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wkh ghshqghqw yduldeoh lq wkh uhjuhvvlrq/ fodvvlfdo phdvxuhphqw huuru lv qrw d sureohp1

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8

Zh kdyh dovr h{shulphqwhg zlwk vrph fruuhfwlrqv iru vhuldo fruuhodwlrq lq wkh uhvlgxdov/ exw wkh uhvxowv

zhuh yhu| vlplodu1

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56

TABLE II
Regression Results, Merged CPS{MP Data
16 years
Year ¢lnAs ¢lnA¤
79
0.601
-0.037
(0.210) (0.017)

Skill
14 years
¢lnAs ¢lnA¤
0.434
-0.047
(0.150) (0.020)

De¯nition
12 years
Non{prod. labor
s
¤
¢lnA
¢lnA ¢lnAs
¢lnA¤
0.135
-0.046
0.388
-0.062
(0.106) (0.042) (0.142)
(0.026)

80

0.817
(0.226)

-0.097
(0.019)

0.576
-0.107
(0.160) (0.022)

0.141
(0.111)

-0.087
(0.045)

0.704
(0.139)

-0.164
(0.027)

81

0.173
(0.202)

-0.014
(0.018)

0.059
-0.008
(0.144) (0.021)

-0.132
(0.107)

0.053
(0.043)

0.092
(0.137)

-0.018
(0.027)

82

-0.090
(0.187)

-0.011
(0.019)

-0.163
0.005
(0.139) (0.022)

-0.365
(0.112)

0.130
(0.047)

-0.171
(0.139)

0.016
(0.030)

83

0.303
(0.182)

0.000
(0.020)

0.248
-0.009
(0.142) (0.023)

0.042
(0.119)

0.012
(0.050)

-0.121
(0.134)

0.054
(0.029)

84

0.069
(0.165)

0.040
(0.019)

0.054
0.038
(0.131) (0.022)

-0.073
(0.116)

0.078
(0.050)

-0.077
(0.130)

0.063
(0.028)

85

0.168
(0.158)

-0.013
(0.020)

0.130
-0.016
(0.127) (0.023)

0.087
(0.120)

-0.031
(0.052)

0.182
(0.127)

-0.032
(0.028)

86

0.053
(0.163)

-0.004
(0.020)

0.006
0.000
(0.125) (0.024)

-0.081
(0.125)

0.037
(0.055)

0.025
(0.126)

-0.004
(0.028)

87

-0.020
(0.159)

0.076
(0.020)

-0.038
0.080
(0.126) (0.024)

-0.208
(0.120)

0.164
(0.053)

-0.114
(0.122)

0.098
(0.027)

88

0.066
(0.155)

0.013
(0.019)

0.056
0.011
(0.126) (0.023)

0.108
(0.118)

-0.026
(0.052)

-0.172
(0.119)

0.058
(0.027)

89

0.038
(0.152)

-0.010
(0.020)

0.026
-0.010
(0.121) (0.024)

-0.001
(0.118)

-0.005
(0.053)

-0.131
(0.118)

0.023
(0.027)

90

0.270
(0.137)

-0.036
(0.019)

0.192
-0.038
(0.110) (0.023)

0.083
(0.116)

-0.039
(0.053)

0.244
(0.120)

-0.055
(0.028)

91

0.341
(0.150)

-0.058
(0.021)

0.285
-0.070
(0.129) (0.026)

0.155
(0.126)

-0.084
(0.057)

0.155
(0.127)

-0.049
(0.029)

R2 = 0:182

R2 = 0:181

R2 = 0:169

R2 = 0:193

Note: Standard errors are in parentheses. The dependent variable is value added{based
TFP growth. The sample size is 858 (66 observations for 13 years).

24

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Figure I
Average Gross Output Factor Shares, 1959-1991*
0.20
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0.14
0.12
0.10
0.08
60

65

70

75

80

Production Worker Share
Equipment Share
----- Non-Production Worker Share

1-------

*The averages are computed annually across 449 industries
in the MP data set for each factor share.

85

90

Figure II
Contribution of Skilled Labor-Augmenting Technical Progress to TFP
(based on Table I estimates)

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log TFP total year effect**

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s
**logA contribution plus logA*
Both series are normalized to zero in 1959

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Employment-Weighted TFP Growth versus Skill Share (Selected Years)
1977

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