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2 U ^ W p l .6^ tJLui Irugja^juv^ PRESS H( RELEASESj **** WS-1238 TO B-67 JANUARY 4, 197 7 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28, 197 7 LIBRARY 0CT2 61978 ROOM 5004 TREASURY DEPARTMENT FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 5, 197 7 CONTACT: PRISCILLA CRANE (202) 634-5248 THIRD QUARTER ANTIRECESSION FUNDS PAID TODAY The third quarterly payment of antirecession funds authorized to be distributed to States and local units of general government under Title II of the Public Works Employment Act of 1976 (P.L. 94-369) is being made today by the Department of the TreasuryTs Office of Revenue Sharing. A total of $310,937,539 was allocated to eligible recipient governments for the third quarter. Because some governments also are being paid their first and second quarter amounts this month, however, the Office of Revenue Sharing is issuing payments totaling $328,593,465 to 17,145 units of State and local general .government today. Approximately $1.8 million in first, second and third quarter funds is still being held for 808 eligible recipients which have yet to return to the Office of Revenue Sharing certain assurance forms which are required by the antirecession law. TodayTs payment brings to $868,752,794 the total distributed thus far under the new program. A total of $870,625,060 has been allocated to eligible recipients for the first three quarters, including the $1.8 million being held for eligible recipients mentioned above. In addition, the Office of Revenue Sharing is holding $5.1 million in a reserve fund which will be used to make required adjustment payments in the future. Reserve funds not required for such adjustments will be distributed to eligible governments at a future time. Antirecession law authorizes the distribution of $1.25 billion in five calendar quarters, beginning July 1, 1976. "No funds will be distributed for a quarter if the applicable national unemployment rates fall below six percent or if the funds authorized by Congress for the program have been exhausted in prior quarters," Jeanna D. Tully, Director of the Office of Revenue Sharing, announced today. WS-1238 -2- Allocations of funds to individual units of government are based on applicable unemployment rates and on final entitlement amounts for Federal fiscal year 1976 in the General Revenue Sharing Program. The money is to be used to maintain ongoing, basic services in recipient communities. "The next quarterly payment of antirecession funds will be made in April 1977," according to Miss Tully. "Governments which return their required assurance forms by March 11, 1977 will receive all money to which they are entitled for the first four quarters of the program in the April payment," she added. -- 30 -- FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE December 30, 1976 The Acting Secretary of the Treasury issued today additional guidelines relating to certain provisions of the Tax Reform Act of 1976 which deny certain tax benefits for participation in or cooperation with international boycotts. A n earlier set of guidelines, consisting of questions and answers, was issued on November 4, 1976 (Treasury News Release WS-1156) and was published in the Federal Register of November 11, 1976 (41 F.R. 49923). These guidelines relate only to parts A through G of the earlier guidelines and add a new part N, relating to the computation of the foreign tax credit. These guidelines do not deal with those provisions of the Tax Reform Act of 1976 which define what constitutes participation in or cooperation with an international boycott. Some of the guidelines issued today are new while others are revisions of earlier questions and answers. The same numbering system is used, and the same introductory material is applicable. This announcement and the guidelines will appear in the Federal Register of January 5, 1977. oOo WS-1239 A. Boycott Reports. A-l. Q: Who must report as required by section 999(a)? A. Generally, any United States person (within the meaning of section 7701(a)(30)), or any other person (within the meaning of section 7701(a)(1)) that either claims the benefit of the foreign tax credit under section 901, or owns stock of a DISC, is required to report under section 999(a) if it -1. has operations; or 2. is a member of a controlled group, a member of which has operations; or 3. is a United States shareholder (within the meaning of section 951(b)) of a foreign corporation that has operations; or 4. is a partner in a partnership that has operations; or 5. is treated under section 671 as the owner of a trust that has operations in or related to a boycotting country (or with the government, a company, or a national of a boycotting country). Additionally, if a person controls a corporation (within the meaning of section 304(c)) and either that person or the controlled corporation is required to report under section 999(a), then under section 999(e) that person must report whether the corporation had reportable operations and whether the corporation participated in or cooperated with the boycott. The controlled corporation must make the same reports with respect to the operations of the person controlling it. A boycotting country is (i) any country that is on the list maintained by the Secretary under section 999(a)(3), or (ii) any country not on the list maintained by the Secretary under section 999(a)(3), in which the person required to file the report (or a m e m b e r of the controlled group which includes that person) has operations, and which that person knows or has reason to know requires any person to participate in or cooperate with an international boycott that is not excepted by section 999(b)(4)(A), (B), or (C). Thus, even if the boycott participation required of the person reporting the operation is excepted by section -2999(b)(4)(A), (B), or (C), if that person knows or has reason to know that boycott participation not excepted by section 999(b)(4)(A), (B), or (C) is required of any other person, the country is a boycotting country. If the person required to file the report (or a member of the controlled group which includes that person) has operations related to a country, but not operations in that country, that country is not a boycotting country unless it is on the list maintained by the Secretary under section 999(a)(3). (For the definition of operations in or related to a country, see the questions and answers under part B. ) A-ll. Q: If Company A sells goods or services to Company B (or does other business with Company B ) and Company B and Company A are unrelated, and Company A knows or has reason to know that Company B in turn will sell these goods or services for use in a boycotting country, and further, Company B participates in or cooperates with such boycott, is Company A required to report with respect to such operations? A: Although such operations are related to a boycotting country (see the answer to Question B-l), the reporting requirements are waived for Company A, provided that Company A does not receive a request to participate in or cooperate with an international boycott under section 999(a)(2), Company A does not participate in or cooperate with an international boycott under section 999(b)(3), and Company A's relationship with Company B is not established to facilitate participation in or cooperation with an international boycott. A-13. Q: In the case of a controlled group, what period of time is the international boycott report to cover, and when is the "international Boycott Report Form, " F o r m 5713, to be filed? A: For purposes of reporting, all persons described in the answer to Question A-l are to report all reportable operations by all m e m b e r s of the controlled group (or by any foreign corporation with a United States shareholder who is a m e m b e r of the controlled group) for the taxable years of such m e m b e r s which end with or within the taxable year of the controlled group!s c o m m o n parent. The international boycott factor is computed on the basis of the operations of all m e m b e r s of the controlled group for the taxable years of such m e m b e r s which end with or within the taxable year of the controlled group!s c o m m o n parent. In the event no c o m m o n parent exists, the m e m b e r s of the controlled group are to elect the tax year of one of the m e m b e r s to serve as the c o m m o n tax year for the group. It is contemplated that procedures for making an election will be specified in the instructions of the "International Boycott Report F o r m , " F o r m 5713. The taxable year election is a binding election to be made once, with subsequent elections for alternative tax years granted only with the approval of the Secretary of the Treasury or his delegate. -3Individual m e m b e r s of the controlled group will continue to use their normal tax years for all other purposes, including adjustments required under sections 908, 952(a), and 995(b)(1). W h e n the international boycott factor is used, the controlled group boycott factor, for that year, will be applied to the normal tax year of each taxpayer for determining adjustments under sections 908, 952(a) and 995(b)(1). The income tax year of a taxpayer may differ from the reporting period covered by the "International Boycott Report Form." Therefore, the F o r m 5713 which is attached to, and filed with, the income tax return of the taxpayer will be the F o r m 5713 for the reporting year ending with or within the tax year of the taxpayer. A-14. Q: Is a United States subsidiary of a foreign corporation or a United States sister corporation of a foreign corporation required under section 999 to report the operations of the foreign parent or sister corporation? A: Generally, under section 999 a United States person must report the operations of all m e m b e r s of the controlled group of which it is a m e m b e r . However, if the foreign parent or sister corporation is not otherwise required to report, the requirement that the United States subsidiary or sister corporation report the operations of the foreign parent or sister corporation will be waived for any United States subsidiary or sister corporation which-1. is entitled to no benefits of deferral, DISC, or the foreign tax credit, or 2. applies the international boycott factor, and forfeits all the benefits of deferral, DISC and the foreign tax credit to which it is entitled (i.e., applies an international boycott factor of one under sections 908(a), 952(a)(3), and 995(b)(1)), or 3. identifies specifically attributable taxes and income, and forfeits all the benefits of deferral, DISC, and the foreign tax credit in respect of which it is unable to demonstrate that the foreign taxes paid and the income earned are attributable to specific operations in which there was no participation in or cooperation with an international boycott. A-15. Q: Company A receives from Country X an unsolicited invitation to tender for a contract for the construction of an industrial plant in Country X. The tender documents contain a provision stating that Country X will not enter into the contract unless the successful tenderer agrees that it will do no business in connection -4with the project with any blacklisted United States company. Company A does not respond to the unsolicited invitation. Is Company A required to report the invitation under section 999(a)(2) as a request to participate in or cooperate with an international boycott? A: No. The section 999(a)(2) reporting requirement will be waived provided that Company A neither solicited the invitation to tender nor responded to the invitation. A-16. Q: Company A receives requests to comply with boycotts prior to the issuance of F o r m 5713. Company A preserves the requests which were evidenced in writing and preserves the notations it makes concerning the details of oral requests. W h e n F o r m 5713 is issued, it requires more details concerning the requests made of Company A than were preserved, and many of those details can no'longer be ascertained. Will Company A's report under section 999(a)(2) be deemed deficient? A: On October 4, 1976, Company A was put on notice that it would be required to document boycott requests received after November 3, 1977. F o r m 5713 will not require any details that would not have been preserved by a prudent person having such notice. In addition, under the answer to Question A-15, the reporting requirements of section 999(a)(2) have been waived for certain unsolicited boycott requests. Therefore, if Company A does not supply the required information with respect to the remaining requests that were either solicited or responded to, its report will be deficient. A-17. Q: A United States partnership consisting of 100 United States partners has operations in a boycotting country. Is each partner required to file F o r m 5713? A: Generally, if a partnership has operations in a boycotting country, each partner is required to file F o r m 5713. However, if the partnership files F o r m 5713 with its information return and has no operations for the taxable year that constitute participation in or cooperation with an international boycott, then the requirement that each partner file F o r m 5713 will be waived for each partner that satisfies the following conditions: 1. The partner has no operations in or related to a boycotting country, or with the government, a company, or a national of a boycotting country other than operations that are reported on the F o r m 5713 filed by the partnership; and 2. The partner attaches to his individual return a certificate signed by a person authorized to sign 5the partnership return certifying that the partnership filed the F o r m 5713 and that the partnership had no operations that constituted participation in or cooperation with an international boycott. A-18. Q: Company A owns 10 percent or more of the outstanding stock of Company C, a foreign corporation that has operations in Country X , but Company A does not have effective control over Company C. Company C participates in or cooperates with an international boycott. Company A requests information from Company C in order to meet its reporting obligations under section 999(a). Company C refuses to provide (or is prohibited by local law, regulation, or practice from providing) that information. Will Company A be subject to the section 999(f) penalties for willful failure to report the activities of Company C ? A: Company A must report on the basis of that information that is reasonably available to it. For example, in most cases Company A will be aware that Company C has operations in Country X, even though Company A is not aware of the operational details. Company A must report on F o r m 5713 that Company C has operations in Country X. Company A should also describe in a statement attached to F o r m 5713 the good faith efforts that it has made to obtain all the information required under section 999(a). Although each case must be resolved on the basis of the particular facts and circumstances, Company A will not be subject to the section 999(f) penalties for willful failure to provide information if it can demonstrate that it made good faith efforts to obtain the information but was denied the information by Company C. The answer to this question would be the same if Company C were a domestic corporation. A-19. Q: The facts are the same as in A-18 above except that Company A owns less than 50 percent of the stock of Company C. What are the tax sanctions to which Company A will be subject? A: Since Company C is neither a DISC nor a controlled foreign corporation, the sanctions of section 952(a)(3) and 995(b)(1) are not relevant. However, Company A will be subject to the sanctions of section 908(a). Thus, if Company A applies an international boycott factor, that factor is applied to Company A's foreign tax credit in accordance with the answers to Questions F-5, N-l and N-2. If Company A identifies specifically attributable taxes and income under section 999(c)(2), Company A will lose its section 902 indirect foreign tax credit for the taxes paid by Company C which Company A cannot demonstrate are attributable to specific operations in which there was no boycott participation or cooperation. (To determine whether Company A will lose its section 901 direct foreign credit for income tax withheld by Country X on dividends paid by Company C to Company A, see the answer to Question N-3. ) -6A-20. Q: Individual G is a national of Country X, which is on the list maintained by the Secretary. G engages in an operation with Company A. For example, if Company A were a bank, the operation might involve a deposit by G, or, if Company A were an automobile dealer, the operation might involve the purchase of a car, or, if Company A were a stockbroker, the operation might involve the purchase or sale of a security, or if Company A were a hotel, the operation might involve the letting of a room. Irrespective of the specific nature of the operation, the agreement under which the operation is consummated is the same agreement which Company A requires of all other customers. Company A is aware of G's nationality, but participation in or cooperation with an international boycott is neither contemplated nor required as a condition of G's willingness to enter into the operation with Company A. Under section 999, what are the reporting obligations of Company A with respect to these operations? A: Company A is not obligated to report these operations with G under section 999(a). In many business operations, there will be incidental contacts between the nationals or business enterprises of boycotting countries and U.S. persons or businesses in which they have an interest. Such contacts need not be reported under section 999 provided that they satisfy the following criteria: 1. The nationality of the individual or enterprise is merely incidental to the operations, 2. the location of an operation contemplated by the parties is outside any boycotting country, 3. any goods or services to be furnished or obtained in the operation are not produced in a boycotting country and are not intended to be used, consumed, disposed of or performed in a boycotting country, 4. the operation does not contemplate any agreement which would constitute participation in or cooperation with an international boycott, 5. no request for such an agreement is actually made or received by any party to the operation, and 6. there is no such agreement in connection with the operation. The types of operations described above satisfy these criteria and accordingly need not be reported under section 999. The answer to the question would be the same if Company A were an individual, or if G were a corporation. -7B. Definition of "Operations" B-2. Q: Individual G is a U.S. citizen living in Country X. G is retired. G receives social security payments and a pension, but has no business activities. Does G have "operations" in, or related to, Country X ? A. No. G is not engaged in any business or commercial activities. B-3. Q: Individual H is a U.S. citizen living in Country X and working there as an employee. H earns a salary and has passive investment income, but has no business income. Does H have "operations" in, or related to, Country X ? A: No. The performance of personal services as an employee does not constitute an "operation." E. Effective Date Provisions E-9. Q: Company A entered into a binding contract prior to September 2, 1976 to manufacture and deliver equipment to a customer located in Country X. The contract requires Company A to use no components which are manufactured by blacklisted United States companies. The contract also requires that the vessel on which the equipment is shipped not be blacklisted. On January 15, 1977, Company A is able to have the contract amended to eliminate the requirement regarding components, but is unable to secure any change regarding vessels. Will the amendment regarding components remove the binding contract protection otherwise afforded until December 31, 1977 that Company A has regarding vessels? A: No. Since Company A could have waited to abrogate or renegotiate its contract until the end of 1977 and since it is in accord with the legislative purpose for Company A to accelerate elimination of the provision regarding components, it will remain protected until December 31, 1977 from the consequences of its continuing to refrain from shipping the goods on blacklisted vessels. E-10. Q: If before December 31, 1977 a person carries out several different operations in boycotting countries and the only operation of that person that constitutes participation in or cooperation with an international boycott is carried out in accordance with the terms of a binding contract entered into before September 2, 1976, will the existence of that one boycotting operation trigger the section 999(b)(1) presumption that the other operations of that person in boycotting countries are also operations in connection with which boycott participation or cooperation occurred? -8A: No. Operations carried out before December 31, 1977, in accordance with the terms of a binding contract entered into before September 2, 1976, will not trigger the section 999(b)(1) presumption. E-ll. Q: Are operations of a person that constitute participation in or cooperation with an international boycott reflected in the numerator of the person's international boycott factor before December 31, 1977 if those operations are carried out in accordance with the terms of a binding contract entered into before September 2, 1976? A: No. Boycotting operations carried out before December 31, 1977 in accordance with the terms of a binding contract entered into before September 2, 1976 are not reflected in the numerator of the international boycott factor. They are reflected in the denominator, however. F. International Boycott Factor and Specifically Attributable Taxes and Income. F-5. Q: In the case of a controlled group (within the meaning of section 993(a)(3)), m a y one m e m b e r use the international boycott factor under section 999(c)(1) and another m e m b e r identify specifically attributable taxes and income under section 999(c)(2)? A: Yes. Each member may independently choose either to apply the international boycott factor under section 999(c)(1) or to identify specifically attributable taxes and income under section 999(c)(2). The method chosen by each m e m b e r for determining the loss of tax benefits must be applied consistently to determine all loss of tax benefits of that m e m b e r . For example, if a m e m b e r chooses to use the international boycott factor, then it must apply the international boycott factor to determine its loss of the section 902 indirect foreign tax credit in respect of a dividend paid to it by another m e m b e r of the controlled group, even if that other m e m ber determines its loss of tax benefits by identifying specifically attributable taxes and income. In addition, if an affiliated group of corporations files a consolidated return, then the affiliated group must determine its loss of tax benefits either by applying the international boycott factor to the consolidated return, or by having each m e m b e r determine its loss of tax benefits by identifying specifically attributable taxes and income. F-6. Q: If Company A chooses to determine its loss of tax benefits by applying the specifically attributable taxes and income method set forth in section 999(c)(2), m a y it demonstrate the amount of foreign taxes paid and income earned attributable to the specific operations by applying an overall effective rate of foreign taxes and an overall profit margin to each operation? -9A: No. Company A must clearly demonstrate foreign taxes paid and income earned attributable to specific operations by performing an in-depth analysis of the profit and loss data of each separate and identifiable operation. F-7. Q: A United States partnership has operations in a boycotting country. Is the international boycott factor computed at the partnership level? A: No. The international boycott factor is computed separately by each partner based on information submitted by the partnership and on other activities of that partner. Of course, if the partner can meet the conditions of section 999(c)(2) of the Code, he need not use the international boycott factor. F-8. Q: Company A desires to determine its loss of tax benefits by applying the specifically attributable taxes and income method set forth in section 999(c)(2). However, Company A is able to identify specifically attributable taxes and income only with respect to a portion of its operations. Because Company A is unable to determine specifically attributable taxes and income with respect to all its operations, will Company A be required to determine its loss of tax benefits by applying the international boycott factor? A: No. Company A may compute its loss of tax benefits by applying the specifically attributable taxes and income method if, in addition to the tax benefits that Company A determines are to be lost with respect to the portion of its operations for which it can determine specifically attributable taxes and income, Company A forfeits all the benefits of deferral, DISC, and the foreign tax credit with respect to the remaining portion of its operations for which it cannot identify specifically attributable taxes and income. N. Reduction of Foreign Tax Credit N-l. Q: How is the reduction of the foreign tax credit for participation in or cooperation with an international boycott computed under section 908? A: The method of computation of the reduction of the foreign tax credit under section 908 differs depending on whether the person applying section 908 applies the international boycott factor or identifies specifically attributable taxes and income under section 999(c)(2). If the person chooses to identify specifically attributable taxes and income, the person reduces the amount of foreign taxes paid before the determination of the section 904 limitation, by the sum -10of the foreign taxes paid that the person has not clearly demonstrated are attributable to specific operations in which there has been no participation in or cooperation with an international boycott. If the person applies the international boycott factor, the reduction of the foreign tax credit under section 908 is computed by first determining the foreign tax credit that would be allowed under section 901 for the taxable year if section 908 had not been enacted. The amount of credit allowed under 901 would, of course, reflect the credits allowable under sections 902 and 960, and would also reflect the limitations of both sections 904 and 907. The credit allowed under section 901 would then be reduced by the product of the section 901 credit (before the application of the section 908 reduction) multiplied by the international boycott factor. N-2. Q: After the reduction of credit has been determined in accordance with the process described in the answer to Question N-l, the taxes denied creditability m a y be deductible. If the taxes are deducted, is a new section 904 limitation, a new section 901 amount and a new section 908 reduction of credit computed based on the income reduced by the taxes deducted? A: No. The process described in the answer to Question N-l is applied only once and the reduction of credit is determined as a result of that single application. If the taxes denied creditability are deducted, no further adjustment is made under sections 904, 901 or 908 as a result of the deduction. N-3. Q: Company A owns 20 percent of the stock of Company C, a corporation organized under the laws of Country X. Company C participates in an international boycott in connection with all its operations. Company C pays a dividend to Company A and Country X withholds income tax on the dividend paid to Company A. Company A computes its loss of tax benefits by identifying specifically attributable taxes and income under section 999(c)(2). Will Company A be denied its section 901 direct foreign tax credit in respect of the income tax withheld by Country X on the dividend paid by Company C ? A: If Company A can demonstrate that its investment in Company C is a clearly separate and identifiable operation in which Company A did not participate in or cooperate with an international boycott, Company A will not be denied its section 901 direct foreign tax credit in respect of the withholding tax on the dividend paid by Company C. On the other hand, even if Company C does not participate in an international boycott, if Company A agreed to participate in or cooperate with an international boycott in connection with its investment in Company C, Company A will lose its -11foreign tax credit in respect of the withholding tax on the dividend. Thus, whether Company C participates in an international boycott is not relevant to the determination of Company A's loss of foreign tax credit under the facts of this question. (To determine the denial of the section 902 indirect foreign tax credit for foreign income taxes paid by Company C, see the answer to Question A-19. ) oOo e Department of theJR[/[$llliy HINGTON.D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 964-2041 January 3, 1977 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $2,501 million of 13-week Treasury bills and for $3,500 million of 26-week Treasury bills, both series to be issued on January 6, 1977, were accepted at the Federal Reserve Banks and Treasury today. The details are as follows: RANGE OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: 13-week bills maturing April 7, 1977 Price High' Low Average Discount Rate 98.896 a/ 98.881 98.886 4.367% 4.427% 4.407% 26-week bills maturing July 7, 1977 Investment Rate 1/ Price Discount Rate 4.48% 4.54% 4.52% 97.711 97.691 97.697 4.528% 4.567% 4.555% Investment Rate 1/ 4.70% 4.74% 4.73% a/ Excepting 2 tenders totaling $410,000 Tenders at the low price for the 13-week bills were allotted 24% Tenders at the low price for the 26-week bills were allotted 15% . TOTAL TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTSAND TREASURY: Location Received Accepted Received Accepted $ 25,985,000 Boston 3,531,850,000 New York 22,690,000 Philadelphia 22,820,000 Cleveland 12,645,000 Richmond 23,405,000 Atlanta 239,925,000 Chicago 49,830,000 St. Louis 24,750,000 Minneapolis 24,325,000 Kansas City 22,215,000 Dallas 214,310,000 San Francisco $ 24,985,000 2,075,850,000 22,690,000 22,820,000 12,645,000 23,405,000 148,525,000 41,830,000 24,750,000 24,325,000 22,215,000 56,710,000 $ 41,655,000 4,452,865,000 10,070,000 9,290,000 16,720,000 13,855,000 416,640,000 32,160,000 38,900,000 15,165,000 28,085,000 330,745,000 $ 39,655,000 3,104,865,000 10,070,000 9,290,000 6,295,000 13,855,000 128,840,000 17,160,000 33,900,000 14,665,000 24,385,000 97,245,000 35,000 35,000 30,000 30,000 $2,500,785,000 b{ $5,406,180,000 $3,500,255,000 Treasury TOTALS $4,214,785,000 b/Includes $284,620,000 noncompetitive tenders from the public. c/lncludes $118,800,000 noncompetitive tenders from the public. ^/Equivalent coupon-issue yield. WS-1240 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE FRIDAY, JANUARY 7, 197 7 CONTACT: PRISCILLA CRANE (202) 634-5248 REVENUE SHARING PAYMENT MADE The final payment of general revenue sharing funds authorized when revenue sharing law first was passed in 1972 is being made today to 37,405 States and units of local general government. The amount being distributed today by the Department of the Treasury's Office of Revenue Sharing is $1,644,877,971. "Today's payment brings to $30 billion the total which has been returned to States and local governments through general revenue sharing since the program began," Jeanna D. Tully, Director of the Office of Revenue Sharing, announced today. The first quarterly payment of funds authorized by the 1976 Amendments to revenue sharing law which extended the program for an additional three and three-quarters years will be made in April 1977. Of the more than 37,000 governments being paid today, 24,384 will receive their money using electronic funds transfer procedures. "This new procedure will save time and administrative expense," according to Miss Tully. Approximately 600 units of local government which WS-1241 2 had been entitled to participate in the revenue sharing program for the July 1, 1976-December 31, 1976 period did not receive their funds. These units of government failed to file one or both of two short report forms, required by revenue sharing law, which were due to be returned to the Office of Revenue Sharing before September 1, 1976. The more than $2 million which would have been paid to these governments, will be paid, instead, to the next higher level of government within each affected State. On October 13, 1976, President Ford signed into law a measure which will extend the General Revenue Sharing Program through September 30, 1980. A total of $25.6 billion is authorized to be returned to approximately 38,000 State and local government recipients under the renewal legislation. -- 30 -- Gall: Brian M. Freeman 376-0321 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE January 4, 1977 EMERGENCY LOAN GUARANTEE BOARD SENDS ANNUAL REPORT TO CONGRESS On December 30, 1976, the Emergency Loan Guarantee Board delivered its Fifth Annual Report to Congress describing its operations from August 1, 1975, to September 30, 1976. In the Board's opinion, Lockheed Aircraft Corporation's financial position has improved and certain uncertainties have been eliminated. Although risks exist, the Company's latest forecast is reasonable. The major hazard to Lockheed's continued viability is the future of the L-1011 program; but further disclosures of improper foreign-payments practices could prove troublesome, and new capital remains necessary. If Lockheed meets its projections, the Government will not be called upon to make payment on the private bank debt which it guarantees. If, however, it should be thus called upon, its position is adaquately protected by its first lien on the collateral which secures the guaranteed debt. There is a "reasonable probability" that the guarantee commitment will terminate as scheduled in December 1977 and a "strong possibility" of its earlier termination if certain uncertainties are favorably resolved in a timely manner. However, the parties can also request that the Board exercise its discretion to grant a final one-year extension through 1978. Lockeed repaid $55 million of guaranteed debt through the third quarter of 1976, which reduced the amount outstanding to $140 million. Repayments through December 30 reduced it to $100 million. Peak borrowings were $245 million in September 1974. The ELGB program's net earnings for the period were $S_=million, bringing the cumulative amount to $25 million since 1971. The report emphasizes Lockheed's October 1976 financial restructuring by which $50 million of nonguaranteed bank debt was converted to preferred stock and the remaining $350 million of such debt to a term loan, and by which the lending banks were issued an additional 1.75 million of warrants for Lockheed common stock. Lockheed remains obligated to seek additional long-term capital. The Emergency Loan Guarantee Board looked into Lockheed's payments to foreign officials and the subsequent investigation by governmental agencies. The report emphasizes the Board's monitoring activities; the requirements it imposed upon Lockheed; its innut on Lockheed's international marketing nolicy; and amendments to the underlying agreements which make certain payments and violations of corporate policy events of default. It also discusses the Board's assessment that, based upon the information in its possession, Lockheed could survive the effects of disclosure of past foreign-pavment practices ana WS-1242 its repayment obligations for the guaranteed debt. satisfy -2Part II of the report focuses on Lockheed's operations. It describes the Company's management changes and the continued profitabilitj of its noncommercial operations and unprofitability of the L-1011 com>-N mercial program. The Company's foreign export sales have continued to improve despite disruptions from disclosures of foreign-payment practices. Lockheed's year-end 1975 cash lagged behind projections due to undelivered aircraft and unanticipated buildups in inventories and accounts receivable. However, the inventoried aircraft were delivered in 1976, permitting repayments of guaranteed debt beginning in the second quarter of 1976. The report emphasizes that 1976 paydowns exceeded forecasts and that all guaranteed borrowings are forecast to be repaid at the end of the guarantee period in 1978. The L-1011 program is considered in depth, including marketing conditions, deliveries, performance of the aircraft, and manufacturing. Improved air traffic and profits have not been translated into significanl new orders for wide-bodied aircraft. Customers resold used L-1011's in effective competition with Lockheed's efforts to market new aircraft, but there are no longer used L-1011's on the market. Lockheed eliminated its risks on certain undelivered aircraft and on its obligations to dispose of others. Potential production scheduling problems may result from the Japanese airline's delay in exercising its purchase options, but these should be manageable. Customer response has continued to be favorable. Expenses remained within forecast, despite production rate reductions. A seperate section considers new versions of the L-10L and the launch order for the Dash 500 model. Lockheed began to report profits on an actual unit basis rather than the 300-aircraft program. In recognition of sales and cost uncertainties, it also began to write off initial program costs and costs associated with excess capacity. The report considers Lockheed's non-L-1011 programs emphasizing that these comprise the bulk of its business and continued to be largel profitable. For 1975, Lockheed's auditors continued to qualify their opinion o its financial statements on grounds related to the foreign-payments dis closures, the future of the L-1011 program, and certain unresolved claims. Overall net operating income was $45.3 million on sales of $3. million, nearly double the 1974 income. Although L-1011 losses nearly doubled to $94 million due to reduced sales and increased charges, its profits on other programs increased 36% to $263. Lockheed's balance sheet continued to reflect the Company's high leverage. Although total assets and cash liquidity fell and accounts receivable increased, net worth improved substantially in 1975 but below forecast due to the delayed implementation of the financial restructuring plan. Lockheed's operations through the third quarter of 1976 are also considered. Due to continued L-1011 losses, net income declined 16% from the comparable 1975 period; but, dueand to the continued profitable heed's of other financial programs, pondition. it exceeded forecasts further strengthened Lock- le Department of theJR[/[$Uf(Y SHINGTON.D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 964-2041 Dec. 31, 1976 MEMORANDUM TO THE PRESS United States Under Secretary of the Treasury for Monetary Affairs Edwin H. Yeo visited Portugal at the invitation of Finance Minister Medina Carreira Mr. Yeo was also received by President Ramalho Eanes and Prime Minister Mario Soares. . . _ . _ . The visit was part of continuing discussions between the United States and Portugal regarding economic and financial cooperation. . J,.-.-;---. As the first phase of a program of assistance design ed to achieve financial stability and recovery of the Portugese economy, the delegations of the two countries agreed on the essential principles,for a $300 million line of credit for Portugal from the United States Treasury Exchange Stabilization Fund. # WS-1243 202/634-5377 January 4, 197 7 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY SECRETARY SIMON NAMES RICHARD B. SELLARS TO KEY VOLUNTEER POST FOR SAVINGS BONDS Richard B. Sellars, Chairman of the Finance Committee of the Board of Directors, Johnson § Johnson, New Brunswick, New Jersey, has been named National Chairman of the Savings Bonds Volunteer State Chairmen's Council, one of the government's most important volunteer posts. Mr. Sellars began a two year stint on January 1, 1977, as chairman of the Volunteer Council, which is composed of top volunteers from each state for the Bond Program in that state. An estimated 670,000 people annually do volunteer work of some kind for Savings Bonds. The Volunteer Council meets once a year in Washington with the Secretary of the Treasury and other officials. In naming Mr. Sellars Treasury Secretary William Simon said I am delighted that Dick has agreed to serve in this post. The Treasury is very appreciative of the Volunteer State Chairmen who, individually and collectively as the Council, lead our - more WS-1244 - 2- country's efforts in the sale and promotion of Savings Bonds." Mr. Sellars, a native of Worcester, Mass., joined Johnson § Johnson's Ortho Pharmaceutical Division in 1940. In succeeding years he became Vice President and Director of Ortho, and President of Ethicon, Inc., another Johnson § Johnson subsidiar) In 1950 he was elected to the Board of Directors of Johnson § Johnson. In April, 1973, Mr. Sellars became Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer of Johnson § Johnson, which manufactures medical and health care products in 40 nations. In November, 1976, he assumed his present position and continues as a member of the Executive Committee of the Board. On accepting his volunteer Savings Bonds position Mr. Sellars said "I am pleased to be working with such a distinguished group of businessmen and professionals who believe in the Bond Program as strongly as I do. Together we will work to sell the Savings Bonds philosophy to more and more Americans in 1977." Mr. Sellars has been active in many business, civic and professional activities. He is also Volunteer State Chairman for the Savings Bonds Program in New Jersey and has been a member of the U.S. Industrial Payroll Savings Committee. FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. January 4, 1977 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $5,900 million, or thereabouts, to be issued January 13, 1977, as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) in the amount of $2,400 million, or thereabouts, representing an additional amount of bills dated October 14, 1976, and to mature April 14, 1977 (CUSIP No. 912793 F6 8), originally issued in the amount of $3,508 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills, for $ 3,500 million, or thereabouts, to be dated January 13, 1977, and to mature July 14, 1977 (CUSIP No. 912793 H9 0 ) . The bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing January 13, 1977, outstanding in the amount of $5,911 million, of which Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks, for themselves and as agents of foreign and international monetary authorities, presently hold $2,682 million. These accounts may exchange bills they hold for the bills now being offered at the average prices of accepted tenders. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form in denominations of $10,000, $15,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value), and in book-entry form to designated bidders. Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and from individuals at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C. 20226, up to 1:30 p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, January 10, 1977. Each tender must be for a minimum of $10,000. in multiples of $5,000. Tenders over $10,000 must be In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e.g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government WS-1245 (OVER) -2securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions with respect to Government securities and borrowings thereon may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting competitive tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500,000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch or at the Bureau of the Public Debt on January 13, 1977, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing January 13, 1977. tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash and exchange Cash adjustments will be made for difference; between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Under Sections 454(b) and 1221(5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and the bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder must include in his Federal income tax return, as ordinary gain or loss, the difference between the price paid for the bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made. Department of the Treasury Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. if Department of the TREASURY IHINGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 964-2041 Memorandum for the Press: January 5, 1977 Attached are letters of transmittal from Treasury Secretary William E. Simon to the President of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives transmitting a Treasury Department report on "The State of the United States Coinage." Queries should be directed to Frank H. MacDonald, Deputy Director of the Bureau of the Mint, (202) 376-0560. oOo WS-1246 THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY WASHINGTON DEC 31 1975 Dear Mr. President: With President Ford's approval, I am transmitting a report prepared by the Department of the Treasury on "The State of the United States Coinage." The report identifies two major problem areas which should receive the attention of the Congress without delay. First, the report notes that the diminishing utility of the one-cent piece in the Nation's commerce and its increased production costs suggest giving serious consideration to eliminating the one-cent piece from our coinage- system. In addition, the report recommends the replacement of the existing dollar coin with a smaller, conveniently-sized dollar, as well as the elimination of the half-dollar from the Nation's circulating denominations. I respectfully urge consideration of the report and its recommendations by the Senate at the earliest feasible date. Sincere The Honorable Nelson A. Rockefeller President of the Senate Washington, DC 20510 Enclosure THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY WASHINGTON DEC 3 1 1978 Dear Mr. Speaker: With President Ford's approval, I am transmitting a report prepared by the Department of the Treasury on "The State of the United States Coinage." The report identifies two major problem areas which should receive the attention of the Congress without delay. First, the report notes that the diminishing utility of the one-cent piece in the Nation's commerce and its increased production costs suggest giving serious consideration to eliminating the one-cent piece from our coinage system. In addition, the report recommends the replacement of the existing dollar coin with a smaller, conveniently-sized dollar, as well as the elimination of the half-dollar from the Nation's circulating denominations. I respectfully urge consideration of the report and its recommendations by the House of Representatives at the earliest feasible date. Sincerely yours William E.<:Slmd The Honorable Carl Albert Speaker of the House of Representatives Washington, DC 20515 Enclosure T H E STATE O F T H E U N I T E D STATES C O I N A G E I. INTRODUCTION After completion of a comprehensive review of United States coinage system requirements to 1990, the Treasury Department has identified substantial deficiencies in the existing system which require resolution in the near future. There are two major problem areas: (1) the diminishing utility of the one-cent denomination in commerce, and (2) the failure of the present half-dollar and dollar coins to circulate readily. ONE-CENT GOIN The United States Government is rapidly approaching a decision point concerning continuance of the one-cent coin. The decision is prompted by the diminishing utility of the one-cent coin in commerce, causing ever -increasing production to compensate for high attrition of coins from the circulating supply. Inflation has a double impact because it increases the cost per transaction of keeping a one-cent coin in circulation while simultaneously decreasing -2- the purchasing power of each cent transacted. The dimin- ishing utility of the one-cent denomination in commerce is clearly evidenced by its high (1*%) annual attrition from the circulating pool compared to the nickel (7%) and the dime and quarter (both essentially 0%). The attrition, which represents permanent voluntary withdrawal from circulation by the public, is directly related to the lack of purchasing power of the one-cent alone and, to a lesser extent, even to that of two, three, or four cents combined. Future increases in inflation are expected to create further corresponding increases in attrition rates which in turn place demand on the Mint for replacements, in a never-ending spiral. Compounding the situation, estimated cost increases for coinage metal and manufacturing and distribution costs will cause the cost of producing the cent to exceed its face value by about 1980. In addition, the price of copper is projected to rise to such a level by 1990 that the cent coins may provide an economical source of copper for limited industrial consumption, adding to the rate of withdrawal of these coins f rom c i rcu1 at i on. -3- If coin demand and economic market conditions meet current projections, and if the current coinage system remains unaltered, the present coin manufacturing capacity of the Bureau of the Mint must be increased about 20% by 1980, and must be almost tripled by 1990. This projected build-up of mint capacities will be solely for cent manufacturing. Presently cent manufacturing accounts for 75% of all coin production. By 1990, over 90% of capacity would be dedicated to manufacturing cents, which would cost about 2 cents for each coin produced. Elimination of the cent coin at some later date would be a much more drastic action than elimination now, since in the future more production plant and equipment and more Mint employees would be affected by the precipitous reduction in production requirements. Alternative one-cent coins which are less costly to produce have been examined. These alternatives would, of course, lower the production and distribution costs for a period of time but, in the best case, only to 1990, when cost would again exceed face value. Changeover confusion would also be considerable. Importantly, however, an alternate coin does not solve the basic phenomenon of decreasing utility in corrmerce and the increasing day-to-day transaction hand 1ing costs. -4- HALF-DOLLAR AND DOLLAR COINS Presently, utilization is very low for the half-dollar and practically nonexistent for the dollar coin, due to the cumbersome size of these coins and the ready availability of convenient substitutes (2 quarters for the half-dollar and 4 quarters, or the dollar note, for the dollar coin). The alternatives are to continue manufacturing the present coins, to reduce the sizes, or to eliminate the dollar and half-dollar coin from the system. EARLY CONSIDERATION The problems with the present coinage system, as discussed above, are considered by the Treasury Department to be of such magnitude and widespread impact as to justify early consideration by Congress of whether changes in the Nation's coinage system are appropriate. In particular, a thorough public airing of the complex consumer issues is required. Decisions are needed to provide a proper basis for planning, budgeting and implementing actions by the Bureau of the Mint, the Federal Reserve System, commercial banks and bus inesses. -5- I I. THE CURRENT COINAGE SYSTEM The Secretary of the Treasury is responsible for the production of coins in such quantities as he determines necessary to meet the Nation's needs. The Secretary's statutory responsibility for the production of coins is carried out by the Bureau of the Mint, whose two major field facilities, the Philadelphia and Denver Mints, manufacture most of the country's coinage for circulation. Once produced, the coins are shipped by the Mint to the Federal Reserve Banks and branches, which, in turn, distribute the coins to commercial banks. As specified by law, the Nation's coinage system currently consists of the following denominations: dollar, half-dollar, quarter, dime, nickel and the cent. All physical characteristics of the coins, including their alloy, size and weight, are specified by law. Since the late 1960fs all denominations from the dime through the dollar have been made from a clad (sandwich) material which has thin outer layers of cupro-nickel (7 5% copper and 25% nickel) and an inner core of pure copper. The five-cent piece is made from an alloy consisting of 7 5% copper and 25% nickel; the one-cent piece is composed of 35% copper and 5% zinc. -6- The quantity of coins produced annually by the Mint depends essentially on public demand. The Federal Reserve System and the Mint jointly forecast the anticipated coinage requirements, and on the basis of the projections, the Bureau of the Mint prepares its operational and financial plans so that it can provide coins to meet the Nation's needs. The financial plans include all of the costs of making coins which, in addition to manufacturing expenses, cover the costs of coinage metal and the costs of distributing the coins to the Federal Reserve Banks. Thus, in Fiscal Year 1977 the Mint's estimated coin production of 12 billion pieces will cost the American taxpayer about $130 million. Historically, the Nation's coinage demand has increased annually at a rate of approximately 10%. In more recent years, however, there have been abrupt deviations from this pattern. These deviations have been caused primarily by sharply varied demand for cents, the production of which accounts for approximately 7 5% of the Mint's total coinage output. By way of illustration, in Fiscal Year 1974 the coinage production of the Mint totaled 10.4 billion pieces, 8.4 billion of which were cents. During the next fiscal year, total coin production increased to 13.4 billion pieces with cents accounting for 10 billion. In Fiscal Year 1976, excluding the 3-month transition period, the Mint produced 12.6 billion coins, over 9 billion of which were one-cent pieces. -7III. CONSEQUENCES OF RETAINING THE PRESENT C O I N A G E SYSTEM The consequences of retaining the present coinage system can be derived from the experienced and projected growth in the demand for circulating coins. Production by the Bureau of the Mint increased from 2.7 billion coins in Fiscal Year 1961 to 12.6 billion in Fiscal Year 1976. With the present set of denominations, annual coin requirements are forecast to increase to 18 billion by 1980 and to 41 billion by 1990. To provide a basis for planning and implementing action by the Bureau of the Mint, several different methods and mathematical models have been developed for estimating future coinage requirements. The 18 billion figure for 1980 and the 41 billion figure for 1990 are in t intermediate portion of the range of forecasts which are provided by using the various methods and models. The factors or relationships underlying the demand for cents are different from those affecting the demand for all other coin denominations. A stable relationship exists between the demand for nickels, dimes and quarters and the growth in retail sales, or similar measures of economic activity. Cent demand is less predictable due to the uniqu functions of this denomination in commercial transactions and the evident declining utility. -8- Normally, there is an expected correlation between the disappearance of cents from circulation (the attrition rate) and the estimated coin life of about \5 years. In recent years, however, there has been practically no correlation. On the other hand, the attrition rate, and in particular the growth in the attrition rate, appears to be more closely associated with the declining purchasing power of this coin. For example, two previous studies of samples of coins in circulation indicate attrition rates for cents of 4.8% in 1962 and 13.0% in 1973. Conservative projections indicate "that this attrition rate will grow to about 21.0% by 1990. In effect, the public, by not bothering to keep these coins in circulation, has been "voting" over a protracted period of time for elimination of the one-cent piece from the United States coinage system. The result of the experienced growth in cent attrition rates is that approximately two-thirds of the cents produced by the Mint in Fiscal Year 1975 were necessary to replace coins withdrawn from circulation. This proportion is projected to increase, as the utility of the cent declines, to the extent that by 1990 about 31 billion (82%) of the estimated production requirements of 37 billion cents -9- would be solely to provide replacements for coins removed from the circulating pool. As the 1990 projected production of 37 billion cents would be about 90% of the expected total requirement for all denominations, cent projections are clearly the most significant impact on required production capacity and on total coinage system cos t s . Current forecasts show that total coinage demand will exceed present Mint production capacity by about 1980, and will exceed present capacity by as much as two or three times by"1990. In addition, valuable resources and substantial costs would be involved in producing the tremendous number of one-cent coins, which would not circulate and which would be of limited value commercially. The cost to the public of maintaining a coinage system includes all costs of the Mint in producing, handling and shipping its product. In addition, costs of handling, storing and distributing the coins by the Federal Reserve System, commercial banks and merchants are all passed to the consumer in one form or another. By this definition, the aggregate costs to our society of maintaining an adequate supply of cents have Deen estimated. The estimates were based on reasonable assumptions regarding increases in costs -10to the Mint of manufacturing and shipping coins. For example, the trend in copper prices was estimated to increase from the present figure of $.60 per pound to $1 per pound in 1980 and $1.50 per pound by 1990. Similarly, the costs of fabricating coinage metal, coining, and shipping were assumed to increase at an annual rate of 4%. Also, the 1975 estimated cost figure of $.03 per 100 coins for Federal Reserve and commercial banks to process cents was assumed to increase at an annual rate of 5%. On the basis of these types of assumptions, the total annual costs for maintaining the one-cent piece in the coinage system are expected to increase from the $81 million figure in 1975 to $189 million in 1980, and to about $693 million in 1990. These costs do not include the capital investment required to expand the Mint's production capacity. As mentioned earlier, the current Mint production capacity will be exhausted by 1980. Development of additional capacity within existing facilities is not a total solution, nor in some cases is it a reasonable alternative, since these facilities already are overcrowded and have serious environmental and engineering deficiencies. Future capacity requirements will have to be met by constructing and equipping new mints, with the first major production increment needed by 1980. A new Denver Mint has been planned for this purpose. -11- This facility, when fully equipped, would have a capacity of 16 billion coins per year, at an estimated full capital investment cost of $86 million. To fulfill the 1990 projected requirement of 41.5 billion coins, additional capacity from the present base in the amount of 25 billion coins per year would be required. Extrapolating from the cost estimate for the planned new Denver Mint, by 1990 capital investment in the order of $200 million would be required to meet reasonable demand projections. Without the one-cent piece in the coinage system, additional capacity would not be required and, in fact, present Mint capacity should be sufficient until at least the year 2000. IV. ALTERNATIVES TO THE PRESENT COINAGE SYSTEM A. Elimination of the One-cent Coin The one-cent piece would have to be eliminated soon in order to forestall the excessive costs to the public of maintaining in circulation a coin of so little value for commerce. The cent has been the minimum U.S. coinage denomination since 1857, when Congress eliminated the half-cent. The purchasing power of a cent in 1917 was equivalent to that of a nickel in 1975, and (assuming a 5% inflation rate) to the projected value of a dime in 1990. -12- The costs associated with maintaining cents in circulation are rising. The present manufacturing cost, .7<: per coin, is projected to increase to 1.5c; per coin by 1990. However, the manufacturing cost is only a portion of the total cost to the public. In addition to these and other Governmental costs, commercial businesses incur costs for handling the large volume of cents. Considering the frequency with which the coin is handled, counted, packaged, stored and transported; the labor, materials, and capital equipment involved in the process; and the losses due to attrition, one can easily conclude that it costs our society more than a penny to transact a penny's worth of business. Reduction of Production and Distribution Costs Eliminating the cent would avoid an increasing annual cost to the public via a reduction in total coin production and distribution. As mentioned previously, the total annual costs to the American taxpayers of maintaining the cent in the coinage system are estimated to be $189 million in 1980, with a growth to about $690 million by 1990. Removing the cent from the system would not eliminate all of these costs, since there would be some increases in requirements for nickels and dimes due to the absence of the one-cent piece. Thus, reduction in costs is estimated to be -13- about $150 million annually in 1980, and about $600 million by 1990. Also, expenditures of nearly $200 million for establishment of additional mint capacity to 1990 would be avoided if the cent were eliminated. In addition to the reduced costs, removing the cent from the coinage system also would eliminate the consumption of valuable and increasingly scarce metal resources. With the present configuration and alloy of the cent, this "waste" of metal is in the order of 39,000 tons of copper in Fiscal Year 1977, with a projected growth to 129,000 tons by 1990. These are significant uses of a resource which has important military applications as well as wide commercial applications in the electrical, construction and transportation industries Discontinuing cent production would reduce the manufacturing requirements of the Bureau of the Mint by more than 60%. Excluding this denomination, total production requirements to 1990 are not expected to exceed 7 billion coins annually, and present coin production capacity would be more than adequate to the 21st century. Preferences of Affected Institutions and Individuals While the Treasury Department has surveyed various affected institutions concerning the possible elimination of the one-cent piece, no attempt has been made to poll the -14- general public. H o w e v e r , the D e p a r t m e n t has recently several public statements which have generated limited response. As of the middle of November 1976, 146 letters had been received by the Department expressing an opinion on the subject. A tally of the letters indicates that 89% of the respondents are opposed to, and 11% in favor of, elimination of the one-cent piece. Most of those opposing elimination do so because of perceived inflationary effects and anticipated inconveniences in conducting cash transactions. The letters reflect the assumptions that individual items will have to be priced in five-cent increments, and that prices will always be rounded up. Some writers feel that elimination of the cent would be demoralizing, since it would be an open admission of continuing inflation and the worthlessness of our currency. Others fear the creation of a national or world impression that our monetary system is shaky. A sentimental attachment to the cent is reflected in a few letters which mention "children's piggy banks," and the "oldest coin," as reasons for not eliminating the cent. The small percentage of letters which welcome the elimination of the cent express the belief that the result would be increased consumer convenience and made -15- savings to the Government and to business, that would no longer have to deal with the coin. However, since a significant sampling of public opinion has not been conducted, the real attitudes and desires of the American people on this subject are not known at this time. Retail firms and commercial banks recently surveyed by the Department have also expressed opposition to the elimination of the cent because of assumed inflationary impacts, as well as anticipated inconveniences which the absence of the cent would cause in cash transactions. Further, the overwhelming majority of state revenue departments opposed the discontinuance of cents, because of problems associated with the adjustment of existing state sales tax schedules and collection of tax revenues at the retai1 leve1. The Perception of Inflation There is a prevalent notion that eliminating the cent would generate an automatic increase in consumer prices. Although the inflationary impact has not been systematically studied, it does not necessarily follow that prices will rise. For example, absence of the cent in cash transactions does not mean that prices would have to be stated in five-cent increments. Many prices, particularly for items that typically sell in multiples or as part of a basket of -16- different items (e.g., groceries), could continue to be quoted in one-cent increments. Rounding would occur only on the sum of purchases if payment was by cash, and not at all if payment was by check or credit card. Furthermore, for those item prices that were changed to a five-cent increment basis, competitive pressures undoubtedly would lead to some rounding down as well as up. Over time, leads and lags in changing prices in five-cent increments should tend to average out. And pricing adjustments could be made in many cases through changes in packaging, or similar devices. Finally, the cost of keeping the cent in circulation is built into the current price structure; removing this cost should have a favorable price effect in the long run. Transitional Considerations If a decision to eliminate the penny were announced well in advance, commercial interests and state revenue departments would have adequate lead time to make the necessary accommodations. Although such an announcement would stimulate cent hoarding, the present stock of cents in circulation (45 billion), current Mint and Federal Reserve inventory (3.5 billion), and Mint cent production capacity (13 billion annually) should be adequate to avert a crisis during the transition period. -17Sunrmary The primary advantage of eliminating the cent soon is that immediate resolution of the dilemma eliminates the cost of maintaining circulation and increasing mint capacity to meet an artificially-high demand, which is nearly all due to attrition caused by the coin's declining purchasing power. Terminating cent production in the near future will permit the Mint to reduce its operating costs, as well as to avoid the expense of constructing new capacity. Deferring the decision to halt cent production will necessitate a costly expansion of manufacturing capacity, to be followed-when the decision is finally made--by a large-scale and more disruptive cutback than would occur now. Retaining the cent indefinitely would require a large capital investment commitment by the Government. In 15 years the annual U.S. production of cents alone would exceed the quantity of all coins produced world-wide during 1974, and at a cost of nearly 2£ per piece. Clearly, before that point is reached, cents will no longer be commercially useful and elimination of the denomination will be warranted. -18- B. The Dollar and Half-Doliar Coins The existing dollar and half-dollar coins have no future roles in our coinage system because of their cumbersome size and the availability of acceptable substitutes. In recent years, the Mint has produced approximately 60 million dollars and 180 million half-dollars annually. These two denominations account for only 2% of the Mint's total production. According to projections of demand, there will be no significant increase in requirements for these denominations in the foreseeable future. In essence, production satisfies a numi smatic-type demand, with coins produced being immediately withdrawn from circulation. Potential Circulation The basic rationale for a small dollar coin is to increase the flexibility for consumer transactions. The increased use of vending machines to save labor costs, and the higher prices for items which consumers are already accustomed to purchasing from machines, are expected to pursuade the public that the convenience of using vending machines outweighs any inconvenience of carrying an additional coin denomination. Moreover, the experience of other countries, notably West Germany, with its 2 Deutsche Mark coins (U.S. $.80), demonstrates that large denomination coins in the same range as the new dollar coin can circulate and -19A recent survey of commercial banks and merchants conducted by the Bureau of the Mint, disclosed a desire by both groups that the present dollar and half-dollar coins be eliminated. Of all the groups surveyed, only the vending and coin equipment manufacturers gave a favorable response to the introduction of a new dollar coin. At the present time, with the exception of a limited supply of very expensive bill changers, there are no dollar vending machines Initial circulation would be very much dependent upon the production of dollar coin vending devices. At the presen time, approximately 30% of vending machine sales are 60 cents or more. Despite industry survey results to the contrary, one must question whether dollar vending machines will be developed and installed on the speculation that consumers would obtain the coins and use them. However, a commitment on the part of the vending industry probably would be forthcoming if legislation were enacted to replace the existing dollar coin with a smaller, conveniently-sized coin. Large scale production of automated machines which would accept dollar coins could be accomplished in 18 to 24 months after legislation is enacted. Considering the time required for production of new automated machines -20- and the likely initial r e l u c t a n c e on the part of the banks, retailers and consumers to use the new coin, it would probably take 3 to 4 years after the passage of legislation to achieve wide-spread circulation. Although the above discussion has focused on the replacement of the existing dollar coin with a smaller conveniently-sized dollar coin, the elimination of the half-dollar coin should be considered simultaneously. It, too, does not circulate and the introduction of a viable one dollar coin would seem to obviate its future usefulness. Size and Material o The proposed new dollar coin would be sized b e t w e e n existing quarter and half-dollar. Compared to the quarter, the diameter would be 10% greater and the weight 40% greater (the present half-dollar has twice the weight of the quarter). The weight of the proposed new dollar coin would be only onethird the weight of 4 quarters. The material recommended for the proposed smaller dollar would be cupro-nickel clad on copper (currently used for the dime, quarter, half-dollar and dollar coin), which has excellent wear and corrosion resistance and provides a greater degree of protection against "slugging" than a "non-sandwich" material. the -21- Because of its value relative to other coins, the new dollar might be expected to be susceptible to slugging or counterfeiting. Vending machine and production technology, however, have reduced this risk to minimal proportions. In fact, dollar coin changers would be considerably less expensive and offer greater security than dollar bill changers. Cost The cost of producing the new dollar coin would be approximately 3 cents, compared to 6 cents for the present dollar coin and 1.5 cents for the $1 bill. Initial annual production requirements of 300 million dollar coins would cost the same ($9 million) as producing the current average of 60 million dollar coins and 180 million half-dollars. After the first few years the quantity produced is likely to increase. This may be offset by decreased requirements for the quarter dollar as new vending machines become available. The new one dollar coin offers potential cost savings by supplanting some of the demand for one dollar bills. The coin would have an average life of 15 years, while the bill, costing 1.5 cents, lasts approximately 15 months. Thus it would take 12 bills, costing 18 cents, to provide the medium of exchange service life of one dollar coin, costing 3 cents. -22- It would be highly speculative, however, to attempt to project savings in $1 bill production in view of the number of uncertain inter-related variables--e.g., if initially the dollar coin became merely a numismatic item and did not circulate, production of $1 bills would remain high and there would be little or no savings; at the other extreme, if production of $1 bills were arbitrarily stopped there would be a savings of about $25 million. This savings would oe partially offset by the increased demand for, and therefore cost of, $2 bills. Summary' The present half-dollar and dollar coins have minimal utility due to their cumbersome sizes and the ready availability of convenient substitutes. Their manufacture should, therefore, be discontinued. Legislation should be proposed to permit the Treasury Department to manufacture a conveniently-sized dollar coin which would be slightly larger than the quarter. Strong interest by the automated coin handling manufacturers indicates that vending machines and dollar coin changers will be manufactured after such legislation is enacted. This should provide increased consumer flexibility and facilitate transactions for automatically vended products such as cigarettes and sandwiches -23and services such as mass transit usage. At the same time, consideration should be given to discontinuing half-dollar production since the introduction of a smaller dollar coin would further diminish the usefulness of a coin which is not presently used to any significant degree for commercial transact ions . V. PROPOSED ACTIONS In view of the foregoing, the Department believes that the Congress should give serious consideration to the question of whether the cent is needed in our coinage system. The analyses conducted by this Department show conclusively that elimination of the cent after a suitable preparatory period, but no later than 1980, would eliminate substantial production and distribution costs. However, no decision should be made without full scale public hearings and a thorough understanding of the impact on the consumer and the various institutions involved. The consumer issue is complex and will need to be thoroughly reviewed before determining the final course of action. The Department feels that the potential cost reductions and the diminishing utility of the cent warrant such a review at this time and will be pleased to cooperate in every way poss ible. -24- In a d d i t i o n , the C o n g r e s s should a u t h o r i z e placement of the existing dollar coin with a smaller, conveniently-sized dollar, as well as the elimination of the half-dollar from the Nation's circulating denominations. Congressional review and analysis of the recommendations at the earliest feasible date are urge by the Department. the re Contact: J.C. Davenport Extension: 2951 January 5, 1977 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY ANNOUNCES FINAL DETERMINATION OF SALES AT NOT LESS THAN FAIR VALUE WITH RESPECT TO FULLY AUTOMATIC DIGITAL SCALES FROM JAPAN Acting Assistant Secretary of the Treasury Peter O. Suchman announced today that fully automatic digital scales from Japan are not being, nor are likely to be, sold at less than fair value within the meaning of the Antidumping Act, 1921, as amended. Notice of this determination will be published in the Federal Register of January 6, 1977. A "Tentative Negative Determination", published in the Federal Register of October 4, 1976, stated that there was reasonable grounds to believe that the purchase price of fully automatic digital scales from Japan, is not less, nor is likely to be less, than the fair value of such or similar merchandise. Pursuant to that notice interested persons were afforded the opportunity to present oral and written views prior to the final determination in this case. For purposes of this investigation, the term "fully automatic digital scales" means fully automatic digital scales that display weight, unit price and total price and have a weight measuring capacity of 25 lbs. or less. Customs made price comparisons on approximately 95 percent of the subject merchandise from Japan sold to the United States during the period May 1, 1975 through February 29, 1976 and found no margins. Imports of the subject merchandise during the period investigated amounted to approximately 2300 units, valued at roughly $1.7 million f.o.b. Japan. * WS 1247 * * DATE: TREASURY BILL RATES 52-WEEK BILLS LAST MONTH V. 7° 0 f° TODAY HIGHEST SINCE : LOWEST SINCE: ///l(o i-f-n p Department of iheJREASURY HINGTQN, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 964-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE January 5, 1977 RESULTS OF TREASURY'S 52-WEEK BILL AUCTION Tenders for $3,071 million of 52-week Treasury bills to be dated January 11, 1977, and to mature January 10, 1978, were accepted at the Federal Reserve Banks and Treasury today. The details are as follows: RANGE OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: (Excepting 2 tenders totaling $12,740,000) Price High Low Average - 95.231 95.210 95.219 Discount Rate Investment Rate (Equivalent Coupon-Issue Yield) 4.96% 4.98% 4.97% 4.717% 4.737% 4.728% Tenders at the low price were allotted 30%. TOTAL TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS AND TREASURY: Location Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Accepted Received $ 61,855,000 5,876,750,000 16,055,000 182,045,000 22,495,000 12,340,000 222,615,000 54,320,000 68,535,000 39,445,000 30,130,000 466,600,000 $ 17,855,000 2,627,250,000 1,055,000 57,045,000 3,995,000 6,340,000 87,515,000 18,320,000 19,935,000 14,945,000 11,630,000 204,800,000 $7,053,185,000 $3,070,685,000 Treasury TOTAL The $ 3,071 million of accepted tenders includes $ 74 million of noncompetitive tenders from the public and $ 1,204 million of tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents of foreign and international monetary authorities accepted at the average price. oOo WS-1248 FOR RELEASE UPON DELIVERY STATEMENT BY THE HONORABLE GERALD L. PARSKY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SENATE COMMITTEE ON BANKING, HOUSING AND URBAN AFFAIRS THURSDAY, JANUARY 6, 1977, AT 10:00 A.M. Implications of Oil Price Decisions Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I am pleased to be here this morning to discuss the impact on the international economy and the international financial system of the decisions of the Organization of Oil Producing Exporting Countries (OPEC) with respect to the price of oil. The effects of OPEC's oil price decision in late 1973 are still being felt today. They will continue to be felt for years. The recent price increases only reinforce and intensify those effects. In my testimony today I would like to describe what policy actions we believe are called for. In order to do so, it is important to review in some detail (a) the economic and financial effects of the oil price increases, including those recently announced, (b) the world economic situation and outlook, and (c) the actions now under way to address the effects of the oil price increase. WS-1249 - 2Despite substantial recent progress, the world faces an overall economic situation which concerns us in many respects. It is true that the world has weathered the worst recession since the 1930s. Nevertheless even after a year of above average growth in the industrial world, unemployment rates remain extremely high and inflation is at levels that even five years ago would have been thought to be completely unacceptable. Moreover, a number of countries are becoming increasingly worried about how long they can continue borrowing externally to finance their payments deficits. The uncertainties have affected confidence which, in turn, has affected investment and future growth. Obviously, the OPEC actions increasing the oil price have not been the sole cause of these economic difficulties. Failure to adopt sound domestic economic and energy policies in many countries has certainly contributed. However, the quadrupling of the oil price has been the largest single shock the international economy has experienced since World War II. The immediate impact was a permanent loss in output --in technical terms, a downward displacement of the growth path -in the oil-importing countries. As a result it will be many years before we regain the levels of output and consumption we might have expected to attain in the absence of the oil price increase. - 3The costs of the adjustment which the price increase requires are substantial, so substantial that they have put severe strain on the prevailing social and economic structure of some nations. The result is that it has been very difficult for oil importing countries to develop and implement policies to facilitate the economic adjustments required. Where policy changes have been accepted, they have often been late or fallen short of the need. Continued unsatisfactory performance in many economies, continued accumulation of external indebtedness, and concern over further OPEC price increases, have caused some to fear that the open trade and payments system may break down in a welter of restrictions on trade and defaults on debt. I do not believe that will happen because the governments of the world realize that in their own long-term interest, they must not allow it to happen. What is needed now is for these governments to convert this realization into action. The approach that we believe is necessary involves four main aspects: 1. Development and implementation of national energy policies to encourage cost-effective energy conservation measures and the development of alternate energy sources. 2. International cooperation on energy among oil consuming nations and with oil producing nations. - 4 3. Adjustment and restructuring, through an appropriate combination of domestic economic policies and market-responsive exchange rate changes, of the pattern of external balances of the oil importing countries so that deficits on current account more nearly match a sustainable flow of capital to finance them. 4. Use of official sources of credit to encourage the adoption of appropriate adjustment policies and to augment available private financing during the period of adjustment. To understand what is needed in each of these areas, let us look at some of the effects of the oil price decisions in more detail. -5The Economic and Financial Effects of the Oil Price Increases The external, largely financial effects of higher oil prices have captured the headlines, and I will discuss them shortly. However, I first want to point out that the financial effects are symptoms -- the basic effects are on the real economies of the oil importing countries. It is the magnitude, pervasiveness and severity of these real effects which has made adjustment to higher oil prices so costly, and in turn has intensified the disequilibria in international payments and associated strains in exchange and financial markets. In order to give some idea as to the severity of these effects, we have attempted to estimate possible orders of magnitude for several of the major ones -- on real output, unemployment, and the price level -- for the U.S. economy. To do this, we simulated what might have happened to the U.S. economy between 1974 and 1980 in the absence of higher oil prices. While the results can only be taken as indicative of orders of magnitude, they indicate that the impact was of major proportions. In summary, the oil embargo plus the 400 percent OPEC price increases probably will cost the U.S. economy a cumulative loss in real output of about $500 billion over the period 1974-1980. In other words, we believe that over the remainder of the decade real GNP could have averaged approximately 5 percent higher each and every year in the absence of the OPEC actions of 1973-1974. - 6At the same time, prices (measured by the GNP deflator) could have averaged nearly 4 percent lower and unemployment rate perhaps 1-1/2 points lower over the 1974-1980 period. It is important to note that several factors mitigated the economic and financial impact on the U.S. compared to other countries: -- we are relatively less dependent on OPEC oil than many other nations; -- U.S. firms have been very successful in increasing exports to OPEC markets; and -- the sheer size and scope of the U.S. capital market has attracted capital inflows, both direct and indirect, in substantial volume. Looking at the effects on the financial system, OPEC receipts from sales of their oil went from $23 billion in 1973 to $96 billion in 1974. The collective OPEC surplus -- the receipts from all international transactions not used to pay goods and services purchased from abroad -- went from $5 billion in 1973 to approximately $70 billion in 1974, $40 billion in 1975, and about $43 billion in 1976. Table 1 provides estimates of the world payments pattern for 1974-1976. Given higher prices and increased demand for oil, we currently estimate that the 1977 surplus will be higher than the 1976 figure. However, it is important to keep in mind that most people have underestimated OPEC import growth in the past; and recent evidence suggests that several countries have - 7increased their spending. If this trend continues it could effect the 1977 OPEC surplus substantially. In turn, the non-OPEC world experienced an increase in its net deficit of nearly the same magnitude, reduced only by the $1-1/2 to $2 billion annually of grant aid extended by OPEC countries to other nations. Obviously the deficit had to be financed -- thus OPEC asset increases have their counterpart in increased indebtedness of the oil importing nations to OPEC --an increase of approximately $150 billion in the last three years. This aggregate figure understates the actual problem somewhat since it nets out surpluses of a number of industrial countries. If we consider only deficit countries the total industrial country deficits aggregated roughly $110 billion during this period. Total non-oil LDC deficits were about $70 billion while the rest of the oil importing world ran aggregate deficits of some $35 billion. In other words, the total current account deficits in the oil importing world that had to be financed between 1974-1976 totalled up more than $200 billion. The deficits -- together with amortization payments on outstanding debt -- have had to be financed by some combination of reserve run-downs and borrowing, largely the latter. Roughly three quarters of this borrowing, has been prov.idec! by the private capital markets of the world. As an indication of the magnitudes involved, the medium-term Euro-currency credit and Euro-bond markets - 8extended an estimated $65 billion (gross) in international credits during 1976 alone -- compared with $25 billion in 1973, the year before the oil price hike. The recent OPEC price decisions involves much smaller percentage increases than the January 1, 1974 change. However, even an increase of 5 percent of $11.51, or $0.57 per barrel would have been 21 percent against the base of the mid-1973 price. Even more importantly, its effects have to be assessed within the context of current realities -the unemployment, the inflation, the debt accumulation of January 1977. In this setting, even an increase of 5 percent takes on major significance. -- a 5 percent increase adds over $6 billion directly to the worldTs oil import bill, including some $1 billion to that of the LDCs. Each 1 percent adds about $1-1/4 billion to the world's oil bill. -- a 5 percent increase would further raise prices and reduce growth in the industrial countries, with subsequent effects on the LDCs. -- any price increase could have significant effects in individual domestic economies which are vulnerable to psychological as well as economic shocks. The World Economic Situation and Outlook Turning to the world economic situation, the industrial countries, led by the U.S., Germany and Japan, began to recover from the 1973-1974 recession in early to mid-1975. -9As has been the case in earlier cyclical upswings consumption and inventory restocking provided the major source of domestic stimulus with export growth also being of importance. The recovery proceeded in the Mbig three" countries and spread throughout the world economy until mid-1976, when a pause in the expansion appeared and began to spread. By the fall of 1976 a considerable slowing down in growth rates was being experienced in many of the OECD member countries, although the year-on-year average growth rates will still register solid expansion, with average OECD growth rates of about 5 percent. More recently, there have been signs o revival in the "leaders11 -- U.S., Germany and Japan -- as indicated by such indicators as industrial production growth, new orders, stock market upturns, and surveys of investment intentions. This is particularly true of the United States. However, the revival is not widespread at this point or general within the industrial world, and the investment climate -crucial for continued sustained growth, and for restructuring of domestic output and consumption patterns --is still uncertain While average inflation rates for the OECD members as a whole continued to decline during 1976, they remained disturbingly high at 8 percent and only modest improvement is expected in 1977 even if the oil price increase is "only" 5 percent. -10More disturbing is the extreme disparity in inflation rates (measured by consumer price indices) across countries -- currently ranging from 25 percent in Portugal and 20 percent in Italy to 1 to 4 percent in Switzerland and Germany respectively Unless adjustment action -- including appropriate exchange rate change and domestic policy measures --is taken, such disparities will cause continued movement in exchange and financial markets. The OECD countries as a group are estimated to have had a current account deficit of some $23 billion in 1976, up sharply from the $6 billion of 1975. This reflects inventory adjustments and other effects of higher domestic growth on import demand; a substantial portion of this change is reflected in a reduction in the collective deficit of the•;? non-oil LDCs. The non-oil exporting developing countries appear to have reduced their current-account deficit in 1976 quite substantially. The 1976 improvement reflected an expansion of the LDC export markets in the recovering OECD countries, as well as slower growth rates in those LDCs which restrained their imports through demand management or direct controls. Although real rates of growth in non-oil LDCs were lower in 1976 than the average of the past decade, the rates generally -11remained positive. This was possible -- in the face of costly oil imports, restrained import volume, and somewhat tentative export demand -- largely through heavy reliance on foreign borrowing. Whether the borrowing will be helpful or burdensome in the long run depends on the employment of these funds. Foreign borrowings have been used effectively by some LDCs to facilitate adjustment to external economic conditions and changes in relative prices. Debt servicing is not likely to be a problem for these countries. In other LDCs, adjustment has either proven to be a particularly difficult task, or has not received adequate governmental attention. In some cases, external borrowings have been used to maintain consumption levels and living standards in the short run: for these countries, debt servicing is more likely to be a problem. The economic picture for 1977 remains disturbingly cloudy. Developments in the external sector are likely to exert pressures on a number of economies -- in terms of growth, inflatio and resulting employment conditions -- to a far greater degree than has been the case in any year since the 1960s except in 1974, the year of the quadrupling of the price of oil. Major adjustment policies recently enacted or in prospect will have significant interactive effects in Western Europe as well as effects on the LDCs -- in particular the African LDCs which are heavily dependent on European markets. -12The OECD estimates that real growth rates in the industrial countries (OECD members) wiU average less than 4 percent in 1977, compared: to 5 percent in 1976. The lower aggregate growth rate results partly from the fact that the "stronger" countries -- Japan, Germany, and the U.S. -- are entering a stage of the expansion when the growth rate usually begins to slow. Partly, however, it results from the fact that several countries which are implementing policies aimed at fostering fundamental domestic adjustment in response to external constraint partly by restraining growth of domestic demand -- will be growing quite slowly. The smaller OECD countries are expected to grow somewhat faster, while the non OPEC developing countries as a group are expected to experience somewhat lower growth in 1977. The non-market economies of Eastern Europe, faced with sizable reductions in the quantity -- and a considerable firming in the terms --of external finance, may constrain domestic growth. In the 1974-1976 period current account deficits were successfully financed -- to the surprise of many earlier doomsday forecasters -- as the international financial system proved to be flexible and resourceful. Lending through the private markets expanded dramatically and their activities were augmented by the IMF's Oil and Compensatory Finance Facilities as well as its regular facilities, and the EC borrowing network. Further, the non-OPEC developing countries have built up large reserve positions during the 1973-1974 commodity -13boom on which they were able to draw. Prior to the oil price increase, most industrial countries had made relatively little use of international borrowing for balance of payments reasons and had large untapped potential for obtaining external capital. The oil importing world, however, enters 1977 under much less favorable conditions than existed in 1974. External debts, for the non-OPEC world as a whole, are about $200 billion higher. The bulk of the international borrowing has been of short- to medium-term maturity and will, in many cases, need to be rolled over or refinanced. As debt grows to finance the continuing deficits, private lenders are becoming more selective in their lending, and countries which have delayed adjustment will approach limits beyond which they cannot afford to borrow. Unused funds available to official institutions for balance of payments lending have also been reduced. This is a serious matter and it cannot be ignored by lenders or borrowers. -14Management of the Impact of the Oil Price Increase The world is beginning to take the steps necessary to deal with these effects of the oil price decisions. Some countries have been slow in acting, others must do much more. The effort is a painful one, which will inevitably leave all the oil-importing nations short of their aspirations but which is infinitely better than the alternative of a reversion to the beggar-thy-neighbor policies of the 1930s. In terms of our four-fold strategy, here is where we stand. 1) Domestic Energy Policies The free world has made little progress since 1973 in reducing the vulnerability which stems from its over-reliance on imported oil. With economic recovery, demand has been increasing and in 1977 it is expected to rise over 1976 levels. For such trends to be reversed, the United States must assume a leadership role. opposite. Unfortunately, we have done just the Demand has been increasing, production declining, and our imports have grown. In 1973, we were importing 29 percent of our oil; in 1976, the figure is 41 percent. Not only has U.S. reliance on imported oil increased, but the proportion from OPEC has risen from 71 percent of oil imports to 82 percent. Most Americans would agree that our goal should be to reduce our vulnerability to supply interruptions. However, it is not generally understood that to achieve that goal, adequate incentives must exist to reduce domestic demand and to develop alternative sources of supply. We should not -15be' seeking zero imports. We can reduce vulnerability through reducing demand, diversifying supply and developing storage and emergency measures. However, if prices for oil and gas continue to be artificially controlled; if we continue to threaten divestiture of oil companies; if an adequate return on energy investment is not provided; the decisions necessary to bring on additional supplies simply will not be made in a timely fashion. The development of a sound domestic energy policy was one of the highest priority items of the Ford Administration and I am sure it will continue to receive priority attention under the new Administration. Unfortunately, there is no single, easy solution to our energy problem. We need a series of actions in a number of very diverse areas ranging from measures to increase current fossil fuel production to basic research and development of alternative energy sources. Recently, Secretary Richardson and Administrator Zarb presented to the Congress a comprehensive status report on the development of our energy policy. I would like to focus today on only a few aspects of our domestic energy policy. These include: -- The need to realize that domestically produced oil and natural gas must be priced realistically. -16-- The need to maintain an investment climate which will ensure that private capital markets will be able to finance the energy industry without government financial assistance or intervention. -- The need to achieve regulatory reform so as to simplify procedures, expedite approvals and licensing and, in general, free the energy industry from the governmental controls which hamper their ability to meet our national energy objectives. Continued disparities in the prices of domestically produced oil and natural gas encourage a wide variety of distortions in both the producing side of the industry as well as in the consuming side. For example, the production of intrastate gas is far more valuable to the producer than the production of gas sold in interstate commerce. In addition, continued price controls on oil and gas delay and handicap the economic development of higher cost alternate resources such as geothermal or solar energy. In many instances, these sources are currently unable to compete with controlled prices without some government sponsored financial incentives. To the consumer, the current composite pricing system fails to reflect either the true values of oil and gas or their replacement costs. Moreover, the price disparities and incentives inconsistencies have made it necessary for the -17government to establish an elaborate system of entitlements to equalize prices for refiners, adding further costs to both the consumer and the taxpayer. Even more serious, when the costs to the consumer are held to an artificially low level, the customer further delays the necessary steps which must ultimately be taken on conserving energy. As a recent study by the International Energy Agency noted, U.S. energy price controls keep U.S. energy costs artificially low when compared with those of other industrialized countries. For example, gasoline costs from 2-3 times as much in other industrialized countries as it does in the United States. Clearly, this cannot continue if we are to be serious in our effort to conserve energy. Furthermore, adequate profits are necessary to raise the capital to replace the energy resources we are now consuming. In the absence of adequate prospects for profits, private investments in energy will lag and either (1) we will not develop the necessary domestic energy resources, or (2) the government, with its attendant bureaucracy and delays, will have to replace private development of new resources. Uncertainties in the investment area lead to caution and hesitancy. Hesitancy in making investment commitments for development of new domestic energy resources will further delay reduction of imports to a manageable level. Besides the current regulatory, geological and environmental uncertainties, -18potential for both horizontal and vertical divestiture have created new uncertainty for the industry which will undoubtedly cause deferments in investment commitments, just at the time when we want to encourage expanded efforts. 2) International Cooperation on Energy At the same time that the United States must get its own energy house in order, we must pursue further cooperation among oil importers, through, among other fora, the International Energy Agency. Through this body, commitments have been made to share oil in an emergency. We should also formulate group objectives for reducing oil imports; undertake joint research and development projects; and more importantly, remove barriers to investment in energy. A third interrelated element in energy policy must involve cooperation with the oil producing countries. In part, this can be accomplished through an energy dialogue which, among other things, should emphasize OPECTs responsibility in the world economic system. This is not only with respect to price but also to an increased role in the provision of officia finance to support adjustment by those countries adversely affected by the direct and indirect effects of higher oil prices. It is important to emphasize that although producers and consumers have different views on oil prices, there are many other more specific interests which are complementary. We should aim to develop such interest in various ways. For example, oil -19producers want to diversify their economies. They need goods and offer the faster growing market for oil-consuming country goods. Also, to industrialize, OPEC desires consumer country technical skill which producers are willing to pay for. The focus of consumer relations with the producers should be to strengthen these common bonds. We should not be pursuing a deliberate policy confrontation. Instead, we should bring producers and consumers closer together to foster greater understanding of each others1 needs: -- Consumers should understand the desires of the producers for diversification of their economies and for higher standards of living for their poeple. -- Producers should understand that the rapid rise in oil prices has placed a great burden on all economies of the world economies which must remain viable and strong if producers are to grow and prosper. Our objective should be to create the objective conditions which will bring about an expanding world supply of energy market prices. The price increase of this past month, should not alter these basic policies. Rather, it should serve as a harsh reminder of how far we still need to go in developing these policies and that we must move with renewed haste. -203) Adjustment. While many oil importing countries have been able to maintain growth rates by external borrowing, such loans ultimately represent claims held by the creditor countries against the future resources of the debtor. In order for a country to continue to borrow, it must be able to persuade creditors that it will be able to repay those borrowings sometime in the future. Thus, while countries will adjust at differing rates and under various policy choices, the common thrust must be to build up a domestic capital base which will be capable of producing goods in the future, including a sufficient portion that will earn foreign exchange. It is imperative that this capital base take into account the change in relative prices -- in particular energy prices. The future flow of production from larger current investments will assure rising income levels as well as permit the actual transfer of real resources to the OPEC countries when their import requirements begin to exceed their oil revenue. Unless such a capital base is built up, a country will have to reduce consumption substantially in the future when it comes time to amortize accumulated debts. Progress is now being made on the adjustment of current payments patterns. A number of countries have taken or are in the process of taking action to reduce their current account - 21 deficits -- notably the U.K., Italy and Mexico. France has instituted a comprehensive anti-inflationary program, which should in time reduce both its domestic inflation a^d its external deficit. Though important progress is now under way, more needs to be done. A continuing effort is needed, on the one hand to encourage countries to place greater emphasis on measures to adjust their payments imbalances and, on the other hand, to ensure that transitional financing -- private and official -- is available in adequate amounts while the adjustment takes place. This means not only that the weaker countries must improve their positions; the non-OPEC countries in stronger positions must be prepared to accommodate this adjustment in their own trade and current account positions. The U.S., as one of those countries able to attract substantial capital inflows as a result of its relatively strong economic position, should be prepared to accept substantial trade and current account deficits in present circumstances. In an expanding economy these adjustments can be more easily absorbed. Protectionist measures by the U.S. -- aimed at curbing imports or artifically stimulating exports -- would be self-defeating and would severely damage the system. Countries which are no longer able to borrow sufficient sums from private or official sources must adjust. If U.S. policies frustrate the efforts of other countries to adjust through market-determined exchange rate changes and domestic macro-economic policy measures, they will be forced to adjust by resorting to direct controls on their trade and payment flows. -22This would lead to a recurring series of protectionist reactions, as countries attempted to prevent further deficits. The ultimate outcome of such a policy would be a breakdown of world trade and worldwide economic stagnation. The adverse effects on the economic growth and welfare of the United States would also be substantial. And while the U.S. deficit might be reduced, it would not be eliminated. 4) Financing to Support Adjustment Even with the adoption of appropriate adjustment measures by countries in deficit and those in surplus, transitional official financing has an important role to play in cushioning the pace and abruptness of the adjustments sought --in permitting adequate time for rational, cooperative and deliberate policies to take force and have their effects. The provision of official financing, by supporting effective and responsible moves toward adjustment, can also play an important indirect role in assuring that private financing is available, because its promotion of adjustment measures will help provide the assurances needed by the private markets to enable them to play their necessary role. Several measures to expand countries' access to sources of multilateral financing have been taken or proposed in the past year or so, many in response to U.S. initiatives. The IMF has significantly expanded access to its Compensatory Finance Facility, and this facility has provided nearly twice as much credit in the past year as it did in total during the preceeding dozen years of its existence. The IMF has created a Trust Fund -23for the benefit of its poorest developing country members, which will provide them with urgently needed balance of payments credit from the profits on sales of IMF gold. The IMF has expanded access to its regular credit facilities for all countrie by 45 percent, pending implementation of proposed amendments to its Articles of Agreement. These amendments have been approved by the Congress and will, we hope, take effect by mid-1977. The IMF has acted to expand the list of currencies that are effectively usable in its balance of payments financing operation a measure that can add significantly to its holdings of usable resources. And the IMF has available -- and is beginning to utilize, after a long period of inactivity -- the resources of the General Arrangements to Borrow, under which the U.S. and other major countries are prepared to lend supplemental resources to the IMF. Looking somewhat farther ahead, a significant increase in IMF resources -- a 33.6 percent, SDR 10 billion increase in quotas -- has been agreed upon and is in the process of ratification by member countries. The increase in the U.S. quota has already been approved by the Congress, and we hope that others will follow suit shortly. Also, in recognition of the uncertainties in the present situation, IMF members have agreed to review quotas again in the near future -- in advance of the required quinquennial review. That review will begin in the next few months. -24The IMF is in a unique position to provide the needed combination of economic expertise and financial resources to assist in the development of effective national stabilization and adjustment programs and lend the conditional credit needed to bridge the time from implementation to fruition of such programs. The IMF deserves and has received the strong support of the United States in its efforts as a major force for stability and cooperation in international economic affairs. The list of measures to expand official sources of financing in the past few years is an impressive one. It is evidence of a general willingness on the part of countries to act cooperatively and constructively to meet rapidly changing and unprecedented world financial requirements. The need for sub- stantial official balance of payments financing --on a multilateral, conditional, and transitional basis -- will be with us for some time. The measures taken to date, however, should not lead us to conclude that we have done all that may be necessary. While I remain optimistic that the world economy will survive the next year without financial disruptions, there are risks. Although private sector flows, supplemented by official flows through existing official facilities, should be adequate, there could develop a time when the stresses and strains become too great. Thus, we need to be prepared with a supplemental and temporary source of official financing. -25The United States more than two years ago proposed such a facility -- the OECD Financial Support Fund -- but unfortunately it has failed to gain the support of the Congress to date and consequently has not yet been established. The Support Fund is designed to meet extraordinary needs for financing --on the basis of firm policy conditions -- in a truly extraordinary situation. Most other OECD countries have ratified the Support Fund agreement, and U.S. action would bring the Support Fund into being. Legislation to authorize U.S. participation in the Support Fund has been resubmitted to this Congress, and I hope it will gain early passage. Summary and Conclusion Events of the past several years -- highlighted by the successive OPEC price actions -- have placed severe strains on the international economic and financial system. The problems posed by these strains -- which I have outlined for you -- can be dealt with only if we attack the real causes -the economic, not just the purely financial. I have set out the strategy we believe is necessary to deal with out economic problems. The world is beginning to carry out this strategy. The United States has an opportunity -- indeed, a responsibility to lead in this endeavor, by: (1) moving ahead promptly to implement a sound national energy policy that will encourage cost-effective energy conservation and development of cost-effective alternative sources of energy; -26 (2) continuing cooperative efforts in international energy between both other oil consuming nations and the oil producers; (3) keeping its markets open to foreign goods and services and pursuing the further reduction of trade barrie through the Multilateral Trade Negotiations; (4) allowing its exchange rate to respond to market pressures; and (5) supporting through multilateral channels, the provision of financial support where necessary, conditioned on the adoption and implementation of adequate adjustment policies. oOo TABLE 1 World Payments Patterns Rough Estimates of Current Account Balances (including official transfers) ($ billions, rounded) 1974 1975 Est. 1976 OPEC +70 +40 +43 OECD -33 - 6 -22*5 Non-Oil LDCs 1/ Others" Unexplained Residual -21 -29 -21 - 9 -15 -12*$ 2/ - 7~~ +10 +14 y—Israel, South Africa, Sino-Soviet area and Eastern European countries. 2/ A large portion of the residual is accounted for by oil settlements lags. Source: 1974 and 1975 US. Treasury ^rt^^t^7^0°^nfona Rfonnmic Outlook, December, 1976, adjusted to area definitions. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE January 6, 1977 UNDER SECRETARY JERRY THOMAS RESIGNS TO JOIN MARINE BANKS, INC. Under Secretary of the Treasury, Jerry Thomas, announced today that he has submitted his resignation to President Ford effective January 20, 1977. After leaving the Treasury post he has held since April 26, 1976, Mr. Thomas will become Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer of First Marine Banks, Inc., a Florida-based multi-bank holding company which he founded in 1964. He held the same position before he entered the government . As Treasury Under Secretary, Mr. Thomas, 46, served as a member of the Foreign-Trade Zones Board, as Chairman of the Board of Directors of the Federal Law Enforcement Training Center and as a member of the Board of Directors of the Securities Investor Protection Corporation. He also served on the Board of Directors of the United States Railway Association. Prior to his government service, Mr. Thomas also served as Chairman of the Board of each of First Marine Banks* nine commerical banks. So that he might devote his full time to the holding company, he will not hold any position with the various banks. Mr. Thomas is past-President of the Florida Senate and the former Director and Administrator of the Florida Securities Commission. Prior to entering commerical banking, he held membership on both the Midwest and the Philadelphia-Baltimore Stock Exchanges and headed his own investment banking firm in Palm Beach, Florida. oOo WS-1250 \e Department of theTREftSURY OFFICE OF REVENUE SHARING WASHINGTON, D.C. 20226 TELEPHONE 634-5246 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MONDAY, JANUARY 10, 197 7 CONTACT: PRISCILLA CRANE C202) 634-5248 PUBLIC HEARING SCHEDULED ON REVENUE SHARING REGULATIONS A public hearing has been scheduled on interim regulations relating to new public participation, public hearing, assurances and reports provisions of general revenue sharing law. The interim regulations were published in today's Federal Register by the Department of the Treasury's Office of Revenue Sharing. "A public hearing on the interim regulations will take place on Friday, February 11, 1977, beginning at 10 a.m. in Conference Room 4121 at the Treasury Department, 15th Street and Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W., Washington, D. C , " Jeanna D. Tully, Director of the Office of Revenue Sharing, announced today. A person who wishes to be heard on February 11, 1977 must submit to the Director of the Office of Revenue Sharing, an outline of the topics he or she wishes to discuss and an estimate of the length of time which will be required to discuss each topic. Ordinarily, ten minutes will be allowed to each participant. Requests to appear must be delivered to the Director, Office of Revenue Sharing, 2401 E Street, N.W. , Washington, D. C. 20226, on or before February 4, 1977. The interim regulations, which amend Subpart B of title 31, Code of Federal Regulations, have been put forward pursuant to the State and Local Fiscal Assistance Act of 1972, as amended by the State and Local Fiscal Assistance Amendments of 1976 (31 U.S.C, 1221, et. seq.). The text of the interim regulations may be found in the Federal Register of January 10, 1977. Individual copies may be requested of the Public Affairs Division of the Office of Revenue Sharing at C2Q2J 634-5248. 30 WS-1251 if Department of the TREASURY SHINGTON, D.C. 20220 > TELEPHONE 964-2041 •J-A TST contact: Gabriel Rudney (202) 566-5911 January 7, 1977 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY SECRETARY ANNOUNCES MEMBERSHIP OF COMMITTEE TO ADVISE TREASURY ON TAX ASPECTS AND STANDARDS FOR PRIVATE PHILANTHROPY Secretary of the Treasury William E. Simon announced today the appointment of a 25-member committee of private citizens to advise the Treasury on tax aspects and standards for private philanthropy. C. Doublas Dillon, former Treasury Secretary and Chairman of the Metropolitan Museum of Art in New York, will be Chairman of the committee, to be known formally as the Advisory Committee on Private Philanthropy and Public Needs. Secretary Simon, Mr. Dillon and a representative of Secretary of the Treasury-designate W. Michael Blumenthal attended the organizational luncheon of the advisory committee Thursday (Jan. 6) at the Treasury. Secretary Simon told the gr oup: "Establishment of this Commit tee is a direct outgrowth of the work of the well-known Filer Commission -- The Commissi on on Private Philanthropy and In December, 19 75, that Commission, of which a Public Needs. number of you were members, or c onsultants, presented a report to the Congress and the Administ ration. It summarized that unique role of private giving in the history of the United States abundant evidence t hat maintenance of a vigorous and pr ovided »t charit able giving sector is vita 1 to the well being of the More than 200 recommendations for membership on the nation advisory committee came in after its establishment was announced in the Federal Register in November. Committee members will serve two-year terms without pay. Committee Coordinator is Gabriel Rudney of the Treasury Department. Members of the advisory committee, in addition to Mr. Dillon, include: Alan Pifer, President, Carnegie Corporation of New York. WS-1252 (over) - 2George W. Romney, President, National Center for Voluntary Action, Washington. Walter McNerney, President, Blue Cross Association, Chicago. Leonard Silverstein, Attorney, Washingon. Marion R. Fremont-Smith, Attorney, Boston. Kingman Brewster, President, Yale University. Ernest Osborne, Director, Sachem Fund, New Haven, Conn. David Cohen, President, Common Cause, Washington. John S. Nolan, Attorney, Washington. William Matson Roth, President, San Francisco Museum of Art. Leonard Conway, President, Youth Project, Washington. Bruce Dayton, Chairman, Executive Committee, Dayton Hudson Corp., Minneapolis. Thomas A. Troyer, Attorney, Washington. Robert Blendon, Vice President, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, Princeton, N.J. H.J. Zoffer, Dean, Graduate School of Business, University of Pittsburgh. Paul Ylvisaker, Dean, Graduate School of Education, Harvard. Eleanor Sheldon, President, Social Science Research Council, New York. James Joseph, President, Cummins Engine Foundation, Columbus, Ind. Mary Gardiner Jones, President, National Consumers League, Washington. William Aramony, National Executive, United Way of America. Pablo Eisenberg, President, Center for Community Change, Washington. John Filer, Chairman, Aetna Life and Casualty Company, Hartford Vilma Martinez, President Mexican-American Legal Defense and Education Fund, San Francisco. Wes Uhlman, Mayor, City of Seattle. 0O0 DATE: January 10, 1977 TREASURY BILL RATES 13-WEEK | 26-WEEK LAST WEEK: ^ */t> 7 7* ^JY/lo TODAY: . if. lpI'} *f* 4. $° 3 % HIGHEST SINCE LOWEST SINCE he Deportment of INGTON.D.C. 20220 ^TREASURY TELEPHONE 964-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE J a n u a r y 1Q> 19?? RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $2,404 million of 13-week Treasury bills and for $3,501 million of 26-week Treasury bills, both series to be issued on January 13, 1977, were accepted at the Federal Reserve Banks and Treasury today. The details are as follows: RANGE OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: High Low Average 13-week bills maturing April 14, 1977 Price Discount Rate Investment Rate 1/ 98.839 98.833 98.834 4.593% 4.617% 4.613% 4.71% 4.74% 4.73% 26-week bills maturing July 14, 1977 Discount Investment Price Rate Rate 1/ 97.579 97.568 97.572 4.789% 4.811% 4.803% 4.98% 5.00% 4.99% Sri* Tenders at the low price for the 13-week bills were allotted 98% Tenders at the low price for the 26-week bills were allotted 84% TOTAL TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS AND TREASURY: Location Received Accepted Received $ 20,575,000 Boston 3,808,040,000 New York 22,140,000 Philadelphia 38,370,000 Cleveland 22,535,000 Richmond 26,700,000 Atlanta 252,910,000 Chicago 44,685,000 St. Louis 20,980,000 Minneapolis 55,135,000 Kansas City 19,490,000 Dallas 298,890,000 San Francisco $ 16,575,000 2,053,615,000 18,490,000 37,770,000 22,535,000 26,670,000 61,410,000 21,180,000 12,980,000 47,690,000 19,490,000 65,100,000 Treasury TOTALS $2,403,505,000 a/ $6,377,495,000 $4,630,450,000 $ 41,030,000 5,194,915,000 7,420,000 162,160,000 20,165,000 14,545,000 394,390,000 49,210,000 21,240,000 18,430,000 14,980,000 439,010,000 /Includes $357,680,000 noncompetitive tenders from the public. Includes $150,215,000 noncompetitive tenders from the public. 'Equivalent coupon-issue yield. VS-1253 Accepted $ 7,030,000 3,239,815,000 5,665,000 12,160,000 7,505,000 13,545,000 43,230,000 21,000,000 13,240,000 18,180,000 11,980,000 107,750,000 $3,501,100,000 b/ FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE January 10, 1977 TREASURY DEPARTMENT-FEDERAL RESERVE PRESS STATEMENT The Treasury Department and Federal Reserve today announced that the United States will participate in the arrangements agreed in principle at Basle for a medium-term facility in the amount of $3 billion relating to official sterling balances. The U.S. participation in this standby facility will be in the amount of $1 billion. It will be provided through the Federal Reserve System and the U.S. Treasury Exchange Stabilization Fund. The purpose of these arrangements is to reinforce the international monetary system by helping the United Kingdom achieve an orderly reduction in the reserve currency role of sterling and in this connection to facilitate the funding of a portion of Britian's external liabilities. The Bank for International Settlements will cooperate in the arrangements and the Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund is being asked to assist in their implementation. These sterling balance arrangements will reinforce the economic program undertaken by the United Kingdom in connection with the $3.9 billion standby agreed with the International Monetary Fund on January 3, 1977. A copy of the press announcement made by the central bank group in Basle is attached. oOo Attachment WS-1254 BIS Press Communique Discussions have recently been taking place between the United Kingdom and the other Group of Ten countries and Switzerland on the subject of sterling balances. These discussions follow the successful conclusion of the United Kingdom1s application to the International Monetary Fund and were prompted by a shared determination to make a joint contribution to greater international monetary stability. Fluctuations in the official sterling balances have at times in the past been disruptive to the United Kingdom's economic policies and to the international monetary system. The aim in the discussions has therefore been to prevent such instability in the future. In these circumstances, there was general welcome to the United Kingdom's declared policy to achieve an orderly reduction in the reserve currency role of sterling. To support these aims, agreement in principle has been reached by governors of the central banks concerned, on a medium-term financing facility in the amount of $3 billion related to the official sterling balances, which at end-September were valued at $3.8 billion. This stand-by facility will be provided to the Bank of England by the BIS, backed up by the participating countries. The Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund is being requested to assist in the implementation of the agreement. The participating countries are Belgium, Canada, Germany, Japan, the Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland and the United States of America. Other countries may wish to participate later. As part of the operation the United Kingdom intends to offer securities in the form of foreign currency bonds1-10-77 to present official sterling holders. z& Department of theTREASURY WASHINGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 /789 FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. January 11, 1977 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $5,900 million, or thereabouts, to be issued January 20, 1977, as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) in the amount of $2,400 million, or thereabouts, representing an additional amount of bills dated October 21, 1976, and to mature April 21, 1977 (CUSIP No. 912793 F7 6), originally issued in the amount of $3,402 million (an additional $2,006 million was issued on December 10, 1976), the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills, for $3,500 million, or thereabouts, to be dated January 20, 1977, and to mature July 21,'1977 (CUSIP No. 912793 J2 3 ) . The bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing January 20, 1977, outstanding in the amount of $5,904 million, of which Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks, for themselves and as agents of foreign and international monetary authorities, presently hold $2,613 million. These accounts may exchange bills they hold for the bills now being offered at the average prices of accepted tenders. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form in denominations of $10,000, $15,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value), and in book-entry form to designated bidders. Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and from individuals at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C 20226, up to 1:30 p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, January 17, 1977. Each tender must be for a minimum of $10,000. Tenders over $10,000 must be in multiples of $5,000. In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e.g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government WS-1255 \^ r\/ (OVER) -2^c-ricies and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their pos_tir.n' v:i:h reject to Government securities and borrowings thereon may submit tenders i.'.>'- accoar.t, of customers provided the naiaes of the customers are set forth Ln r..«-c!'. tenders. Others will not he permitted to submit tenders except for their cr~-.i account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated b-_nks a«"... trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment t~ev.urit.ie_-,. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting competitive tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject LLr these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500,000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch or at the Bureau of the Public Debt on January 20, 1977, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amounr of Treasury bills maturing January 20, 1977; provided, however, that se ment for tenders submitted to the Bureau of the Public Debt must be completed on January 21, 1977, and must include one day's accrued interest if settlement is made other than Treasury bills maturing January 20, 1977. Cash and exchange tenderswil receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Under Sections 454(b) and 1221(5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is considered to accrui when the bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and the bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder must include in his Federal income tax return, as ordinary gain or loss, the difference between the price paid for the bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made. Department of the Treasury Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this noti£ prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issu< Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, ol from the Bureau of the Public Debt. oOo January 11, 1977 MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESS: John M. Porges has resigned as U.S. Executive Director of the Inter-American Development Bank and as Special Assistant to the Secretary of the Treasury, effective January 13, 1977. He has held the posts since June 1973. Mr. Porges will join the Cavendes Investment Banking Group in Caracas, Venezula, with responsibilities for their international operations. oOo WS-1256 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE WILLIAM E. SIMON SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AT THE U.S. INDUSTRIAL PAYROLL SAVINGS COMMITTEE MEETING DIPLOMATIC FUNCTIONS SUITE, STATE DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON, D. C , JANUARY 12, 1977 Thank you for your report, George. You and your committee should be very proud of the results. We at Treasury wish to express our sincere thanks for your dedicated service. And now, to acknowledge the efforts you have made on our behalf, it is my pleasure and privilege to present a number of awards. First, to the outgoing 1976 committee. If all the 1976 members will please stand. In grateful appreciation of the excellent service you have given to the payroll savings program and to the nation, we would like to present each of you with the Department of Treasury's silver medal of merit. I would also like to read one of the letters that accompanies this award. Each letter differs, of course, depending upon your assignment. This letter is to Bill Miller and I would like to ask him to step forward at this time. "Dear Bill: "I am deeply you and payroll savings impressed with the contributions the other members of the U.S. Industrial Savings Committee made to the success of the bonds campaign during our bicentennial. "The enrollment of payroll savers exceeded the challenging goal of 2,500,000. The sale of small denomination E - Bonds was $4,900,000,000, the greatest amount since 1945." "You played a significant role in these remarkable achievements as the chairman for the Electrical Equipment Industry. Your efforts benefited the nation and the individual citizen. It is with special pleasure that I present to you the attached medal of merit." WS-1257 -2The letter carries my signature as Secretary of the Treasury. I would now like the savings bonds people to present the various chairmen with their individual silver medals of merit. The second group of awards I have goes to the distinguished past chairmen of this committee — all of whom, as you know, continue to serve. If Bill Gwinn will please come forward, I would like to read the inscription on this liberty bell trophy. WILLIAM P. GWINN PRESENTED BY TREASURY SECRETARY WILLIAM E. SIMON FOR PATRIOTIC SERVICE JANUARY 12, 1977 Our other former chairmen present today — all of whom will receive their liberty bell trophy by mail — are Gabriel Hauge for 1975, John deButts for 1974, and Don MacNaughton for 1972. My thanks to all of you. Finally, I have two awards for our distinguished outgoing chairman, George Stinson. As you have heard, the committee did a magnificent job under his leadership. They exceeded the highest goal ever accepted by a committee — 2,500,000 new and increased savers. This goal was an increase of 100,000 over last year. George's energy, direction and dedication made this accomplishment possible, and in turn, made possible the total of more than 7-1/2 billion dollars in Series E and H sales for 1976 — the best since 1945 and over 500 million more than 1975. It has been a great personal pleasure for me to work with George. His stature in the Business community is one that can be matched by very few. George, if you will come up here, I would like to present you with this framed parchment citation. It reads: "George A. Stinson, Chairman, U.S. Industrial Payroll Savings Committee. For exceptional achievement in the 1976 payroll savings campaign, 'take stock in America — 200 years at the same location.' "Under his leadership, and inspired by his example, American industry during our bicentennial year exceeded its challenging goal of enrolling 2,500,000 savers and raised the sale of Series E bonds through the payroll savings plan to a new record. This contribution to the security oftribute both individuals and the nation is an impressive to his efforts. -3"His generous service is in the finest tradition of the volunteer spirit that characterizes the savings bonds program. "Given under my hand and seal, this twelfth day of January, Nineteen hundred and seventy-seven." I also have for you this beautiful gold medal of merit. The inscription on the case reads — MEDAL OF MERIT AWARDED GEORGE A. STINSON FOR DISTINGUISHED LEADERSHIP AS 1976 CHAIRMAN U.S. INDUSTRIAL PAYROLL SAVINGS COMMITTEE BY WILLIAM E. SIMON SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY JANUARY 12, 1977 Although I have no formal awards for them, I would like at this time to express my deepest thanks and appreciation to Mrs. Francine I. Neff, National Director of the Savings Bonds Division, Mr. Jesse Adams, Deputy Director, Chuck Goodall, Executive Secretary of the Committee, and the entire Savings Bonds division staff, for the splendid support they have given this committee. I am sure you will agree that without their help and guidance, the year's results would not have been possible. And now I would like to take just a few minutes to talk about the state of our economy, the place of savings bonds in it, and your role in the world of savings bonds. While recovery from the recession is far from complete, the U.S. economy is back on a path of economic expansion and is making good progress. Since the current expansion began in early 1975 the "real" output of goods and services has increased at an annual rate of 6.4 percent — well above this nation's underlying growth potential of about 3-1/2 percent each year. Personal consumption, business spending, housing construction and government spending have all risen — again in "real" terms with price changes removed — during this expansion and the overwhelming consensus view both inside and outside of government is that economic growth at aboveaverage rates will continue into 1977. -4Nevertheless, we are justifiably concerned about the slowdown of activity in recent months which has been sharper and more prolonged than expected. There are specific reasons for this slowdown — or "pause" as it sometimes is called — including the unusual number of workers out on strike throughout the third quarter and the sluggishness of business spending for plant, equipment and added inventories. But I believe that the underlying cause is not to be found in any list of temporary distortions. Instead, the real issue involves the weakened confidence of the American people in their economic future. By concentrating on the details of the latest economic statistic, we have missed the broader message for economic policy: a basic need for sustained economic growth in which government fiscal and monetary policies are consistent with the pace of private sector activity. The disappointing economic distortions of the last decade will continue unless three policy adjustments are made: — First, the diversity of economic problems must be better recognized to avoid concentrating on single issues. Inflation, unemployment, sustained output, the availability of productive resources, financial markets and the impact of regulation must all be considered simultaneously to create balanced growth. — Second, when new policies are initiated they should solve more problems than they create. During a period of difficulty it is expedient to "do something" quickly to demonstrate political leadership. This naive activist approach often causes even more problems after the temporary benefits disappear. The conventional wisdom that a few billion dollars of additional government spending somehow makes the difference between the success or failure of the entire U.S. economy — which is rapidly approaching an annual level of output at two-trillion dollars — is an unfortunate economic myth. This approach to government spending resulted in the Federal budget outlays rising from $135 billion in fiscal year 1966 to $268 billion in FY 1974 and then jumping to a level of at least $413 billion in the current fiscal year 1977. It should come as no surprise to anyone that we have reported a Federal budget deficit in 16 of the last 17 years — and 39 of the last 47 — climaxed by a combined shortfall of Federal deficits and "net" borrowings for over 100 federal credit programs not even included in the budget of almost one-half of a trillion dollars in the last 10 fiscal years (includes FY 1977). This dismal record and businessmen. the "confidence-inspiring" resulting impact onexperience monetary policies for American is hardly consumers a and -5— Third, there is a fundamental need to adopt economic policy goals for longer time horizons that stretch beyond the next scheduled elections. The fine-tuning approach keyed to political needs has led to many of the distortions experienced over the years. Such general recommendations may not attract much immediate attention as most analysts concentrate on the details of the preliminary monthly economic statistics which are released each day. Nor is it easy to force the consideration of specific spending and tax decisions into a broader framework of long-term economic stability goals. But unless we rapidly change our approach to deterrinining and coordinating national economic policies, I anticipate that we will continue to experience the disappointing combination of inflation and unemployment, along with the volatile shifts in the output of goods and services, that has plagued the U.S. economy for more than a decade. If this happens the improvement in confidence that is so badly needed will not occur. ^ Now, where do savings bonds fit into all of this? Well, the bond program has always had two goals — two roles since it began over 35 years ago. On the one hand, U.S. savings bonds give millions of individual Americans greater financial security through providing a method for saving that is totally safe and very convenient. On the other hand, the program helps America itself, by providing the government with a dependable, long-term foundation for its national debt structure. The numbers are significant. As of December 31, 1976, outstanding public debt of the Treasury, including matured and non-interest bearing debt, stood at over $653.5 billion. Some $241 billion of the total debt was held by the Federal Reserve Banks and the government trust accounts, such as social security and unemployment trust funds. The problem area for us was the $413 billion of debt in private hands. Of this, around $312 billion was m the form of marketable securities, such as Treasury bills and notes. An additional $29 billion was in non-marketable securities other than savings bonds, leaving $72 billion in series E and H bonds and remaining freedom shares, AS -6quick calculation will show, slightly less than one fifth of the privately-held portion of the public debt was in savings bonds — a sizable amount. Although savings bonds holdings have increased by over $4 billion in the past year, their share of the privately-held public debt has declined because of large increases in the debt. That the ratio of savings bonds holdings to the privately-held public debt has not fallen even further is largely due to your efforts. But more important than percentages, savings bonds holdings broaden and stabilize the government's debt base. Millions of people buy these bonds, and they hold them twice as long as marketable securities. Specifically, privatelyheld marketables are held an average of 2.9 years while * savings bonds are held an average of 6 years. The life of privately-held marketables has declined in recent years and this causes considerable concern to economists. Because we must then go into the market to refund more often and each refunding raises serious issues of pricing and marketing strategies. Even eliminating the shortest term securities, Treasury bills, about $1 out of every $6 of marketable debt must be refunded and replaced within a year. Savings bonds, however, based on past performance require only about $1 out of every $9 refunded within a year — and that's a significant difference. These bonds, then, are critical to good debt management, but their other role is even more important. This is to provide individual Americans with financial security through a safe, convenient way to save. Consider that the cornerstone of any personal financial program is a block of highly liquid securities convertible to a known amount of cash at almost any time. This is savings bonds. Safety is a key feature. In addition, payroll savings is the most realistic way ever devised to save money. The financial writer, Sylvia Porter, has written that, some years ago, she and her husband started to save money by buying a monthly savings bond. But they decided the then-interest rate was too low so they stopped and told themselves they would put the same amount into another account. Three or four months went by and, said Mrs. Porter, they discovered they hadn't put one penny into their account without the incentive of an automatic bond-buying plan. Payroll savings turns a good impulse into a regular habit — and six percent of a good habit is better than any percent of a qood idea that never takes off. -7The interest rate for bonds is well placed in the spectrum of available savings instruments, and there are some very attractive tax benefits. Beyond this, savings bonds is a personal thrift program that works in an era which desperately needs to remember, and practice, the values of thrift and individual responsibility. I think people know this. They respond to efforts to help them help themselves. Our 1976 bicentennial year bond sales of $7.5 billion were the highest since 1945 and were 53 percent over a decade ago. ,ZJ Thrift is an American tradition. And so is volunteerism. You are all special volunteers and I'm pleased that 99 percent of all people who help Treasury to sell bonds are volunteers. You, and they, make it possible to do the job with only a small handful of government employees. Because of your help we do not need to add another layer of government bureaucracy. If I might add just a word about another volunteer group: The Advertising Council, through its professional help and donated space, provides us with the equivalent of J$75 million worth of advertising a year. They've helped us ^for many years — and you will find their contributions of \immense benefit in your own work for savings bonds. Another aspect of your volunteer service is that, unlike many federal programs, you and savings bonds build on the strength of our citizens. You, and savings bonds, speak to the good and the strong in people — to their care for their families and their love of country instead of to their fears or faults or failures. Through you millions of citizens achieve a better and a fuller life and isn't that the real purpose — the bottom line — of what we all want in this country? I think so — and that's what makes us the great nation that we are. And now, if I may add a personal note: My time as Treasury Secretary has been stimulating and exciting, and I don't regret one day of it. But, looking backward and forward, I know that one of my* lasting satisfactions will be my association with the savings bonds program. It is a good program — a people program — one that unabashedly advocates personal responsibility for a man and woman's own financial security. And it is a program built around volunteers. -8I know that we ask a lot of our volunteers. We ask for that precious commodity — your own time. We ask you to become personally concerned and involved in selling an idea — personal thrift — and a practical method whereby the idea can be carried out. We can do this only because we feel the idea and the product is so great. I believe that, when your time for serving with this program is over — and the results are in — you will feel, as I do, a sense of great personal satisfaction. Each one of you, as a member of the U.S. Industrial Payroll Savings Committee, is a vital force in this program. It is important to the government's debt management. It is important in providing security to individual Americans. Your continuing efforts mean a great deal to all of us. On behalf of the government — and its citizens — thank you and good luck. 0O0 FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. January 12, 1977 TREASURY TO AUCTION $2,500 MILLION OF 2-YEAR NOTES The Department of the Treasury will auction $2,500 million of 2-year notes to raise new cash. Additional amounts of the notes may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks as agents of foreign and international monetary authorities at the average price of accepted tenders. Details about the new security are given in the attached highlights of the offering and in the official offering circular. Attachment WS-1258 HIGHLIGHTS OF TREASURY OFFERING TO THE PUBLIC OF 2-YEAR NOTES TO BE ISSUED FEBRUARY 3, 1977 January 12. 1977 Amx^iarijt Offered: To the public $2,500 million Description of Security: Term and type of security 2-year notes Series and CUSIP designation Series L-1979 (CUSIP No. 912827 GJ 5) Maturity date January 31, 1979 Call date No provision Interest coupon rate To be determined based on the average of accepted bids Investment yield To be determined at auction Premium or discount To be determined after auction Interest payment dates July 31 and January 31 Minimum denomination available $5,000 Terms of Sale: Method of sale Yield Auction Accrued interest payable by investor None Preferred allotment Noncompetitive bid for $1,000,000 or less Deposit requirement 5% of face amount Deposit guarantee by designated institutions Acceptable Key Dates: Deadline for receipt of tenders Wednesday, January 19, 1977, by 1:30 p.m., EST Settlement date (final payment due) a) cash or Federal funds b) check drawn on bank within FRB district where submitted c) check drawn on bank outside FRB district where submitted Delivery date for coupon securities Thursday, February 3, 1977 Monday, January 31, 1977 Friday, January 28, 1977 Thursday, February 3, 1977 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Contact: James C. Davenport Extension: 29 51 January 13, 19 77 TREASURY DEPARTMENT ANNOUNCES PRELIMINARY COUNTERVAILING DUTY DETERMINATION ON ITALIAN TOMATO PRODUCTS Under Secretary of the Treasury Jerry Thomas announced today the preliminary determination that imports of canned tomatoes and canned tomato concentrates do not benefit from the payment or bestowal of a bounty or grant within the meaning of the U.S. Countervailing Duty Law (19 U.S.C. 1303). Notice of this determination will appear in the Federal Register of January 14, 19 77. The Countervailing Duty Law requires the Treasury to assess an additional (countervailing) duty that is equal to the amount of a bounty or grant (subsidy) when one has been found to be paid or bestowed. The program that is the subject of this investigation was basically designed by the Italian government as an emergency measure during 19 75 for the purpose of dealing with adverse economic conditions in the industry during that year. Although payments were made under the program, they were small in relation to both total production and exports. More important, all payments have been suspended by the Italian government and are not expected to be made in the future. Accordingly, a preliminary negative determination was reached. Interested parties will have 30 days from the date of publication in the Federal Register in which to present written views regarding this action. A final determination must be issued by no later than July 2, 19 77. Imports of canned tomatoes and canned tomato concentrates from Italy during 19 75 were valued at approximately $7.3 million. * * * WS-1259 __/^ Apartment of ^TREASURY WASHINGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 566-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE January 19, 1977 RESULTS OF AUCTION OF 2-YEAR TREASURY NOTES The Treasury has accepted $2,504 million of $5,523 million of tenders received from the public for the 2-year notes, Series L-1979, auc t ioned today. The range of accepted competitive bids was as follows: Lowest yield 5.94% Highest yield Average yield 5.99% 5.97% The interest rate on the notes will be 5-7/8% the above yields result in the following prices: Low-yield price 99.880 High-yield price Average-yield price At the 5-7/8% rate, 99.787 99.824 The $2,504 million of accepted tenders includes $371 million of noncompetitive tenders and $2,133 million of competitive tenders (including 80% of the amount of notes bid for at the high yield) from private investors. In addition, $335 million of tenders were accepted at the average price from Federal Reserve Banks as agents for foreign and international monetary authorities for new cash. WS-1260 FOR RELEASE UPON DELIVERY STATEMENT BY THE HONORABLE GERALD L. PARSKY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE COMMISSION ON SECURITY AND COOPERATION IN EUROPE FRIDAY, JANUARY 14, 1977, AT 10:00 A.M. Mr. Chairman and Members of the Commission: It is a pleasure to appear before this Commission to discuss implementation of Basket II of the Final Act of the Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe (CSCE). As Executive Secretary of the East-West Foreign Trade Board and Chairman of its Working Group, I welcome these hearings as an opportunity to clarify the meaning and relevance of Basket II of the Final Act, and the possibilities for East-West economic cooperation which it offers. I hope that our discussions today can provide guidance to the new Administration and the new Congress to implement further the Final Act, and in so doing facilitate future East-West economic cooperation. I commend the Commission for its hard work in monitoring implementation of the Helsinki Agreement, and for its efforts to encourage private and governmental WS-1261 - 2projects and programs which will take advantage of provisions of the Act to expand East-West economic cooperation and human contact. I also applaud the initiative demonstrated by the Commission in its inquiries and studies in this area, which has been only slightly understood. In signing the CSCE Final Act, the United States, Canada and 33 European States, including the Soviet Union and the countries of Eastern Europe, undertook a significant moral and political obligation to carry out its provisions. It is a broad document touching on a wide range of issues grouped together in three Baskets. Basket I contains a Declaration on a ten-point listing of the principles agreed upon by the signatories to guide relations between them; Basket II contains provisions on cooperation in the fields of trade, industrial cooperation, science and technology, environment and other areas of economic activity; and Basket III includes provisions on humanitarian principles involving the freer movement of people, ideas, and information. In my remarks today I will focus on the progress and prospects for resolving economic issues which hinder the successful implementation of the Basket II provisions. - 3Basket II, like the rest of the Final Act, contains no legally binding commitments by its signatories to adopt specific policies or programs which would facilitate East-West economic cooperation. But it does provide a framework in which patterns of cooperation in this area may emerge. In Basket II, the Eastern and Western signatories expressed their intention to work together to develop their cooperation in the economic, scientific and technical spheres of activity. Basket II should be viewed as a basic economic charter leading toward specific steps by governments and nongovernmental institutions on a unilateral, bilateral and multilateral basis. U.S. Interests in Improved Economic Cooperation with the East Basket II of the Final Act complements U.S. interests in expanding East-West economic cooperation. The central theme running throughout this Basket is that economic contacts are a natural outgrowth of improved political relations -- and contribute, in turn, to the stability of these relations. In signing the Agreement the Participating States endorsed the conviction that "their efforts to develop cooperation in the fields of trade, industry, science and technology, the environment and other areas - 4 of economic activity contribute to the reinforcement of peace and security in the world as a whole." This i s precisely the concept that has underscored U.S. effort s to develop economic cooperation with the East in these fields over the past few years. During the Cold War period, U.S. participation in trade with the Communist countries was virtually nonexistent. No cooperative efforts were undertaken either in the economic and commercial fields or in science and technology. It was difficult to speak of bilateral relationships with these countries in any meaningful way. As a result there was no inducement toward cooperation and little incentive for restraint. The Cold War policy of sharply restricted trade and broad embargoes against the Communist countries came to be seen as ineffective in either altering the nature of their systems or materially improving their policies toward the Western world. It was also increasingly recognized that this policy was counterproductive to U.S. economic interests for several reasons: -- East-West trade continued to expand more rapidly than world trade despite the lack of significant U.S. participation; - 5-- Western Europe and Japan were vigorously gaining access to Eastern markets with government backed credits which the U.S. continued to withhold; and -- The U.S. was suffering serious balance-of-payments difficulties, and increased trade with the East could generate healthy surpluses. At the same time, the Soviet Union and the countries of Eastern Europe came to realize that they could not provide for increasing consumer demand or meet the technological requirements of the more sophisticated economies they were seeking solely from their own economic resources. As a result they moved toward greater economic contact with the West. Faced with these developments, the U.S. Government has, in recent years, sought to implement a policy of detente, in which the attempt to normalize U.S. economic relations with the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe has been an important element. Stronger economic bonds between the U.S. and the Communist countries have been a critical element of this policy. Economic and political relationships are inevitably intertwined, and improving economic relations can only develop in the context of a stable political environment. But closer economic ties can also help - 6 create an environment for progress on political issues. It has therefore been in our economic interest to work to intensify our economic relationships with the Communist world. At the outset of this new approach, we achieved some notable accomplishments. In the Moscow Summit in May 19 72 former President Nixon and Secretary Brezhnev signed the Basic Principles concerning the development of U.S.-Soviet political and economic relations. Among these principles the two leaders agreed that economic and commercial ties were an "important and necessary element in the strengthening of U.S.-Soviet relations." Following this meeting, the United States began negotiating a series of agreements designed to improve our economic relations with the Soviet Union. Their purpose was to advance U.S. economic interests and to encourage parallel improvement in our overall relations with that country. In July of the same year an agreement providing for the extension of $750 million in CCC credits to the Soviet Union over a three-year period was concluded. - 7 In October the Maritime Agreement was reached opening 40 ports in each country to the flagships of the other and providing that U.S. and Soviet ships should share equally and substantially in the carriage of cargoes between the two countries. Also in October, the Trade Agreement was concluded providing for reciprocal extension of most-favored-nation (MFN) tariff treatment, along with the Lend Lease Settlement, providing for Soviet payments of $48 million by July 1975 and of $674 million following U.S. extension of MFN tariff treatment. At the same time the President issued a national interest determination authorizing the extension of Eximbank facilities to the U.S.S.R. In Eastern Europe, the Administration acted to improve trade and economic relations with Romania and Poland. Eximbank facilities were restored to Romania in November 1971 and to Poland a year later. Following passage of the Equal Export Opportunity « Act in 1972, U.S. strategic export controls were reduced to bring the list of controlled items into closer conformity with the list of items controlled by our COCOM allies. - 8 These developments were generally successful in advancing U.S. economic interests in East-West trade. The flow of goods and an exchange of people between our country and the East increased at an extraordinary rate. Our commercial presence expanded in Moscow, Warsaw and Bucharest as U.S. firms established permanent representations there. The U.S. trade surplus with these countries grew significantly, totalling more than $2.5 billion with the U.S.S.R. alone during the 1971-76 period, and $3 billion with Eastern Europe. U.S. Impediments to Greater East-West Economic Cooperation Following adoption of the Trade Act in January 19 75, including those provisions which adversely affect our trade with the U.S.S.R. and most of Eastern Europe, further improvement in our commercial and economic ties became harder to achieve. The U.S.-Soviet Trade Agreement was not entered into force, and the Lend Lease payments were suspended. The momentum slowed, costing our economy •exports and jobs in our export industries. These provisions of the Trade Act hinder the development of United States economic activity with the East by blocking the financing of American exports by - 9 agencies of the United States Government, and by preventing most-favored-nation treatment of imports from most of the nonmarket economy countries. President Ford and other members of this Administration made clear our opposition to the discriminatory provisions at the time the trade legislation was under consideration in the Congress. After the legislation was passed, President Ford publicly and emphatically stated his belief that remedial legislation was urgently needed. Section 402 and related provisions of the Trade Act, and the 1974 Eximbank Act Amendments, have adversely affected the expansion of U.S. economic cooperation with the East, and have served neither the political nor the humanitarian interests of the United States. A solution to the legislative problem would materially enhance our business community's efforts to expand economic relations with the East. We have had many indications that the lack of official credits from the U.S. has caused the U.S.S.R. and some of the Eastern European countries to direct their purchases elsewhere. Lost U.S. exports has meant lost jobs in our export industries, a negative impact on our balance-of-trade and on our competitive position in world markets. - 10 The inability to extend MFN treatment to imports from Eastern countries has also held back important forms of economic cooperation, such as major joint projects between our firms and the U.S.S.R. and countries of Eastern Europe. This is because these projects often involve the eventual export of products to the U.S. that are now affected by U.S. non-MFN tariffs. Such projects, especially with the Soviet Union, could eventually supply the United States with products in limited supply in our own market, such as energy sources and products from energy consuming projects. Losing these major joint projects is, therefore, a net loss to the U.S. On November 30, Secretary Simon and I visited Moscow to attend the third annual session of the U.S.-U.S.S.R. Trade and Economic Council with Foreign Trade Minister Patolichev. We experienced again, at first hand, the American business community's strong belief that existing U.S. law has strongly impaired the development of our economic and commercial contacts with the Soviet Union. Based on our discussions, we continue to believe that intensified economic relationships build a community of interest which can create an environment for progress on political issues. - 11 As the Soviet and American leadership have developed the spirit of detente it has moved forward on a diverse set of fronts -- political relationships, military concerns, scientific developments, trade and economic cooperation and many others. parts is related. Each of these We should strive to move them forward in a manner that is self-reinforcing. Detente must not be seen as a short-term tactic but rather as a sustained and growing commitment on both sides. While recognizing the differences between our political and social systems, we must work at a broader definition of detente, one which promotes increased understanding and concern for the complex of issues -security, humanitarian and economic -- that form the interface of our relationship. Within this relationship our economic interests have become a critical element, a significant shift from the early 1960fs when they were barely perceived in and of themselves, at all. If we are to build a stronger foundation for economic cooperation with the countries of the East that will foster mutual benefits, the new Administration must work with the new Congress in the months ahead to pass remedial legislation that will remove existing impediments. - 12 I believe that such a legislative effort should be of the highest priority. It is also important to under- stand, however, that progress on the humanitarian issues is of deep concern to the American people, and that the way in which this concern is satisfied will affect the success of any legislative proposal. The Basket II text on trade stresses efforts by states to promote trade and to remove obstacles to trade development. While this section provides no firm standard of conduct because the provisions are couched in general language, the Agreement nevertheless states that signatories "will endeavor to reduce or progressively eliminate all kinds of obstacles to the development of trade." It is my belief that remedying the problem of the discriminatory provisions in existing law will further the economic and political interests of the United States, and such action would also be consistent with the Helsinki Final Act. In addition we must encourage another change in U.S. law that would remove an unnecessary barrier to the expansion of U.S. commercial relations with the nonmarket economies of the East. The Johnson Debt Default Act of 1934 provides - 13 criminal penalties for any individual who, within the U.S., purchases or sells bonds or any other financial obligations of any foreign government which is in default in the payment of its obligations to the United States. The Act has not served its initial purpose, which was to protect American investors against the purchase of obligations of countries likely to default. Instead, it has had the effect of deterring creative methods of financing East-West economic activity by the private market. The repeal of the Act would, in my opinion, facilitate the expansion of this trade on commercial terms. With regard to our antidumping and countervailing duty legislation, some of our nonmarket trading partners have expressed their concern that these may unfairly hinder their ability to export to the United States. In fact, the application of the antidumping and countervailing duty statutes to exports from nonmarket economy countries may provide too much protection. These remedies are based on market-economy concepts, and their application to goods produced in state-controlled economies requires somewhat arbitrary and artificial - 14 comparisons of prices and costs. While I have no specific recommendations at this time, consideration should be given to substituting market-disruption remedies for antidumping or countervailing duties. Eastern Impediments to Greater East-West Economic Cooperation While the United States must strive to remove obstacles to implementation of the goals of Basket II of the Final Act, the nonmarket economy countries must undertake parallel efforts. For instance, the Soviets and East Europeans can do much to facilitate East-West economic cooperation by improving the physical facilities available to Western businessmen in these countries. A basic limiting factor in improving business facilities in these countries is the shortage of adequate physical resources -- office space, telephones, telex service, good secretarial help, and living quarters. Often there is not enough office space for all who desire it. Several countries, including the Soviet Union, are taking steps to provide better facilities, through construction of modern hotels and office buildings dedicated to the service of foreign businessmen. But much remains to be done. - 15 There are presently over ten U.S. firms awaiting accreditation by Soviet authorities to establish permanent offices in Moscow, in addition to the 24 U.S. firms already established there. The Soviets have stated that, with regard to accredited offices, U.S. firms will receive treatment no less favorable than that accorded to companies of other countries. We are hopeful that accreditations will be forthcoming as the shortage of office and housing space improves. Another area in which significant improvement is possible concerns the issuance of visas for American businessmen to enter and leave the Communist countries. The lack of multiple entry and exit visas for U.S. businessmen permanently stationed in the U.S.S.R. and other countries causes considerable hardship and psychological stress when they have to enter or exit quickly because of a personal emergency or commercial necessity. The Soviets have never accepted our long- standing proposal that all resident U.S.-citizen employees of accredited American companies receive multiple entry and exit visas in exchange for the issuance of multiple entry visas to all permanent Soviet - 16 personnel of Amtorg, the Kama Purchasing Commission, Intourist, and the Trade and Economic Council. visa requirements.) (The U.S. has no exit We have also stressed the need for such visas for third-country nationals assigned as heads of accredited offices. The Soviets have gone part way to meet our proposals, by granting multiple entry and exit visas to the two top-ranking U.S. representatives of U.S. commercial establishments, and the three ranking U.S. representatives on the Trade and Economic Council, but they have refused to issue such visas to third-country nationals representing U.S. firms in the U.S.S.R. This has caused considerable concern among some U.S. companies who wish to assign third-country nationals as their Moscow representatives. The Soviets and East Europeans could also do much to further the goals of the Final Act by making available up-to-date economic and trade information on a regular basis. The Final Act provides that the Participating States will promote the publication and dissemination of economic and commercial information at regular intervals and as quickly as possible, particularly statistics concerning production, national income, budget, consumption - 17 and productivity, foreign trade statistics, laws and regulations concerning foreign trade, and information allowing forecasts of the development of the economy. The provision of economic and commercial information, particularly of a nature that would be useful to Western business firms and banks, has not, with a few exceptions, improved greatly in the period since the Final Act was signed. With respect to the Soviet Union, there have been no major changes since Helsinki in the quantity, quality, and timeliness of statistics and other economic and commercial information published within the Soviet Union. There have, however, been some small improvements. For example the publication of quarterly trade statistics by country and the provision to the United States bilaterally, under the U.S.-U.S.S.R. Agricultural Agreement, of better, agricultural data. The U.S.-U.S.S.R. Commercial Commission's Working Group of Experts, established under the Long-term Agreement between the United States and the U.S.S.R. to facilitate economic, industrial and technical cooperation, has also served as a productive mechanism for obtaining better statistics and other economic and commercial information - 18 from the U.S.S.R. This body is charged with exchanging information and forecasts of basic economic, industrial and commercial trends to facilitate economic cooperation between the U.S. and the U.S.S.R. We have made progress in obtaining more information through the Working Group's information exchange program and in special seminars on Market Research and on the organizational and legal aspects of U.S. and Soviet foreign trade. Provision of statistics concerning production, national income, budget, consumption, and productivity from most of the nonmarket economy countries continues to be largely unsatisfactory, however, and no significant change has been evident in the manner of reporting these statistics since Helsinki. Balance-of- payments statistics are especially meager. Little data on debt, debt service, or reserves are published. Although the traditional Eastern European and Soviet secrecy with regard to basic economic data is slowly eroding, in many Communist countries, market research information is simply not available of the kind Western businessmen are used to having. Such information is not gathered, much less published. In solving this problem, the provisions of Basket II amount to a nudge in the right direction, with a long way to go. - 19 Another major area for improvement in East-West economic cooperation is with respect to joint ventures and other forms of industrial cooperation. The Final Act aims at cooperation in such fields as manufacturing, exploitation of energy resources, and improvement of transport. The Participating States propose to encourage this by means of intergovernmental agreements, both bilateral and multilateral, and through contracts between enterprises and trade organizations. These would include joint production and sale, exchange of knowhow patents, and licenses, and joint research, as well as cooperation on standardization and arbitration. Considerable progress had already been made in these areas before Helsinki, and forward movement has continued since then, including the recent conclusion by the United States of a long-term agreement with Romania on economic, industrial and technical cooperation. However, major impediments remain which the Soviets and East Europeans could help resolve. - 20 American businessmen report that Soviet procedures make it difficult, slow, and costly to do business with them, requiring much patience and skill. One of the most frequently heard comments is that Soviet requests for proposals are not specific enough; in effect they ask the vendors to tell them what they need. This forces the companies to do an excessive amount of design work before preparing their tenders. American companies spend millions of dollars repeatedly preparing bids, and most complain that the whole concept and scope of work of the projects keep changing, wasting time and money. U.S. executives have also pointed out that the unwillingness of the U.S.S.R. to allow foreign managers a role in projects after completion is hurting the prospects for joint business efforts. Thus, U.S. hotel firms will not allow their name on a hotel unless they have a management role. U.S. firms also wish to have a role in quality control of a manufactured product if their name is to be associated with it. Some of the East European countries have opened the possibility of equity participation and management responsibility in joint enterprises, notably Romania, Hungary and - 21 Poland. While this development is very encouraging, the exact terms of such participation are often unclear and subject to interpretation. We applaud what has been done, but the clarification of such questions is an area in which more progress can be made. Existing Bodies Which Facilitate Economic Cooperation As you are aware, non-government and governmental bodies are now in existence whose purpose is to help remove many of these obstacles to the expansion of EastWest economic cooperation. I am speaking here of the joint councils, whose membership consists of U.S. businessmen and their counterparts in many of the countries of Eastern Europe and in the Soviet Union, and the government-to-government commercial commissions . U.S.-U.S.S.R. Trade and Economic Council In my contacts with the U.S.-U.S.S.R. Trade and Economic Council, I have been impressed by the important role this private organization has played in strengthening economic ties between the United States and the Soviet Union. The Council's unique contribution in providing continuing access for U.S. businessmen to Soviet foreign trade policy makers at a time when American-Soviet governmental relations in the economic sphere have been - 22 strained by the legislative situation, and also by the repercussions of recent political developments, is important for the further development of U.S.-Soviet economic cooperation. In the three years since its creation in 1973, the Council has worked to bring together businessmen, offering a wide variety of services to facilitate their activities, and organizing expositions, conferences, and seminars. In Moscow the Council has offered office facilities to its hundreds of American members, and has helped them with advice and information on doing business with Soviet organizations. It has explored new forms of international business cooperation and provided a forum for resolution of problems and the discussion of new ideas. The Council has established several committees for the specialized programs it hopes to implement. Its Science and Technology Committee is sponsoring a series of seminars both in the U.S. and U.S.S.R., the most recent one being on coal gasification in Moscow in early October. The Finance Committee plans to inventory non-government sources of export financing and recommend steps to increase the amount of financing available from investment banks, insurance companies, and regional banks. The Ad Hoc Committee - 23 on New Forms of Cooperation is exploring such matters as joint ventures in third countries, marketing training for Soviets in the U.S., establishment of a bonded warehouse in Moscow for storage of spare parts and for servicing of equipment, and Soviet leasing of plants for 15-20 years as a way of maintaining Western management involvement within Soviet legal restrictions. The Tourism Committee is trying to facilitate and increase tourism in both directions and is working out a tourism agreement which it plans to present to the two governments for them to negotiate. The Legal Committee is seeking to identify and publicize differences in the American and Soviet commercial legal systems and to reduce the extent to which these differences hamper the development of trade. All these committees met during the recent Council meeting I attended. U.S.-U.S.S.R. Joint Commercial Commission I have also been directly involved in the activities of the Joint U.S.-U.S.S.R. Commercial Commission, which was established during the Moscow summit of May 1972. The Commission's purpose is to promote the development of mutually beneficial commercial relations between the United States and the Soviet Union. - 24 The accomplishments of the fifth and most recent session of the Commercial Commission, held in Moscow in April 1975, serve as an excellent example of the work being done under its auspices. The session covered the full range of issues important to the expansion of bilateral economic relations. During the two-day session in Moscow, the members of the Commercial Commission heard reports and exchanged views on the status of discussions between Soviet foreign trade organizations and U.S. companies on a number of cooperation projects, including exploration for oil and gas, machinebuilding, and the manufacture of energy-consuming products. The facilitation of visa issuance, including multiple entryexit visas to representatives of organizations, enterprises and firms for business-oriented travel, was also discussed. The Joint Commercial Commission has two Working Groups which met during the Fifth Session. The Working Group on Business Facilitation met to discuss various topics, among them the establishment of joint U.S.-U.S.S.R. stock companies, visas and travel facilitation, marine cargo insurance, and a bilateral air worthiness agreement. - - 25 The Working Group on Major Projects and Financing discussed the status of several bilateral projects including the Occidental Petroleum Chemical Complex and the Kama Truck Plant. The Commission also heard a report on the first meeting of its Experts Working Group, held in February 1975, in Moscow. At that meeting, presentations were made by both sides on the performance and prospects of their respective economies, industries, agriculture, foreign trade, and on the data sources used to measure and analyze their trends and forecasts. In addition, the Working Group agreed to undertake a specific program of information exchange for calendar year 1976, to include joint seminars and periodic data exchanges which helped clarify and facilitate solutions to many practical problems encountered by our businessmen as they undertake economic cooperation with the Soviet Union. » In short, Mr. Chairman, the Trade and Economic Council, the Joint Commercial Commission and Experts Working Group have been important vehicles for promoting greater East-West economic cooperation and have thereby served U.S. policy interests in East-West relations. - 26 Because of their usefulness, I believe that the new Administration should soon propose to the Soviets a new date for meetings of the Experts Group and the Joint Commission. These invitations must be made by our Government because it is our turn to serve as host for the meetings. I am confident that the Soviet Government will welcome such initiatives. Conclusion Mr. Chairman, I have attempted to be as forthright and as frank as possible in providing you the highlights of those activities and efforts undertaken by this Administration, and which should be taken by the new Administration, to expand East-West economic cooperation in keeping with the terms of Basket II of the Final Act. I have also outlined those areas in which we should look for positive movements by the nonmarket economy countries which are signatories to the Helsinki Agreement. It is an opportunity that I personally have welcomed. Basket II of the Final Act provides countries in the East and West with a foundation on which they can build stronger ties through closer economic, scientific and technical cooperation. My experience as Assistant Secretary of the Treasury has convinced me that these ties are vital for the long-lasting peaceful relations we all seek. - 27 As this Commission works in the future for further implementation of the provisions of Basket II of the Helsinki Agreement, I urge you to continue to strive for measures that will remove obstacles to the expansion of East-West trade. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Contact: L.F. Potts Extension 2951 January 14, 1977 SIMULTANEOUS WITHHOLDING OF APPRAISEMENT AND DETERMINATION OF SALES AT LESS THAN FAIR VALUE WITH RESPECT TO CLEAR SHEET GLASS FROM ROMANIA Under Secretary of the Treasury Jerry Thomas announced today a three-month withholding of appraisement and simultaneous determination of sales at less than fair value with respect to clear sheet glass from Romania. Notice of both tnese actions will appear in the Federal Register_ of January 17, 1977. The case has been referred to the U.S. International Trade Commission for a determination as to whether an American industry is being, or is likely to bo, injured. in the event of an affirmative injury determination, dumping duties will be assessed on all entries of the subject merchandise on which such affirmative determination is made and where dumping margins exist. No request for a 6-month withholding of appraisement having been received, known interested pernor- were afforded the opportunity to present oral and written views prior to these determinations. Imports of the subject merchandise from Romania during the period January through September 1?'76 were valued at roughly $3.2 million. * * * WS-1262 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE January 14, 1977 Contact: Jay Scheck 566-5561 CHANGE IN TAX REGULATIONS DEFINING PARTNERSHIPS NO LONGER TO BE CONSIDERED Secretary of the Treasury William E. Simon announced today that the Department of the Treasury is no longer considering a proposed amended regulation classifying organizations, including the defining of partnerships, for purposes of federal taxation. In a statement on the subject, the Secretary said: "On January 6, 1977, in order to permit consideration of certain aspects of the proposed amended regulations classifying organizations for purposes of federal taxation, I directed withdrawal of those proposed regulations. Having now considered the matter further, I have concluded that the amendment should not be reproposed. "The existing regulations on the subject will remain in force, and the Internal Revenue Service will be able to continue its past practice of issuing rulings pursuant to those regulations." oOo WS-1263 Department theTREASURY WASHINGTON, D.C. 2 TELEPHONE 566*20*1 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE J a n u a r y iy> 19?? RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders r;or $2,402 million of 13-week Treasury bills and for $3,510 million of 26-week Treasury bills, both series to be issued on January 20, 1977, ^ereaccepted at the Federal Reserve Banks and Treasury today. The'details are as follows: RANGE OF ACCEPTED * 13-week bills COMPETITIVE BIDS: ^'maturing April 21, 1977 26-week bills maturing July 21, 1977 Discount Investment Price Price High Low Average 98.828 a/ 98.818 98.820 Rate 4.636% 4.676% 4.668% Rate 1/ 4.76% 4.80% 4.79% Discount Rate Investment Rate 1/ 97.545 b/ 4.856% 5.05% 97.537 4.872% 5.06% 97.539 4.868% 5.06% excepting 1 tender of $750,000 Excepting 1 tender of $10,000,000 Tenders at the low price for the 13-week bills were allotted 22%. Tenders at the low price for the 26-week bills were allotted 55% TOTAL TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS AND TREASURY: ..ocation Received toston $ 39,370,000 3,873,840,000 lew York 19,185,000 'hiladelphia 32,305,000 Cleveland Richmond 26,340,000 .tlanta 20,850,000 hicago 260,370,000 t. Louis 48,110,000 13,340,000 inneapolis ansas City 40,595,000 alias 19,335,000 an Francisco 355,555,000 reasury TOTALS 75,000 $4,749,270,000 Accepted $ 19,870,000 2,148,740,000 17,780,000 31,500,000 14,740,000 19,570,000 40,410,000 22,440,000 7,340,000 34,825,000 14,335,000 30,570,000 : Received ; $ 50,215,000 : 6,491,705,000 : 105,190,000 138,275,000 :: 95,835,000 ;: 63,870,000 : : 294,960,000 : 43,025,000 21,385,000 j 16,955,000 : 37,265,000 : 447,520,000 : $ 28,715,000 3,283,360,000 5,190,000 9,275,000 49,085,000 9,260,000 58,260,000 13,130,000 3,385,000 12,955,000 13,265,000 24,020,000 95,000 95,000 75,000 : $2,402,195,000 cy. $7,806,295,000 ^eludes $ 313,625,000 noncompetitive tenders from the public. ^eludes $128,580,000 noncompetitive tenders from the public. quivalent coupon-issue yield. 1264 Accepted $3,509,995,000d/ REMARKS BY TREASURY SECRETARY-DESIGNATE W. MICHEAL BLUMENTHAL DETROIT ECONOMIC CLUB COBO HALL, JANUARY 17, 1977 When I accepted the invitation to speak today, I planned to discuss the Michigan Economic Action Council. Since then, circumstances have changed somewhat and so I have a few other things to say as well. I am not here to say good-bye. My family and I have roots in Michigan, we're not really going ro pull them up — we're just going to stretch them a bit. But going to Washington, as challenging and exciting as the opportunity is, does mean that we won't be seeing many of you quite as frequently as before, I won't be working with you — at least not in the same way — on MEAC and other projects, and I will be seperated from my colleagues at Bendix. I was pleased to be introduced by Bill Agee. I only hope that some of my other new colleagues in Washington will leave their old jobs in private life feeling even half as confident about their successors as I feel about mine. It is reassuring to know that Bendix will be in the hands of a man like Bill Agee. And I say that not only for what Bendix means to me, but for what it and other healthy, growing businesses in Michigan mean to the goal cf moving this State in significant new directions. When I accepted the chairmanship of MEAC, I did so for^ the same reasons so many distinguished and influential Michigan leaders agreed to serve: we could see the compelling need -co soften the roller coaster ride the Michigan economy suffers because of our exaggerated sensitivity to national business cycles. Today I want to make a comment about the spirit of MEAC. I mean the quality of responsiveness, cooperation and common commitment which many organizations strive for and few attain. 2 It began with the Governor, the Speaker and the Majority Leader rising above their partisan differences to advance the best interests of all the people of this State. That spirit of unity spread — we had business leaders and labor leaders, we had academicians, urbanites and farmers, media people and money people, representatives from the tourist and recreational industry, all moving together, working together — in this case to improve our economy. Working together we achieved unanimous agreement on twenty-four recommendations as to things we can do to provide stable long-term growth in our State economy. I urge you to work for the implementation of those recommendation to keep them going. I want to highlight two specific points which I think are the most significant. First is the Budget Stabilization Fund which we have proposed as a leveling device to help counter fluctuations in State revenues. As you know, Michigan's Constitution obligates the State to maintain a balanced budget. Its principal source of revenue is the State income tax, of course, and when we have an economic downturn, our revenues drop, and simultaneously the demand for human services programs goes up. The proposed Stabilization Fund would put aside a portion of its revenues during years when personal incomes are high and unemployment low and then to spend that money during years of recession. This would require fairly rigid formulas and controls over the process and these are reflected in the bills being introduced now into the legislature. Of all the recommendations of MEAC, I think that this one represents the best hope for easing the exaggerated swings in the Michigan business cycle and their effects on State revenues. The second recommendation I would highlight is that of diversifying the economic base of the State. MEAC agreed that there are two specific kinds of employers which should be attracted to create new jobs: service industries not dependent on a specific geographic location, and high-technology, fast-growth industries. Michigan has been getting some hightechnology industry, but we haven't begun to realize our potential. The Council specified a series of actions which the State could take, both through its industrial expansion programs and its other policies, such as business taxation, 3 that would make Michigan an even more attractive location to such employers as, for instance, the regional offices of insurance companies. These are the types of businesses we or rather, you — must work to bring to Michigan. The Council also recommended programs to help with the financing and advising of small, entrepreneurial business, in particular those with a high technological orientation. Such industries often have a high mortality rate because of lack of business experience. So the Council made a series of recommendations on how to increase the efficiency and size of the venture capital market for Michigan industries and on how to create or improve existing programs of assistance to small business. I want to make it clear that I have not singled out these two subjects because I think the other recommendations of the Council are unimportant. To the contrary, I think that they should all be vigorously pursued. I had hoped and expected to take an active hand in the effort to follow through on these ideas. My intention, in fact, was not only to urge you and other people in the State to work for their implementation, but also to spend as much time as I could in Lansing myself on the Council's business. Mow, of course, that is no longer possible, - you might say because of a funny thing happened to me on the way to Lansing! In Washington, naturally, I find myself looking at Michigan's economic problems, and indeed at the nation's economic problems, from an entirely different perspective. There is some irony in this situation, because we made a great point, during our MEAC deliberations, of concentrating on recommendations which could be implemented at the State level and still have a real impact on the problems we were trying to address. We were very much aware that there are limits to local action and that the crucial decisions affecting our economy would be made on the federal level, but we determined to focus on what we could do on our own. We felt that this was in the American tradition of self-help and we knew that one more voice added to the chorus in Washington would have less chance of being heard than if the message were delivered directly to Lansing. Now, however, I find myself in the unexpected position of addressing precisely those problems which we deliberately ruled 4 out of our MEAC deliberations, — because they involved action on the Federal level. To paraphrase Pogo, I can now say that I have met the enemy - and it is I. Such a change of perspective can be disconcerting, but I must say that the spirit of our work in the Michigan Economic Action Council is very happily alive in the team we have been putting together in Washington. Governor Carter is deeply committed to an open government, a government in which decisions are made in an atmosphere of cooperation and communication, not of secrecy. This is a philosophy and an approach which I find personally congenial, — but it is one which in the past, I fear, has only too rarely been found among senior government officials. Whatever else we achieve — and we are well aware of the difficulty of the tasks before us — we now have an opportunity for a new beginning, under a President who believes that govern- lament must find its way back to the kind of participation and cooperation we had in the Michigan Economic Action Council. As an example, I should tell you that I will leave here this afternoon and go to visit the local facilities of the Treasury in Detroit. I want to meet the Treasury people there, get to know them and give them access to me. I am told that this is the first time a Secretary of the Treasury has ever gone to visit these installations, and I think it's time that we put an end to that kind of isolation. It will be a hallmark of the Carter Administration to try to break out of the sometimes artificial isolation of Washington. I will begin the process in the Treasury Department this afternoon, and my colleagues will continue it along with me during the rest of this Administration. At the same time, there will be greater stress on increasing the efficiency and effectiveness of government, goals which are a natural outgrowth of the closer communication we are seeking. There is no law which says that government must be slow moving and unresponsive — anymore than there is a law which says that it must be inaccessible. Americans in government are in no way inherently less efficient than those who work in private industry. They are certainly no less capable of doing a good job and being proud of their work. We must ensure that the environment in which they work allows them to find a reward, to develop a sense of pride and to avoid burying their efforts in a bureaucratic morass in which no one believes. 5 Along with these Carter Administration goals of openness and efficiency, there is another: we intend to be practical. We propose to take initiatives which are responsible, measured and gradual in their impact. While they may be bold in concept, they will be careful in execution. And they will not be oversold We will not pretend to have a miracle cure in our quest for a healthy diet leading to eventual full recovery. The new Administration is acutely conscious of the need not to raise false hopes, and not to indulge in hyperbolic descriptions of what can be done in a brief period of time. We will make changes and we will move forward, but our country's problems are deep and long-standing and — since openness also implies frankness and truth — we will not pretend that they can be solved overnight or that we will not have difficult choices to make. So, I have no hesitation in defining the spirit in which we begin our work. We want to be open. We want to be efficient. We want to proceed pragmatically and with care. And we want to be truthful about our failures, as well as our successes. But what about our agenda? Since Governor Carter has not yet become President Carter it is perhaps a little early to attempt to answer that question precisely, - but - if I may confine myself to the problems of the economy — I think the President-elect's priorities, and the outlines of his program, are clear. To begin with, we need growth. "Growth with stability." This is the formula we used in Michigan and it can be applied just as aptly to the country as a whole. Our economy is recovering from the very severe recession of 1974-1975, but it is recovering too slowly. Output is rising again, but not fast enough. We need more jobs for a constantly expanding work force. We need more and better housing. But, the essential point is that we cannot begin to meet any of these needs adequately if our economy is not moving ahead and growing in a healthy way. By healthy growth, of course, I mean growth without inflation. Nothing can be more damaging to our society than the high level of inflation such as we experienced in recent years, — especially in 1973 and 1974. Such a rise in costs and prices distorts more than our business and financial operations. It leads eventually to dislocations. We believe that growth can take place without necessarily triggering inflation. It can and it must, — because the level of unemployment we have experienced in this country in recent years is ^ intolerable. Nothing, it seems to me, can be more imp-M^a u, 6 nothing is more urgent, than to provide employment for all those who are able and willing to work. The problem with most discussions of unemployment is that they deal with statistics, — statistics which often hide as much as they reveal. We say, for example that our goal is to lower the unemployment rate from the presently unacceptable level of 7.9 percent to more tolerable rates. As a measure, unemployment statistics are meaningful. But behind these numbers, which represent national averages, there is a social reality, — and this is what we must grasp if we are to understand why the new Administration has identified unemployment as the most urgent problem on the national agenda. >. The social reality we must grasp can be illustrated by other numbers which are very different — and much less abstract — than the national average. We must realize, for example, that unemployment rates are higher for females than for males and also higher for non-whites than for whites across all age groups. We note, too, that unemployment for teenagers, both black and white, averages about 19 percent and that for black teenagers in the poverty areas of our cities, the unemployment rate is currently about 40 percent. The situation we are dealing with, in other words, is not only tragic and socially dangerous — it is also extremely complex. And this complexity means that not one but a variety of approaches is required. So called macro-economics measures, for example, — the kind which stimulate the economy generally across the board — will be useful in reducing unemployment among trained, mature working people who are standing, so to speak, at "the head of the line" and are ready, willing and able to enter or re-enter the labor force. Such measures may, indeed, have the effect of expanding total employment, — and this, of course, is important and good. In our economy each percentage point of real growth in the GNP will provide something in the order of 500,000 jobs and, since it is the private sector which accounts for five out of six of these jobs, it is essential that we encourage the capital investment which makes the private sector grow. 7 So far so good, — but far from good enough! This growth, unfortunately, will have little or no effect on those who are not standing at the head of the employment line, — nor on certain regions, certain categories, certain age-groups, in short, on the so-called "hard-core." For these people a different approach is needed, — one which aims not at the overall economy and its rate of growth but rather, specifically, at them — as people. To talk about unemployment in these terms, of course, inevitably invokes the plight of our cities. This is a larger subject which transcends merely economic terms, yet, the economic aspects of the so-called urban crisis — middle class and blue collar flight from the city, tax base shrinking, essential services cut back, industry moving out, — all add up to one statistic: unemployment for those who are left behind. It breeds despair, frustration and bitterness, — and they in turn breed social decay and crime. These lead to increased public expenditures which have to be paid from increased taxes which accelerate the flight of the middle classes, so that we have the familiar downward spiral which affects so many of our great cities and threatens the quality of our civilization itself. To begin to address these complex and interrelated issues, the President-elect has already proposed an economic stimulus package. It includes a variety of measures, such as a tax rebate and a permanent individual tax cut, programs to encourage corporate investment and others directly aimed at putting young people and the so-called hard-core unemployed to work. No one believes that these programs offer a panacea. But they do represent a beginning, a carefully beginning, in what must be seen as a long and difficult task. In the spirit I attempted to define a few moments ago — the spirit of initiatives and careful execution — we must be prepared to monitor the various programs in our so-called stimulus program, and adjust them to changing conditions if necessary. In the meantime, of course, we cannot forget that — beyond the immediate need to accelerate our economic recovery additional programs will have to be developed. The problem of tax reform, in particular, is very high on our agenda. We, for example, are determined to find practical, effective ways to simplify the system. There is something very wrong, it seems to me, in the fact that a middle-income wage earner 8 must hire an accountant in order to complete his tax return. Tax reform also should address making the system more equitable. Another goal would be to help it stimulate growth by encouraging investment in the private sector, in a word, we believe that the American people should not be working for the tax system. The tax system should be working for them. The steps we are taking to move the economy and strengthen the recovery will cost money, and we are keenly aware that the deficit we are inheriting from the previous Administration is excessively large. But the consensus over the broad spectrum of economists and businessmen is that under present conditions, with much under-utilized capacity in the economy, it is entirely possible to apply this stimulus without rekindling the flames of inflation. And we know that we cannot begin to do the nation's business, to meet our responsibilities domestically and internationally, — nor hope to move forward balancing the federal budget in the foreseeable future — unless our economy achieves and maintains a higher rate of growth. Before concluding, let me refer briefly to the relationship of all this to the situation abroad. The slow recovery in the United States has been matched by an even more sluggish condition in Europe and Japan. This is a matter of concern to us because we are, increasingly, in a global economy, and economic weakness in one area inevitably affects all the others. Payments imbalances, weak currencies, lagging invesment programs, — all these interreact in a global economic setting. They stifle trade and create unfavorable atmosphere for growth and for the solidarity we need if we are successfully to deal with' our common problems. We have assigned the highest priority to our domestic economic problems for a simple and obvious reason: our own house must be put in order if we are to properly play our role in the rest of the world. Looking back over the past decade or so it seems to me that somewhere, somehow, our country lost its way. we have been too long off course, and historically, our recent election will be seen as the beginning of a national effort to recover our momentum and our sense of purpose. What matters is not merely that we have a new Administration. What matters is that we are turning to the future. We are making a new start. 9 • That, at least, is our intention, — and it is time to recall that we are still the greatest and richest country in the world and that we have the power to make good on the promise we still represent — the promise of peace and justice and a better life for the common man — which we still represent in the eyes of the world 0O0 For Immediate Release January 18, 1977 TREASURY PUBLISHES "BLUEPRINTS FOR BASIC TAX REFORM" Secretary of the Treasury William E. Simon today released results of a year-long study of fundamental reform of the Nation's tax system. The report, "Blueprints for Basic Tax Reform," presents two model plans for tax returns: a broadly based income tax, called a "comprehensive income tax," and an alternative plan for a tax based on consumption/ called a "cash flow tax." Either plan would be much simpler, fairer, and more efficient than the present system. "Tinkering is no longer the answer," Simon said in the foreword of the report. "We must design an entirely new tax system, adopt it as an integrated whole, with a much broader tax base but with much lower and simpler rates so that it will be widely accepted and so that all can share its advantages. " Both reform proposals would broaden the tax base, reduce tax rates, and allow larger personal exemption. The comprehensive income tax plan calls for integration of the corporate and personal income taxes, taxation of capital gains at full rates after allowing an adjustment for inflation, and taxing many other items that presently are not taxed. In place of the existing complex rate structure, with rates ranging from 14 to 70 percent, the model plan has only three rate brackets, ranging from 8 percent to 30 percent. The cash flow tax differs from an income tax in excluding savings, although the withdrawal of savings for consumption of goods and services would be taxed. This model also has three tax brackets with rates from 10 to 40 percent. Because the present income tax system has many important similarities to the cash flow tax, the change to this model would not be as great as it might seem. °0° WS-1266 blueprints for Basic January 17,1977 blueprints for Basic T a x R e f o January 17,1977 Department of the Treasury THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY WASHINGTON 20220 FOREWORD In December 1975, in a speech to the Tax Foundation, I called for a fundamental overhaul of the U.S. tax system. I felt that I was speaking for millions of Americans who were fed up with the current tax system and wanted it replaced with one they could understand and trust. I noted that we need to return to the basic principles upon which our income tax system was founded and the three cornerstones of its structure — equity, efficiency and simplicity. I said we need to wipe the slate clean of personal tax preferences, special deductions and credits, exclusions from income and the like, and impose a single, simple progressive tax on all individuals. In the months that have passed since that speech, I have received overwhelming evidence that this is indeed the way the American people feel. It is time to start over from scratch and develop a new tax system in the United States. It must be a system that is designed on purpose, based on a clear and consistent set of principles, which everyone in the United States can understand. During the past year, at the same time my staff and I were working with the Congress on the Tax Reform Act of 1976, we were also engaged in a major study, which we called the "Basic Tax Reform" study. We began by examining the concept of "income" and what it can and should mean as the base for Federal taxation. We looked at all the transactions and circumstances that produce what we commonly think of as "income," and we also considered "income" from the standpoint of its uses — its value to those receiving it. We then tried to develop an ideal income base that took into account all possible forms of income but that equally considered practical realities and the overriding importance of a simple tax system. Our "real-world" implementation reflects many compromises and modifications that we have discussed explicitly in the study so that everyone can evaluate our judgments and our conclusions. Our report — Blueprints for Basic Tax Reform — presents the results of this year-long study. It gets down to the fundamentals. This report presents two specific model tax systems. The first is a plan for broadening the base of the income tax. It calls for integration of the corporate and personal income taxes, taxation of capital gains at full rates after allowing an adjustment for inflation, and taxing many other items that presently are not taxed. In place of the existing complex rate structure, with rates ranging from 14 to 70 percent, the model plan has only three rate brackets, ranging from 8 percent to 38 percent. The second model is based on consumption and is called a cash flow tax. It differs from an income tax in excluding savings, although the withdrawal of savings for consumption of goods and services would be taxed. This model also has three tax brackets with rates from 10 to 40 percent. Because the present income tax system has many important similarities to the cash flow tax, the change to this model would not be as great as it might seem. After years of seeking to reform the tax system, I am convinced that tinkering is no longer the answer. We must design an entirely new tax system , adopt it as an integrated whole, with a much broader tax base but with much lower and simpler rates so that it will be widely accepted and so that all can share its advantages. This report is a start toward this objective. It demonstrates clearly that we can construct a fair, efficient progressive tax system in the United States. Responsibility for preparation of this study was taken by Assistant Secretary for Tax Policy Charles M. Walker. Deputy Assistant Secretary William M. Goldstein provided important counsel. Primary work on this project was undertaken by Deputy Assistant Secretary David F. Bradford. Mr. Bradford and the staff of the Office of Tax Analysis are due special recognition for their professional expertise and special thanks for their devotion to this task. Washington, D.C. January 1977 DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY WASHINGTON, D.C. 20220 SSISTANT SECRETARY ACKNOWLEDGMENTS public fiance e c o n o m K t t h a n P J ? J e ^ - m 0 r e *BP«"-ng to a staff of the UniSd States S n f r C t i n g t h e Professional study of income 2 5 r 2 o ™ D e P a r t m e n t of the Treasury in a Simon asked Assistant S e S e t a J v ^ f9° S e c r e t a r y William E. Walker t0 p r e a r e a Plan to simplify Ehe a x v l ^ " n ? AS De utv Secretary and Director «?.-£-!.«• P Assistant f T a x Ana asked to lead this e?L?f S . S ^ ° lysis, I was for Basic Tax Reform^- tL main o h S P u b l i c a t i ° n of "Blueprints accomplished, and i? is £v Sf±" objective of the project is superb efforts of tnose w h o ^ d ^ *°Z *S a c k n o w l edge the pages of the report S° V ° m U C h ° f t h e w o r k ' The effort, much l?±l a S £ ± 2 d u r ? n ^ ° f - a t r e m e n d °us cooperative 9 SVeninqs and by many dedicated people weekends, y B t r e caipeJ? L'^S DJSSS o f S. TtdlTAil 1STdirecSvlo^H ^ aCUmen 3S a tax°fnalys?fcontr^tedS1SS S c S j TorToIrtiTriZth/S , SSnSe ° f h U m ° r -fenormous ^^iSiS'SS KrrKdS S^£/3°Sxwere SeSSSvicCeh?rlSe^r S^SL^ £ C£~ throughout the report. renected Nelson McClung took principal responsibility for Sco?t iurL?6 d^aDbaSS f°r th^ StUd^' -upportS g'j. sSulat?onf' r l t h .°„ Jyscarver manning the computer simulations. Gary Bobbins kept the project moving toward a o?q^C%°f ^nmeetable dea<31ines. R?n Garbin S^the Office of Computer Science, Office of the Secretary, provided programming support. _".uv_.u<_a Th Sarly round <-*_> ® 9 work for the study was developed with SS1St n e Se mour S^l ^ Z ^ Y Fiekowsky, Nelson McClung, Hudson ptih i ^nd Ralph Bristol of the Office of Tax Analysis, and Kicnard Koffey, now Deputy Tax Legislative Counsel. Many others, inside and outside the Department of the Treasury, contributed to the work. These include Peter Cook, John Copeland, Daniel Feenberg, David Flynn, Geraldine Gerardi, Gary Hufbauer, Michael Kaufman, Thomas King, Allen Lerman, Howard Nester, Gabriel Rudney, Jay Scheck, Eugene Steuerle, Walter Stromquist, and John Wilman, all members of the Office of Tax Policy Staff. Joseph Foote of Washington, D.C., Peter Mieszkowski of the University of Houston, Harvey Rosen of Princeton University, Richard Barr of Southern Methodist University, and Ann Bergsman of Hendrickson Corporation brought their special knowledge to bear on the problems we confronted. Others outside the Treasury who assisted in various ways include William Andrews, Martin Bailey, Edwin Cohen, Martin Feldstein, Frederic Hickman, Daniel Halperin, Bernard Saffran, Emil Sunley, Nicholas Tideman, and Alvin Warren. Finally, for their unsurpassed skill, never ending patience and cheerfulness, deepest thanks to Rosalind Carter and Kathi Cambell who typed and typed and typed and .... David F. Bradfiprd ( Deputy Assistant Secretary for Tax Policy (Tax Analysis) Washington, D.C. January 1977 TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter 1: INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY OF THE REPORT OVERVIEW 2 COMPREHENSIVE INCOME TAX. . . . _ ." . . . . [ [ [ ] ...... Integration of the Corporation and Individual Income Taxes Treatment of Capital Gains and Losses Depreciation Rules State and Local Bond Interest Imputed Income from Consumer Durables Itemized Deductions Retirement Income and Unemployment Compensation... Choice of a Filing Unit and Exemptions for Family Size CASH FLOW, CONSUMPTION BASE TAX Advantages of a Consumption Base How a Consumption Base Could Be Taxed Similarities to the Present Tax Base Treatment of Investments in the Model Plan Other Features of the Cash Flow Tax The Filing Unit and Tax Rates TRANSITION PROBLEMS HOW AN INDIVIDUAL WOULD CALCULATE TAX LIABILITY UNDER THE REFORM PLANS Elements Common to Both Plans The Comprehensive Income Tax The Cash Flow Tax CHAPTER-BY-CHAPTER OUTLINE OF THE REMAINDER OF THE REPORT Chapter 2: WHAT IS TO BE THE TAX BASE? INTRODUCTION 21 TWO PRELIMINARY MATTERS OF EQUITY Equity Over What Time Period? Is the Family or the Individual the Appropriate Unit? INCOME AND CONSUMPTION Definitions of Income and Consumption THE PRESENT TAX BASE Is the Present Base Consumption or Income? Is the Tax System Presently on an "Abilityto-Pay" or a "Standard-of-Living" Basis? [ [ [ [ [ ]] 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 9 9 10 10 11 11 12 13 13 13 14 14 15 24 24 25 26 27 33 33 36 ALTERNATIVE BASES: EQUITY CONSIDERATIONS Consumption or Income: Which is the Better Base? "Standard-of-Living" or "Ability-to-Pay": Which Criterion? Summing Up: The Equity Comparison of Consumption and Income Bases ALTERNATIVE TAX BASES: SIMPLICITY CONSIDERATIONS... Consumption or Income Preferable on Grounds of Simplicity? Measurement Problems "Standard-of-Living" or "Ability-to-Pay" Preferable on Simplicity Grounds? EFFICIENCY ISSUES IN A CHOICE BETWEEN AN INCOME AND A CONSUMPTION BASE SUMMING UP Chapter 3: A MODEL COMPREHENSIVE INCOME TAX OVERVIEW 53 Purpose of the Model Tax Base-Broadening Objective Organization of Chapter 3 EMPLOYEE COMPENSATION Expenses of Employment Employer-Provided Pensions Social Security Employer-Paid Health and Casualty Insurance Disability Insurance Life Insurance Unemployment Compensation PUBLIC TRANSFER PAYMENTS Model Tax Treatment Rationale for Taxing Transfer Payments Valuing In-Kind Subsidies BUSINESS INCOME ACCOUNTING Basic Accounting for Capital Income Capital Consumption Allowances Self-Constructed Assets Other Business Income Accounting Problems INTEGRATION OF THE INDIVIDUAL AND CORPORATION INCOME TAXES The Corporation Income Tax Inefficiency of the Corporation Income Tax A Model Integration Plan Administrative Problems of Model Tax Integration 38 38 41 41 42 43 44 48 49 51 53 53 54 54 55 56 58 59 59 60 60 61 61 62 63 63 63 64 66 67 68 68 68 69 73 The 1975 Administration Proposal for Integration.. CAPITAL GAINS AND LOSSES Accrual Versus Realization !!!!!!!!! Present Treatment of Capital Gains //....... Model Tax Treatment of Capital Gains Capital Losses Taxation of Accrual in the Model Tax Accrual Taxation Alternative Realization-With-Interest Alternative The Income Averaging Problem f. Inflation Adjustment STATE AND LOCAL BOND INTEREST Inefficiency of Interest Exclusion Inequity of the Exclusion Alternatives to Tax-Exempt Bonds OWNER-OCCUPIED HOUSING Imputed Rental Income Deductibility of Homeowners1 Property Tax Deductibility of Mortgage Interest Consumer Durables MEDICAL EXPENSES ' Model Tax Treatment "Tax Insurance" Under Present Law Optional Catastrophe Insurance Provision STATE AND LOCAL TAXES Income Tax Deductibility Property Tax Deductibility Sales Tax Deductibility Alternative Treatment of Sales and Income T a x e s — Benefit Taxes CONTRIBUTIONS TO CHARITIES Charity as Income to Beneficiaries Charities as Public Goods A Practical Alternative to Taxing Charitable Organizations Alternative Tax Incentives for Philanthropy CASUALTY LOSSES Model Tax Treatment Present Law Treatment '. INTERNATIONAL CONSIDERATIONS The Residence Principle Establishing the Residence Principle Interim Rules THE FILING UNIT Model Tax Treatment Problems of Taxation of the Filing Unit Choice of the Filing Unit 75 75 75 76 77 79 79 81 81 82 83 84 84 84 85 85 85 86 88 89 89 90 90 91 92 93 93 93 94 94 95 95 96 96 97 97 97 98 98 98 99 10 ° 101 102 102 103 The Problem of Secondary Workers Tax Adjustments for Differences in Family Status.. ADJUSTING FOR FAMILY SIZE Exemptions Versus Credits SAMPLE COMPREHENSIVE INCOME TAX FORM Chapter 4: A MODEL CASH FLOW TAX INTRODUCTION Cash Flow Accounting ELEMENTS IN COMMON WITH THE COMPREHENSIVE INCOME TAX Family Size and Family Status Deductions for Charitable Contributions, Medical Expenses, and Taxes Health, Disability, and Unemployment Insurance Casualty Losses DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE CASH FLOW TAX AND THE COMPREHENSIVE INCOME TAX The Treatment of Assets Under a Cash Flow Tax Equivalence of Qualified Account Treatment and Tax Prepayment. Approach Treatment of Borrowing and Lending Advantages of Taxpayer Option Treatment of Asset Purchases and Borrowing Lifetime Perspective of the Cash Flow Tax Uncertain Outcomes: A Problem with the TaxPrepayment Approach No Optimal Treatment for Nonfinancial Business Assets DIFFERENCES BETWEEN CASH FLOW AND COMPREHENSIVE INCOME TAXES : SPECIFIC PROVISIONS Pension Plans and Social Security Life Insurance State and Local Bond Interest Interest Paid Corporate Income Capital Gains and Losses Business Income Accounting SPECIAL PROBLEMS: PROGRESSIVITY, WEALTH DISTRIBUTION, AND WEALTH TAXES Progressivity of the Tax INFORMATION ON SAMPLE TAX FORM FOR CASH FLOW TAX Chapter 5: QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS THE DATA BASE 145 104 105 106 106 107 113 113 116 116 116 118 118 119 119 123 124 125 127 128 130 131 131 131 133 133 133 134 135 136 136 140 ESTIMATION OF THE INCOME CONCEPTS Ecpnomic and Comprehensive Income Present Law Tax A Proportional Comprehensive Income Tax THE MODEL COMPREHENSIVE INCOME TAX THE CASH FLOW TAX COMPARISONS OF TAX LIABILITIES UNDER THE DIFFERENT PLANS The Marriage Penalty Lifetime Comparisons Chapter 6: TRANSITION CONSIDERATIONS INTRODUCTION 181 WEALTH CHANGES AND THEIR EQUITY ASPECTS Carryover Problems v Price Changes The Equity Issues INSTRUMENTS FOR AMELIORATING TRANSITION PROBLEMS Objectives Alternatives PROPOSED SOLUTIONS TO SELECTED PROBLEMS IN THE TRANSITION TO THE COMPREHENSIVE INCOME TAX Capital Gains Corporate Integration Business and Investment Income, Individual and Corporate Other Individual Income TRANSITION TO A CASH FLOW TAX SYSTEM Goals of Transition Distribution Issues A Preliminary Transition Proposal Alternative Transition Plans BIBLIOGRAPHY 217 147 154 156 159 159 167 172 172 176 181 182 183 185 188 188 189 191 192 194 200 201 204 205 206 209 211 BLUEPRINTS FOR BASIC TAX REFORM Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY OVERVIEW There has been increasingly widespread dissatisfaction in the United States with the Federal tax system. Numerous special features of the current law, adopted over the years, have led to extreme complexity and have raised questions about the law's basic fairness. Many provisions of the code are, in effect, subsidies to certain types of taxpayers, or to particular interests, for some forms of investment and consumption. These subsidies are rarely justified explicitly and, in some cases, may even, be unintentional. In many instances, they alter the pattern of economic activity in ways that lower the value of total economic output. Further, although the Federal tax system by and large relates tax burdens to individual ability to pay, the tax code does not reflect any consistent philosophy about the objectives of the system. Previous efforts at tax reform have not attempted a thorough rethinking of the entire tax structure. As a result, reform legislation over the past 25 years has consisted of a series of patchwork palliatives, leading to a tax system increasingly difficult to understand. Indeed, the Tax Reform Act of 1969 has been referred to as the "Lawyers and Accountants Relief Act," and the Tax Reform Act of 1976 deserves this sobriquet no less. The confusion and complexity in the tax code have led Secretary of the Treasury William E. Simon to suggest that the Nation should "have a tax system which looks like someone designed it on purpose." The first part of this report is devoted to clarifying the goals of the tax system, attempting to give specific content to the universally recognized objectives of equity, efficiency, and simplicity. Based on this analysis, two alternative conceptions of an ideal tax system are adopted to form the basis for practical reform plans. The report presents two model plans, comprehending both the individual and corporate income taxes, which demonstrate that the tax system can be made more equitable, easier to understand and justifyTTnd more conducive to the efficient operation or the private economy. - 2 - Both plans have the general effect of broadening the tax base — the measure of income to which personal exemptions and tax rates are applied. This, is the result of including in the base items excluded from tax under current law. This permits a simpler code in that elaborate rules are no longer required for defining items of tax preference or for protecting against the abuse of such preferences. Under either plan, the revenues currently collected from individual and corporate taxpayers could be raised with a substantially lower rate structure. In turn a lower rate structure would mitigate the distorting effects of taxes on economic decisions. The alternative proposals for tax reform are: (1) a comprehensive income tax, and (2) a consumption base tax, called a cash flow tax. Both proposals seek to treat individual items in the tax code in ways that would achieve consistency with an ideal base, departing from the ideal only when necessary for administrative feasibility, simplicity, or compelling economic or other policy reasons. When concessions are suggested, they are identified as such and justification is provided. The differences between the proposals derive from their underlying concepts of the tax base. The comprehensive income tax proposal is based on a broad concept of income that is defined in terms of the uses of an individual's receipts. According to this definition, an individual's income can be allocated either to consumption or to increasing his wealth (net worth). Because all increments to wealth constitute income, this approach is sometimes called an accretion concept. The cash flow tax assesses tax burdens on the basis of consumption, excluding from the tax base all positive and negative changes in net worth. Both proposals deal with the major areas in which changes from the current tax code merit consideration. In all cases where there are ambiguities about defining consumption or change in net worth as components of income, or where the benefits achieved by exclusions or deductions from income under the current law appear to merit continued consideration, specific policy judgments are made for the purpose of presenting complete proposals. The report identifies the features of each proposal that are essential to the definition of the ideal tax base, distinguishing them from elements that can be handled differently and still remain consistent with a reasonable definition of either the comprehensive income or consumption tax base. The table at the end of this chapter compares the major features of the model tax reform plans with the current tax system. - 3- This study shows that it is feasible to have a broadly based tax that departs in major ways from the current tax law. In providing specific alternative plans, the report sets out a guide for future legislation aimed at sweeping tax reform. It also points out some of the major policy issues that remain to be resolved. In presenting a plan for a tax system based on the consumption concept, the report points toward a promising alternative approach to tax reform that is not as different from our present system as it might seem and that, if consistently implemented, should provide major advantages in fairness, simplicity, and economic efficiency. COMPREHENSIVE INCOME TAX Proposals to adopt a more comprehensive definition of income in the tax base have received the most attention from tax reform advocates. As previously stated, income may be viewed as the sum of consumption and change in net worth in a given time period. Although income is thus defined conceptually in terms of uses of resources, it is not practical to measure an individual' s annual income by adding up all of his individual purchases of consumer goods and the change in value of all the items on his balance sheet. Rather, the measurement of income is accomplished by using the accounting notion that the sum of receipts from all sources within a given time period must equal the sum of all uses. To compute income, it is necessary simply to subtract from sources expenditures that represent neither consumption nor additions to net worth. These expenditures include the cost of operating a business (payment of salaries, rent, interest, etc.), or the direct cost of earning labor income (union dues, work clothing, etc.). They may include other specified expenditures, such as interest, charitable contributions, State and local income and sales taxes, and large nondiscretionary medical expenditures. Because of exclusions, deductions, and shortcomings in income measurement rules, the tax base under current law departs from this comprehensive concept of income. For example, State and local bond interest and one-half of realized capital gains are not included in the tax base. On the other hand, corporate dividends are included in the tax - 4 - base twice, once at the corporate level and once at the individual level. In some cases, rules for tax depreciation allow deductions in excess of actual changes in asset values. When this occurs, business income is understated, and the taxpayer has increase in net worth that goes untaxed. In setting out a practical plan to achieve equity, simplicity, and efficiency in the tax system, the model comprehensive income tax follows a broad concept of accretion income as a guide. The major features of the model comprehensive income tax are summarized below. Integration of the Corporation and Individual Income Taxes A separate tax on corporations is not consistent with an ideal comprehensive income tax base. Corporations do not "consume" or have a standard of living in the sense that individuals do; all corporate income ultimately can be accounted for either as consumption by individuals or as an increase in the value of claims of individuals who own corporate shares. Thus, corporations do not pay taxes in the sense of bearing the burden of taxation. People pay taxes, and corporate tax payments are drawn from resources belonging to people that would otherwise be available to them for present or future consumption. It is difficult, however, to determine which people bear the burden of corporate tax payments. In a free enterprise system goods are not produced unless their prices will cover the costs of rewarding those who supply the services of labor and capital required in their output as well as any taxes imposed. The corporation income tax thus results in some combination of higher relative prices of the products of corporations and lower rewards to the providers of productive services, and it is in this way that the burden of the tax is determined. It spite of many attempts, economists have not succeeded in making reliable estimates of these effects, although a substantial body of opinion holds that the corporation income tax is born by all capital owners in the form of lower prices for the services of capital. The two major advantages of integrating the corporate and personal taxes are that (1) it would eliminate the incentive to accumulate income within corporations by ending the double taxation of dividends, (2) it would enable the effective tax rate on income earned within corporations to be related to the circumstances of individual taxpayers. - 5 - Under the model comprehensive income tax, the integration of corporate income with the other income of shareholders is accomplished by providing rules to allocate all corporate income, whether distributed or not, to individual shareholders. Corporate distributions to shareholders are regarded simply as a change in the composition of investment portfolios — that is, a portion of each shareholder's equity claims is converted to cash — and have no tax consequences. Under this "full integration" plan, corporation income is fully taxed at the rates appropriate to each shareholder. For this reason, the model plan eliminates the corporation income tax. The possibility of having corporations withhold taxes on behalf of shareholders, in order to alleviate problems arising when tax liabilities exceeded corporate cash distributions, is examined. It is emphasized that full integration is proposed in the context of a plan that attempts to tax equally income from all sources. "Dividend" integration such as that proposed by the Ford Administration in 1975, which represents, in itself, a desirable change in the absence of comprehensive reform, may also be considered as a transition to the model treatment of corporate income. Treatment of Capital Gains and Losses Under the broadest concept of a comprehensive tax base, capital gains that represent an increase in real wealth would be taxed even though not realized by sale or exchange of the asset. Similarly, capital losses, whether realized or not, would be subtracted in full from all sources of income in computing the tax base. The proposal moves in that direction by adopting the integration concept. Full integration provides a practical method for taxing increases in asset values arising from corporate retained earnings, a major source of capital gains in the current system. Capital gains realized upon sale or exchange of assets are taxed fully under the model plan after allowing a step-up in basis for inflation. Because maximum tax rates would be considerably lower if a comprehensive tax base were adopted, there is far less reason for special treatment of capital gains to achieve rough averaging effects in a progressive rate structure. Realized capital losses are fully deductible against ordinary income in the model system. - 6 - Thus, the proposal, while ending the current provision for exclusion of one-half of capital gains from the base, will also end the taxation of purely inflationary gains and eliminate current limits on deductibility of realized capital losses. Compared with present law, taxation of capital gains would be lower during periods of rapid inflation and possibly somewhat higher during periods of relative price stability. The proposal does not recommend taxation * of gains as accrued (that is, prior to realization) because the administrative cost of annual asset valuations is prohibitive and because otherwise taxpayers might face problems in making cash tax payments when no cash had been realized. The corporate integration proposal would enable the largest part of individual income previously reflected in realized capital gains to be taxed as accrued by eliminating the corporate tax and taxing corporate income directly to the shareholders, whether or not it was distributed. This is a fair and workable solution. Depreciation Rules The proposal defines some general principles for measuring depreciation of assets for tax purposes. It is recommended that a systematic approach to tax depreciation, perhaps one modeled after the present Asset Depreciation Range System, be made mandatory for machinery and equipment and structures. A set of accounting procedures would be prescribed that would provide certainty to .the taxpayer that his depreciation allowances would be accepted by the tax collector and would reasonably approximate actual declines in the value of these depreciable assets. Cost depletion is recommended in place of percentage depletion for mineral deposits, as a better measure of the income arising from these properties. State and Local Bond Interest The proposal suggests that interest from state and local bonds be treated like all other interest receipts in the computation of the tax base, on the grounds that those receipts can be used for consumption or increases in net worth. Transition problems relating to existing bond holdings are recognized. The implicit tax burden in ownership of state and local bonds resulting from their lower interest yield is identified and evaluated. The report mentions alternative, less-costly ways of providing the same subsidy to state and local governments as is presently provided by the interest exemption. •_-----^E_-ta__M-------------ii-------ta--M>-i----a--ta__>------B a -» — ' • — • • — • - 7 - Imputed Income from Consumer Durables Under the broadest form of comprehensive income base, the imputed return in the form of the rental value of consumption services from ownership of consumer durables would be taxed. The exclusion of this form of income from tax provides an important benefit to home owners. They have invested part of their net worth in their home, rather than investment assets, but the value of the use of their home (the income it produces) is not taxed. This is particularly true when, as under our present system, interest on home mortgages is deductible from other income. This proposal does not recommend taxation of the imputed value of the use of homes and consumer durables because of difficulties of measurement. However, it is recommended that the deductibility of local taxes on noncommercial property, including owneroccupied homes, be reconsidered, on the grounds that this amounts to exclusion of more than the income that would be imputed to such assets. Itemized Deductions The report considers options for the treatment of major deductions, including deductions for medical expenses (which could be replaced with a catastrophic insurance program), charitable contributions (which could be eliminated or retained in the same form, without compromising the basic integrity of either the comprehensive income or cash flow tax), state and local income taxes (which would remain deductible) and sales taxes (not deductible) and casualty losses (not deductible). Decisions as to whether, and in what form, major personal deductions should be maintained depend on whether or not these expenditures should be viewed as consumption and on whether or not particular types of activities ought to continue to be encouraged through the tax system. The report presents specific proposals for treatment of major deductions but it is noted that other rules are also consistent with the concept of a comprehensive income base. The deduction of interest is maintained, as is, in modified form, the deduction of child care expenses. The report recommends elimination of the standard deduction, which will be replaced in part by more generous personal exemptions. Retirement Income and Unemployment Compensation Under a comprehensive income tax, both contributions to retirement pensions and the interest earned on such contri- - 8 - butions would be included in the base. However, a roughly equivalent result is achieved by taxing earnings on pension funds as they accrue and retirement benefits as received and allowing employer and employee contributions to pensions to be deducted from the tax base. This procedure is preferable because it minimizes problems of income averaging. Rules for making different types of pension accounts conform to this principle are outlined in the report. It is proposed that deduction of both employee and employer contributions to Social Security be allowed and that all social security retirement benefits be included in the tax base. The report also recommends that unemployment compensation payments be included in the tax base. Liberal personal exemptions recommended will insure that persons with very low incomes are not taxed on social security benefits or unemployment compensation. Choice of a Filing Unit and Exemptions for Family Size The decision on the appropriate filing unit represents a compromise between objectives that are mutually exclusive under a progressive tax: a system in which families of equal size and income pay equal taxes and a system in which the total tax liability of two individuals is not altered when they marry. The report recommends continuation of family filing, with separate structures of exemptions and rates for married couples, single individuals, and unmarried heads of household. To reduce the work disincentive caused by taxation of secondary earners at marginal rates determined by the income of a spouse, the plan proposes that only 75 percent of the first $10,000 of earnings of secondary workers be included in the tax base. Alternative treatments of the filing unit consistent with the general principles of a comprehensive income base are presented. The report discusses the issues in the choice between exemptions and tax credits as adjustments for family size, and recommends a per-member exemption instead of a credit. However, it is noted that various methods of adjusting for family size, including use of credits, are fully consistent with the comprehensive income base. The report shows how adoption of the recommended changes in the tax base would change tax rates. With an exemption of $1,000 per taxpayer and an additional $1,600 per tax return, it is possible under the comprehensive income tax to raise the same revenue with roughly the same distribution of the tax burden by i : nco^class as undeFThe present income tax, using only three rate brackets, ranging - 9- from 8 percent in the lowest bracket, to 25 percent for middle income taxpayers, to 38 percent for upper income taxpayers. The generous $1,000 personal exemption (instead of $750 under present law) plus an additional $1,600 exemption per return helps provide the same ability-to-pay distribution of the tax burden as present law. Alternatively, it is possible to raise the same revenue under the comprehensive income tax with a flat rate of slightly over 14 percent on all income if there are no exemptions and with a flat rate of slightly under 20 percent with exemptions of $1,500 per taxpayer. In summary, the comprehensive income tax proposal is a complete plan for a major rebuilding of the tax system that eliminates many of the inconsistencies in the present tax code. The plan clearly demonstrates the feasibility of major improvements in the simplicity, efficiency, and fairness in the income tax. CASH FLOW, CONSUMPTION BASE TAX Consumption is less widely advocated than income in discussions of tax reform but it deserves serious consideration as an alternative ideal for the tax base. A consumption tax differs from an income tax in excluding savings from the tax base. In practical terms, this means that net saving, as well as gifts made, are subtracted from gross receipts to compute the tax base. Withdrawals from savings, and gifts and bequests received but not added to net savings, are included in gross receipts to compute the tax base. Advantages of a Consumption Base The report shows that a version of a consumption base tax, called the "cash flow tax," has a number of advantages over a comprehensive income tax on simplicity grounds. The cash flow tax avoids the most difficult problems of measurement under a comprehensive income tax — such as depreciation rules, inflation adjustments, and allocation of undistributed corporate income — because all forms of saving would be excluded from the tax base. In addition, the report demonstrates that the cash flow tax is more equitable because it treats alike all individuals who begin their working years with equal wealth and the same present value of future labor earnings. They are treated differently under an income tax, depending on the time pattern of their earnings and the way they choose to allocate consumption expenditures among time periods. - 10 - By eliminating disincentives to saving, the cash flow tax would encourage capital formation, leading to higher growth rates and more capital per worker and higher beforetax wages. How a Consumption Base Could be Taxed According to one method of designing a consumption tax the taxpayer would include in his tax base all monetary receipts in a given time period, including withdrawals from past savings and gifts and bequests received, and exclude from his tax base current savings, gifts made, and certain itemized expenditures also allowed as deductions under the comprehensive income tax. Thus, the full proceeds of asset sales would be taxed if used for consumption rather than for purchase of other assets (including such "purchases" as deposits in savings accounts). Inclusion of asset sales and deduction of asset purchases from the tax base, make it possible for the tax base to measure an individual's annual consumption without actually tallying up his purchases of consumption goods and services. A second method of computing the base for a tax based on consumption is to exempt all capital income from tax. Dividends, interest, capital gains, and profit from a personal business would be excluded from an individual's tax base. Interest receipts would be excluded from the base, and interest payments on loans would not be deducted. Purchases of productive assets would not be deductible, because the returns from them would not be included in the base. These alternative treatments of assets lead to a tax base with the same present value. Deferral of tax in the present leads to payment of the same tax plus interest when the asset is sold for consumption. However, the payment of taxes occurs later under the method which allows a savings deduction than under the method which allows an interest exemption. Similarities to the Present Tax Base The report points out that the current tax system is closer to a cash flow tax than to a comprehensive income tax in its treatment of many forms of income from capital. In particular, two important sources of saving for many Amercans — homeownership and employer contributions to retirement annuities (or contributions of individuals to Keogh Plans and IRA's) — are treated under the current law almost - 11 exactly the same way they would be treated under a consumption tax which allows a deduction for savings. Similarly, many of the present system's uncoordinated exclusions of capital income from tax approximate the second approach to a consumption base tax. Thus, the model cash flow tax is not as complete a change from the present tax system as it might seem. Treatment of Investments in the Model Plan MN_-----__VN-l*_---«_------M--i-_---^«-_ta_-____---_--M-R--M--M----M In the model cash flow tax individuals may choose between the two essentially equivalent ways of treating investments. Purchases of assets are eligible for deduction only if made through "qualified accounts." The qualified accounts would keep records of an individual's net investment balance so that annual saving and dissaving can be measured. Each year, net contributions to qualified accounts would be computed and subtracted from the tax base. If withdrawals exceed contributions in any year, the difference would be added to the tax base. Thus, the proceeds from an investment made through a qualified account are subject to tax only when withdrawn. Savings not deposited in a qualified account are not eligible for deduction, but the interest and capital gains from investments financed by such saving are not included in the tax base. There is no need to monitor the flow of investments or the investment income earned outside of qualified accounts because they have no place in the calculation of tax. The report spells out the consequences of allowing a taxpayer to choose between alternative ways of being taxed on income from assets, providing specific examples of how the tax would work. It is shown how allowing two alternative treatments for both assets and loans provides a simple averaging device that would enable taxpayers to avoid the inequities associated with applying a progressive rate system to individuals with different annual variation in the level of consumption. The report also shows how allowing alternative treatment of assets and loans simplifies the measurement of the tax base. Other Features of the Cash Flow Tax Under the proposal, all consumer durables (such as automobiles and homes) are treated as assets purchased outside of a qualified account. No deductions are allowed for the purchase of a consumer durable, and receipts from the sale of a consumer durable are not included in the tax base. - 12 - Gifts are treated differently under the cash flow tax than under both the comprehensive income tax and the current tax system. In the cash flow tax proposal, gifts and inheritances received are included in the tax base, while gifts given are deducted. Under present income tax law and under the model comprehensive income tax the treatment is reversed, with gifts received excluded from the donee's tax base but no deduction allowed for an individual who makes a gift. It is assumed that in both systems there would continue to be a separate tax on transfers of assets by gift or bequest, such as the present estate and gift tax. The proposal describes in detail how specific items of capital income — dividends, interest, capital gains, income from personal business, and accumulation of retirement pensions -- are treated. The corporate income tax is eliminated because there is no longer a need to tax undistributed corporate income. Purchases of corporate stocks through qualified accounts are tax deductible, while all withdrawals from qualified accounts are included in the tax base. Sale proceeds of corporate stock, dividends, and interest, if remaining in the qualified account, are not taxed. The cash flow tax, like the comprehensive income tax, would move towards neutrality in the tax treatment of different kinds of investments. In doing so, both proposals would have the effect of encouraging the best use of available capital. In addition the cash flow tax would eliminate the discouragement to capital formation inherent in the concept of a tax on income. The Filing Unit and Tax Rates The cash flow tax proposal treats definition of the filing unit, exemptions for family size, and deductions of personal consumption items the same way as the comprehensive income tax proposal. The differences between the two proposals are in the treatment of items which represent a change in net worth, or income from capital, and in the treatment of gifts and inheritances. Under the cash flow tax, an exemption of $800 per person and $1,500 per return together with the three rate brackets — 10 percent, 28 percent, and 40 percent — would allow present tax revenues to be raised while maintaining the same vertical distribution of tax burdens. - 13 TRANSITION PROBLEMS Reforming the existing tax system poses a different set of problems than designing a new tax system from scratch. Although the report concentrates on the design of approximations to ideal tax systems, the problems of transition have also been examined and possible solutions embodied in specific proposals. Transition to a new set of tax rules poses two separate, but related problems. First, changes in rules for taxing income from capital will lead to changes in the relative value of assets. Problems of fairness would exist if investors who had purchased a particular type of asset in light of the present tax system were subjected to losses by sudden major changes in tax policy. Similarly, changes in tax policy may provide some investors with windfall gains. Second, changes in the tax law raise questions of what to do about income earned before the effective date, but not yet subject to tax. For example, the comprehensive income tax, which proposes full inclusion of capital gains in the base (subject to an inflation adjustment), requires a transition rule for taxing capital gains accumulated before, but realized after, the effective date. The report describes two methods for moderating the wealth effects of tax reform—"grandfathering," or exempting existing assets from the new tax provisions, and phasing-in of the new rules. Specific proposals for use of these instruments for projected changes in the tax code are presented. The report also outlines specific transition proposals for handling income earned before the effective date, but not yet taxed. HOW AN INDIVIDUAL WOULD CALCULATE TAX LIABILITY UNDER THE REFORM PLANS Elements Common to Both Plans The method of calculating tax liabilities under the model tax systems would be similar to the method in use today. Taxpayers would fill out a form like the Form 1040, indicating family status and number of exemptions. There would not be a standard deduction under either plan. Taxpayers who had eligible deductions would choose to itemize; to reduce the number of itemizers, deductions would be subject to floor amounts. - 14 The tax base would be calculated on the form, and the tax rate schedule appropriate to the filing unit (i.e., single, married, head of household) would be applied to compute tax liability. Taxes owed and refunds due, would depend on the difference between tax liability and taxes withheld as reported on W-2 statements or estimated tax paid. The wages and salaries of the primary wage earner would remain the biggest item in the tax base of most households and would be entered into the calculation of income the same way as under the current system. The first $10,000 of wages and salaries of secondary wage earners would be multiplied by .75 before being added to the tax base. The rules for calculating some deductions (e.g., child care) would be changed, and other deductions (e.g., property and gasoline taxes) would be eliminated. The Comprehensive Income Tax Under the comprehensive income tax, some additional items would be added to the computation of tax. Corporations would supply to all stockholders a statement of the amount of profit attributed to that stockholder in the previous year, and an adjustment to basis that would rise with earnings and fall with distributions. Similar statements of attributed earnings would be supplied to taxpayers by pension funds and insurance companies. In addition to the income reported in these statements, taxpayers would report income from interest on State and local bonds, unemployment compensation, and social security retirement benefits. All capital gains (or losses) would be entered in full in the computation of taxable income. The basis for corporate shares would be increased by corporate income taxed but not distributed to them. In computing gains from sale or exchange, the taxpayer would be allowed to adjust the basis of assets sold for inflation. A table of allowable percentage basis adjustments would be provided in the tax form. The taxpayer would use statements received from corporations to adjust the basis of corporate shares upward for any past attributed corporate profits and downward for dividends or other distributions received. The Cash Flow Tax The major change under the cash flow tax is that the taxpayer would receive yearly statements of net withdrawals - 15 or deposits from all qualified accounts. If deposits exceeded withdrawals, the difference between deposits and withdrawals would be subtracted from the tax base. If withdrawals exceeded deposits, the difference would be added to the tax base. Interest, dividends, and capital gains realized on investments made outside of qualified accounts would not be reported on the tax form and would not be included in taxable income. The rationale for this is that the tax would have been pre-paid, because no deduction was allowed at the time of purchase. Gifts and inheritances received would be included in the tax base (but if deposited in a qualified account would have an offsetting deduction). A deduction would be allowed for gifts and bequests given. The identity of the recipient of deductible gifts would be reported on the donor's return. CHAPTER-BY-CHAPTER OUTLINE OF THE REMAINDER OF THE REPORT Chapter 2 — What is to be the Tax Base? Chapter 2 reviews the main issues in choosing an appropriate tax base (the sum to which the structure of exemptions and rates is applied) and presents the case for considering a cash flow tax based on consumption as an alternative to a reformed comprehensive income tax. General issues of equity in design of a tax system are discussed, and the concepts of consumption and income are explained in detail. It is shown that the current tax system contains elements of both a consumption base and a comprehensive income base. Thus, it is shown how the adoption of a consumption or cash flow tax would not be as great a change from the present system as it might seem. The alternative tax bases are compared on grounds of equity, simplicity, and effects on economic efficiency. Chapter 3 — A Model Comprehensive Income Tax A model comprehensive income tax is presented in chapter 3. The major innovations in the plan relate to integration of the corporation and individual income taxes, and to tax treatment of capital gains, State and local bond interest, income accumulated in pensions and life insurance funds, retirement income, and unemployment compensation. Changes in many personal deductions are suggested. Important recommendations for changes in the filing unit, adjustment for - 16 - family size, and taxation of secondary wage earners are set forth. International considerations in income taxation are discussed briefly. The chapter concludes with a description of a sample form for tax calculation under the comprehensive income proposal. Chapter 4 — A Model Cash Flow Tax In chapter 4, a model cash flow tax based on consumption is presented. The major innovation in the cash flow tax is that savings may be deducted from the tax base. The use of qualified accounts to measure the flow of saving and consumption is proposed. The equivalence between deductibility of saving and exclusion of capital earnings from tax is explained, and alternative treatments of assets reflecting this equivalence are presented. Treatment of specific items under the model cash flow tax is proposed in detail and compared with treatment of corresponding items under the comprehensive income tax. Arguments against the cash flow tax on grounds of progressivity and effects on wealth distribution are evaluated. The use of a supplementary wealth transfer tax to provide greater progressivity is explored. The chapter concludes with a description of a sample tax form under the cash flow proposal. Chapter 5 — Quantitative Analyses Chapter 5 presents simulations of the effects of the proposed reforms on the tax liabilities of different groups of taxpayers. The chapter demonstrates that the vertical structure of tax burdens under the present income tax system may be broadly duplicated with a more generous set of exemptions and a rate schedule which is more moderate and much simpler so long as the tax base is greatly broadened as proposed under either the comprehensive income tax (chapter 3) or the cash flow consumption type tax (chapter 4 ) . Chapter 6 — Transition Considerations Chapter 6 proposes transition rules to accompany adoption of the model tax plans. Problems which may arise in changing tax laws are explained, and instruments to ameliorate adjustment problems, including exempting existing assets from changes and phasing in new rules, are described and evaluated. Specific proposals are presented for transition to both a comprehensive income base and a cash flow base that cover the timing of the application of new rules to specific proposed changes in the tax code. Table 1 Summary Comparison of Model Tax Plans Item Current tax Model comprehensive income tax Model cash flow tax Corporate income a. Retained earnings b. Dividends Separately taxed to corporations Attributed to individuals as income and included in tax base No tax until consumed Separately taxed to corporations, included in individual tax base with $100 exemption Not taxed separately No tax until consumed I 50% of long-term gains included when realized; alternative tax available Fully included in tax base on realization; no partial exclusion No tax until consumed Capital losses 50% of long-term losses deductible against included portion of long-term gains and $1,000 of ordinary income; carryover of losses allowed Fully deductible from tax base on realization No tax offset unless consumption is reduced Depreciation Complex set of depreciation rules for different types of equipment and structures Reformed rules for depreciation; depreciation to approximate actual decline in economic value on a systematic basis by industry classes Permits expensing of all business outlays, capital or current Capital gains I Table 1 Summary Comparison of Model Tax Plans (continued) Item Current tax Model comprehensive income tax Model cash flow tax State and local bond interest Excluded from tax base Included in tax base Excluded from tax base until consumed Other interest received Included in tax base Included in tax base Excluded from tax base until consumed Proceeds of loans Excluded from tax base Excluded from tax base Inclusion in tax base optional Interest paid on loans Deducted from tax base Deducted from tax base Deducted from tax base if proceeds of loan included in base oo I Principal repayments on loans Not deducted from tax base Not deducted from tax base Deducted from tax base if proceeds of loan included in base Rental value of owner-occupied homes Excluded from tax base Excluded from tax base Implicitly included in tax base because purchase treated as consumption State or local property, sales and gasoline taxes (nonbusiness) Deducted from tax base Not deducted from tax base Not deducted from tax base Medical expenses 1/ Expenses over 3% of adjusted gross income deducted from tax base No deduction; possible credit for expenses over 10% of income* No deduction; possible credit for expenses over 10% of consumption* Deducted from tax Not deducted from base* Not deducted from tax base* Charitable contributions 2/ Table 1 Summary Comparison of Model Tax Plans (continued) Item Current tax Model comprehensive Income tax Model cash flow tax Casualty losses Uninsured losses deducted Not deducted from tax from tax base* base* Not deducted from tax base State and local income taxes Deducted from tax base Deducted from tax base* Deducted from tax base* Child care expenses 3/ Limited tax deduction Revised tax deduction* Revised tax deduction* Contributions to retirement pensions Employer contributions untaxed; employee contributions taxed All contributions excluded from tax All contributions excluded from tax Excluded from tax Attributed to employer or to individuals and taxed in full as accrued Excluded from tax Retirement benefits from pension Included in tax base funds except for return of employee contribution Included in tax base Included in tax base unless saved Social security contributions Employer contributions untaxed; employee contributions taxed All contributions excluded from tax All contributions excluded from tax Social security retirement income and unemployment compensation Excluded from tax base Included in tax base Included in tax base unless saved Wage and salary income 4/ Included in tax base Included in tax base for primary earner; for secondary earners, 75% of wages under $10,000 and all wages over $10,000 included* Included in tax base for primary earner; for secondary earners, 75% of wages under $10,000 and all wages over $10,000 included*; savings out of wages deductible Interest earnings on pension funds I VO I Table 1 Summary Comparison of Model Tax Plans (continued) Item Current tax Model comprehensive income tax Model 6ash flow tax Deposits in qualified investment accounts No tax consequences No tax consequences Deducted from tax base Withdrawals from qualified investment accounts No tax consequences No tax consequences Included in tax base Standard deduction Available to nonNo standard deduction; itemizers only; $1,600 $1,600 per return or 1 6 % of adjusted gross exemption income up to $2,400 for single taxpayer, $1,900 or 1 6 % of adjusted gross income up to $2,800 for married couple filing jointly No standard deduction; $1,500 per return exemption $750 per individual; extra $1,000 per indiexemptions for aged and vidual blind $800 per individual Personal exemptions Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis * Indicates alternative treatments possible. 1/ Medical deduction optional under model tax plans. Alternative ways of structuring deduction or credit possible. 2/ Charitable deduction optional under model tax plans. Other alternatives possible, including limited credit. 3/ Child care deduction and its form and limits optional under model tax plans. 4/ Treat-ent of secondary earners optional under model tax plans. ro o - 21 Chapter 2 WHAT IS TO BE THE TAX BASE? INTRODUCTION The dominant complaint made about the present tax system is that it does not tax all income alike. This complaint reflects concern about equity: taxpayers with the same level of income bear different tax burdens. It reflects concern about efficiency: taxation at rates that differ by industry or by type of financial arrangement leads to misallocation of resources. Finally, it reflects concern about simplicity: the enormously complex tangle of provisions the taxpayer confronts in ordering his affairs and calculating his tax leads to differential rates of taxation. The usual approach to the complaint that all income is not taxed alike is to attempt to make income as defined by tax law correspond more closely to the "real thing." The problem with this approach is the difficulty of identifying the "real thing." As with other abstractions, there are numerous ways to look at the concept of "income," some of which may be better or worse according to context. Laymen find it hard to believe that there are major problems in defining income. They are used to thinking in terms of cash wages and salaries, which are easily identified and clearly income. In fact, wages and salaries account for the great bulk of income — however defined — in the U.S. economy; other items like interest and dividends are also easily identified. So it may be fairly said that most of the dollars identified as income in the total economy will be the same under any definition of income. But as one approaches the edges of the concept of income, there is a substantial grey area. It is small compared with the bulk of income, but this grey area (capital gains, for example) is the focus of much controversy. There is an extensive literature on the subject, beginning before the turn of the century and continuing to the present, with no consensus except that particular definitions may be more practical in certain circumstances than in others. - 22 Many of the major problems in defining income concern expectations or rights with respect to the receipt of payments in the future — does an individual have income when the expectation or right arises, or only when the money comes in? Is the promise to pay a pension to be counted as income when made, although the amounts will be paid 20 years hence? Is a contract to earn $60,000 a year for the next 5 years to be discounted and counted as income in the year the contract is made? Is the appreciation in the market value of an outstanding bond resulting from a decline in the general market rate of interest to be counted as income now, even though that appreciation will disappear if interest rates rise in the future? Is the increase in the present value of a share in a business attributable to favorable prospects of the business earning more in future years to be counted as income now or in the future years when the earnings actually materialize? Differences in view with respect to the definition of income cut across political philosophies. Although many "liberal" economists argue for an expansive definition of income, the extreme view that income cannot be defined adequately to constitute a satisfactory tax base has been advanced by the eminent British Socialist economist, Nicholas Kaldor, who argues for a consumption tax. At another extreme, one of the most all-inclusive definitions of income was formulated by Professor Henry Simons, a conservative economist long affiliated with the University of Chicago. Professor Simons1 definition — usually referred to as the "Haig-Simons definition" or the "accretion" concept of income — is perhaps most commonly used in discussions about income taxes. Professor Simons himself was careful to say that the definition was not suitable for all purposes and would not, without modification, describe a satisfactory tax base. Most analysts would agree. However, the definition is useful for analytical purposes. It represents a kind of "outer limit" that helps identify items that are potential candidates for inclusion or exclusion in any income tax base. In the discussions that follow, it should be understood that the Haig-Simons or "accretion" definition is used and discussed in that way, and that no blanket endorsement of that definition of income is intended. Indeed, the accretion concept of income has many shortcomings as a tax base. Several of them are serious, and attempts to deal with them account for much complexity - 23 - in the present tax code. Among these shortcomings are severe measurement problems. Many items that are required for the calculation of net income must be imputed — either guessed at or determined by applying relatively arbitrary rules (as in the case of depreciation) . Because such rules are never perfect, they are the subject of continual controversy. A particular problem with certain current rules is their inability to measure income correctly in periods of inflation. An especially serious drawback of an accretion income base is that it leads to what is sometimes called the "double taxation" of savings: savings are accumulated after payment of taxes and the yield earned on those savings is then taxed again. This has been recognized as a problem in the existing tax law, and many techniques have been introduced to make the tax system more neutral with respect to savings. The investment tax credit, accelerated depreciation, special tax rates for capital gains, and other provisions are examples. Also, tax deferral on income from certain investments for retirement purposes is an example of how current law attempts to offset the adverse effects on savings of using an accretion income base. Significantly, this last example is also viewed as desirable for reasons of equity. All these techniques have the same practical effect as exempting from tax the income from the investment. To this extent, this is equivalent to converting the base from accretion income to consumption. The present tax system thus may be regarded as having a mixture of consumption and accretion income bases. In view of this, a question that arises is whether the proper objective of tax reform should be to move more explicitly toward a consumption base rather than toward a purer accretion base. The issue is considered in this chapter. The analysis suggests that the consumption tax has many important advantages as compared with an income tax and accordingly should be seriously considered in designing a reformed tax system. In some respects, a broad-based consumption tax is more equitable than a broad-based income tax. It is also easier to design and implement and has fewer harmful disincentive effects on private economic activity. In many important ways, a broad-based consumption tax more closely approximates the current tax system than does a broad-based income tax and would constitute less ot a change. - 24 - The remainder of this chapter compares^consumption and income taxes with respect to various criteria. The chapter includes: • A discussion of some general issues relating to equity; • An explanation of the concepts of consumption and income, including a discussion of some definitional problems; • A comparison of the treatment of personal savings under the current tax system with the treatment of savings under a consumption tax and a broad-based income tax; • A discussion of the merits of the alternative tax bases on criteria of equity; • A comparison of the alternative tax bases for simplicity? and • A discussion of the economic efficiency effects of tax policies and a comparison of the efficiency losses under a consumption tax and an income tax. TWO PRELIMINARY MATTERS OF EQUITY As has already been suggested, the specification of a tax code has the effect of defining the conditions under which two taxpayers are regarded as having the same circumstances, so that they should properly bear the same tax burden. This section considers two aspects of such a comparison that have important implications for tax design: first, over what period of time are the circumstances of two taxpayers to be compared; and, second, what are the units — individuals or families — between which comparisons are to be drawn. Equity Over What Time Period? Most tax systems make liabilities to remit payments depend upon events during a relatively short accounting period. In many cases, this is a matter of practical necessity rather than principle. That is, tax liabilities must be calculated periodically on the basis of current information. Generally, there is nothing sacred about the - 25 accounting period — be it a week, a month, or a year — as far as defining the period over which taxpayer circumstances are to be compared. Indeed, it is usually regarded as regrettable that practical procedures do not allow the calculation of liabilities to take a much longer view. Averaging and carryover provisions represent (inadequate) attempts to resolve inequities that arise in this respect. An example from another program will illustrate. Under many welfare programs the accounting period is 1 month. A family earning just at the eligibility level at an even rate for the year will receive nothing. A family earning the same amount during the year, but earning it all during the first 3 months will appear to have no earnings during the remaining 9 months. That family will then be eligible for full benefits for 9 months, in spite of being no worse off than the first family in the perspective of a year's experience. It is assumed in this study that the period over which such comparisons are made should be as long as possible. Ideally, two taxpayers should be compared on the basis of a whole lifetime of circumstances, and this is taken here to be a general goal of tax system design: lifetime tax burden should depend upon lifetime circumstances. It is important to note that lifetime tax burden depends not only on the sum of all tax liabilities over a taxpaying unit's lifetime, but also on their timing. Deferral of a portion of tax liability is a form of reduction in tax burden in an income tax framework because interest can be earned on the deferred tax payments. For example, if investors can expect a 10-percent annual rate of return on riskless assets, a tax liability of $110 a year from now is equivalent to a tax liability of $100 today because $100, if untaxed and invested, will grow to $110 in value in one year's time. A common way of expressing this is to say that the present value of a tax liability of $110 one year in the future is $100. When comparing the lifetime tax burdens of two taxpayers, we are, in fact, comparing the present value of the sum of current and future tax liabilities viewed from the vantage of some point early in the life of the two taxpayers (e.g., at birth, or at the beginning of working years, or at age 18). Is the Family or the Individual the Appropriate Unit? What taxpaying unit is the subject of this comparison of situations? When it is asked whether one taxpayer is in - 26 - the same situation as another, is the taxpayer an individual or a family? The sharing of both consumption and wealth within families supports continuation of present law in regarding the family as the unit of comparison. On the other hand, a family is not a simple institution, with a predictable lifetime, and a constant identity. Quite apart from the problem of distinguishing varying degrees of formality in family structure (e.g., is the second cousin living in the guest room part of the family?), the family necessarily is a changing unit, with births, deaths, marriages, and divorces continually altering family composition. In this study, differences in family association have been regarded as relevant to that comparison of lifetime situation by which relative tax burdens are to be assigned to different individuals. The practical consequence of this will be that the tax liability of a father, for example, will depend in part upon consideration of the situation of the whole family. INCOME AND CONSUMPTION A tax base is not a quantity like water in a closed hydraulic system, wherein the total remains constant regardless of how it is directed by valves and pumps. Rather, it is an aggregation of transactions — sometimes implicit but usually voluntary. The transactions that take place will depend in part upon how they are treated by the tax system. The choice of a tax base is a choice about how to tax certain transactions. A tax base is necessarily defined by a set of accounting rules that classifies actual and implicit transactions as falling within or outside the "tax base," that is the total to which a tax schedule is applied to determine the taxpayerfs liability. The Internal Revenue Code prescribes an "income" tax, with "income" defined by the elaborate body of statutory and administrative tax law that has evolved. But this definition is criticized by many observers, who believe that tax burdens should be related to a broader tax base, i.e., to a wider set of transactions. As was pointed out above, the concept of income generally used in discussion of tax reform has been called an "accretion" concept. It is supposed to measure the command over resources - 27 - SSS'-KCtJrH^'^t^^-.t.j, P.rio_. that he form of sumption or held as potential 5 S * V inU SUn, ti0n i n t h e form of an addition S the ?axpaJer's ^alS S h Hence apparently paradoxical practice _»? *!*" - » • ' the "outlay" or "uses" concent - L defining "income" by an worth. concept — consumption plus change in net incomfS^e^sSrcL^drS?^;11' ***! t0 aSSOCiate speaks of income "from labor " s S h ^ C ° U n t S * T h ? s ' o n e "from capital " or- »^Z ' • c h a s w a 9 e s / °r income and proSts? 'BecausJ S u r S S " 6 J ° r S h i p S ' " S U c h a s interest double entri aclountina s £ s ? L a n d u s e s ™ s t b e equal in a same whichever siSe is tfKn ?A * reSUlt should be the provided thlt a n uses are re a , S r P ° S e S ° f m e a s <^ment, inclusion in thlTtax Jase r e g a r d e d a s ^ropriate for Definitions of income and Consumption transactSS ^T^^ * fudiment^ry classification of make o? ^If1^1^ °aSf' ^6 Possible applications he can S S J ^ U n d S m a y b e d i v i d e d into the purchase of S b t r a c ? f o n ! T C e \ f ° r h ± S i r e d i a t e U S e a n d Editions to or subtractions from his accumulation of savings. Thus an account of his situation for the year might be the followingS O U R C E S U S E S Wages Interest Balance in savings account at beginning of period Rent Clothing Food Recreation Balance in savings account at end of period The two sides of this account are, of course, required to balance. Of the uses, the first four are generally lumped - 28 - under the concept of consumption, the last constituting the net worth of the household. Thus, the accounts may be schematically written as: SOURCES USES Wages Interest Net worth at beginning of period Consumption Net worth at end of period The concept of income concerns the additions or accretions to source and the application of that accretion during the accounting period. This can be found simply by subtracting the accumulated savings (net worth) at the beginning of the period from both sides, to give: ADDITION TO SOURCES USES OF ADDITION TO SOURCES Wages Interest Consumption Savings (equals increase in net worth over the period) Income is defined here as be the sum of consumption and increase in net worth. Note carefully that a uses definition is adopted as a measure of differences in individual circumstances. This approach to the concept of income has substantial advantages as a device for organizing thinking on particular policy issues, even though it will no doubt be unfamiliar to many readers, who naturally think of income as something that "flows in" rather than as something that is used. With this uses definition of income, the situation of the illustrative individual may be represented by: - 29 - ADDITION TO SOURCES USES OF ADDITION TO SOURCES Wages Interest Income The last version of the accounts makes clear the way in which information about sources is used to determine the individual's income. To calculate his income for the year, this individual obviously would not add up his outlays for rent, clothing, food, recreation, and increase in savings account balance. Rather, he would simply add together his wages and interest and take advantage of the accounting identity between this sum and income. This classification of uses into consumption and increase in net worth is not sufficient, however, to accommodate distinctions commonly made by tax policy. It will be helpful, therefore, to refine the accounts to the following: ADDITION TO SOURCES USE OF ADDITION TO SOURCES Wages Interest Consumption Cost of earnings Certain other outlays Increase in net worth An individual's outlay for special work clothes needed for his profession requires the category "cost of earnings." These are netted out in defining income. Note that the decision about which outlays to include in this category is a social or political one. Thus, in present law, outlays for specialized work clothes are deductible, but commuting expenses are not. There is no independent standard to which one can appeal to determine whether such outlays are consumption, and hence a part of income, or work expenses, and hence out of income. - 30 - Similarly, a judgment may be made that some outlays, while not costs of earning a living, are also not properly classified as consumption. The category of "other outlays" is introduced for want of a better label for such transactions. For example, in everyday usage, State income taxes would not be an application of funds appropriately labeled "personal consumption," much less "increase in net worth." (They might be allocated to the "cost of earnings" category.) Thus, using the definition of income as the sum of consumption and the increase in net worth, we now have: ADDITION TO USES OF ADDITION SOURCES TO SOURCES Earnings (Wages + Interest) • — — — - - _ . . - , _ - . — . - _ - . Income (Consumption + Increase in net worth) Cost of earnings Certain other outlays , . . . _ . Again, to calculate income it is generally convenient to work from the left-hand, sources side of the accounting relationship described above. In this case, Income = Earnings minus Cost of earnings minus Certain other outlays. Similarly, and of great importance in understanding this study, consumption may be calculated by starting with sources data: Consumption = Earnings minus Cost of earnings minus Certain other outlays minus Increase in net worth. - 31 One further addition to the accounting scheme is needed at this point: the item "gifts and bequests given." This is a use of funds that some would regard as consumption, but in this report the term consumption, without modifier, is reserved for the narrower notion of goods and services of direct benefit to the individual in question. The accounts now have the following structure: ADDITION TO SOURCES USES OF ADDITION TO SOURCES Consumption Gifts and bequests given Cost of earnings Certain other outlays Increase in net worth It must be decided whether gifts and bequests given are to be regarded as income, that is, as a component of the total by which taxpayers are to be compared for assigning burdens. The term "ability-to-pay" is used to describe the income concept that considers income to be the sum of consumption plus gifts and bequests given plus increase in net worth, because it is within the taxpayer's ability to choose among these uses and, hence, all three measure taxpaying potential equally. It should be emphasized that the label "ability-to-pay" is intended to be suggestive only. There is no agreed upon measure of the idea of a taxpayer's ability to pay. Because of this, quotation marks will be used when the term "ability-to-pay" is used in its role as a label for an income or consumption concept. "Ability-to-pay" income or consumption would also generally be calculated by starting on the sources side: Earnings "Ability-to-pay" income minus Cost of earnings minus Certain other outlays Wages Interest - 32 - "Ability-to-pay" consumption = Earnings minus Cost of earnings minus Certain other outlays minus Increase in net worth. The difference between consumption and income is the savings or increase in net worth over the period. Thus, equivalently: "Ability-to-pay" consumption = "Ability-to-pay" income minus Increase in net worth. Finally, there is the pair of income and consumption concepts that excludes gifts and bequests given from the category of uses by which tax burdens are to be apportioned. These are given the label "standard-of-living" because they are confined to outlays for the taxpayer's direct benefit. As with the term "ability-to-pay," this label is intended to be suggestive only. The "ability-to-pay" and "standard-ofliving" concepts are related as follows: "Standard-of-living" income = "Ability-to-pay" income minus Gifts and bequests given, "Standard-of-living" consumption = "Standard-of-living" incor^ minus Increase in net worth. This discussion leads to a four-way classification of tax bases: - 33 - Gifts Given Included Increase in net worth Excluded Included Ability-to-pay income Standard-of-living income Excluded Ability-to-pay consumption Standard-of-living consumption THE PRESENT TAX BASE Is the Present Base Consumption or Income? While the present income tax system does not reflect any consistent definition of the tax base, it has surprisingly many features of a "standard-of-living" consumption base. The idea of consumption as a tax base sounds strange and even radical to many people. Nonetheless there are many similarities between a consumption base tax and the current tax system. Adoption of a broad-based consumption tax might actually result in less of a departure from current tax treatment of savings than adoption of a broad-based income tax. The current tax system exempts many forms of savings from tax. In particular, the two items that account for the bulk of savings for most Americans, pensions and home ownership, are treated by the present tax code in a way that is more similar to the consumption model than to the comprehensive income model. Retirement savings financed by emPloye^Tc°ntJ^^ions to pension plans (or made via a "Keogh" or "Individual Retirement Account" (IRA)) are currently treated as they would be under a consumption tax. Under the current system, savings in employer-funded pension plans are not ^eluded m the tax base, but retirement benefits from those plans, - 34 which are available for consumption in retirement years, are included. Employee contributions to pension plans are treated somewhat less liberally. The original contribution is included in the tax base when made, but the portion of retirement income representing interest earnings on the original contributions is not taxed until these earnings are received as retirement payments. If the tax on those interest earnings were paid as the earnings accrued, treatment of employee contributions to pension plans would be the same as that under a comprehensive income tax. However, the tax on interest earnings in pension funds is lower than under a comprehensive income base because the tax is deferred. If no tax were paid on the interest earnings portion of retirement pay, then the present value of tax liability would be exactly the same as the present value of tax liability under a consumption tax. Thus, the current treatment of employee contributions incorporates elements of both the comprehensive income model and the consumption model but, because of the quantitative importance of tax deferral on pension fund earnings, the treatment is closer to the consumption model. The current tax treatment of home ownership is very similar to the tax treatment of home ownership under a consumption tax. Under present law, a home is purchased out of tax-paid income (is not deductible), and the value of the use of the home is not taxed as current income. Under a consumption tax, two alternative treatments are possible. Either the initial purchase price of the house would be included in the tax base (i.e., not deductible in calculating the tax base) and the flow of returns in the form of housing services would be ignored for tax purposes, or the initial purchase price would be deductible and an imputation would be made for the value of the flow of returns, which would be included in the tax base. In equilibrium, the market value of any asset is equal to the net present value of the flow of future returns, either in the form of monetary profits or value of consumption services. For example, the market value of a house should equal the present value of all future rental services (the gross rent that would have to be paid to a landlord for equivalent housing) minus the present value of future operating costs (including depreciation, operating costs, property taxes, repairs, etc.). Thus, in both cases, the present of the tax base would be thehouse, same. the For example, if value an individual purchased a $40,000 - 35 - present value of his future tax base for that item of consumption would be $40,000 regardless of how he chose to be taxed. Because the initial purchase price is easier to observe than the imputed service flow, it would be most practical, under a consumption tax, to include the purchase of a house in the tax base and exclude net imputed returns. In that case, capital gains from sale of a house would not be taxable. In the current tax system, as in the consumption tax system, the down payment and principal payments for an owner-occupied residence are included in the tax base, and the imputed net rental income in the form of housing services is excluded from tax. Capital gains from housing sales are taxable at preferential capital gains rates upon realization (which allows considerable tax deferral if the house is held for a long period) , and no capital gains tax is levied if the seller is over 65 or if the gain is used to purchase another house. In contrast, under a comprehensive income base, the entire return on the investment in housing, received in the form of net value of housing services, would be subject to tax and, in addition, the purchase price would not be deductible from the tax base. Many special provisions of the tax law approximate a consumption tax in the lifetime tax treatment of savings. For example, allowing immediate deduction for tax purposes of the purchase price of an item that will be used up over a period of years (i.e., immediate expensing of capital investments) is equivalent to consumption tax treatment of investment income because it allows the full deduction of savings; thus, accelerated depreciation approximates the consumption tax approach. While depreciation provisions under the present law are haphazard, a consumption base tax would allow the immediate deduction of saving to all savers. In conclusion, taxation of a significant portion of savings under the current system more closely resembles the consumption model than the comprehensive income model. For owner-occupied housing, a large fraction of pension plans, and some other investments, the tax base closely approximates either the present value of imputed consumption benefits or the present value of consumption financed by proceeds of the investment. - 36 - Is the Tax System Presently on an "Ability-to-Pay" or a "Standard-of-Living" Basis? Three possibilities may be considered for the income tax treatment of a gift from one taxpaying unit to another: (1) the gift might be deducted from uses in calculating the tax base of the donor and included in sources in calculating the base of the donee; (2) it might be left in the base of the donor and also included in the base of the donee; or (3) it might be left in the base of the donor but excluded from the base of the donee. The first of these treatments is that implied by a "standard-of-living" basis for determining relative tax burdens. The second treatment expresses an "ability-to-pay" view. The third treatment is that of the present income tax (excluding the estate and gift tax) law, at least with respect to property, with no unrealized appreciation at the time the gift is made. The first and third treatments are similar in that there is no separate tax on the transfer of wealth from one taxpaying unit to another. The tax burdens under those two options may differ with a progressive tax structure, however. Under the third treatment, aggregate tax liability is unaffected by the gift, but under the first, it will rise or fall depending on whether or not the marginal tax bracket of the donee is higher than the marginal tax bracket of the donor. Under the second treatment, with the gift or bequest in the tax base of both the donor and the donee, the consumption or change in net worth financed by the gift is, in effect, taxed twice. It is taxed as consumption by the donor, and then taxed again as consumption or an increase in net worth of the donee. To illustrate the alternative treatments of wealth transfers, consider the case of taxpayers A and B, who start life with no wealth and who are alike except that A decides to accumulate an estate. Their sons, A' and B', respectively, consume their available resources and die with zero wealth. Thus, A has lower consumption than B; A' (who consumed what his father saved) has higher consumption than B'. Under a "standard-of-living" approach, the pair A-A1 should bear roughly the same tax burden as the pair B-B'. This is so because the higher consumption of A' is simply that which his father, A, did not consume. Under an "ability-to-pay" approach, the combination A-A' should bear more tax than B-B'. A and B have the same ability to pay, - 37 - but because A chooses to exercise his ability to pay by making a gift to his son, A1 has a greater ability to pay than B', by virtue of the gift received. Neglecting the effect of progressivity, present income tax law taxes the combination A-A' the same as it does the combination B-B' (whether or not A and A' are related). In this respect, present income tax law incorporates a "standardof-living" basis. The way this is accomplished, however, is "backward." That is, instead of taxing A on his "standardof-living" income and then taxing A' on his "standard-ofliving" income, present law taxes A on his consumption plus increase in net worth plus the gift given (i.e., the gift is not deductible in calculating the income tax due from A) , while A' is taxed on the value of his consumption plus increase in net worth minus the value of the gift received (i.e., the receipt of the gift is not included in calculating the tax due from A'). This procedure clearly mismeasures the income of A. It mismeasures the income of A', as well, if a "standard-ofliving" concept of income is used. The income of A1 is understated (gift received is not included) and that of A is overstated (gift given is not excluded). However (continuing to neglect the effect of progressivity), the impact of the tax system on A and A' is the same as if the treatment were the other way around, at least as far as intentional gifts are concerned. Suppose, for example, that A wants to enable A1 to have an extra $750 worth of consumption. Under present law, A simply gives A' $750 cash and A' consumes it. Under a "standard-of-living" concept of income (assuming A and A' are both in the 25-percent rate bracket), A would give A' $1,000. After paying taxes of $250, A' would have $750 to consume. At the same time, A would deduct $1,000 from his tax base, saving $250 and making the net cost of his gift $750. Although the effects of progressivity would alter this somewhat, it is not clear that the differences in rates between giver and receiver would be likely to be large if a lifetime view were taken. Naturally, under present law, an adult donor will tend to have a higher marginal rate of income tax than a child donee. It is for this reason that present income tax law treatment of gift and bequest transactions may come closer than the more intuitively obvious one ~ excluding to donor, including to donee — to measuring - 38 - "standard-of-living" income correctly. Certain administrative aspects also favor the present treatment of gifts and bequests for income tax purposes. In summary, whether by accident or design, present income tax law incorporates a rough sort of "standard-ofliving" view of the concept of income because it does not include an extra tax on wealth transfers as an integral part of the income tax. Such treatment approximates a provision where a gift given is included in the income of the donee and excluded from the income of the donor, even though the mechanics of calculating the tax are on the opposite basis. It is, then, mainly the estate and gift tax that introduces the "ability-to-pay" element into the tax system, because it results in a gift or bequest being taxed twice to the donor, once under the income tax and again under the transfer tax. The value implicitly expressed is that taxes should generally be assessed on a "standard-of-living" basis, except in the case of individuals whose ability to pay is very large, and whose standard of living is low relative to ability to pay (i.e., those who refrain from consuming in order to make gifts and bequests). ALTERNATIVE BASES: EQUITY CONSIDERATIONS The previous section considered what tax base is implicit in present law. In a sense, the answer itself is an equity judgment, because equity traditionally has played an important role in the tax legislation process. This section considers the relative equity claims of a "consumption" as compared with an "income" basis, of either "ability-to-pay" or "standard-of-living" type, and the "ability-to-pay" or "standard-of-living" version of either consumption or income. Consumption or Income: Which is the Better Base? Involved in the choice between consumption and income as the basis for assessing tax burdens is more than a simple subjective judgment as to whether, of two individuals having different incomes in a given period but who are identical in all respects in all other periods, the one with the higher income should pay the higher tax. Examples of tax burdens considered within a life-cycle framework suggest that a consumption base deserves careful attention if the primary consideration is fairness, whether one takes an ability-topay or a standard-of-living view. - 39 - Many observers consider income and consumption to be simply alternative reasonable ways to measure well-being; often, income is regarded as somewhat superior because it is a better measure of ability to pay. However, in a lifecycle context, income and consumption are not independent of each other. Of two individuals with equal earning abilities at the beginning of their lives, the one with higher consumption early in life is the one who will have a lower lifetime income. This is true because saving is not only a way of using wealth, but also a way of producing income. Thus, the person who saves early in life will have a higher lifetime income in present-value terms. Although his initial endowment of financial wealth and of future earning power is independent of the way he chooses to use it, his lifetime income is not independent of his consumption/savings decisions The examples presented below show that a consumption base would be more likely to maintain the same relative rankings of individuals ranked by endowment than an income base, if "endowment" is defined as an individual's wealth, in marketable and nonmarketable forms, at the beginning of his working years. Wealth so defined consists of the total monetary value of financial and physical assets on hand, the present value of future labor earnings and transfers, less the cost of earning income and less the present value of the "certain other outlays" discussed in the accounting framework above. If endowment is regarded as a good measure of ability to pay over a lifetime, this implies that a consumption base is superior to an income base as a measure of lifetime ablTity to pay. If individuals consume all of their initial endowment during their lifetime (that is, leave no bequest), a consumption tax is exactly equivalent to an initial endowment tax. However, an income tax treats individuals with the same endowment differently, if they have either a different pattern of consumption over their lifetime or a different pattern of earnings. Consider first two individuals with no initial financial or physical wealth, no bequest, the same pattern of labor earnings, and different patterns of consumption. Intuition suggests that, unless these individuals differ in s ?™ e respect other than how they choose to use their available resources (e.g., with respect to medical expenses or family status), they should bear the same tax burden, « e f B u r ^ ^y the present value of lifetime taxes. The tax system should - 40 - not bear more heavily on the individual who chooses to purchase better food than on the one who chooses to buy higher quality clothing. Nor should it bear more heavily on the individual who chooses to apply his endowment of labor abilities to purchase of consumption late in life (by saving early in life) than it does on the one who consumes early in life. While an income tax does not discriminate between the two taxpayers in the case where the two taxpayers consume different commodities, it does in the case where they choose to consume in different time periods in their lives. An income tax imposes a heavier burden on the individual who prefers to save for later consumption than on the one who consumes early, and the amount of difference may be significant. The reason is the double taxation of savings under an income tax. The "use" of funds for savings is taxed, and then the yield from savings is taxed again. The result is that the individual who chooses to save early for later consumption is taxed more heavily than one who consumes early. The tax burden may be reduced most by borrowing for early consumption, since the interest cost is deducted in calculating income. Now, suppose that the two individuals have different time paths of labor earnings but that the two paths have the same present discounted value. For example, individual A may earn $10,000 per year in a given 2-year period, while individual B works for twice as many hours and earns $19,524 in the first of the 2 years, but earns nothing in the second. (The figure of $19,524 is the total of $10,000 plus the amount that would have to be invested at a 5-percent rate of return to make $10,000 available one year later.) Each individual prefers to consume the same amount in both periods, and in the absence of tax, each would consume the same amount, $10,000 per year. Intuition suggests these two individuals should bear the same tax burden. However, under an income tax (even at a flat rate, i.e., not progressive), they would pay different taxes, with B paying more than A. The reason, again, is the double taxation of B's savings. The differences may be very large if a long time period is involved. An income tax imposes a higher burden on the individual who receives labor income earlier even though both have the same initial endowments in present-value terms and the same consumption paths. - 41 - "Standard-of-Living" or "Ability-to-Pav"_ which Criterion? Although for the vast majority of individuals bequests and gifts of cash and valuable property constitute a negligible portion of sources and an equally neqliaible oortion :llT^l\lZt^ tht taX treat^ °* tLKgirIisact?ons10n will have significant consequences for a minority of wealthy individuals and, therefore, for the perceived fairness of the tax system. The equity judgment embodied in present law is that large transfers should be subject to a substantial progressive tax under the estate and gift tax laws and that relatively small transfers need not be taxed. For income tax purposes, amounts given are taxed to the donor and are not taxed to the donee. This has general appeal. The usual reaction to the idea that gifts given should also be included in the tax base of the donee is that this would be an unfair double taxation. As has been pointed out, the circumstances under which large transfers occur are relatively large wealth and low consumption of donor. The imposition of a substantial transfer tax (estate and gift tax) is consistent with a common argument for this tax; namely, that it is desirable to prevent extreme accumulations of wealth. If this is, indeed, the equity objective, it suggests that the code's present allowance of relatively large exemptions and imposition of high rates on very large transfers is sensible. Summing Up: The Equity Comparison of Consumption and Income As a general matter, the important conclusions to be Bases drawn from the foregoing discussion are: • Either an income or a consumption tax may be designed to fulfill "ability-to-pay" or "standard-of-living" objectives. The difference is not between these two types of tax, but rather between a tax in which gifts given are considered part of the tax base of either donor or donee or, instead, part of the tax bases of both donor and donee. In the latter case, the tax embodies an "ability-to-pay" approach; in the former, the tax follows from a "standard-of-living" approach. The present income tax system expresses a "standard-ofliving" basis of comparison, while the present estate and gift tax system combines with income tax to give an "ability-to-pay" approach in certain cases. - 42 - • The difference between a consumption base and an income base of either the "standard-of-living" or the "abilityto-pay" type is between one that depends upon the timing of consumption and earnings (and gifts, in the case of an "ability-to-pay" tax) during an individual's lifetime and one that does not. The income tax discriminates against people who earn early in life or prefer to consume late in life. That is, if a tax must raise a given amount of revenue, the income tax makes early earners and late consumers worse off than late earners and early consumers. A consumption tax is neutral between these two patterns. • A consumption tax amounts to a tax on lifetime endowment. It may be viewed as an ideal wealth tax, that is, a tax that makes an assessment on lifetime wealth. An income tax will tend to assess tax burdens in a way presumably correlated with lifetime wealth, but because it depends upon matters of timing, the correspondence is nowhere near as close as would be the case under a consumption base tax. • As previously noted, present law introduces an "abilityto-pay" element into the tax system through the estate and gift provisions. The same device is equally compatible with either an income base or a consumption base tax. As will be discussed in chapter 4, in some respects an estate and gift tax system fits more logically with a consumption base system, which allows deduction of gifts by the donor and requires inclusion by the donee. ALTERNATIVE TAX BASES: SIMPLICITY CONSIDERATIONS Of central importance in determining the complexity of a tax system — to the taxpayer in complying and to the tax collector in auditing compliance — is the ease with which the required transaction information can be assembled and the objective nature of the data. Three desirable characteristics are readily identifiable: • Transactions should be objectively observable — as in the case of the transaction of a wage payment. Such transactions are called "cash" transactions in this report. "Imputed" transactions, i.e., values arrived at by guesses or rules of thumb — as in the case of depreciation — should be kept to a minimum. - 43 - • The period over which records need to be kept should be as short as practicable. • The code should be understandable. Consumption or Income Preferable on Grounds of Simplicity? With respect to simplicity criteria, the consumption base has many advantages, as can be seen on examination of the accounting relationships. At this stage, both the concept of consumption and the concept of increase in net worth must be complicated by adding imputed elements to the simple example. The portion of consumption calculable from cash transactions includes cash outlays for goods and services and transfers to others (optional, depending upon the choice between "standard-of-living" and "ability-to-pay" versions). In addition, an individual usually obtains directly the equivalent of certain consumption services that he could purchase in the marketplace. The most important of these are the services from durable goods, such as owner-occupied houses, and household-produced services, such as child care, recreation, etc. The change in net worth over a given time period, the other component of income, is calculable in part by cash transactions. These include such items as net deposits in savings accounts. Imputed elements,however, are extensive and lead to some of the most irksome aspects of income tax law. Among these are the change in value of assets held over the period, including the reduction in value due to wear and tear, obsolescence, etc. (depreciation); increases in value of assets due to retained earnings in corporate shares held, changed expectations about the future, or changed valuation of the future (accruing capital gains); and accruing values of claims to the future (such as pension rights, and life insurance). Thus, both consumption and the change in net worth can be expressed as the sum of items calculable from cash transactions within the accounting period and items that must be imputed. The cash items are easy to measure, but imputed items are a source of difficulty. Because the imputed consumption elements are needed for a comprehensive income or consumption base, consider first some of the more significant imputed elements of the change in net worth, representing necessary additions to complexity if an income base is used. - 44 - Four problems commonly encountered in measuring change in net worth are depreciation, inflation adjustment, treatment of corporate retained earnings, and treatment of unrealized capital gains on nonmarketed assets. Measurement Problems Depreciation. Depreciation rules are necessary under an income base to account for the change in value of productive assets due to wear and tear, obsolescence, and increases in maintenance and repair costs with age. Because productive assets often are not exchanged for long periods of time, imputations of their annual change in market value must be made. Inevitably, depreciation rules for tax accounting, as in the present code, can only approximate the actual rate of decline in the value of capital assets. Because changes in depreciation rules can benefit identifiable taxpayers, such rules become the object of political pressure groups and are sometimes used as instruments of economic policy, causing the tax base to depart even further from a true accretion concept. Thus, accelerated depreciation, at rates much faster than economic depreciation, has been allowed in some industries as a deliberate subsidy (e.g., mineral industries, real estate, and some farming). To the extent that the relationship between tax depreciation and economic depreciation varies among industries and types of capital, returns to capital investment in different industries and on different types of equipment are taxed at different effective rates. Differences in the tax treatment of capital income among industries create distortions in the allocation of resources across products and services and in the use of different types of capital in production. Unrealized depreciation of an asset is neither added to nor subtracted from the consumption base. Thus, the time path of depreciation imputed to assets does not affect the tax base of asset owners. Adoption of a consumption base tax would automatically eliminate current tax shelters that operate by allowing depreciation in excess of economic depreciation in some industries. Alternative tax subsidies to the same industries, if adopted, would have to be much more explicit and would be easier to measure. The accidental taxation of returns to capital in different industries at different rates that arises under the current system because would of imperfect not occur. knowledge of true economic depreciation rates - 45 - Inflation Adjustment. During a period of rapid inflat ion7thecurrinFT_ncome tax includes inflationary gains along with real gains in the tax base. For example, an individual who buys an asset for $100 at the beginning of a year and sells it for $110 one year later has not had any increase in the purchasing power of his assets if the inflation rate is also 10 percent. Yet, under the current system he would include at least part of any gain on the sale of the asset in the sources side of his tax calculation. An ideal income base would have to adjust for losses on existing assets, including deposits in savings banks and checking accounts, resulting from inflation. Such adjustments would pose challenging administrative problems for assets held for long periods of time. The current tax system effects a rough compromise in its treatment of "longterm capital gains" by requiring that only half of such gains be included in taxable income and by allowing no inflation deduction. (However, this treatment has been substantially modified by the minimum tax and by denial of maximum tax benefits for "earned income" if the taxpayer also has capital gains.) Dividends and interest income are taxed at the same rate as labor income even though the underlying assets may be losing real value. A second type of inflationary problem under the current tax system is that rising nominal incomes move taxpayers into higher marginal tax brackets, and thus increase the average tax rate even when real income is not growing. Inflation will automatically raise the average tax rate in any tax system with a graduated rate structure, whether based on income, consumption, or the current partial-income base. A possible solution is some type of indexing plan, such as automatic upward adjustment of exemption levels. Because this problem does not affect the relative distribution of the tax base among individuals, it is not an issue in choosing between a consumption and an income base. Under a consumption tax, inflation would not lead to difficulties in measuring the relative tax base among individuals because consumption in any year would be measured automatically in current dollars. A decline in the value of assets in any year because of inflation would be neither a positive nor a negative entry in the consumption base. - 46 - Treatment of Corporate Income. Given the difficulty of taxing gains in asset values as they accrue, the present corporate income tax serves the practical function of preventing individuals from reducing their taxes by accumulating income within corporations. Naturally, this is but a rough approximation of the appropriate taxation of this income and the difficulty of identifying incidence and allocation effects of this tax is well known. Under a fully consistent income tax concept, as outlined below in chapter 3, "corporation income" would be attributed to individual stockholders. This integration of the corporation and personal income taxes is desirable for a progressive income tax system because the variation among individuals in marginal tax rates makes it impossible for a uniform tax on corporate income, combined with exclusion of dividends and capital gains, to assess all individual owners at the appropriate rate. Although feasible and desirable in an income tax system, full corporate integration is sometimes regarded as posing too many challenging administrative problems. A partial integration plan that allowed corporations to deduct dividend payments and/or allowed shareholders to "gross up" dividends by an amount reflecting the corporation income tax, taking a credit for the same amount in their individual income tax calculation, would eliminate the problem of "double taxation" of corporate dividends. This could be done without introducing significant complexity into the tax code, but the problem of how to treat corporate retained earnings would remain unresolved. Treatment of corporate income under a consistent consumption tax is simpler than under a comprehensive income tax. The corporation profits tax as such would be eliminated. Individuals would normally include in their tax base all dividends received and the value of all sales of corporate shares, and they would deduct the value of all shares purchased. There would be no need to treat receipts from sales of shares differently than other sources or to attribute undistributed corporate profits to individual shareholders. Treatment of Unrealized Asset Value Changes. The increase in net worth due to any changes in value of assets, whether realized or not, would be included in the accretion concept of income. An individual who sells a stock at the end of the year for than the price attime the beginning of interval land that both of the increases experience year$100 and inmore the value an individual same by increase $100purchase who during in holds net the worth. asame parcel •_____ta_______-_B_____________^_l__-___i____________B_--__^ll_-^^ * « ^ - 47 However, unrealized asset value changes are often difficult to determine, especially if an asset has unique characteristics and has not been exchanged recently on an open market. Further, there is a question as to what is meant by the value of an asset for which the market is very thin and whether changes in the value of such assets should be viewed in the same way as an equal dollar flow of labor, interest, or dividend income. For example, if the value of an individual's house rises, he is unlikely to find it convenient to realize the gain by selling it immediately. Any tax obligation, however, must ordinarily be paid in cash. Similar questions arise with respect to the treatment of increases in the present value of a person's potential income from selling his human services in the labor market. It is not practical to measure either the increase in an individual' s wealth from a rise in the demand for his labor or the depreciation of the present value of future labor earnings with age. Present law makes no attempt to recognize such value changes nor would they be captured in the comprehensive income tax proposal presented in chapter 3. Under a consumption tax, unrealized changes in asset value would not need to be measured because consumption from such assets does not occur unless either cash flow is generated by the asset or the asset is converted into a monetary value by sale. Finally, the problem of income averaging can be minimized with techniques of cash flow management. Averaging is desirable under an income tax because, with a progressive rate structure, an individual with an uneven income stream will have a higher tax base than an individual with the same average income in equal annual installments. Equity requires that two individuals pay the same tax when they have the same lifetime endowment, regardless of the regularity of the pattern in which earnings are received (or expended). The consumption tax may be viewed as a tax in the initial time period on the present value of an individual's lifetime consumption expenditures. Deferral of consumption by saving at positive interest rates raises total lifetime consumption but leaves unchanged the present value of both lifetime consumption and the tax base. Although the annual cash flow measure of the consumption tax correctly measures the present value of lifetime consumption, averaging problems may arise if annual casn now - 48 - varies from year to year. The major averaging problem results from large irregular expenditures, such as the purchase of consumer durables. As described in chapter 4, there are two alternative ways of dealing with loans and investment assets in measuring the tax base. Both methods yield the same expected present value of the tax base over time but enable an individual to alter the timing of his recorded consumption expenditures. The availability of an alternative treatment of loans and assets enables individuals to even out their recorded pattern of consumption for tax purposes and represents a simple and effective averaging device under a consumption tax. The same type of automatic averaging cannot be introduced under an income tax because an income tax is not a tax on the present value of lifetime consumption. Under an accretion income tax, the present value of the tax base rises when consumption is deferred, if interest earnings are positive, because the income used for saving is taxed in the year it ij5 earned and then the interest is taxed again. Thus, allowing deferral of tax liability under an income tax permits a departure from the accretion concept, lowering the present value of tax liability. The discussion above suggests that, contrary to popular belief, a consumption-based tax might be easier to implement, using annual accounting data in an appropriate and consistent fashion, than an income-based tax. "Standard-of-Living" or "Ability-to-Pay" Preferable on Simplicity Grounds? The choice between an "ability-to-pay" and a "standardof-living" approach under the consumption or income tax has significant implications for simplicity of administration. It is relatively easy to insure that the amount of a gift is counted in the tax base of either the donor or the donee. Under present law, gifts (other than charitable gifts) are not deductible from the tax base of the donor. If gifts were deductible, the donor could be required to identify the donee. A requirement that both donor and donee be taxed, as would be implied by an "ability-to-pay" approach, would introduce a great temptation to evade. Taxing both sides would require that the gift not be deductible by the donor and that it be included in the tax base of the donee. Particularly for relatively small gifts and gifts in-kind, ^_-a_-_-------w----------------------k---------->-----___----_-_____k - 49 - auditing compliance with this rule, where no evidence is provided in another person's return of having made the aift could be a formidable Drohl^m i?^»- ™. u It y Hiaae c n e 9irt» compliance with the existing aift LT^ ^ fTr r e a s ° n ' somewhat haphazard? 8 X 1 S t i n g g l f t t a x 1«* " believed to be The issue of gifts in-kind is important. It is difficult (e a a S a n o f f h 6 r & g l f t h a S b e e n g i v e n i n these ctses (e.g., loan of a car or a vacation home). Again, if the Ltion faSiL ^^^ ^° °ne °f the partie* to ^ ^ransK e aiver and LtReport a gift simply means it is taxed to rne giver ana not the recipient. Gifts in-kind are significant in another sense. Gifts and bequests can be considered a minor matter to most people only if the terms are taken to refer to transfers of cash and valuable property. If account were taken of the transfers within families that take the form of supporting children until their adulthood, often including large educational outlays, inheritance would certainly be seen to constitute a large fraction of the true wealth of many individuals. Any discussion of gifts and bequests should take into account that the parent who pays for his child's college education makes a gift no less than the parent who makes a gift of the family farm or of cash, even though this equivalence is not recognized in present tax law. Where large gifts of cash and property are involved, it seems likely that enforcement of a double tax on transfers will be less costly than when gifts are small. This has proved to be the case under current law. EFFICIENCY ISSUES IN A CHOICE BETWEEN AN INCOME AND A CONSUMPTION BASE In public discussions, the efficiency of a tax system is often viewed as depending on its cost of administration and the degree of taxpayer compliance. While these features are important, one other important characteristic defines the efficiency of a tax system: As a general principle, the tax system should minimize the extent to which individuals alter their economic behavior so as to avoid paying tax. In other words^ it is usually undesIraBTe for taxes to influence individuals' economic decisions in the private sector. There may, of course, be exceptions where tax policies are used deliberately to either encourage or discourage certain types of activities (for example, tax incentives for installation of pollution equipment or high excise taxes on consumption of liquor and tobacco). - 50 - Both an ideal consumption tax and an ideal income tax, though neutral among commodities purchased and produced, do have important incentive effects that are unintended byproducts of the need to raise revenue. Specifically, individuals can reduce their tax liability under either tax to the extent it is possible to conduct economic activities outside of the marketplace. For example, if an individual pays a mechanic to repair his automobile, the labor charge will entered into the measurement of consumption or income and will be taxed under either type of tax. On the other hand, if the individual repairs his own automobile, the labor cost will not be accompanied by a measurable transaction and will not be subject to tax. Phrased more generally, both an income and a consumption tax distort the choice between labor and leisure, where leisure is defined to include all activities, both recreational and productive, that are conducted outside the process of market exchange. While both consumption and income taxes distort the choice between market and nonmarket activities, only an income tax distorts the choice between present and future consumption. Under an income tax, the before-tax rate of return on investments exceeds the after-tax interest rate received by those who save to finance them. The existence of a positive market interest rate reflects the fact that society, by sacrificing a dollar's worth of consumption today and allocating the dollar's worth of resources to the production of capital goods, can increase output and consumption by more than one dollar next year. Under an income tax, the potential increase in output tomorrow to be gained by sacrificing a dollar's worth of output today exceeds the percentage return to an individual, in increased future consumption, to be derived from saving. In effect, the resources available to an individual for future consumption are double-taxed; first, when they are earned as current income and second, when interest is earned on savings. The present value of an individual's tax burden may be reduced by shifting consumption from future periods to the present. A consumption tax, on the other hand, is neutral with respect to the choice to consume in different periods because current saving is exempted from the base. The expected present value of taxes paid is not affected by the time pattern consumption. Awould switch from an to income an theequal-yield thereby fraction raiseof of future consumption national output output tax and consumption. savedthus and tend invested, increase andtax to - 51 - The fact that a tax is neutral with respect to the savings-consumption decision is not, of course, decisive in its favor even on efficiency grounds. No taxes are neutral with respect to all choices. Thus, for example, it has already been pointed out that neither the income nor the consumption tax is neutral in the labor/leisure choice; that is, both reduce the incentive to work in the marketplace. Economic theorists have developed measures of the amount of damage done by nonneutrality in various forms. Although it is not possible on the basis of such research to make a definite case for one tax base over the other based on efficiency, when reasonable guesses are made about the way people react to various taxes it appears that the efficiency loss resulting from a consumption tax would be considerably smaller than that from an equal yield income tax. The possible efficiency gains that would result from adopting a consumption base tax system relate closely to the frequently expressed concern about a deficient rate of capital formation in the United States. Switching from an income to a consumption base tax would remove a distortion that discourages capital formation by U.S. citizens, leading to a higher U.S. growth rate in the short run, and a permanently higher capital/output ratio in the long run. SUMMING UP The previous discussions have attempted to provide a systematic approach to the concept of income as composed of certain uses of resources by individuals. The current income tax law lacks such a unifying concept. Indeed, as has been suggested here, income as implicitly defined in current law deviates from a consistent definition of accretion income especially in that it excludes a major part of income used for savings (often in the form of accruing rights to future benefits). Eliminating savings from the tax base changes an income tax to a tax on consumption. This chapter has considered whether there is any sound reason for considering substitution of a consumption base for the present makeshift and incomplete income base. It has been suggested that there is much to be said for this on grounds of equity; such a base would not have the drawback, characteristic of an income tax, of favoring those who consume early rather than late in life, and of taxing more heavily those whose earnings occur early rather than late in life. The argument has been made that the choice is not - 52 - between a tax favoring the rich (who save) and the poor (who do not), as some misconceive the consumption tax, and a tax favoring the poor over the former rich by the use of progressive rates, as some view the income tax. The choice is between an income tax that, at each level of endowment, favors early consumers and late earners over late consumers and early earners and a consumption tax that is neutral between these two types of individuals. The relative burdens of rich and poor are determined by the degree of progressivity of the tax. Either tax is amenable to any degree of progressivity of rates. A distinction has been drawn between a tax based on the uses of resources for the taxpayer's own benefit and one based on these uses plus the resources he gives away to others. The shorthand term adopted for the former is the "standard-of-living" approach to assigning tax burdens; for the latter, it is the "ability-to-pay" approach. It has been suggested that either a consumption or an income tax could be designed to fit either concept. Examination of current practice suggests that the basic tax — the present income tax — is, broadly speaking, of the "standard-ofliving" type. An "ability-to-pay" element is introduced by special taxes on gifts and estates. The next two chapters consider two different approaches to reform of the tax system. Chapter 3 contains a plan for a comprehensive income tax, and chapter 4 contains a plan for a very different tax, called a cash flow tax, which is essentially equivalent to a consumption tax. In both cases, a "standard-of-living" approach is adopted, under the assumption that a transfer tax of some sort, perhaps the existing estate and gift tax, would continue to be desirable as a complement. - 53 - Chapter 3 A MODEL COMPREHENSIVE INCOME TAX OVERVIEW This chapter presents a model income tax system based, as nearly as practicable, on a consistent definition of "standard-of-living" income as set forth in the previous chapter. The exceptions to strict conformity with the conceptual income definition are noted. These exceptions occur when rival considerations of efficiency or simplicity have seemed to overrule the underlying principle that all income should be taxed alike. In addition, those cases where the concept of income is not readily translated into explicit rules are noted and discussed. In every case, a specific model tax treatment, sometimes together with optional treatments, is defined and highlighted. Purpose of the Model Tax The purpose of the model tax is to provide a concrete basis for the discussion of fundamental tax reform and also to define a standard for the quantitative analysis presented in chapter 5. For each major issue of income tax policy, the model tax reflects a judgment of the preferred treatment. It is not claimed, however, that the model tax provides the unequivocally right answer to all the difficult issues of measurement, definition, and behavioral effects raised. The chapter does not, therefore, only advocate a particular set of provisions; it also presents discussions of alternative treatments. Base-Broadening Objective Alternative treatments are suggested when a change from the model tax provision clearly would not violate the basic principle that an income tax should be based on a practical measure of income, consistently defined. In some cases, alternative accounting methods or alternative means of applying tax rates may be used; and there may also be some uncertainties in the interpretation of the income concept itself. Because a low-rate, broad-based tax promises a general imrpovement in incentives, and because there are costs associated with recordkeeping and administration, there is a presumption against deductions, exemptions, and credits throughout the model tax. In particular instances, this presumption may be reversed in favor of an alternative - 54 treatment without offending the basic principle of income measurement. Organization of Chapter 3 The first issues taken up in the chapter concern rules for a definition of income suitable as a tax base. Such rules are derived for three broad sources of household income—employee compensation, government transfer payments, and business income. The first of these is treated in the next section. The third section considers the tax treatment of government transfer payments, and the fourth section deals with problems of accounting for income from businesses. The next four sections of the chapter discuss some specific issues in the taxation of income derived from the ownership of capital. In each of these sections, the model tax is compared with the existing Federal income taxes. Next are three sections that treat issues in the definition of taxable income from all sources. These are the major "personal deductions" under the existing tax. Here, each of these items — medical expenses, State and local taxes, charitable contributions, and casualty losses — is considered as an issue of income measurement and economic efficiency. Following these is a brief discussion of the problems and principles of international income tax coordination. Finally, the questions of the proper unit for reporting taxable income and of appropriate adjustments for family size and other circumstances are considered. The chapter concludes with a sample model income tax form that serves as a summary of the model tax provisions. EMPLOYEE COMPENSATION ^y The customary starting point for systems of income accounting is to observe the terms under which individuals agree to provide labor services to employers. In the simplest case, described in the previous chapter, the employee is paid an annual wage that is equal to his consumption plus change in net worth. However, in practice, complications usually will arise. On the one hand, the employee may have expenses associated with employment that should not be regarded as consumption. On the other hand, he may receive benefits that have an objective market value, which, in effect, represent an addition to his stated wage. The model comprehensive income tax attempts to measure the value to the employee of all the financial terms of his employment. In general, the accounting for employee compensation is (1) wage and salary receipts, less (2) necessary - 55 employment expenses, plus (3) the value of fringe benefits. The remainder of this section discusses the measurement problems presented by items (2) and (3) . Expenses of Employment Model Tax Treatment. The model comprehensive income tax would allow deduction from wage and salary receipts for expenses required as a condition of a particular job, such as the purchase of uniforms and tools, union dues, unreimbursed travel, and the like. No deduction would be allowed for expenditures associated with the choice of an occupation, place of employment, or place of residence, even though each of these is related to employment. The latter rule would continue the present treatment of education and commuting expenses, but would disallow moving expenses. Inevitably, such rules are somewhat arbitrary. For example, whether commuting expenses are deemed costs of employment or consumption expenditures will depend upon whether the work trip is regarded principally as a part of one's choice of residence, i.e., the consumption of housing services, or as a part of the job choice. The guidelines followed here are that expenses should be deductible only if they vary little among individuals with the same job and are specific to the current performance of that job. As at present, regulations would be required to set reasonable limits for those expenses that may be subject to excessive variation, e.g., travel. A Simplification Option. An option that would simplify individual recordkeeping and tax administration would be to allow deduction for employee business expenses only in excess of a specified amount. If this floor were substantially higher than expenses for the typical taxpayer, most employees would no longer need to keep detailed expense records for tax purposes. The principal disadvantage of this limitation of deductions is that it would tend to discourage somewhat the relative supply of labor to those occupations or activities that have relatively large expenses. Over time, such supply adjustments could be expected to provide compensating increases in wages to those whose taxes are increased by this provision, but the inefficiency of tax-induced occupation changes would remain. - 56 Employer-Provided Pensions A substantial share of the compensation of employees is in the form of the annual increase in the value of rights to future compensation upon retirement. This increase adds to the net worth of the employee, so that an annual estimate of the accretion of these rights is income under the comprehensive definition. The model tax treatment is intended as a uniform, practical means to estimate the income for tax purposes for different types of private pension plans. The model comprehensive income tax would continue to exclude employer contributions to pension plans from the employee's tax base and to tax benefits when received. In addition, employee contributions would be deductible in the years paid. However, the earnings of pension plans would be taxed as they accrued. Liability for tax on pension plan earnings would be either upon the employer, if no assignment of rights were made to employees as the earnings accrue, or upon the employee to whom these earnings are allocated by the plan. Types of Pension Plans. Employer-provided pension plans come in two forms — defined-contribution and definedbenefit. The first form is essentially a mutual fund to which the employer deposits contributions on behalf of his employees. Each employee owns a percentage of the assets, and each employee's account increases by investment earnings on his share of the assets. Upon retirement, his account balance may be distributed to him as a lump sum payment or may be used to purchase an annuity. The income of any individual from such a plan is simply the contribution made by the employer on his behalf plus his share of the total earnings as they accrue. Most pensions are of the second type, defined-benefit pensions. This is something of a misnomer because the benefit is not fully defined until retirement. It usually depends on the employee's average wage over the years of employment, the outcome of contract negotiations, etc. The employee's benefits may not vest for a number of years, so that the value to him, and the cost to his employer of his participation are an expectation that depend on the chance of his continued employment. By a strict definition of income, the annual change in the present value of expected future benefits constitutes income from the plan, since this is conceptually an annual increase in the net worth of the - 57 employee. In general, it is not possible to determine the accrued value of future benefits in such a plan without many arbitrary assumptions about the employee's future employment prospects, marital status at retirement, and similar issues. A Practical Measurement System. As an alternative to estimating pension income as an accrual of value to the employee, the model plan would approximate such treatment through the current taxation of plan earnings and full taxation of actual benefits. If done correctly, this would be equivalent to the taxation of the increase in present value of expected future benefit as such increases accrue. The following example illustrates the equivalence between taxation of accrued pension earnings and taxation of both pension plan earnings and benefits received. Mr. Jones' employer contributes $160 to his pension plan at the beginning of this year. Over the year, the contribution will earn 10 percent. Mr. Jones retires at the beginning of next year, taking his pension — the contribution plus earnings — in one payment. Mr. Jones' tax rate in both periods is 25 percent. Method 1. Under a system of taxation of pensions as accrued, Mr. Jones would include the contribution in his taxable income and owe a tax of $40. The earnings of $12 on the remaining $120 would incur an additional tax liability of $3, leaving net earnings of $9. (Note that Mr. Jones could restore the pension fund to $160 only by drawing down his other savings, with a presumably equal rate of return, by the amount of the tax.) Upon retirement, Mr. Jones would receive a tax-prepaid pension distribution of $120 plus ?9, or $129. Method 2. The model tax treatment would subject only the earnings of the fund ~ 10 percent of $160 — to tax in the first year. This tax of $4 would leave net earnings of $12. Mr. Jones would then receive $172 upon retirement, but would owe tax on this full amount. The tax in this case would be $43, so that the remainder [$172 - $4J - >i^yj would be identical to that resulting from use of method 1, and Mr. Jones should be indifferent between the two treatments. - 58 The method of including actual benefits has the advantage of avoiding the necessity to allocate prospective benefits among nonvested participants. Investment earnings would, however, have ambiguous ownership for the reasons mentioned above. Consequently, it would be necessary to assess a tax on the employer for that share of earnings not assigned to particular employees. Present Law. Under present law, if an employer-provided pension plan is legally "qualified," retirement benefits are taxable to the employee only when received, not as accrued, even though contributions are deductible to the employer as they are made. The plan's investment income is tax exempt. Certain individuals are also allowed tax benefits similar to qualified pension plans under separate laws. These laws allow a limited amount of retirement saving to be deducted from income, its yield to be tax free, and its withdrawals taxable as personal income. This treatment allows an interest-free postponement of tax liability that would not exist under the model tax. Postponement introduces nonneutral tax treatment among forms of saving and investment, encourages a concentration of wealth in pension funds, and reduces the available tax base. Social Security Social security retirement benefits (OASI) present other problems. They are financed by a payroll tax on the first $15,300 (in 1976) of annual earnings, half of which is paid by the employer and half by the employee. The half paid by the employee is included in his tax base under the current income tax; the tax paid by the employer is not, although it is a deductible expense to the employer. Social security benefits are tax free when paid. For an individual employee, the amount of annual accrual of prospective social security benefits is ambiguous. Actual benefits, by contrast, are readily measurable and certain. Furthermore, because participation in Social Security is mandatory, failure to tax accruals does not present the same tax neutrality problem encountered with private pensions; that is, there is no incentive to convert savings to tax-deferred forms. Consequently, the model tax base would allow deduction of employee contributions by the individual and continue to allow deduction of employer contributions b£ the employer, but OASI benefit~payments would &£ subject to tax. Very low-income retired persons would be shielded from taxation by provision of a personal exemption and an additional family allowance. - 59 Employer-Paid Health and Casualty Insurance Issues in the tax treatment of health and casualty insurance are discussed separately below in the sections on medical expenses and casualty losses. in the case of employer-paid premiums for insurance unrelated to occupational hazards, the model tax adopts the same treatment that is recommended for individual purchase. The taxpayer would include as taxable employee compensation"""the value of the premiums paid on~~his behalf. Proceeds would not be included in income. The same model tax treatment would apply to the health insurance (Medicare) component of Social Security. Disability Insurance Private Plans. Under present law, employees are not required to include employer-paid disability insurance premiums in income, and, subject to a number of conditions, disability grants do not have to be included in the individual 's income tax base. Under the proposed system, premiums paid into such disability plans by employers would not be taxable to employers, and employees would be allowed to deduct their own contributions, but the benefits would be taxable. Conceptually, the premiums paid by the employer do increase the net worth of the employee by the expected value of benefits. Whether benefits are actually paid or not, this increase in net worth is income by a comprehensive definition. However, when benefits are taxable, as they would be under the model plan, the expected value of tax is approximately equal to the tax liability under a current accrual taxation system. The model tax treatment is preferred because valuing the worth of the future interests would pose insurmountable administrative difficulties. Social Security Disability Insurance. The model tax would provide exactly the same treatment~for the disability insurance portion of Social Security (PI), that is given for private plans^ Accrual taxation is impractical because the annual value of accruing DI benefits is even less certain than for private plans. - 60 Life Insurance Term Life Insurance. There is no similar difficulty of valuation in employer provision of term life insurance. The annual value to the employee is equal to the premium paid on his behalf. Therefore, under the model tax, term life insurance premium payments made by the employer would be included in income to the employee; benefits would not be included In income. This parallels the present treatment of an individual's own purchase of term insurance, and that treatment would be continued. Whole Life Insurance. Whole life insurance involves some additional considerations. A whole life policy represents a combination of insurance plus an option to buy further insurance. When one buys a whole life policy, or when it is purchased on his behalf, that policy may be viewed as 1 year's insurance plus an option to buy insurance for the next and subsequent years at a certain prescribed annual premium. That option value is recognized in the form of the "cash surrender value" of the policy. It represents the value, as determined by the company's actuaries, of buying back from the insured his option to continue to purchase on attractive terms. Naturally, the value of this option tends to increase over time, and it is this growth in value that represents the income associated with the policy. Dividends paid on life insurance are, in effect, only an adjustment in the premium paid — a price reduction. The total annual income associated with a whole life insurance policy is equal to the increase in its cash surrender value plus the value of the term insurance for that year (the term insurance premium) less the whole life premium, net of dividend. Under the comprehensive tax, insurance companies would inform each policyholder annually of this income, which would"~be included in the policyholder's income. This treatment is recommended whether the premium is paid by the individual or by his employer. In addition, the contribution of the employer to the annual payment °f the premium would be included in income, as with term insurance. Unemployment Compensation Under present law, both the Federal Unemployment Tax Act (FUTA) taxes to finance the public unemployment compensation system and the unemployment compensation benefits are excluded from the income of covered employees. Following - 61 the recommended treatment of disability insurance, which has similar characteristics, the model comprehensive income tax would exclude payroll taxes from income as at present, but, unlike the present law, unemployment compensation benefits would be included in taxable income. This treatment has two basic justifications. First, it conforms with the basic equity principle of subjecting all income to the same tax. Employed individuals would not be subject to differentially higher tax than those of equal income who derive their income from unemployment benefits. Second, by taxing earnings and unemployment benefits alike, this treatment would reduce the disincentive to seek alternative or interim employment during the period of eligibility for unemployment benefits. Acrain, the personal exemption and family allowance would prevent the tax from reaching very low-income persons who are receiving such benefits. PUBLIC TRANSFER PAYMENTS A large element of the income of many households is provided by payments or subsidies from government that are not related to contributions by, or on behalf of, the recipients. These transfer payments are presently excluded from the calculation of income for Federal taxes, despite their clear inclusion in a comprehensive definition of income. Model Tax Treatment The logic of including transfers in a tax base varies among transfer programs. A distinction may be made between those grants that are unrelated to the current financial circumstances of recipients, e.g., veterans' education benefits, and those that depend upon a stringent test of means, such as aid to families with dependent children. A second useful distinction is between cash grants that are readily measurable in value and publicly provided or subsidized services. The amount of income provided by these "in-kind" benefits, such as public housing, is not readily measurable. The model income tax would include in income all cash transfer payments from government, whether determined by a test of means or not. Such payments include veterans' disability and survivor benefits, veterans' pensions, aid to families with dependent children, supplemental security - 62 income, general assistance, workmen's compensation, black lung benefits, and the subsidy element of food stamps.1/ The model tax would not require reporting the value of government-provided or subsidized services. Hence, there would be no extra tax associated with the benefits of such programs as Medicaid, veterans' health care, and public housing. Rationale for Taxing Transfer Payments Horizontal Equity. The principal argument for taxing transfer payments is horizontal equity. Under present law, families that are subject to tax from earnings or from taxable pensions may face the same financial circumstances before tax as others that receive transfer income. If an adequate level of exemption is provided in the design of a tax rate structure, these families would have no tax in either case. But for those whose incomes exceed the exemption level, the present treatment discriminates against the earning family. This is both an inequity and an element of work disincentive. Those transfer payments that are not contingent on a strict means test are especially likely to supplement family incomes that are above the level of present or proposed exemptions. These programs are the various veterans' benefits, workmen's compensation, and black lung benefits. The taxation of benefits from any government transfer program would effectively reduce benefits below the level that Congress originally intended, and restoration of these levels may require readjustment of the rates of taxation. However, with a progressive rate tax, the benefits to individual would be scaled somewhat to family circumstances and, in addition, the tax consequences of earnings and grants would be equalized. Vertical Equity. The means-tested programs — Aid to Families with Dependent Children, Supplemental Security Income, general assistance, Food Stamps, Medicaid, and public housing — have rules to determine eligibility and to scale the value of benefits according to income and wealth of the recipient family. However, these rules may be based on measures of well-being that are different from those appropriate for an income tax. The rules also vary by region, and certain grants may supplement each other or be supplemented by other forms of assistance. Consequently, it - 63 - is possible that families with similar financial circumstances before transfers will diverge widely after transfer payments are added. To the extent that some recipient households have total incomes that exceed the tax exemption level, inclusion of these grants in the tax base would reduce this divergence. Taxation of grants is no substitute for thorough welfare reform, but it may be regarded as a step toward reducing overlap of the various programs and of reducing regional differences in payment levels. Valuing In-Kind Subsidies Those programs of assistance to families that provide particular commodities or services, such as housing and medical care, present difficult administrative problems of income evaluation. One objective approximation of the income to households/ from these services is the cost of providing them. This is the principle employed to value pension contributions, for example. But in the case of inkind transfers, costs are not readily allocable to particular beneficiaries. Consider how difficult it would be to allocate costs among patients in veterans' hospitals, for example. Furthermore, because a recipient's choices regarding these services are restricted, the cost of the services may be substantially larger than the consumption (i.e., income) value to the beneficiary. The recipient family would almost certainly prefer an amount in cash equal to the cost of provision. Because of these uncertainties and because of the attendant costs of tax administration and reporting, the in-kind programs might reasonably be excluded from the tax base. BUSINESS INCOME ACCOUNTING Basic Accounting for Capital Income What is meant here by "business income" is that part of the annual consumption or change in net worth of the taxpayer that derives from the ownership of property employed in private sector production. In the ordinary language of income sources, this income includes those elements called interest, rent, dividends, corporate retained earnings. Proprietorship and partnership profits, and capital gains, each appropriately reduced by costs. Unfortunately, there is no generally accepted set of accounting definitions for all of these ordinary terms. An important objective of the model income tax is to outline an accounting system for Property income that is at once administrable and in close conformance with a comprehensive definition of income. - 64 - It is apparent from the definition that income is an attribute of families and individuals, not of business organizations. Furthermore, it is useful analytically to think of income in terms of uses of resources, rather than receipts of claims. Nonetheless, accounting for income is most easily approached by beginning with receipts of individual business activities (or firms), then specifying adjustments for costs, and, finally, allocating income earned in each business among its claimants. The sum of such claims for all activities in which a taxpaying unit has an interest is that taxpayer's business income for purposes of the model tax. In broad outline, accounting for business income proceeds as follows. Begin with gross receipts from the sale of goods and services during the accounting year and subtract purchases of goods and services from other firms. Next ' subtract the share of income from the activity that is compensation to suppliers of labor services, generically called wages. Next, subtract a capital consumption allowance, which estimates the loss in value during the year of capital assets employed in production. The remainder is net capital income, or, simply, business income. Finally, subtract interest paid or accruing to suppliers of debt finance. The remainder is income to suppliers of equity finance, or profit. A business activity thus generates all three sources of income to households — wages, interest, and profit. Major problems in defining rules of income measurement for tax purposes include (1) issues of timing associated with a fixed accounting period, such as inventory valuation; (2) estimation of capital consumption, i.e., depreciation and depletion rules; and (3) imputations for nonmarket transactions, e.g., self-constructed capital assets. In each of these cases, there are no explicit market transactions within the accounting period to provide the appropriate valuations. Rules for constructing such valuations are necessarily somewhat arbitrary, but the rules described here are intended to be as faithful as possible to the concept of income. Capital Consumption Allowances Rules for capital consumption allowances should not be regarded as arbitrary allowances for the "recovery of capital costs." Rather, they are a measure of one aspect of annual capital cost; namely, the reduction in value of productive capital occasioned by use, deterioration, or - 65 obsolescence. Rules for estimating this cost should be subject to continuous revision to reflect new evidence on actual experience and changing technology. For machinery and equipment, the model tax would require that depreciation he estimated by means of a system similar, in some respects, to the existing Asset DeprecT"ation"~Range (ADR) systerrTbut with annual adjustment of basis for increases in the general price level. The essential features of this system are (1) classification of all assets by type of activity, (2) mandatory vintage accounting, (3) a guideline annual repair allowance, (4) a specified annual depreciation rate (or permissible range) to be applied to the undepreciated balance (together with a date on which any remaining basis may be deducted) and (5) annual adjustment of basis in each account by a measure of the change in price levels. The inflation adjustment would be a factor equal to the ratio of the price level in the previous year to the current price level, each measured by a general price index. Notice that the recommended depreciation rules would establish a constant relative rate of depreciation as the "normal" depreciation method instead of straight-line depreciation, and it would disallow all other methods. Depreciation of Structures. Depreciation of structures would be treated in a way similar to that for equipment except that prescribed depreciation rates may be made to vary over the life of a structure. For example, depreciation of x percent per year may be allowed for the first 5 years of an apartment building, £ percent for the next 5 years, and so on. However, in no case would total depreciation deductions be allowed to exceed the original basis, after annual adjustment for inflation. Gains and losses would be recognized when exchanges or demolitions occur. Depreciation and repair allowance rates for exchanged properties always would be determined by the age of the structure, not by time in the hands of the new owner. Expenditures for structural additions and modifications that exceed a guideline repair allowance would be depreciated as new structures. Depletion of Mineral Property. For mineral property capital assets include the value of the unexploited deposits in addition to depreciable productive equipment. The value °f the mineral deposit depends upon its accessibility as well as the amount and auality of the mineral itself. This value may change as development proceeds, and this change in value is a component of income. The value of the deposit w ill be subsequently reduced, i.e., depleted, as the mineral - 66 is extracted. To measure income accurately, a depletion allowance should then be provided that is equal to the annual reduction in the value of the deposit. Unfortunately, the value of a mineral deposit becomes known with certainty only as the mineral is extracted and sold. Its value at discovery becomes fully known only after the deposit has been fully exploited. Yet, the value on which to base a tax depletion allowance and an annual depletion schedule must be estimated from the beginning of production. Uncertainty about the amount of mineral present, the costs of extraction and marketing, and future prices of the product make estimation of annual capital consumption particularly difficult in the case of minerals. The uncertainties are especially great for fluid minerals. An objective market estimate of the initial value of a mineral deposit prior to the onset of production is the total of expenditures for acquisition and development, other than for depreciable assets. The model tax would require that all preproduction expenses be capitalized. All such expenditures, except for depreciable assets, would be recovered according to "cost depletion" allowances computed on the basis of initial production rates combined with guideline decline rates derived from average experience. The treatment would be similar to the model tax treatment of depreciation for structures. After each !5 years of experience, or upon exchange of property ownership, the value of the deposit would rJe reestimated and corrections made to subsequent annual allowances. But^ as with depreciation, total deductions are not to exceed the (inflation-adjusted) cost basis. All postproduction expenditures, except for depreciable assets, also must be capitalized and recovered by cost depletion according to the rules in effect for that year. Self-Constructed Assets Capital assets that are constructed for use by the builder, rather than for sale, are an example of a case in which a market transaction normally used in the measurement of income is missing. The selling price for a building, machine, or piece of transportation equipment constructed by one firm for sale to another helps to determine the income of the seller and, simultaneously, establishes the basis for estimating future tax depreciation and capital gain of the buyer. Income to the seller will be determined by subtracting - 67 his costs from the selling price, so that (with proper accounting for inventories over the construction period) all income generated in the construction process will have been subject to tax as accrued. However, when a construction firm builds an office building, or a shipping company a ship, for its own use or rental, no explicit transfer price is attached to that asset. If any costs associated with construction of the building or ship can be deducted currently for tax purposes, or if any incomes arising from construction can be ignored, current income is understated and a deferral of tax is accomplished. Unrecognized income is derived from inventories of unfinished buildings, for example. An independent contractor who produces a building for sale must realize sufficient revenue from the proceeds of that sale to compensate suppliers of all capital, including capital in the form of the inventory of unfinished structures during the construction period. But, for self-constructed assets, incomes accruing to suppliers of equity during construction are not recognized for tax purposes because there is no sale. Under current law, certain construction costs, such as taxes and fees paid to governments, may be deducted as current expenses. The result of these lapses of proper income measurement is a tax incentive for self-construction and for vertical integration of production that would otherwise be uneconomic. The present treatment also encourages various arrangements to defer income taxes by providing the legal appearance of integration. These arrangements are popularly known as tax shelters. To provide tax treatment equivalent to that of assets constructed for sale, the model tax would require that all payments for goods and services associated with construction of capital goods not for sale (including property taxes and other fees to government, depreciation of own equipment, but not interest paid) be segregated into a special account. During the construction period, a guideline gate of return would be imputed to the average value of this account and added to the income tax base of the builder and also to the~~depreciable basis of the assets.2/ When such assets are placed in service, they would be depreciated according to the regular rules. 2£hgr Business Income Accounting Problems A number of other problems of inventory valuation m ust be faced in order to specify a fully operational comPrehensive income tax. Also, special rules would be required for several specific industries, in addition to minerals, - 68 - to improve the measurement of income as compared to the present law. For example, agriculture, banking, and professional sports have presented special difficulties. This section has not spelled out all of these special rules, but has attempted to suggest that improvement of business income measurement for tax purposes is possible and desirable. INTEGRATION OF THE INDIVIDUAL AND CORPORATION INCOME TAXES Strictly speaking, the uses concept of income — consumption plus change in net worth — is an attribute of individuals or families, not of business organizations. Corporations do not consume, nor do they have a "standard of living." The term "corporate income" is shorthand for the contribution of the corporate entity to the income of its stockholders. The Corporation Income Tax Under existing law, income earned in corporations is taxed differently from other income. All corporate earnings are subject to the corporate income tax, and dividend distributions are also taxed separately as income to shareholders. Undistributed earnings are taxed to shareholders only as they raise the value of the common stock and only when the shareholder sells his stock. The resulting gains upon sale are taxed under the special capital gains provisions of the individual income tax. Thus, the tax on retained earnings generally is not at all closely related to the shareholder's individual tax bracket. Subchapter S Corporations. An exception to these general rules exists for corporations that are taxed under subchapter S of the Internal Revenue Code. If a corporation has 10 (in some cases 15) or fewer shareholders and meets certain other requirements, it may elect to be taxed in a manner similar to a partnership. The income of the entity is attributed directly to the owners, so that there is no corporate income tax and retained earnings are immediately and fully subject to the individual income tax. For earnings of these corporations, then, complete integration of the corporate and individual income taxes already exists. Inefficiency of the Corporation Income Tax The separate taxation of income earned in corporations is responsible for a number of serious economic distortions. It raises the overall rate of taxation on earnings from - 69 - capital and so produces a bias against saving and investment. It inhibits the flow of saving to corporate equities relative to other forms of investment. Finally, the separate corporate tax encourages the use of debt, relative to equity, for corporate finance. The existing differential treatment of dividends and undistributed earnings also results in distortions. Distribution of earnings is discouraged, thus keeping corporate investment decisions from the direct test of the capital market and discouraging lower-bracket taxpayers from ownership of stock. Owners of closely held corporations are favored relative to those that are publicly held. Owner-managers may avoid the double taxation of dividends by accounting for earnings as salaries rather than as dividends, and they may avoid high personal tax rates by retention of earnings in the corporation with eventual realization as capital gains. Provisions of the law intended to minimize these types of tax avoidance add greatly to the complexity of the law and to costs of administration. A Model Integration Plan In the model tax system, the corporate income tax would be eliminated, and the effect of subchapter S corporation treatment would be extended to all corporations. There are alternative methods of approximating this result. Because the direct attribution of corporate income to shareholders most nearly matches the concept of an integrated tax, a particular set of rules for direct attribution is prescribed as the model tax plan. However, there are potential administrative problems with this approach. These problems will be noted and alternative approaches described. The model tax treatment of corporate profits may be summarized by the following four rules: 1. The holder of each share of stock on the first day of the corporation's accounting year (the "tax record date") would be designated the "shareholder of record." 2. Each shareholder of record would add to his tax base his share of the corporation's income annually. If the corporation had a loss for the year, the shareholder would subtract his share or loss. - 70 - 3. The basis of the shareholder of record in his stock would be increased by his share of income and decreased by his share of loss. 4. Any shareholder's basis in his stock would be reduced, but not to below zero, by cash dividends paid to him or by the fair market value of property distributed to him. Once the shareholder's basis had been reduced to zero, the value of any further distributions would be included in income. (A distribution after the basis had been reduced to zero would indicate the shareholder had, in the past, income that was not reported.) Designation of a shareholder of record to whom to allocate income earned in the corporation is necessary for large corporations with publicly traded stock. This treatment is designed to avoid recordkeeping problems associated with transfers of stock ownership within the tax year and to avoid "trafficking" in losses between taxpayers with different marginal rates. Importance of the Record Date. Suppose that the record date were at the end of the taxable year when reliable estimates of the amount of corporate earnings or losses would be known. Shortly before the record date, shareholders with high marginal rates could bid away shares from shareholders with relatively low marginal rates whose corporations are expected to show a loss. The losses for the year then would be attributed to the new shareholders for whom the offset of losses against other income results in the greatest reduction in tax liability. Thus, a late-year record date would have the effect of reducing the intended progressivity of the income tax and would bring about stock trading that is solely tax motivated. The earlier in the tax year that the record date were placed the more the shareholder's expected tax liability would become just another element in the prediction of future returns from ownership of stock in the corporation, as is now the case under the corporation income tax. If the record date were the first day of the tax year, the tax consequences of current or corporate earnings or losses already accrued in the corporation could not be transferred to another taxpayer. - 71 Treatment of the Full-Year Shareholder. Under the model tax scheme, a shareholder who holds his stock for the entire taxable year would be taxed on the full amount of income for the year (or would deduct the full amount of loss) . Any gain from sale of the stock in a future year would be calculated for tax purposes by subtracting from sale proceeds the amount of his original basis plus the undistributed earnings upon which he has been subject to tax. His corporation would provide him with a statement at the end of each taxable year that informed him of his share of corporate earnings. He then could increase his basis by that amount of earnings less the sum of distributions received during the year. For full-year stockholders, then, basis would be increased by their share of taxable earnings and reduced by the amount of any distributions. It should be noted that, under this treatment, dividends would not be considered income to the shareholder, but would be just a partial liquidation of his portfolio. Income would accrue to him as the corporation earned it, rather than as the corporation distributed it. Hence, dividend distributions would merely reduce the shareholder's basis, so that subsequent gains (or losses) realized on the sale of his stock would be calculated correctly. Treatment of a Shareholder Who Sells During the Year. A shareholder of record who sells his stock before the end of the tax year would not have to wait to receive an end-ofyear statement in order to calculate his tax. He simply would calculate the difference between the sale proceeds and his basis as of the date of sale. The adjustment to basis of the shareholder's stock to which he would be entitled at the time of the corporation's annual accounting would always just offset the amount of corporate income or loss that he would normally have to report as the shareholder of record. Therefore, the income of a shareholder who sold his shares would be determined fully at the time of sale, and he would have no need for the end-of-year statement. A numerical example may be useful in explaining the equivalence of treatment of whole-year and part-year stockholders. Suppose that, as of the record date (January 1 ) , shareholder X has a basis of $100 in his one share of stock. By June 20, the corporation has earned $10 per share, and X sells his stock for $110 to Y. The shareholder would thus realize a gain of $10 on the sale, and this would be reported as income. - 72 To illustrate that subsequent corporate earnings would be irrelevant to the former shareholder's calculation of income for taxes, suppose the corporation earns a further $15 after the date of sale, so that as the shareholder of record X receives a report attributing $25 of income to him, entitling him to a $25 basis increase (on shares he no longer owns). One might insist that X take into his tax base the full $25 and recalculate his gain from sale. In this event, the increase in basis from $100 to $125 would convert his gain of $10 from sale to a loss of $15 (adjusted basis = $125; sale price = $110). The $15 loss, netted against $25 of corporate income attributed to him as the shareholder of record, yields $10 as his income to be reported for tax, the same outcome as a simple calculation of his gain at the time of sale. The equivalence between these two approaches may not be complete, however, if the date of sale and the corporate accounting occur in different taxable years. Nonetheless, in the case cited, the model plan appears superior in the simplicity of its calculations, in allowing the taxpayer to know immediately the tax consequences of his transactions, and in its better approximation to taxing income as it is accrued. In the event there had been a dividend distribution to X of the $10 of earnings before he sold, this distribution would be reflected in the value of the stock, which would now command a market price of $100 on June 20. The amount of the dividend also would reduce his basis to $90, so that his gain for tax purposes would be $10, just as before. The dividend per se has no tax consequences. At the end of the year he again would be allocated $25 of corporation income, but, as before, an offsetting increase in basis. Thus, he will not report any income other than his gain on the sale of the share on June 20. Note that the same result would obtain in this case if the shareholder included the dividend in income but did not reduce his basis. There would then be $10 attributable to the dividend and no gain on the sale. This treatment of dividends in the income calculation gives correct results for the shareholder who disposes of his shares. However, it would attribute income to a purchaser receiving dividends before the next record date even though such distributions would represent merely a change in portfolio composition. This approach (all distributions are taken into the tax base with only retained earnings allocated to record date shareholders and giving rise to basis adjustments) might, - 73 nevertheless be considered an alternative to the treatment of the model plan because it is more familiar and would involve fewer basis adjustments and hence a reduced recordkeeping burden. The substance of the full integration proposal would be preserved in this alternative treatment. The proposed full integration system would make it possible to tax income according to the circumstances of families who earn it, regardless of whether income derives from labor or capital services, regardless of the legal form in which capital is employed, and regardless of whether income earned in corporations is retained or distributed. To the extent that retained earnings increase the value of corporate stock, this system would have the effect of taxing capital gains from ownership of corporate stock as they accrued, thereby eliminating a major source of controversy and complexity in the present law. Administrative Problems of Model Tax Integration The Liquidity Problem. Some problems of administration of the system just described would remain. One such problem is that income would be attributed to corporate shareholders whether or not it actually was distributed. To the extent the corporation retained its earnings, the shareholders would incur a current tax liability that must be paid in cash, even though their increases in net worth would not be immediately available to them in the form of cash. Taxpayers with relatively small current cash incomes might then be induced to trade for stocks that had higher rates of dividend payout to assure themselves sufficient cash flow to pay the tax. Imposition of a withholding tax at the corporate level would help to reduce this liquidity problem and perhaps also reduce the cost of enforcement of timely collections of the tax. One method of withholding that is compatible with the model tax method for assigning tax liabilities is to require corporations to remit an estimated flat-rate withholding tax at regular intervals during the tax year. This tax would be withheld on behalf of stockholders of record. Stockholders of record would report their total incomes, including all attributed earnings, but also would be allowed a credit for their share of taxes withheld. Taxpayers who hold a stock - 74 - throughout the entire year would receive one additional piece of tax information from the corporation — the amount of their share of tax withheld throughout the year — and would subtract the tax withheld as a credit against their individual liability. This withholding system would complicate somewhat the taxation of part-year stockholders. As explained above, the taxable income of the corporation attributed to stockholders could be determined fully at the time of sale as the sum of dividends received during the year and excess of sale price over basis that existed on the record date. However, if withholding were always attributed to the shareholder of record, he would be required to wait until corporate income for the year had been determined to know the amount of his tax credit for withholding during the full tax year. The selling price of the stock may be expected to reflect the estimated value of this prospective credit in the same way that share prices reflect estimates of future profits. But, in this case, the seller who was a stockholder of record would retain an interest in the future earnings of the corporation, because the earnings would determine tax credit entitlement to the end of the tax year. Despite this apparent drawback, such corporate-level withholding would insure sufficient liquidity to pay the tax, except in cases where the combination of distributions and withheld taxes is less than the amount of tax due from the shareholder of record. Audit Adjustment Problem. Another administrative problem could arise because of audit adjustments to corporate income, which may extend well beyond the taxable year. This would appear to require reopening the returns of shareholders of earlier record dates, possibly long after shares have been sold. In the present system, changes in corporate income and tax liability arising from the audit process are borne by shareholders at the time of the adjustment. Precisely this principle would apply in the model plan. Changes in income discovered in audit, including possible interest or other penalties, would be treated like all other income and attributed to shareholders in the year the issue is resolved. Naturally, shares exchanged before such resolutions but after the matter is publicly known would reflect the anticipated outcome. Deferral Problem. There are also some equity considerations. A deferral of tax on a portion of corporate income may occur in a year when shares are purchased. The - 75 - buyer would not be required to report income earned after the date of purchase but before the end of the taxable year. All earnings in the year of sale that were not reflected in* the purchase price would escape tax until the buyer sells the stock. The 1975 Administration Proposal for Integration In the context of a thorough revision of the income tax, integration of the corporate and personal tax takes on particular importance. The model tax plan has provisions designed to assure that the various forms of business income bear the same tax, as nearly as possible. If incomes from ownership of corporate equities are subject to greater, or lesser, tax relative to incomes from unincorporated business pension funds, or bonds, the economic distortions would be concentrated on the corporate sector. For this reason, a specific plan for attributing to stockholders the whole earnings of corporations has been presented here in some detail. A significant movement in the direction of removing the distortions caused by the separate corporation income tax would be accomplished by the dividend integration plan proposed by the Administration in 1975. That proposal may be regarded as both an improvement in the present code, in the absence of comprehensive tax reform, and as a major step in the transition to a full integration of the income taxes, such as the model tax. CAPITAL GAINS AND LOSSES Capital gains appear to be different from most other sources of income because realization of gains involves two distinct transactions — the acquisition and the disposition of property — and each transaction occurs at a different time. This difference raises several issues of income measurement and taxation under an income tax. Accrual Versus Realization The first issue is whether income (or loss) ought to be reported annually on the basis of changes in market values of assets — the accrual concept — or only when realized. The annual change in market value of one's assets constitutes a change in net worth and, therefore, constitutes income under the "uses" definition. If tax consequences may be postponed - 76 until later disposition of an asset, there is a deferral of taxes, which represents a loss to the government and a gain to the taxpayer. The value of this gain is the amount of interest on the deferred taxes for the period of deferral. Distinct from, but closely related to, the issue of deferral is the issue of the appropriate marginal tax rate to be applied to capital gains. If capital gains are to be subject to tax only when realized, there may be a substantial difference between the applicable marginal tax rate during the period of accrual and that faced by the taxpayer upon realization. Also, the extent to which adjustment should be made for general price inflation over the holding period of an asset must be considered. Finally, the desirability of simplicity in the tax system, ease of administration, and public acceptability are important considerations. The range of possible tax treatments for capital gains can be summarized in an array that ranges from the taxation of accrued gains at ordinary rates to the complete exclusion of capital gains from income subject to taxation. Alternatives within the range may be modified to allow for (a) income averaging to minimize extra taxes resulting from the bunching of capital gains and (b) adjustments to reflect changes in the general price level. Present Treatment of Capital Gains Present treatment for individuals is to tax gains when realized, at preferential rates, with no penalty for deferral. There are a number of special provisions. When those assets defined in the code as "capital assets" have been held for 6 months or more,3/ gains from their realization are considered "long-term" and receive special tax treatment in two respects: one-half of capital gains is excluded from taxable income, and individuals have the option of calculating the tax at the rate of 25 percent on the first $50,000 of capital gains. There are complex restrictions on the netting out of short- and long-term gains and losses, and a ceiling of $1,0004/ is imposed on the amount of net capital losses that may be used to offset ordinary income in any 1 year, with unlimited carryforward of such losses. Also, there are provisions in the minimum tax for tax preferences that limit the extent to which the capital gains provisions can be used to reduce taxes below ordinary rates and that deny the use of the 50-percent maximum tax on earned income by the amount of such preferences. Limited averaging over a 5-year period is allowed for capital gains as well as for most other types of income. - 77 There are many other capital gains provisions in the tax law that (1) define what items may be considered capital assets, (2) specify when they are to be considered realized, (3) provide for recapture of artificial accounting gains, and (4) make special provisions for timber and certain agricultural receipts. There also are special provisions that allow deferral of capital gains tax on the sale or exchange of personal residences. Much of the complexity of the tax code derives from the necessity of spelling out just when income can and cannot receive capital gains treatment. Model Tax Treatment of Capital Gains Under the model income tax, capital gains would be subject to full taxation upon realization at ordinary rates after (ll adjustment to basis of corporate stock for retained earnings (as explained in the integration proposal) an< ^ (2) adjustment to basis for general price inflation. Capital losses could be subtracted in full from positive elements of income to determine the base of tax, but there would be no refund for losses that reduce taxable incomes below zero. Adjustment for inflation would be accomplished by multiplying the cost basis of the asset by the ratio of the consumer price index in the year of purchase to the same index in the year of sale. These ratios would be provided in the form of a table accompanying the capital gains schedule. Table 1 is an example of such a table. (Note that for the last 3 years, the ratios are given monthly. This is to discourage December 31 purchases coupled with January 1 sales.) No inflation adjustment would be allowed for intra-year purchases and sales. - 78 - Table 1 Inflation Adjustment Factors (Consumer Price Index based on December, 1975) 1930 3.326 : 1940 3.960 : 1950 2.307 : 1960 1.875 : 1970 1.430 1931 3.647 1941 3.771 1951 2.138 1961 1.856 1971 1.371 1932 4.066 1942 3.408 1952 2.092 1962 1.836 1972 1.327 1933 4.286 1943 3.210 1953 2.076 1963 1.814 1934 4.147 1944 3.156 1954 2.066 1964 1.790 1935 4.046 1945 3.085 1955 2.074 1965 1.760 1936 4.007 1946 2.843 1956 2.043 1966 1.711 1937 3.867 1947 2.486 1957 1.973 1967 1.663 1938 3.941 1948 2.307 1958 1.920 1968 1.596 1939 3.998 1949 2.329 1959 1.905 1969 1.515 1973 : 1974 : 1975 January February March April May June July August September October November December 1.302 1.293 1.281 1.272 1.265 1.256 1.253 1.231 1.227 1.217 1.209 1.201 1.190 1.175 1.162 1.156 1.143 1.133 1.124 1.109 1.096 1.087 1.078 1.070 Source: Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis, September 28, 1976 1.065 1.058 1.054 1.049 1.044 1.035 1.025 1.021 1.017 1.101 1.004 1.000 - 79 - Capital Losses With adequate adjustment for inflation, and for depreciation in the case of physical assets, capital losses under the model tax should measure real reductions in the current income of the taxpayer. There is, consequently, no reason to limit the deduction of such losses, as in current law. A forced postponement of the realization of such losses would be like requiring the taxpayer to make an interestfree loan to the government. Of course, some asymmetry in the treatment of gains relative to losses would remain, because taxpayers could benefit by holdinq gains to defer taxes but could always take tax-reducing losses immediately. Taxation of Accruals in the Model Tax Corporate Stock. As just described, the model tax would continue the present practice of recognizing income from increases in the value of capital assets only upon sale or exchange, but some income sources that presently are treated as capital gains would be put on an annual accrual basis. If the individual and corporate income taxes were fully integrated into a single tax so that shareholders are currently taxed on retained earnings, a large portion of capital gains — the changes in value of common stock that reflect retention of earnings — would be subject to tax as accrued. The remainder of gains would be subject to tax only as realized. These gains would include changes in stock prices that reflect expectations about future earnings, and also changes in the value of other assets, such as bonds, commodities, and land. Physical Assets. Depreciable assets, such as machinery and buildings, are also subject to price variations, but these variations would be anticipated, as nearly as possible, by the inflation adjustment and the depreciation allowance. If these allowances were perfectly accurate measures of the change in value of such assets, income would be measured correctly as it accrues, and sales prices would always match the remaining basis. Apparent capital aains on physical assets may, therefore, be regarded as evidence of failure to accurately measure past income from ownership of the asset. Consequently, if under the model tax, depreciation would be measured more accurately, the problem of tax deferral due to taxation of capital gains at realization would be further reduced. However, as in the case of corporate stock, - 80 some unaccounted-for variation in asset prices undoubtedly will occur despite improvements in rules for adjustments to basis. Sales of depreciable assets will, therefore, continue to give rise to taxable gains and losses. Such gains and losses are the difference between sales price and basis, adjusted for depreciation allowances and inflation. The taxation of capital gains on a realization basis would produce significantly different results than current taxation of accrual of these gains. Even if capital gains were taxed as ordinary income (no exclusion, no alternative rate), the effective tax rate on gains held for long periods of time but subject to a flat marginal rate would be much lower than the nominal or statutory rate applied to the gains as if they accrued ratably over the period the asset was held. This consequence of deferral of tax is shown in Table 2 for an assumed before-tax rate of return of 12 percent on alternative assets yielding an annually taxable income. Each item in the table is the percent by which the before-tax rate of return is reduced by the imposition of the tax at the time of realization. Table 2 Effective Tax Rates on Capital Gains Taxed as Realized at Ordinary Rates Holding Period ~~ 1 year 5 years 25 years 50 years Statutory rate of 50 percent 50% 44% 23% 13% Statutory rate of 25 percent 25% 21% 10% 5% - 81 Ancrual Taxation Alternative Accrual taxation of capital gains poses three problems that, taken together, appear to be insurmountable. These are (1) the administrative burden of annual reporting; (2) the difficulty and cost of determining asset values annually; and (3) the potential hardship of obtaining the funds to pay taxes on accrued but unrealized gains. Under accrual taxation, the taxpayer would have to compute the crain or loss on each of his assets annually. For common stock and other publicly traded securities, there would be little cost or difficulty associated with obtaining year-end valuations. But for other assets, the costs and problems of evaluation would be very formidable, and the enforcement problems would be substantial. It would be very difficult and expensive to valuate assets by appraisal; valuation by concrete transactions, which taxing realizations would provide, has distinct advantages. For taxpayers with little cash or low money incomes relative to the size of their accrued but unrealized capital gains, accrual taxation may pose cash flow problems. This circumstance is similar to that encountered with local property taxes assessed on homeowners. There is no cash income associated with the asset in the year that the tax liability is owed. However, in cases of potential hardship certain taxpayers could be allowed to pay a later tax on capital gains, with interest, at the time a gain is realized. Realization-With-Interest Alternative An alternative method that attempts to achieve the same economic effect as accrual taxation is taxation of capital gains at realization with an interest charge for deferral. But, in addition to the present complex rules defining realizations that would not be avoided in the model tax Plan, rules would be required for the computation of interest on the deferred taxes. An appropriate rate of interest would have to be determined and some assumption made about the "typical" pattern of accruals. In order to eliminate economic inefficiency, the interest rate on the deferral should be the individual taxpayer's rate of return on his investments. However, because it is impossible to administer a program based on each investor's marginal rate of return, the government would have to charae a sinale interest rate. The single interest rate would itself tend to move alternatives away from neutrality. Moreover, for simplicity, it would have to be assumed that the gain occurred equally over - 82 the period or that the asset's value changed at a constant rate. This assumption would be particularly inappropriate in those cases where basis was changed frequently by inflation adjustments, depreciation allowances, capital improvements, etc. Because a simple time pattern of value change would reflect reality in very few cases, the deferral charge would introduce additional investment distortions. To the extent that gains occur early in the holding period, capital gains would be undertaxed; when gains occur late in the period, capital gains would be overtaxed. The Income Averaging Problem Under a progressive income tax system, the tax rate on a marginal addition to income differs depending on the taxpayer's other income. Generally, the higher the income level, the higher the tax rate. Similarly, under a progressive tax system, people with fluctuating incomes pay tax at a higher average rate over time on the same amount of total income than do those persons whose incomes are more nearly uniform over time. Clearly, if a taxpayer's income (apart from any capital gains) is rising over time, the longer he delays realization, the higher his tax rate will be. Similarly, if he realizes gains only occasionally, his gains will tend to be larger, and the average tax rate on the gains will be increased. The bunching problem could be solved by spreading the gain, via income averaging, over the holding period of the asset. This flexibility would involve great complexity, but the result could be approximated reasonably well by a fixedperiod averaging system similar to the general 5-year averaging system or the special 10-year averaging system for lump sum distributions, both of which are in present law. The problem of postponement of tax to periods of higher marginal rates is a more difficult one. One optional solution would be to calculate an average marginal tax rate over a fixed number of years and to modify the amount of gain included in the tax base for the year of realization to reflect the ratio of the average marginal rate over the period to the marginal rate in the current year. Thus, if the current rate were higher, some of the gain could be excluded from income; if the current rate were lower, more - 83 than 100 percent of the gain would be included. As is the case with charges of interest for deferral, however, such systems would add significantly to the complexity of the tax law, and represent inexact adjustments besides. Inflation Adjustment The proper tax treatment of capital gains is further complicated by general price inflation. Capital gains that merely reflect increases in the general price level are illusory. For example, suppose an individual's capital assets increase in value, but at a rate precisely equal to the rise in the cost of living. His net worth will not have increased in real terms, and neither, therefore, will his standard of living. If no basis adjustment is made to account for inflation, the reported capital gain for an asset held over a period of time will largely reflect the level of prices in previous years. This contrasts with other income flows, such as salaries, that are always accounted for in current dollars. Accounting for other transactions that are affected by inflation, such as borrowing and lending, is largely corrected for anticipated inflation by market adjustments. For example, a lender will insist on a higher interest rate to compensate for taxes against the depreciating value of the principal. Therefore, an adjustment of basis for inflation is desirable in the case of ownership of capital assets to avoid overtaxation of capital gains relative to other income sources, even if general indexing of income sources and/or tax rates is not prescribed. Inflation adjustment would introduce additional complexity. The basis for each asset would have to be revised annually, whether sold or not. For this reason, it might be desirable to restrict the inflation adjustment to those years in which the inflation rate exceeds some "normal" amount, such as 2 or 3 percent. Clearly, there are competing objectives of simplicity, equity, and economic efficiency involved in the tax treatment of capital gains. In this case, the model tax treatment would favor simplicity by foregoing accrual treatment that would require annual valuation of all assets, or interest charges for deferral. On the other hand, clear moves in the direction of accrual taxation are taken by introducing current taxation of corporate-retained earnings and more accurate measurement of depreciation. Annual adjustment of basis for general inflation also is judged to be worth the additional administration and compliance cost. - 84 - STATE AND LOCAL BOND INTEREST The annual receipt or accrual of interest on State and local obligations unquestionably increases the taxpayer's opportunity to consume, add to wealth, or make gifts. It is, therefore, properly regarded as a source of income. However, such interest is not included in income under current law? this is not to say that owners of such bonds bear no consequence of the present income tax. Long-term tax-exempt bonds yield approximately 30 percent less than fully taxable bonds of equal risk — a consequence that may be regarded as an implicit tax. However, because problems of equity and inefficiency remain, this lower yield on taxexempt bonds does not substitute for full taxation. Under the model income tax, interest on State and local bonds would be fully taxable. Inefficiency of Interest Exclusion The difference in interest costs that the State or local government would have to pay on taxable bonds and that which they actually pay on tax-exempt bonds is borne by the Federal Government in the form of reduced revenues. The subsidy is inefficient in that the total cost to the Federal Government exceeds the value of the subsidy to the State and local governments in the form of lower interest payments. Estimates of the fraction of the total Federal revenue loss that is not received by the State and local governments vary widely, but the best estimates seem to be in the 25- to 30-percent range. Inequity of the Exclusion The subsidy also may be regarded as inequitable. The value of the tax exemption depends on the investor's marginal tax rate. Thus, higher-income taxpayers are more willing than lower-income individuals to pay more for tax-exempt securities. The concentration of the tax savings among the relatively well-off reduces the progressivity of the Federal income tax as compared with the nominal rate structure. The exemption also results in differential rates of taxation among higher-income taxpayers who have incomes from different sources. Investors who would otherwise be subject to marginal rates above 30 percent may avoid these rates by purchasing tax-exempt bonds. Those with equal incomes from salaries or from active management of business must pay higher rates. - 85 Alternatives to Tax-Exempt Bonds The taxation of interest from State and local bonds would present no special administrative problems, except for transition rules, but alternative means of fiscal assistance to State and local governments may be desirable. Among the alternatives that have been suggested are replacement of the tax exclusion with a direct cash subsidy from the Federal Government (as under revenue sharing), or replacement with a direct interest subsidy on taxable bonds issued by State and local governments at their option. The mechanism for an interest subsidy may be either a direct Federal payment or a federally sponsored bank empowered to buy low-yield State and local bonds and issue its own fully taxable bonds. OWNER-OCCUPIED HOUSING Under present law, homeowners are allowed personal deductions for mortgage interest paid and for State and local property taxes assessed against their homes. Furthermore, there is no attempt to attribute to owner-occupiers the income implied by ownership of housing equity. (In the aggregate, this is estimated in the national income and product accounts at $11.1 billion per year, an amount that does not include untaxed increases in housing values.) Imputed Rental Income Any dwelling, whether owner-occupied or rented, is an asset that yields a flow of services over its economic lifetime. The value of this service flow for any time period represents a portion of the market rental value of the dwelling. For rental housing, there is a monthly contractual payment (rent) from tenant to landlord for the services of the dwelling. In a market equilibrium, these rental payments must be greater than the maintenance expenses, related taxes, and depreciation, if any. The difference between these continuing costs and the market rental may be referred to as the "net income" generated by the housing unit. An owner-occupier may be thought of as a landlord who rents to himself. On his books of account will also appear maintenance expenses and taxes, and he will equally experience depreciation in the value of his housing asset. What do not appear are, on the sources side, receipts of rental payment and, on the uses side, net income from the dwelling. Viewed from the sources side,this amount may be regarded as - 86 the reward that the owner of the dwelling accepts in-kind, instead of the financial reward he could obtain by renting to someone other than himself. Since a potential owneroccupier faces an array of opportunities for the investment of his funds, including in housing for rental to himself or others, the value of the reward in-kind must be at least the equal of these financial alternatives. Indeed, this fact provides a possible method for approximating^the flow of consumption he receives, constituting a portion of the value of his consumption services. Knowing the cost of the asset and its depreciation schedule, one could estimate the reward necessary to induce the owner-occupier to rent to himself. In practice, to tax this form of imputed income, however desirable it might be from the standpoint of equity or of obtaining neutrality between owning and renting, would severely complicate tax compliance and administration. Because the owner-occupier does not explicitly make a rental payment to himself, the value of the current use of his house is not revealed. Even if market rental were estimated, perhaps as a fixed share of assessed value of the dwelling, 5/ the taxpayer would face the difficulties of accounting for annual maintenance and depreciation to determine his net income. The present tax system does not attempt to tax the imputed income from housing. This is, perhaps, because there would be extreme administrative difficulties in determining it and because there is a general lack of understanding of its nature. The incentive for home ownership that results from including net income from rental housing in the tax base while excluding it for owner-occupied housing also has strong political support, although the result is clearly a distortion from the pattern of consumer housing choices that would otherwise prevail. Primarily for the sake of simplification, the model plan continues to exclude from the tax base the portion of housing consumptIon"^attributable to owner-occupied dwellings. No imputation of the net Income arising from these assets is proposed. Deductibility of Homeowners' Property Tax Present law allows the homeowner to deduct State and local property taxes assessed against the value of his house as well as interest paid on his mortgage. The appropriateness of each of these deductions is considered next, beginning with the property tax. - 87 The model tax would allow no deduction for the local property tax on owner-occupied homes or on other~types of property that also have tax-free rental values, e.g., automobiles. This treatment is based on the proposition that deduction of the property tax results in further understatement of income in the tax base, in addition to the exclusion of net rental income. This cannot be justified, as can the exclusion of net income from the dwelling, on grounds of measurement difficulty. Allowing the deduction of property taxes by owner-occupiers results in unnecessary discrimination against tenants of rental housing. Elimination of the deduction would simplify tax administration and compliance and reduce the tax bias in favor of housing investment in general, and owner-occupancy in particular. Local housing market adjustments normally will insure that changes in property taxes will be reflected in rental values. When the local property tax is increased throughout a market area, the current cost of supplying rental housing increases by the amount of the tax increase. Over time, housing supplies within the area will be reduced (and prices increased) until all current costs are again met and a normal return accrues to owners of equity and suppliers of mortgages. Accordingly, rents eventually must rise dollarfor-dollar with an increase in property tax. (Note that, in a equilibrium market, deductibility of the local tax against Federal income tax would not result in reduced Federal liability for landlords because the increase in gross receipts would match the increased deduction.) Tenants will experience an increase in rent and no change in their income tax liability. Owner-occupiers provide the same service as landlords, and, therefore, must receive the same rental for a dwelling of equal quality. Hence, market rentals for their homes also would rise by the amount of any general property tax increase. If owner-occupiers were allowed to deduct the tax increase from taxable income while not reporting the increased imputed rent, they would enjoy a reduction in income tax that is not available either to tenants or to landlords. To summarize the effect of the property tax increase, the landlord would have the same net income and no change in income tax; the tenant would have no change in income tax and higher rent; and the owner-occupier would have higher (imputed) rent as a "tenant," but the same net income and a reduction i n h i s i n c o m e t a x a s a "landlord." He would be - 88 favored relative to the renter first by receiving income from assets free of tax, and, in addition, his advantage over the tenant and landlord would increase with higher rates of local property tax. This advantage would not be present if the property tax deduction were denied to the owner-occupier. He would be treated as the tenant/landlord that he is — paying higher rent to himself to cover the property tax while his net income and income tax were unchanged. Deductibility of Mortgage Interest The mortgage interest deduction for owner-occupiers is often discussed in the same terms as the foregoing property tax argument. There are, however, quite significant differences, and, because of these, the model tax treatment would continue to allow deductibility of home mortgage interest. The effect of this policy may be equated to allowing any taxpayer to enjoy tax-free the value of consumption services directly produced by a house (or other similar asset), regardless of the method he uses to finance the purchase of this asset. The tax-free income allowed is thus the same whether he chooses to purchase the asset out of funds previously accumulated or to obtain a mortgage loan for the purpose. This position is based on the reasoning that, given the preliminary decision (based on measurement difficulty) not be attempt to tax the net income received from his house by the person who purchases it with previously accumulated or inherited funds, it would be unfair to deny a similar privilege to those who must borrow to finance the purchase. There is a related reason in favor of allowing the mortgage interest deduction, having to do with the difficulty of tracing the source of funds for purchase of an asset. Prospective homeowners of little wealth are obliged to offer the house as security to obtain debt financing. By contrast, an individual of greater wealth could simply borrow against some other securities, use the proceeds to purchase housing equity, and take the normal interest deduction. In other words, a mortgage is not the only way to borrow to finance housing, and it is very difficult, if not impossible, to correlate the proceeds of any other loan with the acquisition of a house. - 89 Nevertheless, a case may be made for disallowing interest deduction for borrowing identifiably for the purpose of financing an owner-occupied home (or other consumer durable) . There is no doubt that most people finance home purchases with a mortgage using the home as security. Mortgage interest payments are surely highly correlated with net income produced by the associated housing, and denying the deduction would increase the tax base by an amount equal to a significant fraction of the aggregate net income from owner-occupied dwellings. For those who cannot otherwise finance home purchases, it would end the tax bias against renting. These considerations deserve to be weighed against the view taken here that the efficiency and equity gains from denying the mortgage interest deduction are insufficient to counterbalance the equity losses and the increased administrative complexity of the necessary rules for tracing the sources of funds. Consumer Durables Precisely the same arguments that have been made concerning houses also apply to consumer durables, such as automobiles, boats, and recreational vehicles. These assets generate imputed incomes and may be subject to State and local personal property taxes. The model tax would treat these assets in the same way. That is, property tax assessed against consumer durables would not be deductible, but all interest payments, Including those related to purchase of durables, would be allowed as deductions. MEDICAL EXPENSES The present tax law allows the deduction of uninsured medical expenses, in excess of a floor, and partial deduction for medical insurance premiums. The principal argument for deductibility is that medical expenses are not voluntary consumption. Rather, they are extraordinary outlays that should not be included in the consumption component of the income definition. Opponents of deductibility can cite a fairly high degree of "consumer choice" in the extent, type, and quality of medical services that may be elected by persons of similar health. At the extreme, health care choices include cosmetic surgery, fitness programs at resorts and spas, frequent physical examinations, and other expenditures that are not clearly distinguishable from ordinary consumption. The remainder of medical expenditures is generally insurable, - 90 and insurance premiums may be regarded as regular, predictable consumption expenditures. Indeed, tax deductibility of medical expenses may be viewed itself as a type of medical insurance that is inadequate in amount for most taxpayers and has some quite unsatisfactory features. Model Tax Treatment The model tax would not allow deductions for medical expenses or medical insurance premiums. The benefits of medical insurance would not be included in income. Nondeductibility of medical expenses would simplify the tax law as well as recordkeeping for households. It also would eliminate the necessity of making the sometimes difficult administrative determination of eligibility of a medical expense for deduction. An optional treatment is presented here that would provide a refundable tax credit for a taxed share of large medical expenses. This optional approach is intended as an explicit medical insurance program, administered under the tax law. There is a presumption here, however, that administration of such a program by the tax authorities would be preferred to other alternatives. "Tax Insurance" Under Present Law Under present law, eligible medical expenses in excess of 3 percent of adjusted gross income (AGI) are partially reimbursed by "tax insurance" equal to the deductible expenses multiplied by the taxpayer's marginal tax rate, e.g., 25 percent. The taxpayer pays only the coinsurance rate, in this example 75 percent, times the medical expenses. Therefore, itemizers are uninsured (by the tax system) for medical expenses up to an amount that varies in proportion to their income, and above that amount they pay a coinsurance rate that decreases as marginal tax rates increase. Lowincome taxpayers are more likely to exceed the floor on deductibility (3 percent of AGI), but higher-income taxpayers receive a higher rate of insurance subsidy. A family with $10,000 of salary receipts might be at the 19-percent marginal tax rate, and thus have a "tax insurance" policy that requires that family to pay 81 percent of medical expenses in excess of $300 per year. A family with $50,000 of salary at the 48-percent marginal rate has a "policy" that requires payment of only 52 percent of expenses above $1,500 per year. The same type of tax insurance is provided for medicines and drugs to the extent that they exceed 1 percent of AGI. - 91 Present law also allows deduction of half of private insurance premiums (up to a deduction limit of $150) without regard to the floor, the balance being treated as uninsured medical expenses subject to the 3-percent floor. Insurance proceeds are not taxable so long as they do not exceed actual expenses. In the case of fully insured expenses, the result is the same as including all insurance proceeds in income, allowing deduction of all outlays without floor, and allowing deduction for a share of premiums as well. Hence, total medical costs — insurance premiums plus uninsured losses — are partially deductible without floor to the extent of insurance coverage and fully deductible above a floor for the uninsured portion. Those who cannot itemize have no "tax insurance," while itemizers pay a coinsurance rate — ranging from 30 percent to 86 percent — that varies inversely with income. Optional Catastrophe Insurance Provision Viewed as a mandatory government insurance program, the present tax treatment of medical expenses deserves reconsideration. One alternative is a policy that would provide a subsidy -- either in the form of a refundable tax credit or direct appropriation — for very large medical expenses. Under such a scheme, the floor for the deduction would be raised, but the "coinsurance" rate would be increased for all taxpayers and made uniform, rather than dependent on the taxpayer's marginal rate. For example, if a tax credit were used, its amount might be equal to 80 percent of expenses in excess of a flat floor, say, $1,000 per year. Alternatively, the floor amount might be made a share of income. While a catastrophe insurance provision would be a major change in the system of financing medical care, it need not have a large budgetary consequence when combined with repeal of the present deductions. For the level of medical expenses prevailing in 1975, elimination of the present deduction for premiums and expenses would finance complete reimbursement of all medical expenditures that exceed 10 percent of AGI. Full reimbursement would, however, have the undesirable effect of eliminating the market incentives to restrain medical costs. Some rate of coinsurance is desirable to help ration medical resources. Supplemental private insurance would undoubtedly be made available for insurable medical expenses not reimbursed by the tax credit. No deduction would be allowed for private medical insurance premiums, but proceeds would not be taxable. - 92 STATE AND LOCAL TAXES The way State and local government should be treated in a comprehensive income measurement system presents difficult conceptual problems. These units might be treated simply as the collective agencies of their citizens. Ideally, in this view, the value of consumption services provided in-kind to the members of the group would be attributed to the individuals and counted on the uses side of their individual income accounts. The same amounts would appear on the sources side, as imputations for receipts in the form of services. Payments to the group would be deducted, as not directly measuring consumption, and payments received from the group would be added to the sources side of the individual income calculation. The difficulty is in measuring the value of services provided by the collective unit. This problem is solved for such a voluntary collective as a social club by disallowing any deductions for payments made to it by members. In effect, these payments are regarded as measuring the consumption received by members. When it comes to a larger collective organization, such as a State government, this approach is much less satisfactory. The payments to the organization are no longer good proxies for the value of services received. For that reason there is a strong equity case for allowing a deduction of such payments in calculating individual income (including, in individual income, any grants received — "negative taxes"). Unfortunately, there is no practical method for imputing to individuals the value of services received, so that it is not possible to carry out the complete income measurement system. As in the case of services from owner-occupied homes, the model plan concedes that the value of most services provided collectively will be excluded from the tax base. And as with owner-occupied housing, there is a resulting bias introduced by the Federal tax system in favor of State and local collection expenditure over individual expenditures. The general principle, then, is that payments to the State or local government are excluded from the tax base other than in cases when there is a reasonable correspondence between payments and value of services received. There remains, however, the question of what constitutes "payment" for - 93 this purpose, and here particular difficulty is presented by indirect taxes such as sales taxes. Analysis of this issue, together with considerations of simplicity in administration, lead to the prescription of the model tax system that a deduction is allowed only for State and local income taxes" Other taxes may be deducted only as costs of doing business. Income Tax Deductibility Income taxes represent the clearest analogy with dues paid into a voluntary collective. These payments reduce the resources available to the payor for consumption or accumulation, and hence they are properly deductible. Property Tax Deductibility The issue of property tax deductibility for homeowners has been discussed above. Deduction of that tax should not be allowed so long as the associated implicit rental income from housing is excluded from taxable income. Other State and local taxes that are generally deductible under present law are income taxes, general sales taxes, and motor fuel taxes. Sales Tax Deductibility General sales taxes, it may be argued, should not be deducted separately because they do not enter household receipts. Unlike the personal income tax, which is paid by households out of gross-of-tax wages, interest, dividends, and the like, the sales tax is collected and remitted to government by businesses that then pay employees and suppliers of capital out of after-sales-tax receipts. Therefore, the sum of all incomes reported by households must be net of the tax; the tax has already been "deducted" from income sources. To allow a deduction to individuals for the sales tax would be to allow the full amount of the tax to be deducted twice. The argument above is modified somewhat to the extent that the rate of sales tax varies among States and localities that trade with each other. Jurisdictions with high sales tax rates may sustain locally higher prices if they can effectively charge the sales tax to their own residents who purchase goods outside the jurisdiction. In this case, compensating higher wages, rents, etc. (in money terms) must also prevail in the high-rate area to forestall outmigration of labor and capital. The additional tax will increase nominal income receipts in the region of high tax rates. - 94 The question is an empirical one on the degree to which sales taxes do result in price level differences among jurisdictions. Iri view of the difficulty of establishing this relationship and of measuring the individual expenditures on which sales taxes are paid, the deduction for sales taxes Ts not allowed in the model comprehensive income tax. A disadvantage of this treatment is that to the extent sales taxes do cause price level differences, the choice of financing investment by State and local governments will be biased toward income and away from sales taxes. Alternative Treatments of Sales and Income Taxes An alternative treatment of both sales and income taxes may be considered, whereby a deduction is allowed only for amounts in excess of a significant floor (possibly expressed as a fraction of the tax base). As at present, standard amounts of sales tax, related to income, could be included in the income tax form, with sales taxes on large outlays (e.g., for an automobile) could be allowed in addition to making the calculation. This approach would relieve most taxpayers of recordkeeping and be roughly equivalent to including at least some of consumption services that are provided by State and local governments in the tax base. (The floor could even be related to an estimate of the extent to which State and local taxes finance transfer payments, included in the base by recipients.) Benefit Taxes Certain State and local government services are financed by taxes and charges that are closely related to the taxpayer's own use of those services. Such taxes can be looked upon as measures of the value of consumption of those services and so should not be excluded from income. This argument holds especially for State and local taxes on motor fuels that are earmarked for the construction of highways and for other transportation services. The amount of gasoline consumed is a rough measure of the value of these services used, and, conversely, the consumer can choose the amount of highway services used, and taxes paid, by choosing the size of vehicle and the amount of his drivina. Other State and local user charges and special taxes, such as sewer assessments, fishing licenses, and pollution taxes, are not deductible under current law. This treatment is consistent with the arguments above. In addition, there - 95 are a number of local excise taxes that were enacted at least partly for the purpose of controlling consumption. Allowing deduction of such taxes, e.g., on gambling, alcohol, tobacco, firearms, etc., would be adverse to this purpose. CONTRIBUTIONS TO CHARITIES Contributions to qualified charitable organizations are presently deductible, subject to certain limits, as an indirect subsidy to philanthropy. Gifts are arguably also of a different nature than ordinary consumption for the donor, and therefore not part of income. Against this view, the voluntary nature of contributions may be cited as evidence that contributors derive satisfaction from giving just as they do from other uses of resources. Since contributions are not taxed to donees, either when received by philanthropic organizations or when distributed to ultimate beneficiaries, a component of income is clearly lost to the tax base as a result of the present policy. Taxation of the donor may be regarded as a substitute for taxation of the donee. Accordingly, the model tax would allow no deduction to the donor for gifts to charitable organizations and would not include benefits of such donations in income to recipients. The question of how to treat charitable contributions extends beyond issues of income measurement, however. Many persons would regard the benefits of a tax incentive to philanthropy as more valuable than the potential benefits of tax simplification and horizontal equity of the model tax treatment. Consequently, optional methods for providing an incentive to charity, in the form of donor deductibility or a tax credit, also are discussed. Charity as Income to Beneficiaries A charitable contribution is a transfer between a donor and beneficiaries with a philanthropic organization as an intermediary. The philanthropic organization usually converts cash contributions into goods and services, such as hospital care, education, or opera performances, that are subsidized or provided free to the beneficiaries. In many cases, e.g., cancer research, the benefits are very broadly diffused throughout society. The value of these services is a form of income-in-kind to the beneficiaries, but under present law there is no attempt to tax beneficiaries on that income. - 96 The logic of the tax treatment of charitable contributions is much the same as that for gifts or bequests to individuals. A gift does not add to the standard of living of the donor, although it does for the beneficiary. If the taxpayer's standard of living is the appropriate criterion for taxability, proper treatment would be to allow deduction of the gift as at present, but with taxation to the recipient, subject only to the general exemption of very low-income taxpayers. There is, however, no generally satisfactory way to measure or allocate the benefit-in-kind resulting from charitable donations. While total benefits might be measured by their cost, a large input to benefits-in-kind is voluntary effort that is very difficult to value. Charities as Public Goods Even if it were practical to tax benefits-in-kind, it still could be argued that the benefits should not be taxed because they flow to society generally as well as to the individual recipient. Many philanthropic activities provide services, e.g., basic research, education, etc., that benefit the public at large. Deductibility of contributions to such activities provides an incentive for this provision without direct government control. On the other hand, some persons argue that this kind of hidden public finance should not be given to programs that are under private, and perhaps even individual, control. Moreover, it may be viewed as inequitable that some beneficiaries should receive untaxed benefits if others must pay the full cost for similar benefits (e.g., education, health care, etc.). A Practical Alternative to Taxing Charitable Organizations If it is considered logical but impractical to tax benefits to the beneficiary, an alternative approximation is to tax the donor by denial of deductibility. The charitable contribution is easily measurable and taxable in a practical sense. If the donor reduces his contributions by the amount of the additional tax he pays, the donor indirectly shifts the tax burden to beneficiaries. Denial of deductibility, therefore, may be viewed as a proxy for taxing beneficiaries. This describes the present treatment of gifts between individuals. The model tax repeats this treatment for gifts to organizations. - 97 Alternative Tax Incentives for Philanthropy The rationale for deductibility of gifts and exemption from income of charitable institutions comes down to providing a tax incentive to encourage their activities. On the other hand, concern for tax equity only would suggest taxation of the full value of the charitable contribution on at least one side of the transfer. The latter conclusion may be reached whether one invokes a "standard-of-living" or an "ability-to-pay" criterion of equity. Optional Tax Credit. The use of the tax system to provide an incentive for charitable activities may be accomplished by an alternative policy option — the replacement of the deduction with a tax credit. A flat credit (percentage of contribution) could be provided at a level that would just balance the revenue gain from denying deductibility. A credit of, for example, 25 percent would provide additional tax savings to those with marginal tax rates below 25 percent and impose more taxes on those with marginal rates in excess of 25 percent. In addition to this redistributive effect, this alternative tax incentive may result in certain activities," such as education, health care, and the arts, bearing the additional burden nominally imposed on the higher-income contributors. Other activities, such as religion and welfare, might be more likely to benefit from the tax savings given to lower-income contributors . The choice between tax credits and deductions thus requires a judgment about the desired amount of stimulus among types of charities. The relative fairness of these devices may be judged according to one's concept of income. If gifts are regarded as reductions in the donor's income, and if rates of tax are chosen to produce a desirable degree of tax progressivity, then the deduction is to be preferred on equity grounds. Conversely, if charitable giving is a use of one's income that is to be encouraged by public subsidy, a subsidy per dollar of gift that does not vary with the taxable income of the donee may be more appropriate . CASUALTY LOSSES Model Tax Treatment The issue of deductibility of casualty losses is analogous to that of the property tax deduction. Damage to Property due to accidents or natural disasters reduces - 98 the present and potential income from ownership of that property. Consequently, casualty losses are properly deductible business expenses. However, as argued previously, owner-occupied houses and consumer durables produce incomes equal to a certain portion of the current rental value to the user, and that income is fully exempt from tax under present law and would be under the model tax. Deduction of casualty losses would represent an asymmetric treatment of these household assets — their income is exempt from tax, but interruption of the flow of income due to casualty would provide a tax reduction. The model tax would allow no deduction for casualty losses except to business property. Casualty insurance premiums for household property would not be deductible and insurance benefit~would not be IrT^l^ded in income: Present Law Treatment Under current law, insurance premiums are not deductible, but proceeds offset the deduction for actual losses. Hence, the effect for insured losses is the same as full deduction of losses, without floor, and inclusion of insurance proceeds in income. The logic cited above for refusing the deduction of losses would suggest that insurance premiums for household assets also are a cost of maintaining tax-exempt income. Such costs, therefore, should not be deductible. Because insurance premiums are approximately equal to the expected value of insurance benefits, if no deduction is allowed for premiums, the aggregate of insurance benefits may be regarded as tax-prepaid. Consequently, these benefits should not be taxable as income when paid. INTERNATIONAL CONSIDERATIONS The Residence Principle There are two basic prototype approaches to the taxation of international flows of income. The first is the residence principle, under which all income, wherever earned, would be defined and taxed according to the laws of the taxpayer's own country of residence. The second prototype is the source principle, which would require the taxpayer to pay tax according to the laws of the country or countries in which his income is earned, regardless of his residence. Adoption of one prototype or the other, as - 99 compared with the mixed system that now prevails, would have the desirable effect of insuring that no part of an individual' s income would be taxed by more than one country, and would reduce the number of bilateral treaties necessary to assure against double taxation. A number of considerations point to the residence principle as the more desirable principle to establish. First, the concept of income as consumption plus change in net worth implies that attribution of income by source is inappropriate. Income, by this definition, is an attribute of individuals, not of places. Second, if owners of factor services are much less mobile internationally than the factor services they supply, variations among countries in taxes imposed by residence will have smaller allocation effects than tax variations among places of factor employment. Third, the income redistribution objective manifested by the use of progressive income taxes implies that a country should impose taxes on the entire income of residents. The usual concept of income distribution cannot be defined on the basis of income source. For these reasons, the model plan recommends that the United States seek, as a long-run objective, a world wide system of residence principle taxation. This objective would be made much more feasible with the integration of individual and corporate income taxes. Clearly, the residence principle requires that a taxable income be attributable to persons. If taxable income were attributed to corporations, they would be encouraged to move their residence to countries with, low tax rates. Even after establishment of the residence principle, some problems would remain. For example, individuals who live in countries that tax pensions upon realization might be induced to retire to those countries that require prepayment of taxes on pensions by including pension contributions in taxable income. Such international differences in tax structure would contine to require bilateral treaty agreements . Establishing the Residence Principle To encourage the establishment worldwide of the residence Principle, the model tax would reduce in stages, and according to the outcome of international treaty negotiations, the ^ ^ 2£ U*S. withholding taxes on income paid to foreign - 100 residents and the foreign tax credit allowed to U.S. residents on foreign source income. This process would depend upon corresponding reductions by foreign countries in the taxation of income of U.S. residents. The first step in the process of establishing the residence principle is to define a unique tax residence for each individual. These definitions would be established initially by national statute, and ultimately settled by international tax treaty. The second step would be to devise a tax system that encouraged other countries to forego taxation of U.S. residents on income earned abroad. This fundamental change in tax jurisdiction will take time, and it is important that international flows of labor, capital, and technology not be hampered by double taxation during the transition period. Accordingly, transition to the model U.S. tax system would be designed as a slow but steady movement toward residence principle taxation. Interim Rules Foreign Shareholders. As a practical matter, it would not be feasible to exempt foreign shareholders from U.S. taxation until such time as the residence principle received broad political acceptance both in the United States and abroad. Initially, therefore, foreign shareholders might be subject to a withholding tax of perhaps 30 percent on their share of corporate income (whether or not distributed), with the rate of taxation subject to reduction by treaty. Other forms of income paid to foreign residents would continue to be subject to withholding tax at existing statutory or treaty rates. These rates also could be reduced by treaty. Foreign Tax Credits. Eventually, a deduction — not a credit — should be allowed for foreign income taxe, because they are not significantly different from State and local income taxes, for which a deduction is also allowed. This approach would encourage foreign governments to provide U.S. firms operating abroad with benefits approximately equal to the amount of taxes. Otherwise, U.S. firms would gradually withdraw their investments. However, it will take time for foreign governments to accept the residence principle, just as the United States is not immediately willing to forego withholding taxes on U.S. source income paid to foreign residents. In the meantime, for reasons of international comity, and in order not to interrupt international flows of factor services, the United States would continue to allow a foreign tax credit to the extent of its own withholding tax - 101 on foreign income. In the case of corporate-source income, the initial credit limitation rate would be 30 percent (and the remainder of foreign taxes would be allowed as a deduction) . In the case of other income, the credit limitation would be determined by the U.S. statutory or treaty withholding rate on the particular type of income. Foreign Corporations. In keeping with the model income tax definition of income, the earnings of a foreign corporation controlled by U.S. interests would flow through to the domestic parent company and then to the shareholders of the domestic parent. The U.S. parent corporation would be deemed to receive the before-foreign-tax income of the subsidiary even if no dividends were paid. This would eliminate deferral here just as the integration plan eliminates shareholder deferral of tax as income in the form of corporate retained earnings. A foreign tax credit would be allowed for the foreign country's corporate income tax and withholding tax to the extent of the 30-percent limit. Excess foreign taxes would be deductible. The earnings of foreign corporations that are not controlled by U.S. interests would be taxable in the hands of U.S. shareholders only when distributed as dividends, and, therefore, a deduction rather than a credit would be allowed for any underlying foreign corporate income tax. A foreign tax credit would be allowed to U.S. shareholders only to the extent of foreign withholding taxes, and limited by the U.S. withholding rate on dividends paid to foreign residents. (The remainder of foreign withholding taxes would be allowed as a deduction.) Other Foreign Income. Other types of foreign income paid to U.S. residents would be similarly eligible for a foreign tax credit, again limited by the U.S. tax imposed on comparable types of income paid to foreigners. Thus, a U.S. resident earning salary income abroad would be allowed to claim a foreign tax credit up to the limit of U.S. withholding taxes that are imposed on the salary incomes of foreign residents in the U.S. THE FILING UNIT To this point, the concern of this chapter has been to develop a practical definition of income for purposes of a comprehensive income tax. That discussion has involved issues of timing, valuation, and scope, as well as considerations of administrability. The major issues that remain to be discussed have to do with assessment of the tax against income as defined. - 102 Model Tax Treatment Among the more difficult problems of translating an income definition into a tax system are (1) to determine what social or economic unit should be required (or allowed) to file a tax return and (2) how rates are to be applied to filing units having different characteristics. The model tax would designate the family as the primary tax unit, with separate rate schedules, as under current law, for three types of families -- unmarried individuals without dependents, unmarried individuals with dependents (heads of households), and married couples with or without dependents. Other provisions for two-earner families and for dependent care are described below. Problems of Taxation of the Filing Unit To illustrate the issues involved in choosing among alternative tax treatments of families, consider the following potential criteria: 1. Families of equal size with equal incomes should pay equal taxes. 2. The total tax liability of two individuals should not change when they marry. Both of these appear to be reasonable standards. Yet, there is no progressive tax system that will satisfy them simultaneously. This is readily illustrated by the following hypothetical case. Both partners of married couple A work, and each has earnings of $15,000. Married couple B has $20,000 of earnings from the labor of one partner and $10,000 from the other. If individual filing were mandatory, with the same rate structure for all, couple A may pay less tax than couple B. This is a consequence of applying progressive rates separately to the earnings of each partner. Suppose marginal rates were 10 percent on the first $15,000 of income and 20 percent on any additional income. In this example, couple A would owe $1,500 on each partner's income, or a total of $3,000. Couple B would owe $2,500 on the larger income and $1,000 on the smaller, or a total of $3,500. This violates the first criterion. - 103 Now consider a system of family filing in which all income within the family is aggregated and the tax is calculated without regard to the relative earnings of each partner. (Unmarried individuals would be subject to the same rates as a family.) In this case, the two couples would pay the same tax on their total income of $30,000. However, both couples would be financially worse off than if they were unmarried. Each couple would now pay a tax of $3,500 on the total of $30,000. As compared with separate filing, more income is taxed at the higher marginal rate. This violation of the second criterion is sometimes referred to as a "marriage tax." The simplest device for dealing with this penalty on marriage is "income splitting," whereby the combined income of a married couple is taxed as though it were attributed half to one spouse, and half by the other. Each half is subject to the rate schedule applicable to an unmarried individual. To continue the above example, each couple with a total income of $30,000 would, with income splitting, pay a rate of 10 percent on each $15,000 share, or a total of $3,000 in tax. Notice that there may be a "marriage benefit" so long as each prospective spouse does not have the same income. Upon marriage, the combined tax for couple B would fall from $3,500 to $3,000. Choice of the Filing Unit Direct appeal to the concept of income does not settle these issues, because that concept presupposes the definition of an accounting unit. There are legal, administrative, and even sociological factors involved in the choice. The major arguments in favor of mandatory individual filing can be summarized as follows: (1) no marriage tax; (2) no discrimination against secondary workers; and (3) the administrative ease of identifying individuals without the requirement of a definition of families. By contrast, the arguments in favor of family filing are: (1) families with equal incomes should pay equal taxes; (2) families typically make joint decisions about the use of their resources and supply of their labor services; and (3) family filing makes it unnecessary to allocate property rights, as in the case of community property laws, and to trace intrafamily gifts. The last point is critical. A concept of income as a use of resources implies that each individual's ability to Pay includes consumption and net worth changes financed by - i - • ... .i i II i..i n . i . V i in.. .1. - 104 transfers from other family members. Carried to extreme, this separate treatment of family members would suggest assessment of tax even to minor children. Chiefly because of this problem, it i£ recommended that the family be made the primary tax unit. The definition of a family is, of necessity, somewhat arbitrary, as is the application of progressive rate schedules to families of different types. The following definition of a family is adopted here 6/: The family unit consists of husband and wife and their children. The children are included until the earliest date on which one of the following events occurs: . They reach 18 years of age and they are not then attending school; or . They receive their baccalaureate degree or; . They attain age 26; or . They marry. Single persons are taxed separately. Persons not currently married and their children living with them are treated as family units. The Problem of Secondary Workers A system of joint family filing may cause an efficiency loss to the economy; namely, the discouragement of labor force participation by secondary workers in a family. If a partner not in the labor force is thinking of entering it, the tax rate that person faces is the marginal rate applying to the prospective total family income. This rate may be much higher than that for a single wage earner. This consequence of family filing is sometimes referred to as the "wife tax." Two-earner families and single-adult families with dependents also face expenses for dependent care, which may be regarded as altering such families' ability to pay taxes. Hence, taxability of families will vary according to the number of adults, the number of wage earners, and the number of children. - 105 Compare the circumstances of three three-person families of equal income: family X has two adult wage earners; family Y has two adults, only one of whom is a wage earner; and family Z has only one adult, who is a wage earner. Family Y alone receives the full-time household and child care services of one adult member and may be regarded as better off on this account. Family X alone bears the wife tax associated with secondary wage earners. Family Z has the additional child care responsibility but also the smaller subsistence outlays associated with two children in place of an adult and one child. The model tax would recognize the difference of the type illustrated by these three families by two special adjustments to taxable income, and by separate rate schedules — one for families with one adult and another for those with two adults. Tax Adjustments for Differences in Family Status The first adjustment in the model tax is that only 75 percent of the wage income of secondary earners would be IncludedTn family income. This lower rate of inclusion would apply only to a limited amount of earnings of the secondary worker. In the model tax this limit would be $10,000. Earnings of the secondary worker means the income of all family wage earners, except that of the member with the largest wage income. This provision would reduce the "wi tax" on families with more than one wage earner. The second adjustment would be a child care deduction equal to half of actual child caLre costs up to a limit of either $5,000 or the taxable earnings of the secondary worker, whichever is smaller. This deduction would be allowed only for a spouse who is a secondary worker, or for an unmarried head of household. The dependent care adjustment would provide some allowance for the reduced standard of living associated with the absence of full-time household services of a parent. The model tax would provide separate rate schedules, as in present law, for single individuals, for families with a married couple, and for families with a single head of household. Rate schedules applicable to individuals would be set so that a two-adult family would pay slightly higher tax than two unmarried individuals whose equal taxable incomes sum to the same taxable income as the family. A single individual would, of course, owe more tax than a family with the same amount of taxable income. The schedule - 106 of rates for a family with a single head of household would be designed so that the tax liability would be the sum of (1) half the tax calculated from the single rate schedule and (2) half the tax from the rate schedule for couples. The model tax also would have, as part of its rate schedule, a "zero rate bracket" that would exempt a fixed amount of income on each return from tax. The level of this exemption could be adjusted to reduce the potential marriage benefit that may result from different schedules of positive rates for married as compared to single filers. The desired relation in level and progressivity of tax among taxpayers of different family status would be achieved, therefore, by a combination of rates and rate brackets that is different for each type of family, and also by specifying a level of exemption per filing unit. Provision of an exemption for each filing unit would have much the same effect as the standard deduction under present law. The exemption would provide a minimum level of income for each family or individual that would not be subject to tax. However, unlike the present law, the use of the exemption by a family would not disallow any other subtractions from receipts in the determination of taxable income. Under the model tax, deductions for employee business expenses, State and local income taxes, pension contributions, interest payments, etc. would not be reduced by, nor dependent upon, the exemption of a subsistence amount of income. ADJUSTING FOR FAMILY SIZE Most observers would agree that the tax treatment of families should vary by family size, as well as by marital status and the number of wage earners. The model tax would adjust for family size by means of a specified exemption per family member, as in present law. Exemptions Versus Credits The use of the personal exemption as an adjustment for family size has been much criticized. One line of criticism is that the dollar value of an exemption increases with the family's marginal tax rate, so that it is worth more for rich families than for poor families. This observation has led some people to suggest either a vanishing exemption, which diminishes as income increases, or institution of a - 107 tax credit for each family member in place of the exemption. The latter approach has been adopted, in a limited way, in the "personal exemption credit" provision of the 1975 Tax Reduction Act, which has been extended temporarily by the 1976 Tax Reform Act. A tax credit reduces tax liability by the same amount for each additional family member regardless of family income. The argument for a vanishing exemption or family credit often reflects a misunderstanding of the relationship of these devices to the overall progressivity of the income tax. It is true that trading an exemption for a credit without changing rates will alter the pattern of progressivity, making the tax more progressive for large families, less for small families and single persons. But it is also true that, for any given level of exemption or credit, any degree of progression among families of equal size may be obtained by altering the rate schedule. Therefore, in the context of a basic reform of the tax system that involves revision of the rate structure, there is no reason that the substitution of tax credits for exemptions should result in a more progressive tax. If the change in the standard of living that accompanies the addition of a family member is akin to a reduction in the family's income, then an exemption would be an appropriate family-size adjustment. If, on the other hand, one views the family-size adjustment as a type of subsistence subsidy for each member of a taxpayer's family, a credit may be more appropriate. The model tax reflects the former view. The point to be emphasized here is that this choice is often argued in the wrong terms. If tax rates are adjustable, the issue of exemptions versus credits is essentially a question of the proper relative treatment of equal-income families of different sizes at various points of the income distribution. Should the tax reduction on account of additional family members be greater as family income increases? Or is this, per se, inequitable? SAMPLE COMPREHENSIVE INCOME TAX FORM In order to summarize the major provisions of the model comprehensive income tax, and to provide a ready reference to its provisions, a listing of the items of information that would be required to compute the tax is provided below. In a few cases — unincorporated business income, capital - 108 gains and losses, and income from rents and royalties — supplemental schedules would be required to determine amounts to be entered. However, as compared with present law, recordkeeping requirements and tax calculation would be simplified greatly, despite the fact that several presently excluded items of income are added. For most taxpayers, the only calculations that would be complicated would be the exclusion of a portion of wages of secondary workers and the child care allowance for working mothers and heads of households. The rest of the calculation would simply involve the addition of receipts, subtraction of deductions and exemptions, and reference to a table of rates. For single individuals and couples with one wage earner who have only employee compensation and limited amounts of interest and dividends, a still simpler form could be devised. Sample Tax Form for the Comprehensive Income Tax Filing Status 1. Check applicable status a. Single individual b. Married filing joint return c. Unmarried head of household d. Married filing separately Family Size 2. Enter one on each applicable line a. Yourself b. Spouse 3. Number of dependent children 4. Total family size (add lines 2a, 2b, and 3) - 109 Household Receipts 5a. Wages, salaries, and tips of primary wage earner (attach forms W-2)7/ b. Wages, salaries, and tips of all other wage earners (attach forms W-2) c. Multiply line 5b by .25; if greater than $2,500, enter $2,500 d. Included wages of second worker, subtract line 5c from line 5b e. Wages subject to tax, add lines 5a and 5d 6. Receipts of pensions, annuities, disability compensation, unemployment compensation, workmen's compensation, and sick pay. (Includes social security benefits, except Medicare, and veteran's disability and survivor benefits.) 7. Interest received (attach forms 1099) 8. Rents, royalties, estate and trust income, and allocated earnings from life insurance reserves (attach schedule E) 9. Unincorporated business income (attach schedule C) 10. Net gain or loss from the sale, exchange, or distribution of capital assets (attach schedule D) 11. Allocated share of corporate earnings (attach forms Wx) 12. Public assistance benefits, food stamp subsidy, fellowships, scholarships, and stipends (attach forms W-y) 13. Alimony received 14. Total receipts (add lines 5e and 6-13) - 110 Deductions 15. Employee business expense (includes qualified travel, union and professional association dues, tools, materials, and education expenses) 16. Nonbusiness interest expense (attach statement) 17. State and local income tax 18. Alimony paid 19. Child care expenses a. If line lc is checked and line 3 is not zero, or if line lb is checked and both lines 3 and 5b are not zero, enter total child care expenses b. Multiply line 19a by .5 c. Enter smaller of line 19b or $5,000 d. Child care deduction. If unmarried head of household, enter smaller of line 19c or line 5a e. If married filing joint return, enter smaller of line 19c or line 5d 20. Total deductions (add lines 15-18, and 19d or 19e) Tax Calculation 21. Income subject to tax. Subtract line 20 from line 14 (if less than zero, enter zero) 22. Basic exemption. Enter $1,600 23. Family size allowance. Multiply line 4 by $1,000 24. Total exemption. Add lines 22 and 23 25. Taxable income. Subtract line 24 from line 21 26. Tax liability (from appropriate table) 27. a. Total Federal income tax withheld b. Estimated tax payments c. Total tax prepayments (add lines 27a and 27b) - Ill - 28. If line 26 is greater than line 27c, enter BALANCE DUE 29. If line 27c is greater than line 26, enter REFUND DUE - 112 FOOTNOTES The use of food stamps is restricted to a class of consumption items, but the range of choice allowed to recipients is sufficiently broad that the difference between the face value and the purchase price of the coupon may be regarded as a cash grant. This imputed income estimates the return to both equity and debt supplied during construction. To include interest paid in the calculation would count the debt portion twice. To be increased in increments to 12 months according to the Tax Reform Act of 1976. To be increased in increments to $3,000 according to the Tax Reform Act of 1976. A rule of thumb that is commonly suggested is that monthly rental is 1 percent of market value. However, as experience with local property taxes has shown, accurate periodic assessment is technically and politically difficult. This definition is based upon that of Galvin and Willis, "Reforming the Federal Tax Structure," p. 19. Wages reported by the employer would exclude employee contributions to pension plans and disability insurance, and would also exclude the employee's share of payroll taxes for social security retirement and disability (OASDI). Wages would include employer contributions to health and life insurance plans, the employee's allocated share of earnings on pension reserves, and the cash value of consumption goods and services provided to the employee below cost. - 113 - Chapter 4 A MODEL CASH FLOW TAX INTRODUCTION This chapter presents a proposal for a consumption base tax as an alternative to a comprehensive income tax. Called a "cash flow" tax because of the simple accounting system used, this tax is designed to replace the current taxes on the income of households, individuals, trusts, and corporations. The major difference between the cash flow tax and the comprehensive income tax outlined in chapter 3 is that the change in an individual's net worth is effectively excluded from the base of the cash flow tax. In many other respects, the two taxes are alike. Consumption is included in both tax bases. The measure of consumption in the cash flow proposal is broadly similar to that in the comprehensive income tax proposal; it differs mainly in that it includes the flow of consumption from consumer durables and owneroccupied housing and certain other forms of in-kind consumption. The treatment of the family unit for tax purposes is the same in both the comprehensive income and cash flow proposals. The concern of this chapter is to define the appropriate base of the cash flow tax system. The issue of the progressivity of the tax system is a separate problem that would have to be resolved for either the cash flow tax or the comprehensive income tax. This issue is considered for both taxes in chapter 5. Cash Flow Accounting The central feature of the model tax system is the use of cash flow accounting for financial transactions to obtain a measure of annual consumption for any individual or household. The principle involved is very simple. A household could use monetary receipts in a year for three purposes: personal consumption, saving, and gifts. By including all monetary receipts in the tax base, including the entire proceeds of sales of assets and gifts received, and allowing deductions for purchases of assets and gifts given, the annual consumption of a household could be measured without directly monitoring the purchases of goods and services. - 114 - The use of cash flow accounting of financial asset transactions to compute the tax base is illustrated, for an average wage earner, in the following example. Suppose a worker earns $10,000 per year in wages, of which he uses $9,000 for personal consumption and $1,000 for saving. Under the cash flow tax outlined in this proposal, the worker could deduct $1,000 from his $10,000 of wages, if he had deposited the $1,000 in a qualified account. Use of Qualified Accounts. Qualified accounts would be established by banks and other financial institutions, which would keep records of deposits and withdrawals. The worker's $1,000 deposit in the account could be used to purchase any type of financial asset — savings bank deposits, corporate shares, bonds, mutual funds, or any other claim to current or future income. The future balance in the qualified account would depend, of course, on the profitability of his investments. No tax would be assessed against interest, dividends, or capital gains as they are earned, but the taxpayer would be required to include in his tax base the full value of any withdrawals from his qualified account that were not reinvested in similar accounts. The use of qualified accounts to handle financial transactions would ease the taxpayer's recordkeeping burden and would enable tax authorities to trace the annual flow of funds available for consumption uses. The qualified accounts described here are very similar to qualified retirement accounts under current law. These accounts include Keogh plans and Individual Retirement Accounts (IRA's), which provide the taxpayer a current deduction for contributions to funds for retirement and, then, include withdrawals from the fund in the tax base after retirement. There are two major differences between the qualified accounts proposed here and qualified retirement accounts provided for in the current tax code. First, withdrawal of funds from the qualified account would be allowed without penalty at any time during a taxpayer's lifetime. Second, there would be no statutory limit to the amount a taxpayer could contribute to a qualified account. Thus, in the example above, if the worker deposited $1,000 in a savings account, his tax would be computed on an annual cash flow base of $9,000. If, in the following year, he consumed his entire salary of $10,000 and in addition withdrew $500 from his savings account to purchase a color television set, his cash flow tax base in that year would be $10,500. His taxcurrently base is geared use of his receipts for consumption, or in to thethe future. - 115 - Alternative Treatment of Investments. An alternative way of handling investments that would enable an individual to alter the timing but not the expected present value of his cash flow tax base would be to include the purchases of assets in the tax base, but to exempt all returns from assets from tax. To continue the example above, the worker could deposit $1,000 of his $10,000 of annual wages in a savings bank, but without using a qualified account. If he did so, the entire $10,000 of wage receipts would be included in his tax base in the initial year, but any future interest earned on the savings deposit and any withdrawal of the principal would be excluded from the tax base. As will be discussed more fully below, the expected present value of the worker's lifetime tax base would be the same for either method of accounting, if he consumes the proceeds of his account during his lifetime. Investments handled in this alternative way would be treated very simply for tax purposes. The amount invested would be included in the tax base — the same as consumption • but all subsequent returns on the investment would be untaxed. In effect, the tax that would otherwise be due on consumption from the proceeds of the investment would be prepaid at the time the investment is made. Allowing taxpayers the choice of this alternative way of handling investment accounts has some advantages, but could create problems, which are discussed below. The possibility is discussed of dealing with these problems by introducing restrictions on the types of investments that may or must be made through qualified accounts. Although few restrictions are recommended in the model plan, it should be stressed that to increase their number or stringency would be fully consistent with the basic concept of the cash flow tax and would not alter its most important features. The remainder of this chapter presents the details of a model cash flow tax base and discusses its most important characteristics. The next section points out the tax issues that have common solutions in the model comprehensive income tax and the model cash flow tax. Then, a section is devoted to the major differences between the two tax bases, including a full description of the cash flow tax treatment of investment assets and consumer durables. Another section discusses the economic consequences of adopting a cash flow tax, and the final section presents a sample tax calculation form. - 116 ELEMENTS IN COMMON WITH THE COMPREHENSIVE INCOME TAX Several of the issues discussed in the preceding chapter would be resolved similarly for a cash flow tax. These questions include the measurement of consumption — to be taxed alike in both models — and the related issue of the appropriate treatment of families of varying size and circumstances. Family Size and Family Status Under this proposal, the family would be taxed as a unit for reasons analogous to those argued in chapter 3. In order to assess tax to each family member as an individual, it would be necessary to allocate consumption among family members. This would destroy much of the administrative simplicity of the cash flow tax, which rests upon deducting from receipts certain cash outlays that are usually made on behalf of the family as a unit. Receipts are also usually combined at the family level. The argument that standard of living varies by family size holds for a consumption measure of living standard as well as for an income standard. The adjustment device in the model cash flow tax plan discussed in this chapter — one exemption per family member — is the same as that proposed for the comprehensive income tax. However, differences in the size of the tax base under the two taxes might require that the exemption levels be different for model taxes intended to raise the same revenue. As in the case of the comprehensive income tax, other approaches to the adjustment for family size would be fully consistent with the cash flow tax base. Adjustments that account for differences among families in the number of wage earners and the availability of a full-time adult in the household apply to labor-related earnings and expenses only. They would be just as appropriate, therefore, under a consumption tax as under an income tax. The structure of rates required to achieve the desired pattern of progressivity might be different, however. Deductions for Charitable Contributions, Medical Expenses, and Taxes Contributions to Charities. As in the case of the comprehensive income tax base, deductions for charitable contributions would not be allowed under the model cash flow - 117 - tax. Conceptually, under a cash flow tax, itemized gifts should be deductible by the donor and included in the receipts of the donee. Following the discussion in chapter 3, including receipts from charities in the tax base of the recipient is rejected as impractical. Charity is not usually given in cash or in goods that are easy to value, and sometimes the benefit is to society generally, so that beneficiaries cannot be separately identified. Nor should the charitable institutions be taxed. They do not consume; they merely act as intermediaries to distribute the benefits to the ultimate recipients. The foregoing suggests that the best way to tax consumption resulting from charitable activities would be to count charitable contributions as consumption by the donor and not to allow a tax deduction. In opposition to this proposal, it may be argued that tax-free consumption of goods and services provided by charities should be maintained because these goods and services provide a public service function. Proponents of this view would argue for either a deduction or some form of tax credit for charitable contributions. As noted in chapter 3, however, the decision whether or not to allow the deduction of charitable contributions is not essential to the basic integrity of the overall proposal. There is one element of the comprehensive income tax discussion of charities that does not apply to a cash flow tax. The undistributed portion of endowment earnings of charitable organizations should not be taxed even if taxation of organizations on the basis of contributions is viewed as feasible and recommended as a general policy. Medical Expenses. The issues involving medical expenses and medical insurance are exactly the same for the cash flow tax as for the income tax. Consequently, the same policy options are prescribed for both model taxes. State and Local Income Taxes. The model cash flow tax treatment of State and local taxes also would be the same as that under the model accretion tax: income taxes would be fully deductible because they are not regarded as part of consumption. Other taxes would not be deductible, except as business expenses. Property Taxes. No property tax deduction would be allowed to homeowners under either of the model taxes. The rationale for denying deduction of the property tax for - 118 - owner-occupied homes is, however, somewhat different in the case of the cash flow tax. The cash flow tax would measure the owner's consumption of housing services as the purchase price (or capital value) of the dwelling. In a market equilibrium, this price is the present value of the prospective stream of imputed rents less current costs. These costs include property taxes. Therefore, a higher local property tax, if uncompensated by services to the property, would result in a lower market price of the dwelling. In this way, the property tax is excluded from the base of the cash flow tax without an explicit deduction. Health, Disability, and Unemployment Insurance Those types of insurance that are purchased for a 1year term and pay benefits directly to the insured — health, disability, and unemployment insurance — are no different in concept or model tax treatment under the cash flow tax than under the accretion tax. They are included in the definition of consumption. The differences in treatment among them — taxation of benefits in the case of disability and unemployment, and of premiums for health insurance — are explained in the preceding chapter. The model tax treatment is the same for each of these items whether the insurance is public or private, employer-paid or employeepaid. However, life, casualty, and old-age insurance do present differences in concept under the consumption tax and will be discussed below. Casualty Losses Casualty losses would not be deductible under the model comprehensive income tax or under the cash flow tax. Again, however, the rationale for not allowing the deduction under the cash flow tax is slightly different. Under the cash flow tax, changes in net worth would not be included in the tax base, and, therefore, reductions in net worth, in general, should not be deducted. Further, as explained below, all taxation for the consumption of consumer durables would be prepaid at the time of purchase, and subsequent sales of consumer durables, at whatever price, would not be included in the tax base. Following the same reasoning, the premiums for casualty insurance would not be deductible under the cash flow tax proposal, and the proceeds would be excluded from the tax base. - 119 - DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE CASH FLOW TAX AND THE COMPREHENSIVE INCOME TAX The major difference between the cash flow tax outlined here and the comprehensive income tax presented in chapter 3 follows directly from the definition of the two bases. Under the cash flow system, changes in net worth would not be included in the tax base, but the comprehensive income tax would attempt to include all changes in net worth to the extent administratively feasible. Thus, the cash flow tax and the income tax differ in their treatment of purchases of assets and returns from asset ownership. Specifically, the two taxes differ most in the handling of corporate profits, income from unincorporated business, capital gains, interest received on savings and interest paid on loans, rental income, income accrued in retirement plans and life insurance, and casualty losses. The first part of this section discusses in some detail the treatment of investment assets and consumer durables under the cash flow tax proposal. In the second part, a comparison is made between specific provisions of the model comprehensive income tax and the handling of corresponding items under the model cash flow tax. The Treatment of Assets Under a Cash Flow Tax The cash flow tax would greatly simplify tax accounting and tax administration regarding real and financial assets. Accounts to determine capital gains, depreciation, and inventories — among the most complex necessitated by the current tax code — would no longer be required. For many individuals, no accounting would be necessary for asset purchases nor for receipts associated with asset ownership. For other taxpayers, simple annual cash flow data would provide all the necessary information for computing tax liability. The taxpayer would merely record the net annual deposits or withdrawals from qualified accounts. Accounting for the cash flow tax would rest solely on marketplace transactions for the current year, thus minimizing the need for long-term recordkeeping. Family-Owned Businesses. The simplicity of cash flow tax accounting is best illustrated by the model tax treatment of a family-owned business. All cash in-flows would be counted as receipts. Cash outlays that represent business expenses -- including all purchases of equipment, structures, - 120 - and inventories — would be deducted from receipts; that is, instantaneous depreciation for tax purposes would be allowed on all investments regardless of the durability of the asset purchased. The difference between receipts and cash outlays would be included in the individual's tax base. If cash outlays exceed business receipts in any year, the difference would reduce receipts from other sources. For example, suppose a family derived all its receipts from a family-owned grocery store. To compute its tax base, the family would add up all cash receipts from sales and subtract from this amount all business outlays, including payments to employees and cash outlays for electricity, rent payments for the store, purchases of machinery, and purchases of inventories. These would be the only calculations the family would make to determine its tax base under the cash flow tax. No data on capital gains or depreciation would be required to determine taxable receipts. Financial Assets. Financial assets, including stocks, bonds, and savings deposits, owned by taxpayers via qualified accounts would be recorded for tax purposes in the same way as annual purchases and sales associated with a family-owned business. All deposits for purchases of assets would be deducted from other receipts in computing the tax base. All withdrawals, whether arising from dividends, interest, or asset sales, would be included in the tax base. No distinction would have to be made between the gain from sale of an asset and the return of capital invested. For example, suppose an individual deposits $100 in a qualified savings bank account, where it earns 10 percent annual interest. In the year he makes the $100 deposit, he would be allowed to deduct $100 from current receipts in computing his tax base. If, in the following year, he withdraws the principal plus earned interest — now equal to $110 — the amount withdrawn would be added to receipts from other sources in computing the tax base. If, instead, the savings deposit were left in the bank to accumulate interest, there would be no current tax consequences. Any future withdrawal would add to taxable receipts in the year it is made. Deductions for the purchase of assets would be allowed only if the purchase were made through a qualified account. This device would offer a simple way to insure compliance with the cash flow tax. Individuals would be permitted to - 121 keep qualified accounts with savings banks, corporations, stockbrokers, and many other types of financial institutions. The net amount of deposits in, and withdrawals from, qualified accounts during the year would be reported by the institution to both the taxpayer and tax authorities. The present dividend-reporting requirements for corporations may be viewed as a model for the way financial institutions would report net withdrawals and deposits from qualified accounts for the cash flow tax. The tax base of an individual would include the sum of net withdrawals from all qualified accounts. If deposits exceeded withdrawals, the excess would be subtracted from other receipts in computing the tax base. The sale of one asset out of a qualified account and subsequent purchase in the same year of another asset of equal dollar value would have no net tax consequences if the new asset were also purchased in a qualified account. Consumer Durables. It is technically feasible, but practically unattractive, to apply the cash flow concepts just described to the purchase of consumer durables. Unlike financial assets, consumer durables such as automobiles, houses, and major home appliances, all yield flows of services to the owners that are not measured by annual monetary payments. Thus, to allow a deduction for consumer durable purchases and then to include only future monetary receipts in the tax base would amount to excluding from the tax base the value of consumption services yielded by durable goods. Because it is difficult to determine the annual value of the use of consumer durables the same concepts used for financial assets cannot be easily applied. For example, suppose an individual purchased an automobile for $4,000 and sold it for $2,000 3 years later. If a deduction were allowed for the purchase and, then, the sale value included in receipts, the individual's total tax liability would be lowered by owning the automobile. However, the individual would have expended $2,000 plus some foregone interest for the consumption services of the automobile over the 3-year period. The depreciation and foregone interest measure the cost of the consumption services and should be included in the tax base. If the automobile were taxed the same way as an asset in a qualified account, this consumption value would escape the tax. - 122 To assure that the entire consumption value is included in the tax base, the appropriate treatment of consumer durables is to allow no deduction on purchase and to exclude sales receipts from the tax base. In other words, purchase of a consumer durable would be treated the same way as current consumption of goods and services. The reason for this approach is that the price paid for a consumer durable should reflect the present value of future services the buyer expects to receive. Including the value of durable goods in the tax base at the time of purchase produces, in effect, a prepayment of the tax on the value of future consumption services. According to this treatment, the $4,000 for the purchase of the automobile would not be deducted from the tax base. Similarly, the $2,000 from sales of the automobile 3 years later would not be included in the tax base. Thus, if an individual sold a used car and bought another used car for the same price, or used the proceeds for current consumption, there would be no tax consequences. If he sold a used car for $2,000 and invested the proceeds in a qualified asset, he would deduct $2,000 from his tax base in the year of the transaction. In summary, the purchase of a durable good would be treated as present consumption even though the good yields consumption services over time. The reason for this approach is that the price of the good reflects the expected present value of its future stream of services. Measuring annual service flows directly would require the measurement of annual depreciation and annual imputed rent on the value of the asset. This would introduce unwanted and unnecessary complexity into the cash flow tax system. Checking Accounts. Deductions should also be derived for purchases of certain types of financial assets that yield their primary benefits in the form of services received, rather than monetary returns. For example, non-interestbearing demand deposits provide services for depositors in place of interest. Deductions, therefore, should not be allowed for deposits in checking accounts, and withdrawals from checking accounts should not be included in the tax base. That is, checking accounts should not be qualified accounts. - 123 - Equivalence of Qualified Account Treatment and Tax Prepayment Approach The equivalence noted above between the purchase price of a consumer durable good and the present value of its expected future services suggests an analogous equivalence between the price of a business or financial asset and the present value of its expected future stream of returns. This equivalence can best be illustrated by a simple example. Suppose an individual deposits $100 in a savings account at 10 percent interest in year 1. In year 2, he withdraws the $100 deposit plus $10 earned interest and uses it to buy consumption goods. Qualified Accounts Treatment. If the savings account is a qualified account, the individual would reduce his tax base by $100 in year 1 and raise it by $110 when he withdraws his funds from the account in year 2. At an interest rate of 10 percent, the discounted present value in year 1 of his second-year tax base would be $110/1.10, or $100. Tax Prepayment Approach. Now, suppose instead that the savings account is not a qualified account. In this case, the individual is not allowed a deduction for the deposit and is not taxed on interest earned or on funds withdrawn in year 2. The discounted present value of his tax base would be the same in this case as under the cash flow rules initially presented. The tax base in year 1 would be $100 higher, and the discounted present value of the tax base in year 2 would be $100 lower, than if a qualified account were used. In other words, allowing a deduction for purchases of assets and taxing withdrawals — the qualified accounts treatment — i s equivalent to allowing no deduction for the asset purchase and exempting all interest earnings from tax — the "tax prepayment" approach. The consequences to the government of the two ways of taxing the purchase of assets would also be the same in present value terms. If the individual bought the asset through a qualified account, the Government would collect revenue on a tax base of $110 in year 2. If the interest were exempt from tax, and no deduction for the asset purchase allowed, the government would collect revenue on a tax base of $100 in year 1. This revenue would grow to $110 by year 2 at 10 percent interest. Ignoring possible variations in average tax rates, the government would be left with the same revenue at the end of year 2 in both cases. - 124 - The example above suggests that all assets may be treated according to the tax prepayment method for required consumer durables. Asset purchases would not be deducted from the tax base, and all earnings from assets and sales of assets would not be included in the tax base. Thus, for assets not purchased through qualified accounts, it would not be necessary to keep any records for tax purposes. The expected present value of the tax base would be the same for both methods of tax treatment of assets, although the timing of payments would be different. Both methods of tax treatment of assets are consistent with a cash flow approach to taxation. It is worth repeating that allowing an alternative treatment of financial assets outside of qualified accounts, tax prepayment, is not essential to the integrity of the proposal, but it would provide convenience and some other advantages. In the cash flow proposal presented in this study, purchases of financial assets except for investments in a family business or closely held corporation, would be allowed to have tax-free returns if the investment were not deducted. Alternative rules are possible: (1) to require all asset purchases, except for consumer durables, to be made through qualified accounts; or (2) to continue to tax returns from assets purchased outside of qualified accounts (i.e., dividends, interest, rental income, capital gains) as they would be taxed under either a comprehensive income base (described in chapter 3) or under the current tax law. The current taxation of returns would strongly encourage, but not require, taxpayers to purchase income-earning assets through qualified accounts. Otherwise, the present value of tax liability would ordinarily be higher and recordkeeping and tax accounting more costly. Treatment of Borrowing and Lending The equivalence between the amount invested in an asset and the expected present value of returns also permits two alternative ways of treating loan transactions. Normally, under cash flow accounting, receipts from a loan would be handled through qualified accounts. An individual would be required to report the loan proceeds in his tax base in the initial year. (Of course, if he used the loan proceeds to purchase investment assets through a qualified account in the same tax year, there would be no net tax consequence.) Subsequent interest and principal payments would then be - 125 - deductible from the tax base in the following years. If the individual sold assets that had been purchased through qualified accounts in an amount just sufficient to pay the loan interest and principal, the net tax consequence would, again, be zero. On the other hand, if the loan were taken outside a qualified account, proceeds of the loan would not be included in the tax base, and repayments of interest and principal would not be deductible. Note, again, that the present value of the tax liability would be the same in either case. The discounted value of future interest and principal payments on a loan would be equal to the current proceeds of the loan. Advantages of Taxpayer Option Treatment of Asset Purchases and Borrowing ~"~~ ~~ There are significant advantages to a flexible cash flow tax that allows a taxpayer to chose, subject to certain limits, whether or not to use qualified accounts to make financial transactions. Averaging of Consumption. One advantage is the potential for evening out over time large outlays that are made irregularly, such as the purchase of a house or an automobile, or payment for college. According to the rules suggested above, cash outlays for consumer durables would not be deductible, so that borrowing via a qualified account would produce taxable receipts for which there would be no immediate offset. In buying a home, an individual probably would wish to borrow outside a qualified account. Otherwise he would pay tax on the entire mortgage in the year of the purchase. If the loan were not obtained through a qualified account, the proceeds of the loan would not be included in the tax base, but future principal and interest payments would not be deductible. Thus, tax liabilities from consumption of the good financed by such a loan would be spread out over the period of repayment, as the taxpayer used receipts from other sources, such as current wages, to pay the loan interest and principal. The existence of alternative ways of treating financial assets and loans for tax purposes would give individuals considerable flexibility in the timing of their tax liabilities. This feature of the cash flow tax is desirable because it would minimize the need for special averaging provisions. Averaging is desirable because increasing marginal rates would be applied to increases in the tax base for any single year. - 126 - With increasing marginal rates, an individual with a tax base of $10,000 in year 1 and $30,000 in year 2 will pay higher taxes than an individual with a tax base of $20,000 in both years. Whether the tax base is comprehensive income or consumption, it is hard to see why the first individual should be considered to be in a better position to pay taxes than the other. An example of the optional use of qualified accounts for the purpose of averaging consumption is the following: Suppose an individual purchased a $40,000 house, on which the bank made available a $30,000 mortgage. If the individual chose not to include the loan proceeds from the $30,000 mortgage in his tax base, he could not deduct mortgage payments in future years. In effect, the individual could pay the principal and interest on the mortgage every year out of current receipts from other sources. The receipts used for the annual mortgage payments would be included in the tax base. Thus, the tax base on the mortgage could be made to approximate the schedule of mortgage payments on the house. This leaves the problem of the down payment. The $10,000 used for the down payment, if withdrawn from a qualified account, would be included in entirety in the tax base in the year the house was purchased. The individual, if he had foreseen buying a house, could have avoided this problem by saving outside the qualified account. The money devoted to acquiring these financial assets would have been included in the tax base every year but, the tax having been prepaid, the lump sum withdrawal would not be subject to tax. These savings could then be transferred to the purchase of equity in housing. The prepayment of taxes would continue to apply to the stream of consumption services from housing, as it did to the yield from financial assets. In most other cases, individuals would probably want to save in qualified accounts for averaging purposes. Most people save during their most productive years, when income is highest. The savings are used to finance consumption after retirement. By saving in qualified accounts, an individual could reduce his tax liability in the years when his income is high relative to consumption, and raise it in the future when income is low. On the other hand, saving outside of qualified accounts might be an individual's best strategy when he anticipates large consumption expenditures - 127 such as a down payment for a house or college expenses. To the extent that the taxpayer remains in the same tax bracket for substantial variations in his tax base, the choice among types of accounts for reasons of averaging would be unnecessary. Privacy. A second advantage of allowing optional treatment of asset purchases is that taxpayers would not be compelled to make all financial investments through a thirdparty broker. The existence of assets not monitored by third parties, or by the government, would allow a person to maintain the privacy of his accounts without changing the present value of his tax base. Equality of Treatment Among Asset Types. A third advantage of allowing optional treatment for financial assets is that it would give investors in such assets the same opportunities available to investors in consumer durables. For both types of investments the initial and subsequent amounts would not be deductible and all returns, including sale of the asset, would not be subject to tax. Lifetime Perspective of the Cash Flow Tax At this point, it is worth emphasizing again the lifetime perspective of the cash flow tax system. The flexibility of asset treatment and the use of individual discretion over any 1_ year's tax liability would allow both postponement and advancement of tax liabilities. By allowing individuals to avoid taxes totally in some years by judicious rearrangement of asset purchases, these provisions might appear to provide a tax loophole. However, this loophole is apparent only — any reduction in tax base must be matched by a future tax base increase of equal present value. There could be no advantage to deferral if interest earnings were positive. Furthermore, because of progressive tax rates, it would be to the advantage of taxpayers to try to average their tax base over time. Thus, taxpayers would have an incentive to pay some tax every year, even though the means to postpone the tax is available. An Example. To see how an individual could use the system to avoid taxes in a given year, and why it would not be to his advantage, consider this example. Suppose a worker earned $20,000 per year and accumulated wealth equal to $20,000 by saving outside a qualified account. In another year, he deposits the entire $20,000 in a qualified account, deducting the deposit from his wages. He would then report - 128 - taxable receipts of zero in that year and, thereby, succeed in "sheltering" his consumption. (Less than $20,000 would need to be switched to a qualified account if there are personal exemptions.) However, this way of managing his financial portfolio probably would increase, rather than decrease, the present value of his tax payments over his lifetime. This point can be illustrated by showing that taking part of the $20,000 deduction in either a previous or future year, would yield tax savings. For example, suppose he deposited only $19,000 in a qualified account in the year in question, deducting the additional $1,000 by depositing it in a qualified account on the first day of the following year. With increasing marginal tax rates, the increased tax liability from increasing the tax base from zero to $1,000 in the current year will be much smaller than the reduction in tax liability from the slightly greater than $1,000 reduction in tax base in the following year, when taxable consumption is much higher. Alternatively, the individual might have taken a $1,000 deduction by depositing money in a qualified account in the last day of the previous year, leaving only $19,000 in assets outside qualified accounts in the year in question. Again, the increased tax liability from a $1,000 increase in tax base in the year in question would be smaller than the reduced tax liability from a $1,000 reduction in tax base through taking the deduction in the previous year, when taxable consumption is much greater than zeroThus, with increasing marginal rates, the taxpayer who uses the asset flexibility features of the model cash flow tax to acquire a year of tax-free consumption pays for that privilege. The present value of his tax liability would be increased in either prior or future years by an amount greater than the present value of tax saving in the "taxfree" year. Uncertain Outcomes: A Problem with the Tax-Prepayment Approach Tax Liability Can Be Independent of Outcome for Risky Investments. The major disadvantage of allowing a wide variety of financial assets to be purchased outside qualified accounts is that some large gains would go untaxed. When an asset has been purchased through a qualified account, the government could be viewed as participating in the investment, - 129 - by allowing a tax deduction, and also participating in the return on the investment, by taxing the gross proceeds. For assets purchased outside of qualified accounts, however, the investment would not be deducted and the entire proceeds of the investment could be liquidated for consumption purposes tax-free. If taxes were proportional, the after-tax rate of return would be the same in both cases. With qualified accounts, the Government in a sense would be a partner in the investment, sharing in the cost and appropriating a fraction of the return. When the tax is prepaid, however, the Government "share" in the returns would be zero. For assets bought outside of qualified accounts, large winners would not pay a higher tax and losers would not receive a loss offset. Although both types of tax treatment would allow investors equal opportunity to earn after-tax dollars, the tax treatment of assets purchased outside of qualified accounts would not distinguish between winners and losers of investment gambles. Thus, lucky investors might become very rich and owe no additional tax liability on future consumption of their wealth, if the initial investment were tax prepaid. Conversely, unlucky investors will have prepaid a tax on expected returns and will then obtain no deduction for the losses they incur. A second potential problem with tax-prepayment of returns from assets would arise if tax rates were subsequently increased sharply — for example, to finance a war. In that case, individuals who had prepaid tax on assets at the lower rates would escape taxation at the higher rates even if they were using the proceeds of profitable investments to finance current consumption. Of course, in making the tax-prepaid investments, those individuals ran the risk that tax rates might have been lowered, in which case they would have reduced their tax liability by buying assets through a qualified account. It may be viewed as desirable in view of these problems to modify the current proposal by restricting, or even eliminating, the provision for purchase of income-earning assets outside of qualified accounts. One possible compromise would be to force all "speculative" investments, i.e., land, stocks, etc., to be purchased through qualified accounts but to allow the tax-prepayment option for fixed interest securities and savings deposits. - 130 Consumer Durables. A similar problem would exist for consumer durables. Because consumer durables could not be purchased using qualified accounts, unanticipated increases in the value of consumer durables would be untaxed and there would be no tax offset for unanticipated losses. For example, if the value of an individual's house doubled in a year, his tax liability would not be affected. The option of requiring qualified-account treatment is not available here, as it is in the case of financial assets, because of the difficulty of measuring the value of the consumption services these assets provide. No Optimal Treatment for Nonfinancial Business Assets As explained above, investments in individual businesses would be eligible only for tax treatment on a current cash flow basis. All outlays for the business would be eligible for deduction, while all net receipts would be subject to tax. The reason for not allowing the alternative "taxprepayment" treatment is that it is sometimes difficult to distinguish between the profits and wages of individual businessmen. If profit alone were exempted from tax, the businessman would have an incentive to avoid tax on the value of his labor services by paying himself a low wage and calling the difference return from investment. This problem would exist for individual proprietorships and possibly for small partnerships and closely held corporations. For such enterprises, all net receipts should be taxable and outlays for capital goods should be eligible for immediate deduction. Table 1 below summarizes the proposed rules for tax treatment of financial assets, durable goods, loans, and family business enterprises. Note that the only restrictions are that all investments in a family business must be treated as if they were purchased in qualified accounts and consumer durable goods could not be purchased through qualified accounts. Financial assets could be purchased, and loans obtained, either through qualified accounts or outside of the system. - 131 - Table 1 Summary: Tax Treatment of Assets Under Cash Flow Tax Qualified Accounts Accounts Outside of System 1. Financial Assets purchases deductible; all withdrawals of earnings and principal taxed purchases not deductible; interest and return of capital not taxed 2. Durable Goods not available purchases not deductible; sales not included in tax base 3. Loans receipts in tax base; repayments deductible receipts not in tax base; repayments not deductible 4. Family Business* all outlays deductible, not available including capital outlays; all receipts taxed * Includes a limited class of small businesses owned and operated by the same person(s). DIFFERENCES BETWEEN CASH FLOW AND COMPREHENSIVE TAXES: SPECIFIC PROVISIONS INCOME Pension Plans and Social Security Under the cash flow tax, all contributions to pension plans may be viewed as contributions to qualified accounts, whether by the employee or by the employer. By this logic, contributions would not be included in the tax base, while retirement benefits would be included in full. Similarly, all contributions for social Security would be excluded from the tax base, while all Social Security retirement benefits would be taxable. There would be no need, under the cash flow tax, to compute the income on pension funds attributable to individual employees because the accumulation would not be subject to tax. Life Insurance Both term life insurance and whole life insurance would b e treated differently under the cash flow tax than under the comprehensive income tax. - 132 - With term life insurance, there is no investment income and, thus, no expected change in net worth. Under the comprehensive income tax proposal, premiums for term life insurance, whether paid by the employer or the employee, would be included in the insured's tax base, while proceeds from term life insurance policies would be tax-exempt. The general principle of treatment of gifts under a cash flow, or consumption, base tax argues for a different treatment. Term life insurance may be viewed as a wealth transfer from the policyholder to the beneficiary. Purchase of a term life insurance policy lowers the lifetime consumption of the policyholder and raises the expected lifetime consumption of the beneficiary. Thus, a cash flow tax that taxes consumption of individuals should not tax premiums paid by the policyholder but should include proceeds from a term life insurance policy in the tax base of the beneficiary. In practice, this would mean that employer contributions to term life insurance would not be imputed to the tax base of the policyholder, while term life insurance premiums paid directly by the policyholder would be deductible. Whole life insurance poses a different issue, although it would receive the same treatment as term insurance under the cash flow tax. A whole life insurance policy does provide investment income to the policyholder in the form of an option to continue to buy insurance at the premium level appropriate for the initial year. Under a cash flow tax, unlike the comprehensive income tax, the increase in the value of the option would not need to be computed for tax purposes because it would represent a change in net worth and not in consumption. However, if the individual cashed in the option value, the receipts from this transaction would be included in the cash flow tax base. Under the model cash flow tax, all premiums paid by policyholders for whole life insurance would be tax deductible, while premiums paid by employers for policyholders would not be imputed to policyholders' tax bases. All receipts from life insurance policies, whether in the form of cash surrender value to policyholder or proceeds to beneficiaries, would be included in the tax base of the recipient. - 13:3 - state and Local Bond Interest Under the model cash flow tax, State and local bond interest for securities not purchased through a qualified account would remain tax-exempt, as under the present law. However, as with the comprehensive income tax proposal, State and local bonds would lose their special status relative to other assets. Under the comprehensive income tax, these bonds would lose their special status because their interest would become taxable. Under the cash flow tax, the bonds would lose their special status because returns from all other assets would also become tax-exempt. If State and local bonds were purchased through a qualified account, all contributions to the account would be deductible from the cash flow tax and all withdrawals from the account would be subject to tax. Thus, the purchase price of a State or local bond would be deductible, while withdrawals of interest payments and principal from the bond to pay for consumption would be subject to tax. Interest Paid Under the comprehensive income tax, all interest paid would be tax deductible because such outlays represent neither consumption nor additions to net worth. This would include interest payments for mortgages on owner-occupied homes. Under the cash flow tax, however, if a loan were taken through a qualified account, the initial proceeds of the loan would be taxable, while subsequent interest and principal repayments would be tax deductible. In presentvalue terms, the net effect of a loan on the tax base would be zero. Corporate Income Corporations would not be taxed as entities under either the cash flow tax or the comprehensive income tax. However, under the cash flow tax, there would be no need to impute undistributed income to individuals because taxes would be assessed only on funds available for personal consumption. Consequently, a single cash flow tax applied at the household level could be accomplished without the rules for integrating corporate and household accounts that are conspicuous features of the model income tax. - 134 - The treatment of returns from corporate activity under the cash flow tax would be exactly the same as the treatment of returns from other kinds of investments. There would be no separate tax at the corporation level. Individuals would be permitted to purchase corporate stock through qualified accounts held with brokers. The initial purchase price would be deductible from the tax base at the time of purchase, and subsequent withdrawals from the account as dividends received, return of capital, or proceeds from the sale of stock would be added alike to the tax base. For stock purchased outside of a qualified account, no deduction would be allowed for purchases, and neither dividends nor proceeds of future sales would be added to the tax base. Capital gains and capital losses would, therefore, have no tax consequences. Capital Gains and Losses Under the cash flow tax, there would be no need to keep records of the basis of asset purchases to compute capital gains. As explained above, when assets are purchased outside of qualified accounts, capital gains would be exempt from tax and capital losses would not be deductible. If assets are purchased within qualified accounts so that a deduction may be taken for the initial purchase price, no distinction would be made between the part of the sale that represented capital gain and the part of the sale that represented return of basis. In this latter case, the full amount of the sales proceeds, if not reinvested, becomes part of the tax base. The size of the capital gain would affect the amount of withdrawals for future consumption- Hence, when qualified accounts are used, the size of capital gains would have tax consequences even though no explicit calculation of gains (or losses) is necessary. Because the cash flow tax does not tax accumulation, the issues of deferral, inflation adjustment, and the appropriate rate of tax on capital gains need not be considered, as they were in the discussion of a comprehensive income tax. The concept of deferral of tax would be relevant for the cash flow tax only if one could postpone without interest the tax liability associated with current consumption. Similarly, the value of assets or changes in the value of assets, whether related to general inflation or not, would not be relevant for the cash flow tax until they are withdrawn to finance consumption. - 135 Business Income Accounting Income accounting for any individual's business under the cash flow tax would be strictly on a cash accounting basis. The individual would have to compute in any year net receipts from operating the business. To perform this computation, he would add to the sale of goods and services during the accounting year any receipts from borrowing and would subtract the purchases of goods and services from other firms, wages paid to employees, interest paid to suppliers of debt finance, and all purchases of plant and equipment. Net receipts calculated by this method would be included in the individual's tax base, if positive, and would be deducted, if negative. Note that the major difference between the cash flow tax and the comprehensive income tax with respect to business accounting is the treatment of assets. Under the cash flow tax, purchases of assets would entitle the businessman to an immediate deduction for the amount of purchase. Under the comprehensive income tax, deductions each year would be limited to a capital consumption allowance (depreciation), which estimates the loss in value during the year of those assets. Also, business loans would be treated differently under the cash flow tax. All receipts of loans to a business would be included in the base, while interest and amortization payments would be deductible. Under the comprehensive income tax, loan receipts and amortization payments would have no tax consequences; only the interest payments would be deductible. When the proceeds of the loan are used immediately to purchase materials or services for the business, the deduction allowed under the cash flow tax just matches the addition of loan proceeds to the base. For partnerships, the rules are simpler. A partnership would be required to report the annual cash contribution of each owner to the business and the annual distribution to each owner. The difference between distributions from partnerships and net contributions to partnerships would enter the individual owner's tax base. If the owner sold his shares, it would enter the tax base as a negative contribution. - 136 SPECIAL PROBLEMS: PROGRESSIVITY, WEALTH DISTRIBUTION, AND WEALTH TAXES The cash flow tax outlined in this proposal would tax consumption but not individual accumulation of assets. People are likely to conclude that such a tax would be regressive and that it would encourage excessive concentration of wealth and economic power. This section examines both these concerns, showing that concern about regressivity is a misconception and suggesting that the cash flow tax could be complemented in any desired degree by a transfer tax to influence wealth distribution. The complexities in the tax treatment of transfers at death caused by the existence of two kinds of financial assets are discussed below and some potential solutions are proposed. Progressivity of the Tax Exemption of Capital Earnings. The assertion that a consumption base tax is regressive stems from the fact that wealth is concentrated among relatively few households as compared to labor earnings. Because the cash flow tax is equivalent in present-value terms to exemption of earnings from capital, it would necessarily tax labor earnings more heavily to raise the same revenue. Thus, it might appear that the cash flow tax is a way of shifting the tax burden to the wage-earner class and relieving the wealthy taxpayer. Such criticism of the cash flow tax may be superficially plausible but it is misleading on several grounds. First, much of what is generally labeled capital income is really a reward for postponing immediate consumption of past wages. Laborers as a class do not necessarily lose when the tax rate applied to wages immediately consumed is raised to enable forgiveness of taxes on the returns for saving out of wages. Second, the only other source of funds for investment aside from wages is transfers received (including inheritances), and these would be subject to tax at the same rate schedule applied to labor earnings under the cash flow tax. (This point is elaborated below.) Finally, the progressivity of any individual tax is to a large degree determined by the rate structure. The choice between a comprehensive income and a consumption base is independent of the degree of vertical progressivity of the rate structure. - 137 - Transfers of Wealth. The mechanism by which gifts and inheritances would be included in the tax base is simple. In order to be eligible for deduction by the donor, all gifts would have to be included in the tax base of the recipient. Gifts would be recorded only if they were transfers between taxable entities. Thus, a gift of a father to his 9-year-old son would not be included in the family's taxable receipts (unless it were removed from a qualified account) . When the son left the family unit, say when he turned 26, he would become a separate taxpayer. At that point, all accumulated wealth from past gifts and inheritances would be included in his initial tax base and deducted from the family's base. If the initial base were large, the individual would have an incentive to purchase a qualified account to avoid a steep progressive tax, but would have to pay tax on subsequent withdrawals for consumption out of that account. Thus, an individual would not have the opportunity to realize tax-free consumption from a past inheritance. Similarly, if the family's deduction for transfers to the son were large, the family would have an incentive to withdraw assets from a qualified account and treat such assets thereafter as held outside a qualified account. The family need suffer no adverse tax consequence, thereby. The taxation of gifts and accessions to the donee and the deduction of itemized gifts by the donor are a logical, integral part of the cash flow tax system necessary to assure that the tax base is related to the lifetime consumption of every individual. To see how inheritances would be included in the tax base of a cash flow tax, consider the following example. Suppose a man died on January 2, 1977 at the age of 70, leaving $300,000 in qualified accounts to his 35-year-old son. The tax base of the decedent in 1977 included a $300,000 withdrawal from the qualified account in receipts and a $300,000 deduction for the bequest of funds, for a net tax base of zero. The tax base of the son included the receipt of $300,000. With progressive rates, it is likely that the son would wish to deposit a large part of the $300,000 in a qualified account, paying tax only as the money was withdrawn for consumption. - 138 A difficulty would arise if the $300,000 of the decedent, or a fraction thereof, were held outside a qualified account. While the tax treatment of the recipient's inheritance would be the same ($300,000 of receipts), the estate of the decedent has a large deduction, possibly with no current tax base to offset. The estate might then be entitled to a tax refund before the estate were divided up. This treatment would be appropriate because the decedent had, in effect, prepaid tax for consumption of the proceeds of the investment that was never consumed in his lifetime. However, an amount, or rate, of refund must be specified. One possibility would be to allow a refund to the estate equal to the value of investment assets outside of qualified accounts multiplied by the rate applicable to the lowest tax bracket. An alternative solution would be to give no refund at all. The inability to consume expected proceeds of a tax-prepaid investment because of death may be viewed as one of the risks an individual knowingly undertakes when he invests in a tax-prepaid asset. This treatment would also provide further incentive for investments to be made through qualified accounts. If initial financial endowments and receipts of transfers are included in the tax base, there would be no difference in tax treatment between an individual who invests an inheritance and one who invests his savings out of wages. Neither would have any additional tax until he consumes the amount invested or the earnings. In effect, earnings from investment could be viewed as a reward for deferring consumption from wage income or inheritance. If the rate structure were appropriately progressive, so that the high-wage earners with large accessions would be paying a significantly higher tax than low-wage earners with small accessions, there would seem to be no particular reason to discriminate in tax liability between persons with different patterns of lifetime consumption. Viewed in that manner, the cash flow tax would not favor the wealthy but would favor, relative to a comprehensive income tax, those individuals who, at any given income level, chose to postpone consumptionLucky Gambles. Another potential objection to the proposed system on progressivity grounds is the opportunity it would afford individuals to acquire wealth by a lucky investment gamble, and to have paid only a small tax on the amount wagered. Some regard this possibility as inequitable. As noted above, this possibility could be largely avoided, - 139 at a price in complexity and compliance costs, by taxing the future returns on some or all investments that are not made through qualified accounts, or by restricting the types of investment that could be made outside of qualified accounts. Accumulation of Wealth. The second major concern about a cash flow tax is that it would place no restraint on the accumulation of wealth. Although all consumption out of accumulated wealth would be taxed, the cash flow tax, compared with an income tax, would make it easier for individuals to accumulate wealth. The effect of this on the distribution of wealth in the United States cannot be forecast precisely. Presumably, individuals at all levels would tend to hold more wealth, so that the dispersion of wealth might either increase or decrease. At the same time, there might be an increase in the size of the largest wealth holdings. The cash flow tax — with wealth transfers deductible to the donor and included in the tax base of the recipient — would be a tax on the standard of living of individuals (with some exemption, or credit, for a small consumption amount) . Like the model comprehensive income tax, it could be converted to the concept of "ability-to-pay" discussed in chapter 2. According to that concept, wealth transfers would be regarded as consumption by the donor and included in the tax base of both donor and recipient. To accomplish this conversion, gifts would not be deductible to the donor and bequests would be taxed as a use of lifetime receipts. A simpler approach, and one that is more consistent with present policies, would be to retain the estate and gift tax as the principal instrument for altering the distribution of wealth. Such a tax, which is levied according to the situation of the donor, would be a logical complement to the model cash flow tax. The existence of a separate estate and gift tax would not damage either the basic simplicity inherent in the treatment of assets under the cash flow tax or the neutrality in tax treatment of those individuals with the same endowment who have different time patterns of labor earnings or consumption. Under this option, all features of the cash flow tax would remain exactly as explained above, except for the wealth transfer tax. Tax rates on gifts and bequests could be designed to achieve any desired degree of equalization in initial wealth of individuals. - 140 INFORMATION ON SAMPLE TAX FORM FOR CASH FLOW TAX Filing Status 1. Check applicable status a. Single b. Married filing joint return c. Unmarried head of household d. Married filing separately Exemptions 2. If applicable, enter 1 on line a. Regular b. Spouse 3. Number of dependent children 4. Total exemptions (add lines 2a, 2b, 3) Receipts 5a.l/Wages, salaries, and tips of primary wage earner (attach forms W-2) b. Wages, salaries, and tips of all'other wage earners (attach forms W-2) c. Multiply line 8b by .25; if greater than $2,500, enter $2,500 d. Included wages of secondary worker (subtract line 5c from 5b) e. Wages subject to tax 6. Gross business receipts (from schedule C) 7. Gross distributions from partnerships (from schedule E) - 141 8. Distributions from pension funds and trusts (includes social security benefits) 9. Gifts and inheritances received 10. Withdrawals from qualified accounts (if positive) 11. Disability pay, unemployment compensation, workmen's compensation, sick pay, public assistance, food stamp subsidy, fellowships, and other cash stipends 12. Alimony received 13. Total receipts (add lines 5c, and 6 through 12) Deductions 14. Gross business expenses (schedule C) 15. Contributions to partnerships (schedule E) 16. Contributions to trusts 17. Deposits in qualified accounts (form S-2) 18. Other deductions (schedule A) 19. Total deductions (add lines 14 through 18) Computation of Tax 20. Cash flow subject to tax (subtract line 19 from line 13) 21. Basic exemption (enter $1,500) 22. Family size allowance (multiply line 4 by $800) 23. Total exemption (add lines 21 and 22) 24. Taxable cash flow (subtract line 23 from line 20) 25. Tax liability (from appropriate table) 26. a. Total Federal cash flow tax withheld b. Estimated tax payments c. Total tax prepayments (add lines 27a and 27b) - 142 27. If line 26 is greater than line 27c, enter BALANCE DUE 28. If line 27c is greater than line 26, enter REFUND DUE Schedule A — Deductions Taxes 1. State and local income taxes Gifts, Charitable Contributions, and Alimony 2. Gifts or donations to an identified taxpayer or entity (itemize) 3. Alimony paid Cost of Earning Income 4. Union dues 5. Child care expenses (only for secondary workers or single adult households) 6. Multiply line 5 by one-half 7a. Enter line 6 or $5,000, whichever is smaller b. Enter line 7a or line 4b (line 4a for unmarried head of household) from form 1040, whichever is smaller 8. Other costs (itemize) 9. Add lines 4, 7b, and 8 10. Subtract $300 from line 9 11. If line 10 positive, enter line 10; if line 10 negative enter 0 12. Add lines 1, 3, and 11; enter on form 1040, line 18 Schedule C (Business Receipts and Expenses) Like current schedule C except Line 5 total outlays for purchases of assets - 143 - Enter line 5 (total income) on form 1040, line 6 Enter line 20 (total deductions) on form 1040, line 14 Schedule E — Note: Partnership will have to send information on form 1065 of gross distributions and gross contributions Form S-2's — Supplied by brokers of qualified accounts 1. Total deposits 2. Total Withdrawals 3. Net Withdrawal (line 2 minus line 1), if positive 4. Net Deposit (line 1 minus line 2), if positive TJ Wages reported by the employer would exclude employee contributions to pension plans, disability insurance, health insurance and life insurance plans. Wages would also exclude the employee's share of payroll taxes for Social Security (OASDHI), and the cash value of consumption goods and services provided to the employee below cost. - 145 - Chapter 5 QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS This chapter presents quantitative analyses of the two model plans and compares them to present law. The first section discusses briefly the nature of the data base used to develop and simulate the effects of the model plans. The chapter then discusses the estimated magnitudes of the various income concepts used in the report and the following section uses these data to derive exemption and rate structures for the comprehensive income tax consistent with achieving present revenue yield. This is followed by estimates of the magnitude of the cash flow tax base. Finally, the chapter develops specific provisions of the cash flow tax — exemptions and rates — and compares the two model plans and current law. THE DATA BASE The first step in the quantitative analysis of the reform plans was to construct a data base representative of the relevant characteristics of the U.S. population. A file of records was created and stored in a computer, with each record containing information for a tax return filing unit, such as the amount of wages earned by the member or members of that unit, dividends received, etc. In all, some 112,000 records are contained in the file. Each of these records stands for a group of taxpayers with similar characteristics. Thus, a given record may be taken to represent 100 or 1,000 filing units in the U.S. population as a whole. To simulate the effect of some change on the whole population, the effect on each record in the file is calculated and multiplied by the number of units represented by that record. The records in the file were constructed by combining information from two separate sources: a sample of 50,000 tax returns provided by the Statistics Division of the Internal Revenue Service, and a sample of 50,000 households (representing about 70,000 tax filing units) from the Current Population Survey of the Census Bureau. The two data sets were needed because the reform plans base tax liabilities on information not now provided on tax returns. Furthermore, a realistic picture of the U.S. economy requires - 146 - obtaining characteristics of "nonfilers," individuals and families who are not obliged to file income tax returns because they do not have sufficient taxable income. To represent the incomes generated by the U.S. economy, these two data sets were merged by matching records of taxpayers from the sample of tax returns with records of participants in the Current Population Survey. Since confidentiality strictures on the release of identifier information from each of these sources prevented the literal pairing of data on any given taxpayer, the matching was accomplished by matching records of similar characteristics (age, race, total income, etc.). The resulting file of records is not quite the same as if the information in each record had been obtained for the same individual or family. For technical reasons, it has been possible to achieve a more faithful representation of the U.S. population by using some records more than once. Therefore, the number of records in the final data file reflects an artificial expansion of the number of records in the two original files. Both samples use 1973 data. Because more recent data would be more relevant, the 1973 population and its attributes were adjusted by extrapolation to represent the 1976 population. The resulting simulations of the U.S. population should be interpreted with some sense of the nature of the data set. The original data were subject to the usual sampling and processing errors. The processes of merging the two data sources and extrapolating the resulting file to a later year represent further sources of error. Furthermore, many items needed were not recorded in either of the original surveys, and had to be estimated and imputed to each record. For these reasons, the file should not be regarded as a perfect description of the U.S. population. Nonetheless, the data have been assembled with great care. In some cases, adjustments were made to insure that the data file produces aqgregate figures (say, on total wages paid in the economy) in line with those derived from independent statistical sources. In other cases, such aggregates were used to "validate" the file; that is, to check its reasonableness. By and large, the data pass the test of these checks, and the file may be used with some confidence. At the same time, it would be a mistake to equate the data file with the real world, for example, by being concerned about small differences in a simulated tax burden. - 147 - ESTIMATION OF THE INCOME CONCEPTS The first few tables present various definitions of income that were used in the computer simulations. Table 1 describes adjusted gross income, or AGI, the broadest before-tax concept used for the present income tax. Like all of the income concepts, its source is primarily current money wages and salaries. The remainder, labeled "other AGI" in the table, comes from net self-employment and partnership income, capital income, such as interest and dividends, capital gains, and miscellaneous other elements of income. The table shows that "other AGI" is a larger share of adjusted gross income in the highest income classes. The data in table 1 cannot be compared directly with AGI as reported on tax returns because information is included for nonf ilers as well as filers. Thus, table 1 shows adjusted gross income that would be reported if all families and individuals were required to file tax returns under current law, and displays the distribution of all such filing units by income class. The income classes in table 1 are defined in terms of "economic income," the broadest before-tax income concept used in this report. As discussed more fully below, this income concept is even broader than the tax base described in the comprehensive income tax proposal of chapter 3. Economic income is used as the classifier in the early tables of this chapter. In later tables, other classifiers are used for reasons explained below. Adjusted gross income is not the base of the present individual income tax. Starting from AGI, taxpayers are allowed several kinds of deductions to arrive at income subject to tax. Table 2 displays the major elements of the present individual income tax base. Again, as in table 1, the information shown includes data for nonfilers as well as filers, although nonfilers do not add anything to the aggregate taxable income under present law because their exemptions and deductions reduce their taxable incomes to zero. In each category of table 2, the amounts shown include only income that enters into the calculation of AGI. Thus, f or example, portfolio income includes only one-half of Table 1 Present Law Adjusted Gross Income (1976 levels) Current money wage income Number of filing units 1/ Economic income class (... millions ($000) Less than 0 Total adjusted gross income -0. 9 0.2 0.9 -1.8 38.0 0 - ) ( Other adjusted gross income $ billions 29.5 12.2 41. 7 5 - 10 19.5 81.3 20.6 101. 9 10 - 15 13.9 117.4 16.1 133. 5 15 - 20 12.1 151.9 16.3 168,,1 20 - 30 15.0 261.0 25.8 286 .8 30 - 50 7.1 157.1 34.4 191 .5 50 - 100 2.3 56.0 30.9 86 .9 100 or more 0.5 20.0 25.7 45 .7 875.1 180.1 Total 108.6 1,055.2 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury, Office of Tax Analysis 1/ Includes all filing units whether or not they actually file returns or pay tax under present ~" law. The estimated number of filing units that do not currently file tax returns is 21.5 million; their adjusted gross income is $4.1 billion. Table 2 Components of the Present Law Individual Income Tax Base (1976 levels) Net money wage income Economic income class ($000) ( Less than 0 0.8 0 5 - Pension income Selfemployment income 5 10 29.2 80.4 : Deduc- : MiscelPort- : tions : laneous folio :for State: income Total income :and local: minus : taxes : deductions: $ billions 0.2 -4.2 1.5 -0.1 0.2 5.5 0.1 4.9 -0.5 10.3 4.7 4.3 1/ Tax base 2/ S tandard deductions Exemptions 3/ Present law income subject to tax ) -1.6 0.5 0.0 -0.1 0.4 0.8 40.0 40.6 -26.3 -7.7 6.6 i -1.9 -1.6 96.2 96.7 -28.7 -24.3 43.7 •^ I 10 - 15 115.6 2.6 5.6 5.5 -4.1 -3.9 121.3 121.5 -19.2 -26.5 75.8 15 - 20 149.8 1.9 6.9 2.5 -7.3 -5.9 147.9 148.1 -14.6 -27.8 105.7 20 - 30 257.5 2.1 11.2 3.6 -15.2 -10.3 248.9 249.3 -16.9 -37.2 195.2 30 - 50 154.8 1.7 16.4 11.1 -12.1 -8.5 163.4 163.7 -5.4 -18.0 140.3 50 - 100 55.1 0.8 15.2 12.6 -6.1 -4.7 72.9 73.1 -1.5 -5.8 65.8 100 or more 19.7 0.3 9.8 14.2 -3.3 -3.7 37.0 37.3 -0.1 -1.4 35.8 863.0 19.8 65.3 66.3 -50.6 -37.6 926.0 930.7 -112.7 -148.7 669.2 Total Office nf t- nn,-~-. Note: The amounts shown in each category include only the income that . actually enters into adjusted gross income under present law. / The amounts shown in this column are the sum of the amounts in the preceding columns Zlur^T^*^0™ *? thiiS c o i u m n / i f f e ^ f ™ m nthe a m o u n t s ^ the "total" column because of the exclusion of negative 5 amounts in the total column for individual filing units. - The amounts shown in this column exclude the value of exemptions that would reduce income subiect to tax to Deiow zero. M - 150 - realized net long-term capital gains. As appropriate, expenses were netted against the associated income. Thus, wage receipts are net of the recognized expenses of earning it. Similarly, "portfolio income," consisting of interest, dividends, rent, estate and trust income, and realized capital gains, is net of interest expense. "Miscellaneous income minus deductions" is an amalgam of income not otherwise classified, net of all deductions not directly allocable to particular income sources. Its negative value results from the fact that the itemized deductions allowed under present law and not separately deducted from other components of income are much larger than the miscellaneous income items included here, such as State income tax refunds, alimony received, prizes, and the like. The present tax base is shown in the column labeled "tax base." Exemptions and standard deductions (but not itemized deductions) are thus treated here as part of the rate structure. As table 2 shows, the tax base under present law is somewhat larger than AGI less itemized deductions because negative net income is never allowed to reduce the tax base for an individual return to below zero. Similarly, the value of the standard deduction and exemptions cannot reduce income subject to tax to below zero. Table 2 indicates that present law income subject to tax is only about 63 percent of adjusted gross income. Exemptions, the standard deduction, and itemized deductions account for this difference. The major components of economic income are tabulated separately in table 3. Many of these components require some explanation. "Deferred compensation" consists of employer contributions to pension and insurance plans, including social security. "Household property income" consists of rents, interest income net of interest expense, estate and trust income, dividends, capital income of the self-employed, and imputed returns from homeownership, life insurance policy reserves, and pension plans. "Noncorporate capital gains accruals" represents the growth in the real value of assets held by individuals except for corporate stock. The latter accruals are assumed to be included in corporate retained earnings, as indicated in the next column. In constructing the simulation of the U.S. taxpayer population, corporate retained earnings were allocated to shareholders in proportion to their dividend income. Table 3 Economic Income (1976 levels) Net Economic income class ($000) money wage income Deferred compensation Selfemployment labor income Household property income ( Less than 0 0.8 0.0 Non- : : corporate:Corporate: o r P o r a ' capital :retained : . t l o n _ . . income gams : earnings : accruals :$ billions: a x 0.1 -3.9 2.6 1.0 4.3 0.6 0.3 80.4 8.8 4.7 11.5 1.4 10 - 15 115.6 14.4 5.9 11.6 15 - 20 149.8 18.7 9.0 20 - 30 257.5 33.7 30 - 50 154.8 50 - 100 0.1 0.1 -0.6 Implicit taxes Net transfers :State and : local Economic : income tax income : deduc: tions ) 0.4 0.3 -0.1 0.9 -0.5 41.4 -0.1 1.1 2.5 -1.2 34.3 -0.3 1.8 1.0 2.6 -1.0 20.8 -1.0 171.9 14.3 2.9 1.1 3.4 -0.7 15.1 -2.1 211.5 14.8 30.4 5.2 2.3 7.1 -0.8 17.8 -4.9 362.9 20.9 17.7 44.8 6.2 3.4 10.5 0.3 9.6 -4.7 263.5 55.1 6.8 13.9 51.9 5.8 4.0 12.3 2.6 3.0 -3.0 152.4 100 or more 19.7 1.6 9.4 28.5 3.6 6.2 7.5 0.8 10.2 -2.0 85.4 Total 107.6 76.5 193.3 27.7 19.6 46.0 0.0 152.4 -18.1 1,467.9 0 - 5 5-10 29.2 -2.8 79.9 _ 143.2 M I 863.0 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis - 152 - The entries in the columns "corporation income tax" and "implicit taxes" are derived from concepts that may not be generally familiar. Since the corporation income tax is before-tax income that would be received by individuals were it not taken by taxation first, this tax is included in before-tax economic income. The burden of the corporation income tax was assumed to fall evenly on all individual owners of capital. The logic underlying this position is that, in a market system, capital is allocated to equalize rates of return. Because of the corporation income tax, the capital stock in the corporate sector is smaller than it would be otherwise, and the before-tax rate of return higher. By the same reasoning, the capital stock in the noncorporate sector is higher and rates of return lower than they would be otherwise. Through this tax-induced movement of capital from the corporate to the noncorporate sector, the burden of the corporate tax, that is, its effect on reducing after-tax returns, is spread across all capital income. Cases can be constructed in which labor income as well as capital income bears the real burden of the corporation income tax, but for the simulations presented in this chapter, this tax has been allocated in proportion to all capital income, with the result shown in table 3. Capital income in this table is composed of household property income, noncorporate capital gains accruals, corporate retained earnings, corporation income tax, and implicit taxes. The "implicit taxes" shown in table 3, although small in amount, illustrate an important phenomenon affecting the progressivity of the tax structure. Implicit taxes, which are quite subtle in concept, are best explained by an example. Present law does not tax the interest on municipal bonds; therefore, a holder of such bonds receives less interest than he might receive if he invested his funds in fully taxable securities. The difference between what he receives and what he could receive is his implicit tax. It ^-s implicit because no revenue is paid to the U.S. Treasury. It is nonetheless a tax because the bondholder's after-tax income is reduced in the same way as if he paid a tax. Of course, the implicit tax may be lower than the actual tax payable on fully taxable bonds, and this is why tax-exempt securities are attractive to high-bracket taxpayers. - 153 Other persons receive benefits from the tax-exemption of municipal bonds. The attractiveness of municipal bonds draws capital out of the private sector, thereby increasing slightly the before-tax return to investors in other forms of capital. The increase in their return is an implicit subsidy or negative implicit tax. If total income is kept constant in the economy, and efficiency losses ignored, the positive and negative implicit taxes must balance exactly in the aggregate, although not for any particular taxpayer or any income class. There is an implicit tax corresponding to many tax benefits to capital income in the current tax structure. The simulations included implicit taxes for real estate, agriculture, mining, and capital gains arising from corporate retained earnings and tax-exempt bonds. In each case, the tax preference accorded to the activity in question attracts capital that would otherwise be applied elsewhere, and thus reduces the before-tax returns. Since the advantages of these tax benefits — even taking into account the reduced before-tax returns — are worth more to those in high tax brackets, positive implicit taxes are paid by higher income taxpayers. Therefore, implicit taxes make the present tax structure as measured by effective tax burdens somewhat more progressive than it may at first appear. Nonetheless, some positive implicit taxes are borne by filing units in the below-zero income class. This income class consists of households sustaining real economic losses. To the extent that these losses occurred in taxpreferred activities, they are even greater than they would have been in the absence of the tax preference, and, accordingly, implicit taxes are generated for this income class. "Net transfers" include income support in cash and in kind and the excess of accruing claims to future social security benefits over current employer and employee contributions. Finally, economic income is net of some State and local taxes. Since property taxes are netted in calculating capital income in the previous columns and sales taxes as discussed in chapter 3 are treated as consumption outlays, only State and local income taxes are subtracted here. - 154 Economic and Comprehensive Income Economic income is an accrual concept. However, as chapter 3 makes clear, a pure accrual income concept is not practical as a tax base. Table 4 shows the difference between economic income and "comprehensive income," which was the starting point for developing the tax base used in the comprehensive income tax proposal. Four categories of adjustments are involved in moving from economic income to comprehensive income. The first adjustment is for pensions. Economic income includes the accruing value of future pension benefits for both private pensions and social security. Comprehensive income, however, is on a realization basis in that actual social security and pension benefits, rather than their accruing value, are included. The difference is shown in column 2. The second adjustment is for homeowner preferences and agricultural income. Comprehensive income does not include the imputed rental income from owner-occupied housing. Furthermore, all agricultural activity cannot reasonably be placed on the accrual accounting standard applied in calculating economic income. The third adjustment accounts for the fact that capital gains on noncorporate assets are included in comprehensive income when realized rather than accrued. Finally, in-kind transfers, such as Medicaid, are not included in comprehensive income. As table 4 makes evident, the partial shift from an accrual to a realization concept of income results in a substantial shrinkage in the value of the income measure that serves as the starting point for the model comprehensive income tax. As discussed in chapter 3, it was principally the difficulties in measuring income on an accretion basis that underlay the decision to use comprehensive rather than economic income as the tax base. This decision also influenced the way in which taxpayers were classified and tax burdens calculated in the simulations. While economic and comprehensive income are generally highly correlated, there are some classes of taxpayers for whom income as accrued and income as realized are quite different. This is especially the case for taxpayers receiving pension income, who are drawing down their past accruals of pension plan assets. Such taxpayers would find themselves in relatively low economic income classes but would be in higher comprehensive income classes as a result of realizing the benefits of past contributions to pension plans. Economic and Comprehensive Income (1976 levels) Economic income class Economic income Pensions ($000) Adjustments (subtract) Nontaxed homeowner Nonpreferences corporate and capital agricultural gains income $ billions In-kind transfers Comprehens ive income ) Less than 0 -2.8 -0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 -2.8 0 - 5 79.9 -18.4 1.0 0.4 6.4 90.4 5-10 143.2 4.6 2.1 0.9 4.0 131.6 10 - 15 171.9 21.5 4.4 1.1 1.5 143.4 15 - 20 211.5 26.2 8.3 1.7 0.8 174.5 20 - 30 362.9 43.7 15.9 3.1 0.8 299.4 263.5 24.5 10.7 3.7 0.4 224.1 152.4 7.0 3.6 3.5 0.1 138.3 85.4 11.3 1.0 2.2 0.0 71.0 47.2 16.6 14.1 1,269.9 30 - 50 50 - 100 100 or more Total 1,467.9 120.1 °fnrCe o f t h e Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis - 156 - Table 5 presents a cross-tabulation by economic income and comprehensive income of the number of filing units receiving pensions in excess of $500. While this table indicates that pensioners in higher economic income classes are in higher comprehensive income classes as well, it also reveals that, in general, their comprehensive income tends to be larger than their economic income. If taxes were assessed on the basis of comprehensive income and filing units were arrayed by economic income class, the tax structure would appear less progressive. This is because pensioners, who are generally in lower income classes, have comprehensive income that exceeds economic income. During their earning years, both economic and comprehensive income are relatively high but economic exceeds comprehensive income. Both of these effects tend to tilt the structure of effective tax rates as measured using economic income in the direction of lower effective rates on higher economic income and higher effective rates on lower economic income. What appears to be a phenomenon of the aggregate distribution of the tax burden is actually a matter of the timing of taxes at different points in the life cycle of the same taxpayer. A consequence of these lifetime effects, which are discussed in more detail later in this chapter, is that comprehensive income is a more meaningful classifier for analyzing a tax system using a realization basis. Hence, in the tables that follow, comprehensive rather than economic income is used to identify the income classes of the taxpayers. Even more desirable would be a comparison of lifetime tax burdens with lifetime income. Present Law Tax Table 6 displays the progressivity of the present income tax system, the total amount of revenue that it raises, and the effective tax rates by comprehensive income class. The individual income tax is only part of the present tax structure. The proposals in this report also would replace the corporation income tax and, by including virtually all income in the tax base, would reduce implicit taxes to near zero. Present tax burdens, however, include all three forms of tax. As shown in table 6, effective tax rates so derived rise continually with comprehensive income. Table 5 Cross-Tabulation of the Number of Filing Units with Substantial Pension Income by Economic Income and by Comprehensive Income 1/ (1976 levels) Comprehens ive income ($000) • T^ Economic income ($000) : U p to o ; 0 - 5 ; 5 - 10 : • • (.. • 10 - 15 ' 15 - 20 ; 20 - 30 • , thou^^nd : 100 • or more: 30 - 50 [ 50 - 100: • • Total ) 49. 22. 7. 4. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 81. 4. 9,705. 3,221. 526. 88. 33. 3. 0. 0. 13,581. 5-10 4. 453. 2,839. 1,539. 318. 70. 6. 0. 0. 5,230. 10 - 15 1. 61. 170. 1,080. 472. 172. 22. 0. 0. 1,978. 15 - 20 0. 27. 17. 152. 640. 382. 55. 1. 0. 1,273. 20 - 30 1. 22. 4. 13. 185. 914. 208. 12. 0. 1,360. 30 - 50 0. 10. 2. 1. 4. 118. 681. 77. 0. 894. 50 - 100 0. 6. 0. 0. 0. 0. 26. 276. 22. 331. 100 or more 0. 4. 2. 0. 0. 0. 0. 6. 55- 68. Total 60. 10,311. 6,262. 3,316. 1,707. 1,689. 1,001. 372. 77. 24,796. Less than 0 0 - 5 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 1/ Pension income of $500 or more. I Ln I Table 6 Present Law Tax and Effective Tax Rates (1976 levels) Comprehens ive income class ($000) Individual income tax ( Corporation Implicit income taxes tax $ billions Total present law income tax 0.0 Effective tax rate 1/ ) (.. percent ..) -0.6 0.2 -0.6 0.4 5 1,.0 0.7 -0.3 1.4 1.7 5 - 10 9,.5 2.5 -1.1 10.9 6.4 10 - 15 17..8 3.6 -0.9 20.5 9.9 15 - 20 22 .9 4.3 -0.7 26.5 12.7 20 - 30 32,,6 7.3 -0.8 39.1 15.4 30 - 50 22,.8 10.1 0.5 33.4 19.8 50 - 100 16 .5 11.3 2.5 30.3 25.2 100 or more 13 .3 6.7 0.5 20.6 32.4 46.0 0.0 182.6 14.4 Less than 0 0 - Total 136.6 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 1/ Tax as a percentage of comprehensive income. - 159 - A Proportional Comprehensive Income Tax It would be possible to replace the present individual and corporate income tax with a proportional or flat-rate tax on individuals, choosing the rate in such a way as to raise the same total revenue. A reasonable exemption could be allowed for a taxpayer and dependent, or the exemption could be eliminated altogether in favor of a lower rate. Two versions of a proportional tax on comprehensive income, raising the same revenue as the present income tax, are shown in table 7. One has no exemption and a tax rate of 14.35 percent of the comprehensive income base, and the other has an exemption of $1,500 per taxpayer and dependent and a flat rate of 19.35 percent of comprehensive income in excess of exemptions. Table 7 shows comprehensive income by income class, present law tax burdens, and the results of the two proportional rate plans. As compared to present law, both plans would result in a tax decrease for the higher income taxpayers and an increase for those with lower incomes. The plan that allows an exemption would come somewhat closer to the present distribution of tax burdens, but some form of graduated rates is required to achieve a close approximation. THE MODEL COMPREHENSIVE INCOME TAX Table 8 shows the steps from comprehensive income to the income subject to tax under the model comprehensive income tax plan and compares that amount to present law taxable income. The first adjustment is for child care and secondary workers and applies to joint and head-of-household returns. Only 75 percent of the first $10,000 of earnings of workers other than the primary wage earner is included in income subject to tax. A deduction of one-half of child care expenses, up to a maximum deduction of $5,000, is allowed against wage earnings of unmarried heads of households and against the included wages of secondary workers on joint returns. The combination of exemptions and structure of rates is designed to yield about the same total revenue, with about the same distribution by income class, as the present tax. The model comprehensive income tax would allow exemptions of $1,000 per taxpayer and dependent, plus $1,600 per return (half for married persons filing separately). The value of these exemptions is shown in table 8. A deduction for Table 7 Distribution of the Tax Burden under Present Law and Illustrative Proportional Rate Income Taxes (1976 levels) Comprehensive income class ($000) Less than 0 0 - 5 Comprehensive income Present law ( 0.0 0.0 1.4 11.6 5.7 -3.6 0.0 81.0 Amount of income tax under: Proportional Proportional rate of rate 19.35 percent of with exemption U 14.35 percent $ billions 5-10 171.2 10.9 24.6 19.6 10 - 15 205.7 20.5 29.5 26.6 15 - 20 209.1 26.5 30.0 29.5 20 - 30 253.7 39.1 36.4 39.1 30 - 50 169.0 33.4 24.2 28.6 50 - 100 120.2 30.3 17.2 21.6 100 or more 63.5 20.6 9.1 11.9 Total 1,269.9 182.6 182.6 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 1/ Exemption of $1,500 per taxpayer and dependent. 182.6 o I Table 8 Tax Base for Comprehensive Income Tax Proposal (1976 levels) Comprehensive income class ($000) Less than 0 0 - 5 Comprehens ive income Child care and secondary worker provisions ( Comprehensive income Exemptions 1/ subject to tax 2/ $ billions ... -3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 81.0 -0.1 -68.0 12.9 Present law taxable income Change in taxable income 0.8 -0.8 10.1 2.8 5-10 171.2 -1.5 -83.5 86.1 69.2 16.9 10 - 15 205.7 -4.4 -71.7 129.6 111.3 18.3 15 - 20 209.1 -6.6 -57.1 145.4 129.9 15.5 20 - 30 253.7 -8.2 -51.4 194.1 164.6 29.5 30 - 50 169.0 -3.1 -21.4 144.5 97.0 47.5 50 - 100 120.2 -1.0 -8.5 110.7 54.7 56.0 100 or more 63.5 -0.3 -2.0 61.2 31.7 29.5 Total 1,269.9 -25.3 -363.6 884.5 669.2 215.2 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 1/ The amounts shown do not include the value of exemptions that, if allowed, would reduce comprehensive income subject to tax to below zero. 2/ Since comprehensive income subject to tax cannot be less than zero, it is greater than the sum of the first three columns by the amount of the negative income in the first comprehensive income class. - 162 - these amounts yields "comprehensive income subject to tax," the amount to which the rate schedule is applied in the model tax. Table 8 also indicates the change in taxable income from current law as a result of using the model comprehensive income tax. The increase in income subject to tax is extremely large, approximately one-third of present taxable income. Such a substantial broadening of the tax base can permit a marked reduction in tax rates throughout the entire income range. The rate structure for joint returns would be as follows: Marginal Tax Rate Income Bracket $ 0 - $ 4,600 8 percent $ 4,600 - $40,000 25 percent Over $40,000 38 percent For single returns, the rate structure would be as follows: Income Bracket Marginal Tax Rate $ 0 - $ 2,800 8 percent $ 2,800 - $40,000 22.5 percent Over $40,000 38 percent "Heads of households," as under present law, would pay the average of the amounts they would pay using the single and joint schedules. The tax revenues that would be raised by this plan, and their distribution by income class, are shown in table 9, along with the corresponding information for the present tax. The agreement is quite close and the aggregate tax change for each income class is small. Table 10 shows tax liabilities by filing status under both the present law and the comprehensive income tax proposal. Again, the changes are small. The proposed tax plan would favor larger families Table 9 Amount of Tax and Effective Tax Rates under the Present Law Income Tax and Model Comprehensive Income Tax (1976 levels) Comprehensive income class ($000) Less than 0 0 - 5 5-10 : ' : Present law : Effective Tax : : tax rate 1/ (.. $ billions ...) (..-. percent • • • • / \ • • 0.0 -0.6 • Comprehens ive income tax • Effective • Tax tax rate U • $ billions . . ) • (.... percent ....; 0.0 0.0 CO 1.4 1.7 1.0 1.3 10.9 6.4 10.4 6.1 10 - 15 20.5 9.9 20.5 10.0 15 - 20 26.5 12.7 27.0 12.9 20 - 30 39.1 15.4 40.1 15.8 30 - 50 33.4 19.8 32.6 19.3 50 - 100 30.3 25.2 31.2 26.0 100 or more ?n_6 32.4 20.8 32.7 Total 182.6 14.4 183.7 14.5 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 1/ Tax as a percentage of comprehensive income. Table 10 Amount of Tax According to Filing Status under the Present Law Income Tax and Model Comprehensive Income Tax (1976 levels) Filing status Single Present law income tax 32.3 Model comprehensive income tax $ billions 32.3 Married filing separately ......... 2.5 3.0 Head of household 6.4 6.9 Joint and certain surviving spouses 141.4 141.5 No dependents One dependent Two dependents Three dependents Four dependents Five or more dependents 54.3 28.2 29.0 17.5 7.8 4.6 57.3 All returns 182.6 183.7 Returns with one or more aged 21.6 25.8 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis ) I 27.8 27.9 16.8 7.4 4.3 - 165 - slightly compared to present law. Filing units with one or more aged members would pay somewhat higher taxes because they would lose the extra age exemption and because social security cash grants are included in the tax base. Although tax liabilities by income class and filing status do not change greatly on the average, the proposed comprehensive income tax would alter significantly the tax liabilities of many individual taxpaying units. Those whose income is not fully taxed under current law would pay more tax under this comprehensive plan, while others would benefit from the generally lower rates. Also, many would be relieved of the burden of double taxation on corporate income. Table 11 shows the number of filing units in various categories that would have their tax liabilities either increased or decreased by more than 5 percent of present law tax or by more than $20. The average amount of decrease for those returns with decreases is almost $380, while the average amount of increase among the gainers is nearly 5650. The average gains and losses are similarly large for virtually all the categories shown on the table. This finding of large average amounts of gains and losses should be interpreted with great care. It is inevitable that any such tax change will involve substantial redistribution within income classes even if the total tax collected within each class remains the same. Furthermore, to some degree, the simulated comparisons are S P«"°"J . . because it is not proposed to adopt the model plan overnight. Indeed, the existence of a large number of gainers and losers is in itself evidence that careful t " " 5 1 ^ ™ ™les are needed to facilitate the movement toward a reformed tax structure. It should also be noted that the nature of the data base biases the result in the direction of a f ^ i n 9 ° * i d u a l extensive redistribution. This is so because the ^dividual records in the file of taxpayers in the emulation were constructed by matching information about different indi viduals in the taxpayer and Current p ° P u l a t ^ h ? ? i Y ? e s for samples. As a result, current and new tax l i a £ ^ i e s for a given record in the data base may, in fact, be based on information concerning different people. Table 11 Filing Units with Gains and Losses under the Comprehensive Income Tax as Compared to the Present Law Income Tax 1/ (1976 levels) Tax decrease Tax increase Number of:Amount of:Average decrease:Number of Amount of:Average increase filing : tax :for filing units: filing tax :for filing units units : change : with decrease : units change : with increase (millions) ($ billions) (dollars) (millions) <$ billions) (dollars) All filing units with gains and losses Filing units with $500 or more of pension income 60.9 23.0 378 37.2 24.1 648 cr» 5.0 2.2 431 17.7 13.5 764 Filing units with less than $500 of pension income 55.9 20.9 373 19.5 10.6 543 Single filers 27.7 4.1 148 3.6 1.2 Age less than 22 Age 22 to 61 Age 62 or over 13.7 13.0 1.0 0.6 3.2 0.3 46 245 293 1.0 2.4 0.2 0.1 1.0 0.1 331 107 427 254 Joint filers 24.2 15.8 654 12.9 8.4 Earning status: One earner Two or more earners Dependency status: No dependents Two dependents Four dependents Filing units with means-tested cash grant income 653 10.2 14.0 6.7 9.1 657 652 8.6 4.3 5.2 3.2 608 742 6.9 5.8 1.7 5.1 3.5 1.1 745 607 649 4.4 2.8 0.7 2.9 1.7 0.5 643 624 747 2^7 CK2 59 3^9 l^J. 270 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury, Office of Tax Analysis 1/ Filing units whose tax liabilities would change by more than 5 percent of present law tax or by more than $20. - 167 - Aside from such statistical details and the guestion of transition rules, comparisons of gainers and losers may be misleading on other grounds. The redistributions of income indicated may reflect not only changes in tax burdens among different taxpayers, but, perhaps more importantly, changes between the taxpayer at one point in his life and the same taxpayer at another point. For example, employee contributions to social security are excluded from taxable income, but social security benefits are included. As a result, the simulations show a decrease in tax for present wage earners and an increase in tax for pensioners. Indeed, table 11 shows that almost half of those with tax increases are receiving $500 or more in pension income. This gives a misleading impression of the distributional consequences of the change, because present wage earners are future retirees. A more satisfactory comparison would be one that reflected the overall lifetime tax burden of different individuals under various plans. It has not been possible to perform simulations of such lifetime effects. Thus, the simulations that are shown tend to be biased toward a finding of greater redistribution than actually would be implied by the model plan. THE CASH FLOW TAX Table 12 shows, for each comprehensive income class, the derivation of gross consumption from comprehensive income. "Imputed consumption from owner-occupied housing" consists of the net rental value of owner-occupied dwellings, and is included in gross consumption even though a cash outlay may not be made for the rental services. "Corporate retained earnings" are deducted because they represent saving on behalf of households. Similar saving occurs in the form of earnings on life insurance policies, contributions to and earnings of private pension plans, and employee contributions to social security. "Direct saving" represents household net purchases of real and financial assets. In table 12, gross consumption is derived by subtracting the sum of all forms of saving from the sum of comprehensive income plus imputed consumption. The term "gross consumption" is used because consumption is here considered to be gross of income taxes paid under current law; in other words, gross consumption represents before-tax consumption. Gross consumption is the starting Point of the cash flow tax in the same way that comprehensive income is the starting point of the comprehensive income tax. Table 12 Comprehensive Income and Gross Consumption (1976 levels) Comprehens ive income class ($000) : Comprehensive income Imputed consumption from owneroccupied housing ( Saving :Saving in life Corporate insurance, retained pension plans, earnings and social security $ billions Direct saving [ Gross consumption ) -3.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 -5.9 2.3 5 81.0 1.3 0.3 0.4 3.0 78.6 5 - 10 171.2 3.6 0.9 2.1 8.1 163.7 10 - 15 205.7 7.0 1.1 3.3 14.0 194.4 15 - 20 209.1 8.3 1.3 4.0 18.3 193.8 20 - 30 253.7 9.7 2.4 5.6 26.7 228.7 30 - 50 169.0 4.9 3.5 3.2 18.9 148.3 50 - 100 120.2 2.1 4.0 - 1.3 16.8 100.2 63.5 0.7 6.0 0.5 6.8 51.0 1,269.9 37.8 19.6 20.5 106.7 1,160.9 Less than 0 0 100 or more Total Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis Note: Gross consumption equals comprehensive income plus imputed consumption from owner-occupied housing minus all the following forms of savings: corporate retained earnings, saving in life insurance plans, social security contributions, and direct saving. - 169 - As was explained earlier in connection with the comprehensive income tax, taxpayers must be classified properly before the distribution of tax burdens can be analyzed. All tables dealing with the cash flow tax will use gross consumption for classification purposes. Table 13 shows the derivation of the cash flow tax base. The provisions for child care and secondary workers are the same for the cash flow tax as for the comprehensive income tax. Exemptions under the cash flow tax are $1,500 per return and $800 per taxpayer and dependent. Adjusting gross consumption for the child care and secondary worker provisions and for exemptions yields the amount of cash flow subject to tax. A comparison of the amounts subject to tax in the two model plans, as shown in tables 8 and 13, indicates that the amount of cash flow subject to tax is about 7 percent less than the amount of comprehensive income subject to tax. Nonetheless, the amount of cash flow subject to tax is 23 percent more than present taxable income, as shown in table 8. Thus, even though saving is deducted, the model cash flow tax accomplishes a substantial broadening of the tax base. The rate structure for joint returns under the cash flow tax would be as follows: Income Bracket Marginal Tax Rate $ 0 - 5,200 10 percent 5,200 - 30,000 28 percent Over 30,000 40 percent For single returns, the rate structure would be as follows: Income Bracket Marginal Tax Rate $ 0 - 3,200 10 percent 3,200 - 30,000 Over 30,000 26 percent 40 percent Heads of households, as under present law, would pay the average of the amounts under the single and joint schedules. Table 14 shows the distribution of tax liabilities and effective rates of tax under the model cash flow tax and Present law. The model cash flow tax nearly reproduces the Table 13 Cash Flow Tax Base (1976 levels) Gross consumption class ($000) Number of : filing units 1/ (... millions Gross consumption Child care and secondary worker provisions Exemptions 2/ Cash flow subject to tax ...) (• 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5 40.7 84.2 -0.1 -66.2 17.9 5 - 10 24.3 178.9 -1.8 -76.6 100.5 10 - 15 17.9 221.4 -5.7 -67.1 148.6 15 - 20 11.8 202.9 -7.3 -47.8 147.8 20 - 30 8.7 208.5 -6.8 -36.0 165.6 30 - 50 3.7 136.3 -2.6 -14.9 118.8 50 - 100 1.3 88.2 -0.8 -5.5 81.9 0.3 40.6 -0.2 -1.1 39.2 108.6 1,160.9 -25.3 -315.2 820.4 Less than 0 0 100 or more Total i o Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 1/ Includes all filing units whether or not they actually file returns or pay tax under current law. "2/ The amounts shown do not include the value of exemptions that, if allowed, would reduce cash flow "" subject to tax to below zero. 1 Table 14 Amount of Tax and Effective Tax Rates under the Present Law Income Tax and under Model Cash Flow Tax (1976 levels) Gross consumption class ($000) Prejsent law tax 4 1 Tax (... Less than 0 $ billions • « ..) (... : Cash flow tax • Effective : Effective Tax • tax rate l_l : tax rate U • .. percent ...) (... $ billions .,.) (.. 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 2.2 1.8 2.1 5-10 13.2 7.4 13.7 7.7 10 - 15 26.2 11.8 26.3 11.9 15 - 20 30.0 14.8 30.6 15.1 20 - 30 37.5 18.0 38.2 18.3 30 - 50 32.2 23.6 31.4 23.1 50 - 100 27.1 30.7 26.8 30.3 100 or more 14.6 36.0 14.5 35.7 Total 182.6 15.7 183.3 15.8 0 - Office of the 5 SPCTPIh *» TTXT n -F Office of Tax Analysis - Tax as a percentage of gross consumption. .) - 172 - progressivity of the present tax structure. It is clear that taxing consumption is perfectly consistent with a progressive structure of tax liabilities. Although the model cash flow tax preserves the average progressivity of current law, it would extensively redistribute tax burdens. Table 15 tabulates filing units whose tax change would be more than 5 percent of present law tax or more than $20. This table yields essentially the same results as those presented in table 11 for the comprehensive income tax. The caveats in interpreting the results of table 11 apply with equal force to table 15. COMPARISONS OF TAX LIABILITIES UNDER THE DIFFERENT PLANS Up to this point, this chapter has presented simulations of the effects of the model tax plans on all taxpayers. This section examines the tax liabilities of taxpayers in particular situations. These materials illustrate the differences among the present law income tax and the two model pLans. Since the data are hypothetical, they do not represent the situations for any particular taxpayer. The Marriage Penalty .., <n. • A subject of continuing controversy and interest is the division of the tax burden between married and unmarried individuals. Table 16 shows, for current law, the additional tax paid by a married couple filing a joint return over what would be paid if both persons could file single returns. The left-hand column shows the couple's total income. The subsequent columns present different shares of the total income earned by the lesser-earning spouse. For example, in the first column, one spouse earns all of the income. This column shows that a married couple would pay a lower tax than would a single individual with the same income because of the favorable rate structure of the joint return schedule. In the last column, earnings are derived eaually from the wages of both spouses. In this case, the married couple would pay a higher tax than would two unmarried individuals, with a marriage penalty of $4,815 on a joint income of $100,000. Table 17 shows the same data for the model comprehensive income tax plan. The area of marriage penalty has increased somwehat as compared to current law. However, the rate structure and exclusion of a portion of the earnings of Table 15 Filing Units with Gains and Losses under the Cash Flow Tax Compared with Present Law Income Tax 1/ (1976 levels) Tax increase Tax decrease Amount of:Average increase Number of Amount of:Average decrease:Number of tax :for filing units tax :for filing units: filing filing change : with increase change : with decrease : units units (trillions) <$ billions)(dollars) (millions) <§ billions) (dollars) All filing units with gains and losses Filing units with $500 or more of pension income « 53.6 31.0 577 44.7 31.7 708 5.1 3.5 700 17.9 13.7 765 CO Filing units with less than $500 of pension income 48.6 27.4 564 26.8 18.0 671 Single filers .... Age less than 22 Age 22 to 61 ... Age 62 or over . 24.5 12.6 11.0 0.9 4.9 0.5 3.9 0.4 199 43 360 410 6.6 2.0 4.3 0.3 2.0 0.3 1.7 0.1 309 130 392 313 Joint filers •'.... Earning status: One earner Two or more earners Dependency status: No dependents Two dependents .... Four dependents •.. 20.6 21.4 1,037 16.6 14.6 880 8.9 11.7 9.6 11.8 1,075 1,007 10.0 6.6 8.8 5.9 876 885 6.8 4.6 1.3 8.0 4.3 1.3 1,174 933 1,060 4.6 4.0 1.1 4.1 3.5 1.0 889 884 924 2.4 0.2 73 4.4 1.5 352 Filing units with means-tested cash grant income Office of the Secretary of the Treasury, Office of Tax Analysis $20. 1/ Filing units whose tax liabilities would change by more than 5 percent of present law tax or than by more Table 16 Marriage Penalties in 1976 Law The Marriage Penalty is the Excess of the Tax a Couple Pays with a Joint Return Over What It Would Pay if Both Persons Could File Single Returns Total family income Dollar amount of marriage penalty when share of income earned by lesser-earning spouse is: percent 40 percent 30nt percent None : 10 percent \ 20 percent | ™ — : ™ »«« * 50 Y~ No Marriage Penalty 0 0 87 0 0 130 101 191 162 201 216 237 212 221 263 56 29 13 189 235 320 258 319 497 243 365 565 149 334 605 661 1,188 2,819 1,034 1,743 4,275 1,188 1,910 4,815 0 0 -69 0 0 12 -137 -163 -187 -18 43 97 -762 -1,085 -1,406 -240 -324 -442 -2,013 -2,697 -6,810 -657 -799 -2,532 0 3,000 5,000 0 -42 -233 0 0 -149 7,000 10,000 15,000 -266 -383 -527 20,000 25,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 100,000 $ ( $ Marriage Penalty Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis Note: In all tax calculations, deductible expenses are assumed to be 16 percent of income, and the maximum tax is not used. ) Table 17 Marriage Penalties in the Model Comprehensive Income Tax The Marriage Penalty is the Excess of the Tax a Couple Pays with a Joint Return Over What It Would Pay if Both Persons Could File Single Returns Total family income $ 0 3,000 5,000 Dollar amount of marriage penalty when share of income earned by lesser-earning spouse is: None : 10 percent ; 20 percent \ 30 percent ; 40 percent \ 50 percent ( No Marriage Penalty $ 0 -32 -80 $ 0 -8 -50 $ 0 0 -20 7,000 10,000 15,000 -312 -441 -316 -169 -278 -72 -25 -116 140 20,000 25,000 30,000 -191 -66 59 134 340 515 347 555 675 40,000 50,000 100,000 309 244 244 / 847 1,477 1,835 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 0 0 10 $ 46 0 0 40 $ 72 0 0 62 $ 58 15 263 97 300 122 206 425 456 488 300 300 425 175 300 425 675 800 1,432 1,432 4,935 3,385 Marriage Penalty 675 1,432 6,485 675 1,432 6,888 ) - 176 - the secondary worker would result in some changes relative to current law. This may be seen most clearly in the last column. Although the marriage penalty paid by a couple earning $100,000 would increase, for all other families in which equal earners marry, the marriage penalty would be reduced compared to current law. As the first column shows, the differences between married couples and unmarried individuals are, in general, reduced in the model comprehensive income tax plan compared to current lav/. This is because the broader tax base permits a less steep progression of marginal tax rates. Table 18 shows the marriage penalties under the model cash flow tax. Lifetime Comparisons As suggested above, a desirable point of view from which to assess the relative tax burdens among individuals is that of the complete lifetime. The tables presented thus far do not reflect this lifetime perspective. If either of the model tax plans had been in effect as long as the present tax, the income and tax situations of taxpayers would be different from those shown in the simulated results. This is particularly true of saving, which is subject to considerably different treatment under the model plans. For persons accumulating for their retirement years in savings accounts, the present law would collect tax on the income from which the saving is made and again on the interest earned on the savings. Withdrawal of funds, however, would have no tax consequence. Under the cash flow tax, savings would not be subject to tax; rather, taxes would be assessed when the proceeds are withdrawn for consumption. The comprehensive income tax would be levied both on income saved as well as on interest earned, but the broader base would permit lower rates than under present law. Since one objective of saving is the reallocation of lifetime consumption, these three tax systems would be expected to alter the timing of income, consumption, and tax liabilities. Table 19 summarizes these effects. It shows summary statistics for a family whose saving strategy is to maintain a constant level of consumption throughout working and retirement years. This table provides a very direct and convenient way of comparinq the different systems, since tax burdens may be determined directly from the level of consumption. The higher is the level of consumption attainable, the lower is the tax burden. in this example, the Table 18 Marriage Penalties in the Model Cash Flow Tax The Marriage Penalty is the Excess of the Tax a Couple Pays with a Joint Return Over What It Would Pay if Both Persons Could File Single Returns Dollar amount of marriage penalty when share of income earned by lesser-earning spouse is: Total family income None 10 percent 20 percent ( $ 0 3,000 5,000 40 percent 30 percent 50 percent No Marriage Penalty $ o $ 0 -10 -5 0 0 32 0 0 70 0 0 88 -70 -80 0 -40 -42 7,000 10,000 15,000 -320 -494 -394 -156 -304 -109 9 -114 106 77 6 241 80 96 296 63 106 191 20,000 25,000 30,000 -294 -194 -94 86 261 406 296 486 596 396 391 386 256 216 316 116 216 316 40,000 50,000 100,000 -144 -144 -144 886 1,086 1,366 1,244 1,366 2,766 1,044 2,066 4,166 1,044 2,444 4 ,488 1,044 2 ,444 4 ,488 $ ( Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis $ ty .. ....) I -J I Table 19 Lifetime Comparison of Present L a w Income T a x and M o d e l T a x Plans (Married couple; o n e earner, wages $16,000 per year for 4 0 y e a r s ; consumes at maximum possible steady rate over entire lifetime) 'TlHger: Sa lS8:0aCC°Unt balanCC: Present law t a x Comprehensive income t a x C a s h flow tax $ U.«6 * ".S* *U > 7 1 3 -^1 60,114 53,759 58,764 A g e 6 0 '.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'.'. 151,185 137,651 164,900 Taxes: Working y e a r s : A „ e 21 2 >1° 2 Age40*"! 2,272 Age60..1 2 Retirement years: Age 61 Ale 75 > 582 845 505 2 3 > 1 „ >100 8 2 2,696 3 » 2,100 3i2 2 42 2 0 >1°° >100 2,100 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis Note- This example assumes a 3-percent real rate of return (before taxes) on savings and that the corporation income tax under present law is borne by the return from all savings at the rate of 19.1 percent. oo - 179 - present law tax burden is somewhat higher (consumption is lower) than that implied by the model comprehensive income tax which in turn is higher than that under the cash flow tax. - 181 - Chapter 6 TRANSITION CONSIDERATIONS INTRODUCTION Major changes in the tax code such as would accompany a switch to either the comprehensive income tax or the cash flow tax may lead to substantial and sudden changes in current wealth and future after-tax income flows for some individuals. Transition rules need to be designed to minimize unfair losses, or undeserved windfalls, to individuals whose investment decisions were influenced by the provisions of the existing code. This chapter discusses the major issues in transition and suggests possible solutions to problems arising from transition to both the comprehensive income tax and the cash flow tax. It outlines the major wealth changes that can be expected under a switch to either of the two model taxes, and discusses the relevant equity criteria to be applied in the design of transition rules. Instruments for ameliorating transition problems, including phasing in provisions of the new law and grandfathering, or exempting, existing assets from the new rules are discussed. The effects of applying these transition instruments to different types of changes in the tax law are outlined. Transition rules to be applied to specific changes in the tax law included in the model comprehensive income tax in chapter 3 are considered. Special problems of transition to a cash flow tax are discussed also, and a plan is suggested for transition to the cash flow proposal described in chapter 4. WEALTH CHANGES AND THEIR EQUITY ASPECTS Two separate problems requiring special transition rules can be identified: carryover and price changes. Carryover problems would occur to the extent that changes in the tax code affect the taxation of income earned in the Past but not yet subject to tax or, conversely, income taxed in the past that may be subject to a second tax. Price changes would occur in those instances where changes in the tax code altered the expected flow of after-tax income from existing investments in the future. - 182 Carryover Problems Under the present tax system, income is not always taxed at the time it accrues. For example, increases in net worth in the form of capital gains are not taxed before realization. A change in the tax rate on realized capital gains, therefore, would alter the tax liability on gains accrued but not realized before the effective date of the tax reform. Application of the new rules to past capital gains would either raise or lower the applicable tax on that portion of past income, depending on whether the increase in tax from including all capital gains in the income base exceeded the reduction in tax caused by any allowance of a basis adjustment for inflation. The problem of changes in the timing of tax liability would be especially severe if the current tax system were changed to a consumption base. Under a consumption base, purchases of assets would be deductible from tax and sales of assets not reinvested would be fully taxable. Under the current tax system, both the income used to purchase assets and the capital gain are subject to tax, the latter, however, at a reduced rate. Recovery of the original investment is not taxed. An immediate change to a consumption base would penalize individuals who saved in the past and who are currently selling assets for consumption purposes. Having already paid a tax on the income used to purchase the asset under the old rules, they would also be required to pay an additional tax on the entire proceeds from the sale of the asset. On the other hand, if owners of assets were allowed to treat those assets as tax-prepaid, they would receive a gain to the extent they planned to use them for future . consumption or bequest. Income on past accumulated wealth would then be free from future taxes, and the government would have to make up the difference by raising the tax rate on the remaining consumption regarded as non-pretaxed. Other carryover problems include excess deductions or credits unused in previous years and similar special technical features of the tax law. In general, carryover can be viewed as being conceptually different from changes in the price of assets. In the case of capital gains tax, for example, the change in an individual's tax liability for gains that have arisen by reason of a past increase in asset values does not affect the tax liability of another individual purchasing an asset from him; in general, the asset price depends only on future net-of-tax earnings. However, the new tax law and the transition rules, by altering future net-of-tax earnings, would change the price of assets. - 183 In most cases, carryover problems could be handled by special rules that define the amount of income attributable to increases in asset values not realized before the effective date of implementation of the new law. Changes in the definition of an individual's past income would alter asset prices only if they provided an incentive for pre-effective date sales of existing assets. For example, if, under the new system, past capital gains were taxed at a higher rate than under the old system, an incentive might be created for sales of assets prior to the effective date. Price Changes Adoption of a broadly based tax system would change prices of some assets by changing the taxation of future earnings. Under the comprehensive income tax, for example, the following changes in the tax code would alter tax rates on income from existing assets: integration of the corporate and personal income taxes; taxation of all realized capital gains at the full rate; adjustment of asset basis for inflation (or deflation) ; inclusion of interest on State and local government bonds in the tax base; elimination of accelerated depreciation provisions that lower the effective rate of tax on income arising in special sectors, including minerals extraction, real estate, and some agricultural activities; and elimination of the deductibility of property taxes by homeowners. Adoption of these and other changes in the tax code would alter both the average rate of taxation on income from all assets and the relative rates imposed among types of financial claims, legal entities, and investments in different industries. The effects of changes in taxation on asset values would be different for changes in the average level of taxation of the associated returns and changes in the relative rates of taxation on different assets. A change in the average rate of taxation on all income from investment, while it would affect the future net return from wealth or accumulated past earnings, would not be likely in itself to change individual asset prices significantly. For any^ single asset, an increase in the average rate of taxation of returns would reduce net after-tax earnings roughly in proportion to the reduction in net after-tax earnings on alternative assets. Thus, the market value of the asset, which is equal to the ratio of returns net of depreciation to the interest rate (after tax), would not tend to change. °n the other hand, an increase in the relative rate o f taxation on any single asset generally would lead to a tall in the price of that asset, because net after-tax earnings would holds for fallarelative decrease to inthe theinterest relative rate. rate of The taxation. opposite - 184 - The behavior of the price of any single asset in response to a change in the relative rate of taxation of its return depends on the characteristics of the asset and the nature of the financial claim to it. For example, suppose the asset is a share in an apartment project. In the long run, the price of the asset will depend on the cost of building apartments; if unit construction costs are independent of volume, they will not be altered by changes in the tax rate on real estate profits. Now, suppose the effective rate of taxation on profits from real estate is increased. The increase in tax will drive down the after-tax rents received by owners. Because the value of the asset to buyers depends on the stream of annual after-tax profits, the price a purchaser is willing to pay also will fall. With the price of the structure now lower than the cost of production, apartment construction will decline, making rental housing more scarce and^driving up the before-tax rentals charged to tenants. In final equilibrium, the before-tax rentals will have risen sufficiently to restore after-tax profits to a level at which^ the price buyers are willing to offer for the asset is again equal to its cost of production. However, for the interim before supply changes restore equilibrium, after-tax returns would be lowered by the price change. Thus, the immediate effect of the change in the rate of taxation would be to lower the price of equity claims to real estate. The wealth loss to owners of those shares at the time of the tax change would depend both on the time required for adjustment to final equilibrium and the extent to which future increases in the gross rentals (from the decline in housing supply) were anticipated in the marketplace. The faster the adjustment to equilibrium and the larger the percent of gross rentals change that is anticipated, the smaller the fall in asset price will be for any given increase in the tax on the returns. If the asset is a claim to a fixed stream of future payments (e.g., a bond), a change in the rate of taxation would alter its price by lowering the present value of the future return flow. For example, if interest from municipal bonds became subject to tax, the net after-tax earnings of holders of municipal bonds would fall, lowering the value of those claims. New purchasers of municipal bonds would demand an after-tax rate of return on their investment comparable to the after-tax return on other assets of similar risk and liquidity. The proportional decline in value for time a given tax change would be greater for bonds with a longer to maturity. - 185 - The effect of corporate integration on the price of assets is less certain. If the corporate income tax is viewed as a tax on the earnings of corporate equity shareholders, integration would increase the rate of taxation on income from investment of high-bracket shareholders and lower the rate of taxation on such income of low-bracket shareholders. 1/ In addition, many assets owned by corporations also can be used in the noncorporate sector. To the extent that relative tax rates on income arising in the two sectors were altered by integration, those assets could easily move from one sector to the other, changing relative before-tax earnings and output prices in the two sectors, but keeping relative after-tax earnings and asset prices the same. In conclusion, raising the relative rate of taxation on capital income in industries and for types of claims currently receiving relatively favorable tax treatment would likely cause some changes in asset prices. Immediate asset price changes generally would be greater for long-term fixed claims, such as State and local bonds, than for equity investments; greater for assets specific to a given industry (e.g., apartment buildings) than for assets that can be shifted among industries; and greater for assets the supply of which can only be altered slowly (e.g., buildings and some mineral investments) than for those the supply of which can be changed quickly. The net effect of integration on asset values may not be large. On the other hand, changes in the special tax treatment currently afforded in certain industries, for example in real estate and mineral resources, and changes in the treatment of State and local bond interest, would likely cause significant changes in values of those assets. The Equity Issues Considerations of equity associated with changes in tax laws are different from equity considerations associated with the overall design of a tax system. Changes in the tax code would create potential inequities to the extent that individuals who made commitments in response to provisions of the existing law suffer unanticipated losses (or receive unanticipated gains) as a result of the change. .These gams (and losses) can be of two types: (1) wealth changes to individuals resulting from changes in tax liabilities on income accrued in the past but not yet recognized for tax purposes, and (2) changes in the price of assets or the - 186 value of employment contracts brought about by changes in future after-tax earnings. These two types of problems, carryover and price change, pose somewhat different equity issues. Carryover poses the problem of how to tax equitably income attributable to an earlier period, when a different set of tax laws was in effect. For example, consider one aspect of the proposed change in the tax treatment of corporations under the comprehensive income tax. At present, capital gains are subject to lower tax rates than dividends, especially when realization is deferred for a long period of time. Individuals owning shares of corporations paying high dividend rates relative to total earnings pay more tax than individuals owning shares of corporations with low dividends relative to total earnings. As both types of investment are available to everyone, individuals purchasing shares in high-dividend corporations presumably are receiving something (possibly less risk or more liquidity) in exchange for the higher tax liability they have to assume. To subject shareholders of low-dividend corporations to the same rate of taxation as they would have paid if income accumulated in the form of capital gains before the effective date had been distributed would be unfair. Carryover poses another equity problem: some taxpayers may be assessed at unusually high or low rates on past income because of changes in the timing of accrual of tax liability. The above example can be used to illustrate this point too. Under current law, the special tax treatment of capital gains in part compensates shareholders for the extra tax on their income at the corporate level. Under the integration proposal presented in chapter 3, the separate corporate income tax would be eliminated, but shareholders would be required to pay a full tax on their attributed share of the corporation's income, whether or not distributed. Now, suppose integration is introduced and a shareholder has to pay the full tax on the appreciation of his shares that occurred before the effective date. 2/ The taxpayer would, in effect, be taxed too heavily on that income, because it was subject to taxation at the corporate level before being taxed at the full individual income tax rate. Before integration, he would, in effect, have paid the corporate tax plus the reduced capital gains rate on the gains attributable to that income; after integration, he would be liable for the tax on ordinary income at the full rate. Thus, in the absence of transition rules, he would be - 187 - subject to a higher tax on income in the form of capital gains accrued before, but not recognized until after, the effective date of the new law than on income earned in a similar way under a consistent application of either present law or the comprehensive income tax. The most desirable solution to the problem of equity posed by carryover is to design a set of transition rules that insure that, to the maximum extent consistent with other objectives, tax liabilities on income accrued before the effective date are computed according to the old law and tax liabilities on income accrued after the effective date are computed according to the new law. Changes in future after-tax income brought about by tax reform raise a different set of equity issues. A complete change in the tax system, if unexpected, would cause losses in asset value to investors in previously tax-favored sectors. Imposition of such losses may be viewed as unfair, especially since past government policy explicitly encouraged investment in those assets. For example, as between individuals in a given tax bracket one of whom held State and local bonds producing a lower interest rate because such interest was tax-exempt and the other of whom held taxable Treasury bonds producing higher interest but the same after-tax return, it seems reasonable to compensate the holder of the State and local bonds for the loss suffered upon removal of the tax exemption so that he ends up in the same position as the holder of Treasury bonds. Note that this concept of distributive justice does not imply that a third taxpayer, who earns higher after-tax income from tax-free bonds than from Treasury bonds because he is in a higher tax bracket than the other two, should retain the privilege of earning taxfree interest. Equity does not require that the tax system maintain loopholes; it does require some limitation on wealth losses imposed on individuals because they took advantage of legal tax incentives. The counterargument to the view that justice requires compensation for such wealth changes is that all changes in public policy alter the relative incomes of individuals and, frequently, asset values. For example, a government decision to reduce the defense budget will lower relative asset prices in defense companies and their principal supplying firms and also lower relative wages of individuals with skills specialized to defense activities (e.g., many engineers and physicists). Although some special adjustment - 188 assistance programs exist, 3/ it is not common practice to compensate individuals for changes in the value of physical and human assets caused by changes in government policies. In addition, it can be argued that, because investors in tax-favored industries know the tax subsidy may end, the risk of a public policy change is reflected in asset prices and rates of return. If, for example, it is believed that the continuing debate over ending remaining special tax treatment of oil industry assets poses a real threat, it can be argued that investors in oil are already receiving a risk premium in the form of higher than normal net after-tax returns, and further compensation for losses upon end of the subsidy is unwarranted. The discussion above suggests that a case can be made both for and against compensation of individuals for losses in asset values caused by radical changes in tax policy. Because the asset value changes resulting from the tax change alone are virtually impossible to measure precisely, designing a method to determine the appropriate amount of compensation would be difficult on both theoretical and practical grounds. However, it would be desirable to design transition rules so that unanticipated losses and gains resulting from adoption of a comprehensive tax base would be moderated. Two possible design features, grandfathering existing assets and phasing in the new rules slowly, are discussed next. INSTRUMENTS FOR AMELIORATING TRANSITION PROBLEMS Objectives The main criteria that transition rules should satisfy are: (1) simplicity, (2) minimizing incentive problems, and (3) minimizing undesirable wealth effects. Simplicity. The transition rules in themselves should not introduce any major new complexity in the tax law. To the extent possible, transition rules should not require that corporations or individuals supply additional data on financial transactions or asset values. Minimizing Incentive Problems. The transition rules should be designed to minimize the probability of action in response to special features of the change from one set of tax rules to another. In particular, there should not be special inducements either to buy or to sell particular kinds of assets just before or after the effective date of the new law. - 189 - Minimizing Undesirable Wealth Effects. Transition rules should moderate wealth losses to individuals holding assets that lose their tax advantages under basic tax reform as well as gains to those whose assets are relatively favored. At the same time, special transition rules to protect assetholders from loss should not give them the opportunity to earn windfall gains. Alternatives Two alternative methods of reducing capital value changes are discussed here: grandfathering existing assets and phasing in the new law. Grandfathering. The grandfather clause was originally used by some southern States as a method for disenfranchising black voters following the Civil War. It exempted from the high literacy and property qualifications only those voters or their lineal descendants who had voted before 1867. More recently, grandfather clauses have been used to exempt present holders of positions from new laws applicable to those positions, e.g., setting a mandatory age of retirement. In the context of tax reform, a grandfather clause could be used either to exempt existing assets from the new law as long as they are held by the current owner or to exempt existing assets from the new law regardless of who holds them. A grandfather clause also could be applied to capital gains accrued but not yet realized at the time the new law went into effect. Consider, for example, the effect of eliminating the special depreciation rules that result in a low rate of taxation on income from real estate investments. A grandfather clause that exempts existing buildings only so long as they are held by the current owner(s) would mean that current owners could depreciate their buildings to zero according to the old rules, but that new owners could not do so. Grandfathering the buildings independently of their owners would allow subsequent purchasers to depreciate according to the old rules. 4/ This would have the effect of raising the value of the buildings. Elimination of tax incentives in real estate would discourage new construction, reducing the supply of housing and raising gross rentals before tax. Thus, grandfathering, by making existing Property more valuable, would give a windfall gain to investors in real estate tax shelters. On the other hand, grandfathering the buildings only for current owners would not prevent a wealth loss to real estate investors, because - 190 the value to new buyers would decline. The loss would be mitigated by the anticipated increase in after-tax profits to current investors (because of the decline in housing supply). The effect of grandfathering on asset prices for fixedinterest securities is less certain. For example, if existing municipal bonds were grandfathered, annual interest received net of tax would be unchanged. However, the value of the tax saving from owning municipal bonds would change for two reasons. First, there would be no new tax-exempt municipal bond issues under the new rules; with fewer available tax-exempt bonds, the price of tax-exempt securities will rise, as will the marginal tax bracket at which such securities offer a net advantage. Second, the other changes in the tax system which would enable marginal tax rates in the highest brackets to fall, would reduce the gain from tax exemptions, driving down the demand for, and the price of tax-exempt securities. As demand and supply will both fall, it is not clear in what direction the price of the grandfathered securities would change, though the price change would be smaller than if the new rules were adopted immediately for all tax-exempt securities. One problem of grandfathering is that it can provide an unanticipated gain to current owners of assets subject to favorable tax treatment. These owners would receive a gain because the new tax law would reduce the supply of previously favored assets, thus raising before-tax profits. Grandfathering probably should be limited to cases where gross returns are not likely to be altered significantly by the change in taxation. For example, changes in the tax treatment of pensions would not be likely to affect before-tax labor compensation significantly, assuming the supply of labor to the economy is relatively fixed. While grandfathering tax treatment of pensions in current employment contracts would not be likely to raise significantly the value of those contracts relative to their value under the old law, an immediate shift to the new law would reduce the value of previously negotiated pension rights. Phasing In. An alternative method of avoiding drastic changes in asset values is to introduce the new rules gradually. For example, taxation of interest on currently tax-exempt State and local bonds could be introduced slowly by including an additional 10 percent of interest in the tax base every year for 10 years. Phasing in the new rules would not alter the direction of asset value changes, but it would reduce their magnitude by delaying tax liability changes. - 191 - Assuming that the market incentives under the new law are preferable to the incentives under the current law, phasing in poses distinct disadvantages. Phasing in would delay application of the new rules, thus reducing the present value of the economic changes that would be encouraged and which are an important objective of the new rules. Phasing in also may introduce substantial complexity. The length of the phase-in period would depend on the desired balance of the gains in efficiency and simplicity from changing the tax system against the distributive inequities resulting from imposition of asset value changes on some investors. Combination of Phasing In and Grandfathering. A possible variant on the two approaches outlined above is to adopt the new rules immediately for new assets while phasing in the new rules for existing assets. In many cases, grandfathering existing assets when new assets would be taxed more heavily under the new tax law would raise the market price of the old assets. By phasing in the new rules for the old assets, it would be possible to moderate the increase in present value of future tax liabilities, while at the same time reduced supply of new assets would raise beforetax returns on both new and existing assets. The two effects may roughly cancel out, leaving asset prices almost the same throughout the early transition period. For example, a gradual introduction of new, and more appropriate, depreciation schedules for existing residential real estate, 5/ with a concurrent adoption of the new rules for new buildings, would have the same incentive effects on new building as immediate adoption of the new law. Before-tax rentals on existing real estate would rise gradually, as supply growth is reduced, while tax liabilities on existing real estate also would rise. It is likely that, for an appropriate phase-in period, the asset value change to existing owners would be small. However, tax shelters on new construction would be totally eliminated immediately. PROPOSED SOLUTIONS TO SELECTED PROBLEMS IN THE TRANSITION TO THE COMPREHENSIVE INCOME TAX Adoption of the comprehensive income tax would have significant impact on the taxation of capital gains, corporate income, business and investment income, and personal income. The following discussion examines the problems that these changes present for transition. In most cases, possible solutions to these problems are suggested. - 192 Capital Gains Under the comprehensive income tax, no distinction will be made between capital gains and ordinary income, and losses will be fully deductible against income from other sources. The transition mechanism proposed is to allow capital gains (or losses) that have accrued as of the general effective date of the proposal to continue to qualify for capital gains treatment upon a sale or other taxable disposition for 10 years following such date. This "capital gain account11 inherent in each asset could be determined in either of two ways: 1. By actual valuation on the general effective date of enactment of the proposal (or on an elective alternative valuation date to avoid temporary distortions in market value), or 2. By regarding the gain (or loss) recognized on a sale or exchange of the asset as having accrued ratably over the period the seller held the asset. The portion of the gain (or loss) thus regarded as having accrued prior to the effective date would be taxed at capital gain rates (or be subject to the limitation on capital losses) provided that the asset continued to meet the current requirements for such treatment. Recognition of capital gain (or loss) on the asset after the effective date would extinguish the capital gain (or loss) potential of the asset. Thus, gains on sale or exchange of an asset purchased after the effective date would not receive any special tax treatment. Both of these systems have been employed in the Tax Reform Act of 1976 in connection with the so-called carryover basis provisions at death -- the former for securities traded on established markets, and the latter for all other assets. A number of technical rules relating to transfers and subsequent adjustments to basis would have to be provided. In general, the account should carry over to the transferee in certain tax-free transfers that reflect a change in the transferor's form of ownership of, or interest in, the asset, such as contributions to a controlled corporation (under section 351) or partnership (section 721) or a complete liquidation of certain controlled subsidiaries (section 332). In the case of a transfer of an asset to a controlled corporation or partnership, it may be appropriate - 193 - to allow the shareholder or partner to elect to transfer the capital gain account of the asset to his stock or partnership interest, and have the asset lose its capital gain character in the hands of the corporation or partnership. Also, in the case of a sale or exchange where the seller is allowed nonrecognition of gain on the transaction because he acquires an asset similar to the asset disposed of, the capital gain account should attach to the newly acquired asset. For example, if a taxpayer is to be allowed nonrecognition treatment on the sale of a personal residence where another residence is acquired within a specified time, the capital gain account would attach to the new residence. Rules also would be needed to take into account an increase or decrease in the basis of the property after the effective date. An increase in the basis of the property generally should not decrease the capital gain account, since the increase in basis generally will be accompanied by an increase in the fair market value of the asset (for example, where a shareholder contributes cash to a corporation)^ the increased fair market value due to the increase in basis would, when recognized, represent a return of the investment increasing the basis. On the other hand, a decrease in basis resulting from a deduction against ordinary income should reduce the capital gain account (i.e., code sections 1245, 1250, and other recapture provisions currently in the code that prevent the conversion of ordinary income into capital gain because of excess depreciation deductions or other means should continue to apply). In general, if the taxpayer's basis in an asset is required to be allocated among several assets (such as is required with respect to a nontaxable stock dividend) the capital gain account should be allocated in a similar manner. Special rules also would be needed for section 1231 property, since net gains from the sale of such assets qualify for capital gains treatment. 6/ A workable rule would be to apply section 1231 to assets that qualify as section 1231 assets in the hands of the taxpayer on the general effective date, and continue to so qualify as of the date of sale or other taxable disposition. Such property would have a "section 1231 account" similar to the capital gain account attaching to each asset. Similar rules relating to transfers, basis adjustments, etc., also would apply. Since an asset may be held for an indefinite period, a cutoff date for capital gains treatment is needed; otherwise, - 194 - the complexity of the capital gains provisions in the code would continue for at least a generation. (Under the proposal, donors and decedents would be required to recognize gain or loss on the assets transferred, subject to certain exceptions and, thus, the capital gain account would not carry over to a donee or heir.) Accordingly, at the end of a specified period (say, 10 years), the capital gains deduction and the alternative tax treatment would expire. Admittedly, some of the equity problems resulting from immediate repeal of the capital gains provisions would remain even if complete repeal were delayed 10 years. The 10-year phase-out period, however, would allow gradual market adjustments and help protect the interests of investors who purchased assets in reliance on the current capital gains provisions. An alternative to the capital gain account (and section 1231 account) procedure would be to phase out the deduction for capital gains (and the alternative tax) ratably over a specified number of years. For example, the 50-percent deduction for capital gains could be reduced five percentage points a year, so that at the end of 10 years the deduction would be eliminated. The simplicity of this alternative is the best argument for its adoption, since no valuation as of a particular date would be required. Corporate Integration Under the comprehensive income tax, corporations would not be subject to tax. Instead, shareholders would be taxable on their prorata share of corporate income, or would be allowed to deduct their prorata share of corporate loss. (See the discussion in chapter 3.) The most significant transitional problems involve the question of timing and the treatment of income, deductions, credits, and accumulated earnings and profits that are earned or accrued before the effective date of the changeover to integration but that would be taken into account for tax purposes after such date. Other transition problems related to the foreign area are discussed in chapter 3. Pre-effective Date Retained Earnings. Perhaps the most difficult transition problem posed by corporate integration is the treatment of corporate earnings and profits that are undistributed as of the effective date of integration. Such - 195 - earnings would have been taxed to the shareholders as dividends if distributed before the effective date, or taxed at capital gains rates if recognized by means of sale or exchange of the stock. Under corporate integration, distributions made by a corporation to its shareholders would be tax-free to the extent of the shareholder's basis; distributions in excess of the shareholder's basis in his stock would be taxable. However, corporate earnings and profits accumulated before the effective date but distributed afterward should not be accorded tax-free treatment; to do so would discriminate against corporations that distributed (rather than accumulated) their earnings and profits in preintegration taxable years. (In the case of shareholders who are content to leave the accumulated earnings and profits in corporate solution, however, the effect of corporate integration on the income generated by such accumulated earnings may give the same result as if such earnings had been distributed tax-free, since such income would be taxed directly to the shareholders, without the interposition of corporate tax, and would then be available to the shareholders as a taxfree dividend.) The problem of accumulated earnings can be addressed by continuing to apply current law to corporate distributions that are made within 10 years after the effective date of integration and that (1) are made to persons who held the shares on such effective date with respect to which the distribution is made, and (2) are made out of earnings and profits accumulated before such date. Thus, a distribution to such shareholders out of earnings and profits accumulated by the corporation before the first taxable year to which corporate integration applies would be a dividend, taxable as ordinary income, unless the distribution would qualify for different treatment under current law. For example, a distribution received pursuant to a redemption of stock that is not essentially equivalent to a dividend under current law would continue to be treated as a distribution in part or full payment in exchange for the stock. On the other^ hand, an attempt to bail out the pre-effective date earnings and profits by means of a partial redemption of stock that would be treated as a dividend distribution under current law would continue to be so treated. The provisions of current law relating to electing small business (subchapter S) corporations would be helpful as a model in draf ting ^ this particular transition proposal. For purposes of determining how much of a distribution that is treated as a sale or # exchange under current law would qualify for special capital gains treatment, the transition rules outlined above for changes in taxation of capital gains would apply. - 196 - In general, distributions with respect to stock acquired in a taxable transaction after the effective date would be subject to the new rules, and wouldreduce basis and not constitute income (unless such distributions exceeded the shareholder's basis). However, in those cases where the transferee acquired the stock after the effective date without recognition of gain by the transferor, current law would continue to apply to distributions from preeffective date accumulated earnings and profits. Distributions after the effective date would be deemed to be made first from the shareholder's distributable share of the corporation's post-effective date income and then from pre-effective date earnings and profits (similar to the subchapter S rules). Distributions in excess of these amounts would be applied against and reduce the shareholder's basis in his stock. Amounts in excess of the shareholder's basis generally would be considered income. In order to avoid indefinite retention of such a dual system of taxation, the special treatment of pre-effective date earnings and profits would cease after a specified number of years following the effective date of integration. Distributions received after such date, regardless of source, first would be applied against basis and would be income to the shareholder to the extent they exceed basis. As previously indicated, pre-integration accumulated earnings and profits remaining after this date will not escape taxation completely at the shareholder level, since such earnings will be reflected in the gain recognized on a subsequent taxable transfer of the stock (such as a sale or a transfer by gift or at death), or may be taxed as a distribution in excess of basis. Before fixing the cutoff date for this provision, an effort should be made to determine quantitatively the extent of the benefit to the shareholders of the deferral of such taxation. An alternative proposal was considered in an attempt to preserve the ordinary income character of distributions from pre-effective date earnings. This proposal would treat a shareholder as receiving a "deemed dividend" (spread ratably over a 10-year or longer period) in an amount equal to the lesser of the excess of the fair market value of the share of stock as of the effective date over its adjusted basis, or the share's prorata portion of undistributed earnings and profits as of such date. This proposal was rejected because of its complexity and because of the likelihood of substantial liquidity problems for certain shareholders. - 197 - Carryovers and Carrybacks. The carryover or carryback of items ot income, deduction, and credit between taxable years to which the corporate income tax applies, and taxable years to which it does not, must be considered for purposes of the transition rules. To the extent practicable, an attempt should be made to treat such items in a manner that reflects the impact of the corporate income tax as in effect when such items were earned or incurred. In following this approach, however, no attempt should be made to depart from the general rules requiring that an item of income or loss be recognized before it is taken into account in computing gross income. Accordingly, unrecognized appreciation or decline in value of corporate assets (or stock of the corporation) attributable to the pre-effective date period should not be "triggered" or recognized solely because of the shift to full integration. In general, certain deductions and credits may carry back to a preceding taxable year or carry over to a subsequent taxable year because of a limitation on the amount of such deduction or credit that the taxpayer may claim for the taxable year in which the deduction is incurred or the credit earned. Thus, for example, a net operating loss carryback or carryover arises because the taxpayer's deductions exceed his gross income. Capital loss deductions are limited to capital gains, deductions for charitable contributions are limited to a certain percentage of income, and the investment tax credit is limited to a percentage of the tax due. Also, the recapture as ordinary income, after the effective date, of deductions allowed and other amounts of income upon which tax has previously been deferred in pre-effective date years, has the effect of shifting that income to post-effective date years. If income sheltered by a deduction (or income that would have been sheltered had the deduction been utilized in an earlier year) had been distributed as a taxable dividend, the net after-tax effect on the shareholder of the deferral or acceleration of a deduction would depend on his marginal tax bracket. In general, if the shareholder is in a lower bracket, he may realize more total after-tax income if the deduction is utilized in a pre-effective date year in which the corporate tax applies and in which the tax savings at the corporate level are distributed as a dividend. If the taxpayer is in a higher bracket, he may realize more total after-tax income if the deduction is utilized in computing his distributable share of taxable income after integration. To best approximate the net result that would occur if such - 198 - items could be used in the year incurred or earned, unused deductions and credits incurred or earned in pre-effective date years should be given an unlimited carryback to earlier years of the corporation. In many cases this would benefit the taxpayer because he would receive a tax refund from such carryback earlier than he would tinder current law. Such benefits could be avoided to a large extent by charging the taxpayer an appropriate amount of interest for advancement of the refund Deductions that could not be absorbed in pre-effective date years would be allowed to be carried in full to posteffective date years, subject to the limits established on the number of succeeding taxable years to which the item may be carried. In general, however, deductions carried over from a pre-effective date year should not flow through to the shareholders, either directly or indirectly, for use in offsetting the shareholder's income from other sources, but should be available only as deductions at the corporate level in order to determine the shareholder's prorata share of corporate income. This would avoid retroactive integration with respect to such deductions, since the deduction would not flow through when incurred; it also would avoid possible abuses by means of trafficking in loss corporations. Ordinary income upon which tax was deferred in pre-effective years should continue to be subject to recapture as ordinary income. Generally, the carryover to a post-integration year of a tax credit earned in a pre-effective date taxable year would result in a windfall for the shareholder. If the credit had been used to offset corporate income tax in the year in which it was earned, the amount representing the tax at the corporate level offset by the credit would have been taxable to the shareholder, either when distributed as a dividend or when realized by means of sale of the stock. Accordingly, a rule should be devised by which the tax benefit of a credit carryover approximates the benefit that would result if the amount of the credit first offset a hypothetical corporate tax and then was distributed to the shareholder as a taxable dividend (or, perhaps, realized as capital gain). In general, no losses incurred or available credits earned in post-effective date years would carry back to preeffective date years, since such items would flow through to the shareholders after the effective date of integration. - 199 - Under present law, certain taxpayers, such as regulated investment companies, real estate investment trusts, and personal holding companies, receive a dividends-paid deduction for a taxable year even though the distribution is actually made in a subsequent year. Such distributions in post-effective date years should be allowed to relate back to the extent provided by current law for the purpose of determining the corporate tax liability for the appropriate pre-effective date year. The distribution would be considered to be out of pre-effective date earnings and profits (whether or not it exceeds the amount in such account) and taxable to the shareholders as a dividend from that source. Rules will have to be provided to insure that, if an investment tax credit earned by a corporation in a preeffective date taxable year is subject to recapture because of an early disposition of the property, the credit also is recaptured, either from the corporation or the shareholders. This could be accomplished at the corporate level by imposing an excise tax on the transfer or other recapture event in an amount equal to the appropriate income tax recapture. Flow-Through of Corporate Capital Gains. During the phase-out period for capital gains, the net capital gain or net capital loss for taxable years after the effective date of corporate integration should be computed at the corporate level with respect to sales or exchanges of capital assets or section 1231 property by the corporation. The character of such net capital gain or net capital loss should flow through to the shareholders. Flow-Through of Tax-Exempt Interest. If the character of capital gains is to flow through to shareholders, consistency would require that the character of any remaining tax-exempt interest received or accrued by a corporation after the effective date of corporate integration from any State or municipal bonds that are grandfathered also should flow through as tax-exempt interest to the shareholders. The tax-free character of the interest to shareholders would be preserved by increasing reducing the shareholder's basis by the amount of the interest attributable to him, but not including such interest in taxable income. Distribution would be treated as under the new law -- as a reduction of basis, but not included in income. Thus, such interest, if distributed, would leave both taxable income and basis unchanged. - 200 Generally, under present law, State and municipal bond interest is received tax-free by the corporation, but is taxable as a dividend when distributed to shareholders. The 1976 Tax Reform Act, however, provides that, in certain cases, the character of tax-exempt interest distributed by a regulated investment company flow through as tax-exempt interest to its shareholders. 7/ If it is determined that the tax-exempt character of State and municipal bond interest received by all corporations should not flow through to shareholders, an exception should be made for regulated investment companies that have relied on the flow-through provisions of the 1976 Tax Reform Act. Unique Corporate Taxpayers. The provisions of the tax code relating to taxation of insurance companies and other unique corporate taxpayers will have to be examined to determine what adjustments, if any, are required to take into account the effect of corporate integration on the special rules applying to such taxpayers. The determination of appropriate transition rules will depend on the nature of any changes made to the basic provisions. Business and Investment Income, Individual and Corporate In general, the repeal of code provisions that provide an incentive for certain business-related expenditures or investments in specific assets should be developed to minimize the losses to persons who made such expenditures or investments prior to the effective date of the new law. The principal technique to effectuate this policy would be to grandfather actions taken under current law. For example, any repeal of a tax credit (such as the investment tax credit) and any requirement that an expenditure that is currently deductible (such as soil and water conservation expenditures) must be capitalized should be prospective only. 8/ Subject to the rules prescribed above for corporations, unused tax credits earned in pre-effective date years should be available as a carryover to taxable years after the effective date to the extent allowed under current law. The repeal of special provisions allowing accelerated amortization or depreciation of certain assets generally should apply only with respect to expenditures made or assets placed in service after a specific cutoff date. The revised general depreciation and depletion rules should apply to property placed in service or expenditures made after an effective date. Thus, for example, buildings would continue to be depreciable in the manner prescribed by current law only in the hands of their current owners. A taxpayer who acquires a building and places it in service after the effective date would be - 201 - subject to the new rules. Although this could result in losses in asset value for the current owners, grandfathering the asset itself could, particularly in the case of buildings, delay the effect of the new rules for an unacceptable period. The deduction for local property taxes on personal residences should be phased out by allowing deduction of a declining percentage of such taxes. The exclusion from gross income of interest on State and municipal bonds and certain earnings on life insurance policies should continue to apply to such interest and earnings on bonds and insurance policies that are outstanding as of the effective date. When adoption of the comprehensive income tax results in ending those provisions of current law that allow the nonrecognition of gain (or loss) on sales or exchanges of particular assets, such changes should be effective immediately, with no grandfather clause. It is unlikely that the original deQision to invest in such assets depended on an opportunity to make a subsequent tax-free change in investment. An exception may be appropriate, however, with respect to a repeal of the provision that excludes from gross income the value of a building constructed by a lessee that becomes the property of the lessor upon a termination of the lease. A grandfather clause should apply current law to the termination of a lease entered into before the effective date. The proposal would allow an adjustment to the basis of an asset to prevent the taxation of "gain" that is attributable to inflation and that does not reflect an increase in real value of the asset sold by the taxpayer. The inflation adjustment should be applied with respect to inflation occurring in taxable years after the effective date. Making such an adjustment retroactive would result in a substantial unanticipated gain for many asset holders. Other Individual Income Under the comprehensive income tax, several kinds of compensation and other items previously excluded would be included in gross income, and deductions for a number of expenditures that can be considered personal in nature would be disallowed. - 202 - Employee Compensation. Such items as earnings on pension plan reserves allocable to the employee, certain health and life insurance premiums paid by the employer, certain disability benefits, unemployment benefits, and subsidized compensation would be included in gross income. It may be presumed that existing employment contracts were negotiated on the basis that such items (other than unemployment compensation) would be excluded from the employee's gross income, particularly in those cases where the exclusion reflects a policy of encouraging that particular type of compensation. In the absence of special transition rules, the inclusion of such items in income could create cash flow problems or other hardships for employees under such contracts. For example, a worker who is required to include in income the amount of his employer's health insurance plan contribution may have to pay the tax on this amount from what was previously "take home" pay if he cannot renegotiate his contract. This problem can best be solved by an effective date provision that would apply the new rules to compensation paid in taxable years beginning after a period of time to allow employers and employees to adjust to the new rules. Thus, the tax-free status of items paid by employers on the date of enactment would continue for a specified period, such as 3 years. Alternatively, the inclusion of these items of income could be phased in over such a period, including one-third after 1 year, two-thirds after 2 years, and the full amount after the third year. Special rules for military personnel could be devised to grandfather servicemen through their current enlistment or term of service. Earnings of a qualified pension plan allocable to the employee that are attributable to periods before this delayed effective date would not be included in the gross income of the employee. However, earnings attributable to periods after that date (as extended with respect to binding contracts) would be included in gross income as accrued. Generally, unemployment compensation, which would be included in taxable income under the proposal, would not represent a return of a tax-paid basis to the recipient, since the "premiums," or employer contributions, with respect to such compensation were not included in his gross income. Thus, the full amount of such compensation should be included in taxable income immediately after the general effective date. - 203 - Medical and Casualty Loss Deductions. Under the comprehensive income tax, certain nonbusiness expenditures, such as casualty losses, and medical and dental expenses, would cease being deductible. Generally, the repeal of the deductibility of these expenses could be effective immediately. If the medical expense deduction is replaced by a catastrophic insurance program, or some other program to achieve the same ends, repeal of the deduction should coincide with the effective date of the substitute program. Charitable Deductions. This provision should be phased in if the deductibility of charitable contributions is eliminated under the model comprehensive income tax. To the extent that direct public subsidies to the affected institutions do not replace the loss in private gifts from removal of the tax incentive for contributions, both employment in and services to beneficiaries of such institutions would decline greatly. A gradual phase-in would increase the extent to which employment losses occur through gradual attrition rather than layoffs and would aid in identifying the types of charitable recipients who might require greater direct public assistance when the deduction is completely ended. One possible method of phase-in would be to allow a declining fraction of contribution to be deductible in the first few years of the effective date. Other Items Previously Excluded. The inclusion in gross income of scholarships, fellowships, and means-tested cash and in-kind government grants would not appear to present any transition problems because, generally, the amounts of these items were not bargained for by the recipient and do not represent a return of a tax-paid basis. Treatment of Retirement Benefits. Under the comprehensive income tax, retirement benefits, including social security benefits and private pensions, will be included in the tax base, while contributions to private pension funds and to social security by both employees and employers will be exempted from any concurrent tax liability. A significant transition problem arises from this feature of the comprehensive income tax. In the absence of special transition rules, currently retired persons would be required to pay tax on the return of private pension contributions that had already been taxed. While the link between contributions and benefits is not so direct for social security, it still would be unfair to include social security benefits in the taxable income of persons who have been retired as of the effective date, again, because these taxpayers have paid tax - 204 - on the part of income represented by employee social security contributions throughout their working years. Thus, persons retired as of the effective date should not have to pay tax on private retirement benefits which represent a return of contribution or on social security benefits. On the other hand, benefits paid by qualified pension plans that allowed deductibility of post contributions, should remain fully taxable, as under present law. More complex provisions are required for retirement income of taxpayers who are in the middle of their working years as of the effective date. Such taxpayers will have been taxed on the employee portion of retirement contributions up to the effective date, but not afterwards. Thus, it seems fair that they should pay tax on a fraction of the retirement benefits which represent return of contribution, the fraction bearing some relation to the portion of the contributions that were excluded from taxable income. The general rule proposed is to include in the tax base a fraction of retirement income that represents return of contribution to an employee-funded pension plan. The fraction would depend on age at the effective date, ranging from 0 for taxpayers age 60 or over to 1 for taxpayers age 20 or under. A table could be provided in the tax form relating date of birth to the fraction of such income that is taxable. A similar treatment is proposed for social security benefits. Treatment of Gifts and Transfers at Death as Recognition Events. Under the proposal, gifts and transfers at death would be treated as recognition events. Thus, in general, the excess of the fair market value of the asset transferred over its adjusted basis in the hands of the donor or decedent would be included in the gross income of the donor or decedent. The portion of such gains attributable to the period before the effective date of any such recognition rule should be exempted. Provisions for such an exemption were made in the Tax Reform Act of 1976 in connection with the carryover basis at death rule. The gains deemed to have accrued after the effective date would be taxable on transfer at the same rates applying to other sources of income. TRANSITION TO A CASH FLOW TAX SYSTEM This section presents a proposal for transition from the current system to the model cash fXow tax proposed in chapter 4. The problems involved in a transition to the cash flow tax would be considerable, and all of the alternative methods considered have major shortcomings. Presentation of - 205 - this proposal includes discussion of administrative difficulties and some possible distributive inequities, and an explanation of why certain alternative plans were rejected. In summary, the proposed transition plan would maintain the present tax alongside the cash flovz tax for 10 years before total conversion to the cash flow tax. During the transition period, individuals would compute their tax liability under both systems and would be required to pay the higher of the two taxes. The corporate income tax would be retained for the interim and would be discontinued immediately at the end of the 10-year period. At that time, unrealized capital gains earned prior to full adoption of the cash flow tax would be "flushed" out of the system through a recognition date, at which point they would be taxed at the current capital gains rates. Payment of taxes on past capital gains could be deferred, at a low interest charge, to prevent forced liquidation of small businesses. The transition program outlined here would not fully realize the goals of transition presented below. It would, however, mitigate the redistribution of wealth that would result from immediate adoption of a cash flow tax and would simplify the tax system by eliminating, within a reasonable period of time, the need to keep the personal and business income tax records currently required. Goals of Transition The main objectives to be realized by the transition rules for the cash flow tax are: (1) prevention of immediate or long-term redistribution of economic welfare, and (2) simplicity and administrative ease. Although some changes in consumption opportunities would be inevitable in a tax change as major as the one proposed, the proper transition program should be able to minimize large redistributions among taxpayers in ability to consume immediately and in the future. In particular, this program should prevent heavy additional tax liabilities (in present-value terms) for any clearly identifiable group of taxpayers. For purposes of simplicity, transition rules should eliminate the present tax system and its recordkeeping requirements promptly and, to the extent possible, avoid measuring current accumulated wealth and any annual changes in individuals' total wealth Positions in the transition period, as well as afterward. After transition, the principal records for tax purposes - 206 - would consist only of cash flow transactions for business activities, net deposits and withdrawals in qualified accounts, the usual wage and salary data, and transfer payments. Distribution Issues Two distribution issues are important in a transition to the cash flow tax: (1) treatment of untaxed income before the effective date and (2) changes in the distribution of after-tax consumption. Equitable treatment of income untaxed before the effective date would require that an individual who had unrealized capital gains at the time of adoption of the new system be treated in the same way as the individual who realized the capital gains before the effective date. The practical problems involved in achieving this goal influence the specifics of the transition proposal discussed below. The treatment of past accumulated income that has been taxed poses a more difficult problem of equity. Because the cash flow tax is, in an important sense, equivalent to exempting income from capital from tax, as outlined in chapter 4, a higher tax rate on current wages not saved would be required to maintain the same tax revenue. Thus, the short-term effect of a cash flow tax wcruld be a higher after-tax rate of return from ownership of monetary or physical assets regarded as tax prepaid and a lower aftertax wage rate. The distributive consequences of this change could be modified if some or all of accumulated wealth were to be treated as if already held in qualified accounts; i.e., subject to tax upon withdrawal for consumption. If existing wealth were to be regarded as tax-prepaid under the new system, all future returns from such assets, as well as return of principal, would not be subject to tax. On the other hand, if existing wealth were to be regarded as receipts in the first year of the cash flow tax, an equally logical approach, consumption of principal would be taxed, though the present value of tax liability would not increase as assets earned accrued interest, as it would under an income tax. - 207 - Table 1 illustrates the tax treatment, under a comprehensive income tax and under the two alternative methods of transition to the cash flow tax, of consumption out of $100 of past accumulated assets for different times at which wealth is withdrawn for consumption. A tax rate of 50 percent is assumed, assessed on annual interest earnings in the case of an income tax. Table 1 Potential Consumption Out of Accumulated Wealth Under Different Tax Rules Initial Wealth = $100 Assets Accumulate at 10 Percent Per Year If Untaxed; 5 Percent Per Year If Taxed Cash Flow Tax; Years After Effective Date Income Tax Cash Flow Tax; Asset Tax-Prepaid Asset in Initial Receipts 0 $100 $100 $ 50 10 $163 $259 $130 20 $265 $673 $336 Under a comprehensive income tax, the asset could be withdrawn and consumed tax-free, but future accumulation would be taxed. 9/ Under the cash flow tax, with the asset defined as tax-prepaid, returns from the asset would be allowed to accumulate tax-free and could also be withdrawn and consumed tax-free. Under the cash flow tax, with the asset value initially included in the tax base, consumption from the asset would be taxed upon withdrawal, but the rate of accumulation of the asset would not be affected by the tax. A transition to a cash flow tax with assets initially defined as tax prepaid would increase the welfare of owners of assets. The after-tax consumption of these taxpayers would increase under the new system unless they consumed all of their wealth within the first year after the effective date, in which case consumption would be unchanged. If assets were initially included in the tax base, however, the a fter-tax consumption of owners of assets would decrease if they chose to consume a large portion of their wealth m the early years after the effective date. Inclusion of assets - 208 - in the base would increase after-tax consumption relative to an income tax for asset-holders who deferred consumption out of accumulated wealth for a long period. 10/ . As Table 1 illustrates, how past wealth is viewed would make a big difference in the present value of tax liabilities. Inclusion of accumulated assets in the tax base would be unfair to older persons who are about to consume out of accumulated wealth during the retirement period, if the income from which this wealth was accumulated had been subject to tax during their working years. On the other hand, tax-prepaid designation would greatly benefit all owners of monetary and physical assets by redistributing after-tax dollars from labor to capital. Although returns from assets would in effect be nontaxable under a fully operational cash flow tax, past accumulation of wealth would have occurred under a different tax system, where individuals did not anticipate a sharp rise in the after-tax return to capital. Thus, tax-prepaid treatment of capital assets for transition purposes may be viewed as inequitable. The distribution problem caused by defining existing capital assets as prepaid would be reduced over time. The increased incentive to savings provided by the cash flow tax should raise the rate of capital formation, increasing the amount of investment and eventually lowering before-tax returns to capital and raising before-tax wages. However, in the first few years after transition, higher tax rates on current wages would not be matched by a corresponding increase in before-tax wages. For certain types of assets, the appropriate rule for transition definition is clear. Under the present system, investments in owner-occupied houses and other consumer durables are treated very similarly to tax-prepaid investments, and they should be defined as prepaid assets for purposes of transition to a cash flow tax. The accrued value of employerfunded pension plans should be treated in the same manner as qualified accounts, because the contributions were exempt from tax under the old system and the receipts were fully taxable. Designation of past accumulated assets as tax-prepaid assets would be the easier transition to administer. There would be no need to measure existing wealth. Tax-prepaid assets could be freely converted to qualified assets to - 209 - enable the individual to average his tax base over time. An individual converting a tax-prepaid asset to a qualified asset would be able to take an immediate tax deduction, but would become liable for taxes upon withdrawal of principal and subsequent earnings from the qualified account. U 7 If assets were defined initially to be part of an individual's tax base, it would be necessary to valuate them on the effective date. Individuals would have an incentive to understate their initial wealth holdings. Assets not initially accounted for could be deposited in qualified accounts in subsequent years, enabling an individual to take a deduction against other receipts. A Preliminary Transition Proposal Considering the objectives of basic reform (equity, simplicity, efficiency), it seems best to define all assets initially in transition to the cash flow tax as prepaid assets. For a period of 10 years, the existing tax code would be maintained, with taxpayers filing returns for both tax systems and paying the higher of the two computed taxes. 12/ For most taxpayers, the cash flow tax would be higher. However, for persons with large amounts of income from assets relative to wages, the current tax would be probably higher. The corporate income tax would be retained throughout the transition period. Theoretically, stockholders paying the cash flow tax should receive their corporate earnings gro&s of corporate tax during the interim period. However, without full corporate integration, whereby all earnings would be attributed to individual stockholders, it would be practically impossible to determine what part of a corporation's earnings should be attributed to individuals paying the consumption tax and what part, to individuals paying tax under the old law. It is likely that ownership of corporate shares would be concentrated among individuals who would be subject to the current tax during the interim period. For reasons of simplicity, therefore, the corporate tax would be retained for the transition period and would be eliminated immediately afterward. All sales of corporate stock purchased before the beginning of the transition period by individuals paying under either tax base would be subject to a capital gains tax at the existing favorable rates. The reason for this - 210 - provision is that capital gains which were accrued but not realized before the interim period should be taxed as if they were income realized at the effective date. 13/ This is not administratively attractive, so for 10 years all capital gains would be taxed on realization, whichever tax base the individual was using. A recognition date would be required at the end of the transition period to account for all remaining untaxed capital gains. Under the cash flow tax, with assets defined as prepaid and no records of current and past corporate earnings and profits kept, it would be impossible to distinguish between distributions that were dividends out of current income and distributions that were return of accumulated capital. The dividends would not be subject to tax under the new law. Distributing past earnings would be a way of returning to the individual tax-free, the capital gains which had arisen prior to the adoption of the cash flow tax. To eliminate the need for permanent corporate records to capture this past income, it would be necessary to have a single day of recognition for past gains at the end of the transition period. However, it would be possible to develop a method of allowing the final capital gains tax assessed on the recognition date to be paid over a long period at a low interest rate, to avoid forced liquidation of small firms with few owners. The advantages of the transition proposal outlined here are the following: 1. It would enable all of the simplifying features of a cash flow tax to be in full operation after 10 years, including elimination of tax records required under the present code, but not under the cash flow tax. 2. It would allow consumption out of past accumulated earnings to be exactly the same as it would have been under the current tax during the first years after the effective date. 3. It would provide for appropriate and consistent taxation of income earned before the effective date. - 211 - 4. By eliminating taxes on returns earned after the effective date from past accumulated assets only on a gradual basis, it would mitigate the redistribution of wealth to current asset owners that would occur after immediate full adoption the cash flow tax. The major disadvantages of this transition program are that it would require a recognition date that would impose a large, one-time administrative cost on the system, and it would require some taxpayers to fill out two sets of tax forms for a period of 10 years, a temporary departure from the long-term goal of simplicity. Alternative Transition Plans One alternative plan would be to adopt the new tax system immediately, designating all assets as prepaid, without a recognition date to flush out past capital gains. Although this plan would be the simplest one, it would give too great an economic advantage to individuals with unrealized asset appreciation and would cause too large a transfer of future after-tax consumption to present asset owners. Another transition plan would be to adopt the cash flow tax immediately and designate all assets as receipts in the first year. This would require valuating all wealth on the effective date and imposing a one-time wealth tax. Such an approach would be harsh on older persons planning to live off accumulated wealth in the early years after the effective date. A complicated variation on tax-prepaid treatment of assets would be one under which, in exchange for the elimination of taxes on consumption of assets defined as ^ tax-prepaid, an initial wealth tax related to an individual s personal circumstances would be imposed. For example, the initial tax could be based on age and wealth, with higher rates for persons with more wealth and lower rates for older persons. 14/ Although it might provide a transition program that A approximates distributive a plan would third option would allowneutrality, three typessuch of assets: taxbe a significant departure from the goal of simplicity. Prepai id, as defined above; qualified, as defined above; and - 212 - a third type, which would treat assets as defined under the current system. In principle, it would be desirable for persons to be able to consume out of the third type of assets tax-free and to invest in prepaid and qualified assets only out of savings from current income. In effect, this plan would initiate cash flow taxation on current earnings only and would treat pre-effective date earnings exactly as they are treated under the current system, including the same treatment of post-effective date capital accumulation from pre-effective date wealth. This plan would be extremely difficult to administer. Not only would individuals have to keep books for three types of assets, but total annual wealth changes also would have to be computed, in order to arrive at a measure of annual consumption. (Valuation of unsold assets would not be a problem because even if too high a value were imputed, raising both measured wealth and saving, consumption would remain unchanged.) Treatment of corporate income under this system also would be complicated, because some investments in corporate stock would come from all three types of assets. Under this transition alternative, assets of the third type would be subject to a transfer tax and converted to prepaid assets at death. Eventually, these assets would disappear from the system, and the complete cash flow tax would be in operation. Alternatively, all assets of the third type could be designated prepaid after a fixed number of years. Although the three-asset plan has the advantage of treating owners of capital exactly as they would have been treated under the income tax, and would change the rules only for new wealth, 15/ its administrative complexity raises very severe problems. - 213 - Footnotes The exact change in the rate of taxation on income earned in corporations for different taxpayers will depend on the fraction of corporate income currently paid out in dividends, the current average holding period of assets before realizing capital gains, and the taxpayer's rate bracket. While the current corporate income tax does not distinguish among owners in different tax brackets, integration, which would attribute all corporate earnings to the separate owners, would tax all earnings from corporate capital at each owner's marginal tax rate. The taxpayer could avoid this problem by selling his shares before the effective date at the current lower capital gains rate and then buying them back. However, one other objective of transition rules, discussed in the next section, should be to avoid encouraging market transactions just prior to the effective date. For example, workers damaged by employment reductions in industries with increasing imports due to liberalized trade policies are eligible for trade adjustment assistance. Note that is is not clear just what is meant by an "existing asset" in this context. For example, a building is greatly affected by maintenance and improvement expenditures over time. Appropriate depreciation schedules are those that conform most closely to the actual rate of decline in asset values. Section 1231 property is generally certain property used in the taxpayer's trade or business. If gains exceed losses for a taxable year, the net gains from section 1231 property are taxed at capital gains rates; if losses from section 1231 property exceed gains, the net losses treated as ordinary losses. the charact In the character caseare of a subchapter S corporation, of net capital gains flows through to the shareholder. The character Lracter of tax-exemp tax-exempt interest does not. Expenditures made pursuant to binding contracts entered into before the effective date also should be grandtatnere - 214 - The income tax computation assumes that all returns to investment would be taxed as accrued at full rates. Thus, the annual percentage rate of after-tax interest under the income tax would be cut in half. Under the present law, taxation of capital gains is deferred until realization and then taxed at only one-half the regular rate. For example, if the asset is sold after 20 years, potential after-tax consumption would be $530, which is computed by multiplying the long-term capital gain of $573 by .75 (the taxpayer is assumed to be in the 50 percent bracket) and adding the return of basis. It should be noted, however, that, if the asset is corporate stock, profits are also subject to an annual corporate tax. Combining the effects of corporate and personal taxes, the income of the asset holders may be taxed under current law at either a higher or lower rate than the rate on wage and salary income, depending on assumptions about the incidence of taxes. For example, if the before-tax interest rate were 10 percent, wealth would quadruple in 15 years. With the 50-percent tax rate used in Table 1, wealth holders would be better off under the consumption tax, even if their assets were initially included in receipts if they deferred consumption out of wealth for at least 15 years, obtaining a deduction against receipts in the first year by placing the asset in a qualified account. A wealthy person could appear to "shelter" his current consumption by converting prepaid assets into qualified assets, deducting the deposits in qualified assets from current wage and other receipts. However, this practice would not reduce the present value of his tax base, because he would have to pay a tax on the principal and accumulated interest whenever the qualified asset It is possible for thatconsumption. only wealthy persons should be was withdrawn required to fill out a return for the current personal income tax. The main reason for retaining the current tax would be to tax returns from past accumulated wealth for an interim period of time to mitigate the inequitable distribution effects of a transition to - 215 - tax-prepaid treatment of assets. It is likely that only people with significant amounts of wealth would have a higher liability under the current tax. The requirement to file two income tax returns might be limited to taxpayers reporting an adjusted gross income above a certain minimum level (for example, $20,000 or more) in any of several years before the effective date. 13/ Technically speaking, individuals paying the cash flow tax during the interim period should not have to pay capital gains tax between the first day of the interim period and the time as asset is sold. One way to avoid this would be to adjust the basis upward to conform to interest that would have been earned on a typical investment after the beginning of the interim period. 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"Taxes in a Labor Supply Model with Joint Wage-Hours Determinations," Econometrica (May 1976). Samuelson, Paul A. "Theory of Optimal Taxation," unpublished, approximately 1952. Sandmo, Agnar, "A Note on the Structure of Optimal Taxation," American Economic Review (September 1974). Seltzer, Lawrence H. The Nature and Tax Treatment of Capital Gains and Losses. New York: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1951. Seltzer, Lawrence H. The Personal Exemptions in the Income Tax. New York: Columbia University Press for the National Bureau of Economic Research, 1968. Sheshinski, E. "Income Taxation and Capital Accumulation," Quarterly Journal of Economics (forthcoming). Sheshinski, E. "On the Theory of Optimal Income Taxation," Journal of Public Economics (forthcoming). Shoup, Carl S. Federal Estate and Gift Taxes. Washington, D.C: The Brookings Institution, 1966. Simons Henry C Federal Tax Reform. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. - 227 - Simons, Henry C. Personal Income Taxation. University of Chicago Press, 1938. Chicago: Shanahan, Eileen (ed.). Indexing and Inflation. Washington, D.C: American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, 1974. Slitor, Richard E. The Federal Income Tax in Relation to Housing. National Commission on Urban Problems, Research Report No. 5. Washington, D.C: Government Printing Office, 1968. Smith, Dan Throop. Federal Tax Reform: The Issues and a Program. New York! McGraw-Hill, 1961. Stern, Philip M. The Great Treasury Raid. New York: Random House, 1962. Stern, Philip M. The Rape of the Taxpayer. New York: Random House, 1973. Sullivan, Clara K. The Tax on Value Added. New York: Columbia University Press, 1965. Surrey, Stanley S. "Complexity and the Internal Revenue Code: The Problem of the Management of Tax Detail," Law and Contemporary Problems, Vol. 34, (1969). pp. 673-691. Surrey, Stanley S. and others. Pathways to Tax Reform: The Concept of Tax Expenditures. Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1973. 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Incentive Value of the Investment Credit, the Guideline Depreciation System, and the Corporate Rate Reduction. Washington, D.C: Machinery and Allied Products Institute, 1964. Terbrorgh, George W. Realistic Depreciation Policy. Washington, D.C: Machinery and Allied Products Institute, 1954. Tobin, James and others. "Is a Negative Income Tax Practical?" Yale Law Journal, Vol. 77 (November 1967). (Reprinted as Brookings Reprint 142). Ture, Norman B. "The Costs of Income Tax Litigation," National Tax Association Proceedings, Vol. 49 (1956). pp. 51-52. U.S. Congress, Conference Report. Tax Reform Act of 1969, House Report 91-782. Washington, D.C: Government Printing Office, 1969. U.S. Congress, House, Committee on Ways and Means. General Tax Reform, panel discussions, 11 parts. Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, 1973. U.S. Congress, House Committee on Ways and Means. Income Tax Revision, panel discussions. Washington, D.C.I Government Printing Office, 1960. 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U.S. Congress, Senate, Committee on Finance. Tax Reform Act of 1969, Senate Report 91-552. Washington, D.C: Government Printing Office, 1969. U.S. Department of the Treasury. The Postwar Corporation Tax Structure. Washington, D.C: Government Printing Office, 1956. U.S. Department of the Treasury. Treasury Department Report on Private Foundations, February 2, 1965. Senate Finance Committee Print. 89th Congress, 1st Session, 1965. Vickery, William. Agenda for Progressive Taxation. New York: Ronald Press, 1947. Vickery, William. "One Economist's View of Philanthropy," in Dickenson, Frank (ed.). Philanthropy and Public Policy, 1962. pp. 31-56. Vickery, William. "Private Philanthropy and Public Finance," mimeo, Columbia University, 1973. - 230 - Weidenbaum, Murray L. "How to Make Decisions on Priorities," in Changing National Priorities, hearings before the Joint Economic Committee, Subcommittee on Economy in Government, part 1. Washington, D.C: Government Printing Office, 1970. Willis, Arthur B. (ed.). Studies in Substantive Tax Reform. Chicago: American Bar Foundation and Southern Methodist University, 1969. Willis, A. "A New Approach to Substantive Tax Reform: A Lawyer's Views," University of Southern California Tax Institute, Vol. 20 (1969). p. 845. Wright, C "Saving and the Rate of Interest," in Harberger, Arnold C. and Martin J. Bailey (eds.). The Taxation of Income from Capital. Washington, D.C: The Brookings Institution, 1969. •fr U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1977—O227-320 D E P A R T M E N T OF T H E TREASURY WASHINGTON, D.C. 20220 P O S T A G E A N D FEES PAID DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY OFFICIAL BUSINESS P E N A L T Y F O R PRIVATE USE $300 TREAS-551 FIRST CLASS FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. January 18, 1977 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $6,100 million, or thereabouts, to be issued January 27, 1977, as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) in the amount of $2,500 million, or thereabouts, representing an additional amount of bills dated October 28, 1976, and to mature April 28, 1977 (CUSIP No. 912793 F8 4), originally issued in the amount of $ 3,501 million, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills, for $3,600 million, or thereabouts, to be dated January 27, 1977 and to mature July 28, 1977 (CUSIP No. 912793 J3 1). The bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing January 27, 1977, outstanding in the amount of $6,110 million, of which Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks, for themselves and as agents of foreign and international monetary authorities, presently hold $2,378 million. These accounts may exchange bills they hold for the bills now being offered at the average prices of accepted tenders. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form in denominations of $10,000, $15,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value), and in book-entry form to designated bidders. Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches and from individuals at the Bureau of the Public Debt, Washington, D. C. 20226, up to 1:30 p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, January 24, 1977. Each tender must be for a minimum of $10,000. in multiples of $5,000. Tenders over $10,000 must be In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e.g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government WS-1267 (OVER) -2securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions with respect to Government securities and borrowings thereon may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting competitive tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500,000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch or at the Bureau of the Public Debt on January 27, 1977, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing January 27, 1977. tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash and exchange Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Under Sections 454(b) and 1221(5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and the bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder must include in his Federal income tax return, as ordinary gain or loss, the difference between the price paid for the bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made. Department of the Treasury Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice, prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or from the Bureau of the Public Debt. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Contact: J.C. Davenport Extension 29 51 January 18, 19 77 TREASURY ANNOUNCES TENTATIVE REVOCATION OF DUMPING FINDING ON TUNERS (OF THE TYPE USED IN CONSUMER ELECTRONIC PRODUCTS) FROM JAPAN Under Secretary of the Treasury Jerry Thomas announced today a tentative determination under the Antidumping Act to revoke a finding of dumping in the case of tuners (of the type used in consumer electronic products) from Japan. Notice of this decision will appear in the Federal Register of January 19, 19 77. A finding of dumping with respect to tuners from Japan was published in the Federal Register of December 12, 19 70. The finding had previously been modified to exclude therefrom five Japanese companies. The Federal Register notice of January 17, 19 77 will state in part that all of the firms for which the finding has been modified, together with Alps Electric Co., Ltd., and Waller Japan K.K., accounted for approximately 9 6.4 percent of all the subject tuners sold to the United States during the years 19 70 through 19 75 and that only de minimis dumping duties have been assessed on shipments of tuners from Japanese firms as a whole during a two-year period since the finding of dumping. In addition, written assurances have been received from all of the firms indicated above that future sales of tuners to the United States will not be made at less than fair value. Imports of tuners from Japan during calendar year 19 75 were valued at roughly $4 million. * * * WS-1268 Contact: Stephen Dicke 202-566-8277 Gabriel Rudney 202-566-5911 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE January 18, 1977 TREASURY SECRETARY SIMON SENDS PRIVATE PHILANTHROPY PROPOSALS TO CONGRESS TO IMPROVE PUBLIC ACCOUNTABILITY AND PREVENT ABUSES Secretary of the Treasury William E. Simon On January 14, 1977 sent proposals for legislation on private philanthropy to the Chairmen and ranking minority members of the Congressional tax committees. The Treasury proposals are intended to assure public confidence and support of philanthropic institutions and thereby sustain the vital role of private philanthropy in our society. The proposals would increase the public accountability of philanthropic institutions and improve the Federal tax treatment of charitable contributions. In transmitting the proposals to the Congress, the Secretary stated: "I know that you share my concern for improving public accountability and prevention of abuse in private philanthropy through sound legislation and I respectfully urge consideration of the proposals at the earliest possible date." The Treasury proposals were stimulated by recommendations of the well-known privately-established Filer Commission (The Commission on Private Philanthropy and Public Needs) which were submitted to the Congress and the Ford Administration in December 1975. The Treasury studied these recommendations as well as recommendations of other groups and individuals. WS-1269 -2Also, in response to a Filer Commission recommendation, Secretary Simon announced on January 6 the appointment of the Treasury Advisory Committee on Private Philanthropy and Public Needs. The 25 members are concerned citizens with knowledge and interest in the vitality of the philanthropic sector. The Chairman is C. Douglas Dillon, former Treasury Secretary. The Advisory Committee met on January 6 to organize. ana has not had the opportunity to examine the Treasury proposals. The Committee will however consider the proposals in its work with the next Administration. A summary of the Treasury proposals and a technical explanation of each proposal are attached. oOo Attachment TREASURY PROPOSALS TO IMPROVE PRIVATE PHILANTHROPY INTRODUCTION Private philanthropy plays an important role in our society today, complementing the efforts of government to meet our social and individual needs. Private philanthropy is uniquely capable of responding quickly and flexibly to fill new needs as they arise and of experimenting with new and untested methods in meeting existing needs. However, the lack of adequate accountability to the public and evidence of abuse has created a growing public concern about the effectiveness of philanthropic institutions. Government officials are accountable at the polls and businessmen are accountable in the marketplace, but philanthropic organizations face no such test of their efforts, and their accountability to State officials burdened with other responsibilities has often been criticized as inadequate. The result has been the gradual erosion of public confidence in some private philanthropic institutions and of the public's willingness to contribute money, time and effort to them. This erosion of confidence and support, when coupled with financial difficulties that these institutions have been facing in recent years as a result of spiraling inflation, could lead to a severe crisis for private philanthropy generally and threaten its important role in our society. To avoid this crisis and to restore public confidence and support to these institutions, proposals have been made to increase their public accountability, to minimize abuses, and to improve the Federal tax treatment of charitable contributions. During the past year the Treasury Department has studied the proposals of the privately-est.bli^ed -2Commission on Private Philanthropy and Pdblic Needs (the Filer Commission), as well as proposals of other groups and commentators. As a result of this study, the Treasury D3partment is recommending to the Congress that it consider the following legislative proposals at the earliest feasible date. SUMMARY OF PROPOSALS L Improving the Philanthropic Process A. Accountability 1. Annual Report to the Public In general, every private foundation, every public charity* that makes grants, and every public charity or social welfare organization with annual gross receipts of at least $100,000 would be required to make available to the public an annual report on its finances, programs and priorities. In addition, a business organization making annual charitable contributions of at least $100, 000 would be required to make available to the public an annual report on its charitable giving programs. 2. Regulation of Interstate Solicitation Interstate solicitation would be subject to Federal legislation that would be administered by the Treasury Department. Disclosure would have to be made with respect to certain financial information about the soliciting organization, particularly with respect to its fund-raising and administrative costs. *For purposes of these proposals a public charity is a philanthropic organization (an organization exempt under section 501(c)(3)) that is not a private foundation. -3 B. Extending Private Foundation Restrictions to Public Charities 1. Self-Dealing The prohibitions and excise taxes on self-dealing transactions with private foundations would be extended to public charities. * However* the Secretary of the Treasury would be provided with regulatory authority to provide exceptions to strict prohibitions for classes of transactions, provided that they meet an arms-length standard. 2. Minimum Payout Public charities* and private operating foundations would be required to spend or distribute annually for charitable purposes at least 3-1/3 percent of their noncharitable assets. 3. Jeopardy Investments The prohibitions and excise taxes on investments that jeopardize the carrying out of the exempt purposes of a private foundation would be extended to public charities.* In addition, the tax would be imposed on any public charity (or private foundation) that retained an investment after it knew or should have known that it had become a jeopardy investment. 4. Taxable Expenditures The prohibitions and excise taxes on proscribed expenditures made by private foundations would be extended to public charities.* However, these provisions would not apply in the case of lobbying expenditures by public charities that elect under current law to be subject to certain limits on those expenditures. In addition, public Consideration should be given to exempting very small public chanties from these four restrictions. -4 charities would not be required to obtain prior approval of the Internal Revenue Service for certain grants to individuals, as private foundations must do. C. Enforcement Procedures 1. Alternative Sanctions United States District Courts would be invested with equity powers sufficient to remedy any violation of the substantive rules concerning philanthropic organizations in such a way as to minimize any financial detriment to the organization and to preserve its asset for its philanthropic purposes. 2. Audit Tax The rate of tax on the net investment income of private foundations would be no more than 2 percent. If many of the restrictions on private foundations are extended to public charities, consideration should be given to repealing the tax altogether. Changes Affecting the Charitable Deduction A. Minimum Tax The charitable income tax deduction would be deleted as a tax preference item for minimum tax purposes. B. Contributions for Foreign Philanthropic Purposes The charitable deduction for income, estate and gift tax purposes would be made uniform in that no deduction would be allowed unless the contribution was made to an organization which was subject to the laws of the United States and which had full control and discreti as to where the contribution was to be distributed or spent. - 5C. Profiting from the Charitable Deduction The charitable income tax deduction would be reduced to the extent necessary to prevent a high-bracket taxpayer with greatly appreciated property from obtaining a financial gain by contributing such property (as opposed to selling it). TECHNICAL EXPLANATION I. Improving the Philanthropic Process A. Accountability 1. Annual Reports a. Present law Under present law, the only philanthropic organizations required to file annual reports for public inspection are private foundations having at least $5, 000 worth of assets. The only source of information regarding a public charity available for public inspection is its annual return, and that lacks much of the information contained in the annual reports required of private foundations. b. Treasury proposal (1) General description. Every private foundation with at least $5, 000 worth of assets, and every public charity (other than a church* or an integrated auxiliary thereof) or social welfare organization which has annual gross receiptsof at least $100,000 or which makes grants annually of more than a specified minimal amount, would be required to make available to the public, and *For purposes of these proposals, the term "church" includes a convention or association of churches. -6 file with the Internal Revenue Service, an annual report regarding its finances, programs and priorities. In addition, any business organization that makes annual charitable contributions of at least $100, 000 would be required to make available and file an annual report on its charitable giving programs. This report would be supplied by the organization upon request, at or below cost, during the year following the date it is filed with the Service. (2) Detailed description. (a) Organizations Affected. The new reporting requirements would replace the current requirements for private foundations with at least $5,000 worth of assets. In addition, they would apply to every public charity and social welfare organization (exempt under section 501(c)(3) or section 501(c)(4), other than a church or an integrated auxiliary thereof), if it makes total grants of more than a specified minimal amount or it has gross receipts of at least $100,000 for the immediately preceding year (or as an annual average for the five preceding years). The reporting requirements would also apply to business corporations, partnerships and trusts whose annual contributions, together with the amount of direct and indirect expenses attributable to those contributions, totaled at least $100, 000 for the preceding year (or as an annual average for the five preceding years). In determining the amount of gross receipts of a philanthropic organization for any year, the principles in the regulations which now apply in computing gross receipts for purposes of the exempttion from the current annual return filing requirement (section 6033) - 7would apply. In determining the $100, 000 contribution figure for a taxable corporation, amounts contributed by such a corporation to its company foundation would not be included if the company foundation files an annual report under these provisions. (b) Contents of report. The Secretary of the Treasury would be provided with regulatory authority to prescribe the contents of the annual report. It is expected that the regulations would require that the report be written in language clearly understandable to a layman and include the following information: a description of the organization's program and priorities; an explanation of the criteria that are taken into account in accepting or rejecting requests for funds, products or services; and financial information, including a statement of income, a statement of expenditures (including fundraising and administrative expenditures), and a balance sheet. It is also expected that the regulations would require that, in discussing the criteria which are applied in awarding and rejecting grants, the report would be specific enough so that a prospective applicant could determine the general policies and circumstances under which grants are awarded or rejected. However, the annual report would not be required to disclose the internal decision-making processes of the organization, particularly with respect to individual grant applications. In the case of a business organization, the information required would be limited to the pertinent aspects of its charitable giving program. -8 (c) S u m m a r y Annual Report. In addition to an annual report, organizations with annual gross receipts of $100,000 or more would be required to make available to the public a s u m m a r y annual report that is in shorter form and in less detail than the annual report. The Secretary of the Treasury would also be provided with regulatory authority to allow grant-making public charities with annual gross receipts of less than $100, 000 to prepare a summary annual report in place of, rather than in addition to, the basic annual report. (d) Availability of the Annual Report. Each organization required to file an annual report (or s u m m a r y report) with the Service would be required to supply the report, or any portion thereof, at or below reproduction cost to any person within 60 days after a request for such report is made, if the request is made within one year from the date such report is filed with the Service. If the organization does not respond to a request for information within 60 days, or if the request is made after one year from the filing date, the person requesting the information m a y then seek it from the Service. The Service would not be required to respond to a request within any definite period of time. (e) Sanctions. Penalties similar to those imposed for failure to file information returns (section 6652(d)) would be imposed on an organization for failure to file an annual report with the Service or to provide the report promptly to a person requesting it, unless any such failure is due to reasonable cause. Since the Service m a y not be made aware of a failure to provide information in response - 9 to a request from the public, consideration should be given to the type of remedy that should be afforded to a person requesting the report when it is not provided on time. 2. Regulation of Interstate Solicitation a. Present Law There is no supervision or monitoring of interstate solicitation by the Federal Government, and the State laws affecting it vary considerably, making it easy, particularly for large fund-raising drives, to circumvent tough enforcement by any one State. b. Treasury proposal Interstate solicitation would be subject to Federal legislation administered by the Treasury Department. Disclosure would have to be made with respect to certain financial information about the soliciting organization, particularly with respect to its fund-raising and administrative costs. The annual reports filed with the Internal Revenue Service would allow it to check such disclosures readily. The Treasury Department recommends that Congress conduct hearings on the appropriate methods for regulating such solicitation, with emphasis on the following issues: 1. The extent of financial data concerning the soliciting organization that must be supplied with the solicitation material; 2. The need for administrative review of solicitation material prior to dissemination (as opposed to relying solely on criminal and equitable sanctions for misleading or incomplete material); -10 3. The appropriate method for regulating oral solicitations (e. g., by telephone or television) and the extent of disclosure required for them; 4. The need for limitations on fund-raising and administrative costs; and 5. The pre-emption of varying State reporting requirements for interstate solicitations, with a uniform Federal report to be filed with all requesting States. Extending Private Foundation Restrictions to Public Charities 1. Self-Dealing a. Present law Certain "self-dealing" transactions between a private foundation and any of its "disqualified persons" (basically substantial contribu tors, foundation managers and related persons) are subject to a twotier Federal excise tax. Some of these transactions are subject to such a tax whether or not they meet an arms-length standard, and others are subject to tax only if they violate such a standard. The initial tax imposed on the disqualified person is 5 percent per annum of the amount involved (until corrected). He is also subjec to an additional tax of 200 percent of the amount involved, if the tr action is not corrected within a specified period . There are similar, but smaller, excise taxes imposed on a foundation manager who knowingly participates in such a self-dealing transaction (withou reasonable cause) or refuses to agree to any part of the necessary correction. No similar sanctions are imposed in the case of a self-dealing transaction with a public charity, although it may lose its tax-exemp status for failing to operate exclusively for charitable purposes. -11 Under State law there are limited restrictions on such transactions, generally requiring them to meet an arms-length standard. b. Treasury proposal Since violations of an arms-length standard are often difficult to prove, and the revocation of an organization's exempt status is usually too severe a sanction for non-repetitative violations, the Treasury Department proposes to extend the self-dealing prohibitions and excise taxes to transactions involving public charities (other than churches and their integrated auxiliaries). As in the case of private foundations, the general rule would be a flat prohibition against the proscribed transactions, with certain transactions being allowed if they meet an arms-length standard. However, because of the greater variety in the types of organizations, disqualified persons and transactions that would be affected by such an extension of the flat prohibitions, and the greater potential need for administrative flexibility in providing relief from the unforeseen consequences of such an extension, the Secretary of the Treasury would be provided with regulatory authority to provide additional arms-length exceptions to the statutory prohibitions. Such authority should not be authority to promulgate individual exemptions, but merely regulatory authority to provide exceptions for various classes of transactions. Such exceptions would have to be found to be both administratively feasible and beneficial to, as well as protective of, the interests of the public charity. * *Jn addition, as a technical point, consideration should be given to changing the amount involved for a prohibited loan from the amoun of interest to the full amount of the loan, since the latter is a measure of the loss that the organization m a y face if the disqualified person has difficulty repaying the loan. - 12 - 2. Minimum Payout a. Present law Under present law, a private nonoperating foundation is subject to a two-tier excise tax if it does not distribute for philanthropic purposes at least 5 percent of its noncharitable assets (generally investment assets), or its adjusted net income, whichever is greater, in the year following the close of its accounting period. For new foundations, there are special liberal rules that allow a set-aside for up to 5 years to qualify as a current distribution under certain circumstances. Private operating foundations are not subject to this minimum payout requirement, but to qualify for operating status, the foundation must expend at least 85 percent of its adjusted net income directly in the active conduct of its exempt purposes, and must satisfy one of three alternative tests. The alternative tests require the foundation to expend annually 3-1/3 percent of its noncharitable assets directly in such exempt activities, to devote at least 65 percent of its assets directly to such exempt activities, or to receive at least 85 percent of its support from the general public and five or more exempt organizations. Public charities are not subject to any similar requirements. b. Treasury Proposal Every public charity (other than churches and their integrated auxiliaries) and every private operating foundation would be required to make qualifying distributions of an amount that is not less than -13 3-1/3 percent of its noncharitable assets, in the year following the close of its accounting period. Any excess of its adjusted net income over such minimum amount would not be subject to the payout requirement. Generally, the rules applicable to private nonoperating foundations for determining the minimum amount of noncharitable assets, the sources of distribution, and what constitutes a qualifying distribution would be applied to public charities and private operating foundations. For example, qualifying distributions would include administrative expenses incurred in the direct conduct of the organization's exempt activities and the cost of acquiring and repairing buildings and other facilities used in such activities. However, to prevent public charities and private operating foundations from avoiding the payout rules by distributing assets back and forth among one another, the distribution by any such organization to another from which it received (directly or indirectly) a contribution in the 5 preceding years would not count as a qualifying distribution. Such a distribution would also increase the recipient's minimum distributable amount* for the year of receipt, to the extent that it effectively repaid a qualifying distribution made by the recipient during the preceding 5-year period. •Current law treats the repayment of any part of a qualifying distribution of a private nonoperating foundation as merely an increase in its adjusted net income. This rule would be ?h.anSed "£^ repayment would increase the foundation's m i n i m u m distributable amount. -14 The minimum payout for new organizations or organizations whose endowment suddenly increased many times over should be graduated to 3-1/3 percent (or 5 percent for private nonoperating foundations) over a number of years, e.g., five. Alternatively, there could be liberal set-aside rules that would allow, for example, grants to be paid out over several years to allow the granting organization to monitor how they are used. 3. Jeopardy Investments a. Present law Private foundations and their managers are subject to a two- tier excise tax when they make investments (other than programrelated investments) that jeopardize the carrying out of a foundation^ exempt purposes. No such tax is imposed if the investment is not initially a jeopardy investment, but later becomes one and is retained by the private foundation. Nor is an excise tax imposed in the case of a jeopardy investment made or retained by a public charity. However, in both of these latter cases, the trustees or managers of the charity m a y be subject to fiduciary liability for such investment under State law. b. Treasury proposal The tax for making a jeopardy investment would be ex- tended to public charities (other than churches and their integrated auxiliaries). In addition, the tax would be imposed on any public charity or private foundation (and its managers) which did not dispose of a non-program-related investment within a reasonable period of - 15 time after it learned, or should have known, that the investment had become a jeopardy investment, or was in fact a jeopardy investment at the time of its receipt by the organization, e.g., as a charitable contribution. 4C Taxable Expenditures a. Present law Under present law, private foundations and their managers who make certain proscribed expenditures or distributions are subject to a two-tier excise tax on the amount of such expenditures or distributions. These "taxable expenditure" provisions do not apply to public charitiesc Thus, the only sanction generally available for similar expenditures by these organizations, e.g., for noncharitable purposes, is loss of their tax-exempt status. Certain public charities, however, may elect to become subject to specified limits on their lobbying expenditures. An excise tax is imposed on minor violations of these limits, while loss of exemption is reserved for sustained excessive violations. In addition, a private foundation is required to take certain steps to ensure that the recipient of any of its grants is spending the grant properly if the recipient is not a public charitye This expenditure oversight requirement applies to a grant from one private foundation to another, even though the.latter is also subject to the taxable expenditure provisions. -16 b. Treasur}^ proposal In general, the taxable expenditure rules for private foundations would be extended to all public charities (other than churches and their integrated auxiliaries). A public charity, however, would not be required to obtain prior Service approval of grants to individuals for travel, study or similar purposes, as private foundations must do. In addition, in the case of a public charity electing to be subjec to the specific limits on lobbying expenditures, sanctions for violations of those limits would be limited to those imposed under present law. At the same time, the expenditure oversight rules for both private foundations and public charities would be limited to cases where the recipient of a grant is not itself subject to the taxable expenditure rules. This would eliminate the present administrative burden that discourages grants from one private foundation to another (in favor of grants to public charities). - 17 Enforcement Procedures 1. Alternative Sanctions a. Present law Under present law, the only sanction for violation of any of the statutory requirements imposed upon public charities is loss of exemption. The consequences of such a loss are severe; the charity will be unable to receive charitable contributions and its net income (if any) will be subject to tax. Private foundations on the other hand, are subject to two-tier excise taxes for certain violations, as described above,. Even these sanctions may be severe, particularly the second-tier tax for failure to correct. The foundation and its charitable beneficiaries may be deprived not only of the funds expended in furtherance of the violation, but also of the funds used to pay the excise tax. b. Treasury proposal (1) General description. In addition to having the authority to impose excise taxes on public and private charities as described abo the United States District Courts would be invested with a set of eq powers sufficient to remedy any violation of the substantive rules concerning philanthropic organizations in such a way as to minimize any financial detriment to the organization and to preserve its assets for its philanthropic purposes. - 18 (2) Detailed description. (a) Equity powers. United States District Courts would be invested with (1) equity powers (including, but not limited to, power to rescind transactions, surcharge trustees and order accountings) to remedy any detriment to a philanthropic organization resulting from any violation of the substantive rules, and (2) equity powers (including, but not limited to, power to substitute trustees, divest assets, enjoin activities and appoint receivers) to ensure that the organization^ assets are preserved for philanthropic purposes and that violations of the substantive rules will not occur in the futuree For example^ the purchase of securities owned by a public charity in a self-dealing transaction could be rescinded if the market value of the assets had increased. If the securities had first increased and then declined, the trustees could be surcharged for depriving the charity of the opportunity to dispose of the assets at a higher price. If the value of the securities declined immediately after the self-dealing transaction, the appropriate remedy might be to do nothing under the equity power. The mandatory specific sanctions would apply regardless of the action or non-action under the equity powers. Thus, even if no remedies were necessary to protect the charity or preserve its assets for charitable purposes, the imposition of the applicable firsttier excise taxes would be mandatory. However, the Secretary of the Treasury could be given authority to waive the first-tier taxunder extenuating circumstances. - 19(b) Judicial proceedings. Upon institution of an equity action by the Government, power to review excise taxes would be vested exclusively in the District Court. Thus, any action to review excise taxes pending in the Tax Court or Court of Claims would be terminated and be made part of the District Court equity action. If equity action is necessary, the philanthropic organization and all persons against whom remedies or sanctions are sought would be named as defendants. The extent to which the organization and private persons could all be joined in one suit would depend upon the general rules of venue under the Judicial Code of the United State The equity action would spell out the particular specific sanctions and equitable remedies sought against each defendant. Any party's right to a jury trial would be determined under existing law, but the determination of the specific sanctions and appropriate equitable remedies would be determined exclusively by the Court. Thus, for example, any questions of fact concerning the persons who knowingly authorized the organization to engage in a selfdealing transaction could be determined by a jury, in the discretion of the Court; however, the review of the excise taxes and appropriate equitable relief would be determined exclusively by the Court. (c) Correlation with State authorities. In the event that appropriate State authorities institute action against a philanthropic organization or individuals based upon acts which constitute a violati of substantive rules of law applicable to such an organization, the - 20 " United States District Court before w h o m the federal civil action is instituted or was pending would be required to defer action on any equitable relief for protection of the organization or preservation of its assets for its philanthropic purposes until conclusion of the State court action. At the conclusion of the State court action, the District Court could consider the State action adequate or provide further equitable relief, consistent with the State action, as the case warrants. However, no action by a State court would defer or abate the imposition of the initial Federal excise taxes for the violations.1 Thus, for example, the institution of a State court action based upon a self-dealing transaction would result in a deferral of an}' action by the federal court to rescind the transaction. However, the review of the first-tier Federal excise taxes imposed for the specific violation would not be deferred. In any case where the appropriate sanction or equitable remedy requires one or more distributions to other philanthropic organizations, the governing body of the distributing organization would be given the opportunity to select the appropriate recipients. If the governing body failed to select any such recipients, the appropriate State authorities for supervision of charitable trusts and corporations would be asked to make the choice, with final authority in the District Court in the absence of selection by the distributing organization or State authorities,. - 21 Upon loss of exemption by a charity for any reason, the invocatior of equity powers to insure that the charity's assets are preserved for charitable purposes would be mandatory. Tne specific form of the remedy to provide such insurance would be up to the District Court. 2. Audit Tax a. Present law Under present law, private foundations are subject to an excise tax of 4 percent on their net investment income. This tax is designed in part to cover the costs of auditing all exempt organizations, but it produces more than twice the revenue needed to cover such costs. Other exempt organizations are not subject to any such tax. b. Treasury proposal The rate of tax imposed on the net investment income of private foundations would be no more than 2 percent. In addition, if many of the private foundation restrictions were extended to public charities, consideration should be given to repealing the tax altogether. * There would be little justification for imposing this tax only on private foundations, and not on other philanthropic organizations, or other exempt organizations, as well. Extending this tax to such other organizations, however, *Such a repeal should not, however, result in a reduction of amounts appropriated under section 1052 of the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 to support the operation of the Office of Employee Plans and Exempt Organizations of the Internal Revenue Service. - 22 would raise serious questions as to (1) whether the net investment income of such organizations is the appropriate tax base for such a tax (and if not, what should it be), (2) what the rate of tax shou and (3) whether the small amount of revenue collected warrants the imposition of such a tax. Changes Affecting the Charitable Deduction A. Minimum Tax 1. Present law Under the Tax Reform Act of 1976, the charitable deduction is made an item of tax preference subject to the minimum tax to the extent that it, along with the individual taxpayers other itemized deductions (except medical and casualty loss deductions), exceeds 60 percent of the taxpayer's adjusted gross income. This will have the effect of reducing contributions to many philanthropic organizations that already face financial difficulties. 2. Treasury proposal The charitable deduction would be eliminated as an item of tax preference. B. Contributions for Foreign Philanthropic Purposes 1. Present law Under present law, the criteria for the allowance of a deduction in the case of contributions made for foreign philanthropic purposes vary considerably, depending on whether the deduction is for Federal income, estate or gift tax purposes and, particularly in the case of income tax, on whether the donor is an individual, corporation, trus or estate. For example, courts have allowed a charitable deduction - 23 for estate tax purposes even in the case of contributions made to a foreign government or organization, so long as the contribution is to be used only for philanthropic purposes. On the other hand, for income tax purposes a charitable deduction is never allowable to a corporation for a contribution made for foreign philanthropic purposes, unless the recipient is a corporation (not some other entity) created under the laws of the United States. 2. Treasury proposal To minimize circumvention of the requirements placed on philanthropic organizations to receive and distribute tax-deductible contributions, no charitable deduction would be allowed for income, estate or gift tax purposes unless the contribution is made to an organization which is created under the laws of the United States and which has full control and discretion as to where the contribution is to be distributed or spent. This will subject the expenditure or initial distribution of such contribution to the scrutiny and jurisdiction of the Internal Revenue Service and the Federal courts. C. Profiting from the Charitable Deduction 1. Present law Under present law, a taxpayer in the high income tax brackets can, with certain largely appreciated capital assets, obtain a greater after-tax benefit from contributing the property to charity than from selling the property. This anomaly results from the fact that, with respect to a charitable contribution of such an asset, a Federal income tax deduction is allowable for the appreciation -24 in such asset (as well as for its basis), even though such appreciation is never taken into income and subject to tax. Because of the taxpayer's high bracket, his tax savings from the charitable deduction is greater than the after-tax proceeds that he could obtain from selling the property. For example, assume that a taxpayer in the 70 percent bracket has stock with a basis of $1. 000 but a fair market value of $15, 000. Assume further that if he sells the stock, the effective tax rate on his capital gain will be 35 percent (this assumes that he takes the 5 0 % deduction for capital gains and is not subject to the minimum tax). His after-tax proceeds from such a sale would be $10,100 ($15,000 - 3 5 % (14,000)). On the other hand, if he contributes the stock to a public charity, he would be entitled to a charitable deduction for the full $15, 000, even though none of the $14, 000 appreciation is ever included in his income and subject to the capital gains tax. Since he is in the 70 percent backet, such a deduction would save him $10, 500 in Federal income tax (70% of $15, 000), which is $400 more than he would have left over (after taxes) if he had sold the property. This $400 can be viewed as his "tax profit'1 from contributing the property. 2. Treasury proposal While the Federal income tax law should continue to encourage taxpayers to contribute appreciated capital assets to charity, it should not allow high bracket taxpayers to "profit" from such a contribution more than if they had sold the property outright. -25 Accordingly, the Treasury Department proposes that the Federal income tax deduction for such a charitable contribution be reduced by a sufficient amount to'eliminate such a "tax profit. ff To avoid changing the statutory provisions every time the tax rates change, the Secretary of the Treasury would be given regulatory authority to compute the amount of this reduction. The proposal would not apply to minimal amounts of untaxed appreciation, e.g., $5, 000 or less. FOR RELEASE AT 6 P.M. January 18, 1977 CARTER ANNOUNCES THREE APPOINTMENTS IN TREASURY DEPARTMENT President-elect Jimmy Carter and Secretary-designate of the Treasury Mike Blumenthal today announced that the President-elect is nominating three sub-cabinet officials for appointment in the Treasury Department. Nominated as Deputy Secretary of the Treasury is Kenneth S. Axelson, now Senior Vice President and Director of J.C. Penney Company, Inc. Mr. Axelson will become the second ranking official of the Treasury Department. He was previously Deputy Mayor for Finance of the City of New York on loan from J.C. Penney Company for one year. Mr. Anthony M. Solomon is nominated to be Under Secretary for Monetary Affairs. Mr. Solomon was previously Assistant Secretary of State for Economic Affairs and was Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Latin America. He also was a special consultant to the House Ways and Means Committee. Mr. C. Fred Bergsten is nominated to be Assistant Secretary for International Affairs. Mr. Bergsten was recently a Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution and previously served as Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs. He received his Doctorate Degree from the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy. oOo WS-1270 TAX POLICY RESEARCH STUDY T U D __?__? NUMBER i nnjLCi CONTENTS Page FOREWORD ii DEDICATION lv U.S. TAXATION OF THE UNDISTRIBUTED INCOME OF CONTROLLED FOREIGN CORPORATIONS 1 Gary Hufbauer and David Foster TAX TREATMENT OF INCOME FROM INTERNATIONAL SHIPPING 64 Marcia Field and Richard Gordon U.S. TAXATION OF FOREIGN EARNED INCOME OF PRIVATE EMPLOYEES 99 Marcia Field and Brian Gregg U.S. TAXATION OF ALLOWANCES PAID TO U.S. GOVERNMENT EMPLOYEES 128 Marcia Field and Brian Gregg TAX TREATMENT OF INCOME OF FOREIGN GOVERNMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS 151 Jon Taylor STATE TAXATION OF INDIVIDUAL INCOME FROM FOREIGN SOURCES 180 Roy Blough STATE TAXATION OF CORPORATE INCOME FROM FOREIGN SOURCES George Carlson For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U. S. Government Printing Office Washington, D. C. 20402 231 - 11 - FOREWORD This is the third volume in a continuing series of Treasury tax policy research studies analyzing the interactions between tax law and economic policy. The publication of Treasury tax policy studies is part of an ongoing effort by the Office of Tax Policy to clarify tax issues which are sometimes debated with more feeling than understanding. The first two volumes in this series were published in 1968 when Stanley S. Surrey was Assistant Secretary for Tax Policy. This collection of essays is addressed to international tax issues. M a n y of the essays represent the cooperative work of economists and lawyers. Both disciplines are applied in an attempt to explain current law and policy considerations, and to evaluate possible changes. For the most part the essays included in this volume were initially prepared in the spring of 1976 by the Office of International Tax Affairs for consideration by the House W a y s and Means Committee Task Force on the Taxation of Foreign Income. The policy analyses contained in these essays evaluate changes which presuppose the foreign tax credit mechanism, the separate taxation of corporations and their shareholders, and other basic elements in U.S. taxation of foreign income. Thus, the changes analyzed for the most part would not require radical departures in the structure of international taxation. The views reflected in these essays are, of course, the opinions of the authors, and do not necessarily reflect the position of the Treasury Department. The essays cover a range of topics. The essay by Hufbauer and Foster, "U.S. Taxation of Undistributed Income of Controlled Foreign Corporations", provides a broad outline of the manner in which the United States taxes foreign source income. It specifically deals with "deferral" of U. S. taxation of the earnings of foreign subsidiaries until those earnings are distributed to the United States as dividends. The "Tax Treatment of Income from International Shipping", by Field and Gordon, deals with "deferral", the reciprocal exemption, and other issues in the taxation of shipping income. The "U.S. Taxation of Foreign Earned Income of Private Employees" and "U.S. Taxation of Allowances Paid to U.S. Government Employees", both essays by Field and Gregg, are concerned with exceptions to the general principle that U. S. citizens are taxed by the United States on their worldwide income regardless of residence. The essay by Taylor, "Tax Treatment of Income of Foreign Governments and International Organizations", was prompted by the increased volume and changing nature of foreign governmental investment in the United States. The final two essays by Blough and Carlson deal with the complex and often inconsistent approaches taken by states in the taxation of foreign source income. - iii While these essays by no means exhaust the list of current issues in the field of international tax policy, they are designed to illuminate selected topics which have attracted Congressional interest in recent years. This volume is affectionately dedicated to the memory of Nathan Norton Gordon who devoted a long and productive career, with the U. S. Treasury Department, to the international harmonization of national tax systems. Washington, D. C. Charles M. Walker Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Tax Policy December 31, 1976 - iv - DEDICATION These papers are dedicated to the m e m o r y of Nathan Nortoi Gordon who, for m a n y years, played a leading role in the formulatioi of international tax policy for the United States Treasun Department. As Assistant Director of the Treasury Department's Office of Tax Analysis, then Director for International Tax Affairs, and finally Deputy to the Assistant Secretary for Tax Policy, Mr. Gordorj was responsible for advising several Assistant Secretaries for Tax Policy on international tax questions. At the same time, he waq the principal U.S. negotiator of tax treaties with other countriei to avoid double taxation. In more than 35 years of service, he won the respect and friendship of each of the Assistant Secretaries he served, his colleagues at the Fiscal Committee of the OECD, the Inter-American Center for Tax Administrators, and the Ad Hoc Group of Experts on Tax Treaties between Developed and Developing Countries, sponsored by the United Nations. Nathan Gordon was a man of broad vision, who brought an analytical mind, an appreciation of practicality, a sensitivity to the concerns of others, and a delightful sense of humor to the complex world of international taxation. These papers touch on a few of the topics which were among his m a n y professional concerns, They are dedicated to his m e m o r y by the m a n y Treasury colleague^ who benefitted from association with Nathan Gordon. - v- Nathan Norton Gordon, 1915-1976 -1 - U. S. TAXATION OF THE UNDISTRIBUTED INCOME OF CONTROLLED FOREIGN CORPORATIONS Gary Hufbauer and David Foster - 2- TABLE OF CONTENTS page I. Issue 5 II. Present Law 7 1. Classical system of taxation 7 2. Exceptions to recognize economic unity and to avoid double taxation 7 (a) Consolidated return 7 (b) Dividends received deduction 7 (c) Subchapter S • 8 3. Exceptions to discourage tax abuse by individuals 8 (a) Accumulated earnings tax 8 (b) Personal holding company tax 8 (c) Foreign personal holding company 8 4. Exceptions to discourage tax abuse by corporations .... 9 (a) Section 367 . . :". 9 (b) Subpart F and its exclusions . • 10 (i) M i n i m u m distribution 11 (ii) Less developed country corporations 11 (iii) 30-70 rule 12 (iv) Shipping income 12 (v) Agricultural sales 12 III. Analysis 13 1. International tax neutrality 13 2. Constitutional problems 3. Foreign reaction (a) Tax treaties (b) Foreign statutory change (c) Average foreign tax rates 4. Administrative aspects 5. Investment impact 6. Financial impact 7. Revenue impact (a) Policy options (b) Behavioral change (i) Change in distribution rates (ii) Foreign vs. domestic investment (iii) Minority participation and "decontrol" (iv) Higher foreign taxes 8. S u m m a r y of the analysis (a) Tax neutrality (b) Tax avoidance (c) Tax simplification (d) Investment and financial impact (e) U. S. tax revenue 19 21 21 23 24 30 31 34 37 37 42 43 43 48 52 52 52 52 53 53 54 - 3TABLE OF CONTENTS Options 55 1. Retain present system 55 2. Broaden Subpart F 55 (a) The substantial reduction test 55 (b) 50 percent subsidiaries 56 (c) Shipping income 56 (d) "Runaway plants" and tax holiday manufacturing 56 (e) Simplification 56 3. Partial or complete termination of deferral 57 (a) Required m i n i m u m percentage distribution 58 (b) Allocation of the deemed distribution between C F C s ... 58 (c) The extent of consolidation 58 (i) Individual foreign corporation approach 58 (aa) Hop-scotch method 58 (bb) Link-by-link method 59 (ii) Consolidation of foreign operations 60 (iii) Consolidation of worldwide operations 61 (d) The problem of decontrol 61 4. Terminate deferral in the context of a special statutory deduction or the repeal of domestic tax preferences 62 - 4 - LIST O F T A B L E S Table 1 Table 2 Table 3 Table 4 Table 5 Estimated Tax Revenue Consequences in 1976 of Achieving Alternative Standards of International Tax Neutrality with Respect to U. S. Corporations in Non-extractive Industries 18 Comparison Between Foreign Tax Relief and Foreign Input Subsidies 25 Statutory and Realized Corporate Income Tax Rates on Manufacturing Firms, 1974 27 Estimated Impact of Terminating Deferral on Selected Economic Variables for Multinational Manufacturing Firms 33 The Effect of Deferral on the Use of Local Debt by a Hypothetical Foreign Subsidiary 36 Table 6 Financing of Foreign Affiliates, 1972 38 Table 7 Actual Revenue from Subpart F and Potential Revenue from Termination of Deferral, with Overall Limitation on Foreign Tax Credit 39 Revenue Changes from Alternative Proposals to End Deferral 40 Table 8 Table 9 Termination of Deferral with Alternative Consolidation Requirements and with Current Dividend Distribution Rate 41 Table 10 Revenue Effect of 100 Percent Dividend Distribution Rate 44 Table 11 Termination of Deferral with Assumed Changes in Investment Location and Means of Finance 45 Termination of Deferral with Assumed Adverse Impact on Competitive Position of U. S. C F C s 46 Net Earnings by Extent of U. S. Ownership in Foreign Affiliates 49 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14 Estimated Revenue from Subpart F and Termination of Deferral with Increase of N o n - C F C Earnings 51 - 5I. ISSUE Since the introduction of the Federal income tax in 1913, the United States has employed a "classical" system of taxing corporations and their shareholders. Under a classical system, corporations and their shareholders are separately taxed. A corporation's tax liability is not affected by the amount of dividends it distributes to its shareholders, and conversely (with limited exceptions) a shareholder's tax liability depends on dividends received, and is not affected by either the amount of tax paid by the corporation or by the corporation's retained earnings and profits. These principles extend to a U.S. shareholder in a foreign corporation. N o U.S. tax is imposed on the U.S. shareholder until (and unless) the shareholder receives dividends from the foreign corporation. This consequence of a classical system of taxation is called deferral, because the U.S. tax on the income of a foreign corporation is deferred until dividends are paid. The bulk of U.S. investment in foreign corporations is undertaken, not by individual shareholders, but by U.S. based multinational enterprises. So long as earnings are retained abroad by foreign corporate subsidiaries, the U.S. parent corporation pays no U.S. tax on the foreign income. 1/ If taxable corporate earnings are defined the same way abroad as iri~the United States, and if the host government applies a tax rate lower than the U.S. corporate tax rate of 48 percent, the difference in rates represents a temporary tax saving to the parent corporation. Multinational firms based in the United States argue that deferral is necessary to allow them to compete on even terms with foreign firms. In their view, tax neutrality requires the same rate of taxation on all firms operating in the same country. The U. S. multinational firms suggest that the termination of deferral would bring about changes in foreign tax practices and dividend distribution rates that would erode or eliminate U. S. tax revenue gains, and that, without deferral, the foreign expansion of U.S. firms would be curbed, profits and U.S. tax revenues might decline, and U.S. exports to foreign markets might fall. Others object that deferral enables foreign investors to enjoy tax advantages not available to domestic investors. In this view, tax neutrality requires the same taxation of investment at h o m e and investment abroad. Expressing concern for the impact of foreign investment on American jobs, and the loss of potential tax revenue, labor 1/ The foreign subsidiary m a y pay dividends, interest, royalties, and management fees to the U.S. parent corporation, and these types of income would, of course, be taxed currently by the United States. - 6- groups in particular have questioned the continuance of deferral. This concern was expressed most strongly in the late 1960s and'early 1970s. Since 1972, a system of flexible exchange rates and the DISC legislation have, to some extent, answered the concern over foreign tax advantages. 1/ 1/ The tax preference provided by the Domestic International Sales Corporation (DISC) was substantially reduced in the Tax Reform Act of 1976. -7IL PRESENT L A W 1. Classical system of taxation. Under present law, a corporation and its shareholders are taxed separately. The corporation is taxed on its earnings; the shareholders are taxed on distributed dividends. This is known as a "classical" or separate entity system of taxation. By contrast, under an "integrated" system of taxation, either the taxes imposed on the corporation are claimed (in whole or part) as a tax credit by the shareholder, or the corporation is allowed a reduced tax rate on dividends paid. Britain, France, Germany, Canada, Japan, and other industrial countries have adopted various types of integrated tax systems. The Ford Administration proposed an integrated tax system for the United States, and the proposal is receiving Congressional consideration. Over the years, the United States has made limited exceptions to its separate entity system of taxation. Certain exceptions are intended to recognize the economic unity of an affiliated group of corporations within the United States, to avoid double taxation when dividends are distributed from one corporation to another, or to encourage small business. Other exceptions are intended to discourage tax abuse by individuals investing in domestic or foreign corporations. Subpart F of the Internal Revenue Code is principally designed to discourage tax abuse by U. S. corporations which control foreign corporations. 2. Exceptions to recognize economic unity and to avoid double taxation. — — (a) Consolidated return. Under specified circumstances (Section 1501 of the Internal Revenue Code), related domestic corporations are permitted to file a consolidated return. The consolidated return recognizes the economic unity of a corporate group. Through the mechanism of a consolidated return, the profits of one domestic corporation m a y be used to offset the losses of another. In this way, related corporations can share their investment risks. 1/ A foreign corporation cannot, however, join a consolidated return. 2/~ (b) Dividends received deduction. Dividends distributed from one domestic corporation to another are entitled to an 85 percent or 100 percent dividends received deduction, depending on the extent of affiliation between the two corporations (Section 243). The purpose of the dividends received deduction is to avoid double taxation at the corporate level. Dividends received by a domestic corporation from a foreign corporation are not eligible for the deduction. 3/ 1/ Only one surtax exemption can be claimed on the consolidated return. 2/ Certain contiguous country corporations, defined under Section 1504(d), are allowed to join a consolidated return. 3/ The dividends received deduction is available for dividends paid by "" a foreign corporation which earns at least 50 percent of its gross income from a U. S. trade or business (Section 24 5). - 8- (c) Subchapter S. Under Subchapter S (Sections 1371-1379), certain small corporations can elect to be treated for tax purposes much like a partnership. If an election is made, there is no corporate tax, and all earnings (whether or not distributed) are taxed to the shareholders. The purpose of Subchapter S is to encourage small business. 3. Exceptions to discourage tax abuse by individuals. (a) Accumulated earnings tax. The Revenue Act of 1913 contained the antecedents of today's accumulated earnings tax (Section 531). This is a penalty tax imposed on a corporation when it unreasonably accumulates earnings for the purpose of shielding shareholders from personal income taxation. (b) Personal holding company tax. In 1934, Congress enacted the personal holding company tax (Sections 541-547). This is a penalty tax on the undistributed personal holding company income of a corporation that receives at least 60 percent of its adjusted ordinary gross income from passive investment sources and certain types of personal services, and is owned to the extent of more than 50 percent in value by five or fewer individuals. The tax applies to the corporation and not to the shareholders. The tax can be mitigated if the corporation declares a "deficiency dividend". (c) Foreign personal holding company. In 1937, Congressional investigation brought to light the formation of "incorporated pocketbooks" abroad by United States citizens. These corporations, designed to collect and retain passive investment income, were domiciled in countries, such as the Bahamas and Panama with little or no corporate income tax. As foreign corporations, they could not be effectively taxed either on their accumulated earnings or as personal holding companies. The Congressional remedy was to enact the foreign personal holding company legislation (Sections 551-558) which taxes each U. S. shareholder on his pro-rata share of the foreign corporation's undistributed income. Certain tests must be met before the foreign corporation is characterized as a foreign personal holding company. At least 60 percent of its gross income must be derived from passive sources (dividends, interest, rents, royalties, capital gains, income from an estate or trust, personal service income and certain other items), and more than 50 percent in value of the stock must be owned by five or fewer U. S. individuals. When these and other tests are met, each shareholder is deemed to receive a distribution from the foreign personal holding company, and deferral of U. S. tax liability on the foreign income is effectively precluded. 1/ 1/ The individual shareholders are not permitted to claim a credit for ~~ any foreign corporate income tax paid. The deemed paid credit (Section 902) is only available to U. S. corporations. -9The foreign personal holding company legislation did not reach foreign investment companies that sold shares widely among U. S. individuals. Such companies, domiciled in low-tax jurisdictions, could thus retain their dividend and interest income free from U. S. tax. The shareholders could later realize the income in the form of capital gains, if and when the shares were sold. The Revenue Act of 1972 abolished this device in one of two ways. Either the gains realized by the shareholder on disposition of the stock would be taxed as ordinary income to the extent of accumulated earnings (Section 1246), or the foreign investment company could enter a binding election to distribute at least 90 percent of its income annually (Section 1247). 4. Exceptions to discourage tax abuse by corporations. (a) Section 367. The Internal Revenue Code permits numerous types of tax-free corporate reorganizations. One corporation m a y acquire another, a subsidiary m a y merge into a parent, or a corporation m a y divide into several parts, all without creating a taxable event. The underlying philosophy is that, so long as assets remain in "corporate solution", and are not distributed to individual shareholders, reorganization is a matter of economic convenience for the firm and need not provide an occasion for taxation. Reorganizations that involve foreign corporations create an exception to this basic philosophy. The concern arose very early that domestic or foreign corporate income that had not previously been taxed by the United States could forever leave its tax jurisdiction through corporate reorganization. In 1932, the predecessor of Section 367 was enacted. It prevents a tax-free exchange involving a foreign corporation unless "it has been established to the satisfaction of the Secretary or his delegate that such exchange is not in pursuance of a plan having as one of its principal purposes the avoidance of Federal income taxes. " In any reorganization involving a foreign corporation, the U. S. taxpayer must obtain a Section 367 ruling from the Internal Revenue Service that the exchange is not in pursuance of a tax avoidance plan; otherwise, the transaction will be treated as a taxable event. 1/ Often the taxpayer must pay a "toll charge", involving partial recognition of the gain, in order to receive a favorable Section 367 ruling. The ruling might also be accompanied by a closing agreement which preserves the U. S. tax base (Revenue Procedures 68-23 and 75-29). 1/ The Tax Reform Act of 1976 eliminated the necessity for "~ obtaining a Section 367 ruling in certain circumstances. - 10 - (b) Subpart F and its exclusions. The early anti-abuse provisions were addressed to situations where an individual U. S. shareholder took advantage of lower U. S. or foreign corporate tax rates, or where a U. S. corporation took advantage of the tax-free reorganization provisions. The Revenue Act of 1962 partially terminated deferral in answer to the tax abuse which can arise when a U. S. parent corporation takes advantage of lower foreign corporate tax rates on ordinary income in tax-haven countries. The Kennedy Administration originally sought the complete termination of deferral, but Congress adopted a m o r e focused approach. The history and drafting of Subpart F (Section 951-964) indicate that it represents a compromise between the complete termination of deferral and the classical system of taxing foreign corporate income. The purpose of Subpart F is to terminate deferral in tax abuse situations, yet otherwise retain the separate taxation of a foreign corporation and its U. S. shareholders. Subpart F, as enacted in 1962, taxes U. S. shareholders currently on the income of a controlled foreign corporation when the nature of the corporation and its sources of income combine to exhibit tax haven characteristics. The foreign corporation is potentially subject to Subpart F if it is a controlled foreign corporation (CFC), that is to say, if the voting stock is m o r e than 50 percent owned by U.S. "shareholders", defined as individuals or corporations each controlling at least 10 percent of the voting stock. 1/ If the foreign corporation can establish that it did not have as one of its purposes a substantial reduction in taxes (Section 954(b)(4)), it will not fall within Subpart F. The substantial reduction test is not defined with reference to U.S. tajxes. Rather the test is whether taxes have been reduced by comparison with the taxes that would have been imposed by the buying or selling country, or the paying or receiving country, if a third country corporation had not been interposed in the transaction (Regulations 1. 954-l(b)(4), example (1)). A company which was not organized with tax reduction as one of its significant purposes can, however, still have Subpart F income on individual transactions undertaken for the purpose of tax avoidance. A controlled foreign corporation's income is subject to Subpart F if it is derived from the insurance of U. S. risks, or if it is characterized as foreign base company income. Foreign base company income includes: (i) foreign personal holding company income (interest, dividends, rents, and similar categories of passive income); (ii) foreign base company sales income (income derived by the C F C from selling V In the case of a controlled foreign corporation that insures U. S. risks, the test is whether more than 25 percent of the voting stock is owned by U. S. shareholders. (Section 957(b)). -11 - or buying personal property to or from a related person, if the property is both produced and sold for use outside the country in which the C F C is incorporated); and (iii) foreign base company services income (income derived from the performance of technical, managerial, or similar services or on behalf of a related person outside the country of C F C incorporation). When the foreign corporation and the composition of income meet these statutory tests, the U. S. shareholders are generally deemed to receive a distribution of retained earnings and are taxed accordingly, with provisions for a foreign tax credit (Sections 960 and 962). A s a backstop to Subpart F, the Revenue Act of 1962 required that when a U.S. shareholder disposes of shares in a controlled foreign corporation, the gains must be reported as ordinary income to the extent of earnings and profits accumulated after 1962 (Section 1248)._l/ This provision forestalls the accumulation of earnings in a C F C not subject to Subpart F, and the taxation of that income at more favorable capital gains rates. The Revenue Act of 1962 provided several exclusions to the general rule of current U.S. taxation of Subpart F income. The Tax Reduction Act of 1975 repealed or modified four of the exclusions and added one new exclusion. 27 (i) Minimum distribution. The parent corporation could elect a so-called "minimum distribution". The m i n i m u m distribution was a constructive distribution of earnings from C F C s with and without Subpart F income. If the m i n i m u m distribution showed that average foreign taxes were equal to a certain percentage or within a certain percentage point range of the U.S. tax rate, the deemed distributions under Subpart F were reduced or eliminated. The m i n i m u m distribution election was repealed by the Tax Reduction Act of 1975. (ii) Less developed country corporations. The Subpart F income of a C F C derived from and reinvested in "qualified investments" in less developed countries was excluded from the definition of foreign base company income. Less developed countries were broadly defined to include all nations outside of industrial Europe, Canada, Japan, Eastern Europe, and the Sino-Soviet Bloc. This exclusion was repealed by the Tax Reduction Act of 1975. 1/ A n exception was made for the disposition of shares in a less ~~ developed country corporation (Section 1248 (d)(3)). 2/ The Tax Reform Act of 1976 made further minor changes in "" Subpart F. - 12 - (iii) 30-70 rule. If less than 30 percent of C F C income was characterized as foreign base company income, then a special rule provided that none of the income would retain that character and no deemed distribution was required. If between 30 and 70 percent of the income was characterized as foreign base company income, then the actual percentage would have that character and that percentage would be subject to a deemed distribution. Above 70 percent, the entire C F C income would be characterized as foreign base company income and would be deemed distributed. The Tax Reduction Act of 1975 changed the 30 percent rule to a 10 percent rule. (iv) Shipping income. As originally enacted, Subpart F provided an exclusion from foreign base company income for income derived from, or in connection with, the use of any aircraft or vessel in foreign commerce. The Tax Reduction Act of 1975 required that shipping income be reinvested in shipping operations to qualify for this exclusion.1/ (v) Agricultural sales. The Tax Reduction Act of 1975 modified the definition of foreign base company sales income to exclude income from sales of agricultural commodities which are not grown in the United States in commercially marketable quantities. 1/ The Tax Reform Act of 1976 provides that income from coastal ~~ shipping operations within one country is not base company shipping income if the ships are registered within that country and the company is incorporated locally. - 13 - IIL ANALYSIS !• International tax neutrality. Tax neutrality is a broad concept which is often defined in conflicting ways. Whether foreign corporate income is taxed by the United States currently or only when dividends are distributed is one element in a definition of international tax neutrality, but it is not the only element. The relationship between deferral and international tax neutrality must be viewed in the overall context of U. S. and foreign tax rules. Tax neutrality at the corporate level 1/for foreign investment can be defined either with reference to the taxation of domestic profits, or with reference to the taxation of the profits of competing foreign firms. These alternative standards are usually designated as "capital-export neutrality" and " capital-import neutrality". In their pure forms, the concepts of capital-export neutrality and capital-import neutrality say nothing about the division of tax revenue between home and host country tax authorities. In principle, either type of neutrality could be reached consistent with various revenue sharing arrangements between the taxing authorities. In practice, under present international rules, each type of neutrality tends to be associated with a certain division of revenue. Capital-export neutrality is achieved when the total rate of corporate tax onforeign profits is the same as on comparable domestic profits. For example, if the French subsidiary of an American firm pays 40 percent of its profits in tax to France, and if the United States corporate tax rate was a uniform 48 percent, capital-export neutrality would be served by a current U. S. corporate tax of 8 percent on the French subsidiary's profits. In order to achieve capital-export neutrality under existing domestic tax law, several underlying conditions would have to be met. First, host country taxes paid should be credited against the home country tax liability, with a refund of excess foreign taxes; alternatively, home country taxes should be credited against the host country tax liability; Second, foreign income, including undistributed subsidiary earnings, should be taxed currently to the parent corporation by the home country; Third, the home country should employ the same accounting practices in calculating domestic and foreign profits (in particular, the same depreciation conventions should be used); 1/ This paper does not analyze tax neutrality at the individual level. - 14 - Fourth, any capital subsidies provided for investment in the home country (for example, an investment tax credit) should be available for investment abroad. Similarly, preferential taxation of export earnings, such as through the DISC, should be extended to foreign production for export markets; Fifth, the same treatment should apply to sub-Federal income taxes levied at home and abroad. If state and local taxes are deductible at home, then to the same extent they should be deductible in computing taxable foreign source income; Sixth, losses of foreign subsidiaries should be deductible to the same extent as the losses of the parent companies. Capital-export neutrality could alternatively be achieved under a reformed domestic tax law which was free of all corporate tax preferences, and instead taxed corporate income at a uniformly lower rate. In order to achieve capital-export neutrality under such a neutral domestic tax law, several conditions would have to be met, many the same as before. First, (and this is the main difference), tax preferences for domestic corporate income must be repealed, and nominal corporate tax rates must then be lowered so that there is no net revenue change from the taxation of domestic income; Second, host country taxes paid should be credited against the home country tax liability, with a refund of excess foreign taxes; alternatively, home country taxes should be credited against the host country tax liability; Third, foreign income should be taxed currently by the home country; Fourth, the home country should employ the same accounting practices in calculating domestic and foreign profits; Fifth, the same treatment should apply to sub-Federal income taxes levied at home and abroad; Sixth, losses of foreign subsidiaries should be deductible to the same extent as the losses of the parent companies. A regime of capital-export neutrality, whether achieved under existing domestic tax law or under a neutral domestic tax law, would-unlike present law--encourage U. S. firms to locate their productive facilities wherever pre-tax returns promised to be greater. A firm would be indifferent between a 20 percent pre-tax rate of return on investment in Canada, in Brazil, or in the United States, for it would receive the same after-tax return in all cases. Tax considerations would play no role in investment decisions, pre-tax returns - 15 on U. S. investments of equivalent risk would ultimately be equalized around the world, and the United States capital stock would be allocated in a manner designed to maximize world production. 1/' Capital-import neutrality for corporate investment would be achieved if firms of all nationalities operating in one industry--for example, the Italian office equipment industry--paid the same total tax rate on profits earned in the country where the industry islocated-inthis case Italy. 2/ Pure capital-import neutrality in this situation would emerge if Italian tax law m a d e no differentiation among enterprises of diverse national origin. For example, Italy could not withhold tax on dividends, interest, and royalties paid to foreign corporations unless it also withheld tax on such payments to Italian corporations. Furthermore, foreign nations should m a k e no attempt to impose an additional tax on corporate earnings arising in Italy. Indeed, one way home countries can promote capital-import neutrality is through the unilateral exemption of corporate foreign source income from domestic taxation, as is virtually done by France and the Netherlands. 3/ Under territorial taxation, as this approach is called, the home government relinquishes all tax claims, and the host government collects all the tax revenues arising from the enterprise. However, a revenue sharing arrangement between the host and home countries would equally be consistent with capital-import neutrality. Capital-import neutrality is sometimes called "competitive" neutrality because firms of diverse national origin compete on an equal tax basis in any particular country and industry. Because tax considerations do not distort competition, capital-import neutrality promotes the most efficient use of resources between firms in that country and industry. Both in legislation and in bilateral tax treaties, the United States has attempted. to ensure the type of tax neutrality appropriate to different situations, while at the same time protecting U. S. tax revenue. Thus, United States taxation of the foreign income of U. S. owned firms embodies a mixture of capital-export neutrality, capitalimport neutrality, and revenue protection clauses. 1/ This statement ignores the misallocation caused by tariffs, quotas, and other impediments to free international trade. 2] When a host country has an integrated system of taxing corporations and their shareholders, the analysis of capital-import neutrality can become more complicated. This discussion envisages a host country with a classical separate entity system of taxation. 3_/ France arid the Netherlands do tax a small portion of corporate foreign source income. - 16 The keystone of U.S. taxation of American enterprise abroad is the foreign tax credit. Subject to certain limits, U.S. firms m a y take a credit against their tentative U.S. tax for the foreign income tax levied on the repatriated earnings of foreign corporate subsidiaries^/, on the total earnings of foreign branches, and on interest, rents, royalties and fees paid from foreign sources. The foreign taix credit essentially cedes to the host country the first slice of tax jurisdiction, and hence most of the revenue. To the extent that a U. S. firm repatriates dividends, interest, rents, royalties or fees from its foreign corporate subsidiary, or operates abroad through foreign branches, the foreign tax credit system m a y c o m e close to ensuring capitalexport neutrality. There are several reasons, however, why existing United States law does not entirely achieve capital-export neutrality. The U. S. foreign tax credit limitation rules operate so that when foreign taxes exceed the tentative U.S. tax on foreign source income, the excess foreign tax credit cannot be claimed currently (but it can be carried forward or carried back to other taxable years). If the excess credit could be claimed without limit, foreign governments could erode U. S. tax revenues on domestic source income. But because the excess foreign tax credit cannot be claimed, capital-export neutrality disappears whenever the foreign tax rate exceeds the U.S. rate. Foreign investment offering a given pre-tax return then becomes less attractive than domestic investment offering the same return. In addition to the foreign tax credit limit, other features of the law reduce the extent of capital-export neutrality. U.S. parent corporations cannot offset the losses of foreign subsidiaries against domestic income (the losses of foreign branches of U.S. corporations can, however, be offset against domestic income). The investment tax credit is not available for capital expenditures abroad, 2/ and the asset depreciation range (ADR) cannot be used for computing earnings and profits of a foreign subsidiary. 3^/ DISC is not available for exports by foreign subsidiaries. Like the limit on applying the foreign tax credit, these measures shield the U. S. Treasury and promote domestic investment, at the expense of capital-export neutrality. T w o asymmetries, however, favor foreign over domestic investment: U.S. taxation of foreign subsidiary earnings is deferred until dividends are declared, and foreign sub-Federal taxes m a y be credited against the tentative U.S. tax, whereas U.S. state and local taxes can only be deducted from earnings. 1/ There is both a direct credit (Section 901) for foreign withholding taxes ondividends, and an indirect credit (Section 902) for foreign taxes paid on the underlying corporate earnings. 2/ Section 48(a)(2). 3/ The tax rules provide that guideline periods, but not the asset depreciation range, m a y be applied to property predominately used outside the United States (Revenue Procedure 72-10; Regulation 1. 964-l(c) (i)(iii)). - 17 - To the extent that the earnings of a foreign corporate subsidiary are not remitted as dividends, United States tax practice comes close to achieving capital-import neutrality. No current U. S. tax is levied on those earnings; instead U. S. taxation is deferred until repatriation. (Under the foreign personal holding company legislation and Subpart F, certain kinds of tax haven income m a y be taxed currently, whether or not repatriated. ) When earnings are retained abroad, deferral places the American-owned foreign subsidiary on m u c h the same tax footing as its local competitors. Pure capital-import neutrality cannot be achieved, however, unless the United States (and other countries) abandon their claim to tax foreign source income (although home countries could seek revenue sharing arrangements with host countries) and host countries pursue a strict policy of non-discrimination. In essence, an American multinational enterprise can elect to have its foreign ventures taxed either under a modified form of capital-export neutrality (by operating through a foreign branch or by distributing the earnings of a foreign subsidiary), or under a modified form of capitalimport neutrality (by ope rating through a foreign subsidiary and retaining the earnings abroad). In neither case is the neutrality pure, and the level of purity partly depends on the host country. The 1976 revenue consequences of present law, and of possible changes , are summarized in Table 1 for the non-extractive industries. 1/ Corporate pre-tax foreign earnings were about $24.9 billion, foreign taxes were about $10. 3 billion (41 percent of earnings) and U. S. tax collections were about $2. 0 billion (8 percent of earnings). A standard of pure capital-import neutrality at the corporate level would require zero U. S. tax collections on corporate foreign source income. The adoption of a territorial system would thus involve a 1976 revenue loss of nearly $2. 0 billion by comparison with present collections. This revenue loss could be unilaterally absorbed by the United States, or it could be shared between the United States and various host countries. Capital-import neutrality, in whatever manner achieved, would not of course answer those critics of deferral who wish to increase U. S. tax revenues and promote domestic investment. A standard of capital-export neutrality under existing domestic tax law would also reduce the revenue collections of U. S. and foreign tax authorities (assuming the revenue loss is shared). In 1976, the net revenue loss from a system of pure capital-export neutrality would have been about $1. 2 billion. The net loss represents a combination of revenue effects. If the law were changed to end deferral, to provide a deduction rather than a credit for that portion of foreign taxes which 1/ The taxation of petroleum and hard minerals involves special considerations which do not easily fit into the concepts of capital-export neutrality and capital-import neutrality. For this reason, Table 1 is confined to the non-extractive industries. Table 1 Estimated Tax Revenue Consequences in 1976 of Achieving Alternative Standards of International Tax Neutrality with Respect to U.S. Corporations in Non-Extractive Industries (Millions of Dollars) Foreign source income of U.S. corporations, before taxes Capital-export neutrality With extension of : U.S. domestic tax : With removal of preferences to : U.S. tax preferences foreign investment : for domestic investment 24,900 24,900 Capital-import neutrality 24,900 Present total taxes on the foreign source income of U.S. corporations under current law Net U.S. taxes Foreign taxes 12,270 1,970 10,300 12 270 1 970 10 300 12,270 1,970 10,300 Change in total taxes on the foreign source income of U.S. corporations in non-extractive industries •1,220 -2 ,990 1,970 Remove U.S. tax preferences for foreign investment Western Hemisphere Trade Corporation deduction __/ Non gross-up of dividends from LDC corporations 1/ Deferral of tax on retained profits of foreign subsidiaries Allowance of credit for foreign taxes comparable to state income taxes Allow credit (or refund) for foreign taxes in excess of overall limitation 890 ZU 55 365 365 450 450 -180 -180 Remove U.S. tax preferences for domestic investment and reduce U.S. corporate tax rate on domestic and foreign source income to 33 percent 2/ Extend U.S. domestic investment tax preference to foreign investment Investment tax credit Asset depreciation range . Domestic International Sales Corporation (DISC) 1' 890 20 55 _ 3,700 -1,930 •1,000 -300 -630 -1,970 Adopt territorial income tax Hypothetical total taxes on the foreign source income of U.S. corporations in non-extractive industries 11,050 9,280 10,300 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 1/ These features were repealed, with transition rules, by the Tax Reform Act of 1976. 2/ After the hypothetical repeal of all U.S. tax preferences for domestic investment by the non-extractive industries, ~~ the U.S. corporate tax rate could be reduced from 48 percent to about 33 percent (on a broader base) with no change in tax revenue on domestic source income. However, there would be revenue loss on foreign source income, since the applicable tax rate on that income would also drop from 48 percent to 33 percent. 3/ This estimate represents the effect of extending DISC treatment, as modified by the Tax Reform Act of 1976, to export — sales of foreign subsidiaries of U.S. corporations. -19correspondstoU.S. state and local taxes, and to eliminate certain minor non-neutralities, there would be revenue gains. But these gains would be m o r e than offset if the law were also changed to compensate for foreign taxes in excess of the tentative U. S. tax, and to extend the mvestment tax credit, the asset depreciation range, and DISC to investment abroad. A standard of capital-export neutrality under a neutral domestic tax law would likewise reduce the revenue collections of U.S. and foreign tax authorities on U.S. investments abroad. After the repeal of domestic tax preferences, and a compensating reduction in rates so that the corporate tax on domestic income remained unchanged, the nominal U.S. corporate tax rate could be reduced from 48 percent to about 33 percent. A s a result, however, current U.S. revenues from foreign source income would decline by $3. 7 billion. This would be partly offset by higher revenues from the termination of deferral, from the rerepeal of the Western Hemisphere Trade Corporation deduction, from the gross-up of dividends from less developed country corporations, and from other changes. But a net revenue loss of $3. 0 billion on foreign source income would remain after all adjustments. Few would argue that the United States should unilaterally implement a standard of capital-export neutrality and incur all the associated revenue costs. Such a standard would require tax cooperation between the United States and foreign governments. O n the other hand, legislation by the United States to end deferral would not, by itself, move the international tax system closer to a standard of capital-export neutrality. Rather, it would reinforce the existing preferential taxation of corporate profits earned within the United States. 1/ 2 » Constitutional problems. The taxation of a shareholder on the constructive receipt of a corporation's undistributed earnings raises constitutional issues. Can such earnings properly be viewed as "income" under the terms of the Sixteenth A m e n d m e n t ? This issue has recently been litigated in connection with Subpart F. The court decisions upholding Subpart F provide some indication of the potential reach of U.S. tax law if a wider termination of deferral is sought. 2/ 1/ It should be emphasized that the investment tax credit or DISC can exert a very different impact on investment per dollar of revenue cost than, for example, deferral or the foreign tax credit. Therefore, an examination of total revenue gains and losses under alternative tax systems provides only a rough guide to their impact on the location of investment. 2/ Subpart F has withstood legal attacks based on the due process clause of the Fifth Amendment, the principles of international law, and the Sixteenth Amendment. The Sixteenth Amendment issues are most important, and they are the only onesdiscussed here. The discussion draws on an unpublished paper by Howard Liebman, "The Tax Treatment of Joint Venture Income Under Subpart F: Some Issues and Alternatives", April 1976. - 20 - The Sixteenth A m e n d m e n t gives Congress the power to impose income taxes. Ifatax is not levied on "income", it would be considered a "direct tax" under the ruling in Pollock v. Farmer's Loan Trust (157 U.S. 429, 158 U.S. 601, 1895), and would require apportionment among the states according to population. The opponents of Subpart F have relied on the Pollock opinion to argue that the current taxation of each C F C shareholder's portion of undistributed earnings and profits cannot possibly constitute a tax on "income" and must, therefore, be apportioned among the states as a "direct tax". The basis for this reasoning lies in the decision of Eisner v. Macomber (252 U.S. 189, 1920) holding that a stock dividend on accumulated profits is not "income" under the Sixteenth Amendment. But Macomber was a close decision and has since been undercut by numerous judicial exceptions. Thus, in 1961, the Treasury Department's General Counsel concluded that, "enactment of [Subpart F] is appropriately within the constitutional powers of the Congress both to lay and collect taxes and to regulate commerce with foreign nations. "\l This view has been upheld by the Tax Court: The Supreme Court's pronouncements have been to the effect that taxation of undistributed current corporate income at the stockholder level is within the Congressional power. 2_/ Although the Supreme Court has not ruled on Subpart F, other courts have endorsed the Tax Court's position. There appears to be no constitutional barrier to the termination of deferral for a wider class of income than that presently defined in Subpart F. A more general termination of deferral would,however, provide an incentive for U.S. shareholders to "decontrol" their existing controlled foreign corporations and to take minority positions in new ventures rather than establish new controlled foreign corporations. The incentive to escape current taxation might be mitigated if the ownership threshold used to define a controlled foreign corporation were reduced to 50 percent or less. However, a lower threshold might conflict with the "constructive receipt' doctrine underlying both Subpart F and the foreign personal holding _1/ M e m o r a n d u m from Robert H. Knight to Treasury Secretary Dillon, June 12, 1961, in President's 1961 Tax Recommendations, Hearings before the House Committee on W a y s and Means, 87th Congress, 1st Session (1961), Volume 1, p. 322. 2/ Estate of Leonard E. Whitlock, (59T.C. 490, 507, 1972; affirmed 494 F.2nd 1297, 10th Circuit, 1974). - 21 company legislation. If the U. S. shareholders are not a closeknit, controlling group that can force the declaration of a dividend, the constitutionality of a lower threshold under the Sixteenth Amendment and the due process clause of the Fifth Amendment must once again be assessed. How can the United States tax a shareholder on an undistributed gain when the shareholder lacks the degree of control required to realize the imputed gain? It m a y seem "patently unfair and unjust to tax anyone on income which he has not received and which is not within his control, "l I The most recent cases dealing with Subpart F have indicated that actual control rather than numerical control is the key issue. In Garlock (58 T. C. 423, 1972) "actual control"by U. S. shareholders in a reorganlzed Panamian subsidiary was found where the U. S. shareholders only owned 50 percent of the subsidiary, and foreign investors, chosen for their sympathy towards the management, owned callable cumulative preferred stock. Hans P. Kraus (59 T. C. 681, 1973; affirmed, 490 F. 2nd 898, 2nd Circuit 1974) presented similar facts. The court looked to substance rather than form and concluded that divestment in order to avoid the impact of Subpart F must result in actual decontrol. These cases suggest that Subpart F might be extended to situations where U. S. shareholders own less than 50 percent of the foreign corporation, provided that U. S. shareholders exercise actual control. 2/ 3 ' Foreign reaction. Any significant change in the U. S. approach to deferral would raise tax treaty questions and might prompt offsetting foreign tax legislation. (a) Tax treaties. The United States has in force tax treaties with some 37 countries (including extensions to former colonies). Five treaties have been signed and await ratification by the U. S. Senate and foreign parliamentary bodies. Ten tax treaties are in various states of active negotiation. The deferral of U. S. tax on the income of controlled foreign corporations is not specifically addressed in these treaties. 3/ The V Statement of Randolph W . Thrower, Hearings before the Senate Committee on Finance, 87th Congress, 2nd Session (1962) part 6, p. 2251. 2' For a contrary case see CCA, Inc. (64 T. C. 137, 1974). Note that income from the insurance of U. S. risks earned by a foreign corporation which is owned more than 25 percent by U.S. shareholders is presently taxed under Subpart F (Section 953 and 957 (b)). The 25 percent test has not been litigated, and it is not clear whether it furnishes a precedent for a less than 50 percent ownership test in the absence of actual control. 3/ The pending treaty with Egypt takes note of U. S. deferral provisions and their interaction with Egyptian tax incentives. - 22 - United States has made no treaty commitments which would preclude partial or total elimination of deferral. However, the classical U. S. system of taxation and the consequent deferral of U. S. taxation of retained foreign corporate earnings are well understood by foreign tax officials, and these elements of U. S. law play an important role in treaty negotiations. Less developed countries frequently raise the issue of a tax sparing credit. The tax sparing credit is a home country foreign tax credit for taxes waived by the host country, usually through a tax holiday or preferential tax rates designed to encourage a particular industry. The United Kingdom, France, Germany, Japan, Canada and most other industrialized countries grant a tax sparing credit in their bilateral tax treaties with less developed countries. During the 1950's and 1960's, the United States negotiated seven treaties with either a tax sparing credit (Pakistan, India, Israel and the UAR) or, as a substitute, an investment tax credit (Brazil, Thailand, Israel). In none of the seven cases did the credit provisions receive Senate approval. The United States Treasury no longer negotiates treaties with either a tax sparing credit or an investment tax credit. However, in negotiations with less developed countries, the United States has emphasized that existing U. S. tax law does not frustrate local tax incentives. If the host country chooses to reduce its corporate tax rates as an investment incentive measure, the United States will not absorb the incentive through offsetting taxation so long as the foreign subsidiary reinvests its earnings abroad. Moreover, the U. S. ordering rule for associating dividends with earnings and profits ensures that U. S. taxes need never erode the foreign tax relief, even if earnings are distributed during the post-tax relief period. The United States follows a last-in-firstout rule in tracing dividends to the underlying earnings and profits. Thus, suppose Country X grants a five year tax holiday, and in the sixth year imposes a 45 percent tax on current earnings. During the tax holiday period, the controlled foreign corporation accumulates earnings and profits of $12 million, but distributes no dividends. In the sixth year, the corporation earns $3. 63 million (before tax), pays foreign taxes of $1.63 million, and therefore has after-foreigntax earnings of $2. 0 million. A dividend of $2. 0 million is distributed to the U. S. parent. The entire dividend is deemed to be paid out of current earnings, and none of the dividend is deemed to be paid out of accumulated earnings. The grossed-up dividend for U. S. tax purposes will be $3.63 million. 1' The net U.S. tax on the V Under prior law, dividends from a less developed country corporation were not grossed-up, and a different formula was used to calculate the foreign tax credit. The Tax Reform Act of 1976 requires the gross-up of such dividends. - 23 dividend, after allowance for the foreign tax credit of $1.63 million would be $0.11 million. 1/ The combination of deferral and the dividend inventory rule has proven satisfactory to m a n y of our tax treaty partners. On the one hand, developed countries have not had to negotiate the issue of U. S. tax treatment of their own tax relief provisions for particular regions or industries. On the other hand, less developed countries have often dropped their initial demands for a tax sparing credit or similar provisions. If the United States were to terminate deferral, some treaty countries would no longer be satisfied with existing arrangements. They might seek new negotiations with a view toward provision of deferral by treaty. Alternatively, they might take unilateral statutory steps along the lines in the following discussion. . <b> Foreign statutory change. If the United States limits the extent of deferral, countries which provide tax relief as an incentive measure might narrow the scope of that relief to exclude companies which would be subject to current U. S. taxation. The result could be heavier foreign taxation of U. S. controlled foreign corporations, by comparison with competing firms either owned locally or by third country parent firms. In selected instances, heavier foreign taxation might serve to equalize the taxation of U. S. investment at home and abroad, but it would erode the potential gains in U. S. tax revenue from the termination of deferral, and it might put U. S. firms at a severe competitive disadvantage. There are several ways foreign taxes on U. S. controlled foreign corporations could be selectively increased. Subsidiaries of U. S. corporations might no longer be eligible for special tax holidays and investment tax credits. For example, under present law Egypt provides tax relief for foreign investors only if the home country does not tax the income either when earned or distributed. Alternatively, foreign countries could m a k e withholding taxes payable on deemed dividend distributions, as well as on actual dividend distributions, and withholding tax rates could be increased. V In this case, the deemed paid foreign tax credit is calculated as: Dividend x Foreign corporation income tax Earnings after foreign tax = $2. 0 x $1. 63 = $1.63 The tentative U. S. tax before the credit would be 48 percent of $3. 63 million, or $1.74 million. After the foreign tax credit of $1.63 million, the net U. S. tax would be $0.11 million. - 24 - In cases where the foreign country wished to encourage U.S. firms, methods could be found which would circumvent the U.S. termination of deferral. The foreign country could provide tax relief for joint ventures in which the U.S. corporation held a minority interest, and therefore was not subject to current U.S. taxation. Alternatively, the foreign country could provide U. S. controlled corporations with input subsidies--for example wage or energy subsidies--while taxing the C F C s at rates close to the U.S. corporate rate. This possibility is., illustrated- in Table 2. In both situations, the firm has sales of 1, 000, raw material costs of 400, and wage costs of 500. In Case A , with U.S. deferral, a tax holiday in the foreign country ensures that the firm realizes after-tax income of 100. In Case B, without U. S. deferral, a wage subsidy of 100 coupled with a foreign corporate tax of 50 percent ensures that the firm still realizes after-tax income of 100._1/ In the eyes of the firm, little has changed._/ In the first case, the foreign government collects no tax, in the second case, the wage subsidy just offsets the tax, and in both cases the United States collects no tax. It is not clear what the United States would gain by encouraging foreign countries to undertake this sort of fiscal subterfuge._/ (c) Average foreign tax rates. With the termination of deferral, many foreign countries would be concerned about the U. S. tax status of subsidiaries engaged in particular industries and regions. Reliable foreign tax rate figures for particular industries and regions within individual countries are not available, but national average tax rate figures can be estimated. Although national average tax rates often conceal the situation for individual industries and regions, they do perhaps indicate the nations which would be most seriously affected by the termination of deferral. Table 3 shows 1974 statutory and realized corporate tax rates, the withholding rate applied to dividends payments to the United States, and the total (corporate and withholding) realized tax rate on grossed-up dividends for more than 60 countries. Realized corporate tax rates are 1/ The wage subsidy cannot be conditioned on the payment of tax, or it would be regarded as a tax refund for purposes of calculating the U.S. foreign tax credit. _/ In the long run,however, the firm may respond differently to a wage subsidy than a tax holiday. For example, a wage subsidy might induce the firm to use more labor and less capital to produce a given level of output. _l It should be noted that the foreign tax credit mechanism generally encourages foreign governments to tax the aggregate of dividends, interest, rents, royalties, and other foreign income paid to U.S. corporations at a rate near 48 percent. - 25 - Table 2 Comparison Between Foreign Tax Relief and Foreign Input Subsidies Case A U.S. taxation with deferral Foreign tax holiday Sales 1,000 Raw materials 400 Wages 500 Less: wage subsidy 100 Income before tax Foreign tax 100 Income after foreign tax Deemed or actual dividend distribution U.S. tax after foreign 100 tax credit Office theall Secretary Income ot after taxes or the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis Case B U.S.taxation without deferral Foreign corporate tax of 50% plus wage subsidy 1,000 400 500 (100) 200 100 100 100 100 February 3, 1976 - 26 - computed as the ratio of taxes paid to the U.S. definition of pretax earnings and profits, which is the base from which the deemed paid foreign tax credit is computed.J./ The realized rates are estimated from 1968 data, adjusted for changes in statutory rates between 1968 and 1974. The figures in Table 3 are confined to the manufacturing sector. Termination of deferral would have its greatest impact on manufacturing. Realized foreign tax rates on mineral income frequently exceed the U.S. tax rate, so deferred U.S. taxation makes no difference. Undistributed corporate earnings arising in the trade, finance, and insurance sectors are to some extent taxed currently under Subpart F (as amended by the Tax Reduction Act of 1975). Thus, low foreign tax rates applied to those sectors are already partly offset by current U.S. taxation. Table 3 reveals that realized corporate tax rates on manufacturing are generally well below the statutory rate. The median ratio of realized to statutory tax rates in 1974 was approximately 80 percent; in only 11 of the 63 countries did the realized rate exceed the statutory rate. For purposes of evaluating the consequences of terminating deferral on a country-by-country basis, the correct procedure is to compare foreign total realized tax rates on grossed-up dividends with the U.S. statutory corporate rate of 48 percent. 2/ The U.S. foreign tax credit is so designed that the termination of "Heferral would usually result in higher U.S. taxation of retained corporate income in those countries with realized tax rates below the U.S. statutory rate. 3/ Table 3 reveals that, in 1974, 26 countries imposed a total realized tax rate on grossedup dividends above the U.S. statutory rate of 48 percent, while 37 countries imposed total realized rates below the U.S. statutory rate. The partial or complete termination of deferral would 1/ The term "realized tax rate" indicates the ratio between taxes paid and earnings and profits, as reported for U.S. tax purposes. By contrast, the term "effective tax rate" often refers to the ratio between taxes paid and book income, as reported for financial purposes. Foreign effective rates for selected countries are reported in Survey of Current Business, M a y 1974 (Part I). 2] The realized U.S. corporate tax rate on domestic source income was about 41 percent in 1974, but the U.S. statutory rate--not the U.S. realized rate--applies to foreign source income. 3/ This generalization does not apply to U.S. firms which use the overal limitation in reporting the foreign tax credit ( as they must under the Tax Reform Act of 1976) and also have excess foreign tax credits. Table 3 Statutory and Realized Corporate Income Tax Rates on Manufacturing Firms, 1974 Country Canada Statutory T a x Rates Distributed Corporate profits tax 2/ Tax Rate 1/ rate, if different 48.0 Withholding tax rates on dividends distributed to U.S. Total real Statutory : Realized tax rate or Treaty : Rate on grossed Rate : grossed-up dividen :dividends Local Income taxes Realized Corporate tax rate 3/ 13.0 41.1 15.0 15.0 53.4 37.5 32.5 48.0 43.0 11.9 12.7 41.9 17.1 36.0 40. 5 30.3 43.1 27.1 44.6 5.0 15.0 5.0 5 0 15.0 30.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 15.0 5.0 5.0 15.0 2.3 9.4 3.4 2.6 8.5 26.4 4.4 2.9 4.1 6.4 8.9 10.5 2.8 3.6 8.3 55.7 46.9 35.9 50.6 51.5 38.3 17 .1 44.8 21.2 42.4 49.4 40.8 45.9 30.7 52.9 49.9 Europe: 27.5 0 Austria Belgium Denmark France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Luxembourg Netherlands Norway Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom Oceania: 55.0 42.0 36.0 50.0 51.0 38.2 50.0 43.8 40.0 48.0 26.5 32.8 40.0 8.8 52.0 Australia New Zealand 47.5 45.0 42.9 51.7 15.0 5.0 8.6 2.4 51.5 54.1 42.0 42.9 42. 2 28.2 20.0 12.0 11.6 8.6 53.8 36.8 25.0 15.0 0 27.0 4/ 13.0 4/ 5/ 14.0 0 4/ 21 .3 25.0 28.0 26. 2 Latin America: Mexico Argentina Table 3 - continued Statutory tax rate! Country Corporate tax rate 1/ Brazil Chile Columbia Ecuador Peru Uruguay Venezuela Costa Rica El Salvador Guatemala Honduras Nicaragua Panama Africa: Algeria Mo roc co Liberia Ethiopia Kenya Nigeria Rhodes ia South Africa Zambia 30.0 41.7 36.0 20.0 55.0 37.5 50.0 40.0 15.0 52.8 40.0 30.0 50.0 Distributed : Local profits tax _ , : income rate, if different— : taxes 33.5 40.0 50.0 48.0 45.0 40.0 40.0 45.0 40.0 43.0 45.0 Withholding tax rates on dividends distributed to U.S. Realized Realized Statutory rate on corporate or treaty grossed-up 3/ tax rate rate dividends Total realized tax rate on grossed-up dividends 30, 39. 47, 18, 47, 25, 30.0 33.7 7.6 21.0 25.2 1.8 15.4 25.0 40.0 20.0 40.0 30.0 25.0 15.0 15.0 38.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 10.0 17.4 24.2 10.5 32.5 15.7 18.7 10.5 9.9 35.1 7.9 3.7 0.0 8.5 47. 63. 57. 51. 63. 43, 40. 43, 42. 28. 28, 1, 23, 0.0 54.5 5.7 6/ 38.6 19.0 4.7 30.9 41.9 28.0 18.0 25.0 15.0 0.0 12.5 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 18.0 11.4 14.1 0.0 10, 1 14 3 10 4 8. 7 10.8 18.0 65.9 19.8 38 29 19 41 50 38.8 10.5 44.7 15.1 60.0 30.0 10.0 53.7 16.6 8.5 64.2 61.3 23.6 21. 2 57.0 39.3 25. 7 31.0 11.1 52.2 68.1 Middle East Iran Israel Lebanon 10.0 56.5 42.0 55.0 42.0 60.0 60.0 33.3 3.4 15.0 Asia: Sri Lanka India Table 3 - continued Withholding tax rates : on dividends distributed Statutory Tax Rates Country Corporate Tax Rate 1/ Malaysia Pakistan Phillippines Singapore Taiwan Thailand Hong Kong Japan Indones ia Distributed : Local profits tax 2/ : Income rate, if different : taxes 40.0 60.0 35.0 40.0 25.0 30.0 15.0 40. 0 45.0 28.0 12.0 Realized Corporate tax rate 3/ Statutory or Treaty Rate Realized Rate on grossed-up dividends 40.0 15.0 35.0 40.0 10.0 25.0 0.0 10. 0 20.0 28.8 7.1 24.6 29.2 9.4 21.3 0.0 5.6 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.7 22.6 18.0 37.5 12.2 36.7 15.0 10.0 14.1 29.0 13.2 6.3 27 52 29 26 6 14 15 47.4 36.4 6/ Total realized tax rate on grossed-up dividends 56. 59. 54. 56. 15. 36. 15. 53, 49, Other Western Hemisphere: Bahamas Bermuda Netherlands Antilles Dominican Republic Jamaica Puerto Rico Trinidad & Tobago 5.1 0.3 34.0 41 45 40 45 1 0 0 0 15.0 4.5 6/ 5.1 0.3 4.5 35.8 51.6 25.4 43.0 April 6, 1976 Office of the. Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis NOTES: 1/ For some countries, 1974 rates were unavailable and 1973 rates were used. "2/ The distributed profits tax rate reflects both split rates and imputation systems. 3/ Estimated by increasing (or decreasing) the 1968 realized corporate rate for manufacturing by the percentage _ change in the statutory corporate rate. 4/ Dividends are fully deductible from earnings in Greece and Norway; in Belgium, they are deductible within limits. 5/ Included in the corporate rate. 6/ This is the realized rate for all industries SOURCES: M.E. Kyrouz, "Foreign Tax Rates and Tax Bases," National Tax Journal, March 1975; unpublished data. - 30 - principally affect U.S. investment in the 37 countries in the latter category. Of these 37 countries, 27 were less developed countries which presumably rely on tax relief to promote development. 4. Administrative aspects. U.S. "shareholders" in a controlled foreign corporation are required to report the CFC's earnings and profits under U.S. accounting standards. This information is needed to calculate the deemed paid foreign tax credit. 1/ In most cases, therefore, the elimination of deferral would require little information not already reported for U.S. tax purposes. 2} However, in practical terms, the Internal Revenue Service would need to expand its auditing efforts and its staff of international specialists very substantially if deferral were terminated. The present IRS staff includes some 150 international specialists. These specialists are re sponsible for questions concerning international pricing and allocation of expenses, Subpart F, DISC and similar special status corporations, and other international tax issues. In 1974, about 700 international audits were completed. Under existing law, the direct and deemed paid foreign tax credits are generally m o r e than sufficient to offset U. S. tax liability on dividends from foreign subsidiaries. F r o m a practical standpoint, therefore, it is not rewarding for the Internal Revenue Service to examine the majority of C F C returns (in 1974, about 40, 000 C F C returns were filed). But with the partial or complete termination of deferral, the exact calculation of the earnings and profits of a foreign subsidiary would become more important. The IRS would have to increase its international staff very substantially to meet the new demands. 1/ The deemed paid credit (Section 902) is calculated as: Dividends x Foreign income tax = Deemed paid credit Earnings and profits The denominator of the first term on the left must be calculated according to U.S. accounting standards. Note that earnings and profits is an after-tax concept. 2/ Additional information would be required to the extent that the definition of earnings and profits for purposes of the deemed paid foreign tax credit (Sections 902 and 964) differs from the general definition of earnings and profits. Moreover, C F C s that presently distribute no income would now be required to report earnings and profits. - 31 5. Investment impact. With the termination of deferral foreign subsidiary corporations, facing a higher tax rate than competing local firms, might diminish their activities. Out of a given volume of pre-tax earnings, C F C s would have fewer funds available for reinvestment. In order to maintain the same after-tax earnings as a percentage of investment, they might sacrifice less profitable product lines and, where possible, they might raise prices. A s a result, C F C sales abroad might contract. But there is a wide range of opinion on the ensuing consequences for investment in the United States. Some observers believe that investment would be partly shifted back to the United States, thereby increasing economic activity in the United States and domestic corporate earnings. These observers contend that foreign and domestic investment are at least partial substitutes, and that, when markets and investment opportunities are lost in one area, multinational firms will reallocate their resources to another part of the globe. Other observers contend that little or no investment would be shifted back to the United States. They argue that profitable investment and production opportunities are highly specific both in time and place, and that the loss of foreign markets abroad does little to create new investment opportunities in the United States. Indeed, the loss of foreign markets might impair the access of American producers to new foreign technology, and might impede the realization of economies inherent in large scale production and international specialization, with a consequent attenuation of domestic investment opportunities. Professor Horst has constructed a mathematical model to simulate the impact of terminating deferral on manufacturing investment in the United States and abroad ._1/ In this model, foreign and domestic investment are assumed to be partial substitutes for one another. Investment in each location is determined both by relative after-tax rates of return, and by the firm's overall supply of financial resources. The model assumes that a multinational manufacturing firm maximizes its global after-tax earnings. The firm invests both in the United States and in a single foreign country. Its investment can be financed out of its own retained earnings, with new equity capital, or with borrowed funds, raised either in the American or in the foreign capital markets. U.S. funds can be transferred to the foreign affiliate either as equity capital or as interest-bearing debt. The division of taxable income between countries depends on investment and sales in eachcountry, and on the level of deductible intrafirm expenses, such as interest payments, royalties, and he ad-office charges. 1/ T h o m a s Horst, "American Multinationals and the U. S. Economy", American Economic Review, M a y 1976. - 32 - A change in tax policy, either in the United States or abroad, will have two conceptually distinct effects: a substitution effect, resulting from any change in the after-tax rate of return on foreign or domestic investment; and a liquidity effect, resulting from any change in after-tax earnings available for reinvestment. The size of the substitution and liquidity effects depends not only on the opportunities for investing and borrowing in the two countries, but also on the firm's own internal use of debt and equity capital. Although the model is basically simple, it requires more than thirty equations to capture the details of foreign and domestic investment opportunities and tax systems. M a n y parameters must be estimated before usable results can be obtained. A s in any exercise of this nature, the results are subject to a considerable margin of error. The results are summarized in Table 4. The estimates portray the investment impact after complete adjustment to the termination of deferral. Complete adjustment could, of course, require several years. Both the substitution effect and the liquidity effect are reflected in the estimates. The estimates in Table 4 suggest that the stock of plant and equipment investment in the United States manufacturing sector might ultimately increase by $2.2 billion (a change of 0. 7 percent) with an end to deferral, while the stock of U.S. owned manufacturing assets abroad might ultimately decrease by $3.5 billion ( a change of 2. 3 percent). Consolidated after-tax earnings would decrease by about $980 million. U.S. corporate taxes would increase by about $1,000 million, while foreign corporate income and withholding taxes would decline by about $210 million. These revenue estimates, like the underlying investment impact estimates, are based on the assumptions of the particular model. 1/ Professor Horst's model attempts to capture a variety of interactions between U.S. parent corporations and their foreign subsidiaries. Even so, the model requires m a n y simplifying assumptions. In particular, the following complicating factors are not considered. The model assumes that foreign and domestic investments are partial substitutes, and then proceeds to calculate the extent of substitution. Many observers would dispute the assumption of a substitute relationship between foreign and domestic investment. If the assumption is wrong, the estimates of additional investment in the United States and larger U. S. tax revenues are also wrong. 1/ Revenue estimates made under various assumptions are presented in Section 7. Table 4 Estimated Impact of Terminating Deferral on Selected Economic Variables for U.S. Multinational Manufacturing Firms 1/ (Millions of Dollars) Initial Values: Estimated Changes Total domestic assets 2/ 314,000 2,200 Total foreign assets 2/ 151,000 -3,500 Consolidated after-tax earnings _3/ 28,500 U.S. corporate income tax on domestic and foreign income after investment tax credit and foreign tax credit 3/ 980 13,400 1,000 4/ Foreign corporate income and dividend withholding taxes 7,700 -210 5/ Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis April 6, 1976 Sources: The estimated changes are adapted from estimates made by Thomas Horst, "American Multinationals and the U.S. Economy," Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, November 1975, and unpublished work. The initial values are derived from: U.S. Senate, Committee on Finance, Implications of Multinational Firms for World Trade and Investment and Labor, February 19 73; Survey of Current Business, October 1975; Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1975; U.S. Treasury Department, Statistics of Income 1972: Corporation Income Tax Returns. 1/ The initial value figures refer to the year 1974. The estimated change figures represent the impact after complete adjustment to the termination of deferral. The figures in the estimated change column include the impact resulting from the extension of Subpart F in the Tax Reduction Act of 1975. 2/ The initial value figures are based on the 1970 estimates for giant multinational manufacturing firms contained in Implications of Multinational Firms, p. 432, increased to reflect smaller manufacturing firms with overseas investment (15 percent of total overseas investment), and increased again to reflect growth between 1970 and 1974 (Statistical Abstract of the United Spates, 1975, p. 500; Survey of Current Business, October 1975). The foreign asset figures include investment by foreigners in U.S. affiliates. The estimated changes are based on Professor Horst's model. 3/ The initial values refer to the consolidated after-tax earnings and U.S. and foreign income taxes for all manufacturing firms claiming a foreign tax credit. The estimated changes are based on Professor Horst's model. 47 This estimate reflects additional U.S. taxes from: (i) Subpart F as expanded by the Tax Reduction Act of 1975 ($250 million); (ii) termination of deferral with worldwide pooling, an overall foreign tax credit limit, and current dividend distribution rates ($365 million); (iii) an increase in U.S. investment and the greater use of equity capital in the United States ($385 million). Detail is shown in Table 11. 5/ This estimate reflects a decline in foreign taxes resulting from: (i) a decrease in foreign investment; (ii) the greater use of debt capital for foreign affiliates. - 34 - Professor Stobaugh, for example, contends that the termination of deferral could lead to a cumulative decline in the profitability and investment both of foreign affiliates and their U.S. parent corporationsAl The U.S. multinational firms would have fewer funds available for reinvestment, and in order to maintain the same after-tax rate of return, they might concede some business to competing foreign firms. With slower growth and smaller sales, they might be less able to improve techniques of production, and they would have a smaller base for spreading research, administrative, and other fixed costs. The cumulative effect could be lower profits and a decline in investment, both in the United States and abroad. Apart from investment changes resulting from corporate decisions, foreign governments might alter their own tax rules in response to the termination of deferral. The changes could be designed not only to offset U. S. revenue gains, but also to counter any shift of investment towards the United States. For example, foreign governments might provide special investment incentives for non-American firms. Through bank financing and other avenues, these incentives could indirectly attract capital from the United States. These considerations suggest that the changes portrayed in Table 4 should be viewed as upper-limit estimates of the investment impact of terminating deferral. 6. Financial impact. Foreign subsidiaries can finance their expansion either by issuing debt or by increasing equity capital (including the retention of earnings). The funds can be provided either by the parent corporation or by unrelated investors. A change in deferral would affect the tax cost of only one source of capital, namely equity funding provided by the parent corporation. Other sources of capital would be available on the same tax terms as before. With a limitation on deferral, the foreign affiliate thus might find it more advantageous to finance expansion through external local borrowing, or through intrafirm debt, rather than through equity capital supplied by the U.S. parent corporation. 2/ The net effect is that a larger share of earnings might be paid out as interest and a smaller share might be retained or paid out as dividends. 1/ Robert B. Stobaugh, "The U.S. Economy and the Proposed U S. Income Tax on Unremitted Earnings of U. S. Controlled Foreign Manufacturing Operations Abroad", Harvard Business School, 2/ Financial shifts of this type are included in Professor Horst's model of investment decisions discussed in the previous section. - 35 - Table 5 presents a hypothetical example to illustrate the case in which local borrowing is increased after the termination of deferral. For simplicity, a U. S. corporate tax rate of 50 percent and a foreign corporate tax rate of 25 percent are assumed. Foreign earnings before interest charges are kept constant throughout the analysis, implying the same real level of foreign activity. 1/ No dividends are distributed from subsidiary to parent, and tnus no withholding taxes are paid. The parent firm can choose between raising a certain amount of debt abroad, limited to 200 in this example, or financing the affiliate entirely with equity capital. If it raises debt abroad, the parent can reduce its equity commitment to the foreign affiliate and increase its use of equity capital in the United States. The interest rate on foreign debt is assumed to be 10 percent, while domestically owned assets are assumed to earn 15 percent before tax. Domestic assets thus earn a higher pre-tax return than the cost of foreign debt. This is a crucial assumption; otherwise it would not be sensible for the firm to incur the risk of borrowing abroad. Under present U. S. law, the firm would be indifferent between borrowing abroad and financing the affiliate entirely with equity. In both cases, its total after-tax income would be 175. 2/ If deferral is terminated, the outcome changes. The firm's total income after tax declines, and U. S. tax collections rise. Equally important, the firm now has an incentive to borrow abroad. Consolidated income after tax would be 150 with all equity financing and 155 with some local debt. The hypothetical firm can thus increase its after-tax income by redeploying some of its assets from investment in the foreign subsidiary to investment in the United States. The process of redeployment would increase U. S. tax from 125 to 135. The partial or complete termination of deferral could place some U. S. firms1 foreign subsidiaries in the position of this hypothetical firm. They might find it advantageous to substitute local borrowing by the affiliate for equity capital supplied by the parent firm. 3/ V In fact, foreign operations would probably contract in face of the higher tax burden on foreign earnings. 2} The tax authorities of the two countries are not, however, indifferent to the means of finance. The substitution of local debt for equity capital would reduce the foreign corporate tax from 25 to 20 and increase the U. S. corporate tax from 100 to 115. 3/ A similar example could be devised to illustrate the effect of substituting intrafirm debt for equity financing. Table 5 1/ The Effect of Deferral on the Use of Local Debt by a Hypothetical Foreign Subsidiary With U.S. Deferral Some Local All Equity Debt Finance Without U.S. Deferral Some Local All Equity Debt Finance __£___» (D nu Ql 100 100 100 100 0 20 0 20 100 80 100 80 25 20 25 20 0 0 25 20 75 60 50 40 7. Domestic taxable income 200 230 200 230 8. U.S. corporate tax on domestic income at 50 percent 100 115 100 115 9. Domestic income after tax 100 115 100 115 10. Total income after tax 175 175 150 155 11. Total U.S. tax 100 115 125 135 Foreign Subsidiary 2J 1. Foreign earnings before interest charges 2. Interest paid locally 3. Foreign taxable income 4. Foreign corporate tax at 25 percent 5. U.S. corporate tax at 50 percent, after credit 6. Foreign income after all taxes U.S. Parent Consolidated Results Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis February 4, 1976 1/ The following assumptions are made: (a) the foreign interest rate equals 10 percent; (b) the foreign debt in cases (2) and (4) equals 200, and the addition to domestically owned assets also equals 200; (c) pre-tax earnings equal 15 percent of domestically owned assets; (d) no actual distribution of dividends is made from the subsidiary to the parent. _ 2/ The foreign subsidiary is 100 percent owned by the U.S. parent corporation. - 37 It is difficult to estimate the potential importance of taxinduced changes in means of finance. Many firms m a y have already borrowed abroad as m u c h as they realistically can. Foreign debt has advantages, but it also has risks--in particular the risk of credit rationing with a change in government policies abroad. Likewise, there m a y be administrative and other limits on intrafirm debt. Table 6 illustrates the extent of debt and equity financing by foreign affiliates in 1972. N e w foreign debt supplied a major part of available funds, ranging between 38 percent in the case of m a n u facturing affiliates to 57 percent in the case of other industries. Intrafirm debt and other debt from U. S. sources supplied between 8 and 25 percent of available funds. N e w equity capital from the United States only supplied between 4 and 6 percent, while retained earnings supplied between 16 and 45 percent of available funds. There appears to be little scope for the substitution of fresh debt for fresh equity capital, but fresh debt might, to a limited extent, replace retained earnings. 7 « Revenue impact. In general, revenue estimates are made to indicate actual or potential U. S. tax collections resulting from the existing tax structure or a change in that structure. The focus here is on changes in tax revenue resulting from the partial or complete elimination of deferral, or the selective expansion of Subpart F. Background estimates are also given for present tax revenues attributable to Subpart F. The Tax Reduction Act of 1975 substantially extended the scope of Subpart F, and correspondingly reduced the scope of remaining revenue gains from the termination of deferral. These effects are reflected in the comparison between estimates for 1974 and 1976 in Table 7. Note that the collateral tax changes enumerated in Table 1 which would m o v e the United States closer to a system of capital-export neutrality are not shown in Table 7. Instead, Table 7 focuses on the taxation of undistributed earnings viewed in isolation. The estimates of possible revenue gains from the further termination of deferral are influenced both by the policy option chosen and by possible behavioral changes. (a) Policy options. The revenue estimates obviously depend on three important policy choices: (i) the extent to which deferral is eliminated or Subpart F is extended; (ii) whether the overall or the per-country limitation is applied to the foreign tax credit (under the Tax Reform Act of 1976, virtually all firms must use the overall limitation); (iii) the extent to which foreign subsidiary losses are permitted as an offset against foreign subsidiary profits. The policy options are analyzed in Part IV. Tables 8 and 9 present revenue estimates for the alternative policies. The revenue estimates are based on the standard assumption of no behavioral change, discussed in the following subsection (b). Certain important features should be noted. Under prior law, the great majority of firms customarily elected the overall limitation in calculating the foreign tax credit. Under the Tax Reduction - 38 Table 6 1/ Financing of Foreign Affiliates, 1972 (Percent of Total Funds) Petroleum : Manufacturing : Other Source of funds: 1. Internal funds: Retained earnings 15.6 45.1 23.8 2. External funds: Equity capital: 4.5 5.5 4.1 U.S. owned 2/ 0.1 3.4 3.9 Foreign owned Debt capital: U.S. owned: 24.2 5.0 5.9 intrafirm debt 2/ unrelated financial 0.7 2.8 5.0 institutions 1.9 1.8 20.1 Foreign owned: related firms 53.0 36.4 37.2 unrelated financial institutions T °tal 100.0 100.0 100.0 Office of the Secretary ot the Treasury February 4, 1976 Office of Tax Analysis Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Survey of Current Business (July 1975). t Detail may not add to totals due to rounding. 1/ Estimates are based on a sample of majority-owned foreign affiliates. 2/ The apportionment of funds between U.S. owned equity and intrafirm debt was based on the ratio of net equity to total net capital outflows for 1973 reported in U.S. Department of Commerce, Survey of Current Business (October 1975), p. 47. -39Table 7 Actual Revenue from Subpart F and Potential Revenue from Termination of Deferral, with Overall Limitation on Foreign Tax Credit (Millions of Dollars) 1974 Calendar : Changes Resulting : 1976 Calendar Year Tax : from the Tax Reduc-: Year Tax Liabilities : tion Act of 1975 : Liabilities 1/ Total actual and potential revenue from current taxation of CFC retained earnings 615 n.a. 615 Potential revenue from the termination of deferral, total 2/ 59Q -225 365 Mining 0 0 0 Petroleum and Refining 0 0 0 -215 362 -10 3 225 250 n.a. 25 225 225 Manufacturing 577 Other 13 Actual revenue from Subpart F, total 25 Pre-1975 revenue 25 Tax Reduction Act changes _3/ Office of the Secretary of the Treasury April 6, 1976 Office of Tax Analysis n.a. indicates not applicable. 1/ It is assumed that there was no change between 1974 and 1976 in corporate foreign source income affected by deferral. 2/ These estimates assume: (i) dividends from less developed country corporations are "grossed up" for purposes of calculating the tentative U.S. tax and the foreign tax credit; (ii) foreign subsidiary losses are fully offset against foreign subsidiary profits; (iii) all firms use the overall limitation in calculating the foreign tax credit; (iv) no behavioral change. 3/ The Tax Reduction Act changes were: (i) eliminate minimum distribution ($100 million); (ii) eliminate the less developed country corporation exception ($15 million); (iii) change the 30-70 rule to a 10-70 rule ($75 million); (iv) repeal the shipping exclusion ($35 million). Table 8 1/ Revenue Changes from Alternative Proposals to End Deferral (Millions of Dollars) 1976 Calendar Year Tax Liabilities "3T Earnings and Profits Plus Required Percentage Earnings and Profits Branch and Royalty Income Distribution 2/ Overall Per-country Overall : Per-country Limitation 4/ Limitation Limitation Limitation 4/ $ 630 $ 365 $ 630 $ 365 100 250 150 385 215 75 50 10 150 55 50 February 3, 1976 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 1/ The estimates assume: (i) dividends from less developed country corporations are "grossed ~~ up" for purposes of calculating the tentative U.S. tax and the foreign tax credit; (ii) CFC profits and losses are consolidated on the same basis as the foreign tax credit limitation that is, either on an overall or a per-country basis; (iii) no behavioral change, in 4s particular the current dividend distribution rate is maintained. o 2/ With a 100 percent required distribution, deferral is totally ended. With a 75 percent ~ or 50 percent required distribution, U.S. parent corporations would be deemed to have received the difference between 75 percent or 50 percent of income (defined either as earnings and profits or as earnings and profits plus branch and royalty income) and the amount actually received (either dividends or dividends plus branch and royalty income). 3/ These figures represent additions to 1976 revenues collected under Subpart F ($250 million) 4/ These estimates assume that the per-country limitation is already in place, and that ~ deferral is then ended. The revenue changes refer only to the additional impact of eliminating deferral. - 41 Table 9 Termination of Deferral with Alternative Consolidation Requirements and with Current Dividend Distribution Rate 1/ (Millions of Dollars) : 1976 Calendar Year : Tax Liabilities _l Overall limitation on foreign tax credit Worldwide consolidation of CFCs 365 No consolidation of CFCs 1,100 Per-country limitation on foreign tax credit -I Country consolidation of CFCs 630 No consolidation of CFCs 1,300 Office ot the Secretary ot the Treasury April 6, 1976 Office of Tax Analysis 1/ These estimates are variants of the estimates in Table 5. The estimates assume: (i) dividends from less developed country corporations are "grossed up"; (ii) no behavioral change, in particular, the present dividend distribution rate is maintained. 2/ These figures represent additions to the 1976 revenue collected under Subpart F ($250 million). 3/ These estimates assume that the per-country limitation is already in place, and that deferral is then ended. The revenue changes refer only to the additional impact of eliminating deferral. - 42 Act of 1975, petroleum firms were required to use the overall limitation for foreign oil related income in taxable years ending after December 31, 1975. Under the Tax Reform Act of 1976, compulsory use of the overall limitation was extended to all firms for taxable years beginning after December 31, 1975._1/ Transition rules were provided for mining companies and firms operating in U.S. possessions. The overall limitation permits extensive tax averaging between income from hightax and low-tax jurisdictions. Thus, the elimination of deferral coupled with the overall limitation produces less revenue than the elimination of deferral coupled with the per-country limitation. If losses are not allowed as an offset against profits as between related subsidiaries, the revenue estimate becomes much larger. This reflects the substantial losses experienced by foreign subsidiaries. Contrary to popular belief, it is not true that the bulk of foreign losses are concentrated in foreign branches. Rough estimates for 1975 indicate that foreign subsidiaries experienced losses of $2.2 billion while foreign branches had losses of $0. 3 billion. (b) Behavioral change. Revenue estimates are usually based on a standard assumption of no behavioral change. The standard assumption is useful in two respects: first, it is helpful to know the initial impact of a tax measure before adjustment occurs; second, the nature, extent and speed of behavioral changes are not easily forecast. Yet behavioral changes usually accompany any important tax measure. In the international tax area, not only will multinational firms adjust their dividend distribution rates, investment decisions, and financing policies in response to U.S. tax legislation, but also foreign governments may modify their own tax rules. At least four reactions are possible. First, foreign subsidiaries might increase their dividend distributions in order to ensure and accelerate recognition of the foreign tax credit for dividend withholding taxes. Second, the extent of investment in foreign subsidiaries might be curtailed. At the same time, U.S. parent firms might increase their investment in the United States. The financing of foreign subsidiaries might be modified to reduce reliance on intrafirm equity, and increase reliance on intrafirm debt, and more importantly, external debt. Third, U.S. parent firms might place greater stress on minority participation in new ventures and they might attempt to "decontrol" some existing C F C s . Four, foreign governments might selectively increase their own taxation of U.S. controlled foreign corporations. 1/ The reason for compulsory use of the overall limitation is to prevent U.S. corporations from offsetting foreign branch losses incurred in some countries against U.S. source income, while claiming aforeign tax credit on foreign source income earned in other countries. - 43 - Each of these four reactions would affect the revenue implications of terminating deferral. Some would increase U. S. revenue; others would decrease U. S. revenue. The following paragraphs summarize the possible revenue consequences of these behavioral changes. (i) Change in distribution rates. U. S. foreign subsidiaries typically distribute approximately 45 percent of their after-foreign-tax earnings. The revenue estimates in Table 7, 8, and 9 are based on this distribution rate. By contrast, Table 10 shows the revenue effect of increasing the distribution rate to 100 percent of foreign after-tax earnings. U. S. revenue gains would be substantially or completely eroded because foreign withholding taxes creditable under Section 901 would be larger. 1/ In fact, if the termination of deferral induced a 100 percent distribution rate, with an overall limitation on the foreign tax credit and worldwide u° n f^ 1 c d a t i ° n ° f f o r e i g n subsidiary income, the U. S. revenue loss would be $375 million. Under a per-country limitation, the revenue loss" would be $105 million. The revenue losses are calculated by reference to taxes otherwise collected under Subpart F, as expanded by the Tax Reduction Act of 1975. The reason for these revenue losses is that additional foreign withholding taxes would be credited against existing U. S. taxes collected both on Subpart F income and on foreign source dividends, interest, rents, royalties, fees, and branch income. The revenue losses would be more than proportional to any intermediate increase in dividend distributions from the current rate of about 45 percent to the hypothetical m a x i m u m rate of 100 percent. Most of the loss would occur with the first increments in the overall dividend distribution rate, since additional dividends would presumably be distributed first from C F C s paying the highest foreign taxes. (ii) Foreign vs. domestic investment. Tables 11 and 12 present rough and conflicting estimates of the revenue consequences of changes m investment behavior resulting from the termination of deferral. The revenue estimates in Table 11 are based on Professor Horst's model which attempts to measure the investment and financial position of a multinational firm after it has fully adjusted to the termination of deferral. The model, described in Section 5, assumes that the firm can to some extent choose between foreign and domestic investment, and between alternative means of financing its assets. The estimates in Table 11 are made from two starting points: the current dividend distribution rate and a 100 percent dividend distribution rate. The dividend distribution rate affects both the division of revenue changes between the United States and foreign governments, and the total amount of these changes. V The same revenue effects would result if foreign governments imposed withholding taxes on deemed distributions of foreign affiliates. - 44 Table 10 Revenue Effect of 100 Percent Dividend Distribution Rate (Millions of Dollars) 1976 Calendar Year Tax Liabilities Overall : Per-country Limitation : Limitation 2/ Total actual and potential revenue from current taxation of CFC earnings Potential revenue from 100 percent dividend distribution rate 1/ Mining -125 145 -375 -105 -5 5 115 Petroleum and Refining Manufacturing 315 -240 Other -55 15 Actual revenue from Subpart F, total 250 250 Pre-1975 revenue 25 25 Tax Reduction Act changes 225 225 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury February 3, 1^76" Office of Tax Analysis 1/ The estimates assume: (i) dividends from less developed country corporations are "grossed up" for purposes of calculating the tentative U.S. tax and the foreign tax credit; (ii) CFC profits and losses are pooled on the same basis as the foreign tax credit limitation; (iii) no behavioral change, except that all CFCs increase their actual dividend distribution rates to 100 percent. 2/ These estimates assume that the per-country limitation is already in place, and that deferral is then ended. The revenue changes refer only to the additional impact of eliminating deferral. Table 11 Termination of Deferral with Assumed Changes in Investment Location and Means of Finance (Millions of Dollars) 1976 Calendar Year Tax Liability Current Dividend 100% Dividend Distribution Rate Distribution Rate Total actual and potential U.S. revenue from current taxation of CFC earnings, with specified investment and financing changes 1/ 1,000 Actual revenue from Subpart F, total 250 250 Potential revenue from termination of deferral with no investment or financing changes 365 -375 _3__5_ 385 -15 -15 -10 -10 90 90 320 320 Potential revenue from possible changes in investment and financing: 2/ (1) Effects on foreign source income— (a) Decrease in CFC earnings (b) Decrease in royalties, fees, and interest repatriated to the United States (2) Effects on domestic source income — (a) Increase in domestic investment (b) Increase in use of equity capital in the United States and increase in use of external debt abroad Change in foreign revenue from corporate income and dividend withholding taxes 31 (D Effect of 100 percent dividend distribution rate on dividend withholding taxes (2) Effect of reduced size and increased use of external debt by CFCs on corporate income tax and withholding tax 260 Addenda: Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 1/ 2/ 3/ -210 — -210 630 840 -210 February 4, 1976 The estimates assume: (i) dividends from less developed countries are "grossed up" for purposes of calculating the tentative U.S. tax and the foreign tax credit; (ii) worldwide pooling of CFC profits and losses, and an overall limitation on the foreign tax credit; (iii) specified behavioral changes in dividend distribution rates, investment and financing. The detail underlying these figures appears in Tables 7 and 10. The estimates represent the revenue impact after full adjustments to the current taxation of CFC earnings, including adjustments to the Tax Reduction Act of 1975. The adjustments would, in fact, take several years. The estimates are adapted from a model developed by Thomas Horst, "American Multinational and the U.S. Economy," American Economic Review, May 1976. The estimates assume no change in foreign tax laws. Table 12 Termination of Deferral with Assumed Adverse Impact on Competitive Position of U.S. CFCs (Millions of Dollars) Calendar Year Tax Liabilities" 1976 ; TWL Estimated U.S. revenue from corporate taxation of all foreign source income with termination of deferral 1/ Estimated U.S. revenue from corporate taxation of all foreign source income under current law 2/ Estimated change in U.S. revenue with termination of deferral Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 2,610 3,200 2,245 3,600 365 -400 April 6, 1976 1/ The 1976 figure is based on estimated 1976 revenues plus the potential revenue ~" from complete termination of deferral. The 1981 figure is adapted from a model developed by Robert B. Stobaugh, "The U.S. Economy and the Proposed U.S. Income Tax on Unremitted Foreign Earnings of U.S. Controlled Foreign Manufacturing Operations Abroad," Harvard Business School, 1975. 2/ The 1976 figure reflects the Tax Reduction Act of 1975. The 1981 figure assumes ~* an annual growth rate of 10 percent in the foreign source of U.S. corporations. -47- The potential U.S. revenue gain from changes in the location of investment and the means of finance, after all adjustments have taken place, is very roughly estimated at $385 million whether the dividend distribution rate remains at current levels or increases to 100 percent The figure of $385 million reflects a revenue loss of about $25 million from smaller C F C earnings and reduced intrafirm payments of interest, rents, royalties, and management fees, and a revenue gain of about $410 million from larger U.S. corporate investment and a shift in the means of finance. Foreign subsidiaries would rely to a greater extent on local debt finance, while U.S. parent corporations would use more equity capital. These calculations do not take into account possible attempts by foreign governments to offset the shift of investment location and means of finance through modification of their own tax laws. Under current dividend distribution rates, the model suggests that firms would pay an additional $750 million in U.S. taxes while they would pay $210 million less in foreign taxes. The net increase in corporate tax payments at h o m e and abroad would thus be $540 million. Under a 100 percent dividend distribution rate, the model suggests that firms would pay an additional $10 million in U. S. taxes and an additional $630 million in foreign taxes. The net increase in corporate tax payments at h o m e and abroad would be $640 million under this assumption. The revenue estimates in Table 12 are based on Professor Stobaugh's model which attempts to measure the long-term consequences of placing U.S. controlled foreign corporations at a competitive disadvantage through the termination of deferral. Again , these calculations do not take into account possible offsetting measures by foreign governments. The Stobaugh model assumes that higher U.S. taxes on CFCs will, after a period of time, cause a cumulative contraction in their market share, profitability, and the remittance of interest, royalties, and management fees to the U.S. parent corporations. Moreover, C F C s will find it advantageous to distribute a larger share of earnings and rely more heavily on debt finance.J./ The predicted result is a cumulative reduction in U.S. taxes not only on the foreign earnings of C F C S but also on the associated types of foreign income paid to U.S. parent firms. In 1981, five years after the termination of deferral, the model estimates that U.S. taxes on all foreign source income would be $400 million less than under present law. In succeeding years, the adverse revenue impact would be even larger. 1/ Both the Horst and Stobaugh models envisage a larger role for debt finance if deferral is terminated. - 48 - (iii) Minority participation and "decontrol". If deferral is terminated, some multinational firms might seek to minimize the impact of current U. S. taxation either by undertaking new foreign investments through minority ownership in joint venture arrangements or by "decontrolling" some of their existing C F C s . Either way, the retained earnings of the foreign corporation would not be subject to current U. S. taxation. However, decontrol of an existing C F C could entail substantial U. S. taxes on accumulated earnings and profits. Moreover, even if decontrol in the tax sense does not involve the total loss of control, it at least inhibits managerial flexibility, and makes international business decisions more difficult. A new minority ownership arrangement raises similar problems. While the difficulties associated with decontrol and minority ownership arrangements cannot be quantified, a useful perspective may be gained by comparing the total tax burden on U. S. multinational corporations with and without deferral. In 1976, total U. S. and foreign taxes on foreign source corporate income, other than income earned by the petroleum sector, were approximately $12. 3 billion. The complete termination of deferral might increase the tax burden by as much as $0.6 billion, or by 5 percent.^/ Because this figure is relatively modest, and because the tax costs alone of reorganization are substantial, it seems unlikely that m a n y multinational firms would reorganize their corporate structure as a means of avoiding current U. S. taxation. 2/ Table 13 gives the estimated structure of foreign affiliate earnings classified by the percentage of U. S. ownership in the affiliate. Only 5.2 percent of profits were earned by foreign affiliates owned less than 50 percent by U. S. parent corporations. Even if this percentage doubled or tripled, and even if the growth were concentrated in low-tax countries, the tax avoidance would be modest. If deferral was terminated, and if the proportion of earnings accounted for by non-CFC foreign affiliates subsequently increased to 10 percent, the revenue gain would be reduced by $50 million; at 15 percent, the reduction in revenue gain would be $100 million (Table 14). The potential revenue loss could be a greater problem if foreign affiliates owned exactly 50 percent by "U. S. shareholders" generally escaped classification as CFCs. Under the Garlock and Kraus decisions, U. S. ownership of exactly 50 percent of a foreign affiliate, coupled with actual U. S. control of the affiliate, might meet the test of Subpart F. The CCA, Inc. case represents a contrary position. V This figure, from Table 7, assumes an overall limitation on the foreign tax credit and includes Subpart F revenue. 2' J. S. Kramer and G. C. Hufbauer, "Higher U.S. Taxation Could Prompt Changes in Multinational Corporate Structure", International Tax Journal, Summer 1975. But see Forbes, "The Terrible Worry", July 15, 1976, p. 33. - 49 - Table 13 Net Earnings by Extent of U.S. Ownership in Foreign Affiliates (Millions of Dollars or Percent) U.S. ownership percentage 1073 net earnings 1/ BY AREA : : : Percent of net earnings All Areas 17,495 100.0 95-100% 50-94% 25-49% 10-24% 1-9% Canada 14,290 2,290 584 285 46 2,846 81.7 13.1 3.3 1.6 0.3 100.0 95-100% 50-94% 25-49% 10-24% 1-9% Western Europe 1,904 781 93 44 21 66.9 27.5 3.3 1.6 0.7 95-100% 50-94% 25-49% 10-24% 1-9% Latin America and other Western Hemisphere 95-100% 50-94% 25-49% 10-24% 1-9% 5,957 4,742 815 176 205 11 79.6 13.7 .3.0 3.4 0.2 2,628 100.0 2,387 185 43 9 4 90.8 7.0 1.7 0.4 0.1 - 50 " Table 13 - continued Percent of net earnings —UTS: ownership percentage Africa, Asia and Australia 95-100% 50-94% 25-49% 10-24% 1-9% 6,065 100.0 5,109 84.2 514 321 109 7 8.5 5.3 1.8 0.1 BY INDUSTRY Petroleum 6,183 100.0 95-100% 50-94% 25-49% 10-24% 1-9% Manufacturing 5,475 88.6 560 92 29 26 9.1 1.5 0.5 0.4 7,286 100.0 95-100% 50-94% 25-49% 10-24% 1-9% All other industries 5,668 1,138 77.8 ,15.6 ' 4.1 4,026 100.0 95-100% 50-94% 25-49% 10-24% 1-9% 3,145 78.1 14.7 300 160 19 592 192 26 1 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis Source 2.2 0.3 4.8 2.4 0.0 April 6, 1976 Based on Table B-10 of the Preliminary Draft of U.S. Direct Investments Abroad 1966 Part I: Balance of Payments Data (U.S. Department of Commerce, ly/U,, pp. 83-84; and Table 9 of J. Freidlin and L.A. Lupo, "U.S. Direct Investment Abroad in 1973," Survey of Current Business, (August 1974), Pt. II, pp" 16-17.— 1/ Net earnings are after-foreign tax. Foreign affiliates include foreign branches, counted as 100 percent owned by the U.S. parent corporation. Table 14 Estimated Revenue from Subpart F and Termination of Deferral with Increase of Non-CFC Earnings 1976 Calendar Year Tax Liability 5% of Earnings : 10% of Earnings : LD% of Earnings in non-CFCs : in non-CFCs : in non-CFCs Total actual and potential revenue from current taxation of CFC retained earnings Actual revenue from subpart F, total 615 565 515 250 250 250 Potential revenue from termination of deferral, total 1/ 365 365 365 -50 -100 Change in revenue from new minority participation or decontrol of CFCs 2/ February 4, 1976 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 1/ These estimates assume: (i) dividends from less developed country corporations are "grossed up" for purposes of calculating the tentative U.S. tax and the foreign tax credit (ii) foreign subsidiary losses are fully offset against foreign subsidiary profits and all firms use the overall limitation in calculating the foreign tax Credit! (iii) no behavioral change other than the specified changes in non-CFC earnings II Assumes that incremental non-CFC earnings are taxed by the foreign government at a " 20 percent rate, including withholding taxes. Non-CFC earnings are defined as the earnings of those foreign affiliates which are owned less than 50 percent by U.S. shareholders." - 52 (iv) Higher foreign taxes. If deferral were terminated, foreign U ' •1_\*L\A opipctivelv increase the tax burden on U.S. controlled f^^r^^ Whe ?, thG f eign taX r a te aS ^ -t h h J o w e r t h l t h e U.S. tax rate. Alternatively, they could raise withholding to rates and reat deemed dividend distributions as actual dividend distributions for withholding tax purposes. Such changes in foreign t a f S t T c e s would take time, and would probably not occur as an immediate'response to the termination of deferral, but the long-term ££ulofsucTchanges would be lower U.S. tax collections and higher forPi^tax collections. The revenue outcome would be similar to the estiX s ^ e s S t a Table 10 for a 100 percent distribution rate. U.S. Sxes collected on the retained earnings of foreign subsidiaries would be diminished as a result of higher foreign taxes. 8. Summary of the analysis. Before turning to the policy options, it might be useful to restate the major issues and findings. The debate surrounding deferral has often lacked a clear definition of objectives The termination of deferral has been urged at different times by different groups seeking at least five different objectives. (a) To improve tax neutrality; (b) To eliminate tax avoidance; (c) To simplify the tax law; (d) To discourage foreign investment; (e) To increase U.S. tax revenues. These different objectives can lead to conflicting policies. (a) Tax neutrality. The termination of deferral would, of course, be diametrically opposed to the principles of capital-import neutrality. The current taxation of retained C F C earnings is usually urged as a step not toward capital-import neutrality, but rather as a step towarJ capital-export neutrality. But the termination of deferral would not by itself advance the standard of capital-export neutrality. With tne end of deferral, the U.S. tax system would on the whole favor domestic investment even more than it does now. Collateral changes would be required in the investment tax credit, the accelerated depreciation range, DISC, and other tax practices in order to approach capital-ex port neutrality. (b) Tax avoidance. In the context of foreign corporate investment, tax avoidance is sometimes very broadly defined to occur whenever tne realized foreign tax rate is less than the statutory U.S. rate of 48 percent. If this broad definition is accepted, then the termination of deferral would eliminate virtually all cases of tax avoidance. However, tax avoidance is often defined more narrowly, either wi ^ reference to realized U. S. tax rates or with reference to artificial corporate structures and business arrangements. - 53 W h e n tax avoidance is defined with reference to realized U. S. tax rates, then its extent is much less significant. The investment tax credit, asset depreciation range, DISC, and other domestic tax preferences all serve to reduce the realized U.S. corporate tax rate on domestic income which, in 1974, was about 41 percent._l/ However, the termination of deferral would generally subject C F C income to a tax of 48 percent Tax avoidance would be more than offset, and in fact, foreign corporate income would generally be taxed at a higher rate than domestic corporate income. Fv.-_.ci-e When tax avoidance is defined with reference to artificial corporate structures and business arrangements, then the appropriate solution might involve an extension and strengthening of Subpart F rather than the general 8 termination of deferral. 2/ H^k? Ta^ s|mpl^cation. It has been argued that the termination of ^/.fi/ V T t 0 t h G s i m P l i f i c ^ion of tax law and administration. Subpart F could be repealed, since all C F C income would be taxed currently. Moreover, there would be somewhat less pressure on arm'slength pricing rules (Section 482), on the non-recognition provisions involving transfers of capital, technology, and other property to foreign corporations (Sections 351 and 367), and on reorganizations involving foreign corporations (Section 367). involving However, the partial termination of deferral would introduce m X T e T h r 7 r m p l i C + a t i ° n S / n t ° the taX C O d e ' T h e s e complications could Tlloctnnl? J % T fn,°l a u ? . i n i m u m Percentage distribution and the rpia^H a deemed distribution among C F C s in the same group of related corporations (in the case of partial termination), the measurement of subsidiary earnings and profits and taxable income according to U S accounting standards, the extent of consolidation of C F C s , and r es to deal with attempted avoidance through decontrol. These complications are discussed in Section 3 of part IV. v.umpncaiions ,+ u i?} fovestmentand financial impact. Based on one economic model ; " a s been calculated that the termination of deferral might, over a period as * T ; hfufon S# ^ o r P ° r a t i o n s to reduce their foreign assets by as much m c r e a s e tneir I L M I A \ ™ ' ^ domestic assets by $2.2 billion liable 4). These estimates depend on numerous assumptions, and m a y S t a t e n e n t s of the sulltTLTvl™ ? investment impact. Other models suggest that U.S. corporations would reduce both their U.S. and foreign investment as a result of the termination of deferral. In general the estimates do not reflect the possibility of adverse foreign reaction. ' 1/ The realized tax rate figure of 41 percent does not reflect the base broadening meaures contemplated in Table 1. For example, accelerated depreciation and certain reserves (e.g. for bad debt) are not taken into account. 2/ It should be noted that the overall limitation, which permits an averaging of the taxes imposed by high-tax and low-tax countries, can create more potential for tax avoidance than deferral. -54- In addition to its impact on real investment, the termination of deferral might encourage firms to change their means of finance. Some firms might find it advantageous to substitute borrowing for parent firm equity. The extent of such substitution would depend on a variety of considerations, including tax rules adopted by host countries. (e) U.S. tax revenue. The effect of terminating deferral on U.S. revenue depends oh several factors . Under the standard assumption of no change in corporate or foreign government behavior, the revenue gain could be $365 million (Table 7). Other assumptions suggest lower revenue gains, or even revenue losses. For example, under the assumptions that all C F C earnings would be actually distributed following the termination of deferral, the U.S. loss could be $375 million (Table 10). -55IV. OPTIONS Legislative options on deferral can be grouped into four broad categories: (1) retain the present system; (2) broaden Subpart F to include m o r e types of income; (3) partly or completely terminate deferral by requiring that deemed and actual distributions equal some portion or all of C F C earnings; and (4) terminate deferral in the context either of providing a special statutory deduction for foreign source income or of repealing domestic tax preferences. Option (3) involves secondary questions as to the extent of consolidation between subsidiaries, and the choice of exclusively using the overall limitation on the foreign tax credit, or reinstating the per-country limitation as the exclusive method. 1. Retain present system. It can be argued that no further legislation is needed on the deferral issue. The Tax Reduction Act of 1975 substantially extended Subpart F, and as a result the principal areas of tax abuse have been closed off. Further legislative restrictions could prove counter-productive by accelerating actual distributions, triggering legislative reactions abroad, reducing the profitability and growth of American firms, adding complexity to the Internal Revenue Code and placing undue administrative demands on the Internal Revenue Service. Moreover, while the present tax system favors foreign investment in some cases, it favors domestic investment in m a n y other cases. 2. Broaden Subpart F. Subpart F could be broadened in several respects, consistent with its objective of reaching foreign income with tax abuse characteristics. (a) The substantial reduction test. Under Section 954 (b)(4), a C F C that does not have as one of its significant purposes a substantial reduction of taxes is generally excluded from Subpart F. _/ This exemption underscores the anti-tax avoidance purpose of the statute, but it has been drafted in a manner that limits the application of Subpart F. The test is basically whether the effective tax rate paid by the foreign corporation equals or exceeds 90 percent of, or is not less than 5 percentage points lower than, the effective foreign tax rate that would have been paid if the income had not passed through a foreign base company (Regulations 1. 954-3(b)(4), example (1)). Certain foreign countries impose low rates of tax, while others exclude certain kinds of income from taxation altogether. Therefore, the C F C can meet the 90 percent or the 5 percentage point test, yet still be paying far less than the U.S. corporate tax rate of 48 percent. Moreover, the test poses substantial administrative difficulties, because it requires the Internal Revenue Service agent to have an intimate knowledge of third country tax laws. 1/ Particular items of income m a y still be taxed under Subpart F if the transaction was structured to avoid taxes. -56- This difficulty could be eliminated in the context of Subpart F by recasting the "substantial reduction" test to refer not to alternative foreign tax rates, but to the U.S. corporate tax rate. If the present "substantial reduction" test obstructs the revenue gains projected under Subpart F as expanded by the Tax Reduction Act of 1975, then very large amounts of revenue could depend on an appropriate modification, perhaps as m u c h as $100 million. However, this amount is not additional to, but rather a part of, the revenue collections already estimated for Subpart F. (b) 50 percent subsidiaries. The present language of Subpart F appears to exclude foreign corporations that are owned exactly 50 percent by U.S. shareholders. However, the Tax Court has found that 50 percent ownership, combined with actual control, will suffice for Subpart F purposes. The statute could be strengthened to avoid the C C A , Inc. decision by including foreign subsidiaries owned exactly 50 percent by U. S. shareholders, with a rebuttable presumption of actual control. The revenue consequences of this change are estimated at less than $5 million. (c) Shipping income. The Tax Reduction Act of 1975 included international shipping income under Subpart F, to the extent it is not reinvested in shipping operations. However, the earnings of most shipping companies are likely to come within the reinvestment exclusion. Subpart F could be broadened to include all shipping income, whether or not reinvested. Such a provision should be related to other changes in the taxation of shipping income discussed elsewhere in this volume. The potential revenue gains are estimated at $70 million. (d) "Runaway plants" and tax holiday manufacturing. In 1973, the Treasury proposed that tax haven manufacturing corporations, defined to include runaway plants" and tax holiday operations, should be taxed currently under provisions similar to Subpart F. A runaway plant would be defined as new investment in a controlled foreign corporation which realized more than 25 percent of its gross receipts from the manufacture and sale of products to the United States, and paid a foreign effective tax rate of less than 80 percent of the U.S. corporate tax rate. A tax holiday manufacturing corporation would be defined as any controlled foreign corporation which increased its investment in excess of 20 percent during or in anticipation of a foreign tax incentive. Foreign tax incentives would be broadly defined under regulations prescribed by the Secretary of the Treasury. The tax haven manufacturing proposal would increase revenue by about $25 million. (e) Simplification. Although Subpart F was based on the earlier foreign personal holding company statute, no effort was made to combine the two pieces of legislation or to enact identical statutory tests to define the controlling group or constructive ownership. Section 951(d) attempts -57- to coordinate Subpart F with the foreign personal holding company provisions. However, the method of coordination can lead to complexity and can m a k e it advantageous to become a foreign personal holding company as means of avoiding Subpart F. In addition the line of demarcation between deemed distributions and the penalty tax on personal holding 8 companies is not clear. These statutes could be simplified by taxing foreign personal holding companies solely within the framework of Subpart F, and by establishing a clear boundary between deemed distributions and the penalty tax on personal holding companies. The revenue effect would be small. . 3: PurUal °r comPlete termination of deferral. Some observers contend tnat the separate entity system of taxing foreign corporations reduces U.b. tax revenue and encourages foreign investment at the expense of domestic investment. These observers argue that the remedy lies m the partial or complete termination of deferral. Other observers point out that the termination of deferral might produce only short-run revenue gains, and that, as an isolated step, it would move the United States further away from a system of capitalexport neutrality. Moreover, adverse foreign reaction could be intense especially from countries such as Israel, Egypt, and Ireland which promote industrial development through tax relief. ^ uThe complete termination of deferral would clearly replace Subpart b, but the partial termination of deferral would not serve the same iunction, since Subpart F provides for current taxation of all C F C income m selected situations. Partial termination legislation would need to be carefully coordinated with existing Subpart F to avoid overlapping coverage that could cause very severe administrative problems for taxpayers and the Internal Revenue Service. In any event, partial termination would require very complex legislation. The revenue estimates for the complete termination of deferral under the standard assumption of no behavioral changes range from $365 million to $630 million depending on whether an overall or percountry limitation is used for the foreign tax credit (see Table 8) If allowance is made for behavioral change, the revenue gains would be less, and there might even be a revenue loss of up to $375 million from the termination of deferral (see Table 10). The partial termination of deferral would involve both smaller revenue gains (under the standard assumption) and smaller revenue losses (under the worst case assumption). The partial or complete termination of deferral involves several Choices as to coverage and mechanics. The important choices are outlined in the following paragraphs. -58(a) Required m i n i m u m percentage distribution. The partial termination of deferral would involve a percentage test for the distribution of earnings and profits. To the extent actual distributions do not meet the minimum percentage, earnings would be distributed on a deemed basis. The percentage could be based on after-tax earnings and profits, or on after-tax earnings and profits plus other categories of foreign source income, such as interest, royalties, management fees and branch earnings. The broader the base amount, the easier it is to meet the test, as illustrated by Table 8. (b) Allocation of the deemed distribution between CFCs. The partial termination of deferral would also involve allocation of the deemed distribution between C F C s . This allocation is needed both to trace the foreign tax credit associated with each deemed distribution and to maintain an inventory of deemed distributions for each C F C . The allocation could be made on a pro rata basis with respect to the undistributed earnings of all C F C s , or the allocation could be made only with respect to the C F C s not meeting the m i n i m u m percentage. The allocation rule should be consistent with the consolidation rule. (c) The extent of consolidation. In the case of partial termination, the question arises whether the m i n i m u m percentage applies to each C F C individually, or to a U.S. parent corporation's C F C s grouped on a country, on a worldwide, or on some other basis. In the case of complete termination, the extent of consolidation is also important. The wider the grouping, the smaller the revenue impact of any given percentage test, as shown in Table 8. This relationship reflects two phenomena: first, some C F C s have losses, and these losses increase the apparent distribution rate of profitable C F C s ; second, C F C s with high foreign taxes already tend to distribute a larger percentage of earnings than C F C s with low foreign taxes, and if high-tax C F C s are consolidated with low-tax C F C s , the average creditable foreign tax is increased. There are several possible consolidation alternatives. (i) Individual foreign corporation approach. This approach would employ the present Subpart F mechanism of computing the income to be deemed distributed separately for each foreign corporation. There would be no consolidation of foreign corporations either with other foreign corporations owned by the same U.S. parent, or with the U.S. parent itself. Losses and blocked currency already create problems under this system, and these problems would become more important if deferral were eliminated. Under the individual foreign corporation approach, there are two methods for computing the amount of income of a lower-tier subsidiary which is included in the income of the U.S. shareholders: the so-called "hopscotch" method; and the so-called "link-by-link" method. (aa) Hop-scotch method. This is the mechanism by which Subpart F presently attributes the income of a lower-tier C F C to its shareholders. Under this method, the income is attributed directly to the U. S. shareholders, and cannot be offset by any loss incurred - 59 - by intermediate foreign corporations. Under this method there are problems concerning the source country of a deemed distribution. In addition, if the intermediate corporation is in a country which restricts the repatriation of earnings, there can be blocked currency problems. Compulsory adoption of the overall limitation for the foreign tax credit renders the source problem almost moot. 1' However, if the per-country limitation is restored, it would be necessary to establish a source rule for the deemed dividend. Under present law, actual dividends are sourced in the country of incorporation of the subsidiary paying the dividend to the U. S. shareholder. Thus, if lower-tier C F C A distributes dividends to higher-tier C F C B, which in turn distributes dividends to the U. S. parent corporation, the dividends are sourced in country B. A rule more in keeping with the intent of the per-country limitation would require that dividends be sourced in the country of incorporation of the lower-tier subsidiary which earns the income. Blocked currency creates a problem under Subpart F, and the problem would continue if the hop-scotch method were used more widely. The problem here is the effect on the lower-tier corporation if the intermediate corporation's country of residence restricts distributions so that the lower-tier corporation cannot distribute up the chain of ownership. Thus, the U.S. shareholder might be taxed on income which he could never realize. One solution is to apply the present blocked currency rules as if the country of incorporation of the lower-tier subsidiary restricts the repatriation. (bb) Link-by-link method. The link-by-link method was considered by the Treasury in 1962. iTwas rejected partly because its complexity was not justified in light of the limited goals of Subpart F as then enacted. The question now is whether the complete or partial termination of deferral, with its impact on all foreign corporations controlled by U. S. persons, would justify reconsideration of the link-by-link approach. Under the link-by-link method, the retained earnings of a lowertier subsidiary would be constructively distributed up the chain of ownership. The profits of a lower-tier subsidiary would thus offset the losses of a higher-tier subsidiary in the same chain. However, there would be no offset of losses in the lower-tier by profits in the higher-tier, nor would there be offsets as between different chains of C F C s owned by the same U. S. parent. I A problem can still arise for a C F C with U. S. source income or, during the transition period, for a U. S. parent corporation which owns a possessions corporation or a mining company. - 60 - If the per-country limitation of the foreign tax credit is reinstated and the present income source rules are not changed, the source of the deemed distribution would be the country of incorporation of the first-tier corporation. Again, this result would circumvent the purpose of reinstating the per-country limitation, and suggests a reconsideration of the source rules. If the link-by-link approach is adopted, the computation of earnings and profits must be correspondingly altered. If the constructive distribution is treated as an actual distribution, the earnings and profits of the lower-tier foreign corporation should be reduced by the amount of the constructive distribution, and the earnings and profits of the foreign corporation next in the chain should be correspondingly increased. This process should continue up the chain to the domestic parent. Thus each controlled foreign corporation would keep two sets of accounts: one set would reflect actual distributions while the other set would reflect deemed distributions for U. S. tax purposes. These two sets of books are presently kept for C F C s subject to Subpart F. (ii) Consolidation of foreign operations. Under this method, all foreign corporations within a controlled group would file a consolidated return in a manner similar to that currently available for domestic corporations. The consolidated return would presumably reflect only the U. S. parent corporation's share of the earnings and profits of its CFCs. If the consolidated return showed an overall profit on foreign operations, the U. S. parent corporation would receive a deemed distribution of the foreign profit. If the consolidated return showed an overall loss, the parent might be allowed to claim the loss as a deduction against domestic income, or at least carry over the loss against future foreign profits. The purpose of a rule limiting the deductibility of overall foreign losses would be to protect the U. S. tax base. Which foreign corporations would be allowed (or required) to consolidate ? Consolidation should probably be limited to foreign corporations which are m e m b e r s of the same affiliated group, as that term is defined in Section 1504(a). However, consideration might be given to lowering the required ownership to 50 percent from 80 percent, so that most controlled foreign corporations would be includable in the consolidated return, or even to 10 percent so that all C F C s would be includable. Consolidation could be required, or it could be provided as an elective alternative to computation of income on an individual foreign corporation basis. If an election is provided, it would seem best to make it binding for future years, revocable only with the consent of the Commissioner. Standards for allowing revocation could be included in the legislative history or in the statute. - 61 - Blocked currency would raise problems. If one of the foreign corporations in the affiliated group is prevented by its home country from making a distribution, what is the effect on the group? Should that corporation be excluded from the group, or should it be assumed that the rest of the group will be able to distribute enough to make up the difference? A percentage test might be appropriate so that, if the income of the blocked currency corporation is less than a fixed percentage of the income of the group (for example, 10 percent), then that corporation will be consolidated; otherwise it will be excluded. (iii) Consolidation of worldwide operations. Under this approach the controlled group of corporations would file a single U. S. tax return for its worldwide operations rather than separate returns for domestic and foreign activities. The questions concerning which corporations are to be included, an elective as opposed to a mandatory system, and blocked currency exist here as with the consolidated foreign operations approach. Additional questions arise. Should an electing corporation still be treated as a foreign corporation for purposes of Section 367? Arguably not, because most tax avoidance potential is gone. O n the other hand, high overall foreign tax rates might make it advantageous to transfer income producing assets from the United States to tax havens. Worldwide consolidation clearly raises several difficult issues. (d) The problem of decontrol. The partial or complete termination of deferral could encourage firms to decontrol their existing C F C s and to take minority positions in new joint ventures as a means of avoiding U. S. taxation. If decontrol and minority positions are a matter of concern, the foreign tax credit for deemed paid taxes (Section 902) might be limited to those U.S. shareholders claiming "actual control" of the foreign corporation (alone or acting in concert with other U.S. taxpayers), and thus presumptively subject to current taxation of earnings retained by the foreign corporation. Minority U. S. shareholders in a foreign corporation could thus elect either current taxation coupled with the deemed paid credit, or deferral without the deemed paid credit. 1/ Under present law, the deemed paid credit is not available for passive portfolio investments, generally defined as investments where U.S. corporate shareholders have less than 10 oercent ownership or investments by individuals. The rationale of the deemed paid credit is to avoid double taxation when a U.S. corporation has an active management stake in the foreign investments. A n explicit link between ^actual 1/ In both alternatives, a credit for direct foreign taxes, for example withholding taxes on dividends, would still be available under Section 901. -62- control" and the deemed paid credit would bring the basic purpose of Section 902 into sharper focus. The estimated amount of deemed paid foreign tax credit claimed in 1976 for foreign corporations owned less than 50 percent by U. S. shareholders is about $250 million, it is uncertain how m u c h of this amount would be claimed under an "actual control" election, and it is very difficult to predict the potential extent of decontrol following the termination of deferral. 4. Terminate deferral in the context of a special statutory deduction or the repeal of domestic tax preferences. As Table 1 indicates, the termination of deferral as an isolated measure would move the U. S tax system further away from a standard of capital-export neutrality for the non-extractive industries. 1/ The partial or complete termination of deferral, by itself, would favor manufacturing and other nonextractive investment in the United States by comparison with investment abroad. If tax neutrality between domestic and foreign investment is the goal, then deferral should be changed only in the context of a broader program. Specifically, the termination of deferral should be accompanied by collateral tax changes. It is often assumed that termination of deferral would necessarily imply the taxation of undistributed earnings at the U. S. corporate rate of 48 percent. The average realized tax rate for U. S. industry as a whole is closer to 41 percent than 48 percent . Thus, if undistributed earnings of foreign subsidiaries were taxed at the nominal 48 percent rate, foreign investment income would bear a m u c h heavier average tax burden than domestic investment income. One solution would involve imposition of a lower nominal U. S. corporate rate on foreign income. The lower nominal rate could be established either by statute or, more flexibly, by the Secretary of the Treasury, with reference to the average realized corporate tax rate on domestic investment. F r o m a mechanical standpoint, a lower nominal rate could most easily be implemented by a special statutory deduction equal to a percentage of foreign source income. In structure, the deduction would be comparable to the Western Hemisphere Trade Corporation deduction. For example, a statutory deduction equal to 16. 7 percent of foreign source income would convert a nominal corporate rate of 48 percent into a realized corporate rate of 40 percent. While the special statutory deduction could be restricted to undistributed earnings, logic suggests that it be extended to all corporate foreign source income. V This is true whether capital-export neutrality is defined by reference to present U. S taxation of corporate income, or by reference to U. S. taxation of corporate income in the absence of domestic tax preferences. - 63 - Other changes would be appropriately coupled with the concept ot a special statutory deduction. Some of these changes were enacted in the Tax Reform Act of 1976, namely, elimination of the Western Hemisphere Trade Corporation (+ $20 million), and inclusion of less developed country corporations in the gross-up requirements (+ $55 million). In addition, provision should be made for a deduction rather than credit for foreign taxes comparable to state taxes (+ $450 million). The net decrease in tax revenues from non-extractive industries under a system designed to achieve capital-export neutrality in this manner could reach approximately $1. 2 billion. 1/ Instead of a special statutory deduction, the termination of deferral might be coupled with the general repeal of corporate tax preferences and base-narrowing provisions, and a simultaneous reduction mthe nominal corporate tax rate to approximately 33 percent The net revenue loss of such an approach as applied to foreign source income would be approximately $3.0 billion (Table 1). Extensive international tax cooperation would be required to achieve a reasonable division of the revenue loss resulting from such a fundamental change m tax practices. It would not be reasonable for the United States alone to absorb the entire revenue loss. O n the other hand, the United States could not increase its own revenues through the termination of deferral and reasonably expect other countries to undertake all the revenue losmg changes required to achieve a system of international tax neutrality. _L/ This figure is calculated in reference to present U.S. taxation of domestic corporate income. See the first column of Table 1 ,lt is assumed that the special statutory deduction would be calculated to have approximately the same effect as extension of the investment tax credit, A D R , and DISC to foreign investment. Thus, the special statutory deduction would entail a net revenue loss of approximately $1.2 billion (Table 1), implying a deduction of about 16 percent of 1976 non-extractive foreign source income of $24. 9 billion (Table 1) offset by the repeal of certain preferences. The foreign tax credit would not be affected by the special q allowable deduction. -64- TAX TREATMENT OF INCOME FROM INTERNATIONAL SHIPPING Marcia Field and Richard Gordon -65TABLE OF CONTENTS Page I. Introduction 67 Part A: Reciprocal Exemption II. Issue /-o III. Present Law go. 1. Equivalent exemption. 59 2. Treatment of income which does not qualify for reciprocal exemption 70 IV. Analysis 71 1. Impact on ocean freight rates 71 2. Rationale and effect of the exemption 3. Source rules and administrative aspects 4. Competitive and treaty implications V. Options 34 72 75 78 1. Retain present law 34 2. Change the flag test to a residence test 3. Require a dual test 4. Repeal the statutory exemption VI. Revenue Estimates 37 _ . . 84 '..'.'. 84 84 Part B: Tax Deferral VII. Issue 39 VIII. Present Law 90 IX. Analysis 91 1. Reasons for foreign incorporation 91 2. Modifications to Subpart F in 1975 3. Effect of including snipping income within Subpart F X. Options 95 1. Retain present law 95 2. Remove shipping income from Subpart F 3. Include foreign shipping income under Subpart F as foreign base company service income 96 XI. Revenue Estimates 91 93 95 95 - - -66LIST O F T A B L E S Page Table 1 Principal Countries of Registry of Merchant Fleets as of December 31, 1974 73 Table 2 U. S. Foreign Trade Transported Under Foreign Flags, 1974 74 Table 3 Gross Receipts of Foreign Ships Carrying U.S. Trade, 1973 76 Table 4 Exemptions Confirmed Either by Income Tax Treaty or by Exchange of Notes or by a Ruling.... 77 Table 5 Ratio of Net (Taxable) Income to Gross Income from International Shipping Operations for a Sample of U. S. -Controlled Foreign Shipping Corporations, 1972 Table 6 Taxation of Income from International Shipping in Selected Countries 81 Table 7 Estimated Revenue Effect of Taxing Presumed Net Income of Foreign Flag Ships 88 79 Table 8 Foreign Flag Ships Owned by United States Companies or Foreign Affiliates of United States Companies Incorporated Under the Laws of the United States Table 9 Earnings and Profits, Foreign Taxes and Dividends Paid, Selected CFCs Engaged in Shipping, 1973 97 Table 10 Estimated Revenue Effect of Eliminating Deferral on the Income of Shipping CFCs in 1973 98 92 -67I. I N T R O D U C T I O N The broad issue of what changes, if any, should be made in the taxation of income from international shipping operations has two aspects. The first aspect concerns the statutory exemption from U. S. income tax, on the basis of reciprocity, of foreign flag ships which engage in traffic to and from U.S. ports. This aspect also involves consideration of how U.S. tax is imposed on those foreign flag ships which do not qualify for the exemption. The second aspect concerns U.S. taxation of foreign shipping corporations which are controlled by U.S. shareholders, whether or not they engage in traffic to and from U.S. ports. This aspect focuses on the deferral of U. S. tax for U. S. shareholders of controlled foreign corporations. In formulating a coherent policy for the taxation of international shipping income, the two aspects should be viewed together. However, since each raises distinct issues, they are considered separately in Parts A and B of this paper. - 68 P A R T A: R E C I P R O C A L E X E M P T I O N II. ISSUE The issue is whether the statutory exemption from U.S. income tax of ships registered in foreign countries which provide an "equivalent exemption to U.S. citizens and corporations should be amended or repealed. _/ The exemption is a departure from the general rules of taxing income from international business activities. Under the general rules, the country in which the business operations are conducted is granted the prior right to impose tax and the country of residence is granted the residual right. Since international shipping is likely to involve many countries in the course of a year, reserving the exclusive right to tax to the country of residence clearly has administrative advantages. But it also makes it attractive to establish residence and register ships in a country which does not tax foreign income. Shipping companies have great latitude in choosing their place of residence, and much of the world merchant fleet is registered in countries which impose no income tax. Since worldwide exemption was not the purpose of the reciprocal exemption of the Internal Revenue Code, the question arises whether those provisions should be amended or repealed. J./ See Internal Revenue Code Sections 872(b)(1) and (2) and 883(a)(1) and (2). These sections also provide reciprocal exemption for foreign airlines, a topic which is not discussed here. International airlines are generally government owned or subsidized, often operate at a loss, and rarely incorporate in tax haven countries. Thus, they raise different tax issues. The discussion of alternative methods of taxing those shipping companies which are not exempt from U.S. tax is relevant to airlines as well, however. -69- III. P R E S E N T L A W !• Equivalent exemption. Section 883(a)(1) excludes from the gross income of a foreign corporation the earnings derived from the operation of a ship documented under the laws of a foreign country which grants an equivalent exemption to citizens of the United States and to corporations organized in the United States. Section 872(b)(1) contains a parallel provision for non-resident alien individuals. The IRS has taken the position that to qualify for the exemption the foreign country granting the exemption must be the country of registration of the vessel (Rev. Rul. 75-459, 1975-2 C.B. 289). This position reverses the "dual test" of an earlier ruling which held that the country granting the exemption must be not only the country of registration of the vessel (the "flag" test), but also the country of residence of the operator of the vessel (Rev. Rul. 73-350, 1973-2 C.B. 251). The law is not clear on the circumstances under which income from leasing a ship qualifies as income from the operation of a ship. In general, income from time or voyage charters does qualify, but bareboat charter hire (payment for the use of the vessel alone without crew) m a y not be considered as income from the operation of a vessel but rather as rental income for the use of property. This result is explained in Rev. Rul. 74-170 (1974-1 C.B. 175) which held that a foreign corporation's income from leasing its ships under time or voyage charters, and the income of a foreign charterer from the operation of ships under time, voyage, or bareboat charters qualify for exemption as earnings from the operation of ships within the meaning of Section 883, while the income of an owner from leasing a ship under a bareboat charter is not exempt unless the ship owner is regularly engaged in the shipping business and the lease is merely an incidental activity. Consequently the question of whether payments received by an owner for bareboat charter leasing will be eligible for the Section 883 exclusion will depend on the facts and circumstances of each case. 1/ 1/ The outcome can have significant tax consequences. If it does not qualify for the reciprocal exemption as income from the operation of a ship, bareboat charter hire is subject to U.S. tax, to the extent derived from U.S. sources, either at 30 percent of the gross rental (except where an income tax treaty provides more favorable treatment) or at the ordinary rates on net income if the income is "effectively connected" with a U.S. trade or business. The latter treatment would in m a n y cases be less burdensome than a 30 percent tax on gross rentals because of the high deductions incurred in operating a ship; but to be "effectively connected" the income would have to meet the tests of Section 864(c)(2) and the regulations thereunder, principally the asset use test or the business activities test. Clearly there are serious administrative problems involved in making such a determination. -70- 2. Treatment of income which does not qualify for reciprocal exemption. In those cases where the foreign country does not grant an equivalent exemption to U. S. citizens and corporations, the U. S. tax liability of the foreign shipper is determined by applying the ordinary U.S. tax rate to taxable income from U.S. sources. In the case of gross income derived from sources partly within and partly without the United States, Section 863(b) provides that taxable income may be computed by deducting expenses apportioned or allocated thereto and a ratable part of any expenses which cannot definitely be allocated to some item or class of gross income. The portion of the taxable income attributable to sources within the United States m a y be determined by processes or formulas of general apportionment prescribed by the Treasury. This provision is specifically made applicable to transportation income in Section 863(b)(1). The original allocation rule published by the Treasury seemed to provide that all of the income from an outward bound voyage from the United States was U.S. source income (T.D. 3111, 4 C.B. 280(1921)). In 1922, this rule was abandoned in favor of the present rules (T D. 3387, 1-2 C.B. 153 (1922)). The present rules (Regulation 1.863-4) involve a complicated formula by which the gross income from U.S. sources is considered to be that fraction of the total gross revenues which equals the fraction of (a) expenses incurred within the United States plus a reasonable rate of return on property used within the United States over (b) total expenses of the business and a reasonable return on the total business property. Expenses not directly attributable to U. S. operations are apportioned on the basis of days spent or miles traveled in U.S. waters to the total time and distance of the voyage. Property must be valued net of the appropriate depreciation measured by U.S. standards. Eight percent is ordinarily taken as a reasonable rate of return. Under these rules, income from U.S. sources is limited to income allocable to operations within U.S. territorial waters. The United States observes a three mile limit to its territorial waters. All income derived on the high seas is regarded as income from sources outside the United States. -71IV. ANALYSIS *• Impact on ocean freight rates. A s a general matter, the U. S. tax on corporate income is approximately equivalent to a tax on equity capital. Contrary to popular belief, it is not a tax on economic profit. A tax on economic profit would require a deduction for the "normal" rate of return on equity capital in computing the taxable income base. No such deduction is permitted under U.S. tax law. A tax on equity capital, like any other factor tax, will be reflected in a higher price of goods or services sold. A s an approximation, a corporate income tax imposed at rate t on a single sector will raise the price of that sector's good by tu, where u is the proportion of the sales price accounted for by corporate profit. In addition, there will be a small reduction infhe after-tax rate of return to capital, but that effect will be spread over capital throughout the economy. On the basis of these principles, it is easy to see that the reciprocal exemption of shipping income from corporate tax lowers the price of shipping services. Thus, if the reciprocal exemption were repealed, freight charges on U.S. imports and exports would rise to reflect the tax. Depending on the elasticities of demand and supply for imports and exports, the burden of the tax would be divided between domestic and foreign producers and consumers. Unless the supply and demand circumstances for exports are very different from the supply and demand circumstances for imports, it is reasonable to suppose that about one-half the tax would be borne by foreign producers and consumers, and about one-half by U.S. producers and consumers. If a U.S. initiative on taxing shipping income were followed by other countries, the tax incidence would be similar, with part borne by the U.S. economy and part borne by foreign economies. The end result of the imposition of corporate taxes on shipping income would be a general increase in freight rates, approximately on the order of 5 percent. _/ At first sight, this seems undesirable. No one likes higher prices. However, it must be remembered that the present virtual exemption of shipping income from taxation results in a discriminatory advantage for the ultimate consumers of shipping services. The prices they pay are too low relative to the prices paid by consumers of goods produced by taxed sectors. Moreover, the virtual exemption of shipping income from taxation results in the inefficient allocation of capital. 1/ This figure assumes a 50 percent tax on net income, or a 5 percent tax on shipping receipts. See the revenue estimates in Section VI. -72The impact on labor of repealing the statutory exemption is less clear. O n the one hand, the exemption is an incentive to foreign registry and thus also encourages the employment of foreign labor, so its repeal would be expected to have the opposite effect and to benefit U.S. labor. Lower labor costs abroad are themselves an incentive to foreign registry, and taxes m a y have only a marginal effect, but the tax exemption increases the attractiveness of foreign registry and reduces the relative attractiveness of the tax and subsidy benefits to U. S. registry. O n the other hand, repeal of the statutory exemption by the United States alone would subject foreign flag ships carrying U.S. trade to tax only on their U.S. source income, whereas U.S. flag ships would be subject to tax (as under present law) not only by the United States but also by foreign ports of call. This additional taxation might somewhat diminish the attractiveness of the U.S. flag and thus the employment of U.S. crews. If other countries continued to grant exemption on the basis of reciprocity, some ships would find it attractive to move from U.S. registry to registry in a country where reciprocal exemption was still available. 2. Rationale and effect of the exemption. It is difficult to allocate expenses among the various jurisdictions crossed in an international voyage. If each country taxed the worldwide income of its residents, the situation could be best taken care of by exemption at source, leaving it to the residence country to tally all receipts and expenses and levy the tax on net income. This is the solution aimed at by the provisions in the Internal Revenue Code (Sections 872 and 883) which take international shipping (and aviation) out of the ordinary rules for taxingthe income of foreign investors and grant a special exemption from U. S. tax on the basis of reciprocity. When introduced into the law in 1921, the exemption for foreign ship operators was explained as a method of avoiding double taxation. It now could more accurately be described as a method of providing double exemption. Some 30 percent of the world merchant fleet is registered in Liberia, Greece, and Panama which impose no income tax on their ships (see Table 1). These vessels also enjoy exemption from tax in most ports of call including the United States. The provision of a statutory reciprocal exemption puts foreign ship operators in a preferred position over other foreign persons engaged in business in the United States. Foreign flag ships carry more than 90 percent by volume and more than 80 percent by value of U. S. trade (Table 2). Very little of the income they derive is subject to U.S. taxation. Datafor 1973 indicate that gross receipts of foreign flag ships - 73 Table 1 Principal Countries of Registry of Merchant Fleets as of December 31, 1975 (Thousands of Tons) : All Vessels : Tankers Percent of Total Country of Regis try : Gross : Tons Percent : Gross of Total : Tons Total, all Countries : 333,042 100.0% 163,731 100,0% Liberia 70,139 21.1 45,227 27.6 Japan 37,164 11.2 18,640 11.4 United Kingdom 33,229 10.0 18,252 11.1 Norway 27,167 8.2 15,207 9.3 Greece j j 22,598 6.8 8,604 5.3 U.S.S.R. 14,292 4.. 3 4,030 2.5 U.S.A.!/ 12,301 5,432 Panama 13,743 3.7 4.1 5,815 3.3 3.6 102,409 30.7 42,474 25.9 All Other Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis '' f 1/ Includes 2 million tons of government-owned reserve fleet, of which 111,000 tons are tankers. Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Maritime Administration, Merchant Fleets of the World, September 1976. - 74 Table 2 U.S. Foreign Trade Transported Under Foreign Flags 1974 Tota 1 Tons I of (000) Total Irregular Tanker Liner Tons % of Tons % of Tons 7o of (000) Total (000) Total (000) Total 1971 433,058 94.7 34,080 77.1 215,949 97.8 183,029 95.1 1972 489,802 95.4 34,843 78.1 238,769 98.4 216,190 95.5 1973 591,669 93.7 38,028 74.2 277,375 98.4 276,266 92.6 19741/587,720 93.5 37,381 70.6 276,609 98.3 273,730 93.0 Total Liner Iregular Tanker Dollars % of Dollars % of Dollars % of Dollars 7. of (Millions) Total (Millions) Tot:al (Millions]) Total (Millions0 Total 1971 40,539 80.4 23,196 12,755 4,588 96.9 94.5 71. 6 1972 49,410 81.6 27,035 72. 3 16,980 97.6 5,395 93.8 1973 68,106 81.1 35,215 70. 9 24,578 97.5 8,313 90.9 1974-/102,179 82.2 44,213 69. 4 33,767 97.7 24.199 93.1 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 1/ Preliminary Data Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Maritime Administration, Statistics Branch, Division of Trade Studies and Statistics. -75from carrying U.S. trade amounted to roughly $6 billion of which approximately $5.5 billion was derived by ships exempt from U.S. tax (Table 3). The ships of some 50 countries qualify for exemption from U.S. income tax on the basis of reciprocity; 37 of these exemptions are confirmed in U.S. bilateral income tax treaties (Table 4). Thus the equivalent exemption can be criticized as an unintended incentive to ships of foreign registry carrying U.S. goods. 1/ 3 - Source rules and administrative aspects. Repeal of the statutory exemption would have little effect unless accompanied by changes in the source rules. Under present source rules only a small portion of the total net income is treated as having a U.S. source, and all income derived from the high seas is regarded as foreign source. It has been estimated that U.S. source income under these rules represents only 10 percent, on average, of the total taxable income. On this basis, the revenue effect of eliminating the statutory exemption, but retaining the present source rules, would be negligible, probably less than $5 million. 2/ A number of countries treat part of the income earned on the high seas as having a domestic source. Most regard the outbound voyage as generating domestic source income and the inbound voyage as generating foreign source income. Australia, the Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Singapore follow this practice. Venezuela achieves the same effect by treating one-half of a round trip to and from a domestic port as generating domestic source income; this approach might be more easily reconciled with the jurisdiction of other countries having foreign tax credit systems. The administrative burden of imposing tax on foreign flag shipping could be minimized by giving the operators an election to compute their tax on presumed net income, calculated as a flat J./ Repeal of the equivalent exemption provision would not, however, put the tax treatment of foreign and domestic flagships on an equal footing because special tax benefits and construction subsidies are available exclusively to U.S. owners of domestic flag ships in foreign commerce. 2/ In 1972, the latest year for which such data are available, the U.S. tax collected from foreign corporations engaged in transportation activity (shipping, airlines, trucking, etc.) was only $850, 000. It is unlikely that this amount would increase more than five times with repeal of the reciprocal exemption and retention of the present source rules. - 76 Table 3 Gross Receipts of Foreign Ships Carrying U.S. Trade, 1973 (Billions of Dollars) Charter Flag of Registry : Exports : Imports : Hire Total Forei-gn Flags .Passenger : Total Fares 2.9 2.5 0.4 0.3 6.1 Exempt by Treaty e/ 1.7 1.5 0,2 0.2 3.6 Exempt by Statute e/ 0.9 0,8 0.2 0.1 2.0 Not exempt e/ 0.3 0.1 * * 0.5 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis January 14, 1976 e/ estimated * Less than $50 million Source: Totals and some flag data on import shipments from U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Exempt and non-exempt categories estimated on the basis °f treaty and statutory exemptions and relative tonnage of fleets of exempt and non-exempt flags. - 77 Table 4 Exemption confirmed by income tax treaty Exemption confirmed by exchange of notes or by a ruling (examples) Austria Chile (notes, 1976) Australia Jordan (notes, 1974) Barbados 1/ Brazil (Rev. Rul. 74-309) Belgium Taiwan (notes, 1972) Burundi 1/ Spain (Rev. Rul. 70-464)3/ Canada De facto exemption Denmark (examples) Egypt 2/ Bahamas FinlanH Bermuda France Liberia Gambia 1/ Not exempt (examples) Germany Iceland India Ireland Indonesia Israel 2/ Malaysia Italy Philippines Jamaica 1/ Singapore Japan Venezuela Korea 2/ Luxembourg Malawi 1/ Netherlands Netherlands Antilles 1/ New Zealand Nigeria 1/ Norway Pakistan Poland Romania Rwanda 1/ Sierra Leone 1/ South Africa Sweden of the Secretary of the Treasury Office Switzerland Office of Tax Analysis Trinidad and Tobago 1/ By extension of another treaty (U.K., Belgian, or the Netherlands). United Kingdom __/ Not yet approved by the U.S. Senate for ratification. U.S.S.R. 3/ Certain other countries were found to fulfill the equivalent exemption Zaire test1/in prior years; Lebanon (Rev. Rul. 67-183) , and by notes , Mexico ;'1964) Zambia 1/ Columbia (1961), Argentina (1950), and Panama (1941). -78- percentage of gross receipts. Several other countries impose tax on gross receipts, but not all make the gross receipts base elective. Such an election would seem a desirable feature; on the other hand, where exercised it should be binding for future years. Such a presumptive tax should seek to approximate average profitability, taking into account good years and bad. The limited data available (Table 5) indicate that the ratio between net and gross income varies widely from company to company, but suggest that 10 percent m a y be a reasonable ratio on average. If an operator elected to be taxed on a gross receipts basis, charter hire payments to a third party would not be separately taxed. If the tax were computed on net income, the charter hire payments would show up as a deduction, and the operator would be the withholding agent for U.S. tax purposes. Companies not electing the presumptive income tax would be required to file a return and pay tax on net income, supplying the necessary books and records to calculate profit and loss on individual voyages. Alternatively, they might be permitted to measure net income as a percentage of their worldwide net income, equal to the ratio between U.S. gross receipts on shipments to (or from) the United States and worldwide gross receipts. _/ It might be desirable, especially if net income were calculated on the basis of a return, to limit certain deductions, for example, to deny accelerated depreciation, in order to avoid artificial losses. It would also be important to prevent avoidance of the U.S. tax by transshipment through Canada or Mexico. One possible approach would be to define the relevant voyage in terms of the ultimate point of origin or destination of the goods. 4. Competitive and treaty implications. A sweeping repeal of the present exemption system initiated by the United States acting alone could result in taxation by many countries of U.S. ships, since reciprocity would no longer exist. However, ships of other countries would continue to enjoy reciprocal exemption. Thus, U.S. ships engaged in trade between third countries would be placed at a competitive disadvantage. A sweeping repeal of the present system would also require Treasury to terminate U.S. income tax treaties with 37 countries in order to delete the shipping exemption; reinstituting the other treaty provisions might require concessions on unrelated issues. 1/ Singapore, for example, permits this apportionment method to be used by companies incorporated in countries for which Singapore is prepared to accept the certification of the national tax authorities as to worldwide gross and net income. - 79 Table 5 Ratio of Net (Taxable) Income to Gross Income from International Shipping Operations for a Sample of U.S.-Controlled Foreign Shipping Corporations, 1972 Ratio of net operating income to gross operating receipts : : ,T , . . ,. . Number of subsidiaries Total number of subsidiaries 77 Negative or zero net income 14 Total subsidiaries with net income 63 Net income as percent of gross: 1 through 9% 8 10 through 19% 21 20 through 29% 11 30 through 39% 9 40 through 49% 8 50 through 59% 1 60 through 69% 1 70 through 79% 2 80 through 89% 2 Aggregate ratio, subsidiaries with net income 11% Aggregate ratio, all subsidiaries 9% Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis Source: Tax Forms 2952 February 13, 1976 -80O n the other hand, maintaining a policy of exemption by tax treaty could simply transfer tax haven benefits from the traditional tax havens, such as Liberia and Panama, to treaty countries which m a y also not tax foreign shipping income (see Table 6). A compromise solution to both these problems would permit selective reciprocal exemptions by treaty but require that existing and future treaties be reviewed. Where the other country constitutes a tax haven for foreign owned shipping companies, future treaties would not grant an exemption, and existing treaties would be renegotiated to remove the exemption. Table 6 and the following text describe some of the features of other countries' taxation of income from international shipping. Table 6 attempts to summarize the principal features of foreign country tax laws as they apply to income from international shipping. The information summarized in the table must be regarded as both tentative and partial. The detailed information needed for a thorough report is not readily available, and the implementation of the laws is subject to considerable administrative discretion. Moreover, the statutory rates cited ignore such features as accelerated depreciation, investment allowances and investment reserves, which substantially reduce the effective tax rates. With respect to the taxation of domestic flag ships, Liberia, Greece and Panama, which together account for over 30 percent of the gross tonnage of the world's merchant fleet, do not tax income derived from international commerce by ships flying their respective flags, and each country makes it easy for foreign companies to register ships locally. Cyprus and Singapore tax the foreign income of their shipping companies only when it is remitted to Cyprus and Singapore, respectively. In contrast, although France and the Netherlands exempt most foreign source income from taxation, they m a y tax the income of their domestic shipping companies. For example, the Netherlands exemption of foreign source income is conditioned on the derivation of foreign income through a foreign permanent establishment which has borne some foreign income tax (the amount does not matter); since much of the foreign income of shipping companies is earned on the high seas or in countries which exempt ships of Dutch registry by treaty or statute, that condition will frequently not be met. A s a general rule, the foreign source income of a French company is excluded from the French tax base without regard to whether any foreign tax liability is incurred;but French officials report that one consequence of Article 209 of the General Tax Code, which gives France the right to impose tax where a treaty specifies that France m a y tax, is that French shipping companies are subject to tax on their foreign source income from the countries with which France has a treaty reserving to France the right to tax French ship and aircraft companies. It is not clear how France determines taxable income in such cases. - 81 Table 6 Taxation of Income from International Shipping in Selected Countries, 1976 Country ; Million (by gross tonnage : Gross of merchant fleet): Tons Percent of Total Total, all countries 306.4 100.0 Liberia Japan United Kingdom Norway Subtotal Greece U.S.S.R. U.S. Panama France Italy Germany Sweden The Netherlands Spain Denmark India Cyprus Singapore Subtotal All Others 60.0 36.0 32.2 25.1 153.3 22.3 13.5 12.5 11.5 19.6 11.7 10.5 8.2 Taxation of domestic companies: Taxat ion of foreign companies Taxable on Applicable : Statutory : Rate of tax Tax base limited foreign source statutory reciprocal: where to profits of a income rate 1/ : exemption : applicable 1/ permanent establishment 2/ — — no yes yes yes 0 52.61/40.88 52/26.It. 50.8/24.3 yes yes 0 52.61 no ? 52 yes 50.8 yes yes 50.0 9.5 9.4 7.3 4.4 4.1 3.8 3.1 3.1 yes 8.5 6.8 2.8 2.2 yes yes 4.7 1.5 yes 4.4 4.2 1.4 1.4 yes yes 3.7 3.6 3.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 no no 271.2 35.2 88.5 11.5 no yes yes no 0 3/ 48 0 it/ — — 50/25 49.7 27.5/15-5/ 54.4 ? 38.24 no yes yes 0 48 no ? 10-50 yes no 50 yes yes 49.7 51 54.4 1/ 48 yes 48 yes no 11 7/ 32.69 37 57.75 42.5 37 34 73.5 42.5 40 yes no no — — ? yes no yes yes yes yes yes no •> 40 no — — Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis Sources: Submission by various countries: Harvard University, World Tax Series, various volumes; various issues of the Price Waterhouse Information Guides; and the United Kingdom Board of Trade, Report of the Committee of Inquiry a L into Shipping (London, May 1970). — ~ 1/ 1/ H A/ 5/ 1/ 7/ Where two rates are shown divided by a slash (/) the first applies to undistributed profits and the second to distributed. If divided by a hyphen (-) the rates indicate the range of marginal rates in a graduated scale. These are statutory rates; effective rates are lower due to accelerated depreciation, investment allowances investment reserves and other tax benefits. "Yes" signifies that tax is imposed only if there is a local "permanent establishment" (which usually includes an agent who signs contracts for the home office but not a commission agent) and the tax base is limited to the profits of that establishment. In some cases, e.g., Norway and Sweden, this amounts to exemption in practice and in most cases the taxable income is comparable to a freight forwarder's commission. U.S.S.R. vessels are state owned, so apart from amounts allocated to certain reserves, the net earnings belong to the Government. In general, French companies are not taxed on their foreign source income; but French law (Article 209, C.G.I.) specifically authorizes France to tax in those cases where an income tax treaty reserves to France the right to tax. This is the case in most French income tax treaties with respect to shipping profits; the usual treaty rule reserves the right to tax shipping profits to the country of residence of the company. One half of the income from shipping (the outbound portion) is presumed to be foreign source income and is taxed at the special 27.5/15 rate with no foreign tax credit. The rates are the rates prevailing before the German corporate tax reform of 1976. The portion considered domestic source is taxable at the ordinary 51/15 rate Alternatively, the taxpayer may elect to be taxed at the ordinary rate on the full amount and claim a foreign b tax credit. Foreign source profits are exempt from Netherlands tax if they are derived through a permanent establishment in another country and have been taxed by that country. Foreign source profits are taxable if remitted to Cyprus and Singapore. -82- Germany presumes that one half of the income of domestic companies from international shipping has a domestic source and that one half is taxed at the ordinary rate. The other half is presumed to be foreign source and is taxed at a reduced rate with no foreign tax credit. Alternatively, the shipping company can elect to be taxed on all income in the ordinary way with a foreign tax credit against the tax on the half deemed to be foreign source. The taxpayer's choice will depend on how m u c h foreign tax was paid. The United Kingdom has made an effort to compete with the flags of convenience by offering liberal depreciation and investment grants which greatly reduce, or eliminate, the tax liability of U.K. flag ships. Similarly, the United States has attempted to keep its flag shippers from fleeing to flags of convenience by giving tax benefits and direct subsidies. The United Kingdom, unlike the United States, permits the use of foreign crews on its flag ships. The U.K. tax preferences go beyond those of the United States in one respect: as of 1970, shipping companies of other Commonwealth countries could fly the U.K. flag; thus a Bahamas corporation, liable to no domestic income tax, could register its ships in Britain. _/ The other countries listed in Table 6 typically subject their corporations to tax on their worldwide income and provide a credit for foreign taxes paid on foreign source income. However, liberal depreciation allowances, investment grants, and similar measures generally ensure that the net tax burden is small. Traditionally, countries have exempted foreign flag ships from income tax on the basis of reciprocity, without the need for any special bilateral agreement between the countries. But three countries listed in Table 6 (India, Cyprus, and Singapore) are exceptions to this rule. They do not exempt foreign flag ships on the basis of de facto reciprocal exemption, and are unwillingto grant exemption by tax treaty, although they m a y be willing to reduce the tax in a treaty. There are a number of other countries not listed in the table which also unilaterally impose tax on foreign flag ships in the absence of a formal tax treaty _/ The U.K. Board of Trade, Report of the Committee of Inquiry into Shipping, London, 1970, reports that Bahamas and Bermuda companies represented only about 1.5 million gross tons of the U.K. flag fleet in 1970. - 83 (e.g., Australia, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Venezuela). The reluctance to grant exemption even by treaty appears to be growing, as evidenced by several recent treaty negotiations. The countries which do not grant reciprocal exemption tend to tax on presumptive net income, usually a flat percentage of gross receipts from outbound traffic. Singapore is an example of this approach. Singapore imposes tax equal to 2 percent of the gross receipts (calculated as the corporate tax rate of 40 percent times presumed net income equal to 5 percent of gross receipts) of any voyage outbound from Singapore to the point of destination or transshipment. The company may elect to be taxed instead at 40 percent of that portion of its worldwide net income which gross receipts from Singapore bear to worldwide gross receipts. This pattern varies somewhat among other taxing countries, as to the gross receipts figure used, the net election, and the transshipment rule. The countries which have traditionally granted reciprocal exemption usually rely on the general statutory rules for taxing foreign business activities in their jurisdictions to determine the taxable income of foreign shippers who are not eligible for the exemption. In most cases this means that tax is imposed only on the profits derived by a local office authorized to contract for the company; thus the tax base is roughly the commission income of a freight forwarding agent. In some cases even this element is ignored, for example, where the law specifically limits the taxation of foreign companies to income derived in the taxing country. Sweden has interpreted such language narrowly and has rarely, if ever, imposed tax on a foreign shipping company. Denmark has ' followed a similar interpretation, and Panama's law would support exemption on the same interpretation. Norway has not exercised its authority to tax. Japan, Italy and Greece have broader source rules. Japan considers income from outbound traffic to have a domestic source, but it is not clear whether net income is determined as a percentage of worldwide net or computed separately on the basis of books and records. Italy m a y use an imputation of profit per ton where net income cannot be determined. When a foreign shipping company maintains a local office in Greece, Greece m a y tax not only the income attributable to Greek sources but also a portion of the foreign source income. In no case is the method of determining taxable income clear. The U.S. rules are also imprecise. - 84 - V. OPTIONS 1. Retain present law. It can be argued that repeal of the present reciprocal exemption would raise the cost of ocean freight and, if such legislation overrode tax treaties, would disturb our tax relations with treaty countries. Further, any change in the reciprocal exemption system might result in selectively heavier foreign taxation of U.S. flag vessels, which would place those vessels at a competitive disadvantage. On the other hand, the present system allows international shipping income to be free of most (or all) taxes. 2. Change the flag test to a residence test. Residents of any country which grants an equivalent exemption to U.S. ships operated by U.S. residents would be exempt from U.S. tax on income from the international operation of ships (and aircraft), without regard to where the ships were registered. This approach would have the advantage of not depriving a U.S. or treaty country operator of exemption solelybecause it uses foreign flag feeder vessels. But it does not address the basic criticism that international shipping frequently pays tax to no country. 3. Require a dual test. Under adual test, the foreign country would have to be both the country of registry of the ship and the country of residence of the operator. This was the position taken in Revenue Ruling 73-350 (subsequently reversed by Rev. Rul. 75-459). The dual test would make the conditions for reciprocal exemption parallel for both countries, since foreign countries are now only required to exempt U.S. citizens and residents operating U.S. flag vessels. But it would have the presumably unintended effect that while Liberian and Panamanian ships would be exempt from U. S. tax when operated by residents of Liberia and Panama, respectively, the exemption would no longer apply if either operator were to lease the ship of the other. 4. Repeal the statutory exemption. Repealing the statutory exemption would make the tax treatment of foreign flag shipping comparable to that of other foreign business activity in the United States, cut back on the tax-free status of international shipping, and thereby reduce the appeal of tax havens. U.S. action in this direction might encourage other countries to take similar steps. These are desirable policy objectives. But simple repeal of the U.S. statutory exemption while maintaining the present source rules would accomplish little toward these goals, and would have the disadvantages of multiplying the administrative burden of taxpayers and tax collectors and (at least initially) making U.S. flag ships subject to foreign taxes while ships of other countries continued to enjoy reciprocal exemption. These disadvantages could be largely overcome by additional changes along the lines indicated below: - 85 (a) Change the source rules to define as U.S. source income one half of the gross income from any voyage to or from a U.S. port. This change should be considered for international aviation as well as shipping. (b) Levy the tax at ordinary rates on net income realized in or apportioned to U.S. sources, provided the taxpayer furnishes adequate accounts. However, the taxpayer could elect to be taxed on presumptive net income, with the election to be revocable only with the consent of the Commissioner. A s an example, this alternative tax might be set at 5 percent of gross receipts from U.S. sources (roughly 48 percent of net income presumed at 10 percent of gross receipts). (c) Require the operator in certain cases to post a bond in an amount equal to the tax on gross income, unless sufficient business contacts with the United States were regularly maintained so that the Internal Revenue Service could be reasonably sure of collecting the tax. (d) Grant reciprocal exemptions in income tax treaties with countries that are not tax havens for shipping, with instructions to the Treasury that existing agreements with countries that constitute tax havens for international shipping be renegotiated to terminate the •exemption. Guidelines for identifying tax havens could be provided by regulation. For example, a shipping tax haven might be defined in terms of the following characteristics: little or no tax on shipping income, a large fleet in relation to the volume of exports and imports, ease of registry of foreign owned vessels, and foreign beneficial ownership of a substantial portion of the fleet. Some of the characteristics might be found in a number of countries, but a tax haven would generally meet all of them. (e) Change Subpart F to ensure the current taxation of the U.S. controlled foreign flag fleet, as discussed in Part B. Repeal of the reciprocal exemption, together with these collateral changes, would place the tax treatment of foreign flag shipping on the same basis as other foreign activity in the United States and would produce additional revenue of about $100 million. Some U.S. flag ships would still be subject to a competitive disadvantage through the loss of foreign tax exemption, but this effect would be relatively minor in view of the possibility of treaty exemptions. Moreover, in light of the low volume of U.S. trade carried on U.S. flag vessels, this effect should not be overestimated. - 86 - The Task Force on Foreign Income of the Ways and Means Committee considered the taxation of international shipping income as part of its agenda early in 1976. The Task Force decided to recommend certain changes, as outlined by its Chairman, Representative Rostenkowski, in a speech to the Chicago Council on Foreign Relations on March 29, 1976: In trying to achieve these goals, the Task Force is seriously considering a proposal along the following general lines: A limitation would be placed on the so-called "statutory reciprocal exemption" in the Internal Revenue Code which allows ships coming into the United States to avoid paying U.S. tax if the country in which the ship is registered does not tax U. S. ships traveling to that country. This reciprocal exemption would be extended only to those ships which are engaged in the domestic or foreign commerce of the country under whose laws the ship is registered and to ships owned, in fact, by nationals of that country. This change in the reciprocal exemption would not, however, override existing U.S. tax treaties, which generally provide for a complete exemption of shipping income between the two treaty countries. Instead the Treasury Department would be requested to reexamine the treaties and, where necessary, renegotiate them on a basis similar to the modified statutory exemption. The Task Force may also propose both a change in the source rules and the taxation of net income at ordinary rates or, in certain cases, a tax on presumptive net income, along the lines described above. - 87 - VI. R E V E N U E E S T I M A T E S Option (1), retaining present law, would involve no revenue change. Option (2), eliminating the flag test, would involve a negligible revenue loss. Option (3), requiring the dual test, would involve a negligible revenue gain. Option (4) would impose a net income tax on half of the gross receipts on all traffic to and from U.S. ports, but the taxpayer could electa presumed income tax of 5 percent of gross receipts. Selected exemptions would be permitted by treaty. This option would yield an estimated revenue gain of $100 million. The revenue estimate for option (4) is derived from Table 7. Figures were based on 1973 data, projected forward to 1975 on the assumption that gross receipts of foreign flag ships from carrying U.S. trade increased proportionately with the value ofwaterborne U.S. trade. The estimate assumes no change in the treaty exemptions already agreed to, but no new treaty exemptions. Table 7 Estimated Revenue Effect of Taxing Presumed Net U.S. Source Income of Foreign Flag Ships (Millions of Dollars) Gross Receipts 1/ Tax base U.S. gross (10% of receipts U.S.gross) (50% of total) inbound outbound total 1973 2,700 All Foreign Flags 950 -exempt by statute 750 Liberia, Panama 1,600 150 -exempt by treaty -taxable Est. 1975 All Foreign Flags -exempt by statute -exempt by treaty -taxable Estimated revenue gain On flags exempt by statute On flags taxable under present 3,100 1,000 450 1,800 300 Tax (5% of U.S gross) 5,800 1,950 1,200 3,400 450 2,900 975 600 1,700 225 290 98 60 170 20 145 49 30 85 10 9,300 3,100 5,500 700 4,650 1,550 2,750 350 465 155 275 35 235 80 140 20 100-/ 80 20 rules 2/ Office of the Secretary of Treasury Office of Tax Analysis January 28, 1976 1/ The inbound figures are rounded to the nearest $50 million; the outbound are available only "~ to the nearest $100 million. 2/ The tax now collected is estimated at about $2 million. 3/ A.s sumtng no foreign tax credits from other income. 00 00 - 89 P A R T B: T A X D E F E R R A L VII. ISSUE The issue is whether U.S. shareholders of controlled foreign shipping corporations should be taxed currently on their share of the profits of such corporations. This could be accomplished by amending the Internal Revenue Code so that profits of international shipping operations are fully included in Subpart F, without the current exception for profits reinvested in shipping operations. Foreign registry is attractive to U.S. shipowners for a number of reasons. Lower operating costs are most frequently cited, but tax savings are also important. The possibility of deferring tax on foreign flag shipping runs counter to other legislation designed to encourage U.S. flag shipping. Moreover, given the prevalence of tax haven countries as the chosen place of registry of m a n y U.S. owned foreign flag ships and the fact that their services are largely performed outside the country of registry, foreign shipping services exemplify the type of activity to which Subpart F applies. The issue then, is whether the partial inclusion of shipping income within Subpart F under the Tax Reduction Act of 1975 is adequate, or whether shipping should be included under Subpart F in full. - 90 VHI. PRESENT L A W Under Subpart F of the Code, certain categories of earnings and profits of a controlled foreign corporation (CFC) are includable in the gross income of the U.S. shareholder. The most important of these categories is foreign base company income. A s originally enacted, Subpart F provided an exclusion from foreign base company income for income derived from, or in connection with, the use (or hiring or leasing for use) of any aircraft or vessel in foreign commerce, or the performance of services directly related to the use of any such aircraft or vessel (section 954(b)(2)). This outright exclusion for shipping income was repealed, effective for taxable years beginning after December 31, 1975, by the Tax Reduction Act of 1975. Under that Act, foreign base company income includes foreign base company shipping income except to the extent reinvested in foreign base company shipping operations. (The Tax Reform Act of 1976 provides that income from shipping operations within one country is not base company shipping income if the ships are registered within that country and the company is incorporated locally.) Foreign base company shipping income, as defined in Section 954(f), includes income derived from the use (or hiring or leasing for use)ofany aircraft or vessel in foreign commerce, the performance of services directly related to the use of an aircraft or vessel, or the sale or exchange of the aircraft or vessel. It also includes dividends and interest from certain foreign subsidiaries and gain from the sale of securities of those corporations to the extent attributable to foreign base company shipping income. - 91 IX. ANALYSIS 1. Reasons for foreign incorporation. U.S. owners of ships, by incorporating in a country which imposes no income tax, can avoid tax on most or all of their worldwide income since m a n y countries, like the United States, provide statutory exemptions on the basis of reciprocity. According to the Maritime Administration, as of December 31, 1974, there were 706 U.S. owned foreign flag ships, totalling 27 million gross tons. More than 80 percent of these ships, by gross tonnage, were registered in Liberia, the United Kingdom, and Panama (Table 8). Liberia and Panama impose no income tax; the United Kingdom imposes tax but provides generous writeoffs for shipping investments, and permits ships owned by residents of tax haven colonies, like Bermuda, to fly the U.K. flag. Tax savings are not the only factor influencing the choice of foreign over U. S. registry. Costs of operation, particularly wages for the crew, 1/ are often very m u c h less abroad. Ships which engage exclusively "In commerce between third countries are not eligible for U.S. subsidies. But tax exemption provides an added attraction. In the past it has been particularly attractive for integrated companies which could shelter some profits from other activities in tax haven shipping subsidiaries, using excess foreign tax credits on other income to repatriate the tax sheltered income to the United States free of U.S. tax. More than 85 percent of the U.S. owned foreign flag ships, by gross tonnage, were oil tankers, most of which were owned by the large oil producing companies (Table 8). However, the Tax Reduction Act of 1975 and the Tax Reform Act of 1976 set special limits on the credit which m a y be claimed for foreign taxes paid on oil and gas extraction income; as of 1977 the foreign tax credit for such taxes is limited to 48 percent of foreign oil and gas extraction income. 2. Modifications to Subpart F in 1975. Under the Tax Reduction Act of 1975, shipping profits are subject to Subpart F except to the extent they are reinvested in shipping operations. In one sense shipping is now treated more harshly than other Subpart F activities, since profits characterized as foreign base company shipping income are "tainted" even if derived from unrelated companies. But shipping also continues to enjoy a preferred status in qualifying for partial exclusion by virtue of the reinvestment condition. 1/ In order to qualify for U.S. registry, all the officers and 75 percent "~ of the crew must be U.S. citizens. If the ship receives operating subsidies, then all the crew must be U.S. citizens. Table 8 FOREIGN FLAG SHIPS OWNED BY UNITED STATES COMPANIES OR FOREIGN AFFILIATES OF UNITED STATES COMPANIES INCORPORATED UNDER THE LAWS OF THE UNITED STATES As of December 31, 1974 SUMMARY Tankers Total Country of Registry Gross Tons No. Gross Tons Deadweight Tons No. Freighters DeadGross weight Tons Tons Bui k 6. Ore Cc irriers DeadGross weight No. Tons Tons 706 27,551,941 52 ,776,925 508 23,976,373 46,355,732 86 402,378 400^659 112 3,173,190 6,020^534 Liberia 339 15,978,413 31,882,734 240 13,172,661 26,477,539 United Kingdom 122 4,410,591 8,151,572 74 4,098,941 7,747,887 Panama 106 2,402,495 4,249,219 88 2,280,909 4,088,942 France 11 1,196,653 2,334,899 11 1,196,653 2,334,899 Netherlands 26 843,040 1,504,204 14 770,787 1,432,533 10 62,146 73,246 39 141,897 147,574 12 54,590 48,280 89 2,743,606 5,331,949 9 169,753 256,111 6 66,996 111,997 Total Germany (West) 12 Spain 5 Italy 10 Norway 10 Belgium 10 651,769 1,227,045 489,149 931,367 333,880? 494,091 254,916 453,895 200,889 324,393 11 Argentina 8 Denmark 6 Venezuela 3 Australia British Colonies 1 169,791 136,461 116,113 98,241 59,267 258,183 235,649 172,569 165,857 111,052 66,481 50,766 53,494 14,560 17,998 101,244 85,830 49.916 23,421 9,972 6,974 9,813 Canada Uruguay Honduras South Africa Greece " Finland Source: No. Deadweight Tons 7 2 10 1 3 12 5 10 10 9 7 2 1 - 651,769 489,149 333,880 254,916 163,159 1,227,045 931,367 494,091 453,895 259,393 96,037 136,461 116,113 16,890 59,267 141,921 235,649 172,569 26,642 111,052 66,481 50,766 14,560 - 101,244 85,830 .23,421 6,974 9,813 12 72,253" 71,671 vo NO 10 3 53,494 49,916 17,998 9,972 37,730 65,000 73,754 116,262 81,351 139,215 U.S. Department of Commerce, Maritime Administration, Foreign Flag Merchant Ships Owned bv U S Parpnt Companies , October 1975. " ~——**—•—'•—-— - 93 - It is too early to tell what effect the reinvestment condition will have. In fact, the rules are so complex that even the affected taxpayers will find it very difficult to assess their impact, l] However, while the reinvestment condition might not benefit foreign shipping companies when the industry is experiencing a prolonged recession, it could easily be satisfied in a growing economy for those companies that are renewing or expanding their fleets. 2/ For example, assume that $10 million is borrowed to finance a ship which will yield gross receipts of 25 percent, or $2.5 million, and a pre-tax profit, after payment of interest and other expenses, of $500, 000 per year. The profit could be used to retire the mortgage over 20 years, and during this time there would be no U. S. tax liability under Subpart F. To continue qualifying after 20 years, the shipping company would have to replace the one ship or expand its fleet. So long as the reinvestment condition is met, shipping profits will continue to enjoy exclusion from Subpart F; and when it is not met, shipping profits will be subject to Subpart F but with special and extraordinarily complex rules (even by comparison with other Subpart F rules). 3. Effect of including shipping income within Subpart F. The nature of international shipping services, especially the frequency of incorporation in tax havens with most of the services performed outside the country of incorporation, is analogous to the general concept of base company service income, which suggests including shipping income under Subpart F on the same basis. It has been argued that taxing the undistributed profits of foreign shipping companies could cause their sale to foreign interests and their consequent loss to the United States in time of national emergency. It is not clear that current taxation under Subpart F would provoke substantial sales, although it might result in some changes in country of registry. For some U. S. owners, shipping is an important part of an integrated enterprise which would not readily be disposed of. Moreover, both the Maritime Administration and the Defense Department have expressed doubts about the usefulness of the "Effective U. S. 1/ Proposed regulations were published in the Federal Register on August 7, 1976; as reprinted in the C o m m e r c e Clearing House Standard Federal Tax Reporter they take up 36 pages of single spaced print. 2j Of course in a prolonged shipping recession, the profits of foreign shipping companies might be modest or nonexistent, sothat current U. S. taxation under Subpart F would result in little additional burden. - 94 - Control Fleet". In recent emergencies, such as the closing of the Suez Canal and in Vietnam, both practical and legal problems have arisen with respect to commandeering foreign registered ships manned by foreign crews. Control of such ships is especially difficult when they engage primarily or exclusively in third country commerce and have virtually no contact with the United States. This is probably true of many U.S. controlled foreign flag ships. The Maritime Administration estimated in 1974 that only about 20 percent of the U.S. owned foreign flag tankers carried U.S. trade. (As of April 1975, 330 of the 461 ships on the Effective U.S. Control List were oil tankers. ) Other C o m m e r c e Department data indirectly support this general view by indicating that, on average, under 10 percent of the sales of foreign affiliates of U.S. international transport corporations are to U.S. purchasers. Thus, it is doubtful that the sale of some of the U. S. controlled foreign flag ships would have a serious adverse effect on the national security of the United States. To the extent U.S. controlled foreign flag ships were sold, presumably they would escape taxation, and there would be little or no impact on freight charges. However, to the extent these ships remained under U.S. control, and paid U.S. taxes, there would be some increase in freight rates, mainly between third countries. In any event, there would be no discernable effect on the employment of U. S. seamen, since U. S. crews are seldom used on foreign flag vessels, whether or not controlled by U.S. corporations. To effectively bring foreign shipping income within the purview of Subpart F it would be important to clarify the applicable rules for deter mining when the foreign corporation is considered not to have been formed or availed of for the substantial reduction of taxes. The rules applicable to foreign base company service income in this respect would raise serious administrative problems in the case of shipping income, since they refer to the effective foreign tax rates where the services are performed, and might well be ineffective since many countries impose little tax on their shipping companies and no tax is attributable to income generated on the high seas. In addition, if the deferral of U.S. tax on the undistributed profits of foreign shippmg companies were eliminated and the statutory reciprocal exemption of Section 883 were repealed, it would be necessary to avoid double taxation of the same income. Section 952(b) achieves this result for Subpart F income by defining it as excluding income effectively connected with a U.S. trade or business unless U.S. tax is reduced or waived by treaty. - 95 - X. OPTIONS 1. Retain present law. This option could be supported on the grounds that the treatment of shipping income under Subpart F was just changed and that any further changes should be delayed long enough to see the results of the earlier legislation. But the 1975 and 1976 changes are not satisfactory. The Tax Reduction Act of 1975 and the Tax Reform Act of 1976 put shipping services neither in nor out of the foreign base company services category, but in a special inbetween category, sometimes favored and sometimes penalized compared to other covered services. Moreover, applying the new provisions promises to be extremely complicated. 2. Remove shipping income from Subpart F. This option would return to the pre-1976 situation, which permitted the use of tax haven companies by U. S. ship owners, contrary both to the general tax policy of denying deferral benefits to tax haven companies and to the policy of granting special tax benefits and direct subsidies to U.S. flag ships. 3. Include foreign shipping income under Subpart F as foreign base company service income. The purpose of the Subpart F provisions with respect to foreign base company service income is: ".. . to deny tax deferral where a service subsidiary is separated from manufacturing or similar activities of a related corporation and organized in another country ordinarilyto obtain alower rate of taxforthe service income." (S. Rep. No. 1881, 37th Cong., 2d Sess., C.B. 1962-3, 703, at 709). The use of tax haven corporations to furnish international shipping services answers this description. If shipping income were to be treated like foreign base company service income under Subpart F, the substantial reduction test would have to be strengthened. Using the foreign effective rates where the services are performed as the standard is extremely complex and leaves much to the discretion of the taxpayer. Any substantial change in the reciprocal exemption (discussed in Part A ) should be accompanied by the inclusion of shipping income under Subpart F. Otherwise, to the extent that other countries continue to grant exemption on the basis of reciprocity, owners of U. S. flag vessels would have an additional incentive to transfer those vessels to a controlled foreign corporation and register them outside the United States. - 96 XI. R E V E N U E E S T I M A T E S Option (1), retaining present law, would involve no revenue change. Option (2) would return to pre-1976 rules which specifically exclude snipping from Subpart F. This would involve some revenue loss, but a small one; in general the exception for shipping profits reinvested in shipping operations is tantamount to an exclusion. Option (3) would define foreign base company service income to include shipping profits without exception and would strengthen the substantial reduction test. The estimated revenue gain from this option viewed in isolation is $240 million. However, an estimated $40 million of this amount would represent double counting if the statutory exemption under section 883 were also eliminated. In other words, if both proposals were enacted, the additional revenue gain from the Subpart F proposals is estimated at $200 million. This figure does not take into account the availability of excess foreign tax credits on other foreign income. The estimation of the revenue gain under Option (3) may be briefly explained. A sample representing about two-thirds of the gross tonnage of U.S. owned foreign flag ships showed pre-tax earnings and profits of $690 million in 1973, an effective foreign tax rate of 3 percent and dividends paid of $260 million, or 40 percent of earnings and profits (Table 9). Based on that sample, the estimated revenue gain of eliminating deferral for shipping C F C s would be about $240 million after foreign tax credits assuming no usable excess credits. This assumes that all of the profits qualified for the exception from Subpart F provided by the Tax Reduction Act of 1975 (Table 10). While the 1974 figure would have been higher than for 1973, the current depressed market for tankers suggests a drop from 1974 levels for 1975 and 1976. The estimate assumes that the 1976 figure would be roughly the same as for 1973. It is estimated by the Maritime Administration that only about 20 percent of U.S. owned foreign flag oil tankers carry U.S. trade, the rest engaging exclusively in foreign commerce. Assuming that 50 percent of the nontankers carry U. S. trade, and that the ships which carry U.S. trade derive two-thirds of their pre-tax income from U.S. sources, the tax imposed on their U.S. income by eliminating the statutory exemption would have amounted to perhaps $40 million. Thus, excluding that income from Subpart F would reduce the net revenue gain of eliminating deferral to $200 million (Table 10). Table 9 Earnings and Profits, Foreign Taxes and Dividends Paid, Selected CFCs Engaged in Shipping, 1973 Foreign Tax Paid Pre-tax Percent Earnings : of pre& profits ($ millions) ($ millions): tax E&P Dividends Paid Percent of after tax ($ millions) ($ millions) E&P After Tax E&P Sample of U.S. owned foreign flag ships 1/ 687.2 23.0 3.3 664.3 256.8 38.7 Owned by oil companies 636.4 22.8 3.6 613.6 232.7 37.9 Owned by others 50.8 0.2 0.4 50.6 24.2 47.8 July 17, 1975 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 1/ Representing two-thirds of the total gross tonnage of U.S. owned foreign flag ships. Includes some CFCs which also engage in other activities. Source: 1973 tax return data for selected parent companies and their shipping CFCs ^4 Table 10 Estimated Revenue Effect of Eliminating Deferral on the Income of Shipping CFCs (Millions of Dollars) :Gross :tonnage Undistributed Foreign :of ships pre-tax Tentative tax Revenue :(thousand earnings and U.S. tax credit gain 4/ : tons) profits 2/ Sample of U.S. owned foreign flag ships Owned by oil companies Owned by others Estimated others 17,771 15,755 1,936 6,834 427 399 28 120 3/ 205 192 13 58 _4 187 174 13 54 Estimated total 24,605 1/ 527 253 21 240 18 18 Less credit for tax on U.S. source income 40 5/ Net revenue gain Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 00 200 December 1976 1/ As of December 31, 1974. Reported in U.S. Department of Commerce, Maritime Administration, Foreign Flag Merchant Ships Owned by U.S. Parent Companies, October 1975. Excludes ships owned by individuals. 2/ Based on 1973 tax return data. Assumed generally in line with 1976 magnitudes given the slow tanker market in 1975/76. 3/ Estimate based on estimated profits per gross ton and estimated foreign tax and dividend ratios 4/ This is a maximum estimate; it assumes no usable excess foreign tax credits and makes no allowance for the various escape mechanisms of Subpart F. 5/ Assumes that 20% of the tankers and 50% of the oti.er ships engage in U.S. trade, that those ships derive 757D of their profits from such trade and that U.S. tax at 48% is imposed on 507o of the profits from traffic to and from the U.S. Source: 1973 tax return data for shipping CFCs and estimates explained above. -99- U. S. TAXATION OF FOREIGN EARNED INCOME OF PRIVATE EMPLOYEES Marcia Field and Brian Gregg -100TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Issue 1Q2 Present Law 103 1. Explanation 103 2. Legislative history 104 Analysis 106 1. Impact of repeal of Section 911 on employees and employers- . . . 10 (a) Employees who would be most affected in general 106 (b) Some empirical evidence (c) W h o would bear the added tax burden, employee or employer ? , 2. Possible exceptions or modifications if Section 911 were repealed « (a) Employees of United States charities 110 (b) Extraordinary living expenses (c) Burden of foreign sales taxes 108 109 110 Ill .. . WW.All 3. Additional considerations 113 (a) Effect on United States exports 113 (b) Competitiveness of United States firms . .' .' .' . . . .'.'.[ .' .' [ Options -Q4 1. Retention vs. repeal of the Section 911 exclusion as modified m the Tax Reform Act of 1976 , H4 2. Repeal the exclusion but introduce a deduction for extraordinary living costs . . , 114 3. Repeal the exclusion but introduce a deduction for specific costs of foreign residence 114 4. Repeal the exclusion but introduce a deduction for 'foreign & sales taxes ^15 Statistical Tables t 116 1. Returns reporting foreign earned income exclusion in 1972 compared with 1968 . . . . 116 2. Additional data from the 1968 returns !..'.'!."!!.''.!!.'.'!!! 116 3. Examples of high and low tax countries ....... 117 -101- LIST O F T A B L E S Table 1 Table 2 Table 3 Table 4 Page Summary Data on Returns Reporting a Foreign Earned Income Exclusion, Tax Years 1968 & 1972. 118 Summary Characteristics of Returns Claiming a Foreign Earned Income Exclusion for 1972 By Amount of Adjusted Gross Income 119 Returns Filed, 1968, Claiming an Exclusion of Foreign Earned Income Under Section 911 120 Returns Filed with an Exclusion of Foreign Earned Income, by Size of Adjusted Gross Income, 1968. 121 Table 5 Returns Claiming a Foreign Tax Credit, 1968 122 Table 6 Returns Filed with an Exclusion of Foreign Earned Income, Developed and Developing Countries, 1968 123 Principal Countries of Foreign Residence of Persons Claiming Foreign Earned Income Exclusion, 1968 124 Duration of Foreign Residence of Bona Fide Foreign Residents, 1968 ; 125 Returns Excluding More than $25,000 of Foreign Earned Income, 1968 ; 126 Examples of High and Low Tax Countries, Relative to the United States 127 Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 -102- I. ISSUE The issue is whether Section 911, the foreign earned income exclusion, of the Internal Revenue Code should be eliminated, and the currently excluded income made fully taxable. The Section 911 exclusion is a departure from the general rule that U. S. citizens, whether or not resident in the United States, are subject to U.S. tax on their global income. Prior to the passage of the Tax Reform Act of 1976, Section 911 of the Internal Revenue Code provided that U.S. citizens who remained outside the United States for prolonged periods, other than as U.S. Government employees, excluded from their gross income $20, 000or $25, 000 annually of their foreign earned income. The Tax Reform Act of 1976 reduced the amount of excludable income and modified the computation of tax on non-excluded income. The excludable amount is reduced to $15, 000 in general. A $20, 000 exclusion is provided for employees of U. S. tax-exempt organizations described in Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. The applicable U.S. tax on income in excess of the excludable amount is calculated as if there were no exclusion; foreign taxes paid on excluded income are not allowed as a credit; and income received outside the country where it is earned, in order to avoid tax in that country, is not eligible for the exclusion. The Tax Reform Act of 1976 also extended the right to claim a foreign tax credit to taxpayers who use the standard deduction. -103- IL PRESENT L A W 1. Explanation. Section 911 of the Internal Revenue Code excludes from gross income, and therefore exempts from tax, $15, 000 of annual income from foreign employment of U. S. citizens who remain in a foreign country or countries for 17 months (510 days) in any consecutive 18 month period (the "physical presence" rule) or who are bona fide foreign residents and have been for at least one full taxable year. The excluded amount is $20,000 for employees of U. S. organizations which qualify as tax exempt organizations under Section 501 (c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Computing the 510 day period becomes complicated when partial tax years and travel over international waters or air space are involved, especially since the 18 month periods can be overlapping. Bona fide foreign residence is determined on the facts and circumstances of each case in terms of indications, such as ties with the local community, or intent to maintain one's permanent home in that country. The exclusion is not available to U. S. Government employees. Although restricted to U. S. citizens by statute, it is extended by the nondiscrimination clause of income tax conventions to resident aliens who are citizens of certain other countries. 1/ The exclusion is limited to "earned income" which means compensation for personal services actually rendered. Taxpayers who combine labor and capital in an unincorporated business m a y exclude up to 30 percent of their income from the business as representing compensation for personal services. Income is considered earned in the year the services were performed. Amounts received as a pension or annuity are not excludable, except to the extent that they represent employer contributions made before 1963 or with respect to services performed before 1963. The excluded amount is taken into account in determining the tax on other income. Under this method, often referred to as "exemption with progression", if $15,000 of income is excludable and $35,000 not excludable, the tax liability is the difference between the tax on $50, 000 and the tax on $15, 000. 1/ Rev. Rul. 72-330 and 72-598 (1972-2 C. B. 444 and 451). -104- No deductions properly chargeable against the excluded income m a y be taken against other income. For example, to the extent that moving expenses or travel and entertainment expenses associated with the foreign employment are not fully reimbursed by the employer, they m a y not be deducted from other income. Foreign taxes paid on excluded income may not be deducted in determining taxable U. S. income, nor are these taxes allowed as a foreign tax credit against U. S. tax onforeign source income. Taxpayers eligible under Section 911 m a y make a permanent election not to claim the exclusion. 2. Legislative history. When introduced in 1926, the exclusion under Section 911 was an unlimited exemption of foreign employment income for citizens who spent six months a year outside the United States. The exclusion was intended to benefit export salesmen and was called the "foreign trader" exemption. Over the years it has undergone a number of amendments, to exclude government employees, to introduce the concept of foreign residence and later the concept of physical presence abroad, and to introduce dollar limits to curb abuses by individuals, notably movie stars, who could arrange their employment to take advantage of the opportunity to escape U. S. tax. The principal changes are summarized in the following paragraphs. As introduced by the House of Representatives in 1926, the "foreign trader exemption" would have excluded from taxable income the salaries and sales commissions received by U.S. citizens employed abroad for foreign sales of tangible personal property produced in the United States, provided that the recipient was employed abroad for more than six months of the year. The Senate Finance Committee rejected the House bill, arguing that the foreign tax credit made such a benefit unnecessary; but the Senate as a whole agreed with the House and even broadened the measure. As enacted into law, the forerunner of Section 911 allowed a U. S. citizen who lived outside the United States for m o r e than six months of the tax year to exclude from his taxable income all foreign earned income. The original intention of tying the exclusion to income generated by U. S. exports never made its way into law. In 1932, the exclusion was denied to U. S. Government employees, who are generally exempt from foreign income taxes. In 1942, the eligibility requirement was tightened from six months absence from the United States to bona fide residence in a foreign country for an entire tax year. -105- In 1951, the residence requirement, which had been interpreted strictly by the Internal'Re venue Service and the courts, was relaxed somewhat by providing that persons physically present in a foreign country or' countries for a period of 17 out of 18 consecutive months (the "physical presence" test) could also qualify for exemption. In 1953, the House proposed repealing the "physical presence" exemption due to abuses. The solution enacted into law was to limit the exclusion to $20, 000. In 1962, the unlimited exclusion of foreign earned income of bona fide foreign residents was limited to $20, 000a year for the first three years and $35, 000 a year thereafter. In 1964, the $35, 000 maximum exclusion for bona fide foreign residents was lowered to a level of $25, 000. The exclusioiTTemained at $20,000 for the first three years of bona fide foreign residence and for those physically present abroad. In 1976, the excludable amount of foreign earned income was reduced to $15, 000, with the exception of employees of tax-exempt organizations, for w h o m the exclusion is $20,000. In addition, the applicable U. S. tax rate on income in excess of the excluded amount is to be calculated at the higher graduated rates, as if there were no exclusion, and the foreign income taxes which otherwise qualified for the foreign tax credit are to be apportioned between foreign taxes attributable to excluded income (no longer eligible for a U.S. foreign tax credit) and other foreign income taxes. Because these changes can in some cases result in the exclusion being less advantageous than if the taxpayer included that income and claimed the foreign tax credit, the Tax Reform Act of 1976 permits taxpayers to elect not to claim the provisions of Section 911. The 1976 Act also provides that foreign earned income which is received outside of the country in which it' is earned is not eligible for exclusion if one of the purposes of receiving such income outside that country is to avoid local income tax. -106- III. ANALYSIS Throughout the history of the foreign earned income exclusion there has been a thread of criticism that the foreign tax credit makes such an exclusion unnecessary. It is argued that U.S. citizens should pay the same tax without regard to where they are employed, while relying on the foreign tax credit to avoid double taxation. This line of reasoning has been opposed by the view that full taxation of U. S. citizens employed abroad would hurt the competitive position of U.S. companies in world markets, since the United States is one of only a very few countries which tax nonresident citizens on their foreign source income. Issues considered in this review of Section 911 are: (1) the impact its repeal would have on employees and employers; (2) modifications of Section 911 contained in the Tax Reform Act of 1976; and (3) special circumstances which might warrant retention of the exclusion in its present form or otherwise. 1. Impact of repeal of Section 911 on employees and employers. (a) Employees who would be most affected in general. In 1974, there were roughly 120,000 U.S. taxpayers who filed F o r m 2555, an information return reporting foreign earned income excluded under Section 911. 1/ In 1972, 100,000 taxpayers excluded an aggregate of $1.4 billion of income. The net revenue gain if the excluded income were made taxable in full is estimated at $60 million for 1976, after foreign tax credits. The changes introduced by the Tax Reform Act of 1976 are estimated to increase revenue by approximately $45 million, before taking into account the easing of the law in permitting persons using the standard deduction to claim a foreign tax credit. The benefit of Section 911 varies inversely with the foreign tax liability, since the U.S. income tax is reduced dollar for dollar by the foreign tax paid. Thus, in general, repeal of Section 911 would hurt those who pay a foreign income tax lower than the U. S. tax and would hurt most those whose foreign earned income is exempt from foreign tax. It should be noted that in some cases it is the employer rather than the employee who would be affected; this point is brought out more clearly in Section (c). 1/ Part V summarizes some further statistical characteristics of the taxpayers claiming the benefits of Section 911. -107- Employment in countries where no income tax is imposed, such as Saudi Arabia and the Bahamas, would be less attractive if Section 911 were repealed. But there are also other less obvious cases in which countries which ordinarily impose high taxes grant selective tax exemption or reductions. This can occur for a variety of reasons. For example, a foreign country m a y treat all persons employed at a U. S. Government installation or on a governmentfinanced project as if they were government employees and exempt their earnings from tax, even though some are employed by private firms. Some foreign countries grant special relief to employees who are not permanent residents, such as taxing them only on income received in that country, or permitting special deductions. Certain occupations may enjoy tax relief. For example, the charters of international organizations typically provide for exemption from tax of employees' salaries. Some occupations involve extensive travel, enabling the employees to be out of the .United States for seventeen months without remaining in any one country long enough to become taxable there (visits.of less than six months by employees of foreign companies often do not give rise to local income tax liability). Performers, fishermen, and m e m b e r s of ship crews might fall in this category. To the extent that Section 911 reduces U.S. tax, it provides an incentive to reduce foreign tax liability to the same level. Some persons m a y respond to this incentive by using methods that constitute tax evasion. One such method is the splitting of salaries, with one part reported for local tax purposes and the other deposited to the employee's bank account in the United States or another country, without the knowledge or approval of the foreign government.^/ Another method is not to report income in kind as required. Where the salary is deducted in full by a local company, it is more difficult to conceal income than when part or all of the payment is made from the United States. A foreign subsidiary m a y try to disguise a reimbursement to the parent as royalties or technical V Under the Tax Reform Act of 1976 income earned abroad which is received outside of the country in whichearned, in order to avoid tax in that country, is ineligible for the exclusion under Section 911. -108- service fees, but such payments are often subject to a high withholding tax. The employee m a y simply rely on weak local enforcement not to discover the discrepancy between the salary deducted by the employer and that reported by the employee, or to overlook income in kind. (b) Some empirical evidence. A detailed survey of the 100, 000 taxpayers claiming the benefits of Section 911 in 1968 showed that the largest concentrations were in Canada (11 percent of the total), Germany, the United Kingdom, and South Vietnam (6 percent each). With the exception of South Vietnam, these countries presumably continue to be among the principal places of residence. In 1968 they accounted for 23 percent of the total number of persons claiming Section 911. Under the United Kingdom's remittance basis of taxation it was possible to remit to the United Kingdom only the m i n i m u m needed for living expenses and be taxed only on that amount. Some reduced their U.K. tax liability still further or even to zero by receiving none of their salary in the United Kingdom and borrowing to meet living expenses (remitted capital was not taxed). The United Kingdom tightened its remittance basis' of taxation beginning in April 1975. Persons not ordinarily resident in the United Kingdom are now subject to tax on one half of their income from services performed in the United Kingdom whether or not the income is actually remitted. However, the U.K. tax on one-half the income remains below the U.S. tax on the entire income for most U.S. citizens employed there. The Canadian and German taxes are as high or higher than the U. S. tax, except for special cases, such as those private sector employees associated with U.S. bases in Germany who are exempted by German tax authorities as if they were U.S. Government employees. Among the other principal places of residence in 1968, and presumably also today, were Japan, Mexico, Brazil, Australia, the Philippines, and Italy, all of whichare high-tax countries relative to the United States, and Thailand, Venezuela, the Marshall Islands, France, Saudi Arabia, Switzerland, the Bahamas, and Bermuda, all of which are low-tax countries relative to the United States.J./ Employees in the low-tax group would experience an increased U.S. tax liability if Section 911 were repealed. But the high-tax group would be largely unaffected, since the foreign tax credit would offset most or all U. S. tax liability. 1/ See Table 10 for other examples of high and low tax countries. -109- F r o m the 1968 data, tentative inferences can be drawn about some of the employees who would be most adversely affected by repeal of Section 911. U. S. citizens employed by international organizations would be affected, wherever located. Affected groups in some countries can be identified with particular industries, such as finance (Switzerland, the Bahamas, Bermuda), oil (Saudi Arabia, Venezuela) and defense contracts (the Marshall Islands and Thailand). Oil company employees in other Middle Eastern countries, Iran, Indonesia and the North Sea could also be affected since low taxes often apply in those countries by contract, for employees engaged in petroleum exploration and development. (c) Who would bear the added tax burden, employee or employer? The next question is who would pay the increased tax? If Section 911 were repealed, the resulting increased U. S. tax liability would mean an increased total tax burden for employees subject to low foreign taxes. Whether the burden would fall on them or be passed on to their employers would depend in the first instance on the method of tax reimbursement, and ultimately on the demand for and supply of the skills of the affected employees. The two principal methods by which U. S. firms reimburse their employees for foreign tax liabilities m a y be designated "tax equalization" and "tax protection", although different companies use different names. The "tax equalization" approach in effect removes the employee from the scope of Section 911. The employer calculates the base salary to approximate the amount the employee would have received after U.S. income tax if employed in the United States, and then pays the foreign tax liability incurred by the e m ployee on that amount. Under such plans the employee does not benefit if the foreign tax is lower than the amount of U.S. tax by which the salary was reduced; the savings accrue to the e m ployer,]/ Under "tax protection" plans the employee is paid the 1/ For example, if the U.S. salary would be $50,000 and the estimated U.S. tax on that amount in the absence of the Section 911 exclusion is $15, 000, the overseas employee would be paid $35, 000. Assuming that the foreign tax on $35, 000 is $10, 000, the company pays that amount and keeps the other $5,000 of the $15,000 reduction in base salary. The employee adds the foreign tax payment to his income in the year it is paid,' so each year there is an increased tax base even at the same salary level (as in any such tax reimbursement scheme) but the starting level is lower with this approach than under the tax protection method. -110- full U. S. base salary is considered subject to an assumed U. S. tax and the employer pays any excess of foreign tax over that U. S. liability. If the foreign tax is lower, the employee saves the difference. Thus, under the first approach, the immediate impact of the loss of the exclusion would be on the employer, while under the second approach the immediate impact would be on the employee. Even where the U. S. company would compensate the employee for the full increase in U. S. tax resulting from the repeal of Section 911, some employees might have to accept a reduction in income. If there is high unemployment in that occupational field in the United States, employers m a y be able to offer lower premiums and allowances for foreign positions. There has been a tendency in recent years for U. S. multinationals to cut back on the various supplements paid to U. S. overseas employees. There is also a tendency to employ more foreign nationals, even where foreign laws do not so dictate, as it becomes increasingly possible to obtain comparable skills at lower costs. An increased tax liability for American employees would probably accelerate both tendencies in low-tax countries. Americans employed abroad by foreign employers presumably would be less able to pass on to the employer an increased U. S. tax cost than those employed by U. S. companies or their subsidiaries. This would not always be the case, but the preference for U. S. labor would tend to be greatest among companies with the strongest ties to U. S. technology, methods of doing business, and working in the English language. In general, an increased tax burden due to repeal of Section 911 would probably result in an increased cost to employers, although not necessarily by the full amount of the tax increase, lower net pay to U. S. citizens employed on foreign assignments, and an overall reduction in the employment of U. S. citizens abroad. 2. Possible exceptions or modifications if Section 911 were repealed. (a) Employees of United States charities. The Tax Reform Act of 1976 preserved a $20, OUU per year exclusion of foreign earned income for persons who meet either the bona fide foreign residence test or physical presence (510 day) test aTicTare^mployed by a U. S. organization which qualifies under Section 501 (c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Such organizations m a y be operated for religious, charitable, scientific, testing for public safety, literary, or educational purposes, or for the prevention of cruelty to children or animals. They must be created under the laws of the United States; thus foreign charities, such as the International Red Cross, do not qualify. Contributions to the qualifying organizations are deductible to the donor. The justification for preserving an exclusion for employees of such organizations is that an increase in their tax burden -Ill- would be an increased cost to the non-profit organizations and would force them to cut back on their activities. The effect of the exclusion is to give such organizations an incentive to assign employees to foreign countries where the tax is lower than the U.S. tax, rather than to assign them to activities in the United States or in other countries where the tax is comparable to the U.S. tax. Employees of those organizations in the United States do not enjoy a similar exclusion. (b) Extraordinary living expenses. One of the principal complaints of beneficiaries of the Section 911 exclusion when faced with its proposed repeal has been that they could not afford to stay at overseas assignments (or, if employers, to station U.S. citizens in overseas positions). Extraordinary living costs in m a n y foreign posts, it is argued, would raise the required income level above the comparable U.S. level, and payment of U.S. tax on that additional salary would m e a n either a reduction in after tax income for the employee or a reduction in profit of the employer. The principal component of extraordinary living costs in foreign posts seems to be housing. T o rent a Western style, airconditioned apartment in Tokyo m a y cost more than $1, 000 a month, and costs are also very high in remote outposts where housing approximating U.S. standards is scarce. Within the United States, costs also vary substantially, but the tax law does not adjust for such differences. To make such an adjustment for some taxpayers and not others gives a selective subsidy to employment in those high cost areas which qualify for the adjustment. Moreover, costs of living in m a n y foreign posts are lower than the United States standard. The point is frequently made that high living costs incurred in foreign countries do not represent any personal benefit to the taxpayer. H e m a y in fact have preferred an apartment in Washington, D.C. for $300 a month to the one for which he must pay $1,000 a month in Tokyo. But under present law taxable income is not defined to be net of living expenses. The Tax Court addressed this issue in two recent cases concerning taxpayers who had not been reporting the portion of their rental costs paid for them by their employers. In one case the Tax Court expressed sympathy with the taxpayer's dismay at the high cost of reasonable housing in Tokyo, but observed that if the company had not paid the additional rent, the employee would have had to pay it to live in such quarters, and that therefore the company's payments did represent a financial -112- benefit to the taxpayer._/ In a second similar case the Tax Court also held that the rent paid by the employer was includable in gross income of the employee because the housing furnished did not qualify as for the convenience of the employer. _/ It can be argued that the tax law should be changed to exempt from tax a basic minimum amount to cover living costs, which would vary with the cost of living in different places and years. But the problem, as mentioned before, is a general one affecting domestic as well as foreign employees and involving lower as well as higher costs in different situations. There are also severe administrative difficulties in implementing sucha concept, and its implementation would diminish the incentives for employers to locate in low cost-of-living areas. (c) Burden of foreign sales taxes. Sales taxes imposed in foreign countries are not deductible for U.S. income tax purposes, unlike U.S. state and local sales taxes. Nor m a y a deduction be taken for foreign personal property taxes or contributions to foreign charities. O n the other hand, foreign income taxes imposed by political subdivisions m a y be credited against the U.S. income tax while U.S. state and local income taxes m a y only be deducted. Countries with substantial sales taxes are not necessarily those with substantial local income taxes, so the two features cannot be assumed to offset each other. Foreign sales taxes are generally a more onerous burden than foreign personal property taxes. The nondeductibility of contributions to foreign charities is mitigated by the possibility of routing some such contributions through U.S. charities. As long as state and local sales taxes are considered a proper deduction in arriving at taxable income for Federal tax purposes, a deduction for foreign sales taxes can be justified. There would be severe administrative difficulties in monitoring a deduction for .actual foreign sales taxes incurred, although one could imagine a workable arrangement based on sales tax tables, perhaps initially just for high, low, and medium sales tax countries, grouped accordingly. Such an approach would move toward making the tax base computation consistent for resident and nonresident taxpayers. Alternatively, denial of a deduction for U.S. state and local sales taxes could have the same effect. 1/ T.C. m e m o r a n d u m 1976-13, filed January 20, 1976; Philip H. and Cherie M . Stephens vs. Commissioner of Internal Revenue. 2/ 66 T.C. , No. 25, May 5, 1976; James H. McDonald and Amelia H. McDonald vs. Commissioner of Internal Revenue. -113- 3. Additional considerations. (a) Effect on United States exports. The argument is often made that repeal of the exclusion would m a k e U. S exports less competitive in world markets since other countries do not tax their nonresident citizens. Since the exclusion is not limited to employees engaged in export-related activities, this argument holds true only in selected cases. One such case would be where a U.S. exporter maintains a sales outlet in another country. Another would be where a U.S. firm sends employees abroad for prolonged periods to supervise the assembly, installation or use of exported products. Other activities of U.S. firms abroad, such as manufacturing, m a y also generate demand for U.S. exports, but the exclusion is not limited to such cases. The exclusion could, perhaps, be modified to benefit only exporters. But given the foreign tax credit, an export incentive in the form of an exclusion from gross income would necessarilybe selective in its effects, favoring.exports which involve the assignment of U.S. personnel to low tax countries. (b) Competitiveness of United States firms. U. S companies with employees overseas frequently maintain that their ability to compete with third country companies (e.g. to compete against the French in Morocco) is hindered when U.S. citizens continue to be subject to U.S. tax while citizens of other countries working in such third countries pay only the host country. This situation occurs when the U.S. and foreign companies are competing in a place where the income tax is below the U.S. level, so that a net U.S. tax is due after the foreign tax credit. It does not occur if the host country income tax is as high as the U.S. income tax. Thus, the exclusion gives a tax incentive to production in low tax countries. -114- IV. OPTIONS 1. Retention vs. repeal of the Section 911 exclusion as modified in the Tax Reform Act of 1976. The modifications introduced by the Tax Reform Act of 1976 substantially curtailed the benefits of Section 911; consequently, outright repeal of the exclusion m a y now have less appeal. It can be argued that the repeal of Section 911 is too extreme. It would result in an increased U. S. tax liability for U. S. taxpayers employed abroad who pay foreign income taxes below the ordinary U. S. tax. This cost will frequently be borne by U.S. companies, while companies employing foreign nationals who are subject only to local taxes will not incur a comparable cost. O n the other hand, for m a n y U.S. employees overseas, foreign taxes are as high or higher than the ordinary U.S. rates, and Section 911 is of no benefit. Nor does it benefit recipients of other types of income, such as U.S. citizens who retire to another country. The pattern of benefits does not correspond to any stated policy objective. The administrative complexity which has long characterized Section 911 was increased rather than reduced by the 1976 amendments. 2. Repeal the exclusion but introduce a deduction for extraordinary living costs. The cost of living in some foreign locations can be considerably higher than in the United States, requiring the payment of higher salaries to attract competent employees. The W a y s and Means Committee studied this question and concluded that "Given these wide variations both within and without the United States, your committee believes that the tax laws in practice cannot be fairly adjusted for these costs. "(House Report 94-658, November 12, 1975, p. 200). 3. Repeal the exclusion but introduce a deduction for specific costs of foreign residence. Although cost of living differentials are not adjusted for in current U. S. tax law, and such adjustments would be difficult io make and administer fairly on a broad scale, there is some sentiment for granting tax relief to nonresident citizens for specific costs which are frequently higher in other countries. The House version of the bill which became the Tax Reform Act of 1976 (H.R. 10612) provided a deduction for tuition expenses of dependents, up to a certain amount, in recognition that language barriers, physical distance and the importance of preparation for U. S. universities make private schooling necessary in many cases where U.S. public schools would be used if available. Relief for excess housing costs is another possibility for selective relief. A n excess housing cost deduction would be more difficult to administer than a tuition expense deduction and raises the question whether it is -Inappropriate for the U.S. Government to selectively subsidize such costs. But such a deduction offers one approach for treating private and public sector foreign service employees equitably if both the Section 911 exclusion and the Section 912 tax free allowances of overseas U.S. Government employees were replaced by uniform allowances for unusually high education and housing costs. 4. Repeal the exclusion but introduce a deduction for foreign sales taxes. Such a deduction would remove a discrepancy in the tax base which (although not expressed in terms of resident vs. nonresident U.S. taxpayers) has the general effect of putting at a disadvantage those taxpayers who reside in foreign countries. However, it would raise serious administrative difficulties. In addition, there are other discrepancies in computing the tax base, such as the allowance of a credit for income taxes imposed by foreign political subdivisions compared to a deduction for U. S. state and local income taxes. It might be appropriate to consider these various issues together. -116V. STATISTICAL T A B L E S 1. Returns reporting a foreign earned income exclusion in 1972 compared with 1968. in 1972, approximately 102, 00U returns were filed reporting a foreign earned income exclusion. The aggregate amount excluded was $1.4 billion, or an average of $13,600 per return. In 1968, nearly the same number of returns reported total excluded income of $1. 2 billion or $11, 800 per return (Table 1). Foreign earned income not eligible for the exclusion more than doubled between 1968 and 1972, indicating an increase in salary levels. The amount of other income subject to tax remained constant. Table 2 shows further detail on the 1972 returns, classified by size of adjusted gross income. 2. Additional data from the 1968 returns. A special tabulation was taken of returns reporting a foreign earned income exclusion for 1968. The returns were classified by amount of foreign earned income, which reveals information about the total income of the taxpayers, and information on location of the taxpayers. Those data are summarized in Tables 3 through 9. As illustrated in Table 3, there were 101,295 returns filed for tax year 1968 reporting an aggregate of $1. 2 billion of excluded foreign earned income. Two-thirds of the taxpayers, reporting 80 percent of the excluded income, identified themselves as bona fide foreign residents, as opposed to persons claiming the exclusion on the basis of physical presence abroad. Only 15 percent of the persons claiming the exclusion had foreign earned incomes higher than the excludable m a x i m u m ; however 70 percent had some income subject to tax. O n average, bona fide foreign residents had $9,000 of adjusted gross income after the Section 911 exclusion, and those physically present abroad had $5,000 of adjusted gross income after the Section 911 exclusion (Table 4). Only 17 percent of the bona fide foreign residents and 3 percent of those physically present abroad claimed a foreign tax credit, as shown in Table 5. For all returns the average credit per return amounted to 2.3 percent of total income (adjusted gross income plus the excluded income); for returns with foreign earned income of more than $25,000, the credit averaged 6.5 percent of total income. Table 6 indicates that slightly more than half of the returns were filed by persons in developing countries. The proportion of returns claiming physical presence abroad was somewhat higher in developing countries (40 percent of the total) than in developed countries (30 percent of the total). But the size of foreign earned income varied little; in both developing and developed countries 70 percent of the bona fide foreign residents and 90 percent of those physically present earned less than $20, 000. -117- The principal country of residence of bona fide foreign residents was Canada (Table 7). Mexico was also important, as were the United Kingdom and Germany. The other major countries of residence included Venezuela, Brazil, Switzerland and Japan. The largest groups of persons physically present abroad reflected the location of military activities, for example, South Vietnam, Kwajalein and the Marshall Islands, and Thailand. Germany, Japan and Italy also had fairly large concentrations of military activities, and substantial numbers of civilians claiming physical presence abroad as the basis for the exclusion. Taking all the bona fide foreign residents together, 44 percent had resided abroad less than three years, 33 percent between three and ten years and 23 percent more than ten years (Table 8). Those residing in developing countries tended to have been abroad longer; however, they need not have resided in the same country the entire time. There were 186 persons who excluded more than $25, 000 of foreign earned income in 1968 (Table 9). Most of those persons had been foreign residents longer than seven years, that is, before the 1962 Revenue Act. In their case, the unlimited exclusion of foreign earned income available to bona fide foreign residents prior to 1963 continues to apply provided that the right to receive such payments existed as of March 12, 1962. The most likely form of payment to have continued into 1968 is pensions (employer contributions made prior to 1963 or related to services performed prior to 1963). Other possibilities are deferred compensation and stock options; if stock acquired by exercising an option is sold and does not qualify for capital gains treatment, the income is treated as compensation excludable under Section 911 and attributable to the year the services were rendered which gave rise to the option. For those who excluded more than $25,000 in 1968 but reported the duration of their foreign residence as less than four years (i. e., since the Revenue Act of 1964 which instituted the present limits), the most likely explanation is that they might have formerly resided abroad, either in a different country or under the physical presence rules, and reported only the dates of their present residence. Some may have used one F o r m 2555 to report the excludable earnings of both husband and wife. 3. Examples of high and low tax countries. Table 10 compares other countries' income taxes on the total income of U.S. employees stationed there with the U.S. income tax liability. Table 1 Summary Data on Returns Reporting a Foreign Earned Income Exclusion, Tax Years 1968 and 1972 1968 ; 1972 Number of returns Total With no adjusted gross income With adjusted gross income With taxable income Claiming a foreign tax credit Amount of income ($ thousands) Excluded income # ]/ Adjusted gross income (less deficit)—' foreign earned income not excluded other (less deficit) Foreign tax credit Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 101,295 29,622 71,643 25,989 12,449 1,195.8 552.7 223.9 328.8 40.8 101,832 25,799 76,033 40,780 23,914 1,381.7 810.0 486.2 328.8 77.3 1/ Adjusted gross income is defined net of the Section 911 exclusion. Source: Internal Revenue Service, Statistics of Income 1972, Individual Income Tax Returns, Table 1.16, and unpublished tabulations of 1968 returns. Table 2 Summa.ry Characteristics of Returns Claiming a Foreign Earned Income Exclusion for 1972 By Amount of Adjusted Gross Income (Amounts in $ Thousands) Amount of adjusted gross incoitfp (AGI) 1/ Number of returns Total 101,832 Returns with no A.G.I. 25,799 $5,000 42,044 - 10,000 - 15,000* - 20,000 - 25,000 - 50,000 50,000 $ 1,38.1.7 Foreign earned income not excluded $ 486.2 214.9 0.5 Returns with A.G.I. 76,133 A.G.I, under 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 over Excluded inc ome 12,471 4,014 4,978 3,772 6,561 2,293 Total AGI $ 810.0 Income subject to tax Income tax :Foreign tax credit Number of before : Number of : returns Amount credits : returns : Amount 40,780 $ 550.6 $ 159.3 23,914 $ 40,780 550.6 159.3 23,914 77.3 br A a nr et f f S j D a |? d °? 1/ AGI Source: to 36,073 $ 82.0 -3.2 1,166.8 485.7 813.2 567.4 222.0 76.0 76.8 58.5 117.7 48.4 34.0 61.4 22.4 45.5 46.7 172.8 102.9 70.6 83.2 48.9 86.4 82.9 226.7 214.5 * 11,715 38.2 A 4,978 3,772 6,561 2,292 53. 60. 184. 174. 6.0 * 10.6 13.1 48.7 74.4 ° s"? 1 1 a sample of returns to be relied upon separately. is defined net of the Sec ;:.on 911 exclusion. 36,073 82.0 9,727 2.2 * Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis * T/8 77.3 Income tax after credits Number of : returns : Amount y Internal Revenue Service, Statistics of Income 1972. Individual Income Tax Returns. Table 1.16. 10,725 2,612 4,536 2,066 10.1 6.4 25.9 34.1 A 4,905 3,010 5,680 2,118 A 6.4 6.7 22.8 40.2 TABLE 3 Returns Filed, 1968, Claiming an Exclusion of Foreign Earned Income Under Section 911 Foreign Earned Income under $5,000 5,000-- 10,000 10,000 -15,000 15,000 -20,000 20,000 -25,000 25,000 -50,000 50,000 and over Total : : : : : Bona fide All Returns Foreign residents 17 month presence test : Excluded : : Excluded : : Excluded Number of : income : Number of: income '. Number of: income returns : ($thousands). returns : ($thousands): returns :($thousands) 22,042 22,667 19,452 14,515 9,592 11,490 1,537 $57,890 162,553 232,197 243,341 195,981 263,765 40,122 15,760 14,264 9,961 8,270 7,048 10,222 1,494 . $42,692 100,462 119,427 140,082 146,905 238,385 39,280 6,282 8,403 9,491 6,245 2,544 1,268 43 $15,197 62,090 112,770 103,259 49,076 25,379 842 101,295 $1,195,848 67,019 $827,233 34,276 $368,614 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis source: IRS tabulation of Forms 2555 filed in 1968. o i Table 4 Returns Filed with an Exclusion of Foreign Earned Income, by Size of Adjusted Gross Income (AGI) 1968 Foreign Earned Income All returns, total under $10,000 10,000-20,000 20,000-25,000 25,000 and over Bona fide residents under $10,000 10,000-20,000 20,000-25,000 25,000 and over Physical presence under $10,000 10,000-20,000 20,000-25,000 25,000 and over Total With no AGI 101,295 44,709 33,967 9,592 13,027 29,652 16,935 11,435 1,032 250 71,643 27,774 22,532 8,560 12,777 67,019 30,024 18,231 7,048 11,716 21,041 13,364 6,592 2,661 1,085 45,978 16,660 11,639 4,387 10,631 34,276 14,685 15,736 2,544 1,311 8,611 3,571 4,843 172 25 25,665 11,114 10,893 2,372 1,286 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis Source: See Table 3. W i t h : A G I AGI ; under $5,000 42 ,833 18 ,709 16 ,361 5 ,854 1 ,909 26 ,309 11 ,953 8,,352 4,,171 1-,833 16,p524 6,,756 8,r009 1,,683 76 AGI over $25,000 4.311 461 475 307 3,068 3,918 425 401 273 2,819 - 393 36 94 34 249 TABLE 5 Returns Claiming a Foreign Tax Credit, 1968 Foreign Earned Income Total Number of returns 101,r295 Total, all returns 44 r709 under $10,000 33 r967 10,000 - 20,000 9 r592 20,000 - 25,000 13 r027 25,000 and over 67 ,019 Bona fide residents, total 30 ,024 under $10,000 18 ,231 10,000 - 20,000 7 ,048 20,000 - 25,000 11 ,716 25,000 and over 34 f276 Physical presence, total 14 ,685 under $10,000 15 ,736 10,000 - 20,000 2 ,544 20,000 - 25,000 1 ,311 25,000 and over Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis Source: See Table 3, Returns claiming foreign tax credit 12, 449 1.r428 Iir529 1 ,060 8.,432 11 ,431 1 ,176 1 ,150 961 8 ,144 1 ,018 252 379 99 288 Total Income CAGI plus the Foreign Tax Section 911 credit exclusion)f. . ______ ($ thousands) $1,748,525 $40,795 350,970 1,073 579,768 1,228 1,598 247,336 36,896 570,451 $39,662 $1,248,296 946 217,738 1,443 321,166 1,166 186,247 36,107 524,145 $1,133 $500,230 127 133,232 145 258,602 62 61,090 789 46,306 K> TABLE 6 Returns Filed With An Exclusion of Foreign Earned Income, Developed and Developing Countries , 1968 (number of returns and percent of total) Foreign Earned Income Total under $10,000 10,000 - 20,000 20,000 - 25,000 over - 25,000 Developed countries, total under $10,000 10,000 - 20,000 20,000 - 25,000 over - 25,000 Developing countries, total under $10,000, 10,000 - 20,000 20,000 - 25,000 over - 25,000 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis Source: See Table 3. : All : :Returns : Bona fide foreign residence : : : 17 month presence test 101,295 44.1% 33.5 9.5 12.9 100.0% 67,019 44.8% 27.2 10.5 17.5 100.0% 34,276 42.8% 45.9 7.4 3.8 100.0% 40,067 43.8% 33.0 8.7 14.5 100.0% 53,885 43.2% 34.8 10.4 11.6 100.0% 31,322 43.3% 29.1 9.1 18.5 100.0% 35.697 46.2% 25.5 11.7 16.6 100.0% 12,378 49.3% 39.5 6.7 4.4 100.0% 21,898 39.2% 49.5 7.8 3.5 100.0% 1 l-» N3 Co 1 TABLE 7 Principal Countries of Foreign Residence of Persons Claiming Foreign Earned Income Exclusion, 1968 Number of returns Total 11,277 Canada 6,068 South Vietnam 5,870 United Kingdom 5,791 Germany 3,739 3,674 Japan 3,068 Mexico 2,804 Thailand 2,661 Venezuela 2,588 2,430 Brazil 2,350 Marshall Is., Kwajalein 2,307 France 2,284 Saudi Arabia 2,194 2,183 Switzerland 2,128 Australia 63,416 Bahamas, Bermuda 101,295 Philippines 62.6% Italy Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Subtotal Office of Tax Analysis ___ World Total Subtotal as % world total Source: See Table 3. : Bona fide foreign residence 10,141 1,158 3,995 3,164 2,031 3,470 1,095 2,625 2,066 326 1,976 1,782 2,051 1,579 1,649 1,419 1,093 40,041 67,019 59.7% : : Physical presence 1,136 4,910 1,875 2,627 1,708 204 1,973 179 595 2,262 454 568 256 705 545 764 1,035 21,091 34,276 61.5% TABLE 8 Duration of Foreign Residence of Bona Fide Foreign Residents , 1968 Total less than 3 years, Number of returns, total developed countries developing countries 67,019 31,322 35,697 ,29,156 14,639 14,517 Percent of total developed countries developing countries 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 43.5 46.7 •40.7 : 3 - 5 : years 10,601 5,291 5,310 15.8 16.9 14.9 : 5 - 7 : 7 - 10: More than : years ; years : 10 years 6,274 3,265 3,009 9.4 10.4 8.4 5,457 2,555 2,902 15,524 5,576 9,948 8.1 8.2 8.1 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis Note: There are minor errors in the tabulation which cause the totals to differ somewhat from the sums of their components. In computing the percentages, the totals used were 67,012; 31,326; and 35,686. Source: See Table 3. 23.2 17.8 27.9 TABLE 9 Returns Excluding More than $25,000 of Foreign Earned Income' 1968 Foreign earned income Total Duration of foreign residence Amount less : 7yrs Developed .Developing unidenexcluded than :or countries countries U n i d e n t i f i e d ($thousands) 3 yrs 3-5 5-7:more tified yrs yrs 92 87 $6,689 13 25 18 : 121 9 Total 186 $25,000 - 35,000 127 57 65 3,740 8 19 14 79 7 35,000 - 50,000 51 30 19 2,213 5 5 4 35 2 50,000 - 100,000 2 1 1 112 0 0 0 2 0 over 100,000 6 4 2 3,624 0 10-5 0 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis N3 Source: See Table 3 a*. I -127Table 10 Examples of High and Low Tax Countries, Relative to the United States Higher than U.S. tax Generally higher than U.S. tax Lower than U.S. tax Austria Argentina 1/ Bahamas 10/ Barbados Australia 2/ Belgium IT/ Canada Brazil 2/ Bermuda TO"/ Chile Costa Rica 2/ Dominican Republic Colombia Germany 3/ El Salvador Cyprus Greece 2/ France Denmark Iran 4/ Guatemala Ecuador Italy 5/ Honduras Ethiopia Japan 3/ Hong Kong Finland Malawi 6/ Kuwait 10/ India Mexico 77 Lebanon Indonesia Morocco 8/ Mozambique Ireland Nigeria 1/ Netherlands Jamaica South Africa 9/ Nicaragua Kenya Panama 10/ Korea Paraguay 10/ Luxemborug Saudi AraBTa 10/ Malaysia United Kingdom Netherlands Antilles Uruguay New Zealand Venezuela Norway Pakistan Peru Office of thePhilippines Secretary of the Treasury March 17, 1976 Portugal Office of Tax Analysis Puerto Rico Source: PriceSingapore Waterhouse Information Guide, Individual Income Taxes in 80 Countries, January 1975. 1/ Lower than U.S. for incomes under $25,000. 27 Lower than U.S. for incomes under $10,000. 1/ Lower than U.S. for incomes under $20,000. 5/ Higher than U.S. for incomes of $25,000-$40,000, but lower than U.S for other income levels. 5/ Lower than U.S. for incomes above $60,000. 6/ Lower than U.S. for incomes above $70,000. 7/ Lower than U.S. for incomes up to $10,000 and over $40,000. 8/ Lower than U.S. for incomes over $50,000. 9/ Lower than U.S. for incomes of $15,000 or less. 10/ No income tax applicable. 11/ Higher than U.S. for incomes over $80,000. -128- U. S. TAXATION OF ALLOWANCES PAID TO U. S. GOVERNMENT EMPLOYEES Marcia Field and Brian Gregg -129- T A B L E OF C O N T E N T S Page L Issue 131 II. Present Law 132 1. Explanation 132 (a) Foreign areas allowances (b) Cost-of-Living allowances (c) Peace Corps allowances (d) Post differentials 2. Legislative history III. Analysis 135 1. Scope of the exclusion 135 2. Justification for the exclusion (a) Personal benefit vs. reimbursed costs (b) Cost must be borne by employer (c) Tax exemption vs. higher pay (d) Practical consideration: exemption vs. higher pay (e) Distinguishing overseas government employees from other employees 3. Other considerations (a) Official expenses (b) Education expenses (c) Housing costs IV. Options 149 1. Retain present law 149 2. Repeal the Section 912 exclusion entirely 3. Allow a deduction for certain costs in excess of the costs of comparable services in the United States (a) Housing (b) Tuition 4. Other statutory relief 5. Make Section 912 inapplicable to employees serving in Alaska or Hawaii 132 132 132 132 134 139 139 141 141 142 143 144 144 144 145 149 149 149 150 150 150 -130- LIST O F T A B L E S Page Table 1 Table 2 Table 3 Table 4 Table 5 Principal Categories of Allowances of U. S. Government Employees in Foreign Countries 133 Number of Federal Civilian Employees Eligible for Section 912 Benefits by Area and Agency, 1968, 1972, and 1975 136 Principal Locations of Civilian U. S. Government Employees in Foreign Countries, F Y 1975 137 Federal Civilian Employees Eligible for Section 912 Benefits; Estimated Salaries, Allowances Excludable Under Section 912, and Associated Revenue Loss by Area, 1968, 1972, and 1975 Examples of State Department Housing Allowances, as of January 1976 138 146 -131L ISSUE Under Section 912 of the Internal Revenue Code, U. S. citizens employed outside the continental United States (and in some cases in Alaska and Hawaii) by the U. S. Government in a civilian capacity m a y exclude from their gross income certain allowances which supplement their base salary. The allowances in question are designed primarily to cover certain living expenses. In a number of cases, such as moving expenses, the expenses would generally be deductible as employee business expenses under current law. But other allowances, notably those for housing, cost-of-living differentials, education expenses and home leave travel, would be taxable income in the absence of the special exclusion under Section 912. The issue to be analyzed in this paper is whether these allowances should be made taxable. 1/ A related consideration is the extent to which the tax treatment 6T these allowances should parallel the treatment of income earned abroad by private sector employees. In 1974 the Ways and Means Committee voted to phase out both Section 912 and Section 911, which excludes certain foreign earned income of private sector employees. Both sections, with limited exceptions, were to be phased out over four years. That bill (H. R. 17488) was not acted on by the House before Congress adjourned. Many of its provisions concerning foreign source income were incorporated by the House in 1975 in H. R. 10612, including the phase out of Section 911. However, the Ways and Means Committee deferred consideration of Section 912 pending receipt of the report of an interagency committee which was reviewing the entire structure of overseas government allowances. Completion of that report in final form was expected to require another year, but in view of the Ways and Means Committee's interest, the interagency group completed the portion of the report dealing with tax questions and transmitted it to the Ways and Means Committee Task Force on Foreign Income as an interim report. 2J While the Task Force report has not yet been issued, it is expected to recommend changes in this area. 1/ This paper deals only with allowances paid to civilian government employees. Military allowances are treated under different provisions of the law. / Interim Report of the Interagency Committee on Overseas Allowances and Benefits for U. S. Employees, (Chairman, John M. Thomas, Assistant Secretary of State for Administration), January 1976. -132IL PRESENT L A W 1. Explanation. Section 912 of the Internal Revenue Code provides an exclusion from gross income for certain allowances paid to civilian government employees. The section refers to three categories of allowances, citing in each case the statutes which authorize their payment . (a) Foreign areas allowances. (Subsection (1) of Section 912) The first category enumerated in Section 912 refers to the various allowances paid to government employees in foreign areas. There are about 50 such allowances, which fall into eight major groups: living quarters, cost-of-living differentials (by comparison with Washington, D. C.), education of dependents, travel, expenses associated with transfers, expenses associated with separation from the foreign service, representation expenses, and residences (limited to certain officials). Table 1 gives an abbreviated description of some of the types of costs the allowances are intended to cover. (b) Cost-of-living allowances. (Subsection (2) of Section 912) The second category excluded from taxable income by Section 912 is cost-ofliving allowances, if paid in accordance with regulations approved by the President to employees stationed in the U. S. territories and possessions or in Alaska or Hawaii. The statute refers to employees stationed outside the continental United States, which for this purpose includes only the 48 states which were part of the United States in 1944, when the Revenue Act of 1943 was enacted, and the District of Columbia. To qualify for the exclusion, cost-of-living allowances paid to employees in the territories, possessions, Alaska and Hawaii must meet the second condition of being paid in accordance with regulations approved by the President. Those regulations authorize the payment of allowances to employees whose basic compensation is fixed by statute (Executive Order 10,000, 3 C F R 1943-48 comp., 792). If the basic compensation is paid from nonappropriated funds or is established by administrative order, the employee m a y not exclude under Section 912 any cost-ofliving allowance he m a y receive. (c) Peace Corps allowances. (Subsection (3) of Section 912). The third category mentioned in Section 912 covers certain allowances paid to Peace Corps volunteers and their families. This paragraph, added in 1961, is essentially limited to travel expense allowances and living allowances which do not constitute basic compensation. Termination payments and leave allowances for such individuals are specifically excluded from Section 912. (d) Post differentials. Section 912 specifically does not apply to another category of allowance, namely differentials or "hardship" allowances. Post differentials are a percentage of base salary, up to 25 -133 Table 1 PRINCIPAL CATEGORIES OF ALLOWANCES OF U.S. GOVERNMENT EMPLOYEES IN FOREIGN COUNTRIES Housing - Quarters provided or payments to cover rent and utilities. Extraordinary Living Costs - "Post Allowance" for higher cost of living and "Separate Maintenance Allowance" where dependents must be living away from post of duty. Education - Government provided schools or payments to cover tuition. Educational travel where appropriate schooling is not available at post of duty. Community Services - Commissary privileges, medical care or reimbursement for medical expenses, after death services, personal transportation. Hardship Incentives - "Post Differential" (presently taxable), Rest and Recuperative Travel, Unhealthful Post Credit Relocation - Moving expenses (including auto), temporary lodging expenses, foreign transfer allowance for miscellaneous expenses, per diem while moving, home leave expenses, family visitation travel, emergency visitation travel, evacuation payments. e: interim Report of the Interagency Committee on Overseas Allowances and Benefits for U.S. Employees, January 1976. ' -134- percent, paid to employees in locations where living conditions are uncomfortable. The Internal Revenue Service ruled in 1953 and 1959 that such payments were not excludable (Rev. Rul. 53-237, C.B. 1953-2 52, amplified by Rev. Rul 59-407, C.B. 1959-2, 19). That position was incorporated into the statute in 1960. 1/ 2. Legislative History. The predecessor to Section 912 (Section 116(j) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1939) was enacted in the Revenue Act of 1943 as an amendment introduced by the Senate Finance Committee. The exclusion covered cost-of-living allowances of employees and officers of the Foreign Service, and cost-of-living allow allowances of other U. S. Government employees stationed outside the continental United States, if received in accordance with regulations approved by the President. The reasons for excluding the allowances were that wartime inflation was seriously reducing their value, particularly for foreign service personnel in Europe, that increases in allowances were partly nullified by the increase in tax, resulting from the Revenue Act of 1943, and that the State Department did not have the funds or authority to compensate the recipients for the added burden of the tax. The Foreign Service Act of 1946 expanded the allowances and benefits authorized for foreign service officers and employees. The additional allowance included amounts payable for housing, cost-of-living , representation costs, and travel expenses (for moving, home leave, and sick leave). That Act also added Section 116(k) to the 1939 Internal Revenue Code to provide a tax exemption for such additional allowances. Section 912 of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 was identical to Section 116(j)and (k)of the 1939 Code. Ihl960, the 1954 Code was amended to add an exemption for allowances authorized under certain other Acts and to confirm the IRS position that post differentials were not excludable. In 1961, certain Peace Corps allowances were added to the list of exclusions. The Treasury Department at that time expressed concern at expanding the list of benefits excluded from income. V In 1973, a new allowance was introduced to cover the additional housing and utilities costs incurred by U. S. Government employees stationed at U. N. headquarters in N e w York City who have entertainment responsibilities. Not more than45 employees m a y claim the allowance at any one time. The amount is set to approximate the excess cost of housing and utilities in the neighborhood of the U. N. headquarters over the average of such costs in the metropolitan N e w York City area. The tax status of this allowance is not clear. -135IIL ANALYSIS !• Scope of the exclusion. As illustrated in Table 2, there are approximately 100, 000 civilian government employees who receive one or more allowances that are excluded from income under Section 912, of which about 40, 000 are employed in foreign countries, 20, 000 in U. s! territories and possessions and 40,000 in Alaska and Hawaii. Roughly 60 percent of the total are civilian employees of the Department of Defense. There are some 50 different allowances. The allowances for foreign areas are administered by the State Department, while those for nonforeign areas are administered by the Civil Service Commission. However, each of the 38 participating agencies m a y make its own variations in determining the amounts and conditions of allowances. Table 3 identifies the principal foreign countries where civilian U. S. Government employees are located. The aggregate amount of allowances is not reported, nor does each agency report allowances separately in its budget. For example, the Defense Department, the largest single employer of personnel covered by Section 912, records some civilian allowances with those of the military. The estimated total for all allowances increased from $244 million in 1972 to $343 million in 1975, as shown in Table 4. The estimated revenue cost in 1975 of excluding the allowances from taxable income was roughly $100 million, based on salary levels, location, and assumed family size. This is a gross figure which only relates to the revenue side of the budget; it does not take into account that the tax exempt nature of the allowances is in part reflected in lower salaries or lower allowances. If the allowances were subject to tax there would have to be some offsetting increase on the expenditure side of the budget in the amounts paid to maintain the same level of disposable income for the employees. Some of the allowances exempted from tax by Section 912 represent a reimbursement of expenses which ordinarily would be deductible (e. g., moving expenses), or payments which are excluded from taxable income under other sections of the Code (for example, the U. S. Government contribution to employee health insurance plans). However, within this group, there are several instances where the tax regulations for claiming allowable deductions were designed with domestic employment in mind and m a y not adequately take into account the requirements of overseas employment. The limit under the moving expense deduction of 30 days for household storage is one such example. Thus, if Section 912 were repealed, equitable treatment of overseas employees would require that present regulations be reviewed to adequately consider foreign employment circumstances. There are four principal allowances, accounting for a substantial portion of the total, which would become taxable income if Section 912 were repealed, those for cost-of-living differentials, housing, education, Table 2 Number of Federal Civilian Employees Eligible for Section 912 Benefits by Area and Agency, 1968, 1972 and 1975 Total Overseas : — Foreign countries U.S. territories Alaska and Hawaii 2/ 1968 Dept. of State Other Agen- Total Dept. of Defense 104 ,261 62 ,413 64,791 35,587 12,259 12,259 27,211 14,567 95,626 55,082 58,652 32,145 8,733 8,733 41 887 25,671 12,240 3,976 33,134 21,817 8,732 2,585 37,167 27,515 6,985 2,667 20 _>26 9,916 19 10,591 21,948 10,328 1 11,619 20,321 7,719 12,602 41, 848 29,204 12,644 40,544 26,507 14,037 40,000 26,000 14,000 - Total 1972 Dept. : Dept. of : of Defense : State Total 1975 Dept. : Dept. : Other of : of : AgenDefense : State : cies 97,488 57,488 61,234 35,234 Other Agen- 28,241 14,204 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 1/ 6,985 6,985 December 1976 Calendar year averages. 2/ Figures for Alaska and Hawaii for 1968 and 1972 are as of December 31. The 1975 figures are estimates. Source: U.S. Civil Service Commission. Federal Civilian Manpower Statistics, various (monthly) issues. For January through March 1968, Federal Employment Statistics Bulletin, Employment and Turnover.- 29,269 15,269 - 13 7 Table 3 Principal Locations of Civilian U.S. Government Employees in Foreign Countries, FY 1975 All foreign countries 38,592 Germany Japan Korea The Philippines The United Kingdom Italy Thailand Spain All others Subtotal 13,493 5,271 1,521 1,399 1,357 1,094 1,066 714 25,915 12,677 Selected other countries: Mexico Canada Belgium France The Netherlands Barbados Bermuda Office ot the Secretary ot the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 321 201 405 410 129 274 255 March 22, 1976 1/ Excludes about 20,000 employees in the territories and possessions and 40,000 in Alaska and Hawaii who also qualify for some benefits under Section 912. Source: U.S. Department of State, Office of Personnel Reports, U.S. Citizens Residing in Foreign Countries -FY 1975. - 13-8 TABLE 4 Federal Civilian Employees Eligible for Section 912 Benefits; Estimated Salaries, Allowances Excludable under Section 912, and Associated Revenue Loss by Area, 196 8, 1972, and 1975 (Dollars Millions) -•T9'6-$- : B72 r IS 735 Salaries Total Overseas Foreign countries U.S. territories Alaska and Hawaii $880 577 431 146 303 $1 ,246 773 510 263 473 $1,555 1,020 740 280 535 Allowances Total Overseas Foreign countries U.S. territories Alaska and Hawaii 179 156 131 25 23 244 209 165 44 35 343 303 256 47 40 Revenue Loss Total Overseas Foreign countries U.S. territories Alaska and Hawaii 51 45 39 6 6 76 66 50 11 10 100 89 77 12 11 Office of the"Secretary" of the Treasury' Office of Tax Analysis Source: e/ March 24, 1975 Estimates based on data from U.S. Civil Service Commission, Pay Structure of the Federal Civil Service; U.S. Department of State, Standardized Regulations " (Government Civilians, Foreign Areas); and Comptroller General of the United States, Fundamental Changes Needed to Achieve a Uniform Government-wide Overseas Benefits and Allowances System for U.S. Employees, c September 1974. ~ — ~ —l Estimated -island home f leave travel. As already mentioned, post differentials or hardship allowances are specifically excluded, from Section 912 and would not be affected by its repeal. . 2' c Justification for the exclusion. When it introduced the exclu?r01J ° j I T 8 a i l o w a n c e s of U.S. Government employees outside the United States, m 1943, the Senate Finance Committee stated, "Payment of allowances to meet the extra cost of living at individual posts is indistinguishable from the payment of allowances to defray expenses of operation of the establishment... " The Committee concluded that since the State Department had neither the funds nor the authority to increase the allowances enough to offset the tax on them, tax exemption was the appropriate solution. Jhis.line of reasoning continues to serve as the justification for the Section 912 exclusion. m brief, the justification is as follows: (a) the expenditures covered by the allowances do not represent a personal benefit to the recipient, but solely a reimbursement for costs incurred as a result of the employment assignment; (b) these expenses must, therefore, be borne by the employer; (c) the employer can either increase the payments to cover the tax on them, or exempt them from tax; (d) tax exemption is the only practical alternative for U. S. Government employees, where the ability to alter compensation levels is limited; and (e) this case is distinguishable from that of private sector employees overseas and from U. S. Government employees in the United States. The various elements of this reasoning are considered in the following sections. (a) Personal benefit vs. reimbursed costs. The general case for exempting government allowances usually rests on the argument that the allowances are not additional compensation to the employee, but simply reimbursement for costs necessitated by the conditions of employment, and therefore do not properly constitute taxable income ot the employer. In other words, the allowances are designed to leave the overseas government employee in the same net position in terms ot disposable income as his counterpart in the United States. While in general the allowances are designed to cover only extra living costs, there are some cases where the amounts paid intentionally go beyond that standard. The principal example is the housing allowance, which provides free housing, including utilities, rather than just the excess of the cost of housing and utilities at the particular post over what the employee would have paid in the United States. The State Department recognizes that this allowance confers a personal benefit. +u N -140 As a financial inducement to overseas service, Government employees stationed abroad are furnished either with free Government acquired housing or an allowance to cover the cost of privately rented quarters. This provides the employee with additional income, equal to what he would have spent on housing in the United States, that is available for spending on other goods and services. 1/ Another example of an allowance which covers more than the additional cost necessitated by overseas employment, in contrast to domestic employment, is payment of h o m e leave travel for the whole family to any point in the United States. Much of the recent criticism of exempting the allowances is directed at cases where allowances, although intended to offset necessary costs, do confer personal benefit, leaving the recipient better off than his domestic counterpart. Two recent studies, one by the Office of Management and Budget in 1973, and one by the General Accounting Office in 1974, called for an overhaul of the entire system of measuring and paying allowances to remedy the lack of unifqrmity and excessive allowances. In some cases foreign living costs are lower than in the United States (e. g. household help m a y be available at a low cost). If the rationale for the tax-free allowances were merely to equalize the positions of foreign and domestic employees, there should logically also be some provision for a reduction in base pay (a negative allowance) in certain cases. Some observers would argue that exclusion from income is appropriate only for those allowances'which reimburse the overseas employee for living costs above what he would incur in the United States, and that exemption of that part of the allowance which exceeds the living cost differential provides a windfall to the recipients, leaving them better off than their counterparts in either the private or the public sector. Others would contend that, with very limited exceptions, 2/ the allowances are basically all income, whether or not they represent a reimbursement for excess costs, and that any exemption represents a windfall to the recipient. V U. S. State Department, "indexes of Living Costs Abroad", April 1975, published by Labor Department, Bureau of Labor Statistics (underscoring added). 2/ Nearly all observers would make an exception for certain allowances such as those designed to cover evacuation and funeral expenses. -141 - +v,_ ^ ° a S e £°r t a x e x e m P t i o n is weakest in those instances where M J ° T ° e " / ° r C O S . S W M c h t h e e m P l o yee would incur in any event! «_.*&• ^ « 4 e t e n c * of windfalls within the allowances structured tne dilticulty of eradicating them may be a reason for taxing all of the than t o ^ e d u ^ n . 6 ^ 3 7 *£"1 r e s i s t a n c e to P ^ tax on the lllowanees than to reducing them. At the same time, the absence of tax exemption would remove the incentive to overstate the allowance portion o? total F compensation. IUICU. b) Cos m l ? ustbe borne by employer. Other things being equal, an employee will not accept the same pay for the same work in two different places if living costs are much higher in one place than in the other. Other things are of course seldom equal. Different work, pleasant surroundings, useful experience and other elements of "psychic * income may induce an employee to accept a lower income in one post than he could earn in another. Bit on the whole it is fair to say that higher living costs must be reflected in higher compensation to attract the slrnf quality of personnel. nni-^fS^-ng^that g°Yernment emPloyees accept overseas assignments t^iLLi £ d l s P° s a . b l e ^ G o m e after necessary expenses can be maintained at the same level as when they were employed in the United States and assuming that the .allowances were revised so that they covered only the extra living costs incurred as a consequence of employZT O U l s l d e + + t h e U n i t e d States, then taxation of the allowances would S ^ t n ^ 6 attractlve i ne 3 s f of foreign employment and would presumably have to be compensated by higher government salaries or allowances.lj • ••„.u^T.aueXe^Pti0!1 VS* higher pay- ?overseas living allowances were made taxable, the ultimate result in most cases would be an increase in cost to the employer, the U. S. Government. Whether the increase in compensation would be the same or less than the increase in tax cos s m lT°?™ tl^ ***} ™ w h e t h e r t h e allowances cover the total costs of Z?Jl A 0 a l 0 r o° n l ? t h e e X C e S S o v e r the costs of living in the United States. As the Senate Finance Committee noted in introducing the forerunner of Section 912 in 1943, tax exemption is one method tf bearing the cost--a substitute for increasing the allowance directly. Tax exemption of a particular group is a cost borne by taxpayers in general, but when the U. S. Government is the employer, payingMgher salaries is also a cost to taxpayers in general. Therefore! in one sense? taxing the allowances would amount to taking money from one pocket and putting it into another. But this argument suggests that no government 1/ Unlike private sector employees overseas, U.S. Government employees are not subject to foreign tax on their earnings. An increase in U. S. tax, therefore, would be felt in full by the employee, since there is no foreign tax credit to offset the U. S. tax. -142 - employee should be taxed on his salary. Considered in this light, the logic is questionable. If government salaries were generally made tax exempt as a cost-cutting device, the result would be highly deceptive budgeting. Government agencies would have an incentive to use more labor than necessary because its cost would appear lower than it really was. Moreover, the tax free status of government salaries would appear highly inequitable to the vast majority of Americans. These considerations also apply to the case of overseas allowances. The exemption creates an incentive to pay higher allowances and to hire more persons than necessary. The emphasis on allowances m a y also be reflected in the employees being underpaid in terms of base salary. The actual cost incurred by each agency is understated since part of the personnel budget is reflected in lower tax collections by the Treasury Department. In fact, as mentioned earlier, the allowances themselves are not adequately reported, so that it is difficult to determine the gross pay of U. S. Government employees in different locations. Moreover, the exemption of government allowances m a y seem inequitable to persons who, for one reason or another, incur high living costs which are not recognized in computing taxable income. The taxation of allowances can be seen as penalizing an employee with a substantial amount of income in addition to his government salary, by comparison with a similar employee having no outside income. If the allowances are viewed as marginal income, then under a progressive structure of tax rates, the net benefit of the allowance to the employee with outside income would be less than to the employee with no outside income; if the allowances are not taxable, both would benefit equally. Alternatively, however, the allowances can be viewed as the first slice of income or as the slice on top of the salary, and the outside income can be viewed as the marginal income taxed at a higher rate. The difference between these two perceptions highlights the general question of tax recognition of differences in the cost-of-living between different locations or over time. U. S. tax law does not generally take such differentials into account. Making such adjustments would be very complex. To provide selective relief to certain groups raises the question of equitable treatment of those taxpayers not favored by the adjustments. (This point is considered further under Section (e) below. ) (d) Practical consideration: exemption vs. higher pay. If the allowances now exempt under Section 91__ were to become taxable, the gross or budgeted cost to the government agencies of maintaining their foreign staffs would have to be increased in order to maintain a necessary level of disposable income for the employees. Additional appropriations would be required for the employing agencies. This would require special attention to alleviate statutory or administrative restraints on additional spending. -143 - Under present appropriations procedure, Congress might not adequately take into account the offsetting additional tax on the increased allowances. For example, if an employee whose marginal tax rate is 33-1/3 percent has $6,000 of allowances, and the U.S. Government wants to reimburse him fully for the tax liability on those allowances it would have to increase the allowances from $6, 000 to at least $9 000* an increase of 50 percent. The net cost to the U. S. Government would be zero m this case since the added tax of $3, 000 matches the added allowance of $3, 000; but the tax revenue is not credited to the agency J which must pay the allowance. To the extent that certain allowances tend to overcompensate the employee (for example, housing, home leave, travel, rest and recreation), there could be a net budgetary gain if the allowance is not raised by the full increase in the tax. In the example mentioned above, the Government might increase the allowances from $6,000 to only $7,500 so that the after-tax amount would be $5,000 instead of $6,000; then the increased cost of $1, 500 would be m o r e than offset by the increased tax of $2, 500. But again the net revenue gain will not be reflected in the employing agency's budget requests which must be approved by J Congress. *^ Under present law, the personnel budgets of employing agencies are understated since they do not reflect the appropriate tax costs. A change irom. tax exemption of allowances to taxation as ordinary compensation would correct this situation. But such a change should be accompanied by adjustments in the budget process necessary to make this policy practical. v J (e) Distinguishing overseas government employees from other employees, m e principal reason for paying th^ a llnw g n. 0 o ,o t„ ~ ? m p c n sate for increased living costs in certain locations. Differential living costs are also encountered by private sector employees overseas and by U. S. Government employees in the United States, and are similarly reflected either in varying amounts of compensation or in difficulties in tilling positions at certain locations. The argument for exempting the allowances from tax is basically an argument that in the case of government employees outside the United States part of differential living costs should be borne by taxpayers in general rather than by the particular employee. This argument has fundamental shortcomings, as noted & earlier. If tax adjustments for differential living costs are not made as a matter of general policy, the question remains whether adjustments should be made for a particular group. Part of the answer to this question depends on whether such adjustments seem inequitable by comparison with the tax treatment of similar groups. -144 - In deciding to phase out the foreign earned income exemption of private sector employees, the W a y s and Means Committee said: Your Committee notes that some of the same reasons for repeal of the exclusion for private industry employees might be equally valid to the exclusions for governmental employees. If The comparison between overseas government employees and government employees stationed in the United States is in some respects better than the comparison with private sector employees overseas. The only relevant tax for overseas government employees is the U. S. tax, whereas overseas private sector employees are affected by the foreign tax liability and foreign tax credit. However, where a government and private sector employee work side by side in a foreign country and receive the same gross pay, it is difficult to justify exempting the living allowances of one and not the other. The Task Force on Foreign Income of the Ways and Means Committee studying the taxation of both private and public sector employees overseas felt that the two groups should be treated equitably. The Task Force Report is not yet issued. During its deliberations, the Task Force tentatively favored recommending that both the Section 911 exclusion and the exemption of government allowances be phased out with special relief for housing and education expenses and for construction workers. These deliberations occurred before enactment of the Tax Reform Act of 1976. 3. Other considerations. (a) Official expenses. Some allowances may be viewed as representing reimbursement for official expenses. As such, they m a y be either excluded, or included in income and allowed as a deduction. However, those expenses which are business expenses under current law would not include m a n y important allowances, such as the cost of living, education or housing allowances. To broaden the limits of deductibility would raise a serious problem of where to draw the line for overseas government employees as well as for government employees based in the United States and private sector employees based overseas. (b) Education expenses. The situation of government employees is parallel to that of private sector employees with respect to expenses incurred in providing elementary and secondary schooling for dependents: publicly financed schooling might be inadequate, and the families may have to rely on private schooling. The State Department regulations 1' House of Representatives Report 94-658, November 12, 1975, page -145 provide allowances to cover the cost of transportation, room and board tuition and other school expenses at a private school where the local facilities are judged inadequate. CM o™e H°USe version of a R- 10612 would have provided a deduction of $1,200 per year per child (up to 19 years old) for tuition expenses paid by private sector employees when both the taxpayer and the dependent m u F e oL 0 1 ? e ° r m o r e f o r e i g n countries for 330 days in a 12 month period. The 330 day requirement for the taxpayer m a y be strict for those employees, both private sector and government, who have to return *°t h e U n i t e d States on business frequently or for extended periods. The amount of the deduction was also felt to be too low in some cases. The Task Force on Foreign Income of the Ways and Means Committee tentatively concluded that a higher figure, perhaps $2,000, would be more appropriate. The problem was to balance the extra burden borne by private and government employees abroad against the considerations that: (a) they m a y not pay U. S. state and local taxes, which finance most U. S. public education at the elementary and secondary levels; (b) m a n y U. S. residents who do pay state and local taxes nevertheless use private schools for their children without being allowed a deduction for the added costs; and (c) some of the schools used by foreign service employees are church-sponsored. A s enacted, the Tax Reform Act of 1976 reduces the Section 911 exemption but does not phase it out entirely and does not contain the tuition expense deduction. (c) Housing costs. Government and private sector employees face the same problems of high cost housing in m a n y foreign cities. However government employees have their full housing, including utilities, provided by their employer, and are not required to report any part of that as taxable income. Table 5 gives some recent examples of housing allowances in various foreign cities. Private sector employers frequently pay part of the housing and utility costs of their overseas employees typically the excess over the estimated U. S. cost or the excess over some percentage of the salary, but the employer-paid portion is considered taxable income to the employee. Some argue that housing provided by the U. S. Government for overseas employees serves the convenience of the employer and therefore should not be taxable to the employee. The standards for determining when employer provided housing is provided for the convenience of thl employer are fairly stringent under current law. Section 119 of the Internal Revenue Code sets forth a three-pronged test. The lodging must be for the convenience of the employer, it must be on the business premises of the employer, and the employee must accept the lodging as a condition of his employment. The three tests must be met if the value of the lodging furnished by the employer is to be excluded from - 14.6 Table 5 Examples of State Department Housing Allowances, as of January 1976 Annual allowances for an employee with dependents earning basic salary of $15,000-$26,999 $4,300 Frankfurt Tokyo, (city) 4,500 Seoul 4,400 Manila 3,800 London 5,100 Rome 7,200 Bangkok 4,400 Madrid 6,500 Mexico City 6,400 Ottawa 5,600 Brussels 8,500 Paris 9,400 the Hague 6,900 Barbados 5,500 Iran 7,400 Kuwait 7,000 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis Source: March 26, 1976 U.S. Department of State, Allowances Staff -147 - the gross income of the employee. There are numerous rulings and court cases interpreting these rules. Lodging provided to workers at remote construction sites is excludable, for example. The A m b a s sador s residence presumably would be excludable in accordance with Rev. Rul. 75-540, which holds that a state Governor's mansion is for the convenience of the employer. But in their present form, the statutory tests would be difficult for the average foreign service employee to meet, and if section 912 were repealed, free housing of overseas employees would in most cases be taxable income to the government & employee. Congress could legislate special relief from the added burden which would result if foreign employee housing allowances were subject to tax. One question then would be whether such relief should be made available to private sector employees in similar circumstances. In both cases, the principal beneficiary would be employers with overseas staff. The Ways and Means Committee Task Force on Foreign Income tentatively supported the idea that both the tax exemption of government allowances and the private sector foreign earned income exclusion should be phased out, with special relief for added housing costs and a tuition expense deduction for both groups. One possibility would be to allow a deduction for the portion of housing costs incurred for business purposes, such as official entertainment. Such a rule, however, would be difficult to administer and complicated for the taxpayer who would have to pro-rate rent and utilities. Another possibility would be to allow a deduction for the cost of foreign housing in excess of the cost incurred by employees in the United States for comparable housing. The standard of reference might be expressed in terms of a percentage of income typically spent on housing or in term of actual housing costs in a selected U. S. city. Since domestic employees do not enjoy tax relief for high housing costs, it might be desirable to limit any such relief to costs above a reasonably high U. S. base, and perhaps to provide an upper limit to minimize any incentive to acquire lavish housing by Americans overseas. 2h addition to determining the amount of such a deduction, there would have to be rules defining its scope. What is included in housing costs: utilities, telephone, cable T V ? W h o is eligible: government employees in the possessions, Alaska, Hawaii, New York? If private sector taxpayers also qualify, does this include self-employed persons, employees of foreign firms, corporate directors? Must housing be furnished to all employees? Rental values would have to be imputed in m a n y cases. -148- Such a relief provision would be complex and difficult to administer. But the government allowances and the Section 911 exclusion are already complex and difficult to administer. Furthermore, there is precedent in the Code for allowing deductions for extraordinary personal expenses (for example, medical expenses in excess of 3 percent of adjusted gross income). A special deduction for "excess" housing costs would have the advantage of focusing relief on a particular expense related to the location of the employment and could be limited to the portion of that expense which exceeds the cost of comparable housing for employees in the United States. -149IV. OPTIONS lu Ret*in Present law. This alternative would put the least strain on employing agencies and affected employees. The present system ot exempting tax allowances paid to government employees outside the United States, and in some cases in Alaska and Hawaii, reduces the cost to the employing agency of maintaining U. S. citizens in those posts. It has been argued that most allowances just offset the higher living costs entailed by an overseas assignment. However, the exemption can amount to preferential tax treatment for a certain group of government employees compared to government employees in other locations and compared to private sector employees in the same locations. ?! Repeal the Section 912 exclusion entirely. This alternative would supject to tax all 01 the allowances now excluded under Section 91... Some of the allowances would not be taxable, due to offsetting expense deductions permitted under other sections of the Internal Revenue Code, but m a n y allowances, including those for education, cost-of-living increases, and housing would become taxable. The e m ploying agencies would thus need increased appropriations. 3 * A1}ow a deduction for housing costs in excess of the costs of comparable u. a. housing, and a special tuition expense deduction." (a) Housing. A deduction for "excess" housing costs above those which the employee would have incurred if employed in the United States would deal with the principal component of extraordinary living costs associated with foreign employment. It would significantly reduce the added tax liability of employees in areas where desirable housing is scarce, and would, therefore, relieve the budget burden on the employing agencies. At the same time, taxing the other allowances would reduce the windfall element and permit more accurate accounting of the costs of the overseas operations. On the other hand, there would be the problems of drawing the line to avoid encouraging lavish housing and of defining the standard so as to minimize discrimination against employees m the United States in high cost areas. - ^ e J a x . R e f o r m Act of 1976 reduced the Section 911 exclusion to $15, 000 m most cases and provided that the exempt amount is taken into account in determining the rate applicable to non-exempt income and that foreign taxes paid on exempt income m a y not be credited against U. S. tax on other foreign income. -150- The net revenue cost of such a deduction for government employees would be small, since housing allowances in excess of the permissible deduction would be taxable, and since in the absence of the deduction the government would have to increase the allowances to attract the same quality of personnel. Assuming that similar relief were made available to private sector employees, the revenue costs of such a deduction for the latter group would be greater, since there would usually be no offsetting effect on outlays (there could be some off set where the allowance is a deductible expense for computing the U. S. tax of a U.S. employer). (b) Tuition. As noted earlier, the House version ofH.R. 10612 provided a deduction for tuition expenses of employees of up to $100 per month per child, and the W a y s and Means Task Force considered recommending an increase and extending it to public sector employees, along with some relief to both groups for housing costs. This combination would ease the principal expense burdens on overseas employees. A s with a housing allowance there would be difficulty in designing an equitable tuition expense allowance. 4. Other statutory relief. Specific statutory relief should be conside red"Tor—s^veraToiTEe~lninor allowances which, though they might be treated as taxable income in the absence of Section 912, could be justifiably excludable from income or deductible. This category might include allowances for emergency evacuation from a post and allowances for preparation and transportation of remains of a deceased employee. In addition, the rules for deductibility of certain expenses, such as moving costs, deserve to be reviewed from the viewpoint of employment outside the United States; special rules m a y be warranted in such cases. 5. Make Section 912 inapplicable to employees serving in Alaska or Hawaii. Although employees in Alaska and Hawaii constitute about 40 percent of Federal employees eligible for the Section 912 exemption, the revenue loss attributable to their allowances is relatively small. But the distinction between employees serving abroad and those serving at domestic posts (both groups encounter variable living costs) is confused by continuing to exempt cost-of-living allowances paid to employees in Alaska and Hawaii when the tax law does not recognize cost-of-living differentials for U. S.-based employees in general. H Section 912 were replaced by special relief for housing and education costs, this anomaly would disappear. Even if it is retained, deleting Alaska and Hawaii from its scope deserves consideration. - 151 - TAX TREATMENT OF INCOME OF FOREIGN GOVERNMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS Jon Taylor -152TABLE OF CONTENTS Page L Introduction 154 IL Present Law 156 1. Exemption of foreign governments from U. S. tax 156 2. Exemption from U. S. tax for compensation of employees of foreign governments and international organizations 3. Exemption of foreign central banks from U. S. tax. 159 160 IIL Economic Scope of the Exclusion , 163 1. U. S. payments to official foreign institutions 163 2. Income receipts on U. S. government assets abroad 3. Compensation of government employees 163 163 IV. The Effect of the Exemption on Tax Revenue 171 1. General rule 171 2. Section 892: Exemption of foreign governments from U. S. tax 171 3. Section 893: Exemption from U. S. tax for compensation of employees of foreign governments and international organizations • • • • . . < 172 4. Section 895: Exemption of foreign central banks from U. S. tax 172 5. Foreign government reciprocal exemptions 172 V. Issues , 174 1. Definition of "foreign governments" 174 (a) N a r r o w approach (b) Broad approach (c) Intermediate approach 2. Interpretation of "any other source", , < 174 .!..'..!!.... 174 174 174 VL Options , 176 1. Retain the exclusions in current law , , . . . . 176 2. Require reciprocal exemptions , 3. Limit the exemption to portfolio investment income 4. Repeal the statutory exemption and rely on treaty exemptions. 5. Repeal of the statutory exemption 176 177 177 178 Appendix A: Tax E x e m p t International Organizations 179 -153- LIST O F T A B L E S Page Table 1 .Payments to Official Foreign Institutions 164 Table 2 U. S. Liabilities to Official Foreign Institutions 165 Table 3 U. S. Liabilities to Official Institutions of Foreign Countries by AreaTable 4 Income Receipts on U. S. Government Assets Abroad- • 166 16 7 Table 5 Outstanding Long-term Principle Indebtedness of Foreign Countries on U. S. Government Credits as of June 30, 1975, by Area 168 Table 6 Employees of Foreign Governments and International Organizations* .»•«•• 169 -154- L INTRODUCTION The United States unilaterally exempts foreign governments and international organizations from tax on certain income from sources within the United States. This exemption includes organizations which are separate in form from a foreign government provided the organization meets certain requirements. The exemption is extended, on a reciprocal basis, to the compensation of alien officers and employees of foreign governments and international organizations. These exemptions reflect the generally accepted principle that one government does not tax another. While some foreign governments benefiting from these provisions of the Internal Revenue Code have reciprocal exemptions concerning U. S. Government income arising from investment in their country, m a n y do not. F e w foreign governments explicitly exempt other foreign governments from tax on income generated in their country. Countries that do provide such exemptions generally do so on a reciprocal basis only. Brazil, for example, exempts foreign governments from the provisions of its income tax law only if an equivalent exemption is granted to the Brazilian government by the foreign country. 1/ Foreign governments such as Sweden, France, Germany, and the United Kingdom do not explicitly exempt foreign governments from tax on income sourced within their respective countries. These countries do, however, provide various exemptions for diplomatic representatives, foreign consular representives, and other official agents of foreign governments. 2_f The principle of exempting international organizations and their employees from local income tax is the most universal tax exemption afforded m e m b e r s of the international community. V W . S. Barnes, ed., World Tax Series: Taxation in Brazil (Boston: Little, Brown and Company, 1957), p. 92. "" 2 ' For an explanation of the tax treatment of official foreign entiti in these countries see: W . S. Barnes, ed., World Tax Series: Taxation in Sweden (1959); Taxation in France (1966); Taxation in the Federal Republic of Germany (1963); ana1 Taxation in the' United Kingdom (1957), (Boston; Tittle, Brown and Company)."" -155Similar, though less extensive, reciprocal tax exemptions are also contained in bilateral income tax treaties between the United States and some of its treaty partners. 1/ In addition, the United States is a party to numerous international treaties which exempt from taxmembers of the armed forces and certain of their auxiliary organizations. United States military personnel, for example, assigned to Germany as m e m b e r s of N A T O , are exempt from tax in Germany. 2 / The tax exempt status of foreign governments and international organizations has become a sensitive issue in light of the recent increase in foreign government investment in the United States, particularly from the O P E C countries, and the changing nature of this investment. Changes in the extent and form of foreign governmental organizations, and the creation of quasi-governmental organizations, have raised important questions concerning the scope of the existing statutory exemption. The Internal Revenue Service has issued guidelines concerning some of the issues raised by the exemption. 3/ This approach has not been entirely satisfactory, as the guidelines have neither kept pace with the numerous variations in the form of investment nor the form of the foreign governmental organizations. Thus, the Internal Revenue Service has had to consider m a n y exemptions on a case-by-case basis--a process which creates uncertainty and delay. This paper examines the U.S. tax treatment of income received by foreign governments and international organizations from investments in the United States in stocks, bonds, or other domestic securities, from interest on deposits in U. S. banks, and from other sources. A related issue is the tax treatment of compensation paid to employees of foreign governments and international organizations. 1/ For example, Article 10 (interest) of the income tax convention between the United States and France provides that: "interest received by one of the Contracting States, or by an instrumentality of that State not subject to income tax by such State, shall be exempt in the State in which such interest has its source. " The convention does not, however, exempt dividends received by the Governments of the Contracting States. Hence, the exemption contained in the income tax convention is not as extensive as the statutory exemption. U. S. Department of State, Treaty Series, Income Tax Treaty Between France and the United States, TIAS6518, July 11, 1968. — 2] W. S. Barnes, ed., World Tax Series: Taxation in the Federal ?.e-?.ublic of Germany (Boston: Little, i3rown and Company, lyo3), p. 24 5. 3/ Rev. Rul. 75-298, 1975-2 C. B. 290. -156- IL PRESENT L A W 1. Exemption of foreign governments from U.S. tax. Section 892 of the Internal Revenue Code provides that the income of foreign governments or international organizations received from investments in the United States in stocks, bonds, or other domestic securities, or from interest on deposits in banks in the United States, or from any other source within the United States, will generally be exempt from U.S. tax provided the investments and deposits are owned by the foreign governments. 1/ Any income collected by foreign governments from investments in the United States will not be exempt from tax if the stocks, bonds, or other domestic securities generating the income are not actually owned by, but loaned to, the foreign governments. 2/ The exemption of foreign government income from U. S. tax applies to their political subdivisions. The exemption was originally enacted as part of the Revenue Act of October 3, 1917 3/ which amended Section 30 of the Revenue Act of September 8, 1911). The original exemption read as follows: That nothing in Section II of the Act approved October third, nineteen hundred and thirteen, entitled 'An Act to reduce tariff duties and to provide revenue for the Government, and for other purposes', or in this title, shall be construed as taxing the income of foreign governments received from investments in the United States in stocks, bonds, or other domestic securities, owned by such foreign governments, or from interest on deposits in banks in the United States or moneys belonging to foreign governments. V For purposes of Sections 892 and 893 (dealing with employee compensation), the European Communities (European Coal and Steel Community, European Economic Community, and European Atomic Energy Community) collectively and individually constitute a foreign government. To date these are the only supranational organizations qualifying for a Section 892 or 893 exemption. No rationale was stated in the revenue ruling as to why these organizations qualify for the exemptions, nor was any guidance1 provided as to the criteria which should be used to evaluate future requests by other supranational organizations for tax exempt status under Sections 892 and 893. Rev. Rul. 68-309, 1968-1 C. B. 338. 2 / Regulations 1. 892-1 (a). 3/ U. S. Congress, House, An Act to Provide Revenue to Defray War Expenses, and For Other Purposes, Public Law 50, 65th Cong.," lstsess., iyi7, H.K. 4..8U, 'title XII (Income Tax Amendments) Section 30. - 157 - The exemption was first amended in 1918. This amendment expanded the categories of income covered by the initial statute to include income "from any other source within the United States Al At this juncture the first legislative history appears concerning the statutory foreign government tax exemption. This history is confined to a mere paragraph contained in the W a y s and Means Committee report stating that the bill includes "income of foreign governments from any other, source within the United States .2/ The inclusion of the language " or from any other source withm the United States" arguably broadened the scope of Section 892. However, there was no substantive legislative comment on the intended scope of the provision. In 1920 the Service chose an extremely broad interpretation of the 1918 statute by ruling that a foreign government is not subject to tax on income derived from the operation of vessels owned by such government through its agents in the United States. Neither is the foreign government liable to tax upon the income arising from the operation for its benefit of vessels chartered by it. "3/ This ruling was declared obsolete m 1968, and can no longer be used as a guide. However, the fact that the ruling was declared obsolete provides little guidance in delimitating Section 892. 4/ The scope of Section 892jremains unresolved, particularly in Tight of the fact that the phrase or any other source"has yet to be satisfactorily defined. If U.S. Congress, House, A n Act to Provide Revenue, and For ? t h f r . ^ J ? 0 8 ^ 8 ' P u b l i c L a w 254, 65th Cong., 2ndsess., 1918, ti.ti. 12 863, Title II, Part II, Section 12 3(b)(5). 2/ U.S. Congress, House, Committee on Ways and Means, Revenue ®j11 °?.}l18'Committee;RePorton H.R. 12863, House Report No. 767 * 65th Cong., 2nd sess., 1918. §ee~also 1939-1 Part 2, C.B. 92. 3/ Office Decision 515, 1920-2, C.B. 96. (Declared obsolete by y Rev. Rul. 68-575.) 4/ The procedure of declaring rulings obsolete is a systematic effort on the part of the Service to identify rulings which are no longer to be considered determinative with respect to future transactions. The public announcement that a particular ruling is not determinative with respect tp future transactions does not necessarily m e a n that the conclusion or the underlying rationale has no current applicability. " 1967-1. C.B. 578. -158- A second amendment, inl945, included in the exemption income received by international organizations. V The term "international organization" was defined in the International Organizations Immunities Act of 1945 (22 U. S. C. 288) as a public international organization in which the United States participates pursuant to any treaty or under the authority of any Act of Congress authorizing such participation. 2 / International organizations qualifying for the exemption under Section 892 are those organizations designated by the President through Executive Order. A list of presently exempt organizations appears as Appendix A. The requirements for tax exempt status of foreign organizations related to, but separate in form from, a foreign government have changed several times since the enactment of Section 892. Currently, income earned by an organization created by a foreign government which does not engage in commercial activities on more than a de minimis basis in the United States qualifies for the exemption from Federal income tax provided the organization meets the following requirements (set forth in Rev. Rul. 75-298): 1. it is wholly owned and controlled by a foreign government; 2. its assets and income are derived solely from its activities and investments and from the foreign government; 3. its net income is credited either to itself or to the foreign government, with no portion of its income inuring to the benefit of any private person; and 4. its investments in the United States, if any, include only those which produce passive income, such as currencies, fixed interest deposits, stocks, bonds, and notes or other securities evidencing loans. V U. S. Congress, House, An Act to Extend Certain Privileges, ^emptions, and Immunities to International Organizations and to the Officers and Employees Thereof, and For Other Purposes, Public Law __yif 79th Cong., 1st sess., 1945, H. R. 4489. 2/ Section 7701(a)(18) also defines the term "international organization to m e a n "a public international organization entitled to enjoy privileges, exemptions, and immunities as an international organization under the International Organization Immunities Act (22 U. S. C. 288-288f). " -159- The same tests are applied for determining whether organizations are considered a "foreign government" for purposes of Section 893 (compensation of employees of foreign governments and international organizations). 2. Exemption from U.S. tax for compensation of employees of foreign governments and international organizations. Related and parallel to the exemption under Section 892 of the Code is the exemption contained in Section 893 which excludes from Federal income tax the compensation of employees of foreign governments and international organizations. Specifically, the exemption provides that wages, fees, or salary of an employee of a foreign government or of an international organization received as compensation for official services shall be exempt from tax provided: 1. such employee is not a citizen of the United States, or is a citizen of the Republic of the Philippine si/ (whether or not a citizen of the United States); and 2. in the case of an employee of a foreign government, the services are of a character similar to those performed by employees of the Government of the United States in foreign countries; and 3. in the case of an employee of a foreign government, the foreign government grants an equivalent exemption to employees of the Government of the United States performing similar services in such foreign country. The Secretary of State is directed to certify to the