Full text of Productivity and Costs : Third Quarter 1985
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APR 2 8 vee DtruoifORY LIBRARY News Bureau of Labor Statistics United States Department of Labor Washington, D.C. 20212 Historical, technical information: (202) 523-9261 Current data: (202) 523-1221 or 1208 Media contact: (202) 523-1913 USDL 85-457 For Release: 10:00 AM EST Monday, October 28, 1985 PROPOCTIVITy AND POSTS Third Quarter 1985 The Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor today reported preliminary productivity statistics—as measured by output per hour of all persons—-for the third quarter of 1985. The seasonally adjusted annual rates of increase in major sectors of the econcmy from the second to the third quarter of 1985 were: 3.0 1.2 2.4 2.7 2.0 percent percent percent percent percent in the business sector, in the naifarm business sector, in manufacturing, in durable goods manufacturing, and in nondurable goods manufacturing. Third-quarter measures are summarized in table A and appear in detail in tables 1 through 6. Business Productivity increased at a 3.0 percent seasonally adjusted annual rate in the third quarter of 1985 in the business sector, as output grew 3.3 percent and hours of all persons increased 0.3 percent (table 1). During the second quarter, productivity had increased 1.5 percent as output and hours rose 2.7 percent and 1.2 percent, respectively. The slower rate of growth in hours in the third quarter reflected a continued slowing in enployment growth and a further decline in the length of the average work week. Hourly compensation increased at a 5.6 percent annual rate in the third quarter, compared with a 3.3 percent rise during the second quarter. This measure includes the cost to employers of wages and salaries, supplements, payments to employee-benefit plans, and taxes. Real hourly condensation, which also takes into account changes in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), increased 3.1 percent in the third quarter, conpared with a 0.9 percent decline during the second period. Unit labor costs, which reflect changes in productivity and hourly condensation, increased at a 2.6 percent annual rate during the third quarter, compared with a 1.7 percent gain in the second quarter. Property of University of Mo. at St. Louis -2Table A. rates Productivity and costs: Percent change at seasonally adjusted annual Sector Productivity Output Hours Hourly compensation Real hourly compensation Unit labor costs 3.1 1.4 0.5 1.5 -1.0 2.6 2.7 0.5 1.2 -0.6 1.1 0.6 1.2 1.7 0.4 3.6 3.6 2.4 2.*» 1.4 PRELIMINARY Second quarter to third quarter 1985 Business Nonfarm business Manufacturing Durable Nondurable 3.0 1.2 2.4 2.7 2.0 3.3 3.2 2.3 1.8 3.0 0.3 2.0 -0.1 -0.9 1.0 5.6 3.9 2.9 3.9 1.4 Third quarter 1984 to third quarter 1985 Business Nonfarm business Manufacturing Durable Nondurable 0.9 0.4 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.7 2.7 1.3 1.0 1.7 1.8 2.3 -0.9 -1.1 -0.6 4.5 4.0 4.6 5.1 3.8 Nonfarm business Productivity in the nonfam business sector increased at a 1.2 annual rate in the third quarter, as output rose 3.2 percent and hours of all persons engaged in the sector rose 2.0 percent. During the second quarter, same increase in productivity reflected slower growth in both output and hours (table 2). Although output growth was similar in business and nonfantt business, differences in hours growth resulted in a larger business productivity gain as farm hours declined sharply. Hourly compensation increased at a 3.9 percent annual rate in the third quarter, and unit labor costs—compensation per unit of output—rose 2.7 percent. Real hourly compensation increased 1.4 percent in the third quarter in the nonfarm business sector. Manufacturing In manufacturing, output per hour of all persons increased at a 2.4 percent annual rate during the third quarter, as output rose 2.3 percent and hours of all persons declined 0.1 percent. During the second quarter, productivity increased at a 6.8 percent annual rate; output rose 2.0 percent while hours dropped 4.5 percent (table 3). —3"* Hourly compensation increased at a 2.9 percent annual rate, compared with a 4.8 percent gain during the second quarter. Unit labor costs increased 0.5 percent, compared with a 1.9 percent decline in the second quarter (seasonally adjusted annual rates). Real hourly compensation increased 0.5 percent in the third quarter for persons engaged in manufacturing. Although productivity increased faster among durable goods producersf output and hours were both weaker than among nondurable goods manufacturers (tables 4 and 5). Nonfinancial corporations; revised second quarter measures Productivity in nonfinaneial corporations declined 0.3 percent in the second quarter, according to revised measures announced today. This sector includes all corporations doing business.in the United States, except banks, finance and insurance agencies, and stock and oawnodity brokersf Output rose 1.9 percent while hours of all employees increased 2.2 percent (seasonally adjusted annual rates). These changes are based on the most complete naasures of output, compensation, and labor irput available? table B compares them with the results reported on August 27, based on preliminary information. Table B. Preliminary and revised prooductivity and related measures for nonfinancial corporations, second quarter 1985 Percent change fron previous quarter at annual rate (Seasonally adjusted) Item Productivity Preliminary Revised -0.3 -0.3 Output 1.8 1*9 Hours 2.1 2.2 Hourly compensation 2.9 3.0 Real hourly conqpensation -1.2 -1.2 Unit labor costs 3.2 3.3 Unit nonlabor costs Unit profits 4.1 4.3 -2.7 -3.9 -4TBCHNICAL NOTES Business sector output is equal to gross national product, less the rest-of-the-world sector, general government, output of paid employees of private households and nonprofit institutions, rental value of owner-occupied dwellings, and the statistical discrepancy in computing the national income accounts. Corresponding exclusions are also made in labor inputs. Business output has accounted for about 77 percent of gross national product in recent years. Total manufacturing measures are computed by sunning series prepared for the durable and nondurable goods sectors. The durable sector includes the following 2-digit SIC industries: Primary metals? fabricated metal products? nonelectrical machinery? ^electrical machinery? transportation equipment? instruments? lumber and lumber products? furniture and fixtures? stone, clay, and glass products? and miscellaneous manufactures. The nondurable sector includes the following 2-digit SIC industries: Textile mill products, apparel products, leather and leather products, printing and publishing, chemical and chemical products, petroleum products, rubber and plastic products, foods, and tobacco products. Manufacturing output has accounted for about 24 percent of gross national produefe-in recent years. \ Nonfinancia^ corporate output is-'equal 'toMgross»' h&tlbn&t product ,1 less thfe rest-of-th^world sector, general government, unincorporated business, output of paid^eitployees of private households and nonfprofit institutions, rental value of owner-occupied dwellings, the output of corporations engaged in banking, finance, stock and commodity trading, and credit and insurance agencies, and the statistical discrepancy in computing the national income accounts. Nonfinancial corporate output has accounted for about 59 percent of gross national product in recent years. The productivity and associated cost measures in this news release describe the relationship between output in real terms and the labor time involved in its production. They show the changes fron period to period in the amount of goods and services produced per hour. Although these measures relate output to hours of all persons engaged in a sector, they do not measure the specific contributions of labor, capital, or any other factor of production. Rather, they reflect the joint effects of many influences, including changes in technology? capital investment? level of output? utilization of capacity, energy, and materials? the organization of production? managerial skill? and the characteristics ami effort of the work force. Table 1. Business sector: Productivity, hourly compensation, unit labor cost, and prices, seasonally adjusted Year and quarter Output per hour of all persons Output Hours of all persons Gompensation per hour(1) Real conpensation per hour (2) Unit labor cost Unit nonlabor payments(3) Implicit price deflator(4) Indexes 1977-100 1984 1985 I II III IV 105.7 107.0 107.2 108*0 117.8 121.0 121.5 123.0 111.4 113.0 113.4 113.9 166.7 167.5 169.3 171.1 98.6 ' 98.2 98.3 98.5 157.7 156.5 158.0 158.4 151.6 157.2 158.5 160.2 155.6 156.7 158.1 159,0 ANNUAL 107,0 120.8 112.9 168.6 98.4 157.6 157.0 157.4 106.9 107.3 108. 1p 123.0 123.8r 124,9p 115.0 115.4r 115.5p 173.1 174.5 176.9p 98.9 98.6 99. 4p 161.9 162.6r 163.6p 159.1 159.9r 161 .2p 160.9 161.7 162.8p I II III Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate(5) 1984 1985 I II III IV 4.0 4.9 0.6 3.1 1.1.4 . 11.2 1.8 5.0' 7.2 6.0 1.2 1.8 6.2 1.9 4.4 4.4 0.8 -1.8 0.7 0.8 2.1 -2.9 3.7 1.2 7.0 15.4 3.4 4.3 3.7 2.9 3.6 2.2 ANNUAL 3.2 8.8 5.4 4.2 0.0 1.0 7.9 3.2 -3.9 1.5r 0.0 2.7r 3.3p 4.1 1.2r 0.3p 4.8 3.3 5.6p 1.4 -0.9 3.1p 9.1 1.7r 2.6p -2.6 2.1r 3.2p 5.0 1.8r 2.8p I II III 3^?P__ Percent ellange fron corresponding quarter of previous year 1984 1985 I II III IV 3*5 3.3 2.7 3.2 10.2 9.9 8.0 7.3 6.5 6.4 5.1 4.0 4.1 4.0 4.6 4.2 -0.4 -0.3 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.7 1.9 1.0 8.4 8.7 7.1 7.4 3.0 3.3 3.6 3.1 ANNUAL 3.2 8.8 5.4 4.2 0.0 1.0 7.9 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.9p 4.4 2.4r 2.7p 3.2 2.1r 1.8p 3.8 4.2 4.5p 0.3 0.5 1.1p 2.7 3.9 3.6p 4.9 1.8 1.7p 3.4 3.2 2.9p I II III See footnotes following table 6. r-revtsed p-preliroinary October 28, 1985 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics -6- Table 2. Nonfarm business sector: Productivity, hourly compensation, unit labor cost, and prices, seasonally adjusted Year and quarter Output per hour of all persons Output Hours of all persons Compensation per hour(1) Real compensation per hour (2) Unit labor cost Unit nonlabor payments (3) Implicit price deflator(4) Indexes 1977-100 1984 1985 I II III IV 105.2 106.6 106.3 106.9 118.0 121.0 121.3 122.7 112.3 113.6 114.1 114.8 166.5 168.0 169.5 171.0 98.4 98.4 98.4 98.5 158.3 157.6 159.5 160.0 152.2 156.8 158.0 160.3 156.3 157.3 159.0 160.1 ANNUAL 106.2 120.7 113.6 168.7 98.4 158.8 156.9 158.2 106.0 106.3 106. 7p 122.8 123.6r 124.5p 115.8 116.2 116.8p 173.1 174.6r 176. 2p 98.9 98.7 99, Op 163.3 164.1r 165. 2p 160.3 161 .8r 163.7p 162.3 163.4 164.7P I II III Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate (5) 1984 1985 I II III W 2.9 5.5 -1.1 2.2 10.3 10.6 0.7 4.7 7.2 4.8 1.8 2.4 6.1 3.7 3.6 3.7 0.7 0.0 -0.1 0.1 3.1 -1.7 4.7 1.4 2.3 12.5 3.1 5.9 2.8 2.8 4.2 2.9 ANNUAL 2.7 8.5 5.7 4.1 -0.1 1.4 6.7 3.1 -3.1 1.2r 1.2p 0.5 2.5r 3.2p 3.7 1.3r 2.0p 5.0 3.4r 3.9p 1.7 -0.8 1.4p 8.4 2.1r 2.7p 0.1 3.7r 4.9p 5.5 2.7r 3.4p I II III Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 1984 1985 I II III IV 3.5 2.9 2.1 2.4 10.6 9.7 7.6 6.5 6.9 6.6 5.4 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.4 4.3 -0.5 -0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.3 1.9 8.3 7.1 5,7 5.9 2.9 3.0 3.4 3.2 ANNUAL 2.7 8.5 5.7 4.1 -0.1 1.4 6.7 3.1 I II III 0.8 -0.2r 0.4p 4.0 2.1r 2.7p 3.2 2.3 2.3p 4.0 3.9 4.0p 3.1 4.1r 3.6p 5.3 3.2 3.6p 3.8 3.8 3.6p See footnotes following table 6. r=revised p*preliminary 0.4 0.2 0.6p October 28, 1985 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics -7- Table 3. Itomfacturing sector: Productivity, hourly compensation, and unit labor cost, seasonally adjusted Year and quarter Output per hour of all persons Hours of all persons Output (6) Compensation per hour(1) Real compensation per hour(2) Unit labor cost Indexes 1977=100 1984 1985 I II III IV 114.2 114.8 116.7 116.5 113.0 1 14.9 1 16.7 1 16.7 ANNUAL 115.6 1 15.3 116.7 118.6r 119.3p 1 17.0 1 17. 6r 1 18.2p I II III 98.9 100.1 100.0 100.2 99.8 100.3 99.1 99. 1p 167.1 168.3 169.9 172.1 98.8 98.6 98.7 99.1 146.3 146.6 145.5 147.7 169.4 98.8 146.5 174.4 176.5 177.8p 99.6 99.7 99. 9p 149.5 148. 8r 149. Op Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate(5) 1984 1985 I II III IV 5.5 2.2 6.8 -0.6 14.8 6.9 6.5 0.0 8.8 4.6 -0.2 0.7 6.2 2.9 3.7 5.2 - 0.8 -0.8 0.1 1.6 0.6 0.7 -2.8 5.9 ANNUAL 3.5 10.5 6.7 3.6 -0.6 0.1 0.4 -4.5 -0.1p 5.6 4.8 2.9p I II III . 0.4 6.8r 2.4p 0.9 2. Or 2<3p 2.2 0.6 0.5p 5.1 -1.9r 0.5p Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 1984 1985 I II III IV 3.8 3.6 3.3 3.4 13.9 12.2 9.3 7.0 9.7 8.3 5.8 3.4 2.7 3.3 3.9 4.5 -1.7 -1.0 -0.3 0.4 -1.0 -0.3 0.6 1.0 ANNUAL 3.5 10.5 6.7 3.6 -0.6 0.1 1.4 -0.9 -0.9p 4.4 4.8 4.6p I II III 2.1 3.3r 2.2p See footnotes followirg table 6. r=revised p=preliminary 3.5 2.3r 1.3p 0.8 1.1 1.2p 2.2 1.5r 2.4p October 28, 1985 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics -8- Table 4. Durable manufacturing sector: Productivity, hourly compensation, seasonally adjusted Year and quarter Output per hour of all persons Output (6) Hours of all persons Compensation per hour(1) unit labor cost, Real compensation per hour(2) Unit labor cost Indexes 1977-100 1984 1985 I II III IV 115.3 116.1 118.3 117.7 114.1 116.6 119.4 119.5 98.9 100.4 101.0 101.5 165.8 167.0 168.1 170.1 98.1 97.8 97,6 v7.9 143.8 143.8 142.1 144.4 ANNUAL 116.9 117.4 100.4 167.7 97.9 143,5 118.2 120. Or 120.8p 119.8 120. 1r 120.6p 101.4 100.1r 99. 8p 172.9 175.0 176.7p 98.7 98.9 99. 3p 146.3 145.8r 146. 3p I II III Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate(5) 1984 1985 I II III IV 8.4 2.8 7.6 -1.8 20.3 9.2 9.9 0.3 10.9 6.2 2.1 2.1 6.1 2.8 2.6 4.9 0.8 -0.9 -1.0 1.3 -2.2 0.0 -4.6 6.8 ANNUAL 4.8 14.4 9.1 3.2 -1.0 -1.6 -0.4 -5.2 -0.9p 6.9 4.9 3.9p I II III 1.5 6.2r 2.7p 1.2 0.7r 1.8p 3.5 0.7 1.Sp 5.3 -1.3r 1.2p Percent~9uSige~ft'CiB corresponding quarter of previous year 1984 1985 I II III IV 5.5 5.1 4.6 4.2 18.5 16.7 13.4 9.7 12.3 11.1 8.4 5.3 2.2 2.9 3.4 4.1 -2.2 -1.4 -0.8 0.0 -3.1 -2,0 -1.2 -0.1 ANNUAL 4.8 14.4 9.1 3.2 -1.0 -1.6 2.5 -0.4 -1.1p 4.3 4.8 5.1p I II III 2.5 3.3r 2. 1p See footnotes followir^g table 6. r-revised p-preliroinary 5.0 2.9r 1.0p 0.7 1.1 1.7p 1.8 1.4r -2.9p October 28, 1985 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Table 5. Nondurable tnanufacturing sector: Productivity, hourly compensation, and unit labor cost, seasonally adjusted Year and quarter Output per hour of all persons Output (6) Hours of all persons Oompensation per hour(1) Real compensation per hour(2) Unit labor cost Indexes 1977-100 1984 1985 I II III IV 112.5 112.9 114.4 114.7 111.4 112.3 112.8 112.7 99.0 99.5 98.6 98.2 169.5 170.6^ 172.7 175.1 100.2 100.0 100.3 100.8 150.6 151.2 151.1 152J ANNUAL 113.6 112.3 98.9 171.9 100.3 151.4 114.3 116.5r 117.0p 112.8 113.9r 114.7p 98.7 97.8 98 .Op 176.6 178.6r 179.3p 100.8 101.0 100.7p 153.4r 153.2p I II III 154.5 Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate(5) 1984 1985 I II III IV 1.3 1.2 5.4 1.1 7.1 3.6 1.5 -0.4 5.8 2.4 -3.7 -1.5 5.8 2.7 5.1 5.5 0.5 -1.0 1.4 1.9 -0.3 ANNUAL 1.5 4.9 3.3 3.8 -0.4 2.3 -1.3 7.8r 2.0p 0.4 3.9r 3.0p 1.7 -3.6 U OP 3.5 4.8 1.4p 0.2 0.6 I II III .,_ -1.0p 4.5 1.5 4.3 4.9 -2.8r -0.6p Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 1984 1985 I II III IV 1.3 1.3 1.3 2.2 7.5 5.9 3.4 2.9 6.1 4.5 2.1 0.7 3.0 3.3 4.3 4.8 -1.4 -1.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.0 2.9 2.5 ANNUAL 1.5 4.9 3.3 3.8 -0.4 2.3 1,6 3.2r 2.3p 1.3 1.4r 1.7p -0.3 -1.8 -0.6p 4.2 4.7 3.8p 0.6 1.0 2.6 I II III See footnotes following table 6. r**revised p-preHininary 0.4p 1.5r "1.4p October 28, 1985 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics -10- Table 6. Nonfinancial corporations: Productivity, hourly compensation, unit labor cost, unit profits, 'and prices, seasonally adjusted Year and quarter Output per allemployee hour Output Employee Hourly Real hours compensa- hourly tion compen(1) sation(2) Unit labor cost Unit nonlabor cost(7) Total unit cost (8) Unit profits (9) Implicit price deflator (4) Indexes 1977=100 1984 1985 I II III IV 108.1 108.9 108.2 108.8 120.2 123.1 123.1 124.7 111.2 113.1 113.8 114.6 164.8 165.8 167.1 168.7 97.5 97.2 97.1 97.1 152.5 152.3 154.5 155.0 162.0 162.8 165.9 166.4 155.0 155.0 157.5 158.0 143.2 151.1 145.3 150.7 153.6 154.6 156.1 157.1 ANNUAL 108.5 122.8 113.2 166.6 97.2 153.6 164.3 156.4 147.6 155.4 I II 108.1 108.1 124.9 125.5 115.5 116.1 170.3 171.6 97.3 97.0 157.5 158.8 168.1 169.8 160.2 161.6 150.4 148. 9r 159.1 160.2 Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate(5) 1984 1985 1984 1985 I II III IV 11.6 5.9 1.2 0.6 0.2 6.5 1.2 23.4 23.8 -14.5 16.0 2.7 2.6 3.9 2.7 -0.8 1.1 -0.4 0.7 25.9 3.0 0.6 6.6 4.0 5.9 3.5 -1.0 -3.9r 2.7r -3.0 -1.4 -1.1 -0.1 0.9 1.9 2.0 2.1 54.8 35.2 14.7 10.9 2.8 2.9 3.2 3.0 0.7 25.9 3.0 5.0 3.6 3.6 2.0 -1.3 -0.4 -0.4 2.5 5.7 2.4 3.2 3.7 0.2 ANNUAL 2.3 9.0 6.6 3.5 I II -2.5 -0.3 0.6 3.3 3.9 I II III IV 4.0 2.9 0.9 1.6 11.8 10.5 ANNUAL I II -0.7 -2.5 -3.2 2.0 8.0 1.1 7.7 6.8 2.8 2.6 0.4 9.8 0.2 5.2 3.6 2.8 3. Or -1.2 3.6 3.3 3.3 3.8 -0.9 -1.0 -0.9 -0.3 -0.4 7.4 6.6 7.5 7.5 6.4 5.0 2.3 9.0 6.6 3.5 -0.8 1.1 -0.4 0.0 3.9 3.9 3.3 3.5 -0.2 -0.2 3.3 4.2 3.8 4.3 1.9r 4.3r ^JtJ* Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 2.<£I See footnotes following table 6. r^=revised p=preliminary 3.3r 2.7 0.4 2.4 2.2 3.4 4.3r -1.5r 5.1 October 28, 1985 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Footnotes, Tables 1-6 SOURCE; Output data from Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, and the Federal Reserve Board. Compensation and hours data fron the Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor, and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. RELIABILITY: Based on data covering the period from the first quarter of 1976 to the second quarter of 1984, the probability is 0.95 that the interval between -1.8 and 2.0 index points contains the revision of the index of productivity in the business sector from the first to the third quarterly publication of the estimate. (1) Wages and salaries of the employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. Except for nonfinancial corporations, where there are no self-employed, data also include an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the self-employed. (2) Compensation per hour adjusted for changes in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers. (3) Nonlabor payments include income, and indirect taxes. profits, depreciation, interest, rental (4) Current dollar gross product divided by constant dollar gross product. (5) Quarterly changes: percent change compounded at annual rate frcm the original data rather than index numbers. Annual changes: percent charge between annual average levels. (6) Quarterly measures adjusted to annual estimates of output (gross product originating) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce. (7) Unit nonlabor cost includes depreciation, interest, and indirect taxes. (8) Total unit cost is the sum of labor and nonlabor costs. (9) Unit profits include corporate profit and inventory valuation adjustment.