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:.: •••••••••••••••• 1 ................ 11 ..................... 1............................. 1.......... 1 .......................... 1111.111 ....................... 1..................................... 1.... 1............................ III .. I .. IIIIIII .... H .... .. : '-............................... 111111 .......... 111111 ... 11.111 ....... 11 ................ 1111 .... . .. 11 ......... , .............. "" .. 1111.11 ..................... 1.... 11 ................. 11 ................................. I1 ...... n ........ " ......... _ MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS c. C. WALSH, CHAS. C. HALL-W. J. EVANS, Chairman and Federal Re8eno Agent Assistant Fedoral Reserve AlI'enta (Compiled January 15, 1928) ~1I1I .... I1 ........ I1 ...... IIII.II .. IIIII ... IIII .. IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ... 11I1I .11 .. 111111111111111111111111111.111111,111'111111 .. 111111111 .. 11111111111111111111111111.11 ............... IIII ..... I I I .. '"IIIIIIIII .... IIIIIII ... ' ..... III ...... r. Volume 12, No. 12 Dallas, Texas, February 1, 1928 This copy released for publlca- Jan. 31 cation in morning papers DISTRICT SUMMARY ~"II"IIII'IIIIIIIIIIII'III'"'"IIIIIIIIIIII""'''IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIUII''" 11111111111'"111.111""1111111.11111111111111 •• 1111.111,,1.11111.111111111111.1111111 .. 111 .. 11 .. 1111111."1111111111111111 ...... 111.1" .. 1111111.1111111111.1111 IIIIIII~ : ~ ~ ~ THE SITUATION AT A GLANCE : ~ Eleventh Federal Reservo District Bank d. bita to individual accounts (at 1S cities)......................................................................................... ~_ ~:::~:,nBn:nk~~:n:8;~S;;;;;;;·b~;:·b~;;k;;··~t··~-;;d··~f··.:;;~~·th:::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::.:::::::::::::::::~::::::::. Reserve Bank ratio at end of month .................................................................................... _........................... $8~;~Oe1~~e;0 $ 877.792 67.9 0/0 $~:;.~~~~~O $ 6.78B.gS8 ~ In;.nc. or ~:~. 68.6 0/0 Inc. 1fi£g~~~~~\~I~E::f~~~~~!f~~:~~~:~::~~~Z~:~; ;~ ~;~; ~:~: : :~ ;~ ; ; :; ;~; ~: : : : : : : : : : : : : : :~ ~:~: :~:~ : : ~ :;~; ~ ~ ~ : :2;;;;;;;U : 2::;;;;;11 \~l: : .... Lumber orders at pine mills (per eent of normal production) ....................................................... _........... 8 ~11 72% 82% Dec. D~~3% ~ 87~:~ _~ 4.4 pointa 2!8~~~i :' 10 pointa 1...... 11 .............. 1I.1I1 ..... 11111111 .. 1I1I1I1I.1I1 ... 1I .. 1I1I .... 1I .. 11 ...... 11 .. 1I1I .. 1I1I1I1I1I.1I1 .... III~ ....... IIIIII ... IIII .. II .. I ... III .. IIIIII .... III .. III .... 11I1 111111 .. 111111111111111111 ........ 111111.111111111 .. 1111 ... 111111 .. The large volume of buying at retail establishments and the heavy liquidation of Federal Reserve Bank credit which carried loans to member banks to the lowest level reached since the pre-war period were important developments during the past month. The sales of department stores in larger dties reflected a seasonal gain of 56 per cent over those of the previous month and ex.ceeded those of December, 1926, by 6 per cent. The distribution of merchandise in wholesale channels, while seasonably smaller than in November, was in a larger volume than in the corresponding month of the ~revio~s. year .. The conservative n~er chandising and credIt polICIes whICh were pursued durmg the past year are being continued and merchants are in a much stronger financial position than they were a year ago. Due to the growing confidence in the business structure and the large purchasing power of the dbtrict's population leaders are becoming more optimistic regarding the outlook for the coming year. In fact, reports from some quarters indicate that a considerable improvement in business was noted during the first two weeks of January. The volume of public spending in Decemb~r as measured ?y charges to depositors' accounts at banks m the larger cItIes reflected a gain of 8 per cent over the previous month and were 6 per cent larger than in the corresponding month a year ago. Financial statistics gave further evidence of growing strength and stability. The combined net demand and time deposits of member banks rose to $915,317,000 on December 7, reflecting a gain of $8,174,000 over those a month earlier and were $121,423,000 larger than on December 29, 1926. Federal Reserve Bank loans to member banks declined from $6,783,963 on November 30, to $877,792 on December 31. While these loans had increased to 83,914,· 875 on January 14, due to seasonal influences, they were 8 $1,708,718 less than on the corresponding date in 1927. Commercial banks are carrying large cash and secondary reserves and there is still an active demand for commercial paper and bankers' acceptances as an investment outlet for surplus funds. While the number of commercial failures and the volume of indebtedness reflected a further sharp increase during December, they were substantially less than a year ago. The increase at this season, however, is not unusual as the strain of year-end settlements almost invari· ably discloses a larger number of insolvencies. It will be noted that the defaults this year were largely among the smaller concerns. Weather conditions were not altogether favorable to agri· culture. While the rains benefited growing crops and left a good season in the ground in most sections, they retarded harvesting o'perations and winter plowing. The low tern· peratures did considerable injury to small grains and some reseeding will be necessary. The rains likewise stimulated the growth of winter weeds and grasses on the rallges, yet there are a few sections where more moisture is urgently needed. Livestock withstood the cold weather unusually well and in most sections are in fair to good condition. Market prices for cattle reflected a further upward trend and during the first half of January reached the highest level in several years. .CO?struction a~tiv!ty as .~easured by the valuation of per. mlts Issued at pnnclpal cItIes showed a further gain of 11 per cent as compared to the previous month and was 12 per cent greater than in December last year. The production shipments, and new orders for lumber and the productio~ and shipment of cement reflected the usual year-end decline but were larger than a year ago. MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 2 CROP CONDITIONS The wet and cold weather prevailing during the greater part of the past month prevented the completion of harvest. ing operations and greatly retarded winter plowing. The rains which fell over a large portion of the district have relieved the drouth in practicaUy all sections of the district except portions of West Texas and Southeastern New Mexico. While the rains toward the middle of January partiall y relieved the situation in the latter sections, more rain is urgently needed. The extremely low temperatures prevailing during the latter part of December had an adverse effect upon small grains as the plants in many instances had been weakened as the result of the long period of dry weather and the rains in December had not sufficiently revived the plants to enable them to withstand the cold weather. Reports indicate that a considerable portion of the oat crop has been either killed or the stand reduced. In some instances damage to the wheat crop has likewise been reported. With a good season in the ground, however, some of the acreage will be reseeded. The Department of Agriculture in its report of December 1, indicated that the acreage sown to wheat in the fall of 1927 totaled 2,629,000 acres, which was 8 per cent greater than the acreage sown in the fall of 1926. The condition of the wheat crop on that date was 73 per cent of normal as compared to 85 per cent on December 1, 1926. The acreage of winter wheat in New Mexico was reported as 20 per cent greater than in the previous year and the condition on December 1, was 62 per cent of normal as against 78 per cent a year earlier. The preliminary estimate of spinach plantings in Texas was placed at 23,650 acres, which was fully 4,000 acres greater than in the previous season and about 9,000 acres greater than the average for the last· four years, While the shipments of spinach were heavy during the early part of December, the cold wave which reduced the yield in some sections and practically killed the crop in others, has considerably reduced shipments. A substantial portion of the acreage which was killed by the cold wave, however, will be replanted. Frost damage to vegetables in the lower Rio Grande Valley was not very extensive but shipments' were temporarily reduced. THE YEAR'S CROP RESULTS According to the estimates given out by the United States Department of Agriculture, the yields of the principal crops in Texas for the years 1926 and 1927, were as follows: . 8.,111111111111111111111111111111111111111.111.1111111111111111111111111111111111""11111111111111111111111"1'11111111111111111'1111'"'11'"'1111111111111111111'11'''IIIIIII . ''IIIIIIU''IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII'"IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII 1111 I!) COMPARATIVE PRODUCTION AND VALUE OF 'l'EXAS FARM PRODUCTS COMPILED BY THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE Commodity Barley.............................. Corn................................. Cotton.............................. Hay-tame..................... Grain sorghums ............ Oats................................. Peanuts........................... Iris h potatoes ............ .. _ Sweet potatoes.............. Rice.................................. WheaL............................ - -QUANTITY- 1927 1926 3,120,000 bu. 6,090,000 bu. 119,847, 000 bu. 106,868,000 bu. 4,280,000 bales 5,628, 000 bales 1,282,000 tons 1,392,000 tons 34,178.000 bu. 48,276,000 bu. 42,063,000 bu. 83,666,000 bu. 70,200,000 lbs. 45.440,OOOlbs. 2,81 0,000 bu. 2,100,000 bu, ll ,970,000 bu. 8,556,000 bu. 6,279,000 bu. 6,14 2, 000 bu. 17,945,000 bu. 32,796,000 bu . Inc. or Dee. Dec. 2,970 .000 bu . Inc. 12,484,000 bu . Dec. 1,348,000 bales Dec. 160,000 tons Dee. 14,098,000 bu. Dec. 41,603,000 bu. Inc. 24,760,000 lb.. Inc. 210.000 bu. Inc. 8,414,000 bu. Inc. 187,000 bu. Dec. 14,851,000 bu. - - VALUE1927 1926 $ 2,184,000 $ 8,228,000 77,576,000 64,1l8,000 413 ,020,000 808,912.000 13,968,000 16,150,000 22,216,000 26,552 ,000 19,770,000 81,798,000 2,457,000 2.045 ,000 3,812,000 4,200,000 8,978,000 8,128,000 5,400,000 6,756,000 21,718,000 89,355,000 Inc. or Dee. Dec. $ 1,044,000 Inc. 18,458,000 Inc. 109,108,000 Dee. 2,182,000 Dee. 4,386 ,000 Dec. 12.028.000 Inc. 412,000 Dec. 888,000 Inc. 850,000 Dee. 1,856,000 Dee. 17,642,000 ~ .......... ~~.~~ . ~::.~~ . ~.~. ::.:~~.~. ~~.~~~.:;:::::.;;::::.;::::.::::.;;:::::.;:::::.;:::::.;;::::.;;:::::.;:::::.;:::::.;;::::.::::::.;;:::::.::::::.;:::: ..........~.~~~.:~.~~:~.~.~...........~~~.~:.~~~:.~~~ ......~.~.:: .....~. ~~:.~.~~'.~.~~ . ~ From the above table it will be noted that there was a decrease in both the production and value of all grain and feed crops with the exception of corn. In the latter instance there was a substantial increase in both production and value. In the case of the other feed crops, while the price in every in~tance excep~ hay was higher ~h?n in the previous year, the. mcreased. pnce was no~ suffICIent to offset the smaller YIeld. WhIle the productIOn of cotton was 24, per cent less than in the previous year, the value of this crop was 36 per cent greater. The agricultural situation at the close of 1927 was considerably better than a year earlier. During the year 1927 greater diversification was practiced and more farmers made their living at home than has been the case in several years. The heavy production of corn, together with the satisfactory yields of other feed crops, has provided most farmers with ample feed for use in connection with the making of 1928 crops and in many instances has provided a surplus for the market. The large returns f th tt h bl d f l' 'd . ro~. e co on crop ave ena e armers t~ lqlll ato theIr mdebtedness and to enter the new year WIth surplus funds. LIVESTOCK Beneficial rains fell over practically all of the Eleventh cold weather practically no losses were reported. Livestock District during the past thirty days relieving the drouth in in most sections are wintering well although some feeding most sections, stimulating the growth of winter weeds and has been necessary. grass, and replenishing the supply of stock water. While Movements While receipts of cattle and calves at the some rain was reported in most of West Texas and SouthFort Worth market showed a marked and Prices eastern New Mexico it was insufficient to overcome the decline from the heavy receipts during effects or the long period of dry weather and more moisture November they were considerably larger than in December is urgently needed. In these sections, range conditions are a year ago. The receipts of hogs and sheep were substan· generally poor but elsewhere they are reported in fair to tially larger than in either the previous month or the same good condition. While livestock shrank somewhat during month last year. the period of extremely low temperatures, they have been holding up well and due to the absence of storms during the The cattle market showed a further upward trend during MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW December. Prices reacted somewhat toward the middle of the month due to the heavy receipts but with the sharp de· cline in shipments during the last half of December and the early part of January prices again turned upward and reached a new high level. Hog prices showed a further downward movement. While trading in the sheep division was restricted owing to receipts, prices remained generally steady. m...............................................................1., ••••••• ,•• ,••••••••••• ,.................. ,.......... 18 ~ § FORT WORTH LIVESTOCK RECEIPTS : I§ § ~:;~mer ~e!.~~ber ::!~:8 N;I!.~bler ~~ii'~:l 24.879 4,704 67,602 28,419 Csttle ................ Cnlves ................ 29.083 Hogs .................... 24.973 Sheep .................. 29,886 22.721 9.664 G G G 2.262 19,672 L G G 20,871 18,888 : I§ 4,102 10,463 ;; 1!l [?U .... II II .... II ...... " " " " " " " " " ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' .......... 11 It 1111 II .. ,,,, ............. UIlIU.UIl .. G' ........ II.I.III.I.,.I.III.I'.'.,.I ••••••••• , •• ,I •• '""""""""".1, •• 1"""1" 0·········..·······,··.. I Dec. m........ •• 11.1 ••• 1.1'1.1"'" •• I •••• I'.U[!) ~~::p Lambs "::::: :::'.: : : : : : : : : :'.:: : ::: :'.: : : : : : : :::: : : : 13.76 ~:~~ 8"............. ..................................................•............... Nov. Dec. 1927 $11.76 11.60 7.60 6.80 11.26 10.00 8.00 14.00 1926 $ 7.60 7.76 6.00 6.00 9.00 12.26 7.60 12.00 In C;::a:08~=...a.~~ ~.~.~.~.~~:::: : : : :: : : : : :::: : :::~:: : :::::::::: ... .1: : cotton (including linters) from all United States ports were 49.9 per cent less than in December last year and exports 8 .............................. '....... 8 ............ & :§:!• • • 1.738,196 1,806,769 672.466 1.399.436 1.028,806 Last Senson 2.498,947 1,914,819 729.064 1111111111111111111111111111 .... 11111111111111111111111111,."111111 .. 11111111111111111"""1111111111111111111111,,,,0 SPOT COmON PRICES ;; IK;""~ .";'~' ,;':' ' ' r;~ J'f;,~'.I: : : ~ ~:: 6~le~.;~·~::::::·.: :::::::::::·:.:::·::.:·.:·:::.:::·.:::::'.:::::::~~~:~~ Dnllns ....... . . ....................... - .... .. ..........19.06 Houston .............................................................. 19.85 Galveston ................... ......................................... 19.90 6111.1 ......... $1~:~~ $~~:~~ 17.66 18.40 18.40 18.00 18.80 18.85 11111111 .. " ........ 11111 ...... 11111111 .. 1111 ....... 1111111111111111 .. 1111 .. 111.,lllIlIllllIlIlIlIlIllIlIlrE! COTTON CONSUMED AND ON HAND I COTTON GROWING STATES AUlI'uet 1 to Dec. Cotton consumed._.....__. __ .......·... __ ·· __._._·_··_.. _.. __ · § Ootton on hand December 31 : § (a) In consuming cstnblishments._..... ___ . __....... ;; ~:\10 .::.::1 I!J 11111111 ... 11111 ............. 1111 .. 1111 ... 111111111111111111"11"'1111111111"110 01 ••••.•• 111 •••••• 111 ••••••••••• 11 •••• 1111.111111 ••••• 11111 •• , ••• 11 •• 111111111"' ••• '111 ••• 111111' ••••• '1 •• 11111.1."'lltl ••• lltI"II ••• IIIIIIIII'I.I"' •• II I IIII.11.11111 ••••• 111.111.11111 • • '1'111.,11111 ••• 111111 •••••• 111"'111,1111111,.111111.1111" E ID 11111111 ..... 1111111111111111.111 ..................... 111111 ........... 11111111111111 11111111111.11 .. 1111118 ~.:. . .~;;;;~=.~~=::··;~;;;;~~;·;;;. ;:~:.::~:::::~:. ·T. . !:.~ 587.968 580.826 1.061 .799 987.945 SEASON'S RECEIPTS. EXPORTS AND S'fOCKS AT ALL UNITED STATES PORTS August 1 to December 81 This Se880n Last Sellson Receipts ........................................................... 6,109.061 8.486.946 E xports: Great Britain .... ............................ 648.938 1.874.774 France ............................................ 637.708 610.767 Continent ....................•.. ..............2.094.120 2.580.897 Japan- Chinn .............................. 616,968 794.140 Mexico .......................................... 11.9.6 5.179 Total foreign ports ......................3.808,679 6.866.247 Stockl nt all U. S. ports Dec. 31 .............. 2,616.897 8.066.485 ;; Receipts .................. 800,649 llli<ports ..................860.816 Stocks, Dec. 81...... 310.467 (;] 1 •• 111'1.1.111111" 1111 .. 11111 '".1111 •• 111111111 ' ....... ,1111111 """,,,,1.11'"1111111111111.,11,,, 11.1111'11111.11 . Receipts and exports of cotton through the ports of Houston and Galveston duro ing December reflected a seasonal decline bl . h d .d as compare d to th e prevIOUS mont an were conS1 era y less than in the corresponding month of 1926. Exports of This Senson 8 R~~::N~:~=;~ TH~J~;:HET~:~~:\;, ~!.~~;l:. Exports .........•.......194.483 Stocks, Dec. 81........ (r"1I.UIlIlIlI •• IlItI.III1 .. UIl ........ IIIII .... II ••• U .. It ......... III1I1II1I1I1U .. II.111I11.1I1111 ... III1I1· .. • , • .... Cotton M()1)ements ~~2G i m UIlIlIU ...... UII ........... II .. II ................. I1 .......................... IIU ........ , .. 11.11 .......... .... 111 .. 11 .. 111111111111 .............................. . 11111111 .. 1111 .. 11111111111111111'11111111111111"1'0 ~:~7 ::::::: l!J 1........... IU ....... III1 .... II .. III ... II ....... II ................................ II ....... 11 ..... II ........... IIII ... COMPARATIVE TOP LIVESTOOK PRICES 1927 Beef steers ............ _.. _......................................... $13.50 Stocker .teers ...................................................... 11.26 Butcher cows ...................................................... 8.00 Stocker cows ....................................... ·................ 7.40 Calvcs .................................................................... 11.60 3 during the five months of the current season were 30.7 per cent less than during the previous season. The domestic consumption of cotton showed a further decline as com· pared to the previous month and for the first time in more than a year, the consumption for the current month fell below that for the corresponding month of the previous year. 1.................................... 1"""""" "'.1"""",,,,,,,,"'.1 ••••• 1••••••• '1"" '8 E GALVESTON STOCK STATEMEN'l.1 E §: Dec. 81, Dec. 81 ~ 1927 1926:: E For Grent Britain ........... _ ........................................ 13,200 38.000 § ;; For Frnnce .................................................................. 18.000 17.800 ;; ;; For other foreign ports ............................................ 67,400 84,000 § ;; For coastwise ports.................................................... 8,600 9.000 :: 2'::\~5~ 1,206.411 5,349,869 UNITED STATES AUl!'uet 1 to Dec. 31 2.::::: 1.226,121 6.261,791 1::!:598 1 r 81 6!!.~:6 8.:::'::~ 2':2e~~~ 1.707,826 1.783,789 (b) rn public stornge nnd compre8se8._..._.. _.... _ ..· 5.656.786 6,548.267 1••• 11111.111 •• ,••••••• 111 ••••• "1.1""""",.'.1",1 ••• 1,,,,11 ••••••••• 1•• ,,1.,.,1",1."1,1,1" "".,,.111 •••• ,1""""",.,.11111,.1' •• ,1.1 ••• ".1,11,.1 ................. 11 •••••• 1••••••••••••••• '111 •••• ,••• 1,,1 ••••• , •••• ,•• 0 8111 •.•.•. "•.•.•.•.•... [!JII' 11.11 .. II ..... II .... 11 ........ 1111 ......... 1111 .... 1111111 .................... 11 ............. II .. ' .... 11 .... 1111 .. 11 [!) : ;; •;; STATISTICS ON COTTONSEED AND COTTONSEED;; PRODUCTS :: 'l'exns United States Aug. 1 to Dec. 81 Aug. 1 to Dec. 81 This Season Last Scnson This Season Lnst Season Oottonseed received 4,696,812 nt mills (tons) ........ 1.3.8,982 1,488,485 8.912,295 Oottonseed crushed 3.413,054 (tons) ... _................. 1,087,534 1,054,402 3,007,030 Cottonseed on hnnd 1,808,681 992.049 438.090 846.879 (tona) ..................... . Crude oil produced (pounds) ................ 306,998,.72 294,988,000 986.866,184 1.017.816,168 Cake nnd meal pro1.528.270 (86.000 1.885.729 duced (tons) .......... 478,708 980,403 856,268 305,000 Hull. produced (ton.) 294.629 Lintera produced 545,145 557.687 171.000 191.841 (running bales) .... Stocks on hllnd December 81: Crude oil (pound.) .... 45.886,444 33,898.000 127,716.322 106.216,000 Onke nnd meal (tone) 8g,407 83.000 190.354 167.000 Hulls (tons) .................. 90,500 100,000 228,904 262,000 Linten (runnln. 67 •000 152,382 %20,000 g bal ... ) ........................ n,ll 9 8 .. 11 ......... 11 .... 11 •• , ••• ,11.1 ••• 1 ...... 11.11 ...... 1.1.1 ............... 1I11 ......... III1 .. III1I1I1I1 ••• III1I1 •• III1.1!J COTTONSEED PRODUCTS A further slight decline was noted in the average price paid for cottonseed during the past month by reporting cot· tonseed oil mills. The price averaged $42.16 during the week ending January 141 as against $43.12 during the week ending December 10. The average price received for cotton· seed products sold dUlling the month showed a mixed trend. Cottonseed oil brought $.0843 per pound during the week ending January 141, as compared to $.0873 per pound during the week ending December 10. During the period, cake and meal advanced from $39.27 per ton to $4.2.22 per ton, hulls rose from $6.81 per ton to $8.71 per ton, and linters from $.0384 per pound to $.0410. TEXTILE MILLING Operations of Textile mills in the Eleventh District con. tinued in December at near the same rate as during the pre· 4 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW ceding month. There were 3,019 bales of raw cotton con· sumed as compared to 3,116 bales in November and 3,265 bales in the same month of last year. Production of cloth was only 1.2 per cent below that in the previous month and less than one per cent below the output in December, 1926. As compared to a month earlier, orders on hand on December 31, declined and were slightly less than a year ago. Stocks continued to increase and were larger at the close of December than on November 30, and December 31, 1926. fi]111111.11111.,IIIIIIIII.' •• III.I.III ••••• lllllllltllll.11111111.1111111111' •• 1111,.,11",.11.1.1,,1111111111111111111 • . E TEXTILE MILLING STATISTICS l!] § IS::E; r~::l:difo::~~;t;;~]fii :.~~~l! ~:~!~~ I [!J"I.I.I •• III •••••• ' •••• II ••••••••••••• I ••• IIIII ••••••• 11111"""'.111 •••••• ,1 •• 1.1111111111111,1""'1",.,"""""'0 WHOLESALE TRADE Midsellson quietude prevailed in most lines of wholesale trade during the month of December. While in most lines sales reflected a substantial seasonal decline as compared to the previous month they were noticeably larger than a year ago in three reporting lines and the decline in the other line was small. While sales in all reporting lines during 1927 fell below those of the previous year, it should be noted that business generally is now in a much stronger position than it was a year ago. The demand for merchandise during the first eight months of the year was slow in all lines of trade but as soon as the farmers were able to definitely gauge the outcome of 1927 crops business began to improve. While buying was not as heavy during the fall as merchants generally anticipated, there was a heavy liquidation of indebtedness at both retail and wholesale establishments. Throughout the year merchants operated on a conservative basis and in most instances limited buying largely to actual needs. Thus, with stocks in only moderate amounts and with a substantial portion of the carryover indebtedness liquidated, the merchants are entering the new year in a considerabl y stronger financial position. With a large proportion of the indebtedness liquidated and with bank deposits at the highest point on record, and with sufficient feed in the hands of the farmers for use in connection with the making of 1928 crops, it will be seen that the population of this district has a large purchasing power and the potential demand is sufficiently large to warrant optimism during the year 1928. Sales of reporting wholesale grocery firms reflected a further decline of 6.6 per cent as compared to the previous month and were 1.5 per cent less than in December, 1926. The demand appeared to be somewhat spotted as business in some sections was active and slow in others. Collections were slightly smaller than in the previous month. Prices remained generally steady. Dealers report that the outlook for the future is fair to good. . The demand for drugs at wholesale during December reflected a seasonal decline of 5.7 per cent as compared to November but was 7.4 per cent larger than in the corresponding month a year ago. Sales during the last half of 1927 were practically the same as those during the same period of 1926. For the last three months of the year business has shown a gradually increasing margin over the previous year and dealers state that the outlook for the new year is much more favorable than it was at the beginning of 1927. While collections were less than in the previoull JXlQnth, they were substantially greater than in the corresponQn~ month last year. Prices were reported as gener- ally steady. The past month witnessed a further increase in the de· mand for farm implements. Sales were not only 24.5 per cent greater than in the previous month but were 156.0 per cent larger than in December, 1926. Although buying during the first eight months of the year fell considerably under that for the corresponding months of the previous year, it has shown a remarkable improvement since the beginning of September, at which time the farmers were able to gauge fairly accurately the outcome of the 1927 crops. Sales during the last half of the year averaged 36.4 per cent greater than in the last half of 1926. The outlook for the future is considerably improved. Prices were reported 8S generally firm. The eales of reporting dry goods firms reflected 11 further seasonal decline of 39.9 per cent as compared to the previous month but showed a gain of 13.4 per cent as compared to the corresponding month last year. Although De· cember is usually a quiet month in the wholesale dry goods trade, the cold weather prevailing during December stimulated the demand for merchandise at retail with the result that wholesalers received a large volume of 'fill-in' orders. Reports indicate that there has been an increased volume of buying during the first half of January and dealers state that the outlook for the new year is favorable. Sales of reporting hardware firms showed a slight .decline as compared to both the previous month and the corresponding month a year ago. The demand, however, appeared to be somewhat spotted as sales in certain districts reflected a gain while those in other districts reflected a decline. The cold weather in December stimulated the demand for seasonal goods. Collections showed an improvement over those of the previous month. ~"'''II''''''''''II''''III'''''''''''''''''"tll ... tI''III''''IIIIII'''''''It'"I''I'''1I1 .............. tI ........... ~ 0 .. Net Sales Net Sales Dec. 1927 July 1 to date compared with compared with Dec. Nov. . ame period 1926 1927 las t year Groceries ..............1.5 - 6.6 - 8.6 Dry Good• ........ .. + 18.4 - 39.9 +12.4 Farm Implements+156.0 + 24 .5 +86.4 Hardware _ ..... _..2.1 - 4.0 -18.2 Drugs _.... _._....... + 7.4 - 5.7 .8 Stocks Dec. 1927 compared with Dec. Nov. 1926 1927 + 7.6 - 10.9 + 8.2 - G.8 -14.0 + 1.5 - 3.0 + 1.1 - 6.a - 4.6 1111 ......................... 11 .. " ...... 1111 ...... 11111 ..... 1111.11"' ... 11111111 .... 1111.111 ..... 111 ....... ~ 11.11·',8 RETAIL TRADE The heavy consumer demand for merchandise, stimulated by the cold weather and Christmas shopping, was the outstanding feature of the retail trade situation. Sales of department stores located in larger cities reflected a gain of 55.9 per cent over those of a month earlier and were 5.6 per cent larger than in the closing month of 1926. The gain over a year ago is more significant when it is recalled that buying in December last year was very active. Since midsummer the decline of the current month as compared to the corresponding month of the previous year gradually diminished and sales in November were only slightly less than in the previous year. The sales for the full year 1927 averaged only 1.0 per cent less than in 1926. Since the first of the year, department stores have been featuring "clearance sales" to reduce the stocks of winter merchandise in preparation for the receipt of spring goods. Stocks at the end of the year were 24.2 per cent less than at the close of November and 5.8 per cent less than a year MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW ago. The ratio of sales to average stocks during 1927 was Collections reflected a slight decline during the past 300.5 per cent as compared to 285.0 per cent in 1926, indio month. The ratio of December collections to accounts reo cating that the dep artment stores obtained a more rapid ceivable was 37.0 per cent as compared to 39.0 per cent in turnover of stocks during the past year. November and 39.4 per cent in December last year. 0 1111 .............. 1111 ................................................... 1111111111111111 .. 1111111 .. 1t.tI .. III .... IIII.IIIII .. ~.IIIII.II .... I ......... I .... I " " .. IIIIIII .. IIIIII .. IIIII .. 1I1 11111111111111111111111 .. 111 ....... 111111111111 .. 111111.11119 I:l~Jg:i.t~:E:~~~;.::~7.::~::;:E:;~i~;;;=;; ;:~~= i:f.f 1~r rf:i s.~t:;r 1:'! f~:i ;~:!. :: BUSINESS OF DEPARTMENT STORE S December, 1927, compa r ed with December, 1926 ---_______ ________ December, 1927, compar ed with November, 1927 ..________________._ ___ J a nuary 1s t to date as compar ed with sam e period las t year ___________ Stocks: December, 1927, compared with December, 1926 _____________.______ December, 1927, compar ed with November, 1927..____ __ __ ___________ P ercentage of sale. to a ver age stocks in : December, 1926 ________.____.________________________________________----- -----------. December, 1927 _______________ ___________ _____ __________ _ : Percen togeryof1 sales to a ver age J a nua to December 31,stocks: 1926_. ____ ._. ___ ._____. ___.___________ ____ __.. January 1 to December 81, 1927... _._.. _... _ _......_........__.. __. ______.___ .. Ratio of outstanding orders to IlIBt year 's pur chases ........... __.......................... Ratio of December collections to accounts r eceiva ble a nd outstanding December I, 1927._. ____• ._ . _... _.... _ ...... _.... _ .... _...._.. __ ....-.. .- .- -..- + 7.2 + 35.4 4_9 - + ;: 11.4 + 64 .8 + 7_6 + 10_6 + 56.6 - 14_ 1 + 8.2 + 52_5 + 1.0 + 9.5 + 61.8 2.0 - 4.0 32.1 + .2 - 23.4 - - 40.1 48.3 46.8 47.9 60.1 52.7 40.2 45.7 40.9 44 .8 42.7 46.3 274.1 287.1 6.4 268.1 286.8 2.6 828.6 84 8.8 6.1 80ll.9 306.8 8.3 276.5 298.7 6.4 286.0 300.5 5.0 33. 0 87.5 89.7 44.0 39.7 87.0 8.6 21.1 18.4 24 _9 + 9.0 + 46.4 8.6 .5 21.2 - 6.8 24.2 8 ................... ,...... 11 ..................... 111 •••• 1........................... 1••• 111.11 ••• 11111 •••••••••••• 11 ••••• '•••••••••••• • •• 111 ••• 1••••••• , ••••••• , •••• , .......... 1•••••• 1..... 1••••• 11 ............ 1•••••• 1.... 11 ••••••• 11 ••••• 1••• 1,"""'0 FINANCIAL The volume of public spending in December, as measured close of the month amounted to $8,292,930 as compared to by charges to depositors' accounts at banks located in sixteen $7,755,284 a month earlier and $5,763,025 on December 31, principal cities in the Eleventh District, showed substantial 1926. Acceptances executed against import and export increases over both the previous month and the same month transactions declined from $1,687,855 on November 30 to last year. Debits to accounts at banks in these cities amount- $1,395,927 on December 31, whereas, those based on the ed to $892,013,000 representing an increase of 8.3 per cent domestic shipment and storage of goods rose from $6,067,over November and 6.3 per cent over those in December, 429 on the former date to $6,897,003 on the latter date. 1926, Condition of As is usual at this season of the year, ~.II DEBITS ..~olliNDivi:·DUA·L.. ACC·oUNTS...... u .. " .. I!] Member Ban:ks commercial loans of member banks in :: (In 'l'housands of Dollars) in Selected selected cities showed a further decline §: Dec. Dec. I nc. or Nov. I nc. or Cities during December. These loans, which 1927 1926 Dec. 1927 Dec. : Abilene ...................... $ 18,130 $ 14,198 - 7.5 '12,781 + 2.7 amounted to $246,247,000 on January : Austin ........................ 28,432 22,554 + 8.9 20,372 +16.0 4th were $6,153,000 less than a month earlier but were : Beaumont ...,.............. 25,179 25,053 +.5 21,684 + 16.4 : Corsica n.. .................. 8,086 9,244 - 12.5 6.124 +82.0 $7,301,000 greater than on January 5, 1927. Loans on : Dallas ........................ 269,485 23 5,902 +14 .2 258,992 + 4.1 , , f d I" d ' N mb : EI PIIBO ...................... 36,672 35,048 + 4.6 35,098 + 4.6 corporate secuntles a ter ec lDmg urmg ove er rose : Fort Worth ................ 120,008 98,696 +21.6 106,374 +12.8 $1,766,000 during December and were $12,562,000 greater :: Ga lveston .................. 47,187 59,149 - 20.2 53,920 - 12.5 : H ous ton _..... _.... _....... 217,802 208,687 + 4.2 188,817 +18. 2 than a year ago. Investments in United States securities .......... IIIII ........ ·III .... 1111 _i~:- i::~{~~~~~: : : : : : : ~~:m . .~~':~~'± ~~:~~~ t2~:~:~~ :1~ f:~8;048~7~5:~ ±lH ~04'm ~:c~n .:: ::: :::: : : : : ~~:m l~:~g~ +~t~ .±s~:~ _ Shreveport ................ Texarkana ................ , Wichita Falls ............ 28,056 § Total 11th Dis trict ..$892,018 : "Not included in total. -+15.4 17.5 , 34,520 $838,813 -18.7 + 6.3 23,454 25.965 $823,691 + 8.1 + 8.3 : : _~: : I!J'..... II ........... II II II II II 1",,"11....1111"""" II III II""""""'"'''' 11 ...1.. III ................... 11· ...... 0 Acceptance Market After declining in November the volume of acceptances executed by accepting banks in the Eleventh District and out· standing at the close of the month increased in December reaching the highest point in several years on December 31. The volume of acceptances executed and outstanding at the ~:o~h~r ~t~~~e:n~hb::d~ d~cf!:;IS~~~,;ohd.le ~no~:rioe:~: . an d mvestments 0 f these bank s stood at $435,566,000 on January 4th, which reflects a decline of $2,401,000 as com. pared to November 30, 1927, but a gain of $49,317,000 as d compare to a year ago. While the net demand deposits of these banks showed a slight decline of $590,000 during December, time deposits rose $1,152,000. As compared to a year ago, demand deposits increased $33,675,000 and time deposits showed a gain of $13,113,000, Their bills payable and rediscounts with the Federal Reserve Bank amounted to $3,350,000 on January 4.th as compared to $5,877,000 on November 30, 1927, and $3,952,000 on January 5, 1927. fr:'1 ••••• I ••• II.IIIIII.I.I.I.UI.I.I.I •••• I ••••••• III ••••••• 1••••••••••••• ' ••••• 1 ••••• • •••• 1••• 1••• 1••• 1 •• 1, 1,.,1111 1.1 • • • ,1.11111 • • •••••••••••••••••••••••••• 1••• , ••• 1 ................. 1 ••••••••••••••• 1 ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 11111'11 1 I!) :: CONDITION STATISTICS OF MEMBER BANKS IN SELEC'I1ED CITIES :: 1:-.: . ~ ~. ~~ng~~e~!ri~i!.or:~~ed~.~~~~:: : : =::;: .: :~: : : ~: :=:: : : : : ::=~:: : : =: : :=: : : =: :~:::: : :=: =: :~: : : : : J;n8~201",g:~ ~6",l~:~;6~: NO;'36~:~7~,~6~:~ 0~ 07~g 8: All other stocks, bonds and securItIes ow!led.:•...............................• ...•.•... _ ....... .............. 4. LoaTls secured by U . S. Government obhgatlons .......•...................................-; ....... -.._•........ 6. Loans secured by stocks and bonds other tha n U. S. Government obllgations ........ _... ... 6. All other loans .. _..........··,·································.................... - ..............•......-.-.-............................. 7. Net dema nd deposits ............• ....•........•············_·······..... - .............• -..- ........ -.............................. § ~: ~::rv:e!~~tsF·.;d~~~i···R;~~~~··ii~;:;k::::::::::::::::::::::::=:::::::::::::::::=:::::::~~::=:::::::~::::=::::::::::::::: E 10. Bills payable and rediscounts with Federal Reserve Bank_..._...•........_...... _................... : 11. Ra tio of loans· to net demand deposits ........ _ ...........................................- ..•...•.-....- --... .Loans include only items 4 and 6. E GJ,.. u II u .................................................It ......... " " II .. ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '.. 11.~ .............. III .. I1 ....... II .. IIIIIII .. Savings SavingsEldeposhitsD~f ?1 rehP.orthmg banks Deposits in the event Istnct w lC operate a savings department amounted to $131,156,713 on December 31, representing an increase of 1.6 per cent over those on Nove:nber 30, and 11.6 per cent over ~ 84,708,000 246,247,000 805,028,000 82,987,000 252,400,000 305,618,000 8,860,000 82% 6,877,000 88 % li:::~::ggg l~::::~:ggg Jan., 62~28': ~::8:4:~gO4g0 ~6 ~ .---- :i.; 72,141,000 288,946,000 .: 271,853 ,000 19~:m:ggg § I1 ...... IIII ....... II.II.IIII .... IIII ... I1 .. 11IIIIU ....... UU .................. III .... u 8,952,000 § 89 % : ~ ................. G) December 31, 1926. There were 273,110 accounts carried h ks at 84 of t ese ban at the close of the month as compared to 272,663 on November 30, and 253,234 on the correspond. ing date a year ago. MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 6 m,llt.,II.,IIII • ••• 'II " ••••••••••• ' ••• II ••••• •• ••••• 1111"'11111111111,"'1""',11 1,.1""'.,"'11111.,11"" " '1111111"'11" 11 '1111""1"'111111111111111111111111' 11.,11111111111111111111,.,.", 11 11 11111"'1.111 •• ,111.1. 11 111111111 1 111",11111111 _ December 31, 1927 Number of Number of Amount of Reporting Savings Savings Banks Depositors Deposito Beaumont ................................... Dallas . •....___ ............... _........ EI Paso ..................................... Fort Worth ....... ........................ Galveston .................................. . Houston ............... _................... . San Antonio ............................. Shreveport .............................. . Wa.o ........................................... Wichita Falls ................... _....... All others ................................... § 4* 6 S 8 8 12· 6* •• 3 2 .5" 6.865 62.688 14,948 20.860 13.615 64.678 28.629 28.809 7,706 4.186 41.037 $ December 31. 1926 Number of Amount of Savings Savings Depo8i~rs Deposits 2.498.765 21.694.830 5.731.068 7.166.668 9.765.294 80.169,489 14.681.833 11.161.598 4.684.518 1.928.624 21.985.031 6.226 .8.440 14.969 19.418 18.117 67.146 18.898 28.401 7.398 6.324 88.912 $ Inc. or Dec. + 2.822.537 18.082.256 6.784.678 6.609.250 8.344.721 27.180.016 12.874.667 11.714.062 8.976.119 2.610.109 19.168.570 7.6 + 19.4 .9 +27.7 +16.9 + 11.2 + 12.9 - 4.7 +16.6 -28.2 +14.7 November 80. 1927 Number of Amount of Savings SnvinlPl Depositors Depos its 6.277 $ 2.495.150 52.560 21 .688.486 ~5.07 2 6.435.280 21.019 7.086.646 18,482 9.489.604 64.828 29.877.859 28. 718 14.010.705 28.911 11.213.086 7.648 4.829.216 4.285 2.084.685 40.478 21.625,330 Inc. or Dec. + .1 + .1 + 5.4 + 1.1 + 8.8 + 1.0 + 8.7 - .5 + 7.1 - 6.2 + 2.1 TotaL ................................... 91 278 .110 $181.156.713 253.284 $117 .610 ,765 + 11.6 272.663 $129.029.897 + 1.6 .Only 8 bank. in Beaumont. 11 banks in Homton. 6 banks in San Antonio. 8 bank. in' Shreveport a nd 42 bank. in "All Others" r.ported the number of aavinlrB depositor •. Gl "....... I!) '"111 ........... 11 .... 1111 ......... 11 ........... 1111111 .... 1111 .... ,11111 ... 11IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII I IIIIIIIIIIIII ,IIIII.IIIII I IIII.'''UIIIIII.IIIIII111'111111 11 111111111 .. '".11'1111 11. 11.,11'"""11111111,.11 • • 11.1111111111111 It II I .... m I!] 0.1111111 ... ,111111111111111111111.11111111 ....... 111111111111 .. 11111111111111111 ..... ""1.111111 ....... 11 .. 11111111 ••• , ... ,111 11 •••• 111111111111111 , 1,1,1 , ." , .1I111I1I1I ....... I . I III .. I.II ••• ,IIIIIIIIItIlIl ... U ••• ,I I III ••• ,IIIIIIU ..... .......... 11 1 D,,: b s Rate chargea customers on prime commercial paper such as is now eligible for rediscount under the Federal Reserve Act . . ......... _.......................................................... Rate charged on loans tel other banks. secured by bills receivable ....................... _............................................................ . Rate on loans secured by prime stock exchange or other current collateral (not including loans placed in other markets t hro ugh correspondent banks) : (a) demand ........................................................ _.................. .. (b) time ........ _.......... _ ... _...... _.............. ~ ...................... _..... Rate cJn commodity paper scoured by warehouse receipts. EI P nso etc. .. .............. _........ - ................. _ ................................................- Ho ,, ~t" n San Antonio I Waco 8 6-7 6-6 6 5-6 5 5-6 61J., 5-7 6-7 6-8 6-8 5-7 6-7 6-6 6-6 6-8 6·8 6-7 6-7 6-6 6 7-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 5-7 7-8 6-8 4-8 u-8 8 4-6 § Rate on catUe loans ......._....... _........ _...... _ ............ __............ _.. F ort Worth 51J.,-7 ro loans was due almost entirely to the liquidation of indebtedness of reserve city banks and at the close of the month total borrowings were almost equally divided between the two classes of banks. With the opening of the new year, however, loans again turned upward amounting to $3,914,875 on January 14, as compared to $5,623,593 on the corresponding date a year ago. Due to the reduction of loans to member banks total bills held declined from $25,] 98,170.80 on November 30, to $23,688,566.91 on December 31, distributed as follows: (.11 ........... 11 ....... 111111 ••• 1111 •• 11 ....... 11 ............. II 1111.11 ... 11.1111 11 11 •• 11,,11, •• 11111 11111111111111 It "1",1 IUII.IIII II ".111 . 1111 1111 11111111 II ......................... 11111111 .. 111111 . .... 11 ........ 1111 • • 1111 .... 1111. 11.11.11, '1 ,,11 . Deposits of Total deposits of member banks located Member Banks in the Eleventh Federal Reserve District increased further during the four-week period ending December 7th and were considerably greater than a year ago. Amounting to $915,317,000 on December 7th, total deposits of these banks reflected an increase of $8,174.,000 over those on November 9th and $121,423,000 over December 29, 1926. As compared to a month earlier, net demand deposits increased $7,485,000 and time deposits rose $689,000. While banks located in cities of less than ] 5,000 population reported an increase in deposits the rna)' or portion of the increase in both demand and time deposits occurred at banks in cities of over 15,000 population. A""'"11,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,.11. "" II II II ....... " " " " " " " " " ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' II 1I1I .. 1I ........ I •• fll •• I [!) Total pemand ec. 29. 1926 ....... _....... 26. 1927................ eb. 28. 1927................ F M arch 28. 1927............ A pril 27. 1927 ............. M ay 25. 1927.........._. J une 22, 1927.............. J uly 27. 1927 ... _ ........ A ug . 24, 1927................ S ept. 28. 1927.............. oct. 26. 1927 ................ N ov. 9. 1927................ D ec. 7. 1927 .................. ~an. • Banks in cities Banks in cities Total with a popula- with a populatlon of less tion of over Time than 15.000 16.000 Demand Time i>emand Time --682.891 161.608 688.208 660.879 646.449 682.818 618.186 606.696 608.812 611.818 667.854 698.989 721.728 729.218 166.919 176.608 176.180 176.886 178.896 180.546 178.868 182.798 188.181 185.866 186.416 186.10' 281.721 282.876 290.886 278.998 272.254 266.858 268.818 261.809 266.790 808.977 822.579 888,679 88'.427 r--- 41.290 48.791 44.869 46.021 46.624 47.618 48.119 47.666 48.848 49.028 49.887 48.482 '8.691 860.670 360.888 360.494 866.461 860.564 847.278 342.888 841.508 846.028 868.877 876.860 888.149 894 .786 120.218 128.128 181.684 180.109 129.212 181.277 182.426 130.702 184.460 184.1()8 185.479 136.988 • _ 187473 EI, ••• ,., •. "................................................................... ,••••.•••...••••••••.•••••.•..•••...•.•. m Operation.s of the Federal Reserve Bank After showing considerable fluctuation during the first three weeks of December, loans to member banks during the remainder of the month reflected a downward trend in accordance with the usual year-end tendency and on December 31, member bank borrowings had declined to the lowest level reached since the pre-war period. Borrow· ings of these banks amounted to only $877,792 on December 31, as compared to $6,783,963 on November 30, and $4.,772,409 on December 31, 1926. Although a further reduction occurred in loans to country banks the decline in total Member banks eollateral notes aecured by United State. Government obligations ...................................................................... $ 609.600.00 Rediseount. and all other loans to member banks........................ 268.2 92.88 Open market purchases (Banker.' A.ceptnnc(8) ......._................... 22.810.77 4.58 Total bill. held ................................................................................$28.688.666.91 A further decline was shown in the net circulation of Federal reserve notes during the month. On December 31, Federal reserve notes in actual circulation amounted to $47,4,72,380 as against $48,770,660 on November 30, and $4,8,803,275 on the corresponding date a year ago. Reserve deposits of member banks increased further, the daily average amounting to $69,020,390 in December representing an increase of $1,351,969 over November and $8,244,032 over the daily average in December, 1926. FAILURES The closing month of the year witnessed a further upward trend in the business mortality rate of the Eleventh Federal Reserve District, yet it was considerably below that for the corresponding month of 1926. There were 96 failures during the month with total liabilities of $1,010,587 as com· pared to 68 ·insolvencies in November with indebtedness of $818,200 and 114 defaulting firms in December, 1926, which owed $1,815,000. There were 822 failures during the year of 1927 with an indebtedness of $14,,855,399 as compared to 884 defaults in 1926 with liabilities aggregating 812,113,434.. Following the decline in the price of cotton in the fall of 1926, both the number of failures and the amount of indebtedness increased rapidly and continued heavy during the first six months of 1927. Since that time, however, failures have been on a more moderate scale. MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW PETROLEUM Despite the unfavorable weather conditions prevailing during the latter part of the month, activities in the oil industry in December in the Eleventh District showed an increase ow'· those in the previous month and total production of crude oil was considerably higher. There were 21,84,6,100 barrels of crude oil produced in December as compared to 20,209,350 barrels in November, representing an increase of 1,636,750 barrels in total production and 31,068 barrels in the daily average output. Although the number of producers was only slightly greater than in November initial production was more than doubled. Of 553 completions, 268 were producers of oil and 62 were gas wells as against 476 completions in November of which 236 were oil producers and 4,3 were gas wells. On the other hand, initial production rose from 171,575 barrels in the previous month to 382,4<78 barrels in December. The daily average output of crude oil in Texas increased 33,292 barrels, total production amounting to 20,382,950 barrels in December as against 18,726,700 barrels in the previous month. Field activities in Central-West Texas increased, and the completion of large producers in Howard, Winkler, Crane, and Pecos counties boosted the total yield of that area to a new high level~ A further model" 7 ate gain was reflected in the output of the Gulf Coast fields. Stocks of crude petroleum in the Panhandle area at the close of the month showed the effects of further withdrawals and decreased production. A further decline was shown in the output of oil in the North Louisiana district. Production of crude oil in the Eleventh District in 1927 reached the record total of 246,44,0,665 barrels, as compared to 184,861,563 barrels in 1926 and 171,544,884 barrels in 1925. In only two months did the monthly output fall below the twenty-million barrel level, a record unsur· passed in previous years. However, weakened market conditions followed as a result of the heavy monthly yields and widespread efforts to curtail production, particularly in North Texas, were begun in the early fall. As a result field activities declined in most areas of the district, how· ever, this effect was offset by the steadily rising production and the large potential supply of oil in Central-West Texas. Due in part to the adverse market, completions during the year declined and amounted to 7,263 of which 4,,106 were producers of oil, as compared to 9,4.66 completions in 1926 of which 5,957 were oil producers. Despite this decline, however, initial production for 1927 exceeded that of the preceding year by 122,580 barrels emphasizing the greater initial flow of new wells. 0.111111111111111 .. 11 .. 111111111111 .. 111111111 .. 1111 .. 111 ........ 1111 .. 11111 ....... 111 ................. I ........ I1II1II"'IIIIIUIlIl ........ IIIIIIII .... "" .. IIIIII .......... 1I1I1I11I1I .... IIIII .... IIII .... IIII ......... lIlIllIn ...... III ...... III ... :: OIL PRODUCTION N,,'" Tau ... _.... _.____ ,.:::~:-b~:::.~;, ,::::::·";l~f~:.;:; D~. "'''~.::.'' :~."' A'~.,,, 1_-----:; : § ~ '9 :: 1,_---:: Central-West Texas .... _... _ .............................._ ... _ East-Central Texas._ _.............. _................. _...._..._. Texas COastal........................................................... Southwest Texas ................_...................................... 9.925.450 840.750 8.885.700 775.850 820.176 27.122 128.782 25.027 8.174.600 848.350 3.674.100 778.600 272.486 28.278 122.470 25.958 Inc. Dec. Inc. Dec. 1.750.850 7.600 161.600 2.750 Inc. Dec. Inc. Dec. 47.690 1.156 1.262 926 Total. Texas ........................ _............_... _........ _ North Louislana .......... _...... _.............................. _...... 20.882.950 1.463.150 657.515 47.198 18.726.700 1.482.650 624228 49;422 Inc. Dec. 1656250 • 10;500 Ine 38.292 2.224 :: l". . . . ,~~::. ~,i,:~:~: :.: : : :.: : : .: : : :.: : : :.::::~:::::::::: = § De~. ~~:~:,~:~~,~..,....,..'~~~.,~~~........... ~~:~,~,~:~~,~, ......... ,::~.,:,:~ ..... ~:~:,......,.. ,~:~~,~:,:~~...... ,~:~:...............~,~:~~,~,l at the close of December were 14j per cent below normal as ........... t:;;J ...... II .. IIIIII ...... UU .. IIIIIIIII ... III1U .... UII ... III.III1I1I1I1I1I1 .. 1I1I11I1I1I1I1I1I1111111111111111111111111 ~ § § g - ~ CompleFieldtiona North Texas .................... 150 ECenttraTI-Weat Texas .... 2~g I~ ~~~~w;fldc~~:a..:::::::::::::::::: T~~ns <fo:~i ~~ .. :::::::::::: 88 :: g g DECEMBER DRILLING RESULTS Producers 66 147 8~ 2 Gaa Wells G FallInitial ures Production E 78 11.827: 6~ 844,794 ~ ~~ i~ : 84 Total Texas ............... _.. .496 North Louisiana ............ 57 2~~ ~g 2~~ Dec. Totals. District...... 553 Nov. Totals. District...... 476 268 286 62 48 228 197 '24:2~~ ~ _ 8 I i zae _:; !8tm -__ ~_ E_- 882.478 171.575:: "" 11111111111111111111111111111111111111 ... 1111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111.1I .... U ....... IIIII .... IIIIII.l!.J ,.,.11.11 ... 11 ........ 11.11 .... ,1111111111111111111111111111111,111111111,11111111,.11111111111111111111.11,1111.11.,11.118 ~: : CRUDE OIL PRlCES L:oI J~~2iO, compared to 8 per cent a month earlier. Unfilled orders for lumber on the books of 4,3 mills amounted to 33,455,072 feet as against 43,825,056 feet recorded at 4,9 mills on N b 30 fii]1?~::.~III~~IIII tl!l J~~$·1/.7410· ... : ... I .. IIII .. IIII.II.IIII1I1I1 .. III1 ... II .... , .. III ........ 11 .UIlIIlIlIIl ..... UU .......... ~ i DECEMBER PINE MILL STATISTICS Number of r eporting mlll . ... _................................. 48 g~~~et~~~ ...::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::':::::::::::: jl.·i~i·.·m ~E: U niilled order •• Dcc"mber 81 ................................ 88.455.072 .................................................... 98.505.087 ece; er 81.. ................. .... _......................... 282.988.465 orma .toc S ............................ .............................. .. 269.470.717 Shipments below nOl'mal pl·oduction ............... ~ .... 28.406,076 ActUal production below normal 23 769 207 Order s below normal production:::::::::::::::::::.:::::::: 25:826;492 Stock. below normal.. ....................... _....................... 36.491.252 ~orial Erodu~ion N oc ,s'l feet feet feet feet fcet-2So/'c feet-26 Of feet-28% feet--14% E::::_' _: ~: § 5 mlllll'(IL~;;:b'~~lls~~~il~~lil~~'I'c~;I~ii~ld··b~··~h~··s~~~h~;~··lpi~~··A~;~~i'~ti~~)'I··,IID Texas Coastal Grade .. A ...............................;.;................ $l ,20 _ § NOl.tr5~m:r.C~~a~b~~~)~.. ~~.~.. ~.~~.~~.. ~~~~~.~~........ 1.60 %.'10 Prices for January 10. 1927. not nvailable on a comparable basis. 81 .. ,..... 11111 ... 111 .... 1111111111 .... 1111 .. 11 •• 1111 .... 11,111,111 .... 111111 .. 11111111 .......... IIIIIIIIIIII ........... § :: £!) (Oil Stntistics Compiled by "The Oil WeeklY." Hou.ton. Texas) LUMBER Production, shipments, and new orders for lu~ber at pine mills in the Eleventh District, in accordance WIth the usual year-end tendency, reflected a considerable decline in De· cember as compared to the preceding month. Shipme~ts ~f lumber declined from 87 per cent of normal p~oduchon In November to 75 per cent in December; productIOn from 81 per cent of normal to 75 per cent; and new orders .received which amounted to 72 per cent of normal productIon were ten points less than in the previous month. Stocks on hand BUILDING The valuation of permits issued at principal cities in the Eleventh District which amounted to $8,668,751 in December reflected an increase of 10.5 per cent over the previous month and were 11.6 per cent greater than in December, 1926. There were 1,898 permits granted during the month as compared to 2,553 in November and 2,064 issued in the Bame month last year. . During the first seven months of 1927 the valuation of permits issued each month fell below that of the corresponding month of the previous year and at the close of July the total volume for 1927 had declined to 23.7 per cent below that for the same period of 1926. Since July, however, an increase was shown each month over the same month of last MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 8 year, with the exception of October, but the margin of in· crease was insufficient to offset the heavy declines in the earlier months and at the close of December the total valua· tion for 1927 was 14.2 per cent less than in 1926. There were 30,835 permits issued with a valuation of $103,225,320 as against 32,605 in the previous year having a valuation of 8120,313,989. Seven cities showed increases over 1926 and seven reported declines. 0111111111111" ......... IIII ........ III .. IIIII.IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ....... "UIlIlI ........ 1I1I ... II ... IIIIIIIIIII" .. ,. .... III .. IIIU ...... I .... IIIIII ........... ' ..... III ........... 111 ..................... 111111111 ..... 1111111111111 .... 11111111111111111 13 BUILDING PERMITS December. 1927 No. Amarillo .... - ....•.....Austin ._.............. ~:;:0'C\,;i~ii:::::~ ~il~aa~.··:::::::::::::::: Fort Worth ........• Galveston ............ _ Houston Port Arthur........... San Antonio ........ Shreveport .__ ...... ' Waco ................... _ Wichita Falla ....... 'lbtal ................ 8 Valu.... tlon 46 84 $ 148,268 38,271 1:~ m:m l:i l~~:~:g December, 1926 No. 228 13 Valu.... tlon 2~: November, 1927 Dee, $ 771,826 10,240 12r 285 8,891,744 239 1S8 172,485 173 804 l,92a,316 880 75 44,085 67 300 740,970 220 164 214,404 182 28 48,300 14 128 705,805 148 1,898 $8,668,751 2,064 Inc. or - 80.8 +278.7 = rit:~~g :i:~ 8it:r:~"+ 6t~ 977,468 +298.1 69,841 +H7.0 2,467,118 - 22.1 82,423 - 46.6 1,159,890 - 86.1 149,848 + 48.6 23,135 + 87.2 890,730 - 20.8 $7,765,748 + 11.6 No. Valu.... tlon 88 81 $ 680,068 264,076 m:m 2:: m:m 1:~ 278 208 488 100 411 209 27 71 2,553 Inc. or 1927 Dec. - 78.2 84.9 No. 1,720 690 = :::~ 2'm =~~:~ 8,~:~ Twelve Months 1926 Valuation $ 10,472,729 1,872,666 Inc. or Dec. No. Valuation 2,944 476 $ 16,476,129 - ~6.' § 1,124,158 + 22.1 : ~:~~~:m 1,~~~ ~:m:m 4,~~~ ~:m:m +1~~:~ § 19~~:m"+ ~::g § 1,661,886 +184.2 8,758 17,112,090 8,858 17,022,466 + 248,689 - 29.2 2,606 2,977,788 8,005 8,218,041 2,226,863 - 13.6 5,870 27,826,475 5,637 28,511,810 79,912 - 44.9 1,408 1,789,056 1,896 l,326,5a5 + 987,486 - 21.0 8,901 18,902,961 8,830 14,468,527 216,628 .6 2,475 4,032,856 1,969 5,856,803 66,176 - 21.5 863 1,573,641 420 1,094,675 + 848,454 +102.6 961 4,056,858 1.906 10,008,923 $7,848,869 10.5 80,885 $108,225,320 32,605 $120,313,989 - + .5 § 7.S: '.2 E 31.1 § S.9: 24.7 § 43.8 E 69.5 E 14.2 ~ 11111111.,11111'"11111111111111111111111111111 ...... 1111111111.11 .... "".1111111."" .... 1111 ....... 111111111" ....... 11/ ..................... 1111' .. 1111111111111111111111 .. "11 .... IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII.IIIIIIIIIIIIIII ............ UI.UIIU .... II .. m CEMENT Although the activities of Portland cement mills in Texas of 13.3 per cent over shipments in December, 1926. Stocks were on a smaller scale than in the preceding month, they on hand at the close of the month increased as a result of were substantially greater than in December, 1926, Pro· excess production over shipments and were 61.5 per cent duction was only 2.1 per cent less than in November but larger on December 31 than a month earlier, yet they were was 35.6 per cent greater than in the corresponding month a 8.3 per cent less than on the same date last year. Pro ducyear ago, While shipments of cement fell 34.1 per cent tion and shipments of cement in 1927 exceeded those in 1926 below those in the previous month, they showed an increase by 13.1 per cent and 10.8 per cent, respectively. ;:·.~~~::. ::·:::~·~·::~. .~~~~~~::~~~f;~.;~~~?;. ;~~r.~.;;~~.~:~::=.:~;;~:. . . :~;~~. Shipments from Texas mllla ................. _. Stocks at end of month at Texas mills.. 8 1111 ... 407,000 444,000 +18.3 - 8.8 648,000 252,000 -84.1 +61.5 5,665,000 :::_! 5,114,000 11111 ................... 11111111 .......... 11 .... 111111 ...... 111111 .. 111111 .......... 1111 ......... 111111111111111 ... 11 ..... 11111111111111 ..... 1111111 ............ 11111 .. 11111111I1I1I1 ......................... UIIl .. UIlIIlIIlIl ... IIIIIIIIIIIU ... 1il SUMMARY OF NATIONAL BUSINESS CONDITIONS (Compiled by the Federal Reserve Board as of January 25, 1928) Industrial activity continued in December at II' relatively low level and railroad distribution of commodities declined further, while the general level of prices remained unchanged. Holiday trade at retail stores was in somewhat larger volume than in the previous year. PRODUCTION Production of manufactures remained in practically the same volume in December as in November, while output of minerals, when allowance is made for usual seasonal changes, showed a slight in· crease. Activity in the textile, shoe, and tobacco industries was reduced in December, while the output of steel, nonferrous metals and petroleum increased. Production of automobiles continued in smll'll volume during December, but increased considerably in January and ' within recent weeks there has been also a further increase in the activity of steel mills. Building contract awards were slightly larger in December than in November, but smaller than in December of the two preceding ye8'fs. Total awards for the year 1927 in 37 Eastern states as reported by the F. W. Dodge Corporation, were valued at about $6,300,000,000 which is slightly less than the 1926 total of $6,380,000,000. December awards for residential and commercial buildings were larger than in December, 1926, while those for in· dustrial buildings and public works were smaller. During the first three weeks of Janu8'ry contract awards were in approximately the same volume as during the corresponding weeks of last year. earlier and stocks of dry goods and drugs were slightly larger, Freight car loadings declined further in December and were in smaller volume during that month /I'Ild the early part of January than at any time in four years. The decrease in loadings occurred in practically all groups of commodities. PRICES The Bureau of Labor Statistics index of wholesale commodity prices remained practically unchanged in December and was at the end of the year 8'bout 1 per cent lower th an a year ago. Prices of grains, hide and leather products, non·ferrous metals, and rubber increased in December, while prices of livestock, cotton, and lumber declined. In the first three weeks of J a'nuary, t~ere were increases in prices of iron and steel, grains and wool, while prices of cattle, hogs, and cotton declined. BANK CREDIT At the reserve banks the seasonal demand for currency II'fter reach· ing its peak on December 24, was followed by a return flow of money from circulation, which amounted to about $440,000,000 between December 24 and January 18. This decline in the demand for cur· rency, which was approximately the same as II' year ago, was reo flected in a decrease for the same period of about $360,000,000 in bills and securities of the reserve banks. Loans and investments of member banks in leading cities declined during the first half of TRADE January, but were still at 8' higher level than at any time last year. The decline of about $200,000,000 between January 4 and January Retail sales of department stores and mail order houses increased 18, reflected a decrease of about $280,000,000 in the volume of loans slightly more" than is usual in December and were somewhat larger than a year a'go. Inventories of merchandise carried by department on sec urities, offset in part by a considerable increase in the banks stores were reduced in December and at the end of the 'year were investment holdings. Call lo/l'll rates showed the usual seasonal de· slightly smaller than at l.~le end of 1926. Wholesale trade in nine lead- _ cline, at the turn of the year but other money rates were slightly ing lines continued smaller than in the corresponding month of last_ firmer. The rate on bankers' acceptances increased during the sec· year. Stocks of groceries, shoes, .hardwa-re, and furniture carried by ond, week of January from 314 to 3% per cent and there wai so a wholesale firnls were smaller at the end of December than a year slight advance in rates on tiloe money in the open market. ' ~ 1