Full text of Productivity and Costs : First Quarter 1987
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News Bureau of Labor Statistics United States Department of Labor Washington, D.C. 20212 Historical* technical information: (202) 523-9261 Current data : (202) 523-1221 or 1208 ;w?dia contact: (202) 523-1913 USDL 87-175 For Release:10:00 AM EOT Monday, May 4, 1987 PRQOJCTIVm MB) COSTS First Quarter 1987 The Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor today reported preliminary productivity data—as measured by output per hour of all Arsons—for the first quarter of 1987. Based on preliminary data, the seasonally-adjusted annual rates of prodQctivily change in the first quarter were: 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.6 1.2 percent percent percent percent percent in in in in in the business sector, the nonfarm business sector, manufacturing, durable goods manufacturing, and nondurable goods manufacturing. First-quarter measures are summarized in table A and appear in detail in . tables 1 through 5. Productivity rose in all sectors in the first quarter and, combined with moderate gains in hourly compensation, contributed to falling unit labor costs. Buaineaa Productivity increased at an 1.8 percent annual rate during the first quarter of 1987 in the business sector, as output rose 5.1 percent and hours of all persons engaged in the sector increased 3.2 percent (seasonally adjusted annual rates). During the fourth quarter of 1986, productivity dacUned 2.0 percent/ as output grew more slowly than hours (table 1). The Increase in output during the first three months of 1987 was the largest .since the first quarter of 1984 (when output rose at a 12.2 percent annual rate). Hourly compensation increased only 0.4 percent during the first quarter of 1987, the smallest quarterly gain in this series since the third quarter of 1960 (when it fell 1.0 percent). This measure includes wages and salaries, supplements, employer contributions to enployee-benefit plans, and taxes. Unit labor costs, which reflect changes in hourly compensation and productivity, declined at a 1.4 percent annual rate during the first quarter, the first decline in this measure in a year. During the fourth quarter of 1985, these costs rose at a 4.2 percent annual rate. Real hourly compensation, which takes into account changes in the Consumer Price Intex for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), declined at a 4.G percent annual rate in the first quarter, compared with a 0.6 percent decline in the fourth quarter of 1985. -2- Table A. Productivity and costs: Preliminary first quarter 1987 measures (Seasonally adjusted annual rates) Sector Productivity Output Hours Hourly compensation Real hourly compensation Unit labor costs PRELIMINARY Percent change from preceding quarter Business Nonfarm business Manufacturing Durable Nondurable 1.8 . 1.7 1.4 1.6 1.2 5.1 5.4 2.8 2.2 3.7 3.2 3.6 1.3 0.6 2.4 0.4 0.1 -0.9 -2.2 1.5 -4.6 -4.9 -5.9 -7.1 -3.6 -1.4 -1.6 -2.3 -3.7 -0.2 -0.4 2.1 1.7 -0.7 -0.7 -0.3 -0.4 -0.2 -0.7 0.2 Percent change from same quarter a year ago Business Nonfarm business Manufacturing Durable Nondurable 0.0 Q.I 2.0 1.7 2.7 2.4 2.8 2.1 0.8 4.3 2.5 2.7 0.1 -0.9 1.6 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.9 The implicit price deflator for the business sector, which reflects changes in unit labor costs and unit non labor payments, increased 3.0 percent in the first quarter. Honiara buaineaa Productivity increased 1.7 percent in the non farm business sector during the first quarter of 1987, as output rose 5.4 percent and hours of all persons increased 3.6 percent. As in the more comprehensive business sector repor ed above, the first-quarter increase in productivity followed 2 quarters of decline. The increase in output was the largest since the first quarter of 1984. During the fourth quarter of 1986, productivity declined 1.5 percent in this sector (table 2). Hourly compensation edged up 0.1 percent in the first quarter, but declined at a 4.9 percent annual rate when the rise in the CPI-U is taken into account. Unit labor costs declined 1.6 percent, compared with a 4.2 percent rise during tile fourth quarter of 1986. The implicit price deflator for the nonfarm business sector sect rose 3 percent in the first quarter, compared with a 0.3 percent decline one .\iar earlier. -3- Manufacturing Productivity increased;at • a 1^4 rperGentr.seasonably adjuafeed annual rate in manufacturing in the first quarter... of :11987, asw: output .rose 2.8 percent and hours of all persons increased-: 1.3 percent.(seasonaJ.Ly,;adjusted::annual rates). In contrast to the business:sectors/^manufacturingc^^ in the first quarter of 1987 than:: in; the^l Hourly compensation- of : rrBnufaet^iriiig^w0rkers:^deelined::Oi9 percent during the first quarter/ as a = rise~i in-.:nondurables;"^as^^nore ^tharv:x»f:fset by aj decline in durable goods. Real .,,. hourly;- compensations f onr the^ whote: seetor r fell 5.9 percent when the increase incransun^ripricea^ Unit labor costs declined at a 2.3 percent;: annual.:: rater compared.: with a 2.3 percent increase during the f our th: quarter o£f 1986. Both durable and nondurable^ goodsv: subseetors • experienced; productivity increases in the f irst quar±err ( tabiea• < 4 > 5 ) . WMtea: oufcpat ; increased : in ;~both subsectors/ hours of all persons- increasedi^rainly> in^•• nondttrables . Fourth quarter measures for^ Fourth-quarter 1986 measureseof"productivity;^and coats^were .also announced today for the nonfinancial corporate seeton/ together:: with revised annual movements (tables B and C). Output':per;:all.*einployeerhour; increased .1.4 percent from the third to the fourth quarter: of;.J.986> asrvoatput increased 4.1 percent and all-enployee hours increased:;.2.7 percent... la : the. first two quarters of 1986 / productivity declined; but" increases: were -recorded^ for the third and fourth quarters (table 6). Hourly compensated the fourth quarter/ but declined:: 0.3: percent:^hen:; the^rrser-in: the^CFI^O is taken into account. Unit labor rcostasrose Oi^ 3.6 percent / and unit prof i ts:~ rose^i: 2. 8£ percent.: The - inpllcit def la tor for nonfinancial corporate output;;was^unchanged^imtthe3 fourth:quarter. Table B. Nonfinancial corporations: Preliminary fourth : quarter and revised 1986 annual productivity and /cost ;meaaures Quarterly change at seasonally ad justed annual: ra tea (Percent change) Period Productivity Output Real Hourly hourly Unit Implicit compen- corapen- labor Unit price Hioura^ safeion safeionr costa-v profits def la tor 1986 III1986 IV 1.4 4.1 2.7 2^3 1985 IV1986 IV 0.2 1.7 1.5 1.9 0.6 1.7 4.2 1.7 1986 Annual 0.1 1.9 1.8 2.4 0;5 2.3 0.7 1.9 0,9 0.0 Table C. Nonf inanciai in productivity and Percent Period annual change Preliminary, 0,0 Revised 0*1 1.9 -0.5 •' The EOT Tuesday, June, 2, . quarter measures^ f 6r7businesgf n — Implicit price profits^ deflator Productivity Output-, Hpurs^ •",-...,„". . , ,. ."'<:.*• -.i^l-J. . -S .2*3* • •^...-v. ,- -i j will ;for 10:00 AN be preliminary first- -5TBCHNICAL MOTES Business sector output is equal to gross national product in constant 1982 dollars/ less the rest-of-the-world sector/ general government, output of nonprofit institutions, output of paid employees of private households/ rental value of owner-occupied dwellings, and the statistical discrepancy in computing the national income accounts* Corresponding exclusions are also made in labor inputs. Business output has accounted for about 77 percent of gross national product in recent years. Total manufacturing measures are computed by summing series prepared for the durable and nondurables goods sectors. The durable sector includes the following 2-digit SIC industries: Primary metals; fabricated metal products; nonelectrical machinery; electrical machinery; transportation equipment; instruments; lumber and lumber products; furniture and fixtures; stone, clay, and glass products; and miscellaneous manufactures. The nondurable sector includes these 2-digit SIC industries: Textile mill products, apparel products, leather and leather products, printing and publishing, chemical and chemical products, petroleum products, rubber and plastic products, food, and tobacco products. Manufacturing output has accounted for about 24 percent of gross national product in recent years. Nonfinancial corporate output is equal to gross national product in constant 1982 dollars, less the rest-of-the-world sector, general government, unincorporated business, output of nonprofit institutions, output of paid employees of private households, rental value of owner-occupied dwelling, the output of corporations engaged in banking, finance, stock and commodity trading/ and credit and insurance agencies, and the statistical discrepancy in computing the national income accounts. Nonfinancial corporate output has accounted for about 59 percent of gross national product in recent years. The productivity and associated cost measures in this news release describe the relationship between output in real terms and the labor time involved in its production. They shew the changes from period to period in the amount of goods and services produced per hour. Although these measures relate output to hours of all persons engaged in a sector, they do not measure the specific contribution of labor, capital, or any other factor of production. Rather* they reflect the joint effects of many influences, including changes in technology; capital investment; level of output; utilization of capacity, energy, and materials; the organization of production; mangerial skill; and the characteristics and effort of the work force. -6Table 1. Business sector: Productivity/ hourly compensation, unit labor cost, and prices, seasonally adjusted Year and quarter Output per Output hour of all persons Hours of all persons Compensation per hour(l) Real compensatibn per hour (2) Unit labor cost Unit nonlabor payments(3) Implicit price deflator (4) Indexes 1977=100 1986 1987 I II III IV 107 .3 107 .4 107 .3 r!06 .8 125.3 125.4 126.0 r!26.8 116.8 116.7 117.4 118.7 179.1 180.4 181.7 182.6 99.2 100.2 100.4 100.2 167.0 163.0 169.3 rl71.0 162 .2 161 .9 163 .4 r!59 .7 165.3 165.8 167.2 167.0 ANNUAL 107 .1 r!25.9 117.5 180.9 100.0 r!68.8 r!61 .8 166.3 I pl07 .2 p!28.3 pl!9.7 pl82.8 p99.0 p!70.4 p!64 .3 pl68.2 Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate(5) 1986 1987 4.7 0.3 2.0 r2.4 1.4 -0.2 2.4 4.6 2.5 2.8 2.9 r2.0 0.9 4,2 0.4 -0.6 -0.7 2.3 3.3 r4.2 6.6 -0 .7 3 .7 r-3 .6 1.8 1.2 3.4 r-0.4 0.7 r2.6 1.9 3.2 1.2 2.5 rl .3 2.1 Pi .8 p5.1 p3.2 pO.4 p-4.6 p-1.4 pll .9 p3.0 I II III IV 3.3 0.5 -0.4 r-2 .0 ANNUAL I . Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 1986 1987 I II III IV 1.5 1.0 0.0 rO .3 3.3 2.5 2.0 r2.4 1.8 1.6 2.0 2.0 3.9 3.4 3.0 2.6 0.8 1.7 1.3 1.2 2.4 2.4 3.0 r2.2 2.5 1 .2 1.2 rO .1 2.4 2.0 2.4 1.5 ANNUAL 0.7 r2.6 1.9 3.2 1.2 2.5 rl .3 2.1 I pO .0 p2.4 p2.5 p2.0 p-0.2 p2.1 Pi .3 pi .8 See footnotes following table 6, r~revised p=preliminary May 4, 1987 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics -7- Table 2. Nonfarm business sector: Productivity/ hourly compensation, unit labor cost/ and prices/ seasonally adjusted Year and quarter Output per hour of all persons Output Hours of all persons Corapensation per hour(l) Real compensation per hour (2) Unit labor cost Unit nonlabor payments (3) Implicit price deflator (4) 167.1 16V. 5 169.0 Indexes 1977=100 1986 1987 I II III IV 105.7 r!05.3 125.1 125.3 126.1 r!27.0 ANNUAL 105.5 r!25.9 119.3 r!79.8 99.4 r!70.4 r!63.9 169.1 I p!05.7 p!28.6 p!21.7 pl81.6 p98.4 p!71.8 p!67.2 p!70.2 9.3 -0.6 5.5 r-8.G 2.3 1.0 3.6 r-0.3 105.6 105.7 118.5 118.5 178.3 179.3 98.3 99.7 168.8 169.6 163.9 163.7 119.4 120.6 180.4 181.6 99.6 99.6 170.7 r!72.5 165.9 r!62.2 r!68.9 Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate (5) 1986 1987 I II III IV ANNUAL I 0.5 -0.3 r-1.5 5.1 0.6 2.6 r2.7 0.8 0.1. 2.9 4.3 3.1 2.3 2.3 2.7 1.5 3.6 -0.1 0.0 -1.2 1.8 2.6 r4.2 0.7 r2.8 2.0 3.0 1.1 2.3 r2.0 2.2 pi. 7 p5.4 p3.6 pO.l p-4.9 p-1.6 p!2.9 P3.1 4.3 Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 1986 1987 3.6 3.1 2.8 2.6 0.5 1.4 1.2 2.5 2.2 2.6 3.1 1.8 1.7 r2.8 2.1 1.8 2.1 2.0 1.2 rl.8 rl.2 2.7 2.1 2.3 1.6 0.7 r2.8 2.0 3.0 1.1 2.3 r2.0 2.2 pO.l p2.8 p2.7 pi. 8 pi. 7 p2.0 pi. 8 I II III IV 1.2 0.8 0.2 3.3 rO.7 ANNUAL I See footnotes following table 6. r=revised p=preliminary 2.7 2.3 p-0.4 May 4/ 1987 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics -8- Table 3. Manufacturing sector: Productivity/ hourly compensation, and unit lab>r cost/ seasonally adjusted Year and quarter Output per hour of all persons Output (6) Hours of all persons Compensation per hour(l) Real compensation per hour (2) Unit labor cost Indexes 1977=100 1986 1937 I II II.I IV 123.7 124.7 125.8 125.8 122.8 122.7 123.6 124.6 99.3 98.4 98.2 99.0 180.2 181.4 182.5 183.5 99.8 100.3 100.8 100.7 145.7 145.5 145.1 145.9 ANNUAL 125.0 123.4 98.7 181.9 100.5 145.5 I p!26.2 p!25.4 p99.4 p!83.0 p99.2 ?145.0 Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate (5) 1986 1937 I II III IV 2.6 3.2 3.6 r-0.2 3.0 -0.4 2.9 r3.2 0.4 -3.5 -0.6 3.4 2.1 2.7 2.4 2.1 0.5 4.1 0.0 -0.6 -0.5 -0.5 -1.1 r2.3 ANNUAL 2.7 2.5 -0.2 r2.9 1.0 0.3 pi. 4 p2.8 pi. 3 p-0.9 p-5.9 p-2.3 I Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 1936 1987 I II III IV 3.7 2.5 2.3 2.3 3.4 2.3 2.0 2.2 -0.3 -0.2 -0.3 -0.1 3.7 3.3 2.5 2.3 0.6 1.6 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 ANNUAL 2.7 2.5 -0.2 r2.9 1.0 0.3 I p2.0 p2.1 pO.l pi. 6 p-0.7 p-0.4 See footnotes following table 6. r=revised p=preliminary May 4/ 1987 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics -9- Table 4. Durable manufacturing sector: Productivity, hourly compensation/ and unit labor cost/ seasonally adjusted Year and quarter Output per hour of all persons Output (6) Hours of all persons Compensation per hour(l) Real coropensation per hour(2) Unit labor cost Indexes 1977=100 99.1 140.8 125.7 126.2 127.2 99.9 98.7 98.2 98.8 178.9 IV 127.1 127.4 128.6 128.7 180.2 131.3 182.6 100.1 100. 1 100.2 141.4 141.0 r!41.9 ANNUAL 127.9 126.5 98.9 180.7 99.9 141.3 pi 29. 2 p!27.9 p99.0 pl81.6 p98.4 p!40.6 0.6 4.1 0.0 0.1 1.7 I II III 1986 1937 I 126.9 Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate(5) 1936 I II III IV ANNUAL 1987 I -0.6 -4.8 -1.8 r2.u 2.2 rO.4 1.5 -3.3 1.8 r3.1 2.5 3.0 rO.3 -1.2 r2.6 r2.6 1.5 r-1.1 3.3 1.4 0.7 pi. 6 p2.2 pO.6 p-2.2 p-7.1 p-3.7 2.1 1?.0 3.7 2.8' Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year I II III IV 4.7 2.4 1.8 1.8 3.5 1.3 0.5 0.6 -1.1 -1.1 -1.3 -1.2 4.1 4.0 2.7 2.6 0.9 2.4 1.0 rl.2 -0.6 ANNUAL r2.6 1.5 r-1.1 3.3 1.4 0.7 pi. 7 pO.8 p-0.9 pi. 5 p-0.7 p-0.2 1986 1987 I See footnotes following table 6. r=revised p^preliminary 1.6 0.9 0.8 May 4, 1987 Source: Bureau of Later Statistics -10Table 5. Nondurable manufacturing sector: Productivity, hourly compensation/ and unit labor cost/ seasonally adjusted Year and quarter Output per hour of all persons Output (6) Hours of all persons Compensation per hour(l) Real compensation per hour (2) 102.0 102.1 101.6 153.6 152.1 151.8 r!52.4 Unit labor cost Indexes 1977=100 1986 1937 I II III IV 120.7 121.7 121.4 116.7 118.2 119.6 120.6 98.3 97.9 98.2 99.3 182.2 183.5 184.8 rl85.1 ANNUAL 120.6 rl!8.8 98.5 r!83.8 101.6 152.5 I pl21.8 p!21.7 p99.9 P185.8 plOO.6 p!52.5 118.6 100.9 Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate(5) 1986 1987 IV 3.5 7.0 3.6 r-1.1 5.6 5.3 4.3 r3.5 2.0 1.6 11 4.6 2.2 2.9 2.7 rO.7 0.6 4.2 0.3 r-1.9 -1.3 -3.9 -0.9 rl.8 ANNUAL 2.8 4.1 1.2 2.5 0.6 -0.3 pi. 2 p3.7 p2.4 pi. 5 p-3.6 pO.2 I II III I Percent change from corresponding quarter 1986 1987 I II III IV 2.2 2.7 3.1 3.2 3.1 4.0 4.4 4.8 0.8 1.3 1.2 1.5 3.3 2.3 2.4 2.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 rO.8 -0.4 -0.7 -1.1 ANNUAL 2.8 4.1 1.2 2.5 0.6 -0.3 P2.7 p4.3 pi. 6 pi. 9 p-0.3 p-0.7 I See footnotes following table 6, r=revised p=preliminary of previous year 1.0 May 4, 1987 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics -11Table 6. Nonfinancial corporations: Productivity/ hourly compensation, unit labor cost/ unit profits/ and prices, seasonally adjusted Year and quarter Output per allemployee hour Output Employee Hourly Real hours compensa- hourly tion compen(1) sation(2) Unit labor cost Unit nonlabor cost(7) Total unit cost (3) Unit profits (9) Implicit price deflator (4) Indexes 1977=100 1935 IV 106.0 106.5 107.8 107.0 123.1 124.2 126.0 126.1 116.1 116.6 116.8 117.8 169.9 171.6 173.1 174.5 97.0 96.9 97.2 97.0 160.3 161.1 160.5 163.0 178.5 179.8 173.3 179.3 164.9 165.3 165.0 167.2 129.3 130.2 141.7 131.2 160.6 161.6 162.2 162.9 ANNUAL 106.3 124.8 116.9 172.3 97.0 161.2 179.1 165.8 133.1 161.3 I II III IV 106.9 106.3 106.9 p!07.2 126.9 126.6 127.0 pi 28. 3 118.7 113.5 118.8 pl!9.6 175.4 176.1 176.8 p!77.8 97.1 97.8 97.7 p97.6 164.0 164.8 165.4 p!65.8 181.1 179.9 132.6 pl30.9 163.3 168.6 169.3 p!69.6 131.7 132.3 135.8 p!36.8 164.0 164.3 165.7 p!65.7 ANNUAL 106.9 r!27.2 rl!9.0 176.5 97.5 r!65.0 rl81. 2 r!69.1 r!34.1 164.9 -3.6 3.0 40.1 -36.4 2.2 2.3 1.7 1.7 I II IU 1986 Percent change from previous quarter at annual ..B0a<!5- ^ 198-5 1986 3.0 2.0 2.2 3.0 -1.4 -3.3 6.3 3.3 2.8 2.3 -1.9 5.5 0.3 2.7 2.6 2.7 -0.2 2.4 2.0 1.6 1.8 p2.3 0.4 2.9 -0.6 p-0.3 2.5 1.9 1.6 3.1 -2.7 pO.9 p-3.6 2.7 0.6 2.8 p-0.3 1.3 2.0 11.0 p2.3 2.5 0.7 3.6 pO.O 2.4 0.5 r2.3 rl.l r2.0 rO.7 1.9 rv 0.8 2.2 4.9 -2.8 3.2 3.7 5.9 0.5 2.4 1.4 1.0 3.4 3.8 4.2 3.4 3.3 0.5 -0.3 1.1 -0.5 ANNUAL 1.2 3.7 2.5 3.9 I II III IV -0.5 -0.3 0.2 pi. 4 2.6 -1.1 1.3 p4.1 3.1 -0.3 1.2 p2.7 ANNUAL rO.l rl.9 1.3 I II IIC 6.1 Percent change from corresponding quarter of previous year 1935 1986 I II IIC IV 0.6 0.6 2.2 1.2 4.1 3.1 4.2 3.3 3.5 2.5 2.0 2.1 3.8 4.1 3.9 3.7 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 3.2 3.5 1.6 2.4 4.3 3.9 1.1 1.3 3.5 3.6 1.5 2.1 -3.8 -5.9 8.7 0.6 2.7 2.6 2.2 ANNUAL 1.2 3.7 2.5 3.9 0.3 2.7 2.6 2.7 -0.2 2.4 I II CII IV 0.9 0.3 -0.9 pO.2 3.2 2.0 0.8 pi. 7 2.2 1.7 1.7 pi. 5 3.2 2.6 2.2 pi. 9 0.1 1.0 0.5 2.3 2.3 3.1 pO.6 pi. 7 1.5 0.0 2.4 pO.7 2.1 1.7 2.9 pi. 4 1.8 1.6 -4.2 p4.2 2.1 1.7 2.1 pi. 7 ANNUAL rO.l rl.9 1.3 2.4 0.5 r2.3 rl.l r2.0 rO.7 1.9 See footnotes following table 6. r-revir,ed p-preliminary 2.0 May 4, 1937 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics -12SOURCE: Output data from Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce/ and the Federal Reserve Board. Compensation and hours data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics/ U.S. Department of Labor, and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. RELIABILITY: Productivity and cost measures are regularly revised as more complete information becomes available. Preliminary results are published 30 days after the close of the reference period; revisions appear 30 days later/ and second revisions after an additional 60 days. In the business sector/ the probability is 0.95 that the third publication (second revision) of a quarterly index of output per hour of all persons will differ from the preliminary value by between -1.9 and 4-2.0 index points* This interval is based on the performance of this measure between the first quarter of 1976 and the second quarter of 1986 Footnotes, Tables 1-6 (1) Wages and salaries of the employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. Except for nonfinancial corporations/ where there are no self-employed/ data also include an estimate of wages/ salaries, and supplemental payments for the self-employed* (2) Compensation per hour adjusted for charges in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers. (3) Unit nonlabor payments include profits/ capital consumption allowances/ interest/ rental income of persons/ anr2 indirect taxes. (4) Current dollar gross product divided by constant dollar gross product* (5) Quarterly changes: percent change compounded at annual rate from the original data rather than index numbers. Annual changes: percent change between annual average levels. (6) Quarterly manufacturing output measures are based on the .index of industrial production prepared monthly by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve adjusted by BLS to annual manufacturing output levels (gross product originating) from the National Income and Product Accounts prepared by the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the U.S. Department of Commerce. (7) Unit nonlabor cost includes capital consumption allowances/ rental income of persons/ and indirect taxes. interest/ (8) Total unit cost is the sum of labor and nonlabor costs. (9) Unit profits include corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.