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MONTHLY ·BUSINESS REVIEW of the Volume 31 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of Dallas, Texas, July 1, 1946 Dallas Number 7 GUARANTEED AND INSURED LOANS UNDER THE SERVICEMEN'S 'READJUSTMENT ACT United States participation in World War II withdrew, for varying periods of time, millions of young and relatively young Americans from colleges and universities, business and trade schools, farms, factories, mines, construction and service trades, and mercantile establishments. Service in the armed forces thus interrupted the civilian careers and the economic progress of great numbers of industrial workers, farmers, business men, students, and trainees. That the nation should assure to these millions of its citizens the opportunity of resuming interrupted careers, facilitate rehabilitation and retraining of fighting men who returned from war incapacitated for or dissatisfied with their former occupations, supplement the credit and borrowing power of honorably discharged service men wishing to purchase farms or establish small businesses of their own, and help returning .. veterans to acquire homes for themselves and their families, seemed to Congress and the President , no more than simple justice and deserved compensation for sacrifices made on behalf of the nation. The result was the enactment in 1944 and the liberalization in 1945 of the Servicemen's Readjustment Act, popularly known as the "GI Bill of Rights." The nation as a whole, without concerning itself much with the details of the Act, has more or less put its faith in this legislation as a sort of guaranty that no veteran of the recent war will ever be reduced to the necessity of selling apples on street corners or peddling pencils or shoe laces on the sidewalks. Whether such security will be the lot of veterans in the years ahead depends in part on the wisdom and efficiency with which the Act is administered and in part on many other factors, such as general economic developments and individual personalities, beyond the scope of the law. There are, however, certain basic provisions of the law which are making the return and readjustment to civilian life and occupations less difficult for veterans of World War II than for veterans of any previous conflict in the nation's history. • Summary of Non-Loan Provisions Of major and particular interest to most readers of the Monthly Business Review are the provisions in Title III of the Act relating to Government guaranty and insurance of loans made to veterans by banks and other private lenders. For that reason, and because of lack of sp,ace, the loan provisions only have been selected for detailed discussion in this article. The following brief summary of the non-loan provisions must suffice to reveal the wide scope of benefits and assistance extended to veterans in varying circumstances by this legislation: Hospitalization, medical, and surgical care, and, in some instances, out-patient treatment for ill, disabled, or maimed veterans; prosthetic appliances for those needing them, and training in the use of such appliances. Vocational guidance and rehabilitation training for veterans whose service-incurred disabilities have rendered them incapable of engaging in the occupation or occupations in which they had been trained or employed before induction into the armed forces; with subsistence pay during the period of training and for two months after employability is determined. Job counseling through a Veterans' Representative attached to each field office of the United States Employment Service.made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) This publication was digitized and 86 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW Readjustment allowances for involuntary unemployment occurring within two years after discharge or release or after the termination of the war (not yet officially proclaimed), whichever is later; at the rate of $20.00 per week for a period adjusted up to a maximum of 52 weeks depending upon the length of the veteran's period of active service. 4 Education or training, for one year plus the time the veteran was in active service but not for more than 4 calendar years without the approval of the Administrator of Veterans' Affairs; in any qualified and approved educational or training institution or in any business establishment providing on-the-job training chosen by the veteran; to be begun not later than 4 years after the veteran's discharge or the termination of the war, whichever is later, and in no case extending beyond 9 years after the termination of the war; the Government to pay (a) tuition and fees customarily charged by the institution attended not in excess of a rate of $500.00 per school year, except that no payor other subsidy shall be paid to establishments giving on-the-job training, and (b) a subsistence allowance during the period of satisfactory work of $65.00 per month to the veteran without a dependent and $90.00 per month to the veteran with one or more dependents. A few comments in passing regarding on-the-job training for veterans may be justified by the potential interest and benefit which that program holds for business men as well as veterans. Types of on-the-job training now in progress in business establishments of this district are reported by the Veterans' Administration as including auto mechanics, radio, refrigeration, and air-conditioning, cabinet making, carpentry, electrical work, accounting, salesmanship, and banking. An official of the vocational rehabilitation and education service estimates that there are approximately 60,000 veterans currently enrolled in on-the-job programs in Texas.' If administered in keeping with its purpose, this program can help make up the deficit of skilled workers which every section of the nation needs-carpenters, plumbers, mechanics, tailors, accountants, and others-and at the same time enable veterans whose start in business or industry was delayed by war service to combine training with gainful employment, learning with earning. The program is not intended to provide opportunity for employers to take advantage of the subsistence payment granted the veteran in training to employ young men at less than living wages. Neither is it intended to subsidize veterans who have no aptitude for or interest other than pecuniary in the jobs for which they may enlist for training. Some abuses of the program by both employers and veterans are coming to light. There is no evidence, however, that such chiseling is either practiced or encouraged by reputable, conscientious employers who desire to enlist and train industrious veterans for permanent employment in their businesses, paying a wage during the training period which when added to the full or adjusted Government subsistence allowance equals not more than the regular wage or salary of the position for which the trainee is being prepared. Loan Provisions: Guaranty2 Eligible veterans. The loan provisions (Title III) of the GI Bill of Rights do not authorize or provide for direct loans by the Government to veterans for any purpose. Instead, the Government, acting through the Administrator of Veterans' Affairs, may guarantee loans made by banks and other private lenders to eligible veterans." This guaranty benefit is available to the veteran at any time up to 10 years following the official termination of the war. ' Banks and other employers who have initiated or are considering the initiation of on-the-job training programs to recruit and train veterans as employees may be interested in the following informative articles regarding such programs : "On-the-job Training for Veterans" in the March 1946 issue of the Conference Board Manag ement R ceo)'d; "On-the-Job Veteran Training for Banks," published by the Committee on Service for War Veterans of the America:1 Bankers Association, June 15, 1946. Authorative inf ormation as to how to secure approval for a program of on-the-job training and how to initiate and conduct such a program may be obtained from the Vocational Rehabilitation and Education Officer at the nearest regional office of the Veterans' Administration, 2An authoritative analysis of t hese provisions and other procedures and policies developed for their administration will be found in two official pUblications of the Veterans' Administration entitled : "Outline of General Administrative Procedures and Policies-Title III, Servicemen's Readjustment Act" and "Regulations under Title III of the Servicemen's Readju stment Act of 1944." These were published in the American Banker (Section Two) for Thursday, March 7, 1946. They are also included in a pamphlet "Guaranty or Insurance of Loans to Veterans" which may be obtained upon request from the Loan Guaranty Division of the nearest regional office of the Veterans' Administration, Regional offices serving states in the Eleventh Federal Reserve Distl'icts are located at Dallas, Houston, Waco, San Antonio, Lubbock, Albuquerque, Tucson, Muskogee, and New Orleans, 'Wh~n a IO,a,! has )leen completed by a ~rivate lender in accordan~e with the provisions of the Act, and endorsed by the Veterans Adm)m stratIon for guaranty or msurance, the lender receIves, from the regional disbursing office of the United States Treasury Department, a check equal to 4 per cent of the amount of the loan guaranty or insurance, This check is credited to the borrower's account and constitutes the only direct contribution which the Government makes to the veteran in connection with the loan. This contribution, paid by the Administrator of the Veterans' Admini stration out of available appropriations, is a form of bonus and is not chargeable to the veteran. 4 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 87 Eligibility extends to any veteran-male or female--who has served in the active military or naval service of the United States at any time on or after September 16, 1940, and prior to the termination of the war, and who has been discharged or released under conditions other than dishonorable after 90 days or more of such service or because of a service-incurred injury or disability; to any person who meets the above conditions as to date and duration of service and is on terminal leave or is undergoing hospitalization pending final discharge; and to any veteran of the active military service of any government allied with the United States in World War II who meets the above conditions as to date and duration of service, who was a citizen of the United States at the time of entrance into such service, and who at the time of applying for benefits under the Act is a resident of the United States and is not applying for and has not received the same or similar benefits from the nation in whose armed forces he served. The Act provides that an honorable discharge shall be deemed a certificate of eligibility to apply for a guaranteed loan, and that any veteran who does not have a discharge certificate or who received a discharge other than honorable may apply to the Administrator of Veterans' Affairs for a certificate of eligibility. Photostatic, certified, or other copies of the original honorable discharge or separation papers are not acceptable in determining eligibilty. Because the amounts of guaranty benefits were increased by the liberalization of the Act which became effective on March 1, 1946, certificates of eligibility issued before that date will be void after September 30, 1946. Upon surrender to the Veterans' Administration, however, they will be replaced with new certificates on which may be endorsed the amount of guaranty benefit unused or still available. . In most cases, the lender receiving a request for a loan to be guaranteed will be able to determine the veteran's eligibility from an examination of the honorable discharge or the separation papers in possession of the applicant. If, however, the lender prefers not to risk such provisional determination, he may forward the original discharge or separation papers to the nearest office of the Veterans' Administration for advice as to eligibility before making the loan. Eligible lenders. The veteran desiring an eligible loan may make his own choice of an eligible lender. Such lenders, as defined in the Act, are of two classes: supervised and non-supervised. Supervised lenders include "any Federal land bank, national bank, State bank, private bank, building and loan association, insurance company, credit union, or mortgage and loan company, that is subject to examination and supervision by an agency of the United States or any State or Territory, including the District of Columbia." All other lenders are classed as non-supervised. Supervised lenders may make loans to veterans that will be automatically guaranteed, and evi- . dence of automatic guaranty will be issued to the lenders when the loans are found to have been made and reported to the nearest regional office of the Veterans' Administration in accordance with the Act and the procedures and regulations prescribed for its administration. A loan by a nonsupervised lender may be guaranteed and certificate of guaranty issued to the lender only on the basis of a certificate of approval obtained from the Administrator prior to the making of the loan. Loans at least 20 per cent of which are automatically guaranteed may be made by national banks or Federal savings and loan associations without regard to limitations and restrictions of other statutes respecting: "Ratio of amount of loan to the value of the property; maturity of loan; requirement for mortgage or other security; dignity of lien; or percentage of assets which may be invested in real est ate loans.'" Eligible loans. To be eligible for Government guaranty, loans to veterans must be made for one or more of three general purposes: Home loans-for purchasing residential property or constructing a home or for making repairs, alterations, or improvements in property owned by a veteran and occupied as his home; Farm loans-for purchasing any lands, buildings, livestock, equipment, machinery, supplies or implements, or for repairing, altering, constructing or improving any land, equipment, or building, including the farm house, to be used in farm operations conducted by <The effect of this and other provisions of the amended Servicemen's Readjustment Act upon the authority of national banks to make r eal estate loans to veterans under Section 24 of the Federal Reserve Act is discussed in instructions issued March 25, 1946, by the Comptroller of the Currency to all chief national bank examiners and published in the Federal Rese,.ve B ulletin for May 1946, pages 474-76. 88 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW the veteran involving production in excess of his own needs, or for working capital requirements necessary for such operations, or to purchase stock in a cooperative association where the purchase of such stock is required by Federal statute as an incident to obtaining the loan; Business loans-the proceeds to be used for the purpose of engaging in business or pursuing a gainful occupation, or for the cost of acquiring for such purpose land, buildings, supplies, equipment, machinery, tools, inventory, stock in trade, or for the cost of construction, repair, alteration, or improvement of any realty or personalty used for such purpose, or to provide the funds needed for working capital. While loans made for these three basic purposes will generally be principal or primary loans, related secondary loans on property already covered in part by a guaranteed or insured principal loan, and loans to refinance delinquent home, farm, or business enterprises not previously covered by veteran's guaranty benefit are eligible for guaranty under conditions set forth in Sections 505 (a) and 507 of the Act. Types of loans and security. Loans for the purchase of real estate or for the construction, repair, alteration, or improvement of buildings for residential, farming, or business purposes are referred to as real estate or realty loans; loans for other purposes are non-realty loans. The former must be secured by a lien on the realty, except in the case of loans of less than $1,000 for repairs, alterations, or improvements. Loans for more than $1,000 for repairs, alterations, or improvements but less than 40 per cent of the reasonable value of the property prior to the improvement may be secured by either first or second liens. Secondary real estate loans which may be made in accordance with Section 505 (a) of the Act must be secured by second liens: All non-realty loans must be secured by a lien on personalty to the extent legal and practicable. Loans for working capital or other capital purposes, merchandise stocks, good-will, or other intangible assets may, however be made without a lien. Limitations on amount of loan guaranty. Distinction must be made between the amount of the loan which may be contracted by a veteran and the amount of loan guaranty to which he is entitled. There are only general limits on the amount of the loan, namely, a proper relation between the terms of repayment and the veteran's present and anticipated income and expenses, and the reasonable appraised value of the property or business against which the loan is made. The loan guaranty, however, is specifically limited to an amount which may be less than but not in excess of 50 per cent of the loan. Moreover, the maximum loan guaranty to which any eligible veteran is entitled is $4,000 for real estate loans, or $2,000 for non-realty loans, or a prorated portion of each of these amounts for loans of both types; provided, that the aggregate amount of guaranty which may be approved for any veteran shall not exceed $4,000. It is further provided that in the case of any guaranteed loan the Government's liability under the guaranty shall decrease or increase pro rata with any decrease or increase in the amount of the unpaid portion of the obligation. For example, if a loan for $4,000, of which $2,000 was covered by guaranty, has been reduced 25 per cent through repayments to $3,000, liability under the guaranty is correspondingly reduced to $1,500. If thereafter advances permitted under the loan regulations for improvements or repairs should raise the amount unpaid to $3,200, the guaranty would be increased proportionately to $1,600. In no event, however, can the amount payable under the guaranty of a particular loan exceed the original amount guaranteed. In the case of a veteran who has used a part of the loan guaranty to which he is entitled on one or more loans, the amount of unused guaranty available is not increased by repayment of part or all of such loan or loans. A convenient rule for computing the amount of unused guaranty available for each type of eligible loan may be stated as follows: "To the realty guaranty used on prior loans add twice the amount of non-realty guaranty used. Subtract this sum from $4,000. The amount remaining, if within the limitation of the law, is the unused realty guaranty available. To find the non-realty guaranty available, divide the available realty guaranty by 2." To illustrate, if a veteran has previously used $1,500 and $500 of his guaranty benefit on realty and non-realty loans, respectively, the unused guaranty available for realty loans would be $1,500, determined as follows: to the realty guaranty ($1,500) used on prior loans, add twice the amount ($500) of his non-realty guaranty used, or $1,000. Subtract that total ($1,500 plus $1,000) from $4,000 to determine the unused guaranty ($1,500) for realty loans. The non-realty guaranty in this case is $750, determined by dividing the realty guaranty ($1,500) by two. For a second example, • ~ ,. 4 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 89 assume previous guaranties of $2,500 on realty and $750 on non-realty loans. In this case there would be no unused guaranty available for additional loans of either types, since $4,000 less $2,500 less twice $750 would equal zero. The unused guaranties thus computed are the maximum amounts available for guaranteeing either realty or non-realty loans if no additional loan of the other type is involved. In case part of the remaining guaranty for realty loans is used, the maximum available for guaranty of non-realty loans will be reduced, and vice v ersa. A recomputation of the guaranty remaining within the limitation of the law for each type of loan can be made by use of the rule stated above after each new loan of either type has been consummated. Term, interest rate, and amortization of loans. Subject to the general limitation that the maturity of a loan should not extend beyond the economic life of the property by which it is secured, the term of guaranteed loans of different types is more specifically limited to the following maximum periods: Non-amortized loans, 5 years; non-realty loans, 10 years; home or business realty loans, 25 years j farm realty loans, 40 years. The interest rate on any guaranteed loan shall not exceed 4 per cent per annum. Any loan for a term in excess of 5 years must be amortized, and, with only specified exceptions, the schedule of repayments must require approximately equal periodic instalments not less often than annually during the life of the loan. Right is reserved to the borrower to prepay at any time without premium or fee the entire remaining indebtedness, or any part thereof not less than the amount of one instalment or $100, whichever is less. Loan-Making and Guaranty Procedures 5 Appraisals. Of prime importance to any lender in considering a veteran's application for a Government-guaranteed loan are the specific requirements of the Act that the purchase price paid by the veteran for any property to be acquired by him for home, farm, or business or the co~t of construction, alterations, improvements, or repairs made on property owned or acquired by him shall not exceed the reasonable value of the property as determined by an appraiser designated by the Administrator of Veterans' Affairs. "Reasonable value" is defined in the administrative regulations as "that figure which represents the amount a designated appraiser, unaffected by personal interest or prejudice, would recommend as a proper price or cost to a prospective purchaser whom the appraiser represents in a relationship of trust as being a fai r price or cost in the light of prevailing conditions." The adoption in the amended Act of this standard of "reasonable value in the light of prevailing conditions" represents a considerable liberalization of the standard of "reasonable normal value" set in the original Act and has permitted the guaranteeing of some loans which were ineligible prior to the amendment. Appraisal by a designated appraiser of the reasonable value of property or business to be purchased, or of repairs or improvements to be made, by aid of a loan becomes, therefore, an essential step in processing loans that are to be guaranteed. Lenders may obtain by request, from the nearest regional office of the Veterans' Administration, a panel of names and addresses of persons in their respective communities who have been designated to render appraisal services. The appraiser's fee is a charge to be borne by the applicant for a loan and may be p, id out of the proceeds of the loan. a The appriaser's report is intended as an aid to the lender in deciding whether the amount of the proposed loan bears a proper relation to the value of the property or business to be affected by the loan. The prime responsibility of the designated appraiser to give a right opinion of "reasonable value" does not, however, relieve the lender of his duty to review the appraiser's report, nor does it preclude him from exercising his best judgment as to whether the loan should or should not be made. Procedures for supervised lenders. For supervised lenders willing to assume the risk of determining the eligibility of the borrower and the eligibility of the loan without prior approval from the Veterans' Administration, the revised procedures effective March 1, 1946, for making and guaranteeing loans involve a minimum of "red tape" and paper work. Loans made by supervised lenders will be automatically guaranteed when made in accordance with the Act and the regulations and reported, within 30 days after full disbursement of the proceeds of the loan, to the regional office of the Veterans' Administration which serves the area in which the security is located. "In processing and r eporting loans for guaranty, certain forms prepared by the Veteran s' Administration are n ecessary. A lender proposing t o make loans to veterans should mail request to his regional Veterans' Administration Office f or a supply of the fOl'ms appropriate to his status as a supervised or non-supervised lender. 90 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW Such a lender may proceed by methods of his own choosing in counseling with the veteran desiring a loan and in investigating the eligibility, credit, and resources of the applicant and the soundness of the investment which the veteran proposes to make. These informal procedures call for the exercise of a high degree of human understanding, tact, and good judgment by the lender. They are as vital to the successful administration of the loan program as are the formal procedures by which the lender reports to the Veterans' Administration the making and disbursement of the loan in order to obtain a certificate of loan guaranty. In reporting a home loan for automatic guaranty, the lender must transmit: (1) the veteran's original honorable discharge, or the certificate of eligibility (Form 1870) issued by the Veterans' Administration, or other separation papers necessary to establish the veteran's term of service; (2) a Home Loan Report (Form 1820); (3) an Appraisal Report (Form 1803); and (4) the executed note or other evidence of the indebtedness if the lender desires to have the amount of guaranty endorsed thereon in lieu of a loan guaranty certificate. In case of a home loan of less than $1,000 for alterations, repairs, and improvements, a statement of valuation in letter form of the cost of the work to be done may be made in lieu of the appraisal form. .. ,. In reporting other types of loans the forms which must accompany the veteran's original honorable discharge or certificate of eligibility vary according to the purpose of the loan. Farm loans require the use of Farm Loan Report (Form 1840) and Farm Appraisal Report (Form 1823), or an alternative letter statement of valuation of the work to be performed in case of alterations, repairs, and improvements costing less than $1,000 . Business loans call for the use of Business Loan Report (Form 1860) and Appraisal Report for Realty (Form 1803) or Appraisal Report-Nonreal estate Loan (Form 1845). Here again, in case of alterations, repairs, and improvements costing less than $1,000, a letter of valuation may be submitted in lieu of the Appraisal Report" If unwilling to proceed at his own risk, a supervised lender may submit the appropriate home, farm, or business loan report and corresponding appraisal report to the regional office of the Veterans' Administration for prior determination of the three following matters only affecting the loan: the veteran's eligibility, the amount of guaranty credit available to the veteran, and the eligibility of the purpose of the loan. If his findings on all three points are favorable, the regional loan guarantee officer will issue a certificate of approval (VA Form 1866) for the loan to be guaranteed and forward it to the lender with necessary instructions for closing the loan. Lenders must not, without prior approval of the Veterans' Administration, close a loan where there is a deviation exceeding 5 per cent of the amount stated in the loan report upon which the certificate of approval has been issued. When the loan has been closed and fully disbursed the lender is required to complete the record of the loan within 30 days from the date of disbursement. This he does by sending to his regional Veterans' Administration Office the Certificate of Loan Disbursement (Form 1876) and the note or other evidence of indebtedness if the lender wishes the amount of guaranty to be endorsed thereon. Procedures for non-supervised lenders. Differences in procedure between supervised and non-supervised lenders are due chiefly to the fact that loans made by the latter class of lenders cannot under any conditions receive automatic guaranty. To be guaranteed, loans by such lenders must have prior approval of the loan guarantee officer of the nearest regional office of the Veterans' Administration. In addition to prescribed forms comparable to those submitted by supervised lenders seeking prior confirmation for loans of the various types, the non-supervised lender must obtain . and submit a credit report regarding the veteran applicant, obtained, when possible, from a reputable credit reporting agency. A Loan Closing Statement (Form 1861) is also required. In some instances there must be a copy of the offer or contract to sell, and in cases of new construction or major repairs and improvements, plans and specifications certified by the appraiser must accompany the appraisal report. The credit report is required as a means of determining, as directed by the Act, that the terms of payment required in the proposed loan bear a proper relation to the veteran's present and anticipated income and expenses, that the ability and experience of the veteran, in case of a farm loan or business loan, constitute a reasonable likelihood that farming or business operations conducted by him will be successful, or that the refinancing of indebtedness, as provided for in Section 507 of the Act, will aid the veteran in his economic readjustment. "Procedures for guaranty of secondary loans and of loans to finance delinquent indebtedness, provided for in Sections 505 (a) and 507, respectively, of the Act , var y slight ly from those prescribed in t he case of prima ry home. far m, and bu siness loans. Lenders concerned with making such loans should consult the sources of official information cited in footnote 2. jj ~ 4 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW • 91 Approval by the regional loan guarantee officer of a loan proposed by a non-supervised lender clears the way for closing and full disbursement of the loan. In no case should such a lender close a loan where there is a deviation in excess of 5 per cent of the amount stated in the application for loan guaranty, unless such deviation has been approved by the Veterans' Administration. Within 30 days after full disbursement, the lender meets the final requirements for obtaining guaranty of the loan by sending in a final, completed Loan Closing Statement, the note or other evidence of indebtedness if the lender desires to have the amount of guaranty endorsed thereon in lieu of a loan guaranty certificate, and in the case of a loan of more than $1,000 for new construction, alteration, improvement, or repairs, a letter from the appraiser that the work has been completed according to plans and specifications. Insurance of Loans To supervised lenders only, Section 508 of the amended Act offers the alternative of loan insurance in lieu of guaranty on loans of any type which might be guaranteed under the provisions of the loan title. Under this plan the Veterans' Administration will set up in the name of the lending institution an account to which will be credited a sum not in excess of 15 per cent of the principal of the loan to be insured. There are the same limitations on the total amount of insurance which may be placed upon realty and non-realty loans made to an individual veteran as in the case of loan guaranty; and the total of guaranty and insurance benefit cannot exceed $4,000 for realty or $2,000 for non-realty loans, or a prorated portion of such amounts for loans of bot~ types. Loans in excess of $15,000 which are to be offered for insurance must be submitted to the regional Veterans' Administration Office for prior approval. Insured loans on realty must bear interest not exceeding 4 per cent per annum; on non-realty loans the maximum interest rate cannot be in excess of a 3 per cent discount rate or an equivalent straight interest rate of 5.7 per cent. Limitations on the term of loans and requirements as to amortization of loans to be insured are the same as in the case of guaranty. The processing of loans for insurance follows the same steps as outlined above for • loans presented by supervised lenders for guaranty protection . ., The maximum insurance which will be credited to a supervised lending institution's account is 15 per cent (or as much thereof as other limitations in the law will permit) of all eligible GI loans made or purchased by such institution. Thus the insurance credit is cumulative and, from a practical standpoint, applies to the institution's insured loan portfolio rather than, as in the case of loan guaranty, to the individual loan. The reduction in the amount of an insured loan or the final payment of it does not reduce the institution's reservoir of insurance credit. Experience with similar insurance under Title I of the National Housing Aet suggests that institutions doing a large volume of insured lending to veterans may in the course of time accumulate insurance coverage equivalent to 100 per cent of the unpaid balance of loans held in their portfolios. This possibility, when generally understood by lending institutions, may lead to a wider use than has been made so far of the loan insurance plan by banks and other supervised lenders. Summary of Miscellaneous Provisions Regarding Loans • The foregoing discussion of the loan provisions of the GI Bill of Rights has necessarily been limited to basic considerations connected with the making, guaranteeing, and insuring of loans. Many details relating to these matters have been omitted from consideration, for example: costs and charges payable in connection with the making of loans; protection of the lender's rights through hazard insurance or life insurance paid for by the borrower in the case of certain loans; the application of the general rules to loans made to joint obligors, one or all of whom are veterans; and effects on loan guaranty of sale or transfer of property by the borrower. Nor has it been possible to detail the provisions and procedures applicable in the case of defaults in repayment of guaranteed or insured loans. All such details, however, are covered in "The Outline of General Administrative Procedures and Policies" and in the Administrator's " Regulations," to which earlier reference has been made . An understanding of these official statements should supply the answers to many questions arising in connection with the making, guaranty, insurance, and collection or liquidation of veterans' loans. There will likely be some questions of legal interpretation, however, on which the advice of the lender's attorney will be required, particularly in situations where state laws or other governmental agencies have imposed limitations or restrictions on lenders' policies and practices which general regulations cannot deal with in particular terms. 92 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW Review of Business. Industrial. Agricultural. and Financial Conditions DISTRICT SUMMARY Preliminary reports of the wheat harvest, now near completion, strongly support the revised estimate made by the United States Department of Agriculture on June 14 that the yield of the 1946 Texas wheat crop will approximate 46,0 00,000 bushels, exceeding the crop of 1945 by about 10 per cent. An oat crop near the 1935 -44 yearly average but about 25 per cent under last year's yield was in prospect at the beginning of June. Cultivation and harvesting of crops in the eastern and southern parts of the district, which had been seriously interfered with by excessive rains in many sections during May, went forward rapidly in the drier, more open weather of June except in low lands which had been inundated by floods. Cotton and corn made generally good progress everywhere except in the drought stricken western part of the district. Local rains in most of the Panhandle and parts of \'fest Texas during the latter part of June encouraged the planting of feed and late cotton crops and brought some improvement in the ranges. Many areas, however, in the west and northwest are still suffering from a deficiency of moisture which is reflected in shortages of range feed and stock water and in a deterioration in the condition of cattle and sheep. Outside the drought areas, pastures are good and the condition of live stock generally satisfactory. Prices of most farm products continue to rise, with wheat recently reaching the highest price level since 1925. In response to the heavy demand for petroleum products, the. Texas Railroad Commission set the June net crude production allowable for the State at an all-time high of IIlDre than 2,250,000 barrels per day. The oil industry's response is revealed in new well completions, which, during the first 4 months of this year, exceeded those of the comparable period last year by 800 in the nation as a whole and by 250 in the district. Some improvement in the rate of lumber production and restrictions imposed at the end of May 'by the Civilian Production Administration upon approvals for new commercial and industrial construction projects offer hope that the Veterans' Housing Program, which to date has achieved much in contract awards but li~tle in aompleted housing, may gradually obtain a better supply of the vital building materials essential to the achievement of its goal. Sales during May in department and furniture stores of the district showed strong gains in dollar volume over the same month last year and, due partly to one more shopping day in May than in the preceding mon th, exceeded by small margins the high totals achieved in April. Inventories in both types of stores also showed moderate improvement. BUSINESS Sales by dollar volume of reporting department stores in the district during May were 3 1 per cent above sales for the same month last year, and fractionally above the figure for April of this year. May with one more business day than April showed an index of daily average sales less than 3 per cent below that for the preceding month, in which sales had been dominated by pre-Easter shopping. Analysis of the sales of weekly report ing stores reveals that, following a sharp post-Easter c!ecline in the last week of April, sales rose rapidly during the first two weeks in May in general conformity with the seasonal pattern in other years, except that the peak of the rise was reached this year in two weeks after the lowest point of the post-Easter slump, whereas in 1944 and 1945 the climb from post-Easter low to May peak required four weeks. During the third week of May this year, as in other recent years, sales declined moderately to a level which was maintained during the remainder of the month. The 31 per cent increase in sales in the district during the whole of May over the same month last year was only slightly below the 35 per cent increase in the country a t . large, and exceeded the percentage increase shown in four other Federal Reserve Districts. Preliminary figures for the first two weeks in June indicate that department store sales were running, as in previous years, at the same level as during the last half of May and were approaching the period when sales may be expected to show the seasonal decline which normally begins in the latter part of June. By comparison with the May sales increase in the district of 31 per cent over May 1945, sales in April this year had increased 53 per cent over April a year ago. The sma ller percentage gain in May, however, over the corresponding month in 1945 does not reflect a decline in dollar volume of sales as compared with the previous month, but rather a leveling off of the general upward trend of sales which characterized the first four months of this year. The high level of sales in April had brought the cumulative increase for the first four months of this year over the same months last year to 27 per cent, in comparison with a cumulative fir st-quarter increase of 18 per cent. The continued large volume of sales in May lifted the cumulative increase for the first five months of this year over the same period last year very slightly to 28 per cent. Cash sales of reporting department stores in May constituted 44 per cent of total sales. This ratio indicates the continuation of a downward trend which began immediately after V-J Day in the relation of cash to credit transactions in department store sales. This trend progressed slowly from August 1945 through January of this year, moving downward from a high point of 54 per cent at the beginning of the period to 51 per . cent in November and 52 per cent in January. Then it quick- . . ened its pace, dropping to 46 per cent in February, 47 per cent in March and April, and 44 per cent in May. This t rend clearly indicates an increasing use of credit by consumers who WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE STATISTICS Number Retail trade: Department stores: Total 11 th Diat.. ... ~UB Da Christ.i . .... 88 . .. . . . . . . . . . Fort Worth . .. ... . . Houston .... ..... . _ San Antonio .. . . . . . Shreveport, La .. . . . Other eitiCl .. ...... Retail r umiture: Total 11 tb Diat..... Dallas ...... ..... . Houston ..... ..... . 'tIort Arthur . ... ... San Antonio . ..... . Percentage change in 7 5 3 18 Net sales May 1946 from Jan. 1 to Ma.y April May 31. 1946 1948 {rom 1945 1945 +31 +28 + t -3 +29 +20 +36 + 2 +33 -8 +30 +21 + 35 + 2 +30 - 5 H3 +29 H6 +3 +23 +26 HI +1 50 4 5 3 3 +53 +65 +34 +78 +46 of nporting firm! 48 4 7 4 Stoe",1 May 1946 from April 194. +13 +4 +7 +9 + 7 +48 +3 +9 +25 +23 +5 +9 -9 -2 +5 May 1945 +13 +20 +12 + 19 +17 + 15 +10 + 7 Wbolesale trade:' Machillery eqp't &: -24 + 6 + 22 + 8 + 52 + 9 H7 + 8 - 3 -7 H7 +26 + 11 - 5 Electrical supplies . . +85 Grooerie!!l .. .. . ... .. + 13 -6 + 4 +20 + 6 Hardware ..... . .. . -I 8 + 46 H5 H5 + 5 Tobacco & product.! - 13 3 +4 · Compiled by United States Bureau of Census (wholesale trade fiKUrU preliminary). tStoeks at end of month. tlndicatea change less than one·ha1f of OQe per cent. luppiie! . ....... . 6 5 Drug.ll . . ..•.•...••• 5 3 30 Automotive supplies INDEXES OF DEPARTMENT STORE SALES AND STOCKS Daily average 881cs-(I935-1939-IOO) Unll.djusted t Adjusted April March May May May April M:neD 1946 194. 1946 1945 194. )946 1946 District .... . 322 335 316 246r 342 3521' 336r Dalla•.•. ... 331 336 315 247 352 3541' 335r Houston .... . 320 326 297 237 333 3291' 3451' Stoeka-(1935-1939- IOO) Unadjust«l· May April March 1946 1946 1946 District . .. .. 227 186r 203 ·Unadjusted for &e88Onal variation, r-Reviaed. May 1945 262r 263 247 Adjusted May 1945 186 May 1946 239 April 1946 209 March 1946 196r May 1945 19. • MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 93 are finding in the stores slowl y expanding stocks of many goods of barley was forecast on June 1, compared with a 3,857,000 which were in short supply during the war. bushel harvest in 1945 and the 1935-44 yearly average of Merchandise stock~ of district department stores at the 4,166,000 bushels. end of May showed the same increase, 13 per cent, over April Although excessive rains during May damaged corn in the of this year and May of last year. Orders outstanding, however, lowlands, the crop elsewhere in the eastern part of the district were practically unchanged as compared with April, but were was in good condition, and prospects were generally improved 43 per cent greater than in May '1945. During May this year by drier weather in June. A very good corn crop is also practhere was a noticeable increase in quantities received of some tically assured in most of the southern part of the district. items of soft goods which have been in short supply, snch as Some improvement in district grain sorghum prospects has men's furnishings and women's summer apparel, but inven- occurred in recent weeks, and an excellent crop is being comtories are still uneven and poorly assorted. The flow of con- bined in the south Texas commercial area. Stlmer durable goods to dealers, which was showing signs of Cotton prospects in the eastern part of the district were acceleration in March and early April, was reduced sharply by improved in June as weather conditions permitted the resumpthe protracted shutdown of the soft coal mines and the re- . tion of field work interrupted by excessive moisture in May. sulting reduction in output of st eel and other industrial Considerable planting and replanting was done, but many fields products. originally planned for cotton were being diverted to the producFurniture sales of reporting stores in the district showed an tion of late feed crops. In the High Plains, moisture was still increase during May of 5 per cent over the previous month insufficient in mid-June for seeding cotton except on irrigated and of 53 per cent over May 1945 . Cash sales increased 6 per lands and in some local areas visited by light rains. The rains cent and credit sales 5 per cent over April of this year, and 57 which visited some parts of that area during the latter part of pef cent and 51 per cent, respectively, over Maya year ago. the month improved planting prospects and furnished sufficient Cash and credit sales maintained the same ratios to total sales moisture to germinate seed planted in the dust. Flea hoppers, boll during May, namely, 24 per cent and 76 per cent, as in April. weevils, and leafworms were reported in the southern part of Comparison of these figures with ratios of 23 per cent and 77 the district in the latter part of May, but cotton was generally per cent for May 1945 suggests that no significant change has making good progress in both southern and central Texas. taken place in the types of furniture sales transactions during Crop and harvest conditions improved generally during June the past year. Continuing the trend observable in April, furniin the commercial vegetable areas, where hail, winds, heavy rains, ture stocks increased percentage-wise during May more rapidly and floods in May had caused considerable damage and delay. than sales, showing a gain of 10 per cent over the previous The indicated production on June 1 of 2,613,000 bushels month's inventories and 25 per cent over those of Maya year of peaches in Texas this year falls below the unusually large ago. production of last year by about 160,000 bushels but exceeds AGRICULTURE • Excessive rainfall in the eastern paft of the district in May the 1935-44 yearly average by about 1,000,000 bushels. Early • interrupted field work and caused considerable damage to grow- varieties of peaches were making their appearance in the ing crops. Severe hailstorms resulted in crop losses in many markets by mid-June. Pear production for the State, forecast rocal areas scattered through the eastern part of the district. on June 1 at 524,000 bushels, is above the 496,000 bushels Growing conditions were geJ;lerally improved in this area by ha rvested in 1945 and the 1935-44 yearly average production the open weather during the middle and latter part of June. of 421,000 bushels. Prospects for the new citrus crop in Texas Drought conditions persisted during most of JW1e Over the were favorable on June 1. The fruit had made satisfactory western part of the district except for the northern and eastern growth, and trees were in good condition. Rainfall was abundant Panhandle counties and some other scattered local areas, inter- in May, and the volume of water available now for irrigation fering with the planting of spring crops and further reducing is much greater than it was a year ago. Egg production in Texas during May was estimated by the the quantity and quality of range feeds. During the last week of June, however, rains covered most of the Panhandle, inter- United States Department of Agriculture at 31,250,000 dozen, fering temporarily with the wheat harvest, but generally im- compared with 35,250,000 dozen in April and 34,417,000 proving moisture conditions for late feed crops, cotton, and dozen in May 1945. Unfavorable weather and the shortage of poultry feed were said to account for the greater than seasonal ranges. \Vheat prospects were improved in Texas during May, and decline in May. Except for parts of the Panhandle where effective rainfall a crop of 46,156,000 bushels was forecast on June 14 by the United States Department of Agriculture. This represents an was received, ranges in the western part of the district continued increase of about 10,500,000 bushels and 4,200,000 bushels dry, with very short range feeds and low supplies of stock water. above the forecasts of May 1 and June 1, respectively, but falls Ranges in New Mexico at the time of the June 1 report were almost 14,000,000 bushels below the initial estimate as of the poorest for that date since 1934. Range conditions in the April 1. The June 14 estimate places this year's crop well eastern part of the district were materially improved in May, above the 41 ,778,000 bushel crop harvested in 1945, and and prospects for summer grazing in that area are very good. about 32 per cent above the 1935-44 yearly average of 34,Cattle in the dry, western area underwent some shrinkage 863,000 bushels. Harvesting operations were about finished in during May and June, but made satisfactory gains in the north Texas and the Low Rolling Plains by the end of June eastern part of the district. The average condition of cattle in and were well advanced in rhe northern Panhandle. Yields were Texas on June 1, while slightly above that of a year ago, was higher than had been expected throughout most of the wheat below the 20-year (1923-42) average for that date. The congrowing area. dition in Arizona and New Mexico was reported on June 1 The Texas oat crop was estimated at 31,433,000 bushels as considerably below that of a year ago and below the 20n June 1, compared with the unusually large crop of 42,441,- year average. In Oklahoma the condition was below that of 000 bushels harvested in the State in 1945 and the 1935-44 a year ago, but somewhat above average. Sheep were in genyearly average of 33,557,000 bushels. Drought in the west erally good condition at the beginning of June, except on some and northwest oat areas and excessive rains and early green dry, short ranges in the northwest part of the Edwards Plateau. bug infestations in the Blackland counties considerably re- The average conditions of sheep in Texas was the same on June duced the earlier prospects. A production of 3,000,000 bushels 1 as a year ago, but below the 20 -year average condition. In t l MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 94 New Mexico and Arizona, sheep were in better condition on June 1 than a year ago, but below the yearly average for that date. gram is completed later this year, TREASURY WAR LOAN DEPOSITS (Balances in thousands ot dollars) • Depositary De positary Banks . . Banks In in Eleventh Federal United States Reserve District CASH FARM INCOME (Thousands of dolL-its) .....- February 1946 ~--,----, Total rece! P t 8 - - - ~Rccei pts from~ February February Jau. 1 to Feb. 28 t~i~~;~",·.:: ..... . Cropa , 4.005 1046 '7,042 1945 I 8,607 10-46 4 19,371 1945 I 21,391l 7,118 1,985 3,656 1,752 10,774 3,737 10,851 5,275 26,411 8,638 29,382 12,1 69 9,605 31,949 15,452 31,172 25,057 63,121 28 ,660 78,045 52,120 135,610 61,762 156,479 .. 154,662 155,669 1109,731 1131,438 1242,150 1281,191 New Mexion . . . .... . Oklahoma ....... . . ... Texas ........ , Tot"l... Livestoek, 3,037 -Includes receipts from the sale of livestock and livestock products. SOURCE: United States Department of Agriculturo. LIVESTOCK RECEIPT8-(Numbe,) - - - F o r t Worth May May Cattle ... . .....• . . . Calves .... .l:::iogs .•• ••••• • ••• .•.. Sheep .............. 1946 60,328 18,174 37,686 433,027 1945 127,626 26.379 45,312 603,763 April 1946 88,004 14,83 6 67,M9 259,019 May 1946 19,722 12,256 7,496 76,691 San Antonio - -May 1946 33,757 25,095 5,382 131,529 April 1946 31,703 21,991 8,011 77,801 COMPARATIVE TOP LIVESTOCK PRICES (Dollars per hundred weight) _ - - F o r t Worth San Antonio - - May April May .May April May 1946 1946 1946 1945 1946 1946 116 .00 16.25 $16.50 Beef steers . . ... . .. . 117.35 116.25 1\7.36 Stocker steers ....... 16 .00 14 .00 16.50 Heifers and yearlings. i6:50 'i5: 50 . i6:25 16 .25 17.35 17.35 13 .60 12 . 50 15 .00 14. 00 Butcher cows ..... . 14 .25 13.00 15 .75 14 .50 16.50 16 .60 16.00 Calves ..... 14 .50 14.65 14 .55 1-4 .65 Hogs ... . .. . ... . 14 .60 14 .65 14.65 \( .50 Hi,50 14 .50 15 .50 13 .75 16.00 Lambs ... ...... Receipts of cattle and calves at the Fort Worth and San Antonio markets in May fell below those of the previous month and far below receipts for the same month last year. The movement of sheep into the Fort Worth market, increasing seasonally during May, was about 60 per cent greater than in April, but receipts at San Antonio declined slightly. Receipts at both markets fell far below those of a year ago, The May 15 price report of the United States Department of Agriculture showed further rises in the prices of most Texas field crop and livestock items. Prices of grain crops and beef cattle underwent the most significant increases, with wheat reaching the highest price level since 1925, Peanut, sweet potato, hog, and egg prices rose moderately, while cotton, cottonseed, wool, and poultry remained unchanged, Prices of lambs, sheep, and wholesale milk declined slightly, and potatoes and hay were significantly lower. FINANCE The Treasury's policy of debt redemption from its large cash balances has resulted in heavy withdrawals from war loan accounts since February of this year, At the end of February, Treasury war loan deposits at all depositary banks in the United States amounted to $24,447,000,000, of which $7 83 ,540,000 was held by depositary banks in the Eleventh Federal Reserve District. Between March 1 and July 1, inclusive, the Treasury redeemed in cash approximately $12,200,000,000 of securities which had matured or had been called for redemption, and for that purpose utilized its war loan deposits at depositary banks, During this period, war loan deposits at all depositary banks in the United States decreased approximately $12,300,000,000, leaving an estimated balance on July 1 of $12,100,000,000. Simultaneously war loan deposits at depositary banks in the Eleventh Federal Reserve District decreased approximately $416,500,000 to an estimated balance of $367,000,000 on July 1. If the Treasury should continue the debt retirement program in accordance with general expectations, war loan deposits at depositary banks may drop to about 15 per cent of the February 28, 1946, total by the time the retirement pro- December 31, 1945 ........................ January 31, 1946......................... February 28, 1946........................ March 30, 1946.............................. April 30, 1946............................... May 31, 1946 ................................ June 30, 1946 ................ ................ 24,044,000 24,030,000 24,447,000 21,776,000 19,502,000 16,949,000 12,100,000* 781,765 767,655 783,540 702,658 624,420 547,325 367,000* -Estimated. The continued heavy withdrawals by the Treasury from its war loan acounts at depositary banks was the principal factor contributing to a $36,500,000 decline during May in the daily average of combined gross demand and time deposits of member banks in this district. 111e May average of these deposits amounted to $5,448,000,000, which was $962,000,0 00 above the average for May 1945. The average reserve balances of member banks increased $13,400,000 during May, reaching the highest level since January of this year, However, an increase in required reserves, as a consequence of the shift of some reserve-exempt warloan deposits to reserve-required deposit accounts, held the increase in excess reserves to $7,000,000. In contrast with the downward trend during the preceding five months, Federal Reserve notes of this bank in actual circulation increased $5,000,000 between May 15 and June 15. Notes in actual circulation during the first half of June, though at the highest daily average since March of this year, were $33,000,000 less on June 15 than in mid-December 1945, when the peak was reached. • Continuing the trend that began in mid-January of this. year, gross deposits of weekly reporting member banks in the district declined $14,800,000 in the five-week period ended June 12, bringing the total decline for five months in these deposits to approximately $231,000 ,000, Between May 8 and June 12, increases of $41,300,000 in adjusted demand and time deposits and of $8,200,000 in interbank deposits were more than off"'t by a decrease of $64,300,000 in Government deposits, . During this same period a decrease of $28,400 ,000 in total CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS (Tbousand. of dollars) Total gold dertificate reserves.. D iscounts for member banks.... Foreign loans on gold . . . . . . . . . U. S. Goyernment securities. . Total earning assets......... Member bank reserve deposits . ............... Federal Reserve Notes io. actual circulat ion.... June 15, 1946 1503,325 144 3,840 896,879 900,863 7fJ2,792 693,713 June 15, 1945 1521,427 None None 748.151 74 8,161 673,r.87 t.73,255 May IS, 1946 1476,044 1,1 44 1,440 895.880 898,464 747,266 688,828 CONDITION STATISTICS OF WEEKL Y REPORTING MEMBER BANKS IN LEADING CITIES-Ele\'enth Federal Rt:eerve DWricl (Tbousands of dollars) June 12. Total loalUl and investments. ... . . . .. . . . . .. . .... .. Totalloana . .. . . .. .. .. .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Commercial , industrial, and agricultural loans. . Loaru to brokers and dealers in securities.. ...... Other loac..s (or purcha"iog or carrying securities . . Real esta~ loana. . . .. . . .. . .. . .. . . . . . . . .. . Loans to bank! .... .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. . . All other loaUJ... .... .................. . ... . Total investments . .. . .. . . .. . . . . . . .. . .. . . . . . . . .. U B. Tr....",. billio ......... ... ........ ....... U' 8. Treaaury certificates of indebtedness....... U. 8. Tk-eaaury notes .... . . U. 8. Government bonds . .......... . .......... ObJilatioll8 guaranteed by United States Gov'. . • Other 116ouritiea.. .................. .. .. Resarv6!I with Federal Reservo Bank......... .. .... . Balances with dome:!tio br.oks .... . . .. .. . . . . . . . . . . . . June 13, 1946 12,060,427 680,394 40] ,261 7,667 141.874 '" t .SS9 288 87,545 1,389,033 43 ,530 414,928 215,808 647,285 145 67,337 400,931 235,546 1945 ",752 ,584 442 ,561 275,949 5,077 74,964 22,982 214 63,375 ~~rr:d~:~i~~~~":.'.,.,.:::::::::,.:,.:,.:::: ll~~:rs~ United States Government depoelu ................. Interbank deposit. ..... .. .. . . .... .. . .. . . . . . . Borrowings (rom Federal Reeerve Bank . ~.. . . . . . 288,525 556,836 None 1,310,023 73,719 376,003 249,698 561,821 100 48,592 379,136 279,856 1,295,044 249,274 222,788 569,249 None May 8. 1946 $2,097,853 682,741 403 ,867 7,553 14 6,389 39,521 285 85,126 1,415,112 55,053 437,156 211,363 642,762 145 67,793 • 401,948 225,087 1,422,443 302,870 352,830 048,607 2,000 ·Jncludes all demAnd deposits other than interbank: and United State. Government. leu ealh ileml reported on band 01' in Pl'DCeII of eolillOtion. MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW DEBITS TO INDIVIDUAL ACCOUNTS (Thousands of dollanl) It May 1946 Abilene ••...........•.•. $ 23.171 Amarillo ..............•• 55.207 Austin .................. 82.249 Beaumont .... ..... .... .. 57,324 Corpus Christi. ...... . ... tl3.809 Corsicana ...•.........•. 7.958 DaUM ........... . ..•... 683.332 EIPaso" ............... 87.600 Fort Worth ....... _•..... 223.428 GalVe!ton ••••••..•.••.. 53.235 HOIlston ....• ........... . 656.098 Laredo •.......... . •.•.. . 16.379 Lubbock ................ 36.856 Monroe. La ...... .... .... 24,560 Port Arthur ......... .... 24,671 Roawell. N. M........ . ... 11,353 San Anlelo ..... ......... 22,812 Sao Antonio ........ _.... 205,475 Shreveport, La ........ . . . 93.707 Texarkana· ......... ..... 19,891 Tucson, Aril. .......•.... 49.333 30,279 37,837 Wicnita Falh ............ 39,043 ~/~~::::: : ::::::::::::: Ma.y 1945 17.975 49.680 tl3.495 58,094 55,121 7.264 ';90,-147 64,342 224.200 43.577 588,885 14,024 30,593 18.697 23.506 9,280 17,595 173,716 68.583 22,759 36.313 25,181 27.923 33.386 ~~J;I Pct.g.change over year +20 +11 +30 - 22.001 54.442 84,1 42 55,627 67.56-1 7,402 690,336 79.646 209.835 50,697 624,524 16.495 38,599 I +16 +10 +16 +36 -\ +22 +11 +17 +20 +31 +5 +22 +30 +18 +6 -13 +36 +20 +36 +17 22,472 25.855 11.424 23,929 201,146 86,752 20,489 46.889 31,021 37,193 37,912 Pdg .change over month +1 + 1 -2 +3 -6 +8 - 2 +10 +6 +5 +5 +6 - 5 +9 - 5 - I - 5 +2 +8 - 3 +5 -2 +2 +3 + Total·24citiea . ... . .. . . .. $2,605,097 $2,284,G30 +14 12,665,192 2 ·Includes the figures of two banka in Tenrkana, ArkanSNI, loeated in the Eighth District. tCbMge less than one-haU of one per cent. GROSS DEMAND AND TIME DEPOSITS OF MEMBER BANKS Eleventh Federal R.eatne District (Average of daily figures-Thousands of dollan) Reserve cib blUlka Combiued tota.l 0",.. G,... 1944,. 1945 January 1946 ..... February 1946 .. ,. March 1946 .. 1946 .... ~dl 1946 .... May May • dema.Dd . . 13,275,467 .. 4,092,587 .. 5,215,222 5,097.096 5,101,702 5,012,062 4,966,772 Country baokl 0"", Time demand Time demand Time $291,239 $1,694,017 1180,464 1I,s81,4SO 1110.77• 393,000 2,044,524 249,140 2,048,Otl3 143,950 452.353 2,681.476 286.583 2,533,746 165.770 457,348 2,620,309 293,575 2,476,787 163.773 465,564 2,592,431 296,725 2,S09,27\ 168.830 472,155 2,s20,721 300,908 2,491,341 171.247 480,926 2,480,288 305,520 2,486,484 175,406 ay SAVINOS DEPOSITS May 31, 1946 Number re~rting Num~r of I&VUlgs .............. .nb 3 8 2 3 4 8 2 2 5 3 3 3 57 depositon 12,558 130,138 29,252 40,406 24,181 103,5tl3 909 S,9tl3 36,148 33,340 9,405 7,337 60 ,744 Total ......... 103 493,944 Beaumont ....... . ...... . Dallas .• ... ••...•. ...... El P8.I)() ............ Fort Worth ..... .... ..... Galveston , . ..... . , . , ••.• IlollHton, ........ . , ... .. . Lubbock . , ., ......... .. , Port Arthur, ........ .. •. San Antonio . ... . . . . ..... Shreveport. La .... •. • • • • • Waco . . "." . .....•.•••. Wichita Falls ............ AU other. , Percent,e change in IAvinp epoaita from .o\mo~t of savmgl deposita I 7,839,230 71,449,711 23.103,.24 32.104,139 20,141,077 70,tl39,257 2,520,608 5,518,702 42,874,313 25,817,222 May 31, 1945 + 16.6 + 24.9 + 31.9 + 2l.6 + 18 .0 + 17.3 +312 .5 + 18 .6 + 23.5 + 20.7 8.935,200 + 25.7 4,74 1,006 + 9.2 50,601,885 + 22.1 1366,285,883 + 22.3 Apri130, 1946 + .7 +1.4 + .9 +1.3 +1.3 + 2.5 + + .4 + 1.6 + .6 + .9 .1 + 1.3 .. +1.4 loans and investments of these banks provided funds to counterbalance the decrease in deposits and enabled these banks to repay $2,000,000 in borrowings from the Federal Reserve Bank, to increase reserves at the Reserve Bank by $1,000,000, and to increase their balances with correspondent banks by $10,500,00(). 1'his increase in balances with correspondent banks represents a modification of the rather steady downward trend of such balances which had been in evidence since the first of the year. The net decline in these balances from the ~ginning of the year to June 12 totaled $77,500,000, There was a net decline in total loans of $2,400,000 during this five-week period, A decrease of $4,500,000 in loans for carrying securities to others thao brokers and dealers, and a decrease of $2,600,000 in commercial, industrial, and agricultural loans were partially offset by an increase of $2,300,000 ~n real estate loans and an increase of $2,400,000 in "all other" ~ans, which includes personal and instalment loans, The $22,200,000 decline in holdings of certificates of indebtedness Was associated with the redemption in cash of part of the issue maturing on June 1. Holdings of Treasury bonds and notes each increased by $4, 500,000, while there was a decline of $12,400,000 in holdings of Treasury bills for this period. The 95 amount of all other stocks, bonds, and securities held declined by more than $400 ,000, although holdings of these securities have shown a net increase of $5,000,000 since the first of the year. INDUSTRY Construction activity in the United States, as measured by the dollar value of contracts awarded, has increased almost without interruption since the end of the war in Europe, attaining levels appreciably above prewar peaks. The value of contract awards in the nation in April reached the highest total since October 1942 and was substantially larger than in any month prior to the war. Construction activity in the Eleventh District has followed a similar trend, The value of district contract awards in April, which totaled $69,510,000, was approximately twice as great as in any month prior to 1941. In comparing present and prewar levels of construction activity, however, it is necessary to make some allowance for the pronounced increase in building costs which has occurred since 1940, Furthermore, since the end of the war, apprehension felt from time to time that additional restrictions on building activity would be imposed may have induced builders to apply for building permits and to award contracts in much larger volume than could be expected to be completed without abnormal delays in view of the acute shortages of building materials. The volume of permits and awards is, therefore, a less adequate index of the level of construction activity at this time than it was before the war. Even when these factors arc taken into account, however, it appears that construction activity is CUfrently being carried on more inrensely than at any time prior to 1941. Awards for residential constmction in the United States and in the Eleventh District were larger during the first 4 months of 1946 than during the first 4 months of any previous year of record. Nevertheless, schedules for new housing established by the Veterans' Housing Program were not maintained, in part because of diversion of scarce materials to non-residential building. In order to speed up the housing program by giving residential construction access to larger supplies of materials, the Civilian Production Administration on May 29 ordered a reduction of two-thirds in the dollar value of approvals for non-housing projects for a period of at least 45 days. Except where denial of applications would impose severe hardship, the district and regional CPA offices will approve only the following commercial and industrial construction projects: projects vitally necessary to public healch and safety; projects which will increase production of critical products; projects which are essential to increased food production or preservation; projects which will provide minimum community facili ties absolutely necessary for new residential areas developed as part of the Veterans' Housing Program; projects which will provide urgently needed veterans' educational facilities; essential and non-deferrable maintenance and repair; projects which will have no impact whatsoever on the housing program, The order docs not apply to federal government projects, to repair and construction projects whose costs are not in excess of specified amounts, or to roads, streets, sidewalks, boardwalks, breakwaters, bridges, bulkheads, canals, dams, utility facilities, mines, tanks, pipelines, oil derricks, fences, silos, and other stmctures which do not draw heavily upon materials required for construction of houses. Significant progress in expanding the number of dwellings constructed and in accelerating the rate of completion of housing, which is necessary if the goals of Veterans' Housing Program are to be attained, cannot be made until production of 96 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW . construction materials has been substantially increased. March production of such indispensable building items as gypsum board, clay tile, hardwood flooring, and plumbing fixtures was at rates far below the levels necessary to attain goals set by the program. The prospects of alleviating the acute lumber shortage are apparently somewhat improved. Lumber production in March was at a rate exceeding minimum requirements for 1946. Lumber production in Texas and the Southwest was greater during the first quarter of 1946 than during the same period of 1945, according to the Bureau of Census. Data compiled by the Southern Pine Asociation indicate, however, that current production at the larger southern pine mills is considerably less than prior to the war or during 1942 and 1943. Stocks of lumber at the mills, which were further reduced during the first 5 months of this year, are currently less than one-third the size of stocks maintained prior to 1941. Daily average crude oil production in the United States and in the Eleventh District is rising to much higher levels during the first postwar year than had been generally anticipated. Production for roe country as a whole in May was only slightly less than at the 1945 wartime peak and was substantially greater than during any month prior to the war. Daily average production in this district of 2,293,000 barrels was 70 per cent greater than in May 1941, and only 4 per cent less than at the war peak attained in August 1945. The heavy demand for crude oil was reflected by the Texas Railroad Commission's June net production allowable for the State, which was increased to an all-time high of 2,293,000 barrels per day---exactly the daily average of production for the district during May. Total demand for petroleum products is currently about 20 per cent greater than in 1941. This expansion of demand in the first postwar year above prewar levels is attributable primarily to larger naval and railroad requirements for fuel oil and increased use of distillates and diesel oils for military, export, heating, and transportation purposes. Although consumption of motor fuel during 1946 is expected to be approximately 10 per cent greater than in 1941, the increase will reflect larger exports of motor fuel and expanded non-automotive uses rather than an increase in motor vehicle consumption, which will probably be somewhat smaller in 1946 than in 1941. The vigorous search for new oil resources is evidenced by intensive drilling activity both in the United States and in the Eleventh District. Wildcat completions are reported to be at the highest level of record, and total well completions, which have not yet regained prewar levels, arc increasing rapidly. Approximately 800 more wells were completed in the United States during the first four months of 1946 than during the same period of 1945. Although there were substantially fewer wells completed during the January-April 1946 period than during the comparable period of 1941, present drilling is reported to be increasing at such a rate that drilling activity during 1946 may return to the levels maintained during the years immediately preceding the war. Drilling activity in the Eleventh District and in Texas is following approximately the same trend as in the United States. In the district, 2,765 wells were completed during the first four months of this year, as compared with 2,514 during the same months in 1945, and 3,180 during the comparable period in 1941. Data compiled by the United States Employment Service covering employment trends in the 17 principal labor market areas in Texas indicate continued strengthening of the demand for non-agricultural1abor in the State during April, May, and June. Employment in non-agricultural establishments, which increased by 1.2 per cent between March 15 and April 15, expanded by approximately 2 per cent during the following 60 days, if employers' expectations of hiring activities during that period, as reported by the United States Employment Service, were realized. Employment is being expanded somewhat more rapidly in manufacturing than in trade and service. • Demand for additional labor is apparently strongest on con- ' " struction jobs, in plants producing construction materials, and in establishments manufacturing machinery and similar products. Despite the steady increase of employment since February 1946, the number of persons in Texas seeking work has declined very slightly because of accessions to the labor force. The United States Employment Service reports that at the end of April, 117,000 persons, 60 per cent of whom were veterans, were seeking work in the 17 principal labor market areas of the State. Although United States Employment Service data indicate that job openings are increasing slightly, there are approximately two job seekers for each job offering in the 17 leading urban areas, and many of the openings require skills which the applicants do not possess. However, the rate of accessions to the labor force is declining, reflecting the falling rate of discharge from the military services, and unemployment should decline during the summer if the anticipated increase in employment develops. COTTONSEED AND COTTONSEED PRODUCTS Cottonseed r~ived ----T.ua---_-_Unit&d Statea-------August 1 to May 31 August t to Ma.y 31 This sea.aon Last season This season Last season at milb (tona) . ................... . Cottonseed crushed (toilS). , .. . Cottonseed on hand (tons) ... . . Production of produc~: 618.963 689.502 13,660 3.093,427 3.165,037 146.783 4.288,085 4.001,1172 386.969 207.968 319.224 160.513 217,650 Crude oil (thousand Ib&.). Cake and meal (Looa). Hulls (toms). , . .. ... . ... Linters (running bales) .. Stocks on hand May 31: Crude oil (thousand Ibs.). " Cake aod meal (tons) . . . . HulJ. (tons) . . .... . .. . . . . .. Linters (running bales) ... 935.816 879.711 87.001 260.740 416.052 205,179 266.392 986.348 1.391.967 760.614 959.577 1.242.009 1.837.861 927.202 1.171,488 6.323 24.807 21,495 10,612 9.392 38,678 51.380 20,001 98,595 73,S04 53,206 595 10.328 4.576 7.909 SOURCE: United States Bureau of CeuUJ, 45.738 DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION AND STOCKS OF COTrON-(BaI..) May May April August 1 to May 31 1946 19~5 This!eaSOn Last season 1946 Consumption at: 18,783 Teus mills . .•......... . . United StaLes milIa . .. 871.559 U.S. stock.!---end of month: In consuming est.abm'ts ... 2,331,841 Public stg. &; compresses.. 6,,410,431 16.642 17.6.16 813.732 839.~14 166.979 7.643.441 • 158.~SO 8.109.914 2,14t,I04 10,105,783 CRUDE OIL PRODUCTlON- (BarrelJ) May 1946 Increaae or decreaae in daily average production from Total production production North Teua .. .. ....... ,. Weet Texaa ..• . • .. .....•..... East Te:l.l.l!l .. ' ..••.•...•. •... 8outhwI!II!Jt Te:la.ll •... .•.•..... Te%U CO&lltal . .... .......... . 7.681.800 16.154.100 521 .100 16,380,400 528.~00 10,276,500 15.966,000 331.500 486,000 Total Te:u.s ••••••. 6.1.558,800 2.968.650 2,480,400 2,114.800 95,763 North Louilliana ............. . Total Dialrlot...... 71.007.850 Nfl" Mexico .............. . . . Dailyavlt. May 1945 April 1946 +25.800 -24,150 -77.300 +33.6.17 +26.576 +12,387 +16,637 SO,013 -jil,350 - 8,137 + 9,266 - 2.290.676 -00,221 +91.854 2~7.800 + 3.000 +1O.~00 + 8.143 +97,400 32 5.514 SOURCE: Eetimated Crom Ameriean Petroleum lnatitute weekly report!. BUILDING PERMITS May Itl46 Abilene .......... Amarillo ... ...... No. Valuation 59 $ 217.227 223 688.616 339 1.514.540 226 213.406 266 643.169 1.066 2.5S~.210 136 909.466 767 2.781.073 118 86.069 792 3.616.258 142 237.771 155 111 ,284 Pereenf.age change Percentag valua.tion from Jan. 1 to Ma.y 31, I G46 chan~e valua.tlOn May Itl45 Apr,ttl46 No. Valuation from 1945 459.786 96,545 +180 +978 +204 + 6 +192 +582 +264 -13 - 26 + 51 + 79 +218 +253 + 9 - 29 Total ...... 6.175 $16.2.7.871 + 79 Austin ........... Beaumont ........ ~r.~ ?~.t~:: :: EIPaso .......... Fort Worth .... ... Galveston ........ Houston ......... . Lubbock ......... Port Arthur .... . . SlLn An ton io ..... 1,479 Shreveport, 1..a. .. 297 Waoo .......... . . Wichita Falls .. .. 159 61 1,521,436 797.016 ------ · O..-er 1,000 per eent. - 53 + 14 8 + I 3 - 41 +218 + 3. - .5 - 17 - 21 4 -17 + 56 + 21 - 52 - - - 9 492 $ 2.500,177 1.122 3.008.935 2.042 8.053.335 1.171 1.487.653 1.313 4.16.1.928 6.418 24.016.130 554 2.222.557 3.334 13.377.028 562 958.603 3.662 36.6.14.632 977 2.278.664 1.039,694 906 6.372 12,550,692 1.646 '.886.787 692 1.817.239 356 990.272 +375 + 82 +216 +219 +718 +573 +410 +292 +188 +213 H95 +465 +418 +162 +3{J8 31.619 $120,966,426 +340 •