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Federal Reserve Banli. of Dallas This summary of agricultural and commercial conditions In the Eleventh Federal Reserve District Is Issued In the belief that a concise review of trade will be ot Interest to our member banks, business men ot the district and friends ot the Federal Reserve System. The Intormatlon given Is obtained by the Federal Reserve Agent from various sources throughout the district, and In our opinion the same Is reliable. Those desiring the letter turnlshed them regularly wl1l receive It without charge upon application. DALLAS, DECEMBER, 1919. Improved weather conditions throughout the district have had a very healthy eff.ect on general business in the past month and the volume now being transacted greatly exceeds that of thirty days ago. For Some sixty days every section of the district has Su ffered from excessi v'e rai I1S and while the effects ere more seriously fel t in the rural communities, In retarding trade with the country merchants and preventing farm work of every character, the larger cities have likewise- felt the inactivity, especially in bUilding operations and various construction lines which are dependent upon the climate. Cold weather has been later than usual and the movement of winter stocks of merchandise have not greatly fluctuated during the month, a comparison as of Nove~1ber 15th, with October 15th, showing an ad:'ance.111 the principal foodstuffs, of only 3.3%. There 1~ eVIdence of advance Holiday trade. Heavy liquidations are noticeable from the marketing of ~otton, collections in all lines are fair to good, except 111 Southwest Texas, where the Sept'e mber floods ~emoralized business, and, summarized, the outlook IS quite satisfactory. :v Agricultural conditions in this district are in a somewhat uncertain state. An unAGRICULTURE usually large crop of wh<!at was grown. Due to unprecedented and continued rainfall, a large amount of this wheat has not yet been threshed and some of it never will be. Much of the wheat grown in this district has been damaged by rain and exposure and its movel11ent to market greatly delayed. These same Weather conditions have to an unusual and regrettable extent prevented the planting of wheat. The same conditions have injured and adversely affected corn, hay and all forage crops and have destroyed considerable cotton and lowered the grade and diminished the value of much more. However, after making a due allowance for all such damage, both the volume and value of wheat, oats, corn and forage crops greatly exceeds that of any year in the history of this district. The peanut and potato crops have suffered very greatly and the damage in the aggregate will run .to very heavy figures . The yield of cotton in the district cannot be very safely or closely estimated. The Texas crop, on October 25th, according to the Government's special report, was estimated at 46%, a decrease of 6% from the estimate of September 25th, and a decrease of 15% from the ten-year average. Based on the condition of September 25th, the Texas crop is estimated at 2,950,000 bales. A singular development is the raising of a fairly large and very profitable cotton crop in the neighborhood of Roswell and Carlsbad, New Mexico, at an elevation of over 3,000 feet above the sea level. The crop in Western Texas is very fine, while the crop in Southern Texas is poor. If the good weather conditions, now prevailing, continue for thirty or forty days the crop in Texas may run to, or slightly above, 3,000,000 bales, although considering all factors, a safer estimate would lower the figures. On the whole, the cotton crop of this district will have the largest money value ever realized. The financial situation continues on a very satisfactory basis. Outstanding changes BANKING during the month have b.een the heavy liquidation from the marketing' of cotton and other crops and the general retirement of obligations and the very substantial growth in deposits. Many member banks which a year ago were greatly extended and had large amounts of bills payable, have reduced their loans with the marketing of crops and are now enjoying deposits of unprecedented totals, as disclosed by the called reports of November 17th. This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) The abnormal credit situation naturally makes a heavy demand with banks but they have been quite able to meet the situation, and, in fact, have a surplus of funds, seeking investments. As a result purchases of Treasury certificates and commercial paper have been very heavy. With this bank the demand is very n'luch lig hter than thirty days ago as indicated by a decrease of $13,797,000 in total bills di scounted and bought for the thirty-day period ending November 21 st. During the same time F ederal Reserve note circulation increased som e $6,300,000 and m{!mb er banks' reserves increased some $12,000,000. In fact, this institution finds itself in an easier position than for severa l months past. Clearing at the principal cities in October and the first ten months of the year, as compared with th e sa me period of 1918, were as follows: OCTOB E R 1919 1918 $ 8,804.196 5.867,773 204.861,622 29.460,051 92.198.617 47.895,942 152.255.751 20.003.797 21.777.600 Austin .......................... .... $ 11,003,491 Beaumont ...................... 6,383,789 Dallas .............................. 130,964,282 EI Paso ............................ 22,257,256 Fort Worth .................. 69,953,517 Galveston ........................ 34,081,858 Houston ........................ 83,745,929 Shreveport -'................... 15,579,072 Waco .............................. 13,863,868 Inc. or Dec. 0/0 -20.0 - 8.1 56.4 32.4 31.8 40.5 81.8 28.4 57.l $583.125.349 50.3 - D ecreas e Total .......................... $387,832,666 TEN MONTHS. 1919 1918 Austin .............................. $160,972,082 Beaumont ................ ...... 56,194,122 Dallas ........ ...................... 858,201,992 EI Paso .......................... 185,005,513 Fort Worth ........ ........ .... 576,620,429 Galveston ................ ........ 226,167,187 Houston ........................ 650,964.906 Shreveport .................... 105.885.995 Waco ................................ 116,454,538 Total ........................$2.936.466,764 $195,292.439 57,435.708 1.247.988.632 246.915.155 696,731,909 298,266,377 828,107,528 131,861,758 114,400,106 Inc. or Dec. 0/0 21.3 2.2 45.4 33.2 20.8 31.9 27.2 24.5 -1.8 $3,816,999,612 29.9 -D ecrease A comparison of the principal items of assets and liabilities on member banks in the reserve cities and Shreveport on the dates shown, follows: Number of member banks .................... 43 S ept. 12 U. S. Bonds to secure circulatiol1 .... $18,923 Other U. S. Bonds, including Liberty Bonds ............................. _..... 20,320 U. S. Victory Notes .............................. 5.203 U. S. Certificates of Indebtedness .... 36,146 43 42 Oct. 10 Nov. 7 $19,203 $19,323 Total U. S. Securities ............ .......... $80,592 Loans secured by U. S. Bonds............ 7,779 All other loans and investments ....... .l63,636 Reserve balance with F. R. Bank ........ 21,396 Cash in vaulL .............. ............................ 10,506 Net demand deposits .... ........................ 192,565 Time deposits ........................................ 30.660 Governmen t deposits .......................... 24,766 $75,235 7,009 181,282 23.571 10,247 202.153 31.224 8,348 19,515 20,489 4,898 4,427 31.619 15,642 $59.881 6,348 200,233 24.530 10,935 217,586 31.920 5,215 Building operations which have for many weeks continued in unprecedented volume, BUILDING were somewhat retarded during the month by protracted wet weather. As this is written, however, the situation is improving and there is renewed activity in this line. There are many complaints of inadequate and inefficient labor and contractors advise th at thi s is greatly interferin g with their work. The statistical table following shows the extent of ope rations in the district and the recovery from the dullness which prevailed a year ago, on account of th e war. Indications are that building during the winter months will be as active as weather conditions, labor situation and the supply of material will permit. Disagr eements over the employment of union and non-union laborers have seriously affect ed the cons ummation of building projects. Regardless of this situation, however, the shortage of hou sing fa cilities, office space a nd busin ess locations is very acute and it will take more than the present unfavorable factor s to hold the mov·ement in an ything but a temporary check. P ermits issued at the principal cities in October, as compared with October, 1918, were: No. 1918 Valuation. No. 1919 Inc. or Dec. Valuation. 0/0 Austin .................. 4 Beaumont ............ 53 Dallas .................. 23 EI Paso ................ 74 Fort Worth ........ 29 Galveston ............ 373 Houston ........... .136 San Antonio ...... 227 Shreveport ........ 44 $ 28.400 8 48,231 55 14,550 162 16,396 146 22,603 196 21,071 514 40.412 428 329,938 181 10.020 146 $ 28.751 67.618 1,846,988 317.784 2,111,065 47,754 1,257.324 477.170 372,295 1.2 40.1 12,594.0 1.838.1 9,239.7 126.6 3,011.2 44.6 30.561.6 Total .............. 963 $531.621 1836 $6.526,749 1,127.7 The number of comm ercial failures in the district in October- the latest figures available FAILURES - shows a slight decline compared with the same month of 1918 with a sub stantial decr-ease in the amounts involved. The statistics, as compiled by Dun's Review, follows: No. 30 1918 1919 Liabilities No. Liabilities $410,202 22 $263.516 Decrease in number-8 Decrease in liabilities-$146,686 Without exception reports as to the livestock industry are very encouraging. The LIVESTOCK range country is in fine shape, feed is plentiful, with some evidence of declining pric·e s; there is an ample supply of water, and stockmen are finding it much easier to secure needed financial assistance. Our correspondents advise that with the available supply of feed and water, herds will go into the cold weather in excellent condition and more stock will be carried over to another s·eason than anticipated. Buyers report a scarcity of hogs, attributable to the excellent prices which obtained a few months ago a~d U~e large supply of feed. This situation is contnbutl11g to the present light receipts. Prices on the Fort Worth market have shown no material advances or declines in the month above the usual ?aily fluctuations, based mainly receipts. ~he table following shows comparative receipts at ort Worth from January 1st to November 24th, 1918 and 1919, and from November 1st to 24th both years, inclusiv'e. ' 01; Receipts from Janmu-y 1: Cattl 1918 C I e ---------------------------------- 1,263,391 yes -------- --------------___________ 257,129 It ~1~~~ ______ __ __ :::::: :::: ::::::::::: : : ::: orses and mules ____________ November receipts: Cattle ~~~r- -- - - .· •• • orscs and mules __________ __ __ 73,239 1919 931,356 221,314 538,518 424,289 50,675 Loss 332,035 35,815 92,190 *107,762 33,564 *Gain 103,613 20,894 44,108 12,180 6,795 93,762 25,980 22,851 28,857 8,448 9,851 *5,086 21,257 *16,677 *1,653 *Gain ~i~:~~~ The lumber mills advise that owing to continued rains it has been impossible to get LUMBER production back to normal and at 75 the present time the output is only % of capacity. The demand, while not as strong ~s 111 the late summer, is, nevertheless, sufficiently .eavy. to ~ore than absoi-b present production. This situatIOn IS expected to continue for the remainder of th~ year and be accentuated in the spring months prOVided the strikes and other industrial disturb ances. subside. The mills peport that labor.is more plentiful but the quality is very unsatisfactory _ The increase in retail volume is conservatively estimated at from 25 to 75% RETAIL TRADE ov'e r the same period a year ago_ This volume is attributable to the high prices of goods and more than offsets the decrease in the number of orders or purchases. Specific r'e ports on dry goods, men's and women's apparel, drugs, furniture, groceries and hardware are of the same character, and indicate heavy volume, an increasing demand for the better grade of merchandise and no evidence that high prices are causing any hesitancy in buying. Luxuries and so-called "non-essentials" ar·e in heavy demand and the shortage of goods, which obtains in practically every line, is the problem which dealers are facing. In wholesal,e lines and especially mail-order business, the volume being transWHOLESALE acted is very heavy, with colTRADE lections good. Prices continue to advance. The poor cotton crop and damage from floods in the South and Southwest coast countries has made for slow business in that section but reports from every other part of the district indicate that wholesale sale is excellent and if dealers were able to secure goods would be even greater. Inadequate stocks and lessened production, on account of the labor disturbances, are proving a great handicap in wholesale and jobbing trade. It is impossible to fill the orders received and many firms have reduced their traveling force on account of inab ility to supply various numbers and lines. STATEMENT OF CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS At the close of Business NOVEMBER 21, 1919 RESOURCES Gold Gold Gold Gold Gold coin and certificates in vauIL .............................................. .................................................................................... .. $ 6,823,233.00 settlement fund ............................................................................................................................................................ .. 24,277,524.98 redemption fund ........................................................................................................................................................... . 3,008,304.90 3,697,084.97 held with foreign agencies ..................................................................................................................... _.................. . with Agent for retirement of F. R. Notes ........................................................................................................ .. 25,491,600.00 Total .................................................................................................................................................................................... $63,297,747.85 Legal tender notes, silver, etc............................................................................................................................................. Other cash and cash itelns ........................................................................................................................... _....................... 1,584,474.80 796,327.00 Total .................................................................................................................................................................................... $65,678,549.65 559,200.00 5% redelnption fund-F. R. Bank Notes ......................................................................................................................... . Bills discounted-members ................................................................................................................................................ .. 41,977,~11.80 7,829,534.49 Bills bought in open markeL ..................................................................................................................... _.............~ ....... .. Total Bills on Hand ...................................................................................................................................................... .. $49,806,746.29 3,966,000.00 Investments-U. S. Bonds ............................................................................................................. _................................. .. U. S. Certificates of indebtedness .................................................................................................................................... .. 11,310,000.00 Total earning assets ............................................................................................................................. _...................... . $65,082,746.29 5,175,152.66 Federal Reserve Banks-Transfers Bought -(net) ................................................................................................ .. Checks and drafts in process of collection ......................................................................................... _.......................... . 39,167,601.51 4,591,280.91 Due from other F. R. Banks .............................................................................................................................................. All other resources ......................................................................................................................................... _...................... . 829,750.65 Total Resources ............................................................................................................................................................ $181,084,281.67 LIABILITIES Capital paid in ........................................................................................................................................................................... Surplus ................................................................................................ ...................................................................................... Government deposits ............................................................................................................................................................ Due to member banks' reserve accounL............................................................................................................................ Foreign Government credits ................................................................................................................. _...... _................... Deferred credits, account checks and drafts in process of collection .................................................................. F. R. Bank Notes secured by U. S. Bonds.................................................................................................................... Federal Reserve Notes in circulation.............................................................................................................................. All other liabilities ................................................................................................................................. _............................... $ 3,437,250.00 2,028,868.33 3,270,748.53 60,729,430.59 1,879,645.46 29,739,735.05 10,187,692.00 67,779,675.00 2,031,236.71 ------ Total Liabilities ........................................................................ .................................................................................... $181,084,281 .67 OFFICERS W. F. RAMSEY, R. L. VAN ZANDT, Federal Reserve Agent. Governor. LYNN P. TALLEY, Deputy Governor·Cashier. CHARLES C. HALL, PAUL G. TAYLOR, R. BUCKNER COLEMAN, Asst. Federal Reserve Agent. Assistant Cashier. Assistant Cashier. FRED HARRIS, DWIGHT P. REORDAN, Assistant Cashier. Assistant Cashier. •