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Treas. HJ 10 .A13P4 v.225 U. S. Dept. of the Treasury, T; PRESS RELEASES. \ apartment of theJR[/[SURY SH!NGT0N,D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 October 1, 1979 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $ 2,900 million of 13-week bills and for $3,000 million of 26-week bills, both to be issued on October 4, 1979, were accepted today. RANGE OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: 13-week bills maturing January 3, 1980 Discount Investment Price Rate Rate 1/ 26-week bills maturing April 3, 1980 Discount Investment Price Rate 1/ Rate High 97.418-/ 10.215% 10.66% Low 97.379 10.369% 10.83% Average 97.393 10.313% 10.77% a/ Excepting 1 tender of $100,000 94.806 10.274% 94.742 10.400% 94.779 10.327% 11.02% 11.16% 11.08% Tenders at the low price for the 13-week bills were allotted 18%. Tenders at the low price for the 26-week bills were allotted 22%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands]) Received Accepted Received : $ 42,270 $ 37,270 $ 39,455 3,499,490 2,439,185 : 3,379,000 20,020 20,020 : 13,725 38,470 28,470 : 24,655 29,630 29,630 : 28,525 35,310 35,310 : 34,090 255,150 152,850 «: 253,845 37,970 17,970 : 35,315 6,090 6,090 : 6,660 28,045 28,045 23,295 15,100 15,100 : 7,770 184,705 66,405 192,570 24,040 24,040 34,810 Accepted $ 19,455 2,450,300 13,725 24,655 28,525 34,090 178,845 17,755 6,660 23,295 7,770 160,270 34,810 $4,216,290 $2,900,385 $4,073,715 $3,000,155 $2,607,545 444,330 $1,291,640 444,330 , $2,259,365 336,250 $1,185,805 336,250 $3,051,875 $1,735,970 $2,595,615 $1,522,055 Federal Reserve and Foreign Official $1,164,415 Institutions $1,164,415 : $1,478,100 $1,478,100 $4,216,290 $2,900,385 : $4,073,715 $3,000,155 Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TOTALS Type Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public TOTALS _1/Equivalent coupon-i ssue yield. M-97 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 2, 1979 Contact: Alvin M. Hattal 202/566-8381 TREASURY TO START ANTIDUMPING INVESTIGATION ON INDUSTRIAL ELECTRIC MOTORS FROM JAPAN The Treasury Department today said it will start an antidumping investigation of imports of certain industrial electric motors from Japan. Treasury's announcement followed summary investigations conducted by the U. S. Customs Service after receipt of a petition filed by the National Electrical Manufacturers Association alleging that firms in Japan are dumping this merchandise in the United States. The petition alleges that such imports are being sold in the United States at "less than fair value." (Sales at less than fair value generally occur when imported merchandise is sold in the United States for less than in the home market.) The Customs Service will investigate the matter and make a tentative determination by May 20, 1980. This is 140 days after the effective date of the Trade Agreements Act of 1979, which establishes the time limits of cases pending on January 1, 19 80, as well as those filed thereafter. If sales at less than fair value are determined by Treasury, the U. S. International Trade Commission will subsequently decide whether they are injuring or likely to injure a domestic industry. (Both sales at less than fair value and injury must be determined before a dumping finding is reached. If dumping is found, a special antidumping duty is imposed equal to the difference between the price of the merchandise at home or in third countries and the price to the United States.) Notice of the start of this investigation will appear in the Federal Register of October 3, 1979. Imports of this merchandise in 1978 were valued at between $16- and $22-million. o M-98 0 o D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 3, 1979 Contact: Alvin M. Hattal 202/566-8381 TREASURY FINDS SODIUM ACETATE FROM CANADA IS SOLD HERE AT LESS THAN FAIR VALUE The Treasury Department today said it has determined that sodium acetate imported from Canada is being sold in the United States at "less than fair value." Sodium acetate is a chemical used as a dye intermediate, in kidney dialysis, in the production of detergents, and in various other applications. The case is being referred to the U. S. International Trade Commission, which must decide within 90 days whether a U. S. industry is being, or is likely to be, injured by these sales. If the decision of the Commission is affirmative, dumping duties will be collected on sales found to be at less than fair value. Appraisement of this merchandise will be withheld for no more than three months. The weighted average margin of sales at less than fair value in this case was 34.75 percent, computed on all sales. Interested persons were offered the opportunity to present oral and written views before this determination. (Sales at less than fair value generally occur when imported merchandise is sold in the United States for less than in the home market.) Imports of sodium acetate from Canada during 1978 were valued at about $0.4-million. Notice of this determination will appear in the Federal Register of October 4, 1979. o M-99 0 o 'partmentoftheTREASURY 5HINGT0N, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 3, 1979 RESULTS OF AUCTION OF 2-YEAR NOTES The Department of the Treasury has accepted $3,254 million of $5,595 million of tenders received from the public for the 2-year notes, Series X-1981, auctioned today. The range of accepted competitive bids was as follows: Lowest yield- 10.20% Highest yield Average yield 10.22% 10.21% The interest rate on the notes will be 10-1/8%. At the 10-1/8% rate, the above yields result in the following prices: Low-yield price 99.869 High-yield price Average-yield price 99.834 99.851 The $3,254 million of accepted tenders includes $910 million of noncompetitive tenders and $1,589 million of competitive tenders from private investors, including 87% of the amount of notes bid for at the high yield. It also includes $755 million of tenders at the average price from Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities. In addition to the $3,254 million of tenders accepted in the auction process, $400 million of tenders were accepted at the average price from Federal Reserve Banks for their own account in exchange for maturing short-term bills. 1/ Excepting 6 tenders totaling $70,000. M-100 FOR RELEASE October 3, 1979 ADDRESS BY SECRETARY OF THE U.S. TREASURY G. WILLIAM MILLER BEFORE THE ANNUAL MEETING OF THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND AND WORLD BANK BELGRADE, YUGOSLAVIA OCTOBER 3, 19 79 Mr. Chairman, Mr. McNamara, Mr. De Larosiere, fellow governors, distinguished guests: On behalf of the United States, I want to express our appreciation to the Government of Yugoslavia for inviting us here. Yugoslavia's energetic and independent spirit has long attracted the world's admiration and respect. And Yugoslavia's full participation in the work of the IMF and the World Bank has shown how nations with different economic and political systems can cooperate to mutual advantage. We join the other participants in thanking the Government of Yugoslavia for its warm hospitality to us here in Belgrade. My remarks today are addressed to one central theme. Restoring balanced growth to the world economy will require purposeful domestic adjustment on the part of all nations—large and small. The two international institutions whose work we are reviewing at this meeting can help us make these adjustments in effective and mutually reinforcing ways. We must make sure they are in a position to do so. We must make sure they have our support to do so. In the last analysis, however, the responsibility rests with each of us. My country, as the largest economy in the system, is determined to carry out that responsibility in full. Only when balance is regained, will it be possible to resume the steady economic advance we all desire. Mr. Chairman, this is the final annual meeting of the Bank and Fund during the decade of the 19 70's. It has been a decade marked by troublesome strains in the world economy. The will and ability of nations to cooperate internationally have been severely tested. M-101 2 The underlying strains might easily have led individual countries to the pursuit of inward-looking policies—to selfdefeating efforts to protect their own limited interests at the expense of the broader interests of the community of nations. That this did not occur is convincing testimony to the vision of the architects of the Bretton Woods Institutions, and the maturity and wisdom of their successors—the representatives of the governments gathered here today. The difficulties of the 19 70's are all too familiar. The gains that have been achieved despite those difficulties are less widely appreciated. In the ^face of unprecendented payment imbalances, severe inflation, and high and persistent unemployment, international cooperation has been strengthened in important ways: — Agreement was reached on far-reaching trade liberalization ; — Flows of official development resources continued to expand; — Private financial markets successfully channeled huge flows of funds from surplus to deficit countries, and developing countries gained access to these private capital markets on a substantial scale; — Intergovernmental cooperation in exchange markets became stronger and closer; — The IMF Articles underwent comprehensive revision, laying the basis for orderly evolution of the international monetary system. This progress was not accidental. Nation's might have responded to the problems of the 1970's by imposing trade and capital controls, by cutting back aid, and by aggressive competition in exchange rate policies. If that had happened, the world would have suffered staggering economic losses. Instead we chose deliberately to seek cooperative solutions. Recognizing that the pervasive links among our economies made cooperation essential to our individual as well as our collective well-being. We must not forget that lesson. 3 Once again the world economy has been destabilized by a large oil price shock, almost equal in dollar amount to that of 1973-74. On an annual basis, the jump in oil prices will increase the import bill of the developed countries by almost $75-billion and of the developing countries by $15-billion. This action is disrupting international payments balances and adding greatly to the problems of containing inflation and reducing unemployment. Furthermore, uncertainty about the availability and price of energy seems likely to persist. Inflationary pressures, building up over a period of years, have become so virulent as clearly to require resolute, sustained, countermeasures. In this uncertain international economic environment, the prospects for world economic progress are less promising. And that is a particularly harsh prospect for the one-fifth of the world's population facing absolute poverty. 4 These problems are world wide. They are shared in common, to varying degrees, by all our societies. They can be successfully overcome only through persistent national action, augmented by intensified international collaboration. And that means relinquishing; a degree of autonomy in national action. It is in this context that we must examine the present and future work of the IMF and the World Bank group. These two institutions provide the infrastructure for world cooperation in economic policy, in finance, and in development. The degree to which we support them represents the central measure of our willingness to support more effective global economic management. Intensified collaboration is the course we must choose for the 1980's. It is therefore essential that the IMF and the World Bank group be strong enough to do the j o b — strong enough in authority, operations effectiveness, and resources. I proposed, therefore, to outline my views on the future direction of policy in these two institutions and on the tools they will need to do the job. International Monetary Fund Financially, the Fund is in a strong position to face the new testing period that lies ahead. The supplementary financing facility has been activated and remains almost fully available. The quota increase scheduled to take effect next year will add a large and timely infusion of resources. The compensatory financing facility, which proved so valuable during the cyclical downturn of the mid-70's has recently been substantially liberalized and will provide an important element of security to primary producing nations. Furthermore, the IMF has revised its guidelines on conditionality so that it can foster orderly balance of payments adjustment in ways that meet the needs and circumstances of members. Nonetheless, there is more to be done to assure the adequate utilization of the IMF's financial resources and to strengthen the Fund's capacity to manage the monetary system. Three areas deserve early attention. First is surveillance. Under the amended articles, Fund surveillance—surveillance over members' general economic policies as well as exchange rate policies--is the centerpiece 5 of international monetary cooperation. Without effective surveillance, there is no system. The Fund has moved cautiously and prudently in implementing its surveillance procedures. Bolder action is now required. One possibility would be for the Fund to assess the performance of individual countries against an agreed global strategy for growth, adjustment and price stability. Another possibilityywould be to provide that any nation I with an exceptionally large payments imbalance— deficit or surplus—must submit for IMF review an analysis showing how it proposed to deal with that imbalance. Now, only those countries borrowing from the Fund have their adjustment programs subjected to such IMF scrutiny. Greater symmetry is needed. We should also consider inviting the managing director to take the initiative more often in consulting members directly where he has concerns about the appropriateness of policy. Any such approaches must, of course, be fully in accordance with the fundamental principle of uniform treatment for all members. For its part, the United States welcomes and values the Fund's views and advice, and would see merit in a more active role on the part of the managing director in initiating consultations with members. As a further step, we might now give serious consideration to the establishment of the council, as successor to the Interim Committee, and give it a more specific and direct role in the surveillance process. There would be value in such a move, both substantively and symbolically, and I urge that each of us give fresh consideration to this idea. The second area for improvement is that of international liquidity. There has been solid progress over the past twelve months in enlarging the role of the SDR in the monetary system. A more fundamental move, the establishment of a substitution account is now under consideration. If, working together, we can resolve the problems involved in setting up that account— and I am hopeful that with good will it will be possible to resolve them in due course—the result would represent an important new approach toward greater reliance on an international reserve asset and a more centrally managed international monetary system. The third area in which it may be possible to strengthen the system and make the IMF more useful and influential is in the field of cooperation with the private financial 6 markets. This is not a new idea. But the arguments in favor of it have become more compelling. We all recognize that the private markets will, in the future as in the past, have to play by far the major role in channeling financing from surplus to deficit nations. Official institutions, including the IMF, play a vital role in this process, but it is essentially catalytic in nature. 7 We must ensure that the IMF is doing all it appropriately can and should do in order to ensure that private financing flows smoothly and efficiently. We should reexamine ways in which the fund can encourage the availability of better information on international bank lending, with greater uniformity with respect to potential borrowers. This could facilitate the process without jeopardizing the IMF's close and confidential relationships with members. We should also explore ways of encouraging earlier recourse to the IMF by countries facing difficulty, in the interests of maintaining overall financial stability and avoiding the need for more severe adjustment measures at a later stage if problems are left unaddressed. World Bank The successful contribution by the fund to the smooth operation of the world economy will help the World Bank to encourage longer-term economic improvement in the developing world. Over the past ten years we have called for a stekdy expansion in the scope of the bank's activities and it has never failed to respond effectively. The bank is now the largest single source of external finance and technical assistance for economic development and the primary exemplification of international cooperation to achieve social and economic advance. It must continue to be so. As President McNamara pointedly reminded us, the goals we set and the choices we make today in this difficult area of economic policy will have a critical bearing on whether conditions in the world will be tolerable a generation from now. This is a weighty responsibility: it is one we cannot avoid addressing. The size of the problem is graphically described in the second world development report, for which I offer my appreciation and congratulations. Over the next two decades, 750 million new job opportunities will have to be created in the developing world. The extent of success in this endeavor will determine how many people in the world are able to enjoy economic wellbeing, and any shortfall will determine how many are left to face conditions of absolute poverty at the beginning of the 21st century. In this situation, capital will always be extremely scarce in relations to needs. It will be essential, therefore, that bank loans, IDA credits, and IFC investments should stimulate, to the maximum degree, mobilization of domestic savings in the developing countries and the flow 8 of private capital from abroad. Specifically this means: — Greater emphasis on creating productive job opportunities in the rural areas, where poverty and underemployment are pervasive. Without more progress here, the food problem could become worse, population pressure will become more severe, and the flow of people to cities could become overwhelming. — New approaches to job creation in cities and the provision of low-cost basic services to the urban poor. — Investments in human capital through programs in education, health and family planning. -- In all areas, a conscious and more effective program to reduce capital investment per job created, and to insure that in a fundamental economic sense investments pay for themselves. Only then will capital used today be recovered tomorrow to be invested for the benefit of others. — New initiatives to encourage co-financing. — More ambitious efforts to expand production of energy fuels, including new applications for renewable energy technology. The quantum jump in the price of oil is exerting a sharply constraining effect on economic growth everywhere, with particularly harsh effects in the oil importing developing countries. An increase in the availability of domestic energy supplies is necessary to increase the productivity of domestic labor and capital. To move in this direction requires that the bank be able to expand the scope of its activities. We believe that the capital of the bank must be increased substantially, and for this reason, supported the resolution of the executive directors to that effect. We also support a sixth replenishment of IDA, and look to the completion of the negotiations before the end of this year. In accordance with our legislative procedures, our action in both respects will involve the close cooperation of the United States Congress. 9 Private Financial Markets Strengthening the capacity and effectiveness of the IMF and the World Bank is also necessary to enable private markets to function smoothly and effectively. The latest increase in oil prices will place new demands on these markets to move funds from surplus to deficit countries. The actions of the two Bretton Woods Institutions serve to strengthen the adjustment process, economic prospects and credit positions of borrowing countries—all of which is a necessary foundation on which private lending can take place on a sustainable basis. This process also emphasizes how the work of the two institutions reinforce each other. More generally, a strengthened cooperative approach, looking toward a more orderly management of the world economy, provides a framework within which each nation can address common problems in a mutually supportive way. The United States recognizes its role in this system and will continue to act to carry out its national and international responsibilities. United States Progress and Policies Economic growth in the United States during the past four years has been strong, and has made a major contribution to world economic recovery. Output has increased by 22 percent in real terms. Thirteen million new jobs have been created. At the same time, our rapidly growing market has provided a major economic stimulus for other countries recovering from world recession. Most notably, this has benefitted the developing countries, which have increased their exports of manufactured goods to the United States much more rapidly than to other countries. The United States is well aware of the important role of the dollar in the international monetary system. We are determined to maintain reasonable balance in our external accounts and to assure that the dollar is sound and stable. We have acted vigorously to meet that obligation, with policies to strengthen underlying economic conditions, and with forceful exchange market operations to counter market disruption. The U.S. balance of payments has improved markedly. Our current account deficit will be reduced from $14 billion in 1978 to a few billion in 1979, despite an increase of $16 billion in the cost of oil imports. Next year, 1980, we expect a substantial current account surplus. Continued strong export performance, a rising surplus on services, slower import growth, and U.S. determination to respond forcefully to unwarranted exchange market pressures, all provide a firm basis for dollar stability strength in the period ahead. We have already achieved important progress in strengthening the dollar exchange rate. The dollar has declined in terms of some currencies, moved higher in terms of others and remained stable relative to most. Measured against the average of OECD currencies, the dollar is now about 5 percent above level prevailing last fall. From the viewpoint of the OPEC nations, 10 in relation to the other currencies they use to purchase their imports, the dollar has increased about 8 percent on average from a year ago. Notwithstanding the favorable changes in the value of the dollar measured in terms of these averages, the United States is determined to maintain exchange market stability for the dollar in terms of individual major currencies, such as the Deutsche Mark. The United States also recognizes the necessity of solving its energy problem. We are making substantial progress. Since 1973 the amount of energy required to produce a unit of real output in the United States has dropped by 7-1/2 percent, and in the industrial sector, it has dropped by 20 percent. The ratio of the increase in energy consumption to the increase in GNP has fallen by one-third since 1973. That performance compares favorably with other industrial countries. Household energy consumption has leveled off. Our transportation fleet is rapidly becoming more fuel efficient—the average miles per gallon for new cars rose from 13 in 1973 to 19 in 1979, and will rise to 27.5 by 1985. More must, and will, be done. President Carter has announced a series of measures, both administrative and legislative, which will sharply improve the overall U.S. energy position. Phased decontrol of domestic crude oil prices by September 30, 1981 will reduce oil imports by an estimated 1.5 million barrels per day by 1990. In addition, immediate decontrol of heavy crude oil prices will stimulate increase in production estimated at 0.5 million barrels per day. Creation of an Energy Security Corporation will provide the resources to help finance private sector development of synthetic fuel. Major emphasis also being placed on developing renewable sources of energy. When fully in place, our energy program will cut oil import requirements by 4 to 5 million barrels per day. At the recent Tokyo Summit, the United States agreed that from now through 1985, we would import no more than 8.5 million barrels per day of oil, the level that prevailed in 1977. The President established a lower goal 8.2 million barrels per day, for 1979. We are firmly committed to meeting the import targets. Inflation continues to be our country's more serious problem. It threatens our ability to achieve full employment, it impedes investment, and it impairs productivity. We are determined to bring inflation under control and regain price stability. Our recent record is not satisfactory to us. Food and energy prices have temporarily driven U.S. price indices into the double digit range. Energy alone accounted for more than one-half the total rise in finished goods prices at the producer level in the latest three-month period. In coming 11 months this pressure will recede as the effects of recent OPEC price actions work their way fully through the economy. Food prices have moderated in the wake of good harvests. Special factors aside, the inflation rate is still much too high and must be brought under control. This cannot be done quickly or easily. It can only be accomplished by a firm application of sound policies which deal with the economic fundamentals. 12 All major instruments of U. S. economic policy are being directed toward this task. Fiscal policy is directed toward restraint. •••.•*> We have arrested the increase in government outlays in real terms and tax receipts are rising. The federal deficit has been reduced from 3 percent to 1 percent of GNP. The Federal Reserve is exercising monetary discipline and will continue to keep firm limits on the growth of money supply. Despite rapid increases in recent months, the increase in Ml over the past year was held to 4.9 percent—less than half the increase in consumer prices. The Federal Reserve is committed to meeting its targets for limiting the rate of growth of money and credit. These fiscal and monetary policies are supported by price and pay policies that will help moderate inflationary forces. On September 28, President Carter announced a national accord with U. S. trade union leadership that provides for labor's involvement and cooperation on important national issues. The national accord confirms that top priority will be given to the war against inflation. It recognizes that the discipline essential to wring out inflation will mean a period of national austerity., As part of the accord, labor leadership agreed to participate in the voluntary program of wage and price restraint. The involvement and cooperation of labor—and of management— in developing and implementing policies to control inflation is critical for success, and this cooperation has now been strengthened. The national accord will add momentum to our comprehensive attack on inflation. The United States intends to reinforce the foundation on which to achieve sustained growth with price stability. We are headed in the right direction and are determined to stay the course. We are also determined to work with the nations gathered here to strengthen the international economic system, both through our own actions and through support of the IMF and the World Bank. Mr. Chairman, let me add a personal postscript. The curtain will soon fall on the decade of the '70's. It has been a turbulent period for the world's economy. Progress has fallen far short of our great hopes. Facing, as we do, another period of major adjustment, we have heard few words of encouragement at these sessions. it ^ s right that we should be realistic about our difficulties. i t is right that we should not delude ourselves with false expectations. It is possible, however, as we begin to prepare the we agenda have for notthe given '80's, in to tothe seetemptation some cause to for become hope.self-centered. In particular, 13 The institutions for international economic cooperation are alive and well. The IMF and World Bank are proving their resilience, rising to meet the challenges. For its part, the United States is unequivocally dedicated to dealing effectively with its own inflation and energy problems. This is the single most important contribution we can make to our own economic health and that of the world community. I assure you that we have the will, determination and preserverance to succeed in this endeavor. You can count on it. — t-H D CM ::ederal financing bank .E vo to WASHINGTON, D.C. 20220 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 2, 1979 FEDERAL FINANCING BANK ACTIVITY Roland H. Cook, Secretary, Federal Financing Bank ("FFB"), announced the following activity for August 1-31, 1979. Guarantee Programs During August, FFB entered into foreign military sales loan agreements with the following governments: Date signed Government Amount 8/6/79 $2,000,000 Cameroon 8/8/79 500,000 Dominican Republic 8/14/79 2,000,000 Honduras 8/6/79 32,000,000 Indonesia Repayment of advances made under these loan agreements are guaranteed by the Department of Defense under the Arms Export Control Act. Also during August, FFB made 30 advances totalling $96,680,566.05 to 12 governments under existing DOD-guaranteed foreign military sales loan agreements. Under notes guaranteed by the Rural Electrification Administration, FFB advanced a total of $115,672,000 to 30 rural electric and telephone systems. On August 22, FFB purchased a total of $6,160,000 in debentures issued by 10 small business investment companies. These debentures are guaranteed by the Small Business Administration, mature in 5, 7, and 10 years, and carry interest rates of 9.22 5% for the 5 year maturity, and 9.205% for the 7 and 10 year maturities. FFB provided Western Union Space Communications, Inc., with $9,750,000 on August 1 and $7,050,000 on August 20. These amounts mature October 1, 1989, and carry interest rates of 9.426% and 9.45%, respectively. Interest is payable on an annual basis. This loan will be repaid by NASA under a satellite procurement contract with Western Union. M-102 IT) ^ - 2FFB purchased the following General Services Administration public buildings ihterim certificates: Interest Date Series Amount Maturity Rate 9.073% 7/31/03 8/9 M-•049 $5 ,549:,230.,52 9.151% 8/14 L-•057 403,,227.,22 11/15/04 K-•023 720.,265.,85 8/30 9.211% 7/15/04 Under the Department of Housing and Urban Development Section 108 Block Grant Program, FFB advanced funds to the following cities: Kansas City, Missouri Tacoma, Washington Toledo, Ohio Date Amount Maturity Interest Rate 8/20 8/29 8/31 $500,000.00 992,630.00 600,000.00 7/31/03 9/30/81 7/15/80 10.245% 10.119% an, 10.717% an. Department of Transportation (DOT) Guarantees FFB provided the following amounts to the National Railroad Passenger Corporation (Amtrak) under line of credit Note #20, which matures September 6, 1979. Interest Date Amount Rate 5,000,000 8/1 10,000,000 8/16 11,000,000 8/17 3,000,000 8/20 7,000,000 8/27 6,000,000 8/29 4,000,000 8/31 FFB advanced $5 million to the Trustee of Milwaukee, St. Paul and Pacific Railroad under guaranteed by DOT pursuant to Section 3 of the Services Act. The advance carries an interest and matures September 12, 1994. 9 658% 9 989% 10 018% 10 129% 10 214% 10 256% 10 264% the Chicago, a certificate Emergency Rail rate of 9.165 Under notes guaranteed by DOT pursuant to Section 511 of the Railroad Revitalization and Regulatory Reform Act of 1976, FFB lent funds to the following railroads: Interest Maturity __ Rate Amount Date Trustee of Chicago, Rock Island 8/10 12/10/93 9.372% an. $1,474,818 Trustee of The Milwaukee Road 11/15/91 546,625 8/13 9.388% an. Trustee of Chicago, Rock Island 8/31 12/10/93 1,644,732 9.669% an. - 3Agency Issuers On August 8, FFB purchased a $1,180 million Certificate of Beneficial Ownership from the Farmers Home Administration. This certificate matures August 8, 1984 and carries an interest rate of 9.281%, payable annually. FFB advanced $50 million in new cash to the Student Loan Marketing Association, a federally-chartered private corporation. The Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) sold FFB a $15 million, 10.01% note on August 15, and a $70 million, 10.267% note on August 31. Both notes mature November 30, 19 79. Also on August 31, TVA issued a $500 million Series C Power Bond to FFB. This bond matures August 31, 2004 and carries an interest rate of 9.195%. Of the total $585 million borrowed, $425 million retired maturing securities, and $160 million raised new cash. FFB Holdings As of August 31, 1979, FFB holdings totalled $62.9 billion. FFB Holdings and Activity Tables are attached. # 0# FEDERAL FINANCING BANK HOLDINGS (in millions of dollars) Program August 31. 1979 July 31, 1979 Net Change (8/1/79-8/31/79) On-Budget Agency Debt $ 6,930.0 7,846.3 $ 6,770.0 7,846.3 1,952.0 443.7 1,952.0 443.7 30,445.0 77.3 160.1 35.8 921.0 95.7 32.4 DOT-Emergency Rail Services Act 91.0 DOT-Title V, RRRR Act 5,126.5 DOD-Foreign Military Sales 354 ".4 General Services Administration 36.0 Guam Power Authority 38.5 DHUD-New Communities Admin. 4.7 DHUD-Community Block Grant X) 368.8 Nat • 1. Ra Llroad Passenger Corp, (AMTRAK) 411.9 NASA 5,754.0 Rural Electrification Administration 325.8 1,230.0 Small Business Investment Companies 21.6 Student Loan Marketing Association 177.0 Virgin Islands VWATA $62,879.5 TOTALS Tennessee Valley Authority Export-Import Bank $ 160.0 -0- Net Change-FY 1979 (10/1/78-3/31/75) $ 1,710.0 1,278.0 Off-Budget Agency Debt U.S. Postal Service U.S. Railway Association -0-0- -162.0 86.9 29,765.0 77.3 160.1 35.8 921.0 97.3 680.0 8,170.0 20.3 -3.6 -4.3 283.3 -16.5 27.4 85.5 5,031.9 347.7 36.0 38.5 5.0 5.5 Agency Assets Farmers Home Administration DHEW-Health Maintenance Org. Loans DHEW-Medical Facility Loans Overseas Private Investment Corp. Rural Electrification Admin.-CBO Small Business Administration Government Guaranteed Loans Federal Financing Bank 2.6 427.8 395.1 5,638.8 319.7 1,180.0 21.6 177.0 $61, 797.5* -0-0-0-0-1.5 94.6 6.7 -0-02.1 -59.0 16.8 115.7 6.2 50.0 -0-0$1,,082.0* 14.9 55.3 1,148.6 84.2 -0-04.7 -165.6 175.4 1,562.4 75.2 485.0 -0.2 -0$14,801.9* September 27, 1979 *totals do not add due to rounding FEDERAL FINANCING BANK September 1979 Activity BORROWER AMOUNT OF ADVANCE DATE rINTEREST: : MATURITY : RATE INTEREST PAYABLE (other than s/a) Department of Defense Jordan #4 Thailand #2 Colombia #2 Turkey #7 Jordan #2 Jordan #3 Colombia #2 Colombia #3 Jordan #3 Israel #7 Jordan #2 Philippines #4 Jordan #3 Israel #7 Colombia #2 Peru #4 Jordan #4 Philippines #4 Spain #2 Sudan #1 Turkey #7 Israel #7 Jordan #2 Spain #2 Jordan #3 Spain #1 Thailand #6 Tunisia #5 GabonHome #1 Administration Farmers Gabon #2 Certificate of Beneficial Ownership 8/3 J 8/3 8/6 8/6 8/7 8/7 8/10 8/10 8/10 8/13 8/14 8/14 8/15 8/20 8/21 8/21 8/22 8/22 8/22 8/22 8/22 8/23 8/23 8/23 8/24 . 8/24 8/24 8/29 8/31 8/31 8/8 3,174 ,304.00 34 ,092.00 647 ,742.82 9,605 ,002.00 137 ,166.12 150 1,948 ,483.60 174 ,617.50 2,891 ,767.50 36,200 ,891.00 878 ,647.69 320 ,643.00 1,317 ,000.00 15,360 ,620.15 26 1,640 ,166.52 629 ,816.25 218 ,841.78 58 ,529.50 1,768 ,379.60 1,273 ,100.00 10,996 ,705.00 86 ,989.00 200 ,583.83 472 106 ,799.60 65 ,405.00 4,095 ,277.00 200 ,901.59 2,000 ,076.00 ,018.00 ,000.00 ,000.00 1,180,000,000.00 3/15/88 6/30/83 9/20/84 6/3/91 11/26/85 12/31/86 9/20/84 9/20/85 12/31/86 12/15/08 11/26/85 9/12/83 12/31/86 12/15/08 9/20/84 4/10/85 3/15/88 9/12/83 9/15/88 5/15/89 6/3/91 12/15/08 11/26/85 9/15/88 12/31/86 6/10/87 9/20/85 6/1/86 8/25/83 8/25/84 9.131% 9.2671 9.213% 9.111% 9.161% 9.145% 9.244% 9.216% 9.201% 9.152% 9.268% 9.373% 9.224% 9.134% 9.381% 9.351% 9.316% 9.505% 9.30% 9.27% 9.225% 9.165% 9.397% 9.314% 9.376% 9.277% 9.417% 9.515% 9.779% 9.689% 8/8/84 9.075% 9.281% annually 6/15/80 10.245% 9/30/81 9.875% 7/15/80 10.465% 10.119% annually 10.717% annually Department of Housing and Urban Development Section 108 Block Grant Kansas City, Missouri Tacoma, Washington Toledo, Ohio 8/20 8/29 8/31 500,000.00 992,630.00 600,000.00 General Services Administration Series M-049 Series L-057 Series K-023 8/9 8/14 8/30 5,549,230.52 403,227.22 720,265.85 7/31/03 9.073% 11/15/04 9.151% 7/15/04 9.211% Rural Electrification Administration Arkansas Electric #77 Arkansas Electric #97 Empire Telephone #43 Westco Telephone #112 Basin Electric Power #137 Alabama Electric #26 Sierra Telephone #59 Continental Telephone #68 Colorado-Ute Electric #78 Cooperative Power #130 Pacific Northwest Gen. #118 Tri-State Gen. $ Trans. #79 Wolverine Electric #100 Western Illinois #99 San Miguel Electric #110 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/2 8/2 8/6 8/6 8/7 8/8 8/8 8/8 8/9 8/13 8/13 8/13 471,000.00 4,464,000.00 323,000.00 1,000,000.00 18,034,000.00 2,000,000.00 91,000.00 2,466,000.00 1,205,000.00 10,000,000.00 2,274,000.00 888,000.00 2,254,000.00 2,003,000.00 12,000,000.00 12/31/13 12/31/13 12/31/13 8/2/81 8/2/81 8/6/81 8/31/81 12/31/81 8/8/81 8/8/81 12/31/13 7/31/86 8/10/81 8/10/81 8/10/81 9.164 9.164 9.164 9.405 9.405 9.445 9.425 9.295 9.395 9.395 9.077 9.115 9.445 9.445 9.445 9.061 quarterly 9.061 9.061 9.297 9.297 9.336 9.317 9.189 9.287 9.287 8.976 9.013 9.336 9.336 9.336 FEDERAL FINANCING Pace 2 . . '. DATE : BORROWER BANK ••»•'• AMOUNT OF ADVANCE :INTEREST: INTEREST PAYABLE : RATE : : MATURITY 1 * (other than s/a) Rural Electrification Administration Allegheny Electric #93 Northern Michigan Elect. #101 Wabash Valley Power #104 Gulf Telephone #50 Brazos Electric Power #108 Big ftivers Electric #58 Big Rivers Electric #65 Big Rivers Electric #91 Big Rivers Electric #136 Tennessee Tele. Co. #80 Associated Electric #132 Tri-State Gen. § Trans. #79 South Mississippi Electric #3 South Mississippi Electric #90 St. Joseph Tele. § Telegraph #13 East Kentucky Power #73 Brookville Telephone #53 M § A Electric #111 Sugar Land Telephone #69 Eastern Iowa Light #61 Tri-State Gen. § Trans. #89 Central Electric Power #131 Arkansas Electric #97 8/13 8/13 8/13 8/13 8/13 8/20 8/20 8/20 8/20 8/20 8/21 8/22 8/23 8/23 8/24 8/24 8/27 8/28 8/29 8/31 8/31 8/31 8/31 3,199,000.00 2,878,000.00 3,007,000.00 192,000.00 3,000,000.00 2,464,000.00 50,000.00 2,532,000.00 364,000.00 1,000,000.00 7,100,000.00 997,000.00 410,000.00 435,000.00 463,000.00 6,586,000.00 1,639,000.00 200,000.00 500,000.00 960,000.00 7,323,000.00 100,000.00 4,950,000.00 8/31/81 8/10/82 12/31/13 12/31/13 8/13/81 8/20/81 8/20/81 8/20/81 8/20/81 12/31/13 8/21/81 7/31/86 8/27/81 8/27/81 8/24/81 8/24/81 12/31/13 8/28/81 12/31/13 8/31/81 7/31/86 8/31/86 12/31/13 9.415 9.175 9.126 9.126 9.505 9.615 9.615 9.615 9.615 9.127 9.625 9.245 9.725 9.725 9.805 9.805 9.223 9.855 9.21 9.945 9.445 9.435 9.256 Benson Investment Co., Inc. 8/22 Intergroup Venture Capital Corp. 8/22 IntergToup Venture Capital Corp. 8/22 Builders Capital Corp. 8/22 Coastal Capital Company 8/22 Dewey Investment Corp. 8/22 First Texas Investment Co. 8/22 Fourth Street Capital Corp. 8/22 Lloyd Capital Corp. 8/22 San Jose Capital Corp. 8/22 Trans-Am Bancorp, Inc. 8/22 500,000.00 300,000.00 200,000.00 1,500,000.00 500,000.00 360,000.00 650,000.00 300,000.00 1,000,000.00 400,000.00 450,000.00 8/1/84 8/1/84 8/1/86 8/1/89 8/1/89 8/1/89 8/1/89 8/1/89 8/1/89 8/1/89 8/1/89 9.225 9.225 9.205 9.205 9.205 9.205 9.205 9.205 9.205 9.205 9.205 Small Business Investment Companies Student Loan Marketing Association Note Note Note Note #208 #209 #210 #211 8/7 8/14 8/21 8/28 1,180,000,000.00 1,200,000,000.00 1,210,000,000.00 1,220,000,000.00 8/15 8/31 8/31 15,000,000.00 70,000,000.00 500,000,000.00 11/30/79 11/30/79 8/31/04 10.01 10.267 9.195 5,000,000.00 9/12/94 9.165 5,000,000.00 10,000,000.00 11,000,000.00 3,000,000.00 7,000,000.00 6,000,000.00 4,000,000.00 9/6/79 9/6/79 9/6/79 9/6/79 9/6/79 9/6/79 9/6/79 9.658 9.989 10.018 10.129 10.214 10.256 10.264 8/14/79 9.829 8/21/79 10.015 8/28/79 10.129 9/4/79 10.214 Tennessee Valley Authority Note #104 Note #105 Series C Power Bond Department of Transportation Emergency Rail Svcs. Act Trustee of The Milwaukee Road #2 8/2 National Railroad Passenger Corp. (Amtrak) Note Note Note Note Note Note Note #20 #20 #20 #20 #20 #20 #20 8/1 8/16 8/17 8/20 8/27 8/29 8/31 9.307 quarterly 9.072 9.024 " 9.024 9.395 9.502 9.502 9.502 9.502 9.025 9.512 9.141 9.61 9.61 9.688 9.688 9.119 9.737 9.106 9.669 9.336 9.326 9.151 FEDERAL FINANCING BANK BORROWER Section 511 Trustee of the Chicago, Rock Island Page 3 AMOUNT : DATE : OF ADVANCE i : INTEREST: INTEREST : MATURITY : RATE : PAYABLE (other than s/a) 8/10 1,474,818.00 12/10/93 9.162 9.372 annually 8/13 546,625.00 11/15/91 9.176 9.388 8/31 1,644,732.00 12/10/93 9.446 9.669 10/1/89 9.214 10/1/89 9.237 9.426 9.45 Trustee of the Milwaukee Road Trustee of the Chicago, Rock Island Western Union Space Communications, Inc. 8/1 8/20 (NASA) 9,750,000.00 7,050,000.00 FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. Octolf §!»*«, 1979 '<^.' -..t OLfARTMEHT TREASURY'S 52-WEEK BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for approximately $3,470 million, of 364-day Treasury bills to be dated October 16, 1979, and to mature October 14, 1980 (CUSIP No. 912793 4Q 6 ) . This issue will not provide new cash for the Treasury as the maturing issue is outstanding in the amount of $3,474 million. The bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing October 16, 1979. The public holds $1,441 million of the maturing issue and $2,033 million is held by Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents of foreign and international monetary authorities. Tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents of foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the weighted average price of accepted competitive tenders. Additional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, as agents of" foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing bills held by them. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount will be payable without interest. This series of bills will be issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,000 and in any higher $5,000 multiple, on the records either of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasury. Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C. 20226, up to 1:30 p.m., Eastern Daylight Saving time, Wednesday, October 10, 1979. Form PD 4632-1 should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. Each tender must be for a minimum of $10,000. Tenders over $10,000 must be in multiples of $5,000. In the case of competitive tenders, the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e.g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. M-103 -2Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities may submit tenders for account of customers, if the names of the customers and the amount for each customer are furnished. Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million. This information should reflect positions held at the close of business on the day prior to the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions. Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million. Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction. No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches. A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for $500,000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids. Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on October 16, 1979, in cash or other immediately available funds or in Treasury bills maturing October 16, 1979. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. -3Under Sections 454(b) and 1221(5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and the bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of these bills (other than life insurance companies) must include in his or her Federal income tax return, as ordinary gain or loss, the difference between the price paid for the bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made. Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, and this notice, prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 4, 1979 Contact at DOE: Ed Vilade 202/252-5806 DOE AND TREASURY SET HEARINGS ON IMPORT QUOTA OPTIONS The Departments of Energy and Treasury today released a notice seeking public comment on mechanisms to enforce the oil import quota announced by President Carter on July 15, 1979 and set public hearings in five cities. Information gained at the hearings and written comments received will assist the Departments in making recommendations to the President. The hearings will be held in San Francisco on October 29, in Dallas on October 31, in Chicago on November 2, in Boston on November 6 and in Washington, D.C. on November 7. In his July 15 speech, the President announced that he would set a quota to ensure that oil imports remain below 1977 levels, as a backstop to the energy initiatives comprising his import reduction program. The President directed the Secretaries of Energy and Treasury to recommend mechanisms for enforcing the quota. Preliminary study has led to the development of three approaches which exemplify alternative methods of implementing a quota. However, ideas on other approaches and combinations of approaches will be welcomed and other possibilities that are capable of achieving the goals set by the President will be considered. The three alternative quota systems described in the hearing notice are: 1. An auction system, under which a fixed quantity of oil import rights would be sold to the highest bidders. Auctions would occur periodically, with a seasonally weighted percentage of the annual quota available at each sale. Bids would be filled until the quota was exhausted. Rights would be transferable, and licenses would be valid for a specific four-month period. (MORE) M-104 - 2 2. A license fee system with imports limited by imposing a fee to reduce demand to the quota levelThe government would calculate the fee. If requests for import licenses approached the quota "limits, the fee would be increased in later periods." 3. A no-charge allocation system, under which imports would be limited by distributing, without charge, licenses to import crude oil and products up to the quota limit. Under a previous, similar system, licenses were distributed to refiners and importers of record. Import licenses would be freely tradeable. The Federal Register Notice announcing the hearings contains a listing of specific questions on which comments are requested, along with several general questions. Written comments are due by November 9. Requests to speak at the regional hearings must be received by October 22, and at the Washington, D.C. hearing by October 24. All hearings will begin at 9:30 a.m., local time. A list of hearing locations and contacts is attached. - DOE News Media Contact: Ed Vilade, 202/252-5806 Attachment R-79-446 HEARING LOCATIONS AND CONTACTS HEARING LOCATIONS 1* Boston 2. San Francisco 3. Dallas 4. Chicago 5. Washington, D.C. John W. McCormick Post Office & Court House Bldg. 2nd. Floor Conference Room No. 208 No. 5 Post Office Square Boston, Massachusetts Holiday Inn Gold Rush Room No. B 1500 Van Ness Avenue San Francisco, California Dallas Dunfey Hotel Texas One Room 3800 West Northwest Highway Dallas, Texas E. M. Dirksen Federal Bldg. Room 204 A 219 South Dearborn Chicago, Illinois James Porrestal Building Auditorium, Room GE-086 1000 Independence Avenue, S.W. Washington, D.C. REQUESTS TO SPEAK Boston Hearing Department of Energy ATTN: Kathy Healy Room 700 150 Causeway Street Boston, MA 02114 San Francisco Hearing Department of Energy ATTN: Terry Osborne 3rd Floor 111 Pine Street San Francisco, CA 94111 - MORE - REQUESTS TO SPEAK (cont.) Dallas Hearing Department of Energy ATTN: Mac L. Lacefield 2626 West Mockingbird Lane P.O. Box 35228 Dallas, TX 75235 Chicago Hearing Department of Energy ATTN: Lou Brownlee 175 West Jackson Boulevard Chicago, IL 60604 Washington, D.C. Hearing ERA Docket No. ERA-R-79-44 Department of Energy Room 2312 2000 M Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20461 WRITTEN COMMENTS All written comments should be addressed to: ERA Docket No. ERA-R-79-44 Department of Energy Room 2312 2000 M Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20461 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 4, 1979 RESULTS OF AUCTION OF 4-YEAR NOTES The Department of the Treasury has accepted $2,502 million of $4,457 million of tenders received from the public for the 4-year notes, Series F-1983, auctioned today. The range of accepted competitive bids was as follows: Lowest yield 9.75%Highest yield Average yield 9.81% 9.79% The interest rate on the notes will be 9-3/4 %. At the 9-3/4% rate, the above yields result in the following prices: Low-yield price 100.000 High-yield price Average-yield price 99.806 99.871 The $2,502 million of accepted tenders includes $534 million of noncompetitive tenders and $1,678 million of competitive tenders from private investors, including 83% of the amount of notes bid for at the high yield. It also includes $290 million of tenders at the average price from Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities. In addition to the $2,502 million of tenders accepted in the auction process, $268 million of tenders were accepted at the average price from Federal Reserve Banks for their own account in exchange for maturing short-term bills. 1/ Excepting 2 tenders totaling $11,000 M-105 Departmental IheTREASURY IFFICE OF REVENUE SHARING TELEPH0NE ^2W WASHINGTON, DC. 20226 CONTACT: ROBERT W. CHILDERS (202) 634-5248 October 11, 1979 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE REVENUE SHARING FUNDS DISTRIBUTED The Department of Treasury's Office of Revenue Sharing (ORS) distributed more than $1.7 billion in general revenue sharing payments today to 37,704 State and local governments. Current legislation authorizes the Office of Revenue Sharing to provide quarterly revenue sharing payments to State and local governments through the end of Federal fiscal year 1980. 30 M-106 partmentoftheTREASURY HINGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 RELEASE FOR MONDAY AMs October 8, 1979 Contact: Robert E. Nipp 202/566-5328 " STATEMENT BY THE HONORABLE G. WILLIAM MILLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY The House of Representatives voted last month to condition U.S. funding for the World Bank and the regional development banks on their refraining from extending loans to certain countries. Under their charters, the banks cannot accept funds from any country encumbered by such restrictions. The result of such legislation would be to eliminate all U.S. contributions to the banks. Since contributions from other countries are linked to our own in most of the banks, most of their funds would be lost as well. The World Bank and related regional institutions, which were created largely at U.S. initiative, have been the centerpiece of global development efforts for over thirty years. They are now channeling essential assistance to the developing countries annually. The action taken by the House, if it were to become law, would thus have a serious adverse effect on U.S. relations with the developing countries. It would also seriously affect our relations with our major allies, with whom these financial arrangements have been carefully developed. Indeed, such a U.S. withdrawal from its international responsibilities would raise doubts around the world about our willingness or ability to participate constructively across the range of international arrangements. The President has indicated that elimination of these restrictions must be accorded the highest priority. The Senate Committee on Appropriations has recommended their elimination in the bill which it has just reported. We urge the Senate to eliminate the restrictions when the bill comes to the floor. (Note: The bill is expected to reach the Senate floor on Tuesday, October 9.) o 0 o M-107 FOR RELEASE ON DELIVERY EXPECTED 10:30 am CDT OCTOBER 8, 1979 ADDRESS BY SECRETARY OF THE U.S. TREASURY G. WILLIAM MILLER BEFORE THE AMERICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA IT IS A SPECIAL PLEASURE FOR ME TO BE WITH YOU THIS MORNING. YOUR INVITATION WAS EXTENDED TO ME IN MY ROLE AS CHAIRMAN OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD. I APPRECIATE THE OPPORTUNITY TO PARTICIPATE IN MY NEW CAPACITY. AND IT IS A PARTICULAR PRIVILEGE FOR ME TO BE HERE IN THE DISTINGUISHED COMPANY OF THE GREAT SENATOR RUSSELL LONG OF LOUISIANA AND THE GREAT STATESMAN HENRY KISSINGER. CHALLENGE OF CHANGE YOUR MEETING HERE IN NEW ORLEANS IS BEING HELD AS THE DECADE OF THE 1970'S DRAWS RAPIDLY TO A CLOSE. HAS BEEN A DECADE MARKED BY TURBULENT FORCES. IT POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC EVENTS OF FAR-REAGFLING CONSEQUENCES HAVE CASCADED ONE UPON ANOTHER, LEAVING AN OFTEN BREATHLESS WORLD TO NAVIGATE UNCHARTED WATERS. IN AN ERA WHEN CHANGE HAS BEEN THE NORM, THE PACE OF CHANGE HAS QUICKENED. PEOPLE AND INSTITUTIONS, PRIVATE AND PUBLIC, HAVE BEEN CHALLENGED TO ADAPT RAPIDLY OR RISK BEING LEFT BEHIND IN THE BACK-EDDIES OF PROGRESS. M-108 -2- YOUR OWN BANKING INDUSTRY HAS NOT BEEN IMMUNE FROM. THESE FORCES. ON THE CONTRARY, YOU HAVE FACED A HIGH ORDER OF MAGNITUDE OF CHANGE, BOTH DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL. THE NEW REGIME OF FLOATING EXCHANGE RATES, THE MAJOR SHIFTS IN INTERNATIONAL BALANCES FOLLOWING OIL PRICE SHOCKS, THE EMERGENCE OF NEW CREDIT AND FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS BOTH WITHIN AND WITHOUT THE BANKING SYSTEM, THE AVAILABILITY OF ADVANCED TECHNOLOGY IN COMMUNICATIONS AND DATA PROCESSING, THE INCREASED VOLATILITY OF MARKETS, THE INTENSIFICATION OF COMPETITION, THE INADEQUACY OF SAVINGS AND CAPITAL FORMATION ~ THESE, AND OTHER DEVELOPMENTS, HAVE PRESENTED A GREAT CHALLENGE. TO THE AMERICAN BANKING SYSTEM. IN THE FACE OF SUCH DYNAMICS, THE BANKING INDUSTRY HAS DEMONSTRATED REMARKABLE RESILIENCE, FLEXIBILITY, INNOVATION AND VIGOR. THE BANKER HAS BEEN A PERSON ON THE MOVE, STILL PRUDENT, BUT MODERN AND KEEPING UP WITH THE TIMES. THE CHALLENGES CONTINUE, AND YOUR AGENDA FOR ACTION IS LONG. AMONG OTHERS ITEMS, THE TIME IS RIPE TO PHASE OUT INTEREST RATE CEILINGS UNDER REGULATION Q AND TO AUTHORIZE MOW ACCOUNTS NATIONWIDE. THE ADMINISTRATION IS EAGER TO WORK WITH YOU TO GAIN THE NECESSARY CONGRESSIONAL APPROVALS. -3- IN PARTICULAR, I WANT TO TAKE THIS OPPORTUNITY TO COMMEND YOU OF THE AMERICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION FOR YOUR LEADERSHIP IN PROMOTING MONETARY IMPROVEMENT LEGISLATION IN THIS SESSION OF THE CONGRESS. THE DUAL OBJECTIVES OF REDUCING BURDENS ON MEMBER BANKS AND PROVIDING GREATER COMPETITIVE EQUALITY AMONG FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS WILL HELP STRENGTHEN OUR BANKING SYSTEM. THE RECENT ACTION OF YOUR BANKING LEADERSHIP CONFERENCE IN REAFFIRMING ENDORSEMENT FOR THE CONCEPT OF RESERVE REQUIREMENTS ON TRANSACTIONS ACCOUNTS OF ALL FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES, WITH A LOWER RESERVE RATIO BELOW A CERTAIN DEPOSIT LEVEL, SHOULD PROVIDE MOMENTUM FOR FAVORABLE CONGRESSIONAL ACTION. " * IN THESE DIFFICULT TIMES, I AM ESPECIALLY ENCOURAGED BY YOUR DEMONSTRATION OF COMMITMENT TO A STRONG, INDEPENDENT AND EFFECTIVE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. IN LIKE VEIN, WE. IN THE ADMINISTRATION ARE COMMITTED TO A STRONG AND EFFECTIVE DUAL BANKING SYSTEM. OUR NATIONS'S ECONOMIC PROGRESS DEPENDS UPON MAINTAINING YOUR STRENGTH AND YOUR VITALITY. THF THRFAT OF INFLATION LET ME TURN NOW TO A BROADER LOOK AT OUR ECONOMY, OVERSHADOWING ALL ELSE IS THE HIGH AND PERSISTENT RATE OF INFLATION. -4- THE CAUSES OF INFLATION ARE MANY AND WELL KNOWN TO YOU. YEARS. INFLATION HAS BUILT UP OVER THE PAST FIFTEEN IT IS NOW DEEPLY EMBEDDED IN OUR ECONOMIC STRUCTURE. IT IS A CLEAR AND PRESENT DANGER TO OUR NATIONAL WELL-BEING. INFLATION REDUCES REAL INCOMES AND VALUES; IT THREATENS OUR ABILITY TO PROVIDE EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES; IT DRIES UP JOB CREATING INVESTMENTS; IT IMPEDES PRODUCTIVITY; IT BREEDS RECESSION; AND IT FALLS MOST HEAVILY ON THOSE LEAST ABLE TO BEAR THE BURDEN. THE WAR AGAINST INFLATION MUST BE OUR TOP PRIORITY. THERE IS NO QUICK OR SIMPLE SOLUTION. THE WAR MUST BE WAGED THROUGH A COMPREHENSIVE STRATEGY ON ALL FRONTS ON A CONTINUOUS BASIS. WE DO HAVE AN INTEGRATED STRATEGY. ALL RESOURCES. WE ARE MARSHALLING WE ARE DIRECTING ALL ECONOMIC POLICIES TOWARD A TOTAL WAR AGAINST INFLATION. AND MOST OF ALL, WE ARE DIRECTING OUR EFFORTS AT THE FUNDAMENTAL CAUSES OF INFLATION RATHER THAN JUST THE SYMPTONS. I WOULD LIKE TO OUTLINE THE PRINCIPAL POLICIES WHICH TOGETHER MUST FORM THE MAIN FORCES FOR OUR ASSAULT. FT.Sr.AI POLICY FIRST, IS A DISCIPLINED FISCAL POLICY. THE CUMULATIVE EFFECT OF LARGE FEDERAL DEFICITS YEAR AFTER -5YEAR HAS BEEN TO FUEL THE FIRES OF INFLATION. WE ARE DETERMINED TO APPLY FISCAL RESTRAINT AND MOVE AS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE TOWARD A BALANCED BUDGET. SOME PROGRESS CAN ALREADY BE REPORTED. IN 1976, THE FEDERAL DEFICIT WAS THREE PERCENT OF GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT. THIS YEAR, IT WILL BE DOWN TO ONLY ONE PERCENT. UNLESS THE CURRENT RECESSION DEEPENS, WE SHOULD MAKE FURTHER PROGRESS NEXT YEAR. EVEN MORE IMPORTANT IS TO GAIN BETTER CONTROL OVER FEDERAL SPENDING AND TO REDUCE THE RELATIVE ROLE OF FEDERAL EXPENDITURES IN OUR NATIONAL ECONLMY. FEDERAL SPENDING WAS 22.6 PERCENT OF.GNP. WILL BE DOWN TO ABOUT 21.5 PERCENT.' IN 1976, THIS YEAR IT AND WE INTEND TO REDUCE IT FURTHER. THE NET RESULT, OVER TIME, OF REDUCED DEFICITS AND REDUCED EXPENDITURES AS A PERCENT OF GNP WILL BE TO RELEASE SUBSTANTIAL RESOURCES IFOR THE PRIVATE SECTOR. THE SPENDING AND INVESTING DECISIONS OF INDIVIDUALS AND BUSINESSES WITH RESPECT TO THESE RESOURCES WILL BE FAR MORE BENEFICIAL TO OUR ECONOMY THAN CHANNELING THE SAME AMOUNTS THROUGH GOVERNMENT. fmWFTARY POLICY A SECOND WEAPON IN THE WAR AGAINST INFLATION IS A DISCIPLINED MONETARY POLICY. THE FEDERAL RESERVE HAS BEEN PURSUING A COURSE TO KEEP FIRM CONTROL OVER THE -6GROWTH OF THE MONEY SUPPLY. THE OBJECT HAS BEEN TO REDUCE PROGRESSIVELY THE RATE OF GROWTH OF MONEY AND CREDIT IN ORDER TO STARVE OUT INFLATION. AGAIN, THERE HAS BEEN SOME PROGRESS, AND GROWTH RATES HAVE SLOWED. FOR INSTANCE, THE INCREASE IN M-L OVER THE PAST TWELVE MONTHS HAS BEEN HELD TO 4.9 PERCENT — PRICES. LESS THAN HALF THE INCREASE IN CONSUMER BUT IN RECENT MONTHS, FOLLOWING THE LARGE INCREASE IN OIL PRICES IN THE SECOND QUARTER, THE GROWTH HAS BEEN MUCH MORE RAPID. THE FEDERAL RESERVE HAS RESPONDED PROMPTLY TO COUNTER THE TREND AND TO DEAL WITH RECENT EVIDENCE OF RENEWED INFLATIONARY PRESSURES. ON SATURDAY EVENING, THE FEDERAL RESERVE ANNOUNCED UNANIMOUS APPROVAL FOR A SERIES OF COMPLEMENTARY ACTIONS. THE DISCOUNT RATE WAS INCREASED A FULL PERCENT, FROM 11 TO 12 PERCENT; A MARGINAL RESERVE REQUIREMENT OF 8 PERCENT WAS ESTABLISHED FOR "MANAGED LIABILITIES"; AND THE METHOD OF CONDUCTING MONETARY POLICY WAS REVISED TO SUPPORT THE OBJECTIVE OF CONTAINING GROWTH IN THE MONETARY AGGREGATES OVER THE REMAINDER OF THIS YEAR WITHIN THE PREVIOUSLY ADOPTED RANGES. IN ADDITION, THE FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD CALLED UPON BANKS TO AVOID MAKING LOANS THAT SUPPORT SPECULATIVE ACTIVITY IN GOLD, COMMODITIES AND FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKETS. -7- THESE ACTIONS SHOULD SERVE TO DAMPEN INFLATIONARY FORCES AND CONTRIBUTE TO GREATER STABILITY IN FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKETS. PAY-PR I CEJgQLICC FISCAL AND MONETARY RESTRAINT REPRESENT POWERFUL WEAPONS TO ATTACK THE FUNDAMENTAL CAUSES OF INFLATION. BUT THEY TAKE EFFECT WITH SOME LAG. THEREFORE, ANOTHER IMPORTANT POLICY IS THE VOLUNTARY PROGRAM TO MODERATE PAY AND PRICE INCREASES AND THUS PROVIDE TIME FOR THE OTHER BASIC POLICIES TO TAKE HOLD. BECAUSE OF WIDESPREAD COOPERATION, MOST MAJOR CORPORATIONS AND MOST LABOR CONTRACTS HAVE BEEN IN COMPLIANCE WITH THE VOLUNTARY STANDARDS DURING THE FIRST YEAR. AS A RESULT, OVERALL PRICE AND PAY INCREASES HAVE BEEN SMALLER THAN OTHERWISE WOULD HAVE BEEN EXPERIENCED. FOR THE SECOND YEAR OF THE PROGRAM, IT WAS FELT DESIRABLE TO PROVIDE FOR GREATER PARTICIPATION BY MANAGEMENT AND LABOR IN THE PROCESS OF ESTABLISHING AND APPLYING PAY STANDARDS. THIS SHOULD HELP AVOID INEQUITIES WHICH OTHERWISE MAY DEVELOP OVER TIME. A TRIPARTITE PAY COMMITTEE, TO BE CHAIRED BY JOHN DUNLOP, IS THEREFORE BEING ESTABLISHED, WITH A FIRST TASK OF RECOMMENDING PAY STANDARDS FOR THE PERIOD AHEAD. -8IN THIS CONNECTION, THE ADMINISTRATION WORKED OUT A NATIONAL ACCORD WITH AMERICAN LABOR LEADERSHIP IN SUPPORT OF THE WAR AGAINST INFLATION AND PROVIDING FOR LABOR INVOLVEMENT IN THE PAY-PRICE PROGRAM. GOVERNMENT REGUUTIONS IN BATTLING INFLATION, WE MUST NOT OVERLOOK THE COST-RAISING ACTIONS OF GOVERNMENT. THE COSTS OF UNNECESSARY REGULATION. AMONG THESE ARE W E MUST INTENSIFY EFFORTS TO REDUCE THE BURDEN OF GOVERNMENT, AND IN PARTICULAR THE BURDEN ON THE BANKING SYSTEM. BUT LET ME NOT RAISE FALSE HOPES. WHEN I WAS AT THE FEDERAL RESERVE WE LAUNCHED PROJECT AUGEUS ~ TO UNDERTAKE THE HERCULEAN TASK OF .CLEANING OUT REGULATORY STABLES THAT SEEMED SOMEWHAT LIKE THE STABLES OF AUGEUS THAT HAD GONE UNCLEANED FOR THIRTY YEARS. THE EFFORT CONTINUES; AND I HOPE TO LAUNCH A SIMILAR ATTACK AT TREASURY. BUT IT IS NOT EASY. MUCH REGULATION IS FOUNDED 11^ STATUTE, AND WHILE WE CAN IMPROVE AND SHORTEN AND CLARIFY, WE OFTEN NEED LEGISLATION TO MAKE REAL REDUCTIONS IN BURDEN. SO IT WILL TAKE TIME, AND WILL NEED YOUR HELP AND SUPPORT. I WOULD PARTICULARLY WELCOME YOUR SUGGESTIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS IN THIS AREA. -9INTERNATMNAI FfGNOMIC POLICY NOW LET ME TURN TO THE INTERNATIONAL SECTOR. A SOUND AND STABLE DOLLAR IS ESSENTIAL IF WE ARE TO ACHIEVE PRICE STABILITY IN OUR DOMESTIC ECONOMY. A DECLINING DOLLAR INCREASES THE PRICES WE PAY FOR NECESSARY IMPORTS AND OTHERWISE CONTRIBUTES TO HIGHER PRICES HERE AT HOME. THE INTERNATIONAL EXCHANGE VALUE OF THE DOLLAR IS ADVERSELY AFFECTED BY TWO BASIC FACTORS: INFLATION DIFFERENTIALS WITH OTHER COUNTRIES AND DEFICITS IN OUR BALANCE OF PAYMENTS. THE CURRENT ACCOUNT POSITION OF THE UNITED STATES HAS BEEN SEVERELY IMPACTED BY THE TEN-FOLD INCREASE IN WORLD OIL PRICES SINCE 1974. CONSIDER THE CONSEQUENCES: IN 1973, THIS COUNTRY IMPORTED $8.5 BILLION OF OIL; THIS YEAR IT WILL BE ALMOST $60 BILLION. BUT DESPITE THIS, WE HAV* MADE EXCELLENT PROGRESS > TOWARD RESTORING BALANCE. IN 1978, OUR CURRENT ACCOUNT SHOWED A $14 BILLION DEFICIT. THIS YEAR, THE DEFICIT WILL BE REDUCED TO ONLY A FEW BILLION, EVEN AFTER ABSORBING AN INCREASE OF $16 BILLION IN THE COST OF OIL IMPORTS. STANTIAL AND NEXT YEAR, 1980, WE EXPECT A SUB- CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS. IN ADDITION, WE HAVE DEALT -- AND WE WILL IN THE FUTURE DEAL -- FORCEFULLY WITH UNWARRANTED EXCHANGE MARKET PRESSURES. IN THIS REGARD, STRONG MEASURES -10WERE INTRODUCED LAST NOVEMBER 1, JUST A YEAR AGO. SINCE THAT TIME, WE HAVE ACHIEVED SIGNIFICANT PROGRESS IN STRENGTHENING THE DOLLAR EXCHANGE RATE. THE DOLLAR HAS MOVED UP AGAINST SOME CURRENCIES, DOWN AGAINST OTHERS, AND REMAINED STABLE AGAINST MOST. MEASURED AGAINST THE AVERAGE OF THE MAJOR INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES, THE DOLLAR IS NOW ABOUT 5 PERCENT HIGHER THAN IT WAS A YEAR AGO. OPEC NATIONS, FROM THE VIEWPOINT OF THE IN RELATION TO THE OTHER CURRENCIES THEY USE TO PURCHASE THEIR IMPORTS, THE DOLLAR HAS INCREASED ABOUT 8 PERCENT ON AVERAGE FROM A YEAR AGO. IT MIGHT ALSO BE NOTED THAT THE DOLLAR IS ABOUT 25 PERCENT HIGHER AGAINST THE JAPANESE YEN SINCE THIS TIME LAST YEAR. NOTWITHSTANDING FAVORABLE CHANGES IN THE DOLLAR VALUE IN TERMS OF AVERAGES AND AGAINST SOME CURRENCIES, WE ARE DETERMINED TO MAINTAIN EXCHANGE MARKET STABILITY FOR THE DOLLAR IN TERMS OF INDIVIDUAL MAJOR CURRENCIES. IN PARTICULAR, SINCE MID-JUNE THE DOLLAR HAS BEEN DOWN • SOMEWHAT IN RELATION TO THE DEUTSCHE MARK. W E HAVE THEREFORE BEEN GIVEN SPECIAL ATTENTION TO THIS SITUATION. CONSULTATIONS HAVE BEEN HELD WITH GERMAN OFFICIALS AT THE HIGHEST LEVELS TO ASSURE CLOSE COORDINATION OF COUNTER MEASURES. -11THE ACTIONS TAKEN BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE OVER THE WEEKEND REPRESENT A POSITIVE RESPONSE. BY MOVING POWERFULLY TO ASSURE BETTER CONTROL OVER THE EXPANSION OF MONEY AND CREDIT, AND TO HELP CURB EXCESSIVES IN COMMODITY AND OTHER MARKETS, THE FEDERAL RESERVE WILL DAMPEN INFLATIONARY FORCES AND INFLATIONARY EXPECTATIONS AND WILL CONTRIBUTE TO GREATER STABILITY IN FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKETS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THESE MARKETS CAREFULLY, AND WILL BE PREPARED TO TAKE OTHER COMPLEMENTARY ACTIONS WHEN AND IF APPROPRIATE. WE INTEND TO MAINTAIN A SOUND DOLLAR. ENERGY POLICY NEXT IS ENERGY POLICY. THE TEN-FOLD INCREASE IN WORLD OIL PRICES HAS BEEN A PRINCIPAL CONTRIBUTOR TO THE ACCELERATION OF INFLATION DURING THIS DECADE. PRICE INCREASES HAVE COME IN JTWO MAJOR WAVES: OLL THE FIRST IN 1974 FOLLOWING THE OIL EMBARGO AND THE SECOND EARLIER THIS YEAR FOLLOWING THE UPHEAVAL IN IRAN. THE RECENT PRICE SHOCK HAS HAD A DESTABILIZING EFFECT ON THE WORLD'S ECONOMY. ON AN ANNUAL BASIS, THE 60 PERCENT JUMP IN OIL PRICES WILL INCREASE THE IMPORT BILL OF THE DEVELOPED COUNTRIES BY ALMOST $75 BILLION AND THE IMPORT BILL OF THE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES -12BY $15 BILLION. AS A RESULT, THE PROSPECTS FOR WORLD ECONOMIC PROGRESS ARE LESS PROMISING. THE OUTLOOK IS PARTICULARLY HARSH FOR THE POOREST NON-OIL NATIONS. To WIN THE WAR AGAINST INFLATION, IT IS ABSOLUTELY ESSENTIAL THAT WE REDUCE OUR DEPENDENCE UPON IMPORTED OIL AND THAT WE REDUCE OUR DEPENDENCE UPON OIL ITSELF AS A SOURCE OF ENERGY. THE FUTURE AVAILABILITY AND PRICE OF OIL IS TOO UNCERTAIN. WE DARE NOT RISK OUR NATION'S FUTURE ON SUCH A FRAGILE LINE. IT IS IMPERATIVE THAT WE ESTABLISH OUR ENERGY INDEPENDENCE. IT IS ESSENTIAL TO OUR NATION'S SECURITY THAT WE GAIN CONTROL OVER OUR OWN DESTINY. THAT WE MOVE WITH ALL POSSIBLE SPEED. IT IS URGENT IT IS VITAL THAT WE PURSUE MULTIPLE OPTIONS SO AS TO ASSURE TOTAL SUCCESS. FOR TWO AND ONE-HALF YEARS PRESIDENT CARTER HAS SOUGHT SUPPORT FOR A BROAD AND COMPREHENSIVE ENERGY PROGRAM TO ACHIEVE THOSE OBJECTIVES. BUT BECAUSE WE ARE A HETEROGENEOUS COUNTRY, BECAUSE SOME REGIONS ARE PRODUCERS AND OTHERS ARE CONSUMERS, BECAUSE SOME • AREAS HAVE ONE OR ANOTHER FORM OF LOCAL ENERGY SUPPLY AND OTHERS ARE TOTALLY DEPENDENT ON OUTSIDE SOURCES, IT HAS BEEN EXCRUCIATINGLY DIFFICULT TO HAMMER OUT A NATIONAL ENERGY PROGRAM. SOME IMPORTANT PARTS OF THE PROGRAM HAVE FALLEN INTO PLACE EARLIER, SUCH AS THE NATURAL GAS BILL ENACTED A YEAR AGO. NOW, REMAINING CRITICAL ELEMENTS ARE UNDER ACTIVE REVIEW BY THE CONGRESS. -13THE PRESIDENT HAS RECENTLY TAKEN TWO MAJOR STEPS UNDER HIS OWN POWERS AND ON HIS OWN INITIATIVE. HE HAS DECONTROLLED DOMESTIC CRUDE OIL PRICES OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS, WITH IMMEDIATE DECONTROL OF HEAVY OIL. AND HE HAS LIMITED OIL IMPORTS FROM NOW THROUGH 1985 TO NO MORE THAN 8.5 MILLION BARRELS PER DAY, THE LEVEL THAT PREVAILED IN 1977. THE PRESIDENT HAS ESTABLISHED AN EVEN LOWER IMPORT LIMIT OF 8.2 MILLION BARRELS OF OIL PER DAY FOR THIS YEAR. THE PRIORITIES FOR OUR NATIONAL ENERGY PROGRAM ARE CLEAR. FIRST, CONSERVATION. THIS IS THE SUREST, CHEAPEST, CLEANEST WAY TO REDUCE.OUR DEPENDENCE ON OIL. SECOND, INCREASING THE DEVELOPMENT AND USE- OF CONVENTIONAL DOMESTIC SOURCES OF ENERGY, SUCH AS OIL, GAS AND COAL. ^ THIRD, INCREASING THE USE1)F RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES, SUCH AS SOLAR, ALCOHOL, BIOMASS, WIND AND WOOD. FOURTH, TO ASSURE LONGER TERM SUPPLIES, THE RIGOROUS DEVELOPMENT OF UNCONVENTIANAL DOMESTIC ENERGY SOURCES, SUCH AS SYNTHETIC FUELS FROM COAL AND SHALE AND UNCONVENTIANAL NATURAL GAS. -14TO PROVIDE CAPITAL RESOURCES FOR THE OVERALL PROGRAM. A SPECIAL EXCISE TAX ~ TAX ~ HOUSE. THE WINDFALL PROFITS HAS BEEN PROPOSED AND HAS ALREADY PASSED THE THE PURPOSE OF THE TAX IS TO ALLOCATE THE INCREASED REVENUES GENERATED BY DECONTROL OF DOMESTIC OIL PRICES. A GOOD PART OF THE INCREASED REVENUES WILL REMAIN WITH THE OIL PRODUCERS TO PROVIDE THE MEANS FOR THEM TO CONTINUE AND EXPAND PRODUCTION OF CONVENTIONAL ENERGY. SOME OF THE INCREASED REVENUES WILL ALSO BE ALLOCATED TO THE ENERGY SECURITY CORPORATION TO FINANCE PROJECTS WHOLLY IN THE PRIVATE SECTOR FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF UNCONVENTIONAL ENERGY. THESE PROJECTS WILL BE LARGE SCALE .VENTURES, WITH UNUSUAL RISKS, AND WOULD NOT LIKELY BE UNDERTAKEN * BY PRIVATE COMPANIES ON THE SCALE NEEDED WITHOUT GOVERNMENT FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE. AS AN ALTERNATIVE, RATHER THAN SEEKING FINANCING/ROM THE ENERGY SECURITY CORPORATION, PRIVATE COMPANIES WILL BE ABLE TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF SPECIAL TAX CREDITS FOR UNCONVENTIONAL FUEL PRODUCTION. TO ROUND OUT THE PROGRAM, AN ENERGY MOBILIZATION BOARD HAS BEEN PROPOSED IN ORDER TO SHORTEN THE TIME FOR OBTAINING PERMITS FOR ENERGY PROJECTS. WE CANNOT AFFORD UNNECESSARY DELAYS. -15WHEN FULLY IN PLACE, THE ENERGY PROGRAM IS EXPECTED TO CUT OIL IMPORTS BY MORE THAN 50 PERCENT — MILLION BARRELS PER DAY ~ BY 1990. 4 TO 5 THIS WILL PUT JUS WELL ON THE WAY TO ENERGY INDEPENDENCE. INVESTMENT POLICY FINALLY, A FEW WORDS ABOUT CAPITAL INVESTMENTS. FOR SOME TIME, OUR NATION HAS GIVEN TOO MUCH EMPHASIS TO CONSUMPTION AND TOO LITTLE EMPHASIS TO INVESTMENT IN PRODUCTIVE FACILITIES THAT MAKE CONSUMPTION POSSIBLE. WE HAVE FALLEN BEHIND OTHER LEADING INDUSTRIAL NATIONS. JAPAN SPENDS OVER 20 PERCENT OF GNP ON CAPITAL INVESTMENTS; GERMANY OVER 15 PERCENT. IN THE UNITED STATES, WE HAVE BEEN RUNNING AT 10 TO 11 PERCENT. AS A RESULT, OUR PRODUCTIVITY HAS LAGGED. T H I S M U S T N O T C O N T I N U E , OR E L S E OUR C O M P E T I T I V E NESS IN WORLD MARKETS WILL BE SERIOUSLY IMPAIRED. IN COMING MONTHS, THEREFtJftj:, WE E X P E C T T O B E WORKING TO CREATE CONDITIONS AND INCENTIVES THAT WILL ENCOURAGE THE SAVINGS, INVESTMENTS AND PRODUCTIVITY THAT ARE SO ESSENTIAL TO ECONOMIC PROGRESS WITH PRICE STABILITY. PFRjnn OF AUSTERITY' THE WAR AGAINST INFLATION REQUIRES DISCIPLINE AND RESTRAINT. THIS MEANS THAT WE MUST BE WILLING TO ACCEPT A PERIOD OF AUSTERITY FOR AMERICANS ~ AND WORK TO SEE THAT SUCH AUSTERITY IS FAIRLY SHARED — -16SO THAT WE WILL BE ABLE TO ACHIEVE BALANCED GROWTH WITH PRICE STABILITY IN THE YEARS TO COME. IT IS RIGHT THAT GOVERNMENT SHOULD LEAD THE WAR AGAINST INFLATION. SURELY SUCCEED ~ BUT THE CAMPAIGN WILL MOST AND AT A FASTER PACE ~ AMERICAN PLAYS HIS FULL PART. IF EVERY IT IS A TIME OF TESTING FOR OUR NATION AND FOR EACH OF US. YOUR HELP AND YOUR SUPPORT WILL MAKE A GREAT CONTRIBUTION TOWARD AN EARLY VICTORY. CONCLUSION IN CONSIDERING T H I S MORNING THE MANY WE FACE, I CANNOT HELP BUT REFLECT ALSO DIFFICULTIES ON OUR MANY BLESSINGS. SOME MONTHS AGO, THIS WAS BROUGHT VIVIDLY HOME TO ME. WATCHING THE STRUGGLE OF THE BOAT PEOPLE TO FIND A LIGHT IN A DARKENED CORNER FO THE WORLD, WATCHING THE EXTREME RISKS THEY ENDURED IN SEEKING TO REACH AN AMERICAN REFUGE ~ SPOKE MORE ELOQUENTLY THAN I COULD OF THE LIVING REALITY OF THE AMERICAN DREAM. a MY P U R P O S E IS TO DO THE VERY BEST I CAN TO ASSURE THE LASTING VITALITY OF OUR ECONOMIC SYSTEM, TO FIGHT AND TO WIN THE WAR AGAINST INFLATION, TO REINFORCE THE PREEMINENCE' OF AMERICA AT HOME AND ABROAD. AND TO HELP KEEP ALIVE THAT GREAT AMERICAN DREAM. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 8, 1979 TREASURY RESCHEDULES 15-YEAR 1-MONTH BOND OFFERING The Department of the Treasury today said it is amending its announcement of September 28, 1979 to reschedule the auction and settlement dates of its 15-year 1-month bond offering in the amount of $l.b billion. The auction has been rescheduled from Tuesday, October 9, to Thursday October 11, 1979, while the settlement date has been reset from Tuesday October 16 to Thursday October 18, 1979. The Treasury said that the rescheduling is to allow time for the credit markets to adjust to the actions announced by the Federal Reserve Board on Saturday, October 6. # # M-109 # FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 9, 1979 TREASURY RESCHEDULES AND AMENDS OFFERING OF 15-YEAR 1-MONTH BONDS In its original offering of September 28, the Department of the Treasury announced that $1,500 million of 15-year 1-month bonds would be auctioned Tuesday, October 9, 1979, and issued Tuesday, October 16, 1979. The Treasury hereby amends its original offering announcement by providing that the $1,500 million of 15-year 1-month bonds will be auctioned on Thursday, October 11, and issued Thursday, October 18, 1979. The Department said that the rescheduling is to allow time for the credit markets to adjust to the actions announced by the Federal Reserve Board on Saturday, October 6. As stated in the original announcement, the bonds will be offered to raise new cash. Additional amounts of the bonds may be issued to Federal Reserve banks as agents of foreign and international monetary authorities at the average price of accepted competitive tenders. Details about the new security, as amended, are given in the attached highlights of the offering and in the official offering circular. oOo Attachment M-110 (over) HIGHLIGHTS OF TREASURY AMENDED OFFERING TO THE PUBLIC OF RESCHEDULED 15-YEAR 1-MONTH BONDS October 9, 1979 Amount Offered: To the public Description of Security: Term and type of security Series and CUSIP designation $1,500 million 15-year 1-month bonds Bonds of 1994 (CUSIP No. 912810 CJ 5) Issue date October 18, 1979 Maturity date Call date Interest coupon rate November 15, 1994 No provision To be determined based on the average of accepted bids Investment yield To be determined at auction Premium or discount To be determined after auctic Interest payment dates May 15 and November 15 (first payment on May 15, 198 Minimum denomination available $1,000 Terms of Sale: Method of sale Accrued interest payable by investor Preferred allotment Deposit requirement 5% of face amount Deposit guarantee by designated institutions Key Dates: Deadline for receipt of tenders Yield auction None Noncompetitive bid for $1,000,000 or less Acceptable Thursday, October 11, 1979, by 1:30 p.m., EDST Settlement date (final payment due) a) cash or Federal funds Thursday, October 18, 1979 b) check drawn on bank within FRB district where submitted Tuesday, October 16, 1979 c) check drawn on bank outside FRB district where submitted Monday, October 15, 1979 Delivery date for coupon securities. Wednesday, October 31, 1979 FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. October 9, 1979 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $ 5,900 million, to be issued October 18, 1979. This offering will not provide new cash for the Treasury as the maturing bills are outstanding in the amount of $5,935 million. The two series offered are as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $2,900 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated July 19, 1979, and to mature January 17, 1980 (CUSIP No. 912793 3M 6), originally issued in the amount of $ 3,024 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills for approximately $3,000 million to be dated October 18, 1979, and to mature April 17, 1980 (CUSIP No. 912793 4A1) . Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing October 18, 1979. Federal Reserve Banks, for themselves and as agents of foreign and international monetary authorities, presently hold $3,016 million of the maturing bills. These accounts may exchange bills they hold for the bills now being offered at the weighted average prices of accepted competitive tenders. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount will be payable without interest. Both series of bills will be issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,000 and in any higher $5,000 multiple, on the records either of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasury. Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C. 20226, up to 1:30 p.m., Eastern Daylight Saving time, Monday, October 15, 1979. Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. n-m -2Each tender must be for a minimum of $10,000. Tenders over $10,000 must be in multiples of $5,000. In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e.g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities may submit tenders for account of customers, if the names of the customers and the amount for each customer are furnished. Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million. This information'should reflect positions held at the close of business on the day prior to the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding' bills with the same maturity date as the new offering; e.g., bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six month bills. Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million. Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction. No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches. A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500,000 or less without stated price from any one bidder respective (in three willdecimals) issues. be accepted of accepted in full at competitive the weighted bids average for the price -3Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on October 18, 1979, in cash or other immediately available funds or in Treasury bills maturing October 18, 1979. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Under Sections 454(b) and 1221(5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and the bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of these bills (other than life insurance companies) must include in his or her Federal income tax return,, as ordinary gain or loss, the difference between the price paid for the bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made. Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, and this notice, prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Expected 10:00 A.M., E.D.T. STATEMENT OF H. DAVID ROSENBLOOM, INTERNATIONAL TAX COUNSEL, BEFORE THE SENATE COMMITTEE ON ENERGY AND NATURAL RESOURCES, WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 10, 1979 Mr. Chairman and members of this distinguished Committee: I am pleased to have the opportunity to testify today on H.R. 3756 and H.R. 3758. The Treasury Department will outline the Administration's position on tax and customs provisions; the Interior Department will address other issues. In a nutshell, we are opposed to the provisions on H.R. 3756 which would provide that the Secretary administer the present territorial tax systems. We support the three-year delay in the extension of Federal income tax laws to the Northern Marianas as provided in H.R. 3758 and section 204 of H.R. 3756. Our opposition to IRS administration of the present territorial tax systems reflects our concern regarding problems inherent in those systems. The G.A.O. released last week its report on Guam's inadequate administration of its territorial income tax. In our view, administration is only part of the problem. The present "mirror" systems contain major inequities, ambiquities and inconsistencies. The Treasury Department expects to release shortly a detailed analysis of those systems. This study was undertaken in conjunction with the Administration's interagency task force set up at the direction of the President to review Federal government policy toward the territories. The territories, agencies of the Federal government, and the Congress are in - the process of commenting on various options identified by the Task Force, including possible changes in the substance and the administration of the territorial income tax systems. These options will be sent to the President shortly for decision. Because this decision is imminent, the Administration is opposed to making fundamental changes in territorial tax administrations M-112 now. -2- In addition to this qeneral objection to the tax administration provisions of H.R. 3756, we have some specific difficulties with particular provisions of that bill: 1. The Administration is opposed to the provisions by which the territories could require the IRS to administer local taxes other than income taxes. The IRS would not bring any special skill to the administration of these taxes, which have traditionally been enacted and administered by political subdivisions of the United States. 2. The bill provisions requiring employment of local residents for administration of the territorial income tax are too restrictive. The territories have frequently found it necessary to hire retired IRS personnel as technicians or management advisors, and there appears to be a shortage of trained tax personnel in the territories at the present time. Accordingly, we would need the ability to employ competent and trained personnel from outside the territories to meet the needs of administration. Of course, to the extent possible, we would hire local residents to administer these taxes. The IRS offices in Puerto Rico are an example of hiring and developing local residents. Virtually the entire staff administering the Social Security tax is now Puerto Rican, including top management. This has been accomplished without any statutory mandate or requirement. 3. The bill does not empower the Secretary to issue any necessary and appropriate regulations in performing the duties imposed by this bill. 4. The provision of this bill that the Secretary, administer the territorial income tax in the territories beginning January 1, 1980, is unrealistic. At this late date, we would be unable to assume administrative responsibility before January 1, 1981. 5. The bill 3oes not provide authority for the Secretary to enter into agreements with the territories for an orderly transfer of work in progress. The territory should continue the ongoing examination of returns, administrative or judicial -3appeals, collection of delinquent accounts, pursuit of delinquent returns, and so forth. A period of 18 months would, we estimate, permit completion of much of this work and permit a smooth transfer of the remainder. 6. We do not believe that territorial officials should be given the authority to decide unilaterally whether or not the IRS will continue to administer the tax. A series of abrupt changes in tax administrations would be exceedingly costly and disruptive. 7. Regarding the provisions for collection of territorial customs duties by the United States, H.R. 3756 would allow a customs duty to be imposed and the cost of collection borne by the Federal government even when the volume of territorial imports makes the collection of a duty wholly uneconomical. The Northern Mariana Islands, Guam and American Samoa presently import too little to justify the imposition of such duties. The Virgin Islands customs duty is presently administered by the Federal government, and we objected to the provision enacted in 1978 which provided for the Federal government to absorb the cost of collection. Our preliminary estimate is that annual administrative costs of administering the territorial income taxes alone will range between $5 million and $8 million, depending on the responsibilities contained in the final legislation. Between 140 and 270 IRS personnel will be required for that purpose. The Administration has no objection to section 204 of H.R. 3756 or to H.R. 3758, which would delay the implementation of the Internal Revenue Code in the Northern Mariana Islands. The enactment of section 204 would not create a "tax haven" or foreclose any further Federal legislation. In summary, the Administration is deeply concerned by the inadequacies of the territorial income tax systems. We believe that leqislation is necessary to restructure those systems and to improve upon present administration. The shape of that legislation involves important policy issues — the adequacy of territorial government finances, the scope of territorial selfgovernment, and the relationship of the territories to the Federal government — which the Administration has not, to date, resolved internally. We request that the question of who should administer the territorial tax systems be deferred until the forthcoming Presidential decisions are made and comprehensive oOo proposals are submitted to the Congress. ortmentoftheTREASURY T E L E P H O N E 566-2041 INGTON, D.C. 20220 FOR LMMEDIATE RELEASE October 5, 1979 RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $2,901 million of 13-week bills and for $3,000 million of 26-week bills, both to be issued on October 1 1 , 1979, were accepted today, RANGE OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: 13-week bills maturing January 10, 1980 Discount Investment Price Rate Rate 1/ 26-week bills maturing April 1 0 , 1980 Discount Investment Price Rate Rate 1/ ,a/ .b/High 97.308^' 10.650% 11.13% 94.629^'10.624% 11.41% Low 97.240 10.919% 11.42% 94.592 10.697% 11.50% Average 97.268 10.808% 11.30% 94.610 10.662% 11.46% a_/ Excepting tenders totaling $1,260,000 b/ Excepting tenders totaling $710,000 Tenders at the low price for the 13-week bills were allotted 4 8 % . Tenders at the low price for the 26-week bills were allotted 9 5 % . Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TOTALS c TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands]) Received Accepted Received : $ 35,835 $ $ 21,705 35,835 2,957,035 2,207,035 : 3,924,055 44,610 19,610 : 14,605 56,845 31,845 46,710 36,575 36,575 26,885 36,775 36,775 27,360 386,045 289,045 : 366,310 14,185 14,085 : 21,400 4,820 4,820 : 5,510 41,920 41,920 : 29,765 16,605 16,605 : 21,890 180,840 120,840 : 197,820 45,570 45,570 : 61,550 Accepted $ 21,705 2,479,255 13,615 21,710 26,885 26,860 196,210 17,400 5,510 29,765 11,890 87,820 61,550 $3,857,660 $2,900,560 : $4,765,565 $3,000,175 $2,177,235 472,075 $1,220,135 472,075 i • $2,600,860 398,055 $ $2,649,310 $1,692,210' ' $2,998,915 $1,233,525 $1,208,350 • $1,766,650 $1,766,650 $2,900,560 : $4,765,565 $3,000,175 Type Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public Federal Reserve and Foreign Official $1,208,350 Institutions TOTALS $3,857,660 1/Equivalent, coupon-issue yield. M-1T1 835,470 398,055 MmentafthtTREASURY HNGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 Wk\\\\ttt\t\\\\\tm October 10, 1979 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE RESULTS OF TREASURY'S 52-WEEK BILL AUCTION Tenders for $ 3,471 million of 52-week bills to be issued October 16, 1979, and to mature October 14, 1980, were accepted today. The details are as follows: RANGE OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: Price High Low Average - 88.382 88.339 88.364 Discount Rate Investment Rate (Equivalent Coupon-issue Yield) 11.490% 11.533% 11.508% 12.81% 12.86% 12.83% Tenders at the low price were allotted 92%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands) Location Received Accepted Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury $ 4,705 5,669,740 57,090 55,225 44,855 28,760 248,740 14,500 12,685 10,525 2,610 239,900 9,505 $ 4,705 3,392,085 2,090 5,225 4,855 13,060 12,540 6,500 2,685 5,525 2,110 9,900 9,505 TOTALS $6,398,840 $3,470,785 $4,423,280 97,660 $1,495,225 97,660 Type Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public $4,520,940 Federal Reserve and Foreign Official Institutions 1,877,900 TOTALS $6,398,840 $1,592,885 1,877,900 $3,470,785 OGI 12*73 REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE ROBERT CARSWELL DEPUTY SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE ANNUAL ASSEMBLY OF THE ATLANTIC TREATY ASSOCIATION WASHINGTON, D.C. October 10, 1979 Security and the World Economy I am honored to address this august association on the occasion of the thirtieth anniversary of the North Atlantic Treaty. Just as the signing of that Treaty in 1949 clearly reflected our common determination to attend to the security of the free Western world through close cooperation and mutual assistance, so too the earlier signing of the principal international economic agreements (OECD, Bretton Woods, GATT) evidenced a similar commitment to cooperative effort in the economic sector. The linkage between the two sectors is inescapable, and events of recent years have only served to underscore the necessity that they be addressed together. These Annual Assemblies provide a convenient occasion for assessing whether the nations of the Atlantic community are realizing the objectives identified with this Association. Few of us here question those objectives. We accept the philosophy of leaders of previous generations that the best path to peace and a dignified existence for all people is through cooperation and reason. We continue to believe that failure to follow that path will ultimately mean not only a decline in the influence of the nations of the Atlantic Community but an abridgment of human rights and dignity in the world. Hence it is important to take time to assess how this process of cooperation is proceeding. The major agreements on which the cooperative policies of the Atlantic nations have been based, have provided an indispensable framework for adjusting to the demands of a M-115 - 2dynamic world in economic relations as well as in the security sphere. NATO remains our principal mechanism for coordinating military policies,, and the OECD one of our most important economic and trade policy forums. But the velocity of events in recent years and changes in the relative strengths of different members of the group have caused modifications in the basic agreements and the adoption of ancillary arrangements in many areas. The Alliance could not have endured without accommodating change and without our continuing, active commitment to work together for our mutual benefit. f \ ' Increasingly we have come to realize that our growing interdependence both limits our real national autonomy and demands that we coordinate the management of national policies if we are to maintain "the '• security and prosperity that we have achieved. This is especially true in the economic sphere. The economic wellbeing of the Western nations is not determined by national economic policies alone. World growth, world availability of crucial supplies, access to world markets, world demand for our currencies, and world inflation all have a direct, significant impact on economic growth and stability at home. Nor can we ignore the consequences of our own actions on other nations, which may be forced to react in self-defense if our policies adversely affect them. We cannot act in a vacuum, even should we want to. In that context and with some trepidation because the clear light of hindsight is not yet available, I propose to make some preliminary comments on four significant economic areas: the international monetary system, energy, trade and inflation. The International Monetary System During the decade of the 1970's the world economy has been punctuated by recurrent strains and unusual demands. These have challenged the integrity of the international monetary system—and the willingness of nations to cooperate in this vital sphere. Accommodation has not been easy. Fixed exchange rates have largely given way to variable rates; extraordinary increases in energy prices have created extraordinary financing needs; individual nations have temporarily required - .3 emergency assistance. But as the decade comes to a close, the institutions organized at Bretton Woods remain at the center of our system. Equally important, the nations of the West have taken or encouraged a series of cooperative actions: — The IMF Articles have been very significantly revised, laying the basis for orderly evolution of the international monetary system; — Intergovernmental cooperation in exchange markets has become stronger and closer; — Private financial markets have successfully channeled huge flows of funds from surplus to deficit countries, and developing countries gained access to these private capital markets on a substantial scale; — Flows of official development resources have continued to expand. The next decade will no doubt require actions of comparable importance. Markets and needs will continue to change and test our technical capacity and our commitment to a collegial system. The record of the '20's and '30's when a succession of divisive policies ended in a decade of world-wide depression and conflict, evidences how high the stakes are. Energy Until the 1973 oil crisis, there seemed little need for multilateral action in energy, which was cheap and plentiful. Today there is almost no area in which the need for common action is more obvious or more urgent. And there is virtually no other area where the Western nations as a whole depend so strongly on supplies from one turbulent part of the world, the Middle East, which contains over half of the world'd proven energy reserves. By the fall of 197 4, the Western nations had agreed that energy was a global problem that required a multilateral solution. They agreed on an International Energy Program and the creation of an International Energy Agency within the OECD. The Program provides for oil-sharing in the case - 4 -. of major supply disruptions to limit the damage from any future embargo, but also for demand restraint, long-term cooperation to reduce dependence on imported oil, the collection of data on the international oil market and establishment of relations with producers and other consumer countries. The IEA remains the major forum for coordination of industrial nations' energy policies. The economic summits have also considered energy to be a major issue requiring the attention of Chiefs of State to assure cooperation and the reduction of dependence on imported oil. Energy was the major issue at the last Summit in Tokyo, which agreed on specific limits on oil imports and a concerted effort to increase the supply of alternative energy resources. President Carter has subsequently indicated that the United States will ensure a reduction in imports even below the ambitious levels set at the Tokyo Summit. Last Thursday, the Administration asked for public comment on alternative ways of ensuring that U.S. consumption will stay within the limits set by the President. In the longer run, the enormous investment needs of developing alternative energy supplies will impinge on the availability of resources for other purposes. Implementing the Summit commitments, therefore, will require difficult decisions and hard choices. But they must be made, and we must make them in a cooperative, joint effort to assure the future security of our national economies. Trade The recent successful conclusion of the Multilateral Trade Negotiations provides an essential framework for the management of the world trading system in the 1980's. The new agreements revise and update the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade to meet the demands of today's increasingly complex trading environment. This is crucial, for trade relations have become an important element of all nations' foreign policies, with political as well as economic aspects. Increasing government involvement in trade through policies that directly affect both imports and exports has made it especially important to achieve international agreement on acceptable bounds for this involvement. The new codes regulating government involvement in trade are clearly the most significant achievement of the - '5 negotiations. They cover a wide array of burgeoning nontariff barriers to trade: standards, government procurement, licensing procedures, customs regulations, government subsidies and countervailing duties. Hopefully, they also reflect a willingness to consult in problem areas before trade is adversely affected. The agreements as a whole provide tangible progress toward a more open and equitable international trading system. The United States Congress has already ratified the new understandings, and provided detailed guidance for their administration, through the Trade Agreements Act of 197 9, which President Carter signed in July. But I should point out that no other OECD nation has yet taken these steps. The United States urges all OECD countries to redouble their efforts to ratify the agreement and provide meaningful guidance for administrative implementation. Work must also be completed on a safeguards code, which has been stalled by inability to agree on the desirability of selective safeguard action, i.e. the imposition of import restraints against specific suppliers. The developing nations regard the lack of agreement on safeguard actions as a direct, protectionist threat against their trade. We must try to assure that trade remains as open as possible for all nations. A safeguard code is one important step toward this objective. The United States is also concerned that very few developing nations have agreed to join the new codes on subsidies, government procurement, standards, and other government measures. Failure to join the codes could well mean that a two-tier trading system will be created, with assured benefits for signatories and discrimination against those that do not join. The benefits of joining the codes are substantial. As trade becomes increasingly important to the developing nations, LDC participation in the future interpretation and evolution of the code regulations, which will be central to the future management of international trade problems, is clearly in their interest. Two related areas of government intervention (official export credits and investment incentives) must also be addressed on an international basis. I would like to discuss them briefly. - 6 (1) Export Credits. What countries were willing to do in reducing export subsidies in the context of the MTN, they have been unwilling to do in the context of official trade finance. Accordingly, the Export-Import Bank of the United States, operating within the framework of the International Agreement on Export Credits, has been much more aggressive in providing export financing in support of U.S. exports. — The Bank has increased the percentage of cover from around 40 percent of export value to over 60 percent in FY 1979. — It has held down its interest rates, which are still considerably higher than the Arrangement minimums, while dollar interest rates in the private market and the cost of money to the Bank have continued to rise. — In support of U.S. aircraft manufacturers, the Bank has met the generous financing offers made by the governments of Germany and France in support of the Airbus, in spite of the huge expense involved. — The provision of mixed credits by France and the United Kingdom also has a distinct adverse impact on exports of countries seeking sales on commercial terms. Eximbank has matched these credits on a selective basis, as necessary to maintain a competitive U.S. position. The United States will continue to match foreign practices in this area, if necessary, to assure a fair shake for U.S. exporters in international trade. The competitive scuffle this involves is not necessary. It is disruptive and counterproductive to those nations involved. Competition among the developed nations to subsidize the construction of foreign facilities of categories that are already in oversupply is especially troublesome. In particular, the United States believes that greater discipline over the use of official export credits for steel plants is in our mutual interest and will help avoid artificial stimulation of excessive and uneconomic steel production. Better coordination of policies would be much more beneficial for all of us—in terms of economic efficiency, cost to our treasuries, and political good will. We cannot - 7afford an export credit war. Let's step back from confrontation and then move forward together in more effective common management of our export finance policies. (2) Investment. Governments also actively intervene in the international investment process to garner benefits for their national economies. Government-sponsored investment incentives and performance requirements, in particular, can have the effect of shifting the location and benefits of investment across national borders—in essence, exporting one country',s problem to another. The potential for proliferation of such measures in a beggar-thy-neighbor fashion makes increased multilateral discipline on incentives and other interventions an important aspect of our international economic relations. Our objective should be to maintain an open investment environment and to avoid emulative countermeasures. Most governments have not yet recognized the need for increased international cooperation and management of investment issues. Direct investment is a relatively recent development in our international relations. Individual clashes regarding the use of national measures have occurred, but vital interests have not yet been called into question. The writing is on the wall, however, and the United States is convinced that the time to address problems is at an early stage—before politics or vested interests create a crisis in our economic relations. Inflation The final area I would like to discuss involves our most important common problem and the greatest threat to our common economic security: inflation. Inflation affects all of us—industrialized and developing nations alike. It saps our economic strength and undermines our national wellbeing. Inflation in the United States also has called into question the soundness of the dollar as a store of value and medium of exchange with attendant instability and unwarranted speculation in the exchanges and other markets. There is little disagreement in the countries of the Atlantic alliance on the many causes of inflation: rising energy and raw material prices, inadequate investment and - 8a gradual decline in productivity, historically high government deficits and overly expansionary monetary policies, expensive and sometimes redundant government regulation. Recent initiatives of the Administration address all these areas, including the actions taken this weekend by the Federal Reserve Board to check increases in the money supply. We expect to persevere in our domestic policies and in time to bring down the rate of inflation. The impressive improvement in the'U.S. current account balance this year and next should provide a basis for a more stable U.S. dollar and thus also contribute to a reduction in the externally-generated portion of our inflation. Globally, the MTN will help reduce import barriers in all nations as an aid to our anti-inflation efforts. Pricestabilizing commodity agreements for sugar and natural rubber, and efforts to revise the tin and cocoa agreements in ways that would contribute more to global price stability, should also help. More can and must be done to coordinate our individual efforts through the OECD, through the economic summits, and through regular consultations at mid-levels of government to ensure that monetary or other actions taken by one government are not diluted or frustrated by actions of another. The fight against inflation must be our number one priority— and effective coordination of national policies our primary objective. Conclusion I think it is fair to say that in all the critical areas I have touched on—the international monetary system, energy, trade and inflation—there has been a recent record of significant and productive cooperation among the nations of the alliance. Such cooperation is now more vital than ever before. Yet politically the Western industrialized nations are not prepared to contemplate openly a partial ceding of national authority over economic policy to an international body. But realistically, we must face this issue in the not-too-distant future. The question for all of us—but particularly for the industrialized market economies—is whether we will learn - 9 to coordinate the management of our economies, to the benefit of all concerned, or whether, because of the strains and pressures arising from our interdependence, we end up retreating from the thrust of the past three decades and slipping back into a nationally-oriented and ultimately autarchic international regime. The pressure of events is forcing us toward a choice because grudging compromises in an atmosphere of near crisis cannot produce consistent and constructive policies. There is no viable middle ground in the long run—and the long run is getting shorter and.shorter. We have all benefited from the vibrance and growth of the world economy, and from the increased interdependence that has been part and parcel of that growth. Clearly, a reversal of this trend—through conscious decision or through failure to act together—cannot possibly benefit either the United States or the world as a whole. The crucial task now is to build upon the framework of cooperation we have achieved to assure the effective policy coordination and problem management we require for the future. 0O0 •~~? partmentoflheTREASURY HINGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 11, 1979 Contact: Alvin M. Hattal 202/566-8381 TREASURY PROPOSES REVISION OF CUSTOMS REGULATIONS FOR ANTIDUMPING DUTY INVESTIGATIONS Robert H. Mundheim, General Counsel of the Treasury, today announced a Proposed Revision of the Customs Regulations Relating to Antidumping Duties. These proposed regulations will implement changes in the antidumping law, effective January 1, 1980, resulting from enactment of the Trade Agreements Act of 1979, P.L. 96-39, which replaces the Antidumping Act, 1921, as amended. The principal changes implemented by the Trade Agreements Act of 19 79 are (1) shortened time limits during the investigative phase of antidumping proceedings, (2) detailed provisions concerning the suspension of investigations, (3) imposition of time limits on the liquidation of entries subject to the assessment of antidumping duties, (4) yearly administrative review of outstanding Antidumping Duty Orders and suspension agreements, and (5) greater public participation in, and access to, information developed during antidumping proceedings. The regulations also codify many current practices of the Treasury in the administration of the antidumping law and propose some modifications to present rules to render determinations more equitable. Oral comments on the proposed revisions and the previously announced proposed revisions of the Countervailing Duty Regulations (published in the Federal Register on October 3) are invited at a meeting to be held at 9:30 a.m., November 5 and 6, in Room 4121 of the Main Treasury Building, 1500 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W., Washington, D. C. The meeting, originally scheduled for October 24 and 25, will be conducted by Deputy Assistant Secretary Peter Ehrenhaft. Written comments on the proposed revision of Antidumping Duty Regulations will be accepted until November 30, 1979, Notice of these actions will be published in the Federal Register on October 16, 1979, which will include instructions for requesting an opportunity to present oral comments at the November meeting. o 0 o M-116 ipartmentoftheTREASURY SHINGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 11, 1979 RESULTS OF AUCTION OF 15-YEAR l-MONTH TREASURY BONDS The Department of the Treasury has accepted $1,501 million of $2,514 million of tenders received from the public for the 15-year 1-month bonds auctioned today. The range of accepted competitive bids was as follows: Lowest yield Highest yield Average yield 10.10%^ 10.25% 10.17% The interest rate on the bonds will be 10-1/ 8%. At the 10-1/8% rate, the above yields result in the following prices: Low-yield price 100.155 High-yield price Average-yield price 99.013 99.620 The $1,501 million of accepted tenders includes $93 million of noncompetitive tenders and $1,408 million of competitive tenders from private investors, including 17 % of the amount of bonds bid for at the high yield. 1/ Excepting 2 tenders totaling $22,000 M-117 apartment of theJREASURY (SHINGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 11, 1979 RESULTS OF AUCTION OF 15-YEAR l-MONTH TREASURY BONDS The Department of the Treasury has accepted $1,501 million of $2,514 million of tenders received from the public for the 15-year 1-month bonds auctioned today. The range of accepted competitive bids was as follows: Lowest yield 10.10%Highest yield Average yield 10.25% 10.17% The interest rate on the bonds will be 10-1/ 8%. At the 10-1/8% rate, the above yields result in the following prices: Low-yield price 100.155 High-yield price Average-yield price 99.013 99.620 The $1,501 million of accepted tenders includes $93 million of noncompetitive tenders and $1,408 million of competitive tenders from private investors, including 17% of the amount of bonds bid for at the high yield. 1/ Excepting 2 tenders totaling $22,000 TREASURY BONDS OF 1994 '/;^> DATE:. October 11, 1979 HIGHEST S£$S£V LAST ISSUE: 4 ^r/i~ 11-117 LOWEST SINCE TODAY: &j G- ~Z~7 — " 7 ? FOR RELEASE AT 8 P.M. REMARKS OF THE HONORABLE G. WILLIAM MILLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AT DINNER HONORING C. C. HOPE, JR., PRESIDENT ELECT OF THE AMERICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION AND CLAUDE E. POPE OUTGOING PRESIDENT, MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION AT CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA OCTOBER 11, 1979 It is a great pleasure to be in Charlotte tonight to join Governor Hunt, Jesse Helms, Bob Morgan and your other distinguished gjests in honoring two North Carolinians that nave given so much service to their country and tne banking ind jstry. Tne decade of the 1970's has been marred by continuous and sometimes dramatic changes in our political and economic environment. In tnese troublesome times, we are very fortunate to nave leaders like C.C. Hope and Claude Pope to work with. C.C. and Claude nave two outstanding characteristics that make their leadership especially valuable to us now: First, a natural love for working with people in all walks of life to resolve our common problems; second, an ability to understand change and what we all must do to meet its challenges. C.C. Hope's career has changed in many ways since 1947 when he first started in banking as a teller. However, C.C.'s approach to life nasn't cnanged. I understand ne will still take tne Greyhound bus to see banks out in tne countryside rather tnan keep a driver waiting to bring him back in. Also, despite the enormous amount of time he has dedicated to just about every ABA task force and committee in recent years, he has managed to remain heavily involved witn Wake Forest University and with his church. The ABA is fort-mate to have C.C. as the third North Carolinian to be its president. Claude Pope is the second from your state to serve as President of the Mortgage Bankers Association. Claude has been involved 'with the M.B.A. for at least the last fifteen M-118 -2years. He has worked with the M.B.A. on a wide range of issues including education, ethics in Mortgage Banking, and the M.B.A.'s political action committee. Despite these professional involvements, like C.C. Hope, he still manages to save some time for a wide range of church and community involvements. I don't see how all of this leaves Claude much time for anything else, but I do know he likes to travel around your state in his camper. I guess he thojght that if C.C. could use a Greyhound bus, he could at least use a van. Both of these men signify what is best about business leaders in our country. The energy to devote themselves tirelessly not only to their own business interests, but to improving the common welfare of their communities as well. Changes in Our Financial Structure Like the economy as a whole, there have been dramatic changes in banking over the last decade. The challenge of meeting these changes seems likely to become even greater in the future. There has been a gradual breaking down of the walls which once separated the activities that different financial institutions performed. For example, many more types of institutions now offer transaction accounts. Because of regulatory differences in how these accounts were treated, and the burden of Federal Reserve membership in particular, this development has led to troublesome competitive inequities. I want to take this opportunity to commend C.C. Hope, in particular, for the leading role he played with the ABA in promoting monetary improvement legislation in this session of Congress. The dual objectives of reducing burdens on member banks and providing greater competitive equality among financial institutions will help strengthen our banking system. The recent action of the ABA in reaffirming endorsement for the concept of reserve requirements on transactions accounts of all financial intermediaries, with a lower reserve ratio below a certain deposit level, should provide momentum for favorable Congressional action. The banking industry has also been called upon to play an increasingly difficult role in international capital markets. Floating exchange rates have added new complexity to many international transactions. Similarly, many were concerned that the huge surpluses the OPEC countries generated by successive price increases could not be effectively recycled. This fear has been proven unfounded largely as a result of the effective role that has been played by private financial institutions. -3American banks are also facing much more intensive competition from overseas institutions than in the past. In the past, the rules of the international banking game nave not always been the same for everyone and these inequities have lessened competition and reduced economic efficiency. That is the reason that this Administration so strongly supported the passage of the International Banking Act of 1978, which addressed many of the competitive inequalities between U.S. banks and foreign institutions operating nere. These are just some examples of the challenges banking has had to face both domestically and internationally. We are also seeing the emergence of new credit and financial instruments both within and without the banking system, tne availability of advanced technology in communications and data processing, and an overall intensification of competition. Both commercial banking and mortgage banking nave demonstrated remarkable resourcefullness, flexibility and vigor in responding to these challenges. Inflations Challenge The greatest challenge confronting all of us now is dealing with inflation. Inflation is the dominant economic problem of our time. The causes of inflation are many and well known to you. Inflation has built up over the past fifteen years. It is now deeply embedded in our economic structure. It is a clear and present danger to our national well-being. Inflation reduces real incomes and values; it threatens our ability to provide employment opportunities; it dries up job creating investments; it impedes productivity; it breeds recession; it falls most heavily on those least able to bear the burden. The war against inflation must be our top priority. There is no quick or simple solution. The war must be waged through a comprehensive strategy on all fronts on a continuous basis. We do have an integrated strategy. We are marshalling all resources. We are directing all economic policies toward a total war against inflation. And most of all, we are directing our efforts at the fundamental causes of inflation rather than just the symptoms. I would like to outline the principal policies which together must form the main forces for our assault. -4- First, is a disciplined fiscal policy. The cumulative effect of large federal deficits year after year has been to fuel the fires of inflation. We are determined to apply fiscal restraint and move as quickly as possible toward a balanced budget. Some progress can already be reported. In 1976, the federal deficit was three percent of Gross National Product. This year, it will be down to only one percent. Unless the current recession deepens, we should make further progress next year. Even more important is to gain better control over federal spending and to reduce the relative role of federal expenditures in our national economy. In 1976, federal spending was 22.6 percent of GNP. This year it will be down to about 21.5 percent. And we intend to reduce it further. The net result, over time, of reduced deficits and reduced expenditures as a percent of GNP will be to release substantial resources for tne private sector. The spending and investing decisions of individuals and businesses witn respect to these resources will be far more beneficial to your economy than channeling the same amounts through government. Monetary Policy A second weapon in the war against inflation is a disciplined monetary policy. The Federal Reserve has been pursuing a course to keep firm control over the growth of the money supply. The object has been to reduce progressively the rate of growth of money and credit in order to starve out inflation. Again, there has been some progress, and growth rates have slowed. For instance, the increase in M-1 over the past twelve months has been held to 4.9 percent -- less than half the increase in consumer prices. Buv. in recent months, following the large increase in oil prices in the second quarter, the growth has been much more rapid. The Federal Reserve has responded promptly to counter the trend and to deal with recent evidence of renewed inflationary pressures. On Saturday evening, the Federal Reserve announced unanimous approval for a series of complementary actions. The discount rate was increased a full percent, from 11 to 12 percent; a marginal reserve requirement of 8 percent was established for "managed liabilities"; and the method of conducting monetary policy was revised to support the objective of containing growth in the monetary aggregates over the remainder of this year within the previously adopted ranges. In addition, the Federal Reserve Board called upon banks to avoid making loans that support specu- -5lative activty in gold, commodities and foreign exchange markets. These actions should serve to dampen inflationary forces and contribute to greater stability in foreign exchange markets. Pay-Price Policy Fiscal and monetary restraint represent powerful weapons to attack the fundamental causes of inflation. But they take effect with some lag. Therefore, another important policy is the voluntary program to moderate pay and price increases and thus provide time for the other basic policies to take hold. Because of widespread cooperation, most major corporations and most labor contracts have been in compliance with the voluntary standards during the first year. As a result, overall price and pay increases have been smaller than otherwise would have been experienced. For the second year of the program, it was felt desirable to provide for greater participation by management and labor in the process of establishing and applying pay standards. This should help avoid inequities which otherwise may develop over time. A tripartite Pay Committee, to be chaired by John Dunlop, is therefore being established, with a first task of recommending pay standards for the period ahead . In this connection, the Administration worked out a National Accord with American labor leadership in support of the war against inflation and providing for labor involvement in the pay-price program. Government Regulations In battling inflation, we must not overlook the cost-raising actions of government. Among these are the costs of unnecessary regulation. We must intensify efforts to reduce the burden of government, and in particular the burden on the banking system. But let me not raise false hopes. When I was at the Federal Reserve we launched Project Augeus -- to undertake the herculean task of cleaning out regulatory stables that seemed somewhat like the stables of Augeus that had gone uncleaned for thirty years. The effort continues; and I hope to launch a similar attack at Treasury. But it is not easy. Much regulation is founded in statute, and while we can improve and shorten and clarify, we often need legislation to make real reductions in burden. -6So it will take time, and will need your help and support. I would particularly welcome your suggestions and recommendations in this area. Energy Policy There can be no doubt that reducing our reliance on imported oil is essential for both controlling inflation and strengthening the dollar. The ten-fold increase in world oil prices has been a principal contributor to the acceleration of inflation during this decade. Oil price increases have come in two major waves: the first in 1974 following the oil embargo and the second earlier this year following the upheaval in Iran. It is imperative tnat we establish our energy independence. It is essential to our nation's security that we gain control over our own destiny. It is urgent that we move with all possible speed. It is vital that we pursue multiple options so as to assure total success. For two and one-half years President Carter has sought support for a broad and comprehensive energy program to achieve those objectives. But because we are a heterogeneous country, because some regions are producers and others are consumers, because some areas have one or another form of local energy supply and others are totally dependent on outside sources, it has been excruciatingly difficult to hammer out a national energy program. Some important parts of the program have fallen into place earlier, such as the natural gas bill enacted a year ago. Now, remaining critical elements are under active review by the Congress. The President has recently taken two major steps under his own powers and on his own initiative. He has decontrolled domestic crude oil prices over the next two years, with immediate decontrol of heavy oil. And he has limited imports to no more than 8.5 million barrels per day, the level that prevailed in 1977. The President has established an even lower import limit of 8.2 million brrels of oil per day for this year. The priorities for our national energy program are clear . First, conservation. This is the surest, cheapest, cleanest way to reduce our dependence on oil. Second, increasing the development and use of conventional domestic sources of energy, such as oil, gas, and coal. -7Tnird, increasing the use of renewable energy sources, such as solar, alcohol, biomass, wind and wood. Fourtn, to assure longer term supplies, the rigorous development of unconventional domestic energy sources, such as synthetic fuels from coal and shale and unconventional natural gas. To provide capital resources for the overall program, a special excise tax—the Windfall Profits Tax--nas been proposed and has already passed the House. The purpose of the tax is to allocate the increased revenues generated by decontrol of domestic oil prices. A good part of the increased revenues will remain with the oil producers to provide the means for them to continue and expand production of conventional energy. Some of the increased revenues will also be allocated to tne Energy Security Corporation to finance projects wholly in the private sector for the development of unconventional energy. These projects will be large scale ventures, with unusual risks, and would not likely be undertaken by private companies on the scale needed without government financial assistance. As an alternative, rather than seeking financing from the Energy Security Corporation, private companies will be able to take advantage of special tax credits for unconventional fuel production. To round out the program, an Energy Mobilization Board has been proposed in order to shorten the time for obtaining permits for energy projects. We cannot afford unnecessary delays. When fully in place, the energy program is expected to cut oil imports by more that 50 percent so that in 1990 we are importing 4-5 million barrels per day rather than our current level of more than 8 million barrels per day. This will put us well on the way to energy independence. Investment Policy Finally, a few words about capital investments. For some time, our nation has given too much emphasis to consumption and too little emphasis to investment in productive facilities that make consumption possible. We have fallen behind other leading industrial nations. Japan spends over 20 percent of GNP on capital investments; Germany over 15 percent. In the United States, we have been running at 10 to 11 percent. Our savings rate, at about 4.5%, is the lowest in the developed world. As a result, our productivity has lagged. This must not continue, or else our competitiveness in world markets will be seriously impaired. -8In coming months, therefore, we exppect to be working to create conditions and incentives that will encourage the savings, investments and productivity that are so essential to economic progress with price stability. Tne Dollar I have not spoken specifically about the dollar tonight, but let me point out that controlling inflation and reducing our dependence on imported oil are essential to strengthening its international value. We have taken strong steps recently to strengthen tne dollar. Let me emphasize again that this Administration is fully committed to that course. I am fully confident these steps will be successful and we are prepared to take successive actions should that become necessary. Conclusion Inflation will not disappear overnight, but I am confident it can be defeated if we have the courage and the willpower necessary to devote ourselves to the fight. This will require that all of us be willing to accept a period of austerity in America and focus on the long term public good rather than just our own short term self interest. In that regard let me return to why we are nere. C.C. Hope and Claude Pope symbolize the kind of American business leader who works long and nard in their own business as well as in their outside activities to make things a little better for everyone. If all of us take tnat approach more often, we will be able to successfully address the difficult economic challenges of our time. 0OO0 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 12, 1979 Contact: Charles Arnold 202/566-2041 SECRETARY MILLER NAMES SIX NEW MEMBERS TO TREASURY SMALL BUSINESS ADVISORY COMMITTEE Secretary of the Treasury G. William Miller today announced the appointment of six new members to the Treasury Small Business Advisory Committee. Secretary Miller also announced the appointment of Susan Hager as Chairperson of the Committee, replacing William L. Hungate, former Congressman from Missouri, who has been appointed to the federal bench. Committee members are chosen from small businesses of various types and sizes in different sections of the country, from the academic community, and from professional organizations representing small business. The objective of the Committee is to provide information and advice to the Secretary on the broad range of economic issues which from time to time affect the small business community. The Committee was created to provide a means of communication between the small business community and the Secretary on economic issues including capital formation, tax policy, tax administration and governmental regulation. A two-day meeting of the advisory group is scheduled for October 29 and 30 in Washington. Attached is a listing of the new members of the Treasury Small Business Advisory Committee, as well as a listing of current members of the Committee who are being reappointed. Attachements M-119 NEW MEMBERS Ms. Norma K. Bork, Angwin, California; owner and operator of a consulting firm in speech and language therapy; former member of Napa County Commission on the Status of Women; Board of Directors of the Mental Health Association. Mr. Wilber S. Doyle, Martinsville, Virginia; President of • Doyle Lumber Inc.; member of the Small Business Council of the United States Chamber of Commerce. Dean Donald H. Driemeier, St. Louis, Missouri; Dean of the School of Business Administration; University of Missouri-St. Louis. Ms. Marlene Johnson, St. Paul, Minnesota; President of Split Infinitive; President of the Minnesota Chapter of the National Association of Women Business Owners; Treasurer of the National Association of Women Business Owners. Mr. J. Fred Kubik, Wichita, Kansas; managing partner, F.B. Kubik & Company, Certified Public Accountants; Chairman of Small Business Taxation Subcommittee of AICPA. Mr. Richard A. Lewis, Nashville, Tennessee; President and Chief Executive Officer of Citizens Savings Bank and Trust Company; member of Advisory Council of • the Small Business Administration. CURRENT MEMBERS Chairperson: Ms. Susan Hager, Washington, D . C ; President, Hager, Sharp & Abramson Associates, Inc.; National Advisory Council to the Small Business Administration; past President, National Association of Women Business Owners. Mr. Harry G- Austin, Mars, PA.; President, James Austin Company; past President Smaller Manufacturers Council of Western Pennsylvania. Mr. Walton E. Bell, III, Washington, D . C ; Partner, Arthur Andersen & Company, Certified Public Accountants. Mr. Alan J. Bennett, Los Angeles, CA; Secretary, Black Businessmen's Association of Los Angeles; President, Centaurans 7 Enterprises, Inc. Mr. Craig M. Bollman, Jr., Denver,-CO; President, Aristek Corporation; Chairman, Advocacy and Public Communication Committee of the Small Business Advisory Council. Mr. Eugene N. Bryant, Atlanta, GA; Owner and operator, service station; owner and operator, day care and early achieve ment center. Mr. Bruce G- Fielding, Mountain View, CA; Bruce G."Fielding & Co., Certified Public Accountants; member, Commission on Federal Paperwork; Director of National Federation of Independent Business. Mr. Patrick Ionatta, Bethpage, NY; President, Ecolotrol, Inc.; Chairman, New York State Association of Small Business Councils; Chairman, Executive Committee, National Mobilization Task force of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce on Small Business; Vice President, Small Business of Long Island Association of Commerce and Industry; member Executive Committee, U.S. Chamber of Commerce Council on Small Business. - 2 Ms. Carol R. Johnson; Cambridge, MA; President, Carol R. Johnson & Associates, Inc. Mr. James D. McKevitt, Washington, D . C ; Washington Council, National Federation of Independent Business. Mr. Clayton L. Norman, Detroit, MI; Owner and operator two McDonald's franchises; member, Booker T. Washington Business Association. Mr. Vincent M. Panichi, Beachwood, OH; Monastra, Ciuni & Panichi, Certified Public Accountants; Professor, John Carrol University; member, Board of Directors of the Council of Smaller Enterprises for Northern Ohio. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 15, 1979 Contact: Alvin M. Hattal 202/566-8381 TREASURY TENTATIVELY REVOKES FINDING OF DUMPING ON WATER CIRCULATING PUMPS FROM THE UNITED KINGDOM The Treasury Department today announced its preliminary determination that water circulating pumps from the United Kingdom are no longer being sold in the United States at less than fair value. ("Sales at less than fair value" generally occur when imported merchandise is sold here for less than in the home market or to third countries.) If this action is made final, imports of this merchandise will no longer be subject to special dumping duties. Notice of Treasury's earlier determination that this merchandise was being dumped was published in the July 7, 1976, issue of the Federal Register. The Department has tentatively revoked that finding because, except for a very small number of sales for which minimal dumping duties have been assessed, there have been no shipments of this merchandise since that date sold at less than fair value prices. There are also no unliquidated entries of such products. Notice of this action appears in the October 15, 1979, issue of the Federal Register. o 0 o M-120 partmentoltheTREASURY HINGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 15, 1979 RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $ 2,900 million of 13-week bills and for $3,000 million of 26-week bills, both to be issued on October 18, 1979, were accepted today. RANGE OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: 13-week bills maturing January 17, 1980 Discount Investment Price Rate Rate 1/ High Low Average 97.069 11.595% 12.14% 96.983 11.935% 12.51% 97.008 11.836% 12.40% a/ Excepting 2 tenders totaling $205,000 26-week bills maturing April 17. 1980 Discount Investment Price Rate 1/ Rate •*l 11.660% 12.60% 94.10512.72% 94.053 11.763% 12.66% 94.077 11.716% Tenders at the low price for the 13-week bills were allotted 94%. Tenders at the low price for the 26-week bills were allotted 89%. Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TOTALS TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands ) Received Accepted Received 38,145 $ 38,145 $ $ 37,620 3,366,485 2,254,085 4,236,345 32,065 32,065 : 66,835 49,605 44,605 47,875 35,675 35,675 30,450 57,190 57,190 37,285 77,985. 347,985 287,020 47,940 67,940 48,265 7,195 7,195 7,600 39,795 39,795 31,630 30,940 30,940 10,895 180,225 280,225 195,790 54,360 54,360 61,030 Accepted $ 37,620 2,521,945 66,835 27,875 30,450 37,285 57,020 19,265 7,600 31,630 10,895 90,790 61,030 $4,407,605 $2,900,205 : $5,098,640 $3,000,240 $2,631,445 666,780 $1,124,045 : 666,780 : $3,020,425 500,355 $1,122,025 500,355 $3,298,225 $1,790,825 : $3,520,780 $1,622,380 $1,109,380 $1,109,380 : $1,577,860 $1,377,860 $4,407,605 $2,900,205: $5,098,640 $3,000,240 Type Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public Federal Reserve and Foreign Official Institutions TOTALS 1/Equivalent _coupon-issue yield. FOR RELEASE UPON DELIVERY EXPECTED AT 10:00 A.M. TUESDAY, OCTOBER 16, 1979 TESTIMONY OF THE HONOPABLE G. WILLIAM MILLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON FISCAL AND INTERGOVERNMENTAL POLICY OF THE JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE Mr. Chairman and Members of this distinguished Subcommittee: Thank you for this opportunity to discuss the economic outlook, its regional impact, and what might be done to mitigate the effects of a recession on our State and local governments. I am pleased that the Subcommittee is giving its attention to this important subject. Economic Outlook Let me begin by summarizing briefly my assessment of the current economic outlook. In recent weeks the economy has shown more strength than earlier anticipated. Indeed GNP growth in the third quarter of this year is likely to show some recovery from the depressed levels of the second auarter. The September unemployment rate fell back to 5.8 percent after rising to 6.0 percent in August. Retail sales for August and September were up 5 percent in nominal terms, and almost 3 percent in real terms, from second quarter levels. However, this strengthening of economic M-122 . J -2activity has been coupled with an acceleration of inflation, a heightening of inflationary expectations, an expansion in credit flows and increasing evidence of speculative activity in commodity and financial markets. In September, the rate of inflation, as measured by producers' finished goods prices, accelerated. The monthly increase of 1.4 percent was the largest single monthly advance since late 1974. In recognition of accelerating inflationary pressures and developments in the domestic and international financial markets, on Saturday, October 6 the Federal Reserve Board acted to slow the growth in money and credit expansion. The recent policy actions by the Federal Reserve—actions which are appropriate and necessary—will help us get a better handle on inflation, the dominant economic problem of our time. If we are to preserve the economic advances that have been made since the end of the last recession, we have no reasonable alternative but to mount a strong and broad attack on inflation and inflationary expectations. We must recognize, however, that the underlying factors have now changed somewhat and we cannot be as certain as previously about the depth and severity of the economic slowdown. However, there are few signs that we are facing a deep -3- downturn of the 1973-75-type, and with economic policies focused on curbing inflationary expectations, the outlook continues to indicate a moderate recession. The Administration intends to continue its comprehensive fiscal discipline, monetary restraint, responsible pay-price policy, an overall energy program, reduction of regulatory burden and other measures. This will contribute to a slowing of price increases during the coming months. By doing so, we can avoid an acceleration of wage and price increases and a new inflationary spiral, 3y acting to slow the rate of inflation, we will be able to shore-up real incomes, reduce uncertainty, reverse expectations of future inflation, strengthen consumer and business confidence, and reduce significantly the chances for a deeper recession. The steps that have been taken to reduce inflation are necessary to restore economic stability and balanced growth. We must prove to ourselves and demonstrate to others that we have the conviction, the courage, and the fortitude to stick with the policies that are needed to bring inflation under control. Regional Impact of Recession With this brief background on the economic outlook, let me now address the question of the regional impact of a recession. -4The sensitivity of regions to a national economic recession varies widely and is dependent upon a number of factors, including industrial composition and growth rates. Historically, during periods of declining economic activity, manufacturing industries (particularly durable goods manufacturing) have tended to experience relatively wider fluctuations in output and employment than other industries. Purchases of consumer durables (such as automobiles and large household applicances) and capital goods are more readily postponed during economic slowdowns than purchases of nondurables (such as clothing and food) and many services. Thus regions which are heavily dependent upon manufacturing activity as a source of income and employment are generally more severely impacted by national recessions. Regions that have been experiencing rapid increases in economic growth due to increased capital investment, inmigration of labor, favorable climate, relatively cheap resources, or any number of other factors may be less severely affected by national economic recession than regions with slower growth rates and regions that have a relatively older, less-efficient capital base. Regions heavily engaged in agriculture are not usually affected by recession to the same degree as regions heavily dependent upon industry. -5- During the post-war period, 1948-1975, the East North Central, New England, and Mid-Atlantic States have displayed the greatest sensitivity to national economic slowdowns in terms of employment declines relative to the national average. On the other hand, the Mountain, West South Central, West North Central and South Atlantic States have shown the least sensitivity. The degree of sensitivity is explainable basic- ally in terms of the make-up of the economic base of the various regions. Using the latest data then available, a 1978 Boston Federal Reserve Bank study indicates that: (1) During the six business cycle episodes of the post-war period, employment in the East North Central, New England and Middle Atlantic States has almost always shown percentage declines far in excess of the national average. In the 1973-1975 recession, for example, total U.S. employment declined 2.9 percent from its peak-totrough. Employment declined 4.7 percent, however, in the East North Central States, 4.3 percent in the New England States and 3.8 percent in the Middle Atlantic States. Although employment declines in other regions occasionally exceeded the national average, this has been the exception rather than the rule. -6- In the three regions where employment declines are more severe than the nationwide average, manufacturing is the predominant source of labor and proprietor's income. Manufacturing is also more important to these three regions than to any other region in the Nation and durable manufacturing is substantially more important than nondurable manufacturing. (2) Except for the 1969-1970 recession, when employment losses in the Pacific States were aggravated by the winding down of the Vietnam War and its impact on the aerospace industry, employment declines in this region have been less than the national average. During the last recession, the Pacific States suffered employment declines of only 1.3 percent, less than half of the national average. Although manufacturing accounts for about 25 percent of the region's total labor and proprietor's income, the relative importance of income from government, services, trade, and other nonmanufacturing sectors is greater in the Pacific region than in the Nation as a whole. Thus, the Pacific region is more diversified than many of the other regions and is less sensitive to recessions. (3) In each of the six post-war recessions, employment declines in the Mountain States have also been substantially less than the national average. During the severe 1973-1975 recession, for example, this region experienced an employ- -7- ment decline only half that of the national average; and in the two preceding recessions these States suffered no declines in nonagricultural employment. The Mountain States receive a smaller share of their income (less than 15 percent) from manufacturing than any other region. This fact and the fact that government and services account for larger income shares than in any other region probably assures this region of only a minimal adverse impact from recessions. A region's -industrial mix also has implications for the timing of the recession's impact. Since manufacturing activity is most sensitive to a recession, those States or regions most heavily dependent upon manufacturing (particularly durable manufacturing) generally should feel the effects of a recession first. Those States or regions also would probably be among the first to qualify for fiscal assistance from the Federal Government under the Administration 's proposed Intergovernmental Fiscal Assistance program that I will discuss shortly. Private forecasts of the regional impacts of the current recession seem to bear out this point. Not all regions will be affected to the same extent by the current recession. Only those regions relatively heavily engaged in manufacturing (particularly durable goods manu- -8facturing) or experiencing slow growth are likely to be seriously affected. In the mild 1969-1970 recession, for instance, the South Atlantic, East South Central, and Mountain States experienced no declines in employment while the West South Central States showed only minimal declines. In con- trast, the New England, East North Central, and Mid-Atlantic regions endured employment declines far above the national average. (Regional employment data for past recessions is presented in Table 1 and regional definitions are shown in Table 2.) During the 1973-1975 recession, the most severe economic downturn since the Great Depression, no region escaped unscathed. All suffered employment losses. Even the East South Central and South Atlantic States, which experienced no employment declines during the mild 1969-1970 recession, showed large declines. At the same time, however, three regions—the West South Central, Pacific and the West North Central States—experienced milder relative declines in employment during the last recession than they had during the mild 1969-1970 recession, highlighting the fact that the regional impacts of recession differ from recession to recession. SMidies of the Regional Impacts of the Current Recession The Administration has no official economic forecasts of individual States, local areas, or regions. However, there -9- have been a number of private forecasts of the regional impacts of the expected current recession. Those fore- casts were undertaken several months ago and are predicated upon the assumption of a modest recession for the national economy. The private forecasts indicate that the recession's regional impact pattern will not differ greatly from that experienced during the mild 1969-197 0 recession. The New England, Middle Atlantic, and East North Central regions are expected to bear the brunt of the recession. As noted previously, all three of these regions rely heavily upon durable manufacturing for jobs and income. The Mountain States are expected to suffer little or no employment losses—only a slowdown in employment growth. As also noted earlier, of all the regions of the country, this one is least dependent upon manufacturing. The Pacific, South Atlantic, East South Central, West North Central and West South Central States all are predicted to experience mild employment declines. Except for the Pacific region, where specific factors were operative, none of these areas experienced marked -10employment declines during the mild 1969-1970 recession. Of course, these studies of the regional impacts of the current recession are largely based upon historical regional impact patterns. To the extent that the weaknesses and causes underlying the current recession differ significantly from previous recessions and to the extent that structural changes in communications and transportation have taken place, the regional impact of the current recession could differ from the past. Current Fiscal Position of State and Local Governments There has been considerable attention directed to the "huge" budget surpluses enjoyed by States. However, only a few States account for most of these surpluses. More importantly, virtually all of these surpluses consist of contributions to various social insurance funds (such as retirement funds, workmen compensation, and temporary disability insurance funds) which are not generally available for other purposes. During the second quarter of this year, State and local governments actually ran a $6.3 billion deficit (based on national income and product accounts data) after allowances are made for contributions to social insurance funds (See Table 3). This was the first such deficit since -lithe second quarter of 1976. With the anticipated declines in the growth of employment, personal income, and retail sales due to the recession, further reductions in the rate of growth in State and local government revenues can be expected. If it were to continue for some time, such a development could jeopardize the fiscal posture of many State and local governments. The spread of public sentiment for Proposition 13-type tax reductions could result in a further deterioration of the fiscal position of States and localities unless public spending is also curtailed. Curtailing public spending, however, could exacerbate the recession. A countercyclical fiscal assistance program for State and local governments would help avoid such pro-cyclical actions. Many of the regions that will be most affected by the recession have older cities that are experiencing secularly declining economic growth rates. These cities may be particularly hard-pressed to maintain service levels in the face of the current slowdown. The Administration considered the prospects for regional variation in the effects of a recession in preparing its fiscal assistance proposal, which was submitted to the Congress last March. Let me first relate the basic justification for a countercyclical program to the evidence on -12varying regional effects from a recession. Then, I will summarize the provisions of the bill recently passed by the Senate, which'is very similar to the Administration's March proposal. The Rationale for Countercyclical Fiscal Assistance During periods of economic prosperity, most States and local governments accumulate fund balances that allow them to sustain spending for as much as a year after a recession begins. At such a point, typically about the time recovery begins, fund balances have been reduced to the point where the normal spending trend can no longer be sustained, and outlays in real terms may actually begin to decline. This pattern is observable in the record of every recession and recovery since World War II, including the 1973-77 period. Although the continued growth in spending during the decline helps to reduce the seriousness of the recession, the falloff in spending tends to slow the pace of the early phase of the recovery. Thus, from the perspective of macroeconomic policy, countercyclical fiscal assistance should be triggered well after the economy has turned down. However, payments should cease after the recovery is well under way, in order to minimize potential inflationary effects. -13payments should cease after the recovery is well under way, in order to minimize potential inflationary effects. In the current economic environment, decisions on macroeconomic policy must take serious account of the potential inflationary side-effects of any anti-recession fiscal policy option under consideration. The choice among the available policy options should be based upon a careful balancing of relative job-creation effectiveness per dollar of federal deficit against potential inflationary side-effects. Other things equal, a policy that targets the firstround economic stimulus to areas with significant concentrations of unemployed or underutilized human and capital resources is likely to have the least inflationary effect on prices. Such targeting cannot be achieved by traditional forms of antirecession tax cuts, which must apply uniformly throughout the nation. However, a geographically differentiated spending program can be targeted to areas with high levels of unemployed resources. Studies of the recent experience suggest that a countercyclical fiscal assistance program—such as Antirecession Fiscal Assistance (AREA) adopted in 197 6 and extended in 1977, or the similar countercyclical tier of the Targeted Fiscal Assistance Program currently before the House—can be very effective in terms of job creation with minimal inflationary side-effects. -14- Logic and the evidence on the experience with ARFA suggest that local governments with high unemployment rates are most likely to commit such grants quickly and for job-creating purposes. This is a major reason why the targeting mechanism in the proposed program is based on local unemployment rates, rather than on such alternatives as the change in real wages and salaries. While the recession facing the nation is expected to be moderate, the current economic outlook remains volatile, particularly in light of the uncertainties about energy prices and availability. It therefore seems prudent to put in place a stand-by countercyclical fiscal assistance program, such as the countercyclical tier of the Senate-approved bill that is now pending before the House Subcommittee on Intergovernmental Relations and Human Resources. As in the Administration's March proposal, there are two tiers in the Senate bill. The first involves the payment of $85 million per quarter in targeted fiscal assistance payments in FY 1980 to a very small number of particularly distressed local governments. The second tier, which is germane to this discussion today, involves a stand-by countercyclical fiscal assistance program which would trigger on during periods of high national unemployment rates. -15- Stand-by Countercyclical Fiscal Assistance Program Let me indicate briefly how this countercyclical tier would work. By comparison with the 1976-78 ARFA program, the proposed program is much more highly targeted. It would only operate when the national unemployment rate reaches 6.5 percent or more for a full quarter, instead of 6 percent as under ARFA. Once the program is triggered, a recipient government would be eligible for payment under the Senate-passed bill only if its quarterly unemployment rate is at least 6 percent, instead of the 4.5 percent under ARFA. This additional targeting, in the present infla- tionary context, is highly desirable. It would ensure that countercyclical funds go only to areas with substantial amounts of unemployed human and physical capital, and thus are less likely to fuel inflation. Moreover, governments in areas with high unemployment rates are more likely to be experiencing significant fiscal stress, and such governments are most likely to use the payments for purposes that involve maximum job-creation effects. The Administration's mid-session economic forecast anticipated that national unemployment rates would have reached 6.5 percent or more by the last calendar quarter of 19 79. This would have triggered payments under the proposed stand-by program. The apparent strength of the economy in the third quarter, and the events of the last few weeks, have caused us to reconsider the economic forecast, but a new one is not -16yet available. If the national unemployment rate reaches 6.5 percent by the first calendar quarter of 1980, this would trigger payments under the countercyclical tier, which would be distributed in the last quarter of fiscal year 1980. Given the lags in State and local budgetary processes and the spend-down of balances accumulated during the past few years, this is approximately the time when recession induced revenue losses raise the prospect of serious budgetary disruption. This disruption will then threaten to require fiscal behavior by State and local governments that will tend to impede the early stage of the recovery from the recession. When the program provided for in the Senate bill is triggered, it would distribute $125 million per quarter plus an additional $30 million for each one-tenth of one percent by which national unemployment exceeds 6.5 percent. One-third of the funds would be distributed to the States, the balance to eligible local governments. Conclusions The proposed fiscal assistance program is an important element of the President's domestic program. It is a balanced, two-tiered program that would address the immediate needs of a limited number of fiscally strained local communities, as well as the prospective needs of State and local governments as they strive to deal with substantial economic uncertainty. -17In particular, the stand-by tier of the program is a sensible fiscal insurance program for State and local governments in the event of future excessive unemployment. I appreciate the opportunity to discuss the pending proposals for countercyclical fiscal assistance in the context of regional variation in the economic effects of a recession. I look forward to working with you and other members of Congress toward enactment and implementation of the program. 0O0 Table 1 Percentage Drop in Nonagricultural Employment during Six Postwar Recessions England Middle Atlantic East North Central West North Central South Atlantic East South Central West South Central Mountain 5.0 5.6 6.8 6.7 1.8 4.8 7.4 2.3 1.8 4.5 1953-54 3.5 3.9 4.5 6.2 2.3 3.0 3.6 2.2 2.7 1.9 1957-58 4.4 5.0 4.5 8.5 2.3 2.0 2.5 1.8 1.4 3.1 1960-61 2.3 1.1 2.5 4.9 1.2 1.3 * 1.6 * 0.4 1969-70 1.4 3.1 2.1 4.3 1.7 * * 0.5 * 1973-75 2.9 4.3 3.8 4.7 2.8 4.5 4.3 0.7 1.5 United States 1948-49 * New Pacific* * i 00 2.6 i 1.3 No decline in absolute level of employment during the recession. ** Data for the first three expansion periods calculated using California and Oregon employment only; data for final three periods calculated using employment figures for the entire region. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, New England Economic Review (November/December 1978). -19- Table 2 Census Bureau's Regions of the United States New England East North Central West South Central Connecticut Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire Rhode Island Vermont Illinois Indiana Michigan Ohio Wisconsin Arkansas Louisiana Oklahoma Texas Mountain East South Central Middle Atlantic New Jersey New York Pennsylvania Alabama Kentucky Mississippi Tennessee South Atlantic West North Central Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Maryland North Carolina South Carolina Virginia West Virgina Iowa Kansas Minnesota Missouri Nebraska North Dakota South Dakota Arizona Colorado Idaho Montana Nevada New Mexico Utah Wyoming Pacific Alaska California Hawaii Oregon Washington -20- Table 3 State and Local Government Receipts and Expenditures 1975 1976 1977 1978 1975> I 11 Billions of dollars; annual rates Receipts 236.9 268.0 298.8 331.0 343.9 345.9 Expenditures 230.6 250.1 271.9 303.6 316.3 326.1 6.2 17.9 22.8 27.4 27.6 19.7 12.4 15.7 19.6 23.2 25.0 26.0 -6.2 2.3 7.3 4.2 2.6 -6.3 Surplus or deficit (T) National income and Product accounts Social insurance . funds Other funds Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce Note: Figures may not add due to rounding. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 16, 1979 CONTACT: ° GEORGE G. ROSS (202) 566-2356 — . 2* f- U.S.A.-UNITED KINGDOM ESTATE AND GIFT TAX TREATY* INSTRUMENTS OF RATIFICATION EXCHANGED The Treasury Department today announced that instruments of ratification were exchanged on October 11, 1979, with respect to the "Convention between the Government of the United States of America and the Government of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland for the Avoidance of Double Taxation and the Prevention of Fiscal Evasion with Respect to Taxes on Estates of Deceased Persons and on Gifts." Arthur W. Rovine, Assistant Legal Adviser for Treaty Affairs, Department of State and Andrew S. Winckler, First Secretary, British Embassy, exchanged the instruments of ratification in Washington, D.C. The Convention will enter into force on November 11, 1979 and will have effect, in the United States, in respect of estates of individuals dying and transfers taking effect after that date and, in the United Kingdom, in respect of property by reference to which there is a charge to tax which arises after that date. o 0 o M-123 nrtrntntajthiTREASURY UNGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 16, 1979 Contact: Charles Arnold 202/566-2041 TREASURY NAMES CONSULTANTS ON CHRYSLER PLAN The Treasury Department today announced it has hired two consultants to assist the Department in evaluating the revised business and financing plan to be submitted by Chrysler Corporation in support of its request for U.S. Government assistance. Ernst & Whinney, a national accounting firm, has been hired as an accounting consultant. The assignment will involve a review of Chrysler's historical financial data and its financial projections, but not an audit of the corporation. John Secrest, retired financial vice president of the American Motors Corporation, has been hired as a financial consultant. The consultants began work last week. M-124 FOR RELEASE AT 4:15 P.M. October 16, 1979 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $6,200 million, to be issued October 25, 1979. This offering will provide $ 200 million of new cash for the Treasury as the maturing bills are outstanding in the amount of $6,022 million. The two series offered are as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $3,100 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated July 26, 1979, and to mature January 24, 1980 (CUSIP No. 912793 3N 4"), originally issued in the amount of $3,024 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills for approximately $3,100 million to be dated October 25, 1979, and to mature April 24, 1980 (CUSIP No. 912793 4B 9). 3oth series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing October 25, 1979. Federal Reserve Banks, for themselves and as agents of foreign and international monetary authorities, presently hold $2,925 million of thee maturing bills. These accounts may exchange bills they hold for the bills now being offered at the weighted average prices of accepted competitive tenders. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount will be payable without interest. Both series of bills will be issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,000 and in any higher $5,000 multiple, on the records either of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasury. Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C. 20226, up to 1:30 p.m., Eastern Daylight Saving time, Monday, October 22, 1979. Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Deoartment of the Treasury. M-125 -2Each tender must be for a minimum of $10,000. Tenders over $10,000 must be in multiples of $5,000. In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the"basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e.g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve 3ank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities may submit tenders for account of customers, if the names of the customers and the amount for each customer are furnished. Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million. This information should reflect positions held at the close of business on the day prior to the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering; e.g., bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six month bills. Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million. Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction. No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches. A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500,000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full competitive at the weighted respective (in three decimals) issues. of accepted bids average for the price -3Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on October 25, 1979, in cash or other immediately available funds or in Treasury bills maturing October 25, 1979. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Under Sections 454(b) and 1221(5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and the bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of these bills (other than life insurance companies) must include in his or her Federal income tax return, as ordinary gain or loss, the difference between the price paid for the bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made. Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, and this notice, prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. FOR RELEASE AT 4:15 P.M. October 16, 1979 TREASURY TO AUCTION $3,900 MILLION OF 2-YEAR NOTES The Department of the Treasury will auction $3,900 million of 2-year notes to refund approximately the same amount of notes maturing October 31, 1979. The $3,864 million of maturing notes are those held by the public, including $1,454 million currently held by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities. In addition to the public holdings, Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks, for their own accounts, hold $470 million of the maturing securities that may be refunded by issuing additional amounts of the new notes at the average price of accepted competitive tenders. Additional amounts of the new security may also be issued at the average price to Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing securities held by them. Details about the new security are given in the attached highlights of the offering and in the official offering circular. oOo Attachment (over) M-126 HIGHLIGHTS OF TREASURY OFFERING TO THE PUBLIC OF 2-YEAR NOTES TO BE ISSUED OCTOBER 31, 1979 October 16, 1979 Amount Offered: To the public Description of Security: Term and type of security Series and CUSIP designation $3,900 million 2-year notes Series Y-1981 (CUSIP No. 912827 KA 9) Maturity date October 31, 1981 Call date Interest coupon rate No provision To be determined based on the average of accepted bids Investment yield To be determined at auction Premium or discount To be determined after auction Interest payment dates April 30 and October 31 Minimum denomination available $5,000 Terms of Sale: Method of sale Yield auction Accrued interest payable by investor None Preferred allotment Noncompetitive bid for $1,000,000 or less Deposit requirement 5% of face amount Deposit guarantee by designated institutions Acceptable Key Dates: Deadline for receipt of tenders Tuesday, October 23, 1979, by 1:30 p.m., EDST Settlement date (final payment due) a) cash or Federal funds b) check drawn on bank within FRB district where submitted c) check drawn on bank outside FRB district where submitted Delivery date for coupon securities. Wednesday, October 31, 1979 Friday, October 26, 1979 Friday, October 26, 1979 Wednesday, November 7, 1979 Qct<pJ>A^gi6, 1979 TKb-'ouTvY JLFARTHEST The Department of the Treasury said today that future sales of Treasury gold will be subject to variations in amounts and dates of offering. New standard bid forms for use in future auctions will be made available. Dates and amounts will not be specified in these bid forms, but would be the subject of Treasury announcement prior to an auction. Under the new procedures, auctions can be held within a few days of an announcement and the amounts to be auctioned can be varied as may be appropriate at the time. # # # M-127 artmentaftheTREASURY INGT0N, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASF October 16, 1979 Contact: Robert F. Nipp 202/556-5323 TREASURY ANNOUNCES RESULTS OF GOLD SALE The Department of the Treasury announced that 750,000 troy ounces of fine gold were sold today to 8 successful bidders at an average price of $391.93 per ounce. Awards were made in 300 ounce bars whose" fine gold content is 39.9 to 91.7 percent at prices ranging from $390.16 to $393.07 per ounce. Bids for this gold were submitted by 11 bidders for a total amount of 1.2 million ounces at prices ranging from $350.00 to $393.07 per ounce. Gross proceeds from the sale were $294.0 million. Of the proceeds, $31.7 million will be used to retire Gold Certificates held by Federal Reserve Banks. The remaining $262.3 million will be deposited into the Treasury as a miscellaneous receipt. The list of the successful bidders and the amount awarded to each is attached. The General Services Administration will release information on the individual bids made by all bidders, and the details of the individual awards to successfull bidders. M-128 OUNCE BANK LEU MEW YORK 4300 NY CREDIT SUISSE 3600 ZURICH SWITZERLAND DFRBY AND CO. LTD. 3600 LONDON ENGLAND DRESDNER BANK 503100 FRANKFURT WEST GERMANY PHILLIP BROS 33000 NEW YORK NEW YORK SHARPS, PIXLEY IMC. 39000 MEW YORK NEW YORK SWISS BANK CORP 92400 ZURICH SWITZERLAND UNION 3ANK OF SWITZERLAND 73500 ZURICH SWITZERLAND FOR RELEASE UPON DELIVERY EXPECTED AT 11:00 A.M. WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 17, 1979 TESTIMONY OF THE HONORABLE G. WILLIAM MILLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE Mr. Chairman and Members of this distinguished Committee: Thank you for this opportunity to appear before the whole Committee. The primary focus of this hearing is on Federal Reserve monetary policy, its contribution to the fight against inflation and to the maintenance of exchange market stability. Chairman Volcker will comment in detail on monetary policy. I will briefly outline the major elements of our comprehensive strategy to deal with inflation, in which monetary policy plays a critical role. High and persistent inflation has become deeply embedded in our economic structure and is a clear and present danger to our national well-being. It reduces real incomes and values; it inhibits job creating investment and threatens our ability to provide employment opportunities; it impedes productivity; it breeds recession; and it bears most heavily on those least able to afford it. Containment of inflation is fundamental to restoration of sound economic growth. It is our top priority. The causes of inflation are many, and the war against inflation must be dealt with on a broad front. We have a comprehensive, integrated strategy. All economic policies are being directed toward a total war against inflation. First, the Administration is pursuing a disciplined fiscal policy. We are determined to reverse the trend of expanding federal deficits and expanding federal claims on the national economy. Progress has been made, both in reducing the deficit and in reducing the relative role of federal expenditures in the economy. We intend to make further progress. The net result over time will be to reduce the demands of the federal government on the economy and to release substantial resources to the private sector. M-129 -2- Monetary policy represents the second major weapon in the attack on inflation. The objective is to reduce progressively the rate of growth of money and credit in order to starve out inflation. Again, progress has been made. But in recent months monetary growth has accelerated. Earlier this month, the Federal Reserve announced a series of forceful actions that should serve to contain growth in the monetary aggregates and dampen inflationary pressures. These steps were needed and appropriate. Third, fiscal and monetary restraints are being supplemented by the voluntary program to moderate pay and price increases. Widespread cooperation during the first year brought smaller price and pay increases than would otherwise have been recorded. We are providing for greater participation by management and labor in establishing and applying pay standards during the second year, which should help avoid inequities that could otherwise develop over time. A broadly representative pay committee, to be chaired by John Dunlop, will have as its first task the development of pay standards for the period ahead. The Administration has developed a National Accord with labor leadership in support of the war against inflation, and providing for labor involvement in the pay-price program. Fourth is energy. The ten-fold increase in world oil prices has been a principal contributor to the acceleration of inflation during this decade. Constraints on energy supply pose important questions about the prospects for real economic progress worldwide. To win the war against inflation, it is essential that we reduce our dependence on imported oil and that we reduce our dependence on oil itself as a source of energy. For 2-1/2 years, President Carter has sought support for a broad and comprehensive program to achieve these objectives. The diversity of individual circumstances and interests in our vast country has made it exceedingly difficult to hammer out a national energy program. Some important parts of the program have already been put into place. The President has recently taken two major steps—on decontrol of domestic crude prices and on limiting oil imports—under his own powers and his own initiative. Remaining critical elements are now under active review by the Congress. -3The priorities for our energy program are clear. We must conserve. We must increase the development and use of conventional domestic energy sources. We must increase the use of renewable energy sources. And we must rigorously develop unconditional domestic energy sources. Fully in place, our national energy program is expected to cut oil imports by about 50 percent—4 to 5 million barrels per day—from present levels and by about 8 to 9 million barrels per day from levels that would have been reached without a comprehensive energy plan. Also of major importance for the longer run, we are attacking unnecessary cost-raising government regulation. Much has been done to reduce regulatory barriers to efficiency and competition, and to reduce the administrative burdens on business in complying with excessive regulation. But much regulation is founded in statute. Administratively, we can clarify and simplify. But we will frequently need legislation to achieve real reductions in burden. These domestic policies—our efforts to wring out inflation, secure sufficient independence and restore efficiency and vitality to the U.S. economy—are also the policies needed to assure a strong external position, a sound and stable dollar. Indeed, maintenance of exchange market stability is essential in the fight against inflation and forms an important part of our comprehensive attack on inflation. Despite the massive buildup in our oil import bill, the effort to strengthen the United States balance of payments has made significant progress. In 1978, the U.S. current account was in deficit by $14 billion. This year, even though the recent oil price increases are imposing a $16 billion rise in the cost of our imports, we anticipate a deficit of only a few billion dollars. Next year the U.S. current account will be in substantial surplus. This major positive shift in our balance of payments—together with our concerted attack on inflation—provide the fundamental basis for dollar strength and stability. Action on the fundamentals is being supplemented forcefully with action to deal with unwarranted exchange market pressures. The Committee is familiar with the program announced last November 1, nearly a year ago. Since that time, the dollar has strengthened by over 6-1/2 percent against other currencies used in our trade, and by nearly 10 percent from the viewpoint of the oil exporting nations in relation to the other major currencies they use to purchase their imports. -4- We are not, of course, interested only in averages. We are concerned about the dollar's value in terms of major individual currencies. The dollar is now about 30 percent higher against the Japanese yen than it was a year ago, reflecting in part the dramatic—and welcome—moderation of the large Japanese balance of payments surplus. But the dollar has also been somewhat lower in relation to the German mark at times since mid-June, and this movement has attracted market interest and speculative pressure. We have therefore given this situation special attention in our exchange market operations, and have consulted closely with German officials at the highest levels to assure that our joint techniques and resources are adequate and effective. We are determined to maintain a sound and stable dollar. This is in the interests of our own domestic economic stability, and consonant with our broader world interests and responsibilities. Our basic economic policies are headed in a direction that will ensure that result. Our external position is strengthening sharply. And cooperative arrangements with other major countries are in place to deal with unwarranted exchange market pressures. In sum, we are pursuing a comprehensive strategy to deal with U.S. economic problems, internal and external. Inflation is central to all aspects of those problems. Our domestic and international objectives are closely related by the overriding importance of controlling the inflationary pressures affecting our economy. FOR RELEASE UPON DELIVERY Expected at 10:00 a.m. October 18, 197 9 TESTIMONY OF THE HONORABLE ROBERT CARSWELL DEPUTY SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE HOUSE SUBCOMMITTEE ON FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS SUPERVISION, REGULATIONS AND INSURANCE OF THE HOUSE COMMITTEE ON BANKING, FINANCE AND URBAN AFFAIRS Mr. Chairman and members of this distinguished Subcommittee: I appreciate this opportunity to present the views of the Administration on the several bills under consideration today, including H.R. 1539, H.R. 2747 and H.R. 2856. In this brief testimony I will not be able to analyze each of the many provisions of the several bills; rather I will concentrate on the subject of commercial bank underwriting and dealing in currently ineligible revenue bonds and on the some of the major provisions of the proposed legislation pertaining to bank holding companies. The Treasury staff stands ready to assist the Subcommittee in analyzing the sections of legislation not covered by today's testimony and, of course, I will try to answer any questions Subcommittee members may wish to ask concerning these other sections of the bills. Commercial Bank Underwriting/Dealing in Municipal Revenue Bonds Commercial banks in the United States have engaged for many decades in underwriting and dealing in general obligation debt of States and municipalities. The G.O. market appears to be a smoothly functioning one, with banks and nonbank dealer/brokers sharing in the provision of underwriting services to issuers and the maintenance of a secondary market for investors. Currently, commercial M-130 - 2 banks underwrite approximately 4 0 percent of the value of new long-term G.O. issues, with nonbank securities firms underwriting the other 60 percent. In recent years, however, municipalities and States have turned increasingly to revenue bonds as a source of financing new projects, apparently because of statutory limits on the use of G.O. debt and because the debt service costs of revenue bond issues are more clearly borne by the users of the project rather than by the State and local taxpayers as a whole. In 197 8, revenue bonds accounted for 6 3 percent of the value of new long-term tax-exempt issues, compared with 4 3 percent of such new issues in 1968. Projections are that this trend will continue, making revenue bonds an increasingly more important part of the municipal securities market. Under the provisions of the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933, commercial banks were prohibited from underwriting and dealing in municipal revenue bonds. This prohibition was relaxed somewhat by the 1968 Amendments to the Housing Act which permitted banks to underwrite and deal in housing, dormitory, and university revenue bonds. Based on current value of new issues, banks are permitted under the 19 68 legislation to underwrite and deal in approximately 30 percent of new issues of revenue bonds. However, SEC analysis suggests that banks actually underwrite only approximately 10 percent of total new revenue bond issues. The question of commercial bank participation as underwriters and dealers in the market for currently ineligible municipal revenue bonds has come before the Congress on several occasions since the 1968 legislation. The Treasury Department has, in the past, supported legislative proposals that would permit further bank participation in the revenue bond market. As described in more detail below, we continue to support bank participation in this market. We also support continuation of bank underwriting and dealing in general obligations bonds issued by States and municipalities, and oppose the provisions of H.R. 274 7 which would prohibit existing bank participation in the G.O. market. Broadening bank participation in the municipal securities market would result in increased competition, with some potential benefits. First, issuers should benefit from lower underwriter spreads. The greater number of underwriters available to bid for competitive issues should also result in smaller spreads on negotiated issues, as the additional number of potential rivals will cause negotiating underwriters, for fear of losing future business, to offer more favorable terms to issuers. Municipal issuer groups regard this increased competition as a significant matter in reducing their overall borrowing costs. Second, although banks can purchase ineligible revenue bonds for their investment portfolio, they cannot "make a market" in ineligible bonds. Further bank entry into revenue bond under- - 3 writing/dealing would increase the number of potential dealers by more than 2 0 percent. Currently, there are approximately 1,440 nonbank dealers registered with the Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board (MSRB), while registered bank dealers number about 325. Of course, only a portion of the 325 bank dealers might actually be dealing at any one time in currently ineligible revenue bonds. Nevertheless, even this extent of bank participation will result in increased liquidity in the secondary market. Increased liquidity in turn should reduce the risk to dealers in general and enhance the attractiveness of revenue bonds to investors, thus broadening the scope of the market. Third, a larger number of competitors could result in the expansion of the market for currently ineligible revenue bonds as a consequence of the net addition of banks1 marketing (or search) capability to that of the nonbank dealer community. This net addition to the investor population would derive, in part, from the banks1 ability to market and deal in a fuller line of tax-exempt bonds in a manner similar to nonbanks. Such an expansion of the market would tend also to reduce issuer costs. We conclude, as do the municipal issuer groups, that the increased competition, as well as the dealing and distribution capabilities that banks would bring to revenue bond underwriting, will produce savings for the issuers. The precise range of issuer savings that would result is difficult to predict. Various empirical studies in this area point to issuer savings ranging up to $400 million, based on 1977 new issue volume. We have reviewed these studies and have concluded that they do not provide sufficient basis for assuming that the issuer savings will be on the order of $400 million. Our general conclusion is that the savings will be of a considerably more modest order of magnitude. The benefits of increased bank participation in the municipal securities market must be balanced against some potential costs. First, there is legitimate concern over possible conflicts of interest for banks. For example, conceivably a bank might induce its trust department to purchase securities underwritten by the bank, perhaps at above-market prices. However, safeguards such as those contained in H.R. 1539, plus existing laws and regulations, would minimize the possibility of conflicts of interest. Indeed, we are not aware of evidence indicating significant abuses from banks' participation in the G.O. market. Another concern sometimes referred to in the analyses of this issue is the potential for tie-ins. Under this theory, a bank might "tie" the terms under which a municipality or its agencies receive banking services such as interim financing to the choice of that bank as underwriter on its revenue bonds. We do not believe that this represents a significant danger. Tie-ins are - 4 illegal. They are prohibited for banks by section 106(b) of the Bank Holding Company Act as well as by other provisions of the antitrust laws. Of course, the most effective way of preventing such abuses is to preserve free entry and viable competition both in the market for bank services such as interim financing and in the market for underwriting. With sufficient numbers of potential rivals, no bank or dealer/broker can force municipalities to pay excessive prices for financial services. Another area of concern is that banks, by virtue of their size and their apparent tax advantage over nonbank dealers, will eventually take over the revenue bond market, resulting in increased concentration and reduced competition over the long run. Banks, unlike nonbank dealers, can deduct the interest cost-to-carry of their inventories of municipal securities. This tax advantage has been of little consequence in underwriting per se, because the majority of new issues are sold before the underwriter must take delivery, thus involving no cost-to-carry. Moreover, the actual market procedures followed by some securities firms may have the effect of minimizing their tax exposure. Indeed, the data indicate that neither banks' absolute size nor their apparent tax advantage has allowed them to dominate the business of underwriting municipal bonds. SEC analysis suggests that nonbank broker/dealers account for 6 0 percent of the underwriting of new G.O. issues and 90 percent of eligible revenue bond issues. In 197 8, 10 years after the 1968 legislation, no bank was among the top 10 syndicate managers and only 3 were among the top 20 managers of new eligible housing bonds. Apparently, the expertise and the market position of the dealer/brokers are well established. Indeed, because of the growing importance of revenue bonds vis-a-vis G.O.s, banks have lost market share in overall municipal underwriting in recent years. While it is unclear whether the differing tax treatment for banks and broker-dealers amounts to a substantial competitive difference, we are prepared to address this issue of potential competitive inequality and to support legislation to equalize the tax treatment for banks and broker-dealers. A final area of concern over bank entry into revenue bond underwriting and dealing is that such entry would reduce the profits of broker/dealer firms at a time when the earnings of the securities industry already are under pressure. Losses could lead to insolvencies of individual securities firms and thus to a reduction in the number of firms eligible for underwriting and dealing in corporate securities, reducing competition in that very important sector of the financial industry. In fact, the track record of banks in competing with broker/ dealers in the G.O. market, and the banks' rather limited - 5 incursions into the eligible revenue bond underwriting market in the past 11 years, indicate that the short-term effect on securities firms of permitting banks to enter the new segments of revenue bond market is not likely to be great. These are manifestly turbulent times for the securities industry, and the legitimate concerns of its leaders should not be ignored. We would therefore suggest, Mr. Chairman, that if your Committee should determine to support further bank entry into the revenue bond market, it consider a phase in, perhaps initially by adding only utility revenue bonds to those currently eligible for bank underwriting and dealing, with banks to be given full authority to underwrite and deal in all revenue bonds covered by H.R. 1539 five years after enactment of legislation. At present, utility bonds account for approximately 35% of the value of new issues of currently ineligible revenue bonds and 25% of all new revenue bonds. This phase-in of bank entry into the revenue bond market would ease the transitional effects of such entry on the securities industry. And the Congress would have an additional five years in which to assess the effects of the bank entry "experiment" which was initiated by the 1968 legislation. In summary, we recognize that there is considerable debate over the sources and size of potential benefits of additional competition in the municipal revenue bond market. Our position is based on the potential for a flow of benefits to society; at the same time we have not found any evidence that further bank entry into the revenue bond area, if phased in over time, would have significant detrimental effects either in the short or the long run. The question of bank entry remains a close one. But, on balance, at a time when we are striving to reduce inflationary costs wherever possible, we believe we should pursue the potential for savings that increased competition holds. Let me turn now to several of the more important provisions of the bills under discussion as they would relate to bank holdBank Holding Company Issues ing company activities. Ceilings on Asset Size H.R. 2856 and H.R. 2747 both would prohibit banks and bank holding companies from acquiring another bank if, as a result, the acquiring bank organization would hold in excess of 20 percent of the total banking assets held by all banks and bank holding companies in the state in which the acquiring bank organization is located. Exceptions to the statutory limit would include situations in which an acquisition was essential to prevent a bank failure and where no feasible less anticompetitive alternative was available. - 6 This statutory language presumably is aimed at long-held concerns regarding concentration in banking, particularly that high state-wide concentration can limit potential entry into local markets, given the existing legal restrictions on competition from out of state banks. But close examination suggests that a statutory limit on the percentage of state-wide assets held by a banking organization as a result of mergers raises extremely difficult issues. First, the empirical evidence does not lend support to the hypothesis of steadily increasing concentration in banking. Recent Federal Reserve Board studies have shown that on a nationwide basis the shares of domestic deposits held by the 100 largest and the ten largest U.S. banking organizations have declined since 1960. Also, analyses of three-firm and five-firm concentration ratios on a state-by-state basis fail to show any significant overall trend towards increased statewide concentration since 1960. Finally, the great growth in the share of deposits held by bank holding companies in recent years is due primarily to the conversion of independent banks to the holding company form of organization rather than to bank acquisitions by multi-bank holding companies. Second, the relevant banking market is more or less "local" in nature, and the aggregation of all statewide assets (or deposits) as the base against which to measure monopoly power or lack of competition can be misleading. The statewide marketshare measure simply would not capture other important information such as the number and size distribution of the banking organizations operating in the various local banking markets of a state. Also, the flat percentage ceiling conceivably could prevent the de novo expansion of some banking organizations in otherwise concentrated markets — an anticompetitive result. Further, the inclusion of all banking assets -- domestic and foreign — in the measurement of a banking organization's share of statewide banking assets would tend to discriminate against those institutions with a relatively large foreign business, despite the focus of the proposed legislation which presumably is the competitive structure of the domestic banking market. Finally, the emphasis on banking assets in a single state, narrowly defined, tends to overlook the role of numerous nonbank depository and nondepository financial institutions that compete directly with banks. It also overlooks the ongoing consideration of the merits of absolute restrictions on the offering of certain banking services on an interstate basis. Thus, we believe that the necessity for the proposed legislation at this time is open to serious question and that the legislation in its current form could prove to be inequitable and even anticompetitive. - 7 Federal Reserve Determination of Permissible Section 4(c)(8) Nonbank Activities Currently the Federal Reserve Board is empowered to determine the nonbanking activities in which a bank holding company may engage. Proposals to engage in such activities must pass two tests before receiving Board approval. The first test requires a proposed activity to be "so closely related to banking or managing or controlling banks as to be a proper incident thereto." The second test requires that a proposed activity "can reasonably be expected to produce benefits to the public that outweigh possible adverse effects." The proposed legislation would greatly strengthen the "closely related" and the "public benefits" tests of Section 4(c)(8) of the Bank Holding Company Act. To gain Board approval proposed nonbank activities would have to be "so closely and directly related ... as to be a proper and necessary incident thereto" and be "likely to produce substantial benefits to the public which clearly and significantly outweigh possible adverse effects." A narrow interpretation of this language could preclude banks from offering any and all nonbanking financial services, even if such activity were to result, on net, in a social benefit. Also, it would treat national banks (acting for themselves or through affiliates or subsidiaries) as bank holding companies subject to the Section 4(c)(8) determinations of the Federal Reserve Board. Here too, the proposed legislation is premature and possibly counterproductive. The empirical record to date fails to demonstrate that the public has suffered adverse effects by reason of the Section 4(c)(8) activities of bank holding companies. Rather, the record seems to show that on balance the public has benefited, albeit modestly, in terms of enhanced convenience and competition. Also, practically all of the nonbank activities currently approved by the Board for bank holding companies have long been engaged in by national Activities banks (with mostand notable exception being the underProhibited ofthe Banks Bank Holding Companies writing of credit life and credit accident and health insurance). In addition to the more stringent "closely related" and "public benefits" tests and the extension of the nonbanking activities rulemaking authority of the Federal Reserve to national banks, the proposed legislation also would classify certain activities as statutorily not related to banking; i.e., as impermissible. These prohibited activities include: (1) selling or distributing securities except those of the BHC, the U.S., or deposit-like securities of a subsidiary bank, (2) serving as investment adviser to collective investment funds, investment companies, and other investment vehicles other than the traditional - 8 commingled investment fund, (3) engaging in the business of directly or indirectly taking deposits from the general public at rates above the Regulation Q ceilings, (4) engaging in certain real estate related activities such as brokerage, real property management, land development, real estate appraisal, and underwriting mortgage guarantee insurance, (5) engaging in the business of leasing motor vehicles directly to the public, and (6) providing insurance as a principal, agent, or broker, with certain exceptions. The call for this "negative laundry list" of activities stems from concern over the concentration of resources, the threat of conflicts-of-interest, tie-ins, the safety and soundness of banking, and unfair competition. These are concerns to which the regulators should be attentive. If serious abuses were to be documented in the specific activity areas mentioned in the proposed legislation, then legislation might be appropriate. However, the case for the proposed statutory prohibitions is, in our judgment, clearly insufficient at this time. First, even though BHCs have assumed a significant role in a limited number of nonbank industries — most notably mortgage banking, factoring, and consumer finance — overall BHC nonbanking activities amount to less than 5 percent of total BHC assets at present. This suggests that the fear of an excess concentration of resources stemming from nonbanking activities of BHCs is unfounded in fact. Also, recent analyses of BHC performance in certain nonbank activities have failed to uncover any adverse effects on the public. BHC nonbanking activities do not appear _in general to be inherently more risky than "pure" banking; indeed, some diversification of BHC activity may reduce overall bank risk. With respect to abuses such as forced tie-ins, no evidence of systematic abuse has been found even after intense study such as the recent Federal Reserve study of tie-ins in the insurance area. Thus, concerns with respect to bank safety and soundness, conflicts-ofinterest, and so on are not best addressed by singling out certain related activities and classifying them as impermissible for banks or BHCs. Statutory barriers to bank participation in these activities can do little but diminish competition and inconvenience the public. Rather, potential abuses of this type are more * * * appropriately subjected to the vigilance of the bank regulators and corrected on a case-by-case basis. Mr. Chairman, that concludes my formal testimony. I would be glad to answer any questions the members of the Subcommittee may have. R10M 5§04 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Contact^ Alvin M. Hattal October 18, 1979 Ui, lij'fS 202/566-8381 U-,L,,,,,., uiJvu'lTHENT TREASURY SAYS IT WILL OPEN ANTIDUMPING INVESTIGATION OF COKE IMPORTS FROM WEST GERMANY The Treasury Department today said it will open a full-scale antidumping investigation of U.S. imports of West German coke. The investigation is based on a petition filed on behalf of the domestic coking coal and coke industries by three domestic producers. The petitioners claim that coke is being sold in this country at prices below those charged in the European Coal & Steel Community, and that some grades may be sold at less than their cost of production. The Customs Service will immediately initiate the price phase of the investigation and is seeking some additional facts to determine whether a full-scale inquiry into the claim of sales below cost is warranted. The case has been referred to the U.S. International Trade Commission for a preliminary consideration of the question of whether there is a reasonable indication that imports of coke from West Germany have caused or threaten to cause injury to the domestic industry. Imports of West German coke during 1978 were valued at $300 million. The Treasury also said that a complaint of unfair competition filed by domestic anthracite coal producers before the U.S. International Trade Commission and referred to Treasury by the Commission under section 337(b) (3) of the Tariff Act of 1930 does not contain sufficient information to establish a basis for initiating a full-scale investigation under either the Antidumping Act or the Countervailing Dury Law. Notice of these actions will appear in the Federal Register of October 22, 1979. o M-1M 0 o FOR RELEASE UPON DELIVERY October 22, 1979 10:00 AM EDST 0C"l 25'79 TritiAb<,.<.•. • '. ' -'.'V i i-iEr* i TESTIMONY OF THE HONORABLE G. WILLIAM MILLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE OF TAXATION AND DEBT MANAGEMENT OF THE SENATE FINANCE COMMITTEE Thank you for inviting me to discuss S. 1435, a very significant proposal to restructure the system of depreciation allowances. I am pleased to see the broad interest in legislation to encourage capital formation and increase productivity. The 10-5-3 proposal would restructure the system of tax allowances for capital recovery. It would greatly shorten the periods over which most capital expenditures can be written off. The proposal provides for non-residential buildings to be written off over 10 years, in a pattern so accelerated that 70 percent of the acquisition cost could be deducted in the first 5 years. Expenditures for most machinery and equipment could be fully written off, also in an accelerated pattern, over 5 years. A limited amount of expenditures for cars and light trucks used in businesses would be written off over a three-year period. This proposal would also liberalize the investment tax credit, by allowing the full 10 percent credit (instead of 6 2/3 percent) for equipment depreciated over 5 years, and a 6 percent credit (instead of 3 1/3 percent) for the 3-year class of assets. A phase-in over 5 years is proposed whereby the write-off periods, starting from a 1980 base, are reduced year-by-year. The 1980 lives are determined by reference to the current Asset Depreciation Range (ADR) system. Advocates of 10-5-3 argue that it would promote simplification and certainty, aid small business, and provide incentives for capital expansion. These are laudable goals, and should be considerations in evaluating any tax structure. Evaluation of our current system shows M-132 that there is room for improvement. -2Economic Background The increase of 2.4 percent in real GNP for the third quarter of this year is further indication of strength in the economy, but prices continue to show rapid increase. I want to emphasize that the Administration intends to sustain a firm and consistent policy to reduce inflation. This policy has a number of aspects, but none is more important than the maintenance of strict fiscal discipline. At the present time, the action of steady budget pressure to slow the rate of inflation offers the strongest promise of restoring the health of our economy, reducing economic uncertainty, and reversing expectations for future inflation. I believe that a commitment to widen the budget deficit by the magnitude of S. 1435 would be premature at this time. However, we should study possibilities for a program that will promote longer-range economic objectives as effectively and fairly as possible. At the appropriate time, you should be prepared to act on a program carefully structured to expand economic capacity, to reduce production costs, and to promote productivity. Appropriate depreciation allowances can help to accomplish these goals and should be given serious consideration as an element of any future tax package. Revenue Costs of 10--5-3 Looking specifically at the 10-5-3 proposal, I would first point out that it would have a massive budget impact. The cost of S.1435 rises from about $4 billion in the first year to over $50 billion in 1984 and over $85 billion in 1988 (see Table 1 ) . These estimates have been carried out further into the future than we would normally show in order to see the full effect of the proposed phase-in rules. Because the program would be implemented gradually during the first five years, it is not until 1984 that the full benefit of the more liberal depreciation allowances would be given to investment for any one year. For this reason, the revenue costs continue to build until 1988, after which revenue losses begin to fall. Eventually, the level of these losses stabilizes and thereafter they grow at about the same rate as investment expenditures. By 1987, when corporate tax receipts are expected to be $116.7 billion, S.1435 would provide corporate tax reduction of nearly half that amount. The total revenue cost also includes a reduction in individual income taxes resulting from deductions taken by unincorporated businesses. This is equal to about 15 percent of the total revenue cost. -3The year-by-year revenue costs do not take account of the additional tax receipts resulting from economic expansion induced by the tax reductions. These "feedback" revenues amount to about 30 percent of the static revenue loss and are reflected primarily in increases in individual tax receipts. If these "feedback" revenues are taken into account, the result is a net revenue loss of about $35 billion in 1984. It should be noted that the additional tax receipts that would be induced by this tax cut are about the same as that from any tax reduction having a comparable impact on GNP. Background on Depreciation Allowances The present tax depreciation system is cumbersome and complex. It involves a number of choices and uncertainties, and is especially burdensome for small businesses. It should be simplified. The present system provides an insufficient incentive for capital expansion in periods of rapid inflation and financial uncertainty. These incentives should be strengthened as much as our budget resources will allow. Under the present rules, the business taxpayer is confronted with a myriad of choices. The first choice is whether to use the Asset Depreciation Range (ADR) System or to justify tax allowances on taxpayer's particular facts and circumstances. For those electing ADR, there is a choice of useful life within the allowable range for each class of assets. For all taxpayers there is also a choice of depreciation methods over the chosen lifetime. For some types of assets, especially buildings, there may be no ADR class and there may be a restricted choice of methods. With regard to types of equipment having allowable lives less than 7 years, the taxpayer must choose whether to foresake some portion of the investment tax credit in favor of more rapid write-off. For large firms having computerized accounting systems, these options present no formidable problems. They elect ADR, using the most rapid method of depreciation, and the shortest available useful life after taking account of the investment credit rules. These large firms own the great bulk of depreciable assets. A very small percentage of small business taxpayers have chosen to elect the ADR system. Despite recent changes in regulations to reduce requirements for reporting, small businesses apparently believe that ADR dictates a more complicated accounting system and involves more complex regulations. If these small businesses choose not to elect -4ADR, but to use the shorter lives that are allowed without question to ADR electors—and we believe many small businesses so choose—they face the possibility that upon audit they may be required to justify those lives on facts and circumstances. For these reasons, small businesses may regard the ADR system as not addressed to their needs and circumstances. Productivity and Investment The stimulation of investment and improvement of productivity performance must be among the foremost objectives of economic policy. The share of business fixed investment in GNP has varied around a nearly flat trend for about the last 15 years (Chart 1 ) . However, in the last expansion it neither grew as rapidly nor reached as high a peak as during the previous cycle that peaked in 1974. Investment in nonresidential structures has shown a persistent downward trend since 1966, while the equipment component has tended to increase as a percentage of GNP. This is partly explained by mandated expenditures for pollution control equipment, which are now about 7 percent of equipment spending. Aggregate productivity growth has exhibited a pronounced decline in the last decade and output per hour worked is now well below its post-war trend (Chart 2). For the 20 years ending 1968, the annual rate of growth in output per hour worked was about 2 1/2 percent. More recently, and beginning even before the oil embargo and the recession of 1974 and 1975, the rate of this productivity growth has markedly slowed. In the years 1968 through 1973 the growth rate was only about 1 3/4 percent. In the last recovery cycle, the upturn in productivity growth that normally accompanies expansion occurred later and was generally weaker than in other post-war recoveries (Chart 3). The average for this latest period, 1973-78 was an annual productivity gain of only one percent. This slowing of productivity growth has helped to perpetuate a spiral of inflationary wage price adjustments in the economy and has eroded our ability to compete in international markets. While the recent growth in average productivity throughout the economy is unmistakably lower in recent years, this record is by no means uniform across major productive sectors (see Chart 4 ) . The communications sector has experienced rapid and even accelerating growth in productivity throughout the period, while at the other -5extreme, the construction industries have suffered declines in productivity in absolute terms since the late sixties, particularly over the most recent years. Among the public utilities, productivity growth has also slowed markedly since the late 1960s after rapid and steady increases up to that time. The record in manufacturing also shows a decline in the productivity growth throughout the 1970s but that growth has continued up to the present time, except for a one-year downturn in 1974. In the trade sector, output per hour has grown at less than a 2 percent annual rate over the entire period and is nearly flat in recent years. Within the manufacturing sector, productivity growth has been and continues to be somewhat stronger in non-durables manufacturing as compared to the durables sector (see Chart 5 ) . Among the durable goods industries the record of the motor vehicle industry has been particularly strong since 1974, while a pronounced decline in productivity has occurred in that some period for the primary metals industry. The wide diversity in productivity gains across sectors and industries illustrates the importance of looking behind the aggregate trends. To the extent that declines in productivity in particular sectors can be attributed to lagging capital formation, we should pay close attention to the distribution of tax incentives among sectors of the economy, in addition to the aggregate amount of incentive. This is not to suggest that we attempt to direct all of the tax relief to particular industries that have poor productivity records (or those that have performed well) in the recent past but we should know the degree to which any proposal matches the incentives to the economic objectives. Acceleration of depreciation allowances can be effective in providing investment stimulus. The direct tax savings that accompany the acquisition of capital provides additional cash flow to business firms for further investment and replacement. It is as if interest-free loans from the government were provided in the early years of a capital asset's use to be repaid out of the future productive output of these assets. These accelerated deductions reduce the "tax wedge" that is interposed between the returns to the physical investment and the rewards that can be paid to those who supply funds for investment. The reduction in the tax wedge reduces the cost of capital and, thereby, increases the amount of capital that can be profitably employed for the benefit of the company, its employees, and its customers. -6The Concept of Capital Recovery Before I get to a specific analysis of some of its likely consequences of the 10-5-3 proposal, I would like to discuss briefly the concept of capital recovery allowances. Many people regard depreciation as an arcane topic involving "useful lives," complicated formulas such as double declining balance and sum-of-years-digits, vintage accounting, and numerous other technicalities. Although the subject of depreciation is replete with imposing terminology, the underlying concept is straightforward. Depreciation is a cost of employing capital; as such, it must be deducted to arrive at net income, the same way that a wage deduction is taken for payments for labor. In order to impose a tax on net income, the timing of receipts and expenses must be matched, and this requires that the cost of assets be deducted as they are consumed by use in a business. The Internal Revenue Code provides that there shall be a reasonable allowance for exhaustion, wear and tear, and obsolescence. Of course, the determination of capital recovery allowances in any tax system is more difficult than for wage deductions because there is no current payment that measures the exact amount of capital consumed from one year to the next. The cost of depreciation each year is, therefore, estimated to be some proportion of the acquisition, or historical, cost of the asset. Inflation, however, increases capital consumption as measured in current dollars, and, therefore, depreciation allowances based on historical cost may be inadequate. Acceleration of tax depreciation may compensate for the general understatement of depreciation. If the allowable depreciation deduction is greater for any year than the amount of capital consumed, the government is in effect extending an interest-free loan to the business. In the opposite case, inadequate depreciation allowance will prematurely increase taxable income, impose prepayment of taxes, and reduce internal cash flow. The Effects of 10-5-3 The 10-5-3 proposal is a major departure from current practice in the determination of depreciation or capital recovery allowances. It would allow a large share of the acquisition cost of equipment and structures to be deducted for tax purposes much more rapidly than currently. The proposal deals with the problem of complexity by -7substituting a single mandatory system in place of the existing complex of choices. The proposed system has simple categories, certain recovery periods, and a fully prescribed pattern of recovery allowances. This approach to both investment incentives and simplification deserves condieration, but there are deficiencies that should be examined carefully. For example, the proposal is not as simple as it first appears. As drafted, the 10-5-3 proposal would have to establish mandatory guidelines lives during the five year phase-in that are tied to the ADR classification system. Each year, for five years, every taxpayer would apply a new schedule of depreciation rates to assets acquired in that year until they are fully written off. The phase-in rules also create a perverse incentive effect that postponment of investment until the following year will increase the rate of capital recovery allowances. The phase-in is intended to postpone the revenue losses, but it also increases complexity and uncertainty. To the extent that investment is delayed, feedback revenues are also delayed. When the 10-5-3 rules are fully effective, their combination of rapid write-offs of and increased investment credit for machinery and equipment would be very generous, indeed. The investment credit would immediately pay for 10 percent of the cost of acquiring new equipment. Then 76 percent of the gross cost could be written off in the first three years; the entire amount in 5 years. The present value of the tax saving from the combination of the investment credit and the accelerated deductions is greater than full, first-year write-off would be. The treatment of equipment under 10-5-3 would be better for the taxpayer than immediate expensing. Such a dramatic increase in capital allowance is not only expensive in terms of the budget, but it could also greatly increase tax shelter activity. The proposed deductions and credits would be most attractive to high-income individuals who could obtain the tax benefits through net leasing of machinery and equipment. Tax shelter opportunities could also increase for those investing in buildings, such as offices and shopping centers, as the proposed bill both shortens the recovery period for these buildings and accelerates the depreciation method. A tougher recapture rule for buildings is proposed in the bill, but this only offsets a portion of the potential tax-shelter benefits. -8Another result of 10-5-3 is a wide range of differential benefits among businesses according to the types of assets that they use and their present industry classification. For example, machinery and equipment (other than automobiles and light trucks) are now depreciated as if they had an average depreciation lifetime of 10.2 years (Table 2); the recovery period prescribed in S. 1435 is less than half that current average. For buildings, present practice is equivalent to an average lifetime of 32.6 years. The proposal would allow these buildings to be written off in less than one-third that time. For autos and light trucks, the reduction is relatively small from 3.5 years to 3.0 years, although, in many cases, autos and trucks would benefit from an increase in the investment credit. The variation in benefits provided by 10-5-3 is most pronounced when industry categories are compared. After the five year phase-in, all major industry classes would have higher depreciation allowances under 10-5-3. However, the share of projected total investment "paid for" by accelerated depreciation is generally higher for those industries employing longer-lived assets. For machinery and equipment, you can see (Table 2) that the reduction in the recovery period is minimal in the case of construction and very small for manufacture of motor vehicles. Toward the other end of the spectrum, the recovery period for assets used in the primary metals industry would be nearly half the present ADR lives, communications would be about one-third, and public utilities about one-fourth. (Table 3 attached to this statement provides quarter industry detail.) The Treasury Department has simulated changes in depreciation periods, together with the changes in the investment credit, to estimate potential tax savings during the period of phase-in. These estimates are then used to compute the tax saving per dollar of projected investment. Not surprisingly, the relative magnitudes generally follow in the same order as the degree of reduction in write-off periods (Chart 6 ) . In 1984, the tax saving per dollar of projected investment in the construction industry would be less than 5 percent; for motor vehicles it is 8 percent; for primary metals it is around 15 percent; for communications just less than 20 percent; and the tax saving would pay for more than 20 percent of investment in the public utilities. You may wonder about the apparent revenue increase in motor vehicle manufacturing for 1981. This results from a phase-in rule that immediately increases the recovery period for the auto companies1 special tools from three years up to five years. In later years, the year-by-year reduction prescribed for longer-lived assets becomes dominant. -9Highway transportation, services, agriculture, wholesale and retail trade, fabricated metals, and electronics are among other industries with relatively smaller benefits (Table 4). Among the other larger gainers are railroads, shipping, and oil pipelines. The benefits estimated here are "potential" in the sense that no allowance is made for the possibility that certain companies will have insufficient tax liabilities against which to take the full amount of any additional deduction. Likewise, the estimates for public utilities take no account of the rule that disallows the use of 10-5-3 to utilities that "flow through" the benefits of accelerated depreciation to consumers. Among industries with relatively poor productivity performance over the last five years, the construction industry has the smallest amount of potential benefit from 10-5-3 among all industries and utilities has the largest (Chart 7 ) . Looking at the stronger productivity sectors, communication is among the larger gainers from 10-5-3, while communications and motor vehicles are among the more modest beneficiaries. In general, there is no discernible relationship between the amount of additional capital formation incentive provided by 10-5-3 and the relative strength of productivity performance over the past five years. The point here is not that these should be exactly matched, but rather that it is very difficult to see any purpose to the vastly different amounts of investment incentive provided across industries by 10-5-3. I do not come to you today with any specific proposal nor, in view of the deficiencies of 10-5-3, can I support S.1435. I am obviously concerned about the large revenue cost, and the implication that greatly differing amounts of investment stimulus would be scattered about indiscriminantly among industries and asset types. The simplification objectives of 10-5-3 could be achieved through other depreciation proposals. I would further suggest that you should consider the continuation of some administrative mechanism for the system to assure that the capital recovery deductions allowed for tax purposes are consistent with changes in true depreciation costs. I believe we should analyze carefully a wide range of depreciation plans, and I will continue to develop and work with you to promote a depreciation or capital recovery system that we can all regard as simple, effective and fair. Such a system should be put into effect as soon as budgetary resources and prudent fiscal policy permit. Table 1 Revenue Estimates ($Billions) W51) TWL T5TJ2 T983 1984 1985 T986 1987 1988 Change in Tax Liability - Calendar Years Corporate -3.2 -8.5 -17.9 -29.9 -44.1 -57.2 -67.6 -72.9 -73.3 -70.9 Individual -0.6 -1.5 -3.2 -5.3 -7.8 -10.1 -11.9 -12.9 -12.9 -12.5 Total -3.8 -10.0 -21.1 -35.2 -51.9 -67.3 -79.5 -85.8 -86.2 -83.4 Change in Receipts - Fiscal Years Corporate -1.5 -5.6 -12.7 -23.3 -36.2 -49.8 -61.7 -69.8 -73.0 -72.1 Individual -0.2 -0.9 -2.1 -4.0 -6.2 -8.7 -10.8 -12.3 -12.9 -12.8 Total -1.7 -6.5 -14.8 -27.3 -42.4 -58.5 -72.5 -82.1 -85.9 -84.9 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury October 19, 1979 Office of Tax Analysis 1989 Chart 1 BUSINESS FIXED INVESTMENT AS PERCENT OF REAL GNP ol 1955 I 1960 J 1965 I I I 1970 1975 1979 Chart 2 Output Per Hour, Private Nonfarm Business Sector Ratio Scale, Index, 1967=100 - 140 1948 1953 1958 1963 1968 1973 1978 Chart 3 Cyclical Comparisons of Output Per Hour, Private Nonfarm Business Sector* Index, Peak Quarter = 100 —I 120 AVERAGE OF FIVE PREVIOUS CYCLES 110 100 J 1973 / CURRENT CYCLE (1973-04 - 1979-02) 1975 * Changes following the cyclical peaks as specified by N B E R . 1977 90 1979 Chart 4 INDEX OF PRODUCTIVITY, SELECTED INDUSTRIES(1955=100) INDEX OF PRODUCTIVITY, SELECTED MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES (1955-100) Motor Vehicles •p • • • • a i • i i I I 3 1960 l I i I i 1965 i | | | i 1970 i i i i I 1975 I I 1978 Table 2 "BEST ALLOWABLE " ADR DEPRECIATION PERIODS AS COMPARED T010-5-3 SELECTED INDUSTRIES 10-5-3 ADR / / Asset Class / Autos & Light Trucks 3 3.5 3.8 3.1 4.4 3.2 4.5 Other Machinery and Equipment 5 10.2 5.1 5.8 14.6 11.3 20.4 10 32.6 35.0 35.0 36.0 35.0 35.0 5.9 12.7 Buildings Total Table 3 "Best Allowable" Depreciation Life (Years) Under Present Law, by Industry Cars and Light Trucks Machinery and Equipment Building All Industries 3.5 10.2 32.6 Agriculture 3.9 7.7 20.0 Construction 3.8 5.1 35.0 Oil and Gas Drilling Production Refining Marketing 3.2 3.2 3.4 7.0 11.0 12.4 13.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 13.0 Mining 3.6 7.8 35.0 Manufacturing Food Tobacco Textiles Apparel Logging/Saw Mills Wood Products Pulp and Paper Printing and publishing Chemicals Rubber Products Plastic Products Leather Glass Cement Stone and Clay Products Primary Metal Fabricated Metal Machinery .Electrical Machinery Electronics Motor Vehicles 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.9 3.8 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 9.2 11.4 8.1 7.1 6.8 7.1 9.9 8.7 7.7 9.6 8.0 8.5 9.2 14.0 10.9 11.3 4.9 7.9 9.3 7.1 5.8 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 -2- "Best Allowable" Depreciation Life (Years) Under Present Law, by Industry (continued) Cars and Light Trucks Areospace Shipbuilding Railroad Equipment Instruments Other Transportation Rail 3.0 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.1 - Machinery and Equipment 7.8 9.7 8.8 9.0 9.0 11.7 Buildings 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 — 3.4 5.6 35.0 35.0 35.0 Communication 4.4 14.6 36.0 Utilities Electric Gas Pipeline 4.5 4.5 20.5 23.1 17.5 35.0 35.0 35.0 Wholesale and Retail Trade 3.5 6.8 35.0 Services 3.3 7.8 35.0 Amusements 3.0 9.8 35.0 Air Water Highway Note: 9.4 15.7 The "best allowable" depreciation period for an industry is a special type of weighted average of the best available depreciation periods (taking account of the investment credit effects of lives lower than five or seven years) for equipment used in the industry. The weights are estimated 1976 investment in the several types of equipment. The weighted average takes account of the time value of tax saving. In the case of builidngs not covered by ADR, the best available depreciation period is assumed to be 35 years, which is approximately the average useful life employed by taxpayers, as revealed by Treasury Department surveys in 1972 and 1973. TAX SAVINGS DUE TO 10-5-3 PER DOLLAR OF PROJECTED INVESTMENT IN DEPRECIABLE ASSETS ; 1980,1981, AND 1984, Percent SELECTED INDUSTRIES 25r- • 2 U " 1980 1981 1984 Construction 1980 1981 1984 1980 1981 1984 1980 1981 1984 1980 1981 1984 Motor Vehicle Manufacturing Primary Metals Communications Utilities Table 4 Estimated Tax Reduction Due to 10-5-3 as a Percent of Projected Investment 1/, 1984 Industry Class Manufactur ing: Non-durables Food Tobacco Textiles Apparel Pulp and Paper Printing and Publishing Chemicals Rubber Plastics Leather Durables Wood Products and Furniture Cement Glass Other Stone and Clay Ferrous Metals Non-ferrous Metals Fabricated Metals Machinery Electrical Equipment Electronics Motor Vehicles Aerospace 1984 Projected Estimated Tax Reduction 1984 1984 Tax Reduction Investment As Percent of ($ Millions) ($ Millions) Investment 5,729 1,258 50 332 121 837 341 2,345 123 303 16 5,606 98 90 146 281 1,107 421 504 950 493 266 458 182 50,016 10,624 2,918 11.5 11.8 13.6 12.0 10.1 10.8 10.1 11.8 13.3 10.4 220 7.3 51,496 2,100 10.9 622 14.5 11.6 13.1 16.4 14.0 369 2,757 1,196 7,777 3,390 19,838 927 1,258 2,150 6,739 3,004 6,587 8,345 4,448 2,884 5,716 1,591 4.7 7.7 11.4 11.1 9.2 8.0 11.4 1/ Estimates of investment by purchasing sector are based on Annual Survey of Manufacturers, 1976, and data from regulatory agencies, trade associations, and other industry sources. -2- Industry Class Projected 1984 ($Millions) 1984 Tax Reduction As Percent of Investment 169 17 222 202 1,534 129 2,383 2,006 11.0 13.2 9.3 10.1 Transportation Railroads Airlines Water Transport Highway Transport 4,048 562 814 1,432 1,240 40,504 3,362 6,175 9,492 21,475 10.0 16.7 13.2 15.1 5.8 Communication Utilities Electric Utilities Gas Utilities and Pipelines 5,956 9,162 7,533 1,629 32,130 42,187 35,853 6,334 18.5 21.7 21.0 25.7 Mining, except oil and gas 1,120 10,796 10.4 Oil and Gas Drilling Oil and Gas Production Petroleum Refining Petroleum Marketing Oil Pipelines 238 5,079 1,207 142 2,202 2,945 38,390 8,785 1,254 10,175 8.1 13.2 13.7 11.3 21.6 Construction 1,114 25,085 4.4 Wholesale and Retail Trade 3,823 44,097 8.7 Agriculture 2,069 27,220 7.6 Services 3,337 41,109 8.1 51,912 435,725 11.9 Shipbuilding Railroad Equipment Instruments Other Manufacturing Grand Total Estimated 1984 ($Millions) Chart 7 BENEFITS OF 10-5-3 AS COMPAREDTO RECENT GROWTH INDUSTRIES 1984 Tax SavingINPRODUCTIVITY,SELECTED as Average Annual Productivity Percent of Investment Growth, 1973-78 Construction Motor Vehicles Primary Metals Communications Utilities -10% 10% 20% -5% For-Release Upon Delivery Expected — — October 22, 1979 STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE DONALD C. LUBICK ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY (TAX POLICY) BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON TAXATION AND DEBT MANAGEMENT OF THE SENATE FINANCE COMMITTEE Mr. Chairman and Members of the Subcommittee: My testimony today relates to three bills: S. 1021, S. 1078 and S. 1467. I will begin with S. 1021, the bondholder taxable option proposal, introduced by Senator Danforth. I. BONDHOLDER TAXABLE OPTION (S. 1021) This innovative proposal would provide a 66 2/3 percent tax credit to the holders of tax-exempt bonds who elect to treat the income from the bonds and the amount of the credit as taxable income. This proposal would accomplish the same results as the taxable bond option proposal recommended by the Administration in 1978. It would promote tax equity, increase the efficiency of Federal tax subsidies to State and local government, and help to stabilize the tax-exempt bond market. Unfortunately, it would—as would our 1978 proposal—also provide greater economic and political incentives to expand the use of the tax-exempt market for nongovernmental purposes, in recent years, the amount of tax-exempt bonds issued for nongovernmental purposes has sharply increased. We believe that it is unwise to enact either a bondholder taxable option or a taxable bond option in this climate. If tighter limits on the use of tax exemption for nongovernmental purposes were imposed, particularly for pollution control facilities and single family housing, we would at once support the adoption of a taxable bond option, either as proposed in 1978 or in the form now proposed in S. 1021. M-133 -2Similarities Between S; 1021-and-Taxable-Bond-Option The taxable bond option ("TBO") would provide for a direct subsidy to a State or local government electing to issue taxable bonds in an amount equal to 40 percent of the interest due on the bonds. The bondholder taxable option of S. 1021 ("BTO")/ on the other hand, would provide a 66 2/3 percent tax credit to the holders of tax-exempt bonds who elect to treat the interest and the amount of the credit as taxable. BTO would thus be an option for investors; TBO would be a choice available to State and local governments. Both TBO and BTO would lower the cost of borrowing to State and local governments. Both proposals would lower tne interest rate of tax-exempt bonds from approximately 70 percent to 60 percent of the interest rate on taxable bonds of comparable risk. This change in the relationship between tax-exempt and taxable interest rates will result from market forces. For example, under BTO, investors in marginal tax brackets of less than 40 percent would have an incentive to purchase tax-exempt bonds and claim the credit because it would provide them with a higher after-tax return than taxable bonds at current interest rates. A taxpayer in the 30 percent marginal tax bracket could, for example, purchase $100 of tax-exempt bonds paying 7 percent interest. By electing BTO, the interest would be taxable. A tax credit of two-thirds of the interest would be available which also would be taxable. The credit would exceed the tax liability resulting from the increased income, increasing the after-tax return for a taxpayer in the 30 percent marginal tax bracket from $7 to $8.17.* If, on the other hand, the taxpayer had purchased a taxable bond for $100 paying 10 percent interest, he would be subject to $3 tax resulting in an after-tax return of $7/ or 7 percent. Thus, the demand for tax-exempt bonds would increase, driving up the price of tax-exempt bonds and lowering the tax-exempt interest rates. The market would reach an equilibrium when the tax-exempt interest rate is 4 0 percent below taxable *The taxpayer•s taxable income would be ($7 plus rates (such as atotal taxable rate of 10 percent and$11.67 a tax-exempt $4.67). At the 3 0 -percent marginal tax bracket, his tax liability would be $3.50. He would, however, be entitled to a credit of $4.67, producing a net tax benefit of $1.17 or a total after-tax return of $8.17. -3rate of 6 percent); at that point, investors in marginal tax brackets of less than 4 0 percent would receive the same after-tax return from holding tax-exempt State and local bonds and claiming the credit as from holding taxable corporate bonds.* Under TBO, States and localities will initially find net interest costs on subsidized taxable bonds (60 percent of the taxable rate) lower than the net interest costs on tax-exempt bonds (approximately 70 percent of the taxable rate). As subsidized taxable bonds replace tax-exempt bonds, the supply of tax-exempt bonds will fall. The price of tax-exempt bonds will rise until tax-exempt interest rates fall to 40 percent below taxable rates. Therefore, TBO and BTO would have the same overall economic effects. Both TBO and BTO would provide a more efficient subsidy to State and local governments than the current system.- The current system is inefficient. Tax-exempt borrowers over the years have benefited from interest rates which on the average have been about 70 percent of taxable rates. Thus, the implicit subsidy of exemption to State and local governments is equivalent to a 30 percent interest rate reduction. Although the average subsidy is 30 percent, a reasonable estimate of the average marginal tax rate of all purchasers of tax-exempt bonds is about 4 2 percent. In other words, if municipal bond interest income were subject to tax, issuers of this debt would lose a subsidy of 30 percent of the taxable rate and the Treasury would gain revenues equal to about 4 2 percent of the taxable rate. This means that, with the present stock of tax-exempt debt outstanding, less than 75 percent of the Treasury revenue loss flows to State and local governments. Under both TBO and BTO, the *The taxpayerbenefit in the to 30 State percent tax bracketinwould incremental and marginal local governments lower thus receive $6 of interest from the tax-exempt bond and would be entitled to a tax credit of $4 (2/3 of $6). The additional tax, on the other hand, would be only $3 (30% x $10 taxable income comprised of $6 (interest) + $4 (taxable credit)). The $1 excess of the credit over the tax increases the return on the tax-exempt bond from $6 to $7, the after-tax return from a taxable bond. BTO would require some system for allowing the IRS to verify that taxpayers claiming the tax credit have in fact received interest entitling them to the credit. The most effective system would be to require issuers to file information returns with the IRS as is presently required for interest on taxable bonds. -4mterest costs will exceed the increased budget cost to the Federal government, thereby increasing the efficiency of tax exemption as a subsidy. As described below, this improvement is derived from a reduction in the windfall gains to high bracket investors. TBO and BTO, therefore, would also improve the equity of the tax system. Much of the inequity under current law stems from the high tax-exempt interest rate as compared with the taxable rate. An investor in th3 50 percent tax bracket, for example, would be willing to buy tax-exempt bonds as long as the return was just above one-half of that on taxable instruments. Tax-exempt bonds thus have an implicit "tax" resulting from the acceptance by the investor of a lower return than that which is otherwise available. If municipal rates were in fact one-half of taxable rates, tax-exempt bonds would have an implicit tax to the investor in the 50 percent bracket of 50 percent; the implicit tax would equal his marginal tax bracket. As municipal rates rise to 60 percent, 6 5 percent and 7 0 percent of the taxable rate, this investor in the 50 percent marginal tax bracket finds that the after-t^x return becomes increasingly above that required to induce him to invest. This extra return is purely a windfall gain. Thus, the higher the tax-exempt rate relative to the taxable rate, the greater the windfall gain. By lowering the interest rate on tax-exempt bonds from 70 percent to 60 percent of the taxable interest rate, both TBO and BTC would reduce this inequity by increasing the implicit tax to 4 0 percent. Both TBO and BTO would broaden the market for State and local securities by making them potentially attractive to taxpayers in low brackets and to tax-exempt institutions. Under TBO, low bracket investors would be attracted to subsidized taxable bonds issued by State and local governments. Under BTO, low bracket investors would generally select the taxable option. By so broadening the market for State and local debt, both proposals would reduce the volatility of the tax-exempt bond market. Differences Between-S; • 1021- and' Taxable- Bond' Option There are several significant differences between TBO and BTO. Under BTO, 'mlike TBO, all State and local borrowing would continue to be conducted by issuing tax-exempt bonds and therefore BTO would net alter existing arrangements for marketing State ctnd local debt. Institutions currently involved in underwriting and marketing tax-exempt bonds will not be adversely affected by BTO because tha volume of tax-exempt issues will not be reduced. Under TBO, the subsidy to State and local governments would appear on the expenditure side of the budget. In contrast, BTO would be a ta> expenditure; it would be -5recorded as a reduction in tax revenues. As such, BTO might appear to be less subject to review under Executive Branch and Congressional Budget Procedures. Because of these two differences, States and localities may regard BTO more favorably than TBO. Although Treasury's advocacy of TBO was intended to help State and local governments by making an existing subsidy deeper, more stable, and more efficient, some organizations feared that TBO might be a first step toward elimination of tax-exemption. We have always viewed TBO as a supplement, not a substitute for tax-exemption. While accomplishing the same economic objectives as TBO, BTO may appear less suspect to States and localities because it does not directly affect the institutions that issue tax-exempt bonds and because, as a tax provision, it may appear less subject to future dilution than an expenditure program. Reasons BTO or TBO Should Not Be Enacted At This Time Notwithstanding the advantages of these proposals, the Administration does not support enacting either proposal at this time. Our principal concern is that a substantial portion of the increased subsidy would inure to the benefit of private persons and that the increased subsidy would provide further political and economic incentives to even further increase the amount of tax-exempt financing for nongovernmental purposes. In recent years, the volume of tax-exempt bonds issued for nongovernmental purposes—principally for housing, private hospitals, pollution control and small issue industrial development bonds—has increased sharply as a share of the total tax-exempt market. There are indications that this trend is likely to increase. Just last week the Senate Finance Committee voted to significantly expand the exceptions to the industrial development bond provisions dealing with electric energy and solid waste disposal facilities. A rough picture of the increased importance of the nongovernmental use of tax-exempt financing is provided by data compiled by the Public Securities Association. The PSA data subdivide new tax-exempt borrowing by purpose. Two of the categories are industrial aid (which includes pollution control bonds and all other industrial development bonds issued for corporations) and social welfare (which includes housing bonds and hospital bonds). These two categories—which include most tax-exempt borrowing for nongovernmental use—have increased, from 9 percent of all new tax-exempt borrowing (excluding refundings) in 1970, to 20 percent in 1972, 28 percent in 19"^, 35 percent in 19^7 and 41 percent in the first six months of 19 7 9. In addition, there is evidence that PSA data underestimate the recent growth in small issue industrial development bonds because most small issues are direct placements which usually are not reported. -6Congress is currently considering legislation to limit the use of tax-exempt bonds for home mortgages which have in part been responsible for this increase. However, this legislation, under consideration since last May, has not been enacted; nor has last year's Administration proposal to eliminate the use of tax-exempt bonds for pollution control facilities. In addition, we have no doubt that imaginative promoters are turning their attention to finding other legal devices to use tax exemption to finance nongovernmental activities. The increase in the subsidy under BTO would encourage this activity as well as making existing opportunities more attractive. It would aggravate the misallocation of limited capital resources which occurs when some industries can borrow at the tax-exempt rate while others cannot. Finally, it would insulate the tax-exempt market from the rise in interest rates which would normally accompany expansion of borrowing in the tax-exempt market. Thus, it may be some time before there is firm and effective legislation limiting tax exemption to governmental purposes or at least constraining the nongovernmental uses of tax-exempt borrowing to an acceptable level. S. 1021 attempts to deal with the problem of tax exemption for nongovernmental purposes by not allowing the bondholder taxable option for interest received from tax-exempt industrial development bonds. Unfortunately, market forces would defeat the laudable intent of this provision. This provision would not affect the general level of tax-exempt interest rates. Its only effect would be to cause low bracket investors and tax-exempt institutions, who would seek to claim the credit, to concentrate on holdings of public purpose State and local bonds while high bracket investors, who would not claim the credit, would concentrate on holding tax-exempt industrial development bonds. Because the spread between tax-exempt and taxable interest rates would be equal to the subsidy rate provided by BTO, all tax-exempt borrowers, including users of the proceeds of industrial development bonds, would receive the same benefit from BTO. Conclusion Treasury reluctantly concludes that BTO should not be enacted at this time. The benefits that would flow to nongovernmental activities, and the encouragement given to expansion of nongovernmental uses of tax exemption, outweigh the benefit which would be derived by State and local governments in financing governmental facilities. Treasury strongly supports tax-exempt State and local borrowing. We believe, however, that this tax exemption should not be used as a device to provide an indirect Federal subsidy to a wide range of nongovernmental activities, such as pollution control facilities and single family housing. -7Treasury believes that the first legislative priority in the area of tax-exempt financing is to control the nongovernmental use of tax-exempt borrowing. Once this has been accomplished, we would support proposals such as S. 1021 or TBO which would contribute to tax equity and provide greater, more efficient Federal support for State and local governments. -8II. THE "ARTISTS' TAX EQUITY ACT OF 1979" (S. 1078) Section (2) of this bill would allow the estate of any artist to meet its liability for estate tax by transferring works of the artist's creation, included in the estate, to an arm of the United States government. The transferee would be required to certify the significance of the work and that it will be held for display to the public, but would not be required to reimburse the Treasury for the estate tax forgiven. Section (3) of the bill would allow a 30 percent credit against income tax liability, subject to certain dollar limitations, for artistic, literary or musical compositions contributed to a government or exempt organization by the individual whose personal efforts created the work. Section (4) would provide that an activity consisting of artistic, literary or musical creation is presumptively carried on for profit if the artist produced a profit in any 2 of 10 consecutive years rather than 2 out of 5 as under present law. Section (5) would provide that art works received by an artist's beneficiaries from the artist's estate would be treated as capital assets notwithstanding their having a carryover basis. The Treasury is opposed to sections (2) through (4) of the bill. The change that would be achieved by section (5) is supported by Treasury and is included in H.R. 4694, the carryover basis "clean up" bill introduced by Congressman Fisher. Payment of Estate Tax Section (2) of the bill, which would allow a credit against tax liability for the full fair market value of art works contributed to the Federal government, is presumably motivated by a desire to alleviate liquidity problems perceived to be faced by artists' estates. The provision perhaps would be defended by its proponents on the ground that, if the Federal government places a value on an art work for estate tax purposes, it should be prepared to accept the work at that value in satisfaction of estate tax liability. The Tax Reform Act of 1976 mitigated significantly the liquidity problems sometimes faced by authors' and artists' estates. Under that Act, payment of estate taxes may be deferred up to 10 years on a showing of "reasonable cause"—a standard more easily satisfied than the "undue hardship" test of prior law. In addition, professional authors and artists whose estates include significant portions of their literary or art works could qualify for the new "automatic" 15 year deferral of estate tax payment. It is our view that these provisions, together with the "automatic" 10 year deferral of estate tax permitted under prior law, afford adequate relief for illiquid estates. -9The perceived need for additional liquidity relief, such as that provided by section (2) of the bill, stems from concern that the inventory of art works in an artist's estate will be overvalued, by being valued either at the sum of their "retail" prices rather than as inventory in the hands of a dealer, or at their undiscounted current value, disregarding the time needed to liquidate the inventory. In this context it is important to note that as a matter of practice the Internal Revenue Service has accepted the decision in Estate of- David-Smith v.-Commissioner, 57 T.C. 650 (1972), a£fJd on other-grounds, 510 t.l& 475 (2d Cir. 1975), and has initiated a regulation project to consider the application of its current estate tax valuation regulations to artists' estates. We are strongly opposed to creating a precedent that could significantly impair the efficiency of the government's revenue collecting function by substituting in-kind transfers for cash payments in satisfaction of tax liabilities. There is no logical basis on which a provision such as that contained in section (2) could be limited to works of an artist's creation. Nor do we think that artists should be afforded more favorable treatment with respect to their estate tax liabilities than other taxpayers. This section does not, however, merely create a precedent that could significantly impair the efficiency of collection of Federal revenues. It also has the effect of subverting the appropriations process. It is the function of Congress to determine the purposes for which funds will be appropriated. Direct appropriations allow aid to be targeted much more carefully to specific groups of people and specific objectives. Direct appropriations also allow coordination among related programs. In contrast, this bill would permit an artist's executor to decide what works of art will be transferred to various governmental arms, to the extent of an artist's estate tax liability. Thus, an artist's execrtor would have the power to determine how government funds will be spent. For the foregoing reasons the Treasury opposes section (2) . Charitable Contribution Credit Section (3) of the bill would allow a 30 percent credit against income tax liability for property consisting of an artistic, literary or musical composition contributed by its creator to the government or an exempt organization. This credit would be in lieu of the charitable deduction. The bill also contains a series of provisions that have the effect of limiting the amount of the credit in any year to the greater of $2,500 or 50 percent of the taxpayer's liability for tax, and in no event may the credit exceed $10,500. -10Prior to the Tax Reform Act of 1969, a taxpayer, including an artist, who contributed appreciated property to charity, was entitled to a charitable contribution deduction based on fair market value even though the appreciation was never subject to tax. In many cases, this enabled an individual to obtain a benefit through a charitable contribution that would exceed the after-tax proceeds from a sale. For example, assume an individual in a marginal tax bracket of 70 percent who owns property worth $100 that has a negligible cost. If the property were sold, the individual would owe $70 in tax and would retain $30. If the property were given to charity, the charitable deduction would reduce the donor's taxes by $70, resulting in a $40 increase in after-tax profit on a supposedly charitable transfer. Since this possibility was more evident in the case of property that would result in ordinary income if sold, Congress in 1969 modified the law primarily as to ordinary income . property. Capital gain property was generally unaffected except in particular cases—for example, transfers to private foundations. Works of art are treated as inventory in the hands of the artist and gain on their disposition by the artist is taxed as ordinary income. Thus, the 1969 Act affected the charitable deduction for contributions by artists of their work but not for contributions by investors in art. Under the Act, an artist's income tax deduction for works of the artist's creation contributed to a charity is generally limited to cost. Under this provision an artist donating art works to charity would be in the same position as if the works had been sold and the after-tax proceeds contributed to the charity. We believe this approach is correct. It is also consistent with the treatment of other income producers. For example, a physician who works a half day in a hospital without pay does not get a charitable contribution deduction. The physician's income is unaffected, just as if he earned $100 for his services and donated a like amount to charity. We recognize that S. 1078 attempts to meet some of our concerns by providing the artist with a tax credit rather than a deduction and by limiting the dollar amount of the credit. This would equalize the benefit to artists at all income levels and is intended to prevent any artist from obtaining a greater benefit from a charitable transfer than would be available from a sale. However, the latter would be achieved only if the deduction for charitable contributions could be limited to the actual fair market value that could be obtained by sale. The Commissioner's Art Advisory Panel cannot possibly evaluate all transfers for which taxpayers seek charitable deductions. -11Moreover, a tax credit is in many ways similar to a direct appropriation. The government is offering 30 cents on the dollar for any art work the artist is willing to transfer to charity. However, a tax credit, unlike a direct payment, is not included in income. Moreover, other government programs to promote the arts already exist. If government aid to the arts is to be increased, it would be better to do so through existing or new programs subject to the appropriations process rather than through tax credits. The Treasury is therefore opposed to section (3) of the bill. Activities Entered into for-Profit Section (4) of the bill would amend section 183 to extend from 5 to 10 years the period in which to determine whether an activity consisting of artistic, literary or musical creation is presumed to be carried on for profit under section 183(d). We can discern no legitimate reason for providing preferential treatment in this area to artistic, literary or musical activities. We see no justification for providing that if a writer's activities are profitable in 2 out of 10 years, the favorable presumption of section 183(d) is created while a farmer would be entitled to the favorable presumption only if his activities were profitable in 2 out of 5 years. It should also be kept in mind that section 183(d) merely creates a presumption; all relevant facts and circumstances are considered in determining whether a particular taxpayer is engaged in an activity for profit. The Treasury therefore opposes section (4). Capital-Asset- Status Section (5) would provide that art works received by an artist's beneficiary from the artist's estate would be treated as capital assets notwithstanding their having a carryover basis. Such a provision should be enacted as part of any bill to clean up carryover basis, such as H.R. 4694 introduced by Mr. Fisher. The Treasury therefore supports section (5). -12III. METHODS OF DEPRECIATION - RAILROADS (S. 1467) S. 145"? deals with methods of depreciation available to railroads. The bill would amend section l^7 of the Internal Revenue Code to provide that the retirement-replacementbetterment ("RRB") method of accounting for depreciation is an acceptable method o f depreciation for Federal income tax purposes. Under the RRB method, the original costs of an asset are capitalized, and no ratable depreciation is taken. When the asset is retired, the original costs are written off. If, instead of being retired, the asset is replaced by an asset of similar quality, the original costs remain capitalized, and the costs of replacement (less the-fair market value of the asset replaced) are expensed. In addition, a full investment tax credit is allowed, even though the cost is currently deducted. To the extent a "replacement" represents an asset of a better quality than the one being replaced, the costs of replacement, to that extent, *re treated as a "betterment" and are capitalized. The method can be illustrated with the following example. Assume that rail with an original cost o* $25 per ton (and a current fair market value of S40 per ton), is replaced by new rail of equal quality with a current cost of $150 per ton. The original cost of $25, on which no ratable depreciation has been taken, remains capitalized, and the replacement cost of $150, less the fair market value of the rail being replaced ($40), or $110, is deducted. If, however, the rail is replaced by rail of a better quality at a cost of $200 <per ton, the increase in cost of $50 is a betterment and is capitalized. The RRB method has historically been used by railroads for regulatory, financial and tax purposes, although we understand that five railroads use ratable depreciation for financial statement purposes. Its origin goes back about 100 years when a similar method was adopted by state railroad commissioners. Since the beginning of.the income tax in 1913, the method has been used for tax purposes for roadway assets. However, in 1943 the Interstate Commerce Commission (ICC^ ordered Class I railroads to change from the RRB method to straight-line depreciation for roadway assets (buildings, bridges, tunnels, etc.) other than roadbed or track. Such change was also made in 1943 for tax purposes with the Technical Amendments Act of 1958 resolving the method of adjustment on the change. -13As stated by a number of courts, the RRB method is based on an accounting theory of equalization through the law of averages. The theory of the RRB method is that in a mature industry, such as railroads, annual retirements and replacements of property tend to become uniform in amount each year, and consequently, the deductions under the RRB method will approximate the results if straight-line depreciation were used. For example, if, on the average, a railroad replaces its track every 25 years and, therefore, on the average replaces one twenty-fifth a year, the deduction for depreciation will be the same, on average, under the RRB method and the straight-line method. That the RRB method has been an acceptable method for tax purposes has been confirmed by numerous court decisions and the Internal Revenue Service's acquiescence in 1960. It is our understanding that the reason the railroad industry is now asking for legislation to codify the method is due to the fact that the ICC is currently reexamining its accounting rules for railroad track property, and the railroads fear that if the ICC changes the method of depreciation from RRB to straight-line, the IRS will similarly disallow RRB. The railroads obviously are concerned that the denial of RRB depreciation will result in an increased tax burden on the industry. The concern arises in part because ratable depreciation based on the basis of existing book accounts under RRB (which could relate to property acquired many years ago) would likely be less than ratable depreciation based on the current cost of replacement property. However, two issues should be kept separate. First, we should ask ourselves whether it is sound policy to freeze the RRB method for tax purposes when it is no longer used for regulatory or financial purposes. Second, if a change in depreciation practices is warranted except for the increased tax burden that accompanies it, we should consider whether there are better or more logical ways to mitigate that burden. Thus, we believe Congress should reexamine the RRB method. Although a practice has been accepted over a long period of time, it should be examined periodically to determine if it continues to be appropriate in light of changes in economic conditions and financial practices. Based on such a reexamination, the Treasury Department opposes the enactment of S. 1467 as introduced. The Treasury Department believes that RRB should be discontinued for tax purposes if the ICC disallows it. We can assure you, however, with the concurrence of Commissioner Kurtz, that the Internal Revenue -14Service will not mandate any change in depreciation for track until an alternative has been developed and fully explored by this Subcommittee during the 96th Congress. We propose that this bill be revised to provide for an appropriate transition from the RRB method to ratable depreciation should the IRS require the change for tax purposes. The objective of such transitional rules should be the minimization of the revenue cost to the railroads of the change during a transition period. We believe that the RRB method is not appropriate because 1) it is, in effect, indexing, 2) it is subject to various abuses, 3) if the ICC were no longer to allow it, its continuance would be administratively burdensome, and 4) it does not clearly reflect income. First, as I previously stated, the courts have historically accepted the RRB method based on the theory that in a mature industry, annual depreciation and the cost of replacement will on average be identical. However, the initial court decisions that accepted the method dealt with taxable years prior to 1943. There is a major distinction between those years and today—namely, inflation. The "law of averages" theory works only in terms of constant dollars. That is, if one twenty-fifth of track is replaced each year, straight-line depreciation of the historical cost of the track in place will be the same as the amount currently spent on track, only if there has been no change in the cost of the track. However, if, for example, the cost of track in the current year is 7 5 percent greater than the average historical cost of the track in place, an immediate deduction for the cost of the current year's replacement will be 7 5 percent greater than the deduction based on straight-line depreciation of the track in place. Thus, in a period of inflation, RRB amounts to indexation of depreciation. Regardless of what one concludes about indexing depreciation generally, we submit that indexing depreciation only for a single industry or group of taxpayers cannot be justified. The second reason for our opposition is that a number of existing or possible abuse situations have come to our attention regarding the use of the RRB method. The IRS is currently considering a situation where a railroad has been purchased at a price that was less than the book value of its gross assets. In this case, at the time of purchase a low amount was allocated to track. Since the taxpayer then elected to use the RRB method, the amount of the purchase price allocated to the track would not be relevant until the track was retired. This is unlike normal purchase situations -15where the portion of the purchase price allocated to depreciable assets is relevant in determining the future depreciation deductions. When the RRB method is used, the future depreciation deductions are based on replacements, not the historical cost of track in place. In a separate situation, we understand that in a prospectus it is stated that the company acquiring the subject railroad would use the RRB method and could assign a zero basis to the railroad track. It is clear that in these situations, even assuming constant dollars, the deduction under the RRB method will be much greater than that under straight-line depreciation and is therefore inappropriate since.the courts have based allowability of RRB on the theory that deductions under it equal the deductions under straight-line depreciation. Further, such abuse situations will be more difficult to detect if RRB is used solely for tax purposes and the allocations in question are not subject to review by the ICC or independent accountants. Third, we believe that if the ICC changes the method of depreciating track for regulatory purposes, it would be less of an administrative burden for both taxpayers and the IRS if for tax purposes the method is also changed from the RRB method to a ratable method. Since 1913, the accounting for railroad track has been similar for the ICC and the IRS. At a minimum, a change to ratable depreciation by the ICC and not the IRS would require the keeping of two sets of books. No doubt there would be complaints of excessive paper work if the law imposed the additional burden. Reconciliations between records for ICC and IRS purposes would be difficult and it would certainly make IRS audits more complex and time-consuming. While reconciliation between ICC and IRS computations would still be required if both were to disallow the use of RRB, such reconciliation between straight-line depreciation and double declining balance depreciation would certainly be less of a burden than between straight-line depreciation and RRB. We believe it would be a step backward if you were to allow the continued use of the RRB method if the ICC were to change. In addition, we believe that a change from the RRB method to ratable depreciation would result in fewer tax disputes than now exist. For example, for all other taxpayers there is some natural tension between treating an item (such as repairs) as an ordinary and necessary business expense and treating it as a capital expenditure. While the benefit of the former is a current deduction, the benefit of the latter may be the availability of a 10 percent investment tax credit. When the RRB method is used, taxpayers naturally tend toward treating more items as "capital expenditures" because they obtain both a current deduction with respect to replacements as well as an investment tax credit. Other -16existing issues often contested which are peculiar to RRB accounting involve whether an item is a replacement or a betterment and whether salvage value equals fair market value. Maintaining RRB for tax purposes would mean these difficult questions would be resolved only for tax purposes without consideration of their complementary effect for regulatory or financial purposes. ^ Fourth, we believe that the RRB method does not clearly reflect income. We understand this is the major reason for the ICC's reexamination. It is our understanding that it is common practice in the industry that in years of high revenue, railroads incur high capital expenses and replace higher than average amount of track, whereas in low revenue years railroads replace lower than average amount of track. Such practices are not uncommon in other industries. However, in high revenue years, railroads are able to increase capital expenditures and to immediately reduce their tax liability, while other taxpayers, consistent with the requirement to clearly reflect income, must spread the deductions over the years the assets are used. Thus, railroads have a clear advantage in timing their tax liability over other taxpayers who must use ratable depreciation. While the accounting profession allows the use of RRB as a generally accepted accounting principle, I would like to point out that one can assume that such allowability is based more on the method having been generally accepted over many years rather than that it clearly reflects income. While we believe that it is no longer appropriate for railroads to use the RRB method, we are not unmindful of transitional problems which could, absent legislation, result in substantial immediate revenue cost to the railroad industry. We therefore propose that S. 1467 be revised to provide for appropriate transitional rules with the objective of minimizing the transitional cost. It seems reasonable to assume that the real question here is the tax burden of the industry and not the theoretical correctness of the RRB method. A short-term tax increase can arise because in the past the RRB method has resulted in larger depreciation deductions than would have been allowed under ratable depreciation; for example, double declining balance. Normally, in such a situation the larger deductions in the past would be offset by lower deductions in the future. Thus, the taxpayer changing to the new method would not be entitled to as large future deductions for depreciation as a similarly situated taxpayer electing to use double declining balance from the beginning. -17However, because of the very unusual circumstances of this case, we do not object to allowing the same deductions to a railroad switching from RRB as would have been allowed as if it had originally used ratable depreciation. Toward that end, we propose the following as a general framework for transition. As of the beginning of the year of change, the book value of the track would be restated to reflect (a) the original cost of the track actually in place, and (b) the accumulated depreciation to such date that would have resulted had the straight-line method been used. It is our understanding that this is the method that would probably be used for book purposes if the ICC decides that the method should be changed. We would expect to work with the ICC to develop and agree on the detailed methodology to be used in making such restatement with the objective that the same restatement be applicable for both the ICC and for tax purposes. This restatement of the book value of the track assets would result in the allowance of a double deduction since the cost of most of the existing track (except betterments) has previously been deducted under the RRB method. The excess of the cost of the existing track (less accumulated straight-line depreciation) over the capitalized basis under RRB would be deducted again as part of ratable depreciation. A double deduction of this type is common when a method of accounting is changed. To avoid windfalls, section 481 of the Internal Revenue Code provides that the amount duplicated is to be taken into account as an adjustment to taxable income in the year of the change. Normally, to reduce distortions, such adjustment, which in this case would increase taxable income, is taken into account over a ten-year period. However, because of the very unusual circumstances involved, we propose that such adjustment not be taken into income at the time of the change, nor spread over a period of years, but that it be placed in a suspense account, and deferred until a later time; for example, when the taxpayer is no longer in the railroad business. This type of suspense account has been enacted in situations involving reserves for guaranteed debt obligations, accrued vacation pay, paperback and record returns, and discount coupons. In those situations the suspense account was used by Congress to allow the taxpayers to change to a more generous method of accounting without a resulting revenue loss to the Treasury due solely to double deductions in the period of transition. We believe it is appropriate to apply similar principles to the very unusual circumstances here. -18With respect to future ratable depreciation, we propose that railroads be allowed the same method as other taxpayers. At present this is the use of the ADR (asset depreciation range) system including accelerated depreciation. Any difference in depreciation between ADR-double declining balance and RRB would be due to the effect of the current levels of inflation. Congress, as indicated by the earlier testimony this morning, will likely consider the possibility of liberalizing depreciation for taxpayers generally. Railroad depreciation practices should certainly be a part of this study. If depreciation is liberalized this may eliminate any revenue cost to the railroads from a change in method. If the effect of inflation is not otherwise mitigated by the adoption of changes in the depreciation system generally, we would consider the use of other benefits, such as additional first-year depreciation, to reduce the cost during the transition period to an acceptable level. Any such benefits would be phased out over the transition period. We believe that these proposals are both generous and easy to administer. We presented these proposals on September 27 in testimony before the Subcommittee on Select Revenue Measures of the House Committee on Ways and Means. We have not as yet had an opportunity to discuss these proposals with representatives of the railroad industry. We believe, however, that with these proposals as a framework, the details could be developed into a legislative proposal to correspond to the similar objectives of the industry and the Treasury. department of theJREASURY &SHINGTQN, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 22, 1979 RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $3,100 million of 13-week bills and for $3,101 million of 26-week bills, both to be issued on October 25, 1979, were accepted today. 13-week bills RANGE OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: maturing January 24, 1980 Discount Investment Price Rate Rate 1/ High Low Average a/ Excepting 3 b/ Excepting 1 Tenders at Tenders at 26-week bills maturing April 24, 1980 Discount Investment Price Rate Rate 1/ ,a/ 96.75812.825% 13.48% 93.620^12.620% 13.70% 96.701 13.051% 13.72% 93.590 12.679% 13.77% 96.731 12.932% 13.59% 93.604 12.651% 13.74% tenders totaling $190,000 tender of $20,000 the low price for the 13-week bills were allotted 38%. the low price for the 26-week bills were allotted 40%. TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands)> Received Accepted Received : $ 50,590 $ 47,710 $ 47,710 4,019,935 3,723,015 2,522,665 ' 18,610 31,235 31,235 : 40,625 65,640 65,640 39,570 67,045 39,570 ' 53,690 53,900 51,820 • 355,135 387,270 82,015 : 29,880 29,880 22,710 6,225 6,225 8,620 47,545 47,545 21,645 23,845 23,845 12,745 225,860 99,660 222,535 52,520 52,520 62,620 Accepted $ 40,590 2,592,390 18,610 28,015 42,045 47,250 101,770 18,175 7,120 21,645 12,745 107,535 62,620 $4,701,870 $3,100,330 $4,988,850 $3,100,510 $2,926,295 702,115 $1,324,755 702,115 $3,112,935 512,545 $1,324,595 512,545 $3,628,410 $2,026,870 $3,625,480 $1,837,140 Federal Reserve and Foreign Offici al Institutions $1,073,460 $1,073,460 $1,363,370 $1,263,370 $3,100,330 $4,988,850 $3,100,510 Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TOTALS Type Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public TOTALS $4,701,870 1/Equivalent coupon -issue yield?. * M-134 •••••••••••BBHHnMai yartmentaftheTREASURY SHINGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 L \ © r\ M i ^» fftOM Si®"1' FOR RELEASE ON DELIVERY EXPECTED A T 9:30 A.M. October 22, 1979 '-••- J S ' I J Ulil tJ l T i'U:- .••••'• STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE ROGER C. ALTMAN ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY (DOMESTIC FINANCE) BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON ECONOMIC STABILIZATION OF THE HOUSE BANKING, FINANCE AND URBAN AFFAIRS COMMITTEE i Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I welcome this opportunity to discuss H.R. 3905, the National Alcohols and Alcohol Fuel and Farm Commodity Production Act of 1979, as reported by the House Agriculture Committee. I will comment on the new Federal credit program which would be created by section 2 of the bill. The Subcommittee has specifically requested the Department's assessment of any possible inflationary or anti-inflationary effects of the bill. The total volume of credit in our economy at any time is limited by a number of constraints, including the constraints of monetary policy and the level of interest rates. Federal credit programs have the effect of changing the allocation of these limited credit resources by lowering the cost of credit M-135 - 2 to preferred borrowers. Indeed, that is their purpose. Federal credit programs reflect determinations by Congress that the credit markets in their normal functioning do not supply the amount of credit deemed desirable to the class of borrowers made eligible for assistance under the program. Yet, given a limited supply of credit available to the economy, the increased demands of Federal credit programs add to the pressures on interest rates, tending to raise interest costs for all borrowers including the Federal Government. For these reasons, proposals to create new Federal credit programs or to expand existing programs should be carefully scrutinizedLet me turn now to the importance of the structure of a Federal credit program. The existence of a Federal credit program will generate a demand for it, whether it is needed or not. Thus, it is important that a Federal credit program be structured to minimize unnecessary spending and inflationary pressures. As I will develop, the structure of a credit program — that is, the eligibility requirements, terms and conditions, manner in which the credit assistance would be provided, inadequate provision for Congressional control over the program, etc. — can contribute to unnecessary spending and costs to the Federal Government. - 3 Duplication of programs Enactment of a credit program, absent a demonstration of clear need, would result in confusion on the part of potential applicants as to Federal agency responsibility, duplication of Federal agency activities, and inefficient use of Federal resources. In this regard, I understand that loans for alcohols plants and alcohol fuel plants are available under programs now conducted by the Farmers Home Administration in the Department of Agriculture, the Economic Development Administration in the Department of Commerce, and the Small Business Administration. In addition, there are pending proposals, such as Chairman Moorhead's bill, H.R. 3930, which would provide a variety of financial incentives for synthetic fuels production, including alcohol fuels. Credit needs test Most credit programs are intended to facilitate the flow of credit to borrowers who are unable to obtain credit in the private market. The needs of more creditworthy borrowers are expected to be met in the private market without Federal credit aid. Accordingly, we believe it is essential that an applicant for a direct loan demonstrate that credit is not otherwise available on reasonable terms. Such a requirement would help direct Federal credit assistance to cases of demonstrated need, minimize unnecessary demands for Federal credit assistance, reduce Federal competition - 4 with and duplication of the activities of private lenders which would otherwise make the loans, and provide a built-in control over program growth. There is no such requirement in section 2 of H.R. 3905. Interest rate subsidies In H.R. 3905, the interst rate on direct loans would be determined by the Secretary of Agriculture, except that the rate could not exceed the current average yield on outstanding marketable obligations of the United States of comparable maturities plus one percent. We believe that provision for a statutory ceiling on the interest rate which may be charged on direct loans should also be accompanied by a floor on such rates. Otherwise, a sub-market rate of interest would stimulate increased demands for loans, and this problem would be exacerbated by not requiring the borrower to demonstrate that credit is not otherwise available on reasonable terms. Without such an interest rate floor, there will be inevitable demands to charge lower interest rates for particular projects or preferred borrowers. Unless the interest rate actually charged is sufficient to cover the Treasury's borrowing costs, as measured by current market yields on outstanding obligations of comparable maturities, and program administrative expenses and probable losses, the result will be hidden subsidies to program borrowers -5and costs to the Federal Government. In this regard, it is not clear that the additional charge of up to one percent would be sufficient to cover program administrative expenses and losses. With respect to the interest rate formula in section 2, we believe that a determination of the current average market yield on outstanding obligations of the United States should be made by the Secretary of the Treasury and certified to the Secretary of Agriculture. The actual interest rates charged would then be determined by the Secretary of Agriculture under the authority which permits the Secretary of Agriculture to charge more than the current average market yield. Federal guarantees of tax-exempt obligations The interest on obligations of public bodies is generally exempt from Federal income taxation. The authority in section 2 to guarantee loans to public bodies would result in Federal guarantees of tax-exempt obligations. The Treasury opposes Federal guarantees of tax-exempt municipal bonds. They create a class of securities which is stronger than the Federal Government's own securities. Like Treasury securities, they would be backed by the full Federal credit but, unlike Treasuries, they would be exempt from Federal taxes. In addition, such guarantees would convey the benefits of both the Federal credit and the tax exemption to high income taxpayers — the principal - 6 buyers of tax-exempt securities. Also, tax-exempt guarantees are an ineffective means of delivering Federal aid to local governments, since much of the benefit goes to high income investors and since the financing of Federal programs in the municipal market competes directly with other State and local bond issues for essential local public facilities and increases the cost of financing the facilities. For these reasons, we believe that municipal bonds should only be guaranteed if they are taxable securities. On at least 19 occasions in recent years, Congress has enacted legislation which specifically prohibits Federal guarantees of tax-exempt obligations and provides other more efficient means of financing credit assistance to public bodies, including assistance to public bodies under other provisions of the Consolidated Farm and Rural Development Act of 1972. Coordination with Treasury financing There is no provision for Treasury coordination of the financing of obligations guaranteed under the bill. Requiring the approval of the Secretary of the Treasury of the interest rate, timing, and other terms and conditions of guaranteed obligations helps assure more efficient financing of these obligations and coordination with the financing of other government and government-backed obligations in the securities market. Also, in this regard, limiting the guarantee - 7 to private lenders, as proposed in section 2, could result in excessive financing costs because the Federal Financing Bank would be precluded from purchasing the guaranteed obligations. The Federal Financing Bank was created in 1973 for the stated purpose of reducing the cost of Federal and Federally-assisted borrowings from the public. Other loan terms and conditions There is no authority in the bill for the Secretary of Agriculture to charge a guarantee fee. Failure to charge a guarantee fee in an amount sufficient to cover administrative expenses and probable losses will result in hidden subsidies to guaranteed borrowers and costs to the Government. Requiring an affirmative finding of reasonable assurance of repayment prior to making or guaranteeing a loan, limiting the maximum maturity of the loan to less than the useful life of the project, and requiring the borrower to have an equity stake in the project will help minimize Federal exposure to loss under the program. Congressional control In the 1980 Budget the Administration proposed the establishment of a system of control over Federal credit programs based on annual limitations on gross loan activity for both direct lending and loan guarantee programs. Under the Administration's proposal, annual limitations on gross lending for direct and guaranteed loans would be established - 8 in the regular Budget and appropriations process. Yet, there is no provision in the bill that would limit annual direct and guaranteed lending under the program to amounts specified in annual appropriations Acts. Such a provision would provide a firm basis for Congressionl control over annual activity under the program. Firm Congressional control, in turn, would help to minimize unnecessary pressures on our credit markets. In conclusion, the Treasury Department believes that the deficiencies in program structure will generate unnecessary demands for Federal credit assistance, resulting in unnecessary spending, and thus tend to contribute to inflationary pressures. Accordingly, the Department recommends against enactment of section 2 of H.R. 3905 in its present form. I would be happy to answer any questions. oOo FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 23, 1979 STATEMENT BY TREASURY SECRETARY G. WILLIAM MILLER ON OIL COMPANY EARNINGS This week's reports of major increases in oil company earnings reinforce the urgent need for the Congress to enact promptly the Administration's Windfall Profits Tax. The Windfall Profits Tax proposed by President Carter and passed by the House of Representatives left ample incentives for oil companies to explore for new oil. Furthermore, substantial increases in world oil prices since the House action mean profits will be higher than previously expected, even after the Windfall Profits Tax. These changing circumstances make it even clearer that there is no justification for diluting the proposed Windfall Profits Tax. Continuous changes in both price and availability in world oil markets demonstrate the importance of the Administration's program to diminish our reliance on imported oil. A substantial Windfall Profits Tax is essential in order to provide adequate funds for development of domestic sources of unconventional energy, for major conservation projects such as expanded public transportation, and to offset economic hardship on those least able to bear the burden. The third quarter earnings reports of major U.S. oil companies dramatize the merits of our proposed Windfall Profits Tax, which is fair both to the oil companies and to the American people. M-136 partmentoftheJREASURY SHINGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. October 23, 1979 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $6,200 million, to be issued November 1, 1979. This offering will provide $100 million of new cash for the Treasury as the maturing bills are outstanding in the amount of $6,129 million. The two series offered are as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $3,100 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated August 2, 1979, and to mature January 31, 1980 (CUSIP No. 912793 3P 9 ) , originally issued in the amount of $ 3,026 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills for approximately $3,100 million to be dated November 1, 1979, and to mature May 1, 1980 (CUSIP No. 912793 4C 7 ) . Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing November 1, 1979. Federal Reserve Banks, for themselves and as agents of foreign and international monetary authorities, presently hold $3,184 million of the maturing bills. These accounts may exchange bills they hold for the bills now being offered at the weighted average prices of accepted competitive tenders. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount will be payable without interest. Both series of bills will be issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,000 and in any higher $5,000 multiple, on the records either of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasury. Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C. 20226, up to 1:30 p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, October 29, 1979. Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. M-137 -2Each tender must be for a minimum of $10,000. Tenders over $10,000 must be in multiples of $5,000. In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e.g.f 99.925. Fractions may not be used. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities may submit tenders for account of customers, if the names of the customers and the amount for each customer are furnished. Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million. This information should reflect positions held at the close of business on the day prior to the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering; e.g., bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six month bills. Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million. Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction. No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches. A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500,000 or less without stated price from any one respective bidder (in three will decimals) issues. be accepted of accepted in full at competitive the weighted bids average for the price -3Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on November 1, 1979, in cash or other immediately available funds or in Treasury bills maturing November 1, 1979. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Under Sections 454(b) and 1221(5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and the bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of these bills (other than life insurance companies) must include in his or her Federal income tax return, as ordinary gain or loss, the difference between the price paid for the bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made. Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, and this notice, prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 23, 1979 RESULTS OF AUCTION OF 2-YEAR NOTES The Department of the Treasury has accepted $3,902 million of $6,775 million of tenders received from the public for the 2-year notes, Series Y-1981, auctioned today. The range of accepted competitive bids was as follows: Lowest yield 12.55%-^ Highest yield Average yield 12.69% 12.66% The interest rate on the notes will be 12-5/8%. At the 12-5/8% rate, the above yields result in the following prices: Low-yield price 100.129 High-yield price Average-yield price 99.888 99.940 The $3,902 million of accepted tenders includes $718 million of noncompetitive tenders and $2,249 million of competitive tenders from private investors, including 14% of the amount of notes bid for at the high yield. It also includes $935 million of tenders at the average price from Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities in exchange for maturing securities. In addition to the $3,902 million of tenders accepted in the auction process, $470 million of tenders were accepted at the average price from Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account in exchange for securities maturing October 31, 1979. 1/ Excepting 6 tenders totaling $125,000. M-138 lepartmentoftheTREASURY « HINGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-20*1 n 9 LI«30H S®*^ Contact: Charles Arnold (566-2041) tiei Rush Loving, Jr. (395-4747^/13 L/^TMtUT i\u.^ w FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 25, 1979 JOINT STATEMENT OF G. WILLIAM MILLER, SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AND JAMES T. McINTYRE, JR., DIRECTOR OF THE OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET ON BUDGET RESULTS FOR FISCAL YEAR 1979 SUMMARY The Treasury Department is today releasing the September Monthly Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the United States Government, which shows the actual budget totals for the fiscal year that ended on September 30, 1979. — Deficit.—The 1979 actual deficit was $27.7 billion, $9.7 billion below the January estimate of $37.4 billion, and $2.6 billion below the revised Mid-Session Review estimate. This is the smallest deficit since fiscal year 1974. — Receipts.—Receipts were $465.9 billion in 1979, $10.0 billion above the January estimate and almost the same as the revised Mid-Session Review estimate. Outlays.—Budget outlays were $493.6 billion in 1979, $0.3 billion above the January estimate, but $3.1 billion below the revised Mid-Session Review estimate. M-139 -2Table 1.—BUDGET TOTALS (in billions of dollars) Receipts Outlays Deficit (-) 1978 Actual 402.0 450.8 -48.8 1979 Estimates and Actual: January 1/ July 2/ Actual 456.0 466.5 465.9 493.4 496.8 493.6 -37.4 -30.3 -27.7 1/ January 1979 from the 1980 Budget. 2/ Based on the revision of the Mid-Session Review of the 1980 Budget released on July 31, 1979, adjusted to include revised estimates for the energy security program and Department of Defense increases. NOTE: The administrative expenses and interest receipts of the Exchange Stabilization Fund, which previously were excluded from the budget, are now included. Because of the latter.change, the 1978 and 1979 figures differ slightly from those in the Monthly Treasury Statement. RECEIPTS Receipts in 1979 were $465.9 billion, $10.0 billion above the January estimate of $456.0 billion. An increase in individual income tax receipts of $14.2 billion was partially offset by a decrease in corporation income tax receipts of $4.6 billion. Higher personal incomes and overwithholding on the part of individuals account for most of the increase in individual income tax receipts. OUTLAYS Budget outlays for 1979 were $493.6 billion, only $0.3. billion above the January estimate, although there were many offsetting changes. The larger increases were for military procurement ($2.9 billion) and Farmers Home Administration ($1.4 billion). The largest decreases were for the Commodity Credit Corporation ($1.5 billion) and military assistance programs ($1.4 billion). Table 2 shows the changes from the January estimates by agency and major program. A description of some of the major outlay changes follows. -3Funds Appropriated to the President Almost all the change for military assistance programs occurred in the foreign military sales trust fund. Outlays in that account represent the net effect of disbursements and receipts. Actual disbursements in the fund were $7.1 billion, $2.3 billion below the January estimate. They fell dramatically because of cancellation of major procurement by Iran. A shortfall in receipts (which increases outlays) also occurred due to a combination of the Iranian cancellation and our effort to reduce billings to Saudi Arabia in order to use up excess Saudi funds already on deposit. The net impact of these changes is a $1.3 billion reduction in actual outlays compared to the January estimate. For foreign economic assistance, the major decrease was in the security supporting assistance programs. The actual amount for these programs was $1.8 billion, down $0.3 billion from January. The decrease is primarily because outlays for the Egyptian aid program, originally estimated for 1979, are now expected to occur in 1980. The decrease in outlays for petroleum reserves, from an estimated $0.2 billion in January to $-0.5 billion, was due to a changed treatment of receipts. The actual receipts for the sale of oil were credited to the petroleum reserves account rather than to the Department of Energy, as was assumed in January. Department of Agriculture For the Commodity Credit Corporation, sharply higher grain prices and improved export markets resulted in larger than expected offsetting collections from loan repayments, reducing actual outlays $1.5 billion from the January estimate. For the Farmers Home Administration, outlays increased $1.4 billion from the January estimate of $0.5 billion. This was primarily because of a five-fold increase in emergency disaster loans from the January estimate. Outlays for the Food and Nutrition Service were $10.5 billion, $0.7 billion higher than estimated in January. Almost all of the increase was for the food stamp program. Following elimination of the purchase requirement in January, people came on to the program rolls earlier and at a slightly higher level than was anticipated. -4Department of Commerce Outlays for the local public works program were $1.7 billion, $0.3 billion lower than projected in January. This decrease was due partly to lower costs than expected for some projects and partly to the fact that many grantees are withholding final payments on completed projects until they are reviewed and corrections are completed. Department of Defense-Military Military procurement increased $2.9 billion from the January estimate, to $25.4 billion. The February amendment for U.S. purchase of equipment, originally ordered by the Iranian government, increased outlays by about $500 million. The balance of the increase resulted from faster than expected performance by contractors. Department of Defense-Civil The Army Corps of Engineers construction programs, including over 200 individual projects, experienced fewer than expected delays and greater than expected inflation, increasing 1979 outlays to $2.9 billion, $0.3 billion above the January estimate. Department of Energy Outlays for 1979 were $7.9 billion, $1.1 billion less than the January estimate. The decline was due primarily to the decision to halt purchases of oil for the strategic petroleum reserve program because of the shortage of oil in the world markets caused by the Iranian crisis. This decrease is a net figure, reflecting an offset of $0.7 billion attributable to the fact that receipts from the sale of oil (which increases net outlays), which were assumed in January to appear in the Department of Energy, were recorded in the Funds Appropriated to the President section of the budget. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare The increase for social security was primarily due to higher than expected average benefit payments, more retroactive payments, and a higher than expected June cost-of-living adjustment. The January estimate assumed a 9.1% adjustment, while the actual adjustment was 9.9%. The increased outlays for medicaid resulted from higher than anticipated State expenditures under the program. -5epartment of Housing and Urban Development Outlays for community development block grants were $3.2 billion in 1979, an increase of $0.3 billion since the January estimate. The January estimate was low primarily because it is difficult to anticipate the rate at which localities will use the funds. Department of Labor For employment and training assistance, the actual outlays were $6.2 billion, $1.0 billion lower than the January estimate. The January figures were based on preliminary estimates of the effect of the October 1978 amendments to the Comprehensive Employment and Training Act (CETA) and assumed enactment of a supplemental for the private sector employment initiative, newly authorized by CETA:Title VII. The amendments caused delays in grantee spending as administrative systems were changed and new rules, especially for public service jobs, went into effect. The July estimates were based on a better understanding of these changes and reduced outlay estimates by $779 million. The July estimates also recognized that the Congress would not enact the supplemental. The final shortfall is probably the result, in part, of uncertainty over the 1980 appropriation level, leading to conservative use by grantees of available funds near the end of the year. For the black lung disability trust fund, the $0.3 billion increase over the January budget reflects the supplemental that was needed because the re-examination of previously denied claims (required by the Black Lung Benefits Act of 1977) proceeded faster, more claims were approved, and the average size of retroactive payments was higher than previously anticipated. Department of Transportation Federal Highway Administration outlays were $7.3 billion, $0.4 billion higher than estimated in January. The increase was due to more construction than anticipated in Federal-aid highways, and to expanded use of State funds for interstate construction in 1978 and early 1979, thus increasing Federal outlays in 1979. Other transportation outlays were down primarily because Federal Railroad Administration outlays of $1.2 billion were ?0". 3 billion below the January estimate. The shortfall was largely the result of lower than expected activity for the Northeast corridor rail project. This decrease was partially offset by Urban Mass Transit Administration outlays of $2.5 billion in 1979, which were $0.2 billion higher than the January estimate. -6Department of the Treasury The January estimate included $0.2 billion for the^ proposed targeted fiscal assistance program for 1979, but it was not enacted. The payments to U.S. territories, also $0.2 billion, were not made because of a ruling by the Comptroller General that the payments must be appropriated. The ruling was made late in the year, and no appropriation was requested for 1979. ^ There were net increases in offsetting receipts of $0.3 billion, primarily from earnings on Treasury tax and loan accounts. ^ In addition, there was a net increase in outlays of $0.6 billion, resulting from operations of the Exchange Stabilization Fund. These operations were not projected in the January estimate. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Outlays for EPA were $4.8 billion in 1979, $0.6 billion higher than estimated in January. All of the increase is for the sewage treatment plant construction program, partly because increased technical assistance by Federal officials to grantees made it possible for construction to proceed faster. Veterans Administration (VA) The VA had outlays of $19.9 billion in 1979, down $0.4 billion from the January estimate. Most of the decrease was due to later than expected commitment of funds in the medical care program. Table 2.—1979 BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY AGENCY: (fiscal years; in millions of dollars) CHANGE FROM JANUARY 1979 1978 Actual January Budget Estimate* Change from January Estimate Actual 180,988 59,952 203,602 70,307 217,841 65,677 14,239 -4,630 103,893 13,850 119,749 15,870 120,074 15,387 325 -483 5,668 6,170 6,130 ^40 Receipts by Source Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributions: Employment taxes and contributions Unemployment insurance Contributions for other insurance and retirement i Subtotal, Social insurance taxes and contributions Excise taxes Estate and gift'taxes Customs Miscellaneous Total, Receipts 71 123,410 18,376 5,285 6,573 401,997 7,413 141,789 18,395 5,686 7,517 455,989 8,693 141,591 18,745 5,411 7,439 465,940 9,237 -197 350 -275 -78 9,951 544 Table 2 (continued) 1979 1978 Actual January Budget Estimate* Actual_ Change from January Estimate Outlays by Major Agency Legislative branch and the Judiciary Executive Office of the President Funds appropriated to the President: Disaster relief Military assistance programs Foreign economic assistance Petroleum reserves Other Subtotal, Funds appropriated to the President Agriculture: Commodity Credit Corporation, foreign assistance, and special export Farmers Home Administration Food and Nutrition Service Other Subtotal, Agriculture Commerce: Local public works program Other Subtotal, Commerce Defense-Military: Procurement Other Subtotal, Defense-Military Defense-Civi1 Energy 1,484 75 1,736 88 1,557 80 -179 -9 461 96 3,469 162 262 275 424 3,768 239 384 284 -947 3,312 -458 345 9 -1,371 -457 -696 -39 4,450 5,090 2,537 -2,554 c!o I 6,465 1,638 8,653 3,613 6,103 537 9,832 3,734 4,587 1,897 10,513 3,636 -1,515 1,361 682 -98 20,368 20,205 20,634 429 3,057 2,181 2,051 2,280 1,741 2,331 -310 51 5,239 4,331 4,072 -260 19,976 83,066 22,476 89,424 25,404 89,609 2,928 185 103,042 2,553 6, 286 111,900 2,644 8,946 115,013 2,908 7,889 3,113 265 -1,057 Table 2 (continued) 1979 Health Education, and Welfare: Social security (OASDI net) Medicare and medicaid Education division Other Subtotal, Health Education, and Welfare. Housing and Urban Development: Community development grants Other Subtotal, Housing and Urban Development. Interior Justice Labor: Employment and training assistance Unemployment trust fund Black lung disability trust fund Other Subtotal, Labor State Transportation: Federal Highway Administration Other Change from January Estimate 1978 Actual January Budget Estimate* Actual 92,242 35,891 8,764 25,959 102,323 40,900 10,794 26,696 102,595 41,564 10,713 26,313 273 664 -81 -383 162,856 180,714 181,186 472 2,464 5,125 2,875 6,087 3,161 6,057 286 -30 7,589 3,821 2, 397 8,962 4,015 2,586 9,218 4,087 2,522 256 72 -64 4,764 11,169 112 6,851 7,110 11,000 314 4,429 6,158 11,173 622 4,697 -952 173 308 268 22,896 1,252 22,854 1, 399 22,650 1,548 -203 149 6,076 7,376 6,885 8,478 7,253 8,232 368 -246 Subtotal, Transportation Treasury: Interest on the public debt Other 13,452 15,363 15,486 122 48,695 7,660 59,800 5,662 59,837 5,179 37 484 Subtotal, Treasury Environmental Protection Agency 56,355 4,071 65,462 4,194 65,016 4,800 •446 606 vo • Table 2 (continued) 1979 1978 Actual General Services Administration National Aeronautics and Space Administration... Veterans Administration Community Services Administration Export-Import Bank Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Federal Home Loan Bank Board Office of Personnel Management Postal Service payment Railroad Retirement Board Small Business Administration Other Undistributed offsetting receipts: Federal employer contributions to retirement funds Interest received by trust funds Rents and royalties on the Outer Continental Shelf Total, Outlays Deficit (-) * 83 3,980 18,962 768 -106 -567 -403 10,952 1,778 4,075 2,766 6,133 January Budget Estimate* 158 4,401 20,315 668 91 -1,121 -390 12,529 1,803 4,382 1,523 7,191 Actual 173 4,187 19,887 779 200 -1,218 -488 12,655 1,787 4,365 1,631 6,972 Change from January Estimate 15 -214 -428 111 109 -97 -98 126 -17 -16 109 -219 , r-» 1 -4,983 -8,530 -5,388 -9,782 -5,271 -9,951 117 -168 -2,259 -3,500 -3,267 233 450,836 493,368 493,641 273 ======= ======= -37,379 -27,701 -48,839 9,678 January 1979 from the 1980 Budget. MOTE: Detail may not add to totals due to rounding. The administrative expenses and interest receipts of the Exchange Stabilization Fund, which previously were excluded from the budget, are now included. Because of the latter change, the 1978 and 1979 figures differ slightly from those in the Monthly Treasury Statement. Erratum to the Final Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the United States Government for the period October 1, 1978 through September 30, 1979. General note B on page 3 should read as follows: The joint Treasury/Office of Management and Budget press statement released with this Monthly Treasury Statement has adjusted these totals to include operating expenses and interest receipts of the Exchange Stabilization Fund. The totals in the press release are $493.6 billion for outlays and $-27.7 billion for the deficit. Final1 Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the United States Government for period *rom October 1,1978 through September 30,1979 TABLE l-TOTALS OF BUDGET RESULTS A N D FINANCING (In millions) M e a n s of Financing Budget Receipts and Outlays Period Net Receipts mparative data: Actual 1978 (twelve months) timated 1979 2 2 tjmated 1980 Budget Surplus (+) or Deficit (-) Net Outlays By Reduction of Cash and Monetary Assets Increase (-) By Borrowing from the Public Total Budget Financing By Other Means $47,295 465,940 $29,625 493,221 +$17,670 -27,281 $4,249 33,641 -$16,562 -408 -$5,358 -5,951 -$17,670 27,281 401,997 466,497 513,865 450,938 496,758 547,092 -48,940 -30,261 -33,227 59,106 31,200 42,887 -3,023 9,944 -7,143 -10,883 -9,660 48,940 30,261 33,227 TABLE ll-SUMMARY OF BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS (In millions) Classification Budget Estimates Full Fiscal Year 2 Actual Comparable Prior Period Actual This Fiscal Year to Date Actual This Month N E T RECEIPTS ividual income taxes rporation income taxes :ial insurance taxes and contributions: Employment taxes and contributions Unemployment insurance Contributions for other insurance and retirement cise taxes tate and gift taxes stoms duties scellaneous receipts Total, $23,341 9,633 $217,841 65,677 $180,988 59,952 $216,642 67,792 10,310 154 344 1,660 434 559 859 47,295 120,074 15,387 6,130 18,745 5,411 7,439 9,237 103,893 13,850 5,668 18,376 5,285 6,573 7,413 119,854 15,296 6,170 18,608 5,380 7,400 9,355 465,940 401,997 466,497 84 34 5 1,077 480 80 1,049 435 75 1,220 511 89 212 84 52 904 278 9,353 347 685 6,413 826 458 191 1,855 122 1,462 -960 -95 -600 839 1,476 222 20,634 4,072 115,013 2,908 7,889 181,186 9,218 4,087 2,522 22,650 1,548 15,486 6,848 59,837 -2,089 4,800 173 4,187 19,887 26,682 -5,271 -9,951 -3,267 2,004 1,523 932 20,368 5,239 103,042 2,553 6,264 162,856 7,597 3,795 2,397 22,951 1,252 13,452 6,823 48,695 939 4,071 117 3,980 18,962 25,339 -4,983 -8,530 -2,259 2,517 1,566 983 21,459 4,123 112,815 2,894 7,554 181,936 8,866 4,004 2,542 23,387 1,479 15,291 6,852 60,100 -1,636 4,386 121 4,239 20,269 27,574 -5,391 -9,783 -3,209 29,625 493,221 450,938 496,758 +17,670 -27,281 -48,940 -30,261 NET OUTLAYS gislative Branch e Judiciary ecutive Office of the President rids Appropriated to the President: nternational security assistance international development assistance. Dther partment of Agriculture partment of C o m m e r c e partment of Defense - Military partment of Defense - Civil partment of Energy partment of Health, Education, and Welfare. partment of Housing and Urban Development. partment of the Interior partment of Justice partment of Labor partment of State partment of Transportation partment of the Treasury: Jeneral revenue sharing nterest on the public debt rironmental Protection Agency )ther leral Services Administration ional Aeronautics and Space Administration erans Administration >er independent agencies listributed offsetting receipts: federal employer contributions to retirement funds nterest on certain Government accounts tents and royalties on the Outer Continental Shelf lands. Total, •plus (+) or deficit (-) footnotes on page 3. rce: Bureau of Government Financial Operations, Department of the Treasury. 4,360 -329 424 90 387 597 2,384 10 TABLE III--BUDGET RECEIPTS A N D OUTLAYS-Continued (In thousands) Current Fiscal Year to Date This Month Classification of Receipts Gross Receipts Refunds (Deduct) Net Receipts Gross Receipts Refunds (Deduct) Net Receipts Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year Gross Receipts Refunds (Deduct) Net Receipts i Individual income taxes: Withheld Presidential Election Campaign Fund Other 3 , '/.'. $16,193,722 159 3 7,349,082 23,542,963 Total--FOASI trust fund 3 , Federal disability insurance trust fund: Federal Insurance Contributions Act taxes.„ ......... Self-Employment Contributions Act taxes 3 Total--FDI trust fund Federal hospital insurance trust fund: 3 Self-Employment Contributions Act taxes Receipts from railroad retirement account Deposits by States P r e m i u m s collected for uninsured individuals Total--FHI trust fund , $32,070,370 $180,987,774 5,771,288 65,676,588 65,380,145 5,428,280 59,951,866 449,013 70,996,669 3,733,056 8,680,185 83,409,910 62,366,140 3,302,166 7,859,698 73,528,004 387,225 61,978,915 3,302,166 7,859,698 387,225 73,140,779 12,437,815 671,021 1,474,907 14,583,743 10,517,122 471,623 1,312,550 12,301,296 50,900 10,466,222 471,623 1,312,550 50,900 12,250,396 14,213,688 493,668 196,506 1,843,511 12,094 16,759,467 79,600 14,134,088 493,668 196,506 1,843,511 12,094 105,390 17,079,544 629,442 175,600 1,989,592 16,507 19,890,684 79,600 16,679,867 2,190,293 406 2,189,887 1,822,725 719 1,822,006 -17 10,309,774 120,711,065 636,841 120,074,224 104,411,493 518,444 103,893,049 $201,493 $23,341,470 $33,705,011 9,633,126 71,447,876 6.821,238 J 310,179 -865,564 6,265,853 6,821,238 310,179 -865,564 6,265,853 71,445,682 3,733,056 8,680,185 83,858,923 1,198,450 3 53,395 366,934 1,618,779 1,198,450 53,395 366,934 1,618,779 12,519,847 671,021 1,474,907 14,665,775 82,032 1,633,601 3 53,645 1,633,601 53,645 105,390 513,707 921 513,707 921 2,201,875 2,201,875 17,184,934 629,442 175,600 1,989,592 16,507 19,996,074 223,266 10,096,195 Social insurance taxes and contributions: Employment taxes and contributions: Federal old-age and survivors ins. trust fund: Self-Employment Contributions Act taxes $217,840,966 $165,215,153 39,077 47,803,913 213,058,144 $195,295,203 35,934 56,214,840 251,545,977 ' ''M~$ ,'' 463,068 449,013 82,032 Railroad retirement accounts: 223,249 Total—Employment taxes and contributions. Unemployment insurance: Unemployment trust fund: Railroad Unemployment Ins. Act contributions 10,309,756 -17 89,115 22,000 45,666 2,387 89,115 19,613 45,666 12,272,625 2,958,000 207,542 51,434 12,272,625 2,906,566 207,542 11,031,805 2,642,000 217,883 42,090 11,031,805 2,599,910 217,883 156,781 2,387 154,394 15,438,167 51,434 15,386,733 13,891,687 42,090 13,849,598 33,867 532 33,867 532 2,373,192 262,813 2,373,192 262,813 2,186,489 244,644 2,186,489 244,644 34,400 34,400 2,636,005 2,636,005 2,431,133 2,431,133 301,315 2,089 132 301,315 2,089 132 3,405,596 21,121 1,606 3,405,596 21,121 1,606 3,153,352 19,311 1,600 3,153,352 19,311 1,600 303,536 303,536 3,428,322 3,428,322 3,174,263 3,174,263 Contributions for other insurance and retirement: Federal supplementary medical ins. trust fund: Total--FSMI trust fund Federal employees retirement contributions: Civil service retirement and disability fund .,..,. Foreign service retirement and disability fund... Total—Federal employees retirement See footnotes on page 3. 1 H D L L IIl--DUL>^L 1 HtUEIPTS A N D U U 1LAYS—Continued (In thousands) This Month Classification of Receipts—Continued Social insurance taxes and contributions—Continued Contributions for other insurance and retirement— Continued Other retirement contributions: Gross Receipts Refunds (Deduct) Current Fiscal Year to Date Net Receipts Gross Receipts Refunds (Deduct) Net Receipts Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year Gross Receipts Refunds (Deduct) Net Receipts $6,476 $6,476 $66,042 $66,042 $62,324 $62,324 344,412 344,412 6,130,369 6,130,369 5,667,720 5,667,720 Total—Contributions for other insurance and Total—Social insurance taxes and contributions 10,810,949 $2,370 10,808,579 142,279,601 $688,275 141,591,326 123,970,900 $560,534 123,410,366 960,453 134,003 567,000 18,200 1,679,656 19,279 941,175 134,003 567,000 18,200 1,660,378 9,977,519 1,528,126 7,322,235 221,614 19,049,494 169,253 1,866 133,422 10,202,959 1,328,058 7,041,882 92,050 18,664,949 149,309 2,008 137,447 304,541 9,808,266 1,526,260 7,188,812 221,614 18,744,953 288,765 10,053,649 1,326,050 6,904,434 92,050 18,376,184 5,381,499 96,097 5,285,402 Excise taxes: 19,279 445,467 11,377 434,090 5,519,090 108,534 5,410,556 582,941 23,680 559,261 7,639,620 201,087 7,438,533 6,728,612 155,894 6,572,718 800,682 57,900 25 800,682 57,875 8,326,930 912,158 1,841 8,326,930 910,317 6,641,092 772,598 622 6,641,092 771,976 858,582 25 858,557 9,239,088 1,841 9,237,246 7,413,690 622 7,413,068 48,016,752 721,292 47,295,460 506,720,745 40,780,577 465,940,168 440,597,938 38,600,561 401,997,377 Miscellaneous receipts: GENERAL NOTES Throughout this statement, details may not add to totals due to rounding. The Joint Treasury-Office of Management and Budget Press Statement, released with this Monthly Treasury Statement, has adjusted these totals to include administrative expenses and interest receipts of the Exchange Stabilization Fund. The totals in the press release are $492.5 billion for outlays and -$26.5 billion for the deficit. FOOTNOTES This statement contains the final figures showing budget results for the fiscal year ending September 30, 1979. Based on the revision of the Mid-Session Review of the 1980 Budget released on July 31, 1979; adjusted to include revised estimates for the Energy Security Program and Department of Defense increases. In accordance with the provisions of the Social Security Act, as amended, "Individual Income Taxes Withheld" have been decreased and "Federal Insurance Contribution Act Taxes" correspondingly increased by $82,688 thousand to correct estimates for the quarter ended December 31, 1978. "Individual Income Taxes Other" have been decreased and "Self Employment Contributions Act Taxes" correspondingly increased in the amount of $23,220 thousand to correct estimates for calendar year 1977 and prior. ^Includes $366,934 thousand distributed to the Federal Disability Insurance Trust Fund and $513,707 thousand distributed to the Federal Hospital Insurance Trust Fund. 5 Represents benefit payments customarily paid in September but were paid in August as provided by the early check provision in Public Law 95-216. 6 Includes adjustments to amounts previously reported. 7 The Federal Emergency Management Agency was activated on March 25, 1979, in accordance with Reorganization Plan No. 3 of 1978. Activity of F E M A in this statement represents transactions resulting from appropriations made to the existing component agencies and functions. 8 The Office of Personnel Management and the Merit System Protection Board were established on December 29, 1978, pursuant to Reorganization Plan No. 2 and the Civil Service Reform Act of 1978. These agencies assume the responsibilities formerly vested in the U.S. Civil Service Commission. 9 Effective November 2, 1978, Treasury implemented investments authority provision of Public Law 94-147, enacted October 28, 1977. The Law permits Federal depositaries to select either a Note or Remittance Option tax and loan account. The balance of Treasury operating cash at Note Option depositaries is referred to as "Tax and Loan Note Accounts". The balances in those depositaries choosing the Remittance Option are included in the "Federal Reserve account" category. 10 Effective January 1, 1979, the profit on the sale of Treasury-held gold was reclassified from a proprietary receipt offset against Treasury outlays to a transaction not applied to the current year's surplus or deficit. •"^Represents overstatement in agency reporting in July, corrected this month. W TABLE III--BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS-Contlnued (In thousands) Outlays Legislative Branch: Senate House of Representatives Joint Items Congressional Budget Office Architect of the Capitol Library of Congress Government Printing Office: Revolving fund (net) General fund appropriations General Accounting Office United States Tax Court Other Legislative Branch Agencies Proprietary receipts from the public Intrabudgetary transactions Total--Legislative Branch The Judiciary: Supreme Court of the United States Courts of Appeals, District Courts, and other Judicial Services Other Proprietary receipts from the public Intrabudgetary transactions Total—The Judiciary Executive Office of the President: Compensation of the President and the White House Office Office of Management and Budget Other Total--Executive Office of the President Funds Appropriated to the President: Appalachian Regional Development Programs Disaster relief Foreign Assistance: International Security Assistance: Military assistance , Foreign military credit sales Security supporting assistance Advances, foreign military sales Other Proprietary receipts from the public: Advances, foreign military sales Other Total—International Security Assistance International Development Assistance: Multilateral Assistance: Contributions to International Financial Institutions: See footnotes on page 3. International development association... Applicable Receipts Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year Current Fiscal Year This Month Classification of OUTLAYS Net Outlays Outlays Applicable Receipts Net Outlays Outlays $158,209 289,318 54,184 9,835 100,256 146,380 1,912 115,469 169,507 8,759 14,000 -388 $169,455 303,720 45,746 10,139 93,025 162,626 11,908 101,525 179,613 8,658 17,698 -26,282 1,077,101 -729 1,067,442 9,736 9,736 8,964 441,257 30,363 441,257 30,363 -1,692 401,493 57,311 123 29,989 3,355 -123 34,031 123 33,908 481,357 479,665 436,668 1,545 2,569 (*) 5,083 (*) 969 1,545 2,569 5,083 16,159 29,913 33,642 79,715 16,159 29,788 33,642 79,589 16,822 29,299 28,446 74,567 33,452 49,422 33,444 49,422 304,348 284,220 304,337 284,220 261,729 470,291 17,854 248,338 61,364 845,862 2,347 17,854 248,338 61,364 845,862 2,347 -951,303 -12,316 212,145 139,641 640,259 1,786,014 7,110,679 25,672 169,259 569,549 1,907,872 8,104,016 22,511 $14,166 26,404 472 1,069 7,216 12,890 11,161 1,364 13,851 356 2,274 7,522 91,162 7,529 $169,455 303,810 45,746 10,139 93,025 162,626 11,908 101,525 179,613 8,658 17,698 -729 $14,166 26,397 472 1,069 7,216 12,890 11,161 1,364 13,851 356 2,274 -7,522 83,633 -60 1,103,474 686 686 29,989 3,355 $7 -60 951,303 12,316 1,175,764 963,619 26,282 26,373 1,692 1,692 125 125 11 139,641 640,259 1,786,014 7,110,679 25,672 8,544,542 318,541 9,702,265 375,621 8,863,083 Applicable Receipts $73 18,592 18,666 1,543 -31,100 1,543 54 8,445,172 324,389 -318,541 839,182 10,773,207 375,621 323,325 8,769,560 T A B L E M I - B U D G E T RECEIPTS A N D OUTLAYS-Contlnued (In thousands) Funds Appropriated to the President—Continued Foreign Assistance—Continued International Development-Assistance—Continued Multilateral Assistance--Continued Contributions to International Financial Institutions—C ontinued Applicable Receipts Outlays Net Outlays Operating expenses of the Agency for International Development Other Total—Bilateral Assistance Total—International Development Assistance .... President's foreign assistance contingency fund Total—Foreign Assistance Outlays Applicable Receipts Net Outlays Applicable Receipts Outlays Net Outlays $21,082 $21,082 $235,711 71,265 $235,711 71,265 $381,722 153,171 $381,722 153,171 -21 -21 200,102 200,102 19,600 210,223 19,600 210,223 2,102 1,018 -29,423 99,467 856 9,976 10,162 37,134 837,449 25,676 -64,132 9,829 23,311 837,449 25,676 1,891 6,911 75,869 614,269 24,220 229,810 144,179 206,620 117,768 1,294,385 701,327 229,810 144,179 -613,063 593,058 1,047,549 612,577 206,620 117,768 -533,861 434,972 701,327 1,475,757 2,135,589 612,577 1,523,012 46,702 3,031 34,987 3,627 2,364,672 12,947,411 67,568 -525,208 41,029 2,536,618 354,445 14,034,077 Payment to the International Fund for Bilateral Assistance: Public enterprise funds: Overseas Private Investment Corporation . Inter-American Foundation Other Functional development assistance program Payment to Foreign Service retirement and Comparable Period Prjor Fiscal Year Current Fiscal Year to Date This Month Classification of OUTLAYS—Continued 4,174 1,020 -27,763 99,467 856 14,694 26,851 $2,072 1 1,660 $74,108 333 13,823 $67,286 400 11,030 -65,395 6,511 64,840 614,269 24,220 119,299 56,445 14,694 26,851 -52,712 62,854 140,360 56,445 83,914 2,177,084 1,900 44 46,702 3,031 298,003 11,929,082 45,971 -79,440 565 347,965 67,568 12,626,248 3,458 2,945 3,458 2,945 49,411 32,487 49,411 32,487 5,664 28,921 5,664 28,921 12,588 17,989 39,360 916 8,666 4,338 76,430 26,229 19,352 4,385 9,205 349,248 170,002 720 519,970 12,588 17,989 39,360 916 8,666 4,338 76,430 26,229 19,352 4,385 3,519 -297,474 170,002 720 -126,752 330,119 153,069 272,936 14,427 82,579 49,632 805,900 226,082 232,243 49,133 76,717 10,486,691 170,002 39,421 10,696,114 330,119 153,069 272,936 14,427 82,579 49,632 805,900 226,082 232,243 49,133 -7,938 3,572,102 170,002 39,421 310,055 134,724 251,739 16,979 74,198 44,120 922,885 215,124 264,949 42,351 138,600 12,172,787 -64,646 33,037 310,055 134,724 251,739 16,979 74,198 44,120 922,885 215,124 264,949 42,351 3,781,525 12,141,179 2,102 23,923 23,923 23,429 52,712 1,900 44 1,318,068 1,020,065 613,063 9,564,410 533,861 34,987 3,627 9,382,137 3,565,273 Petroleum Reserves: 45,971 Other.., 79,440 565 1,447,478 1,099,513 525,208 41,029 10,089,630 192,813 201 9,575,004 354,445 -192,813 201 4,459,073 Department of Agriculture: Science and Education Administration: Agricultural Stabilization and Conservation Service: Commodity Credit Corporation: 5,687 646,722 646,722 84,655 6,914,589 6,914,589 81,164 57,436 6,549,440 50,000 5,623,347 -114,646 33,037 6,599,440 5,541,739 Rural Electrification Administration (salaries and 2,102 23,429 01 TABLE III--BUDGET RECEIPTS A N D OUTLAYS-Continued (In thousands) Department of Agriculture—Continued Farmers H o m e Administration: Public enterprise funds: Rural housing insurance fund Agricultural credit insurance fund Rural development insurance fund Other Rural water and waste disposal grants Salaries and expenses Other Total—Farmers Home Administration » Soil Conservation Service: Conservation operations Watershed and flood prevention operations Other Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service Federal Grain Inspection Service Agricultural Marketing Service Food Safety and Quality Service: Salaries and expenses Funds for strengthening markets, income, and supply ( Expenses and refunds, inspection and grading of farm products Food and Nutrition Service: Food program administration Food stamp program Special milk program Child nutrition programs Special supplemental food programs (WIC) Food donations program Total—Food and Nutrition Service Forest Service: Forest management, protection and utilization Construction and land acquisition Forest roads and trails Forest Service permanent appropriations Cooperative work Other Total—Forest Service Other Proprietary receipts from the public Intrabudgetary transactions Total—Department of Agriculture » Department of Commerce: General Administration Bureau of the Census Economic and Statistical Analysis See footnotes on page 3. Outlays $648,491 400,911 69,424 -92 26,216 19,599 3,320 1,167,868 Applicable Receipts Net Outlays Outlays Applicable Receipts Net Outlays Outlays Applicable Receipts $183,822 1,017,151 151,990 -2,151 286,989 211,505 46,193 1,897,499 ^6,761,435 6,472,529 1,300,595 -764 180,034 188,037 31,955 14,933,820 256,417 228,239 75,534 230,098 18,306 46,526 262,928 242,465 174,628 82,393 200,779 11,273 70,066 261,997 273,889 273,889 272,910 272,910 48,853 48,853 46,107 46,107 $449,087 653,451 136,620 -1,363 180,034 188,037 31,955 1,637,821 16,140,443 8,843,078 1,508,919 -1,477 286,989 211,505 48,193 17,037,650 19,189 24,075 7,588 18,108 1,181 2,592 3,692 256,417 228,239 75,534 230,098 18,306 70,781 262,928 5,208 5,208 6,840 6,840 6,390 610,758 2,779 132,144 51,251 26,684 830,005 6,390 610,758 2,779 132,144 51,251 26,684 830,005 71,300 6,821,746 134,086 2,879,668 542,158 64,139 10,513,097 71,300 6,821,746 134,086 2,879,668 542,158 64,139 10,513,097 66,851 5,498,775 138,596 2,526,732 370,569 51,686 8,653,210 66,851 5,498,775 138,596 2,526,732 370,569 51,686 8,653,210 67,432 25,140 39,526 7,908 40,074 5,038 185,119 67,432 25,140 39,526 7,908 40,074 5,038 185,119 927,384 136,869 212,917 364,650 64,018 79,877 1,785,715 927,384 136,869 212,917 364,650 64,018 79,877 1,785,715 782,379 65,719 174,928 327,292 77,261 81,888 1,509,467 782,379 65,719 174,928 327,292 77,261 81,888 1,509,467 3,610 146,109 -20,642 904,380 24,436 17,283 43,820,482 24,436 -1,023,106 -100,230 20,633,725 41,056,112 -24 28,833 1,380 25,858 197,914 16,432 25,858 197,914 16,432 24,096 121,472 14,269 1,591,685 2,000 3,610 -146,109 -20,642 3,004,365 -24 28,833 1,380 2,099,985 15,956,621 7,825,927 1,356,930 673 16,312,348 5,819,078 1,163,975 598 Net Outlays -$253,135 -202,791 -16,902 -123 26,216 19,599 3,320 -423,817 19,189 24,075 7,588 18,108 1,181 4,592 3,692 $901,626 603,702 86,326 31 Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year Current Fiscal Year to Date This Month Classification of O U T L A Y S - -Continued 0) 15,140,151 1 24,255 1,023,106 -i66!230 23,186,757 13,295,999 (*) 23,909 242,465 174,628 82,393 200,779 11,273 46,157 261,997 687,198 17,283 -687,198 -35,203 20,687,711 20,368,401 -35,203 24,096 121,472 . 14,269 T A B L E D E B U D G E T RECEIPTS A N D OUTLAYS-Continued (In thousands) Current Fiscal Year to Date This Month Classification of OUTLAYS—Continued Outlays Department of Commerce—Continued Economic Development Assistance: Economic Development Administration: Economic development assistance programs ... Local public works program Other Regional Action Planning Commissions Total—Economic Development Assistance Promotion of Industry and Commerce Science and Technology: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Patent and Trademark Office Science and Technical Research National Telecommunications and Information Administration Total—Science and Technology Maritime Administration: Public enterprise funds Ship construction , Operating-differential subsidies Other Proprietary receipts from the public Intrabudgetary transactions Total—Department of Commerce Department of Defense—Military: Military Personnel: Department of the A r m y , Department of the Navy Department of the Air Force , Total—Military Personnel Retired Military Personnel « Operation and Maintenance: Department of the A r m y Department of the Navy Department of the Air Force Defense agencies Total—Operation and Maintenance Procurement: Department of the A r m y Department of the Navy Department of the Air Force Defense agencies Total--Procurement , , • $40,678 65,461 2,231 5,459 113,829 Applicable Receipts 1,775 4,775 10,589 Net Outlays Outlays $40,678 65,461 -2,545 5,459 109,054 $435,561 1,740,678 74,952 106,143 2,357,334 10,589 145,037 731,031 97,124 102,946 20,653 Applicable Receipts Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year Net Outlays Outlays Applicable Receipts $435,561 1,740,678 10,863 106,143 2,293,246 $329,856 3,057,363 199,663 103,149 3,690,031 145,037 140,564 2,003 729,028 97,124 102,946 20,653 683,871 91,763 96,027 4,005 1,755 $64,088 64,088 $58,863 58,863 71,381 7,488 11,097 1,605 214 71,167 7,488 11,097 1,605 91,571 214 91,358 951,753 2,003 949,750 875,666 1,755 -964 17,207 23,859 3,951 -3,391 -3,660 278,191 33,332 200,777 300,522 71,693 -48,590 58,909 108,607 156,657 303,194 72,554 -46,179 42,734 4,252,063 180,298 -25,577 200,777 300,522 71,693 -55,297 -48,590 4,071,765 5,460,933 919,438 770,126 683,915 2,373,479 919,438 770,126 683,915 2,373,479 10,943,273 9,117,173 8,346,725 28,407,171 10,943,273 9,117,173 8,346,725 28,407,171 10,450,163 8,688,661 7,936,523 27,075,347 943,379 943,379 10,279,058 10,279,058 9,171,474 844,270 1,092,625 777,144 284,962 2,999,000 844,270 1,092,625 777,144 284,962 2,999,000 10,365,093 12,301,979 10,475,850 3,281,383 36,424,304 10,365,093 12,301,979 10,475,850 3,281,383 36,424,304 9,616,754 11,266,342 9,757,321 2,937,554 33,577,971 224,536 920,819 713,312 17,214 1,875,880 224,536 920,819 713,312 17,214 1,875,880 4,464,526 11,796,724 8,905,780 237,225 25,404,254 4,464,526 11,796,724 8,905,780 237,225 25,404,254 3,223,817 9,197,137 7,334,942 219,657 19,975,554 2,552 17,207 23,859 3,951 '-3*660 3,516 290,088 11,897 3,391 55,297 118,791 222,143 19,975,554 N| a> TABLE HI-BUDGET RECEIPTS A N D OUTLAYS-Continued (In thousands) Outlays Department of Defense—Military—Continued Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation: Department of the Army Department of the Navy Department of the Air Force Defense agencies Current Fiscal Year to Date This Month Classification of OUTLAYS-Continued Applicable Receipts Net Outlays Outlays Applicable Receipts Net Outlays Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year Outlays Applicable Receipts Net Outlays $195,957 391,685 270,686 73,697 $195,957 391,685 270,686 73,697 $2,408,870 3,826,449 4,079,757 837,101 $2,408,870 3,826,449 4,079,757 837,101 $2,342,208 3,824,871 3,626,026 714,859 $2,342,208 3,824,871 3,626,026 714,859 932,025 932,025 11,152,177 11,152,177 10,507,964 10,507,964 Military Construction: Department of the Army Department of the Navy Department of the Air Force Defense agencies 65,045 72,870 62,889 1,425 65,045 72,870 62,889 1,425 701,942 759,708 614,786 3,550 701,942 759,708 614,786 3,550 737,194 634,045 537,152 23,113 737,194 634,045 537,152 23,113 Total--Military Construction 202,229 202,229 2,079,987 2,079,987 1,931,504 1,931,504 Family Housing Revolving and Management Funds: Public Enterprise Funds Intragovernmental Funds: Department of the Army Department of the Navy Department of the Air Force Defense Agencies Other Proprietary receipts from the public Intrabudgetary transactions Total—Department of Defense—Military 149,073 148,871 1,470,525 $3,007 1,467,517 1,407,960 13,187 1,404,773 3,064 -1,559 1,622 2,216 -593 Total--Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation Department of Defense—Civil: Corps of Engineers: General investigations Construction, general Operations and maintenance, general Flood control Other Proprietary receipts from the public Total--Corps of Engineers The Panama Canal: Canal Zone Government Panama Canal Company Proprietary receipts from the public Intrabudgetary transactions Other Proprietary receipts from the public Total--Department of Defense—Civil Department of Energy Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Public Health Service: Food and Drug Administration Health Services Administration: Health services Indian health services and facilities Emergency health Center for Disease Control. 123 -18,511 -124,207 31,153 8,259 17,656 $203 208 16,097 4,284 -15,478 9,374,061 13,849 181,380 96,933 39,298 -7,823 323,637 13,539 56,404 20,792 4,910 4,910 -84 -18,511 -124,207 31,153 8,259 1,559 -4,284 -15,478 9,353,270 13,849 181,380 96,933 39,298 -7,823 -4,910 318,727 1,504 108,909 118,784 -9,766 69,227 208,113 191,874 492,493 "*-i6!760 115,703,486 124,293 1,609,906 806,418 252,891 149,567 2,943,075 74,824 363,837 690,439 108,909 118,784 -9,766 69,227 16,238 -492,493 -10,760 115,013,047 71,155 301,273 307 3,246 74,824 -459 -49,239 -23,671 23,971 -3,246 56,850 25 312 390,877 43,457 347,420 3,382,344 473,938 2,908,406 775,129 89,739 685,390 8,743,768 854,976 7,888,792 19,598 432 19,166 307,132 7,299 135,489 50,222 135,489 50,222 23,554 23,554 1,183,174 555,455 3 238,335 -4,473 1,770 -23,671 24,278 103,360,052 96,145 1,428,768 757,278 230,341 99,096 56,850 364,297 49,239 163,431 149,118 -11,050 124,293 1,609,906 806,418 252,891 149,567 -56,850 2,886,226 13,539 25,236 -7,043 -4,473 1,745 -312 31,168 7,043 -180,858 -61,302 69,718 -255,584 149,732 2,611,628 317,951 57,827 57,827 -180,858 -61,302 69,718 -255,584 -13,700 -149,118 -11,050 103,042,101 96,145 1,428,768 757,278 230,341 99,096 -57,827 2,553,801 276 3,275 71,155 -23,613 -46,372 -20,431 21,932 -3,275 2,985,835 432,637 2,553,198 7,115,331 851,232 6,264,099 299,834 283,410 7,439 1,183,174 555,455 3 238,335 1,078,694 467,232 -9 187,982 -20,431 22,209 324,887 46,372 275,971 1,078,694 467,232 -9 187,982 T A B L E III—BUDGET RECEIPTS A N D OUTLAYS-Continued (In thousands) »<— Current Fiscal Year to Date This Month Classification of OUTLAYS--Continued Department of Health, Education, and Welfare--Continued Public Health Service--Continued National Institutes of Health: Intragovernmental Cancer Research funds. . Heart, Lung, and Blood Research Arthritis, Metabolism, and Digestive Diseases .... Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke and Infectious Diseases , Allergy General Medical Sciences Outlays Applicable Receipts Net Outlays Outlays Applicable Receipts Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year Outlays Applicable Receipts Net Outlays $6,677 94,498 50,370 30,478 23,862 13,156 26,229 12,408 18,880 9,945 5,338 291,841 $6,677 94,498 50,370 30,478 23,862 13,156 26,229 12,408 18,880 9,945 5,338 291,841 -$11,099 861,205 453,997 263,015 194,234 167,871 246,509 164,252 250,009 159,255 120,317 2,869,565 -$11,099 861,205 453,997 263,015 194,234 167,871 246,509 164,252 250,009 159,255 120,317 2,869,565 -$517 880,517 393,993 223,029 175,092 158,379 215,225 166,715 225,734 129,883 107,653 2,675,703 2,675,703 47,509 47,509 1,008,903 1,008,903 1,006,067 1,006,067 1,899 43,677 24,651 638,006 52,376 555,488 181,861 6,952,291 35,911 555,488 181,861 6,928,528 53,353 918,467 116,178 6,787,077 238 1,076,238 566,115 10,392 4,451 1,569,903 33,647 238 1,076,238 566,115 10,392 4,451 1,569,903 33,647 -1,413 12,407,317 7,747,968 101,507 -8,882 19,898,459 444,572 -1,413 12,407,317 7,747,968 101,507 -8,882 19,898,459 444 572 265 10,679,881 7,242,941 58,542 -6,897 17,415,132 44fi r\A}\ 17,415,132 446,545 1,603,550 1,603,550 20,343,031 20,343,031 17,861,676 17,861,676 683,869 43,763 683,869 43,763 8,259,077 554,504 8,259,077 554,504 6,852,252 6,852,252 727,632 727,632 8,813,581 8,813,581 7,356,491 7,356,491 3,988,616 3,988,616 49,403,109 49,403,109 43,192,900 43,192,900 16,530 23,132 268,115 563 118,290 11,723 58,667 68,231 958,978 34,044 3,133,227 60,581 911,587 317,078 589,120 775,376 897,944 5,605 3,133,227 60,581 911,587 317,078 589,120 775,376 577,838 55,540 2,814,994 58,697 766,349 231,699 327,032 692,967 Alcohol, Drug Abuse, and Mental Health Health Resources Administration: Health resources Net Outlays » 2,001 43,677 24,651 638,540 $102 534 $16,465 23,764 -$517 880,517 393,993 223,029 175,092 158,379 215,225 166,715 225,734 129,883 107,653 $22,111 31,241 918,467 116,178 29,551 6,757,527 Health Care Financing Administration: Federal hospital insurance trust fund: 265 10,679,881 7,242,941 58,542 -6,897 Federal supplementary medical ins. trust fund: Education Division: Office of Education: Public enterprise funds: School assistance in federally affected areas Occupational, vocational, and adult education 22,888 24,623 268,115 563 118,290 11,723 58,667 68,231 6,358 1,491 61,035 28,439 504 9AC\ 004,240 32,141 26,467 545,697 29,074 2,814,994 58,697 766,349 231,699 327,032 692,967 (0 TABLE HI-BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS-Continued (In thousands) Department of Health, Education, and Welfare--Continued Education Division—Continued Office of Education—Continued Applicable Receipts Outlays $257,639 27,106 24,758 11,829 10,515 904,947 $7,849 6,538 2,221 913,706 7,849 Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year Current Fiscal Year to Date This Month Classification of O U T L A Y S - - Continued Net Outlays Outlays Applicable Receipts Net Outlays Outlays Applicable Receipts Net Outlays $2,515,494 294,200 208,989 129,513 59,638 $2,871,316 564,623 255,888 130,781 101,613 10,614,739 $2,515,494 294,200 208,989 129,513 59,638 8,732,950 69,373 28,925 64,293 24,983 10,713,037 8,822,226 756,892 989,387 5,471,126 6,610,490 140,625 24 87,591,968 1,072,373 1,447,532 16,980 90,128,853 756,892 989,387 5,471,126 6,610,490 140,625 24 87,591,968 1,072,373 1,447,532 16,980 90,128,853 740,930 982,230 5,854,560 6,639,462 143,290 24 78,524,092 1,086,238 1,588,664 6,461 81,205,455 13,428,454 406,778 29,906 78,886 13,944,024 12,213,895 327,254 29,797 84,339 12,655,285 12,655,285 $257,639 27,106 24,758 11,829 10,515 897,097 $2,871,316 564,623 255,888 130,781 101,613 10,704,213 6,538 2,221 69,373 28,925 905,857 10,802,511 $89,474 89,474 $58,608 8,674,343 64,293 24,983 58,608 8,763,619 Social Security Administration: Special benefits for disabled coal miners Federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund: Payment to railroad retirement account Federal disability insurance trust fund: 5 H u m a n development services Total--Human Development Services Departmental Management Proprietary receipts from the public See footnotes on page 3. 757 49,078 556,308 10,270 2 80,489 64,119 976 976 145,584 145,584 5 Total--FDI trust fund Special Institutions H u m a n Development Services: 757 49,078 556,308 10,270 2 5 80,489 64,119 740,930 982,230 5,854,560 6,639,462 143,290 24 78,524,092 1,086,238 1,588,664 6,461 81,205,455 81,553 53,957 81,553 53,957 7,024 7,024 142,534 142,534 13,428,454 406,778 29,906 78,886 13,944,024 904,534 904,534 118,041,422 118,041,422 108,221,236 108,221,236 14,909 14,909 174,278 174,278 151,791 151,791 243,000 217,540 41,556 309 502,405 243,000 217,540 41,556 309 502,405 3,090,730 2,241,227 385,042 1,599 5,718,598 3,090,730 2,241,227 385,042 1,599 5,718,598 2,808,723 2,077,621 364,099 1,821 5,252,264 2,808,723 2,077,621 364,099 1,821 23,000 1,958 230,333 230,333 -56,742 174,204 23,000 -1,958 56,742 12,213,895 327,254 29,797 84,339 5,252,264 35,073 174,204 -35.073 TABLE HI-BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS-Continued (In thousands) Classification of O U T L A Y S - - Continued Department of Health, Education, and Welfare--Continued intrabudgetary transactions: Payments for health insurance for the aged: Federal supplementary medical insurance trust fund. Payments for military service credits and special benefits for the aged: Federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund . Federal disability insurance trust fund Receipts transferred to railroad retirement account.. Interest on reimbursement of administrative and vocational rehabilitation expenses: Federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund. Federal disability insurance trust fund Federal supplementary medical insurance trust fund. Other Total—Department of Health, Education, and Welfare. Department of Housing and Urban Development: Housing Programs: Public enterprise funds: Payments for operation of low income housing Outlays Applicable Receipts Net Outlays -$566,116 -$566,116 Applicable Receipts Net Outlays Net Outlays Outlays -$733,849 -6,840,785 -$733,849 -6,840,785 -$716,941 -6,385,503 -$716,941 -6,385,503 -615,229 -141,663 -141,000 -1,477,438 -615,229 -141,663 -141,000 -1,477,438 -612,927 -128,003 -142,997 -1,618,461 -612,927 -128,003 -142,997 -1,618,461 -435 -1,431 884 -431 -15,549 181,185,638 1,794 -2,098 88 217 -17,239 162,979,627 1,794 -2,098 192,848 459,382 -3,414 65,992 -6,902 3,559,120 653,584 6,152 4,926,762 Outlays Applicable Receipts 6,419,594 $6,426 6,413,168 -435 -1,431 884 -431 -15,549 181,355,617 136,822 58,748 13,711 12,915 12,204 311,941 44,954 -11,034 580,261 152,433 3,554 6,106 1,462 73,816 -15,611 55,194 7,605 11,453 -61,612 311,941 44,954 -11,034 342,891 1,622,593 495,340 160,649 82,879 328,183 3,559,120 653,584 6,152 6,908,501 1,429,745 35,958 164,064 16,887 335,085 -127 67,515 1,143 -4,330 11,467 75,668 677,380 1,539,953 73,061 7,253 -11,682 2,285,965 619,848 1,269,220 108,616 61,878 12,737 41,835 307,691 15,003 4,324 167 381,757 149,121 472,001 3,161,229 73,167 61,613 14,535 3,931,666 48,799 190,902 237,370 Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year Current Fiscal Year to Date This Month $169,980 1,981,739 88 217 -17,239 $123,232 162,856,396 1,728,780 200,144 104,836 968 249,667 2,920,223 691,329 -33,717 5,862,228 1,372,015 23,778 166,094 13,158 229,646 356,764 176,366 -61,259 -12,191 20,021 2,920,223 1,804,691 4,057,536 57,532 270,733 -35,555 -54,625 -11,682 226,402 734,249 1,118,271 72,077 58,323 -20,529 1,962,389 788,877 758,493 114,715 99,716 -54,629 359,778 -42,638 -41,393 -20,529 200,588 100,322 281,099 3,161,229 73,167 61,613 14,535 3,691,965 84,187 543,933 2,464,267 67,083 10,750 3,170,220 691,329 -33,717 Government National Mortgage Association: Total—Government National Mortgage Association . Community Planning and Development: Public enterprise fund: Total--Community Planning and Development 48,772 94,991 4,567 -48 11,467 159,749 48,899 27,476 3,424 4,282 16,469 72,502 307,691 15,003 4,324 167 416,155 3,732 30,667 84,081 34,398 2,059,562 239,701 1,761,802 37,011 168,255 205,266 47,176 375,678 2,464,267 67,083 10,750 2,964,954 IU TABLE HI-BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS-Continued (In thousands) Classification of O U T L A Y S - -Continued Department of Housing and Urban Development--Continued N e w Communities Development Corporation Other. Total--Department of Housing and Urban Development Department of the Interior: Land and Water Resources: Bureau of Land Management: Payments in lieu of taxes Other Bureau of Reclamation: Construction and rehabilitation Operation and maintenance Other Outlays Applicable Receipts Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year Current Fiscal Year to Date This Month Net Outlays Outlays Applicable Receipts Net Outlays $31,154 273,938 69,872 -2,003 9,218,091 Outlays Applicable Receipts Net Outlays $106,698 222,956 55,953 $8,221 3,653 $98,477 222,956 55,953 -3,653 11,380,443 3,783,633 7,596,810 $1,365 18,407 6,398 -139 826,347 $33,271 273,938 69,872 $2,116 13,503,212 4,285,121 29,085 91,779 11,792 19,626 28,832 9,698 12,284 1,682 204,778 307,445 105,438 387,608 219,921 330,035 80,981 133,219 23,702 1,588,348 43,509 43,509 653,737 653,737 667,014 667,014 16,584 5,731 7,739 16,584 5,731 7,739 197,117 90,762 85,236 197,117 90,762 85,236 167,251 87,584 60,769 167,251 87,584 60,769 32,548 9,761 3,621 119,493 32,548 9,761 3,621 119,493 365,416 91,530 26,397 1,510,195 365,416 91,530 26,397 1,510,195 331,454 94,561 22,493 1,431,125 331,454 94,561 22,493 1,431,125 36,663 36,663 598,036 598,036 501,795 501,795 $1,787 18,407 6,398 $421 1,182,757 356,410 29,085 91,779 11,792 30,140 28,832 9,698 12,284 1,682 215,292 139 10,514 10,514 2,003 58,014 58,014 307,445 105,438^ 387,608 161,907 330,035 80,981 133,219 23,702 1,530,335 274,808 97,608 367,447 196,974 323,735 79,266 137,250 17,620 1,494,710 274,808 97,608 367,447 68,631 128,344 323,735 79,266 137,250 17,620 68,631 1,426,079 Fish and Wildlife and Parks: United States Fish and Wildlife Service: Recreational resources Other National Park Service: Energy and Minerals: Office of Surface Mining Reclamation and Total--Energy and Minerals 4,943 11,745 400 4,943 11,345 47,572 155,040 11,683 47,572 143,357 5,412 135,463 14,051 5,412 121,412 53,351 400 52,951 800,648 11,683 788,965 642,669 14,051 628,619 952 60,785 13,809 71,803 2,507 149,856 432 519 60,785 13,809 71,803 2,507 149,424 8,482 691,559 198,116 292,865 49,099 1,240,121 7,029 1,453 691,559 198,116 292,865 49,099 1,233,092 13,092 643,943 165,843 255,826 63,120 1,141,825 6,442 6,650 643,943 165,843 255,826 63,120 6,442 1,135,383 Bureau of Indian Affairs: Construction Indian tribal funds .... Total--Bureau of Indian Affairs 432 7,029 TABLE HI-BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS-Continued (In thousands) This Month Classification of O U T L A Y S - - Continued Outlays Department of the Interior--Continued 1 Office of Territorial Affairs Net Outlays Outlays Applicable Receipts Net Outlays Outlays Applicable Receipts Net Outlays $226,243 56,176 -1,150,130 -107,868 $176,808 38,738 4,087,007 4,856,266 26,470 387,630 585,991 304,963 184,781 347,399 699,931 -15,450 2,521,715 23,444 340,344 552,001 274,681 177,883 324,113 724,075 2,416,541 90,183 6,158,034 207,832 3,285,210 825,056 90,183 6,158,034 207,832 3,285,210 825,056 89,299 4,763,671 134,333 4,769,404 1,165,356 89,299 4,763,671 134,333 4,769,404 1,165,356 3,201 65,133 65,133 46,356 46,356 73,355 1 73,355 1 576,084 2,981 576,084 2,981 1,109,907 -980 1,109,907 -980 626,833 626,833 8,585,261 8,585,261 9,368,307 9,368,307 136,053 2,723 86 200,000 136,053 2,723 86 200,000 1,562,561 68,877 768 800,000 1,562,561 68,877 768 800,000 1,521,606 67,306 1,061 1,521,606 67,306 1,061 10,524 1,138 10,524 1,138 142,061 12,698 142,061 12,698 197,370 10,710 197,370 10,710 755 755 2,767 2,767 $26,948 $26,948 -4,161 -91,835 $226,243 56,176 103,180 457,599 5,313,864 967 -423 30,646 41,534 28,988 14,150 28,183 52,615 -4,589 191,104 26,470 387,630 585,991 304,963 184,781 359,148 699,931 2,548,913 5,946 569,996 15,122 192,561 93,454 3,201 5,946 569,996 15,122 192,561 93,454 6 -4,161 560,780 Lfepartment of Justice: General Administration Legal Activities Applicable Receipts Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year Current Fiscal Year to Date $91,835 -423 30,646 41,534 28,988 14,150 29,150 52,615 4,589 196,660 5,556 $1,150,130 -107,868 1,226,856 11,749 15,450 27,199 $972,378 $176,808 38,738 -972,378 -69,610 1,061,501 3,794,765 -69,610 12,088 7 7,074 19,169 23,444 340,344 552,001 274,681 177,883 312,025 724,068 -7,074 2,397,372 Department of Labor; Employment and Training Administration: Community service employment for older Americans .. Grants to States for unemployment insurance and Advances to the unemployment trust fund and other Unemployment trust fund: Federal-State unemployment insurance: Grants to States for unemployment insurance and Repayment of advances from the general fund Railroad-unemployment insurance: Payment of interest on advances from railroad Total--Employment and Training Administration .. 977,356 977,356 11,172,982 11,172,982 11,169,128 11,169,128 1,930,991 1,930,991 22,383,496 22,383,496 23,246,473 23,246,473 3,810 3,810 55,138 55,138 54,392 54,392 8,679 56,291 110,600 620 14,521 8,679 56,291 110,600 620 14,521 151,178 190,392 621,926 7,791 154,915 151,178 190,392 621,926 7,791 154,915 107,226 191,469 112,143 4,998 147,380 107,226 191,469 112,143 4,998 147,380 E m p l o y m e n t Standards Administration: See footnotes on page 3. CO TABLE HI-BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS-Continued (In thousands) Classification of O U T L A Y S - - Continued Net Outlays Outlays $10,394 4,202 8,521 -278 -293,355 1,854,995 $131,416 87,615 71,217 -1,200,809 22,654,276 65,842 65,842 15,170 Outlays Applicable Receipts Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year Current Fiscal Year to Date This Month Applicable Receipts Net Outlays Department of Labor—Continued 669,837 655,217 655,217 15,170 107,506 107,506 57,283 57,283 83,800 10,793 -2,093 173,511 83,800 10,793 -2,093 173,511 125,369 113,202 8,250 1,024,164 125,369 113,202 8,250 1,024,164 107,407 93,683 4,473 918,063 107,407 93,683 4,473 918,063 1,619 821 34,718 1,619 821 34,718 -3,826 494,887 21,722 175,120 494,887 21,722 175,120 -15,576 381,670 21,274 77,154 381,670 21,274 77,154 -14,026 -34 -84,656 -86 122,066 -707 -151,045 -519 1,563,622 -707 -151,045 -519 1,548,046 -453 -131,627 -519 1,265,562 3,725 3,725 58,217 58,217 41,855 41,855 93,070 17,549 16,031 9,510 136,160 980,780 192,058 174,414 93,088 1,440,340 3,840 897,803 131,650 156,465 102,810 1,288,728 4,666 3,840 980,780 192,058 174,414 89,248 1,436,500 897,803 131,650 156,465 98,144 344 93,070 17,549 16,031 9,166 135,817 4,666 1,284,062 22,876 2,520 2 22,876 2,518 1,691,083 44,442 14 1,691,083 44,429 1,622,319 40,277 16 1,622,319 40,262 60,730 13,588 60,730 13,588 135,681 135,681 209,999 209,999 556,454 187,932 14 369,740 1,114,140 556,454 187,932 14 369,740 1,114,140 562,156 211,002 35 342,168 1,115,361 235,392 2,849,665 2,849,651 2,777,957 278 Payment to Foreign Service retirement and . . . Intrabudgetary transactions: Foreign Service retirement and disability fund: Receipts transferred to Civil Service retirement .. $109,176 79,809 57,934 -7,210 -1,153,258 669,837 $278 Acquisition, operation, and maintenance of buildings Other Net Outlays $109,176 79,809 57,934 -1,153,258 1,855,273 Department of State: Administration of Foreign Affairs: Applicable Receipts $131,416 87,615 71,217 -3,940 -1,200,809 22,650,336 $10,394 4,202 8,521 -293,355 Bureau of Labor Statistics Departmental Management Outlays -34 -84,656 -86 125,893 3,826 3,826 $3,940 3,940 15,576 15,576 22,957,741 $7,210 7,210 14,026 22,950,532 -453 -131,627 -519 14,026 1,251,536 Department of Transportation: Coast Guard: Other 344 federal Aviation Administration: Airport and airway trust fund: Facilities and equipment 235,394 2 14 562,156 211,002 35 342,168 1,115,361 16 2,777,941 TABLE HI-BUDGET RECEIPTS A N D OUTLAYS-Continued (In thousands) I|epartment of Transportation--Continued Federal Highway Administration: Highway trust fund: Other Outlays Applicable Receipts Grants to National Railroad Passenger Corporation.. Bureau of Government Financial Operations: Outlays Applicable Receipts Net Outlays $6,875,980 72,855 197,983 106,520 7,253,339 $5,866,612 36,079 82,262 90,945 6,075,898 $5,866,612 36,079 82,262 90,945 975 15,800 4,409 975 15,800 4,409 50,279 193,400 2,849 50,279 193,400 2,849 61,552 143,700 5,101 61,552 143,700 5,101 5,404 5,182 7,019 17,050 5,985 $2,566 5,404 5,182 7,019 17,050 3,419 38,073 66,247 62,381 -4,601 203,830 716,000 74,698 1,118,556 $43,071 2,566 79,786 57,996 65,373 198,766 779,000 43,782 1,224,703 66,247 62,381 -4,601 203,830 716.000 31,627 40,639 79,786 57,996 65,373 198,766 779,000 80,359 1,261,280 43,071 1,075,485 1,632 4,006 196,858 2,264 -4,006 1,462,447 2,027,529 8,888 10,727 39,494 2,027,529 -1,838 -39,494 15,592,092 106,524 2,457,996 13,602 -54,967 15,485,569 13,549,765 97,974 13,451,791 2,834 2,834 31,075 3 31,072 26,278 264 26,013 266 411 1,527 12,572 266 411 1,527 12,572 6,822,957 1,336,278 17,451 8,733 2,664 6,847,709 6,883 25,740 184,086 533,648 236,413 14,507 6,822,957 1,336,278 17,451 141,051 8,733 2,664 6,847,709 6,883 25,740 184,086 533,648 236,413 14,507 198,306 12,307 198,306 12,307 23,968 23,968 968,654 968,654 351,664 351,664 8,486 22,561 -3,677 4,291 8,540 80 6,214 26,741 33,557 21,105 8,486 22,561 -3,677 4,291 8,540 -142 6,214 26,741 33,557 21,105 131,162 653,355 -11,351 43,910 163,076 980 128,059 738,449 774,869 437,434 131,162 653,355 -11,351 43,910 163,076 175 128,059 738,449 774,869 437,434 128,110 634,379 -3,361 42,466 121,508 1,316 54,310 904,115 981,878 128,110 634,379 -3,361 42,466 121,508 68 54,310 904,115 981,878 8,550 Total--Bureau of Government Financial Internal Revenue Service^ Net Outlays Applicable Receipts $6,875,980 72,855 197,983 106,520 7,253,339 1,470,998 Office of Revenue Sharing: Outlays $781,156 14,953 20,969 16,063 833,140 196,858 3,897 Department of the Treasury: Net Outlays $781,156 14,953 20,969 16,063 833,140 National Highway Traffic Safety Administration: Federal Railroad Administration: Railroad rehabilitation and improvement financing Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year Current Fiscal Year to Date This Month Classification of O U T L A Y S - -Continued 223 2,457,996 24,727 $36,577 36,577 11,125 54,967 804 6,075,898 141,051 1,248 01 0) TABLE lll-BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS-Continued (In thousands) This Month Classification of OUTLAYS-Continued Department of the Treasury—Continued Internal Revenue Service--Continued Payment where credit exceeds liability for tax.. Refunding internal revenue collections, interest. Internal revenue collections for Puerto Rico Total--Internal Revenue Service United States Secret Service Comptroller of the Currency Interest on the public debt: Public issues (accrual basis) Special issues (cash basis) Total--Interest on the public debt Proprietary receipts from the public Receipts from off-budget Federal agencies Intrabudgetary transactions Total—Department of the Treasury Environmental Protection Agency: Agency and regional management Research and development: Energy supply Pollution control and abatement Abatement and control Enforcement Construction grants Other Proprietary receipts from the public Total—Environmental Protection Agency General Services Administration: Real Property Activities Personal Property Activities Records Activities General activities Other Proprietary receipts from the public: Stockpile receipts Other Intrabudgetary transactions Total—General Services Administration National Aeronautics and Space Administration: Research and Development Construction of facilities Research and program management Other Proprietary receipts from the public Total--National Aeronautics and Space Administration Applicable Receipts Outlays $6,032 28,227 30,004 151,960 8,451 6,239 Net Outlays Outlays 129,100 90,273 94,699 129,100 -4,426 48,261,637 11,575,566 48,261,637 11,575,566 39,199,117 9,495,738 39,199,117 9,495,738 59,837,203 59,837,203 48,694,856 48,694,856 139,003 91,347 4,194,792 165,141 4,194,792 165,141 4,359,933 4,359,933 -88,949 -396,733 -78,480 4,031,030 -2,427,066 6,155 6,155 30,351 427 53,378 7,466 326,298 373 68 29 424,447 97 30,351 427 53,378 7,466 326,298 305 -29 424,350 218 117,232 767 5 8,091 18,345 27,209 307,909 11,291 67,603 22 292 386,825 292 121,790 -25,947 6,137 10,557 3,704 -8,091 -18,345 218 90,023 Net Outlays 139,003 -7,762 8,451 5,864 121,790 -25,947 6,905 10,563 3,704 Applicable Receipts $1,248 375 486,280 Outlays $880,890 316,937 187,568 3,325,767 $223 4,517,310 Net Outlays $880,890 316,937 187,568 3,327,014 $772,673 357,977 212,543 3,422,983 -78,480 Applicable Receipts $772,673 357,977 212,543 3,422,178 $6,032 28,227 30,004 151,738 88,949 396,733 Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year Current Fiscal Year to Date 99,109 -1,186,128 -4,041,716 -2,427,066 64,595,923 -1,696,881 95,197 95,197 71,089 71,089 302,107 11,941 541,660 82,595 3,756,079 11,399 541 668 250,514 31,400 459,614 64,842 3,186,825 8,132 435 509 4,800,978 1,209 302,107 11,941 541,660 82,595 3,756,079 10,858 -668 4,799,768 4,072,416 944 250,514 31,400 459,614 64,842 3,186,825 7,697 -509 4,071,472 -69,771 115,794 75,454 103,731 63,802 -73,497 -33,, 335 -9,417 172,761 -167,885 196,338 79,105 99,986 56,359 3,138,749 132,716 925,007 84 -9,324 2,988,697 124,258 870,164 558 3,655 4,187,232 3,983,677 3,655 69,923,684 -69,771 115,794 84,382 104,398 63,802 -9,417 289,189 1,186,128 4,041,716 5,327,762 8,928 667 73,497 33,335 116,427 307,909 11,291 67,603 22 -292 3,138,749 132,716 925,007 84 9,324 386,533 4,196,556 9,324 60,022,092 -1,839 262,064 701,510 2,767,670 3,565,392 6,421 752 89,811 48,038 145,021 -701,510 -2,767,670 -1,696,881 56,456,699 -167,885 196,338 72,684 99,234 56,359 -89,811 -48,038 -1,839 117,043 2,988,697 124,258 870,164 558 -3,655 3,980,022 T A B L E H I - B U D G E T RECEIPTS A N D OUTLAYS-Continued (In thousands) Classification of O U T L A Y S - - Continued |Veterans Administration: Public enterprise funds: Loan guaranty revolving fund Direct loan revolving fund Veterans reopened insurance fund , Education loan fund Other Compensation and pensions Readjustment benefits Medical care Medical and prosthetic research General operating expenses Construction projects Insurance funds: National service life Government life , Veterans special life , Other Proprietary receipts from the public: National service lifeGovernme nt life , Other , Intrabudgetary transactions , Total—Veterans Administration , Independent agencies: Action , A r m s Control and Disarmament Agency Board for International Broadcasting Civil Aeronautics Board Commission on Civil Rights Community Services Administration Consumer Product Safety Commission Corporation for Public Broadcasting District of Columbia: Federal payment Loans and repayable advances Equal Employment Opportunity Commission Export-Import Bank of the United States Federal Communications Commission Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Federal Emergency Management Agency:4 National flood insurance development fund Emergency planning, preparedness, and mobilization. Hazard mitigation and disaster assistance Federal H o m e Loan Bank Board: Public enterprise funds: Federal H o m e Loan Bank Board revolving fund Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corp. fund Interest adjustment payments Federal Trade Commission Intergovernmental Agencies: See Other footnotes WashingtononMetropolitan page 3. Area Transit Authority ...... Current Fiscal Year to Date This Month Applicable Receipts Outlays $34,601 4,772 2,467 387 23,078 56,742 59,496 408,243 9,406 37,953 20,053 53,581 3,896 3,455 6,154 $21,858 35,144 1,562 104 25,513 3,275 -169 31,459 -233 8,252 724,116 126,933 15,597 1,010 2,615 9,688 1,211 41,326 2,892 14 228 1 Net Outlays $12,743 -30,372 906 284 -2,434 56,742 59,496 408,243 9,406 37,953 20,053 53,581 3,896 180 6,154 -31,459 233 -8,252 597,183 -169 15,583 1,010 2,615 9,686 1,211 41,098 2,891 7,991 316,403 7,011 74,086 59,491 6,124 14,462 3 105,750 1 90,823 13,041 7,988 210,653 7,010 -16,737 46,450 6,124 14,462 6,772 -695 3,230 18,500 3,541 -19,195 3,952 "3)947 21,604 798 21,604 588 210 Outlays $481,498 86,134 25,960 7,226 263,316 10,441,926 2,810,812 5,159,544 117,270 603,295 236,497 785,393 70,841 55,547 113,972 -2,369 Applicable Receipts $274,386 151,492 53,859 858 265,350 93,595 451,877 3,894 74,378 21,256,861 1,369,689 211,336 14,653 82,692 99,446 10,257 779,514 39,284 120,200 274,665 140,832 92,490 2,406,809 69,561 639,989 382,801 98,998 67,847 50,957 147,849 54 62,048 84,250 6,506 11 110 620 14 22,346 37 2,206,757 19 1,858,360 132,224 50,231 636,985 ""-557 1,845 Net Outlays $207,112 -65,358 -27,900 6,367 -2,034 10,441,926 2,810,812 5,159,544 117,270 603,295 236,497 785,393 70,841 -38,049 113,972 -451,877 -3,894 -74,378 19,887,171 -2,369 211,325 14,653 82,692 99,336 10,257 778,894 39,270 120,200 274,665 118,486 92,453 200,052 69,542 -1,218,370 250,577 98,998 67,847 725 -489,136 54 62,605 84,250 4,661 Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year Outlays $525,860 99,408 23,021 34,868 273,806 9,572,817 3,361,716 4,809,318 111,747 558,082 243,262 667,762 66,973 32,229 98,142 -2,472 20,476,537 203,329 13,990 65,616 101,471 10,465 768,216 40,063 119,200 304,116 110,832 74,214 1,993,483 64,084 2,135,878 274,909 81,786 13,370 60,342 182,174 213 59,446 149,337 5,610 Applicable Receipts $445,624 138,398 51,645 275 275,101 87,244 476,850 4,382 34,866 1,514,384 166 164 111 298 5 43,979 54 2,099,387 19 2,702,489 110,775 59,878 585,897 631 1,700 Net Outlays $80,236 -38,990 -28,624 34,593 -1,295 9,572,817 3,361,716 4,809,318 111,747 558,082 243,262 667,762 66,973 -55,015 98,142 -476,850 -4,382 -34,866 18,962,152 -2,472 203,164 13,990 65,452 101,360 10,465 767,919 40,059 119,200 304,116 66,852 74,161 -105,904 64,065 -566,611 164,134 81,786 13,370 465 -403,723 213 58,815 149,337 3,910 CD TABLE HI-BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS-Continued (In thousands) Classification of OUTLAYS-Continued Independent agencies--Continued International Communications Agency , Interstate C o m m e r c e Commission Legal Services Corporation Merit Systems Protection Board National Foundation on the Arts and Humanities: National Endowment for the Arts National Endowment for the Humanities National Labor Relations Board National Science Foundation National Transportation Safety Board Nuclear Regulatory Commission,., Office of Personnel Management:* Salaries and expenses Government payment for annuitants, employees health benefits Payment to civil service retirement and disability fund Civil service retirement and disability fund Employees health benefits fund Employees life insurance fund Retired employees health benefits fund Other Proprietary receipts from the public Intrabudgetary transactions: Civil service retirement and disability fund: Receipts transferred to Foreign Service retirement and disability fund General fund contributions Other Total—Office of Personnel Management Postal Service (payment to the Postal Service fund) Railroad Retirement Board: Payments to Railroad Retirement Trust Fund , Regional rail transportation protective account , Railroad retirement accounts: Benefits payments and claims , Advances to the railroad retirement account from the FOASI trust fund Advances to the railroad retirement account from the FDI trust fund Disbursements for the payment of FOASI benefits ... Disbursements for the payment of FDI benefits Administrative expenses Interest on refunds of taxes Proprietary receipts from the public Intrabudgetary transactions: Railroad retirement account: Payment to railroad retirement trust funds Interest transferred federal insurance Total--Railroad See footnotes Interest insurance trust fund on on Retirement page account advances 3. to to Board railroadhospital unemployment Current Fiscal Year to Date This Month Outlays $31,343 5,449 1,897 1,876 14,182 9,481 5,538 91,002 842 27,531 5,199 Applicable Receipts $641 1 (*) (*) 47 14 -1 -7 Net Outlays $30,702 5,448 1,897 1,876 14,182 9,481 5,491 90,988 843 27,538 5,199 Outlays $374,937 67,014 254,307 6,476 136,101 147,542 97,400 870,188 15,522 309,494 115,330 Applicable Receipts $1,474 12,217 (*) 13 210 541 8 18 Net Outlays $373,463 54,797 254,307 6,476 136,088 147,542 97,190 869,647 15,515 309,475 115,330 Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year Outlays Applicable Receipts Net Outlays $353,410 65,080 157,429 1,294 180 $352,117 64,900 157,429 121,466 125,810 90,615 803,182 15,542 270,876 119,610 14 121,452 125,810 90,414 802,783 15,514 270,862 119,610 201 398 28 14 92,870 92,870 554,049 554,049 506,617 506,617 8,817,951 1,071,354 248,731 38,978 952 2,952 8,817,951 1,071,354 -80,033 -12,663 215 2,952 182 8,818,938 12,418,103 3,135,265 488,350 12,907 17,264 8,818,938 12,418,103 -113,191 -309,413 4,502 17,264 -1,172 7,433,828 10,907,627 2,958,770 429,094 14,405 21,951 7,433,828 10,907,627 -84,978 -485,209 5,599 21,951 -1,605 -8,581 -8,818,938 -22,330 12,654,562 -8,544 -7,433,828 -18,409 14,931,120 -589 -8,817,951 -1,639 1,458,808 328,765 51,641 737 -182 380,961 1,333 3,248,456 797,762 8,405 1,172 3,043,748 914,303 8,806 1,605 -589 -8,817,951 -1,639 1,077,847 -8,581 -8,818,938 -22,330 16,710,357 1,333 1,786,509 1,786,509 1,778,240 1,778,240 313,000 71,650 313,000 71,650 250,000 80,077 250,000 80,077 4,055,794 3,968,461 -8,544 -7,433.828 -18,409 10,962,658 (*) 2,631 376,376 (*) 2,631 376,376 4,240,906 4,240,906 3,952,463 3,952,463 -2,065 -2,065 -235,972 -235,972 -195,818 -195,818 -487 22,260 3,893 2,751 4 -487 22,260 3,893 2,751 4 23 -29,095 236,392 35,016 31,661 26 -29,095 236,392 35,016 31,661 26 21 -27,933 195,326 27,672 30,918 121 -27,933 195,326 27,672 30,918 121 -1 -313,000 -313,000 -250,000 -250,000 15,549 15,549 17,239 17,239 -755 -755 -5,507 -5,507 405,362 -23 -23 405,385 4,365,378 -21 -21 4,365,399 4,074,557 4,074,556 TABLE III —BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS-Continued (In thousands) Outlays ndependent agencies—Continued Securities and Exchange Commission. , Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year Current Fiscal Year to Date This Month Classification of O U T L A Y S - - Continued Net Outlays Applicable Receipts Applicable Receipts Outlays Net Outlays Outlays Applicable Receipts Net Outlays $4,976 $1 $4,975 $66,005 $26 $65,978 $61,328 $25 $61,303 56,586 79,058 2,124 86 13,814 172 35,517 31,604 749 309 937,531 1,453,940 31,535 2,921 181,880 1,701 466,486 496,602 12,251 3,006 432,888 237,629 10,057 1,099 457,887 2,104,509 27,373 2,993 173,285 -19 68,179 2,609,508 978,367 471,045 957,338 19,284 -85 181,880 -22 1,701 1,631,142 890,775 2,342,138 37,430 4,092 173,285 151,840 21,069 47,455 1,375 -223 13,814 -1 172 83,660 3,447,720 681,692 2,766,028 13,164 402,888 5 200,976 13,159 201,913 132,243 4,798,298 61 2,914,157 132,182 1,884,141 125,298 3,726,106 58 2,313,878 125,240 1,412,228 4,425 2,150 21,000 23,351 2,383,750 28,850 708,300 242,599 39,610,064 56,300 28,850 708,300 186,299 26,681,897 19,025 734,700 257,734 37,991,383 80,582 19,025 734,700 177,152 25,339,006 -30 -30 -30 -30 Public enterprise funds: Surety bond guarantees revolving fund Other Total--Small Business Administration Tennessee Valley Authority 1 22 19 United States Railway Association: Purchases of Conrail Securities Total--Independent agencies Undistributed offsetting receipts: Federal employer contributions to retirement and social insurance funds: Legislative Branch: United States Tax Court: The Judiciary: Tax court judges survivors annuity fund Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund. Department of State: Foreign Service retirement and disability fund ..... Independent agencies: Office of Personnel Management: Civilfrom Service retirement and disability Receipts off-budget Federal agencies: fund....... Independent agencies: Office of Personnel Management: Civil Service retirement and disability fund..». 2,150 21,000 27,776 3,270,776 887,026 12,928,167 12,652,377 -130 -130 -1,641 -1,641 -1,380 -1,380 -83,000 -14,000 -21,000 -1,838 -83,000 -14,000 -21,000 -1,838 -948,000 -166,000 -228,000 -20,477 -948,000 -166,000 -228,000 -20,477 -906,000 -154,000 -206,000 -19,256 -906,000 -154,000 -206,000 -19,256 -124,602 -124,602 -2,511,477 -2,511,477 -2,547,468 -2,547,468 -715,782 -715,782 -1,395,335 -1,395,335 -1,149,236 -1,149,236 -960,351 -960,351 -5,270,960 -5,270,960 -4,983,369 -4,983,369 (0 ro O TABLE HI-BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS-Continued (In thousands) Outlays Undistributed offsetting receipts--Continued Interest credited to certain Government Accounts: The Judiciary: Department of Defense: Civil: Soldiers' and Airmen's H o m e permanent fund Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund . Federal disability hospital insurance insurancetrust trustfund fund Federal supplementary medical insurance trust fund. Department of Labor: Department of State: Foreign Service retirement and disability fund Department of Transportation: Airport and airway trust fund Highway trust fund Veterans Administration: Government life insurance fund National service life insurance fund Independent Agencies: Office of Personnel Management: Railroad Retirement Board: Railroad retirement account Subtotal TOTAL BUDGET Net Outlays Outlays Applicable Receipts Net Outlays Outlays Applicable Receipts Net Outlays ^3,810 -$3,810 -$3,411 -$3,411 -$2,046 -$2,046 -7,965 -7,965 -6,233 -6,233 -31,891 -3,284 -3,598 -4,237 -14,907 -31,891 -3,284 -3,598 -4,237 -14,907 -1,919,228 -303,126 -868,493 -362,357 -503,104 -122 -1,919,228 -303,126 -868,493 -362,357 -503,104 -122 -2,153,058 -249,190 -780,058 -229,065 -266,286 -1,192 -2,153,058 -249,190 -780,058 -229,065 -215 -215 -30,853 -30,853 -19,965 -19,965 -266,286 -1,192 -3,978 -14,558 -3,978 -14,558 -282,265 -852,902 -282,265 -852,902 -219,207 -662,155 -219,207 -662,155 -65 -135 -65 -135 -34,383 -528,560 -34,383 -528,560 -31,730 -460,453 -31,730 -460,453 -12,794 -12,794 -4,052,880 -4,052,880 -3,236,136 -3,236,136 -1,999 -941 -1,999 -941 -192,014 -8,447 -192,014 -8,447 -208,555 -3,618 -208,555 -3,618 -94,649 -94,649 -9,950,510 -9,950,510 -8,530,311 -8,530,311 $599,540 -599,540 -1,055,001 599,540 -1,654,540 35,609,936 5,984,638 29,625,298 Rents and royalties on the outer continental shelf land ... Total--Undistributed offsetting receipts Applicable Receipts Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year Current Fiscal Year to Date This Month Classification of OUTLAYS--Continued $3,267,376 -3,267,376 -15,221,470 3,267,376 -18,488,845 557,580,395 64,359,377 493,221,018 $2,258,546 -2,258,546 -13,513,681 2,258,546 -15,772,226 508,291,450 57,353,950 450,937,500 (Net Totals) (Net Totals) 47,295,460 465,940,168 401,997,377 Outlays (-) -29,625,298 -493,221,018 -450,937,500 Budget surplus (+) or deficit (-) +17,670,162 -27,280,850 -48,940,123 MEMORANDUM Receipts offset against outlays (In thousands) Current Proprietary receipts from the public ,. $18,698,804 Receipts from off-budget Federal agencies Intrabudgetary transactions Total receipts offset against outlays 68,030,133 Fiscal Year to Date Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year 4,041,716 45,289,613 $15,935,494 2,767,670 40,898,728 59,601,893 (Net Totals) 21 TABLE IV-MEANS OF FINANCING (In thousands) Classification (Assets and Liabilities Directly Related to the Budget) Net Transactions (-) denotes net reduction of either liability or assets accounts Fiscal Year to Date This Month This Year Prior Year Account Balances Current Fiscal Year Beginning of This Year This Month Close of This Month LIABILITY A C C O U N T S Borrowing from the public: Public debt securities, issued under general financial authorities: Obligations of the United States, issued by: United States Treasury Agency securities, issued under special financing authorities (See Schedule B. For other agency Deduct: Federal securities held as investments of $13,378,881 $54,974,618 $72,704,561 $771,544,469 $813,140,207 10 10 -10 $826,519,087 771,544,479 813,140,217 826,519,097 7,245,262 7,231,770 10 13,378,881 54,974,618 72,704,551 -13,492 -1,648,862 -1,417,194 13,365,388 53,325,757 71,287,357 780,425,110 820,385,478 833,750,867 9,115,733 19,684,882 12,181,491 169,476,652 180,045,801 189,161,534 4,249,655 33,640,874 59,105,866 610,948,458 640,339,677 644,589,333 8,880,631 2,293,550 1,421,168 2,020,988 6,733,414 5,861,032 8,154,582 55,289 1,031,165 1,236,016 973,755 269,623 78,442 2,938,754 3,368,277 4,119,482 3,310,866 4,174,771 4,342,031 -5,168,426 534,135 212,056 8,112,566 13,815,128 8,646,702 2,461,233 37,805,949 61,686,974 632,101,470 667,446,186 669,907,419 2,946,716 -10,158,178 14,278,944 17,686,990 -5,796,587 17,225,660 1,732,225 907,549 16,647,185 2,432,449 5,796,587 3,339,999 Deposit funds: Miscellaneous liability accounts (Includes checks A S S E T A C C O U N T S (Deduct) Cash and monetary assets: U. S. Treasury operating cash:9 Tax and loan note accounts Special drawing rights: See footnotes on page 3. 6,950,337 24,175,997 452,409 -100,000 2,941,684 -1,300,000 2,689,136 -1,800,000 2,725,228 -1,800,000 36,092 -716,457 352,409 1,641,684 889,136 925,228 163,346 -11,000 -2,500,984 8,810,156 1,957,257 -6,922,259 -308,688 8,810,156 2,120,603 -9,412,243 -208,178 8,810,156 2,120,603 -9,423,243 100,510 2,110,156 861,556 -3,262,408 -303,789 -11,000 -2,237,128 -594,485 3,536,466 1,310,338 1,299,338 -706,304 36,928 -112,405 706,304 3,354,769 6,378,826 5,690,273 -208,178 16,562,199 407,840 3,022,446 31,682,995 15,528,637 32,090,836 1,746,073 1,220,054 335,594 4,890,151 4,364,132 6,110,205 18,308,272 1,627,895 3,358,040 36,573,147 19,892,769 38,201,041 +58,328,934 +595,528,323 +647,553,417 +631,706,378 -15,847,039 +36,178,055 Total budget financing [Financing of deficit (+) or 22,443,772 -216,457 -500,000 -688,553 Transactions not applied to current year's surplus or deficit 6,489,007 17,686,990 36,092 Gold tranche drawing rights: U. S. subscription to International Monetary Fund: Receivable/Payable (-) for U. S. currency valuation 3,542,291 3,408,046 -1,823,124 -8,897,205 -17,670,162 +27,280,850 -9,388,811 -7,074,081 -8,897,205 +48,940,123 +595,528,323 +640,479,335 +622,809,173 TABLE IV--SCHEDULE A-ANALYSIS OF CHANGE IN EXCESS OF LIABILITIES (In thousands) 22 Fiscal Year to Date Classification Excess of liabilities beginning of period: Based on composition of unified budget in preceding period Adjustments during current fiscal year for changes in composition of unified budget Excess of liabilities beginning of period (current basis) Budget surplus (-) or deficit: Based on composition of unified budget in prior fiscal year Changes in composition of unified budget: Profit on sale of gold reclassified from budgetary to off-budget account 10 Budget surplus (-) or deficit (Table m ) Transactions not applied to current year's surplus or deficit: Seigniorage Increment on gold ? Profit onMsale " S. currency valuation adjustment, Net gain / l o sofs gold for U. Net gain (-)/loss for I M F loan valuation adjustment Off-budget Federal Agencies: Federal Financing Bank Pension Benefit Guaranty Fund , Postal Service Rural electrification and telephone revolving fund , Rural Telephone Bank , Total—transactions not applied to current year's surplus or deficit Excess of liabilities close of period, This Month This Year Prior Year $647,553,417 $595,528,323 $537,199,389 647,553,417 595,528,323 537,199,389 -17,864,254 24,915,110 48,760,622 194,092 2,365,740 179,501 -17,670,162 27,280,850 48,940,123 -95,492 -991,909 -194,692 -2,365,740 -94,872 -78,532 13,260,895 -38,848 -890,748 -3,760 100,719 1,382,840 1,855 928,281 -206,504 6,236 -367,156 -702 -179,501 -368,515 -2,232 10,660,478 -31,760 -496,433 61,924 112,710 1,823,124 8,897,205 9,388,811 631,706,378 631,706,378 595,528,323 See footnotes on page 3. TABLE IV-SCHEDULE B-AGENCY SECURITIES, ISSUED UNDER SPECIAL FINANCING AUTHORITIES (In thousands) Net Transactions (-) denotes net reduction of liability accounts Classification Account Balances Current Fiscal Year Beginning of Fiscal Year to Date This Month Agency securities, issued under special financing authorities: Obligations of the United States, issued by: Export-Import Bank Obligations guaranteed by the United States, issued by: Department of Defense: Family Housing Mortgages Department of Housing and Urban Development: Federal Housing Administration Department of Transportation: Coast Guard: Family Housing Mortgages Obligations not guaranteed by the United States, issued by: Department of Defense: Homeowners' Assistance Mortgages Department of Housing and Urban Development: Government National Mortgage Association Independent Agencies: Postal Service Tennessee Valley Authority Total agency securities See footnotes on page 3. This Year This Month Close of This Month This Year Prior Year -$2,024 -$1,207,149 -$717,569 $2,140,605 $935,481 -10,572 -129,316 -117,589 896,001 777,257 766,685 -903 -49,453 21,508 600,638 552,087 551,184 -18 -215 -206 1,638 1,442 1,423 26 -728 -1,338 749 -162,000 -602,000 3,166,000 3,004,000 3,004,000 250,000 1,825,000 250,000 1,725,000 250,000 1,725,000 8,880,631 7,245,262 7,231,770 -1661666 -13,492 -1,648,862 -1,417,194 $933,456 21 23 TABLE IV-SCHEDULE C (MEMORANDUM)-AGENCY BORROWING FINANCED THROUGH ISSUE OF PUBLIC DEBT SECURITIES (In thousands) Account Balances Current Fiscal Year Transactions Classification Fiscal Year to Date Beginning of This Month This Year Borrowing from the Treasury: Commodity Credit Corporation D. C. Commissioners: Stadium sinking fund, A r m o r y $77,000 $2,665,209 -831 Export-Import Bank of United States!..........'...'. 50,000 50,000 Federal Financing Bank '.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'. 956,458 15,758,467 Federal Housing Administration: General insurance , Special risk insurance General Services Administration: 1,415 16,726 Pennsylvania Avenue Development Corporation 70,250 275,293 Government National Mortgage Association: -21,000 Emergency h o m e purchase assistance fund "4,266 84,820 Management and liquidating functions Special assistance functions -238,471 International Communication Agency 75,596 7,897 Rural Electrification Administration. ..'. -2,500 Rural Telephone Bank .". ] Saint Lawrence Seaway Development Corporation .!"!!!! 1,074,000 Secretary of Agriculture, F a r m e r s H o m e Administration: 75,000 Rural housing insurance fund Agricultural credit insurance fund 110,000 110,000 Rural development insurance fund .[ Secretary of Energy: -123,675 Bonneville Power Administration. 65,000 475,000 Secretary of Housing and Urban Development 38,145 215,189 Department: B03XUj JJ« C •••••••., ••« College housing loans Housing for the Elderly and Handicapped National flood insurance fund N e w communities guaranty: Title IV. Title VII Urban renewal fund Secretary of the Interior: Bureau of Mines, helium fund Secretary of Transportation: Rail Service Assistance Regional Rail Reorganization Total Borrowing from the Treasury . Smithsonian Institution: John F. Center parking facilities Borrowing fromKennedy the Federal Financing Bank: Tennessee Valley Authority Veterans Administration: Export-Import Bank of the United States Veterans direct loan program Postal Service Tennessee Valley Authority Total Borrowing from the Federal Financing Bank. Total Agency Borrowing financed through issues of Public Debt Securities ...[ 1,062 ."!."."."!.'! -2,727 275 29,843 -500,000 -2,726 Comparable Prior Year This Year This Month Close of This Month $5,132,850 $11,261,307 $13,849,516 $13,926,516 832 1,663 832 832 -3,324 12,659,220 "48J677J563 62 \m, 512 50,000 63,835,970 245,000 195,000 2,156,655 1,812,166 2,156,655 1,812,166 2,156,655 1,812,166 17,212 17,212 32,523 33,938 359,793 -15,000 -4,905 175,000 1,076,107 35,000 4,136,597 22,114 7,864,742 319,272 115,476 1,005,718 776,000 440,000 300,000 1,281,150 14,000 4,217,217 22,114 8,103,213 386,971 112,976 1,005,718 1,850,000 515,000 300,000 1,351,400 14,000 4,221,417 22,114 7,864,742 394,868 112,976 1,005,718 1,850,000 515,000 410,000 45,170 82,915 2,811,000 45,170 230,366 2,687,325 455,170 407,410 2,687,325 520,170 445,555 3,487 211,006 800,000 3,762 239,787 300,000 3,762 240,849 300,000 251,650 251,650 251,650 2,826 2,704 2,826 2,704 100 20,400 150,000 20,400 150,000 20,400 150,000 1,730,078 1,730,078 1,730,078 85,648 -1,000 40,000 100,000 160,000 129 97,929 -49,653 302 2,704 1.140.229 20,254.686 19,323,118 85,676,219 104,790,675 105,930,905 106,600 -365,000 195,000 1,384,600 -527,000 1,905,000 644,800 -67,000 1,340,000 6,568,287 2,114,000 5,220,000 7,846,287 1,952,000 6,930,000 7,952,887 1,587,000 7,125,000 -63.400 2,762.600 1,917,800 13,902,287 16,728,287 16,664,887 1,076,829 23,017,286 21,240,918 99,578,508 121,518,962 122,595,792 Note: Includes only amounts loaned to Federal Agencies in lieu of Agency Debt issuance and excludes Federal Financing Bank purchase of loans m a d e or guaranteed by Federal Agencies. The Federal Financing Bank borrows from Treasury and issues its o w n securities and in turn m a y loan these funds to Agencies in lieu of Agencies borrowing directly through Treasury or issuing their own securities. TABLE IV-SCHEDULE D-INVESTMENTS OF GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTS IN FEDERAL SECURITIES (In thousands) 24 Securities Held as Investments Current Fiscal Year Net Purchases or Sales (-) Classification Beginning of Fiscal Year to Date Close of This Month This Month This Year Federal Funds: Department of Agriculture: Agency securities Department of Commerce Department of Housing and Urban Development: Federal Housing Administration: Federal housing administration fund: Public debt securities Agency securities Government National Mortgage Association: Emergency mortgage purchase assistance: Agency securities" Special assistance function fund: Agency securities M a n a g e m e n t and liquidating functions fund: Agency securities Guarantees of Mortgage-Backed Securities: Public debt securities Agency securities Participation sales fund: Public debt securities Agency securities Housing Management: C o m m u n i t y disposal operations fund: Agency securities Federal Insurance Administration: National insurance development fund Department of Transportation Department of the Treasury Veterans Administration: Veterans reopened insurance fund Independent Agencies: Emergency Loan Guarantee Board Export-Import Bank of the United States Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation: Public debt securities Agency securities National Credit Union Administration Other Total public debt securities Total agency securities Total Federal funds Trust Funds: Legislative Branch: United States T a x Court Library of Congress • T h e Judiciary: Judicial Survivors Annuity Fund Department of Agriculture • Department of Commerce • Department of Defense Prior Year -$6,000 $23,215 $17,215 $2,450 30,655 -65,344 73,366 101,571 50,502 -1 149,434 -3,728 100,452 -30 1,842,868 190,990 2,742 4,570 -1,284 -10,268 -226 -4,609 -2,598 33,201 28,818 4,355 52,437 2,727 11,874 29,106 69,452 35,482 117,534 38,208 32,964 107,907 -238,468 -74,365 1,271,266 12,380 1,346,209 12,380 388 388 52,037 62,037 17,285 1,763,009 18,014 3,377,180 409,957 438,766 1,941,800 187,264 1,828 -1,298 106,881 97,897 10,000 -36,195 786 888,936 1,515 2,503,107 1,930 -286,556 -816 27,993 28,151 -56,200 -7,700 -31,510 -4,900 7,700 56,200 951,239 1,231 496,894 -7,760 26,020 72,665 3,470,927 -25,068 449,913 -46,190 12,980 58,950 1,277 -101,374 4,986,073 85,975 102,264 371,465 10,966,742 488,511 5,463,774 78,215 127,814 435,530 13,486,430 462,212 952,470 3,445,858 -100,098 11,455,253 13,948,641 10 75 80 42 175 641 1,515 706 1,595 6,733 2,943 44,412 51,863 1,495 150 470 8,600 -718 -1,345 Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: Federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund: Public debt securities Agency securities Federal disability insurance trust fund Federal hospital insurance trust fund: Public debt securities Agency securities • Federal supplementary medical insurance trust fund Other This Month -$6,000 19,193 • This Year 715 -25 217 15 414 60 3,007 35 2,509 533,604 -3,638,468 -4,443,012 674,880 "l, 236^320 ""ii6i39i 30,411,815 555,000 4,352,301 26,239,743 555,000 4,907,741 1,406,233 783,566 11,707,306 50,000 4,020,692 1,736 12,705,773 50,000 5,010,215 2,620 407,766 '•^36! 193 953,330 884 1,788,614 550 25 TABLE IV--SCHEDULE D-INVESTMENTS OF GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTS IN FEDERAL SECURITIES (In thousands)-Continued Net Purchases or Sales (-) Classification Fiscal Year to Date Securities Held as Investments Current Fiscal Year Beginning of This Month This Year Trust Funds--Continued Department of the Interior Department of Labor: Unemployment trust fund other !!!!!!!.'.'!!! Department of State: Foreign service retirement and disability fund Other Department of Transportation: Airport and airway trust fund Highway trust fund Other Department of the Treasury General Services Administration Veterans Administration: Government life insurance fund National service life insurance fund: Public debt securities Agency securities Veterans special life insurance fund General Post Fund National H o m e s Independent Agencies: Office of Personnel Management: Civil service retirement and disability fund: Public debt securities Agency securities Employees health benefits fund Employees life insurance fund Retired employees health benefits fund Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Japan-United States Friendship Commission Harry S. T r u m a n Memorial Scholarship Trust Fund Railroad Retirement Board Total public debt securities Total agency securities Total trust funds Off-budget Federal agencies: Federal Financing Bank Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation Postal Service Rural electrification and telephone revolving fund"..'.'. Total public debt securities Prior Year This Year This Month Close of This Month -$1,770 -$525 $5,531 $12,126 $13,371 $11,601 -778,314 -555 4,275,806 -555 3,530,142 -46 9,517,307 4,661 14,571,427 4,661 13,793,113 4,106 77,779 120,764 160 103,916 500 371,864 980 414,849 1,140 492,628 1,140 -73,418 -251,233 690,889 890,575 440,556 1,499,395 10 3,686,537 11,578,082 20 4,450,844 12,719,890 20 4,377,426 12,468,657 20 -5,000 7,505 4,450 57,320 69,825 64,825 4,510 -1,274 420 260 4,090 5,784 -4,933 -33,085 -30,230 495,642 467,490 462,557 -17,858 206,911 ""-593 -470 "37',735 367,752 -100,000 55,011 890 7,618,041 135,000 583,400 2,365 7,842,810 135,000 621,728 2,835 7,824,952 135,000 621,135 2,365 55,884,840 275,000 513,316 3,016,488 7,629 8,031,768 18,671 32,979 3,077,888 155,060,993 1,015,000 54,820,198 275,000 546,956 3,313,165 3,234 9,235,002 18,002 34,979 3,215,610 161,296,768 1,015,000 63,734,226 275,000 590,095 3,315,132 3,079 9,252,006 18,655 34,854 3,054,496 170,634,591 1,015,000 8,914,028 7,849,386 "*43", 139 1,967 -155 17,004 653 -125 -161,114 9,337,823 "**76*, 779 298,644 -4,550 1,220,238 -16 1,875 -23,392 15,573,598 6,663,472 -100,000 89,154 486,686 -5,600 569,310 -454 1,816 -104,220 11,921,119 -200,000 9,337,823 15,573,598 11,721,119 156,075,993 162,311,768 171,649,591 9,765 -2,225 -1,182,100 78,690 31,935 449,900 -55 560,470 116,895 103,400 1,721,100 4,011 1,945,406 216,535 144,150 3,420,816 3,891 3,785,392 226,300 141,925 2,238,716 3,891 2,610,832 -1,174,560 109,405 38,525 517,616 -120 665,426 Total Off-budget Federal agencies -1,174,560 665,426 560,470 1,945,406 3,785,392 2,610,832 iGrand Total 9,115,733 19,684,882 12,181,491 169,476,652 180,045,801 189,161,534 Note: Investments are in public debt securities unless otherwise noted. 26 TABLE V-COMPARATIVE STATEMENT OF BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS BY MONTHS OF CURRENT FISCAL YEAR (In millions) Classification Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. March April May June July Aug. Sept. Fiscal Year To Date N E T RECEIPTS Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributions: Employment taxes and contributions Unemployment insurance ... Contributions for other insurance and retirement.. Excise taxes Estate and gift taxes Customs duties Miscellaneous receipts Total—receipts this year $15,922 $16,609 $16,066 $23,667 $14,509 $8,255 $25,029 $14,575 $25,568 $17,086 $17,215 $23,341 $217,841 1,368 9,633 65,677 2,020 9,767 1,403 15,640 2,146 1,281 9,301 1,684 1,048 10,386 6,595 722 9,762 1,662 7,059 174 8,439 11,850 478 1,286 9,636 198 12,044 13,250 1,608 4,864 8,696 188 8,857 1,204 13,577 10,310 120,074 154 15,387 2,847 488 1,635 477 621 602 499 1,712 460 646 829 483 1,597 386 594 732 512 478 1,520 1,436 485 426 630 527 486 846 540 1,434 449 621 712 513 538 1,529 1,601 323 559 623 645 794 852 491 1,464 414 637 811 504 1,659 463 647 828 6,130 344 740 1,498 1,660 18,745 5,411 434 534 7,439 559 689 9,237 859 886 28,745 33,227 37,477 38,364 32,639 31,144 52,230 38,287 53,910 33,268 39,353 47,295 465,940 27,598 32,796 42,545 47,657 29,194 35,040 24,130 33,201 26,922 25,233 35,091 42,591 Total—receipts prior year... NET OUTLAYS Legislative Branch The Judiciary Executive Office of the President Funds Appropriated to the President: International security assistance International development assistance Other Department of Agriculture: Foreign assistance, special export programs and Commodity Credit Corporation Other Department of C o m m e r c e Department of Defense: Military: Department of the Army.. Department of the Navy... Department of Air Force . Defense agencies ........ Total Military Civil Department of Energy Department of Health, Education, and Welfare: H u m a n Development Services Health Care Financing Administration: Grants to States for Medicaid Federal Hospital Ins. Trust Fund Federal Supp. Med. Ins. Trust Fund Other Social Security Adm.: Assis. Pmts. Program... Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund Federal Disability Ins. Trust Fund Other Other 104 1 1,077 480 95 32 30 80 4 -55 -292 -27 210 314 361 -24 488 -17 -647 311 212 839 121 207 89 33 281 19 155 -11 20 -1 130 6 144 4 91 -23 121 -28 114 8 125 -40 84 52 1,476 222 969 727 487 1,150 1,504 475 1,515 1,344 418 1,528 1,824 354 329 ,383 315 236 1,487 299 117 1,882 288 -97 1,275 323 -336 886 301 -507 1,599 276 -267 1,179 258 -50 955 278 2,214 3,376 2,333 1,237 9,160 2,282 2,880 2,702 1,353 9,216 2,425 2,956 2,730 1,269 9,380 2,348 2,872 2,541 1,443 9,205 2,363 2,837 2,502 1,218 8,920 2,452 3,379 2,778 1,370 9,979 2,380 3,101 2,690 1,159 9,329 2,424 3,183 2,873 1,351 9,830 2,538 3,115 2,751 1,434 9,838 2,546 3,550 2,793 1,365 10,256 2,562 3,450 3,052 1,483 10,547 223 529 289 631 245 670 218 562 170 676 174 710 197 582 212 707 246 750 282 645 305 740 347 685 2,908 7,889 484 465 505 540 445 479 441 477 435 410 535 502 5,719 1,038 952 980 1,064 997 1,620 1,582 1,537 712 526 742 512 605 555 4,587 16,045 4,072 2,237 28,770 3,114 37,815 2,534 32,277 1,468 16,150 9,353 115,013 1,038 1,063 973 1,271 1,076 12,407 1,677 1,610 1,824 1,674 1,821 1,753 1,763 1,877 1,604 20,343 628 857 739 600 677 555 752 1,332 744 589 778 550 718 558 744 580 852 597 728 581 8,813 7,838 580 451 559 572 506 602 533 471 622 556 6,610 7,052 7,061 7,134 7,174 7,206 7,250 7,422 7,246 8,691 7,964 15,783 146 90,130 1,160 1,117 159 562 745 964 1,128 1,810 -141 1,117 1,121 1,132 67 589 1,087 987 824 331 1,137 1,141 78 597 1,184 1,135 1,166 1,104 -739 1,230 2,352 85 1,160 835 880 13,944 7,358 8,024 1,002 953 143 60 1,018 TABLE V-COMPARATIVE STATEMENT OF BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS 27 BY MONTHS OF CURRENT FISCAL YEAR (In millions)--Continued Classification Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. March April May June July Aug. Sept. Fiscal Year To Date Comparable Period Prior F. Y. OUTLAYS-Continued Department of Housing and Urban Development $758 $487 Department of the Interior 204 317 Department of Justice 210 255 Department of Labor: 642 632 Unemployment trust fund 669 833 Other 153 136 Department of State 764 634 Department of Transportation: 884 658 Highway trust fund Other 3,822 4,146 Department of the Treasury: 1,704 2 Interest on the public debt 188 -156 General revenue sharing 392 342 Other Environmental Protection -161 75 Agency 300 350 General Services Administration 773 838 National Aeronautics and 27 22 Space Administration 6 5 Veterans Administration: 839 800 Compensation and pensions. National service life 1,048 973 Government service life , 1,785 Other , 131 448 Independent agencies: 182 134 Office of Personnel Manage443 917 ment , Postal Service -199 -364 Small Business Administration , -103 -231 Tennessee Valley Authority Other ind. agencies , -95 -117 Undistributed offsetting receipts: Federal employer contributions 42,691 39,134 to retirement fund , 36,866 38,792 Interest credited to certain accounts Rents and Royalties on Outer -13,946 -5,907 Continental Shelf Lands , -14,663 •9,269 Total outlays--this year Total outlays—prior year Surplus (+) or deficit (-) this year , See footnotes on page 3. Surplus (+) or deficit (-) prior year $9,218 4,087 2,522 $7,597 3,795 2,397 977 11,173 878 11,477 122 1,548 796 6,949 8,537 11,169 11,781 1,252 -430 414 4,301 4,671 4,360 59,837 1,714 (**) (**) 6,848 -329 -2,089 -458 -89 461 424 4,800 456 48,695 6,823 939 91 112 -56 81 90 173 117 341 413 387 4,187 3,980 63 1,729 57 28 22 5 4 795 514 10,442 334 67 9,045 9,573 191 63 9,136 1,106 1,041 1,078 1 "**87 "243 84 201 203 202 721 1,019 752 12,655 1,787 1,631 1,884 8,726 10,963 1,778 2,766 1,412 8,420 -373 -565 -960 -5,271 -4,983 7 -222 -95 -9,951 -8,530 -387 -316 -600 -3,267 -2,259 $801 $623 255 472 229 183 1,058 1,049 985 847 107 139 487 416 808 518 $552 306 203 1,195 958 1,126 1,015 116 116 442 389 751 792 $818 $933 491 212 237 204 1,112 922 878 903 96 82 494 537 656 639 $779 $1,009 506 269 215 210 1,000 1,210 1,241 102 348 713 747 806 697 8,138 4,112 4,320 14 (**) 1,699 -741 138 -659 367 430 366 4,281 4,385 (**) 1,713 268 123 379 374 4,663 1 55 396 8,638 116 -192 37 128 -147 333 354 365 389 198 $835 273 176 743 893 30 529 662 325 210 (**) 366 389 1,673 128 858 24 32 17 5 6 4 946 589 742 1,664 85 38 30 6 6 1,007 716 880 41 8 763 1,695 19 4 777 1,109 1,026 984 1,002 1,119 1,016 1,152 '"40 130 914 ""96 " 109 71 885 ""eo "lTO ""80 159 168 667 992 -508 -378 -362 -383 -427 9 -211 -104 -121 -232 -4,429 -4,219 ""91 98 169 122 585 -369 -384 -143 -147 41,392 41,095 37,739 43,725 40,752 41,618 40,687 37,648 36,918 40,206 -958 -116 169 709 -116 -154 -118 34 8 559 458 191 40,482 54,279 29,625 493,221 38,643 36,470 39,615 38,987 3,915 -2,731 -5,100 -12,581 +11,478 -3,331 +13,223 -7,214 14,926 17,670 -27,281 -4,852 -3,717 33,914 •6,991 -14,973 36,080 +6,465 36,800 -1,709 +9,014 -7,276 -4,575 +3,604 5,903 7,549 4,071 450,938 -48,940 28 TABLE VI-TRUST FUND IMPACT ON BUDGET RESULTS AND INVESTMENT HOLDINGS (In millions) Current Month Fiscal Year to Date Securities held as Iinvestments Current Fiscal Year Classification Receipts Outlays Excess Receipts Outlays Excess Beginning of This Year This Month Trust receipts, outlays, and investments held: Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.... -172 1 17 1,494 92 8,982 623 6,235 $1,526 222 6,266 $206 17 -17 125 -92 -8,672 1,579 31 34 157 -123 567 ""781 -105 400 962 17 103 -214 105 -177 -808 -17 -99 2,636 6,855 7,189 2,190 15,387 -4,508 16,039 $134 18 1,619 Federal employees life and health Federal old-age and survivors 310 2,202 14,584 3,494 19,891 83,410 Close of This Month $832 221 -1,218 13,302 -418 -4,485 18,324 85,198 $694 1 1,218 1,282 418 7,979 1,567 -1,788 $3,687 13 8,032 4,352 3,537 56,532 11,757 30,967 $4,451 5 9,235 4,908 3,863 55,510 12,756 26,795 $4,377 4 9,252 5,583 3,908 64,502 13,164 27,328 1,610 6,848 6,201 -1,434 3,789 10,670 -287 -61 1,026 7 988 1,434 -1,599 4,717 287 104 4,021 5,010 4,974 11,578 12,720 12,469 3,078 9,517 8,832 173 3,216 14,571 9,067 207 3,054 13,793 9,044 139,090 18,335 Federal supplementary medical 223 154 4 Trust fund receipts and outlays on the basis of Table m and investments held from Table IV-D Interfund receipts offset against 11,532 43 157,426 156,076 162,312 — 11,292 11,292 -0- 34,343 34,343 -0- 22,824 6,784 16,039 191,769 173,433 18,335 35,763 34,133 1,631 315,369 360,986 -45,616 10 10 -0- 174 174 -0- 35,774 34,143 1,631 315,544 361,160 -45,616 -11,302 -11,302 -0- -41,372 -41,372 -0- 47,295 29,625 +17,670 465,940 493,221 -27,281 199 — : — - — • • • - • — * - 171,650 • Total trust fund receipts and Federal fund receipts and outlays on the basis of Table m Interfund receipts offset against Federal fund outlays Total Federal fund receipts and Total interfund receipts and outlays... Note: Interfund receipts and outlays are transactions between Federal funds and trust funds, such as, Federal payments and contributions, Federal employer contributions, and interest and profits on investments in Federal securities. They have no net effect on overall budget receipts and outlays since the receipt side of such transactions is offset against budget outlays. In this table, interfund receipts are shown as an adjustment to arrive at total receipts and outlays of trust funds and Federal funds respectively. Included in total interfund receipts and outlays are $6,855 million in Federal funds transferred to trust funds for general revenue sharing. 29 TABLE VII-SUMMARY OF RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION (In thousands) Budget Receipts and Outlays Classification This Month Fiscal Year T o Date Comparable Period Prior Fiscal Year N E T RECEIPTS Individual income taxes , Corporation income taxes , Social insurance taxes and contributions: Employment taxes and contributions Unemployment insurance Contributions for other insurance and retirement... Excise taxes Estate and gift taxes Customs ._ Miscellaneous receipts Total NET OUTLAYS $23,341,470 9,633,126 $217,840,966 65,676,588 $180,987,774 59,951,866 10,309,774 154,394 344,412 1,660,378 434,090 559,261 858,557 47,295,460 120,074,224 15,386,733 6,130,369 18,744,953 5,410,556 7,438,533 9,237,246 465,940,168 103,893,049 13,849,598 5,667,720 18,376,184 5,285,402 6,572,718 7,413,068 401,997,377 National defense International affairs General science, space, and technology Energy Natural resources and environment Agriculture Commerce and housing credit Transportation Community and regional development , Education, training, employment and social services, Health Income security Veterans benefits and services Administration of justice . General government General purpose fiscal assistance Interest Undistributed offsetting receipts Total 9,199,853 747,597 964,602 458,919 1,233,780 -28,394 -46,365 1,589,024 1,003,318 2,340,821 4,109,032 4,545,918 599,238 280,710 333,157 130,619 3,818,011 29,625,298 -1,654,540 116,491,219 5,419,411 5,620,055 7,855,482 12,346,193 6,410,382 2,592,025 17,013,324 9,735,031 28,523,718 49,613,712 160,496,073 19,915,770 4,137,657 4,671,466 8,234,392 52,633,953 493,221,018 -18,488,845 105,191,764 6,083,384 4,721,239 5,900,896 11,166,717 7,617,820 3,319,391 15,462,417 11,262,652 25,890,294 43,676,146 146,503,382 18,987,495 3,786,230 3,723,346 9,376,959 44,039,594 450,937,500 -15,772,226 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D . C . 20402 Subscription price $62.20 per year (domestic), $15.55 per year additional (foreign mailing), includes all issues of Daily Treasury Statements, the Monthly Statement of the Public Debt of the United States and the Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the U. S. Government. N o single copies are sold GPO 861-643 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 24, 1979 Contact: Alyij&i M. Hattal %\ 602/^66-8.381 TREASURY FINDS SPUN ACRYLIC YARN FROM JAPAN IS SOLD HERE AT LESS THAN FAIR VALUE The Treasury Department today said it has determined that spun acrylic yarn imported from Japan is being sold in the United States at "less than fair value." The case is being referred to the U. S. International Trade Commission, which must decide within 90 days whether a U. S. industry is being, or is likely to be, injured by these sales. If the decision of the Commission is affirmative, dumping duties will be collected on sales found to be at less than fair value. Appraisement has been withheld since the tentative decision issued on July 13, 1979. The weighted average margin of sales at less than fair value in this case was 23.2 percent, computed on all sales. Interested persons were offered the opportunity to present oral and written views before this determination. (Sales at less than fair value generally occur when imported merchandise is sold in the United States for less than in the home market.) Imports of this merchandise during 1978 were valued at about $4.6 million. Notice of this determination will appear in the Federal Register of October 25, 1979. o M-140 0 o epartmentoftheJREASURY &SHINGT0N, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 FOR RELEASE UPON DELIVERY Expected at 10:00 a.m. STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE DONALD C. LUBICK, ASSISTANT SECRETARY FOR TAX POLICY BEFORE THE HOUSE COMMITTEE ON WAYS AND MEANS THURSDAY, OCTOBER 25, 1979 I am pleased to have the opportunity today to discuss the Administration's views on the appropriate tax treatment of capital gains on the sale of U.S. real property by foreign persons. Congressional expressions of dissatisfaction with our present law were first made during Senate consideration of the Revenue Act of 1978. The Treasury asked for and received six months time to prepare a study and make appropriate recommendations to the Congress. Because the Report was submitted to the Congress in early May, and because my time this morning is limited, I would like to submit the Report for the record and summarize only its principal findings. Under present law, the United States does tax capital gains of foreign taxpayers — nonresident alien individuals and foreign corporations — if such gains are effectively connected with a U.S. trade or business. Most foreign investment in U.S. real estate either constitutes a U.S. trade or business or, at the election of the taxpayer, is taxed as if it were a U.S. trade or business. The problem with present law is that a well advised foreign taxpayer can avoid our capital gains tax upon the sale of his U.S. real property even though that real property has been used in a U.S. trade or business. The Report notes five ways of achieving that result; other ways may also be available. The Report indicates the sorts of changes in present law we believe would be appropriate to limit these opportunities for tax avoidance. M-141 -2When I testified in June before the Subcommittee on Taxation and Debt Management of the Senate Finance Committee, I outlined a more detailed proposal for taxing capital gains of foreign persons. I noted at the time that the proposal was intended to help focus the discussion of this subject, and not as the Administration's final view. In fact, our thinking on the taxation of sales of U.S. real property by foreigners has continued to evolve since June. Let me begin with the highlights of the Administration's proposal as set forth last June. In the Administration's view, present law should be changed insofar as all U.S. real property is concerned. Thus, we believe that the scope of proposals to change the taxation of sales of agricultural land is too narrow, while proposals to tax sales of all U.S. property are too broad. Present law distinguishes between capital gains which are effectively connected with a U.S. trade or business, and capital gains which are not. I see no reason to question that basic distinction. The problem highlighted in our Report is the manipulation of that distinction to avoid capital gains tax on sales of real property which has been used in a trade or business. This manipulation appears to be a problem with respect to real property generally, and not just with respect to agricultural land. On £he other hand, such manipulation does not appear to be a significant factor in the case of foreign investment in manufacturing or other non-real-estate investments. Accordingly, our proposal is structured to limit the manipulation, rather than to make more fundamental changes in the way we tax foreigners investing in the United States. As for the way in which present law would be changed, we favor the approach of treating capital gains on sales of U.S. real property as being effectively connected with a U.S. trade or business and thus subject to tax on a net basis. This position places us in accord with most of the suggestions that have been made both in the House of Representatives and the Senate. The more difficult question, however, is the extent to which this basic tax on direct sales of U.S. real property should be "backstopped" by a tax upon the sale of shares and other interests in entities holding U.S. real property. The bills introduced to date in both houses of Congress provide that foreign persons would be subject to taxation on the sale of shares in any corporation, or the sale of an -3interest in any partnership, trust, or estate, to the extent the gain is attributable to unrealized appreciation of underlying real property, or to gain not recognized to the corporation pursuant to the special provisions of section 337 of the Internal Revenue Code. The Secretary of the Treasury would determine what part of the total gain is attributable to the corporation's real property holdings. This approach reaches a number of transactions which do not raise the kinds of issues which this legislation should, in our view, address, and which we believe are not of primary concern to the sponsors of the legislation. For instance, a foreign person who holds shares of a public corporation — even a U.S. public corporation — would be liable for tax on the sale of its shares, if the corporation held U.S. real property which had appreciated in value. This would embroil the Treasury in a highly complex administrative task. It would also create a very complicated, perhaps impossible, enforcement task of trying to find all transactions by foreign persons in shares of U.S. companies which held U.S. real property. Equitable enforcement would probably be impossible to achieve, and any attempt at it would in all likelihood have the effect of disrupting investment by foreign persons in U.S. equity securities generally, to the detriment of our efforts to stabilize our balance of payments position. The basic objective of a tax on the sale of shares, in our view, is to ensure that foreign persons are not able to avoid capital gains taxes on direct sales of U.S. real property by the simple expedient of placing the realty in a corporation and selling shares. The central concern, in our understanding, is with the "real property holding company" — the closely held company whose principal assets constitute realty which the foreign person or persons might hold directly, but for the capital gains tax on direct sales of real property. Accordingly, we believe that the tax on share sales should be limited to real property holding companies, and, moreover, that the tax should apply to all gain on such shares, not simply that attributable to unrealized appreciation of real property. Such a tax would be at once simpler to administer and enforce, and more carefully tailored to meet the essential objectives of the policy of taxing share sales . -4We also have some difficulties with the proposals, embodied in the bills now pending, to enforce the taxes on real property and share sales though the ordinary "withholding" method usually applied to enforce taxes on foreign persons. There are three problems with this approach. 1. A purchaser of real property, or of shares in a company, may not know whether the seller is a foreign person. In the real estate industry, it is commonplace for transactions to be effected through nominees; shares of closely held companies may be so traded as well; and in trades of shares of public companies, a purchaser only very rarely knows the party from whom he makes his purchase. Therefore, the purchaser, who has a withholding liability, may not be in a position to know whether to withhold or not. 2. There is no way for a purchaser to know how much gain a seller derives on a sale. The ordinary statutory withholding obligation is 30 percent of a gross payment, which ordinarily constitutes income in the full amount of the payment. This is true, for instance, where the payment is interest, dividends, or royalties. But where the payment is a purchase price for real property, a large part of it, and in some cases all of it, may not be capital gain, but simply a return of capital. 3. Many purchasers, "withholding agents" under the legislation, may themselves be foreign persons. Withholding taxes are imposed because collecting tax from foreign persons is very difficult once the income to which the tax attaches is out of the country. Withholding taxes contemplate that in the ordinary case the income will be paid by a U.S. person with U.S. assets subject to lien, attachment, or the like, in the event of nonpayment. But in the situation addressed by this legislation, the purchaser will often himself be a foreign person. In order to meet these difficulties, we believe that legislation to impose tax on capital gains derived by foreign persons should provide special mechanisms for withholding by purchasers of real property interests. We believe that someone purchasing a real property interest, whether real property itself or shares in a real property -5holding company, and any other party having custody of funds going to the purchase price of the property should be required to withhold 28% of the full purchase price. The 28% figure represents the maximum possible liability for capital gains tax upon a sale of real property. We think that amount should be withheld unless there are other satisfactory arrangements made for payment of the tax. In order to avoid withholding of 28% of the proceeds, the seller should be permitted to provide a certificate to the purchaser either to the effect that the seller was not a foreign person or that he had made arrangements satisfactory to the Internal Revenue Service for payment of the tax due. Thus, a seller would be able to go to the IRS before the sale, identify himself to the Service, demonstrate his cost basis in the property to be sold, the proceeds he expected to derive from the sale, and other relevant information, and to make satisfactory arrangement for payment of any tax which would be due. In addition, the seller would have to establish to the Service that he had satisfied any withholding obligation he might have had upon acquisition of the property. This would protect against avoidance of tax by successive transfers of property among different foreign persons . We believe that enforcement measures of this kind — a special withholding obligation, coupled with a "tax clearance" process — would be adequate to enforce a tax on real property gains derived by foreigners, without unduly burdening other real property transactions. Finally, I would like to comment on the relationship of present statutes and proposed changes to our bilateral tax treaties. The United States presently has in force bilateral tax treaties with 38 foreign countries and 8 overseas territories. Two of those treaties would preclude taxation of capital gains from the sale of U.S. real property when such gains were not attributable to a "permanent establishment" in the United States. Approximately one half of the treaties contain articles exempting residents of the treaty country from U.S. taxation on capital gains on the sale of corporate shares. All the treaties contain nondiscrimination articles which would, for example, prevent the United States from imposing a tax applicable to corporations owned by residents of the treaty country but not to corporations owned by U.S. taxpayers. In the absence of specific statutory provisions overriding these treaty provisions, the treaties take precedence over present and future tax statutes. -6The process of negotiating and ratifying a tax treaty is long and arduous. This process would be rendered all the more difficult, if not altogether impossible, if the United States were to begin overriding specific treaty provisions that a foreign country had negotiated in good faith. However, most of our treaty partners are sympathetic to considering treaty changes necessary to prevent tax evasion and unintended tax avoidance. Accordingly, we are opposed to any statutory changes which would immediately override our tax treaty obligations, but are willing to contemplate provisions which would allow the Treasury sufficient time to implement appropriate modifications in those treaties before statutory changes become effective. In summary, the Administration endorses the basic objective of the pending proposals to ensure taxation of capital gains derived by foreign persons from sales of U.S. real property. We believe those proposals can be strengthened by making them apply to all U.S. real property interests, by targeting their application to sales of corporate shares, by ensuring that they contain a workable enforcement mechanism, and by delaying their effect on existing treaty provisions. 0O0 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE AT 11:15 AM EDT October 24, 1979 Contact: Robert Nipp 202/566-5328 TREASURY ANNOUNCES DM SECURITY SALE The U.S. Department of the Treasury, the Ministry of Finance of the Federal Republic of Germany and the Deutsche Bundesbank (German Central Bank) announced today that the Treasury will offer securities denominated in Deutsche Marks in two issues of up to 2 billion DM each. The first offering will be made in early November and the second one is planned for January, 1980. The securities will be offered exclusively to residents of the Federal Republic of Germany. The offerings will be made through the Deutsche Bundesbank acting as agent on behalf of the U.S. Treasury. Further details on these offerings will be announced at a later date. # M-142 # # FOR RELEASE UPON DELIVERY EXPECTED AT 10:00 AM EST OCTOBER 25, 1979 ^/ STATEMENT BY THE HONORABLE C. FRED BERGSTEN ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY FOR INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON AFRICA COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN AFFAIRS HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES U.S. ECONOMIC INTERESTS AND POLICIES IN AFRICA Africa plays an increasingly important role in the global economic relations of the United States. Today I will outline briefly the growing economic interdependence between Africa and the United States, and discuss a number of ways the United States is assisting African countries to pursue their economic and social development objectives. Africa is an extremely diverse region. There are, however, certain characteristics that most of its countries share: severe poverty, endemic hunger, curtailed lifespans marked by rampant disease, and massive illiteracy are the most prevalent. Most of Africa belongs clearly within the "Fourth World" of least developed countries. It does not include any advanced developing countries, such as Brazil or Korea, whose rapid progress M-143 - 2 has thrust them into the forefront of the "Third World" and enables them to play an increasingly important role in the global economy. Growth in real per capita GNP for sub-Saharan Africa has been consistently the lowest of any region, at less than 1 percent per year from 1975 thru 1977. Now the painstaking advances of many African countries during the last few years may well be partially or entirely erased by the escalating cost of their oil imports. In addition, the economies of many African countries are characterized by serious structural problems: Near absence of oasic infrastructure. Lack of economic diversification, which often perpetuates dependence on exports of a few primary commodities. Shortages of economic institutions and expertise. A bias against agriculture. Lingering suspicion and restriction of the private sector and foreign investment, often combined with an inordinate amount of bureaucratic red tape. Combined with frequent political instability, these factors result in a shortage of investment capital, which in turn tends to perpetuate the vicious circle of slow growth and continued structural deficiencies. The best way for the richer countries, including the United States, to help the African countries break this circle is through concessional assistance, including technical assistance. Such help can be extended both bilaterally and through such multilateral - 3 development institutions as the International Development Association (IDA), the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), the International Finance Corporation (IFC), the African Development Fund and soon, we hope, the African Development Bank. In the charged atmosphere of African politics, the neutrality of institutions such as the World Bank Group enables them to assist not only the development of each country but regional cooperative efforts as well. The United States has direct economic, humanitarian, and political interests in assuring a strong and viable Africa where poverty is reduced, the pace of economic growth improved, and serious financial problems avoided. A wide range of U.S. economic policies contributes to these objectives and enhances the positive effects of global concessional assistance to the nations of Africa. I would like to take this opportunity to comment specifically on U.S. economic interests in Africa, and the policies we have pursued to benefit the African nations. I will stress the areas where Congress itself needs to act, either now or within the next year or so, to play its full role in these efforts to enhance U.S. economic relations with Africa. U.S. Economic Interests in Africa U.S. policy toward Africa must be seen in the context of U.S. policy toward all developing countries, which seeks to promote U.S. interests toward that overall group of nations. The developing countries as a whole, including OPEC, are - 4 becoming increasingly important to U.S. economic interests because: — The United States sells more than one-third of its total exports to developing countries, equivalent to $53 billion in 1978. — More U.S. manufactured exports go to the developing countries than to Western Europe, Japan, and the nonmarket economies combined. — Nearly half of U.S. industrial machinery, electrical machinery and aircraft exports go to LDCs. — 'Developing nations account for 85 percent of U.S. imports of fuel and 30 percent of U.S. imports of other raw materials. — Approximately one-fourth of U.S. direct investment abroad is absorbed by LDCs. U.S. economic policies toward Africa reflect the importance of these interests, as well as our more specific interests in Africa: — The African nations purchased nearly $6 billion in U.S. exports and supplied almost $17 billion in U.S. imports during 1978. — The bulk of this trade is in energy: U.S. imports of fuels and lubricants from Africa amounted to $12.5 billion last year, nearly 30 percent of our total energy imports. - 5 Libya, Algeria and Nigeria are important U.S. sources of energy. Since the Iranian unrest, Nigeria alone has accounted for 17 percent of total U.S. crude oil imports. Nigerian high quality low sulphur crude is particularly in demand by U.S. refiners because of its high gasoline component. Four other countries are minor energy producers: Angola, the Congo, Gabon, and Zaire. Much exploration is also taking place off the west coast of Africa between the Ivory Coast and Angola, with American companies actively involved. Other major imports from Africa include unfinished metals ($1.8 billion) and agricultural commodities, mainly coffee and cocoa ($1.5 billion). Africa supplies substantial shares of U.S. imports of a number of key commodities: almost one-fourth of U.S. coffee imports, more than half of our cocoa imports, one-fifth of U.S. tea supplies, one-fifth of our copper imports, more than one-third of our imports of precious metals (mainly gold), and 60 percent of our imports of industrial diamonds. Sub-Saharan Africa provides 80 percent of U.S. imports of cobalt and one-third of our processed manganese imports. South Africa alone supplies one-third of U.S. chromite imports, 75 percent of U.S. imports of processed chrome, and 40 percent of U.S. platinum imports. Guinea accounts for about 20 percent of U.S. imports of bauxite, and possesses the world's largest known reserves. - 6 On the export side, Africa takes one-eighth of U.S. wheat exports, one-fourth of our rice exports, onefifth of our tallow exports, and a substantial amount of machinery and transport equipment ($2.6 billion in 1978). Our major African markets are South Africa, Nigeria, and Egypt (about $1 billion in U.S. exports to each country) which together account for half of our total exports to Africa. Major suppliers of goods to the U.S. market are Nigeria, Libya, and Algeria ($3 to 6 billion each) for a combined share of nearly three-fourths of total U.S. imports from Africa. At year end 1978, U.S. direct investment in Africa (excluding South Africa) totaled $3.4 billion, almost double the level of a decade earlier. This investment was concentrated in a few industries and a few countries. Direct investment in petroleum accounted for about 60 percent of the 1978 total, with mining and smelting accounting for another 15 percent and manufacturing investments 8 percent. About 60 percent of all direct investment in Africa (excluding South Africa) was located in four countries — Egypt, Liberia, Libya and Nigeria. African countries also play a significant and expanding role in many economic and political multilateral forums. The United States has encountered both cooperation and opposition from various African countries at the World - 7 Bank, IMF, MTN, commodity negotiations, and North/South conferences. Whether opposing or supporting our views, it is clear that African countries are now players. African countries control one-third of the votes in the United Nations General Assembly and have been making their influence felt. All of these factors argue strongly for U.S. policies which take full account of African concerns and provide a sound basis for future economic and political cooperation. The United States has already undertaken a number of initiatives which directly benefit the African nations. I would like to summarize these efforts in five major areas: concessional aid, commodities, general trade policy, monetary affairs and energy policy. Concessional Aid The amount of U.S. assistance now going to Africa is substantial. It is also increasing, particularly that part which is channeled through the multilateral development banks. In its most recent fiscal year, the World Bank Group approved 70 loans for sub-Saharan countries totalling more than $1.2 billion — up by $130 million from the previous year and by more than $300 million since 1976. Of the total amount approved last year, $619 million (slightly more than half) was lent on highly concessional terms from IDA, the Bank's soft loan window. - 8 IDA is by far the largest single source of concessional financing in the world for Africa. The United States is of course a major contributor to IDA, and I hope that Congress will in the near future finalize approval of the Administration's request for just under $1.1 billion to complete our contributions to the fourth and fifth replenishments of that extremely important institution. U.S. policy initiatives within the World Bank have pointed toward the most effective use of these resources, by shifting sectoral concentrations so as to place greater emphasis on lending which directly reaches the poor and helps meet basic human needs. Lending in support of agriculture and rural development now accounts for 31 percent of total lending in West Africa and 41 percent in East Africa. More attention is also being given to lending for water supply and sewage and for innovative projects to assist small-scale African enterprises. Africa also provides an example of the Bank's new energy program — $9 million to help develop the geo- thermal potential of the Rift Valley of Kenya. In addition, we feel that the continued use of World Bank resources to support the development of economic infrastructure is particularly critical in the poorest developing countries, such as sub-Saharan Africa. need basic road and power projects. These countries still In view of the total focus of our bilateral assistance program on basic human needs, the development banks are the only mechanism through which we can contribute to these priority areas of African development. - 9 Increasing amounts of U.S. assistance to Africa are also being channeled through the African Development Fund. This concessional lending facility was established in 1973 under the aegis of the African Development Bank, with financial support from non-regional developed countries. Last year, the Fund approved loans totalling $186 million, up from $142 million in 1977 and $80 million in 1976. During the recently negotiated replenishment agreement, the United States — after extensive consultations with the Congress — pledged $125 million to the Fund's resources over the next three years. This was the first time for the United States to participate in a negotiated expansion of African Fund resources, as the previous Administration had elected not to contribute to the original funding of the ADF or its first replenishment in 1975. The African countries were extremely pleased with this pathbreaking U.S. contribution, which was announced personally by President Carter during his visit to Africa in early 1978 and which I had the personal pleasure to deliver to the Annual Meeting of the African Development Bank in Libreville later that year. I believe that U.S. economic and political interests in Africa will be significantly advanced by our participation in this uniquely African institution. The first year's installment of $41.7 million has been included by both the House and Senate in the FY 1980 appropriation for Foreign Assistance and Related Programs, now in Conference. -10In addition, the United States participated very actively during 1979 in international negotiations leading to the proposed expansion of membership of the African Development Bank. Under Charter provisions adopted when the Bank was established in 1964, membership has been limited to African countries. These charter provisions are now being amended to provide for membership by countries outside the region, including those from Western Europe, Canada, Japan, and the United States. When this process is completed, probably by January 1980, we expect to submit legislation to authorize (and subsequently appropriate) U.S. capital subscriptions of $360 million. This would give the United States a capital share of 5.68 percent of the Bank's total capital ($6.3 billion) and 17.04 percent of the $2.1 billion non-regional capital subscription. It would make the United States the largest single non-African member of the Bank, giving African countries a further tangible and highly visible signal of our commitment to promoting their growth and development — through an institution which is thoroughly African, and which therefore is a major source of pride and interest throughout the Continent. Commodity Policy Price instability has long been a problem for both consumers and producers of key commodities. Recurring boom and bust cycles are detrimental to all nations: - 11 — During periods of rapidly rising prices, they fuel inflationary tendencies in consuming countries. To the extent these price increases become embedded in wages, they can help perpetuate inflationary spirals. — For producing countries heavily dependent upon commodity production and exports, excessive price volatility can lead to erratic investment and development in both the agricultural and raw materials sectors. It can also disrupt economies through large shifts in domestic employment, savings, tax revenues and foreign exchange earnings. The fragile economic and social structures of African countries are probably the most susceptible to these disruptions; at the same time, they are least able to cope with the consequences thereof. More than most areas, therefore, Africa stands to benefit significantly from cooperative commodity policies between producing and consuming nations. To help remedy this price volatility, the United States has supported, wherever feasible, the negotiation of stabilization agreements to dampen commodity price fluctuations. To ensure that such agreements balance the costs and benefits to all parties, we prefer stabilization arrangements which rely on buffer stocks, buying when prices are low and selling when prices are high. The United States belongs to the International Tin Agreement, and is seeking early ratification of the newly - 12 negotiated Rubber Agreement, both of which rely on buffer stocks. The International Cocoa Agreement is now being renegotiated and, if negotiations are successful, will rely on buffer stocks to stabilize prices. The United States has also suggested a similar mechanism to stabilize copper prices. Where buffer stocks are not feasible, agreements relying on national stocking and export quotas, while less desirable than buffer stock arrangements, can also be effective. Examples of this second type of stabilization agreement are the Sugar Agreement, the Coffee Agreement and the proposed Wheat Agreement. The United States either currently is a member, or plans to join, all three of these agreements. Several African countries — notably Cameroon, Ghana, Ivory Coast, and Nigeria — have a vital interest in the Cocoa Agreement. Liberia has participated in the recent rubber negotiations and Nigeria is a member of the Tin Agreement. Membership in the Coffee Agreement, the largest of the existing agreements, includes a long list of African countries headed by Ivory Coast, Angola, Uganda, Ethiopia, and Zaire. The Sugar Agreement, which is still in the process of ratification by the United States, has been joined by South Africa, Mauritius, Mozambique, and Swaziland, together with a number of smaller producers who are nevertheless heavily dependent on sugar exports. - 13 Only two countries in Africa are major copper producers, but both Zaire and Zambia are leading exporters to Europe, Japan and the United States. Of particular importance to Africa is the strong U.S. support for separate implementation of the Food Aid Convention, presently part of the International Wheat Agreement, under which donor countries commit to an increase in food aid. The United States has said it will unilaterally meet a new annual commitment of 4.5 million tons of grain, up from 1.9 million tons under the present agreement. A number of other commodity arrangements are also under consideration to expand market opportunties through production and utilization research, market promotion, and the exchange of market information. Products for which such agreements may emerge are jute, tropical timber, hard fibers and tea. The last three commodities are of particular interest to Gabon, Kenya, and Tanzania. The other major commodity initiative is the Common Fund. The United States believes that consolidating the assets of individual commodity agreements can make the individual agreements more efficient financially and save money for participating countries. The United States has supported a Common Fund which would pool the financial resources of agreements but which would not interfere with the operation of the agreements themselves, nor duplicate activities of the development banks. - 14 The Common Fund Negotiations are entering the final stages and should be completed late this year or early in 1980. The United States would seek ratification in 1980 and entry into force would probably occur late next year or in 1981. We would expect to request an authorization for appropriation in FY 1981, accompanied by a request for an initial appropriation of $1 million. A later appropriation of at least $60 million would be sought, at a time and under terms yet to be negotiated. Trade Trade is one of the most important areas of U.S. economic interaction with developing countries. As members of the Fourth World, the .majority of African nations remain largely dependent upon exports^of agricultural and other raw materials, including energy,L to earn the essential foreign exchange to pay for food and industrial imports crucial to their domestic needs and the development process. Access to foreign markets for their exports.is therefore an important objective of the African nations. It will become even more important as their economies develop and trade expands. The United States remains a strong proponent of open markets for the benefit of all nations. Our focus has been essentially three-fold: — rejection of proposals to restrict U.S. imports from developing countries; - 15 — continued preferential trading treatment in our market for developing countries; and — active participation in the recently concluded Multilateral Trade Negotiations, which will significantly reduce tariff and non-tariff barriers to international trade for all countries. U.S. trade statistics provide the clearest indication of the openness of our markets. Our imports of manufactured goods from the developing countries have grown from $3 billion in 1970 to about $24 billion in 1978. Developing countries now supply half of our imports of consumer goods and onefourth of all our manufactured imports. The majority of African nations are not yet in a position to take advantage of these markets in the area of manufactured goods, although they will be over the longer term. African access to the U.S. market through our system of generalized market preferences (GSP) is also in a nascent stage. Approximately $125 million in African goods entered the United States under GSP in 1978. Ivory Coast, Ghana, and Mauritius were principal beneficiaries. The U.S. system offers preferential duty-free access to products from developing countries on a competitive need basis. When a specific product from a country eligible for GSP becomes competitive in the U.S. market, that product reverts to normal tariff treatment on the grounds tnat special help is no longer needed — and that its continuation would unfairly - 16 hamper less competitive countries from getting an opportunity to enter the market. This policy is designed to especially benefit the developing nations which most need special access. It will directly benefit the African nations as they begin to produce and export manufactured and semi-manufactured goods, and as developing countries elsewhere "graduate" to MFN status. At present, however, the vast majority of Africa's non-oil exports to the United States are primary commodities which already enter our markets duty free. Access for these products should remain unrestricted in the future. In addition, as a result of the MTN, industrial nations will make tariff cuts averaging more than 30 percent on over $140 billion of our imports in coming years. Finally, on the export side, the United States Export Import Bank and U.S. Public Law 480 and other bilateral concessional aid programs have given substantial assistance to U.S. exports destined for Africa. Eximbank exposure in Africa as of August 31, 1979, totalled $3.1 billion. Bilateral U.S. concessional aid to Africa in fiscal year 1978 also totalled nearly $600 million. International Monetary Policy The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is the central monetary institution for the world economy and the principal source of official balance of payments financing for its members. The Fund is not an aid institution, and its - 17 resources do not finance development projects. However, by promoting a sound, stable world economy and helping members implement corrective macroeconomic programs to deal with temporary payments problems, the IMF fosters the healthy world economic environment and the domestic economic stability essential for development. This is an important function for all member countries, including the African developing nations. The IMF has recently strengthened its capacity to meet official balance of payments financing needs through increases in the amounts of Fund resources and members' access to these resources: — The Supplementary Financing (Witteveen) Facility, of $10 billion, for which the Congress voted last year a U.S. contribution of $1.8 billion, is now in operation and will provide additional funds to countries experiencing severe payments problems. The first drawing under the SFF was made by an African country, Sudan, and Kenya has joined other countries making use of the facility. — A fifty percent increase in IMF quotas scheduled for next year will be a timely addition to Fund resources. The quotas of African members will increase by nearly $2 billion as a result. - 18 — SDR allocations have also been resumed in an effort to promote the use of the SDR as an international reserve asset and to supplement other reserves. The African nations are scheduled to receive allocations of SDR 929 million (about $1.2 billion) over the period 1979-1981. — The Compensatory Financing Facility, a valuable source of balance of payments financing to many countries during the cyclical downturn of the mid-70's, has recently been liberalized substantially and accounts for a large proportion of current IMF financing for Africa, equivalent to approximately $1.1 billion in outstanding drawings. — A Trust Fund administered by the IMF, which provides concessional balance of payments loans to eligible countries, has extended $797 million of financing to the poorest African countries. — Further modification of the existing IMF facilities is under consideration. Over the coming months, the IMF Executive Board will consider extending the repayment period under the Extended Fund Facility from 8 to 10 years, and will study ways of lowering interest costs of the Supplementary Financing Facility. Large shifts in current account balances will occur over the next two years, including a deterioration on the order of $20 billion in the current account deficit of the developing countries as a group. While we do not expect a general financing - 19 problem to arise for the developing countries as a group, some countries, including some in Africa, may experience balance of payments difficulty. The availability of IMF resources and programs in such instances will be an important source of stability and strength. Energy Policy Increased costs of energy have a particularly serious impact on the developing nations of Africa, which can least afford it. (1) U.S. energy policy is two-fold in nature: to improve domestic conservation, reduce oil imports, and increase alternative energy production; and (2) to improve international cooperation in energy and assist nations especially hurt by the increased cost of oil. The United States has sought to alleviate the problems of the African nations and other LDCs through support of IMF credits to assist in meeting their short-term payment imbalances and World Bank loans to meet their development needs. More specifically to meet their energy problems in the longer run, the United States has supported the World Bank's expanded energy program. In July 1977, the Bank Board approved a lending program which for the first time included oil and gas development projects. In January 1979, it expanded this program further to include exploration. While the World Bank has not as yet made any - 20 loans to African nations under this program, an IFC loan for $4 billion was extended to assist in further exploration and development of existing offshore oil fields in Zaire. Over the next two years, however, applications for petroleum projects totalling $206 million are expected from 13 African countries, out of a total of 24 expected applications amounting to $814 million worldwide. Over the next five years, World Bank lending for oil, gas, coal and hydroelectric development is projected to total $7.7 billion, or at least 15 percent of total Bank lending in five years. When these projects reach fruition, energy production equivalent to between 2 and 2.25 million barrels of oil a day should result, thus reducing the potential demand for OPEC oil. World Bank activities in the energy sector will thus help to improve materially the world energy supply and demand picture. Energy deficient countries in Africa can be expected to benefit significantly from this important new program. Under its new energy program, our own Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC) has also provided political risk coverage for an offshore oil exploration, development, and production project in Ghana. The first oil ever produced in Ghana is now flowing from this project's platform and is providing a significant share of the country's total needs. All these programs, of course, help our own energy situation - 21 by improving the world's supply/demand balance as well as addressing directly a critical development bottleneck of most poor countries. Conclusion The United States thus has a wide array of major economic interests in Africa, and is pursuing a wide array of policies in pursuit of those interests. Our basic strategy is to work cooperatively with the African countries themselves to provide concessional assistance, through both bilateral and multilateral channels; to offer them access to our markets for goods, capital and technology wherever possible; and to maintain a general world economic environment conducive to economic growth and development. The Congress has many opportunities to participate actively in this effort. It has already voted for trade liberalization which helps the African countries, and has supported maintenance of a strong IMF. Within the next few days, it needs to take its final vote on the Foreign Assistance Appropriations for FY 1980 — including U.S. funding (without restrictive amendments) for the World Bank Group, the world's largest assistance channel for Africa, and the African Development Fund. The Administration will soon submit legislation for an increase in the U.S. quota in the IMF. Several commodity agreements of importance to African countries are pending in the Congress, or will be submitted next year. Also next year, the Administration will seek initial support - 22 for U.S. participation in the African Development Bank and probably the Common Fund. I look forward to continuing to work closely with the Congress, and particularly with this Committee, on all these issues. TOTAL TOTAL AFRICA OIL EXPORTING Algeria Libya Nigeria Egypt South Africa OUTSTANDING IMF CREDITS TO AFRICA AS OF AUGUST 31. 1979 (sailIons of 6DRa) GENERAL ACCOUNT OIL CREDIT TRANCHES CFF FACILITY ORDINARY err 121x1 " 245.7 232.0 — iH2 IMF TRUST FUND BUFFER 1TOCK aTlTo' ?»-» 122.5 29.7 75.0 626.9 296.2 12.8 13.1 13.2 7.9 14. S 4.3 6.5 4.3 1.3 5.4 S.4 5B.0 72.0 345.8 1.289.2 OTHER AFRICA Benin Botswana Burundi 26.3 Caneroon 8.6 Capa Varde 7.8 Central African tapir* Chad 4.6 11.1 Co«oroa Congo 18.0 Djibouti 15.0 15.0 Equatorial Guinea 0.8 5.3 Ethiopia 26.1 55.1 Gabon 1.1 7.5 Gambia 9.7 Ghana 12.0 109.4 Guinea-Bissau — — Guinea 9.2 9.2 Ivory Coast 6.0 11.1 Kenya 1.7 14.5 Leaotho 6.6 4.7 Liberia 16.0 19.0 8.0 Madagascar 170.3 40.9 Malawi — •^ Mali Mauritania 38.8 Mauritiua Morocco 22.5 2.6 Niger Rwanda 110.8 8.5 Sao Tome a Principe 89.6 13.7 Senegal Seychelles 24.0 Sierra Leone 30.2 Somalia 175.9 Sudan 29.8 283.3 Swaziland 154.7 Tanzania To go Souice; T u n i til a IMF, International Financial Statistics Uganda Upper Volta Zambia Zaire 7.5 495.5 1.5 6.5 18.0 4.5 1.1 - 29.0 2.2 69.0 _ 9.5 6.5 11.0 112,5 21.0 12.5 54.0 — 41.3 24.0 25.0 84.7 101.9 23.1 — 5.1 3.3 6.6 4.8 _ 16.9 17.8 7.4 33.3 34.6 _ 5.2 bl.4 26.7 17.6 2.9 20.6 15.6 21.6 31.3 3.3 18.9 10.8 6.2 14.3 7.1 10.5 73.6 5.4 5.3 22.2 10.4 7.5 7.5 46.9 1.9 27.4 9.8 5.4 46.8 18.0 AFRICAN COUNTRIES INCLUDED IN PROVISIONAL PROGRAM OF PETROLEUM PROJECTS TO BE PRESENTED TO THE BOARD IN THE NEXT TWO YEARS Project Country Amount (millions of $) Pre-Development Exploration Technical Assistance Technical Assistance Oil Exploration Pre-Development Oil/Gas Exploration Oil Exploration Madagascar* Congo* Yemen, PDR Morocco Liberia* Tanzania* Yemen, A.R. 5 4 5 35 3 5 5 Development Chad 1/* Egypt Tunisia Ivory Coast* Benin* Nigeria 1/* Oil Production Gas Distribution Onshore Gas Oil Distribution Oil Development Gas Pipeline Total for Africa: 14 30 10 35 10 45 206 •Subtotal for Sub-Saharan Africa: 121 * 1/ Sub-Saharan countries Subject to changes in the political situation or decisions of government Source: World Bank September 11, 1979 FOR RELEASE WHEN AUTHORIZED AT PRESS CONFERENCE October 24, 1979 TREASURY NOVEMBER QUARTERLY FINANCING The Treasury will raise about $1,400 million of new cash and refund $5,390 million of securities maturing November 15, 1979, by issuing $2,750 million of 3-1/2-year notes, $2,000 million of 10-year notes and $2,000 million of 30-year bonds. The $5,390 million of maturing securities are those held by the public, including $ 759 million held, as of today, by Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities. In addition to the public holdings, Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks, for their own accounts, hold $1,831 million of the maturing securities that may be refunded by issuing additional amounts of new securities. Additional amounts of the new securities may also be issued to Federal Reserve Banks, as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities, to the extent that the aggregate amount of tenders for such accounts exceeds the aggregate amount of maturing securities held by them. Details about each of the new securities are given in the attached "highlights" of the offering and in the official offering circulars. oOo Attachment M-144 (over) HIGHLIGHTS OF TREASURY OFFERINGS TO THE PUBLIC NOVEMBER 1979 FINANCING TO BE ISSUED NOVEMBER 15, 1979 Amount Offered; TO the public $2,000 million $2,000 million H $2,750 million Description of Security Term and type of security Series and PTIQTD A U L i u y : eries and CUSIP designation Maturity date Call date Interest coupon'rate •* I /•> 3-1/2-year notes Series G-1983 (CUSIP No. 912827 KB 7) M a v l5 ' 1983 N rovision ° P To be determined based on the averac e of Investment yield 3 accepted bids To be determined at Premium or discount auction T Interest payment d a t « ° b e d e t e r m i n e d a f t e r auction Minimum dllnSminattS^IOiiiibie 1". 11 I I I :S?%So ™* ^ " ^ " Terms of Sale: Method of sale. Yield Auction Accrued interest'payabie'by y investor.... None Preferred allotment ent Noncompetitive bid for Deposit requirement $1,000,000 or less Deposit nn-,™! w 5% of face amount ^stUutionr^ October 24, 1979 by desi ^ated Acceptable Key Dates; Deadline for receipt of tenders Tuesday, October 30, 1979, _J by 1:30 p.m., EST Qoffln Settlement date (final payment due) a cash or Federal funds Thursday, November 15, 1979 b) check drawn on bank within FRB district where submitted Friday, November 9, 1979 c) check drawn on bank outside FRB district where submitted....Thursday, November 8, 1979 Delivery date for coupon securities...Thursday, November 15, 1979 10-year notes cpries B—1989 fcUSIP No. 912827 KC 5) November 15, 1989 No provision To be determined based on T H * average of accepted bids on G T o b e determined at auction ?o be determined after aucti May 15 and November 15 $1,000 Yield Auction None ,. , f-y. Noncompetitive bid for $1,000,000 or less 5% of face amount Acceptable Wednesday, October 31, 1979, by 1:30 p.m., EST Th ursday, November 15, 1979 Friday, November 9, 1979 Thursday, November 8, 1979 Thursday, November 15, 1979 30-year bonds Bonds of 2004-2009 (CUSIP NO. 912810 CK 2) November 15, 2009 November 15, 2004 To be determined based on the average of accepted bids To be determined at auction To be determined after auction May 15 and November 15 $1,000 Yield Auction None . Noncompetitive bid tor $1,000,000 or less 5% of face amount Acceptable Thursday, November 1, 1979, by 1:30 p.m., EST Th ursday, November 15, 1979 Friday, November 9, 1979 Thursday, November 8, 197 Tuesday, November 20, 1979 TALKING POINTS FOR THE FINANCING PRESS CONFERENCE October 24, 1979 This afternoon we are announcing the terms of our regular November quarterly refunding. I will also discuss the Treasury's financing requirements for the balance of the calendar year and our estimated cash needs for the January - March quarter. Our refunding will consist of a short-term note, an intermediate-term note and a long-term bond. We are offering $6-3/4 billion of new securities to refund $5.4 billion of publicly-held securities maturing on November 15 and to raise approximately $1.4 billion of new cash. The three new securities are: — First, a 3-year, 6-month note in the amount of $2-3/4 billion maturing on May 15, 1983. This security will be auctioned on a yield basis on Tuesday, October 30. The minimum denomination will be $5,000. — Second, a 10-year note in the amount of $2 billion maturing November 15, 1989. - 2 The note will be auctioned on a yield basis on Wednesday, October 31. The minimum denomination will be $1,000. — Third, a 30-year bond in the amount of $2 billion maturing on November 15, 2009 and callable beginning November 15, 2004. This bond will be auctioned on a yield basis on Thursday, November 1. The minimum denomination will be $1,000. On each of the three issues, we will accept noncompetitive tenders of up to $1,000,000. For the current October - December quarter, we estimate our net market financing will total about $13-1/2 billion, assuming a $12 billion cash balance at the end of December. Thus far, not including this refunding, we have raised about $2-1/4 billion in new cash in marketable borrowing during this quarter. This was accomplished as follows: $1/2 billion in connection with the 2- and 4-year note cycles which settled on October 9 and 10, respectively. $1-1/2 billion in the 15-year, 1-month bond which settled on October 18. - 3 $1/4 billion of new cash in the additions to weekly bills. The $1.4 billion new cash raised in this refunding will bring the total new cash raised for the quarter to date to approximately $3-1/2 billion, leaving a balance of about $10 billion still to be done. This remaining cash need could be met by continued additions to the regular weekly bills, longer-dated cash management bills, a possible intermediate note in early December in the 5-6 year range, possible additions to the 2- and 4-year notes in December and the proceeds of the first DM security. Shorter-dated cash management bills, maturing within the quarter, to accommodate temporary cash needs may also be utilized. Our net market borrowing need in the first quarter of calendar year 1980 is currently estimated in the range of $19 - 22 billion, assuming an $8 billion cash balance at the end of March. TREASURY FINANCING REQUIREMENTS July—September 1979 $Bil. $Bil. Sources Uses 36V4 i-- Gov't Acc't Investment ^ 4 Special Issues u 30 30 20 — Coupon Maturities ^ 4 Coupon Refundings 20 Foreign Nonmarketables 10 4 Increase in Cash Balance 4 Cash Deficit 1/4 10 -_- Other Nonmarketables Net Market Borrowing t 10 1 /4 0 0 ±f Net of exchanges for maturing marketable securities of $ % billion. Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing October 23, 1979-18 TREASURY FINANCING REQUIREMENTS October-December 1979^ K 2 h K 2 * 1* 51 1 * | Special Issues* USeS Sources $Bil. 40 $Bil. Coupon Refundings Coupon ^ Maturities T 40 30 30 3/4 Done Nonmarketables Net Market 13%< 11V 2 ^To Be Done Borrowing 20 20 ^ C a s h Deficit 10 10 Decrease in ii Cash Balance T 0 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing 1/Assumes $ 1 2 billion December 31, 1979 cash balance. 2/Net of exchanges for maturing marketable securities of $V* billion. ^m 0 October 23, 1979-19 TREASURY NET MARKET BORROWING*/ Calendar Year Quarters $Bil $Bil. 23.9 24.7 22.8 COUPONS III! Over 10 yrs. K20-10 yrs. BILLS 20 20 10 10 0 0 -10 -3.9 I II HI 1975 IV I II III IV 1976 I II III IV 1977 I II III IV 1978 I -10 J III IV II 1979 \J Excludes Federal Reserve and Government Account Transactions. Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing October 23, 1979-2 TREASURY MARKET BORROWING^ Calendar Year Quarters $Bil. $Bil. 1 C o u p o n Refunding • Net Borrowing 40 40 30 20 10 0 10 III 1975 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing IV I II III IV 1976 I II III IV 1977 I II III 1978 I VI II III I V e 10 1979 J/Excludes Federal Reserve and Government Account Transactions. e estimate. October 23, 1979-25 TREASURY NET BORROWING FROM NONMARKETABLE ISSUES $Bil. $Bil. 10 10 |Savings Bonds & Other | State & Local Series [Foreign Nonmarketables 8 8 0 0 ™-1.4 II III I V 1975 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing I II III I V 1976 I II III I V 1977 I II III I V 1978 _-2 I II 1979 October 23, 1979-3 QUARTERLY CHANGES IN FOREIGN AND INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS OF PUBLIC DEBT SECURITIES $Bil.| 201 20 mm Nonmarketable Marketable ^ Add-ons^ • • Other Transactions 16 17.0 16 14.9 12 12 8 8 6.2 4.9 ^ 4 1.0 3.5 1.4 1.6 , U L .3JL 0 -4 $Bil. ^^N Ittiftft! 0 -0.5 --4 -8 -12 -14.3 -16 III 1975 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing IV II III IV 1976 II III IV 1977 II III IV 1978 -16 1979 _7 F.R.B. Purchases of marketable issues as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities for n e w cash. October 23, 1979-11 U Partly estimated. TREASURY OPERATING CASH BALANCE Semi-Monthly Jan May Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing Jul 1978 May Jul 1979 Sep Nov October 23, 1979-15 SHORT TERM INTEREST RATES Monthly Averages % /o 14 S 14 Federal Funds 12 10 Prime Rate 8- 6- Through week ending -d October 17, 1979 ^Commercial Paper vpSS*^ 3 Month Treasury Bill J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing October 23, 1979-4 SHORT TERM INTEREST RATES Weekly Averages % Week ending October 17, 1979 15 14 13 Prime Rate 12 11 Commercial Paper / 10 •••••• ^ , • • • • • ••••••••' ,«•••••••••••....••• ..•••••••• ,•••• 3 Month Treasury Bill 8 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1979 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing October 23, 1979-5 LONG MARKET RATES Monthly Averages % % 11 11 — , - • • ' - N e w A a Corporates 10 V'V 9- y « -9 A 8 -— 10 ' N e w Conventiona Mortgages v^ X -8 Treasury 20-Year , / ^ ..... 7- -7 V N e w 20-Year \ Municipal Bonds ' 6I III I i M 1 1 1 1 M 1 1 „/ •**S I I I 1 I 1 1 1 1 II 1 1 1 1 II 1 1 1 1 1 I Through week ending October 19, 1979 II II I IIII II I I I J S N J M M J S N J M M J , S N J M M J S N J M M J , S N J M M J S 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing October 23,1979-7 INTERMEDIATE AND LONG MARKET RATES Weekly Averages % Week ending October 19, 1979 New Conventional Mortgages ^ 11 10 New Aa Corporates .*.-,%**'"" ""^'**'«*. ^-L-ii__.. _«.—g^^3*^ Treasury 10-Year Treasury 20-Year * *—*i Treasury 7-Year 8 Municipal Bonds New 20-Year 6 5 Jan Feb Mar Apr May June 1979 July Aug Sep Oct ^ Monthly, weekly data not available. Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing October 23, 1979-6 MARKET YIELDS ON GOVERNMENTS Bid Yields 5 6 Years to Maturity Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing October 23, 1979 2 2 $Bil TRADING VOLUME AND OPEN INTEREST IN 90 DAY TREASURY BILL FUTURES CONTRACTS 500 $Bil 500 Open Interest 400 400 TRADING V O L U M E 300 300 I II III I V I II III I V I II III I V I II II 1976 1977 1978 1979 200 200 100 100 0 III 1976 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing IV I III 1977 IV I II III 1978 IV I I 1979 0 October 23, 1979-14 DELIVERABLE BILLS AND DELIVERIES ON 90 DAY TREASURY BILL FUTURES CONTRACTS $Bil. $Bi 6 mo. 3 mo. 0 Mar Jun Sep 1976 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing "| Estimated > Deliverable J Supply^ Dec Mar 3 Jun Sep 1977 Dec Mar Jun Sep 1978 Dec Mar Jun Sep 1979 0 1/ Consists of the amount of accepted competitive tenders for the n e w 3 month bill and the 6 month bill issued 3 months earlier. October 23, 1979-13 NEW MONEY FROM NONCOMPETITIVE BIDS IN TREASURY BILL AUCTIONS AND AVERAGE AUCTION YIELDS %. 1% May Jun 1979 Auction Dates Office of the Secretary ot the Treasury Office of Government Financing 1/ Discount basis. 2 / N e w money is the difference between noncompetitive bids on the n e w issues and maturing bills previously bid noncompetitively. October 23. 1979 24 GROWTH IN MONEY MARKET CERTIFICATES & 6 MONTH BILL AVERAGE AUCTION YIELDS % 11 6 Month Bill Average Auction Yields % j/ 11 10 10 9 9 8 8 i i i T f y r i ih i i ill i i i 1 1 i i ih i i 11 7 $Bil. i ili i i ill i 1 1 1 i 11 i 11 M ill i 11 li i i i i 7 $Bil. Money Market Certificates Savings & Loan 15 10 J J Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing A S 0 1978 N D J F M A M J 1979 o J 7 Discount Basis October 23, 1979 23 0 PRIVATE HOLDINGS OF TREASURY MARKETABLE DEBT $BII BY MATURITY 400 Sept. 30, 1979 »J80.6 38.8 COUPONS V//A Over 10 yrs 7-10 yrs 350 300 t 2-7 yrs 2 yrs & under 250 84.3 I I BILLS 200 127.0 t 116.9 1969 1970 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 As of December 31 1976 1977 1978 1979 October 23, 1979-10 AVERAGE LENGTH OF THE MARKETABLE DEBT Privately Held | June 1967 5 Years 1 Month September 30, 1979 3 Years 8 Months 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing 1978 1979 October 23, 1979 1 OWNERSHIP OF MATURING COUPON ISSUES October 1979-March 1980^ (In Millions of Dollars) Savings Institutions Total Privately Held Maturing Issues 6 1/4% 6 5/8% 7 % Nt. 7 1/8% 7 1/2% 7 1/8% 7 1/2% 4 % Bd. 6 1/2% 7 5/8% 7 1/2% Nt. 11/15/79 Nt. 11/15/79 11/15/79 Nt. 11/30/79 Nt. 12/31/79 Nt. 12/31/79 Nt. 1/31/80 2/15/80 Nt. 2/15/80 Nt. 2/29/80 Nt. 3/31/80 Total Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing Commercial Banks State & Other CorporaPrivate LongIntermediate- Local Foreign term 11 term 5/ General tions Domestic Holders Investors Investors Funds 3,095 460 1,804 4,285 1,850 3,349 3,544 1,559 3,107 3,507 5,343 879 140 604 1,114 736 1,000 1,229 158 1,238 1,229 2,114 61 1 52 38 6 66 51 219 50 25 53 422 61 181 281 248 258 327 263 312 367 541 263 32 63 340 163 460 343 197 230 295 230 170 32 222 400 98 144 515 216 674 858 502 602 1,025 500 253 694 1,069 31,903 10,441 622 3,261 2,616 1,916 6,908 340 10 212 288 * Jj Amounts for investor classes are based on the August 1979 Treasury Ownership Survey. U Includes State and local pension funds and life insurance companies. 2/ Includes casualty and liability insurance companies, mutual savings banks, savings and loan associations, and corporate pension trust funds. 615 18 1,366 195 793 537 444 799 1,192 5,959 October 23, 1979-21 TREASURY MARKETABLE MATURITIES Privately Held, Excluding Bills and Exchange Notes $Bil. 6 1979 if 4 2 1984 3 3.4 2.5 KN 0 6 4.7 3.4 3.4 4 I_ 5.1 5.2 2.9 g 3.4 3.1 0 t M * 10 2 6 1980 5.3 5.0 5.4^ 5.0 1981 5^5 4.7 5'4 0 1986 4.1 3.3 4.6 4.2 4.3 2.6 2.5 J i F 2.7 2.4 2h 5.8 1 1983 2 ^ 2.5 2 27 ^5 2.2 S3! 1.0 M A M J J A S O N I D H Securities issued prior to 1977 [ ] N e w issues calendar year 1977 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing I 4.6 1982 6 4 7.5 5Q ^1 i 2 h 32 1.2 11 5.2 2.9 Ki 3.2 2.812.5 1985 2.7 3.4M2.9 7 I r~ 5.7 1987 1.8 - n 2.4 1988 2 - 2.3 2.2 1989 2 J F M A M J J A S O N D £ 2 0 N e w issues calendar year 1978 [::;:;:;:J Issued or announced through October 19, 1979 October 23, 1979-8 TREASURY MARKETABLE MATURITIES Privately Held, Excluding Bills and Exchange Notes $Bil 2 0, 21 0 6 4 2 1.7 I ol 1992 0 • 2001 .7 2002 2h 2003 2h 1993 2.3 1.9 a 3.0 1994 0 o; 1991 0 2 2000 2.5 2.2 0 2 2- $Bil 2 3.0 0 2 1990 1.4 1.4 1.5 m m 1995 .3 1996 0 2 0 20 20 20 2004 2.1 2005 2006 2007 i2.7 3.7 2008 1.4 20 1997 1.2 B 3.9 2009 1998 1.1 .4 2010 1999 2- 2011 o i F M A M J J A S O N IB Securities issued prior to 1977 ice of the Secretary of the Treasury ice of Government Financing [23 N e w issues calendar year 1977 F M A M J J A S O N D 8 0 N e w issues calendar year 1978 F~1 Issued or announced through October 19, 1979 October 23, AGENCY MATURITIES^ Privately Held $Bil. $Bil. 14 1979 13 12 1980 1982 1981 - 1987 1 1 1.3 10 8.6 9 8 3 JL -4 7.2 7 -a. " 1995 6.3 6 4.44.7 5 1 3 1.0 _ • i l . I.I. 1992 " 1991 11.2 11 4 3 2 1990 1989 1988 •LL • . . 1993 _1 1994 .3 * .1 1997 1996 1998 1.1 4.9 <. .1 4.0 1999 2.5 • --• -1--.1 2000 2002 2001 .2 .1 1 2003 0 2004 2005 2006 1986 1985 - 2.4 " 2007 1.7 •ill 1 I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV .8 .9 1_1 ~- III 1 I II III IV I II III IV C a l e n d a r Y e a r s Quarterly 2008 .3 .4 I II III IV £ J. 2009 .1 .1 2010 _2 I II III IV I II III IV \J Issued or announced through October 19. 1979 * Less than $50 million. Office ot the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing October 23. 1979 20 NET NEW MONEY IN AGENCY FINANCE, QUARTERLY $Bil Privately Held $Bil FCA 2 2 1 0 FNMA i In Hi i iII M 1 i 0 -1 5 4 I II III I V I II III I V I II III IV I II III I V I II III IV 1975 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing 1976 1977 1978 1979 - 0 GNMA Mortgage Backed Securities I II III I V I II III I V I II III I V I II III I V I II III I V 1975 1976 * Less than $ 5 0 million. 1/ Includes F H L B discount notes, bonds, and F H L M C certificates, mortgage-backed bonds, and mortgage participation certificates. 1977 1978 1979 October 23, 1979-12 Removal Notice The item identified below has been removed in accordance with FRASER's policy on handling sensitive information in digitization projects due to copyright protections. Citation Information Document Type: Transcript Number of Pages Removed: 21 Author(s): Title: Department of the Treasury - Financing Press Conference Date: 1979-10-24 Journal: Volume: Page(s): URL: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://fraser.stlouisfed.org HINGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 25, 1979 Contact: George G. Ross 202/566-2356 AMENDMENTS TO TECHNICAL EXPLANATION OF THE UNITED STATES AND UNITED KINGDOM INCOME TAX TREATY The United States Treasury Department today released amendments to the Technical Explanation of the proposed Income Tax Convention between the United States and the United Kingdom. The text of the Technical Explanation was released on March 9, 1977 and revised on July 25, 1977. At the time of the discussions concerning the Third Protocol to the proposed Convention the United Kingdom delegation pointed out to the United States delegation that a statement in the United States Technical Explanation concerning Article'2 (Taxes Covered) was in error. That statement provided that social security taxes are taxes covered for the purposes.of the Convention. The Department of the Treasury pointed out this error on June 6, 1979 when it testified before the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations with respect to the Third Protocol. Accordingly, the fourth sentence in the second paragraph of the discussion of Article 2 in the Technical Explanation is deleted. The Technical Explanation also contains technical errors in certain computations concerning the United States indirect foreign tax credit under Article 23 (Elimination of Double Taxation) of the proposed Convention. These errors are contained in the sixth and seventh paragraphs of Example 5 in the discussion of Article 23 in the Technical Explanation. Those paragraphs are revised to read as follows: "Thus, of the $12.75, $8.75 is deemed distributed as offset refunded ACT; $0.85 is non-offset unrefunded ACT; $0.85 is non-offset refunded ACT deemed distributed; and $2.30 is the remaining actual distribution considered to have been made from year 3. "In year 2, the accumulated profits available for distribution before adjustment for year three non-offset ACT are $49.75 (from line thirteen of Example 4 calculation of M-145 -2-year -3 taxes). Of that amount, $1.75 is deemed distributed as offset refunded ACT. The non-offset unrefunded ACT attributable to the remaining $48.00 is $10.18 ($48.00 x \1-\) . Thus, the accumulated profits available for actual dis- B '^ tribution in year 2 are $27.64 ($49.75 less $1.75 (deemed distribution) less $10.18 (non-offset refunded ACT deemed distributed) less $10.18 (non-offset unrefunded ACT)); and the U.K. corporate tax is $27.43 ($17.25 + $10.18)." o 0 o HNTHONY n, &0LOMON OCTOBER 27, 1979 EBERT FOUNDATION TALKING POINTS PORT CHESTER, HEW YORK 1. THIS SESSION IS DEVOTED TO EUROPEAN AND AMERICAN PERSPECTIVES ON ECONOMIC POLICY ISSUES FOR THE 1980'S. LET ME FIRST MENTION A FEW SPECIFIC POINTS ON U.S. DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC POLICY, AND THEN MOVE TO A SOMEWHAT BROADER SUBJECT IN THE CONTEXT OF U.S./EUROPEAN RELATIONS. 2. DOMESTICALLY, THE NEED TO GET INFLATION UNDER CONTROL HAS BECOME THE DOMINANT U.S. ECONOMIC OBJECTIVE. THE ADMINISTRATION RECOGNIZES THAT CONTAINMENT OF INFLATION IS FUNDAMENTAL TO RESTORATION OF SOUND ECONOMIC GROWTH. A SIGNIFICANT PART OF THE UNFAVORABLE PRICE FIGURES IN RECENT MONTHS IS DIRECTLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO ENERGY AND FOOD. THESE SOURCES OF INFLATION WILL DISSIPATE IN COMING MONTHS, AS THE RECENT OIL PRICE INCREASES WORK THROUGH THE ECONOMY AND WITH THE PROSPECT OF GOOD HARVESTS. BUT AFTER TAKING ACCOUNT OF ALL THE SPECIAL FACTORS, THE UNDERLYING RATE OF INFLATION IS INTOLERABLE. 3. ALL PRINCIPAL ELEMENTS OF U.S. ECONOMIC POLICY ARE DIRECTED AT CONTAINING INFLATION. THE ADMINISTRATION HAS SUCCEEDED IN REVERSING THE TREND OF EXPANDING FEDERAL DEFICITS AND EXPANDING FEDERAL CLAIMS ON THE NATIONAL ECONOMY, THE DEFICIT HAS DROPPED FROM 3 PERCENT OF RHP IN 1976 TO 1 PERCENT -2THIS YEAR. OVER THE SAME PERIOD, FEDERAL SPENDING HAS BEEN REDUCED FROM 22.6 PERCENT OF GNP TO 21.5 PERCENT. WE INTEND TO MAKE FURTHER PROGRESS, WITH THE OBJECTIVE OF REDUCING, OVER TIME, THE DEMANDS OF THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT ON THE ECONOMY AND RELEASING SUBSTANTIAL RESOURCES TO THE PRIVATE SECTOR. 4. THE FEDERAL RESERVE IS MOVING AGGRESSIVELY TO REDUCE THE RATE OF GROWTH IN MONEY AND CREDIT. THE STEPS ANNOUNCED BY THE FED EARLIER THIS MONTH ARE STRONG AND WILL BE EFFECTIVE. THEY HAVE ALREADY HAD A VERY NOTICEABLE EFFECT ON PUBLIC ATTITUDES AND EXPECTATIONS. THEY'WERE NEEDED AND APPROPRIATE. 5. OUR VOLUNTARY PAY/PRICE PROGRAM HAS BEEN MUCH MORE EFFECTIVE THAN IS WIDELY RECOGNIZED IN MODERATING PRICE DECISIONS AND WAGE SETTLEMENTS IN THE AREAS COVERED BY THE PROGRAM. WE ARE PROVIDING FOR GREATER PARTICIPATION BY MANAGEMENT AND LABOR IN ESTABLISHING AND APPLYING PAY STANDARDS DURING THE SECOND YEAR, WHICH WILL HELP AVOID INEQUITIES THAT COULD OTHERWISE DEVELOP OVER TIME. A TRIPARTITE PAY COMMITTEE (TO BE CHAIRED BY JOHN DUNLOP) IS BEING ESTABLISHED, WITH A FIRST TASK OF RECOMMENDING PAY STANDARDS FOR THE PERIOD AHEAD. IN THIS CONNECTION, THE ADMINISTRATION HAS WORKED OUT A NATIONAL ACCORD WITH AMERICAN LABOR LEADERSHIP, IN SUPPORT OF THE FIGHT AGAINST INFLATION AND PROVIDING FOR LABOR INVOLVEMENT IN THE PAY-PRICE PROGRAM. I AM PERSONALLY MORE CONFIDENT NOW THAN.IN THE PAST THAT THE VOLUNTARY - 3GUIDELINES CAN BE AN EFFECTIVE COMPLEMENT TO DEMAND RESTRAINT. THE PERVASIVE AND DESTRUCTIVE EFFECTS OF INFLATION THROUGHOUT THE ECONOMY ARE BEING ACUTELY FELT BY THE AMERICAN PEOPLE. PUBLIC FEELINGS ABOUT THE OVERRIDING NEED TO CONTROL INFLATION HAVE BECOME GENERAL AND DEEPLY HELD. THE GREATER SENSE PARTICULARLY WITH THAT NOW EXISTS THAT THE ADMINISTRATION IS DETERMINED TO DEAL WITH INFLATION — AND WITH A CONSEQUENT MODERATION OF INFLATION EXPECTATIONS ~ THE VOLUNTARY PROGRAM CAN HAVE TANGIBLE AND POWERFUL EFFECTS. 6. THE TEN-FOLD INCREASE IN WORLD OIL PRICES HAS BEEN A PRINCIPAL CONTRIBUTOR TO ACCELERATION OF INFLATION IN THIS DECADE, IN THE UNITED STATES AS ELSEWHERE. THE U.S. OBJECTIVE OF SECURING ENERGY INDEPENDENCE HAS OBVIOUS NATIONAL SECURITY MOTIVATIONS. BUT IT IS ALSO AN IMPORTANT ELEMENT OF OUR EFFORT TO CONTAIN INFLATION AND STRENGTHEN THE U.S. EXTERNAL POSITION. PRESIDENT CARTER HAS SOUGHT SUPPORT FOR A BROAD AND COMPREHENSIVE ENERGY PROGRAM FOR 2 % YEARS. THE DIVERSITY OF CIRCUMSTANCES AND INTERESTS IN A COUNTRY AS VAST AS THE UNITED STATES HAS MADE IT EXCRUTIATINGLY DIFFICULT TO HAMMER OUT A NATIONAL ENERGY PROGRAM. SOME IMPORTANT PARTS OF THE PROGRAM HAVE ALREADY BEEN PUT INTO PLACE. RECENTLY TAKEN TWO MAJOR STEPS ~ THE PRESIDENT HAS ON DECONTROL OF DOMESTIC CRUDE OIL PRICES AND ON LIMITING OIL IMPORTS — POWERS. UNDER HIS OWN REMAINING CRITICAL ELEMENTS OF THE PROGRAM ARE UNDER ACTIVE CONSIDERATION IN THE CONGRESS. - Z| . 7. FULLY IN PLACE, OUR PROGRAM IS EXPECTED TO CUT OIL IMPORTS BY ABOUT 50 PERCENT ~ 4-5 MILLION BARRELS PER DAY — FROM PRESENT LEVELS, AND BY ABOUT 8-9 MILLION BARRELS PER DAY FROM LEVELS THAT WOULD HAVE BEEN REACHED IN THE ABSENCE OF A COMPREHENSIVE ENERGY PROGRAM. 8. MAINTENANCE OF STABILITY IN THE EXCHANGE MARKETS IS AN IMPORTANT COMPLEMENT TO OUR EFFORTS TO REDUCE INFLATION AND MAINTAIN SOUND GROWTH AND INVESTMENT. THE DOMESTIC POLICIES WE ARE FOLLOWING ARE ALSO THE POLICIES NEEDED TO ASSURE A STRONG U.S. EXTERNAL POSITION AND A SOUND AND STABLE DOLLAR. RAPIDLY. THE U.S. CURRENT ACCOUNT POSITION IS STRENGTHENING DESPITE A $16 BILLION INCREASE IN OUR OIL IMPORTS, WE WILL HAVE A DEFICIT OF ONLY A FEW BILLION DOLLARS THIS YEAR, AND EXPECT TO MOVE INTO SUBSTANTIAL SURPLUS IN 1980. 9. IN COOPERATION WITH THE MONETARY AUTHORITIES OF SEVERAL KEY COUNTRIES — GERMANY, SWITZERLAND, AND JAPAN — WE ARE OPERATING FORCEFULLY IN THE EXCHANGE MARKETS TO SUPPLEMENT ACTION ON THE FUNDAMENTALS. 10. THE MAJOR POSITIVE SHIFT IN THE U.S. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS; WELCOME SHIFTS IN THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS POSITIONS OF GERMANY AND JAPAN; OUR CONCERTED ATTACK ON INFLATION; AND EFFECTIVE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY COOPERATION; ALL COMBINE TO PROVIDE A FIRM BASIS FOR EXCHANGE MARKET STABILITY AND DOLLAR STRENGTH IN THE PERIOD AHEAD. PERSEVERE. WE INTEND TO - 511. WITH RESPECT TO THE INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC SITUATION, THE PICTURE IS ONCE AGAIN DOMINATED BY THE IMPACT OF OPEC OIL PRICE INCREASES. THE OECD POSITION IS LIKELY TO DETERIORATE BY ABOUT $38 BILLION THIS YEAR, FROM A SURPLUS OF $8 BILLION TO A DEFICIT OF ABOUT $30 BILLION. THIS AGGREGATE SHIFT, OF COURSE, OBSCURES THE VERY MAJOR IMPROVEMENT THAT IS TAKING PLACE IN THE PATTERN OF IMBALANCES AMONG THE MAJOR COUNTRIES. 12. THE NON-OIL LDC CURRENT ACCOUNT POSITION IS LIKELY TO DETERIORATE BY $10 BILLION THIS YEAR AND ANOTHER $10 BILLION IN 1980, TO DEFICITS OF $30 BILLION IN 1979 AND $40 BILLION IN 1980. OUR E S T I M A T E S INDICATE THAT T H I S DETERIORATION WILL BE HIGHLY CONCENTRATED — FORTUNATELY, IN THE POSITIONS OF A FEW RELATIVELY ADVANCED COUNTRIES WITH COMFORTABLE RESERVES AND ACCESS TO THE PRIVATE MARKETS. FOR MOST LDCs, THE DETERIORATION IS LIKELY TO BE WITHIN THE RANGE OF EXPECTED INCREASES IN OFFICIAL DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE. 13. PROBLEM. IN SHORT, WE DO NOT EXPECT A GENERALIZED FINANCING THERE PROBABLY WILL BE SOME INDIVIDUAL PROBLEM C A S E S , A N D WE NEED TO A N T I C I P A T E I N C R E A S E D D E M A N D S ON THE IMF FOR BALANCE OF PAYMENTS FINANCING. THE FUND IS IN A VERY STRONG POSITION TO MEET LARGER DEMANDS, AND ITS RESOURCES WILL BE EXPANDED SIGNIFICANTLY THROUGH A 50 PERCENT QUOTA INCREASE LATE NEXT YEAR. THE U.S. WILL BE SUBMITTING LEGISLATION FOR THE INCREASE IN ITS QUOTA VERY SHORTLY. - 614. THOUGH WE BELIEVE THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL EFFECTS OF THE RECENT OIL PRICE INCREASES ARE LIKELY TO BE MANAGEABLE WITHOUT SERIOUS DIFFICULTY, THE REAL EFFECTS — DEPRESSED GROWTH AND ACCELERATED INFLATION — REMAIN. U.S. EMPHASIS ON CONTROLLING INFLATION AND STABILIZING ITS ECONOMY IS THE SINGLE MOST IMPORTANT CONTRIBUTION WE CAN MAKE TO RESTORATION OF A SOUND WORLD ECONOMY. BUT, PARTICULARLY GIVEN THE PROSPECT OF A U.S. SLOWDOWN, IT IS ALL THE MORE ESSENTIAL THAT OTHER MAJOR COUNTRIES DIRECT THEIR POLICIES TO SUSTAINED ECONOMIC EXPANSION, WITHIN THE CONSTRAINTS OF CONTAINING INFLATION. IT IS EQUALLY IMPORTANT THAT WE ALL MAINTAIN THE THRUST OF THE RECENT HTN AGREEMENT AND RESIST PROTECTIONIST MOVES, AND THAT WE PERMIT ACCESS TO OUR CAPITAL MARKETS BY OTHER COUNTRIES WITH FINANCING NEEDS. 15. WE NEED ALSO TO CONTINUE TO PRESS FOR LONGER TERM IMPROVEMENT IN THE INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC AND MONETARY SYSTEM. THREE MAIN LINES OF EFFORT ARE UNDER WAY. — IMF SURVEILLANCE OVER THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS ADJUSTMENT PROCESS. -- DISCUSSIONS OF A POSSIBLE SUBSTITUTION ACCOUNT, TO PROMOTE THE ROLE OF THE SDRS IN THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY SYSTEM. - 7-- DISCUSSIONS ON SURVEILLANCE OVER, AND POSSIBLE STEPS FOR BETTER MANAGEMENT OF, THE EUROCURRENCY 16. MARKET. THE U.S. is PARTICIPATING ACTIVELY IN EACH OF THESE AREAS, AND WILL CONTINUE TO PRESS FOR PROGRESS. 17. THIS BRING ME TO WHAT I REGARD AS THE CENTRAL POLICY ISSUE FOR THE 1980'S. THAT IS WHETHER THE WORLD WILL LEARN TO STRENGTHEN ITS PROCESSES OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC POLICY COORDINATION — MANAGING INTERDEPENDENCE — OR SLIP BACK TOWARD A NATIONALISTIC APPROACH TO DEALING WITH SPECIFIC PROBLEMS. I BELIEVE THE WORLD IS BEING FORCED BY EVENTS TOWARD A CHOICE OF THAT IMPORTANCE AND MAGNITUDE, AND IT IS CRITICAL THAT WE RECOGNIZE THE EXISTENCE OF THE LARGER QUESTION AS WE APPROACH INDIVIDUAL ISSUES, 18. SHIPS T H E U.S.-EUROPEAN R E L A T I O N S H I P , A N D OUR J O I N T RELATION- WITH OTHER MAJOR COUNTRIES, ARE CENTRAL TO HOW THIS QUESTION IS TO BE ANSWERED. IF WE CAN'T LEAD THE WAY, THROUGH MEANINGFUL POLICY COORDINATION BETWEEN THE U.S. AND WESTERN EUROPE, THERE IS LITTLE REASON TO EXPECT BROADER SUCCESS. - 819. UNDERSTANDING OF EACH OTHERS' PERSPECTIVES IS PREREQUISITE TO BUILDING A STRONGER RELATIONSHIP. ACKNOWLEDGE AND BUILD ON OUR MUTUAL SUCCESSES. WE SHOULD CLOSE U.S.- EUROPEAN COOPERATION DOMINATES THE POST-WAR RECORD. THERE ARE ALSO IRRITANTS AND SOURCES OF TENSION ~ BUT OTHER LARGER AND POTENTIALLY IMPORTANT — BE AIRED AND UNDERSTOOD. BUT SOME SMALL, THAT NEED TO I WILL MENTION A FEW OF THESE FROM A FRANKLY AMERICAN PERSPECTIVE. MY INTENTION ISfc[QITO MAKE A BALANCED PRESENTATION, BUT TO VOICE A PARTICULAR PERSPECTIVE IN HOPES THAT THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO'UNDERSTANDING AND ULTIMATELY SOLUTIONS. I EXPECT AN EQUALLY FRANK EUROPEAN PRESENTATION OF PROBLEMS IN DEALING WITH THE AMERICANS. 20. FIRST, I SEE A PROBLEM OF TONE AND ATTITUDE IN THE OVERALL U.S.-EUROPEAN ECONOMIC RELATIONSHIP, AN AMBIGUITY IN EUROPEAN VIEWS ABOUT THE NATURE OF THAT RELATIONSHIP. THAT AMBIGUITY IS ILLUSTRATED BY A QUOTE FROM ANOTHER AREA, RAYMOND ARON, IN A RECENT ARTICLE, SAID "EUROPEANS NO LONGER PUT THEIR TRUST IN NATO OR IN THE AMERICAN NUCLEAR UMBRELLA, WHAT THEY TRUST NOW-A-DAYS IS THE CAUTION OF THE BOLSHEVIKS, AWARE AS THEY MUST BE OF THE INCALCULABLE DANGER OF AN ATTACK ON WESTERN EUROPE." THE POINT, OF COURSE, IS THAT THE CAUTION IS DICTATED BY THE EXISTENCE OF NATO AND THE NUCLEAR UMBRELLA, BUT THE POINT IS LOST IN THIS PARTICULAR EUROPEAN PERSPECTIVE OF THE U.S.-EUROPEAN RELATIONSHIP. - 921. THERE IS A SIMILAR AMBIGUITY OVER QUESTIONS OF INITIATIVE AND LEADERSHIP IN THE ECONOMIC AREA. THE UNITED STATES CONTINUALLY HEARS EUROPEAN CALLS FOR STRONGER U.S. LEADERSHIP IN THE ECONOMIC AREA, AND SPECIFICALLY IN THE MONETARY AREA. AND WE HEAR REPEATED EUROPEAN CRITICISM OF U.S. FAILURE TO EXERCISE LEADERSHIP, U.S. FAILURE TO PROPERLY MEET ITS WORLD RESPONSIBILITIES. YET WHEN THE UNITED STATES DOES ATTEMPT TO EXERCISE LEADERSHIP, THERE IS FREQUENTLY A NOTABLE ABSENCE OF EUROPEAN WILLINGNESS TO FOLLOW. 22. THIS IS NOT A RECENT PHENOMENON. IT CHARACTERIZED THE DISCUSSIONS IN THE LATE 1960'S ON THE EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEM, COMPELLING THE U.S., VERY RELUCTANTLY, TO RESORT TO UNILATERAL ACTION TO BRING ABOUT A CHANGE WHICH ULTIMATELY BECAME UNAVOIDABLE. AND IT DOMINATED THE NEGOTIATIONS ON MONETARY REFORM EARLIER IN THIS DECADE. 23. IT IS UNDERSTANDABLE IF THERE ARE DIFFERENCES OF VIEW OVER THE SUBSTANCE OF SUCH QUESTIONS. WILL BE. THE SUBSTANCE CAN BE DEBATED. THERE INEVITABLY BUT EUROPE ITSELF HAS AND SHOULD ACKNOWLEDGE A GROWING RESPONSIBILITY TO EXERCISE LEADERSHIP, NOT ONLY IN THE EXPRESSION OF ITS VIEWS, BUT IN CONTRIBUTING TO THE SOLUTION OF COMMON PROBLEMS. THE RESPONSBILITY CANNOT BE ONE-SIDED, AND EUROPE COLLECTIVELY HAS MAJOR POTENTIAL FOR LEADERSHIP OF ITS OWN. WHAT IS NOT CONSTRUCTIVE — AND CAN - 10 EVEN BE POISONOUS TO THE RELATIONSHIP AND EXACERBATE SPECIFIC PROBLEMS " IS FOR EUROPE TO CLOAK ITS SUBSTANTIVE DISAGREEMENTS, AND AVOID ACCEPTING ITS OWN RESPONSIBILITIES, BY RESTING ON ACCUSATIONS OF FAILURE OF U.S. WILL AND LEADERSHIP. 24. MUCH OF THE PROBLEM MAY WELL RELATE TO THE PARTICULAR PHASE OF EUROPEAN EFFORTS TO UNIFY THROUGH THE COMMUNITY. IT IS IN A UNIFIED EUROPE THAT REAL AND CONSTRUCTIVE LEADERSHIP BECOMES POSSIBLE. BUT THE PRESENT DEC ISION-MAKING PROCESSES MAKE THAT POSSIBILITY DIFFICULT TO REALIZE. 25. THERE IS A WIDE VARIETY OF MULTILATERAL ISSUES ON WHICH WE ATTEMPT TO COORDINATE WITH THE EC — FOR EXAMPLE, ISSUES ARISING IN UMCTAD OR OTHER U:L FORUMS, ISSUES ARISING IN THE IMF OR WORLD BANK, AND SO FORTH. SEEM TO FIND IS ONE OF THREE THINGS. WHAT WE FREQUENTLY IN SOME CASES, THE EC COUNTRIES HAVE ALREADY TAKEN AN INTERNAL DECISION, AND THERE IS NO SCOPE FOR NEGOTIATION OF A POSITION THAT IS MORE BROADLY ACCEPTABLE TO THE U.S. AND OTHER INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES. IN SOME CASES, THE EC COUNTRIES ARE UNABLE TO AGREE AMONG THEMSELVES, AND THERE IS BASICALLY NO EC VIEW TO TRY TO WORK WITH. IN STILL OTHER CASES, EC EFFORTS TO REACH AN INTERNAL VIEW TEND TOWARD THE LEAST COMMON DENOMINATOR — MOVES TOO FAR — OR IN SOME CASES A VIEW THAT AND PRODUCE RESULTS THAT ARE ONLY MARGINALLY ACCEPTABLE TO THE MAJORITY OF EC COUNTRIES THEMSELVES AND UNACCEPTABLE TO THE U.S. AND OTHERS. -11 26. IN ESSENCE, THERE IS AT TIMES AN INFLEXIBILITY IN EUROPEAN DECISION-MAKING THAT IS NOT ONLY DIFFICULT TO WORK WITH, BUT MAKES IT DIFFICULT FOR EUROPE TO EXERCISE THE RESPONSIBILITY AND LEADERSHIP THAT ITS OWN COLLECTIVE ECONOMIC POSITION WARRANTS. HOPEFULLY, THIS PROBLEM WILL EVAPORATE AS THE UNIFICATION PROCESS EVOLVES ~ IT IS GENERALLY LEAST EVIDENT IN THE TRADE AREA, WHERE THE EC HAS FORMAL COMPETENCE — BUT IT DOES REPRESENT A REAL IMPEDIMENT TO MEANINGFUL POLICY COORDINATION ON A GLOBAL SCALE. 27. ON SOME MORE SPECIFIC POINTS, THOUGH THEY OBVIOUSLY RELATE TO THE MORE GENERAL PROBLEM: 28. THE DOLLAR CONTINUES TO PLAY AN EXTREMELY LARGE ROLE IN OFFICIAL RESERVES AND PRIVATE INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS. TO AN EXTENT, THIS ROLE FOR THE DOLLAR MAY BE A CONTRIBUTING FACTOR IN EXCHANGE MARKET PROBLEMS, AND IT IS CERTAINLY A TARGET OF EUROPEAN CRITICISM AT TIMES, AT THE SAME TIME, THERE is A GREAT EUROPEAN RELUCTANCE TO SEE OR FACILITATE A CHANGE IN THAT ROLE FOR THE DOLLAR THROUGH GREATER WILLINGNESS TO PROVIDE INTERNATIONAL CREDIT THEMSELVES; TO PERMIT GREATER USE OF THEIR OWN CURRENCIES IN RESERVES; TO SERIOUSLY CONSIDER STEPS TOWARD EVOLUTION OF A LARGER ROLE FOR THE SDR. I READILY ACKNOWLEDGE THE RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE UNITED STATES TO MAINTAIN REASONABLE BALANCE IN ITS ACCOUNTS. BUT I CANNOT ACCEPT THE - 12 IDEA, WHICH I THINK IS IMPLICIT IN MUCH OF THE CRITICISM OF THE INTERNATIONAL ROLE OF THE DOLLAR, THAT THE PROVISION OF INTERNATIONAL CREDIT SHOULD BE SHARPLY CURTAILED AND THAT IT is UP TO THE UNITED STATES TO DO IT. THERE IS A REAL NEED FOR CREDIT TO MAINTAIN A FUNCTIONING WORLD ECONOMY. IT IS REASONABLE TO EXPECT A LARGER EUROPEAN ROLE IN SUPPLYING THAT CREDIT. 29. SECOND, THE UNITED STATES CONTINUES TO BEAR LARGE FOREIGN EXCHANGE COSTS — NET ANNUALLY ~ ON THE ORDER OF $2 1/2 BILLION IN THE AREA OF EUROPEAN DEFENSE. I DON # T FOR A MOMENT DENY THAT THIS IS IN OUR COMMON INTEREST, AND I AM NOT SUGGESTING A RENEWAL OF OFFSET NEGOTIATIONS. BUT I AM SUGGESTING THAT THIS SHOULD BE BORNE IN MIND IN FORMULATING EUROPEAN ASSESSMENTS OF, AND ADVICE ON, THE U.S. EXTERNAL POSITION. 30. THIRD, IN THE ENERGY AREA, I AGAIN ACKNOWLEDGE THE LARGE RESPONSIBILITY OF THE UNITED STATES FOR GETTING ITS OWN ENERGY SITUATION UNDER CONTROL AND REDUCING ITS CLAIMS ON WORLD OIL SUPPLIES. .WE I N T E N D T O M E E T T H I S R E S P O N S I B I L I T Y . AT T H E SAME TIME, THE U.S. HAS EXPENDED A GREAT DEAL OF EFFORT TO ENCOURAGE OPEC PRICE MODERATION — OF PRODUCTION LEVELS. AND MAINTENANCE AND EXPANSION THIS IS VITAL TO ALL OIL IMPORTING COUNTRIES - CERTAINLY IN EUROPE'S INTEREST AS MUCH AS OUR OWN. BUT IN SIGNIFICANT RESPECTS, THE U.S. HAS BEEN ALONE IN THIS EFFORT. - 13 WE HOPE THAT EUROPE WILL SOON AGREE TO COUNTRY-SPECIFIC TARGETS WHICH LIMIT OIL IMPORTS IN 1980, BY ADOPTING POSITIVE MECHANISMS TO THIS END AND BY RESISTING THE TEMPTATION TO DILUTE THIS EFFORT. AND WE ARE CONCERNED OVER REPORTS THAT SOME EUROPEAN GOVERNMENTS HAVE SOUGHT SPECIAL PREFERENCE AMONG PRODUCING COUNTRIES FOR ASSURANCE OF THEIR OWN OIL SUPPLIES, WITH LITTLE APPARENT CONCERN FOR THE GLOBAL PROBLEM. FROM OPEC'S PERSPECTIVE, THEY ARE DEALING WITH AN UNCOORDINATED AND THEREFORE WEAK GROUP OF CUSTOMERS. A CLEARER PICTURE OF SOLIDARITY ON THE PART OF THE MAJOR INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES COULD BE ENORMOUSLY HELPFUL IN PERSUADING KEY OPEC MEMBERS TO TAKE A MODERATE AND CONSTRUCTIVE LINE. -13 A - 31. FOURTH, EUROPE HAS BEEN UNWILLING TO DO IN THE AREAS OF TRADE FINANCE AND INVESTMENT WHAT IT WAS WILLING TO DO IN THE AREA OF TRADE ~ LIMIT SUBSIDIES. I THINK THERE IS LITTLE INTELLECTUAL DISAGREEMENT WITH THE U.S. VIEW THAT SUBSIDIZED EXPORT CREDIT COMPETITION IS WASTEFUL AND COSTLY TO ALL OF US, AND BENEFITS NONE OF US IN THE END. BUT THE CONSENSUS RULE IN THE EC HAS FRUSTRATED PROGRESS IN AGREEING ON LIMITATIONS ON COMPETITION ON EXPORT CREDITS, DESPITE YEARS OF EFFORT. AND IN THE CASE OF INCENTIVES FOR INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT, EUROPE HAS NOT EVEN ACCEPTED THE BASIC PROPOSITION — IN OUR VIEW — WHICH IS UNEXCEPTIONAL THAT THIS KIND OF COMPETITION CAN BE JUST AS HARMFUL AS IN THE TRADE AREA. 32. I DON'T INTEND TO EXTEND THE LIST ENDLESSLY. THESE POINTS ILLUSTRATE A U.S. PERSPECTIVE OF A NEED FOR GREATER ASSUMPTION OF RESPONSIBILITY BY EUROPE; GREATER RECOGNITION THAT EUROPE'S OWN ACTIONS CAN NOT ONLY AFFECT BUT HELP SHAPE - 14 THE GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT; AND GREATER BALANCE IN THE U.S.- EUROPEAN RELATIONSHIP. IN CONSIDERING THIS PERSPECTIVE OF PROBLEMS FROM THE U.S. POINT OF VIEW, I CAN EASILY ANTICIPATE SOME POINTS THAT WOULD BE INCLUDED IN A EUROPEAN PERSPECTIVE; AND THERE IS NO DENIAL THAT THE U.S. ITSELF MUST MAKE A MAJOR CONTRIBUTION TO STRENGTHENING THE RELATIONSHIP. 33. THE U.S. AND EUROPE HAVE THE CENTRAL RESPONSIBILITY FOR MAINTAINING A COOPERATIVE AND SMOOTHLY FUNCTIONING GLOBAL ECONOMIC SYSTEM. W E WILL MEET THAT RESPONSIBILITY EFFECTIVELY IF WE DEEPEND OUR OWN COOPERATIVE RELATIONSHIP ~ WHICH FIRST REQUIRES THAT WE UNDERSTAND EACH OTHERS' PROBLEMS AND PERSPECTIVES. CONFERENCES SUCH AS THIS CAN BE A HELPFUL STEP IN THAT PROCESS. Removal Notice The item identified below has been removed in accordance with FRASER's policy on handling sensitive information in digitization projects due to copyright protections. Citation Information Document Type: Newspaper Article Number of Pages Removed: Author(s): Title: "U.S. Aide Hits Europe's Efforts for OPEC Deals" Date: 1979-10-28 Journal: The Washington Post Volume: Page(s): URL: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Removal Notice The item identified below has been removed in accordance with FRASER's policy on handling sensitive information in digitization projects due to copyright protections. Citation Information Document Type: Newspaper Article Number of Pages Removed: Author(s): Albert L. Kraus Title: "Europeans Seen Hiding Own Failure" Date: 1979-10-29 Journal: The Journal of Commerce Volume: Page(s): URL: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://fraser.stlouisfed.org FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 25, 1979 Sale of Gold by the U.S. Treasury The Department of the Treasury announced that it will offer up to 1.25 million ounces of gold for sale on Thursday, November 1, 197 9. The sale will be conducted by the General Services Administration and bid forms must be submitted by 11:00 A.M., Eastern Standard Time, November 1 to the GSA Office at 7th and "D" Streets, S.W., Washington, D.C. Bids may be submitted by telegraph or teletype by 11:00 A.M. The gold will be offered in bars whose fine gold content is 89.9 to 91.7 percent containing approximately 300 fine troy ounces each. The minimum bid is 300 fine troy ounces. A bid deposit of $30 an ounce is required. Formal invitations for Bid, including bid forms for use in this and future sales, are being mailed today to firms and persons on the GSA precious metals list. Copies may be obtained from: General Services Administration Metals Branch, Office of Stockpile Disposal 18th and "F" Streets, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20405 Telephone: Area Code 202 - 566-1986 :i-146 FOX IMMEDIATE RELEASE Monday, October 29, 1979 Contact: John P. Plum 202/566-2615 INTEREST RATE BASE FOR NEW SMALL SAVER CERTIFICATE Secretary of the Treasury, G. William Miller, today advised the supervisory agencies for Federally insured depository institutions that the average 4-year Treasury yield curve rate during the five business days ending October 26 was 11.55%, rounded to the nearest 5 basis ooints. ( This rate will be used by the agencies in determining the maximum interest payable in November on time certificates issued in denominations of less than $100,000 and maturities of four years or more. The report of the Treasury yield curve average is announced three business days prior to the first day of each month for determination of ceilings for new variable rate savings certificates which are adjusted on the first calendar day of each month. The commercial bank ceiling for the certificate is one and one-quarter percentage points below the yield on the four-year Treasury securities. The ceiling for thrift institutions is one percentage point below the yield on four-year Treasury securities.) o 0 o M-147 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 29, 1979 Contact: Alvin M. Hattal 202/566-8381 TREASURY ANNOUNCES TENTATIVELY THAT CERTAIN STEEL WIRE NAILS FROM KOREA ARE NOT BEING "DUMPED" The Treasury Department today announced its preliminary determination that, with the exception of the products of one firm, steel wire nails from Korea are not being sold in the United States at less than fair value. With respect to that one firm, the Treasury has tentatively discontinued its antidumping investigation because the margins of sales below fair value were minimal and the company has provided assurances of no further sales at less than fair value. ("Sales at less than fair value" generally occur when imported merchandise is sold here for less than in the home market or to third countries.) A final Treasury decision in this case will be made by March 17, 1980. If Treasury determines that sales at less than fair value are occurring, the case will be referred to the U. S, International Trade Commission (ITC) to determine whether such imports have injured or are likely to injure an American industry. An affirmative ITC decision would require the imposition of dumping duties on future imports. The company tentatively found to have minimal dumping margins is Murakami Kogyo Co. Notice of this action appeared in the Federal Register of October 26, 1979. Imports of this merchandise amounted to $42-million in 1978, o M-14 8 0 o FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE OCTOBER 29, 1979 Contact: Al Hattal 202-566-8381 The Advisory Committee for Presidential and Vice Presidential candidate protection today released a formal set of guidelines for determining the "major" candidates who should be recommended to the Secretary of the Treasury for Secret Service protection. A copy of the guidelines is attached. The Committee, which was established under Public Law 90-331, consists of five members: Speaker Thomas P. O'Neill, Jr. House Minority Leader John Rhodes Senate Majority Leader Robert Byrd Senate Minority Leader Howard Baker Former Congressman Wilbur Mills The fifth member, who is designated by the four Congressional members, was selected by the Committee at its first meeting on October 24. M-149 ra kpartmentoftheTREASURY HINGTON, D.C. 20220 r TELEPHONE 566-2041 October 29, 1979 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $3,100 million of 13-week bills and for $3,102 million of 26-week bills, both to be issued on November 1, 1979, were accepted today. RANGE OF ACCEPTED 13-week bills : COMPETITIVE BIDS: maturing January 31, 1980 , Discount Investment Price Rate Rate 1/ : 26-week bills maturing May 1, 1980 Discount In\ vestment Rate 1/ Price Rate High 96.920§-/ 12.185% Low 96.892 12.295% Average 96.902 12.256% a/ Excepting 1 tender of $85,000 93.847 12.171% 93.828 12.208% 93.836 12.193% 12.78% 12.90% 12.86% : : 13.18% 13.23% 13.21% Tenders at the low price for the 13-week bills were allotted 93%. Tenders at the low price for the 26-week bills were allotted 39%. Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Treasury TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED (In Thousands)> Received Accepted Received $ 91,185 $ 51,385 $ 51,385 : 4,673,365 2,384,520 3,698,400 98,115 46,725 45,025 42,820 61,320 61,320 J 40,015 42,880 42,880 49,005 59,185 59,185 348,270 158,020 . 423,020 66,625 55,935 25,665 22,765 23,995 23,995 31,985 40,790 46,590 14,525 26,200 26,200 344,835 142,410 287,760 44,375 38,645 38,645 Accepted $ 54,185 2,495,825 67,790 27,820 39,015 37,285 106,570 30,600 7,765 31,670 14,095 144,835 44,375 $4,862,040 $3,100,040 : $5,867,885 $3,101,830 $2,801,215 761,595 $1,139,215 761,595 : : $3,776,685 525,300 $1,210,630 525,300 $3,562,810 $1,900,810 • $4,301,985 $1,735,930 Federal Reserve and Foreign Official Institutions $1,299,230 $1,199,230 : $1,565,900 $1,365,900 $3,100,040 '- $5,867,885 $3,101,830 TOTALS Type Competitive Noncompetitive Subtotal, Public TOTALS $4,862,040 1/Equivalent coupon-issue yield. M-150 ADVISORY COMMITTEE GUIDELINES FOR ASSIGNMENT OF SECRET SERVICE PROTECTION TO PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES PURSUANT TO P.L. 90-331 (1980 PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN) Introduction P.L. 90-331 places upon the Secretary of the Treasury (the Secretary) responsibility for determining, from time to time after consultation with an Advisory Committee (the "Committee"), those persons who qualify as a major Presidential and Vice Presidential candidate (major candidate) and thus should be furnished with Secret Service protection, unless declined. The Committee consists of the Majority Leader of the Senate, the Minority Leader of the Senate, the Speaker of the House of Representatives, the Minority Leader of the House of Representatives, and one additional member to be selected by the members of such Committee. These guidelines will assist the Committee in advising and the Secretary in determining who are the "major Presidential or Vice Presidential candidates who should receive . . . protection ..." Persons Defined as Major Candidates A. Nominees for Offices of President and Vice President The nominees for the Office of President and Vice President of any party shall be deemed to be major candidates when the candidate for the Office of the President of that party in the preceding Presidential election received ten percent or more of the total number of popular votes received by all candidates for the Office of the President of the United States. B. Candidates in Primary Elections Prior to the national conventions of the candidate's party, a candidate seeking the nomination for President of a party shall be deemed to be a major candidate when: 1) the candidate has publicly announced his or her candidacy; 2) the candidate is seriously interested in, and actively campaigning on a national basis for the office for which his or her candidacy has been announced; and -23) a. the candidate has (i) qualified for and remains qualified for matching payments under Sections 9031 through 9042 of Title 26, U.S. Code in an amount of at least $100,000 for the Presidential campaign for which nomination is sought (whether or not the candidate declines matching funds) and (ii) has received additional contributions totaling $900,000 or more in compliance with the Federal Election Campaign laws; or b. the candidate, in two consecutive prirary elections, has received at least ten percent of the total number of votes cast for all candidates of the same party for the same office in such primary election. 4) the candidate is seeking the nomination of a party whose nominee is eligible for protection under IIA. Commencement and Duration of Protection of Major Candidates A. Commencement of Protection. No protection shall be furnished pursuant to P.L. 90-331 earlier than January 11, 1980. On or after such date, protection shall be commenced forthwith upon a determination by the Secretary that a person is a major candidate. B. Duration of Protection. Protection shall not be withdrawn so long as a major candidate continues tc qualify under the terms of Section II. General Nothing contained herein shall preclude the Secretary, after consultation with the Committee, from providing protection to a major candidate although the requirements and conditions contained in parts II and/or III of these guidelines have not been met. -3Settlement for accepted tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on November 8, 1979, in cash or other immediately available funds or in Treasury bills maturing November 8, 1979. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of the maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Under Sections 454(b) and 1221(5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which these bills are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and the bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of these bills (other than life insurance companies) must include in his or her Federal income tax return, as ordinary gain or loss, the difference between the price paid for the bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made. Department of the Treasury Circulars, Public Debt Series Nos. 26-76 and 27-76, and this notice, prescribe the terms of these Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circulars and tender forms may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 29, 1979 Contact: Alvin M. Hattal 202/566-8381 TREASURY ANNOUNCES FINAL DETERMINATION IN COUNTERVAILING DUTY INVESTIGATION ON CERTAIN FOOTWEAR FROM INDIA The Treasury Department today announced a final determination that the Government of India is subsidizing exports of leather shoes and uppers to the United States. All other footwear products subject to Treasury Department investigation were found not to be subsidized. The Countervailing Duty Law requires the Secretary of the Treasury to collect an additional duty equal to the subsidy paid on merchandise exported to the United States. Certain leather uppers covered by this investigation enter the United States duty-free. Countervailing duties may be imposed on duty-free merchandise only if the U. S. International Trade Commission (ITC) determines that a domestic industry is being injured by reason of the subsidized imports. Therefore, the case as it applies to leather uppers entering duty-free is being referred to the ITC for a determination of the injury question. The remaining items found to be subsidized will not be referred to the ITC now. However, if, after January 1, 19 80, India is determined to have accepted the obligations of the recently negotiated International Subsidies/Countervailing Duty Code, such other products may also be referred at that time for an injury determination under the new Trade Agreements Act of 1979. As a result of its own investigation, Treasury found that manufacturers of leather shoes and leather uppers, which constitute 15 percent of Indian footwear exports to the United States, received subsidies consisting primarily of a cash rebate exceeding the indirect taxes which Indian footwear firms paid on the components of the product. Rebates equal to such taxes are not regarded as subsidies. The Government of India (MORE) M-151 - 2 - has indicated that there are additional taxes for which no credit has been given and which, if considered, would effectively eliminate the excess rebate found to have been paid on these two products. When submitted, such data will be reviewed. The amount of the subsidy has been determined to be 4.24 percent on leather shoes and 1.01 percent on leather uppers. Notice of this action appeared in the Federal Register of October 26, 1979. Imports of this merchandise amounted to about $10-million in 1977. o 0 o Statement by Emil M. Sunley, Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Tax Policy, on the United States Department of Agriculture, Food and Nutrition Service Report, "Recoupment in the Food Stamp Program," before the House of Representatives Committee on Agriculture, Subcommittee on Domestic Marketing, Consumer Relations and Nutrition October 30, 1979 Recoupment may be regarded as one possible, although partial, approach to rationalizing the United States system for transferring income from some families to other families. These income transfers are effected through a vast number of tax and grant programs whose combined operating characteristics are exceedingly complex. Measurements which we have of the combined calendar year distributional impacts of all programs taken together show that certain families fare rather well and others rather badly. In part the differences in the treatments of families with similar incomes are intentional and in part are unintentional. One source of possibly unintended differential treatments is very short accounting periods for income on which program grants are reckoned. In the food stamp program the accounting period is one month. Under the plan proposed in the Jeffords amendment to the Food Stamp Act the monthly accounting of income for eligibility would be continued but, if the income of a unit over a completed calendar year exceeded twice the poverty line income for that unit, a part of the Food Stamp grant equal to the excess of actual calendar year income over twice the poverty line income would M-152 -2be reclaimed, or subjected to a 100 percent clawback, as the British would say. Recoupment, thus, is a way for making a family's grant depend not just upon its income in any month but also upon its calendar year income. The mechanism proposed for effecting an annual review of income and program grants is the Federal personal income tax. We oppose the use of the tax system for this purpose. The Treasury generally has been supportive of attempts to rationalize the transfer system. The Treasury originated, the President accepted and the Congress adopted in the Revenue Act of 1978 an admittedly quite limited inclusion of unemployment compensation grants in income subject to the personal income tax. There is in unemployment compensation rograms, as you are aware, an accounting period problem similar to that in the food stamp program. Many public finance scholars have supported inclusion in taxable income of wage replacement income, such as social security grants, sick pay, disability pensions, and employer premiums for group term life and health insurance. For these other programs, the problem is not one of very short accounting periods but the effects on equity of permitting fortunate families to pile tax-exempt income upon substantial amounts of taxable income. In the Treasury, we have had trouble determining whether there is a proper and administratively feasible way to coordinate with the personal income tax means-tested transfer programs, such as aid to families with dependent children and food stamps. In theory programs may be integrated by either (a) offsetting taxes and at least a part of grants dollar for dollar, as is proposed in Representative Jeffords' amendment to the Food Stamp Act, or (b) including program grants in personal income tax taxable income to be taxed at personal income tax rates. If food stamps are viewed as negative taxes, equity would seem to suggest recoupment. Negative taxes properly should be offset dollar for dollar against positive taxes. But if food stamps are viewed as income then the proper tax treatment would be to include them in taxable income. Compared to recoupment, inclusion does not subject additional earnings to as high explicit and implicit rates of tax. Under recoupment, additional earnings may be taxed at rates in excess of 100 percent. Nevertheless, given the high rates at which grants under existing means-tested programs are reduced for other income, inclusion of grants in taxable income would subject the labor and property income of the poor to rates of taxation which, for the nonpoor, we regard as excessive. -3We think that recoupment, as proposed with taxation of earnings at a 100 percent rate, is a mistake and the Treasury is extremely reluctant to undertake administration of such a program. We have two problems with it. First, we cannot justify taxing the earnings of families who are not rich at a rates way above the rates at which we tax the incomes of the really rich. Collection of amounts due to be recouped would put the Internal Revenue Service in the position of pursuing poor people usually for small amounts or deferring collection perhaps for several years. The high rates of tax would also induce households to arrange their affairs for avoidance. o A household member might avoid taking a job toward the end of a year if, as is possible, his doing so would reduce the household's total disposable income for the year. o Household members might manipulate tax filing status so as to minimize recoupment of food stamp grants. Certain households would be more free than others to manipulate filing status. Inequities in the treatments of households with varying potential tax filing composition could be prevented only by changing either the food stamp or personal income tax filing units or both. Changing either would have major impacts on the respective programs. The first of these responses has an undesirable effect on work incentives; the second has an undesirable effect on tax equity. Second, there are serious administrative problems, which we have thus far been unable to solve. The most significant unsolved problem is the differing definitions of the reporting unit for food stamp purposes and tax purposes. If this problem cannot be solved, it would be virtually impossible for IRS to administer any food stamp recoupment program. This issue is important if we are to recoup, on an annual tax filing basis, benefits awarded on a monthly food stamp household basis. To do so, there must be a means of attributing benefits to tax filing units. To date, we are unaware of any acceptable means of accomplishing this. Other serious problems, such as the availability of timely and useable data from grant management agencies, are described in the Report. These administrative problems are also present if food stamps were to be included in taxable income. -4So, primarily because of design defects and difficulties in IRS administration of the program, Treasury opposes adoption of the Jeffords amendment. While I am before this Committee, I would like to mention another matter unrelated to recoupment but of concern to the Treasury. Section 6 of H.R. 4318 would amend the Food Stamp Act of 1977 to permit disclosure of employment tax information to the Department of Agriculture and to State welfare agencies to determine household eligibility for food stamp benefits and the amount of such benefits. As now drafted, the bill would direct the Department of Health, Education and Welfare to establish by regulation safeguards against unauthorized redisclosure of this information. We do not object to disclosure of employment tax information by HEW for use in administering the food stamp program so long as such disclosure is consistent with the Privacy Act and the Department of Justice has had an opportunity to comment. However, we believe that the amendment should be placed in Section 6103 of the Internal Revenue Code. In 1976, Congress sought to consolidate in the tax code all of the rules relating to disclosure of tax information. One of the principal reasons for consolidation was to ensure a degree of uniformity in applying confidentiality standards to, and safeguards on, the use of tax data for nontax related purposes. The current version of H.R. 4318 would abandon this policy and revert to the piecemeal approach to tax disclosure that existed prior to 1976. Other pending legislation may be a useful model in this regard. H.R. 4904, the Social Welfare Reform Amendments bill, would amend Section 6103 of the Internal Revenue Code to permit disclosures of certain employment tax information for purposes of monitoring the aid to families with dependent children (AFDC) and supplemental security income (SSI) programs. We would be happy to assist in drafting similar Code language to permit disclosure for food stamp monitoring purposes. There is also some technical ambiguity in Section 6 of H.R. 4318 that we would be happy to assist in clarifying. LIBRARY FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Contact: George G. Ross October 29, 1979 m 202/566-2356 TREASURY ISSUES REPORT ON- THE™EiT TERRITORIAL INCOME TAX SYSTEMS The Treasury Department today released its report on the Territorial Income Tax Systems: Income Taxation in the Virgin Islands, Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands and American Samoa. Each of these territories applies the U. S. Internal Revenue Code as a local territorial tax code according to one form or another of the "mirror" system. The mirror system means that the words "Virgin Islands," "Guam," the Northern Mariana Islands" or "American Samoa" are substituted for the words "United States" wherever they appear in the U. S. Code. In general, U. S. citizens who are residents of a territory are relieved of the obligation of filing a Federal return and paying Federal taxes by doing so in the territory. No other tax jurisdictions in the world are accorded this status. The Report examines the problems of coordination between the Federal and territorial income tax systems which are created by the special status of the territories. The Report evaluates the operation of the territorial income tax systems in terms of their ability to raise revenues, to ensure equitable treatment of territorial versus stateside residents, and to provide for simplicity of administration and compliance. The Report concludes that the present income tax systems are functioning poorly. Specific proposals for reform are being considered by the Administration in light of overall Federal policy toward the territories and will be advanced shortly. Copies of the Report are available for purchase from the Superintendent of Documents, U. S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D. C. 20401. When ordering, use Stock No. 048-000-00332-0. o 0 o M-153 IMMEDIATE RELEASE Tuesday, October 30, 1979 CONTRACTS fEverard Munsey "vl ' 202/566-8191 •v -THJ TREASURY DEPARTMENT ANNOUNCES TENTATIVE DECISION OF NO DUMPING OF FRESH WINTER VEGETABLES FROM MEXICO The Treasury Department announced today its tentative determination that five types of fresh winter vegetables from Mexico are not being sold at "less than fair value" within the meaning of the Antidumping Act of 1921. Sales at less than fair value generally occur when the price of imported products is less than the price of the same or similar goods sold in the home market or to third countries. In this case, since the vegetables are not sold in Mexico, sales prices to Canada were considered in determining whether U.S. sales were below "fair value." The vegetables that are the subject of this proceeding are cucumbers, eggplant, peppers, squash and tomatoes (except cherry tomatoes) imported into the United States between November and the following April. In September 1978, counsel on behalf of the Southwest Florida Winter Vegetable Growers Association, the Palm Beach-Broward Farmers Committee for Legislative Action and the South Florida Tomato and Vegetable Growers, Inc., filed a petition alleging that these fresh winter vegetables from Mexico were being sold at less than fair value. The petition was withdrawn in July 1979 to permit negotiations between the Governments of Mexico and the United States concerning trade in these products. The withdrawal expressly permitted the petitioners to refile their petition if no agreement had been reached within 90 days. As no agreement was reached, the petitioners refiled their petition and the Treasury's tentative determination was made on the basis of the information collected during the initial investigation that was terminated in July. In view of the great number of individual growers involved in this trade, data was collected by the Customs Service from 31 growers representing the largest producers of the affected products. Sales of identical products shipped by the same grower M-154 - 2 on the same day to customers in both Canada and the United States were compared on days randomly selected from the entire growing season. The "matched pairs" of transactions were considered an adequate statistical sample of the total sales in the markets being compared. From this statistical study it was evident that prices for the same merchandise shipped on the same day to destinations at comparable distances from Nogales, Arizona (the point of entry into the United States) were not significantly different. The price analysis showed that in effect a unitary market exists in which there is no discrimination in price between sales to Canada and the United States by Mexican growers. Under these conditions, price-to-price comparisons yield no dumping margins. In administering the Anti-dumping Act, price comparisons are the preferred means of determining whether there is dumping. Since meaningful price comparisons could be made in this case, the possibility of sales at less than the cost of production could not be decisive. An appendix to the tentative determination reflects the following sales volumes of the affected merchandise during the 1977-78 crop year which were considered in making this decision: Tomatoes 118,369,965 15/ 352/ 095 Squash 4, 946, 220 Eggplant 26, 389, 496 Peppers 33, 145, 361 Cucumbers # # # FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. October 30, 1979 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills totaling approximately $6,200 million, to be issued November 8, 1979. This offering will provide $200 million of new cash for the Treasury as the maturing bills are outstanding in the amount of $6,030 million. The two series offered are as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) for approximately $3,100 million, representing an additional amount of bills dated August 9, 1979, and to mature February 7, 1980 (CUSIP No. 912793 3Q 7 ) , originally issued in the amount of $3,022 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills for approximately $3,100 million to be dated November 8, 1979, and to mature May 8, 1980 (CUSIP No. 912793 4D 5 ) . Both series of bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing November 8, 1979. Federal Reserve Banks, for themselves and as agents of foreign and international monetary authorities, presently hold $2,956 million of the*maturing bills. These accounts may exchange bills they hold for the bills now being offered at the weighted average prices of accepted competitive tenders. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their par amount will be payable without interest. Both series of bills will be issued entirely in book-entry form in a minimum amount of $10,000 and in any higher $5,000 multiple, on the records either of the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, or of the Department of the Treasury. Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C. 20226, up to 1:30 p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, November 5, 1979. Form PD 4632-2 (for 26-week series) or Form PD 4632-3 (for 13-week series) should be used to submit tenders for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. M-155 -2Each tender must be for a minimum of $10,000. Tenders over $10,000 must be in multiples of $5f000. In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e.g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities may submit tenders for account of customers, if the names of the customers and the amount for each customer are furnished. Others are only permitted to submit tenders for their own account. Each tender must state the amount of any net long position in the bills being offered if such position is in excess of $200 million. This information should reflect positions held at the close of business on the day prior to the auction. Such positions would include bills acquired through "when issued" trading, and futures and forward transactions as well as holdings of outstanding bills with the same maturity date as the new offering; e.g., bills with three months to maturity previously offered as six month bills. Dealers, who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions in and borrowings on such securities, when submitting tenders for customers, must submit a separate tender for each customer whose net long position in the bill being offered exceeds $200 million. Payment for the full par amount of the bills applied for must accompany all tenders submitted for bills to be maintained on the book-entry records of the Department of the Treasury. A cash adjustment will be made on all accepted tenders for the difference between the par payment submitted and the actual issue price as determined in the auction. No deposit need accompany tenders from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities for bills to be maintained on the bookentry records of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches. A deposit of 2 percent of the par amount of the bills applied for must accompany tenders for such bills from others, unless an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company accompanies the tenders. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Competitive bidders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection of their tenders. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and the Secretary's action shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500,000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the weighted average price respective (in three decimals) issues. of accepted competitive bids for the FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 30, 1979 RESULTS OF AUCTION OF 3-1/2 YEAR NOTES The Department of the Treasury has accepted $2,751 million of $6,851 million of tenders received from the public for the 3-1/2 year notes, Series G-1983, auctioned today. The range of accepted competitive bids was as follows: Lowest yield 11.62%Highest yield Average yield 11.64% 11.64% The interest rate on the notes will be 11-5/8%. At the 11-5/8% rate, the above yields result in the following prices: Low-yield price 100.014 High-yield price Average-yield price 99.958 99.958 The $2,751 million of accepted tenders includes $929 million of noncompetitive tenders and $1,432 million of competitive tenders from private investors, including 83% of the amount of notes bid for at the high yield. It also includes $390 million of tenders at the average price from Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities in exchange for maturing securities. In addition to the $2,751 million of tenders accepted in the auction process, $800 million of tenders were accepted at the average price from Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account in exchange for securities maturing November 15, 1979. 1/ Excepting 2 tenders totaling $20,000. M-156 For Release Upon Delivery October 31, 1979 2:30 PM EST STATEMENT OF HARVEY GALPER ASSOCIATE DIRECTOR, OFFICE OF TAX ANALYSIS DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON TAXATION AND DEBT MANAGEMENT OF THE SENATE FINANCE COMMITTEE OCTOBER 31, 1979 Mr. Chairman and members of the Subcommittee: I welcome the opportunity to present the Treasury's views on four bills now before you: S.246, S.1846, S.1488, and S.1543. These four bills would attempt to encourage savings by making interest or dividends tax exempt under certain specified conditions. The first and simplest is S. 246. It would exempt up to $500 of interest on savings accounts ($1,000 for joint returns). The second bill, S. 1846, would enlarge the existing exemption for dividends received. Under present law, the first $100 of dividends received by an individual each year is generally tax exempt (up to $200 on a joint return). Under S. 1846, the exemption would be increased to $250 ($500 for a joint return), and would be allowed for interest on savings accounts as well as dividends. The third bill, S. 1488, would exempt up to $500 of interest on savings accounts ($1,000 on a joint return). However, the exemption would be available only to the extent that interest earned in one year exceeded the amount earned in the immediately preceding year. M-157 -2Finally, S. 1543 would exempt up to $1,500 of dividends reinvested each year under a qualified dividend reinvestment plan. The exemption would be $3,000 for joint returns. We have given these bills careful consideration because of our interest in legislation that might promote savings or assist small savers. However, we have concluded that none of the bills would effectively further these goals and, in fact, these bills would distort the allocation of saving among financial assets. Therefore, the Treasury is opposed to all four of these bills. To the extent possible, any tax incentives for savers should be neutral as between different kinds of savings, should not permit tax-deductible borrowing for the purpose of securing a tax-free return, should not encourage complicated transactions to realize tax benefits, and should reward most additional saving with a higher after-tax return. In addition, any incentive program must be consistent with our fiscal objectives of moving towards budgetary balance. We will now focus attention on each proposal separately. S. 246 The Treasury opposes S. 246 for three reasons. It is very expensive, it does not stimulate savings effectively, and it may hinder the enactment of legislation now before the full Senate to phase out Regulation Q. Regulation Q currently limits to 5.5 percent the return that thrift institutions can pay to savers holding passbook accounts. The Administration supports legislation to phase out Regulation 0 as a more effective means to aid small savers. The revenue loss from S. 246 would be quite large. It would amount to $3.4 billion in its first year of operation and would increase to over $4.6 billion a year in 1984. S. 246 does not stimulate savings effectively because, for the most part, it does not operate on the margin of decision-making. No incentive effect whatever is provided to savers who earn more than $500 of interest. Currently, such savers earn 92 percent of all taxable interest. While S. 246 provides no incentive effect to these large savers, they, nonetheless, are eligible for the full $500 exclusion and would receive almost three-fourths of the tax break resulting from S.246. Thus, almost three-quarters of the revenue loss (or over $3.3 billion a year at 1984 levels) would go to the largest savers and would do absolutely nothing to encourage savings. -3Some marginal incentive to increase saving would be provided to the small savers with less than $500 of interest income, a group which now contributes a small share of aggregate savings. Even in the unlikely event of a substantial increase in the savings of this group, aggregate savings would be very little affected. 1/ We agree that small savers are now treated unfairly; they generally receive a very low return on savings accounts, a return that is less than the current rate of inflation. Moreover, small savers are ordinarily unable to take advantage of higher-yielding alternatives (such as money-market certificates) because of minimum deposit requirements. While S. 246 would provide some relief to small savers the simplest and most effective way to provide assistance is to phase out Regulation Q, which is what forces small savers to accept an unfairly low return. This can be illustrated by a hypothetical example. Consider a saver in the 21 percent bracket (e.g., a family of four making $18,000 a year) who for the purpose of this example we will assume might earn 9 percent before taxes and 7.2 percent after taxes on passbook savings once Regulation Q is phased out. However, the maximum amount now allowed on passbook accounts under Regulation Q is 5.5 percent. Even if the entire 5.5 percent is tax-free, the small saver in our example is 1.7 percentage points better off if Regulation Q is phased out than if S. 246 is passed. S.1347 which would phase out Regulation Q over 10 years, was reported out by the Banking Committee and is now before the full Senate. Because it is the most effective way to provide relief for small savers, the Administration supports S.1347. l7 S.246 would raise the average after-tax return of savers with less than $500 of interest income by no more than one-third. Even under the assumption of an extremely high savings response to this increase in after-tax return (assume an interest elasticity of 0.4) such small savers would increase their holdings of interest-earning assets by no more than 12 to 13 percent. This, in turn, would represent an increase of only 1 percent in holdings of all interest-earning assets or less than one-quarter of one percent in holdings of all assets yielding capital income. Thus, the increase in aggregate savings would be imperceptible. -4Finally, S. 246 encourages savers to switch from one kind of savings to another, e.g., from stocks and bonds to savings accounts. Activity of this kind merely rearranges savings, and does nothing to increase savings. 2/ S. 1846 S. 1846 would exempt a combined total of up to $250 of interest and dividends. (Up to $500 of interest and dividends would be exempt on joint returns.) Thus, compared to present law, S. 1846 expands the exemption to cover interest on savings accounts as well as dividends and increases the total exemption from $100 to $250. S. 1846 has many of the same weaknesses as S. 246. Over 60 percent of the revenue loss is wasted on taxpayers who are over the $250 limit and who therefore are not given any incentive to save. Only about 7.5 percent of interest and dividends is affected at the margin. Because S. 1846 sets a lower limit than S. 246 ($250 rather than $500) , it results in a smaller revenue loss. The revenue loss from S. 1846 — which would grow from $2.0 billion in 1980 and $2.6 billion in 1984 — would be about three-fifths of the revenue loss from S. 246. Also, S. 1846 treats dividends and savings account interest equally, thereby reducing the incentive to switch from one form of savings to another. Switches between non-eligible assets—such as corporate and government securities—to savings accounts would still be likely, however. 2/ S. 246 also suffers from the defect that it may encourage taxpayers to borrow from one bank in order to make tax-exempt deposits at another bank. For example, a taxpayer in the 50 percent bracket (e.g., a family of four making $80,000 a year) might borrow $10,000 at 15 percent from one bank and use the money for a 9 percent certificate of deposit at another bank. Interest paid on the money borrowed would be deductible, but interest earned on the certificate of deposit would be tax exempt. Therefore, the taxpayer would make an after-tax profit of $150 a year, without doing any real saving at all. A remedy would be to allow the exemption only for interest income in excess of interest expense. For example, if a taxpayer received interest of $500 and paid interest of $300, only the net amount of $200 would be exempt from tax. -5In conclusion, the Treasury is opposed to S. 1846 because it would result in a substantial revenue loss, would do little to promote savings, and would provide less relief for small savers than phasing out Regulation Q—the same reasons we are opposed to S. 246. S. 1488 S. 1488 exempts up to $500 of interest on savings accounts each year (up to $1,000 on a joint return). However, a taxpayer is eligible for the exemption only if he earns more interest this year than he did last year. For example, if a taxpayer earned $200 of interest last year and earns $500 this year, only the increase of $300 is exempt. The revenue loss from S.1488 would be $1.1 billion in 1980 rising to $1.5 billion in 1984. S.1488 is an intriguing attempt to overcome a major weakness in S.246. As noted earlier, S.246 has no incentive effect on large savers, but nonetheless gives them more than $3 billion a year. The incremental approach of S.1488, combined with quite high dollar limits on these increments, means that some incentive effect is likely to be provided to all but the very largest savers. However, one must be careful not to overstate the magnitude of the incentive effects provided by an incremental approach. While both S.1488 and S.246 exempt interest income from taxation, S.1488 has a much smaller effect on any particular saving decision than S.246. To see why this is so, consider a taxpayer in. the 21 percent bracket (e.g., a family of four with an income of $18,000 a year) trying to decide whether to add $100 to a pass book savings account. If the passbook interest rate is 5.5 percent, S.246 would permanently increase the after-tax interest return from $4.35 a year to $5.50 a year. On the other hand, S.1488 would increase the after-tax interest return by the same amount, but for only a single year. In other words, if the taxpayer in our example is truly a marginal saver (i.e., the increase in after-tax return is necessary to induce him to maintain a $100 higher balance in his passbook savings account) then he will withdraw the $100 after the temporary effect of S.1488 has worn off at the end of the year. While S. 1488 does reduce the waste of non-incremental approaches, this example illustrates that much of the cost savings under the incremental approach is achieved by providing a smaller incentive to save. -6Under an incremental approach, a taxpayer may also reduce savings for a year (or even better transfer his funds into other assets for a year) to establish a lower savings account interest base for the following year. In this fashion, his holdings of eligible assets may go up and down to take maximum advantage of the tax benefit. While his average asset holdings over every two-year period may indeed rise—at least perhaps his holdings of savings accounts—, it does not appear desirable policy to encourage such • transactions in order to qualify for tax benefits. Furthermore, an incremental approach is bound to have some arbitrary impacts on taxpayers in particular situations since there is no operational way to determine exactly the normal or baseline savings level for each taxpayer. Taxpayers who would have added to savings in the absence of the tax incentive are rewarded even if they do not change their behavior; whereas those who are forced to draw down savings are completely denied the opportunity to respond to the incentive. Thus, while a non-incremental approach would affect all persons equally regardless of what is happening to their savings from year to year, the incremental approach of S.1488 would not: It would discriminate against older persons who are at a stage in life when they ordinarily draw down their savings, and would favor younger persons who are at a stage of life when they ordinarily would add to savings. Other arbitrary events triggering eligibility may be changes in interest rates or increases or decreases in interest income because a taxpayer sells or buys a house in a particular year. Also, since no netting of interest expense against interest income is provided in S.1488, it is possible to make money by borrowing for the purpose of generating tax-exempt interest income. We recognize that S.1488 attempts to achieve greater efficiency as a savings incentive but it can only do so at the expense of injecting arbitrary elements into the tax code. Accordingly, Treasury is opposed to S. 1488. S.1543 S. 1543 differs from the other three bills by providing a relatively narrow incentive for reinvesting dividends, rather than broader incentives for all dividends or all interest on savings accounts. Under the bill, up to $1,500 ($3,000 on a joint return) of dividends would be tax exempt if reinvested in a qualified dividend reinvestment plan. Under such a qualified plan, a corporation would issue new -7shares of common stock to shareholders who elect to participate. The new stock would be issued at fair market value or at a discount not to exceed 5 percent. Shareholders who elect not to participate would continue to pay tax on cash dividends received. Special tax rules would apply to stock purchased under a qualified dividend reinvestment plan. If such stock is sold within a year after issue, the entire amount received would be treated as ordinary income. If the stock is held for more than a year, this amount would be taxed as a long-term capital gain. The effect of S. 1543 is to give shareholders an option to convert cash dividends into earnings retained on their behalf. These optional retained earnings would generally be taxed in a manner similar to actual retained earnings; they would not be included in the shareholders' income but would be taxed as capital gains if the shareholder sells his stock. Under current law, investors can seek the optimal mix of cash flow and retained earnings from stocks by choosing the type of stock that suits their needs. Investors in high tax brackets who seek to defer tax on retained earnings can buy stocks with low dividend/earnings ratios; investors in low tax brackets who are interested in cash flow can buy stocks with high dividend/earnings ratios. This bill enables shareholders to realize the tax benefits of retained earnings without purchasing growth stocks. Consequently, the effect of this bill would be highly regressive. The major beneficiaries would be high-bracket investors who could obtain the benefits of deferral without assuming the risks generally associated with growth stocks. Low-bracket investors and retired people would not benefit because they would generally choose to receive cash dividends. In addition, tax-motivated borrowing would be encouraged to the extent it is easier and less risky to borrow against stock in a secure, high yield company. For example, a wealthy investor who borrows on margin to purchase shares of a public utility would be able to receive tax-free accumulation while deducting interest paid on the margin account. S. 1543 resembles past proposals to relieve double taxation of dividends only to the extent it provides a tax break for shareholders. However, its other effects are exactly the opposite of double tax relief as ordinarily -8understood. Rather than encouraging a more flexible capital market, as do other proposals for double tax relief, it encourages retention of earnings within each corporation. Rather than providing that dividends are taxed once at the marginal rate appropriate to each shareholder, it taxes them at corporate rates. The expected revenue loss from S. 1543 will be $640 million in calendar year 1980 and slightly over $1 billion in calendar year 1984. For the foregoing reasons, the Treasury opposes S. 1543. Our testimony has stressed the weaknesses of four bills now before the Committee that attempt to encourage savings. However, we recognize that the tax system, especially in an inflationary period, does discourage savings and investment and that it remains an important economic objective to stimulate greater capital formation. Budgetary considerations simply do not permit new tax initiatives at this time. But when appropriate, we would expect to evaluate a whole range of alternative approaches for promoting savings and investment. These would include not only possible savings incentives that would not have the deficiencies of the proposals before you today, but would also extend to measures to accelerate depreciation allowances and to provide for a general restructuring of tax burdens. Choices among these approaches would then be based on considerations of equity and relative effectiveness in promoting savings and investment. o 0 o For Release Upon Deliverv Expected at 2:30 P.M. E.S.T. STATEMENT OF H. DAVID ROSENBLOOM INTERNATIONAL TAX COUNSEL DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON TAXATION AND DEBT MANAGEMENT OF THE SENATE FINANCE COMMITTEE OCTOBER 31, 1979 Mr. Chairman and Members of the Subcommittee: I am pleased to have the opportunity to appear today to present the views of the Treasury Department on S. 1703. S. 1701 would grant to employees of organizations exempt from Federal taxation under section 501(c)(3) the $20,000 exclusion of foreign earned income that was generally available to United States citizens employed abroad prior to the Tax Reform ^ct of 197<S. During consideration of the Foreign Earned Income ^ct of 1978, both Congress and the Administration took the position that the United States tax treatment of United States citizens employed abroad in the private sector should take into account the excess costs of living abroad. As a result, United States taxpayers living abroad are entitled under section 91** of the Code to a deduction for certain excess housing, education, home-leave travel, and general living costs. Tn addition, it was generally believed that some tax preference for overseas employment could be justified in cases in which the employee abroad had to accept hardship conditions. Accordingly, United States taxpayers living in hardship areas are entitled under section 913 to a $5,000 deduction in addition to the deduction for excess foreign living costs. M-158 -9- The $20,000 exclusion of foreign earned income allowed to taxpayers generally under prior iaw was retained in section 911 only for employees living in substandard lodging in certain camps located in hardship areas. Section 911 was tightly drawn to compensate certain taxpayers who effectively must incur a cost in the form of a substantially lower standard of living than they would normalIv have in the United States; section 913 generally compensates those who incur the added costs necessary to maintain a reasonable living standard. Section 911 was also intended by some persons to give an incentive to multinational companies, particularly in the labor-intensive construction industry, to hire American citizens instead of citizens of other countries. Congress anticipated that this incentive would produce benefits for the United States economy through the purchase by Americans employed abroad of American machinery, equipment, and technical services. Regardless of the merits of section 911, the reasons for its enactment in its present form do not justify extending the exclusion on a general basis to employees of exempt organizations. ^o the extent that the employees of exempt organizations experience adverse livinq conditions in camp facilities, they may qualify for section 911 on the same basis as employees in other industries. Employees of exempt organizations who do not auaiify for section 9ii may be compensated for hardship conditions by the $5,000 deduction provided in section 91^. Although S. l7fp has been described as a measure that would compensate employees of charities experiencing hardship conditions while thev carry out activities favored by the United States, there is no requirement under the bill that hardship conditions be experienced. Nor is the bill limited to employees of organizations engaged in relief activities or, for that matter, to employees of United States organizations. Even if the bill were narrowly framed, it would provide benefits to activities carried on outside the United States that are not available with respect to similar activities in the United States. There may be specific situations of the type covered that merit Federal assistance. Organizations providing aid to the poor and to agriculture, which are of the groatest concern to the sponsors of the bill, may be examples. Tf an incentive to certain groups or activities is desired, we recommend that direct grants be provided. It does not appear loaical or efficient to employ the tax system for this ouroose. With direct grants, the activities to be benefited could be defined more precisely,17 the cost would be administered For subject the to foregoing periodic by persons reasons, review, expert and we in oppose thethe proaram area. S. 03. would be (partment of theJREASURY iSHINGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 For Release Upon Delivery Expected at 2:^0 P.M. E.S.T. STATEMENT OF HARRY L. GUTMAN DEPUTY TAX LEGISLATIVE COUNSEL DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON TAXATION AND DEBT MANAGEMENT OF THE SENATE FINANCE COMMITTEE OCTOBER 31, 197 9 Mr. Chairman and Members of the Subcommittee: I am pleased to appear today to present the views of the Treasury Department on four bills: S. 541, S. 555, S. 999, and S. 1638. A summary of the Department's position on each bill is attached as Appendix A. S. 541 - ELECTION OF ESTATE TAX ALTERNATE VALUATION The value of assets included in a decedent's estate is determined, in general, either at the time of the decedent's death or six months after the decedent's death. The latter date is called the alternate valuation date. Under present law an alternate valuation date election must be made on a timely filed estate tax return. S. 541 would permit an executor to elect alternate valuation on the first late return filed. As the proponents of S. 541 have stated, the estate tax consequences of an alternate valuation election will not change if an election is permitted on a late return. It is also true, however, that an alternate valuation date election M-159 -2- will usually have income tax consequences under either steD-up in basis at death (i.e., an heir's basis is, in general, equal to the estate tax value of the property received) or carryover basis (i.e., an heir's basis is, in general, equal to the decedent's basis in the property after a number of statutory adjustments). In these cases, an extension of the election date to include late returns may, despite late filing and payment penalties, encourage deferred elections in an attempt to minimize the aggregate estate and income tax consequences to the recipients of inherited property. We would become concerned if such a trend developed. On balance though, we do not oppose the substantive change made by S. 541. However, we do oppose S. 541 as ^rsfte^ because of the bill's effective date and transition relief provisions. The bill is effective, in general, for estates of decedents dying after December 31, 1977. We do not believe this retroactive effective date is necessary. Rather, we recommend the provision be effective for estates of decedents dying after the date of enactment. In addition, we are opposed to the special transition rule pursuant to which executors of estates of decedents dying before the general effective date could, within 90 days of enactment, perfect a defective alternate valuation date election so long as such an election had been indicated on the first estate tax return filed by the executor. Our primary difficulty with this form of transition relief is that, to the extent it is administrable, it will apply unevenly. It will reward those who attempted to elect alternate valuation in circumstances where a valid election was clearly prohibited. However, it will not afford relief to those who filed late returns and, cognizant of the fact that an alternate valuation election was prohibited under the circumstances, did not attempt an election even though it would have benefited the estate. The uneven application of the transition rule cannot be rectified short of granting all executors who filed late returns a limited time period within which to reelect the alternate valuation date. However, a transition rule fashioned so broadly would result in significant administrative difficulties and problems of identification of and notice to affected executors and heirs. Therefore we strongly recommend the transition relief be deleted from the bill. S. 555 - THE INDEPENDENT LOCAL NEWSPAPER A^T OF 1979 The objective of S. 555 is to preserve local ownership of newspapers in the face of increasingly aggressive acquisition offers by large newspaper chains or conglomerates. If the owner of a local newspaper declines to sell and dies ownina the newspaper, the estate tax value of the business is determined in part by reference to recent -•*- sales of comparable newspapers, which, it is alleged, are occurrinq at unrealistic, inflated prices. It is further alleged that a newspaper valued in this manner cannot generate funds sufficient to pay estate taxes. As a result, local newspaper owners, at death or prior thereto, are encouraged to sell out to the large chains. The bill attempts to solve this problem by providing an extraordinary number of special exemptions from generally applicable tax provisions to permit the tax-free accumulation of funds to pay the estate tax attributable to the value of the newspaper and to allow any unfunded estate tax to be paid over fifteen years. Thirty-seven pages of statutory language are required to codify these provisions. We have no quarrel with the proposition :hat a free and vigorous press should be protected. But if this is to be a national policy goal, we believe the problem should be addressed directly. If the independent local newspaper industry is threatened, special loan or subsidy programs should be considered. To the extent the value of these businesses is being artificially escalated by takeover bids from large newspapers, the possible modification of the anti-trust laws should be considered. Either or both of these courses would result in a more controlled and equitable resolution of the problem than the use of tax expenditures. This point can be made clear by examining S. 5*55 in some detail. The bill is divided into two principal parts. The first permits the establishment of a trust by an "independent local" newspaper for the purpose of paying the estate tax attributable to any owner's interest in the business. The trust must have an independent trustee and its corpus may be invested only in United States obligations. The value of the trust cannot exceed 7 0 percent of the value of the owner's interest in the business. The income earned by the trust corpus will be exempt from t?x. Contributions to the trust are not only deductible (up to an amount equal to 50 percent of the annual taxable income of the newspaper business) by the newspaper business, but are also excluded from the taxable income of the owner. These income tax benefits are recaptured roughly if, during the owner's lifetime, the newspaper ceases to meet the statutory definition of an "independent local" newspaper. The corpus of the trust is excluded from the owner's gross estate and the estate does not realize income when its estate tax liability is discharged by the trust. The estate tax benefit is recaptured in whole or part if the business interest is sold within 15 years of the owner's death. The second part of the bill provides an elective deferral of the estate tax attributable to the newspaper interest not otherwise paid from the assets of the estate tax payment trust. Payment may be made on essentially the samr -4- terms as Code section 6166, with the same preferential 4 percent interest rate, but without regard to the size of the interest in relation to the owner's estate. What generally applicable tax law principles does this bill violate? First, it permits a ^eduction for earnings diverted to the estate tax payment trust. Although the bill provides that such a deduction is allowable under section 162, the payment in no way can be said to meet the "ordinary and necessary" business expense criteria of that section. Nor is there any other provision in the tax law allowing a deduction for amounts to be used to pay death taxes. Second, the bill provides that the funds transferred to the estate tax payment trust will not be included in taxable income by the owner. To the extent the newspaper business is held in corporate form, this payment would in all other cases be treated as a taxable dividend to the extent of earnings and profits. Third, the exemption of trust earnings from income is contrary to existing law which would treat the beneficiary as the owner of the trust and taxable on its income. Fourth, exclusion of the corpus of the trust from the owner's gross estate violates existing principles which would include in a decedent's estate any asset in which the decedent or his estate had an interest. Finally, if it was appropriate to exclude the funding and earnings of the trust from the decedent's estate, then the exclusion from estate income of the amount paid by the trust to relieve the estate of its estate tax liability contravenes the basic income tax rule that discharge of an obligation of another results in income to the party whose obligation has been discharged. The effect of these provisions is, in most cases, to cause the Federal government to nay a large share of the tax liability attributable to the value of an"independent local newspaper. The Federal government's share will vary accordinq to the period of time an estate tax payment trust has been in existence, the applicable corporate income tax rate, the amount of interest earned by the trust corpus, the marginal income and estate tax rates of the owner, and the form in which funds to pay the estate tax would have been accumulated absent this special relief. Nonetheless, the extraordinary scope of the benefits afforded by this bill can be illustrated by the following example. Assume that A owns an interest in a local newspaper worth $1,000,000 at all times. Further, to highlight"the problem of making lifetime arrangements to transfer this interest, assume that the $1,000,000 interest constitutes A's -5sole asset and he wishes to transfer the entire interest to his heirs at death. Under present law, A would have to accumulate S516,000 in a portfolio of marketable assets in addition to his newspaper interest to pay the $516,000 estate tax on a taxable estate of $1,516,000. This is the burden A, or any testator wishing to transfer B net of SI,000,000, must bear. A might meet this burden by saving more during his lifetime, or by drawing more funds from his newspaper to accomplish his objective. Under the provisions of S. 555, this burden is reduced by 85 percent if A's income is taxed at a 40 percent rate, or by 92 percent if his income is taxed at 60 percent. This subsidy arises from two components of the bill. First, by excludinq the trust corpus from the taxable estate, A is saved $217,200, or 42 percent of the normal estate tax. Second, by permitting deposits to be deducted by the newspaper, and thereby short-circuiting both the corporate and personal income taxes, S. ^55 saves A an additional $220,975 (43 percent of the normal estate tax) if he is subject to a 40 percent income tax rate or $256,810 (50 percent of the normal estate tax) if he is subject to a 60 percent income tax rate. An alternative way of expressing . the effect of the bill is to note that Congress could accomplish the same result by paying $438,175 to A's estate if hj agrees to leave his heirs a $1,000,000 interest in a local newspaper, should his marginal income tax rate be 4 0 percent, or $474,010 should he be in a 60 percent tax bracket. Moreover, due to the progressivity of estate tax rates, in the case of a $5,000,000 interest in a local newspaper and assuming a 60 percent income tax rate, S. =^5 would forgive 96 percent of the relatively larger normal estate tax; it would be the equivalent of Conaress appropriating S8,100,000 to be paid into a testator's estate if he agreed to bequeath a Sc., 000,000 interest in a local newspaper to his heirs.1/ W The calculations on which this illustration are based assume a 2^ year period for accumulating the estate tax liquid funds; the before-personal-tax (after-corporate-tax) yield on the newspaper interest is 10 percent; the corporation is subject to a 46 percent marginal tax rate; and that the yield on trust fund assets is only 8 percent. Ace mulating the same amount over a shorter perod would increase the magnitude of S. 555 benefits. -6- At the cost illustrated by this example, it is apparent that the benefits of this bill should at the very least be restricted to those who can demonstrate that the estate tax will, in fact, result in a forced sale of the newspaper business. Otherwise, the bill turns all independent local newspapers into income and estate tax shelters. On the other hand, proper targeting of the benefits will result in complex amendments to what is already an enormously complex bill. Even then, because the phenomenon which gives rise to the need for this bill is the opportunity to sell newspapers at allegedly premium prices, it is not demonstrable that the bill ultimately would achieve its qoal. The bill would, at best, make it less expensive to pass newspapers from generation to generation. It does nothing to cure the market situation which creates the need for the relief. Thus, this bill may be questionable public policy as well as bad tax policy. While we are sympathetic to the plight of some owners of small businesses in planning the payment of estate taxes and retaining control of the business in the heirs, we also oppose this bill on the ground that it constitutes special relief for only one group of "small businessmen." Present law already provides relief for small business owners and their heirs. Section 303 provides that in certain cases the purchase of stock by a corporation to pay estate taxes will be treated as a redemption and thus subject to capital gains rather than ordinary income tax. Also, if a portion of the business must be sold to generate funds to pay estate taxes, any gain realized will generally be taxed at the capital qains rate. Further, the transaction can often be structured as an installment sale, in which case the payment of the income tax is deferred over the installment payment period. In computing the estate tax, there are special relief provisions. In the 1976 *ct, the amount of property which may be passed without being subject to the estate tax was increased from $60,000 to $175,000. Also, the marital deduction for transfers to surviving spouses, which before the 1976 Act was limited to one-half the estate, was changed to a limit of the greater of 50 percent of the value of the adjusted gross estate, or $250,000. Finally, the payment of the estate tax may be deferred where a business interest constitutes a major part of the estate. Under section 6161f»N, the time for payment of the estate tax may be extended for up to 10 years upon a showinq of reasonable cause. Reasonable cause exists when an estate consists larqely of a closely-held business and does not have sufficient funds to nay the tax on time, or must sell assets to pay the tax at a sacrifice price. Section 6166 allows a 5 -7- year deferral and a 1^ year installment payment at a 4 percent interest rate on all or a portion of the deferred estate tax if the value of the closelv-held business interest exceeds 65 percent of the adjusted gross estate. Finally, section 6166A is applicable to ? broader number of situations and permits the estate tax attributable to a closely-held business interest to be p a H in up to 1^ annual installments. The adoption of S. 55 5 would provide a wedge to be used again and again by other seqments of society, each arguing its own importance. We do not believe in this piecemeal approach to legislation. There are existing provisions intended to minimize the problems inherent in the payment of taxes. Tf they are inadeauate they should be reviewed in a comprehensive and not an ad hoc manner. S. 999 - WAIVER OF INTEREST ON UNDERPAYMENT OF TAX Under present law, a taxpayer is charged interest on any amount of tax that is not paid on time. S. 999 would impose interest unless the taxpayer's failure to pay tax on a timely basis is due to reasonable cause and not due to willful neglect. The Treasury opposes S. 999. The payment of interest is an economic concept; it is not a punitive one. Interest is a charge for the use of money; the borrower's intent in taking out a. loan is irrelevant. When B taxpayer does not pay tax on time—for whatever reason—the taxpayer has, in effect, borrowed money from the government upon which interest is due. The Internal Revenue Code treats the interest paid consistently with this economic approach. The taxpayer may deduct the interest on unpaid tax, and the rate of interest is adjusted periodically to follow the prevailing lending rate. Moreover, an overpayment of tax is considered a loan to the government on which the government must pay interest. The Code does not iqnore a taxpayer's intent in not paying his tax. A penalty for the late payment or nonpayment of tax will not be imposed if the taxpayer's failure to pay is due to reasonable cause and not due to willful neglect. Because the penalty is a monetary form of punishment for failure to pay tax, it is not deductible and there is no reciprocal penalty imposed upon the government. It is, then, altogether appropriate to examine a taxpayer's intent in order to determine whether the penalty should be imposed. But intent is not an appropriate consideration where the payment of interest is concerned. Although circumstances may exist which cause a taxpayer to be unavoidably late in the payment of his taxes, such circumstances usually do not prevent the taxpayer from earning a return on the money that is retained rather than -8paid in taxes. Thus, even if a taxpayer has a leqitimate excuse for not paying his taxes on time, the waiver of interest in such circumstances would frequently provide a windfall gain. However sympathetic we may be to taxpayers such as the victims of natural disasters who cannot Day their tax on time, these people are still, in effect, borrowing money from the government. Tt is hiqhly unusual in the business world for interest to be waived short of bankruptcy proceedings, even for natural disasters. There is no reason why the government should receive less than any other creditor in the same situation. S. 1.63 8 - AMORTIZATION OF START-UP <"PSTS S. 1638 would permit a taxpayer to elect to amortize over a period of not less than five years certain business start-up costs that otherwise would not be deductible. The'x start-up costs that may be amortized under this bill »re the costs paid or incurred prior to the functioning of the business as a going concern and that are incident to the investigation, formation, or creation of the business. The J costs must not create an asset having a useful life of its '^ own; they must be of a character that would be subject to ; amortization over the life of the business (»nd not the life" of some other asset) if the business had a determinable useful life. Typical of these costs are the investigatory expenses directly related to the particular business, and the appraisals, advertising, insurance, utilities and other routine expenditures paid or incurred prior to the actual commencement of business. For the following reasons, we support S. 163*. This bill is designed to reduce the disparity in tax treatment between certain ordinary and necessary preopening expenses and similar expenses incurred by an existing business. Under current law, most preopening expenses are neither deductible nor subject to amortization but similar expenses incurred by a going concern are usually currently deductible. It is difficult to justify such disparate treatment for similar expenses. The problem of start-up costs arises not only for taxpayers entering their first business, but also for taxpayers with an existing business when beginning a new business that is unrelated or only tangenti a*11y relate^. Th^ tax treatment of the start-up costs of a related business has generated much controversy. Under current i *w, these costs are currently deductible if the new operations are part of the existinq "tra^e or business" and the costs do not create a separate asset; costs must be capitalized, however, if the new operations constitute a separate tra^e or business. The large number of controversies between taxpayers and the IRS on this issue reflects (1) the difficulty in many cases of -9determining what constitutes a new business and when a new asset is created, and (2) the consequences of the determination. Depending on where these lines are drawn, the start-up costs are either deductible in full or must be capitalized indefinitely. It is our hope that enactment of this bill will induce taxpayers with existing businesses to elect to amortize the start-up costs of a marginally related business thereby reducinq the number of controversies in this area. In the unclear cases, of which there are many, taxpayers should elect to amortize; if they fail to elect and the IRS successfully maintains that the costs must be capitalized, the election would not be available and the costs would not be recoverable through amortization.^/ ;- Electing to amortize these expenses over five years would~appear for most taxpayers to be a more prudent decision. In summary, we support S. 1638 because it would (1^ reduce the disparity in tax treatment between certain ordinary and necessary preopening expenses and similar expenses incurred by an operating business, and (2) tend to reduce the number of controversies between taxpayers and the IRS especially where a taxpayer begins a related business. I will be happy to answer any questions you may have. 1/ This is based on the assumption that the bill is clarified to require that the election be made not later than the time prescribed by law for filing the return (including extensions thereof) for the year the expense was paid or incurred. A provision of this nature would be necessary, in our view, to achieve one of the major virtues of this bill. -]nAPPENDIX A SUMMARY OF TREASURY POSITIONS 1. S. Ml - Oppose as drafted. 2. S. 555 - Oppose. 3. S. 999 - Oppose. 4. S. 1638 - Support. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 31, 19 79 Contact: ' Jack Plum 566-2615 TREASURY ANNOUNCES DETAILS OF NOVEMBER DM NOTE SALE The Department of the Treasury today announced that on November 5 and 6 it will offer notes denominated in Deutsche marks in an aggregate amount of up to DM 2.0 billion at par. Interest rates will be announced on November 5. The notes will have maturities of two and one-half and three and one-half years and will be allocated between those maturities at the discretion of the Treasury. The notes are being offered exclusively to residents of the Federal Republic of Germany through the Deutsche Bundesbank (German Central Bank) acting as agent on behalf of the United States. Subscriptions must be received at offices of the Bundesbank prior to 12:00 noon (Frankfurt time) on November 6 and will be binding until 11:00 a.m. on November 7. For each maturity, the minimum subscription must be for the amount of DM 5,000. However, the minimum denomination for subsequent transfer will be DM 1,000. Allotments will be announced not later than 11:00 a.m. November 7. Payment for and issuance of the notes will be on November 12, 19 79. Under the Double Taxation Agreement between the Federal Republic of Germany and the United States of America, natural persons resident in the Federal Republic of Germany and German companies within the meaning of this Agreement are not subject to the withholding tax on interest income payable under U.S. law. ### M-160 IHINGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESS October 3 1 , 1979 Contact: Alvin M. Hattal 202/566-8381 Treasury Secretary G. William Miller is scheduled to go to the Bureau of Engraving and Printing at 2:00 p.m., Thursday, November 1, to see for the first time dollar bills with his signature roll off the press. The new 1977A Series for the $1 denomination will be released first, with serial numbers reverting back to No. 1 and bearing the identification letter A of the Boston Federal Reserve Bank. They have been r e leased to the Federal Reserve System, and general circulation will be made as current supplies are depleted or retired. M-161 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 31, 1979 RESULTS OF AUCTION OF 10-YEAR NOTES The Department of the Treasury has accepted $2,001 million of $3,418 million of tenders received from the public for the 10-year notes, Series B-1989, auctioned today. The range of accepted competitive bids was as follows: Lowest yield 10.70% Highest yield Average yield 10.79% 10.75% The interest rate on the notes will be 10-3/4%. At the 10-3/4% rate, the above yields result in the following prices: Low-yield price 100.303 High-yield price Average-yield price 99.759 100.000 The $2,001 million of accepted tenders includes $329 million of noncompetitive tenders and $1,671 million of competitive tenders from private investors, including 35% of the amount of notes bid for at the high yield. In addition to the $2,001 million of tenders accepted in the auction process, $400 million of tenders were accepted at the average price from Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks for their own account in exchange for securities maturing November 15, 1979. M-162 Remarks of Anthony M. Solomon Under Secretary of the Treasury for Monetary Affairs Before the U.S.-Japan Trade Council October 31, 1979 The U.S. and Japan: Getting the Economic Relationship Right This is a good time to think and talk about U.S. economic relations with Japan, although I recognize that the new cabinet is in the process of being formed. Recent developments, the result of actions we both have taken, have produced a period of relative calm in our bilateral affairs. We have come through a period of some strain in our economic relationship. Speeches in Congress, statements by private businessmen and in the popular press, gave strong indications of an unhealthy attitude toward the relationship. Pressures for protectionist actions which could have had a major detrimental impact on the relationship mounted to a dangerous level. This threat was rooted in the broader, global situation. The major global economic problem sprang from current account imbalances involving the U.S., Japan and Germany which placed major strains on the system. At the same time, there was a major bilateral U.S. deficit vis-a-vis Japan, and it was the specific complaints of specific firms to specific Congressmen with respect to the bilateral trade which fueled most of the political fire. The concern arose not solely because of the absolute size of these current account imbalances, but because of the trend. M-163 - 2 - froTan l l J V S f i } ? 7 8 ' th*V'S' Position wei,t from an ?18.4 billion surplus to a $16 billion deficit, a swing of over $34 billion. D X i l l o n — Over the same period, the Japanese current account moved from rough balance (a iJ^ficJLt of $0.6 billion) to a surplus of $16.5 billion, a swing of over $17 billion. ~ In addition, there was a sharp increase in the l?* lat f r ?* U * S - t r a d e deficit with Japan, from $1.4 billion in 1975 to $11.7 billion in 1978. " Fortunately, both the U.S. and Japan were able to respond to this situation with cooperation, not with conflict. It took a lot of consultations at levels ranging from Prime Minister and the President to working-level experts on individual commodities. We consulted in many fora, both multilateral and bilateral. We developed new channels and procedures for consultation and cooperation. We took concrete policy actions to address the sources of the imbalances. Part of the problem was that cyclical expansion had proceeded further in the U.S. than had been the case in Japan and Germany. As a result of agreements at the Bonn Summit, both Japan and Germany took fiscal action to stimulate their economies. The result: Faster growth in other OECD countries and the global economy, contributing to reduction of the Japanese and German surpluses, and the U.S. deficit. We now expect solid, domestically-oriented growth to be sustained in both Germany and Japan into 1980 and hopefully, beyond. Both countries will be in modest current account deficit both this year and next. At the same time, the U.S. recognized its obligation to curb inflation and to take forceful action in the area of energy policy. We initiated a phased decontrol of domestic oil prices, embarked on an ambitious program to spur production of alternative energy sources, and adopted a voluntary program of wage and price moderation. We have a disciplined fiscal policy stance, and a restrictive monetary policy. We have improved our efficiency in energy use, and have had relatively good price performance on those elements subject to the wage/price program. It has been the externally imposed 60 percent increase in the price of oil, shortages in some types of foodstuffs, and rising housing costs that have wrecked our price performance. Prices in areas subject to the pay-price program have been rising at a rate of less than seven percent, roughly one-half the overall average. And we have not seen a spill-over of the higher rate into wage demands. We are aiming for a return to single-digit inflation by early next year. - 3 In response to the altered pattern of growth and the effects of the exchange rate changes experienced during the first three quarters of 1978, the massive current account imbalances of the "Big Three" have virtually disappeared. There has been some -- though modest -- improvement in the bilateral U.S.-Japan balance, reflecting both the 1978 exchange rate movements and the strong growth in Japanese domestic demand. We expect the U.S. current account to move into surplus next year. The prospect of a further modest current account deficit for Japan next year should not be cause for concern; in view of the prospective large OPEC surplus, it may indeed be appropriate. Some of the more explicit bilateral strains have been eased as well. Japan has -- accelerated tariff reductions or removal of quota controls on a number of products of interest to the U.S.; -- increased imports of beef, oranges and citrus; -- committed itself to review and revise the foreign exchange control system; -- relaxed rules for the standard method of settlement applied by Japanese customs; -- substantially improved the opportunities open to American banks to do business in Japan. To get at some of the more fundamental structural changes needed, the Prime Minister of Japan affirmed that it was Japanese policy "to encourage a shift to greater reliance on rising domestic demand to sustain Japan's economic growth and -- to open Japanese markets to foreign goods, particularly manufactured goods." The U.S. agreed to "pursue a broad range of policies to reduce the U.S. rate of inflation, to restrain oil imports, and to promote U.S. exports." Both countries accepted, as an objective, a current account position "consistent with a balanced and sustainable pattern of international trade and payments." - 4 And so we find ourselves, as a result of these actions and agreements, and the adjustment in current account positions which have occurred, in a period of relative calm in the overall U.S.-Japanese economic relationship. We are reaping the benefits of past actions in terms of a hiatus to both economic and political strains. We need to use this time to pursue the longer-term restructuring of our economies which was the purpose of the specific policy orientations agreed to at the Summit -the restructuring we need to guard against a resurgence of the strains. There is no doubt that the first responsibility of the U.S. is to stop the inflation. Price stability in the U.S. is almost as important to Japan and other areas of the world as it is to the U.S. itself. We must -- and we intend -- to persevere with fiscal and monetary austerity until inflationary expectations are broken. As I previously noted, the exchange rate changes which occurred during the first three auarters of 1978 were an important factor in the strengthening position of the U.S. current account so far this year, and the expected further improvement next year. The dollar is now nearly eight percent, on a trade-weighted basis, above its low point of October 1978. It has appreciated 35 percent vis-a-vis the yen and four percent vis-a-vis the deutschemark over the same period. The need to ensure that these exchange rate movements do not erode the U.S. competitive position and weaken our payments position at some later time is one more reason why our anti-inflation effort must succeed. As a supplement to these fundamental efforts to ensure a strong U.S. competitive position, we recognize the need to improve the aggressiveness and export orientation of U.S. industry. Further, we recognize that a reorientation within the U.S. which will stimulate higher rates of saving and investment is essential if we are to achieve the goal of sustained, noninflationary growth. For its part, Japan has recognized the importance of a growth strategy which is centered on strong domestic demand, as contrasted with the export-led growth of the previous period. The Japanese Government has also accepted as a longer-term goal an increase in the share of manufactures in Japan's imports within a more general policy of rendering the Japanese market fully open to foreign products. - 5 Strong domestic demand in Japan, coupled with % the effects of the OPEC pricing actions and of past exchange rate movements, combined to produce a major shift in the Japanese current account position. However, the swing has been so dramatic, and the effect of OPEC pricing actions and Japanese dependence on imported oil has produced such uncertainty, that the yen has depreciated substantially. We recognize and sympathize with the dilemma the authorities fice as a result of the current pressures on the yen. The slide in the foreign exchange market, together with the oil price increase, are the primary causes of an increase of nearly 50 percent in the yen price of Japanese imports. With an increase in import prices of this magnitude, it is not surprising that wholesale prices are climbing at a disturbing rate -- an annual rate of nearly 16 percent since January. There seems little doubt, however, that the foreign exhange market movement is an over-reaction not fully justified by fundamental factors. If this situation were to continue, the Japanese might well find themselves a year from now back in the position of exporting at a level far beyond that needed to maintain a reasonably balanced position, and at a level once again disruptive to the world trading system and to the U.S. in particular. It would be in no one's interest for this to happen. On the other hand, of course, the Japanese authorities are conscious of the importance of maintaining strong domestic growth and of the contribution of Japanese growth to world economic prospects, particularly at a time when the U.S. must concentrate on stabilization, rather than growth. In any event, it is essential for both economic and political reasons that Japan persevere in its policy of opening its market, and orienting its growth policy toward reliance on domestic demand rather than on exports. Both the appearance and the reality of openness on both sides is essential if the open trade and payments system is to be preserved. A widely-held view in the U.S. is that the dependence on Japanese firms on one another has led to a rather widespread practice -- unspoken policy, perhaps -- of never buying a product abroad if it is manufactured in Japan. Neither better price nor superior quality will enable a foreign firm to win a Japanese contract if other Japanese firms are in position to produce the needed item. No doubt this charge is overdrawn, and there are some instances of U.S. and other foreign sales. But there is enough substance to it to discourage bidding on Japanese contracts. - 6 If we are to deal with the structural problems -- to bring Japan wholly within the circle of international trade -- that attitude must change. We may need in the field of Japanese industrial procurement the equivalent of the U.S. affirmative action program to overcome the ingrained inequities of centuries of discrimination. I believe we need more joint ventures in Japan which bring foreign firms into participation in the Japanese industrial economy. One American firm has achieved great success with a program to train Japanese businessmen in the American language. Perhaps there would be scope for a Japanese firm to teach Americans how to do business in Japan and how to recruit Japanese citizens to work for American firms in Japan. Much has been done in Japan to enable Japanese businessmen to learn about the U.S. It's time to turn over the coin and teach American businessmen about Japan. Clearly the U.S. and Japan share one important structural problem in common. Both of us are going to need to adapt our domestic production to accommodate the increasing capability for production of manufactured goods in such dynamic LDCs as Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Singapore as well as Brazil and Mexico. Adapt we must -- along with Western Europe -- because these countries must meet the needs of their growing populations. But if we can meet this challenge right we will benefit along with the ADCs themselves. It is important to get down to brass tacks -to specific industries and products -- and encourage the reorientation of our own economies. And not just try to foist off the import pressures on each other. There is a second need for structural adjustment which we and our Japanese friends share with most of the countries of the world. That is the need to conserve imported oil and to develop new sources of energy. The need for a concerted response to the energy problem was the central focus of the Tokyo Summit; since that meeting was held, both we and Japan have announced our intention to better the targets to which our nations agreed to at that time. Even these goals may not be enough. I cannot overestimate the importance of both increasing efficiency in our use of energy and in developing increased sources of energy itself. - 7 The next few years will be crucial to the U.S.-Japanese relationship and to our collective ability to maintain the open, liberal trade and payments system. There are a series of issues on which cooperative action by the U.S. and Japan will be essential to maintaining and strengthening the system. An area in which cooperation is especially urgent is implementation of the MTN. The agreements reached in the MTNs, in particular the non-tatiff barrier codes, will provide the framework for trade in the future. The key issue confronting the trading system and which these codes address is the international regulation of government policies affecting trade. The subsidy/cvd, government procurement, standards, and customs valuation codes -- all set limits on acceptable government actions, provide clear obligations, set forth rights if those obligations are violated and provide for dispute settlement mechanisms. At this time, the U.S. is the only major trading nation which has completed the necessary procedures tp bring its legislation into accord with the MTN agreements. Under our current schedule we intend formally to sign the MTN agreements in late November and implement them by January 1, 1980. This timetable could be jeopardized, however, if other trading nations fail to sign the MTN agreements during this period. Our Trade Act gives the President authority to accept the MTN agreements only if the other major trading nations also are doing so. This is to ensure reciprocity. Once the agreements are signed, their prompt implementation is all important. We all must fully implement both the spirit and letter of the agreements. Delay in implementing, or less than full implementation, would jeopardize the trade liberalization so painstakingly achieved in five years of negotiation. Removal of Japan's barriers to bidding on government purchases of telecommunications and computer products has become a "lightning rod" issue in our trade relations -a question which has taken on major political and symbolic significance. The U.S. and Japan agreed that there must be reciprocal market access in trade of these products. The U.S. is an exporter of high technology items. This is an area in which the U.S. can compete if it can compete - 8 anywhere in manufactured goods. We must no longer be preven from selling in the Japanese markets by artificial barriers. If U.S. exports are kept out by artificial barriers, there will be a public backlash, and we will experience a*serious setback in the progress we have made thus far. American industry and American political leaders are expecting results -- results in the concrete form of orders for specif products. Only when actual orders come will American industry be convinced that the barriers have come down. Another major area for cooperation to strengthen the system is the strengthening of the international export credit arrangement. International cooperation to impose discipline in the area of official export credit financing made a promising start in 1976. Further progress was made in February 1978 when agreement was reached on the International Arrangement on Export Credits. The Arrangement formalized and spelled out the terms and procedures in providing official export credits. This Arrangement has been a useful instrument in restraining competition between export credit agencies. However, substantive improvements were necessary to reflect changing times and conditions. We sought agreement to correct those deficiencies but the necessary unanimity for such changes was lacking. It is an anomaly that the minimum interest rate provisions of the International Arrangement on Export Credits still provide that a country can give an official export credit for 10 years to certain countries and only charge 7.5 percent interest on that credit. We have the absurdity of an Arrangement which sanctions highly subsidized interest rates on export credit transactions. I doubt this oddity can or will long persist. We have been disappointed that our trading partners were not willing to strengthen the Arrangement and impose the needed self-discipline on export credit practices. The only option open to the United States was to enter the competition itself aggressively, supporting U.S. exporters and meeting foreign official export credit competition. There is a growing serious danger that major nations will find themselves in a costly and self-defeating export credit war. Japan can help us avoid this war by supporting the strengthening of this export credit arrangement. - 9 - t Orderly financing in the China market is especially important. Excess competition in that growing and potentially large market poses another threat to the viability of the International Arrangement on Export Credits. For this reason, we ask that economic assistance"to China be clearly distinguished from export credits. To insure that the two are not confused, we would hope that the grant element in an aid loan, as calculated by the DAC formula, be well above the 50 percent mark so that the loan qualifies clearly as aid and not an export credit. In addition, we believe that all countries whose underlying external position is basically strong -- and there is no doubt that Japan fits that definition despite the current numbers — should provide their official aid on an untied basis. The nations of the world have revised the IMF Articles to provide a concrete basis for cooperative effort in dealing with the problems of an interdependent world. The Articles focus on the fundamentals of domestic economic policy as the basic determinant of stability in the international economy. The institutional and consultative framework we have established enables us to deal with these problems in a concerted fashion. The Articles have given us an SDR which is slowly being moved to the center of the system. A substitution account which could contribute to the evolution of the system and the central role of the SDR in the system is now under discussion. The route to stability is through cooperative action on the fundamentals. The U.S. and Japan have excellent institutional arrangements -- bilateral and multilateral -to foster this cooperative effort. For example, another of the regular, periodic meetings of U.S. and Japanese economic officials at subcabinet level will be held at the end of next week in Tokyo. A new dimension is also being added to our bilateral consultations with the forthcoming activation of the "Wisemen's" group which was agreed on at the May bilateral summit in Washington. These forums, and others ranging from day-to-day contacts at embassy staff level right up to meetings between respective heads of state, give us the framework. The improved balance in the positions of the two countries at this moment give us breathing space -- time -- to solve - 10 the use for the more structural problems. It is imperative that we this time well -- to strengthen and deepen the basis cooperation between the two largest economies in free world. 5323 2654 28 86/02/04 "2 V MflB