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REAL ESTATE RESEARCH

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June 9, 2016

REAL ESTATE RESEARCH
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Real Estate Research provided
analysis of topical research and
current issues in the fields of housing
and real estate economics. Authors
for the blog included the Atlanta Fed's
Jessica Dill, Kristopher Gerardi, Carl
Hudson, and analysts, as well as the
Boston Fed's Christopher Foote and
Paul Willen.
In December 2020, content from Real
Estate Research became part of

Construction Lending Update: Have the Banks Finally
Opened the Spigots?

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When we last blogged about at bank call report data, in June 2014, we found
that "aggregate lending remained well below its 2008 peak," but "more than half
of banks with a construction lending business line were expanding" their lending.

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Fast forwarding two years, where does construction lending stand now? We
pulled bank call report data through the first quarter of 2016 and found that

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construction lending has continued to grow, albeit at a measured pace (see table
1).

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CATEGORIES
Affordable housing goals
Credit conditions
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Of the insured banks with a construction lending business line, 62.2 percent
have stepped up their lending relative to the year-earlier level. Not only are there
more banks actively lending, but half of these banks increased their lending by at
least 11.9 percent.
Despite this seemingly good news, it appears that most banks remain selective
about the loans they make, and a few large banks are largely responsible for the
increase in aggregate lending. In the first quarter of 2016, the top 20 construction
lenders accounted for more than one-third of all construction lending (that is, 0.4
percent of active construction lenders are responsible for 37 percent of all
construction lending). To provide some perspective, the top 20 banks accounted
for 32 percent of all construction lending in 2005 and 42 percent in 2010. Slicing
the data this way suggests that it is not particularly unusual for the top 20 to play
such a large role in construction lending and that smaller lenders have made
some progress toward recouping the market share of the top 20, though they
aren't as active as they were in 2005.
Shifting attention now to the second and third set of columns in table 1, we'd like
to point out that call report data in 2010 started breaking down total construction
lending data into "Residential 1–4 family construction loans" and "Other loans, all
land development and other land" categories. Note that this "Other" category
includes construction loans for nonresidential and multifamily properties. While
lending in both categories has increased over the past two years, growth has
been much stronger for "Residential 1–4 family construction" relative to "Other
construction, all land development and other land." Our interpretation of this
divergence remains quite similar to our assessment two years earlier: the slower
growth in "Other" is likely the outcome of fairly strong growth in multifamily
construction lending weighed down by banks' continued reluctance to lend on
land and lot development.
While the data seem to indicate that the construction lending spigots have
opened up a little over the past two years, it is less clear who is able to access
this credit. Bank call report data is aggregated in a way that prevents us from
knowing anything about the borrowers. Anecdotally, using our monthly poll of

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Southeast homebuilders, we have not picked up much in the way of improved
access to construction credit (see table 2). The majority of builders in our
monthly poll continued to report that the amount of available credit for
construction and development falls short of demand.

About a year ago, we asked our builder respondents to self-identify as small,
medium, or large. By tagging respondents with a size, we've been able to break
out the results to see how small-builder responses compared to all responses.
Not surprisingly, small builders find credit to be less available than the group as a
whole. Moreover, there has only been a slight change in the responses over the
past year (three out of four small builders still find credit to be insufficient
compared to four out of five one year ago). While a few smaller builders may
have had better luck in securing construction and development lending over the
past year, we haven't been able to detect much in the way of broad improvement
in access to credit for construction and development.
We also looked to the April 2016 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS),
published by the Federal Reserve Board, for insights into construction lending.
The results seem to paint a construction lending picture that is similar to but not
completely aligned with the one we outlined above. In short, the SLOOS reports
that a "significant net fraction of banks reported tightening standards for
construction and land development loans" while a "moderate net fraction of
banks reported stronger demand for construction and land development loans."
It is not clear that the call report data and the SLOOS are telling the same story
on construction lending behavior, but perhaps this difference is simply an early
signal of what we can expect from the second quarter call report.
By Jessica Dill, economic policy analyst in the Research Department
and
Carl Hudson, director of the Center for Real Estate Analytics

June 9, 2016 in Credit conditions | Permalink

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