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MONGJ[HL~ ~U8INE88 FEDERAL REVIEW RES E R V E Vol. 41, No.7 BANK o F DALLAS July 1,1956 DALLAS, TEXAS BUSINESS LOANS AT ELEVENTH DISTRICT MEMBER BANKS F. LEVIN, Financial Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas BERTRAM ~ The post-World War II decade has witnessed a growth in the southwestern economy which confirmed the most optimistic expectations. The evidence is particularly striking in the fteld of banking, in which deposits, loans, and capital structures have expanded impressively, thus contributing to and also reflecting the economic vitality of the period_ The accompanying chart, which shows the uninterrupted growth in commercial and industrial loans of Eleventh District member banks since 1946, illustrates the hand-in-hand growth of bank lending and economic well-being in the area. Broad developments in the southwestern economy and the characteristics of the growth can be seen in the results of a survey of business loans outstanding at member banks on October 5, 1955. The survey in this District was part of a nationwide project undertaken by the Federal Reserve banks and the Board of Governors, with the cooperation of the American Bankers Association, the Reserve City Bankers Association, and the Robert Morris Associates. The previous such survey covered loans outstanding as of November 20, 1946 a time when the southwestern economy was completing the first step of its exciting postwar ascent. COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL LOANS ALL MEMBER BANKS - ELEVENTH FEDERAL AESERVE DISTRICT WILLI ONS Of' OOLLARS ,500 /2 2,00 0 ./ 1,50 1,000 V 0 2" .. MILLIONS 0' DOL 2,500 V ~ .000 1. >00 On October 5, 1955, Eleventh District member banks had an estimated 101,244 loan accounts recorded on their books, excluding open market paper, of which 15,194 - or 15 percent - were included in the sample. The banks were asked to include all loans to business, including real-estate loans secured by mortgages and those ordinarily classed as commercial and industrial loans. The survey was designed to get reports from all the larger banks and to choose randomly a progressively declining sample of smaller banks. The data yielded by this inquiry permit the construction of District estimates which reveal the characteristics of borrowers and their interrelationship with the volume and type of credit outstanding at the various size classes of member banks_ However, the results of this survey -like those of all surveys - must be stated in terms of probabilities, the reliability of which falls within limits determined by the statistical procedures involved. The data revealed by the survey highlight many of the features of member bank lending to business. The results of the 1955 survey indicate a shifting pattern of business borrowing since the last such inquiry late in 1946, when the first full postwar year was nearing its close_ The effects of the growth of industry and trade in the Southwest and the shifting pattern of consumer spending are inescapably reflected in the relevant banking statistics, as new firms and expanding established businesses increased their use of credit facilities. Many business firms discovered that, during the prolonged period of growth and prosperity, retained earnings did not supply all of their requirements in financing the expansion induced by the favorable economic climate. This need for capital funds contributed, therefore, to the increased volume of business borrowing at Eleventh District member banks and, indeed, throughout the country. 1.000 The Borrowers • The expansion of business loans at District member banks is indicated by the estimated $1,950,593,000 of commercial 0 0 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 ISS) 19152 19153 19154 19" and industrial loans outstanding on October 5, 1955, an amount which is triple the total shown by the 1946 survey. 0,,11 top,," 0$'''.'01 thl tftdol41ltll'tor. This rate compares favorably with the increase of 2V3 times This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 98 BUSINESS LOANS OF MEMBER BANKS, 1955 AND 1946 BY BUSINESS OF BORROWER Eleventh Federal Reserve District (Estimates of outstanding loans) Amount of loans Un thousands of dollars) Business of borrower MANUFACTURING AND MINING .................. ...... ... Food, liquor, and tobacco . ••..•.••..•.•.•.•..•........• . . Textiles, apparel, and leather ........ • .................... Metals and metal products . .....•• ••••• .•.... •• .... . ..... Petroleum, coal, chemicals, and rubber ... . ..... ........... .. Other, . .............................................. TRADE •• •••••• • • •••••••••••••••••••••••• .••.••. ••.•••••• Wholesale . • .•.•.•...• ••. •....•..•.....•...•..•... • .• • Retail • ..••••••• • •••••••••••••••••••••.•••.•••••••••.• OTHER ............................................ ..... Soles -Anante companies . . .•••.•••••••••••••.••.•••••.•.• Transportation, communication, and other public utilities . ..•..•• Construction . ...••••.•.••.••..•.•.•..•............ . .•.• Real estate l . ...... •..... .. .. .... ...........•.......... Service! . ............................................. Other nonflnancial • • ••••••••••••••.•••.•••••••••••••..•• UNCLASSIFIED •••••••••••••••••••••• • •••••• • ••••••••••••• ALL BUSINESSES ......................................... Percentage distribution 1955 1946 1955 611,037 37,441 17,853 81,311 400,571 73,861 358,907 155,824 203,083 980,649 131,792 64,292 231,485 245,958 144,921 162,201 0 1,950,593 231,605 37,145 9,716 27,326 131,388 26,030 207,420 133,205 74,215 190,307 36,996 40,770 46,491 31.3 1.9 .9 4.2 20.5 3.8 18.4 8.0 10.4 50.3 6.8 3.3 11.9 12.6 7.4 8.3 .0 100.0 35,119 30,931 22,494 651 ,826 1946 35.5 5.7 1.4 4.2 20.2 4 .0 31.8 20.4 11.4 29.2 5.7 6.3 7.1 5.4 4.7 3.5 100.0 Number of loans 1955 18,471 1,787 858 3,477 8,604 3,745 32,970 7,600 25,370 49,803 2,336 2,118 10,881 7,411 19,639 7,418 0 101,244 Percentage distribution 1946 1955 6,800 990 464 1,243 2,778 18.3 1.8 .9 3.4 8.5 3.7 32.6 7.5 25.1 49.1 2.3 2.1 107 7.3 19.4 7.3 .0 100.0 1,325 19,069 5,060 14,009 14,588 777 1,721 3,444 4,361 4,285 3,298 43,755 1946 15.6 2.3 1.1 2.8 6.4 3.0 43.6 11.6 32.0 33.3 1.8 3.9 7.9 9.9 9.8 7.5 100.0 1The se loans were included in "011 other" in 1946 and were not reported separately. recorded for the entire Nation. In the 9·year interval between surveys, growth permeated all categories, as every class of business borrower increased its volume of bank indebtedness; however, the extent to which bank loans increased was not constant among classifications, the rate of growth depending upon the nature and composition of the particular industry. The number of business loans in the District in 1955 WQS about 2Ya times as large as in 1946, but the rate of growth varied widely among the various types of business. The average size of loan increased nearly one-third, and some gain was reflected in most categories, the notable exception being manufacturers of food, liquor, and tobacco. average growth in bank indebtedness by food, liquor, and tobacco manufacturers and textiles and related industries. Loans to manufacturers of food, liquor, and tobacco were in about the same volume in 1955 as in 1946, and the size of the average loan was reduced about 40 percent. A similar situation prevailed nationally and in some other Federal Reserve districts. The total value of retail loans reached an estimated $203,· 083,000, or 10.4 percent of the dollar value of commercial loans, although this class had the largest number of individual loan items - one·quarter of the total number. With respect to both the number of loans and their value, retailers did not match the average gain of all business borrowers - not because retailers failed to expand their operations, but, rather, because there was a heavier growth in credit uses by other borrowers. The amount of loans to retailers advanced about 2.7 times in the period - or substantially more than the national average for all retailers. Since the number of loans showed a much smaller increase, the average size of loans increased substantially. Nevertheless, the average size of loans to retailers in 1955 was next to the smallest among the several types of businesses. Manufacturing and mining firms accounted for about 31.3 percent of all business borrowing in 1955. Despite the industrial growth in the Eleventh District during the 9 years between the surveys, borrowed funds originating from this source declined in relative importance; in 1946, their bank indebtedness was 35.5 percent of all business loans. The petroleum, chemicals, and related industries category - rep· resenting the lion's share of southwestern industrial activity - maintained its relative importance in all business loans in the Eleventh District during the period, being responsible for 20.5 percent of the total in the 1955 survey and 20.2 percent -in 1946. The metals and metal products group, which ranked second in importance in the volume of loans, also maintained its relative growth, having 4.2 percent of total business loans on each survey date. In both these categories, the number of loans increased sharply during the 9-year period and showed gains relative to the total number of manufacturing and mining loans. These industries were also among those showing dynamk growth during the period. In wholesale trade (including commodity dealers), the number and amount of loans increased moderately between the two survey dates, but, as a percentage of the total, both declined sharply. The relative decline ill the wbolesale function and the large operations of the Commodity Credit Corporation in financin g the movement and storage of agricultural commodities in 1955 were partly responsible for this showing. The decreased proportion of manufacturing and mmmg loans in the Southwest arose principally from the slower than District banks made $980,649,000 of loans to "other" borrowers - the catchall classification which includes such MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW diverse industrial groups as service firms and public utilities. Increasing almost five times in dollar volume in the 9 years, "other" loans rose in value from 29.2 percent to 50.3 per· cent of the total, with loans to real-estate, construction, and service firms and sales finance companies pacing the list. Loans for construction and real-estate purposes, spurred by the growth in construclion activity, advanced more in relative importance as sources of demand for bank credit than any of the remaining borrowing categories. In 1946, construction loans outstanding equaled $46,491,000, or 7.1 percent of the total; but this amount increased almost fivefold by 1955 to $231,485,000, which is about 12 percent of all business loans. Bank loans for real-estate purposes expanded even more rap· idly, inasmuch as in 194·6 these loans were included in the residual category, aU components of which used only 4.7 percent of all business loans. The 1955 survey indicates, however, that loans to business for real-estate purposes took 12.6 percent of aU commercial loans, the amount of indebtedness being more than $245,000,000_ Real-estate and construction, by their very nature, are industries requiring substantial amounts of external financing. In appraising the expansion in these loans, consideration should be given to the fact that the postwar building boom was in its initial phase in 1946, whereas in 1955, activity was at an all-time peak. Hence, the high totals in 1955 reflected both the need for interim financing to handle the large volume • of work in process and the practice of many permanent lenders on real-estate mortgages to make temporary arrangements (known as "warehousing" arrangements) at banks, penrung the receipt of funds to take the mortgage loans in their own portfolios_ Subsequent information suggests that mortgage loans under these arrangements probably were near their peak at the time of the survey. 99 Sales finance companies, service firms, and "other nonfinancial" institutions - three other types of business borrowers - also increased their loans from member banks at a greater rate than the average. In 1955, these businesses accounted for 22.5 percent of total business loans, compared with 15.8 percent in 1946. A significant feature was the sharp increase in the number of loans to service firms, which consliluled 19.4 percent of the total number of business loans, or about double the proportion in 1946_ In the postwar period, these types of businesses have assumed increasing importance in the economy; and the sharp increase in their borrowing is closely associated with the rising standard of living, the heavy purchase of durable goods and their maintenance, and the increasing use of professional services. Assets of Borrowers The increase in the assets of business concerns during the period between the surveys was clearly evident in the results of the October 5, 1955, inquiry. Yet, the survey data indicate that borrowers with total resources below $5,000,000 originated the preponderant majority of the number of loans about 97 percent - and almost 79 percent of the total amount of business borrowing. In 1946, concerns with total assets of less than $5,000,000 were responsible for about 99 percent of the number of loans and more than 85 percent of the outstanding dollar amount_ Despite the almost continuous growth in income and wealth in the District, the smaller firms continued to originate the largest number of loans, but there was an obvious tendency for the median borrower to increase in size_ In the period separating the surveys, the most pronounced shift in the distribution of loan accounts was away from the smallest borrower (those with less than $50,000 of total assets) to the next two higher categories, reflecting primarily BUSINESS LOANS OF MEMBER BANKS, OCTOBER 5, 1955 BY BUSINESS AND SIZE OF BORROWER Eleventh Federal Reserve District (Estimates of outstanding loans. In thousands of dollars) Size of borrower (Totol assets, in thousands of dollars) 100,000 Business of borrower MANUFACTURING AND MINING __ .. ___ • _____ _• _. ,Food, liquor, and tobacco • .••.•••.•••••.•••.••• Textiles; apparel, and leather .......... ......•.. Metals and metal products .. ........•.. .• ...... Petroleum, coal, chemicals, and rubber ••••.•.....• Other .......... _.. _... _.................... TRADE .. __ ••.••••••••••••••••••••• _ ••••••••••• Wholesale . . ..•.. ... .... . •........... . . .. .. . Retail ... .•••...•••••.••.••.•••••.••••••••• • OTHER . .............. . ........ _.. _•.• _• _..... Commodity dealers . • •••••••.•.•.•.•.••••••••• Sales flnance companies ..... ..............•••• • Transportation, communication, ond other public utilities . .. .• • .••. ••.••.•..•• ..•......••••• Construction • .••.•....•.•.••.••.•.••...•..••. Real estate .•••• .••.•.. •..••.••.••.••• ••••.•• Services • .• ..•...•.••.•..•..••.••.••.••••••• Other nonfinancial ...• •.••.••••..•..••.•••.•.• ALL BUSINESSES ...... . ............... _ ••••• _... and over 26,270 4,145 ° 6,032 15,730 363 13,832 45 13,787 54.837 6,066 23,980 19,894 f) 60 3,802 1,035 94,939 Under 25,000100,000 5,00025,000 1,0005,000 2501,000 50-250 30,843 1,142 47 11,646 14,111 3,897 1,728 1,599 129 40,453 990 7,123 105,830 3,953 191 9,692 87,953 4,041 16,700 5,977 10,723 125.300 7,434 15,978 223,661 12,363 5,852 16,058 166,158 23,230 50,455 25,089 25,366 294,101 19,428 53,466 127,768 8,019 7,045 21,123 69,192 22,389 81,403 32,549 48,854 245,202 16,176 21,160 80,494 6,377 4,012 14,210 39,454 16,441 100,136 25,461 74,675 204,148 8,534 8,163 16,169 1,441 704 2,551 7,974 3,499 34,469 4,921 29,548 76,794 1,556 1,922 4,948 12,374 5,300 2,377 7,341 73,024 11,689 17,819 41,256 12,153 18,971 247,830 10,439 71,264 65,358 25,649 48,497 568,217 7,316 55,366 59,642 37,341 48,201 454,373 7,622 57,728 48.037 43,716 30,348 384,778 2,385 16.934 26,304 19,884 7,809 127,432 50 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 100 BUSINESS LOANS OF MEMBER BANKS,1955 AND 1946 BY SIZE OF BORROWER Eleventh Federal Reserve District (Percentage of total) Number of loans (Percentage of total) 1955 1955 Amount of loans SIZ 8 of borrower [Total assets, in thousands of dollars) 1946 1946 Under 50 • ••••••• • •••• •• •••• Not classlfled • • ••••• ••• •••••• 21.3 52.4 19.7 6.6 .0 14.8 45 .3 23.9 12.5 3.5 3.0 22.2 37.0 37.8 .0 1.3 9:7 23.9 57.6 7.5 All BORROWERS •• ••••• • • • 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 5,000 ond over •• •• .........• 250-5,000 ........... ...... 50-250 ••.•....••• • ........ a shift in the number of firms included in the various size categories. For instance, the number of firms with assets of less than $50,000 showed relatively little growth between the survey dates, while the number of firms with assets between $50,000 and $5,000,000 expanded sharply. Hence, it would be expected that the most pronounced growth in bank loans would be to firms in those size categories where the greatest growth in the number of firms had occurred. In fact, the percentage growth in bank loans to firms in the various size categories has followed the same general pattern as the growth in the number of firms. Taken as a whole, however, in dollar amounts, firms having assets below $250,000 decreased their proportion of the total value of loans outstanding, while the increase in the proportion of loans outstanding was shared by firms in the $250,000-$5,000,000 category and the $5,000,000-and-over category. The largest volume of loans was obtained by firms having gross assets between $1,000,000 and $5,000,000, with the volume diminishing as the size of the firms increased or decreased. However, total loans outstanding were divided almost equally between firms having above and below $1,000,000 in gross assets. The average loan to firms having more than $100,000,000 in assets was $159,293, and to firms whose assets were below $50,000, average borrowings were $3,329. Save in three instances, the largest dollar volume of indebted· ness was generated by firms in one of two gross asset classifications - namely, between $250,000 and $1,000,000 and between 81,000,000 and $5,000,000. One exception occurred in the field of public utilities, wbere the largest firms originated the heaviest amount of borrowing. This characteristic of such loans, both nationally and locally, reflects the nature of the firms included in this grouping. Service firms and retailers, which include a large number of relatively small economic units, had the largest amount of borrowing recorded by firms in the $50,000-$250,000 class. BUSINESS LOANS OF MEMBER BANKS, 1955 AND 1946 BY SIZE OF BANK Eleventh Federal Reserve District Amount of loans Size of bank (Total deposits, in millions of dollars) (Percentage of total) Number of loan5 (Percentag e of total) 1955 1955 1946 1946 100 and over ••••••••••••••• 10-100 .•...•.••••••••• •••• 2-10 ..... ................. Under 2 • ••••••• •• • ••••••••• 64.4 27.6 7.3 .7 62.7 27.9 7.8 1.6 23.7 48.5 22.6 5.2 24.4 43.5 25.6 6.5 TOTAL •• _•••••••••••••••• 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Nationwide, enterprises owning assets above $1,000,000 initiated almost two-thirds of the total loan volume, while in the DisLrict, comparable firms originated only one.half of the total loan volume. The rather pronounced difference between the District and the Nation would tend to support the claim that the smaller firms occupy a more prominent place as users of bank credit in the District than in the more highly industrialized sections of the country, which weigh heavily in the national total of business loans. The relative importance of smaller firms in the District results partly from the wider diffusion of population in the Southwest and partly from the location of a smaller percentage of large industry in this part of the country_ ~ Bank Size The distribution of the number and amount of business loans by the various bank classes changed only slightly in this District between 1946 and 1955. At the date of the earlier survey, banks having more than $100,000,000 of deposits extended 24..4 percent of the number of loans, while in 1955 the comparable figure was 23.7 percent. These same banks originated 62.7 percent of the dollar volume of loans in 1946, compared with 64.4 percent on October 5, 1955. Only the smallest group of banks - those with deposits of less than $2,000,000 - decreased their share of outstanding loans significantly. This decrease resulted principally from the fact that many of the smaller banks outgrew the $2,000,000 deposit ~ BUSINESS LOANS OF MEMBER BANKS, OCTOBER 5,1955 BY BUSINESS OF BORROWER AND SIZE OF BANK Eleventh Federal Reserve District (Estimates of ouhtanding loons. Amounts in thousands of dollars) Siu of bank {Total deposits, in millions of dollan} Bus;ne» of borrower 250 and over 100-250 10-100 MANUFACTURING AND MINING. 370,462 73,052 135,086 14,257 Food, liquor, and tobacco •• • • • • 11,613 6.407 Textiles, apparel, and leather .•• 8.884 2.626 3,956 Metals and melal products •• • •• 45,097 14,593 16,905 Petroleum, cool, chemicals, gnd rubber •••• • ••• •.• • • • •• ••• 272,216 41,750 79,493 Other •• • • ••. • ••• • ••••••••• • 30,008 7,676 23,119 TRADE .. ............ ... ... ... 81.195 33,818 130,459 15,054 Wholesole ••.•••..•••• ••• ••• 28.327 "2,13" 52,868 Retail ••.•••..•••••••••••••. 18,764 88,325 OTHER • ••••• • ••••••.••••••••• 560,5"3 136,433 273,452 Commodity dealers •.•....••.• 36,308 2,147 16,508 Soles fina nce companies ••.•••• 52,303 29,847 40,040 Transportation, communication, and other public utilities • • •• • 44,971 4,038 13,389 17,356 58,68a Construction •••••••. . •.•••• • • 137,305 Rea I estate ••••••.•.••••• •••• 165,186 17,673 55,480 Services •••• •• •• •• . ••• •• ••• • 58,370 13,419 55,164 Other nonflnanciol ••..• •• .•••• 66,100 51,953 34,183 ALL BUSiNESSES . .............. 1,012,200 243,303 538,997 2-10 Under 2 29,815 4,204 2,270 4,099 2,622 959 116 618 6,472 12,770 45,803 8,968 36,835 66,295 ",984 9,320 640 289 7,447 1,156 6,291 4,110 237 282 1,783 17,382 7,428 16,307 9,091 141 ,913 111 753 191 1,661 875 14,179 Percentage distribution within bonk size grotJP MANUFACTURING AND MINING. Food, liquor, and tobacco • • •• •• Te;l!;tiles, apporel, and lealh.r... Metals and metaJ products •••.• Petroleum, coal, chemicals, and rubber •••••• .. • •••••••• • • Other •••••••••• • • •• ••• •• ••• TRADE •••••..••••.••••••••••• Wholesale •• ..• •...•. . •.• . •• Retail •••• ... .•• . •••...••.•• OTHER • .. •••• . •••• .••• ••• .• •• Commodity dealers ••• • .• • •• • • Soles Anance companies ••••••• Transportation, comm unication, and other public utilities ••••• Construction •••••••••••• • •••• Real estate •••••••••••••••• •• Services • •••••• •••• • • ••••.•• Olher nonfinancia l ••••••••• •• • All BUSiNESSES ..... . ......... 36.6 1.4 .9 4.4 30.1 2.6 1.1 6.0 25.0 2.2 :7 3.1 21.1 3.0 1.6 2.9 18.5 6.8 .8 26.9 3.0 8.0 2.8 5.2 55.4 3.6 5.2 17.2 3.2 13.9 6.2 7.7 56.0 .9 12.3 14.7 4.3 24.2 7.8 16,4 50.8 3. 1 7.' 4.6 9.0 32.2 6.3 25.9 46.7 3.5 6.6 ".5 2.0 52.5 8.1 44.4 29.0 1.7 2.0 4.4 13.6 16.3 5.8 6.5 100.0 1.6 7.1 7.3 5.5 21.3 100.0 2.5 10.9 10.3 10.2 6.4 100.0 1.3 12.2 5.2 11.5 6.4 100.0 .8 5.3 1.3 11.7 6.2 100.0 4.4 4 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW limit; there were only 165 banks in this category on Octobcr 5, 1955, compared with 208 in 1946. Within the whole array of loans by bank size, the 9·year comparison is marked by such little variation as to lend credence to the view that one of the most significant characteristics of the period was an almost universal participation by banks of various sizes in the increase in the volume of loans to commercial and industrial enterprises. For each class of bank, one of three types of borrowerspetroleum and related industries, other nonfinancial firms, and retailers - ranked first in the volume of borrowed funds. At banks with deposits of $250,000,000 and over, petroleum loans were predominant, accounting for about 27 percent of their business loans, and comprised 68 percent of the petroleum loans at all member banks in the District. However, real·estate and construction firms, in that order, followed petroleum as the principal sources of demand for credit. If these two classifi cations are combined, they outrank petroleum loa ns by a substantial margin, constituting about 30 percent of business loans at the largest banks. Real·estate and con· struction loans at the largest banks also represented 63 per· cent of the real-estate and construction loans at all member banks. Other nonfinancial businesses were the most important borrowers at banks with deposits between $100,000,000 and 250,000,000, but petroleum firms were a close second. For institutions havin g deposits below $10,000,000, the survey revealed that retailers occupied the front rank of borrowers. Indeed, at the smallest banks, retail trade accounted for almost 45 percent of the loan volume. Moreover, the relative importance of retail loans increased steadily as the size of the bank became smaller. Short- and Intermediate-Term Loans AJ)out three-fourths of the aggregate loan values outstanding on October 5, 1955, were to be repaid within a year; nationally, two·thirds of the loans had short maturities. The largest bank class granted nearly one· half the total amount of loans, although in number, they represented only about 15 percent of the total. Intermediate-sized banks - those with 510,000,000 to 5100,000,000 in deposits - made nearly 50 percent of the number of loans, the dollar value of which was abollt 30 percent of the District total. At the largest banks, the business group borrowing the largest amount of short-term credit was real-estate firms. This SHORT·TERM 8USINES~ LOANS OF MEM8ER 8ANKS,OCT08ER 5, 1955 8Y SIZE OF SANK 101 SHORT·TERM 8USINESS LOANS OF MEM8ER 8ANKS, OCT08ER 5, 1955 BY BUSINESS OF 80RROWER AND SIZE OF 8ANK Eleventh federal Reserve District (Estimates of outstanding loan s. Amounts in thousands of dolla rs) Size of bonk (Totol deposits, in millions of dollars ) 250 and Business of borrower AU BUSINESSES ••••••••••••••• 90,981 9,380 2,747 12,703 25,148 3,841 2,171 3,291 2,175 900 116 428 125,514 21,442 63,846 24,673 39,173 426,780 35,612 50,408 11,899 7,015 25,661 12,699 12,962 108,422 48,886 17,265 108,964 27,326 37,940 71,024 217,578 13,965 38,625 4,068 11,777 35,887 7.048 28,839 51.,617 4,845 8,655 462 269 6,537 1,112 5,425 3,137 237 282 8,292 123,307 138,032 25,353 45.776 685,2 13 249 17,050 12,202 9,992 39,456 173,260 8,864 51,1.93 42,661 35,607 26,363 417,523 1,303 15,649 5,785 10,850 7,530 11 5,652 92 658 167 947 754 11,849 2,11.7 2-10 Under 2 Food, liquo r and tobacco . .. .• • Textiles, apparel, and leather.. . Metals and metal products .... . Petroleum, coal, chemicals, and rubber ..•. • .•..•• ...... •• Other .. .•. .•••.• •... • •• ..•• TRADE .• • .•.•.•.•. • . • •••••••• WholeS<lle • .. •.•.•••.•••.•.• Retail •. .. ..... .. •..•• ••.•. • OTHER ••••••••••••••••••••••-. Commodity dealers . .. . • .....• Sales finance (;ompanies •. ..... Transportation, communication. and other public utilities ••..• Construction •.•••..••..•....• Real estate .... . . ..... . ..... . Services ....•..•.•..•..... . . Other nonfinancial . ..•. . •....• ALL BUSiNESSES .....•..• .•.... 28.4 1.3 1.1 4.6 22.6 2.3 1.5 7.9 21.8 2.3 18.3 3.1 9.3 3.6 5.7 62.3 5.2 7 .4 6.9 4.0 14.8 7.3 7 .5 62.6 1.2 15.8 .2 1.2 18.0 20.1 3.7 67 100.0 9.8 7.0 5.8 22.8 100.0 3.0 21.7 3.3 1.9 2.8 18.4 7.6 1.0 3.6 11.7 4.1 26.1 9.1 17.0 52.1 3.4 9.3 3.5 10.2 31.0 6.1 24.9 47.3 4.2 7.5 3.9 2.3 55. 1 9.4 45.7 26.5 2.0 2.4 2.1 12.3 10.2 8.5 6.3 100.0 1.1 13.5 5.0 9.5 6.5 100.0 .8 5.5 1.4 8.0 6.4 100.0 .7 category included loans secured by liens on real estate but excluded loans which are merely collateralized by real-estate mortgages or kindred liens. Thus, most short-term real-estate loans represent temporary credits - frequently negotiated by repurchase agreement - to mortgage companies, insurance compan ies, and others who may be the permanent lenders. In 1955, this type of transaction was concentrated at the largest banks, as the volume at all other banks did not equal the short-term real-estate loans of the institutions having deposits of more than $250,000,000. At the largest banks, furthermore, petroleum loans and construction loans, with 18.3 percent and 18.0 percent, respectively, of the loan volume, closely followed real estate in the order of importance. However, the largest average loan at thcse banks was made to sales finance companies. INTERMEDIATE-TERM 8USINESS LOANS OF MEMBER BANKS OCTOBER 5, 1955, 8Y SIZE OF BANK Eleventh Federal Reserve District Size of bank • le-l00 39,177 3,986 2,614 13,663 Percentage distribution within bank size group MANUFACTURING AND MINING. Eleventh federal Reserve District ~i~:~~5d~Id~~i~;~) Amount of loons 250 and over ..... .......... 100-250 ... .. .......... ...• 10-100 ...... . ...•...•• • .. . 2-10 .................• •... Under 2 .................... S 685,2 12.980 173,2 60,030 417,523,450 115,652,190 11,848,950 48.8 12.4 29.7 8.3 .8 11,204 4,038 36,802 17,917 4,257 15.1 5.4 49.6 24.2 5.7 TOTAL ...........•..... . . $1,403,397,600 100.0 74,218 100.0 Percentage of total 100-250 194,587 9,170 7,295 31,166 over MANUFACTURING AND MINING. Food, liquor, ond tobacco ..... . Textiles, apparel, ond leather.. . Metals and metal products .... . Petroleum, cool, chemicals, and rubber • ......... •.. ...... Other ...•.•.......•........ TRADE .•••.••. ..• .•.•. ...... • Wholesale ••••...•......... • Retail •• .• .• .. ••• . . ... .. ... • OTHEI1: •. .. .........•...• . ...• Commodity dealers .• •..•.. • . • Soles finance companies • ..... . Transportation, communication, and other public utilities .••.• Construction •. . •••....• .• •••• Real estate • •••..••........•• Services •........... • ...... . Other nonfinancial ••.. ...• •. •• Number of loons Percentage of total Size of bonk ITolal deposits, in millions of dollars) Amount of loons Percentage of total Number of loons Percentage of total 59.8 12.8 22 .2 4.8 ' Under 2 .•...•.....•.. • . .... 5326,987,050 70,042,780 121,473,250 26,261,620 2,330,480 .. 6,679 2,054 12,305 4,966 1,020 7.6 45.5 18.4 3.8 TOTAL . •. ... ..... .. ...... $547,095,180 100.0 27,024 100.0 250 and over .• . ...........• 100-250 ................... 10-100 ........... , .. . . .... 2-10 ........ . . ... . .... 10 • • 21..7 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 102 INTERMEDIATE· TERM BUSINESS LOANS O'F MEMB ER BANKS OCTOBER 5, 1955, BY BUS IN ESS OF BORROWER AND SIZE OF BANK Eleventh Federal Reserve District (Estimates of outstanding loan s. Amounts in thousands of dolla rs) Size of bank ITotol depo5its, in millions of dollars) 250 and Business of borrower MANUFACTURING AND MINING. Food, liquor, Clnd tobacco . .. . . . Textiles, apparel, and le ather .. . Metals Clnd metal products •..•• 100-250 10-100 175,875 5,087 1,589 13,931 33,874 2,421 12 929 44,105 2,233 1,209 4,202 4,667 363 100 808 448 60 146,702 8,566 17,349 3,654 13,695 133,763 695 1,895 29,851 661 8,158 2,356 5,802 28,01 t 2,403 993 9,915 1,920 7.995 11,680 139 665 178 20 911 45 866 971 2,521 30,607 5,854 21,494 4, 194 17,300 55,874 2,543 1,416 36,679 13,998 27, 154 33,018 20,324 326,987 3,789 306 5,471 3,428 12,496 70,043 4,525 7,195 12,819 19,556 7,820 121,473 480 1,734 1,643 5,457 1,562 26,262 19 95 23 714 120 2,330 over 2-10 Under 2 o 190 Petroleum, coal, chemicals, and rubber •................. . Other .. . ................. . . TRADE •••••••••.•••••••••...• Wholesale .... . .........• .. . Retail ......... .... . ... • ... • OTHER ...... ................ . Commodity dealers ....•.....• Sales flnance companies •.. ... • Transportation, communication, and other public utilities . •.. • Construction •.... . ..... ...... Real estate ................ . . Servites . .................. . Other nonflnancla l........... . ALL BUSiNESSES ..•.......•.. . . o o o Pertentage distribution within bank size group MANUFACTURING AND MINING. Food, liquor, and tobacco .. ... . Telltiles, apparel, ond leather.. . Melal s and metal produtts ... . . Petroleum, coal, themical5, and rubber .. .......... ... ... . Olher ..................... . TRADE ............ ......... .. Wholesa le ....... .... ..•.. . . Retail .. ...........•........ OTHER ....... . . ... ... . ...... . Commodity dealers . .. . . ..... . Sales finance companies ... . .. . Transportation, communication, and other public utilities . ... . Construction . ........... . .. . . Rea l estate ...... .•.......... SenJces . ........ . ......... . Other nonfinancial •....... . ... All BUSiNESSES ..•.......•...• 48.3 3.5 .0 1.3 36.3 1.8 1.0 3.5 17.9 1.4 .5 4.3 .. 19.2 2.6 .0 8.2 44.9 2.6 5.3 1.1 4.2 40.9 42.6 .9 11.7 3.4 8.3 40 .0 9.2 3.8 37.7 7.3 30.4 44.4 .5 2.5 7.6 .8 39.1 1.9 37.2 41.7 1.8 6.6 6.3 20.8 5.9 100.0 .8 4.1 1.0 30.6 5.2 100.0 53.8 1.5 .2 .0 .6 3.6 25 .2 4.8 17.7 3.5 14.2 46.0 2.1 1.2 11.2 4.3 8.3 10 .1 6.2 100.0 5.4 .4 7.8 4.9 17.9 100.0 3.7 5.9 10.6 16.1 6.4 100 .0 3.1 .0 .0 For intermediate·term loans - those with maturities beyond 1 year - the largest banks again had the heaviest concentration, as they extended almost 60 percent of the $547,095,000 of intermediate·term business loans. This was a larger share of the total than was recorded for their short· term credits. With deposits between $100,000,000 and 250,000,000, the next largest bank size class also had a larger proportion of intermediate·term loans than short-term loans, but for each of the three classes of banks with deposits below $100,000,000, the survey estimates indicate a smaller share of intermediate·term loans than short·term credits. Character· istic of all banks in the Nation also, the larger banks occupy the dominant position in this region in granting intermediate· term loans, many of which require specialized staffs and resources to negotiate. Petroleum and related industries borrowed $146,702,000, or 45 percent, of all interm ediate·term credit at the largest banks. At the next largest class of bank, longer-dated petrol. eum loans also led the various categories of intermediate· term borrowers; of the total volume of loans to the petroleum industry, more than 70 percent was for a period of longer th an 1 year. Public utilities borrowing at longer term amounted to about four times their short· term borrowing. In both instances, the national data showed a broadly comparable situation. In the Eleventh District, service firms had 57 percent of their borrowing in the form of intermediate·term loans; however, nationwide, these borrowers had a smaller percentage of intermediate·term loans. The reason for the high percentage of in termediate· term borrowing by service firms is to be found in the facttbat the volume of business handled by these firms has expanded rapidly in the postwar period; since such firms are predominantly small and do not have normal access to national capital markets, they have obtained from com· mercial banks not only the funds for working capital pur· poses but also, in many instances, the funds to cover their rapidly expanding capital requirements. In the latter case, the borrowing has taken the form of term loans with maturi· ties in excess of 1 year and with the principal repayable in periodic instalments. True also for the Nation, the largest firms in the District tended to obtain their intermediate· term loans from the largo est banks. For example, firms with assets of $5,000,000 and over had an estimated 85 percent of their loans with the largest bank class; this proportion was 95 percent for banks holding deposits of $100,000,000 and over. Furthermore, at the largest institutions, less than 25 percent of all intermed· iate·term business borrowing came from firms whose total resources were below $1,000,000. As the banks decreased in size, the percentage of loans going to these smaller firms increased rapidly. This trend is exemplified by the situation at the smallest banks, where no borrower had assets above $5,000,000 and the overwhelming majority of loans - 87.3 percent - went to firms whose total assets were below $250,000. For all banks, the largest volume of borrowing originated from the $1,000,000·$5,000,000 class, the firms immediately above and below forming the next largest users of intermedi· ate·term credit and the least volume coming from the smallest class and the two largest classes of borrowers. To the extent that this relalionsh:ip accurately represents the District econ· omy, such evidence is indicative of the wide participation of various sized firms in the pool of credit managed by member banks in the Eleventh District. INTERMEDIATE·TERM BUSINESS LOANS OF MEMBER BANKS OCTOBER 5, 1955, BY SIZE OF BUSINESS AND SIZE OF BANK Eleventh Federol Reserve Dislrict (htimat8s of outsta nding loons . Amounh in thousands of dollars) Size of bank Irotal depo5its, in millions of doUars} Size of business 250 (In thousands of dollars) and oyer 100-25 0 10-100 100,000 and over .... .. 29,820 25,000-100,000 ....... 19,799 5,000-25,000 ..... ... . 91,659 1,000-5,000 ......... . 106,364 250-1,000 ...... . .... 50,-479 50-250 ............ . . 23,312 5,554 Under 50 ........ . .... . 4.502 2,6 19 8.941 20,058 16,099 12.086 5,738 1,321 1,212 5,851 22,144 35,559 42,989 12,398 534 2.919 14,080 8,527 1,026 35,845 23,630 106.45 1 149.250 105,200 93,476 33,243 TOTAL ........... . . 326,987 70,043 121 ,474 26.262 2.330 547,095 2- 10 Under 2 202 °° °° ° 150 145 1,009 Totol Percentage distribution within bank ,ize group 7. 1 1.7 6.4 3.7 12.8 28.6 23.0 17.3 8.2 1.1 1.0 4.8 18.2 29.3 35.4 10.2 0.8 .0 .0 2.0 11.1 53.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100,000 and over ...... 25,000-100,000 .. . .. . . 5,000-25,000 ... . • .. .. 1,000-5,000 .... .. .... 250-1,000 . .......... 50-250 .. .. .... . . .. .. Under 50 ............. 9.1 6.1 28.1 32.5 TOTAl. .. . ......... 15,4 32.5 0.0 .0 .0 6.5 6.2 43.3 44.0 6.6 4.3 19.4 27.3 19.2 17.1 6.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 4 103 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW Interest Rates The historic relationship between high.level economic activo ity and a rising structurc of interest rates was observed once again during the prosperous postwar decade, as the heavy capital requirements associa ted with full production and eco· nomic growth outdistanced the more slowly rising supply of loanable funds. On October 5, 1955, the rate of interest on all business loans at District member banks averaged 4.7 per· cent, compared with a national average of 4.2 percent. In both the District and the Nation, these rates stood above their 1946 levels, reRecting the substan tially larger business loan volume, but the increase was greater in the Nation than in the District. In the 9·year interval between surveys, however, the gap was narrowed; the average rate nationally rose 1.3 percentage points, while the average loan rate in the District increased from 3.7 percent to 4.7 pcrcent, or only 1 percentage point. Higher interest rates charged in the Eleventh District reRect man y different factors. Virtually all of them are related to the characteristics of the region and its rapid economic develop· ment. Traditionally, the region has had a dynamic economy, and its growth and development bave required more capital than could be provided from local savings. Hence, through the years, the Southwest has been a large importer of capital; and , under the persistent conditions of a strong demand for and scarcity of capital, the price of money has remained higher than in sections of the country whi ch have long been exporters of capital. Another reason closely associated with the foregoing is the smaller average size of borrower in the region than in the Nation; the evidence in the survey tends to confirm the traditional relationship between the size of borrower or size of loan and the average interest rate. The availability of alternative methods of finance, including access to national capital markets, is anotber relevant factor. Perhaps of greater significance to the District, however, than the gap between rates here and in the country as a whole is the reduction of this differential during the 9 years, whlch, in a broad sense, is evidence of the economic progress in this region. In the postwar period, the rapid growth of income has permitted a substantial increase in the volume of savings and the availability of local capital, which helped to limit the difTerence between average interest rates in the District and the Nation. Again, the banks in the region have grown in size and greatly augmented their capital funds, making it possible to accommodate more a dequatel y the increasing credit demands of business institutions. At the same time, the vitality of the region and the growing stature of its business concerns, together with expanding opportunities for investment, have attracted a large volume of investment funds from other areas at favorable rates of interest. Moreover, a large segment of business firms has grown in size and financial soundness and, hence, has become better credit risks. For that reason, many of these firms have been able to obtain interest rates locally which are competitive with those in national markets. Whil e the level of rates changes in reaction to the supply of and demand fOT loanable funds (which themselves are determined by forces emanating from the level of saving, the productivity of capital, the availability of bank reserves, the size of national income - to mention some of the more prominent), changes within the pattern of rates are almost continuously taking place. Thus, industries having rapid growth rates and showing almost uniformly excellent earnings are likely to be more favored than those whose future is less promising, although the stability of the industry in question powerfully qualifies the outcome. Moreover, the level of rates may be affected by the development of techniques of credit investigation and of lending on a basis to facilitate repayment, both of which may reduce greatly the risk of lending. Within many industries, moreover, some firms may be improving their credit rating, while others may have passed their prime. As further evidence of the importance of changes within the pattern, from 1946 to 1955, borrowers with assets of more than $5,000,000 showed a much larger increase in the average cost of loans than did concerns with below $50,000, whose average cost of credit in 1955, in fact, was unchanged from the 1946 level. The larger firms, whose borrowing costs are tied closely to changes in the prime rate, were affected more noticeably in this respect by the rising pattern of interest rates than were the very smallest. In the case of the latter group, loan rates tended to be sticky and only slowly respon· sive to changes in the interest rate structure. Commodity dealers paid the lowest average rate of interest on loans, 3.9 percent, and service firms, paying 5.5 percent, ranked at the top. Loans to enterprises specializing in com· modity dealings are typically secured by title to physical goods, which reduces the risk and helps to minimize their interest charge. Service firms , on the other hand, are character. ized by small units, and their average loan is the smallest among the borrowers surveyed. Retailers paid an average rate of 5 percent, which happened to be the representative rate on both intermediate· and short·term loans. At a cost below the average for all borrowers, petroleum and related indus. tries paid an average of 4.4 percent on all loans, with short· term rates fractionally above the charge for loans of longer than 1 year. In general, all categories of manufacturing and mining companies were charged less than the average rate on loans; trade and other borrowers tended to pay more, AVERAGE INTEREST RATES ON MEMBER BANK BUSINESS LOANS, OCTOBER 5.1955 BY MATURITY OF LOAN AND BUSINESS OF BORROWER Eleventh Federal Reserve District (Percent per annum) Business of borrower MANUfACTURING AND MINING ... Food, liquor, and tobacco ........ Textiles, apparel, and leather.• • . • Metals Clnd metal products . . ... . • P.lr~ eum, coal, chemica ls, and rubber .•••.. .••. ... ...•...• Other ... .• •••. . , •..........•• TRADE • ..• ••...•.••.•.• . •.••.• . Wholesale ... ... ....... . .... . . Reta1l •••••••••••••.••••••••• • OTHER •••• ••••••• ••••••••••••• • Commodity dealers •• ••••••• •••• Sales flnonce comeanies ••••••••• Transportation, communication, and other public utilities ••••••• Construction • •••••• •• . ••• ••••• • Real estate •••• .••• ••••.• •••••• Sel"l'ice firms ••••• • ••••••••••••• Other nonfinancial •••• • •• ••••••• All BUSiNESSES • .••••••• •••••••• Intermediate · term loans All loans SoorHerm loans (1 year or len) (Over I year) 4.5 4.4 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.2 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.B 4.9 4.9 4.4 47 4.9 5.0 4.7 3.9 4.1 4.7 4.5 4.7 4.9 47 5.0 4.7 3.B 4.1 4.4 4.6 5.0 4.B 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.1 5.1 4.B 5.5 4.4 4.7 4.4 5.0 4.B 5.1 4.4 4.7 4.0 5.5 4.4 5.B 4.5 4.6 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 104 Summary AVERAGE INTEREST RATES ON MEMBER BANK BUSINESS LOANS, OCTOBER 5,1 955 BY MATURITY OF LOAN AND SIZE OF BUSINESS Eleventh Federal Reserve District (Percent per annum) Size of business (In thousands of dollars) 100,000 and over ........... . 25,000- T00,000 .. ..•........ 5,000-25,000 .... ... ...... . . 1,000-5,000 . ..... ........ .. 250-1,000 ... ...... . .. .. • . . 50-250 . ........ ... .... ... . Under 50 . .......... .. ..... . ALL BUSiNESSES . ••••••••• • All loans Shorl-term loans (1 year or less) 3.4 4.0 4.2 4.5 4.7 5.2 5.6 4.7 3." 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.8 5.2 5.4 4.7 Intermediateterm loons lOver 1 year) 3.4 3.8 4.1 4.8 4.6 5.3 6.3 4.6 although these latter classifications include the relatively low interest-paying commodity dealers and public utilities, The table showing average interest rates by maturity of loan and size of business, which cuts across business classifications, is indicative of the relationship between the size of firm and the average rate of interest. These data illustrate a pattern for intermediate-term and short-term loans which pervades virtually all businesses. As the gross assets of borrowers rose, the average interest charge tended to decline. Two important reasons why interest rates generally increase as the size of the firm declines are that the cost per dollar of servicing smaller loans is considerably greater than is true for larger transac· tions; and the risk ordinarily involved in smaller loans is greater and is usually compensated for by higher interest charges. With respect to the latter point, however, the rate is also affected by the type of security, which helps to deter· mine the degree of risk and influences the cost of borrowing. For borrowers using funds longer than a year, there was a somewhat larger spread between the highest and lowest rate than was true for short-term borrowings. This wider gap probably resulted, in a large measure, from the risks involved in lending funds at longer term to smaller enterprises and the fact that many of the longer-term loans to the smaller bor· rower represent instalment loans, which usually carry a higher average rate. Portraying the characteristics of member bank lending to business in this District, the survey yields information helpful to those interested in understanding selected southwestern financial developments. Among the borrowers, the firms showing the most rapid increase in their borrowing between the survey dates were those principally engaged in real-estate and construction activities. Moreover, the size of the typical bor. rowing firm rose, although the largest dollar amount of indebt· edness in both yea rs came from firms whose total assets were between $250,000 and $5,000,000. Petroleum and related industries were the largest borrowers, while retail trade, followed by service firms, led the ca tegories in the number of borrowers. The largest sized banks held more than one-half the dollar volume of business loans, and banks having deposits between $10,000,000 and $100,000,000 had almost 50 percent of the number of loans. Banks with the largest deposits had a greater proportion of intermediate-term loans than short-term loans. The average rate of interest on all business loans in the District was 4,7 percent, and the District average was closer to the national average in 1955 than in 1946, Commodity dealers paid the lowest average rates, with public utilities second, Firms in the service industry paid the highest average rate, followed by construction firms and retailers, in that order. There was a tendency for the interest rate to rise as the size of the borrower decreased, and this was generally true for both intermediate-term and short-term loans. Not only did the survey illustrate what had already been evident - that the southwest economy expanded vigorously between 1946 and 1955 - but also that the growth was widely distributed, The latter development, in particular, should help to strengthen and fortify the regional economy_ In a broad sense, however, most of the major changes in southwestern bank loans to business paralleled trends which occurred throughout the Nation, indicating that forces affecting banks throughout the country were also felt in the Eleventh District. 105 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW REVIEW OF BUSINESS, AGRICULTURAL, AND FINANCIAL CONDITIONS Department store sales in the Eleventh District during May were 17 percent above April and 10 percent above May 1955. There was an increase of 5 percent in sales for the first 5 months of 1956 compared with the same months last year. Sales at furniture stores in May were 16 percent higher than in April and 8 percent above May 1955. Rain is needed throughout most of the Distrid to maintain development of crops. The 1956 winter wheat crop in the District states is estimated, as of June 1, at 82,811,000 bushels, or 11 percent above the month-earlier forecast. Cash receipts from farm marketings during the first quarter of 1956 totaled $582,839,000, or 9 percent below the same period in 1955. Crude oil production in the District declined slightly in the first half of June, while refinery activity showed a small increase. However, with increased allowables in Texas, production may rise somewhat in July. Crude stocks in the Nation also declined slightly in early June, while stocks of the four major refined products showed a mild increase. Nonagricultural employment in the District states during May continued its seasonal upswing, increasing 11,900 from April to reach 4,051,300. Manufacturing employment increased 4,500 to a level of 754,500, with important gains reported in the aircraft, shipbuilding, machinery, and food-processing industries. Construction employment showed a sizable increase, as workers idled by labor-management disputes returned to their jobs. Consumer bu ying at deparbnent stores in the District was well sustained in May, with the dollar sales of reporting stores 17 percent higher in April and 10 percent larger than in May 1955. These increases were partially accounted for by two more trading days than in April and one more than in May last year. Although total sales increased substantially from April Lo May, the adjusted index of sales (which makes allowances for the effects of seasonal factors and the number of business days) was 145 percent of the 1947-49 average, compared with 144 in April and 136 in May last year. Cumulative percent above increase of 3 per cent at the sa les for the first 5 months of 1956 were 5 a year earlier compared with a corresponding percent at the end of April and a peak of 8 end of the first quarter. The largest increases in department store sales during May were primarily in the soft goods departments. Sales of women's an d misses' ready.to-wea r apparel were 13 percent higher than a year ago, and sales of women's accessories were up 10 percent. Men's and boys' clothing sales, increasing more than is usual d uring May, were 8 percent higher than a ycar earlier. Sales in the consumer durable goods departments, after dropping below those of a year earlier during March and April, rose 15 percen t during May and at the month end were 6 percent above those of May 1955. Sales of major household appliances rose 46 percent over the compara tively low level of April and were 15 percent more than in Maya year ago. Domestic floor coverings sales decreased substantially during the month and were under the year·earlier level RETAIL TRADE STATISTICS [Percentage change} STOCKSl NET SAlES Ma y 1956 from Ma y 19 56 from The value of construction contracts awarded in the District during May, at a record high, reflected gains of 17 percent from April and 28 percent from May 1955. Residential awards declined 7 percent from April, but this decrease was more than offset by a 38-percent increase in "all other" awards. Weekly reporting banks in the District utilized funds from loan and investment liquidation to meet deposit withdrawals and build up cash accounts during the 5 weeks ended June 20; their deposits • declined $22,408,000. Daily average gross demand deposits at all member banks declined in May, but time deposits rose above the April average. Bank debits during the month, however, rose in 22 of the District's 24 reporting centers. S mo. 1956 Une of trade by area OEPARTMENT STOR ES Total EJe'l8nlh Dtstrlet •• •••• ••• • •• Corpus Christl ••• • ••••••••••••• • Da llas • •• ••••••••••••• • •••••••• EJ Pa so •••• •• •••• •• •••• • ••• • • • • Fort Worth • ••••••••••••••••• • • • HoU'Sfon •• • •••••••••••••••• •••• Son An tdnlo • •• ••• •• • ••• • •• •• ••• Shreveport, La •••••••••••••• • ••• Waco •• • •••• • ••• • ••••••••• • ••• O ther cities • •• • • • • ••••• •• •• • ••• FU RNITURE STORES Talai S eventh Dislrict •••••••• •• •• Amarillo • •• •• •• • ••• •••••• • •• ••• A ustin • • ••••• •• • ••••••••• • • • ••• Da llas •• • •• •• •• • ••••••••• • ••••• Houston •• •••• •• • ••• • ••• •• •• • • • Lubbock •••• • • • • • ••••• • •• • ••••• So n Antonio • • •• • ••••• • •• • ••• • •• Shreve port, La •••••••••••••••••• Wichita Fa lls • • • • ••••••• • ••••••• Other cities •• ••••••••••••• • •••• HOUSEHOLD APPLIAN CE STORES Total Eleventh District •• • ••• • ••••• Dallas ••• • ••••••••••• •• •••••••• 1 Siocks at end of month. M.y April 1955 1956 10 15 7 10 17 23 14 15 4 8 12 11 14 8 19 20 23 13 26 10 8 _ 9 8 _ 16 18 31 4 13 -10 10 15 -30 30 -4 -13 20 3 11 19 18 18 14 1 6 com po with 5 mo. 1955 M. y 1955 5 6 2 4 6 7 -1 5 9 7 9 16 5 3 19 13 3 3 15 18 _4 - 1 17 9 - 1 - 19 14 - 6 12 14 0 6 13 12 April 1956 -4 6 -5 -5 -6 0 - 5 -7 -5 -7 11 1 9 2 - 3 2 2 - 1 4 -12 -~ MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 106 WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION INDEXES OF DEPARTMENT STORE SALES AND STOCKS 11947-49 = Four Soulhwestern States and United States 1001 May Area Apr. Mar. (In thousand s af bushels I ADJUSTED' UNADJUSTED May May Apr. Mar. May 1956 1956 1956 1956 1955 1956 1956 1956 1955 SALES-Daily average Eleventh District •••• ..•••••• Dallas. • ••.• . . ........ .... Houdon •••••..•.•...••• . • 132 122 147 134 123 144 135r 145 130 168 144 137 160 144 130 155 136r 125 149 155p 162 162 142r 154p 154 156 141r 143 128 164 126 152 STOCKS-End of month Eleventh District . •• .••••.• • • I 1955 1945-54 1,218 840 58,203 22,550 1,218 1,500 23,784 13,464 598 2,612 77,872 50,246 82,811 670,375 39,966 705,372 131 ,32 8 872,635 Arizona . •.• . .. •. ... ....••. . New Mexico ••••••....•..•••• Oklahoma ...... . ... • . ..... . Texas . .. ... .... . .... .. .. . . • Tolal.... ......... ...... .. United States........ . .... . Adjuded for seasonal variation. Average Indicate d June 1 Area r-Revised. p-Preliminary. SOURCE: Unite d States Department of Agriculture. by 16 percent. The dollar volume of televjsion sales during May was at the lowest point since February 1954_ Sales of all types at reporting District department stores increased from April to May - cash sales by 18 percent, charge account sales by 19 percent, and instalment sales by 17 percent. Compared with May last year, cash sales were up 8 percent; regular charge sales, up 10 percent; and instalment sales, up 12 percent. Instalment accounts outstanding at department stores again showed little change during May. Compared with a year ago, however, month-end balances were up 11 percent. The instalment collection ratio in May, at 14 percent, was 1 percentage point above both April and a year ago. Charge accounts outstanding increased 2 percent during May and at the end of the month were 6 percent above a year earlier. Collections during the month amounted to 47 percent of first-of-month balances, or 5 percentage points above the April collection ratio and 1 percentage point above a year ago. Department store inventories during May declined seasonally by 4 percent and at the end of the month were 9 percent higher than a year earlier. The May adjusted stock index was 154 percent of the 1947-49 average, compared with an average of 156 for the first 4 months of this year and 141 for May 1955. Although orders outstanding increased 27 percent during the month, the total outstandiug at the end of May was 2 percent below a year ago. Sales of reporting furniture stores during May showed a sharp gain of 15 percent over those in April and were 8 percent larger than those in May 1955. This is the largest yearto-year gain reported since November last year_ Inventories at the end of the month were 1 percent more than in April and were up 3 percent from the year-earlier figure_Accounts receivable at the close of May were 9 percent above those of a year ago, while collections increased 15 percent. Registration of new car sales durin g May in Dallas, Fort Worth, Houston, and San Antonio was down 21 percent from a year earlier but was up 10 percent from April. New car sales for the four cities for the first 5 months of 1956 were 16 percent below the comparable period of 1955_ suffering from lack of moisture. The major portion of the Trans-Pecos area of Texas, parts of the southern High Plains, and adjacent Low Rolling Plains and Plateau counties received only negligible rainfall, and moisture conditions are extremely poor. Early June rains improved agricultural prospects in many drought-stricken sections of eastern New Mexico and northwestern and southern parts of Texas, but more precipitation is needed. Some crops were damaged by hail and washing rains during mid-June in a few counties in the Panhandle and southern High Plains of Texas; downpours measured up to 5 inches in local areas. In the eastern third of the District, crops are at a critical stage of growth, and soaking rains are needed to maintain development. Considerable acreage of sorghums has been seeded in the northwestern portion of the District; however, soils are too dry for planting in some areas. Feed crops in eastern and central Texas are suffering from lack of moisture, and some corn which failed to make grain in south-central counties has been cut for silage or forage_ Harvest of wheat is virtually complete throughout the District, and yields are higher than anticipated. The indicated production of 1956-crop winter wheat in the four principal wheat-producing states of the District is placed, as of June 1, at 82,811,000 bushels, according to the United States Department of Agriculture_ A crop this size would be twice the small output in 1955 but 37 percent below the 10-year (1945-54) average. The June 1 forecast of winter wheat in the District states is 11 percent larger than the previous estimate, while the indicated production for the Nation - at 670,375,000 bushels - is 2 percent smaller than the May 1 estimate. The fir st bale of 1956-crop cotton was ginned in the Lower Valley of Texas on June 8 - the same date the first bale was ginned in 1955_ Planting and cultivation are active throughout the District. The crop made good growth during most of LIVESTOCK RECEIPTS (Number) FORT WORTH MARKET Following rather general rains over the major portion of the District during late May and early June, precipitation has been limited to local areas, and crops and pastures are Clo ss May April May May 1956 1955 1956 1956 1955 f~5~ 29,720 11.415 3,958 12 8,276 34,833 17,902 3,58a 140,240 36,520 14,630 3,946 126,072 Cattle .......... 70,743 13,418 Calves ......... Hags ...... ..... 53,508 Sheep .... . ... . . 183,596 1 Includes goats. SAN ANTONIO MARKET May 101,246 21,508 48,377 229,849 52,063 10,146 57,785 131,748 ~ ~ MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW the past month, but inadequate moisture has recently slowed development. Prospects remain promising in north Texas, the Lower Valley, Coastal Bend, and irrigated areas in the western part of the District. However, late cotton is developing slowly in south Texas. 107 FARM COMMODITY PRICES Top Prices Paid in Local Southwest Markets Week ended Unit June 20, 1956 Commodity and market Field work is active in most commercial vegetable areas. Cantaloupes are moving in volume from the Laredo and Winter Garden areas of Texas, and the crop is developing satisfactorily in later areas. Most watermelons are being shipped from irrigated areas in south Texas; melons from later plantings in dry-land areas are becoming available. Sweet corn is being shipped from south-central Texas, and the crop is nearing maturity in east Texas. The output of 1956-crop spring vegetables and melons is estimated, as of June 1, to be 19 percent larger than a year earlier and 23 percent above average. Increased production of cantaloupes, honeydew melons, early and late-spring onions, early spring tomatoes, late-spring potatoes, and watermelons is offsetting the smaller crops of sweet corn, peppers, summer potatoes, and late-spring tomatoes. The condition of the Texas orange and grapefruit crop as of June 1 was considerably above both a year ago and the 10-year average. Trees are in good condition, and the set of the fruit is exceptionally good. In early June, the use of water from Falcon Reservoir was restricted to nonagricultural purposes, and a lack of irrigation water could reduce the present favorabl e outlook. Range and pasture forage made good progress in the High Plains area as a result of improved moisture conditions, and supplemental feeding is tapering off. Pastures in the other portions of the District are in need of additional moisture to promote growth. Ranges in New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas were in poorer condition as of June 1 than at the same time a year earlier, while those in Arizona were somewhat better, according to the Department of Agriculture. Generally, cattle and sheep are also in poorer condition than a year earlier, although they have been maintained in fairly good condition with almost continuous supplemental feeding. Shipments of cattle and calves to principal livestock markets in Texas during May were 29 percent smaller than during the same month last year. Marketings of sheep and Iambs CASH RECEIPTS FROM FARM MARKETINGS Five Southwestern Slates fin thousands of dollars) March January-March Area 1956 1955 1956 1955 Arizona .•••.• • .•. •• ..•.• • .• $ 19,816 16,976 $ 18,844 19,130 $ 77,570 66,696 $ 98,302 6,745 23,599 7,133 27,632 83,096 327,845 64,974 28,752 94,699 353,439 $582,839 5640,166 Louisiana .••• •.•••.•.• • ....• New Mexico . ..•. . . . .... . . . .. Oklahoma .. . ....... . ....... Texa s ....... . .... . . ....... . 79,609 28,337 87,359 Totol ....... .. . .......... . $146,745 $160,803 SOURCE: United States Deportment of Agriculture. COTTON, Middling 1 5/16-inch, Dallas .... WHEAT, No.1 hard, Fort Worth .•. .. .. . . OATS, No. 2 white. Fort Worth ...... . . . . CORN, No.2 yellow, Fort Worth ... . ..... SORGHUMS, No.2 yellow, Fort Worth .... HOGS, Choice, Fort Worth .. . ........... SLAUGHTER STEERS, Choice, Fort Worth ... SLAUGHTER CALVES, Choice, Fort Worth .. STOCKER STEERS, Choice, Fort Worth ..... SLAUGHTER SPRING LAMBS, Choice, Fort Worth ..•......••.•........•...• BROILERS, south Texas .................. lb. bu. bu. bu. cwt. cwt. cwt. cwt. cwl. cwt. lb . $ Comparable Comparable week, week, previous previous year month .3545 2.37 Vl .90 1.90* 2.44 16.50 21.50 20.50 18.50 2.47 16.50 1.00 1.84Vl 2.55 21.50 21.00 22.00 19.00 23.50 21.50 23.00 22.50 .22 23.00 .2' 22.50 .28 .3545 2.53Vl .91* 1. 85~ $ .3345 2.64Yl were 22 percent smaller, but hog receipts were 11 percent greater than in May 1955. The index of prices received by Texas farmers and ranchers increased 2 points (less than 1 percent) during the month ended May 15, according to the Department of Agriculture. At mid-May the index was 252 percent of the 1910-14 average, compared with 250 a month earHer and 260 at the same time a year ago. Cash receipts from farm marketings in the District states totaled $582,839,000 during the first quarter of 1956, reflecting a decline of 9 percent from the January-March period in 1955. Receipts from crops were 14 percent below those of a year earlier, and livestock receipts were 4 percent less, / ....'"""''''.,,~, ;"., /" ct ."'.'~ 4' \['1- \:!' ~, ;.~,~ I . >;\ During the 5 weeks ended June 20, weekly reporting member banks in ~j ::~ ~~~:~~~~~:i~~:u~~:~i:~:o:~;~e~ .• ~,..."" . .....,. men ted with pro ceeds from additional borrowings, to meet deposit withdrawals and build up cash accounts. Gross loans were reduced $13,842,000; this decline featured a reduction of S9,775,000 in commercial, industrial, and agricultural loans and a $7,090,000 decrease in real·estate loans. Loans to banks declined 81,685,000. Loans to fin ance securities transactions rose $4,240,000, however, and the residual category "all other loans" increased $4,68,000. Investmen t liquidation during the period was concentrated in Treasury bills and notes, as these investments declined $12,120,000 and $16,860,000, respectively. Holdings of nonGovernment securities were reduced 52,991,000, and Governmen t bonds declined $415,000. Reporting banks added $2,050,000 to th ei r holdings of Treasury certificates of indebtedness. Deposit withdrawals amounted to $22,408,000 during the 5-week period, representing a $35,585,000 decline in demand deposit balances and a $13,177,000 increase in time accounts. Individuals and businesses increased their holdings of both demand and time balances, but in the demand deposit category, the increase was more than offset by the withdrawals of other depositors - principally governments. 108 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW CONDITION STATISTICS OF WEEKLY REPORTING MEMBER BANKS IN LEADING CITIES CHANGES IN FACTORS AFFECTING MEMBER BANK RESERVE BALANCES Eleventh federal Reserve District Eleventh Federal Reserve District (In thousands o f dollars) {In thousands of dollars} CHANGEl Ilem June 20, June 22, 1956 1955 May 16, 1956 20,435 120,629 192,2 13 14,030 493,599 $1,539,936 1,512,306 27,630 21,733 128,543 209,847 13,850 579,804 ASSETS Commercial, industrial, and agricultural loons ••• $1,530,161 Commercial and induslrio lloons l , •••• ••• • •• 1,501,479 Agricultural 100ns 1 ••••••••• •••••••••••••• 28.682 loans to brokers and dealers in securities •• .• •• 23.112 Other loam for purchasing or carrying securities. 131,404 Real-eslate loans ••••••••••••••••.••..••••• 202,757 Loons to bonks •••••.•.• • ...••.. ••••••••••• 12,165 All other loans •••••••• •• •••••••• ••.•.••••• 580,272 Gron loans •••••.. • •.• ..• •.. • •••••.••. Less reserves and unallocated charge-oft's •• 2,479,871 32,242 2,288,243 23,352 2,493,713 31,243 Net loans ••. •.•• ••••••• •• ••.•.• • ••••••• 2,447,629 2,264,891 2,462,470 U. S. Treasury bills •• • •• ••••.••.•.•••••••• • U. S. Treasury certiAcates of indebtedness •••••• U. S. Treasury notes •••••••••••.. . .• ... •..• U. S. Go.... mment bonds (inc. gtd. obligations) ... Other securities ••••••••••••••••• . • •. . • •••• 24,817 40,825 226,971 809, 517 237,185 75,452 29,989 282,025 8",450 247,001 36,937 38,775 243.831 809,932 240.176 Total in ...estmenb • • .•.••...•.••• •••••• ••• Cosh items in process of collection ••••••• • ••.• Balances with bonks in the United States . • ••••• Balances with banks in foreign countries .•••••• Currency and coin ••••••••••••••••••• . ••..• R.eserves with Federal Reserve Bank ••••••••. • Other Quets •••••.•••••••••.••••• •.••••• . • 1,339,315 402,698 489,840 1,60 1 46,369 541,684 131,269 1,478,917 360,378 447,982 1,556 46,2 89 567,504 119,095 1,369,651 429.0 81 433,705 1,823 44,317 535 ,710 133,970 TOTAL ASSETS ••• • ••• • ••••••••••••••• 5,400.405 5,286,612 5,410,727 LIABILITIES AND CAPrT AL Demond deposits Individuals, partnerships, and corporationt .... United Stotet Go...emmenl ••••••••••••.•.. States and political subdivlslont • •• •••• •. •• • Banks in the United States .•••••••.• . •.• •• Bonkt In foreign countriet • . •.•. ••••• • , •• • • Certifled cnd officers' checks, elc • .••••••••• 2.824,982 97,571 162,753 843,979 15,192 59.121 2,835,309 84,039 179,878 854,184 18,679 66, 131 2,775,569 114,9 16 197,58 1 844,924 16,923 89,270 4,003,598 ---- ---- 4.038,220 4,039,183 723,455 12,146 452 136,396 2,405 658,968 12,462 451 122,184 1,785 712,559 12,229 452 135,632 805 Total demand deposits •••••• • •••••••••• nme deposits Indlvldua lt, partnerships, and corporations • •• • United States Government •••••••••••••••• Postal savings • •• ••• • ••• •• .•. ••••••••••• States and political subdlvi5ions • •• •••.•••• • Banks in the U. S. and foreign countries •••••• ------795,850 861,677 Total limo deposits ••••••••••••••.••••• 874,854 T0101 deposits •••• • ••••••.••• . ••• • • • 8i11s payable, rediscounts, etc ••••••••••.••• •• All other liabilities •.•••••• • ••••••••.•••••• • Total capitol accounts •• ••• •• ••••••••. ••..•• 4,878,452 53,700 49,411 418,842 4,834,070 29,900 44,005 378,637 4,900,860 35,500 56,455 417,912 TOTAL lIA81l1TIES AND CAPITAL... •• ••• 5,400,405 5,286,612 5.410,727 1 Prior to January 4, 1956, agricultural loons we re not reported separately. Comparab le year-earlier figures will be shown as they become o't'ailable. Daily average gross demand deposits at member banks in the District declined $240,360,000 to a level of $7,132,519,000 in May. About three·fifths of !.he decline occurred at reserve city banks, Daily average time deposits, however, rose $7,065,· 000 above the April level, as a small decline at reserve city banks was more th an olIset by an increase at country banks. Average gross demand deposits in May were $108,749,000 GROSS DEMAND AND TIME DEPOSITS OF MEMBER BANKS Elevenln Federal Reserve District (Average. of doily figUres. In thousand, of dollarsJ COMBINED TOTAL Dote G ross demand Time RESERVE CITY BANKS Gross demand nme COUNTRY BANKS Gross demand nme May 1954 •••• $6,752,376 $1,073,865 $3,263,439 $599,299 53,488,937 $474,566 May 1955 •••• 7,241,268 1,226,177 3,541,867 704,826 3,699,401 521 ,35 1 Jon. 1956 •••• 7 ,592,370 1,320,779 3,668,786 763,407 3,923,584 557,372 Feb. 1956 .... 7,257,906 1,333,369 3,464,715 767,155 3,793,191 566,214 March 1956.•• 7,281,9.49 1,342 •.450 3,528,707 762,057 3,753,242 580,393 April 1956 •••• 7,372,879 1,355,993 3,603.370 766,864 3,769,509 589,129 May 1956 •••• 7,132,519 1,363,058 3,.454,927 766,439 3,677,592 596,619 5 weeks ended June 20, 1956 FACTORS Federal R.eserve credit-local •.•••....••.••••• . • Interdislrict commercial and flnancial transactions •• , Treosury operations •••••.•. . •.• •••.•• ••••••• . . Currency transactions ••••••. •..•.. ..•.. •••••••• Other deposits at Federal Reserve Sonk •• . ••••••• Other Federal Reser ... e accounts ••• . • . • ...••• •••• RESERVE 8ALANCES June 20, 1956 •••.•••..•• . •••• • May 16, 1956 •••• • .•.• •.• .. •.• Dec. 28, 1955June 20, 1956 -$ 7,706 60,561 + 92,379 9,963 17 + 115 +$ 22,387 655,795 + 572,493 + 50,784 40 + 6,905 +$14,281 -$ + 3,266 5943,794 $929,513 I Sign of change indicates effect on reserve balances. below May 1955, while average time deposits exceeded the year.earlier level by $136,881,000. Member banks in the District gained $14.,281,000 of re· serves during the 5 weeks ended June 20, bringing reserve balances to a total of $943,794,000, The largest reserve con· tribution durin g the period stemmed from Treasury opera· tions, which added $92,379,000, while the most important reserve drain resulted from a $60,561,000 excess of payments over receipts in connection with interdistrict commercial and financial transactions. Currency transactions and a contrac· tion of local Federal Reserve credit absorbed smaller amounts of reserve funds. Since the end of 1955, Treasury operations have added 5572,493,000 to reserve balances, while settlement for interdistrict commercial and financial transactions has absorbed $655,795,000, Member bank reserve balan ces averaged $984,053,000 in May, representing a decline of $22,148,000 from the previous month . Reserve city banks and country banks shared about equally in the decline. Required reserves declined by a smaller amount, causing a $12,654.,000 reduction in excess reserves to $49,765,000. Reflecting a tightening of reserve pressures CONDITION STATISTICS OF ALL MEMBER BANKS Eleventh Federal Reserve District (In millions of dollon) Item May 30, 1956 May 25, 1955 April2S, 1956 ASSETS loans and discounts ••.••••.•.•.. .• •..•. • •••••• United States Governme nt obligations •..••••••••• Other securitie5 • •.•...•••.••• . •... •...••.• • •• Reserves with Federal Reserve Sank •••••••••••.• Cosh in vault e ••••• .••..•• • .. ••••••••••••••.• Balances with banks in the United Stoles ••.•..•••• Salances with banks in foreign countries e ••••••.•• Cosh item5 in proce ss of collection .•• .• ••..••• •. . Other auehe •. • . • . •• .•••. •••• . •••• .• •••••.• 53,935 2,276 575 909 92 858 2 327 190 $3,558 2,502 548 968 127 960 2 376 169 $3,915 2,298 573 971 119 1,009 2 442 198 TOTAL ASSETSe •••. .••••••••• . •••••••••••• • 9,164 9,210 9,527 LIABIlITIES AND CAPITAL Demond deposits of bonks •••...•........•••••• Other demand depo,i ts ••••••••• , • .•....•.•••• Time deposits ••••..•• .•.•.. .. •.• , •• . •••• •••.• 881 6,081 1,362 980 6,275 1,223 1,063 6.252 1,359 Total deposits ..•••...•• . •••.••••••.. • •• , •• Sorrowings e •......•..••.•...•.••••..••••.•.• Other liabilities e .••••••••.•.••••.•• • •.•.••... Total capital accounts e •. ... • .. ••• .•.••••.•.•. • 8,324 54 69 717 8,.478 24 57 651 8,674 76 70 707 TOTAL lIA81l1TIES AND CAPITAL ACCOUNTse •• 9,164 9,210 9,527 e-Estimated . 109 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW RESERVE POSITIONS Of MEMBER BANKS COND1T10N Of THE fEDERAL RESERVE BANK Of DALLAS Eleventh Federol Reserve District lin thousands of dolloul (Averages of dailY figules , In thousands of doltars) June 20. Item May 1956 Item RESERVE CITY BANKS Reserve bolances • .. .......... .. .. Required reserves ••• • •••..••... . • Excess reserve s . ............ .. ... Borrowings . ......... . .....••.... Free reserves ••• .• • •.•••••••••••• May 1955 April 1956 570,245 556,749 13,496 6,760 6,736 554,801 545,862 8,939 20,272 -11,333 440,504 396,799 43.705 5,863 37,842 443,293 451,400 397,920 53,480 984,053 934,288 49,765 53,306 -3,541 1,013,538 944,544 60,994 9,024 59,170 $543,549 537,489 6,060 47,443 -41,383 June 22, 1955 1956 Total gold certificate reserves . . •......•.... $ 711,449 o;scounts for member bQnks .......... . ..... 41,270 Other discounts and od",onces .•.... , .. ....• 0 933,651 U. S. Government s&Cut'I'i.s ........... . .... . 974,921 Total earning assets .................... • • 943,794 Me mber bank reserve deposits .•..•.... .. • • 691,331 Federal Reserve noles in ac'uQI circulation .•.• May 16, 1956 $ 731,083 $ 701 ,102 10,950 36,950 2,507 0 944,461 923,048 957,918 959,998 960,403 929,513 601,656 706,012 COUNTRY BANKS Reserve balances • •• • •. • • • •••. • •• • Required reserves ••.••• • ••• • .• • .• Excess reserves ........... .. . .... Borrowings •• .•• • ••••• • ••••.••.• • Free reserves ......... ... ........ MEMOER OANKS Aesente balances ......... . • . . .... Required r(l,er",es .........•.... .. Excess re'erves ........ . ........ • Borrowings •.................. ... Free reserves .... ................ 387,795 55,4 98 3,064 52,434 2,187 51,293 1,006,201 943,782 62.419 22.459 39,960 during the month, borrowings rose to an average of 853,306,000, which is more than double the April borrowings. As a result of increased borrowings and smaller excess reserve balances, the free reserve position of member banks (excess reserves minus borrowings) moved from a positive level of $39,960,000 in April to a negative level in May, when net borrowed reserves averaged $3,541,000. Country banks continued to maintain fairly comfortable reserve posilions, holding almost 90 percent of the excess reserves while accounting for less than II percent of average borrowings, evertheless, the free reserve position of these banks showed some decline during the month, with free BANK DEBITS, END-Of-MONTH DEPOSITS AND ANNUAL RATE Of TURNOVER Of DEPOSITS reserves of $37,842,000 reflecting a decline of $13,451,000 from the April average, The reserve position of reserve city banks was considerably tighter, and net borrowed reserves of $41,383,000 in May represented an increase of $30,050,000 over the previous month_ Reflecting System purchases of Treasury bills in late May and early June, this bank's holdings of Government securities rose SI0,603,000 between May 16 and June 20, Discounts for member banks increased 34,320,000. As a result of changes in these two asset categories, earning assets rose $14,923,000 to a total of $974,921,000. Gold certificate reserves increased $10,267,000. On June 20, this bank's Federal Reserve notes in actual circulation amounted to $691,331,000, represenling an increase of $9,675,000 since May 16. Bank debits during May rose in 22 of the District's 24 reporting centers, with Shreveport and Houston showing the largest gains. For all 24 cities, bank debits in May exceeded those in April by 8 percent; May debits this year exceeded those in 1955 by 12 percent. The annual rate of deposit turnover was 21.1 in May, compared with 19.4 in April and 19,1 in May 1955. (Amounts in thousands of dollars) OEBITSl Area May 1956 ARIZONA Tucson .......•..... . $ 160,735 LOUISIANA Monroe ..• .. ........ 61,948 Shre"'eport ....... • . . 285,299 NEW MEXICO Roswell ............ . 27,252 TEXAS Abilene .. • . . .•. . ... . 76,546 Amarillo ............ 160,255 Austin ..... . ... . .... 155,079 136,539 aeoumont . .. . ....... Corpus Christi ........ 167,507 Corsicana .......... . 14,659 2,126,432 Dallos .. • .. . ....... . EI Poso .......... . .. 248,210 Fort Worth .......... 654,153 Galveston .......... . 84,599 2,349,713 Houston ...•..... . . . 24,454 laredo ... . • .•..... . lubbock ... . ........ 120,359 57,695 Port Arthur .. ........ Son Angelo .... . .... 45,310 512,409 Son Antonio . ........ 19,870 Texarkana s ........ . Tyler .............. . 75,431 WQco .............. 89,926 103,060 Wichita Fans . . .. .. .. ~ TotQI-24 cities ........ $7,757,440 NEW MEMBER BANKS DEPOSITS2 Percentage change from Moy April 1955 1956 Annual rate oftumo",er May 31, May 195 6 May April 1956 1955 1956 22 -7 $ 106,580 lB.2 16.0 20.0 8 21 8 23 46,597 192,184 15.7 18.2 16.0 15.8 14.4 15.6 2 26,914 12.1 11.5 12.0 6 6 2 2 '5 -5 5 6 2 11 55,178 108,431 114,227 21,343 950,650 130,985 354,008 67,248 14 1,190,909 16.4 17.3 15.8 15.6 19.1 8.2 26.3 22.2 21.8 14.9 23.4 14.9 16.2 15.7 12.2 17.9 13.9 15.6 16.6 11.6 14.2 16.6 14.6 15.5 18.2 7.3 24.0 20.0 20.0 13.3 20.3 14.9 14.6 16.2 17.0 12.0 14.0 14.5 10.7 11.4 15.8 13.1 14.6 15.5 11.2 21.1 19.1 19.4 10 0 9 6 4 11 8 15 9 9 20 4 0 0 3 0 11 9 10 1 2 4 5 12 4 6 6 3 12 8 14 101 ,622 103,947 19,554 86,942 4 2,699 4 4,146 338,385 16,015 57,574 64,081 103,453 Y $4,344,472 11.4 15.5 16.2 15.1 14.8 18.2 8.4 24.7 20.9 2 1.5 13.3 20.5 14.5 15.5 15.0 I Dob;h '0 domo,d do:,o.;, 0«00" . 01 ;,d;,;dool., po,tn o"l>;p., DOd ,0' po,oUo", o,d Qf states and politicQI sub ivisions. 2 Demand deposit QC(otlnfl of indi",jduol,. partne rships, and corporatJons ond of stQtes and political subdi",isions. , These flgures inc:lude only one bQnk in Texarkana, TexQ s. Total debits for all banks in Texarkana, TexQs·ArkansQs, including two banks located in the Eighth Dhtrld, amounted to $42,409,000 for the montfl of May 1956. The First National Bank of Stafford, Stafford, Texas, a newly organized institution located in the territory served by the Houston Branch of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, opened lor business June 1, 1956, as a member of the Federal Reserve System, The new bank Iw.s capital of $100,000, surplus of $100,000, and undivided profits of $50,000. The officers are: J. S_ Downs, Chairman of the Board; A , K, Jacobs, President; W. K. Boots Helmcamp, Executive Vice President; and August S, Eder, Cashier, The Montrose National Bank of Houston, Houston, Texas, a newly organized institution located in the territory served by the Houston Branch of the Federal Reserve Bank 0/ Dallas, opened for business June 2, 1956, as a member of the Federal Reserve System. The new bank has capital of $500,000, surplus of $300,. 000, and undivided profits of $200,000. The officers are: L. E. Cowling, President and Chairman of the Board; George R. Traylor, Executive Vice President; Joseph N. Mullan, Vice President; M, H. Sorrell, Vice President; Richard M, Cobb, Cashier; and B, E. Sweeton, Jr" Assistant Cashier. MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 110 The Nation's oil industry continued to adjustto the changing demand and stock situation stemming from the close of the winter heating season_ However, the adjustment has been more prolonged than usual and relatively mild thus far because of recurring cold weather in the northern part of the country_ Most of the current adjustments in the industry appear to be tied to the high level of imports, as well as to recent gains in crude runs to refinery stills. Crude oil production in the District averaged 3,319,000 barrels per day during the first half of June, or 1 percent lower than in the previous month but 8 percent more than in June last year. Production allowables in Texas, having been cut back for 2 months, were increased approximately 71,000 barrels per day for the month of July. It has been customary during the past 2 years to reduce allowables during the summer months_ In the Nation, crude production averaged 7,032,000 barrels per day at mid-J line, which is unchanged from the May figure but is 6 percent above the average in June 1955. Supplementing crude production has been a rather sharp increase in imports, which averaged 1,313,000 barrels per day in the 5 weeks ended June 15. This volume is 2 percent higher than in the preceding 5-week period and 13 percent above the comparable average a year earlier. Crude oil stocks declined slightly during the first half of June and on June 16 totaled 274,075,000 barrels, or 1 percent below the total at the close of May and the level on June 18, 1955_ In contrast to declining crude oil production, crude runs to refinery stills in the District during the first half of June, averaging 2,428,000 barrels per day, were up 1 percent from May and 12 percent from June last year. In the Nation, crude runs averaged 7,996,000 barrels per day, which is 2 percent above the previous month and 7 percent above a year ago. Stocks of the four major refined products increased 2 percent from the end of May and on June 15 totaled 327,595,000 barrels. However, this total is 1 percent below the level on June 17, 1955. The demand for the four major products decreased substantially during the 5 weeks ended June 15, with sharp declines in kerosene and distillate and residual fuel oil demand and a small increase in gasoline demand, Compared with a year earlier, only residual fuel oil demand was lower. Nonagricultural employment in the five states lying wholly or partly within the District continued its seasonal upswing during May to reach a level of 4,051,300, which is 11,900 more than in April and 125,900 above the level of May 1955. Manufacturing employment renewed its upward climb to account for the largest month-to-month gain. The May total of 754.,500 workers reAected an increase of 4,000 from the previous month, Manufacturing employment continued to be stimulated by Government orders for aircraft, the building of offshore drilling barges, and the manufacture of oil well machinery, Settlement of a dispute in the chemical industry and seasonal increases in food-processing activity added to the manufacturing employment gain. Construction accounted for 3,300 of the month-to-month gain in nonmanufacturing employment. Settlement of labormanagement disputes in the gulf coast area returned some construction workers to their jobs during May, Another dispute in the construction industry was reported in the San Antonio area during early May, but workers idled by this dispute returned to their jobs by May 15. Additional construction workers in the gulf coast area are reported to have returned to their jobs since the middle of June. Unemployment continued to decline in May, as increased job openings more than offset additions to the labor force. In Texas, the only District state for which data are available, unemployment declined from 108,700 in April to 108,100 in May. The value of construction contracts awarded in the District during May totaled $215,511,000, a record high. This amount reflects gains of 17 percent from April and 28 percent from May 1955. Nonresidential construction awards, with increases of 38 percent from April and 60 percent from a year earlier, more than oITset the downward movement of residential awards, which declined 7 percent from April and 4 percent from a year earlier, NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Five Southwestern States1 CRUDE OIL, DAILY AVERAGE PRODUCTION Percent change May 1956 from Number of persons (In thousands of barrel s) May Type of employment 19568 May 1955r April May 1956r 1955 April 1956 Change from May May 1956 1 May April Total nonagricultural wage end salary workers .• 1955 2 1956 1 1955 1956 Manufacturing .. ........ . ELEVENTH DISTRICT ••••.••• 3,342.3 Texos . . . • ... • ...•.... . . 2,977.2 Gulf Coost •..•.• • • . .. • 606 .2 West Texas ..•...•.... 1,233.3 Eo:.t Telll:os {proper) •••• • 209.8 Panhandle ••••.•.• • •. • 94.2 Rest of State .. .......• 831.7 Southeastern New MeJIIlco •• 241.2 Northern louisiana . • •. . •.. 123.9 OUTSIDE elEVENTH DISTRICT. 3,714.4 UNITED STATES._"""._" 7,056.7 3,174.2 2,636.6 609.5 1,112.9 215.3 90.0 809.1 217.2 120.2 3,502.7 6,676.9 3,396.6 3,029.6 612.5 1,253.2 214.7 95.0 654.4 248.1 12Q.9 3,744.6 7,143.4 166.1 140.4 -1.3 12Q.4 -5.5 4.2 22.6 24.0 3.7 211.7 379.6 -56.5 -52.6 -4.3 -19.9 -4.9 -.8 -22.7 -6.9 3.0 -30.2 -86.7 Area SOURCES: I April Estimated from American Petroleum In5titute weekly reports. I United Stotes Bureau of Mines. 4,051,300 754,500 Nonmanufccfuring •••••••• 3,296,800 Mining . • . . . . . . . . . . . . . 251,900 Construction . .......... 281,600 3.2 4.1 3.0 3.3 1.8 0.3 276,700 4,039,.toO 750,500 3,288,900 251,600 276,300 387,400 1,008,100 164,000 .461,000 659,200 394,900 1,029,700 171,000 .473,000 690,400 1.9 2.5 4.8 2.8 4.6 ,0 .4 .5 .2 -.2 3,925,400 725,100 3,200,300 2.43,900 .5 .2 .1 1.2 Transportation and public utilities .•. . ••• ... . . • Trade .•.•.••.•... .. , . Finance.,., • •. •. " ... . Service ...... .. . , . . . . . Government . . . ....... • 394,900 1,033,500 171,800 .473,800 689,300 1 Arizona, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas. e-Estimated. r-Revised. SOURCES: Slate employment agencies. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW VALUE OF CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS AWARDED (In thousands of dollars) Area and type May 1956 May 1955 January-May April 1956 ElEVENTH DISTRICT... $ Residential .• .••••• AU other ••...•...• 215,511 $ 168,169 $ 183,657 85,82.4 80,229 83,665 81,,504 135,282 97,833 UNITED STATES' •.•.. 2,1,79775 2.185,065 2,421,1,97 R.lid"nlial .. ..... . 1,129.262 1,011,310 1,144,160 All other •......... 1,350,513 1,173,755 1,277,337 1956 $ 1955 949,471 $ 732,682 411,098 350,927 381,755 538,373 11.001,144 9,708,562 4,872,450 4,486.626 6,128,694 5,221,936 I 37 stoles east of the Rocky Mountains. SOURCE: F. W. Dod". Corporation. In the Nation the value of construction contract awards continued an upward seasonal trend to show a 2-percent gain over April and a year-to-year increase of 14 percent. Although residential a wards declined 1 percent from the pre v i 0 us month, they set a record for May and were 12 percent above the level of a year ago. "All other" awards increased 6 percent over the preceding month and were 15 percent above the level in May 1955, 111 Cumulative construction awards during the first 5 months of 1956 were 30 percent higher than in the corresponding period of last year in the District and 13 percent higher in the Nation. "All other" awards continued to lead the gains, wiLh increases of 41 percent in the District and 17 percent in the Nation. Cumulative residential awards showed a yearto-year gain of 17 percent in the District, compared with an increase of only 9 percent in the Nation_ Expansion of manufacturing facilities in the District has continued at a high rate this year. During the past few weeks, construction was begun on expanded cement production facilities in the Houston area; an aircraft parts manufacturing firm began operation in the Dallas-Fort Worth area; a plant to manufacture home heating and cooling equipment neared completion at Tyler, Texas; and plans were announced for a new $2,000,000 electric-powered sawmill in east Texas. BUILDING PERMITS 5 months 1956 May 1956 DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION AND STOCKS OF conON Area Number ARIZONA (Bolos) TUClan ...•.... LOUISIANA August-April Aprit Area 1956 1 April 1955 March 1956' This se050n lost season CONSUMPnON Tolal 12,122 10,447 102,075 14,281 110,662 U. S. mills ........... 721,577 695,188 916,396 7,071,573 6,722,182 Dally average Texas mills .......... 522 606 571 567 523 U. S. mills ....... , ... 34,759 36,079 36,656 36,264 34,473 STOCKS, U.S.-End of period Consuming establishments. 1,585,268 1,811,937 1,730,102 Public storage and compre~5 .......... 14,681,596 11,223,126 15,1,62,034 Texas mills •••••••••• 1 Fovrweeks ended April 28. , Five weeks ended March 31. SOURCE: United State. Bureau of the Census. Percentage change In ...aluatlon from 5 month, Percentage change In va luaUon from Shr..... port .•.• TEXAS Abilene .•.•..• Amarillo ...... Austin ........ Beaumon' ..... Corpus ChrIsH.. DaUos •••••••• EI Paso .....•• Fort Worth .... Galveston ..••• Houston ...••• Lubbock •••••• Port Arthur .•.• San Antonio ..• Waco .•.....• Wichita Falls .. Valuation May April 1955 1956 Number 523 $ 2,292,668 138 467 185 234 21,5 330 252 2,4"8 515 787 113 980 278 180 1,785 315 210 60 2,212 11,909,974 -28 951 1,100 1,328 1,462 1,755 10,622 2,075 3,501 487 4,766 1,222 909 9,059 1,430 687 11,791,037 8,773,263 22,226,589 5,810,043 9,383,310 72,398,619 12,824,813 18,807,289 2,575,461 68,100,341 10,667.728 2,046,120 30,076,027 7,334,891 3,865,300 46 -25 21 39 -33 -7 -20 -25 101, -3 -16 -8 18 15 -31 1,5,665 $306,605,127 -4 2,099 1,615,468 -19 -32 Tolal- 17 cities •. 9,81,7 $57,692,101 47 33 -28 -7 -26 -43 -2 -3 5 -19 13 39 2 23 62 36 _21 -80 -37 -27 10 95 12 5 -8 -30 33 _51 59 -6 -6 -1 1955 8,014,322 132 2,004,728 1,742,070 3,151,600 817,169 1,555,612 14,993,106 2,732,234 5,699,007 257,281 11,181,138 3,355,736 A05,704 3,601,328 1,148,752 1,138,500 Valuation $