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LIUHAtf'f L) t~'r DEC 1 5 1983 Treas. HJ 10 . A1P34 v. 208 U. S. Dept. of the Treasury. I PRESS RELEASES '. partment of ihe Treasury ~ Washington. D.C. STATEMENT DONALD T. ~ Telephone 566-204' BY REGAN SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY ON PRODUCER PRICES FRI DAY I OCTOBER 15 I 19 82 The 0. 1 percent drop in producer prices in September an encouraging Prices for cars, sign for the consumer. and The food gasoline were all down. message is clear that inflation is staying down and interest rates should come is down even further. interest rate at 12 percent, several banks are now lowering their consumer loan rates for houses, cars and other goods. These are good omens for economic recovery which will encourage the kind of business expansion that will create new jobs. With the prime R-990 spartlnent of the Treasury ~ Washington, D.C. ~ Telephone 566-204'I REMARKS BY R. T. MCNAMAR DEPUTY SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE ELECTRONIC INDUSTRIES ASSOCIATION LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA October 12, 1982 The greates single need in economic policy in the United States is for consistency. I want to suggest a unique demonstration of the consistency in economic policy that the Reagan Administration will provide. As you know, I was on the ready to leave to address you National Airport in Washington plane in front of us crashed. next Air Florida plane getting in Boca Raton last January, when was closed after the Air Florida So I was forced to cancel. As a demonstration of consistency, I am going to give you the exact speech that I had prepared to deliver then, and except for updating the numbers, and a shift at the end, it is still Listen to these remarks in that context of applicable' consistency "Now, two in economic policy. I realize that in your industry, it often seems that of products can come and go over the But many of you also understand that the experience or three generations weekend. curve phenomenon -- with its emphasis on continuous product and anticipatory capacity expansion -- really means development, that a very long-range outlook is the key to success in electronics. And that success also demands willingness to ride out short, -term problems in order to invest for future growth. — That's the theme I'd like to strike today the long term. the frame of reference in And in doing so I'd like to reconstruct program for economic recovery was which the Administration's fashioned. In addition, I' ll touch on the President's program, the current status of the eocnomy, and the outlook for the future. Let me begin by saying that the President's program is not one of quick fixes, short-term solutions, or impulsive reactions goalso R-991 P" " ~ 1 P These goals We we are: 1. To minimize 2. To reduce the rate of growth spending; and 3. To of government restore stable, real economic growth. did not attain fully attain inflation; them these goals in our in our second. first year -- nor will But I would suggest that since the President's inauguration beginning changes in direction we have begun some fundamental for forty years. a reversal of trends that have been developing And I believe historians will record that we have just passed an inflection point in our economic history. -- Let's quickly review some of our recent history. The Problem Specifically, let's examine the legacy of rapid and inconsistent monetary growth, stop-and-go fiscal policies and the. constant growth in federal revenue caused by inflation and a counterproductive corporate and personal tax system -- a system that generated revenues for the federal government through In fact, the government's inflated tax continued inflation. revenues got to the point where the government talked about declaring a dividend. Remember the so-called "Fiscal Dividend" that was supposed to materialize when the Vietnam War ended? Without the war to fund, we were supposed to be able to balance the budget and reallocate federal dollars from defense and expand social 1974 was the year all that was supposed to start. programs. Let's see what has happened since then. Well, since 1974 we' ve certainly neglected our defense establishment -- that part of the bargain was kept. But 1974 was also the last year in which the federal government comprised less than twenty percent of our gross national product -- 19.5 percent to be exact. The "Fiscal Dividend" turned out to be fiscal excess. Since 1974, federal spending rose from $270 billion to $660 billion in 1981. That's 23 percent of GNP almost one dollar in every And our national four generated by our economy. debt swelled to over a trillion dollars today. — 3 during this period not all the trends were Productivity, for example, has long been in a major de~line The rate of productivity growth decreased from an annual average of 3. 1 percent in the 20-year period after World War II to 0. 7 percent in the 1973-80 period. And American jobs Unfortunately, rising ~ ~ and investment went overseas as a result. the personal savings rate -- which averaged 7. 7 percent in the ten years ending in 1975 fell almost to the 4. 5 percent rate early in 1981 and, in the mid-quarter of 1981 was a low 5. 2 percent. At the same time, for the economic situation that this is trying to rectify is due to bipartisan errors. Granted, Administration blame basic weaknesses in our economy have been developing over a period of three or four decades -- a period during which both Republicans and Democrats have occupied the White House, while a Democratic dominated Congress piled federal spending commitment on top of commitment. The My is this: message Administration inherited described as dismal. On taking office, an economic the Reagan that could be situation Frankly, this is a mess that was so long in the making that will be more than days, or weeks, or months, in the mending. But what we are trying to do is to redefine the relationship between the public and the private sectors and -- for a change redefiine it in favor of private initiative and private In short, we want to establish a long-term framework enterprise. for the future of our economy. it The Let me give the future. President's briefly you some Pro ram for Economic Recover summarize idea of at this point, then of the outlook for the program its current status and integrated parts which, if consistently implemented by Congress will ameliorate inflation, reduce the size of the federal government and restore the kind of real economic growth that will benefit everyone -- investor and industrialist, consumer and corporation, hard hat and housewife. carefully The monetary first element polic'y. Second, there's of the program the tax program. is We a non-inflationary have effectively eliminated the tax on income from new equipment. The third element of the program investment in plant —regulatory and reform -- has already eliminated over fifty major federal regulations. Federal Register was 25 percent smaller in 1981 than in 1980. The result is an initial saving to the economy of $16 billion, Again, plus a recurring, annual saving estimated at $6 billion. to market that's cash that corporate borrowers won't be coming to The seek. Finally, we want to slow the growth of the federal spending In this way we can free real resources Gross National Product. for the private sector -- capital that can be used to modernize elements of our society. and expand the productive What's more, curbing the growth of federal spending now and in the future reduces competition for credit and alleviates pressure on the Federal Reserve to monetize the deficit and therefore contribute to inflation. " the changes I mentioned, is the speech I It's still would have delivered to you almost a year ago. the fundamental It's describes still accurate. And it current. That is, the America today. in nature in the economic problem need to shift the momentum of an enormous economy away from the direction that it has been moving for almost twenty years in the twenty months we' ve been in office. That text, with Results of the Pro ram degrees, elements of the program are in effect today. However, the current downturn is worse than envisioned in our earlier scenarios, in no small part because interest rates stayed high much longer than expected. I submit that the interest rate decline that started this summer and is continuing is in large part attributable to the Congressional Together they budget and tax compromise reached last spring. reduced anticipated federal deficits by 8400 billion. That started the decline that is still going on today. and In varying working If interest rates are improving, let me address which isn't improving. All of us in the unemployment, Administration, first and foremost the President, are saddened the hardship of people out of work. The current unemployment rate strengthens our resolve for permanent long-term solutions the need for more jobs. by to proposed an economic program to create sector jobs and get the economy moving again. Month by month the nation watched as one piece after another of this program fell into place. Inflation dropped from 12. 4 percent to 5. 1 percent today. The prime interest rate dropped from 21. 5 This Administration private percent rate, to 13.0 percent today. The three-month Treasury bill reached nearly 17 percent in the spring of 1981, is 7. 5 percent and declining. Mortgage interest rates which now around are declining. Yet today still struggle with the intensely personal people out of work. Our economic program was designed to strengthen the fiber of our private enterprise system, the economic engine that creates permanent jobs in this The gradual increase in unemployment levels in the country. post-war period reflects the depth of the deterioration that had rate is taken place in our economic base. The high unemployment exacerbated by the fact that the recession of 1980 began with the highest unemployment rate of any post-World War II recession. problem Our we of far too many tax cuts, budget cuts, regulatory reform, and monetary policy are designed to rebuild that industrial base. The first sign of success is lower inflation; next is the decline in interest rates; the decrease in the unemployment rate will follow. History shows that when inflation is brought under control, interest rates decline, expansion ensues and the unemployment rate responds by coming down. In 1971-72, inflation was cut by third. The next year, in 1973, unemployment dropped to under 5 percent. In 1974-76, inflation was cut in half. In the fell by a third. And in following two years, unemployment 1981-82, the inflation rate again has been cut in half. I believe the stage is set for an economic recovery which will rate and create real jobs. reduce the unemployment a the quick fixes of the past that brought inflation down for short periods, only to have The short-term proposals to create them skyrocket back up. make-work jobs through more government spending programs will re-ignite and result in even inflation, choke off the recovery, don't believe that a return to We simply greater unemployment. the policies of high taxes and big spending programs will create jobs. $50, 000 per person CETA jobs haven't been meaningful successful, they only helped to widen deficits, increase We down and reject unemployment inflationary expectations, and raise interest rates. third element of the program -- regulatory reform -- has The already eliminated over fifty major federal regulations. Federal Register was 25 percent smaller in 1981 than in 1980. The result is an initial saving to the economy of $16 billion, Again plus a recurring, annual saving estimated at $6 billion. to market won't to coming be borrowers that's cash that corporate seek. in initiating a period of budgetary And we have succeeded in the fiscal 1982 discipline. Last year Congress agreed to cuts budget recent Our most budget amounting to 835 billion. from billion resolution calls for cumulative cuts of 8280 needed. 1983-85. Additional cuts of major proportions are It's an indication that the That's sound progress. and the Congress are moving in the right Administration direction. But there can be no question that more cuts are The needed. should anyone question our resolve to go back to the Hill again and again for more cuts in federal spending, for more cuts in entitlement programs. Nor and shifted the two years, we' ve redefined The road to fiscal deliberation. debate and terms of policy objective is the but arduous, and will be long responsibility we' but battles, We' some lose ll our times, ll pick clear. won. will be war eventually the economic In less than State of the Econom have some rather dramatic evidence that Current In major fact, we now battles in the While inflation economic war are being won. interest rates have been declining, there can be no doubt that the economy is performing poorly, and Two flat or mildly negative quarters worse than we had expected. this year were anticipated in our original estimates. Now let me return and to my point. about consistency, and talk deficits by returning again to last winter's speech, which is even more applicable today as more and more Democratic candidates call for make-work public jobs programs. about budget "I want to reassure the American people that we are on a consistent, correct track, and that we will not go back to the policies of the past, and that this Administration has a program to get lasting and meaningful jobs. What's needed -- as I suggested earlier -- is time. Admittedly, this will try the American political will during a recession this winter and during an election year. As Henry Kissinger said of the American lack of patience: "Americans seem to have a proclivity to pull up the trees every few weeks to see if the roots are really growing. " Deficits Probably the greatest single stimulus for pulling trees to check the roots is a concern in some quarters up the about the projected deficits. There's no question in anyone's mind that the outlook for the anticipated federal deficits has deteriorated I know sharply from the projections that we made in late spring. that some analysts take serious issue with any suggestion that we shall see single digit interest rates, because of the possibility of larger deficits. higher made Ironically, reason the deficits will be termporarily is because of the progress that has been a major than expected in fighting inflation. it. to the way in which most entitlement federal spending or outlays are linked to the previous year's inflation rate, but revenues based on taxable income are basically linked to the current year's inflation rate. Think about programs are indexed, Due All other things being equal, the faster inflation comes down, the more difficult it becomes to quickly balance the No administration has faced this phenomenon of a budget. sustained decline in inflation since our major entitlements Deficits are a part of the transformation prorams were indexed. process. That perverse set of incentives deserves a hard look. is fairly simple. Inflation indexed -- the Treasury borrows to meet federal increase outlays programs the entitlement obligation -- the Fed buys the Treasury's debt-the money supply increases too rapidly causing inflation -- the inflation causes indexed programs to increase federal outlays and so on. This vicious circle must be broken -- because inflation is the largest, most regressive tax of all. The circular equation problem is not the federal deficit. The fundamental the overall level and rate of growth in government spending sixteen percent The public rate of growth is well aware It --is in recent years. of this fiscal reality: all alternatives: Payment can be made in the form of explicit taxes that officially transfer resources to the public sector. federal bills must be paid. Examine the a inflation that raises everyone' s tax brackets and shifts the greatest burden -- through negative real interest rates -- to those who save, and to those whose Or payment incomes can be made by are not indexed. Or payment can take the form of least temporarily higher as the sector for funds. and rates that are at outbids the private interest government, This reality manifests itself in volatile financial higher real interest rates. These, in turn, are an expression of fear that imposes exacerbates investment risk. inflation premiums markets and Those fears will only be relieved by a resolute Congress determined to cut the budget, and by a Federal Reserve that persists in a slow, steady growth " in the money supply parallel with real growth in the economy. On October 1 Just let me illustrate: That was last winter. based increase cost of living the food stamp program just had a on last year's inflation of 8%. Yet this year food costs have increased year-to-date only 3. 6%. The cost to you was 81 billion. If today's inflation rates were used, the cost savings This illustrates why Tip would have been over 9S50 million. O' Neill likes higher and higher inflation each year so he doesn' t have to face this problem. We are not going to engage in more futile rounds of tryng to That route raise taxes faster than Congress can raise spending. has been tried and has failed. If we stay on course -- and we shall -- we shall restore long-term health to the economy. The roots of the economic tree are indeed growing, because they' re being cultivated by a responsible economic policy. increased the tax incentives to save and invest, and to restore responsibility to the budget process. The United States can move back toward a savings rate that, will support temporary deficits without crowding out, without higher We' ve begun rates, interest and without inflation. . inflation, reducing Our goals of reducing the rate of growth in government spending and restoring real growth are not only mutually consistent, they are mutually necessary and mutually reinforcing. Many growth of of those and derived special interests that both fostered the ever-greater benefit from the federal government, and that lost the last election, have been declaring the President's economic program a failure since before it was unveiled. And though they suffered defeat in every major battle last year, they will undoubtedly try to unravel that program this year. Hence, much of the policy agenda will be aimed toward preserving last year's gains. Most important, we must be prepared to meet attacks on the program's key incentive-oriented tax provisions. Those attacks will not be aimed directly at the core provisions that take effect this year or perhaps next. Rather the attacks will be aimed at what some critics perceive to be the weak periphery. will seek to delay, reduce or eliminate the third personal tax reduction -- a ten percent reduction that becomes effective July 1, 1983. Others may seek to eliminate the indexing provision. Still others will seek to repeal the safe-harbor leasing provisions of last year's tax act. All these attempts will be shrouded in specious arguments of "sound fiscal policy" and reduced corporate welfare. Some fact that these arguments will be advanced by the same for years fostered big deficits by fostering ever-bigger federal spending programs should be a clue to their real motivation. Rolling back the tax cuts is their way to restore rapid growth in federal revenues -- the goose that lays the rotten egg of an ever-larger federal role. The interests who And contrary to the claims that will be made, these In fact, they are central to our provisions are not peripheral. efforts to restore long-term incentives to save, invest, and work. If the third year, or the indexing provisions of the personal tax cut were repealed, for example, the remaining two year tax cut would be seen for exactly what it would be -- a brief, temporary respite an ever bigger taxes and otherwise. on the long march toward ever higher No one could possibly think government. So, while there undoubtedly will be some increases in taxes do not destroy the incentive effects of our program, the We will continue to program itself is here for the long term. that focus on reducing government spending, on reducing government intervention in the economy by eliminating unwarranted regulations, and on continuing to reduce inflation by maintaining a slow, steady growth of the money supply. The Mana ement Our policy agenda, we A enda for 1982 hope, will also shape in part your 10 personal agendas agenda in 1982 in 1982. In fact, I think — a political agenda and the nation's Politically, agenda you really have two agenda. a management is already written; you on those parts of the economic program that I believe are important to you and to the success of your true of the key tax provisions This is particularly businesses. personal tax cuts, accelerated cost recovery and safe harbor leasing. If you do not respond to the challenges that will be mounted, you, and the country, will be the losers. must make your views known — the key to our economic recovery is not what do; it's what you in business do in response we in the government incentives that were enacted last year. economic restored the to Nanagerially, well management and labor respond to this changed will determine whether we lock in lower economic environment the long term. In recent years, wage for rates of inflation settlements have been ever larger as workers attempted to catch rising inflation rate. up with a constantly How Nevertheless, we are living psychology that is difficult to with a deeply rooted inflationary Half the working Think about our current legacy. change. population today has never known price stability or low inflation attitudes born of such in their adult lives. Fundamental experience will die slowly, yet they must, yield to changed Inflation is no longer rising. realities. Inflation now is coming decline. If wage settlements rapidly and will continue to do not follow suit, company profits will be further squeezed. With those vanishing profits will go the cash flow necessary for renewed investment in plant and equipment that would restore real growth and create more jobs the kind that allow both American more highly productive jobs business and American labor to succeed in a much more competitive down -- world economy. Lover nominal wage settlements are thus a necessary adjunct to lower expected rates of inflation. And lower nominal wage settlements need not mean even temporarily lower real wages. Consumer prices in August indicate that inflation remains low and the prospects for economic recovery remain high. A seasonally adjusted 3 percent rise in consumer prices in August is a significant drop from June and July levels. Consumers should notice this achievement in at least two ways. First, in their shopping carts, at the gas pump and in their pocketbooks. Second, in interest rates and economic recovery. . So far this year, the CPI is 5. 1 percent at an annual This is a far cry from the double-digit inflation of 1980. rate. If you took a family making $15, 000 a year in 1980 on a fixed income basis, then compared how many dollars extra they have today, after our inflation rates and tax cuts, compared with how they would have done under two years more of runaway inflation and tax bracket creep, you find that this lower income family has $1, 286 more to spend for food under the Reagan Administration. If they spend $100 per week on food, that's more than three months' groceries and a pretty darned good meal. We are shedding that sense of uncontrolled and accelerating inflation that haunted us in the late 1970's. Turning that situation around was an essential precondition to achieving long-term economic growth and prosperity. I believe these new figures show we' re on the road to recovery. real or after-inflation GNP in the second 2. 1 percent. The third quarter GNP should also be slightly positive. The "flash" report indicated a real increase of 1. 5 percent. The leading indicators have been up four of the last five months. And, clearly the financial markets, usually the most accurate harbinger of an upturn, believe it is coming. This is not a short-term task involving quick fixes. It is a problem that requires long-term commitment -- a commitment to stay the course. We are determined to reverse the policies of In addition, quarter was up this problem, and help develop that will put people back to work. the past which created growing economy a steadily The has weathered a severe recession. and high interest rates have left But indelible imprints on the nature of this nation's business. whether it be in banking, or housing, or autos, or hundreds of other industries, American leadership of the private sector is restless to get on with the Renaissance of free enterprise. The American effects of And high economy inflation I believe our economic The what the government policies in place to don't waiver now. If we stay the a Congress that wil support the continuity of we support that effort. course. If we have have If we resurgence. choice is the American people's on November failed or continue with what's succeeding. to people will vote to stay the course to prosperity. Thank you. 2. Return I submit that apartment of the Treasury ~ Washington, FOR IMMEDIATE O.C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 October 18, 1982 RELEASE RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $5, 605 million of 13-week bills and for $5, 605 million of 26-week bills, both to be issued on October 21, 1982, were accepted today. OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: RANGE 98. 142 98. 115 98. 120 High Low Average Tenders Tenders at the at the 26-week bills April 21, 1983 maturing Investment Discount Rate 1/ Rate Price 13-week bills January 20, 1983 maturing Investment Discount Rate 1/ Price Rate low low 7. 350% 7. 457% 7. 437% 96. 085 7. 744% 96. 072 7. 770% 96. 076 7. 762%2/ 7. 59% 7. 71% 7. 69% 8. 17% 8. 20% 8. 19% price for the 13-week bills were allotted 74%. price for the 26-week bills were allotted 77%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Received Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Lou'is Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas $ 10, 683, 745 28, 820 51, 845 36, 265 48, 095 847%570 52, 570 11,780 44, 790 26, 000 759, 490 Accepted $~&, 0 4, 462, 745 28, 820 41, 845 36, 265 47, 495 289, 070 41, 570 11,780 44, 790 26, 000 281 285 251, 490 281, 285 $12, 915, 695 $5, 604, 595 $10, 968, 365 969, 600 Subtotal, Public $11,937, 965 887, 930 Federal Reserve Official Foreign 89, 800 Institutions $12, 915, 695 TOTALS $3, 657, 265 969, 600 $4, 626, 865 887, 930 San Francisco Treasury TOTALS ~e Competitive Noncompetitive 89, 800 $5, 604, 595 1/ Equivalent coupon-issue yield. calculating the 2/ The four-week average for is 8. 480%. certificates market on money $ Received 52, 700 11,959, 765 17, 660 29, 955 91, 795 28, 865 913,515 43, 385 18, 315 24, 270 9, 795 1, 047, 135 335, 110 : $14 572 265 Accepted 27, 700 4, 974, 235 17, 500 18, 955 28, 295 24, 465 47, 815 31, 165 7, 815 24, 240 9, 795 58, 135 335, 110 $5 605 225 $12, 649, 475 $3, 682, 435 732, 990 732, 990 465 $13, 382, $4, 415, 425 825, 000 825, 000 364, 800 $14, 572, 265 maximum 364, 800 $5, 605, 225 interest rate payable .partment ot the Treasury ~ |sashlisptqg5ko. ou ~ Telephone 566-2045 li'III BY THE HONORABLE BERYL W. SPRINKEL SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY FOR MONETARY AFFAIRS BEFORE THE AMERICAN STOCK EXCHANGE CONFERENCE, U ~ S ~ PE RS PE CT IVE S REMARKS UNDER WASHINGTON, . . D C October 20, 1982 International Monetar The U. S. A roach Issues: I would like to begin by telling you that I am honored to have been asked to speak to you this afternoon. It is a pleasure to address such a distinguished group, and to be part of such an interesting and timely program. These are issues. arisen ones difficult times for the world economy, number of difficult international faces a and this monetary But while the exact forms in which these issues have are often new, the underlying problems are familiar ones the United States has coped with in the past. government -- in To the degree that past U. S. policies were unsuccessful resolving such issues, we hope we have learned a few lessons. in To the degree we succeeded in weathering similar situations the past, we can draw comfort. Thus, while recognizing the seriousness of the current strains on the banking system associated with the large debt burdens of sovereign borrowers, it is reassuring to remember that the international monetary system has proven participants, enough to cope with very difficult situations With a responsible approach on the part of all we should be able to cope with this one as well. flexible in the past. market-oriented approach to monetary issues has entailed some notable departures from previous U. S. policies, and has occasionally differed from the current policies of some of our allies. Making such a major change is difficult in many ways -- it requires determination work, and a receptive into effect, credibility to make to put our allies of to avoid on the attitude part cooperative and methods and goals. over our misunderstandings The Reagan Administration's international it R-994 it We have been working for of this can occur overnight. to put across our point of view -- our belief in limiting government interference with market decisions, and in stable and predictable economic policies. While differences remain, our approach is now better understood and more favorably received abroad. And we are 0onfident that momentum will continue to None some time move in our direction. approach to economic issues already During the first two decades after World War II, the United States was a leader in the liberalization of the international trade and payments system which Our strong domestic underlay a dramatic world economic recovery. economic performance and open capital markets made the United States a reliable world financial center, and the U. ST dollar the key international currency. By the mid-l970s, however, the United States had become a source of instability -- particularly The market-oriented has a successful track record. its deteriorating growth and inflation performance. Of some of this deterioration in U. S. performance came in response to the oil shocks, which we experienced in common with due to course, every other. oil-importing nation. But the main cause of our record was the weakness of our domestic economic policy relative to that of other major countries. disappointing U. S. Economic Performance Macroeconomic policy in the United States had. turned increasingly to fine-tuning with a short. -term policy horizon. In that environment, economic efficiency was far down the list of priorities, and the ultimate results put were a substantial worsening in U. S. productivity performance, and an inflationary bias in wage and price formation. The U. S. inflation rate developed a distinct. upward trend, and as a result interest rates kept ratcheting upward to new historical highs. Our current domestic economic program was designed to reverse this process' And in fact, while much remains to be done, we have had major success in our effort to put the country back on a sustainable non-inflationary growth path. critics used to be most skeptical ability to get inflation and interest rates down from the stratospheric levels they had reached by the time this Administration took office. I think it would be accurate ra e too say sa t h at most financial market participants shared this skepticism to some extent, and for perfectly good reasons. Too many lenders have gotten "burned" in the past by believing government promises that inflation would be brought under control, only to see inflation and interest rates shoot up again to new highs soon afterwards This left them skeptical that inflation would ever be brought under lasting control, and unwilling to risk much on the good intentions of this, or any other, Administration. Our about our domestic and foreign Fortunately, our good intentions have now been matched by perseverence and demonstrated performance. Consumer price inflation has been running at only a 5. 1 percent annual rate so far this year, and we fully expect that we can sustain this type of performance next year as well. Short-term interest rates have come dramatically off their peaks, and long-term rates are now following them down as the longer-run inflation expectations of borrowers and lenders adjust to the reality of our commitment and our achievement. I have no intention of ignoring the cost that has been paid for this reduction in inflation and interest rates. An unemployment rate of over 10 percent is a high price to pay no matter how you look at it -- in terms of lost jobs, lost output, and hardship to families and businesses all over the country. In order to get inflation down, we had to slow the growth of the money supply. Lower money growth automatically led to weaker real economic activity during the transition from an environment of high inflation expectations and inflationary economic behavior, to one of price stability. Some temporary restriction of economic growth was inevitable, given the pervasiveness of inflation and the strength of expectations. We believe, however, that the resulting economic slowdown has been made both longer and more severe than necessary, as a result of the abruptness of the initial monetary slowdown, the volatility of money growth, and the difficulties we have had in getting a sound budget through the Congress. Now, as we begin to count up the cost of getting inflation under control, we would do well to bear in mind why we did this' must remember the overwhelming urgency which the American people, as well as our foreign allies, attached to getting the U. S. inflation rate down only two years ago. We had all seen the stagflationary consequences of the previous economic policies. investment was lagging, productivity The savings rate was dropping, rate was trending upward. growth was slowing, and the unemployment a recognition of the danger chronic widespread There came to be American and to the economy, widespread consensus inflation poses worth inflation would be the cost and should be that controlling The cost has been high -- higher than our number one priority. necessary -- but the benefits have also been significant and will Having already paid the price, it would be a grow over time. retreat, and be forced to retake the already us to for disgrace captured ground again in the future. We However, some observers now advocate just that -- a policy of faster money growth in order to spur the economic recovery. In reply, I can only point again to the high price that has been paid to get the degree of price stability we have today. Were to inflation, the credibility of we to reopen the floodgates anti-inflation policy would be irreparably damaged and the cost of ever getting inflation under control again would make our recent experience seem pale in comparison. learned by experience, any short-term boost to real economic activity from overexpansion of the money supply would be based on speculative borrowing and lending, inflationary spending patterns, and declining investment and savings ratios. rather, it would Such a stimulus could hardly be sustainable; from which the trap stagflation the into back soon lead us right make the same them. Why extricate to us elected American people mistake all over again? As we have success in bringing inflation and interest. rates down is yielding significant benefits in the international arena. The direct benefits are clear -- lower dollar borrowing costs for all borrowers in international financial markets, including hard-pressed LDC borrowers, and removal of one source of upward Both pressure on domestic interest. rates in other countries. are helping to strengthen world economic prospects. Our Falling U. S. interest rates are yielding an important. indirect benefit, as wells As our interest rates have dropped in recent months, foreign interest rates have not come down nearly as much. At the same time, the U. S. dollar has remained very strong on exchange markets despite the movement of interest rate differentials against dollar assets. These events reinforce a message we have been trying to put across for some time. While high U .S . interest rates have had some negative impacts on other countries and have world situation, the problems contributed to an already-difficult of each of our economies are primarily a result of our respective domestic structural problems, economic policies, and economic We regret the additional performance. problems the transition process in the United States has caused our allies, and have been doing all we can to make our way quickly through this period of economic adjustment. But we have felt all along that each of our governments would be better served by looking for answers within, rather than outside, International its own Economic Coo economy. eration This having been said, I would like to underscore the tremendous importance we attach to effective international economic cooperation. While sound domestic policies are crucial, none of our economies can go alone' We are very aware of the opinions and aspirations of our allies, and try to take every available opportunity to consult with them and arrive at common understandings. This obviously does not mean that we go into discussions intending to sell U. S. interests short but that we are willing to work with our allies to find mutually acceptable solutions to our economic problems. it -- carry out this commitment every day in a number of ways: candid exchange of new ideas and points of view, through timely notifications of policy changes or upcoming economic events which impact on one another's policies, and through a thorough quiet and reasoned airing of any misunderstandings or differences. We are fully aware that the demands of international cooperation sometimes require a country to forego its immediate self-interest in pursuit of fundamental common goals. We are receptive to approaches which focus on lasting solutions to fundamental problems. Effective international economic cooperation should not be limited to short-run crisis management and muddling through day-to-day in We through a haphazard manner. At the Versailles Summit, the leaders of the Summit nations took what I hope will be a historic step in this direction, when they agreed to our proposal for an enhanced process of international economic cooperation. This agreement represents a reaffirmation of the consensus achieved in 1975 at the first economic summit at Rambouillet -- a consensus which led directly to the Second Amendment of the IMF Articles of Agreement, the legal basis for the present international monetary system. The spirit of Rambouillet was that exchange market stability can stem only from stability in fundamental underlying economic policies and performance. Countries which have relatively weak economic policies and poor inflation performance simply cannot avoid persistent depreciation of their currencies, relative to countries with stronger economies. And as long as market participants are uncertain about the future direction of policies and performance in key countries, exchange rate volatility is likely to be a fact of life. Only when all are moving toward more stable, economic policies can we expect more stability in non-inflationary exchange markets' built on the Rambouillet consensus to develop a broad of "surveillance" over its members' exchange rate policies To carry out this and the economic policies which underly them. and confidential annual frank surveillance, the IMF conducts Executive Board and staff. its evaluations of national policies by which in the forces members inherent process While there is nothing felt it is that in generally response, to change their policies surveillance has had some impact. The Versailles Summit cooperation agreement centers on periodic meetings of the Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors of the five countries whose currencies make up the greater convergence SDR -- meetings which are aimed at achieving term. first meeting The the medium over in economic policies was held this agreement implementing to begin among Ministers believe was and we it a success Toronto, weekend in over Labor Day it seriously. approached I all participants that in the sense don't want to oversell the process -- it is essentially still a consultative mechanism with a medium-term focus, and not intended to produce dramatic or immediate action. But I do expect that. it The IMF system will contribute to sounder and the participating countries. Exchan e Rate more informed economic policies in Polic if name is associated with any issue in the interS. exchange market policy. At the time this U. national area, it. is the U. S. government was engaged in a office, took Administration intervention in exchange markets. large-scale policy of frequent the United the previous Administration of months six Over the last currencies, in foreign equivalent billion nearly States purchased $8 weeks of the in the early purchased million was and another $600 Administration. Reagan I suppose my At that point, we called "time out" to review our intervention policy. As a result of that review, we instituted our current policy of minimal intervention -- intervening only if necessary to counter serious disorder in exchange markets. The underlying rationale for U. S. intervention operations remains the same as had been over the entire floating exchange rate period -- we stand ready to intervene in fulfillment of our commitment under Article IV of the INF Articles of Agreement, to counter disorderly of that policy has But our implementation market conditions. changed significantly. This change generated controversy abroad, especially in the early stages. With their currencies weakening against the dollar, some of our economic partners asked us to reconsider and join them in large-scale intervention to support their currencies. An even more widespread argument was based on concerns about exchange rate volatility. It was suggested that a more activist U. S. approach to intervention would reduce the size and rapidity of short. -term exchange rate movements. Our response has been that we cannot ignore the lessons we drew from past intervention experience. Intervention can have an occasional role in dealing with serious episodes of market disorders But our reading of recent history suggests that a more active intervention policy -- one aimed at fixing or managing exchange rate levels -- is unlikely to succeed. there are still some differences of opinion as We recognize to the effectiveness of intervention. For that reason, we proposed at the Summit that there be a thorough international study of the impacts of exchange market intervention in the past. This study is now underway, under the auspices of a group of experts from national governments. They are tasked with reviewing the evidence and collective experience on the negative and positive impacts of intervention, and producing a report for the Ninisters. Their report is not intended to dictate or to prescribe what the future intervention policies of participating countries should be rather, it is meant as an input. to continuing discussion of topic at policy level. The Current In the Financial Challen e last two months, have been full of gloom the international banking system. newspapers prospects for great deal has been written and said about the possibility of widespread loan defaults triggering a collapse of the banking system. There have clearly been significant strains, and there is room for concern, but I think many commentaries vastly overstate the danger. We are not in a crisis, nor do we believe a crisis is imminent. The banking system is resilient, and able to cope with such challenges. and doom about A While the Mexican situation is not yet resolved, the rapid effective response of both private and official lenders demonstrates the capability of the financial system to deal with very difficult situations. More generally, borrowing countries are showing a greater willingness to take adjustment measures. Assuming, as I do, that we will pass successfully through all our present difficulties, there is a valuable lesson to be learned. In order to maintain their creditworthiness, borrowers are going to have to make sure they pay greater attention to balance of and adjustment in the future, and run more disciplined economic policies. Lenders, by exercising greater caution and prudence in their lending decisions, will help make sure they payments do So. I believe it is a positive thing that lenders of the dangers of succumbing to the "herd to cause overoptimistic lending in good times, retrenchment when times are rough. and overly-rapid Responsible self-interest suggests that lenders would do well to exercise normal prudence in their lending decisions at all times, and make sure that their rewards are an accurate reflection of the risks they take. At the same time, have become more aware instinct" which tends The International Monetary Fund there came to be a early in this Administration, of" the International "disapproved Monetary public belief that we It is true that. Fund. Nothing could be further from the truth. time and effort investigating ways in which we spent considerable But our reason for doing so the IMF could be more effective. stemmed from our basic conviction that it is an essential and successful component of the international monetary system. Somehow, consultative mechanisms and surveillance activities on the evolution and functioning of the influence have a major members' economic formation of policies. And the and on system, immediate in the international more part the Fund also takes a adjustment process, by providing temporary balance of payments financing assistance conditioned on the borrowers' implementation of policies to correct thei" domestic and external imbalances. The Fund's In view of the large balance of payments financing needs faced by many countries, and of the many strains on the financial However, an overly system, IMF resources will have to be expanded. to weaken pressure under Fund the would increase put large quota its conditionality, and threaten to turn the IMF from a monetary institution into a development bank -- and potentially into an The United States is supporting an engine of world inflation. in current round of negotiations: increase IMF quota adequate an increase that would enable the Fund to meet the temporary balance of payments financing needs of its members under normal circumstances. We agreed in Toronto that these negotiations should be accelerated, and that we should try to reach decisions of this quota increase by next on the size and distribution spring's Interim Committee meeting. In addition, as a complement to the quota increase, we have raised the idea of a new permanent borrowing arrangement in the IMF, designed to provide the Fund with a standby line of credit to deal with extraordinary circumstances which might seriously threaten the international monetary system. There has been some suspicion that we might be using this proposal as a diversionary tactic to Because of this, delay or reduce the prospective quota increase. I want to make very clear that this idea is for a facility which, if adopted, would be additional to and not a substitute for an Administered by the IMF, the borrowing adequate quota increase. arrangement would be available on a contingency basis and could be drawn upon by the IMF to finance access by members to Fund resources under extraordinary circumstances. The idea is being discussed further and will be considered by IMF members in the coming months, in conjunction with the quota discussions. The Multilateral We also see development Development an important Banks continuing role for the multilateral such as the World Bank group. With some modifiprocedures, the banks can expand their role as banks, cations in their catalysts for the mobilization of the private sector resources which are essential to growth and development. In late February, we released a thorough report on U. S. participation in the MDBs which stressed the directions in which we think their activities should be guided. Our suggestions are aimed at enhancing both the catalytic role of the MDBs and their ability to provide sound economic policy advice' of our proposals are straightforward. We to place greater emphasis on market forces on the importance of appropriate pricing structures and incentives. We are asking the banks to make greater resort to co-financing and other ways of stimulating increased private foreign investment in developing countries. And we will be working to ensure that scarce concessional loan funds are reserved for the poorest of the developing countries, while more creditworthy borrowers are graduated to "harder" lending' want The key elements the MDBs — In the meanwhile, as the MDBs are considering these and other of making more effective use of their resources, we will continue our own priority efforts to fulfill the previously-negotiated international understandings on funding for the MDBs. ways of sound economic policies to economic growth the rationale for this Administration's policies toward the MDBs, are amply demonstrated in a recentlypublished review of foreign aid and development, written by Professor Raymond Mikesell under a contract from the Treasury and State Departments and the Agency for International Mikesell's Development. review investigates major issues relating to official foreign aid policy and the effectiveness of foreign aid, and arrives at a number of specific conclusions about how best to target and use concessional aid resources. The importance and development, and The full text makes interesting reading, but for this purpose the recommendations could be summarized in a few sentences. First, donors should reserve and target scarce aid resources for those countries which need it the most and can use it most effectively. Second, recipients should use aid in ways that contribute to broadbased economic growth, and which complement private sector activity rather than replacing The aim on both sides should be to establish the preconditions for self-sustainable growth. it. the review indicates that the major lesson to be existing studies of countries in the process of development is that the government policies which are most closely associated with successful development are those which allow the incentives of the free market to work, and which are conducive to the expansion of exports and to inflows of private capital. Within foreign aid can make a major contribution a sound policy environment, There are undoubtedly cases in which aid to economic development. has been of little value in promoting growth, and even cases in which it was counterproductive. But more generally there is ample evidence that aid, provided under proper conditions and used effectively, can be a powerful stimulant to development and to the growth. establishment of the preconditions for self-sustainable More derived broadly, from Conclusion Just as the current international monetary problems have a familiar ring to them, so does our policy response. Our emphasis market-oriented economic policy is on a coherent, predictable, not the first to recognize how we are not a new idea. Certainly economic and developments to growth is crucial private enterprise 10 What distinguishes Reagan Administration policies is not their novel content, but rather the consistency and determination with which we are applying our basic economic philosophy. The resulting policies have sometimes differed considerable from those of previous Administrations, and on occasion those departures have been viewed with skepticism and alarm. This Administration has worked hard since entering office, not only to put its policies in place but also to convince others of their validity. We considered it. important to make clear that we expect no overnight miracles, but instead have designed our policies for consistently good economic performance over the long haul. Opinions and philosophies differ, but I hope that both our consistent and logical underlying approach, and the strengthening economic performance of the U. S. economy, are going a long way to convince the skeptical. , epariment of ihe Treasury ~ Washington, O.C. ~ Telephone 566-204% 4:00 P. M. FOR RELEASE AT October 19, 1982 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $11,200 million, to be issued October 28, 1982. This offering will provide $925 million of new cash for the Treasury, as the maturing bills are outstanding in the amount of $10.275 million, including $1, 080 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities and $1 589 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks for their own account. The two series offered are as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $5, 600 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated January 28, 1982I and to mature January 27, 1983 (CUSIP No. 912794 BY 9), currently outstanding in the amount of $10, 825 million, the additional and original bills to be freely ~ interchangeable. 182-day bills for October 28, 1982, No. 912794 CS 1). approximately and to mature $5 600 million, to F April 28' 1983 be dated (CUSIP Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange Tenders from for Treasury bills maturing October 28, 1982 ' Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the Addiweighted average prices of accepted competitive tenders. tional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount will be payable without interest. Both series of bills will be issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $1p, ppp and in any higher $5, 000 multiple, on the records either of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Tr easur y. Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D . C . 20226, up to 1:30 p .m . , Eastern Daylight. Saving time, Monday, October 25, 1982. Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . . Tenders over Each tender must be for a minimum of $10, 000 $10,000 must. be in multiples of $5, 000 In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with three decimals, e g , 97 920 Fractions may not be used . .. . . . institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank Qf New York their positions in and borrowings Qn such securities if the names of the may submit tenders for account of customers, customers and the amount for each customer are furnished . Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must, state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million . This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p .m . Eastern time on the day of the auction. Such posit, ions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering, e .g . , bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six-month bills . Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position Banking in the bill being offered exceeds 9200 million . par amount, of the bills applied for submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction . Payment, for the full must. accompany all tenders deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches . A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders . No and trust Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500, 000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on O«obe»8i 1982& in cash or other immediately-available funds or in Treasur y bills maturing October 28, 1982. Cash ad ustments will be made for di f ferences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. j Section 454(b) of the Internal Revenue Code, the which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed, or otherwise disposed of. Section 1232(a)(4) provides that any gain on the sale or redemption of these bills that does not exceed the ratable share of the acquisition discount must be included in the Federal income tax return of the owner as ordinary income. The acquisition discount is the excess of the stated redemption price over the taxpayer's basis (cost) for the bill. The ratable share of this discount is determined by multiplying such discount by a fraction, the numerator of which is the number of days the taxpayer held the bill and the denominator of which is the number of days from the day following the taxpayer's date of purchase to the maturity of the bill. If the gain on the sale of a bill exceeds the taxpayer's ratable portion of the acquisition discount, the excess gain is treated as short-term capital gain. Under amount of discount at of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series 27-76, and this notice, prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue Copies of the circulars and tender forms may be obtained from Department Nos. 26-76 and any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS DEREGULATION COMMITTEE %ashington, D.C. 20220 October 18, 19 82 PRESS RELEASE Money Market Deposit Account In the attached Federal Register notice the Depository Deregulation Committee (DIDC) announces a 15 day public comment period on the new money market deposit account. Institutions t Depository Institutions Act of 1982 directs the DIDC to authorize a new Federally insured account to be offered by commercial banks, savings and loan associations and mutual savings banks that is directly competitive with money market mutual funds. The Garn-St Germain The Garn-St Germain Act requires that this account: (1) have on the maximum rate of interest payable; (2) be in effect no later than 60 days from enactment of the GarnSt Germain Act; (3) not be subject to transaction account reserve requirements (as defined by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, as of August 1, 1982) even though no minimum maturity is required, and even though up to three preauthorized no limitation transfers plus three third-party transfers are per month; and (4) be "directly equivalent to and competitive with. money market mutual funds registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission under the Investment Company Act of 1940. " or automatic permitted The Committee is requesting comments on features not specifically set forth in the Garn-St Germain Act; ~e. , minimum initial denomination, maintenance balance, denomination of withdrawals, whether institutions should be required to reserve the right to require seven days' notice of withdrawal, and whether loans should be permitted to meet the minimum denomination requirement. Attachment :OMPTROLLER OF THE CURRENCY 'EDERAL RESERVE BOARD FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE CORPORATION NATIONAL CREDIT UNION ADMINISTRATION FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK BOARD DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS DEREGULATION COMMITTEE 12 CFR Part 1204 (Docket No. D-0026] Money AGENCY: Depository ACTION: Proposed ("Committee" Institutions new Institutions insured Deregulation Institutions is required ) Deposit Account by the Deregulation Garn-St Germain Act of 1982 ("Garn-St Germain mutual Depository Act") to authorize no limitation a to The Garn-St Germain funds. that this account: (1) have Committee to all depositors, deposit account, available compete with money market requires Committee. rulemaking. The Depository SUMMARY: Market Act on the maximum rate of interest payable; (2) be in effect no later than 60 days from enactment of the Garn-St Germain Act; (3) not be subject to transaction account reserve requirements {as defined by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, as of August 1, 1982) even though up even though no minimum to three preauthorized maturity is required, or automatic and transfers transfers are permitted per month; and (4) be "directly equivalent to and competitive with money market mutual funds registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission under the Investment Company Act of 1940. No minimum denomination plus three third-party was set forth in the Garn-St Report suggested requesting it comments Germain be no more than on Act, although $5000 ' the Conference The Committee features not specifically is set forth in the Garn-St Germain Act; ~ , should be required seven days' notice of withdrawal, DATE: to meet the minimum must be Comments denomination, of withdrawals, whether to reserve the right to require institutions permitted initial minimum denomination balance, maintenance ~e. and whether denomination loans should be requirement. received by (15 days from the date of publication). Interested parties are invited to submit written data, ADDRESS: views, or arguments concerning the proposed rules to Gordon Eastburn, Acting Executive Secretary, Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee, Room 15th Street and Pennsylvania All material submitted should 1058, Department Avenue, of the Treasury, D. C. 20220. N. W. , Washington, include the Docket D-0026 Number and for inspection and copying upon request, except as provided-in -$ 1202. 5 of the Committee's Rules Regarding Availability of Information (12 CFR $ 1202. 5). will be available FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Alan Priest, Attorney, Office ~i of the Currency (202/447-1880); Joseph DiNuzzog Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (202/389-4147); the Comptroller Attorney, Senior Associate General Counsel, Rebecca Laird, Federal Home (202/377-6446); Paul S. Pilecki, Senior Attorney Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (202/452-3281); or Elaine Boutilier, Attorney-Adviser, Treasury Department Loan Bank Board (202/566-8737). LIST OF SUBJECTS IN SUPPLEMENTARY 12 CFR Part 1204: INFORMATION: tion Act of 1980 (Title ~se .) ("DIDA") was Banks, banking. The Depository II of P. LE Institutions 96-221; 12 U S Cenacted to provide for the orderly ~ ~ Deregula- 55 3501 et pl as, ~ut and ultimate of interest of the limitations elimination that and dividends by depository may rates be paid on deposit accounts I institutions as rapidly Under DIDA, the Committee warrant on the maximum as economic conditions is authorized to phase out interest rate ceilings by any one of a number of methods including the creation of new account categories not subject to interest rate limitations or with interest rate ceilings set at market rates of interest. Section 327 of the Garn-St Germain Act specifically requires the Committee to authorize a new insured deposit account, which "shall be directly equivalent to and competitive with money funds. " The Garn-St Germain Act prohibits limitation on the maximum rate of interest payable on the new account. The Garn-St Germain Act also states that the account shall not be subject to reserve requirements on transaction accounts even though no minimum maturity is required and even though up to. three preauthorized or automatic transfers and three transfers to market any third parties are permitted. The Committee requested a new deposit comment on short-term After the June 25, 1981 meeting, deposits previously. Committee solicited public has desirability of authorizing with characteristics similar to money comments instrument the on the the Committee did not put forth a specific proposal at that time. 46 Fed. Reg. 36712 (July 15, market mutual 1981). requested although funds, Aft. er the September comments time deposits. ' on 22, l981 meeting, the Committee three specific proposals 46 Fed. Reg. 50804 (October for short-term 15, 1981). of the short-term One 1981 notice is similar denomination was a $5000-minimum in concept to the account Act. Germain Consequently, on an instrument in the October 15& accounts proposed account, which set forth in the Garn-St has received the Committee comments all of the features that possesses essentially Certain features account. of the congressionally-mandated NOW are the Garn-St Germain Act and cannot be changed. mandated by Ho~ever, some features were left to the Committee's is requested only on features by Congress discretion. Accordingly, comment not specified in the Act. Public comment is being requested in view of the interest expressed by competitors of depository institutions for an opportunity to comment on the features the Committee may designate. The new account proposed by the Committee would have the features as required -by the- Garn-St Germain Act and its legislative history: (1) no minimum maturity; (2) no interest rate ceiling; (3) an initial minimum denomination no greater than $5000; following (4) allow to three preauthorized or automatic transfers and three other third-party payments (including drafts) per month without beup subject to transaction account reserve requirements; (5) available to all depositors; and (6) insured by the FDIC or FSLIC. The Committee is considering whether or not to impose a minimum iniing tial and denomination requests minimum and/or comments minimum NOW-account maintenance balance of less than $5000 this feature. balance. the Committee tation (such as the the on maintenance balance, ma~ In connection impose rate) and on an with the interest rate limi- accounts which prohibit fall below loans to meet the initial minimum to be withdrawals sidered (1) made, and by the Committee depositor will permit limited certain requirements are being conThe account drafts; on mail, telephone, by except that telephone transfers e. cC- to these withdrawals, in regard denomination a minimum by the denomination. (2) unlimited withdrawals or in person, messenger to third parties or another de- posit account of the depositor would be regarded as preauthorized transfers; (3) require an institution to monitor on an ex ~ost basis to determine compliance with the withdrawal limitations; and (4) require an institution to reserve the right to require seven days' notice prior to withdrawal. Although the maximum rate of interest paid on the account may not be limited, the is Committee quirements on terest for a considering that institutions concerned other time deposits time period, a limitahion on the time interest rate. restrict overdraft credit arrangements with this new account. tion may guarantee The Committee posed above, issues: (a) and an requests What should requests be the minimum comments initial Report suggests than $5000, and interest has denomination. Should the maintenance initial denomination? a as pro- on the new account (The Conference $2500 minimum (b) comments particularly rate of intherefore the Committee is period for which an instituThe Comm-'ttee also may offered in connection by guaranteeing substantial the re- will circumvent on the following denomination? that it be no more been expressed in a ) balance differ from the If so, what should it be? What would be the possible consequences balance? it no maintenance Would easier to have the maintenance the (c) initial minimum be operationally balance the same as denomination? institution be required to pay a lower rate of interest, such as the NOW-account rate, for Should an fall accounts which (d) of having so, should be denomination Should a minimum If below the maintenance it balance2 set for drafts?. be $100, $500, or some other amount? (e) Should depository institutions be required to reserve the right to require seven days' (or some other time span) notice prior to withdrawal? (f) Should loans be permitted to meet the minimum initial (g) Should denomination'? any deposits2 restrictions Should be placed on additional sweeps from other accounts be permitted? (h) Should the time period tion can guarantee If so, what should have a maximum (i) How should drawals maturity2 on the number per month be enforced? &~. reguir~d of with- For example, should to monitor. accounts on an to determine compliance? How should be defined for purposes of this limitation) the date of payment by the institution or ex ~ost basis Should it the limitation the institution "month" an for which an instituinterest rate be limited? be? Or should the account (j) draft control for purposes of compliance with the three drafts per month limitation? Should any restrictions be placed on overdraft credit arrangements offered in connection with this account? (k) Should unlimited date written on the withdrawals by mail, telephone, mes- to the depositor? (The staff believes that telephone transfers should be regarded as preauthorized transfers if the transfer is to a third person or to another deposit account of the same depositor. ) (1) Is thirty days (or some shorter or longer period) adequate lead time for depository institutions to implement operational changes for this account? The issues set forth above are not intended to limit the area of comment. The Committee requests comments on those questions and on any other aspect of the account which the public wishes to address, particularly with respect to characteristics that would make this account "directly equivalent to and competitive with" money market funds. The Committee has considered the potential effect on small entities of the proposal to establish a new deposit instrument, as required by the Regulatory Flexibility Act (5 U .S.C. $ 603 et action, in and of itself, ~se . ). In this regard, the Committee's senger, would or in person be permitted not impose any Consistent new reporting with the Committee's deposit interest rate ceilings, or recordkeeping statutopr mandate this proposal requirements. to eliminate would- enable all depository institutions place for short-term 8 effectively in the marketDepositors generally should benefit to compete funds. more since the new instrument would provide them with another investment alternative that pays a If low-yielding deposits shift into market rate of return. from the Committee's proposal, institutions might experience increaseQ costs as a result of this action. However, their competitive position vis-a-vis nondepository competitors would be enhanced by their ability to offer a competitive short-term instrument at market rates. The new funds attracted by the new instrument (or the retention of deposits that might otherwise have left the institution) could be invested at a positive spread and would therefore at least partially offset the higher costs associated with the shifting of low-yielding accounts. The Committee is asking for comments for a 15-day period. This short comment period is made necessary by the fact that the Garn-St Germain Act requires the new account to be available within 60 days of enactment. Because the Committee desires to give the depository institutions adequate time to prepare and market the account, time for comment must be limited to allow time for compilation and consideration of the comments, a Committee vote on the features and publication of the final rule. Therefore, comments on this account should be submitted promptly. . the new By Order account, depository of the Committee, October 15, 1982. Gordon Eastburn Acting Executive Secretary THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY WASH I NQTON October 20, l982 NEMORANDUM FOR THE VICE PRESIDENT FRCN: DONALD SUBJECT: Proposed Administration T REGAN Task Force on Consolidation of Financial Regulatory Agencies Proposals for the comprehensive study and review of financial institutions' deregulation have been advanced this year by members of Congress and others. Most notably, Representative Timothy Wirth (and approximateLy sixty co-sponsors) recently introduced legislation calling for the establishmhnt of a Commission on Capital Markets. The proposed Commission would have a combined Congressional/Industry/Administration membership its task would be to "evaluate the regulation of financial intermediaries. .and the functioning of such intermediaries in the accumulation and allocation of capital within the United States economy. " and . Our view has been that the creation of any such omnibus" study body is unnecessary and would delay consideration of financial institutions reform legislation. Proposals for further deregulation would be put on hold pending the outcome of any commission/task force report, and policy positions in certain major areas of already taken by the Administration deregulation would undoubtedly be opened up to needLess and potentially counterproductive new debate. We believe that, instead of duplicating the voluminous work that has already been done on financial institution deregulation, a task force could more usefully address the equally important question of consolidating the Federal agencies which regulate has yet to define a The Administration financial institutions. specific policy position in this area and the contribution of a In our opinion, any such task task force could be significant. force ought to be established in conjunction with the Administration's regulatory reform task force which you chair. A clear task force is that it could advantage of such an Administration take a "targeted" approach to a specific regulatory problem, and at the same time it would provide a constructive means of getting each Federal regulatory agency involved in the Administration'a financial reform program. For example, SEC Chairman John Shad, who has expressed a great deal of interest in financial reform issues, now agrees with us that the proposed Administration task force on regulatory consolidation is the right way to go at this time, and he intends to be a highly involved participant. The Need for enc A Consolidation existing allocation of responsibilities among Pederal financial institutions is highly complex' evoking characterizations such as crazy quilt" and labyrinth by critics. For example, three separate agencies have responsibility for the regulation of the commercial banking industry alone: The Comptroller of the Currency regulates nationallychartered banks. The Pederal Reserve Board regulates statechartered banks that are members of the Pederal Reserve System, The Federal Deposit Insurance and also bank holding companies. Corporation has responsibility for state banks that are not Fed members. Other Pederal agencies regulating depository institutions are the Federal Hane Loan Bank Board and the National Credit Union Administration. At least eight Federal agencies are involved in the regulation of aspects of the securities markets. ~ deal with the regulatory agenOf course, financial institutions cies of the various states as well. agencies regulating Since the late 1930s, numerous proposals for banking agency consolidation have been put forward by Congressmen, regulators, observers. The present movement toward deregulaand independent tion of financial institutions raises new issues regarding regulatory agency structure, lending additional force and timeliness to many of the arguments for consolidation. Proponents single agency of consolidation have long argued thats (1) a clearly fix responsibility for regulation would Congressional and provide a focal point for Administration, and public concerns regarding regulatory policyg (2) agency consolidation would facilitate the handling of problem institution cases; (3) consolidation would improve the regulation of holding (under companies and their subsidiary depository institutions it is sometimes difficult for a single to get a complete picture of the relationship between companies and subsidiaries): and (4) the existing division of responsibilities among agencies permits differential treatment of different institutions, giving rise to inequities (the several agencies notably have differed among themselves in their policies toward mergers, holding company acquisitions and activities, and in their supervisory and assistance practices and requirements). the existing system, agency holding e The SEC; Commodity Futures Trading Commission; Federal Home Loan Bank Board; Comptroller of the Currency; Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation; Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation; and the Federal Reserve Securities Investor Protection Corporation; Board. The Administration Task Force on Consolidation process of financial institution deregulation now will bring about significant changes in the structure of the nation' ~ financial system and, of necessity. in the structure and functions of the regulatory agencies. Accordingly, «recommend that our proposal for the establishment of an Administration task force to study questions regarding the scope and nature of regulatory consolidation and reorganiration be implemented as early as possible. The underway it, the task force would be chaired by the Vice of the Treasury serving as Vice Chairman and furnishing Other members of you staff support. the task force would include the heads of the independent depository institution regulatory agencies (the Federal Reserve Board, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation, the Federal Home Loan Bank Board, and the National Credit Union Administration), the Comptroller of the Currency, the Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission, and senior officials of the Department of Justice, the Office of Policy Development, and the Office of Management and Budget. As we view President, with the Secretary restatements of fixed public positions and to dialogue free of the pressures of well-known industry positions, the task force would not include members of Congress or representatives of the private sector. However, the viewpoints of all such external parties will be brought to the attention of the task force as advisory resources by means of private meetings, conferences, and solicitation of public comments. To avoid mere promote task force would be expected to submit its report and executive branch action and legislation as soon as possible. (A factor in the timing of the task force's report is Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions that the newly-enacted l982" Federal deposit insurance agencies each the Act of directs to undertake a study of the deposit insurance system and to Ideally, report their findings in not later than six months. those insurance agencies' reports ought to be reviewed by the task force and incorporated into its information base. ) The recommend I would like to have your approval and support of this idea as soon as possible. so that we might give it appropriate publicity. In the absence of our initiative, other poorly conceived proposals (e.g. , Representative Wirth' ~ ) will gain momentum and diffuse financial deregulation efforts. Administration of the Treasury department ~ washington, D.C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 For Immediate Release October 21, 1982 ADDRESS FY BERYL W. SPRINKEL UNDFR SECRETARY FOR YONFTARY AFFAIRS BFFORF TFF GRFATER KANSAS CITY AREA AS. OCIATION OF LIFE UNDERWRITERS KANSAS CITY, ÃTSSOURI October 21, 1982 Good afternoon. I was born and raised in missouri and it is for me to be able to come back to my home state today. a special treat and be with you Before I turn to economics, I would like to take Rust a to salute and to pay tribute to a areat lady of missouri Bess Truman. She exemplified the finest aualities of Missouri, of the midwest and of America. moment Let's take look at the true picture of the economy: what it and where' it is aoina. I am convinced that we are on the horizon of a much brighter future for this country. was, what took What a it is shape was the economy office? really in when this Administration left. office the rate of When the previous Administration inflation had ballooned up to almost 13 percent. The prime rate had hit an incredible peak of 21 and a half. percent. Productivity arowth, which was around 3 percent in the 1960s, had And i. t slowed by nearly one-half in the 70s to 1.5 percent. dropped two-tenths of a percent a year from 1977 to 1981. As a result of the double whammy of inflation and interest rates our national rate of personal savings had dropped to an abysma 4. 6 percent during the first auarter of 1981. all of this is discouraaing on two counts. First, it inherited that the economic situation this Administration it charitably. was truly a mess --- and I think that is puttina Secondly, there are some who really believe that those who the nation with sky hiah interest rates and inflation, declining productivity, investment and savings did a aood ~ob. Fortunately the American people know better. And the American people also know, as the president said on television last week, that the economic troubles this country has been experiencina are not entirely the fault of one political party or one Administration. They are the result of a couple of decades of economic Now meant mismanagement. R-996 of the post-war period, many economists thouaht that a little inflation was a qood thing, that it could bring down and add to tax revenue too. The idea was that unemployment inflation could reduce the value of wages, make labor cheaper, and promote hiring. for Apparently, working people could be tricked into working bracket through taxes a lower real waqe, and into paying higher who creep, while politicians and businessmen were the only ones rewards. the would reap and would know what was really happening For much Working This arrogant and elitist theory was sheer nonsense. takes government much how are, what prices full well know people out of their paychecks, and what their wages will buy after taxes and after-tax waae. Inflation does not reduce of aware it, and unemployment people catch on awfully once people become fast. fact, inflation increases unemployment by increasing taxes raising interest rates. Over the last. 15 years, this has become In blatantly obvious. inflation. And We have had a decade and a half of rising after each business cycle, the lowest level that inflation reached was worse than it had been at the previous low. The same The best that could be done kept was true for unemployment. getting worse. At the same time, interest rates kept reaching new peaks. Inflation acts through the progressive income tax code to increase taxes on labor thus reducing the reward to work effort. It also raises the cost of hiring American labor in a highly U. H. employment falls. The cost-of-living increases as well as modest real wage qains pushed middle income families from the 17 percent federal income tax bracket in 1965 to the 24 percent bracket in 1981. competitive world economy. Those higher up on the income scale, earning twice median incomes, were pushed from the 22 percent bracket in 1965 all the way to 43 percent in 1981. Incredibly, businesses and workers now face combined tax rates of 40-to-55 percent on added wages. It costs a firm between $1.67 and $2. 22 to give to a worker a S1 after-tax raise. on labor has risen, firms have faced wage; workers faced lower wages after and inflation. fell. As both sides struggled Employment afloat, only the government gained. As the tax burden rising real pre-tax Rising personal income tax rates have also retarded a taxes to stay savings rate of return on personal saving was actually neaative Savers during the late 1970s after taxes and inflation. responded in the only sensible way. The resulting collapse of the saving rate deprived the credit potential home buyers and expanding businesses of about The markets, billion a year in badly needed investment funds. Inflation hit business taxes hard, too; causing a sharp decline in the after-tax return on productive investment due to taxation of phantom inventory profits and inadeauate allowances for the replacement of capital. The tax code does not permit depreciation allowances to be adjusted for inflation. Before the Fronomic Recovery Tax Act of 1981, plant and eguipment were wearing out faster than firms were allowed to report to the IR&. Conseouently, real profits were overstated and overtaxed. The after-tax cost of plant and eauipment rose, the rate of return fell, and investment plans were cancelled. Productivity stagnated, real hourly wages fell for three These years, and employment growth was held below its potential. impacts were substantial. Inflation also works through interest rates to reduce growth. Inflation rates raise interest rates because lenders know they will be repaid in cheaper dollars. They have to charge an interest rate at least as high as the inflaton rate to make up for loss in the value of money. In fact they must charge still more to cover the taxes on interest, and then a bit more to have a real return left after taxes and inflation. These high interest charges put homebuyers and buyers of plant and eauipment in a cash saueeze. Yany home purchases or Productivity, wages, and investment plans are cancelled. $40 fall. employment That is the kind of trend Administration Twenty-one it is we have been seeing precisely this trend set out to reverse. for far too long. And months ago, when we five critical problems: high taxes, inflation, high interest rates and in this country which this came into office, we faced runaway Government spending, unemployment. to the roots of unemployment meant fighting inflation interest rates caused by runaway Government spending and taxing and excessive money creation. There is reallv no other solution because we know that, when inflation shoots up, it is Now inflation triggers a delayed-action rise in unemployment. Getting and high being driven So we back down, started and by winning lower unemployment the first real will follow. tax cut for the Our program brinqs down American people in nearly two decades. time, we' ve been same the At income tax rates 25 percent. and the rate of regulations Government wasteful cutting costly, We' rate of the reduced ve increase in Government spending. Government spending growth by nearly two-thirds. registered 12 4 percent in 1980, is down to just 5. 1 percent so far this year. that one of the important Let me say, parenthetically, effects of this change from an inflationary economy as it qoes is the impact on relative through the process of disinflation, In periods of increasing assets. prices of real and financial inflation, real assets -- houses, land, gold, antiaues -- provide In investors with the greatest expected real rate of return. periods of declining inflation, financial assets -- stocks, bonds, bank accounts, money market funds -- provide the qreatest expected real rate of return. During much of the last decade, as inflation rose rapidly, investors realized that they received their best expected rate of return on real assets, and they transferred their money The prices of those real assets -- houses, land, accordingly. gold -- went up. And the prices went down on on the assets they sold to make those purchases -- stocks and bonds. Inflation, which We are in a period of decelerating inflation. i. nvestors have begun the reverse of this process: to sell their real assets and put their money into financial assets. It is not an accident that, in recent months, the prices of houses and gold have come down, while bond prices and, more recently, the Dow Jones Index, have risen. The next step in this adjustment process is renewed economic expansion and job We are experiencinq now creation. I'm not saying that everyone is selling houses and rugs to stocks and bonds. Rut there is some of that qoinq on. And in a 4 trillion dollar economy, which we are on the verge of having, a shift of 1 or 2 or 3 percentage points puts ters of billions of dollars into the economy in the form of expanded buy credit. Thanks to declining inflation, that phenomenon and additional happening, credit needed for economic expansion is forminq rapidly. This results in downward pressure on interest rates; and we are quite confident that this downward pressure will overwhelm the budget deficit in its upward pressure on the level of interest rates. Interest rates, which had climbed as high as 21-1/2 percent before we took office, have in fact fallen. The prime is now The averate rate for three-month 12 percent. Treasury bills auctioned this August was 660 basis points lower than last potential is already August. Those rates are not low enouah, but certainly headinq in the right dircetion. Unemployment, always a lagging recession, has not yet stopped its indicator upward in times drift. of But in 21 months, we' ve already brought tax rates down by a ouarter, with the third installment coming next July, and brought down the rate of increase in government spending by nearly That's helped us to bring down the rate of inflation two-thirds. by more than half, and that's helped us to bring down interest rates by 40 percent. So, on four out of five problems that we faced at the beginning of 1981, we' ve made important progress. We haven' t solved them all, but we' re making real headway. The Federal Reserve recently decided to lower its discount rate to 9.5 percent, the first time this key interest rate has gone below two digits since 1979, and the fifth reduction in just four months. This demonstrates the Fed's confidence that inflation and market rates will continue coming down, and its confidence that we can work together for a healthy, noninflationary recovery. All of this lays the ground work for a recovery that will mean more jobs and more opportunity for all our people. But it's a delayed reaction. President Reagan announced earlier this that month we are going to stay the course. The four part program of this -- reducing tax rates, reducing government Administration spending, reducing regulation and having slow moderate growth in the money supply -- is based on economic principles that are sound. Their validity has been well documented time and time again. They have worked in the past and they are starting to And I might add, that We will stick with our policy. work now. contrary to much of what you read from the political pundits, I that the Federal Reserve Roard will stick to its am confident announced policy of obtaining steadv, moderate growth in the money supply. believe that the Federal Reserve's announced monetary targets are appropriate and we are confident that the Fed will We persist in its efforts toward long-term monetary control. of money growth which persists for. several A reacceleration months would have disastrous effects on our long-run goal of price stability and permanently lower interest rates. It would greatly reduce the potential for future output growth and would be an engraved invitation to in as many years. and a employment third recession before the Rusiness Council in Rot to two near-term events which pointed Springs, Chairman Volcker numbers for the next few Y1 the are probably going to distort movemer t of billions of dollars the is factor first weeks. The out of All-Savers accounts and into other forms of financial In his speech recently The second factor is the initiation of the newly instruments. legalized bank certificates. What this means is that it might be in the N1 aggregate over more difficult to interpret movements mean is that the not What it does the next several weeks' Administration or the Federal Reserve Tiave in any way chanqed the importance it places on achieving our lonq-stated goal of moderate, stable qrowth in the money supply. In the past two months by over 200 points seen the stock --we a have increase phenomenal market explode of 25% in 60 that the believe would have who Now there are those you days' only reason the value of stocks has gone up is that the economy is so weak. The argument is that the demand for credit is so slack that interest rates are therefore going down and therefore the stock market has moved up on the news of lowering interest rates. If the logic were not so contorted that argument might be plausible. The truth, however, is that interest rates have declined because the market is now perceiving that inflation is not only is totally committed to down, but that this Administration keeping it. down. The stock market soared because investors are sensing that the American economic machine is stirring aqain and that a genuine recovery is on the horizon. It is worth noting here that in every recession since World War II -- and there have been eight of them -- an upward movement in the stock market has advanced the recovery by three to six months. I am confident that this pattern will hold true this time as well. upward are seeing signs of that recovery already. In to the stock market, we have seen the index of leading indicators move up four of the last five months. We have seen GNP up in the second auarter and up again in the third auarter. It was just announced that housing starts for the month of September are up 14. 4 and new business start ups for this year are at a near record pace. And addition we final statistic. In 1977, venture capital investment. in was around $50 million. Last it was $1.4 billion and this year it will probably be even year hiqher. That says two things. First, a lot more jobs -- real jobs -- are going to be created. And secondly, there are a lot of people out there who have faith in a brighter economic future. One small businesses businessmen have been telling me that a 12 percent prime is about the level at which people will buy again; the level at which home builders can borrow and still make money; the level at which people feel they can afford a new car. The result of all this is a consumer led recovery. And those recent historic highs in the stock market indicate to me that confidence in the recovery is qrowinq. I believe we are It will beginning the long climb to sustained economic growth. not be fast and it will not be easy. But we now have the program in place to make it happen. And -- for a change --- we have a President in the White House with the wisdom and courage to stick with that program -- not for the sake of short term political I am confident gain but for the long term sake of the country. he will be successful in restoring economic growth and prosperity in the weeks and months ahead. Thank you very much. department of the Treasury ~ D.C. ~ Telephone 566-204$ Washington, J. REMARKS OF PETER WALLISON GENERAL COUNSEL TREASURY DEPARTMENT U. BEFORE THE BAR ASSOCIATION NATIONAL INSTITUTE LUNCHEON S. AMERICAN ON THE NEW FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY MARRIOTT KEY BRIDGES HOTEL WASHINGTON' D. C. OCTOBER 21' 1982 DEREGULATION OF BANK HOLDING COMPANIES AND INSURANCE COMPANIES: A COMPARISON OF TWO RESPONSES TO THE GROWTH OF A FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY R-99'7 in the financial services particularly the advent of the diversified financial services firm, have led to proposals for . changes in government regulation. This paper considers Recent developments industry, -- two proposals for such reform Bank Holding Company Deregulation the Administration's Act and the Heimann I. AND proposal for reform of the New York Insurance Law -- contrasting their differing approaches to deregulation. * Commission's DEVELOPMENTS IN THE INDUSTRY PROPOSALS FOR CHANGE changes have occurred in the financial in recent years and the prospects for changes are by now well known. The causes of the Dramatic services industry future are also familiar: (i) increasing public sophistication about and demand for convenient financial services; (ii) changes in technology that have revolutionized the character and ways of delivering financial services; (iii) the aggressive strategies of firms that have restructured themselves as diversified financial services organizations; and (iv) the increasing competitive pressures on banks (and other traditional financial intermediaries), challenging both their role as deposit takers and their role as lenders. upheaval the effects of these Many who have considered developments on insurance companies and banks have observed that these firms must be able to combine into diversified financial services firms in order to compete Movement in this in a radically restructured market. direction has already begun. In the insurance field it started a number of years ago with a trend toward the combination of life insurance and property/casualty insurance companies such as More recently, companies. Prudential and Kemper, and conglomerates with strong The author wishes to acknowledge the assistance of Donald Tourney, Esquire, Special Assistant to the General Counsel of the Treasury, in the preparation of J. this paper. term "closely related a firm which owns or to banking" quite narrowly, so that controls a bank cannot in general own or control subsidiaries engaged in offering other kinds of financial services. * The purposes of these restrictions are to preserve the safety and soundness of the banking - subsidiaries of a holding company, to prevent a bank from holding company affiliates with unfair advantages, to eliminate potential conflicts of interests between the bank's roles as a lender to and as an affiliate of non-banking companies, and to prevent the concentration of resources in a few giant corporations (see 12 U. S.C. 5 1843(a)(2)). Their effect, however, has been to prevent bank holding companies from combining firms offering other financial With or establishing services and thus to handicap bank holding companies and their subsidiary banks in their competition with providing competive financial conglomerates. The Administration's proposal, which was in June 1982 as S. 2490, (97 Cong. , 2d Sess. bank holding companies, through allows (1982)), subsidiaries, to engage in any activities the Federal Reserve Board determines by regulation to be "of a financial nature. " Id. 55 8 a 9. The bill provides that this term the Board shall give primary in interpreting consideration to the public benefits of increased competition between bank holding companies and other financial concerns. Id. 5 9 Moreover, the bill specifies certain activities in which a bank holding company subsidiary may engage, whether or not characterized by the Board as "services of a financial " nature. In the securities field, subsidiaries may deal in and underwrite U. S. and most state and municipal securities, including revenue bonds; sponsor, control, the company; underwrite and advise an investment deal and in and securities of an investment company; commercial and of deposit distribute bank certificates paper of its parent holding company or any of the holding Id. 5 10. Other activities in company's subsidiaries. which the bill specificalTy authorizes bank holding to engage ~re insurance underwriting company subsidiaries development, and brokerage, and real estate investment, introduced and brokerage. Id. 55 11 6 12. * The Board has issuea regulations implementing the Bank Holding Company Act's limitation on the See activities of bank holding company subsidiaries. activities, would give these non-banking subsidiaries or divisions an unfair advantage over companies that must raise capital at the ordinary market rates for uninsured credit. Second, tax and regulatory laws applying to banks are different from those applying to non-bank enterprises. If the non-banking activities of banks were regulated by a bank supervisory agency, banks might be able to obtain more favorable regulatory treatment for their conduct in a given sector than their competitors obtain from the usual regulator of the particular industry. In addition, the operation of the tax laws as applied to banks may give them an advantage over non-banks, a problem that is particularly troublesome in the securities field. * Entry by banks into non-banking activities could also jeopardize bank soundness, whether the bank enters the field directly or through a subsidiary in which it invests its capital. In either case, banks themselves would be taking commercial risks, risks that are particularly inappropriate for organizations whose liabilities are insured by the Federal government. Quite apart from the issue of government insurance, banks are supervised entities of limited authority because there are good public policy reasons for creating financial institutions whose credit is unquestioned. It is because bank credit is unquestioned that bank liabilities are part of our money supply, and it is not an exaggeration to say that modern commerce could not exist if transacting parties did not have confidence in the capacity of financial intermediaries such as banks to meet their obligations. the other hand, allowing bank holding to companies expand their financial service activities provides banks with the competitive benefits-principally improved contact with customers attracted by the holding company's broad range of services -- but does not require or permit the bank to assume the increased risks associated with non-banking activities. Holding companies are of course legally separate from the banks they own and control, and the capital invested in a On under 5 265 of the Internal are not subject to the rule that denies a tax deduction to securzties dealers and others for interest paid on funds used to carry an inventory of See Mehle, Bank Underwritin tax-exempt securities. of Free and Preservin Fair Bonds: Revenue Munici al For example, Revenue Code banks banks While the holding company approach can insulate activfrom the risks associated with non-banking cannot prevent holding companies from misusing ities, it their controlling positions in banks. To deal with these concerns, the Administration's proposal includes a series of provisions that regulate banks' transactions with . their non-bank holding company affiliates, modifying and strengthening the restrictions already imposed by section 23a of the Federal Reserve Act. 12 U. S.C. $ 37lc. The principle underlying these provisions is that transactions between a bank and its affiliates must be made on substantially the same terms and under substantially the same circumstances, including credit standards, as those prevailing at the time of the transaction for comparable transactions by the bank with non-affiliated companies. Specifically, under the proposal transactions between a member bank and its one of three categories. The transactions, " which include: affiliates would fall into first category is "covered (i) the purchase of securities or other assets, except those subject to a repurchase agreement from an affiliate; (ii) the sale of securities or other assets, including assets subject to a repurchase agreement, to an affiliate; (iii) the payment of money or furnishing of services to an affiliate under a contract, a lease, or otherwise; (iv) any transaction in which an affiliate acts as an agent or broker or receives a fee for its services to the member bank or to any other person; and (v) any transaction or series of transactions with a third party if the affiliate has a financial interest in the third party or if the affiliate is participant in the transaction or series of transactions. S. 2490 S 14(b)(5) is the The only rule for covered transactions are such transactions stated earlier: rule general the same as permitted only if made on terms substantially (footnote con't. from page 6-8) a ~ t':= holding company structure and that adequate separation will exist between a within bank's involvement in export trading activities and its deposi' t=' ing function. H. R. Rep. No. 97-924, 97th Cong. , 2d Sess. 19 (1982). Neither a bank affiliates may nor any of purchase its securities affiliate any or other assets from any unless the instrument creating the fiduciary relationship, a court order, or the law of the relevant jurisdiction permits such purchases. Id. 14(a)(4). Neither nor any of knowingly its a bank nor any of its a bank subsidiaries may otherwise purchase acquire any security, a principal underwriter of which is an affiliate or subsidiary of the bank, for so long as the underwriting or selling syndicate exists. Id. 5 or 14(a)(6). Neither affiliates may advertisement be in any way obligations 14(a)(5). of suggest in any that the member bank will responsible for the its affiliates. Id. 5 These regulatory limitations are an integral part of the Administration's proposal. They ensure that not only will banks be separated legally from the risks associated with the non-banking activities of their holding company affiliates, they will avoid relationship with affiliates that would threaten their soundness or provide their affiliates with unfair competitive advantages through favorable financing terms or other devices. Administration's program also deals with supervision of the activities of non-banking subsidiaries of bank holding companies, while attempting to avoid the danger of excessive supervision. Under the Bank Holding Company Act the Federal Reserve authority to require Board has broaa discretionary reports of and to conduct examinations of bank holding company subsidiaries. 5 5(c), 12 U. S.C. 5 1844(c). The Administration proposal limits the Board's authority to require reports. Under the proposal the Board may only require that the subsidiaries submit, not more than quarterly, the same information that securities firms are The the need for regulatory New York insurance law limits the activities life insurance companies may engage directly to life insurance, certain closely related of which domestic in kinds insurance, and, with the permission of the Superintendent of Insurance oz to the extent necessary or incidental to engaging in the above, certain statutorily-described closely related financial activities. N. Y. Insurance Law $5 46, 46-a(9), 60 and Through subsidiaries, life insurance companies may in any kind of insurance activities, a slightly broader range of related financial activities, and "any other business activity reasonably ancillary to an 193. engage business. " Id. 5 46-a. Non-life insurance companies may engage directly in a broad range of insurance activities and, with the permission of the superintendent or to the extent necessary or incidental to engaging in these insurance activities, certain statutorily-described related financial activities. Id. 5 85-a. Through subsidiaries non-life companies may engage in a broader range of statutorily-described related financial activities and businesses ancillary to insurance. Id. The Superintendent has the power to disapprove the purchase of subsidiaries by both life and non-life companies. Id. g5 46a(2)(b) a 85a(2)(b). Other provisions of New York law (i) limit the types of assets in which insurance companies may invest, (ii) allow regulators to conduct examinations of insurance companies and insurance holding companies and their subsidiaries, and (iii) regulate the transactions between insurance companies and their holding company affiliates. N. Y. Insurance Law $5 79, 80 and 81 (regulation of investments); $$ 28, 69-d (examinations); transactions). The purpose of these 5 69-e (regulating provisions, like that of federal regulations applying to banks, is to preserve the financial soundness of insurance \ insurance companies. The Heimann from concluded Commission extensi;-e set of reguLations New York insurance companies financial environment marked out-of-state diversified is that this hampering the efforts compete in a changing to increased by services firms, development of new and financial greater consumer awareness, and sophisticated financial products. competition of -11- mortgages, N. Y. Insurance Law $79, and the remainder in various other assets considered safe. Id. $81. Banks may not loan more than 10 percent of their paid in capital and surplus to a single borrower, 12 U. S.C. S 24 (seventh); a parallel rule limits the amount New York insurance companies may invest in the securities of one private institution to 10 percent of its admitted assets. N. Y. Insurance Law 5 87. Similar parallels can be drawn with respect to the activities in which their respective regulations allow banks and insurance companies to engage. The permitted activities of each have already been discussed; the most important point of comparison is that both sets of regulations attempt to limit the entities regulated to activities related -- conceptually or otherwise -- to their principal activity. In both banking and insurance, it is regulation of activities that has received the most attention of deregulators. This is not surprising, since both banks and insurance companies are faced with increased competition from firms that are engaged in a broad range of financial activities. The central point of comparison between the Administration and the Heimann Commission proposals is the method each uses to broaden the activities with which banks and insurance companies may become associated, and the crucial difference between the two proposals is found in the types of corporate structure the proposals utilize in opening new fields of activity to banks and insurance companies. The Heimann Commission proposes that insurance companies be deregulated by removing or ameliorating many of the regulations that restrict insurance company entry into businesses other than insurance. Implicit in this approach, however, is a tension between two conflicting goals -- ensuring the solidity of insurance companies through regulation of their investments and non-insurance activities, and allowing insurance companies to compete effectively in an increasingly competitive financial environment by ~roadening the range of financial services their subsidiaries may offer. In this context, while the Heimann Commission's proposals for deregulation go some distance toward freeing insurance companies of restraints on the range of their financial service activities, they do not seem to be comprehensive enough in concept to effect a complete cure. Although problems of safety and soundness are aleviated by requiring that risky non-insurance activities be carried on by subsidiaries of an insurance interest in the activities of holding companies, less in the activities of holding company subsidiaries whose operations do not affect the regulated minimal and even company. New York already allows insurance holding companies to engage in an unrestricted range of activities. As has - already been noted, it also regulates transactions between insurance companies and their holding company affiliates. Such regulations are appropriate in this context, just as they are in relation to banks' dealings with their own holding company affiliates. However, they should be thoroughly reviewed and revised to ensure that insurance regulators have the authority to prevent transactions that may jeopardize the financial condition of' an insurance company functioning as part of a diversified financial services holding company. If the focus of efforts to achieve insurance company deregulation was on expansion of activities through the use of the holding company framework, rather than on reduction of regulatory controls on insurance company activities, the goal of enabling insurance companies to form or combine with diversified financial services firms could be significantly advanced. * * An important barrier to the use of the by insurance companies is that in mutual form. The same problem exists in banking many savings banks and savings and loan associations are mutual organizations. There are to the stock form of organization, many advantages particularly the ease and simplicity with which capital can be attracted for expansion and the greater degree of management responsiveness to stockholders as distinFor these guished from account or policy holders. reasons, among others, insurance companies and banks should be encouraged to adopt the stock form of In this connection, the Heimann Commission organization. that conversion to the stock form should be recommended encouraged and that legal barriers to conversion be removed. holding many company structure are organized — -15- Oepartmeni of ihe Treasury FOR IMMEDIATE ~ Washington, D.C. ~ Telephone 566-204' October 20, 1982 RELEASE RESULTS OF AUCTION The Department OF 2-YEAR NOTES of the Treasury has $6&751 million of 13.887 million of tenders received fromaccepted the public for the 2-year notes, Series X-1984, auctioned today. The notes will be issued November 1, 1982, and mature October 31, 1984. $ interest rate on the notes will be 9-3/4%. The of accepted competitive bids, and the corresponding prices at 9-3/4% interest rate are as follows: Bids Prices Lowest yield 9. 72% 100. 053 9. 85% Highest yield 99. 823 The range the Average Tenders 9. 79% yield at the high yield were New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury ~ allotted TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED Location Boston 99 929 Received 75, 105 11,438, 295 74, 700 107, 250 89, 830 86, 940 810, 520 164, 205 52, 175 65, 850 28, 795 886, 550 6, 820 (In Thousands) $ Accepted 68, 805 5, 463, 645 74, 700 98, 980 84, 825 84, 110 307, 925 112, 085 48, 900 65, 650 28, 785 305, 790 6, 820 Totals $13, 887, 035 $6, 751, 020 The $ 6i751 million of accepted tenders includes $ li326 million of noncompetitive tenders and $ 5i425 million of competitive tenders from the public. In addition to the $6, 751 million of tenders accepted in the auction process, $575 million of tenders was awarded at the average price to Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international An additional $478 million of tenders was also monetary authorities. at the from Government average price accounts and Federal accepted Banks for their own account in for maturing securities. exchange Reserve R-998 yartseent of the Treasury e Washington, O.C. FOR RELEASE AT 12:00 Telephone $11-204~ October 22, 1982 NOON TREASURY'S ~ 52-WEEK BILL OFFERING of the Treasury, by this public notice, for approximately $7, 000 million of 364 -day bills to be dated November 4, 1982, and to mature 3, 1983 (CUSIP No. 912794 DE 1 ). This issue will about $2, 000 million new cash for the Treasury, as the 52-week bill was originally issued in the amount of million. The Department invites tenders Treasury November provide maturing $5, 016 bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for bills maturing November 4I 1982In addition to the maturing 52-week bills, there are $10, 264 million of maturing bills which were originally issued as 13-week and 26-week bills. The disposition of this latter amount will be announced next week. The Treasury Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities currently hold 5 li647 million, and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account hold $2i673 million of the maturing bills. These amounts represent the combined holdings of such accounts for the three issues of maturing bills. Tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the weighted average price of accepted competitive tenders. Additional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. For purposes of determining such additional amounts, foreign and international monetary authorities are considered to hold $405 million of the original 52-week issue. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount will be payable without interest. This series of bills will be issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10, 000 on the records either of the and in any higher $5, 000 multiple, Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the I'reasury. Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and D. C. branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, !0226, up to 1:30 p. m. , Eastern Daylight Saving time, Thursday, october 28, 1982. Form PD 4632-1 should be used to submit . enders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of of the Treasury. he Department -999 Each tender must be for a minimum of $10,000 . Tenders over $10, 000 must be in multiples of $5, 000 . In the case of competitive tenders, the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with three decimals, e g . , 97 .920 . Fractions may not be used . . Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities if the names of the may submit tenders for account of customers, Others customers and the amount for each customer are furnished are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills . being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million . This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p .m . Eastern time on the day of the auction . Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions . Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million . of the bills applied for for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction. must Payment for the full par amount accompany all tenders submitted tenders from incorporated banks companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches . A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of bank or trust company accompanies the payment by an incorporated No and deposit need accompany trust tenders. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final . Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for $500, 000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids . Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch 4, 1982, Qn November in cash or other immediately-available funds or in Treasury bills maturing November 4, 1982. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Section 454(b) of the Internal Revenue Code, the of discount at which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed, or otherwise disposed of. Section 1232(a)(4) provides that any gain on the sale or redemption of these bills that does not exceed the ratable share of the acquisition discount must be included in the Federal income tax return of the owner as ordinary income. The acquisition discount is the excess of the stated redemption price over the taxpayer's basis (cost) for the bill. The ratable share of this discount Under amount is determined by multiplying such discount by a fraction, the numerator of which is the number of days the taxpayer held the bill and the denominator of which is the number of days from the day following the taxpayer's date of purchase to the maturity of the bill. If the gain on the sale of a bill exceeds the taxpayer's ratable portion of the acquisition discount, the excess gain is treated as short-term capital gain. Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, and this notice, prescribe the terms of of their issue. these Treasury bills - and govern ' e dethe conditions - —,s , ~-; &~;.b~ a ned Comtian of the ~ j ocul -" c an Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public '- Debt. . —, '. FOR IMMEDIATE The Treasury announced today that the 2-1/2 year yield curve rate for the five business Treasury ending 25, 1982 RELEASE OCTOBER October 25, 1982, averaged JD. g, O 8 days rounded to five basis points. Ceiling rates based on this rate will be in effect from Tuesday, October 26, 1982 through Monday, November 8, 1982. Detailed rules as to the use of this rate in estabthe nearest lisning the ceiling rates for small saver certificates were published Small saver in tne Federal Register on July 17, 1981. ceiling rates related information and available from the DIDC on a recorded The phone number telephone is message. is (202)566-3734. Approve Francis X. avanaugh Director Office of Government Market Analv. -is Fin ce Department of ihe Treasury FOR IMMEDIATE ~ Washington, D.C. ~ Telephone 566-204% October 25, 1982 RELF~E RESULTS OP TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $ 5, 604 million of 13~eek bills and for $5.610 million of 26~eek bills, both to be issued on October 28, 1982, were accepted today. OF ACCEPTED RANGE COMPETITIVE BIDS: maturi High Low Average a/ Excepting Tenders Tenders 13-week bills Janua 27 1983 Discount Investment 1/: Location Boston York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Prancisco Treasury ~e Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public Pederal Reserve Foreign Official TOTALS AND ril 28 1983 Investment ' Rate 1/ ACCEPTED ted: $47% Received Received tec 310: 780 780 $38. $32, $3, 10,247, 210 : 11,730, 000 4, 984, 890 4, 0939660 Thousands) Acce ~acce 3313 49, 860. 68, 075 34, 855 33, 390 1, 068, 770 39, 985 16, 630 43, 345 27, 480 499860 47, 075 34, 855 33, 390 574, 770 38, 985 16, 630 43, 345 22, 480 256 080 3540390 256' 080 $12, 701, 830 $10, 764, 905 777%840 : : : : : : : : :. 65, 920 90, 915 24, 390 36, 365 843, 995 60, 265 13, 140 29, 605 18, 415 902, 530 .. 15, 420 19,515 21, 890 21, 520 46, 295 30, 265 6, 140 29, 605 13,415 79, 530 308 815 308 815' $5, 603, 830 : $14, 172, 135 $5, 610, 080 958 390 $11,723, 295 $3, 666, 905 958 390 $4, 625, 295 $11%914%155 726 780 $12 ' 640, 935 817, 935 817, 935 800, 000 $4, 078, 880 800, 000 160 600 160 600 731 200 731 200 $12, 701, 830 $5, 603, 830 $14, 172, 135 $5, 610, 080 1/ Equivalent coupon-issue yield. 2/ The four-w ek average for calculating the maximum on money market certificates is 8. 299X. R-1000 A Discount Rate 37X::: ~ (In Institutions 26~eek bills maturi Rate Rate Price Price 97.995 7. 932X 8.21X 95. 723a/ 8.460X 8. 96X 97. 956 8 086X 8. 95. 714 8.478X 8. 98X 97. 970 8.031X 8.31X 95. 717 8.472X2/ 8. 97X 2 tenders totaling $1,860, 000 at the low price for the 13~ek bills were allotted 31X. at the low price for the 26~eek bills were allotted 76XRECEIVED New : $3, 352, 100 726 780 interest rate payable oepart~ent of the Treasury ~ Washington, O. C. ~ Telephone 566-204$ REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE JOHN M. WALKER, ASSISTANT SECRETARY (ENFORCEMENT AND OPERATIONS) DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE NATIONAL BEER WHOLESALERS' ASSOCIATION JR. BALTIMORE, MARYLAND OCTOBER 18 i 1982 Thank you Neil. It is a real pleasure to speak to you today. I am afraid that some of you think we at Treasury may not care as much about the alcohol industry as we do about the Administration's fight against organized crime and drugs' Let me stress that I am every bit as concerned about the health of your industry. The Malt Beverage Industry has an interesting history. Clay tablets dating back to Babylonia in 6000 B.C. picture and consumption the brewing of beer. And beer manufacturing are deeply 'enmeshed in the culture of our country. It is not surprising that tomorrow in the sixth game of the World Series, a team called the Brewers of Milwaukee will play in Busch Stadium in St. Louis. The first commercial brewery in the new world was built before 1625 in the Dutch Colony of New on what is now Manhattan Island. George Washington Amsterdam, In fact, had a brew house on his estate at Mount Vernon. his personal recipe for beer in his own handwriting may be Through the years, the seen at the New York Public Library. Industry has survived many challenges and difficulties, not the least of which was the ill-fated and, judged in hindsight, ill-conceived experiment of prohibition. The Malt Beverage Industry is a dynamic one. Through sound, innovative, and ethical business practices, the beer wholesalers have not only kept pace with the industry, but have been instrumental in its great vitality. greatly to this As you well know, every year country's financial since 1862, there have been significant excise taxes levied on alcoholic beverages including malt beverages. In fact, from 1868 through 1913, almost 90 percent of the U. S. 's The Malt Beverage Industry well-being. R-1001 has contributed revenue collections came from taxes on malt beverages, and tobacco. Beginning distilled spirits' with the War excise taxes on alcoholic beverages, or increases thereon' helped to finance America's war efforts right up to Vietnam War. In 1981, the Federal Government received over $5. 7 billion in revenue from the alcohol industry, with over $1 ' 6 billion coming from malt beverages alone. Clearly, your government has a vested interest in ensuring that your industry is strong and viable. At the same time, with the recent passage of the Tax Bill and a brightening of the economy, I increases in the excise tax do not now anticipate additional on alcoholic beverages. in general, and the alcohol industry Your industry, No other produces and markets a socially sensitive product. amendments, Constitutional commodity has been the subject of two with values social and there have always been conflicting respect to alcoholic beverages. As a consequence, alcoholic beverages have long been regulated -- from the Federal level I believe, though, that you, the down to the local level. alcohol beverage industry, and we, the government, have both matured to the point where some of the stringent government controls over alcoholic beverages are no longer needed. As a result, we at Treasury have been working to modernize the laws applicable to your industry, with the goal of regulating only where regulation is warranted, and then only to the In such areas where regulation is still degree necessary. necessary, we are increasingly convinced that the alcohol beverage industry can and should play a greater role in those responsibilities. the economy in general, we are now witnessing the an economic recovery from many years of runaway, double-digit inflation, high interest rates, excessive On start of Under this Administration, taxation, and over-regulation. inflation is at its lowest point in years and interest rates are steadily coming down. Hundreds of unnecessary regulations that were strangling productivity have been eliminated. always the lagging indicator in a recovery, is Unemployment, still unacceptably high; however, we should see these rates The Administration' s falling as the recovery progresses. successes, achieved after years of fiscal irresponsibility, have not come easily. Indeed, the President had to make politically difficult decisions and use true leadership to win the support of Congress. Today, we are now on the road to recovery, because he made those hard decisions and demonstrated that leadership. the Administration is also facing will require both industry and government, together, to forego the easy out and to concentrate our energies on the search for viable, long-term solutions. In your industry, challenges which 3 Last year, an example of a difficult decision the Administration chose to make was the plan to transfer the functions of BATF. The purpose of the plan was to achieve financial savings based on economies of scale and to manage existing resources better -- in short, to do what the President was elected to do. Accordingly, we sought to transfer the firearms and explosives functions to the Secret Service and the alcohol and tobacco functions to the U. S. Customs Service. This transfer to Customs would have occurred without disrupting the existing organizational structure. You would have dealt with the same people and no continuity would have been lost. Later, in negotiations, Treasury agreed to a plan which would have effected the firearms and explosives transfer to the Secret Service, but left alcohol and tobacco functions in an independent Treasury agency. However, reached with Congress on either plan. no agreement was I assure you that if the Administration and the appropriate Congressional committees ultimately decide to proceed with the reorganization of BATF, the alcohol function will remain a distinct entity wherever it is located. In addition, we will maintain a strong enforcement posture. Lastly, I will consult with you and seek your support before we proceed with another reoganization effort. the President has signed additional for Fiscal Year 1983 for the BATF to at full staffing, and the budget proposal continues We believe to recognize the Bureau as a separate entity' the Fiscal Year 1983 budget ensures effective field enforceWe have ment against major violations of the alcohol laws. also received great cooperation from most of the 50 states in pursuing violations of those laws. In the meantime, budget remain appropriations reorganization there is some administrative the Bureau, which will have no impact on your Two regional offices are being closed, the Midindustry. Atlantic Regional Office in Philadelphia and the Central You will still deal with the Regional Office in Cincinnati. but the North Atlantic matters, technical on offices same field and respectively, York Chicago, New in regions, and Midwest At present, going on within will assume management Enforcement where workload Regulatory offices for their operations. several area longer justified their existence. responsibility has also eliminated no activities are ongoing and regulations are being Currently, proceeding smoothly. alcohol'™ beverages. This is of proposed for the advertising Meanwhile, an BATF's regulatory area where the current new regulations are still in the rulemaking process. ATF is evaluating the results of the comments and public hearings and plans to complete these regulations bY late this year or early l983. issue of Newsweek brought to national attention A recent once again the menace of the drunk driver -- responsible in excess of 25, QQQ fatalities per year on the nation's Concerned highways. This is a major problem in our societY citizens are demanding measures to reduce the shocking number of fatalities related to drunk driving. ~ However, I am pleased to see that, as is usually the case, your industry is playing a leadership role in responding to this problem without prodding from the Federal Government. Alcohol industry representatives are serving on the President' s Commission on Drunk Driving, which is holding hearings around to the President the country and is due to make recommendations in the spring of next year. Further, Rex Davis, Chairman of the Licensed Beverage Information Council, tells me that the Licensed Beverage Information Center (LBIC) and the Outdoor Advertising Association will work in concert on a billboard areas to educate drivers on campaign in major metropolitan the hazards and penalties of drunk driving. I also applaud the work of the LBIC in drawing attention to the problems of fetal alcohol syndrome women and the problem of alcohol abuse generally. On another and modernize subject, the FAA public in pregnant project is underway to revise Specifically, the purpose of the a major Act. is to make the Act more responsive to the current interests of consumers, the Federal Government, and industry by: (l) deregulating those aspects of the industry which no longer require federal control; and (2) making the law more understandable and with adequate enforcement powers to ensure compliance where federal regulation is necessary. This project has not been carried on in the dark recesses of the government bureaucracy -- industry associations, individuals, state agencies, and others have been actively involved in the process' Your association, in particular, has provided us with constructive, meaningful comments. I greatly appreciate your cooperation in this regard. During the process of developing the legislative package, revision needs and are now, and will continue to be open to suggestions as to how we can improve upon a draft bill. We at Treasury and ATF are currently evaluating comments received relative to our latest ver; ' I'.— n- t sure I can predict ~&e final we "=' 1 draft g8 . have been, comments and we product because we are in the middle of the evaluation process. I can say that we are making accommodating changes where we can. Where we can't make changes, we are fully documenting our rationale. I anticipate the evaluation process will be completed in the near future. Once it is completed, a final version will be drafted and submitted to Congress. We hope to have a final package ready for Congress early next year. Now, you' ve asked legislation. me Admittedly, to comment upon the proposed there are probably some aspects of legislation with which you do not totally agree. As you know, drafting this legislation has been a give-and-take process. I am confident the final product will be reflective of your concerns as well as ours. NBWA has been supportive in this effort. We predict that, after passage of the Federal Alcohol Control Modernization Act, your industry will be much less burdened by government intervention. We will regulate where necessary, to the extent necessary, and with the power necessary to ensure a competitive environment in an open market place. Working together, the industry and the government have put together a legislative package that will, for the first time in nearly fifty years, provide equitable, clear and workable guidelines within which you can all operate legitimately and profitably. the proposed In another area of Treasury activity, which may be of interest to some of you, we want to see increased exporting of alcoholic beverages. For the past few years, we have been working closely with the European Economic Community to improve access of U. S. wines to the EEC by reducing nontariff trade barriers. We recently concluded wine consultations with the EEC, and, although our agreement needs to be ratified by interested parties in the EEC and the U. S. , I am confident we will have reduced most of the non-tariff barriers that confront our wine exporters to the EEC. We will not rest after this success, however. I plan to expand our consultations to other countries and to include malt beverages in our discussions. In closing, this Administration is above all committed to preserving the vitality of the alcohol will also maintain a strong enforcement beverage posture. industry. You must We remember, however, that the President is committed to eliminating unnecessary regulations and reducing Government spending. With these realities in mind, we will continue, in the months ahead, to look for appropriate ways to deregulate and to achieve We would savings to the taxpayer. like your support in this ef fort. I appreciate the opportunity to address you today. epartment of the Treasury FOR IMMEDIATE WasKin~Q. ~ C. ~ Telephone 666-2141 Marlin ritzwater qgg'p+jl RELEASE October 26, 1982 Tuesday, „; u, (202) 566-5252 fNT BY DONALD T. REGAN SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY ON THE CPI TUESDAY, OCTOBER 26, 1982 STATEMENT WASHINGTON, D. C. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose only . 2 percent in September indicating that this nation is on a steady course of lower inflation. The signs of economic recovery continue to While the economy is still appear in building block fashion. there is steady improvement in the near future. weak, and we performance expect stronger first 9 months of this year, inflation has increased rate of only 4. 8 percent, compared with 12-4 percent for the year 1980 and 8. 9 percent last year. Along with the fall in inflation, we have seen a steady decline in interest and mortgage rates. This positive trend . should give added confidence to the private sector and foster increased individual and commercial activity in the marketplace. Houses, autos and other consumer goods are becoming more easily affordable. Business and industry can begin to borrow money at at For the an annualized reasonable If fiscal we rates. are sensible and have a continuation of responsible policies, we can keep inflation down, of interest and spur the economic recovery necessary to get this nation back to work. and monetary generate low rates 0 R-1002 of the Treasury Department FOR RELEASE AT ~ Washington, 4:00 P. M. D.C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 October 26, 1982 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $11, 200 million, to be issued November 4, 1982. This offering will provide $925 million of new cash for the Treasury, as the maturing bills were originally issued in the amount of $10, 264 million. The two series offered are as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $5, 600 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated August 5, 1982, and to mature February 3, 1983 (CUSIP No. 912794 CH 5), currently outstanding in the amount of $5, 542 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day dated bills for November 4, 1982, (CUSIP No. 912794 CT approximately 9). and $5, 6pp million, to to mature May be 5, 1983 Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in In exchange for Treasury bills maturing November 4, 1982. addition to the maturing 13-week and 26-week bills, there are $5, 016 million of maturing 52-week bills. The disposition of this latter amount was announced last week. Federal Reserve monetary Banks, as agents for foreign and international and Federal Reserve hold million, currently authorities, $1, 556 Banks for their own account hold $2, 744 million of the maturing bills. These amounts represent the combined holdings of such accounts for the three issues of maturing bills. Tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as monetary authorities will be agents for foreign and international accepted at the weighted average prices of accepted competitive tenders. Additional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal monetary Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. For purposes of determining such additional amounts, considered 26-week foreign and international monetary authorities are to hold $1, 151 million of the original 13-week and issues. The bills will be and noncompetitive issued on a discount basis under competibidding, and at maturity their par amount tive interest. Both series of bills will be without payable will be book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,0QQ in entirely issued on the records either of the multiple, higher 000 $5, and in any or of the Department of the Banks and Branches, Reserve Federal Treasur y. R-1003 Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C. 20226, up to 1:30 p .m , Eastern Standard time, Monday, November 1, 1982. Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . . Tenders over Each tender must be for a minimum of $10, 000 of competicase the In 000. 000 of must be in multiples $10, $5, tive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with three decimals, e g . , 97 920 . Fractions may not be used ~ . . Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities if the names of the may submit tenders for account of customers, Others customers and the amount for each customer are furnished Each are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills . . . . This being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p m Eastern time on the day of the auctions Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering, e .g . , bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six-month bills . Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million . .. Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury will be made on all accepted tenders for the A cash adjustment difference between the par payment submitted and the actual . issue price as determined No in the auction deposit need accompany tenders . from incorporated banks trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches . A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company and accompanies the tenders . Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treas«y of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500, 000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches on be must made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on November 4, 1982, in cash or other immediately-available funds or in Treasury bills maturing November 4, 1982. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Section 454(b) of the Internal Revenue Code, the of discount at which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed, or otherwise disposed of Section 1232(a)(4) provides that any gain on the sale or redemption of these bills that does not exceed the ratable share of the acquisition discount must be included in the Federal income tax return of the owner as ordinary income. The acquisition discount is the excess of the stated redemption price over the taxpayer's The ratable share of this discount basis (cost) for the bill Under amount ~ such discount by a fraction, the by multiplying numerator of which is the number of days the taxpayer held the bill and the denominator of which is the number of days from the day following the taxpayer's date of purchase to the maturity of the bill. If the gain on the sale of a bill exceeds the taxpayer's is determined ratable portion of the acquisition discount, treated as short-term capital gain. the excess gain is of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series and this notice, prescribe the terms of 27-76, 26-76 and Nos. and govern the conditions of their issue. bills these Treasury tender forms may be obtained from any and circulars Copies of the or from the Bureau of the Public Branch, Bank or Federal Reserve Debt. Department ~ depart nent of the Treasury Contact: Robert Edwin POR IMMEDIATE October 26, ~ Don I evine I . Washington, n. c. ~ Telephone %66-2041 (566-2041) Dale (395-3080) REI EASE 1982 DONAI D T. JOINT STATEMENT OF REGAN, SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AND DAVI D A. S TOCKMAN, DIRECTOR OF THE OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET ON BUDGET RESUITS POR FISCAI YEAR 1982 SUMMARY is today releasing the September Monthly States of the United Outlays which shows the actual budget totals for the fiscal Government, year that ended on September 30, 1982. The statement shows: receipts of $617.8 billion in 1982; The Treasury Statement of Department outlays a Receipts and of $728. 4 billion in 1982; and deficit of $110.7 billion. Table 1.--BUDGET (in billions 1981 Actual. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1982 Estimates and Actual 1/. . . . . . . . . . February July 2/ Actual. / 2/ . .. . . . . . . . .. . . e ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ e ~ ~ ~ ~ TOTAIS of dollars) 599. 3 657. 2 -57. 9 626. 8 622. 1 725. 3 -98. 6 -108.9 -110.7 617.8 731.0 728. 4 July 1982 from the Mid-Session Review of the 1983 Bud et. ts. --Receipts were estimated in the February budget at In the July Mid-Session Review, this estimate $626. 8 billion. was revised downward to $622. 1 billion. The revision was the net effect of revised economic assumptions -- primarily lower nominal incomes -- policy changes, and technical reestimates. Actual receipts were $617.8 billion, $4. 3 billion below the July estimate. Substitution of the Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982 for the legislation- assumed in the Mid-Session, accounts for $0. 9 billion of this reduction. The remaining difference is in large part due to lower than of anticipated collections social insurance taxes and contributions, and excise taxes, which reduce receipts by $1.5 R~ecei billion and. $1.4 bi11ion, respectively. s. --ln the February Budget, 1982 outlays were estimated at This estimate was increased by $5. 7 billion, to $731.0 billion, in the Mid-Session Review, reflecting the net impact of technical reestimates, policy changes, and a revised economic forecast. The final total for 1982 outlays was $728. 4 billion, $2. 6 billion below the July estimate. the Although total decrease since July was relatively small, there were a within the total, which are number of offsetting changes described in the next section. ~Outla $725. 3 billion. OUTI. AY CHANGES BY AGENCY AND PROGRAM changes since the July Mid-Session Review are described below. Table 2, which follows this discussion, shows the estimates for E'ebruary and July and the actual levels by agency and major program. 'I'he major outlay Funds A ro riated to the President securit assistance were $0. 4 for international because a below the July estimate, primarily the containing supplemental appropriation request President s Caribbean Basin Initiative was enacted later in the year than expected and because the actual spending rate for the commodity import program in Egypt was slower Outlays billion than anticipated. outlay Fund De De of $0. 3 billion to the International Monetar to the appreciation of the dollar with respect to foreign currencies. Because the U. S. quota in the IMP is denominated in special drawing rights (SDR s), the dollar value of quota assets declines when the dollar appreciates' Most of the change from the Mid-Session for ~militar sales ro rams occurred in the foreign military sales trust fund. Net outlays in that account were $0. 4 billion below the July estimate, mostly due to higher from sales of military than anticipated receipts equipment to foreign governments. artment of A riculture Parmers Home Administration outlays were $1.0 billion above the Mid-Session Review estimate largely because reduced cash needs permitted $0e7 billion in asset sales to be deferred until 1983, and because repayments of farm and housing loans were lower than expected. -- Decreases in the July estimate of offsettin recei ts from sales of timber and other Government-owned resources increased net outlays by $0. 4 billion. artment of Education Education Department outlays were $1.1 billion below the in part because of late enactment July estimate by Congress of procedures for allocating funds for certain financial assistance programs. student In addition, about their share of the 1982 and 1983 uncertainty for these and other education grant appropriations programs caused a number of grantees to slow the rate of expenditure of current funds. An (IMF) was recorded due De of Ener Outlays for the Department of Energy were $1. 2 billion below the July estimate. This reduction reflects the combined impact of slower than anticipated spending for defense-related construction, ener su 1 , and alternative fuels programs; enactment of a delayed supplemental appropriation for the ~wea ons request ~ro ram; increased revenues from uranium enrichment projects because of improved debt collection practices; and reduced outlays for State ener conservation grant artment programs. De of Health and Human Services Social securit outlays were $0. 5 billion lower for 1982 than estimated in July. Outlays for medicare were $0. 5 billion above the MidSession estimate largely because hospital costs have continued to increase at a rate faster than anticipated. artment securit medicaid, income and discretionary estimate. Housin and Urban ro rams, the a variety programs, were human of $1.2 services block rant, research and other billion below the July Develo ment operating subsidy budgets for the approving ro'ects and slower than low-income of housin for communit anticipated spending develo ment ro rams were the main reasons for the $0. 5 billion decline in Delays in o eration outlays from the July Development programs. De estimate for Housing and Urban of Labor Outlays for the unem lo ment trust fund were $0. 5 billion above the July estimate because the actual unemployment rate exceeded the level assumed in the Mid-Session artment Review. De artment of Trans ortation Outlays for Federal-aid-hi hwa s were $0. 3 billion below the July estimate primarily because of an unexpected from States for Federally-aided decline in billings highway work. De artment of the Treasur Interest on the public debt was $0. 8 billion lower than the July estimate due to the recent sharp decline in interest rates. Of this total, $0. 6 billion was offset by a reduction in interest received by trust funds. recei ts were $0. 9 billion below Treasury s offsettin the July estimate mainly due to the net effect of lower than expected interest receipts from the Commodity Credit Corporation offset by higher than estimated receipts for other receipt accounts. This reduction in receipts resulted in a $0. 9 billion increase in outlays' Environmental Protection A enc for the Environmental Protection Agency were $0. 3 below the July estimate due to slower than anticipated spending for contruction of municipal waste Outlays billion treatment Ex plants. ort-Im ort Bank decline in loan disbursements, for particularly purchases of aircraft, reduced outlays by $0. 3 billion from the July estimate. I oan disbursements were down because the global recession has slowed generally, investment expenditures in many developing countries that purchase capital goods from the United States. A Allowances allowance of -$1.0 billion was included in the July estimate for outlays savings expected from the reduction of waste fraud and abuse. Savings achieved during the year are now reported as part of agency outlays or An receipts. Offsettin recei ts Receipts for Federal em lo er contributions to retirement funds were 00. 5 billion below the July estimate, mainly because of a postal service decision not to consider cost-of-living adjustments as basic pay for retirement This increased outlays by $0. 5 billion frc".„ purposes. Mid-Session estimate. the which is an trust received b funds, Interest billion lower offsetting receipt, was $0. 6 undistributed in However, since interest on ~he July. than estimated Undistributed public debt was $0. 8 billion lower, the net ef feet of these interest-related changes reduced outlays by $0. 2 billion. Receipts from rents and ro alties on the Outer Continental Shelf were $0. 9 billion lower than estimated in July, primarily because of a delay in two sales from late fiscal year 1982 to fiscal year 1983. Table 2. --1982 BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS (fiscal years; in millions of dollars) 1981 Actual Recei ts b . .. ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ Subtotal, Social insurance and contributions. . Estate Customs' taxes. and tax es ... . ....... Ac tua1 ....... Total, Receipts. 285, 551 61, 137 298, 578 46, 752 298, 510 49, 869 298, 111 49, 207 162, 973 16, 129 185, 527 181,410 16, 461 16, 680 180, 686 16, 234 3 984 . . .. . . ... . .. . ... ~ 4 493 4 493 4 212 183, 086 206, 481 202, 583 201, 131 40, 839 42, 993 37, 755 8, 057 9, 212 16 115 36, 311 7, 991 8, 854 16 161 6229 101 617, 766 13 790 7, 162 8, 870 15 917 5998 272 6264 753 6, 787 8, 083 gift taxes Miscellaneous. 1982 Estimate ~Jul ~Febeuaa Source Individual income taxes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Corporation income taxes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Social insurance taxes and contributions: taxes and contributions. . . . Employment insurance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Unemployment Contributions for other insurance and retirement Excurse BY AGENCY Tab. Le 2. --1982 BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS (fiscal years; in millions 1981 Actual a b O~utla Legislative Ma or A Judiciary. ... Funds Appropr iated to the President: Disaster relief. . . . . . . . ~. . . . . . . . . International security assistance International development assista nce. . . . . . International monetary programs. . Military sales programs. . . . . . . . . . 0 ther. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Subtotal, Funds appropr iated to the Pr es ident. . . . . . . . . . . . . . Executive Of f ice of the President. ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ Agriculture: Commodity ~ Credit Corporation, for eign and special expo rt. . assistance, . .. .. ... Farmers Home Administration. Food and Nutrition Service. Of fs~:tting ri ceipts. . . . . 0 ther. ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ Subtotal, 1/. . . . . . . . . 1/. Defense-Civil. . . . . . Education 1/. . Energy 1/. . . . . . . . . . Commerce Defense-Military ~ ~ Agr (Continued) 1982 Estimate F~ebruar Actual ~Jul enc and the branch BY AGENCY of dollars) icultur e 1, 846 96 2F232 92 2, 171 401 3, 090 406 3, 423 2, 352 238 3, 488 2, 365 -166 398 345 -17 354 7, 010 6, 370 6, 835 6, 073 5, 290 7, 484 2, 600 15, 146 12, 651 12, 582 3, 568 15, 196 2, 268 365 456 429 518 15, 915 -1, 134 5 441 26, 030 2, 226 156, 035 3, 148 15, 089 11,797 -1, 585 5 798 95 2, 576 15, 237 -1, 220 5 919 2, 068 95 115 3, 052 2, 229 323 370 -811 5 679 359163 36, 213 2, 149 2, 164 182, 731 182, 731 2, 991 3, 012 138 15, 15, 153 834 8, 8, 885 2, 045 182, 850 2, 971 14, 081 7, 705 294442 Table 2. —-1982 BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY AGENCY (f iscal years; in millions of dollars) 1981 Actual Health Services 1/: and Human Social security Medicare. Medicaid. Other . (OASDI, net). . . 137, 970 42, 489 16, 833 ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ . 29 697 Subtotal, Health and Human Services. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Housing and Urban Development: .. . Housing payments. . . . . . . . Payments for operation of low income housrng projects. . . . . grants. . . . . Community development 0 ther. .. ... . . .. . .. . .. ...... Sub'otal, Housing Development. and Urban .. . . .. . .. . . .. . . . . . . . Interior 1/ Justice 1/ Labor: Employment and tr Unemployment Other training assistance. . . . . . . ust fund. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ~ Subtotal, Labor. State Transpor ~ tation: Federal Highway Administration. Federal Aviation Administration. 0 ther. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . .... . . .. .. . ... ~ Subtotal, Transportation. ... . . ... 1982 Estimate ~Jul ~Februar Actual 154, 643 154, 600 49, 919 49, 556 17, 823 17, 612 50 272 30 011 154, 144 50, 423 17, 391 29 310 226, 989 252, 033 252, 403 251, 268 5, 747 6, 726 6, 771 6, 880 929 4, 042 3 316 1, 278 1, 283 1, 008 3, 792 605 4, 005 2 928 14, 033 14, 614 14, 987 14, 491 4, 262 2, 682 3, 827 2, 598 4, 042 3, 793 6, 848 18, 739 4, 210 25, 400 4, 146 23, 800 4, 110 24, 282 4 497 30, 084 ~ ~ ~ ~ (Continued) 4, 005 2 2 465 28664 2 349 2 811 2, 584 2 343 324075308296 30, 736 1, 897 2, 183 2, 153 2, 185 9, 119 3, 158 10 276 8, 313 3, 073 9 181 8, 280 3, 094 7, 988 2, 891 22, 554 20, 567 20, 553 19, 929 9 179 9 049 Tabie z. --xsud BUU( P"J.' KE('Big'J.'S BY SOUR('E AND OU'J. 'LAYS BY A('EN( (f iscal years; in millions of dollars) Treasury: Interest Offsetting Other on the .. . . . .. . . .. . . . . . .... ...... . ... . ... .. public debt. receipts. ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ .. ... . .. . . . ... . . . .. Aeronautics and Space Adminis tration. Administration. . . . . . . . . . . . . nf Columbia. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Subtotal, Treasury. Environmental Protection Agency. National Veterans District ~ ~ ~ Export-Import Bank. Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Emergency Management Agency. . Federal Home Loan Bank Board. . . . . . . . . . ... .. General Services Administration. Office of Personnel Management. . . . . . . Postal Service payment. . . . . . . . Railroad Retirement Board. . . . . . . . . . . . Small Business Administration Authority Tennessee Valley funds' Other (net) 1/. . . . . . . . . . . . . . ~ ~ ~ Allowances ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ 95, 589 ~Fe br uar OIltlnuea) 1982 ~Jul 115,700 118, 200 -14, 282 -18, 301 -19, 385 929633 1099349 1109548 11 325 5, 232 5, 421 22, 904 492 066 2, -1,726 372 370 186 18, 089 1, 343 5, 308 1,913 1,928 5, 202 ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ Undistributed offsetting receipts: Federal employer contributions to . . . . . . . . ... . .. . . retirement Interest received by trust funds. . (( Estimate 1981 Actual Y -6, 371 -13,797 11 950 5, 434 5, 827 24, 134 479 1,855 -1,800 417 38 257 19, 907 619 5, 727 525 2, 180 4, 632 -624 11 733 Actual 117,404 11 579 110,521 -18, 463 5, 307 5, 850 5, 004 6, 026 23, 937 1, 478 1, 173 24, 190 519 439 -1,500 -1, 440 -599 -588 20, 010 661 5, 733 701 19, 973 4, 649 4, 459 350 339 1, 760 -1, 000 -7, 560 -7, 561 -16, 080 -16, 593 280 229 707 5, 721 631 1, 527 -7, 020 -15, 991 rarlxe ~. ——isug BUU4ET ~('5JpTS BY SOURl'5 AND OUTLAYS 1981 Actual Rents and royalties on the Outer Shelf. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Total, outlayse Continental ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ Deficit (-). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ~ ~ -10 138 657F204 578932 De tail ma r n )t add to totals because of rounding. These agency totals reflect the non-enactment of proposals Departments of En. rgy and Education. NOTE: 1/ BY ACiYNOY (f iscal years; in millions of dollars) (Oon&1nuea) Estimate ~Februar 1982 Actual ~Jul -7 164 -6 250 725F331 7308985 728, 424 1088884 1108658 -7 861 986. 578 to dismantle the )epariment of the treasury ~ Washington, D.C. ~ Telephone S66-2041 Oc tober FOR RELEASE 7/HEN AUTHORIZED 27, 1982 AT PRESS CONFERENCE TREASURY NOVEMBER QUARTERLY FINANCING will raise about $8, 400 million of new cash and $4, 620 million of securities maturing November 15, 1982, by issuing $6, 000 million of 3-year notes, $4, 000 million of 10-year notes, and $3, 000 million of 30-year bonds. The $4, 620 million of maturing securities are those held by the public, including $284 million held, as of today, by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities. refund The Treasury $13, 000 million are being offered to the public, and any amounts tendered by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities (including the $284 million of maturing securities) will be added to that amount. The three issues totaling to the public holdings, Government Federal Reserve Banks, for their own accounts, hold of the maturing securities that may be refunded by tionai amounts of the new securities at the average accepted competitive tenders. In addition accounts and $1, 019 million issuing add i- prices o Details about each of the new securities are given in the attached "highlights" of the offering and in the official offering circulars. oOo Attachment R-1005 HIGHLIGH'1 OF TREASURY OFFERINGS TO THE PUBLIC NOVEMBER 1982 FINANCING 'IO BE ISSUED NOVEllBER Offered: public. Description of Security: Anount $6, 000 million To the Term and type of Series and CUSIP llaturity date. Call date. . . . . . . 3-year designation. . . . Series security. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .. . NU 2) based on To be determined Interest rate October 27, 1982 $4, 000 million $3 000 million 10-year notes Series C-1992 (CUSIP No. 912827 November 15, 1992 No provision 30-year bonds Bonds of 2007-2012 (CUSIP No. 912810 DB NV 0) November November based on To be determined 1) 15, 2012 15, 2007 based on To be determined . or discount. . . . . . . . . . . . . est payment elates. . . . . . . . . . Inter. available . . $5, Minimu&n dencInination Premium Sale: of sale. Accrued interest payable by investor. Terms of Net)iod allobnent. Preferred Payment by investors. Bates: Deadline Yield Auction Yield Auction None None . . . . . . . . . . . . Noncompetitiveor $1, 000, 000 non-institutional . Deposit guarantee by designated institutions. &ey Full payment with tender bid for less to be submitted . . . . . . . . Acceptable for receipt of tenders. date (final payment institutions) a) cash or Federal funds. . . . b) readily collectible check. Delivery date for Yield Auction None Noncompetitive $1,000, 000 or Full payment with tender bid for less to be submitted 3, 1982, November Thursday, by 1 30 p Full payment with tender less to be submitted Acceptable Acceptable Wednesday, November by 1:30 p. m. , EST bid for Noncompetitive $1&000,000 or m 4, 1982, EST Tuesday, by November EST 9, 1902, 1:30 p.m. , Settlement due from ~ coupon securities. ' the average of accepted bids the average of accepted bids the average of accepted bids To be determined at auctipn'-. To be determined at auction To be determined at auction be determined after auction To be determined after auction To be determined after auction To May 15 and November 15 May 15 and November 15 May 15 and November 15 $1,000 $1,000 000 yield. Investment notes P-1985 (CUSIP No. 912827 November 15, 1985 No provision 15, 1982 .. . Monday, . Friday, Tuesday, November November November 15, 1982 12, 1982 23, 1902 15, 1982 12, 1982 Monday, Friday, November November Friday, November 26, 1982 (Not applicable) Monday, Friday, November November 15, 1982 12, 1982 ARE of the Treasury ~ Washington, D.C. ~ Tel8QINaaa 566-204$ R. T. McNamar Hog p'gg Deputy Secretary of the Treasury . TNEAS «~ Before a r. rMEgT Conference of the Department -. Institute Bank Administration Chicago, Illinois October 28, 1982 OR BANK RELATED: BANKING A PROPOSAL OF FINANCIAL FOR EXPANS ION SERVICES This is a dull speech. It. is a dull speech by design. It is dull not because the subject matter is dull. Indeed, I think the subject matter is tremendously exciting. However, the speech itself is dull because it is detailed. It is detailed because detailed analysis, discussion, and exposition is required to explain adequately the Administration's position on the deregulation of bank holding companies. Thus I urge you in your afterlunch stupor to steel yourself for, as they say in the shaggy dog stories, the dullest of the dull dull speeches you have ever heard. in the financial services industry to a number of proposals for changes in government regulation of financial services. From the Administration's point of view, the "Rosetta Stone" for expanding bank participaBank Holding tion in financial services is the Administration's Act. This provides the appropriate legal Company Deregulation framework for continuing the protection of the unique and beneficial features of depository institutions while permitting them to expand into less regulated segments of the financial the services industry. And, it does so without disadvantaging organizations that must compete with them in the marketplace. Recent developments have led What is a further is needed. causes of the dramatic follows this legislation The the financial 1. 2. 3. services industry Expanding zations; changes financial computer of the reasons why that have occurred in are well known: public sophistication Increasing convenient Changing examination services; about and demand for technology; diversified financial services organi- and 4. Accelerating competitive pressures on banks other traditional financial intermediaries. and it is clear that banks and In light of these developments, other financial service entities must be able, if they choose, to combine into diversified financial services organizations Subin order to compete in a radically restructured market. direction has already begun. Indeand those sponsored by other financial services firms have developed products that compete directly with depository institutions. New ways to combine the best features of deposit and investment funds are being merchandised aggressively by'the securities industry. stantial pendent movement in this money market funds and More recently, insurance companies„ such as Prudential with strong insurance divisions, and conglomerates such as Sears and American Express, have combined with firms Kemper, in other sectors of the financial services industry to create diversified financial services firms. These firms appear to believe that by combining many financial services they can create a whole that is greater than the sum of its individual parts. Whether it is spreading overhead, joint marketing programs, multiple services to individual customers, or simply a blind faith in what was once called synergy, we are seeing more and more of these multiproduct financial firms. And today, both life and property casualty insurance holding companies are engaged in real estate development and ownership, securities activities of virtually all types, savings and loan activities, travel services and a wide variety of other services. But, because regulatory restrictions on banking are tighter than those on insurance company diversification, banks face a much more significant barrier to expansion beyond a narrowly defined field. Nevertheless, some of the larger banks and bank holding companies have expanded their non-banking services overseas -- including insurance activities and investment banking and are now probing at the edges of permissible activities in the United States. But, if government regulation flies in the face of long term market forces, it can be harmful to the securities, insurance, banking and other industries. Therefore, we have proposed changes in laws that will accommodate both the legitimate purposes of regulation in these fields and the needs or desires of the firms to establish firms. or join in diversified financial The Administration's proposal (introduced in and in the House as H. R. 6720) would amend services the Senate as the Bank Holding Company Act (and several other banking acts) to permit, but not require, bank holding companies to become diversified financial service firms. Under the recently passed Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions Act of 1982, thrift institutions were authorized to expand their bank-like services. The Administration would propose that at some point -- and perhaps now is the time -- thrift institution holding companies should be authorized to provide the same financial services as bank holding companies. Should there be a difference between thrift and bank holding S. 2490 I suggest the burden of proof is on those that say that there should be a difference. I would ask why. companies? owns company is a firm that The current law limits to banking company subsidiaries Broadly defined, a bank holding or controls one or more banks. the activities of bank holding and such other activities that "the [Federal Reserve] Board. . . . has determined or controlling to be so closely related to banking or managing as to be a proper incident thereto. " As banks this language implies, the Federal Reserve Board has very broad discretion to decide whether a bank holding company may own subsidiaries that engage in non-banking activities. Historically, the Board has construed the term "closely related to banking" quite narrowly, so that a firm which owns or controls a bank cannot in general own or control subsidiaries engaged in offering other kinds of financial services. The historical purposes for these restrictions have been to preserve the safety and soundness of the banking subsidiaries of a holding company, to prevent a bank from providing holding to company affiliates with unfair competitive advantages, eliminate potential conflicts of interest, and to foster a large number of firms so as to minimize concentration of resources and promote diversity and competition. Originally, this may have been sound and adequate public policy. Today it is in doubt. However, the practical effect of the policy has been to prevent bank holding companies from combining with or establishing firms offering other financial services. This has handicapped bank holding companies and their subsidiary banks from competing for customers, markets, or enjoying ecoIndirectly, this may increase bank operating nomies of scale. expense and reduce additions to capital needed to promote sound banking policies. in June, would allow Our proposal, which was introduced to engage in bank holding companies, through subsidiaries, any activities the Federal Reserve Board " determines by The bill provides regulation to be "of a financial nature. that, in interpreting this phrase, the Board should give primary consideration to the public benefits that would result from Moreover, the bill specifies certain increased competition. activities in which a bank holding company subsidiary may the Board decides the activity is "of engage, whether or not " The bill would specifically authorize a financial nature. bank holding company subsidiaries to engage in insurance underwriting and brokerage, and real estate investment, development, In the securities field, bank holding company and brokerage. subsidiaries could deal in and underwrite U. S. and most state securities, including revenue bonds. They could and municipal sponsor, control, and advise an investment company and they can deal in and distribute bank certificates of deposit and commercial paper of its parent holding company or any of the holding company's subsidiaries. Under the present law, if a bank holding company wishes to purchase shares of a corporation whose activities it believes it must obtain meet the "closely related to banking" requirement, The review the approval of the Federal Reserve Board in advance. of these applications can take considerable time and is itself a substantial barrier to bank holding company entry even into those fields the Board has determined are closely related to banking. Some have suggested the Fed has built a Japanese style non-tariff barrier to prevent entry into financial activities just as the Japanese non-tariff barriers prevent the free reasonable entry of goods into Japan. proposal requires that By contrast, the Administration's within 180 days of the bill's enactment, the Board develop regulations defining which activities are of a financial nature. Under this plan, a bank holding company that wishes to purchase shares of a corporation whose activities it believes fall within the terms of this Board regulation may proceed with more confidence. The Board may disapprove only if the activities do not meet the definition, if it has received insufficient information to decide, or if it concludes that material information in the application is inaccurate. Thus, the proposal not only broadens the activities in which bank holding companies may engage, but also makes entry into these new fields easier and less time conThe Fed would have the power to veto based on specific suming. pre-established criteria, rather than the present vague and time consuming ab initio approval. By allowing bank holding companies, rather than banks themselves, to offer a broader range of services, the Administration's holding company proposal accomplishes certain legitimate policy objectives of bank regulation while allowing banks to associate themselves with firms that can compete for customers with other diversified financial services. In the Administration's view, permitting direct entry banks into non-banking activities would be unsound policy by for two principal reasons. First, allowing banks to offer non-banking services would create opportunities for unequal competition. Second, by subjecting banks to new risks, might jeopardize their safety and soundness. it Those who have consistently opposed bank entry into nonbanking fields have argued persuasively that banks have unique characteristics and advantages that set them apart from other businesses. First, banks have the lowest cost of funds of any private institution because the marketplace perceives their public role as a financial intermediary as an exceptionally stabilizing influence. Banks have an assured access to the Federal Reserve discount window to help them avoid liquidity crises, and their deposits under $100, 000 are Federally insured. To protect these deposits in very large banks that are financially troubled, it is often necessary to merge the troubled bank ers into another healthy institution coming with out whole. all depositors and lend- Because lenders or depositors count on these arrangements, banks are able to acquire even their uninsured funds at a very favorable market rate far below the cost of nominal debt funds. Banks can utilize these funds in internal activities to their advantage in competing with independent organizations that perform the same types of business. This is exactly the case where independent securities firms compete with banks conducting government securities business within the bank. Second, tax and regulatory laws applying to banks are different from those applying to non-bank enterprises. If the nonbanking activities of banks were regulated by a bank supervisory agency, banks might be able to obtain more favorable regulatory treatment for their conduct in a given sector than their competitors obtain from the usual regulator of the particular industry. In addition, the operation of the tax laws as applied to banks over non-banks, again a problem that may give them an advantage is particularly troublesome in the securities field. Entry by banks into non-banking activities could also jeopardize bank soundness, whether the bank enters the field directly or through a subsidiary of the bank in which it its bank capital. In either case, banks themselves Clearly, would be taking commercial risks, not banking risks. it is inappropriate for organizations whose liabilities are insured by the Federal government to be taking commercial risks in competition with enterprises which are less heavily leveraged than an insured bank, and which must raise capital at the commercial paper rate, a spread over LIBOR, or in the long invests term corporate The bond market. Federal deposit insurance vision of bank agencies' risks are protected collect but also by their superactivities restricted by law to those that are not only by the premiums they within the agencies' resources and the need to In short, the price maintain public confidence in the system. of the Federal insurance is a restriction on activities. manageable Quite apart from the issue of government insurance, entities of limited authority because public policy reasons for creating finanIt is because cial institutions whose credit is unquestioned. that bank liabilities are part bank credit is unquestioned of our money supply, and it. is not an exaggeration to say that modern commerce simply could not exist if transacting parties did not have confidence in the capacity of financial intermediaries such as banks to meet their obligations. between bank CD Should we have a system that distinguishes credit is a bank part of M-l, M-2, the whether to as spreads not. course Of ? M or n M banks are supervised there are compelling On the other hand, allowing bank holding companies to service activities provides banking organizations competitive benefits, but does not require or permit the bank itself to assume the increased risks associated expand their financial with non-banking activities. Holding companies are of course legally separate from the banks they own and control, and the capital invested in a holding company's non-banking subsidiaries is not the subsidiary banks' capital. is the capital raised by a holding Rather, company in competition with other borrowers in the credit markets, e. , at a competitive, market determined rate. it i. This in itself helps insulate banks against threats to their safety and soundness. Permitting holding companies to offer a broader range of services can also contribute in a positive way to the financial soundness of its subsidiary banks. Holding companies were originally viewed as sources of strength for their subsidiary banks, and this would certainly be the case if they were engaged in profitable non-banking activities. (Obviously, poor management would make the opposite true. ) During times of strain on subsidiary bank's resources, a soundly financed and profitable holding company could furnish additional equity capital to the bank. But holding companies can hardly be expected to contribute significantly to bank soundness if their range of activities does not extend beyond what is permitted to banks themselves. And, holding companies may acquire substantial tangible assets, e. g. real estate, that can provide holding company management with tax and management opportunities to borrow monies at the holding company level using the assets as security for repayment of the borrowed funds. Holding company debt can be converted into an equity investment that is infused in the down-stream bank, S&L, insurance company, or other financial services activity. Thus, the opportunities to raise new capital to support traditional financial services can be enhanced' The question of adequate equity or investment capital sources to support future streams of cash flows and reported earnings warrants comment. In financial services, an evil to be avoided is unwarranted pyramiding of capital. Because financial intermediaries appropriately are highly-leveraged, there should be independent, allocated pools of equity or risk capital that support each earning stream. If activities are carried out. by a bank subsidiary, and the only capital infused is the bank's capital, an immediate pyramiding and comingling of diverse risks takes place. Consider for example, a bank that is leveraged at 20-1, and the bank's subsidiary engages in an activity, that because of its higher risk, normally has a 2 to debt to equity ratio. Obviously the bank capital has been in cash flow and earnings that could of the bank subsidiary's equity. To the extent that the stock of the downstream subsidiary is counted as an investment asset on the books of the parent bank, this can be a double counting of the enterprise's equity. At the risk of stretching an analogy, just as kiting checks is a practice that overstates one's checking account, permitting bank or S&L equity capital to be used to finance downstream non-S6L activities overstates the availability of non-banking, the equity investment capital to support either those activities exposed to fluctuations result in an impairment or the parent bank. This blunt assessment was recently confirmed by one knowledgeable banker who publicly stated that he opposed our holding company approach, because the cheapest way to engage in non-banking activities was to use the bank's own capital to generate an additional stream of income. That view confirms either restrict the activities the public policy dilemma: or segregate the capital and expand the permitted activities that match each allocated equity capital investment. During the most recent session of Congress, the principle should be allowed to expand into activiforbidden to banks was finally accepted. In otherwise ties the Trading Export Company Act, Congress authorized passing bank holding companies to own export trading companies -- firms that would purchase goods and services in the United States But the Act specifically excluded banks and sell them abroad. from such ownership. This commercial dealing activity, far too risky for banks themselves, was authorized for bank holding companies because these entities are legally separate from their subsidiary banks and because their commercial activities that holding companies would not create risks for their subsidiary While the holding from the company approach banks. can insulate risks associated with non-banking activities, banks it holding companies from misusing their controlling positions in banks. To deal with these concerns, the Administration's proposal includes a series of provisions that regulate banks' transactions with their non-bank holding the restriccompany affiliates, modifying and strengthening tions already imposed. cannot prevent The principle actions between substantially underlying these provisions is that trans- a bank and its affiliates must be made on the same terms and under substantially the same circumstances, including credit standards, as those prevailing at the time of the transaction for comparable transactions by The objective is to the bank with non-affiliated companies. activities capitalcompetitive have functionally equivalent portfolio sources. theory, this market (In equivalent ized by of stock volatility of the beta theory would be a variant reflecting the variability of earnings. ) Specifically, under the proposal, transactions between a bank and its affiliates would fall into one of three categories. The first is "covered transactions, " which include: (i) the purchase of securities or other assets, except those subject to a repurchase agreement, from an affiliate; (ii) the sale of securities or other assets, including assets subject to a repurchase agreement, to an affiliate; (iii) the payment of money or furnishing of services to an affiliate under a contract, a lease, or otherwise; (iv) any transaction in which an affiliate acts as an agent or broker or receives a fee for its services to the member bank or to any other person; and (v) any transaction or series of transactions with a third party if the affiliate has a financial interest in the third party or if the affiliate is a participant in the transaction or series of transactions. The only rule for covered transactions is the general member rule stated earlier: such transactions are permitted only if made on terms substantially the same as those found in comparable transactions with non-affiliates. So long as they comply with this rule, banks and their affiliates may engage in covered transactions without any limitation as to amount. category is "financial assistance transactions, " which include: (i) loans or extensions of credit to affiliates; (ii) purchases of or investments in securities of affiliates; (iii) purchases of assets that are subject to repurchase agreements from affiliates; and (iv) the issuance of acceptances, guarantees, or letters of credit, including endorsements or standby letters of credit to or on behalf of affiliates. The second Our bill subjects financial assistance transactions to rule of arm's length dealing as well as to percentage limitations on their amount. The aggregate amount of financial assistance to any one affiliate may not be greater than 10 percent of the bank's capital and surplus; the aggregate amount of financial assistance to all affiliates may not be greater than 20 percent of the bank's capital and surplus. In addition, financial assistance transactions are also subject to strict collateral requirements. the general The third and final category includes are prohibited outright. For example: transactions that Neither a bank nor any of its subsidiaries may purchase a "low quality asset" from an affiliate except under limited circumstances. A low quality asset is defined as: (i) any asset of an obligor that has an obligation classified as "sub"standard, " "doubtful, " or "loss" in a current federal or state bank examination report; (iii) (ii) any asset in a non-accrual status; any asset on which principal or interest payments are more than 30 days past due; or (iv) any asset whose terms have been renegotiated or compromised due to the obligor's financial condition. Neither a bank nor any of its affiliates may purchase any securities or other assets from any affiliate unless the instrument creating the fiduciary relationship, a court order, or the law of the relevant jurisdiction permits such purchases. a bank nor any of its subsidiaries knowingly purchase or otherwise acquire of any security, a principal underwriter which is an affiliate or subsidiary of the bank, for so long as the underwriting or Neither may selling syndicate exists. Neither a bank nor any may suggest member bank of its affiliates in any advertisement that the will be in any way responsible of its affiliates. These regulatory limitations are an integral part of the Administration's proposal. They ensure that not only will banks be separated legally from the risks associated with the non-banking activities of their holding company affiliates, they will avoid relationships with affiliates that would threaten banks soundness or provide their affiliates with unfair competitive advantages through favorable financing terms or other devices. The Administration's program also deals with the need for regulatory supervision of the activities of non-banking subsidiaries of bank holding companies, while attempting to avoid the danger of excessive supervision. Under the Bank Holding Company Act the Federal Reserve Board has broad discretionary authority to require reports of and to conduct examinations of bank holding company subsidiaries. The Administration proposal limits the Board's authority to require reports. Under the proposal the Board may only require that the subsidiaries submit, not more than quarterly, the same information that securities firms are required to submit to the SEC under section 17 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and that all companies are required to submit to the SEC under section 13 of the 1934 Act. Again, the objective is to ensure equivalent treatment of functionally equivalent activifor the obligations ties. 10 proposal also limits the Federal Reserve Board's to conduct examinations of non-bank subsidiaries. of operations that The Board may only conduct examinations The Board does affect the affairs of any bank subsidiary. have the power to conduct a complete examination of a non-bank subsidiary, but only if it makes a finding that the financial condition of the subsidiary is likely to have a materially adverse effect on the safety and soundness of an affiliated bank or banks. Thus, state insurance commissioners would regulate a bank holding company's insurance activities, the SEC its securities activities, and so on. The authority proposal, purpose of the Administration permit banks--if they choose--to become part of diversified financial services firms so that they will be able By to adapt to and compete in a rapidly evolving markets utilizing the bank holding company framework, the proposal seeks to expand the range of services that banking organizations are associated with, without exposing banks themselves to the then, The underlying is to risks of non-banking activities. By imposing further restrictions on transactions between banks and their holding company affiliates, the proposal seeks to protect banks against. harmful relationships with their affiliates and to prevent them from furnishing financial support to their affiliates that might give these affiliates unfair competitive advantages. The Administration's proposal enhances competitive because any organization performing only activities in a bank holding company may engage, may itself organize holding company and acquire a subsidiary bank or banks, other service firm. As a result, deregulation of bank companies is a two-way other financial into banking. street businesses equality which a or holding with banks able to expand into firms able to expand and competing view the proposed new activities Too many organizations for banks as an intrusion into their business rather than an invitation for them to expand into banking. And, I fear those who object are either ignoring change or giving credence to the old adage that "businessmen love competition, but hate to " compete. The Administration's objective is to maximize the competitive benefits of the financial services industry for all partiWhat we seek to do is to cipants and primarily for consumers. provide a legal framework for the consolidation of financial service entities that seems inevitable in some markets, but will leave others basically unaffected. We seek a framework for a government neutral, pro-competitive, functionally regulated financial services industry -- the proverbial level 11 field: a legal framework that doesn't prohibit profits, that offers options for management to decide their own strategy for long-term profitability, survival, or whatever they and the marketplace decide. playing and of This is the appropriate bank holding company role of activities. government in the deregulation Oepartment of the Treasury ~ Washington, O.C. ~ Telephone S66-2040 October 28, 1982 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE RESULTS OF TREASURY'S 52-WEEK BILL AUCTION for 4 million of 52-week bills to be issued Novemb are The details 1983, were today3, accepted and $ 7, 000 November RANt E OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: Tenders to mature as follows: Investment Price High Low Average— Tenders 91.407 91.263 91.338 at the low Discount Rate (E uivalent Cou Rate on-issue Yield) I/ . 8.499X 8. 641X 8.567X 9 .21X 9.38X 9.29X price were allotted 12X. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Received Location Boston New 54, 585 5, 8l3, 120 52 590 52 590 $11,318, 325 $7, 000, 325 9, 814, 200 $5, 496, 200 27, 900 37, 600 40, 855 98, 660 664, 660 55, 300 10, 705 25, 540 7, 380 876, 430 Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury ~e Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public Federal Reserve Foreign Official Institutions TOTALS 37, &8S 9, 366, 120 York TOTALS ~kcce Ced $ 2 27, 900 34, 600 38, 855 98, 660 194, 660 39, 300 10, 705 23, 540 7, 380 621, 430 234 125 $10, 048, 325 1, 000, 000 $5, 730, 325 1, 000, 000 270, 000 270 000 $11,318,325 $7, 000, 325 This requires an 1/ The average annual investment yield is 9 51X All-Savers Certificates of 6. 66X. on investment annual yield R-1007 ipart'Inent o~ the Treasury FOR IMMEDIATE ~ O.C. ~ Telephone $66-2041 Washlnion, RELEASE 1, 1982 November RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $ 5, 618 million 26-week bills, both to be issued OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: RANGE Low Average Tenders Tenders 13-week bills February 3, 1983 Discount Investment Price Rate Rate 1/ at the at the low low 7. 730% 7.833% 7.813% bills 26-week maturin 98. 046 98. 020 98. 025 High of 13-week bills and for $5, 602 million of on November 4, 1982, were accepted today. maturin Price 7. 99% 95 ' 865 95. 829 95. 839 8. 10% 8.08% May 5, 1983 Discount Rate Investment Rate 1/ 8. 179% 8. 250% 8. 231% 2/ price for the 13-week bills were allotted price for the 26-week bills were allotted 8. 65% 8. 73% 8. 71% 56%. 46%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TOTALS ~e Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public Federal Reserve Foreign Official Institutions TOTALS Received 105 $55, 11,264, 535 35, 885 80, 115 43, 455 64, 840 1, 174, 410 36, 610 16, 105 58, 570 30, 080 889, 570 249, 910 $13, 999, 190 ted: $55, 105: ~dcce 4, 419, 515 35, 885 59, 115 43, 455 64, 840 384, 040 25, 610 14, 105 58, 570 25, 080 182, 560 249, 910 $5, 617, 790 : : : : : : Received 900 10, 394, 460 66, 920 68, 695 36, 185 45, 850 1, 043, 555 37, 000 18, 345 $67, : : : : : : 43, 445 21, 975 896, 180 323, 110 $13, 063, 620 $ ted 47, 900 4, 515, 860 16, 420 40, 695 36, 160 37, 080 199, 555 22, 000 14, 265 39, 445 16, 975 292, 040 323, 110 $5, 601, 505 $10, 935, 300 840, 520 $11, 775, 820 870, 000 $3, 473, 185 $12, 947, 130 874, 260 $3, 495, 100 1,070, 630 $4, 565, 730 874, 260 177, 800 $13, 999, 190 177, 800 $5, 617, 790 417, 800 $13, 063, 620 417, 800 $5, 601, 505 $11,876, 500 1, 070, 630 1/ Equivalent coupon-issue yield. the maximum 2/ The four-week average for calculating 8. 049%. on money market certificates is R-1008 ~dcce 840, 520 $4, 313, 705 870, 000 interest rate payable epartment of the Treasury ~ washington, For Immediate November 1, Release 1982 D'ARCY-MACMANUS I.C. ~ Telephone Robert E. Nipp Contact: 566-2133 SELECTED TO DEVELOP MARKETING FOR OLYMPIC COINS PLAN M. (Bay) Buchanan, Treasurer of the United States, and Pope, Director of the Mint, today announced the selection of D'Arcy-MacManus & Masius, Inc. , an advertising agency in New York City, to develop a comprehensive marketing strategy for the domestic sale of 1983 and 1984 Olympic Commemorative Coins. Angela Donna The Olympic Coin Marketing Program will be developed by D'Arcy in conjunction with its subsidiary, Poppe-Tyson, Inc. D'Arcy 6 MacManus a Masius, Inc. , the eleventh largest advertising agency in the world, has 55 offices in 26 countries and is privately held. The agency registered 1981 worldwide billings in excess of one billion dollars. The Olympic Coin Marketing Advertising considered keting of the coins. Means by which maximum Plan will address: most effective for successful public awareness the coins can best be achieved. and mar- acceptance of Assessment of the types of distribution networks that will be cost effective in selling the coins to the public. of packaging acceptance, be durable The types that will maximize public easy to use, at the minimum and possible cost. Under the terms of the Treasury contract, D'Arcy is required to present a plan within 90 days for domestic sale of Olympic Minting of up to 50 million silver Coins, according to Buchanan. and 2 million gold coins (the first gold coins to be minted in under the Olympic Commemorative Coin some 50 years), is authorized Act (P L. 97-220), signed into law on July 22, 1982. R-1009 %66-2041 Sale of the coins is designed to provide needed revenue for the United States Olympic Committee (USOC) and the Los Angeles Olympic Organizing Committee (LAOOC). The USOC is responsible for training Olympic athletes and Los Angeles is the site of the 1984 summer games. The Olympic Commemorative Coin Bill provides that a surcharge of not less than $10 per silver coin and $50 per gold coin be divided evenly between the USOC and the LAOOC. Orders for the coins are being accepted. The 1983 silver coin will be struck early next year, and the 1984 silver and gold coins will be minted in early 1984. Buyers have the option of purchasing all three coins, the two silver coins, or the 1983 silver coin only. Prices are 9352 for the three coin set, $48 for the two silver coins, and $24. 95 for the 1983 silver coin. The Mint expects to accept orders at these prices until December 15, 1982. However, in the event that a significant increase in bullion prices should occur, the Mint reserves the right to discontinue order acceptance after December 15. Once orders are accepted, however, they will not be cancelled due to changes in bullion Order offices. be sent forms Orders, to: prices. from all Bureau of the Mint accompanying check or money order, should are available with San Bureau of the Mint 55 Mint Street Francisco, California 94175 of ihe Treasury Department For Immediate November 1, ~ washington, Release Contact: 1982 TREASURY INFORMS ON TRANSITIONAL D.C. ~ Telephone S66-2041 TAXPAYERS SECTION Charles Powers 566-2041 OF POSITION 338 ELECTIONS The Treasury Department today announced that it anticipates that the election allowed under section 224(d) (2) of the Tax Equity and Fiscal R'esponsibility Act of 1982 ("TEFRA"), to apply section 338 of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 (the "Code" ) to certain acquisitions occurring before September 1, 1982, will be governed by section 306(a)(4) of the Technical Corrections Act of 1982 (H. R. 6056), as passed by the Senate on September 30, 1982 (or similar rules) . The Treasury alerted taxpayers that it would therefore be advisable to make such elections on the assumption that section 306(a)(4) (or similar rules) will apply. Section 224(d)(2) of TEFRA allows a corporation which a controlling interest in the stock of a second corporation after August 31, 1980 and before September 1, 1982 to elect to apply the provisions of new section 3 38 of the Code (added by section 224(a) of TEFRA), provided the purchased corporation was not liquidated before September 1, 1982 and the purchasing corporation makes the election not later than November 15, 1982. However, section 306(a)(4) of H. RE 6056, the Technical Corrections Act of 1982, passed by the Senate on September 30, 1982, would clarify the rules applicable to those elections. Under section 306( a)(4), the purchased corporation is treated as having sold all of its assets in a single transaction to which section 337 applies at the close of the date the election is made, and is treated as a new corporation which purchased those assets as of the beginning of the following day. As a result, the taxable year of the purchased corporation closes and its tax attributes terminate as of the close of the election date, and from the deemed asset sale is any tax liability resulting reported on the final return of the purchased corporation for the year ending on that date. Further, any tax resulting from the election will not be included in any consolidated tax return filed by the seller of the purchased corporation, and could be included in a consolidated tax return filed by the purchasing To account for distributions corporation. by, and operations of, the purchased corporation between the actual purchase date and the date of the election, section 306(a)(4) requires adjustments analogous to those under section 334( b)(2) of the Code, as in effect prior to TEFRA, to be made. Additionally, section 306(a)(4) provides that the rules of section 338 of the Code requiring consistency of treatment where several acquisitions are made from the same affiliated group will not apply to elections purchased made under section 224(d)(2) of TEFRA. The Treasury Department believes that it is the intention of the Congress that section 306(a)(4) (or similar rules), as described above, apply to elections made under section 224(d)(2) of TEFRA. The Treasury Department anticipates that a technical amendment clarifying that intention will soon be enacted. The Treasury Department also pointed out that a News Release issued today by the Internal Revenue Service providing guidance to taxpayers regarding the manner of making the transitional rule election allowed by section 224(d)(2) of TEFRA was ~ Oepartment of the Treasury FOR RELEASE AT ~ Washlnton, 4:00 P. M. D.C. ~ Telephone %66-2041 November 2, 1982 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING of the Treasury, by this public notice, two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $11, 200 million, to be issued November 12, 1982. This offering will provide $925 million of new cash for the Treasury, as the maturing bills are outstanding in the amount of $10, 264 million, including $1, 049 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities and $2. 142 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks for their own account. The two series offered are as follows: The Department invites tenders for 90 -day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $5, 600 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated August 12, 1982, and to mature February 10, 1983 (CUSIP No. 912794 CJ 1 ), currently outstanding in the amount of $5, 528 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 181-day bills for approximately 12, 1982, and to mature 9l2794 CU 6)- November No. $5, 600 million, to May 12, 1983 be dated (CUSIP Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange Tenders from for Treasury bills maturing November 12, 1982 Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the Addiweighted average prices of accepted competitive tenders. tional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. bills will be issued on a discount basis under competinoncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount Both series of bills will be will be payable without interest. issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,000 and in any higher $5, 000 multiple, on the records either of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasur y. tive The and Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C 20 226, up to 1:30 p .m . , Eas tern Standard time, Monday, November 8, 1982. Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . ~ Each tender must be for a minimum of $10, 000 . Tenders over $10, 000 must be in multiples of $5, 000 . In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with three decimals, e .g . , 97 .920 . Fractions may not be used Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities if the names of the may submit tenders for account of customers, Others customers and the amount for each customer are furnished are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills . . being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million . This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p .m . Eastern time on the day of the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering, e g . , bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six-month bills . Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 millions . Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual . issue price as determined No in the auction deposit need accompany tenders . from incorporated banks trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches . A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company and accompanies the tenders . Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500, 000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch funds on November 12, j982, in cash or other immediately-available Cash adjustments or in Treasury bills maturing November 12, j 982. will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Section 454(b) of the Internal Revenue Code, the of discount at which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed, or otherwise disposed of. Section 1232(a)(4) provides that any gain on the sale or redemption of these bills that does not exceed the ratable share of the acquisition discount must be included in the Federal income tax return of the owner as ordinary income. The acquisition discount is the excess of the stated redemption price over the taxpayer's basis (cost) for the bill. The ratable share of this discount Under amount is determined by multiplying such discount by a fraction, the numerator of which is the number of days the taxpayer held the bill and the denominator of which is the number of days from the day following the taxpayer's date of purchase to the maturity of If the gain on the sale of a bill exceeds the taxpayer 's the bill. ratable portion of the acquisition discount, the excess gain is treated as short-term capital gain. of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series 27-76, and this notice, prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars and tender forms may be obtained from Department Nos. 26-76 and any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. lepartment of ihe 'treasury ~ Washington, D.C. ~ Telephone S66-2041 For Release Upon Delivery Expecte at 12:00 Noon November 4, 1982 REMARKS BY BERYL W. SPRINKEL SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY FOR MONETARY AFFAIRS BEFORE THE TRINITY UNIVERSITY CONFERENCE ON FINANCIAL MARKETS TEXAS SAN ANTONIO, UNDER Thursday, It is a pleasure views and concerns of my feelings November 4, 1982 to be with you here today to hear others' issue of deregulation and to express on the on the subject. some from As you know, a major goal of the Reagan Administration, outset, has been to deregulate the financial services industry. effort has certainly not proceeded at the While the deregulation our briefcases in had when we first unpacked rate that we hoped the Nation's capital, we have achieved some important changes and the have every Congress. reason to believe that more will be enacted by the next While the slow pace at which the political process grinds out it is, on balance, probably change is frequently frustrating, appropriate. An issue such as financial deregulation is, after all, a highly complex one in which many diverse groups have an interest. potentially, deregulation has fundamental implications for virtually every aspect of the financial services industry, from the pricing of services to the geographical distribution of firms. In addition, financial deregulation has far-reaching implications for the consumer services, particularly the small saver. With the interests of so many groups and the future path of several industries at stake, it is only prudent and reasonable that all the various viewpoints and concerns get their "day in court. " Certainly nothing would be worse than a wholesale slashing of regulations without a proper airing of the effects now, and into the future, on the markets for financial services. We at least got our feet wet with The Depository Institutions Act of 1982 which was, of course, designed primarily to address the of financial The Act allows thrifts pressing problems in the thrift industry. to engage in commercial, consumer, and agricultural loans, and authorizes the provision of government-backed promissory notes to In addition, it help maintain the net worth position of thrifts. repeals the quarter-point interest rate differential on savings accounts for thrifts. R-1012 Probably the most important provision of the new law -- from the standpoint of the consumer and the financial services industry as a whole -- is the authorization for banks and thrifts to issue a new money-market-fund-type account. The detailed specifications of the account are to be determined by the DIDC so that the account can be made available to the public by December 15. Since the DIDC is aware that depository institutions need some lead time to "gearup" for the new deposit, it is likely that their decisions will be forthcoming even sooner. It has become commonplace to declare that we are experiencing There is no in the financial services industry. question that we have seen major changes in the U. S. financial system in the past decade and most analysts foresee that trend continuing in some form into the future. a revolution To what can we attribute the pace of financial innovation in point to the obvious advances in computer allowed the provision of services -- such as recent years? Many technology that have point-of-sale terminals, automatic machines, and sweep accounts that were unimaginable a decade ago. Technological developments have -- and will no doubt continue to -- facilitate much financial innovation. In addition, government regulation itself has created the incentive for much financial innovation. Money market mutual funds are probably the best example of financial innovation in response to government regulation. Setting government the moment, however, and computer chips aside for fundamental level, it is economic bureaucrats on a more conditions that have created the greatest incentives to financial innovation. Financial innovation has occurred where the demand for a new product has existed and it has become cost-effective for the industry to provide it. Technological advances have provided the nuts and bolts. Regulation, has in some cases, forced the industry to be particularly clever in circumventing the regulation and, in other cases, created situations of inequity and competitive for some types of institutions. disadvantages But the real incentives for firms to market new financial services and for the public to buy them have been caused by the prevailing economic conditions over the past decade and a half. The five-year average of the inflation rate (measured by the 1.2% for the 1960-64 Period, to 3. 4% (1965-69), (1970-74), to 8. 1% for the five years ending in 1979. CPI) has risen from to 6. 1% interest rates, while going through their characteristic have gradually been ratcheted-upwards over the past two decades. Every time interest rates were driven upward, they rose to new highs; with every cyclical downturn, they failed to fall as far as during the previous decline. Thus after longterm rates hovered between 4% to 6% through most of the 1960's, subsequent downturns in interest rates allowed the Corporate Aaa rate to "fall" to 7%, 7. 9%, 8. 6% and 9. 2% in the 1970's, and 10-1/2% Meanwhile cyclical ups and downs, 12.9%. On the upside, interest rates less resistance to change. The Corporate Aaa rate rose successively to peaks of little more than 6% in the late 1960's to 8-1/2%, then 9.3% and 13% in the 1970's, and finally to 15-1/2% in 1981. With such dramatic changes in inflation and interest rates, did we really expect the public's demand for financial services and investment opportunities to remain the same? The experience of accelerating inflation and rising interest rates has had a profound effect on the saving and investment behavior of the public; it has also altered the profit-making opportunities of financial institutions. in 1980 and most recently have shown Again, much money-market funds provides us with the most dramatic Interest rate ceilings for banks and thrift institutions existed many years before that regulatory barrier took on new meaning as inflation eroded the purchasing power of the public's savings while regulation prohibited the small saver from earning a market rate. The economic conditions of the time -- inflation and rising market interest rates -- simultaneously created the demand for such an account and made it cost-effective for the illustration. brokerage firms to provide it. interest rates are also, of course, at the industry's problems. While the provisions of the law just enacted will aid thrifts in coping with their current, acute problems, the best solution to their difficulties is -- and always has been -- to get inflation under control and reduce interest Inflation and root of the thrift high rates. economic goal of the Reagan Administration is to In our view, inflation is the reduce the rate of inflation. fundamental, underlying cause of the increasingly poor economic performance of the past decade and a half. Inflation erodes incentives to save and invest and, in combination with a progressive tax system, discourages work and production; it impedes productivity and reduces our ability to compete in international markets. The primary We are therefore committed to policies that will restore price stability because we believe that price stability is a prerequisite to restoring sustainable economic growth. The short-term economic fixes -- such as various spending and subsidy programs -- that have been used in the past to patch up our economic problems provide (at best) short-term, cosmetic relief to the unemployed or to a targeted ailing industry or sector. While well-intentioned, short-term fixes do not address our permanent, long-run problems of accelerating inflation and a stagnating economy. In fact by increasing government spending and adding to the deficit, short-term fixes actually contribute to the problem and, in the long run, help impede sustainable economic growth. president Reagan first took office, we consistently supported thereafter, a gradual When have recommended, deceleration and of money this is absolutely essential to bringing inflation under control and providing for lower interest rates in the long run. That view is completely consistent with the Federal Reserve's stated policy and money growth target ranges. Nothing that has happened in the last year and a half has altered our faith in that basic policy. The slowing of money growth growth. In our view, has been more abrupt than we had desired or planned on, and money The economy has paid (and continues growth remains too volatile. to pay) a price for those aspects of monetary policy. The sharp slowdown in money growth has exacerbated the length and severity of of money growth has added to skepticism The volatility the recession. that noninflationary monetary policy will be adhered to over the long run; that uncertainty has slowed the downward adjustment of interest rates to declining inflation rates. Those problems aside, however, the Federal Reserve has achieved an important deceleration of money growth in the past year and a half, and the resulting decline in inflation and the recent drop in interest rates is evidence of the appropriateness of our basic Obviously other factors can affect inflation and monetary policy. Important among in the short run. particularly interest rates, deficits, deficit. budget Large the size of budget these is the and concern that they will continue into the future, add to uncertainty in the financial markets and reduce the credibility of Budget deficits our commitment to long-run control of inflation. transfer resources to the government sector and absorb credit that otherwise would be available for private investment and expansion. Deficits are an unmitigated evil, and the Administration and the Congress must persevere in their efforts to bring government spending under control and reduce the This Administration deficit. has also placed a high priority on reducing believe that excessive regulation anti-competitive. As such, efforts to weed out unnecessary and inefficient regulation cannot only help reduce the size of the Government; but also reduce business costs competition. and enhance domestic and international government regulation because and can be counter-productive we Prudent, noninflationary monetary policy, tax changes aimed at restoring incentives to save and invest, reducing the rate of growth of government spending, and regulatory reform are all parts of a total package designed to return us to price stability, which we view as a precondition for healthy, sustained economic growth. An environment of price stability and lower interest rates -- rather than accelerating inflation and secularly rising interest rates-will have important implications for the financial services industry. As Chairman Volcker likes to point out, we now have a whole generation of people in this country who have never known anything but inflation during their working lives. Reversing the inflationary trend will have as profound effect on working, saving and investment behavior as did the accelerating inflation and interest rates of the 1970's. Just as financial innovation has responded in the past to current economic conditions, it will do so in the future. Rising inflation and interest rates breed innovation and efforts to circumvent regulation, but I am not so sure that disinflation and secularly falling interest rates will. I submit that a changing financial environment may -- as it has been in the past -- prove to be a more important determinant of the direction of change in the financial services industry than the latest computer gadgetry. Rising inflation and interest rates provide a powerful incentive for hybrid accounts such as money market funds and sweep accounts. If the Federal Reserve succeeds in achieving noninflationary monetary policy, the driving force of that incentive will be considerably weaker. is that as important as technology and regulations My point are, prevailing economic conditions have powerful and pervasive effects on the demand for, and incentives to provide, new financial services. In addition, economic conditions can transform the effect as well as the removal or and importance of an existing regulation, relaxation of regulation. Certainly many times in our financial history we have seen the role and impact of a given regulation changed dramatically Similarly, by changing economic conditions. the effect of deregulation can be altered by changing economic events. account for banks and thrifts The new money-market-fund-type The decline in interest rates that again provides a good example. has occurred in the past few months has already changed the situation considerably, compared to when the new account was first proposed. If the gap between market interest rates and rates on more conventional accounts is, say, 9%, a market-rate account is extremely attractive; but when that rate narrows to, say, 4%, the incentive to shift In addition, interest rates, as well as loan funds is much weaker. profit-incentive of depository institutions to demand, affect the new accounts and services. market develop and remains committed to a broad deregulation This Administration In our view, many of the existing of the financial industry. prohibitions and regulations impede competition and cause numerous inefficiencies and inequities between types of institutions. Our ultimate goal is to remove the government restrictions on products and pricing that now exist, so that financial institutions can markets as adapt and compete in changing domestic and international they deem appropriate and profitable. Since the Government does, with public funds, insure deposits, course, necessary to impose prudent standards of risk, or, alternatively, procedures that isolate risky operations from portion of an institution's operations. the government-insured we seek a government-neutral, Between types of institutions "level playing field" in which no type of institution noncompetitive, is disadvantaged by -- or protected from competition by -- government it is, of regulation. -- and will continue to focus on four goals: (1) assisting and restructuring the thrift. industry, (2) reforming the archaic and artificial separation of commercial banking and investment banking, (3) liberalizing the and (4) affecting geographic restrictions on banking organizations, a consolidation of the Federal financial institution regulatory Our financial deregulation program has agencies. the law that has recently been enacted is Administration proposed and supported legislation that would also authorize bank holding company subsidiaries to underwrite revenue bonds, to sponsor and deal in mutual funds, and provide for much broader real estate and insurance activities. We supported the view that these activities should be housed in a holding company subsidiary to insulate them from the government-insured deposit activities of the bank and to provide greater equity between banks and competing, nonbank firms. We, of course, did not obtain legislative approval for these other powers, but the Administration will continue to support their enactment when Congress reconsiders them in its next session. In this context, only one small step. The The hodge-podge of regulations imposed on financial institutions did not develop overnight; it has been a gradual evolution in response to economic and institutional changes. I suspect that the deregulation process will also proceed gradually, more of an evolution than a revolutions But an important objective of this Administration is to move the financial industry along the path of deregulation. that can be accomplished is, of course, a complicated question. Deregulation, like all other government policies, cannot occur in a vacuum. The transition from a highly-regulated industry must be made with care and with proper awareness of the impact of prevailing economic conditions. The major goal of this Administration is to return economic and price stability to the U. S. economy and a. more stable and predictable economic environment will enhance and facilitate the deregulation process. How political rapidly and economic o0o eparimeni of the Treasury ~ Washington, FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE D.C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 November RESULTS OF AUCTION 3, l982 OF 3-YEAR NOTES The Department of the Treasury has accepted $6, 001 million of $12, 821 million of tenders received from the public for the 3-year notes, Series P-1985, auctioned today. The notes will be issued November 15, 1982, and mature November 15, 1985 ' The interest coupon rate on the notes will be 9-3/4%. The range of accepted competitive bids, and the corresponding prices at the 9-3/4% coupon rate are as follows: Bids Pr ices Lowest yield 9.70% 1/ 100. 128 Highest yield 99. 619 9.90% Average yield 9.86% 99.720 Tenders at the high yield were allotted 61%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED Received Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury Totals The $6, 001 million million of noncompetitive tenders from the public. $ 90, 678 10, 330, 550 66, 700 159, 475 135, 700 67, 290 1, 014, 125 142, 328 38, 815 77, 930 20, 540 673, 035 3 455 $12, 820, 621 (In Thousands) ted ~Acce 655 $60, 4, 750, 000 49, 750 113,195 86, 115 61, 890 363, 870 92, 325 38, 815 77, 235 19, 540 284, 015 455 $6, 000, 860 3 of accepted tenders includes $1, 294 tenders and $4, 707 million of competitive In addition to the $6, 001 million of tenders accepted in the auction process, $330 million of tenders was awarded at the average price to Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international An additional $600 million of tenders was also monetary authorities. at the average price from Government accounts and Federal accepted Reserve Banks for their own account in exchange for maturing securities' 1/ Excepting 1 tender of $70, 000. of ihe Treasury Department ~ Washington, Contact: FOR I59CEDIATE RELEASE Wednesday, 3, 1982 November SOCIAL SECURITY INTERFUND TO TOTAL ABOUT O.C. ~ Telephone 566-204$ Marlin Pitzwater (202) 566-5252 BORROWING NOVEMBER $1 BILLION IN Donald T. Regan, Secretary of the Tz'easury and Managing Trustee of the Social Security Trust Funds, today announced that the Old Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund (OASI) will borrow approximately $1 billion from the Disability Insurance Trust Fund (DI) on Friday, November 5, 1982 in order to meet November Social Security payments. Social Security payments are made on the third of each Trust Funds are sufficient to cover payments made by electronic funds transfer on November 3. The borrowing will take place on November 5 to cover checks mailed to recipients. The precise amount of the borrowing will be determined by close of business on Friday, November 5 after receipt figures for the day are calculated. month. The " Secretary Regan said, "we are borrowing to insure that all of our citizens get their November and the Congress consider While the Administration payments. solutions to insuring the solvency of the Social Security trust funds, I want to assure everyone that our Social Security obligations will be met. " "As authorized Trust Fund as of November 2 was The payments dated November 3 are There will be additional receipts which will reduce- the amount to be borrowed to The balance approximately approximately through Friday approximately by Congress, in the OASI $10.3 billion. $12.2 billion. $1 billion. interest rate of 10 5/8 percent will be paid on the funds The Social Security Act prescribes the borrowed in November. formula for determining ihterest rates on all Social Security investments. The December 1981 amendments authorizing interfund borrowing dictate the borrowing rates to be the same as the An current investment rate. Approximately 31 million each month from OASI. R-1014 Social Security payments are made will be able to borrow from the Disability and Hospital cover OASI needs through June 30, 1983, as authorized by to law, " Secretary Regan said, "without. endangering the solvency of these funds. However, this is "a serious situation that must be addressed as soon as possible. "We Funds The Board of Trustees of the Social Security System, in their annual report of April, 1982 estimated that $7 to Oil billion would have to be borrowed through June 30, 1983. Secretary Regan said the QASI would have to borrow again in December to cover payments for that month, and for the ensuing six months. Congress recognized the probability of underfunding in the Social Security Trust funds in Public Law. 97-123, signed December 29, 1981, which authorized interfund borrowing to cover needs through June 30, 1983. The borrowing must be carried out by December 31, 1982. lpart~ent of the Treasury FOR INNEDIATE ~ Washington, Il.c. ~ Telephone %66-2041 RELEASE November RESULTS OF AUCTION 4, 1982 OF 10-YEAR NOTES The Department of the Treasury has accepted $4, 005 million of $7, 998 million of tenders received from the public for the 10-year notes, Series C-1992, auctioned today. The notes will be issued November 15, 1982, and mature November 15, 1992. interest rate on the notes will be 10-1/2%. The range bids, and the corresponding prices at the 10-1/2% interest rate are as follows: The of accepted competitive Bids Lowest yield yield Average yield Highest Tenders at the high 10.46% 1/ 10.53% 10.50% yield were allotted TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Ninneapolis Kansas City Dallas Francisco Treasury San Totals The million tenders Received 623 6, 584, 593 $19, 12, 235 38, 449 47, 093 36, 481 714, 350 81, 113 29, 349 22, 820 14, 333 396, 898 706 $7, 998, 043 Prices 100.244 99. 817 100. 000 43%. (In Thousands) Accepted 14, 623 $ 3, 515, 138 12, 235 30, 949 31/313 31, 911 191,770 61, 543 29, 349 21, 820 9, 333 54, 778 706 $4, 005, 468 $4, 005 million of accepted tenders includes $920 of noncompetitive tenders and $3, 085 million of competitive from the public. In addition to the $4, 005 million of tenders accepted in the auction process, $65 million of tenders was awarded at the average price to Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international An additional monetary authorities. $250 million of tenders was also accepted at the average price from Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account in exchange for maturing securities. 1/ Excepting 1 tender of $1, 000, 000. R-1015 apartment 4& the Treasury FOR IiQCEDIATE Friday, RELEASE November ~ 5, 1982 D.C. 0 Telephone 566-2C Washington, CONTACT: SOCIAL SECURITY INTERFUND Marlin Fitzwater 202/566-5252 BORROWING 5, 1982 Federal Old-Age and Survivors Trust Fund borrowed 8581, 252, 899. 48 from Insurance Federal Disability Insurance Trust Fund. This is the first of three anticipated borrowings among the Social Security Trust Funds authorized by Public Law 97-123 of December 29, 1981. On November R-1016 DEPOSITORY'INSTITUTIONS COMPTROLLER OF THE CURRENCY FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD FOR II"It"IEDIAZE DEREGULATION COMMITTEE PRESS RELEASE FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE CORPORATION NATIONAL CREDIT UNION ADMIX". STRATION RE~~E Nov. SPECIAL DIDC MEETING The Depository at market deposit account. Cash Room Avenue NW. of the 8 ~ttee will hold a special a.m. to dete~e the features of The meeting main Treasury will be building 5, 1982 DEPOSIT ACCOUNT CN NEW Insti. tutions Deregulation meeting on Nov. 15th FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK BOARD TREASURY DEPARTMENT o~. It at 15th Street t'ne new mon y will be in the and Pennsylvania feder CI.1 fina. nCinCI bank WASHINGTON, FOR IMMEDIATE D.C. 20220 RELEASE November FEDERAL FINANCING Bank month BANK 5, 1982 ACTIVITY Francis X. Cavanaugh, Secretary, Federal Financing (FFB), announced the following activity for the of August 1982. of obligations issued, sold, or guarother Federal agencies on August 31, 1982 totaled $122. 6 billion, an increase of $1.4 billion over the July 30 level. FFB increased holdings of agency debt issues by $0. 02 billion, holdings of agency guaranteed debt by $0. 7 billion and holdings of agency assets purchased by $0 ' 6 billions A total of 205 disFFB holdings anteed by bursements Attached to this release are tables presenting FFB commitments to lend activity and new during August and a table of August 31, 1982. FFB loan the month. were made during summarizing ¹ R-1017 0 ¹ FFB holdings as PEDERAL FINANCING Page 2 BANK of 7 AIIXST 1982 ACTIVITy AKX3NT OF ADVANCE (sanannual) Note 4257 8/13 Central Li idi 8/6 8/17 8/20 8/23 8/25 'Note %104 Note 4105 HOME 4, 700, 000.00 2, 550, 000.00 3,000, 000.00 7,000, 000.00 10,000, 000.00 9/7/82 11/15/82 11/18/82 11/22/82 11/22/82 10.279% 8/24/97 8/24/92 8/24/02 12.555% 12.595% 12.515% 9/1/09 7/15/11 13.469% 13.540% 13.520% 9.055% 7.864% 7.397% 7.962% 405, 000, 000.00 200, 000, 000.00 95,000, 000.00 —GUARANI%ED URNS DEPARIMENT OF DEFENSE Israel 8 Egypt 2 Israel 13 Philippines Sanalia 1 Spain 5 7 11 Israel 8 Israel 13 Sudan 4 Jamaica 2 Malaysia 5 Morocco 9 Israel 8 Daninican Republic 5 Ecuador 5 3 Camerocn Israel 8 Israel 13 Cameroon 4 Jordan 6 Korea 15 Panana 10.167% Ownershi 8/24 8/24 8/24 Turkey 9/24/82 ADMINISTRATION Certificates of Beneficial GOVERNMEWZ 15,000, 000.00 Facili Note 4101 Note %102 Note 4103 FARMER'S 6 4 Israel 13 Egypt 2 Turkey 11 Israel 13 Egypt 2 Israel 13 Jordan 6 Liberia 6 Saralia 1 Peru 5 Morocco 9 Honduras 5 Philippines Jordan 6 Jordan 7 Morocco 9 Israel 8 Israel 13 (other than semimnnua1) 7 — FOREIGN MILITARy SALES 8/3 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/5 8/5 8/5 8/6 8/6 8/9 8/9 8/10 8/10 8/ll 8/12 8/12 8/13 8/13 8/13 8/13 8/16 8/16 8/16 8/17 8/19 8/19 8/19 8/19 8/19 8/20 8/20 8/20 8/20 8/25 8/25 8/25 8/25 8/25 3,000, 000.00 2, 039,834.56 7, 760, 943.18 208, 419.46 3, 091,558.00 2, 528, 310.00 67, 816.68 1,292, 344.92 10,179,326.97 180,301.78 145,080.92 1,960, 599.28 1,854, 310.00 40, 000, 000.00 16,767.27 . 62, 500 00 51,433.76 . 2, 000, 000 00 6, 795,282. 20 4, 250, 150.00 1,266, 391.98 878, 238.60 937,926.60 39,716,000.00 149,912,449.57 . 285, 224 36 20, 910,558.12 562, 014.19 6, 230, 071.98 3,051,708.00 9, 954'. 04 254, 338.32 56, 207.90 1 ~ 206i029 00 21, 692.37 194,772.39 208, 192.86 1,375, 607.14 1,939,071.00 1,187,939.74 5, 428, 861.17 2/16/12 9/10/87 9/1/92 6/15/91 12/22/10 9/1/09 2/16/12 2/10/12 12/20/93 2/20/86 3/31/94 9/1/09 4/30/89 5/25/88 9/22/86 9/1/09 2/16/12 3/14/87 9/21/92 12/31/93 5/25/89 2/16/82 7/15/ll 12/22/10 2/16/12 7/15/ll 2/16/12 9/21/92 3/21/86 9/1/92 3/15/86 3/31/94 4/25/90 9/10/87 9/21/92 3/16/90 3/31/94 9/1/09 2/16/12 . 13 324% 13 ' 632% 13.546% 13.534% 13.613% 13.568% 13.568% 13.834% 13.193% 13.969% 13.775% 13.669% 13.607% 13' 365% 13.618% 13.565% 13.185% 13.593'% 13.640% 13.531% 13.207% 13.214% 13.221% 13.049% 12.528% 13.521% 12.575% 11.857% 12.659% 11.691% 12.574% 12.392% 12.040% 12.385% 12.259% 12.458% 12.402% 12.372% 12.949% ann. 12.992% ann. 12.907% ann. EEDERAL FINANCING NSUST 1982 Page 3 BANK of 7 ACTIVITIES AMXNT OF AIKANCE BORROW)ER Seal — FOREIGN MILr)mtY OE DEFENSE DEPmaWENT 8/27 8/27 8/27 8/27 8/27 8/27 8/27 8/27 8/27 8/30 8/30 8/30 Egypt 2 Indonesia Jordan 7 Kenya 9 8 Liberia 9 Philippines 7 Spain 5 Sudan 4 Turkey 9 Turkey 11 Honduras 8 Egypt 3 Turkey ll Colanbia 5 annual) Sum (Cont'd) 610,966.09 7/15/ll 4, 065, 690.00 346, 915.00 5, 000, 000.00 93,786.33 5/5/91 3/16/90 3/15/93 7/21/94 9/lo/87 6/15/91 8 7,521,268.00 335,034.40 129,826.02 22, 177,274. 75 444, 261.00 814,326.71 1,400, 000.00 425, 705.00 8/31 8/31 19,668.00 2/1O/12 6/22/92 12/22/10 4/25/94 6/15/12 12/22/10 12/1S/88 o r n semi-annual) 12.540% 12.499% 12.355% 12.544% 12.671% 12.035% 12.451% 12.528% 12.583% 12.771% 12.898% 12.754% 12.785% 12.623% DEPJQEIWEÃZ OF ENERGY S thetic Fuels Guarantees —Non-Nuclear Great Plains Gasification Assoc. 8/2 8/9 423 424 425 426a 426b 427a 427b 8/23 8/23 8/30 8/30 23, 000, 000.00 19,000, 000.00 58,000, 000.00 14,000, 000.00 10/1/82 4/1/83 1/3/83 1/1/02 7/1/02 1/1/02 7/1/02 11.808% 11.625% 13.340% 13.338% 13.376% 12.765% 13 ' 372% nt Block Grant Guarantees Ccxaamit Devel Tucson, Paterson Hialeah, Boston, Arizona Muncipal Util. Auth. Florida Massachusetts County, Pennsylvania Louisville, Kentucky Sacranento, California 43 Gary, Indiana 8/26 8/26 8/26 8/26 8/30 lawrence, Hialeah, Florich Washington 2OO, O0O. OO 1,500, 000.00 45, 000.00 8/1/87 8/1/88 12/1/83 9/1/82 8/15/87 9/15/82 1/1/83 12/1/83 9/15/82 11/30/82 2/15/84 9/1/82 13.728% 13.738% 13.025% 10.557% 13.141% 9.689% 9.025% 11.055% 7.751% 7.751% 13.573% ann. 11.361'8 ann. 11.3258 8.198% 11.646% am. various 13.453% 13.905% 14.199% ann. 14.210% ann. 13.449% ann. Notes Sale 424 NATI(XRL AEKNAVZICS Space Ccamunications 8/13 15,390,982.81 ann. AND SPACE ADMINISTRATION Ccaapany United Power 467 United Power 46 «Arkansas Electric 497 «Arkansas Electric 4142 «Alabana Electric 426 *San Miguel Electric 4110 Central Electric 4131 Saluda River Electric 4186 Tennessee Telephone 480 South Mississippi Electric United Power 467 United Power f129 extension 48, 270.00 500, 000.00 504, 000.00 140,099.27 70, 000.00 59, 460.30 74, 276.13 8/1O 8/16 8/16 8/20 Public Hous' 6, 869, 848.00 2, 000,000.00 8/2 8/2 8/9 York County, Pennsylvania )%ass. 42 New )aashington «maturity 8, 500, 000.00 16,000, 000.00 5, 000, 000.00 OF HCUSBK' S URBAN DEVEXQPMENZ DEPARZMEÃZ Utica, 8/16 Act 8/20 10,800, 000 00 10/1/92 12.549% 12.943% ann. 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8, 200, 000.00 8/14/84 8/1/84 13.305% 13.305% 13.305% 13.305% 13.305% 13.6558 13.30S% 13.305% 13.30S% 13.091% qtr. 13.0918 qtr 8/2 8/2 8/2 4171 8/2 8/3 8/3 F 3, 200, 000.00 1,106,000.00 3,782, 000.00 1,000, 000.00 128, 309,000.00 275, 000.00 2, 350,000.00 2, 699,000.00 1,900,000.00 600, 000.00 lg200~000 F 00 an4 8/1/84 8/1/84 8/1/85 8/2/84 8/2/84 8/2/84 8/3/84 8/3/84 8/3/84 13+305% 12.945% 12.945% 13 ' 091% qtr, 13.091% qtr. 13.091% qtr, 13.430% qtr. 13.091% qtr. 13.091% qtr. 13.091% qtr. 13.091% qtr. 12.742% qtr. 12.742% qtr. FEDERAL FINANCING MI«UST Page 4 BANK of 7 1982 ACTIVITY ANX&l' OF ADVANCE ( annual) RURAL ELECHGFICATION M¹(INISTRATION «East Ascension Telephane ¹39 Sunflcwer Electric ¹174 Big Rivers Electric ¹91 Northern Michigan Electric ¹101 «Alabaxa Electric ¹26 «South Mississippi Electric ¹3 *South Mississippi Electric ¹90 Seminole Electric ¹141 Northern Michigan Electric ¹101 Northern Michigan Electric ¹101 Valley Power ¹104 Valley Pcser ¹206 Western Farsers Electric ¹220 Western Farners Electric ¹133 Wabash Wabash Northern Michigan Electric ¹101 Allegheny Electric ¹175 «Brookville Telephone ¹53 Kansas Electric ¹216 Kansas Electric ¹216 «Brazos Electric ¹144 Arkansas Electric ¹221 Cajun Electric ¹147 «Basin Electric ¹87 "Western Illinois Power ¹162 East Kentucky Power ¹140 East Kentucky Power ¹180 Electric ¹192 Electric ¹141 Electric ¹141 Central Louisiana Tele. ¹34 Western Illinois Pawer ¹225 South Texas Electric ¹200 Glacier State Telephone ¹29 Seminole Electric ¹141 «Associated Electric ¹132 Brazos Electric ¹108 Brazos Electric ¹230 Big Rivers Electric ¹58 Big Rivers Electric ¹91 Big Rivers Electric ¹136 *Big Rivers Electric ¹143 *South Mississippi Electric ¹3 New Hampshire Seminole *Seminole Oglethorpe Power ¹150 Oglethorpe Power ¹74 «Plains Electric GaT ¹158 «Big Rivers Electric ¹58 Big Rivers Electric ¹91 'San Miguel Electric Big Rivers Electric Big Rivers Electric Big Rivers Electric *East Kentucky Power Basin Electric ¹87 ¹110 ¹136 ¹143 ¹179 ¹73 *South Texas Electric ¹109 'Western Farmers Electric ¹133 Arkansas Electric ¹221 Wabash Valley Power ¹206 «South Mississippi Electric ¹3 *South Mississippi Electric ¹90 «East Kentucky Pawer ¹140 Cant. Tele. of the South ¹134 Cont. Tele. of the South ¹106 Cont. Tele. of the South ¹135 Basin Electric ¹87 Basin Electric ¹137 *Eastern Iae LaT ¹61 «maturity extension other than semi-annual) (Cont'd) 8/4 8/5 8/6 8/6 8/6 8/6 8/6 8/8 8/10 8/10 8/10 8/10 8/10 8/10 8/10 8/10 8/ll 8/12 . 8/12 8/13 8/13 8/13 8/15 8/15 8/16 8/16 8/16 8/17 8/18 8/18 8/18 8/18 8/18 8/19 8/19 8/19 8/19 8/20 8/20 8/20 8/20 8/20 8/20 8/20 8/21 8/21 8/21 8/22 8/23 8/23 8/23 8/24 8/24 8/25 8/25 8/25 8/25 8/25 8/25 8/27 8/27 8/27 8/27 8/29 8/29 8/29 $384, 064.00 2, 500, 000.00 1,850, 000.00 164,000.00 3,155,000.00 221, 000.00 279, 000.00 1,438, 000.00 20, 000 F 00 2, 878, 000.00 5, 591,000.00 386,000.00 10,800, 000.00 200, 000.00 131,000.00 4, 940, 000.00 1,034, 000.00 1,050, 000.00 1,050, 000.00 1,270, 000.00 6, 421, 000.00 40, 000, 000.00 4, 057, 000.00 2, 640, 000.00 430, 000.00 4, 069, 000.00 1,065, 000.00 2, 678, 000.00 2, 580, 000.00 3, 191,000.00 2, 203, 000.00 1,005, 000.00 2, 381,000.00 14, 536, 000.00 12, 500, 000.00 903,000.00 8, 409, 000.00 40, 000.00 910,000.00 182, 000.00 30, 000.00 3, 325, 000.00 5, 153,000.00 15,526, 000.00 6, 459, 000 F 00 3,426, 000.00 1,948, 000.00 7, 759,000.00 84, 000.00 157,000.00 26, 163,000.00 5, 782, 000.00 9,853, 000.00 1,400, 000.00 15,300, 000.00 5, 209, 000.00 477, 000.00 125,000.00 822, 000.00 640, 000.00 2, 300, 000.00 2, 700, 000.00 2, 353,000.00 1,071,000.00 25, 000, 000.00 265, 000.00 13.471% 13.055% 13.205% 13.205% 13.205% 13.205% 13.205% 13.365% 13.345% 13.205% 13.205% 13.205% 13.205% 13.205% 13.205% 13.225% 12/31/14 13' 467% 8/12/84 13.275% en2/e5 13.515% 13.055% 8/13/84 8/13/84 13.055% 8/13/84 13.055% 12.875% 8/15/84 12.875% 8/15/84 8/16/84 12.875% 8/16/84 12.875% 8/16/84 12.875% 8/17/84 12.485% 12/31/12 8/5/84 8/6/84 8/6/84 8/6/84 8/6/84 8/6/84 8/8/84 2/10/85 8/10/84 8/10/84 8/10/84 8/10/84 8/10/84 8/10/84 8/31/84 8/18/84 8/18/84 8/18/84 8/18/84 12/31/13 8/19/84 8/19/84 8/19/84 8/19/84 8/20/84 8/20/84 8/20/84 8/20/84 12/31/09 8/20/84 8/20/84 8/21/84 8/21/85 8/21/85 8/22/84 8/23/84 8/23/84 8/23/84 8/24/84 8/24/84 8/25/84 8/25/84 8/25/84 8/25/84 8/23/85 8/23/85 8/27/84 12/31/10 12/31/10 12/31/10 8/29/84 8/29/84 12/31/14 11.955% 11.955% 11.9558 11.955% 12.594% 11.885% 11.885% 11.885% 11.885% 11.735% 11.735% 11.735% 11.735% 12.489% 11.735% 11.735% 11.325% 11.735% 11.735% 11.325% 11.325% 11.325% 11.325% 11.695% 11.695% 11.625% 11.625% 11.625% 11.625% 11.935% 11.935% 11.795% 12.471% 12.471% 12.471% 12.055% 12.055% 12.709% 13.251% qtr. 12.849% qtr. 12.994% qtr. 12.994% qtr. 12.994% qtr. 12.994% qtr. 12.994% qtr. 13.149% qtr. 13.130% qtr. 12.994% qtr. 12.994% qtr. 12.994% qtr. 12.994% qtr. 12.994% qtr. 12.9948 qtr. 13.013% qtr. 13.248% qtr. 13.062% qtr. 13.294% qtr. 12.849% qtr. 12.849% qtr. 12.849% qtr. 12.674% qtr. 12.674% qtr. 12.674% qtr. 12.6748 qtr. 12.674% qtr. 12.296% qtr. 11.781% qtr. 11.781% qtr. 11.781% qtr. 11.781% qtr. 12.402% qtr. 11.713% qtr. 11.713% qtr. 11.713% qtr. 11.713% qtr. 11.568% qtr. 11.568% qtr. 11.568% qtr. 11.568% qtr. 12.300% qtr. 11.568% qtr. 11.568% qtr. 11.169% qtr. 11 .568% qtr. 11.568% qtr. 11.169% qtr. 11.169% qtr. 11.169% qtr. 11.169% qtr. 11.529% qtr. 11.529% qtr. 11.461% qtr. 11.461% qtr. 11.461% qtr. 11.461% qtr. 11.762% qtr. 11.762% qtr. 11.626% qtr. 12.282% qtr. 12.282% qtr. 12.282% qtr. 11.879% qtr. 11.879% qtr, 12.513% qtr. PKERAL FINANCING BANK Page 5 of 7 ~MXST 1982 ACTIVIT)( A)KENT OF ADIEU RURAL ELECTRIFICATION A(KBGSTRATION ~Southern Illinois Power 438 North Carolira Electric 9185 'Tri-State ~Southern *Southern GaT 4177 Illinois Illinois 8 725, 000.00 13,097,000.00 380,000.00 25, 000,000.00 10,000e00 2, 805,000.00 8/31 8/31 8/31 8/31 8/31 8/31 Electric 493 ~Allegheny %38 438 Eastern Icnsr LaT 461 Small Business Investment n 196,000.00 2, 225, 000.00 870, 000.00 163,000.00 8/18 8/18 8/18 8/18 8/18 8/18 8/18 State Debentures 4 Local Devel nt Wilmington Ind. Dev. , Inc. Albany Local Dev. Corp. Nil~ukee Econ. Dev. Corp. Ind. Dev. Corp. Brockton Reg. Econ. Dev. Corp. Bay Area Bus. Dev. Corp. Central Avenue Bettenrent Wilmington Ind. Dev. , Inc. Plymouth As'. Urban Ioarl Dev. Corp. Bay Colony Dev. Corp. Springfield 'Ihe The Sm. St. Louis St. Louis Bus. Assistance Dev. Carrpany Dev. Canpany Evergreen Can. Dev. Assoc. Netropolitan Growth & Dev. Corp. Akron Sm. Bus. Dev. Corp. Bay Area Employment Dev. Co. Wisconsin Bus. Dev. Fin. Corp. Long Beach Incal Dev. Corp. Long Beach Local Dev. Corp. Columbus Citywide Dev. Corp. Seven States National 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 8/4 1,500, 000.00 1,050, 000.00 1,000, 000.00 8/1/87 8/1/92 8/1/92 8/1/92 8/1/92 8/1/92 8/1/92 13.125% 13.215% 13.215% 13.215% 13.215% 13.215% 13.215% 55, 000.00 8/1/97 8/1/97 8/1/97 8/1/97 8/1/97 8/1/97 8/1/02 8/1/02 8/1/02 8/1/02 8/1/02 8/1/02 8/1/02 8/1/02 8/1/02 8/1/07 8/1/07 8/1/07 8/1/07 8/1/07 8/1/07 13.530% 13.530% 13.530% 13.530% 13.530% 13.530% 13.576% 13.576% 13.576% 13.576% 13.576% 13.576% 13.576% 13.576% 13.576% 13.446% 13.446% 13.446% 13.446% 13.446% 13.446% 11/30/82 9.043% 250, 000.00 500, 000.00 500, 000.00 600, 000.00 93,000.00 168,000.00 171,000.00 187,000.00 375,000.00 26, 000.00 32, 000.00 54, 000.00 88, 000.00 105,000.00 108,000.00 109,000.00 315,000.00 500, 000.00 55, 000.00 127,000.00 189,000.00 249, 000.00 384, 000.00 500, 000.00 tion Ene Note A-82-11 DEPARTNENT 12.709% 12.055% 12.055% 12.055% 12.135% 12.565% 13.085% 12/31/11 12.731% 12/31/12 12.724% 12/31/16 12.702% 12/31/14 8/30/84 8/30/84 8/30/$4 8/31/84 8/31/85 8/15/89 Debentures Capital Corporation Clintan Capital Corpoxaticn Fleet Venture Resources, Inc. Gold Coast Capital Corp. Nichigan Onpital 4 Srv. , Inc. NIS Onpital Corporatice Reedy River Ventures, Inc. Amev (other than semi~nnua 8/31 469, 715,283.01 OF 'JRANSPO)CATION Railzcad Passe Note 430 er Co tice (Amtrak) 8/20 11,603, 713.00 10/1/82 7.864% 8/31 12,557, 538.00 6/30/06 12.790% Section 511 The Nilmukee Read 42 1 ) (Ocet'd) 8/29 8/30 8/30 8/30 Central Electric 4131 Basin Electric 4137 Basin Electric %87 (aanannual) 12.513% qtr. 11.879% qtr. 11.879% qtr. 11.879% qtr. 11.956% qtr. 12.374% qtr. 12.878% qtr. 12.535% qtr. 12.528% qtr. 12.506% qtr. Page 6 EXCERAL FINANCIER August Buf falo Urban Bengal Agency Sacrsnento County, CA Planned Ind. Exp. Authority (St. Louis) Botswana Ecuador Haiti Kenya 8 of 7 BANK 1982 Camitments 2, 295, 500.00 1,500,000.00 1,500, 000.00 500, 000.00 4, 500, 000.00 300,000.00 22, 000, 000.00 8/1/84 2/15/84 8/1/03 2/15/89 1/15/84 7/14/84 6/20/84 7/25/$4 1/15/04 1/15/88 6/20/89 7/25/94 5/5/94 5/4/84 PHJERAL FINANCIIK2 Page 7 BANK HOLDIN2S of 7 (in millions) 8 Prrrtmn t e Of fW 31, 1982 31, 1982 ~Jul 8 1 82-8 31 82 10 1/81-8 31/82 Debt Tennessee Valley Authority Export-Import Bank Facility Liquidity NCUA-Central uut et 12,050.0 13,828.9 109.3 $12,035.0 1,221.0 1,221.0 53, 311.0 129.6 145.7 52 ' 711 0 129.6 145.7 21.5 $15.0 13,828.9 101.6 8 1,176.0 1,419.5 8.0 7.7 Debt n U. S. Postal Service U. S ~ Railway Associaticn -47.0 -7.5 207.4 207.4 AcCenc~Assets Farmers Adninistration intenanoe Org. Home EHHS-Health Na Facilities IHHS-Nedical Overseas Private Investment Corp. Rural Electrification Ainin. -CIK) Snail Business Ahninistration Governnmnt~ranteed DOD-Pbreign Nil itary Sales Assn. Loans DOE-Hybrid Vehicles DOE-Non-Nuclear Act (Great Plains) MJD-Ccasumity Dev. Block Grant IMJD-New Ccsummities DHUD-Public Housing Notes General Services Administration DOI-Guam Power Authority IX)I-Virgin Islands Co. Ccuanuniontions Rural Electrification Admin. SBA~ll Business Investment Cos. SBA-State/Local Development Cos. TVA-Seven States Energy Corp. Ra IXJT-Title V, RRRR 2, 883.7 58.8 2, 883.7 59.5 -7 11,308.8 5,000.0 36 ' 6 10,955.6 5,000.0 36.6 353.2 282. 5 228. 5 il Svcs. 112.5 33.5 1,551.0 Act Act DVI NNATA may -8.6 not total dm to roundxmJ 15.4 622.5 7.9 10.8 111.8 3,573.6 83.0 50.4 0 70.2 130.4 177.0 70.2 117' 8 177.0 8 282.5 420 ' 5 36.0 29.6 738.8 38.2 O- —,4 39.2 229.4 3.9 3.9 843.8 11.6 304 ~ 1 75.5 12.5 6.8 1,167.8 855.4 54.0 -3.1 15,686.7 683.0 2, 161.2 700.0 19.6 115.5 33.5 36.0 29.5 749.6 15,916.1 686.9 43.1 1,218.2 122, 624. 6 figures -5.1 288.4 -2.0 1,535.6 420. 5 NASA-Spaoe IX1P-Amtrak DOJ3-Emergency M. 7 Loans IKd. -Student Lean Nnrketing IX)E~thernal 21.5 4, 490.0 13.1 600.0 121,260.7 37.9 -0- -D 8 1,364.0 8 15,324.4 »oartmeni of the Treasury FOR IMMEDIATE ~ D.C. ~ Telephone $66-2041 Washlneton, RELEASE 8, 1982 November RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $ 5, 608 million of 13-week bills and for $5, 603 million of 26~eek bills, both to be issued on November 12, 1982, were accepted today. OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: RANGE 13-week bills Februar 10, 1983 Discount Investment Price Rate Rate 1/ 98.031 98.001 98.009 High Low Average a/ Excepting 8 low low maturin bills 12 Ma Discount Rate Price 95. 800 a/ 8. 354% 95. 768 8. 417% 95. 778 8. 397% 2/ 8. 15% 8. 27% 8. 24% 7. 876% 7. 996% 7. 964% totaling tenders at the at the Tenders Tenders 26-week maturin $8, 000, 000. price for the 13-week bills were allotted price for the 26-week bills were allotted 1983 Investment Rate 1/ 8. 84% 8. 91%' 8. 89% 49%. 24%- TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Location Boston New Received 39, 465 $ 12, 109, 065 32, 110 York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St Louis Minneapolis ~ Kansas City Dallas San Francisco TOTALS ~e Competitive Noncompetitive Public Federal Reserve Foreign Official Institutions TOTALS 465 $39, 246, 315 4, 32, 110 51, 020 45, 480 47, 000 535, 775 41, 650 ' ' ' ' : : : : : : : : : : Received 875 12, 064, 030 70, 795 97, 920 46, 215 52, 485 $79, 928, 725 58e905 19, 605 37, 640 ted 39, 520 4, 513, 270 20, 595 64, 920 36, 990 41, 485 330, 925 39, 715 12, 605 27, 640 10, 740 157, 070 307, 385 $14, 607, 600 $12, 377, 445 930, 830 $13, 308, 275 1,092, 325 $3, 377, 885 930, 830 $4, 308, 715 1,092, 325 $12, 361, 285 805, 935 $13, 167, 220 1, 050, 000 $3, 236, 525 805, 935 $4, 042, 460 1, 050, 000 207, 000 $14, 607, 600 207, 000 510, 400 510, 400 $5, 608, 040 $14, 727, 620 $5, 602, 860 15, 740 948, 300 307i385 $14, 727, 620 $5, 602, 860 1/ Equivalent coupon-issue yield. the maximum 2/ The four-. week average for calculating on money market certificates is 8. 215%. R-1018 ~dcce 14, 905 49, 890 22, 380 261, 160 220, 890 $5, 608, 040 220, 890 Treasury Subtotal, 67, 020 45, 480 47, 000 1, 188, 585 43, 650 17, 905 49, 890 32, 380 714, 160 ted: Thousands) ~Acce interest rate payable FOR I&L'MEDIATE The Treasury RELEASE NOVEMBER announced 8, 1982 today that the 2-1/2 year yield curve rate for the five business Treasury days ~g5: rounoen to 8, 1982, averageci tne nearest. five basis points. Ceiling rates based enciing on November this rate will be in effect 1982 through Nonday, November from Tuesday, )uovember 9, 22, 1982. Detailed rules as to the use of this rate 'n estab- lishing the ceiling rates for small saver certificates were published Small saver in the Federal Register on July 17, 1981. ceiling rates related information and available from the DIDC on a recorded The phone number telephone is message. is (202)566 —3734. Approved Francis X. Cavanaugh Director Office of Government & biarket Analysis Finance leyartment of the Treasury ~ Washington, D.C. ~ Telephone 566-204$ ADDRESS BY R. T. MCNAMAR DEPUTY SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE OF THE ASSOCIATION AMERICAN MEDICAL COLI EGES WASH INGTON i D ~ C ~ MEETING ANNUAL Monday, November OF 8, 1982 Good morning. I delighted to be with you today. In reviewing your for today and tomorrow, I noticed that you are scheduled to hear three talks on the subject of change and three on the subject of preservation of values. The juxtaposition of the two am agenda is both timely and critical. In modern society, change is inevitable. Perhaps the only immutable law of the universe is that nothing is immutable and the great challenge we all face is to somehow clearly identify and preserve those values we cherish themes amidst the increasingly rapid onslaught of change. At the Treasury Department, where we find ourselves immersed in the world of economics and finance, new developments occur almost daily. In the next few minutes I want to discuss two important aspects of a changing financial world which are already effecting each of our personal lives and our respective professions these are interdependency of financial markets and disinflation — -- two key concepts. Before we jump into those subjects let me take just a to touch on the philosophical -- or perhaps better -- the physiological basis -- of our view of economics. moment Those of you in the medical Yes, I did say physiological. and those of us in the financial world have much more in common than often meets the eye. profession policies, it is fully comprehend this Administration's to understand the framework which underlies this Administration's economic policies. To important First, it is essential to understand that we view the just as the human body, or any biological And organism is a system and modern machines are systems. systems -- whether they are biological, mechanical or economic have three very crucial characteristics in common. First, there can be no event in one part of the system which does not effect the rest of it. The parts are all interconnected and interrelated. economy R-1019 as a system; features built Second]y, a true system has self-correctingrises above 98. 6, human body a of temperature the into it. If within automatically and naturally things start to happen back to normal. body to bring its temperature Similarly, in a properly functioning economic system, if prices get too high or too low, if supplies become too plentiful or too scarce, self correcting forces within the marketplace itself become active to counter the imbalances. Thirdly, a true system is capable of creating something new. classic example, has the-- innate An acorn, to use Aristotle's -a or being created into characteristic of creating of the capability has plant, A generating magnificent oak tree. different: very something creating taking coal and fire and electricity. that I am taking your time Now it may seem odd or frivolous to talk about acorns and running a fever. But the analogies go In the right to the heart of the nature of economic activity. world economy, and in our domestic economies, we have precisely the same key characteristics. interrelated and synergistic features. This is not self-correcting systems' to say, of course, that if we leave everything alone it will all take care of itself. But it is to say that the self-corrective are by their They have strong Economies nature forces at work in the market place are powerful and that they need to be allowed to function. And, finally, as in biological and other systems, economic systems have the wonderful capacity to create new real wealth where it did not exist before. In short, to increase standards of living. in Financial Interdependenc Markets There is a very important way in which the very nature economic system in this country is changing. Through the explosion of technology, regulatory reform and market integration, the financial services industry is undergoing fundamental metamorphosis. Today operations and events interwoven with financial markets they will be woven more tightly. recognize that now for that financial we have a spectrum -- in a in the U. S. financial in other countries. of the a markets are Tomorrow To be realistic, we have to transactions have become so interrelated de facto sense -- one worldwide market of borrowing, lending, and investment activities. Last month at the IMF meeting in Toronto, Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau aptly described this evolution of the financial markets. His theme was the accelerating interdependence of our economies concerned. financial. markets, and and the resulting impact on all can point to a plethora of evidence showing that neither York, nor Chicago, nor Tokyo, nor Riyadh operates in We New isolation. available technological capability is instantaneously to all parts of the of dollars electronically in minutes, and do Take technology. The We communicate staggering. world, move billions computations in nanseconds which might have taken days and weeks a few years ago. And tomorrow will see the electronic global village. We can also point to ways to which national and international economies are becoming ever more interwoven and interdependent. Internationalization of funding is a fact of life. With time differences, a real estate loan made by a bank in Texas in the morning may have been funded by a CD issued that afternoon by its branch in London or Fed funds from Alaska that afternoon. the shares of some major U. S. companies can be around the world and around the clock; by a recent count, 149 U. S. companies are listed in London, the same number in Amsterdam, 91 in Zurich, 42 in Paris, and 12 in Tokyo. A dozen or so trade 24 hours a day. At traded present, and commerce, the rise of the multinational corporation has changed the world marketplace into a tightly woven system of import and export operations. Interdependence of economic and financial market is becoming functionally more like manufacturing operations where parts are brought together from many parts of the world. Witness the Ford World car, or the new computer that will use software from the U. S. , semi-conductor chips from Britain, a UHF modulator from the Philippines, an electronic regulator from El Salvador, a and central processing from Japan. It is a memory from Malaysia, world where companies, governments, institutions to and financial support them are ever more closely interwined. In the area of trade multi-' product the economic, financial and technological is the role played by the government, because government political decisions set the framework within which trade and investment flows operate. In the U. S. , that means largely the regulatory role. It means setting the policy and legal framework in which both domestic and non-U. S. institutions can transact business within our borders. Overlaying interdependence legislation, but computer technology and the ingenuity of the markeplace, continue to change the financial services industry -- indeed to redefine Kroger is now selling money market and mutual funds right along with bread Electronic banking in the home is being pilot tested and butter. in New York as well as Ohio. And will other companies follow the Not only old-fashioned it. Sears and American Can route into financial services? I can assure that before the next Congress reconvenes there will be more change, foment, and competition. We are in a revolution of technological advances. Electronic operations and automation of international information systems have not only increased speed and added new but have also types of accounts and marketing opportunities, redefined the very nature of a service by changing the funds transfers capabilities and of a product. argue for a so-called level All financial institutions playing field. Yet, when any one group sees legislated opportunities to compete in markets related to their own, they cry foul. Commecial banks want to be able to deal in securities, but they don't want securities firms' money market funds to draw off their core deposits; investment banking and brokerage firms want to attract customers' free credit balances, but they don' t want to see banks dealing in commercial paper. Insurance companies continue to be captive of their agency forces and pretend banks, American Express, alumni clubs, etc. don' t. sell insurance and service through other institutions In as wells Washington, these are the epitome of narrow, special interest politics. The problem is that neither politics nor legislation can ever take us back to the comfortable post-World War II days of high checking account balances, large commercial compensating balances, passbook savings, fixed rates, and whole life insurance. I' ve discussed are putting great. All of these developments strains on the balkanized, nonfunctional approach to financial institutions regulation followed in this country. And it presents a great challenge to Congress and regulators alike to bestir ourselves from the complacency of past decades. Washington can either play the same role of protecting special industry segments, or we can remove the non-economic legislative barriers and permit more efficient lower-cost delivery of financial services, foster functional regulation, and still basic fairness in the marketplace. If we choose the former course, we will be overwhelmed by the changes that occur and tomorrow will mock today's artificial distinctions. But if we pursue the activist course of reform and competition "change" -- then the delivery of financial services can be rationalized in a policy framework that maintains the proper balance of decision-making authority to private and public sector -- preservation of those values that we have in America: diversity; competition; pluralism. Now that is the major in which the nature of the financial services system way itself is change. But their is a fundamental change also underway undergoing in the economic environment in which the economy functions. preserve Let It is an now last column. newspaper column because it is datelined 1985 (Someone obviously works on a very extraordinary "Washington, January, long lead time!) It's brief read a very me called "Looking back" and reads as follows: "As Ronald Reagan completes his first term in office, we can begin to look back at the extraordinary of the developments four years with a bit of perspective. "When he took office four years ago he promised that he would do four things: cut taxes, cut spending, reduce regulation and slow money growth. He has done those four things and the promised "It revitalization economic took months many has in for the American fact finally occurred. economy to go through is now being called the "major transition" from a high inflation — high interest rates-low savings economy to one of low inflation — low interest rates and high savings' That process was painful but the mood in the nation now -- and especially on Wall Street -- is that it was well worth the transitional what difficulties. And it was the President's conviction, among other things, that allowed us to hold to a steady course during the rough political periods of the early '80s. "In 1981, all everyone talked about was inflation. By 1982, inflation had basically been whipped and people only talked about interest rates and employment. "By 1983, almost no one was complaining about inflation or how interest rates. They were wondering long and how strong would be this period of growth and would it provide enough jobs. Well, it's now 1985, and happily that is still the question on people's minds. " (End of column. ) Doesn't say if he ran for reelection in 1984. I think we are, in fact, in the midst of what history will record as a major transition to an economy based on low inflation and low interest rates. Now, if this is true -- and I am -of such a what are the implications convinced that it is " change? Your theme "Disinflation. " To begin What we with, have less attractive -- "change. My second topic: less inflationary economy: regarded as inflation hedges will in a investments. We are already of tangible be markedly seeing the inflation assets. Prices have squeezed out of a number fallen for gold, diamonds, commodities, and even the old standby: California houses. And, in fact, the reported decline in housing prices masks the real decline in terms of cash and quality of premium today versus five years ago. Just ask the individua] house for $300, 000 in Los Angeles, but took back his who sold interest paper for $250, 000. mortgage low In contrast to real or tangible assets, financial or The intangible assets are becoming relatively more attractive. real return to investors is rising, and the recent year' s "inflation discount" in the prices of intangible assets should be Stock price-earnings ratios should go up as the normal reduced. return demanded by investors falls. In this context, I think the stock market's explosive upward movement is no fluke. Rather it is, at least in part, a manefestation of these changes. effect of disinflation is that savings becomes Think about the attractive than consumption. relatively societal implications of a younger generation that all their lives have known prices to only go up faster and faster. They Savings rates are accustomed to buying now to beat inflation. in recent years. have fallen significantly Another more as a percent of disposable 1976-1981 and fell to 4. 8% in the first It is now, quarter of 1981, when inflation was at double digits. environment, savings will happily over 7%. In a disinflationary again be worthwhile, particularly now that we have a tax system that no longer penalizes saving so heavily. For example, averaged income savings personal 5. 7% from In a disinflationary less attractive because period, borrowing it obviously becomes much positive or real after inflation cost. And with lower it has a much higher true cost; that is, the "after tax, after inflation cost" increases. As a result, in the short term, capital goods spending may be reduced as companies no longer rush to borrow and invest in marginal projects. That's happened. However, the long-term impact should be beneficial as the borrowing that does take place is used more for productive investment, and less for protection of current has a taxes today wealth. As inflation uncertainty is reduced, we should also see a restoration of the long-term capital markets -- for investors, for the government, for the corporate borrower. Thus, as borrowing becomes less attractive overall, there should also be an extension in maturities from short-term to long-term issues' That is happening now -- bond market. contracts continue to be reopened, and labor prices begin to increase more in line with productivity increases. In the short run, the price of labor may rise relative to other inputs if wage rates are less responsvie to price changes. This may mean that industries with high labor intensity will do relatively less well over the intermediat~ future; at least, less well than companies that rely more capital investments but have not saddled themselves with high Wage should interest rate loans. Disinflation has temporarily squeezed profit margins, particularly those of companies with a high ratio of fixed to variable costs or when there is little value added by the firm and thus little opportunity Next for productivity improvements. year, estimates on aggregate corporate profits are +30%. I recognize that in the short-term, the slowing in the rate of growth of prices, together with the recession, reduced sales and cash flows, temporarily In keeping corporate borrowing high. part, this phenomenon kept commercial and industrial loan levels high during the recession, and utilized much corporate debt capacity even as the assumed rate of future price increases declines. However, corporate borrowing requirements will be to some extent offset by cash flow savings from the President's corporate tax cuts. The business tax changes for ACRS alone provides $10. 5 billion of cash flow that corporations won't have to borrow in 1982. That's about one-third of last year's increase in short-term borrowing, or one-fourth of all corporate bond offerings last year. Farmers who over-expanded in recent years are also finding In recent years, farmers often leveraged themselves squeezed. Food prices themselves at high interest rates to buy more land. and land values were expected to rise fast enough to cover the interest payments. Instead, land and food prices may rise more slowly, creating cash flow problems. While sectors involving tangible asset plays are adversely affected, other sectors may benefit. For example, it may be rash to predict that whole life insurance policies will again become popular, but, at a minimum, life insurance companies may find that they can once again offer new, attractive products that combine savings and protection. liabilities, and the While expanded asset powers, deregulated ability to lend at variable rates are the keys to long-term success of the S&L industry, thrifts will also benefit from a decline in interest rates. Pension funds and other institutional investors will see an increase in the liquidity of their portfolios, as the differences between book and market values are may find their spreads Other financial intermediaries reduced. squeezed, at least in the short-term, as the rate they earn on new loans falls more quickly than their cost of funds. Finally, federal deficits will temporarily be higher. To an extent, we in the Administration are victims of our own success. A rapidly falling inflation rate temporarily means higher federal deficits. than More one-third more than 40 government programs representing CPI the indexed are federal budget by of the year's CPI. This means that benefit increases for social security and other retirement programs were approximately inflation rates $5 billion higher in 1983 than if contemporaneous the previous had been used. federal expenditures are tied to last year' s inflation rate, tax receipts are tied to this year's inflation rates. The effect of this difference in timing is a larger were two percentage deficit. Thus, for example, if inflation points lower for calendar years 1982-85 than under the Administration's original budget forecast, outlays will fall billion. This $45-50 billion, while receipts may fall $65-70 alone -- holding all other factors constant -- will result in an Inflation, as increase in the deficit of some $20 billion. fallen from roughly a 9 will have measured by the GNP deflator, 6 percent range this year least a at to rate last year percent and that will cost us about 85-6 billion in increased budget deficit this year. is higher federal The result of higher deficits naturally borrowing, since neither we nor the Fed are prepared to monetize Monetizing the deficit would only give up much of the deficit. While the gains many we have made so far. Notwithstanding any short-term costs, the long-term benefits of lower inflation are great. The Reagan Administration has proposed a program and a framework for long-term productive is a The advent of disinflation growth in the U. S. economy. strong first sign that that program is working. Those of you in the medical profession know, far better than most, that the process of healing often means going through a period of pain and discomfort. And in economics, as in medicine, to delay or deny needed corrective measures only makes the process that much more painful and serious when they are finally taken. I said at the outset, we are experiencing two generic of changes today. One is brought on by policy shifts that were required to bring our economy back to health. These changes involve some short term costs but much more beneficial long term gains. Secondly, there are a series of changes being ushered in with new technology, new communications and new financial market As kinds integration. sets of changes are going to redound to the benefit of But it is essential that we constantly stay abreast of developments and be ready to adapt both our professional and personal lives to the changing circumstances. Both society. Thank you. Ioyartmeni of the Treasury FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 PE M. ~ Washlnoton, D.C. ~ Telephone S66-2041 November 9, 1982 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $11,200 million, to be issued November 18, 1982. This offering will provide $725 million of new cash for the Treasury, as the maturing bills are outstanding in the amount of $1oi471 million, including $993 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities and $2, 029 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks for their own account. The two series offered are as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $5, 600 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated August 19, 1982, (CUSIP and to mature February 17, 1983 in the amount of $5 541 No. 912794 CK 8 ), currently outstanding million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $5, 600 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated May 20, 1982, and to mature May 19, 1983 (CUSIP in the amount of $5, 581 No. 912794 CC 6), currently outstanding million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing November 18, 1982. Tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the Add iweighted average pr ices o f accepted competitive tenders. tional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, monetary authorities, to as agents for foreign and international the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount Both series of bills will be will be payable without interest. issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,000 on the records either of the and in any higher $5, 000 multiple, Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasur y. R-1020 Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C. 20226, up to 1:30 p .m . , Eastern Standard time, Monday, November 15, 1982. Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders 4632-3 (for PD maintained on the book-entry records of the for bills to be . Department of the Treasury Each tender must be for a minimum of $10, 000 . Tenders over ql0, 000 must be in multiples of $5, 000. In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with three decimals, e .g . , 97 920 . Fractions may not be used . and dealers who make primary markets in Banking institutions Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities if the names of the may submit tenders for account of customers, . customers and the amount for each customer are furnished . Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million . This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p m . Eastern time on the day of the auction . Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering, e .g . , bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six-month bills . Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings tenders for customers, must on such securities, when submitting submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million. . Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . A cash adjustment will be made on all .accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined No in the auction deposit need accompany tenders . from incorporated banks trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches . A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company and accompanies the tenders . Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500, 000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on November 18 1982 funds in cash or other immediately-available or in Treasury bills maturing November 18, 1982. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Section 454(b) of the Internal Revenue Code, the of discount at which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed, or otherwise disposed of. Section 1232(a)(4) provides that any gain on the sale or redemption of these bills that does not exceed the ratable share of the acquisition discount must be included in the Federal income tax return of the owner as ordinary income. The acquisition discount is the excess of the stated redemption price over the taxpayer's basis (cost) for the bill. The ratable share of this discount is determined by multiplying such discount by a fraction, the numerator of which is the number of days the taxpayer held the bill and the denominator of which is the number of days from the day following the taxpayer's date of purchase to the maturity of If the gain on the sale of a bill exceeds the taxpayer 's the bill. ratable portion of the acquisition discount, the excess gain is treated as short-term capital gain. Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, and this notice, prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue Copies of the circulars and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Under amount Debt. Oepartment of t.he Treasury washineion, O.C. ~ Telephone S66-2041 ~ FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE November 9, 1982 RESULTS OF AUCTION OF 30-YEAR TREASURY BCNDS AND SUMMA' RESULTS OF NOVEMBER FINANCING The Department of the Treasury has accepted $3, 002 million of $7, 428 million of tenders received fran the public for the 30-year Bonds of 2007-2012, auctioned today. The bonds will be issued November 15, 1982, and mature November 15, 2012 interest rate ~ The on the bonds will be 10-3/8% ~ The range of accepted and the corresponding prices at the 10-3/8% interest rate canpetitive bids, are as follows: Tenders at the Prices Bids laxest yield Highest yield Average yield 99.407 99.045 99. 226 10.44X 10.48X 10.46X allotted high yield were 70%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED ( In Iocation Received 9, 858 $ 6, 502, 630 2, 675 14, 499 39, 463 27, 501 492, 972 68, 563 27, 852 10, 106 11, 138 220, 191 Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury Totals 'Ihe $3, 002 million canpetitive tenders and In addition to the process, $159million of Government 14, 863 15, 701 155, 272 47, 983 24, 252 9, 106 7, 938 60, 491 78 78 $7, 427, 526 $3, 001, 606 of accepted tenders includes $701 million of non$2, 301 million of competitive tenders from the public. $3, 002 million of tenders accepted in the auction tenders were accepted at the average price fran accounts and Federal Reserve Banks for their for maturing exchange Thousands) Accepted 4, 558 2, 653, 190 2, 675 5, 499 securities. SUMMARY cd account in RESULTS OF NOVEMBER FINANCING Through the sale of the three issues offered in the November financing, the Treasury raised approximately $8. 8 billion of new money and refunded $5. 6 billion of securities maturing November 15, 1982. 'Ihe following table summarizes the results: New 9-3/4% Notes Publica ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ Issues 10-1/2% Notes 10-3/8% 0.2 0.1 0.2 (*) 1.0 1.0 $3 ' 2 (*) $14.4 $5. 6 Net Nonmar- ketable Maturing New Securities Money 11/15/85 11/15/92 11/15/07- Special Held 2012 Issues Total Raised $— $13 ' 0 $4. 6 $8.4 0 $4. 0 $3.0 $6 ' 0 Bonds Government Accounts and Federal Reserve Banks. Foreign Accounts. . .. . 'ICTALe ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ o 0. 6 0. 3 $6 ' 9 $4 ' 3 " $50 million or less. Details may not add to total due to rounding. 0.4 0. 4 $8.8 jepartment of the Treasury ~ Washington, FOR RELEASE AT 12:00 NOON TREASURY OFFERS $4, 000 MILLION CASH MANAGEMENT D.C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 November 9, 1982 OF 73-DAY BILLS The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for approximately $4, 000 million of 73-day Treasury bills to be issued November 15, 1982, representing an additional amount of bills dated January 28, 1982, maturing January 27, 1983 (CUSIP No. 912794 BY 9). tenders will be received at all Federal Reserve "30 p. m. , Eastern Standard time, Friday, up to 1. November 12, 1982. Wire and telephone tenders may be received at the discretion of each Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. Each tender for the issue must be for a minimum amount of $1, 000, 000. Tenders over $1, 000, 000 must be in multiples of $1, 000, 000. The price on tenders offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with three decimals, e. g. , 97. 920. Fractions may not be used. Competitive Banks and Branches Noncompetitive tenders from the public will not be accepted. Tenders will not be received at the Department of the Treasury, Washington. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competiand at maturity their par amount will be payable interest. The bills will be issued entirely in book-entry tive bidding, without form in a minimum denomination of $10, 000 and in any higher $5, 000 on the records of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches. Additional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities multiple, at the average price of accepted competitive tenders. institutions and dealers who make primary markets securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities may submit tenders for account of customers, if the names Banking in Government of the customers and the amount for each customer are furnished. Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million. This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p. m. , Eastern time, on the day of the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures R-1022 bills forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding the same maturity date as the new offering, e. g. , bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six-month bills. Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million. and with No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks recognized dealers in investment securities. of 2 percent of the par A deposit amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders' and trust companies and from responsible and Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch in cash or other immediately-available funds on Monday, November 15, 1982. Under Section 454(b) of the Internal Revenue Code, the amount of discount at which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed, or otherwise disposed of. Section 1232(a)(4) provides that any gain on the sale or redemption of these bills that does not exceed the ratable share of the acquisition discount must be included in the Federal income tax return of the owner as ordinary income The acquisition discount is the excess of the stated redemption price over the taxpayer's basis (cost) for the bill. The ratable share of this discount is determined by multiplying such discount by a fraction, the numerator of which is the number of days the taxpayer held the bill and the denominator of which is the number of days from the day following the taxpayer's date of purchase to the maturity of the bill. If the gain on the sale of a bill exceeds the taxpayer's ratable portion of the acquisition discount, the excess gain is treated as short —term capital gain. Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, and this notice, prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. pepartment of the Treasury FOR RELEASE UPON ~ Washington, O.C. ~ TelePhone 566-2041 DELIVERY Expected at 8:00 p. m. November 10, 1982 UNDER REMARKS BY BERYL W. SP RINK EL SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY FOR MONETARY BEFORE THE CONFERENCE ON BUSINESS ECONOMICS INDIANA UNVERSITY BLOOMINGTON, INDIANA Wednesday, November AFFAIRS 10, 1982 actions of the Federal Reserve and the money supply are in the news these days' As many of you know, it wasn't always that way. Twenty-five years ago the world, the public, the financial markets all paid little heed to what the Fed was doing or how and A small why they were doing group of us were trying to get greater attention focused on the importance of monetary policy. Generally we were either ignored entirely or tolerated and politely dismissed' The much it. ten or fifteen years ago most economists had grudgingly that maybe "money mattered" and the level of professional "money matters a lot" rhetoric fell to new lows with debates on versus "money matters, but very little. " To the extent that analysts paid any systematic attention to what the Fed was doing, in most cases their attention was focused almost entirely on the level of interest rates in order to characterize monetary policy as " tight" or "easy. " Many of us were still emphasizing the importance of money growth, but few paid serious attention. By admitted of Now we have come full circle, from when only a handful economists saw the point of watching money growth, to now when economists, businessmen and the financial markets here and worldwide do little else on Friday afternoon but await the results of the week's money supply lottery. Those of. us who have long advocated the economic importance of growth should, it is claimed, be heartened by the fact that so that I find the many have "seen the light. " I must say, however, current obsession with the weekly money numbers to be as pointless and ill-advised as was the public's complete ignorance of monetary policy twenty-five years ago. Maybe we were overzealous in our attempts to convince people that money growth was a critical factor to economic performance; the point has certainly been taken to its logical, but absurd, extreme with people inferring that every blip This in the money numbers has important meaning and implications' money R-1023 extreme viewpoint has ever espoused. is not, to my knowledge, one that any monetarist the Federal Reserve cannot be expected to supply on a week-to-week or even month-to-month basis. There are too many factors over which the Federal Reserve has in the money supply. no control that cause temporary aberrations aggregates we observe in the monetary Much of the weekly variation To the control the contrary, money to technical factors and to statistical noise. Efforts to achieve precise weekly or monthly monetary control would therefore likely prove to be extremely destabilizing. While I do not believe that money growth can be controlled precisely on a weekly or monthly basis, I do believe that the Federal Reserve has the ability to maintain the average, quarterly rate of money growth within its announced target range. By the Federal Reserve's own estimates, Ml can be controlled, on a quarterly basis, within a range of +1%. That result would be a great improvement over what has actually occurred. rates of growth in Ml over the The list of quarter-to-quarter past two years sounds more like a list of random numbers than the result of an explicit control procedure with a margin of error of Act of 1978 mandated annual targeting +1%. Since the Humphrey-Hawkins can be attributed of money growth, the quarterly target range only four times. average of Ml has been within its critize the volatility of money growth out of some or dogmatic concern for the sanctity of money growth targets. I do so because I believe -- and always have -- that erratic and unpredictable adverse money growth has very real and important effects on the economy. I do not academic In the short run, money growth is closely and positively correlated with aggregate nominal income growths A slowdown in money growth that is sustained over a six-month period or longer depresses economic activity. Historically, a rapid decline in short-run money growth, below its long-term growth path, has preceded each downturn in economic activity. In most cases, such as in 1957, 1959, 1966, 1969 and 1980, abrupt monetary restriction was the primary cause of the decline in the economy. Aware of this relationship, the Administration, in recommending strongly supporting the principle that money growth be reduced to a noninflationary pace, urged that that deceleration be accomplishe~ gradually. It would, of course, have been technically possible for the Federal Reserve to reduce money growth abruptly to a noninflatio»r) rate. But it was felt that such a sudden move would cause severe short-term economic disruption and hardship. The gradual approach would provide the public more time to adjust its inflationary expectations downward, thereby minimizing the transitional costs, in terms of reduced output and higher unemployment. is The transition drawn out by this approach, but the immediate negative impact on real economic activity is reduced. and Specifically, we recommended that the rate of money growth be cut in half by 1986 -- with a steady deceleration each year. reduced and in fact more Unfortunately, money growth was abruptly than half of the deceleration that we recommended occur by 1986 happened in 1981. There is no question that this abrupt slowing of money growth has added to the length and severity of the recession. After more than a decade of accelerating inflation and rising interest rates, monetary policy (as well as all other government economic policies) has a credibility problem, particularly with respect to the goal of controlling inflation' Despite repeated announcements officials that we by Federal Reserve and Administration intend to persevere on controlling inflation, the public's skepticism remains. This is not irrational: this is not the first Administration or the On first Federal Reserve Board to make that promise. several occasions since 1965, money growth was slowed abruptly to concerns about inflation. But, in each case, the in response effort was soon abandoned and the rate of monetary expansion subsequently was accelerated further. In each case, the economy suffered the immediate costs of monetary restraint -- recession and rising unemployment -- but was denied the lasting benefit of reduced inflation. The result was a steadily rising long-term rate of money growth, punctuated by several short periods of monetary restraint. The rising trend resulted in an ever-worsening inflation and an upward-ratcheting of interest rates, while the brief bouts of monetary restraint generated or intensified economic recessions. These episodes eroded confidence in the willingness or ability of the Government to fulfill its promises to control inflation. This effect on the credibility of anti-inflationary monetary policy is seen clearly in the pattern of long-term interest rates since With each stop-go episode, long-term rates became the mid-1960's. increasingly resistant to the Government's assurances that antiThe lows in long-term inflationary policies would be maintained. interest rates which were recorded near each cyclical trough have risen sequentially with each successive cycle. The reason is obvious accelerated money growth, renewed inflationary pressures and rising interest rates have followed each recession. Because episodes of reducing history alone gives the financial have occurred before, assurance that we are now witnessing shift to noninflationary policy. If a a permanent period of slow money growth is followed by a long period of rapid money growth -- as it was in late 1981 and early 1982 -- that uncertainty is reinforced. It signals to the financial markets that their worst fears and doubts may be coming true -- that the government cannot be relied upon to adhere to noninflationary monetary policy over the long run; that anyone who bets on inflation coming down and staying down (that is, anyone who lends money at a lower interest rate) can count on losing it to the tax of inflation. money markets growth no In the current environment of uncertainty and concern about the budget deficit, the effects of volatile money growth are magnified. important Hence, the stability of money growth is a particularly With the aspect of monetary policy in the currrent situation. experiences of the past decade fresh in the public memory, erratic monetary that noninflationary money growth adds to the uncertainty policy will, once again, not be maintained over the long run. That skepticism helps keep interest rates high, even as actual inflation falls. Research completed recently at the Treasury Department shows that the volatility of money growth has, conservatively estimated, raised the entire term structure of interest rates by 2-3 percentage points over the last two years. This is the result that some have labelled "inherently implausible. " It might have seemed implausible to me too a decade ago, but years of inflationary monetary policy, despite rhetoric to the contrary, has had a profound effect on the behavior of the investing public. have repeatedly urged the Federal Reserve to provide for stable and predictable money growth. While it is naive to believe that an economy can move from a situation of secularly rising inflation and interest rates without some hardship, the cost of the transition would be minimized by stable and predictable money growth which could enhance, rather than detract from, the credibility of anti-inflationary policy, and speed the downward adjustment of interest rates to actual inflation. We more truth's Rack in the days of the "money matters/no it doesn' t" discussions, characterized as believing that "only typically money matters. " That is, the central bank's policy alone is important and all other economic policies are irrelevant. Nothing could be further from the monetarists were Far from believing that the central bank is omnipotent, I believe that the only thing a central bank can do -- effectively, over the long run -- is to assure the purchasing power of the monetary standard; that is, control inflation. The other goals that are frequently claimed to be appropriate for monetary policy -- stabilizing interest rates, stabilizing exchange rates, promoting real economic -- cannot be effectively pursued by reducing unemployment a central bank over the long run. When the attention and the powers of the central bank are pointed toward such goals the best that can be expected is that they will succeed for a short period of time only. In the long run, their efforts are likely to be self-defeating and may actually worsen the problem they seek to correct. growth, monetary policy is neither the source of all our economic problems nor their cure-all. Prudent, noninflationary monetary policy is a necessary condition to achieve real economic growth prosperity, but it is not the panacea for lagging productivity, secularly declining industries and compete internationally. investment an inability and and This leaves an extremely important role for the rest of economic factor Policymaking. Tax and regulatory policies are an important in providing the proper incentives for the public to save and for business to invest, and has clear implications for productivity and tax and Government competition, both domestic and international. spending policies determine the allocation of resources between the private and public sectors. the problem of the predictability In the current environment, of future monetary policy is compounded by concern about the Federal budget. The perception of unbounded growth of government spending into the future raises fears that higher inflation and/or higher tax rates lie ahead. The f inancial markets fear that the Federal Reserve will be pressured into "monetizing" the implied def icit: that is, f inancing spending by creating new money. Any signals that the Fed is coming under political pressure to revert to inflationary money growth only adds to that concern. The markets are also concerned "crowd out" private that large future deficits will borrowing in the credit markets and thereby we need to provide sustained economic impede the real investment Government borrowing absorbs savings that would otherwise growth. be available for private borrowing, spending and investment and, other things equal, raises the real cost of credit for all borrowers. Both the Congress and the Administration, by their actions, demonstrate to the public that the Federal government has the collective will to discipline itself now and in the future against the fiscal excesses which have otherwise come to be expected of We must face the fact that any government spending -- no matter how its goals or beneficial its impact -- imposes costs well intentioned In the short term, government spending can be on the economy. financed three ways -- through taxation, by creating new money or by Ultimately, however, only two sources of revenues are borrowing. available -- direct taxation and/or inflation. Therefore, the situation is simply this: if we are to allow government spending to grow unchecked as it has over the past several decades, we will face accelerating inflation (and the escalating interest rates that go with There are no other choices. high and rising tax rates or both. must it. it), I would see the clay that I would be trying to to downplay the importance of monetary policy. If that's what it sounds like I am doing, my point is simply this: monetary policy is of critical importance to the economy's performance; but so are tax and spending policies, the size of the budget, and regulatory policies. government never thought convince an audience Before I wander too far astray of my topic, however, I think I should comment on what has occurred in the past month or so with respect to monetary policy -- the so-called change in monetary pol icy. You may recall the popular parlor game in years past called "pass the story, " where people sat around in a circle and one person would whisper something to the person next to him, and one by one the It was always fascinating message was secretly passed around the room. -- to see at the end that the final story and sometimes hilarious bore virtually no resemblance to the original one. Well, today ourselves at home by chasing Now we entertain things have changed. green and yellow dots across our television screens and play pass-the-story at the national level. fact that the national game is much more serious, The Federal Reserve's just as hilarious. last month about monetary policy is a classic case in Except for the the outcome is often announcement point. I The Federal Reserve Board stated that there were two changes about to take place that could affect the form in which people hold their f inancial assets. Both changes were the result of legislation: the maturing in early October of $30-40 billion worth of All-Savers accounts and, secondly, the pending authorization of a new money-marketfund-type account for banking and thrifts. Chairman Volcker stated that the Fed foresaw no way of predicting with any precision the immediate impact of these two developments on the monetary aggregates, on Nl. Therefore, said especially Volcker, it will be more difficult to interpret the significance of the Ml figure and that the Fed will pay relatively less attention to Ml in the weeks ahead. ' It is clear that both the potential distortion from the two legislation-based phenomena, and the Fed's response to them, are of limited duration. In fact, temporary shifts in emphasis by the Fed in response to such financial innovation have been fairly common in recent years. A temporary change in emphasis in response to temporary distortions in the financial marketplace. And Nr. Volcker stated clearly that no change in the basic monetary policy or in their approach to policy was being made by the Fed. Then, some bankers, investors and, of course, a goodly portion of the press began playing "pass the story game" on a massive scale. By the time the story had made it around the national circle -- the original idea had been twisted almost beyond recognition. Before you could say tight money, it became "common knowledge" that the Federal Reserve had become so nervous about the continuing weakness of the economy that it had decided to change its policy to one of "easy money. " The fact that Mr. Volcker and other officials said just the opposite seemed to be of no concern to those who had become convinced that the Fed was abandoning its commitment to steady, moderate growth in the money supply. Proponents of various economic and political philosophies began to shout that this meant everything from abandonment of monetary control to a return to targeting interest rates. who are so conf ident that the Fed has moved to a policy money" might ponder for a moment what this would mean were true. The Federal Reserve usually acts in one of two ways: increases and decreases bank reserves in the banking system and raises and lowers the discount rate. If the Fed's actions with regard to bank reserves results in the M' s, and Ml in particular, Those if it it it of "easy at or near the target ranges, that can hardly be called easy being money ~ But what about the discount rate? There are many who believe that recent reductions in the discount rate are somehow a manifestation of an easing of monetary restrictions. Most recently, failure to drop the discount rate again is seen as raising doubts about the policy of "easing. " The problem with this view is that a Federal Reserve move to cut the discount rate almost always comes in response to a decline in market rates. Movements in the discount rate are typically the result, not the cause, of movements in market rates. It is little disturbing how quickly a viewpoint can take hold that "everybody knows. " It is more than a little As disturbing how often such common assumptions are flat-out wrong. Craig Roberts pointed out recently, "everyone knew" last year that the Reagan tax cuts and resulting deficits were going to drive inflation and interest rates right through the roof. Where are those people now who were forecasting that outcome with such certainty? They have simply moved on to another "story. " as something a This past spring there were those, especially in Europe, who that the dollar was strong only because American interest high. And they were certain that a decline in U. S. interest rates would weaken the dollar. We in the Administration repeatedly said that the dollar was high for much more fundamental reasons and that it would remain strong even as our interest rates That, of course, is precisely what has happened. began to move down. were sure rates were policy, achieving stable, moderate growth in supply remains one of the four strong cornerstones of the President's economic program. Throughout history sustained rapid And just as surely, growth in the money supply has led to inflation. inflation has led to high interest rates and declining economic activity. This Administration remains committed to stable, moderate for both low inflation and money growth as a necessary precondition interest rates. Both, in turn, are necessary preconditions for economic recovery. As for monetary the money assumed office with the firm conviction This Administration that the process of inflation is a major obstacle to vigorous economic As a result, a performance and expansion of individual opportunity. major part of the president's economic recovery program was the call for a gradual deceleration of monetary growth to a noninflationary pace. The basis of this monetary program was and still is the recognition that sustained inflation -- no matter what may be the initiating force -- requires the accommodation of excessive money creation. And in spite of the steady whirl of rumor That is our view. reporting to the contrary, I am convinced that it is also the I am also convinced that the Fed will view of the Federal Reserve. continue to base its actions on that view. and ooo |cpa&ment of the Treasury ~ Washington, D.C. FOR RELEASE AT 4500 Telephone $66-2041 November P~M~ TREASURY TO AUCTION ~ $6, 750 MILLION 10, 1982 OF 2-YEAR NOTES The Department of the Treasury will auction $6, 750 million of 2-year notes to refund $4, 544 million of 2-year notes maturing November 30, 1982, and to raise $2, 206 million new cash. The $4, 544 million of maturing 2-year notes are those held by the public, including $557 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities' million is being offered to the public, and any by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign monetary authorities (including the $557 million securities) will be added to that amount. The $6&750 amounts tendered and international of maturing In addition to the public holdings, Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks, for their own accounts, hold $422 million of the maturing securities that may be refunded by issuing additional amounts of the new notes at the average price of accepted competitive tenders i Details about the new security are given in the attached highlights of the offering and in the official offering circular. oOo Attachment R-1024 HIGHLIGHTS OF TREASURY OFFERING TO THE PUBLIC OF 2-YEAR NOTES TO BE ISSUED NOVEMBER 30, 1982 10, 1982 November Amount Offered: To the public. ................... .... of Security: and Term type of security. . . . . . Series and CUSIP designation. . . 2-yea'i notes Se'ries Y-1984 (CUSI'P No. 912827 November 30, 1984 ... .. .... ... ... Call dateo Interest coupon rate. . . . . . . . . . Investment yield. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Premium or discount. . . . . . . . . . . Interest payment dates. . . . . . . . . ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ No ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ available. Payment None Noncompe'titive $1, 000, 000' or non-institutional investors. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Full with Deposit guarantee by .......... designated institutions.funds' Key Dates: Deadline Settlement based on Yield auction ~ by 8) $5, 000 Sale: of sale ~ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Accrued interest payable by investor. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Preferred allotment. . . . . . . . . . . . Terms of Method NW the average'of:accepted bids To be determined' at auction after auction To be'deterrriined 30 May 31 and November ~ denomination provision To be' determined ~ Minimum I 1 Description Maturity date. $6, 750 million ~ ~ . tender Acceptable by institutions) .... b) readily collectible check. Delivery date for coupon securities. due from a) cash or Federal November , EST 1:30 p. m. Tuesday, Friday, . to be submitted payment for receipt of tenders. . . . . . Wednesday, date (final payment bid for less Thursday, November November 17, 1982, 30, 1982 26, 1982 December 9, 1982 DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS DEREGULATION COMMITTEE Washington, D.C. 20220 PRESS RELEASE Secretary Regan's Opening Statement at the November 15, 1982 DIDC Meeting this special meeting, the Committee will establish new money market deposit account that may be offered by Federally insured commercial banks, savings and loan associations and mutual savings banks. The GarnSt Germain Depository Institutions Act of 1982 in addition to expanding the asset powers of thrift institutions and increasing the emergency assistance powers of the Federal insurance agencies, directed this Committee to authorize a deposit instrument that is directly equivalent to and At the long awaited competitive with money market mutual funds. The Committee's action at this meeting will be limited to authorizing an account that meets the specifications of the Garn-St Germain Act. At the scheduled December meeting, the Committee will consider seeking public comments on options for accelerating our long term deregulation schedule, rationalizing the current regulations on time deposits and authorizing an account much like the account we discuss at today's meeting but with unlimited transaction features. DIIIPTROLLER OF THE CURRENCY FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE CORPORATION NATIONAL CREDIT UNION ADMINISTRATION FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK BOARD DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY epartment of the 'treasury FOR IMMEDIATE Washlnston, ~ D.C. ~ Telephone S66-2041 November RELEASE RESULTS OF TREASURY'S AUCTION OF 73-DAY CASH MANAGEMENT 12, 1982 BILLS Tenders for $4, 002 million of 73-day Treasury bills to be issued on November 15, 1982, and to mature January 27, 1983, were accepted at the Federal Reserve Banks today. The details are as follows: BIDS: Investment Rate (Equivalent Coupon-Issue 8 64- OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE RANGE Price Discount Rate 8. 379~o 98. 301 98. 289 8. 4389. High Low Tenders at the 8. 70-o 8. 67% 8. 408~o 98. 295 Average low price were allotted 87%. TOTAL TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS: (In Thousands) Location Boston Accepted York $12, 293, 000 $3, 901, 000 Cleveland 41, 000 90, 000 5, 000 1, 326, 000 72, 000 3, 000 2, 000 687, 000 $14, 440, 000 22, 000 $4, 002, 000 New Philadelphia Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco TOTALS R-1025 Received Yield) Oepartment of the Treasury FOR IMMEDIATE D.C. ~ Telephone 566-2048 Washington, ~ 15, 1982 November RELEASE RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $5, 600 million 26-week bills, both to be issued OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: RANGE High Low Average at the at the Tenders Tenders of 13-week bills and for $5, 601 million of on November 18, 1982, were accepted today. 13-week bills maturing February 17, 1983 Discount Investment Price Rate Rate 1/ 97. 877 8. 399% 8. 70% 97. 858 8. 474% 8. 78% 97. 865 8. 446% 8. 75% low low 26-week bills maturing May 19, 1983 Investment Discount Rate 1/ Rate Price 95. 706 95. 672 95. 683 8.494% 8. 561% 8. 539/2/ 9. 00% 9. 07% 9.05/ price for the 13-week bills were allotted 01%price for the 26-week bills were allotted 45%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Boston New $ 10, 196, 420 31, 600 54, 235 40, 405 50, 805 858, 345 43, 810 11,565 47, 810 York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TOTALS Tzpe Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public Federal Reserve Foreign Official Institutions TOTALS =4~0 Received Location 0 Received Accepted 020 ~6, 81, 235 9, 768, 625 4, 627, 920 31, 600 120, 760 82, 940 34, 235 35, 405 49, 305 288, 345 41, 810 51, 430 37, 150 652, 600 44, 655 13, 220 57, 620 9, 565 32, 935 762, 950 238, 075 $12, 414, 975 47, 810 27, 935 122, 250 238, 075 $5, 600, 275 $10, 233, 480 930, 280 $11, 163, 760 1, 066, 515 $3, 418, 780 930, 280 $4, 349, 060 1, 066, 515 184, 700 $12, 414, 975 184, 700 $5, 600, 275 22, 840 ~Acce Ced 735 $50, 625 4. 703, 45, 760 49, 940 39, 005 34, 125 116, 600 34, 155 9, 220 51, 845 17, 840 173, 735 586, 735 274, 230 274, 230 : $11, 794, 040 $5, 600, 815 9, 556, 860 799, 580 : $10, 356, 440 1, 050, 000 $3, 363, 635 799, 580 $4, 163, 215 1, 050, 000 387, 600 387, 600 $11,794, 040 $5, 600, 815 1/ Equivalent coupon-issue yield. 2/ The four-week average for calculating the maximum on money market certificates is 8. 409%. interest rate payable -'~! . yeycnl'trent Of the Trsesua'y o Washington, O. C. o Telephon4. 588-2045 INALLY LECTURE OF MICHICAN BUSINESS MC UNIVERSITY SCHOOL THE HONORABLE R. T. MC NAMAR DEPUTY SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY ANN ARBOR, MICHIGAN November The Inexorable Linkage: The United States Geneva in what has been 15, 1982 International Trade and Finance is about to join 87 other nations in billed as the meeting of the decace to determine tne framework, direction, and momentum for international trade relations for the indefinite future. The GATT Ministerial 24-26 may, indeed, give both on November observers and government policymakers a clearer indica ion of whether nations will go-it-alone in internat ona' trace or make 'he difficult individual political decisions necessary to work together to deal with the serious trade and financial problems that now threaten the international economic, f'nancial, and politica' systems that have served tne Free thecal World for th last three and a hal f decades. The ve ry real danger i s that ind ividua 1 governm er. s w~ 1 choo se the course of econom ic ~solat onism on - the ba s'-s th the i r own comest'c" econom ic si tua t on mak es it pol itica '' impossib' e to make any majo sys em -- or even to uphold new commitment s to the present ones fu 1 1 y. the to &'nis eria decision may we '1 se economics, and therefore in ternational po'' cene. a' ly f or the res- of t he 20th Century. 7-102 open t ra='ing Th e Gy ~m .ona at at' ohs Today the world watches the United States, Japan, and the European Community to see whether they will assume or abdicate their role as world economic leaders. Each is vulnerable to to lead. The U. S. faces abdication. Each has opportunities intense economic domestic realities political pressures and to avoid adjustment loss of comparative advantage to new in some established industries. This has led to calls for other nations to further subsidize their industries. Japan is threatened with exclusion from its U. S. and EC markets unless it assumes the full measure of international economic responsibility and liberalizes its policies on imports. And, with record unemployment rates in the EC, coupled with recent political polarization, there is a distinct possibility that the EC will continue its pro-protectionist trends, turn its back on the developing nations of the world in its futile search for domestically politically policies. Indeed, it is fair popular, economically short-sighted to ask whether Western liberal democracies can maintain both an open market and free trade consumer welfare policies in the face of today's challenges. international economic environment national leaders have experienced in some time -- certainly the most politically difficult trade situation since the 1930s, when strong protectionist pressures is sure, the current of the most difficult To be one were coupled with poor economic In a recent op-ed noted that world article growth and in the Washin high unemployment. ton Post, Sir Roy percent during the trade debacle of the 1930s. Are we doomed to repeat those mistakes? Have the American people just elected a Congress that will revisit the beggar-thy-neighbor trade measures of that era? Or can we resist pressures for these kinds of trade actions and financial system? avoid the collapse of the international Denman trade declined y I think we can -- which may make me the only optimist about free trade in the room. But I recognize that the United States Our economy is too closely linked with those cannot do it alone. of other nations to turn away from the problems of other nations, or to deny the effect of our economic policies on others. The period ahead is not going to be easy. It will require strong world leadership to maintain an even keel and a pragmatic are We approach. going to have to judge very carefully what policies are in the best interest of the U. S. economy as a whole before jettisoning our traditional open market .approach and joining the foreign trend toward active government intervention or domestic markets. to further restrict international That's a mouthful. But it reflects my own deep conviction that our trade, financial, and domestic economic policies are today so integrally related that we have no other choice. We cannot look at each of them in isolation, attempting to deal with trade issues apart from their implications for the international economic situation or for the future strength of the U. S. More than ever before, each nation, in its economy. policy deliberations, must recognize and take into account the close inexorable linkages that are ever tighter between these can we policy areas. Only by recognizing the interrelationships synthesize an overall policy approach, and avoid inherent policy domestic contradictions. That's the conclusion of all the remarks I will make today. And while I know the University of Michigan Business School doesn't use the case method for teaching; case studies, however, of were an acceptable method of learning within the University School, which I attended, and they continue to be perhaps less progressive business schools further East. So, with due apologies to the Business School, what I'd like to do today is offer an analysis of the current international economic situation as the backdrop for a case study economic sphere. of government policymaking in the international I' ll attempt to provide an overview of recent economic facts, describe a mythical foreign industrial country, and let ~ou choose the policies which this country should now pursue. Michigan used at Law some I'd like to structure the But I'm getting ahead of myself. case analysis -- and betray a few of my own convictions as I do so -- by focussing on four major themes: 2. International integration now makes isolationism in trade -- or other economic policies -- virtually infeasible, and totally unacceptable as a policy Indeed, for the industrial democracies prescription. the distinction between domestic and international economic policy is now largely obsolete. countries' The collective response to the developing debt problems will be crucial to the future of the financial system, and the actions we take international in the trade area shou~1 in no way jeopardize this situation. The less developed nations -must be able to import the equipment and energy needed goods to This will continue their domestic economic growth. require net new financing, and preserving their export countries. All are markets in the industrialized the economic preserve gains necessary to necessary to underpin the Free World's political stability. 3. Most nations consequences they adopted now they also In an attempt inflation still have not fully adjusted to the of the overly expansive economic policies to ease the "oil shocks" of the 1970s; yet shock". have to face a new "disinflation to wring out the old problem of high from the economy, governments have been forced for the near-term to accept low real economic Reducing world trade will only compound the growth. economic problems for nations dependent upon export-led recovery. 4. My because of the transient of the moment only defer the Protectionist measures inevitable economic adjustment. -- import deal with the of problems only symptoms weak loss of comparative penetration, exports, causes. More to the advantage -- not their underlying and developing nations cannot point, all industrial restrict imports and increase exports. simultaneously Each nation's export is some other nation's import. Trade measures political conclusions the i r val id i ty. International adopted imperative stated, let Inte ration: me The Im attempt to pers'uade you of ortance of Trade Stimulated by the substantial reduction of tariffs among industrial countries during the Kennedy Round of trade negotiations in the 1&tiOs, as well as by strong and continuing domestic economic growth, international trade became the most In the decade of the 1970s, dynamic part of the global economy. the strong growth in international trade and an extraordinary increase in the use of private international financing provided to developing countries fostered their economic growth. trade increased eleven percent annually during the although it grew at a slower pace after the it still averaged six percent annual growth for the decade as a whole -- cor siderably faster than the growth i ~ World 1970-73, first oil shock, period and world gross national product. Relatively low levels of unemployment and the boom in global demand for- both capi consumer goods encouraged nations to provide increasingly -- markets for international until the goods 1973 and the subsequent pressures for trade developed during the recession of 1974-75. first oil restrictions tal a.". open shock in that In the aftermath of that recession, trade again picked up, nations although at a slower pace, as the major industrial adopted expansionary fiscal and monetary policies. While contributing to the subsequent increases in inflation, these inflationary policies did give a boost to trade, as did the continuing strong economic growth of most LDCs, and newly industrializing countries like Korea and Mexico. For the United States, exports in the latter part of the last decade actually grew twice as fast as the growth of world trade. U. S. exports as a share of GNP doubled between 1970 and 1979. By the end of the decade, exports accounted for one out of three acres of U. S. agricultural production, one out of eight U. S. manufacturing jobs, and nearly 20 percent of U. S. production of all goods. As world trade expanded, other countries also became more dependent on both imports and exports to earn the foreign exchange to pay for their increasing imports. and the oil shocks of the 1970s also capital flows and expansion of international institutions and greater interdependence among financial financial markets. International banks in the United States and abroad have provided the bulk of financing required to support economic growth and burgeoning trade flows between developed and developing countries. Rising spurred inflation an enormous Financial transactions have now become so interrelated that have, in effect, one worldwide market for a wide spectrum of Offshore banking borrowing, lending, and investment activities. centers and teleccmmunications link New York, London, Frankfurt, Bahrain and Singapore so that the sun never sets on the world' s Banks serve customers throughout continuous banking activity. the world and have the capacity to attract or borrow deposit funds in one center and to place them with borrowers anywhere in the world. Although the sources of funding may change, the role of the private financial intermediary remains the same Thus, the dropoff in OPEC surplus and net withdrawal of OPEC funds from banks in the international banking market has been compensated by increases in the share of funding from other principal sources, e. , the developed country centers, particularly the United we . ~ i. States. of this heightened interdependence are to all parts of instantaneously profound. We can now communicate in minutes the world and move billions of dollars electronically Total in response to a variety of complex market factors. tran~, actions in the U. S. foreign exchange market are often in excess of $100 billion per day. The Interde implications endence for all Nations Against this web of financial ties, consider individual economic policies. Substantial divergences in economic performance among the major nation's can have a significant impact of the system as a whole. Economic stagnation on the stability world is soon transmitted in the industrial through declining demanD for imports to reduced exports for the developing nations, which are dependent on exports to maintain and help finance the . economic of their domestic economies. The growth and development interrelationship is simple: i f the developing nations cannot export; they cannot import capital goods to transform the developing countries from being an exporter of commodities to being an exporter of finished products where they enjoy a If they can' t export, they can' t pay comparative advantage. their debts to the commercial banks of the developed countries that want to export to them. Again, there is a clear linkage. naticns' And f inally, par ticular ly wi th f ixed exchange rates, the efficacy of policy measures adopted by any individual nation is of the more limited than ever and more subject to the influence Today's flexible exchange rate system reduces globa' economy. the atility of governments to influence capital investment and savings through domestic actions, because of the ultimate exchange rate effects. illustrate the tie between domestic and To further international policies, the sizeable foreign exposur e in developing countries of U. S. and other nations' commercial banks and their interbank borrowing must be considered along with their objectives by central bank monetary prim iry anti-inflationary authorities when they establish domestic monetary targets. Thus, in its even the r~deral Reserve cannot be truly "independent" It operates in an international not isolated policymaking. domestic market. As Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau stated in September at annual Monetary Fund and the the meeting of the International "our compels us World Bank in Toronto, economic interdependence to understand that since many of our problems transcend international borders, we must solve them together if they are to be solved at all. " His words contain a warning against individual actions by nations. His insight is that not only is "no man an island", but no nation any longer can be insular. Let's examine further how this came about. Le ac of the Oil Shocks relatively bright trade picture of the early 1970s has now changed substantially. In major part this is due to the failure of the world economy as a whole to adjust adequately to the dual oil shocks of 1974-75 and 1979-80. The cost of oil The rose over 1, 000 percent between 1973 and 1981 -- from approximately $3 per barrel to over $34 per barrel. However, these data only tell the story for the United States. Since oil trade is almost exclusively priced in U. S. dollars, to look at the oil shocks in terms of other countries, we should look at these oil price increases in local cur'rencies. That is, how many DM or yen did it take to buy the dollars prices? I 'll examine necessary to buy the oil at ever-increasing 1972-1982 two periods: and (2) the most (1) the full decade, recent period of strength'in the U. S. dollar, 1979-1982. For the full decade, the cost of oil in three major currencies -- dollars, yen, and deutschmarks -- increased by the same percentages: 1, 034 percent, 1, 046 approximately -- all about 10-fold respectively 998 percent, percent, and increases. However, for Belgians using Belgian francs, the increase in the price of oil for the decade was further aggravated by the relative appreciation of the dollar (and decline of the Belgian franc against the dollar, yen, and DM) countries, during this period . Thus, for two key industrial increase in the cost of oil imports was Japan and Germany, the relatively the same as for the Unite' States for the decade, but for others, including many LDCs, the co t of the oil shocks was fa: more. to the more recent period, 1979-1980, differences in cost of oil imports due to the value of the dollar for The individual nations are more distinc. ~~d more drastic. increase in dollar terms was 174 percent, 219 percent in yen, 246 and 299 percent in Belgian francs. This percent in deutschmarks, shorter timeframe has been used by some as evidence that the appreciation of the dollar since 1980 has had an effect on certain economies similar in nature -- if not in extent .-- to the second "oil shock" itself, but has only affected countries outside of the United States. the Turning leaders who look exclusively at this more recent "the want to argue that this third shock -dollar oil ."hock" boosting has hit them as a double-whammy: the cost of oil imports and exacerbating overall tr ade/current account imbalances. The only ameliorating effect is that it has also boosted the U. S. demand for their goods, by decreasing the relative co'~t of their exports in dollar terms. This boost to other natio is' exports has been felt in the United States in terms of in=reased import competition, as in steel in the last two years. National time period — may balanced, I should also point out that the decline in currenc ies relative to the dollar 'has reflected in large part a market. reaction to the domestic economic policies in these countries. Continuing high inflation and rising budget deficits relative to other countries, for example, has contributed to the To be some of some European currencies. Many commentators the current weakness of the yen is also attributable deteriorating budgetary and export prospects for Japan. depreciatior. suggest Without make two off on too much of a tangent, I would observations from these basic facts: going general to like to politicans always look at a shorter time Unfortunately, There's little political horizon than economists. future in good economic policies. Indeed, in a free society, too often good economic policies and good pclitics are anathetical. 2. Exchange rates do affect trade flows, but they affect them in both directions. If the changes aren't overly speculative and destabilizing to the system as a whole, over time they should always balance out through trade and exchange rate ad j ustment. additional factor should also be mentioned with regard oil shocks. The percentage increase figures don' t reflect the efforts of a number of nations to reduce the volume of oil imports over this period -- or the relative increase in oil Nor does it say anything about the import volumes for others. ability of nations to pay the higher import bills. I suggest a more analytically comprehensive figure is the percentage of exports needed to pay for oil imports over a time period: this figure helps to demonstrate the cost of oil imports in terms of a One to the nation's trade account as a whole. For the period 1972-1981, the share of exports needed to pay imports increased substantially for all nations -- but more for some than for others For Japan the share more tha~ doubled. In 1972, 14 percent of Japanese exports were neede3 to In 1981, 35 percent of Japanese exports pay for oil imports. went for this purpose. Had Japanese exports stayed at their 1972 for oil ~ would have gone to pay for oil would not have met Japan's full oil import there would have been no foreign exchange to imports, such as coal, grain, or lumber from level, all of these exports imports -- and still needs. Obviously, buy other essential the U. S. These facts help to demonstrate Japan's heightened need to export more manufactured goods -- such as cars and TVs where Japan has a comparative advantage in order to pay for its oil imports needed to keep its people warm and employed. Japanese Diet members, like their peers in the other industrial democracies, follow the same logic as do U. S- Senators and Chamber of Deputies members. Similarly for Belgium to pay for needed oil and imports Brazil, the share of exports this per iod. In ~tri led during 14 percent of its export earnings to pay for Today, half of Brazil's exports now go simply to pay for its oil imports. For the United State s, the compa r able inc r isa se was from 5 to 28 percent. The sharp increase in U. S. agricultural exports, where we enjoy a comparative advantage, has helped the U. S. pay for our ever more costly oil imports. 1972, Brazil needed oil. In sum, the dramatic oil price increase and dollar oil price produced two major economic consequences worldwide: increases to the 1960s, the rate of inflation nearly for both developed and developing countries. The average inflation rate for OECD nations in the 1970s was 8. 4 percent; for LDCs, 26. 5 percent. Much of this increase was due to the oil price shock, but As compared tripled expansionary monetary and fiscal policies in a number of countries were also a major contributing facto~, In addition, in European countries the use of wage indexation schemes further ratcheted up inflation rates. Indeed, indexed domestic social programs costs countries increased as a result of in industrialized inflationary shocks: oil external or internat'anal Again, price increases and foreign exchange movements. I suggest the intervoven fabric of in~ernational and domestic policies interacts in often unforeseen ways. 2. the decade, non-OPEC trade and current account OECD surpluses were transformr d balances plummeted. into an average deficit of S14 billion in 1974-80, while the small LDC deficit jumped to an average of $40 billion. Lacking economic adjustment, these deficits Indeed, they were by the had to somehow be financed. international commerc ial banks. During -10- There has been a great deal of analysis and discussion about the need for structural adjustment to the new oil price situation. Unfortunately, too little adjustment has actually taken place. Usually, as in the United States, the political process has impeded the necessary economic changes. ecoromic adjustment is especially critical for the external debt has ballooned in recent years. Let me explain. With few exceptions, developing countries have increased their international debt rather than adopt the domestic measures needed to ad just structurally to the higher cost of oil and inflation of the 1970s. That is, they failed to bring about a sustained reduction in their merchandise and current account deficits in order to reduce the need to borrow. LDCs have too often preferred to rapidly increase imports for consumption to maintain or increase current living standards and at the same time increased imports capital goods for industrial development Increasingly these imports were financed in larger and larger Thus, proportion with borrowed funds for the commercial banks. from increased earnings rather than utilizing foreign exchange economic exports with sustainable external debt increases from to: (1) build too many LDCs attempt simultaneously development, increase an industrial consumption; and, (3) count economy; (2) on higher and higher inflation to cover their current policy excesses. As a result, LDC debt has grown at a rapid but unsustainable pace. The recent scale of LDC borrowing to finance imports in order to achieve rapid economic development was unprecedented. However, LDCs whose ~ non-OPEC LDCs from banks in the jumped from $10. 5 billion in 1977 to $22 billion a year later in 1978 and almost doubled again to $41. 6 billion in 1981. The outstanding balance of debt owed to private Western banks by these countries, primarily in Latin America, reached !230 billion by the end of 1981, and exceeds a Net new borrowing major industrialized quarter of a by the countries trillion dollars today. at the same time, a concurrent trend was developing that would ultimat ely undermine this continued growth in LDC Inflat on expectations and performance had begun to borrowing. Industrial countries generally had shifted away from change. domestic policies toward policies of more expansionary disinflation. For the developing countries in particular, this shock" or transition to lower has introduced a new "disinflation nominal increases in economic growth. However, lenders and finance ministries of loan portfolios =hat were borrowing nations are re-evaluating about future expectations established under quite different inflation. Levels of debt which seemed sustainable under inflation and therefore assumptions of continuing ever-increasing growing export receipts, suddenly are very high in real terms after accounting for inflation. And new borrowing is necessarily more costly in real terms, since borrowers can no longer expect to repay loans with ever cheaper dollars as happened in the latter part of the 1970s. Today, real interest rates are higher As a and result, the dollar export earnings commercial rate has become standpoint. exchange more costly from an a result, fundamental economic adjustment measures are to deal with this situation. Overall LDC cashflow requirements for financing must be reduced. In the very short run, this can only be accomplished by a reduction in LDC imports, either by reducing aggregate demand (and hence GNP growth) or by direct restrictions on imports. Over the longer term, export expansion and import substitution must become part of the more New domestic fundamental structural adjustment by non-oil LDCs investments and expanded export production capacity, however, will only occur after a considerable time lag. At the same time, rescheduling and restructuring of external debt maturities is essential to better match export earning and cashf low potential. As needed ~ For their part, bankers in industrial nations wi 11 tend to be increasingly selective in additional new lending. But it is crucial that new lending not be imprudently curtailed by all lenders. Banks will also look to international financial the International institutions, particularly Monetary Fund, for funds, and the support operations, additional medium-term imposition of programs requiring greater economic poli=y discipline in those LDCs whose debt positions are least sustainable ~ the plight of the LDCs, we must comprehend the To understand A general decline in k~y commodity magnitude of their problems. prices has exacerbated the problem for LDCs and reduced their total export earnings. World sugar prices have dropped 65 percent since 1981, causing the United States to impose import quotas to protect dome~tie price supports for sugar and further reducing export earnings for the major sugar exporting countries. and domestic policy (Again note the linkage of international considerations. ) prices have iallen 14 percent over this same period, effect on Argentina's exports. Copper prices have fallen 34 percent since 1980, affecting Peru's exports, among others. For nations that rely mainly on commodity exports for foreign exchange earnings, the combination of a worl ]wide recession and the transition to disinflation has beer brutal in terms of deter. iorating current account balance. Wheat with a major -12The Futur e for prospects in the developed countries'? in essence, that industrial nations face a reversal of the export-led growth phenomenon of the 1970s. LDC reductions in imports -- and the future expansion of LDC exports -- are crucial t'o the stability of the international financial system. In a slow-growth world& however, this means that developed countries will have to accept the reverse swing in LDC trade to enable adjustment to occur. Industrial nations' exports to LDCs may decline in real terms, yet industrial nations must continue to keep their markets open both to other developed countr ies and to LDCs to keep the international trade and financial systems from dissolving Protectionist moves among the industrial countries will merely compound the problem -- already of sufficient magnitude -- by . reducing the developing countries' ability to repay their debts, diminishing trade as an engine for economic growth, and possibly precipitating a global financial crisis. An implosion of trade and new financial credits would be shortsighted, self-defeating, and politically hazardous to the stability of the Free World. What do the international current trade, and debt problems for employment They require, of LDCs mean and growth ~ For OECD nations which are now endur ing a major recession near-record unemployment levels, this prospect is not After-inflation OECD economic growth has averaged encouraging. less than one percent during the last three years, while the volume of world trade has actually declined for the first time since the 1940s. Serious overcapacity in major industries such as steel, autos, and shipbuilding has created strong protectionist pressures -- and further increases in imports from LDCs will be met with a jaundiced in eye within these industries and particular. How harshly will the necessary LDC adjustment affect the industrial countries? Eor analytical purposes let's assume an extreme hypothesis: that commercial banks extend no net new loans to LDCs. This would suggest a reduction of 845 billion in -- roughly 15 percent of LDC imports. Such a new financing cutback would reduce OECD growth rates up to 1 percent. About $10 billion of this decline would come in U. S. exports, with a lesser effect on U. S. GNP since trade is still less important to the U. S. economy than to other OECD nations. In Europe, there would be no trade led recovery from the current recession and would sharply increase and cause further political unemployment instability. In Japan, the OPEC oil bill simply could not be paid without dramatic and politically unpalatable changes. economic system meet this challenge? Can the international Indeed, can the current international system as we know it These are the cuestions I ask you to answer. survive? -13- Before I pass this policy dilemma to you for your consideration, I would like to make a few gene al comments regarding the policy considerations that I per. -onally find of critical impo r tance to the future: 1. The importance of the developing nations to the U. S. . and to the global economy is usually overlooked Non-OPEC LDCs now account for nearly or misunderstood. That is more than the 30 percent of U. S. exports. Non-OPEC LDCs European Community and Japan combined. LDC exports supply 25 percent of U. S. imports. represent 17 percent of world trade, and their imports are nearly one-fourth of global imports. Their economic health is critical to the world economy. And, I submit, the United States' own for ign policy and economic future increasingly depends on their economic economy 2. progress. The crucial issue for industrial creating a climate conducive to nations LDC will be adaptation LDC export economic This means not impeding adjustment. accepting cutbacks in LDC imports where necessitated by a stringent balance of payments and debt situation, and working within the international financial institutions to encourage better discipline on future LDC economic behavior. and growth, 3. All the multilateral financial institutions must play a key role in the adjustment process. The International Monetary Fund must play a pivotal role in fostering timely and smooth adjustment by the LDCs. Current INF policy recommendations aim at reducing government interference in domestic economies, reducing subsidies and budget deficits, eliminating price controls and inefficient industrial support, and establishing realistic exchange rates and relative prices. These policies should be continued, and the INF should maintain strong conditionality of its loan prog rams to insure that such changes do in fact occur. Indeed, to provide added incentives for adhererce to IMF backed policies, disbursement of net new ccmmercial loans might t= more closely tied to meeting IMF program standards. 4. Each individual LDC must take the politically unpopular decisions to eliminate subsidies they have used to shield their people from the ravages of the world's oil ~~h" her it is artificially shocks low interest rates, export subsidies, controlled gasoline or bread prices, they must be adjusted to better reflect world market prices. The international governmental, commercial and -14- systems can simply no longer sustain or these subsidies through increases in ever-larger external debt too often supplied by the industrial nations' commercial banks. This reality nations with the internal must provide developing political justification for these admittedly domestically unpopula r actions. The alternative is to and face the political consequences become a non-player of that action. financial finance Let me touch on one last issue for your consideration as you decide the best policies for th future of your case study The need to adjust to new domestic and international country. difficulties economic rests with both LDCs ad industrial nations. are insisting the LDCs adjust, then we must do so as well. If This means adjustment not only to higher oil prices, but also to increasing competition from the advanced developing countries in our markets, even aside from the present debt situation, and to current problems of industrial overcapacity in our basic industries. Bluntly put, can any nation fail to adjust when it is losing comparative advantage to another section of the world industry'? in a particular we Community has done well at conserving energy, also done perhaps the least of the OECD nations in terms of adjustment to the indirect effects of the oil price shocks and The EC has barely begun to over-expansionary monetary policies. reduce overcapacity and to accep~: the loss of comparative The result is advantage to the Japanese and LDCs of the world. reflected in part in their weaker exchange rates vis-a-vis the U. S. dol 1 ar . The European but has have made Very weak economic growth and soaring unemployment anc' icult. economically di f f adjustment both politically Although some steps have been taken to «ncourage the retraining of workers ar ~ the reduction of overcapaci ty, progress toward ".his objective has been very slow. In the interim, the EC's system nf i."."ustrial subsidies, import restraints, and vari-ble levies and export subsidies in the agricultural area have increased the for other (. ountries such as the United burden of adjustment States, Brazil, and Japan. I am sure you are familiar with the steel and agricultural disputes which have recently plar. ued U. S. -EC bilateral relations, and I won't reiterate them here. some observers here are now arguing that we should industrial policy model -- both to bring the EC, and others, to the negotiating tabl , and to protect our own national interests for the future. In s»ort, we should cartelize the level, The so-called industrial policy world at the governmental debate will be an active issue en next year's political agenda, I However, mimic am the sure ~ EC -15- policy per se is subject to various Industrial definitions. purpose is to help facil . tate economic change, either through broad economic policies affecting all industries or through specific measures aimed at particular industries that are either: (1) in decline, (2) injured by foreign competition, or (3) growth industries of the future which need a boost to get While these are noble sounding ahead. &bj ectives, in most forms industrial policy in fact offers a theoretical cover for protectionism, whether based on infant industry arguments or on the need to match what foreign countries are doing. Its ostensible are: questions Key (a) Who (b) How be helped? should ones? policy proponents Nascent industries to answer or declining should they be helped? Through general tax measures, targeted subsidies, or trade measures? formula'? Is for industrial it How conceivable do you cut off help? that under our system of government, economists and industry advisers can answer all of these questions properly, decide who, how, and when to intervene, and also get government out again when 't's the right time'? I know of no example of government policy that gives me optimism. government Has government assistance Have quotas, in the past helped industries to or voluntary restraint agreements And have they used given industries the needed time to adjust? this time effectively -- or ended up by lobbying for more of the same? (Should we discuss the U S. textiles, shoe, auto, or mushroom industries? Or perhaps specia ty steel -- a modern well-managed segment of our steel inudstry that is still hurting today. Has government protection helped any of these'?) tariffs, adjust? What effective subsidies Ar e they do expo r t subsid i es do to the budget'? in increasing U. S. exports, or in matching foreign to avoid a decline in potential U. S. exports? The most difficult issue is clearl} when foreign governments' intervention adversely affects the U. S. ability to compete. What should our policy be? Do we counter foreign unfair practices, match them if our law= don't offer sufficient leverage to force a change in their practices, try to negotiate new international rules to define what 'cinds of intervention are fair? What are the effects of alternat ve approaches on the U S. economy, world trade, and our own effor'. s to adjust? These are not easy questions and I submit there are no But I would caution simple or even theoretically pure answers. mimicking before the United States European practices, that first at succesthe relative of those practices should gook within the EC in fostering the needed long-term adjustment -- and o then dpHrk~ W s i s r ea 1 1 y the route we wa.". -16- Polic tions: 0 At academic A Case Study last, I come to the real policy options but community may act as policymakers, where you in the will need to in lignt of the current consider the best alternatives international economic situation. even You have given you you should disregard the basic some general keep in mind any or "facts" of all of -my I' ve the case before you. policy considerations which I believe you are of course free to suggestions. although For purposes of constructing our case model, let's imagine that you are the Prime Minister of a rzythical foreign industrial country in the current world situation. In your nation imports are increasing rapidly; unemployment .:, s at a record level; your currency has appreciated relatively to your principle export markets currencies; protectionist pressures are growing on all fronts; exports are declining; the outlook for the trade deficit is staggering; LDCs are clamoring for better market access to pay off their ballooning debts; other countries are subsidizing exports, aggravating your export losses. You live in the world I have described. Assuming a docile, obedient Pari'ament, no strong constituencies, and no need no single-interest compromise, what policies should you choose to espouse? groups, interest to Assume you have to give a major TV address, focussing on the current economic situation. To prepare for the address -- and set the path for your future policies -- you have called a The Cabinet meeting of the Cabinet to ask for their advice. Trade, Finance, conveneS. Your Ministers of Labor, Agriculture, So is your Economics, and Foreign Affairs are all present. personal economic counselor -- a trus';ed former economics You have professor from the University of Michigan, now retired. asked the counselor to join you to give his objective opinion on He has the economic effects of the advice of your Ministers. already won his Nobel Laureate and has no political aspirations in either the United States or your country. He sits at your side during the Cabinet debate. Before you can even formally call the Cabinet meeting to order, your Labor Minister asks to speak. "Mister Prime Minister, " he says excitedly, "we must, we absolutely must protect our own industries. These are our people who are These people vote!" not foreigners. unemployed, -17- to increase domestic employment and production. re losing jobs daily to the Japanese. Our unemployment rate is at an unacceptable level. The unions are threatening a general strike. " Now waving his arms, he says, "our nation can help our people in several ways: through unilateral quotas, adjusted monthly according to consumption forecasts, or 'voluntary foreign export restraints' which our country would enfo rce. " "We have We' "Also, existing restraints cn imports from developing countries should be tightened anc sensitive imports monitored for surges, especially that cheap specialty steel from Sweden and Advanced industrial countries should be graduated from Germany. And finally, " says the special duty-free import preferences. Labor Minister, "bilateral aid should be tied exclusively to purchases of our exports. Oh yes, we do need new government subsidies to import-competing industries to help them to adjust into new products, introduce new =apital equipment and retrain workers. " Your soft-spoken University of Michigan counselor calmly you that the costs of these measures would be increased consumer prices and substantial Unless increase in inflation. the domestic economy picks up, there will be few if any new jobs. "Economic adjustment of protected industries will be delayed" he says, "And with new import restraints on LDC goods, overall LDC balance of payments and debt situations will worsen, possibly financial crisis and seriously affecting causing a major global our banking system. " advises He cautions finally that your key political opponent is suggesting precisely this protectionist policy line to win labor It will be very support for the next election in two years. tough to get blue collar support if you insist on maintaining open markets, because the next opposition candidate for Prime Minister is expected to promise more domestic jobs by increasing "Frankly, Mr. Prime Minister, unless you make a protectionism. major effort to convince the public of the extreme dangers of such shortsighted measures, he may get the votes and all your polic ies will be rever sed . " this point, ricult '. e Minister breaks in and exports and export subsidies to increase agricultural "Net f~rm income, " he says "is now at win back foreign markets. its lowest point since the 1930s. We have huge government stocks, which cost the budget billions in outlays to maintain. And the outlook Larg- quantities are spoiling in stvrage. is for " next dramatic production increases year. At proposes your Ag absolutely critical, " he argues, "that our country dispose of heavy stocks which ove rhang the market in our are producing our crops and And the Latin Americans products. selling them in our overseas mark, ts. I also think" says the Agriculture Minister, "that we shi~uld introduce a new system of variable import duties which will protect domestic prices from foreign competition. " "It is -18- "Sir, You turn' again to your special counselor. He says, these agricultural measures will only increase exports if foreign countries don't match your export subsidies, an unlikely assumption given their situation. Or they may decide to use subsidies to take away your markets in other third country markets. But because agricultural goods are commodities that are totally fungible, it's questionable whether any substantial net new sales will take place at all. You may a. so find that your exports of non-agricultural goods to competing agricultural exporting countries, which your country depends on for substantial export earnings, may be cut off in retaliation. In addition, " he says, "you may have to spend a lot of money, causing a major increase in your budget deficit and contributing to reinflation, higher interest rates, and fc reign exchange movements. New variable import duties would isolate your market " , and raise consumer prices. Your Trade Minister then leans forward, takes his pipe out of his mouth and says what more and more trade ministers are "Mr. Prime Minister, we must try to negotiate new saying to him. international rules to deal with the current problems. New rules could legitimize selective import restraints where there are rapid surges in imports due to currency appreciation. Because -you have little negotiating leverage with our own market being pretty open -- you should bring others to the negotiating table foreign export subsidies and countering unfair trade by matching practices at the border. ' The Trade Minister continues on with a plea for measures identical to foreign import barriers affecting your major exports, but de"igned to hit foreign countries on goods where it will hurt. It is his usual "get tough" reciprocity approach. "Domestically, " he argues, "you should embark on a new path of industrial policies to boost the growth of key industries and maintain employment. And you really should ea e monetary policy to reduce interest rates, which in turn will reduce the value of our currency. in the This would be supplemented by intervening I'm sure the Japaneese do it markets to drive the currency down. to the yen. Ne need a weak currency so we can export. " this point, the Trade Minister, political con=ensus wi th the Parliament At a who ;always wants interjects, "Mr to reach . Pr ime reach a consensus agreement to divide the It's the only modern world's market- into quotas for everyone. way. Otherwise, the more efficient producers will be the only ones to survive, and our most costly companies will either have to be nationalized Frankly, I think it' s or further subsidized. time we recognized that these economic decisions are far too important to be decided on the basis of the supply, quality, and price of goods. Only politicians can make international. economic decisions. These decisions are far too important to be left to what's best for the citizens, political officials understand Minister, we must ' them -19- this point, you turn to the counselor. Throughout the icy stares are being directed at him. But you call on him "These approaches" he says, "could dramatically cut again. imports, but will increase domestic prices to everyone, delay adjustment, and cause a substantial budget deficit increase. Not to mention the probability that foreign nations would likely retaliate in kind, setting off a protectionist spiral, rather than serious negotiations. Trade wars triggered the great depression worldwide. Your Administration would become increasingly involved in business decisions, and tempers will rise as industries line up for assistance, claiming they all can be competitive with government help. Exports may temporarily increase once the value of the currency declines (with a 1-1/2 year time lag), but essential imports such as oil will become more costly, aggravating the trade deficit in the short term. Nore importantly, LDCs will suffer severely from loss of markets, and probably be forced to default on debts owed to the English banks ' where our own banks are so closely tied in the London market. It could pr ecipi tate a domestic financial crisis here i f people lose conf idence in our banks because of the U. K. situation. We would then lose deposit funds from our banks as people sought safety in gold or United States Treasury Bills or U. S. bank CDs or real estate. This would drive down our currency against the U. S. dollar, increase our cost of oil more than our exports, and dry out the liquidity in our banks that need funds to level out now. If our people and multinational corporations did withdraw these funds, we would face a capital flight crisis and some of our ba .ks could collapse setting off a real depression here -- at a minimum, there would be no increase in domestic lending to 'our companies. " At room Now it is the Finance Minister's turn. He argues a free trade approach; maintaining as open a market as possible, and demanding compensation (in the form of better market access for other goods) from countries that impose import restraints. He turns to you directly and says, "Mr. Prime Minister, it is time that we ask for a strong p. edge by all major countries to avoid protectionism. I am strongly opposed to any "quick-f ixes" in either trade or sh= "t-term monetary policies. They don' t work. We must emphasize the need for long-term domestic and international adjustment to market forces. Ninimally inflationary economic policies should be maintained. " To help exports, the Finance Minister proposes credit g~»rantees rather than "ash subsidies, but urges that there should IMF be less conditionality to assist LDC growth. in international borrowing from the -20- You turn once again to your economic counselor. Recognizing that at this point he is not about to win any popularity contests, the advisor decides just to keep being forthright and honest. He notes that there could be very costly political repercussions from this course. "Economic improvement will occur "Imports will continue to increase only gradually, " he says. rapidly; the trade deficit will rise astronomical]y; interim will worsen until global growth -- including LDC unemployment -picks up. Other countries may not live up to the growth anti-protectionism " pledge if it has no teeth, worsening prospects for your expo rts. "What Your Economic Minister now decides ta put his oar in. really need, " he says, "is a change in the domestic policy mix. We ought to ease monetary policy to reduce interest rates and increase liquidity; cut government expenditures; reduce the budget deficit. " He goes on to recommend a general tax strategy which will ease the adjustment burdens for domestic industries "Mr. Prime Minister, " he and stimulate investment and growth. says, "you should keep your markets open to help lead the world into economic recovery, recognizing the importance of our economy to other nations' trade. But let's tip the terms of trade in our favor. " we Noting countries inflating, ministers the political/economic pursue disinflationary difficulties caused when policies while others are some of economic he argues for regular consultations to assure better economic- policy coordination. By this time, the Cabinet knows that after each statement This time the are going to turn to the man from Michigan. old advisor quietly explains that -- under this scenario interest rates should decline; as should the value cf your currency, giving a boost to exports after a lag, as initial J-curve increases import costs. Economic recovery will be However, hastened, with benefits for other countries. protectionist pressures and unemployment will remain strong in International policy the interim. The economy may reinf late. coordination is unlikely to result in major immediate policy i f pursued changes and could run counter to national sovereignty strongly. you Finally, your For eign Af fairs Minister proposes a new major of U N. trade negotiations, trading a change in domestic economic policies (to help lead other countries out of recession) "Concessions" in policies for trade access in foreign markets. aiming at mutual on both sides could be subject to consultations, round If not feasible, bilateral agreements to maintain growth. could b. sought shares or voluntary restraint arrangements relations. in political minimize conflicts He increases maintain proposes major debt reschedulings market to to assis '.. LDCs', pressure o. banks to in bilateral foreign aid, and the growth of new loans to LDCs. -21- the Foreign Minister finishes, heads turn again to your advisor. "'&fell, " he says, "successful trade/economic negotiations could have the same beneficial longer-term growth effects as unilateral growth stimulus policies proposed by the Economic Minister. However, it is unlikely that economic and trade ministers would agree to this kind of "swap". Bilateral market share or "voluntary restraints" will have the same side effects as protecticnist policies; increasing consumer prices and delaying of adjustment. Proposals to increase bilateral aid to help LDCs will increase your budget deficit, probably cause the central bank to increase the money supply and increase interest, ratres. That will cause the currency to rise, which will hurt exports and increase unemployment in our export sensitive industries And, last, if you' re going to tell the banks who to lend to and how much, they are going to want the profits and ask the government to ta ce any losses. That's like nationalization the government is on the hook. " As personal . At members this point, you thank your economic counselor of your Cabi:iet. At the tally. end of the meeting, your Ministers They announce that they have reached recommendation for your action: you should counselor. He, obviously does not understand take a a common and the secret fire your economic political realities. Now you leave the room with your faithful speechwriter, Sir What do you tell him to write? Flak, to prepare your TV address ~ relative merits of each However, let me leave that will belie my policy I will not attempt to delve into the recommendations. of the Cabinet Ministers' you bias general observations -- ifa few it is not already clear with to you. Virtually every country faces, to varying degrees, this kind of internal policy c ebate. And it is usually, if not always, the case that short run gains and long-term gains seldom run on the faced with choosing one over the same track. One is usually other. Second, the lone-term value of a course of action is often And this to its immediate popularity. inversely proportional what Because this case study here. issue brings me to the reaL courageous, political is really all about is leadership: leadership to take those actions which will redound to .the long-term benef it of one' s country. maximum those hard decisions, and sticking with them, is not But if in the Uni:ed States or in any other country. easy here system as individual economies -- and therefore the international to progress, the hard, tough political a whole -- are to cor. tinue must be made. deci s ions simply 4 Making -22- of the current trade issues are closely linked to slow domestic growth, high macroeconomic problems: of the dollar in the appreciation unemployment, and the strong past two years, which is now being reflected in increased U. S. imports and declining U. S. exports. Many broader Administration The to the in many is very sensitiv e to these problems and difficulties they are causing for workers and industries sectors. We know that the auto industry is now 20 percent unemployment and that capacity utilization has dropped to 60-65 percent Similarly, fo: the steel industry, capac i ty ut i 1 i za t ion for 1982 to date is estimated at 50 percent, losses are proj ected to exceed ~3 billion, and 40 percent of the workforce is on layoff or working experiencing short weeks. These are sobering quick-fixes that bring statistics. But immediate relief. can't promise any have reached an on steel which should help we We the European Community the problems of injury due to dumped or subsidized And we will be discussing the issue of japanese auto imports. restraints for the third year of its restraint program in the We have tried to be We have not been purist. months ahead. with agreement deal with pragmatic. But the trade measures we have taken for these industries do need to not offer a panacea. They do not address the fundamental adjust to increasing global competition, to improve U. S. The productivity, and to meet the challenge of new technologies. the auto industry increasing use of plastic i»stead of steel in will have a profound affect on the steel industry in the ~. uture; its impact is already felt. Similarly, automation and the increasing use of robotics in automobile production will ultimately mean fewer workers per car produced -- and these somewhere else. workers need to be able to find employment will be vigorous in defend ing U. S The U. S. Government But this industries against unfair foreign trade practices. doesn't mean there will be no pain. The U. S. , just like any LDC The ZC must the need to adjust. or other nation, cannot escape ' recognize that it may be on he very verge of choosing a protectionist path that will re"ult in its long-term industrial Today there can be no long-term decay rather than recovery. Those who argue for short-term economic future alone. self-serving protectionist policies have neither read history nor Loss of comparative fully understood today's integrated world. advantage is politically pai.-. ful, but domestic political actions can' t restore an international comparative advantage ~ without effects costs on and reactions. other domestic the actions can have adverse through increased inflation. And, groups to face these facts. We also have to recogr. ize the States will lead the global economic the . United fact that next that and year other nations wi 11 grow more slowly recovery -S. resulting in slower growth in U. S. expor:s than U. the have zmpor ts. -2 3- This will be compounded by the short-term adjustment of LDCs to their current debt problems. New credits will be provided. Resched ul ings wi 1 1 take place. The U. S. trade deficit will grow substantially: from about billion i~ 1982 to perhaps $75 billion in 1983. The current account will ~iso sharply deteriorate. We can' t. unilaterally change this —- even the U. S. is influenced by other nations' actions. I began this lecture with a broad analysis of what happened in the international economy during the 1970s and the early part of this decade. I then moved to the rather parochial policy $40 decisions Why'? Most What links the two? country. that international economic policy comes as the result of intr rnational meetings -- that the upcoming GATT Ministerial, f or example, can alone set the framework for trade of think people a mythical relations. I would contend that international economic policy is it actually something quite different: is the aggregate of all the separate decisions -- whether labeled international or domestic policy -- taken in individual countries that taken economy. together determine the future of the international The trade ministers of the GATT countries may meet in Geneva all pledge to avoid trade protectionism. But if they then go and impose import restrictions or agree to voluntary restraint arr-ngements or subsidize exports because of political pressures, what happened in Geneva will not really matter at all. The United States must take the lead in opposing further protective measures in response to domestic trends. We must provide the mom, ntum toward further liberalizing of the world' s trading system. Our own economic growth and future prosperity and that of o her nations with which is integrally related -- is too important to risk setting off a trade war, and imperiling global economic recovery in the process. If we ar to continue to be the political and economic and home leader of the Free World we must eschew the easy political choices and demand the hard economic adjustment -- of ourselves, of the OECD countries, and the G-77. It is our obligation. Indeed it is a test, because the poor and hungry of the world look to the United States for future hope and for help in We will not turn our back on the LDCs economic development. regardless of the posture of our Japanese or EC partners take in Geneva. The United opportuniti States will exercise the responsibility not abdicate leadership, sm . And, we it call to short-term on all who political seek economic of prosperity to join us in preserving, enhancing, and accelerating trade and the inexorable linkage of the world's integrated financial syst m. Department of the Treasury FOR IMMEDIATE November RELEASE 15, 1982 ~ O. C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 Washington, CONTACT: INTERNATIONAL Steve Hayes 202/566-2041 TRADE Deputy Secretary of the Treasury R. T. McNamar today said that "isolationism in trade -- or other economic policies is virtually infeasible and totally unacceptable as a policy " prescription. to the University of Michigan Business School said, "The very real danger is that individual governments will choose the course of economic isolationism on the basis that their own 'domestic' economic situation makes it politically impossible to make any major new commitments to the open trading system -- or even to uphold present "The GATT Ministerial decision ones fully, " McNamar said. may well set the tone of international economics, and therefore international political relations generally for the rest of the 20th century. " "Today the world watches the United States, Japan, and the European Community to see whether they will assume or abdicate their role as world economic leaders. Each is vulnerable to abdication. Each has opportunities to lead. The U. S. faces intense domestic political pressures to avoid adjustment to new economic realities and loss of comparative advantage in some established industries. This has led to calls for further subsidizing its industries. Japan is threatened with exclusion from its U. S. and EC markets unless it assumes the full measure of international economic responsibility and liberalizes its policies on imports. And, with record unemployment rates in the EC, coupled with recent political polarization, there is a distinct possibility that the EC will continue its pro-protectionist trends, turn its back on the developing nations of the world in its futile search for domestically politically popular, economically short-sighted policies. Indeed, it is fair to ask whether Western liberal democracies can maintain both an open market and free trade consumer welfare policies in the face of " today Speaking McNamar today's challenges. collective response to the developing countries' will be crucial to the future of the international financial system, and the actions we take " in the trade area should in no way jeopardize this situation. "The less developed nations must be able to import the equipment and energy-needed goods to continue their domestic "This will require net new economic growth, " McNamar said. "The debt problems their export markets in the inAll are necessary to preserve the economic gains necessary to underpin the Free World' s political stability. " financing, dustrialized and preserving countries. "Trade measures adopted because of the transient political imperative of the moment only defer the inevitable economic adjustment, "he said. "Protectionist measures only deal with the symptoms of problems -- import penetration, weak exports, loss of comparative advantage -- not their underlying causes. More to the point, all industrial and developing nations cannot simultaneously restrict imports and increase "exports' Each nation's export is some other nation's import. "The European Community has done well at conserving energy, but has also done perhaps the least of the OECD nations in terms of adjustment to the indirect effects of the oil price shocks and over-expansionary monetary policies, " "The EC has barely bequn to reduce overcapacity McNamar said. and to accept the loss of comparative advantage to the Japanese and LDCs of the world. The result is reflected in part in their weaker exchange rates vis-a-vis the U. S. dollar. " "The U. S. trade deficit will grow substantially; from about billion in 1982 to perhaps $75 billion in 1983. The current $40 We can't unilaterally account will also sharply deteriorate. change this -- even the U. S. is influenced by other n itions' actions. " "I would contend that international economic policy is. . . -- of all the separate decisions international or domestic policy -- taken in individual determine the future of the countries that taken together " he said. international economy, the aggregate "The trade ministers of the GATT countries whether may . labeled meet in But if all pledge to avoid trade protectionism. restrictions home and import or then impose agree they go to voluntary restraint arrangements or subsidize exports because of political pressures, what happened in Geneva will " Geneva and not really matter at all. Department of ihe Treasury ~ Washington, D.C. e Telephone 566-2041 I FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P. M. November 16, 1982 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING of the Treasury, by this public notice, two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $11,200 million, to be issued November 26, 1982. This offering will provide $750 million of new cash for the Treasury, as the maturing bills are outstanding in the amount of $ 10, 449 million, including $1, 286 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities and $2, 307 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks for their own account. The two series offered are as follows: 90 -day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $5, 600 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated and to mature February 24, 1983 (CUSIP February 25, 1982, in the amount of $j, 0, 790 No. 912794 BZ 6), currently outstanding million, the additional and original bills to be freely The Department invites tenders for interchangeable. 181-day bills for approximately 26, 1982, and to mature No. 912794 CV 4) November $5, 600 million, to May 26, 1983 be issued for cash be dated (CUSIP ~ Both series of bills will and in exchange Tenders from for Treasury bills maturing November 26, 1982 Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the Addiweighted average prices of accepted competitive tenders. Federal bills be issued to Reserve Banks, tional amounts of the may as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount Both series of bills will be will be payable without interests issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,0pp and in any higher $5, 000 multiple, on the records either of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Tr easur y. R-1029 Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C20226, up to 1:30 p.m. , Eastern Standard time, lvfonday, November 22, 1982. Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week serzes) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . Each tender must be for a minimum of $10, 000 . Tenders over $10,000 must be in multiples of $5, 000. In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with three decimals, e .g . , 97 .920 . Fractions may not be used and dealers who make primary markets in Banking institutions Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities if the names of the may submit tenders for account of customers, . customers and the amount for each customer are furnished . Others Each are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million . This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p .m . Eastern Such positions would include bills time on the day of the auction. acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering, e .g . , bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six-month bills . Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million . . Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined No in the auction deposit need accompany tenders . from incorporated banks trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches . A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company and accompanies the tenders . Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of th ir tenders The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500, 000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. ~ Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch in cash or other immediately-available funds on November 26, 1982, or in Treasury bills maturing November 26, 1982. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Section 454(b) of the Internal Revenue Code, the of discount at which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed, or otherwise disposed of. Section l232(a)(4) provides that any gain on the sale or redemption of these bills that does not exceed the ratable share of the acquisition discount must be included in the Federal income tax return of the owner as ordinary income. The acquisition discount is the excess of the stated redemption price over the taxpayer 's basis (cost) for the bill. The ratable share of this discount Under amount is determined by multiplying such discount by a fraction, the numerator of which is the number of days the taxpayer held the bill and the denominator of which is the number of days from the day following the taxpayer's date of purchase to the maturity of the bill. If the gain on the sale of a bill exceeds the taxpayer's ratable portion of the acquisition discount, treated as short-term capital gain. the excess gain is of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series 27-76, and this notice, prescribe the terms of Nos. 26-76 and and these Treasury bills govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Department Debt. of the rreasury department FOR RELEASE AT ~ Washington, 4:00 P. M. O.C. ~ telephone S66-2040 November 16, 1982 TREASURY TO AUCTION $5, 000 MILLION OF 5-YEAR 2-MONTH NOTES of the Treasury will auction $5, 000 million of notes to raise new cash. Additional amounts of the notes may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities at the average price of accepted competitive tenders' The Department 5-year 2-month Details about the new security are given in the attached of the offering and in the official offering circular' highlights Attachment oOo R-1030 HIGHLIGHTS OF TREASURY OFFERING TO THE PUBLIC OF 5-YEAR 2-MONTH NOTES TO BE ISSUED DECEMBER 2, 1982 16, 1982 November Amount Offered: To the publxco ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ of Security: security. . . . designation. . Description Term and type of Series and CUSIP 5-year 2-month notes ~ Series G-1988 (CUSIP No. 912827 .... .... . Interest rate. . . . . . . . . Maturity date. Call date. . . . February No Premium Interest the average ... . ... NX 6) 15, 1988 provision based on To be determined ~ Investment salerno yield. $5 000 million of accepted bids To be determined at auction after auction To be determined August 15 and February 15 (first payment on August 15, 1983) ~ ~ or discount. dates. Minimum denomination available. . . . . . $1, 000 Terms of Sale: payment ~ Method of Accrued investor. . .. . . . . . . . . . . . by ...... ................. allotment. . . . . . . . . . . . . ~ ~ interest payable Preferred by non-institutional investors. . . . . . Payment Deposit guarantee by designated institutions. Key Dates: Deadline .......... ... Yield auction None Noncompetitive $1, 000, 000 or due from ( f inal payment institutions) date a) cash or Federal funds. . . . . b) readily collectible check. Delivery date for coupon securities. . to be submitted Full payment with tender Acceptable for receipt of tenders . . ~. . . Tuesday, Settlement bid for less by November EST 1:30 p. m. , 23, 1982, Thursday, December 2, 1982 Tuesday, November 30, 1982 Wednesday, December 15, 1982 Department of the Treasury FOR IMMEDIATE ~ Washinciion, O.C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 17, 1982 November RELEASE RESULTS OF AUCTION OF 2-YEAR NOTES of the Treasury has accepted $6, 753 million of of tenders received from the public for the 2-year notes, Series Y-1984, auctioned today. The notes will be issued November 30, 1982, and mature November 30, 1984. The Department j-4i528 million The interest rate on the notes will be 9-7/8%. The range of accepted competitive bids, and the corresponding the 9-7/8% interest rate are as follows: Prices 100. 044 99. 902 Bids 9. 85% Lowest yield yield Average yield Highest Tenders at the high yield 9 93- 9. 91% were New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury Totals The $6, 753 of noncompetitive from the publica 99. 938 allotted 96%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED Location Boston prices at Rece ived 76, 630 12, 059, 925 95, 900 247, 265 97, 515 89, 240 952, 205 155, 450 57, 930 69, 975 24, 000 596, 115 6, 155 $14, 528, 305 (In Thousands) $ Accepted 65, 550 5, 358, 495 75, 900 206, 025 65, 455 62, 660 432, 860 131,330 47, 930 68, 955 18, 000 213, 995 6, 155 $6, 753, 310 million of accepted tenders includes $1, 258 million tenders and $5, 495 million of competitive tenders In addition to the $6, 753 million of tenders accepted in the auction process, $280 million of tenders was awarded at the average price to Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international An additional $437 million of tenders was also monetary authorities. accepted at the average price from Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account in exchange for maturing securities. R-1031 department of the Treasury FOR RELEASE AT 12:00 ~ Washington, NOON TREASURY'S D.C. e Telephone %66-2041 November 19, 1982 52-WEEK BILL OFFERING of the Treasury, by this public notice, for approximately $7, 000 million of 364 -day bills to be dated December 2, 1982, and to mature 1, 1983 (CUSIP No. 912794 DF 8). This issue will about $1, 800 million new cash for the Treasury, as the 52-week bill was originally issued in the amount of million. The Department invites tenders Treasury December provide maturing $5, 194 bills will be issued for cash and bills maturing December 2, 1982. in exchange for In addition to the maturing 52-week bills, there are $10, 450 million of maturing bills which were originally issued as 13-week and 26-week bills. The disposition of this latter amount will be announced next week. Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities currently hold $1, 705 million, and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account hold $3, 531 million of the maturing bills. These amounts represent the combined holdings of such accounts for the three issues of maturing bills. Tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the weighted Additional amounts average price of accepted competitive tenders. of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the For purposes of aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. determining such additional amounts, foreign and international million monetary authorities are considered to hold $375 of the original 52-week issue. The Treasury The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount will be payable without interest. This series of bills will be issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10, 000 and in any higher $5, 000 multiple, on the records either of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasury. Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C. 20226, up to 1:30 p. m. , Eastern Standard time, Wednesday, Form PD 4632-1 should be used to submit November 24, 1982. tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. R-&O32 Each tender must be for a minimum of $10,000 . Te„ders over $10, 000 must be in multiples of $5 &000. In the case of competitive tenders, the price offered must be expressed on the basis of ]00, with three decimals, e .g . , 97 .920 . Fractions may not and dealers who make primary markets in Banking institutions Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities submit tenders for account of customers, if the names of the customers and the amount for each customer are furnished . Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million. This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p m Eastern time on the day of the auction . Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions . Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million . may . . of the bills applied for for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction. No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches . A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the Payment for the full par amount must accompany all tenders submitted tenders . Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders . The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final . Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for $500, 000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids . Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on December 2, 1982, in cash or other immediately-available funds or in Treasury bills maturing December 2, 1982 ' Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted -in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Section 454(b) of the Internal Revenue Code, the of discount at which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed, or otherwise disposed of. Section 1232(a)(4) provides that any gain on the sale or redemption of these bills that does not exceed the ratable share of the acquisition discount must be included in the Federal income tax return of the owner as ordinary income. The acquisition discount is the excess of the stated redemption price over the taxpayer's basis (cost) for the bill. The ratable share of this discount Under amount is determined by multiplying such discount by a fraction, the of which is the number of days the taxpayer held the bill and the denominator of which is the number of days from the day following the taxpayer's date of purchase to the maturity of the bilk . If the gain on the sale of a bill exceeds the taxpayer's ratable portion of the acquisition discount, the excess gain is treated as short-term capital gain. Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, and this notice, prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue Copies of the circulars and tender forms may be obtained from any numerator Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. FOR INNEDIATE The Treasury RELEASE NOVEMBER announced 22, 1982 today that the 2-1/2 year Treasury yield curve rate for the five business November 22, 1982, averaged five basis points. in effect ~PQ 0 rounded Ceiling rates based from Tuesday, on to the nearest this rate will 23, 1982 through November days ending be &monday, 6, 1982. Detailed rules as to the use of this rate in establishing the ceiling rates for small saver certificates were published in the Federal Register on July 17, 1981. Small saver ceiling rates and related information is available from the DIDC on a recorded telephone message. The phone number is (202)566-3734. December Approv d ~ Francis X. Cavanaugh Director Office of Government Narket Analysis Finance Ielsartment oy the Treasury ~ Washington, FOR IMMEDIATE Telephone 566-2O4% D.C. November RELEASE 22, 1982 RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS for $5, 606 million of 13-week bills and for $5, 601 million of both to be issued on November 26, 1982, were accepted today. Tenders bills, 26-week OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: RANGE High Low Average at the at the Tenders Tenders 13-week bills maturing February 24, 1983 Discount Investment Price . Rate Rate 1/ 98. 025 7. 900/ 8. 17% 98. 012 7. 952% 8. 23% 98.014 7-944/ 8. 22% low low 26-week bills Ma maturing 26, 1983 Investment Discount Price Rate 95 952 8 051/ Rate 1/ price for the 13-week bills were allotted price for the 26-week bills were allotted 51/ 8 95. 900 8. 155% 95. 923 8 . 109% 2/ 8.62% . 8 57% 83%. 5%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Location Received 71, 065 $ Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TOTALS ~e Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public Federal Reserve Foreign Official Institutions TOTALS 10, 954, 240 28, 860 71, 710 34, 330 55, 385 908, 710 42, 620 15, 795 40, 685 35, 295 829, 680 221, 645 $13, 310, 020 ted: : 51, Received ~Acce $ 835 4, 882, 045 28, 860 44, 725 33, 980 49, 685 117, 430 38, 870 8, 795 38, 370 25, 295 64, 130 221, 645 $5, 605, 665 : : : : $ 66, 680 34, 640 5'4, 775 : : : 26, 635 889, 840 37, 300 46, 380 37, 910 16, 205 714, 865 : : : : : : 64, 725 8., 867, 055 200, 955 $11,057, 965 37, 910 16, 205 379, 865 200, 955 $5, 600, 965 $3, 358, 765 671, 700 $4, 030, 465 1, 150, 000 420, 500 $5, 600, 965 $10, 869, 780 957, 340 120 827, $11, 1., 156, 600 $3, 165, 425 957, 340 $4, 122, 765 1, 156, 600 8, 815, 765 671, 700 465 487, 9, 1, 150, 000 326, 300 326, 300 $5, 605, 665 420, 500 $11,057, 965 $13, 310, 020 Accepted 60, 975 $ 4, 275, 305 41, 680 28, 640 39, 775 26, 635 409, 840 37, 300 45, 880 coupon-issue yields 1/ Equivalent the maximum 2/ The four-week average for calculating market certificates is 8. 319%. on money interest rate payable yepartment of ihe Treasury ~ FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE ' Nedne sday, l'ovember 24', 1982 Was¹ngton, O.C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 CONTACT: Charles Powers 202/566-2041 TREASURY DROPS TAX PROPOSAL Secretary of the Treasury Donald T. Regan today that the Treasury Department has dropped its plans to go forward with the proposal to require individuals to make deposits of estimated taxes directly with banking institutions through the Federal Tax Deposit (FTD) system. about 10 million individuals Under existing regulations, tax payments to IRS service centers. now make estimated announced that, after further review, it has the proposed estimated tax payment regulations could create undue complications for individual taxpayers Regan explained been decided and financial R-1034 institutions at this time. |epartment of the rreasIIry ~ washington, FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE o.c. ~ Telephone November RESULTS OF AUCTION OF 5- YEAR 2-MONTH S66-2048 23, 1982 NOTES The Department of the Treasury has accepted $5, 004 million of $10, 184 million of tenders received from the public for the 5-year 2-month notes, Series G-1988, auctioned today. The notes will be issued December 2, 1982, and mature February 15, 1988. interest rate on the notes will be 10-1/8%. The range bids, and the corresponding prices at the 10-1/8% interest rate are as follows: The of accepted competitive Prices 99. 684 Bids 10. 18% 1/ 10. 23% 10.21% Lowest yield yield Average yield Highest Tenders at the high yield were allotted 18%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury Totals $ 99. 486 99. 565 (In Thousands) Received 37, 831 8, 472, 575 40, 046 31, 743 51, 908 Accepted 19, 525 4, 501, 290 25, 946 19, 463 32, 448 28, 156 900, 222 73, 265 27, 880 22, 551 25, 882 470, 434 16, 336 199, 062 $10, 184, 327 $5, 003, 936 1, 834 The $ 5, 004 million of accepted tenders million of noncompetitive tenders and $4, 126 tive tenders from the public. 64, 445 20, 880 21, 551 5, 962 75, 194 1, 834 includes $878 million of competi- In addition to the $5, 004 million of tenders accepted in the auction process, $20 million of tenders was awarded at the average price to Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities. 1/ Excepting 1 tender of $15, 000. R-1035 department of the Treasury FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 PE ~ Was¹ngton, D.C. ~ Telephone S66-204' November MD 23, 1982 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING of the Treasury, by this public notice, for two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $11,600 million, to be issued December 2, 1982. This offering will provide $1, 150 million of new cash for the Treasury, as the matur'ing bills were originally issued in the amount of $10, 450 million. The two series offered are as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $5, 800 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated September 2, 1982, and to mature March 3, 1983 (CUSIP No. 912794 CL 6), currently outstanding amount in the of $5, 512 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. The Department invites tenders 182-day bills for approximately December 2, 1982, (CUSIP No. 912794 Cw 2 dated ). and $5, 800 million, to to mature June 2, 1983 be Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing December 2, 1982. In addition to the maturing 13-week and 26-week bills, there are $5, 194 million of maturing 52-week bills. The disposition of this latter amount was announced last week. Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, currently hold $1, 736 million, and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account hold $3, 546 million of the maturing bills. These amounts represent the combined holdings of such accounts for the three issues of maturing bills. Tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as monetary authorities will be agents for foreign and international accepted at the weighted average prices of accepted competitive tenders. Additional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal monetary Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. For purposes of determining such additional authorities, foreign and international monetary authorities are to hold $1, 361 million of. the original 13-week and 26-week issues' The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount Both series of bills will be will be payable without interest. issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,000 on the records either of the and in any higher $5, 000 multiple, Banks and Reserve Branches, or of the Department of the Federal Treasur y. amounts, considered R-1036 Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve manas and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, 20226, up to 1:30 p.m. , Eastern Standard time, Monday, November 29, 1982. Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . Each tender must be for a minimum of $10, 000. Tenders over $10, 000 must be in multiples of $5, 000 In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with three decimals, e .g . , 97 .920 Fractions may not be used. and dealers who make primary markets in Banking institutions Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities for account of customers, if the names of the may submit tenders customers and the amount for each customer are furnished . Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account . Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million . This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p .m . Eastern time on the day of the auction . Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering, e .g . , bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six-month bills. Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million . Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders. submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction . No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches . A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company and accompanies the tenders . Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Competibidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500, 000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. ~ Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on December 2, l982, in cash or other immediately-available funds bi. lls maturing December 2, 1982. or in Treasury Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Section 454(b) of the Internal Revenue Code, the of discount at. which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed, or otherwise disposed of. Section 1232(a)(4) provides that any gain on the sale or redemption of these bills that does not exceed the ratable share of the acquisition discount must be included in the Federal income tax return of the owner as ordinary income. The acquisition discount is the excess of the stated redemption price over the taxpayer's basis (cost) for the bill. The ratable share of this discount Under amount is determined by multiplying such discount by a fraction, the numerator of which is the number of days the taxpayer held the bill and the denominator of which is the number of days from the day following the taxpayer's date of purchase to the maturity of the bill. If the gain on the sale of a bill exceeds the taxpayer's ratable portion of the acquisition discount, treated as short-term capital gain. the excess gain is of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series and this notice, prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Department Nos. 26-76 and Debt. 27-76, pepartnlent of ihe Treasury FOR RELEASE AT 12:00 ~ Washington, D.C. e Teleiehone 566-204$ November NOON TREASURY OFFERS $8 i 000 MILLION CASH MANAGEMENT 26, 1982 OF BILLS The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $8, 000 million, as follows: bills (to maturity date) for approximately $5, 000 1, 1982, representing an additional amount of bills dated July 22, 1982, and to mature January 20, 1983 (CUSIP No. 912794 CG 7), and 143-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $3, 000 million, to be issued December 6, 1982, representing an additional amount of bills dated October 28, 1982, and to mature April 28, 1983 50-day to be issued December million, (CUSIP No. 912794 CS 1). Competitive tenders will be received at all Federal Reserve Branches up to 1:30 p. m. , Eastern Standard time, Tuesday, November 30, 1982. Wire and telephone tenders may be received at the discretion of each Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. Each tender for the issue must be for a minimum amount of $1, 000, 000. Tenders over $1, 000, 000 must be in multiples of $1, 000, 000. The price on tenders offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e. g. , 99.925. Fractions may not be used. Banks and Noncompetitive tenders from the public will not be accepted. not be received at the Department of the Treasury, Tenders will Washington. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competiand at maturity their par amount will be payable interest. The bills will be issued entirely in book- tive bidding, without entry form in a minimum denomination of $10, 000 and in any higher $5, 000 multiple, on the records of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches. Additional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary at the average price of accepted competitive tenders. and dealers who make primary markets Banking institutions in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities may submit tenders for account of customers, if the names of the customers and the amount for each customer are furnished. Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million. should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p. m. , This information authorities Eastern R-1037 time, on the day of the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures as well as holdings of outstanding bills and forward transactions e. g. , bills with with the same maturity date as the new offering; six-month bills. as fered of previously three months to maturity and securities Government in markets Dealers, who make primary York their Ilew positions of Bank Reserve report daily to the Federal tenders for in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting whose each customer for tender separate customers, must submit a million. exceeds offered $200 being net long position in the bill t!o deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks and recognized dealers and trust companies and from responsible of 2 percent of the par A deposit in investment securities. tenders for such must accompany for amount of the bills applied of payment by an guaranty bills from others, unless an express the tenders. accompanies incorporated bank or trust company Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those will be advised of the acceptance or rejection submitting tender of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch in cash or other immediately —available funds on Llednesday, December 1, 1982, for the 50 —day bills and on Nonday, December 6, 1982, for the 143-day bills. Section 454(b) of the Internal Revenue Code, the discount at which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed, or otherwise disposed of. Section 1232(a)(4) provides that any gain on the sale or redemption of these bills that does not exceed the ratable share of the acquisition discount must be included in the Federal income tax return of the owner as ordinary income. The acquisition discount is the excess of the stated redemption price over the taxpayer's basis (cost) for the bill. The ratable share of this discount is determined by multiplying such discount by a fraction, the numerator of which is the number of days the taxpayer held the bill and the denominator of which is the number of days from the day following tne taxpayer's date of purchase to the maturity of the bill. If the gain on the sale of a bill exceeds the taxpayer's ratable portion of the acquistion discount, the excess gain is treated as short-term capital gains Under amount. of Department of the Treasury Circulars, public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, and this notice, prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue Copies of the circulars may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. department of the Treasury ~ Washinciton, Release Friday, November 26, 1982 For Immediate TREASURY SEEKS CLARIFICATION Contact: OF SUBCHAPTER p.c. ~ Telephone 566-2041 Charles Powers (202) 566-2041 S REVISION ACT The Treasury Depar tment today announced that it will seek a technical correction to the Subchapter S Revision Act of 1982 relating to when a Subchapter S corporation may have a taxable year other than the calendar year. This technical correction will make it clear that the election of Subchapter S status by a corporation with a taxable year other than the calendar year will not be effective unless the election was made on or before October 19, 1982, or the Secretary of the Treasury approves such taxable year. The Subchapter S Revision Act generally requires that a corporation electing Subchapter S status may not have a taxable year other than the calendar year unless the corporation establishes a sufficient business purpose for such taxable year. An exception to this ru] e permits a Subchapter S corporation that has a taxable year other than the calendar year, which taxable year includes December 31, 1982, to retain its taxable year until more than 50 percent of its stock is transferred. The Treasury Department believes that Congress did not intend for this exception to apply to corporations electing Subchapter S status after the date of enactment of the Subchapter S Revision Act (October 19, 1982). Accordingly, the Treasury will, at the earliest possible time, seek a technical correction to the Subchapter S Revision Act to make this exception applicable only to corporations that had elected Subchapter S status on or before October R-1038 19, 1982. of the Treasury Oepartment FOR IMMEDIATE was¹ngton, ~ RELEASE D.C. 0 Telephone %66-204% November 24, 1982 RESULTS OF TREASURY'S 52-WEEK BILL AUCTION Tenders to mature as follows: and for $7, 001 million of 52-week bills to be issued December 2, 1982, The details are December 1, 1983, were accepted today. OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE RANGE BIDS: Price Discount Rate Low 91.585 91.507 Average— 91 535 8. 323% 8. 400% 8. 372% High Tenders at the low Investment Rate Coupon-issue (Equivalent Yield) 1/ 9.01% 9. 10% 9.07% price were allotted 3%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Received Accepted 710 $43, 11,676, 995 710 $28, -6, 2, 880 84, 975 46, 115 32, 235 005 122, 1, 58, 370 2, 880 71, 975 46, 115 9, 400 20, 425 Dallas San Francisco Treasury TOTALS 8, 020 744, 290 016, 095 31, 735 492, 535 32, 370 9, 390 17, 940 6, 020 210, 320 34, 570 34, 570 $13, 883, 990 $7, 001, 155 $12, 081, 295 $5, 198, 460 Type Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public Federal Reserve Foreign Official Institutions TOTALS R-1039 202, 695 1, 300, 000 $5, 401, 155 1, 300, 000 300, 000 300, 000 $13, 883, 990 $7, 001, 155 annual investment yield is 9-27%. This requires an investment yield on All-Savers Certificates of 6. 49%. 1/ The average annual 202, 695 $12, 283, 990 pepartment of the Treasury FOR RELEASF, AT Tuesday, UNITED ~ washinyton, 10:00 A. M November O.C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 CONTACT: 30, 1982 $10 MILLION COIN SALES STATES OLYMPICS RECEIVE Robert E. Nipp (202)566-2133 FROM COMMEMORATIVE Treasurer of the United States Angela M. (Bay) Buchanan presented checks totalling $10 million today to representatives of the United states Olympic Committee (USOC) and the Los Angeles Olympic Organizing Committee (LAOOC). The funds were generated coins since the limited by advance sales of Olympic commemorative pilot introduction of the program in mid-October. The Olympic Commemorative Coin Act passed by Congress earlier this year authorized a 1983 silver dollar, a 1984 silver dollar, and a 1984 ten-dollar gold coin -- the first gold coin issued by the United States in over fifty years. The legislation specified surcharges of $10 on each of the two silver coins and $50 on the gold coin to provide financial support for the training of young American athletes and for the staging and of the Los Angeles Olympic games. and Roy Ash, former director of the Office of Management Budget and Vice Chairman of the LAOOC and Bob Kane, past President of the USOC, accepted the two $5 million checks on behalf of their Olympic organizations. The The coins will be produced by the Bureau of the Mint. selling price is equal to face vajue, plus the cost of issuinq such coins (including labor, materials, dyes, use of machinery, All sales shall include the Olympic and overhead expenses). surcharge and the proqram will result in no net cost to the United States Government or to the American taxpayer. In recognizing this new means of financial support for the Olympic games, Secretary of the Treasury Donald T. Regan said: "We are encouraged by the stronq support within the numismatic We the growing interest of the general public. community and look forward to increasing sales as a broad based marketing and as these coins are offered outside program goes nationwide, promotion the United States. " Treasurer Buchanan reported that as of Friday, November 26, the Bureau of the Mint had received initial orders for 630, 000 coins. Gross sales totalled $47. 6 million, with surcharges amounting to $10.9 million earmarked for the Olympic Committees. More than 40 percent of the orders are for the complete three-coin set. Proceeds from the sale of U. S. Olympic commemorative coins are to be shared equally by the United States Olympic Committee Funds received and the Los Angeles Olympic Organizing Committee. athletes, to the USOC U. S. are train designated to Olympic by support local or community amateur athletic programs, and to erect facilities for the training of such athletes. The IAOOC will use its share of the funds to help stage and promote the 1984 (July 28-August 12) Olympic games to be held in the United States at Los Angeles. Preliminary designs for the three commemorative coins were introduced October 14 by Treasurer Buchanan. Today she introduced the final two-dimensional rendering of the new 1983 silver dollar designed by Elizabeth Jones, Chief Sculptor and Engraver of the United States. The obverse is a representation of a Greek discus thrower, and the reverse is the upper torso of an eagle. This coin will be available shortly after the first of the year, Buchanan said. The initial orderinq period announced last month has been 31, 1982. Prices are $24. 95 for the 1983 silver dollar, $48 for the 1983 and 1984 silver dollars, and $352 for the two silver dollars and the 1984 ten-dollar gold In coin. Prices after December 31 have not been established. event the a significant increase in bullion prices should occur, the Mint reserves the right, to discontinue the acceptance of orders. Once an order is accepted by the Mint, however, it will not be cancelled. due to changes in bullion prices. Orders for the coins should be directed to Bureau of the Mint, 55 Mint Street, San Francisco, CA 94175. extended through December Depclrt~ent 5f the treasury FOR I~M~ ~ n. c. o Telephone 566-204$ Washington, 29, 1982 November RELEASE RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $5, 800 million of 13-week bills and 26-week Milan both to be issued on December 2, 1982, OF ACKPC171D RANCE COHPETiTIVE BIDL'! Kgh Low Aver'age a/ Excepting b/ Excepting Tenders Tenders for $5, 801 million of were accepted today- 26-week bills maturing June 2 1983 Investment Discount Rate 1/ Price Rate 13-week bills maturing March 3 1983 Discount Investment I/: Price Rate Rate 8. R7/ 8. 93% 95. 735 b/ 8. 436% 97. 931 a/ 8. 183% 8. 64% 9.06% 95. 678 8. 549% 97. 892 8. 339% 8. 57% 95. 697 8. 511% 2/ 9.02% 97. 907 8. 280% 1 tender of $500, 000. 1 tender of $590, 000. at the low price for the 13-week bills were allotted 2%. 6t the low price for the 26-week bills were allotted 90%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Hchmond At), inta Chicago Stt Louis Minneapoiis Kansas City Dallas San 1PrancisCo Treasury TOTALS Received 26, 310 $ 8, 988, 045 28, 885 33, 645 29, 315 48, 040 894, 115 36, 235 13,410 42, 460 27, 970 Accepted 26, 310 4, 602, 045 28, 885 33, 645 29, 315 47, 790 402, 315 35, 235 13, 410 762, 680 204, 180 42, 460 27, 970 306, 700 204, 180 $11, 135, 290 $5, 800, 260 8, 952, 880 1, 125, 885 $3, 617, 850 821, 125 $4, 438, 975 1, 125, 885 235, 400 $11, 135, 290 235, 400 $5, 800, 260 : : : : : : Received $ : : : : : : : : 65, 705 9, 281, 720 14, 005 50, 330 32, 405 29, 335 686, 640 45, 560 14, 040 Accepted 705 $25, 820 5, 075, 14, 005 38, 330 32, 405 29, 335 154, 640 45, 560 14, 040 31, 225 31, 225 15, 150 171,300 10, 150 158, 665 171,300 : $11,222, 180 $5, 801, 180 8, 707, 405 $3, 286, 405 589, 375 $3, 875, 780 1, 125, 000 800, 400 800, 400 $5, 801, 180 784, 765 Type Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Pbbiit Fede&ai Reserve Foreign Official Ihstituti6tas Tb'rAL'S 9, 774, 005 $ $ : 'The 589, 375 9, 296, 780 1, 125, 000 $11,222, 180 aottpon-issue yield. four-week average for calculating the maximum od mone) matket certificates is 8. 389%. 1/ E(Qivaleht 2f 821, 125 interest rate payable Department of the Treasury FOR RELEASE UPON ~ Washington, D.C. ~ Telephone DELIVERY Expected at 2:00 p. m. November 30, 1982 STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE JOHN E. CHAPOTON ASSISTANT SECRETARY (TAX POLICY) DFPAFTMENT OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SENATE FINANCE COMMITTEE Yr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I am pleased to appear before you today to discuss the Administration' s proposals to increase and restructure the excise taxes currently dedicated to the Highway Trust Fund. The Administration has decided that increased Federal funding is needed at this time to maintain the guality of the nation's highway system. Therefore, it is appropriate that highway excise taxes be increased to finance these needed investments in the nation's public capital stock. The Administration strongly taxes to finance Federal highway user taxes to finance particular supports program reliance on user costs. Reliance on Federal programs, such as highways and airports, is fair because costs of the program are then paid by the beneficiaries of the service rather than User taxes also promote by the general taxpaying publica economic efficiency by encouraging the best use of scarce productive resources. By forcing highway users to confront the costs resulting from their use of the highway system, highway user taxes promote an economically rational use of the highway system and contribute to rational choices between highways and other methods of transportation. 566-244| Notor Fuels Taxes highway excise tax proposals, Under the Administration the tax rates applied to gasoline, diesel, and other highway motor fuels will increase from 4 cents per gallon to 9 cents The present 2 cents per gallon tax on gasoline per gallon. and other motor fuels used for non-highway purposes will be of taxation motor fuels will in These changes repealed. increase revenue to the Highway Trust Fund by $5. 3 billion per year in FY 1984. 4 The tax rate on gasoline and other motor fuels has been cents per gallon since 1959. During that period, the price level, as measured by the GNP deflator, has more than tripled and the price of gasoline has increased by an even greater proportion. Thus, the gasoline tax has declined significantly both in real terms and as a percentage of the price of gasoline. Noreover, the reduction in fuel consumption induced by the large increases in fuel prices in the past decade has further contributed to the decline in real revenue from Federal motor fuel taxes. Under the Administration's proposals, the tax burden per gallon of gasoline consumed, whether measured in real terms or as a proportion of the price of gasoline, will continue to remain significantly below the tax burden when the 4 cent rate wa first imposed. For an average motorist driving 12, 000 miles per year in an automobile with fuel consumption of 20 miles per gallon, the increased tax will raise the cost of driving by only $30 per year. Hi hwa Excise Tax Structure The Administration's proposals also provide for a major restructuring of the highway excise taxes' These proposals reflect the conclusions from studies undertaken by the Departments of. Treasury and Transportation on the highway excise tax structure, in response to a Congressional mandate contained in the Surface Transportation Assistance Act of 1978. The proposals are designed to promote a more equitable distribution of the burden of highway excise taxes among user classes, and at the same time reduce the compliance burden on taxpayers and the cost of administration to the Internal Revenue Service. The Administration believes that the share of highway taxes paid by different highway users should be correlated with the share of costs each user imposes on the highway system. To the extent that some highway costs cannot be separately attributed among users, tax shares should correspond with the amount of benefit from highway use. conclusion of the recently compl, eted of Transportation study on highway cost a11ocation is that, under the current tax structure, single unit trucks and light combination trucks pay a tax share substantially exceeding their cost share, while the tax shares of heavy combination trucks are significantly less than the relative costs they impose on the highway systems Autos, pickups, and vans appear to pay taxes roughly in line with cost responsibilities, but will pay less than their cost share in future years under the current rate structure because the relative share of revenues raised by fuel taxes will declineThe major Department Restructuring Pro osals The Administration proposals are designed to redress these imbalances and to bring tax shares paid by different user classes more closely in line with cost shares for the remainder of this decade. These objectives are accomplished the share of Highway Trust Fund revenues raised by increasing other excise taxes by motor fuels taxes and by restructuring so as to shift the tax burden from lighter to heavier vehicles. There are three major parts to the restructuring proposals. First, the highway use tax imposed annually on heavy vehicles registered for highway use will be increased and graduated for the heaviest vehicles. The exemption from this tax will be increased from 26, 000 pounds to 5 5, 000 pounds, but the rates for vehicles over 55, 000 pounds will be increased from the current rate of $3 per thousand pounds to $100 plus $6 per hundred pounds in excess of 55 000 pounds for vehicles between 55, 000 and 70, 000 pounds, 83. , 000 plus $17 per hundred pounds in excess of 70, 000 pounds for vehicles between 70, 000 and 80, 000 pounds, and $2, 7QO for vehicles in excess of 80, 000 pounds. Second, the exemption excise for light weight vehicles from the manufacturers' taxes on trucks and truck parts will be extended from the current 30, 000 pound exemption to vehicles weighing less than 33, 000 pounds, but the tax rates will increase from 10 percent to 12 percent on the truck sales tax and from This increase in 8 percent to 12 percent on the parts tax. eliminate excise tax liability for 76 the exemption will percent of all trucks and trailers currently subject to the tax and for 96 percent of the truck parts and accessories that are currently taxable. Third, an exemption from the excise tax on tires will be provided for tires manufacturers' weighing less than 100 pounds, but the tax rates for those items remaining subject to tax will increase from 9. 75 cents per pound to 25 cents per pound for highway tires and from 5 cents per pound to 25 cents per pound for tread rubber. In addition to these changes, we are recommending the elimination of Federal excise taxes on inner tubes and lubricating oil. These taxes are not needed to provide an equitable distribution of tax shares among user groups and the lubricating oil tax in particular has been found to be excessively' costly to administer relative to the amount of revenue collected. Modifications to Im rove Use Tax Administration and Equit Administration's proposals al. so include two important modifications to the highway use tax designed to First, the and increase equity' improve administration bill provides this highway spending proposal that accompanies highway the enforcing for increased state participation in eligible be not will states use tax. Under that proposal, for Federal highway assistance unless they require that taxable vehicles show proof of payment of the Federal highway The effective date of use tax before they can be registered. will be January enforcement requirement 1, 1985, leaving this states ample time to make the needed changes in vehicle registration procedures. The Treasury Department views this provision, or some alternative proposal to accomplish the same objective, as an essential component of any restructuring of the highway excise taxes that relies on the highway use tax as the primary method of ensuring that different types of vehilces pay taxes in proportion to the costs they impose on the highway system. The Administration proposal will greatly reduce the number of vehicles subject to the highway use tax by exempting from the tax all vehicles At the same with a gross vehicle weight under 55, 000 pounds. time, tl e tax will be significantly increased for the heaviest vehicles. For example, the annual tax imposed on the vehicles weighing 80, 000 pounds would be increased from $240 to S2, 700. In the absence ot improved enforcment procedures, these higher tax rates on the heaviest vehicles would greatly increase incentives for tax avoidance. l'moreover, at higher tax rates, non-compliance would have much more severe adverse effects on trust fund revenues, on the competitive position of taxpayers who pay the tax, and on the For these reasons, the Treasury equity of the tax structure. The regards it as essential that accompanying legislation include some mechanism to assure that state registration procedures can be used as a tool in enforcement. Department Second, the tax proposal provides an exemption from the highway use tax for vehicles that drive less than 2, 500 miles This type of exemption is per year on public highways. necessary to prevent imposing an excessive and unjustified tax on those vehicles, such as trucks used primarily in farming or logging, that are mostly used off-highway but that do occasionally use public highways to bring products to markets. The Treasury Department believes that a flat mileage exemption is the best method from an administrative and enforcement standpoint of relieving low-mileage vehicles from an excessive burden under the highway use tax. Conclusion proposals we are presenting will provide needed revenues to finance Federal highway programs, restructure the highway excise taxes to allocate the tax burden more eguitably among user groups, and improve enforcement and We reduce costs of compliance with the new tax structure. The urge their prompt enactments Revenue Effect 1983 Increase in Excise Receipts 2, 628 Tax Income offset Tax 51et Revenue Increase 657 1, 971 1984 1985 Fiscal Years 1986 ($ billions) 1987 1988 5, 417 5, 310 5, 279 5, 389 1i3541~327 4, 063 3, 983 5, 244 1 ~3111i320 li347 3, 959 4, 042 3, 933 lepartment of the Treasury FOR RELEASE AT ~ Washington, 4:00 P. M- D.C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 November 30, 1982 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING of the Treasury, by this public notice, for two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $11, 600 million, to be issued December 9, 1982. This offering will provide $ 950 million of new cash for the Treasury, as the maturing bills are outstanding in the amount of $10, 644 million, including $1, 057 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities and $2, 510 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks for their own account. The two series offered are as follows: The Department invites tenders 91-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $5, 800 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated September 9, 1982, and to mature (CUSIP March 10, 1983 in the amount of $5, 627 No. 912794 CM 4), currently outstanding million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182 -day December No. bills for 9, 1982, 912794 CX 0 ) approximately and to mature $5, 800 million, to June 9, 1983 be dated (CUSII' ~ Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange Tenders from for Treasury bills maturing December 9, 1982. Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign monetary authorities will be accepted at the and international Addiweighted average prices of accepted competitive tenders. tional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, monetary authorities, to as agents for foreign and international the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. bills will be issued on a discount basis under competinoncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount Both series of bills will be will be payable without interest. issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $l0, 000 on the records either of the and in any higher $5, 000 multiple, Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Tr easur y. tive The and 2 Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington D 20226, up to 1:30 p.m. , Eastern Standard time, monday, Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form December 6, 1982. PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Department of the Treasury . Each tender must be for a minimum of $10, 000 . Tenders over $10, 000 must be in multiples of $5, 000. In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with three decimals, e .g . , 97 .920 . Fractions may not be used . and dealers who make primary markets in Banking institutions Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities for account of customers, if the names of the may submit tenders customers and the amount for each customer are furnished' Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million . This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p .m . Eastern time on the day of the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering, e .g . , bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six-month bills . Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million . Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction . No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches . A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an, express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders . Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount. and price range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500, 000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch cash or other immediately-available funds Cash adjustments or in Treasury bills maturing December 9, 1982. will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Settlement on the book-entry records must be made or completed in on December 9, 1982, Section 454(b) of the Internal Revenue Code, the of discount at which these bills are sold is considered Under amount to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed, or otherwise disposed of. Section 1232(a)(4) provides that any gain on the sale or redemption of these bills that does not exceed the ratable share of the acquisition discount must be included in the Federal income tax return of the owner as ordinary income. The acquisition discount is the excess of the stated redemption price over the taxpayer 's basis (cost) for the bill. The ratable share of this discount is determined by multiplying such discount by a fraction, the numerator of which is the number of days the taxpayer held the bill and the denominator of which is the number of days from the day following the taxpayer's date of purchase to the maturity of the bill. If the gain on the sale of a bill exceeds the taxpayer's ratable portion of the acquisition discount, the excess gain is treated as short-term capital gain. of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series 27-76, and this notice, prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Department Nos. 26-76 and Debt. department of the Treasury FOR INNEDIATE ~ O.C. ~ Telephone S66-2041 Washington, 30, 1982 November RELEASE RESULTS OF TREASURY'S AUCTION OF' 50 —DAY CASH NANAGEME2K AND 143-DAY BILLS for $5, 008 million of 50&ay Treasury bills to be issued on 1982, and for $3, 002 million of 143&ay Treasury bills to be issued 6, 1982, were accepted at the Federal Reserve Banks today. The details are as follows: Tenders December 1, on December 50-day bills maturing January 20, 1983 OF ACCEPTED CONPETITIVE BIDS RANGE Hxgh Low Average— Tenders Tenders Discount Rate Price 98.919 7. 783% 8. 050% 7. 920% 98. 882 98. 900 at the at the low low 143-day bills April 28, 1983 maturing Investment Rate 1/ Price 96. 672 96. 649 96. 659 7. 98% 8. 25% 8. 12% Inves tment Rate 1/ Discount Rate 8. 378% 8. 436% 8. 411% 8. 79% 8. 85% 8. 82% price for the 50-day bills were allotted 14%. price for the 143-day bills were allotted 46%. TOI'AL TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS (In Thousands) location York Accepted Accepted $8, 280, 000 $4, 352, 000 9.620, 000 $2, 810, 000 40, 000 10, 000 15, 000 2, 000 905, 000 250, 000 678, 000 110,000 Boston New Received Received $ 10, 000 Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Ninneapolis Kansas City 1, 000 1, 000 675, 000 395, 000 $5, 008, 000 Dallas San Francisco $9, 901, 000 1/ Equivalent R-1044 coupon-issue yield. 1, 000 585, 000 $10, 909, 000 80, 000 $3, 002, 000 &ePa«~ent of the Vreasury ~ Washineton, D.C. FOR RELEASE UPON Expected at, December 1, 9:30 1982 ~ Teieilhone 566-QO@p DELIVERY m. a. STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE JOHN E. CHAPOTON (TAX POLICY) DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE HOUSE COMMITTEE ON WAYS AND MEANS ASSISTANT SECRETARY Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I am pleased to appear before you today to discuss the Administration's proposais to increase and restructure the excise taxes currently dedicated to the Highway Trust Fund. The Administration has decided that. increased Federal funding is needed at this time to maintain the quality of the nation's highway system. Therefore, it, is appropriate that highway excise taxes be increased to finance these needed investments in the nation's public capital stock. reliance on user Reliance on Federal programs, such as highways and airports, is fair because costs of the program are then paid by the benef iciaries of the service rather than public. User taxes also promote by the general taxpaying economic efficiency by encouraging the best use of scarce productive resources. By forcing highway users to confront, the costs resulting from their use of the highway system, highway user taxes promote an economically rational use of the highway system and contribute to rational choices between highways and other methods of transportation. The Administration strongly taxes to finance Federal highway user taxes to f inance particular R-1045 supports program costs. Motor Fuels Taxes highway excise tax propo diesel, and other highway gasoline, the tax rates applied to cents 4 from per gallon to 9 cents increase will motor fuels tax on gasoline gallon cents 2 per The present per gallon. purposes will be and other motor fuels used for non-highway These changes in taxation of motor fuels will repealed. increase revenue to the Highway Trust Fund by $5. 3 billion per year in FY 1984. The tax rate on gasoline and other motor fuels has been 4 cents per gallon since 1959. During that period, the price level, as measured by the GNP deflator, has more than tripled and the price of gasoline has increased by an even greater proportion. Thus, the gasoline tax has declined significantly both in real terms and as a percentage of the price of gasoline. Moreover, the reduction in fuel consumption induced by the large increases in fuel prices in the past decade has further contributed to the decline in real revenue from Federal motor fuel taxes . Under the Administration Under the Administration's proposals, the tax burden per gallon of gasoline consumed, whether measured in real terms or as a proportion of the price of gasoline, will continue to remain significantly below the tax burden when the 4 cent rate was first imposed' For an average motorist driving 12, 000 miles per year in an automobile with fuel consumption of 20 miles per gallon, the increased tax will raise the cost of driving by only 930 per year. Hi hwa Excise Tax Structure The Administration's proposals also provide for a major restructuring of the highway excise taxes . These proposals reflect the conclusions from studies undertaken by the Departments of Treasury and Transportation on the highway excise tax structure, in response to a Congressional mandate contained in the Surface Transportation Assistance Act of 1978. The proposals are designed to promote a more equitable distribution of the burden of highway excise taxes among user classes, and at the same time reduce the compliance burden on taxpayers and the cost of administration to the Internal Revenue Service. The Administration by different taxes paid with believes that the share of highway users should be correlated highway the share of costs each user imposes on the highway system- separateiy To correspond the extent that some highway costs cannot be attributed among users, tax shares shouid with the amount of benefit from highway use. The major conclusion of the recently completed Depart. ment. of Transport. ation st. udy on highway cost ailocation is that, under the current tax structure, single unit. trucks and light combination trucks pay a tax share substantiaiiy exceeding their cost share, while the tax shares of heavy combinat. ion trucks are signif icantly less than the relative costs they impose on the highway system. Autos, pickups, and vans appear to pay taxes roughly in iine with cost responsibi 1it i Restructurin es . Pro osais The Administration proposais are designed to redress these imbalances and to bring tax shares paid by different user classes more cioseiy in line with cost shares for the remainder of this decade. These objectives are accomplished the share of Highway Trust. Fund revenues raised by increasing other excise taxes by motor fuels taxes and by restructuring so as to shift the tax burden from iighter to heavier vehicles. There are three major parts to the restructuring . First, the highway use tax imposed annuaiiy on heavy vehicles reg istered for highway use wiii be increased and graduated for the heaviest vehicles . The exemption from this tax wili be increased from 26, 000 pounds to 55, 000 pounds, but the rates for vehicies over 55, 000 pounds wiii be increased from the current rate of $3 per thousand pounds to $100 pius $6 per hundred pounds in excess of 55, 000 pounds for vehicles between 55, 000 and 70, 000 pounds, $1, 000 plus $17 per hundred pounds in excess of 70, 000 pounds for vehicles between 70, 000 and 80, 000 pounds, and $2, 700 for Second, the exemption vehicles in excess of 80, 000 pounds. for iight weight vehicles from the manufacturers' excise taxes on trucks and truck parts will be extended from the current 10, 000 pound exemption to vehicles weighing iess than 33, 000 pounds, but the tax rates wiil increase from 10 percent to 12 percent on the truck sales tax and from This increase in 8 percent to 12 percent on the parts tax. the exemption will eliminate excise tax liabiiity for 76 proposals percent of ali trucks and trailers tax and for 96 percent of the truck that are currently taxable. Third, excise tax on tires manufacturers' currentiy subject to the parts and accessories an exemption from the wili be provided for tires weighing less than 100 pounds, but the tax rates for those items remaining subject to tax will increase from 9. 75 cents per pound to 25 cents per pound for highway tires and from 5 cents per pound to 25 cents per pound for tread rubber ~ the In addition to these changes, we are recommending elimination of Federal excise taxes on inner tubes and lubricating oil. These taxes are not needed to provide an equitable distribution of tax shares among user groups and the lubricating oil tax in particular has been found to be excessively costly to administer relative to the amount of revenue collected. Modifications to Im rove Use Tax Administration and E uit Administration's proposals also include two modifications to the highway use tax designed to improve administration and increase equity. First, the highway spending proposal that accompanies this bill provides for increased state participation in enforcing the highway use tax. Under that proposal, states will not be eligible for Federal highway assistance unless they require that taxable vehicles show proof of payment of the Federal highway use tax before they can be registered. The effective date of this enforcement requirement will be January 1, 1985, leaving states ample time to make the needed changes in vehicle registration procedures. The Treasury Department views this provision, or some alternative proposal to accomplish the same objective, as an essential component of any restructuring of the highway excise taxes that relies on the highway use tax as the primary method of ensuring that different types of vehicles pay taxes in proportion to the costs they impose on the highway system. The Administration proposal will greatly reduce the number of vehicles subject to the highway use tax by exempting from the tax all vehicles with a gross vehicle weight under 55, 000 pounds. At the same time, the tax will be significantly increased for the heaviest. vehicles . For example, the annual tax imposed on the vehicles weighing 80, 000 pounds would be increased from $240 to $2, 700. 1/ In the absence of improved enforcment procedures, these higher tax rates on the heaviest vehicles would greatly increase incentives for tax avoidance. The important 1/ For corn &nation trucks annual tax per vehicle over 75, 000 pounds, the in 1985 from all the highway excise taxes will increase from $1, 700 under current law to $4, 150 under the Administration proposal. total weighing at higher tax rates, non-compliance would have much severe adverse effects on trust. fund revenues, on the competitive position of taxpayers who pay the tax, and on the For these reasons, the Treasury equity of the tax structure. Department regards it as essential that accompanying legislation include some mechanism to assure that state registration procedures can be used as a tool in enforcement. Moreover, more Second, the tax proposal provides an exemption from the use tax for vehicles that drive less than 2, 500 miles This type of exemption is per year on public highways. necessary to prevent imposing an excessive and unjustified tax on those vehicles, such as trucks used primarily in farming or logging, that are mostly used of f-highway but that do occasionally use public highways to bring products to The Treasury Department believes that a flat markets. mileage exemption is the best method from an administrative of relieving low-mileage vehicles and enforcement standpoint from an excessive burden under the highway use tax. highway Conclusion we are presenting will provide needed to finance Federal highway programs, restructure the highway excise taxes to allocate the tax burden more equitably among user groups, and improve enforcement and reduce costs of compliance with the new tax structure. We urge their prompt enactment. The proposals revenues Effect Revenue 1983 Increase in Excise Receipts 2, 628 Tax Income Offset Tax Net Revenue Increase 657 1J971 1984 Fiscal Years 1986 1985 ($ millions) 5, 417 5, 310 1 354 4 063 1987 1988 5, 244 5, 279 5, 389 1 ~ 327 1 g 31 1 1 g 320 1 g 347 983 3g933 3/959 4g042 3 epartment of the Treasury o Washington, FOR IMMEDIATE December CONTACT: RELEASE , 1982 TREASURY TO REQUEST MUNICIPAL REGISTRATION DELAY D.C. ~ Telephone 566-204$ Charles Powers 566-2041 BOND The Treasury Department announced today that it will ask the Congress for a six-month delay in the registration requirement for State and local government bonds. and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982 that all bonds, including municipal bonds, issued after December 31, 1982, be issued in registered form. According to Treasury some jurisdictions will experience difficulty in complying with the registration rules by January 1, 1983. Therefore, the Treasury will request that the effective date for the registration requirements for tax-exempt obligations issued by State and local governments be deferred to July 1, 1983. The Tax Equity requires o0o R-1046 , partment of the Treasury FOR RELEASE AT Tuesday, ~ Washington, 10:00 A. M. November 30, 1982 D.C. ~ Telephone 566-204$ CONTACT: Robert E. Nipp (202)566-2133 Opening Statement By Angela M. (Bay) Buchanan The Honorable Treasurer of the United States Press Conference Presenting $10 million to the United States Olympic Committee and the Los Angeles Olympic Organizing Committee Tuesday, November 30, 1982 -- 10:00 A. M. At the Good morning. First, I would like to welcome to the Treasury L'epartment, Congressman Frank Annunzio, Chairman of the House Subcommittee on Consumer Affairs and Coinage; Robert Kane, Past President of the United States Olympic Committee, and Roy Ash, ViceChairman of the Los Angeles Olympic Organizing Let me Committee. also introduce Donna Pope, Director of the Mint. The Department is particularly pleased to have Congressman Annunzio join the Olympic Committee's representatives since he was a major force behind the Olympic Coin Act of 1982. is only appropriate that he share in the success of the program after all his effort to see that such a program had a beginning. It it's to present $10 million to Mr. Kane These funds represent the Olympic Committees. surcharges generated by advance sales of Olympic commemorative coins since the limited pilot introduction of the program in mid-October. Today, and Mr. Ash my for our priviledge the kickoff Many of you were here October 14 when we announced of the coin sales. In reviewing our marketing so far, we are extraordinarily pleased with the strong support we are receiving to increasing from the American numismatic We look forward community. sales as the marketing program is brought to the attention of the general public nationwide and as the commemorative coins are sold outside the United Sates. The selling These coins are produced by the Bureau of the Mint. price reflects our costs of production and contributions to the Therefore, the $10 million in surcharges that we Olympic committees. over to the Olympic committees today, is at no cost to are turning States the United. government or to the American taxpayer. R-, 1047 Pope tells me that the latest figures, as of last Friday, the Mint has sold over 630, 000 coins, for gross sales that indicate and surcharges amounting to almost $11 million. million $48 of almost of the orders are for the complete threepercent 42. 5 remarkable A Donna coin set. the Olympic Coin Program, we presented When we first announced preliminary sketches of the coin designs so that purchasers could see the concepts which would be used in the development of the final designs. As our October press conference, major refinements of the final designs, are in the works. . I indicated in in the development pleased to show to you today the final two dimensional renditions of the 1983 Silver Dollar Coin. As you can see, the change sketches presented at our mid-October press from the preliminary The Fine Arts Commission has favorably conference is dramatic. renditions and we are now proceeding to final commented on these execute the final steps in intricate design detail. Additional creativity to enhance the 1984 silver and gold coins also will be from rough sketches to actual coins. made during the transition I am behalf of the Treasury Department, I want to call public to lend their wholehearted support to the coin sale program for the Olympic movement. Only once in years do our athletes have the opportunity to participate We applaud Olympics. their efforts and wish them well in competition in Los Angeles. On American Now, present if every four in the the 1984 Bob Kane and Roy Ash will join me, I would like to $10 million. Then, our guests may have some brief Following that, Donna Pope and I will be delighted to them with comments. take your on the commemorative questions. 0 department of the Treasury FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE December 2, 1982 ~ Washington, CONTACT: D.C. ~ Telephone 566-204" Stephen Hayes 202/566-2041 TREASURY RELEASES STUDY ON FOREIGN AID Department today released a study, "The Economics of Foreign Aid and Self-Sustaining Development, " funded jointly by the Departments of Treasury, State, and the Agency for International Development. The Treasury The study was prepared by Professor Raymond Mikesell of the University of Oregon. It reviews and evaluates the findings of economic development theories as well as case studies, in order to assess which kinds of foreign aid are most effective, and under what conditions the development process is best promoted. The study is based on the view that the principal goal of foreign aid is to assist countries in achieving a condition of self-sustained growth (defined as maintaining over time an annual rate of growth of per capita GNP of 2. 5%). The central conclusion of the study is that development success is most effectively encouraged by outwardoriented governmental policies which provide the incentives of a free market. In order to most effectively promote the objective of growth, projects and sectoral programs supported by aid should be primarily structured to have a and productivity. maximum impact on production self-sustained R-1048 UNDER SECRETARY OF STATE FOR E CO NO M I C AFFAIRS WAS HI N GTON November 18, 1982 for International Development, and the of State and Treasury jointly funded a study by Professor Raymond Mikesell of the University of Oregon, entitled "The" Economics of Foreign Aid and Self-Sustaining Its purpose was to review and analyze Development. theoretical and empirical findings on economic and to determine the condition under which development, foreign aid most effectively advances the development process. The study provides an independent expert view on key questions. We hope it will be useful in discussions of such issues as the role of government in promoting the allocation of foreign assistance, development, the most effective types of assistance, and the measurement of development progress. conclusions. The study reaches a number of interesting According to Professor Mikesell, the principal goal of foreign aid should be to help countries achieve a condition of self-sustained growth. One of the major lessons derived from the paper's review of empirical studies is that governmental policies which are outward-oriented and which provide the incentives of a free market are most conducive to economic development. Professor Mikesell concludes that the role of The Agency Departments governments in promoting development includes implementing policies that provide appropriate incentives to productive activity and that contribute to the development of both Concerning the allocation human and physical resources. of assistance, he concludes that. assistance which makes concessions on interest and terms of repayment should be concentrated in low income countries, and that the conditions attached to assistance should vary with the level of development. regarding measurement growth in per capita Inevitably, of the recipient. of aid focuses . His conclusion on the rate of GNP. of the study's conclusions will One is the suggestion that a disagreements per capita income of $1000 is a sufficient basis for self-sustaining growth. Notwithstanding such controversial aspects of the study, we bring it to your attention in furtherance of our goal of improving the quality of discussion on this important subject. We would welcome your comments on the report, of which a copy is enclosed. provoke some Allen Wallis Beryl S rink ecretary or Monetary Affairs, Treasury Under M. Ps, Peter McPherson Administrator, Enclosure: a/s AID department of the Treasury FOR IMMEDIATE December RELEASE 2, 1982 ~ Washington, D.C. ~ Telephone 566-2048 CONTACT: M. Schneider 447-9939 Betty L. Russell 447-1391 Maurice of Engraving and Printing will be closed during Season from December 24, 1982 until regular business hours on January 3, 1983, Bureau Director Harry R. Clements has announced. All Bureau public services, including the Tour and The Bureau the Holiday Visitor Center, will be closed from 11:30 a. m. on December 23, 1982 until 8 a. m. , January 3, 1983. Security and essential maintenance services will continue to be performed. This is the second year that the Bureau has closed for the year-end period. The practice was undertaken for cost benefit reasons' R-1049 epartment of ihe Treasury For Immediate ~ D.C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 Washington, Contact: Stephen Hayes Re]ease 566-2041 Friday, December 3, 1982 Remarks hv Peryl Y. Fprinkel Under secretary of the Treasury for Monetary Affairs before the Union I.eaaue Club of Chicaao Friday, December 3, 1982 Chicaao, Illinois Chanoina Fronomy for those kind words of introductior. I to be here. I arew up in Yissouri, but Chicaao is adopted home; . o I aet back this way a often as possible. Tn Yet every time I am struck by the way this citv is chanaina. --or perhaps because of it the spite cf the recession economies of Chicaao, and the nation are k eainninz to take on that has profound implications new character -- a restructurina for future economic arowth. It's not a renaissance by any means. Indeed, many of the charaes are barely perceptible. Put I think it's time -- with economic recovery on the horizon -- to consider some of the new faces in our economy. Thank am my deliahted you very much first sians of The chanae evic'ent were becomina in the 70's. the end c f tl e last administration, was scouraed by failed economic the naticn's ecoromir policies and cratered with infj ation and record level interest rates. Inflation soared to 12. & percent in 1980, up from 5 percent at the encl of 197F. The prime interest rate hit a one hundred year peak of 21. 5 percent just before the Reaaar inauaural, up from 6. 8 percent ir Ry landscape 1976. The federal reqister exploded with thousands eland. ouestionable reaulation, . hand unerrplcyment affected mere than of paaes of 7. million americans. t the end of 1980, fai]ed economic policies hac1 brou~l t economic arowth to a halt. The C'NP at the start of 1982 was v jrtua] lv the same as 2t t1 P start of 197 py ghen Forald Reagan took cff ice, tc he was determinec i n i strat icn proposed and sound monetary ur adr rev i t al j ze this ecc nomi c wast iahter f i seal vol i cy econom j c proarams for t. & and reduced controls. We believed that lower. levels of inflation and increased interest rates would f aci l it ate new investments the economy upward. This, in turn, productivity. form idable. Inflation the first was power areas, the results of this program are in several And would reduced nine months from 1 2. 4 percent to 4 of this year. . P. percent for Prime interest rates were lowered by more than one months. 11 1/2 percent today, the lowest in twenty-five third, to From 1961 to 1980 federal spendinq arew six-fold from 92 billion to a burqeoninq 577 bi. llion. In 1980 the qrowth rate hit This year the federal spending arowth a record 17.4 percent. rate is down to 11 percent. And by fiscal year 1983 it will be under 6 percent. for sourd monetary controls is in place. E. nd The foundation to build the economic framework for recovery now we must continue that will shelter American prosperity a house of. many mansions and future insure Yet, there unemployment' sufferinq that people back to If I had economic qrowth. tragic item that remains. High ]evels of Eliminatinq this problem and the terrible human qoes with it is our hiahest priority. We must aet is one work. a dollar for every time I ' ve thouaht cf I think we could start an unprecedented job retraining program. The President has sianed a bill to spend a billion do] lars over the next three years for training vp to one million people for new jobs. End the new Export Tradina Company Pct is expected to aenerate 350, 000 new jobs. unemployment, Rut' aetting to the roots of unemp]. oyment has meant fightinq and hiqh interest rates caused by runaway government inflation taxinq and excessive money arowth. Ye know that when shoots up, it trigqers a delayed-action rise in unemp]oyment. Now inflation is being driven back down, and ]ower spendinq, inflation unemployment Let will fol] ow. say, parenthetic ally, that one of tl e important chanqe from an inflationary economy as it qoes throuqh the process of disinflation, is the impact on relative prices of real and financial assets. In periods of increasina inflation, real assets -- houses, land, qold, antioues -- provide investors with the qreatest expected real rate of return. In periods of declininq inflation, financial assets -- stocks, bonds, bank accounts, money market funds -- provide the greatest expected real rate of return. me effects of this Dvrinq much of the ]ast decade, as inflation rose rapidly& investors realized that they received their best expected rate of return on real assets, and they transferred their monev accordir qly. The prices of those real assets -- houses, land, cold -- went up. And the prices went down on the assets they sole' to make those purchases -- stoc) s and bonds. inflation. We are We are row in a period of. deceleratina experiencinq the reverse of. this process: investors have beaun to sell their real assets and put their money into financial assets. It is not an accident that, in recent months, the prices of houses and qojd have come down, while bond prices and, more recently, the Dow Jones Index, have risen. is selling houses and rugs to is some of that qoina on. Pnd in a $4 trillion economy, which we are on the verge of havina, a shift of one or two or three percentaqe points puts tens of billions of dollars into the economy in the form of expanded potential credit. Thanks to declining inflation, that phenomenon is already happenir g, and additional credit needed for economic expansion is formir g rapidly. buy I'm not sayinq that everyone and bonds. Put there stocks to jower its discount digits for the first time since 1979; the sixth reduction in iust four months. This demonstrates the Fed's confidence that inflation and market rates wij 1 continue coming down, and its confidence that we can work together for a healthy, noninflaticnary recovery. Ill of this lavs the qroundwork for a recovery that will mean more ~obs components rate. The Federal This l ey Reserve recently interest rate is decided now below two fcr ajl our peop1e. But let's take a closer jook at the unemployment. picture. has cyclical and so —cal ) ed structural Unemployment . The structural component -- that which is related to the vnderlyinq prcductive capacity of the erorcmy —— is a secular problem that reauires improvements in labor mobility, skill levels, and productivi ty. trnfortunately this fundamental, lonq- term unemp3 oyment has been increasec' throuah the ravaqes o f inflation. &he cyclical component has, of course, been increased Put there have also been other by the current recession. phenomena impacting cn the work force. In the last decade, the labor force expanded by almost 25 millior men and women. Py the end of the 70's, the full rate had rifted to 5 percent. beany economists today employment feel that a more realistic full employment rate is 6 to 6. 5 percent. Put the fact is, with unemployment at 10.4 percent, the full employment c'iscussion is mostly academic when applied to and more opportunity . c". people. It's more relevant when we consider the chanaing nature of our economy -- the restructuring of our industries ar d the hase. make-up of our employment Those of ynu in the midwest know only too we 1 1 that the industries that have been hit hare'est in this recession are the Pt the aut os, steel, chemicals. so-called "bedrock" industries: bankina, notably same time, some of the service industries, hospita3. s, information suppl iers, computers, communications, finar ciel services and professionel and technical workers were emergence of the service scarcely affected bv the slump. This -the biaaest employer the pcoromy sector as e new pi3 3ar of -where the iobs of about 3ot a says with the hiahest salaries ' the 80 s will he created. Let me hasten to say, here, that the traditional basic industries in this country are not about to die awav. This Pdministrat. ion is not about to let that happen and the Peaaan program of business tax reductions wi3l qo a long wav toward ecceleratina the modernization and revitalization of those irdustries. 0t the same time the service sector of the economy will continue to show strong growth. era of economic chanae has been brought. least in part, by an accelerated hreakthrouah ir new This new at about, technoloaies. The birth of. scientific disciplines such as information theory, auantum c3 ectronics, and space sciences heve led to r ew industries in computers, data processina, semi conductors, space and advanced cor. murications. menufacturina There has been phenomenal arowth in computers and electronics. Last year the software business tallied &15.5 billion in sales and services and a 20 percent increase in sales in this industry is expected i. n '82. Tn 1981, the electronics industrv accounted for more thar $100 billion in sales. Fend-held calcu3etnrs, diode watches, ard video aames have become as intearal to our society es the telephone and the typewriter. This explocina industry is expected tn hit ~350 to $400 bi13ion in sales by the late 1980's. Tt is would make it the fourth leraest industry in the world after steel, eut. os and chemicals. Finre about 1945, we have been turnina more and more to the service industries for ~obs. Ry 1981, for exemple, 72 percent of American workers were employed in the service industries. Between 1977 and 1980 employment business rose in the restaurant 18 percent. Fmploymer t in business services ir creased 32 percent. Leaal end arrhitectura3 and engineers. na services each reported iob aains of 25 percent. End in those three years, in computers and data processina increased e emp3oyment staagerina 64 percent. Ill told, the service sector last year made up 65 percent of the tcte3 CNP. put whet do these head-spinnina becomina, or indeed, have we already service oriented society? numbers rea33. y mean? become a predominately feer that a decline of the base. This notion often produces discontent, even it is widely perceived that a service economy would dominated economy would Yany pec p3 e siarify tl e Pre we service industria3 horror, since undermine the nation' s very economic independence and r ational security. But has America abandoned its gra. , s roots industries like auto and steel for the not so durable goods like Piq Macs and insurance policies? ] don't think so. T do think it's a auestion that should be examined. Let's look again at a definition -- and some misccnceptions. For one reason or another, the concept of the service industry has beer a fox in the hen house. &ervices have always been associated with eatinq and drinkinq establishments and lower But in reality, this represents only a small wage menial iobs. fraction of the total service sector. Colin C] ark, a noted economist and author of "The C'onditions Progress" qives a broader and more precise of. Fconomic definition. "service industries Pe writes: themselves into buildina communications, commerce public administration naturally oroup construction, transport and financial, professiona] services, defense, and personal services . " and and and Given this kind of perspective, the service industry picture Our service economy suddenly exhibits staqqerinq dimensions. weaves an intricate pattern into the very fabric of. our society and its basic industries 3 n fact, since most qoods and services have components of. each other in the production process, it is exceedingly difficu]t to separate the measurement of services . from that of qoods. Yy friend George Ftigler from C'hicaao, and this year's Nobel laureate in economics, attempts to liahten the burden of "There exists no authoritative explanation by writing: consensus or the classifications of service on either the boundaries industries. " yet, the leading economic indicators do not productivity in the service sector. ]'r our society, then, there is a need to integrate the manufacturino Both are qoira to p]av a complex with the service industrv. vital role in tcmorrow's free-market economy -- both Put we need a better internationally as well as domestica]]y. fi. x on how to measure service sector activity -- and on the role End as accurately of services measure in the total. econ omy. This country autos, chemica]s wi] and l not abandon textiles are its basic industries. Ftee], fundamental to the afford to abandon them. simplv industrial base. Besides, we can' t These basic industries are the pathway to new products and new processes. These industries may have to develop into more technologically sophisti. rated businesses-- where production will be special alloy steel for redirected toward specialty materia] s for instance; chemicals, synthetic satelli. special tes, and ships precision enqineered machines. The real auestior is: and fibers ace take fast to offer new iob chanqes enough p] these wi]] for our young people? encouraging the transition of our The or unskilled industrial base without leaving behind the displaced immediate the addressed worker. Already the President has Job Training The Comprehensive concerns of this problem. of this year, wil] October Program, which was siqned into law in teenaqers. unskilled and workers provide traininq for displaced to jobs these for people access Technical training will provide can more industries this, doinq in And previously unattainable. workers skilled of flow constant that a easily expand, reassured pool. labor the will be enterinq to displaced solution reauires opportunities workers and However, the President recognizes that this proqram, and In similar programs, are supplements to the long-term solution. putting our nation back to work in permanent. and rewardinq jobs, Our basic sustainable economic recovery must be achieved. An environment industries must be retooled and recharged. encouraging the development of service industries must be to all And, hiah technoloay must be introduced developed. industries whenever feasible. for reaching these President's Fconomic the implementina federal the rate of decreased have we in 1980 to 11.2 percent in 1982, with The foundation aoals has been set by Already Recovery Proaram. spendinq from 17.4 percent an estimated 4. 2 percent 1984. The rate of qrowth of federal regulations has been decreased by one third with over 50 major burdensome regulations havinq alreadv been termin ated. And, in fulfilling another commitment of the President's, a responsible and sound monetary policy has been adopted. increase by These achievements have been significant in settir for recovery, yet nowhere have we achieved success as with restructurina the tax system. foundation q the such The 1981 Fconomic Pecovery Tax Act is the corner stone cf the Administration's economic policies and essential tc long-term recovery. It provides for a 25 percent across the board tax rate cut for everyone. Ãe already have 15 percent of that cut. The third installmert, a 10 percent cut scheduled for July, 1983, will provide an additional boost fnr consumer purchasinq and savings, and for long-term investment. Additionally, as a part cf this proaram, tax rates have been to eliminate the inflationary impact of bracket creep. indexed As you know, movinq the third we had recently cor sidered year of the tax cut forward the possibility of to help with the economic arquments on both sides of recovery. There were sound that debate. And the Corqressional leadership indicated we would have a tough time gettinq a tax change through the lame duck session. But we did aet one important benefit from this debate- must goal. be everyone protected agrees that the final 10 percent and indexing . The P res ident is firmly committed to that To further advance economic recovery, the President had endorsed a "users fee" to preserve and rebuild deteriorating This proaram, hiqhways, bridges, and urban transit systems. calling for a 5 rent increase in the federal gasoline tax, would raise $5. 5 billion annually while costing the average driver no more than S30 per year. It is a first and important step in rebuilding our nation's neglected transport. ation system and ger crating activity in the depressed construction industry. these programs indicate, we are looking at 3ong term to our economic problems. Ye now know that the short-term approach wi13. not do the job. For. the last 40 years this kind of thinking has prevailed, and we have lost around to foreign competi. tion —— to those who took the long view on This was true in both government and industry. economic growth. I want to focus just for a moment on the government side. As approaches In past periods programs policy course, of difficulty, instead of trimming budget and tightening monetary qrowth, there was loose fiscal and profligate government The net effect, of spending. to was overflood the economy with undervalued do31ars. The economic uneauivoca3ly, record of the past decade should establish, that these policies are ineffective and ephemeral. designed a program to help stimulate provide incentives for businesses to make investmer ts. This is crucial for. long-term economic resu3 ts as well. And we are seeing some immediate President consumer capital growth. savinqs Reaaan and There has been a surge inflation down also has beer and interest in an upsurge i. n stock and bord prices. rates reduced dramatically, the housing industry. With there and the In January, both the Federal Housing Administration mortgage ratfs were 16 1 /2 percent. They Veterans Administration The discount interest rate is now down to are now 12 percent. 9. 0 percent. stimulated by the decline in mortgage interest rates, This overal3 housing starts escalated 14.6 percent in september. is the largest increase in any month for more than a year. An increase in home building, traditionally a sure-fire indication that the country is climbing out of a recession, will have a significant impact on large numbers of suppliers. rates have plummeted. Treasury movement in interest rate indicator a leading percent. 8 about 7 or Interest I cad ing ind icators rose again in h'ovember three month bills -are now down to -- the s ix th -- which In addition, the money supply in seven months. has increased. recovery of a advance in moves up historically Thjs should aive some boost to total spendina in the economy. eptember and personal income has Consumer spending increased in So, all in ajl, and contrary to what we been edging up steadily. keep reading in the press, I think there are artually cruite increase -- . that the recovery is of specific indications about to be -- underwav. number -- or is Whi)e I came here today mainly to taj k about the american economy, I would like to discuss briefly the internationa3 situation. In the last few months, a great deal has appeared in the monetary system newspapers about the state of the international debt. Fvery world growing of implications particularly the that to speculation and and doom, gloom day we are treated to billions of tens of which owe countries of the developing some their debts, to repudiate ecide might banks dol]ars to U. F. triggering a collapse c f the international banking system. Yy basic reaction is that these accounts are considerably international challenge, We do face a significant overstated. but the challenge is manageable. Rut as difficult as the situation has been for overextended borrowers and for the banks which have l. ent them money, there have already been some positive results from our attempts to rope Even as the rl ickens were romir a home to with the chaljenae. roost for countries like mexico, Rrazil and argentina, an impressive cooperative spirit was being displayed by the key players on each side of. this drama -- private banks, the IYF and other international organizations, and governments in the major nations. They have been wcrking together to help cope with those situations where the current strains are greatest. c'. Borne elements of a longer-run foundation are a] ready coming into place. Rorrowing cour tries are showing a greater willingness to take needed adjustment. measures. In order to ensure their future creditworthiness, I think they have learned they will have to pay greater attention to balance of payments adjustment in the future, and will need to have sounder economic policies. Lenders, hy exercising greater caution and prudence in their lending decisions, wjjl help make sure this happens. Pere in the U .F. , we are row entering an exciting, albeit apprehensive, period of economic change. It. is reshaping our businesses, our economy and our thinking. This economic change is a natural force, and like the flow of a great river, its movement cannot be blocked, its undercurrents cannot be ignored. believe that the course of economic growth has been set. are aware of the currents. End I believe that all of us need tn step back and take a contemplative look at the ba. . ic Ye But we structure Thank you. of tomorrow's economv. of ihe Treasury Department FOR IMMDIATE ~ washington, RELEASE Friday, December 3, 1982 D.C. ~ 7elephone 566-204% Contact: Fitzwater (202) 566-5252 Marlin BY DONALD T. REGAN SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY THE DEATH AND WOUNDING OF ATF AGENTS IN MIAMI, FLORIDA 1982 FRIDAY, DECEMBER STATEMENT ON 3, I want to express my deepest sympathy, both personally and behalf of the Treasury Department, to the families of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms Agents Ariel Rios and Alex D'Atri. Agent Rios, who was killed, and Agent D'Atri, who was seriously wounded, were part of this nation's determined effort to stop the flow of drugs into this country' As part of the Vice President's Task Force on Crime in South Florida, Agents Rios and D'Atri were providing valiant service to our nation. that Agent D'Atri We offer our hopes and our prayers willmake a successful recovery. on Our R-1051 hearts go out to the families and friends of both men ~ FOR IMMEDIATE The Treasury RELEASE DECEMBER announced 6I 1982 today that the 2-1/2 year yield curve rate for the five business days ending rounded to the nearest December 6, 1982, averaged Treasury ~pa Ceiling rates based on this rate will be f ive basis points. in effect December from Tuesday, December 7, 1982 through Monday, 20, 1982. Detailed rules as to the use of this rate in establishing rates for small saver certificates were published in the Federal Register on July 17, 1981. Small saver ceiling rates and related information is the ceiling available from the DIDC on a recorded The phone number telephone message. is (202) 566-3734. Approved Francis X. Cavanaugh Director Office of Government Market Analysis Finance of Points Summary Vade by Secretary Regan with Selected of the Press December NOTE: members 6, 1982 comments reflect Secretary Regan's thinking, but there is no plan or strategy for presenting this issue as a formal proposal, contrary to what you may read tomorrow in the Washington Post. The following -- We -- We are going through a worldwide period of disinflation. The effects on the Lesser Developed Countries are just as serious as on the industrialized nations. are facing "a conundrum, a big puzzle. " ovations are all being urged to increase exports and decrease imports. Yet, if we are all decreasing imports, the world export market will "Somethina has to give here. " diminish. -- The U. S. cannot remain All must share, the burden. I want this Ministers -monetary to talk about this problem with the week matters. We such problems. overall C'-5 Finance in Furope. have practiced "ad hoc financing" assistance where it is needed. e. g. recent and Brazil. But there is no overall system -- in the world. Also I want to talk with them about the international system and the role of central banks in international financial -- the only open market We (the Finance Ãinisters) terms . had to provide short term assistance to Yexico in place to approach better start thinking in all the answers now. We are aropina for will take a lot of time and we should start, first, with a series of informal discussions. Then perhaps, more of the formal talks. We first need to get a better understanding dimensions of the problem. In response to a auestion of whether a Pretton Wood-type conference was beina suggested, I said perhaps; but we are not ready yet for such a move. We the do not h ve solutions. It of ihe Treasury Department ~ washington, D.C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 FOR RELEASE ON DELIVERY EXPECTED AT 2:00 P. M. December DEPUTY 6, 1982 STATEMENT OF C. ilARREN CARTER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY (FEDERAL FINANCE) BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON SOCIAL SECURITY OF THE HOUSE COMMITTEE ON liAYS AND MEANS ASSI'" Mr. Chairman ANT and Members of the Subcommittee: pleased to present the views of the Treasury Department 7326, the "Social Security Miscellaneous and Technical Improvements Act of 1982". My comments will be directed only at the investment provisions of section 103 of Title I of the bill. The Treasury's Office of Tax Policy would like to present its views on the other titles of the bill at a later date. I am on H. R. outset, let me emphasize that decisions on the broader e. , assuring adequate of social security ~fundi. n, social security taxes or other sources of funds to meet future benefit payments, could affect inve"tment policy. On the other hand, investment earnings are only a minor source of income to the funds (1.3 percent of total receipts for the Old-Age Fund in fiscal 1982). Thus, the funding problem obviously cannot be resolved by changes in investment policy. At the question i. trust funds consist of four separate Survivors Insurance Trust Fund, the Disability Insurance Trust Fund, the Hospital Insurance Trust Medical Insurance Trust Fund. The Fund, and the Supplementary assets of the funds were $38el billion as of November 30, 1982. of the funds is by law the responsibility of the The investment Secretary of the Treasury. security -- social the Old-Age and The funds Under the social security laws, amounts in the social -ecurity trust fund" not needed to meet current benefit payments expenses may be invested in interest-bearing and administrative obligations of the United State' or in obligations guaranteed as to both principal and interest by the United States. The laws authorize the Secretary of the Treasury to issue special, nonmarketable public debt obligations to the trust funds and provide R-1052 that the funds be invested in these special non-marketable issues Under a 1960 unless the public interest indicates otherwise. interest determined by bear obligations special these amendment, interest rates the approximate to seeks which formula a statutory for a period borrowing for market the in would Treasury pay the provides: law The more four or of years' obligations issued for purchase by the Trust shall have maturities fixed with due regard for the needs of the Trust Funds and shall bear interest at a rate equal to the average market yield (computed by the Yianaging Trustee on the basis of market quotations as of the end of the calendar month next preceding the date of such i"sue) on all marketable interest-bearing obligations of the United States then forming a part of the public debt which are not due or callable until after the expiration of four years from the end of such Such Funds calendar month;. .. interest formula, trust fund investments made during the month of December 1982 bear interest at 10-3/4 percent. to The Treasury Department presented detailed testimony your Subcommittee on October 16, 1981 on policies and procedures governing the investment of the social security trust funds. I will direct my prepared comments today to the specific pro- Under this statutory in special obligations visions of the bill you are now considering. Section 103 of the bill would amend the exi ting statutory interest rate formula to provide that the trust funds be invested at the higher of two interest rates -- the current rate based on market yields on Treasury obligations of four or more years to maturity, and a new short-tern rate based on market yields on Treasury obligations with less than four years remaining to maturity. The explanatory material accompanying the bill indicates that the proposed amendment was prompted by the recent period of high short-term rates. Lfe believe that the long-range investment policies governing social security trust funds, and other trust funds, should not be dictated by the happenstance of current relationships between short-term and long-term interest rates. At the time the present law governing the investment of the social security funds was enacted, in 1960, long —term market rates were higher than shortterm rates. For example, 3-month Treasury bill yield" were about 2. 9 percent (coupon equivalent), and yields on 10-year Treasuries were about 4. 1 percent. Thus, the statutory requirement that the interest rate on fund investments be based on market yields on Trea ury securities with Cour or more years to maturity resulted in a higher return to the funds than would have been realized from the rates relationwith changing market conditions, ship has fluctuated substantially and in recent years there have been prolonged periods when shortterm rate - were higher than long-term rates. This relationship has changed dramatically over the past year, as short-term rates declined relative to long-term rates. The 3-month bill rate is currently about 8. 6 percent (coupon equivalent) and the 10-year rate is about 10.7 percent. In comparison, in Nay 1981 the 3-month bill rate was as high as 18.0 percent, while the 10-year rate was 14. 7 percent. Thus, the earnings of the funds will not necessarily be maximized by requiring that future investments be tied to either short-term or long-term rates. In Treasury's testimony before the Subcommittee on October 16, 1981, Deputy Assistant Secretary Stalnecker identified three deficiencies with the existing statutory formula for determining interest rates on social security trust fund investments: First, the requirement that the intere-t rate be based on yields on Treasury marketable issues with four or more years to ~naturit prevents the Tres ur"y from providing intere t "rates related to the specific maturities of the issues to the trust funds. Thus, when short-tern rates are higher than long-term rates, as was generally the case in 1979-1981, the trust funds receive a lower rate of return than they would receive if the statute permitted Treasury to pay interest rates related to the yields issues of comparable maturities. on Treasury marketable a formula based on short-term rates. Since 1960 long-term have generally been higher than short-term rates, but the Second, the requirement that the obligations issued to the bear intere"t at a rate equal to the average market yield at the end of the month preceding the date of issue subjects the earnings of the funds to erratic fluctuation" which may occur on any one day in the market, because of market reactions to shortor other unsettling news term economic or financial developments events. A better approach would be to base the interest rate on an average over a period, which would provide a more equitable rate of return and would help assure more stability in the earnings of the funds. funds Third, the requirement that the obligations issued to the funds bear interest rates equal to market yields on all marketable obli ations of the U. ST of the prescribed maturinterest-bearin in a somewhat lower rate of return to the fund- than xties results Treasury would be required to pay on new issues in the market. That is, under this statutory formula, Treasury must include in its rate computation the yields on many outstanding securities which were issued nany years ago at market rates considerably below current market yields. Since such issues are thus traded at deep discounts in the current market, they are especially attractive to purchasers who benefit from the capital gains tax advantage of deep discount issues as well as to purchasers who gain special tax advantages from the so-called "flower bonds" which are redeemable at par for the payment of estate taxes. Consequently such issue are traded at lower nominal yields than would be required on Treasury new issues. This inequity to the trust the Secretary of the Treasury funds could be remedied by permitting greater discretion to base his rate determinations on current issues which are reasonably market yields on selected outstanding reflective of Treasury's current borrowing costs' The two tier interest rate setting system proposed in the bill would not deal with these three deficiencies in existing law and it would not provide sufficient flexibility to assure an equitable rate of return to the funds. I am particularly concerned with the requirement in section 103 that the trust fund" be invested only in short-tern securities rates, and vice when short —term rates are higher than long-term versa. Such a policy would not necessarily benefit the funds in the long run, and such a policy would clearly not be consistent For example, as indicated with prudent investment practices. above, short —term interest rates are generally higher than longterm rates during periods when all interest rates are at cyclical highs. Thus a consistent policy of shunning long-terri investments when short-term rates are higher than long-terra rates would clearly be inadvisable and would not be followed by a prudent As indicated fund manager. above, we believe that the long range investment policies governing the Social Security trust funds and other trust funds should not be dictated by the happenstance of current relationships between short —term and long-term interest rates. There is no way of knowing whether any policy of maturity selection on the basis of interest rate forecasts will maximize fund earnings. LJe believe that the selection of maturities should be based on the expected cash needs of the funds and that the appropriate policy is to pick one strategy and stick to it. Accordingly, a possible approach would be to consider the above alternatives to correct the deficiencies in the existing formula. &awhile correction of these deficiencies in the statutory interest rate formula night not have a significant impact on the current earnings of the trust funds, there would be greater assurance of a more equitable and market-related return to the funds in the future. I would note, however, that the National Commi"sion Security Reform is addressing this issue, and I am sure want to consider their recommendations. This completes any questions answer provisions on we Social will all prepared remarks. I will be happy to the Subcommittee may have on the investment oi section 103 of II. R. 7326. my OoO department of the Treasury For Release Expected at December U on ~ Washingion, Deliver 10:00 a.m. 7, 1982 D.C. ~ Telephone 566-204$ EST STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE JOHN E. CHAPOTON ASSISTANT SECRETARY (TAX POLICY) DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON ENERGY AND AGRICULTURAL OF THE SENATE FINANCE COMMITTEE TAXATION of the Subcommittee: I am pleased to have the opportunity to present the views of the Treasury Department on S. 1911 and S. 2642, which would permit both cash and accrual method taxpayers to deduct the estimated cost of surface mining reclamation work in a taxable year prior to the year such work is performed. For reasons that I will discuss, Treasury is strongly opposed to both of these bills. Mr. Chairman and Members Back round The Surface Mining Control and Reclhmation Act of 1977 similar state laws require surface mine operators to restore ?and that is damaged by the mining process. In many cases the mine operator either must post a bond to insure his future performance of the required reclamation work or otherwise must demonstrate financial capability to perform the required reclamation work after mining activities are completed. and R-1053 of a controversy which has existed for some time between mine operators and the Internal Revenue Service over the proper time to accrue deductions for the cost of statutorily mandated reclamation The Service takes the work to be per formed in the future. position that such expenses are not accruable until the taxpayer incurs a present liability to pay for the reclamation work. Taxpayers argue that the estimated amount of the reclamation expenses should be deductible when the statutory obligation to perform the reclamation work arises. In a recent decision, the Tax Court held that the estimated expenses of an accrual method taxpayer to be incurred in future taxable years to satisfy its statutory obligation to reclaim strip-mined land were accruable during the year of the mining operation, even though reclamation work had not been started and the taxpayer had no present liability to pay for the performance of such work. Ohio River Collieries Co. v. Commissioner, 77 T. C. 1369 (1981) . S. 1 ll and S. 2642 would codify the Tax Court's decision on this issue for accrual method taxpayers and would provide S. 1911 and S. similar treatment 2642 are for cash an outgrowth method Descri tion of taxpayers. S. 1911 and S. 2642 S. 1911 and S. 2642 would permit both cash method and accrual method taxpayers, in computing taxable income for any year, to elect to deduct a reasonable addition to any reserve established for the estimated expenses of surface mining land reclamation. The election would be made on a basis. For this purpose the term property-by-property property" has the same meaning as in section 614 of the Code; that is, each separate interest owned by the taxpayer in each mineral deposit in each separate tract or parcel of land . is treated as a separate property. The estimated expenses would be allocated to .the minerals extracted. Thus, the accrued reclamation expenses would be deducted over the life of the mine as minerals are produced. 2642 The primary difference between would allow a taxpayer to also bills is that S. elect to allocate the two estimated expenses to the property "disturbed" rather than to minerals extracted. This would mean that expenses could be deducted as the land is "disturbed ." S. 2642 does not clarify what types of "disturbance" would give rise to the deduction. bills define the "estimated expenses of surface reclamation" as those expenses otherwise deductible under the income tax law which are (1) attributable to "qualified reclamation activities" to be conducted in future years, (2) are subject to estimation with reasonable accuracy, and (3) are either allocable to minerals extracted before the end of the taxable year (or, in the case The mining land of S 2642 g are al locable to that portion of the proper ty disturbed in the taxable year) . The term "qualif ied reclamation activities" is defined as land reclamation activities conducted under a reclamation plan submitted as part of a surface mining permit application under the Surface Mining Control and Reclamation Act of 1977 or under a plan submitted pursuant to a Federal or State law imposing substantially similar surface mining land reclamation requirements. If the amount in any reserve for estimated of to surface expenses mining land reclamation is determined be excessive at the close of any taxable year, then the excess shall be included in gross income in that year. Nonqualified land reclamation expenses of electing taxpayers to be would be deductible in accordance with regulations prescribed by the Secretary. ~ S. 1911 and S. 2642 also provide special treatment for estimated expenses of surface mining land reclamation that are attributable to mining activities occurring before the first taxable year for which the reserve accounting method is elected and that have not previously been deducted. These estimated expenses are treated as deferred expenses and may be deducted ratably over a 60-month period beginning with the first month of the first taxable year for which reserve accounting is elected. If mining of a property with respect to which there are deferred expenses will be completed in less than 60 months, then the expenses can be deducted ratably over that shorter period . bills generally would be effective for taxable years after the date of enactment. However, they also would validate retroactively the deduction of these estimated The ending future expenses for accrual method taxpayers who have accrued such expenses for one or more taxable years ending on or -before the date of enactment. Discussion S. 1911 and S. 2642 deal with a problem of income that is not unique to the mining industry. Taxpayers often generate income in one year and incur an expense directly associated with generating that income in measurement Indeed, generally accepted accounting principles frequently require the establishment of reserves for such future expenses, thus reducing net profit as reported on financial statements. subsequent a year. I first glance, there is some appeal to taxpayers' claims that they should be entitled to current deductions for The true profit from any incomethese future expenses. producing activity can only be determined by taking all related expenses into account. Nevertheless, there are three broad considerations that militate against permitting current First, a rule that grants a deductions for future expenses. At deduction today for tomorrow' s expense overstates the true cost, of the expense to the extent that the rule fails to take into account the time value of money. Second, such a rule is difficult to administer, since estimates of future expenses are inherently uncertain. Finally, the revenue loss from to all similarly situated such a rule, applied evenhandedly taxpayers, would be prohibitive. of the The first of these problems -- the overstating true cost of the future expense outlay is best demonstrated by example. Assume the taxpayer generates $100 of income in year 1 from an activity which will generate a If corresponding expense of $100 six years later (year 7) the taxpayer is permitted to accrue the $100 expense, he will report no net income from the activity. But since the taxpayer has the unfettered use of the $100 of income beginning in year 1, at the end of six years he will have substantially more than $100 with which to pay the expense. If he has been able to earn a 12 percent, after-tax return on the funds during the six-year period, he will have about $200. The problem lies in the fact that the true cost in year 1 of the future outlay is the present value of the outlay amount, which in this case is about $50. Thus, the taxpayer's true profit in year 1 is $50 ($100 income less the $50 present value of the future expense), and the appropriate tax (assuming a 50 percent tax rate) is $25. Unfortunately, our present income tax system does not reach this result because it does not take into consideration the time value of — . money. Conversely, delaying the taxpayer's deduction to year 7 always produces the correct result. In reality what has happened is that the taxpayer has charged $50 for the product sold and $50 to fund his future obligation seven years hence. * This latter $50 will bear a $25 tax in year 1 and the remaining $25 will grow to $50 in year 7, which will equal the taxpayer's net after-tax cost ($100 expense less $50 tax savings) of the obligation in year 7. While deferring the tax deduction to the year in which the expense is incurred thus produces the correct result, taxpayer in some cases may have insufficient income in the the later year against which to offset the deductions The operating loss carryback provisions will not remedy the net situation if the taxpayer had insufficient income in the taxable years to which the deduction can be carried back If detailed discussion of the effect of the timing of for the future obligation on the amount charged fund that obligation is set forth in the attached appendix to *A deduction is forced to carry the loss forward, the value the taxpayer will decline in present value terms' If then the appropriate solution would be to amend the net operating loss provisions to provide for a longer carryback period in the case of losses of the type at issue here, as has already been done in the case of product liability losses under current law. A second inequity with deferring the tax deduction is required to escrow funds may arise when the taxpayer currently to meet the future obligation but the taxpayer is not entitled to receive the benefit of a market rate of interest earned on the escrowed funds. However, if the taxpayer is denied such interest on the escrowed funds, his economic disadvantage is caused by the terms of the escrow arrangement rather than by the Federal tax law. of the deduction relief is considered necessary, There is precedent in the tax law for reserve accounting of the type provided by S. 1911 and S. 2642. The Internal Revenue Code of 1954, as originally enacted by Congress in 1954, contained a provision, section 462, which permitted the accrual of current deductions for future expenses attributable to income generated in the current year. This provision was repealed, retroactively, in 1955. Even though section 462 was consistent with generally accepted accounting principles, the administrative problems and potential revenue losses caused by the provision were found to be intolerable shortly after enactment of the 1954 Code. It was simply impossible to impose any workable limitations on the categories or amounts of the future expenses for which reserves could be established and current deductions claimed, and the potential revenue losses from allowing all similarly situated taxpayers to create and methods deduct such reserves were unacceptable. The foregoing discussion makes it clear why Treasury examples show opposes S. 1911 and S. 2642. The mathematical that the denial of current deductions for future reclamation expenses required by Federal or State statutes penalizes taxpayers only to the extent that the taxpayers are unable to obtain immediate tax benefits from the deductions in the year This hardship, if it exists the expense outlays are made. at all, is minimal compared with the unfair advantage that would be given to mining companies by allowing current deductions for the undiscounted amount of the future outlays. the enactment of either of these bills to give special treatment to mining companies would have broad implications with respect to the deductibility of reserves If current for similar expenses incurred by other taxpayers. deductions are allowed for estimates of future reclamation expenses, it would be difficult to deny taxpayers the right to establish reserves for the estimated amount of workers' Moreover, compensation costs, product liability and warranty claims, pension liabilities, costs of dismanteling offshore drilling rigs or decommissioning nuclear power plants, and the like. The past experience with the broad rule of section 462 of the 1954 Code shows that the potential revenue losses from applying this accounting method to similarily situated taxpayers would be prohibitive. unfunded Proponents of S. 1911 and S. 2642 argue that our concerns in this area are rendered moot by the Ohio River Collieries case, and that the legislation merely codifies We believe that Ohio River We disagree. Collieries was incorrectly decided and that the "all events" test for accruing deductions under current law does not mandate the results provided by the two bills. Rather, we believe that current law allows a deduction for reclamation expenses only when the taxpayer has a present liability to However, if legislation is needed to pay for such expenses. eliminate the uncertainty resulting from the current conflict between the Internal Revenue Service and taxpayers on this issue, the legislation should confirm the correctness of the Service's position and eliminate the ability of mining companies to understate their incomes in the manner allowed In the interim, we intend by the Ohio River Collieries case. to continue litigating cases such as Ohio River Collieries in order to assure consistent application of the a events test of present law. expenses. Finally, regardless of the argument that can be made as to the proper time for accrual method taxpayers to deduct future expenses, there can be no debate about the appropriate time for cash method taxpayers to deduct these expenses. The law has been consistently clear that a cash method taxpayer can only deduct an expense when he has actually paid it. We strongly object to the provisions in both S. 1911 and S. 2642 that would permit an exception to this longstanding rule. Conclusion strongly opposes S. 1911 and S. 2642. The permit mining companies to understate their incomes significantly by claiming current deductions for the undiscounted amount of future expense outlays. More importantly, enactment of either bill would open the way for additional legislation to permit other taxpayers to establish reserves for the estimated amount of future expenses associated with current income-producing activities. bills should not be viewed as merely codifying existingThecase law in a discrete area. bills Treasury would I would be happy to answer your questions. Append of Alternative Analysis Of I. Nature It is of the ix Deferred Tax Treatments Expenses problem frequently the case that a current of action by the seller. When that future action requires the expenditure of resources by the seller, the question arises as to whether those expenditures should be taken into account in determining the seller's current year pre-tax or taxable income. The correct answer to this question is a rule which ensures that the amount charged by the seller reflects no more than the resource cost of completing the transaction. The purpose of this Appendix is to demonstrate that the present law rule which requires that the seller include in his gross income for the current year the entire proceeds of his sale while deferring to the later year the deduction of the associated expense generally produces the correct result. The analysis also identifies the error implicit in an alternative rule that would permit the seller to currently deduct the future cost. goods and services entails completion of exchange a future The exposition following includes: first, a description of the determination of the price to be charged absent the influence of income taxation; second, a measure of the seller's income in the year a sale is made which requires a future year expenditure; third, a demonstration that the present law rule does not affect the current year price charged; and finally, an identification of the logical error in formulation of the alternative rule under which the seller's current year taxable income is measured as the sales price less the future cost of completing the transaction. The facts of the example used in the testimony will be used to provide numerical results. II. Determining the current year price to be charged a buyer of goods or services when the seller becomes obligated to incur a future expense. If all a coal mining company must do to produce a ton of coal for sale is mine it and otherwise prepare it for delivery to a buyer, the price charged would have to be sufficient to cover all the expenses incurred in its production: wages of coal miners, the cost of materials consumed in mining, and a gross return to mining company capital sufficient to cover depletion of its reserves, and depreciation of its equipment and to provide a return to its creditors and equity owners. Since the price to cover all these costs of production multiplied by the quantity mined is reported by the mining company as "gross income, " the company is allowed to deduct the wages paid and the cost of materials used up, since these elements of gross income are allocable to those productive agents. The coal company is similarly permitted to deduct depletion and depreciation costs to determine pre-tax income. After the mining company deducts the interest paid creditors--their share of the pre-tax income from capital employed in the mine--the residual is the pre-tax income of equity owners. Taxation affects the cost of mining coal only to the extent it affects the cost of wages or materials or the pre-tax rates of return of creditors and equity owners. So long as costs incurred in simple mining are appropriately measured and allowed as deductions to the mining company, the income taxation of coal mining companies, ~er se, does not affect the price of coal. Now suppose that, in addition to incurring these current costs of mining coal for sale, the mining company must also restore the land to some specified condition after mining is completed. Clearly, an additional cost to the mining of coal has been imposed. Since this future reclamation expense is effectively independent of the mining cost, it can be isolated in determinating its effect on the price of mined coal. Let us symbolize the cost to be charged coal buyers for this service as Pl, the subscript indicating that it is a price to be charged in year ¹1, when the coal is mined. If we as On, reclamation determinant year charge land symbolize the future outlay to reclaim the mined the subscript indicating the year when the outlay will be made, then the only other of P, is the discount rate by which the current can Se related to the future outlay. Let us call this discount rate, obligations 0 Pl payment which is the opportunity cost of shifting over time, r. Then, ignoring taxation, ( 1+r) (1) is, referring to the example in the tesgimony, where = $50. 66. The $100, n=7 and r= 0. 12, P = $100(1.12) seller would have to charge the buyer at least $50. 66 in year ¹1 so that, 6 years later, he would have accumulated $100 with which to cover the costs of reclamation (in year ¹7) . From the buyer's point of view, he would pay no more than $50. 66 in year ¹1 for he could take that capital sum and accumulate it over 6 years to $100 and, himself, requite the reclamation cost of $100. That On = III. seller ' s income. Suppose that the cost assumptions of the above example hold. What is the measure of the coal miner's income in year ¹1 when he receives the $50. 66? Obviously, with respect to the $50. 66 received for the sale of coal, it is zero: He has simultaneously received a market payment of $50. 66 but The incurred an obligation to cover a future expense the resent value of which is exactly equal to $50. 66. Therefore, or %financial statement purposes, the receipt of the 650. 66 has no effect on the company's income statement; but it will have a balance sheet effect. On the balance sheet, the $50. 66 will be an increase in assets (earning 12 percent, by assumption) offset by the recognition that there is a future $100 obligation, less a "discount" of $49. 34, which represents the 6-year cumulation of earnings of the $50. 66. With each passing year, the mining company will record interest income and a corresponding decline in the "discount" associated with the year 47 reclamation obligation. If it does not in fact accumulate among its assets the interest earned, when the $100 outlay is made the mining company will suffer a $49. 34 decline in net worth. taxation. In order to simplify exposition, we shall now assume the r in equation (1) represents an after-tax rate of return to capital employed in the enterprise. There are two income tax formulations for the treatment of Pl that will give the same result as equation (1): The present law rule, and another rule which applies the result in III, above, namely, that there is zero pre-tax income in year 41. First, we rewrite equation (1) to introduce an income tax levied at rate m. If Tl = tax due in period 41 and T n IV. Introducing income the tax due in period n, 1 1 n (2) n equation (2) simply says that Pl, less tax due received, must be euqal to the future outlay, plus tax then due, when the outlay is made in year n, all discounted to the present. Symbolically, when it is Under a deduction present law, which taxes Pl as received of 0n in year n, Tl = mP1 T = -mO n 1 (1-m) (4a) n =0 (1-m) n allows (3a) If equations (3a) and (4a) are substituted the result is: P and (1+r) —( n-1) in equation (2), f of course, is exactly the same as equation (1) after cancelling the (1-m) . Applying the present law rule to the factual assumptions in the testimony example produces a Pl $50. 66, and if we take m = 0. 40, $20. 26 will be paid in tax (T1=$50.66 x 0. 40) leaving the miner a capital fund of $30. 40 which, which will accumulate to $60 in year 57, at which time the $100 x 0 40) miner will receive a refund of $40 (T7 enabling him to cover the $100 year 47 cost. Of course, if the taxpayer is allowed a $50. 66 deduction in year 41 against his Pl = $50. 66 to signify his lack of economic income in that year and is not allowed to take a deduction when the expense is incurred in year 47, T7=O, the same result is achieved as under present law, and neather rule causes an alteration in the charge for reclamation. But note that, in order to apply the latter rule, the resent value of the future cost must be determined, and t rs requires estimation of a discount rate. ln contrast, the present law rule which taxes Pl and refunds with respect to O operates only with actual transactional data and requires n no discounting. effect of' erroneously permitting the current of future (undiscounted) costs. Suppose we define Pl to be the year $1 charge for future costs to be incurred by the seller under a tax rule that will permit the amount of the future outlay, On, to be currently V. The deductibility deducted. Then, Tl = m(P 1 — O n ) (3b) (4b) n and substituting obtain Pl=0 these in euqation [(1+r)-(n-1) -m] /(1-m) . (2) and simplifying, we (4) In contrast with P, as determined under present law rules for Pl and On, this ruIe makes P, a function of the tax rate m. In general, for all tax ratek greater than zero Pl(P, the difference being a tax subsidy to benefit the cause 1' of the deferred expense; it results from the deduction of an undiscounted amount On, in year 41, and the subsidy increases with the taxpayer's marginal rate. For example, continuing to use the testimony example in which $50. 66 is the true charge for reclamation a buyer of coal should pay, allowing current expensing of $100 would result in the following: Buyer's reclamation char e Miner's rate: 0. 20 0. 40 0. 46 Subsidy ($50.66-P1) tax $38. 33 17.77 8. 64 $12. 33 32. 89 42. 02 course, if competition does not drive down the reclamation charge to miners' customers, the subsidies will be converted into increased monopoly profits of miners. If for example, a monopolistic corporate miner keeps the charge at $50. 66, this will increase its after-tax monopoly profit by $22. 69 (=the "refund" on $50. 66 of current income, less $100, times 0 ' 46), eguivalent to a taxable subsidy to him of $42. 02, as shown above. Of of the Treasury Department ~ D.C. e Telephone 566-2048 Washington, December RELEASE FOR IMMEDIATE 6, 1982 RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS for $5, 802 million of 13-week bills and for $5, 803 million of both to be issued on December 9, 1982, were accepted today. Tenders bills, 26-week OF ACCEPTED CO&iPETITIVE BIDS: RANGE High Low Average a/ Excepting 2 26-week bills June 9, 1983 maturing Discount Inves tment Price Rate Rate 1/ 98. 008a/ 7. 880% 8. 15% 97. 983 7. 979% 8. 26% 97. 989 7. 956% 8. 23% tenders totaling $580, 000. at the at the Tenders Tenders 13-week bills maturing March 10 1983 Investment Discount Price Rate 1/ Rate low low 95. 850 95. 819 95. 827 8. 209% 8. 68% 8. 75% 8. 73% 8. 270% 8. 254%2/ price for the 13-week bills were allotted 89%. price for the 26-week bills were allotted 87%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Location Received Boston New York 45, 275 9, 684, 305 29, 135 84, 210 37, 770 55, 550 1, 004, 595 Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis 59, 275 21, 380 Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TOTALS Type Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public Federal Reserve Foreign Official Institutions TOTALS 46, 175 30, 615 838, 720 230, 515 $12, 167, 520 Accepted 45, 275 4, 374, 775 29, 135 53, 210 37, 770 55, 550 502, 265 49, 735 18, 380 46, 175 30, 615 328, 520 230, 515 $5, 801, 920 $9, 634, 560 967, 760 $10, 602, 320 1, 282, 500 $3, 268, 960 967, 760 $4, 236, 720 1, 282, 500 282, 700 282, 700 $12, 167, 520 $5, 801, 920 Received 75, 240 10, 756, 990 19, 090 257, 950 32, 160 33, 230 1, 125, 375 62, 110 13, 635 Accepted 42, 850 4, 420, 305 19, 090 230, 560 31, 160 30, 230 38, 495 36, 605 24, 380 ' ' 467, 445 50, 860 11,375 24, 380 716, 695 220, 555 $13, 375, 905 220, 555 $5, 803, 110 $10, 894, 440 706, 865 $11,601, 305 1, 250, 000 $3, 321, 645 706, 865 $4, 028, 510 1, 250, 000 524, 600 524, 600 $13, 375, 905 $5, 803, 110 1/ Equivalent coupon-issue yield. the maximum 2/ The four-week average for calculating on money market certificates is 8. 353%. 217, 695 interest rate payable DIDC ECONOMIC CONDITIONS December 6, 1982 BRIEFING l. Chart (Discount Basis, and flows. savings Percent Bill Rate Treasury 3-Month Interest rates Average) Monthly 17 14 Savings Time Deposit and Small (Percent, Seasonally Adjusted Growth Annual Percent at Commercial Banks and Thrifts Rate, Monthly Average Data) 10 baloney Market (Excluding Mutual Billions Inflows Fund Institutional-only Funds, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted) 10 M A M J J 1 A 981 S 0 N D J F M A J M 1 982 J A S 0 N 2. Chart of savings Growth adjusted annual small time deposits (percent, monthly average rate). and rate, seasonally Thrift Institutions Percent Time Deposit Growth Small Ily I% I 20 I /q I I 10 I I I I g I I I 10 20 Deposit Savings Growth 30 40 Commercial Percent Banks Time Deposit Growth Small l ia I 'IL I l ri I / l / / r / 30 llg I I 20 gl I 10 10 20 Deposit Savings Growth 30 40 M A M J J 1 981 A S 0 N D J F M A M J 1982 J A S 0 N Chart 3. MMCs and SSCs as a percent of total savings and small time deposits. Thrift Institutions* Percent 60 50 MMC 40 30 20 SSC 10 Commercial Banks Percent 60 50 MMC 40 30 20 SSC M A M J J 10 S A 0 I'j D J F M. A 1981 *Includes savings J J M 1 and loan associations and mutual A S 0 982 savings banks only. N 1. Teble Net inflovs to selected categories at commercial (Billions of dollars, not seasonally thrif t inst ituti«s l banks end ad )usted) Money 7- to 31-Da Comm. Certificates 91-Da Thrif t Thrif t Comm. Institutions Banks Honth Certificates Total Comm. Institutions Banks Total 19S2-Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 1.8 June 1.9 July Aug. Sept. Oct. 1.9 1.4 1.4 -0. 2 -0. 2 2. 0 Hay 1.9 3.4 5. 3 6. 0 4. 9 10.9 0. 2 of October 7. 9 8. 3 1-1 2 Time 1982-Jan. Feb. Her. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. 16.2 ft Comm. Institutions Total Banks 1.3 1.4 1.0 1.2 1.6 0.6 0. 6 0.6 0. 5 0. 7 0. 9 2. 7 2. 1 2. 5 4. 2 2. 7 2. 6 2. 6 0.8 0. 5 0. 5 0. 3 0. 6 0. 6 1.4 1.1 1.1 0. 8 1.3 1.5 As of October IThrif t institutions include *Less than $50 million. -3.3 -4 9 Thri f t Institutions 4. 6 6. 3 4. 2 6.03. 6 2. 1 5. 4 3.6 5. 2 5. 9 S.S Outstanding SSC 3. 6 3. 2 2. 1 2. 3 3.1 2. 8 3.4 1.3 -2. 4 -0.6 -1.0 -4. 1 -8. 2 -4. 4 0.3 -1.8 -1.8 Outstanding 10.7 4. 5 6. 4 3.0 Balances: MHC 217.54 231.0 3-1 2 Year aag, s Ceiling- Free Time Deposit Comm. Total Banks Thrift Institutions Total 9, 0 6.8 9.6 6. 8 4. 2 7. 7 6. 7 8. 0 9.3 10.4 0.3 0. 2 0.4 0. 5 0. 6 1.1 0.1 0. 4 0. 8 0.6 1.6 0. 5 1.0 0. 5 1.2 1.0 2. 4 Outstanding Balances: 9.5 9. 9 2. 3 1.2 1.9 -0.9 -1.6 -2. 8 -1.2 -3.3 3.3 4. 5 3.9 2. 9 o. a 0. 6 Certificates Outstanding IRA/Keogh Banks 2 Year Small Saver Banks 1.1 1.3 0.6 4. 5 6. 2 2-1 year IRA/Keogh Deposits Thri Comm. -0.2 Outstanding 91-Day Balances: Outstanding 7- to 31-Day Balances: As 3.9 3. 2 3.3 0.2 0.4 Certificates Thrif t Total Institutions Market 19.4 only savings 87. 4 and loan 3-1/2 year Balances: Balances: 163.4 associations 250. 8 2. 1 and mutual savings 4. 4 banks. 6. 5 All Saver Certificates Comm. Banks Thrift Institutions 1.1 0.7 1.0 0. 7 0. 5 0, 2 0.4 0.4 0.4 -10.4 Outstanding 13.6 1.1 1.1 0. 7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 -15.8 0. 8 ASC 13.1 Total 2. 2 1.5 1.4 I.l 0' 7 0.8 0.8 0.8 2. 1 -26. 2 Balances: 26. 7 apartment of the Treasury FOR Washington, RELEASE IMMEDIATE Tuesday, ~ 7, 1982 December D.C. ~ Teiephone 566-204$ CONTACT: Marlin Fitzwater 202/566-5252 SOCIAL SECURITY BORROWING Secretary of the Treasury Donald T. Regan announced today Tuesday, December 7, 1982, the Federal Old Age and Survivors Insurance Trust, Fund borrowed $3, 437, 270, 125. 90 from the Federal Hospital Insurance Trust Fund in order to assure payment of OASI benefit checks mailed December 3. The borrowing interest rate is 10-3/4%, as required by section 202(1) of the Social Security Act. This is the second of three scheduled borrowings to fund OASI benefits. The final borrowing permited by law, which will support OASI benefit payments through June, 1983, will be made as of December 31, 1982. that on In order to the loan to the Federal Old Age and Trust Fund, the Hospital Trust Fund has redeemed securites in its portfolio with a composite interest rate under 10-3/4$. This permits the Disability Insurance Trust Fund to retain its $6. 5 billion portfolio of securities, at least through the end of the month. The interest rates on the majority of these securities are significantly in excess of 10-3/4$. Survivors make Insurance will consult with the other Trustees of the Social Funds to determine the division of the December 31 borrowing between the Hospital Insurance Trust Fund and the Disability Insurance Trust Fund. Among the factors the Trustees will consider are the state of the reserves of the two funds in comparison to projected benefit obligations and the cost to the lending funds. Treasury Securitiy Trust R-1055 pepartment of the Treasury FOR RELEASE AT ~ Washington, 4:00 P. M. O. C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 December 7, 1982 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $11, 600 million, to be issued December 16, 1982. This offering will provide $950 million of new cash for the Treasury, as the maturing bills are outstanding in the amount of $10, 660 million, including $655 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities and $2, 867 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks for their own account. The two series offered are as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $5, 800 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated September 16, 1982, and to mature (CUSIP March 17, 1983 No 912794 CN 2 ), currently outstanding in the amount of $5, 638 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. ~ 182-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $5, 800 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated June 17, 1982, and to mature (CUSIP June 16, 1983 No. 912794 CD 4), currently outstanding in the amount of $5, 777 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange Tenders from December 16, 1982. for Treasury bills maturing Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign will be accepted at the authorities international monetary tenders. Addicompetitive of accepted weighted average prices issued to Federal Reserve Banks, bills be the tional amounts of may as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount Both series of bills will be will be payable without interest. issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,QQQ on the records either of the and in any higher $5, 000 multiple, Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasur y. and R-1O56 Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the public Debt, Washington, D. C . 20226, up to 1:30 p .m . , Eastern Standard time, Monday, December 13, 1982. Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . Each tender must be for a minimum of $10, 000 . Tenders over $10, 000 must be in multiples of $5, 000. In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with three decimals, e .g . , 97 .920 . Fractions may not be used . Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities if the names of the may submit tenders for account of customers, customers and the amount for each customer are furnished . Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million . This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p .m . Eastern time on the day of the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering, e .g . , bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six-month bills Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million. Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auctions ~ No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches . A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders. and Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500, 000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch funds on December 16, 1982, in cash or other immediately-available December 1982 ' 16, Cash adjustments or in Treasury bills maturing will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Section 454(b) of the Internal Revenue Code, the of discount at which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed, or otherwise disposed of. Section 1232(a)(4) provides that any gain on the sale or redemption of these bills that does not exceed the ratable share of the acquisition discount must be included in the Federal income tax return of the owner as ordinary income. The acquisition discount is the excess of the stated redemption price over the taxpayer's basis (cost) for the bill. The ratable share of this discount Under amount is determined of bill and the numerator such discount by a fraction, the by multiplying which is the number of days the taxpayer held the denominator of which is the number of days from the the taxpayer's date of purchase to the maturity of the gain on the sale of a bill exceeds the taxpayer portion of the acquisition discount, the excess gain is as short-term capital gain. day following the bill. ratable treated If of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series and this notice, prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Department Nos. 26-76 and Debt. 27-76, 's OIpartment of the Treasury ~ Washington, REMARKS D.C. ~ Telephone 566-204$ 8Y ROBERT E. POWIS DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY FOR ENFORCEMENT DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE DEFENSE DEPARTMENT CONFERENCE REGARDING POSSE COMITATUS MILITARY SUPPORT TO CIVILIAN MONDAY f DECEMBER 6 i LAW ENFORCEMENT 1982 I deeply appreciate the opportunity to appear before you today to discuss how the Treasury Department fits into the National Strategy Against Drug Trafficking and how you in the military can support us within the scope of the changes to the Posse Comitatus Act. I am here as pinch-hitter for Assistant Secretary John Walker who, regrettably, had to travel to Puerto Rico today to attend the funeral of Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms' special agent Ariel Rios, who was killed in the line of duty in Miami last Thursday night. More about that incident later. John Walker truly regrets that he cannot be here today because of his strong feeling about the tremendous importance of the military effort in the War against drug trafficking. I think that it is important that you understand somestructure of the law enforceabout the organizational of the Treasury Department. These ment responsibilities responsibilities are diverse and wide ranging. Our office, the Office of Enforcement and Operations, within the Departfor and exercises line ment has direct responsibility authority over the U. S. Customs Service, the U. S. Secret Service, the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms, and thing the Federal Law Enforcement Training Center at Glynco, Georgia. Assistant Secretary Walker heads up this operations In addition the office gives law enforcement policy direction to the Internal Revenue Service. R-1057 significant law enforcement problem which the States faces is the drug problem. It is also a major national social problem. The President has identified the effort to eliminate problem and has pledged an unprecedented it through a coordinated national effort involving task forces in 12 geographic locations. The President has stated that the drug problem is the number one law enforcement priority of this Administration. The Treasury Department fully supports this position and has made the drug problem its top priority. Earlier in my remarks I used the terminology "War against drug trafficking". This was very deliberate. We are in a war against the people involved in this business. If you have any doubt about this fact, let me cite 4 factors which lead me to this conclusion. The most United 1. The vast majority of drugs used in this country are grown, refined and manufactured in foreign countries. The drugs are smuggled across our borders by maritime vessels, aircraft, motor vehicles, and individuals utilizing body concealment' The movement of these drugs is controlled by international and domestic criminal conspiracies. Aircraft and maritime vessels regularly penetrate our borders with insidious cargoes of heroin, cocaine and marijuana 2. profits from drug trafficking are fantastically high and the amount of cash flow connected with drugs is staggering. Drugs siphon at least $50 billion per year out of our financial system, robbing us of tax revenues while enriching criminal organiThe zations. o few A The major drug was until laundering he was sentence o o cases illustrate money 1/2 launderer in South Florida billion dollars per year convicted last year. this point: and received a 30-year IRS and Customs agents last year seized $9 million in cash from a drug money laundering operation named Sonal. This organization was run by three Colombian nationals. In the nine months prior to the seizure this group had laundered $242 million in U. S. currency. Recently, IRS and Customs agents broke up two smaller drug money laundering operations. They were laundering only $120 million and $80 million per year. 3. Drugs insidious, debilitating effect We risk the loss of the greater Drug whole generation of our people. have an on our youth. part of a abuse among the general population reduces the pool of young Americans from whom the military services can draw. It also affects our military readiness the effectiveness of those in uniform. by impairing In a real sense, the drug problem is a hidden threat to our very security. 4. Drugs have a major impact on crime in general and Drug users rob, on violent crime in particular. steal and mug to provide for their needs. They obtain and utilize weapons of all kinds. Drug trafficking organizations utilize violence as a means of protecting their turf, eliminating competition and safeguarding against ripoffs. Informants must be eliminated. Drug traffickers at all levels utilize firearms, particularly autoto further shotguns and silencers This was painfully driven home evening when two undercover last Thursday just ATF agents, Rios and D'Atri, were gunned down in These agents had made an undercover purMiami. chase of firearms from three suspects on the previous day. At this time they were offered a kilo of cocaine. Working with other ATF agents and agents from the Florida Joint Task Group, The meeting with the suspects. they set up ashoto' three suspects produced a kilo of cocaine, and the agents produced $48, 000 in cash. Just prior to the time that arrests were to have been made, the suspects opened fire on the undercover agents. Rath agents were The agents returned the fire. hit as was one of. the suspects. Arresting agents then forced entry into the apartment and another Agent Rios died of two gunshot suspect was Agent O'Atri was hit four wounds to the head. and is in satisfactory survived He has times. Six weapons belonging to the suspects condition. were recovered in the apartment. matic weapons, their operations. Can there be any doubt that this is a war. I would now like to discuss the mission of the Treasury First Enforcement Rureaus with respect to drug traf f icking. Customs has a prime mission with respect to interdiction. the interdiction of drugs or any other contraband coming across our borders. mission The Customs with some 4300 inspectors, Service works at this 1400 Patrol Officers and has a relatively small Air 700 Special Agents. Patrol — 58 aircraft of all kinds and 111 small patrol boats to assist in this mission. With this force Customs is charged with the protection of more than 10, 000 miles of U. S. border. I would be remiss today if I did Speaking of interdiction, job which the Coast Guard is not mention the outstanding doing in nabbing drug carrying maritime vessels off our coasts. The joint efforts of the Coast Guard and Customs on maritime vessels is a model of interagency marijuana-laden Customs cooperation. can readily see from the broad expanse of our borders and the limited resources available to the Customs Service that we face a very formidable job. Good intelligence is absolutely necessary if we are to be effective. information on the suspicious We need timely and accurate We also need movement of maritime vessels and aircraft. that same kind of information on drugs being shipped in commercial cargo or on commercial aircraft and maritime vessels. In particular we need the kind of intelligence that was developed by Customs Patrol Officers which led to the seizure of 685 pounds of cocaine from a Colombian merchant vessel tied »p in Miami early last Saturday morning. Customs needs all the help it can get in the area of intelligence. It needs the kind of information which the military has the unique ability to gather regarding the movement of planes and ships. Above all we need additional equipment if we are to be effective in interdiction efforts. We need additional fixed-wing aircraft, helicopters, patrol boats, radar and communications equipment and training. More about this later. You strongly believes that i. nterpart of the overall effort against drugs. Any program which seeks to attack drug trafficking on a national scale must include a heavy emphasis on interdiction. As a practical matter, this is not possible without the loan of DOD hardware. The Treasury a very diction is Department important The second mission of the Treasury Department with respect to drug trafficking deals with financial investigations. These investigations follow two prongs. One deals with investigations under the reporting requirements of the Rank Secrecy Act, which is administered by the Treasury Department, whereby Customs and IRS Special Agents target individuals and groups involved in major cash flows. in heavy cash flows are also trafficking or in money laundering for The second prong deals drug trafficking organizations. conducted hy the IRS targetwith income tax investigations The IRS presently has ing high level drug traf f ickers. over 800 cases open in this category. Most of the people involved involved in drug In the area of Rank Secrecy Act invest ig at ions, Customs I RS have formed 20 financial task forces in 20 cities around the country targetting major drug traf f ickers and their money launderers. Investigations conducted by these groups seek to uncover and d isrupt drug tra f f ick ing activity by locating and se i z ing currency and other assets produced from narcotics traf f ick ing. Our intent is to attack drug operations where they seem to be most vulnerable in the fruits of their crimes and in the need to launder money. These investigations f requently uncover a f inane ia 1 trail that leads to major drug traf f ickers. DEA agents are represented on most of these task forces. The best known of the f inane ia 1 task forces is Operation Greenback, located in Florida. This one task force alone has produced substantial results in just two years. Among its accomplishments is the seizure of more than $27 million in cash, the levying of IRS jeopardy assessments in the amount of S 1 12 million and the indictment of 123 persons involved in laundering drug prof its. and f inal drug oriented mission which the Treasury has concerns f i rearms violations which come jurisdiction of the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms. In th is area our s tra tegy has been to support with an attack on f irearms violations drug investigations I 1 leg a 1 f i rearms that are connec ted with drug activity. dealers with weapons including traf f icking provides drug and and automatic weapons silencers is sometimes part of a arms shipments to drug produc of ing and processing pattern The Department under the The two ATF agents who where shot last week were where they were target ting drug processing and dealing in who were also illegally countries. working dealers f i rearms. in a situation I have d i scussed some details about the problems we and about Treasury ' s mission with respect to the problem. Now I want to dea 1 with what has been done about the problem What has been done deals and what we intend to do about This with South Florida and the Vice Pres ident ' s Task Force face it. . Task Force represents a coordinated Federal enforcement ef f or t involving Customs and the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and F irearms working close ly with PEA and the Coast Guard other Federal agenc ies who are part of. the Task Force. operation of the Florida Task Force has greatly exceeded This Task Force has proven beyond all expectations. our and DEA agents can work closely together Customs that doubts to destroy the enemy, the drug effort cooperative a in Treasury has placed smuggler and the drug trafficker. 250 Customs personnel and 50 ATF personnel into the Florida part of We have moved a considerable Task Force effort. our air fleet to South Florida to provide an effective air suppnrt effort. to curtail the smuggling of drugs into In conjunction with the help Florida by private aircraft. The . and workwhich we have received from the Defense Department the Task Force has and Guard DEA, ing closely with the Coast or their operations to suspend been able to force smugglers locations. and more expensive riskier move to forced them to Mothership are now bypassing Florida. Many drug shipments and and northward eastward further inns are moving operat. job in pickthe Coast Guard continues to do an outstanding role in interdiction The Defense Department's ing them off' The Navy's efforts has been nothing less than sensational. contribution of E2-R and F2-C radar flight coverage, the broad range stationary radar coverage from the Skyhook tethered aerostat provided by the Air Force, in cooperation with NORAD, have all built a capacity to detect smuggling activity that greatly surpasses what Customs resources alone could have achieved. This has allowed us to use Customs capabilities to their fullest extent. This pursuit capability itself has been greatly enhanced by the Cobra helicopters which Defense has provided and we look forward with great. anticipation to the operational testing of the Rlackhawk in Florida. pursuit to the interdiction effort, Customs has closely with DEA in a joint task group which has conducted follow —up investigations to every interdiction and which conducts investigations aimed at gathering drug intelligence. This feature of the South Florida smuggling Joint Task Group has provided Customs with needed intelligence tn perform its interdiction effort even more efficiently. In addition worked This has been accomplished because the Attorney General has confered the authority to conduct joint drug investigations on the Customs Service working under the lead of DEA. Some of. the results of. the Vice President's listed as follows: Task Force are n o Drug smuggling percent; Cocaine seizures percent; arrests have have increased increased South Florida by 43 by over 300 seizures have increased o Marijuana o There has been a substantial seizures. by 80 increase percent; in non-drug to the Florida Task Force ATF Special Agents assigned since July have opened 326 cases. Many of them involving drug traffickers. confiscated 76 3 They have made 144 with a value firearms arrests and have of S225, 000. Florida is that we must to other areas of the about national shutdown similar to the a country to bring regional shutdown which we accomplished in Florida. Drug trafficking organizations are going around us in Florida right now. We have to step-up our interdiction efforts on the Gulf Coast, on the West Coast and on the Fast Coast. The Treasury Department fully supports the Administration's new initiatives to establish 12 additional task forces. We believe that from an investigative standpoint they will be extremely valuable and that they will generate additional intelligence for Customs and break up trafficking organizations. We are committed to obtaining additional investigative resources for Customs, IRS and ATF to participate in these task forces in a cooperative effort. In addition, we are committed to enhancing Customs drug interdiction Customs recently conducted a National Air capabilities' Threat Drug Smuggling Study which indicates a need for additional resources in the form of pursuit aircraft both fixed-wing and helicopters, tracker aircraft with radar mounts, patrol boats, radar equipment and radio and communications facilities. We may need the availability of additional need better intelligence in terms We definitely Skyhooks. the movements, of and aircraft identity smuggler of ship aircraft and maritime vessels and specific information with regard to individuals and groups who seek to smuggle drugs. Military assistance and support in South Florida has been The project would not have been successful outstanding. without it. We in Treasury and the Customs Service in particular will be coming to Defense in the near future for additional support by way of equipment, training and intelliin dealing with We feel very comfortable gence information. this is a war and we the military. As I said previously, need all the resources which the Federal Government can bring to bear on the enemy. The prime lesson of South expand this Task Force concept with Thanks again you even more for your help and we look forward closely in the future. to working impartment of the Treasury FOR RELEASE AT ~ Washington, O. C. o Telephone 566-2041 4:00 P. M. December 8, 1982 TREASURY TO AUCTION 2-YEAR AND 4-YEAR NOTES TOTALING $12, 000 MILLION The Department of the Treasury will auction $7, 000 million of 2-year notes and $5, 000 million of 4-year notes to refund $7, 217 million of securities maturing December 31, 1982, and to raise $4, 783 million new cash. The $7, 217 million of maturing securities are those held by the public, including $702 million of maturing securities currently held by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities. The $12, 000 million is being offered amounts tendered by Federal Reserve Banks international maturing monetary authorities securities) will be added to the public, and any as agents for foreign and (including the $702 million of to that amount. In addition to the public holdings, Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks, for their own accounts, hold $943 million of the maturing securities that may be refunded by issuing additional amounts of the new securities at the average prices of accepted competitive tenders. Details about the new securities are given in the attached of the offerings and in the official offering circulars. highlights Attachment o0o HIGHLIGHTS OF TREASURY OFFERINGS TO THE PUBLIC OF 2-YEAR AND 4-YEAR NOTES 10 BE ISSUED DECEMBER 31, 1982 December Offered: To the public Description of Security: Amount Term and type of Series and CUSIP . $7, 000 million security. .. . . . .2-year date Call date. yield. . . . . . . . . . . . . . or discount Interest payment dates. . . . . . . . Minimum denomination available Investment Premium . interest payable . . Dates: Deadline December No NZ 1) 31, 1986 provision based on the average of accepted bids To be determined at auction To be determined after auction June 30 and December 31 To be determined $1,000 as an None ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ Deposit guarantee by designated institutions. Key (CUSIP No. 912827 Yield Auction Must be expressed as an annual yield, with two annual yield, with two decimals, e.g. , 7.10% decimals, e.g. , 7.10% Accepted in full at the Accepted in full at the average price up to $1,000, 000 average price up to $1,000, 000 ~ by investor. Payment by non-institutional investors. 4) . . . . . . .. . . . .. Noncompetitive Accrued NY ~ .Yield Auction . . . . . .Must be expressed tenders' tenders Competitive Series K-1986 . .To be determined based on the average of accepted bids . .To be determined at auction .To be determined after auction . .June 30 and December 31 .$5, 000 Interest rate. Sale: of sale. 4-year notes notes . .Series Z-1984 (CUSIP No. 912827 . .December 31, 1984 .No provision . Maturity Terms of Method $5, 000 million ~ designation. 8, 1982 . . . . .Full ~ None to be submitted payment with tender . . . . . . . . . . . .Acceptable . . . . .Wednesday, by to be submitted Acceptable ~ for receipt of tenders. Full payment with tender December EST 1:30 p. m. , 15, 1982, date (final payment institutions) a) cash or Federal funds. . . . . . . . .Friday, December 31, 1982 b) readily collectible check. . . . . . .Tuesday, December 28, 1982 Delivery date for coupon securities. .Friday, January 14, 1983 Thursday, by December EST 1:30 p. m. , 16, 1982, Settlement due from ~ ~ Fr today December 31 1982 Tuesday, December 28, 1982 Monday, January 17, 1983 apartment of the Treasury FOR RELEASE AT ~ Washington, D.C. o Telephone 566-2041 4:00 P. M. TREASURY ANNOUNCES December HOLIDAY AUCTION 8, 1982 SCHEDULE The Treasury announced today in a separate release the December 2-year and 4-year note auctions. Because of the holiday-shortened week before Christmas, the 4-year note is being auctioned earlier than normal, on December 16, 1982. details of the The details of the 7-year note and the 20-year bond will be announced on December 14, 1982. The 7-year note will be auctioned on December 21 and the 20-year bond on December 22. The December details of the 52-week bill will be announced on 17, 1982, and the bill will be auctioned on December 23. oOo epettment of ihe Treasury ~ Washington. D.C. ~ Telephone 56$-204$ Contact: Stephen Hayes For Immediate Release Thursday, December 9, 1982 Secretar On December Regan 566-2Q41 to Host Meeting of U. S. — China Economic Committee 13, 14 and 15, Treasury Secretary Joint Donald T. Regan meeting of the U. S. — China Joint Economic Committee. The meetings will be held at the Treasury Department in Washington and will focus on finance, investment, trade and tax issues which relate to the overall U. S. — China will host the 3rd Annual economic relationship. delegation will be headed by Minister of Finance, People's Republic of China. The Chinese Minister Wang, relations between the two countries have developed in the last four years. Bilateral trade has grown from S1.2 billion in 1978 to $5. 5 billion last year, making the United States China's third largest trading partner and China our fifth largest market for agricultural exports. The U. S. — China Joint Economic Committee was created in 1979 shortly after establishment of diplomatic relations between the two countries. Its purpose is to coordinate the entire spectrum of bilateral economic ties between the United States and China. Economic significantly the Chinese delegation will In addition, while in Washington, participate with American corporate executives in a meeting hosted by the National Council for U. S. — China Trade to discuss The Chinese commercial opportunities. ways to expand bilateral will also have an opportunity to meet with investment bankers in a banking forum hosted by the Overseas Private Investment These meetings should provide an excellent Corporation. opportunity for the Chinese to become more familiar with the interests and expertise of the American business community. R-1060 of the Treasury pepartment FOR RELEASF. [JPON December 9, 1982 ~ Washlnyton, O.C. ~ Telephone 566-204% DELIVERY STATEI"IENT RY F, POWI S DI. PIJTY ASSISTANT SFCRFTARY FOR ENFORCFMFNT DFP ARTMFNT OF' THE TREASURY RF, I'ORF,' THE SURCOMMITTEE ON GOVERNMENT INFORMATION AND INDIVIDUAL HOIJSF, COMMITTFF, ON GOVERNMFNT ()PFRATIONS RORF, RT Mr. Chairman and Members . RIGHTS of the Subcommittee. It is my pleasure to appear before you today to testify hehalf of the Treas&)ry Department concerning the activities of its enforcement bureaus regarding training, information coordination and resources which are provided tn states and Localities and also tn discuss the cooperative relationship which exists between these bureaus and their. co»nterparts in state and local law enforcement. I intend tn discuss overall philosophy in this regard and give specif ic examples ahout training which nf cooperative efforts and information is afforded tn state and local law enforcement. on Initially, I would like to advise yn&) of the structure The Otfice of F.'nfnrcement and of Treasury law enforcement. Operations within the Treasury Department was set up some years agn to exercise line authority over the enfnrceinent hureaus. This office oversees the operations of the IJ. S. Secret. Service, IJ. S. C»stnms Service, the Rureau of Alcohnl, Tobacco and Firearms and the F'edera1 Law Fnfnrcement Training Center at Glynco, Genrg ia. In addition the off. ice, currently headed by Assistant Secretary, Tohn M. Iaalker, .Jr. , provides policy guidance nn a wide range nf law enforcement and adm in istrat R-1061 ive issues. The major premise upon which our nf f ice operates is that successful law enforcement activity demands cooperation and coordination at all levels. We f irmly believe in bureaus to cooperate with the need for Federal enfnrcement activities in joint their each other and to coordinate essential we also believe that it is absolutely endeavors. relationmaintain working for. Federal enforcement bureaus to and local enforcement state with ships with and tn cooperate officials on a daily basis. Law enforcement etforts are at their best in those areas where cooperation and coordination ederal, state and local enforcement agencies is at its hy highest. Part nf this cooperation involves training and bureaus should make we firmly believe that our enforcement training available to state and local enforcement personnel to the extent possible wi. thin the limits of their expertise I and funding resources. Tustice/Treasur , State and Local Training Program Recommendations 11 and 44 of the Attorney General's Task Force on Violent Crime stated that the Attorney General should expand where possible the training and support programs provided to state and local law enforcement by the Federal Government personne. l and that the Attorney General should establish and, where necessary, seek additional resources for specialized training prngrams to allow state and local law enforcement personnel to enhance their ability to c:ombat serious crime. Purs»ant tn these recommendations the J»stice and Treasury Departments agreed to jointly sponsor a program to carr y them nut. It was agreed that the facilities of the Federal Law Enfnrcement Training Center. (FLFCTC) at Glynco, Georgia, wo»ld be used tn develop a training program to be made available tn state and local enforcement nff. icers aimed at the reduction of violent and serious crime. It was also agreed that c onsideratinn wo»ld be given tn the creation of a National Center for state and local law enforcement training tn he located at Glynco. Teffrey Harris, Deputy Associate Attorney General in the T»stice Department and myself were named as cn-chairmen of. this project. An Interagency Working Gro»p directed by George Rohlinger, former Acting Administrator of. the LFAA, was set up tn design and conduct pilnt training courses and tn determine the feasibility of. the projected s1atinnal Center. A f inal report is to be submitted by the Working Group in, january l983. An Interagency Multi-J»rissdict ional Advisory Committee was appointed tn assist the cochairmen of. the working grn»p tn achieve their objectives. focus of the program is the development of advanced speciali~ed and technical training courses fnr operational personnel serving law enforcement at the state and local level and those individuals involved in training such personnel. Fxperts availah1e in the Federal Government and the various states have been identif ied and made available to teach in various courses offered under the auspices nf this program. Cnurses being presented and under consideration for development are nnt designed to duplicate existing training but rather tn develop new programs and to engage in joint sponsorship with state and local officials when appropriate. A number of pilot programs have been developed and presented and several others are scheduled tn be of. fered in 1983. It was dec. ided that the training offered will he on a reimh»rsable basis and that scheduling will be developed on the basis of. demand. A quality product designed to meet the needs of. the state and local law enforcement community is the objective of each course. The following pilnt courses have already been developed and presented. The l. Court Securit . Offered by the U. S. Marshalls hy the Natinnal Sheriff's Association. Twn cnures have already been presented. Service and 2. Ouestioned Service. jointly sponsored Documents. One offered course has already by the U. S. Customs been presented. 3. Advan&-ed Arson for Profit. Offered hy the Rureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms. The first course is being presented at this time. 4. Advanced Fx lnsives Investigative Techni ues. Offered hy the Rureau ot Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms. Six courses have already been pre- sented. 5. Officer Safet and Survial course has been presented. courses The fnllnwing on a pilot basis presented 1983. for Trainers. One and will be three months of have been developed during the first Undercover Investigative Techni ues. Offered the Bureau of Alcohol, Tnbaccn and Firearms. by 2 ~ Protective O erations Rrief ing. tlnited States Secret Service. Of fere(1 by the 3. Offered by the F)river Tnstructer Training. Federal Law Fnfnrcement Training Center (FLFTC). 4. Advanced hy Photogra h . Offered Law Fnforcement the Federal Law Fnforcement Training Center. (I LFTC). ment 5. I'marine Law Fnforcement. Law F'nfnrcement Training 6. Fraud and Financial the Federal Law the Customs on Cargo overall prngram Training Service is working Theft. In addition The Investigations. 'nforcement F, of. a co»rse Offered by the Federal Center. on the develop- excellent results. response to several of the d and eighty (180) state and to date has There has been an enth»siastic Offered by Center. had courses presented. One-hundr&. 1ocal law enforcement of. f icers have already gone thrn»gh the Advanced F'xplnsives Techniques. There is a backlog of. over 400 local enforcement off. icials who wish to attend this cnurse. The Rureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms has &jsed an innovat. ive approach in developing some of their cour. , es by utilizing recognized experts on the state and local level in the act&Ial preparation nf. course content. This concept is hei ng »sed in the development nf several additional courses. A decision has been Inane for. the FLFTC to take over operatinna1 control of the Tustice/Treasury, State and Local Training Program on February 1, 1983, based on the success of some of. the first co»rses presented and the potential for other courses which wi1.1 be presented. IJ. S. Secret Service Secret Service recognizes f»lly the importance of and assistance with members of the state and local law enforcement community. S»ch cooperation is vital tn the Service's protective mission which includes the protection of the President, members of his immediate family, the Vice President, former Presidents, visiting heads of states/governments and the major candidates for the Presidency an d Vice Presidency during campaign years. The Service cannot The cnnperatinn its protective mission without the cooperation and receives f rom state and local law enforcement. Coordinated planning is carried out hy the Secret Service with state and local law enforcement agencies in connection with each visit hy a prntectee to a local jurisdiction. carry out assistance it The Secret Service also relies heavily upon information provided by .local and Federal law enforcement agencies in the conduct of its protective responsibilities. The Service cannot make intelligent and informed decisions concerning potential sources of. dange~ to its protectess in a vacuum. It m»st have information which lncal agencies and other. Federal agencies can obtain and provide. Conscious efforts Service the Secret in this area date hack tn the Warren by Commission and its findings and recommendations. One of the primary concerns centered on the acquisition of possible threatening information through liaison affected by the Service. This concern has been reiterated at critical moments since that ti. me. Fvery effort is expended hy the Secret Service tn maximize relations with enforcement agencies with a veiw toward keeping lines of communication open so as to receive informatinn about persons or groups who may intend tn harm Secret Service protectees. Secret Service field off. ices and resident agents are for the establishment and maintenance of active liaison with all intelligence and law enforcement agencies and their respective districts tn ensure that all inforwho might constitute mation on groups or individuals a potential threat is furnished on a timely basis. They in turn report this immediately to the Headquarters Intelligence Division. The Service has a set of guidelines which include broad categories of informatinn of interest to assist in evaluating not only individuals but situations which could This pose a danger to its prntectees and their movements. is not a one-way street. Secret Service field offices as well as its Intelligence Division review i. ncoming information is received dealing with Tf information from all sources. threats to non-Federal public ofticials, e. g. , Governors, Mayors or even private citizens, the Service ensures that .law immediate notif. icatinn i. s made to the appropriate responsible enforcement agency. Cnoperative intelligence s ecurity efforts are especially evident during major events whi ch draw upon hoth Federal and Fxamples are the Olympics, National Political local resnurces. Conventions, World Fairs, etc. During such activity the Service participates willingly in the analysis and infnrmation sharing required to assess and prevent potent]. a 1 violence. Secret Service agents, in addition to their protective ef forts, made over 8000 arrests in FY 1982 in cases involving nf our currency and obligations and the the counterfeiting thef t and forgery of government checks, bonds and food stamps. the Secret Service routinely In the area of counterfeiting, These authorcnoperates with state and local authorities. tn counterfeit ities are frequently the first to respond tn In certain instances it is advantageous notes passed. prosecute criminal offenses under the jurisdiction of the Service at the state and lncal level. When that happens, the Secret Service provides the necessary expertise tn facilitate the prosecution. Expert testimony, courtroom exhibits and Laboratory services are examples of the type In the area of counterfeit investinf support rendered. between the Secret Service of the cooperation much gations and its counterparts at the state and local level is generally the "unstructured agent-to-police officer type contact. " The following are example~ of cooperative enforcement ventures between the fJ. S. Secret Service and local law enforcement authorities. 1. The St. r.ouis Field Office recently concluded a s»ccessful undercover "sting" operation with members of. the St. J.o»is City Police Department. The two agencies jointly planned, staffed, financed and ran the operation. The Secret Service leased the building and installed sophisticated audio and visual equipment used tn document each transaction between a violator and the undercover law enforcement personnel. A Secret Service undercover agent worked alongside a poLice undercover officer to purchase stolen government obligations and other stnlen property. The operatinn lasted six months and successfully recovered $558, 000 in stolen contraband while expending $40, 000 in "buy" money. Eighty-five violatnrs were arrested. Through cooperation between the U. S. Attorney and the St. J.ouis City Attorney, they were prosecuted in both Federal and State courts. 2 The Secret Service is a member in the U. S. Departof T»stice's Task Force against food stamp fraud. As such its Atlanta, Georgia, field office initiated a joint investigation with Local Georgia Rureau of Investigation Agents intn a S400, 000 fraud scheme masterminded by a suspect and t»gitive from a similar scheme in Florida' The investigation disclosed the fugitive had fled to Houston, Texa~ Based nn information jointly developed by Federal ~ ment ~ state investigators, the fugitive was swif tly arrested Florida state warrants by Secret Service Agents in Houston, Texas. and on 3. Electronic Fund Transfer (EFT) cases frequently local banks as recipients and lend themselves to effective Federal and state law enforcement cooperation. Field office and the Arlington, The Service's Washington Virginia, Police Department recently initiated an investigation involve obtained $13, 000 in involving a suspect who had fraudulently Federal funds through the FFT system. Because of a lack of state computer fraud laws, the local police would have been able to charge the defendant with only state misdemeanor violations. Because of the cooperation with the Secret Service, the defe'ndant was charged with felony violations in Federal court. tJ. ST Customs Service The (J. S. Customs Service, due largely to its unique position as the first line of defense at our nation's borders, has long enjoyed a reputation for assistance and cooperation with other law enforcement agencies. Violations of the numerous laws enforced by Customs often involve parallel or tangential violations of those statutes enforced agencies by other Federal, state and local law enforcement as well as foreign governments' The JJ. S. Customs Service has assumed a significant role task forces. The in narcotics and financial investigative ongoing South Florida Task Force (Operation Florida) has in many instances nf cooperation and coordination the Federal 4nvernment and local/state agencies. The presence of. such a Federal force is a valuable asset to local law enforcement agencies in that it is a source of equipment and expertise which might otherwise be unavailable at the local level. resulted between specific example would be the undercover operation involving the vessel sailing tn Colombia for the purpose This case was initiated of obtaining a load of marijuana. Police Department and consisted of by the Ft. Lauderdale undercover officers being approached hy a narcotics organization to transport a load of marijuana from Colombia to the IJnited States. After several undercover meetings with the co-conspirators, it was the intention of the department to indict on a cold conspiracy. The situation was then brought to the attention of the task force and arrangements were made to provide a boat, tracking equipment, and undercover federal agents, all of which made the actual trip to Colombia possible. The assistance provided by the task force produced more indictments and resulted in a stronger case than would have existed had the police department not requested the Federal participation. area of substantial expertise, financial investigations involving provisions of the Rank Secrecy Act, task force approach Customs is utilizing the multi-agency narcotics trafficking of cash flow the in targetting major In keeping with the and organized crime organizations. intent of Congress in enacting the Rank Recrecy Act, Customs of felony currency viohas designated the investigation Our enforcement strategy lations as a national priority. includes imprisoning the principle violator, seizure and forfeiture of their assets, and prevention of their use of legitimate channels to launder the proceeds of illicit In another activities. Financial investigations influence a large segment of the United States and overseas financial, criminal and law enforcement communities. To successfully enhance law enforcement's ability to ne»tralize organized criminal activity, interagency cooperation at all levels of government is essential. Code named F. l Dorado, these task forces draw upon the expertise, resources, and intelligence-gathering capabilities of various Federal, state and local law In support of this effort, Customs agencies' established the Treasury Financial Law Fnforcement Center (TFLEC) to facilitate both drug and non-drug case development for violations having the greatest potential for prosecution. TFLEC is an important financial crimes intelligence center serving the entire law enforcement community. It utilizes the specialized talents of criminal investigators, intelligence research specialists, and automated data processing specialists, combined with sophisticated electronic equipment, to collect, collate and analyze financial data generated by the Rank Secrecy Act reports to target suspected criminal organizations involved in large-scale currency transactions' TFLEC personnel also provide flow charting, link analysis, and on-site consultancy capabilities. Neither TFLEC nor F. l Dorado are merely C»stoms programs. Roth are dependent upon interaction, cooperation, and participation of other agencies. enforcement indict on a cold conspiracy. The situation was then brought to the attention of the task force and arrangements were made to provide a boat, tracking equipment, and undercover federal agents, all of which made the actual trip to Colombia possible. The assistance provided hy the task force produced more indictments and resulted in a stronger case than would have existed had the police department not requested the Federal participation' In another investigations area of substantial expertise, financial involving provisions nf the Rank Secrecy Act, the multi-agency task force approach Customs is utilizing the cash flow of major narcotics trafficking in targetting and organized crime organizations. In keeping with the intent of Congress in enacting the Rank Secrecy Act, Customs of felony currency viohas designated the investigation lations as a national priority. Our enforcement strategy includes imprisoning the principle violator, seizure and forfeiture of their assets, and prevention of their use of legitimate channels to launder the proceeds of illicit activities. Financial investigations influence a large segment of the United States and overseas financial, criminal and law enforcement communities. To successfully enhance law enforcement's ability to neutralize organized criminal activity, interagency cooperation at all levels of government is Code named El Dorado, these task forces draw essentials upon the expertise, resources, and intelligence-gathering Federal, state and local law of this effort, Customs established the Treasury Financial Law Fnforcement Center (TFLEC) to facilitate both drug and non-drug case developfor prosement for violations having the greatest potential cution. TPLEC is an important financial crimes intelligence center serving the entire law enforcement community. It utilizes the specialized talents of criminal investigators, intelligence research specialists, and automated data processing specialists, comhined with sophisticated electronic equipment, to collect, c.ollate and analyze financial data generated by the Rank Secrecy Act reports involved in to target suspected c:riminal organizations TFLEC personnel also large-scale currency transactions. provide flow charting, link analysis, and on-site consulNeith& r TFLEC nor El Dorado are tancy capabilities. Roth are dependent upon intermerely Customs programs. action, cooperation, and participation of other agencies. capabilities enforcement of various agencies. In support and on state investigators, Florida state warrants Texas. was swiftly arrested Secret Service Agents in Houston, the fugitive by 3. Electronic Fund Transfer (FFT) cases frequently local banks as recipients and lend themselves to effective Federal and state law enforcement cooperation. Field office and the Arlington, The Service's Washington Virginia, Police Department recently initiated an investigation ohtained Sl3, 000 in involving a suspect who had fraudulently involve Recause of a lack of Federal funds through the FFT system. would have been local police the state computer fraud laws, state misdemeanor with defendant only able to charge the with the Secret cooperation of the Because violations. defe'ndant violations with was charged felony the Service, in Federal court. JJ. S. Customs Service The JJ. S. Customs Service, due largely to its unique position as the first .line of defense at our nation's borders, has long enjoyed a reputation for assistance and cooperation with other law enforcement agencies. Violations of the numerous laws enforced by Customs often involve parallel nr tangenti. al vinlatinns of those statutes enforced agencies by other Federal, state and local law enforcement as wel. l as foreign governments. The 0 AS. Customs Service has assumed a significant role in narcotics and f. inancial investigative task forces. The ongoing South Florida Task Force (Operation Florida) has resulted in many instances of cooperation and coordination be'tween the Federal 4nvernment and local/state agencies. The presence nf. such a Federal force is a valuable asset tn local law enforcement agencies in that it is a source of equipment and expertise which might otherwise be unavail- able at the local level. specific example would be the undercover operation involving the vessel sailing to Colombia fnr the purpose of obtaining a load of marijuana. This case was initiated Police Department and consisted of hy the Ft. J.auderdale undercover officers being approached hy a narcotics organization to transport a load of marijuana from Colombia to the IJnited States. After several undercover meetings with the co-conspirators, it was the intention nf the department to The success of both entities the interaction all levels of and requires, to a large extent, participation by law enforcement at government. Utilizatinn of TFLFC information, combined with the diverse talents of investigators from different law enforcement agencies, is proving to be one of the most innovative and successful concepts in law enforcement in recent years. to encouraging As a result, Customs is fully committed increased cooperation between all facets of the law enforceIn support of this objective, Customs has ment community. actively pursued a program of briefings and training on all financial investigations, Rank Secrecy Act requirements, capabilities. This program, conducted at both and field element levels, has been presented numerous Federal, state and local law *nfnrcement to and TFLFC Headquarters agencies. Such a program was recently presented to representatives of. the New York Police Departments Rased on requests for information from numerous local and state law enforcement agencies nationwide, TFLFC support has been provided to assist those agencies in ongoing criminal Local and state pnlice officers are also investigatinns. active participants in the Fl Dorado task force operations in New York, Los Angeles and Miami. lJ. S. Customs has also headed and participated in many task forces with state and local pnlice investigating violations in the areas of cargo theft, auto theft, and stolen art. For example, pursuant to nur goals in Operation the U. S. Customs Service is participating with the F,'xodus, thefts Santa Clara County Sheriff's office in investigating of critical technology hardware and data from firms operating This coordinated in the Silicon Valley area of California. effort is aimed at stemming the flow of illegal exports to Communist Rloc nations. Recently, U. S. Customs was requested by the Fxecutive State and Local Law Director, of the 7ustice/Treasury, Enforcement Training Program, to develop and present a course for state and local police in cargo theft. The school is projected tn run 1 — 2 weeks, approximately 3 — 4 times a In addition to this formalized year at Glyncn, Georgia. training, U. S. Customs agents routinely .lecture at classes For example, the Office of for local police departments. trains state and the Special Agent in Charge, Philadelphia, local police at Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, and Sea Girt, New in Customs matters such as, the usefulness of Treasury ,Iersey, Sytem (TFCS) to their investiFnforcement Communications gations, narcotics identification and currency laws. basis, Customs personnel are in daily a nationwide state law enforcement agencies and local contact with investigative and intelliproviding as well as obtaining, It is of mutual interest. gence support to investigations successbe only through this cooperation that we can hope to internaof. operations f ul in our efforts to neutral i ze the t innal and domest ic criminal organizations. On Rureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms of Alcohol, Tobacco and F i rearms has enjoyed the reputation as a close ally and working partner with state and local law enforcement of f icers since the inception of This relationship is founded on mutual respect the agency. other' s expertise, and the f act that ATP agents for each enter into law enforcement initiatives with their state and local counterparts as full partners. The Bureau The joint efforts of. ATF and their associates in state local agenc ies has resulted in the f ormation of many innovative projects that have directly suppor ted these agencies in their f ight against violent crime. These projects include the sharing of information and the - joining of. resources at the street level, through "s ta te-of. theart" training programs which produce an enforcement of f icer I would like to that is f ar superior to h is predecessors. demonstrate now discuss several of these projects to further this cooperative ef f ort. and Federal agency with statutory ATF is the principal j»ri sd iction over arson crimes — but unfortunately there are a lot more arsons committed than ATF has the reso»rces to investigate. s arson program provides for investigative assistance to state and local authorities experiencing a signif icant arson problem, particularly where the nature or magnitude of the problem exceeds their jurisdiction or resources . ATF has promoted and applied the task force approach to attac k complex arson crimes occurri ng in ma j or metropol i tan areas. ATF ' Another viable team concept developed by ATF involves the National Response Team. These highly trained cadres of experienced arson investigators are located in four key areas o f the country. The se teams are able to mob i I i ze immediately and move to any location in the country with in 24 hours to assist in major arson incidents. Because of their phenomenal clearance rate ( over 6 0% ) these teams have been commended by state and local law enf orcement bodies g 11 companies, and by the Attorney General' s by major insurance of f ice for the vigor and selflessness with which they pursue arsonists. This National Response team is the only concept of its kind by a Federal law enforcement agency. Perhaps the most widely services to state and local utilized and law enforcement successful of ATF's is its National Since its inception, the tracing center has accurately and quickly traced tens of thousands nf firearms for. other law enforcement agencies, with a very significant percentage of those traces providing information vital to the apprehension of crime suspects. Within the last three months alone, ATF traces have led directly to the arrest of two suspected murderers. Firearms Tracing Center. ATF traces in recent years have resulted in a hetter than 60 percent ratio of success in providing assistance in the solution of crimes and successful prosecutions. In the Presidential assassination attempt of 1981, an ATF trace taking only 16 minutes provided critical information the United States Secret Service as they worked at crisis tn pace to determine the scope of the attack, Nr. Chairman, Task Force before, we' ve discussed the South Florida would he remiss if I didn't touch upon The unsung heroes of the drive against for "follow-up" assaults. and the potential although I it briefly herc' narcotics traffickers of Southern Florida may well prove to he the agents and inspectors of the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms. Working with little publicity and restricted resources, the 45 agents assigned to the task force have made over 200 felony cases in just 17 weeks nf Concentrating their efforts on the suppliers of operation. the small caliber handguns and easily concealable machine guns which are the weapons of preference among these dealers in death and corruption, ATF agents risk their lives every time they hit the streets. Fven as I was preparing this testimony, on December 2, 1982, I learned that one ATF undercover agent had been killed and another wounded during the course of an investigation in South Florida. The joint ef forts of these agents with state and local of f icers, as well as with DF'A, Customs and the FBI have drawn very high praise from local police administrators, 12 i ncluding the ~1iami Chief of Police, and Dade Co»nty reacting to the shooting President,Forceps police of f icials. dedication and heroism the praised has of the ATF agents, Task the of members of all ATF The Historically, ATF has been involved in the development Rome nf training programs for state and lncal officers. firearms, were programs these covered by subjects of the organized crime, cigarette smuggling, arson, explosive investigations and hazardous devices. Fxperts in the field that there was a need fnr a comprehensive advanced course for the ~oat explosives incident investigator. , that would permit a blend of. conducted in an environment It was classronm and actual hands-on training experience. the efforts complement. envisioned that this training wnuld nf the Redstone Arsenal Hazardous Device School and other concluded programs. State and local poli ce of f icers are usually the f. irst at the scene of. a bombing, and it is essential fnr arrive tn successful investigation and prosecution that they have the proper tra ining for these highly comp. licated investigati. nns. Nationwide the arrest and conviction rate in explosives/ incendiary crimes has bee n una&-ceptable and we feel will . he improve d through these efforts. of 1981, discussinns of the foregoing issues by staff members of the Department of. the Treasury and the Department of 7»stice resulted in a decision such a course. by RATF to develop and implement At at the conclusion was done at a workshop/seminar The development (. the FLFTC, lyncn, Genrgi. a, involving experts . conducted selected by of Rnmb Technicians and Investigators and the Rureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms. was to produce a product The goal in the course development which would enhance the skills of state and local investigators having the legal responsibility for explosive/incendiary incident investigations. the International Association This development process came on line at the same time as the formation of the pilot courses under the, 7ustice- Treasury, State and Local Training Program at FLFTC. It this ATF course into this new was decided tn incorporate Indeed the development of this course was sn program. successf»l that it is heing used as a model fnr the development nf other highly specialized courses for the, j'usticeTreasury, Program. 13 ATF has since added two other cnurses under the Justice- State and Local Training Program. The f irst is Undercover Investigative Techniquesg which was developed cooperatively with DEA, Secret Service, FBI and the New York Police Department and other state and local of f ices. The second, Advanced Arson for Profit, was a joint effort on the part of ATF and the International Association of Arson Investigators, the International Association of Chiefs of Police, and the Federal Emergency Management Agency with assistance from the insurance industry and state officers. Treasury, All three of the foregoing programs, Advanced Explo- for Profit, and Undercover Techniques, are recognized throughout the law enforcement community as "state-of-the-art" and are consistent with ATF. 's mission of assisting and supporting states and municipalities to combat violent crime in the most effective manner possible. sives, Advanced Arson In addition to the foregoing, it should be noted that our Treasury enfnrcement bureaus have representation Law Enforcement on the U. ST Attorney's Coordinating Committee. This program was initiated by the Attorney General to formally coordinate Federal, state and local enforcement priorities and activities. Likewise, all of our enforcement bureaus are represented on the Department of Justice's Organized Crime and Racketeering Task Forces around the country. These task forces have hoth state and local enforcement that the Customs Service representatives. We also anticipate and ATF will participate in the Presidential Task Forces in the near future. One of the which will be established forces nf these task is to cooperate fully with state goals and local enforcement agencies. all nf. Nr. Chairman, I believe that the information which I have provided sets forth a good record of cooperative efforts with state and Jncal law enforcement on the part of. Treasury's bureaus. We want our bureaus to work to law enforcement Rnth improve their already excellent cooperative eftorts. bureaus know that they cannot do we and the enforcement their job effectively without cooperation from other Federal bureaus and from state and local law enforcement agencies. I am nnw ready to answer any questions Thank you very much. which you may have. of the Treasury eportment Release For ";;:-„ected t;ecember Upon ~ Washington, D.C. ~ Telephone 566-204t Deliver at 9: 30 a. m. E. S.T. i 0, l982 STATEMENT Ol WILLIAM McKEE TAX LEGISLATIVE COUNSEL DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON TAXATION AND DEBT MANAGEMENT OF THE SENATE FINANCE COMMITTEE S. Nr. Chairman I and Members of the Subcommittee: to have the opportunity to present the views of the the following bills: ST 2987, which would exempt all bloodmobiles from the Federal motor vehicle manufacturers excise tax; S. 2647, which would allow a deduction for the expenses of attending business conventions conducted on cruise ships registered in am Treasury pleased Department on sailing exclusively between American ports; and S. 3064, for four additional years the special exclusion income on gross cancellation of certain student loans. I will discuss each of these bills in turn. the UPS. and would which from extend Excise Tax ST (relating S. Exem 2987 tion for Bloodmobiles 2987 would amend section 4063 of the Internal Revenue Code to the Federal manufacturers excise tax on motor vehicles) this tax all vehicles which are used exclusively in transportation of blood. Under present law, &ehicles such as school buses, fire trucks, ambulances and hearses are exempted from the motor vehicle excise tax. The American Red Cross has long been ruled exempt from the motor vehicle excise tax under aection 4293 of the Internal Revenue Code (authorizing the Secretary to grant excise tax exemptions on articles for the exclusive use of the United States) in recognition of the auasi-governmental role which the American Red Cross historically has played. In general, vehicles Purchased by nonprofit organizations are not exempt from this excise by exempting the collection tax. R-106 Z from and preliminary matter, the Treasury Department wishes to point Act of 1982, H. R. 6211, which this out. that the Surface Transportation supports and which has been passed by the House of Administration by the Senate Finance Representatives and has been reported favorably tax to exempt all excise Committee, would amend the motor vehicle or less. It is 000 pounds trucks with a gross vehicle weight of 33, be classified as trucks that bloodmobiles would our understanding is bloodmobiles approximately that the average gross vehicle weight of most of the Hence, 25, 000 pounds ano rarely exceeds 33, 000 pounds. kv a sace arq. oF t&, advocates nP S 2987 would Qp alleviatod H. R. 62' l. Turning now to S. 29R'7, the Treasury Department recognizes that donors is an important t he collection of blood from voluntary However, while the care system. component of our nation's health Treasury supports exemptions to the motor vehicle excise tax which are directly related to highway usage such as the weight classifications described above, we are generally opposed to exemptions which are not An important purpose of the motor vehicle excise tax is so related. to help ensure that all h'ighway users bear their fair share of the cost of constructing, maintaining, and improving our highway system. The fact that many of the vehicles are used in charitable or other worthwhile pursuits does not alter the fact that the owners of such vehicles should pay their fair share of the expense of maintaining our nation's highways. Therefore, Treasury opposes S. 2987. As a . 1 ~ estimates that this less than $500, 000 per year. Treasury bill would reduce budget receipts by S. 2647 Deductions for Certain Ex enses of Attendin Conventions on Domestic Cruise Shi s Back round In 1976, Congress first enacted legislation attempting to deal the problem of taxpayers who were taking deductions for the expense of attending foreign conventions which were in reality thinlyThe 1976 legislation disguised vacations. imposed a number of detailed limitations on the deductibility of convention expenses which depended heavily on detailed information reporting by the taxpayer. with By 1980, it became clear that the 1976 limitations had not been effective in preventing the use of the tax system to subsidize foreign vacations. Therefore, Congress discarded the 1976 approach i~ favor of a rule denying a deduction for the expenses of attending a convention outside the North American area (defined to include the United States, its possessions, and the Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands, and Canada and Mexico), unless it is established that "it is as reasonable for the meeting to be held outside the North American area as within the North American area. " In addition, a provision was enacted denying a deduction for all expenses of attending any convention on board a cruise ship. 6. 2647 S. allow a taxpayer to deduct the expenses of that on board a cruise ship if he establishes attending to the active or related conduct his trade of the meeting is directly business, if the cruise ship is a vessel registered in the United States, and if all ports of call of such cruise ship are located in In addition, the bill would the United States or its possessions. reporting requirements on taxpayers impose detailed information attending cruise ship conventions and on cruise ship convention These information reporting requirements sponsors. are virtually o those which were enac-ed in 1976 but repealed in 1980. identical restrictions on the However, the bill would not impose any additional deductibility of cruise ship convention expenses such as those contained in the 1976 statute. 2647 would a convention Treasury is strongly opposed to S. 2647. From the context of the other changes made in this area in 1980, it would appear that the cruise ship rule reflects the judgment of Congress that it is never "as reasonable" for a convention to be held on a cruise ship as it is for the convention to be held on land. The Treasury agrees with this In our view, the decision to hold a convention aboard a judgment. cruise ship is invariably motivated almost exclusively by personal, non-business considerations. H. R. 3191, a bill which the Treasury opposed in testimony before the Select Revenue |6easures Subcommittee of the House Ways and Means Committee. The only differences between H. R. 3191 and S. 2647 are: (1) S. 2647 limits the cruise ship exception to cruises which stop only at United States ports while H. R. 3191 would have allowed all ports within the North American area; and (2) S. 2647 imposes more detailed information on taxpayers and convention sponsors in order reporting requirements to gualify for the exception. Neither of these changes serves in any way to lessen the opposition which Treasury has voiced to H. R. 3191. First, the primary personal benefit of a cruise ship convention is the time spent aboard the ship The Treasury does not see the limitation to U. S. ports as in any way altering the conclusion that an organization which selects a cruise ship as the site for its convention almost invariably does so primarily for the personal benefit of those attending the convention. Second, the proposed ~eportinc requirements are not a meaningful safeguard against abuse since they are not linked to any additional substantive restricti"ns such as those contained in the 1976 statute. S. has 2647 previously is quite similar to ~ allowing a deduction for expenses of attending a convention aboard a cruise ship would permit taxpayers to ~se the tax system to subsidize what is primarily This a vacation. &ould only lead to increased cynicism about the overall fairness of Our tax system which in turn could result in increased levels of To summarize, we th'nk noncompliance. Treasury on budget estimates receipts. that this bill would have a negligible effect S. 3064 Extension of the Exclusion from Gross Income on the Cancellation of Certain Student Loans a provision S. 3064 would extend for an additional four years 1976. This the of Act Reform Tax the 2117 of in section of portion of any cancellation the statute excludes from gross income of the provision a to pursuant was a student loan if the discharge of the indebtedness the of loan agreement under which all or part for a certain works individual the if individual would be discharged period of time in certain professions in certain geographical areas or It is our understanding that this for certain classes of employers. contained provision has primarily assisted public hospitals of programs to train nurses. in the establishment The exclusion for cancelled student loans is similar (although not identical) to the temporary exclusion from gross income for National Research Service Awards ("NRSAs") received by individuals pursuant to the National Research Service Awards Act of 1974. The temporary exclusion for NRSAs was extended by the Tax Equity and Fiscal. Responsibility Act of 1982 (TEFRA) through December 31, 1983. In general, scholarships and fellowships grants are excluded from gross income under section 117 of the Internal Revenue Code. While the cancellation of a student loan is not a scholarship or fellowship grant in form, a reasonable argument can be made that it should be treated as such since the same result could be achieved by making a grant to the borrower in an amount equal to the indebtedness to be forgiven. As with NRSAs, the question then becomes whether the conditions on the cancellation of indebtedness are primarily for the benefit of the lender (in which case the cancellation or grant is more properly treated as taxable compensation than a scholarship or fellowship). The Treasury Department believes that this question is best in the context of a comprehensive review of the entire area of scholarships and fellowships. Since the Treasury is currently engaged in such a study, we do not oppose a temporary extension of the exclusion from gross income for these student loan cancellations. We b e 1'ieve, however, that a four-year extension is unnecessarily long and suggest that the exclusion be extended only to loan cancellations occurring be. ore January 1, 1984. In this way, this exclusion would expire at the same time as the NRSA exclusion, allowing these arid other similar programs to be considered and dealt with in a comprehensive manner. answered Treasury estimates that the bill would reduce budget less than S5 million per year for fiscal years 1983-88. I will be happy to answer your questions. receipts by of the Treasury ppporiment D.C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 Washington, ~ RELEASE FOR IMMEDIATE 13, 1982 December RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS $5, 801 million of 13-week bills and for $5, 807 million of both to be issued on December 16, 1982, were accepted today. for Tenders 26~eek bills, OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: 13-week RANGE maturin Price 97. 985 High 97c975 97 ' 979 Low Average at the at the Tenders Tenders low low bills 17 1983 Discount Investment Rate Rate 1/ maturi March 7. 971X 8. 011X 7. 995X 8. 25X 8. 29X 8. 27X Price 95. 862 95. 840 95.852 price for the 13-week bills price for the 26-week bills were were 26-week bills June 16 1 Investment Discount Rate Rate 1/ 8. 185X 8. 229% 8. 205X2/ 8. 66X 8. 70X 8. 68X allotted 79X. allotted 52X. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Received Location Boston New $ York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St ~ Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Treasury TOTALS ~e Competitive Noncompetitive Public Federal Reserve Foreign Official Institutions TOTALS $ ted 30, 145 5, 151,055 30, 70% 43, 650 33, 335 ~dcce ted Received 120 $79, 12, 676, 990 $ 34, 320 5, 259, 420 846, 730 37, 280 21, 555 43, 990 66, 755 64, 930 38, 995 28, 525 1, 024, 325 54, 030 14, 630 36, 070 14, 480 792, 610 184 645 184 645 184 645 184 645 $14, 399, 880 $5, 800, 970 : $15, 076, 105 $5, 807, 480 $12, 021, 425 $3, 422, 515 792 025 $12, 813, 450 7925025 $4, 214, 540 : $12, 605, 380 587 525 : $13, 192, 905 $38336, 755 587, 525 $3, 924, 280 1,445, 030 1, 445, 030 1, 425, 000 1, 425, 000 141 400 141 400 458 200 $14, 399, 880 $5, 800, 970 458, 200 : $15, 076, 105 21, 555 Francisco Subtotal, 36, 145 12, 049, 880 32, 180 104, 730 38, 355 35, 230 928, 140 57, 310 24, 890 40, 090 Thousands ~dcce 34, 870 131,540 48, 310 9, 890 coupon-issue yield. 1/ Equivalent the maximum 2/ The four-week average for calculating on money market certificates is 8. 269X. 16, 755 21, 430 23, 995 25, 425 100, 325 35, 030 8, 430 35, 915 9, 480 52, 310 $5, 807, 480 interest rate payable apartment of the Treasury ~ Washington, D.C. ~ Telephone 566-204 Remarks By Donald T. Regan Secretary of the Treasury Before the U. S. Savings Bonds Volunteer State Department December 8, 1982 Settin A New I am delighted to be friends from the business surprised at such a large going on. I thought most lunch. Course For Savin s here today and see so many of my good community. Actually, I'm a little turnout with all the corporate takeovers of you would stay home to guard the store. I'm reminded of a story about two top executives who met over One mentioned that a colleague had passed away. "Good Lord, he Committee have?" " his friend said. " "Oh not too much, assembly corporation and worth going after. " "That's t'errible. What did said the other. "Just a small machine three ailing subsidiaries. Nothing really We meet this year under much better circumstances than we did in 1981. Inflation is down and interest rates are down. Thanks in large measure to your help, we now offer savers the best Savings Bond ever -- one with a market-based, variable yield. Now, savings rising, Program. Bond to turn around and personal healthier climate for the Savings with the economy beginning we see a much Inflation that soared to 12. 4 percent in 1980 has been reduced to 4. 9 percent for the first ten months of this year. The prime interest rate that hit a peak of 21. 5 percent just before the At 11.0 to inauguration has been lowered by nearly one-half. it's in six months. twenty the lowest 11.5 percent, also begun to control the growth in federal spending. In fiscal year 1980, From 1961 to 1980, it grew nearly six-fold. In FY 1982 the spending the growth rate hit a record 17.4 percent. We expect further growth rate was down to less than 11 percent. progress this year. for sound monetary We also have in place the foundation controls. Best of all, the President has kept his word to the American taxpayer by restoring incentives for saving and investment to the private sector resources that have been and by returning We have increasingly siphoned off by the Federal government. The Administration is striving for an economic recovery that will re-establish American prosperity and ensure future economic growth. Unfortunately, you don't turn an ailing three trillion dollar economy around overnight. But neither do you throw up your hands or accept the political equivalent of treading water. We have successfully set in motion a series of long-range measures that are replenishing the capital pool and dusting off old and neglected words like profit and incentive. Now that the course of economic growth has been set, the Savings Bonds Program will have an important role to play. Today people are more in the mood to save. The 5. 8 percent of disposable income that they set aside for savings in 1980 has grown to 7. 0 percent since our tax cuts and savings programs have gone into effect Savings Bonds have long made an important contribution to the Treasury's debt management efforts. Today, with cost-effective management more important than ever, added sales of bonds will help reduce the cost of the nation's debt, while helping to lessen pressure for high rates of interest in the market. Bonds are cost-effective: they pay less interest the new market-based rates -- than marketable Treasury they are held more than twice as long as other portions -- even at issues, and of the debt. the reduction in interest expense and the additional that the Savings Bond offers all Americans benefit. With stability In addition, reducing the number of marketable securities the has to offer means less pressure on market interest rates from the market. and less chance of crowding out private borrowers that With the large deficits we are seeing, there is a possibility Treasury borrowing will slow the private investment that is needed to provide sustained economic growth. Increased Savings Bonds sales, spreading out the debt to people involved in the credit markets, will take who are not otherwise some of the heat off. Treasury and more In short, selling more Savings for the entire economy. That's of them. And Bonds why we is good for your companies need your help to sell that does not even take into account the positive effects saving for the people who buy bonds. of increased Through your efforts in your companies, and the efforts of other members of your campaign team in your industry or area, of people save more. you can help thousands Through the years, the Payroll Savings Plan has proven to be the best way, and the easiest way, for people to buy bonds. Some 80 percent of all bond sales are through payroll savings. Ease of purchase, convenience, payroll plan. and stability are the hallmarks of the Offering payroll savings in your companies, and volunteering to convince others to do the same, are the keys to the success of the bond program. interest rates with a $25 minimum available -- now that's a good deall volunteers like you don't support the bond program; Market-based through if But payroll if savings don't have strong campaigns in your industries and areas; and if you don't educate your own employees and hold strong payroll campaigns in your own companies -- if you don't do all these things, bond sales will not keep pace with the nation's financing needs you John Dixon, Chairman and President of what personal leadership Payroll Savings accomplishment. one example of E-Systems, Inc. , is but can mean to a company's don't expect every company to have 99 percent Now I certainly participation, although it sure would be nice. But I do look for innovative campaigns in your own you to lead strong, hard-hitting, And I look to you to encourage executives in your area companies. or industry to do the same. Personal leadership is the key. Be involved as much as I know that Jim Robinson, Chai=sian possible in your own campaign. and Chief Executive Officer of American Express, will be a great example to follow. of the 1983 committee, I know you plan t a part of a large number of campaign kickoffs; leading campaign efforts at American Express and giving Savings Bonds national Jim, as Chairman 1 e will, I be a great national spokesman. the U. S. Savings Bonds Volunteer Committee your leadership, give the nation what it needs -- the best possible national Savings campaign we can have for 1983. exposure. You Savings know, help individuals Bonds cannot and America Under will Payroll without the of your entire committee to spread the word, "Take another efforts look. " Bonds have a lot to offer, but your fellow CEOs have to shed their past impressions and discover what a good product we now have. Then they will give the program full cooperation in their companies. effort must be one of our priorities for this to CEO, you are the Bond Program's costeffective ambassadors to the business world. And it is through that the program's most important selling your work as ambassadors year. This education By talking CEO will be done. President Reagan has called on all Americans to volunteer to I am proud to note that this spirit help their fellow citizens. of voluntarism has long been the driving force behind the bond The partnership represented by this committee -- between program. the government and the .business community -- is a prime example of what can be accomplished when people of good will work together for the good of all Americans. The new bond program has the firm endorsement of President Jim Robinson signed him up as the first participant under Reagan. the market-based formula during a visit in the Oval Office on October 27. The new bond also has an overwhelmingly positive In 1983, we will see the public's interest response from the press. in bonds raised to the highest level in years. We could hardly start the 1983 campaign from a better position. I look forward to working with Jim Robinson and each of you in the coming year to capitalize on our good start and put the In many ways, Savings Bonds Program back on the road to success. your committee's Good will do. success is success. America's luck to each of you, and thank you for everythi. g you o 0 o &pygment of the Treasury ~ Washington, D.c. ~ Teiephone 588-244 STATEMENT BY R. T. MCNAMAR DEPUTY SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY ON LOCAL CONTENT LEGISLATION WASHINGTON, D. C. DECEMBER 1982 9, The world the local content bill is the worst thing for the U. S. and economy since Smoot-Hawley. It may even beat it in perniciousness. leadership of the House must understand the deteriorating world trade situation and strained financial system that they are threatening to undermine by the local content bill. Just as Smoot-Hawley led to the retaliatory trade legislation of the '30s that induced and deepened the world depression, so too this legislation could be the catalyst for retaliatory and short-sighted trade legislation throughout the world that will destroy the multi. lateral trading system and lead to the collapse of the financia1 system it supports. Tip O' Neill must decide The Democratic whether he wants to have his name remembered along with Smoot-Hawley as the cause of a worldwide depression and the loss of jobs and depravation would cause. This bill won't create will increase inflation, raise interest rates, and jobs, will create. ultimately cost more jobs than its sponsors say It is a jobs destroying bill for the average American, not a jobs it it it creating one. that the U. S. and the world are now running serious risk of entering into a tragic, debilitating trade war. than commit the error of passing Ne must face that risk rather ill-conceived legislation like this by which a great nation like ours would take the unprecedented step of taking away its world leadership at the very time that it is most needed. A local content Local content is wrong in principle. requirement creates a select group of suppliers and workers that No matter how are protected against import competition. ~igh-cost they become, the government, by law, forces producers We all know to use them. Local content legislation has profound negative implications for the U. ST economy. inflationary tax transfer from those who purchase automobiles to those protected by the local content It. is a hidden requirement. It threatens U. S. exports, which will fall due either to retaliation or because foreigners will have less income to spend on U. S. goods. U. S. auto manufacturers' efforts to regain competitiveness be hurt. by the requirement to use U. S. inputs, no matter how expensive. Local content will thus create an industry at great cost to us all. on the economy It is which is a drag giant step backward f rom the goal o f healthy industries, competitive worldwide, which are crucial to our economic well-being. J a I share the widespread concern about unemployment in the auto sector and the economy in general, but local content legislation is not the way to respond to these problems. And potential job gain in the auto sector (and that is in no way certain), most certainly threatens jobs in t4e export sector. could have a situation where more jobs are lost than gained. We should macro-economic continue to pursue the Administration's policies instead. We pe|iartment of the Treasury ~ Washington, FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P. M. D.C. ~ Telephone 566-2040 December 14, 1982 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING of the Treasury, by this public notice, for two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $11, 600 million, to be issued December 23, 1982. This offering will provide $1, 425 million of new cash for the Treasury, as the maturing bills are outstanding in the amount of $10, 182 million, including $1, 025 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities and $2, 691 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks for their own account. The two series offered are as follows: The Department invites tenders 91 -day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $5, 800 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated March 25, 1982, and to mature March 24, 1983 (CUSIP No. 912794 CA 0), currently outstanding in the amount of $10, 967 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills for December 23, 1982, No. 912794 CY 8) . approximately and to mature $5, 800 million, June 23, 1983 to be dated (CUSIP Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasur y bills maturing December 23, 1982. Tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the Addiweighted average prices of accepted competitive tenders. tional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, monetary authorities, to as agents for foreign and international the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount Both series of bills will be will be payable without interest. issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,000 on the records either of the and in any higher $5, 000 multiple, Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasury. R-1066 Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the public Debt, Washington, D . C . 20226, up to 1:30 p .m . , Eastern Standard time, Monday, December 20, 1982. Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . Each tender must be for a minimum of $10, 000 . Tenders over $10,000 must be in multiples of $S, OOO. Xn the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with three decimals, e .g . , 97 .920 . Fractions may not be used . Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities if the names of the may submit tenders for account of customers, customers and the amount for each customer are furnished . Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million . This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p .m . Eastern time on the day of the auction . Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering, e .g . , bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six-month bills . Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million . Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . will be made on all accepted tenders for the A cash adjustment difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction . . No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches . A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders. and Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500, 000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch funds on December 23, 1982, in cash or other immediately-available or in Treasury bills maturing December 23, 1982. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Section 454(b) of the Internal Revenue Code, the of discount at which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed, or otherwise disposed of. Section 1232(a)(4) provides that any gain on the sale or redemption of these bills that does not exceed the ratable share of the acquisition discount must be included in the Federal income tax return of the owner as ordinary income. The acquisition discount is the excess of the stated redemption price over the taxpayer's basis (cost) for the bill. The ratable share of this discount Under amount is determined by multiplying such discount by a fraction, the numerator of which is the number of days the taxpayer held the bill and the denominator of which is the number of days from the day following the taxpayer's date of purchase to the maturity of the bill. If the gain on the sale of a bill exceeds the taxpayer's ratable portion of the acquisition discount, treated as short-term capital gain. the excess gain is of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series 27-76, and this notice, prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars and tender forms may be obtained from Department Nos. 26-76 and any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. fder fina. nCing bank. Ct. l WASHINGTON, FOR IMMEDIATE D.C. 20220 RELEASE December FEDERAL FINANCING Bank month BANK 14, 1982 ACTIVITY Francis X. Cavanaugh, Secretary, Federal Financing (FFB), announced the following activity for the o f September 1982. of obligations issued, sold, or guarother Federal agencies on September 30, 1982 totaled $124. 4 billion, an increase of $1.7 billion over the August 31 level. FFB increased holdings of agency debt issues by $0. 4 billion, holdings of agency guaranteed debt by $0. 7 billion and holdings of agency assets purchased by $0. 7 billion. A total of 284 disanteed FFB holdings by bursements the month. were made during Attached to this release are tables presenting loan activity and new FFB commitments to lend during September and a table summarizing FFB holdings FFB as of September 30, 1982. ¹ R-1067 0 ¹ FEDERAL FINANCING SEPTEMBER BANK 1982 ACTIVITY OF ADVANCE sem ~ TEN%CSEE - annal ) AVIRORITY Note 4263 9/24 9/24 9/30 10,000, 000.00 210,000, 000.00 140,000, 000.00 100,000, 000.00 225, 000, 000.00 11/19/82 11/19/82 9/30/12 1/7/83 8.953% 8.647% 8.477% 7.592% 11.945% 8.085% Note %43 Note %44 9/1 9/1 363,000, 000.00 253, 000, 000.00 9/1/92 9/1/92 12.935% 12.785% Note Note Note Note %259 9/3 9/10 9/17 4260 4261 4262 Power Bond 1982-D 8 240, 000, 000.00 9/24/82 ll/19/82 12.732% qtr. 12.587% qtr. CREDIT UNION ADMINISTRATION NATICNAL Central Li Note Note Note Note Note Note Note Note Note o r than senimnnual ) idi Facili 4107 4108 4109 8.816% 8.666% 8.755% 8.402% 8.322% 8.244% 7 ' 687% 8.194% 7.929% 9/30 140, 694, 600.00 12/31/82 7.929% 30, 000, 000.00 365, 000, 000.00 30, 000, 000.00 50, 000, 000.00 9/21/02 9/30/97 9/30/92 9/30/02 12.415% 1,435, 086.22 various 11.949% 240, 000, 000.00 9/30/12 11.915% 2/16/12 4/30/11 3/16/90 12/31/93 9/22/90 4/25/94 2/16/12 12/22/10 6/15/12 7/15/11 12.729% 12.743% 12.539% 12.686% 12.563% 12.562% 12 ' 379'% 12 ' 397'% 12.375% 12.404% 9/13 9/17 9/20 9/21 9/23 4110 %111 4112 4113 4114 UNITED STATES 9/30 4, 005, 800.00 736, 000.00 240, 000.00 10/4/82 12/9/82 12/13/82 12/16/82 12/20/82 12/20/82 12/22/82 12/27/82 12/29/82 9/2 9/10 %106 9/28 RAIDS 2, 500, 000.00 5, 000, 000.00 9,969,000.00 2, 260, 400.00 13,500, 000.00 4, 705, 095.00 ASSOCIATION Note 431 FARMERS HOME ADMINISTRATION Certificates of Beneficial Ownershi 9/21 9/30 9/30 9/30 DEPARIMEÃZ OF HEALTH Health Ma intenance Block %25 RURAL 6 HUMAN 11.895% 11.925% 11.795% SERVICES n ization Notes 9/27 ELECIRI FICATICW ACMINISHRTICN Certificate of Beneficial Ownershi 9/30 DEPARIMENI' OF DEFENSE Israel 13 Greece 14 Jordan 7 Korea 15 Greece 13 Honduras 8 Israel 13 Turkey 11 Egypt 2 - EOREI(K MILITARY SALES 9/1 9/1 9/3 3i790, 477.92 301,524.00 9/3 9/3 9/7 9/7 9/7 9/7 9/7 li840, 675.00 le659 932.00 476, 000.00 10,445, 939.32 157,176.58 9,452, 869.23 297,756.49 9r225i495 56 12.800% ann. 12.249% ann. 12.281% ann. 12.143% ann. FEDERAL FINANCING Page 3 BANK of 8 SEPTBRER 1982 ACTIVITY AKXWl' OF ADVANCE SESII1- DEPA~ENT OF DEFENSE - annual FOREIGN NILITARY SAIZS Ecuador 4 Ecuador 5 9/7 9/7 9/8 9/9 9/9 9/10 9/10 9/13 9/13 9/13 9/15 9/16 9/16 9/16 9/17 9/17 9/17 9/17 9/17 9/17 9/17 9/17 9/17 9/17 9/17 9/17 Bot~na 1 ll ll Turkey Israel 13 Turkey Israel 8 Jordan 7 Nomcco 9 Israel 8 Egypt 3 Turkey 9 Turkey 12 Greece 13 Thailand 8 'Ihailand 9 Tunisia 9 'I%a iland 3 'lhailand 7 Oman 5 Greece 14 Korea 15 Israel 13 Ecuador 5 Indonesia 7 Israel 8 Israel 13 Turkey 9 'Ihailand Thailand 9/20 9/20 9/20 9/21 9/21 9/21 9/22 9/22 9/22 9/22 9/23 9/23 9/23 9/23 9/23 9/24 7 6 Sanalia 2 Thailand 9 Indonesia 7 Israel 8 Turkey 11 Sanalia 2 Spain 4 Slain 5 Greece 13 Jordan 7 Israel 13 9/24 9/27 9/27 9/27 9/28 9/29 9/29 Egypt 3 Jordan 7 Homcco 9 Israel 8 Israel 13 Korea 15 Peru 7 DEPAPI'HEN1' S 9/30 o r than semi annual) (Cant'd) 10,398.65 105,927.35 105,928 ' 38 852, 192.00 6, 874, 629.46 23, 543.22 2, 254, 268.88 3, 117,035.20 575, 900.79 1,420, 152.75 1,000, 000.00 13,977, 500.00 2, 608, 664.00 100,769.60 3, 652, 478.30 176,143.00 1,625, 723.18 1,154, 288.33 2, 217.95 52, 263.99 9,482, 758.00 570, 392.00 10,645, 712.01 5, 615,668.00 422, 373.73 479, 924.64 1,329, 117.35 44, 685, 590.30 445, 450.12 8 ' 646g556 79 8, 676.83 62, 262. 00 1,318,454.98 318,438.00 355, 168.35 1,000, 000.00 298, 079.00 499, 066.00 381,720.00 339,410.00 1,354, 276.00 85, 922. 77 5, 849, 136.58 1,519,065.09 45, 290.00 13,920.00 23, 000, 000.00 6, 216, 772. 70 7, 379, 340.04 1,204, 605.33 8 7/25/87 5/25/88 1/15/87 12/22/10 2/16/12 2/16/12 9/1/09 6/15/12 3/16/90 3/31/94 9/1/09 6/15/12 6/22/92 5/5/11 9/22/90 8/10/90 9/15/93 10/1/88 9/20/84 8/25/86 5/25/90 4/30/11 12/31/93 2/16/12 5/25/88 3/20/90 9/1/09 2/16/12 6/22/92 6/15/12 8/25/86 9/20/85 5/16/11 9/15/93 3/20/90 9/1/09 12/22/10 5/16/11 4/25/90 6/15/91 9/22/90 3/16/90 2/16/12 6/15/12 3/16/90 3/31/94 11.988% 12.135% 11.969% 12.448% 12.429% 12.482% 12.502% 12.677% 12.611% 12.787% 12.535% 12.521% 12.697% 12.538% 12.561% 12.655% 12.705'% 12.454% 11.744% 12.233% 12.555% 12.511% 12.674% 12.496% 12.439% 12.542% 12.468% 12.424% 12.564% 12.356% 12.058% 11.832% 12.110% 12.275% 12.128% 12.133% 12.061% 12.057% 12.035% 12.076'% 12.051% 11.940% 11' 915% 12.034% 12.070% 12.192% 9/1/09 2/16/12 12/31/93 2/15/88 11.987% 11.857% 11.934% 11.685% 1/1/02 7/1/02 1/1/02 7/1/02 1/3/83 1/3/83 13.412% 13.407% 13.337% 13.333% 10.405% 9/1/85 9/1/88 12.039% 12.902% 12.521% 12.521% OF ENERGY thetic Fuels Guarantees —Nonnuclear Act Great Plains Gasification Assoc. %28b 9/7 9/7 429a 429b 9/13 9/13 %30 9/20 9/27 428a 431 15,000, 000.00 20, 000, 000.00 79, 000, 000.00 48, 000, 000.00 11,500, 000.00 6~000y000 00 9.115% DEPAFll%ZT OF HCUSVG a URBAN DEVELOPMEÃZ Devel Ccymunit Gary, IN Detmit, NI Sacrananto, Ogden, UY nt Block Grant Guarantees 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 984, 666.67 3,626, 487.00 389, 442. 20 502, 202. 86 '9/1/87 9/1/87 12.401% ann. 13.318'% ann, 12.913% ann. 12.913% ann. FINANCE FEDERAL BANK 1982 ACTIVITY SEPTFMIER INIKRESI' ANXNT OF AIMrrNCE RATE annal) nt Block Grant Guaxantees Devel Crxsnuni Hialeah, 9/10 9/10 9/15 9/15 9/20 FL Inuisville, Detroit, MI KY Washingtan County, Owensboro, KY Lawrence, Mess. PA ann. 16s910r025 48 9/15/88 9/15/86 9/1/83 1/1/83 10/lg83 12/1/83 11.095% 8.365% 11.855% 10.675% 10 ~ 960% ann. ll/1/91 —12.351% 12.732% ann. 8, 200, 000.00 10/1/92 12.554% 12.948% ann. 14,349,000.00 1,113,000.00 1,400, 000.00 4, 367,000.00 185,000 F 00 54, 935,000.00 9,000, 000.00 9/1/84 9/1/84 9/2/84 9/1/84 9/1/84 9/1/84 12/31/09 12/31/14 12/31/14 12/31/15 12/31/15 12/31/15 12/31/14 12/31/13 9/2/84 12/31/13 12/31/15 12/31/15 12/31/14 12/31/14 12/31/14 12.115% 12.115% 12.115% 12.115% 12.115% 12.115% 12.619% 12.588% 12.588% 12.582% 11.937% qtr. 11.937% atr 11.937% gtr. 11.937% qtr. 11' 937% qtr. 11.937% qtr. li500, 000.00 29, 750.81 100,000.00 126,000.00 463, 000.00 12.390% 12.110% 12.774% 12.477% ann. ann. 11.403% ann. 12 ~ 206% ann. 9/10 73, 259, 885.55 11/1/20 AERCtRVITCS AND SPACE MPIINISTRATICFt Canpany 9/20 EIZCTRIFICATICK ADMINISTRATICFt Oglethorpe Electric Corp. F150 9/1 Tex-Ia Electric Coop. F208 S. Mississippi Electric 4171 Saluda River Electric 4186 *Cornbelt Power Caap. %55 Oglethoxpe Electric Corp. %74 Electric 422 Electric F126 Electric 4126 Electric 4126 Electric F126 'Western Fanrers Electric 4126 Western Farmexs Electric F126 Western Farrrers Electric $126 ~Ar)kansas Electric Coop. 4142 Utestern Fanrers Electric 0126 "Western Faxmers Electric 4133 Western Fanrers Electric 4133 Western Farmers Electric 4133 Western Farners Electric 4133 Western Farmers Electric 4133 Western Fanrers Electric 0133 Western Faxners Electric 464 Western Faxners Electric 464 Western Farmers Western Farners Western Farmers 'Western Farmers Western Farmers Enrpire Telephone Westexn Faxners Co. 443 Electric 464 'Western Farmers Electric K4 Western Farners Electric 464 Western Farmers Electr, F64 Western Faxners Electric 464 Bxazos Electric Coap. %108 Bxazas Electric Coop. F144 Soyland Power Coop. Ol05 wayland Power Coop. 4165 San Miguel Elecx.ric Coop. 0110 N. E. Mismuri Electric 4217 "Bxcrokville Tele. Co. 053 'United Fewer Assoc. f122 United Power Assoc. 4122 Allegheny Electr:.c Coop. 4175 Deseret GaT $211 who-ne Power 0114 )4ebash Valley Pomr Assoc. 0101 )snbash Valley Power Assoc. 0104 Basin Electric Power 0137 N. Michigan Electric Coap. 4101 N. Michigan Electric Coap. 4101 maturity 11.656% ll/30/82 Notes Space Canmrxrications RURAL 11.335% 8.666% 12/1/83 100,000.00 9/24 Sale 025 NATIONAL (Cont'd) 6 12,500, 00 Philadelphia Auth. for Ind. Dev. 9/30 Hialeah, FL 9/30 Public Housi othex' than srsni-annual) extension 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/3 9/3 9/4 9/4 9/6 9/7 9/7 9/8 9/10 9/10 9/10 9/10 9/10 9/10 9/10 9/10 9/10 . . 348, 000 00 300, 000 00 370, 000.00 5,000, 000.00 10,900, 000.00 1,222, 000.00 1,000, 000 00 3,324, 000 00 189,000.00 16,900, 000.00 23, 500, 00I).00 26, 300,000.00 18,652, 000 00 15,572, 000.00 14,125,000.00 . . . 3,161,000.00 400, 000.00 16,000.00 675, 000 (K 280, 000.00 400, 000.00 1,500, 000.00 100,000 00 . . . . 2, 831,000.00 2, 888, 000 00 2, 739,000.00 9,661,000 00 5, 600, 000.00 1,893,000.00 866, 000.00 7, 500, 000.00 330,000 00 6, 136,000.00 32, 490, 000.00 267, 000.00 1,805, 000.00 5, 055, 000.00 30, 000, 000 00 100,000.00 2, 841,000.00 . . 12/31/13 12/31/13 12/31/15 12/31/16 12/31/13 12/31/15 12/31/15 12/31/12 12/31/15 9/3/84 9/3/84 9/4/84 9/4/84 9/6/85 9/7/84 12/31/10 12/31/12 9/10/84 9/30/84 9/30/84 12/31/14 9/10/84 9/10/84 9/10/84 9/10/84 9/10/84 . 12 582% 12.582% 12.588% 12.594% 12.125% 12.594% 12.582% 12.582% 12.588% 12.588% 12.588% 12.594% 12.594% 12 ' 582% 12.576% 12.594% 12.582% 12.582% 12.602% 12.582% 12.075% 12.075% 11.815% 11.815% 12.035% 11.815% 12.347% 12.381% 12.426% 12.396% 12.396% 12.390% 12.390% 12.390% 12.396% 12.402% 11.947% 12.402% 12.390% 12.390% 12 ' 396% 12.396% 12.396% 12.402% 12.402% 12.390% 12.384% 12.402% 12.390% 12 ' 390% 12.410% 12.390% 11.898% 11.898% 11.645% 11' 645% 11' 859% qtx . qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. gtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. gtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. gtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtx . 11.645% qtr. 11.995% 12.162% qtr. 12.195% qtr. 11.820% qtr. 11.995% 11.995% 11.995% 11.995% 11.995% 11' 840% qtr. 12.212% qtr. 11.820% qtr. 11.820% qtr. 11.820% qtr. 11.820% qtr. 11.820% qtr. 12.015% 12.015% 12.397% 11.840% qtr FEDERAL FINANCIMi Page 5 BANK 1982 ACI'IVI' SEPTEMBER INIEREST AMXlNT OF RATE ADVANCE sem annal). RURAL ELECTRIFICATION ACMINISTRATION Gulf Telephone Co. 450 ~ Michigan Electric 4101 Wabash Valley Power 0206 E. Kentucky Power Coop. 8188 «Cajun Electric Power Coop. 876 E. Kentucky Power Coop. 8140 9/12 9/13 9/13 9/13 9/14 9/14 Chugach Electric Assoc. 8204 9/14 N. Hampshire Electric 4192 9/15 Brazas Electric Pc»er 8108 9/15 E. Kentucky Power 873 9/15 Wolverine Electric Coop. 8100 9/15 Brazos Electric Power 1230 9/15 N. Michigan Electric Coop. 8101 9/15 «Plains Electric GaT 8158 9/15 Kansas Electric Power 8216 9/16 «Associated Electric Coop. 8132 9/16 Cairyland Power 854 9/17 «Saninole Electric Coop. 8141 9/19 «S. Mississippi Electric 83 9/19 Big Rivers Electric 891 9/20 «Big Rivers Electric 858 9/20 ~. 9/20 9/20 9/20 9/20 9/21 9/21 9/21 9/22 9/22 9/22 9/22 Big Rivers Electric 891 9/22 «Central Elect. Pawer Coop. 8131 9/22 *San Miguel Electric Coop. 8110 9/22 Big Rivers Electric 8136 9/22 Southern Illinois Pawer 438 9/23 «Colorado Ute Electric 896 9/24 Pawell Telephone Co. 841 9/24 Associated Electric Coop. f132 9/24 *Corn Belt Power Coap. 8166 9/25 *Central Electric Power 8131 9/27 *Cooperative Pawer Assoc. 4130 9/28 *Cooperative Pawer Assoc. 870 9/28 *Sugar Land Telephone Co. 469 9/28 «Cooperative Power Assoc. 85 9/28 Glacier State Tele. Co. 8181 9/28 *S. Mississippi Electric 43 9/29 9/29 N. (hrolina Electric 4185 Eastern leam LaP Coop. 8184 9/29 Tex-ia Electric Coop. 8208 9/29 «S. Illinois Power Coop. 838 9/29 9/29 Basic Electric Power 888 «E. Kentucky Pawer Coop. 8140 9/29 *S. Mississippi Electric 490 9/29 Basin Electric Power Coop. 887 9/30 Wabash Valley Power Assoc. 8104 9/30 Big Rivers Electric 4179 Electric Assoc. 48 Basin Electric Power 487 Wabash Valley Power 8206 San Miguel Electric Coop. Oll0 «Colorado Electric 8192 Illinois Pawer 138 Electric 8192 New Hampshire Big Rivers Electric Coap. 091 «Big Rivers Electric Coop. 891 Plains Electric GaT 8158 «Southern Illinois Power 838 New Hampshire *Southern "maturity extension INIE REST RATE other than semimnnual) (Cont'd) 8 305, 000.00 77, 000.00 N Sayland Power Coop. 8226 «Big Rivers Electric 865 Associated Electric Coop. 0132 Southern Illinois Power 838 Big Rivers Electric 8179 Big Rivers Electric 8143 Seminole Electric Coop. 4141 Big Rivers Electric 865 «Big Rivers Electric 8143 Central Ic»a Power Coop. 8169 *Big Rivers Electric 858 of 8 9/30 9/30 9/30 9/30 9/30 9/30 9/30 9/30 9/30 9/30 9/30 9/30 95,000.00 8, 126,000.00 50, 000, 000.00 600, 000.00 1,806, 000.00 1,188,000.00 504, 000.00 500, 000.00 58, 736,000.00 6,000, 000.00 75, 063,000.00 7, 280, 000.00 5, 450, 000.00 31,000, 000.00 1,486, 000.00 2, 536, 000.00 2, 550, 000.00 1,829, 000.00 3, 827, 000.00 13,332,000.00 12,000.00 10,000, 000.00 69, 000.00 18,442, 000.00 229, 000.00 20, 326, 000.00 26, 000.00 10,000.00 3,332, 000.00 353,000.00 2, 804, 000.00 250, 000.00 8, 000, 000.00 329, 000.00 499, 000.00 2, 868, 000.00 1,158,000.00 17,253, 000.00 2, 900, 000.00 75, 000.00 6, 022, 000.00 6, 978, 000.00 li411, 000.00 4, 000, 000.00 3,133,000.00 5, 000.00 26, 305, 000.00 1,420, 000.00 3, 160,000.00 2, 015,000.00 105,000.00 1,400, 000.00 495, 000.00 487, 256. 00 8, 704, 000.00 9, 862, 000.00 7, 254, 000.00 835, 000.00 506, 000.00 5, 600, 000.00 1,425, 000.00 200, 000.00 1,425, 000.00 1,091,000.00 2, 758, 000.00 12, 326, 000.00 3,540, 000.00 . 9/12/84 9/13/84 9/13/84 9/13/84 12/31/13 9/14/84 12/31/16 12/31/16 9/15/84 9/15/84 9/15/85 9/15/84 9/15/85 12/31/14 9/16/84 9/16/84 9/17/84 9/19/84 12/31/09 9/20/85 9/20/85 9/20/84 9/20/85 9/20/84 12/31/16 9/21/84 9/21/84 9/21/84 9/22/84 9/22/84 12/31/16 9/22/84 9/22/84 9/22/84 9/22/85 9/22/84 12/31/16 9/24/85 12/31/16 9/24/84 9/25/84 9/27/84 12/31/13 12/31/13 9/28/84 12/31/13 12/31/16 9/26/85 9/29/84 12/31/16 9/29/84 9/29/85 9/29/85 12/31/14 9/29/85 9/30/84 9/30/84 9/30/84 12/31/11 9/30/84 9/30/84 9/30/84 12/31/16 9/30/84 12/31/16 9/30/84 9/30/84 12/31/16 12/31/10 12.185% 12.185% 12.185% 12.185% 12.463% 12.055% 12.435% 12.406% 12.005% 12.005% 12.245% 12.005% 12.245% 12.420% 12.285% 12.285% 12.265% 12.085% 12.022% 12.315% 12.315% 12.085% 12.315% 12.805% 12 ' 308% 12.105% 12.105% 12.105% 11.805% 11.805% 11.998% 11.8058 11.805% 11.805% 12.045% 11.805% 11.986% 11.955% 11.888% 11.625% 11.775% 11.775% 11.955% 11' 955% 11.815% 11.955% 11.957% 11.785% 11.545% 11.870% 11.545% 11.785% 11.'785% 11.864% 11.785% 11.505% 11.505% 11.505% 11.871% 11' 505% 11.5058 11.505% 11.899% 11.505% 11.899% 11.505% 11.505% 11.899% 11.864% gtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. 11.879% qtr. 12.247% qtr. 12.219% qtr. 11.830% gtr. 11.830% qtr. 12.063% qtr. 11.830% qtr. 12.063% qtr. 12 ' 233% gtr. 12 ' 102% gtr. 12.102% qtr. 12.083% gtr. 11.908% qtr. 12.193% qtr. 12.131% qtr. 12.131% qtr. 11.908% qtr. 12.131% qtr. 11.908% qtr. 12.124% qtr. 11.927% qtr. 11.927% qtr. 11.927% gtr. 11.636% qtr. 11.6368 qtr. 11.823% gtr. 11.636% qtr. 11.636% gtr. 11.636% qtr. 11.869% qtr. 11.636% qtr. 11.812% qtr. 11.781% qtr. 11.716% qtr. 11.461% qtr. 11.607% gtr. 11.607% qtr. 11.781% qtr. 11.781% qtr. 11.645% qtr. 11.781% qtr. 11.783% qtr. 11.616% qtr. 11.383% qtr. 11.699% qtr. 11.383% qtr. 11.616% qtr. 11.616% qtr. 11.693% qtr. 11.616% qtr. 11' 344% qtr. 11.344% qtr. 11.344% gtr. 11.700% qtr. 11.344% qtr. 11.344% qtr. 11.344% qtr. 11.7278 qtr. 11.344% qtr. 11.727% qtr. 11.344% qtr. 11.344% qtr. 11.727% qtr. 11.693% gtr. 12.005% 12.005% 12.005% 12.005% 12.275% FEDERAL FINANCIM' BANK SEETM3ER 1982 ACTIVITT OF AD(ANCE sem ~ annal) RURAL ELECTRIFICATION MNINISTRATICN Electric Coop. 493 Electric Coop. 4175 S. Illinois Power Coop. 838 Saluda River Electric Coop 8186 «Allegheny Electric Coop. 893 Tri-State GaT 8177 S. Nississippi Electric 8171 «Allegheny Allegheny 9/30 9/30 9/30 9/30 9/30 9/30 9/30 $ 5, 000, 000.00 10,661,000.00 3, 100,000.00 8, 892, 000.00 4, 584, 000.00 lc045g000. 00 12, 225, 000.00 9/30/85 9/30/84 9/30/84 9/30/84 9/30/85 9/15/89 10/1/84 11.7158 11.5058 11.5058 11.505% 11.7158 11.915% 11.505% 9/1/85 9/1/85 9/1/85 9/1/87 9/1/87 9/1/87 9/1/87 9/1/87 9/1/89 9/1/92 9/1/92 9/1/92 9/1/92 9/1/92 9/1/92 9/1/92 9/1/92 9/1/92 9/1/92 9/1/92 9/1/92 9/1/92 9/1/92 9/1/92 9/1/92 9/1/92 11.995% 11.995% 11.995% Debentures Capital Co. Advent Capital Resources Co. Clintcn Capital Corp. Retail Capital Corp. Rust Capital, Ltd. Shared Ventures, Inc. Vermont Investment Capital, Inc. Western Financial (hp. Corp. 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 9/29 State Debentures Developers Equity Cap. Corp. Equilease Cap. Corp. Control Data Capital Corp. Developers Equity Cap. Corp. Equilease Capital Corp. Eslo Capital Corp. West Coast Venture Cap. West Coast Venture Cap. Capital Co. Eslo Capital Corp. Banco Capital Corp. Invesat Capital Corp. Intercapo, Inc. Questech Capital Corp. Bando-NcGlocklin Inv. Co. , Inc. Edwards Bay Venture Gmup California Cap. Investors, Chpital Marketing Corp. a Local Devel Ltd. nt Can n Central Avenue Betterment Assoc. Bedco Develops nt Corp. St. Louis Loll Dev. Co. San Diego County Local Dev. Corp. Central Vermont Ec. Dev. Corp. Iaec Business Gmwth Co. Sm. Bus. Dev. Corp. San Diego County Local Dev. Corp. San Diego County Local Dev. Corp. Atlanta Local Dev. Corp. Colobus Citywide Dev. Corp. Providence Ind. Dev. Corp. Calexico Ind. Dev. Corp. Charleston Citywide L.D.C ~ S. Shore Econcxnic Dev. Corp. Netmpolitan Gmwth a Dev. Corp. Ocean State Bus. Dev. Auth. , Inc. Birmingham Citywide L.D.C. Texas Certified Dev. Co. , Inc. Madison Dev. Corp. San Diego County Loc. Dev. Corp. Greater Salt Lake Bus. District Phoenix Local Dev. Corp. Evergreen Cawanity Dev. Assoc. San Diego County Loc. Dev. Corp. Texas Certified Dev. Co. , Inc. New Orleans Citywide Dev. Corp. Long Beach local Dev. Corp. ~wealth « naturity extension r n (Cont'd) SNALL BUSINESS MÃINISTRATICN Snail Business Investment o semimnnual) 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 9/8 6,000,000.00 200, 000.00 1,500,000.00 2, 000, 000.00 200, 000.00 1,500, 000.00 250, 000.00 1,500, 000.00 900,000.00 600, 000.00 250, 000.00 1,000, 000.00 500, 000.00 1,500, 000.00 2, 000, 000.00 1,500, 000.00 1,000, 000.00 1J000g000 ~ 00 1,000,000.00 900, 000.00 900,000.00 500, 000.00 3,000, 000.00 500, 000.00 125,000.00 860, 000.00 38, 000.00 45, 000.00 84, 000 F 00 106,000.00 110,000.00 122,000.00 136,000.00 183,000.00 315,000.00 456, 000.00 74, 000.00 75, 000.00 77, 000.00 . 101,000 00 114,000.00 120,000.00 145,000.00 197,000.00 378,000.00 500, 000.00 32, 000.00 49, 000.00 118,000.00 198,000.00 298, 000.00 378,000.00 398,000.00 500,000.00 9/1/97 9/1/97 9/1/97 9/1/97 9/1/97 9/1/97 9/1/97 9/1/97 9/1/97 9/1/97 9/1/02 9/1/02 9/1/02 9/1/02 9/1/02 9/1/02 9/1/02 9/1/02 9/1/02 9/1/02 9/1/07 9/1/07 9/1/07 9/1/07 9/1/07 9/1/07 9/1/07 9/1/07 12.075% 12.075% 12.075% 12.075% 12.075% 12.115% 12.115% 12.115% 12.115% 12.115% 12.115% 12.115% 12.115% 12.115% 12.115% 12.115% . 12 115% 12.115% 12.115% 12.115% 12.115% 12.115% 12.115% 12.500% 12.500% 12 ' 500'% 12.500% 12.500% 12.500% 12.500% 12.500% 12.500% 12.5008 12.441% 12.441% 12.441% 12.441% 12.441% 12.441% 12.441% 12.441% 12.441% 12.441% 12.368% 12.368% 12.368% 12.368% 12.368% 12.368% 12.368% 12, 368% 11.548% 11.344% 11.344% 11.344% 11.548% 11.743% 11.344% qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. FEDERAL FINANCIlC SEPTEMBER 1982 Page 7 BANK ACTIVITIES FINAL INTEREST MATURITY RATE slatuannual) Seven States Ene Co of 8 INIKREST RATE other than semi-annual) ration Note A-82-12 9/30 8 436g327, 218.07 FEDERAL FINANCING September 12/30/82 7.834% BANK 1982 Ccnmlitments Lebanon Gabon Honduras 8 Jordan Malaysia Niger Philippines Portugal Sri lanka Spain iland Tunisia 1' Yenen Arab Republic Za ire Cincinnati, OH 2, 600, 000.00 10,000, 000 .00 4, 900, 000.00 10,000, 000.00 10,000, 000.00 2, 000, 000.00 50, 000, 000.00 45, 000, 000.00 2, 000, 000.00 125,000, 000.00 74, 700, 000.00 10,000, 000.00 10,000, 000.00 7, 500, 000.00 2, 000, 000.00 COD 7/10/84 9/20/84 5/22/84 6/12/84 8/15/84 8/12/87 5/10/84 6/15/84 6/15/84 9/14/84 7/10/84 5/4/84 6/1/84 9/15/84 HUD 12/1/83 IX)D DOD IDD DOD DOD IOD DOD DOD IOD COD DOD DOD IXID 1/15/88 9/20/94 11/22/90 7/25/90 8/20/89 10/15/90 5/15/91 6/15/92 6/5/94 9/15/92 7/10/94 5/5/92 6/1/94 9/15/94 12/1/03 FEDERAL FINANCING Page 8 BANK HOLDINGS (in millions) Se tember 30, Pmmam t On-B Debt n Tennessee Valley Authority Export-Import Bank NCUA~ntral Liquidity Facility t Of f"B S Facilities GovernnantWuaranteed Notes General Services Ahninistration DOIWuam Power Authority DOI-Virg in Islands Co. NASA-Space Ccsnnunioations Rural Electrif ication Admin. SBA~11 Business Investment Cos. SBA-State/Local Development Cos. 'IVA-Seven States Energy Corp. Housing may 425.0 4, 915.0 145.7 53, 311.0 129.6 145.7 58.1 2, 883.7 58.8 &7.0 240. 0 528 ' 4 W. 3 11,308.8 5,000.0 127.1 2, 288.2 700.0 1.4 14.6 M. 7 0 -5.1 -0- 21.5 —. 8 282. 5 117.0 33.5 1,624 ' 3 112.5 33.5 1,551.0 36.0 29.5 36.0 29 ' 5 749.6 15,916.1 124, 357.3 70.2 122,624.6 4.5 340.0 42.7 73.3 695.8 7.9 —. 4 120.0 3,939.0 (. 5.3 39.8 O-7.6 130,4 177.0 S 57 ' 5 365.5 25.1 686.9 43.1 1,218.2 855.4 70.2 -2.0 OO8.2 420. 5 122.8 177.0 Act 19.6 36.6 757.8 16,281.5 712.0 48. 4 1,258.0 855.4 S no 53,736.0 420. 5 Rail Svcs. Act RRRR 'ITEMS n 1gures 28.8 -20.1 340.0 Plains) i ties Caanun ~itic V, ~NA'JR 1,411.0 1,544.6 0 -12.5 207.4 11,435.8 5, 000.0 36.6 -0- Assn. Dev. Block Grant DHU~nnunity DOI Emergency 235.0 125.0 20.8 Loans DOD-Foreign Military Sales DEd. -Student Loan Narketing K)E-Geothermal Loans DOE-Hybrid Vehicles IX(E-Non-Nuclear Act (Great DVP-Amtrak S 1,221.0 21.5 3,123.7 Overseas Private Investment Corp. Rural Electrif ication Admin. -CE) Small Business Administration ic 12,050.0 13,828.9 109.3 1,221.0 131.0 Na CHHS-Nedical IMJ~ew S 194.9 Adninistration intenance Org. Hane HSK-Health DHUD-Publ 12, 285.0 13,953.9 130.1 Debt U. S. Postal Service U. S. Railway Associaticm Farnmrs of 8 8 1,732.6 10$.1 43, 2 343.8 75.5 . —8 S 17,057.0 pepartment of the Treasury ~ Washington, D.C. ~ Telephone 566-204 The attached draft papers are scheduled to be discussed at the December 14 meeting of the National Productivitv Ahrisory Committee. ~r ni +~ DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY WASHINGTON. D.C. 2022D December COUlCSELOI% TO THE SCCNCTARY FOR THE NATIONAL MEMORANDUM 2, 1982 PRODUCTIVITY ADVISORY COMMITTEE B. PORTER+gP FROM: ROGER SUB JECT: The National Productivity Advisory Committee Meeting on December 14 The National Productivity Advisory Committee will meet on December 14, 1982 at 10:00 a.m. in Room 4121 of the Department of the Treasury in Washington, D. C. The full Committee will meet from 10:00 a.m. to 12:00 noon and from 1:00 p. m. to 3:00 p. m. Lunch will be served in Room 2049 at 12&00. has been allocated for the report of each of subcommittees. A copy of the papers and of the subcommittees is attached for your recommendations These papers cover the following review before the meeting. One hour the respective issues: Subcommittee o on Ca ital Tax Reform Subcommittee Investment to Increase Productivity on Human Resources o Health Care Costs and Productivity o Employee-Management-Government Subcommittee on the Role of Government Forums in the Econom the Clean Air Act to Increase Manufacturing Productivity o Reforming o Well Pay o Non-immigrant Visa Requirements have not yet received the papers for the Subcommittee ". Research, Development and Technological Innovation, but anticipate ones on a National Productivity Medal, Computer ". We Software Patent Protection, and University Fellowships for Engineering. We will circulate these papers as soon as they are received. Please let me know as soon as possible whether you will attend the meeting on December 14. Zf you are unable to attend, I would appreciate you providing in writing any comments you might have on these papers so that we can make them available to the Committee. Attachments DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY WASHINGTON, D.C. 202K ~gy~~% December TO THR SECIICTMY MEMORANDUM FOR THE NATIONAL B. 2, 1982 PRODUCTIVITY ADVISORY COMMITTEE FROM: ROGER SUBJECT: The Subcommittee PORTER on Capital Investment The Subcommittee on Capital Investment has considered several aspects of tax reform and their impact on capital formation and improving productivity. As a result of their review of these issues, the Subcommittee is proposing the elimination of double taxation of corporate income and dividends, substantially reducing marginal tax rates and providing an improved and simplified incentive for investment. Attached for your review is a Statement of the Subcommittee that it will propose for adoption at the December 14 meeting of the National Productivity Advisory Committee. In addition, I am also attaching a copy of the summary of the flat-. rate tax proposals of Messrs. Robert E. Hall and Alvin Rabushka, a recent article by William E. Simon on the flat-rate tax, and the testimony of Treasury Assistant Secretary Chapoton on approaches to a flat-rate tax system. Attachments of the Statement National Subcommittee Productivity Tax Reform prom the standpoint several important include eliminating substantially on Capital Advisory Investment CcmmLittee to Increase Productivity of improving productivity, there are reforms needed in the federal tax system. These the double taxation of corporate income and tax rates imposed on individuals so that lower tax rates are imposed on a broader concept of income. All income should be taxed just once at rates not exceeding some low fixed rate. Purther, the tax system should provide a single comprehensive investment incentive in the form of immediate expensing of all investment expenditures. This incentive should replace the existing investment tax credit and depreciation provisions of the personal and corporate income taxes. these A detailed tax reform proposal that accomplishes important reducing marginal goals has been made by Robert Hall and Alvin Rabushka this proposal, all income would be taxed at the same low rate of 19 percent. By eliminating and other sources of leakage in the tax system, many deductions a lower rate of tax (19 percent in their estimate) would raise enough revenue to close the federal deficit by fiscal year 1985, The assuming immediate enactment and no transition exceptions. Hall-Rabushka plan replaces the corporate income tax and certain parts of the personal income tax with a comprehensive business of Stanford University. Under withholding tax and so achieves a particularly simple and practi- cal solution to the problem of eliminating the double taxation of corporate income. Though the Subcommittee does not endorse every feature of the Hall-Rabushka plan, and in particular would call for certain modifications to ease the transition to the new tax system, we feel that their plan is a most promising proposal to bring badly-needed tax reform and merits extensive study and public debate. Eliminating high tax is essential to restore rates adequate on individuals productivity and businesses growth. Paced with 46 percent tax rates on corporate income and up to 50 per- cent on individual income, and a combined tax rate on business that can be as high as 70 percent, prospective entrepreneurs divert their efforts into tax shelters instead of the creation of new businesses. Reducing high marginal tax rates and eliminating double taxation of corporate income are essential to stimulating productivity growth and should receive high priority in a general program to spur productivity. and personal income Sinple 'Xnc"-e;ax vith Iov Marginal A Rates Robert R. Eall ALvin Rabushka Institution, Stan ord Vniversity Stan ord, California 94305 Hoover 1982 Revised September A of th's material trill appear in e presentation more comple Tax, Simple Tax, Plat Tax, to be published by McGrav-Hill early 1483. Form 1 Ce mrs i)tdivtt5wl Comi)ottssii5Nt Tax Mmmm ... ........... ...... 1 Camper»scones mponso ay employer, . . wepe incan». rnsinpn0 pen»one perp or»sey ay employer . 0 Tote( sorrarsnseten pine t pa» sne 2) a personal sorranoe .. .. (a) Q 502()t) lor mmnett pjin0 jernsy . . (0) 52NOlo srnjpe 2 Oner .. ..... (el ............. 4NOOlera%Nleafal~ 5 Wmaer ot aepenaena mn»rserenp stsn»s 0 pereonv ssorrenoestor oepenopnstane 5 cuts(»et)ay 5750) Tora) personei esorrerees rirre s pars are 5) . Tessara sompensaeon (Sns 2)sss Sne y) . Tas (tptsotsne5) Tas nstnnero ay employer Tas aw (tire 0 toss sne ta epos»re) T 0 .. ~ tO 11 12 ttetunoaw(sne . tpiessarep, pposnnre) . m mPOa t ~ Qross ier»rs» earn sores. aaonmtre swts [$) . pl QOÃK .. ~ T 10 11 12 4witteee Tax ting 2 1 IPICOL W4 ~ tp) Wepee. S»eneL »la per»rene perS ta erreeeyeeL (o) plot»ses ot ospnsl erasonrem. slnrtsNeL»lo )snit 2 Ttsai enrnetss cs»rs (erin or a»s 2(e). 2(0) 2(o) 0 Teem)re insnl» lane t »ss Sne 2) 0 Tas (t0% et sne 4) . 0 carry. ainemtt eon 1001 . T eesrest on ~owen) (to«, ot sne 5) . . Pine 0 pars Sne 77. 0 Carryarnrent i»t 0 Tan ra» pne 5»ss ors 5. 5 poets») ie tpc) One 5 toss fans 5, 5 0 . . ............ 10 in Low recent Despite tax system American simplification f ill ing credits, progress It reform. ratesg Lowering a disgrace, remains and fn in dire need of fs inordinately lengthy. of tax codes, complicated by hundreds of and Many exemptions, special provisions. taxpayers require expensive professional help to fill out their tax returns correctly. Each act of the Congress further complicates the system. PoLitical promises of real s impl if ication and ref orm of the tax system remain unf ulf illed. The tax system consists chiefly of the personal income tax, the corporate income tax, and the payroll tax for income tax has steeply social security. The personal progressive rates, rising to a maximum marginal rate of 50 percent under the new tax law. The income base to which these progressive rates are applied has steadily eroded a wide variety of exclusions, over the years through volumes and constitutes no more The personal income first when taxed to the point where than half of total national tax discourages earned interest. Even worse, corporate sector profits, are paid. current A are again and growing system it exemptions deductions, and again savings. when now income. Income savings is earn to savings put into the twice, once as corporate the returns taxed at Wa- household level when chorus of criticism contends attenuates individual incentives dividends that the to work, ~2~ invest. For many taxpayers, saving a dollar 'in taxes is worth tvice as much as earning another dollar in save and income. to the Prior of about 3 percent comprising federaL "avenues, were largely collected century, twentieth GNP, of the Sixteenth Amendment in 1913 and the payroll tax in the 1930s, federal .revenues have to consume 22 percent of GNP. grown Escalating inflation in the 1970s pushed growing numbers of taxpayers into high tax brackets that twenty years ago vere meant only for the very rich. Costly side effects have begun to surface. Revenue Internal with research, Scholarly aLong Service reports, reveals «idespread evidence of tax evasion or and other forms of household dividend, on interest, Tax shelters are now a commonplace professional income. 'feature of the financial landscape. Estimates of the underground economy range from several tens of billions to several hundred billion dollars. In the eighteenth fram duties. customs century, customs Nith the adoption duties exceeding into a nation of smugglers. 50 percent from tax, the corporate converting investments the personal and 14 Americans for productive economic the Today, marginal income tax, tax rates of 46 percent fram tax 'are channeling their percent from the payroll into tax avoiders into tax shelters. contempt 100 percent made England lav, activity. and The current simultaneously system fosters discouraging w3w is it so difficult to reform the tax system? Moat scholars, lawmakers and practitioners routinely claim that i t is poli tically inf eas ible to simplify and reform radically the tax system. Talk of simplification is a sign of unrealism. Congress would, it is alleged, never abolish Why the exemptions paymeats, char i table costs, or remove for deductions and contr ibutions, the many benefits interest mortgage excess medical care credits enjoyed by low-income households and a bevy of special interest groups. The American demand for justice means that the rich should pay higher taxes. As a result of these beliefs, in the tax code are invariably changes represent slight personal income tax. sense interest growing incremental to the corporate modifications and We and in the public and or in . for drastic reform in the tax system. As a contribution to the debate and discussion on this important subject, we propose a simple income tax based on low marginal rates to replace the entire current system of separate tax rate schedules on corporate and individual income. The new tax would be a low, flat rate applied to Congress all taxpayers, income. the would present revenue and It excluding be applied system, thus to a which The simple is caused by all types of larger tax base than genera ting similar amounts of as the current high-rate deductions. creep, the very poor, and to much system with flat rate inflation its would pushing exemptions end bracket people into higher the penalty (' the and tax brackets. current law . imposes higher and . It «ould largely minimise on t«o-earner households penalty') It «ould be stable, predictable, cease further proliferation of ~ variety of tax credits marriage to attain social goals. Most restore the incentives to «ork, save used promoting Our growth proposal and higher does not standards include impor tant, and invest& it «ould thereby of living. reform of the social security payroll tax and the retirement benefits it f inances, though re f orm is long overdue. The social security tax cannot be discussed separately from benefits, and «e «ould be taken too far from our basic subject of tax reform to go into the massive changes in social security needed to put the system on a sound footing. / Sasic Principles of the Simple The simple 1. income tax rests on four basic principles: All income should be taxed only once, as close as possible to 2. its source. All types of income should poorest households should pay Tax returns for both households The 4. at the be taxed same rate. low 3. Zacxme Tax should be simple enough to fit no income businesses and on a tax. or postcard one page. We and personal income tax. compensation of the replacement propose corporations, taxes of the existing corporate with a has already a tax includes the earnings businesses, farms, unincorporated The business rental income. 'not permit a deduction for interest other payments to the owners of the all income that individuals receive professionals, tax and business and been taxed, and should tax does dividends, or The business payments, business. As a resu3. from business t, activity not be taxed again. The for capital gains. The business tax is like a withholding tax; it means that the tax authorities do not dividends, capital have to track down all the interest, same holds m)~ and gains, is Compensation to insure compensation tax. that because income, and again assuming simple under the personal tax. To that the same flows tax system pay no the of present income the corporate collect the same generates, system as occur require a standard would for business 80 percent and first revenue of amount income set of personal families poorest taxed is income under personal would have a the public. of household income not therefore propose a new the present for compensation 50 percent by the laws, tax rates can be as high as our existing Under Ne tax The new compensation allowances tax tax. tax to replace compensation received income the only element the business taxed under tax. bus iness other today, the rate of only 19 percent. The Susiness Tax tax would rationalise the present of federal tax provisions for business income. business The new hodge-podge Xt would reduce some types deductions, current of the high-marginal income from Xt would tax shelters. rates currently capital. also end Sy eliminating the subsidies paid on interest embodied in of 19 percent would replace the current range of tax rates that stretch from actual subsidy of highly leveraged tax shelters with large interest deductions to rates as high as 81 percent imposed A uniform raCe &7M corporate stockholders. The new business tax applies equally to all forms of business corporate, partnership, professional, f arm, and rentals and royalties. The base for the tax is gross on income earned by — less revenue compensation recovery self-employed for investment for depreciation, are owners permitted. provided they it report in plant and intereste Howevers salary in any pay themselves may and deducted deductions to payments choose, is allowance No services and In addition, a capital goods to employees. paid equipment. of purchases on or the amount they the compensation tax form. The business tax return page, even for a multibillion what it like: look would fit easily on a single dollar corporation. Sere is would HALL~SUSHKA SiMPUFIED FLAT RAT% TAX FORM ~~ ~ ~. 5 Oeae neaaa eam . 0 aeoaeee Puet~ ................' e» ......... e» . ol yeda. ee»FNL Nd e»»ex» e»d» ol»e»eeL. hei. g} Puseteeee ol ca»at eaL»»»eL, muearm. 0 Teal eee»ee» cc»» (e»e ol a»e 2(el. 2ND. 2lol y) e) veeDeL Teeee» TAN flee 1»ee a» 2l o) . 4 Tee pt% of 4 CeeTO»w»d 00» lM'I ~ 1 IW»» e»p»»eel PA cÃty+reed ~ Oa ih» 5»ee a» 0 Ol . . e ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ 0» e a» Q. 4. epee»eel . 1003 One ~ &me a» 5. 1 Ol oo ~ ~ ~ 0 ~ 0 ~ OO ~ ~ 0 ~ 0$ ~ ~ 0 ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ro ~ ~ to 1402 lNN 4 pa» ~ Tae 0 Gross ~ I ~ OO ~ 0 ~ 0 ~ \ ~ 0 ~ 0 ~ 0 ~ ~ o revenue lO from sales does 10 not include earnings the 8 receive fram these businesses b~siness may (provided from its its ownership of other businesses file their own tax returns) or of securities. ownership These already been taxed in other businesses. include sales of used plant and equipment. foi tax purposes. In place of the hodge-podge the current tax system, first-year straightforward investment, the Businesses are both in writeoff capital recovery is complicated depreciation in the use of of all business plant and equipment. a great simplification over used and new propose deductions and Zt also eliminates credits in present tax law. accounts incentives of investment we have Cross revenue does to maintain inventory or depreciation not required First-year earnings investment the present historical cost is not The rapid enough to of fact the ef fects of inflation. first-year system avoids all distortions of inflation. In 1981, the net revenue of O. S. business was 81179 billion. Under the new business tax, capital recovery allowances would have been $349 billion, leaving net taxable business income at $830 billion. k tax rate of 19 percent wo'uld have yielded $158 billion, nearly triple the revenue from the -actual corporate income tax in 19BR of $57 billion. The extra revenue, despite the much lower tax rate, comes fram (1) the much eider tax base, including problem that depreciation unincorporated its source. business, based on and (2) taxing business income at ~9~ tax system, all business income would be taxed only once, at" its source. Household receipts of Under the simple interest, dividends, income. Though and wealthy capital gains households would be after-tax large is important to might receive of these types of income, it understand that the taxes on this income have already been paid. The recipient household itself should not pay any more tax on business income. Taxing business income at its source has an important practical benefit. Under the present personal income tax, large amounts of interest and dividend income escape taxation through outright evasion and tax avoidance. Apparently people find it easy to amounts these types of income when filling out personal income tax returns. Under our business tax, the only way dividends, interest, and other earnings of capital could overlook escape taxation would be for the busine s to fail to file a tax return, which is easier to detect and punish. Capital gains on rental property, plant, and equipment are taxed under the busLness tax. The purchase price is deducted at the time of purchase, and the sale price is taxed at the time of the sale. These provisions are most I for real estate, where they will eliminate the current abuses in which low capital gains tax rates create Every an incentive for artificial turnover of property. owner of rental real estate would be required to fill out important the simple business tax return. Capital gains in the overall value of a successful firm 10 are also taxed under the taxed again consider The value at the business new level. household the case of the tax common of its stock in the and should To see not be this point, stock of a corporation. market is the capitalisation Because the camera of the stock of its future earnings. receive the earnings after . the corporation has paid the business tax, that tax depresses the stock s market value. %hen the market learns that future earnings are likely to be higher than previously thought, the stock rises in value and its owners materialise taxed. correspondingly earnings of the stock capital household would taxation comprehensive gains capital receive should in the gains. future, To tax the immediate be double of business be excluded taxation. income from When the high they viD be capital gains Thus xi th at the source, taxation at the level. In order to impose the appropriate tax on banks and of business, it is necessary to separate the value of the service the bank provides to its customers from the interest the bank pays to the customer. the other, so the Today, most banks net "one against customer gets free services in exchange for lending the bank funds at sero or belce market interest rates. Because the business tax is imposed on the value of the product sold by a business [the~rvices provided by a bank, for example), but does not allow a deduction for interest paid out, it would not be permissable -for a bank to report the certain other types mQ~ net receipts must its add customers in the difference depositors be permitted full and the earn elsewhere. that its from As a to as its sales. from their it pays interest rate they could general matter, borrow its the interest between market Instead, businesses customers would and not pretend of sales was only the net charge after deducting interest this violates the basic principle that interest payments are never deductible. Susinesses like banks could continue to carry on their relations with their customers in any way they chose, but for tax purposes, the full value of their services wouLd be reported as their the value — sales. One other potentiaL to source of abuse of the business —the tax of business assets to personal use. There is nothing new about this problem — under today s income tax, one can buy a car for business at the end of the year, take the purposes investment credit, and then convert the car to personal use at the beginning of the ~ext year. Qnder the proposed business tax, conversion to personal use would be counted as a sale, and the mar ket value of the asset would be included in the revenue of the firm. Auditors would check that the assets on the books of the firm were actually used by the firm and not for the personal use of the owners. tirst-year vriteoff of investment auld create large tax losses in the startup years for almost all businesses and occasional large tax losses even for established businesses would need be monitored conversion mQ~ significant investments. The business tax provides unilfmited carry forvard of tax Losses so that they reduce taxes in future, profitable years. turther, the balances carried forvard earn interest at the aarket chen they made rate. 13Tax The Compensation Most in the United income States is compensation for be taxed at the level of the that compensation individual or married couple. defined as cash wages, workers from work. Me propose employers. fringe benefits salaries Pension paid by employers and is Compensation pensions received contributions and are not counted by other as part of compensation. To limit the tax bu den of poor families, we propose a Taxes mv. '. f be 19 percent of set of personal allowances. The allowances. compensation in excess of personal proposed allowances for 1982 are $6200 Married Couple Single 3800 Single head of household 5600 750 Each dependent Except for the personal kind would be permitted, It including for the compensation would look like this: The tax return postcard. of any interest deductions. allowances, no deductions tax would fit on a 14- about $1503 in salaries, 1981, sages, Zn 1981 billion. mould Me have private and pensions estimate that personal been $481 billion, vere allowances leaving taxable compensation of $1022 billion. tax revenues would the personal tax in 1981 yielded about $289 billion. revenue from the compensation tax is less than The required from the At a have been $194 rate of 19 percent, billion. By comparison, income personal income tax it replaces because the tax covers part of the tax base of the current personal tax. The reasons that a Icw rate of 19 percent yields revenue reasonably close to that obtained from the current tax system ares fl) the business tax includes currently untaxed f ringes in its base, (2) the current business income other tax forms fails to tax of business f ully income dividends, because interest, and of widespread ~15evasion and avoidance, f3) the current and tax alloyrs a of deductions not included in our proposal, the most is)I)ortant of vhich is the deduction of state and local taxes. number HALLAULBUSHKA Form 1 SINPUFIED FLATMATE TAX FORM a)4II1fl4Iual CofnyeneaClon Tax ""- "-" . . . ....... . ... 1 comperm~eorsooneooremfsofsi - - "- -. 2 oner ways swoms. mfassny oar«orw oero ooeeor er «colo)sr . 2 To)sf o«nperweson rs r poo one .. . . . . .... ~ Paean aowees fa) Q 44200 lor rn«rico yony )orner Nf) Q 42400 for einyfs fo) Q.24400 for omye neeo of fssfeefsso. . . . . . .. I 4 4 of@moor of oepsneemo. n«mosrony fyggong soow«wso lor rgoeno~ t Tfsef p«oonef sooawem ~ foie 4ilwkpooffor $754) o fsssoos N. T~~Det~aal7. ffrrs . . . .. .. .. .. ~ ~ Tes p$%of one 4) 10 Tee warm«eerensoofer . 11 Tes rare lone 4 mee One r0. 4freeaief 12 Ilsfsne rare fsns f0fsos «re 4. Ssowmwf . .. 12 16 Aspects of the Nimple Tax Xnternational principle favor the straightforward Ne applies only to the domestic operations whether of domestic, foreign, or revenue from the value reported sales of products sold within the U. S. plus other inputs and purchased to the U. S. are allowable in the V. S. or imported for the business line as deductions tax. on the physical is the simple rule that determines or sale is included in taxable revenue in the V. S. yresence a' whether Only the mixed ownership. of pr oducts as they are expor ted is to be on the top line of the business tax form. Only the costs of labor, materials, second that the U. S. tax of all businesses, purchase cost. or allowable To see how the business tax would apply to foreign trade, consider first an importer selling its wares within the V. S. Its costs would include the actual amount it paid for its imports, valued, -as they entered the U. S. this — would generally be the actual of their origin. country it - Its amount revenue paid for them in the. would be the actual sales in the U. S. Second, consider an exporter to foreigners selling products produced in the V. S. Xts costs are all of the inputs and receipts compensation amount obtained from I paid in the U. S., and its received from sales to foreigners, firm did not add to the product after it revenue is the provided that the departed the U. S. ~17~ Third, consider f irm that to Mexico for assembly, and brought back the final product for sale in the V. S. The value of the parts as they left the V.Swould count as part of the revenue of the firN, and the value of the assembled product as it entered the V. S. would be an expense. costs of its a sent parts to deduct the The firm would not be allowed Mexican assembly plant. of taxing only domestic activities, the Q. S. tax system would mesh neatly with the tax systems of our ma)or trading partners. Ii every nation used the Under the principLe tax simple and followed the world throughout Because the principle with adopt value it the be taxed would is added, taxes, all principle, once and only already in use in the it makes income sense many once. nations for the V. S. to as well. By the same principle, the compensation tax applies to of everyone working within the V. S., whether or not they are Americans, but does not apply to the foreign earnings of Americans. location of businesses Choices about the international and employment are influenced by differences in tax rates. The Q. S. , with the low aarginal rate of 19 percent, would be much the most attractive location among major industrial Although the nations from the point of view of taxation. the earnings tax does not tax the overseas earnings od American workers and businesses, there is no reason to fear a mass the the contrary, of economic activity. exodus On simple 1S- f avorabla business tax climate from everywhere in the Q.S. would in the world. draw in new 19 the Sudget rith a Simple Tax Salancing If federal spending can be held to the level proposed by the President in his budget for the 1983 fiscal year, or if any increases can be financed by user fees or earmarked taxes, then the 19 percent tax rata would balance the budget 1985. by if Even is at spending the high level projected Sudget Office s baseline Congressional budget, of 19 percent wou'd bring the federal deficit billion by 1987. in the a tax rate down to $75 s spending proposals, the tax rates necessary to balance the budget starting in PY 83 would be 2l percent in that year, 20 percent in 1984, and 19 percent the President Under in 1985. the higher Under tax r ates CEO necessary baseline to balance spending the projections, budge t would be the 23 percent in 1983 and 1984, 22 percent in 1985, 21 percent in percent in 1987. of the simple tax would bring adoption Immediate moderate deficits during the current recession, but would 1986, and 20 commit provided the nation spending to a balanced budget within three years, is kept at reasonable levels. for the simple tax is gross national product In arriving less indirect business taxes and investment. at the conclusions just stated, we used projections of GNP The base 20the Ifrom President base the approximated detailed calculations The s faa as 79 percent the CBO. of RIP, based Ne on for 1980. tax allows simple and budget each individual taxpaying or These allowances to deduct a personal allowance. are indexed according to the cost of living from the proposals for 1981. The total allowance for a husband, wife, and two children in 1983 would be $8355. family Our estimates of total allowances were derived from our for 1981 by assuming one percent annual growth in the number of taxpayers and rates of increase of the cost estimate of living from the President s budget and from the CSO baseline pro)ections. replaces the peraeal and coiporate taxes, but not the rest of the federal tax system (of which The simple social tax is far the most important part). Our computations take a profection of total federal spending less a profection of revenue from the other taxes. If the simple tax yields exactly this amount of revenue, it would just balan' the budget. The computations take account of tbe influence of past deficits on current spending through the interest on the national debt. Ne used the pro$ectisns of the Treasury bill interest rate underlying the President s budget and the CSO pro$ections in order to track the effect of a reduced national debt on interest expense. lfe do not attempt to 'take account of 'Che inf lucnce of tax the security payroll tax by 21 reform on -total economic activity of federal revenue, effects could be substantial. Details of the future budgetary simple tax appear in Appendix 2. augmen'tation and though the corresponding ve think implications these of the ~22~ of the The Future Economy under outset, the simple At the the Simple Xmcme Tax income tax, with common flat rates of 19 percent on' business income and compensation, vould raise revenue ecual to about 12 percent of RtP, the of corporate and personal same as the current combination income taxes. raised are tax system allowances The personal from year ~ under to year our proposed in line with inflation, which would tend to hold its revenue constant as a fraction of GNP (the nev lav provides for this kind of indexation starting in 1985) . The switch from the corporate current personal and taxes to the simple income tax would have some mild Sriefly, the transitional effects on the U. S. economy. elimination of depreciation deductions for business would income to the be costly owners of existing plant equipment, offset by the reduction in the We do not of the earnings; of capital assets. but this would taxation be largely think any special compensation of the simple tax Adoption Rates and would f all a lover paying tax on the investment boom would because immediately rate of interest require interest. set off by the loss. lover interest rates. is necessary for when Tn more the investors would they vere no longer the med'um favorable run, the tax treatment rates partvay of capital formation might bring interest back to their .earlier level. Xn the long run, interest 23~ rates would Pr ices of bonds announced. None decline as capital rise as of these effects proceeded. accumulation as soon would be would the large, tax was and mone to call for any corrective action by the government. Compared to the gigantic capital losses inflicted on bondholders and rising taxes over the past by inflation decade, and the corresponding capital gains accruing to homeowners over the same period, neither of which has been offset by any government policy, the effects of the simple tax in the opposite direction are mild. Though our system will stabilise revenue as a fraction of GNP, it will probably produce more revenue than the Low existing programs. needs to maintain government marginal tax rates will draw economic activities from the seems into the formal market, where they are recorded as part of GNP. Businesses and individuals will of about the tax consequences spend less time worrying underground their higher revenue economy actions will and incomes. On instead concentrate these needs of the federal grounds, we government on believe earning that the could be met with tax rates as low as 16 or 17 percent, rather than the 19 percent needed to reproduce current revenue at current levels of GNP. period, cuts in marginal tax rates have coincided with episodes of vigorous economic growth and Moreover, those reduced inflation in the United States. Over the postwar nations with lower marginal tax rates have achieved the 24highest economic growth over the past decade. is not The growth for the increased income it would bring to the American public, but it would also moderate and eventually eliminate the federal stimulated budget by tax reform only favorable deficit. benefits of tax reform are not purely economic. The complexities of the federal tax system foster contempt for government and make petty criminals out of a large fraction low marginal of the population. A simplif ied tax with rates would help restore confidence in government and would The support the basic honesty of the American people. ~25m 1. Appendix Income f lcm' and tax yields Following are the relevant numbers from the U. S. National Income and Product Accounts for 1981. All data are in billions of current dollars. Gross domestic productl 2868 Federal indirect business Imputed items3 Wages, salaries, tax 57 129 and pensions4 1503 Investment 349 I Taxable business Revenue income6 830 tax at from the business 158 19% Taxable compensation Revenue 1022 tax at from compensation 194 19% Total tax revenue Actual personal 352 income Actual corporate income tax 289 tax Total actual tax revenue 348 Notes: 1Economic Re ort of the President January 1982, Table B-8 ERP, Table B-76 Survey Accounts, p. 77 4 of Current Business, National Income and Product 1976-1979, Special Supplement, ERP, Table July 1981, Table 8.8, B-21 plus our estimate of private pensions / Business investment is estimated as total investment in equipment, nonresidential structures, and farm investment, plus 20 percent of investment Mn residential structures, ERP, Table B-15. The remaining 80 percent of residential structures are cwner-occupied and. not deductible under the business tax. Gross domestic product sages, salaries and less federal indirect business taxes, pensions, imputed items, and investment 267 Nagesr salaries, less personal allowances 8 Estimated as 75 percent o! the revenue for fiscal year 1981 and 25 percent of the revenue for fiscal year 1982& ~RRP Table $-19 9Same as personal income tax. and pensions ~27~ 2. Appendix Revenue Table 1 presents assumptions budget deficit pro)ectioas and our computations and spending based on the economic in the President s February proposals Table 1 82 SL 83 S4 85 2922 3159 3522 3881 4257 Tax base 2314 2502 2789 3074 3372 Allowances 481 S35 580 620 655 1833 1967 2210 2454 2717 1790 1933 2149 2393 2651 Tax. inc. Txoinc ~ giY Rev. PaC tax 347 Rate, sm rv Rate, 0 def 19F 4 at Def. at Rev. The fiscal revenue, simple 17 AS 19% 19% first calendar 345 58 370 407 450 17 2 17 ' 0 17 0 21 F 2 20 0 19' 0 408 455 504 51 29 8 99 four lines compute the level of taxable income on a year basis. The fifth line gives taxable income on a year basis. into an estimate of required taxable income gives the necessary tax rate under the When divided tax. The next administration line, labeled Rev. PtC tax, gives the s estimates of the revenue from the personal and corporate income taxes, including the effects of ERTA and the 28modifications proposed by Che president in February. The line "Rate, sm-rv, gives the rate under the simple tax necessary to yield the same revenue as the personal and corporate income taxes. Note that the rate declines from around 19 percent in 1981 to 17 percent in later years, as the major personal tax reductions of 1982 and 1983 go into effect. The next line, labeled Rate, 0 def, gives Che simple tax below, labeled rate necessary to eliminate the deficit starting in FY 1983. Though this rate starts above 21 percent, it falls to 19 percent by 1985. Again, Chese computations take account of the favorable effect on interest costs of lower deficits in earlier years. The last line shows the projected size of the federal deficit if the simple tax were adopted starting in Hf $3 at a constant rate of 19 percent. The deficit is manageable in all years and essentially disappears in. 1985. Table 2 presents similar computations for the CBO s baseline budget projections. 29 Table 2 81 82 83 84 85 $6 87 2922 3140 3515 3882 4259 4659 $083 Tax base 2314 2487 2784 3075 3373 3690 4026 Allowances 481 535 Tax. inc. Tx. inc. , FY Rev. PaC. tax Rate, sm rv 581 627 676 726 777 1833 1952 2203 2448 2697 2964 3249 1790 1922 2140 2387 2635 2897 3178 347 19 . 4 350 354 378 407 . . 14 .8 15.8 15 4 14 9 23.4 22. 5 21.7 20. 9 18 ~ 2 16 5 Rate, 0 def Def. at 19% 431 469 ~ 101 102 97 87 20 F 2 75 of 'this table is the same as that of Table 1, except that it covers two additional years. The Administration and the CSO are pro)ecting GNP at about the same level through 1985, though the Adminstration foresees higher levels of real growth and lower rates of inflation. Allowances grow more rapidly under the CBO projection as a consequence. The simple tax rates necessary to raise the same revenue as the personal and corporate income taxes fall to even lower levels below 15 percent under the CBO s assumptions, because the Administration s revenue enhancements are not included in the baseline. On the other hand, the tax rate necessary to The format 1 — — 30 in FX 83, balance the budget starting shown in the next-to-last line in the table, is about a point higher because the CSO projects significantly higher federal spending than does the Administration. last line of Table that with higher spending and weaker real growth, the simple tax at a fixed rate of 19 percent does not eliminate the federal deficit even by 1987. However, it does bring it well below $100 billion, as against 'The the CBO 2 shows s pro)ection of nearly $250 billion. Sources Bud et of the February United States Government Fiscal Tear 1983 1982 Office, Baseline Sud et Pro ections for Fiscal Years 1983-1987 A Re ort to the Senate and House Congressional Committees Budget on the Sud — et Part II February 1982 ~31 Questions We have spent a good and answering flat tax deal of time presenting questions be f ore shows, testifying assembled About the Simple Tax and Answers prof essional before Congress. a number those discussions and it lay on radio audiences, talk and this section, ve have of the questions that have recurred in together Zn . aspects best explained in the with our answers. of the simple flat tax are perhaps question-and-answer about the simple Many form. Deductions charitable deductions? cauld be allowed under the A: No char itable deductions Ne".'.4Io not believe that current tax simple income tax. incentives are a major part of the motivation to make and other to community, religious, contributions A organisations who qualify for deductions at present. large volume of contributions are made by people who cannot because they do not itemise deduct , the contributions Q: What about deductions. abused Deductibility by wealthy taxpayers &rill save more by blocking of contributions to avoid taxes. the tax-avoiding is widely net, you tricks of the On wealthy than deductions vill lose You your from own from for organisations raising funds depends on tax deductibility intrinsic merit of their activities. What would happen to the restaurant is little There contributions. merit -in public subsidy Q: of tax the elimination success in whose rather than the industryT of the restaurant industry, there is no reason to expect that the Leither the simple tax would reduce restaurant patronage. existing tax system nor the simple tax gives business an rather than incentive to spend money at restaurants A: Though business meals are an important else. All reasonable anywhere either tax system. meals, are deductible under limited amount of restaurant spending abuse of the current employees. with system lower marginal would be alleviated rates. On arise may untaxed system by providing This problem including business expenses, restaurant A element to a tax income under the other from hand, ' as tax system brings businesses out of the underground at economy and into the market, taxed econcmy, spending Neither ef feet restaurants vill be slightly increased. The restaurant industry also stands to should be large. gain from the incentive effects of lower taxation of many the new of its employees. Q Shouldn t the tax system families with high medical costsV provide some relief to ~33 A: the entire U. S. population Virtually medical insurance, welfare. Medicare, The medical is tax income of deduction medical oi covered by benefits through the current personal under many abuses, pools and other swimming now or medical deduction source a is including improvements home the as tee families cauld suffer, and the ma)ority auld gain, by closing off this expenses. overwhelming source of abuse. Shy Qs simple A: is there no deduction for moving costs in the tax? Moving costs are onLy one of of costs incurred hundreds to earn an income. It is inconsistent Co permit deduction of moving costs shen costs of commuting, purchase of special clothing, and other employment costs cannot be deducted. Many moves are undertaken for reasons unrelated to earning a higher income and so should not escape taxation. The deduction for moving expenses is one of a number of tax provisions abused by y small minority of taxpayers at the expense of the great majority. It should be eliminated. by taxpayers 0: I am in order a salaried employee. Sce mould is I treat unreim- for this deduction on the simple individual eapensation tax form. A: Deduction of so-called business expenses of salaried employees is a ma)or loophole in the current tax system. bursed business expenses? There no room It is widely to subsidise abused teachers, trips to conventions, which . special incentives are business expenses ought case they are deductible The cur rent adoption income expenses. to save a and for Genuine in which tax. deductions for certain rant children to remain orphans dollars in government few activities by employers, the business tax grants Do you other travel inappropriate. to be borne under mummer revenue? of adoption expenses is a good example of a well-intentioned complication of the tax system with little Lawer-income families can t take the practical impact. deduction in many cases, and even if they could, it would have little importance because their marginal tax rates are not very high. All the benefits of the deduction go to A: Deduction prosperous families «ho do not need help from the slightly to the financial attraction of adoption, the government only further increases the demand for adoptable babQs, which already far exceeds the government. By adding supply+ to the housing market as a result of ending the deduction for-eortage interestT A: The simple tax would end the deduction for interest of all kinds, not )ust mortgage interest, Xt mould not Qc What would happen 3S discriminate against housing. Sowever, improvements in the of business investment would tend to draw wealth taxation out of housing into plant and reduce housing e than few a percent, of the investment duration equipment, which might effect would not be and would last only for the boom set off by the new tax values temporarily. I mor and The In the longer run, the outlook for housing values would be improved as overall economic activity increased in system. to the tax. response would the are in so much How who flat tax affect the savings and loans, trouble today? all owners shouldn t of long-term debt, savings and loans would receive a benefit from the lower interest rates brought The market value of their by the flat tax. would rise as interest mortgages rates felly improving their currently depressed net worth. Because t?. s interest the savings and loans would pay on their borrowing would fall, their operating deficits would decline. A: 0: Like Why we tax the capital gain from the sale of a house? capital gains are rarely taxed undec the current sys tem, because of the rollover provision, forgiveness of capital gains for th'e elderly, and the steppi~q up of the bas is for cap i tal gains at the time of inher i tance. We believe that the taxation of housing is properly ceded to These 36- local governments under the federal system. Local property taxes capture part of the value of the services of a house. A capital gain occurs when the market valuation of the services rises. These gains arise from after-tax income, gust as capital after-tax income. Hence amount to double taxation. from would The only way Qc of business arise taxation of capital gains gains from the ownership I can afford my house today I get for the interest on my to sell my house if I can no is the large tax deduction mortgage. I longer have Non t the take deduc'tion? Don much t lower overlook the benefits tax rate. Suppose «ill receive you you and your fram a earn husband $60, 000 per year and pay 818,000 in mortgage interest. Tour tax in 1981 would be $11,553, after taking account of the large deduction for interest. Under the simple tax, you would not be able to take the deduction-your tax «ould of 855, 000~ or $10,450. a thousand dollars ahead, even be 19 percent than take the deduction. longer before, have you can been certainly extremely If though you could afford aggressive Tou come out more it in you can no afford your house now. However, if you of little tax in spite taking advantage interest deductions, so you are paying of a large income, you «il1-come out behind «ith the simple tax. ~37M to install solar heating in the current tax law offers a credit plan Z my house and know for this energy conservation investment. Will Z still receive this tax credit under the simple tax2 Zf not, ron t this discourage conservation and make us wasteful of energy? A: Tike all the complications of the existing tax system, the residential energy credit would disappear with the advent of the simple flat tax. The energy credit makes little economic sense it puts the taxpayers money into elaborate installations which are at or below the margin of economic e f f iciency. With all forms of energy except — natural way gas already decontrolled, later 1980s, and gas face on the without any right special Since your plan removes the tax incentives now offered in the homeowners incentives for solar energy investments tax gimmicks. 1: decontrol the won t this historic structures, accelerate the destruction of many buildings that belong to our national heritage and should be saved for future generations to enjoys A: For every genuinely important historical ouilding saved dosens or perhaps even hundreds of by the tax incentives, for preservation buildings of are subsidised kept by their owners that are not important or would be depreciation for histor ical structures is a terr ibly inef f icient way to accomplish the goal of preservation most of its effect is anyway. Accelerated — 38- to create yet another tax shelter. Direct appropriation local government funds .for saving individual buildings far superior as a social policy for preservation. Q: t Doesn the simple tax encourage speculation of is in land by first-year writeoff for land purchases2 The sellers of land have to count their proceeds as taxable income& this offsets the deduction granted to the purchaser. Prices of undeveloped nonresidential land may rise a little, but with a 10 percent tax rate, this effect granting should be very small. the simple tax because transactions are included in is very difficult to separate the Land it value of land from the value of buildings local governments in the taxation of bonds2 A: How be affected by the change would Local governments tax-free status competing bonds tax, local it. relations Xntergovernmental Qs on derive a small advantage from the of their bonds and the taxation of all in the current system. Under the simple government other bonds would bonds would remain untaxed, also provide tax-free interest, but all because of business would be taxed at the source. The immediate impact of the simple tax would lower the borrowing costs of other;borrowers to the levels paid by local governments. Xn the ensuing investment boom, as the earnings -39interest rates rose, local borrowing costs would gradually rise. The slightly adverse ef feet on local governments would -be confined to a few years, and would not be large. Zn the longer run, local governments would face no higher interest rates and would benefit in many other ways fram the improved performance of the U. S. economy. . such other about Q: What and sales taxes? What taxes as state, county, excise, would happen to them under the simple income tax? Ac Although we would prefer besides the federal government same principle our proposal as the simple to federal that other government switch to taxes based income action. tax, The we have only units on the limited important of our proposal for other taxes is the elimination of the deduction for other taxes under the federal personal income tax. Because this deduction is important families, who benefit only for higher-income enormously free lower marginal tax rates, we do not believe that the elimination of deduction will have any harmful implication effects. the simple income tax affect state taxes where the tax returns are linked to the federal tax system? Qc A! How would Because the the same revenue the linkage federal taxes would raise approximately as the old taxes, a state that retained new would continue to receive about the same 40revenue as well. \ How Qc Aze state tax treat governments Ioes the federal government taxed' does the simple local activities tax itself'P A: State and local governments pay no taxes themselves, tax on their but their employees pay the ccmlensation and pensions. Similarly, the federal wages, salaries, and does not tax government compensation itself, its but employees pay the tax. Retirement are existing IRA and leough treated under the simple tax' Q: A: ' How IRA and %cough accounts have accounts retirement provided benefits to a type that the fraction of taxpayers of the same Under the simple tax would provide to all taxpayers. simple tax, they would Se treated exactly as under the current system, except that the tax rate would usually be When the accounts begin to pay retirement much lower. benefits, those benefits would be taxed as compensation. Xt would no longer be necessary to impose a minimum age for limited the payment accounts XRA its. SaMers of XIa and Keough their accounts at any tax at that time. For the elect to liquMate could time, and'pay future, of benef the compensation and Eeough accounts «ouM not be necessary, 41 because r a ther of interest the personal level the taxation than savings would as the same advantage have at the business make any form of income INAs and %coughs have today+ policy is Shat excluded f rom current taxation under today s lav. vill happen to the life insurance industry and the value of when taxation of all interest is eliminated? my insurance Cc Interest on the savings in my life insurance far as you are concerned, the tax benefits you are there vill be no taxes on the en5oying will continue interest you are earning. turthermore, when your insurance pays off, you vill not have to pay income tax on the interest component, as you do under current lav. As far as the industry is concerned, taxation of its interest earnings and deduction of its interest payments vill end. Only its actual insurance premiums vill count as income, not the saving that goes vith some types of insurance, and only its payoff for death and other insured events vill A: As — count as business expenses. Susiness and The Rich Qs A: Isn t the simple tax a windfall Taxation deductions On would of families with be dramatically the other hand, to the rich? high incomes reduced under and fev the simple taxes paid by those vho take 42- of the advantage taxes through. .tax shelters postponing rise a great deal. wi11 to the scope for reducing unlimited am~oat hard concentrated workers on avoiding The simple and a or other gimmicks and tax «ould be a «indfall loss to those «ho have tax. Q: Is the simple tax progressive) A: The simple tax is progressive that families with higher incomes pay a larger fraction of their incomes in taxes. Families with incomes below the personal a'lowance 'evel pay no tax at all. The proportion of income paid h'ghest in the sense rises to close to 19 percent for the Proportions of income paid as tax are in tax income. Income 10 000 XS F 000 20 F 000 14.1 30g000 40~000 50, 000 Does business Q: pay 16 ~ 1 its fair share of taxes under the simple tax'P Ac Only people income from business fram employment. is taxed pay' taxes The simple sources is Under 'tax is designed so that taxed at the same rate as income the current A ' system, some business income at excessive rates because of the double taxation of 43 corporate even subsidized Qc Isn Other business through. tax shelters. dividends. t income is 1+htly taxed or the tax unfair because rich people can live off interest capital gains income and thereby pay no taxes? A: Not at all. In effect, the simple tax puts the equivalent of a withholding tax on interest and capital gains. The business tax applies to business income before it is paid out as interest, or if it is retained in the business and generates capital gains for stockholders. The interest, dividends, and capital gains received by the rich have already been taxed under the business tax. The rich cannot escape the tax. and t part of the tax on capital be shifted onto consumers in the form of higher prices rather than being paid by the owners of the capital? Isn t this unfair relative to the compensation tax, which will not be shifted? A: Yes. There is a fundamental difference between capital, which Won is a produced input input, to the economy. investment, —the and labor, Secause which it is a permits the simple tax puts no tax on primary, unproduced first-year writeoff of the marginal addition to tax benefit of the writeoff in the first year gust the taxes that will be paid from its productivity counterbalances For this reason, the tax is not actually shifted in the future. forward. On the other hand& all of the growth in the revenue from the simple tax comes from growth in the size and real incomes of It is not an issue of equity but rather of economic workers. capital " 44 reality that all taxes bear simple tax embodies the. right incentives income to form t it Isn Q: on labor fundamentally income. The for people to save labor capital. air not to tax capital un gains received by individuals? Capital gains are taxed under the simple tax. Capital gains from the sale of a business property an office or an apartment building, or a house held for investment purposes would be taxed As — under the business tax, plant, equipment, business. Capital which treats the proceeds buildings and as taxable sale of income for the other financial from the stocks, bonds, and instruments arise from the capitalisation of after-tax incameg it would be double taxation to tax the capital gain as well. Capital gains on owner-occupied houses arise fram the capitalisation of rental values which are heavily taxed by state and local governmentsg again, it would be double taxation for the federal government to tax the capital gain as «ell. Q: and gains Shy does the simple the compensation tax collect the business tax from the firm tax from the «orker? Nouldn t it be more to collect consistent on both from the f irm or both from the individual? As The nation interest and s experience in trying to collect dividends from individuals has been dismal. taxes on One of of the Clat-rate simple tax is that it permits collection of taxes en business income at the source, the huge advantages airtight income I 45 where is easiest. enforcement the other On requiring hand, to f ill out the coapensation form is necessary to provide the benefits of the personal allowance to each taxpayer. individuals The tax withholding system already in operation be adapted would to permit the collection of most of the compensation tax from the employer, so that taxpayers would not be faced with a large single tax payment at the end of the year. The Business Tax Q: What would happen capital investments A: lower would rates tax —reduced depreciation unused made under These deductions much to the deductions from the old tax system? simply be the make )ost. In the first place, deductions much less of capital completely offsets the decline in the value of the deductions because of lower tax rates. In the .second place, the existing combination of an investment credit taken at the time of purchase and accelerated depreciation for tax purposes means that most plant and equipment has already received most of the tax benefitsg eliminating the remaining depr eci ation would not impose an Lmpor tant bur den on important taxation of the earnings business. Q: I m a travelling travel expenses. the simple tax? I All self-employed salesman. do not I earn commissions receive a salary. individuals wi11 file How and pay my own would the business I fill out tax form, 46they 'can where deduct business expenses. of the personal allowance; a salary of at least, say, $6200 if amount form. business Xsn t A: Income its explain how is an individual income. The income taxes the same income ' and again when it i combined tax rate confiscatory, Q: As what its system even though taxes income twice. source? the tax system sometimes corporation receives it The the stockholders. s income is almost taxes are at rates of The current twice, once when the is paid as dividends to on allowance. s command over resources. Only people of a corporation is gust the income of the stockholders. owners, 50 the current income no matter income around you expenses and receive the personal Please have to take will vant to pay yourself Report this you are married. along with your rife s earnings on your compensation tax In this way, you will be able to deduct your legitimate advantage 0: In order stockholder the two separate percent. are tax losses for- individuals and businesses treated'P Remember that the self-employed fill out the business tax form How gust as a large corporation does. Susiness losses can be carried limit to offset future profits. There is no such thing as a tax loss under the compensation tax. Tou can t reduce your compensation tax by generating business losses. forward 1: without Mould a company going bankrupt get a tax refund in proportion 47 No. tax vould never The simple Iowevex t a bankrupt could company to taxpayers. payments make be acquired by another f irm, 'L which would 0: the tax assume loss. pay so much Some companies interest today that requiring them to pay the business tax {which does not permit the deduction of interest) would make them operate at a loss. Is this appropriate2 As This is an aspect of the transition to the simple tax. Corporations and homeowners with large amounts of debt vill suffer, gust as those vith large holdings of bonds or mortgages will gain. For two reasons, the problem vill not be too serious. First, the dramatic reduction in the tax rate to 10 pexcent will more than offset the increase in taxes from the loss of interest deductions in most cases. Second, most corporate debt can be called and reissued at lower rates as soon as the simple tax goes into effect. If a firm equipment, and its increase ploved hence value all of its back paid forever no business without receive the wapitalised stockholders into plant income tax, couldn paying taxes2 t and the Nouldn firm t the value of the firm as untaxed capital gains2 A: Sooner or latex, profitable opportunities its instead owners believe this, stockholders the and f irm vill out of suf f iciently vill start paying it all back. If of plowing the stock would would run not believe have no out its to income the market didn value, because t the that they were ever going to get 48anything. on any imposed value - will market The that the tax will be the stockholders, so the market be the capitalised value after always returns .earned by of the firm vill always know taxes. Q: Son t businesses constantly buy and sell equipment in order to of the immediate writeoff? A: There is nothing to be gained from extra purchases and sales. The proceeds of a sale of equipment must be reported as income, and offset the tax benefits of a subsequent purchase. take advantage Xs rental activities? rental income part of individual compensation or business income? Mould individuals have to file both business and individual tax Sow. Qs forms Ac if are individuals they had both kinds of income? Renting business taxed on their is definitely a business activity and would call for a Rental receipts are taxed as business tax form. incomeg of a rental unit qualifies for first-year writeoff. Because there are no complicated depreciation computations, very little effort «ould be required to fill out the business tax Corm Cor a rental unit. but purchase Qc its employees with subsidised lunches, exercise facilities, company cars, and the like, how are Xf a company physical provides these treated under the simple tax? As Fringe business benefits tax. cannot Of the firm be deducted s expenditures as expenses under for the purpose the of i9attracting vorker and compensation reported only those paid directly vorkers, keeping and ~ for the tax are deductible purposes for the of the to the individual company. investor, I currently find that percentage depletion is better than cost depletion or my oil veils. Shat vill happen to depletion under the simple flat tax? A: Depletion vill disappear as a special complication of the tax law. Instead, first-year vriteoff vill apply to all purchases of Q: As an oil prooerty 0: I my am involved company simple and and all development costs. in a highly leveraged others it like tax because ve von t investment company. be forced out of business be able Non t by the to deduct interest expenses any more? A: It is expenses. true that you vill no longer be able Co deduct interest But it is likely that your borrcwing is linked to !f interest rates. so, the decline in interest rates upon the adoption of the simple tax «ill offset the loss of the market t forget that the income from your company vill be taxed at only 19 percent. Try filling out the business tax return to see vhat vill happen to your total tax payment. deduction. Also, don tax ccnrer the fringe benefits of government organisations? aalu non-profit Yes. They are required to file the business return A! par ticular vay that exempts all of their Lnccae except vhat is Qc Does the simple 50paid to their employees avoids a activities distortion which as fringes. In this ways the simple tax favor of government and non-prof it arise if they alone could pay untaxed in would fringes. Q: How will the simple tax affect the value of the U. S. dollar in the foreign exchange markets Ac The tax treatment will be essentially exports of goods and services the same under the simple tax as under the of imports and existing income tax, so there will be no change in the value of The lower interest rates that will the dollar on that account. accompany tax reform may bring a temporary decline in the value of the dollar, which will stimulate U. S. exports and discourage imports. The Ceapensation 0: With the Your simple my employer Tax current income tax doesn t .tax to deduct tax, my fringe benefits aren t 0 taxed. fringes either, but it does not permit to my fringe What will happen them. benefits under the simple" tax' A: Your fringe benefits are one of the features that attracted vou to your gob, and your employer will not want to cut them The simple tax without compensating you in some other way. 'I fringe benefits created by the present income tax, so you can expect that your employer will offer you reduced fringes in exchange for higher pay, which you eliminates the distortion toward 51 to can use the benefits yourself or for any other purpose. buy I Os teenage Ny a patt-time has taken daughter gob and vill earn Can she use the personal allowance of year. $3800 to avoid paying tax? Will I lose my dependent s allowance of $750 for her'P $1000 this about to the personal allowance& 'Xou vill including your daughter. retain the dependent s allowance as long as you provide more than half her total support over the year. All A: {}: a As benefits and under happen A: member The housing of the allowances armed from my receive you not taxed the Treasury a business in the under Just like a private employer, pay forces, I get to exclude certain What vill pay for tax purposes. . the simple tax? benefits —are entitled are taxpayers kind —for individual example, compensation the Defense Department tax on the value military tax. will have to of those benefits. benefits vill pe taxed under the individual compensation tax. The government vill have to make a modest increase in these benefits in order to offset the 19 percent tax you vill have to Your cash start Q: I paying am on them. an American abroad. income earned ~ imple flat tax? A: All income . citisen Sow earned $75, 000 exclusion for vill this income be treated under the' and now en$oy a from work performed abroad, or from S2 located abroad, enterprises vill income The is be taxed by the country vhere you earn flat tax simple care expenses. Non care of their children Such it. the credit thereby elderly dependents, on welfare, reduce their participation their dependence in the labor force, and cost increasing save from would t tax. for child and this force people to stay home to eliminates dependent take excladed from the simple its and more money to the it that government elimination? of the complications in the tax system, the child care credit fails to focus its benefits in an area of particular social need. In ef fect, it lowers the taxes of a signif icant -. raction of all taxpayers families with two earners and one or more children. It is available at all income levels. Sigher tax r ates are required to f inance this lover ing of the amount of taxes. Peatures like the child care credit are antithetical to the flat-tax philosophy, which favors a broad tax with the lowest tax rate. Me think that the special problems of helping poor fami lies vi th child care and other responsibili ties should be attacked specifically vithin the velfare system, not with the scatter gun of the tax system. The simple flat tax provides plenty of revenue for a generous velfare program. A: Like many i — t it Qc Xsn As Workman worker. unfair to start taxing vorkman s compensationV s compensation is disabled been taxed, so it on the makes payments )ob. The vages to replace vages themselves stands' to reason that the replacement when vould a have should be -S3 Failing to tax workman s compensation would create an inappropriate incentive. . for workers to remain off the fob after a period of disability. taxed. . for the blind and the elderly? %hat makes you rant to lay higher taxes on these two especially unfortunate groups in our society? A: Many of the elderly and a few of the blind are quite well off. It raises everybody s tax rate inappropriately to provide extra exemptions to every elderly and blind individual. It makes sense to concentrate policies with respect to the incomes of the elderly in the social security system-the value of the current extra Q- does the simple tax elimtinate Why is tr ivial exemption received should by be concentrated Non-profit Qs Row its blind, e f for ts to the social security compared the typical the extra exemptions older person. For the benef in welfare agencies, not in the tax system. Organisations does the simple. tax treat non-profit organisations like that pay dividends? They are exempt fran the business cooperatives Aa pay the inpividual must their dividends cannot benef it compensation are untaxed. from the tax, but their employees tax. As under present law, Note that non-profit investment incentive organizations of f irst-year writeoff either Q: Shat about non-business entities such as trusts, estates, or charitable organisations A: Any actual business the business tax form. tax. compensation including owned churches by one and schools' of these entities aust file Their employees must pay the individual they are not taxed. Otherwise, that a conventional personal trust, which holds stocks and bonds, deals entirely in after-tax income and there is no reason for the tax system to pay attention to it. Note Inheritance Qc What about A: We the inheritance do not believe t it Wouldn including comprehensive tax is necessary under a taxation of income. a goo& idea to broaden that an inheritance system with watertight . 0: tax' be gifts, life insurance proceeds, tax base by inheritances, and so the forth'P A: No. broadening represent is base for the simple tax is carefully chosen to efficient economic incentives. Further to the listed items would be double taxation. Oifts the transfer of income that has already been taxed and the provide there The most no reason to tax it again. Life insurance proceeds are a mixture of interest business income earnings, which have already been taxed by the tax, and return of premiums, which again were paid from already taxed. Inheritances are gust a special form of SS- social benefits Economic and Os The into its investment first-year universal by the savings and spending and businessesV uniform improved, provided tax change the simple of individuals patterns A: will Sow writeoff incentive savings and sill channel capital of tax rates across taxpayers will prevent the widespread abuse of tax shelters which d iver t savings Dramatic from their ef f icient des tinations. reductions in marginal tax rates vill stimulate investment and work effort, and draw ac'tivities out of the underground economy and into the more efficient market economy. 0: much How uses. most productive time and only the two postcard Equalization vill re money returns save by having to in place of form 1040 and fill out all its schedules' A: The Treasury over 600 million would hours be eliminated It sounds raise taxes we actually defects? It is that, businesses f illing out returns tax. million hours is by the simple that 600 $6 per hour, Qs estimates and g almost worth better off overburdened with value of $3.6 billion. American the present spend all of this At a conservative like the simple flat tax is gust on the already the public a clever ploy taxpayer. system, with Aren to t all its true that many people s taxes vill rise a little right after the tax reform. Rut cpickly everyone will benefit from the A: 56increased activity economy that . incentives improvement in participants in our economy. the wi11 accompany " facing the a most dramatic critical years, ve foresee a nine percent increase in real incomes on account of the simple tax, a'most double its immediate tax increase for any income Within seven group. 0: Bow will the simple tax help the American The most obvious to and best-documented economy effect to grM comes from incentives. Nitb lower tax rates, the take-home pay fram extra work-longer hours, more weeks per year, or a second )ob will rise. For the most productive and highly-paiR workers, taxed today at rates up to 50 percent, the improvement in work incentives will be especially dramatic when the'r tax rate falls to 19 percent. More subtle, but equally important sources of growth will come from the vast improvement in the incen ives for entrepreneurial activity. Today s tax system puts tax rates as high as 60 or even 70 percent on the rewards to successful innovation, thanks to the cascading of the corporate and personal income taxes. With the taxes rationalised by the new business tax, at the low rate of 19 percent, bright people will be attracted to innovation and away from the tax-sheltered activities favored by the current tax system. Finally, the simple tax provides stronger incentives for capital formation, an important source of growth in the longer run. workers response improved — Removal Notice The item identified below has been removed in accordance with FRASER's policy on handling sensitive information in digitization projects due to copyright protections. Citation Information Document Type: Article Number of Pages Removed: 3 Author(s): William E. Simon Title: "What a Flat-Rate Income Tax Would Mean to You" Date: 1982 Journal: Reader's Digest Volume: Page(s): URL: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://fraser.stlouisfed.org C i apartment of the Treasury For Release at Expect n O 0 ~ Washinlton, O.C. ~ tefeyhone I$6-Qt Delve 0 aeneas Tm STLTRMRST OF SOSORMLR JOSS Ee CShPOTON 1$SZSTAST SECRETART OF Tm TSRASQRT FOR ThX POZIZCT REFORE Tm SESAME FZERlCE EE September 2S, 19S2 Nr. Chairman and Naibexs of this CclaaLtteea Z aa yleased to be here today to 4iscuss sale fralaes of reference for evaluating flat-tax ayyroaches to refoaalLsy the incone tax systole The Federal iaccaae tax is widely yereeived to be complicated and uaf air 11thoQQh nany of the provisions in the current lav were eaacted to proaete wortknALile social and econealc pals, oae result has beea that individuals or faaLlies of octal neaas nay pay quite different amounts of tax, Cependiay oa how they eam or use their iaccsos e '1lso r taxpayers ia very unocp41 econcxLLc circchstaaces Mf pay the sane alÃluat of tax despite the apparent progressivity provided by a structure of marginal tax rates preseatly raayinq fraa 12 to 50 yereent This complex and uaeven tax systaa has led to excessive ylannilny aad rearrange@ of business affairs primarily for tax purposes. Zt also has led to a yaat deal of taxpayer uncerhLiaty, aaxiety aad Cisieayet for the tax lax. Taxyayers went less cceplicated tax provinces along with mre uniform tax treatment and lou tax rates. The iaccee tax has also been a serious imyedislent to private cayital foraatioa aad to individual efforts to work aad save. 'Baroegbout the 1970'sg high iaflation caused the systNRtie overstatement of investment iacome aad pushed mre sad mrs taxpayers into high marginal tax brackets. The result was to reduce households reward for saving and raise the cost of business iavestJMt ~ R-969 to enact Za 1981, Congress united rith this Administration the Sconcsaic Iecovezy Tax Act of 1981 (ERMA). This Act provided a much needed reduction in marginal tax rates and a vital acceleration of coat recovery allowances. The khainiatration eontinuea to be committed, to the elimination of the tax barriers to capital fozmation, and any discussion of mafor tax reform must continue to concentrate on reducing marginal rates and removing barriers to saving an4 investment Even rith the dramatic marginal rate reductions in RRTA, however rhat continuea to upset the man in the street ia hia conviction that hia neighbor rho is fust as rell-off paya less tax than he does. turtheraere, he ia concerned that the fellow in the big house on the hill paya still less than either he oz hia neighbor ia paying. This concern reflects the ecemen perception that moat tazyayexa in the broa4 middle inde classes have few oyyortunitiea to take advantage of special taz concessions because they receive their inc~a in the form of fully taxed rages. They ate not poor enough to receive inccae in the farm ef untaxed government services and untaxed tzanafet paymenta. Tet, neithez are they affluent enough to gamble on high-risk, Low taxed investments or to elect to receive significant amounts of compensation in the foxm of noncash or defezred benefits. Xn part, the complaint that the middle class has no tax preferences ia overstated. The middle-class rorket 4oea enfoy special taz concessions associated rith home ownership and These concessions are often overlooked, ~mployer-paid benefits. possibly because they are ridely available and axe not usually the teault of sophisticated tax planning It ia also true however, that our complex tax rules enable acsae high-inccae taxpayers more than others to make uae of special exclusions, deductions, and credits, or to take advantage of lower rates of tax that apply to certain souzcea or certain uses of income. Natever inecee grexy benefits, there are many cases in which income is treated in different rays for tax puzpoaes. Pot examples Compensation ia fully taxeR if it ia in the fozm of cash rages, but left untaxed if it ia in the form of fringe benefits such as employer contxibutiona to health plans or the personal consumption elements of ~myloyee business expenses i Capital inccee may be taze4 at high rates if it is in the fozm af 4ividenda from eoryorate stock because both the corporation incclie tax an4 the individual inccee tax apyliea, m 4t may be taxed at a aero tate if it is in the form of tazMzempt bond interest ox' 5 t may even bo taxeS at negative rates on certain sheltered invest- ments. The tax may apply only to a fraction of the zeal inclxse frcxs capital gains or, vhen inflation is greater than the gain. a tax vill be assesse4 on vhat is really a loss» Incaae spent on mst goods and services is highly taxed vhile inccI!e spent on selected goods an4 sezvices such as haae enezgy saving devices, ovne~cupied housing in general, an4 scil ae4ical expenses is sheltezed frcis tax ClcTent interest in a tlat rate tax reflects a groving concern about the ccxaplexity of the tax lav and the related Ln«pality of treatment under the lav as in the examples )ust given. There is also a concern ovez our sharply progressive rate structuze. Marginal rates under the personal incaae tax vill range fma ll pezcent to 50 percent in 19S4. Taking into account the corporate tax ~ marginal rates on %Re inccxie can range froa ll percent to 73 percent. . The tvo elements, our sharply progressive tax rates and the lack of uniform treataent of incaas in the tax base, are 4istinct but intezrelated characteristics of'ouz incaae tax. A single tax rate aight, foz' example, be applied to our current tax base. leaving intact all of the exclusions, deductions and credits, along vith the current exemption for taxpayer and dependentsA single rate of about 19 percent on the curzsnt individual tax base vould raise the same amount of revenue that auld be raised inaee tax at the rates scheduled for by the pzesent'individual 1984. In addition, theze is a separate levy on corporations. tax rate veze substantially reduced. If46the top individual a percent rate on corporations vould create too great a 4isparity between individuals and corporations. A single corporate rate of about 20 percent, together vith a single individual rate of 20 percent. vould produce the same total -revenue vith no expansion of the bases. Collapsing the tax rates vithout broadening the base to aaks mre uniform auld simplify the tax scaevhat and elizLinats the it At the same time. however, disincentive of high aarginal rates any single-rate tax vould inevitably result in a ma)or redistribution of tax burden fee high-incae to low- ana middle-inccae families. broaden the Most flat tax proposals vould substantially tax base ~ A tax system dos igned to treat taxpayers consistent 1y according to a vell&efined tax base, vith no nazrov exceptions, vill be referred to as a uniform tax throughout the testimony. The tezm uniform vill be used to connote broad-based taxation xegardIess of the stzuctuzs of rates. For example, a uniform income tax could be defined vith no exclusions, credits, or deductions except those necessary to me4$urs inccRo f vith integration of the corporate and individual taxesg an4 «ith a single marginal rate ~ Under such a unifozR inccsle tax, «ith a taxpayer exemption of $3, 000 per )oint return ($2, 000 for single returns) and $1 000 exenption per dependent (i+co $5r000 for a fasLily of Cour), a single !1st rate ot about 16 percent «ould be A unifoaa ~ufficient to produce the current levels of revenues. tax on consuned inccMr ioee ~ . a uniform incus tax «ith deductions Cor al I savings o muld rcpiize a sU ghtly higher single rate of about 17 percent even «ith a single rate the basic ezeIaptions mell cause average tax rates to be scmewlmt progressive across Lncaae classes. As sho«n in Table 1 attached to this stateaent, average tax rates mu14 vazy froa 5 percent for taxpayers below $5, 000 of incaae to nearly 16 percent at the highest iicaae levels. Table 1 also shows that a substantial redistribution o! the tax burden mull occur, despite base broadening and the basic ezeaption, as a result of replacing graduated tax rates by a Those «ith over $50, 000 of incaae muld pay about single rate $32 billion less, to be aa4e up by those «ith less than $50, 000 y of inccsw e Nore progressivity and less re4istribution of the taz burden across incus classes mu14 ocaar if larger basic exemptions were allowed. For ezaaple. a unifona inceae taz «ith basic ezeIIption ~ levels that axe double those of the previous exaayle, $10, 000 instea4 of $5, 000 for a family of four, «oul4 rayxire a taz rats of about 20 percent and «ould produce the 4istribution ~bown in Table 2. The increased exeaption muld result in less tax than present law for those in the $0-$5. 000 inecee class an4 significantly less redistribution of taz bur4en from high-income groups to the lower- and aLddle inccee classes. Still, about $22 billion of tax reduction mull go to those above $50, 000 of incise, «ld. le $27 billion of additional tax «ould be paid by those in the $5. 000-$50, 000 incan range. Seas have suggested a "pure' flat-rate tax that has a broad uniform taz base and a single tax rate, but penaits no ~zaaptions for the tazpayer or dependents. Ta the absence of personal exemptions. the single zate for a uniform income taz mull be lowered to .about 13 percent on the unifoaa inn' taz base and to about 14 percent on the unifora consuaed inccae base. The elimination of the basic exemptions mul4 result in a strictly proportional tax, not a progressive tax, further increasing the tax burden for low-inccIae tazpayers. As shown in Table-3, a single-rate unifona LnccsLe tax «ith no ezaaption muld result in a tax reduction of about $40 billion for taxpayers above $50, 000 of incaae, aatched by a sixLilar tax increase for those below $30, 000 of incaae. (Those in the $30-50, 000 class «ould roughly break even, on the average. ) Even though the total tax revenue muld be the same, about 77 percent of tazpayers auld experience a tax increase under this type of flat tax. i. . «3« Jhy broad-base4 option rLth a single rate auld involve a redistrQnztion of inccise. Zf a tlat-rate tax is designed to raise the same zevenue as present lax. every 4ollar of tax reduction for one taxpayer must mean ~ dollar of increase for ecae other taxpayers. Neg discussioas of broader base or flatter tax rates lead one to conclude that tax bur4ens vill fall for practically evzones That simp' is not She cases Tax burdens fall shen a choice is also made to cut taxes in general, as in the EconeLLc Recovery Tax bee of 19$1. ~ignificant Instead of using a single tax rate, a uniform tax structure coul4 be designe4 to contain a 1oer set of progressive tax rates that auld apply to several broad brackets. Por example, approximately the same degree of progressivity as in curzent lav could be retained by a tax on the uniform inccime base with three rates 10 pezcent on the first $19,500& 25 percent fern $19.500 to $75.000' and 39 percent over 075, 000e These inccae brackets are for )oint returns and for incceie in excess of a $3, 000 exemption yer return plus a $1,000 exemption for each 4ependent(See Table ) jLlthough the tax bur4en vithin each class auld be roughly the same as under yresent lan, much redistribution of harcsas aiahla alassea roaM srlll eases heeaose ar hase area a aalsora aaa saraeaara alah hseorassire rates hsoaaaaMr. is to raise the same revenues as our current system, aust if it scime cause persons to have a fax increase if others have a tax decrease. About 55 percent of taxpayers @auld experience a tax 1. increase in this example. Zn the follceing sections of this testhaoay, the criteria by which a tax system should be fudged are presented and, then, two uniform tax structures which might be frameerks for flat tax reform are descz'ibe4 The first of these Oe is a unifoaa ineae taX s The uniform incaae tax net only provides for uniform tax of vages, salaries, and interest incie and eliminates credits, and exemptions. but it also many special deductions, provi4es for uniform treatment of yersonal inecae earned through treatment businesses One cannot discuss eliminating personal deductions or taxing certain fringe benefits for rage earnez's vithout also ~xamining tax shelters and business expense deductions. Zn addition, there remain severe cases of overtaxation of business income, such as the tax on purely inflationazT gains and the true uniform inccae tax must double taxation of dividends. deal with all of these issues. tlat tax prcposals that do not deal with inccae fram businesses do not provide uniform tax treatment of all inccae. I The second general tax structure described is a uniform tax on consumed incus. That tax is identical t~ the unifora incaie tax except that a deduction is allayed for all net savings. The tax on consumed inccmLe has many advantages, especially its greater simplicity and encouragement of saving. Ouz current tax structure contains elements of an income taz concept and a conseaed-incaae tax concept~ Indeed, many chaayes ~nacted in our tax laws over the past 4ecades have meed us closer to one concept or the other. while scca have been consistent with a ccwmaon path to both. Still othez' changes, primarily those put into the Tax Chde to affect social policy and to influence behavior, have been clear ~ements away from both concepts of taxation. Sefore we can evaluate furthe~ changes tc the system, however+ we need to examine saae fundamental tax p les pz' ~ CRITERIA FOR %%ZsUATZSO TAX Ski TZMS %ay framework for future tax reform shou14 be chosen only aftez careful evaluation of four cxiteriaa equity, distribution of tax burdens, efficiency, and simpl. icity. Same charges, it vill be seen, can be consistent with all these criteria. Many changes, however, require a balance@ of these yels. For instance we may need to approximate uniformity, at some sacrifice of fairness oz' efficiency by adopting simple rules when. exact accountieg rules are difficult to design ox use The S i Standard equity considerations dcNLLnate the discussion of changes in the personal income tax. First, what is the appropriate tax base2 Secon4, how does the tax system treat in4ividuals who are considered to be in equal circcaatances2 Da they bear the same burden of tax, or do they hav ~ different tax burdens 4ue to other considerations2 Suppose two families are identical in every respect except that one spends mre on housing and the other mre on food. Zf they pay different amounts of tax, and if mar)(et pzices 4o not fully adjust to equalixe their tax burdens. then the tax system is said to violate the standard Two fundamental of horisontal equity. Although mst discussions of fairness have made caaparisons based on inccae. many observers since the taws of Thcaas Sobhes (1588-1679) and John Stuart hi. ll (1806-1823) have also consid~red consumed incus to be a proper base for taxation. A tax oa consumed income wouid tax indivi4uals according to what they take from society rather than what they earn an4 sake available to On the other. han4, aa incaae tax is favored by those who believe that income whether for savihlg or consumption is the better measure of ability to pay. Tax equity therefore implies that those who consme equal amounts bear equal tax bur4ens un4er a tax on consumed inccee, or that those with equal inccees bear equal tax buxdens under an inccae tax. it. ~ Oiatribution of Tax buzdens Ohifona treatmsent of all inccmie or conamapticn would result in substantial hase broadeaieg free current lav. Base hxoadening, bcwever, does not 4ictate the answer to the separate and 4iatinet cyaestion of hov taxea aught be allcwe4 to vary hy inccmie or consumption class. If the tax base vere broadened. aarginal rates could he lcwere4 in every bracket vitheut affecting the overall distribution of the tax burden by ineoae class. 'She net. result would be a flatter rate aehe4ule, hut no the ~ ~ffeet cn the existing progressivity of the tax systesL, extent to which average tax rates increase with inccae. Soae persons also believe that the 4istrihution of tax huzdens ahou14 he different than that provided by our current tax system. The extent of any increase or decrease in progressivity ia, however. essentially a value gudcmisent and less ob)ective in nature than other criteria such as borixontal epaity, effiOne can broaden the tax hase, flatten tax ciency an4 ai3aplicity rates and still haprove the efficiency ot the ecceemy vithout ehaayiny the exiatkcug distribution of tax burdens. The Standard ot EconcsLLe Rffici, en Since a given amount of tax revenue ean be raised in any nusLber of ways, the tax ayatse should be desired to Businesses an4 IsinisLLse its adverse ef facts on the eeoncxsy househo14$ should be allcwel to aeke the heat, uae' of the resources at their disposal with the aLnhiuis of intrusion of tax considerations. This would leal to an eeonciay that operates acre ~fficientlyt thereby raising productivity, eeoncxaic g~rtJa, and the standard of livia' for all Anericans. Sfficiency in. taxation is based on the notion of ef ficiency In mat eireeastanees, aarket prices reflect in the marketplace. the relative values of products to buyers and the coats an4 alternative opportunities of sellers. Our aarket systsma baaed on such prices allocatea labor, capital an4 atarial resources to their higheat-valued (mat efficient) uses. Taxea reduce the efficiency of the private sector because they interfere with the price signals of the aarket. The price paid by a buyer (a eonaeaer, eeyl~r, or investor) vill exceed the price received. by a seller. As a result. scae transactions vill not take place, produchug losses in efficiency for the ~concigy. Because of the tax. the resources that auld have been traded either vill not be put to a productive use or vill be snifted to a lear taxel but liss yroductive use. i. . & Ray realistic tax system unavoidably distorts soae market signals and thereby distorts decisions on hoer much to work, when and what to consume, when and how to save, how much to invest an4 in what types of capital. Nven a ccepletely uniform ineaae tax will affect individual choices between work and leisure, an4 between consuming now or saving for future k tax on all consumed inane 4oes not discourage consumption saving as 4oes an incc%4 tax' but both types of taxes will encourage leisure at the expense of work. Nd. le a disto3 tion of the choice between work an4 leisure .is inherent in both a tax on all inccwae and a tax on all consigned incense it remains. important to ainimise distortions that result from differential tazation among goods or particular activities. can be eliminated in either type of Many of these differentials tax or even in a hybrid tax such as we have today. k lack of unifozmity of the taz bur4en aeag alternative uses of capital/ such as we have in our current system, so 4istorts the allocation of resources that it can make financial successes out of projects that are less pro4uctive, an4 losers out of underta)cLags that wou14 otherwise be winners. Choices amng investment pro jects, financial arrangements, and production aet)mds are biased toward Chose tha't are tax~favoredo Se result is a waste of resources. Sigh marginal tax rates amplify the price distortions caused the taz system. both those inherent even in unifozm tazes, 1 e the disincentive to work, and those resulting from lack of unifozmity in the taz treatment of similar activities. The higher the rates. the greater the penalty on fully-taxeR -activities and the greater the value of taz preferences. Za addition, legal tax avoidance and illegal tax evasion e.a axe rewarding with high than with low rates. Sharply graduated rates introduce further 4istortions by encouraging individuals to change the timing of transactions from year to year or to arrange for taxable income and 4eductions to be traded between higher- and lower-taxed individuals. The cost to the economy caaes, again, from exaggerating the relative worth of certain activities that the taxpayer woul4 otherwise find unprofitahla ~ For the act part, both equity and efficiency consi4erations favor uniformity of tax treatment, whichever tax base is chosen. Taz provisions that pe~lize or favor a particular product or production method will "zarely improve either the efficiency or fairness of the system. Uniformity of tax treatment may not always be consistent wit6 simplicity, however. The S licit S tandard Simplicity in the tax system is desirable in order to the costs of complying with the taz laws the costs of record-keeping, calculating, reporting, and planning. Unnecessary complexity erodes taxpayer respect for, an4 voluntary minimize — ccsipliance withe the W. %e cosiplexity of the present let and accaapanying regulations result in aach time an4 talent being 4evoted to understand~ the %hx Cckte in an attemspt to si!LfJLLxe tax payiments ~ Sisiplitying the tax structure cannot be the sole or even the yel of tax policy, honver. masher the desire for a less ccsiplicated systsa aust be balanced against the oftenconflictiny desires for a fairer tax system and for one that interferes less 16th the %r3ciois of the ecouonye h!L extremely simple tax systea auld also be extremely unfair and extremely CcIEinant vasteful. Discussions of tax ccsmplexity often center on the tax return, the mst visible aanifestation of the problea. Zt is inryortant, hoover, to consi4er the issue mre broadly and to Cistincpdsh asia three sources of caiplexitye (1) ceaputations on the tax focal (2) the probleaa of aeasurincg the tax baser and (3) tax planar@. utin taxes is Rat mr@ Qatnk ot as the primary source C of ccsip esty x q out the foaa 1040 aakes aany of us feel that n're back in school and that jipril 15th is the Cate of the final exarch in Sath lllich of the infochstion on the for% is necessary for full. reportiny of receipts free various sources, tor asking appropriate 4istinctions between receipts" and ineaae, and for enforcement of the lax. Other lines that contribute to the coeplexity result from special tax rules that provide a variety of exclusions, adfustaents, deductions, and credits. Still another set of lines is devoted to alternative procedures for Ceteris the tax bill. the neaber of lines on the tax return without the underlying lack of unifornity in deteaILininq the tax base could not substantially sisiplify the systaa. A shale return auld not produce a style tax if tea volumes of Tax Code and three volumes of reyalations vere still recpxired to define the fov Lihes ~ meducinq reaedying the tax base can require coeplicated rules, Since an s to ~ ne accurately and consistently. accurate definition of the tax base is fundamental to a-uniform tax on either inccae or consuawd inccae, the rules to define the RRployees lglul( base for either uniform ibad uould not be simple of inc(me receipts and necessary still need to keepandrecords financial institutions vould still be costs' esiployers required to report infomation sheet emuployees and clients; and businesses still uould have to keep and report complete accounts. wherever possible, bovever, the costs snd uncertILinties of eaapliance vith these rules should be kept to a aixximua. if it Neasurin ~ 10 to reduce taxes is an important source of complexity that receives too little attention. Ieeauae of the uneven treattazpayers ment of different buc similar kin4a of tranaactionsi often go Co great lengths to qualify for the mro favoted taz treatment, such aa vhen partnerahipa of professionals have incorporated to take advantage of favorable pension provisions. devoting aeo attention to Zaveatozs will seek tax shelters, the intricacies of the Tax Code Chan to the merits of the pro)ecto ~ These activiCies have high costa in professional fees tax a4miniatration, an4 inefficiency in the use of scarce capital. With a uniform tax. there vou14 he little reason to ~catch for Cax-favozed activftiea. The advantages of unifozzLity tor efficiency and fairneaa do The tax computation process not alvays earzy over to simplicity. may be aceovhat easier hut the standard tax fozm still vould not fit on a postcard that could be zead vithout a magnifying glass. Measuring the tax hase vould be simpler in aces respects, ~specially under a eonseaed Snccae taz. hut not in all. The ma)or simplification vould probably caae fram reducing the efforts needed to reazzange business affaizs to aiahaise Caz ation ~ pzhaarily y thifozziity in tax treatment vould require consistent of a clearly defined taz base. As ve learned long ago, it ia not enough to 4eclare inccae, or coasted incaae. or paytolls to be the hase foz a tax. Accounting rules must be speeifiedt records must be keptt and repotta vill he required; The kinds of rules and records needed for measuring inccee vill KRovhat dif feront than Chose required for measuring conslsled inccee. even though there are many caamon elements ~ The differences aze important enough Co )ustify describing separately the requirements foz a unifozm tax on total inccee and those for a unifozzL tax on consumed inecae measurement The Unifona Income Tax The Cence of Xncome. Lance many ceeeonplace verde. a on of precise def ia more complicated than, everyday usage suggests. The mat correct 4efinition vhen discussing taxes is the total amount that contributes to a family'a Dividends and consumption in a year or adds to ita not vorth. vages are clearly incaae, for example because %host receipts can be spent for consumption or used to aequizo assets. Zncroaaea in veate4 pension rights or increases in the value of a portfolio aro lees obvious cases. Sut these are also income if they add to real net vorth. Sy contrast, borrowing is a receipt of aah that ia not incane. If the ptoceeds are used to buy aaaeta, Chere f.s no increase in nec vorcht if they are consume4, nec vorth ia y reduced by the amount borroved. There sre 4ifficult gray areas ia nyylyhay the definition of inc«ac that are a constant source of disyute in tat Leyisla Por exemple, e busiaess lunch is tion and administration. partly e business ezpense sad partly aa oeRiaary coasmptioa expenditure. Zn a uniform inccae tax, the coasmytioa yazd should be included ia the iaccme of the employee (or the self~10/ed) not excluded fzcm inde The r og portion should not be taxeR. Determining the right Ieoyortions in various situations is extremely difficult trulp uniform inccsie tax uould roguire accounting for every last dollar of Lnccae, aet of necessary costs. The full measurement of incoae maid iaclude st least the follcwhag itemss 0 lf4ge snd eel~ receipts g aet of access~ empl~e ~ expenses ~ o Replacer contributions to yeasioa, sad other plans. o waylayer retire insurgence contributioas profit-shar~, for health, life, oz other ~ o Isrnings on a11 reserve funds (such as yension reserves) hel4 for futuze yayaeat of employees' benefits o o Ieceiyts of proprietorships, o o o aet of business ezpenses. incc«e. A partner' ~ allocable. shaze of partnership Rent and loyalty iaccae, net of expenses. ill divMead sad interest receipts. Tzansfer yayaeats. 1acludimy a Social security sad railrosd retiz«Neat benefitsg Dhempl~paent Veterans' —Norkers' o pa~ts t beaef its r compensation AX, SSI, o ccmpensation snd othe' disability aad other general ~s, income- relief yapaents. aet of capital losses. Totsl capital ad)usted for inflation. Setaiaed corporate earnings, allocated to shareholders. housing-related costs. 12 Taxation of all inde does not imply the eamplete elis4aation of deductions. Any necessazy costs of eazahsy income This includes 4eduction of interest as a must be 4eductible cost associated with debt-financed assets. Auctions for extraordinary medical costs, casualty losses, state/local taxes, and chazitable contributions all may be defended on grounds that they The basic 4o not represent personal consumption expendituzes. principle of uniform incane taxation is chat deductions not be allowed to 4iscrhainate by source of inccae or accor4ing to consuzlpcion choices ~ Careful consi4eration of the list of items in a uniform incaae base rill explain how that base differs from the present inccae tax. Nome ~antitatfve 4ifferences are indicated in Table 5. This table canpares the 4istribution of taxpayers by Ad)usted Oross ZnccmLe (AOX) class, a custaaazy measure of taxpayers' inches, with the distribution by the broader, uniform inccee definition tor each uniform income class. Table S shows the percentage of taxpayers in each AOZ class. For example, for those with $15, 000-$20, 000 of unifozmly measured incaae, slightly more than half (51.21 percent) also have $15, 000-$20, 000 of AOZ. For most of the remaining taxpayers, AOZ understates incaae. Of those with $1S.000-$20. 000 of uniform about 29 percent are in the $10, 000-$1S,000 class, as measured by AOZg and another 12 percent have less than $10, 000 of AOX. Rae tendency for AOX to un4ezstate uniformly measured incaae appears at every inccae level, and this tendency to understate genez'ally increases as inccae increases. in~, is a useful st4!Hard tor measuring the an4 for evaluating an income tax system. tull measurement of incaae 4oes, however, present a number of formidable practical problems that must be considered if a tax on unifozm incaae is to be considered as a model for tax QRifozm inccmle distribution of tax bur4ens reforms of full Lnccee measurement receipts. In legal jargon, they are not realised. Shen shares appreciate or pension rights increase, ineaae has accrued, but full current measurwent woul4 r«yd. re annual estimates of their values without a market transaction to confizm them. The practical alternative that has generally been fallowed is to wait for a recognition event a sale, exchange, or 4istxibution — before counting the incceae, but this provides the familiar opportunity foz tax deferral. A postponement of tax is, in effect, an inccae tax pre ference o Inflation Ad ustment. Zn a period of inflation, apparent apprec at on o assets may provide na ineae at all. This is true where the appreciation in value is 5ust enough to maintain a family's real wealth. Any aoaller appreciation is really a loss. Thus, if the $100 used to purchase a share of stock 10 years ago is equivalent to $200 at today's prices, no real inccee has been obtained unless sale of the stock brings more than $200- Accurate incaae measurement repaires inflation Xncome Accruabs. RHK A ma)or problem a4fustient foz' any retuxne or costi Chat accrues over Sore Chan a year This mell aeaa indexiny the basis for all capital assets and the face aanInts of all los/ C~ Cebte a torIsidable Cask o eleeent of inccae aeasurssIent that has the years is depreciation accountiny. loss in real value of assets is a a loss of net mrth. Coaeeptually, be value4 in each year ~ and an be provided for basis. Aa a practical Imattex historic practice is to use Che faILLliar forIsulas vith an estimated useful life for each broad class of assets. Znflation adjustment, IIhile widely recognised as necessary, is not univez'sally oz' consistently practiced even foz' purposes of business Cecisionaaking. Nevertheless, accurate estiIaates Of depreciation, adfusted foz inflation, mul4 be necessary foz' a uniform incus Cax ~ Znt tice. One iImylication of the inccae 4efinition is Chat us ess cene ultimately belongs to families (and single individuals), not to the business entities. Znczeases in corporate net mrth, for examyle, belch to the shareholders and are pal of their inccmes. Siailaxly, Cistxibuted earIaimys are inccee only to the shareholder, not also to the corporation. k uniform inccae tax muld tax all corporate eaxnfngs according to the circuastances of each corporate sharehol4er, but only once. Thus, a uniform inccae tax muld repave the inteyation of the corporation and individual taxes. inccee. Naay Other ctical considerations in tax features of Che pz'esen't cue Cax luding some that az' ~ derided as Loopholes, are reactions to the inherent difficulties of incaae oeasureaent. The yartial exclusion of capital gains. ACRS, and LZPO inventory accountiny axe, at least in part, responses to the otherIIise intolerable overstatchent of inccsle Cuxfdhc) periods of inflation Under any pzactical ineae tax, eaae kinds of incoae that are difficult to measure muld have to be excluded or approxiaated. These inclu4e the value of eaployer contributions to group insuxancet the value of cerCain services. such as checkup accounts, that mu14 be taxable if paid out in cashI and especially, the net rental value of eeer~cIIpied hIxaes. Indeed. mst taxyayers I'll refuse to believe that they 4srive incIae frosL their oIe hcIses. The national incus accounts recocphxs this source of incaae by estiIaacimy (or iIsputinq) the amount that hclseoltllexs earn and autcHatically spend bJJ(' renting to theaselves. N serious prcposals for taxiny inccae have included. this item directly, although acae other countries have tried to do so. Some sez'ious base-bzoadeahug yroyosals mu14 disallov the deduction for mrtyage interest, bcwever, as a ny of includinq a portion of the gross return from oIIner-occIzpied housing. De reciation. been mst txo Zt is repaired Aa eaaae over because Che necessary business expense each yhysical asset should inflation adfustsIent shoul4 — ~ ' Some family expenses that Co not, strictly speaking, reduce jneaae are nonetheless vilely recognized aa equitable ad)uatments to an income tax base. tev muld argue, for example, about the 4eduetion of catastrophic medical expenses. Xt ia also vilely recognized that scxie allcwance ahoul4 he made for family aiza and that axe minhaal level of tax-free inccae should he allowed alike to evezy family of a given aine. Zo suIIIary a practical u!LLfozm inde tax vith no real compromises, hut with minimal recognition of measurement yroblama, mull necessarily involve considerable complexity, alcaic with some approximations and saae exclusions. Zt would also retain some ot the present personal 4eduetiona at least those for certain interest expenses, employee business exyenaes, investment ezpenaea and extraordinary medical coats. Thus, acme lack of unifoxmity ia inevitable. Some recent yroyoaala, such aa the one by Senator Iradley and 4presentative Oephar4t, attempt to move towaxd a more uniform incaae tax hase. But no yropoaals have really attempted to solve the fundamental problems of defining real investment incaee Curing inflation. Indeed, the Iradl~ephardt proposal would make the taz less unifoxm in a aa)or vay by taxing fully the ncmLinal increase in the value ot capital assets, even though tor any taxpayer, the gains from an asset may be larlely, or entirely, the result of intlation Zn a44ition, acme ot the real gains are increaaea in corporate share values that reflect inccae already taxed to corporations. The Sradle~ephardt proyosal also haa not addressed the other 4ifficult problems of measuring business inccee or integrating the corporate tax. Another area of contzoversy ia personal deductions The SradleyMphardt hill muld continue to allcw certain of these deductionar but they would not allcw them uniformly for all taxpayers. tor taxpayers above $40, 000 of taxable income on a )oint return, a portion ot the deduction ia effectively 4eni«R. Zf these deductiona axe necessary to assure that those of equal means are treated equally, one must aak vhy they ahoul4 not be Sally allowed at every inccee level. with moat people'a conception of equity Those vith equal incomes, regardless of the sources or uses, muld pay approximately the same tax. Sa one could escape tax by choosing particular employers or occupations an4 by making particular inveatmenta ~ After base broadening haa been achieved, and tax rates have been lowered in all classes, vould also be possible to a45uat the tax rate schedules to make them more procpessive or less. Z vant to riiterate, hcwever. that the 4~ca of progressivity is not a consequence of the base broadening. Znstead, ahoul4 be viewed aa an independent decision to change the existing distribution of taz burdens. Unlike present lav, hcwever, whatever rata structure ~ i, ~ chosen under a uniform tax muld accurately it it portray the distribution of tax. Ifficien Considerations. Oaifozm taxation r~e tax sto ons rm the marketplace. under current lmi many of ines mould tor example. of ma frin e benefits from taxable ation encourages uorkezs to choose more fringe e ts they uould if all forms of cceqensation mre taxed equally. The tax exclusion for employer»paid medical insurance is a ma)or contributor to the ever»consumption of health services and to the continuiihg rapi4 rise in health care costs. preferential tax treatment amon industries distorts nvestment ec s ouse for examples the capital gains treatment for livestock or the expense@ of mining costs alll& those in4ustries to attract investors in pro)ects that yield laver pre tax retuxns than those in other The exclusion industries. The s te rate QlccRe tax distorts econ4LLc decisions. Iy imposing a double tax on dividends, the corporate inane tax encourages firms to issue debt rather than equity, and to retain earnings rather than to pay out dividends. Zt also favors the unincorporated business over the corporation, and it favors industries -typically chazacterise4 by no~xporate enterprises (principally a~icultuxe, housing, and services) relative to industries loainated by corporations. Accelerated cost recove and the investment tax credit ve r Qc ~ excessive tax Qr en on 1&estment ~quipment and machines, but the inmaae tax continues to fall heavily on investments in structures and inventories This 4Hf erential distorts choices 0f production methods and raises the relative tax burden on activities and industries that naturally require aero higher»taxed ~ of the heavily taxed capital. OhifoxsLLty %luld reduce the expense and ef fort involved tax platuhag and allcw markets to choose the most productive uses of available capital. Zt mull encourage employers to pay canpensation in the form that is valuable to their cash to consume or save as they uish. All of these represent yahoos in economic efficiency. k great disadvantage of the inccae tax is its built-in bias against saving. %ae income tax discourages saving by reducinq the rate ot return to the saver belier the market return derived from investing in capital. taxpayer Who ~ul4 be villing to postpone consumption to obtain a 10 percent return, thereby ma)hag resources available for capital formation, may not be rilling to make the same sacrifice for a 4 percent return, after-tax. %his is wt a douhle tax on sashes as aaae have asserted: it is a single tax on capital inccee. Iut this ~ker~ld I single tax has the inevitable consequence of re4ucing the reward f r defying co~etio and, th~, by a+i g less s vtng the future growth and available for investment productivity of the eccecssy. A uniform inemo tax would be simpler in some Si licit present law, but it cannot be really simple. tor respects ~xampleg businesses with capital expenditures must account for Are accurate depreciation rules are likely to be depreciation. more complicated and contentious. This is especially true in a period of inflation, which also ccmplicates the valuing of inventories and the proper calculation ot capital gains an4 1osses e Aaather illustration is fringe benefits of eaployees. These axe often close substitutes for cash wages. When they are excluded from the tax base, they provide a convenient means for avoiding tax and, thus, contribute to the perception of unfairness. Iut many fringe benefits, like the personal use of company cars, are difficult to distinguish from properly exclu4able business expenses, an4 many others, like employer-pai4 group insurance, are not easily value4 for each employee. OeRuctions and ad)useaents to the inceae of employees also complicate the measurement of the tax base but many of these are necessary to reflect differences in ability to pay. Novtng costs, employee business expenses, interest expenses, and extraordinary medical expenses may be examples. A, tax system that allows too few ad)ustments of this type can be just as unfair(though perhaps simpler) as one with too many exclusionsNeither a uniform tax on all incaae nor on consaaed inccae would end the ecaplexity of measuring income. Nore uniform treatment would, however, simplify tax practice by reducing the number and importance of the fine distinctions needed to i4entify tax-favored activities. The computation of tax liability can be complicated under present law by incaae averaging, the alternative miniaen tax. and options of filing status, and by various tax credits, ocae of which have complicated liaitations. k ~re uniform definition of the tax base and a flatter rate schedule would reduce many o! these complexities. Za general, a mre uniform income tax presents 4ifficult policy tra4eoffs in the area of simplification- The aero we attempt to make the inaae tax uniform in every particulax, the mre complicate4 the rules asst beccee. The are rough-and-ready rules, the are opportunities are created for otherwise unpro4uctive tax avclidance and the %Ore inepities are created. Q~s . Transition Considerations. Tnaaediate implementation of a uniform tax structure wou cause significant changes in the value of individuals' assets and after-tax incomes. Such changes auld create windfall gains for sees individuals an4 unfair ' in~ 10$$0$ for othe?s ~ Those clLangos in wealth and after-tax can bo Lsodoxatod by transition rules, such as phasing-in provisions of a now lawe grandfathering an4 delaying off ective 4ates ~ Transition rules for a Qnifozm inccwo tax should insure that once under tho prior systeIL and a second the under the now tax law, Conversely, a taz chango Should not result in acme inc~ never being subject to tor instance, the Ozclusion Of Social security benefits and the 40 percent exclusion of long-teria capital gains coul4 still apply to accrued. but Qnroalixody incM0 prior to tho effective date of tho now law o Benefits Cr real gains accrued after tho ~ ffective date, however, should be fully sub)ect to tax Transition rules can also rodQce tho and wealth redistribution resulting fraa changes in relative tax rates. The value of assets that currently receive favorable taz troatzLont Such as state and local govormaent bonds ~ would fall as deaand for those assets 4eclined under a Qniforli taz Zadividuals who had aade specific investaents ~tructure. because of favorablo tax txeatlsmLt auld suf fox 10$$0$ ~ Orandfathering existing tax treatment for the life of the asset or as long as the owner retained control, or delaying the effective date, would reduce the present value of the loss on inc~0 is not sub)oct to tax twice in~ tax- favored assets. The design of transition rules Shoul4 weigh the advantages of increased efficiency and shaplicity of a unifozIL taz structure against the wealth and incline effects caused by the change in taz laws+ Transition rules can r04uco the SLMunt of windfall gains and losses ~ but only by delaying impleaentation and increasing the complexity associated with the now tax systas. Grandfathering assets purchased under prior law could involve delays in impleaontation of the now taw for up to 30 years on long-lived assets Alternatively, delaying the effective 4ate of the new law could Shorten the transition period while reducing the present value of the windfall gain or loss. Daring tho transition period, the inccme tax base would be lower than the ulthnats base. which wou14 necessitate higher temporary tax rates for a given lovel of revenue. Qnifora Tax on Consulted Zhccas Cence t of Consumed Zncomm. Ra alteznativo aodel for tax orm tax on 0 aaunt of inccae consaaed, rather refoaa s a than cn tho aoaunt of ineaao earned. The unifoza tax on consumed inccee would differ from the unifona inccae tax by excluding net Saving frasL the tax base. This alternative aadel for tax refornL does not represent as radical a departure froa current law as it Nght seen. Za aaay ways, the current rules applying to Saving are ILuch clo'ser to those repaired under a taz on consmed inccae than to rules necessary under a uniform inde tax. In particular, two important sources of saving for many families homeownership an4 retirement saving are taxed almost the same way under current law as they uould be taxed under a consumed incene tax with a deduction for saving. Sfailazly, the adoption of the Accelerated Cost Recovery System in ERTA moved the tax treatment of business investments in machinery an4 ayaiyeeat much closer to the treatment required under a consumed incaae tax. Provisions in the tax law that allow expensing of certain capital investments, such as mining exploration and development expenses, and rules that permit mst costs of research and develoyaeat to be expensed rather than capitaliaed are also consistent with a — consumed ineae base. issue of whether inccae consumed or incaae earned is the base for a tax system has been debated for any year ~ by tax theorists and social philosophers ~ Some prominent twenty eth centuxy econcaLsts, including Professor Irving tisher of Tale University an4 Professor Nicholas Kaldor of Cambri4ge University, have advocated ocae form of tax on personal consumption as a substitute for the personal incaae tax. The idea of taxing personal consumption rather than incus has gained increasing favor and was given favorable consi4eration in the Treasury Degereaent study, Slue rints tee Sasic Tax Refona, released in e Report o e Mea e Commission in the January, 1977, and United Khagdom in 197S The appropriate Under the consumed inccee tax, the taxpayer vould include in his tax base all forms of current Nnetary incus, the current consumption value of all fringe benefits supplie4 by employers, and the proceeds of all borrowing, in excess of loan repayaents. The taxpayer would be allowed to deduct from the tax base all purchases, in excess of sales, of incca~arning assets, and all deposits. in excess of withdrawals in interest bearing accounts. Accrued interest earnings from ownership of corporate shares increases in the value of pension an4 life insurance reserves, and other increases in the value of asset holdings would not be ~ubject to tax until pai4 out or withdraw for consumption. ks a simple example, a family with $20, 000 of wages out of which $4, 000 is saved ~aid be taxed on $16, 000. not on $20, 000 as under a uniform inccae tax. On the other hand, if the family spent ~re than it earned say $25, 000 by borrowing or dipping into its savings account for the extra. $5, 000, it auld be taxed on the $25, 000 of consumption. Since total consumption in the economy is less than ineeeo, tax rates uould need to be higher to — generate the same QRlunt Of Revenues The tax on consmae4 inccme auld be similar in many ways to the uniform incaae tax and would involve many of the same basebroadening steps, as em~ared with current law. Bach taxpayer would continue to file an annual tax return that auld be similar to the current Pen 1%0, though sceewhat simpler. All forms of employee caapeasation (except for employer contributions to pension plans) and all personal deductions (except for interest deductions) woul4 be treated the same as un4er the uniform income tax. Wages and salaries {net of necessary eaployee expenses), the value of «Iployez-provide4 fringe benefits, and transfer Personal deductions payaents would be include4 in the tax base other than interest 4eductions and 4$4uctions necessary to $0asuze ability to pay, ouch as a deduction for catastrophic ae4ical expenses, would be eliminate4. There woul4 be no tax credits, except for the foreign tax credit. The 4100 dividend exclusion, the provisions exeaLptiIIg fram tax certain fons of interest inccee. such as inccae from All Savers certificates, and the exclusion frca tax of 50 percent of recognised capital gains auld all be eliILLnated under both the unifozm inaae tax and the unifozm tax on consume4 inc«We. Because only individuals consume, there would be no separate corporate tax nor any need to integrate personal and corporate earnings. Taxable income of an individual would include distributions from corporations and individuals' sales of corporate shazes. Zn effect, corporate incaae would be taxed Ietained when it found its way into individual consumption. ~azILLngs would receive no tax advantage over dividends, so A attributing retentions to stocIcholders would be unnecessazy. tax on consumed inccae would, however, encourage corporations, particularly closely-held corporations, to buy consumption for their «nployees, permitting the workers to evade taxes unless fringe benefit zules were tightly drawn and applie4. The sapor differences between the two tax systems involve 4ifferences in the treatment of saving and borrowing. Under the tax on consumed incaae, 4eductions woul4 be allowed for all purchases of corporate shares, corporate and governwwent bonds, shazes of mutual funds and other financial instruments, assets used in a trade or business. and deposits in interest-bearing accounts. Any cash receipts fr«a such assets. either in the form of distributed earnings. return of investment, or realised gains, would be sub)ect to tax- 4iNLilarly, the proceeds of all borzowing would be included in the tax base, while both interest payaents ind repayaent of loan principal woul4 be deductible. %e inclusion of net loan proceeds in the tax base is particularly important. Otherwise, taxpayers coul4 reduce their tax by taking a deduction for the portion of assets acquized from borrowed funds, even though the ccmbinatian of borrowing and puzchase of assets does not add to net saving ~ price of The purchase consumer assets, such as owne~ccupied baaes. autaaobiles, and furniture would not be deductible in the same way as business investments. While business assets yiel4 inccae in the form of interest, dividends, or capital gains consumer assets produce inct55e in the form o f services~the use of the bouse or caz e For invescMot in business and consumez assets to be treated the same would require an estimate of the annual value of the services that the house or the car or the furniture provides an estimate of their rental value. Since this woul4 be extremely difficult to accomplish and a method that is approximately for the taxpayer to understand ~ e fn preseat n?ue terms, would be used instead. Qador individuals would neither include loaa proceeds for these purchases fa fa~e, nor would they be able to deduct loan rope@sents. Za addftfoa. the tax liability for withdrawals fxcm savings accounts use4 to finance purchases of housing and autcRobf les Right be sprea4 out over a period of years ~ These special provisions woul4 aller the tax liability arisiag trai consumption of the services of houses, autcxaobiles, aad other major coasumer durables to be spread mre evenly over the useful life of the asset, rather thaa being assessed all at once at the time of acquisftfoa. The tax oa coasume4 fnccae wou14 recyafre scxie different, but not moro complicated, reportfIIg aad record-keepiag information than the uniform faccae tax. Taxpayers would aced to report both purchases an4 sales of all capital assets, but there voul4 bo no aced to maintain records for assets purchased ia previous years, because the entire sales proceeds, not just the gaia, would bo subject to tax upon sale The tora 1099 sent, by banks aad other depository institutions to report taxable interest to iadivi4uals epafvalent, this method, vould be altered slightly. Zastead of reportiag annual interest Set frcii accounts, Wtm 1099 would report aet withdrawals. withdrawals vou14 be computed by a44iag together the beginning ef year balance aad interest received aad thea subtracting the ead of year balaace. tor example, ff additions to savings accounts exceeded iaterest earnings vfthdrava from the accounts, the individual woul4 be able to claim a deduction. There woul4 also aced to be an accountiag for all loaas received. but thoro would be ao need to divide loan repspaeats betvoea principal aad interest, since all loan repayaeats voul4 be deductible. ~Su~it ~ A uniform tax cn consumed faccINe would have saio of the same equity benefits, ccsapared to current lav, as would a uniform tax oa all inccxae. Two ia4ividuals with the same coasted incciao would pay the ssmo tax, regardless of the source of funds used for consumptioa or the types of coasumer goods current lav allows tax advantages for inccee in certain forms. such as transfer payments and tax-exempt Riage benefits, or vho spend fnccIBe on certaia goods and services, such as home iasulation expeadituros purchased. indivi4uals cpaalifyfag Zn contrast, who receive for resideatial energy credits Eowover. under the uniform tax oa consumed faccmLe, two indivi4uals with the same total inc&me sLfght pay very different amounts of tax, dependiag on hcw much each in4ivi4ual saved. To take an extras example, consider a very frugal person earaiag $100.000 a year who saves $90, 000 a 4 consumes oaly $10, 000. Older a coasted faeae tax, ash i person would pay the same taxes as a person vho earned only $10.000, but consumed all of hfs earnings. A uniform income tax would tax the person earring $100, 000 more than the person eazniag oaly $10.000. This example might lead many persons to conclude that a uniform income tax is fairer than a unif ozm tax on cons1%04 more taxes. income because the pezson earning more shou14 % alternative example, however, often lea4s topaythe opposite conclusion. Consider the heir of the frugal person Who earns only $10.000 but cons~s $90, 000 a year by selling part of his inheritance each year. Under a unifozm incane tax, this wealthy person with a very high standax4 of living wi11 pay the same tax as a poorer person earning and spending 410, 000 a yeaz ~ %he consumed inccxwe tax, however, places a heaviez tax bur4en on the pezson spen4ing $100, 000 a year even though that person eazns only $10, 000. Thus, ccIIpared to a uniform inccme tax, the consumed inccIae tax falls less heavily on the person who lives frugally and aceaulates wealth and are heavily on the person who lives well by selling ~alth. %he uniform inccaIe tax has the opposite effect in that places a higher tax burden on the person who ace3mulates wealth than on the person who spends it it. The above examples do not clearly demonstrate whether or not a consumed inccee tax is less eyaitable than a uniform tax on all inccIIe. There is, however, a furthez' issue. Za many cases wealth is not spent by later generations but/ indeed is increased from genezation to generation. Under the consumed inccIae tax. such permanently growing estates would never be sub]ect to inccae taxation. Zf this is a matter of concern, an estate tax can be designed as a complement to the consumed inccee tax to limit the tax free aceaulation of wealth over many generations. Under a unifozm income tax, or even under our current tax system. an estate tax imposes a true 4ouble tax on wealth, because accumulations of wealth are taxed as inccxae is saved. One's attitude toward an estate tax might be much different under a consumed inde tax as there would be no double tax on wealth. Ih chat case ~ scwse ~ght be Aire willing to use an estate tax to provide a single tax on the transfer of very large estates. Distribution of tax burdens. L uniform tax on consaaed inccae would allow personal exemptions for taxpayers and could tax the rHRining consumed inccRe in excess of exemptions at ~ithez' a single rate or with a graduated structur ~ involving tax on consumed inccIIe is not several rate bracketsinhezently more or less favozable to high-incaae households than a uniform inaee tax, even though low inccxIe households genezally consume a larger fraction of their inc@ac than highMer either uniform tax system, the inccee households. 4istribution of the tax burden among taxpayers with different abilities to pay could be altere4 by changing the basic exemption level and the rate structure. ~ I . k Qnifozm tax on consumed inde auld also tfficien have many o the same benefits in reproved economic efficiency lhuRer either form of os would a uniform tax on all inde uniform taxation, the tax system wou14 no longer bias choices among investment projects, aethods of finance, and 4ifferent consumption goods. Ioth tax systems auld be neutral among neutral between 4obt different typos of capital invostmonts and non corporate corpoz'ato botwoon neutral and olplity finance t forms of enterprise, and neutzal between constr goods and services generally and certain goods and sorvicesp OQch as aodical insurance, that receive tax benefits under current law. k further advantage of a tax on consumo4 inccglo is that, unlike the uniform inccae tax, . woul4 not cause a disincentive Since saving is exempted from Cor saving and capital formation. the tax base, all consumption auld bo taxed when it occuzs, whether finance4 Crom the proceeds of current earnings or from the proceeds of 'accumulated savings. Zn contrast, under a uniform income tax, consumption made possible by past saving is: eases betars is secure, ubea sbs taeme ts assess. tbe presses salus at esses esa be lseerea by motet sbs ahstap at eaasuapstsa forward. either by reducing saving or by increasing borrowing. inecme tax, a tax on consumed incaae CCLLLpared to a uniform saving rate, lea4ing to higher in a result woul4 probably increased capital formation, a higher growth rate in the short run. and a permanently higher level of output in the long run. it Ecwever, the exclusion of savings free the tax base also aeans that a tax on consaiod inecae auld require slightly highs!' tax rates to raise the same revenue as a uniform tax on all inccae. higher tax rates would inczease the disincentive to work to obtain current consumption goo4S an4 woul4 worsen the distortions from any preferences that might rmain in the tax system. Treasury's estimates indicate that the rate 4ifferential would not be large, so that the iLmpact of the 4ifferential woul4 a1so be small. I lici ozm ~ k tax on consLsaed incaae woul4 be much simpler incaae tax, oven though scee new reporting would be added. The main shnplicity advantage of the tax on consumed incaae is that it avoi4S many of the severe problems in aoasuzing the tax base that are encountere4 under a unifoaa tax on all incaae. The main simplification benefit fraa is taxing inccRo only when consaN4 rather than when oaznedt value that there would bo no need to account for changes in thowould be of assets between two different tax yeazs. Thus, there no need for complex rules for depreciation accoanting, no need to adfust the aeasuroment of capital incaie for inflation, and no need for complex rules to allocate corporate retained earnings amng shareholders and to allocate accumulations of pension fund hll purchases and life insurance reserves among policyholdez's. than a un reyairsments %23m of productive assets auld be iIIIediatelf 4eductible in the ~ax yurchase4. Chere auld be no separate tax on the inde of corporations, only a tax on 4istributions few corporations to Qdividuals and on sales of corporate shares Since all assets mnald be purchased eath yre-tax 4ollars, the entire sales proceeds, not only the gaia, be subject to tax- ~14 One version of a flat tax that tax on consmeR incus is S. 2147+ introduce4 hy Senator DeCoacicd. S. 2147 is base4 on the flat tax proposal developed hy Iobert Eall and Alvin Rabushha of the Soccer Znstitution. Index S. 21I7, there mall be a single rate tax on eeyloyee cmyensation and on business cash floe. Corporations an4 non-corporate business entities meld be taxeR on total revenues less purchases of assets, ncges, and yechases of tercet yxkls an4 services Ace other fiaaa. Dividends an4 pageants auld not be deductible in caiputinq the business tax, nor uould they be includible in the inaae of the reciyient. S ~ 2147 vouldi in effects taz R)st of the cons%504 incus of individuals, other than consumption frca ages, at the enterprise level. the single tax rate makes it yossible to use cash flov of business enterprises as a proxy for the cash flov of oeers and creditors of business firms Such a simplifyiay device could not be used in any system Wth Iraduated rates or individual exemptions that apply to conscription out of yast savage as mell as to current age inccae. Other Cons tes a approx ion Taxes. orm . Aaother +ay of taxiny consumIMon is to collect the entire tax from business fians, either in the form of a retail sales tax retail or as a tax on value added at each stage of yro4uction. ~ales taz or a value-added tax. if sufficiently general, coul4 be desig004 to have the 84IM total taz base as the ~fox% tax on consumed incaae. Scwever. any tax on business sales could not adequately ta3cs account of variations in individuals' ability to pay. Sy its very nature, such a tax could not maintain the overall progressivity of the current incaae taz and could not, provide basic personal exemptions for lov-tneeme households. Zn constrast, the u'nifozm tax on consumed incaae enald achieve the major benefits of a sales tac simplicity and improveR necessarilp redistributing the taz savings incentives~ithout burden free high-inccae to lminccae families. i — Aa in the case of the uniform Transition Considerations. inccae taz, movement tcwar a uniform taz on consaaed ineae of malth would involve siyaificant chaeges in the distribution Wansition and inceee that could be limited by transition rules. rules for a uniform tax on consumed inccee are especially important to ensure that inaae does not escape tazation or is not subject to tax tarLce. Older persons could be subject to tax twice if their consumption during retirement 4epends on realth acceaulated out of after-tax incaae. Treating all existing tax-paidg Scwoverg auld result in incus chealth as if it ~e from certain assets escaping taxation completely since many ~xisting assets have been purchased with pre tax 4ollars. This of indivi4ual retireaent and Keogh is true, for example,received under gualifie4 yension or profitaccounts. benefits sharing plans, and untaxed acaxnulations, such as unrealixed capital gains or accrual of Q.fe insurance reserves. Transition rules to a uniform coasted-in~ tax would r«pairs the same tradeoffs between eyaity, efficiency, and simplicitg as transition rules to a uniform income tax ~ For instance, designation of existing wealth as tax-paM assets would not require measuring existing wealth, but it woul4 allow ecae consumption to escape taxation completely ZdentHying snd measuring assets according to whether Chg were establish«R out of pre tax or after-tax inccee woul4 be ekainistratively 4ifficult. Delaying the implementation of the consumed income tax would repairs higher taxes on conseaytion 4uring the transition period and would reduce the yresent value of efficiency gains from the imposed tax system. - Sy-and-large, a uniform tax bas«R on conseaal S income ~ consMerable appeal as a model for tax reform. It woul4 allow for important simplifications in the taxation of the return to savings an4 woul4 reaeve the disincentive to saving yresent under both current law and a uniform income tax. however, a tax on consumed inccee would be considered inecpxftable by acee because it would allow wealth to be accumulated tax-free. Zt would also recpire higher tax rates to raise the same revenue than would a uniform incaae tax, although el&Enation of many 4«Ructions, exclusions, and cre4its could enable the tax rates tc be lower than current law tax rates. CCNICZ1JSZCN There are, Chen, two models for evaluating flat-tax proposals, the ineaae tax an4 the consumed-inecaae tax. The current Tax Code is a hybrM of the two structures that also contains a substantial number of provisions inconsistent with both. Zn fact, it is impossible to say whether current law is closer to a uniform incaae tax or to a uniform tax on consum«R inc c%0 ~ N4+Y recent changes in the tax laws and aaay proposed x'ef orms have been consistent wi th one or boch of che uniform structures. There have .been recent actions partially to Sarther in 197$ to tax a portion of a good example kay such change is in line with both concepts of uniformity. There have also been actions to encourage saving for special purposes, such as the expansion of the availability an4 uses of IRAa and Keoghs. These aeve the tax law closer to a consum«R~xpand Che unemplayaent tax base The mme compensation is inccae tax and further away tree a unifozm inccae tax. The jsportant accelerated cost recovery provisions enacted in the mconcxaic Recovery Tax Act of 19Sl again meed our tax structure towar4$ a tax on cons~ed incaae. There have been other changes in the law to require better aatchiny of inccae an4 related 4e4uctions. Such reforms are consistent only with an inecee tax. Recent tax law changes dealing with ccepleted contract accountiny, capitalixation of construction perio4 interest and taxes related to real property, and the cut back of 4eductions for mineral exploration costs and intangible driLLhug and develcqeent costs all represent shifts toward a uniform inccse tax e Not all the recent zevisions in the tax laws have been consis'tent Id th the two $04els hNlover provisions such as expansion of the general interest exclusion, the exclusion ot interest on 411 Savezs certificates, credits for exploration, research and develayaeat, and earned incame all lNuld appeaz in neithez of the two structures ~ hay future changes in the structure of our taxes should be en~ based on a clear understanding of uniform structures. Anyone. addressinq fundamental tax refozm needs to have a uniform fraseerk in aLad. Host proposals touted as basic tax refoa! are incoaplete and contain features avtny in exactly the wrong dizection. This aLsdirection is not for lack of Lofty objectives- Rather, appears to result free lack of a uniform fraaework that will repairs aakiaq very tcegh, unpopular 4ecisions along with the easy ones. it The Treasury RpartSOnt is ccNltinQfJRJ its study of these and will be happy to share additional results with the Concpess as they beccxie available. issues ~ Total LdabQiey md Aerage Too Rate! Onder ~ Ittifora Ittme Tao tieh a 83,000 Deduction ter Return for Jojttt Recess (42, 000 Sittgla Ratcrna) cad e 81,000 mtaoptioa ter Dependant aad %der Preoeae her 0981 Leeela) t e t 4000) S Loaa chan 0 t Tax ttndae ~ ttaif om t t eas mich ~ t 16.27 arcent tax rata t , percent ef Percent ef t iicoae Aaatltt mkf om Tao ttndar 1984 lett Ikllioaa 83,507 t Ql ercant) ! t 4 eillioea t percentage change t froe t t t t peacoat 0, 0! coos 4 aillioaa) 8 3s507 lav t percent) ~100.02 5 1S 775 2.9X $39080 5, 0 ls305 73.5 5 10 8, 200 5sO 15,402 9,4 7, 202 47. 4 10 15 14, 611 7.2 22s563 11.2 7, 952 54.4 lS ~ 20 19,7S4 9.4 25, 792 12.2 6,038 30. 6 20 30 48s208 57, 444 13.0 9, 236 19.2 30 50 76,339 10.9 13.0 80, 574 13.7 4, 235 5.5 50 100 47, 068 18.1 37,557 14.5 9, 5Q 20. 2 100 200 23, 874 25.5 14,282 15.3 9 ' 592 25, 223 33.6 lle908 13)315 S~a, SSS 944 0 ~ 200 and over 9~26$, S S tt. SS Ottica of thE Sacratar7 of tha Troaae?7 Office of Tao Aaalyaia ll Zttclssdaa tha attribtttabla chare of ehe corporatien S ittcoea taz. ~ &0.2 ~52 4 0.01 ceaSabEz SL 9999 Table 2 Toeal LfaNliey aa6 krcrc$o Tea Raeoc eador a Ihifoea Imcmo Tac etch a $6, 000 Deducehm ter Rctera for Joice Rcecrcc ($4, 000 $itLglo Raecrac) ~ak a $2, 000 Ramptioa Por Ooyealoat aak eaLor Procoae Lee (1941 Xarolc) 1' g I I Taa acier a mifoaa Caa %PCCh a C Perccat of 20e00 ereoct eax rate ~itch torcoat of Sacme Jaeeat mif orm Tas micr 1984 acct $000) $3,507 immit fmc~ t Loco thea 0 t ?crcectag 0 So 4o CL 06 56 ! 9rccect f t a ahccge roc 1av 6 mi115oac ercect) $3~507 «1,00.01 «1~423 «40, 2 25 ~ I 0 5 1,775 2 92 5 10 $,200 So0 10 «15 14s 611 72 14,2$1 9 1 1,054 3,670 20 19~754 9,4 23,594 D2 SI844 20 30 4$, 20$ Syol04 13 0 $, 896 30 «50 76,339 13 0 $5, 801 14.6 9,463 12.4 50 100 47I06$ 1$1 42~668 W, 400 9.3 100 «200 23~ $74 25+5 16,930 1$il &,944 29 ~ 1 25, 223 S3 6 l4, 4$1 19.3 10,742 200 cad oror $~264, R $264, 473 Office of ehc Secretary of thc Trcaccry Office of Taa Analycic Q Xaclclcc chc aetrQNtchla oharo of tho corporacioa jshc~ taa. « ~. 6 0.01 Scpeeeber 27, 198 Total LiabGSCp aed Leera$e TM Ratee Qadee ~ Qeifot% at h4a CL941 Tax ader Tsc~ Leeela) t Taa cadet ~ eELLf e!R . tax eath a t c 13.48 erceet tax race carcoat ot ' terat ot eaif oea ' mirza asamt ~ s Taà Lee 1944 lan g/ 8 c heaat Chee8e I Pert eLlta6 s ' I t ($000 Laae S !hie 0 fe tax s $11110ILI EXCERPT S $1llfJRLS 0, 02 seas 83,507 pERMSC) S RillflhlS) 8 3e507 ahau8e lei sPCII~RC lOO. I5 - 5 1,775 2.9% 87, 853 12i9 6, 078 342.4 5 ~ 10 4, 200 5+0 20, 382 12, 4 12,171 148.5 10 15 14' 611 72 25~283 12.5 10,672 73.0 15 20 19~ 754 9, 4 26o863 12.7 71109 36' 0 20 30 48, 208 56, 705 -12.9 8,497 17.6 30 50 76,339 50 100 47, 068 33o475 ~13e593 28.9 100 ~ 200 23o874 12o255 ~11m 619 ~8.7 200 aad ewer 25s223 15o251 60.5 0 13.0 33.6 9, 972 13.1 13.3 826Fii3 11K,551 Office of che Secretary of the Office of Tax keel@cia 1/ Zaclidee the attribetable 75, 644 Treachery chare of tha car@erotica Cacoae tax. ~6 O. R Seyceaber 24, 19SZ Total LiahQie7 anil Avara8e TSR Rates Qh4er a Qsfforn Incone Tax Utch a $3o000 Damnation ter Reenen foe Joint Neenrne Q2o000 Sfnjie $aenens) an6 ~ $1,000 Eamyeion ter lapea4eae aaL Qsler treeene Lav 8981 Levels) t Tax osier 1984 lav Jl c ! a vniforn a pro$rcesive tax race sche4slle 2/ tereene of Tan valor ean vich tarcaae of gI mifoen iaouae ancona t (4000) 4 niliions t (percent 4 ! !t t tercencego I nnifoen t nillions inc~ percent Chsnee free tresenc lsv t c 4 nillions) percent ~W Lese chan 0 $3o507 OoOX $3,50'7 I 0 2.92 5 $2o$93 1,266 1$,904 10.9 45o 091 10.2 3, 117 W. 6 76o339 13o0 80,169 13 7 3o430 5.0 47, 068 1$.1 47o568 18.3 500 25 5 25, 069 26. 8 lo195 33 6 26ol56 33.5 934 IO So200 5 0 9,467 10 15 14, 611 7.2 14,56$ 15 20 19o 754 94 20 30 48o208 30 ~ 50 50 ~ 100 100 ~ 200 25, 223 s~zs, sss ssss, sss Tnclnoaae eho aetrQnatable share of eha I. 15 ~ 4326 cortorat~ i 2/ for boint reenrns the nar4inai Car rates are 10 percent 25 percent froa A9 500 Co 475 000 and 39 percent s jnSIe retnenes Che brachet v&ths aee half tha ]oint ~the first $19,500 3 5.0 3.7 Q, OX Septenber, Office of che Secretary of che Teeaenry Office af Tan Analysis 1/ I 5.4 7.2 9.0 5 200 mal over 6.6 3,1 19& Table 5 Percentage Diatrlbutlon by treaent Adjueted green s inc cue s c1eee ($000) Un Lena chan 0 s 0 5-10 5 s s 10-1S 0.15 0. 11 5 44. 34 95.31 49.54 16.77 5- 10 15 3,09 0, 45 45, 13 - 4.49 3,74 20 2, 56 0.14 30 4.53 0, 19 30 50 1.14 50 100 3,00 0.05 0.0l lN- 2N 0067 2N~ 5N 0.12 10 15 20 - 500 an4 over Total s s 15-20 s ONO s 20 30 s I 5 30-50 s 50-100 1.01 0, 15 24, 52 0.04 4.44 7.91 1 15 0.04 3.54 0.43 0.56 0.17 44.29 29.0$ 5.67 OA4 4.33 51.21 20.75 1.21 1,56 66.56 0.36 6.22 0.99 0.04 O. OS 0, 10 0.01 Office of the Secretary of Office of Tar lnalyeia +Lore than O. N5 percent, s s lN-2Ns 2N SNs 100.00 100.00 Che Treaeury 100.00 100.00 0.04 0.24 0,01 0002 26, 71 0.02 0.14 0.24 0.40 0.13 0.96 500 and s s total 0,02 0,07 4, 54 69,40 32.30 0,46 0.27 0.01 1,57 64, 74 0.03 Ioo. 00 1N000 0.16 0.09 OAi 33046 0001 0001 14.54 11041 0.01 4,64 00 ll 0003 11059 40.96 0.99 0,07 2.46 1,05 57041 49A9 2007 0047 0.02 0.42 0.02 44.61 43Ai 0.54 54, 26 0.09 0.01 100.00 100.00 100.00 O. OS 100.0O s ove 0.30 0 lucre Clara lforn Incone Clean s 27.95 Leer than 0 of Ieturna in Ibslforn ancona CLaaaeao La» A4Juated Groaa 100.00 100.00 Septenbar ~ 942 DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY WASHINOTON. DA'. SC20 COWCSElClll 7 TNR MCRCTARY MEMORANDUM Decmaber FOR THE NATIONAL B. 2, 1982 PRODUCTIVITY ADVISORY COIINITTEE FROM: ROGER SUBJECT: The Subcommittee POINTER /gjP on Human Resources Attached for your review and consideration is the Subcommittee on Human Resources paper and recommendations on Health Care Costs and Productivity. The Committee did not have time to discuss these recoamendations at the October 1 meeting and decided to postpone consideration until December 14. At the October 1 meeting of the ComaLt. ttee, the Subcommittee Resources also presented a series of recoaaaendations for expanding the use of bipartite and tripartite employeemanagement-government committees and cooperative councils. In on Human it recommended that the Committee discuss further at December 14 meeting the idea of a national employee-management-government forum to consider public and private sector issues concerning productivity, product quality and the quality of working A copy of the Subcommittee's paper containing this proposal (recommendation 05) is attached. addition, its life. Attachments Iiealth Care Costa and teeluctivi Factual iettin expenditures ia the gaited Itates zose fzcsL g, O rcent of Cross Rational product ga 1965 to 9 $ percent 19$1~ or 41g225 pez person) oz QQ aifg5$ate og +$6 ~ $ chealth ~ billions. ~ ~~e Rising health care Ixpendituzes are aot to the Iaite4 States ~ Other vestezn industrialige4 countzies J~ve Igperfence4 aimilaz or greater iaczeases in recent gears. one thir4 of personal health care geyments cere aade out of pocket, ccanpared vith tvo-thirds in &50. Zn 19SO ~ public programs pai4 40 perceat an4 private health iasurance ai4 27 perceat. of the aaron's pezsonal health care hill 19$0o ~ ~ gospital care expenditures continue to claim the largest Share of the health eaze 4ollar, aceouatiny for 10 pezeeat of total health care expenditures ia 19$0. thysieian services and nursing home care aceounte4 for 19 percent aaC S.i pezeent, respectively. Medicare and the Federal/state cost of Sedieai4 inerease4 at an average of 16 perceat per year hetnen 1975 and 19$0 and 21 pezcent in 19$1 alone. Total costs pre in this peg, od fzcm 30.!-billions to 72. 5 billions. Ouziny the 1970's the number of professionally active physicians per 1D, 000 population inerease4 30 percent. The number is pzo)ected to increase aaothez 34 percent between 19$0 an4 2000. The medical care cceponent 'of the Consigner Price Zadex rose 2.44 townes in the perio4 1970 $1 ccmIIared to a rise of 2.N Xa the year 19$0 $1 ~ the times in all items of the index aodical eaze component rose 12.5 percent compared to $.9 per cent for all items in tbe index. of caze and access The problems of health care costs, to health care aze inseparable aa4 mhou14 he considere4 together since zeductions ia health care costs free limitations oa access or reductions in quality aze not appropriate. ltith aeeess to aedical caze an4 quality uadisLiaishe4, the concern is to provide health eaze at lemur costs or aoze for the aaaa costs an improveiaent in pro4uctivity. jcee of the increased expenditures on health care have pgerQe4 . Iiynifieant Qapzoveseats ia the ~1ity ot life for scaae people and ah increase in pzoCuetive services of the labor fores. These improvements cceplieate the appraisal of health care expenditures and the measurement of productivity enhancement. ~ity Recmenen4ations Local an4 state health care partacu ar y e a rapi4 yr a54 state 'health caSe ooalitf ons of hospitals, physicians g Qisurers ~ ooalittons There has been past several gears, of loca1 rise4 in vaQTisg confi~ations business jlL!Qr an4 other camaunity groups or local or Itate governments. These eoalitions have provi4e4 a useful forma M which to a44ress health ease oosts an4 associate4 qaestions 4a the local Netting. %here appear to he approxhaately 110 much coalitions at varying Itages of development. The hest of them have been eoncerne4 vith con Itraints on hospital he4$, etklisation review, outpatient an4 ~ h Sp 4f ~ cm the prohlesLs an4 opportunities of th» commanity or itatei la~, Sa~, t a». At the present stage of ILational Iieatth care policy te4eral an4 state governments ehoul4 encouraie the development an4 operation of these health care ooaiitions& CacluCing the parties Iote4 @hover t to hamulate& to prescribe or to hut shou14 avoi4 any at these tiatives. These health care ooalitions private take over an for systematic Cialegoe, opportunXty at this stage provi4e at times Itith governments i an4 RelCSN an4 interpretation of Cata relevant to aeasures essential to construe costs Kth Cue concern for ~1ity an4 for access particularly with aneaylcysLent an4 re4uctions tn federal programs. R. Anti-trust. to ti ltt~ respect to the activities of The yeernment ~ 0 I has a responsibility 1h trust Xavs thst RLy arise With coalitions 4esiyae4 to constrain the increase in health costs through shariny information on utilisation, programscareto constrain expansion M he4$ vhere they are excessive, an4 the. like. The government ahou14 cork vtth the lea4ers of the prov14er associations ~ insuterst business an4 labor orcani~ sations to Cevelop some Ieneral tui4eLines of acceptable activities to constrain costs. Su4 etin ~ Xa aspect to tastitutional oarer there is a vz e an grove. ng consensus that cost reimbursement ahou14 vith the institutions he replace4 hy prospective reimbursement/ Sharing gains an4 losses from the prospective hu4iet. The ycnternaent shoul4 promptly a4opt these proce4ures for ae4icare an4 Ohcougaie the general a40ptfon of prospective hu4yeting pros ctjve problems gt is lika4se generally ay@eel that Were are special to hospitals that Iee4 attention in applyini prospective hu4yetiny eRucation attache4 to ae4ical centers on account of the costs of of ae4ical personnel an4 the costs of eeseazch. vo~4 he est helPf~ to have more experuaenta on co lect'~ harg jiaiagg QQ4 aanagemeat policies La the ahsence of orgg~fsationg ++ aces to encourage choices among workers, ag Iris of ~rkegs, II to health Ogre henefitsi {These Qgzgggemaats Ire often esQe4 cafeteria plans ea4 ygyvf 4e that ~rkers recei~ 4irectly jgg4s aot expea4e4 on health 4~ ReaXth Care Senefit Choices. Zt pare. ) %here ere ccmPleq issues of e4verse selectioa an4 avoi4aace of has jc heaZ~ care aee4s get shou14 he carefully a48zesse4 4a any plan 4esfea gygislatioa man4atiag sPecific 4etails is to he avoi4e4. Noseover& St Ss vjtal to follow ep aa4 to appraise these experiences. 1 ee-Mana ement ratioa ~tin&in ~ %bile there vill alvays Re fasts oa Mich labor and sana% gent disagree, expezieace has sheen that iaczeased dialNue ~nd cooperation can he achieved hy mluntaiy geans to eIAanceroductivity, quality of Izoduct, and quality of rork life N th th» private aad public sectors. Increased coopezatim oan occur ia gany rays, hut oae ray Iroven by experience to he successful Ss through the formation of labormana emeat ccnnmittees~ These cammittees have led to construct ve pro em solvtay, increased Iroductivity aad improved quality of rozking life, as a cmsapaence of the early rays ia vhich humaa factors affect the concerns of labor and ganayemeat. Xn enterprises rith labor cegaaisatioas, such ooeaittees have operated in a role Cefiied Sn a collective agreement+ or entirely outside the agreement. . Connnittees have also successfully opezated ia iastitutions vithout collective hazwaiainI ccNLittees have focused 05 a 4l~NK topicy ouch as safetyg retraining, or quality iInproveInent. Others have been ccncerned vith a broader aIen4a eacampassiny any issues affectjag re 1atioaships g pzoductivity ~ oz quality of rorkiaQ lif 0 o Iuch committees have also vozked & the public sector, at the agency, communityy state oz national level~ aad have also been create4 in federal g state an4 local 5uzisdictioas 5. The philosophy of zeduciay advezsazial relations mad czeatiay also applies to relationships a more cooperati'ie relationship between the private and public sectors. Xeyravemeats aze ~, needed zelaticeships through in labor~ayement~ovezament similar ccgnmittees. ks President Reagan has said ~ ?loth business and ycnreznmeat vill have to leaza to lay. aside o14 hoitilities aad ~assume a aev spirit of mopezatioa an4 ahazed zespoasibility. C. The tential Qapact ea productivity and qual' of such ttees has been mderestisLated, hut as ouz aateraatioaal oanpetitors have ahcwn& increased cooperatioa among labor ~ IcNhe i. ganageaent, and Ioverament can he fccmLdable. Conclusion The Sub-eeenNLittee Lay together aembezs hz~ believes that ccnmnittees and councils and gaaayement& and ia scwne instances of labor government as vela, ~ality and tated and assiste4. ~lity to together toward &&proved productivityr of mrkini Kfe ahou14 he Nncouraled facili work Iacaanendstiohs The Sub ccNIIILLttee Reccsillonds Chst fs the private aanayement, and government acplore various rays Colether aore cooperatively and councils. Iector %Shor ~ of ~kinl throelh the use of oaishttees e Opportunities exist at the matiana1, .Nectoral ~ kmRustxye state, cceaaunity, firm, and aperatini aait level Ie M sectors or localities of the aation confronted hy serious structural a4)ustments, agencies of government sh 4& as of policy, recommend, and as appzporiateg assist as 'aa matter catalyst ka the 4evelopment of oontinuiny labormanayement ccmNLtttees to hrinQ together private sector $?Oups to seek long-term adaptation and solutions to structural problems The form of the coMittees may he bipartite saith a Seutral chair, or tripartite vith ycnrernment participation as aggircpxiate. Such ccea6ttees should he entirely voluntary The Departlaent of Xahor and the tedera1 Mediation and Concili ation Service should continue to provide services which public facilitate cooperative caamittees in both private and information conferences include ~ sectors. Such services might services~ publications, creation of networks, 4ata collectiong and research vhere private parties have had mo systematic & scee sectors research or development to enhance their Qsteznational campetitiveness, it is appropriate for yoveaunent to encourage orianisation the formation of )oint ccemittees to assist fn the of long-term research an4 4evelcieant. D ll $, 1t Y ~ W Pit t 0 W to to provide matchiny financial support for a limited period of pro5ects Some sector pilot private ~ the that raise4 hy this nature have already proven euccessfulg End shou14 hc eacouraled and provi4ed limited assistance. The Sub-cammittee pregeses for 4iscussion that the eoimmittee recomnand the creation of mechanisms for continuiny CCaloyuk; .to seek .to 4evelop a between lahor~ayeaent~varnmant related to productivityt guality, issues on consensus greater life. mrkinl and quality of Xt fs aecomenende4 that the private sector have its eva National labor-maeyement forum. Jn addition, yoverniaent at the federal, state and local levels shou14 form a aisLilar body and mechanisms he create4 for liakinl ~ensensus-seekiny sectors. and private public the !j~ Ol DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY WASHINGTON. D.C. 20220 December MEMORANDUM FOR THE NATIONAL B. PRODUCTIVITY ADVISORY COMMITTEE PROM s ROGER SUBJECT The Subcommittee in the 2, 1982 PORTER Economy an the Role of Government The Subcommittee on the Role of Government in the Economy has revised its recommendations concerning further amendments to the Clean Air Act requirements for controlling stationary emis 8 ions pursuant to the di s cus sion o f the Committee at ts October 1 meeting and a subsequent meeting of those Committee members that indicated their interest in working with Paul W. MacAvoy, the Subcommittee chairman, on this issue. The revised background paper and recommendations are attached for your review and consideration. i and background on initiating a well pay for Federal employees also are attached. You will recall that Governor Alexander had discussed the Tennessee experience with changing the incentive system for sick leave absenteeism and subsequently the Office of Personnel Management provided the Committee with additional information on this issue. As a result of discussions with ather Committee members we have assembled additional background material to complem'ent the Recommendations system Subcommittee's paper. States -Bepartment of Cammerce Travel and Administration has asked the National Productivity Tourism Advisory Committee to review and provide a recommendation an its concern about the impact of the non-immigrant visa requireThe United ments on U. S. hotel and airline productivity. They believe that the current requirement imposes an unnecessary barrier to travel to the United States that dampens demand for hotel and airline resources currently in oversupply. Although the Subcommittee on the Role of Government in the Economy has not yet reviewed the attached paper, the Subcammittee chairman has agreed to my providing you a copy at this time in the event the Committee should decide to discuss on December 14. it Attachments Nsmorandumc Toe November 30, 1912 National Productivity Advisory Paul N. NacLvoy, Clmixaan Cub-Ccea4ttee on the Role Pzcma RRPORH OF TSE CLEhS of Caaaittee Ooveznment the Saneay kn AZR ACT TO INCR%!SE IQSUFACXURZNG In the past the National Productivity Advisory Caaafttee has aade proposals concerning the control of autcaotive eaissions. The present proposal addresses the 4if f iculties associated with tbe control of stationary source emissions and its negative impact on national pzo4uctivity growth. The Ceaafttae's zeccmaendations to 0» President should be the following: (1) Ambient stan4ar4s shou14 be set in keeping with realistic average tisNe periods 0, e per/hour or per!year standards) ~ Epidemiological studies used to set these standaeh should be reviewed. {2) 1 priaary goal of a revised air pollution contzol system elimination of regulatory decisice~ing on requirements QQCT, NYCT, 1AER) and the against nsw plant construction (NSPS). shou14 be the technological discriaination {3) The standard setting provisions for secondazy national ambient aiz quality standazds OVALS) should include specific consi4eration of economic an4 social effects as «ell as «ny ef facts In the process of detezmilLQlg ef facts, the standard setting shou14 health social regional and allow for appropriate o state econoELL account c and for state differences in impact and should deviations fzca national stan4ards where by initiative, the proposed of I/7/$2, is a large step in the 4irection of a mre flexible approach to air pollution control, and should be endozse4 by the Committee. {1) The Rmissions EPA's present zsfaca Trading Policy Statement should espand the present Trading Policy Statement into a full Tradeable Discharge Permit 89P) system foz estrous ceides abc) and volatile organic compounds {largely by4rocarbons) (5) CPA . The uhninistration of the Clean kiz Act bas seriously aeduced productivity growth during the past 4eca4e, and «ill continue to 4o so unless the S'l a4cpts a sore efficient approach to eaLssions reduction. Instead of continuing its current standards an4 plans strategy, the page 2 can improve aiz quality ~re efficiently hy instituting a systssl of transferable 4ischarge pezmits CSPs) ~ Chile such a mew program «ould improve efficiency and thus sdd to productivity hy «orking «ithunn tbe existing regulatory framework, 5.t «auld avoid drastic initial changes that colLL4 cchezwise disrupt current industzy ocRtzol offorts SPA (1) Rnbient stag{Lards shou14 he set in keeping «ith realistic sverage time periods e. per75cx~ -~r~mtandards);-'Spidemiological studies used to set these staihdazds sbolkll he reviewed. (i. Aabient Air Quality The National levels for local concentrations Standards tNLLQS) of six pollutants. set permissible «ere the stu4ies 1960' s The EPA incozporated these stu4ies into their criteria documents an4 a4ded a significant aaron of safety «hich resulted in There is standards more stringent than those originally re~nded. a fair amount of discretionary judgment involved in interpreting the scientific 4ata and determining «hat constitutes an adequate safety factor. Nance, there is reason to believe that the standar4s are sore ~tringent than they need he to protect human health and «elfare. based primarily on Sritish epidemiological The standards performed Sn for setting the NAQS is lengthy and eamplex. This scientific research, assemhlance of a task force, 4raf ts and rewrites, ccaenittee reviews, public aeetings, There are serious 4ifficulties and man4atory revision. implementation, in the analysis of the quantitative and qualitative 4ata. Consequently, a review of the standard setting process is in order in addition to a review of the current standazds in view of more recent D S oxperience The process process several includes primary goal of a zevised air pollution control system of zegulatozy decision~aking on he the elimination requirements QACl, REACT, IAER) and the technological {2) A should discrimination against new plant construction OOPS) To attain the current NAQS, state and fedazal agencies prceulgate a wide range of standards applicable to aost sources in an azea. The standards and plans strategy for meeting air quality goals seriously han4icaps productivity grcaCh. (a) The SPA sets New Source porf ozmsnce StRRldLrds (NSPS) «hich limit new sources to the equivalent of the emissions control technology, from the hest available except in nonattainment areas «here they require the «xtresely strict emissions rates. Farther g Cbe JAKRg or lowest achievable aiz pollutants OIERRPS) ~ and EPA sets limits on basar4ous of significant classi fies regions for the prevention -. deterioration 4h) The program. states, «orking frcm pollution 4ispersion models, translate NAQS into emissions limitations for each type of plant in given regions of tbe state. The stan4ards applied to existing plants allow pollution in excess of the strict NSPS. Once the RPA has approve4 ~ state's implementation plan QZP), each plant must cosply «Sth Sts applicable stmMzds. Na)oz ccsaitments to ~xtzemely expensive control e~paent are made, as the standards are ccmpXSed «Sth, forcing plants to reduce eaissions «itbout regard for tbe relative costs Sn different plants of tbe reduction in pollution at Mch p)ant. %cause the most ceztain «ay of satisfying eaissions re~ements involves installing RP1 recommended technology+ the have fozced eapensive regulations capital aguiiaent on iaiustzy, preventing investment in more productive areas which could have occurred had the agency allied alteznative strategies. churning lm sulfur coal as a substitute foz acruhbers an4 allerlng plants to occasionally shut dc' as an alteznative to conthmsees controls exeeylify the lou cost strategies available ender ~ less rigid system. turtl»r g strict standards for sources (NSPS) have delayed an4 reduced tbe incentive for firms to replace ol4 plants «Sth aev technology. ~ Several studies have measured the national decline in productivity due to this zegulation. Xdvard Dennison has shorn that the pollution abatement programs have 4ecreased the zate of gzovth pez unit of by 08 to 12 percentage points per annum through most of the 1970's. recent report hy Rhert Raveman set the eff ect of envtrcaeental . oust . regulation at eight to helve percent of tbe decl'» of labor productivity since 1971. Similarly, ~ Szookings Institution paper by Robert Cran4all pointed to ~ sharper 4ecline in industries zequized to install emissions control technology than others' be expects an even more pronounced antigrovth effect in the 1980's. Civen the lag Sn the effects of reduced Snvestmentg tbe current 4eca4e could «ell experience an even greater 4ecline in productivity gzarth 4ue to these regulations. costs of «Sth tbe primary standaz4s in tbe present increased since the Act's promulgation in 1970. of Environmental Quality's estimates of air pollution These figures consi4ez the expenditures clearly depict this phenceenon. operation, maintenance, and annual capital costs necessitated by the have normally incurred. amended Clean Air lct beyond shat industry In terms of 1980 dollarsr the CEQ's 4ata ahcw ~ 311.9 percent increase Sn these incremental - cost estimates g Czce $3.06 billion Sn 1973 to $13.84 billion in 1979. The CE{}'s pro)ected'estimates pre4ict a 37.74 percent inczease free 1979 to 1988. The CEQ admits that theiz projected fSguzes may be un4erestimated depending on tbe extent of future the ef fects of current Snclude These projections regulation. regulation, thus they a4dress the aim to attain tbe primary WOQs hut fail to considez the secondary NM4S. These productivity losses and large expen4itures have not been a necessary burden teerds achieving Much of this cost coul4 have been avoi4e4 at air quality improvements. the same level of air qaality as has been achieve!. %4 the aiz polity Sugcovements ~ as impressive ss they have besnow have ccso mostly free fuel svitching, not frca tbe State Xaplemen&tion plans' equipment regulations The system have The Council complying greatly old that secondary national ambient air standar4s be set to protect public «elfaze. The level selected for such standards 4oes mot reflect any consideration of benefits an4 The Clean Air Act new re@aires quality page e ~ costs of attaining that set stan4ard. The also seyhres that each state submit a plan to the Rnvtronmental Protection 7iyeney to obtain this seccedary stan4ar4 in a seasonable time an4 as acgeCitiously as practicable. Out given operations ender the M in recent years, it bas become clear that many adverse relfare effects can foDo« from setting osscting secondary standardse Tbe kind of structure of the Act requires standards productivity that «hen attained cause econaaLe losses an4 4eclines in excess of any lainor) health gains. in In view of the continuing process of setting air Qoslity stoRl4Lrds ~ the econemic implications associated rith attainment of secondary stan4ards aust be taken into aeccnmt. Ceeondary stu4ards are aot related to potential severe impairment of human health by definition. It is important that the overall impact of a national stan4ar4 as 1n econcahc opposed to regional or state standan4 also be determined. teat should be incorporated at acae point in the secondary standard develc%mont and atta$33ment Neeaeendation process. s for secondary national standar4$ should be amen4ed in the Clean Air Act to require consideration of economic an4 social effects as «ell as any health effects. Chile these eeoncsLLc effects are perhaps SNplicit in the present legislationt they are not taken account of in a systematic fashion un4er present EPA- operations ~ In the process of determining eccoMlic and social ef feets, the stan4ard setting should account for regional and state by state differences in impact. This «ou14 he lone by making explicit in the law that suhnational impacts be given suf f ieient eonsi4eration to allow 4$viations from national stan4ar4$ «here appropriate. (3) The standard ambient air quality (4) The Rmissions setting 3wrovisions initiative the propose4 of 4/7/S2, is a large step tladble approach to air pollution SPA $ present Ref ccrc Tra4ing Policy Ntatement g in the direction of a more control, an4 shou14 be~ozsed by the CesmLittee. In attempting to make the system of regulation more efficient, KPA issued a Proposed Rmissions Trading Policy Statement to allow limited trading between sources& so as in turn to allow construction of new plants in non-attainment areas and eapansices of old plants. The Statement, «hile an important step forward does not go far enough in solving major problems rith the current regulations. has The Statement invited states to establish tzading systems. Secause have considerable latitude in 4esigning their programs, indeed in 4eeiding «hether even to participate 4 policy the prop «ould result in a patchwork of different state systesi rith no clear mals ional policy e further f the scope of tra4ing severely limits the options open to participating sources «hich aust still meet harsh IARR the states ~ stan4ards in non-attainment areas and satisfy caeylex criteria to trade @heir emissions reduction credits gas) ~ ~spite these drawbacks, a step fn @missions Tradiny Policy Statement represents direction «hieh deserves the CcauLLttee'a ilpport. gabe aught Onfortunately, some of the an't significant aspects of tbe preliosed Statement have been obstructed hy the acute. The 1MCO va. SPA (1974) 4eeiaion prohibited tbe use of trading to eeet or Nvpid Sev Source Performance Standar4s OOPS), and so zedueticla in eaisaions fram ol4 planta cannot he use4 for ai4iny the cenatru~ Of Ne«plants. This limits for pro4uctivity enhancing trading. regulatory refcem, the hubble popeye ia in serious legal danger. The hubble aDo«s all the sources ia a plant to he conai4ered aa a single scaitco and permits least cost alterations in control «nothin a plant, an4 under special cirnmtancea hetveen plants. 5 key provision of the Statement t an4 ~ vitally i@portent provision for any reform of the regulations, extended tbe use of the hubble from attaQeent to mon-attainment areas so plant extensions «ould not have to fall under the strict Sar Source Ievie« procedure. This action «aa struck do«n on 4/17/42 in NRDC vs. So@such District of Columbia Circuit Court. If appeals prove hy the unsuccessful, the Admhhstration should seek approval of the hubble policy in Congress. seriously Another of the the potential mmt important The EPA currently rayaires contimoua control equipment eo a plant in 100% compliance during all cperatiny perio4a. Many facilities ean he in eceplianee up to 98% of all operating perio4s «ith less eapenaive non-continuous control aguipment. To obtain the sutra ineremnt, the EPA haa ordered installation of costly eysfyaant «ithout ccesideriny This is a potentially other approaches, such as sehe4uled shuts«ns. serious «sate of resources and needs to he reetifie4. 1 hiD pen4iny in Congress «ould a Do« areas un4er the Prevention of Significant control aa hey aa Deterioration (PSD) program to aDo«non-ccetinuous the artra emissices 4o not emceed certain minimum levels. Support of the hill ia strongly urged aa an important step to increase investment productivity in manufacturing. is (5) EPA should expand the present Tradiny Policy Statement Tradeable &5.achatge Permit gDP) system for into a full nitrous oxidea hy4roearbona) (NOx) and volatile organic ecuyounds (largely based upon the details contained in this report. Chile the above steps represent important reforms toward regulatory efficiency, ~ market approach to reduciny pollution «ould alla«sources to achieve requf red emisaions levels «ithout so severely bssperiny k TDP system «ou14 aDo«high coat emittera to re4uce productivity. their control costa hy trading «ith lo«er cost emitters an4 «ould eliaLnate the 4isincentive to huild ue«planta resulting faum the differences het«een SIP and SSPS emisaioma levels. The Disc e Permit 6 stems Me transferable 4iseharye permit tVDP) «ould consist of attract rights to emit a specific pollutant an4 a specific amount lusuaDy tons) of pollutant per year «ith a 4aily limitatice. Permits can he traded page 6 In ocee region without restrictim. among plants .M a specified (NC) and nitrous oxides (NOx) pollutants, particularly hydrocarbons ccepanies mould be allcwed to tra4e permits for cash «fthin the Alr Quality Control Region (AQCR). tor partinalates and sulfur oxides, the trading regions have to be amaDez to prevent violation of the RAQS at The smaller regions asy mot any aonitoring locations (or hot spots" & ). Seen im this contain enough buyers and sellers Co mmke ~ aarket. instance, however, the TOP system has the a%vantage 5f setting emission limits to be met not by specific aguipaent zeyairements but by tuel eritching and various types of equiyaent, whichever fs cheaper. eeu14 4istribute permits fzee of charge to all Plan (SIP) upon in-compliance State Implementation Nev plants «ould and New Source Performance Standard (NSPS) 1evels. receive permits allying emissions in excess of current NSPS stmHards& hcwever, as ~ result of government purchase of these permits fan the existing planta (so as to prevent any increases in total emissions). of the permits mould prove. 4e a scans for Puzchase and retirement achieving permanent Omissions reductions ~ The government existing plants based whose effects are not A TOP system works best with pollutants source specific, bat regional t7LQCR). Such pollutants allov for trading between many sources vithin the AQCR and result in a more efficient Volatile organic compounds (hydrocarbons) and nitrous oxi4es market. (NOx) fulfill these criteria and recent reseazch suggests sulfur axi4es (SOx) may more nazrcarly fulfill them. The initial markets vould inclu4e only VOC and NOx pending further study on SOx. Should evi4ence vazrant acid rain precursozs (long-term NOx and SOx) we14 be controDed through an enlazge4 TOP market consisting of KPA regions, which are best suited to the dispersed effects of acid rain. it, aust avoid a program of TDPs, a4ministrators In initiating vhich have old plants respcnded to present state penalizing State jeplementation It auld be assumed plan standards. Plans (SIPs) Xeplementation for emissions 1evels accessary to attain National hmbient J4r Quality Stsn4ar4s (NlAQS). Thus old plants vill be issued permits vhich alias them to emit at levels in ccmpliance vith these SIPs. Existing emissions inventozies ccmpiled by the states vill speed this process. Plants uhich have shut Ccarn or permanently reduce4 operations auld have any excess permits retire4 at the end of the first year. Plants built subject to NSPS standar4s mould receive permits base4 on those eaLssions levels. 'This first stage distributes permits based on compliance vith current Jam, and shen trading begins, allovs the plants themselves to meek cost re4ucing re allocations of pollution abatement among exfs%Xng sources. ~ide ~t artificial incentive to substitute old technology resulting frca such harsher zestricticas on emissions frea ad sources, mar plants mould over time receive additional permits. These additional permits oou14 be met at various levels, but for exemple cou14 achieve eaae reduction of eaLssions belch regula. re that md plants for To re4ress the mar page 7 permitted old plant levels, but not tozce tbe most acpensive aev control technology available on the plant This provision roo14 remedy tbe current system vhere new plants bear the heavy burden for ze4ucing pollution shen o14er, less productive facilities can ze4uce pollution less expensively. To prevent this system fern alleging an increase im pollution as new plants receive peraits& the goveziaent mould purchase TDPs in the mark eC to di stribute to bov sources ~ Thus ~ despite tbe in the region mould remain ln a4dition uncaged, so eaLss5. ceo could not increase. those seeking zeductions of pollution loads could buy the aazket. Since the Clean kix Act aims at the attainment of National Aabient Air Quality Standards, a permit retirement program vould vozk tabard achievmenc of a regional pollution load belch maximum levels required by the NMQS. Wy purchasing and retiring the cheapest permits, the government could reduce pollution most cost effectively, encourage trading of idle penaitsf an'4 foster an active market. Purchase and retirement mould also provide a direct mey for environmental groups to improve air quality similar to tbe purchase of vildezness areas by other consezvationists. Areas mith the lcwest ambient air quality could receive first priority in the goverisient purchase and retirement program. ~ TDPs and then remove them from set up, industzy mould equate the marginal cost of control to the cost of the permits. Those plants Mch can reduce emissions most cheaply mould take control steps, awhile those ~ources for vhich pollution abatement is most 4ifficult mould purchase permits. This result ensures that the nation meets its clean air goals It the same time, the current bias in favor of old most efficiently. R fact& TDPs provide an incentive to technology mould he eliminated. invest in net technology, since firms Mch replace ol4 plants vith cleaner, new facilities vi11 achieve gains through 0» sale of their surplus permits. With the market pollution vill provi4e environmental groups eath the opportunity cleanez air, and &ll result in an aecarate marginal achieve to directly cost of pollution abatement, allekng for rational environmental Further, if the government desires to reduce pollution beyond planning. may purchase an4 retire TDPs. the permitted initial levels, A TDF market it The Transferable Discharge Permit system provides a cost effective method for the re4uction of emissions to the levels required by the SRlQS ~ This permit sys'Cam offers a superior alternative to the current stan4ards and plans method of administering the Clem air AeC. Receaaendation 1~ Current sick-leave coapensation rules for tederal aaployees should be aaended to eliiinate the co pensation paid for the first 4ay of any federal eaployee absence attributed to nonschedule4 sick-leave. I 2. Savings resulting from this change in the sick-leave compensation syst«I should be redistributed annually to tederal eaployees in the fora of additional caaparability pay. 3. 1lternative)y& bonuses to «aployees during the year. these savings should be used to pay who have used only limited sick leave Discussion tederal government general schedule employees accrue thirteen days of paid sick-leave each year at a rate of four hours per fourteen day pay period. %is sick-leave aay be accuaulated eithout liait and used at retireaent to extend togae in service for purposes of calculating retireaent benefits. Accumulated sick-leave also provides disability incoae protection. annual-leave (vacation) accrues at a rate of four to eight hours per fourteen day pay period 4epending upon length of Nervice in the Federal Government. Use o! annual leave& however ~ is subject to a supervisor's approval and need not be granted Rnual leave ras intended also to cover nonupon request. vacation personal needs such as funerals, auto licensing or holiday shopping. Iovever ~ aany eaployees are concerned that such leave uses& if i4entifie4, «ill not be eonsi4ere4 «orthy of unscheduled leave, and thus, annual-leave «ill aot be granted. N a result the «mployee attributes the absence to sickness and takes sick-leave. This reduces the «aployee'a reserve of sick-leave and identifies the «ntire thirteen Say annual sich-leave accrual as available for personal ese Federal «mployee sick-leave statistics prepare4 by the Office of Personnel Management also shov that some Fe4eral «mployees use sich-leave to emtend «eekends an4 holidays. Onanticipated absenteeism is disruptive to the «orh «nvir onment and impedes the productivity of remaining «mployees. Imployees «ho are 01 shou14 not be at «ork& but aisuse of sich-leave is a 4rag on Fe4eral productivity that should be eliminated. The Subcommittee believes that an incentive ad)ustment for Federal «mployee sick-leave that promotes «orh attendance& reduces sich-leave abuse and revards «mployees «ho have not misused their sick-leave benefits vill promote higher Federal believes that such Xn addition, the Subcommittee productivity. a system should be neutral «ith regard to Federal outlays. The Dollar proposed recommendation «ould have these benfits savings generated from not paying for the first day of any sick-leave vill be returned to «mployees, «hether to all or only to those «ith lov or no use of sich leave. Lover sich leave use al so «ill benef it «mployees in prov i4ing a better reserve against «Itended illness. Over time the government also say be able to re4uee its aanpover requirements. . S1'AS SICK LL d POLICIN P I hCCo LIMIT Caiiiornia e hrs/mo. None {12 days/yr. ) SEPhRhTION PhYMPF PhY POR OINSED POLICY ShSIS ht retirement, can use to extend serv- None Statute ht retirement& can use up to 165-days to extend service times or can use value to pay for None Statutes Sub- ice time. Nnr York k3 days/yr. 200 days ject to union negotiation. health insurance. I hrs/m. None days/so. i(151/ldays/yr. ) None (12 days/yr. f Virginia None, except if dies, estate is paid for one™ half, to a maximum of 336 hrs. hfter 5 yrs& at separation paid for up to 1/1 ~ not to exceed 02500& or at re- None Statute None Statute None Statute and reyolations tirement can use to extend service time. Nary1and 1 1/i days/mo. {15 days/yr. ) None ht retirement& can use to extend service time. STATE SICK-LEAVE POLICIES STATS Pennsyivania ACCltWVLL RATE Varies with years in service& ACC LINIT 200 days 1 PAY-OFF At retirements paid for 30%, to PAY FOR ONUSED At retirement, day/mo. can use to extend service (12 days/yr. ) POLICY BASIS None Onion Negotia- None Praaulyated tions a maximum of 60 days. average employeec 15.6 days/yr. Iliinois SEPARATION Rule time. of In December 56 hrs. ll days) each year, None Paid for 1/2 ~ are credited for use in the coming year. Nhen used, 90% of is rate. Can At end of each years can convert accrued to Statute cash, at 50% rate. pay base carry- over unused year to-year. hrs, /2 seeks {13 days/yr. ) t'1orida 4 eeoryia 10 hrs. /Ne. (15 days/yr. ) After 10 yrs. ~ None Statute for paywfft Reje lations If None Statute paid for 1/4 90 days' Can have more rein- stated. emp. 7/1/82 have ~ before and if at least 120 days for- feited leave& can use to extend service time. %R~kT DCENTZ% RAIS JÃ0 TREIR kPPLICASILXTT TO TR! MCRAL N)&RlCIC l SoSo OFHCE Of VRRSOSEL RLÃidRIIUC the eick Xeaee pIrogrm fer fo4ereX myXogeoa ~ for 13 4aya ef oick leave ecch year ~ ccne1 ef mnaa4 oick Co en4 Chere It ~ Ieaereea eae. fo ao ltelt ee ae w o yretectien agaieat 1eegwen II'eri4ea emapXoyeoie CXXeeoa. eyatm can cXoo fsntte abaca, hmeer, en4 there haa hoen concern that ~apleyeea aheoo She oyotea, priaatiXp heceooe the a@ates Cncentivea er 4iaincenti~a to eXiaineto for te4eraX Ca@roper eoe Xeeka %e a oatficient of dck leer@. Ie e 4raft report, mick Leave hdaiatotretien Sae4e4 ~ yrepere4!a i%$0, the OanercX kccomittag Office fecn4 that etck- leave meara IapXepeeos ma teo hLgh, eopocieXXp 1esve Co fscresento ot 3 4$fo er 1eoa eentreX the est ef dek 1eeres eepaire4 ON %eighter %ha sate ef fatemttteet dck rec~e4e4 oovorcX 4iaiscenti%0a ef eaaX1 to m4icaX maas, tighter aaaageeent ef eick lese, eal certain 1egtaletim hcreante et dek bee. eectreX ever tha eoe the esa IostreXo ea4 Wetter a ~~ eIeameo to Ieotrict the ether approach eo 1Cattiag dck Reeve eoage A thresh en facaetive yngrm. Ihio hechgtoch4 ~per ~ento Aa eeeeept of ~al yeihlic wctoro, 4teceaeeo a easel yap eayertaeat ~evereX alteractive Cacecttre eppreeclaa IeoereX 5a4teetiea et the eeet eal Iahu ter me 5a Ca w we4 4R the pRLTcte Q teaaeooee, eel Cho mrk~o eeggeato te4ereX eecter, eath e that aL4%t he esyecte4. %e t Coa of Nell& Iayleyee Ihseateeisa has aloaya boca ~ costly mtter for oapleg+rs. ~aylegees ere abseac as' ~apleyer Xa asc ~ ac preai~ recesi it io ovoid Nore or hare oaistiag mlegees workers i% ~ Cine of Circ Q hadgecs and shrinking Ssportent AIC oapIIFJoe absesteotsa be %iaiaised+ orgsaisscions, aaaal 1eee or +cation ~dvaace the «ec be scbedaled in tbe eapleyee to be sere that tbe orgsaisatioa' ~ opereciocN are sot disrapce4. ea4aIW sock, yeeloetivttg otcea oafters, aa4 tbe hare to hire additional ~rk ~reise oork forces fry 4nnael leave credits asy absences for personal tbe tiaa off Sf reuoas, hat it ie mot CIL a~tines ie theory aeperrtsors coed to eever msebed&ed caa refose to gnat properly ocbedaXed. healt~sced reuoas to aSaiaise oacb mscbedaled absences, met eaylogers attest to a safe end bea?thy mA place oo that mrkMeted +aries and @loess the great aa5oricy of mecbedalod eheeaces ere for Ia order maintain ~o aoc interfere rLch attendance. Pretentim hselcb eeuares oacb as ee4ical iasmence and oay?eye~aid eedica? oaeainstieas also help to cat 4oon m sick 4eee ewe jlXaess 2Cocedaral controls ~ oach as repairing documentation +a~ oc are another Cayorteat pert of the effort to emcrol nick lwve me. 3a addition to the 4irect efforts ea4 ~trois fmoeattvee Seato ytogrm ~ 'ig tbe eayleger, aery ytogrms here Caooatieeo Nsr Ae eayIepee to heep his sick Saeva of aick le~ at ~ atajaa. ark hest she Oey ee @ac et ths basic taiga ot the Iick the cay~ gor sick leave yregraa that leae set itself. i ~ the troa first of oa Ms!bed%led oheeaeei tor 4ey mskiag casual IEesiag sick leave aaata1 health of tiae off &e of %y Chat tahiag ~ hy Xebelliag Nocogaiae the Need tM for ~ch ~ I caa sad ~ XCstted Isobar of pereoael 4eye to take ea occasioieX ~tel health tbe leave category os ooaethiag other thea sick leave, cats 4esc oa the perceptioa thee oX1 sick leave oocb ~ parpose os the eerioas, Cf abort lived, CXXIees hy flrovidiag aXXovs the oaployee Necessary& off, ~,practice oddly baca ae Oey Ca edveuee, Nad that occers ~eapectedlyy off ~ hot Iaelly falls hstoeea the fall~edged meatioa, ohoald he achedaled off. Wis Nick leave Vbea Ct Ca Not Oose ergeataatioae 4eys oaHlpley Ctecoereges QIQ4oyees Ce available for ~ $050 orgsoisstioas have eXeo Catrodaced otck Xoave Caceative pleas oeperiapoeed oa the heeic program os oick leave. Sech that ore a my of meoeregtag tbe jodicioas eee efforts are pertieulerly Curtest Ca yrogreas of-' @bose basic 4esigcs are old end etthoat peeper otmctereX Caceatives for proper eick lean Cato oerioae political ace, aad Share otraightfonard rodeeiga efforts ~ asst he nletod to the peogrea's basic Ce a part, design, sad to tbe overall pereoaae1 aaaageaeat ytogrm of Ihtcb Ct ~ad ore ILL%oat Cafiaite Ca their or eaioa opposttioa. Sech Caceattves ~tyo Public end private Sector maployees Ca I aabsr i licetioas ot Nell p of public oegeateatieas Iaoeive, e4er Caoeative plass, cash payaeate tor eased Nick Xoave. Ia Oelaies %to, tor amabile, I! city Oe eyloyoee receive oash yayaeate ter eaoe4 deb Bene Nt Oe ea4 44th yey period each year Cf they have ecol five or Ieoar Oega ef their f eee~iletod Iick 1oeve 4erimg the yaat. %he Oeweamelth ot Ttsgiaia ' for mase4 nick leave eyes ~ovt4os 100 percent reiaheromeat ~f ~Xepnenti Xichfasn aeries tetminaCCoa S yereeti $0 percent en4 Roatana Where me other dahlia eayXeporo she a11eo a conversion ef mnoe4 Iich leave to vacation cre4it, at ~ick leave for 1 4ay of vacation t!ma. 1a Iotroit, are eltgtble for a 4ayo. at@, oey ooee echaame bonne i kyo ot eaee4 %tahitian, eaylopeeo mcatien once they here acciaalate4 f0 nick Satat Peteroberg, ?Xeri4a, city eayloyoes rho noe no sich Xeave Zn ~erteg tbe year are eoar4e4 3 extra vacation 4ays; those abo use only ono sick 4ay an aear4e4 2 ears vacation 4ays; an4 those she eoe enly 2 sick 4ays are allove4 one entre vacation lay. Aivate eaylopero ese. ~ick leave ef leave for have aloe 4eveloye4 inoantive oysteas aise4 at eerMag %so XIartneXX Cseyoration every too consecutive months gtves ito eaylepeeo oae fnXX 4ay et perfect atten4ance, to 4ering tbo soatb ianeSately folleetag tbs en4 of the towpath Other private yerio4. ~aployeeo praises. %ho have it sector Qrtect aaNXoyero have Mth Cn ehfcb ean st% cash creSt gn4icionoly, ee per pear an4 ~ ae an encoaragaent to ae their sick leave yai4 for a certain prtion ot their aceaslate4 ease4 eick leave craBt &en they retire ot the rk4e earfety of sick Ir leave tho aayany. en4 aannaX leave yXaae wel hy yehlic ~n4 Ieivate mployero, as' tbe prohamy et4er satiety et mchylaee factors Iftect 1eave ~~@go of Aan~~tg gpss of ocMpat5lllnog otc~ ~t WN or tbe Seeing Coayany, eligible eaylopeeo are oiear4e4 ey to IO hears of ~ick leave Secaaoe atten4ence institete4 lotteries atton4ance for tbs ptece4tsg he taken 643 I t II m I, WVN ef theee Seee of the positive reeulte . %aay WeXX ~ efforte have hoon! to eee ca Caoeattve to astag cieh toeve caly eaployeee begin ohea a reel aeo4 crieeei %are ie c ehaage tn tbe yteveleac ccticn4e that Ntet leave er Xoet eoayletely. meet he aee4 ~ Snbecicncioa of cannel oc ~reonel leave for nick leave soenlte 4$ ~yihg for leave cC 0 cbeepor sate thea Lf Che leave A he14 to co@aration or retirement. Oa tbe other hen4 there have boca ~ c~ yeeQms ettb WaIl ye@ Qene: abort~era cffecte Vhtle they are tbe foene Soae yXaao have ealy of ccteacion k plea aay reear4 tbe haMtneX goo4 Cttea4er hat feil to roach the ehreaie abeentoe. Se eyetea 43LCen4e4 of rovar4e aay yten sore coetly thea tbe yroblea ie to eliaiaete. Soae eapxeyeee cea he eo wger co@ even it if ill, tor the incentive thee they erne to tberAy calendering their eea health ca4 the health of their feXXor mAere. ' C". Olo rCcb +r$04fcel literetnre A cict leave 4meeacive tlLLX gaae. of the yarttcnler orgeakaetton'a ~54 Sick leave cyec~y its ot Srttclee cheat tbe oRpcriencee Otthoat m Ca4eytb ealerecen4ing, of ~locket hoeever, @toom, tte caaa the sktlce 4t ate oec4pecieag erereXX yereanaeX aanageaeat $$Mgeneat f4IDoeopbyy ~a4 3chor. aeaageaeat relations, St Ce iaiyosaible to ~eretca4 fary ehg a ~icalcr QXos 4 Saeaeeey ot ~cher Ct 005 he opflie4 4$ another oggeak oTeatsetiea 0 Snaovative TtMeg, cato4 otthoat $%ger4 to Canoe tocCorny ~ oocceeefnX tsc3nLi~ 4ca he 8%Other'0 ~ ~~ivo gimaLLCILe + rience of Tenneeeee Qe State of %aneceee bae ha4 %e Cn coin lSall 0 Lae eayerieace4 onccoee «tth n ia effect eince leal ~ yXaa St Paly X%$1. ie oaey oiailar Co tbe te4eral 00TerQsoct eo 1ccrlQX e34 carffo&r ratee saba ~ Rttle 4iffereat between the too eyetene, bat Cn hecic oirnctnre @beg ere ~te oinilar Mer the 'Tenneeeee nnzne1 nn4 ee11 pay oyetm, eicb leave etractnre Xeee 4nring a aelen4ar eho aeee no oidr, nn eayloyoe ~ar receive 0240 each. A mylegee Iho esca lace receives 0120. Sere are so )ounces for tao Aye oc Bee nf nick oicb leave ace in oaceee of I too Aye+ firet 6 800th! of Wll JEST ~ %5!leeeee ERporioace4 ~ 4ecreeee fn total lena eee4. iltboagh there ms nn Cncreeee Cn mnna1 lena ot !1$,000 hera, there me ~ larger 4ecreeee Cn nice lorn ot Qi, 000 hoara, for n set gain ot QI, 000 eraGaQe orb boore. Sarong tbo %at mc eeet mexpecte4 ~10)MS Ibo ~f&4 for tbe hen%eeoc ~ Tenneeeee experience me tbe fenneeeee Le4 , ++i amber of myleyeee ection of Cn @be little or m to Cscroaie Q 33K. who ye@ aee4 eicb En league «aber of ~cte4 before the Cnati- eyaetion, Ae saber gaccaeee4 Q !NC. abe State utiaetee that there efXl be a mt 1en~m eainge, @cay eayXegeee eahetitnto4 seto Chan %en eLth tbe mentictyete4 either mAo4 mnne1 & the tbe nrpeaee nt tbeee benaeec ~ %ecanoe legs gbaa Keg etbaroiee eeaN here, or mme for eicb Secre ~ t ~cb the eaylayee La4 ba14 the lease State yai4 off et mt& ha e Xeear 1nft State oeteCea. officials secogaise Ast Tennessee -State Co osporCRpose Na Cts generosity, to 1i¹it eo gn central M ~ otch ~rt 718$ M effort Ast, torftes abase. L mn etreightforsar4 ts Nell effort ~ If fer. of the Tennessee Of oeal4 have heea politically overall they ere yXeese4 etth the Iesalts Na4 licebilit ko probably A eMr, leave accraal m4 acemuletiea 4Lfficalt, pay Incentive-Cfpo ~ ~ ~e tlsn to the fe4erai Soveranent ¹ote4 above, the Tennessee sick ea4 aunsel 1esve @roger is stroctarslly ~te siailer to the fe4eral Oovermeat'ei to 4esign end tapleaent a 1C eeaM certainly he passible ei¹Qer ylaa tor the fe4eral Novetmut. gabe speck!Lc festnres eoi14, ef coarse, have to hs a4epte4 to the Merel eitastiea. Se tennessee y4n, for en~le, gravies N40 Q ¹o sCO, leave Cs ¹ee4 fa ~ yam. bahts is aboet fonr lays' py for a State eagegee ¹skiag the oalary -average ef ¹aluas ebont 50 percent hove Xt ts sore, ao the Oeaas eight have to te4erel eayloyee to he Cncreeee4 siailar incentive alee tor 1e4erel eayIeyaes. ~ fee-~ ~t effect I%aaesse~gpe Capossible to yre4iet have «a fe4ersl sich leave en4 mnnel Leave ese. ese patterns as' 4iffermt hetseea above @ho enn14 ~fy ter the ~ yap yap y?sa ae14 IkeIL leave I he ~tiene4 Tennessee tkt¹4e «f te4erel Oeaas yrevaC 'eayXopaes ee mboet Oe If f+aessee As ¹IRlltt 4f Stets ospl~s %e m eighMel4 aNerestt¹ste. teear4 Chair gobs affect the spirit 5¹ ehtch tbey hs %aaaeseee aa4 She F@4erel Oevermeato s osa fE'e4ict!sa E5ffermt thea the ettita4es eeaLC Sa average aboat 013,500 per year. It the @reseat Ci¹e as' ha ~le@see tesar4 Astra, aa4 shia aypaeaeh each m g¹esativa yXaa ~ ample of ths federal So&taros ot ml stilton porccnt It 4eFs of leave ~ year. for a average of bones QNS (50 percent & the are as t00 percent ear I aGXton IO le than to &3 4aFs to lea~F & the ~ t5 yerccnt atck leave to %acX4tF e Dttle over half ef i atatlar ths State's so&force of 35,000 ysalDted for a bones msn ued Tennessee had eayectod ~ for a bones, bet the actoaX tncrcaee eeM ~J0, phoae then yai4 bg hnnoesee) nceber of employees acing Xtttle eneggh fron federal caployees g~ amplogoes ahte group held Oeir @cage ~annal cost could be 02i0 atl&on. crease Off~ cohen bF the Osneral ieceeaeiag response at a cost ot appeoat- boncees aetelF 0300 atlBon. StcamLeave Incentive tlans for tossfble Qo tion JXternsttve Site the tederal Covarsase eall In a44$tfon to ths so or QtLSQE1 yaF leave ooe over a apecLfked +ried ot aaaber of atrnctnral changes that cocld bs yrogran that scold oncoercge eyloFees 4' onch bg&nnesse~ ca&capt coed to made Cn w etc' cash bsmns tis~here for are a the tederal etch leave leave mre godictoosXF. change mould yrobabXF be rtgorocsly opposed bg eeyloFoes, ego eoal4 oce the change u get eaother tahmeeF yam of bel~oayarabQttF ~, on toy ot oevcrcX ~ceatve yeF Increases bala, Sere ed@ have ~ HACNWE, W IW I ~M ~ I I the sich Seae Qe eeyentoor'o eesyonsibQfekes Nor the aaaagmat In e44fetea to the atrnctmaX changes 4escaSed pNgr&o 4 L Chango tbe mome of mnnal leave m4 sick leave Irante4 to enIIioyeea. e conI4 increase tbe meant ef aannaI learn that sn eayleyee earns, m4 te4ece sick leave by ~ larger meant~ The totaI momt of leave oarne4 oach $0ar so%14 thna be leaa than the corrent mocnt of embine4 snnna1 m4 sick tor enanple, 13 4aya ot change an ony?oyee eath leaa than three years' nervtce Nor earns annuaX te, tbia leave aa4 1$ 4aya of sick leave sacb year. aay, li 4aya of In other respects tbe leave syaten CLLSnt'ce4 eccIRQlation ennoe4 anneal protection of sick lee& (at leaa enceed tbe cap!oyee's Mar tbia ae14 eeetinne a 'Ianisw On4 leave. Se non14 probably yXen of sick snnna1 leave an4 5 4aya Qn to Cn ita le~. oerrent fashion: snnnaX carryover of ytori4e none sort of Sncme fall py) for haaltbeelate4 than eon14 Ne absences that sick leave balance~ approach, sick 1eere accenulation eaa14 be aucb alooer than at present, oo «yioyeea aa14 hve sn hcentive to eve ea sech as paaible ~a protection against 1~era flXneaeee. 2e Icy-back of RNse4 sick loots '~ Tbe Tennease acing sick IleQ goy pan pfohQea lean, s 004eat financial noenr4 for Sot bet aIXon eayioyeea to lacy occrne4 sick leave tor fntere ese. 4 bey back arrengeaent eaaL4 ytovt4e n Ireater financial eesar4 for me~so ot sick lnsoe, 4s 'metis fashion lent eeaM eliainate aay Reeve ee4eme4 frm the 08plogee 0 Oalmwo Rnse4 Nick Xeea em he ew4 aa amenity ayen entirs~ti %lets sre ~ sertee ere4tt Cn ~bar of %8FCO eeapntieg Soth%aaesse m4 the Palernl Xe~. . 00T~ect eelatively +zRft thic little Ihic +PPeacb meow Caceative hae ~ ia yggccigee mice, yetttaalarly early fa m ~syXoyee'a career, ches rettreaeat ta too far off to Caae4iate eeamLiag. haoe my kor the eapleyee Ao 4eec mot yXaa ea a fall career SIL the Moral hneraaeat, it rahe at aD. kt tiIe of retiraeat or eeyatatioa ha hae Ne Cmcaative h4eral aentee, «oee4 Nick leave eoal4 be eaebe4 Im, yrebaMy ae erne tractioa vere. the fraction ~ul4 here to be eet at ~ level that, tom She OoTorcecct a Qorepoctivo baleacee the coat of tbo agatnct tbe yro4cctivity gaia fry th eagoyae'e at 4poiat e yai4 t!me ~id' tb ~~ y %e be~acb of tbe mcee4 meeat, Oo at sac fractiec oeaiaa yercecaage ~ bey%act ealy «s balaace, it aboaM be et eeoc that tbe myloyee eoaM aot 1eaee LLaeclf eath ao yrotectioa aiaiaat a Xo~eri Qhecei e a eoaM yea1t tbe eaployee hea alrea4y aceaclete4 one meilegeea eea14 m mal4 eHakaata Wet m Noo ~timee eo wza meeal leave ea . ~wa~eatbaa~ie4aaSer eea14 be aee4 Sn all aorta of chert, heo eo efek they 4e ef ale- 1e~eeri illmeec. say $0 @aye, ee a yeetectia agaiaat aick 1ear» iy yeteeaal leave aa4 aa Caeme aaCatmasce Qsker Chic epproach, aa amea raX~ of fslly- otf. of face valoe me@lace bo~ck re4cce4 abeeateeica, aa4 Ceca Oaiee4 eick leare eocl4 be beembt back aaacaQy Si ef tace +aa laic. ~, oat ~L14, N ~al~ th t meche4cle4 abeeaeee, facle4igg brief heaXt~eleted aboeaeee. ~ar to the aeat, ao mp1eyoea me14 m4eebte4Xy sea ~are . -Xt the amber or %areeaal 4ags eee14 sot he earrio4 jf eaaeaX ef leave mre yeroeaaX 4aya yerooaal ma aet relatives Ser, ~ Oat S ~ ~. te4aee4, ~raoaeX twre me soaM alight' I he Xeoo thea aXX ~r trea e carrot /Serif aerage Stcam Ia or4er to ptotect okplofeeo ogeiaet ling eath 4'+ ~ Still relate4 ablseaceo Cora health (they could ao longer hove eniiaite4 eicos &ave heleaeen), m eeu14 have short aad lcmg-tera 4' er too of get full Nn illness eeaM he at m ye@ throegh yey liait, ~abatiteted for myai4 or partially 4y m»e4 aey aisle mathe. ~ one- or tray pli4 for thoee Apl abeeacee ~ yereoaaX etl1 Ia a44itioa have sexy little go/aire a Ms edsisiotrsti& orbero' i ~e ceeX4 he Qyai for ~timely leag, 4iecre het %00M Ciocchsrege the absences, Seeable the employee alight sot get 'Chio greater 4egree of protection to see yrogrea, thereafter, ep to seae yey %ate approach mould yreC4e mesoaable yceeectiea ~RFoidoble heelt~eloced first the or half ye@; the eaylepee eosX4 4', Chen sa4aee4 the 30th fixed eater tienary eagle, 4ieability protection yXeae. tor ~each %NLM eayXegees Vbo, aeeoaolece4 pFIRQo ealer leen. Xt Che ee14, s Hach earreat heeever, aet'%p oot %XChe the ea2roat Office 4f Ceepcaeetioa Psogreao ~ Replace earreat sich league propre etth ICaite4 aict %eave Na4 aa 4aeme miateaeaee yXaa 4~4pol 0 Iegialattvo eetir~t eyetm. fait ef that yaeyeeaX Seaator Stoveao 4f Llaeha haa 'ptopOaal !he Te4eral eeeX4 ee4oeima aha sack Leave yeagraa Ca a earner NCMLar to Chat 4eaecihe4 mt' So $04aaiNL altaaaattva 3! mech ohp14yae mu14 Start Sech pear skth Qfch 1osvee tool %luse4 40 She scRc Oa I 4eys ~t be eerrio4 mlLL4 ot oler Quare the So%eath eoasecutive Af of e hes?O~alete4 ebseaceo illness oa4 ecci4eat Casureace +yaeats ma14 begiao ~a 4Eployee mul4 An eeoc start et 100 ~reset of that roaM eeeataelky be re4eee4 to CO ~y yes eeet ia eccor4eace eith e eche4ale relete4 te leagth of ~antes. the eeailaQe sick 1eare ma14 he ase4 to eever Any first aix Sere eeasecutive 4eys of ebseaee. mul4 be tion et 5Lts erreagueat CO Q aaths ef short%en 4isebQity protec- yerceat of ye@. ma14 4iscosrege cued asc of sick Dere because the tetel mont of rory ehortWra lorn te oe eacll ea4 because the eeyXeyee mu14 be osiig op ere4$ts that sight be aee4e4 4ariag the first oim 4eys of ~ Sager Ibseacee lese tor lm Peevf4e beaus eaaael Oa eoa14 eg mo ~. etch Reeve great eageyees extra aaaasl Reeve ere4it es ~ raaar4 ter esiag %is sick leere eea14 Cehe eeyore? togae! I haee4 dck 1eee eoa14 be eeheage4 tor Ce aeeer4saee eath arne yee4etermiae4 4' ef maaal meme. QXeyae Ckea Oa leave ~ abdal Ice ~ elk ~ t'oraa1e, oey ter each teer Aye et malt ysAemy mat a satata aaael ~eisa mase4 %hat %he sich geese be1eaee Ie ~ featoe ~eiast lee~arm t11mee little ~l3aployee Ao eeoc ao etc' 4' Sa a yae eee14 Se Niece erne hoaaa aaaaal leaves for miag eely too leyc' sick leave Niece a little lees bwusc m eayleyee eeaL4 he ttae. %hie hcace lease to he tahoe etthta ~ tiae4 yerio4 ef cCae. eou14 ieve The eaployee'a aick leave accuaulatioa eeal4 aot he re4ece4. fhio arraogescot coc14 oacoccage j%4iciolN 'aee 4f ciclf er hocus aaocate are yeoyerly ~tca4poiat te that aaeeal Reve aaat mateo eet. 'he fm 'Oac a4vaatage acbe4cle4 OIL if MNvo the oacheoge aaaagcacat'a e0vcace eo that epmtioae are set 4ieruyteb Cocclccioc Xo 197$, it mc aentce mc ytogrm, Iaa4 eetfaate4 that the ererage aich Reeve eeege I.S 4aye Cay of a re4ectioa ef etch leave osage, the bcaetice lace etch I,000 ataff ealt. league ~ he aigciticaat. ~ar, ~le 4itticalt Xf each fe4eral eayXoyee eoe4 the Cacreaee4 tiIIe ea the job eea14 eysa1 tiara. kt ea ~rage te4eral cela~ of 021,700, tt eeabl eeet QN aQifoa to yap the ea1criec of the e44ittoael mylageec that theee Ioci4iag repNecato oNTllhgc the te4eral a paar. %ere te clearly oem ter Capreecaeat Sa the to quantity, are 1ihely to eac ts QL ~eclat fsptoo~ta ~ %&Her hy?eyae egcaiaatiaaa eaa he eapocto4 to rCgocaaaly eypee ee4actiaa Ca the foaiti~ ~t of 1eeoa er spp20ach Mfteecate4 seqctcee ehetmtial fe4eral ocher 4iataemttoe if ~aaaaeee'a eeCXepa 'IIall appeeachaci ~o Q ti!fi- ey %he M the other aal yeoee ELtticalt Meet yaelkme, Item for Consi4eration by the National Productivity Mvisory Ccmaittee ISSUE and Nationality Act requires every foreign national (except of Cana4a and the bahamas and Sritish nationals resident in Sermuda, the Cayman Islan4s an4 the Turks and [%icos Islands) to obtain a visa in or4er to enter the Qnited States as a tourist Research performed by and for the Ccemerce Department's former Vnited States Travel Service indicates that the anticipation of difficult entry procedures and/or difficulty in obtaining a visa inhibits foreign nationals from visiting the Vnited States as tourists. Stu4ies conducted in 1977 in five ma)or tourism markets show that an average of 13.6f of potential tourists to the Q. S. anticipated they auld encounter 4ifficult entry procedures if they visited this country. Studies conducted in the same year in nine other countries showed that an average of 10% of actual visitors to the V. S. felt that they had encountered difficult entry procedures or difficulty in obtaining a V.S. visa The number of visitors reporting such difficulty ranged free a high of 25% for French visitors to a low of 1% for visitors from the Netherlands. Each potential Q. S. visitor deterred by visa requirements from traveling to the Q. S. represents a loss in revenue of more than $650 to the V. S. tourism in4ustry. especially those Q. S. air carriers operating internationally, at approximately are operating only Atlantic, North the flying hotels are experiencing Q. S. only lkeestic factors. load 60% The Immigration about 70% occupancy. Unlike merchandise services air transportation and hote1 accommodations cannot be stored in inventory for future useg they are consgg~d their mse os 'productive assets is lost unlessehich they are on on the night or during the flight — offered. To the extent that the nonimmigrant visa requirement deters Qnited States, it foreign aationals from traveling to the prevents V. S. international carriers and the domestic Q S. lodging industry from achieving increased productivity. DISCUSSION «estern European. countries eliminated the aonimaigrant visa for American and other tourists in the post Norld Mar II era. Despite this fact, the Onited States bas not reciprocated even though the over«helming ma5ority of visitors applying for admission to the O. S. from these countries qualify for entry. In a number of countries, particularly those «hich represent ma5or markets and «here there are several thousand persons applying for visas during a short time span, the visa application process inconveniences the potential visitor and creates negative publicity, frustration and ill vill. Visa «aiver legislation has been introduced into every Congress since 1967, but has yet to be enacted. This year, the Senate Most requirement passed an omnibus immigration reform package (S. 2222) containing provisions «hich mull authorise the Secretary of State and the Attorney general to «aive the visa requirement for nationals of three year period. The up to eight countries for an experimental «aiver «ould apply to visitors intending to stay for no longer than 90 days in the U. S. and «ho are in possession of a non-refundable airline ticket. acted on a similar bill (R.R. 5514). For the to be enacted this session, the Souse «ill have to vote favorably on the immigration reform bill during the lame duck session after the November elections. Enactment of visa «aiver legislation «ould undoubtedly increase the receipts of the more than 1 million establishments «hich Sased on a survey of its comprise the V. S. travel industry. offices «orldwide, American Express estimates that more than 400, 000 additional foreign visitors and $300 million in additional expenditures «ould be realised annually if such legislation «ere in effect. Increases of that magnitude «ould airlines «ith paying passengers not ll) fill seats of Q. S.— air and «ould help to increase Q. S. carrier pressurised gust load factors and revenue passenger miles& (2) increase occupancy rates of V. S. hotels and motelsg l3) create 7, 000 additional gobs for the V. S. labor force and contribute to greater productivity of this country's human resources. The legislation has the support of the Departments of State and Commerce, the Office of Management and Budget and the Justice Department's Immigration and Naturalisation Service. Passage «ould pose no national security or immigration problems, and «ould permit the State Department to make sore productive use of its o«n personnel resourcesc consular personnel could be concentrated in countries in «hich there is a significant visa fraud rate aot in those countries «hose citisens observe our immigration la«s. The Souse has not legislation — PROPOSED ACTIONS The National productivity A8visory Cceanittee should uzge the Iouse to take iaunediate action to enact S.R. %Sled an4 shoul4 urge both houses of Congress to aeet in conference ceeaittee to work out a Ritually-acceptable coaprasLise bill of CSli. I.I. If this legislation is not enacted sill have to be reintroduced in the during next the current sessioni it session. Another yeart or possibly tm years, and approxiaately 4300 aillion in export earnings vill be lost by the Vnited States and the V. S. travel industry. Department of the Treasury For Immediate December U. S ~ ~ Washington, Release D.C. ~ Telephone 566-204'~ Contact: 14, 1982 DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AWARDS AMERICAN ARTS GOLD MEDALLIONS TO John CONTRACT J. ARON Doom (202) 376-0548 TO MARKET & COMPANY of the United States Angela M. (Bay) Buchanan that the U. S. Mint has awarded a two-year contract for the purchase and marketing of American Arts Gold Medallions to J. Aron & Company, a member of the Goldman Sachs Group, and one of the world's leading precious medals dealers. New York-based J. Aron won the exclusive distributorship after a competitive procurement process. The American Arts Gold Medallion Act, Public Law 95-630, established a five-year program under which the United States Treasurer today announced would produce individuals and sell gold medallions in the American Arts. J. commemorating outstanding Aron & Company plans to begin marketing the American Arts Gold Medallions in early 1983. Further information will be announced in mid-January. 0 R-1068 Oepartment of the Treasury FOR IMMEDIATE Tues ay, Dece ~ washington, O.C. ~ Telephone 566-204% RELEASE er 14, 1982 "FRIENDS DON 'T LET FRIENDS DRIVE DRUNK" The Department of Treasury today endorsed an extensive radio and billboard campaign to discourage drunk driving, conducted by the Licensed Beverage Information Council, a consortium of ten alcohol beverage industry The public service billboard project will be conducted in cooperation with the Outdoor Advertising associations' Association of America In making the announcement, John M. Walker, Jr. , Assistant Treasury Secretary for Enforcement and Operations, stated "drunk driving is America's number one highway killer. It claims more than 25, 000 lives each year. Thus, the two-year total equals the number of Americans killed in the entire Vietnam War. " "I am pleased that the industry is playing a leadership role in responding to this critical drunk driving problem and that it is doing so without a mandate or regulation by the Federal Government. This is a real and substantive contribution by the private sector consistent with the President's program of greater participation by the private sector in addressing our nation's problems, " he added. "I applaud the efforts in this campaign to educate the public to the concept that 'Friends Don't Let Friends Drive Drunk' through radio public service announcements and 3, 000 billboards that will reach millions of Americans beginning with this 1982 holiday season and continuing in 1983, " Walker said. Director Stephen Higgins also commended the spearheading of the campaign to stop "The industry has shown exceptional to awareness of its responsibility and a strong judgment the consumer in expending its time, effort, and money into the campaign to make all drivers aware of their duty +o drink and drive responsibly, " Higgins added. The Treasury Department, through its Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms, has fostered and encouraged an industrywide public education campaign, undertaken voluntarily since ].979 by the LBIC, on such timely alcohol abuse problems as drinking and pregnancy, alcoholism as a treatable illness, and drunk driving. Acting ATF liquor industry's drunken driving. R-1069 . , Department of the Treasury FOR RELEASE AT ~ Washington, 4:00 P. M. TREASURY ANNOUNCES O.C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 December 14, 1982 BOND OFFERINGS TOTALING $7g500 OF BEARER SECURITIES FOR NEW NOTE ISSUES NOTE AND MILLION AND ELIMINATION The Treasury will raise about $7, 500 million of new cash issuing $4, 500 million of 7-year notes and $3, 000 million of 20-year 1-month bonds. Additional amounts of the new securities may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign by and international authorities tenders. monetary accepted competitive at the average prices of 7-year note will be available only in book-entry and registered forms. The Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982 prohibits issues of Treasury notes in bearer form after December 31, 1982. Treasury bond issues in bearer form were discontinued in September 1982. The Bearer securities will remain available through maturity for all note issues prior to January 1983 as well as for bonds issued before September 1982. Details about the new securities are given in the attached "highlights" of the offerings and in the official offering circulars. Attachment oOo R-l070 ~URY HIGHLIGHTS OF OFFERINGS 'ZO THE PUBLIC OF. 7-YEAR NOTES AND 20-YEAR 1-MONTH BONDS K) BE ISSUED 4, 1983 JANUARY 14, 1982 December Amount Of fered: . .. . $4, 500 million public. . . . . . . . . . Description of Security: Term and type of security. . . . . . Series and CUSIP designation. . To the date. Ca ll date. . . . . . Interest rate ~ ~ . . . . . . . .. . . . . yield. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . or discount. . . . . . . . . . . . Interest payment dates. . . . . . . . . Terms of Method ..... Sale: of sale. Competitive 15, 1990 provision No To be determined Investment available. February No ~ denomination January Series C-1990 Premium Minimum (CUSIP No. 912827 PA 4) 20-year l~onth bonds Bonds of 2003 (CUSIP No. 912810 DC 7-year notes . Maturity $3, 000 million based on the average of accepted bids To be determined at auction Vo be determined after auction July 15 and January 15 (first payment on July 15, 1983) $1,000 Yield Auction Must be expressed as an tenders yield, with two decimals, e.g. , 7.10% Accepted in full at the average price up to $1,000, 000 annual Noncompetitive tenders. . . . . . . . . . . ... Accrued interest payable by investor Payment by non-institutional investors. . . . .. . . . . ~. . . None . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . Full Key Dates: Deadline for receipt of payment to be submitted Settlement date ( f inal . . . . . . . . . . . . Acceptable tenders. . . . Tuesday, Decor ~ by provision based on the average of accepted bids To be determined at auction 'Xb be determined after auction To be determined August 15 and February 15 (first payment on August 15, 1983) $1,000 Yield Auction as an Must be expressed annual yield, with decimals, two e.g. , 7.10% Accepted in full average price up at the to $1,000, 000 1:30 p.m. , Full payment with tender to be submitted Acceptable 21@ 1982, EST Wednesday, December by 1:30 p.m. , EST 22, 1982, payment institutions) or Federal funds. . . . . cash a) b) readily collectible check. due from 9) None with tender Deposit guarantee by designated institutions. 15, 2003 January 4, 1983 Friday, December 31, 1982 Tuesday, January 4, 1983 Friday, December 31, 1982 Tuesday, Department of the Treasury ~ Washington, D.C. ~ Telephone 566-204~ December 14, 1982 For Immediate Release DR. MA'NUEL JOHNSON CONFIRMED AS ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY FOR ECONOMIC POLICY The U. S. Senate has confirmed the nomination of Dr. Manuel Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Policy. Dr. Johnson's was nominated by President Reagan on July 23, 1982 and was confirmed by the Senate on December 10, 1982. Prior to his appointment as Assistant Secretary, Mr. Johnson served as Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Johnson as Assistant Policy. As Assistant Secretary for Economic Policy, Dr. Johnson is responsible for advising the Secretary and other senior Treasury officials of current and prospective economic developments and assists in developing economic policies. The Assistant Secretary is responsible for analyzing domestic and international economic issues as well as developments in the financial markets. Dr. Johnson will participate with the Secretary in the Cabinet Council on Economic Affairs (CCEA). He will work closely with officials of the Office of Management and Budget, the Council of Economic Advisers, and other Government agencies on tax and budget policy. Before serving as Deputy Assistant Secretary, Dr. Johnson associate professor of economics in the graduate school at George Mason University and an adjunct scholar of the Heritage Dr. Johnson was educated at Troy State University Foundation. (B.S. , Economics), and Florida State University (M. S. and Ph. D. , Economics). was an He was R-1071 born February 10, 1949 in Troy, Alabama. of the Treasury e Washington, D.t. Department ~ Telephone 566-2041 For Release U on Deliver Expected at 10 a. m. EST December 15, 1982 STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE JOHN E. CHAPOTON ASSISTANT SECRETARY (TAX POLICY) DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SENATE FINANCE COMMITTEE Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: pleased to have the opportunity to present the views of the Treasury Department on S. 2985, which would make legal enforceability a prerequisite to the accrual of gross income represented by "debts" due and owing to a taxpayer at the end of the taxable year. Treasury is strongly opposed to I am S. 2985. Descri tion of S. 2985 Under current law, an accrual method taxpayer must include an amount in gross income when all the events have occurred which fix the right to receive such income and the with reasonable accuracy. amount thereof can be determined equal to a .debt S. 2985 provides generally that an amount income where the from deducted shall not be included in or and until the unless law state under debt is not enforceable for taxable effective be would The provision paid. is debt 1964. December 31, after beginning years S. 2985 would reverse retroactively a recent decision of Circuit Court of Appeals which held that a gambling casino operating in Nevada must accrue winnings from customers who gamble on credit at the time the receivables arise, despite the fact that gambling debts are not the Ninth iz 1072 Flamin o Resort, Inc. v. enforceable under Nevada law. 82). * T e taxpayer United States, 664 F. 2d 1387 (9t Car. in that case argued, as do the proponents of S. 2985, that because the casinos cannot legally enforce collection of their receivables their right to this income is not fixed. The taxpayer's position, therefore, was that the income represented by the receivables should not be accrued until is paid. it The Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals, in rejecting the taxpayer's argument, stated that legal enforceability is relevant in determining whether all the events have occurred which fix the right to receive income. However, the court found that the lack of legal enforceability was not determinative of whether this test was met under the facts of the case before it. The court noted that the absence of legal enforceability did not seem to affect collection of the casino's outstanding receivables. Indeed, the collection rate was guite high. There was no evidence that legal enforceability would have increased the collection rate. Discussion Generally, under current law, taxpayers that do not maintain inventories may elect to compute taxable income under the cash or accrual method of accounting. Under the cash method of accounting, income is reported for tax purposes in the taxable year in which it is actually or constructively received. Deductions are taken into account in the taxable year in which payment is actually made. Under the accrual method of accounting, income is reported when all the events have occurred which fix the. right to receive such income and the amount thereof can be determined with reasonable accuracy. Similarly, an expense is deductible for the taxable year in which all the events have occurred which determine the fact of the liability and the amount thereof can be determined with reasonable accuracy. The effect of S. 2985 would be to put gambling casinos on the cash method of accounting for income while permitting them to continue to accrue current deductions for expenses related to that income. This treatment would give the casinos the best of both worlds: they would be able to defer of the reporting currently. We income while taking related deductions do not think that the casinos have *In a case which presented virtually Court has held that such receivables Desert Palace, Inc. v. Commissioner, The Desert Palace case Circuit. is currently identical facts, the Tax were not accruable. 72 T. C. 1033 (1979). on appeal to the Ninth demonstrated that such special tr'eatment would be justified. All accrual method taxpayers that extend credit to customers in the ordinary course of business face the risk that income accrued at the end of a taxable year will not be received ~ Current law permits a taxpayer to account for this risk by establishing a reserve for bad debts and deducting a reasonable addition to its reserve each year. If, because of the lack. of legal enforceability or some other reason, a casino determines that some of its receivables will not be collected, it can obtain appropriate relief through establishing such a reserve and reducing accrued income with bad debt deduction. The fact that the receivables of casinos are not legally enforceable does not provide a basis for granting them better treatment than other accrual method taxpayers. Indeed, from the facts presented in the Plamin o Resort case, the collection rate may be higher for casinos t an for many other businesses. a current The Treasury Department believes that the decision in the Plamin o Resort case correctly interprets current law and that it should not be overturned. The decisidn is consistent with other cases in which taxpayers have been required to accrue income from obligations that were not legally enforceable. Por instance, income from usurious loans has been held to be accruable despite the lack of legal Barker v. Na ruder, 95 P. 2d 122 (D. C. Cir. enforceability. 1938). S. 2985 would reverse this longstanding decision. Similarly, income from executory contracts has been held to be accruable even though collection was not legally enforceable until performance had occurred. Travis v. Commissioner, 406 P. 2d 987 (6th Cir. 1969). Enactment of S. intended beneficiaries of S. 2985 are the Nevada casinos, the principle on which the bill is based would cover many other types of taxpayers and transactions. disagree with the assertion that the accrual We strongly of an obligation should depend upon the enforceability of the obligation under local law. Basic principles of equity require that similarly situated taxpayers be taxed similarly. Since other accrual method taxpayers are required to accrue income that ultimately may not be collected, it would give an unfair preference to gambling casinos to permit them to defer The bad debt reserve the income from their receivables. deduction allowed to all accrual method taxpayers under current law is a more than adequate means of taking the risk of nonpayment into account in computing income from receivables. any rule that would make the tax consequences from a transaction dependent upon the law of the resulting is consummated would create numerous state in which practical and administrative problems. In cases involving taxpayers who have transacted business in a number of states, Moreover, it the examining agent would have to be familiar with the law in each of those states to determine the taxpayer's proper tax liability. Additional administrative problems would be caused by the provision in S. 2985 which would apply this incorrect principle retroactively as far back as 1965. Conclusion The Treasury Department is strongly opposed to S. 2985. rule that would be enacted by the bill is directly contrary to the general rule of accrual method tax accounting in accruing which disregards risks of future nonpayment This would give preferential income from receivables. treatment to a narrow class of taxpayers over other accrual method taxpayers. Ne believe that the bad debt reserve deduction provided by current- law is adequate to account for the possibxlity that income from receivables ultimately may not be paid. Moreover, S. 2985 would create administrative problems and would establish a principle which, if enacted, far beyond the narrow would affect taxpayers and transactions intended benefit. it is to group The I would be happy to answer your questions. Ipartment of the Treasury FOR IMMEDIATE ~ Washington, D.C. ~ Telephone 566-204f RELEASE December RESULTS OF AUCTION 15, 1982 OF 2-YEAR NOTES The Department of the Treasury has accepted $7, 004 million of $13, 660 million of tenders received from the public for the 2-year notes, Series Z-1984, auctioned today. The notes will be issued December 3l, 1982, and mature December 31, 1984. The interest rate on the notes will be 9-3/8%. The range of accepted competitive bids, and the corresponding prices the 9-3/8~ interest rate are as follows: Bids Prices Lowest yield 9. 42% 99. 920 9. 50% 99. 777 Highest yield 99. 848 9. 46% Average yield Tenders at the high yield were allotted TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury To ta 1 s $7, 004 of noncompetitive from the public. The at Received 64, 715 10, 752, 780 48, 995 243, 135 92, 175 91, 380 1, 055, 665 205, 015 51, 135 101, 460 24, 060 925, 140 4, 055 $13, 659, 710 (In Thousands) $ Accepted 62, 415 5, 406, 620 41, 595 196, 775 85, 200 82, 500 498, 205 137, 055 49, 175 98, 000 24, 060 318, 220 4, 055 $7, 003, 875 million of accepted tenders includes $1, 423 million tenders and $5, 581 million of competitive tenders In addition to the $7, 004 million of tenders accepted in the auction process, $280 million of tenders was awarded at the average price to Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international An additional $600 million of tenders was also monetary authorities. the average at Government accounts and Federal from price accepted for their Banks own account in for maturing securities. exchange Reserve R-1073 of the Treasury plpartment ~ washington, D.C. ~ Telephone 666-2041 Contact: FOR IMMEDIATE December Roy G. Hale (202) 566-2843 RELEASE 16, 1982 POSTPONEMENT IN DECISION TO CONSTRUCT SATELLITE FACILITY TO PRODUCE CURRENCY TREASURY ANNOUNCES Treasurer o f the Uni ted S tates Ange la M. REMOTE (Bay) Buchanan that the Department of the Treasury has indefinitely a decision to construct a satellite today announced postponed facility in the production western United of currency during will provide time to evaluate States suitable for expanded an emergency. the The postponement satellite facility for the of Engraving and Printing as part of overall contingency planning for the Treasury Department and other agencies of Bureau government. p, -1074 iepartmeni of ihe Treasury ~ Washincyion. D.C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 12:00 FOR RELEASE AT NOON TREASURY ' S 52-WEEK December 17, 1982 BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for approximately $7, 000 million of 364-day Treasury bills to be dated December 30, 1982, and to mature December 29, 1983 (CUSIP No. 912794 DG 6 ). This issue will provide about $1, 750 million new cash for the Treasury, as the maturing 52-week bill was originally issued in the amount of $5, 260 million. bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing December 30 1982. In addition to the maturing 52-week bills, there are $9, 642 million of maturing bills which were originally issued as 13-week and 26-week bills. The disposition of this latter amount will be announced next week. Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities currently hold $ 1, 639 million, and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account hold $3, 238 million of the These amounts represent the combined holdings of maturing bills Tenders from such accounts for the three issues of maturing bills' The ~ and as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the weighted Additional amounts average price of accepted competitive tenders. of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. For purposes of determining such additional amounts, foreign and international million monetary authorities are considered to hold $360 52-week issue. of the original The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount This series of bills will be will be payable without interest. issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $lp, ppp on the records either of the and in any higher $5, 000 multiple, Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasury. Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C. 20226, up to 1:30 p. m. , Eastern Standard time, Thursday, Form PD 4632-1 should be used to submit December 23, 1982. bills maintained on the book-entry records of to be for tenders of the Treasury. Department Federal Reserve Banks for themselves R-1075 of $10, 000 . Tenders over In the case of competitive tenders, the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with three decimals, e .g . , 97 .920 . Fractions may not be used . Each tender must be for a minimum must be in multiples of $5, 000 $10,000 . Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities if the names of the may submit tenders for account of customers, customers and the amount for each customer are furnished . Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills . such position is in excess of $200 million . This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p .m . Eastern time on the day of the auction . Such positions would include bills if being offered acquired through transactions . "when Dealers, issued" trading, who make primary and futures markets and forward in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million . of the bills applied for for bills to be maintained on must the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference betwee'n the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction. Payment for the full par amount accompany all tenders submitted tenders from incorporated banks companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches . A deposit of for must accompany 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the No and deposit need accompany trust tenders . Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids . Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders . The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final . Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for $500, 000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids . Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on December 30, 1982, in cash or other immediately-available f unds or in Treasury bills maturing December 30, 1982. Cash adjustments will be made bills accepted for differences -in exchange the par value of the maturing the issue price of the new bills. between and Section 454(b) of the Internal Revenue Code, the of discount at which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed, or otherwise disposed of. Section 1232(a)(4) provides that any gain on the sale or redemption of these bills that does not exceed the ratable share of the acquisition discount must be included in the Federal income tax return of the owner as ordinary income. The acquisition discount is the excess of the stated redemption price over the taxpayer's basis (cost) for the bill. The ratable share of this discount is determined by multiplying such discount by a fraction, the ~~~merator of which is the number of days the taxpayer held the bill and the denominator of which is the number of days from the day following the taxpayer's date of purchase to the maturity of the bill. If the gain on the sale of a bill exceeds the taxpayer's ratable portion of the acquisition discount, the excess gain is treated as short-term capital gains Under amount Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, and this notice, prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. epattment of the Treasury FOR IMMEDIATE ~ Washinyion. D.C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 December RELEASE 20, 1982 RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $5, 800 million 26-week bills, both to be issued 98.036 98. 001 98.014 Low Average a/ Excepting Tenders Tenders 1 26-week bills June 23, 1983 maturing Investment Discount Rate 1/ Rate Price 13-week bills March 24, 1983 maturing Investment Discount Price Rate 1/ Rate OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: RANGE High of 13-week bills and for $5, 802 million of on December 23, 1982, were accepted today. 7. 770% 7.908% 7. 857/ tender of $600, 000. at the at the low low 8.04% 8. 18% 8. 13% 95. 931 a/ 8.049% 8. 51% 8. 58% 95. 895 8. 120% 95. 903 8. 104% 2/ 8. 57% price for the 13-week bills price for the 26-week bills were were allotted 33%. allotted 73%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Received 180 10, 140, 580 22, 610 Location $40, Boston New York Philadelphia 70, 840 24, 775 29, 285 899, 190 44, 155 16,020 Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis 33, 620 13, 855 City Kansas Dallas San 773, 585 183,570 $12, 292, 265 Francisco Treasury TOTALS Type Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public Federal Reserve Foreign Official Institutions TOTALS on money R-1076 market 60, 245 43, 025 33, 165 18, 610 761, 390 18, 220 15, 660 29, 295 24, 775 29, 285 539, 190 42, 155 16, 020 33, 620 13, 855 133,585 183, 570 $5, 800, 315 9, 920 1,014, 000 : 160, 810 $12, 691, 850 Accepted 24, 415 235 536, 4, 60, 245 22, 025 33, 165 18, 610 236, 390 15, 220 13, 910 29, 295 9, 920 642, 250 160, 810 $5, 802, 490 $10, 112,270 701, 340 $10, 813,610 1, 386, 955 $3, 620, 320 $10, 299, 070 701 340 $4, 321, 660 465 180 $10, 764, 250 1, 386, 955 1, 385, 000 $3, 409, 710 465, 180 $3, 874, 890 1, 385, 000 91 700 91 700 542 600 542, 600 $12, 292, 265 $5, 800, 315 $12, 691, 850 $5, 802, 490 coupon-issue yield. average for calculating four-week The ]/ Equivalent Received 59, 415 10, 468, 095 Accepted 40, 180 $ 4, 681, 630 22, 610 39, 840 the certificates is 8. 268%. : maximum interest rate payable FOR IMMEDIATE The Treasury RELEASE DECEMBER announced 20' 1982 today that the 2-1/2 year yield curve rate for the five business days ending December 20, 1982, averaged 9 70 t rounded to the nearest f ive basis points. Ceiling rates based on this rate will be Treasury in effect January from Tuesday, December 21, 1982 through Monday, 3, 1983. Detailed rules as to the use of this rate in establishing certificates the ceiling rates for small saver were published in the Federal Register on July 17, 1981. Small saver ceiling rates and related information available from the DIDC on a recorded The phone number telephone is message. is (202)566-3734. Approved, Francis X. Cavanaugh, Director Office of Government Finance a Market Analysis Ipartlnent of the Treasury ~ Washington, D.C. REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE JOHN ASSISTANT SECRETARY (ENFORCEMENT ~ M. WALKER, AND Telephone 566-2041 JR. OPERATIONS) TO THE DEFENSE DEPARTMENT POSSE COMITATUS CONFERENCE DEFENSE UNIVERSITY FORT McNAIR, VIRGINIA AT THE NATIONAL TUESDAYS DECEMBER 7g 1982 Thank you, Jim. I am glad to have this opportunity to speak to you for a few minutes and honored to be on the platform with Paula Hawkins, who is doing so much in the Senate to support this Administration's battle against drug I was sorry to miss the panel yesterday but trafficking' know that I had a good pinch-hitter in my Deputy Bob Powis, who explained to you in some detail what we do in Treasury in Enforcement and Operations and how we are engaged with the enemy in the war against drug trafficking and violent cr1me ~ The reason I could not be here was that I was attending the funeral of Ariel Rios, an ATF agent, who fell in action last week in South Florida during a raid against drug and firearms traffickers. Yesterday, as the eulogies were being given in a beautiful mountain village in Puerto Rico and the three-gun salute was being fired, I was reminded of the ceremonies I have attended at Arlington National Cemetery in honor of those in uniform who have given their lives for their country. For in every respect, I felt that Ariel Rios was a true war hero who, no less than the military men who serve our country, was responding to the call of General MacArthur at West Point many years ago when he reminded the cadets of their allegiance to "duty, honor, and country. " Yesterday, ability of trafficking. Bob Powis made military involvement of Treasury's referring operations which He was clear to you the indispensin the war against drug to the interdiction phase is military in nature. in the wars that our nation has fought and that are in this famous war college, we in the drug interdiction business are dealing with a foreign enemy. All of the cocaine and heroin, and most of the marijuana, reaches our shores illegally from abroad. Our theatre of operations has been South Florida but is being expanded to include other parts of the country. As examined R-1077 The enemy is sophisticated. We know drug trafficker organizations have their own intelligence networks that make use of modern technology. We are aware that these enemy intelligence networks monitor our law enforcement and interdiction communications and have been able to determine the timing and scope of government enforcement operations. is fully armed. The traffic in machineguns as semithe drug trade, whether manufactured automatic weapons and then converted, or stolen from military installations, is a national problem. These machineguns are being used to arm the enemy. The enemy to support The enemy is well financed. Estimates of national drug revenue range between $50 to $80 billion. Money-laundering investigations have uncovered as much as $240 million through a single bank account; just recently we discovered laundering operations of $80 million and illicit $100 million. Without military support, we at Treasury are eng'aging the enemy with both hands tied behind our back, for we are missing valuable intelligence as well as vital equipment. There is no reason to give the enemy this advantage. trafficking today is corroding our society. It the lives of millions of young people, rendering them unfit to lead productive lives or to serve their country; it places billions of untaxed dollars into the hands of organized crime; it corrupts the criminal justice system at the Federal and State levels; and it spawns violent crime an an epidemic scale. It is estimated that more than fifty percent of violent crime is related to drug trafficking as drug abusers rob, steal, and even kill to find the money to buy drugs. Drug wrecks The President has drawn the line against drug traff icking. has made a declaration of war. It is the duty of all of us, civilian and military alike, to respond to our Commander in He Chief and to see that this war is won. Thank you very much. s Department of the Treasury ~ Washington, .~y D.C. ~ L+Telephone 566-204~ TRINA STATEMENT OP THE HONORABLE DONALD T SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY . g . ilY, REGAN before the HOUSE BANKING i FINANCE AND URBAN Washington, December International Debt Situation D. C. AFFAIRS COMMITTEE 21, 1982 and Increase in IMF Resources of the Committee: I am pleased to meet with you today to discuss the international debt situation and current negotiations on an increase in the resources of the International Monetary Fund. The world Mr. Chairman and members faces extremely difficult economic and financial problems, essentially without precedent in the postwar period. Mismanagement of these problems would have serious adverse effects on the United States economy -- on our recovery and on our ability to create needed new jobs. Orderly resolution will minimize the potential risks for our citizens. I would like to review the situation, the broad strategy for dealing with current problems and, given the critical role for the IMF in this approach, the status of international discussions on increasing IMF resources. Answers to the specific questions in your letter of invitation are appended to my statement. International The Financ present ial troubled Develo ments. state of the world economy has its inflation pressures in the late 1960's, the twin oil shocks of the 1970's and policy responses that roots in emerging attempted to avoid adjustment to new economic realities. The appropriate the economic response oil price increases counter inflationary resource reallocation and was monetary pressure, the reduced real consumption problems emerging new competitive possibilities and fiscal restraint to for real adjustment and to reflect to and conditions large by the implied and transfer of income and wealth to OPEC. Instead, many governments tried to maintain real incomes at levels prevailing prior to the price increases and preserve employment in uncompetitive industries by transfers. Reluctance to pay for these transfers and subsidies by increased taxation led to debt. -financed increases in government outlays, with monetization of the resulting deficits producing faster monetary growth in turn. The results were higher inflation, slower real growth, and rising government sector deficits relative to GNP (primarily from enlarged transfer payments) In addition and of central importance in today's debt situation -- oil importing countries — ~ experienced borrowixg unprecedented current account. deficits and external requirements. of the needed current account financing was provided through private markets, largely by commercial banks. CommerMost cial banks served OPEC and borrowing siderably larger, as the risk-taking countriesand intermediaries The growth the financing between of lending smoother, than was many con- obser- possible; but the corollary has been the debt. rapid growth of international In addition, the liquidity provided by the growth of international lending tended to postpone adjustment of domestic economies and helped maintain consumption at inflated levels. vers had thought Continued borrowing encouraged by the belief part of debtors on the was that inflation erode their debt burden. would increase The official -- was countries. By about $500 —5 by these countries to Latin America) went both private on the non-OpEC LDC and developing debt was times the level of their debt in 1973. countries reached in 1977, rose to $22 billion billion -- lending the end of 1981, total non-OpEC billion industrialized in international heavily concentrated Net new borrowing went of adjustment and postponement a from banks cyclical low in 1978 (of which and $42 to Latin America). in the major of $11 billion $13 billion billion in 1981 (of By June which $33 1982, the stock of debt owed to the private Western banks by non-OPEC developing totaled around $265 billion, of which $168 billion was owed by countries in Latin America. In recent months, financial markets have begun to recognize that the inflationary environment of the 1970's is changing countries fundamentally. Markets are beginning to believe that the world is in a disinflationary period that will continue for Inflation expectations are undergoing dramatic some time. loan portfolios that were Lenders are re-evaluating change. established under quite different expectations about future inflation. Levels of debt previously expected to decline in real terms -- and therefore to remain manageable relative to growing nominal export receipts under conditions of high inflaeconomy tion -- face of are weak now seen to be high in real terms and export prices and slow world economic large in the growth. -4- -- Int. crest rates though down recently in nominal terms -- are in real terms because of seen to be high and more burdensome inflation. On the other hand, the strong possibility that. real interest. rates will eventually be reduced is a positive factor in the outlook. The re-evaluation that is going on is an inevitable result of the collision between ongoing inflationary behavior and monetary policy that no longer provides sufficient money to finance continued high inflation. In general, national monetary policies authorities are demonstrating that anti-inflationary will not be reversed at the first signs of slow growth or higher The world economy is in the midst of an unavoidunemployment. lower expected period which will continue able adjustment abate and the public's expectations it has in the past. In this atmosphere tone in bank lending of shifting expectations, is cautious. and with major The problems corporate borrowers strong and well-known Previously and Europe America or solvency crises until this year. liquidity of individual ization. now private companies require debt restructuring Major sovereign borrowers, beginning then Mexi o and Brazil have faced liquidity shortages: exchange Yugoslavia, servicing growth the overall did not develop overnight' of them were foreseen in 1981, but did not reach the stage sovereign Many ceases to be based behavior that inflation will persist into the future on the presumption as until inflationary Poland, debt- industry. and a Internationally, -- and rational- with Argentina, problems host of other countries Zaire, the Sudan in North -- and foreign including also have problems rescheduling has become a Accordingly, country exposure banks and are taking a harder transfer risk, look at lending, and the strength of the other banks they deal with. They are increasing their loan loss provisions, and expect to be involved in debt restructurings with many of their sovereign borrowers. The major debt problem international tend to view the basic banks as one of liquidity rather than solvency. the key causes to be faulty domestic policies and LDC They see the weak of the world economy. Most would assume there is a negligible risk of permanent default by major sovereign borrowers, and that corrective domestic policies, coupled with world performance recovery, economic will restore credit-worthiness questions credits ments LDCs uncertainities are in the delays of confidence and credit-worthiness, and over the longer term. in reestablishment of the The major about the adequacy from the banking availability of new to provide support as adjust- and continued community take place. With the dec line in inflation establishment and of economic adjustment interest rates, programs and the in key borrowing countries, the rate of increase in demand for new bank lending is not expected to be as high as in previous years. But some The essence of the problem net new lending will be required. is to assure that conditions are established that will reconcile the necessary prudence in lending with the need for continued financ ing while these adjustments take effect. States Interests United The world ably -- economy since interdependent in international national has become highly World War -- and II, with international a strong growth increase in inter- trade and an extraordinary financing. often uncomfort- trade vas the single most part of the world economy in the decade of the 1970s. Our own stake in the health of the world economy has grown rapidly as well. U. S. exports in the latter part of the decade Merchandise grew twice as fast as the growth of world trade. dynamic exports as a share of U. S. gross national between By 1970 and 1979 and now product account for 8 percent for the end of the decade, exports accounted acres of U. S. agricultural of our total agricultural doubled production production. —or One one roughly of U. S. GNP. in three 40 percent out of every eight sector produced for export; and nearly 20 percent of our total production of goods was exportedImports have also risen rapidly, to the point that something like 20 percent of our consumption is supplied by imports, and imports form an integral part of the U. S. production process. In the financial area, U. S.-owned banks account for about. one-third of total international bank lending to final borrowers. International bank claims outstanding, after eliminating double counting from inter-bank transactions, total about $1 trillion, jobs in the manufacturing while UPS. banks' claims on foreign borrowers billion as of 1982. Most U. s. bank lending tomers mid in the developed country vere around involves area, but about one-fourth $349 cusgoes to Latin America. These figures are indicative of the share of risk borne by U. S. banks, and are roughly proportional to the U S. share of GNP in the OECD area. ~ The S. links between trade and banking are obvious . Moreover, ' ability to finance domestic activity clearly benefits from a sound, profitable international lending business . Mr. Chairman, as this discussion has indicated, the United States economy is strongly tied to developments abroad. We have very solid self -interests in assuring that the debt and financial In order to identify specific situation is smoothly handled. U. S. interests, I would like to discuss briefly a hypothetical case where the United States and major foreign governments follow a "hands-of f" approach to debt problems, effectively allowing them to follow their course without official support. From what we ' ve seen in the last few months, private lenders have become extremely hesitant to extend new loans to U ~ LDCs banks back until new with sizeable saddled the borrowers debts -- ~ encouraged domestic policies aimed at reducing the sake of discussion, a "hands-of lenders are holding by the IMF —undertake Private borrowing f" attitude needs . For by the U. S. and others would most likely result in a cessation of new private What would that mean for the borlending to LDCs in general rovers, for the world economy, for the United States, and for ~ our citizens LDC jn 1981. . borrowers We received about $45 billion in new bank expect this year they will borrow somethi ng loans like year, if leaders pulled back sharply in the absence of any interest or action on the part of the major industrial countries, this lending could decline towards zero. $20-25 billion. Next that there is Assuming $5-10 billion, private lending next year, say face a decline of $35-40 billion in some new LDCs would loans over the 1981-83 period. Trade and current def ic its would have to be reduced accordingly lower level of external What would First, industrial cuts in LDC in lending to the adjustment countries. imports, industrial against match the new financing. such a reduction the world as a whole? to account As a LDCs imply would largely of unavoidable consequence country come for exports ~ould be directly reduced by $35-40 billion. This would represent a direct loss of 0. 3 to 0. 5 percent of GNP in the industrial countries; secondary effects could double that loss to some 0. 6 to 1.0 percent of their GNP. At the early stage of global recovery we' re likely to be in next year, a drop of this magnitude from lost exports could abort the gradual rebuilding of consumer and investor confidence needed for a sustained recovery. For the United States, the effects would be broadly similar. Growth would be about 1 percent less than we' re expecting, and our trade defic it would grow very rapidly due to the loss of $12 billion or so in exports to LDCs. Lost jobs in vital export sectors would compound our recovery ef forts. The American c itizen has the right to ask why he and his government With high need to be concerned unemployment at home, with debt problems why should we be abroad. assisting other countries, rather than, say, reducing taxes or increasing spending domestically? Why should he care what happens to the international financial system? to look at this guestion is to ask what the implications are for workers in Providence, Pascoag or Woonsocket if One way foreign borrowers sufficient assistance to adjust in an orderly way. What if they are late in making interest payments to banks, or can't pay princ ipal, and loans become non-performing or are written off as a loss? If interest payments are more than 90 days late, the banks stop accruing them on their books, they suffer reduced profits and bear the costs of continued funding of the loan. Provisions may have to be made for loss, and as loans are actually written off, the c api tal of the bank is reduc ed. This in turn reduces the banks' capital/asset ratio, which forces banks to curtail lending to individual borrowers and lowers the overall total they can lend. The reduction in the banks can lend will amounts banks' do not receive reduced ability to includes language make the purchase finance the operations I talking make which of municipal bonds which very clear, where ability to Mr. Chairman, than corporations. 10 percent Well over of the total number 1, 500 of the in everyday help to individual lend could also that we are not here just about the big money center banks and the multinational more to So will investments, Reduced work and want on the economy. of the communities live. raise interest rates. Americans impact U. S. banks, U. S. banks, or have loaned money to Latin America alone. in-size They range over $100 billion in assets to about $100 million. are located in virtually Congressional any district, every size in the country. Those loans, exports, exports that resulted financed investment every of every community among other things, in jobs, housing or created throughout being maintained Those banks state, in virtually in virtually and from and the United States. If the foreign borrowers are not able to service those loans, not only will U. S. banks not be able to continue lending curtail their lending in the United States. Let me illustrate this point as graphically as I can. A sound, well-run U. S. bank of $10 billion in assets not all that large today -- might have capital of $600 million. It is required by the regulators to maintain the ratio of at least $6 in capital to every $100 in assets. What happens if 10%, or $60 million, of its capital is eroded through foreign loan losses? It must contract its lending by $1 billion. Now realistically, the regulators will not force it to contract they will have to severely abroad, immediately, until but they will force its capital can be it to restrict its growth rebuilt. result in either event is $1 billion in loans that can't be made in that community -- 20, 000 home mortgages at $50, 000 each that can't be financed, or 10, 000 lines of The net credit to local businesses at $100, 000 each that can't be extended. And negative of course, this reduction effects on financing in lending also will have of exports, imports, domestic investment it the United States, be -- it banks The impact the economic system as a whole. reduction in economic activity, Higher with around will not only be on the affect the individual will negatively states and tourist facilities, in shipping, or manufacturing. farming, cities in individual and production as well as and a unemployment all they entail for state and Federal budgets would be a further result. of this is in the interest of the U. S. citizen. city, None to the question why the United States should participate in efforts to manage and resolve current international financial problems is that our efforts are primarily in defense of the average American and his own economic interests. The purpose is to protect his job and his income. If the U. S. is to The answer prosper, if if it is funds and insurance vitally important U. S. to adjust Strate and and the U. S. strategy we work companies' that our large seas should remain healthy helped be reduced of the companies the strength pension is to unemployment and new for and jobs created, in which our invest is to be maintained, and growing and, when in economic customers difficulty, overbe recover. role of the IMF to deal with current strains on the international financial system contains five key elements. If these operate as they should, there is no need for a potential Indeed, there is good probability crisis to be unmanageable. for a steady and sustained, albeit gradual, improvement, both jn the basic, underlying situation as well as in the reestablishment of conf idence. -l 2-. t T'hese key' elements structed palliatives. the international First, are not new, nor are they hastily con- monetary and countries effective, domestic adjustment The necessary between effort to remedy must be orderly, efforts the debt. but, concerned. by each country external payments countries. But experience is likely to be nation of the following experiencing system. will vary from country to country since adjustments the causes of a country's differ financial the crux of any lasting of less-developed problems of they go to the foundations Rather, shows found uncontrolled debt problems: large f iscal def ic its, inflationary difficulties usually that in a country government growth, money some combi- expenditures, inef f ic ient state enterprises, subsidized or protected private enterprises, distorted prices, rigid exchange rates, and interest rate restrictions which discourage location of investment private savings and contribute to a misal- expenditures. surprisingly, the economic adjustments necessary to restore a country's foreign borrowing capac ity are also necessary Not to restore the conditions for stable and strong domestic economic I do not want to underestimate the short-run political dif f iculties of making the necessary growth. However, economic and adjustments. is readiness to provide offic ial financ ing on a transitional basis where that is needed to permit orderly adjustment to take place. The international institution best able to provide offic ial support within the context of The second key element -13domestic economic adjustment is the IMF. In this connection, the IMF plays a number of key roles. The staff of the IMF closely with member governments in order to help identify the causes of their economic problems and to identify the appropriate economic policy adjustments. The IMF also stands ready to provide temporary financial support to those countries willing and able to undertake the necessary economic policy measures to get out of their external financial problems. The IMF cannot force a member country to adopt an economic program. However, when committing its resources, the IMF has a special responsibility to assure itself that the economic adjustment program a country is following will restore domestic and external health, and that the economic adjustment program will lead to trade and financial transfewer restrictions on international actions. Other forms of official financing can also provide increased direct assistance that can make a significant remedial contribuworks tion to troubled LDC debtors, as well as serving the commercial and financial interests of the lending country. However, neither IMF nor other official credit, in themselves, will be be sufficient to provide the required finance liquidity to support the adjustment necessary to redress the debtor country. Additional economy of a major industrializing liquidity and trade finance must be forthcoming. Thus, a third key element is commercial bank financing. The role of the commercial banks overshadows that pf a]] other At the end of l98l, total non-OPEC LDC debt lenders combined. and -14F totaled about $500 billion, of which 8255 billion (5l percent) was to private banks. During the first half of l982, the proportion of debt to the ial commerc banking system inc reased further. In the second half of 1982, U. S. regional to limit or reduce exposure. banks have sought they are successful, strain they place a greater that are commited to the international countries, the borrowing This increases extent To the disproportionate official lenders f inancial system, and on resources of the larger banks and on the burden. and foreign and some faced with a severe adjustment already precipitate, the risk of restrictive, politically destabilizing adjustment, rather than a more gradual, albeit still painful, process that we consider essential. A cessation of commercial bank lending is not in the interest of the lending banks themselves. In some cases, it and potentially still could push weak, but otherwise rescheduling. large small non-productive -- and non-foreign must be aware to reduce exposure during process that is underway. the adjustment Thus continued by the banks earning, exchange of the dangers should they attempt package a that have played a part in the international that enabled LDC borrowers to run up debt, some of it. and lending All those commerc viable, borrowers into ial banking institutions -- though -- reduced are a necessary component required to support orderly flows of new 'Financing of the overall f inane ing economic adjustment. fourth element A in potential -15is the official will emergencies. As demonstrated and in capacity to act some recent cases, in limited instances when the stability of the system is at stake, there may be a need for immediate and suf f icient ad hoc liquidity support which can be made available to countries while they negotiate with the IMF, formulate adjustment programs, out orderly financing programs with their creditors, begin the process of program implementation. work and Central banks, working cooperatively among themselves and with the Bank for International Settlements, at times supplemented by U. S. Treasury resources, can provide short-term financial adequate out an assurance IMF Let zation assistance, me Fund situation. under appropriate of repayment, adjustment conditions and with until the borrower can work program. the role of the Treasury's Exchange Stabiliin the context of the current international economic The ESF was established in 1934, to enable the mention Treasury to act exchange markets. when necessary to stabilize international The ESF has been used many times over the years, both to finance U. ST operations in the exchange markets and to provide short-term financing to other countries. Its provisions have been modified by the Congress from time to to reflect the evolution of the international monetary system, including recognition of the shift to floating exchange rates and the central role of the ZMF in providing official time balance of payments financing. In the present context, a need for short-term support banks have become con- has arisen where commercial cerned about their exposure liquidity in key borrowing countries and to pr@cipitously curtail lending. The immediate consequence is to make the borrowers ' financing problems worse. For the longer-term, the economic adjustments undertaken in connection with an IMF program will strengthen the countries ' ability to service debt, and such adjustment programs are a major factor in restoring banks ' confidence and willingness to continue lending. But there is inevitably a lag between the time major liquidity problems arise, domestic programs are have acted formulated, begins. is agreement It is reached with the IMF, and implementation this period that uncertainty actions are perhaps greatest. disruptive The ESF during -- in conjunction and the monetary authorities is available to play ment These and financing of other major countries role during this critical stability while are developed programs credit operations by risk of with the Federal Reserve a supporting period, to help maintain and adjustput in place. medium-term and the ESF are short-term well-secured, interest-earning central role, and and supportive are an entirely appropriate in nature, of the IMF's U. S. contribution to maintenance of international financial stability. By their nature, these are short-term ad hoc solutions, the major Central of providing Banks and Finance the necessary Ministries but. must be capable "bridge" finance needed in these -17I think there is room for situations. and mechanisms and whether work for identifying our arrangements review of whether emerging problem for providing as smoothly as they should or could cases are adequate financing emergency I our data have raised these of the Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors of major countries, and we will be doing more work in this area. The fifth key element is a set of economic policies in the countries that will produce economic growth major industrialized and a counter to the risks of inward-looking protectionism. questions What a recent meeting during is currently consumer in the world economy mi'ssing confidence. Investment as capacity utilization tions about the global remains spending economy become commonplace. unemployment, savings' adopted postpone At the current a "wait and tively can lead to The world consumption juncture, see" approach an immobilized economy is who, predic- This lack fearing the possibility in favor of rebuilding many -- and being postponed low, and gloom and doom of confidence spreads to consumers of is is business economic players a decision which have collec- world economy. fundamentally poised for a sustained inflation rates in most major countries have receded; nominal interest rates have f allen sharply; inventory rundowns are largely complete. But most. international observers do not, foresee the source of growth that wi l l re igni te i nves tment and consumption decisions. Solid, observable U. S. recovery is one critical ingredient A second ingredient to missing for world economic expansion. recovery: -18credible growth in the industrial establishing the hands of European Japanese policy and economies officials. is in What the States, Europe, and Japan can do to help promote credible growth in their domestic economies will be of major importance to each other and to the developing countries, whose current adjustment. problems can be eased by an expansion of exports to United the industrialized economies. situation that must be Governments may succumb too quickly to political borne in mind. pressures to stimulate their economies further via excessive There are dangers or fiscal expansion. monetary place pressure upward on shift at, this stag@ could interest rates, discourage the downward A major rates critical to investment-led suggest a return to the stop-go policies of the in real interest movement growth, in the current and If seventies. such an expansion it spending, government would were attempted reverse important via increased gains in reducing of governments in domestic economies. In addition, rising protectionist pressures in the United States and elsewhere pose a real threat to global recovery. the involvement Signs already exist that other tionist trade measures competitive industries in an attempt and are turning governments to preserve over the next year. could react to trade measures jn a futile attempt trade policies. jobs in non- to reduce imports and/or increase exports; there is a real danger of spreading measures to protec- protectionist, Far too quickly, by imposing their governments own restrictions, to offset the efforts of other countries' -19~ is anti-proAs the world ' s largest trader, the United tectionist policies States carries a major respons ibi li ty to lead the world away from a possible trade war. The clearest and strongest signal for other countries would be for the United States to renounce protectionist pressures at home and to preserve its essentially free trade policies. The. only solution a strong endorsement .of ~ The IMF's Role and Resources to promote a sound financial framework and is at the center of international The IMF was founded for the world economy efforts to deal with current The resources of the balance of payments IMF economic and financial problems. to provide temporary in support of the efforts of are available financing to implement the sound economic adjustment programs needed to restore their external positions to a sustainable basis. The economic policy conditions associated with use of IMF resources are designed to ensure that the adjustments are internationally responsible and effective and to assure repayment members to the IMF over the The IMF from the is medium a unique multilateral is term. institution, development and banks set class or differs fundamentally or other foreign aid of lenders or borrowers in the IMF, no concept of "donor" or "recipient. " Each member is obligated to provide its currency to the IMF to finance drawings by other countries facing balance of payments agencies. There no needs; and each country IMF group in turn has a right to draw upon the in case of balance of payments need. The U. S. subscription -20to IMF resources has been used many turn the United States has drawn upon INF resources recently in 1978, for a total equivalent most billion, the second largest In times over the years' frequently, to about $6. 5 use of the entire membership. of large balance of payments financing needs and growing debt problems has led to a sharp resurgence in requests for IMF financing. Since 1980, the use of IMF The re-emergence credit has the doubled IMF now the amount, of outstanding totals about $18 billion. of the membership, nearly a quarter place and Some 33 now have drawings on countries, INF programs in ~ Any assessment is of the adequacy of to be imprecise. INF resources over the for IMF financing depends importantly on members' balance of payments financing needs, the availability of alternative sources of funds, and the willingness and ability of members to implement Moreover, the amount of resources IMF policy conditions. effectively available to the IMF to finance drawings at any time -- the "liquidity" of the IMF -- depends not only on the medium term size of quotas composition bound and borrowing The demand but also on the arrangements, of the INF's currency holdings, whether the issuers of those currencies are in a strong enough position to allow their currencies to be used to provide credit to others, and that liquid claims the likelihood All of these factors, of ficial financing Sub and thus needs, the ability will be utilized' of the IMF to meet are subject to rapid change. ject to this caveat, present has on on the IMF that the at the order of $33 billion in resources effectively we estimate IMF -21-' available for lending, $19 bil.lion in usable currency i'ncluding billion in existing credit lines. A portion of these funds, about $10 billion, is already committed under existing IMF programs. Thus, only about $23 billion at most is available for commitment to new programs, and even this amount is uncertain for the reasons I just mentioned. Some $14 billion is virtually certain to be committed in the new future, including commitments for major programs in Mexico, Argentina, and Brazil. Given the scope of today's financing problems, requests for IMF programs by many more countries must be anticipated over the next'year, and it is quite possible that. the IMF's ability to commit resources to adjustment programs could be exhausted during the course of 1983. It is therefore clear that the IMF's liquidity position will be under serious strain in the near future. Although the IMF has sufficient resources to meet immediate cash needs, since actual drawings are phased and tied to performance under In agreed programs, there is very little margin of safety. particular, the Fund ' s abi li ty to conti nue to commit f i nanci ng, and permit its current holdings to be drawn down to low levels, and $14 and SDR holdings depends be forthcoming that further on assurances importantly resources will soon. IMF must have adequate resources if it is to effec- tively fulfill its responsibilities for maintaining the sound f i nanci al system essential for U . S . and global economic recovery. discussions that are currently two main elements underway of the IMF's resources: have been focusing -- An increase in quotas, the IMF 's traditional permanent. resource base; and -- At U. S. initiative, of a special borrowing establishment to be available for use by the IMF in uations posing a serious threat to the international arrangement, system. monetary of The adequacy relation to the of payments sit- growth imbalances IMF quotas is periodically in transactions, the size reviewed of international and financing needs, and world economic objective of such reviews is to ensure that the IMF has sufficient resources to meet the official financing The last increase in needs of members in normal circumstances' IMF quot, as became effective in 1980, following several years of negotiations and legislative consideration, and raised quotas of about $67 billion. by about 50 percent to the equivalent During the present review, which began in 1981, the U .S. has been seeking an increase that should be sufficient to meet demands for IMF resources under normal circumstances over the Some countries have advocated very major next few years' increases -- a doubling or in some cases even a tripling which we consider excessive and unrealistic. prospects. The to meeting normal requirements for official balance of payments financing, the IMF also serves as the In addition financial backstop to have, the demands that It must have, and be seen to deal with the extraordinary financing arise from time to time. Consequently, the means do for the system. 23~ States 'proposed earlier 'this year that c'onsideration be to given to creation of contingency borrowing arrangements supplement quotas, which could be called. upon by the IMF in case of need to deal with very serious balance of payments financing needs that threaten the stability of the system. We believe that such arrangements would have important attractions. -- Since credit lines would be established only with countries with relatively strong reserve and balance of payments positions, they could be expected to provide more effectively usable resources than a quota increase of comparable size. Conseque'ntly, such credit lines would be a more effective and efficient means of strengthening the IMF's ability to deal with extraordinary financial difficulties than a comparable increase in quotas. Second, by demonstrating that the IMF is positioned to deal with severe threats, such borrowing arrangements could provide the confidence to the private markets that is needed to ensure that capital continues to flow, thus reducing the risk that problems of one country will affect others. Finally, creditors under the arrangement would have an United important voice in decisions on thus would be assured that the financing only in cases of systemic effective adjustment pur discussions months have indicated its activation need and in support efforts with other would by borrowing countries very considerable and be used of countries. in the past several interest in this concept, specifically in adapting and expanding the IMF's existing General Arrang'ements to Borrow for this purpose. and Where We Stand Toda The Committee is well aware of the major country cases that hit the headlines in recent, nenths, particularly have the Latin cases of Mexico, Argentina and Brazil and some countries in Eastern Europe. Together, the three Latin American countries American have external debts outstanding totaling some $195 billion, of billion represents debts to commercial banks in the industrial countries. The debt of these three countries alone represents some 40 percent of the total estimated for all of the developing country area. Clearly, major financing and debt. servicing problems in these countries mean major potential financial system as a whole, with problems for the international adverse consequences for the United States and prospects for recovery. By the same token, progress toward resolution of which about $137 problems in these three cases can provide both an example and a basis for confidence that the problems Let confronting the system describe briefly the recent events in each of these three countries. as a whole can be managed. Mexico was confronted the summer, U. ST while its and requested it commercial initiated liquidity bind over liquidity support. from the with an extreme immediate discussions with other countries, banks on a restructuring the International Monetary sive economic adjustment positively, me first through Fund of its debts, on development program. activation with and with of a comprehen- States responded of the existing Federal The United Reserve swap line with Mexico; by arranging for the advance -25payment, for increased oil deliveries terms, on commercial the Strategic Petroleum Reserve; and, a few days joining other industrial countries under its a series of strong has announced The economic adjustment program by the aegis of the Bank for International Settlements in arrangements billion in short-term credit to Mexico. Mexico has now completed later, for to provide $1.85 negotiations adjustment with the measures Mexico has formulated at IMF and home. will be to the IMF Executive Board for formal approval on December 23. Mexico is also nearing completion of discussions with commercial banks on a program to restructure its public sector debt maturities coming due through the end of 1984, and to provide some $5 billion -- tied to continued performance under its IMF program -- in net new commercial bank financing in 1983. Argentina's financing problems began to emerge around the presented time of the Falklands conflict, foreign exchange holdings which and caused drained the country' s serious complications for to the Falklands conflict and steps toward normalization of its international financial relations, Argentina also initiated discussions domestic economic management. with the commercial program. are now As and with the IMF on an adjustment in the Mexican case, both of these discussions nearing have completed banks With the end completion. negotiations Argentina and the IMF Management on an IMF adjustment program; this will be brought to the Executive Board for action shortly. Argentina is also in the final stages of discussions with the -26cemmere ial"banks oh a packag'e involving short-term bank ' bridge f inane ing and provision $1.5 billion totaling financing with the terms of the on compliance Finally, Brazil's difficulties financing debt" restructuring, in the markets have of net new commercial in 1983, again dependent IMF program. in obtaining needed received considerable press atten- tion in recent days. As Brazil's liquidity problems began to emerge, the United States has extented short-term liquidity support to help provide breathing space while Brazil formulated an economic adjustment program and initiated negotiations with I the IMF. It have reached has just agreement been announced .on a program, that Brazil and we and the IMF expect that this will be brought to the Executive Board early next year. Brazil has also initiated discussions with the commercial banks on its financing requirements and plans In sum, very substantial these cases in developing a to acute f inane ing problems f inane ial system as responsibly and a whole. courageously for next year. progress cooperative has been made and in each of constructive approach of signif icance to the international The countries concerned have ac ted to develop, with the help of the dif f icult but necessary economic adjustment programs. Collectively, these programs are intended to reduce these countries' current account def ic its and net f inane ing requirements from an estimated $22 billion in 1982 to $12 billion in 1983, with further reductions planned for 1984. The United States and other monetary authorities have provided short-term liquidity assistance where necessary to permit longer range f inane ing IMF, 27 to .be programs and adjustment worked out. The IMF has been the central actor in each case, in developing the spec if ics of the adjustment programs of the countr y concerned, and wi 1 1 be c harged both with monitoring the implementation of those programs and providing transitional financial support as the programs take hold. And, of crucial importance, the commercial banks are demonstrating their preparedness to provide continued new f inane ing as these countries work to reduce their def ic its and external financing requirements in a deliberate, non-disruptive way. that are being placed The demands resources by these is critically that IMF ' 1 46 member -- countries there are Although s resources, the bulk of to Arrangements b j it so that agreement can make in the still -- I might add, involving are proceeding differences ] ] ion. 93 — 110 SDR of the negotiation IMF member well countries now 60 in have become appear . fairly to support pere ent, to a level new 100 b i 1 1 ion, and an expans ion of the General to Borrow to In reasonably of view, substantial quota inc rease in the range of 40 to 20 toward promptly negotiations, cases, the parameters Qf SDR 8 5 It the course of the next year in the f i rm negotiations The s f inane i al near future. reasonably clear: we move IMF ' are unprecedented. that its resources will be increased knowledge some of the during commitments other countries important on an expansion some and on the a dollar terms, billion for total total in the range of these ranges new quotas and amount SDR 15 to to about about $17 — 22 billion -28for 'the" expanded GAS. . ' The exact size of 'these arrangements, the shares of U. S. participation in each, remain and to be negotiated. finally agreed, it is important to emphasize that U. S. participation will not, affect net, U. S. budget outlays or the Federal def ic it. Detailed discussions on these and related questions are the amounts Whatever being held in the that IMF Executive Board this week. basis of these discussions on the other countries, it the negotiations early next year, after which specific legislative submit, Conc are hopeful consultations and will be possible to We with for completion of aim we would promptly for your consideration. proposals lus ion In conclusion, ordinarily difficult problems. But they will not manage to important but manageable U. S. economic is faced extrainternational financ ial themselves. It is cruc ially the world Mr. Chairman, -- interests to with U. S. economic jobs, production and investment -- that those problems be dealt with in a constructive and orderly way, and the United States cannot escape playing a leading role in that effort. An effective strategy is in place, and welcome progress is being activity, The IMF is a strategy will not succeed unattended. central element of the solution, and it is essential that we made. and The others act to assure that perform that central it we conduct resources to role. I apprec iate this opportunity as has adequate the negotiations will be able to have specific to consult with your Committee on IMF resources, legislative and hope proposals that for your we 29 shortl'y. consi'deration C, ' decisive role in the disposition ' ' ~ urge your strong support later for the legislation will, of course, have of this legislation, and I Thi's Committee now we for our negotiating approach will submit to you. and a ~ ~ ~ L~ 82-18483 L %%JJAW CYAICIOk Rl k OINWALCg, JK.IrI ~ wrrcg, ILLTCk ~%AN C AIOI JNCIO, U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATl YES RA RANRCN* WITCNCLL, IaL WALrcr C. rAUNYROr. ILC. OICYNCN L, ICAL ILC ~AY IL PIYTQ&CCVL kArcrAINL COMMITTEE ON BANKING, FlNANCE AND VRBAN AFFAIRS CALI& ssscs4 JAIACC A NecervLoevewvas r. S1RI RATSIIRW HOLSC ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~IIW. k OARNAIOL WASHINGTON, cowoacso ~Ca RPLDNO O.C, $810 ~~ NANCOI, IOANO ~ 0 CVANC. TNOWAC AAUI TCX ww Lowor, waah ~NARLCO C CNUWk g.ve December ~~ ~ ~. INIRKAN O. CNUWWAT, CALIY ~ ALL . ~ VA OIIIO WACOLLUIL PLA ~RCOOrr W. CANIAAIL N. r. ~4&ac c, wooILcr, N Y WAROC ROUICCAAA, ILL Lowcor. cw% ~ ~YA ~% MQJS k If, 1982 ~~e ~ CCRCII1Ck RArlcAk TOR WRL/AW A CCWIK Me $8%IT IL Honorable Donald T. Regan Secretary of the Treasury Department of the Treasury Washington, D. C Dear Mr. Secretary: The Federal Financial Institutions Examination CouncU recently published its Country Exposure Lending Survey, a tabulation of the amounts owned to UW banks by foreign A comparison of the amounts owned to UW banks with the capital of the borrowers banks involved, Indicates that UA banks have exposure kvels in loans to lesser developed nations which are significant and perhaps higher than prudence ~ould dictate. In addition, reports regarding the meeting in Frankfurt of the finance ministers of the major industrialiied nationsr indlleate that the Reagan hdminissration may seek changes in the international monetary system and increase in ernergeney aid. On the basis of this information and various other repIrrts reaching the Committee, I am crxlvening the Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs Committee on December 21 and 22, 1982, to conduct hearings on the potential bank for problems in the international financial markets, the nature and extent of involvement, and the adequacy of the supervisory actions of U.S and foreign bank regulatory ageflcies ~ You are requested to appear before the Committee and testify on December 21 at in Room 2128 of the Rayburn House Office Building- In your prepared statement, please address the issues or provide the information rated belowr 10:00 a.m. 1. For each of the nations around the world which owe significant sums to U.S. banks, «hat, in brief, are their present levels of total debt, levels of debt owed to U.S banks, the growth rates of that debt (in absolute terms and relative to various measures of national economic performance), and the arrangements and prospects for repayment of the debts owed UW banks ~ 2. h the credit what worthiness of any of the borrowing nations in jeopardy? If actions need to be taken by those naticxls to reestablish their credit standing. If your recommendations include austerity measuresr how are such actions likely to impact the economies of the nations involved? 3. What steps need to be taken by the U.S. ar. d other industrialized nations to reestablish confidence in international financial markets? What actions are If the actions under considerunder consideration by the Reagan Administration? ation include increasing the resources of multilateral lending institutions, specifically: a- What sue increase does the hdminisrration judge appropriate? SELL co ccrrvrc, Ark ~AUIO OARCIA, kryo ~ ~OOOOC AN LCACk IOWA CYAN LANAI CAAIICLL NUOOARIL JN Ore owIN LAraacc, N. OAVIO w cvANA, INO. WNIAAN C IYANOURR WL N ro ~YAIAcr N. OAICAk ~CART WATRNL Tee VCÃtCL WOOL c OIOO ~LAwRO p. wrLIC. CNIo ~IcwAIIT o. QcNIrrcr. cowL . b- -. How much of the increase would require funding by the U.S. and in what time periods would the funding occur? c If the amount of the funding increase were expended within the U.S. in the form o4 say& job creating loans and infrastructure rehabilitaticag instead of hens to foreign nations, what would the impact be on U.S. unemployment, housing and industrial utilization, and how ~ould that impact compare with the effects of increasing loans to foreign nations? d. What portion of the funding increase could be viewed as a form of "assistance" to large international banks which have made unwise credit extensions? If "assistance" is needed to preserve confidence in U-S. international banks, in what form should that assistance be provided? Should reliance be placed solely on indirect approaches such as IMF loan increases, or is there merit in giving consideration to net worth certificate programs like those established for ailing thrift institutions, which would subject U.S. international banks with problem loans to rigorous supervisory controls? In your judgment, have the international bank supervisory and regulatory practices of the major industrialized nations encouraged international banks, n any way, to shift funds or locate their operations so as to minimize regulatory restraints, superviaion, or taxes? If so, what actions by the ne~ly established Task Group cm Regulation of Financial Services are under amsideration to address this problem? In addition, what steps in coordinating international supervision and support have been taken in the past by the central banks of the major industrialized nations, and what actions are now being contemplated by these iastitutions to coordinate supervision and support and restore confidence in international financial markets? In accordance with Committee rules, you are asked to submit 150 copies of your written testimony to the Committee office, Room 2129 Rayburn, 20 hours in advance of your appearance. Please limit your oral testimony to 20 minutes so that all Committee members may have ample time for questioning. Your entire statement, of course, will be printed in the record and made available to all members prior to the hearing. 5 rely, a' t er main a an ~ -1:i-':. Question ~ ANNEX . For each of the nations around the world which present levels of total debt, levels of debt owed to U. S. banks, the growth rates of that debt (in absolute terms and relative to various measures of 'national economic performance), and prospects for repayment of the debts and the arrangements owed U. S. banks. The data requested are presented, for the 10 largest non-G-10 country debtors to U. S. banks, in the attached tables. of the arrangements and prospects for repayment of An assessment the debts owed U. S. banks is contained in the body of the testimony Similar material and in the responses to the remaining questions. if necessary. on other specific countries can be supplied Answer: External Indebtedness (Ranked by and Selected Financial Indicators of principal Non G-10 Countries level of indebtedness to U. S. hanks as of June 30, 1982) Mexico Claims ad'usted of Brazil First half 1902 in claims (percent) 1980 1981 First half 1902 Claims outstanding: $ millions As Percent of Capital of all BIS-area 936 2, 436 1,005 1,053 2, 336 786 634 7.2 13.8 3r422 8.9 17.6 12.9 8.4 6.3 25, 220 20 ~ 515 10r749 16.2 6, 874 6, 815 3, 517 38.1 7r 664 14,412 1980 1981 6, 537 33.0 37.6 33.9 11.8 First half 1902 3/ Claims outstanding: $ millions 4/ 1 F866 39.6 38.8 15.7 11,611 Increase in claims (percent) 1979 3/ Spain Chile Aus- PhiliP- tralia pines Taiwan %7PAL 11.4 12.7 31.0 1r 420~ 243 2rl45 -51 909 439 1,280 lr20~8 1,837 2, 050 380 675 356 2, 426 -55 626 1,941 1,172 80.8 50.5 16.6 -1.3 61.4 55.9 3$.0 75.1 25.9 9,214 13.9 8r807 6,694 6r075 10.1 9.2 5, 697 5,077 4, 710 6r745 3r655 lr953 6r513 2, 846 2, 475 4, 904 3,505 3, 188 1,647 50.4 29.1 18.8 2.7 4.5 13.3 11.7 43.9 11.2 53.6 6.2 207 8.6 994 778 292 884 443 16,077 661 194 -384 37.8 21.5 15.0 9.1 25.2 10.1 9,054 18 r 299 9,796 18.0 27. 1 3.8 -8.0 24z3 10 5 Sr255 4r447 6.7 102,673 155.1 3,160 806 936 856 lr 190 44, 396 42, 245 42, 860 14,247 7.9 banks 2/ First half 1902 3/ f/ 1,961 1,762 918 6/30/82 1979 1980 1981 2/ zinz 4, 453 6, 095 Increase in claims ($ millions) Ql Argen- rozzzz Ql 1979 1980 1981 Claims South zuela U. S. banks, for uarantees Increase in claims ($ millions) Increase 1979 Vene- 6/30/82 63,474 7, 039 7, 061 2, 501 21.7 18.2 15.5 5.0 1,897 3r229 228 -313 48. 7 16.9 73.7 39.4 1.0 -1.9 7.8 19.4 55, 218 26, 446 19,594 631 2r618 1,967 819 -15 593 1,030 2, 247 100.9 48. 5 24. 6 W. l 27.7 67. 1 50.9 43.4 33 ' 1 9.5 16.9 17.8 2.7 74.9 2607 9.2 620 22.0 21.0 10.8 36.1 28.2 11.3 22z0 11.2 24r829 23, 794 llr557 12,124 llr023 7r210 Source: Country Exposure Lending Survey. Claims af ter adjustments for guarantees. Source: Bank for International Settlenmnts, semi-annual maturity analysis. No adjustment for guarantees, BIS quarterly press release used in lieu of narc ccmprehensive semi-annual analysis, which is not yet availab]e. position as of 12/31/81 per BIS semi-annual analysis plus change in first half 1982, per BIS quarterly release. 39.8 27. 1 21.6 6.5 255r269 External Indebtedness and (Ranked by level Nexico Selected Financial Indicators of Principal Non G-10 Countries of indebtedness tro U. S. banks as of June 30, 1982) Brazil Vene- zuela Total External Debt Increase in debt ($ billions) 1979 6.6 11.0 23.7 7.3 19BO 19BL First half 1982 Increase in debt (percent) 1979 1980 1981 First half 1982 Outstan&]irr&l Debt: June 30, 1982 $ 19.5 27.2 46. 1 9.9 79.0 billions 5.0 3.9 7.6 3'0 10.8 7.8 14. 1 4.9 64. 4 6.9 3.6 1.9 2.0 48. 1 16.9 7.8 9.1 28.6 South Korea 2.6 1.4 3.9 3.1 21+8 9.8 23.6 9.8 34.6 Argen- tins 4.1 2+8 5.9 1.0 42ol 19.9 35+1 4.4 23.7 Spain 4' 1 5.2 5.0 n. a. Chile 2. 2 2.8 5.0 1.0 15.6 22 2 17 ' 2 28. 1 14.1 -0.4' 39.6 5.7 44. 0* 18.7 Aus- Q6 Philip- tta'l !la pih6s 1.8 2.6 0.2 .9 ; 0.7 , 44 ' 5 2.7 -13.8 15e0 Taiwan 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.7 22e4 15.6 13.1 noae n, a, h. a. n. a. 11.5 5.0 14.3 4.6 15.8 34.9 55el 0.4 29.8 25.5 5.5 36'.. 9 9.2 321+8 (8 billions) Gross D&vrr& 1979 1900 1981 . itic Product 134.5 186.3 240. 0 Current Itcc&&&rnt 1979 Deficit 5/ 5.5 7.5 19BO 12.9 19BL Ex rts of 1979 1980 t~s and Services 16.2 24. 9 30.5 19BL Estimated Int& 1979 1980 1981 rest Pa nts ( ross) 3.7 5.4 8.2 206. 6 252. 9 269. 3 49.0 59.7 67.8 60.6 58.2 65.7 10.0 12.4 0.4 4.1 4.0 4.4 11.0 18.0 23. 3 26. 9 5~ 4 7.5 10.3 47 16.3 53 19.5 22. 4 24. 1 22.6 27.5 2.2 2.8 4.3 1.5 2.6 3.7 71.5 185.5 20. 5 28 ' 1 32.4 114.0 132.4 149.3 29.5 35.2 39.7 0.5 48 3.9 1.1 52 1.2 20 4e3 2.4 1.6 (0.2) '" 2e3 (0.5) 47. 3 .'. 53e9 8.9 11.2 18.4 20 ' 6 12.1 1.7 2.3 3.2 5.0 20.6 2. 1 2.6 3' 4 ~5Go&xt. ;, services, public and private transfers. 6/ Ali &Lit, i Lor financial year (June). Debt data for public sector (national and Irr&]i&:,it. s annual rate, full year estimate, or end-year estimate. Fir. . ;t. &~&r, ir. t&ir 1982, long-tean debt only. & Srxtttr't;r trtt', rrr1 IttttD Statistics. Treasury st«f f es t ima tes. 3, " 904.o 2 32. 40. 1 '" 1,071;3 46. 3 1,169'.0 60.3 195.9 68.9 211.1 4. 8 6.1 4.7 6.3 6' 1 16.0 21.8 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.3 2.0 states). 22eO 1.0 2.0 6.4 8.1 8.6 0.8 1.2 1.6 ' 28/5 18.4 142.8 183.8 204. 6 0.6 0.7 19.2 22. 6 26. 2 !. 1.0 26.8 38'. 1 2: Is the creditworthiness of any of the borrowing nations in jeopardy? . If so, what actions need to be taken If by. . those. , nations to -reestablish. -their credit standing. include . austerity measures, how are such your recommendations actions likely to impact the economies of the nations involved? Question countries are encountering serious financial to undertake economic adjustments that will reduce their external deficits and borrowing requirements and restore creditworthiness. It is up to each country to deterto its mine what specific measures are needed and appropriate circumstances. In general, these are likely to focus on reductions in inflation, curtainment of excessive monetary and fiscal expansion, restoration of incentives for savings and investment and a strengthening of international competitiveness. in the testimony, such policies are difficult in As indicated the short run, but can, if implemented seriously and with needed transitional support from the international community, provide the basis for a restoration of growth and financial stability. Answer: A diffrculties number of and need Question 3: What steps need to be taken by the U. S. and other nations to. reestablish confidence in international ].ndustrialized financi. al ma'rkets? What actions are under consideration by the If the actions under consideration include Reagan Administration? increasing the resources of multilateral lending institutions, specifically: a. What b. How much size increase does the Administration appropriate? judge of the increase would require funding by the U. S. and in what time periods would the funding occur? c. If the amount of the funding increase were expended within the U. S. in the form of, say, job creating rehabilitation, instead of loans and infrastructure loans to foreign nations, what would the impact be on U. S. unemployment, housing, and industrial utilization, and how would that impact compare with the effects of increasing loans to foreign nations? d. portion of the funding increase could be viewed as a form of "assistance" to large international banks which have made unwise credit extensions? What describes the U. S. approach to dealing with My statement current strains in the international financial system and describes the central role played by the IMF. International negotiations but decisions have on an increase in IMF resources are underway, not yet been reached on the exact size of the overall increase it is not possible to Consequently, or on country participation. amount and of a U. S. funding the timing for provide a figure request. However, failure of the United States to participate lead other countries to withhold their financing, would undoubtedly which would be a multiple of the potential U. S. share, and resulting in a collapse of the effort to assure that the IMF has adequate Moreover, a serious resources to fulfill its responsibilities. IMF's to and ability promote support internathe impairment of of balance adjustment would payments responsible tionally for with dealing current entire strategy problems. the jeopardize the consequences for the United As indicated in the statement, States -- in terms of economic--activity, jobs, production and would be substdhtial. The objecdomestic financial stability outlined in the statement is to maintain a approach tive of the financial system, which is of critical imsound international and U. S. economies. None of the financing world the to portance should be viewed as "assistance" for banks, under consideration although the success of this effort will provide important benefits to banks, as it will to U. ST industry, agriculture, labor and consumers. Answer: Question 4: If "assistance" is needed to preserve confidence in U. S. international. . banks, :-in what foi;m should that assistance Should reliance be placed solely on indirect be provided? approaches such as IMF loan increases, or is there merit, in giving consideration to net. worth certificate .programs Tike which would those established for ailing thrift institutions, subject U. S. international banks with problem loans to rigorous supervisory controls' ? I stated in my testimony that. bank loans to non-OPEC LDCs are over $250 billion, of which the U. S. portion is about $I00 billion. That is a lot of money in terms of overall bank assests or bank capital. However, we do not see the present, illiquidity problems in some countries leading to any massive loan losses at banks which would impair banks' capital or destroy confidence in the major international banks. Answer: There will be increasing international losses for U. S. banks. Those losses will come from loans to private sector companies abroad. Those companies suffer from many of the operational and financial problems some of our domestic companies face. However, banks requiring "assistwe do not perceive the U. S. international ance. " Those banks ha0'e the capital, reserves, and earning power to withstand known credit problems. increase in IMF resources does not provide assistance to banks. For instance, bank loans in Mexico total about, $60 billion. The IMF is lending Mexico $3. 9 billion and the banks are parallelling that effort with an additional $5 billion. Arithmetically, I do not see how these amounts assist banks. As The IMF lends its resources to those that are committed to strengthening their domestic economies and balance of payments. When these commitments succeed, the world economic system is strengthened. This indirectly enhances the commercial positions of U. S. exporters, investors, and lenders, The IMF countries including assists countries. the banks. Question 5: 1n your judgment, have the international bank superregulatory practices of the major industralized nations 'encouraged''in'ternational banks, in any way, to shift funds or locate" their operations so as to minimize regulatory restraints, supervision, or taxes? If so, what actions by the newly established Task Group on Regulation af, Financ'zal Services are under- consideration to address this problem? In addition, what steps in coordinating international supervision and support have been taken in the past by the central banks of the major industralized nations, and what actions are now being contemplated by these institutions to coordinate supervision and support and restore confidence in international financial visory and ' markets? The international bank supervisory and regulatory practices of the major industralized countries have not formally encouraged international banks to shift funds or locate their operations so as to minimize regulatory restraints, supervision, or taxes. The banks have chosen various international locations, their home countries' existing banking and tax laws as well reflecting as the location's attractiveness as an international financial center. For instance, all of the major banks in the world are located in New York, Miami, London, Nassau, Hong Kong, Singapore, Bahrain, and in national financial centers such as Paris, Frankfurt, Milan, etc. The essence of international banking is to be located geographically in all timezones, ready to do business in all major currencies and with all major national and multinational borrowers in the world. Answer: Each country has the international its own bank supervisory activities of its own arrangements banks and the to deal with local activi- ties of its foreign banks. For instance, the international activities of U. S. banks are supervised on a global consolidated basis by U. S. authorities. This includes supervision of branches, subsidiaries, and affiliates. Foreign banks operating in the U. S. are subject to regular supervision and inspection by state and federal authorities. In addition to unilateral efforts, bank supervisors have been their international perspectives and approaches on a strengthening multilateral basis. There is a standing committee at the Bank for Settlements called the Committee on Bank Regulatory Supervisory Practices which harmonizes and coordinates bank supervisory efforts among the G-10 countries. There also is the EEC Contact Group and the OECD Expert Banking Group which expands the multilateral network of bank supervisors. Similar efforts are underway in Latin America under the auspices of the Center for Latin American Monetary Studies. The bank supervisors from the Offshore Banking Centers also meet regularly. Finally, the work of all these Conference groups comes together at biannually at the International International and of Bank Supervisors. Sank: supervisors, implementing 'un programs process. i'la ferally . an4 to identify fneltilaterally, have been assess risks in the global and That risk assessment has been communicated to The banks must. increasingly report their activities . to. . bank supervisors on a global consolidated basis has been this way in the U. S. since 1973). Global consolidated reporting encourages the bank to consider their international lending in terms of risk to their consolidated earnings and capital base. Bank supervisors in all major countries are demanding more lending bank management. . 'and director's. : (it loan loss reserves against international portfolios and the difficult issues of more harmonized disclosure and capital adequacy policies among the world's largest banks. adequate are tackling The key to all banks supervise supervision, however, is the degree to which their own affairs. At the prodding of U. S. and other prudential authorities, we finally see the industry: a. demanding better data and consultations from borrowers; b. analyzing and monitoring loans more closely; c. establishing conditionality d. pricing loans to more realistically adequacy concerns; and, e. lending more conservative on borrowers; on a more of financing. repayment terms and address capital parallel basis with official sources Overall, bankers and bank supervisors are addressing the need to put in place prudential disciplines necessary to reinforce relationships between banks and their international borrowers. of the Treasury Oepartment For Immediate December 17, ~ Washington, O. C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 Contact: Charles Powers Release 1 982 Named 566-2041 U. S. William RE Barton Secret Service Deputy Director The Department of the Treasury today announced the appointment of William R. Barton, 57, to be Deputy Director the Secret Service. He has served as Acting Deputy Director since August 17, 1982. of "William Barton is a 29 year veteran of the Secret Service, " said John Walker, Treasury Assistant &ecretary for and Operations. "He brings a record of distinguishedEnforcement leadership to the management of the Service. " Mr. Barton joined the Service in February 1953 as a Agent at the Washington Field Office. The following yearSpecial was assigned to the White House Detail where he served for the henext seven years. In 1961 he was transferred to the St. Louis Field Office and, three years later, promoted to Special Agent in Charge of the agency's Milwaukee Field Office. In 1971 he was promoted to Inspector with the Office of Inspections. The following year he was appointed Special Agent in Charge of the Dignitary Protective Division. In November 1976, Mr. Barton was promoted to Assistant Director, Office of Inspection and transferred oneDeputy year serve as Deputy Assistant Director, Office of Protective later to Research. He became Special Agent in Charge of the Los Angeles Field Office in June 1978 and returned to Headouarters the following year as Assistant to the Director, Office of Training. He served in that position until assuming the duties of Acting Director. During his career, Deputy Mr. Barton has received special including the Secretary's Certificate at the Department of the Treasury's Annual Awards Ceremony in 1975. He is also the recipient of the &ervice's &pecial Achievement for recognition of his contributions during the Republican Award and Democratic National Conventions, 1972 Elections, and 1973 Presidential Inauguration. recognition, Yr. Barton was born on August 18, 1925, in Detroit, Michigan graduate of Michigan &tate University. He is married to the former Helen A. Wilkes. They have two children. is a (egartment of the Treasury 4:00 FOR RELEASE AT P~M ~ Washinclton, D.C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 December ~ 21, 1982 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING of the Treasury, by this public notice, two series of Treasury bills totaling $11, 600 million, to be issued December 30, 1982. The Department invites tenders approximately This offering for will provide $ 1, 950 million of new cash for the as the maturing bills were originally issued in the amount of $9, 642 million. The two series offered are as follows: 91May bills ( to maturity date) for approximately $5, 800 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated September 30, 1982, and to mature March 31, 1983 (CUSIP No. 912794 CP 7 ), currently outstanding in the amount of $5, 121 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. Treasury, 182~ay bills for approximately December 30, 1982, (CUSIP No. 912794 CZ 5 ) dated and $5, 800 million, to to mature June 30, 1983 be ~ Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing December 30, 1982. In addition to the maturing 13-week and 26-week bills, there are $5, 260 million of maturing 52-week bills. The disposition of this latter amount was announced last week. Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, currently hold $1, 597 million, and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account hold $3, 238 million of the maturing bills. These amounts represent the combined holdings of such accounts for the three issues of maturing bills. Tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the weighted average prices of accepted competitive tenders. Additional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal monetary Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. For purposes of determining such additional monetary authorities are amounts, foreign and international considered to hold $1, 237 million of the original 13-week and . issues. 26-week competiThe bills will be issued on a discount basis unde their and noncompetitive par amount bidding, and at maturity tive will be pavable bills of be without series interest. Both will ssued entirely in book-entry form in a m'nimum amount of $'0, 000 and in any higher $5, 000 multiple, on the records either of the ed er a 1 Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Depar tment of the ~ easur ~-coco y ~ Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C. 20226, up to 1:30 p .m . , Eastern Standard time, Monday, December 27, 1982. Form pD 4632-2 (for 26-week serves) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . Each tender must be for a minimum of $10, 000 . Tenders over $10,000 must be in multiples of $5, 000 . In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with three decimals, e .g . , 97 .920 . Fractions may not be used' Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities may submit tenders for account of customers, if the names of the customers and the amount for each customer are furnished' Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account . Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million . This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p .m . Eastern time on the day of the auction . Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering, e .g . , bills with three months to Dealers, who make maturity previously offered as six-month bills primary markets in Government securities and report dai?y to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million. Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . A cash adjustment will be made on all, accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction. ~ deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks and recognized dealers and trust companies and from responsible in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches . A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders . No Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right. to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part i and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500, 000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on December 30, 1982, in cash or other immediately-available funds or in Treasury bills maturing December 30, 1982 ' Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills' Section 454(b) of the Internal Revenue Code, the of discount at which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed, or otherwise disposed os Section 1232(a)(4) provides that any gain on the sale or redemption of these bills that does not exceed the ratable share of the acquisition discount must be included in the Federal income tax return of the owner as ordinary income. The acquisition discount is the excess of the stated redemption price over the taxpayer's basis (cost) for the bill. The ratable share of this discount Under amount is determined by multiplying such discount by a fraction, the numerator of which is the number of days the taxpayer held the bill and the denominator of which is the number of days from the day following the taxpayer's date of purchase to the maturity of the bill. If the gain on the sale of a bill exceeds the taxpayer's ratable portion of the acquisition discount, treated as short-term capital gain. the excess gain is of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series 27-76, and this notice, prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue Copies of the circulars and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Department Nos. 26-76 and Debt. ppartlllent of the Treasury FOR IMMEDIATE ~ Washington, D.C. ~ Telephone 566-2041 RELEASE December RESULTS OF AUCTION 21, 1982 OF 7-YEAR NOTES The Department of the Treasury has accepted $4, 502 million of $11, 454 million of tenders received from the public for the 7-year notes, Series C-1990, auctioned today. The notes will be issued January 4, l983, and mature January 15, 1990. The interest rate on the notes will be 10-1/2-o. The range of accepted competitive bids, and the corresponding prices at the 10-1/24 interest rate are as follows: Prices Bids 99. 692 10. 56% Lowest yield 99. 449 10.61-o Highest yield 99. 594 10.58~o Average yield Tenders at the high yield were allotted TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury Totals 25%. (In Thousands) Received 24, 048 9, 587, 485 7, 200 27, 515 54, 461 24, 392 761, 521 Accepted 12, 298 635 697, 3, 7, 200 14, 765 13, 461 14, 892 181,021 10, 169 17, 229 14, 191 10, 169 15, 229 54, 247 869, 960 1, 201 $11, 453, 619 52, 247 6, 191 475, 960 1, 201 $4, 502, 269 The $4, 502 million of accepted tenders includes $977 of noncompetitive tenders and $3, 525 million of competitive from the public. million tenders In addition to the $4, 502 malison of tenders accepted in the auction process, $330 million of tenders was awarded at the average price to Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary R-1081 authorities. iepartlllent of the Treasury FOR IMMEDIATE ~ Washington, O.C. ~ Telephone 566-204'I December RELEASE RESULTS OF AUCTION OF 20-YEAR 1 —MONTH 22, 1982 BONDS of the Treasury has accepted $3, 006 million of of tenders received from the public for the 20-year 1-month bonds auctioned today. The bonds will be issued January 4, 1983, and mature February 15, 2003. The interest rate on the bonds will be 10-3/4%. The range of accepted competitive bids, and the corresponding prices at the 10-3/4% interest rate are as follows: The Department $6, 059 million Lowest yield Highest Average at the Tenders 10.77% 10.75~o yield yield high yield were New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St Louis Minneapolis Kansas City ~ Dallas San Francisco Treasury Totals $ 99. 775 99. 938 allotted TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED Location Boston Prices 100. 348 Bids 10 70'o Received 9, 735 4, 842, 462 94&. (In Thousands) $ Accepted 2, 735 9, 619 2, 620, 242 5, 051 6, 499 34, 313 7, 076 7, 383 7, 062 542, 334 33, 753 7, 076 5, 383 4, 062 182, 854 8, 111 21, 589 16, 700 551, 992 194 $6, 058, 570 13, 529 10, 450 113,792 194 $3, 005, 620 The $3, 006 million of accepted tenders includes $634 million of noncompetitive tenders and $2, 372 million of petitive tenders from the public. R-1082 &artrnent of the Treasury FOR IMMEDIATE Thursday, ~ RELEASE December CLEMENTS O. C. ~ Telephone 566-2CI- Washington, 23, 1982 Robe= TREASURY CONTACT: 566-2133 PHONE: (202) 4 i== RESIGNS AS DIRECTOR OF TREASURY'S BUR:-AV OF ENGRAVING AND PRINTING today announced the res.'gnation of Harry R. Clements, Director of the Bureau of Engraving and Printing, effective Saturday, January 1, 1983, to return to the Leuver, Deputy Director, has been private sector. Robert designated Acting Director. The Treasury Department J. Mr. Clements, an aerospace eng'neer, has accepted a position Technology for Mar in as Director of Advanced' Manufacturing He served as Director Marietta Aerospace at Baltimore, Maryland. four years. for and Printing of the Bureau of Engraving established an enviable record of high volume and quality production of currency and U. S. postage stamps while containing costs by instituting productivi:ty This and advanced technology in Bureau operations. improvements An ~ outstanding manager, Mr. Clements included modernizing plant and equipment, redesigning and processes, and imp'ementing automated streamlining manufacturing ureau Under his direction, the information systems technology. also initiated several innovations for the benefit of the numismatic and philatelic communi:ies such as the sale of uncut Upfront pro its of $340, 003 from sheets of 41 and 42 currency. sale of 147, 000 uncut sheets are being used for t'.-. e co".„p' e e renovation of the visitors' entrance where the long 1'~es o. tourists wait to begin the tour. The area has bee.-. pa'nted, d' sp' ays. carpeted, air conditioned, and fitted with attractive '~G linea' . eet, are han The displays, covering an area of more ='ocumen ary historica' "web a press" and prov:de a of form in the . '. -. is -. s. a=:s and currency postage of paper of the printing country. . '. first in government to win the for senior executives. He has been regularly cited for professional resourcefulness in the condunt of his official duties and has received several awards for oMstanding performance. Mr. Clements was coveted Presidential among the Rank Award In recognition of Mr. Clement's exemplary government service, Treasury Secretary Donald Regan said, "Not only has Mr. Clemerlts helped make the Bureau of Engraving and Printing the most east effective security printing establishment in the world, but he& has at the same time trained and developed efficient managers who have risen to assume high level positions of responoibility at other Treasury bureaus as well as his own. Me regret. losing Mr. Clements but wish him well as he accepts new and exj iting challenges in the private sector. " of the Treasury iepartment FOR IMMEDIATE Washington, ~ December RELEASE RESULTS OF TREASURY'S Teaders for $7, 002 to mature as follows: and December Price 91.839 a/ 91.800 91.815 High Low Average a/ Excepting 23, 1982 52-WEEK BILL AUCTION million of 52-week bills to be issued December 30, 1982, 29, 1983, were accepted today. The details are COMPETITIVE OF ACCEPTED RANGE D.C. ~ Telephone 566-2045 BIDS: Discount Rate Investment Rate (E uivalent Cou oa-issue Yield) I/ 8.071% 8. 110% 8.095X . 8. 72% 8. 77X 8. 75% 2 tenders totaling $2, 000, 000 Teaders at the low price were allotted 78%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Received Location Boston New $ York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TOTALS ~Ty 84, 415 13,838, 505 1, 225 95, 515 ~Scca ted 415 $34, 829, 505 5, 1, 225 44, 525 135, 170 1, 077, 405 65, 620 14, 590 26, 975 12, 135 1,554, 920 27, 880 $16, 978, 880 14, 515 27, 925 1311170 284, 645 26, 620 . 12, 730 16, 975 12, 135 582, 480 27, 880 $7, 002, 220 $15, 424, 295 194, 545 $15, 618, 840 1,000, 000 $5, 447, 635 194, 545 $5, 642, 180 1, 000, 000 360, 040 $16, 978, 880 360, 040 $7, 002, 220 e Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public Federal Reserve Foreign Official Institutions TOTALS $94, 160 thousand of the bills will be issued institutions for new cash. to foreign official This requi 1/ The average annual investment yield is 8. 94%. Certificates All-Savers of 6. 26%. on yield investment annual A p-1084 additional )apartment or the Treasury ~ washington, FOR REL'EASE December g.c. ~ Telephone 566-204'i CONTACT: 27, 1982 Treasury Issues Ninth DISC Annual Charles Powers (202) 566-2041 Report The Treasury Department today released its ninth Annual Report on the "Operation and Effect of the Domestic International The report covers income Sales Corporation Legislation" (DISC) . tax returns for DISC's with accounting. periods ending between July 1, 1979 and June 30, 1980, referred to as DISC year 1980. Highlights of the report are: Total U. S. exports in DISC year 1980 are estimated to have been $6. 2 to $9.4 billion higher than they would have been This represents an increase of without the DISC program. approximately 36 percent over DISC year 1979. -- cost to the Treasury is estimated to have been $1,410 million for DISC year 1980, an increase of 42 percent over DISC year 1979. The increases in the export effect and revenue cost of DISC of reflect the growth in U. S. exports, the growing DISC sharethat profits of DISC percentage total exports, and the lardier could be deferred in DISC year 1980. number of copies of the ninth DISC Annual Report, A limited are available from the Treasury Department, Office of Public Affairs Room 2315, Washington, D. C. 20220. The revenue o 0 o Department FOR of the Treasury L~DIATE ~ Washington, D.C. ~ Telephone 566-2044 'RELEASE December 27, 1982 RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $5, 800 million of 13-week bills and for $5, 801 million of 26-week bills, both to be issued on December 30, 1982, were accepted today. RANGE 13-week bills March 31, 1983 BIDS: maturing Discount Investment Price Rate Rate 1/ 98. 008 a/ 7. 880% 8. 15% OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE High Low Average a/ Excepting b/ Excepting Tenders Tenders : : 26-week bills June 30, 1983 maturing Investment Discount Rate 1/ Rate Price 8. 47% 95. 950 b/ 8.011% 97. 976 8. 54% 8. 007% 8. 29% 95. 916 8.078% 97. 984 7. 975% 8. 25% 95. 930 8.051% 2/ 8. 51% 2 tenders totaling $1, 050, 000. 1 tender of $3, 285, 000. at the low price for the 13-week bills were allotted 43%. at the low price for the 26-week bills were allotted 73%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TOTALS ~e Competitive Noncompetitive Public Federal Reserve Foreign Official Subtotal, Institutions TOTALS Received 35, 305 9, 640, 010 25, 515 29, 415 22, 330 34, 960 924, 745 41, 555 12, 680 34, 975 27, 480 1, 038, 575 184, 440 $12, 051, 985 $10, 220, 285 664, 110 $10 884. 395 1, 137, 990 29, 600 $12, 051, 985 Accepted 35, 305 $ 4, 409, 510 25, 515 29, 415 22, 330 34, 960 Received 82, 035 10, 384, 370 35, 780 35, 780 465, 745 34, 555 12, 680 34, 975 22, 480 488, 575 184, 440 $5, 800, 485 747, 620 54, 800 205, 000 45, 800 18, 125 16, 375 28, 495 16, 485 1, 034, 870 160, 855 $12, 641, 210 28, 495 16, 485 537, 870 160, 855 11,605 24, 980 41, 190 : 47, 035 4, 634, 870 11,605 19, 980 41, 190 $5, 801, 340 $4, 068, 785 664, 110 $4, 732, 895 1,037, 990 $10, 231, 560 470, 750 $10, 702, 310 1, 100, 000 $3, 491, 690 29, 600 $5, 800, 485 838, 900 $12, 641, 210 838, 900 $5, 801, 340 1/ Equivalent coupon-issue yield. 2/ The four-week average for calculating the maximum pn money market certificates is 8. 153%. R-1086 ~Acce Ced 470, 750 $3, 962, 440 1, 000, 000 interest rate payable t llspartnlent or the Treasury FOR RELEASE AT ~ wasliinptoh, 4:00 P. M. p. o. ~ Telephone ses-204% December 28, 1982 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the. -Treasury-, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury. bills totaling approximately $11,600 million, to be issued January 6, 1983. This offering will provide $625 ., million. of new cash for the Treasury, as the maturing bills are outstanding in the amount of $10, 971 million, including $1, 015 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks as agen. ts for foreign an, d international monetary authorities and $2, 046 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks for their own -account. The two series offered are as follows: , 91-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $5, 800 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated October 7, 1982, and to mature (CUSIP April 7, 1983 No. 912794 CQ 5), currently outstanding in the amount of $5, 653 million, the additional and original bills to be freely . interchangeable. 182 -day bills for approximately January 6, 1983, and to mature No. 912794 DH 4). . $5, 800 million, to July 7, 1983 be dated (CUSIP Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing January 6, . 1983. Tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities will . be accepted at the Addiweighted average prices of accepted competitive tenders. tional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate bills will amount of. maturing bills held by them. be issued on a discount basis under competinoncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount Both series of bills will be will be payable without interest. issued entirely in book-entry form in a .minimum amount of $10,000 and in any higher $5, 000 multiple, on the records either of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the tive The and Treasury. R-1087 Tenders will be rece jved at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C. 20226, up to 1:30 p .m . , Eastern Standard time, Monday, January 3, 1983. Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book entry records of the Department of the Treasury . Each tender must be for a minimum of $10, 000. Tenders over $10, 000 must be in multiples of $5, 000. In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with three decimals, e g ., 97 .920 . Fractions may not be used . Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and peport daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their .positions in and borrowings on such securities . submit tenders for account of customers, if the names of the customers and the amount for each customer are furnished . Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account . Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million . This information should reflect positions held as of 12:30 p .m . Eastern time on the day of the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering, e g . , bills with three months to maturity previously offeied as six-month bills. Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when suPmitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $$00 million . may . Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury . A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined No in the auction. deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities fot' bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches . A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders. and Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretar y of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500, 000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on January 6, 1983, in cash or other immediately-available funds or in Treasury bills maturing January 6, 1983. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills' Section 454(b) of the Internal Revenue Code, the of discount at which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed, or otherwise disposed of. Section l232(a)(4) provides that any gain on the sale or redemption of these bills that does not exceed the ratable share of the acquisition discount must be included in the Federal income tax return of the owner as ordinary income. The acquisition discount is the excess of the stated redemption price over the taxpayer's basis (cost) for the bill. The ratable share of this discount Under amount is determined by multiplying such discount by a fraction, the numerator of which is the number of days the taxpayer held the bill and the denominator of which is the number of days from the day following the taxpayer's date of purchase to the maturity of the bill. If the gain on the sale of a bill exceeds the taxpayer's ratable portion of the acquisition discount, the excess gain is capital gain. Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, and this notice, prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars and tender forms may be obtained from treated as short-term any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. ON~ent of the Teeasury FOR uaCZDIATE ~ Washington. D.C. RELEASE ~ Telephone 566-204% December 16, 1982 RESULTS OF AUCTION OF 4-YEAR NOTES The Department of the Treasury has accepted $5, 007 million of $10, 617 million of tenders received from the public for the 4-year notes, Series K-1986, auctioned today. The notes will be issued December 31, 1982, and mature December 31, 1986. The interest rate on the notes will be 10%. The range of accepted competitive bids, and the corresponding prices at the 10% interest rate are as follows: Bids Prices 10.00% 10.12% 10.10% Lowest yield Highest yield Average yield Tenders at the Location Boston York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Ransas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury Totals 99.613 99.677 allotted 67%. ACCEPTED (In Thousands) high yield were TENDERS RECEIVED AND New 100.000 Received 911 $28, 8, 907, 007 Accepted 911 $28, 4, 180,197 21,839 118,708 58 g378 30, 813 731,898 77, 664 41, 689 68, 388 13,988 514, 344 3, 075 $10, 616, 702 21, 839 114,048 52, 398 29, 813 217, 918 76, 034 41, 607 67, 388 10,988 163, 124 3, 075 $5, 007, 340 The $5, 007 million of accepted tenders includes S994 million of -.c-.co=pe-itive tenders and S4, 013 zillion of competitive tenders from ~"e public. In add:tion to the S5, 00, million of tenders accepted in the auction process, S510 zillion of tenders was awarded at the average "-rice to Federa' Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international - add:=ional S343 illion of tenders was also zc".e a ; aui'". critics. aces"te= a- t=e average price :rc Government accounts and Federal Reserve Ba;.cs :cr their c»- account in exchange for =a risc securities. -. gpcmrtment of the Treasvry FOR IMMEDIATE Wednesday, ~ Vtcmshington, RELEASE December 29, 1982 Contact: D.C. ~ Telephone 568-204 Fitzwater 566-5252 (202) Marlin SOCIAL SECURITY FUND BORROWING Secretary of the Treasury Donald T. Regan announced today on Friday, December 31, 1982, the Federal Old Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund will borrow 49 billion from the Federal Hospital Insurance Trust Fund and $4. 5 billion from the Federal Disability Insurance Trust Fund in order to assure payment of OASI benefit checks that will be issued during the period January through June, 1983. The borrowing interest rate is 10 3/4 percent, as required by section 201(1) of the Social Security Act. This is the final scheduled borrowing to fund OASI benefits. After December 31, 1982, there is no authority to that continue interfund borrowing. O'ERT Br rokBINDING r a annncernrrrr DEC. 83