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USDL 00-319 TRANSMISSION OF THIS MATERIAL IS EMBARGOED UNTIL 8:30 A.M. EST, THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 2, 2000. Internet address: Historical, technical information: Current data: Media contact: http://stats.bls.gov/lprhome.htm (202) 691-5606 (202) 691-5200 (202) 691-5902 PRODUCTIVITY AND COSTS Third Quarter 2000 The Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor today reported preliminary productivity data--as measured by output per hour of all persons--for the third quarter of 2000. The preliminary seasonally-adjusted annual rates of productivity growth in the third quarter were: 3.2 percent in the business sector and 3.8 percent in the nonfarm business sector. In both the business and the nonfarm business sectors, productivity increases in the third quarter were smaller than those recorded in the second quarter of 2000 (as revised). In manufacturing, productivity increases in the third quarter were: 6.4 percent in manufacturing, 9.6 percent in durable goods manufacturing, and 2.0 percent in nondurable goods manufacturing. The increase in manufacturing productivity was higher than the 5.7percent rise reported for the previous quarter (as revised). Output and hours in manufacturing, which includes about 17 percent of U.S. business sector employment, tend to vary more from quarter to quarter than data for the more aggregate business and nonfarm business sectors. Third-quarter measures are summarized in table A and appear in detail in tables 1 through 5. The data sources and methods used in the preparation of the manufacturing series differ from those used in preparing the business and nonfarm business series, and these measures are not directly comparable. Output measures for business and nonfarm business are based on measures of gross domestic product prepared by the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the U.S. Department of Commerce. Quarterly output measures for manufacturing reflect indexes of industrial production independently prepared by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. See Technical Notes for further information on data sources. ------------------------------------------------------------------------Table A. Productivity and costs: Preliminary third-quarter 2000 measures (Seasonally adjusted annual rates) ------------------------------------------------------------------------Real Hourly hourly Unit Produccompen- compenlabor Sector tivity Output Hours sation sation costs ------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from preceding quarter Business 3.2 3.0 -0.2 5.8 2.7 2.5 Nonfarm business 3.8 3.0 -0.8 6.4 3.2 2.5 Manufacturing 6.4 3.1 -3.0 6.7 3.5 0.3 Durable 9.6 6.0 -3.3 5.9 2.8 -3.4 Nondurable 2.0 -0.6 -2.6 8.1 4.9 5.9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from same quarter a year ago Business 4.8 6.1 1.2 5.0 1.5 0.2 Nonfarm business 5.0 6.1 1.1 5.1 1.6 0.1 Manufacturing 7.5 6.3 -1.2 5.0 1.5 -2.4 Durable 10.9 9.9 -0.9 4.8 1.3 -5.5 Nondurable 3.2 1.5 -1.6 5.3 1.8 2.0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Business From the second quarter to the third quarter of 2000, business sector productivity increased at a 3.2 percent annual rate. Output rose 3.0 percent, while hours of all persons engaged in the sector declined 0.2 percent (seasonally adjusted annual rates). After revisions, second-quarter productivity in the business sector rose 6.9 percent, reflecting a 6.3percent increase in output and a drop of 0.6 percent in hours (tables B and 1). Hourly compensation increased at an annual rate of 5.8 percent during the third quarter of 2000, after increasing 7.0 percent during the second quarter. This measure includes wages and salaries, supplements, employer contributions to employee benefit plans, and taxes. Real hourly compensation, which takes into account changes in consumer prices, increased 2.7 percent in the third quarter, after rising 3.2 percent in the second quarter of 2000. Unit labor costs, which reflect changes in both hourly compensation and productivity, increased at a 2.5 percent annual rate during the third quarter. During the previous quarter, these costs were unchanged. The implicit price deflator for the business sector increased 1.7 percent in the third quarter and 2.4 percent in the second quarter. Nonfarm business Productivity rose 3.8 percent in the nonfarm business sector during the third quarter of 2000. The increase in labor productivity in the third quarter occurred as output rose 3.0 percent and hours of all persons fell 0.8 percent. This decline in hours was the largest since the first quarter of 1992, when hours fell 2.3 percent. In the previous quarter, productivity had risen 6.1 percent, as output grew 6.5 percent and hours increased 0.4 percent (table 2). Hourly compensation increased at a 6.4 percent annual rate in the third quarter of 2000. This was the largest increase in this measure since the first quarter of 1992, when it increased 8.8 percent. When the rise in consumer prices is taken into account, real hourly compensation rose at a 3.2percent annual rate during the July-September period. During the second quarter of 2000, real hourly compensation had risen 2.2 percent. Unit labor costs increased 2.5 percent during the third quarter of 2000. In the second quarter, unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector had declined 0.2 percent. The implicit price deflator for nonfarm business output rose 1.8 percent in the third quarter of 2000. Manufacturing Productivity increased 6.4 percent in manufacturing in the third quarter of 2000, as output grew 3.1 percent and hours of all persons dropped 3.0 percent (seasonally adjusted annual rates). A similar increase in labor productivity, 5.7 percent, was recorded in the previous quarter, reflecting increases in output and hours of 7.7 and 1.9 percent, respectively. In durable goods, productivity rose 9.6 percent in the third quarter, as output increased 6.0 percent and hours of all persons fell 3.3 percent. Productivity grew more slowly in nondurable goods, 2.0 percent, as hours fell faster than output. Output dropped 0.6 percent, and hours of all persons decreased 2.6 percent (tables 3, 4, and 5). Hourly compensation of manufacturing workers increased an average of 6.7 percent during the third quarter, a more rapid rise than the 4.0-percent increase recorded in the previous quarter (seasonally adjusted annual rates). In the third quarter, hourly compensation grew 5.9 percent in durable goods and 8.1 percent in nondurable goods. When the increase in consumer prices is taken into account, real hourly compensation in total manufacturing rose 3.5 percent in the third quarter. Unit labor costs increased 0.3 percent in the third quarter of 2000 after falling 1.6 percent in the second quarter of 2000. In the durable goods sector, unit labor costs in the third quarter fell 3.4 percent; these costs also had fallen in the previous three quarters. In contrast, unit labor costs in the nondurable goods sector rose 5.9 percent in the third quarter, following a 5.4-percent rise in the previous quarter. Revised Measures Current and previous measures for the second quarter of 2000 for the business, nonfarm business, and manufacturing sectors are compared in table B. In all these sectors, productivity, output, and hourly compensation increased faster than reported on Sept. 6, based on information then available. In all sectors, small revisions to real hourly compensation in the first and second quarters of 2000 were made as a result of incorporating the recalculated Consumer Price Index. In manufacturing, historical output has been revised for consistency with estimates published Sept. 21, 2000. (See Multifactor Productivity Trends, 1998, USDL 00-267.) Appendix tables 1-3 present annual indexes for the years 1949-99 for the manufacturing measures. ------------------------------------------------------------------------Table B. Previous and revised productivity and related measures Quarterly percent change at seasonally adjusted annual rate ------------------------------------------------------------------------Real Hourly hourly Unit Produccompen- compenlabor Sector tivity Output Hours sation sation costs ------------------------------------------------------------------------Second quarter 2000 Business: Previous 6.5 5.9 -0.6 6.4 2.7 -0.1 Current 6.9 6.3 -0.6 7.0 3.2 0.0 Nonfarm business: Previous 5.7 6.1 0.4 5.3 1.7 -0.4 Current 6.1 6.5 0.4 5.9 2.2 -0.2 Manufacturing: Previous 5.4 7.3 1.9 3.3 -0.3 -2.0 Current 5.7 7.7 1.9 4.0 0.4 -1.6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Revised measures: Nonfinancial Corporations Second-quarter 2000 productivity and cost measures for nonfinancial corporations also were revised to incorporate more recent information than was available on Sept. 6. Productivity, output, and hourly compensation were revised up, while hours growth was unchanged. Productivity grew at an annual rate of 5.4 percent, compared with the previously published growth of 5.0 percent (tables C and 6). ---------------------------------------------------------------------------Table C. Nonfinancial corporations: Previous and revised productivity and cost measures Quarterly percent changes at seasonally adjusted annual rates ---------------------------------------------------------------------------Real Hourly hourly Unit Implicit Produccompen- compen- labor Unit price tivity Output Hours sation sation costs profits deflator ---------------------------------------------------------------------------Second quarter 2000 Previous 5.0 5.9 0.9 5.6 1.9 0.6 13.5 2.4 Current 5.4 6.4 0.9 6.1 2.3 0.6 11.3 2.3 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Next release date The next release of Productivity and Costs is scheduled for 8:30 AM EST, Wednesday, Dec. 6, 2000. Third-quarter measures for nonfinancial corporations and revised third-quarter measures for business, nonfarm business, and manufacturing will be released at that time. TECHNICAL NOTES Labor Hours: Hours data for the labor productivity and cost measures include hours for all persons working in the sector-wage and salary workers, the selfemployed, and unpaid family workers. The primary source of hours and employment data is the BLS Current Employment Statistics (CES) program, which provides monthly survey data on the number of jobs held by wage and salary workers in nonfarm establishments. The CES also provides average weekly paid hours of production and nonsupervisory workers in these establishments. Average weekly paid hours of nonproduction and supervisory workers are estimated by the Office of Productivity and Technology. Weekly paid hours are adjusted to hours at work using the BLS Hours at Work survey, conducted for this purpose. Data from the BLS Current Population Survey (CPS) are used for farm labor; in the nonfarm sector, the National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) prepared by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) of the Department of Com merce and the CPS are used to measure labor input for government enterprises, proprietors, and unpaid family workers. Output: Business sector output is an annual-weighted index constructed after excluding from gross domestic product (GDP) the following outputs: General government, nonprofit institutions, paid employees of private households, and the rental value of owner-occupied dwellings. Corresponding exclusions also are made in labor inputs. Business output accounted for about 77 percent of the value of GDP in 1996. Nonfarm business, which also excludes farming, accounted for about 76 percent of GDP in 1996. Annual indexes for manufacturing and its durable and nondurable goods components are constructed by deflating current-dollar industry value of production data from the U.S. Bureau of the Census with deflators from the BEA. These deflators are based on data from the BLS producer price program and other sources. The industry shipments are aggregated using annual weights, and intrasector transactions are removed. Quarterly manufacturing output measures are based on the index of industrial production prepared monthly by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System adjusted to be consistent with annual indexes of manufacturing sector output prepared by BLS. Durables include the following 2-digit SIC industries: Primary metal industries; fabricated metal products; nonelectrical machinery; industrial and commercial machinery and computer equipment; electronic and other electrical equipment; transportation equipment; instruments; lumber and lumber products; furniture and fixtures; stone, clay, and glass and concrete products; and miscellaneous manufactures. Nondurables include: Food and kindred products, tobacco products, textile mill products, apparel products, paper and allied products, printing and publishing, chemicals and chemical products, petroleum refining and related industries, rubber and plastic products, and leather and leather products. Nonfinancial corporate output is an annual-weighted index constructed by excluding from GDP the following outputs: General government; nonprofit institutions; employees of private households; the rental value of owner-oc cupied dwellings; unincorporated business; and those corporations which are depository institutions, nondepository institutions, security and commodity brokers, insurance carriers, regulated investment offices, small business investment offices, and real estate investment trusts. Nonfinancial corporations accounted for about 53 percent of the value of GDP in 1996. Productivity: These productivity measures describe the relationship between real output and the labor time involved in its production. They show the changes from period to period in the amount of goods and services produced per hour. Although these measures relate output to hours at work of all persons engaged in a sector, they do not measure the specific contribution of labor, capital, or any other factor of production. Rather, they reflect the joint effects of many influences, including changes in technology; capital investment; level of output; utilization of capacity, energy, and materials; the organization of production; managerial skill; and the characteristics and effort of the work force. Information in this release will be made available to sensory-impaired individuals upon request. Voice phone: 202-691-5200; Federal Relay Service number: 1-800-877-8339. Table 1. Business sector: Productivity, hourly compensation, unit labor costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted Real Year Output per Hours CompensacompensaUnit Unit nonImplicit and hour of of all tion per tion per labor labor pay- price quarter all persons Output persons hour (1) hour (2) costs ments (3) deflator (4) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Indexes 1992=100 1998 1999 I II III IV 109.7 110.0 110.6 111.6 126.8 127.7 128.9 131.0 115.6 116.1 116.6 117.4 117.1 118.5 120.0 121.4 102.9 103.8 104.7 105.5 106.7 107.7 108.5 108.8 116.4 115.1 114.6 114.6 110.3 110.5 110.7 110.9 ANNUAL 110.5 128.6 116.4 119.3 104.3 107.9 115.2 110.6 I II III IV 112.6 112.8 114.2 116.3 132.3 133.1 135.3 138.5 117.5 118.0 118.5 119.1 123.0 124.5 126.1 127.3 106.4 106.9 107.6 107.8 109.3 110.4 110.5 109.5 115.1 114.1 114.3 116.8 111.4 111.8 111.9 112.2 ANNUAL 114.0 134.8 118.3 125.2 107.3 109.9 115.1 111.8 2000 I 116.7 140.3 120.2 128.4 107.7 110.0 118.2 113.0 II r118.7 r142.4 120.0 r130.6 108.5 110.0 r120.0 113.7 III 119.7 143.5 119.9 132.4 109.2 110.7 120.1 114.2 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate(5) 1998 1999 I II III IV 4.7 1.1 2.1 3.9 7.9 2.9 3.7 6.8 3.1 1.7 1.5 2.8 6.2 5.1 5.1 4.8 5.5 3.5 3.6 3.2 1.5 3.9 3.0 0.9 -1.5 -4.2 -1.9 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.6 ANNUAL 2.7 5.0 2.3 5.3 3.9 2.5 -1.7 0.8 I II III IV 3.3 0.9 4.9 7.7 3.8 2.6 6.6 9.9 0.5 1.7 1.7 2.1 5.2 5.0 5.3 3.8 3.6 1.7 2.6 0.9 1.9 4.1 0.4 -3.6 1.8 -3.5 0.7 9.0 1.9 1.2 0.5 1.0 ANNUAL 3.1 4.8 1.6 5.0 2.9 1.8 0.0 1.1 2000 I 1.6 5.3 3.7 3.5 r-0.6 1.9 4.8 3.0 II r6.9 r6.3 -0.6 r7.0 r3.2 r0.0 r6.2 r2.4 III 3.2 3.0 -0.2 5.8 2.7 2.5 0.5 1.7 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 1998 1999 2000 I II III IV 3.2 2.5 2.1 2.9 5.8 4.7 4.4 5.3 2.5 2.1 2.2 2.3 4.5 5.5 5.7 5.3 3.1 4.0 4.3 4.0 1.2 2.9 3.5 2.3 0.9 -2.4 -3.3 -1.9 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.7 ANNUAL 2.7 5.0 2.3 5.3 3.9 2.5 -1.7 0.8 I II III IV 2.6 2.5 3.2 4.1 4.3 4.2 4.9 5.7 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.5 5.1 5.0 5.1 4.8 3.5 3.0 2.8 2.2 2.4 2.4 1.8 0.7 -1.0 -0.9 -0.2 1.9 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.1 ANNUAL 3.1 4.8 1.6 5.0 2.9 1.8 0.0 1.1 I 3.7 6.1 2.3 4.4 1.2 0.7 2.7 1.4 II r5.2 r7.0 1.7 r4.9 1.5 r-0.3 r5.1 r1.7 III 4.8 6.1 1.2 5.0 1.5 0.2 5.1 2.0 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------See footnotes following Table 6. November 2, 2000 r=revised Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Table 2. Nonfarm business sector: and prices, seasonally adjusted Productivity, hourly compensation, unit labor costs, Real Year Output per Hours CompensacompensaUnit Unit nonImplicit and hour of of all tion per tion per labor labor pay- price quarter all persons Output persons hour (1) hour (2) costs ments (3) deflator (4) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Indexes 1992=100 1998 1999 I II III IV 109.3 109.8 110.3 111.2 127.1 128.1 129.2 131.4 116.3 116.7 117.2 118.1 116.4 117.9 119.4 120.8 102.3 103.2 104.2 104.9 106.5 107.5 108.3 108.5 117.4 116.3 115.8 115.8 110.5 110.7 111.0 111.2 ANNUAL 110.2 129.0 117.1 118.6 103.8 107.7 116.3 110.8 I II III IV 112.0 112.1 113.6 115.8 132.6 133.4 135.6 138.9 118.4 118.9 119.4 120.0 122.1 123.6 125.2 126.5 105.7 106.1 106.8 107.2 109.0 110.2 110.3 109.3 116.7 115.7 116.1 118.6 111.8 112.2 112.4 112.7 ANNUAL 113.4 135.1 119.2 124.4 106.5 109.7 116.8 112.3 2000 I 116.3 140.7 120.9 127.8 r107.1 109.8 120.1 113.6 II r118.1 r142.9 121.0 r129.6 107.7 109.7 r121.8 r114.1 III 119.2 144.0 120.8 131.6 108.6 110.4 122.0 114.6 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate(5) 1998 1999 I II III IV 4.5 1.6 1.8 3.6 8.2 3.1 3.7 6.8 3.5 1.5 1.8 3.1 6.1 5.3 5.2 4.5 5.3 3.8 3.7 2.8 1.5 3.6 3.3 0.8 -1.4 -3.8 -1.8 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.3 0.6 ANNUAL 2.6 5.1 2.4 5.1 3.7 2.4 -1.4 0.9 I II III IV 2.6 0.6 5.2 8.0 3.6 2.4 7.0 10.0 1.0 1.8 1.7 1.8 4.5 5.0 5.5 4.2 2.8 1.7 2.8 1.3 1.8 4.3 0.3 -3.5 2.9 -3.1 1.3 8.9 2.2 1.5 0.6 1.0 ANNUAL 2.9 4.8 1.8 4.8 2.7 1.8 0.4 1.3 2000 I 1.9 5.2 3.2 3.9 r-0.2 1.9 5.2 3.2 II r6.1 r6.5 0.4 r5.9 r2.2 r-0.2 r5.7 r2.0 III 3.8 3.0 -0.8 6.4 3.2 2.5 0.8 1.8 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 1998 1999 2000 I II III IV 3.0 2.5 2.1 2.9 5.8 4.8 4.6 5.4 2.7 2.3 2.4 2.5 4.3 5.3 5.7 5.3 2.9 3.8 4.2 3.9 1.2 2.8 3.5 2.3 1.3 -2.1 -3.1 -1.7 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.8 ANNUAL 2.6 5.1 2.4 5.1 3.7 2.4 -1.4 0.9 I II III IV 2.4 2.2 3.0 4.1 4.3 4.1 4.9 5.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.6 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.8 3.3 2.8 2.6 2.2 2.4 2.6 1.8 0.7 -0.7 -0.5 0.3 2.4 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.3 ANNUAL 2.9 4.8 1.8 4.8 2.7 1.8 0.4 1.3 I 3.9 6.1 2.1 4.6 r1.4 0.7 3.0 1.6 II r5.3 r7.2 1.8 r4.9 1.5 -0.4 r5.2 r1.7 III 5.0 6.1 1.1 5.1 1.6 0.1 5.1 2.0 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------See footnotes following Table 6. November 2, 2000 r=revised Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Table 3. Manufacturing sector: seasonally adjusted Productivity, hourly compensation, and unit labor costs, Real Year Output per Hours CompensacompensaUnit and hour of of all tion per tion per labor quarter all persons Output persons hour (1) hour (2) costs -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Indexes 1992=100 1998 1999 I II III IV 121.3 r123.0 r125.6 r127.4 r128.6 r129.9 r131.3 r133.2 106.0 105.6 104.5 104.5 115.2 116.6 118.1 119.4 101.2 102.1 103.0 103.7 95.0 r94.8 r94.0 r93.7 ANNUAL r124.3 r130.7 105.2 117.3 102.6 r94.4 I II III IV r129.5 r131.1 r132.5 r135.8 r134.0 r135.6 r137.2 r139.6 103.5 103.5 103.5 102.8 120.7 122.4 124.1 125.5 104.4 105.1 105.9 106.4 r93.2 r93.4 r93.7 r92.5 ANNUAL r132.2 r136.6 103.3 123.2 105.5 r93.2 2000 I r138.4 r142.0 102.6 127.0 106.5 r91.8 II r140.3 r144.6 103.1 r128.2 r106.6 r91.4 III 142.5 145.8 102.3 130.3 107.5 91.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate(5) 1998 1999 I II III IV r5.1 r5.7 r8.7 r5.9 r5.2 r4.0 r4.3 r6.0 0.1 -1.6 -4.1 0.1 6.8 5.0 5.0 4.6 6.0 3.4 3.5 2.9 r1.6 r-0.7 r-3.4 r-1.3 ANNUAL r6.2 r5.9 -0.3 5.3 3.9 r-0.8 I II III IV 6.8 4.8 4.5 10.2 2.5 4.9 4.6 7.1 -4.0 0.1 0.1 -2.8 4.5 5.7 5.9 4.6 2.8 2.5 3.2 1.7 -2.2 0.9 1.4 -5.1 ANNUAL r6.3 r4.5 -1.7 5.0 2.9 r-1.3 2000 I 7.9 7.1 -0.7 4.6 r0.5 -3.0 II r5.7 r7.7 1.9 r4.0 r0.4 r-1.6 III 6.4 3.1 -3.0 6.7 3.5 0.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 1998 1999 2000 I II III IV r5.9 r6.3 r6.2 r6.4 r6.9 r6.3 r5.5 r4.9 0.9 0.0 -0.7 -1.4 4.4 5.6 5.9 5.3 3.0 4.0 4.4 4.0 r-1.4 r-0.7 r-0.3 r-1.0 ANNUAL r6.2 r5.9 -0.3 5.3 3.9 r-0.8 I II III IV r6.8 r6.6 r5.5 6.5 r4.2 r4.4 r4.5 4.8 -2.4 -2.0 -0.9 -1.7 4.8 4.9 5.2 5.2 3.2 2.9 2.9 2.5 r-1.9 r-1.5 r-0.3 -1.3 ANNUAL r6.3 r4.5 -1.7 5.0 2.9 r-1.3 I 6.8 5.9 -0.8 5.2 2.0 -1.5 II 7.0 r6.6 -0.4 r4.8 r1.4 r-2.1 III 7.5 6.3 -1.2 5.0 1.5 -2.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------See footnotes following Table 6. November 2, 2000 r=revised Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Table 4. Durable manufacturing sector: seasonally adjusted Productivity, hourly compensation, and unit labor costs, Real Year Output per Hours CompensacompensaUnit and hour of of all tion per tion per labor quarter all persons Output persons hour (1) hour (2) costs -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Indexes 1992=100 1998 1999 I II III IV 129.6 r132.4 r136.8 r139.7 r144.6 r147.1 r150.7 r154.5 111.5 111.2 110.2 110.5 112.6 113.8 115.1 116.6 99.0 99.6 100.4 101.3 86.9 r86.0 r84.1 r83.4 ANNUAL r134.6 r149.2 110.8 114.5 100.1 r85.0 I II III IV r142.8 r146.0 r148.0 r151.6 r155.6 r159.1 r162.5 r165.3 109.0 109.0 109.8 109.0 118.1 120.1 121.9 123.6 102.2 103.1 104.0 104.7 r82.7 r82.2 r82.3 r81.5 ANNUAL r147.1 r160.6 109.2 120.9 103.6 r82.2 2000 I r156.2 r170.0 108.8 124.8 r104.6 r79.9 II r160.4 r176.0 109.7 r125.9 r104.6 r78.5 III 164.1 178.6 108.8 127.7 105.3 77.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate(5) 1998 1999 I II III IV r7.1 r8.7 r14.2 r8.8 r8.8 r7.3 r10.1 r10.2 1.6 -1.2 -3.5 1.3 6.2 4.2 4.6 5.3 5.4 2.6 3.1 3.7 r-0.8 r-4.1 r-8.4 r-3.2 ANNUAL r9.0 r9.6 0.5 5.2 3.8 r-3.5 I II III IV 8.9 9.4 5.6 10.0 3.1 9.3 8.7 7.1 -5.4 -0.1 2.9 -2.7 5.4 6.8 6.2 5.7 3.7 3.5 3.5 2.8 -3.3 -2.4 0.6 -3.9 ANNUAL r9.3 r7.6 -1.5 5.6 3.4 r-3.4 2000 I 12.7 11.8 -0.8 3.9 r-0.3 -7.9 II r11.1 r14.9 3.4 r3.5 r-0.1 r-6.8 III 9.6 6.0 -3.3 5.9 2.8 -3.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 1998 1999 2000 I II III IV r8.2 r8.7 r9.5 r9.7 r10.3 r9.5 r9.4 r9.1 1.9 0.8 -0.1 -0.5 4.5 5.5 5.7 5.1 3.1 4.0 4.2 3.7 r-3.5 r-2.9 r-3.5 r-4.2 ANNUAL r9.0 r9.6 0.5 5.2 3.8 r-3.5 I II III IV r10.1 r10.3 r8.2 8.5 r7.6 r8.1 r7.8 7.0 -2.2 -2.0 -0.4 -1.4 4.9 5.5 5.9 6.0 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.4 r-4.8 r-4.3 r-2.1 -2.3 ANNUAL r9.3 r7.6 -1.5 5.6 3.4 r-3.4 I 9.4 9.2 -0.2 5.7 r2.4 -3.4 II r9.8 r10.6 0.7 r4.8 r1.5 -4.6 III 10.9 9.9 -0.9 4.8 1.3 -5.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------See footnotes following Table 6. November 2, 2000 r=revised Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Table 5. Nondurable manufacturing sector: seasonally adjusted Productivity, hourly compensation, and unit labor costs, Real Year Output per Hours CompensacompensaUnit and hour of of all tion per tion per labor quarter all persons Output persons hour (1) hour (2) costs -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Indexes 1992=100 1998 1999 I II III IV r115.4 116.0 r116.6 117.4 r113.9 113.9 113.1 r113.3 98.7 98.2 97.0 96.6 118.3 120.1 121.8 122.7 104.0 105.1 106.2 106.6 r102.5 r103.6 104.4 104.6 ANNUAL r116.3 113.6 97.6 120.7 105.6 r103.8 I II III IV 118.5 r118.1 119.2 r122.2 r113.8 113.6 113.5 115.5 96.1 96.2 95.2 94.5 123.7 124.9 126.4 127.2 107.1 107.2 107.8 107.8 104.4 105.7 106.0 r104.1 ANNUAL 119.5 114.1 95.5 125.5 107.5 105.0 2000 I r122.6 115.7 94.4 129.0 r108.2 105.2 II 122.4 115.4 r94.3 r130.5 r108.5 r106.6 III 123.0 115.2 93.6 133.1 109.8 108.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate(5) 1998 1999 I II III IV r2.9 r1.9 r2.3 2.5 r0.7 r-0.2 r-2.6 0.8 -2.1 -2.0 -4.9 -1.7 7.6 6.2 5.7 3.1 6.8 4.7 4.2 1.5 r4.5 r4.2 r3.3 0.6 ANNUAL r3.0 r1.5 -1.5 5.3 3.9 r2.3 I II III IV 3.7 -1.0 3.7 10.5 1.8 -0.8 -0.5 7.3 -1.8 0.3 -4.0 -2.9 3.2 3.9 4.9 2.6 1.6 0.7 2.2 -0.2 -0.5 r5.0 1.2 -7.2 ANNUAL 2.7 0.5 -2.1 4.0 1.9 r1.2 2000 I 1.3 0.7 -0.6 5.9 r1.7 4.5 II r-0.7 r-1.2 r-0.4 r4.6 r1.0 r5.4 III 2.0 -0.6 -2.6 8.1 4.9 5.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 1998 1999 2000 I II III IV 3.5 r3.7 r2.3 r2.4 3.1 r2.5 r0.6 r-0.3 -0.4 -1.2 -1.6 -2.7 4.0 5.5 6.1 5.7 2.6 4.0 4.6 4.3 r0.4 r1.8 r3.7 r3.2 ANNUAL r3.0 r1.5 -1.5 5.3 3.9 r2.3 I II III IV r2.6 r1.9 2.2 4.1 r-0.1 r-0.2 0.3 1.9 -2.6 -2.0 -1.8 -2.1 4.6 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.0 2.0 1.5 1.1 r1.9 2.1 1.5 -0.5 ANNUAL 2.7 0.5 -2.1 4.0 1.9 r1.2 I 3.5 1.6 -1.8 4.3 r1.1 r0.8 II 3.6 1.5 -2.0 r4.5 r1.2 r0.9 III 3.2 1.5 -1.6 5.3 1.8 2.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------See footnotes following Table 6. November 2, 2000 r=revised Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Table 6. Nonfinancial corporations: and prices, seasonally adjusted Productivity, hourly compensation, unit labor costs, unit profits, Output Hourly Real Unit Total Unit Implicit Year per allcompenhourly Unit nonunit proprice and employee Employee sation compenlabor labor costs fits deflator quarter hour Output hours (1) sation(2) costs costs(6) (7) (8) (4) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Indexes 1992=100 1998 1999 I II III IV 112.3 113.4 114.9 115.8 132.4 134.2 136.6 138.6 117.9 118.3 118.9 119.6 115.2 116.6 118.0 119.3 101.2 102.1 103.0 103.7 102.6 102.8 102.7 103.0 100.5 100.9 100.2 101.6 102.0 102.3 102.1 102.6 150.4 147.2 151.4 144.5 106.1 106.1 106.2 106.2 ANNUAL 114.2 135.5 118.6 117.4 102.7 102.8 100.8 102.2 148.3 106.1 I II III IV 117.1 118.2 119.7 121.5 140.6 142.5 145.0 148.1 120.0 120.5 121.1 122.0 120.9 122.4 124.0 125.3 104.6 105.1 105.8 106.1 103.2 103.5 103.6 103.1 100.7 101.4 102.1 102.5 102.5 103.0 103.2 103.0 149.7 147.5 143.3 145.7 106.5 106.7 106.6 106.6 ANNUAL 119.2 144.0 120.9 123.2 105.5 103.4 101.7 102.9 146.5 106.6 2000 I 122.3 150.4 122.9 126.1 105.8 103.1 103.3 103.1 150.9 107.2 II r124.0 r152.7 123.2 r128.0 r106.4 r103.3 r104.0 103.4 r155.0 107.8 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate(5) 1998 1999 I II III IV 2.6 4.0 5.2 3.4 6.1 5.6 7.4 5.9 3.4 1.6 2.0 2.5 5.4 5.0 5.0 4.4 4.6 3.4 3.5 2.8 2.7 1.0 -0.2 1.0 0.3 1.6 -2.5 5.5 2.1 1.1 -0.8 2.2 -14.7 -8.3 11.9 -17.0 -0.1 0.0 0.6 -0.3 ANNUAL 3.6 6.5 2.8 4.8 3.4 1.2 0.0 0.8 -5.3 0.1 I II III IV 4.4 3.8 5.1 6.1 5.7 5.5 7.2 9.0 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.8 5.3 5.0 5.4 4.1 3.6 1.8 2.7 1.2 0.9 1.2 0.3 -1.8 -3.5 3.0 2.6 1.9 -0.3 1.7 0.9 -0.9 15.1 -5.6 -11.1 7.1 1.4 0.8 -0.6 0.0 ANNUAL 4.3 6.3 1.9 4.9 2.8 0.6 0.9 0.7 -1.2 0.4 2000 I 2.9 6.2 3.2 2.7 r-1.4 -0.2 3.0 0.7 14.9 2.3 II r5.4 r6.4 0.9 r6.1 r2.3 0.6 r2.6 r1.2 r11.3 r2.3 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 1998 1999 2000 I II III IV 3.2 3.8 3.6 3.8 6.8 6.7 6.4 6.2 3.5 2.8 2.7 2.4 4.0 5.0 5.3 4.9 2.6 3.5 3.8 3.6 0.8 1.1 1.6 1.1 -0.1 -0.5 -0.6 1.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.1 -2.7 -5.2 -5.6 -7.7 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 ANNUAL 3.6 6.5 2.8 4.8 3.4 1.2 0.0 0.8 -5.3 0.1 I II III IV 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.8 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.9 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.0 3.3 2.9 2.7 2.4 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.7 1.1 0.3 -0.5 0.2 -5.4 0.9 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.4 ANNUAL 4.3 6.3 1.9 4.9 2.8 0.6 0.9 0.7 -1.2 0.4 I 4.5 7.0 2.4 4.3 r1.1 -0.1 2.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 II r4.9 r7.2 2.2 r4.6 1.2 -0.3 r2.5 r0.5 r5.1 1.0 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------See footnotes following Table 6. November 2, 2000 r=revised Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics SOURCES: Output data are from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Census Bureau of the U.S. Department of Commerce; the Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor; and the Federal Reserve Board. Compensation and hours data are from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. RELIABILITY: Productivity and cost measures are regularly revised as more complete information becomes available. The measures are first published within 40 days of the close of the reference period; revisions appear 30 days later, and second revisions after an additional 60 days. In the business sector, the third publication (second revision) of a quarterly index of output per hour of all persons has differed from the initial value by between -1.7 and +2.3 index points approximately 95 percent of the time. This interval is based on the performance of this measure between the fourth quarter of 1995 and the second quarter of 2000. Footnotes, Tables 1-6 (1) Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. Except for nonfinancial corporations, where there are no self-employed, data also include an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the selfemployed. (2) The change for recent quarters is based on the Consumer Price Index for all urban consumers (CPI-U). The trend from 1978-1999 is based on the Consumer Price Index research series (CPI-U-RS). (3) Unit nonlabor payments include profits, capital consumption allowances, interest, rental income of persons, and indirect taxes. (4) Current dollar output divided by the output index. (5) Quarterly changes: Percent change compounded at annual rate from the original data rather than index numbers. Annual changes: Percent change between annual average levels. (6) Unit nonlabor costs include capital consumption allowances, interest, rental income of persons, and indirect taxes. For nonfinancial corporations, rental income of persons is zero by definition. (7) Total unit costs are the sum of unit labor and nonlabor costs. (8) Unit profits include corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Appendix table 1. Manufacturing sector: Indexes 1992=100 Productivity, hourly compensation, and unit labor costs, Real Output per Hours CompensacompensaUnit hour of of all tion per tion per labor Year all persons Output persons hour (1) hour (2) costs ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------1949 33.5 26.5 79.1 8.3 45.1 24.7 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 34.0 33.8 35.2 36.3 37.3 29.1 31.1 32.9 35.6 33.4 85.5 92.1 93.3 98.1 89.6 8.7 9.5 10.2 10.7 11.2 46.8 47.7 49.9 52.3 54.2 25.5 28.3 28.9 29.5 30.1 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 38.8 38.6 39.4 40.0 40.9 36.7 37.1 37.2 34.7 37.8 94.6 96.0 94.5 86.6 92.5 11.7 12.4 13.2 13.8 14.3 56.6 59.3 60.8 61.9 63.7 30.1 32.1 33.4 34.4 34.9 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 41.8 42.8 44.2 45.7 47.4 38.5 38.4 41.2 43.1 45.7 92.1 89.7 93.4 94.4 96.4 14.9 15.3 15.9 16.4 17.0 65.2 66.5 68.3 69.5 71.5 35.6 35.8 36.0 35.8 36.0 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 48.5 49.1 50.9 52.7 53.5 49.5 53.3 54.9 57.7 59.4 102.0 108.6 108.0 109.6 110.9 17.4 18.2 19.2 20.7 22.2 71.8 73.0 74.7 77.2 78.5 35.9 37.1 37.7 39.2 41.4 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 54.2 57.8 60.3 61.4 61.2 56.5 58.1 63.3 67.8 66.1 104.4 100.5 105.1 110.4 107.9 23.7 25.2 26.5 28.5 31.6 79.5 80.8 82.3 83.4 83.4 43.8 43.5 43.9 46.4 51.7 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 64.3 67.0 69.7 70.4 69.8 62.5 68.2 73.9 77.8 78.7 97.2 101.9 106.1 110.6 112.7 35.5 38.4 41.8 45.2 49.6 85.6 87.8 89.6 90.6 90.9 55.2 57.4 60.0 64.2 71.1 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 70.1 70.7 74.2 76.7 79.4 75.3 75.6 72.7 75.9 83.7 107.5 107.0 97.9 98.9 105.3 55.6 61.1 67.0 68.8 71.2 91.7 92.1 95.4 94.2 93.6 79.3 86.3 90.2 89.7 89.6 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 82.3 85.9 88.3 90.2 90.3 86.0 88.5 91.6 96.1 96.6 104.6 103.0 103.8 106.6 107.1 75.1 78.5 80.7 84.0 86.6 95.6 98.1 97.5 97.9 96.8 91.3 91.4 91.4 93.1 96.0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 92.8 95.0 100.0 101.9 105.0 97.3 95.4 100.0 103.3 108.7 104.8 100.4 100.0 101.4 103.6 90.8 95.6 100.0 102.7 105.6 96.6 98.1 100.0 100.2 100.8 97.8 100.6 100.0 100.8 100.7 1995 109.0 113.4 104.0 107.9 100.4 99.0 1996 112.8 116.9 103.7 109.3 99.0 96.9 1997 117.1 123.5 105.5 111.4 98.8 95.1 1998 124.3 130.7 105.2 117.3 102.6 94.4 1999 132.2 136.6 103.3 123.2 105.5 93.2 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------See footnotes following Table 6. November 2, 2000 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Appendix table 2. Durable manufacturing sector: and unit labor costs, Indexes 1992=100 Productivity, hourly compensation, Real Output per Hours CompensacompensaUnit hour of of all tion per tion per labor Year all persons Output persons hour (1) hour (2) costs ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------1949 31.5 22.7 72.0 8.1 44.1 25.6 1950 1951 1952 33.3 32.0 33.9 26.7 29.0 31.5 80.3 90.6 92.9 8.5 9.4 10.1 45.9 47.1 49.7 25.6 29.4 29.9 1953 1954 35.8 35.8 35.8 31.7 99.9 88.4 10.7 11.2 52.0 54.0 29.8 31.2 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 37.4 35.8 36.3 36.0 37.3 35.3 34.6 34.6 30.3 34.1 94.4 96.6 95.4 84.2 91.4 11.7 12.4 13.2 13.9 14.4 56.6 59.3 60.8 62.5 64.3 31.2 34.7 36.3 38.6 38.6 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 37.7 38.3 40.2 41.9 43.4 34.4 33.6 37.2 39.6 42.1 91.3 87.8 92.7 94.3 97.0 15.0 15.4 16.0 16.5 17.1 65.7 66.9 68.9 69.9 71.8 39.7 40.2 39.9 39.3 39.5 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 45.6 46.3 47.2 49.4 50.1 47.5 52.4 53.1 56.3 58.0 104.1 113.1 112.3 113.9 115.6 17.4 18.2 19.2 20.6 22.1 72.0 73.0 74.5 77.1 78.4 38.3 39.3 40.5 41.8 44.1 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 49.8 54.0 56.6 58.9 57.2 53.1 54.6 60.5 67.8 64.8 106.5 101.1 107.0 115.2 113.3 23.8 25.4 26.6 28.6 31.6 79.6 81.4 82.8 83.6 83.3 47.7 46.9 47.1 48.5 55.3 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 59.1 62.5 65.7 66.6 66.7 59.0 65.2 72.3 77.7 80.2 99.7 104.3 110.0 116.5 120.1 35.7 38.8 42.1 45.3 49.7 86.2 88.6 90.3 90.8 91.1 60.4 62.0 64.1 67.9 74.4 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 66.7 67.5 70.1 74.0 78.5 75.4 75.8 70.5 74.8 86.5 113.1 112.3 100.6 101.2 110.2 55.9 61.5 67.5 69.1 71.0 92.2 92.8 96.2 94.5 93.4 83.8 91.2 96.3 93.4 90.5 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 80.5 84.7 87.8 90.0 90.1 88.7 90.9 94.0 99.8 99.9 110.2 107.3 107.1 110.8 110.9 74.8 78.5 80.9 83.7 86.3 95.1 98.1 97.7 97.6 96.4 92.8 92.6 92.1 93.0 95.7 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 92.5 93.9 100.0 103.3 108.0 99.3 95.1 100.0 104.9 113.0 107.3 101.3 100.0 101.5 104.7 90.3 95.3 100.0 102.9 105.6 96.1 97.8 100.0 100.3 100.8 97.7 101.4 100.0 99.6 97.8 1995 113.1 120.2 106.2 107.5 100.1 95.1 1996 118.1 126.6 107.2 107.3 97.2 90.9 1997 123.5 136.2 110.3 108.9 96.5 88.1 1998 134.6 149.2 110.8 114.5 100.1 85.0 1999 147.1 160.6 109.2 120.9 103.6 82.2 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------See footnotes following Table 6. November 2, 2000 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Appendix table 3. Nondurable manufacturing sector: and unit labor costs, Indexes 1992=100 Productivity, hourly compensation, Real Output per Hours CompensacompensaUnit hour of of all tion per tion per labor Year all persons Output persons hour (1) hour (2) costs ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------1949 34.9 30.9 88.5 8.6 47.1 24.7 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 35.2 36.2 37.2 37.8 39.4 32.5 34.0 35.0 36.2 36.0 92.5 94.0 93.9 95.6 91.3 9.0 9.8 10.3 10.8 11.3 48.6 48.8 50.4 52.5 54.8 25.6 27.0 27.6 28.5 28.8 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 41.0 42.6 43.8 45.1 46.2 38.9 40.6 40.8 40.5 43.4 94.8 95.1 93.2 89.8 93.9 11.7 12.4 13.1 13.6 14.1 56.5 59.2 60.7 61.3 63.0 28.4 29.1 30.0 30.2 30.5 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 47.5 48.8 49.8 51.5 53.7 44.3 45.0 47.0 48.6 51.3 93.2 92.3 94.4 94.4 95.5 14.7 15.2 15.7 16.2 16.9 64.7 66.1 67.6 68.8 70.8 31.0 31.2 31.5 31.5 31.5 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 53.7 54.2 57.0 58.6 60.0 53.2 55.6 58.3 60.8 62.8 99.1 102.7 102.3 103.8 104.6 17.3 18.0 19.1 20.5 22.0 71.3 72.3 74.3 76.5 77.9 32.2 33.3 33.5 35.0 36.6 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 61.7 64.6 67.6 67.9 69.8 62.6 64.5 69.3 70.6 70.4 101.5 99.8 102.5 104.0 100.9 23.6 24.9 26.1 28.1 31.3 79.0 79.7 81.0 82.3 82.6 38.2 38.5 38.5 41.4 44.9 1975 1976 1977 72.4 74.2 76.9 68.0 73.2 77.6 93.9 98.7 100.9 34.9 37.7 40.9 84.2 86.0 87.7 48.1 50.7 53.2 1978 1979 77.8 76.7 79.8 78.9 102.6 102.8 44.4 48.7 89.1 89.2 57.1 63.5 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 76.5 76.9 80.3 81.4 82.9 76.6 76.8 75.8 78.1 81.9 100.1 99.9 94.4 95.9 98.8 54.3 59.5 65.6 68.0 70.7 89.5 89.8 93.4 93.1 92.9 70.9 77.4 81.6 83.6 85.2 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 86.5 89.1 90.8 92.2 91.8 84.0 86.7 90.3 93.0 93.5 97.1 97.3 99.4 100.9 101.9 74.7 77.7 79.8 83.7 86.5 95.0 97.1 96.5 97.6 96.7 86.3 87.2 87.9 90.7 94.3 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 94.0 96.0 100.0 100.6 102.5 95.4 95.3 100.0 101.8 104.7 101.4 99.3 100.0 101.2 102.1 91.0 95.8 100.0 102.5 105.4 96.9 98.4 100.0 99.9 100.5 96.8 99.9 100.0 101.9 102.8 1995 105.6 106.7 101.1 107.9 100.4 102.3 1996 108.6 107.6 99.0 111.8 101.2 102.9 1997 113.0 111.9 99.1 114.6 101.6 101.5 1998 116.3 113.6 97.6 120.7 105.6 103.8 1999 119.5 114.1 95.5 125.5 107.5 105.0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------See footnotes following Table 6. November 2, 2000 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics