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MONGJrHLG)( REVIEW FEDERAL RES E R V E Vol. 41, No. 12 BANK o F DALLAS December I, 1956 DALLAS, TEXAS INDUSTRIAL GROWTH IN THE SOUTHWEST B. WILUAMSON, Industrial Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas ROBERT Industrialization - the growth and development of new and expanding industries - has been the most outstanding change in the economy of the Southwest in the postwar period. It has provided a dynamic new element of growth, stimulating new and enlarged trade and commerce, significantly altering the pattern of basic sources of income, and supplying a needed diversification from the traditional economy built on cotton, cattle, and oil. The development of new industries has prmrided the means to absorb large increments of manpower which have come from the mechanization and consolidation of farms ~ and from the rapid growth in the labor force through an expanding population. The impact of industrial growth has spread throughout the region, although industrialization has been concentrated largely in a few widely separated areas in close proximity to principal cities. In providing alternative sources of employ· ment and encouraging a wider range of commuting distances, industrial growth has supplied the smaller towns, and even the rural areas, an opportunity to participate in the expanding economy of the Southwest. Along with industrialization have corne problems, particularly those connected with a concen· trating population, greater reliance upon an individual employer, and the risks attendant upon cyclical movements in the economy. MAJOR INDICATORS OF NATIONAL ECONOMIC ACTIVITY, 1956, 1954, AND 1947 (Dollar amounts In billions) Percent Percent change change, 1956 Economic InGieolor Total gron national product .. Totol indUilrial production (Clnnual o".roge in dex) ..•• Nonagricultural employment •• Expenditures for new manu- • focturlng plont and equipment ••.......•..•. Wholesal. r,rices-all commodities 19"'7·"'9 ... 100).•. Wholesal. riceS-Industrial productl 1947-49",,100) •• 1956. 1954 "om 1954 1954 At irregular intervals, the United States Bureau of the Census makes a comprehensive survey of manufacturing establishments, which provides the basis for a study of the industrial position of individual areas and of the Nation. This article is based primarily upon the reports of the 'Census of Manufactures for 1947 and 1954 and covers the five District states of Arizona, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas. It should be recognized that there are important limita· tions on the use of these reports. The comparison between the two census years understates, to some extent, the postwar trend, because in 1947 the economy was in a period of strong cyclical expansion while in 1954 an economic' readjustment was under way. In contrast, the expansion in industrial growth in dollar terms is overstated, since general price increases raised the level of the wholesale price index by 14 percent over the 7 ·year period. Industrial growth in the Southwest and in the Nation, which slowed down in 1954, accelerated again in 1955 and 1956. The year 1955 showed a great advance in the utilization of existing capacity, while 1956 has witnessed a strong movement toward expanding existing plants and building new capacity. There is little question that industrial activity in the Southwest during the 1954·56 period has been at a record level. from 19.47 1947 U11.5 $360.7 14.1 $232.2 55.3 143 51,480,000 125 48.431,000 14.4 6.3 100 43,462,000 25.0 11.4 $15.25 $11.04 38.1 $8.70 26.9 114.2 110.3 3.5 96.4 14.4 122.2 114.5 67 95.3 20.1 ._Estlmated. SOURCEI Joint CommiH •• on the Econorn1c Report. The acceleration in industrial growth in the Southwest dates primarily from the defense plant construction during World War II. Although some of these plants were closed following the war, the influx of industrial workers and the advantages of the regional area for manufacturing construction began to attract both resource· based and market·oriented industries. Changes in Total Manufacturing Prior to World War II, the Southwest was primarily a producer of raw materials - such as oil, copper, sulfur, cotton, wool, and other agricultural products - which were shipped out for processing in other areas. While the Southwest continues to be an important producer of raw materials, its manufacturing has become increasingly important since the early 1940's. This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 178 Between 1939 and 1947, manufacturing employment in the Southwest increased 68 percent. Value added by manufacture - a measure of net product computed by subtracting costs of materials and supplies Irom the value of shipmentsshowed a gain of 270 percent. The region's share of the national total increased from 3.2 percent to 3.9 percent. The location of war industries in this area resulted primar· ily from the Nation's need for new war production capacity, the Government policy of industrial dispersion, and the presence in the Southwest of many raw materials vital to war production. Another incentive was locational advantages of the area - such as access to coastal and ocean shipping, a mild climate, and available labor supplies. Oil refineries and industries serving the oil industry were expanded, and new plants were established to produce textiles and apparel, syn· thetic rubber, chemicals, ordnance, metal, machinery, aircraft, and ships. After World War II, many southwestern industrial plants which had been producing defense materials converted to civilian products, accentuating the rapid development of the peacetime industrial segment of the economy. Value added by manufacture in the Southwest almost doubled from 1947 to 1954, increasing from $2,878,652,000 to $5,604,'458,000, and the region's share of the national total rose from 3.9 percent to 4.8 percent. Over the same period, manufacturing employment increased 35 percent, compared with a gain of only 10 percent in the Nation. This growth was aided by a continued increase in the raw material supplies of the region, an increasing market potential, and the new defense build-up during the Korean conflict. The value of total mineral production increased 98 percent between 1947 and 1954 in the major producing states of the region. The increasing market potential was bascd on a substantial population gain and rising levels of personal income. Between 1947 and 1954, total population in the region increased 14 percent, compared with a gain of 12 percent for the Nation_ The important rural-to-urban shift in population underscores the development of new nonagricultural employment opportunities and the resulting increase in pcrsonal income for these workers. Total personal income in the Southwest increased nearly two·thirds over the period 1947·54, and the region's MANUFACTURING VALUE ADDED AND EMPLOYMENT, 1954 and 1947 Five Southwestern States and United Stotes {Dollar amounts in thousands) Percentage change Value added Area Arb:ono ••••••• Louisiana •••••• New Mexico ... . 19S4p 191,387 $ 1,182,485 127,052 Oklahoma .... . 595,401 Texas ........ . 3,508,133 1947 83,829 694,062 32,136 341,149 1,727,476 Employment 1954p 26,050 146,460 14,984 79,698 414,113 1947 14,188 128 132,463 70 6,696 295 55,441 75 297,054 103 Southwest .... S 5,604,458 $ 2878652 681,305 505,842 United States. 5'16,759,421 $74;342;411 15,683,317 14,294,304 p Preliminary. SOURCE: United Stotes Bureau of the Census. Value Employ· added menl 95 57 84 11 124 44 39 35 10 share of total personal income in the Nation increased from 7.5 percent to 8.0 percent. This gain in personal income reflected not only a larger population hut also higher levels of per capita income. Cash receipts from farm marketings in the Southwest also rose at a faster rate than in the Nation. It should be noted that defense activities remained an important stimulant to industrial growth in the Southwest in the 1947·54 period. Military prime contracts awarded in the southwestern states between 1950 and 1954 comprised 5.4 percent of the national total, or an amount greater than the region's relative share of manufacturing capacity as indicatcd by value added. These data do not include small contracts and subcontracts, which are of grcat importance to the Southwest. During the initial expansion of capacity for the Korean War effort, from October 1950 to August 1951, the Southwest received 13 percent of the certificates of necessity issued by the Government to encourage defense construction. New facilities begun under this program which added greatly to the region's industrial potential included oil refineries, chemical plants, primary aluminum plants, steel mills, fabricated metal products estahlishments, and a large copper smelter. Other factors which encouraged southwestern industrialization after World War II were (l) high levels of general business activity in the United States, (2) technical progress in the development and production of new petrochemical products, and (3) the self-generation of rapid industrial growth. One result of the sharp expansion in manufacturing during the postwar period was a continued gain in the relative importance of mal)ufacturing compared with otller sectors of the southwestern economy. Manufacturing wages and salaries rose from 17.8 percent of total wages and salaries in 1947 to 18.6 percent in 1954,. Manufacturing ranked below only the trades and government as a source of wages and salaries. Available data for total personal income and manufacturing wages and salaries indicate further improvement of the relative position of manufacturing in 1955 and 1956. Manufacturing Characteristics Manufacturing in the five southwestern states in 1954 was characterized by a relatively large number of small estahlishments and a high value added per worker. Of the 15,551 manuIacturing establishments in the region, nearly threefourths employed less than 20 employees. Average employment of all establishments was 44 workers, compared with a national average of 54 workers. This characteristic of manufacturing in the Southwest results mainly from the large number of small iood'processing, printing, and lumber and wood products establishments in the area. The high value added per employee, which was $8,226 compared with $7,445 in the Nation, stems from the region's possession of a significant share of the Nation's oil refineries . and chemical plants. Both types of establishments turn out . products of large value with relatively few employees. Wage scales in these industries also reflect the high productivity. However, the average pay per employee in all manufacturing ~ • MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 179 CHARACTERISTICS OF SELECTED MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY GROUPS, 1954P Five Southwestern States l PER EMPLOYEE PER ESTABLISHMENT Number of establish- Value Employees Payroll added 34 38 75 238 154 311 $ 110,825 $ 246,903 166,737 363,486 1,116,017 679,149 1,636,594 337,740 1,263,783 1,499,026 1,383,162 3,771,317 All other' •.••.•• . ••.••. • •••. 3,642 1,198 847 350 222 202 9,090 All industries. • • •• • • • ••• • . • • 15,551 44 170,562 360,392 Industry group ments Food and kindred products •• • •• Machinery, except electrical • •• • Chemicals and products • . • .••.• Transportotion equipment .•• .• • Primary metal industries ••••• " • Petroleum and coal products •••• 2 Arizona, louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas. Bosed on available data for Texas. 3 Includes small number not reported for industries listed above. 1 establishments in the Southwest, at $3,893 in 1954, was below the national average of $4,023. Capital expenditures for manufacturing plants and equip· ment are also high in the Southwest, partly as a result of the very large investments required in the petroleum and chemical industries. The expenditures for all types of manufacturing in the region during 1954 were $46,646 per establishment and $1,065 per manufacturing employee, exceeding the national averages by 72 percent and 114 percent, respectively. Another reason for these expenditures being r elatively more important in the region was the faster rate of growth in the general industrialization of the area. Value New capi tal Payroll added expenditures 14,690 19,107 266,989 290,821 2178,065 1,170,871 $3,289 4,410 4,846 4,691 4,420 5,255 $ 7,328 8,932 16,850 6,031 9,001 12,110 $ 436 505 3,560 2302 21,225 3,760 46,646 3,893 8,226 1,065 New copital expenditures $ p-Preliminary. SOURCE: United States Bureau of th e Census. industry has grown at a slower rate than total manufacturing, but value added by chemicals production nearly tripled between 1947 and 1954. Crude oil produced in the Southwest represents approxi· mately two· thirds of the national total. WiLh the availability of pipelines and water transportation to other parts of the country, it would be possible for this crude oil to be refined elsewhere. However, approximately 40 percent of the Nation's crude oil refining capacity is located here, mainly along the Gulf Coast. Oil refining in this area had its first impetus and initial expansion during World War I ; the chemical industry concentration along the coast received its real start during the Second World War. Major Industries A review of the characteristics of southwestern manufacturing in terms of major industry groups shows that in 1954, food and kindred products continued to account for the largest number of manufacturing employees, with 122,712 of the 681 ,305 total. This group also provided the largest payroll of any industry. However, by 1954, chemicals production had surpassed food processing in the amount of value added, contributing 19 percent of the total. Petroleum and coal products manufacturing, which had ranked second in value added in 1947, fell to third place. The fastest growing of the maj or industry groups was transportation equipment, which ranked second in 1954 in both employment and payroll and fourth in value added. Over the 1947·54 period, this industry - led by gains in aircraft manufacture - increased its employment by 164 per· cent and nearly tripled the value it added in manufacturing. Other major industries showing exceedingly rapid gains were primary metals and chemicals. Nonelectrical machinery and fabricated metal products manufacturing also expanded at above· average rates . The manufacture of both chemicals and petroleum products has flourished in the gulf coast area, largely because of the plentiful supply of oil, sulfur, and other raw materials in the immediate vicinity; the existence of trunk pipelines from other oil.producing areas; cheap water transportation to major markets of the Nation; the availability of low·cost natural gas as a raw material and for fuel; the mild climate, suitable for the open plants typical of the industries; a supply of skilled VALUE ADDED BY TYPE OF INDUSTRY,I954 FIVE SOUTHWESTERN STATtS Chemicals and Petroleum Products PETR'?\&'!!~.fJiO Together, the related chemicals and petroleum products industries accounted for nearly one· third of the value added and nearly two·thirds of the expenditures for new plant and equipment in manufacturing during 1954. The petroleum P,.tll'II_~. SOUACE' u.s. 8u 'lGu 0' the Ctftwa. COAL MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 180 MANUFACTURING VALUE ADDED AND EMPLOYMENT, BY INDUSTRY GROUP, 1954 AND 1947 Five Southwestern States I (Dollar amounls in thousands) Percentage change Valued added Employment Value Industry group 1954p 1947 1954p 1947 added Employment Chemicals and products .. ........ .. ......... .. .. . Stone, cloy, ond gloss products .•. .... , . • .. • ....... Fabricated metal products ..•.•. .• . .•.•..•• .... .•. lumber and wood products ...................... . Apparel and related products ...•• .•..•.. , •..... .. Furniture and fixtures • . .•••.••.••....•..• . " .. , .. Textile mill products ...••....•.. ..........•...... Electrical machinery . •• . .• . •.• ..• •.•.••..... .. ... All other2 ••••• • .. ••.• . ••. .. . ••.•• . ...•. . •. . •. . $1,070,424 883,333 761,806 524,659 404,612 307,062 256,179 234,871 230,424 225,245 177,060 135,804 68,704 45,249 38,181 240,845 $ 368,875 579,605 561,553 132,364 172 ,862 102,228 155,471 134,203 102,292 106,650 209,328 92,794 33,434 37,676 12,163 77,154 63,528 122,712 62,909 83,264 45,297 34,113 36,411 25,471 25,749 31,781 47,006 39,667 12,949 10,966 5,229 34,253 38,952 106,164 57,842 31,595 31 ,308 19,281 29,071 19,212 19,583 21,185 66,615 29,139 8,790 10,785 1,946 14,374 190 55 36 296 134 200 65 75 125 111 -15 46 106 20 214 212 63 16 9 164 45 77 25 33 32 50 -29 36 47 2 169 138 All industries •......•.......• ..•...••....•.... $5,604,458 $2,878,652 681,305 505,842 95 35 Food and kindred products ...................... . Petroleum and coal products .••..•.•..••....•.. • .• Transportation equipment ....• , .•. ••... . .•....••. Machinery, except electrical. .................... . Primary metal industries . ..•....... . •.......... . . . Printing and publishing ..... .. .. ..... , .......•.... Pulp, paper, and produds .... . . . .. . ... . .... . .. . . . p-Preliminory. 1 Arizona, louisiana, New MeXiCO, Oklahoma, and Texas. 2 Includes small amounts not published for industries listed above. labor, provided by the long·established petroleum industry; and expanding local markets. The existence of oil refineries in the area is a special attraction to the chemical industrv since refinery gases are an important raw material for many· chern· ical products. SOURCE: United States Bureau of the Census. for a significant part of this achvlty. Other types of food produced in the area - such as bakery, beverage, and dairy products - reflect the small local market characteristics of the induslry and are types found in most areas of the Nation. Transportation Equipment Industrial organic chemicals constitute the largest segment of the southwestern chemical industry, with the production of chemicals used in plastics and synthetic rubber showi ng sig. nificant growth in recent years. Industrial inorganic chemicals, ineluding sulfuric compounds; vegetable and animal oils; paints ; and soaps and related products are also of importance. Some of the major chemicals produced in the Southwest are ammonia, butadiene, ethylene, polyethylene, styrene, and synthetic rubber. Transportation equipment manufacturing received its firsl major expansion during World War II, when shipbuilding on the gulf accelerated and military aircraft production was located in the region. Total employment in the industry amounted to approximately 5,000 workers in the five soulh· western statcs before the war. In 194,7, even after the peace· time adjustment, there were 31,595 workers; and by 1954, total employment in the industry had increased to 83,264 workers. Aircraft manufacturing has fluctuated widely since Food and Kindred Products Food and kindred products manufacturing, with its many small establishments, ranked a close second to chemicals in value added in 1954, The food industry is relatively more important in the Southwest than in the Nation, accounting for 16 percent of total value added compared with 12 percent in the Nalion, While chemicals and other major industries are growing rapidly, food processing has expanded very liltle during the postwar period. The lack of growth in food process· ing r eflects, in part, the severe drought in the area in recent years and the severe freezes in the Lower Rio Grande Valley which greaLly reduced citrus production. The maj or types of food processing in the Southwest reflect, in large degree, the character of the region's agricultural economy, with grain mill products and meat being two of the most important food products. Vegetable and fruit canning, IPreserving, and freezing are of more than average importance, with citrus production in the Rio Grande Valley accounting PERCENT CHANGE IN VALUE ADDED BY MAJOR TYPES OF INDUSTRY,1947-1954 FIVE SOUTHWESTERN STATES TRANSP ORTAT ION EQUIPMENT CHEMICALS AND PRODUCTS META LS AND PRODUCTS MACHI NERY ALL MANUFACTURING PETROLEUM AND COAL PRODUCTS PAP~eR~?.p8R~ND Pr.li",jnar~ . SOURCE U,S. 8u"QU Qf th.C.nflll. ~IIlllQmlllllo)nllIIl~ MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 1947, the principal movements being a sharp expansion induced by the Korean War, a moderate decline in 1953 and 1954, and renewed growth in 1955 and 1956. The other segments of the transportation equipment industry generally followed a similar pattern, except that substantial growth in automobile assembly operations was evident throughout the period. The aircraft industry of the Southwest is located inland, with important concentrations in north Texas, Arizona, and Oklahoma. In Texas, manufactllTers of complete aircraft and establishments performi ng modifications on complete aircraft accounted for 70 percent of the total value added by trans· portation cquipment manufacturing in 1954. A relative newcomer in the industry, the State accounted for over 7 percent of the value added by the aircraft industry of the Nation. The fast-growing aircraft industry in the Southwest has derived considerable stimulus from its central location and inland production sites - factors which are considered important in the location of military aircraft plants - and from the mild, clear weather, which provides ideal conditions for flight testing. Numerous mil itary and other airfields are located throughout the area, and a sizable number of skilled production workers are now concentrated within the region. Characteristically, aircraft establishments are large, and the seven located in Texas during 1954 employed an average of 5,878 workers per establishment. Pay in this industry is high, with the average per employee being $4,961- compared with an average of $4,747 for all transportation equipment workers and $3,949 for all manufacturing employees in the State. Other transportation equipment manufacturcrs in the region include small manufacturers of aircraft components, au tomotive equipment and assembly plants, railroad shops, and shipbuildcrs. Operations at the region's shipyards declined sharply after the Korean War; but, recently, activit)' has increased, particularly in connection with the building of platforms and barges used in sulfur mining and in drilling and servicing oil wells in the Tidelands. The shipyards also havc becn providing "vessels," or containers, for the chemical industry. Since 1954, several plants manufacturing automotive trailer equipment have been established in the region. M etal s and Machinery The metals and machinery industries represent a major and steadily growing segment of southwestern industry. This group accounted for 13 percent of total value added by manufacture in 1939 and 14 percent in 1947. By 1954, its share had risen to over 17 percent, or nearly the same as the value added by chemicals production. The metal and metal products • industries contributed over 9 percent of total value, or about • the same as transportation equipment manufacture, and machinery accounted for 8 percent. Primary metals production in District states - based on copper, zinc, and other nonfcrrous metals - was concentrated 181 mainly in Arizona and Oklahoma prior to World War II. Reflecting the rapid growth in the production of aluminum and steel, total value added by primary metals production more than tripled between 1947 and 1954. Most of this growth was in Texas, which accounted for almost two-thirds of the region's metals production by the end of the period. Steelmaking in the region is centered in Houston and in the northeastern part of Texas. Before World War II , Texas had an annual steelmaking capacity of less than 5,000 tons; by 1954., this capacity had risen to nearly 1,800,000 tons. In addition, Oklahoma has a steelmaking capacity of 71,000 tons. Despite this large relative growth for the region, its share of the Nation's total steel capacity was only 1.5 percent in 1954. The continued growth trend in the primary steel industry is indicated by the new expansions being planned by major establishments in the northeastern and coastal areas of Texas. Much of the region's steel production has been tailored to meet a specific market, particularly the needs of the oil and gas industry for pipe and tuhular goods. Aiding the dcvelopmcnt of the industry has been the existence of iron ore, coking coal, and limestone deposits within the region . Primary aluminum production in the Southwest was a postwar development, the first plant being established in 1950. By 1954, there were four primary aluminum plants and one major alumina plant located in Texas and Louisiana, with an annual capacity totaling over 400,000 tons of primary aluminum - or nearly 30 percent of the national total. Including two plants in the adjoining State of Arkansas, this west south-central area accounted for over 40 percent of the value added by primary aluminum production in the United States during 1954. Continued growth is indicated, as all three of the companies operating in the region have major expansion programs under way. The aluminum industry has been attracted to the Southwcst by severallocational advantages. The process of reducing the primary metal from alumina requires enormous amounts of electricity - approximately 10 kilowatt·hours for every pound of aluminum, and the region possesses cheap electric power. One plant in Louisiana and two in TexlI;s use local supplies of natural gas to generate electricity, while another in Texas uses local lignite supplies. Close proximity to supplies of bauxite is also important, as approximately 5 tons of this material is required to produce 1 ton of aluminum. Most of the bauxite supply is imported from the Caribbean area, and practically all of the remainder is produced in Arkansas. Con· version of bauxite to alumina for use in the primary aluminum plants is performed in Texas, Arkansas, and other southern states. Lime and sodium carbonate, other materials used by the aluminum industry, are available within the region . In addition, a growing regional market for aluminum is provided by the transportation equipment and construction industries . Magnesium, another light metal, is produced from sea water at a gulf coast location. This facility, a wartime development, accounts for most of the magnesium produced within 182 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW the United States and all of the domestic commercial production. The Nation's only tin smelter was established on the Texas Gulf Coast in 1942 and has continued to operate, but at rates well below capacity. Fabricated metal products account for a smaller value added by manufacture tban do primary metals and have grown less rapidly. Nevertheless, r·ecent trends indicate a faster rate of growth in the future. Most of the fabricated metal plants are small, with an average of 33 workers per establishment in 1954 compared with an average of 154 in primary metal plants. Structural, ornamental, and boiler·shop products for use in the construction and oil industries have been the most important products_ Production of heating, plumbing, and airconditioning equipment also has shown significant gains. Machinery production expanded at an above-average rate over the 1947-54. period. In the latter year, nonelectrical machinery, comprising principally oil field machinery and oil tools, was the fifth ranking industry in the Southwest. Electrical machinery is the smallest industry in the metals and machinery group but has had the most rapid growth, increasing 214 percent from 1947 to 1954. Electronics (automatic control and communications equipment) is a segment of the industry whieh has begun to show considerable promise in the Southwest, and sizable concentrations of electronics and instruments manufacturing have already developed in several centers. Other Maior Indu5tries Another important group within the region consists of pulp and paper, lumber and wood products, and furniture manufacturers. Located mainly in the pine belt of Louisiana and east Texas, these manufacturers accounted for nearly 9 pcrcent of total value added by manufacture in 1954. The pulp, paper, and products industry, which is the largest industry within this group, has utilized modern equipment and new pulping techniques adapted to the area's forest rcsources to increase its value added relative to the industry throughout the Nation. Activity in the lumber and wood products and the furniture and fixtures industries is related to the level of construction, which expanded rapidly between 1947 and 1954. Value added by furniture and fixtures manufacturing in the region more than doubled over the period. On the other hand, value added by thc lumber and wood products industry declined 15 percent between 1947 and 1954, compared with a gain of 26 percent in the Nation; recent data indicate that the decline in the region has continued. These declines reflect a long-run downward trend in the demand for the region's lumber and wood products because of thc increasing use of other materials and western softwoods in residential construction. The stone, clay, and glass products industry, which accounted for 4 pcrcent of value added by manufacture in the Southwest, is closely linked to general construction activity. Cement plants, the major segment of the industry, and manu- facturers of structural clay products (bricks, tile, and pipe) locate near the areas of construction activity because of heavy shipment costs. The high level of construction in the Southwest during the postwar period was responsible for the 125percent increase in value added by the industry. Printing and publishing - the seventh ranking industry accounted for nearly 5 percent of total value added in 1954. This activity, which engages a large number of small establi shments, is found in all but thc smallest towns; however, the greatest portion of the output is concentrated in thc major cities of the area, where magazines and daily newspapers with wide circulation are published. The expansion of advertising in the postwar period, combined with the rapid increase in circulation, has acceleratcd growth in trus type of activity. Apparel and related products and textile mill products accounted for 3 percent of total manufacturing value added in the Southwest. Although this type of manufacturing has increased less rapidly than others in the region, it has grown relative to the Nation's apparel and textile industries. The Recent Trend The Southwest has continued to show rapid industrial growth since the 1954 census. The estimated 8-percent gain in manufacturing employment between 1954 and 1956 is equal to the average rate of gain occurring between 1947 and 1954 and compares with an estimated increase of 5.6 percent for the Nation. The r egion's more rapid growth in manufacturing activity during the past 2 years was foreshadowed by its high level of investment reported for 1954. Whereas the Southwest accounted for less than 5 percent of total value added by manufacture in 1954, its $725,390,000 expenditures for new manufacturing facilities comprised over 9 perccnt of the Nation's total. The amount of manufa cluring investment in the region has risen still further, and the value of construction contracts awarded for manufacturing buildings in Texas during 1956 is expccted to be nearly three times the 1954 total. Construction awards for factory buildings in the Nation arc expected to show a substantially lower rate of gain, and eSlimates of expenditures for new manufacturing plants and equipment in the Nation reflect an increase of only 38 percent over the 2·year period. Thc greatest expansion in the Southwest since 1954 has occurred in transportation equipment, nonelectrical machinery, and fabricated metal products manufacturing. Available data for Texas show that over the past 2 years, employment in each of these industries has increascd around 18 to 20 percent. Other major increases have occurred in chemicals • and primary metals, with each of these showing employment lIII gains of around 13 percent. These recent trends reflect a slight tapering off in the 1947-54 rates of growth for transportatio n equipment, chemicals, and primary metals and accelerated growth for machinery and fabricated metals. 183 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW Current and planned additions of production capacity indicate further growth in manufacturing activity for the Southwest. The hi gh level of construction awards for factory buildings is evidence of this ovcr-all expansion. Examples of major expansions under way or planned include incrcased production capaci ty for ammonia, butadiene, pcrchlorethylene, polyethylene, rocket fuels, synthetic ruhber, and styrene in the chcmical industry; for alumina, aluminum, and steel in the primary metals industry; and for num erous other products, such as air conditioners, cement, electronic instruments, and oil fi eld equipment. Although its ratc of expansion has slowcd, the chemical industry probably continues to account for the largest absolute amounts of new investment in manufacturing facilities in the Southwest. A survey by the Manufacturing Chemists' Association reveals that privately financed chemical plants completed during 1955 in the so uthw es tern states were valued at $259,075,000, or one-third of the nationwid e total. The survey shows that additional projects costing an estimated $269,063,000 were under construction in these states in early 1956, and there were firm plans for proj ects costing $89,425,000 to be started before the end of 1957. Texas had thc largest indicated new investmcnt of any state in the Nation for the 1955-57 period and accounted for more than 17 percent of the national total. Within Texas, organic chemical production was scheduled to receive the largest investment, followcd by plastics and resins, inorganic chemicals, and synthctic rubber. • Summary The preceding review of industrial growth in the Southwest has revealed great progress in the economic development of thc region. Manufacturing and economic activity in general have expanded at rates exceeding those of the Nation_ The agricultural and mineral resources of the area, its growing markets, and other locational advantages have provided the foundation for the industrialization which was stimulated by wartime needs and postwar prosperity. The region has emerged from a predominantly oil, cotton, and cattle economy, with petroleum refining, chemicals production, and related heavy industry based on the mineral production in the area leading the way. These industries arc expected to hold a paramount position for some time, but the rapid population and income growth within the region points to increasing emphasis upon production of consumer goods. The momentum of rapid industrialization can be expected to bring new manufacturing activities to existing industrial centers and to other areas as well. If the citizens of the region can meet the problems created by this transition to an industrial economy - if necessary water supplies, transportation and power facilities, modern municipal facilities, and other conditions favorable to industry can be maintained - the prospects are good for continued growth of this trend toward industrialization and a beneficent diversification of the southwestern economy . 184 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW REVIEW OF BUSINESS, AGRICULTURAL, AND FINANCIAL CONDITIONS The Middle East CrISIS has interrupted the normal marketing of oil from that area, creating a deficiency in the supplies of Western Europe and reducing United States imports. Therefore, demand for southwestern crude oil has increased, bringing about higher allowables in Louisiana, New Mexico, and Texas; a moderate increase in refinery runs; and firmer prices for crude oil and refined products. P rimarily because of more trading days during October this year, retail sales at Eleve nth District department stores were up 10 percent from Sep. tember. However, total sales were slightly below a yea r earli er. Since the increase over Sep. tember was less than normal, the index of department store sales, after adjustment for seasonal variations and the num· ber of business days, declined to 134 in October fr om 139 in September an d 141 in October 1955. Cumulative sales fo r the J an uar y·October period reflected a year·to·year in· crease of 3 percent. Consumer buying at department stores in the Eleventh District increased less than seasonally from September to October and was slightly less than in October 1955. Homefurnishings sales continued weak, while the sof.t goods departments as a whole showed a slight sales increase over a year earlier. Furniture store sales rose 10 percent over September but were down 2 percent from October last year. Sales in the important homefurnishings departments increased from September to October ; compared with a year ago, sharp declines occurred in some of the departments, amo unting to 14 percent for housewares, 16 percent fo r domestic flo or coverings, and 18 percent for major household appliances. Total sales of the homefurnishings departments showed a year-to-year loss of 9 percent. Seeding of small grains and winter legumes is being speeded in the eastern half of the District. Prospective production of cotton and grain sorghums improved slightly from early season estimates. No major improvement has occurred in moisture conditions in range areas, and forage supplies remain critically low. Employment of nonagricultural workers in the District states during October totaled 4 , 166,100, a record high for the third consecutive month . Most of the 15,700 gain over September resulted from seasonal increases in government, trade, and manufacturing. In the soft goods departments, sales of small wares led the percentage gains with an increase of 3 percent over October 1955, while sales of women's and misses' ready-to·wear accessori es were up 1 percent. Sales of men's and boys' wear continued to show weakness, being down 2 percent from a year ago. The increase in department store sales from September to October reflected marked gains in all types of sales. Instalment accounts outstanding decreased slightly in October but were 1 percent larger than a year earlier. Collections on these accounts in October amounted to 15 percent of the first-ofmonth balances, or 1 point above both a month ago and a year ago. Charge acco unts outstanding, increasing 6 percent RETAil TRADE STATISTICS (Percentage chenge) STOCKst NET SALfS The value of construction contracts awarded in the District durin g October showed a sharp decline of 30 percent from September and was 16 percent below the level of a year earlier. A continued decline in residential awards accounted for most of these decreases. Gross loans at weekly reporting member banks in the District decl ined slightly durin g the 5 weeks ended Nove mber 21, a lthou g h commercial and industrial loans rose $19,074 ,000 .. Investments , which increased $55,318 ,000, were stron gly influenced by Treasury financing operations . Average reserve balances of membe r banks declined in October. The annual rate of turnover of deposits, which was 19.0 in September, rose to 21 .8 in October. O ct. 19 56 from line of trade by Clrea Oct. Se pt. 1955 1956 - 1 - 3 10 9 6 16 24 B 1B -3 9 B Od. 1956 fro m 10 mo. 1956 com po with 10 mo, 19 55 DEPARTMENT STO RES Tota l El eventh District • ••• •• ••••• • Corpus Christi, ••••••. . ••••.•.••• DoUo s•••• • • • •••••••••••• , • • ••• EI Pa so •• .•• • •• ••• • . • .••..••. •• Fo rt W o rth •• . •..••• •• .••••.•.•• Houston ••••.••. • ••• , •••••••••• San Antonio . .....• • • • . •• • •••••• Snre vepo rt, La .•••• . •• . .•• . ..... W aco ••.••.• .. . . •• .. .•. , . .•. .. Othe r cities • • .• . . •• •.. • • • ..•... f URNITURE STORES To tal Ele venth District • • •••• .. • • •• Amarillo • • • • •• • .•.• • . •• • • . . • ••• Austin •• • • • •••••••••••• • ..••••• Dalla s • • •. • . ••• . •• • ••••• • • . .•. . Houston •• •••••• • • • • .• • •• •. .• •• l ubbock . ••• • ••••••••••.••••• • • Son Antonio •.••• • ••• . ••• •• . . .•• Shreve port, La . • •.•. •• •..•• •. • .• Wichita fa lls •••. . •• .. ...• . .•••• Otner cities . ••• . ••••••.• . ..•••• HO USEHOLD APPLIAN CE STORES Tota l Eleventh Districf • ••• .••. . • •• Dallas •••••••••. . • . •... ... . . . . • I Stocks at e nd o f month. - ,3 9 - 2 - 3 -11 0 3 -29 -3 10 - 4 5 5 '5 17 10 6 - 12 8 4 - 6 25 21 -2 -25 - 15 -17 15 -, -,17 3 6 1 4 6 5 0 ,2 6 -3 - 20 11 -,11 5 Oct. 1955 , -1 -2 4 14 B - 2 -1 4 11 Se pl. 1956 5 3 5 5 5 3 9 -2 -1 7 5 5 18 -6 , 3 3 5 5 -6 - 3 12 1 2 0 7 _4 5 t • t MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 185 INDEXES OF DEPARTMENT STORE SALES AND STOCKS !1947-49 = 100) UNADJUSTED Area SALES Oaily average Elll!l venth District •••••••••••• Dallas • ••.•••••••• . ••.•. . • Houston •• • •• • .. •.•. •••• . • Sept. 142 129 155 155 138 126 152 165 134 121 151 152 148 143 162 130 160 174p 166 158 167r 158p 156 159 151 r 1956 1956 STOCKS-End of month Seventh DistriGt •••••••••••• AOJUSTEDI Oct. 139r 132r Aug. Oot. Oct. Sept. Aug, Oct. 1956 1955 1956 1956 1956 1955 149r 139r 139r 12Sr 14lr 1 Adjusted for seosonol variation. r-Revised. p-Preliminory, from September to October, showed somewhat less than the usual seasonal rise but were up 2 percent from a year earlier. The charge account collection ralio, at 47 percent, was 5 points above September but the same as in October last year. CROP REPORTING DISTRICTS OF TEXAS -c.. The District's department stores continued to accumulate inventories in preparation for the Christmas trade, with stocks rising 5 percent from September to October; compared with October 1955, Slacks were 4 percent higher. The seasonally adjusted index of department store stocks, at 158 percent of the 1947-49 average, was 2 points higher than in September and 7 points above October 1955. Orders outstanding, which had increased moderately from August to September, decreased 9 percent in October and fell 8 percent under those of a year earlier. Total dollar sales of reporting furniture stores in the District during October rose sharply, as usual, and were 10 percent above those of September but 2 percent lower than in October 1955. Total accounts receivable showed virtually no change (rom August and September and were up 3 percent from a year earlier. Furniture store inventories increased 3 percent during October and 5 percent over a year ago. New car registrations in Dallas, Fort Worth, Houston, and San Antonio, after declining 22 percent from August to September (the low point of the year), rose 5 percent during October, with 1957 models accounting for approximately 18 percent of the registrations. October registrations were down 22 percent from a year earlier, compared with a 38-percent decrease for September. New car sales for the first 10 months of 1956 were 22 percent under the comparable period of 1955. Combining of the 1956 grain sorghum crop is complete, and yields in northwestern irrigated areas are higher tban earlier expectations. Output of grain sorghums in the District states is placed, as of November 1, 1956, at 112,529,000 bushels, which is 5 percent over the previous month's estimate but is a third less than the 1955 crop. Corn production prospects also are better than previously indicated; outturn in the District states is estimated at 50,346,000 bushels, Or 6 percent higher than on October 1 but more than a third below last year's production. The output of all major feed grains in the District states is below that in 1955, and severe drought reduced hay outturn one-fifth. As a result of the short forage crop, the price of baled hay in Texas increased 36 percent between October 15, 1955, and mid-October this year. Harvesting of cotton is active in the western portions of the District. The crop in the District states is estimated, as of November 1, to be 2 percent higher than the month-earlier forecast but 9 percent smaller than the outturn in 1955. Reduced prospects in Arizona, Louisiana, and Oklahoma were more than offset by improved prospects in New Mexico and, particularly, in Texas. In the Nation, cotton production is COTTON PRODUCTION Texas Crop Reporting Di.strids (In thousands of bales - Following excellent rains over the eastern half of the District during the last week in October, the weather has generally remained dry and cooL Planting of small grains and winter legumes was active in early November in eastern sections; seedings made prior to the rains are up to a good stand and are making good development. Light to heavy frosts on November 9 ended the summer growing season over most of the northern and northwestern portions of the District. Additional moisture is needed throughout the District, particularly in western range areas and in the High Plains winter wheat area of New Mexico and Texas. 500 lb. gross wi.) 1956 Crop reporting district l·N ••. . . ... .•••.••• . •.•.••• 1-5 ••.•••.• • •.•••.•••••• •• • 2-N •••••.. ••• . • • ••••••••• •• Indicated November 1 1956 1955 505 379 512 1,185 1,024 1,097 10-5 ••.. . . _._ .. _........... 170 95 8 355 85 75 295 8 83 135 160 48 393 273 264 23 642 145 94 269 33 163 69 238 40 383 Stole •••••••••••••• ,_ •••• 3,600 ",039 2-5 •.....••..• • •..•••.••••• 3 .... .. .• ... •.....•.•. ..... 4 •• • •••••.••• • • ••• •• ••••••• S·N ••••.•• • • • ••••••••. • •••• 5-S •• _•••.••••••••••••••••• 6 .•••.•.• . •.. .. _...•....•.. 7 •..•.....•.... __ . .•...... _ S·N ••• • .••••••••••••••••• •• 8-5 . . . . ... ..•• •• •••••••. •.. 9_ .. •...•••.... • ...•..•.•.. IO-N •••••••••••••••••••••• 1954 SOURCEl United State5 Department of Agriculture. 221 179 21 447 76 75 261 26 142 217 192 67 407 3,940 as percent of 1955 133 116 62 36 35 55 59 80 110 24 51 196 67 120 103 89 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 186 CROP PRODUCTION FARM COMMODITY PRICES Texas and Five Southwestern States Top Prices Paid in local Southwest Markets (In thousands of bushels) Commodity and market Estimated Estimated Nov. I, 1956 Crop Cofton' ••••••••• Corn ••• •••• ••. • Winter wheat.••• Ooh ••••••••• •• Barley •••••••• • Rye •••••••••• • • Rice l , • • ••• • • ••• Sorghum grain • •• Flaxseed • •• •• •• Hoy4 •••••• ••••• Peonuts 5 ••• ••••• Irish potatoes' • •• ~:C~·~,~~t.~~~~.:: 3,600 28,365 28,275 21,998 2,'80 18' 11,0.48 98,53" 95 1,5.41 88,550 1,286 59' 27,500 Week ended Unit Nov. 20. 1956 fiVE SOUTHWESTERN STATESl TEXAS Average 19.45-54 1955 ',039 48,288 1.4,326 23,590 2,072 124 14,880 148,309 96 2,261 239,235 1,760 1,914 38,000 3,518 ,.... 209 50,722 27,090 2,0.40 244 11,837 82,103 911 1,660 252,600 11,47.4 11,397 30,565 Nov. I, 1956 5,550 50,346 95,129 39,052 17,023 910 22,623 112,529 147 ',921 140,675 3,155 5,049 51,500 Average 1955 19.5-5' .41,20.4 5,256 78,089 131,765 .40,518 .4.4,837 17,181 691 28,030 175,296 174 6,255 37.4,055 3,787 7,932 99,460 10,589 822 23,476 97,420 1,293 .4,951 366,517 13,382 76,369 65,595 6,078 77,273 1 Arlzono, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas. :I In thousands of bales. , In thousands of bags containing 100 pounds each. , In thousonds af tons. I In thousands af pounds. • In thousands of hundredweight. , Average. 1949-54. SOURC~ United States Department of Agriculture. indicated at 13,153,000 bales, or 1 percent lower than a month ago and 11 percent below output in 1955. Texas cotton production is placed at 3,600,000 bales, or 140,000 bales above the previous foreca st but 11 percent below 1955 output. Outturn of irrigated High Plains cotton is exceeding preharvest expectations as a result of the extended frost-free period and relatively light insect damage throughout the growing season_ Yields on some dry-land acreages in the area are also higher than previously anticipated_ The yield per harvested acre in Texas, at 276 pounds, is 5 pounds below a year ago but is still one of the highest of record, This yield is an average of extremes, as record-high output per acre is indicated for all irrigated areas while belowaverage yields are in prospect for most dry-land sections, except a few coastal and northeastern Texas counties_ The United States Department of Agriculture recently announced a total national acreage allotment of 17,585,463 acres for the 1957 crop of upland cotton, including 100,000 acres in the reserve for allocation to small farms_ The allotment for extra-long staple cotton is 89,357 acres. In the District states, allotments for 1957-crop upland cotton total 9,543,954 acres, or about 2 percent larger than in 1956_ Allotments for extra-long staple cotton are 84,162 acres, which is almost double the 1956 total. Moisture is below needs in non irrigated south Texas vegetable areas, and the shortage of irrigation water in the Lower Valley is diminishing vegetable prospects. The frost during the COTTON, Middling 15 / 16-inch. Dallas .••• WHEAT, No.1 hard. Fort Worth •••...... OATS, No.2 white, Fort Worth •••••..•.. CORN, No.2 yellow, Fort Worth .•• • ••••. SORGHUMS, No.2 yellow, Fort Worth •• •• HOGS, Choice, Fort Worth .••.••••.••••• SLAUGHTER STEERS, Choice, Fort Worth .•• SLAUGHTER CALVES, Choice, Fort Worth •• STOCKER STEERS, Choice. Fort Worth •...• SLAUGHTER LAMBS, Choice, Fort Worth •• • BROILERS, south Texas ••••••••.•. • • •.•.• lb. bu. bu. bu. cwl. cwl. cwl. cwl. cwt. cwt. lb. $ .3280 2.60% 1.04Yl 1.71 2.48 15.25 n.50 18.50 18.00 19.00 .19 Comparable Comparable week, week, previous previous year month .3280 $ $ 2.52~ 1.0'v.. 1.64 2.45 16.50 2-4.50 19.00 19.00 20.00 .19 .3405 2.39v.. .88 1.52 2.12 13.25 21.00 19.00 19.00 17.25 .24 early part of November extended into the Lower Valley, but little damage to tender vegetables occurred. Peppers, tomatoes, and lettuce are being harvested in parts of south Texas_ Prospective production of commercial vegetables for fall harvest in Texas is estimated, as of November 1, to be below a year earlier for all crops except carrots_ Small grain fields in the eastern half of the District are providing much-needed livestock forage, but grains planted afler the late-October rains have not developed sufficiently to provide grazing. Range forage conditions in Oklahoma and Texas, improving slightly as a result of rains in midOctober and early November, remain critical. In Arizona and New Mexico, range conditions showed less improvement between October and ovember than they did in the other range states of the District. Livestock marketings slackened in parts of Texas following the precipitation, but poor range feed conditions in Arizona and New Mexico continue to exert pressure on ranchers to reduce basic herds. • The index of prices received by Texas farmers and ranchers at mid-October was almost 1 percent below the month-earlier level, according to the Department of Agriculture_ The index - at 246 percent of the 1910-14 average - was nearly 3 percent lower than a year earlier. Compared with mid-September, higher prices were received for all grains, cotton lint, cottonseed, and hay; but these gains were more than offset by a decline in the meat animal index, which reAected a sharp decrease in prices received for beef cattle and calves. A seasonal increase in egg prices contrasted with lower prices received for chickens and turkeys. Cash receipts from farm marketings in the District states totaled $1,722,808,000 during January-August this year, or 5 percent more than in the corresponding period in 1955_ CASH RECEIPTS FROM FARM MARKETINGS Five Southwestern States LIVESTOCK RECEIPTS (In thousands of dollars) (Number] August FORT WORTH MARKET Clau Oct. 1956 Cattle •••••••••• 108,82' Calves ••• • ••••• 35,673 Hags ••••••••••• 53,978 Sheep •••••••••• 97,733 I I"dudes goats. SAN ANTONIO MARKET Oct. 1955 Se pt. 1956 Od. 1956 Od. 1955 Sept. 1956 72,407 22.346 60,022 58,903 102,862 31,84.7 44,1"'7 84,875 32.577 28,538 4,918 129,675 39,036 28,517 3,826 124,845 2',312 27,544 3,222 139,807 1956 Area Arizona ••• • •••••••••• •• Louiliona ••••••••••••••• New Mexico ••••••••• • •• • Oklahoma • ••• • •• • • ••• •• Texas .•• • ••. • •••••••••• Total •••.•••.••••••••• SOURC~ $ 8,320 32,852 5,419 66,010 182,147 5294,748 January-August 1955 1956 8,066 26,91. 5,491 45,712 191,573 $ 186,104 159,431 74,210 328,892 974,171 $ $277,756 $1,722,808 $1,635,652 $ United States Department of Agriculture. 1955 199,719 148,721 70,771 274,557 941,8804 • MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW Receipts from crops were 11 percent higher, and those from livestock were 1 percent larger. 187 J CONDITION STATISTICS OF ALL MEMBER BANKS Eleventh Federal Reserve District lin millions of dollars) Changes in accounts at District weekly reporting member banks in the 5 wccks ended November 21 reflected the combined impact of . seasonal factors and Treasury borrowing. Deposits rose $45,275,000, an increase which was more than accounted for by growth in the demand deposit accounts of the Unitcd States Government. In large part, the increase in Government balances reflected bank subscriptions to a special issue of Treasury bills, for which payment was made by credit to Government Tax and Loan Accounts. The special bill issue, amounting to $1,750,000,000, was dated November 16. Although gross loans showed a small decline during the 5 weeks ended November 21, the expansive influence of seasonal CONDITION STATISTICS OF WEEKLY REPORTING MEMBER BANKS IN LEADING CITIES Eleventh Federal Reserve District (In thousand, of dollor,) Item Nov. 21, 1956 Nov. 23, 1955 Oct. 17, 1956 ~ ASSETS , Commercial, industria l, and agricultural loans .•• $1,535,711 $1,576,967 $1,516,445 Commercia l and industriolloans l • • • • • . . • • • • 1,506,045 1,466,971 Agricultural loans 1 , •••••••••••••••••• •••• 29,666 31,474 loons 10 brokers and dealers in securities •.... • 29,663 16.992 26,657 Other loans fo r purchasing or carrying securities •• 142,664 115,751 145,190 Rea l·estale loans ••.•.....•. . .....•••.• • •.• 216.so6 214,364 216,221 Loons to bonks ••• . ..• . ••••••••••••• •.• •••• 699 12,679 25,832 All other loons ••• . •••• ..•....•. •.•••••••• • 529,710 569.603 579,530 Gross loans •.•.••• . • . • . ••.• .. ..•.•. .• •• Leu reser"es and una l(otoled thorge·offs .• 2,515,766 35,904 2,470,503 25,161 2,515,875 35.821 Net logn$ ...•.•..••.•.•. ••.•• . •.•. .. .•• 2,479.664 2,445,342 2,480,054 U. S. Treasury bills ••• ••.•....•.•..••...••• U. S. Tregsury tertifltates of indebtedness •• . ..• U. S. Treasury notes .• •••.•• .•. • ...... . .. •.. U. S. Government bonds (inc. g,d. obligolions) ... Other securities .•• . .••.••••••• •• •••••••••• 126,464 76,566 225.263 796.390 245,666 55,526 53,169 257,569 632,979 244,046 87,148 70,949 220,303 796.930 241,725 Total in"estments ••• ...•....•.... ••. . ••• • Cosh items in proten of tolledion • •.• ••...•.. Salantas with bonks in the United Stotes •.•..•. Ba lances with bonks in foreign tounlries ••••••• • Currenty ond toin •.•.••.•••..•••...••....• Reser"es with Federal Reserve Bank .... . . .... . Other assets ••••••••••••••..•.•..••••••••• 1,472,373 423,460 474,871 1,444 47,050 593,736 161,161 1,443,293 395,565 414,496 1,670 46,914 560,494 143,475 1,417,055 442,123 523,437 1,704 47,523 524,651 162,703 TOTAL ASSETS. , ... , ••••••• , • , ...... , 5,674,001 5,451,269 5,599,250 LIABIlITIES AND CAPITA L Demond deposits Individuals, partnerships, and corporetions .... United States Government ••••.••••••••••• States and political subdivisions •. . •.••••••• Banks in the United States •••••.•.••• . •••• Banks in foreign countries •..•.••.. . • . .. .•. Certified and offic ers' checks, etc •••.••. •• • 2,848,652 186,124 166,537 956,556 19,565 55,145 2,809,406 100,242 202, 137 887,746 17,602 70,83 1 2,662,962 127,928 155,435 953,287 19,807 70,307 Total demand deposits ••••...•....•.. . • 4,232,579 4,087,964 4,189,726 Time deposits Indi"idlKJls, partnerships, and corporations •••• United States Government •• •• •••••••••••• Posta I 50 vings .••.•....•....••••.••••••• Stales and political subdivisions .. .•.•.•.••. Banks in the U. S. and foreign countries .•...• 727,141 12,240 452 130,532 7,005 708,718 11,874 452 132,684 2,025 724,229 12,240 452 130,745 7,282 Toiol time deposits •••• .. . .••..•••••.•• 877,370 855,753 874,946 Tolal deposits •• •...•..• • •.•.. • . . ••• Bills payable, rediscounts, etc •.••••..•••...•. All other liabilities ... .. .. . ...•....•.•....•. Total capitol accounts ....•....•.•••• • , ••• •• 5,109,949 23.950 103,884 436,218 4,943,717 30,300 68,213 409,039 5,064,674 19,700 83,216 431,660 TOTAL LIABILITIES AND CAPiTAL........ 5,674,001 5,451,269 5,599,250 • 1 Prior to Janua ry 4, 1956, ogritulluralloa"l were nat reported separately. Comparable year-earlier figures will be shown as they became Q'tailable. Item Oct.31, 1956 Oct. 26, 1955 Sept. 26, 1956 ASSETS Loarn and discounts .•.............•. " .•• • .... United States Government obligations ..•.••• • • . . . Other s&Curities ...•..... . ....... , •. , , ....•... Reserves with Federal Reser'te Sank •• , •••.•.• •... Cosh in vault e ....•.........•.... _. , •.•..• ... Balances wilh banks in the United Stales, .•... • • . . Balances with banks in foreign countriest!. , • , .•••. Cosh items in process of collection. , ••....• . •. . . . Other ossets e •••.••.•••..•••..••.••••.. 53,949 2,357 605 945 149 1,088 2 447 231 $3,782 2,373 572 966 1'2 950 2 402 195 53,893 2,312 600 940 109 1, 158 2 506 2 18 TOTAL ASSETSe .••.. .. . . .. .•.....•.•....•. 9,773 9,386 9,738 LIABILITIES AND CAPITAL Demond deposits of banks ..•......•..• . •.. ... . Other demand deposits ..•.. •. , .••••..• .• ... .. . Time deposits •• , •... . •.. , .•... , ••• , .••...... 1,122 6,376 1,387 1,001 6,315 1,267 1,179 6,309 1,388 Toiol deposits •••.•.• , .••••. .••...••. .. .• .• Bo rrowings e • •• • , ..•.••.. . • ••..•. • • , • •• .••. . • Other lIoblllties e ,. " .•. " •••.••. • , .••••.. .... Totol capitol accounts e •.. " •.. " •..• . •.. . ..... 8,885 38 102 748 8,583 34 74 695 8,876 28 101 733 TOTAL LIABILITIES AND CAPITALe . . •.••.•.•. , 9,773 9,386 9,738 e-Estimated. factors produced an increase of $19,074,000 in commercial and industrial loans, and "all other loans" - principally consumer loans - showed an increase of $10,073,000. Primarily responsible for the decline in gross loans was a 824,933,000 reduction in loans to banks. Smaller declines occurred in loans to finance securities transactions, real-estate loans, and agricultural loans. Largely reflecting bank participation in the special issue of Treasury bills, investments of weekly reporting member banks rose $55,318,000 between October 17 and November 21. Increased bill holdings accounted for $39,316,000 of this amount. Changes in other investment categories were COIlsiderably smaller, although all types of investment holdings increased. Reflecting seasonal deposit gains and bank credits to Government Tax and Loan Accounts in payment for the Treasury's special bill issue, daily average gross demand deposits at all member banks in the District rose $16,294,000 in October. The growth in demand deposits was limited to country banks, however, as deposits at reserve city banks de· creased moderately. Both reserve city banks and country banks experienced time deposit withdrawals. Daily average time deposits registered the first monthly decline of the year, approximately two·thirds of which occurred at reserve city banks. GROSS DEMAND AND TIME DEPOSITS OF MEMBER BANKS Eleventh Federal Reserve District [Averages of daily figures. In thousands of dollan) COMBINED TOTAL Dale Gran demand Time RESERVE CITY BANKS Gross demand Time COUNTRY BANKS Gross demond Time Od. 1954 .... $7.259.916 $1.109.374 $3.591.134 $622,569 $3,668.782 $486.805 Oct. 1955 • •. • 7,304,808 1,260,749 3,589,745 736,233 3,715,063 524,516 June 1956 •••• 7.150.377 1,369.915 3.493.663 767,137 3.656.714 602.778 July 1956 •••• 7.271,859 1,380,093 3,579,411 770,067 3,692,448 610,026 Aug. 1956 •••• 7,210,443 1.381.338 3,529,320 764,026 3,681,123 617,312 Sept. 1956... . 7.388.782 1,388,777 3,641,972 764,478 3,746,810 624,299 Oct. 1956 ... . 7.405,076 1,385.71 8 3,613,334 762,475 3,791,742 623,243 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 188 RESERVE POSITIONS OF MEMBER BANKS CONDITION OF THE fEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DAllAS Eleventh Federal Reserve District (In thousands of dollars) (Averages of daily flguras. In thousands of dollars) Item Item October 1956 RESERVE CITY BANKS Reserve balances ••• • ••• • •• •• • • • • • Required reserves •••••••• • •• • •••• Excess reserves •••••••••••• •••••• Borrowings ••••••••••• • •• • ••••••• Free reserves •••••••••••••••••••• $ 556,009 549.666 6.341 20,164 -11.643 COUNTRY BANKS Reserve balances ••••••••••••••••• Required reserves • ••••••••••••• •• Excen reserves ••••.. .• ..•..•.•.• Borrowings ••••• • •••••••••••••• .• Free feserve, •••• • ••• •••••••• • •• • September 1956 October 1955 569,574 557.310 12,26.4 20.361 -6,117 $ 564.133 551,721 12,'12 14,420 -2,008 446.676 400.366 46,510 3.303 43,207 440.031 392,965 47.066 4.627 42,439 444.119 395,81 a 48,301 5.356 42.945 1.004.665 950,034 54,851 23.467 31,364 1.009.605 950.275 59.330 25.006 34.322 1.006.252 947.539 60,713 19.776 40.937 $ MEMBER BANKS Reserve bolonces•• ••••••••••••••• Required reserves •••••••••••••••• Excess reserves •• ••. •• •• •• ••••• • • Borrowings •••••••••••••••••••••• Free reserves • •••• ••• • • ••••••••• • At $1,004,885,000 in October, member bank reserves averaged $3,367,000 lower than in the previous month. Reductions in the reserve balances of reserve city banks more than accounted for this decrease, as country banks showed a $2,757,000 increase in reserves. Net borrowed reserves of reserve city banks increased $9,835,000 in October to an average of $11,843,000, reflecting larger borrowings and reductions in excess reserves_ Conversely, country banks reduced their borrowings from the Federal Reserve bank, and their free reserves rose slightly to $43,207,000. For all member banks in the District, free reserves declined to a level of $31,364,000. Treasury operations contributed $124,513,000 to member bank reserves during the 5 weeks ended November 21; and smaller reserve gains stemmed from currency transactions, expansion of local Federal Reserve credit, and a decline in other Federal Reserve accounts_ A $45,373,000 excess of payments over receipts in connection with interdistrict commercial and financial transactions created the only sizable reserve drain during the 5-week period_ Reflecting these changes, member bank reserve balances rose $97,004,000 to a total of $1,021,554,000 on November 21. Nov. 21, Nov. 23. 1956 1955 Total gold certificate reserves •••••... •.. · .•• $ 792.496 6.700 Discounts for member banks • .. •••••.••••••• 102 Other discounts and adyances • •••••• •••• ••• 956,562 U. S. Goyernment securities •• •.• •••••• ••.•• • 965,364 Total earning assets •.•••.• . .••••••••.••••• 1.021.554 Member bank reserye deposits ••••.....• . ••• 717,163 Federal Reserye notes in actual circulation •• ••• Oct. 17. 1956 $720,217 $744.431 32.545 376 957.669 990.790 . 10,361 o 946.269 964,254 958,650 924,550 726.977 718.531 discounts and advances and increased holdings of United States Government securities_ Gold certificate reserves rose $72,281,000. On November 21, Federal Reserve notes in actual circulation totaled $717,163,000, reflecting declines of $1,368,000 since October 17, 1956, and $11,814,000 since November 23, 1955. The annual rate of deposit turnover rose to 21.8 in October, compared with 19.0 in September and 19.2 in October 1955. In line with this development, bank debits to demand deposits showed a monthly increase of 15 percent in the District's 24 reporting centers. In addition to the special offering of Treasury bills dated November 16, a Treasury refunding operation also was conducted during the month. New 31;4 -percent Tax Anticipation certificates of indebtedness maturing June 24, 1957, and 31;4-percent certificates of indebtedness maturing October 1, 1957, were offered, on an exchange basis, to holders of $9,083,000,000 of 2% -percent certificates of indebtedness maturing December 1. 4 BANK DEBITS, END-Of-MONTH DEPOSITS AND ANNUAL RATE OF TURNOVER OF DEPOSITS (Amounts In thousands of dollars) DEBITSl DEPOSITS! Percentage change from October Area ARIZONA Tucson • • • • .•.• • .•• •• $ 1956 Oct. Sept. Annual rate of turnoVer October 31, 1955 1956 167.402 21 20 66.652 260.235 10 7 34,2 85 Ocf. 1956 Oct. Sept. 1956 1955 1956 97,065 20.5 17.4 17.0 7 6 50.620 166,874 16.3 16.7 16.2 15.5 15.7 15.6 $ LOUISIANA Earning assets of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas rose $6,714,000 during the 5 weeks ended November 21. The overall change featured a decrease in discounts for member banks, but this decline was more than offset by an increase in other CHANGES IN FACTORS AFFECTING MEMBER 8ANK RESERVE BALANCES Eleventh Federal Reserve District (In Ihousands of dollars) CHANGEI 5 weeki ended Nov. 21, 1956 FACTORS Federal Reserle credit-local • ••••••••. .••....•• Interdistrid commercial and flnancial transactions ••• Treasury operations ••••••••••••••••••••••••••• Currency transactions ••• •• •••••• • •••••••• ..• • •• Other deposits at Federal Reserve Bank ••• • •••••• Other Federal Reserve accounts •••••••••••• •• ••• RESERVE BALANCES November 21, 1956... ••••• •••• October 17, 1956..... ......... 51,021,554 $ 924,550 I Sign of change indicates effect on reserve balances. +$ + 3,676 45.373 124.513 13.263 2.517 3,422 +$ 97.004 + + Dec. 28, 1955No",. 21, 1956 +$ 14,721 956,630 + 962,066 + 43,213 - + 2,467 15.771 +$ 74.494 Monroe • •••• • ••••••• Shreveport •••••••••• NEW MEXICO 21 31 29,402 14.8 12.7 11.9 80.271 175.523 161.239 146.3 65 174.326 16,427 2.216.910 273.257 717.146 97.676 2,411.590 22.169 182.066 56.017 46.517 492.736 20.236 76.720 91,745 99.771 17 9 16 19 6 -4 6 20 20 25 20 6 39 6 10 9 3 11 0 6 14 21 9 11 1 -1 17 27 14 15 14 6 51 12 9 14 6 3 9 9 58.700 106.969 114,401 106.663 106.525 21.375 971.714 132.414 372.113 74.233 1.210.965 19.716 99.495 43,562 46.256 353,341 15.947 61.251 67.214 100.900 16.4 19.9 17.0 16.9 19.2 9.1 27.1 24.7 23.2 15.6 23.6 13.6 23.2 16.0 12.6 17.0 15.0 15.4 16.7 11.6 13.9 17.9 14.3 14.9 16.2 9.4 24.6 21.0 19.9 13.2 19.9 12.7 17.6 14.2 11.6 15.6 13.3 14.8 15.6 10.6 14.6 16.7 15.7 15.6 16.6 9.2 23.3 19.9 20.3 13.9 20.6 13.3 16.6 14.0 11.6 15.0 13.4 15.5 15.6 Tolal-24 cities • •••.• • • $6,095,727 14 15 $4,451.737 21.6 19.2 19.0 Roswell •••••••••. .. • TEXAS Abilene • •••••••..• . • Amarillo ••••••••.• . • Austin .•..• • • • • •.• . • Beaumont ••• • • •••••• Corpus Christl • • ••.•.• Corsicana •• • •••..••• Dalla s •••• •••••.•••• B Paso •••••••• •• ••• Fort Worth •••• •••••• Galyeston ••••••••••• Houston •• • ••• • •• • •• Loredo •• •••.•••.•• • Lubbock • •••.••..••• Port Arthur •••••••••• San Angelo •••• •••• • Son Antonio •••••• • • • Texarkana ' ••••••••• Tyle r •••.•••.•••••.• Waco • • .•••.••.••.• W ichita Falls • ••..••• ~ 10.7 Debits to demand deposit accounts of Indiyiduals, partnerships, and corporations and of states and political subdivisions. , Demand deposit accounts of Indiylduols, partnerships, and corporations and of states and political subd iYlslons. 1 These flgures include only one bonk In Texarkana, Texas. Total debits for all bonks in Texarkana, Texas--Arkansas, indudlng two banks located in the Eighth District, amounted to $"2,758,000 for the month of October 1956. I • MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 189 NATURAL GAS , MARKETED PRODUCTION NEW PAR BANKS lIn millions of cub ic feet) The Commercial State Bank, Andrews, Texas, an in. SlLred, nonmember bank located in the territory served by the EI Paso Branch of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, was added to the Par List on its opening date, November 2, 1956. The officers are: John E. Smith, President; William C. Young, Executive Vice President; R . J. Ream, Cashier; and L. P. Alexander, Assistant Cashier. The Enloe State Bank, Enloe, Texas, an insured, non· member bank located in the territory served by the [lead Office of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, was added to the Par List on November 6, 1956. The officers are: B. B. Viles, President; C. E. Adams, Active Vice President; and Ralph Moore, Cashier. The conflict in the Middle East has caused a major disruption of the normal markcting patterns for petro· leum and, to some extent, has inter· rupted the flow of Middle Eastern crude oil into thc markets of the world. During the first week in November, the Suez Canal, through which a major portion .. of this oil had been moving, was totally blocked by the sinking , of a number of small· and medium·sized ships. At the same time, a number of pumping stations along the Iraq Petro· leum Company pipelines were dynamited, and parts of the pipelines were destroyed. The major effect of these events has been a disruption of the movement of oil from the Middle East to Europe, which has necessitated a rerouting of ship. ments. With a tight tanker situation, the need for moving oil around the Cape of Good Hope instead of through the Suez Canal means a sizable delay, as well as a sharply in· creased cost. While the United States is not directly involved in thi s Middle East crisis, the effects upon the marketing patterns of oi l have also been felt in the United States and its relation· ship with the other major markets of the world. Normally, the Middle East supplies approximately 300,000 barrels of crude oil per day to the East Coast, much of which has been i CRUDE Oil, DAilY AVERAGE PRODUCTtON (In thousands of barrels) Second quarter Second quarter Area 1956 1955 First quarter 1956 louisiana . •.. ..... •. ... .... . New M.xico •.••........ .. • . • Oklahoma ••••........•.. . • • Texas .......•...•......... . 418,800 139,800 168,900 1,239,400 355,200 123,300 173,000 1,143,700 479,500 149,000 195,700 1,324,700 Total .................... • 1,966,900 1,795,200 2,146,900 SOURCE~ United States Bureau of Mines. delayed or stopped. Total inJports for the Nation averaged 1,220,000 barrels per day during the week ended November 9, reAecting a decrease of 231,000 barrels from the preceding 5·week period. In consequence, there has been an increased demand for southwestern crude as a replacement Ior the de· clining imports. This increased demand, in turn, has stimulated an increase in allowables for three of the southwestern states - Texas, Louisiana, and New Mexico. The Louisiana ConservationCommissioner issued an emergency order, effective Novem· ber 12, increasing that State's production allowables by 75,000 barrels per day and providing for an additional 25,000 barrels per day in the December allowables. The Texas Rail. road Commission increased the number of operating days from 15 to 16 in December, which raises allowables by 75,503 barrels per day. The commission rejected requests for a larger increase in allowables because of the currently high levels of stocks of crude oil and gasoline. Other reasons cited for the moderate increase in Texas allowables were the prob. lems of tanker transportation and the fact that the Federal Government had not suggested any emergency action up to the time of the hearings. Crude oil production in the District, averaging 3,352,000 barrels per day in early November, showed a 2·percent increase over October, and the Nation's crude production also increased slightly. With new well allowables, District production in December is expected to reach a new record. The Middle East situation also caused a reversal in the trend of refinery runs, with both the District and the Nation showing moderate increases. ~ncreased refinery activity, however, was insufficient to handle the renewed demand , as crude oil stocks declined. The demand for southwestern crude oil and refined products firmed prices throughout the structure and, coupled with the usual seasonal pressures, caused an increase in the pricc of heating oils. On November 20, heavy fuel oil prices rose for the second time in less than 2 weeks as forci gn demand exe rted greater pressure on gulf coast supplies. Chonge from Area ELEVENTH DiSTRICT . .... ... Texas ................. . Gulf Coast . ... . ....... West Texal ... .. ...... Eait Texas (p roper) ..... Panhandle ......... . .. Rest of State ••.. . .. . . . Southeastern New Mexico .. Northern l ouisiana ... ..... OUTSIDE ELEVENTH DISTRICT. • UN 1TED STATES .......... .. October 1956 1 October 1955' September October 1956 1 1955 1956 3,292.7 2,932.1 584.5 1,221.3 202.1 102.3 821.9 240.5 120.1 3,704.5 6,997.2 3.155.8 2,815.0 583.9 1,101.4 212.9 90.2 626.6 225.0 115 .8 3,575.6 6,731.4 3.318.9 2,959.6 591.7 1,224 .5 202.1 100.6 640.6 237.9 137.0 117.2 .6 119.9 -10.6 12.1 -4.7 15.5 4.3 128.9 265.6 -26.2 -27.5 -7.2 -3.2 .0 1 2 1.4 3,727.4 7,0 46.3 SOURCES, 1 Estimated from American Petroleum Instltvte week ly reports. 2 Unite d States Bureau of Mines. September 1.5 -16.7 2.6 -1.3 -22 .9 -49.1 For the third consecutive month, nonagricultural employment in the Distri c t states durin g Octo ber reach cd a new record, the total of 4,166,100 being 148,4.00 above a year earlier. The gain of 15,700 workers from September reo suIted mainly from seasonal increases in government, trade, and manufacturin g employment, alLhough gains also occurred in most other types of employment. MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 190 BUILDING PERMITS NONAGRICULTVRAL EMPLOYMENT Five Southwestern Siotes1 10 months 1956 Number of persons Odober October 1956" 1955r Ty p e of emplo yment Percentage change in ¥oluotion from Percent chong. Oct. 1956 from September 1956 Oct. 1955 October 1956 Sept. 1956 Area Number Valuation Oct. Sept. 1955 1956 Number Valuation Percentage change in ¥oluotian from 10 month. 1955 Total nonagrkulturol wage and salary workers •• 4,166,100 Manufacturing •••••••• ••• 772,900 Nonmanufac:turlng ••••• • • • 3,393,200 Mining •• •• ••••••• •••• 252,900 Construction ••••••••••• 301,400 Transportation and public 400,800 utllllles ••••••••••••• Trade ••••••••••• ••••• 1,068,000 Finance • • •••••• • •••••• 175.700 482,900 Service •.... ••.• •••... Government •• •• ••••••• 711,500 4,017,700 747,100 3,270,600 282,100 4,150,400 767,600 3,387,800 257,600 302,500 3,7 3.5 3.7 2.6 6.8 0.4 .7 .2 -1.8 -.4 402,000 1,032, 100 166,700 466,800 674,400 403.700 1,061,600 175,600 481,200 700,600 -.3 3.5 5.4 3.4 5.5 -.7 .6 .1 .4 1.6 2.4.6,500 I Arizona, Louisiana, New Mex.ico, Oklahoma, and Texa,. e-Estimated. r-Revised. SOURCESI Stote employment agendes. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. Manufacturing employment, which increased 5,300 over September, also reached a new record of 772,900 workers, Hirings by aircraft manufacturers and shipbuilders and recall of workers by automobile assembly plants provided the significant month-to-month gains in the manufacturing sector_ Settlement of a labor-management dispute within the District's steel industry more than ofiset the efiects of a new work stoppage in the apparel industry. Unemployment in Texas showed a seasonal decline of 3,300 to reach an October level of 104,200, which is 3,4 percent of the labor force - or the same percentage as a year earlier, The value of construction contracts awarded in the District during October showed a sharp decline of 30 percent from September and was 16 percent below the level of October 1955, Residential awards decreased 4,2 percent from the previous month and 33 percent from a year ago, "All other" construction awards contributed to the over-all decline with decreases of 24 percent from September and 6 percent from October last year_ Reduced levels of nonresidential building accounted for most of the decline in "all other" construction; public works and utility construction totals were up from September and a year ago, VALUE OF CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS AWARDED (In thousands of dollars) Odober 1956p October 1955 Janua ry-October Septembe r - - - - ' - - - - 1956 1956p 1955 ELEVENTH DISTRICT ... $ 103,572 $ 123,602 $ 148,725 $ 1,62 1,499 S 1,455,783 Reslde"t1al . . • • • • • • 31 ,995 47,768 54,663 659,214 627,924 All other.......... 71,577 75,834 94,062 962,285 827,859 UNITED STATES1.. ... 1,706,406 1,862,692 2,024,794 21,1A7.472 20,027,736 Resid entiaL .. .... . 656,464 782,79 1 763,817 8,7 51,101 8,748,3.41 All other •• •• •• •••• 1,049,942 1,079,901 1,260,977 12,396,371 11,279,395 1 37 states east of the Rocky Mountains. p-Preliminary. SOURCEa F. W. Dodge Corporation. ARIZONA 421 $ 3,003,860 507 212 Tucson ••••.••• LOUISIANA 3,224,07.4 34 134 45 3 Shreveport •• •• teXAS 1,5 23,092 _1.4 51 Abilene •••• ••• 150 1,413,071 31 -3 Amarillo • •...• 236 .4,858,7 14 2 -7 248 Austin .•••••.• 2,566,556 389 42 363 Beaumont •••.• 2,215,588 40 131 351 Corpus Christi •• 7,011 ,063 _49 -35 1,8-49 Dallas ••• ••••• 1 51 2,881,883 513 EI Paso ••••• •• 3,261,094 -47 -12 622 Fort Worth ••.• 139,746 -47 -81 111 Gal¥eston ••• •• 16 3 820 11 ,739,825 Houston ••• •• • 42 108 3,546,757 234 Lubbock •• •••• 561.146 -12 2 195 Port Arthur •••• 16 4,206,816 -4 San Antonio ••• 1,655 2,131,930 92 -8 268 Waco •••• •••• 56 836,319 -18 Wichita Falls •• 173 4,025 $ 20,469,6 56 107 4,393 24,155,370 -24 1,744 2,286 2,624 2,841 3,381 20,724 4,172 6,560 998 8,932 2,276 1,837 16,809 2,964 1,483 19,703,520 17,005,921 41,167,784 13,959,068 17,571,288 124,438,694 23,987,835 37,751,124 .4,165,391 132,179,046 20.869,3.45 4,496,694 52,730,697 15,221,598 8,094,712 15 -10 13 80 -33 -18 -20 - 26 -6 7 -16 -5 6 15 -30 10 88,049 S577,967,743 -6 Totol-17 citiel •• 8,662 S55,121,534 0 In the Nation, construction contract awards during October were down 16 percent from September and 8 percent from the level of a year ago, Both residential and "all other" construction shared in the declines, although residential awards showed the greater year-to· year decrease. Cumulative construction a wards from January through October remained above the totals for the corresponding period of 1955 in both the Nation and the District, Building materials production and sales in the District have been affected by the slowdown in construction during recent months. Southern pine production in Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Texas declined 12 percent from August to September and was 18 percent below a year ago, New orders during September reflected declines of 11 percent from August and 20 percent from September 1955. Retail lumber sales in the same staLes during August were down 25 percent from a year earlier_ Brick production and shipments during September showed year -to·year declines of 14 percent and 12 percent, respectively_ Industrial expansion plans provide potential support to future levels of construction, The backlog of proposed industrial building projects in the Nation rose $2,300,000,000 during the first 10 months of this year to reach $16,600,000,000 at the end of October. According to the Engineering News-Record, the $2,600,000,000 backlog in Texas was the largest for any state, Proposed manufacturing plant expansions in the Distri ct showed an increase during October, with at least 15 major expansions - to cost $138,000,000being announced during the month. More than $118,000,000 of this amo unt represented the proposal of a gulf coast establishment to enlarge its existing steel plant. •