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News Bureau of Labor Statistics United States Department of Labor Washington, D.C. 20212 Historical, technical information: (202) 523-9261 Current data : (202) 523-1221 or 1208 Media contact: (202) 523-1913 USDL 88-224 For Release: 10:00 AM EDT Monday, May 2, 1988 PRODUCTIVITY AND COSTS First Quarter 1988 The Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor today reported productivity results —as measured by output per hour of all persons-for the f i r s t quarter of 1988. Based on preliminary data, the seasonally adjusted annual rates of productivity change in the f i r s t quarter were: 0.8 percent in the business sector, 0.9 percent in the nonfarm business sector, 2.9 percent in manufacturing, 2.6 percent in durable goods manufacturing, and 3.7 percent in nondurable goods manufacturing. First-quarter measures are summarized in table A and appear in detail in tables 1 through 5, Productivity rose in a l l sectors in the f i r s t quarter, but gains were strongest in manufacturing. Business Productivity increased at a 0.8 percent annual rate during the first quarter of 1988 in the business sector, as output rose 2.5 percent and hours of all persons engaged in the sector increased 1.7 percent (seasonally adjusted annual rates). During the fourth quarter of 1987, productivity had declined 1.5 percent, as output grew 4.0 percent and hours increased 5.6 percent (table 1). Compared with the first quarter of 1987, productivity rose 1.3 percent. Hourly compensation increased 3.5 percent during the first quarter of 1988, compared with a 3.2 percent rise In the fourth quarter of 1987. This measure includes wages and salaries, supplements, employer contributions to employeebenefit plans, and taxes. Unit labor costs, which reflect changes in hourly compensation and productivity, Increased at a 2.7 percent annual rate during the first quarter, compared with a 4.7 percent increase in the fourth quarter of last year. Real hourly compensation, which takes into account changes In the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPl-U), Increased at a 0.1 percent annual rate in the first quarter, compared with a 0.5 percent decline in the fourth quarter of 1987. No Increases were recorded in this measure in 1987. - 2 - Table A. Productivity and costs: Preliminary f i r s t quarter 1988 measures (Seasonally adjusted annual rates) Sector Productivity Output Hours Hourly compensation Real hourly compensation Unit labor costs 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.5 -1.0 2.7 2.4 1.0 2.3 -1.3 Percent change from preceding quarter Business Nonfarm business Manufacturing Durable Nondurable 0.8 0.9 2.9 2.6 3.7 2.5 2.7 4.3 3.1 6.5 1.7 1.7 1.3 0.4 2.6 3.5 3.4 3.9 5.0 2.4 Percent change from same quarter a year ago Business Nonfarm business Manufacturing Durable Nondurable 1.3 1.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.9 4.1 6.0 5.7 6.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.2 3.0 3.4 3.4 2.3 2.5 2.2 -0.5 -0.5 -1.6 -1.4 -1.7 2.1 2.0 -1.1 -0.9 > -1.3 The implicit price deflator for the business sector, which reflects changes in unit labor costs and unit nonlabor payments, increased a modest 1.2 percent in the f i r s t quarter. Nonfarm business Productivity increased 0.9 percent in the nonfarm business sector during the f i r s t quarter of 1988, as output rose 2.7 percent and hours of all persons increased 1.7 percent. As in the more comprehensive business sector reported above, the first-quarter Increase in productivity followed a quarter of decline. (During the fourth quarter of 1987, productivity f e l l 1.0 percent in this sector (table 2}.) Over the past 4 quarters, productivity increased 1.4 percent. Hourly compensation increased 3.4 percent in the f i r s t quarter, but was unchanged when the rise in the CPNU was taken Into account. Unit labor costs rose 2.4 percent, compared with a 4*.5 percent rise during the fourth quarter of 1987. The implicit price deflator for the nonfarm business sector rose 1.1 percent in the f i r s t quarter, compared with a 1.9 percent rise one quarter earlier. - 3 - Manufacturing Productivity increased at a 2.9 percent seasonally adjusted annual rate in manufacturing in the first quarter of 1988, as output rose 4.3 percent and hours of all persons increased 1.3 percent (seasonally adjusted annual rates). Manufacturing productivity increased 3.4 percent between the first quarters of 1987 and 1988. As in the business sector, manufacturing productivity growth was greater in the first quarter of 1988 than in the fourth quarter of 1987 (table 3). Productivity, output, and hours of labor input all advanced faster in the nondurable goods industries than in durable goods (tables 4 and 5). While output increased in both subsectors, the increase in. hours occurred mainly in nondurables. Hourly compensation of all manufacturing workers increased 3.9 percent during the first quarter, with faster gains recorded for producers of durable goods than of nondurables. Real hourly compensation for the whole sector rose 0.5 percent when the increase in consumer prices was taken into account. Unit labor costs increased at a 1.0 percent annual rate, compared with a 1.4 percent increase during the fourth quarter of 1987. Fourth quarter measures for nonfinancial corporations Fourth-quarter 1987 measures of productivity and costs also were announced today for the nonfinancial corporate sector, together with revised annual movements (tables B and C ) . Output per all-employee hour declined 1.0 percent from the third to the fourth quarter of 1987, as output increased 3.5 percent and all-employee hours increased 4.6 percent (seasonally adjusted annual rates). Productivity declined for the first and last quarters of 1987, but rose, during the second and third quarters (table 6 ) . Table B. Productivity and costs for nonfinancial corporations: Fourth quarter 1987 (Seasonally adjusted annual rates) Period Real Hourly hourly Produccompen- compentivity Output Hours sation sation 1987 IV -1.0 1987 IV 0.0 Unit Implicit labor Unit price costs profits deflator Percent change from preceding quarter 3.5 4.6 3.3 -0.4 4.3 -13.4 1.7 Percent change from preceding year 3.4 3.4 2.1 -2.3 2.1 2.7 7.3 ~ 4 - Table C. Nonfinancial corporations: in productivity and related measures (Percent change) Measure Previous Revised Productivity Output 0.4 0.3 2.7 2.6 Hours 2.3 2.3 Previous and revised 1987 annual change Hourly compensation 2.1 2.1 Real hourly compensation -1.5 -1.5 Unit labor costs Unit profits Implicit price deflator 1.7 1.8 6.5 5.2 2.3 2.3 Hourly compensation increased 3,3 percent in the fourth quarter, but declined 0.4 percent when the rise in the CPI-U was taken into account. (Real hourly compensation declined in all quarters of 1987.) Unit labor costs rose 4.3 percent, unit nonlabor costs increased 1.6 percent, and unit profits f e l l at a 13.4 percent annual rate. The implicit deflator for nonfinancial corporate output rose 1.7 percent during the fourth quarter. Next release date The next release of Productivity and Costs is scheduled for 10:00 AM EOT, Monday, June 6, 1988, Released at that time w i l l be first-quarter measures for nonfinancial corporations and revised measures for business, nonfarm business, and manufacturing. - 5 - TECHNICAL NOTES Business sector output is equal to gross national product in constant 1982 dollars, less the rest-of-the-worid sector, general government, output of nonprofit institutions, output of paid employees of private households, rental value of owner-occupied dwellings, and the statistical, discrepancy in computing the national income accounts. Corresponding exclusions are also made in labor inputs. Business output accounted for 80 percent of gross national product in 1987. The nonfarm business sector, which also excludes farming, accounted for about 78 percent of gross national product in 1987. Total manufacturing measures are computed by summing series prepared for the durable and nondurables goods sectors. The durable sector includes the following 2-digit SIC industries: Primary metals; fabricated metal products; nonelectrical machinery; electrical machinery; transportation equipment; instruments; lumber and lumber products; furniture and fixtures; stone, clay, and glass products; and miscellaneous manufactures. The nondurable sector includes these 2-digit SIC industries: Textile mill products, apparel products, leather and leather products, printing and publishing, chemical and chemical products, petroleum products, rubber and plastic products, food, and tobacco products. Manufacturing output accounted for about 22 percent of gross national product in 1987. Nonfinancial corporate output is equal to gross national product in constant 1982 dollars, less the rest-of-the-world sector, general government, unincorporated business, output of nonprofit institutions, output of paid employees of private households, rental value of owner-occupied dwellings, the output of corporations engaged in banking, finance, stock and commodity trading, and credit and insurance agencies, and the statistical discrepancy in computing the national income accounts. Nonfinancial corporate output accounted for about 59 percent of gross national product in 1987. The productivity and associated cost measures in this news release describe the relationship between output in real terms and the labor time involved in its production. They show the changes from period to period in the amount of goods and services produced per hour. Although these measures relate output to hours of all persons engaged in a sector, they do not measure the specific contribution of labor, capital, or any other factor of production. Rather, they reflect the joint effects of many influences, including changes in technology; capital investment; level of output; utilization of capacity, energy, and materials; the organization of production; mangerial skill; and the characteristics and effort of the work force. - 6 Table 1 . Business sector: Productivity, hourly compensation, unit labor cost, and prices, seasonally adjusted Year and quarter Output per hour of all persons Output Hours of all persons Compensation per hour(l) Real compensation per hour(2) Unit labor cost Unit nonlabor payments^) Implicit price deflator(4) Indexes 1977=100 1987 I II III IV 109.7 110.1 111.3 rll0.9 130.2 131.1 133.1 rl34.4 118.7 119.1 119.6 121.2 185.8 187.3 189.1 rl90.6 100.7 100.3 100.3 100.2 169.4 170.2 169.8 rl71.8 166.0 168.6 172.2 rl70.8 168.2 169.6 170.7 rl71.4 ANNUAL rll0.5 rl32.2 119.7 188.2 100.4 rl70.3 rl69.4 170.0 111.1 135.3 121.7 192.2 100.2 173.0 170.2 172.0 I 1988 Percent change from previous quarter at annual i-ate(5) 1987 I II III IV 0.5 1.4 4.7 r-1.5 3.5 3.0 6.3 r4.0 3.0 1.6 1.5 5.6 1.4 3.3 3.8 r3.2 -3.8 -1.5 0.0 -0.5 0.9 1.8 -0.9 r4.7 9.0 6.4 8.8 r-3.2 3.7 3.4 2.5 rl.8 ANNUAL r0.9 r3.3 2.4 2.9 -0.7 r2.0 r3.4 2.5 0.8 2.5 1.7 3.5 0.1 2.7 -1.4 1.2 I 1988 Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 1987 I II III IV 0.2 0.4 1.6 rl.3 2.3 2.8 3.9 r4.2 2.1 2.5 2.3 2.9 2.8 2.8 3.0 2.9 0.6 -1.0 -1.1 -1.5 2.7 2.4 1.4 rl.6 1.8 2.8 3.9 r5.1 2.3 2.6 2.3 r2.8 ANNUAL r0.9 r3.3 2.4 2.9 -0.7 r2.0 r3.4 2.5 1.3 3.9 2.6 3.4 -0.5 2.1 2.5 2.2 1988 I See footnotes following table 6, r= revised May 2, 1988 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics - 7 Table 2. Nonfarm business sector: Productivity, hourly compensation, unit labor cost, and prices, seasonally adjusted Year and quarter Output per hour of all persons Output Hours of all persons Compensation per hour(l) Real compensation per hour(2) Unit labor cost Unit nonlabor payments^) Implicit price def1ator(4) Indexes 1977=100 1987 1988 I II III IV 107.6 108.0 109.1 T108.8 129.7 130.7 132.7 rl34.1 120.6 121.1 121.7 123.2 184.9 186.3 187.9 189.5 100.2 99.7 99.7 99.6 171.8 172.5 172.2 rl74.1 167.4 169.2 173.0 rl71.8 170.3 171.4 172.5 173.3 ANNUAL rlO8.4 rl31.8 121.6 187.1 99.8 rl72.7 rl70.4 171.9 109.1 135.0 123.7 191.1 99.7 175.2 171.3 173.8 I Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate(5) 1987 1988 I II III IV 0,4 1.4 4.2 r-1.0 3.8 3.2 6.3 r4.2 3.4 1.7 2.0 r5.2 1.1 3.0 3.6 r3.5 -4.1 -1.8 -0.3 r-0.1 0.8 1.5 -0.6 r4.5 8.8 4.6 9.3 r-2.7 3.4 2.6 2.7 1.9 ANNUAL r0.8 r3.4 2.6 2.8 -0.8 r2.0 r3.1 2.4 0.9 2.7 1.7 3.4 0.0 2.4 -1.3 1.1 I Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 1987 1988 I II III IV -0.1 0.3 1.5 rl.3 2.2 2.9 4.0 r4.4 2.3 2.6 2.5 3.1 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.8 0.4 -1.1 -1.2 -1.6 2.8 2.4 1.4 rl.5 1.6 2.4 3*6 r4.9 2.4 2.4 2.2 r2.7 ANNUAL r0.8 r3.4 2.6 2.8 -0.8 r2.0 r3.1 2.4 1.4 4.1 2.6 3.4 -0.5 2.0 2.3 2.1 I See footnotes following table 6. r=revised May 2, 1988 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 8 - Table 3, Manufacturing sector: Productivity, hourly compensation, and unit labor cost, seasonally adjusted Year and quarter Output per hour of all persons Output (6) Hours of all persons Compensation per hour(l) Real compensation per hour(2) Unit labor cost Indexes 1977=100 1987 1988 I II III IV 130.8 132.9 134.1 rl34.3 128.4 129.9 132.3 rl34.7 98.1 97.7 98.7 100.3 183.9 184.8 185.4 186.3 99.6 98.9 98.3 r97.9 140.5 139.0 138.2 rl38.7 ANNUAL rl33.1 131.3 98.7 185.1 98.7 139.1 I 135.3 136.1 100.6 188.1 98.1 139.0 Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate(5) 1987 1988 II III IV 3.2 6.4 3.7 r0.7 4.0 4.7 7.6 r7.5 0.8 -1.6 3.8 r6.7 -1.0 2.0 1.3 2.1 -6.1 -2.7 -2.4 -1.5 -4.1 -4.2 -2.3 rl.4 ANNUAL 3.3 4.3 rl.O 1.3 -2.2 -1.9 I 2.9 4.3 1.3 3.9 0.5 1.0 I Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 1987 1988 II III IV 2.5 3.5 3.7 r3.5 2.5 3.7 5.0 r5.9 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.4 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.1 -0.7 -2.3 -2.9 -3.2 -1.0 -2.0 -2.4 r-2.3 ANNUAL 3.3 4.3 rl.O 1.3 -2.2 -1.9 I 3.4 6.0 2.5 2.3 -1.6 -1.1 I See footnotes following table 6. r=revised May 2, 1988 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Table 4. Durable manufacturing sector: Productivity, hourly compensation, and unit labor cost, seasonally adjusted Year and quarter Output per hour of all persons Output (6) Hours of all persons Compensation per hour(l) Real compensation per hour(2) Unit labor cost Indexes 1977=100 1987 1988 I II III IV 139.9 141.7 143.0 rl43.8 136.9 137.8 140.1 rl43.6 97.8 97.2 98.0 r99.8 182.2 182.9 183.4 184.4 98.7 98.0 97.3 97.0 130.2 129.1 128.3 rl28.3 ANNUAL 142.1 139.6 98.2 183.3 97.8 129.0 I 144.7 144.6 100.0 186.7- 97.3 129.0 Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate(5) 1987 1988 I II III IV 4.5 5.3 3.6 r2.3 4.5 2.8 7.0 rlO.l 0.0 -2.4 3.3 7.7 -1.9 1.6 1.1 2.2 -6.9 -3.1 -2.6 -1.4 -6.1 -3.5 -2.4 r-0.1 ANNUAL 3.9 4.1 0.2 rl.O -2.5 -2.7 I 2.6 3.1 0.4 5.0 1.5 2.3 Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 1987 1988 I II III IV 3.4 4.2 4.0 r3.9 2.4 3.4 4.5 r6.1 -0.9 -0.7 0.5 2.1 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.7 -1.0 -2.5 -3.0 -3.5 -2.1 -2.9 -2.8 r-3.1 ANNUAL 3.9 4.1 0.2 rl.O -2.5 -2.7 I 3.4 5.7 2.2 2.5 -1.4 -0.9 See footnotes following table 6. r=revised May 2, 1988 Source : Bureau of Labor Statistics 10 - Table 5. Nondurable manufacturing sector: Productivity, hourly compensation, and unit labor cost, seasonally adjusted Year and quarter Output per hour of all persons Output (6) Hours of all persons Compensation per hour(l) Real compensation per hour(2) Unit labor cost Indexes 1977=100 1987 1988 I II III IV 117.4 119.9 121.1 rl20.4 115.8 118.1 120.6 rl21.5 98.6 98.5 99.6 100.9 186.9 188.2 189.0 189.8 101.3 100.8 100.3 99.8 159.1 156.9 156.1 rl57.6 ANNUAL 119.7 rll9.0 99.4 188.4 100.5 rl57.4 I 121.5 123.4 101.6 190.9 99.5 157.1 Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate(5) 1987 1988 I II III IV 1.1 8.7 3.9 r-2.3 3.1 8.2 8.8 r3.0 1.9 -0.5 4.7 5.4 0.7 2.8 1.7 rl.6 -4.5 -1.9 -2.0 -1.9 -0.5 -5.4 -2.1 r4.0 ANNUAL 2.5 4.6 2.0 2.0 -1.6 -0.5 I 3.7 6.5 2.6 2.4 -1.0 -1.3 Percent changej from corresponding quarter of previous year 1987 1988 I II III IV 1.3 2.5 3.5 r2.8 2.7 4.1 5.9 r5.7 1.4 1.6 2.3 r2.9 2.3 2.1 1.7 1.7 0.0 -1.7 -2.4 -2.6 1.0 -0.4 -1.7 r-1.0 ANNUAL 2.5 4.6 2.0 2.0 -1.6 -0.5 3.4 6.6 3.0 2.2 -1.7 -1.3 I See footnotes following table 6. r3revised May 2, 1988 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics - 11 Table 6. Nonfinancial corporations: Product!vity, hourly compensation, unit labor cost, unit profits, and prices, seasonally adjusted Year and quarter Output per ailemployee hour Eimployee Output hours Hourly Real compensa- hourly compention sation^) (1) Unit labor cost Unit nonlabor cost(7) Unit profits (9) Total unit cost (8) Implicit price deflator (4) Indexes 1977=100 19,% 1%7 I II III IV 109.8 109.7 109.9 110.5 129.1 128.8 129.3 130.4 117.6 117.4 117.6 118.0 177.2 178.4 179.5 181.0 98.2 99.2 99.2 99.4 161.5 162.6 163.2 163.8 180.7 180.6 184.2 183.2 166.3 167.2 168.5 168.7 129.7 129.5 130.6 127.7 161.9 162.7 164,0 163.8 ANNUAL 109.9 129.4 117.7 178.9 98.9 162.8 182.2 167.7 129.3 163.1 I II III IV 109.7 109.9 110.8 110.5 130.9 131.6 133.7 134.8 119.3 119.8 120.6 122.0 180.8 182.0 183.3 184.8 98.0 97.5 97.2 97.1 164.8 165.6 165.5 167.2 184.1 186.6 187.3 188.0 169.7 170.9 171.0 172.5 132.2 132.9 142.1 137.0 165.2 166.3 167.5 168.2 ANNUAL rll0.2 rl32.7 120.5 182.7 97.5 r!65.8 rl86.5 rl71.0 rl36.1 166.8 Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate(5) 1986 19*7 I II III IV 3.3 -0.2 0.9 2.1 4.4 -0.9 1.6 3.4 1.0 -0.6 0.7 1.3 3.5 2.6 2.5 3.5 1.8 4.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 2.9 1.5 1.3 3.0 -0.2 8.2 -2.3 0.9 2.0 3.3 0.3 3.0 -0.5 3.3 -8.5 1.1 1.8 3.3 -0.5 ANNUAL 1.6 2.6 1.0 3.5 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.0 -3.4 1.5 I II III IV -2.9 0.7 3.3 -1.0 1.5 2.2 6.4 3.5 4.6 1.6 3.0 4.6 -0.5 2.6 2.9 3.3 -5.6 -2.1 -0.9 -0.4 2.5 2.0 -0.4 4.3 2.2 5.4 1.5 1.6 2.4 2.9 0.1 3.6 14.7 2.1 30.7 -13.4 3.5 2.8 2.8 1.7 ANNUAL r0.3 r2.6 2.3 2.1 -1.5 rl.8 r2.4 r2.0 r5.2 2.3 Percent: change from corresponding quarter of previous year 1936 1987 I II III IV 2.6 1.8 0.7 1.5 4.1 2.7 1.5 2.1 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.6 4.3 3.9 3.3 3.0 1.2 2.2 1.6 1.7 1.6 2.0 2.6 1.5 1.8 1.0 3.8 2.1 1.7 1.7 2.9 1.6 -1.7 -2.1 -8.4 -0.8 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.4 ANNUAL 1.6 2.6 1.0 3.5 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.0 -3.4 1.5 I II III IV 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.0 1.4 2.2 3.4 3.4 1.5 2.0 2.6 3.4 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 -0.2 -1.7 -2.0 -2.3 2.1 1.8 1.3 2.1 1.9 3.3 1.7 2.7 2.0 2.2 1.4 2.2 1.9 2.6 8.8 7.3 2.0 2.3 2.1 2.7 ANNUAL r0.3 r2.6 2.3 2.1 -1.5 rl.8 r2.4 r2.0 r5.2 2.3 See footnotes following r=revised table 6. May 2, 1988 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics - 12 - SOURCE: Output data from Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, and the Federal Reserve Board. Compensation and hours data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor, and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. RELIABILITY: Productivity and cost measures are regularly revised as more complete information becomes available. The measures are first published 30 days after the close of the reference period; revisions appear 30 days later, and second revisions after an additional 60 days. In the business sector, the probability is 0.95 that the third publication (second revision) of a quarterly index of output per hour of all persons will differ from the initial value by between -2.0 and +2.0 index points. This interval is based on the performance of this measure between the first quarter of 1976 and the second quarter of 1987. Footnotes, Tables 1*6 (1) Wages and salaries of the employees plus employers1 contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. Except for nonfinancial corporations, where there are no self-employed, data also include an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the selfemployed. (2) Compensation per hour adjusted for changes in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers. (3) Unit nonlabor payments include profits, capital consumption allowances, interest, rental income of persons, and indirect taxes. (4) Current dollar gross product divided by constant dollar gross product. (5) Quarterly changes: percent change compounded at annual rate from the original data rather than index numbers. Annual changes: percent change between annual average levels. (6) Quarterly manufacturing output, measures are based on the index of industrial production prepared monthly by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve adjusted by BLS to annual manufacturing output levels (gross product originating) from the National Income and Product Accounts prepared by the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the U.S. Department of Commerce. (7) Unit nonlabor cost includes capital consumption allowances, interest, rental income of persons, and indirect taxes. For nonfinancial corporations, rental income of persons is zero by definition. (8) Total unit cost is the sum of labor and nonlabor costs. (9) Unit profits include corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. *U.S. COVERNRCNT PRIMING OFFICEt 1988-202-106tB0076