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MONGJrHLGJr REVIEW FEDERAL RES E R V E BANK o DALLAS, TEXAS 1'01.38, No.4 F DALLAS April 1, 1953 ELECTRIC UTILITIES IN THE SOUTHWEST P. E. COLDWELL, Jndustrial Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas 1f you are one of an estimated 2,950,000 consumers in the Southwest who turn a switch to light a room, make your cofTec, heat your oven, or operate hundreds of other electric appliances, you have at your disposal the product of a billion dollar industry which in 1952 comma nded the services of approximately 23,000 employees and received an estimated $350,000,000 operating revenue. The electric utilities of the Southwest and of the Nation comprise one of our largest service industries. In few other businesses are the rewards so small and public responsibility so large. The people of the Southwest have learned to use electric energy and are most vocal in their complaints if that energy is not delivered when and as they desire it. Though the industry is important from the standpoint of providing employment and payrolls, it is primarily important because of the service which it renders. Consequently, it is the service characteristics of the indnstry which are to be discussed in this article. The choice of the area covered in this article was dictated by the availability of data from the Fort Worth Regional Office of the Federal Power Commission and the desire to conform as closely as possible to the limits of the Eleventh Federal Reserve District. Because of a lack of complete data, the Arizona section cannot be given as thorou gh treatmen t as the rest of the territory, which is referred to as the south· western area. The Companies and Their Plants Withi,) this southwestern area as defined above, there are 75 operating utilities and 25 industrial companies owning generating plants which are tied into the public supply system. Of the 75 utilities, 49 are municipally owned, 17 are privately owncd, 6 are Federal or state projects, and 3 arc cooperatives. There are, of course, man y more cooperatives which produce no electric energy but, instead, buy all required energy from other utilities. Fourteen of the 17 private electric systems have operating revenues of over $1,000,000 per y.ear. When combined, these 14 systems had a total net utility plant, less reserves, worth $1,013,512,776 in 1951: Their total capitalization was $1,017,000,000, of which $555,789,000, or 55 percent, was in long·term debt. The net income for these 14 systems in 1951 was $50,285,312, or 5 percent of the total investment. Com· paring 1951 to 1950, their total investment had increased 12 percent, total capitalization had risen 14 percent, and nst income went up 4 percent. One company had a net plant in· vestment of over $150,000,000 in 1951. The importance of these 14 systems can hardly be over· emphasized. Not only are they the largest utilities - they conduct nearly 88 percent of the total electric business in the area - but they are also the backbone of all industrial activity in the area. These utilities in 1952 employed 20,451 workers and paid them $74,172,357. This represents a 17-percent increase in payroll since 1950. There are also two large municipal systems and one large state electric system which provided employment for an additional 1,586 workers and payrolls of $5,471,150 in 1952. As of June 30, 1952, the 100 utilities and electric generating industrial companies of the Southwest operated 199 gener· ating plants with a total rated capacity of 5,016,083 kilowatts. In addition, there are 19 more plants under construction, which will have a rated capacity of 1,385,520 kilowatts. In all, then, the total rated generating capacity of the 218 plant~ will be 6,401,603 kilowatts. It must be emphasized that the actual capability . of such plants is usually about 15 to 25 percent above rated capacity, although no fixed percent can be applied. Experience alone shows thc capability of a plant. Electric energy is produced by oue of three major methods. Tt may be produced by falling water (hydroelectric), b) steam generation, or by internal·combustion plants. Hydro· electric plants produce electricity by use of turbines which an This publication was digitized and made available by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas' Historical Library (FedHistory@dal.frb.org) 46 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW LARGE ELECTRIC GENERATING PLANTS IN THE SOUTHWEST .--~_ .. --.J ''''----L.-I o • ~. A Plant, • .. A of 100,000 KW or over capacity Pion .. of 50-100,000 KW capacity I:l. Plonts of o Plants of 100,000 KW or more under construction 50-100,000 KW under construction rotated by the force of water hittin g their blades. To create thi, falling water force, dams are constructed on rivers and lakes, and penstocks carry the water to the power house and, thus, activate the turbines, which turn the electric generators coupled to them. Because of the necessity of constructing costly dams to impound large quantities of water used in the operation of such plants, the installed cost per kilowatt of capacity is much greater than for other types of electric generation. Furthermore, these plants ordinarily do not provide a dependable source of power because of a lack of a constant water runoff, which is necess~ry in th eir operation . In the southwest area, steam generating stations, which offer a more dependable source of power and which take advantage of the cheapness and availability of natural gas and lignite as fuels, are in general use. Moreover, the cheaper building costs by use of an outdoor type of construction have contributed further to the economy of such plants. In steam generating stations, electrici ty is generated by heating water to steam and us ing this steam pressure to turn the generators. The steam pressure acts in the same capacity as the falling water pressure for h ydroelectric plants. Internal·combustion generating plants use a gasoline or Diesel engine to turn the generators. Such plants were m uch more popular 30 years ago. Today, their use is r estricted to areas of small loads , i.e., less than 10,000 kilowatts, and to stand.by plants for meeting sudden demands for energy over a short period of time. The hi gher costs of operation and restricted size of units preclude use of this method for large plants. Conversely though, the cheaper construction costs for plsnts where small amounts of energy are required make internal-combustion plants adaptable for some industrial and small community usea. Of the 199 plants in service as of June 30, 1952, 89 are steam plants with a capacity of 4,:W5,31l7 kilowatts, 117 are internal-combustion plants with a rated capacity oJ 251,266 kilowatts, and 23 are hydroelectric generating plants which have a rated capacity of 369,430 kilowatts. The ratio of steam, internal -combustion , and hydroelectric capacities is an interestin g characteristic of the southwestern area . While over 88 percent of all generating capacity in this area comes from steam plants, only 72 percent of the United States generation comes from that source. Of the capacity of the new plants under construction, 95 percent will be steam electric, 4 percent will be hydroelectric, and 1 percent will be internal combustio n. On the basis of ownership, the 17 private utility systems accounted for abo ut 93 percent of the total capacity on June 30, 1952. There are 44 plants in operatio n or und er construction in the area which have a rater! generati ng capaci ty of mo re than 50,000 kilowatts each. Jndicative of the growth of electric facilities in thi s area are the changes in the rated generating capacities since 1920. Total plant gener ating capacities increased 628 per cent fronl 1920 to 1930. From 1930 to 1940, this capacity increased 39 percent; and in the next decade, generating capacity increased 127 perrent. However, the stimuli of greater industrialization and increased pop ulation sp urred plant construe- 0111 tion in this area so that from 1950 to 1952, generating capac· , ity increased 46 percent. Thus, from 1920 to 1952, generating capac ity increased 3,258 percent. It is interesting that of the 5,016,083 kilowatts of capacity in service on Ju ne 30, 1952, 47 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW only 30 percent was constructed before 1940 and 68 pe!"cent before 1950. As of December 31, 1952, the 14 major private utilities operated generating plants with total rated capacities of 3.845,066 kilowatts, of which 346,525 kilowatts were leased or purchased 011 a firm contract basis from other utilities in the area. The total generating capacities of the plants of these 14 utilities haye increased 14 percent above their 1951 total. In 1951, the companies' plants comprised 86 percent of the entire generating capacity of the area. The two large municipal utilities and the state electric system provided an additional 378,22R kilowatts. The total for all systems reporting over $1,000,000 revenue in 1952 was 4,050,566 kilowatts of capacity. In the part of the Arizona section of the District pictured on the map, which is excluded from the southwestern area, there were seven electric systems in operation in 1952. Of these, three are private electric systems, one is an industrial system, two are cooperatives, and one is a Federal system. Of the three private systems, there are two large electric utilities, with 1951 net incomes of $1,902,481 and total net utility plants worth $38,821,577. The total rated generating capacity in this area of Arizona in 19.52 was 127,547 kilowatts, of which 66 percent was steam capacity and 34 percent was internal·combustion capacity. There are a total of 16 plants in operation. Private utilities own seven plants with 44 percent of the total capacity, an industrial company owns five plants totaling 46 percent of the area's capacity, and four publicly owncd plants account for the remaining 10 percent. ELECTRIC GENERATION CAPACITY IN THE SOUTHWEST NI LLlON! or I(ILOWUTS M I LLIONS OF 1(1LOWATT 1 6 5 I I: 4 '/,/I 3 ;~ Y:':',;' 2 I -1920 SOURCE Ftdllol 5 TOT~ 4 o , 6 ~ , .. ---,. ' 192.5 -" I 19:30 _----------1 INTERNtroliN~ --COMBUSTION --.--. " 1935 1940 HYDRO .......... Recently, the loop system of distribution lines has found considerable emphasis. Under this system, a city or area is served from a loop of high voltage Ii ncs which cncircle the area. Alternate sources of power are connected at points in this loop so that in the event of a plant breakdown or a break in transmission wires the area of blackout is minimized. Of course, the larger the system or cooperating systcms, the more numerous will be the alternate sources available for emergency interconnection. More will be said of this cooperation at a later point. Thus, from this intricale system of generating plants, transmission lines, substations, and distribution lines, the electricity is finally available to the customer for his use 24 hours a day. Of course, the charge for the service depends upon the type and size of the customer's load. Most electric utilities divide lloeir ~Ollswners into five major classes: rural, residential, commercial, industrial, and other (includes street railways, street lighting, municipal use, etc.). How important each of the classes is, relative to the total, depends upon the measurement used. To obtain a full picture of the importance of eacb, it is necessary to consider these classes from the slandpoin t of number of customers, kilowatt-hour sales, and dollar sales. To the utilities, both of the latter measures are of major significance. \Vhile the number of consumers may mean little in the sales of electric energy, it does give an indication of utility distribution and accounting costs and the growth aud usage or such energy. In the Southwestern area in 1951, there were approximately 2,791,000 customers, of which 69 percent were residential; 16 percent, rural; 10 percent, commercial; and 5 percent, all other classes. Since the end of World War IT, the number of residential customers has increased 59 percent, the number of rural customers has increased 143 percent, and the number of commercial customers has risen 52 percent. 3 ElECTRIC UTILITY CUSTOMERS IN THE SOUTHWEST 2 Year STEAM I -1 tiOll. Further step·down distrilmtion transformers on city poles convert the electricity to the correct voltage for home nse. From the substation, distribution lines take the electricity to all parts of the city. I 1951 ............. . ........ . 1950 ............ . ........ . . 1945 .................... . .. Rural Residential Commercial .498,652 .498,621 205,.498 1,935,526 1,815,940 1,218,726 343,928 331.569 226,529 ... ..... o SOU RCE: Federal Power Commission, Fort Worth Regional Offke. 1950 19:52 p~ .. ., GemmlulD~ Distribution and Consumption of Electric Energy The generation of electric energy is only part of the task of getting electricity to the consumers. From the generating plMnts. high-voltage transmission lines take the energy to the lila rket areas. From these lines it is fed into substations, where step·down transformers lower the voltage for local distribu- In Texas alone. the number of residential consumers rose from a 1940 total 'of 769,763 customers to a total of 1,045,356 customers in 1945 and an estimated total of 1,703,000 customers in 1950. This reneClS a greater percentage increase than the growth in Texas populalion from 6,414,824 people in 1940 to 7,711,194 people in 1950. For the southwestern area under discussion, the number of residential customers is, of course, the largest of any class of customers. The nWllbcr of industrial customers is the 48 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW least of any of the major classifications. The 14 major utilities in this area served 1,611,000 customers in 1947 and 2,146,000 in 1951. These 14 companies, therefore, accounted for 77 percent of the 2,791,000 customers in the southwestern area. In order to gain a further insight into the relative im· portance of the separate classes of customers, it is necessary to trace the development and relative importance of these classes as to consumption of electric energy and percent of total revenue which each provides. In analyzing the information on sales, it is apparent that the industrial consumers not only have taken the greatest amount of the sales of electric energy but also have shown the largest increase in the use of electric energy. In the 1950·51 period, residential sales increased 20 percent; com· mercial sales, 14 percent; rural sales, 19 percent; and indus· trial sales, 28 percent. The net energy for all systems in the southwestern area increased 94 percent from 1945 to 1950 and 19 percent from 1950 to 1951. Considering the total net energy for all systems in 1951, industrial customers consumed 42 percent; residential cus· tomers, 15 percent; commercial customers, 19 percent; rural customers, 4 percent; and all others, 7 percent. Losses accounted for the remaining 13 percent. Thu s, for the south· western area, industrial sales are, indeed, a large percent of the total. It must be remembered, however, that industrial sales are more or less important to a system, depending upon the development within its territory. One large utility sys· tern's report for 1951 shows industrial sales to be 68 percent of its total kilowatt·hour sales, while another company's report indicates its indnstrial sales only 28 percent of the total sales. A division based on kilowatt· hour sales, however, overemphasizes the importance of the industrial load. The revenne from the industrial sales may be less than from the residential sales, even though the kilowatt·hours consumed are much greater. In one company reporting industrial sales of 28 ELECTRIC ENERGY SALES IN THE SOUTHWEST percent of total kilowatt·hour sales, the revenue hom those sales was only 14, percent of the total revenue; whereas, in thc same report, residential sales amounting to only 31 percent of kilowatt·hour sales provided 47 percent of the total revenue. This anomaly may be explained by.. the fact that industrial sales are usually at a lower average rate than residential sales because larger quantities of eneFgy are consumed per cu.· tomer in this class. Electric utility rates are designed so that the average price per kilowatt·hour is lower as the amount of energy consumed and the load factor are increased. In other words, the industrial consumer uses his potential demand for electricity a greater percentage of the time than does the residential or commercial customer. In quite a few instances where three shifts are employed in a particular industry, the daily load factor may go as high as 70 to 80 percent. It is almost needless to point out that tbe average residential con· sumer seldom uses his maximum demand. As will be seen, this very point is the main cause of one of the most difficult problems which faces some of the electric companies of the Southwest at the present time. Moreover, the possibility of an industry installing its own power generating facilities also tends to keep industrial rates at a lower level. To emphasize this division of sales, it is of interest to con· sider the 1952 sales record of the 14 largest private utility companies in the area. A comparison of the percentages and the actual sales figures shows the industrial customers to have far exceeded the kilowatt·hour use of the other classes but to have reached only third place in importance on the basis of sales revenue. Total kilowatt-hour sales of these companies increased 16 percent this past year. The industrial load has shown the greatest increase, with residential and commercial sales also showing considerable gains. In addition, in 1952 the two large 'm unicipal systems and the state system sold 1,682,578,000 kilowatt-hours of electric energy for a total of $26,204,031. Thus, the 'total sales of all large systems in the area in 1952 was 21,454,928,000 kilowatthours for $330,573,866. In the Arizona section under discussion, industrial sales are not nearly so important as in the southwestern area. I-Iow· ever, private industrial companies own a much larger share of the total capacity in this section than in the southwestern area. In Arizona, kilowatt·hour sales to residential customers in 1951 accounted for 11 percent; rural sales, 14 percent; commercial sales, 40 perccnt; industrial sales, 6 percent; all other sales, 13 percent; and losses, 16 percent. From 1945 to 1951, total kilowatt· hour sales in the Arizona section increased 72 percent, while the commercial sales increased 224 percent, the largest inrreasc of any of the customcr classes. Moreover, commercial customers increased their percent of the totahales from 21 percent in 1945 to 4,0 pereent- in·1951. One other point should be considered in the division of total energy, i.e., the losses of the electric systems in the area. Losses are averaging approximately 13 perCe)lt of the net energy for the systems. While this is not excessively high, it does represent a fairly large proportion of the total and, in fact, nearly equals the total energy use by all residential con· sumers and exceeds the combined energy use of rural con· MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 49 DISTRIBUTION OF SALES IN 1952 DISTRIBUTION OF SALES IN 1952 FOURTEEN MAJOR UTILITIES FOURTEEN MAJOR UTILITIES sumers and those in the "other" category. The long distances involved in transmitting electric energy in this area account for most of these losses. earned on property value and, indeed, on many other operating phases of the industry. No discussion of elcctric facilities ill an area could be considered complete without reference to the rural electric cooperatives which have developed during the past 17 years. Under the stimulus of their development, the percent of farms electrificd in Texas increased from 2.4 percent in 1935 to 78.5 percent in 1950 and to nearly 90 percent in 1952. There are 78 rural electric cooperatives in Texas, of which only one generates any electric energy. The remaining 77 buy all energy requirements from the other utilities in the area. As uf June 30, 1952, the 78 cooperatives in Texas operated 123,446 miles of line and served 296,922 customers. Their lotal revenue for the year ended June 30, 1952, was 521,393,235. While Texas utilities are regulated by their city councils, the private electric utilities of the other states in the Southwest are subject to the jurisdiction of public utility commissions. Rcgulation of utilities under each method is approximately the same, but a more favorable rate of return has been allowed under the Texas system as compared to the commission systems of the other states. By statute, Texas utilities have been allowed a maximum of an 8-percent rate of return on valuation, whereas the commissions of the other states have advocated a (i·percent rate of return. It must be remembered that the mere allowance of a specific rate does not guarantee that the utilities will, in fact, make that amount. Instead, as noted before, the average returns havc been nearer 5 percent for the major utilities of this area. The rural electric coopcratives have becn an important adj unct to the electric systems of the area and have been particularly effective in bringing electric energy to those farmers beyond the more thickly settled areas. The privately owned utilities ill the State have extended their systems to farm arcas, wherc economically fcasible, but credit for serving the remaining areas should be given to the cooperatives. Moreover, many of the private utilities were instrumental in the development of the cooperatives, through the help wbich they gave 011 engineering, construction, and supply of their necessary power amI energy. The cuoperative development wi It continue aud probably will expand as long as there are farllls without the henefits of electric energy or as long as farmers continue to increase their use of electricity. Regulation Olle uf the peculiarities which sets the electric industry apart frolll all other industries, except other public utilities, is the regulation to which the industry is suhjected. Private electric companies operating in Texas are regulated by the in,lividual .. itics in which they do business. Regulation takes the form of a restriction on the pcrcent return which may he Furthermore, at least six of the major private systems operatc in more than one state and, thus, are subject to the regulations of the Federal Power Commission. Some state authorities have jurisdiction over cooperatives and municipally owned utilities. These utilities, though performing the same function as their private companions, are not regulated in some states with regard to rates, service, or operations. City regulation of municipal utilities, of course, is effected through ownership and operation of those utilities, but cooperatives are generally exempt from such stringent regulations_ There is also another Federal commission concerned with the operations of some of the major private electric systems. The regulatory powcrs resting with the Securities and Exchange Commission stem from the Public Utilities Holding Company Act of 1935. Under this Act, uneconomic or nonintegrated utility holding companies are to be dissolved and control is to pass to a broader group of investors. Of the 14 major private systems operating in this area, 13 were formerly members of utility holding companies, and one has al· ways been independent. Of the 13 formerly under holding company control, two were in the Engineers Public Service Company system, three were Community Power &Light Com· 50 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW pany subsidiaries, five were associated with the Electric Bond & Share Company, and three were in the Middle West Utilities system. After years of court battles and reorganization p lans submitted to the Securities and Exchange Commission, the five holding companies represented so strongly in this area moderated considerably their utility holdings. In other words, the control of the operating companies has now been returned to a level close to the area of operations. Today, it is still possible to see the influence of holding company control in the organization of seven of the major private electric utilitics of the area. Three of these utilities are associated with the Central & Southwest Corporation, three are members of the Texas Utilities Company, and one is a subsidiary of the Middle South Utilities Company. The remaining seven major systems are independent of any holding company control. Probably as a res ult of membership in such holding company systems, most of the utilities still under such control operate as integrated, interconnected systems. There are three such formal systems now in operation in the southwestern area. The North Texas Interconnected System, the Middle South System, and the El Paso Power Pool are all formal, interconnected systems. There are eleven utilities in these three power pools, of which six are major utilitics of thc southwestern area. Formal agreements and reports are filed by some of these pools governing their operations and determining tile price which one utility must pay another for the interchange of energy. There are other informal operating pools in the southwestern area, but central-load dispatching and formal price agreements are not used hy these informal pools. The function of these pools is to improve service in the area in which the members operate. They were developed to effect savings in the construction and usc of generating plants. When peak loads occur in one area, energy from the other systems may be purchased to meet the demand. Similarly, when a new and more efficient plant is placed in operation by one company in the pool, it is kept operating at full capacity to replace and supplement the operations of the less efficient units elsewhere in the pool. Other advantages stemming from this close cooperation come from the availability of results from research projects and the possibilities of financial cooperation on joint projects. Although the latter has not been exploited, it may be a real advantage if generati ng units can be built to capacities of 500,000 kilowatts or more. Similarly, the long-line, high-voltage transmission line development also may offer new possibilities. Especially would this appear feasible if further tests reveal it to he commercially possible to construct 500,OOO·volt transmission lines. Problems The electric companies of the Southwest currently are faced with some rather intricate problems. One of the foremost is the problem of a declining annual load factor and how to get the customers to use a more constant amount of electricity. Illustrative of this problem are the difficulties confronting those utilities whose major loads are residential and in whose territories industrial possibilities are comparativel y small. The increasing use of electricity for air conditioning in this area has push cd the peak demand in the summer mon ths to extreme heights. It is estimated that for each room air conditioner placed in service, the electric company serving that customer must install one kilowatt of generating capacity. This, in itself, is not objectionable, because the company then sells more of its pro duct - electric energy. The difficulty is that such air conditioning is used only a few months of the year. The rest of the year this new generating equipment must stanel idle, replace obsolete equipment on the line, or provide a backlog to allow repairs. Of course, the last two uses take precedence. Eventually, though, constr uction could be so large that even new plants might stand idle in the wintertime. The effective use of the equipment for some of the companies on a yearly average is already below 50 percent. To the consumer this rnustmean higher rates to pay for fixed charges on equipment which is called into use by the customer only 3 to 4 rp.onths of the year, unless other loads can be assumed during the winter months. The 1952 operations of the 14 major private utilities in the area show annual load factors ranging from 45.4 percent to 72.3 percent. Peak loads for these 14 companies aggregatc ncarly 3,960,300 kilowatts. A load factor below 50 percent must cause some concern, especiall y if this percent is declining. So the problem is to find a business or home use for electric energy which is exclusively a winter use. In other words, the companies must find a load which could be placed on the line in the winter and reduced or cut off in the summer. One of the most obvious answers is in household heating. For some time now, the electric industry has been working to develop an electric heating method which would be competitive in price with other methods now in use. If a heat pump or other electric device could be made commercially feasible for home use, it would add a winter load consistent with the air conditioning load in the summertime. Another solution is increased industrialization to give stability to the load factor. Obviously, where large industrial plants are served, their steady demands for electric energy greatly improve the average use of capacity. Some utility exec utives have seen the peak load shift frolll summer to winter and back to summer again. They say it is just a matter of time until new uses will bring the winter load back into line with the present summer one. This "wait-andsee a ttitude" may be a reasonable outlook for those whose utilities are well fortified with a large industrial load. However, for the utility which has 110 such load , the problem may indeed become serious. A second major problcm of the electric industry in the Southwest is the difficulty of rising costs and slow rate adjustments. Throughout much of the past 15 years, the average price of a kilowatt-hour of electric energy has decreased, even though most other prices have doubled or tripled. The key to this price stability is to be found in the great increases in demand for electricity and in the actions of the utilities in reducing costs and improving the efficiency of their oper- ~ONTHL Y 51 BUSINESS REVIEW ations. With the quantity of energy sold increasing so rapidly, the necessary profit per unit has declined. Nevertheless, can· tinually rising costs have gradually eaten into this margin so that recently some companies have been forced to ask for rate increases. In Texas the rate adjustments may be fairly rap.id, because individual cities control such requests. In other states, though, a central commission governing all utiliti es must approve the rate adjustments. This procedure is often very slow and occasionally is so delayed as to make another request necessary even before the first is granted. A few utilities have city franchises in which rates are adjustable on a sliding scale when changes in certain types of taxes, fuel costs, or commodity prices occur. These contracts may obviate the necess ity for requesting rate increases to cover such changes in costs. An adequately trained supply of labor is another vexing fJroblem confronting the electric utility industry of the Southwest. Even though stability and security benefits are high, it is a continual battle to keep trained personnel on the electric companies' payrolls. The time necessary to train some of the skilled labor used by an electric company means a considerable investment on the part of the company. To lose that man to another industry at the end of his training period is cer· tainl y a reallosa. Part of the answer to this problem may lie in thc educa ti on of young men to work toward a career with an electric company. Competition with other fuels is also gradually gaining at· tention from utility executives. In each case where energy is required, the question arises as to the use of coal, oil, gas, or electricity. For many jobs, such as lighting, electric energy has pre·empted the field. For other industrial and household uses, electricity must compete with the other fuels. This competition depends primarily upon the relative prices, availability, dependability, and convenience of the various fuels. 1£ electric energy is to improve its competitive position, continued research for new appliances, steady prices, and increased availability will be necessary. The electric utilities of the Southwest are doing an excellent job toward meeting these requirements. For example, the development of a more modern method of using low·cost lignite has recently rein· troduced this fuel as a means of generating electric energy. Another type of competitIOn IS of more concern to the private electric utilities of the ation but might trouble those of this area in the future. This competition is from municipal, state, and Federally owned facilities. The problem has not been serious in the Southwest, as a whole, because of a lack of large publicly owned facilities. In other parts of the United States, such as the Pacific Northwest, the problem is much morc acute. In some ways, the pressure for lower rates and the publicity auendant to the lower rates sometimes charged by municipally owned utilities have caused all private utilities considerable concern, although rate comparisons are mean· ingless without comparable costs, especially tax liabilities. Nevertheless, there seems to have developed a rather close cooperation between the municipal, state, and private utilities of this area. Another one of the foremost problems of an electric company is the difficulty of forecasting the growth in its territory for a period of 4 to 5 years in the future. This has been especially so in the Southwest during the past decade or more. Because constl"Uction of maj or generating facilities is a slow process and because equipment orders for turbines must of necessity be placed at least 2 years in advance of construction, the need for intelligent forecasting is obvious. An error in constructing too much is nearly as serious as constructing too little. Because regulatory authorities will allow a utility to earn a return only upon that equipment used or useful in its operations, a surplus of capacity beyond that necessary for the near future andlor reasonable reserves might be disallowed. Also, to retire older equipment for obsolescence before its useful life has been completed is a policy disturbing both to the investors of the company and to the regulatory authorities. To underestimate the growth of its territory would leave a utility short of needed capacity. Lacking any alternate means of supply, the company might have a serious shortage of power. This, of course, would crcate bad public relations and, if carried to the extreme, might be the cause of cities within its territory revoking the franchise and condemning its property. Thus, an intelligent estimate of future growth is necessary, and the utility executives must indeed be familiar with all economic characteristics of their territories. The ollicial might be correct in his estimates of population growth and, yet, err in his estimates of the industrial development. A mistake on either of these major customer classes would place the utility in a difficult position. Finally, the general problems of regulation are always present in the life of an electric company official. The increasing number and complexity of required reports and the necessity of defending its position relative to rates and service keep an electric company constantly aware of its unique position. Furthermore, even if the above were not enough, the strict control of the amount of return allowed is a real reminder of the regulation to which these companies are subjected. The overriding necessity for regulation of an industry essentially monopolistic in its own field is the only real justification. This, however, is sufficient, as the abuses and dis· criminatory policies which could occur without regulation are more serious than are the difficulties which regulation poses for the utilities. By a more uniform treatment of individual utilities and by reducing the bookkeeping proce· dures for the reports, some relief probably could be granted without destroying the effectiveness of the regulation. The Future The future for electric utilities in thc southwestern area is, of course, inseparably interlinked with the economic and population growth of the area. In terms of kilowatt· hours sold, the future industrial development is most important. In terms of revenue, the population and, therefore, the residential demand are of paramount interest. Included in the latter are the possible changes in customer usage and the number and types of electric appliances available in the MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 52 future. The companies of the Southwest already have made their forecast through 1956 in the form of new generating capacity on order, although their decisions are not irrevo· cable; most such orders can be cancelled, or partially so (as per prior agreement), with payment for work only up to the time of cancellation. PROPOSED EXPANSION IN GENERATING CAPACITY t (In kilow(lth of nominol name.plate rating) y Year 1952 ••••....•...... ... . . .. . 1953 ..•••..•....... . ...•.. . 1954 ......... . .. .......... . 1955 ••••• . ... • ..•.•...•... . 1956 .......... . .......... . . Steam 180,000 13,000 766,700 832,500 5.000 582,000 292,000 Total ..•...•......••.•... . 2,658,200 I Internal combustion Hydro 61,500 833,200 35,000 867,500 582,000 28.600 18.000 Totol 193,000 125,100 The 14 major private companies alone are planning the construction of plants aggregating 2,625,250 kilowatts by 1956. This will be a 68·percent increase over the combined capacities of these companies as of December 31, 1952, and represents 94 perccnt of the scheduled expansion for all utilities. In addition, the two major municipal utilities are planning the construction of plants totaling 180,000 kilowatts capacity by 1956. Combining these with the 14 private utilities means an expansion of 2,805,250 kilowatts. As these figures arc based on year·end 1952 reports, it would seem that even greater construction is now envisaged than was planned in July of 1952. Truly, these 17 systems could be called the electric industry of the Southwest. 320,600 -2.796.300 As of June 3D, 1952. SOURCEl Federal Power Commiuion, Fort Worth Regional Office. The accompanying tahle indicates the future which the utility executives believe to be in store for this area. By 1956, the scheduled e"'pansion in electric facilities of 2,796,300 kilowatts will be a 56·percent increase over the 1952 capacity in service. As indicated before, there are already under con· struction plants whose aggregate capacities will reach 1,385,520 kilowatts. Their completion alone will raise the Southwest's generating capacity to 6,401,603 kilowatts. The additional 1,410,780 kilowatts planned for construction be· fore the end of 1956 will boost the area's capacity to 7,812,383 kilowatts. Evidently, the officials of most of the electric utility com· panics are expecti ng a substantial growth in the area . Whereas the combined expansion in generating capacity from 1951 to 1952 was 1,075,056 kilowatts, or a 27·percent in· crease. these utilities are now planning an expansion of 1,893,700 kilowatts, or a 38'percent increase, by the end of 1954. Undoubtedly, a considerable part of this expansion is planned to take care of the air conditioning sales in the next few years. Another major cause for expansion is probably an anticipated increase in industrial loads, especially in those areas where defense plants either have just been completed or are under construction. In the section of Arizona not included in the above south· western area, plans for generating capacity expansion indio cate the construction of 27,000 kilowatts capacity in 1953 and an additional 50,000 kilowatts by 1954, raising the kilo· watt capacity of tl,e area to 204,547 kilowatts by 1955. This is 60 percent above the present capacity of 127,547 kilowatts. The future development of elcstric utilities is always tied to the population growth in the area. During the past three decades, population in the southwestern area under discus· sion rose from 7,447,000 people in 1930 to 8,276,000 people in 1940 and 9,774,000 people in 1950. On a percentage basis, these gains were 11.1 percent from 1930 to 1940 and 18.1 percent from 1940 to 1950. In the same periods, the capacity of electric generating plants in the area increased 39 percgnt from 1930 to 1940 and 127 percent from 1940 to 1950. Popu. lation estimates for 1955 range from 10,100,000 to 10,600, 000 people for this area. Furthermore, a careful stMY of census figures would indicate that the rate of gain was larg@st from 1945 to 1950 and particularly from 1949 to 1950. If this rate continues, the higher estimate is likely to be correct. All of the above discussion serves to point out some of the problems in forecasting consumer loads. It also shows some of the bases for the increase in generating capacity planned for construction by 1956. Within the limits and difficulties of forecasting, it is fairly clear that the electric utilities of this area have tried to provide for its future growth. How well their estimates will be fulfilled is a matter which only time ea n determine. MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW REVIEW OF BUSINESS, AGRICULTURAL, AND Sa les at reporting department stores in the Eleventh Federal Reserve District during the first 2 weeks of March were 7 percent above a yea r earlier; sales from January 1 to mid-March showed the same year-to-year gain. Charge accounts receivable at the end of February were up 6 percent from a year earlier, and instalment accounts outstanding, up 51 percent; department store inventories showed a year-to-year ga in of 9 percent. Sales during February at reporting furniture stores were about the same as a year ago. Moderate to heavy rains over the District during March greatl y improved the immediate outlook for agricultural pro· duction this year. Prospects for winter wheat production arc fair to excellent in north Texas but unfavorable in the principal producing cO\lnties of the northwest. Cotton planting is complete in the Lower Rio Grande Valley and is making good progress in south central Texas. Ranges and pastures in the eastern half of the District arc providing ample grazing, while prospects for reviving ranges in the western sections were improved by recent rains. Livestock are making rapid gains in eastern areas. Cattle marketings during March were above a year ago. Farm commodity prices in the District generalJ y held steady or increased during March. Between February 18 and March 18, loans of weekly reporting mcmbcr banks in the District dcclined sli ghtly , due partly to seasonal repayments. Investments declined somewhat during the 4 weeks. Total deposits of these banks rose, reAecting principally expansion of deposits of individuals and businesses. Gross demand deposits of all member banks in the District averaged somewhat lower in February than in January but higher than in February 1952. 53 FINANCIAL CONDITIONS Sales at reporting department stores in this District during the 2· week period ended March 14, 1953, were 7 percent above the comparable 2·week period in 1952. Total sales rrOnt January lthrough March 14, also were 7 percent above the same period last year. During the month of February, sales at these stores totaled 4 percent more than in February 1952, despite one less bnsiness day, but were 7 percent below January sales. Percentagewise, the year-to-year gain was highest in some of the durable lines. The homefurnishings departments registered an increase of 8 percent in sales volume; principal gains in this group were in the sales of major household appliances, which showed an incrcase of 35 percent over a year ago, and television sets and radios, which together rose 21 percent. Sales of nondurables in February were 1 percent above a year earlier. Large percentage gains were recorded among the major wearing ·apparel lines, e.g., sales of women's and misses' suits, up 16 percent; girls' wear, up 18 percent; and lIlen's and boys' wear, up 7 percent. At department stores doing both charge account and in· stal.ment account business, the ratios of cash sales and of charge account sales to total sales declined 1 percentage point each from a year earlier to 35 percent and 50 percent, reo spectively. The proportion of instalment sales rose from 13 percent to 15 percent of total sales. Charge account collections during February were approxi . mately the sa me as during February 1952. End-oI-month charge accounts receivable, however, showed a year-to-year gain of 6 percent. Instalment account collections compared RETAil TRADE STATISTICS Daily average crude oil production in the District during the fi rst 3 weeks of March was a t the lowest level in 7 months, reAecting principally the cutback in Texas allowables for that month. Crude oi l stocks are sharply above a year ago, while stocks of major refined products ha\'e been running below year·earlier levels for several months. Drilling activity is below a year ago. The number of nonagricultural wage and salary workers in the District in January was 4 percent above a year earlier. Manufacturing employment was up 6 percent, while employment in finance and government showed ga ins of 7 percent and 5 percent, respectively. The value of construction contracts awarded in the Dis· trict in February was 10 percent above January and 21 percent above a year earlier. The January-February tOlal was 25 percent above a year ago, with residential awards up 43 percent. (Percentage chong e) STOCKSI NET SALES Feb. 1953 from 2 mo. 1953 lin. of trode by area DEPARTMENT STORES Total Eleventh District ........•.. .. ~~IFa~ ~~~j.l~i::::::::::::::::::: EI Paso ••.....•.•.•...• • .. ..• . . Fort Worth ..•. .........•....•.. Houston .......... ..•....••...•. San Antonio ..• .... • •... .• .. ..• . Shreveport, La ... .........•....•. Waco ............•......•..... Other cities ..•.•..........• . .. .. FURNITURE STORES 10tol Eleventh District ..... .•• .. •.. Austin •.... .. .... . .... . . • ••.. . . Dallas ...... . . . ... . .. . . . .•... . . Houston ... . . ... •.........•• • . · • Port Arthur .. ... .... . .. ... ...... San Antonio .. ..... . ............ Shreveport. La .. ... .......... . ... HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCE STORES Total Eleventh District ... .......... 001105 • • . . . . . • • • . • • • • • • • • . • • • . • , Feb. 195J from feb. 1952 Jon. 1953 4 -7 -7 7 3 10 - I 7 6 8 -3 I I 56 " _4 -6 -9 _11 -7 -. -7 -6 -8 12 -15 7 -2 11 -20 12 -12 I _9 10 21 -19 -12 I Stockl at end of month. Indicates change of leu than one' half of 1 percent. compo with 2mo.1952 5 13 3 11 1 9 2 10 "3 feb. 1952 9 26 7 6 8 15 7 15 5 8 -. JOI'I. 1953 9 15 8 9 7 • 10 12 8 5 - 6 11 1 _ 1 1 - 30 -4 - 2 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW S4 WHOLESALE TRADE STATISTICS Eleventh Federal Reserve District STOCKSlp NET SAlESp February 1953 from February 1953 from 2 mo. 1953 camp . with February 2 mo. 195 2 1952 February January line of trod. 1952 1953 Dry goods ••••.•••••......• -I -4 2 22 3 _ 4 _ 4 -13 -2 -7 5 _4 Grocery Ifull·line wholesalers not sponsoring groups) •••. • Hardware .. •..••..... . •.. • Industrial supplies .. .... . .... M.tols ....... .. ........... Tobacco products ... . ....... Wines and liquors ... ....... Wiring supplies, construction moteriols distributors ... ... 1 "" 7 -_4" January 1953 5 " 5 - 10 -12 1 _9 -62 -6 12 22 -7 10 - 34 1 _9 I" - 32 14 5 -27 -"" StockJ (It end of monflt. p-Preliminory. ; Indicales change of III" than one·half of 1 percent. SOURCE; United S'atll' Burnu of the Census. with a year ago were up 1 percent, although instalment accounts outstanding had risen 51 percent. Based on the ratios of collections during the month to receivables at the beginning of the month, the average pay-ont period on regular charge accounts was 66 days - virtually the same rate as a year earlier. The average collection period on instalment accounts during February was 16 months, compared with 11 months during February 1952_ INDEXES OF DEPARTMENT STORE SALES AND STOCKS (19.47 • .49 = Area ADJUSTED' feb. Jan. Dec. Feb. Feb. Jan. Dec. Feb. 1953 1953 1952 1952 1953 1953 1952 1952 SALES-Daily aVerage Eleventh District ••••... ..•.. Dallas .....•.•.••......... Houston •••••••••. ••• •• ••• • STOCKS-End of month Eleventh District • •• ••. .••• •• Farmers in the District have indicated that they will plant slightly higher acreages of sorghums and rice than were seeded in 1952, according to a recent report of the United States Department of Agriculture; acreages of oats, barley, and flaxseed also are higher. The Department's first estimate of cotton acreage will not be released nntil July 8. Prospects for winter wheat production in north Texas are reported fair to excellent. Recent rains provided enough moisture to carry the crop weB along toward maturity. In the principal producing counties in the northwest, however, the condition of the crop continues unfavorable_ Sbowers have improved the color of the crop and some fields are starting to grow, but more rain is needed to maintain growth and to permit full development_ 100) UNADJUSTED 1 As a result of moderate to heavy rains during March in virtually all scctions of the District, moisture cond itions arc greatly improved and in many sections arc adequate for imm ediate needs. Farmers in the Low Rolling Plains and Edwards Platean of Texas are now preparing land and expect to plant normal acreages or spring crops. In northwestern counties, rainfall has been generally light, but for the most part it has been timely. In some central, northern, and castern counties of Texas and in northern Louisiana, farmers need more open weather to dry fields and permit completion of corn and sorghum planting operations. 101 101 112 101 9" 115 215 206 248 93 94 100 125 119 143 129 127 14" 132p 122r 120 121r 133p 135r 14" 115 111 12" 130 122 130 127 Adjusted for seasonal variation. r-Revised. p-Preliminary, Department store inventories rose seasonally 9 percent during February and at the end of the month were 9 percent greater than a year earlier. The inventory position is not considered by department store management to be excessive in terms of sales or in relation to inventories a year ago_ A prudent buying policy continued to be reflected, as stocks on order at the end of February were 3 percent lower than at the same time a year earlier and 9 percent nnder those reported on order at the end of January. Furniturc store sales during February at reporting stores in the Distri<;.t declined 8 percent from January but were about the same as in February 1952. Acconnts receivable at the end of the month were 24 percent higher than on the same date last year, while the volume of collections rose 5 percent. Inventories, although 1 percent higher than at the end of January, were 6 percent lower than a year earlier_ Cotton planting has been completed in the Lower Rio Grande Valley. Irrigati on water in that area is still short, but general rains during March provided ample surface moisture and the crop is reported to be making satisfactory growth_ Cotton planting permits were not required in the Valley this year; hence, there is 110 accurate indication of the total acreage planted. Private estimates are below the 1,000,000 acres that had been anticipated. Planting is nearing completion in the Corpus-Christi area and is making rapid progress in south central Texas counties and in the irrigated sections of New Mexico and Arizona. Developments in the commercial vegetable areas of Texas were generally satisfactory during March, althongh rains temporarily interrupted fi eld work. The early crops of cantaloupes and watermelons in the Lower Rio Grande Valley arc showing promise of maturing by late April or early May. Sweet corn harvest is expected to start the first week of April, and an early tomato harvest is anticipated. Considerable acreage of the late spring tomato crop in east Texas has been transplanted. Planting of onions and potatoes is under way in the Panhandle vegetable-producing area_ Ranges and pastures are reported to be producing green feed in eastern sections of the District. In northwest Texas, wheat fields provided some pasturage dnring March. In western areas, however, grass is still very short, although March rains improved tbe prospects for reviving the ranges_ 55 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW LIVESTOCK RECEIPT S (Number) fORT WO RTH MARKET SAN ANTONIO MARKET February February January February 1953 1952 1953 1953 February 1952 January Clan Cattle • • • •. ... .• .42,874 11, 112 25,195 52,613 20,7.43 87,728 .(2,696 18,836 8,814 1, 773 II 1,257 19.385 13.053 6,311 17,448 21,.467 C(l lves •••• • •••. • Hogs •••••••••• • Sheep . . .. ... . .. I Indu des 50, 109 43,008 12,229 88.776 3.4.615 1953 12,420 Between February 18 and March 18, cash assets and deposits of the weekly reporting member banks in the District rose. Loans and investments declined. Reflecting principall y the net effect of these changes, total resources rose slightly to 54,661,899,000. 18,832 gOlJh. Loans declined $10,666,000, or less than 1 percent, during 4 weeks, with commercial, industrial, and agricultural loans more than accoun ting for the total reduction. Commodity dealers, grai n and milling concerns, and food and liquor establishments reduced outstanding bank borrowings during most weeks. The decrease reflects, in part, seasonal repayments. Retail and wholesale trade establishments, sales finance companies, and manufacturers of metal and metal products increased the amounts of their indebtedness to these commercial banks. I he Livestock are making rapid gain s 011 the improved feed supplies, and sup plemental feeding has been discontinued in all but a few sections of west Texas where ranges and pastures are only now recovering following earl y March rains_ Shearing of sheep and goats is in progress in the Edwards Plateau counties of Texas_ Marketings of cattle during March were larger than a year ago, partly reflecting the increased nwnbers of ca ttle and calves on farms and ranches. A substantial number of "distress" cattle have been marketed as a result of an outbreak of "X" disease, reported to have resulted from the use of a contaminated feed. Total wool production in the United Sta tes in 1952, is rcportcd by the Bureau of Agricultural Economics at 265,973,000 pounds. This is 6 percent above production in 1951 and the largest si nce 1948. Production in the district states was down 3 percent, primarily as a result of a decline in Texas. Louisiana, Arizona, and Kew Mexico showed some increases. Other changes in loans during the 4 weeks ended March 18 include increases of $7,138,000, or 1.9 percent, in "all other" loans (a category which includes consumer-type loans) and $4,313,000, or 3.3 percent, in real estate loans. Loans for financing sec urity transactions rose, while loans to banks declined. Between March 19, 1952, and March 18, 1953, "all other" loans of these banks rose $83,836,000, or 28 percent, a rate of increase which is more than double the expansion of total loans. The sharp increase in this category reRects principally the strong demand for consumer-type financing. TIl vcstments of the weekly reporting member banks declined $4,778,000, or sl ightly, to a total of $1,375,658,000. A rather sharp redUl.:tion of Trcasury bills and smaller de- FARM COMMODITY PRICES Top Prices Paid in local Southwesl Markets COnlmodity and market Unit COTTO N, Middling 15/ 16·ln(.", Dolla~ •.••• lb. b,. b,. b,. WHEAT, No.1 Mud, Fort Worth •• . . . ... . . OATS, No.2 white, Fort Worth .•......... CORN, No.2 yeUow, Fort Worth ..•.....• SORGHUMS, No.2 yellow milo. fort Worth. HOGS, Choice, f ort W ortn •. . .... . .•.. .. SLAUGHTER STEERS. Choice, Fori Worth .• • SlA.UGHTER CALVES, Choice, Fort Worth. . . STOCKER STEERS. Choice. Fort Worth •••. . SLAUGHTER LAMBS, Choice, Fort Worth .•. HENS, 3-4 pounds, Fort Worth _ . . . .••..•. FRYERS. Commercial, Fort Warth • .. ..•.. . . BR OI LERS, south Texas •.....•• .. ...•• . . . WOOL, 12-montM. west Texa' ...•....•. MO HAIR. kid, west TeKos .. • . ••.•..•.•. I "". cw t. t wl. twl. twl. I:wl. lb. lb. lb. lb. lb. Week e nd e d Comparable Comparable March 24, ..... eek week 195 3 lost month lost year .3275 2.6 8 1.0SV, 1.88 3.08 22.25 23.00 23.00 22 .0 0 24.00 .23 .29 .30 11.70 1.16V2 .3275 2.66% 1.04Y, 1.8 6~ 3.21 21 .50 23.00 24.50 23 .00 2 1. 50 .20 .27 .25 CONDITION STATISTICS OF WEEKtY REPORTING MEMBER BANKS IN LEADING CITIES Eleven th Federa l Reserve District 04145 277 tin thousands af dollotl) 1.15'A 2. 16Y.t 3.18 17.75 34 .00 34.00 33 .00 27 .00 .20 .28 11.55 1.25 Clean bosit, delivered Boston. Prices received by district farmers for most products held rela tivel y steady or increased during March. Reports from l"omllloriity ma rkets show that cotton prices advanced seasonall y to the hi ghest level since early December, while moderate incrcases were recorded for broilers, hogs, lambs, and grains, except sorghums. Prices of cattle and calves nuctuatcfl within narrow limits. sho" ing a slight net decline duri ng thc 4 weeks cnded March 2.1. Uem March 18, March 19, 1953 1952 1953 $2,892,957 1,565,310 1,581,675 $3,188.911 1,789.771 1.097.744 7,915 1,203,21 2 11,452 Totalloanl (gron) and inyestments • .•.... •• .. $3,173.467 1,779,152 Totalloans-Net 1 • • •••••• • •••••••••••••• 1,797,809 Total loans-Gross ...................... Commercial, induitrial, and agricultural loans .......• . ••.....• . •.. . •...• . • 1,186,815 10,627 loans to broken and dealers in securities .. Other loans for purcha sing or corrying 71,699 securities ••.....•.•.•.•.•••••.•••.. 135,3 4 1 Reol estate loans ....•.... . • . • . •.•. .. • 9,950 loans to bonks • . •... ... . ......•. •.•. . 383,377 All other 100n5 .•... .... .• .•.. .......• 1,375,658 Total investments ..........•.•.•..•.•..• 129,158 U. S. Treosury b ilb •. ..••.•••.•.• . •.••• 149,640 U. S. Treasury certiAcatel of ind ebtedness. 210.383 U. S. Treasury notes •. .. •• .. ••••..•. • .• U. S. Government bonds {inc. gtd . 707,196 obligationsl • . •• ·•·····•···· .....• . . 179,281 O ther securities .. . . • .... . . .•.•.•.•. . .. 595,079 Reserves with Federal Rllserve Bank .• ...•.... 456,111 Balances with dome$lic bo nks .• ••••..••.•• . . 2,540.786 Demand d epasils-odiu 5 ted~ ••••••.•.•• . •• .. 516.285 TIme deposits except Govttmment •• . •.. .. . . .. 79,64.4United States Government deposits . •.••.••... 843.136 Interbank demond deposits . .. ••. . .•.•••• . .. 16.500 Borrowings from Federal Reserve Bank •• •• • . .. Februory 18. 58,993 116.933 549 299,541 1,311 .282 185,541 167,464 180.21 1 1,808,475 68,361 131,028 18,183 376,239 1.380,436 139,913 152,993 218,233 693,043 6 10,701 167,365 597,589 493,927 2.433,3 J.4 459,112 76,873 799,709 605,349 412,063 2,460,490 506,163 0 35,150 176,254 122,852 850,576 I After dttduetions for relerves and unallocated charge-offs. I Includes 011 demand deposih other than interbank and United Stotes Government, le ss cosh items reported alan hand or In process of collection. NOTE : Beg inning with the report week of March 11. an additional bank's fliluros afe induded in th is 18ri es; year·ago and month·ago figures hove been revised accord ingly. 56 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW creases in holdings of Treasury notes and certificates of indebtedness were offset, in part, by an increase in holdings of Government bonds. Investments in municipal and other nonGovernment securities rose somewhat less than 2 percent. Between February 18 and March 18, deposits of the weekly reporting member banks rose $46,775,000, or 1.1 percent, to a total of $4,292,800,000. This expansion is approximately the same as that reported during the comparable period last year. Demand deposits of individuals, partnerships, and corporations increased $68,055,000, or 2.7 percent. Demand deposits of states and political subdivisions rose, although decreases in demand deposits of banks and of the United Slates Government were more than offsetting. Time deposits rose $10,1 32,000, or 2.0 percent, reflecting a further increase in the time accounts of individuals and businesses. GROSS DEMAND AND TIME DEPOSITS OF MEMBER BANKS Eleventh Federal Reserve District (Average. of daily figure,. In thou lands of dollars) COMBINED TOTAL Dot. Gro» demand RESERVE CITY BANKS Gross Time demand Time COUNTRY BANKS Gross demand Ti me February 1 9S 1 .•. $6,108,995 $648,772 $2,951,883 S395,55 1 $3,157,112 $253,221 February 1952 .•. 6,567,846 7 2 1,57 8 3,030,813 395,992 3,537,033 325,586 October 1952 ... 6.828,512 770,099 3,262.180 420.233 3,566, 332 349,866 November 1952 .. 7,025.207 780,156 3,338,376 421,427 3,686,831 358,729 December 1952 .• 7,090,304 784,739 3,380,098 422,356 3,710,206 362,383 Janoory 1953 .... 7,109,145 798,393 3,387,726 428,92 8 3,721 ,4 19 369,465 February 1953 ..• 6,850,152 808,429 3,223,32 5 433,931 3,6 26, 827 374,498 ANNOUNCEMENT REVISION OF BA 'K DEBITS SEItJES Beginning with the report lor March 1953, the monthly bank debits series, which measures the extent to which depositors are using their checking accolmts, will be revised to increase its statistical value. The revised series will comprise debits only to demand accounts 0/ individuals, partnerships, and corporations (l nd 0/ states and Jlolit,ical subdivisions; debits to Uniled Stales Government accolwls and to time deJlosit accol!l1is will be eliminated. The elimination 0/ debits to Treasu.ry Tax and Loan Accounts and to accounts of collectors 0/ internal revenue at commercial banks will remove debits which are 110t representative of economic activity. The elimination 0/ debits to time deposit accounts will have little effect on the volume of debits, since time deposits are mther stable, but it will improve the significance and compambility of rates of deposit turnover. In the aggregate, the volume of debits on the revised basis will be lower than the present series by only a small percent; figures lor some individual centers, however, will be affected more than others. Estimates are being made on the revised basis for each reporting center lor the months of 1952 alld lor January and February 1953. Thus, year-ago figures will be comparable with current figures. Gross demand deposits of all member banks in the District averaged S6,850,152,000 during February, as compared with $7,109,145,000 in January. This reduction of 3.6 percent reflects principally a decline in deposits of the reserve city member banks. In contrast with the decrease of demand deposits, time deposits rose 1.3 percent, with the reserve city and country member banks sharing approximately cvenly in the increase. The expansion of time deposits in February marks a continuation of a trend which had prevailed in most months ovcr a 2-year period_ BANK DEBITS, END-OF.MONTH DEPOSITS AND ANNUAL RATE OF TURNOVER OF DEPOSITS IAmounts in thousands of dollars) DEPOSITS! DEBITS! Percentage change from February Ci~y 1953 Feb . 1952 Jan. 1953 ARIZONA Between February 15 and March 15, gold certificate reserves of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas rose $17,228,000, while total earning assets declined ,29,840,000. The reduction of earning assets reflects principally a decrease of $28,180,000 in disco unts for member banks. Holdings of Government securities declined $1,705,000. On March 15, Federal Reserve notes of this bank in actual circulation amounted to $726,500,000, reflecting a decrease or $2,479,000 during the month. CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS (In thousands of dollars) Item March 15, March 15, 1953 1952 Total gold certificote reserves .... ...... .. .. . $ 682.812 Discounts for member banks . ....... .. . .. .. . 21,000 Industrial advances ................ .•• ..... o Foreign loans on gold . ................... . 990 U. S. Government securities ................ . 1,15 1,613 Total earning ossets ...................... . 1,173,603 Member banle reserve deposits . ............ . 1,087.035 Federal Reserve notes In actual circulation .... . 726,500 714,742 3,000 20 o Feb. IS, 1953 665,584 49, 180 o 945 1,064,166 1,067,186 1,1 53,318 1,203,443 1,080,563 676,112 1,08 1,871 728,979 Tucson ........ .. . ... Annual rate of tumover Feb. 28, 1953 Feb. Feb. 1953 1952 1953 Jan. 107,005 19 -13 118,333 10.9 10.1 12.6 45,415 189,451 6 -20 I -22 53,134 203,""3 10.3 1 1.2 10.4 11.4 12.5 14.2 -13 29,336 9.6 9.1 10.4 - 3 - 17 - 10 -14 I -24 2 -12 5 -16 - 3 - 24 12 - 16 17 _1 6 3 - 15 -3 -1 3 4 - 14 - 1 -1 6 5 - 19 - 1 -14 - 17 - 13 -7 - 13 - 10 - 13 3 -14 6 -10 - 1 - 11 58,329 120,791 122,780 103,892 117,509 9.7 12.6 16.3 14.3 10.7 1 1.6 14 .4 20.8 16.0 14.2 22,511 1,103,741 6.5 16.3 175,161 1-4.3 14.2 15.2 6.7 15.7 14.2 LOUISIANA Monroe ....... ... .. . Shreveport. ......... NEW MEXICO Roswell ....... ... .. . TEXAS Abilene ........•... . Amarillo . . .... ...... Austin .. .. . .. . Beaumont ......... . . Corpus Cl1ril ll . . ...... Corsicana .......... . Dallas ...... .. . . ... . EI Paso . . . ........ . . ',Fort Worth ..... Galveston .... . .. .. . . Houston ... loreda . ...... lubbock . .. . ...... . . Port Arthur ! . _ . .... . . San Angelo .... . . . . .. Son Anlonio . . . . . . ... Tellorkona' ........ . . Tyler . . ......... . .. . Waco . . . .......... . Wichito Falls. , ...... 24,455 "6,8-45 126,341 166,540 124,909 137,396 12 ,245 1.497,390 205,171 486,283 72,409 1,5 54,897 21,204 118,040 43,140 33,583 347,713 18,47 8 52,732 70,44 9 80,638 Totol-24 dties ........ $5,582,729 12 5 - 15 421,909 103,493 1,189,669 26,296 115,458 43,457 8,4 15.6 9.7 12.0 107,458 11.9 7.7 10.3 8.2 10 .• 9.6 9.0 $4,861,896 13.8 52,523 402,291 27,078 57,688 85,616 15.1 17.2 14.8 15.1 8.8 15.8 11.3 13.0 11.8 16.6 8.3 19.1 16.8 16.4 •. 6 17.8 11.5 14.0 13.6 •. 2 8.5 11.5 10.1 I!.' 11.8 14.0 16.0 9.0 9.2 9.1 12.4 10.0 •. 8 I Debits to de!)osit accou1ts except interbank accounts. , Demond and time de!)aJits, including certified ond olAcers' checks outstanding bul excluding deposits to the credit of belnles. , These figures include only one bank in Texarkana, TeJl.a~. Total debits for all banks in TexQrkana, Texa s·Arkansas, including two bonks loca ted in the Eighlh District, amounted to $34,640,000 fo r the month of February 1953 . I Indicates change of less than one-half of 1 p.rcenl. MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW Debits to deposit accounts reported by banks in 24 cities of the District declined 15 percent in Febru ary as compared with the total for J a nuary. The reductio n in the volume of spending which these figures reflect was common among all reporting cities, ,,;th decreases ranging fro.m 10 percent to 24 percent. Although the smaller number of business days in February as compared with January accoun ts for part of the declin e, other seasonal factors also contributed to the decrease. Cbarges to deposit accounts in February were 5 percent above the total reported for February 1952. The annual ra te of turnover of deposits was 13.8 in February, as co mpared with 16.0 ill January and 14.0 in February of last year. Daily average crude oil production in the Eleventh Feder al Reserve Di strict durin g the first 3 weeks of March was at the lowest level since last August, when production was held down for the purpose of reducin g excessively heavy stocks accumulated during the oil strike a few mouths earlier. The 3, t:~5,O OO-ba rrel production per da y through March 21 averaged 94,000 barrels less than during February a nd 108,000 barrels less than during the same period a year ('arli er. March producti on reAects the cutback in Texas allowables for that month, which was the third in a period of if, months. Moreover, a further cutback ill the Texas allow· ahles of a little over 119,000 barrels has been ann ounced for April by the State's conservati on agency; Louisiana and Oklahoma also have announced reductions. Large stocks, together with an anticipated seasonal decl ine in demand, have been the im mediate factors di ctating the most recent cuts in allowables. Th e shutting in of production of wells in the Spraberry trend was ordered by the Texas Railroad Commission , effective April 1. This action was taken to eliminate the flaring of large quantiti es of gas occurring in conjunction with the oil producti on. Since the daily allowables of the Spraberry wells prior to the shutdown averaged around 82,000 barrels, the closing of these wells will accentuate the reduction in district oil production. The decline in this District more than accounted for the decrease in the Natio n's dail y average crude oil production durin g the fi r st 3 weeks of March. Nati onal production averaged 6,460,000 barrels per day, which, a lthough down from F ebru ar )" is 46,000 barrels more than a year earlier. District stocks of crude oil rose significantly during Fcbruary but then showed a m oderate decrease in the first half of March. Stocks on March 14, at 145,000,000 barrels, were 13.400,000 barrels hi gher than on the correspondin g date last yea r. Na ti onal stocks also increased over a year ago. Refinery ac tivi ty in the Di strict during February and early March co ntinued at a high level for the seventh consecutive month. Crude rullS to refiner y stills in February averaged 2.110,000 barrels a day, the same as in January and within about 50,000 barrels of the average in each of the previous CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION (Barre's) February 1953 Increese or decreo s. in doil y a verl:lg e production from Ar ea Total prod1Jction Do ily ovg . production ELEVENTH DISTRICT Texas R. R. Com. Oistrids 1 South Centrol . . .... . .. 1,02 9,000 2 Middle Gulf. . . . . . . . . . 4,687,550 3 -4 5 6 Upper Gulf .. . .. ... ... 13,924 ,050 Lower Gulf. . . . . . . . . . . 7 .472,150 EC;IIt Centrol . •• ,... . . . 1,464,050 Northeasl. .. .. . . . .... East Texos. . . ...... Otner flelds ........ 7b North Central. .. .. .... 7r. West Centra l. .. . . .. . . 8 West ... . . ... . . . ..... 9 North.. . . .... . ...... . 10 Panhandle ..... ... . . . . Total Texal .. ...... . New Mexi<;o . . . . .. .. . . ..... Nortfllollisiana ... .. ....... . Tota l Eleventh District . .. . .. OUTSIDE ELEVENTH DISTRICT.. . UNITED STAlES . . . . . . .. . ... . . 10,963,750 7 ,277,200 3,686,550 3,120,600 5,000,450 27,219,150 5,276,2 50 2, 129,400 8 2,2 86,400 4,894,750 3,22 1,050 90,402 ,200 92,510,600 182,912,800 36.750 167,413 497,287 266,862 52,288 391,563 259,90 0 131,663 111,450 178,588 972, 112 188.437 76,0 50 2,938,800 174,812 115,Q38 3,228,650 3,303,9 50 6,53 2,600 Feb . 1952 3,688 -2,358 -1 ,349 5 26 -1 0 ,234 -7,635 -11,248 3,613 23,0 84 36.700 -33 ,15 2 26.077 -7,121 28.226 18,879 -12 ,831 34,274 144 ,979 179,253 Jon . 1953 _671 457 - 2.367 2. 875 _615 -1,972 -2,745 773 _763 2.830 17.36 6 455 - 3.80 3 13.7 92 4 68 1,275 15.535 14,0 88 29,62 3 SOURCE: Estimated from Amerir.an Petrolellm JnstiMe weely reports. 1I10nths. February crude runs were 7 percent larger, however, than in the same month of 1952. Crude runs in the Nation averaged 7,005,000 barrels per day, which was down 1 percent from the previou s month but was 6 percent higher than a year earlier. (i Stocks of maj or refill ed products in this District have been running below year-earlier levels for the past several months, and this situation may accomlt for the sustained high level of refin er)' activity in the District. In the week ended March 21, district stocks of the four major refined products were 4 percent less than on the same date a year ago. Meanwhil e, stocks of major refin ed products in the ' ation as a whole have shown substan tial increases over yearearlier levels in each of the past several months ; in the week ended March 21, these stoc ks totaled 283,400,000 barrels, or 9 percent higher than a year earli er. With the major portion of the heating seaso n having passed, national stocks of distillate fuel oils were 19 percent higher than a year ago. Gasoline stocks stood at a record high, 3 percent above a l ear earlier. While imports of crude petroleum and refined products have continued for several months at a daily rate exceeding 1,000,000 harrels, they have declined from the peak level in early January. Imports during the G weeks ended March 14 averaged 1,035,000 barrels per day, or 158,000 barrels hi gher than in the same period last year. No major or widespread changes in prices of either crude petroleum or r efined products occurred in this District in the first month following the elimination of price controls. The same situation prevailed in the rest of the Na tion , with the excepti on of the increases on the West Coast and for Pennsylvania Grade crud e in the Appalachian area noted last month. Drilling activity in the ation durin g the first 12 weeks of this year was off fr om the peak level reached at the end of last year and has bee n running substantially lower than in 58 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW the same period of 1952. The total number of active rotary rigs in the week ended March 23 was 2,510, willch is 338 less than the December high and 212 less than a year earlier. Most of this year·to·year decrease occurred in the west Texas area and reflects the contraction in drilling activity in the Spraberry trend. NATURAL GAS, ESTIMATED PROVED RES ERVES {In billion s of cub ic feet ) New supplies de'Yeloped in 1952 Area Proved reserves of crude oil and natural gas liquids of the four producing states lying wholly or partly within the Eleventh Federal Reserve District - Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas - amounted to more than 24,000,000,000 barrels at the end of 1952, according to estimates released by the American Petroleum Institute and the Ameri· can Gas Association. This figure represents a net increase of about 350,000,000 barrels over the level of estimated proved reserves of the previous year. This increase was achieved de· spite the record production of more than 1,700,000,000 barrels during 1952. The increase in reserves of crude oil and natural gas liquids in district states in 1952 was smaller than in any previous year since 1946. Moreover, the net addition to reo serves in relation to the number of wells drilled and to the footage drilled, both of which reached all· time highs, was appreciably smaller than the average of the past 10 years. The Southwest's share of the Nation 's proved reserves showed a small decline from 73.6 percent at the end of 1951 to 72.9 percent at the end of 1952. Considerable variation existed among the four district states with respect to the changes in proved reserves of crude oil and natural gas liquids during 1952. Estimated proved reserves in Texas declined 151,000,000 barrels, or about 1 percent, the first decline this State has experienced since 1943 when the war curtailed drilling activity. Thel'e are i ndications that a substantial downward revision in the estimated reserves of fields in the Spraberry trend is largely responsible for the failure of Texas to make a better showing during the past year. On the other hand, New Mexico experienced the largest net increase in its proved reserves in over 10 years, with a gain of 143,000,000 barrels, or 19 percent. Meanwhile, proved reserves in Louisiana were up 10 percent, and in Oklahoma, up 3 percent. Reser .... es Edensions Dec. 31, Disa.d 1951 re . . isions coveries l ouisiana l . 29,0 05 New Me ll.ico .. 11 ,590 Oklahoma ... . 11,80 4 Tell.a$I .. . ... . 105.653 Total Eleventh District states. 158.053 United States . 193,812 2,176 2,669 reserves in 1952 1,270 2,447 4,936 5,905 4 14 1.460 217 200 2,950 , 4,330 31,452 14,039 11,765 10 5,733 6,853 8,934 4,908 5,4 1 1 18 199 6,843 8,640 162,988 199,716 548 Ch~llges Netcnonge in und erNol Reser . . es ground production Dec. 31, storage in 1952 1952 1,540 442 801 '" 2,449 - 40 80 Includes off·shore rese rves. less than Ofle. NOTE.; Detail will not nec;enorily odd to total, due to rounding . SOURCE: American GO I Auociotion. 1 ~ Estimated proved reserves of natural gas in the four pro· ducing states in the District increased almost five trillion cubic feet, or 3 percent. This increase is somewhat smaller than in each of the previous 5 year s. At the end of 1952, total proved reserves of these states amounted to 163 trillion cubic feet, which is 82 percent of the Nation's total. Most of the increase in proved reserves among district states occurred in Louisiana and lew Mexico, Texas showed only a very slight increase, while Oklahoma reportcd a small decrease. Marketed production of natural gas in the producing states lying wholly or partly within the Eleventh District showed a substantial seasonal increase during the fourth quarter of 1952 to reach a record high of 1,676 billion cubic feet. The 12.percent gain over the previous quarter was slightly larger lhan in the corresponding period of 1951. As compared with a year earlier, marketed production in the fourth quarter was 9 percent higher. MARKETED PRODUCTION OF NATURAL GAS ( In millions of cub ic feet) Area Fourth fourth quarter quarte r 1951 1952 Louisiana .. ..... . Ne w Mexico ... . . Oklahoma ...... . 324,200 278,600 83,200 145,800 •••••••••. 92,100 154,500 1,105,200 Toto !, .. , .. ,. , 1,676,000 T ., xa~ Third quarhH 1952 Year Yeor 1952p 1951 1,025,300 279,800 83,100 134,100 998,100 1.135,000 354,600 644,800 4,168,700 1,054,199 538,756 3,781,136 1,532,900 1,495,100 6,303,100 5,674,260 300, 169 p_Preliminory. SOURCE: United Slates Bureau of Mine5. CRUDE OIL AND NATURAt GAS LIQUIDS ESTIMATED PROVED RESERVES II. millions of barrels of 42 U. S. ga llons} New supplies de'Yeloped in 1952 Reser .... e~ Dec. 31, Extensions a.d re'Yisions Disco . . eries ProdtlCtion in 19 52 Re ser .... es Dec.3 1, Changes in rese r. . es in 195 2 Areg 1951 louisiang I ••• •••• New Muito . .... Oklanoma ..•... . Te)(al 1 • • •• •• ••• • 742 1,788 18,192 455 188 237 791 24 33 2 22 264 70 2 105 3,271 885 1,84 3 1,16 5 30 2 143 55 18,04 1 - 151 Total Ele'Yenth District stotes .. . . United Stotes ... . 23,692 32,193 1,672 2,728 391 578 1,7 14 2, 5 4 2 24,040 32,9 57 3 48 765 2,970 III 1 Includes off-snore reserves. NOTE: Detail will not necessarily odd to lotal, due to rounding , SOURCES: American Petroleum Institute, American GOt Assotiotion, 1952 While marketed production of district states for the entire year 1952 was up 11 percent over that of the previous year, this relative increase lVas significantly less than in the precedi ng 2 years, Production in 1951 rose 22 percent and in 1950, 17 percent. Restrictions on the addition of new customers in some northeastern states and relatively mild weather during the winter heating season were among the factors tending to hold down the expansion in the marketed production of na lural gas. The district states experiencing the larger increases in 1952 production were Oklahoma and New Mexico, \I ith gains of 20 percent and 18 percent, respectively. The j increase in marketed production in Texas amounted to 10 , percent and in Louisiana, 8 percent. These four states accounted for 79 percenl of the Nation's production in 1952, as compared with 76 percent in 1951. 59 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW The total nwnber of nonagricultural wage and salary workers in the five states of the District in January was 3,815,500, or 4 percent above January 1952, according to state employment commission reports. It is believed that subsequent reports will show that total nonagricultural employment increased to about 3,817,000 workers in February and 3,829,000 workers in March, resulting from increased trade activity during tbe Easter buying season and from increases in employment in service establishments. Moreover, prospects are good for a continued increase in nonfarm employment in these states during the spring months. One of the major changes in nonfarm employment in district states in January occurred in the nwnber of manufacturing wage and salary workers. However, the seasonal decline from 725,GOO workers in December to 716,200 in January was considerably less than a year earlier, and the January figure is 6 percent above a year ago. Employment in this category has already shown signs of a spring rise, with defense-related industries leading the way. Manufacturing employment is estimated to have risen to 719,000 workers in February and 720,000 in March. VALUE OF CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS AWARDED (In thou.and. of dollars) January-February February 1953 Area and type Februory 1952 ELEVENTH DISTRICT .... $ 108,920 Residential . . . . . . . . . 49,555 AU ather. . . . . . . . . . . 59,365 UNITED STATESI .... .. 1,021,310 Residential. . . . . . . . . 418,568 All ather........... 602,742 January 1953 99,325 $89,944 $ 33,782 48.404 50,921 56,162 885,206 1,075,868 396,438 460,036 488,768 615,832 above the total for January and 21 percent above that for February 1952. Both residential and nonresidential awards showed increases over year·earlier levels. For the first 2 months of 1953, the value of construction contracts awarded in the District rose 25 percent above the same months of 1952, compared with a gain of 17 percent for the United States. Residential awards in the District in the 2-month period were up 43 percent from a year earlier, while the corresponding gain in the Nation was 20 percent. BUltDING PERMITS 2 months 1953 Percenlage change in ....aluation from l F.bn.rary 1953 Percent change Jan. 1953 from Number of persons ~ Type of employment Total nonagricultural wage and salary werleers . . Manufacturing • ••.•...•.. Nonmonufacturing •....... Mining .... , .. . Conrotrucli.)rl . .. .... . Transporlati:N1 and pu ~!ic utilities ........... . Trade ..... .. .. .... . Finance .............. . Service ......... . .... . Governmerlt . .. ...... Jonuary January December 1953p 1952 1952 3,815,500 7t 6,200 3,657,100 678,300 3,918,200 725,600 3,099,300 231.600 282.300 2,978,800 223700 270,700 AOa,dOO 967,200 143.400 439,800 626,600 d07,400 924,700 133,6~0 d24 , 100 594,600 1952 166,134 68.512 97,622 1,787,297 73.4,159 1,053,138 1 37 itates east of the Rocky Mountains. SOURCEI F. W. Dodge Corporation. NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Five Southwestern Siotes 1953 208,245 97,959 110,286 2,097,178 878,604 1,218,574 Jan. 1952 Dec. 1952 3,192,600 229,800 206,600 4.3 5.6 4.0 3.5 ' .3 -2.6 -1.3 -2.9 .... 16,200 1,02 1,900 1'3,900 441 ,700 652,500 .2 ' .6 7.3 3.7 5.' -1.9 -5.<1 -.3 .S -1 .5 -.' -4.0 , Arizona, louisiana, Ne ..... MeJl,ica, Oklahoma, and TeJl,as. p_Preliminary. SOURCE: State employment agencies. City Number LOUISIANA Shreveport .... TEXAS Valuation 324 $ 1,517,958 Number Feb. 1952 from 2 months 1952 13 -40 651 4,049,585 64 230 653 466 397 791 3,219 570 1,649 157 1,943 559 233 3,743 431 125 1,373,704 3,979,836 5.175,438 1,865,179 6,247,894 19,125,179 3,463.328 8,083,649 2,370,339 17.367,169 3,556,854 642,065 7,390,067 1,434,554 1,664,112 43 -11 6 -7 156 34 -26 38 361 15,817 $87,788,952 6 817,039 2,077.000 2,373,747 501,020 3,499,552 8,226,083 1,377,693 4,463.519 1,410.048 7 ,813,960 1,452,616 413.933 3,953,543 838.003 1,110,437 138 -21 -30 -40 186 1 -64 56 365 -4 -II 136 6 -62 -66 Total •••...•••. • 7,985 $41.846.151 -5 -9 121 375 AustIn . ... . .. . 230 Beaumont ... . . 16' Corpus Chris'i .. 333 Dallas ....... . 1,691 El Pcuo •. • .. .. 321 Fort Worth .... 812 Galveston ... .. 81 917 Houston . . . .... lubbock . . .. .. 285 Port Arthur . ... 110 San Antonio .. . 1.942 Waco ... ..... 228 51 Wichita Falls... VClluQlian Jan. 1953 47 9 -15 -63 27 _25 -3' 23 47 -18 -31 81 15 40 101 Abilene .... • . • Amarillo ••. . . • Percentage change in valuation , 29 48 8 -59 -82 , Indicates change of le55 than one·half of I percent. Of the seven major nonmanufar turing employment categories, as outlined in state reports, only mining showed an increase in January over the Decembe r tutal. The most impres' sive increases in January over a yea r earli er \Vere in finance and government, which show gains of 7 percent and 5 percent, respectively. In lanuary, only Dallas and Hou,to n aillong the majur labor market areas of the District were placed in a category of a balanced labor supply, according to a Department of Labor report. The other 13 markets remained areas of mode rate labor surplus_ The value of construction contracts a warded in the District • ill February, estimated at $108,920,000, was 10 perrent Construction contracts awarded in Texas during January and February provide for 8,898 dwelling units in new residential buildings. This compares with 6,319 in the same months last year and 11,120 units 2 years ago. In terms of value, private contracts accounted for 98 percent of the January-February total. Contracts for nonresidential building in Texas in this period also were ahead of a year ago by 43 percent, due to increased activity in the construction of commercial, industrial, edu~ationaL religious, public, and social and recreational buildings. The total value of contracts for buildings in Texas in the 2-month period was up 45 percent from a year ago ; contracts for construction of public works and utilities were lower.