The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
Business Review ., ......... ....... " "~ ,f r . ...... \ -.. ) International FinanceRecurrent Crises Plague World Monetary System :j I Part I Functional Cost AnalysisA New System Approach To Gauging Profitability August 1971 . , " ."""tI;;.... This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) International Finance- Recurrent Crises Plague World Monetary System PART I: MECHANICS AND PROBLEMS The. international monetary crisis earlier this year was only one of seVeral since the start of the 1960's. ~peculation hit the German mark In 1961, 1968,1969, and 1971; the fre~ch franc in 1968 and 1969; the talian lira in 1963; the British POUnd in 1961, 1964, 1967, and 11 968 ; and the U.S. dollar in 1960, 968, and 1971. Although the international tn,onetary system was able to WIthstand these onslaughts, the German mark was revalued in 1961 and 1969, and earlier this year the German central bank abandoned SUpport of the mark, allowing it to ~o~~ in the exchange market. The ntIsh pound was devalued in 1967, and the French franc in 1969. d As a result of these and other evelopments in world finance, pro~osals for facilitating the interbatlonal adjustment process have omeet;t discussed-officially and uncIallY-for more than a decade. This first-part article describes the Current system and some of the problems encountered. Next tnfo nth , Part II will discuss some o the proposals for reform. have since been supplemented by a variety of treaties, financial institutions, and special arrangements for handling particular situations. The establishment of the Gold Pool in 1962 and the two-tier gold system in 1968 represents two of these supplemental efforts. But in addition, a general agreement to borrow was added to the articles in 1961, allowing the IMF to borrow from member countries. A new international reserve asset--SDR's (special drawing rights) - was established and used in 1970. And central banks have established an elaborate system of reciprocal credits. The international monetary system has also been influenced by institutional elements. One of these has been the role of central importance of the U.S. dollar in international finance. Another has been the development of the Eurodollar market. Exchange rates in theory Under the current system, countries try to adjust their balanceof-payments positions without changing fixed parities, which set a The current system country's currency in relation to The' C ~nternational monetary system gold or the dollar. To ensure that f onslsts of various arrangements countries will not raise or lower or the settlement of imbalances in their exchange rates merely to bayments (deficits or surpluses) match the revaluation or devaluaetWeen countries and for the tion of other currencies, members bad'JUstment of imbalances. The of the IMF, having once estaboi~s of this system are the Articles lished the parities of their curM greement of the International rencies with gold (or the dollar), are committed to a specific Onetary Fund, which were for~Ulated at the Bretton Woods exchange rate that, except in onference in 1944. Representing rare instances, they must maintain within 1 percent of parity. ~ eff~rt to set standards of t ehaVlor in international finance, They are absolved of this responsihe articles establishing the IMF bility only when a country faces a llUsiness Review / August 1971 severe and persistent imbalance. In this case, a deficit country can devalue its currency or a surplus country can revalue. As an illustration of how imbalances in the international accounts are corrected under a system of fixed exchange rates, assume that imports to a country increase more than its exports, while the capital account and other components of the international accounts remain unchanged. With more goods coming in than going out, the country develops a deficit in its balance of payments. Initially, the country can draw on its reserves, such as gold, reserves of the currencies of other countries, and SDR's. Or it can borrow from other countries or from the IMF. Theoretically, the deficit itself will set in motion a self-correcting mechanism that would ordinarily be expected to adjust the imbalance, at least partially. It is generally reasonable to assume that a relative increase in imports will cause income in the deficit country to contract. And the contraction in income causes imports to fall. Also, the deficit can cause the country to lose international reserves. If, as a result, monetary authorities allow the domestic money supply to decline, interest rates will tend to rise, further contracting not only income but also investment. With the country no longer able to buy as much abroad as before, imports and the payments deficit are reduced. In practice, however, labor and many other costs are fairly rigid. Because these costs in most countries cannot be lowered easily there is often not enough decline in prices to eliminate a deficit in the balance of payments. Often the 1 dollar is widely used as a unit of account and means of payment in transactions not involving the United States, it serves as a vehicle currency.l The dollar serves the international monetary system as the principal medium for malting payments. Not only is it the single most important c,urrency in the invoicing of foreign trade, but with the growing importance of the Eurodollar and European dollar bond markets, still more of the world's transactions involve the dollar. The reason for the vehicle role is clear. The key-currency position of the dollar under current institutional arrangements implies a lower potential range of exchange fluctuations in terms of the dollar than any other currency. Currency pegged to the dollar can fluctuate about 1.5 percent in terms of the dollar, which means a possible 3-percent margin in terms of each other. The dollar, therefore, provides a potentially better short-run store of purchasing power than other currencies. Although the dollar is the cornerstone of the international monetary system, its relative dominance has tended to diminish over the years. A series of virtually uninterrupted deficits in the U.S. balance of payments has, from time to time, caused some to question the continued ability of the Role of the dollar dollar to fulfill its important international functions-at least, unThe importance of the U.S. dollar . in the international monetary sys- assIsted. . Partially as a result, seritem results from its performance of ous mternational currency crises have erupted. These crises, which three functions. Because many have tended to become more frecountries hold the dollar as an quent in recent years, continue to international reserve asset, it serves as a major reserve currency. reflect developments that began Because many countries use dollar in the early 1950's. Until the 1950's, the United balances to support the value of States went unchallenged as the their own currencies in the foreign world's leading postwar economy. exchange market, the dollar is a With its main prewar competitorskey currency. And because the decline in imports (and possibly the increase in exports) is not enough to restore equilibrium to the balance of payments. Unless a country can maintain a fairly close' equilibrium in its balance of payments, its currency tends to depreciate relative to the value of other currencies. To keep depreciation within the I-percent margin agreed upon, monetary authorities intervene in the exchange market to buy their currency with reserves. If the deficit is merely the temporary result of random or cyclical variations or if other offsetting disturbances reestablish equilibrium, no deliberate adjustment policy is needed. The country can finance its short-run deficit by borrowing or falling back on reserves. But if the deficit persists, the country will eventually have to adopt policy measures designed to restore equilibrium. The appropriate policies may include more restrictive monetary and fiscal measures than those of surplus countries. However, a country may also impose controls on the flow of trade or capital, although the former is not recognized as appropriate under IMF rules. If the situation is one of severe and persistent imbalance, the deficit country can devalue its currency. Conversely, surplus countries can revalue their currencies upward. Europe and Japan-all but knocked out and its own productive machinery still turning out goods at wartime capacities, this country exported to markets throughout the world. And a large dollar shortage developed abroad. From 1950 to 1956, the United States had moderate deficits in its balance of payments-averaging a little over $1 billion a year on the liquidity basis. And these deficits were welcomed because they allowed European countries to replenish their war-depleted reserves with dollars. In 1957, the year after the Suez crisis, the United States had a small balanceof~payments surplus-one of only two between 1950 and the present. The following year, a large deficit of $3.4 billion appeared. And in. 1959 and 1960, even larger deficlts of about $3.9 billion appeared. By the start of the 1960's, the U.S. deficit was beginning to b~ viewed with some concern. Until then, the country's international reserve assets had exceeded its liquid liabilities to foreigners. But in 1960, liquid liabilities to foreigners rose above the level of U.S. gold stock and other reserve assets, resulting in speculation about the ability of the United States to continue malci.ng good its policy of selling gold to foreign monetary authorities at the rate of $35 an ounce. . This uncertainty culminated III a confidence crisis in 1960, popularly referred to as "the Gold Rush of 1960." The speculative. wave of gold buying in anticipation of an increase in the official price of gold was turned aside through 'the coordinated efforts of the United States and principal European countries. But the uneasiness in international markets persisted. , Beginning early in the decade, the U.S. Government undertook 1. V ehicle cur rency is a f or eign currency meeting three general criteria : (1) dea ler s in foreign exchange hold sig nificant working balances in the currency; (2) denIers ta ke tempora ry positions in that currency; and (3) the currency is one through which a nonvehicle currency can be excbanl1 for another. A vehicle currency. therefore. is more than a means of excbnnlre. 2 cd Net U.S. capital outflows accelerate as trade balance declines several programs to correct the balance-of-payments deficit. Measures were enacted to slow the BILLION DOLLARS _______________________________________ flow of funds abroad, and monetary and fiscal policies were directed BALANCE OF PAYMENTS toward improvement of the bal(EXCLUDING SDR'S) ance of payments. Where, on the liquidity basis, the deficit had reached $3.9 billion in 1959 and 1960, it fell to $1.4 billion in 1966. But the next year it rose again, increasing sharply to $3.5 billion. With increasing reluctance, cen-8_ tral banks in Europe continued absorbing the surplus dollars flowing into their national markets. -12~1________- l________-L________- L________~ After the sterling crisis in 1967, stronger steps were taken to eliminate the U.s. balance-of-payments 9deficit. And the next year, the NET CAPITAL FLOWS United States achieved its second PLUS TRANSFERS AND OMISSIONS surplus since 1950. On the liquidity basis, the surplus was very small, OFFICIAL SETTLEMENTS BASIS however, reflecting mainly a mas0 .. · ......................................................................................................... . sive inflow of capital and an unusually large volume of special Government transactions that were only slightly more than needed to -9offset a sharp drop in the U.S. trade balance. A severe deterioration in the -15i~________~________-L________~__________ country's balance-of-payments position was partially avoided in 1969 by a sharp tightening of 9domestic monetary conditions. CURRENT ACCOUNT In an effort to accommodate strong loan demand in the face of domestic deposit shortages, banks in this country began borrowing dollars MERCHANDISE abroad. TRADE BALANCE As a result, on the official transaction basis, the United States recorded a surplus year as foreign central banks lost reserves in meeting the heavy demand for dollars. On the liquidity basis, however, 01 the balance of payments was essen1950 1965 1955 1970 tially unaffected by Eurodollar 1960 borrowings. On this basis, the 1970 figures preliminary except merchandise trade balance deficit jumped to $7.0 billion as the SOURCE:U.S. Department of Commerce balance on goods and services dropped again in response to rising domestic demand and accelerating price increases. As monetary conditions in the ....... United States eased in 1970 and 4~ I I ! llUsiness Review I August 1971 3 early 1971, U.S. banks began repaying their Eurodollar borrowings, and at an increasing rate. Superimposed on the underlying deficit, this flow greatly increased the supply of dollars in the hands of foreigners, raising the nation's deficit, on the official transaction basis, to a record $10.7 billion for 1970 and $5.7 billion for the first quarter of 1971, excluding SDR's. Searching for a profitable return on these accumulating balances, foreign holders of dollars turned to the markets offering the highest return on short-term investments. The money markets in countries where authorities were maintaining tight monetary policies in their bout with domestic inflation were primary candidates. Large volumes of dollars began to be exchanged for foreign currencies in these markets, and central banks tended to absorb the surplus supply. Reserves of central banks rose sharply, particularly in Germany, giving rise to speculation that these countries might undertake to stem further inflows by revaluing their currencies. And this prompted still more inflows. These conditions culminated in the closing of foreign exchange markets in Germany, Switzerland, the Netherlands, Belgium, and Austria in early May. When the markets reopened, the German mark and the Dutch guilder were floating, and the Swiss franc and Austrian shilling had been revalued. Three main problems Three distinct but related problems have developed under the system established at Bretton Woods. These involve international liquidity, payments adjustments, and confidence. In addition, other complicating problems have arisen from the rapid development of the Eurodollar market. The problem of liquidity relates principally to the inadequacy of official international reserves in 4 supporting the full potential for growth in world trade over the long run. It does not relate to the adequacy of the reserves of anyone country. Any national inadequacy may reflect, of course, the depletion of a country's international reserves as a result of persistent deficits in its balance of payments. The institution of the special drawing rights program was largely a result of the general recognition of the need for consistent growth of reserves under the arrangements adopted at the Bretton Woods Conference (and, subsequently, amended). The problem of adjustment relates to the system of restoring balance to a country's international accounts. Adjustment programs to correct payments deficits by creating enough unemployment to reduce demand for imports have been generally unacceptable in all countries since World War II. An adjustment for the sak-e of a country's balance of payments is considered satisfactory only if the deficit country can reduce its domestic prices and income with minimum sacrifice of growth and output. Since this is a difficult criterion, the adjustment mechanism of the Bretton Woods system is not permitted, in practice, to work fully. The problem of confidence relates to the transfer of funds from one country to another. In essence this problem affects the stability of the whole international system. The system has been subject to confidence crises increasingly in recent years as individuals and businesses have come to think a particular parity was about to change. There have been large speculativ.e flows, for example, from sterlmg to dollars that placed the Bank of England under great pressure. There have also been massive transfers of funds from dollars into German marks. In both cases, massive infusions of funds were needed to defend against these speculative attacks. In the case of Britain, the devaluation of the pound in 1967 may have been forced by heavy flows of speculative capital. In the case of Germany, large conversions into f marks were an important cause o. the revaluation of that currency 1n 1969. Similar pressures in 1971 caused Germany to resort to a floating mark. Exchange rates in practice In response to needs for liquidity, confidence, and adjustment, the international monetary system has undergone significant change . several times in recent years-w1th the acceptance of special agreements, new institutional arrangements, and formal modifications. t Although the introduction of SDR's has no doubt been the mo S innovative change in the system, others have also been extremely important. d.t To cope with shortages of cre 1 available to members with balanceof-payments problems, resources of the IMF were expanded more than $6 billion in 1961 by establishment of a general agreement to borrow. The Bretton Woods agreement provides that the IMF can borrow from members willing to lend. But under this additional agreement of 1961, ten members were formally committed to support the IMF with large loans 10 their currencies. The United Sta~es committed itself to loans up to $ to billion, and the United Kingdom loans up to $1 billion. So far, thil_ fund has borrowed around $2 b t lion under this general agreemen . Many changes in the system have been made to deal with special circumstances. The Federal. Reserve System entered into recIProcal credit arrangements with other central banks in 1961 to provide swaps of currencies. On March 10, 1971, the Federal Reserve System's reciprocal currencY arrangements included swap. a~ree ments amounting to $11.2 billion. Dnder an arrangement with the Bank of England, the Federal Re- s:~e System can obtain up to $2 ~Illion in sterling. Similarly, the I r I I I an~ ?f England can obtain up to $2 bIllion in dollars. All told, 15 central banks were involved in the SWap arrangements in March. I~ 1961, the U.S. Treasury began ISsuing securities to foreign central banks denominated in ~~eir ~urrencies. In addition to ese l11struments-known as Roosa bonds-the Treasury began S~Uing nonmarketable bonds paya Ie in dollars. At the end of ~arch 1971, outstandings amount~ t? more than $1 billion in oreIgn-denominated bonds and more than $2.5 billion in dollar~enominated bonds. With these ~nstruments, the United States nanced part of its deficit without ~eUing gold to foreign central tanks .not wanting to add further a then dollar holdings. Changes in international arr~ngements for gold transactions WIth individuals began with the ~stablishment of the Gold Pool In 1962. The pool acted as the tr.nt for seven countries-the d nIted States, the United King10m, France, Germany, Switzerl:nd, ~elgiu~, and the Nether. nds-l11 bUYl11g and selling gold In the London market. Participants ~greed not to deal in gold directly. ~ the pool sold gold to keep the PrIce from rising, it exhausted its ?Wn holdings and sold gold belongIng to the members. f In 1968, when private demand tor gold again threatened the syshe~, some members of the pool lteSltated in supplying more gold. ather than dissipate monetary r~serves to hold the market price gold at $35 an ounce, the memth rs devised a two-tier gold system of at marked the end of operations the pool. b Dnder the two-tier system, memells agreed to deal in gold with eich other at $35 an ounce. They a So agreed not to supply the free b llUs' lIless Review I August 1971 market with gold at a higher price. The result was a two-tier system, with the price of monetary gold stabilized at the level on which exchange rates are based and the price of gold in the open market free to vary with demand. Because South Africa, the world's largest producer of gold, was not a party to the agreement, there was some uncertainty for a while. For the first year or so after the agreement, the market price of gold stayed well above the official price, largely because South Africa was able to withhold supplies from the market but also because uncertainties in the value of currencies helped sustain demand. Conditions changed abruptly in 1969, however, as South Africa suddenly moved from a position of surplus in external payments to one of deficit and was forced to sell gold not only from its current production but also from its reserves. With most of these sales in the open market and world exchange conditions improved, the market price of gold eased back to the official price. Also contributing to this easing was a sharp increase in interest rates that raised the cost of holding gold. In these circumstances, it became possible in late 1969 to reach a formal agreement on the marketing of South Africa's gold. South Africa agreed to sell its current production on the free market only when the market price is higher than $35. Such sales were to be orderly and limited to the country's current payments needs. In addition, South Africa would make gold available to the IMF. For its part, the IMF agreed to buy South African gold out of current production to the extent needed to meet that country's current exchange needs. Purchases would be at the official rate, regardless of the market rate. The arrangement effectively provided a floor of $35 an ounce to the price South Africa gets for its gold. These changes in the monetary system-a network of swap agreements, sales of Roosa bonds b?~rowing arrangements, and proVISIOns for dealings in the gold market-strengthened the system against the instability resulting from lack of confidence in currencies. These changes also altered the mechanics of the exchange-ra te system-a system greatly influenced by still another institutional development. The Eurodollar market Growth of the Eurodollar market has greatly complicated the operation of the international monetary system, impacting directly on interest rates and the availability of funds in different countries. Banks in almost any country can accept dollar-denominated deposits from the market, convert them into local currency, and make loans to domestic borrowers. Banks and corporations can also liquidate dollar deposits in the Eurodollar marketin much the same way they would liquidate short-term investments to provide funds for expansion. During periods of tight credit in the United States, such as in 1966, 1969, and early 1970, banks in this country have relied heavily on the Eurodollar market as a source of loanable funds that could not be borrowed readily in the domestic market. Similarly, in periods of expansionary monetary policy, banks and companies have absorbed liquidity by investing in the Eurodollar market. Such placements of dollars may tend to counteract somewhat central bank efforts to increase liquidity at home. The Eurodollar market has not only increased the problems of domestic monetary management but also complicated the monetary management of foreign central banks. Because of the general sensitivity of international finance to changes in interest rates, the Eurodollar market has come to function as a transmission belt 5 linking money markets in the United States and Europe. From 1969 through the first half of 1971, changes in the volume of Eurodollars used by banks in the United States were crucial in the transmission of U.S. monetary influence to Europe. When the Federal Reserve System adopted a restrictive policy in 1969, banks in the United States increased their Eurodollar borrowings by $7 billion. Eurodollar rates rose steeply, and funds flowed out of European banking systems into the Eurodollar market. The drop in short-term rates in the United States during the period of expansionary policy in 1970 and early 1971, together with the return flow of Eurodollars released by U.S. banks, depressed Eurodollar rates, creating an incentive for companies in Europe to borrow Eurodollars. Throughout this period, interest rates were generally higher in Europe than in the United States and currency was generally tighter. The resulting inflow of funds to Europe hampered monetary efforts to cope with inflation there. This was especially true in Germany. Development of the Eurodollar market has also led to other complications. Some reports suggest that during recent attacks on the dollar, low margin requirements for financing gold purchases were apparently met by Eurodollar credit. Since the collateral was of the highest grade, Eurodollars became readily available for speculation. Moreover, there is some indication that the Eurodollar market has also been used as a vehicle for speculating in foreign currency. As a result of these problems, central banks in several countries have imposed controls intended to keep banks and corporations from pursuing practices inconsistent with domestic monetary objectives. By 1969, banks in Austria, France, Italy, Belgium, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom were operating under various types of regulations intended to limit lending in the Eurocurrency market. Also that year, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System moved to influence use of Eurodollars by U.S. banks. To slow the flow of Eurodollars into the United States during a period of restrictive monetary policy, the board placed marginal reserve requirements on Eurodollar borroWings. Then in late 1970, as monetary policy in the United States eased and the difference in interest rates in the United States and Europe widened-causing large U.S. banks to repay their Eurodollar borroWings-the board moved to slow the consequent deepening in the official settlements deficit by slowing the return flow of Eurodollars. To enhance the value of a bank's reserve-free base, the board raised the reserve ratio required on marginal Eurodollar borrowings from 10 percent to 20 percent. -Lacy H. Hunt, II New member bank The Village Bank (National Association), Dallas, Texas a newly organized institution located in the territory served by the Head Office of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, opened for business June 30, 1971, as a member of the Federal Reserve System. The new member bank has capital of $200 000 surplus of $200,000, and undivided profits of $100,000. The officers are: Charl~s M. Steele, President; Cam F. Dowell, III, Vice President; Don O. Monroe, Vice President and Cashier; and A. T. Webb, Assistant Cashier. 6 Functional Cost Analysis- A New System Approach To Gauging Profitability ~he complexity of bank operations as greatly increased with the ~evelopment of full-service bankIng, adding further to the diffiCulties of analyzing bank profits. Income and operating costs have always been hard to identify by function. With the growth of variOUs functions and their increase in n~mber, the profitability of indi~ldual functions has become even arder to determine. r In response to these complexiles, the Federal Reserve System ~as developed a program of func~lonal cost analysis to help memer banks analyze the profitability of various operations. Designed to provide individual banks with Information on the income, exihn.ses, and current earnings of en specific functions, the program also provides data for use in comparing their operations with averages drawn from a group of banks in the same deposit size and with functions of about the same size. Data are reported for banks of three groups: • Small-total deposits up to $50 million o Medium-total deposits from $50 million to $200 million • Large-total deposits over $200 million This article describes the functional cost analysis program-what it is, the information it provides, and its uses and limitations. A later article will present a detailed analysis of data collected under the program from 1966 through 1970. The analysis will be on both Eleventh District and national bases. Aggregate data will show differences in specific functions accord- ing to bank size, as well as differences in the relative profitability of various functions. An expanding program The program is of fairly recent origin. Pioneering work in functional cost analysis was first undertaken by the Federal Reserve banks of Boston and New York in the late 1950's. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia joined the effort in 1964, followed the next year by the Reserve banks of Chicag~, Cleveland, Minneapolis, St. LOUIS, and San Francisco. In 1966, the Reserve banks of Atlanta, Richmond, and Dallas joined the program. And in 1970 the Federal Reserve Bank of Ka~ sas City joined, making the program available to member banks in all 12 Federal Reserve districts. --Participation in Each District (1970) I I I r r I SOURCE: Federal Reserve Bank of New York '-~--------~-----------------------------a ltless Review I August 1971 Us • 7 There is no charge for participation. Member banks need only provide the data required as input to the program. The Federal Reserve bank of each district provides the work sheets needed and compiles and processes the data. Banks participating in the program receive individual reports on their operations for the most recent fullcalendar year. If the information is available, they also receive figures for their operations in the previous year. In addition, the Federal Reserve publishes a national report showing average operating costs and earnings for all participating banks, as well as district reports showing regional averages. There is also a national report, available through Federal Reserve banks, entitled Performance Characteristics of High Earning Banks. This report includes functional cost data on the top 25 percent of the nation's banks participating in the program. Bank participation Over 16 percent of the more than 5,700 member banks participated in the program last year. Of those, 59 were in the Eleventh Federal Reserve District. One reason for the limited participation could be the uniform reporting procedure used in the program. Because banks must report data according to a specified format, they may have to allocate additional personnel time to the preparation of reports. This is especially true for banks that are not computerized. Another reason could be that many large banks already maintain their own cost programs. Many banks, however, probably do not participate in the program because they are not aware of its potential advantages. Improvements in operational efficiency help everyone concerned. As banks become aware of excessive costs or unnecessary expenses, they are 8 better able to improve their competitive positions, passing on some of the benefits to the public in the form of higher savings rates, lower lending rates, or more efficient service. The functional approach Banks taking a functional approach to cost accounting are in a position to evaluate the costs of specific services with considerable thoroughness. They can compare costs and profits of different functions in their bank or those of a single function over time. They can also compare the performance of functions at their bank with those at other banks of similar size. Income and expense data are developed for 12 functions, allowing comparisons to be made for both the asset and liability sides of the balance sheet. Data are included for• Three fund-supplying functionsdemand deposits, time deposits, and nondeposit funds • Five fund-using functions-real estate mortgage loans, instalment loans, commercial and agricultural loans, investments, and credit-card operations (Collection of data on creditcard operations is due to start with the report for 1971. Previously, only four fund-using functions have been analyzed.) • Four departmental functionscomputer services, trust operations, safe deposits, and such non banking departments as insurance and real estate agencies, travel bureaus, farm management departments, and holding companies Bank earnings and expenses are allocated according to function. In the determination of the net earnings of a function, portfolio income is assigned to each fundsupplying function. For example, if a bank had a portfolio income of $5,000 and 40 percent of its funds came from demand deposits, the demand deposit function would have gross earnings of $2,000 in . portfolio income, plus some addItional income from service charges. In the computation of the profit of various fund-using functions, earnings, expenses, and the "c~s~ of money" (or the cost of acqUIrIng and processing funds) are assigne~ to each function. A "pool of funds approach is used, rather than any effort to match specific sources of funds on the liability side with specific uses on the asset side. With this approach, the "cost of money" is figured as the cost of acquiring and processing demand deposits, time deposits, and nondeposit funds, minus any service charge or fee income. For example, if a bank had $100,000 in demand deposits, $100,000 in time deposits, and $50,000 in net capital funds and if the cost of obtaining these funds were 2 percent, 4 percent, and 1 percent, respectively, the cost of money for this bank would be $6,500, or 2.6 percent of the funds available to it. With a figure for the cost of money, the cost of a function can, be found by multiplying the bank s average percentage cost by the amount of funds a function used. For example, if the average money cost of a bank's funds were 2.6 percent, the cost of a $50,000 instalment loan portfolio would be $1,300. This method is especially helpful in comparing costs between banks. Since accounting procedures vary widely, cost compari- . sons would have little value were It not for the uniform procedure used in functional cost analysis. Although all banks cannot be forced into a common mold, some loss of flexibility may be justified in the interest of allowing comparisons between banks. The loan function For the sake of the analysis of loans, portfolios are broken down not only into the three main functions (mortgage loans, instalment loans, and commercial and agriCultural loans) but also into subsets for each of these functions. They include• Volume of loans made • Income received • Net earnings after the cost of money • Number of loans made • Average size of outstanding loans • Number and volume of loans serviced per employee th Banks participating regularly in e functional cost analysis progfram ?an compare the profitability ° theIr loan operations over the rears, profitability of various Ypes of loans in a single year, or profitability of their loans comp,ared with those of other institu~lons ,of comparable size and with unctlOns of similar volume. The cOmparisons can be either national ?r regional. By allowing banks to Identify functions with earnings that fall substantially below average, such information can be very Useful in the structuring of loan portfolios. The Functional Cost Analysis report includes a special table for ea7h bank, showing the break-even f°Int on its consumer instalment oans. This table, by showing the smallest loan that can be granted at various interest rates and matUrities to generate enough in~hme to cover the average cost of t e !oan, provides a rough guide to he Interest charges needed for a profitable lending program. The investment function The investment function includes aU' th Interest-bearing assets of a bank f at are not included in the loan dUnction. Investments are broken OWn into• Long-term and short-term Government securities • Tax-exempt securities and loans (Which, for purposes of the analhSi~, are converted to a taxable aSIS so that uniform comparisons can be made) nUsiness Review I August 1971 The Functional Cost Equation INCOME From: l Loans Investments I~ , Other Functions - EXPENSES Salaries - COST OF MONEY l l = PROFITS Cost of Processing: Postage Demand Deposits Advertising Time Depos its Occupancy Expense Nondeposit Funds Other • Other security investments • Liquidity loans-which include such fund-using items as Federal funds sold, purchased commercial paper, bankers' acceptances, purchased certificates of deposit, and Commodity Credit certificates of interest By grouping banks according to the size of their deposits, the functional cost study allows an individual bank to focus on average investment earnings of banks of similar size and to compare earnings of different investments according to types and maturities. Moreover, the study provides data that allow a bank to compare the performance of each of its functions with the average performance of the ten banks with the closest volume in that function. The internal data furnished for each bank also allow comparison of the profitability of various investments relative to other investments and loans. The deposit functions Since the cost of money is necessary in gauging the profitability of a bank, the relative costs of different types of deposits are highly important, In trying to hold down their costs of money, bankers may want to make internal, as well as external, comparisons. Demand deposits are broken down in functional cost analysis, on the source side, by the type of deposit-regular checking accounts, special checking accounts, and other demand deposits-and on the use side, into the portion invested in the portfolio and the portion in "cash and due from banks." (Beginning with the 1971 report demand deposits will be broken ' down for .analysis by type, such as commercIal, personal, and minimum balance-no service charge) Because it does not earn a retur~ bankers are interested in holding' the "cash and due from banks" item as low as possible without foregoing the liquidity required for sound management. Income from demand deposits is mainly portfolio income. The income from service charges is comparatively small. Special checking accounts (those for which a depositor is charged a specific amount for each check) make up only a small part of the total volume of demand deposits-substan_ tially less than regular checking accounts. Time deposits-which have accounted for more than half the volume of total deposits at the banks in the program in recent years-are broken down into regular savings accounts, club accounts school savings accounts, and CD's' and other time deposits. Of these regular savings accounts and CD~s and other time deposits, of course, make up most savings at banks With time deposits, most of the income is provided by the port~olio. ~nte~e~t is the major expense m mamtammg such deposits. Because of high interest costs, net 9 earnings on time deposits are usually less than earnings on demand deposits. Other departmental functions Most banks also have departments that are not fund-using in a banking sense. When occupancy costs or other expenses, such as advertising, are allocated to computer services, for example, the function may show a net loss. A net loss, however, does not necessarily mean a function should be discontinued. On the contrary, for banks trying to portray a fullservice image, these auxiliary departments may actually add to the overall profitability of the bank. A bank could overestimate expenses of a function-which would partially account for its poor performance. Allocation of costs to functions could, on the other hand, show that such charges as service fees and safe-deposit rents are lower than they should be and that the bank could improve its net profitability by increasing its charges for these services. Limits of interpretation Functional cost analysis-while providing a measure of the profitability of bank operations-must, nevertheless, be used with caution. Flows of Bank Funds SOURCES USES DEMAND DEPOSITS REAL ESTATE LOANS TIME DEPOSITS NONDEPOSIT FUNDS COMMERCIAL AND TMENTS 10 Because participation is voluntary, banks included in the study do not constitute a random sample of either commercial banks or member banks. As with most statistical information, the usefulness of the data generated by functional cost analysis depends primarily on their intelligent interpretation. After final data are released each year, Federal Reserve banks hold meetings with representatives of participating banks in their districts to help interpret the results. The program deals with comparisons of average earnings and expenses. It does not give marginal measures. A bank might d? well, for example, to continue WIth a function that has greater fixed costs than earnings. To recover even some of the cost could be better than to abandon the function and recoup nothing. The table of break-even points on instalment loans provides another example of the need for careful interpretation. The figures in this table are not intended to suggest that smaller loans are . necessarily unprofitable. In makIng a new loan, a bank must give consideration to the incremental costs of the loan. Because many costs are fixed, they are not changed by additional loan activity. t All banks differ in some respec . Bankers looking at average figures must realize that each of their institutions is, in some sense, unique-in location, seasonality 1of deposits, managerial goals, qua ity of assets, local conditions s (including competition), and need of the community-and evaluate its performance in light of these unique characteristics. . An operation entailing a hIgh initial fixed cost may show little, if any, net profit in the first feW years. In terms of long-range growth and overall profitability, . however, a bank may need to sacrIfice short-term profits. For that ~easo~, in eValuating specific UnctIOns, it is best to focus always on the bank's overall performance. . As long as decisions regarding Income and cost allocations are ~ubjective, biases will be reflected M: any program of profit analysis. ore?ver, because many bank ~ncbons are interrelated, it is ard to allocate costs directly to sPecific functions. But the program does have the very real adVantage of offering uniform rep ort·I~g of ?ost and income. And th. IS UnIfOrmIty allows a series of comparative figures. OveralI_a useful program FUnctional cost analysis-despite some data and other limitationsProvides a valuable tool of bank management. Internal cost, exense, and earnings data allow a to compare the profitability th Its various operations and define th of greatest profitability. If a e ank finds some of its charges pre out of line with functional exa~~ses, it can begin making of ~ustments. Likewise, comparison t ~ta Over time allows the bank PInpoint improvements as it c anges operating policies. Information on the average costs and profits of other banks provides management with guidelines for the operations of its own bank. By comparing its operations with those of other institutions of similar size, management can find areas to improve profitability by making better use of the bank's resources. The profitability of any business depends on its ability to increase income and hold down costs. By giving banks the means of evaluating the performance of their various functions in terms of costs and earnings, functional cost analysis provides a tool for measuring profitability. -Carla M. Warberg b ark °b h ......... New par banks The Southeast Bank, Houston, Texas, an insured nonmember bank located in the territory served by the Houston Branch of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, was added to the Par List on its opening date, June 21, 1971. The officers are: W. Merriman Morton, President, and Louis A. Hartman, Jr., Cashier. The Webster Bank and Trust Company, Minden, Louisiana, an insured nonmember bank located in the territory served by the Head Office of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, was added to the Par List on its opening date, July 19, 1971. The officers are: J. H. Cox, Jr., President, and Robert H. Davis, Vice President and Cashier. llUs·lIless Review I August 1971 11 Research Department Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Station K, Dallas, Texas 75222 Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas August 1971 Statistical Supplement to the Business Review - Total nonagricultural wage and salary employment in the five SOuthwestern states continued its FOdest rise in June, reaching a eVel 0.2 percent higher than both ~tnonth before and a year before. ?nth-to-month employment f8.I~s Were made in both manufac~rlng and nonmanufacturing. f ost of the increase was accounted r by manufacturing, which of.ered 0.6 percent more jobs than ~ May. However, even with this llJ.crease, manufacturing employInent was 4.6 percent less than a Year before. Employment in non~~nufacturing categories rose only . Percent. A.lthough the increase in jobs 0h!side manufacturing was small, ; ost all categories of nonmanua<;turing employment showed ~B.In~ over May. The only exception wa~ In government employment, d hich was off 2.2 percent-probably \' Ue l~rgely to the start of school . acatlOns. The largest increase was ~ .t~~nsportation and public tilitles, which employed 2.1 per~ent more workers than in May. Onstruction followed closely with an ' sh In?rease of 1.9 percent. Although In OWIng gains over the previous inon~h! levels of employment p tninIng, construction, and transst~rtation and public utilities b ~ lagged behind those of a year tre ~re. Employment levels in era e, finance, service, and govthntnent were only slightly higher an a year before. Oredi.t at weekly reporting comIn t/rc1a! banks in the Eleventh Disth1Ct declined contraseasonally in c e four weeks ended July 21. The f~ll~raction, in line with a sizable by ~n deposits, was accounted for SIgnificant reductions in total t loans and in bank holdings of securities other than U.S. Government issues. The decrease in loans resulted mainly from a marked decline in business loans-which may have partly reflected the cessation of financing needs associated with the buildup of automobile and steel inventories. But with the increase in construction activity, the demand for real estate loans was still strong. Total security holdings were reduced slightly, despite significant acquisitions of Treasury notes and U.S. Government bonds maturing in one to five years. Holdings of other securities declined sharply after expanding substantially in recent months. The fall in bank deposits was due primarily to a contraseasonal decline in demand deposits. A net increase in sales of large CD's more than offset a reduction in other time and savings deposits . On balance, reporting banks reduced their borrowings in the Eurodollar market. The oil allowable in Texas for August was dropped to 66.2 percent of maximum efficient production marking the fourth reduction in a~ many months. The level in April before the slide began, was 82.1 ~ercent. Other producing states in the Eleventh District held their August allowables unchanged from July rates. Texas production will probably not decline as much as the 2.5percent drop in allowables from July might indicate. This is because production has not been able to reach the levels implied by the higher allowables of recent months, particularly in some older fields. !he Government has set up an mteragency committee in Dallas to coordinate emergency drouth-help programs and adjustments in regular agricultural programs made necessary by the drouth in the Southwest. In addition, the Department of Agriculture has stepped up payments of more than $1.1 billion to wheat, feed grain, and cotton farmers having complied with 1971 set-aside programs. Drouth has cut the planting of cotton in South and West Texas by about 20 percent. Despite this cutback, plantings in the Panhandle and North Texas place the state's total cotton acreage 2 percent over last year. The wheat harvest is turning out better than expected in Oklahoma. At about 70 million bushels, the forecast on JUly 1 was 15 percent higher than on June 1. The crop this year also has a higher protein content than last year. Poor range conditions and continued shortages of water still encourage the rapid placement of cattle in feedlots. A record 1.7 million head were on feed in Texas on June 1-30 percent more than a year earlier and 7 percent more than a month earlier. In Arizona, the number of cattle on feed was up 11 percent over a year before. Although unchanged from a month earlier, agricultural prices on June 15 averaged 6 percent higher than a year earlier. Most of this rise was offset, however, by a 5-percent rise in the average prices farmers paid. Registrations of new passenger automobiles in the four major reporting areas of Texas were 21 percent higher in June than in (Continued on back page) CONDITION STATISTICS OF WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS Eleventh Federal Reserve District (Thousand dollars) ASSETS Federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to resell • .•. ••• ••• • • •• •• •• loans and di scounts, gross . ......•.•..•..• Oth~r Commercial and industrial loans ••.. ...•••.••• Agricultural loans, excluding certiflcates of interest •••••.. .... .. ........ Loans to brokers and dealen for ece ~~S~hG~~:r~~:~r~~~:~lties ................ . Other securities • • • •. . ...........•........ Oth er loans for purchasing or carrying: U.S. Governm ent securities •.• ..•.•...•.•••. Other securities •.•.....•..••••.•.•••••.•• Loan s to nonbank Anancial Institutions: Sales flnance, personal Anance, factors, and other busine ss credit companios •...... Other ................................ . Real estate loan s . ......•.....•..•••..••••• Loans to domestic commercial banks .. . .••••••• Loans to foreign banks ••• •. •......... ....... Consumer instalment loans ...... . .. .•.....••• Loans to foreign governments, offlclal Institutions, central banks, and international institutions .•••...•. .... . . . .••..••••••• • • Other loans ••• •.. .........•..• •.••.•. ..•. • Total investments ..•.. •. . • ... . ......•.. •• • . •• Total U.S. Governm ent securities ••.•.•••.••••• Troa.ury bill ••••••.•••.••••.•••••••••••• Trea sury certiflcates of indebtedness • •••..•• Treasury notes and U.S. Government bonds maturing: Wilhin 1 y.ar ........... ......... .... . 1 year to 5 years ••••.. . . .. •• •••••••• •• After 5 years •••• • •••••••••••••••••••• Obligation. of .tate. and political .ubdiyl.lons: July 21, 1971 June 23, 1971 July 22, 1970 556,426 6,863,616 631,408 6,950,763 543,600 6,072,709 3,127,936 3,310,580 2,915,868 123,915 125,244r 102,624 556 55,482 500 57,056 515 33,765 4,838 428,984 5,195 426,271 r 813 379,779 195,164 490,565 816,842 13,137 22,022 771,892 183,807 519,999 716,075r 15,475 24,798 764,315 208,772 363,055 611,988 5,685 9,826 724,563 0 812,283 3,187,288 0 801,448r 3,191,450 0 715,456 2,567,146 1,051,110 132,960 0 995,507 119,476r 0 865,765 36,639 0 194,807 577,905 145,438 185,510r 544,996 145,525 123,875 615,268 89,983 94,507 1,871,874 24,824 1,501,275 81,163 146,209 1,256,149 975,402 93,394 483,967 8,955 93,883 135,679 1,264,067 926,983 91.689 510,028 8,756 108,437 66,845 1,121,630 724,546 89,193 444,104 8,899 471,401 471,829 489,090 TOTAL ASSETS...................... . ... 13,896,598 14,046,973 12,060,917 All other .............................. . All o,her (Including corporat •• tock.) ••••.•••• Cash itoms in process of collection • . •.••.•.•..•.• Reserves with Federal Reserve Bank ••.• ••••••••• Currency and coin • ••.•...•.••.....•••...• . •. Balanc •• with bank. In the Unlt.d State •••• • ••••• Balances with banks In foreign countries ••••.• • •.• Other assets (including investm!,nts in subsidiaries not con.olidated) •••• ••• •••••••..•••• •••••• Total depo.it .. ....... . ... . .................. 10,914,638 Total demond d. po.lts ....... . .............. Individuals, partnerships, and corporations •.• . (Averages of dally figures. Thousand dollars) Item Total reserve. held ••.•••••••••• Wilh F.deral R•• erye Bank •••• Currency and cotn •••••• • •••• Required reserves ••••••• ••••••• Excess reSerVeS • • ..• .•••••.•• • • Borrowings •• ••• • ••.••••••••.• Froe reserves • • .• • • • • • ..•• •• •• COUNTRY BANKS Total ro.erYe' held ............. With federal Reserve Bank •• • • Currency and coin •••• • •••• . • Required reserves •••. •• . . •••••• Excess reserves • . .•....•••••..• Borrowings ••. ••.•..•••.•••.•• Free reserves ••..•• • . . .••••.•. ALL MEMBER BANKS Total reserves held ••. .• .•..•..• With Federal R••• ry. 8ank •••• Currency and coin . . . •. ..• . • . Required rese rves •• •. ..•••.... • Excess reserves ••. • •. ..• •... ..• Borrowings ••.. ...••.• ... ••. .• Free reserves ••.• • •. .• ••••• . . • 9270,163 ~ 5752,94 4 2,321 34,603 107,105 4,632,590 1,060,371 2,444,995 1,034,785 24,296 59,697 1,072,127 2,459,623 996,813 20,096 64,346 18,800 1,100 18,485 1,100 14.385 1,100 1,386.283 64,591 320,805 131,554 21,342 1,057,385 1,420,126 91,116 369,782 130,137 20,753 1,051,203 1 090,382 '180,630 375,732 130,679 14.807 998,52 4 TOTAL LIABILITIES, RESERVES, AND CAPITAL ACCOUNTS ................. .. 13,896,598 14,046,973 Governments, official institutions, central banks, and international institutions ...... Commercia l banks •••... ..•.•••....••.• Certified and officers' checks, etc ....... . .... Total time and savings deposits .• . . .. . . . ...... Individuals, partn ers hips, and corporations: O,her tim. d.po.i,••.•• • •..••••...•••.• States and political subdivisions .... .. . ..... U.S. Government {including postal savings) •.•• Bank. in the Unit.d State •••••••••••• . ••• •• Foreign: Governments, ofAcial institutions, central banks, and internationa l institutions ••.• . • Commercial banks •••••••••••••••••••.• Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agree ments to repurchase ••••.•••. •.•.. Other liabilities for borrowed money •.. •••..•... Oth.r lIabiliti .... .. ...................... . ... Reserves on loans••. ••...........••....••.•.• Reserves on se curities••• • • ••.• .• .....•.... . ... Total capital accounts .• .• , ..... . .••... . ..... . 3;951 ,~~~ 264, 156,415 1,257,6 13 4,782 24,883 92,792 3,517,219 922,3 41 1 803,172 '735,797 22,63 3 17,791 -- ::::- 12,060J.!Z, CONDITION STATISTICS OF ALL MEMBER BANKS Eleventh Federal Reserve District (Mill/on dol/ars) Jun.30, 1971 May 26, 1971 Balances with banks in foretgn countrles o •••• Cash items in process of collection •••••••••• Other assetso •••••••••••••••••••••••••• 13,612 2,401 4,255 1,334 271 1,438 11 1,570 995 13,152 2,330 4,160 1,458 276 1,333 10 1,397 919 TOTAL ASSETSe ..................... . 25,887 25,035 Demand deposits of banks •••• ••••••.•.•• Other demand deposits • •••••.•....• .. ... Time deposits •• •••••••••••••• •••• •••• • • 1,907 9,889 10,123 1,660 9,568 9,545 Total depo.lt............ . ............ Total capitol accountse • •• . •. .. • • ••• • •• •• 21,919 1,536 563 1,869 20,773 1,292 1,102 1,868 TOTAL LIABILITIES AND CAPITAL ACCOUNTse ..... . .......... . ..... 25,887 25,035 Item ASSETS LIABILITIES AND CAPITAL ACCOUNTS Eleventh Federal Reserve District RESERVE CITY BANKS 10,963,856 3,405 32,020 85,789 4,644,044 Bonks in th e United States•• . •.••• ••..••• •. Foreign, Balanco. with bank. in the United S'ate ••••• RESERVE POSITIONS OF MEMBER BANKS - July 22, 1970 6,331,266 4,319,119 413,375 142,387 1,312,356 Loans and discounts, gross •••••••••• •••••• U.S. Government obligations •••••.•• . .•. •. Other securities •• • •• •..•.••••••••••••••• Reserves with Federal Reserve Bank ••.•..•• Cash in vault •••••••.•.•••••••••••• • •••• r - RevIsed - June 23, 1971 6,270,594 4,101,381 564,186 195,678 1,288,135 States and political subdivisions . • .•........ U.S . Govern ment ...•. . .......... . .... . .. Savings deposits • ................ ...... 63,663 1,845,143 Tax warrants and short-term notes and bills ••• Other bond s, corporate stocks, and securities: Certificates representing participations in Federal ag ency loons •••• •...•••..••••• July 21, 1971 LIABILITIES Borrowings •.••..•••. ••••. .. ••••••••••• 5 week. ended July 7, 1971 4 week. endod June 2, 1971 4 w.ek. ended July I, 1970 826,530 772,530 54,000 831,257 -4,727 8,908 -13,635 816,747 761,206 55,541 825,994 -9,247 1,928 -11,175 740,727 687,270 53,457 749,434 -8,707 51,775 -60,482 866,588 674,020 192,568 846,858 19,730 3,954 15,776 875,439 682,960 192,479 844,281 31,158 48 31,110 769,558 585,326 184,232 749,665 19,893 8,658 11,235 1,693,118 1,446,550 246,568 1,678,115 15,003 12,862 2,141 1,692,186 1,444,166 248,020 1,670,275 21,911 1,976 19,935 1,510,285 1,272,596 237,689 1,499,099 11,186 60,433 -49,247 Other lIabilltl........... . . . . .. .... . ..... e - Estimated CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS (Thousand dol/ars) July 22, July 21, June 23, 1970 Item 1971 1971 ~ ---------------~--------42 8.663 Total gold cerliAcate r•• ery.... • • • • • • • • • • • • • 379,718 454,714 54,3~00 Di.counts for m.mber bank. . • • • . . . • • • • • • • • • 80,598 14,700 2,2O'h.r dl.counts and adyonc......... ...... .. 0 0 2501,403 U.S. Goyornment •• curill.s.... • . • • • . • • • • • • • • 3,056,498 2,940,793 '557 993 Total .arning a ... '.... ••• •• ••• .• . . • .• • . • •• 3,137,096 2,955,493 ~'269'332 Memb.r bank ro •• ry. d.po.it.... . ........ . . 1,584,807 1,532,168 '810'632 Fedoral Re •• ry. not•• In octual circulotion .. . . • 2,076,682 2,029,833 1,' ------------------------------------~ BANK DEBITS, END.OF.MONTH DEPOSITS, AND DEPOSIT TURNOVER SMSA' s in Eleventh Federal Reserve District - (Doll a r a mounts In thousa nds, seasona lly a dlusted) DE81TS TO DEMAND DEPOSIT ACCOUNTS' DEMAND DEPOSITS' Percent change t97i Annual rote June 1971 from 6 monlh., of lurnoyor Standard metropolitan (Annua l-rote May June 1971 from June 30, June M ay June slali.lieal ar. a ba.i.) 1971 1970 1970 1971 1971 1971 1970 16 23 3 19 16 3 281 ,893 93,527 274,416 40,748 27.0 35.0 43.6 24.5 29.4 37.6 41.0 24.9 26.5 33.1 39.1 25.1 J m:m ~n 26.4 24.8 24 .3 25.0 23.8 ifi it! ~{6 l ~·t iH ~~:~ ii~~ iH ~ ~N~A-'T-u------~~~~=-----------------~~~--------% --------15-%-------2--%------$------------~~----~~----~~~- lOUISIAN~. :;on. . . . .. .... . . ............. . .. . ... ... . onroo.... .. ............ .. .... .. ....... NEW Shreyeporl ...... .. .. ................ .... Tex MeXICO, Roswell' .. ... .. .. .. .... .. . .. ..... . .. .. AS: ~;:~~I!~.: :::::::::::::::::::: :::::: ::::: :::: 8. aumonl.Porl Arlhur-Orang... .. ............ .. . croWnsyill.-Harlingen-San 8.nilo.. .... .. .... ..... C~r~u. Ch,'isli.. .. .. .. .. .. • .. .. .. .... .. .. .. .. . $ 7,343,208 3,246,732 11,823,444 973,824 -5 - 7 10 0 ~~ Jm:m 6,751,980 2,187,144 1 4 6,~3~'m 1~ 2~ 7 17 8 16 ~~ ~~ 2~~:m 1~ 1~ 2 ~g,t~g ~~~~1~~':': ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ 1:~:l~~~2~~ J H r~ ~bi~~nk· .:.::: : : :: : :::: : :::: : : :: :: : : :::::::::: "l:1~6:r~g M~~"ed- Pharr-Edinb urg.... . .................. . 1,886,~g~ 1~ l~1~ It -g 11 2'm:m 'l#m l~g:6~g g H ~ ~ l7 69,433 H~IYt··lon-Texos City...... .. .... .... .. .. .. .... 2,90~,:~~ ~ r~~·~~~o~L· ; ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ J~m~m r erman-D.nlson .. .. .. ...................... . r;jarkana {Toxa.-Arko n.as).. .. .. .. ....... .. ... 1,260,360 8 ~~iil~:~~I:I;.:.::: : : : ::::::::::::::::::::::::: Hg~:6~~ -l~ eenl.rs.... ...... ...... ...... ...... .. .. ... $395,123,760 ~8 ', cDe posits of Individuals Ounty basis 1 ,6~~,~~~ 3% ~ 12 26.8 25.2 ~~.~ ~g.~ 7~~:m ~ 1~ 1~ 14% 13% ~H HJ 250,528 86,094 n:g ~X:~ 26.3 25.4 l 8.~ in 18.3 16.8 17.0 17.7 21 .8 I~::~g~ ~g ~~:~ ~~:~ ~i:i $10,096,345 39.3 38.5 37.8 m:~~~ ~~:~ partne rsh ips and corpo rati o ns and of states and political subdivisions ' , TOTAL OIL WELLS DRILLED BUILDING PERMITS VALU ATION (Dollor omounts in Ihou.ands) Percent chango Juno 1971 from NUM8ER TUcson June 6 mos. June 1971 1971 1971 6 mos. 1971 June May 1971 1970 1970 1,730 302 75 227 82 315 1,03 1 0 1,031 3,314 1,619 251 111 140 97 35 1 920 3 917 3,140 louisiana . . •. . ..• • .. Off. hore .. .... . .. Onshore .. . .... . . 6 months, 1971 from 1970 614 4,324 $ 10,990 $ 52,949 6% 130% 105% 152 572 647 3,229 2,596 5,599 11,537 28,852 111 -4 313 31 56 74 61 152 591 8eoumo·nt · · . · . 188 8rown.y·lI · • . . . CO I e . .. . 145 DoIIPu• Chri.tI • . 965 1,902 Den~~" •• • ••• 20 EI Pa.:·· · ·· · · 564 Fori W · ...... G I orlh .... 456 99 H~u:t:s~on • . . . . la redo . . . . . .. 3,679 58 lubb .. .. .. . 169 Mld l~~k • •• . • . 82 Od."od . • •... 97 Pori Arl" · · ·· · So hur .... 88 So n ~ng elo •• • • 73 Sh~rm~~onio • • • 2,281 41 ~xarka~d : : : : 61 aeo. 428 Wlchlla·Fdli.:: : 81 TOlol_ 26 '1' -_ _CII . . . . . 13 ,6 19 311 829 3,1 56 958 594 5,197 11 ,412 205 2,959 2,548 43 8 23,017 304 1,308 426 542 444 402 9,324 386 259 1,736 486 2,852 1,46 1 15,1 27 1,586 376 5,142 22,397 90 10,699 15,990 493 82,009 696 12,813 712 618 314 1,145 14,209 202 591 2,903 813 6,796 14,296 77,418 6,252 3,210 33,908 142,983 1,789 60,665 65,912 7,566 345,677 4,706 45,225 6,960 4,23 1 3,2 19 5,648 61,404 3,700 5,642 14,682 11 ,191 26 -37 58 96 - 1 -44 - 15 -49 -6 _42 -48 49 -38 275 -26 -36 -76 62 119 -49 45 53 -64 1,083 37 143 11 -71 128 -24 -88 42 2 67 88 72 172 29 -23 -94 19 39 -89 -41 -33 40 80 -35 38 8 25 127 -23 _28 29 39 123 52 12 71 192 -25 -49 -4 21 -49 9 -37 86 ~bllen • • • • .• .• A:~i~il.lo •••• . • 1970 FOUR SOUTHWESTERN STATES . . . .. .... . .. Okla homa ..... ... .. Te xa s .. . ... .. . .. . . Off. hore •. • . ••• •• Onshore . • . .. .. .. UNITED STATES • .•••.. onroe. West Sh Monroo • • •. • Tex;;voporl . •• . quarter New Me xico . .. .. •.. ARIZONA lQ~ISIAN~··· · · . Socond Area --- ~o Third quart er 75,441 -------$2 12,423 $1 ,026,418 16% 41% 26% Percent change 6.9% 20.3 -32 .4 62.1 -15.5 - 10.3 12.1 12.4 5.5% Percent chang e 1970 from 1969 cumulative cumulative 3,349 553 186 367 179 666 1,95 1 3 1,948 6,454 - 10.8% 7.2 31.0 - 1.9 -57.3 -6.5 -7.3 50.0 - 7.4 - 6.5% SOURCE: American Petrol eum Institute GROSS DEMAND AND TIME DEPOSITS OF MEMBER BANKS E le ve n t h Fed eral R eserve Distri c t (Averages of dall y figures . Million dollars) GROSS DEMAN D DEPOSITS Reserve Country TIME DEPOSITS Re serve Date Tolal city bank. bonks Toiol city bank. 1969: Jun • • . •• . • 1970:June • . • . .• 1971 : January .... 10,209 10,265 11,532 11,272 11,219 11,555 11 ,348 11 ,354 4,758 4,748 5,236 5,118 5,11 7 5,274 5,216 5,224 5,451 5,517 6,296 6,154 6,102 6,281 6,132 6,130 7,634 7,391 9,038 9,299 9,548 9,575 9,516 9,573 2,925 2,651 3,635 3,689 3,788 3,736 3,688 3,691 February , • • March .. ... April ...... May . . .. .. June .• • •• • Country ban k. 4,709 4,740 5,403 5,610 5,760 5,839 5,828 5,882 VALUE OF CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT (Million dollars) Five Southwestern States' - Percent change January-June Juno Area and type FIVE SOUTHWESTERN STATES' ............ .. .. Resid entia l building .•..... Nonres id e ntia l building •• • • Nonbuilding construction •••• UNITED STATES ............ Resid e ntial building • •.. • •• Nonres id e ntial build ing •• • • Nonbuilding construction •••• 1971 May 1971 April 1971 1971 1970r 713 387 193 134 7,555 3,3 10 2,264 1,981 864 400 312 153 7,743 3,168 2,080 2,495 4,352 2,153 1,428 771 38,993 16,13 1 12,666 10,196 4,091 1,404 1,290 1,397 34,603 11,648 12,455 10,500 Jun. 1971p May 1971 June 1970r 6,334,900 1,123,200 5,211,700 232,600 391,200 6,323,000 1,116,200 5,206,800 228,300 383,100 6,321,400 1,177,700 5,143,700 236,200 403,300 Tr:J:~I~ .U~i~i~i~~::::: : :: 1,~~~:~~~ 1,!~~:~~~ I,m:~~~ Typ. of employm.nt 922 464 276 182 8,077 3,485 2,800 1,792 ~ Numb.r of p.rsans Tota l nonagricultural wage and sa lary workers. . Manufacturing..... .... .. Nonmanufacturing .. .. . .. . Mining.. . .. ..• . ••.•.. . Construction. . • . . . . . . . . Transportation and Arizona, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas r - Re vise d NOTE. - Details may not add to totals because of rounding. SOURCE: F. W. Dodge, McGraw-Hili , Inc. 1 Finance .. ............ . Servic.. • . • . • . . .. • • . . . Gov.rnment... .. . . .... 333,000 1,028,000 1,285,600 328,100 1,020,600 1,314,500 May 1971 323,400 1,012,500 1,256,900 June ~ 0.2% 0.2% .6 _4.6 13 .~ _ 1:5 t1 _3 .0 .7 _ .2 ~:~ .4 I} 1.5 _2.2% 2.3% __ ~------------------~------~-----------Arizona, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas p - Preliminary r - Revised SOURCE : State employment agencies 1 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION =100) Juno Area and type of index 1971p (Thousand barrels) May 1971 April 1971 June 1970 1971 May 1971 Juno 1970r 6,989.9 2,592.6 339.0 606.0 3,452.3 704 .3 1,641.5 226.8 67.8 811.9 9,731.6 7,070.4 2,643.2 338.5 603.9 3,484.8 714.1 1,655.2 22B.B 67.9 818.8 9,797.2 6,571.9 2,380.2 35Q.9 622.4 3,218.4 636.8 1,563.2 169.7 78 .0 770.7 9,356.5 J une TEXAS Total Industrial production ••• • •• Manufacturing ••••••••• • • •• ••• • Durable • • • • • ••••• • •• • • •• • ••• Nondurable .... . . . . ...... •• • • Mining •••••••••• •• ••• • •• •• ••• • Utilltl.s ... . ... .. ...... ··•··•·• UNITED STATES Total Industrial production .•.••• Manufacturing • • • • ••• • •• • •• •• • • Durable .... . ........ · ••• · · .. Nondurable • .............. . .. Mining •••••••• • •• • • • • • • • • • •• •• Utilities •• • ••••• • •••. • • • •••••• • - DAILY AVERAGE PRODUCTION OF CRUDE OIL (Seasonally adjusted Indexes, 1957-59 Area 180.1 199.5 196.0 201.8 135.8 270.5 181.3 199.3 197.4 20Q.6 139.4 270.5 179.0r 196.4r 196.5 196.3r 137.6r 270.5r 174.9r 196.5 208.2 188.7r 128.6r 257.1r FOUR SOUTHWESTERN STATES . .. .. •.••••.••••• louisiana • • •• • •••• • •••• • • New Mexico • • •••••• • ••• • Oklahoma .............. . Texas • •• • •. . • • •••••• • • • 167.9 165.9 159.7 173.5 137.4 248.0 167.3 165.2 159.3 172.7 136.4 247.3 166.2 163.9 157.4 172.0 138.8 246.0 p - Preliminary r - Revised SOURCES: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas May. Increases were 25 percent in San Antonio, 22 percent in Dallas, and 19 percent in both Houston and Fort Worth. Total registrations were 17 percent greater than a year earlier. Cumulative registrations through June were 11 percent greater than in the first half of 1970. Department store sales in the Eleventh District were 8 percent higher in the four weeks ended July 24 than in the corresponding period a year earlier. Cumulative sales through that date were 8 percent higher than a year before. The seasonally adjusted Texas industrial production index eased slightly in June, dropping to 180.1 168.8 168.0r 167.3 168.9r 135.5r 235.4r Gulf Coast ••...•••.•.• West Texas ••••••• •• •• East Texas (proper) •.•.. Panhandl ........ . .... . Rest of state ••••••••••• UNITED STATES .. .. ...... .. ~ Ma y 1971 JunO ~ 6.4% -1 .1% -1.9 .1 .3 - .9 - 1.4 _.8 -.9 _.2 -.9 -:1% 8.9 _3.A _2.6 7.3 10.6 5.0 33.6 _ 13.1 5.3 --A.O% --~-----------------------------r - Revised SOURCES: American Petroleum Institute U.S. Bureau of Mines Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas percent of its 1957-59 base. The drop-a decline of 0.7 percent from the record level reached in Maywas due primarily to the abrupt cutback in production of crude oil. Total manufacturing output was unchanged, as was the output of utilities. And even with this drop in total production, the state was able to post a 3.0-percent gain over June 1970. Manufacturing of durable goods fell 0.7 percent from the level in May, largely as a result of declines in the production of furniture and fixtures, electrical machinery, and transportation equipment. Production of transportation equipment, still the weakest category of durable manufacturing, has fallen 20.0 percent since June 1970. The decline in production of durable goods was largely offset, . d' however, by a contmue rlse 1'n the output of nondurable goods. An advance of 0.6 percent over the previous month, the rise in non- d durable production was acco unte for largely by strong surges inJh~ output of leather products an~ d the printing, publishing, and e industries. 'n The important downturn waS 1 mining, which fell 2.6 percent below the level of output in Ma~. All this drop was due to reduce production of crude oil caused bY cuts in the state's oil allowables . Despite this sharp month-tod month decline, mining still poste an increase of 5.6 percent over the output for a year before.