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News Bureau of Labor Statistics Lawrence Fulco (202) 523-9261 Kathryn Hoyle (202) 523-1913 Charles Wallace (202) 523-1208 United States Department of Labor Washington, D.C. 20212 USDL 82-154 For Release 2:00 PM EDT Thursday, April 29, 1982 PRODUCTIVITY AND COSTS Private Business, Nonfarm Business, and Manufacturing Sectors First Quarter 1982 Productivity, In the business economy dec!Ined at a 1.0 percent annual rate In the first quarter of 1982, according to preliminary measures the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The productivity decline 1n the first quarter reflected a 4.2 percent decrease In output and a 3.3 percent decrease 1n hours (quarterly changes at seasonally adjusted annual rate). During the fourth quarter of 1981, productivity declined 6.6 percent. In the nonfarm business sector, output per hour of all persons Increased 0.3 percent, reflecting a fall 1n output of 3.0 percent and an even greater decline In hours of all persons of 3.3 percent. During the fourth quarter of 1981, productivity had declined 6.9 percent 1n this sector. In manufacturing, productivity decreased 5.8 percent 1n the first quarter; output decreased 14.6 percent, and hours fell 9.3 percent. During the fourth quarter of 1981, manufacturing productivity declined 10.8 percent as output and hours fell 18.5 percent and 8.7 percent, respectively. First quarter measures are summarized 1n table A; details are given 1n tables 1-6. Revised annual measures for nonfinandal corporations and measures for the fourth quarter of 1981 were also released today. (See table B.) Private business sector Productivity, as measured by output per hour of all persons, declined at a 1.0 percent annual rate during the first 3 months of 1982, compared with a 6.6 percent decrease during the fourth quarter of 1981. This was the third consecutive quarter of productivity decline 1n the private business sector. Output declined 4.2 percent and hours decreased 3.3 percent during the first quarter. Although output has declined for the past 4 quarters, the most recent decrease was smaller than the 6.8 percent decline recorded during the fourth quarter of 1981. On the other hand, hours declined faster during the first quarter of 1982 than they had during the fourth quarter of 1981. Although the productivity measures relate output to the hours of all persons engaged 1n each sector, they do not measure the specific contributions of labor, capital, or any other single factor of production. Rather, they reflect the1 joint effects of many Influences, Including new technology, capital Investment, the level of output, capacity utilization, energy use, and managerial skill, as well as the skills and efforts of the work force. -2Table A. Productivity and costs: percent change at annual rate (Seasonally adjusted) Sector Productivity Hourly compensation Unit labor cost Real hourly compensation Output Hours Preliminary Fourth Quarter 1981 to First Quarter 1982 Private business Nonfarm business Manufacturing Durable Nondurable -1.0 0.3 -5.8 -7.1 -4.0 8.1 8.4 10.9 10.9 11.4 9.1 8.1 17.8 19.5 16.0 4.7 5.0 7.4 7.4 7.9 -4.2 -3.0 -14.6 -16.9 -11.0 -3.3 -3.3 -9.3 -10.6 -7.3 -2.9 -3.3 -7.9 -9.1 -6.1 -1.6 -1.6 -5.1 -6.0 -3.7 First Quarter 1981 to First Quarter 1982 Private business Nonfarm business Manufacturing Durable Nondurable -1.4 -1.8 -3.0 -3.3 -2.6 8.3 8.4 9.6 9.7 9.8 9.8 10.4 13.0 13.5 12.6 0.8 0.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 Hourly compensation, which includes wages and salaries, supplements, and employer payments for social security and other employee benefit plans, increased at an 8.1 percent annual rate, the smallest f i r s t - q u a r t e r gain since 1977. First-quarter Increases in hourly compensation were larger than subsequent quarters' gains in 7 of the past 10 years. During the fourth quarter of 1981, hourly compensation rose 5.5 percent. Real hourly compensation—which adjusts for changes in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U)—Increased 4.7 percent in the f i r s t quarter of 1982, the f i r s t rise in this series since the second quarter of 1981 and the largest increase since the 5.1 percent annual rate of increase during the second quarter of 1976. The 3.3 percent increase in the CPI-U was the smallest gain 1n this measure since the 3.2 percent Increase of the second quarter of 1976. Unit labor cost, which reflects changes 1n productivity and hourly compensation, Increased at a 9.1 percent annual rate during the f i r s t quarter, compared with a 13.0 percent increase during the fourth quarter of 1981. Unit nonlabor payments—which consist of Indirect business taxes, depreciation, net interest, and profits—declined at a 10.3 percent annual rate, compared with a 0.4 percent Increase during the fourth quarter of 1981. This was the f i r s t decline in this series since the 6.8 percent decrease during the f i r s t quarter of 1978, and the largest quarterly decline since the 12.5 percent drop during the third quarter of 1959. -3The Implicit price deflator—which measures price change 1n a specific sector and reflects changes 1n unit labor cost and unit nonlabor payments comb1ned--1ncreased 2.8 percent in the f i r s t quarter, compared with an 8.9 percent rise during the fourth qu-arter of 1981. This was the smallest price rise in this sector since the 2.8 percent gain during the f i r s t quarter of 1976. Compared with the f i r s t quarter of 1981, productivity declined 1.4 percent, as output f e l l 2.9 percent and hours dropped 1.6 percent. Hourly compensation rose 8.3 percent (0.8 percent after allowing for the Increase 1n the CPI-U), unit labor cost increased 9.8 percent, nonlabor payments rose 1.1 percent, and the I m p l i c i t price deflator Increased 7.0 percent. Nonfarm business sector Productivity Increased 1n the nonfarm business sector by 0.3 percent during the f i r s t quarter, reflecting a 3JD percent decline 1n output and a 3.3 percent decrease in hours of a l l persons. During the fourth quarter of 1981, productivity dropped 6.9 percent, output f e l l 7.7 percent, and hours decreased 0.9 percent. The f i r s t - q u a r t e r declines marked the fourth consecutive quarterly drop 1n output and the second in hours. Nonfarm hourly compensation Increased 8.4 percent 1n the f i r s t quarter of 1982, compared with a 6.3 percent rise during the fourth quarter of 1981. Real hourly compensation Increased at a 5.0 percent annual rate during the f i r s t quarter, compared with a 1.4 percent decline during the fourth quarter of 1981. This was the f i r s t Increase In the series since the second quarter of 1981 and the largest gain since the 5.5 percent rise In the second quarter of 1976. Unit labor cost rose 8.1 percent during the f i r s t quarter of 1982, compared with a 14.1 percent rise during the fourth quarter of 1981. Unit nonlabor payments f e l l at a 10.2 percent annual r a t e , and the I m p l i c i t price deflator rose 2.2 percent. During the preceding quarter, nonlabor payments Increased 1.8 percent and prices rose 10.1 percent 1n this sector ( a t seasonally adjusted annual r a t e s ) . Compared with the f i r s t quarter of 1981, productivity declined 1.8 percent, output f e l l 3.3 percent, and hours of a l l persons declined 1.6 percent. Hourly compensation went up 8.4 percent, unit labor cost rose 10.4 percent, and unit nonlabor payments increased 1.2 percent. The i m p l i c i t price deflator rose 7.5 percent over the 4-quarter span. -4Manufacturing Productivity in the manufacturing sector f e l l at a 5.8 percent annual rate in the f i r s t quarter of 1982, as output f e l l 14.6 percent and hours dropped 9.3 percent. During the fourth quarter of 1981, productivity declined 10.8 percent, output f e l l 18.5 percent, and hours dropped 8.7 percent (at seasonally adjusted annual r a t e s ) . This was the third quarter of f a l l i n g or unchanged output, and the fourth quarter of f a l l i n g hours in manufacturing. The decline in hours in part reflects a drop in employment of about 772,000 during the past 2 quarters. Average weekly hours declined at a 1.4 percent annual rate during the f i r s t quarter, the fourth quarter of decline in this measure. Hourly compensation increased at a 10.9 percent annual rate during the f i r s t quarter, compared with a 7.6 percent gain during the fourth quarter of 1981. After allowing for the increase in the CPI-U, real hourly compensation increased 7.4 percent during the f i r s t quarter, compared with a 0.2 percent decline during the fourth quarter of 1981. This was the largest quarterly gain in real hourly compensation in manufacturing since the 7.6 percent gain during the f i r s t quarter of 1960. Compared with the f i r s t quarter of 1981, productivity declined 3.0 percent, as output f e l l 7.9 percent and hours dropped 5.1 percent. Hourly compensation rose 9.6 percent ( 2 . 0 percent after allowing for the rise 1n the CPI-U), and unit labor cost Increased 13.0 percent. Employment dropped 3.4 percent over the 4-quarter span. Fourth quarter measures for nonfinancial corporations Fourth quarter 1981 productivity and cost measures were also announced today for the nonfinancial corporate sector, together with revised annual movements. (See table B.) Output per all-employee hour declined at a 5.5 percent annual rate during the fourth quarter, as output declined 7.8 percent and hours f e l l 2.4 percent. This was the largest quarterly productivity decline in this sector since the 6.5 percent drop during the f i r s t quarter of 1974. Hourly compensation Increased 6.9 percent, and real hourly compensation declined 0.8 percent. Unit labor cost rose 13.2 percent, the largest gain since a 17.3 percent gain during the third quarter of 1974. Unit p r o f i t s declined at a 32.6 percent annual r a t e , compared with a 15.7 percent gain during the third quarter (annual r a t e s ) . See table 3. -6- -5Table B. Nonfinandai corporations Percent change 1n productivity and costs at annual rates (Seasonally adjusted) Third quarter 1981 Item Output per all-employee hours Hourly compensation Unit labor cost Real hourly compensation Output Hours Unit profits Productivity Measures for Selected Industries, 1954-80 Fourth quarter 1980 to to fourth quarter 1981 PRELIMINARY fourth quarter 1981 PRELIMINARY -5.5 6.9 13.2 -0.8 -7.8 -2.4 -32.6 1981 Annual REVISED U.S. Department of Labor Raymond J Donovan. Secretary Bureau of Labor Statistics Janet L. Norwood. Commissioner • A p r i l 1982 2.4 0.6 9.2 8.6 10.0 -0.3 -0.3 0.7 0.1 3.4 1.0 4.5 14.9 Bulletin 2128 7.4 Productivity Measures for Selected Industries, 195U-8O, BLS Bulletin 2128, has been prepared by the Division of Industry Productivity Studies and i s now available. Revised measures The productivity and cost measures contained in this release for the manufacturing sector incorporate small revisions in the underlying output measures prepared by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the U.S. Department of Commerce. All affected quarters are found in this release; see tables 4-6 and appendix tables A-C. This 228 page b u l l e t i n contains annual indexes of output per employee hour, output and employee hours for about 103 industries in the nonfarra sector. The indexes are available for most industries through 1980. Please c a l l Charles W. Ardolini, 202-523-92M for additional information. BLS Bulletin 2128 can be ordered from the Superintendent of Documents, U. S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20^02 (Stock No. 029-001-02702-8), GPO Bookstores, or BLS Regional Offices l i s t e d below. $7.00. The price i s Make checks or money orders payable t o the Superintendent of Documents.REGION I 1603 JFK Federal Building Government Center Boston, Mass. 02203 REGION II Suite 3*400 1515 Broadway New York, N.Y. 10036 REGION V 9th Floor Federal Office Building 230 S. Dearborn Street Chicago, 111. 6O6OI4 REGION VI Second Floor 555 Griffin Square Building Dallas, Tex. 75202 REGION III 3535 Market Street P.O. Box 13309 Philadelphia, Pa. 19101 REGIONS VII AND VIII 911 Walnut Street Kansas City, Mo. 6U106 REGION IV 1371 Penchtree Street, N.E. Atlanta, Ga. 30367 REGIONS IX AND X '«50 Golden Gate Avenue Box 36017 San Francisco, Calif. 9^102 For sal* by (he Superintendent of Document*. C.8. Government Prlntlnc Office. Wuhln«toft. P . C J HOURLY TA3L6 1.PRIVATE BUSINESS COMPENSATION/ UNIT LABOR CUT D UT P£R HOUR OF ALL PERSONS YEAR AND QUARTER SECTOR/ ALL PERSONS: PRODUCTIVITY/ C O S T , AND P R I C E S / S E A S O N A L L Y A D J U S T E D REAL COMPENSATION PER H0URC2) UNIT LABOR COST UNIT NONLABOR PAYMENTS(3) IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATOR 139.8 143.3 146.5 148.5 96.1 96.9 96.3 95.8 139.4 141.6 145.2 149.7 127.6 129.3 132.4 132.6R 135.4 137.5 140.9 143.9 108.5 144.6 96.3R 144.0 130.6R 139.4 107.5? 151.4P 96.9P 153.OP 129.OP 144.9P 17.1 5.3 10.1 0.4R 10.0 6.2 10.4 8.9R OUTPUT HOURS OF ALL PERSONS 100.3 101.2 100.9 99.2 109. 5 1C9.5 1C9.4 1C7.5 109.2 108.2 108.4 108.4 100.4 1 0 9 .0 R 106.3P COMPENSATION PER HQUR(I) INDEXES 1977=100 1981 I II III IV ANNUAL 1982 I 93.9P PERCENT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER 1981 I II III IV 4.7 3.5 -1.1 -6.6R ANNUAL 1982 7.9 -0.1 -0.3 -6.3 3.0 -3.5 0.8 -0.2 11 .9 10.4 9.3 5.5 0.5 3.2 -2.3 -2.1 6.9 6.6 10.6 13.OR 2.C 0.9 10.0 -0.3 8.8 10.4R 9.3 9.1P -10.3P 2.8P 1 .1 I AT ANNUAL RATE(5) 8.1P -3.3P -1 .OP • ' • 2 4.7P O QUARTER OF PREVIOUS 1981 I II III IV 0.8 2.1 1 .5 0.0 I SEE FOOTNOTES R=REVISED FOLLOWING YEARC6) 0.0 1.7 2.0 0.0 10.6 10.1 10.1 9.3 -0.6 0.3 -0.6 -0.2 9.7 7.8 8.5 9.3R 10.8 11 .5 10.6 8.1R 10.1 9.0 9.1 8.9R 10.0 -0.3 8.8 1C.4R 9.3 1 . 1 2.0 0.9 -1 ,4P -2.9P -1.6P ANNUAL 1982 0.8 3.9 3.5 0.0 8.3P 0.8P 9.8P 1 .1P 7.OP TA8LE 6. APRIL 29, 1982 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LAB08 STATISTICS P=PRELIMINARY TABLE 2. NONFARM BUSINESS SECTOR* ALL PERSONS: PRODUCTIVITY/ HOURLY COMPENSATION/ UNIT LABOR COST/ AND PRICES/ SEASONALLY ADJUSTED YEAR AND QUARTER OUTPUT PER HOUR OF ALL PERSONS OUTPUT HOURS OF ALL PERSONS COMPENSATION PER HCURd) REAL COMPENSATION PER HOUR(2) UNIT LABOR COST UNIT NONLABOR PAYMENTS<3) IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATOR INDEXES 1977=100 1981 I II III IV ANNUAL I 1982 100.0 100.4 99.9 98.2 109.7 109.4 109.0 106.9 109.7 109.0 109.1 108.9R 139.2 142.4 145.7 147.9 95.7 96.3 95.8 95.4 139.1 141.9 145.8 150.7R 127.8 128.7 132.2 132.8R 135.3 137.5 141.2 144.7R 99.7 108.8 109.1 143.9 95.9 144.3 130.4R 139.7R 98.3P 106.1P 108.OP 150.9P 96.6P 153.6P 129.2P 145.5P 20.2 3.0 11.3 1.8R 11.0 6.5 11.4 10.1R PERCENT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER AT ANNUAL RATE(5) 1981 I II III IV ANNUAL 1982 I 1981 I II III IV 4.4 1.4 -1 .7 -6.9R 7.9 -1 .1 -1.4 -7.7 0.9 1.9 0.3P -3.OP 3.4 -2.5 0.4 -0.9R 11.7 9.6 9.5 6.3R 0.3 2.5 -2.2 -1.4R 1.0R 10.OR -0.3 -3.3P 8.4P PERCENT CHANGE ANNUAL 1982 I SEE FOOTNOTES FOLLOWING R=REVISED P=PRELIMINARY 1.2 2.3 0.9 -0.8 1 .1 4.1 3.0 -0.7 0.9 1 .9 -1.8P -3.3P 5.OP 7.0 8.1 11.5 14.1R 9.0 a.ip 10.9R -10.2P 9.6 2.2P FROM CORRESPONDING QUARTER OF PREVIOUS YEAR(6) -0.1 1.8 2.1 0.1 10.5 10.0" 10.2 9.3R -0.7 0.3 -0.6 -0.2 1.0R 10.OR -0.3 -1.6P 8.4P 0.9P 9.2 7.6 9.2 10.1 9.0 10.4P 12.2 11.8 10.9 8.8 10.9R 1.2P 10.1 8.9 9.7 9.7 9.6 7.5P TABLE 6. APRIL 29/ 1982 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS TABLE 3. NONFINANCIAL. CORPORATIONS: PRODUCTIVITY/ HOURLY COMPENSATION UNIT LA30R COST/ UNIT PROFITS/ AND PRICES/ SEASONALLY ADJUSTED YEAR AND QUARTER OUTPUT PER ALL" EMPLOYEE HOUR OUTPUT EMPLOYEE HOURLY REAL HOURS COMPENSA- HOURLY TION COMPEN" (1) SATIONC2) 103. 4R 104. OR 103. 8 102. 4P 112. 8 112. 3 112. 8 110. 5P 109 108 108 108 103. 5 112. 39 10S .5 UNIT LABOR COST UNIT NONLABOR COST(8) TOTAL UNIT COST (9) UNIT PROFITS (10) IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATOR INDEXES 1977=100 I II III IV ANNUAL .1 .59 . 6R .OP 139. 3R 142. 4R 145. 5 14S. OP 95 .8R 96 .39 95 .7R 95 .5P 134.7 137.0 140.2 144 .6P 139. 5 143. 6 147. 7 153. 8P 136. 0 138. 7 142. 2 147. OP 106.8 102.8 106.7 96.6P 132 134 138 141 .7 .7 143. g 95 .9 139.OR 146. 1 140. 9 103.6R 136 .7 .2 • 4P PERCENT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER AT ANNUAL RATE(5) I II III IV 6.6R 2.2 -0.5 -5.5P 11.5 0.1 -0.1 -7.3P 4.6R -2.0 0.5R -2.4P 11 .7R 9.3 9.1R 6.9P 0.3R 2.1 -2.5 -0.8P 4.3 7.0 9.7 13.2P 2.4S 3 .4 1.09 1C.0R -0.3 7.4 3 .2R 3 .8 2 .0 0 .6P 2.6 5.6 4. 7 0.7P 2 . 4R 3.4 7.9 12.3 11.8 17. 6? 12.2 5.6 8.4 10.3 14.4P 77.9 -13.9 15.7 -32.6P 10.4 6.2 10.7 9.6P 8.7 14.9R 9.2 PERCENT CHANGE FROM C O R R E S P O N D I N G QUARTER OF P R E V I O U S I II III IV ANNUAL -0 .5 1 .7R 2 .7 0 .1P 1 • OR YEAR(6) 1C.8 1G.1 9.9R 9.2P -0. 4R 0. 4R -o. 3R -o.3P 7 .4 6 .1 7 .7 8 .6P 15.4 11.1 10.4 12.3P 9.5 7.4 8.4 9.6P 11. 8 23. 3 19. 7 4. 5P 9 .7 8 .6 9 .3 9 .2P 10.OR -o.3 7 .4 12.2 8.7 14. 9P 9 .2 SEE FOOTNOTES FOLLOWING TABLE 6. R=REVISED P=PRELIMINARY APRIL 2 9 / 1982 S O U R C E : 3UREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS TABLE 4. M A N U F A C T U R I N G SECTOR: P R O D U C T I V I T Y / HOURLY C O M P E N S A T I O N / UNIT LABOR COST/ SEASONALLY ADJUSTED YEAR AND QUARTER CUT°UT PER HOUR OF ALL PERSONS OUTPUT (7) HOURS OF ALL PERSONS INDEXES 1981 1982 I II III IV COMPENSATION PER HOURd ) REAL COMPENSATION PER HCU*(2> UNIT LABOR COST 1977=100 103.6R 104.6R 105.OR 102.OR 1C6 .4R 107 .29 1C7 .2R 1C1 .9R 102.7 102.5 102.2 99.9 141 .1 144. 8 148. 0 150. 8R ANNUAL 104.09 105 .3R 101.7 146. 2 I 100.5? 98 .OP 97.5P 97 .1 97 .9 97 .3 97 • 3R 136. 2R 138. 4R 141. OR 147. 8R 154. 7P PERCENT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER AT ANNUAL RATEC5) I II III IV ANNUAL I 1. 9R 4. 1R 1 .2 - 1 0 . 8R 5.OR 3.3 0.C9 -18.5 2. 2R 2.19 -5. 8P -14,6P 3.6 -0.8 -1.2 -8.7R 11.6 10.8 9.3 7.6R -0.1 11 .1 0.7 -9.3P 10.9P 7.4P 9. 5R 6. 4R 7. 9R 20. 7 0.2 3.5 -2.4 -0.2R 8. 7R 17. SP PERCENT CHANGE FPOM CORRESPONDING QUARTER OF PREVIOUS YEAR(6) I II III IV 1 .5S 3.3R 4.2R -1 .1R -1 .6R 5.53 7.49 -2.99 12.5 11 .4 10.5 9.8 1 .1 1.5 -0.2 0.3R 11.1 0.7 2.2R 2.1R -0 .1 -3.OP -7.9P -5 .1P ANNUAL I SEE FOOTNOTES FOLLOWING TABLE R=REVISED P=PRELIMINARY -3 .0 1 3 :« -1 .9R 9.6P 2.OP 10.9R 7.3R 6.OR 11.OR 8.7R 13.OP APRIL 29/ 1982 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS TA3LE 5. DURABLE MANUFACTURING SECTOR: PRODUCTIVITY, HOURLY COMPENSATION/ UNIT LABOR COST/ SEASONALLY A O J U S T E D ( H ) YEAR AND QUARTER OUTPUT *>zR HOUR OF ALL PERSONS OUTPUT (7) HOURS OF ALL PERSONS INDEXES 1981 1982 UNIT LABOR COST 1977=100 101.7R 103.1R 103.29 100.1R 1C5.7P 107.OR 106.7R 100.6R 103.9 103.7 103.3 100.4R 141.7 145.3 148.7 151.5R 97.4 98.3 97.7 97.7 139.3R 141.OR 144.OR 151.3R ANNUAL 102.3R 105.19 102.8 146.9 97.9 143.6R. I 98.3P 96.OP 155.5P 99.5P 158.2P I II III 2.6R 5.6* 0.5R 6.29 5.1R -1.2R IV •11 .5R -20.9R ANNUAL 2.6R 2.2R I -7.1P -16.9P 1982 97.7P FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER 3.4 -0.5 -1.7 -10.7R 11.8 10.7 9.5 7.8R -0.4 11.5 I II III CHANGE 8.7R 4.8R 9.OR 21.7R 0.3 3.5 -2.1 8.7R 1.0 10.9P 19.5P 7.4P FROM CORRESPONDING 5.OR -2.6R 6.1 R 8.8 9 -0.9R -3.49 -4.2 1.9 3.6 -2.5 2.6R 2.2R -0.4 -3.3P I SEE FOOTNOTES FOLLOWING TA3LE R=REVISED P=PRELIMINARY -9.1P 1.79 4.1 R AT ANNUAL RATEC5) O.OR -10.6P PERCENT 1981 REAL COMPENSATION PER HOURC2) I II III IV PERCENT CHANGE 1981 COMPENSATION PER HCURC1) QUARTER OF PREVIOUS YEAR(6> 13.2 11.8 10.8 9.9 1.7 1.9 0.0 0.4R 11.5 1.0 8.7R 2.1P 13. 5P 11.3R 7.4R 5.6R 10.9R IV ANNUAL 1982 -6.OP 9.7P 6. APRIL 29/ 1982 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS TABLE 6. NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING SECTOR: PRODUCTIVITY/ HOURLY COMPENSATION/ UNIT LA90R COST/ SEASONALLY ADJUSTED<12) YEAR AND QUARTER OUTPUT PER HOUR OF ALL PERSONS OUTPUT (7) HOURS OF ALL PERSONS COMPENSA TION PER HOURd) REAL COMPENSATION PER HOURC2) UNIT LABOR COST INDEXES 1977=100 1981 1982 I II III IV 106.5R 107.OR 107.6R 104.8R 107.4R 107.7R 108.1R 103.8R 100.9 100.6 100.5 99.1 139.7 143.3 146.4 149.2 96.1 96,9 96.2 96.3R 131.2R 133.9R 136.0R 142.4R ANNUAL 106.6R 106.8R 100.2 144.7 96.4 135.7R I 103.BP 100.9P 153.3P 98.1P 147.7? 97.2P PERCENT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER 1981 I II III IV 0.7R OR 4R -10.OR ANNUAL 1.7R 4.6R 0.8R 1 .8R 3.9 -1.1 -0.6 -5.4R 11.4 10.7 8.9 8.OR 0.3 10.5 -4.OP -7.3P 1981 CHANGE I II III IV 1 .1R 3.4R 3.2R -1 .4R O.OR 4.6R 5.4R -2.2R ANNUAL 1 .7R 2.OR -2.6P -6.1P 1982 SEE FOOTNOTES R=REVISED P=PRELIMINARY 10.6R 8.6R 6.4R 20.1R 8.7R 11.4P 16.OP 7.9P -11.OP PERCENT 0.0 3.5 -2.7 0.1 2.OR I RATEC5) 0.2R -14.9R 1982 AT ANNUAL FROM CORRESPONDING QUARTER OF PREVIOUS Y£AR(6) -1.0 1.1 2.1 -0.9R 11.7 10.5 9.8 9.8R 0.4 0.7 -0.9 0.2 10.5R 6.9R 6.4R 11.3R 0.3 10.5 0.1 8.7R -3.7P 9.8P 2.2P 12.6P FOLLOWING TA3LE 6, APRIL 29/ 1982 SOURCE: BUREAU OF -LABOR STATISTICS F O O T N O T E S / T A 3 L E S 1-6 S O U R C E : O U T P U T DATA FROM B U R E A U OF E C O N O M I C A N A L Y S I S / U . S . D E P A R T M E N T OF C O M M E R C E / AND THE F E D E R A L R E S E R V E B O A R D . C O M P E N S A T I O N A N D H O U R S DATA FROM THE B U R E A U OF L A B O R S T A T I S T I C S / U . S . D E P A R T M E N T OF LABOR/ AND T H E 8 U R E A U OF E C O N O M I C A N A L Y S I S . R E L I A B I L I T Y : B A S E D ON DATA C O V E R I N G T H E P E R I O D FROM T H E FIRST Q U A R T E R OF 1 9 7 6 TO T H E F I R S T Q U A R T E R OF 1 9 8 1 / T H E P R O B A B I L I T Y IS 0.95 T H A T T H E I N T E R V A L B E T W E E N - 2 . 0 AND 2.4 INDEX P O I N T S C O N T A I N S T H E R E V I S I O N OF T H E INDEX OF P R O D U C T I V I T Y IN T H E P R I V A T E B U S I N E S S S E C T O R FROM T H E F I R S T TC THE T H I R D G U A R T E R L Y P U B L I C A T I O N OF THE E S T I M A T E . (1) W A G E S AND S A L A R I E S OF E M P L O Y E E S PLUS E M P L O Y E R S ' C O N T R I B U T I O N S FOR S O C I A L I N S U R A N C E AND P R I V A T E B E N E F I T P L A N S . E X C E P T FOR N O N F I N A N C I A L C O R P O R A T I O N S / W H E R E T H E R E A R E NO S E L F - E M P L O Y E D / DATA A L S O I N C L U D E AN E S T I M A T E OF W A G E S / S A L A R I E S / AND S U P P L E M E N T A L P A Y M E N T S FOR T H E S E L F - E M P L O Y E D . (2) C O M P E N S A T I O N PER HOUR A D J U S T E D FOR C H A N G E S IN T H E C O N S U M E R P R I C E I N D E X FOR A L L URBAN C O N S U M E R S . (3) N O N L A B O R P A Y M E N T S I N C L U D E P R O F I T S / D E P R E C I A T I O N / I N T E R E S T / R E N T A L I N C O M E / AND I N D I R E C T T A X E S . (4) C U R R E N T D O L L A R G R O S S P R O D U C T D I V I D E D BY C O N S T A N T D O L L A R G R O S S (5) P E R C E N T C H A N G E C O M P O U N D E D AT A N N U A L RATE FROM T H E O R I G I N A L DATA R A T H E R T H A N INDEX N U M B E R S . (6) C U R R E N T Q U A R T E R D I V I D E D BY C O M P A R A B L E Q U A R T E R A YEAR A G O . (7) Q U A R T E R L Y M E A S U R E S A D J U S T E D TO A N N U A L E S T I M A T E S OF O U T P U T (GROSS P R O D U C T O R I G I N A T I N G ) FROM T H E B U R E A U OF E C O N O M I C U . S . D E P A R T M E N T OF C O M M E R C E . (8) UNIT N O N L A B O R C O S T I N C L U D E S D E P R E C I A T I O N , I N T E R E S T / AND I N D I R E C T T A X E S . (9) TOTAL UNIT C O S T IS T H E SUM OF L A B O R AND N O N L A B O R PRODUCT. ANALYSIS/ COSTS. ( 1 0 ) U N I T P R O F I T S I N C L U D E C O R P O R A T E P R O F I T AND I N V E N T O R Y V A L U A T I O N ADJUSTMENT. ( 1 1 ) THE D U R A B L E S E C T O R I N C L U D E S THE F O L L O W I N G 2 - D I G I T SIC I N D U S T R I E S : P R I M A R Y M E T A L ; F A B R I C A T E D M E T A L P R O D U C T S ; N O N E L E C T R I C A L MACHINERY; ELECTRICAL MACHINERY; TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT; INSTRUMENTS; LUMBER AND LUMBER PRODUCTS; FURNITURE AND FIXTURES; STONE/ CLAY/ & GLASS PRODUCTS; AND MISCELLANEOUS MANUFACTURES. (12) THE N O N D U R A B L E SECTOR I N C L U D E S THE F O L L O W I N G 2-DIGIT SIC I N D U S T R I E S : T E X T I L E M I L L PRODUCTS/' A P P A R E L P R O D U C T S / * L E A T H E R A N D L E A T H E R P R O D U C T S ; P R I N T I N G A N D P U B L I S H I N G / ' C H E M I C A L S A N D C H E M I C A L P R O D U C T S ; P E T R O L E U M PRODUCTS/" R U B B E R A N D P L A S T I C PRODUCTS; FOODS; AND TOBACCO PRODUCTS. (13) SCHEDULING OF T H E RELEASE OF T H E N E W CONSUMER PRICE INDEX FOR A L L URBAN CONSUMERS (CPI-U) PRECLUDES T H E U S E OF REAL HOURLY COMPENSATION (HOURLY COMPENSATION ADJUSTED FOR GUARTERLY CHANGES IN T H E CPI-U) WITH PRELIMINARY PRODUCTIVITY A N D COST MEASURES. THESE WILL 8 E P U B L I S H E D T O G E T H E R WITH REVISED OUTPUT A N D LABOR INPUT MEASURES WITH T H E N E X T R E G U L A R E D I T I O N OF PRODUCTIVITY AND COSTS/ APPROXIMATELY 3 0 DAYS AFTER T H E PRELIMINARY MEASURES. * * * * * * * T H E P R O D U C T I V I T Y A N D A S S O C I A T E D COST M E A S U R E S IN T H I S P R E S S R E L E A S E D E S C R I B E T H E R E L A T I O N S H I P B E T W E E N O U T P U T IN REAL TERMS A N D T H E LABOR TIME INVOLVED IN I T S P R O D U C T I O N . THEY SHOW T H E C H A N G E S FROM P E R I O D T O P E R I O D IN T H E A M O U N T O F L A B O R TIME R E Q U I R E D T O P R O D U C E A U N I T OF O U T P U T . A L T H O U G H T H E S E M E A S U R E S R E L A T E O U T P U T TO H O U R S OF A L L P E R S O N S E N G A G E D IN A S E C T O R / T H E Y D O N O T M E A S U R E T H E S P E C I F I C C O N T R I B U T I O N S 0 P L A B O R / C A P I T A L / OR A N Y OTHER FACTOR OF P R O D U C T I O N . RATHER/ THEY R E F L E C T T H E J O I N T E F F E C T S OF MANY I N F L U E N C E S / I N C L U D I N G C H A N G E S IN T E C H N O L O G Y ; CAPITAL I N V E S T M E N T ; L E V E L OF O U T P U T ; U T I L I Z A T I O N OF C A P A C I T Y ; E N E R G Y AND M A T E R I A L S ; T H E O R G A N I Z A T I O N * * • * • * * APPENDIX TA3L6 A. MANUFACTURING SECTOR: PRODUCTIVITY, HOURLY COMPENSATION, UNIT LABOR COST/ SEASONALLY ADJUSTED YEAR AND QUARTER OUTPUT PER HOUR OF ALL PERSONS OUTPUT HOURS OF ALL PERSONS (7) INDEXES 1979 I II III IV ANNUAL 1980 I II III IV ANNUAL 1930 107.7 106.1 106.4 106.0 114.5 118.6 119.8 122.3 100.2 100.7 98.5 97.2 112.9 115.9 117.5 119.8 102.0 108.6 106.5 118.8 99.2 116.5 102.1 100.5 100.7 103.1 1C8.1 101.7 99.9 104.9 105.8 100.9 99.2 101.8 125.4 130.0 133.9 137.3 96.0 96.5 97.5 97.0 122.8 129.0 133.0 133.2 101.7 103.6 101.9 131.6 96.8 129.4 CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER AT ANNUAL RATEC5) I II III IV 'Z.2 3.5 -1.2 0.4 3.5 -2.6 -0.1 -0.8 5.8 -5.9 1.2 -1.3 11.3 15.0 4.2 3.4 0.8 2.3 13.7 11.1 -8.5 -5.1 5.6 8.0 ANNUAL 1.1 3.1 2.0 9.8 -1.3 8.6 I II III IV -0.1 -4.9 -0.3 9.8 -0.3 -21 .6 -6.3 21.8 -0.7 -17.6 -6.6 11.0 10.5 15.5 12.7 10.5 -5.1 2.1 4.6 10.7 21.5 13.0 -2.2 0.6 ANNUAL -0.3 -4.6 -4.4 10.7 -2.5 11.0 I II III IV ANNUAL 1980 1977=1 00 109.3 108.5 108.5 108.3 °E3C.ENT CHANGE 1979 UNIT LABOR COST 101.4 102.3 102.0 102.1 PERCENT 1979 REAL COMPENSATION PER H0URC2) COMPENSATION PER H0URC1) I II III IV SEE FOOTNOTES R=REVISED P=PRELIMINARY FOLLOWING QUARTER OF PREVIOUS YEARC6) 9.8 9.7 1.0 0.3 1.7 2.7 6.6 9.1 9.5 9.5 2.0 9.8 1.3 8.6 -1.7 -4.9 -6.3 -4.0 9.5 9.6 1.0 -1 .1 -6.3 -7.9 -3.1 11.8 12.3 4.2 4.2 1.0 0.2 8.8 11.3 13.2 11.2 -0.3 -4.6 -4.4 10.7 -2.5 11.0 2.0 1.7 0.3 0.1 7.2 3.7 1.8 0.0 -0.1 1 .1 3.1 0.6 -1 .5 -1 .3 ANNUAL FROM CORRESPONDING TABLE 5.1 2.0 1.5 8.7 11.0 6. APRIL 29/ 1932 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS APPENDIX TABLE 3. DURABLE MANUFACTURING SECTOR: PRODUCTIVITY/ HOURLY COMPENSATION/ UNIT LA30R COST/ SEASONALLY ADJUSTEDC11) YEAR AND QUARTER OUTPUT PER HOUR OF ALL PERSONS OUTPUT HOURS CF ALL PERSONS (7) INDEXES 1979 I II III IV ANNUAL 1980 I II III IV ANNUAL 1980 110.S 108.6 109.3 108.7 114.1 118.4 119.3 121.5 99.8 100.6 98.,1 96.6 113.3 116.6 119.2 121.1 100.7 110.2 109.3 118.4 98.8 117.5 100.0 99.0 98.4 101.0 1C8.5 100.8 98.0 104.1 108.4 101.8 99.7 103.0 125.2 130.0 134.2 137.8 95.8 96.5 97.7 97.4 125.1 131.3 136.4 136.4 99.7 102.9 103.2 131.7 96.9 132.1 CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER AT ANNUAL -4.4 2.7 7.4 3.4 -7.8 0.9 -4.6 -2.9 -1.4 -2.3 ANNUAL -0.2 2.S I II III IV -1.4 -3-8 -2.8 11.3 ANNUAL -1.1 ANNUAL 1980 1977=100 I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV ANNUAL SEE FOOTNOTES FOLLOWING UNIT LABOR COST 111.6 110.3 1C9.5 109.1 -5.5 11.3 16.1 RATEC5) 3.1 7.5 0.8 3.3 -9.5 -5.9 16.5 12.3 9.1 6.5 3.0 9.8 -1.3 10.1 -2.4 -25.4 -10.5 26.9 -1 .0 -22.4 -8.0 14.1 12.5 16.5 13.4 11.2 -3.4 3.0 5.2 -1.4 14.1 21.1 16.6 0.0 -6.6 -5.6 11.3 -2.0 12.5 PERCENT CHANGE 1979 REAL COMPENSATION PER H0UR<2) 100.7 101.6 100.1 100.4 PERCENT 1979 COMPENSATION PER HCURC1) 2.7 FROM CORRESPONDING QUARTER OF PREVIOUS YEARC6) 1.4 0.5 -1.6 -1.5 S.7 3.8 0.7 -1 .6 7.3 3.3 2.4 -0.1 8.7 11.3 9.9 9.4 1.0 0.6 1.6 3.0 7.2 10.7 11.8 11.0 -0.2 2.8 3.0 9.8 1.3 10.1 -0.7 -2.5 -1.8 0.6 -2.8 -8.6 -10.5 -4.6 -2.2 -6.3 -8.8 -5.2 9.7 9.8 12.4 13.4 4.0 4.1 0.4 0.8 10.5 12.6 14.5 12.7 -1.1 -6.6 -5.6 11.3 -2.0 12.5 TA3LE 6. APPENDIX ? € * * AfiO QUARTER T A 9 L E C» N O N D U R A B L E M A N U F A C T U R I N G S E C T O R : COMPENSATION/* UNIT LA30R C O S T / S E A S O N A L L Y OUTPUT *>£R HOUR OF ALL PERSONS OUTPUT (7) HOURS OF ALL PERSONS INDEXES 1979 1980 1980 COMPENSATION PER HCURd ) HOURLY REAL COMPENSATION PER H0URC2) UNIT LABOR COST 1977=100 I II III IV 102.6 103.5 105.0 104.9 105.7 105.8 107.0 107.0 103.0 102.2 101.9 102.0 114.5 118.2 119.9 122.9 100.1 100.3 98.5 97.7 111.5 114.1 114.2 117.2 ANNUAL 104.0 106.4 102.3 118.8 99.2 114.3 I II III IV 105.4 103.5 104.3 106.3 107.4 102.9 102.6 106.2 102.0 99.5 98.4 99.9 125.0 129.6 133.3 136.0 95.7 96.2 97.1 96.1 118.7 125.3 127.8 127.9 ANNUAL 104.9 1C4.8 99.9 130.9 96.3 124.8 PERCENT CHANGE 1979 PRODUCTIVITY/ ADJUSTEDC12) FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER AT ANNUAL 1 .5 3.5 5.8 -0.3 4.8 0.6 4.4 0.1 3.3 -2.8 ANNUAL 3.2 I II III IV I II III IV RATEC5V 0.4 10.7 13.5 6.0 10.6 0.3 0.9 -7.0 -3.2 9.1 9.6 0.2 10.9 3.6 0.4 9.4 -1.7 6.0 1.8 -7 0 3.2 7.9 1.5 -15.7 -1 .2 14.9 -0.3 -9.4 -4.3 6.4 7.0 15.6 11.9 8.2' -8.2 2.2 3.8 -4.2 5.1 24.2 8.4 0.2 0.9 -1 .5 -2.4 10.2 -2.9 9.2 •1.3 i ANNUAL PERCENT 1979 1980 CHANGE FROM CORRESPONDING QUARTER OF PREVIOUS YEARC6) II III IV 3.1 3.6 3.4 2.6 5.0 3.5 3.5 2.4 1.8 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 8.2 10.0 9.4 10.1 1.5 0.6 2.1 2.3 5.0 6.2 5.8 7.4 ANNUAL 3.2 3.6 0.4 9.4 1.7 6.0 I II III IV 2.7 0.0 •0.6 1.4 1.6 -2.8 -4.1 -0.7 -1.0 -2.7 -3.5 -2.1 9.2 9.7 11.2 10.6 4.4 4.1 1.5 1.7 6.4 9.7 11.9 9.1 ANNUAL 0.9 -1.5 -2.4 10.2 -2.9 9.2 SEE FOOTNOTES FOLLOWING R=REVISED P=PRELIMINARY TABLE 6. APRIL 29, 1982