may receive their bonds quickly and conveniently. Other businesses who are in a positioJ1 to do so, should seriously consider inaugurating those services for the benefit of employees and the country at large. These facilities for the saving of funds and the distribution of securities are essential to enable individuals to make maximum contributions. The general plan of the Treasury contemplates that each individual should invest 1 per cent of. his income in War Saving bonds and stamps. While each individual may not be able to meet that goallnt~ mediately because of individual circumstances, he shquld make arrangements to do at least that rnuch as soon as possible. To make sure of contributing his part, each individual should inaugurate an invest~ ment program which can be adhered to without interruption. Then, by carefully planning expenditUr he should be able to divert from time to time additional amounts of his income to War Savings bon and stamps. In the months ahead when fewer civilian goods will be available, increasing amountS 0 expanded incomes should be used to help finance the war. Every individual cannot serve on BATTLB FRONTS, but he can make his contribution on the HOME FRONT. He has a challenge to do his utrn?st in making PAY DAY stand out as BOND DAY for the purpose of helping to finance the steadily IJ1~ creasing flow of war materials to the fighting forces. ° df, J r