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LIBRARY B^OM 5030 OCT 1 6 1985 TREASURY pEPAK(MENT Treas. HJ 10 •A13P4 v. 264 U.S. Dept. of the Treasury T; PRESS RELEASES LIBRARY ROOM 5030 OCT 1 6 1985 TREASON UtrAHIMENT TREASURY NEWS apartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 Statement by Secretary of the Treasury James A. Baker, III at the Press Briefing on the FY-1986 Budget February 4, 1985 I will outline our budget plans in relation to our overall economic program. My remarks will serve as an introduction. Bill Niskanen and Dave Stockman will provide more detailed discussion of the economic forecast and the budget -- making remarks of their own, and responding to your questions. These past four years have been marked by truly dramatic improvement in the performance of the U. S. economy. Four years ago, it was the increasingly held belief that we had lost the ability to control our economic destiny — that inflation was out of control, that dwindling availability of natural resources would put a cap on growth; and, most worrisome of all, we were told that we had lost the innovative spirit that had propelled this economy to world leadership. Now, confidence in our ability to meet the challenges of the future is being restored by the implementation of an economic program designed specifically to: — bring ihflation under control, free markets from the burden of unnecessary government interference, restore incentives for productivity and growth, and, thereby, increase opportunity for all. That program has been remarkably successful by almost every measure of economic performance. Real growth for 1984 was the highest since 1951. During the first two years of the current expansion, at a 6.0 percent annual rate, real growth has been the strongest for any expansion since the economy pulled out of the strike-depressed recession trough of late-1949 into the Korean War boom. 2 Growth of real business capital spending during thisexpansion has far outpaced gains during any previous postwar recovery. — Our economy has shown itself to be a remarkable jobcreating machine. Spurred by formation of new business and by technological innovation, more than 7.3 million jobs have been created during this recovery and expansion. — And even as the economy has shown this remarkable growth, inflation has stayed under control. For each of the past three years, it has not exceeded 4%. Last year, as measured by the GNP deflator, it was the lowest since 1967. And the trends of wages, oil prices, and world raw material prices all remain favorable. I have made a promise to myself that I know I may not be able to keep. But I shall try. While I will of course contribute to the development of economic forecasts that we use for purposes of planning and analysis, I shall try to resist the temptation to offer specific, detailed, numerical economic forecasts of my own. The economic projections underlying the budget assume continued real economic; growth and a steady decline in unemployment, inflation, and interest rates. Consistent with my promise to myself, let me say only this about the overall economic outlook. Prospects are excellent for sustained economic growth without inflation — provided that we act promptly and responsibly to continue what we have begun. And by "we" I should emphasize that I mean to include both Houses of the Congress. There is still much unfinished business. We must not rest with the tax rate reduction we enacted in 1981. That simply adjusted for the hyper-inflation that the economy had been experiencing before. Now we must go on, as the President has directed, to overhaul the whole tax system — to increase fairness, simplicity, and economic growth. This element of our program is, as the President has said, of equal priority with spending control. The printed budget document includes a number of revenuerelated measures — most of which have been submitted before. These range from tuition tax credits to enterprize zone incentives to technical provisions related to certain trust funds. The budget does not include the proposals for comprehensive overhaul of the tax system — for, as you know, those proposals, made public on November 27, remain under review. But we believe that — with constructive effort by all 3 parties — a comprehensive restructuring of the tax system could be enacted this year. And I will be having a good deal more to say about this in other contexts. The focus of today's discussion is principally upon our printed budget, however. Immediate steps must be taken to narrow the deficit. Just as important as closing the deficit is the manner by which it is closed. It would be wrong to go back to our old ways of pushing up taxes, either legislatively or by bracket creep in a nonindexed system. In our view, the tax reductions of the past several years have been largely responsible for the turnaround in economic performance. This means that deficit reduction must be accomplished from the spending side. The President's budget proposes a combination of freezes, reforms, user fees, program cuts and terminations that will achieve savings for fiscal year 1986 of a little more than $50 billion. This is calculated from the "baseline" path that spending would take if we did nothing. These reductions are sufficient to hold total spending on government programs — that is, everything but debt service — no higher in 1986 than in 1985. It is an ambitious target, but is achievable, without damaging the social safety net, or our continued defense rebuilding, or any essential government function. Achievement of our target of $50 billion in reductions would accomplish two things. The deficit in 1986 would be about $40 billion less than in 1985. And, even more important, the actions taken this year will have an amplified effect in later years, resulting in annual savings of more than $100 billion by 1988. This will set the deficit on a declining path — both in absolute dollars and, even more significantly, as a share of GNP. Under our economic assumptions, the deficit would drop from over 5 1/2 percent of GNP this year to less than 3 percent by 1988 — on down to less than 1 1/2 percent by 1990. The exact percentages are not the issue; the important thing is the trend. The deficit has been accommodated thus far without damaae to the expansion, and interest rates have declined considerably". But "real" interest rates remain too high. We need monetary policies that will allow us to continue strong economic growth without inflation. Such policies will help get interest rates down further. At the same time, a firm, convincing policy of deficit reduction will also help keep us on a course to still lower interest rates — while insuring that the Government, in financing the deficit, does not absorb such a large share of the nation's savings as to impair private productive investment. Our budget proposal represents a "freeze" in total program spending. That is something that is easy for most to understand — and to most, I think, it makes sense. There will, we know, be 4 disagreements about what we propose specifically for one program or another. But we believe our specific proposals are thoroughly defensible on the merits. And we look forward to working with the Congress to develop a comprehensive package that will bring the budget under control — by freezing overall program spending for fiscal year 1986. With good will, we believe this can be done. We are sure it is what the American people want to be done. OUTLAYS AND RECEIPTS AS PERCENT OF GNP, 1964-1990 Percent of GNP- 25 -Percent of GNP 25 Average Outlays 1964-1979 20 20 ** Receipts Average Receipts 1964-1979 (18.8) 15 15 0<i i l I l i I ' l l 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 Fiscal Years Projected ' I I I I I I I I I I L 1964 1966 1968 t£> Note: Outlays include off budget federal entities. January 25. 1985 A M « FREASURY NEWS 204 .partment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE February 4, 1985 RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $7,016 million of 13-week bills and for $7,020 million of 26-week bills, both to be issued on February 7, 1985, were accepted today. RANGE OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: Low High Average 13-week bills maturing May 9, 1985 Discount Investment Rate 1/ Rate Price 26-week bills maturing August 8, 1985 Discount Investment Price Rate Rate 1/ 8.15% 8.16% 8.16% 97.940 97.937 97.937 8.30% 8.30% 8.30% 8.44% 8.45% 8.45% 8.78% 8.78% 8.78% 95.804 95.804 95.804 Tenders at the high discount rate for the 13-week bills were allotted 45%. Tenders at the high discount rate for the 26-week bills were allotted 64%. Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TOTALS TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Received Accepted Received Accepted $ 417,980 24,434,260 40,295 135,255 139,605 74,270 1,395,170 45,515 37,060 63,830 40,605 1,560,230 346,190 $ 140,280 5,995,625 40,295 43,305 58,630 53,655 108,150 45,515 12,060 61,130 30,605 80,230 346,190 '$ 397,320 : 27,870,320 19,215 126,730 156,275 : 62,310 1,288,590 44,800 40,340 92,385 30,025 1,685,225 375,125 $ 35,320 6,152,990 19,215 31,730 47,875 40,310 109,090 24,800 15,340 92,385 20,025 56,225 375,125 $28,730,265 $7,015,670 $32,188,660 $7,020,430 Type Competitive $25,976,675 Noncompetitive 1,211,265 Subtotal, Public $27,187,940 $4,462,080 1,211,265 $5,673,345 $29,066,290 1,030,870 $30,097,160 $4,098,060 1,030,870 $5,128,930 1,412,125 1,212,125 1,350,000 1,150,000 130,200 130,200 741,500 741,500 $28,730,265 $7,015,670 $32,188,660 $7,020,430 Federal Reserve Foreign Official Institutions TOTALS \J Equivalent coupon-issue yield. B-l : TREASURY NEWS spartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. February 5, 1985 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $14,000 million, to be issued February 14, 1985. This offering will provide about $500 million of new cash for the Treasury, as the maturing bills are outstanding in the amount of $13,510 million, including $1,060 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities and $2,534 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks for their own account. The two series offered are as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $7,000 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated May 17, 1984, and to mature May 16, 1985 (CUSIP No. 912794 GL 2), currently outstanding in the amount of $15,038 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills for approximately $7,000 million, to be dated February 14, 1985, and to mature August 15, 1985 (CUSIP No. 912794 HV 9). Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing February 14, 1985. Tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the weighted average bank discount rates of accepted competitive tenders. Additional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount will be payable without interest. Both series of bills will be issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,000 and in any higher $5,000 multiple, on the records either of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasury. - 2 Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C. 20239, prior to 1:00 p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, February 11, 1985. Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. Each tender must stat« the par amount of bills bid for, which must be a minimum of $10,000. Tenders over $10,000 must be in multiples of $5,000. Competitive tenders must also show the yield desired, expressed on a bank discount rate basis with two decimals, e.g., 7.15%. Fractions may not be used. A single bidder, as defined in Treasury's single bidder guidelines, shall not submit noncompetitive tenders totaling more than $1,000,000. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities may submit tenders for account of customers, if the names of the customers and the amount for each customer are furnished. Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million. This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p.m. Eastern time on the day of the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering, e.g., bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six-month bills. Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million. A noncompetitive bidder may not have entered into an agreement, nor make an agreement to purchase or sell or otherwise dispose of any noncompetitive awards of this issue being auctioned prior to the designated closing time for receipt of tenders. Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction. No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches. A deposit - 3 of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and yield range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $1,000,000 or less without stated yield from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average bank discount rate (in two decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. The calculation of purchase prices for accepted bids will be carried to three decimal places on the basis of price per hundred, e.g., 99.923, and the determinations of the Secretary of the Treasury shall be final. Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on February 14, 1985, in cash or other immediately-available funds or in Treasury bills maturing February 14, 1985. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. In addition, Treasury Tax and Loan Note Option Depositaries may make payment for allotments" of bills for their own accounts and for account of customers by credit to their Treasury Tax and Loan Note Accounts on the settlement date. In general, if a bill is purchased at issue after July 18, 1984, and held to maturity, the amount of discount is reportable as ordinary income in the Federal income tax return of the owner at the time of redemption. Accrual-basis taxpayers, banks, and other persons designated in section 1281 of the Internal Revenue Code must include in income the portion of the discount for the period during the taxable year such holder held the bill. If the bill is sold or otherwise disposed of before maturity, the portion of the gain equal to the accrued discount will be treated as ordinary income. Any excess may be treated as capital gain. Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, Treasury's single bidder guidelines, and this notice prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars, guidelines, and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. rREASURY NEWS partment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE February 5, 198 5 RESULTS OF AUCTION OF 3-YEAR NOTES The Department of the Treasury has accepted $7,266 million of $28,292 million of tenders received from the public for the 3-year notes, Series R-1988, auctioned today. The notes will be issued February 15, 1985, and mature February 15, 1988. The interest rate on the notes will be 10-3/8%. The range of accepted competitive bids, and the corresponding prices at the 10-3/8% interest rate are as follows: Yield Price Low 10.38% 99.987 High 10.40% 99.937 Average 10.40% 99.937 Tenders at the high yield were allotted 40%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury Totals Received $ 402,850 24,461,595 35,350 137,075 89,120 135,800 1,544,850 159,880 71,505 112,030 18,285 1,119,235 4,510 $28,292,085 Accepted $ 67;850 6,428,370 27,350 78,140 48,120 76,800 174,550 139,380 40,505 105, 260 18,285 56,435 4,510 $7,265,555 The $7,266 million of accepted tenders includes $1,061 million of noncompetitive tenders and $6,205 million of competitive tenders from the public. In addition to the $7,266 million of tenders accepted in the auction process, $110 million of tenders was awarded at the average price to Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities. An additional $1,000 million of tenders was also accepted at the average price from Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account in exchange for maturing securities B-3 TREASURY NEWS Department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 5 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE February 6, 1985 RESULTS OF AUCTION OF 10-YEAR NOTES The Department of the Treasury has accepted $6,012 million of $15,807 million of tenders received from the public for the 10-year notes, Series A-1995, auctioned today. The notes will be issued February 15, 1985, and mature February 15, 1995. The interest rate on the notes will be 11-1/4%.-^ The range of accepted competitive bids, and the corresponding prices at the 11-1/4% interest rate are as follows: Yield Price Low 11.33% a/ 99-528 High 11.37% 99.294 Average 11.36% 99.352 a/ Excepting 1 tender of $7,000. TendersTENDERS at the high yield were allotted RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In31%. Thousands) Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury Totals Received $ 241,210 13,638,816 5,950 103,576 45,443 25,469 1,015,668 90,807 9,513 33,098 9,972 585,753 1,272 $15,806,547 Accepted $ 11,210 5,325,636 5,950 100,126 13,683 20,329 189,518 87,427 8,168 32,098 8,592 207,873 1,272 $6,011,882 The $6,012 million of accepted tenders includes $479 million of noncompetitive tenders and $5,533 million of competitive tenders from the public. In addition to the $6,012 million of tenders accepted in the auction process, $310 million of tenders was awarded at the average price to Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities. An additional $600 million of tenders was also accepted at the average price from Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account in exchange for maturing securities. 1/ The minimum par amount required for STRIPS is $160,000. Larger amounts must be in multiples of that amount. rREASURYNEWS partment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-204 For Release Upon Delivery Expected at 9:30 a.m. February 7, 1985 Testimony of the Honorable James A. Baker, III Secretary of the Treasury Before the House Appropriations Committee February 7, 1985 Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: It is a pleasure to meet with you today to discuss our fiscal affairs and the tasks that lie ahead. The economy has done very well in the past year and the outlook for the future is promising. But we are faced with the need to reduce what has become an excessive rate of Federal spending. Because of that Federal spending, the prospective budget deficits that would develop in the absence of any offsetting action are far too large for our long-run economic health. We must place the Federal budget deficit on a declining path and keep it there. With your help and a bipartisan Congressional effort, I am sure that meaningful reductions in the growth of Federal spending can be achieved. Legislative action along the lines recommended in the President's Budget proposals will provide a fiscal framework within which the economy can continue to prosper. These past four years have been marked by truly dramatic improvement in the performance of the U. S. economy. Four years ago, it was the increasingly held belief that we had lost the ability to control our economic destiny — that inflation was out of control, that dwindling availability of natural resources would put a cap on growth; and, most worrisome of all, we were told that we had lost the innovative spirit that had propelled this economy to world leadership. Now, confidence in our ability to meet the challenges of the future is being restored by the implementation of an economic program designed specifically to: B-5 2 bring inflation under control, — free markets from the burden of unnecessary government interference, — restore incentives for productivity and growth, — and, thereby, increase opportunity for all. That program has been remarkably successful by almost every measure of economic performance. — Real growth for 1984 was the highest since 1951. During the first two years of the current expansion, at a 6.0 percent annual rate, real growth has been the strongest for any expansion since the economy pulled out of the strike-depressed recession trough of late-1949 into the Korean War boom. — Growth of real business capital spending during this expansion has far outpaced gains during any previous postwar recovery. Our economy has shown itself to be a remarkable jobcreating machine. Spurred by formation of new business and by technological innovation, more than 7.3 million jobs have been created during this recovery and expansion. And even as the economy has shown this remarkable growth, inflation has stayed under control. For each of the past three years, it has not exceeded 4%. Last year, as measured by the GNP deflator, it was the lowest since 1967. And the trends of wages, oil prices, and world raw material prices all remain favorable. I have made a promise to myself that I know I may not be able to keep. But I shall try. While I will of course contribute to the development of economic forecasts that we use for purposes of planning and analysis, I shall try to resist the temptation to offer specific, detailed, numerical economic forecasts of my own. The economic projections underlying the budget assume continued real economic growth and a steady decline in unemployment, inflation, and interest rates. Consistent with my promise to myself, let me say only this about the overall economic outlook. Prospects are excellent for 3 sustained economic growth without inflation — provided that we act promptly and responsibly to continue what we have begun. And by "we" I should emphasize that I mean to include both Houses of the Congress, as well as the Executive Branch. There is still much unfinished business. We must not rest with the tax rate reduction we enacted in 1981. That simply adjusted for the hyper-inflation that the economy had been experiencing before. Now we must go on, as the President has directed, to overhaul the whole tax system — to increase fairness, simplicity, and economic growth. This element of our program is, as the President has said, of equal priority with spending control. The printed budget document includes a number of revenuerelated measures — most of which have been submitted before. These range from tuition tax credits to enterprize zone incentives to technical provisions related to certain trust funds. The budget does not include the proposals for comprehensive overhaul of the tax system — for, as you know, those proposals, made public on November 27, remain under review. But we believe that — with constructive effort by all parties — a comprehensive restructuring of the tax system could be enacted this year. And I will be having a good deal more to say about this in other contexts. The focus of today's discussion is principally upon our printed budget, however. Immediate steps must be taken to narrow the deficit. Just as important as closing the deficit is the manner by which it is closed. It would be wrong to go back to our old ways of pushing up taxes, either legislatively or by bracket creep in a nonindexed system. In our view, the tax reductions of the past several years have been largely responsible for the turnaround in economic performance. This means that deficit reduction must be accomplished from the spending side. The large deficits that we face during the remainder of the decade are due to an excessive rate of Federal spending. The American people do not feel they are undertaxed. They want government spending brought under control. Between 1964 and 1979, Federal outlays averaged 20-1/2 percent of GNP. Now they are in the 24 to 25 percent range. Federal outlays have virtually been living a life of their own. The President's budget proposals would restrain the rate of growth of outlays below that of the economy and shrink the 4 outlay-GNP ratio down to the 21 percent range by the end of the decade. This would leave a deficit of less than $100 billion by 1990. The President's budget proposes a combination of freezes, reforms, user fees, program cuts and terminations that will achieve savings for fiscal year 1986 of a little more than $50 billion. This is calculated from the "baseline" path that spending would take if we did nothing. These reductions are sufficient to hold total spending on government programs -- that is, everything but debt service — no higher in 1986 than in 1985. It is an ambitious target, but is achievable, without damaging the social safety net, or our continued defense rebuilding, or any essential government function. Achievement of our target of $50 billion in reductions would accomplish two things. The deficit in 1986 would be about $40 billion less than in 1985. And, even more important, the actions taken this year will have an amplified effect in later years, resulting in annual savings of more than $100 billion by 1988. This will set the deficit on a declining path — both in absolute dollars and, even more significantly, as a share of GNP. Under our economic assumptions, the deficit would drop from over 5 1/2 percent of GNP this year to less than 3 percent by 1988 — on down to less than 1 1/2 percent by 1990. The exact percentages are not the issue; the important thing is the trend. The deficit has been accommodated thus far without damage to the expansion, and interest rates have declined considerably. But "real" interest rates remain too high. We need monetary policies that will allow us to continue strong economic growth without inflation. Such policies will help get interest rates down further. At the same time, a firm, convincing policy of deficit reduction will also help keep us on a course to still lower interest rates — while insuring that the Government, in financing the deficit, does not absorb such a large share of the nation's savings as to impair private productive investment. Our budget proposal represents a "freeze" in total program spending. That is something that is easy for most to understand — and to most, I think, it makes sense. There will, we know, be disagreements about what we propose specifically for one program or another. But we believe our specific proposals are thoroughly defensible on the merits. And we look forward to working with the Congress to develop a comprehensive package that will bring the budget under control — by freezing overall program spending for fiscal year 1986. With good will, we believe this can be done. We are sure it is what the American people want to be done. TREASURY NEWS apartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE February 7, 1985 RESULTS OF AUCTION OF 30-YEAR TREASURY BONDS The Department of the Treasury has accepted $5,751 million of $12,290 million of tenders received from the public for the 30-year bonds auctioned today. The bonds will be issued February 15, 1985, and mature February 15, 2015. The interest rate on the bonds will be 11-1/4%.—' The range of accepted competitive bids, and the corresponding prices at the 11-1/4% interest rate are as follows: Yield Price Low 11.24% 100.086 High 11.31% 99.489 Average 11.27% 99.829 Tenders at the high yield were allotted 13%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Location Received Boston 228,494 $ New York 10 ,529,577 Philadelphia 1,253 Cleveland 7,220 Richmond 34,266 Atlanta 12,379 Chicago 790,365 St. Louis 59,602 Minneapolis 1,648 Kansas City 12,420 Dallas 4,045 San Francisco 608,586 Treasury 149 Totals $12 ,290,004 Accepted $ 1,494 5,339,227 1,253 2,220 14,156 12,379 204,828 59,597 1,648 12,420 4,045 97,366 149 $5,750,782 The $5,751 million of accepted tenders includes $375 million of noncompetitive tenders and $5,376 million of competitive tenders from the public. In addition to the $5,751 million of tenders accepted in the auction process, $493 million of tenders was accepted at the average price from Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account in exchange for maturing securities. 1/ The minimum par amount required for STRIPS is $160,000. — Larger amounts must be in multiples of that amount. B-6 rREASURY NEWS partment of the Treasury • Washington, D.C. • Telephone 566-2041 FOR RELEASE AT 12:00 NOON February 8, 1985 TREASURY'S 52-WEEK BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for approximately $8,500 million of 364-day Treasury bills to be dated February 21, 1985, and to mature February 20, 1986 (CUSIP No. 912794 JT 2). This issue will not provide new cash for the Treasury, as the maturing 52-week bill is outstanding in the amount of $8,529 million. The bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing February 21, 1985. In addition to the maturing 52-week bills, there are $13,463 million of maturing bills which were originally issued as 13-week and 26-week bills. The disposition of this latter amount will be announced next week. Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities currently hold $1,866 million, and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account hold $4,321 million of the maturing bills. These amounts represent the combined holdings of such accounts for the three issues of maturing bills. Tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the weighted average bank discount rate of accepted competitive tenders. Additional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. For purposes of determining such additional amounts, foreign and international monetary authorities are considered to hold $350 million of the original 52-week issue. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount will be payable without interest. This series of bills will be issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,000 and in any higher $5,000 multiple, on the records either of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasury. Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C. 20239, prior to 1:00 p.m., Eastern Standard time, Thursday, February 14, 1985. Form PD 4632-1 should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. B-7 - 2 Each tender must state the par amount of bills bid for, which must be a minimum of $10,000. Tenders over $10,000 must be in multiples of $5,000. Competitive tenders must also show the yield desired, expressed on a bank discount rate basis with two decimals, e.g., 7.15%. Fractions may not be used. A single bidder, as defined in Treasury's single bidder guidelines, shall not submit noncompetitive tenders totaling more than $1,000,000. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities may submit tenders for account of customers* if the names of the customers and the amount for each customer are furnished. Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million. This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p.m. Eastern time on the day of the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions. Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million. A noncompetitive bidder may not have entered into an agreement, nor make an agreement to purchase or sell or otherwise dispose of any noncompetitive awards of this issue being auctioned prior to the designated closing time for receipt of tenders. Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction. No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches. A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and yield range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves - 3the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for $1,000,000 or less without stated yield from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average bank discount rate (in two decimals) of accepted competitive bids. The calculation of purchase prices for accepted bids will be carried to three decimal places on the basis of price per hundred, e.g., 99.923, and the determinations of the Secretary of the Treasury shall be final. Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on February 21, 1985, in cash or other immediately-available funds or in Treasury bills maturing February 21, 1985. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. In addition, Treasury Tax and Loan Note Option Depositaries may make payment for allotments of bills for their own accounts and for account of customers by credit to their Treasury Tax and Loan Note Accounts on the settlement date. In general, if a bill is purchased at issue after July 18, 1984, and held to maturity, the amount of discount is reportable as ordinary income in the Federal income tax return of the owner at the time of redemption. Accrual-basis taxpayers, banks, and other persons designated in section 1281 of the Internal Revenue Code must'include in income the portion of the discount for the period during the taxable year such holder held the bill. If the bill is sold or otherwise disposed of before maturity, the portion of the gain equal to the accrued discount will be treated as ordinary income. Any excess may be treated as capital gain. Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, Treasury's single bidder guidelines, and this notice prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars, guidelines, and tender forms may be obtained fr<m any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Pjb ic Debt. TREASURY NEWS apartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 February 11, 1985 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $7,001 million of 13-week bills and for $ 7,005 million of 26-week bills, both to be issued on February 14, 1985, were accepted today. RANGE OF ACCEPTED 13-week bills COMPETITIVE BIDS: maturing May 16, 1985 Discount Investment Rate Rate 1/ Price 26-week bills maturing August 15, 1985 Discount Investment Rate Price Rate 1/ Low 8.16% 8.45% 97.937 High 8.23% 8.52% Average 8.20% 8.49% a/ Excepting 1 tender of $550,000. 8.26% a/ 8.74% 8.30% 8.78% 8.28% 8.76% 97.920 97.927 95.824 95.804 95.814 Tenders at the high discount rate for the 13-week bills were allotted 79%. Tenders at the high discount rate for the 26-week bills were allotted 26%. Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Received Accepted Received Accepted $ 393,285 13,824,680 29,490 42,960 60,140 66,830 1,224,445 79,705 41,525 58,535 39,730 1,016,620 353,495 $17,231,440 $ 43,285 5,229,330 29,490 42,960 59,510 66,830 300,875 59,705 41,525 58,535 39,730 675,620 353,495 $7,000,890 $ 385,605 14,648,815 17,695 29,385 84,105 50,165 1,086,985 45,470 46,185 50,955 34,980 801,490 388,435 $17,670,270 $ 35,605 5,628,605 17,695 29,385 44,105 45,725 192,105 44,730 45,445 50,955 31,280 450,750 388,435 $7,004,820 Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public $14,564,220 1,267,805 $15,832,025 $4,333,670 1,267,805 $5,601,475 $14,706,015 1,001,655 $15,707,670 $4,040,565 1,001,655 $5,042,220 Federal Reserve Foreign Official Institutions 1,283,615 1,283,615 1,250,000 1,250,000 115,800 115,800 712,600 712,600 TOTALS $17,231,440 $7,000,890 $17,670,270 $7,004,820 TOTALS IXPe 1/ Equivalent coupon-issue yield. B-8 •<»• ::ederal financing bank CO CO CO CO C\J CO CO WASHINGTON, DC. 20220 a> February 11, 1985 FEDERAL FINANCING BANK ACTIVITY Francis X. Cavanaugh, Secretary, Federal Financing Bank (FFB), announced the following activity for the month of December 1984. FFB holdings of obligations issued, sold or guaranteed by other Federal agencies totaled $145.2 billion on December 31, 1984, posting an increase of less than $0.1 billion from the level on November 30, 1984. This net change was the result of increases in holdings of agency assets of $0.2 billion and agency debt issues of $0.1 billion. Holdings of agency-guaranteed debt fell by $0.2 billion. FFB made 297 disbursements during December. Attached to this release are tables presenting FFB December loan activity, new FFB commitments to lend during December and FFB holdings as of December 31, 1984, # 0 # B-9 • ^ <n Ifi CO FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE en o C\J m FEDERAL FINANCING BANK DECEMBER 1984 ACTIVITY BORROWER DATE AMOUNT OF ADVANCE FINAL MATURITY INTEREST RATE (semiannual) 12/10/84 12/17/84 12/17/84 12/20/84 i 12/24/84 12/31/84 1/1/85 1/2/85 1/7/85 8.865% 8.825% 8.765% 8.765% 8.515% 8.095% 8.155% 8.155% 8.125% INTEREST RATE (other than semi-annual) ON-BUDGET AGENCY DEBT TENNESSEE VALLEY AUTHORITY Advance #415 Advance #416 Advance #417 Advance #418 Advance #419 Advance #420 Advance #421 Advance #422 Advance #423 12/3 $ 410,000,000.00 370,000,000.00 12/4 80,000,000.00 12/10 355,000,000.00 12/10 430,000,000.00 12/17 365,000,000.06 12/20 40,000,000.00 12/24 370,000,000.00 12/24 500,000,000.00 12/31 EXPORT-IMPORT BANK Note #61 Note #62 11.705% 11.448% 413,000,000.00 162,000,000.00 12/1/94 12/1/94 12/5 12/10 12/13 12/13 12/20 12/31 12/31 5,000,000.00 15,000,000.00 8,000,000.00 9,850,000.00 20,000,000.00 25,000,000.00 20,000,000.00 3/5/85 1/9/85 ll/H/85 3/13/85 3/20/85 4/1/85 4/1/85 8.925% 8.765% 8.685% 8.685% 8.095% 8.135% 8.135% 12/31 77,822,066.50 1/3/85 8.125% 12/3 12/3 11.539% qt.i 11.289% qtr NATIONAL CREDIT UNION ADMINISTRATION Central Liquidity Facility Nate #281 +Note #282 Note #283 Note #284 +Note #285 +Note #286 +Note #287 OFF-BUDGET AGENCY DEBT UNITED STATES RAILWAY ASSOCIATION +Note #33 AGENCY ASSETS FARMERS HOME ADMINISTRATION Certificates of Beneficial Ownership 12/28 12/31 12/31 80,000,000.00 80,000,000.00 110,000,000.00 12/1/99 12/1/04 12/1/99 11.675% 11.735% 11.685% 12/3 12/3 12/4 12/5 12/5 12/11 12/11 12/12 12/12 12/12 12/13 12/14 12/17 217,328.77 2,102,072.00 1,698,0^6.90 5,660,""'4.68 1,099,9311.50 1,278,359.72 798,795.00 97,447.13 194,266.96 3,539,051.00 229,309.48 627,388.00 15,110,909.23 5/15/95 11/15/92 3/24/12 4/15/14 6/10/96 4/15/14 2/5/95 9/10/95 5/31/96 9/10/94 7/15/92 4/10/96 4/15/14 11.705% 10.061% 11.797% 11.725% 11.617% 11.864% 11.365% 11.705% 11.275% 11.304% 10.845% 11.665% 11.760% GOVERNMENT - GUARANTEED LOANS DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE Foreign Military Sales Liberia 10 Jordan 11 Turkey 13 Egypt 6 El Salvador 7 Egypt 6 Jordan 12 Morocco 11 Morocco 13 Portugal 1 Philippines 10 Peru 10 Egypt 6 +rollover 12.016% an-.-, 12.079% arii; 12.026% anr Page 3 of 8 FEDERAL FINANCING BANK DECEMBER 1984 ACTIVITY BORROWER AMOUNT OF ADVANCE DATE FINAL MATURITY INTEREST RATE (semiannual ) INTEREST RATE (other than semi-annual) Foreign Military Sales (Cont'd) Thailand 9 12/17 Thailand 10 Thailand 11 Thailand 12 Ecuador 6 Greece 14 Kenya 10 Oman 6 Thailand 11 Thailand 12 Egypt 6 Korea 19 Korea 18 Turkey 13 Philippines 10 Botswana 3 12/17 12/17 12/17 12/18 12/18 12/18 12/18 12/18 12/18 12/21 12/24 12/26 12/26 12/26 12/28 5 1,433 ,875.00 210 ,862.00 1,579 ,652.00 2,411 ,766.00 1 ,950.30 370 ,000.00 1,575 ,091.22 8,712 ,000.00 140 ,854.24 4,954 ,187.00 1,663 ,516.60 6,159 ,571.14 25,570 ,766.21 843 ,593.30 185 ,762.16 56 ,962.61 9/15/93 7/10/94 9/10/95 3/20/96 6/20/89 4/30/11 5/5/94 5/25/91 9/10/95 3/20/96 4/15/14 6/30/96 12/31/95 3/24/12 7/15/92 3/10/91 11.665% 11.675% 11.306% 11.365% 11.085% 11.735% 11.584% 11.281% 11.295% 11.390% 11.597% 10.965% 11.448% 11.575% 10.435% 11.319% DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING & URBAN DEVELOPMENT Community Development *Hialeah, FL St. Petersburg, FL Kansas City, MO St. Louis, MO St. Louis, MO Dade County, FL Hanmond, IN Louisville, KY Santa Ana, CA Detroit, MI St. Louis, MO St. Louis, MO Indianapolis, IN Ponce, PR 11.494% 11.415% 9.009% 12.064% 10.003% 8.734% 9.720% ann ann ann ann ann, ann ann, 9.993% 9.046% 11.878% 11.878% ann ann ann ann 12/3 12/3 12/13 12/13 12/13 12/19 12/19 12/19 12/19 12/21 12/21 12/21 12/26 12/26 4,258,620.55 3,550,000.00 1,000,000.00 220,000.00 500,000.00 197,470.00 200,000.00 400,000.00 238,030.00 1,270,945.00 90,000.00 55,000.00 200,000.00 156,024.00 12/1/89 12/1/89 6/15/85 1/15/04 2/15/86 7/15/85 5/1/86 2/1/85 8/15/86 9/1/85 1A5/04 1/15/04 2/1/85 8/1/85 11.181% 11.107% 9.005% 11.721% 9.765% 8.685% 9.495% 8.205% 9.755% 8.935% 11.545% 11.545% 8.025% 8.645% 12/3 36,000,000.00 9/15/04 11.731% 256,957.07 10/1/92 11.255* 11.101% qtr. 12/31/86 12/3/86 12/3/86 12/31/86 12/3/86 12/3/86 12/3/86 9-30/87 12/31/86 12/5/86 12/5/86 12/31/86 1/2/18 12/31/16 10.654% 10.625% 10.625% 10.675% 10.625% 10.625% 10.625% 10.935% 10.665* 10.575% 10.575% 10.596% 11.692% 11.693? 10.516% qtr. 10.488% qtr 10.488% qtr. 10.536% qtr. 10.488% qtr. 10.488% qtr. 10.488% qtr. 10.789% qtr. 10.526% qtr. 10.439% qtr. 10.439% qtr. 10.459% qtr. 11.526% qtr. 11.527% qtr. 8.708% ann DEPARTMENT OF INTERIOR +Guam Power Authority DEPARTMENT OF THE NAVY Defense Production Act Gila River Indian Community 12/18 RURAL ELECTRIFICATION ADMINISTRATION *South Mississippi Electric #90 •South Mississippi Electric #171 Tex-La Electric #208 Saluda River Electric #271 *Sugar Land Telephone #69 *Brazos Electric #108 •Brazos Electric #230 *Big Rivers Electric #91 Vermont Electric #259 Basin Electric #137 Basin Electric #232 Basin Electric #272 Western Illinois Power #294 Vermont Electric #290 •maturity extension +refinaneing 12/3 12/3 12/3 12/3 12/3 12/3 12/3 12/3 12/4 12/5 12/5 12/5 12/5 12/6 150,000.00 4,688,000.00 1,027,000.00 3,080,000.00 1,771,000.00 958,000.00 5,795,000.00 600,000.00 1,500,000.00 20,000,000.00 55,000.00 55,000.00 4,953,000.00 480,380.00 FEDERAL FINANCING BANK DECEMBER 1984 ACTIVITY — AMOUNT FINAL INTEREST INTEREST BORROWER ~" DATE OF ADVANCE " 12/6 12/10 12/10 12/10 12/10 12/10 12/10 12/10 12/11 12/11 12/11 12/12 12/13 12/14 12/14 12/14 12/17 12/17 12/17 12/17 12/17 12/17 12/19 12/20 12/20 12/21 12/24 12/27 12/27 12/27 12/27 12/28 12/28 12/28 12/28 12/28 12/28 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 $ 550,000.00 1,338,000.00 3,852,000.00 4,899,000.00 2,000,000.00 699,000.00 6,991,000.00 230,000.00 1,540,000.00 1,095,000.00 1,020,000.00 513,000.00 840,000.00 1,840,000.00 1,045,000.00 460,000.00 31,781,000.00 10,000,000.00 1,805,000.00 7,229,000.00 3,176,000.00 192,000.00 351,000.00 9,512,000.00 13,800,000.00 85,000.00 37,015,000.00 585,000.00 58,062,000.00 40,000.00 8,228,000.00 2,371,000.00 34,996,000.00 587,000.00 402,000.00 64,598,000.00 111,000.00 3,595,000.00 738,000.00 9,328,000.00 432,000.00 i,600,000.00 5,467,000.00 5,668,000.00 3,366,000.00 1,516,000.00 1,997,000.00 2,692,000.00 1,280,000.00 2,446,000.00 14,946,000.00 21,772,000.00 13,834,000.00 17,482,000.00 25,000,000.00 1,670,000.00 19,843,000.00 1,540,000.00 3,436,000.00 5,419,000.00 48,000,000.00 1,265,000.00 18,173,000.00 MATURITY RATE (semiannual) RATE (other than semi-annual) Community Development (Cont'd) •Central Electric #131 •Wolverine Power #101 •Wolverine Power #233 •Wolverine Power #234 •East River Electric #117 •Dairyland Power #54 •Wabash Valley Power #104 •Wabash Valley Power #206 •Colorado Ute Electric #96 Vermont Electric #259 Wolverine Power #100 Central Iowa Power #169 Kansas Electric #216 Mid-Georgia Telephone #229 All Tele. Carolina, Inc #223 Washington Electric #269 Dsseret G&T #211 •Dairyland Power #173 •New Hampshire Electric #192 •Colorado Ute Electric #96 •Colorado Ute Electric #96 •Upper Missouri G&T #172 N.E. Texas Electric #280 •Basin Electric #232 •Soyland Power #226 •South Mississippi Electric #3 •Wabash Valley Power #252 Chugach Electric #257 Oglethorpe Power #246 Brazos Electric #108 Brazos Electric #230 Kamo Electric #266 North Carolina Electric #268 Basin Electric #272 Plains Electric G&T #158 Plains Electric G&T #300 •Wabash valley Power #206 Tex-La Electric #208 New Hampshire Electric #270 •Wabash Valley Power #104 •Wabash valley Power #206 •Cooperative Power Assoc. #70 •Allegheny Electric #93 •Allegheny Electric #175 •Allegheny Electric #175 •Wolverine Power #100 •Wolverine Power #100 •Basin Electric #232 •New Hampshire Electric #192 •Wolverine Power #101 •Wolverine Power #182 •Wolverine Power #183 •Wolverine Power #233 •Wolverine Power #234 Basin Electric #137 Associated Electric #132 Wolverine Power #274 Kamo Electric #209 •Kansas Electric #208 Kansas Electric #216 •Kansas Electric #216 Kansas Electric #282 •Big Rivers Electric #179 •maturity extension 12/6/86 12/10/86 12/10/86 12/10/86 12/10/87 12/9/87 12/10/86 12/10/86 12/11/86 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/31/18 12/31/86 12/31/18 12/31/18 12/31/86 12/17/86 12/15/87 12/31/86 12/17/86 12/17/86 12/17/86 3/31/87 12/22/86 1/3/17 12/31/86 12/24/86 9/30/88 12/29/86 12/27/87 12/14/87 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/28/86 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/10/87 12/10/87 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/31/87 12/31/87 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/31/86 12/31/18 12/31/86 12/31/15 12/31/15 10.535% 10.645% 10.645% 10.645% 10.985% 10.985% 10.645% 10.645% 10.595% 10.635% 10.631% 11.752% 10.505% 11.834% 11.834% 10.547% 10.325% 10.695% 10.355% 10.325% 10.325% 10.325% 9.990% 10.015% 11.539% 10.062% 10.075% 10.795% 10.085% 10.495% 10.485% 10.091% 10.095% 10.084% 10.095% 10.078% 10.095% 10.155% 10.155% 10.155% 10.155% 10.155% 10.136% 10.595% 10.595% 10.151% 10.151% 10.155% 10.155% 10.155% 10.615% 10.615% 10.155% 10.155% 10.155% 10.155% 10.149% 10.155% 10.155% 10.651% 10.155% 11.660% 11.665% 10.400% qtr. 10.507% qtr. 10.507% qtr. 10.507% qtr. 10.838% qtr. 10.838% qtr. 10.507% qtr. 10.507% qtr. 10.458% qtr. 10.497% qtr. 10.493% qtr. 10.584% qtr. 10.371% qtr. 11.664% qtr. 11.664% qtr. 10.412% qtr. 10.195% qtr. 10.556% qtr. 10.224% qtr. 10.195% qtr. 10.195% qtr. 10.195% qtr. 9.868% qtr. 9.893% qtr. 11.377% qtr. 9.939% qtr. 9.951% qtr. 10.653% qtr. 9.961% qtr. 10.361% qtr. 10.351% qtr. 9.967% qtr. 9.971% qtr. 9.960% qtr. 9.971% qtr. 9.954% qtr. 9.971% qtr. 10.029% qtr. 10.029% qtr. 10.029% qtr. 10.029% qtr. 10.029% qtr. 10.011% qtr. 10.458% qtr. 10.458% qtr. 10.025% qtr. 10.025% qtr. 10.029% qtr. 10.029% qtr. 10.029% qtr. 10.478% qtr. 10.478% qtr. 10.029% qtr. 10.029% qtr. 10.029% qtr. 10.029% qtr. 10.023% qtr. 10.029% qtr. 10.029% qtr. 10.486% qtr. 10.029% qtr. 11.495% qtr. 11.500% qtr. Page 5 ot 8 FEDERAL FINANCING BANK DECEMBER 1984 ACTTvTTY BORROWER DATE AMOUNT OF ADVANCE FINAL MATURITY INTEREST RATE (semiannual ) INTEREST RATE (other than semi-annual) RURAL ELECTRIFICATION ADMINISTRATION (Confc*) *Big •Big •Big •Big •Big •Big •Big •Big •Big •Big •Big •Big •Big •Big •Big •Big Rivers Rivers Rivers Rivers Rivers Rivers Rivers Rivers Rivers Rivers Rivers Rivers Rivers Rivers Rivers Rivers Electric Electric Electric Electric Electric Electric Electric Electric Electric Electric Electric Electric Electric Electric Electric Electric #179 #179 #179 #179 #179 #179 #179 #179 #179 #179 #179 #179 #179 #179 #179 #179 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 12/31 $ 4,736,000.00 5,653,000.00 2,050,000.00 7,926,000.00 608,000.00 9,083,000.00 9,763,000.00 12,918,000.00 6,739,000.00 22,779,000.00 26,163,000.00 18,442,000.00 9,862,000.00 17,600,000.00 27,336,000.00 5,500,000.00 12/31/15 1/3/17 1/3/17 1/3/17 1/3/17 1/3/17 1/3/17 1/3/17 1/3/17 1/3/17 1/3/17 1/3/17 V3/17 1/3/17 1/3/17 1/3/17 11.665% 11.659% 11.659% 11.659% 11.659% 11.659% 11.660% 11.660% 11.660% 11.660% 11.660% 11.660% 11.660% 11.660% 11.660% 11.660% 12/1/99 12/1/99 12/1/99 12/1/99 12/1/99 12/1/99 12/1/99 12/1/99 12/1/99 12/1/99 12/1/99 12/1/99 12/1/99 12/1/99 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 11.653% 11.653% 11.653% 11.653% 11.653% 11.653% 11.653% 11.653% 11.653% 11.653% 11.653% 11.653% 11.653% 11.653% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% SMALL BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION State & local Development Company Debentures Pioneer County Dev., Inc. 12/5 Lower Chattahoochee Dev. Corp. 12/5 Opportunities Minnesota, Inc. 12/5 Urban Business Development Corp.12/5 N. Texas Reg. Development Corp. 12/5 Long Island Development Corp. 12/5 Catawa Reg. Development Corp. 12/5 Oakland County Local Dev. Co. 12/5 Texas Panhandle Iteg. Dev. Corp. 12/5 Lynn Capital Investment Corp. 12/5 Fargo-Cass Cnty. Ind. Dev. Corp.12/5 Evergreen Community Dev. Corp. 12/5 St. Louis County L.D.C. 12/5 East Central Michigan Dev. Corp.12/5 Nine County Development, Inc. 12/5 Centralina Development Corp, Incl2/5 Areawide Development Corp. 12/5 Cleveland Citywide Dev. Corp. 12/5 St. Louis Local Development Co. 12/5 Provo Metro Cert. Dev. Corp. 12/5 Cleveland Area Dev. Fin. Corp. 12/5 Jacksonville Local Dev. Co, Inc.12/5 S. Dakota Development Corp. 12/5 Verd-Ark-Ca Development Gorp. 12/5 Dev. Corp. of Middle Georgia 12/5 Lake County Econ. Dev. Corp. 12/5 Alabama Com. Development Corp. 12/5 S. Dakota Development Corp. 12/5 Coastal Area Dis Dev Auth, Inc 12/5 Jacksonville Loc. Dev. Co., Inc.12/5 Enterprise Development Corp. 12/5 Cleveland Area Dev. Fin. Corp. 12/5 Lynn Capital Investment Corp. 12/5 Iowa Business Growth Co. 12/5 Alabama Com. Development Corp. 12/5 Ohio Statewide Development Corp.12/5 St. Louis County L.D.C. 12/5 Verd-Ark-Ca Development Corp. 12/5 Brockton Reg. Econ. Dev. Corp. 12/5 Wisconsin Bus. Dev. Fin. Corp. 12/5 Tulare County Econ. Dev. Corp. 12/5 Cert. Dev. Co. of Mississippi 12/5 •maturity extension 53,000.00 53,000.00 76,000.00 97,000.00 102,000.00 104,000.00 109,000.00 147,000.00 158,000.00 165,000.00 355,000.00 498,000.00 500,000.00 500,000.00 11,000.00 20,000.00 40,000.00 43,000.00 42,000.00 44,000.00 47,000.00 49,000.00 53,000.00 57,000.00 58,000.00 63,000.00 64,000.00 68,000.00 76,000.00 82,000.00 84,000.00 88,000.00 94,000.00 100,000.00 100,000.00 105,000.00 110,000.00 112,000.00 116,000.00 116,000.00 118,000.00 122,000.00 11.500% 11.494% 11.494% 11.494% 11.494% 11.494% 11.495% 11.495% 11.495% 11.495% 11.495% 11.495% 11.495% 11.495% 11.495% 11.495% qtr qtr qtr qtr qtr qtr qtr qtr qtr qtr qtr qtr qtr qtr qtr qtr Page 6 of 8 FEDERAL FINANCING BANK DECEMBER 1984 ACTIVITY BORROWER DATE AMOUNT OF ADVANCE FINAL MATURITY INTEREST RATE (semiannual) State & Local Development Company Debentures (Cont'd) Long Island Development Corp. 12/5 Sm. Bus. Dev. Corp. for Wycming 12/5 Opportunities Minnesota, Inc. 12/5 Rural Missouri, Inc. 12/5 Advancement, Inc. 12/5 W. Central Arkansas C.D.C. 12/5 Massachusetts Cert. Dev. Corp. 12/5 Charlotte Certified Dev. Corp. 12/5 Appalachian Development Corp. 12/5 Ashtabula County 503 Corp. 12/5 E. Cen. Michigan Dev. Corp. 12/5 Rural Missouri, Inc. 12/5 Quaker State C.D.C, Inc. 12/5 Androscoggin Valley Cn of Govts 12/5 Allentown Econ. Dev. Corp. 12/5 Neuse River Dev. Auth., Inc. 12/5 Gr. N. Pulaski Local Dev. Co. 12/5 River East Progress, Inc. 12/5 Wisconsin Bus. Dev. Fin. Corp. 12/5 E.C.I.A. Bus. Growth, Inc. 12/5 Columbus Countywide Development 12/5 Downtown Improvement Corp. 12/5 Cen. Vermont Econ. Dev. Corp. 12/5 Long Island Development Corp. 12/5 Arizona Enterprise Dev. Corp. 12/5 N. Texas Certified Dev. Corp. 12/5 Bay Area Employment Dev. Oo. 12/5 Granite State Econ. Dev. Corp. 12/5 W. Massachusetts S.B.A., Inc. 12/5 Long Island Development Corp. 12/5 La Habra Local Dev. Co., Inc. 12/5 South Shore Econ. Dev. Corp. 12/5 Metro Growth & Dev. Corp. 12/5 San Diego County Loc. Dev. Corp.12/5 Worcester Business Dev. Corp. 12/5 Econ. Dev. Fnd. of Sacramento 12/5 Indiana Statewide C.D.C. 12/5 Nine County Development, Inc. 12/5 Texas Panhandle Reg. Dev. Corp. 12/5 Region Nine Development Gorp. 12/5 Centralina Dev. Corp., Inc. 12/5 Wilmington Industrial Dev., Inc.12/5 Louisville Economic Dev. Corp. 12/5 Opportunities Minnesota, Inc. 12/5 Columbus Countywide Dev. Corp. 12/5 Columbus Countywide Dev. Corp. 12/5 Orig. Aurora & Colorado Dev. Co. 12/5 Toledo Econ. Plan. Council, Inc. 12/5 Mentor Econ. Assistance Corp. 12/5 Evergreen Community Dev. Assoc. 12/5 Columbus Countywide Dev. Corp. 12/5 River East Progress", "Inc. - — 1 2 / 5 Old Colorado City Dev. Co. 12/5 Treasure Valley Cert. Dev. Corp.12/5 The Jacksonville L.D.C, Inc. 12/5 Opportunities Minnesota, Inc. 12/5 N. Virginia Local Dev. Co., Inc.12/5 Long Island Development Corp. 12/5 tolunbus Local Development Corp.12/5 Evergreen Community Dev. Assoc. 12/5 Orig. Aurora & Colorado Dev. Co. 12/5 Wisconsin Bus. Dev. Fin. Corp. 12/5 Opportunities Minnesota, Inc. 12/5 St. Louis Local Development Co. 12/5 San Diego County Loc. Dev. Corp.12/5 130,000.00 137,000.00 137,000.00 147,000.00 153,000.00 156,000.00 168,000.00 168,000.00 173,000.00 181,000.00 185,000.00 193,000.00 197,000.00 210,000.00 211,000.00 214,000.00 222,000.00 226,000.00 236,000.00 250,000.00 252,000.00 254,000.00 271,000.00 300,000.00 316,000.00 318,000.00 330,000.00 331,000.00 336,000.00 370,000.00 500,000.00 500,000.00 500,000.00 500,000.00 500,000.00 500,000.00 500,000.00 47,000.00 48,000.00 56,000.00 56,000.00 59,000.00 64,000.00 68,000.00 69,000.00 84,000.00 84,000.00 85,000.00 93,000.00 93,000.00 114,000.00 121,000.00 124,000.00 128,000.00 129,000.00 132,000.00 137,000.00 140,000.00 145,000.00 147,000.00 157,000.00 158,000.00 168,000.00 168,000.00 172,000.00 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12A / 0 4 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/04 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12 A / 0 9 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.737% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11-.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% INTEREST" RATE (other than semi-annual) Page 7 of 8 FEDERAL FINANCING BANK DECEMBER 1984 ACTIVITY BORROWER DATE AMOUNT OF ADVANCE FINAL MATURITY INTEREST INTEREST RATE RATE (other than (semisemi-annual) annual) State & Local Development Canpany Debentures (Cont'd) 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12 A/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12A/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 12/1/09 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 11.765% 300 ,000.00 1,000 ,000.00 1,000 ,000.00 1,000 ,000.00 1,000 ,000.00 4,000 ,000.00 800 ,000.00 2,000 ,000.00 12/1/87 12/1/89 12/1/91 12/1/94 12/1/94 12/1/94 12/1/94 12/1/94 10.535% 11.135% 11.555% 11.615% 11.615% 11.615% 11.615% 11.615% 12/31 532,580,459.89 3/29/85 8.065% Missouri-Kansas-Texas #511-6 12/3 Milwaukee Road #511-2 12/13 600,000.00 65,731.79 9/14/99 6/30/06 11.300% 11.734% Bay Colony Development Corp. 12/5 $ 189,000.00 Bay Colony Development Corp. 12/5 202,000.00 San Diego County Loc. Dev. Corp.12/5 218,000.00 C.D.C. of Mississippi, Inc. 12/5 239,000.00 Toledo Econ. Plan. Council, Inc.12/5 242,000.00 Arizona Enterprise Dev. Corp. 12/5 253,000.00 Minneapolis 503 Econ. Dev. Co. 12/5 255,000.00 San Diego County Loc. Dev. Corp.12/5 256,000.00 N. Dakota State Dev. Credit Corpl2/5 273,000.00 Wilmington Ind. Dev. Inc. 12/5 314,000.00 Quaker State Cert. Dev. Co., Incl2/5 320,000.00 Union County Econ. Dev. Corp. 12/5 320,000.00 MSP 503 Development Corp. 12/5 325,000.00 Wilmington Industrial Dev. Inc. 12/5 339,000.00 Altoona Enterprises, Inc 12/5 360,000.00 Bay Area Business Dev. Co. 12/5 367,000.00 The C.E.D. in Des Moines 12/5 389,000.00 Region Nine Development Corp. 12/5 407,000.00 Wisconsin Bus. Dev. Fin. Corp. 12/5 473,000.00 Union County Economic Dev. Corp.12/5 499,000.00 Evergreen Community Dev. Assoc. 12/5 500,000.00 Small Business Investment Company Debentures N.E. Small Bus. Investment Co. 12/19 Key Venture Capital Corporation 12/19 American Commercial Capital Corpl2/19 Charter Venture Group, Inc. 12/19 Interstate Capital Co., Inc. 12/19 MVenture Corp. 12A9 Retailers Growth Fund, Inc. 12/19 Texas Capital Corporation 12/19 TENNESSEE VALLEY AUTHORITY Seven States Energy Corporation Note A-85-03 DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION Section 511—4R Act 11.145% qtr. FEDERAL FINANCING BANK December 1984 Comnitments BORROWER" Baldwin Park, CA Lawrence, MA Syracuse, NY Allegheny Electric Washington Electric GUARANTOR HUD HUD HUD REA REA AMOUNT $ 150,000.00 1,401,600.00 22,500.00 41,500,000.00 3,200,000.00 EXPIRES MATURITY 7/1/85 1/2/85 7/1/85 12/31/90 12/31/90 7/1/85 1/2/90 7/1/03 12/31/18 12/31/18 Page 8 of 8 FINANCING BANK HOLDINGS (in millions) Program Net Change 12/1/84-12/31/84 Net Change—FY 1985 10/1/84-12/31/84 December 31, 1984 November 30, 1984 $ 13,,710.0 15,,852.2 290.4 $ 13,795.0 15,689.8 290.5 $ -85.0 162.3 -0.1 $ 275.0 162.3 21.5 1,,087.0 51.3 1,087.0 51.3 -0-0- -0-0- 58,,971.,0 115.,7 132.,0 8,,8 3,,536.,7 38,.3 58,801.0 116.1 132.0 11.0 3,536.7 38.7 170.0 -0.4 -540.0 -0.4 -0- -0- -0.4 -1.8 17,365,.1 5,000,.0 11,.2 1 ,338 .0 230,.9 33 .5 2,146 .2 411.3 36.0 28 .7 902.3 3.8 20,693 .0 885.0 426 .8 1 ,577 .9 157.0 177.0 17,413.9 5,000.0 11.2 1,338.0 227.5 33.5 2,146.2 412.7 36.0 28.7 902.3 -48.8 254.2 -0-0-03.5 -0-0- -04.9 On-Budget Agency Debt Tennessee Valley Authority Export-Import Bank NCUA-Central Liquidity Facility utt-Budget Agency Debt U.S. Postal Service U.S. Railway Association Agency Assets Farmers Hare Administration DHHS-Health Maintenance Org. DHHS-Medical Facilities Overseas Private Investment Corp. Rural Electrification Admin.-CBO Small Business Administration -0- -0- -2.2 -2.2 Government-Guaranteed Lending DOD-Foreign Military Sales DEd.-Student Loan Marketing Assn. DOE-Geothermal Loan Guarantees DOE-Non-Nuclear Act (Great Plains) DHUD-Community Dev. Block Grant DHUD-New Communities DHUD-Public Housing Notes General Services Administration DOI-Guam Power Authority DOI-Virgin Islands NASA-Space Communications Co. CON-Defense Production Act Rural Electrification Admin. SBA-Small Business Investment Cos. SBA-State/Local Development Cos. TVA-Seven States Energy Corp. DOT-Section 511 DOT-WMATA TOTALS* $ 145,216.9 •figures may not total due to rounding 3.6 -1.5 -0-0-00.3 20,887.1 886.3 402.8 1,561.4 156.4 177.0 -194.9 -1.3 23.9 16.5 $ 145,174.4 $ 42.6 0.7 -0- 48.0 22.6 -0-32.3 -2.0 -0-0-52.3 0.7 105.9 24.7 72.2 22.3 -2.6 -0$ 380.8 TREASURY NEWS epartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-20 REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE R. T. MCNAMAR DEPUTY SECRETARY OF THE U.S. TREASURY BEFORE THE DAVOS SYMPOSIUM DAVOS, SWITZERLAND February 2, 1985 THE USA AND THE WORLD ECONOMY Good morning. It's a pleasure to be in such distinguished company and in such a beautiful setting. Discussing both the strides we have made during the last four years and the challenges ahead is not unlike a situation faced by Winston Churchill. He was once accosted by a woman at a formal meeting in a grand ballroom. Looking him straight in the eye, she said "I've been told that if all the liquor you have consumed was poured into this room it would come up to about here" — motioning to approximately her neckline. Churchill, looking around the great room, retorted: "Ah — so much accomplished, yet so much left remaining to do." Indeed, that's our philosophy. We have made significant progress but still look with anticipation at the economic opportunities ahead. I think this opportunity to discuss with you the plans and goals of the second Reagan Administration is particularly important in this day and age. Although the lesson has come slowly to some, we must realize that in today's world the political and economic decisions made in one capital of the world affect not only that country, but all the other countries of the world as well. B-10 - 2 - During the past four years, we have not only enjoyed^ one of the strongest economic recoveries of our times, but also nave laid the foundation for continued economic growth and expansion. Just two weeks ago, President Ronald Reagan assumed the^ presidency of my country for his second term. The weatner may have been bitterly cold, but his words, I believe, warmed the hearts of free men and women everywhere. In his inaugural address, President Reagan defined his goals for "a new American Emancipation." He said, "We go forward today, a nation still mighty in its youth and powerful in its purpose. With our alliances strengthened, with our economy leading the world to a new age of economic expansion, we look to a future rich in possibilities." You'll notice that the President spoke of new economic opportunities from both a domestic and an international perspective. Indeed, let me build on the President's words and suggest that for major industrialized nations the historical distinction between domestic economic policy and international economic policy simply no longer exists. They are one and the same. Today, U.S. domestic economic policy decisions affect the rest of the world and obviously vice versa. Our fiscal and monetay policy influences yours. Your trade and investment policies influence ours. The economic destinies of our countries are inexorably linked. And, the accelerating integration of the industrialized and developing economies of the world promises an even closer dependence tomorrow. This reality is well understood by the Reagan Administration. TRIAD OF INTERDEPENDENCE Our interdependence and mutual economic prospects are based on three integrated global systems I call our "triad of interdependence." They are: (1) our mutual security arrangements; (2) our international trading system; and (3) our international financial system. Each of these individual systems is dependent on both of the others if we are to achieve our mutual objective of sustained non-inflationary economic growth and prosperity for the future. A brief overview of the importance of each of these three elements in the triad illustrates this new interdependence and demonstrates the inherent obligations and responsibilities - 3- Security System The first element of our interdependence, and the one that provides a positive environment for the growth of international trade and financial transactions, is our mutual security system. President Reagan demonstrated our resolve to ensure mutual security when, at the United Nations General Assembly, he stated: "The starting point and the cornerstone of our foreign policy is our alliance and partnership with our fellow democracies .... Indeed, the bulwark of security that the democratic alliance provides is essential and remains essential to the maintenance of world peace. Every alliance involves burdens and obligations, but these are far less than the risks and sacrifices that will result if the peace-loving nations were divided • and neglectful of their common security." This security system provides the crucial political underpinning for our mutual efforts to manage and build economic opportunities. Trading System The second key system in the triad of interdependence is the world trading system. The growth of international trade that we have witnessed over the last decade has clearly served to better integrate the world into a more homogeneous marketplace. From 1975 to 1983, trade of the industrialized countries with all trading partners combined, doubled from $1.2 trillion to nearly $2.4 trillion. During this period, trade among industrialized countries alone grew from $765 billion to $1.6 trillion. The Reagan Administration clearly recognizes international trade as a major and growing component of our economy. Our merchandise trade now totals 15 percent of GNP, compared with only 3 percent in 1970. In most of Europe, the percentages are even higher: for example, in France today trade is 37 percent of GDP vs. 24 percent in 1970. Such statistics only amplify the importance of international trade which each of you works with on a daily basis. Long term, the growth of any economy and perhaps especially the U.S. is dependent on the economic prospects in the rest of the world. We are clearly aware of our dominant role in the world economy, producing 40 percent of OECD GNP. The growth of - 4 - the United States economy and the manner in which it has helped to bolster the economic prospects of other industrialized countries and LDCs during the last two years is a perfect example of this point. The most direct and obvious effect of our recovery is the stimulus to European growth via higher U.S. imports. U.S. imports from Europe are up 32 percent for the first 11 months of 1984. This $16 billion rise has been a welcome and important stimulus to European recovery. Our current trade deficit is the reciprocal of the export surge from Europe, Japan and the LDCs in 1983 and 1984. Financial System The third element of the triad of interdependence is the accelerating integration of worldwide capital markets. There has now evolved one worldwide market for a wide spectrum of financial transactions. As a result of computerized telecommunications, we now transmit billions of dollars across the world in less time than it takes to physically present a check or to make a savings deposit. The growth and development of international financial markets has fundamentally altered the relationship between trade and capital flows. And, although not widely understood, for the foreseeable future capital flows will determine exchange rates, which in turn will influence trade flows, not vice versa. Currently, international trade in goods and services totals approximately $2 trillion per year. By comparison, capital flows are estimated to be in the $20-30 trillion range or 10 to 15 times that of goods and services. With such large financial flows, no nation can ignore its financial ties with other nations. The interbank market is international in character and is virtually homogeneous. Disintermediation is no longer a domestic policy issue — it is an international phenomenon in which we are all participating. OBLIGATIONS OF INTERDEPENDENCE As one reviews these three components of the triad of economic interdependence, it is important to realize that this interdependence carries significant opportunities and important obligations and responsibilities for all nations. - 5- Security System To ensure our mutual security, a real commitment of resources, both monetary and other, is needed. Currently, the United States commitment to ensuring the security of Europe is significant. We believe that those who benefit should pay more. It is important for Europe and the world to realize that part of the reason for projected United States budget deficits comes from this Administration's commitment to ensuring mutual security. As in the other areas of interdependence, we must identify the coefficients that link the system. For example, many Europeans would like the U.S. to increase our military contributions to NATO. Other Europeans are heard to demand the U.S. budget deficit, particularly defense spending, be reduced. Allegedly, this will reduce U.S. nominal interest rates and weaken the U.S. dollar, which in turn will surely lower the European Communities' exports to the U.S. and make U.S. exports more competitive in third markets; which will slow EC exports diminishing European real growth; and eventually lead to calls within the Alliance for reduced European defense expenditures to achieve their budget austerity due to a weakening economy led down by a fall in European exports to the U.S. Obviously, interdependence has many facets. Trading System In the area of trade policies, we must all work to avoid protectionism. As we all know, protectionism in the long term will constrain worldwide growth and preclude efficient allocation of the world's resources. While the United States' record isn't perfect, during the last four years, the United States has undertaken numerous efforts to reduce protectionism and open its border to international trade. As a measurement of the United States' leadership against protectionism, total U.S. imports have risen 34 percent in 1984 with imports of textiles up 55 percent and steel up 70 percent. Unfortunately, the picture on the international trade front is not all progress. In particular, there are a number of stubborn, long-standing issues in the trade area between the U.S. and the EC. Among these are: o Problems with the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) that have led to continual threats to U.S. access to the EC markets. - 6 - EC insistence on changes in GATT rules to allow it to apply quantitative import restrictions on a "selective" U ; e « discriminatory) basis has blocked attempts to negotiate a new Safeguard Code in the GATT. This EC position dates from 1976. o European restrictions on imports of Japanese products has led to increased Japanese market penetration in the U.S., which has increased domestic political pressures in the U.S. The very fact that these issues have been unresolved suggests to me that appropriate action is long overdue. We feel that an improving economic environment such as we are experiencing both in the United States and Europe is the best time to address some of these trade issues. Financial System In the area of international finance, the unification of capital markets necessitates consistent and cooperative policies by all major countries. In 1982 and 1983, cooperative international efforts prevented the international debt problems of the developing countries from becoming an international financial crisis that could have converted a worldwide recession into a worldwide depression. None of us could have done it alone. We were dependent on each other because of the worldwide interbank deposit and bank syndicate market. REAGAN ECONOMIC POLICIES This new order of interdependence places significant importance on and interest in the Reagan Administration's economic priorities for the next four years. The economic game plan outlined by the Reagan Administration when it first took office was specifically designed to be one which would not have to be altered with every shift of the economic winds. The Achievements of the Past Four Years We feel that our program has been a stunning success and I would like to take a moment to summarize for you some of our most important economic achievements: o Real GNP growth since the recession trough in late 1982 has averaged 6.0 percent annually — stronger than for any expansion period since the Korean War era. - 7 - o The unemployment rate has fallen from 10.7 percent at the end of 1982 to 7.2 percent at the end of 1984. During that period 7.2 million jobs have been created. When compared to the performance of the rest of the world, this achievement is even more dramatic. o The inflation that plagued the late '60's and '70's and capped the past decade with double-digit rates averaging close to 13 percent has been curbed. This cutting of inflation to the 3.4 percent level has been achieved far faster than even we anticipated and occurred in an environment of strong real GNP growth and rapid job formation — something thought to be impossible in the traditional Keynesian view of economics. The reduction in inflation has been the key to the drop in interest rates that we have witnessed over the past few years. The prime rate has fallen by 11 full percentage points from a peak of 21 1/2 percent in late 1980. Three-month Treasury bill rates have fallen from 17 percent in early 1981 to about 7 3/4 percent currently. o Productivity in the private nonfarm economy, which had been essentially unchanged from late 1977 to the end of 1982 is now back on the positive growth path of approximately 3 percent a year. o Finally, there has been a spectacular turnaround in the investment climate in the United States. During the current expansion, real business capital spending has surged at a 15.4 percent annual rate — faster than in any comparable post-World War II expansion period and more than double the average. We are not suggesting by any means that our job is completed. But we feel that the figures cited above represent clear evidence that our prescription was the correct one for what ailed the U.S. economy. - 8 - This progress that we have made during the last four years suggests that the fundamentals are sound for sustainable long-term non-inflationary growth in the United States. To achieve this objective, you can look for the President to again focus on the four key elements of the program first introduced in 1981. Looking Forward: Federal Government Spending First, we will renew our efforts to deal with the budget deficit through further cuts in the rate of growth in federal spending. An analysis of today's situation in the U.S. indicates that it is government spending, not tax cuts, that is the source of the deficit. We project that long-term government revenues will average approximately 19.5 percent of GNP between 1985-89 under our proposals. This is slightly higher than the period of 1964-79. By contrast, federal government spending is far above its historical levels. From 1964-74, federal government spending was 19.8 percent of GNP. From 1975-79, it was 22 percent. In 1984, it was still nearly 24 percent of GNP (down from 25 percent in 1983). If major budget changes are to be made, they must be made in the spending levels, not taxes. We will simply have to make some very difficult spending decisions with the realization that our government's resources are limited in the near term. Tax Policies The second key policy is that the Administration will continue to reduce personal income tax rates and thereby create added incentives for work, productivity, saving and investment. The current tax system is heavily biased toward borrowing and consumption — in essence creating a disincentive for savings. This complicates our efforts to raise the capital needed to ensure sustained non-inflationary growth. Given our tax system biases, it is not surprising that the U.S. savings rate is low relative to other countries. The Treasury tax proposals that were announced late last year are designed to make the system fairer, simpler, and more economically neutral. The proposals are carefully designed to be revenue-neutral. They are not an answer to our budqetary problems. - 9 - For individuals, the proposal provides for a simple three-bracket system replacing the current 14, with rates set at 15%, 25% and 35%. This will reduce marginal tax rates by an average of 20 percent and will reduce individual tax liabilities, on average, 8.5 percent. For businesses, marginal tax rates will fall from 46 percent to 33 percent, and the special provisions which gave preferences to certain industries will be eliminated. Importantly, for the first time we will be indexing capital costs and interest to ensure only real, not nominal, gains are taxed. I believe tax simplification and reform is an idea whose time has come, and one of the major goals of the President's second term will be to see that the United States has a tax system' that is equitable, comprehensible and promotes economic g rowth. Reducing Structural Rigidities The third element of the President's program has involved instituting a far-reaching program of regulatory relief. We, and this includes Democrats as well as Republicans, have recognized that highly regulated industries were simply not competitive in today's world. In essence, regulated firms lose the flexibility to adapt to changes which are fundamental to remaining competitive in dynamic, worldwide economic environments. Consequently, we in the government have sought to provide greater freedom for private industry. The gradual drift toward greater and greater concentration of rule-making and decision-making in Washington is being reversed. Our results over the last four years in a number of areas support this basic philosophy. — Small businesses — which tend to be less influenced by rigidities generated by labor unions, for example, have been our greatest source of job growth. For instance, small enterprises with under 20 employees generated all of the net new jobs in the economy between 1980 and 1982. And in the twelve months ending in September 1983, employment in small-business dominated subsectors rose 2.6 percent, compared to growth of only 1.2 percent in large-business dominated subsectors. Since 1980, the employment of Fortune 500 companies has actually declined. - 10 - — Progress on deregulating some of our.,major...,. industries has been important in enhancing the flexibility of wages — a major force in the reduction in inflation since 1980. Among the most cogent examples of the effect of deregulation on wages were the airline and trucking industries, where the number of trucking firms has jumped from 17,000 to 28,000. This means more jobs and more choices for the consumers (an example of enterprise). At the risk of being controversial, as a friend, I should say to European policymakers that increasing the flexibility and adaptability of the United States' economy is already paying handsome dividends for us and has substantial long-term implications for you. In a world where economic markets are becoming more unified and homogeneous, if the United States has a substantial economic advantage over more structurally rigid and overly regulated European economies, we will in the long run continue to out-perform you. Our growth and expansion hvae not come without critical shifts. Individual industries such as steel and autos have suffered real declines in output. However, such shifts are expected in a dynamic economy. No one should strive for job preservation in the buggy-whip industry nor are we preserving the New England Whiskey industry. Other industries in a free market economy will provide jobs. In essence, the issue is whether the market allocation of resources is quicker, more efficient, and provides a better standard of living than a more dirigiste allocation process. Shall consumers or government bureaucrats decide? The Reagan Administration closely believes decisions should be made by the consumers. If Europe is to compete successfully in a worldwide marketplace with the U.S. and Japan, perhaps it is time to reconsider those EC and individual country policies that are currently hindering Europe's initiative, adaptation, and therefore economic growth. The Outlook The cumulative effect of these United States policies and the progress that follows is the continued gradual shift on our part to a country and people that increasingly will rely on the private sector to generate sustainable growth. - 11 - Four years ago when President Reagan came to office he was faced by an economy experiencing fundamental difficulties. The problems of low growth, low investment, stagnant productivity, and raging inflation have now been largely alleviated, allowing the Administration to focus its primary attention on the goals of further progress on reducing federal outlays and tax reform. We are optimistic that the economy will remain on a steady course in the future. The official economic forecast associated with the FY 1986 budget will be available next week and will show real GNP growth in the 4 percent range over the next several years. There is no reason to anticipate any difficulties in achieving that growth. Over the past four years, we've been successful in practicing a philosophy of free markets. We see important opportunities ahead not only for the United States, but also for the rest of the world. To capitalize on these opportunities, however, we must recognize the new interdependencies that now exist and continue to make the difficult political decisions to remove structural rigidities and focus on long-term sustainable economic growth. PORTFOLIO THEORY OF EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENTS Before concluding, I have been asked to address exchange rate movements and the rise of the dollar. In this vein I would like to suggest a framework for assessing exchange rate movements which, I believe, better fits the worldwide integration of today's capital markets. Today, international trade in goods and services totals approximately $2 trillion per year. By comparison, estimates of annual capital flows are usually in the $20-30 trillion range or 10 to 15 times those of goods and services. Given this relative importance of capital flows versus trade flows today, it seems clear that capital flows, not trade flows, determine exchange market dynamics. In short, capital flows today do affect exchange flows and alter trade flows, but not vice versa. Hence specualtion that the current record United States trade deficit will alone weaken the dollar is particularly false. Accordingly, I submit that exchange rate movements are a function of many thousands of market investors simply seeking the most attractive return on their investments, given the worldwide array of possibilities. The following seems to be a more complete explanation of the market changes we've seen recently. - 12 - Institutional investors alter exchange rates by shifting their oortfolio preferences toward investments in countries where the anticipated relative after-tax real rate of return from investments is higher, given investment assets of comparable maturity, financial uncertainty, and similar sovereign risks. And, when investors sense that there are current or prospective developments that will significantly alter anticipated relative rates of return to invested capital, they realign their investment preferences. Over time, the resulting flows of international capital help to achieve a more efficient allocation of resources on a worldwide basis. Exchange rate movements are a function of investment preferences at a country level. However, the movements are a product of the relative attractiveness of all of the "portfolio" options within an individual country and between countries. Basic investment options within a country such as real estate, equity, and fixed income investments can be further divided by maturity structure and risk uncertainty, the after-tax real rate of return for each investment type within a country determines the demand, or relative attractiveness, of a given currency and consequently exchange rate movements. After-tax real rates of return are a function of the overall economic and political environment impacting the investment decision. To understand this fully, one must analyze each of the individual components in a country relative to other countries. Consider these factors in a disaggregated situation. — Sustainable economic growth prospects in a country' relative to all other countries — Nominal pretax rates of return from equities, real estate, or fixed income securities relative to all other countries Projected inflation rate in a country relative to all other countries — Effective tax rates on investments in a country relative to all other countries Capital market conditions in a country relative to all other countries — Government regulations and social regidity in a country relative to all other countries "" ?SV!n i«!»,and political ris* in a country relative to all others . •— - 13 - I submit that at the margin it is the aggregate of these factors in each country relative to other key nations that determines present and future exchange rates. At any point in time, the factors are weighted differently by diverse investors and are continually changing to reflect their disparate scenarios for the future. It is the daily interaction of thousands of international institutional and corporate investor's collective response and weighting to those factors that provides both the underlying trends and the day-to-day volatility in exchange markets. While I cannot present a precise mathematical equation to calculate or predict exchange rates, I believe this framework is more comprehensive than most in making strategic portfolio decisions. As such, it suggests a model for evaluating the dollar's strong performance in recent years and drawing implications for future micro-economic policies for your firm and macro-economic policies for the nation. When discussing economic policy implications against this backdrop, we should consider the current debate on reducing the United States budget deficit. As I said earlier, many academics, Wall Street types, and associated rail birds have called for a reduction in the deficit to reduce U.S. interest rates and thereby weaken the dollar. Let me reiterate that the Reagan Administration, and I believe the Congress, is clearly committed to reducing the budget deficit through spending reductions, not tax increases. However, given the framework I've outlined, the effect of reducing the deficit should be to strengthen the dollar, not weaken it. A reduced deficit would reduce federal borrowing requirements, thereby reducing federal competition with the private sector for available credit. All other things being equal, this will improve the anticipation of sustained non-inflationary growth in the United States relative to other countries. Given an appropriate monetary policy, this will undoubtedly result in an even more attractive U.S. investment environment relative to other countries. Indeed, I submit that cutting the budget deficit through reduced government spending will further strengthen the dollar based on my portfolio shift hypothesis. I believe the dollar's strength reflects, not some temporary interest rate or trade balance factor, but a fundamental relative improvement in U.S. economic policies, performance and prospects compared to the other reserve currencies. And, I suggest more and'more observers will begin to believe that the dollar will continue to be "strong" relative to the last half of the 1970's - 14 - for the foreseeable future, until and unless other countries adopt policies which achieve more sustainable non-inflationary growth with other factors being equal. This can only be done by reducing structural ridigities, promoting growth and providing for free and open capital markets. The United States would welcome and anticipates some improvement in European economic performance relative to the United States in 1985. This could result in some appreciation of major European currencies against the dollar. We will not try to support any level for the dollar. However, those who suggest an imminent collapse of the dollar either don't believe in the portfolio shift explanation or are naively attempting to use a single variable correlation to explain a multiple variant phenomenon market. I suggest that we consider the implications of this integration of the world's financial markets or the trading system and to think of protectionism. TREASURY NEWS epartmerit of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. February 12, 1985 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $14,000 million, to be issued February 21, 1985. This offering will provide about $525 million of new cash for the Treasury, as the maturing bills were originally issued in the amount of $13,463 million. The two series offered are as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $7,000 million, representing ah additional amount of bills dated November 23, 1984, and to mature May 23, 1985 (CUSIP No. 912794 HD 9), currently outstanding in the amount of $6,827 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills for approximately $7,000 million, to be dated February 21, 1985, and to mature August 22, 1985 (CUSIP No. 912794 HW 7). Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing February 21, 1985. In addition to the maturing 13-week and 26-week bills, there are $8,529 million of maturing 52-week bills. The disposition of this latter amount was announced last week. Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, currently hold $1,745 million, and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account hold $4,321 million of the maturing bills. These amounts represent the combined holdings of such accounts for the three issues of maturing bills. Tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the weighted average bank discount rates of accepted competitive tenders. Additional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. For purposes of determining such additional amounts, foreign and international monetary authorities are considered to hold $1,395 million of the original 13-week and 26-week issues. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount will be payable without interest. Both series of bills will be issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,000 and in any higher $5,000 multiple, on the records either of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasury. B-ll - 2 Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C. 20239 prior to 1:00 p.m., Eastern Standard time, Tuesday, February 19, 1985. Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. Each tender must state the par amount of bills bid for, which must be a minimum of $10,.000. Tenders over $10,000 must be in multiples of $5,000. Competitive tenders must also show the yield desired, expressed on a bank discount rate basis with two decimals, e.g., 7.15%. Fractions may not be used. A single bidder, as defined in Treasury's single bidder guidelines, shall not submit noncompetitive tenders totaling more than $1,000,000. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities may submit tenders for account of customers, if the names of the customers and the amount for each customer are furnished. Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million. This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p.m. Eastern time on the day of the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering, e.g., bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six-month bills. Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million. A noncompetitive bidder may not have entered into an agreement, nor make an agreement to purchase or sell or otherwise dispose of any noncompetitive awards of this issue being auctioned prior to the designated closing time for receipt of tenders. Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction. No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches. A deposit - 3 of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and yield range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $1,000,000 or less without stated yield from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average bank discount rate (in two decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. The calculation of purchase prices for accepted bids will be carried to three decimal places on the basis of price per hundred, e.g., 99.923, and the determinations of the Secretary of the Treasury shall be final. Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on February 21, 1985, in cash or other immediately-available funds or in Treasury bills maturing February 21, 1985. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. In addition, Treasury Tax and Loan Note Option Depositaries may make payment for allotments of bills for their own accounts and for account of customers by credit to their Treasury Tax and Loan Note Accounts on the settlement date. In general, if a bill is purchased at issue after July 18, 1984, and held to maturity, the amount of discount is reportable as ordinary income in the Federal income tax return of the owner at the time of redemption. Accrual-basis taxpayers, banks, and other persons designated in section 1281 of the Internal Revenue Code must include in income the portion of the discount for the period during the taxable year such holder held the bill. If the bill is sold or otherwise disposed of before maturity, the portion of the gain equal to the accrued discount will be treated as ordinary income. Any excess may be treated as capital gain. Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, Treasury's single bidder guidelines, and this notice prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars, guidelines, and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. rREASURY NEWS sartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-204 FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. February 13, 1985 TREASURY TO AUCTION $9,000 MILLION OF 2-YEAR NOTES The Department of the Treasury will auction $9,000 million of 2-year notes to refund $7,789 million of 2-year notes maturing February 28, 1985, and to raise about $1,200 million new cash. The $7,789 million of maturing 2-year notes are those held by the public, including $598 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities. The $9,000 million is being offered to the public, and any amounts tendered by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be added to that amount. Tenders for such accounts will be accepted at the average price of accepted competitive tenders. In addition to the public holdings, Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks, for their own accounts, hold $645 million of the maturing securities that may be refunded by issuing additional amounts of the new notes at the average price of accepted competitive tenders. Details about the new security are given in the attached highlights of the offering and in the official offering circular. oOo Attachment B-12 HIGHLIGHTS OF TREASURY OFFERING TO THE PUBLIC OF 2-YEAR NOTES TO BE ISSUED FEBRUARY 28, 1985 February 13, 1985 Amount Offered: To the public Description of Security: Term and type of security Series and CUSIP designation Maturity date Call date Interest rate Investment yield Premium or discount Interest payment dates Minimum denomination available Terms of Sale: Method of sale Competitive tenders Noncompetitive tenders Accrued interest payable by investor Payment by non-institutional investors Payment through Treasury Tax ard Loan (TT&L) Note Accounts Deposit guarantee by designated institutions Key Dates: Receipt of tenders Settlement (final payment due from institutions) a) cash or Federal funds b) readily collectible check $9,000 million 2-year notes Series S-1987 (CUSIP No. 912827 RX 2) February 28, 1987 No provision To be determined based on the average of accepted bids To be determined at auction To be determined after auction August 31 and February 28 $5,000 Yield Auction Must be expressed as an annual yield, with two decimals, e.g., 7.10% Accepted in full at the average price up to $1,000,000 None Full payment to be submitted with tender Acceptable for TT&L Note Option Depositaries Acceptable Wednesday, February 20, 1985, prior to 1:00 p.m., EST Thursday, February 28, 1985 Tuesday, February 26, 1985 TREASURY NEWS _ lepartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE February 14, 1985 CONTACT: CHARLES POWERS (202) 566-2041 U.S.-DENMARK ESTATE TAX TREATY ENTERS INTO FORCE The Treasury Department today announced that the Government of the Kingdom of Denmark has confirmed receipt of the U.S. instrument of ratification of the "Convention Between the Government of the United States of America and the Government of the Kingdom of Denmark for the Avoidance of Double Taxation and the Prevention of Fiscal Evasion with Respect to Taxes on Estates, Inheritances, Gifts, and Certain Other Transfers," signed at Washington on April 27, 1983, and has agreed to the reservation entered by the United States Senate to ratification. The ratification procedures were completed on November 7, 1984 and the convention entered into force on that day. Its provisions have effect for estates of individuals dying on or after November 7, 1984 and for gifts made or deemed transfers occurring on or after that date. o 0 o B-13 TREASURY NEWS epartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephon FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE February 14, 1985 RESULTS OF TREASURY'S 52-WEEK BILL AUCTION Tenders for $ 8,504 million of 52-week bills to be issued February 21, 1985, and to mature February 20, 1986, were accepted today. The details are as follows: RANGE OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: Discount Investment Rate Rate Low 8.45% High 8.46% Average 8.46% (Equivalent Coupon-Issue Yield) Price 9.16% 91.456 9.17% 91.446 9.17% 91.446 Tenders at the high discount rate were allotted 81%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED Location Boston $ 461,705 $ 19,705 New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TOTALS (In Thousands) Received Accepted 39,492,275 18,165 15,055 34,250 41,150 1,173,630 80,780 12,570 59,410 12,430 2,219,730 114,695 $43,735,845 7,351,980 8,165 15,055 27,000 27,150 160,530 53,760 12,570 57,410 12,430 643,230 114,695 $8,503,680 Competitive $41,432,420 Noncompetitive 578,425 Subtotal, Public $42,010,845 Federal Reserve 1,600,000 1,600,000 Foreign Official Institutions 125,000 TOTALS $43,735,845 $8,503,680 $6,200,255 578,425 $6,778,680 T YPe B-14 125,000 TREASURY NEWS tepartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 For Release Upon Delivery Expected at 2:00 p.m. February 19, 1985 Testimony of the Honorable James A. Baker, III Secretary of the Treasury Before the Senate Appropriations Committee February 19, 1985 Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: It is a pleasure to meet with you today to discuss our fiscal affairs and the tasks that lie ahead. The economy has done very well in the past year and the outlook for the future is promising. But we are faced with the need to reduce what has become an excessive rate of Federal spending. Because of that Federal spending, the prospective budget deficits that would develop in the absence of any offsetting action are far too large for our long-run economic health. We must place the Federal budget deficit on a declining path and keep.it there. With your help and a bipartisan Congressional effort, I am sure that meaningful reductions in the growth of Federal spending can be achieved. Legislative action along the lines recommended in the President's Budget proposals will provide a fiscal framework within which the economy can continue to prosper. These past four years have been marked by truly dramatic improvement in the performance of the U. S- economy. Four years ago, it was the increasingly held belief that we had lost the ability to control our economic destiny — that inflation was out of control, that dwindling availability of natural resources would put a cap on growth; and, most worrisome of all, we were told that we had lost the innovative spirit that had propelled this economy to world leadership. Now, confidence in our ability to meet the challenges of the future is being restored by the implementation of an economic program designed specifically to: bring inflation under control, B-15 2 — free markets from the burden of unnecessary government interference, — restore incentives for productivity and growth, — and, thereby, increase opportunity for all. That program has been remarkably successful by almost every measure of economic performance. Real growth for 1984 was the highest since 1951. During the first two years of the current expansion, at a 6.0 percent annual rate, real growth has been the strongest for any expansion since the economy pulled out of the strike-depressed recession trough of late-1949 into the Korean War boom. — Growth of real business capital spending during this expansion has far outpaced gains during any previous postwar recovery. Our economy has shown itself to be a remarkable jobcreating machine. Spurred by formation of new business and by technological innovation, more than 7.3 million jobs have been created during this recovery and expansion. And even as the economy has shown this remarkable growth, inflation has stayed under control. For each of the past three years, it has not exceeded 4%. Last year, as measured by the GNP deflator, it was the lowest since 1967. And the trends of wages, oil prices, and world raw material prices all remain favorable. I have made a promise to myself that I know I may not be able to keep. But I shall try. While I will of course contribute to the development of economic forecasts that we use for purposes of planning and analysis, I shall try to resist the temptation to offer specific, detailed, numerical economic forecasts of my own. The economic projections underlying the budget assume continued real economic growth and a steady decline in unemployment, inflation, and interest rates. onsistent with my promise to myself, let me say only this the overall economic outlook. Prospects are excellent for 3 sustained economic growth without inflation — provided that we act promptly and responsibly to continue what we have begun. And by "we" I should emphasize that I mean to include both Houses of the Congress, as well as the Executive Branch. There is still much unfinished business. We must not rest with the tax rate reduction we enacted in 1981. That simply adjusted for the hyper-inflation that the economy had been experiencing before. Now we must go on, as the President has directed, to overhaul the whole tax system — to increase fairness, simplicity, and economic growth. This element of our program is, as the President has said, of equal priority with spending control. The printed budget document includes a number of revenuerelated measures -- most of which have been submitted before. These range from tuition tax credits to enterprize zone incentives to technical provisions related to certain trust funds. The budget does not include the proposals for comprehensive overhaul of the tax system — for, as you know, those proposals, made public on November 27, remain under review. But we believe that — with constructive effort by all parties — a comprehensive restructuring of the tax system could be enacted this year. And I will be having a good deal more to say about this in other contexts. The focus of today's discussion is principally upon our printed budget, however. Immediate steps must be taken to narrow the deficit. Just as important as closing the deficit is the manner by which it is closed. It would be wrong to go back to our old ways of pushing up taxes, either legislatively or by bracket creep in a nonindexed system. In our view, the tax reductions of the past several years have been largely responsible for the turnaround in economic performance. This means that deficit reduction must be accomplished from the spending side. The large deficits that we face during the remainder of the decade are due to an excessive rate of Federal spending. The American people do not feel they are undertaxed. They want government spending brought under control. Between 1964 and 1979, Federal outlays averaged 20-1/2 percent of GNP. Now they are in the 24 to 25 percent range. Federal outlays have virtually been living a life of their own. The President's budget proposals would restrain the rate of growth of outlays below that of the economy and shrink the 4 outlay-GNP ratio down to the 21 percent range by the end of the decade. This would leave a deficit of less than $100 billion by 1990. The President's budget proposes a combination of freezes, reforms, user fees, program cuts and terminations that will achieve savings for fiscal year 1986 of a little more than $50 billion. This is calculated from the "baseline" path that spending would take if we did nothing. These reductions are sufficient to hold total spending on government programs — that is, everything but debt service — no higher in 1986 than in 1985. It is an ambitious target, but is achievable, without damaging the social safety net, or our continued defense rebuilding, or any essential government function. Achievement of our target of $50 billion in reductions would accomplish two things. The deficit in 1986 would be about $40 billion less than in 1985. And, even more important., the actions taken this year will have an amplified effect in later years, resulting in annual savings of more than $100 billion by 1983. This will set the deficit on a declining path — both in absolute dollars and, even more significantly, as a share of GNP. Under our economic assumptions, the deficit would drop from over 5 1/2 percent of GNP this year to less than 3 percent by 1988 — on down to less than 1 1 / 2 percent by 1990. The exact percentages are not the issue; the important thing is the trend. The deficit has been accommodated thus far without damage to the expansion, and interest rates have declined considerably. But "real" interest rates remain too high. We need monetary policies that will allow us to continue strong economic growth without inflation. Such policies will help get interest rates down further. At the same time, a firm, convincing policy of deficit reduction will also help keep us on a course to still lower interest rates — while insuring that the Government, in financing the deficit, does not absorb such a large share of the nation's savings as to impair private productive investment. Our budget proposal represents a "freeze" in total program spending. That is something that is easy for most to understand —- and to most, I think, it makes sense. There will, we know, be disagreements about what we propose specifically for one program or another. But we believe our specific proposals are thoroughly defensible on the merits. And we look forward to working with the Congress to develop a comprehensive package that will bring the budget under control — by freezing overall program spending for fiscal year 1986. With good will, we believe this can be done. We are sure it is what the American people want to be done. TREASURY NEWS lepartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-20411 For Release Upon Delivery Expected at 2:30 p.m. February 20, 1985 Testimony of the Honorable James A. Baker, III Secretary of the Treasury Before the U.S. Senate Committee on the Budget February 20, 1985 Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: It is a pleasure to meet with you today to discuss our fiscal affairs and the tasks that lie ahead. The economy has done very well in the past year and the outlook for the future is promising. But we are faced with the need to reduce what has become an excessive rate of Federal spending. Because of that Federal spending, the prospective budget deficits that would develop in the absence of any offsetting action are far too Large for our long-run economic health. We must place the Federal budget deficit on a declining path and keep it there. With your help and a bipartisan Congressional effort, I am sure that meaningful reductions in the growth of Federal spending can be achieved. Legislative action along the lines recommended in the President's Budget proposals will provide a fiscal framework within which the economy can continue to prosper. These past four years have been marked by truly dramatic improvement in the performance of the U. S. economy. Four years ago, it was the increasingly held belief that we had lost the ability to control our economic destiny — that inflation was out of control, that dwindling availability of natural resources would put a cap on growth; and, most worrisome of all, we were told that we had lost the innovative spirit that had propelled this economy to world leadership. Now, confidence in our ability to meet the challenges of the future is being restored by the implementation of an economic program designed specifically to: bring inflation under control. B-16 2 f r e e markets from the burden of unnecessary government interference, restore incentives for productivity and growth, and, thereby, increase opportunity for all. That program has been remarkably successful by almost every measure of economic performance. Real growth for 1984 was the highest since 1951. During the first two years of the current expansion, at a 6.0 percent annual rate, real growth has been the strongest for any expansion since the economy pulled out of the strike-depressed recession trough of late-1949 into the Korean War boom. Growth of real business capital spending during this expansion has far outpaced gains during any previous postwar recovery. — Our economy has shown itself to be a remarkable jobcreating machine. Spurred by formation of new business and by technological innovation, more than 7.3 million jobs have been created during this recovery and expansion. And even as the economy has shown this remarkable growth, inflation has stayed under control. For each of the past three years, it has not exceeded 4%. Last year, as measured by the GNP deflator, it was the lowest since 1967. And the trends of wages, oil prices, and world raw material prices all remain favorable. I have made a promise to myself that I know I may not be able to keep. But I shall try. While I will of course contribute to the development of economic forecasts that we use for purposes of planning and analysis, I shall try to resist the temptation to offer specific, detailed, numerical economic forecasts of my own. The economic projections underlying the budget assume continued real economic growth and a steady decline in unemployment, inflation, and interest rates. Consistent with my promise to myself, let me say only this about the overall economic outlook. Prospects are excellent for sustained economic growth without inflation — provided that we 3 act promptly and responsibly to continue what we have begun. And by "we" I should emphasize that I mean to include both Houses of the Congress, as well as the Executive Branch. There is still much unfinished business. We must not rest with the tax rate reduction we enacted in 1981. That simply adjusted for the hyper-inflation that the economy had been experiencing before. Now we must go on, as the President has directed, to overhaul the whole tax system — to increase fairness, simplicity, and economic growth. This element of our program is, as the President has said, of equal priority with spending control. The printed budget document includes a number of revenuerelated measures -- most of which have been submitted before. These range from tuition tax credits to enterprize zone incentives to technical provisions related to certain trust funds. The budget does not include the proposals for comprehensive overhaul of the tax system — for, as you know, those proposals, made public on November 27, remain under review. But we believe that — with constructive effort by all parties — a comprehensive restructuring of the tax system could be enacted this year. And I will be having a good deal more to say about this in other contexts. The focus of today's discussion is principally upon our printed budget, however. Immediate steps must be taken to narrow the deficit. Just as important as closing the deficit is the manner by which it is closed. It would be wrong to go back to our old ways of pushing up taxes, either legislatively or by bracket creep in a nonindexed system. In our view, the tax reductions of the past several years have been largely responsible for the turnaround in economic performance. This means that deficit reduction must be accomplished from the spending side. The large deficits that we face during the remainder of the decade are due to an excessive rate of Federal spending. The American people do not feel they are undertaxed. They want government spending brought under control. Between 1964 and 1979, Federal outlays averaged 20-1/2 percent of GNP. Now they are in the 24 to 25 percent range. Federal outlays have virtually been living a life of their own. The President's budget proposals would restrain the rate of growth of outlays below that of the economy and shrink the 4 n.irlav-GNP ratio down to the 21 percent range by the end of the decade. This would leave a deficit of less than $100 billion by 1990. The President's budget proposes a combination of freezes, reforms, user fees, program cuts and terminations that will achieve savings for fiscal year 1986 of a little more than $50 billion. This is calculated from the "baseline" path that spending would take if we did nothing. These reductions are sufficient to hold total spending on government programs — that is, everything but debt service — no higher in 1986 than in 1985. It is an ambitious target, but is achievable, without damaging the social safety net, or our_continued defense rebuilding, or any essential government function. Achievement of our target of $50 billion in reductions would accomplish two things. The deficit in 1986 would be about $40 billion less than in 1985. And, even more important, the actions taken this year will have an amplified effect in later years, resulting in annual savings of more than $100 billion by 1988. This will set the deficit on a declining path — both in absolute dollars and, even more significantly, as a share of GNP. Under our economic assumptions, the deficit would drop from over 5 1/2 percent of GNP this year to less than 3 percent by 1988 — on down to less than 1 1/2 percent by 1990. The exact percentages are not the issue; the important thing is the trend. The deficit has been accommodated thus far without damage to the expansion, and interest rates have declined considerably. But "real" interest rates remain too high. We need monetary policies that will allow us to continue strong economic growth without inflation. Such policies will help get interest rates down further. At the same time, a firm, convincing policy of deficit reduction will also help keep us on a course to still lower interest rates — while insuring that the Government, in financing the deficit, does not absorb such a large share of the nation's savings as to impair private productive investment. Our budget proposal represents a "freeze" in total program spending. That is something that is easy for most to understand — and to most, I think, it makes sense. There will, we know, be disagreements about what we propose specifically for one program or another. But we believe our specific proposals are thoroughly defensible on the merits. And we look forward to working with the Congress to develop a comprehensive package that will bring the budget under control — by freezing program spending With good will, we believe this canoverall be done. We are sure it for fiscal year 1986. is what the American people want to be done. TREASURY NEWS department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-204 For Release Upon Delivery Expected at 11:00 a.m. February 21, 1985 Testimony of the Honorable James A. Baker, III Secretary of the Treasury Before the House Budget Committee February 21, 1985 Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: It is a pleasure to meet with you today to discuss our fiscal affairs and the tasks that lie ahead. The economy has done very well in the past year and the outlook for the future is promising. But we are faced with the need to reduce what has become an excessive rate of Federal spending. Because of that Federal spending, the prospective budget deficits that would develop in the absence of any offsetting action are far too large for our long-run economic health. We must place the Federal budget deficit on a declining path and keep it there. With your help and a bipartisan Congressional effort, I am sure that meaningful reductions in the growth of Federal spending can be achieved. Legislative action along the lines recommended in the President's Budget proposals will provide a fiscal framework within which the economy can continue to prosper. These past four years have been marked by truly dramatic improvement in the performance of the U. S. economy. Four years ago, it was the increasingly held belief that we had lost the ability to control our economic destiny — that inflation was out of control, that dwindling availability of natural resources would put a cap on growth; and, most worrisome of all, we were told that we had lost the innovative spirit that had propelled this economy to world leadership. Now, confidence in our ability to meet the challenges of the future is being restored by the implementation of an economic program designed specifically to: bring inflation under control, B-17 n — free markets from the burden of unnecessary government interference, — restore incentives for productivity and growth, — and, thereby, increase opportunity for all. That program has been remarkably successful by almost every measure of economic performance Real growth for 1984 was the highest since 1951. During the first two years of the current expansion, at a 6.0 percent annual rate, real growth has been the strongest for any expansion since the economy pulled out of the strike-depressed recession trough of late-1949 into the Korean War boom. Growth of real business capital spending during this expansion has far outpaced gains during any previous postwar recovery. Our economy has shown itself to be a remarkable jobcreating machine- Spurred by formation of new business and by technological innovation, more than 7.3 million jobs have been created during this recovery and expansion. And even as the economy has shown this remarkable growth, inflation has stayed under control. For each of the past three years, it has not exceeded 4%. Last year, as measured by the GNP deflator, it was the lowest since 1967. And the trends of wages, oil prices, and world raw material prices all remain favorable. I have made a promise to myself that I know I may not be able to keep. But I shall try. While I will of course contribute to the development of economic forecasts that we use for purposes of planning and analysis, I shall try to resist the temptation to offer specific, detailed, numerical economic forecasts of my own. The economic projections underlying the budget assume continued real economic growth and a steady decline in unemployment, inflation, and interest rates. stent with my promise to myself, let me say only this overall economic outlook. Prospects are excellent for 3 sustained economic growth without inflation — provided that we act promptly and responsibly to continue what we have begun. And by "we" I should emphasize that I mean to include both Houses of the Congress, as well as the Executive Branch. There is still much unfinished business. We must not rest with the tax rate reduction we enacted in 1981. That simply adjusted for the hyper-inflation that the economy had been experiencing before. Now we must go on, as the President has directed, to overhaul the whole tax system -- to increase fairness, simplicity, and economic growth. This element of our program is, as the President has said, of equal priority with spending control. The printed budget document includes a number of revenuerelated measures — most of which have been submitted before. These range from tuition tax credits to enterprize zone incentives to technical provisions related to certain trust funds. The budget does not include the proposals for comprehensive overhaul of the tax system — for, as you know, those proposals, made public on November 27, remain under review. But we believe that — with constructive effort by all parties — a comprehensive restructuring of the tax system could be enacted this year. And I will be having a good deal more to say about this in other contexts. The focus of today's discussion is principally upon our printed budget, however. Immediate steps must be taken to narrow the deficit. Just as important as closing the deficit is the manner by which it is closed. It would be wrong to go back to our old ways of pushing up taxes, either legislatively or by bracket creep in a nonindexed system. In our view, the tax reductions of the past several years have been largely responsible for the turnaround in economic performance. This means that deficit reduction must be accomplished from the spending side. The large deficits that we face during the remainder of the decade are due to an excessive rate of Federal spending. The American people do not feel they are undertaxed. They want government spending brought under control. Between 1964 and 1979, Federal outlays averaged 20-1/2 percent of GNP. Now they are in the 24 to 25 percent range. Federal outlays have virtually been living a life of their own. The President's budget proposals would restrain the rate of growth of outlays below that of the economy and shrink the 4 outlav-GNP ratio down to the 21 percent range by the end of tthe l decade. This would leave a deficit of less than $100 billion b v 1990. The President's budget proposes a combination of freezes, reforms, user fees, program cuts and terminations that will achieve savings for fiscal year 1986 of a little more than $50 billion. This is calculated from the "baseline" path that spending would take if we did nothing. These reductions are sufficient to hold total spending on government programs — that is, everything but debt service — no higher in 1986 than in 1985. It is an ambitious target, but is achievable, without damaging the social safety net, or our continued defense rebuilding, or any essential government function. Achievement of our target of $50 billion in reductions would accomplish two things. The deficit in 1986 would be about $40 billion less than in 1985. And, even more important, the actions taken this year will have an amplified effect in later years, resulting in annual savings of more than $100 billion by 1988. This will set the deficit on a declining path — both in absolute dollars and, even more significantly, as a share of GNP. Under our economic assumptions, the deficit would drop from over 5 1/2 percent of GNP this year to less than 3 percent by 1988 — on down to less than 1 1/2 percent by 1990. The exact percentages are not the issue; the important thing is the trend. The deficit has been accommodated thus far without damage to the expansion, and interest rates have declined considerably. But "real" interest rates remain too high. We need monetary policies that will allow us to continue strong economic growth without inflation. Such policies will help get interest rates down further. At the same time, a firm, convincing policy of deficit reduction will also help keep us on a course to still lower interest rates — while insuring that the Government, in financing the deficit, does not absorb such a large share of the nation's savings as to impair private productive investment. Our budget proposal represents a "freeze" in total program spending. That is something that is easy for most to understand —- and to most, I think, it makes sense. There will, we know, be disagreements about what we propose specifically for one program or another. But we believe our specific proposals are thoroughly defensible on the merits. And we look forward to working with the Congress to develop a comprehensive package that will bring With good will, we believe this canoverall be done. We are sure it the budget under control — by freezing program spending is what the American people want to be done. for fiscal year 1986. TREASURY NEWS apartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE February 19, 1985 RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $7,002 million of 13-week bills and for $ 7,004 million of 26-week bills, both to be issued on February 21, 1985, were accepted today. RANGE OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: Low High Average 13-week bills maturing May 23, 1985 Discount Investment Rate Rate 1/ Price 26-week bills maturing August 22. 1985 Discount Investment Rate 1/ Price Rate 8.11% 8.16% 8.15% 8.24% 8.26% 8.25% 8.39% 8.45% 8.44% 97.950 97.937 97.940 8.72% 8.74% 8.73% 95.834 95.824 95.829 Tenders at the high discount rate for the 13-week bill6 were allotted 48%. Tenders at the high discount rate for the 26-week bills were allotted 45%. Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. LouiB Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TOTALS Tjrpe Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public Federal Reserve. Foreign Official Institutions TOTALS TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Received Accepted Received $ 405,670 14,877,050 25,935 80,415 60,940 47,635 1,216,175 94,575 15,180 52,800 50,250 1,474,290 341,485 $ 255,670 5,662,295 25,935 54,415 56,900 45,635 174,455 54,575 15,180 52,800 46,150 216,570 341,485 $ 390,940 15,100,485 18,935 45,890 44,430 32,805 1,254,065 78,310 34,350 52,595 29,870 1,678,060 353,850 $ 40,940 5,920,970 18,935 34,890 44,430 30,705 128,360 44,160 23,350 50,595 22,120 291,190 353,850 $18,742,400 $7,002,065 $19,114,585 $7,004,495 $15,995,005 $4,254,670 1,286,185 1,286,185 $17,281,190 $5,540,855 $16,258,735 990,450 $17,249,185 $4,148,645 990,450 $5,139,095 1,412,210 1,412,210 1,350,000 1,350,000 515;400 515,400 $19,114,585 $7,004,495 49,000 49,000 $18,742,400 $7,002,065 \J Equivalent coupon-i6sue yield. B-18 Accepted TREASURY NEWS epartmerit of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-204 FOR RELEASE UPON DELIVERY February 20, 1985 Testimony of The Honorable Katherine D. Ortega Treasurer of the United States Before the Joint Hearing of House Banking Subcommittee on Consumer Affairs & Coinage and Senate Banking Subcommittee on Consumer Affairs February 20, 1985 Mr. Chairman, I appreciate the opportunity to appear before this Joint hearing of the Banking Committees of the House and Senate to present the Department of the Treasury's views on H.R. 47 and S. 233. These bills provide for the issuance of commemorative coinage to help pay for restoration of the Statue of Liberty and Ellis Island. The Department of Treasury has traditionally resisted the minting and marketing of commemorative coins on the grounds that we are in the business of minting legal tender coins for the money supply to serve the public interest and should not be involved in private fundraising ventures. While Treasury is aware that there are numerous causes worthy of financial support, including the Statue of Liberty-Ellis Island restoration, it hopes that the use of Federal minting facilities for such purposes can be limited in the future. B- 19 - 2 - The Statue of Liberty-Ellis Island Centennial Commission was established by the Secretary of Interior at the request of President Reagan and the goal of restoring these monuments through private fundraising is very much in keeping with this Administration's philosophy. The legislation states that the Secretary of the Treasury shall take all actions necessary to ensure that there is no net cost to the taxpayer. The Department of Treasury takes seriously its role of overseer of the public trust and would like to suggest the Committee go further to ensure there would be no cost to the taxpayer. We would like the Committee to explore the possibility of the private sector underwriting the cost of this project as another safeguard mechanism. In addition, the proposed legislation authorizes a general waiver of the procurement regulations. The procurement rules assure competitive bidding which reduces the cost, guarantees the quality of services provided, and maintains fairness in government contracting. However, the procurement requirements also offer opportunities to disappointed bidders to challenge the low bid award and in turn delay implementation of the program. Therefore, in this instance the waiver would be useful in meeting the very demanding time frame and marketing program in a venture of this nature. We will establish our own internal control regulations to make sure the procurement process is fair yet fast. - 3 The Department has two recommendations of changes to the proposed bill that we believe would allow us to be more flexible in the manufacturing and marketing of the coinage. One, that the gold coin not be limited to only proof coins, but that we also be authorized to produce uncirculated gold coins as well. This additional coin will provide us with the opportunity to offer a complete set of uncirculated statue of Liberty-Ellis Island coins. It also provides an opportunity for the jewelry market. The uncirculated coin is better suited for jewelry as it does not highlight scratches and fingerprints as do unprotected proof coins. Two, a manufacturing organization needs flexibility to use its facilities and equipment in an efficient and cost effective manner. In keeping with a continuing mint objective to be responsive to the many market segments for our products, we need the flexibility of manufacturing each coin at our different facilities. Being able to mint at our different facilities would give us the opportunity to inject interest in the program to collectors and the general public should we encounter a sagging market. Therefore, we would recommend the removal of the restriction of manufacturing at only one facility. - 4 - The Department of Treasury urges this joint hearing to earnestly consider these two changes in view of the magnitude of the program proposed by these two bills and the unique marketing program needed to ensure the success of the fund raising efforts of the Statue of Liberty-Ellis Island Foundation. That concludes my prepared remarks. I would welcome any questions you or members of the two Committees might have. # # » rREASURYNEWS partment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. February 19, 1985 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $14,000 million, to be issued February 28, 1985. This offering will provide about $525 million of new cash for the Treasury, as the maturing bills are outstanding in the amount of $13,467 million, including $1,783 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities and $2,237 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks for their own account. The two series offered are as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $7,000 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated November 29, 1984, and to mature May 30, 1985 (CUSIP No. 912794 HE 7), currently outstanding in the amount of $6,828 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills for approximately $7,000 million, to be dated February 28, 1985, and to mature August 29, 1985 (CUSIP No. 912794 HX 5). Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing February 28, 1985. Tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the weighted average bank discount rates of accepted competitive tenders. Additional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount will be payable without interest. Both series of bills will be issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,000 and in any higher $5,000 multiple, on the records either of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasury. B-20 - 2 Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. c. 20239 Drior to 1:00 p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, February 25, 1985. Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. Each tender must state the par amount of bills bid for, which must be a minimum of $10^000. Tenders over $10,000 must be in multiples of $5,000. Competitive tenders must also show the yield desired, expressed on a bank discount rate basis with two decimals, e.g., 7.15%. Fractions may not be used. A single bidder, as defined in Treasury's single bidder guidelines, shall not submit noncompetitive tenders totaling more than $1,000,000. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities may submit tenders for account of customers, if the names of the customers and the amount for each customer are furnished. Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million. This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p.m. Eastern time on the day of the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering, e.g., bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six-month bills. Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million. A noncompetitive bidder may not have entered into an agreement, nor make an agreement to purchase or sell or otherwise dispose of any noncompetitive awards of this issue being auctioned prior to the designated closing time for receipt of tenders. Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction. No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches. A deposit - 3 of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and yield range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $1,000,000 or less without stated yield from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average bank discount rate (in two decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. The calculation of purchase prices for accepted bids will be carried to three decimal places on the basis of price per hundred, e.g., 99.923, and the determinations of the Secretary of the Treasury shall be final. Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on February 28, 1985, in cash or other immediately-available funds or in Treasury bills maturing February 28, 1985. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. In addition, Treasury Tax and Loan Note Option Depositaries may make payment for allotments of bills for their own accounts and for account of customers by credit to their Treasury Tax and Loan Note Accounts on the settlement date. In general, if a bill is purchased at issue after July 18, 1984, and held to maturity, the amount of discount is reportable as ordinary income in the Federal income tax return of the owner at the time of redemption. Accrual-basis taxpayers, banks, and other persons designated in section 1281 of the Internal Revenue Code must include in income the portion of the discount for the period during the taxable year such holder held the bill. If the bill is sold or otherwise disposed of before maturity, the portion of the gain equal to the accrued discount will be treated as ordinary income. Any excess may be treated as capital gain. Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, Treasury's single bidder guidelines, and this notice prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars, guidelines, and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. rREASURY NEWS partment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. February 19, 1985 TREASURY TO AUCTION $7,000 MILLION OF 5-YEAR 2-MONTH NOTES The Department of the Treasury will auction $7,000 million of 5-year 2-month notes to raise new cash. Additional amounts of the notes may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities at the average price of accepted competitive tenders. Details about the new security are given in the attached highlights of the offering and in the official offering circular. Attachment oOo B-21 HIGHLIGHTS OF TREASURY OFFERING TO THE PUBLIC OF 5-YEAR 2-MONTH NOTES TO BE ISSUED MARCH 1, 1985 February 19, 1985 Amount Offered: To the public Description of Security: Term and type of security Series and CUSIP designation $7,000 million 5-year 2-month notes Series J-1990 (CUSIP No. 912827 RY 0) Maturity date May 15, 1990 Call date No provision Interest rate To be determined based on the average of accepted bids Investment yield To be determined at auction Premium or discount To be determined after auction Interest payment dates November 15 and May 15 (first payment on November 15, 1985) Minimum denomination available.... $1,000 Terms of Sale: Method of sale Yield Auction Competitive tenders Must be expressed as an annual yield, with two decimals, e.g., 7.10% Noncompetitive tenders Accepted in full at the average price up to $1,000,000 Accrued interest payable by investor None Payment by non-institutional investors Full payment to be submitted with tender Payment through Treasury Tax and Loan (TT&L) Note Accounts Acceptable for TT&L Note Option Depositaries Deposit guarantee by designated institutions Acceptable Key Dates: Receipt of tenders Tuesday, February 26, 1985, _. , prior to 1:00 p.m., EST e Ul Settlement (final payment due from institutions) a) cash or Federal funds Friday, March 1, 1985 b) readily collectible check Wednesday, February 27, 1985 "REASURY NEWS FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE February 20, 1985 artment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 RESULTS OF AUCTION OF 2-YEAR NOTES The Department of the Treasury has accepted $£,013 million of $17,910 million of tenders received from the public for the 2-year notes, Series S-1987, auctioned today. The notes will be issued February 28, 1985, and mature February 28, 1987. The interest rate on the notes will be 10%. The range of accepted competitive bids, and the corresponding prices at the 10% interest rate are as follows: Yield Price 99.858 10.08% Low 99.752 10.14% High 10.12% 99.788 Average Tenders at the high yield were allotted 92%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury Totals Received 430,750 $ 14,,179,710 29,250 149,200 55,245 75,435 1 ,680,665 142,880 50,845 127,380 27,650 957,440 3,795 $17 ,910,245 Accepted $ 99,150 7,249,700 29,250 124,200 55,085 75,435 619,985 124,800 50,845 125,840 27,570 427,480 3,795 $9,013,135 The $9,013 million of accepted tenders includes $953 million of noncompetitive tenders and $ 8,060 million of competitive tenders from the public. In addition to the $9,013 million of tenders accepted in the auction process, $320 million of tenders was awarded at the average price to Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities. An additional $645 million of tenders was also accepted at the average price from Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account in exchange for maturing securities -22 REASURYNEWS rtment of the Treasury • Washington, D.C. •Telephone 566-2041 'OR IMMEDIATE RELEASE 'ebruary 22, 1985 Brien Benson (202) 566-2041 Robert Snow (Secret Service) (202) 535-5708 TREASURY ANNOUNCEMENT The Treasury Department today announced a new enforcement policy :oncerning currency reproductions. The Department will henceforth permit the use of photographic or other likenesses of United States ind foreign currencies for any purpose, provided the items are reproduced in black and white and are less than three-quarters or jreater than one-and-one-half times the size, in linear dimension, of sach part of the original item. Furthermore, negatives and plates ised in making the likenesses must be destroyed after their use. The policy is consistent with the Supreme Court's decision of July, 1984, in the case of Regan v. Time, Inc., and was made with the concurrence of the Department of Justice. This decision will, for the first time, permit the use of currency reproductions in commercial advertisements, provided they conform to these size and color restrictions. Under the new policy, the Treasury Department expects to increase enforcement efforts against color currency reproductions and against black-and-white reproductions that do not conform to the size restrictions. These restrictions are contained in Title 18 USC section 504. 0O0 3-23 REASURY NEWS artment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE February 22, 1985 CONTACT: Brien Benson (202) 566-2041 TREASURY ANNOUNCES PLANS TO OFFER ITS MARKETABLE SECURITIES IN BOOK-ENTRY FORM ONLY The Department of the Treasury has announced plans to offer issues of its marketable bonds and notes in book-entry form exclusively, beginning in 1986. The Treasury hopes that this early announcement will help investors and the financial community with their planning and enable States to change their laws, where such laws may still specify holding securities in certificate form for certain purposes. Although Treasury bonds and notes are available today in both engraved certificate and book-entry form, approximately 95% of Treasury marketable securities, including all Treasury bills, are presently held as book-entries. The book-entry procedure, in which securities are issued and maintained as computerized records, offers important benefits to investors, the financial community, and the Treasury by substantially improving operating efficiency and eliminating the risk of loss in handling engraved certificates. Payment at maturity is automatic and does not require presentation of a security. Recognizing the efficiencies of the book-entry system, the President's Private Sector Survey on Cost Control (Grace Commission) has endorsed Treasury plans for full book-entry. Investors may obtain bonds and notes in book-entry form today through depository institutions, brokers and dealers that have book-entry accounts linked to or maintained directly at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches. When full book-entry is implemented in 1986, investors will also be able to establish book-entry bond and note accounts directly with the Treasury, as they can today for Treasury bills. A new automated system currently is being developed for Treasury by the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank to maintain and service such marketable securities. Bonds and notes that have been issued under offering circulars that authorize both certificate and book-entry form will continue to be available in such forms even after the implementation date for full book-entry in 1986. During the coming year, Treasury intends to provide periodic updates on the status of its book-entry plans. ### B-24 QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS ABOUT FULL BOOK-ENTRY 1. Why is Treasury planning to move to full book-entry? Book-entry securities are significantly less costly to issue and service than engraved certificates. Book-entry also reduces the risk of loss to investors. 2. What does full book-entry mean? Full book-entry means that about mid-1986 (the exact date has not yet been determined) the Treasury will offer new issues of marketable Treasury bonds and notes in book-entry form only. Engraved certificates will not be available for these new Issues. 3. How do book-entry Treasury securities differ from registered securities? Book-entry securities are evidenced by computer entries on the records of Treasury, a Federal Reserve Bank, a financial Institution, or other custodian, while registered securities are engraved certificates held by the investor. With book-entry securities, interest payments and the par amount at maturity are paid automatically. With registered securities, interest is paid automatically, but the certificate must be presented for payment at maturity. 4. In what forms are Treasury securities currently available? Treasury bills have been offered only 1n book-entry form since 1979. New issues of Treasury bonds and notes are offered today 1n either book-entry or registered form. 5. What Treasury securities are affected? All Treasury marketable securities will be affected. The elimination of engraved certificates will only affect bonds and notes since bills have been available only in book-entry form since 1979. However, all Treasury marketable securities - bonds, notes and bills - will be affected in that they will all be governed by a new, single set of regulations. No other Treasury securities, including savings bonds, will be affected. 6. If an Investor has a registered or bearer security issued prior to full book-entry, will 1t have to be converted to book-entry in 1986? No. If an offering of Treasury securities authorized their issuance 1n bearer or registered form, they will continue to be available in such form until the maturity of those securities, and no outstanding certificates will be affected by full book-entry. 7. Will my existing book-entry account at a financial institution be affected by this change? No. Investors will be able to continue to have their Treasury securities held in book-entry accounts at financial institutions, brokers, etc. With this change, investors will also be able to hold book-entry bonds and notes directly in a Treasury account. 3. Once full book-entry is in effect, will I be able to purchase Treasury securities through a commercial financial institution? Yes, purchases can be arranged in the same way as they are today. In addition, investors will be able to purchase book-entry bonds and notes directly from a Federal Reserve Bank or Branch and have the book-entry securities held in an account maintained by the Department of the Treasury. A new automated system is being developed which will allow investors to have a single account with Treasury for their bonds, notes and bills. 9. Will I be charged a fee for holding book-entry securities in an account with Treasury? It is expected that book-entry note and bond accounts with the Treasury will be maintained free of charge, just as book-entry bill accounts are today. 10. Will I be able to sell or pledge book-entry securities? Yes. Book-entry bonds and notes held at financial institutions and securities dealers will remain as marketable as bonds and notes issued in certificate form. However, securities held in the Treasury system will not be available for a direct pledge or sale. They will first have to be transferred to a financial institution before the pledge or sale can be conducted. 11. Will any exceptions be made to full book-entry for institutional investors who may currently be required by State law or regulation to hold Treasury securities in certificate form? No. New issues of marketable Treasury securities will not be available in certificate form once full book-entry is in effect. TREASURY NEWS department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 REMARKS OF THE HONORABLE JOHN M. WALKER, JR. ASSISTANT SECRETARY (ENFORCEMENT AND OPERATIONS) U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AT THE JOINT MEETING OF THE PRESIDENT'S ORGANIZED CRIME DRUG ENFORCEMENT TASK FORCE AMD THE NEW ENGLAND LAW ENFORCEMENT TASK FORCE COORDINATING COMMITTEES FEBRUARY 15, 19 8 5 The Struggle Against Drug-Related Crime: The Treasury Initiatives I want to thank the OCDE Task Force and the New England Law Enforcement Coordinating Committees, and especially the United States Attorney, Bill Weld, for the opportunity to participate in this joint meeting. It is always a special pleasure for me to have the opportunity to interact directly with professionals in law enforcement, and to discuss matters that concern all of us in the struggle against crime. Today, I would like to bring you up to date on developments in drug enforcement from the Treasury perspective. Rut first, I think it might be helpful to consider where we were in our drug-related initiatives four years ago, and where we are today. From both a Treasury perspective, and a governmental perspective, one thing is clear: we have learned a lot from our experience. We have applied this experience and we have progressed as a result. We have also built the foundation for more progress in the future. But as we all know, the challenge ahead of us looms as large as ever. Treasury's contribution to our nation's drug enforcement strategy is in three areas: interdiction of drug supplies by U.S. Customs; financial investigations under the Bank Secrecy Act and the Internal Revenue Code, conducted by the IRS and Customs; and ATF investigations into the firearms and explosives violations that support organized crime, including the ^iruq trade. I will address each of these areas, but as an" introduction I would like to share some observations regarding drug enforcement on the whole--observations on what we have learned. B-25 - 2 First, we have learned from experience that the drug trafficker is sophisticated, well-equipped and well-financed. From our programs to seize his drugs as they enter into the country, we have learned that he is informed—well informed — about Federal initiatives to crack down on smuggling and adept at responding to enforcement pressure by changing his methods. For example, we have seen drug smugglers—who used to invade South Florida with impunity—shift to more remote localities. Much of the drug smuggling traffic in the North Atlantic regions, including traffic here in New England, has resulted from the intensity of our effort in the South. We have also seen a greater shift to concealment of drugs in cargo shipments. For example, recently—as in the p a s t Customs has seized cocaine that it has found concealed in shipments of flowers and other perishables. Second, we have learned that coordination among Federal agencies is not only a good idea, it is essential. Our organizing principle—that every Federal agency must be in a position to contribute its particular expertise to the fight against drug trafficking—seemed, four years ago, unrealistic and overly ambitious. Today, we regard it as a fact of enforcement life. All of the President's major initiatives have incorporated this principle: The South Florida Task Force, the National Narcotics Border Interdiction System and, of course, the OCDE Task Forces and the LECC's. Third, we have recognized that much of the battle against drug-related crime is, and must be, fought at the State and local levels. Accordingly, we realize now how much is at stake in carefully coordinating Federal drug enforcement with State and local efforts. The LECC's, through meetings such as this one, carry out this realization. Another example is the National Center for State and Local Lav/ Enforcement Training, which Treasury and Justice administer jointly, at the Federal Lav/ Enforcement Training Center. From Treasury's financial investigations under the Bank Secrecy Act and the Internal Revenue Code, we reached a fourth conclusion: that the trafficker is financially vulnerable. We have done much to exploit that vulnerability. The OCDE Task Forces, for example, have as one of their principal objectives the targeting and destroying of the financial base of drug trafficking organizations. From the results of the OCDE Task Forces themselves, we •have seen that organized crime is vast in its depth and reach. We have also seen that substantial 'inroads can be made when we combine the task force approach with enhanced investigative and prosecutorial resources. - 3 Each of these conclusions has, of course, influenced us as we have developed our major initiatives. I would now like to briefly describe how Treasury is doing in those initiatives for which it has the lead responsibility. In drug interdiction, Treasury is seizing more drugs— far more—than ever before in its history. Customs seized three times the amount of heroin in Fiscal Year 1984 as it did in Fiscal Year 1981. The amount of cocaine seized increased seven-fold. Even though Fiscal Year 1984 was a record year, seizures this Fiscal Year may well exceed last year's figures. In the first quarter of Fiscal Year 1985, cocaine is up 23% over last year's total, and heroin is up 30%. I hasten to add that we are still a long way from stopping drugs from crossing our borders. And there are two areas that need particular attention. One is the extremely challenging task of detecting air and marine drug smuggling at and around U.S. border areas. We are now engaged in the process of improving this detection capability on a longrange basis. The other is obtaining in usable form tactical intelligence in drug smuggling. To the extent that we can make further improvements in our ability to collect and transmit this intelligence, we can improve our interdiction success. ATF's Role in the OCDE Task Force I mentioned earlier that the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms is also playing a key role in enforcement against narcotics-related crime. ATF's 84 agents assigned to the OCDE Task Forces are investigating the firearms and explosivesrelated violations that support the drug trade. Since joining the Task Forces, these ATF agents have initiated over 250 cases involving more than 450 defendants. Back in 1981, we were not fully exploiting the link between narcotics trafficking and weapons trafficking. Today, we accept that this is an essential part of our strategy. Financial Investigations Treasury's third contribution to the President's drug strategy is its financial investigations. During the past two days, you have heard some in-depth discussions regarding financial investigations, addressing the means by which drug money moves and the techniques for tracking drug proceeds. I would like to take this opportunity to comment on Treasury's overall effort to attack the financial base of organized crime. - 4 During the past four years, Treasury has greatly expanded the resources that it directs to this major effort: ° We now have forty task forces working financial investigations, up from two when we started. This is over and above the thirteen OCDE task forces, to which IRS and Customs have contributed approximately 400 special agents. ° We have established and developed the Financial Law Enforcement Center at U.S. Customs, to provide analytical support to on-going investigations and to generate new leads. ° Federal bank examiners, at our request, have expanded their examination procedures to ensure greater compliance with reporting and recordkeeping requirements under the Bank Secrecy Act. ° Treasury has markedly increased its gations of banks suspected of laundering ventures. IRS has 300 Bank Secrecy Act cases in criminal investicooperating in money opened approximately the last four years. ° We have put at least eighteen major money laundering syndicates out of business since 1980--syndicates that had collectively laundered at least $2.8 billion in crime proceeds. These results are further indications of the value of financial investigations. They are a potent weapon against crime for several reasons: ° They can uncover the high-level criminals in a narcotics enterprise, who are insulated from the drugs themselves. ° Money seizures and evidence of huge transactions add enormous jury appeal to a case. ° Seizures and forfeitures deprive an organization of the means to continue its illegal activity. Drugs can be replaced, but it is harder to replace money. ° Finally, the Bank Secrecy Act serves as an independent basis for prosecution. Financial investigations have served us well. But, despite this progress, it is always difficult to assess our impact on the money laundering problem. We do know, however, that there is a large surplus in currency in the Florida region, as reported by the Florida Federal Reserve. This surplus is approximately $6 billion annually. - 5 Not all of the currency surplus, of course, results from drug trafficking, but we believe that a significant portion of it represents narcotics proceeds. A large part of the surplus may stem from laundering accomplished overseas. For example, of the $6 billion, $1 billion came into the U.S. from the Central Bank of Panama. Panama, as you all know, is known for its strict laws protecting the identity of its banking customers and of the owners of its corporations. We have attempted to reach an agreement with the government of Panama under which we could have access to banking records when a suspected drug or money laundering offense is involved. We have had mixed results so far, and we are continuing to press for an agreement that will be useful to law enforcement. The recent agreement with Great Britain covering the Cayman Islands is an example of the type of a mechanism that would help solve our problems with respect to Panama. In addition to the Florida surplus, we have had other indications of extensive offshore money laundering. In June of 1983, for example, Customs apprehended a licensed CPA in Miami who was preparing to leave the country, bound for Panama in a Lear Jet. Inside the aircraft Customs discovered $5.4 million, mostly in $20 bills. The CPA, Ramon Milian-Rodriguez, was the head of a huge money laundering enterprise that had arranged for the offshore laundering of over $300 million a year. A new and possibly similar case has arisen in Texas. A week ago, Customs seized $5,850,000 and a Saberliner aircraft in Alice, Texas, and arrested four suspects. Another way we are addressing the offshore money laundering problem is through reporting of transactions—not just currency transactions, but all kinds, including wire transfers—between U.S. and foreign financial institutions. Because of the great volume of such transactions, we cannot require routine reporting without creating a substantial burden for the banking industry. Instead, we intend to require reporting of specific classes of transactions that are likely to reveal currency flows possibly associated with illicit financial activity. In addition to the general problem of offshore laundering, there are other issues affecting Bank Secrecy Act enforcement that are of concern to us. One is the problem of trafficking in cashier's checks. These checks circulate among drug traffickers just as if they were cash. While we require reporting when they enter or leave the country in bearer form, we are now considering whether - 6 we-should require reporting when the checks are in order form as well. Because traffickers and money launderers use false payees, shell corporations and forgeries, the fact that a check is in order form does not stop it from being used in money laundering. We are now exploring regulatory solutions to this problem. Besides the measures I have described, our attack on money laundering needs another type of improvement. It needs greater active participation by the financial community. I am not proposing that financial institutions themselves be saddled with the task of enforcing the lav/. But I am proposing that banks and their employees take a more active part in referring potential violations to law enforcement agencies. I would like to draw an analogy here—the analogy is to citizen's associations and neighborhood v/atches that fight crime in communities across the nation. We must have the same type of vigilance on the part of the financial community. There is a major issue confronting us—the Right to Financial Privacy Act, which today deters bank employees from telling law enforcement about suspicious transactions. While the current law does allow a bank employee to disclose the fact that the institution has information that may be relevant to a violation, it does not allow disclosure of the information itself. I am not suggesting that we should do av/ay with financial privacy. I do think, hov/ever, that the balance could be shifted more toward lav/ enforcement by permitting—indeed encouraging—bank disclosure of suspicious activity. Another way we can battle the money laundering problem is through more use of civil penalties. I am convinced that the size of the money laundering threat requires us to pursue every avenue we have. Civil penalties serve a vital purpose in encouraging compliance. In sum, I am also convinced that we need to do more to impress on the financial community that they have a cruciaL responsibility here. They must be vigilant in detecting and reporting illicit financial activity, if we are to have a chance of bringing money laundering under control. To conclude, Treasury is moving against drug-related crime on three major fronts: interdiction, weapons violations, and money laundering. We must face the realization, however, that the drug problem is staggering in its dimensions, and v/e have to increase the effectiveness of all the measures at our disposal to combat it. With respect to money laundering in particular, we are pursuing, as we must, new ways to attack the financial base that supports the drug trade and all organized Thank crime. you very much. TREASURY NEWS apartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-204 February 25, 1985 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $7,002 Billion of 13-week bills and for $7,007 million of 26-week bills, both to be issued on February 28, 1985, were accepted today. RANGE OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: Low High Average 13-week bills maturing May 30, 1985 Discount Investment Price Rate Rate 1/ 8.32% 8.39% 8.36% 8.62% 8.69% 8.66% 97.897 97.879 97.887 26-week bills iturlng August 29, 1985 Discount Investment Price Rate Rate 1/ : 8.51% 8.54% 8.53% 9.02% 9.05% 9.04% 95.698 95.683 95.688 Tenders at the high discount rate for the 13-week bills were allotted 4%. Tenders at the high discount rate for the 26-week bills were allotted 15%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Location Received Accepted Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TOTALS Type Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public Federal Reserve Foreign Official Institutions TOTALS $ 402,160 13,274,660 25,605 52,260 56,095 58,660 1,388,925 90,990 24,930 59,200 40,885 1,241,555 292,970 $ 52,160 5,293,260 25,605 52,260 56,095 58,660 650,165 55,990 24,930 59,200 40,885 339,555 292,970 $17,008,895 $7,001,735 $14,336,765 1,185,845 $15,522,610 : Accepted $ 385,840 18,665,675 : 20,870 74,170 54,570 45,795 1,179,585 53,715 10,115 68,405 32,410 1,408,605 : 329,130 $ 35,840 5,957,925 20,870 56,320 36,285 41,560 331,435 13,715 10,115 68,405 23,160 81,755 329,130 : $22,328,885 $7,006,515 $4,329,605 1,185,845 $5,515,450 : : : $19,535,395 917,190 $20,452,585 $4,213,025 917,190 $5,130,215 1,134,185 1,134,185 : 1,125,000 1,125,000 352,100 352,100 751,300 751,300 $17,008,895 $7,001,735 $22,328,885 $7,006,515 \J Equivalent coupon-issue yield. B-26 Received : : TREASURY NEWS 9epartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-204 FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. February 26, 1985 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $14,000 million, to be issued March 7, 1985. This offering will provide about $550 million of new cash for the Treasury, as the maturing bills are outstanding in the amount of $ 13,456 million, including $ 1,125 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities and $ 3,491 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks for their own account. The two series offered are as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $7,000 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated December 6, 1984, and to mature June 6, 1985 (CUSIP No. 912794 HF 4 ) , currently outstanding.in the amount of $6,827 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $7,000 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated September 6, 1984, and to mature September 5, 1985 (CUSIP No. 912794 HL 1 ) , currently outstanding in the amount of $8,442 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing March 7, 1985. Tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the weighted average bank discount rates of accepted competitive tenders. Additional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount will be payable without interest. Both series of bills will be issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,000 and in any higher $5,000 multiple, on the records either of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasury. B-27 - 2Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and BranchesTnd ^ t h e Bureau of the P ^ J S ^ - ^ J " ' D ' C ' 20239, prior to 1:00 p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, March 4, 1985. Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. Each tender must state the par amount of bills bid for, which must be a minimum of $10,000. Tenders over $10,000 must be in multiples of $5,000. Competitive tenders must also show the yield desired, expressed on a bank discount rate basis with two decimals, e.g., 7.15%. Fractions may not be used. A single bidder, as defined in Treasury's single bidder guidelines, shall not submit noncompetitive tenders totaling more than $1,000,000. Bankinq institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities may submit tenders for account of customers, if the names of the customers and the amount for each customer are furnished. Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million. This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p.m. Eastern time on the day of the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering, e.g., bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six-month bills. Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million. A noncompetitive bidder may not have entered into an agreement, nor make an agreement to purchase or sell or otherwise dispose of Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for any noncompetitive awards of this issue being auctioned prior to must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained the designated closing time for receipt of tenders. on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction. No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches. A deposit - 3 of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and yield range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $1,000,000 or less without stated yield from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average bank discount rate (in two decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. The calculation of purchase prices for accepted bids will be carried to three decimal places on the basis of price per hundred, e.g., 99.923, and the determinations of the Secretary of the Treasury shall be final. Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on March 7, 1985, in cash or other immediately-available funds or in Treasury bills maturing March 7, 1985. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. In addition, Treasury Tax and Loan Note Option Depositaries may make payment for allotments of bills for their own accounts and for account of customers by credit to their Treasury Tax and Loan Note Accounts on the settlement date. In general, if a bill is purchased at issue after July 18, 1984, and held to maturity, the amount of discount is reportable as ordinary income in the Federal income tax return of the owner at the time of redemption. Accrual-basis taxpayers, banks, and other persons designated in section 1281 of the Internal Revenue Code must include in income the portion of the discount for the period during the taxable year such holder held the bill. If the bill is sold or otherwise disposed of before maturity, the portion of the gain equal to the accrued discount will be treated as ordinary income. Any excess may be treated as capital gain. Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, Treasury's single bidder guidelines, and this notice prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars, guidelines, and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. TREASURY NEWS® ipartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.C. • Telephone 566-2041 FOP PPL EASE rrPQN DELIVERY EXPECTED AT 10:00 AM Wednesday, February 27, 1985 TESTIMONY OF THE HONORABLE JAMES A. BAKER III SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE HOUSE WAYS AND MEANS COMMITTEE Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: It is a pleasure to appear here today to discuss fundamental tax reform with you. It is indeed fitting that my first appearance as.Secretary of the Treasury before the Committee on Ways and Means is in connection with hearings to reexamine the basic principles of taxation. Because this is the first appearance before this Committee of any administration spokesman on the subject of tax reform, with your permission, Mr. Chairman, I would like to read my entire statement. Earlier this month in his State of the Union Address, the President called for "a Second American Revolution," a revolution of hope and opportunity for all Americans. He stressed the idea that freedom is the key to this revolution's success. For the economy, freedom means less arbitrary interference by government- Freedom means that the marketplace and not government determines what businesses produce, how they produce it, and how that production is organized and financed. Freedom means that the marketplace and not government shapes individual consumption and investment decisions. Freedom means that the tax structure must be designed to be as neutral as is practicable with respect to business and investment decisions. Absent compelling reasons to the contrary, the tax system must not be used to favor one taxpayer over another, to favor one industry over another, to favor one form of consumption over another, or to favor one investment over another. To perpetuate these favoritisms in the absence of such reasons would be to restrain economic freedom and deny the American people a standard of living they could otherwise obtain. This is why fundamental tax reform is so important. A tax system that is unfair, that is unnecessarily complicated, and that interferes with everyday economic decisions being made by businesses, investors, and consumers is a tax system that restrains economic growth; and economic growth is crucial to a Second American Revolution. 'The economy is currently experiencing its strongest sustained rate of growth since the mid-1960's. We are in our 27th month of economic expansion. Real growth for 1984 alone was the highest it has been since 1951. During the first two years of the current expansion, real growth, at a 6.1 percent annual rate, has been the strongest for any expansion since the economy pulled out of the strike-depressed recession trough of late 1949 and into the Korean War boom. This growth has generated employment levels never before attained in the history of our nation. During this period of expansion-, 7.3 million jobs have been created. Importantly, this growth has taken place without high inflation. Over the last three years inflation has averaged just 3.9 percent. In none of these years has it exceeded 4 percent. Last year, as measured by the GNP deflator 4th quarter over 4th quarter, inflation was the lowest it has been since 1967. Prospects for continued growth without inflation are excellent provided that we act promptly and boldly to continue what we have begun. The President has instructed me as a part of this plan of action to begin work with Congress to develop bipartisan tax reform legislation to further nurture economic growth that will provide prosperity for all to share. Common threads are woven into the fabric of most of the major reform proposals under serious consideration. Therefore, even though there are marked differences among these plans — and there will undoubtedly have to be compromises ~ there are sufficient similarities and a sufficient sharing of common principles that we have ample basis to begin a serious bipartisan effort. We are willing to reexamine all provisions of the Treasury package in light of the thoughtful views and comments we have received, and will receive, from taxpayer groups, members of the business community, members of Congress and their staff, distinguished experts, and — not least — the 3 sometime forgotten Americans, the so-called "ordinary taxpayers." That is what the President had in mind when he has asked me, on his behalf, to work with Congress to develop bipartisan legislation that will reform and restructure our tax system for fairness, simplicity, and economic growth. Only if Congress and the administration share a common commitment will we be able to enact such historic legislation — and do it this year. The President, in his State of the Union Address on February 6, 1985, enumerated some of the goals of tax reform. These goals were: — Tax reform will not be a tax increase; — The home mortgage interest deduction will not be jeopardized; — Personal tax rates will be reduced by removing many preferences, with a top rate no higher than 35 percent; — Corporate tax rates will be reduced while maintaining incentives for capital formation; and — Individuals living at or near the poverty line will be exempt from income tax. Mr. Chairman, I am here today at your request to open those working discussions with you and members of this committee. As I indicated to you in our earlier conversations, I can testify today only with respect to general principles. I am not yet prepared to discuss provisions of the Treasury Department's study in detail. I will, of course, be prepared to testify in detail subsequently, as your hearings on this vital subject progress. Today, I would like to open the dialogue by elaborating on the principles to which we believe fundamental tax reform should conform. Principles for Tax Reform We believe that the American taxpayer — individual workers, investors, retirees, and businessmen — have enormous capacity to make sound decisions that will strengthen the economy for the benefit of all. This is not a new notion, but 4 its implications for public policy have not been followed for decades. The tax system has long been misused to try to serve one special interest or another. Most economists agree on one thing: whenever the tax structure is designed to function in a capacity other than to raise revenues to finance government activities, there will be a misallocation of productive resources — labor and capital — away from their most productive uses. Only the market forces of supply and demand can allocate resources in such a way as to optimize economic growth; any other allocation, no matter how well intended and how carefully planned, runs the risk, in the long run, of leading to a lower standard of living for all of us. Low Tax Rates. This administration believes that tax rates are too high and must be reduced. High tax rates stifle incentives to work, save, and invest; they discourage invention, innovation, and risk taking; they encourage wasteful tax shelter "investments;" and they stimulate underground economic activities generally. Thus, our first principle for tax reform is that it is far better to levy a low rate of tax on all income than to tax only some income at extremely high rates. By bringing untaxed income into the tax base we can reduce high marginal tax rates for both individuals and corporations without any loss of revenues in the short run. In the longer run, those lower rates should lead to even higher revenues through sustained growth of the tax base. The Treasury proposals replace the current 15 tax brackets with a simple, three-bracket system, with tax rates set at 15, 25, and 35 percent. The top individual income tax rate of 35 percent is exactly half the top rate when this administration took office. It should be no higher. The Treasury proposals lower the top corporation income tax rate from 46 percent to 33 percent. Low corporate rates are essential in order to maintain capital formation incentives under a broad-based tax reform plan. Also, it is desirable that the top corporate tax rate and the top individual income tax rate do not differ markedly. Otherwise, the tax system will continue to have an unhealthy influence on the form of business organization. Tax rates in the range proposed by the Treasury Department as well as those adopted by the leading Congressional alternatives go a long way toward removing pressure for preferential tax treatments, because exemptions 5 and deductions will simply not be worth as much under a low rate structure as they are now. Moreover, any remaining distortions will be less troublesome. Revenue Neutralihy. we must not allow total revenue to decline and exacerbate the deficit. Nor can we permit a hidden tax increase to masquerade in a tax reform disguise. Fundamental tax reform must — and can — stand on its own. The issue of fundamental reform must not be confused with the deficit reduction issue. Each has independent merit and importance. Both are top economic priorities. But fundamental tax reform legislation and deficit reduction legislation must continue on two separate tracks. In order to achieve low rates of tax without experiencing declining revenue, sufficient untaxed income must be brought into the tax base to offset the rate cut. The arithmetic is elementary: the tax rate times the tax base equals total tax revenue. This principle of revenue neutrality imposes a special discipline. We cannot give in to special interests bent upon retaining particular exemptions, deductions, or credits aiid still have significantly lower tax rates. Fairness For Families. As the President said in his State of the Union Address, we believe those living in or near poverty should not pay income tax. They simply haven't the ability to pay tax since their entire incomes are required for subsistence. Consequently, a principle with which few will quarrel is that tax-free income levels be raised enough that families and individuals with income levels at or near poverty be exempt from the federal income tax. This can be accomplished by a combination of increases made to the personal exemption and the zero bracket amount. For example, under the Treasury proposals a family of four would never be required to pay tax on the first $11,800 of income (at 1986 levels of income), no matter what its income. Another tenet under fairness for families that the President has endorsed is retention of the deduction for home mortgage interest expense. The sense of wellbeing and social stability that has always been associated with wide-spread home ownership sets this one deduction apart for special consideration. A final fairness principle is that tax reform should not redistribute our current tax burden among those at different 6 income levels. I agree with the conclusion of the Treasury Department study that it is pointless to enter into a debate over the distribution of tax burdens among income classes. Thus, except for somewhat larger tax reductions at the bottom of the income scale that are required to remove those at or near poverty from the tax rolls, the current distribution of taxes should be maintained. Rrnnnmic Neutrality. Economic neutrality, as well as basic fairness, requires that all income should be taxed equally, no matter how the income is earned or how it is spent. This uniform treatment of all sources and uses of income requires a broad and comprehensive definition of income. Therefore, most special exclusions and adjustments and many deductions now in the law that favor certain sources and uses of income must be eliminated. So too must we get rid of many special tax credits and tax deferrals. While perfect economic neutrality is too much to expect, we should make every effort to see to it that any tax reform legislation is as economically neutral as possible. simplicity. As more and more special features have been added to the income tax laws over the years, the tax system has become so complicated that 41 percent of all individuals filing tax returns — and about 60 percent of those itemizing their deductions — employ professional tax preparation services. Even Internal Revenue Service staff experts trained to answer taxpayer questions can sometimes give conflicting answers to identical questions. This is not faulty tax administration. It is faulty tax law. Because of the enormous volume of ever changing statutory provisions, regulations, and rulings, the tax law is simply too ponderous for the tax professional, as well as the average person, to master. If requirements to keep records on itemized deductions and income tax credits are eliminated, as most tax reform proposals would do by scaling back their use, the typical middle-income taxpayer will be relieved of much of the complexity he or she faces today. Also, a simpler tax structure would pave the way for development of a "returnfree" system, whereby most taxpayers could elect to have their taxes computed by the Internal Revenue Service entirely on the basis of information reports filed with the Internal Revenue Service by employers, other payors of income, and payees of expenses such as mortgage interest. 7 Perhaps most important, a simpler, understandable tax system — one without need for so many special rules, cumbersome definitions, and legal jargon — will be perceived as more fair by taxpayers generally. I believe that when many taxpayers complain about complexity they are, in fact, expressing frustration that tax burdens are unfair. They know that those with equal incomes do not always pay the same tax and that those with unequal incomes frequently do pay the same tax. This understanding of our current system erodes taxpayer morale and fosters noncompliance. Fair And Orderly Transition. Last, but as important as any other principle I have enumerated, is the need for fair and orderly transition. The movement from our current tax structure, with all its faults, inequities, and economic distortions, to a reformed and more neutral tax structure will inevitably cause shifts in economic resources — shifts that can involve substantial hardships and economic disruptions unless careful and generous transition rules are developed. If the movement is too sudden or too rapid, economic disruptions could be quite serious. Despite their validity, we cannot allow these arguments to be used to impede fundamental tax reform or to delay its enactment. But we can, and will, be sensitive to concerns of taxpayers who have made good-faith decisions in reliance on current law. Further, we will maintain vigilance to identify other potential inequities that may arise to cause short-run economic turmoil. There is at present a great deal of uncertainty over when tax reform legislation might be enacted and over the effects such legislation would have on various businesses and investments. This uncertainty may be altering taxpayer decisions or causing such decisions to be accelerated or postponed in order to avoid the effective dates of possible legislation. We do not know the extent to which such distortions in economic activity may be occurring, but we believe it is important that the uncertainties created by the debate over tax reform be held to a minimum. Accordingly, let me state now, Mr. Chairman, that no administration tax reform proposal will contain an effective date earlier than January 1, 1986. In line with this position, we have modified the effective date and transition rules of the Treasury Department tax reform proposals by substituting January 1, 1986 wherever the rules were previously tied to the date tax reform was either introduced or enacted. Details on these and certain other modifications 8 of effective dates and transition rules of the Treasury proposals are contained in an appendix to this statement. Effects of Tax Reform Exactly what tax reform will mean to individual taxpayers and to the economy generally is obviously a critical issue because legislators will be influenced by the answers. The Treasury proposals, along with the major Congressional alternatives, have been widely discussed in the press, although often evaluations have missed the mark because they reported premature analyses based on incomplete information or a misunderstanding of the proposals. Under any one of the proposals meriting serious consideration, there will be those with tax increases and those with tax decreases. However, if the Treasury proposals are any guide, families with tax cuts will outnumber families with tax increases by more than two to one. In fact, under the Treasury proposals, 78 percent will experience either a tax cut or no change in tax and only 22 percent will face higher taxes. Of this 22 percent, more than half will have a tax increase of less than one percent of income. This means, for example, that while most families with, say, $50,000 of income would receive a tax reduction, those with an increase in tax would typically have an increase of no more than $500. Like individuals, businesses that pay little or no tax now will face higher taxes. Those that pay the highest rates of tax on total income under the current system will, by and large, receive the greatest benefits. Those businesses are concentrated in industries that do not enjoy many of the special tax-reducing provisions of current law. This group includes, especially, industries which typically have much of their capital in the form of structures, technical know-how, and inventories. Under any of the comprehensive tax reform proposals, long-term real growth would be encouraged by a combination of increased incentives to work and save brought about by lower marginal tax rates and a reduction in the distortions in the allocations of capital and labor brought about by a more neutral tax environment. 9 Conclusion I do not underestimate the difficulty of the task we face. I have no deadline for submission of an administration proposal. However it is not nearly as important that a date be set for us to return with specific language as it is for us to continue a productive dialogue. By working together, I do believe — as does the President — that we can enact this year a tax bill for fairness, simplicity and growth. Although the changes I have announced today in proposed effective dates and transition rules should permit ordinary business activity to be conducted without significant disruption, it must be recognized that uncertainty and the possibility of economic distortions will continue as long as the debate over tax reform continues. No set of effective dates or transition rules, however finely crafted, can protect all taxpayers and all investments from the effects of a fundamental reform of our tax system. Only final action on tax reform legislation will permit businesses and ordinary citizens alike to proceed free of uncertainty over tax consequences. The Treasury plan is a good starting point. The foundation of the Treasury study — which shares common philosophy and principles with the widely-discussed Congressional proposals — is sound. Let us now reexamine each provision of the various plans to construct a workable and viable basis for legislation. I have instructed my staff to reconsider every provision of the Treasury Department plan upon which people have commented to us. They are reviewing every recommendation that business and taxpayer groups have made, and they are looking anew at options that were dismissed or possibly overlooked. We will not abandon the effort to achieve the principles I earlier discussed; but you will find us openly receptive to sound alternatives and eager to embrace those alternatives if they are more workable. We will be prepared to make any changes necessary as long as we find compelling reasons to do so where such changes might abridge our principles. In considering any changes, let us keep in mind those who do not really have an organized lobby in Washington — the average working taxpayer. For the majority of working Americans, tax reform represents a fairer, simpler tax system with dramatically lower tax rates. Although many existing deductions, exclusions, and credits would be eliminated, for 10 the majority of taxpayers any resulting increases in tax burdens would be more than offset by the substantial rate cuts and increased personal exemptions and zero bracket amounts. That is why it is so important that any changes we • consider do not do great injustice to our principle of revenue neutrality. This principle forces a measure of discipline upon us that has rarely constrained the legislative process. If we are to succeed in reforming the income tax structure — and I hope we will — success will be the result of a dedicated bipartisan effort. That success will engender new respect not only for the tax system but for government generally. Taxpayers will be treated more fairly. Workers and families will have greater ability and incentive to save and invest. The economy will be stronger. And America will be greater. Thank you very much. 0O0 TREASURY NEWS Bpartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 For Release Upon Delivery Expected at 9:30 a.m. E.S.T. February 27, 1985 STATEMENT OF RONALD A. PEARLMAN ASSISTANT SECRETARY (TAX POLICY) DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SURFACE TRANSPORTATION SUBCOMMITTEE OF THE COMMITTEE ON COMMERCE, SCIENCE AND TRANSPORTATION UNITED STATES SENATE Mr. Chairman and Members of the Subcommittee: I am pleased to have the opportunity to present the views of the Treasury Department on the Federal income tax aspects of the proposed sale by the Federal Government of its interest in the Consolidated Rail Corporation ("Conrail"). Section 401 of the Regional Rail Reorganization Act of 1973 enacted by the Northeast Rail Service Act of 1981 directed the Secretary of Transportation to submit to the Congress a plan for the sale of the Federal Government's interest in approximately 85 percent of Conrail's common stock to (1) ensure continued rail service; (2) promote competitive bidding for the stock; and (3) maximize the Government's return on its investment in Conrail. After careful review of a number of purchase proposals, the Secretary of Transportation has recommended sale to the Norfolk Southern Corporation. In preparing that plan and reviewing other bids, the Transportation Department consulted closely with the Treasury Department on the Federal income tax aspects of the sale. The two principal concerns of the Treasury Department relating to the sale of Conrail are (1) the potential for the transfer to a private person (Norfolk Southern Corporation) of the tax benefits of Conrail that were earned while Conrail was owned by the Federal Government and attributable to Federal B-29 - 2 Government monies and (2) the separation of the Federal Government (specifically the Internal Revenue Service) in its role as administrator of the Federal income tax system and its role as owner of the stock of Conrail to be sold to a private person (Norfolk Southern Corporation) which is itself a taxpayer. Treatment of Conrail's Tax Benefits Section 401 directed the Transportation Department to devise a plan for returning Conrail to the private sector, preferably by sale of common stock rather than by a sale of its assets. Under current law there are significant differences in the Federal income tax treatment of a sale of stock and a sale of assets of a corporation. In general, a purchaser of the stock of a corporation receives a tax basis in the stock purchased equal in amount to the consideration paid for such stock. Other than this change in tax basis for the stock purchased, upon the sale of stock of a corporation there generally are no tax consequences to either the purchaser or the corporation whose stock is sold ("target corporation"). Accordingly, any tax attributes of the target corporation generally remain intact even though the target corporation is owned by different persons. We understand that Conrail presently has a number of tax attributes of considerable value to a purchaser, principally net operating losses, investment tax credits and the tax basis of its assets including the so-called "frozen asset base." V If, as under current law, the tax attributes of Conrail were allowed to carryover after the sale to Norfolk Southern Corporation, the availability of such tax benefits would presumably result in a somewhat higher selling price to the Federal Government for the Conrail stock. On the other hand, there would be a loss of revenue to the Federal Government caused by the utilization of the tax benefits. No net loss to the Federal Government would result if it received the exact value of such tax benefits, i.e., the future use of the benefits was accurately predicted and the proper discounted value of that use was paid. But, predicting the use and value of these tax benefits is an inherently uncertain V Under the exercise. Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981, which replaced the replacement-retirement-betterment (RRB) method of depreciation, the "frozen asset base" — which is the aggregate amount of expenditures that were capitalized under the RRB method of depreciation and whose cost was never recovered — may be recovered over a period of between 5 and 50 years under rates of depreciation provided by prior law. - 3 On the other hand, because a stock sale of Conrail was statutorily preferred by Congress, it appears appropriate to allow Conrail to carryover its historic tax attributes to the extent such attributes are not attributable to monies contributed by the Federal Government. Because the net operating losses, investment tax credits and other carryovers of Conrail are attributable to the period Conrail was owned by the Federal Government and because such tax benefits are difficult to value, the Department of Transportation plan for the sale of Conrail appropriately provides that, as a sale condition, Conrail and the Internal Revenue Service shall have entered into a closing agreement for the surrender of Conrail's net operating losses, investment tax credits, and other carryforwards as of the date of sale (subject to their use against prior year audit deficiencies and other limited exceptions). With respect to the tax basis of Conrail's assets (including the so-called "frozen asset base") after the sale to Norfolk Southern Corporation, the Department of Transportation plan for the sale of Conrail contemplates that such basis shall carryover, i.e., shall be the same as it was in the hands of Conrail before the sale to Norfolk Southern Corporation, under the ordinary tax rule applicable to stock sales. Based upon the data that was provided to us by the Department of Transportation, the aggregate of the tax basis of Conrail's assets (including the amount of the so-called "frozen asset base") was approximately the same as of December 31, 1983 (the latest data that was available) as it was on conveyence to Conrail on or about April 1, 1976. Such amount as of April 1, 1976, was carried over to Conrail from the predecessor transferor railroads and was not attributable to Federal Government monies. After Conrail was formed, Congress enacted special legislation to provide for the tax treatment of the transfer of assets to Conrail. Among other things, this legislation (now embodied in section 374(c) of the Internal Revenue Code) provides that neither Conrail nor any subsidiary shall succeed to any net operating loss carryforward of any predecessor tranferor railroad. Further, this legislation provides that the basis of Conrail's assets received from the predecessor transferor railroads shall carryover, i.e., shall be the same as it was in the hands of the railroad corporation whose property was so acquired. These same Federal income tax consequences will be achieved by the Department of Transportation's plan for the sale of Conrail to the Norfolk Southern Corporation, even though current law would provide more favorable treatment to Norfolk Southern Corporation and yield less tax revenue to the Federal Government. - 4 Separation of Government Roles The Internal Revenue Service is charged with administration and enforcement of the Federal income tax laws. In order to effectively carry out this mission, no preference or special rules can be adopted for any taxpayer. The Department of Transportation plan for the sale of Conrail does not provide for any restrictions on the Internal Revenue Service in auditing or assessing tax liabilities against Norfolk Southern Corporation or Conrail after the sale to Norfolk Southern Corporation. To the extent the Norfolk Southern Corporation and the Department of Transportation negotiated in good faith any protections against tax liability of Conrail or Norfolk Southern Corporation to accomplish the objectives of the Department of Transportation in selling Conrail, such protections were provided as warranties rather than covenants by the Internal Revenue Service in order to be consistent with the Internal Revenue Service's mission of evenly administering and enforcing the Federal income tax laws. Certain legislation, which is included in the proposal submitted by the Department of Transportation, to implement a procedure for the Norfolk Southern Corporation to enforce such tax warranties against the Federal Government is required. Special Legislation for Conrail's Employee Stock Ownership Plan Certain legislation is also required to qualify for tax purposes Conrail's employee stock ownership plan that was created by earlier legislation. This legislation, which is included in the proposal submitted by the Department of Transportation, is necessary because of the unique form of Norfolk Southern's arrangements with Conrail's labor unions and employees and the unusual structure of Conrail's employee stock ownership plan. * * * This concludes my prepared remarks. I would be happy to respond to your questions. TREASURY NEWS apartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-204' FOR RELEASE UPON DELIVERY February 27, 1985 REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE THOMAS J. HEALEY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY FOR DOMESTIC FINANCE BEFORE THE COMMERCE, CONSUMER, AND MONETARY AFFAIRS SUBCOMMITTEE OF THE HOUSE COMMITTEE ON GOVERNMENT OPERATIONS Mr. Chairman and members of the Subcommittee: I welcome this opportunity to discuss with you subjects that relate to the soundness of the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation (FSLIC) and regulatory actions taken by the Federal Home Loan Bank Board (FHLBB) to preserve and bolster the FSLIC Fund. As you know, the Working Group for the Cabinet Council on Economic Affairs (CCEA), which I directed, recently completed a study on the federal deposit insurance system in which it made five recommendations for strengthening the banking and thrift industries and their respective insurance funds. The Working Group recommendations concern: (1) risk-related pricing, (2) increased capital, (3) the size of the funds, (4) accounting and disclosure and (5) examination, supervision and enforcement. I have attached a copy of the study for your information. I will limit my testimony to the first three recommendations since they are the areas on which you specifically invited comments. However, all five recommendations would strengthen the deposit insurance system and that, fundamentally, is everyone's major concern. I will, of course, be happy to answer questions on all five recommendations. B-30 - 2 I, also, want to stress that the Working Group's recommendations are viewed as a complement to, not a substitute for, the Administration's policies in favor of financial deregulation (such as expanded powers for depository institution holding companies and the liberalization of geographic restraints on banking organizations) and the Vice President's Task Group's proposals for reorganization of the federal regulatory agencies. Need to Increase the Size of the Insurance Funds I will briefly discuss two topics; the specific need to increase the size of the FSLIC fund now and the Working Group's recommendation concerning both the FSLIC and FDIC funds. The Administration fully supports the efforts of the FHLBB and the industry to develop a plan to increase the FSLIC fund. The FHLBB has reported that deposits covered by the FSLIC fund reached $785 billion in December of 1984, about a 17 percent increase over the level of deposits insured at the end of 1983. Yet, at the same time the growing number of severe asset credit problems at some FSLIC insured institutions has caused the size of the FSLIC fund, for the first time in its history, to decline. The book value of the fund has gone from $6.4 billion at December 31, 1983", to less than $6.0 billion in February of 1985. Thus, the ratio of the funds' assets to insured deposits, which was 1.64 percent at year-end 1974 and about 1.0 percent at year-end 1984, is expected to drop to .75 percent by the end of 1985 and to drop further if the size of the fund is not increased. These figures confirm the need to increase the FSLIC fund. The question is how. (See Chart 1). A capitalization program similar to the one percent assessment authorized for the National Credit Union Share Insurance Fund in the Deficit Reduction Act of 1984 seems conceptually appropriate. Under a similar type of plan recently unveiled by the U.S. League of Savings Institutions each FSLIC insured institution would be required to purchase and maintain an equity position in the FSLIC equal to one percent of its liabilities (i.e., deposits and borrowings). The minimum normal dividend of the investment would result from the plan's provision that the FSLIC would waive its normal premium equal to 1/12 of one percent of deposits when FSLIC expenses did not draw the funds' reserves below 1.25 percent of institutions' deposits. in the event the FSLICs expenses were to result in depleting its reserves to less than ?!Ifr??r?nt °l l i a b i l i t i e s , the FSLIC would require the institutions to replenish the depleted equity. have n . °t worked through all the details and understand h. , *® Q Irlli l K 1 9 fc b e S O m e Preference for the 1/12 of one percent r 1U effec n!,° J60of ?"!! tivebut when reserve higher 1.25 percent deposits, in the general the is plan seemsthan to - 3 provide the FSLIC with the flexibility it needs during the next few years. However, until the necessary legislation is passed, the FHLBB should not be discouraged from implementing a special 1/8 of one percent assessment to help meet the expected outlays in 1985. On a more general level, the Working Group found that "determining appropriate sizes for the insurance funds of both FDIC and FSLIC is important because the perceived adequacy of the funds generates confidence in the system. Therefore, the Administration should work with the agencies to determine reasonable target sizes for the funds. As part of this endeavor, additional tools for handling failure or near failure of insured institutions should be developed. Moreover, the insurance premiums should be extended to cover deposits payable in foreign offices. In addition, it was strongly recommended that any increases in the sizes of the funds be financed by the insured institutions so that the potential costs to the taxpayers would be minimized." We have focused today on the FSLIC fund; however, the size of the FDIC fund should be reviewed as well. For example, the ratio of the assets of the FDIC insurance fund relative to insured deposits has slightly increased over the past several years to about 1.22 percent, but the ratio of the fund to total liabilities, including letters of credit and deposits in foreign offices has been considerably less and at the end of 1983 was only about .66 percent. Adoption of Rules Requiring Insured Institutions to Increase Their Net Worth Positions The increased risks faced by financial institutions as a result of changes in the economic environment, such as volatile interest rates and increased competition both within and outside the bank and thrift industries, argue for a significantly higher capital requirement to serve as a buffer against difficult times for the institutions and the insurance funds. Furthermore, encouraging an increased stake by long-term capital investors such as unsecured subordinated debtholders should provide a more stable market discipline over time than that provided by depositors because, unlike depositors, long-term capital holders are uninsured and unsecured, and cannot withdraw their funds quickly. Capital, both equity and long-term debt, protects institutions and insured deposits when losses are encountered, provides market discipline on managers, and helps to preserve the solvency of the federal deposit insurance funds. In a highly leveraged financial institution, capital is the safety net. - 4 The attached charts on total depositor protection (Charts 2 and 3) dramatize the differences between the capital position of banks and thrifts and their respective funds. The ratio of net worth to assets at insured savings and loans fell from over 7 percent of total assets in 1974, to less than 4 percent in 1983 if regulatory accounting principles (RAP) are used; to 3.27 percent if generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) are used, and to less than 1/2 of 1 percent of assets if the goodwill booked during the acquisitions since 1980 is subtracted. At the same time the size of the FSLIC fund has been declining. By contrast the capital position of the banking industry has remained constant and the size of the FDIC fund has been rising slightly. The FHLBB's recent rule requiring higher net worth ratios on all new deposit growth is consistent with the Working Group's recommendations. The requirement of higher levels on all new growth is particularly important because in effect it phases in higher capital over time and allows the market to decide how fast or at what price an institution can grow, • depending on the institution's riskiness. Secretary Regan stated in the attached January 29, 1985 letter to Chairman Gray, that the Administration supports the FHLBB's rule and considers it a good first step toward raising the industry's net worth position to a substantially higher level. Risk-Related Premiums The Working Group found that "the current flat-rate premium structure for deposit insurance is inequitable because healthy institutions subsidize troubled ones; and there is little economic incentive to control risk-taking. Therefore, introduction of risk-related pricing, although not necessarily perfect, would clearly be better than the current flat-rate system in simulating the operation of the free market and, hence, reducing the inequity and risk-taking." Based on its findings, the Working Group recommended authorizing the insurance corporations to develop a method of implementing risk-related premiums based on objective (not subjective) measures of risk faced by individual depository institutions. The goal would be to set an eventual premium differential large enough to have an impact on management's decision-making. .T,}ank y°u for allowing me to present these views. I will oe glad to answer any questions. Attachments Chart 1 FSLIC FUND Percent of Equity to Total Deposits 1.4 Capitalization, then no regular premium 1.3 1.2 1.11— 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 One time additional 1/8 premium 0.6 0.5 Status Quo 0.4 0.3 1983 1984 1985 1986 Fiscal Years 1987 1988 1989 1990 Chart 2 TOTAL DEPOSITOR PROTECTION AT S & Lfs (as percent of total S & L assets) % 6 I 4 Appraised Equity and Loss Deferrals 3 Goodwill 2 — % -*-*i{ Tangible Net Worth* | FSLIC Fund _1_ 1974 1975 1976 1977 _i_ 1978 1979 I 1980 1981 1982 1983 TOTAL DEPOSITOR PROTECTION AT COMMERCIAL BANKS (as percent of total commercial bank assets) %o 8 Reserves 7- Subordinated Debt Equity 4 — FDIC Fund I 1974 1975 1976 I 1977 Source: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY WASHINOTOK 20220 January 29, 1985 Dear Ed: On behalf of the Administration, I am writing to support the Federal Home Loan Bank Board's recent proposal to increase the net worth requirement for FSLIC insured institutions. There has been a fundamental and permanent shift in the nature of risks faced by thrift institutions as a result of changes in the economic environment and the deregulation of both assets and liabilities. The increase in the volatility of interest rates and the riskiness of investments implies a need for greater capital to reduce the exposure of the FSLIC fund. We view the net worth proposal as a good first step towards raising the industry's net worth to deposit ratios to a level more in keeping with the safety and soundness standards maintained before the industry's severe losses in 1981 and 1982. The net worth proposal should curtail the rapid growth of thrift institutions that do not have adequate levels of capital to support additional growth. In addition, focusing on capital requirements (and accounting rules) avoids government intrusion into investment portfolio decisions and other business policies of thrift institutions. As you know, the Administration has vigorously supported policies to deregulate assets and borrowing powers of thrifts and other financial institutions. These deregulatory steps can contribute to the financial stability of the industry and because of this, need not be a focus of government efforts to avoid financial instability. Thus, your efforts to focus on improvements in capital requirements (and accounting rules) are supportive of our policies towards continued deregulation. - 2 Since we would like the FSLIC insured institutions to increase their capital position as soon as possible, the Administration strongly supports your proposal. With best wishes. Sincerely, AT^x Donald T. Regan The Honorable Edwin J. Gray Chairman Federal Home Loan Bank Board 1700 G Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20552 TREASURY NEWS apartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone February 26, 1985 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE RESULTS OF AUCTION OF 5-YEAR 2-MONTH NOTES The Department of the Treasury has accepted $7,005 million of $19,252 million of tenders received from the public for the 5-year 2-month notes, Series J-1990, auctioned today. The notes will be issued March 1, 1985, and mature May 15, 1990. The interest rate on the notes will be 11-3/8%. The range of accepted competitive bids, and the corresponding prices at the 11-3/8% interest rate are as follows: Yield Price Low 11.42% 99.703 11.43% 99.664 High 11.43% 99.664 Average Tenders at the high yield were allotted 80%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury Totals Received 239,363 16,,647,203 11,950 242,327 30,885 35,564 973,066 98,693 43,055 57,608 13,390 855,278 3,186 $19 ,251,568 $ Accepted $ 14,363 6,417,523 11,950 155,827 19,385 24,164 134,866 88,693 15,055 57,608 7,290 55,278 3,186 $7,005,188 The $7,005 million of accepted tenders includes $577 million of noncompetitive tenders and $6,428 million of competitive tenders from the public. B-31 2041 TREASURY NEWS _ Department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE March 4, 1985 RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $7,005 Billion of 13-week bills and for $7,015 Billion of 26-week bills, both Co be issued on March 7, 1985, were accepted today. RANGE OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: Low High Average 13--week bills maturing June 6, 198f Discount Investment Rate Rate 1/ Price 8.69%a/ 8.75% 8.73% 9.01% 9.07% 9.05% 97.803 97.788 97.793 26-veek bills maturing September 5, 1985 Discount Investment Rate Rate 1/ Price : 8.97% " 8.98% : 8.98% 9.53% 9.54% 9.54% 95.465 95.460 95.460 a/ Excepting 1 tender of $3,680,000. Tenders at the high discount rate for the 13-week bills were allotted 52%. Tenders at the high discount rate for the 26-week bills were allotted 99%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED Received Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TOTALS T^pe Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public Federal Reserve Foreign Official Institutions TOTALS (In Thousands) Accepted : Accepted 58,445 408,445 $ 5,522,110 12,889,000 26,580 26,580 59,900 59,900 52,940 52,940 56,110 56,110 211,325 1,093,725 57,145 • 97,145 4,195 4,195 73,840 73,840 35,340 37,740 513,700 1,418,900 333,215 333,215 396,805 : $ 16,380,240 : : 21,990 55,990 : : 108,380 : 69,715 : 1,276,900 64,330 3,265 58,895 : 25,930 1,827,490 : 339,000 $ 46,805 6,050,800 21,990 45,890 54,380 53,415 233,095 24,330 3,265 57,895 19,930 64.490 339,000 $16,551,735 $7,004,845 : $20,628,930 $7,015,285 $13,310,115 1,342,820 $14,652,935 $4,013,225 1,342,820 $5,356,045 : $17,344,370 : 1,018,860 : $18,363,230 $3,980,725 1,018,860 $4,999,585 1,848,700 1,598,700 : 1,750,000 1,500,000 50,100 50,100 : 515,700 515,700 $16,551,735 $7,004,845 : $20,628,930 $7,015,285 $ \J Equivalent coupon-issue yield. B-32 Received TREASURY NEWS Department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 Statement of the Honorable David C. Mulford Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs before the Committee on Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on International Economic Policy & Trade March 5, 1985 Mr. Chairman, Members of the Committee: I welcome this opportunity to present the Treasury Department's views on the important issues your subcomittee has under consideration. These are complicated issues to which there are no easy or "quick-fix" solutions. In considering issues related to the strong dollar and the rising trade and current account deficits, it is important to understand the factors at work which have led to these circumstances. Understanding of these basic factors provides the only means for evaluating the desirability and possible effectiveness of the various so-called "solutions" to the trade deficit or the high value of the dollar. Trade and Current Account Deficits. Over the course of these hearings you will undoubtedly hear that the major cause of our rising trade and current account deficits is the "overvalued" dollar. While I recognize that a strong dollar hurts the international price competitiveness of U.S. industry, these deficits reflect more fundamental factors which developed over a period of time am] of which the strong dollar itself is a symptom. Let us begin by looking at the evolution of the trade deficit. During 1980 — the last year of the Carter Administration — U.S. merchandise exports totaled $224 billion. Last year exports totaled $220 billion. Our B-33 - 2 imports in 1980 were $250 billion. Last year's imports totaled $328 billion. Why have imports risen so sharply about 30 percent over 4 years — while exports are essentially unchanged? — Three broad forces have been at work that explain the distinctly different growth rates: relative economic performance at home and in the other major industrial countries; the LDC debt situation; and the strength of the dollar. Over the past 4 years there has been a strikingly sharp contrast between U.S. economic performance and that of our major trading partners. You are all well aware of the strong U.S. expansion, and the large growth in U.S. employment. You may be less aware of how our performance compares to that of our trading partners. For example, industrial production in the United States is 13 percent higher than it was 4 years ago, despite a year long recession in 1982. In contrast, industrial production in Europe at the end of 1984 was essentially unchanged from its 1980 level. In 1980, 30 percent of our exports went to Europe, so it is hardly surprising that our exports to Europe have not grown. Of course industrial production is only a partial measure of foreign demand for U.S. products. A broader measure is foreign GNP. Again, there have been stark performance differences. Our GNP in the fourth quarter of 1984 was 12 percent higher than during the recession's trough in 1982. Outside the United States, real GNP in the industrial countries has risen only 3-1/2 percent since the end of 1982. Some critics may counter these facts by arguing that even though Europe has had problems, the Japanese economy has expanded rather well. True enough. But Japan accounted foe only 9 percent of U.S. exports in 1980. Its solid expansion of 16 percent in real GNP since 1980 has not produced much U.S. export growth. In 1980 our exports to Japan were $21 billion and 4 years later they were $24 billion. This low growth reflects two key realities: most importantly the closed nature of Japan's tradeable goods sector; and secondly dollar appreciation. However, despite much talk about a strong dollar and a weak yen, when measured solely against tne yen, the dollar appreciated against the yen by 7 percent over the past 2 years. Against currencies other than the dollar, the yen has been very strong. The non-OPEC LDCs accounted Cor nearly 30 percent of our ™ ! 5 * * * l n i 9 8 0 * B u t a s t h e i r external and domestic economic conditl0ns deteriorated with the emergence of the JZllJl* " a u d e b t P r o b lem, their economic growth fell *m! ? o « W l » L D C i m P ° r t s falling $12 billion between 1981 Q iyBJ * A s v o u know, our Latin American trading partners - 3have experienced particularly serious debt problems with one of the results being that our exports to Latin America fell $16 billion. Last year, as these debtor countries began to see the initial benefits of adjustment efforts, our exports to them rose a bit, recouping about $4 billion of the lost exports. But exports were still $12 billion below their 1981 level. If U.S. exports to LDCs had grown at a historically reasonable 8 percent per annum in the 1982-84 period instead of falling due to the debt situation, then total U.S. exports would be $25 billion higher than they were last year. By a similar calculation, our exports to Europe would also be some $25 billion higher if their economies had experienced modest growth. In other words, if Europe had expanded and the LDCs had not experienced a serious debt crisis, we would be discussing today a trade deficit of about $50 billion, a modest increase over 4 years during the sharpest U.S. expansion since the Korean war. Turning to the growth in U.S. imports, the story is quite similar. The very rapid U.S. expansion since the end of 1982 has pulled in imports. Merchandise imports — excluding oil — rose 46 percent over the past two years. Our estimates suggest that about two-thirds of that expansion was the result of our recovery. Some witnesses will probably tell you that imports cost us an enormous number of jobs. There has been some job loss in certain sectors of the economy, but not for the economy as a whole. The recent rise in our imports resulted from strong growth. Without that vent for strong domestic demand the U.S. economy might well have overheated. Undoubtedly, bottlenecks in some sectors would have been a serious problem. Capacity constraints would have been reached in some industries. And our inflation performance — and bear in mind how recently inflation was public enemy number one -would not have been as enviable as it has been. The Dollar. Mr. Chairman, your letter of invitation asked about "the overvalued U.S. dollar." I would agree that the dollar is stronger than it was in 1980 — a lot stronger. I would agree that its value is "high" compared to what we experienced in the late 70's. But I do not believe that one can deduce from that that it is "overvalued." The factors behind the dollar's strength are in many respects similar to the cause of our trade deficit that I have just outlined. The dollar is strong in part because of outstanding U.S. economic performance, the best for the past quarter century. For the first time in 20 years, inflation has ratcheted downward coming out of the '82 recession. - 4 Following past recessions, inflation ratcheted up. I recall that many thought the trend had become a never-ending process — a long and debilitating sickness. This time inflation is well below its previous trough rate. And, importantly, despite the strongest 8 quarter recovery/expansion in the postwar period, inflation has stayed down. This fundamental shift in inflation performance has slowly become accepted and believed by markets and is causing a lowering of inflation expectations. In my opinion, after 20 years of firsthand experience in international markets, it is difficult to overemphasize the power, the force, if you will, of the change in market sentiment. Equally important to our performance in absolute terms, exchange markets look to the performance of one country relative to another. As I noted earlier, our relative performance has been superior to that of other major countries. During the sixties, the U.S. economy grew at 4.3 percent; the rest of the industrial countries grew 5.7 percent. During the seventies the gap narrowed. We grew 3.1 percent on average and our major partners grew 3.8 percent. Since 1982 our relative growth rates have been reversed. We have grown an average 5.3 percent, while the other industrial countries have grown 2.7 percent. In addition, the Administration and the Congress have succeeded in removing rigidities in our economy to increase its flexibility to adapt to changing conditions. Deregulation, tax reductions, and a shift both in attitude and behavior towards free markets has stimulated investment and increased rates of return to entrepreneurship. Reflecting this flexibility, the U.S. economy has created 7.3 million new jobs during the current recovery/expansion. Unfortunately, our friends in Europe have not yet come to grips with this important challenge. Europe faces serious structural problems which affect employment growth, capital formation, and the development of new industries. For example, an array of hiring and firing regulations and generous unemployment benefits raise the cost to firms of taking on new workers and reduce the desire of workers to seek new jobs. Partly due to these rigidities and others, there has been a loss of nearly one million jobs in Europe during the past 2 years — and that at a time of positive growth. Our ability to create new jobs compared to Europe's problem in even maintaining jobs has been reflected in exchange market developments. It is not surprising that the dollar reflects both in absolute and relative terms this economic performance and the fundamentals which lie behind it. T know many witnesses will argue that the dollar is t n ^ " L ^ C a i ! S e u f hilh U * S - i n t e n t rates. Undoubtedly ™ * * tt " t ^ h a v e been a factor underlying dollar strength over the past 4 years. But the facts do not demonstrate a - 5 strong and consistent relationship between the strength of the dollar and interest rate developments. Over the period as a whole from 1980 - 1984, U.S. short-term interest rates are down 10 percentage points. The interest rate differential favoring dollar-denominated assets against other currencies is also down significantly. For example, the differential favoring dollar-denominated over DM-denominated assets has moved 6 percentage points against U.S. assets, but the dollar has risen nearly 60 percent against the DM. Against the French franc, the story is even more dramatic. In 1980, U.S. interest rates were 7 percentage points above French short-term rates. In December 1984 our rates were below French rates. The shift in the differential in favor of franc-denominated assets has been 9 percentage points. But despite this massive shift, the dollar is up by over 100 percent against the franc. Clearly something besides interest rates tells the story about franc weakness and dollar strength. The calculation of real interest rate differentials is more complicated — and numerous types of estimates are possible — but the story is the same. Real interest rate differentials have moved against dollar assets. What has happened more recently? The current dollar appreciation started in early September. But U.S. interest rates are now nearly 2 points below where they were at that time, and during the intervening period, interest rates were down by as much as 3 percentage points from September levels. In my view the last move of the dollar set against a scenario of clearly falling interest rates, both nominal and real, has finally exploded the myth that dollar strength is purely and simply a function of high interest rates. In a sense that is what makes the present situation seem more serious. It is being recognized that it is the fundamental economic factors that influence money values, and this focuses attention where it belongs — on fundamental economic policies. Solutions. I know of only one sure way of lowering the value of the dollar quickly: that would be to return to the inflationary, stop-go policies of the 1970s. Put simply, if we reverse U.S. economic policies; give up the hard-won inflation gains; throw out the improved investment climate; and return to high growth rates of government spending and what was recently called stagflation — then we can be sure of lowering the dollar in exchange markets. I — and I am sure you — reject that approach. The better approach is to encourage stronger economic performance abroad. At the London Summit our leaders - 6recognized the need for the removal of structural rigidities. You can be assured that we will continue to urge our European friends to move in this direction at this spring's Bonn Summit. As Europe begins to solve its structural problems and creates an environment more hospitable to investment, then capital will be more inclined to stay in Europe and not seek alternative investments in the United States. When Europe strengthens, their currencies will strengthen too. A number of ideas — mostly recycled from the sixties and seventies — are being offered as "solutions" to the strong dollar. It is important to look very closely at the costs of these suggestions compared to the supposed benefits. For example, an import surcharge is not a free good. It will not raise revenues painlessly. First, it will be inflationary. It will raise the cost of imports to domestic buyers and reduce the pressure on U.S. producers to hold down their own costs and prices. Second, if it reduces imports, the dollar will rise, not fall. The dollar's strength reflects the simple fact that there are not enough dollars in foreigners' hands at its current price (the exchange rate). As they try to acquire more dollars, they bid up its price. Lower imports will reduce the supply of dollars and hence cause the exchange rate to rise. Thirdly, an import surcharge would lead to retaliation by foreigners. They may erect trade barriers or increase subsidies to their own exports to offset the effect of the surcharge. Finally, an import surcharge runs directly counter to the basic principles of this Administration. It would undermine the Administration's free market approach that has proved so successful in a wide range of areas such as trade negotiations, the international debt strategy, and multilateral development banks. Restraints on investment flows into the United States would run directly counter to the basic principle of open capital markets that has served this nation so well. The last time investment controls were tried in the sixties, international capital markets were virtually nonexistent. In fact, most analysts attribute the creation and early growth of the Euromarket to the imposition of U.S. capital controls. Even in those simpler days when, incidently, I began my own career in international finance, capital found its way around the artificial barriers, since capital is fungible, a barrier on one form of capital inflow shifts the demand to another form of inflow — that is, from traditional instru?n";L . n \ y u ? r e a t e d instruments and methods of finance. In today's highly sophisticated, 24 hour a day, global «»?,, 3 m a r k e t , controls simply would not work; they would tation a oniy any* sattempt to impose would c a a ^distort. na os T r"e pPu And ™*-off in safe foreign market investments forthem investment, placedseriously in - 7- As regards monetary measures, at the initiative of the Williamsburg and London Summits the Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors of the Group of Ten major industrial countries have been seeking to identify the areas in which progressive improvements in the functioning of the international monetary system might be sought. A report is scheduled to be completed in early summer and it would be premature to Indicate at this time the conclusions and recommendations that might be contained in that report. However, based on the discussions so far, it is clear that the focus will be on measures to encourage sound and consistent economic policies in the major countries as the key to greater exchange market stability rather than efforts directed toward pegging exchange rates artificially at particular levels or ranges. I might note, Mr. Chairman, that one of the basic reasons for the collapse of the Bretton Woods system of fixed exchange rates was the lack of convergence in economic performance among the major countries. It was recognized at that time that the only effective way to assure stable exchange rates was through convergence of economic performance. We have made progress in recent years towards reducing disparities in performance but more needs to be accomplished. You will notice that I have not dealt with exchange market intervention in my remarks. This is because intervention is not one of the serious long-term solutions to the strong dollar. In terms of measures to reduce the trade deficit, I would suggest that three courses of action are needed. First, European economic expansion needs to be strengthened and solidified. Second, the Japanese economy must become a full partner in the costs as well as the benefits from the international trading system. Direct and indirect barriers to imports have isolated that economy from the adjustment efforts required due to shifting comparative advantage and emerging new suppliers of manufactured products. The Administration now has underway a new approach to trade discussions which focus on fundamental market opening in key manufactured products sectors of the Japanese economy. As the free world's second largest economy, Japan must accept a share of manufactured imports commensurate with its economic strength and size. Finally, LDC adjustment efforts must be supported and encouraged. In general, they have made important progress but much more needs to be done. As LDC economies recover, their demand for imports will strengthen. - 8 - In summary, the strong dollar and the trade deficit fundamentally reflect a strong U.S. economy and relatively weak performances overseas. Solutions rest in strengthening performance abroad, not in a return to the tired old U.S. policies of the past. Alternative solutions seem very appealing. They may seem easy and harmless. Some even look to be convenient revenue sources to reduce the budget deficits. But they are ultimately all very costly to the U.S. public. TREASURY NEWS epartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 HOLD FOR RELEASE EXPECTED AT 10:00 A.M., EST WEDNESDAY, MARCH 6, 1985 STATEMENT OF ROBERT A. CORNELL DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY FOR INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND INVESTMENT POLICY BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON INTERNATIONAL TRADE, INVESTMENT AND MONETARY POLICY COMMITTEE ON BANKING, FINANCE AND URBAN AFFAIRS UNITED STATES HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES I am pleased to brief this Subcommittee on the status of export credit negotiations and to assess the relationship between the Administration's budget proposals and these negotiations. The Administration's budget proposal is one result of our negotiating success in the export credit field during the past four years. In essence, we have negotiated the virtual elimination of export credit subsidies to industrialized countries and significantly reduced export credit subsidies to developing countries. Our budget proposal recognizes the dwindling need to subsidize export credits. In our view, the budget proposal should have no impact on our ability to maintain and perhaps improve Arrangement rules on normal export finance. The effect of the budget on our ability to eliminate tradedistorting tied aid credits is less certain. In order to give perspective to the budget proposal, I would like to describe first the export credit situation in 1981; second, our achievements during the past four years; and third, the tied-aid, or so-called mixed credit loophole and our efforts to close it. Export Credit Arrangement: Historical Perspective Export credit negotiations have been an integral part of a long-standing United States' effort to eliminate the use of official credit subsidies in international commerce. U.S. economic policy, which minimizes government interference in the marketplace, differs markedly from the explicit industrial policies adopted by several other major governments. Industrial policy frequently relies on subsidies to lead industrial development, exports, and employment. Since the GATT effectively B-35 - 2 closed off many price subsidies for industrial goods during the 1970s some countries increasingly used credit subsidies to help implement their industrial export policies. Officially supported export credits thus became significant during the 1970s. Prior to the LDC debt crisis of 1983, OECD countries financed more than $50 billion of exports annually (1980-1982 base) with medium-term and long-term official export credit, much of which was subsidized. Annual short-term official support amounted to at least $120 billion. Complete data after 1982 are not yet available, but the global economic slowdown and the LDC debt crisis decreased world demand while damping the absolute level of officially supported credits. This may have increased the proportional share of officially supported export credits, however. During the past decade, we have been negotiating in the OECD with 22 other industrialized countries to reduce and eliminate export credit subsidies. When the Export Credit Arrangement was originally approved in April 1978, it was moderately effective in controlling export credit subsidies. However, skyrocketing market interest rates during 1979 and 1980 quickly outstripped the negotiated Arrangement interest rates, allowing for significant subsidies. The export credit subsidy problem had reached critical proportions during 1981, when Arrangement interest rates were nowhere near commercial bank rates. In the United States, Eximbank was lending at an interest rate almost five percentage points below its borrowing cost, resulting in subsidies amounting to more than $234 million per billion dollars authorized and significant losses to Eximbank"s net income. Arrangement rates in 1981 were significantly below government bond yields in other currencies: half the cost of money (870 basis points) in France, 40 percent (740 basis points) in the United Kingdom, 15 percent (320 basis points) in Germany, and 5 percent (110 basis points) in Japan. Current Export Credit Arrangement Since 1981, we have negotiated significant improvements in the rules governing export credits: 1. Substantial increases in minimum permissible interest rates in the Export Credit Arrangement; 2. Automatic adjustment of these rates in response to market changes; - 3 3. In principle, access to financing in low-interest-rate currencies at the same commercial interest rates available in that currency; 4. A ban of mixed or tied aid credits with grant elements below 20 percent; 5. A sector agreement on large commercial jet aircraft with France, Germany, and the United Kingdom; and 6. A Nuclear Power Sector Agreement. These improvements in the Arrangement have significantly reduced export credit subsidies and virtually eliminated these subsidies for industrialized countries and newly industrialized countries. The current average minimum interest rate under the Arrangement, weighted by category, is now 11.05 percent compared to 7.91 percent in 1981. This successful negotiation enabled Eximbank to align its interest rates to Arrangement rates without huge subsidy costs. Combined with the fall in commercial interest rates, Eximbank's cost of money has fallen from a peak of 15.7 percent in 1981 to the current 11.47 percent (December 1984). Taking into account mandatory fees charged by official export credit agencies — such as the French guarantee fees and U.S. application fees — export credit subsidies, when measured against the cost of money to governments, have been virtually eliminated for all currencies (see table below). When measured against commercial interest rates, however, an element of subsidy still remains. Commercial interest rates for the French franc, pound sterling and U.S. dollar are still between 1.5 and 2.0 percentage points above the government's cost of money. Thus, some subsidized official support is still available in these currencies, usually in the form of an interest rate buy down. For the Deutsche Mark, Swiss Franc and Japanese yen, there is virtually no subsidy, even when measured against commercial interest rates. During the past four years, the Administration also negotiated an agreement with other producer governments of large commercial jet aircraft (France, Germany, and the United Kingdom) to limit the trade credit subsidies for such aircraft. This agreement, which only governs sales in non-producer markets, sets the minimum interest at 12 percent for dollar credits and establishes a ceiling on the amount of direct credit support at 42.5 percent of the export value. - 4 The Administration has also negotiated an agreement in the OECD to limit export credit subsidies for export sales of nuclear power plant and equipment. The minimum interest rates are set at one percent above the permissible interest rates under the Arrangement. The impact of these changes is not small, since total worldwide officially supported export credits annually amount to about $50 billion in the medium- and long-term and at least $120 billion in the short-term. The U.S. taxpayer has benefited significantly as a result of reduced Eximbank subsidies. U.S. manufacturers have benefited from a more nearly level playing field in the export credit game. Tied Aid Credits The tied aid or mixed credit problem is the one remaining loophole in the Export Credit Arrangement. As originally conceived, such credits were intended to constitute a form of economic aid to developing countries, augmenting aid resources with more plentiful commercial credit. When used for commercial purposes, however, such credits distort both aid and trade. Using aid monies to steal normal export business is so patently unfair that it must be curtailed. The United States' objective is to eliminate the current practice of diverting aid monies for the purpose of penetrating markets and promoting exports. OECD countries have agreed that the tied aid credit problem is now the central issue in the export credits field. In May 1984, OECD Ministers instructed the appropriate bodies of the OECD to take "prompt action" to improve discipline and transparency over tied aid credits. Since then, the United States proposed a ban on all tied aid credits with a concessional element less than 50 percent as one way to ensure such credits are used only for legitimate aid purposes and not for commercial subsidies. The tied aid credit problem is significant. But, quantitatively, the tied aid credit problem is not on a scale with the overall export credit problems which we have already largely solved. In the peak year of 1982 (prior to agreement to ban tied aid credits with a grant element below 20 percent), OECD count^tl 9 U K ? riZ f^ $ 6 * 4 b i l l i ° n i" tied aid Credits with a grant element below 50 percent. m 1983, tied aid credits with a grant Eelement below 50 percent dropped to $3.7 billion. • nfnr-!h??e n u m b ? r s maY b e overstated. Only about 15-: . or really problematic or commercial foreign tied aid - 5 credit cases, amounting to about $300-400 million, were brought to our attention and confirmed during the last year. Worldwide, tied aid credits in sectors which would normally receive export credit finance — subways, railroads, telecommunications, power, steel, hydrocarbons — amounted to $3.7 billion in 1982 (about 2 percent of total exports supported with official finance). In 1983 such credits amounted to only $900 million. One should not try to gauge the trend in tied aid credits from this data. Preliminary 1984 data show an increase in notified offers, but a decrease in the number of loans actually made. The United Kingdom, Germany, Italy, other European countries, Canada and Japan are increasingly active not only in countering French mixed credits but also in initiating mixed credits or similar forms of concessional financing offers, judging by the notifications of such offers which have been received by Eximbank. While the increased notifications may be a harbinger of expanded use of tied aid credits in the future, they may also only be indicative of greater compliance with the OECD information exchange; the actual credits may be more or less than in the past. Nonetheless, statistics reveal that the tied aid credit problem is primarily a problem with one country — France. France is the only country blocking increasing discipline among the 22 Participants to the Arrangement on Export Credits. France dominated the tied aid credit field in 1982: * France authorized almost $2 billion in tied aid credits (30 percent of OECD total) with grant elements below 50 percent. * France authorized 40 percent of all OECD tied aid credits with grant elements below 35 percent. * France authorized 75 percent of tied aid lines of credit. French dominance increased during 1983, despite the downturn in LDC demand for project finance. * As OECD-wide authorizations of tied aid credits with grant elements less than 50 percent dropped from $6.4 billion in 1982 to $3.7 billion in 1983, French authorizations decreased only from $2.0 billion to $1.4 billion. * France authorized 37 percent of all tied aid credits with grant elements below 50 percent. - 6 - * France authorized over half of all tied aid credits with grant elements below 35 percent. * France authorized more than three-quarters of all tied aid lines of credit. * France accounted for almost 50 percent of the amounts authorized for sectors with high internal rates of return, such as telecommunications and transportation. Therefore, it comes as no surprise that France has used every means to block progress within the European Community, and, by extension, in the OECD on this issue. The French were successful in blocking an EC mandate last September, prompting the United States to ask for a postponement of the September meeting. The French have continued to block discussions of tied aid credit discipline within the Community. Our efforts to advance our objectives have taken many forms. Eximbank has selectively matched egregious foreign tied aid credits in the past 18 months. Eximbank and USAID have combined their resources in two cases to counter a foreign tied aid credit offer. On the diplomatic front, we have raised the issue at the highest levels in every available forum. Secretaries Regan and Shultz and Ambassador Brock have pressed their counterparts in the European Community and Japan over the past twelve months to support greater discipline and transparency. These efforts have borne some fruit. At the December meeting, we made technical progress, but not sufficient progress to solve the tied aid credit problem. The EC made a constructive proposal to improve the transparency of tied aid credits. This proposal had the following three elements: 1. A better and more comprehensive definition of tied aid credits to ensure all tied aid practices are subject to the same discipline; 2 ^°~day Prior notification by each Particioant of any and all tied aid credits with a grant element less than 50 percent (currently rules are 10-day prior notification for tied aid credits with grant elements less than 25 percent); r and 3. An agreement to hold face-to-face prior consultations among concerned Participants for controversial cases. '* A - 7 - While the EC proposal is certainly a positive step, one which we welcomed, we said that it should only go forward in conjunction with significant improvements in discipline. Export Credit negotiators must fulfill the OECD Ministerial Communique of May 18, 1984, which called for improvements in both discipline and transparency. The two should go forward_Tn~~tandem. The EC has yet to make a counter proposal to our idea of banning tied aid credits with a grant element of less than 50 percent. The Export Credits Group has until the OECD Ministerial meeting of April 1985 to fulfill its mandate. The Budget Proposal The Administration's negotiating success during the last four years has enabled us to propose the elimination of Eximbank' s direct credit program and place greater emphasis on guarantees and insurance. When coupled with other factors such as the LDC debt crisis, demand for Eximbank subsidized financing has dropped significantly during the past two years and has not increased commensurate with improvements in the global situation. Eximbank-subsidized direct credits dropped from a peak of $5.0 billion in FY81 to $844.9 million in FY83 and $1.46 billion in FY84. Unsubsidized financing has become increasingly competitive, as evidenced by the recent demand for guarantees and insurance. The proportional share of direct credits in Eximbank's long-term financing has dropped from 85 percent in FY81 to about 50 percent in FY83 and FY84. The majority of medium-term support is in the form of guarantees and insurance. During FY83, Eximbank authorized $1.2 billion in long-term financial guarantees, as compared to $684.7 million in long-term direct credits. Medium-term guarantees and insurance amounted to $829.1 million compared to $160.2 million in subsidized medium-term credits. (This number does not include the special facilities of $738.4 million authorized for Brazil and $500 million for Mexico.) In 1984, Eximbank authorized $899 million in financial guarantees and $1.5 billion in medium-term guarantees and insurance, compared to $1.1 billion in long-term direct credits and $433.9 million in subsidized medium-term credits. The proposed elimination of Eximbank's $3.8 billion direct credit program recognizes this new reality. Instead, we have proposed expanding Eximbank's guarantee and insurance authority from $10.0 billion to $12.0 billion in order to ensure sufficient access to trade finance. - 8 In order to counter any significant subsidized competition which still exists, we are proposing to allow the Bank to buy down the interest rates on up to $1.8 billion of guaranteed credits. We feel that these levels of support are more than sufficient to counter any normal foreign subsidized competition, particularly in the context of the current Arrangement interest rates and market conditions. It is the intention of Eximbank to structure the program which will replace Direct Credits and Medium Term Credits so that there will be no change in the nature of the financing provided to foreign buyers. Thus in our view, the budget proposal should have no impact on our ability to maintain and perhaps improve the current Arrangement rules on normal export finance. Eximbank's ability to match foreign tied aid credits has always been significantly limited. In the past 18 months, Eximbank has offered five concessional credits, of which only one has been converted. The cost of an Eximbank concessional credit, which can be as high as one dollar for each dollar of exports supported, comes directly out of the Bank's already dwindling capital and reserves. While it is difficult to gauge exactly the impact of these offers on the negotiating process, I think it is safe to say that their effect on the major user of tied aid credits — France — has been minimal. Moreover, it is doubtful whether a mammoth tied aid credit program would improve the negotiating climate. While matching another country's export subsidy gives our exporter a chance, it makes the mixed credit problem worse. It spoils the foreign market; buyers come to expect tied aid credits from everyone. Major tied aid credit matching programs by other countries, especially the United Kingdom from 1980-82, did not seem to deter the French practice of using aid monies for commercial purposes. As long as the French are considered the initiator, their exporters will be sought out first. Win or lose an individual case, the French win preferred access to the market. Therefore, matching foreign tied aid credits probably will not solve the problem. While U.S. exporters may benefit from such a program, matching will fail to discipline the French, spoil the importing markets for all exporters, and result in huge subsidy costs for the United States. That is an expensive way to buy exports. Given our need to control the Federal budget, the proposed interest-rate-buy-down program does not permit Eximbank to match foreign tied aid credits directly. Nonetheless, Eximbank will still be able to combine with USAID to offer selective tied aid - 9 credits. Under the FY86 budget proposal for USAID, funds for tied aid credits will be available for Egypt, Pakistan, and certain other of least developed countries. Conclusion The Administration's negotiating successes in the Export Credit Arrangement have virtually eliminated export credit subsidies in most currencies and significantly decreased the need for a major export credit subsidy program in the United States. The Administration's budget proposal is fully consistent with this new environment in export credits. We will continue to press for the elimination of commercially motivated tied aid credits, but do not believe that Eximbank tied aid credits, offered at significant cost to the U.S. taxpayer, would advance our negotiating objectives to a degree commensurate with their costs. In the coming weeks, we hope to get a high-level political commitment at the OECD Ministerial to solve the tied aid credit problem and close the one major loophole in the export credit Arrangement. apartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.C. • Telephone 566-2041 FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. March 5, 1985 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $14,000 million, to be issued March 14, 1985. This offering will provide about $450 million of new cash for the Treasury, as the maturing bills are outstanding in the amount of $13,555 million, including $803 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities and $3,133 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks for their own account. The two series offered are as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $7,000 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated June 14, 1984, and to mature June 13, 1985 (CUSIP No. 912794 GM 0), currently outstanding in the amount of $15,283 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills for approximately $7,000 million, to be dated March 14, 1985, and to mature September 12, 1985 (CUSIP No. 912794 HY 3). Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing March 14, 1985. Tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the weighted average bank discount rates of accepted competitive tenders. Additional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount will be payable without interest. Both series of bills will be issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,000 and in any higher $5,000 multiple, on the records either of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasury. B-34 - 2 Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C. 20239? prior to 1:00 p.m., Eastern Standard tune, Monday, March 11 1985 Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. Each tender must state the par amount of bills bid for, which must be a minimum of $10,.000. Tenders over $10,000 must be in multiples of $5,000. Competitive tenders must also show the yield desired, expressed on a bank discount rate basis with two decimals, e.g., 7.15%. Fractions may not be used. A single bidder, as defined in Treasury's single bidder guidelines, shall not submit noncompetitive tenders totaling more than $1,000,000. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities may submit tenders for account of customers, if the names of the customers and the amount for each customer are furnished. Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million. This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p.m. Eastern time on the day of the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering, e.g., bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six-month bills. Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million. A noncompetitive bidder may not have entered into an agreement, nor make an agreement to purchase or sell or otherwise dispose of any noncompetitive awards of this issue being auctioned prior to the designated closing time for receipt of tenders. Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction. No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches. A deposit - 3of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and yield range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $1,000,000 or less without stated yield from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average bank discount rate (in two decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. The calculation of purchase prices for accepted bids will be carried to three decimal places on the basis of price per hundred, e.g., 99.923, and the determinations of the Secretary of the Treasury shall be final. Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on March 14, 1985, in cash or other immediately-available funds or in Treasury bills maturing March 14, 1985. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. In addition, Treasury Tax and Loan Note Option Depositaries may make payment for allotments of bills for their own accounts and for account of customers by credit to their Treasury Tax and Loan Note Accounts on the settlement date. In general, if a bill is purchased at issue after July 18, 1984, and held to maturity, the amount of discount is reportable as ordinary income in the Federal income tax return of the owner at the time of redemption. Accrual-basis taxpayers, banks, and other persons designated in section 1281 of the Internal Revenue Code must include in income the portion of the discount for the period during the taxable year such holder held the bill. If the bill is sold or otherwise disposed of before maturity, the portion of the gain equal to the accrued discount will be treated as ordinary income. Any excess may be treated as capital gain. Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, Treasury's single bidder guidelines, and this notice prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars, guidelines, and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. TREASURY NEWS epartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 For Release Upon Delivery Expected at 10:30 a.m. EDT March 5, 1985 STATEMENT OF RONALD A. PEARLMAN ASSISTANT SECRETARY (TAX POLICY) DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON WAYS AND MEANS Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I am pleased to be here today to present the Treasury Department's views on the requirement that taxpayers maintain adequate contemporaneous records to substantiate business use of vehicles. This requirement was imposed in the Deficit Reduction Act of 1984 (the "DRA") to clarify the recordkeeping rules applicable to vehicles used for both business and personal purposes. It was designed to address significant concerns of the Treasury Department and the Congress that taxpayers who own their own vehicle were overstating the business use of these vehicles and claiming excessive tax deductions. Similarly, in the case of vehicles provided to employees by their employers, there was evidence that the income attributable to personal use of these vehicles was significantly understated. In considering appropriate requirements for the substantiation of business use of vehicles, it is of course necessary to balance revenue and compliance objectives against the costs and burdens that recordkeeping requirements entail for ordinary taxpayers. Among the most important objectives of this Administration has been to reduce the role of government in private lives, including the paperwork and regulatory burdens that governments characteristically impose. The Treasury Department remains committed to this objective and will work to ease regulatory burdens connected with the administration of the tax laws wherever possible. Our determination to limit regulatory burdens is necessarily disciplined, however, by the need to ensure taxpayer compliance with the Federal income tax system. I needn't remind the members B-36 of this Committee that our system of taxpayer self-assessment, - 2 which is a marvel to the rest of the world, depends upon public confidence that the tax laws are not only fair, but also fairly administered and enforced. We believe that the substantiation requirements established by the DRA provide the appropriate framework within which to strike a proper balance between fair administration and the burdens of recordkeeping. The specific recordkeeping requirements adopted under the DRA may have been unduly burdensome; recently issued regulations have moderated those requirements, however, and we are willing to work with this Committee taxpayers, to further refine the rules so as to preserve public confidence in the fairness of the system without unduly burdening BACKGROUND A. Law Prior to the Deficit Reduction Act of 1984 To understand the reasons for Congress' action in 1984 it is important to review the rules in this area as they existed before the DRA. Prior law applied different substantiation requirements to deductions for business use of a vehicle depending on whether the business use was for "local transportation" or in connection with travel away from home. Business use of a vehicle for local transportation was subject to the substantiation rules applicable to business expenses generally under Section 162 of the Code, whereas the use of a vehicle for travel away from home was subject to the more stringent recordkeeping rules applicable under Section 274(d). Although a taxpayer bears the burden under Section 162 of proving the amount of an expense and its business purpose, the type of records needed to meet this burden where a vehicle was used locally was unclear under prior law. Without a log, diary or other contemporaneous record indicating the number of miles driven for business and personal purposes, taxpayers, the Internal Revenue Service and the courts had great difficulty determining the amount of business use of a vehicle. When no probative evidence was produced, the courts and the Service routinely disallowed claimed deductions in full. When a taxpayer came forward with some probative evidence as to business use, however, the Internal Revenue Service or, ultimately, a court was required to estimate the business use of a vehicle based on evidence such as appointment calendars, business records and any other corroborating evidence, including £h« * a x p a Y e r ' s o w n statement. See Cohan v. Commissioner, 39 F.2d 540 (2d Cir. 1930). The audit U T e s of the Internal Revenue Service and published tax cases are replete with instances where the taxpayer's failure to keep sufficient records has required - 3 the Internal Revenue Service and the courts to engage in the tedious and inexact process of estimating business use by reconstructing records years after the actual use occurred. Obviously, under prior law, many taxpayers who used vehicles for both business and personal purposes were not keeping adequate records of their business use. Some of these taxpayers made good faith and reasonably accurate estimates of business use, but many others, whether intentionally or not, substantially overstated their actual business use. In addition, employers provided vehicles to employees and routinely failed to account properly for the employees' personal use of the vehicles. As the testimony of Commissioner Egger will address in more detail, the audit experience of the Internal Revenue Service under prior law confirms the seriousness of this noncompliance problem. The inability of the Internal Revenue Service to administer the rules regarding personal and business use of vehicles left even well-intentioned taxpayers with little incentive to maintain adequate records and encouraged others to overstate the business use of their vehicles. Honest taxpayers who kept records and did not claim deductions for the personal use of a vehicle, as well as those taxpayers who did not receive the use of a vehicle as a fringe benefit, justifiably concluded that they were shouldering an unfair part of the total tax burden because of the abuses in this area. As I mentioned earlier, such perceptions of unfairness tear at the fabric of our self-assessment system. A basic purpose of the changes brought about in the DRA was to preserve public confidence in the fairness of the tax system. It is important to contrast the prior law substantiation requirements for local business use of a vehicle with the stricter recordkeeping rules applied to travel away from home under Section 274(d). Under that section a taxpayer must substantiate, by adequate records or by other sufficient documentary evidence corroborating his own statement, the amount of a travel expense, the time and place of the travel and the business purpose of the expense. The legislative history to Section 274(d) states that "a clear, contemporaneously kept diary or account book containing information with respect to the date, amount, nature and business purpose of the expense may constitute an adequate record under this provision." The regulations issued under Section 274(d), as enacted in 1962, provided that taxpayers could substantiate the use of a vehicle for travel away from home or business by a log, diary or similar record made at or near the time the travel occurred. The intended effect of Section 274(d) was to reduce the administrative and judicial conflicts over the amount of travel expenses incurred by taxpayers while traveling away from home. - 4 The essence of the rule was quite simple - no records, no deduction. The courts have interpreted these requirements accordingly, refusing to allow any deductions to taxpayers for ule of a vehicle awaj from home where the taxpayer has no documentary evidence establishing the level of business use. B. The Deficit Reduction Act of 1984 Prompted by reports that cost recovery allowances were spurring sales of expensive automobiles as well as the knowledge that a substantial number of taxpayers routinely overstated the business use of vehicles, Congress began considering means to curtail business expense deductions claimed for vehicles used in business. The House-passed version of the DRA imposed a limit on the cost of luxury automobiles that could be taken into account in computing depreciation deductions and the investment credit. In addition, the House bill created a presumption that no more than 50 percent of the use of an automobile was for business purposes. The House Report makes clear that taxpayers remained subject to the prior law rule that all business use of a vehicle must be substantiated, but states that this Committee intended "to elevate the standard of proof in cases where the proportion of business use claimed exceeds 50 percent." H. Rept. 98-432, 98th Cong., 2d Sess. 1388 (1984). The bill, however, was silent on the type of records taxpayers would have to keep to show business use in excess of 50 percent. The Senate also adopted limits on cost recovery allowances for luxury automobiles, but expanded the compliance provisions to impose specific requirements relating to the types of records taxpayers would be required to keep to claim any deduction or credit with respect to a vehicle. Specifically, the Senate-passed version of the DRA modified Section 274(d) to require that taxpayers must maintain adequate contemporaneous records detailing all business use of a vehicle. The Senate bill also imposed a requirement that tax return preparers could not sign a tax return without verifying the accuracy of a taxpayer's records supporting a claimed deduction. In conference, the restrictions on cost recovery allowances for luxury automobiles were modified, but the compliance provisions included in the Senate bill were adopted with only minor changes. The DRA provisions relating to recordkeeping state no exceptions; taxpayers must document with adequate contemporaneous records the business use of any vehicle. The Conference Report indicates the breadth of the rule: If the taxpayer does not have adequate contemporaneous records, no credit or deduction is allowed with respect to that item ... The Conferees expect that these records - 5 will reflect with substantial accuracy the business use of the property. The records must indicate the business purpose of the expense or use, unless the business purpose is clear from the surrounding circumstances. H. Rept. 98-631, 98th Cong., 2d Sess. 1031 (1984). With respect to automobiles, the Conference Report explicitly states that "logs recording the date of the trip and the mileage driven for business purposes must be kept." In addition, the Conferees provided that any underpayment attributable to a failure to keep adequate contemporaneous records is treated as negligence, unless the taxpayer produces clear and convincing evidence to the contrary. The Conference Report further provides that claiming a deduction or credit without adequate contemporaneous records could lead to the imposition of tax fraud penalties. RECORDKEEPING REGULATIONS The Treasury Department published temporary regulations on October 24, 1984 implementing the DRA changes to Section 274(d). With one narrow exception for vehicles of a type not ordinarily susceptible to personal use, the temporary regulations imposed o all vehicles used for business purposes the requirement outlined in the Conference Report that logs be maintained detailing the date, elapsed mileage and business purpose of each trip. Under the statute, the log requirement applies to taxable years beginning on or after January 1, 1985. As the effective date of the recordkeeping rules approached, the Internal Revenue Service began to receive a significant number of complaints and comments on the temporary regulations. These comments indicated that the changes to the recordkeeping rules, as well as the temporary regulations implementing those changes, applied too broadly, sweeping within the scope of the log requirement many vehicles and taxpayers that did not involve any of the abuses which prompted Congressional action. In recognition that the new rules applied too broadly, the Internal Revenue Service announced on January 25 its intention t issue revised regulations, effective January 1, 1985, clarifying the generally applicable recordkeeping requirements and providin a series of special rules which would substantially reduce or completely eliminate the recordkeeping requirement in certain circumstances. In developing the revised regulations, the Internal Revenue Service carefully reviewed each of the comments on the original regulations and also conferred with company - 6 administrators and independent consultants knowledgeable on the business use of vehicles. The information gathered from the comments and from these discussions formed the basis for the rules adopted in the revised regulations. These revised regulations change the recordkeeping rules significantly. First, the new temporary regulations clarify that for those taxpayers required to maintain logs, a single entry is sufficient for any period of uninterrupted business use. Thus, for example, a salesman who uses a vehicle to make a series of appointments during a day and has no (other than de minimis) personal use of the vehicle for that day need make only one entry that summarizes the business use. This salesman would only have to record the total mileage driven during the day, not the mileage for each stop. This rule should significantly reduce the recordkeeping burden for those taxpayers who are required to keep logs. The temporary regulations also provide several special rules that eliminate the log requirement in a variety of circumstances. First, the temporary regulations provide that a vehicle is not subject to the log requirement if it is used in a business, kept on the business premises overnight, and the business has instituted a policy against personal use of the vehicle. Second, a vehicle which is used by employees for commuting, but which otherwise satisfies the above requirements is also exempt from the log requirement if the employer accounts for the commuting value of the vehicle by including $3 per day in the employee's income. We expect that these two special rules will eliminate the recordkeeping requirement for many business automobiles and virtually all vans, trucks, and special purpose vehicles used in a business. The other special rules contained in the new temporary regulations are premised on assumptions as to the level of business use of certain classes of vehicles. A taxpayer satisfying certain conditions may elect to treat a designated percentage of the use of a vehicle as business use and the balance as personal use. Alternatively, the taxpayer may elect to keep track of only personal use of the vehicle. These options can be used in two circumstances. First, they are available with respect to a vehicle used in the business of a taxpayer who spends most of a normal business day making deliveries or making calls on customers or clients. Such a taxpayer may elect to treat 70 percent of the use of such an automobile (or other vehicle designed for personal use) as for business purposes; the taxpayer may elect to treat 80 percent of the use of any othet vehicle (e.g., a truck) as business use. The second circumstance in which these options are available is for vehicles (other than automobiles or other vehicles designed for personal use) regularly used in the business of farming by a taxpayer whose Sn^f- 1 " 0 0 ? 6 i ex ? lud ing passive investment income) consists almost exclusively of farm income (at least 70 percent). - 7 - Based on the comments which the Internal Revenue Service received on the original regulations, as well as the information supplied by firms and independent consultants with extensive experience on the business use of vehicles, we believe these special rules will exempt from the log requirement a substantial portion of all vehicles used for business purposes. Comments received from interested taxpayers subsequent to the release of those revised regulations confirm this belief. Of course, the recordkeeping rules remain controversial despite the issuance of the revised regulations. We have received a large number of comments regarding the burden imposed on small businesses by the recordkeeping requirement. In addition, the DRA focused attention on whether a policeman or other public safety employee is taxable on the use of an official vehicle to commute to and from his home. CONSEQUENCES OF REPEAL Numerous bills to repeal the recordkeeping rules enacted as part of the DRA have been introduced in both the House and Senate. Repeal of the provisions would resolve few of the issues in this area. Moreover, repeal could increase noncompliance and certainly would result in a significant revenue loss. Repeal of the DRA recordkeeping rules will not remove the prior law requirement that taxpayers substantiate the business use of vehicles. It will merely perpetuate the uncertainty regarding the nature of the recordkeeping that is required and contribute to the waste of administrative and judicial resources that must be dedicated to resolving controversies where adequate documentary records are not available. The compliance concerns which prompted Congress to act in 1984 remain valid. Indeed, the controversy and publicity that have surrounded the temporary regulations have heightened taxpayers' awareness of the audit limitations of the Internal Revenue Service in this area, and repeal of the DRA rules could lead to increased noncompliance. Although the recently revised regulations provide substantial relief from the rules as originally imposed by the DRA and the initial temporary regulations, we recognize that even under the revised regulations many taxpayers will be required to maintain logs. For this reason, the Treasury Department is willing to work with this Committee to refine the existing recordkeeping rules in an effort to preserve the principles of the DRA changes while minimizing the recordkeeping burden on business and the administrative burden of the Internal Revenue Service. - 8 - There may be circumstances beyond those identified in the modified regulations which warrant special exceptions to the general recordkeeping rules. If such circumstances are identified we will endeavor to craft the appropriate exceptions. To that end, we invite the members of this Committee and taxpayers generally to assist the Treasury Department in identifying situations which warrant exceptions to the recordkeeping rules. We are also willing to examine the generally applicable recordkeeping standard to determine whether more practical approaches to substantiation are feasible in lieu of the requirement that taxpayers maintain logs. For example, we will consider whether other contemporaneous records, such as a calendar or appointment book, could serve as a basis for determining the business use of a vehicle. We urge, however, that the requirement that taxpayers maintain some type of contemporaneous records be retained. When the circumstances of a taxpayer's use of a vehicle do not warrant a special rule, contemporaneous records are necessary to account accurately for business and personal use. A deduction not based on such records cannot be reliable. Perhaps more importantly, the absence of a contemporaneous recordkeeping requirement would leave the Internal Revenue Service unable to effectively administer or enforce the law. We would return to a system in which honest, conscientious taxpayers are made to feel foolish for complying with rules that others ignore with impunity. A tax system based on self-assessment cannot long endure such disrespect nor can the Treasury afford the potentially substantial loss in tax revenues. We therefore urge this Committee to retain a requirement that taxpayers maintain records that adequately document business use of a vehicle. Finally, in light of the compliance problems we have experienced in this area, it is increasingly important for tax return preparers to play a role in promoting compliance with the recordkeeping rules. Therefore, we urge this Committee to retain the DRA rules relating to tax return preparers. SUMMARY mmJr? Treasury Department is willing to work with this e J™ I? develop reasonable recordkeeping rules for taxpayer* f n „ ! ? M ! t i a t e - he b ? s i n e s s use of vehicles! We urge that the X I ? J ?I r e c °9 n i z ? fche importance of retaining a requirement subst a nM X ? a ^ r H™ a i n - a i? s u f f i c i*nt contemporaneous records of a vehicle 9 " 9 * t 0 ° l a i m d e d u c t ions for the business use TREASURY NEWS department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE JOHN M. WALKER, JR. ASSISTANT SECRETARY (ENFORCEMENT AND OPERATIONS) U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AT THE BRIEFING OF THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS SUPERVISION, REGULATION AND INSURANCE COMMITTEE ON BANKING, FINANCE AND URBAN AFFAIRS U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES MARCH 5, 198 5 The Need for Concerted Action by Treasury, Bank Regulatory Agencies, and Financial Institutions to Combat the Problem of Money Laundering Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I appreciate the opportunity to meet with you to discuss Treasury's enforcement and administration of the Bank Secrecy Act and its initiatives against money laundering that occurs through financial institutions. In my statement today, I will describe how Treasury combats the problem of money laundering—through its regulatory and administrative functions under the Act, and through its financial investigations, which utilize the reporting information that the Act authorizes Treasury to collect. I will also discuss measures Treasury has taken to increase compliance with the reporting requirements, and I will address the need for additional steps to further our progress. T'he Bank Secrecy Act As A Tool to Combat Money Laundering Congress passed the Bank Secrecy Act in 1970 to strengthen Federal law enforcement efforts against white collar and organized crime. The need for this legislation became apparent during extensive House and Senate hearings, which specifically identified law enforcement's need for a better method of identifying and documenting suspicious transactions, including international transactions. The Act and the regulations that Treasury has promulgated under it today fulfill several basic purposes. B-37 - 2 • First, they provide law enforcement a means of detecting and documenting those financial transactions that result from or have a connection with criminal activity. More specifically, through the documentation provided by the reporting requirements under the Act, Treasury is frequently able to identify persons and corporations engaged in a wide variety of crimes, including drug trafficking, racketeering, extortion, and tax evasion. • Second, the Act and the regulations under it serve as a deterrent to the use of legitimate financial institutions by criminal operatives to facilitate their illegal activities. ° Third, when illicit activity is uncovered, whether or not it involves a financial institution, the Act functions as its. own basis for prosecution. Charges can be brought under the Bank Secrecy Act even if the government is unable to bring criminal charges based on the underlying illegal activity. Treasury relies on the tools provided by the Bank Secrecy Act, together with other statutory authorities, in conducting its financial investigations into money laundering and other criminal activity. Financial investigations are of critical importance to law enforcement, for a number of reasons: ° Behind every organized crime transaction there is money. If we can trace the money, the trail will often lead to high-level criminals. The leaders in any criminal enterprise usually take great pains to distance themselves from the illegal source of their income. But they can usually be found close to the money. ° That money, if seized, is potentially devastating evidence at a criminal trial. A jury can get lost in the technical details of a white collar crime. But if jurors can be shown the illicit proceeds, they can more readily understand the full impact of the crime. ° Also, through seizure and forfeiture, we can deprive a criminal enterprise of its lifeblood. For instance, drugs can be readily replaced by a drug trafficking organization, but its cash reserves are essential to its functioning. Large monetary seizures can cripple it, and possibly put it out of business altogether. I will discuss Treasury's financial investigations in more detail m a moment, but first I think it would be helpful to outline the basic regulatory mechanism that is now in place under the Act. - 3 In 1972, the Treasury Department issued regulations that require banks to maintain certain basic records, including the following: — cancelled checks and debits over $100; signature cards; statements of account; extensions of credit in excess of $5,000; and records of international transfers of more than $10,000. The regulations also provide for the following reports: First, all financial institutions are required to report to IRS currency transactions in excess of $10,000. There are a few exceptions to this requirement. Transactions solely with or originated by financial institutions need not be reported. Also, financial institutions may exempt from reporting transactions with established customers maintaining deposit relationships, provided that the amounts deposited do not exceed amounts that are reasonable and customary given the type of business engaged in by the customer, and further provided that the business is of a type that customarily produces large cash receipts. Second, with the exception of certain shipments made by banks, the international transportation of currency and certain other monetary instruments in bearer form and in excess of $10,000 is required to be reported to the Customs Service. The civil sanctions for violations of this requirement are especially powerful. Customs can seize the entire amount of unreported currency or other monetary instruments involved in a violation at the time a violation occurs. If a violation is detected too late to effect a seizure, Treasury can assess a civil penalty equal to the amount of unreported monetary instruments that were not seized. Third, Treasury requires reporting to IRS of the ownership or control of foreign financial accounts, by all persons subject to U.S. jurisdiction. In addition to the responsibility for implementing the purposes of the Act through regulations, the Secretary exercises overall responsibility for ensuring compliance with the recordkeeping and reporting requirements of the Act. In accordance with the intent of the Act, Treasury's implementing regulations delegate this responsibility to those agencies that supervise the various financial institutions. - 4 Compliance with the Reporting Requirements Mr. Chairman, in this regard, we recognize that our bank supervisory agencies have other important missions in addition to supervisory compliance with the Bank Secrecy Act. However, from a law enforcement point of view, none are more critical. Compliance with the Act is critical from the standpoint of the soundness of the financial institution as well, and indeed from the standpoint of the integrity of our country's banking system. Both our government and our financial community have an important stake in ensuring that our financial institutions are not used in connection with criminal activity. In 1980, the Treasury Department, responding to the need to strengthen the currency transaction reporting regulations and to improve the overall compliance of the banking industry, began a number of regulatory, administrative, and enforcement improvements in this area. The regulations were amended at that time to limit a bank's discretion concerning the reporting of currency transactions. In addition, bank examination procedures were improved. These steps, in conjunction with enhanced criminal enforcement by IRS, have had a very positive effect on compliance since that time. In 1979, for example, 121,000 Form 4789's were filed, which report cash transactions in excess of S10,000. This figure has grown each year since then, reaching 425,000 in 1982, 535,000 in 1983, and approximately 700,000 in 1984. However, the Treasury Department believes that further gains are called for, particularly in light of the pervasive threat that organized crime and money laundering pose to our society and our financial institutions. We are committed to further improvements in the levels of compliance with reporting requirements. We sincerely welcome this Committee's interest in this subject and the opportunity to work with the Congress to achieve these further enhancements in the effectiveness of the Bank Secrecy Act. •I-K ?uerwthf past several years, Treasury has been working with the bank regulatory agencies to improve the examination function, we have stressed the importance of procedures designed to result in maximum compliance. cedures T^tV! tne deVeJ°pment of ^P^ved examination proe f c q ™ " 8if a n d u w ? h a v e w o r k e d with the bank regulatory a imoorra™ X ^ u ? t h ! l r i m Pl^entation. We recognize the ln9 f r t h e r steps take rv?L ? ' a n d w e have recently undertaken a review of examination procedures for this purpose. - 5 I would like to mention, in this regard, that the contribution of the President's Commission on Organized Crime has been a substantial help to us in reviewing our overall program. We have worked with the PCOC in examining the legislative, regulatory and administrative issues involved with the Bank Secrecy Act and with money laundering in general, and we have found their analysis to be extremely helpful. Because the recommendations submitted by the PCOC are extremely detailed, I will not go into depth regarding each of them. I will, however, comment generally that we are in agreement with most of the recommendations. We have taken steps to implement some of them already, and we are considering ways of effectively implementing others. I would like to mention some of the more significant changes that have been completed or are underway. 1. We agree with the Commission that currency transaction reports should be reviewed and signed by a supervising bank officer prior to submittal, and we are considering a regulatory or administrative change to accomplish this. 2. The Commission recommended that officers and employees of financial institutions receive more extensive training, both in the regulations and in ways to recognize suspect transactions and possible money laundering schemes. We are emphatically in agreement that this is necessary, and we have made progress in this area over the past year. 3. Regarding exemption lists, the Commission recommended that banks perform background investigations on customers requesting to be on such lists. Over the past several years, Treasury has reviewed exemption lists of a great number of financial institutions, and we have identified the need for compliance improvements in this area. We are now considering possible regulatory changes to address this problem. Our intention is to ensure that such lists are administered by banks in such a way that they cannot be used by criminals to escape the reporting requirements. 4. The Commission also recommended that Treasury's regulations be extended to require reporting by casinos and endorsed a provision in a Treasury proposed rule that would accomplish this. The regulations requiring reporting by casinos have recently been promulgated. - 6 In addition to the regulatory and administrative recommendations, the President's Commission also set forth recommendations for legislative changes. Some of these recommendations, as this Committee is aware, have already been enacted as part of the Comprehensive Crime Control Act of 1984. Treasury is considering the other changes and communicating with other departments and agencies to solicit their views. We look forward to working with the Congress in this regard and offer our assistance as this process moves forward. Treasury's Use of the Reporting Data in Financial Investigations As I mentioned earlier, the data reported to Treasury by financial institutions under the Bank Secrecy Act is of critical importance to law enforcement. Treasury analyzes this data at the Treasury Financial Law Enforcement Center, or TFLEC, which is located at the headquarters of the U.S. Customs Service. TFLEC provides analytical information for the field investigations by IRS and Customs, but it also provides assistance to other Federal law enforcement agencies. Treasury places the highest of priorities on financial investigations. They have proven to be a potent weapon against drug trafficking and other types of organized crime. In 1980, Treasury launched Operation Greenback, a major initiative to combat money laundering in the Florida region. Greenback produced 255 indictments and 109 convictions for currency violations during its four-year term. Its success spawned forty additional Treasury financial task forces, which are now located across the country. Greenback itself has become a component in one of the President's Organized Crime Drug Enforcement Task Forces, which now number thirteen. These Task Forces have initiated over 800 cases, even though they have been fullv operational for only 20 months. They have produced indictments of more than 4300 individuals and have resulted in more than 1600 convictions. Two out of three Task Force cases have a financial component. Treasury's financial task forces have also had a significant impact on violations of currency laws. Since 1980: o they have produced over 1300 indictments and over 460 convictions; they have resulted in $81.8 million in currency seizures and $34.3 million in property seizures; - 7 ° they have destroyed eighteen major money laundering enterprises, which laundered a documented total of $2.8 billion. In view of increased compliance and enforcement efforts at banks, securities dealers and money exchanges, we have found in the last few years that drug traffickers, members of organized crime and other criminals have been seeking alternative methods of moving and concealing the vast amounts of cash that they receive from illegal activities. We have noted, for instance, that many criminal organizations are moving large amounts of cash directly out of the country, utilizing private aircraft and commercial flights. We have also noted that many criminal organizations are resorting to the use of offshore banking facilities as part of their effort to conceal their ill-gotten gains. In response to this trend, Treasury proposed regulations on April 15, 1984, that would establish procedures under which the Secretary could require specified U.S. banks to report financial transactions with foreign financial institutions. This regulation, which will be promulgated in final form in the near future, will provide a mechanism to help identify money transfers related to drug trafficking or other organized crime that occur between U.S. and foreign financial institutions. In exercising the authority under this regulation, Treasury will select classes of transactions with foreign financial institutions as the subject of reporting on the basis of available information indicating unusual financial activity. Treasury will strive to impose reporting requirements in the least burdensome manner consistent with our need for the information. The Act is quite specific in requiring that Treasury carefully consider how its international transaction reporting requirements affect financial institutions. Most of the money laundering offenses that Treasury has uncovered do not involve criminal wrongdoing on the part of a financial institution. Where banks have been involved at all, they have typically been unwitting participants in schemes to wash illicit crime proceeds, and I would add that Treasury has received a great deal of cooperation from many banks as it conducts its financial investigations. However, there have been a few cases in which banks themselves have had criminal culpability for the currency violations that Treasury has investigated. - 8 For example, in April 1984, the Great American Bank of Dade County, Florida, pleaded guilty to four felony counts of failing to report cash transactions and was subsequently fined $375,000. A former vice president of the bank, the head teller, and an assistant teller also pleaded guilty to Bank Secrecy Act violations. In September 1984, the Rockland Trust Company of Boston also pleaded guilty to charges of failing to file currency transaction reports with IRS, and was fined $50,000. More recently, as this Committee is well aware, the First National Bank of Boston entered a guilty plea to charges of failing to file reports in connection with international transactions of $1.22 billion, and was fined $500,000. The Need for Vigilance on the Part of Financial Institutions Regarding the matter of banks becoming unwitting participants in money laundering schemes, there is one point I cannot emphasize strongly enough: Financial institutions must themselves assume a greater degree of responsibility for compliance with the Act and Treasury's regulations, and for recognizing possible illegal activity occurring in their midst. Treasury has taken, and will continue to take, steps to increase the level of compliance by financial institutions. But in the long run, our nation's struggle against money laundering and organized crime also depends on the willingness of financial institutions to take an active role in ensuring that they are not conduits for the washing of crime proceeds. For those who assert that mere adherence with the reporting and recordkeeping requirements is all that an institution can do, and should be expected to do, I would pose a question: What would bank officials do if they discovered that drug traffickers were making drug deals, or doing other illegal activity, in their lobby? I raise this question only to point out that crime-related financial activity is just as much an integral component of organized crime as is the selling of drugs and the racketeering that it is designed to support. Zt S < ourse ' strongly in the interest of a bank to ana,„ +i L °1 ? ' t h a J . x V s n 0 t U S e d b y c r i m e figures in furtherance of Jii 2 ii-IS ? X t !: ? U t b e y ° n d t h i s ^ " - i n t e r e s t , every bank a, wfi? T. X!! ^tegrity of our country's financial system out of ; h *7? n 3 S K S u 2 e ^ S m u s t b e vigilant in keeping crime ?o keen crimp ^ ? S r h K ° d ^ b a n k s m u s t t a k e voluntary actions to keep crime out of the financial community. - 9 We must not confine our thinking to legal obligations. There are ethical and moral obligations as well. Any financial institution that hopes to retain the trust of the community it serves must rigorously adhere to them. I recognize that there is a fundamental interest for banks in maintaining the confidentiality of the financial affairs of its customers. But in protecting this confidentiality, it is essential that our financial institutions do not overlook other fundamental responsibilities to our society. To do so is to risk eroding public confidence in our banking system itself. In conclusion, Mr. Chairman, Treasury has made significant progress in the fight against money laundering. Financial investigations have succeeded in disrupting and destroying major criminal money laundering enterprises. Compliance with regulatory requirements by financial institutions is today at a higher level than ever before. But there is much more we need to do in ensuring compliance with the legal and regulatory requirements under the Bank Secrecy Act. Given the enormity of the money laundering problem facing us, we must take further steps to deter and detect currency violations, and to ensure that our financial institutions are not used for the benefit of criminal activity. This concludes my prepared remarks. I would be pleased to answer any questions that the Committee may have. TREASURY NEWS Department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-21 FOR RELEASE AT 12:00 NOON March 8, 1985 TREASURY'S 52-WEEK BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for approximately $8,500 million of 364-day Treasury bills to be dated March 21, 1985, and to mature March 20, 1986 (CUSIP No. 912794 JX 3). This issue will provide about $250 million new cash for the Treasury, as the maturing 52-week bill is outstanding in the amount of $8,252 million. The bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing March 21, 1985. In addition to the maturing 52-week bills, there are $13,549 million of maturing bills which were originally issued as 13-week and 26-week bills. The disposition of this latter amount will be announced next week. Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities currently hold $1,311 million, and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account hold $5,521 million of the maturing bills. These amounts represent the combined holdings of such accounts for the three issues of maturing bills. Tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the weighted average bank discount rate of accepted competitive tenders. Additional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. For purposes of determining such additional amounts, foreign and international monetary authorities are considered to hold $345 million of the original 52-week issue. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount will be payable without interest. This series of bills will be issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,000 and in any higher $5,000 multiple, on the records either of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasury. Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C. 20239, prior to 1:00 p.m., Eastern Standard time, Thursday, March 14, 1985. Form PD 4632-1 should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. B-38 - 2 Each tender must state the par amount of bills bid for, which must be a minimum of $10,000. Tenders over $10,000 must be in multiples of $5,000. Competitive tenders must also show the yield desired, expressed on a bank discount rate basis with two decimals, e.g., 7.15%. Fractions may not be used. A single bidder, as defined in Treasury's single bidder guidelines, shall not submit noncompetitive tenders totaling more than $1,000,000. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities may submit tenders for account of customers, if the names of the customers and the amount for each customer are furnished. Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million. This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p.m. Eastern time on the day of the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions. Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million. A noncompetitive bidder may not have entered into an agreement, nor make an agreement to purchase or sell or otherwise dispose of any noncompetitive awards of this issue being auctioned prior to the designated closing time for receipt of tenders. Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction. No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches. A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and yield range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves - 3 the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for $1,000,000 or less without stated yield from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average bank discount rate (in two decimals) of accepted competitive bids. The calculation of purchase prices for accepted bids will be carried to three decimal places on the basis of price per hundred, e.g., 99.923, and the determinations of the Secretary of the Treasury shall be final. Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on March 21, 1985, in cash or other immediately-available funds or in Treasury bills maturing March 21, 1985. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. In addition, Treasury Tax and Loan Note Option Depositaries may make payment for allotments of bills for their own accounts and for account of customers by credit to their Treasury Tax and Loan Note Accounts on the settlement date. In general, if a bill is purchased at issue after July 18, 1984, and held to maturity, the amount of discount is reportable as ordinary income in the Federal income tax return of the owner at the time of redemption. Accrual-basis taxpayers, banks, and other persons designated in section 1281 of the Internal Revenue Code must"include in income the portion of the discount for the period during the taxable year such holder held the bill. If the bill is sold or otherwise disposed of before maturity, the portion of the gain equal to the accrued discount will be treated as ordinary income. Any excess may be treated as capital gain. Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, Treasury's single bidder guidelines, and this notice prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars, guidelines, and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. TREASURY NEWS department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-20' FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. March 8, 1985 TREASURY EXPANDS STRIPS PROGRAM The Department of the Treasury announced today that effective March 15, 1985, the 10-year note, 11-5/8% Treasury Notes of Series C-1994, and the 30-year callable bond, 11-3/4% Treasury Bonds of 2009-2014, both of which were issued November 15, 1984, will be eligible to be held in STRIPS form (Separate Trading of Registered Interest and Principal of Securities). Treasury's plan to include these securities in the STRIPS program was announced on January 15. The minimum amount required to obtain STRIPS form is $1,600,000 for the 11-5/8% Note and $800,000 for the 11-3/4% Bond. Larger amounts must be a multiple of the minimum required. In STRIPS form, only the Bond's interest payments that are payable before or on the first call date may be separated from the principal. As with the February 15 issues, separate CUSIP numbers will be assigned to each security's Principal and Interest Components. Further details are given in the amendments to the circulars, including the CUSIP numbers for the components. Copies of the offering circulars, as amended, can be obtained by contacting the nearest Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. oOo B-39 TREASURY NEWS Department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 March 11, 1985 " * —7 1/ JAMES A. BAKER, III SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY James A. Baker, III, was confirmed as the 67th Secretary of the Treasury on January 29, 1985. Mr. Baker had been Chief of the White House Staff since January 1981. Previously, he served as-Deputy Director of the Reagan-Bush Transition and as a senior advisor to the 1980 Reagan-Bush Committee. A 1952 graduate of Princeton University, Mr. Baker served two years on active duty with the U.S. Marine Corps from 1952-1954. He received his law degree from the University of Texas at Austin with honors in 1957. He practiced law with the Houston, Texas, law firm of Andrews, Kurth, Campbell and Jones from 1957 until August 1975, when he was appointed Under Secretary of Commerce by President Ford. Mr. Baker was active in President Ford's campaign in 1976 serving as its national chairman during the general election. After returning to Andrews, Kurth, Campbell and Jones in late 1976, he ran in 1978 as the Republican nominee for Attorney General of Texas. From January 1979 until May 1980 he was the national chairman of the George Bush for President Committee. Active in numerous civic endeavors, Mr. Baker has served on the governing bodies of Texas Childrens Hospital, Houston, and the M.D. Anderson Hospital and Tumor Institute and the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars at the Smithsonian. Mr. Baker and his wife, the former Susan Garrett, reside in Washington, D.C. They have eight children. Mr. Baker was born April 28, 1930 in Houston, Texas. **** B-40 TREASURY NEWS Department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE March 11, 1985 RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for S 7,014 million of 13-week bills and for $7,004 million of 26-week bills, both to be issued on March 14, 1985, were accepted today. RANGE OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: Low High Average 13-week bills maturing June 13, 1985 Discount Investment Rate ' Rate 1/ Price 26-week bills maturing September 12, 1985 Discount Investment Rate Rate 1/ Price 8.44% 8.49% 8.48% 8.77% 8.80% 8.79% 8.74% 8.80% 8.79% 97.867 97.854 97.856 9.30% 9.34% 9.33% 95.566 95.551 95.556 Tenders at the high discount rate for the 13-week bills were allotted 20%. Tenders at the high discount rate for the 26-week bills were allotted 59%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Received Accepted : Received Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TOTALS Type Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public Federal Reserve Foreign Official Institutions TOTALS : Accepted : : : : 438,005 15,325,295 19,865 40,630 59,165 58,305 1,308,280 53,785 32,200 48,795 30,625 1,241,195 384,655 $ 46,300 5,855,035 19,865 40,630 50,655 50,220 210,050 38,785 26,050 48,385 23,575 209,495 384,655 $7,014,185 : $19,040,800 $7,003,700 $16,483,065 1,349,440 $17,832,505 $3,782,185 1,349,440 $5,131,625 : : : $15,951,530 1,089,380 $17,040,910 $3,914,430 1,089,380 $5,003,810 1,582,630 1,582,630 : 1,550,000 1,550,000 299,930 299,930 : 449,890 449,890 $19,715,065 $7,014,185 : $19,040,800 $7,003,700 411,315 15,783,595 31,185 113,825 56,925 65,135 1,250,160 94,725 38,735 60,815 43,310 1,437,980 327,360 $ 61,315 5,283,915 31,185 113,825 56,925 55,335 206,760 55,725 20,735 59,815 34,310 706,980 327,360 $19,715,065 $ $ : An additional $23,770 thousand of 13-week bills and an additional $32,510 thousand of 26-week bills will be issued to foreign official institutions for new cash. _!_/ Equivalent coupon-issue yield, B-41 TREASURY NEWS Department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 STATEMENT BY JAMES W. CONROW DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY FOR DEVELOPING NATIONS DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC POLICY COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS UNITED STATES SENATE MARCH 12, 1985 Mr. Chairman, I appreciate the opportunity to appear before the Committee to present the Administration's legislative proposals for the multilateral development banks, or "MDBs." In negotiating these proposals, the Treasury Department attempted to keep the Committee informed and to take into account the Committee's views. We trust that the results of our negotiations will have your support. African Development Fund The first program which I would like to address today is the replenishment of the African Development Fund, or "AFDF". This particular institution is designed to help advance our humanitarian objectives. In recent months, we have all been struck by the plight of hungry people on the African continent and by the bleak economic prospects for the region. However, as Senator Danforth and you, Mr. Chairman, noted in your hearings last year, "the long-term food problem can only be solved by putting Africa in a position where it can produce more food for itself, and this cannot be done without development assistance." B-42 - 2 The African Development Fund replenishment is in large part targeted to precisely that purpose, serving our humanitarian objectives on that continent and promising the possibility of a future where a more stable environment for prosperity might be in place. The proposal is to participate in the $1.5 billion Fourth Replenishment of the African Development Fund with a U.S. contribution of $225 million dollars over three years. The United States would be the largest single donor by providing 15.4 percent of the total — followed by Japan with 14 percent and Canada with 9.5 percent. In the negotiations, we succeeded in obtaining a commitment that ninety percent of replenishment resources would be allocated to countries with per capita GNPs of less than $510 per year. The remainder is to go to countries with per capita GNPs of less than $990. This aspect of Fund lending policy will help meet the developmental needs of the poorest African countries, those with low per capita incomes and limited external debt repayment capacity. During the replenishment, 40 percent of the lending will be given to projects aimed at meeting basic food requirements (including food production, processing, storage, marketing, and distribution and transportation). Human resource development and maintenance through educacation and health projects will also be emphasized and are slated to receive 15 percent of AFDF lending. The Fund will lend 10 percent of its resources for basic infrastructure (water supply and sewage, telecommunications, and electricity) which provide services to the urban or rural poor. Twenty-five percent of Fund lending will go for transportation projects which would provide market outlets for agricultural produce or private trade or would better integrate transport systems to improve the delivery of food or other priority commodities. We succeeded in limiting the level of non-project lending to five percent of the total replenishment. The United States has a strong humanitarian interest in aiding Sub-Saharan Africa where most of the world's least developed countries can be found. Moreover, we continue to have important political and security interests on the continent which underscore the importance of improving the economic performance of African countries. Economic development has been particularly slow in Africa over the past decade. Part of this poor performance can be attributed to inappropriate economic policies. In addition, Sub-Saharan Africa is coping with an extensive drought, adverse external economic conditions, such as -3world-wide recession and falling commodity prices, and civil conflict. Recently, however, there has been a growing awareness among African countries of the need to reassess their development strategies to make better use of available resources. While Africa continues to face a difficult development challenge, more African governments now agree that properly valued exchange rates, incentive prices for farmers, and a better allocation in investment resources are important preconditions to economic growth. Whether this new realism will result in more effective economic policies and better economic results depends on how quickly African Governments act and how much support the international community will provide. Although a few countries have been able to make some progress in the past, the outlook for improvement in the absence of better economic policies looks grim for most. Africa has most of the poorest, smallest and most vulnerable economies in the developing world. Socio-economic indicators demonstrate that these countries are worse off in terms of health, nutrition and literacy than other countries at comparable income levels, and their relative position has worsened- in recent years- It is clear that for Africa, as a whole, there is a need for a coordinated donor effort in order to improve living standards on the continent. African economies are at a critical point. Economic growth has been disappointing, especially for the poorest countries. Many countries have been unable to mobilize domestic resources to meet basic food requirements. The rate of growth of investment has declined significantly. The share of investment as a result of GDP has fallen to 13.7 percent in Africa, while rising to 25 percent in low income countries worldwide. The low domestic savings rates mean that it will be difficult to increase GDP growth rates on the basis of domestic resources alone. The economic crisis in Africa is especially evident in agriculture. Few countries have seen their agricultural output increase by as much as 3 percent a year during the 1970s and early 1980s. In a number of countries, agricultural production has either stagnated or actually fallen during this period. At the same time, population has been increasing by an annual average of 2.5 percent in the 1960s, 2.7 percent in the 1970s and about, 3 percent in more recent years. Consequently, per capita food production is currently less than 80 percent of the level which prevailed during the period of 1961-65. African countries have, thus, become increasingly dependent on imported foodthat forare consumption — using for scarce foreign exchange resources then unavailable investment. - 4 The problems facing African countries reinforce the need for major adjustment in economic policies, especially by removing the economic policy bias against agricultural production — and this now appears to be widely appreciated. In instances where countries have undertaken appropriate economic adjustment measures, such as devaluation, increases in producer prices or changes in tax regimes, there has been an encouraging increase in the production of agriculture. While more countries are determined to alter policies to improve the outlook for economic revival, concessional assistance is an essential complement in support of their efforts. The recitation of these all-too-well-known problems is not designed to suggest that the African Development Fund offers a unique avenue toward solutions. There is no such avenue. Solutions will emerge largely from the African countries themselves, but support from the international community, through every reasonable means, will help to make those solutions easier — and sooner. The African Development Fund, with its emphasis on lending for agriculture, water supply, health and transportation can be an effective channel for responding to the key development problems of Africa. The nations of Africa view the African Development Bank and Fund as their regional development institutions. While other development agencies may supply more funds, the African Development Bank and Fund are particularly important as regional forums for discussing continentwide financial and economic issues. The level of U.S. participation in the Bank and Fund is viewed by many in Africa as a gauge of U.S support for the development objectives of African countries. I hope the Committee will support the Administration's proposal for the African Development Fund. International Finance Corporation A fundamental component of the Administration's approach to development assistance is the conviction that the private sector holds the key to economic growth in developing countries. Treasury's 1982 assessment found that those nations that have encouraged private sector development, both domestic and from abroad, have generally achieved more rapid and sustainable growth than those which have not. Put simply, market-oriented private enterprise — by responding to profitable opportunities — produces jobs, earns foreign exchange and builds a technical and managerial base in the labor force. - 5 The proposal to participate in the capital increase for IFC is our third — and most important — step toward strengthening MDB support for the private sector in developing countries. In many respects, Treasury's 1982 assessment found that direct support from the MDBs for the private sector had lagged in recent years. Since taking office, the Administration has joined with other member countries to support: — the start-up of a small but well-targetted equity investment program in the Asian Development Bank. —• the creation of the Inter-American Investment Corporation, and — now, a significant redirection and capitalization of IFC. The Administration's proposal is for a $175 million U.S. share in a five year $650 million dollar IFC capital increase, that would double IFC's authorized capital to $1.3 billion. Specifically, the Administration's legislative proposal would authorize the U.S. Governor to vote in favor of the proposed capital increase, to subscribe subject to appropriations to IFC shares valued at $175 million and to authorize the appropriation of $175 million to pay for these shares. The previous capital increase for IFC was approved in 1977. The final U.S. subscriptions were provided by the Congress in 1981. The 27 percent U.S. share of IFC capital is being maintained in the proposed replenishment. IFC has made valuable contributions to the economies of developing countries through a broad spectrum of industries, including agrobusiness, building materials, chemicals, wood products, tourism, energy and financial services. Since its establishment in 1956, IFC has invested $5.2 billion in 83 countries. IFC is also doing pioneering work to improve the environment for direct foreign investment and to increase the flow of international equity capital. IFC has provided technical assistance to help developing country governments write legislation to attract foreign direct investment. It has directly supported the formation of several new equity investment funds designed to foster more rapid development of emerging capital markets in some of the developing countries. We commend this initiative and are encouraging IFC to expand its efforts in this area. - 6 The proposed capital increase is designed to mobilize foreign and domestic sources of capital at a commendable ratio of six to one to be used in support of a five year investment program totalling $4.4 billion. The program feature major investment initiatives in the following areas: — For an Expanded Capital Market Development Program: IFC is the principal — and in many countries, the only — multilateral development institution providing technical assistance to develop new financial instruments and to establish stock markets. In addition, IFC is the main multilateral development institution funding private financial firms. The five year program would earmark 14 percent, or roughly $500 million, for financial market and institutional development; availability of entrepreneurial talent are least favorable. To enhance the chances for successful private sector development, IFC has fashioned a $478 million, four-pronged strategy for Sub-Saharan Africa: — For Corporate Restructuring: The economic adjustment process which many developing countries are going through has placed severe constraints on the growth of the private sector and the availability of credit. To help private firms adapt to these constraints and become leaner, more efficient economic endeavors, IFC anticipates providing technical assistance and investing about $210 million to support firms that can restructure their businesses into more promising areas. Financial resources will be provided for working capital loans, for long-term capital or for equity, as circumstances may suggest. — For Energy Exploration and Development: IFC contemplates investing about $100 million in exploration activities with the participation of small independent oil service or production companies, which have thus far invested in developing countries only to a limited extent. The IFC share of such ventures would normally be limited to ten percent in order to maximize the catalytic role of the Corporation. In addition, up to $400 million more would be invested in other energy ventures, including energy development and production, through loans or equity. — For Sub-Saharan Africa: Tradeoffs between sound and creditworthy investment and sometimes risky developmental objectives are necessary in Sub-Saharan Africa where the national economic policies and the * More intensive promotional activities. IFC will offer investment analysis and advisory services through expanded venture capital companies. These services will earn appropriate fees whenever possible. -7* Taking a larger investment share. In circumstances where it proves difficult to mobilize resources for otherwise worthwhile projects in Africa the IFC may waive its usual practice of limiting participation to 25 percent of total capital. * More and smaller projects. In full knowledge that project preparation costs per unit of investment will be higher, IFC will invest in projects in the $1 million to $5 million range to take advantage of the relatively larger number of opportunities for smaller scale investments in the region. * More intensive use of development finance corporations. To reach the many investment opportunities below the $1 million level in Africa IFC will make more intensive use of well-run development finance corporations, even if government owned. The Administration believes that the proposal to increase IFC capital — together with companion activities in the other MDBs — will give a strong impetus to a private sector development effort that holds real potential for long term growth. The IBRD Selective Capital Increase The IBRD — an estimated $11 billion lending program in fiscal year 1985 — is the world's preeminent multilateral financial intermediary operating in developing countries. The Administration strongly supports the IBRD and is committed to working constructively with management and other members to increase the Bank's effectiveness. In addition to its proven expertise as an investment project lender, we value highly the Bank's ability to provide essential policy guidance and technical assistance, and to act as a catalyst in encouraging private enterprise and investment capital. The importance of the IBRD to recipient countries is underscored by the very difficult adjustment problems now faced by many developing countries and by the Bank's very considerable efforts to encourage and facilitate such adjustment. The United States has regarded "equitable cost-sharing" among donors to be a key element of our participation in the MDBs and has over time gradually reduced the U.S. share in all the MDBs, including the World Bank. To this end, the United States has traditionally been a strong supporter of "parallelism" insofar as it suggests that countries which, by virtue of their economic growth, have taken a larger quota in the International Monetary Fund (IMF), should take up increased shares in the capital stock of the IBRD. This is accomplished by Selective Capital Increases, the United members supporting closely If-rPwith the quota practice reviews. of States timing and such other SCIs Bank to follow -8In April, 1983, World Bank management proposed initiating consultations with Bank members regarding an SCI to "parallel" the increase in IMF quotas, which had been adopted. The Bank's position was that an increase of 141,800 shares — amounting to about S17 billion — would be necessary to parallel fully the IMF's quota increases. The U.S. position in subsequent SCI negotiations had three key elements: (a) to focus an SCI specifically on the need to adjust shares and not as a means of supporting increased Bank lending, (b) to get the cost of the SCI to the United States as low as possible, and (c) to provide the United States with the option of subscribing a level of shares sufficient to retain a U.S. veto (i.e., 20 percent of the voting power) over any amendment of the Bank's Charter. After more than a year of negotiations, the Bank's Executive Directors agreed on an SCI in May 1984 which would increase the IBRD's capital stock by 70,000 shares valued at $8.4 billion, of which 8.75 percent would consist of paid-in capital. The proposed allocation for the United States was 12,453 shares or 17.8 percent of the total, valued at $1.5 billion. Following the SCI, the United States would still retain a 20 percent share of IBRD allocated shares — and thus, our veto over amendments to the Charter. The most significant adjustment in country shares related to Japan. As a result of the SCI, Japan's ranking in the share capital of the IBRD — i.e., potential voting power — changed from fifth to second position. This change, while logical in terms of Japan's relative economic position in the world eocnomy, required a prolonged period of difficult negotiations among the Japanese and the three affected European countries (Germany, Britain and France) for whom "ranking" was sensitive from both a political and economic standpoint. Japan's position as the second largest IBRD shareholder is in keeping with the size and importance of the Japanese economy and the need for Japan to assume greater responsibilities in the international financial system, commensurate with its economic strength and political importance. U.S. subscription to the shares allocated by the 1984 SCI would cost $1,502 million of which 8.75 percent or $131.4 million, would be paid-in. The Administration has requested authorization for the full subscription in FY 1986, with the necessary appropriations provided in two equal installments in FY 1986 and FY 1987. - 9 - U.S. support for the SCI was conditioned on the understanding that the IBRD's lending program will not exceed a conservatively defined sustainable level of lending (SLL). This is defined as the level of IBRD lending to countries which can be sustained indefinitely (in nominal terms) without any further increase in Bank capital under current lending policies. A conservatively defined SLL is important to insure we do not come under pressure to subscribe to a new General Capital Increase on the grounds that the Bank's lending volume would decline without a GCI. The SCI proposal shares the cost of IBRD membership more equitably. As a measure of support for an effective institution, we urge the Committee's favorable action. Conclusion The proposed legislation for the African Development Fund, International Finance Corporation and the World Bank is the result of three extended negotiations carried on over the last two years. I know you are aware, Mr. Chairman, of the course of those discussions. Appropriations to fund these programs are included in the President's FY 1986 budget request. Thus, timely enactment of this legislation is essential. I hope the Committee will conclude that these proposals are positive contributions to the U.S foreign assistance program and that the legislation merits your support. TREASURY NEWS department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE JOHN M. WALKER, JR. ASSISTANT SECRETARY (ENFORCEMENT & OPERATIONS) U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE PERMANENT SUBCOMMITTEE ON INVESTIGATIONS GOVERNMENTAL AFFAIRS COMMITTEE UNITED STATES SENATE March 12, 1985 Improving Bank Secrecy Act Compliance by Financial Institutions Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: Thank you for the opportunity to appear before you today to discuss the compliance of financial institutions with the provisions of the Bank Secrecy Act. As this Committee is aware, the laundering of money through legitimate financial institutions in support of organized criminal activity is both a threat to our financial system and a grave challenge to law enforcement. Since 1980, Treasury has taken a number of steps to improve compliance with the reporting and recordkeeping requirements of the Act and its implementing regulations. That we have made considerable progress is demonstrated by the increase in the numbers of CTR forms filed. In 1979, 121,000 such forms were filed, but the number increased to about 700,000 last year. Another measure of our success is the use of reporting information as a law enforcement tool. Treasury's financial investigations, as carried out by task forces across the country, have resulted in the substantial destruction of criminal enterprises engaged in the laundering of proceeds from drug trafficking and other forms of organized crime. The eighteen largest organizations uncovered and destroyed since 1980 had laundered a documented total exceeding $2.8 billion. Nevertheless, Mr. Chairman, Treasury believes that much more remains to be done in improving the level of compliance with the reporting requirements. We sincerely welcome the ongoing interest this Committee has expressed in this vital topic and look forward to assisting this Committee in every way we can in the development of any changes deemed to be necessary. B-43 - 2 - In my testimony today, I want to address several topics. First, I will discuss important changes made in the Bank Secrecy Act regulatory system in 1980. Second, I will briefly summarize actions Treasury has taken to assess and improve compliance. In particular, I will describe the procedures Treasury followed in 1982 in conducting a survey of compliance by financial institutions in the State of Massachusetts. I will then describe how criminal investigations are authorized, and how today they are supported by the analytical work conducted at the Treasury Financial Law Enforcement Center. Finally, I will bring to the Committee's attention current and possible future initiatives to improve the bank examination process. Changes Made by the 1980 Amendments to the Regulations Prior to 1980, a bank had broad latitude in exempting regular customers and inter-bank transactions. In 1980, as a result of indications of massive money laundering activity in Florida, the regulations were tightened. As a result of this change, all transactions with domestic securities dealers, exchange dealers, and other non-bank financial institutions were required to be reported. The change in the regulations also required reporting of transactions with foreign banks. Treasury took the step of expanding the scope of the reporting requirement to cover transactions with foreign banks and with non-bank financial institutions for two basic reasons. First, more information was needed concerning flows of currency, both domestically and internationally, in light of indications that the level of international cash transactions related to drug trafficking was increasing. Second, the information provided by this reporting was needed to help Treasury monitor compliance with the Act. By requiring banks to report transactions with non-bank financial institutions, Treasury had a mechanism to check on compliance of those institutions and to make certain that they are filing reports of transactions with their customers. Another change made by the 1980 regulatory amendment tightened the rules regarding exemption lists. Even prior to the change, banks were authorized to grant an exemption from the requirement to file Form 4789's only to an established customer maintaining a deposit relationship with the bank, in amounts that the bank could reasonably conclude were commensurate with and customary for the business of such customer. Treasury retained this limitation in 1980, but added an additional requirement: that the business be within the United States and be a retail establishment or be the type of establishment, such as a bar or restaurant, that could be expected to have substantial cash transactions as a normal part of its business. The regulatory - 3 change also required that the bank document the approval of the exemption, specify certain information pertaining to the exemption, maintain the list in an up-to-date form, and make the list available to Treasury within 30 days of Treasury's demand. The need for the changes regarding exemptions was clear: Treasury required more information on the use of exemptions and the customers being exempted to reveal possible relationships with illicit financial activity. Additionally, Treasury wanted to confine use of the exempt list to its intended purpose, the reduction in unnecessary and unproductive reporting. Our position then, as now, is that most businesses do not routinely deposit large amounts of currency, and hence, should not be exempt from the reporting requirements of the Act. Treasury's Review of Compliance by Financial Institutions Over the last three years, Treasury has become aware of particular problems in the level of reporting of cash transactions. Even though overall compliance has steadily improved, the currency transaction reporting from some regions of the country is still not commensurate with the level of financial activity that might be expected to take place in such regions. Accordingly, Treasury has directed particular enforcement attention to such regions in an attempt to bring about compliance improvements. In early 1982, Treasury obtained a statistical summary of the filings of Form 4789 during the previous year. That summary showed that banks in Massachusetts, a state that is among the top states in total bank deposits, had filed only 2,543 currency transaction reports out of a total of 347,882 filed nationwide. On April 28, 1982, Treasury requested the banks in Boston to submit their exempt lists within 30 days. On May 27, 1982, we requested exempt lists from the Massachusetts banks outside Boston. That same day, my staff in Treasury Enforcement and Operations visited the Federal Reserve Bank in Boston to determine how data on currency deposits and withdrawls could best be obtained. Then, during the week of June 21, one member of my staff, with the assistance of two national bank examiners and two aides from the IRS/Criminal Investigations Division in Boston, analyzed every currency deposit and withdrawal made by commercial banks at the federal Reserve Bank in Boston during the four-month period from January through April, 1982. From this analysis, we developed a list specifying the total deposits and total withdrawals for the period made by each Massachusetts bank that had dealings with the Federal Reserve Bank. - 4 - The information on that list was then compared with data obtained from the Treasury Financial Law Enforcement Center (TFLEC) that showed the number and dollar amounts of currency transaction reports filed with IRS by each bank in Massachusetts during the first part of 1982. This information coupled with the banks' exempt lists was used to determine which banks we would select for special compliance reviews by the bank examiners. Our findings, based on the comparison of CTRs with the amounts of currency turned in to the Federal Reserve Bank and on the exempt list review, were of the existence of a generally poor level of compliance in Massachusetts. By September, 1982 we had selected 20 banks for special attention. Most noteworthy among these was the Bank of Boston. It had handled hundreds of millions of dollars in currency during the four-month test period but had filed only 59 currency reports. Our review of its exempt list, forwarded to us under cover of a letter dated June 3, 1982, had prompted a June 8, 1982 letter to the bank to point out numerous companies that did not appear to qualify for exempt status. Moreover, my office, in July 1982, received a telephone call from an officer in the bank's cash division who had stated that he was not fully familiar with the reporting requirements, including those covering international bank-to-bank transactions. As a result of all of this information, in September 1982 we requested in writing, that the Comptroller conduct a special examination of the Bank of Boston for compliance with the Bank Secrecy Act. A similar request was made of the Comptroller and other regulatory agencies with respect to the other 19 banks. At the same time, we made available to the IRS all information pertaining to the Bank of Boston for possible criminal investigation. How Criminal Investigations Are Authorized Mr. Chairman, I would now like to turn to the question of how Treasury authorizes criminal investigations of suspected Bank Secrecy Act violations. When Treasury's Office of Enforcement and Operations receives information of significant violations from any source, we refer the information to the IRS so that they may advise us as to whether they believe a full investigation is warranted. That decision is usually initiated in the appropriate IRS district office and then reviewed at higher levels within IRS. Once we receive an affirmative response from the IRS, we authorize the investigation immediately. - 5 - If the information of a possible violation comes to us in the first instance from IRS instead of one of the bank regulatory agencies, we also review the matter promptly, and we usually respond within one week. In priority cases, such as the Bank of Boston case, the process is expedited and can be accomplished in one day, as was done in that case. We believe that a criminal investigation by the IRS of a financial institution should not be undertaken without highlevel review and approval. Such an investigation, if unwarranted, could unfairly damage public trust in a financial institution and possibly encourage large withdrawals that could imperil the institution's financial condition. Operations of the Treasury Financial Law Enforcement Center Mr. Chairman, I understand that the Subcommittee staff has raised a question concerning the timely transmittal of information from the Treasury Financial Law Enforcement Center, or TFLEC, to investigative personnel in the field. We are not aware of any particular problem in the transmittal of such information, but in response to this inquiry, I have asked the Customs Service to resolve any problem that may exist and to report on the situation. We will continue to take action to correct any problems that we discover. I would like to point out, however, that Treasury and Customs have recently effected some internal changes designed to enhance TFLEC's operations. Whereas both analytical and investigative responsibilities at TFLEC were in the hands of Customs investigators, the analytical function has now been assumed by the Customs Office of Intelligence. This change frees the enforcement personnel involved to concentrate on investigative functions and should result in an overall improvement in TFLEC operations. Ensuring Compliance with the Bank Secrecy Act and Improvements to the Examination Process Mr. Chairman, the Treasury Department shares a concern with this Committee that the current system of ensuring compliance with the Bank Secrecy Act through the financial institution regulatory agencies is in need of improvement. I believe it would be helpful at this point to summarize briefly the history behind the development of the current system. - 6 - As this Committee is aware, the legislative history of the Act contemplated that the task of examining banks for compliance with the reporting requirements would be delegated to the bank supervisory agencies. Accordingly, as early as 1972, Treasury recognized that such a system of delegation could be effective only if minimum standards were established for the examination , process. The first step taken toward this goal was the preparation by Treasury and-the supervisory agencies of a checklist summarizing the provisions of Treasury's Bank Secrecy Act implementing regulations, which first became effective in 1972. In 1973, the basic reporting system under the regulations was adopted by the regulatory agencies. It provides statistics on each agency's compliance activities, including the number of banks examined and the number of violations uncovered. At that time, however, there was no specified procedure that the supervisory agencies were required to follow in checking for compliance with the reporting provisions. In the mid-1970's, law enforcement agencies discovered widespread non-compliance at a major New York bank, and in response to this finding, Treasury, with the cooperation of the bank supervisory agencies, developed a specific examination procedure. In 1979, it became apparent that despite the new procedure, reporting problems remained. This was particularly obvious in Florida. In recognition of the need for more detailed procedures so that the bank supervisory agencies would have adequate guidance for the examinations they conducted, Treasury and the agencies established new, expanded procedures in 1981. These examination procedures are comprehensive and complete. In our opinion, if a bank examiner follows the entire set of procedures, there is a high probability that any major incident of noncompliance at a financial institution will be detected. These procedures have been available since 1981, and Treasury has continually urged that they be followed. From the standpoint of the Office of Enforcement and Operations, it is difficult for Treasury to ensure that the expanded procedures are in fact being employed. The supervisory agencies, for example, conduct the examinations out of field offices spread over the country. There is no current means by which we can gain independent access to the bank records necessary to review a bank's compliance and to assess the effectiveness of the examination process in uncovering compliance problems. This is, however, a problem that Senator D'Amato's^bill addresses and that Treasury fully intends to resolve, and we welcome the opportunity to work with this Committee toward that end. - 7 - With regard to the general matter of Bank Secrecy Act reporting and measures to prevent money laundering through financial institutions, Treasury met last December with the Examination Council, on which the various supervisory agencies sit. We discussed with the Council the recommendations of the President's Commission on Organized Crime and we will continue this dialogue with the supervisory agencies. The Council and the regulatory agencies have agreed to work with us in strengthening the overall system for ensuring Bank Secrecy Act compliance. In addition, we are seeking to increase the awareness of the banking community of the role of money laundering in facilitating organized crime and the nature of its threat to the integrity of our financial system. For example, we have recently met with the American Bankers Association, which has offered to cooperate with Treasury and the supervisory agencies in a program to increase the training of bank managers and personnel in matters pertaining to the Act and Treasury's regulations. Finally, my office is considering regulatory and administrative changes to improve the current system. An area where improvement is clearly called for, as this Committee is aware, is in the matter of exemptions from the reporting requirements. As I have discussed today, our regulations were improved in 1980, yet we now have indications that even more rigorous control and analysis of these exemptions are called for. We also consider it critical that legal barriers that inhibit voluntary reporting by bank employees of suspicious financial transactions be removed. Mr. Chairman, this concludes my prepared statement. I would be pleased to answer any questions this Committee may have. 0O0 TREASURY NEWS Department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. March 12, 1985 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $14,000 million, to be issued March 21, 1985. This offering will provide about $450 million of new cash for the Treasury, as the maturing bills were originally issued in the amount of $13,549 million. The two series offered are as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $7,000 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated December 20, 1984, and to mature June 20, 1985 (CUSIP No. 912794 HG 2 ) , currently outstanding in the amount of $6,956 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills for approximately $7,000 million, to be dated March 21, 1985, and to mature September 19, 1985 (CUSIP No. 912794 HZ 0 ) . Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing March 21, 1985. In addition to the maturing 13-week and 26-week bills, there are $8,252 million of maturing 52-week bills. The disposition of this latter amount was announced last week. Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, currently hold $1,316 million, and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account hold $5,497 million of the maturing bills. These amounts represent the combined holdings of such accounts for the three issues of maturing bills. Tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the weighted average bank discount rates of accepted competitive tenders. Additional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. For purposes of determining such additional amounts, foreign and international monetary authorities are considered to hold $971 million of the original 13-week and 26-week issues. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount will be payable without interest. Both series of bills will be issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,000 and in any higher $5,000 multiple, on the records either of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasury. B-44 - 2 Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C. 20239, prior to 1:00 p.m., Eastern Standard txme, Monday, March 18, 1985. Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. Each tender must state the par amount of bills bid for, which must be a minimum of $10,.000. Tenders over $10,000 must be in multiples of $5,000. Competitive tenders must also show the yield desired, expressed on a bank discount rate basis with two decimals, e.g., 7.15%. Fractions may not be used. A single bidder, as defined in Treasury's single bidder guidelines, shall not submit noncompetitive tenders totaling more than $1,000,000. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities may submit tenders for account of customers, if the names of the customers and the amount for each customer are furnished. Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million. This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p.m. Eastern time on the day of the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering, e.g., bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six-month bills. Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million. A noncompetitive bidder may not have entered into an agreement, nor make an agreement to purchase or sell or otherwise dispose of any noncompetitive awards of this issue being auctioned prior to the designated closing time for receipt of tenders. Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction. No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches. A deposit - 3 of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and yield range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $1,000,000 or less without stated yield from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average bank discount rate (in two decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. The calculation of purchase prices for accepted bids will be carried to three decimal places on the basis of price per hundred, e.g., 99.923, and the determinations of the Secretary of the Treasury shall be final. Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on March 21, 1985, in cash or other immediately-available funds or in Treasury bills maturing March 21, 1985. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. In addition, Treasury Tax and Loan Note Option Depositaries may make payment for allotments of bills for their own accounts and for account of customers by credit to their Treasury Tax and Loan Note Accounts on the settlement date. In general, if a bill is purchased at issue after July 18, 1984, and held to maturity, the amount of discount is reportable as ordinary income in the Federal income tax return of the owner at the time of redemption. Accrual-basis taxpayers, banks, and other persons designated in section 1281 of the Internal Revenue Code must include in income the portion of the discount for the period during the taxable year such holder held the bill. If the bill is sold or otherwise disposed of before maturity, the portion of the gain equal to the accrued discount will be treated as ordinary income. Any excess may be treated as capital gain. Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, Treasury's single bidder guidelines, and this notice prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars, guidelines, and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. TREASURY NEWS Department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. March 13, 1985 TREASURY TO AUCTION $9,000 MILLION OF 2-YEAR NOTES The Department of the Treasury will auction $9,000 million of 2-year notes to be issued April 1, 1985. This issue will provide about $550 million new cash, as the maturing 2-year notes held by the public amount to $8,458 million, including $568 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities. In addition to the maturing 2-year notes, there are $3,384 million of maturing 4-year notes held by the public. The disposition of this latter amount will be announced next week. Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities currently hold $1,113 million, and Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks for their own accounts hold $1,115 million of maturing 2-year and 4-year notes. The $9,000 million is being offered to the public, and any amounts tendered by Federal Reserve Banks for their own accounts, or as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, will be added to that amount. Tenders for such accounts will be accepted at the average price of accepted competitive tenders. Details about the new security are given in the attached highlights of the offering and in the official offering circular. oOo Attachment B-45 HIGHLIGHTS OF TREASURY OFFERING TO THE PUBLIC OF 2-YEAR NOTES TO BE ISSUED APRIL 1, 1985 March 13, 1985 Amount Offered: To the public Description of Security: Term and type of security Series and CUSIP designation Maturity date Call date Interest rate Investment yield Premium or discount Interest payment dates Minimum denomination available Terms of Sale: Method of sale Competitive tenders Noncompetitive tenders Accrued interest payable by investor Payment by non-institutional investors Payment through Treasury Tax and Loan (TT&L) Note Accounts Deposit guarantee by designated institutions Key Dates: Receipt of tenders Settlement (final payment due from institutions) a) cash or Federal funds b) readily collectible check $9,000 million 2-year notes Series T-1987 (CUSIP No. 912827 RZ 7) March 31, 1987 No provision To be determined based on the average of accepted bids To be determined at auction To be determined after auction September 30 and March 31 $5,000 Yield Auction Must be expressed as an annual yield, with two decimals, e.g., 7.10% Accepted in full at the average price up to $1,000,000 None Full payment to be submitted with tender Acceptable for TT&L Note Option Depositaries Acceptable Wednesday, March 20, 1985, prior to 1:00 p.m., EST Monday, April 1, 1985 . Thursday, March 28, 1985 TREASURY NEWS department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE March 14, 198 5 RESULTS OF TREASURY'S 52-WEEK BILL AUCTION Tenders for $ 8,506 million of 52-week bills to be issued March 21, 1985, and to mature March 20, 1986, were accepted today. The details are as follows: RANGE OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: Discount Investment Rate Rate _ (Equivalent Coupon-Issue Yield) Price Low 9.22% 10.06% 90.678 High 9.27% 10.12% 90.627 Average 9.24% 10-08% 90.657 Tenders at the high discount rate were allotted 52%. Location TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Accepted Received Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TOTALS Type Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public Federal Reserve Foreign Official Institutions TOTALS B-46 $ 377,225 13,897,460 9,250 23,100 35,205 29,370 1,297,270 84,345 17,515 53,900 12,350 1,211,170 119,005 $17,167,165 $ 27,225 7,603,260 9,250 23,100 35,205 29,370 200,870 59,345 17,515 53,900 12,350 315,170 119,005 $8,505,565 $14,321,300 645,865 $14,967,165 2,000,000 $5,659,700 645,865 $6,305,565 2,000,000 200,000 $17,167,165 200,000 $8,505,565 2041 CONVENTION BETWEEN THE GOVERNMENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA AND THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIALIST REPUBLIC OF SRI LANKA FOR THE AVOIDANCE OF DOUBLE TAXATION AND THE PREVENTION OF FISCAL EVASION WITH RESPECT TO TAXES ON INCOME The Government of the United States of America and the Government of the Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka, desiring to conclude a convention for the avoidance of double taxation and the prevention of fiscal evasion with respect to taxes on income, have agreed as follows: Article 1 PERSONAL SCOPE 1. Except as otherwise provided in this Convention, the Ccnv.-ition shall apply to persons who are residents of one or both of the Contracting States. 2. The Convention shall not restrict in any manner any exclusion, exemption, deduction, credit or other allowance now or hereafter accorded a) by the laws of either Contracting State; or b) by any other agreement between the Contracting States. 3. Notwithstanding any provision of the Convention except paragraph 4, a Contracting State may tax its residents (as determined under Article 4 (Resident)), and by reason of citizenship may tax its citizens, as if the Convention had not come into effect. For this purpose, the term "citizen" shall include a former citizen whose loss of citizenship had as one of n. ncipal purposes the avoidance of tax, but only for a period of 10 years following such loss. 4. The provisions of paragraph 3 shall not affect a) the benefits conferred by a Contracting State under paragraph 2 of Article 9 (Associated Enterprises), under Article 14 (Grants), under paragraphs 2 and 3 of Article 19 (Pensions, Social Security and Child Support Payments), and under Articles 24 (Relief From Double Taxation), 25 (Non-Discrimination), and 26 (Mutual Agreement Procedure); and the benefits conferred by a Contracting State under Articles 20 (Government Service), 21 (Students and Trainees), and 28 (Diplomatic Agents and Consular Officers), upon individuals who are neither citizens of, nor have immigrant status in, that State. Article 2 TAXES COVERED Convention shall apply to taxes on income imposed on f a Contracting State, irrespective of the manner in ire levied. existing taxes to which the Convention shall apply are , in Sri Lanka: the income tax, including the income tax based on the turnover of enterprises licensed by the Greater Colombo Economic Commission (hereinafter referred to as "Sri Lanka tax"); in the United States: the Federal income taxes imposed by the Internal Revenue Code (but excluding the -cumulated earnings tax, the personal holding company tax, and social security taxes), and the excise taxes imposed on insurance premiums paid to foreign insurers and with respect to private foundations. The Convention shall, however, apply to the excise taxes imposed on insurance premiums paid to foreign insurers only to the extent that the risks covered by such premiums are not reinsured with a person not entitled to the benefits of this or any other Convention which applies to these taxes (hereinafter referred to as "United States tax"). 5. The Convention shall apply also to any identical or substantially similar taxes which are imposed by a Contracting State after the date of signature of the Convention in addition bo, or in place of, the existing taxes. The competent authorities of the Contracting States shall notify each other of any significant changes which have been made in their respective taxation laws and shall notify each other of any official published material concerning the application of the Convention, including explanations, regulations, rulings, or judicial decisions. Article 3 GENERAL DEFINITIONS In this Convention, unless the context otherwise requires a) the term "Sri Lanka" means the Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka; b) the term "United States" means the United States of America, but does not include Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, Guam, or any other United States possession or territory; c) the terms "a Contracting State" and "the other Contracting State" mean Sri Lanka or the United States as the context requires; d) the term "person" includes an individual, a partnership, a company, an estate, a trust, and any other body of persons; e) the term "company" means any body corporate or any entity which is treated as a body corporate for tax purposes; f) the terms "enterprise of a Contracting State" and "enterprise of the other Contracting State" mean respectively an enterprise carried on by a resident of a Contracting State and an enterprise carried on by a resident of the other Contracting State; g) the term "international traffic" means any transport by a ship or aircraft, except where such transport is solely between places in the other Contracting State; h) the term "nationals" means (i) in the case of the United States, all individuals who are United States citizens, and in the case of Sri Lanka, all individuals possessing the nationality of Sri Lanka; and i) all legal persons, partnerships and associations deriving their status as such from the laws in force in a Contracting State; i) the term "competent authority" means (i) in the case of Sri Lanka, the Commissioner-General of Inland Revenue; and (ii) in the case of the United States, the Secretary of the Treasury or his delegate. As regards the application of the Convention by a Contracting ate any term not defined therein shall, unless the context herwise requires and subject to the provisions of Article 2.6 lutual Agreement Procedure), have the meaning which it has under e laws of that State relating to the taxes which are the bject of the Convention. Article 4 RESIDENT 1. For purposes of this Convention, the term "resident of a Contracting State" means any person who, under the laws of that State, is liable to tax therein by reason of his domicile, residence, citizenship, place of management, place of incorporation, or any other criterion of a similar nature, provided, however, that a) this term does not include any person who is liable to tax in that State in respect only of income from sources in that State; and b) in the case of income derived or paid by a partnership, estate, or trust, this term applies only to the extent that the income derived by such partnership, estate, or trust is subject to tax as the income of a resident of that State, either in its hands or in the hands of its partners or beneficiaries. 2. Where by reason of the provisions of paragraph 1 an individual is a resident of both Contracting States, then his status shall be determined as follows a) he shall be deemed to be a resident of the State in which he has a permanent home available to him. If he has a permanent home available in both States, he shall be deemed to be a resident of the State with which his personal and economic relations are closer (center of vital interests); b) if the State in which he has his center of vital interests cannot be determined, or if he has not a permanent home available to him in either State, he shall be deemed to be a resident of the State in which he has an habitual abode; c) if he has an habitual abode in both States or in neither of them, he shall be deemed to be a resident of the State of which he is a national; d) if he is a national of both States or of neither of them, the competent authorities of the Contracting States shall settle the question by mutual agreement. Where by reason of the provisions of paragraph 1 a • a resident of both Contracting States, then if it is r organized under the laws of a Contracting State or a ' olitical subdivision thereof, it shall be treated as a resident f that State. Where by reason of the provisions of paragraph 1 a person ther than an individual or a company is a resident of both ontracting States, the competent authorities of the Contracting tates shall by mutual agreement endeavor to settle the question nd to .termine the mode of application of the Convention to uch person. For purposes of the Convention, an individual who is a ational of a Contracting State shall also be deemed to be a esident of that State if the individual is (a) an employee of hat State or an instrumentality thereof in the other Contracting tate or in a third State; (b) engaged in the performance of overnmental functions for the first-mentioned State; and (c) ubjected in the first-mentioned State to the same obligations in respect of taxes on income as are residents of the firstmentioned State. The spouse and minor children residing with the employee and subject to the requirements of (c) above shall also be deemed to be residents of the first-mentioned State. Article 5 PERMANENT ESTABLISHMENT 1. urposes of this Convention, the term "permanent es t" means a fixed place of business through which the business of an enterprise is wholly or partly carried on. 2. The term "permanent establishment" shall include especially a) a place of management; b) a branch; c) an office; d) a factory; e) a workshop; f) a store or premises used as a sales outlet; and c7l ne, an oil or gas well, a quarry, or other place of extraction of natural resources. 3. The term "permanent establishment" likewise encompasses a) a building site or construction or installation project, or an installation or drilling rig or ship used for the exploration for or development of natural resources, but only if it lasts more than 183 days; and b) the furnishing of services, including consultancy services, by an enterprise through employees or other personnel engaged by the enterprise for such purpose, but only where activities of that nature continue (for the same or a connected project) within the country for a period or periods aggregating more than 183 days within any 12 month period. 4. Notwithstanding the preceding provisions of this Article, the term "permanent establishment" shall be deemed not to include a) the use of facilities solely for the purpose of storage, display, or delivery of goods or merchandise belonging to the enterprise, other than goods or merchandise held for sale by such enterprise in a store or premises used as a sales outlet; b) the maintenance of a stock of goods or merchandise belonging to the enterprise solely for the purpose of storage, display, or delivery, other than goods or merchandise held for sale by such enterprise in a store or premises used as a sales outlet; c) the maintenance of a stock of goods or merchandise belonging to the enterprise solely for the purpose of processing by another enterprise; d) the maintenance of a fixed place of business solely for the purpose of purchasing goods or merchandise, or of collecting information, for the enterprise; e) the maintenance of a fixed place of business solefy for the purpose of carrying on, for the enterprise, any other activity of a preparatory or auxiliary character; f) the maintenance of a fixed place of business solely for any combination of the activities mentioned in subparagraphs (a) to (e) of this paragraph. 5. Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraphs 1 and 2, where a person - other than an agent of an independent status to whom paragraph 7 applies - is acting in a Contracting State on behalf of an enterprise of the other Contracting State, that enterprise shall be deemed to have a permanent establishment in the first-mentioned State in respect of any activities which that person undertakes for the enterprise, if such a person a) has and habitually exercises in that State an authority to conclude contracts in the name of the enterprise, unless the activities of such person are limited to those mentioned in paragraph 4 which, if exercised through a fixed place of business, would not make that fixed place of business a permanent establishment under the provisions of that paragraph; or b) has no such authority, but habitually maintains in the first-mentioned State a stock of goods or merchandise ' from which he regularly fills orders or makes deliveries on behalf of the enterprise and additional activities conducted in that State on behalf of the enterprise have contributed to the conclusion of the sale of such goods or merchandise. 6. Notwithstanding the preceding provisions of this Article, an insurance enterprise of one of the Contracting States shall, except in regard to re-insurance, be deemed to have a permanent establishment in the other Contracting State if it collects premiums in the territory of that other State or insures risks situated therein through a person other than an agent of an independent status to whom paragraph 7 applies. 7. An enterprise shall not be deemed to have a permanent establishment in a Contracting State merely because it carries on business in that State through a broker, general commission agent, or any other agent of an independent status, where such persons are acting in the ordinary course of their business. 1 However, when the activities of such an agent are devoted wholly or almost wholly on behalf of that enterprise, he will not be considered an agent of an independent status within the meaning of this paragraph, if it is shown that the transactions with the agent and the enterprise were not made under arm's-length conditions. 8. The fact that a company which is a resident of a Contracting State controls or is controlled by a company which is a resident of the other Contracting State, or which carries on business in that other State (whether through a permanent establishment or otherwise), shall not of itself constitute either company a permanent establishment of the other. Article 6 INCOME FROM IMMOVABLE PROPERTY (REAL PROPERTY) 1. Income from immovable (real) property may be taxed in the Contracting State in which such property is situated. 2. The term "immovable property" shall have the meaning which it has under the law of the Contracting State in which the property in question is situated. The term shall in any case include property accessory to immovable property, livestock and equipment used in agriculture and forestry, rights to which the provisions of general law respecting landed property apply, usufruct of immovable property, and rights to variable or fixed payments as consideration for the working of, or the right to work, mineral deposits, sources and other natural resources; ships, boats, and aircraft shall not be regarded as immovable property. /*. 3. The provisions of paragraph 1 shall apply to income derived from the direct use, letting or use in any other form of immovable property. 4. The provisions of paragraphs 1 and 3 shall also apply to the income from immovable property of an enterprise and to income from immovable property used for the performance of independent personal services. Article 7 BUSINESS PROFITS = business profits of an enterprise of a Contracting State shall be taxable only in that State unless the enterprise carries on business in the other Contracting State through a permanent establishment situated therein. If the enterprise carries on business as aforesaid, the business profits of the enterprise may be taxed in the other State but only so much of them as is ' attributable to (a) that permanent establishment, (b) sales in that other State of goods or merchandise of the same or similar kind as those sold through that permanent establishment, or (c) other business activities carried on in that other State of the same or similar kind as those effected through that permanent establishment. 2. Subject to the provisions of paragraph 3, where an enterprise of a Contracting State carries on business in the other Contracting State through a permanent establishment situated therein, there shall in each State be attributed to that permanent establishment the business profits which it might be expected to make if it were a distinct and independent enterprise engaged in the same or similar activities under the same or similar conditions. 3. In the determination of the business profits of a permanent establishment, there shall be allowed as deductions expenses which are incurred for the purposes of the business of the permanr -,t establishment, including executive and general administrative expenses, research and development expenses, interest, and other expenses incurred, whether in the State in which the permanent establishment is situated or elsewhere. However, no such deduction shall be allowed in respect of amounts, if any, paid (otherwise than towards reimbursement of actual ' ---arises) by the permanent establishment to the head off enterprise or any of its other offices, by way of ro .ees, or other similar payments in return for the use of patents or other rights, or by way of commission, for specific services performed or for management, or by way of interest on moneys lent to the permanent establishment. Likewise, no account shall be taken, in the determination of the profits of a permanent establishment, for amounts charged (otherwise than towards reimbursement of actual expenses), by the permanent , establishment to the head office of the enterprise or any of its other offices by way of royalties, fees, or other similar payments in return for the use of patents or other rights, or by way of commission for specific services performed or for management, or by way of interest on moneys lent to the head office of the enterprise or any of its other offices. 4. Insofar as it has been customary in a Contracting State to determine the profits to be attributed to a permanent establishment on the basis of an apportionment of the total profits of the enterprise to its various parts, nothing in paragraph 2 shall preclude that State from determining the profits to be taxed by such an apportionment as may be customary; the method of apportionment shall, however, be such that the result will be in accordance with the principles contained in this Article. 5. No business profits shall be attributed to a permanent establishment by reason of the mere purchase by that permanent establishment of goods or merchandise for the enterprise. 6. For the purposes of the preceding paragraphs, the business profits to be attributed to the permanent establishment shall be determined by the same method from year to year unless there is good and sufficient reason to the contrary. 7. Where business profits include items of income which are dealt with separately in other Articles of this Convention, then the provisions of those Articles shall not be affected by the provisions of this Article. Article 8 SHIPPING AND AIR TRANSPORT 1. Profits of an enterprise of a Contracting State from the operation in international traffic of aircraft shall be taxable only in that State. 2. Profits of an enterprise of a Contracting State from sources within the other Contracting State from the operation in international traffic of ships shall be taxable in both Contracting States; provided, however, that the tax imposed by that other Contracting State shall not exceed 50 percent of the tax otherwise imposed by the internal law of that State. For purposes of this paragraph, the amount of such profits subject to tax in Sri Lanka shall not exceed 6 percent of the sums receivable in respect of the carriage of passengers or freight embarked in Sri Lanka. 3. For the purposes of this Article, profits from the operation aft in international traffic include profits from the of aircraft if such aircraft are operated in international traffic by the lessee or if such rental profits are incidental to other profits described in paragraph 1. 4. Income from the rental on a full or bareboat basis of ships operated in international traffic by the lessee which is derived by an nterprise of one Contracting State from sources within the other Contracting State and which is incidental to profits described in paragraph 2 shall be taxable in both Contracting States; provided, however, that the tax imposed by that other Contracting State shall not exceed 50 percent of the tax which would otherwise be imposed by that other State under the provisions of paragraph 3 of Article 12 (Royalties). 5. Profits of an enterprise of a Contracting State from the use, maintenance or rental of containers (including trailers, barges, and related equipment for the transport of containers) used in international traffic and derived from sources within the other Contracting State shall be taxable in both Contracting States; provided, however, that the tax imposed by that other Contracting State shall be restricted to 50 percent of the tax which would otherwise be imposed by that other State under the provisions of paragraph 3 of Article 12 (Royalties). 6. For purposes of determining the maximum tax which may be imposed by a Contracting State under paragraphs 2, 4 and 5, the following rules shall apply: a) the tax which may be imposed by the other Contracting State under paragraph 2 shall not exceed the lesser of the tax which may be imposed under the provisions of that paragraph, and the lowest rate of Sri Lanka tax that may be imposed on the profits of the same kind derived under similar circumstances by a resident of a third State. For purposes of this subparagraph, if Sri Lanka imposes an additional amount of a tax which is not covered by this Convention in place of the income tax on an enterprise resident in a third State, the amount of such additional tax shall be treated as Sri Lanka tax; and b) the tax which may be imposed by the other Contracting State under paragraphs 4 and 5 shall not exceed the ' ' lesser of the tax which may be imposed under the provisions of those paragraphs, and the lowest Sri Lanka tax burden on such income derived by a resident of any third State. For purposes of this paragraph, Sri Lanka tax imposed on a resident of a third State shall not include tax imposed by Sri Lanka under special provisions of its statutory law, in 'effect on the date of signature of this Convention, on income of the kind dealt with in this Article, which special provisions are applicable only to income derived by the government or by a government agency of a third State. 7. The provisions of the preceding paragraphs shall likewise apply in respect of participations in a pool, a joint business, or an international operating agency of any kind by enterprises engaged in the operation of ships or aircraft in international traffic. Article 9 ASSOCIATED ENTERPRISES 1. Where a) an enterprise of a Contracting State participates directly or indirectly in the management, control or capital of an enterprise of the other Contracting State; or b) the same persons participate directly or indirectly in the management, control or capital of an enterprise of a Contracting State and an enterprise of the other Contracting State, and in either case conditions are made or imposed between the two enterprises in their commercial or financial relations which differ from those which would be made between independent enterprises, then any profits which would, but for those conditions, have accrued to one of the enterprises, but, by reason of those conditions, have not so accrued, may be included in the profits of that enterprise and taxed accordingly. 2. Where a Contracting State includes in the profits of an e* rise of that State, and taxes accordingly, profits on which an enterprise of the other Contracting State has been charged to tax in that other State, and the profits so included are profits which would have accrued to the enterprise of the first-mentioned State if the conditions made between the two enterprises had been those which would have been made between independent enterprises, then that other State shall make an appropriate adjustment to the amount of the tax charged therein on those profits. In determining such adjustment, due regard shall be had to the other provisions of this Convention and the competent authorities of the Contracting States shall if necessary consult each other. 3. The provisions of paragraph 1 shall not limit any provisions of the law of either Contracting State which permit the distribution, apportionment, or allocation of income, deductions, credits, or allowances between persons owned or controlled directly or indirectly by the same interests when necessary in order to prevent evasion of taxes or clearly to reflect the income of any of such persons. Article 10 DIVIDENDS 1. Dividends paid by a company which is a resident of a Contracting State to a resident of the other Contracting State / ' may be taxed in that other State. 2. However, such dividends may also be taxed in the Contracting State of which the company paying the dividends is a resident and ace -J.-" -o the laws of that State, but if the beneficial owner of t. lends is a resident of the other Contracting State, the tax so charged shall not exceed 15 percent of the gross amount of the dividends. 3. The term "dividends" as used in this Article means income from shares, mining shares, founders' shares, or other rights, not bein:- debt-claims, participating in profits, as well as \ income from other corporate rights which is subjected to the same ! taxation treatment as income from shares by the taxation laws of [ the State of which the company making the distribution is a resident. 4. The provisions of paragraph 2 shall not apply if the beneficial owner of the dividends, being a resident of a Contracting State, carries on business in the other Contracting State of which the company paying the dividends is a resident through a permanent establishment situated therein, or performs in that other State independent pers-onal services from a fixed base situated therein, and the holding in respect of which the dividends are paid is effectively connected with such permanent establ<- ent or fixed base. In such a case, the provisions of Ar ;\LP 7 (Business Profits) or Article 15 (Independent Personal Sej ...;), as the case may be, shall apply. Article 11 INTEREST t 1. Interest arising in a Contracting State and paid to a resident of the other Contracting State may be taxed in that other State. 2. However, such interest may also be taxed in the Contracting State in which it arises and according to the laws of that State, but if the beneficial owner of the interest is a resident of the other Contracting State, the tax so charged shall not exceed 10 percent of the gross amount of the interest. 3. Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph 2, interest arising in a Contracting State shall be exempt from tax in that State if a) the payer of the interest is the Government of that State, a political subdivision or a local authority thereof; b) the interest is derived and beneficially owned by the Government or an agency of the Government of the other Contracting State (including, in the case of the United States, the Export-Import Bank and the Overseas Private Investment Corporation); or c) the interest is paid to the Federal Reserve Banks of the United States or the Central Bank of Ceylon. 4. The term "interest" as used in this Convention means income from Government securities, bonds, or debentures, whether or not secured by mortgage, and whether or not carrying a right to participate in profits, and debt-claims of every kind as well as a ncome assimilated to income from money lent by the t iaws of the State in which the income arises. 5. The provisions of paragraphs 2 and 3 shall not apply if the' beneficial owner of the interest, being a resident of a Contracting State, carries on business in the other Contracting State in which the interest arises through a permanent establishment situated therein, or performs in that other State independent personal services from a fixed base situated therein, and the debt-claim in respect of which the interest is paid is effectively connected with such permanent establishment or fixed base. In such a case, the provisions of Article 7 (Business Profits) or Article 15 (Independent Personal Services), as the case may be, shall apply. 6. Interest shall be deemed to arise in a Contracting State when the payer is that State itself, a political or administrative subdivision, a local authority or a resident of that State. Where, however, the person paying the interest, whether he is a resident of a Contracting State or not, has in a Contracting State a permanent establishment or a fixed base in connection with which the indebtedness on which the interest is paid was incurred, and such interest is borne by such permanent establishment or fixed base, then such interest shall be deemed to arise in the State in which the permanent establishment or fixed base is situated. 7. Where, by reason of a special relationship between the payer and the beneficial owner or between both of them and some other person, the amount of the interest, having regard to the debt-claim for which it is paid, exceeds the amount which would have been agreed upon by the payer and the beneficial owner in ,the absence of such relationship, the provisions of this Article shall apply only to the last-mentioned amount. In such a case, the excess part of the payments shall remain taxable according t'o the laws of each Contracting State, due regard being had to the other provisions of this Convention. Article 12 ROYALTIES 1. Royalties arising in a Contracting State and paid to a resident of the other Contracting State may be taxed in that other State. 2. Royalties defined in paragraph 4(a) may also be taxed in the Contracting State in which they arise and according to the laws of that State, but if the beneficial owner of such royalties is a resident of the other Contracting State, the tax so charged shall not exceed 10 percent of the gross amount of the royalties. 3. Royalties defined in paragraph 4(b) may also be taxed in the Contracting State in which they arise and according to the laws of that State; however, if the beneficial owner of such royalties JIA is a resident of the other Contracting State, the rate of tax charged in the first-mentioned State shall not exceed 5 percent of the gross amount of the royalties. 4. The term "royalties" as used in this Article means a) payments of any kind received as a consideration for the use of, or the right to use, any copyright of literary, artistic or scientific work, including cinematograph films or films or tapes used for radio or television broadcasting, any patent, trade mark, design or model, plan, secret formula or process, or other like right or property, or for information concerning industrial, commercial, or scientific experience. The term "royalties" also includes gains derived from the alienation of any such right or property which are contingent on the productivity, use, or disposition thereof; b) rentals for the use of tangible personal (moveable) property. 5. The provisions of paragraphs 2 and 3 shall not apply if the beneficial owner of the royalties, being a resident of a Contracting State, carries on business in the other Contracting State in which the royalties arise through a permanent establishment situated therein, or performs in that other State independent personal services from a fixed base situated therein, and the right or property in respect of which the royalties are paid is effectively connected with such permanent establishment or fixed base. In such a case, the provisions of Article 7 (Business Profits) or Article 15 (Independent Personal Services), as the case may be, shall apply. 2. For purposes of paragraph 1 a) the term "immovable property situated in the other Contracting State", where the United States is the other Contracting State, includes a United States real property interest and immovable property referred to in Article 6 (Income from Immovable Property (Real Property)) which is situated in the United States; and >^ the term "immovable property situated in the other -;tracting State", where Sri Lanka is the other Contracting State, includes (i) immovable property referred to in Article 6 (Income from Immovable Property (Real Property)) which is situated in Sri Lanka; (ii) an interest in a company the assests of which consist, directly or indirectly, principally of such immovable property; and (iii) an interest in a partnership, trust, or estate to the extent attributable, directly, or indirectly, to such immovable property. 3. Gains from the alienation of movable property forming part of the business property of a permanent establishment which an enterprise of a Contracting State has in the other Contracting State or of movable property pertaining to a fixed base available to a resident of a Contracting State in the other Contracting State for the purpose of performing independent personal services, including such gains from the alienation of such a permanent establishment (alone or with the whole enterprise) or of such fixed base, may be taxed in that other State. 4. Gains derived by an enterprise of a Contracting State from the alienation of ships or aircraft operated in international traffic or movable property pertaining to the operation of such ships or aircraft shall be taxable only in that State. 5. Gains derived by a resident of a Contracting State from the ..-ion of shares of the stock of a company which is a c£-' it of the other Contracting State representing a t- -icipation of 50 percent or more may be taxed in that other State. 6. Gains described in Article 12 (Royalties) shall be taxable only in accordance with the provisions of Article 12. 7. Gains from the alienation of any property other than that referred to in paragraphs 1 through 6 shall be taxable only in ' the Contracting State of which the alienator is a resident. Article 14 GRANTS 1. Where the Government of Sri Lanka or any agency thereof makes rant or any similar payment for the purposes of investment promotion and economic development in Sri Lanka to a resident of the United States in respect of an enterprise in Sri Lanka which is wholly owned by such resident of the United States, or to a company resident in Sri Lanka which is wholly owned by a resident of the United States, the amount of such grant or payment shall be excluded from the gross income of such resident or company, and shall not increase the earnings and profits of such resident or company, for the purpose of computing United States tax. £6 2. Where the cash grant or payment referred to in paragraph 1 has been made to a resident of the United States, then a) if the resident is a company the amount of such grant or payment shall be treated as a contribution to its capital; b) the resident shall be deemed to have contributed the amount of such grant or payment to the Sri Lanka company designated by the terms of the grant or payment; c) the resident's basis for the stock of the Sri Lanka company shall not be increased by the amount deemed contributed under (b) above; and d) the basis of property of the Sri Lanka company shall be reduced by the amount of the deemed contribution under (b) above in accordance with rules prescribed by the Secretary of the Treasury of the United States. 3. Where the cash grant or payment referred to in paragraph 1 has been made to a company resident in Sri Lanka, then a) the amount of such grant or payment shall be treated as a contribution to its capital; and b) the basis of property of such company shall be reduced by the amount of the contribution to its capital under (a) above in accordance with rules prescribed by the Secretary of the Treasury of the United States. 4. The cash grant or similar payment referred to in paragraph 1 shall not include any amount which in whole or in part, directly or indirectly a) is in consideration for services rendered or to be rendered or for the sale of goods; b) is measured in any manner by the amount of profits or tax liability; or c) is taxed by Sri Lanka. I 5. Notwithstanding the preceeding provisions of this Article, if the cash grant or similar payment referred to in paragraph 1 is made to a resident of the United States, such resident may elect to include such grant or payment in gross income for the purposes of computing United States tax, and in such a case the provisions of this Article shall not apply. Article 15 INDEPENDENT PERSONAL SERVICES '--nine derived by an individual who is a resident of a r -* -; State from the performance of personal services in an independent capacity shall be taxable only in that State unless such services are performed in the other Contracting State and a) the individual is present in that other State for a period or periods aggregating more than 183 days within any 12 month period; or b) the individual has a fixed base regularly available to him in that other State for the purpose of performing his activities, but only so much of the income as is attributable to that fixed base may be taxed in such other State. Article 16 DEPENDENT PERSONAL SERVICES 1. Subject to the provisions of Articles 13 (Artistes and Athletes), 19 (Pensions, Social Security and Child Support Payments), and 20 (Government Service), salaries, wages, ani I SL8- other similar remuneration derived by a resident of a Contracting State in respect of an employment shall be taxable only in that State unless the employment is exercised in the other Contracting State. If the employment is so exercised, such remuneration as is derived therefrom may be taxed in that other State. 2. Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph 1, remuneration dr.- *•• • ry a resident of a Contracting State in respect of an e nt exercised in the other Contracting State shall be taxable only in the first-mentioned State if a) the recipient is present in the other State for a period or periods not exceeding in the aggregate 183 days within any 12 month period; and b) the remuneration is paid by, or on behalf of, an employer who is not a resident of the other State; and c) the remuneration is not borne by a permanent establishment or a fixed base which the employer has in the other State. ;•. 'ithstanding the preceding provisions of this Article, reir.L r -ion derived in respect of an employment as a member of the regular complement of a ship or aircraft operated by an i 1 enterprise of a Contracting State in international traffic may be j taxed only in that State. i I Article 17 DIRECTORS' FEES Directors' fees and other similar payments derived by a resident of a Contracting State for services rendered in the other Contracting State as a member of the board of directors of a company which is a resident of that other State may be taxed in that other State. Article 18 ARTISTES AND ATHLETES 1. Notwithstanding the provisions of Articles 15 (Independent Personal Services) and 16 (Dependent Personal Services), income derived by a resident of a Contracting State as an entertainer, such as a theatre, motion picture, radio, or television artiste, or a musician, or as an athlete, from his personal activities as such exercised in the other Contracting State, may be taxed in that other State, except where the amount of the gross receipts derived by such entertainer or athlete, including expenses reimbursed to him or borne on his behalf, from such activities do not exceed six thousand United States dollars ($6,000) or its f -. in Sri Lanka rupees for the taxable year concerned. -.icome referred to in paragraph 1 shall not be taxed in jthe Contracting State in which the activities are exercised if the visit of the entertainers or athletes to that State is directly or indirectly supported wholly or substantially from the public funds of the Government of either Contracting State. For the purposes of this paragraph, the term "Government" includes a state Government, a political subdivision or a local authority of either Contracting State. 3. Where income in respect of activities exercised by an entertainer or an athlete in his capacity as such accrues not to that entertainer or athlete but to another person, that income may, notwithstanding the provisions of Articles 7 (Business Profits), 15 (Independent Personal Services), and 16 (Dependent Personal Services), be taxed in the Contracting State in which the activities of the entertainer or athlete are exercised. For purposes of the preceding sentence, income of an entertainer or 3o- athlete shall be deemed not to accrue to another person if it is established that neither the entertainer or athlete, nor persons related thereto, participate directly or indirectly in the profits of such other person in any manner, including the receipt of deferred remuneration, bonuses, fees, dividends, partnership distributions, or other distributions. Article 19 PENSIONS, SOCIAL SECURITY AND CHILD SUPPORT PAYMENTS 1. Subject to the provisions of Article 20 (Government Service), 3 and other similar remuneration paid to a resident of a -ting State in consideration of past employment may be taxed only in that State. 2. Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph 1, pensions paid and other payments made under a public scheme which is part of the social security system of a Contracting State shall be taxable only in that State. 3. Periodic payments for the support of a minor child made pursuant to a written separation agreement or a decree of divorce, separate maintenance or compulsory support, paid by a resident of one of the Contracting States to a resident of the other Contracting State shall be exempt from tax in both States. 3i Article 20 GOVERNMENT SERVICE Remuneration, including a pension, paid from the public funds of a Contracting State or a political subdivision or a local authority thereof to a citizen or national of thac State in respect of services rendered in the discharge of functions of a governmental nature shall be taxable only in that State. However, the provisions of Articles 15 (Independent Personal Services), 16 (Dependent Personal Services), or 18 (Artistes and Athletes), as the case may be, shall apply, and the preceding sentence shall not apply, to remuneration paid in respect of services rendered in connection with a business carried on by a Contracting State or a political subdivision or local authority thereof. Article 21 STUDENTS AND TRAINEES 1. Payments which a student, apprentice, or business trainee who is or was immediately before visiting a Contracting State a resident of the other Contracting State and who is present in the first-mentioned State for the purpose of his full-time education or training receives for the purpose of his maintenance, education, or training shall not be taxed in that State provided that such payments arise from sources outside that State. 2. An individual who is a resident of one of the Contracting States at the time he becomes temporarily present in the other Contracting State and who is temporarily present in that other L _ . . — — J'•.Ci.-kw*••[•>: ^w-.. T -f.^.>'v..- ..L', ...j.V>J?/^->"'-»'.'7 '" ' " 4*. State as an employee of, or under contract with, a resident of the first-mentioned State, or as a participant in a program sponsored by the Government of the other State or by any international organization for the primary purpose of a) acquiring technical, professional, or business experience from a person other than that resident of the first-mentioned State or other than a person related to such resident; or studying at a university or other recognized educational institution in that other State, shall be exempt from tax by that other State for a period not exceeding one year with respect to his income from personal services in an aggregate amount not in excess of six thousand United States dollars ($6,000) or its equivalent in Sri Lanka rupees. Article 22 OTHER INCOME 1. Items of income of a resident of a Contracting State, , wherever arising, not dealt with in the foregoing Articles of this Convention shall be taxable only in that State. 2. Notwithstanding paragraph 1, items of income of a resident of a Contracting State not dealt with in the foregoing Articles of this Convention and arising in the other Contracting State may be taxed in that other State. 33. Article 23 LIMITATION ON BENEFITS 1. A person (other than an individual) which is a resident of one of the Contracting States shall not be entitled under this Convention to relief from taxation in the other Contracting State pursuant to Articles 10 (Dividends), 11 (Interest), and 12 (Royalties) unless: a) more than 50 percent of the beneficial interest in such person (or in the case of a company, more than 50 percent of the number of shares of each class of the company's shares) is owned, directly or indirectly, by any combination of one or more of: (i) individuals who are residents of United States; > (ii) citizens of the United States; (iii) individuals who are residents of Sri Lanka; b) (iv) companies as described in subparagraph (b); and (v) the Contracting States; it is a company in whose principal class of shares there is substantial and regular trading on a recognized stock exchange; or c) the establishment, acquisition and maintenance of such person and the conduct of its operations did not have as one of its principal purposes the purpose of obtaining benefits under the convention. 2. *•-z the purposes of subparagraph 1(b), the term "a recognized stock exchange" means a) the NASDAQ system owned by the National Association of Securities Dealers, Inc. and any stock exchange registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission as a national securities exchange for the purposes of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934; Article 23 LIMITATION ON BENEFITS 1. A person (other than an individual) which is a resident of one of t v e Contracting States shall not be entitled under this Co to relief from taxation in the other Contracting State p. :>t to Articles 10 (Dividends), 11 (Interest), and 12 (Royalties) unless: a) more than 50 percent of the beneficial interest in such person (or in the case of a company, more than 50 percent of the number of shares of each class of the company's shares) is owned, directly or indirectly, by any combination of one or more of: (i) individuals who are residents of United States; (ii) citizens of the United States; (iii) individuals who are residents of Sri Lanka; b) (iv) companies as described in subparagraph (b); and (v) the Contracting States; it is a company in whose principal class of shares there is substantial and regular trading on a recognized stock exchange; or c) the establishment, acquisition and maintenance of such person and the conduct of its operations did not have as one of its principal purposes the purpose of obtaining benefits under the convention. 2. For the purposes of subparagraph 1(b), the term "a recognized stock exchange" means a) the NASDAQ system owned by the National Association of Securities Dealers, Inc. and any stock exchange registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission as a national securities exchange for the purposes of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934; ^^hWsm^y^^^^f^-^^^ Jjr b) the Colombo Brokers Association of Sri Lanka; and c) any other stock exchange agreed upon by the competent authorities of the Contracting States. Article 24 RELIEF FROM DOUBLE TAXATION 1. In the case of the United States, double taxation shall be avo: follows: In accordance with the provisions and subject tc imitations of the law of the United States (as it may be amended from time to time without changing the general principle hereof), the United States shall allow to a resident or citizen of the United States as a credit against the United States tax the appropriate amount of tax paid to Sri Lanka; and, in the case of a United States company owning at least 10 percent of the voting sto- f a company which is a resident of Sri Lanka from which it receives dividends in any taxable year, the United States shall allow credit for the appropriate amount of tax paid to Sri Lanka by that company with respect to the profits out of which such dividends are paid. Such appropriate amount shall be based upon the amount of tax paid to Sri Lanka, but the credit shall not exceed the limitations (for the purpose of limiting the credit to the United States tax on income from sources outside of the United States) provided by United States law for the taxable year. For purposes of applying the United States credit in relation to tax paid to Sri Lanka, the taxes referred to in paragraphs 2(a) and 3 of Article 2 (Taxes Covered) shall be considered to be income taxes. 2. For purposes of the credit allowed by the United States, any taxes paid in Sri Lanka by a company which is a resident of Sri Lanka in respect of a distribution or remittance of dividends shall be regarded as a tax on the shareholder. 3. In the case of Sri Lanka, double taxation shall be avoided as follows: In accordance with the provisions and subject to the limitations of the law of Sri Lanka (as it may be amended from time to time without changing the general principle hereof), Sri Lanka shall allow to a resident of Sri Lanka as a credit against the Sri Lanka tax the appropriate amount of tax paid to the United States; and in the case of a Sri Lanka company owning at least 10 percent of the voting stock of a company which is a resident of the United States from which it receives dividends in any taxable year, Sri Lanka shall allow credit for the appropriate amount qf , tax paid to the United States by that company with respect to the profits out of which such dividends are paid. Such appropriate amount shall be based upon the amount of tax paid to the United States, but the credit shall not exceed the limitations (for the purpose of limiting the credit to the Sri Lanka tax on income from sources outside of Sri Lanka) provided by Sri Lanka law for the taxable year. For purposes of applying the Sri Lanka credit in relation to tax paid to the United States, the taxes referred to in paragraphs 2(b) and 3 of Article 2 (Taxes Covered) shall be considered to be income taxes. 4. For the purposes of allowing relief for double taxation pursuant to this Article, income and profits shall be deemed to arise exclusively as follows a) income and profits derived by a resident of a Contracting State which may be taxed in the other Contracting State in accordance with this Convention 57 (other than solely by reason of citizenship in accordance with paragaraph 3 of Article 1 (Personal Scope)) shall be deemed to arise in that other State; b) income and profits derived by a resident of a Contracting State which may not be taxed in the other Contracting State in accordance with this Convention shall be deemed to arise in the first-mentioned State. Article 25 NON-DISCRIMINATION 1. Nationals of a Contracting State shall not be subject in the other Contracting State to any taxation or any requirement connected therewith which is other or more burdensome than the taxation and connected requirements to which nationals of that other State in the same circumstances are or may be subjected. This provision shall apply to persons who are not residents of one or both of the Contracting States. However, for the purposes of United States tax, a United States national who is not a resident of the United States and a Sri Lanka national who is not a resident of the United States are not in the same circumstances. 2. The taxation on a permanent establishment which an enterprise of a Contracting State has in the other Contracting State shall not be less favorably levied in that other State than the taxation levied on enterprises of that other State carrying on the same activities. This provision shall not be construed as obliging a Contracting State to grant to residents of the other Contracting State any personal allowances, reliefs, and --^~-1 T • • » y » r " • » i' « ** reductions for taxation purposes on account of civil status or family responsibilities which it grants to its own residents. Nothing in this paragraph shall be construed as affecting the right of Sri Lanka to impose on a permanent establishment of an enterprise of the United States the tax referred to in subsection (1)(b) of Section 34 of the Inland Revenue Act, No. 28 of 1979, as amended, except that such tax may not exceed 15 percent of remittances, as defined in such Section. 3. Except where the provisions of paragraph 1 of Article 9 (Associated Enterprises), paragraph 7 of Article 11 (Interest), and paragraph 7 of Article 12 (Royalties) apply, interest, rr and other disbursements paid by a resident of a C< State to a resident of the other Contracting State shall, for the purposes of determining the taxable profits of the first-mentioned resident, be deductible under the same conditions as if they had been paid to a resident of the first-mentioned State. Similarly, any debts of a resident of a Contracting State to a resident of the other Contracting State shall, for the purposes of determining the taxable capital of the firstmentioned resident, be deductible under the same conditions as if they had been contracted to a resident of the first-mentioned State. 4. Enterprises of a Contracting State, the capital of which is wholly or partly owned or controlled, directly or indirectly, by one or more residents of the other Contracting State, shall not be sub•)€-.. .t-3 in the first-mentioned State to any taxation or any requirement connected therewith which is other or more burdensome than the taxation and connected requirements to which other similar enterprises of the first-mentioned State are or may be subjected. 5. The provisions of this Article shall, notwithstanding the provisions of Article 2 (Taxes Covered), apply a) in relation to the United States, to taxes of every kind imposed at the national level; and b) in relation to Sri Lanka, to all taxes administered by the Commissioner-General of Inland Revenue. Article 26 MUTUAL AGREEMENT PROCEDURE 1. Where a person considers that the actions of one or both of the Contracting States result or will result for him in taxatiort not in accordance with the provisions of this Convention, he may, irrespective of the remedies provided by the domestic law of those States, present his case to the competent authority of the Contracting State of which he is a resident or national. 2. The competent authority shall endeavor, if the objection appears to it to be justified and if it is not itself able to • arrive at a satisfactory solution, to resolve the case by mutual agreement with the competent authority of the other Contracting State, with a view to the avoidance of taxation which is not in accordance with the Convention. Any agreement reached shall be implemented notwithstanding any time limits or other procedural limitations in the domestic law of the Contracting States, provided that the competent authority of the other Contracting State has received notification that such a case exists within three years of the first notification to such person of an action which results or will result in taxation not in accordance with the provisions of this Convention. J I M P * . U IPJBH L.I ftfr-frc--:---~f - - - 3. HI i - The competent authorities of the Contracting States shall endeavor to resolve by mutual agreement any difficulties or doubts arising as to the interpretation or application of the Convention. In particular the competent authorities of the Contracting States may agree a) to the same attribution of income, deductions, credits, or allowances of an enterprise of a Contracting State to its permanent establishment situated in the other Contracting State; to the same allocation of income, deductions, credits, or allowances between persons; c) to the same characterization of particular items of income; d) to the same application of source rules with respect to particular items of income; e) to a common meaning of a term; f) to increases in any specific amounts referred to in the Convention to reflect economic or monetary developments; and g) to the application of the provisions of domestic law regarding penalties, fines, and interest in a manner consistent with the purposes of the Convention. They may also consult together for the elimination of double taxation in cases not provided for in the Convention. 4. The competent authorities of the Contracting States may communicate with each other directly for the purpose of reaching an agreement in the sense of the preceding paragraphs. I w Article 27 EXCHANGE OF INFORMATION AND ADMINISTRATIVE ASSISTANCE 1. The competent authorities of the Contracting States shall exchange such information as is necessary for carrying out the provisions of this Convention or of the domestic laws of the Contracting States concerning taxes covered by the Convention insofar as the taxation thereunder is not contrary to the Convention, as well as to prevent fiscal evasion. The exchange of information is not restricted by Article 1 (Personal Scope). Any information received by a Contracting State shall be treated •as secret in the same manner as information obtained under the domestic laws of that State and shall be disclosed only to persons or authorities (including courts and administrative , bodies) involved in the assessment, collection, or administration of, the enforcement or prosecution in respect of, or the determination of appeals in relation to, the taxes covered by the Convention. Such persons or authorities shall use the information only for such purposes. They may disclose the information in public court proceedings or in judicial decisions. 2. In no case shall the provisions of paragraph 1 be construed so as to impose on a Contracting State the obligation a) to carry out administrative measures at variance with the laws and administrative practice of that or of the other Contracting State; b) to supply information which is not obtainable under the laws or in the normal course of the administration of that or of the other Contracting State; c) to supply information which would disclose any trade, business, industrial, commercial, or professional secret or trade process, or information the disclosure of which would be contrary to public policy (ordre public). 4-Z 3. If information is requested by a Contracting State in accordance with this Article, the other Contracting State shall obtain the information to which the request relates in the same manner and to the same extent as if the tax of the firstmentioned State were the tax of that other State and were being imposed by that other State. com If specifically requested by the authority of a Contracting State, the competent authority of the other Contracting State shall provide information under this Article in the form of depositions of witnesses and authenticated copies of unedited original documents (including books, papers, statements, records, accounts, and writings), to the same extent such depositions and documents can be obtained under the laws and administrative practices of that r State with respect to its own taxes. -h of the Contracting States shall endeavor to collect on behalf of the other Contracting State such amounts as may be necessary to ensure that relief granted by the Convention from taxation imposed by that other State does not enur» to the benefit of persons not entitled thereto. 5. Paragraph 4 of this Article shall not impose upon either 'of the Contracting States the obligation to carry out administrative measures which are of a different nature from those used in the collection of its own taxes, or which would be contrary to its sovereignty, security, or public policy. 6. For the purposes of this Article, the Convention shall, notwithstanding the provisions of Article 2 (Taxes Covered), apply a) in relation to the United States, to taxes of every kind imposed at the national level; and b) in relation to Sri Lanka, to all taxes administered by the Commissioner-General of Inland Revenue. "' m; II• Tim—w^mmmmto \immmm%'» i a i i t — M i l •I "x ~^ - i -^ w - - ' ' — *" — te Article 28 DIPLOMATIC AGENTS AND CONSULAR OFFICERS Nothing in this Convention shaj.1 affect the fiscal privileges of diplomatic agents or consular officers under the general rules of international law or under the provisions of special agreements. Article 29 ENTRY INTO FORCE 1. •"'- - Convention shall be subject to ratification in e with the applicable procedures of each Contracting ' c-.nd instruments of ratification shall be exchanged at Washington as soon as possible. 2. The Convention shall enter into force upon the exchange of instruments of ratification and its provisions shall have effect a) in respect of taxes withheld at source, for amounts paid or credited on.or after the first day of the second • month next following the date on which the Convention enters into force; b) in respect of other taxes, for taxable periods beginning on or after the first day of January of the year in which the Convention enters into force. Article 30 TERMINATION 1. This Convention shall remain in force until terminated by a Contracting State. Either Contracting State may terminate the Convention at any time after 5 years from the date on which the Convention enters into force, provided that at least 6 months' prior notice of termination has been given through diplomatic channels. In such event, the Convention shall cease to have effect a) in respect of taxes withheld at source, for amounts paid or credited on or after the first day of January next following the expiration of the 6 months' period; b) in respect of other taxes, for taxable periods inning on or after the first day of January next following the expiration of the 6 months' period. DONE at Colombo in duplicate, in the English and Sinhala languages, the two texts having equal -authenticity, this day of "A. - . -/. /-/ 19•?•-'." FOR THE UNITED STATES FOR THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIALIST OF AMERICA: REPUBLIC OF SRI LANKA: ; \r r /••• \ ' federal financing bank WASHINGTON, D.C. 20220 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE EW March 14, 1985 FEDERAL FINANCING BANK ACTIVITY Francis X. Cavanaugh, Secretary, Federal Financing Bank (FFB), announced the following activity for the month of January 1985. FFB holdings of obligations issued, sold or guaranteed by other Federal agencies totaled $146.0 billion on January 31, 1985, posting an increase of $0.8 billion from the level on December 31, 1984. This net change was the result of increases in holdings of agency assets of $0.1 billion, agency debt issues of $0.1 billion and holdings of agencyguaranteed debt of $0.6 billion. FFB made 281 disbursements during January. Attached to this release are tables presenting FFB January loan activity, new FFB commitments to lend during January and FFB holdings as of January 31, 1985. # 0 # B-47 FEDERAL FINANCING BANK Page 2 of 8 JANUARY 1985 ACTIVITY BORROWER AMOUNT OF ADVANCE DATE FINAL MATURITY INTEREST RATE (semiannual) INTEREST RATE (other than semi-annual) ON-BUDGET AGENCY DEBT TENNESSEE VALLEY AUTHORITY Advance Advance Advance Advance Advance Advance Advance #424 #425 #426 #427 #428 #429 #430 Power Bond Series 1985 A 1/2 1/7 1/15 1/17 1/21 1/24 1/31 $ 330,000,000.00 425,000,000.00 305,000,000.00 435,000,000.00 310,000,000.00 415,000,000.00 185,000,000.00 1/15/85 1/17/85 1/21/85 1/24/85 2/1/85 2/4/85 2/8/85 8.245% 8.205% 8.075% 8.125% 8.125% 8.025% 8.225% 1/17 100,000,000.00 1/31/15 11.695% 5,000,000.00 20,000,000.00 15,000,000.00 15,000,000.00 15,000,000.00 25,000,000.00 2,500,000.00 15,000,000.00 25,000,000.00 1,000,000.00 7,945,000.00 350,000.00 4/3/85 4/3/85 4/8/85 4/9/85 2/8/85 4/12/85 4/12/85 4/15/85 4/16/85 4/18/85 4/29/85 3/18/85 8.225% 8.225% 8.245% 8.185% 8.185% 8.135% 8.135% 8.165% 8.115% 8.125% 8.215% 8.225% 1/1/95 1/1/00 11.205% 11.295% 9/15/92 11/30/12 4/30/11 4/15/14 4/30/11 5/10/92 3/20/93 6/30/96 6/15/91 9/15/92 7/10/94 6/10/96 11.655% 11.775% 11.815% 11.865% 11.925% 11.685% 9.675% 11.201% 11.335% 11.695% 11.615% 11.537% NATIONAL CREDIT UNION ADMINISTRATION Central Liquidity Facility +Note +Note +Note +Note +Note +Note +Note +Note Note Note +Note Note #288 #289 #290 #291 #292 #293 #294 #295 #296 #297 #298 #299 1/3 1/3 V7 1/9 1/9 1/11 1/11 1/14 1/16 1/18 1/30 1/31 OFF-BUDGET AGENCY DEBT UNITED STATES RAILWAY ASSOCIATION +Note #33 1/3 73,793,686.38 4/1/85 8.225% AGENCY ASSETS FARMERS HOME ADMINISTRATION Certificates of Beneficial Ownership 1/31 500,000,000.00 1/1/90 10.805% 11.097% ann. 1/31 50,000,000.00 1/31 140,000,000.00 GOVERNMENT - GUARANTEED LOANS DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE Foreign Military Sales Spain 6 Somalia 4 Greece 14 Egypt 6 Greece 14 Indonesia 9 Indonesia 10 Korea 19 Spain 5 Spain 6 Thailand 10 El Salvador 7 •rollover 1/2 1/2 1/2 1/4 1/4 1/4 1/4 1/4 1/4 1/4 1/8 1/9 110,208.00 53,258.25 770,072.53 52,267.12 169,877.00 903,798.80 2,549,944.10 1,511,596.00 1,373,395.93 36,277.50 10,000.00 1,399,194.93 11.519% ann. 11.614% ann. FEDERAL FINANCING BANK JANUARY 1985 ACTIVITY BORROWER DATE AMOUNT OF ADVANCE FINAL MATURITY INTEREST RATE (semiannual ) INTEREST RATE (other than sani-annual) Foreign Military Sales (Cont'd) Philippines 10 Egypt 6 Greece 15 Morocco 11 Morocco 12 Philippines 10 Turkey 13 Tunisia 16 Turkey"17 Morocco 13 Greece 15 Egypt 6 Somalia 4 Egypt 6 Greece 14 Jordan 10 Jordan 11 Oman 6 El Salvador 7 Peru 10 Liberia 10 Egypt 6 Morocco 13 El Salvador 7 Thailand 9 Thailand 10 Thailand 11 Turkey 13 Jordan 12 Jordan 11 Egypt 6 1/9 1/11 1/11 1/11 1/11 1/11 1/11 1/14 1/24 1/15 1/16 1/17 1/17 1/18 1/18 1/18 1/18 1/18 1/23 1/23 1/23 1/24 1/24 1/29 1/29 1/29 1/29 1/29 1/31 1/31 1/31 $ 2,921,480.78 5,068,501.29 299,100.36 115,110.96 419,992.00 242,066.40 395,033.66 773,165.98 125,000.00 7,373,871.12 322,348.06 1,899,985.85 17,556.62 1,269,257.85 8,240,903.74 24,786.65 376,026.15 54,577.07 354,872.55 89§,065.00 90,483.00 5,274,000.00 1,126,317.30 720,875.00 711,827.59 736,619.41 1,767,287.00 489,016.44 1,216,143.37 629,100.00 18,344,779.38 7/15/92 10.781% 4/15/14 11.745% 6/15/12 , 11.625% 9/8/95 11.615% 9/21/95 . 11.605% 7/15/92 10.835% 3/24/12 11.795% 2/4/96 11.705% 11/30/13 11.675% 5/31/96 11.251% 6/15/12 11.648% 4/15/14 11.805% 11/30/12 11.825% 4/30/11 11.775% 4/30/11 11.826% 3/10/92 9.385% 11/15/92 9.595% 5/25/91 11.385% 6/10/96 11.365% 4/10/96 11.246% 5/15/95 11.375% 4/15/14 11.514% 5/31/96 11.020% 6/10/96 11.216% 9/15/13 11.205% 7/10/94 11.225% 9/10/95 10.935% 3/24/12 11.405% 2/5/95 10.735% 11/15/92 9.690% 4/15/14 11.328% DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY Gsothermal Loan Guarantees NPN Partnership 1/2 650,000.00 4/1/85 8.370% Synthetic Fuels - Non-Nuclear Act Great Plains Gasification Assoc. #128a* #128b* #128c* #128d #129 #130 1/2 1/2 1/2 1/2 1/14 1/31 134,500,000.00 69,500,000.00 230,000,000.00 76,000,000.00 6,000,000.00 8,000,000.00 4/1/85 7/1/85 10/1/85 1/2/86 1/2/86 1/2/86 8.885% 9.425% 9.765% 10.055% 9.195% 9.785% 1,171,600.00 4,500,000.00 3,015,000.00 584,349.00 50,000.00 500,000.00 773,600.00 250,000.00 290,667.00 300,000.00 500,000.00 1/2/90 1/3/97 1/4/95 7/15/85 8/1/85 2/15/86 8/15/86 12/1/85 8/1/85 1/15/88 1/15/90 10.685% 11.682% 11.489% 8.795% 8.845% 9.395% 9.855% 9.095% 8.635% 10.715% 10.777% DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING & URBAN DEVELOPMENT Community Development 'Lawrence, MA Flint, MI Roanoke, VA Dade County, FL Long Beach, CA St. Louis, MO Santa Ana, CA St. Petersburg, FL Provo, UT Akron, OH *St. Louis, MO *maturity extension 1/2 1/3 1/4 1/4 1/4 1/4 1/11 1/11 1/14 1/15 1/15 10.970% 12.023% 11.819% 8.817% 8.897% 9.616% 10.098% 9.275% 8.668% 11.002% 11.067% ann ann ann ann ann ann ann ann ann ann ann Page 4 of 8 FEDERAL FINANCING BANK JANUARY 1985 ACTIVITY BORROWER DATE AMOUNT OF ADVANCE 1/18 1/24 1/24 1/29 1/30 1/30 $ 649,675.00' 665,286.00 288,260.00 39,000.00 125,000.00 100,000.00 FINAL MATURITY INTEREST RATE (semiannual) INTEREST RATE (other than semi-annual) Community Development (Cont'd) Detroit, MI Dade County, FL Tacoma, WA Somerville, MA Mayaguez, PR Long Beach, CA 9/1/85 7/15/85 10/15/03 , 5/1/85 8/1/85 • 8/1/85 8.725% 8.435% 11.419% 8.125% 8.605% 8.605% 8.796% ann 11.745% anr. 8.609% ann 8.609% ann DEPARTMENT OF THE NAVY Ship Lease Financing Hauge Kocak Baugh Obregon Cbregon 1/15 1/15 1/15 1/15 1/15 127,806,502.52 106,462,912.85 124,202,449.12 105,816,000.00 57,000,000.00 4/15/85 4/15/85 4/15/85 4/15/85 2/15/85 8.105% 8.105% 8.105% 8.105% 8.075% 1/29 216,003.63 10/1/92 10.890% Defense Production Act Gila River Indian Community 10.746% qtr. RURAL ELECTRIFICATION ADMINISTRATION New Hampshire Electric #270 1/7 *San Miguel Electric #110 •Central Electric #128 *wabash Valley Power #104 *Wabash Valley Power #206 •Wolverine Power #101 •Wolverine Power #100 Deseret G&T #211 •Brookville Telephone #53 •Wolverine Power #183 •Hoosier Energy #107 •Hoosier Energy #202 N.E. Texas Electric #280 •Basin Electric #137 Golden Valley Electric #81 •New Hampshire Electric #192 •Wabash Valley Power #252 •Western Farmers Electric #133 •western Farmers Electric #220 •Kansas Electric #282 •East Kentucky Power #140 •Western Illinois Power #160 •Cajun Electric #76 •Colorado Ute Electric #71 •Colorado Ute Electric #96 •Ponderosa Telephone #35 •Cooperative Power #130 •Wolverine Power #183 •Soyland Power #165 Sitka Telephone #213 Oglethorpe Power #246 Allegheny Electric #255 •Sitka Telephone #213 •Colorado Ute Electric #96 United Power #145 United Power #159 •San Miguel Electric #110 •Colorado Ute Electric #168 •Basin Electric 4137 •Plains Electric #158 •maturity extension 1,997,000.00 3/31/87 1/7 6,218,000.00 1/8 1,341,000.00 1/10 8,872,000.00 1/10 623,000.00 1/10 1,263,000.00 1/10 1,350,000.00 1/14 1,232,000.00 1/14 65,000.00 1/14 583,000.00 1/14 7,224,000.00 1/14 4,776,000.00 1/15 2,522,000.00 1/17 20,000,000.00 1/16 -700,000.00 1/17 902,000.00 1/17 1,352,000.00 1/17 725,000.00 1/17 2,700,000.00 1/17 1,550,000.00 1/17 5,900,000.00 1/18 123,000.00 1/22 50,000,000.00 1/22 1,850,000.00 1/22 708,000.00 1/22 99,000.00 1/22 6,600,000.00 1/22 232,000.00 1/224,135,000.00 1/22 455,000.00 1/24 24,800,000.00 1/24 20,697,000.00 1/24 4,307,093.00 1/24 230,000.00 1/25 4,302,000.00 1/25 1,798,000.00 1/25 9,005,000.00 1/28 32,119.00 1/28 20,000,000.00 1/28 10,000,000.00 10.385% 1/7/88 10.745% 1/8/87 10.135% 1/12/87 10.075% 1/12/87 10.075% 1/12/87 10.075% 3/31/87 10.267% 1/14/87 10.205% 12/31/17 11.811% 1/13/88 10.725% 1/2/18 11.811% 1/2/18 11.811% 3/31/87 10.366% 1/19/87 10.115% 3/31/87 10.258% 1/19/87 10.115% 1/19/87 10.115% 10.,145% 1/27/87 10.,145% 1/27/87 3/31/87 10.250% 1/20/87 10.115% 12/31/19 11.743% 1/22/87 10.045% 1/22/87 10.045% 1/22/87 10.045% 1/22/87 10.045% 1/22/87 10.045% 1/22/88 10.505% 12/31/15 11.678% 1/22/87 10.045% 1/26/87 9.965% 3/31/87 10.085% 1/26/87 9.965% 1/26/87 9.965% 1/26/87 9.875% 1/26/87 9.875% 2/5/87 9.395% 9.885% 1/28/87 9.885% 1/28/87 9.915% 1/29/87 10.254% qtr. 10.604% qtr 10.010% qtr. 9.951% qtr. 9.951% qtr. 9.951% qtr. 10.139% qtr. 10.078% qtr. 11.642% qtr. 10.585% qtr. 11.642% qtr. 11.642% qtr. 10.235% qtr. 9.990% qtr. 10.130% qtr. 9.990% qtr. 9.990% qtr. 10.020% qtr. 10.020% qtr. 10.122% qtr. 9.990% qtr. 11.576% qtr. 9.922% qtr. 9.922% qtr. 9.922% qtr. 9.922% qtr. 9.922% qtr. 10.371% qtr. 11.512% qtr. 9.922% qtr. 9.844% qtr. 9.961% qtr. 9.844% qtr. 9.R44% qtr. 9.756% qtr. 9.756% qtr. 9.776% qtr. 9.766% qtr. 9.766% qtr. 9.795% qtr. FEDERAL FINANCING BANK JANUARY 1985 ACTIVITY BORROWER DATE AMOUNT OF ADVANCE FINAL MATURITY INTEREST RATE (semiannual) INTEREST RATE (other than semi-annual) RURAL ELECTRIFICATION ADMINISTRATION (Cont'd) •Colorado Ute Electric #203 1/29 $ 1,154,000.09 •San Miguel Electric #110 1/30 8,152,000.00 •Hoosier Energy #107 1/30 30,000,000.00 North Carolina Electric #268 1/30 5,461,000.00 •Wolverine Power #182 1/30 459,000.00 •Upper Missouri G&T #172 1/30 1,870,000.00 •Basin Electric #137 1/31 35,000,000.00 •Basin.Electric #232 1/31 228,000.00 Plains Electric G&T #300 1/31 5,751,000.00 Brazos Electric #230 1/31 4,130,000.00 •Allegheny Electric #93 1/31 3,831,000.00 Kansas Electric #266 . 1/31 1,788,000.00 •Allegheny Electric #93 1/31 2,867,000.00 •Allegheny Electric #93 1/31 5,432,000.00 •Allegheny Electric #93 1/31 1,443,000.00 •Allegheny Electric #175 1/31 7,042,000.00 •United Power #25 1/31 33,500.00 •Tex-La Electric #208 1/31 600,000.00 •Allegheny Electric #93 1/31 1,443,000.00 Allegheny Electric #175 1/31 1,708,000.00 1/29/87 1/28/88 12/31/14 3/31/87 ' 2/1/88 • 1/30/87 2/2/87 2/2/87 3/31/87 2/2/87 3/31/87 3/31/87 3/31/87 3/31/87 3/31/87 1/31/88 12/31/12 2/2/87 3/31/87 1/12/88 9.915% 10.405% 11.339% 10.035% 10.415% 9.925% 9.885% 9.885% 10.015% 9.885% 10.012% 10.035% 10.012% 10.012% 10.012% 10.405% 11.312% 9.885% 10.012% 10.028% SMALL BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION State & Local Development Company Debentures Texas Panhandle Reg. Dev. Corp. 1/9 Opportunities Minnesota Inc. 1/9 Albany Local Dev. Corp. 1/9 Ark-Tex Regional Dev. Co., Inc. 1/9 Houston-Galveston Area Dev. Corpl/9 Texas Panhandle Reg. Dev. Corp. 1/9 S. Cen. Illionis Reg. P&D Oanti. 1/9 Forward Development Corp. 1/9 Fulton County Cert. Dev. Corp. 1/9 Illinois Sm. Bus. Growth Corp. 1/9 Lake County Sn. Bus. 503 Corp. 1/9 San Diego County Loc. Dev. Corp.1/9 Georgia Mountains Reg. E.D.C 1/9 Fayetteville Progress, Inc. 1/9 Hudson Development Corp. 1/9 Evergreen Community Dev. Assoc. 1/9 Caprock Local Development Corp. 1/9 Columbus Countywide Dev. Corp. 1/9 Metro Sm. Bus. Assistance Corp. 1/9 Empire State CDC 1/9 Commonwealth Sm. Bus. Dev. Corp.1/9 Milwaukee Economic Dev. Corp. 1/9 Verd-Ark-Ca Development Corp. 1/9 The Brattleboro Dev. Or. Corp. 1/9 Area Investment & Dev. Corp. 1/9 Pioneer County Dev., Inc. ' 1/9 Buffalo Trace Area Dev Dis, Inc 1/9 Four Rivers Dev., Inc. 1/9 CDC Business Dev. Corp. 1/9 The Bus. Dev. Corp. of Nebraska 1/9 Columbus Countywide Dev. Corp. 1/9 Houston-Galveston Area L.D.C. 1/9 Long Island Development Corp. 1/9 Greater Spokane Business Dev. 1/9 The Southern Dev. Council, Inc. 1/9 The St. Louis County L.D.C. 1/9 Albany Local Development Corp. 1/9 Los Angeles LDC, Inc. 1/9 The St. Louis County L.D.C. 1/9 The St. Louis County L.D.C. 1/9 •maturity extension 32,000.00 51,000.00 59,000.00 60,000.00 63,000.00 67,000.00 78,000.00 83,000.00 87,000.00 107,000.00 109,000.00 ,124,000.00 126,000.00 ' 126,000.00 143,000.00 146,000.00 152,000.00 154,000.00 168,000.00 170,000.00 189,000.00 260,000.00 342,000.00 364,000.00 26,000.00 35,000.00 45,000.00 57,000.00 59,000.00 70,000.00 84,000.00 86,000.00 92,000.00 97,000.00 98,000.00 99,000.00 99,000.00 103,000.00 104,000.00 105,000.00 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/00 i/i/od 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/00 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.599% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 9.795% qtr. 10.273% qtr. 11.183% qtr. 9.912% qtr. 10.283% qtr. 9.805% qtr. 9.766% qtr. 9.766% qtr. 9.893% qtr. 9.766% qtr. 9.890% qtr. 9.912% qtr. 9.890% qtr. 9.890% qtr. 9.890% qtr. 10.273% qtr. 11.156% qtr. 9.766% qtr. 9.890% qtr. 9.905% qtr. Page 6 of 8 FEDERAL FINANCING BANK JANUARY 1985 ACTIVITY BORROWER DATE AMOUNT OF ADVANCE FINAL MATURITY INTEREST INTEREST RATE RATE (semi(other than semi-annual) annual) State & Local Development Company Debentures (Cont'd) Long Island Development Corp. 1/9 Coon Rapids Development Co. 1/9 Central Ozarks Development, Inc.1/9 Ocean State Bus. Dev. Auth., Incl/9 Brockton Reg. Econ. Dev. Corp. 1/9 Alabama Community Dev. Corp. 1/9 McPherson County S.B.D. Assoc. 1/9 Cen. Ozarks Development, Inc. 1/9 N. Regional Planning Com., Inc. 1/9 Evergreen Community Dev. Assoc. 1/9 Econ. Dev. Fnd. of Sacramento 1/9 Gr. Kenosha Development Corp. 1/9 Bay Area Employment Dev. Co. 1/9 Nevada State Dev. Corp. 1/9 Cen. Mississippi Dev. Co. 1/9 E.D.C. of. Jefferson County, MO 1/9 San Diego County L.D.C. 1/9 San Diego County L.D.C. 1/9 Evergreen Community Dev. Assoc. 1/9 Econ. Dev. Fnd. of Sacramento 1/9 Delaware Development Corp. 1/9 Metropolitan Growth & Dev. Corp.1/9 Vermont 503 Corporation 1/9 Bus. Dev. Corp. of Nebraska 1/9 Washington Community Dev. Corp. 1/9 SW Illinois Areawide B.D.F. Corpl/9 N. Community Investment Corp. 1/9 San Diego County L.D.C. 1/9 SCEDD Development Company 1/9 Greater Spokane Bus. Dev. Assoc.1/9 Coastal Enterprises, Inc. 1/9 Ocean State Bus. Dev. Auth., Incl/9 Econ. Dev. Fnd. of Sacramento 1/9 Clay County Development Corp. 1/9 The St. Louis Local Dev. Co. 1/9 Union County Ec. Dev. Corp. 1/9 1/9 Jacksonville L.D.C, Inc. 1/9 New Castle Econ. Dev. Corp. 1/9 San Diego County L.D.C. McPherson County S.B.D. Assoc. 1/9 Saint Paul 503 Development Co. 1/9 Clark County Development Corp. 1/9 1/9 Region Nine Development Corp. 1/9 River East Progress, Inc. Brockton Reg. Econ. Dev. Corp. 1/9 1/9 Opportunities Minnesota, Inc. Texas Panhandle Reg. Dev. Corp. 1/9 N. Virginia Local Dev. Co.,Inc .1/9 Wilmington Industrial Dev., Inc.1/9 1/9 Bay Colony Development Corp. 1/9 Alabama Community Dev. Corp. 1/9 River East Progress, Inc. 1/9 Union County Econ. Dev. Corp. Evergreen Community Dev. Assoc 1/9 Charlotte Certified Dev. Corp. 1/9 Bay Area Business Dev. Company 1/9 1/9 San Diego County L.D.C. 1/9 MSP 503 Development Corp. Evergreen Community Dev. Assoc 1/9 1/9 San Diego County L.D.C. Wilmington Indus. Dev. Incorp. 1/9 1/9 Delaware Development Corp. 1/9 Bay Area Business Dev. Co. 1/9 Los Medanos Fund 112,000.00 115,000.00 115,000.00 123,000.00 123,000.00 125,000.00 127,000.00 137,000.00 147,000.00 155,000.00 157,000.00 158,000.00 168,000.00 185,000.00 195,000.00 204,000.00 254,000.00 263,000.00 273,000.00 310,000.00 350,000.00 361,000.00 381,000.00 400,000.00 421,000.00 428,000.00 429,000.00 439,000.00 441,000.00 444,000.00 450,000.00 457,000.00 500,000.00 38,000.00 42,000.00 56,000.00 68,000.00 75,000.00 ' 88,000.00 105,000.00 109,000.00 118,000.00 122,000.00 126,000.00 126,000.00 130,000.00 133,000.00 137,000.00 139,000.00 151,000.00 173,000.00 178,000.00 186,000.00 202,000.00 205,000.00 210,000.00 217,000.00 222,000.00 254,000.00 258,000.00 265,000.00 277,000.00 279,000.00 305,000.00 Vl/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 • 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/05 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 1/1/10 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.723% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 11.760% 1^.760% 11.760% 11.760% Page 7 of 8 FEDERAL FINANCING BANK JANUARY 1985 ACTIVITY DATE BORROWER AMOUNT OF ADVANCE FINAL MATURITY INTEREST INTEREST RATE RATE (semi(other than annual) semi-annual) State & Local Development Company Debentures (Cont'd) , Gr. Eastern Oregon Dev. Corp. 1/9 Columbus Countywide Dev. Corp. 1/9 Bay Area Employment Dev. Co. 1/9 Tulsa Economic Development Corp.1/9 The St. Louis County L.D.C. 1/9 Warren Redev. & Planning Corp. 1/9 Texas Certified Dev. Co., Inc. 1/9 N. Virginia Local Dev. Co., Inc .1/9 Centralina Dev. Corp., Inc. 1/9 Evergreen Community Dev. Assoc. 1/9 S 315,000.00 336,000.00 357,000.00 411,000.00 420,000.00 420,000.00 460,000.00 500,000.00 500,000.00 500,000.00 11.760% 1/1/10 1/1/10 ' 11.760% 1/1/10 11.760% 1/1/10 • 11.760% 1/1/10 11.760% 1/1/10 11.760% 1/1/10 11.760% 1/1/10 11.760% 1/1/10 11.760% 1/1/10 11.760% Snail Business Investment Company Debentures Equity Capital Corporation Equity Capital Corporation First North Florida SBIC Equity Capital Corporation Hamco Capital Corporation Latigo Capital Partners Market Capital Corporation North Star Ventures, Inc. RIHT Capital Corporation 1/23 1/23 1/23 1/23 1/23 1/23 1/23 1/23 1/23 . 200,000.00 250,000.00 1,000,000.00 100,000.00 i,odo,ooo.oo 1,000,000.00 500,000.00 500,000.00 2,000,000.00 1/1/90 1/1/92 1/1/92 1/1/95 1/1/95 1/1/95 1/1/95 1/1/95 1/1/95 11.015% 11.375% 11.375% 11.515% 11.515% 11.515% 11.515% 11.515% 11.515% TENNESSEE VALLEY AUTHORITY Seven States Energy Corporation Note A-85-04 1/31 506,334,974.03 4/30/85 8.215% 1/30 151,215.65 6/30/06 11.320% DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION Section 511—4R Act Milwaukee Road #511-2 FEDERAL FINANCING BANK January 1985 Commitments BORROWER Inglewcod, CA Lorain, OH Newburgh, NY Wilmington, DE Blue Ridge Electric Vermont Electric L&O Power Wilmington Trust Co. GUARANTOR HUD HUD HUD HUD REA REA REA (Obregon) Navy AMOUNT $5,808,000.00 1,000,000.00 255,000.00 828,000.00 4,987,000.00 24,220,000.00 6,050,000.00 200,000,000.00 EXPIRES 8/1/86 11/1/85 8/1/85 1/15/86 12/31/90 12/31/90 12/31/90 4/15/90 MATURITY 8/1/86 11/1/85 8/1/85 1/15/05 12/31/19 12/31/19 12/31/16 1/15/10 Page 8 of 8 FEDERAL FINANCING HANK HOLDINGS (in millions) Program January 3 1 , 1985 December 3 1 , 1984 Net; Change 1/1/85-1/31/85 Net Chanqe—FY 1985 10/1/84-1/31/85 On-Budget Agency Debt Tennessee Valley Authority $ 13,810.0 Export-Import Bank NCUA-Central Liquidity Facility $ 375.0 162.3 17.3 15,852.2 286.2 $ 13,710.0 15,852.2 290.4 S 100.0 -0- 1,087.0 i>i.J 1,087.0 !>l..i -0- 59,066.0 115.7 132.0 8.3 3,536.7 37.6 58,971.0 115.7 132.0 95.0 8.8 -0.5 3,536.7 38.3 -0- -0- -0.7 -2.5 * 17,404.8 5,000.0 11.8 1,428.0 239.2 33.5 2,146.2 411.3 36.0 28.3 902.3 521.3 4.0 20,652.5 880.7 448.4 1,570.5 155.6 177.0 17,365.1 5,000.0 11.2 1,338.0 230.9 33.5 2,146.2 411.3 36.0 28.7 902.3 39.7 293.8 -00.7 -05.6 90.0 138.0 31.0 -4.2 Off-Budget Agency Debt U . S . Postal Service U . b . KaiiUa, Association -u- -0-u- Agency Assets Farmers Home Administration DHHS-Health Maintenance O r g . DHHS-Medical Facilities Overseas Private Investment C o r p . Rural Electrification Admin.-CBO 9nall Business Administration -0-0- -445.0 -0.4 -0-2.7 Covernnent-Guaranteed Lending DOD-Foreign Military Sales DEd.-Student Loan Marketing A s s n . DOE-Geothermal Loan Guarantees DOE-Non-Nuclear A c t (Great Plains) DHUD-Community Dev. Block Grant DHUD-New Communities DHUD-Public Housing Notes General Services Administration DOi-Guam Power Authority DOI-Virgin Islands NASA-Space Ccranunications C o . DON-Ship Lease Financing DON-Defense Production A c t Rural Electrification A d m i n . SBA-Small Business Investment C o s . SBA-State/Local Development C o s . TVA-Seven States Energy C o r p . DOT-Section 511 DOT-WMATA TOTALS4 5 146,034.3 •figures m a y not total d u e t o rounding 8.3 -0-0-0-0-0.4 -0- -0-32.3 -2.0 -0-0.4 -52.3 521.3 -03.8 521.3 0.2 0.9 20,693.0 885.0 426.8 1,577.9 157.0 177.0 -40.5 -4.3 21.6 -7.4 -1.5 65.4 20.4 93.8 15.0 -4.0 -0- -0- S 145,216.9 $ 817.4 $ 1,198.2 TREASURY NEWS Department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 March 18, 1985 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $7,000 million of 13-week bills and for $7,000 million of 26-week bills, both to be issued on March 21, 1985, were accepted today. RANGE OF ACC1SPTED COMPETITIVE 1BIDS: Low High Average 13--week billB maturing June 20, 1985 Discount Investment Rate Rate 1/ Price 8.54%a/ 8.69% 8.64% 8.85% 9.01% 8.96% 26-•week bills maturlng September 19 , 1985 Discount Investment Rate Rate 1/ Price 97.841 9.00% 97.803 9.07% 97.816 • 9.04% 9.56% 9.64% 9.60% 95.450 95.415 95.430 a/ Excepting 1 ten<ler of $2,500,000. Tenders at the high discount rate for the 13-week bills were allotted 41%. Tenders at the high discount rate for the 26-week bills were allotted 30%. Location TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Received Accepted Received Accepted Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury $ 390,270 11,868,295 35,365 59,255 56,520 53,070 960,670 • 74,190 13,805 59,150 42,420 755,365 313,160 $ 190,270 5,367,995 35,365 59,255 56,520 53,070 480,670 74,190 13,805 59,150 42,420 254,365 313,160 $ 390,890 12,793,925 27,230 42,625 57,015 45,555 927,650 48,875 18,075 50,725 34,145 711,475 343,125 $ 73,390 5,698,925 27,230 42,625 57,015 45,555 350,150 48,875 18,075 50,725 34,145 210,475 343,125 TOTALS $14,681,535 $7,000,235 $15,491,310 $7,000,310 Tjroe Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public $11,413,675 1,231,705 $12,645,380 $3,732,375 1,231,705 $4,964,080 $12,250,285 1,049,725 $13,300,010 $3,759,285 1,049,725 $4,809,010 1,797,455 1,700,000 1,700,000 Federal Reserve Foreign Official Institutions 1,797,455 238,700 238,700 491,300 491,300 TOTALS $14,681,535 $7,000,235 $15,491,310 $7,000,310 _1/ Equivalent coupon-issue yield. B-48 TREASURY NEWS Department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone FOR RELEASE UPON DELIVERY Expected at 10:00 a.m. EDT Tuesday, March 19, 1985 TESTIMONY OP MIKEL M. ROLLYSON TAX LEGISLATIVE COUNSEL U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE HOUSE WAYS AND MEANS SUBCOMMITTEE ON SELECT REVENUE MEASURES MARCH 19, 1985 Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I am pleased to appear today to discuss H.R. 983, which would extend and liberalize the Targeted Jobs Tax credit (TJTC). Experience has indicated that the TJTC is an expensive tax subsidy whose effectiveness in increasing employment opportunities has not been demonstrated. In addition, the Federal government already provides substantial employment and training assistance through The Job Training Partnership Act, for instance. Accordingly, the Administration opposes any extension or expansion of the TJTC. Description of HR. 983 H.R. 983 would extend the TJTC for five years, making it available for eligible individuals hired through December 31, 1990. It would also expand the credit in two ways. First, by relaxing the definition of economically disadvantaged workers, H.R. 983 would make more workers eligible for the TJTC. Currently, an individual is defined as economically disadvantaged for purposes of the TJTC if that individual is a member of a family with an income that is equal to or below 70 percent of the lower living standard published by the Department of Labor (DOL). Under H.R. 983, the 70 percent floor would be raised to 80 percent. Second, under H.R. 983 the amount of annual wages B-49 2041 -2earned by each eligible worker that could be subsidized by the credit would be increased to $10,000 from the currenb level of $6,000. The revenue loss attributable to H.R. 983 would be $Q_. 3 billion in fiscal year 1986, $0.6 billion in fiscal year 1987, increasing to $j.6 billion in 1990, with a total cost of $7,2 billion for the 5 year extension. Background and Current Law The TJTC was enacted in 1978, and was intended to help hard-to-employ individuals find employment in the private forprofit sector. The nonrefundable credit is available for employers who hire individuals from any of nine targeted groups. Target group members are either beneficiaries of government assistance programs or members of economically disadvantaged families. The largest eligible group is economically disadvantaged youth age 18 through 24 whose family income during a defined six month period was equal to or less than 70 percent of the lower living standard published by DOL. Current law requires that employers have or request in writing eligibility determinations of employees within five calendar days after the day the individual begins work for the employer. Eligibility determinations are performed by State employment security agencies. The credit is computed by reference to wages paid to eligible employees. Generally, an eligible individual's first $6,000 of wages in the first year of employment qualifies for a 50 percent credit. The maximum credit that may be claimed for an eligible individual in the first year of employment is thus $3,000. In the second year of the individual's employment, the credit is equal to 25 percent of qualifying wages. An enriched credit is available, however, for economically disadvantaged summer youth employees age 16 or 17. The qualified summer youth employee credit is equal to 85 percent of the first $3,000 of wages earned between May 1 and September 15, for a maximum credit of $2,550 per employee. The employer's deduction for wages paid to eligible employees must be reduced by the amount of the credit; this keeps the rate of subsidy constant at the stated percentage irrespective of the employer's marginal tax rate. The credit is scheduled to expire on December 31, 1985. Nevertheless, the credit will continue to be available with respect to workers hired before the end of 1985. Because employers can earn the credit on wages paid during the first two years of an eligible individual's employment, the credit will continue to be claimed through the end of 1987. Data regarding the TJTC is very limited. The number of employed individuals the Labor Department has certified as being eligible for the TJTC is summarized in Table 1. Income tax return data from the Internal Revenue Service shows how the TJTC was distributed among industries and is summarized in Table 2. -3Analysis The TJTC obviously benefits employers who claim the credit. The credit lowers effective wage costs, which in turn increases the employers' profitability and may encourage employers to expend relatively more on eligible labor as opposed to other production costs. The reduced wage costs also may enable these employers to expand their output and thus their total employment. These are the expected substitution and scale (output) effects for individual firms that, according to economic theory, occur from any wage subsidy. Thus, an individual employer that takes advantage of the credit may show an increase in the number of both his targeted and non-targeted employees. One must be mindful, however, that the desired effect of the credit is achieved only when targeted employees are hired that otherwise would not have been hired. In many cases these new, targeted hires are not produced, even in those cases where the employer claims the credit. The clearest case of ineffectual credits occurs where the eligible worker for whom the credit is claimed would have been hired by the same employer or by another employer without regard to the existence of the credit. The incidence of ineffectual credits appears to be quite prevalent. The Labor Department has estimated that in 1981 between 2.4 million and 3.0 million economically disadvantaged youth were hired by the private for-profit sector. During fiscal year 1981, there were 176,000 certifications for economically disadvantaged youth, or a participation rate of 6 to 8 percent of the eligible hires. Estimates of the participation rate for several other eligible groups were not greater than 10 percent.1/ In fiscal year 1984, there were 328,213 certifications of economically disadvantaged youth. Assuming that the same number of economically disadvantaged youth were hired in 1981 and 1984 implies a 1984 participation rate of 11 to 14 percent of eligible hires. In other words, almost nine out of ten economically disadvantaged youth, who were eligible for the credit, found employment without the benefit of the TJTC. The potential explosion in ineffectual credits is apparent. If employers simply checked the eligibility of workers whom they currently hire, the cost of the TJTC program could increase tenfold without one additional targeted workers being hired. 1/No single explanation can be cited for the credit's low participation rate. It is clear that the certification system leaves much of the burden of identifying eligible workers on employers and that many employers are still not familiar with the TJTC. The cost of identifying eligible individuals and the nonrefundable nature of the tax credit reduces the net value of the credit for many employers. -4Indeed, the most likely explanation for the exponential growth in certifications from 202,261 in 1982 to 563,381 in 1984 is employers learning about the credit and claiming it for workers whom they have always hired. It is also important to recognize that even when the TJTC is directly responsible for the employment of a targeted employee, no net increase in targeted employment need occur. This is so because the credit may result in a reallocation of employment between new targeted workers who qualify for the credit and previously employed targeted workers who do not. If there is an increase in targeted employment as a result of the TJTC, it may come at the expense of nontargeted but nonetheless low-paid individuals who are displaced by the targeted individuals. There may be social benefits achieved from targeted workers finding employment in the private for-profit sector of the economy, such as gains in economic self-sufficiency for individuals who have been dependent on welfare. In measuring the social benefits, however, one must weigh the benefits provided to targeted workers who found jobs because of the credit against the detriment to those low-paid employees or even those targeted workers that were displaced, as well as against the financial cost discussed below. It is likely that any increase in hiring of eligible individuals as a result of the credit will come at the expense of other low-skilled workers, who have not qualified for the credit but have job skills similar to those of the targeted groups. The substitution of targeted workers for other workers does not necessarily mean that other workers are laid off by an employer; the substitution is more likely to occur through the job hiring process where a targeted worker is hired in lieu of a nontargeted worker. Finally, increases in targeted employment by firms claiming the credit are counterbalanced by the loss of employment in other sectors of the private economy. The cost of the TJTC program ultimately must be financed either through higher taxes or lower government outlays. Financing the credit results in lower output and employment in other sectors of the economy, which offsets any higher output and employment of businesses using the TJTC. For example, if the program is financed by higher income taxes, firms elsewhere in the economy will tend to reduce their output and correspondingly their employment. Conclusion The Administration opposes H.R. 983 or any extension of the TJTC program. In this period of fiscal restraint we should not commit $7.2 billion of tax dollars to a program whose effectiveness in increasing employment opportunities has not been demonstrated. Table 1 Targeted Jobs Tax Credit Certifications Issued by the Department of Labor (DOL) By Target Group: FY 1982 - FY 1984 Targeted Group 1982 Fiscal Year 1983 1984 Economically Disadvantaged Youth, Age 18-24 132,195 259,309 328,213 Economically Disadvantaged Summer Youth, Age 16-17 0 33,538 30,137 Economically Disadvantaged Vietnam Veterans 13,271 24,141 29,000 Economically Disadvantaged Ex-Convicts 13,332 21,929 27,278 Vocational Rehabilitation 14,757 25,412 38,263 Referrals General Assistance Recipients 8,136 14,480 24,101 AFDC Recipients/WIN Registrants 18,503 50,736 84,769 Supplemental Security Income Recipients 782 1,254 1,620 Unemployed CETA Workers 1,285 383 0 Economically Disadvantaged Cooperative Education Students 1/ 1/ 1/ Total 1/ 202,261 431,182 563,381 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis March 18, 1985 1/ The Education Department is responsible for certifying eligible cooperative education students, but they maintain no records of total certifications. DOL performs "economic determinations" for cooperative education students. The number of economic determinations is an upper bound on the number of certifications for cooperative education students. There were 8,324 economic determinations of cooperative education students in FY 1983 and 6,724 in FY 1984. A comparable number is not available for 1982. Table 2 Jobs Tax Credits Claimed by Corporations in Taxable Year 1982 by Industry 1/ Industry Agriculture Mining Construction Manufacturing Transportation & Public Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Finance, Insurance & Real Estate Services Other Total Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 1/ Amount of Jobs Credits ($ millions) Percent of Total $4.3 2.4 28.5 90.4 1.3 0.7 8.7 27.6 10.3 13.6 93.8 3.2 4.1 28.7 18.4 65.1 0.5 5.6 19.9 0.2 $327.3 100.0 March 18, 1985 Comparable data by industry are unavailable for noncorporate businesses. Approximately $92 million of Jobs Tax credits were claimed on individual tax returns in 1982. TREASURY NEWS _ apartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. M a r c h 19# 1985 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $14,000 million, to be issued March 28, 1985. This offering will provide about $525 million of new cash for the Treasury, as the maturing bills are outstanding in the amount of $13,479 million, including $1,497 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities and $2,509 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks for their own account. The two series offered are as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $7,000 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated December 27, 1984, and to mature June 27, 1985 (CUSIP No. 912794 HH" 0), currently outstanding in the amount of $6,833 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills for approximately $7,000 million, to be dated March 28, 1985, and to mature September 26, 1985 (CUSIP No. 912794 JA 3). Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing March 28, 1985. Tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the weighted average bank discount rates of accepted competitive tenders. Additional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount will be payable without interest. Both series of bills will be issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,000 and in any higher $5,000 multiple, on the records either of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasury. B-50 - 2 Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. c. 20239, prior to 1:00 p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, March 25, 1985. Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. Each tender must state the par amount of bills bid for, which must be a minimum of $10r000. Tenders over $10,000 must be in multiples of $5,000. Competitive tenders must also show the yield desired, expressed on a bank discount rate basis with two decimals, e.g., 7.15%. Fractions may not be used. A single bidder, as defined in Treasury's single bidder guidelines, shall not submit noncompetitive tenders totaling more than $1,000,000. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities may submit tenders for account of customers, if the names of the customers and the amount for each customer are furnished. Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million. This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p.m. Eastern time on the day of the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "whe-n issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering, e.g., bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six-month bills. Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million. A noncompetitive bidder may not have entered into an agreement, nor make an agreement to purchase or sell or otherwise dispose of any noncompetitive awards of this issue being auctioned prior to the designated closing time for receipt of tenders. Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction. No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches. A deposit - 3 of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and yield range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $1,000,000 or less without stated yield from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average bank discount rate (in two decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. The calculation of purchase prices for accepted bids will be carried to three decimal places on the basis of price per hundred, e.g., 99.923, and the determinations of the Secretary of the Treasury shall be final. Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on March 28, 1985, in cash or other immediately-available funds or in Treasury bills maturing March 28, 1985. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. In addition, Treasury Tax and Loan Note Option Depositaries may make payment for allotments of bills for their own accounts and for account of customers by credit to their Treasury Tax and Loan Note Accounts on the settlement date. In general, if a bill is purchased at issue after July 18, 1984, and held to maturity, the amount of discount is reportable as ordinary income in the Federal income tax return of the owner at the time of redemption. Accrual-basis taxpayers, banks, and other persons designated in section 1281 of the Internal Revenue Code must include in income the portion of the discount for the period during the taxable year such holder held the bill. If the bill is sold or otherwise disposed of before maturity, the portion of the gain equal to the accrued discount will be treated as ordinary income. Any excess may be treated as capital gain. Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, Treasury's single bidder guidelines, and this notice prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars, guidelines, and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. TREASURY NEWS Department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. March 19, 1985 TREASURY ANNOUNCES NOTE AND BOND OFFERINGS TOTALING $16,250 MILLION The Treasury will raise about $12,875 million of new cash by issuing $6,250 million of 4-year notes, $5,750 million of 7-year notes, and $4,250 million of 20-year 1-month bonds. This offering will also refund $3,384 million of 4-year notes maturing March 31, 1985. The $3,384 million of maturing 4-year notes are those held by the public, including $545 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and, international monetary authorities. In addition to the maturing 4-year notes, there are $8,458 million of maturing 2-year notes held by the public. The disposition of this latter amount was announced last week. Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, currently hold $1,113 million, and Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account hold $1,115 million of maturing 2-year and 4-year notes. The maturing securities held by Federal Reserve Banks for their own account may be refunded by issuing additional amounts of the new 2-year and 4-year notes at the average prices of accepted competitive tenders. The $16,250 million is being offered to the public, and any amounts tendered by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be added to that amount. Tenders for such accounts will be accepted at the average prices of accepted competitive tenders. The 20-year 1-month bond will become eligible for STRIPS (Separate Trading of Registered Interest and Principal of Securities) after the first interest payment date of November 15, 1985. Details about each of the new securities are given in the attached "highlights" of the offerings and in the official offering circulars. oOo Attachment B-51 HIGHLIGHTS OF TREASURY OFFERINGS TO THE PUBLIC OF 4-YEAR NOTES, 7-YEAR NOTES, AND 20-YEAR 1-MONTH BONDS Amount Offered: To the p u b l i c . Description of Security; Term and type of security , Series and CUSIP designation.., Issue date ... Maturity date. Call date Interest rate. Investment yield Premium or discount.... Interest payment dates. March 19, 1985 $6,250 million $5,750 million $4,250 million 4-year notes Series L-1989 (CUSIP No. 912827 SA 1) April 1, 1985 March 31, 1989 No provision To be determined based on the average of accepted bids To be determined at auction To be determined after auction September 30 and March 31 7-year notes Series E-1992 (CUSIP No. 912827 SB 9) April 2, 1985 April 15, 1992 No provision To be determined based on the average of accepted bids To be determined at auction To be determined after auction October 15 and April 15 (first payment on October.15, 1985) $1,000 20-year 1-month bonds Bonds of 2005 (CUSIP No. 912810 DQ 8) April 2, 1985 May 15, 2005 No provision To be determined based on the average of accepted bids To be determined at auction To be determined after auction November 15 and May 15 (first payment on November 15, 1985) $1,000 Yield Auction Must be expressed as an annual yield, with two decimals, e.g., 7.10% Accepted in full at the average price up to $1,000,000 Yield Auction Must be expressed as an annual yield, with two decimals, e.g., 7.10% Accepted in full at the average price up to $1,000,000 None None Acceptable for TT&L Note Option Depositaries Acceptable for TT&L Note Option Depositaries Full payment to be submitted with tender Full payment to be submitted with tender Acceptable Acceptable Wednesday, March 27, 1985, prior to 1:00 p.m., EST Thursday, March 2 8 , 1985, prior to 1:00 p.m., EST Tuesuay, n^ril 2, 19o5 Friday, March 29, 1985 Tuesday, April 2, 1985 Friday, March 29, 1985 Minimum denomination available.. $1,000 Terms of Sale: Method of sale Competitive tenders. Noncompetitive tenders. Yield Auction Must be expressed as an annual yield, with two decimals, e.g., 7.10% Accepted in full at the average price up to $1,000,000 Accrued interest payable by investor None Payment through Treasury Tax and Loan (TT&L) Note Accounts... Acceptable for TT&L Note Option Depositaries 1'; /rment by non-institutional :.:• >es tors Full payment to be submitted with tender :>osit guarantee by isignated institutions. Acceptable ' Dates: :eipt of tenders Tuesday, March 26, 1985, prior to 1:00 p.m., EST :tlement (final payment i from institutions) a) cash or Federal funds Monday, April 1, 1985 b) readily collectible check.. Thursday, March 28, 1985 TREASURY NEWS Department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-204 STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE JOHN M. WALKER, JR. ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY (ENFORCEMENT AND OPERATIONS) BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON OVERSIGHT AND INVESTIGATIONS COMMITTEE ON ENERGY AND COMMERCE U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES MARCH 19, 198 5 Enforcement of Trade Agreements on Imported Steel Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I appreciate the opportunity to appear before you today to discuss the administration and enforcement of our country's trade agreements involving imported steel. In my testimony today, I will address specifically the enforcement by Customs of the EC Pipe and Tube Arrangement and the Customs embargo of steel pipe and tube products from the EC that was requested by the Secretary of Commerce. In addition, I will briefly discuss our actions in enforcing further voluntary restraint agreements based on the EC model and the specialty steel quota. Finally, I am prepared to submit for the record a summary of cases in which Customs has been involved as a result of its steel enforcement proyram. Mr. Chairman, I would now like to summarize briefly the sequence of events concerning our implementation of the EC pipe and tube arrangement". On November 14, 1984, Secretary of Commerce Malcolm Ba]drige requested that Secretary Regan take the necessary steps to prohibit entry of EC pipe and tube, beginning on November 19, 1934. In response, Custom^ immediately issued a telex to all field personnel advising them of the embargo and designating November 19 as the effective date. The embargo was in effect for the remainder of calendar year 1934. B-52 - 2 - Almost immediately after this telex was forwarded, the Department of Commerce advised Customs that the effective date was to be changed to November 29, 1984. The Customs Service immediately took the necessary prohibitive action. At the same time, Customs agreed to initiate monitoring procedures on pipe and tube similar to those being used to track other EC steel exportations. None of the instructions cited above created unusual difficulties for Customs field operations. There were no start-up problems for Customs; however, shipments of EC pipe and tube already on the high seas were warehoused or left on the docks, where they incurred warehouse charges. To further ensure the effectiveness of this program, the Customs Office of Inspection and Control, in a separate and special issuance, informed all inspectional personnel of the embargo. In addition, Customs updated its automated "accept system" to reflect the relevant tariff schedule classification numbers as they related to the prohibition. On December 31, 1984, the Secretary of Commerce advised Secretary Regan that effective January 1, 1985, shipments of EC pipe and tube could be allowed entry provided the merchandise was accompanied by an EC certificate and was exported after January 1, 1985. Customs acted immediately to implement this request. It was subsequently decided that the Department of Commerce would control the quota levels through procedures already established for other arrangements. Customs immediately telexed instructions covering this decision to its field offices. On March 1, 1985, the Commerce Department advised us of the lifting of the embargo on goods exported prior to January 1 and restated the need for certificates for all shipments exported on or after January 1. The entry and release of the embargoed steel was conducted without any problems. On March 5, 1985, two additional telexes discussing various procedural issues were forwarded to field locations. Commerce requested that all outstanding EC certificates for steel mill products other than pipe and tube for 1984 be forwarded to them by March 20. To date, no problems involving this request have been experienced. - 3 - On March 1, 1985, the Commerce Department notified Customs that four voluntary restraint agreements had been reached between this government and the governments of Spain, South Africa, Finland, and Australia. On March 14, 1985, Commerce notified Customs that two additional voluntary restraint agreements had been reached with Mexico and Brazil. These agreements encompassed virtually all steel products from these countries, including some assembled products, and are effective for a period of 5 years. Again Customs moved immediately to implement these agreements. Customs immediately notified all field locations of the agreements and the procedures to be followed upon importation of steel from these countries. Essentially, these procedures parallel those instituted for the previous EC Arrangements and, to date, have not posed a problem for Customs import specialists. I will now turn to the enforcement of the quota for specific specialty steel products. As you know, this quota, which was implemented by Presidential Proclamation 5074 of July 19, 1983, was issued to effectuate the International Trade Commission's Section 201 decision regarding these products. The Proclamation originally established a global quota, and Customs so administered it duriny the first quarter of its existence. Then, on October 20, 1983, the quota was modified by USTR to accommodate the orderly marketing agreements which it had negotiated. Since that time we have received no modifications to these quota amounts other than necessary adjustments for individual countries. Since October 1984, we have received from the USTR exception notices only for specific shipments. These have not been identified by importer or country, but rather by specifications defining the categories of merchandise to be excepted from the quotas. Finally, I have with me today a document, which I would like to submit for the record, listing those steel cases which Customs has been pursuing in its efforts to enforce against the possible circumvention of the EC steel arrangement. Mr. Chairman, thank you for giving me this opportunity to appear before your Committee on this important matter. I shall be pleased to answer any questions you and members of the Committee may have. SUMMARY STATS ON CURRENTLY OPEN STEEL CASES TOTAL STEEL CASES BY OFFICE Total Steel Cases Office Houston Portland Newark Los Angeles Chicago Detroit Anchorage San Francisco Rouses Point New Haven Philadelphia Blaine Mobile Honolulu Seattle St. Louis Dallas New Orleans Wilmington 16 14 5 5 4 4 3 • 3 2 2 2 TOTAL 68 Total Accepted for Prosecution Total Being Activ ely Worked 5 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 11 10 5 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 11 57 CASES INVOLVING THE STAINLESS STEEL QUOTAS Our records indicate that there are currently no cases in progress relating to circumvention of these quotas. CASES INVOLVING THE EUROPEAN STEEL ARRANGEMENT Our records indicate a total 7 cases involving the steel covered by the European Steel Arrangement. Of these cases, 1 was closed with no violations found. The remaining 6 are open and being actively worked. None have as yet been accepted for criminal prosecution. The cases are detailed on the following sheets. REVISED: March 18, 19 85 TREASURY NEWS Department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE JOHN M. WALKER, JR. ASSISTANT SECRETARY FOR ENFORCEMENT AND OPERATIONS U.S. TREASURY DEPARTMENT BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON GOVERNMENT INFORMATION, JUSTICE AND AGRICULTURE COMMITTEE ON GOVERNMENT OPERATIONS U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES MIAMI, FLORIDA MARCH 15 - 16, 1985 Treasury's Continuing Efforts to Combat Drug Smuggling Mr. Chairman, Senators, Members of the Committee, and Distinguished Guests: It is with both a sense of pride and a feeling of deep concern that I appear before this Committee today. Commissioner von Raab, who accompanies me here, will testify specifically on some of the most promising and effective initiatives that the Customs Service has ever mounted against the operations of drug smugglers. We are extremely proud of the Customs accomplishments in this area under the leadership of Commissioner von Raab. The source of my concern, however, is this: Our drug enforcement efforts, despite their successes, come at a time when both the House Committee on Foreign Affairs and the Select Committee on Narcotics report the most threatening and serious levels of drug availability in our nation's history. Even though our government is now conducting a more aggressive and extensive battle against the drug menace than it has ever done before, the pervasive problems of drugs and drug trafficking remain the most serious law enforcement challenge facing our nation. The surge of drugs into our society and the violence and corruption which it brings threaten our communities, our homes, our schools, our security, and the very fabric of our society. You have also heard from General Gorman how gun trafficking and insurgencies in South and Centra] America are benefitting from the trade in drugs and threaten the security of this country and other democracies in our hemisphere. I have little doubt as to the accuracy of General Gorman's assessment. B-53 Mr. Chairman, as you know, the drug trafficker is a brutal and arrogant enemy. He is well financed, cunning, and flexible. He is well informed about our interdiction operations. He has the ability to shift his smuggling activities away from areas of enforcement pressure and to recoup from the losses we inflict on him. Here in Miami over the past year, we have seen cocaine and marijuana traffickers shift some of their operations to avoid the Customs enhanced air winq. Simultaneously, we have seen the increased use of Rahamian waters for air drops and the use of fast boats to invade our borders. In Miami and elsewhere, we have seen drug traffickers continue to ply their deadly trade despite the build-up of our interdiction effort to date. For this reason, the Department of the treasury considers it imperative to develop a program that creates deterrence across all the modes by which drugs enter the United States. The ability of our enforcement teams to detect smuggling in the air -- and on the water as well -must be balanced with the efforts directed against smuggling across land borders, or in cargo or by commercial passengers. In his testimony today, Commissioner von Raab will outline how Customs, with the support of the Department of Defense, is progressing in a number of initiatives to counter each of these facets of the drug smuggling threat. From the viewpoint of the treasury Department, I would like to emphasize that we consider the Customs drug interdiction program to be Treasury's highest enforcement priority. For example, the FY 1986 budget submitted to the Congress includes an amount for Customs air operations and maintenance that exceeds the FY 1^85 total by 36% and is by far the highest, in real terms, ever requested or expended for this effort. Nevertheless, we are under no illusions, Mr. Chairman, concerning the magnitude of the drug problem we are confronting. In addition to increased resources, it will take our full measure of dedication and resolve to mount an effective challenge to the drug threat. nie recent cover stories of Newsweek and Time magazines on the cocaine wars, the brutal slayings of our drug enforcement agents, the violence in Colombia and the recent epidemic of heroin deaths in the Nation's capital all point to a compelling need for us to hold fast in our resolve to raise the stakes anainst the drug trafficker. - 3 While it is true that the deployment, supported by members of this Committee, of both airborne radars on balloons and the P-3A aircraft have sharply enhanced our ability to detect smuggler aircraft, and that new improvements in balloon radar will aid us in detecting marine smugglers, our program is in need of further strengthening. For example, we need to do more in the collection and dissemination of the real-time intelligence necessary to increase our interdiction rate across all smuggling modes. We also need to continue to plan for expansion of our overall existing drug interdiction capability. As we are doing so, we must continue to support all the other elements of our Federal drug strategy -- eradication at the source, investigation of drug traffickers and their money launderers, and demand reduction through prevention and education. It is in this context, Mr. Chairman, that I would now like to turn to the proposal that you and Senator DeConcini have offered, a proposal to establish a Special Operations wing in support of the Customs interdiction mission. As I have stated before, the assistance of the Department of Defense in providing equipment, surveillance and expertise in our anti-smuggling program has been invaluable to us. Your plan, by extending further the support role of the Department of Defense, has the clear potential to benefit the Customs air and marine interdiction mission. As you know, the Customs Air Program has grown significantly over the past year, and it is scheduled for continued expansion with respect to its detection, interception and seizure capability. Clearly, your program would have a positive effect in providing extensive additional surveillance resources to Customs. We are now carefully analyzing this proposal, with a view to evaluating it from an operational and a budgetary standpoint. I am sure that we can all anree that in these times of fiscal restraint, any program enhancement carries with it a particular burden that it be justified relative to other options. On the other hand, I yield to no one in the recognition that the threat is great and that more must be done. I hasten to add that this Administration, in response to the drug crisis, has deployed substantial new resources for the war on drugs. The ^Y l°-86 Customs budget, to which I referred earlier, is clearly a reflection of this policy. We will work closely with the Department of Defense in analyzing the budgetary implications of your proposal for both the Treasury and Defense Departments. - 4 Let there be no doubt that the Treasury Department considers it essential that our current ability to detect air and marine smuggling targets be enhanced. w e are, therefore, evaluating your proposal to better determine whether it is the most efficient and cost-effective means of providing additional surveillance capability. Additionally, we must also consider whether the program is consistent with an interdiction effort that is balanced across smuggling modes. As you are aware, it would not be effective for us to disproportionately increase our attention on one mode, such as smuggling by air, without commensurately increasing our ability to counter smuggling the various other methods. We must also view the program from the standpoint of our entire Federal drug strategy, foreign and domestic. As you know, this requires that we coordinate our planning not only with the Department of Defense but also with the Department of Justice and other Federal Agencies and Departments with a role in drug enforcement. At this time, I would like to take this opportunity, once again, to recognize the leadership provided by the members of this Committee, and the Committee staff, in the development of our country's drug interdiction capability. The plan that you, Chairman English, and Senator DeConcini have put forward demonstrates a strong commitment to addressing the drug smuggling challenge as one that is not only a problem for law enforcement, but also, for all the reasons General Gorman has set forth, a problem for national security as well. As in the past, we look forward to continuing our close cooperation with your Committee as we move forward. Treasury and Customs also owe a great debt of gratitude to each of the Senators and Representatives who are here with us today. Each of you has continued to dedicate your leadership and support to the fight against drugs. The progress we have made, and the development of plans to increase our interdiction capability, are the results of a joint and bipartisan effort over the past four years. Here is an excellent example of cooperation between the executive and legislative branches of our government. In summary, Mr. Chairman, while our government has done much to hurt the drug trafficker, we have not hurt him enough. I am confident, however, that our joint efforts will ultimately produce the effective and costefficient enhancement of our detection capability that is clearly needed, and that our entire interdiction - 5 program will benefit as a result. We are advised that the Department of Defense finds your proposal both meritorious and worthy of further consideration. Clearly, the enhanced detection capabilities that your program is designed to achieve would measurably strengthen the Customs air and marine programs and complement the other drug enforcement initiatives that our government has launched over the past four years. This concludes my formal statement, and I would be pleased to answer any questions this Committee may have. TREASURY NEWS FOR IMMEDIATE Department of theRELEASE Treasury • Washington, D.c.March • Telephone 20, 1985 566-2041 RESULTS OF AUCTION OF 2-YEAR NOTES The Department of the Treasury has accepted $ 9,015 million of $22,025 million of tenders received from the public for the 2-year notes, Series T-1987, auctioned today. The notes will be issued April 1, 1985, and mature March 31, 1987. The interest rate on the notes will be 10-3/4%. The range of accepted competitive bids, and the corresponding prices at the interest rate are as follows: Yield Price Low 10.83%1/ 99.860 High 10.88% 99.772 Average 10.86% 99.807 Tenders at the high yield were allotted 10-3/4 ! 6%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Received Location Accepted Boston $ 454,460 $ 94,460 New York 18,559,490 7,162,310 Philadelphia 45,000 45,000 Cleveland 235,515 161,835 Richmond 110,630 89,530 Atlanta 135,740 124,100 Chicago 1,193,895 402,075 St. Louis 154,975 143,095 Minneapolis 61,210 61,210 Kansas City 171,810 170,830 Dallas 33,510 30,690 San Francisco 857,670 519,550 Treasury 10,645 10,645 Totals $22,024,550 $9,015,330 The $9,015 million of accepted tenders includes $1,325 million of noncompetitive tenders and $7,690 million of competitive tenders from the public. In addition to the $9,015 million of tenders accepted in the auction process, $440 million of tenders was awarded at the average price to Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities. An additional $750 million of tenders was also accepted at the average price from Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account in exchange for maturing securities y Excepting 1 tender of $10,000. B-54 TREASURY NEWS Department of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE March 25, 1985 RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $ 7,079 million of 13-week bills and for $ 7,014 million of 26-week bills, both to be issued on March 28, 1985, were accepted today. RANGE OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: Low High Average 13--week bills maturing June 27, 1985 Discount Investment Rate Rate 1/ Price 8.40% 8.41% 8.41% 8.70% 8.71% 8.71% 97.877 97.874 97.874 : : : 26--week bills maturlng September 26 , 1985 Discount Investment Rate Rate 1/ Price 8.85% 8.87% 8.86% 9.39% 9.41% 9.40% 95.526 95.516 95.521 Tenders at the high discount rate for the 13-week bills were allotted 24%. Tenders at the high discount rate for the 26-week bills were allotted 50%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Accepted Received Received Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TOTALS Type Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public Federal Reserve Foreign Official Institutions TOTALS $ 404,555 24,643,410 32,930 142,480 71,575 62,030 1,490,905 ' 72,575 27,225 46,080 41,560 2,971,540 272,355 $ 53,855 5,708,745 32,325 52,480 51,575 57,855 101,655 51,550 17,225 45,080 31,560 603,135 272,355 $30,279,220 $7,079,395 $27,392,505 1,182,365 $28,574,870 $ 408,390 23,406,165 23,475 115,510 71,470 61,550 1,264,495 91,620 32,580 62,175 41,655 1,326,520 340,100 $ 70,890 5,927,300 23,475 115,260 59,770 56,795 94,745 40,120 25,080 62,175 31,655 166,770 340,100 : $27,245,705 $7,014,135 $4,192,680 1,182,365 $5,375,045 : : : $24,116,205 1,116,600 $25,232,805 $3,884,635 1,116,600 $5,001,235 1,308,550 1,308,550 : 1,200,000 1,200,000 395,800 395,800 : 812,900 812,900 $30,279,220 $7,079,395 : $27,245,705 $7,014,135 \J Equivalent coupon-issue yield. B-55 Accepted DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY Report to the Congress on the Functioning of the International Monetary and Financial System and the Role and Operation of the International Monetary Fund March 15, 1985 TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction and Summary Chapter I The International Monetary Fund and the Exchange Rate System Chapter II The IMF's Financing Chapter III The IMF's Resources Chapter IV The International Monetary System and International Debt Problems Potential Impact of International Monetary Fund Quota Expansion on World Oil Prices INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY During Congressional consideration of U.S. participation in the 1983 IMF quota increase and the increase in the General Arrangements to Borrow (GAB), a number of issues were raised concerning the operation of the international monetary system and' IMF policies for addressing international financial difficulties. In Section 813, Sec. 50(b) and (c), of P.L. 98-181 (the Domestic Housing and International Recovery and Financial Stability Act), Congress requested that the Secretary of the Treasury transmit a report on "the operation of the international monetary and financial system" and on "strengthening the role and improving the operation of the International Monetary Fund". Congress requested that several individual topics be addressed, including "consideration of United States membership in the Bank for International Settlements". A separate report on this issue was transmitted to Congress on November 30, 1984. This report covers the remaining study topics in Section 50(b) and (c). A concordance (on page v) provides a list of the topics requested for study and indicates where they are covered in the Treasury report. This report is divided into four chapters, plus an annex, as follows: Chapter I. The International Monetary Fund and the Exchange Rate System Concerns about the impact of volatile exchange rates and the strong dollar on trade and capital flows have stimulated numerous proposals for revising the flexible exchange rate system, which has now been in effect for more than a decade. This chapter reviews the key elements and performance of the current exchange rate system, as compared to the previous par value system, and discusses the impact of short-term_variability and longer-term swings in exchange rates on international trade and investment, as well as concerns about misalignments and exchange rate manipulation. It also discusses proposals for increased government intervention in exchange or capital markets, and provides a status report on the ongoing study by Finance Ministers of the ten key industrial countries on possible improvements in the international monetary system. The review concludes that exchange rate changes during the past decade have reflected the turbulent global economic environment and divergent economic policies and performance among the major nations. The current exchange rate system has, in fact, made a positive contribution to the adjustment process and - iv It concludes that the debt strategy is generally working well and should be continued, based on a flexible case-by-case approach to individual countries. Debtor nations' adjustment measures, together with economic recovery in the industrial countries, have enabled a substantial reduction in debtors* balance of payments deficits and debt service ratios. The maturity structure of outstanding debt has also improved significantly. Alternative proposals for systematic, global debt restructuring, in contrast, would weaken the incentives for economic adjustment and for continued lending by financial institutions. International efforts are currently focusing on ways to avoid similar problems in the future, rather than on proposals to alter the basic debt strategy. An important part of that effort is the work underway within the IMF and other international institutions to improve the collection and review of data on international debt. Annex: Potential Impact of International Monetary Fund Quota Expansion on World Oil Prices The Congress requested an assessment of the potential impact of expansion of IMF quotas on world oil prices. The study reviews oil export levels by 15 net oil exporters for the period 1981-1983 and concludes that their exports either remained constant or increased following drawings on regular IMF resources by these countries. Oil exports declined only in cases where the net oil exporter drew under the Compensatory Financing Facility based on export shortfalls in other commodities or under the Buffer Stock Financing Facility. IMF quota expansion is therefore not likely to reduce the short-run availability of oil supplies. On the demand side, IMF lending programs tend to either sustain or to reduce petroleum demand levels, rather than to increase them in the short run. Over the longer term, Fund programs could result in reduced government subsidies to petroleum imports or production, and hence higher domestic prices, thereby reducing energy demand. Improved prospects for sustained growth and development, however, would promote increased demand for energy and could stimulate the development of additional energy resources, making the composite effects difficult to predict. - v - CONCORDANCE BETWEEN CONGRESSIONAL STUDY REQUESTS AND TREASURY REPORT Section of Legislation Study Request Chapter of Treasury Report Sec. 50(b)(2) Proposals to improve exchange Chapter I rate system Sec. 50(c)(1) Ways to maintain realistic exchange rates and avoid exchange rate manipulation, particularly for major trading partners with a substantial trade surplus with the U.S. Ability of IMF to promote noninflationary growth under IMF stabilization programs. Sec. 50(c)(2)(A) Chapter I Chapter II Sec. 50(c)(2)(B) Feasibility of IMF issuing securities in private capital markets, effect on U.S. Chapter III Sec. 50(c)(2)(C) Feasibility of returning IMF gold reserves to members or private market sales of gold. Chapter III Sec. 50(c)(2)(D) Feasibility of temporary IMF supplemental financing facilities. Chapter III Sec. 50(c)(2)(E) Feasibility of an IMF Gold Lending Facility. Chapter III Chapter I Sec. 50(c)(2)(F) Recommended amendments to IMF Articles of Agreement to improve its role in the international monetary system. Chapter III Sec. 50(c)(2)(G) Effect on market price of gold, countries with central bank gold reserves, and U.S. credit markets of actions in (C), (D) or (E). Chapter II Actions taken to carry out Sec. 50(c)(3) Section 33 of this Act (safeguarding basic human needs). - vi - Section of Legislation Study Request Chapter of Treasury Report Sec. 50(c)(4) Progress in implementing Chapter III Chapter 48 of this Act (Fund remuneration and charges). Sec. 50(c)(5) Study of past and potential Annex A impact of Fund loan quota extension on world oil prices. Sec. 50(c)(6)(A) Assessment of systematic re- Chapter IV structuring and stretching out of developing country debt. Sec. 50(c)(6)(B) Assessment of role of global Chapter IV recovery in solving debt crisis and of possible interim financing measures. Sec. 50(c)(6)(C) Assessment of adequacy of IMF Chapter II resources to finance balance of payments deficits. Sec. 50(c)(6)(D) Role of IMF in providing finance Chapter II and credit to least developed countries. Sec. 50(c)(6)(E) Progress in consultations among Chapter I Finance Ministers and IMF Managing Director on improving the international monetary system. Sec. 50(c)(7) IMF collection, review, comment, Chapter IV and reporting procedures, as provided in Section 42 of this Act (regarding international financial information). The International Monetary Fund and the Exchange Rate System The system of "fixed" exchange rates adopted in 1944 at the time of the creation of the International Monetary Fund was in place for nearly three decades. By the early 1970s, however, it was evident that major changes were necessary to meet the demands of a rapidly changing global environment and to accommodate substantial divergencies in economic performance among the key industrial countries. A more flexible exchange rate system has now been in effect for more than a decade. During that time the world community has weathered two major oil shocks, a period of rapid global inflation followed by deep recession, and critical debt problems in a number of developing countries. Some have been concerned that the current monetary arrangements may have exacerbated these problems and have called for major reforms in the international monetary system — in particular, to reduce the scope for exchange rate movements. Others are convinced that while some improvements are clearly needed, major reforms are not required, and could be counterproductive. This chapter briefly reviews the Bretton Woods exchange rate system, analyzes its shortcomings, and discusses the major systemic changes introduced in the mid-1970s. It then reviews some of the concerns about the current system and proposals for possible improvements. The Bretton Woods System The original IMF Articles of Agreement, drafted during the latter part of World War II, were designed to help avoid the exchange restrictions, instabilities, and competitive exchange rate practices of the inter-war period. The drafters of the Bretton Woods system sought to create a multilateral payments system to replace the bilateralism and discriminatory practices to prevent competitive currency practices by limiting cnanges in exchange rates to situations involving a fundamental disequilibrium in a country's external position. To promote exchange rate stability, the IMF's founders established a system of stable but adjustable exchange rates. Each nation undertook to maintain its exchange rate witmn narrow margins around its agreed "par value", expressed in terms of qold They also agreed to convert foreign official holdings of their currencies into gold or the currency of the foreign holder upon request. - 2 In oractice, most countries maintained par values for their currencies in terms of the dollar by intervening in U S . dollars in foreign exchange markets. Only the United States directly bought and sold gold in transactions with foreign monetary authorities to maintain its exchange rate parity, set at $35 per ounce of gold. The United States was, in effect, at the center of the system, with an obligation to convert other countries' holdings of dollars into gold and, conversely, to buy gold with dollars. Fixed exchange rates could be maintained up to a point by intervention purchases or sales of U.S. dollars. But when any member country's inflation or balance of payments performance got too far out of line with other member countries, intervention was simply not enough. Under such circumstances, a country had to choose between a change in its basic economic policies or a change in its exchange rate parity. Since parities were to be changed only in cases of "fundamental disequilibrium", the ultimate basis for maintaining fixed exchange rates under the Bretton Woods system was a willingness by all participants to have relatively disciplined economic policies. The resources of the IMF were to be available under appropriate policy conditions to help countries meet temporary balance of payments financing needs while they adjusted domestic economic policies. Restrictions on trade and payments, in the meantime, were to be discouraged. The Bretton Woods exchange rate system lasted roughly 25 years, but it became increasingly rigid and unsustainable during its last decade. Some of its key assumptions eventually contained the seeds of its own collapse. In essence, the system was both too weak to force the domestic policy changes that would have been needed to maintain fixed parities, and too rigid to accommodate parity changes warranted by basic shifts in countries' relative economic size and competitive power. Shortcomings of the system included the following: (1) Dependence on gold and U.S. balance of payments deficits. Limited production of gold and the growth of industrial and commercial uses meant that the supply available for monetary purposes was wholly unrelated to the needs of an expanding world economy. To obtain liquidity to finance rapidly expanding international transactions, countries purchased dollars through intervention on the exchange markets. The system thereby became dependent on, and to a degree promoted, U.S. balance of payments deficits. Foreign official holdings of dollars increased substantially during the period, and in time, exceeded the value of total U.S. gold holdings, thus undermining confidence in the - 3 ability of the United States to convert dollars into gold at its agreed par value. (2) Inability to change the par value of the dollar. A change in the dollar's par value might have helped to address this problem, and would have permitted a realignment of exchange rates to take account of the change in competitive positions that had occured. However, there was a general reluctance to change the gold parity of the U.S. dollar, because this link was seen as central to preservation of the fixed exchange rate system. Moreover, there was no assurance that other countries would not change their par value, thus preventing the necessary realignment of exchange rate relationships. (3) Lack of symmetry in pressures to adjust. Under the Bretton Woods system, pressures to adjust fell almost exclusively on weak currency countries. As they ran out of gold or dollar reserves to use for intervention to support their currencies, countries with weak currencies were forced to either devalue or change policies. However, exchange rate adjustments, when they did occur, were often too little and too late. Strong currency countries, on the other hand, could accumulate reserves for prolonged periods and thus postpone revaluing their currencies or adopting other adjustment measures that might reduce their competitiveness. A key lesson of the Bretton Woods system was that exchange rates could remain "fixed" only so long as economic policies and oerformance in all the major currency countries were broadly similar. Although cyclical differences could be accommodated, provided they were small and temporary, the system could not adapt quickly enough when structural changes resulted in large cumulative disequilibria or in the face of rapid increases in international capital flows, which gained in importance as capital markets were liberalized. By the early 1970s the accumulated disequilibria required a fundamental adjustment of countries' payments positions, and a basic reform of the system. The decision by the United States in August 1971 to suspend the convertibility of foreign official holdings of dollars into gold triggered a major realignment of exchange rates in December 1971, which was followed by a further exchange rate_realignment in February 1973, and a move to a floating rate regime. The 1971 developments also spurred formal negotiations to reform the international monetary system. These negotiations oegan in July 1972 with the establishment of the IMF's Committee of Twenty (C-20? The report of the C-20 subsequently provided a basis for discussion in the IMF's new Interim Committee, which was esta'olisSed in October 1974. However, these discussions were - 4 seriously complicated by the rapid escalation of worldwide inflation, the adoption of widespread exchange rate floating, and the sharo increase in oil prices. Negotiations on longer-term reform were not completed until 1976, when the IMF's new Interim Committee reached agreement in Jamaica on a major revision of the Bretton Woods arrangements. The Current Exchange Rate System The reform efforts ultimately revolved around correcting the shortcomings of the Bretton Woods system by designing a system which would permit greater flexibility of exchange rates, provide effective and symmetrical inducements to balance of payments adjustment by both surplus and deficit countries, and replace gold's nominally central role in the system. The Jamaica agreement to amend the IMF Articles: — eliminated any important monetary role for gold in the IMF; — legalized existing exchange rate practices, including floating; — provided wide latitude for individual countries to adopt specific exchange arrangements of their own choosing, providing the country fulfills certain obligations, including the promotion of orderly underlying economic conditions and the avoidance of manipulation of exchange rates to gain unfair competitive advantage; — provided a flexible framework for the future adaptation of exchange arrangements; and, — provided the Fund with clear authority to oversee the international monetary system to ensure its effective operation, and to monitor the compliance of each member with its obligations, including firm surveillance over the exchange rate policies of members. As under the Bretton Woods system, a basic objective of the amended IMF Articles is the restoration and maintenance of stability in the world economy. But in sharp contrast to the theory underlying the par value provisions of the Bretton Woods Articles ~ which sought stability by requiring adherence to fixed exchange rates — the amended Articles focus instead on achieving the underlying economic stability that is the prerequisite to exchange stability. - 5 The new Articles implicitly recognize that the relationships between currencies must reflect the evolution of domestic economies and differences in developments as between national economies; and that the economic stability sought by the authors of the Bretton Woods par value provisions cannot be imposed from "without" through action to fix or manage exchange rates. Instead, stability must come from "within." If each country maintains sustainable, non-inflationary rates of economic growth, then exchange rate relations will also be relatively stable. Stable economic policies are therefore seen as more important to exchange rate stability than the actual structure of the system itself. In order to promote an orderly system of exchange rates, members agreed to: — pursue orderly economic growth and reasonable price stability; — promote orderly underlying economic conditions; — avoid the manipulation of exchange rates to prevent effective balance of payments adjustment or to gain an unfair competitive advantage; and, — pursue exchange policies compatible with these undertakings. These provisions reflect a recognition that systemic stability can be jeopardized as much by insufficient exchange rate flexibility (through prolonged maintenance of overvalued or undervalued rates) as by excessive flexibility. According to the IMF Articles, a decision to establish general exchange arrangements applicable to all countries (such as a return to a more rigid exchange rate system) requires an 35 percent majority vote. This, in effect, provides the United States with a controlling voice in the future adoption of general exchange arrangements for the system as a whole. Under the current system, the ability of individual countries to select their own exchange arrangements has resulted in a variety of exchange rate practices. Over 90 countries (almost all developing countries) have chosen to peg their currencies to a single currency or to a currency composite, adjusting the peg as necessary to maintain external competitiveness. An additional 17 countries have chosen limited flexibility. These include the eight European countries that adhere to the exchange arrangements of the European Monetary System, which in turn floats against the rest of the world. Another 35 countries have adopted more flexible exchange arrangements, including independent floating by four major industrial countries (Canada, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States). - 6 There is, therefore, no single "exchange rate system" now in effect. Nevertheless, because most of the largest traders do not peg their exchange rates, 65-80 percent of world trade in fact is conducted at floating rates. Perceived Problems with the Current System Proponents of a more flexible exchange rate system originally expected that such a system would permit greater autonomy for domestic monetary and fiscal policies, with automatic adjustment of the exchange rate to reflect changes in a country's fundamental economic situation vis-a-vis other nations. Changes in the exchange rate would, over time, restore balance to the external payments situation. Although some increase in exchange rate variability was expected in the early years, proponents expected that such variability would diminish over time. Exchange rate variability in fact increased substantially during the past decade, as compared with the period of fixed exchange rates. This is true for both short-term and longer-term exchange rate movements. As a result of this marked variability, and, in particular, the recent strength of the dollar vis-a-vis other major currencies, some have expressed concern that: (1) Short-term variability or "volatility" of exchange rates has been excessive, with an adverse impact on international trade, investment, and the domestic allocation of resources. (2) Large swings in exchange rate levels over the longer term have not necessarily reflected changes in underlying economic fundamentals, resulting in significant misalignments. (3) Other countries might be manipulating their exchange rates to gain an unfair competitive advantage and to avoid exchange rate adjustment in order to maintain or achieve a strong external trade position. Impact of Short and Longer-Term Exchange Rate Fluctuations Recent fluctuations in exchange rates have been symptomatic of the turbulent world economic and political environment during the past decade. The major oil price increases and raoid inflation of the 1970s, the global recession and debt crises of the early 1980s, and divergencies in economic oerformance throughout this period have all had an impact on trade and capital flows and, hence, on exchange rates as well - 7 Moreover, government responses to the resulting political and economic pressures differed widely among the industrial countries and were subject to vaccilation and sharp changes of course. The result has been both a high degree of short-term volatility in • exchange markets and substantial long-term swings in exchange rates. It is clear, in any event, that a "fixed" exchange rate system could not have survived the strains of the last decade, and attempts to maintain such a system most probably would have disrupted international transactions. Fixed rates would likely have resulted in frequent exchange rate crises, in which fixed parities could be defended only over short periods, through large scale intervention and marginal policy changes. Frequent major realignments would have been necessary. But experience under the Bretton Woods system (and more recently, to a more limited extent, in the European Monetary System) suggests that the realignments would often have been difficult to negotiate, postponed beyond the most appropriate time, and effected in a crisis atmosphere. Countries also would have been hard pressed to avoid considerable reliance on trade and capital controls. Changes in exchange rates, in fact, made a major contribution to balance of payments adjustment during a period in which oil shocks and diverging policies and performance resulted in major external imbalances. Moreover, substantial changes in exchange rates were occasionally an important signal of the need for policy changes, and this tended to reinforce the adjustment process. The current flexible system, in contrast, results in rapid exchange rate adjustment. While exchange rates at times have fluctuated sharply, economic agents have generally learned to deal with exchange risk in a number of ways, including using forward markets and diversifying the currency composition of borrowings. Although some might argue that greater short-term exchange rate stability might be desirable, researchers ha*/e failed to produce persuasive evidence suggesting that increased short-term exchange rate variability has had negative impacts on the total volume of trade, investment, and the overall performance of the major industrial economies. In addition, while many private traders and investors would prefer greater certainty about near-term exchange rate behavior, in practice those whose governments allow them access to uncontrolled forward markets can hedge at small cost to avoid exchange risk. Thus, there is no convincing case for shifting any burdens caused by short-term exchange rate variability from private transactors to governments. A stronger case can be made that long-term movements in exchange rates may impose significant economic costs, particularly on traded-goods industries, and may add to the - 8 „.__ fnr nrot-ectionism. There is no question, ?orTx mp LV^LTl---lrll Appreciation of the dollar in the oast few years has adversely affected the U.S. competitive position in both U.S. and foreign markets, increasing domestic protectionist pressures. But the strong dollar has been only one of several factors affecting U.S. trade flows, among which must be included the strong U.S. economic growth relative to foreign growth, and the sharp reduction in imports by debt-burdened developing countries. As growth in other industrial countries improves, the dollar should adjust to reflect these relative changes in underlying economic situations. In the meantime, U.S. imports, encouraged by strong U.S. economic growth, have helped to strengthen a sluggish European economic recovery. They also have made a substantial contribution to the export earnings of debtor LDCs, facilitating their economic adjustment to their debt problems. Domestically, the benefits of U.S. economic growth have helped to offset the negative impacts of a bigger trade deficit, both for the economy as a whole and for the traded-goods industries. For American consumers as a group there are also significant gains from a lower cost of imported goods, which leads directly to lower inflation and increased real buying power. Greater foreign competition also indirectly affects the U.S. inflation rate by keeping the pressure on U.S. firms for lower costs, greater efficiency, and lower prices. Some would argue that the U.S. traded goods sector, in the meantime, is forced to assume an unfair share of the adjustment burden, and some industries may be forced out of business, move overseas, or delay needed investment, adversely affecting growth for some time into the future. It would undoubtedly be desirable to avoid these kinds of costs in cases where large exchange rate changes are subseguently reversed. But such changes are difficult to predict and even more difficult to control. Furthermore, the usual proposals to "manage" exchange rate changes that are perceived to be inconsistent with underlying economic fundamentals (and therefore subject to reversal), also could entail a broad misallocation of resources. Such proposals include exchange market intervention, imposition of capital controls, and import restrictions. Past" experience with capital controls and exchange market intervention, as well as their economic costs, are discussed in more detail in a subsequent section of this chapter. U.S. laws permit individual industries to request temporary import relief when they can demonstrate injury due to surging imports. Such cases are reviewed on their merits on a case-by-case basis. Nevertheless, restrictions in individual cases, however justified, will tend to increase the burden of adjustment for the remaining "open" import sector, as well as the - 9 export sector, distorting the allocation of domestic resources as between those industries and the protected ones. Protectionism at home also tends to breed protectionism abroad, further compounding the problems of export industries and reducing global welfare. It is therefore not a good response to any perceived exchange market misalignments. Currency Manipulation There has been some concern in recent years that the Japanese Government has been manipulating the value of the yen vis-a-vis the dollar and in effect preventing the normal adjustment of the yen/dollar exchange rate to a large Japanese trade surplus. The United States has found no evidence of such manipulation to weaken the yen. To the contrary, Japanese macroeconomic policy objectives, foreign exchange market intervention, and reluctance to lower the official discount rate have all pointed to efforts to strengthen the yen. Nevertheless, shortly after President Reagan took office in January 1981, the Administration began discussions with the Japanese Ministry of Finance on exchange rate and capital market issues. The Reagan Adminstration initiated these discussions because it was its belief that yen exchange rates did not reflect the true strength of the Japanese economy. The Administration also believed that rigidities and restrictions in Japan's capital market not only created economic inefficiencies but also precluded full particiption by U.S. firms in the Japanese capital market. U.S. analysis concluded that the limited international role of the yen reflected the existence of a segmented, highly regulated domestic capital market and an overt policy of restraining the use of yen by non-Japanese. This set of policies, in turn, worked to inhibit the yen from reflecting its underlying strength in exchange markets, exacerbating the U.S. trade deficit with Japan. President Reagan personally conveyed his deep concern about these issues during his talks with Prime Minister Nakasone in November 1983. The President and Prime Minister Nakasone expressed at that time their "mutual commitment toward specific steps to achieve open capital markets (to) allow the yen to reflect more fully Japan's underlying political stability and economic strength as the second largest economy in the free world." A joint U.S.-Japan Ad Hoc Group on yen/dollar exchange rate issues, and a subsidiary Working Group, were subsequently established with a mandate to internationalize the yen and liberalize Japan's domestic capital market. The final report of the Working Group in May 1984 outlined policy changes announced by the Japanese Ministry of Finance in three broad areas: the - 10 Euroyen market, the operation of Japan's domestic capital market, and the access of foreign financial institutions to the Japanese capital market. These are significant steps to help assure that Japan's capital markets will operate in a more market-determined fashion and to internationalize the yen. Other things being equal, this could, over time, fundamentally alter the underlying demand for the yen and lead to yen appreciation against other currencies, including the dollar. In the meantime, numerous other factors will also affect the yen/dollar exchange rate, including the relative growth rates of the U.S. and Japanese economies, the extent of trade protection — or anticipated protectionist measures — against Japanese exports, and the continued "safe haven" demand for dollars. Bilateral trade flows represent only part of the broader picture and do not alone determine the path of exchange rate adjustments. The recent deterioration in the U.S. bilateral trade balance with Japan to a deficit of nearly $26 billion during the first three quarters of 1984 (approximately double the bilateral deficit during the same period in 1983), therefore, cannot be expected by itself to result in a sharp appreciation of the yen relative to the dollar. The dollar, in fact, rose by about 8 percent against the yen in 1984. This may reflect in part the anticipated increase in capital outflow from Japan in response to the internationalization of the yen. But it also represents a smaller depreciation than that of the German mark, which depreciated by 10 percent in dollar terms during this same period, even though the German government intervened actively to support the mark. Improving the International Monetary System Concern about exchange rate volatility and the strong appreciation of the dollar has resulted in numerous proposals to revise tne current international monetary system. In response to these concerns, the leaders of the seven major industrial countries, at the Williamsburg Economic Summit in June 1983: "invited Ministers of Finance, in consultation with the Managing Director of the IMF, to define the conditions tor improving the international monetary system and to consider the part which might, in due course, be played in tnis process by a high-level international monetary conference." Governors^rSl f 1983,the Finance Ministers and Central Bank UnlteS States T ^ U P P ° f T e n ( G _ 1 0 ) industrial countries (the Canada Belainm ~ k G e ™ a n y , the United Kingdom, France, Italy, Canada, Belgium, cweden and the Netherlands) agreed to have their - 11 Deputies identify areas in which progressive improvements might be sought and to prepare a report for the Ministers. The Deputies agreed to review the following areas: (1) the functioning of the exchange rate system; (2) enhancing IMF surveillance; (3) international liquidity (including the issue of a new SDR allocation); and, (4) the role of the International Monetary Fund. The G-10 Deputies provided an interim report on their studies and received further guidance from the G-10 Ministers in May, 1984. At that time the Ministers agreed that: (1) The flexible exchange rate system has made a positive contribution to the maintenance of international trade and payments and to the adjustment process in a difficult global environment. (2) A return to a generalized system of fixed parities is unrealistic at the present time, but the current system should be improved. (3) A greater convergence in economic performance and compatible, non-inflationary policies would make an essential contribution to exchange rate stability. The current schedule of the G-10 Deputies is aimed at meeting the target set by the G-10 Ministers and reaffirmed at the June 1984 London Summit, which invited Finance Ministers: "to carry forward, in an urgent and thorough manner, their current work on ways to improve the operation of the international monetary system....and to complete the present phase of their work in the first half of 1985 with a view to discusssion at an early meeting of the IMF Interim Committee." In order to meet this deadline, the Deputies are expected to complete their report for the review of the G-10 Ministers in the spring of 1985. Recommendations to reform the international monetary system and provide increased exchange rate stability fall basically into two camps: proposals for increased government intervention in exchange or capital markets; or, proposals to make the current monetary system operate more efficiently. Both approaches are discussed further below. - 12 Increased Intervention Proposals to increase government intervention include a return to a fixed exchange rate system similar to tnat of Bretton Woods, adoption of a more flexible "target zone' system, coordinated government intervention under certain circumstances, or the imposition of controls on capital flows. As already noted, the G-10 Finance Ministers have basically ruled out any return to the Bretton Woods system at this time, although some countries believe it might be possible to revert to fixed exchange rates once conditions of greater stability have been achieved. Exchange rate target zones have been proposed as an alternative means of increasing exchange rate stability by combining a wider band of acceptable exchange rates than under the Bretton Woods system with the flexibility to change exchange rates by mutual agreement if the underlying economic fundamentals justify such a change. Under one variant of the target zone proposal, target exchange rates would be established based on the collective determination by the major currency countries of "fundamental equilibrium exchange rates" for each of their currencies. Depending on how strictly the system's rule were drawn, exchange rate movement toward either boundary of the target zone would either spur consultations or, under a more stringent system, reguire market intervention, a change in monetary policy, adjustment of the target zone or other measures (such as capital controls). The width of the target zone and the ability of key governments to agree to adjust the whole zone upward or downward could also affect the flexibility of the system. Although the exchange rate band under a target zone system would be wider than under a fixed rate system, the principle is the same. Countries would still arbitrarily determine a "correct" exchange rate or range of acceptable rates, which they then endeavor to enforce. Moreover, the chosen rate remains valid only as long as the government is willing and able to maintain it through intervention or through policy changes that may not be consistent with domestic objectives. If the market's perception of a country's actual and anticipated economic performance is not consistent with that implied by the target zone, then the country's formal commitment to a particular target zone will be affective only if: (1) the government has sufficent foreign exchange reserves to resist market pressure; or, (2) the government is able to imolement changes in domestic policies that will be perceived as sufficient to move performance into line with the target zone - 13 A study of experience with exchange market intervention by the seven industrial Summit countries was requested by the Versailles Summit and completed in March 1983. The study concluded that government intervention in exchange markets normally has a limited impact, which fades quickly if complementary policy changes are not adopted. Such intervention cannot resist fundamental market trends, the study found, although it might be effective to counter "disorderly markets". Moreover, experience indicates that capital controls cannot resist market trends for long, and the costs of trying to use them on the required scale would be immense. Although governments might be tempted to use trade restrictions or other trade-distorting practices instead of changing domestic policies, such measures can only account for a relatively minor part of the total balance of payments and are likely to have only a minimal effect on the exchange rate. Domestic policy changes are therefore necessary in any event to keep an exchange rate within its target zone. Governments must then collectively determine which countries will be required to adjust domestic policies, and to what degree. Such discussions would inevitably be highly contentious. Further, changes in macroeconomic policies are often difficult to implement quickly and do not have precise impacts on exchange rates, making "fine tuning" a very difficult task. Attempts to agree on targets and defend them, furthermore, would likely reduce governments' recent emphasis on fundamental efforts to improve underlying economic performance. In the long run, these efforts seem more likely to produce exchange rate stability than would sudden, ad hoc changes in economic policies aimed at achieving a given exchange rate target. Exchange rate movements are driven by the reactions of market participants to perceived changes in actual and prospective economic conditions. As policies and prospects change, both absolutely and in relation to one another, markets adjust. The key to stable exchange rates is stable policies and policy expectations and more convergent economic performance in the major industrial countries, not an artificial determination of the appropriate exchange rate at any given point in time. It is highly questionable whether official judgement can determine an exchange rate that is more appropriate than the market rate given current economic policies and conditions, or whether the alternative rate can be imposed on the market without fundamentally changing economic policies and conditions. A better remedy appears to be to increase the stability and predictability of national policies, rather than to maintain exchange rates that could quite possibly be inconsistent with underlying fundamentals. - 14 Improving the Operation of the Current System The following conclusions can be drawn from the previous discussion: (1) Government intervention cannot circumvent the collective judgement of the market, although it can be useful to counter clearly disorderly exchange market conditions. (2) A return to more rigid exchange rates would not resolve problems caused by unsound underlying policies. It is therefore necessary to assure sound economic policies in individual nations and convergence in economic performance among the key industrial countries in order to have a smoothly functioning exchange rate system. Recent large movements in exchange rates have been due in large part to divergent policies and performance among the major economies. Such movements are normally consistent with the underlying economic fundamentals, as perceived by the market — provided that markets are reasonably open. Where trade or capital movements are restricted, however, exchange rates may be affected. The proper policy response in these cases is not an effort to maintain artificially a fixed rate, but rather an effort to liberalize trade and capital markets, as the United States has recently encouraged with regard to Japan. Efforts to strengthen IMF surveillance will be essential in improving the current international monetary system. The IMF Articles provide for firm IMF surveillance over members' exchange rates and balance of payments policies to ensure that they are fulfilling their obligations. These obligations commit member nations: to collaborate with the IMF and other members to ensure orderly exchange arrangements and to promote a stable system of exchange rates; to direct their economic and financial policies toward fostering orderly economic growth with reasonable price stability; and, to seek to promote stability by fostering orderly underlying economic and financial conditions. Iv^rnfr^i??3 reflect a recognition that domestic growth and ^ n n ^ f i st ^?4 lt: y c a n only derive from sound and stable national economic policies and performance. - 15 Fund surveillance of individual member countries is conducted through annual Fund consultations with each member country. The Fund assesses the economic situation in the member country and may underline areas of concern and make non-binding recommendations for policy changes. However, decisions on national economic policies ultimately rest with the national governments and the Fund's leverage is accordingly limited. Other important elements of the surveillance process include multilateral reviews in the context of the IMF's World Economic Outlook, and discussions within the IMF Executive Board and Interim Committee. These activities are also enhanced by consultations within other institutions, including the BIS, OECD, and GATT. These multilateral reviews normally focus primarily on the economic performance, outlook, and policies of the major industrial countries. The United States has maintained that it is necessary to develop further both the content and procedures of IMF surveillance in order to improve mutual understanding of current and prospective economic developments in individual member countries and their international linkages, to promote a common analytical framework, and to enable the IMF to exert greater influence on the policies of member governments. As Treasury Secretary Regan stated in his address to the annual meeting of the IMF and the World Bank Group in September, 1984: "The United States is prepared to move ahead decisively to strengthen international surveillance. We believe that such measures as increased public awareness of Article IV consultations with member countries, and a greater use of ad hoc consultations between the Managing Director and Finance Ministers, could be very useful. We hope that others will support proposals such as these for a stronger IMF surveillance role." The U.S. Government has suggested both procedural and substantive improvements in the IMF's Article IV consultation process, including measures to increase the publicity given to IMF staff and Executive Board assessments, more specific IMF policy suggestions to member countries, and more frequent use of ad hoc consultations. The United States has also suggested that the content of multilateral surveillance be enhanced, to permit comprehensive assessment of macroeconomic policies affecting the international monetary system, including more analysis of the capital account and greater attention to impediments caused by market-distorting practices. - 16 A number of the issues discussed above are currently under review within the Group of Ten, for subsequent transmittal to the IMF's Interim Committee during 1935. Conclusion The system of flexible exchange rates which was formally adopted in the mid-1970s to correct the shortcomings of the Bretton Woods fixed exchange rate system has made a positive contribution to the world economy during a decade of turbulent economic developments. A continuation of the Bretton Woods exchange rate system during this period would undoubtedly have resulted in greater resort to capital and trade restrictions and repeated exchange rate crises. Moreover, it is generally recognized that restoration of a fixed rate system is neither practical nor desirable at the present time. Nevertheless, the volatility of both short and longer-term exchange rate changes increased significantly during this period. While some would contend that this volatility has increased uncertainty, to the detriment of international trade and investment, a recent IMF study has found that there is no consistent evidence that recent exchange rate fluctuations have reduced the level of international trade or investment. Nor has the United States found any evidence of alleged Japanese manipulation of exchange rates. Leaders of the seven key industrial countries, however, recognized at the Williamsburg and London Summits the need to improve the current international monetary system. The Finance Ministers of the Group of Ten industrial countries have therefore asked their Deputies to review the current system and propose possible improvements this year. Suggestions for increased government management of exchange rates (through such mechanisms as target zones, capital market controls, or coordinated government intervention) are all aimed at increasing exchange market stability through measures to enforce mutually selected exchange rate levels. Domestic monetary policies would therefore once again be subject to an external exchange rate target, with less flexibility to pursue low inflation and economic growth objectives. Proposals to strengthen IMF surveillance procedures, on the other hand, would aim at improving stability from within national economies, rather than imposing stability from without. This approach would seek to promote sound national policies and a greater degree of convergence in economic performance among the major countries, as well as capital market and trade liberalization to improve the functioning of markets and exchange market stability. - 17 The IMF's Financing The IMF is the world's central monetary institution. As such, it is serving as the linchpin for the cooperative strategy of debtor governments, creditor governments and financial institutions that defused the immediate financial consequences associated with the global debt crisis. The IMF and many countries experiencing temporary balance of payments difficulties have cooperatively put into place the economic adjustment programs needed to reduce payments deficits and debt service burdens and thus establish the necessary conditions for the resumption of economic growth in debtor countries. The Fund exercises its role by extending its own finance to support economic adjustment efforts by member countries, and by acting as a catalyst to the provision of additional finance, and debt relief, from private financial institutions and other official sources. The IMF's leadership role in the coordinated international approach to the debt problem has of necessity strengthened its role in the world economy. The scale of the Fund's effort, together with the complexity of the L D C s economic problems, has led to concerns whether the IMF's policies and programs are suitable for LDC economies, and has prompted a number of proposals for reform. This chapter examines those concerns and proposals in light of the purpose and content of Fund programs and the available evidence on their impact. Purpose and Scope of IMF Adjustment Financing Programs The purpose of the IMF's financing role is to mitigate the impact of balance of payments problems on world trade and growth. The IMF was given a role in balance of payments finance because the international community recognized, in light of its experience with the mutually destructive, beggar-thy-neighbor policies of the 1930s, that adjustment within an established framework based on internationally agreed rules of behavior was in the best interest of all countries. The IMF provides financing to allow countries breathing space to adjust their economies without resort to measures, such as restrictions on trade and payments, that would ultimately lead to lower growth in both the countries that impose them and in the world economy. The IMF's Articles of Agreement specify that its resources be provided in support of adjustment of the economies of the borrowing countries. This requirement is supportive of, not contrary to, efforts to maximize non-inflationary economic growth. In general, countries with payments problems must adjust their economies to reduce the deficit to sustainable levels which may be financed in the medium term by private capital flows and/or official development assistance. - 18 - Most countries coming to the Fund for assistance often have allowed their balance of payments to deteriorate to such an extent that all, or almost all, sources of external finance have been withdrawn. In such circumstances, the balance of payments deficit is a binding constraint on a country's ability to grow. In the absence of sufficient external financing, a country typically must reduce imports drastically to match the reduced level of foreign financing. This type of economic adjustment is inevitably disruptive and inefficient. Countries need foreign exchange for a wide variety of transactions, and import goods and services for many purposes. For example, most countries must be able to import in order to export, and adjustment forced by a scarcity of foreign exchange thus is likely to impair a country's ability to export. Moreover, imports will probably be cut back indiscriminately, with the burden falling most heavily on the most vulnerable economic groups. The likely result of these restrictions is falling or slower growth and rising unemployment. It is not surprising, therefore, that many countries which delay an approach to the Fund until they have encountered severe payments problems are now experiencing economic contraction as well as high rates of inflation. An alternative to adjustment forced by the reduction of capital inflows is financed, planned adjustment. The IMF provides resources to allow countries breathing space to resolve their balance of payments difficulties in a manner less disruptive to the structure of the economy and less harmful to domestic growth and employment and world trade. Moreover, agreement between a country and the IMF on an economic program is an international seal of approval which acts as a catalyst to restore the country's international creditworthiness. In general, the amount of private and official financing from non-IMF sources made available after the adoption of a Fund program is a multiple of drawings on the Fund. Thus, the concern that the Fund imposes austerity is partly due to confusion between the impact of the balance of payments constraint and the effects of the IMF program. It is the balance of payments constraint, not the Fund, that limits potential growth. The entire reason for the IMF's financing role is to safeguard, and promote, the conditions for balanced growth. Limits to the Fund's Role Some of the concerns about the Fund's impact on economic activity relate to a misconception about the Fund's role. There ILix t % •" ! ? m e garters that an even larger financing role would be desirable because it might allow higher growth rates and ? n ^ l e r f?3 u ! i t m e n t P at h. However, the Fund's financing role is °na11/ Waited by member governments as to purpose, duration and amount. - 19 - The amount of adjustment necessary for each country will depend on the size of the initial balance of payments disequilibrium, prospects for world growth and trade, and the amount of financing available, both from the IMF and other sources. Why shouldn't the IMF provide substantially more financing to allow countries to delay adjustment even longer? First, there is strong evidence that attempts to avoid adjustment only exacerbate the economic trends that have caused an economy to diverge from the performance of trading partner economies and encounter balance of payments difficulties. Adjustment to the conditions of the international economy is inevitable and, if delayed, is more likely to take place in a crisis atmosphere at greater cost to domestic social, economic and political objectives. In fact, the low world growth rates of recent years have meant that the burden of adjustment for countries with balance of payments disequilibria has been greater than in a period of rapidly expanding world trade. In addition, the progress of many countries in reducing inflation has set a much tougher standard for countries in disequilibrium than was the case after the first oil shock. Secondly, the Fund is not an institution for the pursuit of global anti-cyclical policies. The total amount of IMF financing, and the amount and nature of the adjustment associated with it, are shaped by the prevailing conditions in the world economy and the financial markets. Thus the IMF faces the same resource constraints as the member countries which contribute those resources. Lastly, the IMF's role is deliberately limited by its member governments to preserve its role as the central international monetary institution the Fund's focus is squarely on the operation of the international monetary system. Its mandate to promote balance of payments adjustment is intended to help it to meet its systemic responsibilities. The IMF promotes growth through its support for the open world trade and payments system essential for mutually beneficial trading relations. The IMF does support growth directly in member countries to which it extends"financing, but its involvement is intended only to allow an orderly resolution of the balance of payments difficulties that make sustained growth impossible. The IMF is not, nor was it ever intended to be, either a substitute or competitor for private capital markets or a development institution. The IMF and the Finance of the LDCs: Principles Governing the IMF's Financing Role and Guidelines on Conditionality Concerns that the IMF requires too great an adjustment effort from LDCs in view of their structural weaknesses and political difficulties are sometimes reflected in proposals that the Fund apply a different, weaker standard of adjustment to the LDCs. These proposals usually assume that the weaker standard of adjustment would be accompanied by increased amounts of finance. - 20 - Such proposals would require a major institutional reform of the IMF, one which would represent a departure from the principles which define and maintain the Fund's character as a monetary institution. Such a reform would transform the Fund into a development, rather than a monetary institution. While the shortrun attractions to the LDCs are obvious, the long-term damage to the health of the international monetary system, and thus to all national economies, of a weakening of the Fund's role must be taken into account. The Articles of Agreement establishing the Fund were written to embody the principle of formal equality of members: all member countries enjoy equal rights and accept equal responsibilities in the IMF. Like the other basic tenets which govern the Fund's activities, the principle of formal equality is intended to ensure that the Fund's focus on its primary responsibilities to the international monetary system will be preserved, and that the guidelines according to which it operates will facilitate, not hinder, its ability to carry out those responsibilities. Therefore, the Fund's relations with the LDCs are conducted according to the same principles that guide its relations with other countries. The IMF was deliberately circumscribed from a role as a development institution as part of the consensus among members that the Fund's efforts should not be diverted from its primary responsibilities. Unlike the development institutions, the Fund was not divided into distinct groups of permanent debtors and creditors. The principles of equal treatment of all member countries and of respect for the sovereignty of all members are reflected in the Guidelines on Conditionality, last revised by the IMF's Executive Board in 1979. The Guidelines call on the Board to ensure adequate policy coordination in order to maintain the nondiscriminatory treatment of members. However, the Guidelines also explicitly provide that the number of performance criteria (that is; the specific policy targets and measures members must achieve in order to draw IMF financing) may vary because of the diversity of problems and institutional arrangements of members. Thus the Fund is formally required by its own rules to adapt conditionality to the circumstances of individual members, rather than applying an identical policy prescription to all countries. The principle of nondiscriminatory treatment is applied by requiring a"broadly equivalent adjustment effort by all members in similar circumstances, implemented through measures appropriate to individual circumstances. The Guidelines also make explicit the requirement that the Fund respect the sovereignty of its members. The Guidelines stipulate that the IMF must pay due regard to the domestic social - 21 - and political objectives, the economic priorities, and the circumstances of members. Moreover, the IMF must limit performance criteria to those macroeconomic variables necessary to evaluate implementation of the program with a view to ensuring the achievement of its objectives. Peformance criteria may relate to other variables only in exceptional cases when they are essential for the effectiveness of the member's program because of their macroeconomic impact. Thus, the IMF does not "impose" any specific policy measures on governments. Requests for IMF financing are initiated by the member country, and the precise type of financing and its conditions are settled through the member government's representatives and the IMF. Each member proposes its own stabilization program in support of its financing request. The Fund does not insist on a particular approach to adjustment. However, it may well express its views on the appropriateness of particular policy measures within the total policy mix, and must be satisfied that the policy package proposed by the member country will bring about a sustainable balance of payments position within a medium-term framework. Relevance of the IMF's Role to the Adjustment Process A smoothly functioning international monetary system is especially important to the development process. The development of new industries, and the modernization of traditional sectors, frequently depends on imported goods and technologies. This in turn requires access to foreign capital flows, since few LDCs are in a position to run a consistent foreign trade surplus based on their traditional export industries, and official development assistance can play only a limited role. International monetary disturbances which disrupt the flow of capital provided by the international capital markets therefore inhibit the ability of developing countries to import the investment goods essential to their development programs and require them to rely more heavily on traditional export sectors for foreign exchange. The IMF's balance of payments financing is by its nature general assistance and may not be specifically linked to particular development projects or sectors. Were the IMF's financing tied to specific projects or sectors, it would not be available for general balance of payments financing purposes. However, although the IMF's finance may not be directed to specific development objectives, its balance of payments assistance is often critical to further economic development. In the absence of this assistance domestic growth and income are likely to contract substantially as import shortages disrupt domestic production. The IMF's financing, by permitting smoother adjustment of payments imbalances, minimizes the interruptions to growth and development for countries which adopt Fund-sponsored adjustment programs. - 22 - The Content of IMF Programs - Conditionality IMF assistance is provided through a variety of facilities which have evolved over the years to meet the changing needs of member countries. All of the facilities except the "reserve tranche", to which all countries have nearly automatic access, require that the borrowing country accept conditions on economic performance. The practice of applying conditions, or "conditionality", to IMF drawings is the primary focus of the criticism and controversy surrounding the Fund's role. The practice of conditionality evolved in the early years of the Fundus history as a means of meeting the requirements of the Fund's charter, the Articles of Agreement. The Articles specify that the IMF's financing be temporary, associated with adequate safeguards for repayment, and extended in support of effective adjustment. These requirements of the Articles guarantee the "revolving character" of the IMF's resources - that each member make only temporary use of the IMF's financing so that funds will be available to meet the needs of other members when they arise. The conditions applied to economic performance provide assurance that the borrowing country will take steps to remedy its balance of payments problems so that it will be in a position to repay the Fund. However, the conditions also help the Fund fulfill its much broader mission to assure that the process of international balance of payments adjustment is accomplished without undue cost to the country experiencing difficulties or to the IMF's entire membership. The conditions attached to IMF adjustment programs can help a country return to a sustainable balance of payments position by correcting the underlying policy maladjustments that have contributed to the payments problem. Programs seek to establish the right signals at the macroeconomic level by using a wide range of policy tools involving taxation and spending, credit, interest rates, exchange rates, labor markets and prices to encourage a shift of resources toward greater production of export and import-competing goods and services and discourage excessive absorption of imports. Often, adjustment will involve a short-term reduction in aggregate demand as well as a switch in expenditures, because previous policies had contributed to an unsustainable expansion of demand and rising inflation which had increased the gap between domestic absorption and production. Although the IMF's approach to balance of payments adjustment was developed in the early years of its existence when the principal users of the Fund's resources were industrialized countries, the the pattern of policy weaknesses in countries which have experienced the most severe debt difficulties do not differ fundamentally from those experienced by industrial countries with financing problems. "Traditional" IMF policy recommendations are in fact often appropriate to both the LDCs ornh?o™eX"??St!:iai c o u n t r i e s - A review of some of the major problems illustrates this point. - 23 - (a) Fiscal deficits in the non-oil LDCs have expanded rapidly since the late 1970s, doubling to nearly 6 percent of GNP in 1982. The expansion was particularly marked for the three major Latin American borrowers, whose average deficits rose from 7-8 percent of GDP in 1979 to 14-18 percent in 1982. Such a rapid and sizeable expansion in budget deficits can place enormous financing pressures on domestic financial markets. The result, in many countries, was inflationary money creation, and an aggravation of balance of payments and external financing difficulties. Those countries which borrowed abroad in large amounts, and which ultimately had to reschedule their debts, experienced rates of money growth and inflation substantially higher than those in countries without such serious problems. (b) Negative real interest rates are another pervasive feature of LDC economies in recent years. These unrealistic rates discourage domestic savings in financial (as opposed to real) assets and encourage capital flight even in countries with the most rudimentary capital markets. Moreover, they discourage inflows of capital from abroad which would ease the balance of payments constraint on the economy. They also distort investment decisions by encouraging investment in inflation hedges rather than in more productive areas. (c) Unrealistic producer pricing policies in the agriculture and large nationalized, sectors of many LDC economies tend to keep prices well below the cost of production or world market price. This in turn tends to encourage excessive consumption and leads to rising subisidies to those sectors and a strain on fiscal deficits. Moreover, by distorting relative prices such policies discourage domestic production of affected goods, and encourage the inefficient use of scarce resources. (d) Countries which experienced debt difficulties to such a degree that they had to reschedule had, as a group, allowed the maturity structure of external debt to deteriorate substantially through heavy reliance on short-term foreign borrowing. Those countries which managed to avoid rescheduling had experienced a more modest deterioration in the maturity profile due to more prudent debt management policies. (e) Exchange rate adjustments are often the most strenuously resisted of policy changes. Studies by the IMF show that countries which had to reschedule in 1982-83 had, as a group, allowed their exchange rates to appreciate by more than 20 percent in real terms in the two years leading up to the payments difficulties, whereas countries managing to avoid reschedulings recorded only a small appreciation. Exchange rate adjustments are often absolutely critical to the adjustment process. In many cases, severe balance of payments difficulties are the result of a protracted period of overly expansionary domestic policies, which have pushed domestic demand far out of line with a country's ability to produce, and domestic prices and costs far out of line with international counterparts. - 24 - In the absence of offsetting exchange rate adjustments, the economy's international competitiveness will be adversely affected. Moreover, a clearly overvalued exchange rate encourages speculation and capital flight, leading many countries to impose controls on imports and capital flows which only exacerbate inflationary trends and encourage distortions and black market activities. Attempts to bring about the necessary adjustment in relative prices and costs solely through domestic demand management policies are necessarily more costly in terms of domestic growth and employment. The argument for exchange rate adjustment only strengthens with the size of the balance of payments imbalance. The IMF works with countries seeking financial assistance to implement a package of policy measures which will help the country move to a viable balance of payments position within a reasonable period of time and in a manner consistent with a resumption of sustainable growth. Although the policy measures will be carefully tailored to the situation of each individual country, an effective adjustment program will generally include demand management policies designed to achieve reasonable price stability, pricing and other supply-side policies framed to encourage the efficient allocation of resources and strengthen the productive base, and prudent external debt management policies. The IMF's conditionality practices are thus both broadly appropriate to the adjustment problems facing the LDC economies, as well as appropriate for specific problems encountered in those economies. Moreover, the range of the IMF's financing facilities allow it to offer quick-disbursing financing, longer periods of adjustment and a larger scale of assistance when the nature of a country's balance of payments problems require them and when the quality of the adjustment effort merits them. These options have proved to be of particular benefit to the LDCs. The IMF's Special Facilities It has been proposed that the IMF respond to the current financing problems of LDCs by creating new supplementary financing facilities. However, the IMF has responded in the past to evolving international financing needs by establishing special financing facilities and thus already has a range of programs under which it may vary the amount, maturity and conditionality of its financing according to the situation of the borrowing country. Compensatory Financing Facility. The Compensatory Financing Facility (CFF) was established in 1963 to orovide financing to members experiencing balance of payments difficulties due to a temporary shortfall in export earnings due largely to factors beyong their control. The CFF was later expanded to cooe with surges in food import costs, also attributable to factors beyond the memoer's control. - 25 - Buffer Stock Facility. The Buffer Stock Facility was established in 1969 to help members meet a balance of payments financing need resulting from their contributions to international buffer stocks that meet specified IMF criteria. Extended Fund Facility. The Extended Fund Facility (EFF) was established in 1974 to address the widespread, severe balance of payments problems experienced by many countries after the first oil shock. The EFF is designed to address the following situations: 1) "severe payments imbalances due to structural maladjustments in production and trade where price and cost distortions have been widespread;" and, 2) an "economy characterized by slow growth and an inherently weak balance of payments position which prevents pursuit of active development policy." Thus the IMF, through the Extended Fund Facility, explicitly recognizes and provides for cases in which the achievement of balance of payments viability is possible only in the mediumterm. Under the EFF, a country may draw continuously IMF resources for up to three years, and repayment takes place over the extended period of four to ten years. The standards of conditionality applied to EFF drawings are similar to those under the shorter-term stand-by facilities, but its resources are intended to support a more sustained adjustment effort, with emphasis on policy measures to mobilize resources and improve resource utilization, and reduce reliance to external restrictions. The EFF provides resources to a country which meets the facility's requirements for balance of payments need and is willing to undertake a comprehensive, medium-term plan of adjustment that includes policies of a scope and character required to correct strucural imbalances in production, trade and prices. A substantial portion of IMF lending since the onset of the debt problem has been chanelled through the EFF. At the end of 1984,'about 55 percent of total resource commitments under IMF programs are EFF funds, largely reflecting the large EFF programs implemented by Mexico and Brazil. Enlarged Access. The Enlarged Access Policy (EAP) was established in 1981 to meet the needs of countries whose payments imbalances are large relative to quota. The EAP succeeded the earlier Supplementary Financing Facility (SFF), which was established in 1979 to provide members with access to Fund resources in addition to drawing privileges under a regular stand-by or EFF program. The Interim Committee decided in September 1984 that under the EAP a country may draw a maximum of 95"percent of its IMF quota annually, and up to 280 percent over three years, provided cumulative drawings do not exceed 408 percent of quota. Larger drawings may be made in exceptional circumstances. - 26 - The current access limits reflect a substantial evolution of the IMF's lending policies in the post-1973 period in response to the much more difficult international financial situation and the much larger, more intractable payments problems of its member countries. In particular, the two oil shocks and the economic and financial instability of the 1970s exposed the structural weaknesses of the LDC economies and contributed to large payments imbalances in many countries. The IMF responded to the problems of the LDCs, and of other member countries experiencing difficulties in those years as well, with the creation of several special financing facilities: the Oil Facility, which provided additional resources with minimal conditionality; the EFF; the SFF; and finally, the EAP. These several facilities together have allowed the IMF substantial flexibility to extend loans of much greater size and longer maturity than the maximum 100 percent of quota, one-year standby programs which were the norm prior to 1973. Experience of Countries Under Fund-Sponsored Adjustment Programs Thus, IMF programs may be designed flexibily in order to minimize the unavoidable costs of balance of payments adjustment by providing financing to support implementation of policy .measures best suited to borrowers' individual circumstances. Do IMF programs succeed in meeting the objective of bringing about balance of payments adjustment while fostoring the conditions for sustainable growth? An examination of the record supports the conclusion that they do, and suggests some of the conditions which make successful adjustment more likely. The IMF staff performed an aggregated analysis of experience with more that 70 programs during the 1970s. The results of any aggregated survey of countries' experience must be interpreted with caution. First, the great diversity among the different countries makes it difficult to generalize about them. Secondly, it is difficult to make judgements about what would have happened in the absence of the IMF programs. In addition, the analysis does not take account of the extent to which exogeneous conditions differed from assumptions made when formulating program objectives. Further, it is not possible in a strictly quantitative analysis to take account of the extent to which ? K U n ^ i e S a ? t u a l l v implemented policy measures. Nevertheless, the IMF analysis yielded some interesting results. The study found that on average, countries that pursued IMF programs recorded a significant improvement in the ratio of the o * r r p n ^ a C C ° U - \ d e f i c i u t 0 G D P * 0 n average, the ratio fell 1.5 9 , 0 1 ! ! S i n t h e y e a r o f t h e P^gram, and 1.2 percentage fo !•!«« - i 5 e e f a r S f o l l o w i n g the program. In contrast, n n 01 ° 7 i fveloping countries as a whole, the ratio of r current account deficit to GDP rose in those years. - 27 - Countries pursuing IMF adjustment programs were less successful in reducing the rate of inflation. In fact, inflation rates increased about two percentage points on average in the program year and in the subsequent three year period. However, inflation performance by the non-oil developing countries as a group was, on average, substantially worse than for countries with IMF programs. For those countries, inflation rose by 3.2 percentage points and 6.9 percentage points in the one and three year periods respectively. There was no significant difference in the growth performance of countries with IMF programs and non-oil developing countries as a group. In fact, the real growth rate for countries with programs declined by 0.3 percentage points on average in the short run but was unchanged in the subsequent three year period. At the same time, the average real growth rate for non-oil developing countries fell 0.2 percentage points in the short run and 0.4 percentage points over the longer period. In addition, there was only a marginal decline (0.2 to 0.3 percentage points) in the growth rate of real consumption expenditures for countries with IMF programs. On average, the growth rate of consumption remained rather high - about four percent. Therefore, on average, countries which pursued Fund-sponsored adjustment in the 1970s were able to achieve a significant improvement in their balance of payments positions, with no systematic loss in real growth or consumption, and with an inflation performance which, if disappointing, was markedly better that that of non-oil developing countries as a group. Moreover, the conclusions that Fund-sponsored adjustment works, and that it works without excessive sacrifices of consumption or economic growth, are borne out by recent experience among LDC debtor countries and the outlook for those countries. At year-end 1984, 33 IMF members, including some of the most significant LDC debtors, were implementing IMF programs, and others were being negotiated. The record of balance of payments adjustment since the beginning of the debt crisis is impressive. Between 1981 and 1983, the combined current account deficits of all non-oil developing countries fell from $108 billion to $52 billion. For the Latin American region alone the deficit fell from $46 billion to $15 billion in those years. The adjustment was associated with low real growth rates GDP-weighted real growth in the non-oil LDCs fell from 3.1 percent in 1981 to 1.8 percent in 1983 - and a 9 percent import volume reduction (about $60 billion). However, in most cases, growth and imports turned down before the IMF came on the scene, and the adjustment would doubtless have been much more severe without the $20 billion in IMF financing disbursed in 1982-83. - 28 - Moreover, the outlook is encouraging. Growth rates in countries with Fund programs during 1984 are expected to have improved noticeably, with growth rates in most countries in a range of one to six percent. Of 36 countries with IMF programs last year, 29 project stronger growth in the program year as compared to the previous year; only 3 of the 36 are expected to experience zero or negative growth. The improvement extends to Mexico and Brazil, the largest LDC debtors. Contrary to the misperception that the IMF suppresses imports, imports are forecast to expand in 27 of the 36 countries with IMF programs, and in 7 of them, imports should rise between 10 and 20 percent. Imports should rise about 12 percent in the nine "major" LDC debtors in 1984, compared to a decline of 9 percent in 1983. Although, there is persuasive evidence that the IMF's approach to economic adjustment is effective, not all countries fully achieve their program objectives. However, experience suggests that a number of conditions are likely to increase the probability of achieving sustainable real growth. It is essential that the government of the country experiencing payment difficulties be committed to effective adjustment, and that it be able to win public understanding and support for its adjustment program. Countries that delay adjustment, and implement corrective measures only partially, are predictably less likely to be successful in reaching the objectives of their IMF programs. Adjustment is much easier to accomplish if undertaken early, before the distortions in an economy result in financial crisis. At the crisis stage, the political and social costs of adjustment are likely to be quite high, and thus less acceptable. Countries willing promptly to adapt policies to changing conditions are most successful in bringing about adjustment. Experience shows that unforeseen developments that make adjustment more difficult do not have a systematic impact on performance. Countries willing to adapt or strengthen policies have been able to perform very well, while the absence of adverse unforeseen developments is not enough to assure success. Finally, a willingness to stay the course and continue to pursue sound policies once the initial crisis stage is passed, and to continue to implement adjustment measures until necessary structural reforms are completed, increases the chances that a country will reach a viable external position. Unfortunately, durable economic adjustment cannot be achieved overnight, and unsound, short-sighted policies can undermine even the most robust economy. - 29 - The Issue of Prolonged Use Although the record is clear that IMF programs are both appropriate to the problems of LDC economies, and help bring about adjustment while creating the conditions for sustained growth, some countries have failed to make significant progress toward adjustment despite successive IMF programs. The reasons for these disappointing performances are multiple and complex. Countries may fail to make progress because of inadequate implementation of the IMF program measures, or because the adjustment effort was not sufficiently prolonged. In some cases insufficient adjustment is due to external factors, such as weaker than expected demand for exports, wars or natural disasters. In other cases, a lack of progress may be attributable to an inadequate appreciation of the size of the adjustment effort needed, or an overestimation of the ability of the supply side of the economy to adapt. The prolonged use of IMF resources (that is; continued recourse to IMF borrowing with the associated long-standing financial obligations to the Fund) by a limited group of countries has important negative implications for the role of the IMF as a monetary institution. As a monetary institution, the IMF's resources must be available to all member countries, not just a limited number, to meet potential payments problems. This means that use of IMF resources by any one member must be temporary - the resources must "revolve" back to the IMF to be available to other members in case of need. The related issues of prolonged use and inadequate economic adjustment by borrowers are difficult ones and are now under close review in both the IMF and the U.S. government. In fulfillment of the call at the London Summit for intensified coordination between the IMF and the IBRD, the Administration is exploring the possibility that increased Bank/Fund coordination might contribute to a resolution of the problem of prolonged use. In particular, there may be certain situations in which strengthened IMF surveillance of the macroeconomic policies of countries with a record of prolonged use may, in concert with a World Bank structural adjustment program, be more appropriate than increased IMF financing. Measures Taken to Implement Section 33 of the Bretton Woods Agreement Act Concern that the process of economic adjustment might adversely affect the provision of basic human needs in borrowing countries led to the adoption of Section 33 of the Bretton Woods Agreements Act, which directs the Administration to take measures to ensure that the IMF's economic adjustment programs safeguard and promote the provision of basic human needs. 30 - The IMF makes a substantial indirect contribution to the satisfaction and improvement of basic human needs through its support for international monetary cooperation, reductions in barriers to international transactions, and a vigorously expanding world economy. More directly, by providing financing and serving as the catalyst for additional private financing, the IMF eases the inevitable near-term burden of the adjustment effort. Over the last three years a number of important specific steps have been taken pursuant to the provisions of Section 33. The National Advisory Council on International Monetary and Financial Policies (NAC), which includes the Departments of Treasury, State, Commerce, the Federal Reserve Board, the Export-Import Bank, Office of the U.S. Trade Representative and the International Development Cooperation Agency, has primary responsibility for reviewing all IMF loans. As a first step, the NAC agencies were informed of the provisions of Section 33, and the NAC has served as a mechanism for reviewing the impact of IMF. programs on basic human needs. In this connection, assessments of the human needs impact of proposed IMF programs have been made pursuant to Section 33(b) by the Treasury Department with the assistance of the Department of State and International Development Cooperation Agency. These analyses have been taken into account by the U.S. Executive Director in formulating his statement and position on proposed IMF adjustment programs. Retrospective analyses, which rely in part on information provided by U.S. embassies in borrowing countries, have also been prepared and submitted to Congress. Progress has also been made in increasing coordination between the IMF and World Bank, also prompted by Section 33(b). Increased Fund/Bank collaboration is manifested in a number of forms - briefings of the staffs of the other institution before and after a mission is undertaken; parallel or joint missions by the two institutions; exchange of country data and information; and solicitation of comment on draft staff papers. The Fund and Bank have begun working particularly closely in devising complementary programs in support of countries' structural adjustment efforts. World Bank loans to enhance production capabilities, improve marketing and pricing systems, and rationalize microeconomic development policies can complement IMF-supported adjustment of macroeconomic policies affecting exchange and interest rates and overall levels of economic activity. Such coordination can minimize short-term dislocations and accelerate production responses - both of which can directly and indirectly improve the capacity to meet basic human needs. U.S. representatives have played a key role in bringing together the managements and Executive Board members of the two institutions to improve Fund/Bank operations in individual countries. We are continuing efforts to intensify this collaboration. - 31 - In addition to the general approach set forth above which supports basic human needs objectives, U.S. representatives have encouraged and supported various IMF program design improvements to promote further the objectives of Section 33 in a manner consistent with the other provisions of the Bretton Woods Agreement Act. These include increased emphasis on policies to promote savings, investment, production and employment. With strong U.S. support, the IMF is taking a particular interest in encouraging the adoption of rational pricing and production policies crucial to balanced growth in the poorest LDCs. Recent IMF programs have encouraged the removal of exchange rate rigidities and producer price restrictions which discourage domestic production and encourage budget deficits. In a number of African countries such policy steps have contributed to significant increases in food production thus contributing both directly and indirectly to efforts to meet basic human needs. The U.S. Executive Director has pressed the Fund to help countries frame their economic adjustment programs in a mediumterm context. Consequently, one year, multiyear, and successive programs extending beyond three years are better able to support serious adjustment efforts which can improve the balance of payments-position and promote economic growth and employment. Where it is clear that the adjustment effort may take longer than consistent with the temporary character of IMF financing, the U.S. Executive Director has encouraged the Fund to explain the financing implications to official creditors and donors and has urged the Fund to play an active role, where appropriate, in efforts to enlist their assistance to help close external financing gaps. The catalytic role of the IMF programs in prompting official and private capital inflows has been especially vital over the last two years for the many countries confronting debt servicing difficulties. The U.S. Executive Director has also strongly advocated expanded IMF technical assistance efforts to improve members' macroeconomic policy management. In many IMF member countries, such assistance has been extremely helpful in promoting more efficient use of scarce economic resources. The U.S. Director has also urged greater use of IMF resident representatives in order to maintain closer IMF working relations with national authorities and to promote more effective program implementation. In pursuing the individual provisions of Section 33, we have been mindful of its legislative history, the recognition that its provisions should be implemented "to ensure the effectiveness of economic adjustment programs supported by Fund resources," and the clear Congressional support over nearly forty years for the IMF's focus on providing short-term balance of payments financing to countries making needed policy adjustments. - 32 - In this context certain provisions of Section 33, if improperly implemented, could seriously undermine effective IMF support for balance of payments adjustment and ultimately weaken the longer-range economic prospects for borrowing countries, contrary to the intent of Section 33. Special caution has therefore been required in seeking to have IMF members, or the IMF itself, explicitly identify and quantify the impact (both projected and past) of countries' adjustment efforts on living standards. The IMF cannot and does not dictate the design of adjustment programs. It conditions use of its resources on the implementation of sound economic policies so as to safeguard the revolving character of its resources and promote orderly balance of payments adjustment. To do this it establishes, in negotiation with national authorities, macroeconomic performance targets — such as levels of public sector deficits, credit expansion and foreign exchange reserves — judged sufficient to promote and guide the adjustment process. Ultimately, however, individual governments are responsible for the selection and implementation of policies necessary to achieve those targets. They must establish their own fiscal, monetary and international priorities. The IMF does not have the mandate or leverage to dictate such decisions. This is why we have emphasized in implementing Section 33 the need for the Bank (and also bilateral aid agencies) to be actively and simultaneously involved in countries using Fund resources. It is clear that the adjustment programs which countries adopt — supported by IMF financing — do take into account the possible social effects. Few, .if any, governments undertaking comprehensive economic adjustment programs would frame such programs without considering the social impact and potential political ramifications. Indeed, the IMF acknowledges these considerations in its "Conditionality" guidelines, which specifically direct that "in helping members to devise adjustment programs, the Fund will pay due regard to the domestic social and political objectives, the economic priorities, and the circumstances of members, including the causes of their balance of payments problems." In this connection, IMF staff missions can and do offer technical assistance and advice to member governments developing adjustment programs, drawing on the Fund's extensive experience in this area. In summary, the Executive Branch has sought to implement the provisions of Section 33 in a manner consistent with the fundamental purposes and objectives of the IMF. We will continue to pursue the mandate of Section 33. We believe that our approach has effectively promoted sound macroeconomic adjustment policies which both promote balance of payments adjustment and lay the basis for renewed investment and productive growth that can meet basic human needs. - 33 - Conclusion: Strengthening the Role and Improving the Operation of the Fund in Promoting Balance of Payments Adjustment The IMF's role in promoting economic adjustment is controversial because adjustment is almost always controversial. The adjustment process of the past two years has been particularly difficult for several reasons: it followed a long period during which expectations were kept unrealistically high in some countries with the assistance of unconditional private market financing; it was triggered by a major financial crises; and, it was initiated in the midst of a deep world recession. However, the experience of the last two years has largely reaffirmed that the IMF's approach to balance of payments adjustment is effective, that it is appropriate to the problems of both developed and developing countries, and that it promotes adjustment while minimizing short-term losses in output and fostering an early resumption of stronger economic growth. At the same time, that experience has made very clear the importance of timely adjustment, the dangers and costs of an extended period of unconditional financing and the importance of determined efforts to carry out adjustment once the effort is undertaken. The task before the international community now is to assure that the progress in resolving current debt problems is sustained and to ensure that similar problems do not recurr. The lessons of the past two years suggest that the proper course is to ensure that the IMF's lending policies encourage, to the maximum feasible extent, the economic adjustment crucial to the resolution of current problems and the avoidance of similar problems in the future. This should not require any change in the IMF's institutional structure through amendment of the Fund's Articles. The existing structure is adequate. Moreover, it will not require any addition to the current range of IMF financing facilities. In theory, the creation of new, supplemental financing facilities is always feasible. However, it would be very difficult to marshall support for new facilities at present in view of the severe resource constraints faced by most member governments. Further, by weakening the focus on prompt, effective adjustment measures, the establishment of new, supplemental financing facilities would be counterproductive. The IMF's existing range of financing facilities is adequate to the different needs of its member countries. The IMF's resources, augmented by the 1983 quota increase, are adequate to provide appropriate amounts of finance in support of adjustment. Rather, efforts to strengthen the role of the IMF and improve its operation with respect to its financing role should focus on steps to ensure that its limited resources will be used most efficiently for temporary balance of payments financing in support of adjustment. In this context, the Administration has - 34 - already taken steps, and will continue to work to improve the effectiveness of the IMF's conditionality. For example, greater use has been made of one-year or successive one year programs, rather than multi-year arrangements, to help ensure more effective program implementation. In addition, more use has been made of measures which countries agree to implement before IMF drawings begin (prior actions) in order to provide more assurance that prompt adjustment will in fact take place. Further, the Fund has taken steps to reinforce the market orientation of its policies through greater emphasis on such factors as positive real interest rates, realistic pricing policies, and the elimination of subsidies and restrictions on trade and investment. To complement these steps, individual countries' access to IMF resources as a percentage of quota has been reduced, and will be reduced further, to ensure that IMF financing will be used to promote adjustment, and that it will be "leveraged" with respect to private financing to the greatest extent. In addition, it was, decided that countries may not automatically receive maximum access; instead, the amount of financing made available to each country depends on the strength of the adjustment effort and the seriousness of the balance of payments need. Access limits were originally increased because of the serious, sizeable financing needs of some member countries. However, it was subsequently recognized that continued large-scale financing would both erode the Fund's financial position and delay necessary adjustment. Thus, the Fund has decided, with U.S. support, that the enlarged access policy will be phased out as conditions permit. The Administration has suggested ways in which the IMF's surveillance over the economic policies of member countries might be strengthened to bring about greater convergence of economic policies among all countries, to ensure the pursuit of the kind of sound economic policies necessary to financial market confidence after the completion of IMF adjustment programs, and, in some situations, to provide a stronger macroeconomic policy framework in coordination with World Bank structural adjustment lending for countries which have made prolonged use of IMF resources. The progress made thus far toward resolution of the debt problem, together with the much improved international economic outlook, suggests that the time is ripe for such actions, both to strengthen international adjustment effort and reduce to the pressure on the IMF's resource base. - 35 The IMF's Resources The financial strains of recent years have led to a substantial rise in official financing needs. The IMF is playing a major role in providing those resources and in encouraging continued financing from other sources in the context of appropriate economic adjustment programs. Since 1979, IMF quota resources have increased from $38 billion to $92 billion, and outstanding loans have increased from $8 billion to $35 billion. This has resulted in questions about the appropriate role for IMF financing, the amount of resources needed for this purpose, and possible alternative sources of financing. This chapter addresses those issues. IMF Operations The IMF is a unique institution, differing fundamentally from the multilateral development banks or foreign aid agencies. There is no fixed class or group of lenders or borrowers in the IMF, no concept of "donor" or "recipient." Each member is obligated to provide financing to the IMF for use in IMF drawings by other countries facing balance of payments needs, and each country in turn has the right to draw upon the IMF when it faces a balance of payments need. The U.S. subscription to IMF resources has been used (and repaid) many times over the years. In turn, the United States has itself drawn upon (and repaid) IMF resources on 24 occasions, most recently in 1978, for a total equivalent to about $6.5 billion, the second largest drawings of the entire membership. The IMF is essentially a revolving fund of currencies, and its financing operations take the form of foreign exchange transactions with members. A member drawing from the IMF uses its own currency to "purchase" foreign exchange or SDRs from the IMF to help meet balance of payments financing needs. Drawings thus increase IMF holdings of that member's currency and reduce IMF holdings of other currencies or SDRs. A member repays the IMF either by using reserve assets (SDRs or useable foreign exchange) to "repurchase" IMF holdings of its currency in excess of its quota/ or as a result of its own currency being used by the IMF to finance drawings by other members. Repurchases by a member thus reduce the IMF's holdings of that member's currency, and the IMF's holdings of other currencies or SDRs are correspondingly increased. When a country's currency is used by the IMF to finance a drawing, its repurchase obligations, if any, are reduced, or, (to the extent IMF holdings of its currency fall below its quota), it receives a "reserve position" in the IMF. This IMF reserve position is an international reserve asset, and is automatically and -36- unconditionally available to the member in case of balance of payments need. The reserve position in the Fund earns "remuneration" (interest) at a rate calculated as a percentage of the weighted average of short-term interest rates on the five currencies in the SDR valuation basket. The IMF's basic financing operations are conducted under the "tranche" policies. As indicated above, drawings in the reserve tranche (equivalent to the amount by which a member's quota exceeds IMF holdings of its currency) are available automatically upon the member's representation of balance of payments need, are interest-free and are not subject to policy conditions or to repurchase obligations. Purchases beyond the reserve tranche (that is, those purchases that would raise the IMF's holdings of a member's currency above its quota) are made in four credit tranches, each amounting to 25 percent of the member's quota. Credit tranche drawings generally must be repurchased within 3-5 years and are subject to interest charges, currently equal to 7.0 percent per annum. Drawings in the first credit tranche require presentation of an economic program which satisfies the IMF that the member is making a reasonable effort to correct its balance of payments problems. Drawings in the three remaining, or upper, credit tranches, require "substantial justification" and the undertaking of specified economic policy measures by the borrower. Such conditions are normally incorporated in a "stand-by arrangement," under which IMF financing is made available only as the member meets agreed "performance criteria." In addition, the IMF has established several special facilities (described in the previous chapter) to help meet balance of payments financing needs arising from particular problems. IMF Resources a) Quotas Financing provided by the IMF is drawn primarily from members' quota subscriptions, supplemented at times by IMF borrowing. Under standard IMF procedures, a portion of each member's quota subscription (25 percent) is paid in the form of reserve assets, and the balance (75 percent) in the form of a letter of credit issued by the member upon which the IMF can call to obtain the member's currency to finance drawings by other countries. As the Fund's permanent resource base, quotas determine: the amount of IMF financing a member can obtain when in balance of payments need; members' obligations to provide resources to the IMF when in a strong balance of payments position; the distribution of SDR allocations; and, voting power in the institution. -37- The IMF Articles of Agreement provide that "the Fund shall, at intervals of not more than five years, conduct a general review, and if it deems appropriate propose an adjustment of the quotas of members." An 85 percent majority of the total voting power is required for any change in quotas proposed as the result of a general review, and no individual quota can be changed without the consent of the member concerned. Pursuant to these provisions, there have been eight general reviews of quotas in the past, with increases implemented on six occasions, including the 1983 quota increase. The IMF's reliance on quota subscriptions as the principal source of official financing reflects both the role of the Fund as an official monetary institution and the operating requirements arising from that function. The resources of the Fund are intended to address relatively short-term balance of payments problems, which may be experienced by any country. Moreover, the benefits to be derived from a smoothly functioning monetary system accrue to all countries, regardless of income levels or stages of development. Consequently, a fundamental tenet of the IMF is that all members have an obligation to contribute to overall monetary stability by providing financing to the IMF when in a strong enough position to do so; and each has access to the Fund's resources to meet balance of payments needs on the basis of standard conditions and criteria. b) IMF Official Borrowing In addition to meeting requirements for official balance of payments financing in normal circumstances, the IMF also serves as the financial backstop for the system. The IMF must have, and be seen to have, the means to deal with the extraordinary financing demands that arise from time to time. In this connection, the IMF has authority to borrow to supplement its quota resources in case of need and has established borrowing arrangements with official creditors on several occasions in the past. Official borrowing became an important but still secondary source of finance for the IMF in the decade following the first oil shock. The various borrowing arrangements have been used to finance the Fund's lending under the special facilities established to address the substantial and persistent payments imbalances of these years. Additionally, the 1983 increase in the General Arrangements to Borrow (GAB) contingency credit line strengthened the IMF's ability to deal with potential emergency situations. General Arrangements to Borrow (GAB). The GAB was originally established in 1962 to provide supplementary resources to the IMF to forestall or cope with a potential impairment of the international monetary system. Ten industrial member countries agreed -38- to provide specified amounts of their currencies to the IMF to facilitate drawings from the IMF by any of the ten members in order to meet this purpose. The GAB has an indefinite duration. The GAB has been activated a number of times over its life, most recently in connection with U.S. drawings on the IMF in 1978. Switzerland became a full GAB participant in 1984 but previously participated as an associate. The size of the GAB credit lines were increased substantially in 1983, from the equivalent of about SDR 6.5 billion to SDR 17.0 billion. In addition, in 1983 Saudi Arabia entered into a parallel arrangement with the IMF under which the Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority (SAMA) agreed to provide up to SDR 1.5 billion to the GAB to be drawn under the same circumstances and for the same purposes as the GAB. As part of the 1983 negotiations increasing the size of the GAB, it was also decided to expand the use of the GAB to allow it to be activated for conditional financing for non-GAB IMF members, if the IMF were faced with an inadequacy of resources arising from an exceptional situation associated with requests from countries with balance of payments problems of a character or an aggregate size that could pose a threat to the stability of the international monetary system. Oil Facility. In 1974 and 1975, the IMF borrowed the equivalent of SDR 6.9 billion from a group of industrial and oil producing countries to finance loans to countries experiencing balance of payments difficulties attibutable to higher oil import costs. The United States did not participate in this arrangement, and the facility ceased new lending operations in 1976. Supplementary Financing Facility (SFF). The SFF was financed by lines of credit from thirteen industrial and oil exporting nations totalling SDR 7.8 billion. The U.S. share was SDR 1,450 million (but not to exceed the $1,831 million appropriated by Congress). The facility was established in 1979 to provide additional assistance to countries with payments imbalances that were large relative to quotas. SFF loans were fully committed by early 1981, although disbursements actually took place through early 1984. The United States is now receiving repayments on its SFF loan. Enlarged Access. To help finance the policy of Enlarged Access adopted in 1981, the IMF entered into loan agreements with SAMA for amounts equivalent to SDR 4 billion for each of two years, and with thirteen industrial countries for the equivalent of SDR 1.1 billion, one half of which was provided by the Bank for International Settlements. In early 1984, the Fund concluded a new agreement for SDR 6 billion with SAMA and a group of countries from the BIS area to meet demands for enlarged access financing which were expected to exceed the amounts committed under the earlier borrowing arrangements. -39Adequacy of the IMF's Resources Judgements about the adequacy of the IMF's resources must take account of both the likely demand for Fund financing and the character of the IMF as a monetary institution in support of adjustment. The IMF's resources must be adequate to oermit it to meet demands for official balance of payments suooort'which reasonably may be expected to occur over the medium term, and to address emergency situations which may threaten the international monetary system. However, to preserve the IMF's monetary role, IMF financing must be limited to situations of clear balance of payments need, and should encourage rather than postpone effective economic adjustment. The Fund's ability to meet legitimate claims upon its resources, that is, its "liquidity," depends on: the size of members' quotas and the IMF's access to official borrowing; the composition of its currency holdings and of its credit lines, since only the currencies of countries in strong balance of payments and reserve positions are usable to finance IMF drawings at any particular point in time; the size and distribution of payments imbalances, which affect the potential demand for IMF resources; and, the likelihood that liquid claims on the IMF, the "reserve tranches" of countries for which the IMF's holdings of currency fall below the amount of quota, will be utilized. Factors influencing the demand for IMF resources are the strength of IMF conditionality, and the availability of alternative sources of finance. As a result of the latest quota increase and the expansion of the GAB, the IMF's current liquidity position is strong. At the beginning of 1985, it is estimated that the IMF's usable currency holdings exceeded SDR 30 billion. Moreover, the full amount of the GAB is available to meet emergency needs. Finally, substantial loan repayments are scheduled to be made over the next few years. Consequently, it is not anticipated that a further increase in IMF resources will be required before the completion of the 9th general review quotas, scheduled for late 1988. Proposals for Alternative Sources for IMF Financing As noted above, the IMF has traditionally relied mainly on quota subscriptions as the principal source of its financing, supplemented from time to time by borrowing from official sources. However, severe budget constraints have led to renewed interest in alternative sources of funds, including private market borrowing and mobilization of the IMF's gold holdings. a) IMF Borrowing in the Private Markets Proposals for IMF recourse to private markets as a means of obtaining supplementary resources reflect the large expansion of international financing needs in recent years, past difficulties -40and delays in negotiating and implementing IMF quota increases, and concern about oossible concentration of IMF borrowing from a limited number of members. The IMF is authorized by Article VII, Section 1 of the Fund's Articles of Agreement, to borrow to replenish its holdings of currencies. Thus far, the IMF has used that authority to borrow from official sources only. The IMF Executive Board has examined the possibility of private market borrowing, but has not reached firm conclusions. While the Executive Board will keep this matter under careful review, it is not likely to come to a decision unless a clear IMF need to borrow arises, which is not expected at this time. Views on the desirability and feasibility of private market borrowings by the IMF differ substantially. Proponents have made a number of arguments in support of private market borrowing. Impact on IMF resources. An IMF approach to the market would provide a flexible means of supplementing IMF resources at a time of growing official financing needs, while reducing the need for difficult and time consuming negotiations on quota increases and/or excessive reliance on a small group of official lenders. Relationship of IMF to the market. Private market borrowing would also establish a secondary market in IMF securities, thus improving the liquidity of official claims on the IMF and promoting the use of the SDR. Furthermore, it would provide greater stability to the financial system by having the IMF absorb some of the risks and recycling responsibilities now undertaken by the banking system. IMF charges and conditionality. Finally, it would subject the IMF to the discipline of the market, providing additional encouragement for the IMF to insist on sound financial programs on the part of member countries in order to assure the timely repayment needed to maintain the IMF's market creditworthiness. However, proposals for IMF private market borrowing raise serious questions about their potential impact on the character of the IMF as a cooperative international monetary institution, and raise important operational and legal questions as well. Impact on IMF resources. There is broad international agreement that, as a practical matter, quotas should remain the basic source of IMF resources. IMF recourse to private market borrowing, however limited, might undermine prospects for future quota increases. Moreover, governments that are now prepared to lend directly to the IMF might instead divert funds to private market purchases of IMF obligations in an effort to obtain higher yields, anonymity, and greater liquidity. In short, the IMF might find that increasing the number of channels for obtaining resources does not necessarily increase, and could decrease, the amount of resources available to it. -41- Relationship of IMF to the market. The IMF serves as the official institutional underpinning for the international monetary system, both as an "overseer" of the system's operations and as "lender of last resort." There are questions whether the IMF's effectiveness in these roles would be impaired by substantial relilance on the private markets — which might be least receptive at times of international financial strain — rather than reliance on its member countries; and whether, for example, concerns about maintaining IMF market creditworthiness would unduly influence decisions about IMF terms, conditions and lending programs. In short, would the official monetary character of the institution be impaired by making the IMF more like a banking intermediary? Competition with other borrowers and impact on U.S. and other capital markets. On balance, it is unlikely that any forseeable IMF borrowing would have more than a marginal impact on U.S. capital markets in view of their depth and breadth. It is conceivable, however, that IMF securities could take a non-negligible share of the markets of some other countries, competing with the securities of other international institutions, and exerting pressure on yields and prices. Moreover, countries with access to private financing have raised concerns that the IMF might compete unduly with their own efforts to obtain financing, by raising their borrowing costs or by absorbing private financing they could have obtained in the absence of IMF borrowing. Operational Considerations Amounts The IMF has never borrowed in private markets and, therefore, has no track record on which to base an assessment of possible success with respect to the amounts or terms on which it could borrow. In the case of other multilateral financial institutions, such as the IBRD, private investors have focused on the ability of the borrower to call upon the callable capital subscriptions of members — particularly countries with strong financial positions — to meet any debt service obligations. The IMF Articles of Agreement do not provide for callable or guarantee capital, and members have no legal obligation to make resources available to the IMF beyond their quota subscriptions. Consequently, the Fund's access to additional resources in private markets would depend upon the market's assessment of the IMF's ability to mobilize its assets to meet debt obligations. Although the IMF's total gold and foreign currency assets are substantial, a number of factors could tend to limit the ability of the Fund to attract additional financing from the private market. -42- (i) Foreign currency: A large part of the IMF's foreign currency assets (approximately SDR 100 billion at the end of IMF fiscal year 1984) represents claims on countries with weak balance of payments and reserve positions In fact, when the Fund's borrowing needs are greatest, its holdings of the currencies of countries in a strong financial position will be at their lowest. Although the Fund could use its holdings of weaker currencies to meet debt service requirements, it is questionable whether private investors would give much weight to such assets in assessing the Fund's credit rating. Moreover, to the extent that the IMF had to maintain holdings of strong currencies for debt servicing purposes, these assets could not be used in its operations and there would be no net improvement in its overall lending capacity. (ii) Gold: The IMF's gold stock has a current market value of about $31 billion. The availability of this gold to meet IMF obligations would enhance the Fund's credit rating. However, the extent to which the IMF could rely on its gold holdings to back its borrowing is uncertain. The price of gold is volatile, gold markets are thin, and substantial sales could require an extended period, raising questions about the IMF's ability to mobilize gold promptly. Further, a decision to sell IMF gold requires an 85 percent majority vote, and past experience suggests that prolonged negotiations would be required to reach an agreement to sell gold, as needed, to meet IMF debt. In view of the uncertainties regarding the market's assessment of the IMF's borrowing capacity, it is likely that, at least initially, the Fund would be able to obtain only limited amounts of additional financing through market borrowings. Type of Borrowing The financing provided by the IMF differs sharply from that provided by the development banks, and thus the type of borrowing compatible with each institution's needs will vary. The development banks provide loans for long-term development projects and thus rely primarily on medium- and long-term borrowings of funds. The IMF provides relatively short-term balance of payments financing, with the currencies drawn from the Fund used essentially for foreign exchange transactions Consequently, the IMF may not have have a need for particularly long-term financing. However, it must have funds available on extremely short notice to meet members' needs to moblilize reserve claims on the IMF due to adverse exchange market developments and to finance drawings under standby credit lines. The IMF has developed procedures which enable it to provide foreign exchange to a member within three days of a request. In order to maintain this ability under a private borrowing, the IMF either would have to borrow and hold relatively large currency balances and/or develop standby credit lines with commercial banks. Each technique poses some difficult Problems -43- Under the IMF's financial structure, certain rights and obligations of an IMF member are determined by the amount of the Fund's holdings of its currency. For example, the position of a member in terms of access to Fund resources, payment of charges, repurchase obligations, and remuneration, is determined by the Fund's holdings of the member's currency in relation to quota. If the IMF held the proceeds of a borrowing prior to disbursement of those additional funds, the IMF position of the member whose currency was being held would be affected. For example, a borrowing of dollars by the IMF would increase the IMF's holdings of U.S. currency and have the same effect as a U.S. drawing on the IMF. This could reduce the U.S. reserve position in the IMF and/or result in a repurchase obligation and the imposition of charges on the United States. In its borrowing arrangements with official entities, the IMF has typically handled this problem by providing that the borrowed currencies are to be available on a standby basis, and when needed passed simultaneously to the IMF member drawing from the Fund, thus leaving the rights and obligations of other members unaffected. The IMF's ability to undertake such passthrough operations through use of standby lines of credit with private lenders is probably limited. Private lenders acquire funds from the market as needed, and normally would not hold large amounts of currencies available for immediate call. SDR Denomination The IMF's unit of account is the SDR, and all Fund transactions are denominated in SDR. There has been little experience to date with SDR-denominated issues on the private markets, and there is no assurance at this time that the IMF could borrow on an SDR basis on a significant scale. Legal Considerations Several areas of United States law would need to be considered in determining the manner in which the IMF could borrow in U.S. markets, the amount that could be borrowed, and the time required to arrange any such borrowing. U.S. securities laws U.S. securities laws (in particular, the Securities Acts of 1933 and 1934) establish strict regulations (including regulations on the registration of a security with the SEC and issuance of a prospectus) governing any sale of a security in the United States. However, certain transactions and certain securities are exempted from such regulations (except for the fraud and criminal liability provisions of the Securities Acts). If the IMF were to arrange a private placement of securities, it would not be sub- -44ject to the Securities Acts' provisions. Because there is a good deal of ambiguity as to what constitutes a "public offering" under the securities laws, the particular manner of selling the securities would have to be examined closely to determine whether the transactions in fact were exempted. In addition to transactions exempted from the securities regulations, there are types of securities exempted by statute Thus, for example, specific statutory exemptions apply to World Bank and regional MDB securities. It might be desirable to amend U.S. law to obtain such exemption for the IMF as well, should it seek to borrow in U.S. private markets. In addition to U.S. Federal law regarding the sale of securities in the United States, applicable state securities laws also would have to be complied with by the IMF. Local investment laws Potential purchasers of IMF obligations may be subject to government regulation, and thus U.S. Federal and state laws may affect the extent of the market for such obligations. The basic question arises as to which institutions would be legally authorized to purchase and sell securities issued by the IMF. At least one major group of purchasers of IMF obligations would be commercial banks. However, both Federal and state laws prescribe the securities that nationally and state-chartered banks may acquire, as well as the extent to which they may be acquired. Further, Federal and state laws prescribe limitations and restrictions on the extent to which commercial banks can deal in and underwrite investment securities. ' The international development banks have obtained a specific statutory exemption from such limitations as prescribed by the Comptroller for national banks and state bank members of the Federal Reserve System. If the IMF were to borrow in U.S. capital markets, using distribution techniques such as those used by the MDBs, a similar statutory exemption would be desirable. Moreover, in order to enhance the marketability of IMF-issued securities, amendments to state laws governing the lawful investments of, for example, commercial banks, insurance companies, pensions funds, and other stateregulated entities, may be desirable. The MDBs have obtained such state law amendments in a number of states, a process which took the World Bank several years. Laws Governing Bank Loans If IMF borrowing is accomplished by means of loans from commercial banks rather than by the issuance of investment securities, then Federal and state laws governing loans by national and state-cnartered banks apply. m the case of national banks, there is a limit on loans by such institutions to any single J n H 1 ^ l n . e x ^ e s s °J 1 5 Percent of the bank's unimpaired capital and unimpaired surplus. Limitations on loans may also apply to banking 1 ***** t h e P r o v i s i ° n s of various state -45- Bank examinations Virtually all commercial banks in the United States are subject to examination by each or all of the following Federal regulatory agencies the Comptroller of the Currency; the Federal Reserve Board of Governors; and, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. The examinations are for the purpose of assuring that U.S. banks have not engaged or are not engaging in any unauthorized, unsafe or unsound practices in conducting their business. Thus the marketability of IMF obligations (whether in the form of investment securities or bank loans) will be affected by the IMF's own financial soundness. Moreover, the IMF's immunity from suit on its obligations, or its waiver of such immunity, could affect such an^assessment. Legal and policy limitations on SDR-denomination of IMF obligations Legal restrictions on the SDR-denomination of obligations payable in national currency continue to be in effect in several countries that are IMF members and whose national currency the IMF might wish to borrow. b) Proposals for Use of IMF Gold During the 1.983 debate on the increase in IMF resources, proposals were advanced to mobilize the IMF's gold stock as an alternative to the quota increase, an understandable temptation at a time of budget constraints and domestic economic difficulties. However, there are pitfalls and costs that make such an alternative impractical and undesirable. Historical Perspective In the Bretton Woods monetary arrangements, gold played a central role in the IMF and in the international monetary system. Each nation undertook under the IMF Articles of Agreement to maintain a "par value" for its currency, expressed in terms of gold, and to maintain its currency within a small margin around the parity. As the system developed in practice, most countries maintained the par values for their currencies through intervention in the foreign exchange market by buying and selling their currencies for dollars, and the United States met its par value obligations by undertaking freely to buy and sell gold for officially held dollar balances at the official price of gold — the dollar's par value. Thus, a system of fixed exchange rates and gold convertibility was established and maintained, with gold serving as the unit of account and the central reserve asset. The central role of gold was also reflected in the IMF Articles relating to IMF transactions with its member countries, which provided for use of gold for payment of 25 percent of quota subscriptions, for repayment of IMF drawings, and for payment of -46- charges to the IMF. By the early 1970s, the IMF's gold holdings had reached a level of 153 million ounces as a result of all transactions, but primarily reflecting the quota subscriptions of its members. The role of gold and the future disposition of the IMF's gold holdings became major issues during the discussions on reform of the international monetary system which culminated in agreements reached in August 1975 and January 1976. Those agreements specified a number of steps designed to codify the flexible exchange rate arrangements that had evolved in practice and to phase out the central role of gold in the IMF's legal provisions and operations. They included amendments to the IMF Articles of Agreement which: — eliminated the par value and gold convertibility provisions; — abolished the official price of gold and the use of gold as the IMF's "numeraire," or common denominator for currencies; — eliminated gold as an important instrument for IMF transactions and prohibited the Fund from acquiring gold unless approved by an 85 percent majority vote; and, — empowered the IMF to sell its gold holdings by decisions requiring an 85 percent majority vote. In addition to these amendments, it was agreed to sell, under IMF authority existing at the time, 50 million ounces of gold held by the IMF, about one-third of its total holdings. Of this amount, 25 million ounces were sold to member countries in proportion to their IMF quotas in August 1975, at the official price of SDR 35 per ounce, in exchange for currency. The United States purchased 5.7 million ounces. The remaining 25 million ounces were sold at public auction over a four-year period, and the proceeds in excess of the official price were used for the benefit of developing countries, including establishment of a Trust Fund for balance of payments financing on highly concessional terms to the poorest countries. These agreements reflected a balance between diverse and strongly-held views about the proper role of gold in the international monetary system, the desirability of retaining gold as a sort of ultimate IMF reserve, and the distribution of the proceeds of any IMF gold sales. Beyond the sale of the 50 million ounces, which could be and was decided by a simple majority vote under the IMF Articles in effect at that time, the agreements included provisions, subsequently reflected in amendments to the Articles of Agreement, that no future sales would be possible except on the basis of an 85 percent majority vote. -47- These agreed sales, completed in 1980, reduced the IMF's holdings to their current level of 103 million ounces. Under the amended IMF Articles of Agreement, this gold can be sold under two basic provisions: — First, the Fund may sell gold at prices based on market prices. — Second, the Fund may sell gold to countries that were members on August 31, 1975, in proportion to their quotas on that date, at a price of SDR 35 per ounce, in exchange for their currencies. As noted above, any decision to sell IMF gold requires an 85 percent majority vote; subsequent decisions on use of the proceeds of sales by the IMF require a 70 percent majority vote for regular IMF operations and an 85 percent majority vote for all other purposes. There is no authority in the IMF Articles for the Fund to lend gold to member countries. Because of Congressional concerns with the Trust Fund element of the agreements reached in 1975 and 1976, prior Congressional authorization is now required for U.S. support for any additional Trust Fund lending under which IMF resources would be used for the special benefit of a single member or of a segment of the IMF membership. The various proposals for use of IMF gold vary, in their specifics, but generally envisage: — sales to the private market, with the proceeds used to finance regular IMF operations; — sales to members at the old official price of SDR 35 per ounce (now about $35)' in proportion to August 1975 quotas, under the so-called "restitution" provisions; — loans of gold to members, against which they could borrow, or; — use of gold as collateral for IMF borrowing. The proponents of these proposals argue that they might eliminate the domestic financial market effects of increasing IMF resources or, through "restitution," compensate members for their increasedof subscriptions and help developing meet their^ balance payments financing needs. While countries the effects vary with each proposal, in general these approaches pose serious practical ficulties; could have major adverse consequences for U.S. nomic, financial and political interests; and could undermine IMF's ability to deal with current economic and financial -48- Impact on IMF Gold represents the IMF's basic reserve, available to satisfy creditors' claims on the Fund m the event of liquidation and to reolenish the IMF's currency holdings. Unlike the quota increase/sales of IMF gold do not expand the Fund's resources, but mobilize an existing asset. Sale of the IMF's entire gold stock at current market prices would generate much less than the $42 billion agreed for the quota and GAB increases. However, this outcome would be unlikely. The gold markets are extremely thin and volatile, and the IMF would not be able to sell 103 million ounces over the next few years without depressing the gold price in a major way, perhaps drastically. In recent years, the annual supply of gold from mine production reaching the market has amounted to about 30 million ounces, less than a third of the total IMF gold stock. In 1975-1976, uncertainty about what would be done and later announcement of comparatively modest IMF sales were a contributing factor to a significant drop in gold prices. The magnitudes involved here are enormous. An effort to stretch out IMF sales over an extended period, in order to minimize the price effects, would yield only small amounts for use in financing'Fund lending. The previous IMF sales of 25 million ounces were stretched over a four year period, from 1976 to 1980, in an attempt to avoid disrupting the market. However, the price dropped by about one third during the year following the gold agreement, as the market positioned itself to absorb 25 million ounces. Sales of 103 million ounces would probably have to take place over a very extended period in order to avoid sharp price decreases and a major reduction in proceeds to the IMF. Similarly, proposals to "restitute" IMF gold through sales to members at the old official price, would effectively deplete the IMF's resources. Such sales would not strengthen the IMF's ability to deal with current problems, nor would they help solve the problems of the IMF's members in greatest difficulty. The effect of the restitution would be that, in total, members would obtain gold worth at present prices about $31 billion at a cost of $4 billion. Moreover, the countries experiencing the greatest financial problems would receive no significant benefit; indeed, in terms of overall access to financial resources from the Fund, they would be significantly worse off. The 110 non-oil developing country members of the IMF would receive about 25 percent of the total sale of gold. Even the largest LDC debtors — Mexico, Brazil and Argentina — would each receive only about $500 million worth of gold at present prices. This compares in the Mexican case, for example, with an IMF program totaling the equivalent of nearly $4 billion over three years. -49- The point is that the amounts individual developing countries might be able to receive through "restitution" would be far less than they would be "eligible to borrow from the IMF — on a conditional basis — if the IMF continues to function and if they continue to meet the economic adjustment objectives set out in their IMF programs. Restitution is not a way of strengthening the IMF and would not contribute to the resolution of world financial problems. In essence, it is a "get rich quick" scheme for the wealthier countries. In this connection, the U.S. Gold Commission established by Congress specifically considered and rejected restitution of IMF gold to member countries. At present, all IMF assets, including the Fund's gold, serve as backing for creditors' claims on the IMF. These claims arise from use of members' quota subscriptions and from loans by members to the Fund, and are liquid reserve assets which may be used automatically, and on short notice, to acquire currencies from the IMF to meet a balance of payments need. Such claims on the IMF currently total about $40 billion, substantially greater than the value of the IMF gold at current market prices. In the event creditors sought to encash their claims to meet balance of payments financing needs, and the IMF's available usable currency resources proved inadequate, the Fund would be able as a last resort to mobilize the gold to acquire the necessary currencies. Moreover, in the event of liquidation of the IMF, the creditors would have first claim on the gold should other resources be insufficient. It is extremely unlikely that current IMF creditors would be willing to have the ultimate security for their claims eliminated as a result of IMF gold sales, or subordinated by the Fund pledging the gold as security for additional borrowing from governments or the markets, or lending the gold to member countries as security against their market borrowings. Such action could induce current lenders to seek alternative safeguards which would limit the IMF's ability to provide financing, and might well even lead some creditors to encash their liquid claims on the IMF. Loans of IMF gold to member countries as security for market borrowing would be inadvisable on other grounds as well: the best security for the repayment of loans is the pursuit by borrowing countries of appropriate policies to restore a sustainable balance of payments position under the auspices of an IMF program. The "seal of approval" of a Fund program is a proven incentive to private market lending. A decision to pledge the IMF's gold against member country borrowing, in lieu of an increase in members' commitment to the Fund through a quota increase, might suggest some unfounded uncertainty about the effectiveness of Fund-sponsored adjustment which could lead to a loss of confidence in the financial markets and a contraction in lending on U.S. and foreign markets. -50- For these reasons, any discussion of IMF gold sales or borrowing against gold collateral would be contentious and protracted. It is extremely unlikely that the 85 percent majority vote needed could be obtained for a decision to sell all or substantially all of the IMF's gold in lieu of, or even along with, a quota increase. The major IMF creditors would not want to see the security for their claims eliminated or eroded. The borrowers would not agree to a restitution which would primarily benefit the strongest members. From the perspective of creditors and debtors alike, use of IMF gold is not a viable alternative to the any future increase in IMF resources. And, apart from the impossibility of negotiation, such proposals are clearly not in our own interests. U.S. economic and financial interests U.S. transactions with the IMF do not affect net budget outlays or the Federal budget deficit. Transfers to and from the IMF do affect the Treasury's cash position and borrowing requirements. The budget results are affected by the net cost or gains resulting from financing these transfers and from exchange gains and losses due to changes, in the dollar value of our SDR-denominated reserve position in the IMF. From the beginning of FY 1970 to the end of calendar 1982, it is estimated that the annual average net budget cost to the United States of participation in the IMF amounted to about $107 million. Moreover, to the extent that net dollar transfers to the IMF raise the Treasury's borrowing requirements, this affects domestic money and capital markets by absorbing savings that would otherwise be available to finance private domestic consumption and investment. It is not possible to project reliably the magnitude of U.S. cash transfers to and from the IMF or their impact on U.S. financial markets. These effects will depend upon the magnitude of IMF financing, the proportion reflected in use of dollars, whether the United States itself drew from the IMF, and conditions in financial markets. However, the amount of increased Treasury borrowing, and thus the economic impact, is likely to be quite limited, because any drawdowns on the U.S. quota will be stretched out over time. For example, even full commitment of the $5.8 billion increase in the U.S. quota in 1984 —- a highly unlikely assumption — would likely result in additional Treasury borrowing requirements amounting only to about $1-1.5 billion annually over FY 1984-87. This compares with net new Treasury borrowing requirements in FY 1984 in excess of $200 billion, and total outstanding U.S. debt of $1.2 trillion as of April 30, 1983. -51- The impact of the minor increase in annual Treasury borrowing arising from the quota increase is what the orooonents of IMF gold sales sought to avert. Yet, the economic and financial effects of IMF gold sales on the U.S. could far outweigh any costs associated with these borrowings. The following considerations are relevant — First, the United States is one of the largest IMF creditors, with claims on the IMF totaling $7.7 billion. Sale of the gold and use of the proceeds for IMF loans would remove the ultimate security for our claims. — Second, major IMF gold sales could lead to a dramatic drop in gold prices and reduce the potential value of our own gold holdings, currently amounting to 263 million ounces ($81 billion at current market prices). A larger price drop, which seems likely in the face of large-scale IMF gold sales, would have serious adverse consequences for domestic gold producers and precipitate large losses on the gold stocks of the United States and other countries with gold reserves. — Third, the sale of gold does not eliminate the financial market effects that concerned some in connection with the quota increase and potential Treasury borrowing. The gold would be acquired primarily for investment purposes and transactions in the gold market would be largely in terms of dollars. When IMF gold is sold, the purchasers will pay for the gold by selling dollar securities such as corporate or U.S. Treasury securities. This would tend to put upward pressure on interest rates and have an impact upon financial markets similar to, and possibly greater than, those arising from any U.S. borrowing in connection with the quota increase. These direct economic and financial costs would far exceed the potential savings that would have been achieved in foregoing the 1983 quota increase. IMF Charges and Remuneration - Status of Implementation of Section 48 of the Bretton Woods Agreement Act The IMF levies interest charges on members' use of IMF resources and pays remuneration to members whose currency is used by the Fund to finance loans to other members. Charges. IMF loans made in support of approved economic adjustment programs may be financed with the Fund's own quotabased resources, with borrowed resources, or, as is often the case, with a combination of the two. The interest rate charged by the Fund is determined accordingly. Loans financed with quota-based resources currently carry a basic rate of charge -52- equal to 7.0 percent, as well as a flat service charge assessed by the Fund to help defray the administrative costs asssociated with its loan agreements. The basic rate of charge is established annually — and reviewed semi-annually — by the IMF Executive Board in order to produce income sufficient to raise the Fund's reserves by 3 percent per year. A portion of the IMF's lending is also financed by drawings upon credit lines which have been established for this purpose by a number of official creditors. The Fund pays these official creditors a market determined rate of interest on credit line drawdowns and, accordingly, charges the ultimate borrowers of these funds a rate equal to its own borrowing costs plus a small margin. In many cases, the IMF's financing arrangement with a particular borrower calls for use of both quota-based and borrowed resources; in these circumstances, the overall rate of interest charged by the Fund is a blend of the basic rate of charge and the prevailing market interest rate. Remuneration. IMF loan operations basically consist of an exchange of currencies between the Fund and the borrowing member. Borrowers use their own currency to purchase from the IMF an approved amount of another, more useful, currency. Loan transactions thus result in an increase in the Fund's holdings of the borrower's currency and a reduction in its holdings of the other currency. Members whose currency is being "sold" by the Fund receive remuneration based on the extent to which such transactions reduce the IMF's holdings of its currency below its quota; that is, the extent to which their currency is being used to finance IMF loans. The United States is paid remuneration on the amount by which the IMF's holdings of U.S. dollars (which are often purchased by borrowers) falls below 91 percent of its quota. The rate of remuneration is determined as a percentage of the SDR interest rate (a weighted average of the interest rates on short-term instruments denominated in each of the 5 currencies that comprise the SDR), and is currently set at 88.33 percent of the SDR rate. The United States has strongly advocated, pursuant to the provisions of Section 48 of the Bretton Woods Agreement Act, that the IMF allow both the rate of charge and the rate of remuneration to be more closely determined by market interest rates. In our view, there is no persuasive case for the extension of IMF credit at below market rates. The IMF is not a development institution, and its limited resources should neither be committed to long-term structural projects nor provided at excessively concessional rates. -53- The IMF is the cornerstone of the international monetary system, and as such it is essential that it conduct its operations so as to ensure the continued confidence and financial support of the creditor countries, as well as the confidence of the international financial community in general. In this regard we have argued that it is important for the Fund to levy charges that reflect the true cost of its financial resources and which will protect its own financial integrity, as well as to provide adequate remuneration to the creditor countries upon which its financial operations depend. Progress has been made toward achieving these objectives. The basic rate of charge was recently increased from 6.6 percent to 7.0 percent, and the United States intends to press for further increases in order to both close the gap between charges and market rates and to improve the Fund's own reserves and income. Additionally, at strong U.S. urging the Executive Board recently agreed to take steps to unify the rate of remuneration and the SDR rate by raising the remuneration rate as a percentage. of the SDR rate by 3-1/3 percentage points per year for three years beginning May 1, 1984. Further, a formula has been adopted which would permit larger increases during a year in the event of a decline in the SDR rate. Beyond May 1, 1987 a complex formula linking further increases in the rate of remuneration to declines in the SDR interest rate could result in a remuneration rate equal to the full SDR rate. Strengthening the IMF: The IMF as a Catalyst and Enhanced and Intensified Surveillance The IMF has played the key role in the cooperative international strategy to resolve the debt crisis. The IMF's financing activities in support of economic adjustment programs, made possible at the appropriate scale by the 1983 quota increase and official borrowing arrangements, are an essential component of that successful strategy. However, the IMF's role in the resolution of the debt problem extends significantly beyond its own financing. The pursuit of an IMF program by a debtor country demonstrates a willingness to pursue sound economic policies, helps reverse the loss of confidence of the financial community that contributed to the financial crisis in the first place, and encourages both the extension of debt relief and the provision of new private and official financing. Typically, financing provided by sources other than the IMF is a multiple of the IMF's funding. As more countries demonstrate solid progress in bringing about economic adjustment, and in some cases complete IMF programs, it is essential that they continue to pursue sound policies to avoid a recurrence of problems and to ensure the continuing participation of the financial community. In recognition of the extension of the IMF's role beyond the provision of its own financing, the concept of enhanced IMF surveillance of -54- economic policies to accompany multi-year debt reschedulings was developed'and applied for the first time in the case of Mexico. It is likely that this approach will be applied to some additional countries where conditions are favorable. Similarly, the Group of Ten countries is considering ways in which the surveillance role of the Fund may be intensified in cases where countries have made prolonged use of IMF resources but have not achieved adjustment, perhaps because of entrenched structural problems. In such situations, a process of intensified IMF surveillance in cooperation with the World Bank may succeed actual IMF financial involvement. Through such initiatives, the international community is addressing the issues of how to ensure that progress will continue to be achieved in the resolution of the debt crisis, that similar problems will not recurr, and that limits on the use of IMF resources will be respected. - 55 The International Monetary System and the International Debt Problem The mounting debt problems of developing countries placed severe strains on the international financial system and led many to question whether existing mechanisms were adequate to deal with the situation. Since the inception of the problem in 1982, a great deal of progress has been achieved in dealing with the immediate financial effects and laying the basis for resumption of sustainable growth and external stability. However, the economic, financial and human costs have been substantial and serious problems still remain. This chapter reviews the origins of the debt problem, describes the coordinated strategy that has been developed to resolve ongoing financial problems, examines proposals for alternative approaches, and describes steps being taken to develop an early warning system to deal with potential problems before a crisis develops. Origins of the Problem The international debt problem did not arise overnight, but rather stems from the economic environment and policies pursued over the last two decades. Inflationary pressures began mounting during the 1960's, and were aggravated by the commodity boom of the early 1970's and the two oil shocks that followed. For most industrialized countries, the oil shocks led to: a surge of imported inflation,- worsening the already growing inflationary pressures; large transfers of real income and wealth to oil exporting countries; and, deterioration of current account balances. For the oil-importing less developed countries - the LDCs - this process was further compounded by the decline of their export earnings when the commodity boom ended. Rather than allowing their economies to adjust to the oil shocks, many governments tried to maintain real incomes through stimulative economic policies, and to protect jobs in uncompetitive industries through controls and subsidies. Inflationary policies did at times bring a short-run boost to real growth, but in the longer run they led to higher inflation, declining investment and productivity, and worsening prospects for real growth and employment. Similarly, while these policies delayed economic adjustment somewhat, they could not put it off forever. In the meanwhile, the size of the adjustment effort ultimately necessary grew larger. Important regions remained dependent on industries whose competitive position was declining; inflation rates and budget deficits soared; and - most pertinent to today's financial problems - many oil importing countries experienced persistent, large current account deficits and unprecedented external borrowing requirements. Some oil-exporting countries also borrowed heavily abroad, in effect relying on increasing future oil revenues to finance ambitious development plans. - 56 In the inflationary environment of the 1970s, it was fairly easy for most nations to borrow abroad, even in large amounts, and their debts accumulated rapidly. Most of the increased foreign debt reflected borrowing from commercial banks in industrialized countries. By mid-1982 (just before the Mexican debt crisis), the total foreign debt of non-OPEC developing countries was over $500 billion - more than five times the level of 1973. Of that total, roughly $270 billion was owed to commercial banks in the industrial countries, and about half of that was owed by only three Latin American countries - Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico. New net lending to non-OPEC countries by banks in the industrial countries continued to grow - by about $37 billion in 1979, $43 billion in 1980, and $47 billion in 1981 - with most of the increase continuing to go to Latin America. The environment of the 1970s could not continue forever, and the 1980s brought rapid and dramatic changes. One of the most important was the strong shift to anti-inflationary policies in most industrial countries, which has had a major impact on market expectations about inflation. In fact, inflation rates declined dramatically. Consumer price indices in the United States and other OECD nations fell from 13 percent in 1980 to 3.3 percent in the United States and about 5 percent for the OECD in 1984. Oil prices declined significantly. Nominal interest rates fell, although the real rate of interest rose from negative levels in the 1970s to roughly 5.5 percent in late-1984. Countries that had borrowed on the assumption of continued negative real interest rates rapidly came to bear the full burden of their debts. Furthermore, the world suffered the longest and deepest recession since World War II, causing LDC commodity export earnings to fall dramatically. Non-fuel commodity prices dropped 20 percent during the 1980 to 1982 period, while volume also decreased or stagnated. Thus, at the very time when debt service burdens were escalating, one of the developing countries* principal sources of hard currency was declining. In sum, the situation for many LDCs was untenable, and the international debt problem became inevitable. By late 1981, signs of impending crisis were becoming evident. Mexico's reserves were effectively depleted by mid-1982, and Argentina's economy continued to be crippled in the wake of the war in the South Atlantic. Brazil, which had been making sporadic attempts at adjustment in 1981, faced a rapid and debilitating deterioration in its terms of trade and a collapse of newer markets for ZPrZf Xn A f ^ c a ' thce M i d d l e East, Latin America, and Eastern Europe. Brazil was forced to increase its dependence on shortterm finance, particularly in the interbank market. 1982^ !JXiC° f°U2d itSSlf Unable to service its debt by midUnited q ^ ^ " 9 e n C y f i n a n c i a l Package was put together by the United States, in to 1 cooperation n tt ipmr other w major i t h t h ecreditors sa^isfLtorv^co Iht:rL \1:nL^ e °^"l* t ^ a ^ U ^amnedwith ^°*"» for Mexico t f™W<>rt m o m e nof t the a - 57 Moreover, creditors became increasingly concerned about Brazil, and the interbank market for Brazil began to collapse by August 1982. Interbank funding volumes contracted from over $10 billion at the end of June to around $5.5 billion 5 months later. Once again, the United States, among other countries, undertook a major short-term financial rescue effort for that country, providing more than $1.2 billion in short-term rescue finance in a period of less than three months. The International Debt Strategy In response to the Mexican and Brazilian debt problems, the United States, with the cooperation of other industrial countries, formulated a strategy to deal with a problem that had become the worst threat to the international financial system in fifty years. The strategy was endorsed by the seven heads of state at the Williamsburg Summit in 1983, and has wide support throughout the international financial community. It was reaffirmed at the London Summit in June 1984. The debt strategy consisted of five interrelated elements: (1) economic adjustment by the debtor countries; (2) economic recovery, sustained growth and open markets in the industrialized countries; (3) adequate resources for the International Monetary Fund; (4) continued commercial bank lending for countries making determined adjustment efforts; and (5) readiness to provide emergency or bridge financing, as necessary, from central banks and governments, on a case-by-case basis, in support of adjustment efforts. The first, and indeed central, element of the strategy is that debtor countries in financial difficulty promptly adopt comprehensive, credible and effective programs to strengthen their balance of payments and stabilize their economies. Generally, these are policies that reduce internal and external imbalances commonly associated with excessive government spending, rapid monetary creation, inadequate savings and investment, and lack of competitiveness on international markets due to unrealistic exchange rates. The second element is that the industrial countries follow policies leading to sustainable, non-inflationary economic growth. At the same time, they must keep their markets open to exports from developing countries. Growth in export markets is essential to provide debtor countries the opportunity to increase their foreign exchange earnings. The third element is maintenance of an adequate IMF resource base. The resources of the Fund were increased substantially in 1983 to assure that it has adequate funds to play its central role in both helping debtor countries formulate adjustment programs to address their economic problems and encouraging creditors to provide more financial support. As described in the previous chapter, these additional resources were provided - 58 through the general quota increase, ^ e enlargement and modification of the General Arrangements to Borrow (GAB), and addi?iontl borrowing arrangements between the IMF and certain official creditors. The fourth element is continued commercial bank lending to countries making determined adjustment efforts. Commercial banks generally have shown a willingness to reschedule existing debts and continue lending to these countries, and to do so on better terms in cases where the debtor is making clear progress in its adjustment program. The fifth element concerns the readiness of creditor governments to provide emergency financing on a selective basis when appropriate. This financing generally fills the gap between the time when a program has been worked out with the IMF and actual disbursement of IMF and commercial loans . At the London Summit, the heads of state reviewed the debt situation in view of both the much more favorable outlook for world growth and the evidence of considerable progress toward adjustment in some debtor countries. After two years, it had become clear that certain countries had successfully weathered the initial stages of readjusting their economies to the realities of the international economy and had restructured their debts. However, many rescheduling agreements had grace periods that would be running out in 1985 and 1986, after which amortization payments would rise steeply. Therefore, the London Summit participants considered what might be done, within the framework of the agreed debt strategy, to help resolve the debt problem. The Summit Communique reaffirmed the central role of the IMF and its cooperative relationship with the World Bank, and the strengthening of the latter's function in the area of medium- and long-term development. In addition, private banks were encouraged to make more extensive use of multi-year reschedulings in cases where effective adjustment is underway, and the Summit participants expressed their willingness to do the same regarding their official credits. Further, the heads of state emphasized the potential importance of direct investment. By making multi-year commitments, bankers and governments signal that they have increased confidence in the performance of the debtor and are prepared to relax the close surveillance of economic performance that was necessary in a crisis situation and revert to less intensive monitoring through the regular IMF consultation procedures. Mexico was the first country to benefit from a private sector multi-year rescheduling agreement. Several additional countries have concluded similar agreements, and others are are in the negotiation stage. - 59 Progress to Date The international debt strategy met with considerable early success as the crisis atmosphere that had paralyzed the financial markets abated somewhat and debtor countries, private financial institutions and creditor governments proceeded in a businesslike, cooperative fashion to negotiate new financing oackages and reschedulings. At the same time, debtor governments and the IMF worked out the details of the economic adjustment programs crucial to the success of the strategy. By the end of 1984, nearly all the major debtor countries were implementing adjustment programs either independently or under IMF supervision. Two years of adjustment and financing efforts, coupled with the stimulus provided by the international recovery, have resulted in clear progress toward the resolution of the debt problem. Between 1982 and 1984, the combined current account deficits of non-OPEC LDC countries fell from $82 billion to $43 billion. For the 24 major LDCs, the deficit fell from $61 billion to $27 billion. The rate of debt accumulation has slowed markedly, and because of the recent and projected high growth rates for real exports, the ratio of debt to exports of goods and services should decline almost 15 percentage points from the 1983 level to about 139 percent in 1985. The debt service ratio is estimated to have declined from 24.4 percent in 1982 to 21.5 percent in 1984, although some increase is possible in 1985. Partly in reflection of debt restructuring, the maturity structure of LDC debt has improved substantially - the ratio of short-term debt to total non-oil developing country exports is estimated to have declined from 30 percent in 1982 to about 20 percent in 1934. The banks have contributed to this progress by providing both new finance and debt restructuring where appropriate. The frequency of restructuring has increased sharply since the advent of widespread debt servicing difficulties in the latter part of 1982. Twenty-five agreements involving medium and long-term debt owed to private banks were signed during the period January 1983 to June 1984, covering 21 countries, all but two of which are members of the IMF. The amounts restructured under these agreements totalled $40.9 billion, representing 20.9 percent of total bank claims on these countries outstanding as of end-1983 ($195.4 billion). Agreements to maintain or roll over existing short-term debt also helped reduce debt-servicing problems. A total of 31 rescheduling agreements were reached in the period January 1983 through June 1984 covering debt owed by non-OPEC developing countries to official creditors. The agreements covered 24 countries, only one of which was not a member of the IMF. The amount rescheduled under these agreements was over $11.4 billion. - 60 Role of Global Recovery in Resolving the Debt Crisis The global recovery, led by the United States and Canada, is having a significantly positive impact on the debt problems of the non-oil developing countries, primarily through increased industrial country imports. The decline in oil prices since 1982 has eased the financial pressure on oil importing countries, but at the same time has put new financial pressure on oil exporters. Interest rates have declined overall since 1981, easing debt service burdens. The rise in interest rates in the first half of 1984 caused concern, although rates did not reach the 1980-82 levels. However, in the second Half of 1984, rates declined significantly. Overall, it is estimated that the rise in LDC export earnings in 1984 greatly exceeded the increase in their debt service payments arising from interest rate charges. The export earnings of developing countries are highly sensitive to economic conditions in the industrial countries, which affect both LDC export volumes and primary commodity prices. Non-oil developing country exports increased about 150 percent during the 1975-80 period, reflecting the economic expansion in the industrial countries during 1976-79 and the continued rise in primary commodity prices in 1980. However, in the face of slack growth in the industrialized countries, non-oil developing country exports remained roughly steady during 1980-82, as a rising volume of exports was offset by declining commodity prices. The pattern of exports for the oil producers, relative to that of the industrial countries, showed a larger increase in the 1975-80 period, reflecting the extremely large oil price increases in 1979-80, followed by a sharper decline during 1980-83, due to the drop in oil trade volume during the world recession. During 1983, recovery in the industrial countries had a small positive impact on non-oil developing country exports, which rose slightly in value as the volume increase more than offset falling commodity prices. Export earnings of the oil exporters continued to decline in 1983 as the result of continued declines in both volume and price. In 1984, the impact of the industrial country recovery was significantly positive. Real GDP in the OECD area rose almost five percent, more than double the rate of the orevious year. The United States, with real GNP growth of 6.7 percent, led the industrialized world's recovery; growth in the rest of the OECD was 3.4 percent, still considerably faster than the orevious year. Exports of the 24 major LDCs rose an estimated 13.5 percent in value in 1984, more than twice as fast as in 1983, and the volume of exports rose a very healthy 9.2 percent. Real growth in non-OPEC LDCs picked up to about 4 percent in 1984, rhJn c a C l O U r t m e S t h e r a t e i n 1 9 8 3 « T h e substantial impact of recovery may be read in the $15 billion, 23.6 percent r ' l D i? w h f ^ "!- i m P ° r t s f r o m the non-OPEC LDCs, a good portion of wnicn came from Latin America. For the first ten mon?hs of - 61 the year, exports from the region were up 15 percent. The region least affected by the recovery to date has been Africa. This can be explained in part by the slower pace of recovery in Europe, the major trading partner for most African countries. Rising export earnings in 1984 outweighed the negative effects on non-OPEC LDCs of a higher average level of interest rates. Although rates (measured by the London Interbank Offer Rate - LIBOR) rose to nearly 13 percent in July 1984, they were still well below the average rates of 1980-82, and they declined substantially in the second half of the year. It is estimated that a one percentage point rise in international borrowing rates that persisted one year would increase the net interest payments for the non-OPEC developing countries during the following year by about $2.5 billion. However, in the first ten months of this year, U.S. imports from those countries increased more than $15 billion compared with the amount in the same 1983 period. Proposals for an Alternative Debt Strategy: A Global Approach to Debt Relief At the outset of the debt problem, many argued for a generalized system of debt relief rather than the case-by-case approach that was adopted. Proposals for a global approach to the problem were motivated in large part by a concern that the problem was too serious to be managed with existing institutions, and that without such generalized relief massive default was likely. The significant progress achieved in the last two years with the assistance of the case-by-case approach has proven those original doom-sayers wrong. However, some continue to advocate a systemic approach to rescheduling for the present circumstances because of'concern that a "hump" in debt service payments expected in 1985-86, as debt reschedulings negotiated previously expire, will increase the threat of new financial problems and possible default. This section will address the issue of generalized debt relief, after an examination of the current process of international debt restructuring. Present Debt Restructuring Process A basic principle underlying the cooperative international debt strategy is the rejection of a systematic or formula approach to rescheduling. Rather, creditor governments and private banks have relied fundamentally upon existing institutions to meet the problems of individual countries as they arose. Bank creditors often negotiate restructurings in what is _ known as the "London Club." The pattern developed since 1982 is the establishment by a "lead bank" of a bank advisory committee to represent banks with major interests in the debtor country The rescheduling procedure includes the gathering of data on tne specific credits outstanding, a presentation by the debtor coun- - 62 try on its economic and financial position and its policies, including the status of its relationship with the IMF, and the negotiation of an amount of debt restructuring that both parties are prepared to accept as consistent with the deotor s aoility to qenerate foreign exchange. Banks generally condition the agreement on compliance by the debtor with an IMF adjustment program. They have avoided the inclusion of interest payments in the restructuring package. There is also often a parallel negotiation to arrange new credits from the same group of banks that hold bulk of the country's outstanding debt. Government creditors generally negotiate in a forum known as the "Paris Club," using broadly similar procedures. Unlike the banks, governments are prepared to reschedule interest as well as principal. However, the Paris Club does not provide new credits. Multilateral institutions do not reschedule their own credits but do participate as observers in the Paris Club and are prepared to lend their good offices in both the Paris Club and commercial bank restructurings when requested to do so by the direct participants. Since they are unaffected by rescheduling, the multilateral organization lending programs continue and may even expand as the debtor country adopts effective adjustment measures. Private non-bank institutions, e.g., bondholders and suppliers, do not generally reach restructuring agreements because of the difficulty in forming a representative group. Debtors may continue to meet obligations to such creditors in order to retain good will and avoid the need for negotiations on individually small amounts, or may propose an alternative rescheduling formula where the amounts outstanding are important. While both private bank and official creditors seek to maintain certain common principles in each negotiation, the substantial increase in the number of restructurings has led to some evolution. Steering committees of banks established at the time of an initial restructuring negotiation have in many cases maintained close contact with debtor governments in order to complement initial agreements with new money agreements and follow-up restructurings. Further, there has been increasingly close linkage with IMF-supported adjustment programs. Banks have shown greater flexibility toward those debtor countries that have demonstrated success in implementing adjustment policies and have granted improved terms (lower interest rate spreads and longer maturities) in nearly all cases since late 1983 for countries which had previously negotiated restructurings. In the cases of Mexico and Venezuela, agreement in principle has been reached to consolidate principal due over 5-6 years for relatively long repayment periods. Banks have recently concluded a similar multiyear arrangement with Ecuador. These agreements reflect a substantial evolution relative to previous rescheduling practices. - 63 In the Paris Club, creditor governments adjust rescheduling terms in light of the balance of payments prospects for the rescheduling country. In recent years, the generally weak balance of payments prospects for many developing countries have led, in individual cases, to an increase in the amount of debt relief provided by consolidation of larger percentages of debt and the extension of longer grace and repayment periods. In addition, the Paris Club creditors have included "goodwill clauses" in cases where the country is expected to need future debt restructuring to indicate the willingness of creditor governments to consider a future rescheduling, provided Paris Club conditions are met, e.g., implementation of an approved IMF standby arrangement. The clauses provide some assurance of future debt relief to countries with long-term problems while maintaining Paris Club conditionality. For the Future: A Differentiated Strategy Remains the Best Approach At the outset of severe debt problems in 1982, the Administration rejected a formula or global approach to the crisis in favor of the case-by-case strategy on which the international community has relied thus far. The judgement that a global approach was not the correct one was based largely on the great diversity of the debtor countries. The more than 100 countries in the developing world are very different with respect to their stages of development, their adaptation to global economic trends and their relationships to the international public and private credit systems. Debtors vary with regard to financial need, capacity for adjustment, and potential for sustainable long-term growth. Creditors, both public and private, operate from many different countries under varying constraints, with differing missions, obligations, and limits to their ability to adapt to debtor problems and demands. Political situations are uniform only in their diversity, while international markets for finance and trade are equally complex and not subject to easy regulations or controls. These realities are the true obstacles to a comprehensive, uniform approach to the debt problem. Furthermore, it was and is apparent that a global approach could weaken the incentives for debtor countries to bring about the economic adjustment essential to any durable resolution of the debt problem, and could weaken the incentives for participation by financial institutions. A global approach could benefit countries and financial institutions that had acted unwisely, and penalize those that had not. The five-part international debt strategy is not based on a formula but on the implementation of a set of conditions, which, if fulfilled over the medium-term, can lead to a basic improvement in the creditworthiness of many of the heavily indebted countries. - 64 ~o,.a af(-pr the onset of the problem, a global More than two v e a ^ a f ^ *he °ns pragmatic, e ual 1 most approach remains 9 Jy J ™ * * " ? * ^ the Practicable. case-by-case J P ^ f ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ t ' t h e case-by-case strategy has There is now clear evidence ^ f i n a r i c ial situation of the brought about an ^ m P r o v ^ e n ^ . ^ ^ recovery of both economic debtor countries while allowing a recovey ^ coSoerative^rategy a" been aole tolerate with enough cohesion to sustai^negotiations and implementation over long periods and, in response to changing circumstances, nave been able to bring about an evolution of the process when advisable. The evolution of Paris and London Club practices, the London Summit's support for multi-year reschedulings as appropriate for countries which have demonstrated their ability and determination to adjust, and the banking community's successful implementation of that principle in the case of Mexico are convincing evidence that the case-by-case debt strategy remains an effective and flexible instrument to organize the still substantial international efforts that will be required to achieve sustainaole progress on the debt problem. Avoiding Similar Problems in the Future - Improving Data on International Indebtedness The international community is currently working on ways to improve the process of resolving the debt problem. At the same time, countries are working within the IMF and in other fora to identify ways to avoid the recurrence of similar problems in the future. For example, as discussed in the previous chapter, the Group of Ten countries is considering ways to strengthen the IMF's surveillance function to contribute to that purpose. An important part of the effort to avoid a recurrence is the work under way in the IMF and other international institutions to improve the collection and usefulness of data on international debt. In fact, efforts in this area have been in process for some time. This concluding section describes that work. Compilation and Dissemination of International Bank Data A principal feature of the international financial system in the past decade was the rapid growth of credits by private banks to residents of other countries, particularly the developing countries with large current account deficits. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) pioneered the creation of data systems focussing on credit extension and deposit-taking through the international banking system, including a country-by-country disaggregation of bank positions. These systems are based on reports provided by industrialized countries with internationally active private banks. Eighteen countries are now reporting data which are published in aggregated form in the quarterly "International Banking Developments." Fifteen countries are now reporting data which are published in aggregated form in the semiannual "The Maturity Distribution of International Bank Lending." - 65 More recently, the IMF staff has developed a similar but more comprehensive system, drawing on existing data reports from over 100 member countries and on newly developed separate reports akin to those provided to the BIS but covering a larger number of banking centers. Some data are provided on a monthly basis and others on a quarterly basis. While the basic methodology of the Fund's system has been established and publication of aggregated reports has begun (see below), the system is still evolving with respect to the coverage, accuracy and timeliness of reporting by members. Refinements such as increased detail on the currency composition of banks' positions and a maturity analysis are being considered. Descriptions of the system are publicly available in the IMF Survey (see, e.g., June 18, 1984); in Appendix 1 to Occasional Paper 31, "International Capital Markets: Developments and Prospects, 1984;" in "International Banking Statistics" (IMF/PIFS/84/11); and in the introduction to the monthly issues of International Monetary Statistics (IFS). Dissemination of the collected data in aggregated form takes place regularly through several channels. Publication commenced in the January 1934 issue of IFS. The most recent IMF annual report on international capital markets, Occasional Paper 31 cited above, bases its discussion of international banking flows largely on Fund data. It is envisioned that further articles may be published in the biweekly IMF Survey and possibly in other publications. Also, the Executive Board is informed directly of developments in international capital markets and reviews them at Board meetings. Other Information on External Indebtedness The Fund collects "flow" data on external transactions of member countries and publishes them in a summary form in the monthly IFS and in greater detail in Balance of Payments Statistics. A long-term goal of the Fund is to develop a similar categorization of "stock" positions of member countries, the liablility side of which would constitute a comprehensive picture of a country's external liabilities. (Stock positions differ from cumulations of flow data largely because of valuation changes. For instance, fluctuations in exchange rates can significantly affect the valuation of a stock position, depending on which currency is chosen as a unit of account, as well as the extent to which liabilities are denominated in other currencies.) At present only a very few countries, including the United States, estimate stock positions. In addition to its own data systems, the Fund utilizes information collected by other international organizations. Considerable information on medium- and long-term indebtedness extended to or guaranteed by the official sector of reporting countries is available through the World Bank's "Debtor Reporting - 66 Svstem" (DRS). The Bank has recently augmented the system to provide some information on non-guaranteed debt or private residents, and the gap represented by noncoverage of short-term indebtedness can be partly covered by estimates provided by the Fund. The DRS constitutes a major source for Fund country specialist estimates of debt profiles, which are subsequently integrated into aggregated positions published in the Fund's semiannual World Economic Outlook. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) maintains a "Creditor Reporting System" (CRS), based on reports by participating creditor countries, which produces data on flows to developing countries (and some stock positions) involving direct credit or guarantees by the creditor countries. Data and analyses are published in the OECD's annual Review of Development Cooperation. The OECD recently joined with the BIS to develop a system to estimate the portion of bank claims on individual countries which are guaranteed by OECD member countries. This estimate, which is published, lessens difficulties encountered in constructuring a comprehensive debt profile from data from different systems, particularly the problem of doublecounting. Both systems are available to the Fund's country specialists. It should also be noted that the BIS is in the process of shifting the basis of its semiannual report, "The Maturity Distribution of International Bank Lending", to one in which much of the data are collected on a "consolidated" reporting method, i.e., aggregating the positions of parent banks with those of their foreign affiliates. Although the Fund will probably not make use of data on a consolidated as opposed to a balance of payments basis, the availability of consolidated data will extend the coverage of the BIS reporting system and represents considerable progress from the perspective of bank supervision and other analytical purposes. Cooperation Among Compilers of External Debt Statistics Cooperation among the above-mentioned organizations is receiving increased emphasis. The Fund has convened, and acts as the Secretariat for, a working group of statistical experts from those^international organizations and the Berne Union. The group's initial meeting took place in March 1984, at which time the representatives discussed the objectives of the various systems, classification and accounting practices, greater exchange of information, and possible future action to intensify cooperation. - 67 Information on Unused Lines of Credit In addition to producing data on outstanding loans to private and public entities in developing countries, some of the systems described above collect information on commitments and disbursements. To the extent information is available on a commitment as well as a disbursed basis, it is possible to deduce the volume of unused credits. Data on claims and liabilities of banks are typically collected only with respect to outstanding loans. However, one of the BIS systems does collect and publish undisbursed credit commitments of reporting banks vis-a-vis residents of certain individual countries. Moreover, considerable information is available on commitments in the form of large publicized bank loans, e.g., from the OECD' s Financial Statistics". Role of the United States Executive Director of the Fund Given the existence of widespread agreement on the need for improving information on external indebtedness, as well as the initiatives already undertaken by the Fund, the U.S. Executive Director of the Fund has encountered no difficulty in carrying out the responsibilities set forth in the new Section 42 of the Bretton Woods Agreement Act (BWAA). In April 1983, the Executive Board discussed and approved the general direction of the Fund's work on debt statistics, and specifically the establishment of a new system on international banking statistics. At an Executive Board seminar following passage of P.L. 98-181, the U.S. Executive Director made comments consistent with the provisions of the legislation. In 1984, the Executive Board received a further progress report on the Fund's work, as well as a report on the meeting of the Working Group on External Debt Statistics, and periodic analytical reports on financial developments drawn from the international banking statistics. The Board also discussed the adequacy and timeliness of statistics on domestic economic developments and key international financial indicators for individual countries. The office of the U.S Executive Director, assisted by the staffs of the Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve System, will continue to monitor the work of the Fund in the area of external debt statistics and, as necessary, will provide impetus to this work in order to achieve the objectives of Section 42 of the BWAA. Potential Impact of International Monetary Fund Quota Expansion On World Oil Prices The Congress has asked for an assessment of the potential impact of expansion of International Monetary Fund (Fund or IMF) quotas on world oil prices. Since 1970, two IMF general quota expansions have occurred ~ in 1980 and in 1983 (Table I ) . Increases in the aggregate total of IMF quotas have occurred in other years to accommodate the admission of new members and, in 1981, selective increases in the quotas of two established members — Saudi Arabia and Oman. Member quotas are the basic source of operating capital for the IMF. The resources of the IMF are available to provide temporary balance of payments financing in support of members' efforts to implement sound economic adjustment programs. The economic policy conditions associated with use of IMF resources are designed to ensure that the adjustment measures are both effective in strengthening borrowers' external positions and internationally responsible. The "seal of approval" associated with IMF programs serves as the catalyst for continued flows of official and private financing which permit maintenance of economic activity and imports in borrowing countries while corrective policies take effect and lay the basis for sustained economic growth in the medium-term. Thus, the IMF's potential for influencing world oil prices is limited to situations where member countries are experiencing external financial imbalances. For a quota expansion to affect world oil prices, the Fund's provision of resources to members would have to affect the balance between world oil supply and demand. Tables II and III provide a profile of world oil production, consumption, and trade and identify the respective oil importing and oil exporting countries. We conclude that the potential for quota expansion to directly affect world oil prices is extremely limited in the short-run, while the long-term, indirect effects are diffuse and of indeterminant direction and magnitude. Direct Impacts The direct impact of an IMF quota expansion on world petroleum demand is difficult to measure as any funds provided by the IMF are merged with other funds available to the recipient and oil imports are only one of many uses for total available resources, including debt repayment. A quota increase does add to resources potentially availahle to countries in payments difficulties, but the resources, if provided a country, are used to sustain economic activity in general. At most, the effect of IMF disbursements is to sustain present or to reduce petroleum demand levels, not to increase them. - 2 The potential for a guota expansion to directly affect world oil supplies in the short-term is most likely to be an issue in situations where a potential borrowing member has unutilized oil productive capacity but is seeking to maximize its foreign exchange earnings through production constraints in a market characterized by weak demand and soft oil prices. Under the IMF's uniform conditions and criteria guidelines, however, conditional Fund facilities would not be available to substitute for potential foreign exchange earnings from marketable exports. Any attempt to circumvent these guidelines would be subject to close scrutiny by the Executive Directors of the Fund. Drawing resources from the Fund in amounts exceeding a country's reserve tranche (basically, its quota contribution of reserve assets) is contingent upon acceptance of an economic program, including austerity measures, designed to eliminate the external financial imbalance. These programs are predicated on market-oriented demand projections for a borrower's exports. Thus, guota expansion is not likely to reduce the short-run availability of oil supplies. Further, the historical record of IMF resource use (Table IV) demonstrates that material oil supply cutbacks have not been observed following recent quota expansions. This record shows that IMF resources have been drawn by fifteen net oil exporters over the last five years. .„„„ The, Peoples Republic of China drew IMF resources in both In nnanw 198 n b u t i n c r e a s e d its oil exports by approximately 50,000 barrels per day. Malaysia drew in 1981 under the Compensatory Financing Facility, but that was due to declining export receipts on other primary commodities and not related to its oil exports. Seven oil exporters drew IMF resources in 1982 — Araentina countHeSE9YPA' Me?iC°' Nlgeria' PerU' and S^ia Four of these e , " jrgentma, Egypt, Mexico, and Peru - increased oil two" - EcuLor T c 1 ° ' 0 0 0 b / d a n d a s m u c h a s 3 5 0 '000 b/d), and While N e , ? S J r X V ~ k S p t ° U e x p o r t s r o u g h l y constant. barrel? S r S / 0 ! 6 3 - 0 1 } e x P ° r t s t 0 decline about 200,000 e t P a r ' J! " J * 1 7 w i ^ h d r e w its reserve tranche, which pe o e m L S L E ^ n C e ° f a " I M F P r ° g ^ - On balance, net Sr S i H u S r S e ^ r l " ^ lnc ™"< a b ° U t 200'000ba"els Indonesia' Ira1qeX^iraysrL"a^gMntina' Cameroon< Congo, Ecuador, 1983. Available data ™ IQ!S ^ C ° ~" t U r n e d t o t h e I M F i n W rld indicate that oil e ™ r ? « ° P e t r o l e u m trade patterns 6 8U8 al borrower exc'p? for I n d o n ^ f J ned at 1982 levels by each under the'co^ens^LrTpL'n^ng'FaSlitv'b d™ln9\°CCU"ed . timber, natural rubber, tin and llhtl Y -? d °" s h o r t f a l l s i n ln and other ' ' non-oil exports and under - 3 the Buffer Stock Financing Facility for contributions to tin and rubber stock funds. Indirect Effects The provision of IMF resources to member countries could affect world petroleum markets indirectly in a number of ways. For example, economic policy conditions associated with the provision of those resources frequently require countries to adjust regulated prices. Such requirements, if they raise domestic petroleum prices, would dampen energy demand (possibly increasing supplies available for export in oil exporting countries) and could stimulate investment in new energy supplies if producer revenues are allowed to increase. On the other hand, implementation of IMF programs should improve prospects for sustained economic growth and development, which would promote energy demand growth and could also stimulate development of new energy supplies. Thus, the impact of quota expansion on the balance between petroleum supply and demand is unpredictable and we conclude that the long-term effects of quota expansion on oil prices are of indeterminant direction and magnitude. Table I International Monetary Fund Quotas Country/Region WORLD Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. 1980 1981 1983 1932 (SDR mill ions) 39,016.5 59,595.5 60,674.0 61,059.8 89,240.8 Apr . 1980 OIL IMPORTING COUNTRIES 29,371.5 44,215.8 44,224.4 44,610.2 65,731.6 Industrial Countries 21,720.0 32,580.0 32,580.0 32,580.0 49,196.0 Developing Countries 7,651.5 11,635.8 11,644.4 12,030.2 16,535.6 in Africa 1,857.3 2,912.1 2,912.1 2,912.1 3,903.2 in Asia 2,623.0 3,956.9 3,965.5 3,965.5 5,265.8 in Europe 1,133.0 1,699.5 1,699.5 2,074.5 2,987.5 in Middle East 301.0 461.4 461-4 719.7 461.4 in Western Hemisphere 1,737.2 2,605.9 2,605.9 2,616.7 3,659.4 OIL EXPORTING COUNTRIES 10,642.0 16,873.8 17,943.7 17,943.7 25,872.4 IMF Group of oil exp. Indonesi a Iraq Nigeri a 3 ,786.0 480.0 141.0 360.0 5 ,592.2 720.0 234.1 540.0 6 ,662.1 720.0 234.1 540.0 6 ,662.1 720.0 234.1 540.0 Other oil exporters Norway United Kingdom Cameroon Congo Gabon Tunisi a China, People's Rep. Malaysi a Bahrai n Egypt Syrian Arab Rep. Argentina Ecuador Mexico Peru Trinidad & Tobago 5 ,875.0 295.0 2 ,925.0 45.0 17.0 30.0 63.0 550 .0 253.0 20.0 228.0 63.0 535.0 70.0 535.0 164.0 82.0 9 ,787.5 442.5 4 ,387.5 67.5 25.5 45.0 94.5 1 ,800.0 379.5 30.0 342.0 94.5 802.5 105.0 802.5 246.0 123.0 9 ,787.5 442.5 4 ,387.5 67.5 25.5 45.0 94.5 1 ,800.0 379.5 30.0 342.0 94.5 802.5 105.0 802.5 246.0 123.0 9 ,787.5 13,757.4 442.5 699.0 4 ,387.5 6,194.0 67.5 92.7 25.5 37.3 45.0 73.1 94.5 138.2 1 ,800.0 2,390.9 379.5 550.6 30.0 48.9 342.0 463.4 94.5 139.1 802.5 1,113.0 105.0 150.7 802.5 1,165.5 246.0 330.9 123.0 170.1 9,751.8 1,009.7 504.0 849.5 (In percent) OIL IMPORTING COUNTRIES Industrial Countries Developing Countries in Africa in Asia in Europe in Middle East in Western Hemisphere OIL EXPORTING COUNTRIES IMF Group of oil exp. Other oil exporters 75.3% 55.7% 19.6% 4.3% 6.7% 2.9% 0.8% 4.5% 74.2% 54.7% 19.5% 4.9% 6.6% 2.9% 0.8% 4.4% 72.9% 53.7% 19.2% 4.8% 6.5% 2.8% 0.8% 4.3% 73.1% 53.4% 19.7% 4.8% 6.5% 3.4% 0.8% 4.3% 73.7% 55.1% 18.5% 4.4% 5.9% 3.3% 0.8% 4.1% 27.3% 9.7% 15.1% 28.3% 9.4% 16.4% 29.6% 11.0% 16.1% 29.4% 10.9% 16.0% 29.0% 10.9% 15.4% Table II World Petroleum Supply and Disposition, 1981 (Thousand barrels per day and percent) Region and Country Apparent Consumption World Barrels * Share WORLD TOTAL 60705 NORTH AMERICA Canada Mexico United States Other CENTRAL & SOUTH AMERICA Argen tina Bahama Islands Brazil Chile Colombia Cuba Ecuador Netherlands Antilles Panama Republic Peru Puerto Rico Trinidad and Tobago Venezuela Virgin Islands Other WESTERN EUROPE Austri a Belgi urn Denmark Fi nland France Germany, West Greece Ireland Italy Luxembourg Netherlands Norway Portugal Spai n Sweden Swi tzerland Turkey Uni ted Kingdom Yugoslavia Other 19169 1836 1267 16058 8 3637 483 75 1022 97 172 207 88 137 84 137 281 45 433 111 265 12766 225 481 243 241 2023 2449 254 104 1906 22 657 185 140 941 471 251 280 1590 285 18 Crude Production # Implied Crude & Product trade A Imports Exports 60329 27999 -27625 3.0% 2.1% 26.5% 0.0% 14903 1610 2554 10739 0 5553 226 0 5319 8 -1287 0 -1287 0 0 0.8% 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0-4% 3776 508 0 240 51 131 3 213 0 0 197 0 245 2157 0 31 1995 0 75 782 46 41 204 0 137 84 0 281 0 0 111 234 -2134 -25 0 0 0 0 0 -125 0 0 -60 0 -200 -1724 0 0 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 3.3% 4.0% 0.4% 0.2% 3.1% 0.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0% 2841 26 0 15 0 61 89 8 0 38 0 33 551 0 25 0 0 46 1861 88 0 10562 199 481 228 241 1962 2360 246 104 1868 22 624 0 140 916 471 251 234 0 197 13 ( -637 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -366 0 0 0 0 0 -271 0 0 Table II - Continued World Petroleum Supply and Disposition, 1981 (Thousand barrels per day and percent) Region and Country Apparent Consumption World Barrels * Share Crude Product i on # Implied Crude & Product trade A Imports Export! EASTERN EUROPE AND USSR Albania Bulgaria Cz echo sio v ak i a Germany, East Hungary Poland Roman i a U. S. S. R. 11006 44 294 381 355 236 346 323 9027 0.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 14.9% 12630 44 6 2 1 58 8 255 12256 1605 0 238 379 354 178 338 68 0 -3229 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3229 MIDDLE EAST Bahrai n Iran Iraq Israel Kuwai t Oman Qatar Saudi Arabia Syr i a United Arab Emirates Other 2059 35 633 214 163 116 6 10 486 120 126 150 0.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16330 54 1389 1005 1 1185 319 429 10248 166 1534 0 312 0 0 0 162 0 0 0 0 0 0 150 -14583 -19 -756 -791 0 -1069 -313 -419 -9762 -46 -1408 0 AFRICA Algeri a Angola Egypt Gabon Kenya Li by a Morocco Ni ger i a South Africa Tunsi a Other 1496 127 20 276 12 39 115 93 156 324 57 277 0.2% 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.5% 4840 1018 130 615 151 0 1175 1 1433 0 118 199 533 0 0 0 0 39 0 92 0 324 0 78 -3377 -891 -110 -339 -139 0 -1060 0 -1277 0 -61 0 Table II - continued World Petroleum Supply and Disposition, 1981 (Thousand barrels per day and percent) Region and Country FAR EAST AND OCEANIA Australi a Brunei China Hong Kong India Indonesi a Japan Korea, South Malaysi a New Zealand Pakistan Philipp i nes Singapore Taiwan Thailand Other Apparent Consumption t ion lorld Barrels * ihare 10570 584 5 1675 128 729 441 4848 536 165 85 107 212 214 377 214 250 1.0% 0.0% 2.8% 0.2% 1.2% 0.7% 8.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% Crude Production # 5009 454 188 2012 0 325 1700 3 0 264 11 10 2 0 8 27 Implied Crude & Product trade A Imports Exports 7439 130 0 0 128 404 0 4840 536 0 74 97 210 214 369 214 223 -1878 0 -133 -337 0 0 -1259 0 0 -99 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Source: International Energy Annual, (Energy Information Administration, Washington, D . C ) , Table 14. World Petroleum Supply and Disposition * Data include inland consumption, refinery fuel and loss, and bunkering. Apparent consumption is either an antual figure or is derived from the components of refined product output, plus imports minus exports with no allowance for stock changes. Also includes, where available, liquefied petroleum gases sold directly for fuel and chemical uses from natural gasprocessing plants. # Data include natural gas plant liquids for the following countries: Canada, Mexico, United States, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Cuba, Ecuador, Peru, Trinidad and Tobago, Venezuela, Austria, France, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Spain, United Kingdom, Yugoslavia, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Poland, Romania, U.S.S.R., Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Australia, Brunei, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Pakistan, New Zealand, and Taiwan. Figures for the United States also include refinery processing gain and other hydrocarbon inputs to refineries. Ethyl alcohol fuel is also included in data on Brazil. A Includes stock changes. Trade figures derived as difference between apparent consumption and crude production. Table III World Petroleum Supply and Disposition, 1982 (Thousand barrels per day and percent) Region and Country Apparent Consumption World Barrels * Share Crude Production # Implied Crude & Product trade A Imports Exports 57956 26327 -23541 30.61% 2.71% 2.28% 25.60% 0.02% 15478 1692 3003 10733 0 4527 0 0 4513 14 -1718 -75 -1643 0 0 3672 468 41 1082 88 183 230 95 150 83 119 251 40 427 120 295 6.15% 0.78% 0.07% 1.81% 0.15% 0.31% 0.39% 0.16% 0.25% 0.14% 0.20% 0.42% 0.07% 0.71% 0.20% 0.49% 3628 503 0 331 54 147 11 213 0 0 199 0 183 1955 0 32 1948 0 41 751 34 36 219 0 150 83 0 251 0 0 120 263 -1904 -35 0 0 0 0 0 -118 0 0 -80 0 -143 -1528 0 0 12390 209 444 233 226 1939 2324 242 91 1783 22 639 174 189 1009 406 239 327 1585 286 23 20.74% 0.35% 0.74% 0.39% 0.33% 3.25% 3.89% 0.41% 0.15% 2.98% 0.04% 1.07% 0.29% 0.32% 1.69% 0.68% 0.40% 0.55% 2.65% 0.48% 0.04% 3203 27 0 35 0 54 84 21 0 36 0 44 590 0 30 0 0 50 2143 89 0 10161 182 444 198 226 1835 2240 221 91 1747 22 595 0 189 979 406 239 277 0 197 23 WORLD TOTAL 59739 NORTH AMERICA Canada Mexico Uni ted States Other CENTRAL & SOUTH AMERICA Argentina Bahama IslandsBrazil Chile Colombi a Cuba Ecuador Netherlands Antilles Panama Republic Peru Puerto Rico Trinidad and Tobago Venezuela Virgin Islands Other WESTERN EUROPE Austria Belgium Denmark Fi nland France Germany, West Greece Ireland I taly Luxembourg Netherlands Norway Por tugal Spai n Sweden Swi tzerland Turkey United Kingdom Yugoslavia Other 18287 1617 1360 15296 14 -974 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -416 0 0 0 0 0 -558 0 0 Table III - Continued World Petroleum Supply and Disposition, 1982 (Thousand barrels per day and percent) Region and Country Apparent Con surnpt i on World Share Barrels * Crude Production # I rnp 1 i e d Crude & Product trade A Irnpor ts Exports EASTERN EUROPE AND USSR Albani a Bulgaria Cz echo sio v ak i a Germany , East Hungary Poland Romani a U.S.S.R. 11188 64 295 327 371 223 318 337 9253 18.73% 0.11% 0.49% 0 .55% 0.62% 0.37% 0.53% 0.56% 15.49% 12815 64 3 2 1 61 6 248 12430 1550 0 292 325 370 162 312 39 0 -3177 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3177 MIDDLE EAST Bahrain I ran Iraq Israel Kuwai t Oman Qatar Saudi Ar abi a Syr i a Uni ted A rab Emirates Other 3205 31 1675 205 162 98 16 11 606 121 126 154 5.37% 0.05% 2.80% 0 .34% 0.27% 0.16% 0.03% 0.02% 1.01% 0.20% 0.21% 0.26% 13253 52 2223 1017 1 863 324 360 6913 160 1340 0 315 0 0 0 161 0 0 0 0 0 0 154 -10363 -21 -548 -812 0 -765 -308 -349 -6307 -39 -1214 0 AFRICA Algeria Angola Egypt Gabon Kenya Libya Morocco Ni ger i a South Africa Tunsi a Other 1655 143 21 313 11 30 124 88 228 349 49 299 2.77% 0.24% 0.04% 0.52% 0.02% 0.05% 0.21% 0.15% 0.38% 0.58% 0.08% 0.50% 4736 910 122 690 156 0 1190 1 1295 20 120 232 699 0 0 0 0 30 0 37 0 329 0 253 -3780 -767 -101 -377 -145 0 -1066 0 -1067 0 -71 -186 Table III - Continued World Petroleum Supply and Disposition, 1982 (Thousand barrels per day and percent) Region and Country FAR EAST AND OCEANIA Australi a Brunei China Hong Kong Indi a Indonesi a Japan Korea, South Malaysi a New Zealand Pakistan Phili ppi nes Singapore Taiwan Thailand Other Apparent Consumption mption World Barrels * Share 10346 659 4 1661 125 710 479 4554 534 180 82 104 224 222 330 199 279 17.32% 1.10% 0.01% 2.78% 0.21% 1.19% 0.80% 7.62% 0.89% 0.30% 0.14% 0.17% 0.37% 0.37% 0.55% 0.33% 0.47% Crude Production # 4844 422 179 2045 0 390 1419 10 0 306 16 13 8 0 6 0 30 Implied Crude & Product trade A Imports Exports 7127 237 0 0 125 320 0 4544 534 0 66 91 216 222 324 199 249 -1625 0 -175 -384 0 0 -940 0 0 -126 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Source: International Energy Annual, (Energy Information Administration, Washington, D . C ) , Table 14. World Petroleum Supply and Disposition * Data include inland consumption, refinery fuel and loss, and bunkering. Apparent consumption is either an antual figure or is derived from the components of refined product output, plus imports minus exports with no allowance for stock changes. Also includes, where available, liquefied petroleum gases sold directly for fuel and chemical uses from natural gas processing plants. # Data include natural gas plant liquids for the following countries: Canada, Mexico, United States, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Cuba, Ecuador, Peru, Trinidad and Tobago, Venezuela, Austria, France, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Spain, United Kingdom, Yugoslavia, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Poland, Romania, U.S.S.R., Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Australia, Brunei, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Pakistan, New Zealand, and Taiwan. Figures for the United States also include refinery processing gain and other hydrocarbon inputs to refineries. Ethyl alcohol fuel is also included in data on Brazil. A Includes stock changes. Trade figures derived as difference between apparent consumption and crude production. TREASURY NEWS lepartment of the Treasury • Washington, D.c. • Telephone 566-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MARCH 25, 198 5 Brien Benson (202) 566-2041 HEALEY RESIGNS AS DOMESTIC FINANCE ASSISTANT SECRETARY The Department of the Treasury announced today that Thomas J. Healey has resigned as Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Domestic Finance, effective March 31, 1985. John J. Niehenke, currently Deputy Assistant Secretary for Federal Finance, will become Acting Assistant Secretary upon Mr. Healey"s departure. As Treasury's "investment banker", Mr. Healey's principal responsibilities include managing the Federal debt and advising and assisting the Secretary of the Treasury on matters of Federal finance, state and local finance, and financial institutions policy and deregulation. In this latter capacity, he recently chaired the interdepartmental study of the federal deposit insurance system. Mr. Healey said he "had told then-Secretary Donald T. Regan of his intention to return to the private sector after the President's re-election." Mr. Healey delayed his departure to complete the FDIC study and help in the transition resulting from Mr. Regan's departure. Secretary of the Treasury, James A. Baker III, said, "Treasury was fortunate to have Tom's skills. He has guided notable debt management accomplishments including the repeal of withholding tax on interest paid to foreigners and the Treasury STRIPS program of registration of individual coupons on Treasury Securities to enhance trading of Treasury securities. I have particularly appreciated his willingness to remain during my transition to Treasury." Before joining the Treasury Department, Mr. Healey was Managing Director of Dean Witter Reynolds Capital Markets. B-56 U.S. TREASURY LIBRARY 1 0031636