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LIBRARY JUL 2 21977 ROOM 500^' TREASURY OEPAKI.'•«-»" HJ L ^_JtV(rl c l i i ^ \(\JLA-4UJUJ-J PRESS RELEASES WS-757 TO WS-886 APRIL 1, 1976 THROUGH MAY 24, 1976 / OTA Papers r The Optimal Taxation of Commodities and Income David F. Bradford U.S. Treasury Department Harvey S. Rosen Princeton University OTA Paper 8 December 1975 zfice of Tax Analysis S. Treasury Department ishington, D. C. 20220 5sued March, 1976 The Optimal Taxation of Commodities and Income David F. Bradford U.S. Treasury Department Harvey S. Rosen Princeton University OTA Paper 8 December 1975 OTA Papers are circulated so that the preliminary findings of tax research conducted by Staff members and others associated with the Office of Tax Analysis may reach a wider audience. The views expressed are those of the author, and do not reflect Treasury policy. Comments are invited, but OTA Papers should not be quoted without permission from the author. TABLE OF CONTENTS Some History of Thought Optimal Commodity Taxation Optimal Income Taxation Concluding Remarks The last few years have seen a resurgence of interest in the old question of how best to raise tax revenue. Roughly speaking, two different problems have been studied. The first is to find a set of commodity taxes that is optimal given certain efficiency and (sometimes) equity considerations. In a second strain of the literature, it is assumed that the revenue system is based upon income rather than commodity taxation, and the problem is to determine the optimal degree of progressivity (or regressivity).—' > —' The principal motivation of some writers in the optimal taxation literature seems to be the discovery of fairly simple rules which policy makers actually can implement. Others are more interested in theoretical exploration of the implications of alternative economic assumptions than in developing usable policy recommendations. Practically all the contributions, however, have been quite mathematical and thus inaccessible to many practitioners in the public finance area. The purpose of this essay is to discuss in a nontechnical way the methodology and principal conclusions of the optimal taxation literature. ±* In section I we present briefly the history of thought on optimal taxation. Sections II and III discuss the optimal commodity and income tax literatures, respectively. We conclude with some observations on the accomplishments of the optimal taxation research and on some open questions. - 2 I. SOME HISTORY OF THOUGHT The debate over the properties of a good tax system goes back hundreds of years. Some of the discussion may seem at once cynical and amusing to contemporary economists.- One eighteenth century writer considered a good tax to be one that was easy to disguise. (Jones, p. 93) Similarly, the French statesman Colbert argued ". . . the art of taxation is the art of plucking the goose so as to get the largest possible amount of feathers with the least possible squealing." (Armitage-Smith, p. 36) However, the striking aspect of the old literature is its concern with the same efficiency and equity issues discussed today. It was viewed as desirable that tax induced distortions be kept at a minimum: "Taxation should interfere as little as possible with the processes of industry.11 (Armitage-Smith, p. 55) The effect of taxes on work incentives was a concern for politician as well as economists. Gladstone opined that the income tax did ". . . more than any other tax to demoralize and corrupt the people." (Wells, p. 516) Equity was also a major issue, and the fairness of progressivity was hotly debated. Adam Smith believed that individuals should pay taxes ". . .in proportion to their respective abilities, that is in proportion to the revenue enjoyed." (Stamp, p. 29) Mill characterized a graduated tax as ". . .a - 3graduated robbery," (Stamp, p. 38) while others thought that progressivity had a firm scientific basis in the theory of diminishing marginal utility. (Stamp, p. 40). As far as formal theorizing is concerned, the history of optimal commodity taxation is rich and long, while that of optimal income taxation is surprisingly thin, if not short. This is no doubt because the commodity tax problem is formally equivalent to the problem of pricing policy in nationalized, increasing returns enterprise. Recent work is in a tradition dating at least from J. Dupuit, writing in the middle of the nineteenth century. However, the most famous forerunner is Frank Ramsey, who derived the proposition that (second-best) optimal commodity taxes cause an equi-proportionate contraction in quantities of all commodities, in a paper published in 1927. Subsequent development has consisted of refinement and rediscovery of Ramsey's result. Important landmarks since then include Samuelson's 1952 U.S. Treasury memorandum (unfortunately never published, but widely circulated informally) and Marcel Boiteuxfs elegant treatment of the regulation of public monopolies which are subject to budget constraints. In almost all of the work the predominant question was the same: how can we raise a specified amount of revenue (or finance a specified program - 4 of expenditures), using commodity taxes, in such a way as to minimize deadweight loss. While distributional issues were generally acknowledged, the focus of attention was on the efficiency question. In thinking about income taxation the early contributions tended to lean in the other direction, to the point that Edgeworth, in the first important attempt to derive a tax schedule in an optimizing framework, ignored efficiency altogether. He pointed out that if all individuals have identical declining marginal utility of income schedules and the government's goal is to collect its revenue with the minimum aggregate loss of utility, then the appropriate policy is to level off income from the top. Edgeworthfs analysis does not take into account the probable efficiency effects of the confiscatory tax rates. Perhaps because the conclusion made so little sense, there seems to have been no further attempt to derive income tax characteristics from an explicit optimizing problem until very recently. Richard Musgrave in his well known text reviewed and clarified this and other criteria (equal absolute or relative utility sacrifice -interestingly, not derivable from a utilization maximizing framework) which might be used in determining equitable tax shares, but he did not in that context formally introduce the equityefficiency trade off. Integrating these aspects has been the principal objective of the optimal income tax theorists of the 1970's. - 5II. OPTIMAL COMMODITY TAXATION Since the cited literature contains many and varied derivations of the principal theorems of optimal commodity taxes, we shall not carry out detailed proofs here. We can point out, however, some of the variations in the way the problem is posed. Most commonly a revenue constraint is taken as a starting point, together with an assumption that the government must use per unit commodity taxes. (Thus lump-sum taxes are excluded.) If. x^ is the quantity of the ith good purchased by the household sector from the production sector (x. is negative if the households are net sellers, as in the case of the commodity "leisure"), and T^ is the per unit tax, the revenue constraint is (1) £ T±Xi = R, where R is the required revenue level. The taxes are the difference between the prices, p., received by producers and P^, paid by the consumers. (2) T± = P. - p. . It is frequently assumed that producer prices are fixed, so that by setting taxes we set consumer prices and hence consumer welfare. The problem is then to make the choice of taxes in such a way as to maximize the resulting consumer welfare. Another way of describing the objective is to obtain the required revenue with - 6 minimum excess burden or deadweight loss to consumers -- the cost in inefficiency which is in addition to the value of output necessarily foregone to meet the government's requirements. Samuelson uses a somewhat different formulation of the problem and one which has the virtue of emphasizing the resource releasing function of taxes. He begins with the assumption that the government wishes to obtain a vector g = (g^ . . . g n ) of quantities of each of the n commodities. Assuming constant returns to scale (and hence no profits under competition) the behavior of firms will be governed by the producer price vector P = (Pi> • • • P ) while the demands and welfare of the households will be determined by consumer prices P = (Pi, . . . P n ) • p At the firms will supply the vector y(p) = (y\, . . . y ) of net outputs; at P the households will demand x(P) = (x-^, . . . XQ) . The trick of feasibility is to choose P and p so that (3) y(p) - x(P) = g, that is the amounts produced less the amounts demanded by the household just equal the government's requirements. The problem of optimality is to pick from among the pairs of consumer and producer price vectors satisfying (3) one which maximizes consumer welfare. To work out the problem it is generally easier to go behind the producer supply relationships. Thus if F(y) = 0 implicitly defines the transformation frontier of the economy, the constraint (3) might be expressed by - 7(4) F(x(P)+g) = 0 F±(x(P)+g) = ap±, i = 1 . . . n, where the subscripted conditions are those associated with producer profit maximization. Because the emphasis is generally on efficiency, a typical approach is to assume there to be only one consumer (hence no distribution problem). Thus the objective might be to choose P and p to (5) Maximize U(x(P)) subject to (4) and to (6) U±(x(P)) = yPi, i = 1, . . . n Conditions (6) are the familiar first order implications of the household's optimization. More often an indirect utility function V(P, 0) = U(x(P)) is used, (the zero argument draws attention to the assumption of no transfer income) as the derivations become very simple when use is made of "Roy's Identity" (7) = -x±(P) . . dV± 3M where 8V/8M is the derivative of the indirect utility function with respect to budget level. Putting these pieces together in any of several sequences leads to the famous Ramsey result on optimal commodity taxation: (8) I Tisik i = 6x > k = lf k ' ' *' n - 8where S i k is the Slutsky coefficient, the derivative of the demand for the ith good with respect to the kth price, other prices and utility being held constant, and 3 is independent of k. The left hand side gives an estimate of the change in demand for the kth good which would occur if the taxes were removed. Hence (8) says that the proportional change in demand (thus estimated) should be the same for all commodities -- the Ramsey result. Condition (8) can also be expressed in terms of elasticities. Probably the most familiar "optimal tax" result is the form which applies when the off-diagonal elasticities are zero. In this case the first order conditions associated with (5) lead to the "inverse elasticity rule": (9) tr = , r = 1, . . . , m, rr where t _ T /P , the percentage or ad valorem rate of tax, 6 r - r r is a constant, and E r r is the elasticity of the ordinary (uncompensated) demand function for the kth good. This formula has certainly been of importance in forming economists' intuitions on tax and price regulatory questions. In underlies the notion of charging according to "what the traffic can bear" in transportation, for example, and is the basis for the acceptance on efficiency grounds of high taxes on tobacco and alcohol, the demand for which is presumed price inelastic. - 9One of the important contributions of the optimal commodity tax literature, indeed, has been to reconcile economists1 sometimes opposing intuitions. For example, the intuition that prices should be set at marginal cost, so that producers' and consumers' price vectors are at least proportional, is seefi to be correct under the assumption- that (a) distributional objectives are otherwise achieved and (b) sufficient revenue can be raised. If there is insufficient profitability in the economy (as, for example, in the case of constant returns to scale production technologies with competition) the second of these conditions cannot be met. —' Where prices must deviate from marginal costs, the inverse elasticity rule is appealing, but we see that it will be strictly appropriate only under the rather strong assumptions of independent commodity demands. Another application of the analysis is to the presumptive case for direct over indirect taxation. The classic Hotelling argument for marginal cost pricing seemed to support the conclusion that an "income tax" will involve no efficiency cost. When it was recognized, however, that the "income" of the tax system is not the "budget level" of the elementary theory of consumer demand, but rather the product of a certain price, the wage, and a demanded quantity (net purchase) of leisure, the apparent a priori advantage of an income tax was lost. The analyses of Corlett and Hague, Little and Friedman to this effect all are applications of the theory of optimal commodity taxation, as is neatly shown by Sandmo. - 10 While the extensive subsequent work has shown how difficult it is to sustain any simple rules for commodity taxation the result of the spreading awareness of this work has been to make economists think about tax questions in a new way and to hasten the search for rules which are reasonably robust.. For example, as Sliglitz and Atkinson point out, optimal tax analysis makes it clear that there is no a priori assurance that the income tax is the single best instrument for income redistribution. "Commodity taxes", such as housing subsidies or food stamps, might contribute to an optimal program. Boskin notes that, in view of the differences in the observed elasticities of household supply of the two types of labor (husband labor and wife labor), it is probably efficient to tax these "commodities" at different rates. Feldstein (1975) uses the same basic approach to examine the choice between "tax expenditures" and direct expenditure methods of achieving an increase in a specified activity. A natural question in view of the interpretation of the income tax as a commodity tax is whether taxation of labor only (i.e., uniform taxation of commodities) is appropriate. Not surprisingly, the answer is that it will be appropriate when labor is inelastically supplied. Sandmo shows that this in turn will follow if utility is separable between leisure and - 11 all other goods and homogeneous in those goods. Intuitively this separability means that further efficiency cannot be gained by differential taxation of goods that are "related"to leisure. Several writers have noted an important consequence when this result is reinterpreted in an intertemporal context. If utility is a function of consumption and leisure at different dates and separability obtains, then no taxes on interest income should be levied -- consumption is the appropriate tax base. This simply illustrates the challenge, implicit in the optimal tax approach, to the widespread acceptance of taxation on the basis of HaigSimons income which has been emphasized by Feldstein. While an "income tax" can be regarded as a tax on the sale of labor (negative net purchase of leisure), there is a feature of actual income taxes which is slighted by such a point of view: it is institutionally feasible to assess taxes at different rates on different individuals; in particular progressive taxation of earnings is possible. Depending upon the allowable features, the possibility arises of, in effect, duplicating a lump-sum tax by a (regressive) income tax structure. When distributional considerations are introduced this is not terribly useful; however, the fact that tax rates can vary from household to household makes the income tax, and such related taxes as the expenditure tax, the principal instruments for distribution objectives. We now turn to the studies which consider the trade-off between such distributional objectives and economic efficiency. - 12 III. OPTIMAL INCOME TAXATION As we noted in Section I , the problem of optimal income taxation has a long history in economics. However, most of the recent literature stems from a paper published by James Mirrlees in 1971. A natural way to organize our discussion, then, is to summarize Mirrlees' techniques and conclusions, and then view the ensuing literature as an attempt to explain and modify some of his results. In Mirrlees' model, society is composed of individuals who have identical atemporal utility functions in after-tax income and leisure. Individuals differ only in their earnings abilities (wage per hour). The government must collect an ex- ogenously determined amount of tax revenue. The problem is to find an income tax schedule (tax function) which maximizes the sum—' of individuals' utilities subject to this revenue constraint. Using the tools of the calculus of variations to solve the constrained maximization problem, Mirrlees finds that the optimal tax function exhibits marginal tax rates between zero and one, and that when it is operative, part of the population does not work. Although these results may seem weak, they are really quite remarkable given the absence of specific functional forms for the key relationships in the problem. - 13 In order to get more specific results, more specific assumptions must be built into the analysis. Mirrlees assumes that the utility functions are Cobb-Douglas, and considers both lognormal and Pareto distributions of earnings abilities. With these assumptions, the following results emerge: a) the optimal tax function is approximately linear with a negative intercept, and b) the optimal tax function is characterized by 'low' marginal tax rates which fall somewhat with income. (Atkinson's interpolations of Mirrlees' results indicate rates in the neighborhood of 20 percent). Mirrless was surprised at how low the marginal tax rates were: ". . .1 must confess that I had expected the rigorous analysis of income-taxation in the utilitarian manner to provide an argument for high tax rates. It has not done so." A study by Fair in the same year also generated fairly low implied marginal tax rates. Apparently, those who read the Mirrlees paper also found the low marginal tax rates counter-intuitive, for much of the literature appears to be an attempt to explain them. One concern was the maximand of Mirrlees1 problem, an unweighted sum of individual utilities, which implies that a 'util1 to a rich individual adds as much to social welfare as a 'util' to a poor individual. To what extent would more egalitarian results (i.e., higher marginal tax rates) emerge - 14 if a social welfare function were used which weighted the utilities of the rich less than those of the poor? Atkinson and Feldstein (1973) consider social welfare functions of the form: (10) W = ( EUV)3-/^ u<l Clearly, when u =1, welfare (W) is the simple sum of utilities (Ui) . When u is less than 1, however, it can be shown that a given increment to the utility of a low utility individual adds more to W than if awarded to a high utility individual. It should be noted, however, that the specifications of the social welfare function and the individual utility functions are not really independent of each other. We could, for example, specify the utility of the ±^L individual to be U£\ -' and then write social welfare as the arithmetic sum of these utilities. Atkinson focuses attention on the case in which u approaches minus infinity. Under such circumstances, maximizing W is equivalent to maximizing the utility of the worst off individual in society: the maximin case.—' This case has received considerable attention due to philosopher John Rawls' argument that it is particularly compelling as an ethical criterion. (A number of criticisms are suggested by Klevorik.) Atkinson uses a Rawlsian social welfare function in a model with a linear income tax, no net government revenue requirement (i.e., taxation for redistribution only), and a Pareto distribution of skills in the economy. He finds that optimal marginal tax rates range between 30 and 45 percent. Thus, one solution - 15 to the mystery of Mirrlees' low marginal tax rates is his formulation of the objectives of the government. Social welfare functions which are more egalitarian than the classical utilitarian variety may yield higher marginal rates. Another potential explanation for Mirrlees' results is the Cobb-Douglas assumption concerning the form of individuals' utility functions. Stern has investigated this possibility by assuming that individuals have constant elasticity of substitution (CES) utility functions in leisure and income. Using results 8/ on the elasticity of labor supply from the econometric literature,— he finds that an elasticity of substitution of 0.4 is more realistic 1/ than 1.0. When a variant of Mirrlees' problem is solved using CES utility functions with this lower elasticity of substitution, the optimal marginal tax rates are substantially higher -- without appeal to a more egalitarian social welfare function. So far, it has been assumed that there is one type of labor, and individuals differ only in their ability to perform it. Feldstein (1973) investigates the importance of this assumption by analyzing a two person society consisting of a skilled and unskilled worker whose wages are endogenously determined. He finds that relaxing the exogenous determination of wages has no major impact on optimal marginal tax rates, and as in the Mirrlees article, they are still 'low'. Even for the maxim in case Feldstein finds a marginal tax rate of only 45 percent (assuming Cobb-Douglas utility functions). - 16 Reexamination of the social welfare function suggests another possible explanation for the low tax rates typically generated by optimal income tax studies. Out intuition about optimal income taxation may perhaps be conditioned on social objective functions which are not utilitarian-individualistic. For example, the presence in the social welfare function of a variable parameterizing the 'aesthetics' of the income distribution would lead to more egalitarian results.— / Similarly, Feldstein (forthcoming) has shown that if interdependent utility functions are allowed for, very high marginal tax rates may be appropriate. We now turn to a limitation of the Mirrlees model which is just beginning to receive attention, its atemporal setting. The appropriate taxation of capital income is one of the most controversial aspects of the tax system, yet the studies cited above for the most part ignore it. Ordover and Phelps examine the optimal mix of taxes on two factors of production (capital and labor) in a one sector neo-classical growth model.— Their model is very general, and therefore no results on tax rates emerge which can be compared to those discussed above. Moreover, the only social welfare function they consider is the maximin case. Despite these limitations, explicit attention to the taxation of capital income in the optimal income tax framework is an important step which will no doubt stimulate further research. - 17 We could continue to list additional aspects of the Mirrlees model which have been changed and expanded in order to determine 12/ their effects on optimal tax rates.— However, the basic thrust of the literature should now be clear. An exogenously determined amount of tax revenue must be raised by income taxes on individuals whose economic choices are distorted by the presence of those taxes. Given technological and behavioral assumptions, the optimal tax schedule is that which leaves some social, welfare function at a maximum after the tax is collected. The literature shows how various assumptions on these components lead to different conclusions regarding the shape of the optimal tax schedule. - 18 IV. CONCLUDING REMARKS The accomplishments of the optimal taxation research have been considerable. It has upset many comfortable rules of thumb and lent precision to many informal arguments. But there remains work to be done. Part of this work will, of course, consist of increasing the stock of variations on the basic problems for which solutions have been described. Another, and very important, part will consist in the attempt to determine quantitatively which of these problems best describes the actual economy to be taxed -- filling in all those empty boxes with real, estimated elasticities. However, work of another kind is needed to advance the normative power of the analysis. Normatively the optimal tax literature rests on a utilitarian base. It is true that the optimal commodity tax results, or some of them at least, can be cast in a form which says: if your tax system doesn't look like this there is a potential bargain which can be struck among your citizens which would make all better off. However, these bargains are complex and their possibility tends to be eliminated by the very assumptions that require the use of second-best instruments in the first place. For practical application implicit interpersonal utility comparisons are required. The optimal income tax results are also dependent on such comparisons. The missing link is a welfare function, and the question - 19 is how does one persuade a legislative or an electorate to decide tax questions in accordance with some particular welfare function? Asking the optimal tax researchers to resolve this problem is effectively asking them to make welfare economics persuasive, obviously a tall order. Missing from the optimal tax arguments is the idea of horizontal equity, the notion that "... people in equal positions should be treated equally." (Musgrave, 1959, p. 160) (Customarily, "equal positions" are defined in terms of an' observable index of ability to pay such as income, expenditure, or wealth.) In none of the studies discussed above has the injunction to treat equals the same appeared either as a constraint in the mazimization problem, or as an argument in the objective function. Therefore, they will in general ±A' fail to provide horizontal equity. In light of this, Musgrave (forthcoming) and others have suggested that it is inappropriate to characterize such schemes as 'optimal.' Defining horizontal equity in terms of income is inadequate because individuals with identical opportunity sets but different tastes will have different incomes. An alternative way to define equal position would be identical opportunity sets. However, it seems more in the spirit of the optimal taxation literature to define equal position in terms of utilities: individuals are 'the same' only if they derive - 20 identical amounts of utility from their consumption and leisure bundles. The choice of a criterion for horizontal equity is important because when tastes differ between individuals, different criteria may lead to different conclusions as to the fairness of a given tax. For example, an income tax which is perfectly fair according to conventional notions of horizontal equity hurts an 'income lover' more than a 'leisure lover.' Ironically, although the optimal taxation literature ignored horizontal equity, it has sparked new interest in the topic, and modified the vocabulary of the discussion. For example, the optimal taxation literature emphasis on efficiency has reminded public finance practitioners that excess burden must be taken into account when allocating tax burdens across individuals. Similarly, the concern with the impact of tax changes on utility has focused attention on the equity implications of the differential taxation of pecuniary and nonpecuniary forms of income. It has been shown, for example, that if there is one type of ability and tastes are the same, then horizontal equity is satisfied even if identical individuals pay different amounts of tax. (See Feldstein (forthcoming)) In an attempt to put the discussion of horizontal equity and the optimal taxation literature on the same plane, Feldstein (forthcoming) has redefined the principle of horizontal equity in terms of utility rather than ability to pay.—' However, complete integration of horizontal equity into the optimal tax - 21 framework remains to be done. Perhaps this could be accomplished by including some measure of departure from horizontal equity as an argument in the social welfare function, but this approach is bedeviled by conceptual difficulties in measuring departures from horizontal equity.— It may well be that horizontal equity, ancient and honorable criterion of tax policy though it be, is not a helpful concept. However, the apparent appeal of this nonoperational idea to practical people suggests the attractiveness of properties of a tax structure which are independent of the economy to which that structure is applied. To discover whether there are any such properties which significantly narrow the range of "good" tax structures might be a useful topic of research. - 22 - REFERENCES Armit age-Smith, Priciples and Methods of Taxation, London, 1907. Arrow, K., et. al., "Capital-Labor Substitution and Economic Efficiency," Review of Economics and Statistics, August 1961. Atkinson, A.B., "Capital Taxes the Redistribution of Wealth and Individual Savings," Review of Economic Studies, April 1971. Atkinson, A.B., "How Progressive Should the Income Tax Be?", in Longmans, Essays on Modern Economics, London, 1973. Atkinson, A.B., J. Stiglitz, "Alternative Approaches to the Redistribution of Income," Journel of Public Economics, forthcoming. Boiteux, M., "Sur la gestion des monopoles publics astreint a l'equilib budgetaire, Econometrica (24), 1956, reprinted in translation by W. J. Baumol and D. F. Bradford, "On the Management of Public Monopolies Subject to Budgetary Constraints," Journal of Economic Theory, (3), September 1971. Corlett, W. J., Hague, D.C., "Complementarity and the Excess Burden of Taxation," Review of Economic Studies, (21), 1953-54, pp. 21-30. - 23 - Diamond, P.A., J. A. Mirlees, "Optimal Taxation and Public Production: II," American Economic Review, June 1971. Dupuit, J., Troite theorique et pratique de la conduite et de la distribution des eaux, Paris, 1854. Edgeworth, "The Pure Theory of Taxation," Economic Journal, 1897. Fair, R.C., "The Optimal Distribution of Income," Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1971. Feldstein, M., "On the Optimal Progressivity of the Income Tax," Journal of Public Economics, 1973. Feldstein, M. , "The Theory of Tax Expenditures," Harvard University, mimeo, 19 75. Feldstein, M., "On the Theory of Tax Reform," Journal of Public Economics, forthcoming. Jones, R. , The Nature and First Principle of Taxation, London, 1914. Klevorick, A.K., "Discussion," American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, May 1974. Little J.M.D., "Direct vs. Indirect Taxes," Economic Journal, (61), pp. 577-584. Mirrlees, J.A., "An Exploration in the Theory of Optimum Income Taxation," Review of Economic Studies, 1971. Musgrave, R.A., The Theory of Public Finance, New York, 1959. - 24 - Musgrave, R.A., "Optimal Taxation, Equitable Taxation and Second-Best Taxation," Journal of Public Economics, forthcoming. Ordover, J.A., E.S.Phelps, "Linear Taxation of Wealth and Wages for Intragenerational Justice: S6me Steady- State Cases," American Economic Review, September 1975. Ramsey, F.P., "A Contribution to the Theory of Taxation," Economic Journal, (37), 1927. Rawls, J., "Some Reasons for the Maximin Criterion," American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, May 1974. Rosen, H., "Income, Utility, and Horizontal Equity Under the U.S. Income Tax," Princeton University, mimeo, 1975. Samuelson, P.A., "Theory of Optimal Taxation," unpublished, approximately 1952. Sandmo, A., "A Note on the Structure of Optimal Taxation," American Economic Review, September 1974. Sheshinski, E., "Income Taxation and Capital Accumulation," Quarterly Journal of Economics, forthcoming, a. Sheshinski, E., "On the Theory of Optimal Income Taxation," Journal of Public Economics, forthcoming, b. Stamp, Josiah S., Fundamental Principles of Taxation in the Light of Modern Developments, London, 1921. Stern, N., "On the Specification of Models of Optimum Income Taxation," Journal of Public Economics, forthcoming. Wells, D , The Theory and Practice of Taxation, New York, 1900. - 25 FOOTNOTES The authors would like to thank Roger Gordon for useful conversations and Jay Stuart for assistance in gathering material. There is some overlapping of these strains. For example, Atkinson and Stiglitz consider the problem of differential commodity taxation in the presence of an income tax. Although we shall focus upon these problems in this paper, the optimal tax literature has had a somewhat wider scope. For example, Diamond and Mirrlees concider the pro- blem of optimal expenditure along with taxation, and Atkinson considers the issue of wealth taxation. ^Our goal is not to provide a comprehensive literature review. Consult Atkinson and Stiglitz and Sandmo for more biblographical material. ^Thus, if y is the sector of net outputs of the production sector, net profits are given by p.y. Equilibruim requires that p.y=0 (otherwise firms would expand all components of y proportionately, which is possible under the assumption of constant returns to sale). For a vector T of taxes proportional to p, say T=rp, where r is a scalar, the revenue raised will be T.y=rp.y=0. words, In other a tax on economic profit would raise no revenue. - 26 5 He also considers a social welfare function of the form I -3(u ) " g n e f ( n ) d n ' where UR is the utility of the nth individual and f(n) is the distribution of abilities. In the application Mirrlees takes the cases 6=0 (yielding a simple sum of utilities) and 3=1. Such a transformation changes none of the behavioral implications of the utility function. 'The proof is similar to the demonstration of Arrow, et. al., that as the elasticity of a CES production function goes to zero, technology is characterized by fixed coefficients . o These are measures of the elasticity of hours per year with respect to the wage, and thus do not take into account other, perhaps more important dimensions of labor supply. 9 If the elasticity of substitution were zero, lump sum taxation would be possible. If the elasticity of substitution were infinite, no revenue could be raised. l^Such a social welfare function would be non-paretian, but there is nothing to prevent a reasonable set of value judgments from allowing for such a possibility. •^Sheshinski (forthcoming, a) considers taxation in a one sector neo-classical growth model with earned and unearned income taxed at the same rate. 12 For example, Stern has suggested changing the assumptions on the underlying distribution of skills, while Sheshinski (forthcoming, b) focuses on a model in which - 27 taxes influence human capital accumulation. 13 It can be shown that if all individuals have identical tastes and there is only one type of ability, then horizontal equity will be satisfied by virtually any broadbased tax. (See Feldstein (forthcoming)). Such assumptions, as we have seen, are built into a number of the optimal tax studies. (For an exception, see Diamond and Mirrlees.) "If two individuals would be equally well off (have the same utility level) in the absence of taxation, they should be equally well off if there is a tax." See Rosen for a discussion of these problems and some attempts to surmount them. JV DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY FISCAL SERVICE - BUREAU OF GOVERNMENT FINANCIAL OPERATIONS STATEMENT OF THE A DEPUTY COMMISSIONER OF GOVERNMENT FINANCIAL OPERATIONS FOR PRESENTATION TO THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON LEGISLATION AND NATIONAL SECURITY OF THE COMMITTEE ON GOVERNMENT OPERATIONS GENERAL STATEMENT MR. CHAIRMAN, MEMBERS OF THE COMMITTEE, IT IS A PLEASURE TO APPEAR BEFORE YOU TODAY TO DISCUSS (1) THE INCLUSION IN SECTION 45 OF H.R. 12605 OF AN AMENDMENT TO THE CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET ACT OF 1974, SECTION 503(B), AND (2) THE PROVISION CONTAINED IN SECTION 209 OF H.R. 12606 WHICH PROVIDES FOR FUNDS APPROPRIATED TO AN ACCOUNT FOR THE PERIOD JULY 1 THROUGH SEPTEMBER 30, 1976 TO BE MERGED ON JULY 1, 1976 WITH THE BALANCES AVAILABLE FROM APPROPRIATIONS MADE FOR THE FISCAL YEAR 1976 FOR SUCH ACCOUNT. TREASURY REQUESTED AMENDMENT OF SECTION 503(B) TO CORRECT TIMING PROBLEMS IN THE FORMAL CLOSING OF THE BOOKS AND TO ACCOMMODATE THE EFFICIENCY OF THE GOVERNMENT'S ACCOUNTING SYSTEMS. SECTION 503(B) OF THE CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET ACT OF 1974 AMENDED LAW CODIFIED AT 31 U.S.C. 701(B). WITH THIS AMENDMENT 31 U.S.C. 701(B)(1)(A) DIRECTS THAT OBLIGATED BALANCES IN APPROPRIATION ACCOUNTS FOR FY 1976 OR EARLIER FISCAL YEARS BE TRANSFERRED TO MERGED APPROPRIATION ACCOUNTS OF THE AGENCIES CONCERNED ON THE J JUNE 30 WHICH OCCURS TWENTY-FOUR MONTHS AFTER THE END OF THE APPROPRIATE FISCAL YEAR. THE AMENDED 31 U.S.C. 701(B)(1)(B) ALSO PROVIDES FOR THE TRANSFERRAL OF OBLIGATED BALANCES ASSOCIATED WITH THE JULY 1 TO SEPTEMBER 30, 1976 PERIOD, AND WITH ANY FISCAL YEAR AFTER-OCTOBER 1, 1976/ ON SEPTEMBER 30oFfTHE-SECOND- FISCAL: YEAR THEREAFTER. THE AMENDED 31 U.S.C. 701(B)(2) DIRECTS THAT: (A) UNOBLIGATED BALANCES IN APPROPRIATION ACCOUNTS FOR FY 1976 OR EARLIER BE WITH- DRAWN FOR REVERSION TO THE GENERAL FUND OR OTHER SUITABLE FUND, NOT LATER THAN SEPTEMBER 30 OF THE FISCAL YEAR FOLLOWING THE -FISCAL YEAR IN WHICH AVAILABILITY EXPIRES, AND (B) UNOBLIGATED BALANCES IN APPROPRIATION ACCOUNTS FOR THE JULY 1 TO SEPTEMBER 30, 1976 PERIOD, AND FOR ANY FISCAL YEAR STARTING AS OF OR AFTER OCTOBER 1, 1976, BE WITHDRAWN NOT LATER THAN THE NOVEMBER 15 FOLLOWING THE PERIOD OR FISCAL YEAR IN WHICH AVAILABILITY EXPIRES. THE PRESENT PROVISIONS OF SUBSECTIONS (B)(1)(A) AND (B)(2)(A) - 3WOULD REQUIRE TWO CLOSINGS OF THE BOOKS EACH YEAR FOR TRANSFERS TO MERGED ACCOUNTS AND WITHDRAWALS FROM ACCOUNTS., THESE PROVISIONS WOULD IMPOSE ADDITIONAL AND UNPRODUCTIVE PAPERWORK AND ACCOUNTING WORKLOAD REQUIREMENTS ON THE TREASURY AND REPORTING AGENCIES. THE AMENDMENTS WHICH ARE NOW INCLUDED IN SECTION 45 OF H.R. 12605 WILL CORRECT THESE TECHNICAL DEFICIENCIES. WE ALSO SUPPORT THE PROVISION ;IN SECTION 209 OF H.^R.^ 12606 WHICH PERMITS THE MERGER-ON JULY 1, 1976 OF TRANSITION QUARTER APPROPRIATIONS WITH THE BALANCES AVAILABLE FOR FISCAL YEAR 1976 FOR AGENCY ACCOUNTING AND OBLIGATION CONTROL PURPOSES. THE PROPOSED AMENDMENT WILL SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE" THE AGENCY ACCOUNTING ' WORKLOAD REQUIREMENTS RELATING TO THE CHANGE IN FISCAL YEAR. AGENCIES HAVE INDICATED TO US THAT THEY WILL HAVE TO MAKE EXTEN- SIVE REVISIONS IN THEIR ACCOUNTING SYSTEMS IN ORDER TO MAINTAIN SEPARATE OBLIGATIONAL RECORDS FOR AN ADDITIONAL ACCOUNTING PERIOD. IT IS OUR PLAN TO ISSUE WARRANTS FOR THE TRANSITION QUARTER AS OF JULY 1, 1976. THESE APPROPRIATIONS WILL NOT BE AVAILABLE TO THE AGENCIES DURING FISCAL YEAR 1976. WE ALSO PLAN TO ACCUMULATE DATA SEPARATELY FOR CASH TRANSACTIONS OCCURRING DURING FISCAL YEAR 1976 AND THE TRANSITION QUARTER IN THE ANNUAL COMBINED STATEMENT. THE EFFICIENCY AND ECONOMIES RESULTING FROM PASSAGE OF SECTION 209 WILL ENHANCE THE ABILITY OF AGENCIES TO MEET OUR EXTREMELY TIGHT REPORTING REQUIREMENTS FOR FISCAL YEAR 1976 AND THE TRANSITION QUARTER. WE PLAN TO ACCOMPLISH THE SUBMISSION OF THIS DATA FOR.BOTH ACCOUNTING PERIODS IN A TIME SCHEDULE WHICH CUTS IN HALF THE TIME PREVIOUSLY. AVAILABLE -FOR COMPILATION OF YEAREND ACCOUNTING INFORMATION. THIS TIME SCHEDULE WILL PLACE EXTREMELY HEAVY WORKLOAD DEMANDS ON TREASURY AND THE AGENCIES DURING THE REMAINDER OF 1976. MR. CHAIRMAN, I APPRECIATE THE OPPORTUNITY TO TESTIFY ON BEHALF OF THE TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND WOULD BE HAPPY TO RESPOND TO ANY QUESTIONS YOU MIGHT HAVE AT THIS POINT. REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE WILLIAM E. SIMON SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE AD COUNCIL, WASHINGTON, D.C. April 1, 1976 * Chairman Adams, President Keim and members of the Ad Council. It is a pleasure for me to address this luncheon session of your 32nd Annual Conference. In looking over your agenda I see that you have taken great pains to hear from a broad spectrum of people in government, including an impressive list of senior spokesmen from the executive, legislative and judicial branches. And I notice that you have already received one extensive economic briefing at the able hands of my esteemed colleagues, Bill Seidman, Jim Lynn and Fred Dent. Under the circumstances, there probably isn't much left for me to say about the current state of the economy that you havenft already heard. So, in my remarks today, I would like to give you a brief account of my recent visit to the Middle East, and some of the impressions I brought back with me, and then go on to consider both our nation's economic future and the role that people like you -- some of the most talented communicators in the country -- can play in making that future a bright one. There isn't a more diverse, fascinating part of the world than the Middle East. That turbulent area that is terribly bound up with the future of global peace has many problems and none of them is going to vanish overnight. While I did return fully aware of the grave problems that confront them, I did return with one positive impression. Today, despite old animosities and differences, both the Arabs and the Israelis, regardless of their other conflicts, realize that the United States has developed the most dynamic and efficent economic system the world has ever known. They see the United States as the major source of strength and stability -- economic as well as political — in an unstable world. As Secretary of the Treasury, I find this both encouraging and awesome. Encouraging, because I am convinced that the way to a peaceful world political order can only come through a strong, stable world economic order -- because, for the Middle East, peace and prosperity can and must go hand in hand. And I find it awesome because if reminds me once more of how vitally important the American economy is, not only to our everyday comfort and convenience, but to the preservation of peace and freeWS-750 dom in the world. - 2 - J£ Economic statistics may make for pretty dull reading, but the facts behind the figures are a massive, perhaps decisive shaping force in the lives we live today, and in the future course of America and the world. We must never lose sight of the fact that a strong, noninflationary domestic economy is an absolute necessity. The only way to be strong abroad is to be strong at home. Now you would be perfectly right to ask how in the world I can reasonably expect the general public to understand economics when even the experts disagree among themselves. And, up to a point, you would be right. The same objection could be made in almost any specialized field, from horse-racing to psychiatry. There is no single, exhaustively all-embracing economic formula that can answer all the questions and solve all the problems. But there are a number of economic basics -- fundamental, common-sense guidelines and warning signals -- that can help all of us — from Milton Friedman to Archie Bunker -- to understand where our country is heading economically and what we can and should do about it. There is where advertising and communication skills come in. You, as skilled communicators, individually and collectively, can make an enormous contribution by helping to educate the public. For if my three years in Washington have taught me anything at all, it is the vital importance of your specialty — getting an often complicated message across in simple, lucid terms. Getting to the essence of things clearly and forcefully. The success of public policy, even more than the success of a commercial product, is directly dependent on the communications ability of those who advocate it. In fact, one of the biggest problems we face today in government is the paradox of too many good communicators selling bad policies and too many bad communicators selling good policies. A rhetorical spellbinder could sell ice cubes to Eskimos, but some of the advocates of fiscal responsibility and the free enterprise system are so unimaginative that they'd have trouble peddling Alka-Selzer on New Year's morning. Perhaps the most significant -- and distressing -- fact confronting this country today is closely related to your field. I refer to the decline in public confidence in our institutions. Instead of observing our Bicentennial on the upbeat, we find our nation in a mood of deep and widespread distrust of many of the very elements that made our society great. No group — business, government, the press, education, labor — enjoys the credibility and trust it once did. if - 3 Many people sensed this decline in public confidence long before the pollsters confirmed it. George Shultz, a former Secretary of the Treasury, has summed up the problem pretty well: "We need moorings in our society," he points out, but "We have let go of many old moorings and we do not have new ones to replace them." This decline in public confidence has been, building for a long time. Many different things have contributed to it: Vietnam, Watergate, and the overpromising and underperformance of government. It now seems to pervade every facet of our social structure and poses a threat to the system that has enabled this country to achieve the greatest prosperity and the highest standard of living every known. One of the institutions whose credibility has lost the most ground is business — or what I prefer to call free enterprise. Today the American private sector is reexamining itself to determine not only what has caused this loss of confidence but also what it can do to regain it. One opinion researcher says the major concern facing business is to overcome the public's alienation and cynicism. I'm not sure I agree. I certainly don't agree with those who allege there is something basically wrong with the American enterprise system itself. Part of the problem, I believe, is that many people are misinformed and misled on the economic issues. Most people simply do not have time to read the fine print behind the headlines, and most detailed economic coverage is written for the specialist rather than the general public. The result is often serious misunderstanding of the private sector. According to a recent study by the Opinion Research Corporation, the key issues on which the public is most misinformed are the level and trend of corporate profits and their interrelationships with prices, wages, unemployment and inflation -- a major part of the system of economic causes and effects that influence their daily lives. They also found that people were misinformed about antitrust problems, monopolistic practices and competition and the relations between corporations and governmental regulatory agencies. If that worries you, there's more. Some of you may recall that report last year by the Commerce Department and your own Advertising Council, which portrayed the average American as a virtual economic illiterate who perceives our economic system almost solely in terms of his or her own personal situation rather than in its broad functional aspects. This is only human — but it is also dangerous. - 4 People usually fear what they don't understand. And people tend to reject what they fear. So we shouldn't be surprised if they're tempted to unknowingly embrace programs -and quack economic remedies — that are destructive to our system. Let's take a look at that system and ask ourselves whether or not it is worth preserving. Even the most cursory glance at recent history shows us that is has outperformed all others, both in terms of the material benefits it has produced and the free way of life it has protected. Here are some measurable standards of performance: — Since the late 1950's alone, real purchasing power of Americans has jumped by 40 percent, average family income has risen to over $13,000 a year, 20 million new jobs have been created, and we have cut the number of people below the poverty line in half. — Our farmers harvest more than twice as much grain with fewer workers compared to a generation ago. -- Medical science has added 10 years to our lives over this period. -- Our economic abundance has made it possible for us to give $110 billion in food and economic aid to less fortunate nations since the end of World War II. — And Americans today have more leisure time for study, recreation and self-improvement than any society in recorded history. We continue to spend about 90 percent of our personal disposable income on ourselves. No other country — no other system -- has achieved so much for its people. Yet these tremendous achievements are the product of the same free-market system that now finds itself under attack. The Free Enterprise System, where does it stand today? For all the talk about excessive profits, it's a system that, on the average, offers a profit incentive of less than five cents on the dollar, a small reward for all the effort and risk-taking that goes into developing and operating a successful business. Nevertheless, it remains the real productive source of our nation's wealth, as well as that of each individual American. Despite the growing influence of government over our lives, this system produces the food we eat, the goods we use, the clothes we wear, the homes we live in. It is the source of five out of every six jobs in America, and it pays the taxes to provide most of the rest of the jobs in our all-too-rapidly expanding public sector. $1 - 5 It is the foundation for defense security for ourselves and most of the Free World. It is the productive base that pays for government spending to aid the elderly, the jobless, the poor, the dependent and the disabled. Indeed, far from being the anti-human caricature painted by political demagogues, the American private sector is in reality the mightiest engine for social progress and individual improvement ever created. In a nutshell, the values we live by — all of the material and spiritual values that make our country unique and make us so proud to be Americans — could not exist without the free enterprise system. Yet many people still fail to understand the crucial link between our economic and our political freedom. Destroy one, and the other will soon disappear. If the prospect of seeing a system like ours go down the drain doesn't worry you, let me call you attention to a recent syndicated column by Charles Bartlett: "More than 10 years ago," Mr. Bartlett said, "Arthur Koestler wrote that a loss of incentive was ailing Britain far more than its loss of empire, and the glummest aspect of today's scene is the bowed spirit of a creative, courageous, ebullient people." If that can happen to a nation that once was one of the proudest bastions of free enterprise, we are in no position to assume that it can't happen here. Every generation hopes it will leave its children a better world. But there is no guarantee of endless prosperity in the United States any more than in any other country. Properity doesn't happen by accident. Tamper with its source and the shock is felt throughout our entire society. And I am convinced that, today, the private sector — indeed, our very society — is enduring the greatest series of shocks and challenges since the 1930s. In my opinion the threat can be traced directly to the explosive growth in government and the ominous concentration of power on the Potomac. Today government spending at all levels accounts for some 38 percent of our gross national product. If recent growth patterns continue, it will reach 6 0 percent before the end of this century. It is my firm belief that any government that more than half of what people earn has robbed economic freedom. And can there be any doubt economic freedoms are destroyed, our personal freedoms will not long survive them? taxes away them of their that when our and political - 6 The head of one of our major corporations says it's no longer just a challenge. In the New York Times' annual economic roundup last January, Richard Riley, the President of Firestone Tire and Rubber Company, was reported to have pronounced free enterprise already dead. I shudder to think how many other business leaders share in that counsel of despair. If they give up, who is left to uphold economic freedom? Yet the same article quoted another executive as saying that unless something is done to halt "the systematic destruction by federal and state government of the ability to make profits, the word 'corporation' will be something to be studied... along with the buggy whip." Now no one would seriously question the role of government in such areas as health and education. But the layer upon layer of regulations that government has piled on all aspects of the private sector, and its proliferation of programs and administrative devices has seriously hobbled the American businessman — especially the small businessman, the very backbone of our free enterprise system. Every business in America, from the little shop around the corner to General Motors is being buried under a growing load of federal paperwork and requirements to the tune of $20 billion a year. The men and women who run this country's businesses turn to many of you in your individual professional capacities. You work with them daily. Both you and they know there is justification for some of the charges lodged against their industries. Most of them recognize that they must put their own houses in order by correcting these faults. And most realize that failure to do so would surely contribute to the further underming of the system they profess to cherish. But survival requires more than internal reform, and that is where you become so important. Even the misinformed consumers who were studied in that survey by Opinion Research Corporation said they had no wish to destroy our free enterprise system. They said they still consider business a progressive force, but they would like to see it "cleaned up." According to the same pollsters -- and here I quote: "The pressure is on coporations to overcome misconceptions about their activities while correcting abuses for which they are responsible." - 7 Advertising, it seems to me, has its work cut out. It's a big job and a critical one. There is an urgent need for leadership in helping to restore the faith of the American people in their economic system, as well as in government, and I don t know of any group of professionals better qualified to do it than you. It's been said that communications is the web holding civilization together — the central nervous system of any organized society. It's also the only means of perpetuating the traditional values handed down by our forefathers which give our civilization stability and continuity. Never has that function been more important than today. It is largely up to you to communicate the great story of freedom — to dispel the confusion that has made free enterprise a dirty word; to let our lawmakers and leaders in government know they cannot let the system that generates our wealth, our strength, and our freedom be destroyed. If ever communication of the highest professional caliber was desperately needed, it is NOW; if ever there was an assignment that challenged your profession to the core, it is this one. Too many in government have too long acted on its assumption that good economics is not good politics. We must show them the error of their way. We must make it politically attractive to support responsible economic policies. Our lawmakers must be convinced that this is what the public wants. For they know better than anyone that the public attitude of today is the public statute of tomorrow. Given the facts about the very real threats to our economic system, I for one have no doubt about what the public's reaction will be. But the public must know them in order to act on them. The people have a right to know how government restrictions are undermining individual and industry initiative. They must learn how our Government's tax and spending policies are sopping up capital needed for investment and the creation of jobs. They must understand that runaway spending and unending deficits fuel inflation — a silent thief that picks every American's pocket, undermines public confidence in the future and turns the desperate to government for still more illusory help. In short, the job before you — if you hope to preserve this system of ours — is to convince both the public and it: leaders in Washington that government just can't go on wring. the neck of that marvelous goose that lays those golden eggs 8 This is not a question of liberals versus conservatives or Democrats versus Republicans; it is a matter of sense against nonsense, freedom against oppression. There is no doubt whatever in my mind that you can do this job. But all of us must be united in our resolve: . To set a high moral and ethical standard by eliminating any practices in our own organizations and operations that may be questionable, . To square practices with principles by refusing government subsidies, quotas, handouts, bailouts or other inducements that offer an illusory, empty promise of security in exchange for sacrifices of freedom, and . To initiate, and, in some cases, redouble our efforts to inform and educate the public about the benefits and realities of the private enterprise system. Given this commitment, you can help to create a real understanding of how the private enterprise system benefits individuals and groups, and of its absolute essentiality to progress, prosperity... and, above all, our freedom. Sages throughout history have placed freedom at the top of all the things we hold sacred. Our founding fathers built a new nation around that concept and, ever since, freedom has been synonymous with American itself. This, ladies and gentlemen, is the crucial theme* that must be communicated broadly and deeply into the national consciousness The American production and distribution system is the very wellspring of our Nation's strength — the source of present abundance and the basis for our hopes of a better future. America can solve all of its pressing problems if it preserves and continues to improve this immensely productive system. And in this process, we'll also be preserving the freedoms that made it all possible. This is one ad campaign none of us can afford to lose. And you, more than anyone else can help us to win it. -0O0- MEMORANDUM TO EDITORS April 2, 1976 FROM: William F. Rhatican "" Special Assistant to the Secretary Public Affairs The Department of the Treasury will reissue the twodollar Federal Reserve Note this April 13. The new bill will be available at all savings and loans banks and Federal Reserve Banks on that date. The front of the bill will feature an engravira of Thomas Jefferson, while the reverse of the bill will carry an engraving of "The Signing of the Declaration of Independence." By April 13, 225,000,000 of the new notes will be printed. Public acceptance and frequent use is the key to success of any currency or coin issuance. While the issuance of the new two-dollar bill is connected with the nation's bicentennial, it is intended to be a permanent and practical part of our currency system and is not intended simply as a commemorative or special issue. Following are suggestions, for your use, of how the reissuance of the two-dollar bill may be utilized in the creation of feature stories or photo features on the subject. Also enclosed is a press kit containing information on the new note, as released by the Treasury Department on November 3, 1975, at a press conference announcing the reissuance. (1) Photo feature of local Federal Reserve Bank disbursing bills on first day of issue. (2) Photo feature of local banks disbursing bills on first day of issue. (3) Photo feature of citizens using the new bill in grocery stores, retail stores, etc. (4) Story on cash-handlers in banks, stores, fastfood chains, etc. and their reactions to the new bill. (5) Story on consumer reactions to new bill. WS-751 - 2 (6) Story on local banks one week after release date on numbers of two-dollar bills moved. (7) Story on local businesses one week after release date on numbers of new bills received. (8) Story on history of new bill. (9) Photo feature on bills being unloaded from armored trucks into banks. (10) Story on currency distribution process. (11) Photo feature with local bank officials and new bill day before issuance. oOo ie Department of the JR[/[$URY ;HINGTON,D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 964-2041 tf March 31, 1976 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE RESULTS OF TREASURY'S 52-WEEK BILL AUCTION Tenders for $3,200 million of 52-week Treasury bills to be dated April 6, 1976, and to mature April 5, 1977, were opened at the Federal Reserve Banks today. The details are as follows: RANGE OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: High Low Average - Price Discount Rate 94.196 94.143 94.155 5.740% 5.793% 5.781% Investment Rate (Equivalent Coupon-Issue Yield) 6.09% 6.14% 6.13% Tenders at the low price were allotted 90%. TOTAL TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS: Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Received $ 27,590,000 4,740,620,000 49,440,000 131,130,000 64,775,000 39,465,000 419,270,000 41,055,000 92,770,000 20,145,000 24,845,000 393,455,000 Accepted $ 17,090,000 2,484,505,000 28,940,000 99,630,000 35,075,000 27,670,000 169,420,000 16,055,000 66,770,000 11,135,000 21,645,000 223,840,000 TOTAL $6,044,560,000 $3,201,775,000 District The $3,201,775,000 of accepted tenders includes $114,920,000 of noncompetitive tenders from the public and $ 920,330,000 of tenders from Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents of foreign and international monetary authorities accepted at the average price. WS-752 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE March 31, 1976 CUSTOMS-ATF EFFORTS CUTTING CARGO THEFT LOSSES, ASSISTANT SECRETARY DAVID MACDONALD REPORTS Inroads against cargo thefts are being made by the U.S. Customs Service and the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms, David Macdonald, Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Enforcement, Operations, and Tariffs, disclosed today. Both agencies, branches of the Treasury Department, participate in the National Cargo Security Program to reduce theft and pilferage from U.S. piers, terminals, and carriers. Speaking at the National Cargo Security Conference in Washington, Macdonald reported progress both in ATF's Interstate Firearms Theft Project, initiated in 1973, and Customs1 ongoing Cargo Security Program. Through the voluntary cooperation of the U.S. trucking industry, ATF has received, to date, 1,794 reports of thefts or losses of firearms from interstate shipments involving approximately 12,250 firearms, Macdonald said. WS-753 -2Criminal action has been brought against 66 defendants/ 29 of whom were trucking company employees. The Customs Program Against Cargo Crime (C-PACC) made 247 seizures and 66 arrests during calendar year 1975, according to Macdonald. Macdonald described Imported Merchandise Quality Control (IMQC), a second facet of Customs' three-part program, which determines the amount of cargo manifested, unladen, and delivered, and develops statistics to pinpoint specific piers, terminals or warehouses, and types of merchandise involved in thefts of cargo being imported into the country under U.S. Customs control. The IMQC program accounted for 64 seizures for manifesting violations between July and November 1975, he said. These violations led to the assessment of nearly $3 million in penalties against carriers. Discrepancies detected between invoiced quantities entered « and quantities actually landed subjected $14,132,830 worth of merchandise to seizure during calendar 1975. Customs' program to educate and inform the cargo industry on crime prevention, Macdonald continued, has conducted more than 500 cargo security surveys of airport and marine terminals, warehouses, foreign-trade zones, and container stations since its inception in 1972. V oOo DepartmentoftheJREMURY OFFICE OF REVENUE SHARING TELEPHONE 634-5248 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20226 0 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE FRIDAY, APRIL 2, 1976 CONTACT: PRISCILLA CRANE (202) 634-5248 The U.S. Treasury Departments Office of Revenue Sharing mailed 37,490 checks for $1.6 billion to units of State and local government today, in the 15th regular payment of general revenue sharing funds made since the program was authorized, in 1972. Today's payment represents the third quarterly payment of funds allocated for Federal fiscal year 1976 (entitlement period six). The fourth and final quarterly checks for the current period will be issued at the end of the first week of July. Including the amount distributed today, the Office of Revenue Sharing has returned $25.1 billion to nearly 39,000 States, counties, cities, towns, townships, Indian tribes and Alaskan native villages since the first checks were mailed in December 1972. A total of $30.2 billion will have been paid these governments when the currently authorized five-year program expires at the end of calendar year 1976. The City of Chicagofs revenue sharing payment was withheld today by the Office of Revenue Sharing, as required by Court order, due to ?. finding of discriminatory employment practices in Chicago's Police Department. Since January 1975, a total of WS-754 49 -2- $113.7 million has been withheld from the City of Chicago. Approximately one million dollars also is being held for 514 local governments which have not reported their planned and actual uses of revenue sharing funds to the Office of Revenue Sharing. Use reports are required by section 121 of Title I of the State and Local Fiscal Assistance Act of 1972 (P.L. 92-512, revenue sharing law). The funds to which these governments are entitled will be paid when the reports have been received and accepted by the Office of Revenue Sharing. The General Revenue Sharing Act will expire December 31, 1976 and final payments under the presently authorized program will be issued during the first week of January 1977. Legislation to continue the program is now being considered by the U. S. Congress. 30 -- ^ Contact: Richard B. Self Extension 8256 March 31, 1976 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY ANNOUNCES PRELIMINARY COUNTERVAILING DUTY DECISION ON BONELESS BEEF IMPORTS FROM EC COUNTRIES Assistant Secretary of the Treasury David R. Macdonald announced today the initiation of investigation and preliminary determination under the Countervailing Duty Law (19 U.S.C. 1303) that bounties or grants are being paid or bestowed on imports of frozen boneless beef from Denmark, The Netherlands, West Germany, Italy, Belgium, Luxembourg, France, United Kingdom and Ireland. Notice to this effect will be published in the Federal Register of April 1, 1976. Interested parties will be given a period of seven days to present views regarding this action. Information before the Treasury indicates that boneless beef is receiving bounties or grants in the form of export restitution payments under Common Agricultural Policy of the European Economic Community. During 1975 imports of frozen boneless beef from EC countries were $3,635,000. * WS-755 * * ft FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Contact: H. J. Hintgen Extension 2427 March 31, 1976 FORMATION OF A TREASURY-FEDERAL RESERVE TASK FORCE ESTABLISHED TO EXPAND THE BOOK-ENTRY PROGRAM OF ISSUING GOVERNMENT SECURITIES Secretary of the Treasury William E. Simon today announced the formation of a Treasury-Federal Reserve Task Force, established to expand the book-entry program of issuing Government securities. The Secretary commented that the expansion of the book-entry program over the past eight years has been most gratifying. At the end of February 1976, the amount of United States Treasury bills, notes and bonds in book-entry form reached a level of $299.1 billion or 79% of the total marketable debt. Initiated in 1968, the book-entry procedure eliminates the issuance of engraved Treasury securities in favor of book-entries maintained at Federal Reserve Banks for the accounts of commercial banks which are members of the Federal Reserve System. The book-entry procedure is currently available to both individuals and institutions acting through such member banks. The book-entry procedure offers substantial benefits to investors, the financial community, and the Treasury. It reduces the burden of paperwork created by the mounting volume of public debt transactions; it protects against loss, theft, and counterfeiting; and it substantially reduces the cost of issuing, storing and delivering Treasury securities. The Treasury-Federal Reserve Task Force will design and adopt an expanded book-entry system with the ultimate objective of completely eliminating the use of definitive securities in new public debt borrowings. During the course of this effort, the views and comments of the financial community and other interested parties will be solicited. oOo WS-756 FOR RELEASE ON DELIVERY Statement of the Honorable William E. Simon Secretary of the Treasury Before The Senate Committee On Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Thursday, April 1, 1976 at 10:00 AM NEW YORK CITY'S FINANCIAL SITUATION AND OUTLOOK Mr. Chairman and Members of this distinguished Committee, I am pleased to provide you with the first formal report to Congress on the administration of the New York City Seasonal Financing Act of 1975. Much has occurred since the New York City financial situation was last before this Committee and later in my remarks today I shall summarize the key events. But at the outset, let me provide you with an overview of the situation as we see it today. We presently have $1.26 billion of loans outstanding, and we expect repayment of the first $270 million on April 20. Repayment is in part dependent upon successful completion of the New York State financing in April and I am pleased to report that it now appears that the financing will be completed. Accordingly, I am satisfied that there exists a reasonable prospect that the entire $1.26 billion will be repaid by June 30. Looking at the balance of the three year period, there is now basis for a degree of cautious optimism. Last week, Mayor Beame responded forcefully to increased estimates of the budget deficit by announcing a comprehensive and detailed program of expenditure cuts designed to achieve a budget surplus by fiscal 1978. Carrying out this plan will not be easy for New York City. Undoubtedly there will be those who will urge that it is impossible, those who will claim that it can only be accomplished over a longer period of time and those who will urge that the price of achievement is severe human hardship. In my experience in government, too often have I witnessed an unfortunate tendency to allow the naysayers, the purveyors of gloom and doom, to stifle sound and meaningful WS-757 - 2 reform. Clearly it would be wrong to adopt a pollyanna attitude and blithely assume that all the problems are solved. But it would be even more wrong to deny New York City, by our words and by our actions, the chance it so clearly has earned by its progress in the past few months. I believe the job can be done and done within the allotted time frame. I believe the job can be done without disrupting essential services. And most importantly, I believe the rewards of doing the job well and properly are potentially enormous. Throughout this entire period, there has been much talk about the question whether New York City will be in a position to reenter the capital markets in 1978. I think itfs fair to say that it has become fashionable in some circles to assume that there exists no chance of reentry for many years. But I would submit that such predictions are based upon an incorrect factual perspective: an assumption that New York City will not achieve the reforms it is on its way to achieving. I look at the situation quite differently. I ask myself whether I, as a private lender, would be willing to lend money to an entity which has -- successfully weathered a severe financial crisis; -- taken, within a 30 month period, firm actions to correct more than a decade's worth of extreme fiscal and financial neglect, including the permanent elimination of an operating budget deficit of $1 billion; -- established a sound and credible accounting and financial reporting mechanism; and -- developed a first rate financially oriented management team. Today these are still objectives. But if they become reality, I believe New York City will be perceived entirely differently by the credit markets in 1978. This is our goal, and it now appears to be the City's goal as well. As I said a moment ago, let's give them the chance to achieve it. I. Background Before outlining New York City's current progress toward fiscal reform, let me take a few moments recalling - 3- &? certain key events that brought us to this point. At the time I first testified before Congress on New York City's financial situation in June 1975, it was on a hopeful note, immediately following the creation by New York State of the Municipal Assistance Corporation. MAC was authorized to borrow $3 billion on New York City's behalf, intercepting City sales and stock transfer tax revenues to fund what it borrowed. Passage of the MAC legislation prevented default in June, and provided, we then believed, ample time through the summer to make the necessary corrections. Our optimism was unwarranted. As June turned into July without meaningful action on the fiscal front, the market began to close to MAC as well. Its July issue sold sluggishly, despite an "A" rating and a 9%% interest rate. Exploratory efforts regarding an August sale indicated that investors would not purchase MAC securities without solid evidence that the City was making meaningful progress toward fiscal and financial reform. On July 17, underwriters informed MAC that its planned August issue could not be marketed unless the City announced meaningful fiscal reform and spending cuts. In late July, the City and MAC announced plans to reduce spending. Wage freezes, pay cuts for higher salaried employees and layoffs were openly discussed. The announcements were accompanied, however, by a public dispute about MAC's authority to intervene in the City's financial affairs. In addition, the City's labor unions denounced all talk of wage freezes and layoffs of municipal employees. It soon became clear that MAC could not raise the $840 million needed to cover New York City's August cash needs by public sales of its securities. Less than $300 million was raised from the public despite a tax-exempt interest rate of 11 percent. The remainder was sold to banks and state employee pension funds. Perhaps more importantly, the August sale marked, as a practical matter, the end of MAC's utility as a viable and independent financing vehicle. In September, New York State took the major step of committing its own credit and resources to the problem. This action was accompanied by a substantial restructuring of the governmental relationship between City and State: The Emergency Financial Control Board was established and given virtually unlimited powers over the fiscal and financial - 4 affairs of New York City. Moreover, the law mandated achievement of a balanced budget in the fiscal year ending June 30, 1978, and a showing of substantial progress toward a balanced budget in fiscal years 1976 and 1977. Under the legislation, New York City was required to submit for Control Board approval a financial plan designed to eliminate the budget deficit by fiscal 1978. The plan as submitted on October 15 predicted a budget deficit of approximately $700 million in fiscal 1978 and proposed to eliminate it in three stages: $200 million in annual expenditure reductions in fiscal 1976 and $262 million per year in both fiscal 1977 and fiscal 1978, thus achieving a small surplus in 1978. As I shall discuss later in my testimony, this deficit estimate proved too low. Much more in the way of expenditure cuts was required. As required by law, the plan also addressed the capital budget. Total capital spending was cut from the approximately $2 billion originally proposed for fiscal 1976 to $1.6 billion in that year, $1.1 billion in fiscal 1977, and $900 million in fiscal 1978. Operating items in the capital budget -nearly $700 million in fiscal 1976 -- were to be reduced at a rate of $50 million per year. As I shall discuss later, according to current projections, this target has already been exceeded. Two issues remained open. First, there was the question of financing the deficits accumulated over the previous decade that resulted in a multibillion dollar overhang of short term debt. And second, in view of the fact that the public credit markets were closed, New York City needed a source of funds to finance operations and the capital program during the 1976-1978 period. In numerous appearances before this Committee and elsewhere, New York City and New York State officials insisted that they had done all they could and demanded that Federal taxpayers provide the funds to eliminate the overhang of short term debt and meet all of the City's financial needs during the 1976-1978 period. But these demands were seriously questioned in Congress and flatly rejected by the Administration. We believed that such deficit financing had to be provided at the State and local level. Finally, in late November, we were presented with a financing plan that met the City's requirements. The package consisted of the following elements: 5^ -- New and increased taxes designed to yield $500 million during the period December 1, 1975 through June 30, 1978. Included were higher taxes on personal income, increased bank, estate and cigarette taxes, an increase in the minimum corporate income tax and extension of the sales tax to cover personal services. -- Increased real estate taxes designed to yield $400 million. -- Investment of $2.5 billion by the City's pension and sinking funds. -- Refunding of $1 billion of maturing City notes into 6 percent City bonds by the City's sinking funds, pension funds and major banks. -- Legislation imposing a moratorium on retirement of the $1.6 billion of New York City notes which were held privately and reducing the interest rate on such notes to 6 percent. In lieu of the moratorium, holders of these notes were given the option of exchanging the notes at face value for ten year MAC bonds, bearing an 8 percent interest rate. Despite the favorable exchange terms,' only $500 million of the notes -- less than a third -- were so exchanged. -- A commitment by New York State to continue to advance $800 million in welfare and education aid in the spring quarter. These steps were designed to result in a balanced cash flow over the course of each fiscal year, eliminating the need for deficit financing. However, because revenue collections are not uniform throughout the year, seasonal loans remained necessary to assure that payrolls Were met, vendors paid and essential services performed in the months in which the City's revenues fell short of its regular monthly expenditures. Accordingly, to assure the continuity of essential services, we asked the Congress for authority to make short-term seasonal cash-flow loans. In early December, Congress passed the New York City Seasonal Financing Act of 1975, providing for up to $2.3 billion in seasonal loans. II. The Seasonal Loan Program The Federal Seasonal Loan Program began almost immediately after passage and approval of PL 94-143. On December 18, 1975, f7 the Federal Government loaned New York City $130 million at an interest rate of 6.92%. As required by the statute, the rate reflected the average rate on Treasury debt of comparable maturity, plus a one percent premium. The loan was secured by a pledge of $180 million in State aid to education, and is scheduled to be repaid on April 20. Credit Agreement On December 30, 1975, after two weeks of extensive negotiations, we entered into a Credit Agreement with New York City, New York State, the Municipal Assistance Corporation and the Emergency Financial Control Board. The Agreement, a copy of which I shall submit for the record, provides a number of specific protections to the Federal Government. The principal requirements are as follows: -- Certification by the Emergency Financial Control Board that loans requested are consistent with the City Financial Plan. -- Agreement by the Mayor, City Comptroller, and Control Board to take all actions necessary to insure that revenues securing repayments are paid into a special repayment account, controlled by the Secretary of the Treasury. -- Power to require the Governor and State Comptroller to prevent disbursement of State-funded repayment revenues, except to the Secretary of the Treasury. -- Submission of detailed analyses on a regular basis to provide the flow of information needed to track and monitor the City's performance and adherence to the Financial Plan and Credit Agreement. -- Right to audit and inspect the books and records of New York City and New York State. Subsequent to the signing of the Credit Agreement, we loaned New York City $240 million on December 31, 1975, $140 million in January, $430 million in February, $250 million on March 1, and $70 million on March 15. All loans are scheduled to be repaid in full during the spring quarter. Two hundred and seventy million dollars mature on April 20 $240 million on May 20, $250 million on June 20, and $500 million on June 30. Let me focus on the security. As I have indicated, each loan is directly secured by a specific revenue due New - 7York City on or before the maturity date of the loan. These encumbrances total $1,944 million and consist of $50 million in City tax levy funds, $382 million in State revenue sharing funds, $602 million in State aid to education and higher education, $110 million in State welfare payments and $800 million of advances of fiscal year 1977 State welfare and education aid. The Agreement provides that these funds cannot be used for any other purposes until our loans are repaid. Arthur Andersen Report Prior to signing the Credit Agreement, I retained Arthur^ Andersen and Company to report to me on the Three-Year Financial Plan and to evaluate New York City's financial reporting and accounting systems. In addition, we asked them to help in the preparation of a financial reporting package. The Report provoked numerous concerns. I wrote to Mayor Beame on January 20 and asked for his comments on six specific questions raised by the Andersen Report. Chairman Proxmire and Senator Stevenson wrote to me on January 23, asking, in light of the Report, to be "apprised of the factors which led (me) to conclude that there is nevertheless a reasonable prospect of repayment by June 30, 1976," and, in addition, for my answers to eight related questions. I am submitting this correspondence for the record. While we must be aware of the warnings in the Andersen Report, it is equally important to understand its limits. It did not comment specifically on the Federal loan program or address the question of whether there was "a reasonable prospect" of timely repayment by New York City of the Federal loans which have been made to date. It is not inconsistent to regard as tenuous the assumptions and forecasts of the City's Three-Year Financial Plan, while at the same time concluding that the City will repay the Federal loans on time. The critical issue involves the aid and advances that New York State is committed to provide New York City in the spring quarter. If it receives the State aid and advances that it is scheduled to receive, New York City's cash flow will be sufficient to repay the Federal loans maturing between now and June 30. As suggested in the Andersen Report, some of the original assumptions and forecasts in the Plan have already been discarded. As predicted by the Andersen report, the estimated deficit today is substantially higher than the October - 8forecast. But, as Mayor Beame's recent proposal makes clear, this does not mean the plan cannot work. If revenues fall short of projected levels, or if expenditures are higher, other revenues will have to be found, or expenditures cut further. In the final analysis, targeted budget balances can be hit and debts repaid on schedule, if there is a will to cut spending. In this regard, it is important to note that New York City has little in the way of alternatives. Congress did not contemplate and PL 94-143 does not allow the seasonal loan program to become a vehicle for financing New York City's deficits. And New York City can no longer finance^ elsewhere the level and diversity of programs and activities they would like to provide but cannot afford. Accordingly, without the prospect of either more Federal loans or funds from other sources, revenues and expenditures must balance by fiscal year 1978. As Mayor Beame recognized last week, quoting Governor Carey's State of the State message, "the days of wine and roses are over." The Mayor's budget reduction proposal is clearly the most significant indication that this important message appears to be getting through. City officials now recognize that major changes in the way the City conducts its affairs have to be made. But before turning to the specifics of Mayor Beame's new budget proposal, let me first outline the progress in other areas. Management There is a new top financial management team on the job. Mayor Beame has two new Deputy Mayors: Kenneth Axelson, on leave from his positions as Senior Vice President of Finance and Administration and Director of the J.C. Penney Company; and John Zuccotti, formerly Chairman of the City Planning Commission. The Mayor also has appointed Donald Kummerfeld, formerly Vice President for Public Finance of the First Boston Corporation, to be the City's Budget Director. Comptroller Goldin has hired Martin Ives, formerly Deputy State Comptroller, to be his Deputy. These are firstrate people. Reporting and Record-Keeping As I observed earlier, the Andersen Report concluded that the City's present financial reporting, record-keeping and controls systems are inadequate. We have been advised - 9- C& by Mayor Beame that "a major effort is underway to correct deficiencies in these systems." In that connection, ToucheRoss and Company and American Management Systems are designing a new accounting and controls system to be in place by July 1, 1977. By July 1 of this year, an interim obligation encumbrance reporting system for all agencies will be in^ operation. This step will help tremendously in controlling unbudgeted spending, which until now has been a serious concern. Monthly Reports The Credit Agreement requires detailed monthly financial reports to allow us to oversee the City's progress toward budgetary balance. These reports also will enable City and Control Board officials and staff to monitor progress, and to spot any variances from the forecasts before they get out of hand. The reporting package will be refined and improved as time passes and we gain experience. Andersen personnel are assisting us in this area, and we also are working closely with City, Control Board and GAO staff to perfect the monitoring formats. Expenses Expenditures are very close to target for fiscal year 1976. Expenses through January were $12 million higher than planned. Spending for social services and education was $28 and $21 million above targeted levels. Debt service, including MAC, was $34 million above forecast. On the other hand, spending on health and hospitals was $38 million below forecast and spending on police protection and higher education was $9 and $10 million below targeted levels. Employment Significant progress has been made in reducing New York City's large payroll. In the first seven months of fiscal year 1976 --'July 1, 1975 to January 31, 1976 -the payroll was reduced by the equivalent of nearly 35,000 full time employees. And when these gains are added to progress made earlier in calendar 1975, the total payroll reduction exceeds 40,000. In my view, trimming a massive public payroll by 15 percent in one year is a truly laudable accomplishment. Capital Budget New York City's most recent monthly forecast shows total capital budget expenditures for fiscal 1976 at - 10 - 6/ $1,597 billion, $3 million below the financial plan. More importantly, the forecast shows a significant acceleration of the removal of operating expenses from the capital budget. The original October plan included $697 million of operating items in the fiscal 1976 capital budget and forecast a $50 million annual reduction in both fiscal 1977 and 1978, reducing the total amount included in the capital budget to $597 million in 1978. The current forecast shows a further reduction of $22 million to $675 million for this fiscal year. For fiscal 1977, the amount eliminated will be almost double that originally planned: a $95 million cut reducing the balance to $580 million. Another $60 million will be cut in 1978, leaving a balance of $520 million, $77 million better than the original projection. The Budget, the Financial Plan and Mayor Beame's New Proposals Let me turn now to the highly complex, but critically important, subject of New York City's budget deficit and how it will be eliminated. In evaluating the current status, let's begin with the forecasts of the October financial plan. The October plan forecast operating deficits of $1.19 billion in fiscal year 1976, $932 million in fiscal year 1977 and $693 million in fiscal 1978, before taking into account the effect of the expenditure reduction program. In other words, New York City predicted that its annual operating deficit would decrease by some $500 million in the normal course of events and thus premised its expenditure reduction plan on the projected 1978 deficit of $693 million. According to the plan, this amount was to be cut from the budget in three steps: $200 million in fiscal 1976, $262 million in fiscal 1977 and $262 million in fiscal 1978. Since the program reductions imposed in 1976 and 1977 would of course also result in savings in 1978, the gross savings in 1978 would be $724 million, generating a $31 million operating surplus. The $500 million "natural" decrease in the deficit was suspect from the start, and data released by New York City in February confirmed the error. The February forecast showed that the deficit to be eliminated in fiscal 1978 -- again 5?oS r e M?? e f f e C t °t a n y s P e n d i n S cu ts -- is $986 million, $293 million more than had been projected in October. - 11 - 62, For clarity, let me emphasize one point. Program cuts imposed in 1976 and 1977 obviously have the effect of reducing the operating deficits in those years. But in evaluating the financial plan, we must keep in mind that the target is a balanced budget in fiscal 1978. Accordingly, all cuts -- irrespective of the year in which they are^ implemented -- should be viewed as reducing the $986 million 1978 deficit. Until Mayor Beame's recent announcement, New York City had not announced the details of any expenditure reductions other than the $200 million announced and imposed in the current fiscal year. Accordingly, the Beame Plan must and does address the remaining 1978 deficit of $786 million. The Beame plan calls for deficit reductions of $379 million in fiscal 1977 and $483 million in fiscal 1978. When added to the $200 million savings anticipated this year, the total savings are $1,062 billion, eliminating the projected fiscal 1978 deficit of $986 million and generating a $76 million surplus. The Beame proposals are incorporated in a detailed document that was submitted to the Control Board on March 26. I am submitting a copy for the Record. FISCAL YEAR 1977 The Beame plan proposes reducing expenditures by $379 million during the fiscal year ending June 30, 1977. Fifty-four million dollars of this reduction would result from proposed increases in Federal and State funding. The remainder would be achieved through the City's own efforts -- nearly all through reduction in the scope and cost of services and programs currently provided. The City would cut $250 million by reducing existing programs. Cuts in current programs and residual savings would reduce the City's expenditures for education and higher education by $84 million. Police expenditures would be cut by $40 million, primarily through personnel reductions and management improvements. Previously identified proposals would reduce payments to the Health and Hospital Corporation by $27 million. These proposals, and other means for reducing the City program expenditures by nearly $250 million, are spelled out in the Mayor's Plan. - 12 The Plan provides considerable detail about how the City plans to save an additional $75 million: reducing nonmandated welfare costs ($30 million), reducing fringe# benefits ($24 million), and an anticipated reduction in power costs ($16 million) are the key measures. Finally, the City plans to receive approximately an^ additional $54 million in Federal and State revenues during FY 1977. State assumption of court and probation costs on April 1, 1977 would save the City $24 million. Increased Federal subsidies for public housing and senior citizens ^ under existing programs is estimated to provide the remaining $30 million. FISCAL YEAR 1978 The largest saving in 1978 ($113 million) would result from phasing out City support for the City University. In addition, the City would expect to achieve $100 million in savings through further program reductions, increased productivity, greater management efficiency, and other measures. The remaining savings would be achieved through several^ measures: withdrawal from the Social Security system ($43 million increased use of community development funds for tax levy purposes ($50 million); and further reductions in nonmandated welfare costs ($30 million). Additional savings would result from further reductions in power costs, and other measures. Finally, the Plan calls for an additional $128 million in deficit reductions during fiscal year 1978 through increased State and Federal funding. Most of this is attributable to proposed assumptions by the State of additional court and correction costs ($103 million). The remaining $25 million would arise through proposed Federal assumptions of certain costs for public housing and senior citizen rent increase exemptions. It should be noted, however, that the plan also includes contingency reductions in City programs to be used in the event the State does not agree to participate. The Mayor submitted his Plan to the Control Board on March 26 with a letter stressing the need for immediate action. The proposal was generally well received and is being intensively reviewed. A full Control Board appraisal is expected by May 1. - 13 Mayor Beame's plan plainly dispels two myths which have permeated the year-long debate on New York City. How often have we heard it said in some quarters that it was simply impossible for New York City to balance its budget within three years? And how often have we heard from others that New York City officials simply were incapable of facing up to the hard decisions and developing sound and credible solutions? Mayor Beame's plan shows that New York City's budget can be balanced -- soundly and credibly -- within the alioted time frame. And in so doing, it reflects a recognition that hard measures must be taken and that detail is required now. It does not attempt to avoid cuts in 1977 by unduly backloading them into 1978. It recognizes that some assumptions are questionable and identifies contingency measures in the event they prove too optimistic. All in all, it reflects an unambiguous desire to deal with, not evade, the problems New York City faces. New York State's Prospects To conclude my status report, let me briefly review the financial situation in New York State. Our analysis indicates that the state's financial condition is fundamentally sound, and that its cash flow later this year will be adequate to repay its borrowings this spring. These factors should enable the State to raise the funds it needs. If it does, New York City will receive the State aid and advances required to repay the Federal loans. In recent months, the State's leaders have directed their efforts toward financing the state agencies, producing a credibly balanced budget and obtaining financing for seasonal needs. The first two jobs now have been done. Substantial progress has been made toward completing the third. With the help of the State's retirement systems, a $2.5 billion financing package was put together, allowing the state agencies to refund short-term notes into bonds and to finance completion of projects now in progress. No further projects will be undertaken. And, most significantly, moral obligation bonds are now prohibited by law. Second, the State legislature adopted what appears to be a credibly balanced budget. Significantly, expenditures in the new budget are only $123 million higher than in the - 14 fiscal year that ended yesterday. Investors are certain to be reassured by this move to hold down spending. As a result, the State now should be able to place the $4 billion of securities it must sell before mid-June. As of now, all but $1.7 billion has been tentatively placed with various State funds and New York City's commercial banks. III. Long-Term Prospects While the recent actions by New York City are clearly a major step toward a solution to New York City's immediate financial crisis, prior to June 1978 unforeseen events will undoubtedly require more in the way of actions and responses. However, while we should not be complacent in dealing with the immediate situation, I believe the time has come to address the longer term outlook as well. Accordingly, I would like to devote the remainder of my time this morning to setting the framework for what I hope will be a comprehensive review of New York City's economic condition and outlook. Let's begin by identifying the objectives. First, and foremost, New York City must recreate an environment in which economic activity can flourish. That in turn requires a rational approach to business taxation and a stable and satisfied labor force. As Mayor Beame and Governor Carey have squarely recognized in recent weeks, New York City's economic future depends upon its ability to attract and retain business investment. My remarks today are only a beginning. In the months and years ahead New York City's leadership must mobilize all elements of society -- the business and financial community, organized labor and the citizenry at large -toward achieving this common goal. Without it, the herculean efforts of the past months will be viewed by future generations as an empty gesture. To put this portion of the discussion into context, let's first explore on a fundamental plane the problems which led New York City into a unique dependency relationship with the Federal Government. New York City is bound by local and State Laws to balance its operating expenses and revenues. Accordingly, the first response to spending pressures was more and higher taxes. Ultimately, the tax base was pushed beyond u - 15 its ability to generate more in the way of revenues and deficit spending, hidden by accounting gimmicks, was the inevitable option. As a consequence, New York City has run operating deficits each year since fiscal year 1961. By fiscal year 1975, these deficits totalled over $4 billion. In addition, more in the way of past deficit spending is forever buried in the capital program. As a first step in a program of long-term economic reform, the spending pressures which precipitated the problem in the first place must be evaluated. If these pressures can be moderated, then we will have made major progress in creating an environment where business can invest and citizens can settle. I. Spending Pressures Unique Services New York City simply provides services that other cities do not provide. The 1975-1976 fiscal year budget, as originally submitted, provides, apart from pension costs, $477 million for higher education, $890 million for City hospitals, $586 for charitable institutions, most of which consist of payments to private hospitals, $90 million for activities of the Health Department, including mobile health units and labs, $71 million for addiction services, $5 million to administer mental health programs, $137 million for various housing activities and $180 million in subsidies for the transit system. State and Federal matching programs account for a major share, but the City's taxpayers must provide $1 billion to fund these activities. Health and Hospitals It must be determined whether New York City residents could receive a satisfactory level of health care if public outlays for this purpose were reduced. The operating expense budget for New York City's Health and Hospitals Corporation in fiscal year 1975-1976 called for total expenditures of $1 billion, including pension costs; $390 milli of this amount comes from city taxes. Of the City tax funds, approximately $165 million is spent for medicaid and other necessary programs. The remaining $225 million reflects administrative costs and delivery of health care services over and above those paid for by third party programs such as medicaid, medicare, workmen's compensation, and private - 16 insurance. Such extra services may be desirable, but it must be asked whether they are affordable under present conditions. Progress clearly has been made in the health area. The Beame plan provides for large cuts by the Health and Hospitals Corporation. However, the possibility of similar cuts by the Health Department and Addiction Services Agency, in the budget for Charitable Institutions, and in mental health programs must also be studied. Particular attention ought to be paid to the possibility of eliminating unnecessary administrative expenses. Transit Re-evaluation of the system of financing mass transit is needed. Transit subsidies now cost New York City's taxpayers $183 million per year. As we look into the future, alternative approaches must be evaluated. An across the board fare increase might hurt the poor; but if that is the concern, why not explore the feasibility of a direct method of helping the poor, while more affluent riders pay their fair share. Another area to explore is the fare structure. Many cities have sucessfully experimented with a fare based on distance travelled, and with off-peak discounts and rushhour premiums. The possibility of these innovations should not be ruled out in advance. Fringe Benefits Everyone would agree that no long range study of New York City's economy can ignore the question of public employee fringe and retirement benefits. In the current fiscal year, employee fringe benefits -- pensions, health insurance, vacations and the like -- will cost New York City's taxpayers more than $2 billion. Based on the 232,000 person full time equivalent payroll at the end of January, this cost averages more ^ than $8,600 per employee. In other words, New York City's taxpayers spend more per employee on fringe benefits than the annual income of the average American • Clearly, ample fringe benefits are essential to an efficient, productive and contented labor force. But given the large costs, and the significant disparity between New York City and other employers, a careful study is certainly J warranted. Before turning to particular benefits, let's review the overall level of benefits for certain key employee groups. The cost of vacations and sick leave are excluded from these L7 - 17 examples because of the difficulties in making precise calculations. But these costs are well above average and would add considerably to the level of disparity. The base pay of a New York City patrolman first grade, including the latest cost-of-living adjustment, now is $16,800. Fringe and retirement benefits, excluding vacations, equal $8,500 or 51% of the base. For a sanitationman, benefits are 39% of the base. For a fireman first grade they are 49%. For a teacher with a masters degree and eight years of service they are 37%. For senior clerks, using their median salary, benefits equal 34% of the base. All of these percentages dwarf the national average of less than 20 percent. Specific Benefits The current costs of certain key fringe benefits are: - Pensions $1,165 million - Social Security 214 million - Health and Hospitalization Insurance 170 million - Union Welfare Funds 107 million - Union Annuity Funds 36 million - Uniform Allowances 19 million - Training Funds 1 million $1,712 billion Social Security New York City has announced that it is withdrawing from the Social Security System as of March 1978. Given my concern for the financial condition of the Social Security System, I cannot be entirely sanguine about this development. However, it may have been inevitable under the circumstances. Ideally, Social Security benefits should be integrated with pension benefits to provide a reasonable level of retirement income. However, accomplishing such integration in New York City is complicated by two factors. First, the New York State Constitution has been interpreted to prohibit reduction in levels of pension benefits already vested. Second, a New York State law enacted at the time state and - 18 local governments were made eligible for Social Security, prohibits taking Social Security benefits into account in collective bargaining regarding pensions. In light of these factors, and given the anticipated savings of nearly $200 million a year, New York City may have had little choice but to withdraw. Annuity Funds New York City now pays $36 million per year into Union Annuity Funds. These funds involve per diem contributions toward the provisions of still more retirement benefits in the form of annuities for certain employee groups.^ The continuation of these payments should be assessed in light of the overall level of retirement benefits employees now receive. Union Welfare Funds The 1976 fiscal year budget provides for direct payments of $107 million to municipal unions. These funds enable the unions to provide both active and retired workers with still more in the way of fringe benefits: free dental care, eyeglasses, counseling and legal services. Certainly these benefits are desirable for the employees. But their value must be weighed against the burden imposed on New York City's taxpayers. Uniforms Uniform allowances and training funds now are budgeted at $19 million per year. Uniform subsidies can, of course, be justified in the cases of policemen and firemen. But the allowances also are given to marine engineers, aqueduct captains, speech and hearing therapists, public health nurses, nurses aides, ambulance technicians, food service supervisors, bridge operators, deckhands, water plant operators, and swimming pool operators. Uniform allowances should be carefully studied to determine whether certain allowances could be eliminated and whether cost savings could be achieved by direct City purchases of essential uniforms. Health Insurance Like many private employers, and certain other cities, New York City pays 100% of the cost of employee health insurance programs. But most cities, and the Federal Government as well, require the employee to pay a fair share of 7o - 19 the cost of providing health care protection for the employee and his family. In light of the current fiscal and financial realities, division of this expense between the City and its employees warrants study. Working Time Additional areas of study include night shift pay provisions, vacation benefits and working hours'. The night shift pay differential is normal -- 10%. But night is defined to cover 16 of every 24 hours. Cutting it down to 8 hours, or even 12 hours, would produce annual savings of approximately $10 and $20 million. Vacation and sick leave costs are quite high. For example, such costs are estimated to exceed $4,000 per year for patrolmen and $3,000 for sanitationmen. These high costs are attributable to the fact that every employee is entitled to 20 vacation days in the first year on the job^ and most have unlimited sick leave privileges. By comparison, new Federal employees receive only 13 days vacation and do not reach 20 days until their fourth year of service. In the case of patrolmen, consideration should be given to reducing the current work day from 8 and 1/2 hours to 8, while increasing the work year by the equivalent number of days -- 18, from 243 to 261. Little is gained by the 8 and 1/2 hour day, while the cost of the 243 day year (versus 261) is nearly 7 and 1/2% of total compensation, or $57 million per year under the current contract. Many other New York City employees now work only 35 hours per week. Others work 37%. In addition, under the "summer hours" program, an even shorter work week-is the norm in some cases. The possibility of moving to a 40 hour week -- thus achieving substantial reductions in costs without a loss in services -- should be examined. Pensions Quite appropriately, many aspects of the pension situation are under careful review at present. I have already noted one step New York City has taken: its planned withdrawal from Social Security. In view of the substantial disparity in net pension benefits between New York City and other large cities, further actions might be considered. - 20 For example, a married New York City employee who retires at age 65, with 25 years of service, receives m net after tax retirement income an amount equal to 125 percent of his disposable income in his last year on the job. In Atlanta the same worker receives 43 percent, Chicago 47 percent, Dallas 52 percent, Los Angeles and Memphis 54 percent. Only Denver and Detroit -- at 91 and 104 percent -- £re even close. * * * Let me reiterate the spirit in which these areas for discussion have been identified. I mean absolutely no criticism of the creative plan Mayor Beame announced last week. I do not mean to suggest that the plan as currently proposed will not accomplish its intended objective. I simply want to make clear that if New York City is to recapture its proper leadership role the plan can not be viewed as defining the outer limits of possible fiscal and financial reform. The Real Estate Tax Base The heart of any great city is its real estate. Not only does it provide the physical facilities for housing and economic activity, but it is also an important financial asset, since real estate taxation is the core of any city's revenue stream. Accordingly, in providing for New York City's future, we cannot avoid a careful look at the impact on the tax base of the long and costly experiment with rent controls and stabilization. Like many of the programs we have discussed today, rent control is a subsidy program and must be evaluated as such. Simply stated, rent control provides a subsidy to a small, largely middle class group, the members of which have occupied apartments for a substantial period of time and are paying rentals which bear no resemblance to current costs. Few poor people benefit: typically, they have arrived too recently or moved too frequently to qualify under the program. But all poor people, indeed all citizens, pay for the subsidy in the form of higher taxes, deterioration of the housing stock and a general decline in the economic well-being of the city. Let's look at some specific costs. Since 1960, 300,000 rental units have been abandoned, and abandonments are now running at an annual rate of 30,000 per year - 21 From 1965 to 1975, New York Cityfs housing stock increased only 2%, and the number of rental units declined 3.8%. The City's supply of rental units is old. Nearly half were built before 1929. More than half are "walk-ups." The aging, decay and decline of New York's housing stock should come as no surprise. Rents have not been allowed to increase as fast as operating costs. Landlords have been compelled to absorb the larger part of the sharp increases in fuel costs. Small wonder that maintenance has been postponed and tax delinquencies and abandonments have increased. Landlords cannot suffer losses endlessly. But landlords are not the only ones to suffer. All New Yorkers suffer in their capacities as taxpayers and users of City services. Everyone suffers because property values and, as a corollary, property taxes, decline. In this regard, total arrears of real estate taxes are estimated to be over $700 million, not including arrears in water rents and sewer rents. Because of the erosion of its real estate tax base, New York City has had to resort to more taxation of business and personal incomes. Such taxes tend to drive employers and higher income workers out of town. The ability to own one's own home -- one of the fundamental goals of our society --is another frequent victim of the rent control system. Applications to restore subdivided brownstones to the original one or two family status can take over a year to process through the rent control bureaucracy and often are turned down, despite the neighborhood improvement which would result. Clearly, the administrators of the complex rent control laws do not recognize the direct relationship between the spread of urban blight and the flight of middle-class families from New York City. In short, rent control is inequitable as well as uneconomic. If it were phased out, the following benefits would accrue: -- the existing housing stock would be better utilized, reducing both over-crowding and under-occupancy; -- new construction starts and rehabilitation work would create thousands of jobs and provide New York City's underemployed youth with a chance to learn a skill; - 22 -- the real estate tax base would stop eroding and start growing; -- the need for public housing projects, which have been a tremendous drain on the City's financial resources, would decline; -- business and personal taxes could be reduced and, as a result, investment, jobs and income earners would return to New York. Welfare and Federal Aid Before concluding, let me turn briefly to the role of the Federal Government, particularly in the welfare area. Mayor Beame's statement of last week reiterated a commonly heard contention: New York City would not have a financial problem if the Federal Government took over welfare. In light of such contentions, it may be useful to outline the large and growing Federal role in financing state and local governments generally. But before I do, let me address specifically the welfare question. First, let me reiterate my conviction that we need a comprehensive re-examination of Federal, State and local relationships in the area of assistance to the disadvantaged. I personally favor the simple, non-bureaucratic approach of income maintenance. But whatever the outcome, we plainly must assure ourselves that current policies are consistent with the needs of the last quarter of the twentieth century. As is clear from my remarks to this point, however, I do not believe a change in welfare policy is itself a solution to New York City's financial problems. To be sure, it is factually correct to say that if the Federal Government assumed all of New York City's welfare obligations, the budget deficit would be substantially reduced since City expenditures would fall by approximately $800 million. But it is equally correct to say that the same effect would be realized if the Federal Government took over responsibilty for schools, for operating the police and fire departments, or by paying for any of the other services which New York City now provides. Accordingly, if the arguments regarding welfare have any validity, they must be accompanied by a credible showing that New York City's welfare problem is somehow unique. And the facts simply don't bear that out. - 23 The percentage of New York City's population which is on welfare is 10-97o, a lower percentage than in Philadelphia, Washington, D.C., St. Louis, Newark, or Baltimore. Median minority family income is $8,108, almost $2000 more than the national average. The proportion of families below the poverty level fell by more than a third in the 1960's and is well below the national average. These facts plainly belie the allegation that New York City is a haven for the poor and, as such, performs a service which Federal'taxpayers must pay for. The real financial problem presented by welfare in New York City is a problem which has its roots at the State level: specifically the division of responsibility between the State Government and local governments for the nonFederal portion of the welfare payment. This Committee is well aware of the burden New York State has traditionally imposed on its local governments: 25 percent of total welfare costs, as opposed to 1 percent in Illinois and 12 percent in California. But this Committee is also aware of the fact that New York State is hardly in a financial position to change this formula now. Let me turn now more generally to the subject of Federal aid. Federal aid to State and local governments has risen steadily during the post-war period, and very rapidly since the late 1960's. In 1950, direct Federal aid to. state and local government was $2.3 billion. Two decades later, in 1970, aid had increased tenfold, reaching $24.4 billion. And this fiscal year the figure will more than double again to $60 billion. These are only direct grants. If other Federal expenditures -in the form of housing subsidies, transfer payments, Federal employment and the like -- are included, the total benefit is more than $100 billion higher. Moreover, the growth in Federal aid to New York City has outpaced even these rapid increases. In fiscal year 1965, direct Federal aid to New York City was $228 million and equalled 67o of the City's general revenues. By the current fiscal year, direct Federal aid had grown to $2,437 billion: 22% of scheduled general revenues. This eleven fold increase in aid is precisely double the nationwide growth rate over the same period. Federal aid has hurt New York City -- and every other city -- in one respect. The bulk of Federal aid is in the form of categorical grants. Of the total $2,437 billion - 24 - being provided to New York City in the year ending June 30, 1976, $2,174 billion, or nearly 90%, consists of categorical grants. These grants are nearly always tied to matching funds being provided from State and local sources. Matching programs provide a clear and dangerous path to over-commitment of local financial resources. There is nothing more important that the Congress can do to help New York City (and other municipalities as well) than to enact the President's proposal to extend revenue sharing, and to embrace the Administration's proposal to substitute functional or block grants for large elements of the present categorical matching grant system. We need to let states and municipalities decide by and for themselves the kinds of activities they want to support, and how much of their own financial resources they want to put into these activities. Conclusion I began my testimony today by suggesting that the situation is much as we expected it to be. The financing package and the Federal seasonal loan program have served the purpose they were designed to serve: they have provided New York City with ample time and ample opportunity to solve its fiscal and financial problems. At this time, no one can predict with complete confidence whether the job will be done. Clearly the challenges are great. But the potential rewards are even greater. New York City has been given the opportunity to restore itself to pre-eminence among our urban centers. And in so doing, its accomplishments can serve as a model for all the cities of the nation -- and for the Federal Government as well. The question is very straightforward: what do the people want from their Government and what are they willing to pay for? Most political units *must answer this question every day. Congress has given New York City two more years to find the answer. It must use this time wisely. oOo F O R IMMEDIATE RELEASE S T A T E M E N T O F WILLIAM M. GOLDSTEIN D E P U T Y ASSISTANT S E C R E T A R Y O F T H E T R E A S U R Y O N H.R. 12224 BEFORE THE WAYS AND MEANS COMMITTEE APRIL 5, 1976, 10:00 a.m. Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: Thank you for inviting m e here today to discuss certain problems that have arisen involving the taxation of transactions on a securities option exchange. One of these exchanges, the Chicago Board Options Exchange, has obtained a private ruling letter from the Internal Revenue Service which has received extensive publicity in the securities field and has been relied upon by some to promote a plan designed to convert ordinary income into capital gains. H.R. 12224, which is before you today, seeks to terminate this potential tax advantage. The Treasury supports the bill, but we would like to suggest certain changes which, we believe, will more effectively accomplish the purposes of the legislation. BACKGROUND The present rules governing the tax consequences of option transactions have been developed over the years through a series of Internal Revenue Service rulings, which have been issued in the absence of specific provisions in the Internal Revenue Code. Let m e note in passing that there are proposals to codify the Service rulings, with some modifications. Such proposals, put forward by the American Bar Association, seem worthy of further study and the Committee may want to consider them at a later date. WS-758 - 2As applied to a taxpayer who sells an option in direct dealings with a purchaser ( as distinguished from an exchange transaction), the rules are reasonably clear and produce results generally accepted as fair. The seller's receipt of the premium for writing the option does not result in the recognition of income until either the option expires unexercised, the option is terminated through reacquisition by the option writer, or the option is exercised. If the option expires unexercised, the amount of the premium received upon writing the option constitutes ordinary income. If the option is exercised, the premium is considered part of the proceeds from the sale of the underlying securities in the case of a call option and is applied as a reduction in the basis of the purchased securities in the case of a put option. While there is some controversy regarding the proper tax result when the option is reacquired by the writer, such transactions occur infrequently. The distinguishing feature of the options exchanges, which at present deal only in call options, is that the purchaser of an option does not look to the actual writer of the call for delivery of the securities named in the option. Instead, an option clearing corporation is the primary obligor. Since there is no obligation on the part of the writer to the purchaser of the option and since the options exchanges have created secondary markets in options, a writer of an option in an exchange transaction can terminate his obligation merely by purchasing on the exchange an option having the same teriris as the option he had previously written. This so-called "closing transaction1' essentially permits the writer to cancel his option contract. If a call is written at the prevailing market price and the market rises, the purchaser of the call will exercise the option in order to realize the spread between the option price and the higher market price. In the case of a face to face option (that is, one not traded on an options exchange), the writer of the option adds the proceeds from the sale and the option premium in determining his capital gain or loss on the transaction. In the case of an option traded on an options exchange, the option writer instead engages in a closing transaction in which there is no sale or exchange of securities. Thus, the creation of options exchanges presented a novel situation for which there were no established tax rules. <ir -3The Service's letter ruling hplds, in part, that where the writer of an option enters into a closing transaction he realizes ordinary income or loss based upon the difference between the amount of premium received and the amount paid to repurchase the option. The rationale for treating income from the lapse or termination of an option as ordinary income is that in writing an option the writer merely has an obligation to perform in the event that the holder exercises the option. He does not have a capital asset-even though he m a y own stock with which he m a y satisfy his contractual obligation if the option is exercised. Consequently, it was held that a closing transaction does not constitute a sale or exchange and does not give rise to capital gain or loss. POTENTIAL FOR TAX ABUSE As an interpretation of the existing rules, we believe the letter ruling reached a correct result. Nevertheless, because the exchange separates the option from the interest in the underlying stock, an opportunity has been created for writers of calls to adopts investment strategies designed to create capital gains on one side of their investment position and orjdinary loss on the other. Thus,, in the case cited by Congressman Mikva wh?n introducing H. R. 12720, an investor m a y save tax by following this procedure: (1) The investor purch^SQ^ 100 shares of IBM stock at $200 and at the same time writes an IRM c^U for 100 shares at $200 for a premiumof $2, 500. (2) After six months, -when IBM goes up to $250, he seUs the IBM stock and realizes a $5, OOOvlong-term capital gain and closes out the IBM call at a cost of45, 000. In economic terms, the consequence of these transactions is a net gain of $2, 500, arising from the $5, 000 gain realized from the sale of stock less the $2, 500 ordinary loss from the dealings in the option. However, for tax purposes, these transactions can result in a "wash" and the investor will-not pay any tax at all on the gain. Assuming a taxpayer with a marginal tax rate of 50 percent, the tax on the $5,000 capital gain will be $1, 250 and the tax saving from the $2, 500 ordinary loss will also be $1, 25Q* The net tax, resulting from offsetting the long-term capital gain against the ordinary loss is thus zero. -4Actually, there are a number of variations on this theme. For example, similar advantages are available in cases where investors have useless capital loss carryovers which they want to convert into useable ordinary losses. W e also understand that additional opportunities for manipulation will arise when the national options exchanges begin dealing in puts at some date in the future. It should be noted, however, that there is a substantial tax detriment to the investor who follows the above-described plan in the event the market goes down and he suffers an economic loss. For example, if the value of the I B M stock in the previous example had declined to $150, the investor would have sustained a $5, 000 capital loss if he had sold his stock and a $2, 500 ordinary gain from the lapse of his option. While in economic terms he would have sustained a$2, 500 out-of-pocket loss, for tax purposes he will offset only $2, 000 of his capital loss against $1, 000 of ordinary income, carry over a capital loss of $3, 000 to the next taxable year and pay tax on $1, 500 of ordinary income. ANALYSIS O F BILL H. R. 12224 would amend section 1234 of the Code to provide that gain or loss from any closing transaction shall be treated as a shortterm capital gain or loss. A closing transaction is defined as a purchase of a put or call in stock or securities or commodities to terminate, in whole or in part, the taxpayerTs obligation under the existing put or call in substantially identical stock or securities or commodities. Under the proposed statutory change, the tax system would assume a neutral stance with respect to these transactions. That is, our investor m the example cited will now have a short-term capital loss ($2, 500) from the closing transaction which will reduce his long-term capital gain ($5, 000) from the sale of stock and he will pay a tax on a $2, 500 long-term capital gain. On the other hand, in the event the value of the investor's stock decreases, and he enters a closing transaction to terminate his interest in the option, he will be able to offset his $2, 500 short-term capital gain from the writing of the option against his longerm capital loss of $5, 000 from the sale of stock. Since the tax law limits the offset of capital losses against ordinary income to $1, 000 appTy S h6 ^ haVe-a $2' 0°° ^g-term capital loss to apply against $1, 000 m ordinary income and a $500 long-term capital ieutrSit%^T"?VeKi H R 12:224 t0 d6Slrable ^^^ ' and taxable f o r that ^ear- We belleve such tax r ^ s o n w e support enactment of fd - 5You will note, however, that in order to obtain the benefit of this new provision in the situation where the market falls, the investor must go through the formality and expense of a closing transaction. This is in contrast to the normal procedure where the value of stock decreases; in such event, the holder of a call will allow the option to lapse and the seller will retain the premium. But H. R. 12224, as drafted, does not extend to lapsed options. Therefore, we suggest that it would be desirable to amend the bill so that it applies not only to closing transactions but also to lapses of options. Failure to make this change would give rise to discrimination between those investors who are sophisticated enough to enter into a closing transaction and those who, through ignorance of the tax laws or otherwise, permit their options to lapse. W e recommend that the income realized upon the lapse of an option be treated as short-term capital gain in all events. The proposed new rules will require some elaboration, either in the bill or in the Committee report. The Internal Revenue Service has ruled in Rev. Rul. 66-47, 1966-1 C.B. 149, that premium income received by a tax exempt organization from the writing of "covered" call options that is, call options respecting stock owned by the organization is subject to unrelated business income tax where the options lapse without being exercised and the writing of options is regularly carried on by the organization. The Service has also ruled in Rev. Rul. 63-183, 1963-2 C.B. 285, that amounts derived by a regulated investment company from writing put and call options which are not exercised do not constitute "gains from the sale or other disposition of stock or securities" within the meaning of section 851(b) (2) of the Code. Accordingly, a corporation will not qualify as a regulated investment company for income tax purposes if more than 10 percent of its gross income consists of such premium income. In each ruling the Service has taken the position that the premium received by the writer upon the lapse of the option is not associated with, and has no relevance in, fixing the amount of gain or loss from the disposition of any particular stock or securities. Nor, in the view of the Service, can the premium be viewed as gain from the sale or other disposition of the option itself. This is because the writer is viewed as being compensated for assuming an obligation and the income he receives upon the lapse of the obligation is in no way attributable to a sale or other disposition. - 6If the bill is amended as we propose, it might be interpreted as reversing the principle enunciated in these rulings since gain or loss from lapsed options and closing transactions will now be treated as gain or loss from the sale or exchange of a capital asset. Such an interpretation, if applied to all options, might encourage undesirable speculative activities on the part of exempt organizations and regulated investment companies. With respect to exempt organizations, this Committee, after separately considering the question, has decided to favorably report H. R. 3 052. That bill, which has the Treasury Departments support, would exempt from the unrelated business income tax, income of exempt organizations from the writing of covered call options. An exempt organization which writes covered call options is writing options as an incidence of its investment activities in order to maximize the yield from its securities portfolio, and exemption from the unrelated business income tax is appropriate. Different questions would be raised respecting the proper sphere of exempt organization activities if the present bill were to be interpreted as also exempting income from the writing of naked options, that is, where the exempt organization does not own the underlying stock. Similar considerations may apply in the case of regulated investment companies. W e believe this question should be further studied and that the views of industry representatives and the Securities and Exchange Commission should be obtained to determine what is the appropriate policy to follow in this area. Accordingly, we recommend that it be made clear that the present legislation does not affect the application of the unrelated business income tax to exempt organizations and section 851 of the Code to regulated investment companies, leaving the special problems of such organizations to be resolved by specific legislation tailored to meet their special circumstances. Another modification which we recommend is to add to the bill a provision excluding gains or losses realized by traders dealing in options in the ordinary course of their trade or business from short-term capital gam or loss treatment. A similar provision is contained in present-law section 1234(c)(2). ^ We would also like to draw the Committee's attention to the impact this provision would have on foreign investment in option markets. At present there is some uncertainty regarding the tax treatment of nonresident aliens and foreign corporations who desire to engage in option writing transactions. The uncertainty, involves first, the question whether - 7the foreign investor will be considered engaged in a trade or business in the United States and, second, whether the United States withholding taxes apply to the receipt by a foreign investor of premium income. The Foreign Investors Tax Act of 1966 was enacted to stimulate investment by foreign investors in the United States securities markets. However, neither section 864(b)(2)(A)(ii) of the Code, which provides that a foreign investor engaged in "trading in stocks or securities for the taxpayers own account" will not be deemed to be engaged in a United States trade or business, nor the Treasury regulations under that provision are clear that the writing of options constitutes "trading in stocks or securities". Under the Code, foreign investors generally are subject to withholding tax on their gross income which is "fixed or determinable annual or periodical gains, profits, and income", unless such income is "effectively connected" with a United States trade or business, in which case it is generally subject to regular United States tax. If a call option written by a foreign investor is exercised, there is no withholding tax owed since the premium is deemed to be part of the gain realized on the underlying stock and there is no witholding tax imposed upon the sale or exchange of property by a foreign investor. It is not clear under present law whether ordinary gain or loss realized upon the lapse of an option or in a closing transaction will receive similar treatment. Under H. R. 12224, however, gain or loss arising from a closing transaction (or upon a lapse of an option if the Committee decides to so amend the bill) will be treated as gain or loss from the sale or exchange of a capital asset. Such treatment should make it clear that premium income is not subject to United States withholding tax. W e believe that this is the appropriate result. It is consistent with the policy adopted by Congress in the Foreign Investors Tax Act of 1966 and with the Administration's policy to encourage foreign investors to trade in the United States securities markets. Finally, we note that the bill contains a March 1, 1976, effective date. W e suggest that the bill, as amended, apply only to options written after the date of the Committee's decision on the bill. Adoption of an earlier effective date m a y be unfair to taxpayers who entered into transactions in reliance upon existing law and in ignorance of the introduction of H. R. 12224. - 8- CONCLUSION In conclusion, the Treasury supports H. R. 12224 and recommends that the Committee adopt the modifications proposed relating to the lapse of options, the exclusion of tax-exempt organizations and regulated investment companies from the application of the bill's provisions, and the effective date rule. While we feel that the Committee should also consider the codification of all consequences of option transactions, as they apply to both investors and regulated investment companies, we do not think that action upon H. R. 12224 should be delayed pending the consideration of such matters. o O o FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE REMARKS OF THE HONORABLE WILLIAM E. SIMON SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE COLBY INSTITUTE FOR MANAGEMENT COLBY COLLEGE WATERVILLE, MAINE APRIL 2, 1976 Thank you, Governor Jim Longley, President and Mrs. Robert Strider, Ben Haug, and ladies and gentlemen: It is indeed a pleasure to be your guest on this distinguished campus and in a corner of the country where individualism, independence and self-reliance are not just handy catchwords, but a way of life -- today no less than in the early years of your rugged, vital state. I am honored to be introduced by your outstanding Governor, my good friend Jim Longley- Jim offered to put me up for the night, just so long as I reimburse the State of Maine for any heat electricity, or running water that I may use while staying at the Executive Mansion. Well, I'm perfectly willing to go along with any reasonable economy drive because I believe in saving the taxpayers money, too — and I plan to congratulate him on his many efforts to reduce spending as we hitchhike back to Augusta after the banquet tonight. It is also a special pleasure to be included in this excellent program sponsored by Colby College. I am impressed not only by the scope of your deliberations but by their strong accent on long-range solutions rather than just short-range problems. Fred Webber -- one of your workshop leaders and an outstanding Assistant Secretary of the Treasury until recently -can vouch for the fact that if you were holding these sessions in Washington, you would be committing one of the cardinal sins of that city: asking people to look beyond November in an election year. And yet the need for long-term vision in this country has never been greater, and we will all benefit from these efforts by you leaders in business and the professions to meet the challenge — in the words of your conference theme -of a post-recession economy. WS-759 -2Finally, it is heartening to see a joining of the academic and business communities in this endeavor. Too often, our society tends to split up into neat and selfcontained compartments rather than combining forces to work toward common goals. The Colby Institute for Management, with a generation of experience and service behind it, sets an example that should be emulated throughout the nation. I intend to follow your lead tonight and also look beyond the recession, .but first Ifd like to take a moment to itemize our progress in recovering from this most severe economic slowdown since World War II. The decisions we have had to make in the past year or so, I believe, are instructive as we chart our course for the future. Economists generally agree that the recession hit bottom last April, that the recovery began sooner than expected, and that it has been stronger than expected. Only a few months ago, we began to see light at the end of the tunnel. Today, we are nearly out of the tunnel and on our way to recovering a full head of steam. For example: — 1975 opened with inflation raging at nearly 13 percent. That rate has been cut to approximately 6 percent, and February's consumer price index showed only a microscopic rise, the smallest in over four years. There will be ups and downs, but I believe the decline in inflation will be steady, overall. — Last spring, unemployment had reached nearly 9 percent. It has now dropped to 7. 5 percent and our forecasts indicate a continuing downward trend — perhaps falling below 7 percent by the end of the year. — Other signs point to an economy that is regaining its vitality: Real GNP, the stock market, personal income, industrial output, housing starts, retail sales — all are registering gains and this reflects a rising public confidence about the economy that contrasts sharply with the deep pessimism reported by polltakers only a few months ago. But although we made considerable headway in 197 5 and we are making even more in 1976, this is no time for complacency. Inflation is not yet under control and the jobless rate is still too high. Right here in Waterville, unemployment is running at, or a little above, the national average — and this translates into hardship and suffering for many families. Many other areas of Maine are far above that average and we will not be content until the rising vigor of the economy nationally is reflected in communities hit by long-term unemployment. e^ -3That is why the Administration is urging Congress to adhere to a broad-gauged plan to further nurture and stimulate the natural forces of growth in our private enterprise economy. An essential element of this plan is to put the brakes on the dizzying momentum of Federal spending — to slow the rate of increase to about 5 percent this fiscal year, contrasted with 40 percent the past two fiscal years. This will allow us to continue to make progress on inflation and, at the same time, will make additional tax cuts possible for businesses and individuals and set the stage for a balanced budget within three years. Further, the President has urged tax measures designed to stimulate job creation generally, encourage the building of sorely-needed electric power facilities, and increase construction of plant and equipment in areas where unemployment has topped 7 percent, which includes virtually every major job market in Maine and many other parts of New England. Finally, the Administration has proposed elimination of the unfair double taxation of dividends that retards capital formation. This is the only major proposal I know about that seeks to correct the imbalance between corporate debt and equity. As you well know, we must redress this imbalance to allow the financial markets to channel society's savings more efficiently to the more promising investment opportunities. And, as you also know, improving our lagging capital investment picture is absolutely essential to meet our long-term goals of more jobs, higher incomes, greater productivity, lower inflation and sustained growth. These steps and the balanced program we have pursued thus far are designed to fight inflation and unemployment simultaneously and strengthen the private sector of our economy. We firmly believe that this course is working, that it is right for the nation, and that it is leading us back to the position of robust growth and expanding opportunities. And yet you will hear a mournful chorus of rhetoric out of Washington, especially as the election campaign draws closer, claiming that we aren't spending enough, aren't pressing hard enough, aren't pushing enough panic buttons to solve our problems. Despite our steady gains, many of these critics assume there must be a basic flaw in the system and they cast about for other remedies: governmental control over economic planning — guaranteed jobs for everybody at government expense — a new round of wage and price controls — and other encroachments on the market place which were discussed in one of your workshops this afternoon. -4Frankly, I believe that many of these critics suffer from what Mark Twain called "loyalty to petrified opinions." They fail to see that efforts to strengthen the public sector at the expense of the private sector are a large part of the problem, not part of the solution. They refuse to recognize that the same excessive government fiscal, monetary and regulatory policies they call for today have led to abuse of our economy and helped trigger, first, a storm of inflation in the early 1970s and, second, the severe recession from which we are now recovering. And they fail to comprehend a gathering mood in this country against the further expansion of big government. They suffer from the economic variety of Potomac Fever — the delusion that all economic cures must originate in Washington with the Federal government. As President Eisenhower once remarked> "there are a number of things wrong with Washington, and one of them is that everybody has been too long away from home." However, public disenchantment with big government does not mean that all Americans are necessarily immune from the superficial appeal of quick-fix government programs whose short-term benefits are well publicized but whose long-term impact in terms of inflation and economic stagnation is carefully masked from view. It may seem strange, and it is certainly ironic, but at a time when the vast majority of Americans are enjoying such abundance and opportunity, too many of us have lost sight of the principles and institutions that have made our way of life possible. This is certainly not true in many countries abroad. I was reminded of this fact during my recent two-week trip to the Middle East. Israel and the Arab states have sharp differences, of course. But on one thing they are agreed. They all have a profound admiration for the achievements and performance of the American economy. The leaders of the Middle East believe, as I do, that the United States has developed the most dynamic and efficient economic system ever devised. Largely because of this, they see the United States as the major source of strength and stability in today's unstable world. But here in the United States, somewhere along the line there seems to have been a dangerous breakdown in communication. Your fellow New Englander, Secretary of Commerce Elliot Richardson, put it succinctly the other day when he said that S d e s i t e t h e fa t without producers ^l9^St the tu" and other. consumers P in thisct country that neither tend tocan viewthrive each other rv -5Too many Americans — especially those born into an affluent society which seemed to have no beginning or end, no cause and no effect — have lost sight of, or have never been taught, the actual dynamics of prosperity in a free society. Today, when nearly everybody takes the fruits of the free enterprise system for granted — the abundance, the opportunities, the freedom of choice, and the chance for learning, travel and general upward mobility — not everyone understands the basic economic facts of life that have produced these benefits. Because of this, I believe that the time is ripe for an economic heart-to-heart talk with the American people. And I believe that the men and women who make up our free enterprise economy — in business, in the professions, in the factories — must do even more than they are now if such a national dialogue is to succeed. What is at stake is not simply the future of this or that company, or even this or that industry. At stake is the survival of the private sector, and, because of the interlocked nature of our freedoms, the survival of the individual liberties which can never long endure after the collapse of a society's free enterprise system. This problem of communications exists, as I have had ample opportunity to observe in my job as Secretary of the Treasury, and it is getting worse, not better. It is a question of both policy and perception, for a faulty view or understanding of the economy makes faulty economic policymaking almost inevitable. Part of the problem is a matter of image. Frequently, those who support bigger government spending and more government domination of the private sector are perceived as concerned and socially progressive individuals who "care", who are champions of the persecuted underdog. And I don't have to remind those of you on the firing line that people who warn, on the other hand, that the government should not and cannot effectively solve every new problem that comes down the pike, and who advocate instead the strengthening of the free enterprise system, are seen as either outdated ideologues or a new generation of economic exploiters — indifferent to human suffering and only out to make a fast buck for themselves or their companies. -6This stereotype wouldn't matter if it were not so misleading — so blatantly phoney. My experience in Washington has convinced me that almost every man and woman in a position of high public trust cares deeply about the wellbeing of our citizens, especially those who are impoverished or face disadvantages because of artificial barriers of sex or color or national origin. The central question if not who cares the most — we all care. It is rather the method we choose to broaden prosperity, reduce human hardship and meet our other national goals without sacrificing our freedoms or destroying the most successful economic system that man has ever known. We can talk about the free enterprise system until we are blue in the face, but it still won't mean much to those who do not understand what it really menas and what makes it work. It's like trying to discuss the birds and the bees sensibly with somebody who unshakable in his belief that babies are delivered by the stork. People who have never seen what happens to countries with state-controlled economies simply have no standard for comparison, They have never witnessed the long lines of workers and housewives who have to cue up for hours to buy a poor selection of over-prices food and state-manufactured clothing and merchandise. They don't realize what a miracle of variety, economy and productive competition an average shopping center found anywhere in the U.S. would represent to most of the world's people. They have never asked themselves why a country like the Soviet Union, with some of the richest grain land in the world but with an agricultural system owned and operated by the government — cannot even feed its own people without turning to American farmers who own their own land, make their own decisions and feed not only their fellow Americans but millions of others as well. They have never lived in countries where the seemingly idealistic dream of a society without private property or profits has turned into a nightmare reality: where the state and the state alone dictates what kind of education you will receive, whether or not you will be allowed to travel, what kind of job you can have, what you will be paid, what you can buy with your own earnings, where you will live and, ultimately. where you will be buried. 76 -7The truth is that regimented societies inflict upon their citizens not only a political regime that reduces the individual, in Churchill's phrase, to a mere fraction of the state, they also inflict an economic regime that smothers enterprise and breeds inefficiency. Let's face it: Without the individual profit motive, people simply do not work as hard, produce as much, or bother to come up with as many fresh ideas and new improvements. Whether we like it or not, this is an immutable law of human nature. Unfortunately, like clean air, economic freedom is something most people don't really appreciate until it begins to run out — and then it is often too late. So I submit to you tonight that if America continues down the road toward greater governmental spending and greater governmental control over our economy and over our lives — a road that we have been traveling for several decades — then all of us will be condemned to an economy riddled by chronic inflation and incurable unemployment and those who come after us will be robbed of their personal and economic freedoms. That is really what is at issue underneath the semantics and the misleading labels. Let me be specific about how our private enterprise economy has been undermined by excessive government policies. Just before the New Deal, government spending at all levels — Federal, State and Local — was about 10 percent of our total national output. Today, because budgets have mushroomed, government accounts for almost 4 0% of the GNP, and if recent trends prevail, the government's share of the total economy will reach 60 percent before the end of this century. Let's put present spending in dollar signs. Today, and every day during this fiscal year, the Federal Government will spend $1 billion. And this week and every week this fiscal year it will go into debt an additional $1 billion. Since 1962, when the federal budget hit the $100 billion mark, it has almost quadrupled, and has been in the red for all but one of those years. The interest on the federal debt alone by the end of fiscal 1976 will have climbed to $36 billion. The amount in fiscal 1977 will reach $45 billion. That's more than we spent in any one year on the war in Vietnam. It is almost half of what we will be spending on total national defense next year. And it is money, I'm sure you will agree, that could better be spent on improvements in health care, public transportation, rebuilding our cities or any of a dozen other national needs. -8As business and professional people you know that it spells disaster to borrow and spend more than you take in for too long. You know that heavy government borrowing has fueled inflation and driven up interest rates so that strains have developed in money and capital markets. Many of you may have felt these strains as you have tried to get loans to expand your businesses and create new jobs, or even to buy a new home without paying an arm and a leg in mortgage interest. Throughout the nation, we see signs that taxpayers, who have so long borne the burden of heavy government spending, are close to open rebellion. In the 1974 elections, for example, voters across the country turned down more than 75 percent of all bond issues on the ballot. And eight state legislatures, fed up with rising national debt, have now adopted resolutions calling for a constitutional amendment requiring a balanced national budget. As one state representative put it: "I don't want the government spending my grandchildren into a poorhouse." So our major concern as we work our way to a sound and durable recovery is to avoid another dose of the same poison which brought on the recession in the first place: rampant inflation fed by runaway federal spending. But spending isn't the whole problem. As government spending has grown by leaps and bounds, so too have government controls, regulation and red tape. Did you realize that government regulatory agencies, with an army of 100,000 on the payroll, exercise direct control over 10 percent of everything bought and sold in the United States and indirect control over almost every other sector of the private economy? The avalanche of paperwork required by this regulatory network is a tremendous burden on small and big businesses alike. Business spends an incredible $18 billion a year just to fill out government forms. General Motors recently calculated that it spent more than $1.3 billion in 1974 just to comply with existing government regulations or get ready for new ones. This is more than it cost to run the entire Federal Government for all of the first 75 years of our historyand that includes the Louisiana Purchase. Some of these regulations are, of course, necessary and in the public interest. But many more of them are counterproductive, wasteful, and obsolete. And as President Ford has repeatedly stated, those regulations and regulatory bodies that no longer serve a useful purpose should be abolished, before we strangle in our own red tape. 7TI -9Speaking in 1865, Lincoln said, "I have faith in the people... the danger is in their being misled. Let them know the truth and the country is safe." What I have been trying to emphasize here tonight is the need to hammer home the truth — the economic facts of life — to the American people, including the young Americans who must lead us in the years ahead. Much of that task is, and should be, up to individuals like yourselves who are most knowledgeable in the everyday practices and strengths of a free economy. It is a story that cannot be vividly portrayed on television like the war in Vietnam or the urban riots of the sixties. Yet it is the one thing that affects every aspect of our lives. And I am convinced that the American public has not irrevocably closed its ears to this story. The polls tell us that businessmen themselves rank low in public confidence, and yet the principles of private enterprise rank high. A majority of Americans say they want more regulation of businesses, and yet business is the most popular major field of study among college students -- above education, science and the humanities. We can strike a responsive chord in telling this story to the American people if we tell it in human, comprehensible terms. For when we talk about our free enterprise economy we are talking about food on the table, goods on the shelves and services at the counter. We are talking about medical breakthroughs that have added 10 years to our lives in the past generation. We are talking about labor-saving devices that have freed millions of women for productive careers and the pursuit of self-enlightment. We are talking about five out of every six jobs in America and wages and benefits that stagger the imagination of the rest of the world. We are talking about a productive base that pays for government support of the elderly, the jobless, the poor, the dependent and the disabled. And we are talking about basic freedoms; to choose a career, to choose what and where we buy, to choose where and how we live, and yes, to swim against the tide -as did Fulton and Ford and Edison — things you could never do living in the gray shadow of conformity under a regimented society. And finally, those who are part of our private enterprise economy have the crucial responsibility of making sure the business community keeps its own house in order. -10American business is being rocked by news of illegal corporate political contributions, payments of millions of dollars in bribes to help influence business decisions in foreign countries, and other questionable or downright illegal practices that have rightly shocked the majority of our citizens. Congressional committees have reacted strongly and many businessmen are calling for a voluntary business code of ethics and internal reforms. I would applaud this mood of reexamination that is beginning to reveal itself in the business community. After all, no one has more to lose from corrupt practices than the vast majority of honest businessmen, and no one has more to gain from wiping out corporate corruption before it endangers the whole free enterprise structure, which would be a tragedy for each and every citizen. And I would respectfully suggest that this reexamination be extended to include other practices that are perhaps less dramatic but which also create a gap between business principles and performance — taking subsidies and bailouts and other forms of government intervention or protection — resist regulatory reform solely to avoid competition in the marketplace — putting high quantity above high quality in the manufacture of products and misrepresentation above truth in selling them to the public. Once people begin to roll all these abuses together in their minds it can mushroom into a general, unreasoning indictment of the system itself. I would urge all of you who are part of our mighty private sector — the real source of the vitality of our economy and the vitality of our society — to place your convictions and your energies in the service of this cause of improving, and telling the facts about, our private enterprise system. In this Bicentennial year, if we keep alive the spirit that infuses our national character — the spirit of free enterprise that each of you personifies — then we can be certain that it will endure for another 200 years and more. But, if we let free enterprise wither away, we may be sure that our other freedoms 0O0 and individual liberties will expire as well. We must not, we will not, allow this to happen. N \e Department of theTR[/[$URY VJ JHINGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 964-2041 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE April 1, 1976 The Treasury Department today unveiled the official portrait of former Secretary of the Treasury, John B. Connally. Governor Connally served as the 61st Secretary from February 11, 1971 to June 12, 1972. Addressing Governor Connally and other officials, Secretary of the Treasury William E. Simon cited Governor Connally's "deep human resources, his sense of adventure and commitment, and his amazing capabilities that perhaps no painting — however great — can fully capture." The portrait was painted by Everett Raymond Kinstler one of America's outstanding portrait artists. Mr. Kinstler also painted the official portraits of former Treasury Secretaries David Kennedy and George Shultz. Governor Connally is also past recipient of the Alexander Hamilton Award, the highest honor the Treasury Department bestows. oOo WS-760 April 2, 1976 NOTE: Attached is a preliminary analysis on "Tax Treatment of Allowances Paid to U. S. Government Employees," prepared by the Office of International Tax Affairs of the Treasury Department, for consideration by the House Ways and Means Committee Task Force on the Taxation of Foreign Income. The analysis does not represent an Administration position and does not contain recommendations. 0O0 WS-761 Tax Treatment of Allowances Paid to U.S. Government Employees Department of the Treasury April 1976 PREFACE Ihis preliminary analysis was prepared by Marcia-Field and Brian Gregg of the Office of International Tax Affairs for consideration by the House Ways and Means Committee Task Force on the f axation .pf Foreign Income. The analysis does not represent an Administration position and does not contain recomnendations. tr Table of Contents I. ISSUE II. PRESENT LAW 1. Explanation 2. Legislative history III. ANALYSIS 1. Scope of the exclusion 2. Justification for the exclusion a. Personal benefit vs. reimbursed costs b. Costs must be borne by employers c. Tax exemption vs. higher pay d. Practical considerations: exemption vs. higher pay e. Distinguishing overseas government employees from other employees 3. Other considerations a. Official expenses b. Education expenses c. Housing costs IV. OPTICNS 1. Retain present law 2. Repeal Section 912 exclusion entirely 3. Substitute for Section 912 a tuition expense deduction and an exclusion for the value of employer-provided municipal type services 4. Allow a deduction for housing costs in excess of comparable U.S. housing in addition to the duductions listed in option 3 5. Make Section 912 inapplicable to employees serving in Alaska and Hawaii I. ISSUE The issue is whether the allowances paid to U.S. civilian government employees, primarily for overseas employment, which are now tax exempt under Section 912 of the Internal Revenue Code, should be made taxable. 1/ A related consideration is the extent to which the tax treatment of these allowances should parallel the treatment of income earned abroad by private sector employees. Under Section 912 of the Internal Revenue Code, U.S. citizens employed outside the continental United States by the U.S. Government in a civilian capacity may exclude from their gross income certain allowances which supplement their base salary. The allowances in question are designed primarily to cover certain living expenses. In a number of cases, such as moving expenses, the expenses would generally be deductible as employee business expenses under current law. But other allowances, notably those for housing, cost-ofliving differentials, education expenses and home leave travel, would be taxable income in the absence of the special exclusion under Section 912. In 1974 the Ways and Means Committee voted to phase out both Section 912 and Section 911, which excludes certain foreign earned income of private sector employees. Both 1/ This paper deals only with allowances paid to civilian government employees. Military allowances are treated under different provisions of the law. - 2 sections would be phased out over four years and with limited exceptions. That bill (H.R. 17488) was not acted on by the House before Congress adjourned. Many of its provisions concerning foreign source income were incorporated into H.R. 10612, including the phase out of Section 911. However, the Ways and Means Committee deferred consideration of Section 912 pending receipt of the report of an interagency committee which was reviewing the entire structure of overseas government, allowances. Completion of that report in final form is expected to require another year, but in view of the Ways and Means Committee's interest, the interagency group has completed the portion of the report dealing with tax questions and has transmitted that portion to the Task Force as an interim report. 1/ 1/ Interim Report of the Interagency Committee on Overseas Allowances and Benefits for U.S. Employees, (Chairman, John M.Thomas, Assistant Secretary of State for Administration) January 1976. - 3 II. 1. Explanation. PRESENT LAW Section 912 of the Internal Revenue Code provides an exclusion from gross income for certain allowances paid to civilian government employees. The section refers to three categories of allowances, citing in r each case the statutes which authorize their payment. a. Foreign areas allowances. Section 912) (Paragraph (1) of The first category enumerated in Section 912 comprised the various allowances paid to government employees in foreign areas. There are about 50 such allowances, which fall into eight major groupings: living quarters, cost-of- living differentials (by comparison with Washington, D.C.), education of dependents, travel, expenses associated with transfers, expenses associated with separation from the foreign service, representation expenses, and residences (limited to certain officials). Table 1 gives an abbreviated description of the types of costs the allowances are intended to cover. b. Cost-of-living allowances. Section 912) (Paragraph (2) of The second category excluded from income by Section 912 is cost-of-living allowances paid in accordance with regulations approved by the President to employees stationed in the U.S. territories and possessions or in Alaska or Hawaii. The statute refers to employees stationed outside the continental United States, which for this purpose Table 1 PRINCIPAL CATEGORIES OF ALLOWANCES OF U.S. GOVERNMENT EMPLOYEES IN FOREIGN COUNTRIES Housing - Quarters provided or payments to cover rent and utilities. Extraordinary Living Costs - "Post Allowance" for higher cost of living and "Separate Maintenance Allowance" where dependents must be living away from post of duty. Education - Government provided schools or payments to cover tuition. Educational travel where appropriate schooling is not available at post of duty. Community Services - Commissary privileges, medical care or reimbursement for medical expenses, after death services, personal transportation. Hardship Incentives - "Post Differential" (presently taxable), Rest and Recuperative Travel, Unhealthful Post Credit Relocation - Moving expenses (including auto), temporary lodging expenses, foreign transfer allowance for miscellaneous expenses, per diem while moving, home leave expenses, family visitation travel, emergency visitation travel, evacuation payments. - 4includes only the 48 states which were part of the United States in 1944, when the Revenue Act of 1943 was enacted, and the District of Columbia. To qualify for the exclusion, cost-of-living allowances paid to employees in the territories, possessions, Alaska and Hawaii must meet the second condition of being paid in accordance with regulations approved by the President. Those regulations authorized the payment of allowances to employees whose basic compensation is fixed by statute (Executive Order 10,000, 3 CFR 1943-48 comp., 792). If the basic compensation is paid from nonappropriated funds or is established by administrative order, the employee may not exclude under Section 912 any cost-of-living allowance he may receive. c. Peace Corps allowances. (Paragraph (3) of Section 912). The third category mentioned in Section 912 covers certain allowances paid to Peace Corps volunteers and their families. This paragraph, added in 1961, is essentially limited to travel expense allowances and living allowances which do not constitute basic compensation. Termination pay- ments and leave allowances for such individuals are specifically excluded from Section 912. Section 912 specifically does not apply to another category of allowance, namely post differentials or "hardship11 allowances. Post differentials are a percentage of base salary, up to 25 percent, paid to employees in locations where living conditions I" - 5 are uncomfortable. The Internal Revenue Service ruled in 1953 and 1959 that such payments were not excludable (Rev. Rul. 53-237, C.B. 1953-2, 52 amplified by Rev. Rul 59-407, C.B. 1959-2, 19'). That position was incorporated 1/ into the statute in I960.2. Legislative History. The predecessor to Section 912 (Section 116(j) of the Internal Revnue Code of 1939) was enacted in the Revnue Act of 1943 as an amendment introduced by the Senate Finance Committee. The exclusion covered cost- of-living allowances of employees and officers of the Foreign Service, and cost-of-living allowances of other U.S. Government employees stationed outside the continental United States, if received in accordance with regulations approved by the President. The reasons for excluding the allowances was that wartime inflation was seriously reducing their value, particularly for foreign service personnel in Europe, that increases in allowances were partly nullified by the increase in tax, resulting from the Revenue Act of 1943, and that the State Department did not have the funds or authority to compensate the recipients for the added burden of the tax. 1/ In 1973 a new allowance was introduced to cover the additiona housing and utilities costs incurred by U.S. Government employee stationed at U.N. headquarters in New York City who have entertainment responsibilities. Not more than 45 employees may claim the allowance at any one time. The amount is set to approximate the excess cost of housing and utilities in the neighborhood of the U.N/ headquarters over the average of such costs in the metropolitan New York City area. The tax status of this allowance is not clear. - 6The Foreign Services Act of 1946 expanded the.allowances .... V" and benefits authorized for foreign servicje officers, and employees. The additional allowance included amounts pay- able for housing, cost-of-living, representation costs, travel expenses (for moving, home leave, and sick leave). That Act also added Section 116(k) of the 1939 Code.to provide an exemption for such additional allowances. Section 912 of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 was identical to Section 116(j)(k) of the 1939 Code. » In 1960, 4 the 1954 Code was amended to add an.exemption for allowances authorized under other Acts and to confirm the IRS .position that post differentials are not excludable. In 1961, certain Peace Corps allowances were added to the list of exclusions. The Treasury Department at that time expressed concern at expanding the list of benefits excluded from income. The excluded Peace Corps allowances do not include leave or living allowances which represent £asic compensation, or allowances to family members of volunteer leaders training in the United States, - 7 1. Scope of the exclusion. There are about 100,000 civilian government employees who receive one or more allowances that are excluded from income under Section 912. About 40,000 are employed in foreign countries, 20,000 in U.S. territories and possessions and 40,000 in Alaska and Hawaii. About 60 percent of the total are civilian employees of the Department of Defense (see Table 2). The allowances for foreign areas are administered by the State Department and those for nonforeign areas by the Civil Service Commission, but each of the 38 participating agencies may make its own variations in determining the amounts and conditions of allowances. Table 3 identifies the principal foreign countries where civilian U.S. Government employees are located. The aggregate amount of allowances is not reported, nor does each agency report allowances separately in its budget. For example, the Defense Department, the largest single employer of personnel covered by Section 912, reports some civilian allowances with those of the military. The estimated total for all allowances in 1975 is $350 million, up from about $250 million in 1972 (see Table 4). The revenue cost in 1975 of excluding the allowances from taxable income was roughly $100 million, estimated on the basis of salary, location, and assumed family size. This is a gross figure relating only to the revenue side of the budget, and it does not take into account that the tax exemption of the allowances is in part TABLE 2 Number of Federal Civilian Employees Eligible for Section 912 Benefits by Area and Agency, 1968, 19 72 and 1975-£/ Total 1968 Dept. :Dept. of : of Defense :State 64,791 12,259 35,587 12,259 Other Agencies 27,211 14,567 Total TTTT Dept. :Dcpt. of : of Defense :State 58,652 8,733 32,145 8,733 T«ltal 1/ 104,261 95,626 (Overseas: 62,413 55,082 Foreign 41,887 25,671 12,240 3,976 33,134 21,817 countries U.S. terri20,526 9,916 19 10,591 21,948 10,328 ) tories 41,848 29,204 12,644 40,544 26,507 M a s k a and Hawaii 2/ Office of the.- Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis Other Agencies 28,241 14,204 iy/b : Dept. : Dept. :Other : of : of :AgenTotal : Defense : State : cies 7,299 28,263 98,397 62,835 7,299 14,263 58,397 36,835 8,732 2,585 38,041 28,886 7,299 1,856 1 11,619 20,356 7,949 12,407 14,037 40,000 26,000 14,000 March 24, 1975 e/ Estimated 1/ Calendar year averages were used for foreign countries and U.S. territories for 1968 and 1972. The 1975 figures are averages for the first six months of the year. 2/ Figures for Alaska and Hawaii for 1968 and 1972 are as of December 31. The 1975 figures are estimates. M Table 3 Principal Locations of Civilian U.S. Government Employees in Foreign Countries, FY 1975 T7 All foreign countries 38,592 Germany 13,,493 5,,271 Japan 1,,521 Korea 1,,399 The Philippines 1,,357 The United Kingdom 1,,094 1 ,066 Italy 714 Thailand 25,,915 Spain Subtotal 12;,677 All others Selected other countries: Mexico 321 Canada 201 Belgium 405 France 410 The Netherlands 129 Barbados 274 Bermuda 255 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury March 22, 1976 Office of Tax Analysis 1/ Excludes about 20,000 employees in the territories and possessions and 40,000 in Alaska and Hawaii who also qualify for some benefits under section 912. Source: U.S. Department of State, Office of Personnel Reports, U.S. Citizens Residing in Foreign Countries - FY 1975" bt TABLE 4 Federal Civilian Employees Eligible for Section 912 Benefits; Estimated Salaries, Allowances Excludable under Section 912/ and Associated Revenue -Loss" by AVeia, 1968, 1972, and 1975 (Dollars Millions) HT73"£/ Wff TFZ Salaries Total Overseas Foreign countries U.S. territories Alaska and Hawaii $880 577 431 146 303 $1,246 773 510 263 473 $1,555 1,020 740 280 535 Allowances Total Overseas Foreign countries U.S. territories Alaska and Hawaii 179 156 131 25 23 244 209 165 44 35 343 303 256 47 40 Revenue Loss Total Overseas Foreign ,countries1 U.S# territories Alaska and Hawaii 51 45 39 6 6 76 66 50 11 10 100 89 77 12 11 Office of the'Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis e/ Estimated March 24, 1975 - 8 reflected in lower salary or lower allowances. If the allowances were subject to tax there would have to be some offsetting increase on the expenditure side of the budget in the amounts paid. There are some 50 different allowances. Some of those would not be taxable in any case because they reimburse expenses which would be deductible (e.g., moving expenses), or because they are excluded from taxable income under other section of the Code (e.g., the government contribution to employee health insurance plans). Even within this group, there are several instances where the tax regulations for claiming allowable deductions were drawn up with domestic employment in mind and may not adequately take into account the requirements of overseas employment. The limit under the moving expense deduction of 30 days for household storage is one such example. Thus, if Section 912 were repealed, equitable treatment of overseas employees suggests a need to review present regulations. There are four principal allowances, accounting for a substantial portion of the total, which would become taxable income if Section 912 were repealed, those for cost-of-living differentials, housing, education, and home leave travel. As already mentioned, post differentials or "hardship11 allowances are specifically excluded from Section 912 and would not be affected by its repeal. - 9 2. Justification for the exclusion. When it introduced the exclusion of living allowances of U.S. Government employees outside the United States, in 1943, the Senate Finance Committee stated, "Payment of allowances to meet the extra cost of living at individual posts is indistinguishable from the payment of allowances to defray expenses of operation of the establishment..." The Committee went on to conclude that since the State Department had neither the funds nor the authority to increase the allowances enough to offset the tax on them, tax exemption was the appropriate solution. This line of reasoning continues to serve as the justification for the Section 912 exclusion. cation is as follows: In brief, the justifi- (a) the expenditures covered by the allowances do not represent a personal benefit to the recipient, but solely a reimbursement for costs incurred as a result of the employment assignment, (b) these expenses must, therefore, be borne by the employer, (c) the employer can either increase the payments to cover the tax on them, or exempt them from tax, (d) tax exemption is the only practical alternative for government employees, where the ability to alter compensation levels is limited, and (e) this case is distinguishable from that of private sector employees overseas and from U.S. Government employees in the United States. the justification sections. Each of the elements in is discussed in detail in the following - 10 (a) Personal benefit vs. reimbursed costs. The Section 912 exclusion specifically does not apply either to post differentials paid to compensate for environmental conditions, or to living allowances paid to Peace Corps members as basic compensation. These exceptions are consistent with the general case for excluding government allowances, which usually rests on the argument that the allowances are not additional compensation to the employee, but simply reimbursement for costs necessitated by the conditions of employment, and therefore do not properly constitute taxable income of the employer. In other words, the allowances are designed to leave the overseas government employee in the same net position in terms of disposable income as his counterpart in the United States. Indeed, much of the recent criticism of exempting the allowances is directed at cases where allowances are excessive and do confer personal benefit, leaving the recipient better off than his domestic counterpart. Two recent studies, one by the Office of Management and Budget in 1973, and one by the General Accounting Office in 1974, called for an overhaul of the entire system of measuring and paying allowances to remedy the lack of uniformity and the excessive allowances. While in general the allowances are designed to cover only extra living costs, there are some cases where the amounts paid go beyond that standard. The principal example is the housing allowance, which provides free housing, including utilities, and does not cover just the excess of the cost of - 11 housing and utilities at the particular post over what the employee would have paid in the United States. The State Department recognizes that this allowance confers a personal benefit: "As a financial inducement to overseas service, Government employees stationed abroad are furnished either with free Government acquired housing or an allowance to cover the cost of privately rented quarters. This provides the employee with additional income, equal to what he would have spent on housing in the United States, that is available for spending on other goods and services." 1/ Another example of an allowance which covers more than the additional cost necessitated by overseas in contrast to domestic employment is payment of home leave travel for the whole family to any point in the United States. If the rationale for the tax-free allowances is merely to equalize the positions of foreign and domestic employees, it would seem to follow that there should also be some provision for a reduction in base pay where foreign living costs (for example, household help or food) are lower than in the United States. 1/ U.S. State Department, "Indexes of Living Costs Abroad, tt April 1975, published by Labor Department, Bureau of Labor Statistics (underscoring added). Ill - 12 Some observers would argue that exclusion from income is appropriate only for those allowances which reimburse the overseas employee for living costs above what he would incur in the United States and that exemption of that part of the allowance which exceeds the living cost differential provides a windfall to the recipients and leaves them better off than their counterparts in either the private or the public sector. Others would contend that, with very limited exceptions, ±/ the allowances are basically all income, whether or not they represent a reimbursement for excess costs, and that any exemption represents a windfall to the recipient. The case for tax exemption is weakest in those instances tfhere the allowance is for costs which the employee would incur in any event. In fact, the existence of windfalls within the allowances structure and the difficulty of eradicating -hem may be a reason for taxing all of the allowances; there nay be less resistance to paying tax on the allowances than :o reducing them, and at the same time the absence of tax exemption zould remove the incentive to overstate the allowance portion )f total compensation. / Nearly all observers would make an exception for allowances esigned to cover evacuation and funeral expenses. - 13.(b) Cost must be borne by employer. Other things being equal, an employee will not accept the same pay for the same work in two different places if living costs are much higher in one place than in the other. seldom equal. Other things are of course Different work, pleasant surroundings, useful experience and other elements of "psychic" income may induce an employee to accept a lower real income in one post than he could get in another. But on the whole it is fair to say that higher living costs must be.reflected in higher compensation to attract the same quality of personnel. Assuming that government employees will accept overseas assignments only if their real Income can be maintained at the same level as when they were employed in the United States, and assuming that the allowances were revised so that they covered only the extra living costs incurred as a consequence of employment outside the United States, then taxation of the allowances would result in a reduction in their after-tax and would presumably have to be made up by higher government salaries or allowances. Unlike private sector employees over- seas, government employees are not subject to foreign tax on their earnings. An increase in U.S. tax, therefore, would be felt in full by the employe^ since there is no foreign tax credit to offset the U.S. tax. (c) Tax exemption vs. higher pay. If overseas livine allowances were made taxable, the ultimate result in most cases would be an increase in cost to the employer, the U.S. Government. Whether the increases in compensation would be the same lib - 14 or less than the increase in tax costs would depend in part on whether the allowances are for total costs of living abroad or only for the excess over the costs of living in the United States. As the Finance Committee noted in introducing the fore- runner of Section 912 in 1943, tax exemption is one method of bearing the cost, a substitute for increasing the allowance directly. Tax exemption of a particular group is a cost borne by taxpayers in general, but when the U.S. Government is the employer, paying higher salaries is also a cost to taxpayers in general. Therefore, in one sense, taxing the allowances would amount to taking money from one pocket and putting it in another. But this argument leads to the conclusion that no government employee should be taxed on his salary. in this light, the logic is questionable. Considered If government salaries were generally made tax exempt as a cost-cutting device, the result would be highly deceptive budgeting. Government agencies would have an incentive to use more labor than necessary because its cost would appear lower than it really was. Moreover, the tax free status of government salaries would appear highly inequitable to the vast majority of Americans. These considerations also apply to the case of overseas allowances. The exemption is an incentive to paying higher allowances than are necessary, and to hiring more persons than is necessary. The actual cost incurred by each agency is understated since part of the personnel budget is reflected Ill - 15 in lower tax collections by the Treasury Department. In fact, as mentioned earlier, the allowances themselves are not adequately reported, so that it is difficult to determine the gross pay of U.S. Government employees in different locations. Finally, the exemption of government allowances ,may seem inequitable to persons who, for one reason or another, incur high living costs which are not recognized in computing taxable income. A problem caused by the taxation of allowances may occur in the case of an employee with a substantial amount of income in addition to his government salary, by comparison with a similar employee having no outside income. If the allowances are treated as marginal income and are subject to tax, then under the progressive U.S. tax system the net benefit of the allowance to the employee with outside income would be less than to the employee with no outside income. If the allowances are not taxable both would benefit equally. It may be argued that if the allowances simply reimburse the employee for differential costs of overseas employment the present exemption system gives the appropriate result. It is more difficult to sustain this argument when allowances exceed these cost differentials. This issue highlights the general question of recognition in the tax law for differences in the cost-of-living between different locations or oyer time. U.S. tax law does not generally take such differentials into account. Making tax adjustments would be very complex, and would appear highly inequitable to those taxpayers not favored by the adjustments. -16 (d) Practical consideration: exemption vs. higher pay. If the allowances now exempt under Section 912 were to become taxable, the gross or budgeted cost to the government agencies of maintaining their foreign staffs would have to be increased in order to maintain a necessary level of disposable income for the employees. Additional appropriations would be required for the employing agencies. This would require special attention to alleviate statutory or administrative restraints on additional spending. Under present appropriations procedure, Congress might not adequately take into account the offsetting additional tax on the increased allowances. For example, if an employee whose marginal tax rate is 33-1/3 percent has $6,000 of allowances and the U.S. Government wants to reimburse him fully for the tax liability on those allowances, it would have to increase the allowances from $6,000 to at least $9,000, an increase of 50 percent, or more if he is pushed to a higher marginal tax bracket. The net cost to the U.S. Government would be zero in this case since the added tax of $3,000 matches the added allowance of $3,000; but the tax revenue is not credited to the agency which must pay the allowance. To the extent that certain allowances tend to overcompensate the employee (e.g., housing, home leave, travel, rest and recreation), there could be a net budgetary gain if the allowance is not raised by the full increase in the tax. In the example mentioned above, the Government might increase the allowances from $6,000 to only $7,500, so that the after-tax amount would - 17 be $5,000 instead of $6,000; then the increased cost of $1,500 would be more than offset by the increased tax of $2,500. But again the net revenue gain will not be reflected in the employing agency's budget requests which must be approved by Congress. Under present law, the personnel budgets of employing agencies are understated since they do not reflect the appropriate tax costs. A change from tax exemption of allowances to taxation as ordinary compensation would correct this situation. But such a change should be accompanied by adjustments in the budget process necessary to make this policy practical. (e) Distinguishing overseas government employees from other employees. The principal reason for paying the allowances is to compensate for increased living costs in certain locations. Differential living costs are also encountered by private sector employees overseas and by U.S. Government employees in the United States, and are similarly reflected either in varying amounts of compensation or in difficulties filling positions in certain locations. The argument for exempting the allowances from tax is basically an argument that part of differential living costs should be borne by taxpayers in general rather than by the particular employee. This argument has fundamental shortcomings, as noted earlier. If tax adjustments for differential living costs are not made as a matter of general policy, the question remains whether adjustments should be made for a particular group, such as - 18 overseas government employees. Part of the answer to this question depends on whether such adjustments seem inequitable by comparison with the tax treatment of similar groups. In deciding to phase out the foreign earned income exemption of private sector employees, the Ways and Means Committee said: "Your Committee notes that some of the same reasons for repeal of the exclusion for private industry employees might be equally valid to the exclusions for governmental employees." 1/ The comparison between overseas government employees and government employees stationed in the United States is in many respects better than the comparison with private sector employees overseas. The only relevant tax for overseas government employees is the U.S. tax, whereas overseas private sector employees are affected by the foreign tax liability and foreign tax credit. However, where a government and private sector employee work side by side in a foreign country and receive the same gross pay, it is difficult to justify exempting the living allowances of one and not the other. 3. Other considerations. (a) Official expenses. Some allowances may be viewe as representing reimbursement for official expenses. As such they may be either excluded or included in income and allowed 1/ House of Represenatative Report 94-658, November 12, 1975, page 200. - 19 as a deduction. However, those expenses which are business expenses under current law would not include many important allowances, such as the cost of living, education or housing allowances. To broaden the limits of deductibility would raise a serious problem of where to draw the line for overseas government employees as well as for government employees based in the United States and private sector employees based overseas. (b) Education expenses. The situation of government employees is parallel to that of private sector employees with respect to expenses incurred in providing elementary and secondary schooling for dependents: publicly financed schooling might be inadequate, and the families may have to rely on private schooling. The State Department regulations provide allowances to cover the cost of transportation, room and board, and tuition and other school expenses at a private school where the local facilities are judged inadequate. H.R. 10612 provides for a duduction of $1,200 per year per child (up to 19 years old) for tuition expenses paid by private sector employees when both the taxpayer and the dependent are in one or more foreign countries for 330 days in a 12 month period. The 330 day requirement for the taxpayer may be strict for those employees, both private sector and government, who have to return to the United States on business frequently or for extended periods. The amount of the deduction deserves further review as well. The problem is to balance the extra burden borne by private and government employees abroad against the considerations that: (a) they may not pay U.S. state and local taxes, - 20 which finance most U.S. public education at the elementary and secondary levels; (b) many U.S. residents who do pay state and local taxes nevertheless use private schools for their children without being allowed a deduction for the added costs; and (c) some of the schools used by foreign service employees are church-sponsored. (c) Housing costs. Government and private sector employees face the same problems of high cost housing in many foreign cities. However, government employees have their full housing, including utilities, provided by their employer, and are not required to report any part of that as taxable* income. Table 5 gives some examples of housing allowances in various foreign cities. Private sector employers frequently pay part of the housing and utility costs of overseas employees, typically the excess over the estimated U.S. cost or the excess over some percentage of the salary, but the employer-paid portion is considered taxable income to the employee. Some argue that housing provided by the U.S. Government for overseas employees serves the convenience of the employer and therefore should not be taxable to the employee. The standards for determining when housing is for the convenience of the employer are fairly stringent under current law. Section 119 of the Internal Revenue Code provides that if lodging is to be excluded from gross income on the grounds that it is furnished for the convenience of the employer, then the employee must be required to accept lodging on the business premises of the employer as a condition of his employment. /t3 Table 5 Examples of State Department Housing Allowances, as of January 1976 Frankfurt Annual allowances for an employee with dependents earning basic salary of $15/000-$26,999 $4 300 Tokyo, (city) 4 500 Seoul 4 400 Manila 3 800 London 5 100 Rome 7 200 Bangkok 4 400 Madrid 6 500 Mexico City 6 400 Ottawa 5 600 Brussels 8 500 Paris 9 400 the Hague 6 900 Barbados 5 500 Iran 400 Kuwait 000 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis Source: March 26, 1976 U.S. Department of State, Allowances Staff /JY - 21 The regulations explain that to be a condition of employment, residence in that lodging must be necessary to proper performance of the duties of employment and that the lodging must be furnished in kind with no option to take a cash allowance in lieu of that lodging (Reg. 1.119-1(d)(6) and (c)(2)). There are numerous rulings and court decisions interpreting these rules; but clearly in its present form the statutory tests would be difficult for the average foreign service employee to meet. The Ambassador's residence presumably would qualify as being for the convenience of the employer. Revenue Ruling 75-540 states that a Governor's mansion does so qualify. The cases where lodging furnished by the employer meets the statutory tests of being for convenience of the employer follow more from the nature of the employment than from the location of employment. In short, if Section 912 is repealed, free housing of overseas employees will almost always be taxable income to the government employee. Congress could legislate special relief for the added burden which would result if foreign employee housing allowances were reduced by subjecting them to tax. One question then would be whether such relief should be made available to private sector employees in similar circumstances. In both cases, the principal beneficiary would be employers with overseas staff. - 22 One possibility would be to allow a deduction for the portion of housing costs incurred for business purposes, such as official entertainment. Such a rule,however, would be difficult to administer and complicated for the taxpayer who would have to pro-rate rent and utilities by hours. Another possibility would be to allow a deduction for the cost of foreign housing in excess of the cost incurred by similar employees in the United States. employees do not enjoy Since domestic tax relief for high housing costs, it might be desirable to limit any such relief to costs above a reasonably high U.S. base, and perhaps to provide an upper limit to minimize any incentive to acquire lavish housing by Americans overseas. In addition to determining the amount of such a deduction, there would have to be rules on what is included in housing costs (utilities, telephone, cable TV?); who is eligible (should government employees in the possessions, Alaska, Hawaii, New York be eligible?; if private sector taxpayers qualify, does this include self-employed persons, employees of foreign firms, corporate directors?);and the conditions on which housing is furnished (must it be available to all employees?). Rental value would have to be imputed in many cases. Such a relief provision would be complex and difficult to administer. But the governmen allowances and the Section 911 exclusion are already complex and difficult to administer. Furthermore, there is precedent in the Code for allowing deductions for extraordinary personal expenses (e.g., medical - 23 expenses in excess of 3 percent of adjusted gross income). special deduction for "excess" housing costs would have the advantage of focusing relief on a particular expense related to the location of the employment and would be limited to the portion of that expense which exceeds the cost of comparable housing for employees at the U.S. headquarters. /Jf7 - 24 IV. OPTIONS !• Retain present law. This option would put the least strain on employing agencies and affected employees. The present system of exempting from tax allowances paid to government employees outside the United States, and in some cases in Alaska and Hawaii, reduces the cost to the employing agency of maintaining U.S. citizens in those posts. It has been argued that most allowances just offset the higher living costs entailed by an overseas assignment. However, the exemption can amount to preferential tax treatment for a certain group of government employees compared to government employees in other locations and compared to private sector employees in the same locations. 2. Repeal the Section 912 exclusion entirely. This option would subject to tax all of the allowances now excluded under Section 912. Some of the allowances would not be taxable, due to offsetting expense deductions permitted under other sections of the Internal Revenue Code, but many allowances, including those for education, cost-of-living increases, and housing would become taxable. need increased appropriations. The employing agencies would If private sector employees overseas are allowed a deduction for tuition expenses of dependents, as provided in H.R. 10612, government employees in the same posts would be put at a disadvantage. - 25 3. Substitute for Section 912 a tuition expense deduction and an exclusion for the value of employer-provided municipal type services. This option would put government employees in essentially the same position as private sector employees in foreign posts if the provisions of H.R. 10612 are enacted with respect to Section 911. It would put government employees in a worse position than under present law and would require increased budgets for salaries or allowances to attract qualified persons to fill such posts, although the necessary increases would not be as great as under option 2. Specific statutory relief should be considered for several of the. minor allowances which, though they might be treated as taxable income in the absence of Section 912, might none-the-less be considered as justifiably excludable from income or deductible. This category might include allowances for emergency evacuation from a post and allowances for preparation and transportation of remains of a deceased employee. 4. Allow a deduction for housing costs in excess of the costs of comparable U.S. housing, in addition to those listed in option 3. A deduction for "excess" housing costs above those which the employee would have incurred if employed in the United States might be appropriate to deal with the principal component of extraordinary living costs associated with foreign employment. It would significantly reduce the added tax liability of employees in areas where desirable housing is scarce, and would, therefore, relieve the budget burden on the employing 0 - 26 agencies. At the same time, taxing the other allowances would reduce the windfall element and- permit more accurate accounting of the costs of the overseas operations. On the other hand, there would be a problem of drawing the line, particularly with respect to private sector employees overseas who encounter the same high costs in certain posts. 1/ The net revenue cost of such a deduction for government employees would be small, since housing allowances in excess of the permissible deduction would be taxable, and since in the absence of the deduction the government would have to increase the allowances to attract the same quality of personne The revenue cost of such a deduction for private sector employe would be greater since there would usually be no offsetting effect on outlays (there could be some offset where the allowance is a deductible expense for U.S. tax of a U.S. employer). Government employees would have an added tax liability with respect to other allowances, and salaries or allowances would have to go up by part of that increased tax liability. 5. Make Section 912 inapplicable to employees serving in Alaska or Hawaii. Although employees in Alaska and Hawaii constitute about 40 percent of Federal employees eligible for 1/ If a distinction between private and public sector employees is not justifiable, then a deduction for extraordinary housing costs (applicable to all overseas employees) might be inappropriate. The reason is that the revenue loss from such a deduction for all employees may significantly outweigh the cost of increasing allowances to compensate Federal employees for the additional tax burden in the absence of such a deduction. - 27 the Section 912 exemption, the revenue loss attributable to their allowances is relatively small. Nevertheless, the distinction between employees serving abroad and those serving at domestic posts (both groups encounter variable living costs) is confused by applying the exemption to Alaska and Hawaii. The increased burden on government employees in Alaska and Hawaii might be a necessary price to pay for justifying any continuation of the exemption for employees assigned to foreign countries. 0O0 L 7'00/> - 8 - )S/ ACT June 30, 1974 88 Stat. 285 increased sec. 21 limitation by $95 billion during the period beginning June 30, 1974 and ending March 31, 1975 $495,000,000,000 Feb. 19, 1975 increased sec. 21 limitation by 89 Stat. 5 $131 billion during the period beginning February 19, 1975 and ending June 30, 1975 531,000,000,000 June 30, 1975 increased sec. 21 limitation by 89 Stat. 246 $177 billion during the period beginning June 30, 1975 and ending November 15, 1975 Nov. 14, 1975 increased sec. 21 limitation by 89 Stat. 693 $195 billion during the period beginning November 14, 1975 and ending March 15, 1976 March 15, 1976 increased sec. 21 limitation by $227 billion during the period beginning March.15, 1976, and ending June 30, 1976 577,000,000,000 595,000,000,000 627,000,000,000 ie Department 0/ r/ie NGTON, D.C. 20220 TREASURY TELEPHONE 964-2041 April 1976 /32 BIOGRAPHY W3S a United State; I f PP oin ted a Special Agent of the fSld office ? h f ^ ? T r V 1 C e ° n J U n 6 2 9 ' 1 9 7 0 ' i n t h e Chicago 07071fflce' . T h e . following year he was transferred to the Intelligence Division at Secret Service Headquarters in the p S ^ n M a i ' p ^ f i " . D e c e m b - "72, he wa? reassigned to tne Presidential Protective Division. During the 1972 Campaign for President and Vice President of the United States, Agent Buendorf was assigned to security for the Born in Wells, MinnesotaCandidate on November 18, 1937 Buendorf Democratic Vice Presidential received a bachelor of science degree from Mankato State College U S Navv L fu^equently he served as a pilot with the Ear^h M?» I9 s c * ° o 1 business teacher and coach in Blue a Service ' " * a S p e C i a l A g e n t o f t h e N a v ^ Institute *During * , his career with the U.S. Secret Service Aaent beSn Gi ient Awlrfln i ? ? , / ^ P °f the Expert M a r k f m a S p in 1973, in 1975. 1973. and the Distinguished Expert Marksmanship Award in On September 5, 1975, while providing crowd security B u e n d ^ f 1 ^ ^ G ^ a l d R- F ° r d i n S*cramento, California" Agent reaatTL? H 6 ^ a W e a p ° n a i m e d a t t h e President. Without i n X r n o S uXS P ? ^ s ° n a l safety, Agent Buendorf immediately seiJS ?hf J i m S e l f between the assailant and the President, indfvffl,^? f ? ; r e a r m a ? d assisted in the apprehension of the individual who was attempting to use it. n November 25, 1975, Secret Service Director H. Stuart Kn. ° n Buend f, s actiSn ^77 0 . and exemplary with777^77± the presentation of theefficient Secret Service Valor Award. oOo Contact; Herbert C. Shelley Extension: 8256 April 5, 1976 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY DEPARTMENT ANNOUNCES COUNTERVAILING DUTY INVESTIGATION OF CERTAIN SCISSORS AND SHEARS FROM BRAZIL Assistant Secretary of the Treasury David R. Macdonald announced today the initiation of a countervailing duty investigation against certain scissors and shears from Brazil. A "Notice of Receipt of Countervailing Duty Petition and Initiation of Investigation" will be published in the Federal Register of April 6, J.976. Under the U.S. Countervailing Duty Law (19 U.S.C. 1303) the Secretary of the Treasury is required to assess an additional customs1s duty which is equal to the amount of the "bounty or grant" that has been found to be paid or bestowed on imported merchandise. The investigation of imports of certain scissors and shears stems from a petition received on February 9, 1976 from the National Association of Scissors and Shears Manufacturers alleging that certain scissors and shears (those valued at over $1.75 per dozen) are benefiting from possible bounties or grants within the meaning of the Countervailing Duty Law. The Treasury has until August 9, 1976 to issue a preliminary determination as to whether a bounty or grant exists. A final determination must be rendered by no later than February 9, 1977. During calendar year 1975, .imports of the subject merchandise from Brazil were valued at approximately $1.2 million. * WS-762 * * /Jr FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE April 5, 1976 LARRY M. BUENDORF RECEIVES TREASURY MERITORIOUS SERVICE AWARD Secretary of the Treasury William E. Simon today presented Secret Service Special Auent- Larr^ M. Buendorf with the Treasury Department's Meritorious Service Award. Special Agent Buendorf received the award for his "outstanding bravery and unusually competent action" beyond his required duties in the deterrence of an attempt on the life of President Ford in Sacramento, California, on September 5, 1976. In presenting the award, Secretary Simon cited Buendorfs "efficient and exemplary action" when "without regard for his own safety, he immediately interposed himself between the assailant and the President, seized the firearm and assisted in the apprehension of the individual who was attempting to use it." In recognition of his actions, Special Agent Buendorf received a silver medal and lapel emblem, a certificate and a miniature Treasury flag. Mr. Buendorf was appinted a Special Agent of the U.S. Secret Service on June 29, 1970. He was born in Wells, Minnesota on November 18, 1937, and received a B.S. degree from Mankato State College in 1959. Special Agent Buendorf served as a pilot with the U.S. Navy and also as a Special Agent of the Naval Investigative Service. oOo WS-763 "-^°(/~2o V '^? .^W. 7^(9 H71$1 d 0^0^1SL*\„^ ^ W 3//£/7C 'X-*/-^ ^ ^ 0P-93 epartmentoftheTREASURY ON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 964-2041 IN ft / FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE & April 5, 1976 RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $2.7 billion of 13-week Treasury bills and for $3.5. billion of 26-week Treasury bills, both scries to be issued on April 8, 1976, were opened at the Federal Reserve Banks today. The details are as follows: RANGE OF ACCEPTED 13-week bills COMPETITIVE BIDS: maturing J^Y 8, 1976 Price High Low Average Discount Rate Investment Rate 1/ 4.933% 4.969% 4.957% 5.06% 5.10% 5.09% 98.753a/ 93.744 98.747 a/ Excepting 1 tender b/ Excepting 1 tender Tenders at the low Tenders at the low 26-week bills maturing October 7, 1976 Price 97.333 b_/ 97.313 97.324 Discount Rate 5.275% 5.315% 5.293% Investment Rate 1/ 5. 5.54% 5.51% of $1,000,000 of $650,000 price for the 13-week bills were allotted 18%. price for the 26-week bills were allotted 46%. TOTAL TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS: District Received 82,270,000 $ Boston ,120,790,000 New York 21,630,000 Philadelphia 87,705,000 Cleveland 50,610,000 Richmond 49,885,000 Atlanta 622,115,000 Chicago 69,150,000 St. Louis 63,985,000 Minneapolis 36,530,000 Kansas City 36,620,000 Dallas San Francisco 355,865,000 T0TALS$5,597,155,000 Accepted $ 37,170,000 1,954,080,000 20,810,000 36,750,000 34,610,000 45,580,000 336,235,000 29,150,000 39,985,000 30,490,000 16,620,000 118,925,000 Received $ 47,310,000 4,697,155,000 44,970,000 87,380,000 151,415,000 40,220,000 258,785,000 62,180,000 59,720,000 24,245,000 36,505,000 220,615,000 $2,700,405,000 c/$5,730,500,000 Accepted $ 30,070,000 2,859,455,000 24,970,000 67,380,000 97,085,000 32,420,000 152,245,000 35,180,000 54,720,000 19,745,000 26,005,000 100,975,000 $3,500,250,000 d/ c/ Includes $ 403,690,000 noncompetitive tenders from the public. d/ Includes $223 580 000 noncompetitive tenders from the public. 1/ Equivalent coupon-issue yield. WS-764 TREASURY TELEPHONE 964-2041 FOR R E L E A S E A T 11:45 A . M . April 5, 1976 TREASURY OFFERS $2.5^BILLION OF TREASURY BILLS The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for $2,500,000,000, or thereabouts, of 14- day Treasury bills to be issued April 8, 1976, representing an additional amount of bills dated October 23. 1975, maturing April 22, 1976 (CUSIP No. 912793 ZD 1 ) . The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive bidding, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form in denominations of $10,000, $15,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value), and in book-entry form to designated bidders. Tenders will be received at all Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to 1:30p.m., Eastern Standard time, Wednesday, April 7, 1976. Tenders will not be received at the Department of the Treasury, Washington. Wire and telephone tenders may be received at the discretion of each Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. Tenders must be for a minimum of $10,000,000. Tenders over $10,000,000 must be in multiples of $1,000,000. The price on tenders offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e.g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions with respect to Government securities and borrowings thereon may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on April 8,1976, in immediately available funds. IVS 76 5 Under Sections 454(b) and 1221(5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is considered to accrue when^the bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and the bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder must include in his Federal income tax return, as ordinary gain or loss, the difference between the price paid for the bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made. Department of the Treasury Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice, prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. NOTICE TO CORRESPONDENTS: ApriJ 5, 1976 George Dixon, the recently confirmed Deputy Secretary of the Treasury, will be available for a "get acquainted" meeting v;ith reporters in his office, room 3326, at 10 a.m. Thursday April 3. While no specific announcements will be made, the meeting will be on the record. Bill Rhatican Special Assistant to the Secretary (Public Affairs) oOo he Department of the'fREASURY \SHINGT0N, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 964-2041 April 5, 1976 / / / GEORGE H. DIXON OF MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA, SWORN IN AS DEPUTY SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY George H. Dixon, former Chairman and President of the First National Bank of Minneapolis, was sworn in today as Deputy Secretary of the Treasury by William E. Simon, Secretary of the Treasury. Mr. Dixon succeeded Stephen Gardner who is now Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board. Born on October 7, 1920, in Rochester, New York, Mr. Dixon received his B.S. degree from Wharton School of Finance at the University of Pennsylvania in 1942. He attended Harvard University Graduate School of Business and received his M.B.A. in 1947, He served in the United States Army during World War II as a Captain. In 1947, Mr. Dixon joined the Brown Brothers Harriman 5 Company of Boston, Massachusetts. He became a Partner in the firm of Davis and Davis of Providence, Rhode Island in 1950. From 1956 to 1968 he was the Vice President-Finance and Treasurer of Sperry § Hutchinson Company of New York, New York. He joined the First National Bank of Minneapolis as President and Chief Administrative Officer in 1968. Mr. Dixon is married to the former Marjorie Freeman and they have three children. oOo WS-766 770 April 1976 GEORGE H. DIXON DEPUTY SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY George H. Dixon was sworn in as Deputy Secretary of the Treasury on March 3, 1976. As Deputy Secretary, Mr. Dixon is responsible for the general supervision of all day-to-day functions of the Department and for acting for the Secretary in his absence, sickness, or unavailability. Prior to becoming Deputy Secretary, Mr. Dixon served as Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer of the First National Bank of Minneapolis,which he joined in 1968. He was Vice President Finance and Treasurer of the Sperry & Hutchinson Company of New York from 1956 to 1968, and a general partner in the investment firm of Davis and Davis of Providence, Rhode Island from 1950 to 1956. He began his business career in 1947 with Brown Brothers Harriman & Company in Boston, Massachusetts. Mr. Dixon has served as a director of the following Minnesota-based companies: First National Bank of Minneapolis, First Bank System, Inc., First Computer Corporation, Soo Line Railraod Company, International Multifoods Corporation, Donaldson Company, Inc., Fingerhut Corporation, and Honeywell, Inc. He was also a director of Brown Harriman and International Banks Limited of London, England. His professional affiliations included membership on the Federal Advisory Council representing the Ninth Federal Reserve District and serving as a director of the Association of Reserve City Bankers and as trustee of its Banking Research Fund. He is a trustee of Carleton College in Northfield, Minnesota, and was active in numerous civic and community endeavors in the Minneapolis area. Mr. Dixon was born October 7, 1920 in Rochester, New York. He was educated at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Finance where he received a B.S. degree in 1942 and at Harvard University's Graduate School of Business where he earned a M.B.A. degree in 1947. He is married to the former Majorie Freeman of Providence, Rhode Island and they have three children. Mr. Dixon and his wife presently reside in Washington, D.C. 0-n^l DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY FINANCE Introductory Statement of Robert A. Gerard Deputy Assistant Secretary (Capital Markets Policy) Department of the Treasury For Presentation to the Senate and House Subcommittees on Appropriations April 6, 1976 I am pleased to describe for you this morning the activities of the Department of the Treasury under the New York City Seasonal Financing Act of 1975. Our appropriation for fiscal 1976 is $1 million. These funds cover the six month period from enactment to June 30, 1976. For the transition quarter (June 30, 1976 to September 30, 1976) our appropriation is $315,000. We are now requesting that you appropriate $1,250,000 to enable Treasury to carry out its responsibilities under the Act during fiscal 1977. This amount is more than the current appropriation of $1 million but substantially less, on an annualized basis, than the current year's appropriation. The amount requested is approximately equal to the annualized rate for the transition quarter. The Act The New York City Seasonal Financing Act of 1975 was enacted on December 9, 1975. It reflects Congress' findings that: "It is necessary for the City of New York to obtain seasonal financing from time to time because the City's revenues and expenditures, even when in balance on an annual basis, are not received and disbursed at equivalent rates throughout the year." Furthermore, Congress found that such financing, while necessary to maintain essential government services, may not be available from customary sources. To maintain essential services, the Act authorizes the Secretary of the Treasury to loan up to $2.3 billion to the City of New York. Each loan must be repaid by the end of WS-768 0 - 2 the City's fiscal year. If, and only if, such loans are repaid, they may then be renewed for the following fiscal year. Loans may be renewed through fiscal 1978. At that time, the loan must be repaid and the Act expires. The interest rate on these loans is fixed at one percent above the interest rate paid by Treasury for loans of comparable maturity. As a result of this interest differential, the Federal Government will obtain revenue from the loan. After subtracting the $1 million appropriated to Treasury for administrative costs, the net revenue to the Federal Government in fiscal 1976 will be approximately $3.3 million. In fiscal 1977 and 1978, revenues will be substantially higher since the average amount and duration of the loans wilL increase « sharply. We are responsible for ensuring that the loans are repaid. To do this, we may insist upon whatever terms and conditions he considers necessary. We intend not only to seek the best collateral reasonably available, but also the maximum amount of relevant information about the financial condition of the borrower -- the City of New York. It is the task of securing, analyzing, and verifying the financial condition of the City which is the single greatest cost envisioned. I shall describe this task after describing actions which have been accomplished to date. The Loans We have $1.26 billion in loans outstanding. The first loan -- $130 million -- was made December 18, 1975 and will be repaid on April 20. Since then, we have made 5 loans which mature on various dates between April 20, and June 30, 1976. On a monthly basis, the schedule calls for repayment of $270 million on April 20, $240 million on May 20, and a total of $750 million on June 20 and June 30. At the time these loans were made, and at this time, it is our view that there is a reasonable prospect that these loans will be repaid in accordance with their terms and conditions. The objective of the Act was to help the City to maintain essential services and deal with seasonal cash flow problems while it is implementing its Plan to eliminate its budget deficit. The Act has accomplished this. Essential services have been maintained and the City is carrying out the budgetary measures which were promised. 0 The Fiscal Plan The seasonal funding provided by the Act is an integral part of the Financial Plan devised by City and State officials. The Plan!s objective is to eliminate the City budget deficit by June 30, 1978 and to provide sufficient cash to allow the City to operate during the interim period when it cannot obtain financing in the public credit markets. In September 1975. the State of New York decided to commit its own credit and resources to assisting the City, but it also mandated certain changes. The City was required to eliminate its deficit by June 30, 1978, and to submit a detailed three year plan outlining the steps it would take to this end. Furthermore, the Emergency Financial Control Board was established, chaired by the Governor, and given virtually unlimited powers over the financial affairs of the City. In late November, we were presented with a financing plan that financed New York City's past and future deficit financing needs. It is detailed in Secretary Simon's April 1 testimony, a copy of which I am submitting for the record. In addition, however, financing was required for meeting seasonal cash flow needs. Although the financing plan was designed to eliminate the deficit over the course of the fiscal year, revenues and expenditures did not balance on a monthly basis. Accordingly, we asked Congress for authority to make short-term seasonal cash flow loans. Such authority was granted early last December with the passage of New York City Seasonal Financing Act of 1975. A New Resolve It is, of course, too early to tell whether the measures taken last fall will be accompanied by all of the actions necessary to restore New York City to fiscal and financial viability. But on March 26, Mayor Beame took an important step in that direction. He presented a detailed plan to eliminate the $986 million deficit which the City now projects for fiscal 1978, and to generate a $76 million surplus that year. While the plan relies on some assumption of costs by the State, and a $55 million increase in Federal aid under existing programs by 1978, most of the cuts are to be accomplished by the City itself. - 4The plan does not postpone the hard decisions by unduly backloading them into 1978. It is a serious plan and -- in the context of a city which has already pared its payrolls by 40,000 persons in the last year -- it is a realistic plan. Even more heartening is that the plan not only proposes to make the cuts which the critics last October said could not be made, but it also identifies additional cuts. The reason for these additional cuts is that the City continued to review its data since October and concluded that its original deficit estimates were too low. The City did not try to bury the revised estimates nor plead for major new infusions of Federal funds. Instead, it frankly acknowledged that the facts now tell a different story, and promptly revised its plan to deal with them. This forthright response reflects a new spirit of resolve in the City today. This new spirit is the result of several changes: primarily the realization that the public, as well as the capital markets, will no longer tolerate financial gimmickry as a solution to real problems. It is a result of the new team of financial experts that Mayor Beame has assembled. And, most importantly, it is a result of the Mayor's own determination to face up to New York's problems. These developments are grounds for cautious optimism about the City's future. I say "cautious" because we are not yet home, not even half way home. But we now know what many previously doubted; the preconditions for fiscal recovery exist. There are clear signs that the City recognizes it must deal with its own problems and is resolved to do so. Congress contributed materially to this process by imposing the firm conditions which encouraged the City to put its own house in order. But I hope that those of you who believe this prognosis too optimistic will be encouraged by the fact that we do not propose to let our guard down. The commitments have been made. That, in itself, is an important accomplishment. But the task is to make sure they are carried through. Credit Agreement On December 30, 1975, with the assistance of the law firm of Ropes and Gray and the accounting firm of Arthur Andersen, we completed negotiations with the City, State, Municipal Assistance Corporation, and the Emergency Financial Control Board and executed a Credit Agreement with these parties. record. I am submitting a copy of this document for the Our first requirement was that all the parties -- the City the Comptroller, the Control Board and, where necessary the State -- must agree to stand by the spirit of the Agreement and the reports they make. Furthermore, they pledged in the Agreement to inform us of adverse developments, of changes in the plan, and to use maximum efforts to protect our interests. We then insisted that each Federal loan be secured not only by the general obligation of the City but also by the pledge of a specific revenue. Furthermore, when this revenue comes due, it must be paid into a specific bank account for the benefit of the Secretary of the Treasury. To date the City has pledged $1,944 billion in revenues, nearly all tunds due from the State, to cover the $1.26 billion in loans outstanding. Each Federal loan, therefore, is secured both by specific revenues and by the general obligation of a the City. Finally, the Credit Agreement allows us to develop something which has not previously been available -- accurate financial information. By law, the City is required to develop an auditable accounting system by July 1, 1978. But, to assist us in assessing the prospects for repayment, we must have the best available information about what is happening in the interim. Consequently, the Agreement provides that the City must prepare -- and the Control Board must approve -- detailed reports, designed with the assistance of Arthur Andersen. Perhaps the most important of these is a report covering virtually every significant financial aspect of the City's activities -- revenues, expenses, cash flow, employment, etc. This report -- 65 pages filled with statistics in its latest version -- is due each month. In addition to the protections I have enumerated, the Credit Agreement also confirms our power under the Act to audit books and records, and it provides numerous additional protections. The Arthur Andersen Report In the best of times, municipal finance is a complex, specialized, and difficult field. As you know, there are no disclosure requirements in municipal finance comparable to those imposed on corporations. Nor are cities required to - 6produce a financial statement which is auditable by an independent accountant. In short, our dilemma was simple: we had neither the information, nor the expertise required to analyze it. Yet we needed such background to carry out our responsibilities. Let me describe some of the facts known in December 1975 which led us to believe that we needed immediate expert advice to carry out our responsibilities under the Act: The Municipal Assistance Corporation, established in June 1975 to assist the City in borrowing money, found itself unable to float loans on the public market by July. The City had never issued a report certified by an independent public accountant. A State law requires that the City balance its budget. And, each year, the City had duly certified -- in accordance with its accounting system -- that its budget was balanced. Nevertheless, its short term debt load had risen since 1961, resulting in a multimillion dollar deficit. On December 12, 1975, we retained the accounting firm of Arthur Andersen and Company to advise us on several matters. First, we needed an overview of the City's financial situation. Second, we needed a reporting system to allow us to monitor the City's financial conditions and progress ^ toward eliminating its deficit. Third, for both the City s benefit and ours, we needed to know the potential problems in the City's financial plan, and the state of the systems by which the City's financial data is generated. Andersen received the complete cooperation of the City in undertaking its study, and submitted a report, as of December 29, to the Treasury. The final report was released to the public on January 14. I am submitting a copy for the record. Later I shall discuss some of the numerous specific findings, but three points highlight the scope of the task that we faced in monitoring the City's financial condition: The City does not have an auditable accounting^ system; it is essentially unable to determine its actual accounts payable or receivable on a current basis. - 7Consequently, it is unable to prepare a consolidated statement of financial position. It will take a substantial period of time to implement an auditable accounting system. Since December, the City has made a major effort to remedy this situation, but it is a long-term process and it would be unrealistic to expect immediate cures. Progress Since December Since January, we have made the loans which I described earlier, and focussed our efforts on improving the monthly reports. There are still many uncovered areas left, many qualifications and many inconsistencies which suggested that the City was either unable to provide key parts of the report, or did not understand their purpose. We went back to the City. We discussed the omissions, pointed out the inconsistencies, and tried to indicate where the information supplied was not what the report called for. The second monthly report, received on March 15 and covering the month of January, was a distinct improvement over the previous one. But it had some of the same problems on a smaller scale. We went back and discussed them again. By March, we had enough experience to request Arthur Andersen to revise the monthly reports so as to provide better information. At the same time, we asked them to review the revised Financial Plan and the City's procedures for improving the systems. Andersen is presently conducting these reviews, and will submit a report to us this month. In revising these reporting requirements, we have worked closely with the staff of the Emergency Financial Control Board in order to develop reports that will serve our joint requirements. This will simultaneously reduce the reporting burden on the City and expand the scope of our coverage. In the course of our work, we have already learned a great deal about the City's cost and revenue structure. The Act does not authorize us to decide which action the City should take in meeting its Plan, but we felt we would be remiss in not making available our analyses about areas where costs might be cut over both the near- and long-term. - 8The Task Ahead The Act has already accomplished part of its objective. The Beame Plan is a milestone, evidence that the City is able, willing, and determined to take the steps necessary to eliminate its deficit by June 30, 1978. But the task ahead is made more difficult by the fact that, as each month passes, we must obtain better and more reliable information about the status and prospects for the City. If we cannot do this, it will become increasingly difficult to authorize loans. More reliable data is needed because each month the margin for error grows thinner. We can confidently conclude that there is a reasonable prospect for repayment of the loans we have made this year, despite known problems with the data, because there is a comfortable margin for error. If the City finds that it has incorrectly estimated revenues or expenses, there is still more than two years to correct it. In this first year of the Plan, there is still enough flexibility in the three-year financing plan to cushion these errors while the corrections are being instituted. But as time passes, it will become increasingly difficult for the City to make whatever corrections are necessary. Consequently, complying with statutory conditions precedent to making the loan will become increasingly difficult without greater confidence in the reliability of the facts. To ensure that future data is sufficiently reliable to make the judgments the Act requires, we must be confident of the facts and the forecasts. We must have evidence that their reliability is improving -- and this means audits and independent analyses. The task of auditing the nation's largest city is enormous. Apart from the City's own financial staff, the State has some 85 auditors assigned to this job. In addition, the Emergency Financial Control Board has currently established a staff of some 50 professionals, most of whom are auditors and accountants. Even a very limited review of the City's economic progress can be time consuming in view of the complexity of the issues. In testifying before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs on April 2, Comptroller General Elmer Staats indicated that even the limited "oversight 0 role envisioned for the GAO is likely to require 12-14 staff-years annually. Nevertheless, we believe it will be possible to carry out our responsibilities under the Act with the funds we have requested. We intend to keep the office small by relying on outside expertise for assistance during peak periods and in specialized studies. Furthermore, we will coordinate our work with the State, Control Board, and the GAO so as to take maximum advantage of the studies they are undertaking. But our greatest asset in attempting this monitoring agreement with very limited staff is the Credit Agreement and the reports which the City must prepare in compliance with this Agreement. The Credit Agreement provides all the reports which the Secretary will normally need to authorize a loan, and allows him to request others. The job is to assure that the facts and forecasts contained in these reports are accurate. To oversee this task, and to carry out the other administrative and monitoring functions required by the Act, we have recently established a separate organizational unit within Treasury to be known as the Office of New York Finance. We estimate that it will be composed of approximately a dozen persons under the direction of a Deputy who reports directly to the Assistant Secretary. To verify the factual accuracy of the reports we receive, the Office will assemble a staff of professionals capable of undertaking direct audits in limited areas as well as working with outside accountants and the other auditing groups on more extensive reviews. Our first target will probably be review of the expense reduction program. This is perhaps the single most critical area if the City is to meet its plan. We know that there has been some slippage at this point in view of the City's limited ability to enforce cuts on a monthly -- as opposed to annual -- basis. At this time, we believe that the most meaningful time to conduct a full review during the current fiscal year will be in May or June. The December Andersen report has identified certain other areas where inadequate controls suggest that in-depth analyses may be useful. For example, the time lags in recording accounts payable, the adequacy of the reserve for uncollected real estate taxes, and the progress in reducing capital expenditures are among the key candidates for more intensive review. It would be difficult to specify the order at this time, however. We will make the decision on priorities after we receive the Andersen report due this month, and have a more precise idea of the audits which the Control Board staff plans to undertake. The remaining staff in the office will principally be devoted to analyzing forecasts and other data which is too judgmental to be characterized as factual, but is nevertheless critical to the success of the Plan. Again, the Andersen report provides an excellent framework. Among the key areas for study, in our view, are the accuracy of the general revenue forecasts, the soon-to-be-released Shinn Commission review of pension cost adjustments, the question of welfare cost claim disallowances, and the City's projected savings from withdrawing from the social security system. Several of these issues have implications for other cities as well. We will undertake especially detailed analyses in these areas: How New York resolves its pension funding, the benefits it derives from withdrawing from the Social Security system, the interpretation of welfare regulations affecting New York's claim for reimbursement, and other questions will be watched closely by other cities. Their resolution may well set precedents which will endure long after the last seasonal loan has been repaid. We are requesting appropriations for the period September 30 1976, through September 30, 1977. In terms of the administration of this loan, there is no more critical period. It encompasses the last billion of financing in 1977, under the current schedule, and the first financings in fiscal year 1978. With the amount we have requested, $1.25 million to oversee a $2.3 billion loan, we believe we can carry out this task. oOo FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. April 6, 1976 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $6,100,000,000 > thereabouts, to be issued April 15, 1976, or as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) in the amount of $2,700,000,000* or thereabouts, representing an additional amount of bills dated January 15, 1976, and to mature July 15, 1976 (CUSIP No. 912793 ZY 5) , originally issued in the amount of $3,403,500,000, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills, for $3,400,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated April 15, 1976, and to mature October 14, 1976 (CUSIP No. 912793 B5 4) . The bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing April 15, 1976, outstanding in the amount of $6,094,635,000, of which Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks, for themselves and as agents of foreign and international monetary authorities, presently hold $2,854,980,000 These accounts may exchange bills they hold for the bills now being offered at the average prices of accepted tenders. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form in denominations of $10,000, $15,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value), and in book-entry form to designated bidders. Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, April 12. 1976. Tenders will not be received at the Department of the Treasury, Washington. Each tender must be for a minimum of $10,000. multiples of $5,000. Tenders over $10,000 must be in In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e.g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government WS-769 (OVER) -2- ' securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions with respect to Government securities and borrowings thereon may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account., Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting competitive tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500,000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on April 15, 1976, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing ment. April 15, 1976. Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treat- Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills, Under Sections 454(b) and 1221(5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and the bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder must include in his Federal income tax return, as ordinary gain or loss, the difference between the price paid for the bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made. Department of the Treasury Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notid prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. oOo he DepartmenTS^REASUR Y (VSHINGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 964-2041 I / * Contact: Herbert C. Shelley Extension 8256 April 6, 1976 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY ANNOUNCES FINAL MODIFICATION OF DUMPING FINDING ON LARGE POWER TRANSFORMERS FROM THE UNITED KINGDOM Assistant Secretary of the Treasury, David R. Macdonald, announced today a final modification of the dumping finding on imports of large power transformers from the United Kingdom. This decision revokes the finding with respect to three U.K. firms. The dumping finding was published on June 14, 1972 pursuant to the provisions of the Antidumping Act of 1921, as amended. Notice of the final modification will be published in the Federal Register of April 7, 1976. The tentative modification of the dumping finding was published on November 14, 1975 after it was determined that three firms, Hawker Siddeley Electric Export, Ltd., London, England; Ferranti, Ltd., Manchester, England; and Parsons Peebles Power Transformers, Ltd., Edinburgh, Scotland, had had no sales to the United States at less than fair value since the dumping finding. These firms additionally provided assurances that no future sales would be at less than fair value. In addition to the announced modification of the finding, Mr. Macdonald indicated that a new policy concerning revocation of dumping findings had been established. Assistant Secretary Macdonald stated that petitioners for revocation of dumping findings would be notified that if sales at less than fair value were demonstrated subsequent to a revocation, a new investigation would be initiated. In the new investigation, however, unlike current Treasury policy, serious consideration would be given to making any withholding of appraisement issued retroactive from the date of such withholding. Mr. Macdonald noted that "this measure will ensure our continued even-handed and equitable administration of the Antidumping Act.11 JU JU J/\ WS-770 /v /* >„rL,L. n,^A Department of the Treasu^/ Office of the Fiscal ibbm:aa!5_date: 4/2/76 Assistant Secretary The attached Fact Sheet has been revised to broaden the third sentence of paragraph 11 to reflect all local financial organizations -- not only banks. We plan to meet with all financial organization groups. J.T. Spahr 0 FACT SHEET ON CLOSING OF CASH ROOM For Use by Office of Public Affairs 1. The Cash Room was established in 18 69 and was a part of the so-called "Independent Treasury System" consisting of the Treasury building in Washington, D,C, and nine Subtreasuries located in principal cities throughout the United States.1/ 2. The function of the Cash Room and the Subtreasuries was to provide for the receipt and payment of public moneys, Thus, they accepted deposits from Government disbursing officers, redeemed and issued United States currency and coin, and cashed checks, warrants and drafts drawn on the Treasury. 3. From the time of establishment of the Independent Treasury System in 184 6 until the National Banking System was established in 1863, the Subtreasuries served to decentralize the Treasuryfs transactions with the public — at a time when the Charter of the Bank of the United States had been revoked and during a period when State banks were not capable of serving the Federal Government's financial needs, 4, With the advent of the National Banking System in 1863, the Treasury began to cooperate more closely with banking interests for economic and practical reasons, but retained the Independent Treasury System at arm's length from the banking'system. With the establishment of the Federal Reserve System in 1913, the Independent Treasury System became obsolete for all practical purposes and the Subtreasuries were discontinued by legislation in 1920 t 5. The Cash Room has continued operation, howeverr providing some of the services provided to the public generally by commercial banks: cashing checks drawn on the Treasuryf exchanging currency and coin, issuing and .redeeming U t S t Savings Bonds, and redeeming coupons on U*St bearer obliga^ tions, 6. The services provided at the Cash Room — principally cashing checks and receiving deposits of collections from Government agencies — are no longer economically justifiedr and the operation is targeted to be discontinued on June 3C, 1976, 1/ These cities were Boston, New York, Chicago, San Francisco, New Orleans( Baltimorer St. Louisr Philadelphia, and Cincinnati, -2The Treasury does not perform these services at any other location in the United States, and the cost is too great merely to maintain a tradition stemming from the earlier Independent Treasury era. . With respect to agencies now depositing collections with the Cash Room, arrangements are being made for such deposits to be made with commercial banks in the area. . Over half of the checks cashed at the Cash Room are Federal salary checks for local Government employees, some 9,000 checks each-month. These employees can elect to participate in either the Government's direct-deposit system or the savings allotment program and have their salaries credited in whole or in part to accounts in financial organizations of their choice. . Another 20 percent of the checks cashed, about 3,000, are* District of Columbia welfare and unemployment checks, prepared for the D.C. Government by the Treasury's Washington Disbursing Center. When the District's home-rule charter is fully effective, these payments will be drawn on depositaries other than the Treasury and would not be cashable at the Cash Room in any event. . The remaining 25 percent of Cash Room encashments, or about 3,700 monthly items, are for social security and veterans disability and pension benefits; and tax refund and other Federal payments. They * represent only a small portion of the checks issued under these programs to all D.C. residents -an indication that other check-cashing facilities are widely available. Social security recipients may elect to participat in a recently installed nationwide system of direct deposits to financial organizations, and others may make similar arrangements. The Treasury will make every effort to encourage local financial organizations to make alternative check-cashing arrangements available for affected individuals. For those individuals with chronic check-cashing problems, we will provide for individual consultations in order to be of all assistance possible. Discussions will be held with officials financial organizations in the District of Columbia to request their organizations to encourage individuals not now having accounts to establish them for purposes of having a financial organization relationship for their financial needs -including check-cashing privileges. All present users of \ * 1 the check-cashing services at the Cash Room will be individuals notified, beginning in April 1976, of the move to discontinue the service. That announcement will also discuss possible alternative arrangements and offer the Treasury's assistance Office of Fiscal Assistant Secretary March 197 6 STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE WILLIAM E. SIMON SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON AVIATION OF THE SENATE COMMERCE COMMITTEE WEDNESDAY, APRIL 7, 1976 Mr. Chairman and Members of This Distinguished Committee: It is a pleasure to appear before you today to discuss legislation which I believe to be of the utmost importance: S. 2551, The Aviation Act. As the Committee is aware, the reform of government regulation is a principal goal of the Administration and, I am pleased to note, of a growing number of Members of Congress as well. In recent months, government officials and the general public have become increasingly aware of the problems created by a regulatory system which no longer serves the needs of today's dynamic economy. Many Americans have come to recognize that government regulation too often stifles the creativity and productivity of the competitive market place resulting in both lower quality of service and higher prices. The rapid development of the U.S. economy over the years has resulted from the favorable combination of the Nation's natural resources, our productive labor force, the efficient provision of needed capital and a form of business organization which has emphasized reliance on competitive market forces and profit incentives to stimulate growth and efficiency. The allocation of human and material resources has generally been left to the market to determine rather than relying on unwanted government controls although such intervention has unfortunately increased. The resulting decisions about prices and output are not the result of central planning; instead, they reflect the long-term balance between what we want and what can be supplied. While this balance can become distorted —sometimes grotesquely as we are now witnessing in some industries — the market system has served us well and it remains the key aspect of our productive economy. The policies of the Federal Government have a direct influence on the private economy. It is a major purchaser of goods and services. It promulgates numerous legislative and administrative rules. Its allocation of funds to projects often determines the future course of private sector decisions. Whatever its reasons for involvement in the economy, the Government has a responsibility to encourage WS-771 reduce resources, efficiency unnecessary or and increase fairness. demands output To for the using limited degree human that and efficiency material can -2the same resources, inflation pressures can be moderated. Unfortunately, Government involvement in the economy too often restricts efficiency. Regulatory practices become obsolete as the functions originally required fail to adapt to changing economic and industry conditions. The transportation industry is a classic example. In responding to special interests the general interests may suffer. Government policies cannot be based on such fragmented reactions. We must develop a more comprehensive set of guidelines which will be more consistent with our dynamic economy. Bureaucratic enforcement of legislative and administrative rules may become unnecessarily burdensome. It is useful to periodically review Government activities to identify specific actions which can improve the efficient use of resources. The Administration and Congress have jointly recognized the great need to review the extensive regulatory functions of government. Universal agreement exists that widespread modification of regulatory practices is required to correct the many individual abuses now recognized and to provide a healthy environment for the future development of the U.S. economy which must create more jobs and become more productive to moderate inflation and use our resources more efficiently. What are some of the ingredients of a competitive market? In a free enterprise system, companies vigorously compete with one another. As long as new businesses are able to form and enter markets and as long as there is no collusion among competitive firms as to pricing, every company will strive to maximize its efficiency in the production and marketing of goods and services to gain a competitive advantage. The incentive for such actions is potential profitability. A record of profitable operations is the fundamental factor in enabling a business enterprise to attract necessary financial capital from lenders and investors for further development. In order to attract financial capital, a company must demonstrate an acceptable level of profit potential relative to the risk involved. Private savings are channeled directly, or indirectly through a financial institution, to investment opportunities on the basis of expected risk ana return. it is the profit motive on the part of companies Z*lt l~Sx K l n t h e c o n t i n u a l search for more efficient o ™ L ^ ? ° ^ m e s s . Consumers benefit from the intense J S 1 ? " f m ° n g companies by being able to purchase a n or wfth ?i«C ° f P r o d u c t s and services at a lower price or with less inconvenience than would otherwise be the case. -3In the commercial airline industry, many of the basic characteristics of competitive markets are missing. Price competition is virtually nonexistent because rates, schedules and specific route structures essentially are set by government regulation. As a result, we see competition taking the form of more flights, special meals, splashy colors and costumes, piano bars and what have you. In the final analysis, the consumer pays a significantly higher price than he need pay for air travel because of the lack of meaningful competition and the absence of consumer choice as to the travel services desired- The price mechanism is the focal point for competitive markets and efficiency in most industries. Unfortunately, the prevention of price competition in the airline industry restricts the efficiency and responsiveness of companies and leads to deteriorating service even as prices continue to rise sharply. During the last five to six years the airline industry has received eight regulated fare increases totalling 33 percent but this rapid surge of prices has not solved the basic financial problems of low profitability and strained financial positions. Increasing operating costs — particularly fuel, labor and airport fees — have created severe financial pressures. But airlines have not been able to seek increased volume through price competition so the increasing fares tend to be counter-productive by driving customers away. A basic variable in promoting price competition is the absence of agreements among companies. Yet in the airline industry we witness various anticompetitive agreements dealing with such things as pool revenues, capacity limits, the price of headsets and drinks, and so forth. It is not that these agreements are illegal; the Civil Airenautics Board specifically permits them. Nonetheless, in most instances they are anticompetitive and the marketplace for air travel is compromised further. Competitive markets also require freedom of entry. If competition truly exists then companies cannot earn excessive profits for very long before other firms will enter the market. The entry of competing firms and the resulting price competition tend to eliminate unusual advantages and cause profits to return to levels which more realistically reflect demand and supply relationships. In the process, the consumer benefits from lower prices than would otherwise prevail. The possibility of new entrants also assures innovation and new ideas. It keeps companies already established in the market on their toes so that they continually improve efficiency and service. In short, free entry is the very essence of competitive markets. -4When barriers to entry are erected, as they are in the airline industry, the consumer does not have the benefit of "new blood." Existing carriers are protected from the driving forces of competition and, to a degree, can afford to be less concerned with innovation and efficiency. Barriers to entry influence not only the distribution of routes but other rigidities in the services provided. Such rigidities are completely contrary to the basic operation of free enterprise; they inevitably lead to less efficiency, less creativity, and higher prices. It is easy to see that government regulation produces higher fares when we compare fares of CAB regulated carriers with intrastate carrier fares — for example Southwest Airlines which operates only in Texas. In these markets, intrastate carriers which are not subject to Federal economic regulation have been allowed to enter new markets. The lower-cost service they provide has generated additional demand for air travel, permitting these carriers to fly with more passengers per plane and to offer lower prices. For example, the interstate fare from New York City to Washington, D.C, a distance of about 215 miles is now $36 according to CAB regulations. For a flight from Dallas to Houston, a comparable distance of 222 miles, the fare of Southwest Airlines is $25 on weekdays and $15 for evening and weekend travel. In the 1930fs, the "infant industry" argument was used for the economic regulation of airlines so as to give them a period of protection. After forty years, however, the industry is no longer an infant. If we keep in place present regulations well past the time an industry is an infant, a youth, or even a young adult, as we did with the railroads, the results are predictable. There will be subsidy after subsidy followed by deteriorating service and rising prices. In the end, the government itself may have to intervene directly to prop up the entire airline industry just as it has had to pass legislation to sustain the operation of many railroads. The evidence of the disastrous impact of regulation fcy the Interstate Commerce Commission in disrupting the railroad industry is clear. We must not let this happen to ™ ^ r i l n e ^ n d u s t r y- It is time to allow the forces of competition to provide better service at lower costs to the consumer. -5Now this is not to say that the airline industry should be entirely free of regulation. It is clear to all of us that the public interest must be protected in having high safety standards, continuity of certain route service and perhaps other things of this sort. However, the public interest is not served by inefficiency, rigidities in the services offered and by higher prices than are necessary. Areas other than those clearly identified to be in keeping with the public interest should be left to the marketplace. The cleansing forces of competition will assure greater efficiency and lower prices to the public than can be accomplished by the government. The bill before you calls for the gradual introduction of pricing flexibility in the airline industry and the gradual relaxation of barriers to entry. It also calls for prohibiting anticompetitive agreements. These changes will not cause sudden dislocations in the industry, but rather a steady movement toward more competition, more innovation, better service, and lower prices. If ever a time was ripe for such a bill, what with the inflation we have experienced, it is now. The Administration believes that the survival and growth of our airline system depdnds upon the industry's ability to adjust more rapidly to changing economic conditions. We have designed a program of gradual, phased reduction of government regulation as a means of achieving this goal. Specific transition measures have been built into the bill to reduce uncertainty and to permit the airlines to gradually adjust to a changed regulatory environment. As with any fundamental change in public policy, our proposal has met with mixed reactions. Interestingly enough, airline management and aviation interest groups are among the strongest defenders of the status quo. They claim that The Aviation Act will disrupt airline service and cause public inconvenience and confusion, reduce or eliminate service to small communities, and produce market chaos which will destroy the "finest air transportation system in the world." I grow uneasy whenever the regulated grow too comfortable with the regulations imposed upon them. 163 -6The same sort of hue and cry arose last summer when competition in commission rates charged by stockbrokers was permitted for the first time in two hundred years. They were convinced thatcthe removal of government regulation would ruin the securities industry and reduce service to the small investor. Nearly one year later, we find that the stock market is up and that the industry is strong. The rates on large institutional trades have been cut nearly in half. And the "unbundling" of rates for brokerage services has permitted the small investor the flexibility to purchase only those services which he wants and for which he is willing to pay. I cannot believe that airline executives really want to continue a system which affords them little or no opportunity to run their own business and which has rendered them essentially unable to attract needed investment capital. And I am sure that no one in Congress, the Administration, or the public at large is willing to stand by and watch our airlines in the 1980 's suffer the same problems as passenger railroads have experienced. We all have a tremendous stake in the future of this vital industry. We must overcome the natural tendency to concentrate on short-run needs at the expense of long-range consequences. The Aviation Act and these hearings provide us an opportunity to get at the substance Thank you. of the matter of economic efficiency in concert with the public interest. 01 Contact: Donald Cameron Extension 2951 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE April 7, 1976 TREASURY ANNOUNCES TWO ACTIONS UNDER THE ANTIDUMPING ACT Assistant Secretary of the Treasury David R. Macdonald announced today the issuance of a six-month withholding of appraisement in the antidumping investigation of AC Adapters from Japan, pending a determination as to whether the subject merchandise is being sold at less than fair value within the meaning of the Antidumping Act, 1921, as amended. Under the Antidumping Act, the Secretary of the Treasury is required to withhold appraisement whenever he has reasonable cause to believe or suspect that sales at less than fair value may be taking place. A final decision in this case will be made on or before July 8, 1976. Appraisement will be withheld for a period not to exceed six months from the date of publication of the "Withholding of Appraisement Notice" in the Federal Register. Under the Antidumping Act, a final determination of sales in the United States at less than fair value requires that the case be referred to the U.S. International Trade Commission, which then considers whether an American industry is being, or is likely to be, injured. Both sales at less than fair value and injury must be shown to justify a finding of dumping under the law. Upon a finding of dumping, a special duty is assessed. During the period of May 1975 through October 1975, imports of AC Adapters from Japan were valued at approximately $142,000. Mr. Macdonald also indicated that he was issuing an "Antidumping Proceeding Notice" on clear sheet glass from Romania following a summary investigation conducted by the U.S. Customs Service after receipt of a petition alleging that sales at less than fair value are occurring in the United States. WS-772 (Over) - 2 - The petition also provided sufficient evidence of injury to the domestic industry to warrant an investigation. Imports of clear sheet glass from Romania during the period of January 1975 through November 1975 were valued at roughly $2 million. Notice of these actions will appear in the Federal Register of April 8, 1976. ~~ * * * 0 FOR RELEASE UPON DELIVERY APRIL 8, 1976 STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE GERALD L. PARSKY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY FOR INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON FOREIGN OPERATIONS OF THE SENATE APPROPRIATIONS COMMITTEE APRIL 8, 1976 at 10:00 a.m. EST Mr. Chairman, last year the four international development banks made commitments Tor new loans totalling $8.5 billion for 377 projects in 84 countries. This total is far more than the bilateral economic development program of the U.S. or any other country. For most developing countries outside the Middle East the programs of the international development banks have become the core of their external financing. Most aid donors from both Europe and the Middle East build their bilateral programs around, and in cooperation with, the banks' programs. The U.S. contribution to this truly mammoth development effort requires appropriations of a little over a billion dollars in FY-77. About $300 million of this total is for callable capital which is unlikely to result in any outlays ever from the U.S. Treasury. Callable capital is a guarantee facilitating the sale of bonds by the banks in the capital markets of the world. Mr. Chairman, Treasury has testified each year about these banks and I would presume not to repeat the basic details on their creation and growth which you and the committee know so well. I shall try to focus on a few of the key reasons why continued support for the banks at the level requested is in the national interest, despite the many competing domestic demands for funds, and review the current funding situation and recent developments in each bank. Detailed statements on the International Development Association (IDA), the International Finance Corporation (IFC), the Inter- American DevelopWS-773 ment Bank (IDB), the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and the African Development Fund (AFDF) are annexes to this statement. - 2 I shall do my best to answer questions on any of these institutions as well as any general questions you may have on the banks. Mr. Charles A. Cooper U.S Executive Director for the World Bank Group, Mr. John M. Porges, U.S. Executive Director at the IDB and Mr. John A. Bushnell, my Deputy at the Treasury for Developing Nations Finance are here with me today and are also available for questions. We believe that the World Bank Group and the three regional banks provide important extra dimensions to development assistance. Economic development is not primarily a matter of external funding. While money is needed, the key factors determining the success of development efforts are the policies and priorities followed by each country. The development banks make important contributions in precisely such areas by encouraging the adoption of sound economic policies, by assisting in institution building, and by supporting successful development efforts made by the countries themselves. The banks have developed highly competent professional international staffs which help the developing countries with the complex problems of priority setting and institution building. These international staffs bring together outstanding professionals from both developed and developing countries. In both the World Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank there are more Americans than any other nationality, and overall Americans make up about 25 percent of the development bank staffs. The banks are cost efficient institutions. For example, the combined administrative budgets of the banks in 1975 accounted for only 3 percent of the $8.5 billion lent out that year. Moreover, included in the administrative budgets are expenses for technical assistance, training centers, etc. which are not directly associated with the cost of making loans. From the U.S, national point of view, these banks encourage development along lines compatible with our own economy. They stress the role of market forces in the ettective allocation of resources and the development of outward-looking trading economies. Through contact with tne international development banks, developing countries f f f ^ a r i \ l n g t0, " d m i n i s t e r l a r 9 e Procurement programs ? " f C t I V f l y a n d h o n e s " y . These programs will result in increased procurement of goods and services in the United i i n ^ 3 f f U t U r e m a r k e t * for our products, thus ! S S. e n , P < ? y , n e ? t i n ° U r c o u "try. Our participation m the international development banks will also provide - 3 - 7 more assured access to essential raw materials, and a better climate for U.S. private investment in the developing world. There is clear evidence that in all of the international development banks increasing attention is being given to, and a greater volume of loans are being made for, the direct benefit of the urban and rural poor. Assistance is being directed increasingly to the poorest countries and to low income groups in all borrowing countries. About 92 percent of IDA credits are made to countries with per capita incomes below $200, and the ADB makes loans on concessional terms only to member countries with per capita incomes of less than $300; About 50 percent of IDB's concessional loans are being made to the nine poorest countries in Latin America, and this percentage is expected to continue rising steadily in the future. All of the international development banks are increasing their lending for projects which directly assist the rural and urban poor. In recent years the banks have placed greater emphasis on agriculture, the family farm, and cooperatives — an emphasis we have encouraged and supported. The IDB has been the leader, for example, in lending for integrated rural development, cooperatives, farm-to-market roads, and rural water supply. The World Bank and IDA have made several loans for population projects and for sites and services to improve living conditions for the poorest groups. The IDA, as well as the African Development Fund, have made loans for the drought-stricken Sahel region of Africa. The ADB is taking the lead in loans involving light and intermediate technology which benefit the poor. I would emphasize that the change in emphasis toward direct assistance to the poor is slower than some of us would like and we continue to press within the banks for a greater concentration to reach directly the poorest groups in each borrowing member. We must also not lose sight of the fact that basic infrastructure projects — roads, ports, electric power and major irrigation — are still necessary to provide the basis for overall growth of the developing country economies. The development banks are part of an international structure in which the developed and developing countries work together to solve problems. The development banks are not debating societies which engage in seemingly endless rhetoric about restructuring of the world economy — they are working institutions that get things done. By cooperating with other developed countries in funding these institutions we improve the effectiveness of our own efforts. - 4 Other donor countries strongly support this cooperative approach and multilateral institutions are being used for an increasing share of the total development assistance of other industrial donor countries. The United States is no longer the leader in directing assistance through the development banks; the constraints on our support are a principal limitation on their growth as other countries, in general, are prepared to multilateralize a greater part of their assistance. Bilateral aid remains, of course, of major importance. There are special aspects of economic assistance that require bilateral programs, especially where we have special techniques or products to impart, where we have special interests in individual projects or programs, or where security considerations are heavily involved. But U.S. support for the multilateral institutions is essential if we are to meet today's and tomorrow's challenges of improving the prospects for the millions in developing countries which our bilateral programs do not reach. In our contributions to the international development banks, we have been trying to reduce U.S. budgetary outlays by making relatively less available to the soft loan windows of these institutions and relying more on U.S. contributions of callable ordinary capital. Callable capital does not involve budgetary outlays; thus, emphasizing callable capital fits in well with the Administration's strong efforts to achieve budgetary constraint. Moreover, since our private capital market is a major source of borrowing by the international development banks, it is appropriate that the United States provide an increased proportion of its overall contributions to these banks in the form of callable capital, while other donors with less well-developed capital markets undertake a greater share of funding for the soft loan windows of the banks. This shift in burden-sharing is illustrated by the recent trends in U.S. contributions to the concessional funds of the banks. Our contribution to the Fourth Replenishment of IDA is one-third of the total, as compared with 43 percent m our initial contribution in 1961, 42 percent of the First IDA Replenishment, and 40 percent of both IDA II and IDA III. i n the case of the new IDB replenishment, our contribution to the Bank's concessional resources would be reduced to $600 million, or 57 percent of the total, tn ? h m P ? o ^ W i t h $ i b i l U o n ' or 67 percent of the total in the 1970 replenishment. rpn^i?chlie lF(Z' °Ur Share in the Proposed total capital a^comiarp^^, f H^o Y 1 9 7 7 ~ 7 9 w o u l d f a l 1 t o * b °ut 25 percent as compared with 32 percent m the initial capitalization. - 5 - ' And in the Asian Fund the U.S. share will also decline, although we want to maintain our share of the ordinary ADB capital through full appropriation of the amount requested for FY-77. One of the advantages to the United States of burdensharing in the international development banks is that it provides us with substantial leverage in the use of our foreign assistance funds. Thus our appropriations request of about $1 billion in FY 1977 will be associated with nearly $10 billion of total lending by these banks. Because of burden-sharing by the other donor countries, and their consequent sharing of the role in the decision-making process as members of these institutions, we do not — as we do in our bilateral aid programs — have complete control over the activities of the banks. These institutions, as you know, are clearly not part of the U.S. Government. What we have to weigh, therefore, is whether, on balance, the international development banks generally perform in ways which meet U.S. objectives even if, for example, they make some loans or lend to some countries that do not meet with our approval. In this connection most of the total lending by the international development banks is to countries — such as South Korea, the Philippines, Pakistan, Tunisia, Brazil, Egypt and Colombia — where we have strong interests nd where we now have or recently have had substantial bilateral aid programs. Appropr iations Requests To provide for continued U.S. support of the international development banks in FY-77 we are requesting appropriations of $1,030.6 million of which $734.1 million will require Treasury outlays and $296.5 million is callable capital — guarantees unlikely to require expenditures. The Administration is seeking: — $375 million for the second U.S. installment of the fourth replenishment of IDA; — $45 million as the first U.S. installment in the first replenishment in twenty years for the International Finance Corporation; — $240 million for the second installment of the fourth replenishment of IDB ordinary capital ($40 million of paid-in capital and $200 million of callable capital); — $200 million for the first installment of the replenishment of the resources of the IDB's soft loan window, the Fund for Special Operations (FSO); - 6 $120.6 million for the third installment of the first capital replenishment of the ADB ($24.1 paid-in and $96.5 callable); $50 million for the initial U.S. contribution to the first replenishment of the resources of the soft loan window of the ADB, the Asian Development Fund (ADF). In addition, the President has just transmitted to the Congress a request for supplemental appropriations for FY 1976. In this supplemental request the Administration is seeking: — $240 million for the first installment of the fourth replenishment of IDB ordinary capital ($40 million of paid-in capital and $200 million of callable capital); — $15 million for the initial U.S. contribution to the African Development Fund (AFDF). These U.S. contributions are part of the multilateral effort in funding the international development banks in which the U.S. contributes only a part — and an increasingly smaller part as can be seen in the table attached to this statement. If other donors are to continue supporting these banks, we must do our part by delivering on the amounts we agree to contribute The Administration is not seeking a contribution for the "Third Window" of the World Bank which lends at an interest roughly half way between that of the World Bank and that of IDA because we believe priority should be given to IDA and IFC appropriations. Our participation in the Fourth IDA replenishment was authorized by Public Law 93-373 and our participation in the replenishment of the capital resources of the Asian Development Bank in Public Law 93-537. Authorizing legislation for participation in the replenishment of the IDB passed the House of Representatives as HR 9721 on December 9, 1975, and the Senate on March 30. A conference, necessitated by differences in the House and Senate versions of the bill is expected to be held soon. Legislation authorizing U.S. participation m the replenishment of the IFC and ADF was transmitted to the Congress in February, ™nf HK V21 provides for the United States to make three contributions of >400 million per year to the replenishment ? ,n *-?? P ! "sources of the IDB beginning in FY 1976 and 11 oroSiSii fo n'i1 C a l l a b l e » ^ FY 1979. The bill also provides for U.S. membership m the African Development Fund with an appropriation in FY 1976. v f In the IDB a new class of shares, known as inter-regional capital, will be created to facilitate the entry of nonregional members. We are not requesting appropriation of the callable inter-regional capital because covenants limiting IDB borrowing to the amount of appropriated U.S. ordinary callable capital would not apply to inter-regional callable capital. This matter is explained in more detail in Annex 3 on the IDB. We signed up for IDA IV in January 1975 without appropriations because we knew that, while other donors had made advanced contributions to allow IDA to continue making commitments, they would contribute no additional funds until the United States formally agreed to the replenishment. Such action by the other donors would have forced IDA to stop lending to the world's poorest countries. By agreeing to contribute one-third of the funds for IDA IV we assured that others would contribute the other two-thirds of the funds and IDA has continued to make commitments for projects and programs in the poorest countries. The nature of our current arrangements concerning IDA, frankly, give me a great deal of concern. We should be aware of the implications of the procedure under which we are beginning our contributions one year late and spreading our contribution to IDA IV over four years while IDA commits the funds in three years. Under the present schedule IDA will have committed all IDA IV resources three months before the end of FY-77. Yet we shall have half of our contribution still awaiting appropriation in FY-78 and FY-79. As you know, the Conference Committee on April 1 recommended $320 million for the first installment of the U.S. contribution to IDA IV. We will need to have the $55 million appropriated in FY 1977 in addition to the full $375 million requested if we are not to fall further behind other donors in providing funds to IDA. To complicate matters, negotiations have already started on the next IDA replenishment. IDA hopes that the fifth replenishment will take effect by July, 1977, so that there is no period during which IDA commitments must stop. Some of you have suggested that we provide commitment authority to IDA subject to appropriation. This procedure would mean that in FY-78 appropriations would be necessary to meet not only the $375 million third payment for IDA IV but also for the first payment for IDA V. Such appropriations would total more than double the current request even if the /0 U.S. share of IDA V is substantially reduced. Although I would welcome your views on this problem, I do not believe we can resolve it this morning. However, this situation does emphasize the great importance of full appropriation of the $375 million plus any shortfall from FY 76 in FY-77 if the United States is to continue as an active supporter of IDA's key development role in the poorest countries. The Administration believes that for the United States to turn its back on IDA is unthinkable. The need for funds in the other banks is also urgent. The IDB ran out of commitment authority to make new loans in late 1975 and would have had to cease lending except for a change in its regulations that allowed it to make new commitments against loan reflows and certain reserves on a temporary basis until the new replenishment becomes effective. Even after doing this the IDB had only $73 million in remaining commitment authority from ordinary capital at the end of 1975; these funds have already been allocated for a couple of pending loans. Thus the IDB is now unable to make new ordinary capital loans. The supplemental FY-76 appropriations which are obviously urgently needed will be used in part to reverse this temporary accounting change made last year. Thus the Bank will again have exhausted its commitment authority by about the beginning of FY-77. The FSO will also run out of commitment authority by the beginning of FY-77. The Asian Development Bank has only $41 million of commitment authority remaining for soft funds, and these funds remain only because it reduced its soft lending in CY-75 to $166 million from $173 million in CY-74. The Bank has made no soft loans so far in 1976. During 1975, the United States participated in negotiations on an ADF replenishment but did not commit itself concerning the specific timing or amount of any U.S. contribution. Last December, the ADB Governors approved a resolution providing for an $830 million replenishment with a suggested U.S. share of $231 million. The United States abstained on the resolution and no final decision has yet been taken on the full amount to be requested from the Congress for a 3-year U.S. contribution. We are, however, requesting $50 million as the U.S. contribution to the ADF for FY 1977 to continue the level of U.S. support of the ADF in recent years. The pipeline of available funds for concessional lending has been reduced below minimum levels by the delays in U.S. contributions. Soft convertible funds of the regional banks available for commitment declined from $285 million at the beginning of 1975 to only $100 million by the end of the year. 11 - 9 The inability to make new commitments not only delays the financing of good projects but also weakens the morale and dedication of the banks' staffs. The $45 million appropriation request for the IFC is part of a $480 million capital increase for the Corporation. The total U.S. share is about $112 million. We regard the IFC expansion as a major element in our program for aiding the developing countries. IFC, a member of the World Bank Group, is the only multilateral agency specifically designed to encourage private sector growth in the developing countries. It is unique among international development institutions in that it purchases equity and operates without government guarantees. The U.S. has taken the lead in publicly supporting a major expansion of IFC capital through statements made by Secretary Simon at the annual meeting of the IBRD/IMF in September 1975 and by Secretary Kissinger at the UN Seventh Special Session in the same month. The proposal has since received widespread support from other countries and international negotiations are expected to be completed soon. The U.S. has always stressed that the development process involves a cooperative effort between the public and private sectors --.domestic and foreign. The task is too big and resources too scarce to permit a dependence on one or the other. A high level of private investment has been a common factor behind the growth experience of three of the most successful LDCs — Brazil, South Korea and Taiwan. Low rates of private investment have tended to be associated with low rates of economic growth. Public investments in infrastructure yield low returns if not followed up by further investment in more directly productive activities. The private sector has proven its effectiveness relative to the pubiic sector, both in seeking out the investment opportunities that are most profitable and in using available resources efficiently. IFC taps the private sector, both domestic and foreign, for the bulk of the investment capital in its projects, while applying a development orientation to the utilization of that capital. The country shares of IFC's current capital represent the relative economic strength of the members in the 1950s when the Corporation was established. By using an up-to-date formula reflecting conditions in the 1970s the relative share of the United States subscription declines while those of Germany and Japan, as well as of the newly rich OPEC countries, rise. jp This capital increase is the first since IPC's founding in 1956. The proposed increase is ambitious -- more than quadrupling the IFC's small capital base of $108 million. IFC's small capital base has impeded its equity operations, restricted its ability to borrow IBRD funds for relending, and resulted in IFC becoming a much more junior member of the World Bank than was contemplated when it was established 20 years ago. The capital increase will enable the IFC to play a more substantial role in the development process in association with private capital. The U.S., as the largest private enterprise economy in the world, is expected to be the leader in support of the IFC. Frankly, I wonder if we have done justice to our strongly held beliefs in the advantages of private enterprise by delaying a replenishment of the IFC in recent years while giving priority to the organizations lending mainly to governments. It is time to put the IFC at the top of our priority list. Mr. Chairman, I must take note at this point of the actions of the Conference Committee of the Senate and House on April 1. The Committee has reduced our requests by $130 million. I should state for the record that it is present Administration thinking that we would amend the FY-77 request to include this $130 million requested but not appropriated in FY 1976. This procedure would also apply to the supplemental requests in FY 1976 for the IDB and for the African Development Fund recently submitted to the Congress. Before closing I would like to address briefly five additional issues which are of interest to the Congress and the Administration. First, let me comment on why it is important for the United States to contribute to four international development banks. Our past experience with the regional banks leads us to believe that smaller institutions with a predominance of local citizens can do a better job of meeting certain requirements than the much larger World Bank Group. Countries in the regions — Latin America, Africa and Asia — concur in this belief, since the regional institutions give them more control over the course of their own development. Moreover, the work of these institutions and that of the World Bank Group are complementary. The World Bank concentrates on larger, more complex projects utilizing expertise gained from worldwide operations. The regional banks focus on smallerscale projects and call upon the first-hand knowledge and experience of their staffs to meet problems unique to their areas. - 11 - fjlfi Let me now address the effect of the international development banks on our balance of payments. Excluding short-term funds held by the development banks in U.S. financial markets, the total of all inflows and outflows of dollars resulting from transactions from their inception through December, 1975, has resulted in a net deficit of only about $200 million for the U.S. balance of payments. Moreover, the banks maintain substantial investments in U.S. short-term financial assets. The absolute magnitudes of the various types of flows are of course much larger; the total net outflow of capital (subscriptions paid-in plus net sales of bonds, loan participations, etc. in the U.S.) totaled almost $11 billion as of end 1975, while the development banks' purchases of U.S. goods and services, direct expenditures and long-term investments in the United States totaled over $10 billion. Because of our overall favorable payments situation in 1975 we opened our capital markets freely to the banks for the first time in several years. As a result they raised $1.8 billion in net long-term capital. Consequently the cumulative effect on U.S. international payments was less favorable at the end of 1975 than at the end of 1974. However, at the end of 1975, the banks held about $5 billion in short-term U.S. financial assets, which, if included in the above figure, would make the effect on total inflows and outflows from the U.S. positive by a large margin. Let me turn now to procurement. One of the major benefits we derive from our membership in the international development banks is the opportunity it affords U.S. exporters to compete for procurement financed by the banks. The rules of the banks require international competitive bidding and other safeguards which give our exporters a fair chance to compete for business in the developing countries. One of the advantages in joining the African Development Fund is that U.S. companies will become eligible to compete for contracts financed by the AFDF and thus will have a greater incentive to compete for business in Africa, which has not been a traditional market for many U.S. suppliers. We have increased efforts in the last year to obtain a larger share of procurement in the development banks. During the past ten months Treasury has had on loan from the State Department a senior foreign service officer who has concentrated on improving the U.S. procurement record at the banks. This record, I might add, is not bad at all. - 12 Although the U.S. share of world exports of goods and services in recent years has been approximately 17 percent, our share of bank-financed procurement has been running at 25 percent. Every $1 billion of procurement in the United States for bankfinanced projects generates 47,500 man-years of employment in this country. I know you are also interested in the foreign assistance activities of the oil-exporting countries as they relate to the international development banks. The vast increase in oil export earnings of the OPEC countries has made it possible for some of them to take on part of the development financing burden and to borrow substantially less from the international development banks thus permitting more lending to the poorer developing countr ies. OPEC countries have provided co-financing totaling some $1 billion to complement 36 IBRD and IDA projects in 16 countries — most of them over the past year or so. These projects are listed in a table attached. A substantial amount of IBRD/IDA resources was freed up for other projects and countries by this OPEC co-financing. The pattern of lending by the development banks to OPEC countries has changed as a result of the higher incomes of these countries. Lending of soft funds from IDA, the FSO and the Asian Development Fund to these countries has been stopped with the exception of limited amounts of FSO funding for Ecuador. These FSO loans to Ecuador have been financed from sources other than the U.S. contribution, including Ecuador's own contribution to the FSO. Lending to the OPEC countries with the highest incomes such as Venezuela and Iran has stopped. However, lending to the poorer countries such as Indonesia and Nigeria has increased, partly as a result of proceeding with loans on which work had already started before the oil price increase. We have urged the banks to concentrate their limited resources on those countries with the greatest need. My final point deals with our procedures to examine the work of these banks. We are continuously working at improving our oversight activities in regard to the banks' lending programs and project implementation. Embassy, AID and Treasury officials make visits to projects as frequently as possible. At every opportunity we encourage and facilitate project visits by members of Congress. - 13 The primary mechanism through which the Administration sets policy on the international development banks, both on general policy questions and on each individual loan, is the National Advisory Council on International Monetary and Financial Policies ^NAC). Every loan and borrowing operation and every substantial technical assistance operation is reviewed in detail by the interested U.S. agencies in the NAC before instructions are given to our Executive Directors. Through this process we assist these institutions to do an even better development job by bringing the very considerable expertise found in the Federal Government to bear in reviewing their projects. I would especially like to mention the outstanding technical work of the Department of Agriculture and the Department of Transportation in contributing highly useful inputs to these reviews. AID is one of the most active agencies participating in the NAC and contributes its immense development experience as well as its knowledge of current conditions in developing countries. The Department of Commerce and the Export-Import Bank help us to be continually vigilant that American exporters have the fullest opportunity for business. The Federal Reserve provides extremely useful analysis of the monetary and financial situation in the borrowing countries. The State Department contributes its detailed knowledge of conditions in the borrowing countries and provides the key foreign policy element in NAC deliberations. In addition to chairing the NAC, we in Treasury are particularly concerned with general bank policies such as assurance of adequate self-help, avoiding financing of cost-overruns, a consistent approach to maturities and grace periods, and increased efforts to reach the agricultural sector and the poorer people in ways that will increase output. The NAC also reviews such general U.S. concerns as expropriation of U.S. investment and arrears on debts to the United States in connection with each loan. The annual report of the NAC should be an integral part of the documents you consider in determining appropriations for the development banks. In particular, I would call your attention to chapter IV of the FY-75 report which reviews developments in the banks and includes tables covering such matters as the sectoral breakdown of lending and membership in the regional banks and appendix C which includes the NAC evaluation of all the loans approved during the year. If this appendix were not so long -- a hundred fine-print pages — I would suggest you might include it in your report because it brings out the real life benefits for millions of people - 14 around the world made possible through the work of the development banks. The purpose and benefits of each loan are given. Let me quote just one example of the sort of information in the NAC report. For a $15 million loan to Kenya, half from the IBRD and half from IDA, the following is part of the analysis of benefits: "The major quantifiable benefits stemming from the project are substantial increases in marketed production of wheat, maize, milk and coffee estimated at $10.1 million per year after full development. The project should also ensure employment —either permanent or seasonal and depending on the number of group owners involved— for about 13,000 group farm owners, and will benefit farm families comprising 80,000 persons. These families are from the lower income levels of Kenya's rural population, most of which would be landless and unemployed if steps were not taken to protect their investments. At full development, the annual income of each family should have gained— in addition to its subsistence income—$84 on the mixed farms, and $420 on the coffee estates. Currently, the average per capita income of the rural family in Kenya, including subsistence produce, is only about $70 per annum." I know that some of you have felt the United States, especially the Congress, cannot make a sufficient review of the lending operations of the development banks in advance of loan approval. Unlike the situation for the bilateral aid program, we can not present you with a list of specific projects that will be financed with the appropriations before you today. This situation is inherent in the nature of these multilateral institutions where the United States provides only one dollar out of every three, four, or five they lend. It would obviously be infeasible for them to present their programs in advance to the governments and parliaments of all their members, or even to the 20 to 25 donor members. However, these institutions do not make sharp changes in the pattern and nature of their lending from year to year. Thus a review of last year's lending program will indicate quite accurately the nature and direction of their lending programs this year and next year. In conclusion Mr. Chairman, I would like to apologize for having dealt so much with figures, procedures and burdensharing. Underlying all these aspects we must keep in mind that the fundamental purpose of these institutions and of all the funds you appropriate for them is to help the people in developing countries improve their miserable living conditions. Support for the development banks is important in building and maintaining the broad framework of international cooperation that is important to continued U.S. prosperity. But this is an additional benefit. The basic justification for the appropriations has to be that these banks do a good job in using the money to help the developing countries help themselves and that this development reaches the people in these countries in a way that justifies U.S. taxpayer support. We have not asked for the amounts of money that these institutions could use to accelerate development worldwide. Given the need for budget stringency, which we in Treasury know is so essential in the United States today, we have asked for the minimum amounts necessary to keep these institutions going in a manner consistent with the highest priority needs of the poor countries and contributions being made by others. The decisions you will make on these appropriations may receive much attention in the capitals of the world. But the practical effects of the appropriations will be spread to the poorest villages, slums, and isolated areas where little is known of the United States, burden-sharing or these institutions, but where improved seed, a well, a visiting health team, availability of credit, or a road to the market can make — at small cost — an immense difference in the quality of life. :/ ANNEX I INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION The $375 million request for IDA in FY 1977 represents the second installment of the U.S. share of the IDA Fourth Replenishment, which was authorized by the Congress in July 1974. The IDA is the arm of the World Bank which provides concessional lending to support projects in the world's poorest countries which cannot afford to borrow at the near commercial rates which apply to standard World Bank loans. It is the largest multilateral source of assistance of this type. It follows the same rigorous standards, and enjoys the same high reputation throughout the world, as does the World Bank itself. Sixty-six countries of Asia, Africa, and Latin America with annual per capita incomes below $375 have received IDA credits. Currently, most credits go with per capita incomes of less than $200. In FY 1975-1976, 92% of IDA credits were to these poorest countries. The greatest concentration of projects is in Asia and Africa, reflecting the fact that the bulk of the world's poorest people are living in these regions. About 60% of IDA credits go to South Asia — where 61% of the population of all countries with per capita incomes below $200 live. The appropriation request before you is for the second installment of IDA's ongoing Fourth Replenishment. This replenishment was negotiated with 24 other donor countries after consultation with Congressional committees. In that negotiation, we sought, and achieved, broader sharing of the burden by reducing the U.S. share. The U.S. share of the $4.5 billion IDA IV is 33 percent, or $1.5 billion, down from earlier U.S. participation levels which had averaged 41 percent since the inception of the Association in 1960. While the IDA I\/ resource replenishment will support new lending commitments over the period fiscal year 1975-77, it gives donors the option of deferring their initial contribution to fiscal year- 1976 and paying in four annual installments. The United States is planning to follow this course. Most other donors are making their contribution to IDA IV in three equal annual installments over the three-year replenishment period. As a result, most donors have already made twothirds of their contributions to IDA IV while the U.S. has not yet paid its first installment. - 2 - By the end of October 1976, all of the first U.S. installment of $375 million requested for FY 1976 will be needed to cover the U.S. one-third share of disbursements on approved credits. Subsequently, calls will be made requiring the FY 77 appropriations under discussions today. Full U.S. contributions to IDA IV are essential to insure the continued participation of the other donor countries and the continued operation of IDA at the lending levels contemplated under the IDA IV agreement. Unfortunately worldwide price inflation since the negotiation of IDA IV has reduced the real value of IDA pledges substantially below what was contemplated at the time international agreement was reached — this makes it all the more important to provide the full amount of funding requested. Such continued financial assistance from IDA is vitally necessary if the momentum of development in the poorest countries of the world is to be maintained at anything approaching adequate levels. The purpose of IDA lending is not relief or make work. It is rather to expand productivity, for only in this way can lasting improvement in the lives of the poor be achieved. Toward this end all IDA projects are appraised against strict rate of return standards, in exactly the same manner as projects supported by World Bank loans on harder terms. IDA credits are extended on highly concessional terms: repayment is over 50 years at three-fourths of 1 percent. This is consistent with the fundamental purpose of IDA, which is to provide badly needed assistance to the borrower rather than yield a commercial rate of return to the lender. Most of the countries which borrow from IDA lack the capacity to service external debt on conventional terms, and even if they could, repayment on conventional terms would mean a lower rate of return for the borrowing country itself, and thus a smaller contribution to improved living standards and rising domestic savings and investment capacities. IDA's focus, particularly in the IDA IV period, is on assistance to the poorest developing countries, and within these countries emphasis is given to projects benefiting the poorest groups of people. In FY 1974-75, about 40% of IDA lending was for agriculture and a further 25-30% for basic infrastructure — transportation, communications, power and water supply. A complete list of IDA projects in FY 1975 and so far in FY 76 is attached to this annex. 0 - 3 The increased emphasis on agriculture reflects IDA'S growing role in helping these countries meet their production goals. Solving the world food problem has to be achieved by increasing food output in the food deficit countries themselves — India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, and a number of countries in Africa. An example of a recent agricultural project is a $27 million IDA credit to Ethiopia for the development of its vast rangelands region which was hit by a severe drought during the years 1970-73. Before this drought, Ethiopia's livestock resources were the largest of any country in Africa The true dimensions of the losses attributable to the drought are not yet certain. However, it is estimated that about 15% of the national herd was lost, largely in the rangelands areas. The project will consist of three separate subprojects, each with its own organizational structure. Each of the subprojects — the Southern Rangelands, Jijigga, and the Northea Rangelands Development Projects — will provide an integrated program of range management and veterinary services along with improved roads and water facilities. They will help lay the foundation for a sound future development of the livestoc economy in the range areas. At full development the project is expected to result in an increased market production from the ranges of 100,000 head of cattle, 48,500 sheep and goats, and 3,000 camels annually. The project would also result in an increase in milk production of about 7.8 million liters annually. Incremental crop production from water development in the Northeas Rangelands area would total about 1.1 million kg of cotton, 320,000 kg of sorghum or maize, and 120,000 kg of groundnuts annually. The total annual value of incremental production attributable to the project would be about $11 million. Overall, the project is estimated to affect 100,000 families in the rangeland areas, raising their average per capita income significantly above its present bare subsistence level A number of IDA projects are also directly aimed at increasing the availability of the inputs vitally necessary to expanded food production — seeds, extension services, fertilizer, etc. A project recently approved for India is a notable example. - 4 In recent years, consumption of fertilizers has increased in India. But it still remains very low relative to usage in other countries. In 1974/75, consumption stood at 2.74 million nutrient tons. Although domestic production of fertilizer has grown at an average annual rate of 16% since 1953/54, it supplies less than 60% of consumption. The level of capacity utilization is low, reaching only some 60% of the installed capacity of 2.6 million tons. The IDA credit of $105 million will allow production in existing facilities to be raised from the present industry-wide average of about 60% of capacity to 85% by 1979. The credit will assist 10 fertilizer plants in removing production bottlenecks, improving pollution control and increasing the production of industrial chemicals. The project will help to increase fertilizer production by 253,000 tons per year of nutr ients. IDA infrastructure projects typically provide key elements in the borrowing countries' national development efforts. An example is a $14 million credit to Guinea for a highway project which will help to link widely dispersed population centers and productive areas to the port of Conakry. The project, designed to enhance government efforts to revitalize the agricultural sector, will include (a) rehabilitation of approximately 2,500 kilometers of high priority roads and initiation of proper maintenance operations on these roads; (b) repair of existing equipment and plant and rehabilitation of workshops; (c) purchase of needed equipment, spare parts, and training materials; and (d) technical assistance to the Ministry of Public Works, Mining and Geology in implementing the projects and strengthening its managerial capabilities. The project is expected to insure greater transport reliability, expand the seasonal use of the most important unpaved roads and reduce transport costs. Another example of a basic infrastructure project recently done by IDA is a $26 million credit to Nepal to help finance a $68 million hydroelectric power project. Nepal has a very large undeveloped hydroelectric power potential of"over 80 Megawatts (MW). Total installed capacity is some 54 MW, of which only 33 MW is hydroelectric power. Electricity at present reaches only about 3% of the population. But demand for electrical energy has been growing at the rate of 22% a year, and existing generating capacity is insufficient to meet the demand. The project is located about 30 kilometers southwest of Kathmandu, the nation's capital. It includes the construction of a 107-meter high rock-fill dam, a powerhouse with two 30 MW y It - 5 generating units and associated transmission and substation facilities. When fully utilized, the project will replace use of energy equivalent to about 65,000 tons of oil per annum, saving approximately $8 million per year in foreign exchange. IDA lending operations have also focused increasingly on equipping the populations of the poorest countries with the skills essential to economic progress. For example, an $11.6 million credit to Malawi was made in support of a Government investment program giving priority to the growth of primary education, the improvement of secondary schools in the rural areas, and the strengthening of various non-formal education programs. The IDA project consists of the construction and equipping of 22 new model primary schools which can be easily duplicated in the rural areas, 22 rural education centers, one teacher training college including a demonstration school, and additional laboratories, workshops, dormitories and staff quarters for seven existing secondary schools. The project will provide facilities to expand and strengthen ongoing education programs and help meet the rapidly increasing demand for basic skills. It will also reduce socio-economic disparities by increasing the enrollment of girls in secondary schools and by teaching adults, through rural development centers, the basic skills they require for productive employment. Within these overall sector priorities, IDA's lending activities have reflected increased emphasis on projects which contribute to economic development by directly increasing the employment, productivity, and incomes of the rural and, urban poor. Strategies to accomplish these objectives cut across virtually all lending sectors. In the interest of maximizing employment opportunity and widening the impact of income increasing efforts, project costs are held to a minimum and technology is adapted to local conditions and needs. In this fiscal year IDA has approved several rural development projects embodying an integrated approach to the poverty problems. An example is a $10.7 million project for rural development in Niger. The project includes the provision of extension services, applied reesearch, and credit aimed at the improvement of groundnut, millet and cowpeas production in 15 selected areas; strengthening of cooperatives; expansion of education and training programs, including a functional literacy program, a training school for extension workers, and the provision of training scholarships for project personnel; a study of means for developing the nation's irrigation potential; - 6 construction of 80 kilometers of feeder roads; planting of 500 hectares of trees in fuel wood plantations; and improvement of livestock services and provision of credit for the purchase of livestock by pastoralists who lost their herds during the Sahelian drought. It is estimated that increased production from the project will result in higher incomes for some 37,500 farm families and 14,000 pastoral families. After full development in 1982 it is expected that average yields in the project area will be close to those previously obtained only in years of most favorable rainfall. Yield increases are estimated to result in increments in annual production amounting to 18,100 tons of millet, 19,800 tons of groundnuts and 600 tons of cowpeas. In addition, new production of 500 tons of seed cotton, 900 tons of sorghum and 7,000 tons of tomatoes and other vegetables is expected to result from new irrigation facilities. An increase of about 3,000 tons per year in annual livestock production is also anticipated. Every week the Board of Directors of the World Bank, in which voting power is weighted according to financial contribution to IDA, reviews and approves IDA credits proposed by the institution's professional Management. All such projects are first subjected to rigorous technical and economic appraisal. Firm cost estimates are made; required technical and managerial assistance is provided for; and institutional reforms essential to project success are made a condition of credit disbursement. IDA draws upon a pool of skilled personnel, established policies, procedures and a wealth of experience in making effective use of its resources. The managerial and technical excellence of the World Bank is widely recognized throughout the world. Of the joint IBRD/IDA professional staff, roughly 27 percent comes from the United States. The remainder comes from 110 other nations. acts when approval of the Board of Directors, a status report is presented on all ongoing prjects in the country to enable"the Board to assess the country's capabilities for taking on further work. $1 - 7 Effective internal auditing and evaluation functions are also well established. The evaluation department, established a few years ago at U.S. urging, has continued to grow in stature and effectiveness. It evaluates all projects within one year after loan or credit funds have been fully disbursed with a view to strengthening future operations. It also undertakes broad country and sector program evaluation. The evaluation unit reports directly to the Board of Directors. A number of countries which once received IDA credit have now advanced economically to the point where it is no longer necessary. Three developing countries are making contributions to IDA IV. They are Spain, Israel, and Yugoslavia. Among the oil exporting countries, only Kuwait, which has contributed to IDA since 1960, is contributing to IDA IV, the negotiation of which preceded the dramatic increase in oil prices. The World Bank, however, is in close contact with the oil exporting countries to solicit their cooperation and efforts to assist the developing countries. The Bank is urging several of them to participate in the Fifth Replenishment of IDA as contributing members, and expects that they will. The United States strongly supports this goal and in the preliminary international meetings on this subject has stressed the importance of such OPEC participation. In the meantime, a number of Arab oil exporting countries have joined with the Bank and IDA in co-financing projects. To date, these countries have contributed financing of $1.0 billion to 35 IBRD/IDA projects. These additional resources enable the Bank and IDA to significantly expand the scope of their activities. The Administration firmly believes that IDA has been, and continues to be, an effective and valuable instrument for the advancement of vital interests which the United States shares with other nations of the world. The President, as well as the Secretaries of State and Treasury, have all underscored IDA's continued priority importance to U.S. foreign interests, both political and economic. The appropriation requested today will enable the United States to carry out its share of the IDA IV agreement negotiated among twenty-five governments to attack the problem of world poverty which is of direct concern and relevance to all nations. Other nations are fulfilling their promised participation and expect the U.S. to do the same. It is clear that IDA is making the kind of contribution to the world economy which is very much in the U.S. national interest to support. Consequently, prompt and favorable action on the FY 1977 appropriation request for IDA is vitally important. -IDA credits approved, by area, country and purpose, July 1, 1974 to June SO, 1975 [Millions of dollars equivalents] Area, country Total Tanzania 1376.15 Total. Africa ... Cameroon Amount 33 Purpose Sites and services. 10.0 Rural development. 1&2 Highways. 51135 16.0 Rubber estate. U.0» j na Highway. 4.0 Dahomey '35.0 Egypt ••• Area, country Purpose Amount Telecommunications. 93 Agriculture development. 32.0 6J0 Cocoa/cofee, Upper Volta 9.0 Livestock. 73 Rural roads. Education. Agriculture program lean. Sugar. Togo Education. 20.0 Ethiooia *9.0 Zaire Total. Asia Afghanistan Roads. 26.0 Highways. 25.0 Railway and river. 1.016.10 13.0 9.0 Agriculture. V/ater supply and 16.0 Telecommunications. 23.0 Education. Ghana 13.5 Oil palm. 33.0 Fertilizer. Guinea 7.0 Pineapple development. 15.0 Population. 27.0 Irrigation. 24.0 Forestry. 21.0 Telecommunications. S3.0 Canal-Rajasthaa. 91.0 Fertiliser. 27.7 Dairy. 16.4 Dairy. 35.0 Drought. \tmva *73 *8.0 •10.0 Lesotho , Mala?asv Republic Mslawi MaU Group farming. Forestry. Education. ' 9.6 Rural development. •6.75 Forestry. 10.0 Highways* S.5 23s Rural deveiooment. * Livestock. Rice. 33 » Highway. 3.0 Highway. 33 Education. Mauritania Mauritius r Monxco .. 14.0 Rwanda .. 3.0 Education. Senegal ... 15.0 Education. 1.0 Irrigation. >icrra Leone ^oniaiia Sudan -*iziiand Bangladesh Burma Urban development 4.0 133 sewerage. Agriculture. •7.0 Agriculture development. •5.0 Rural development. 3.0 Education. 10.0 Education 23.0 Power. 20.0 Irrigation- 5.0 Education. India . 75.0 200.0 Industrial imports. Industrial imports. 45.0 Irrigation. 75.0 Agriculture refining corporation. Jordan 'ilrt* akhnn 34.0 Rural development. 24.0 O a meal command. 73 Irrigation. 6.0 Education. 1.0 Potash engineering. 5.0 35.0 power. T e i ecoram u nicau'oas, 30.0 Development inane ccmoant. Sri Lanka 9.0 15.0 43 Dairy. Program loan. Development S a a ^ company. Western Samoa 4.4 Highwavs. ATTACHMENT Page 2 ijd IDA CREDITS APPROVED, BY AREA, COUNTRY AND PURPOSE, JULY 1, 1975 to JANUARY 31, 1976 (millions of dollars) Country Total, All Areas Amount Purpose 975.4 Total, Africa 196.1 Burundi Cameroon Chad Ethiopia Gambia Ghana Guinea Liberia Madagascar Malawi MaliMauritania Niger Rwanda Senegal Sierra Leone Somalia Sudan Tanzania 5.2 3.0 5.0 27.0 4.0 10.0 14.0 6.0 5,6 11.6 10.0 8.0 10.7 Total, Asia Bangladesh Burma India II II II Jt (1 Q 5 2.0 7.3 5.2 7.0 10.0 6.0 11.0 677.1 18.0 4.6 100.0 22.0 7.5 57.0 40.0 110.0 705.0 4.0 150.0 18.0 Coffee Imorovement SHEI Polders Rangelands Tourism Hi ghway Highway Rural Development Highway Education Highway Port Rural Development Highway Terres Neuves Education Mogadiscio Port Development Finance Company Dairy Development Technical Assistance Education Maize Development Water Transport Imports Irrigation Livestock Rural Electrification Water Supply £ Sewerage Railway Fertilizer Forestry Power Cotton Development ATTACHMENT j/j/ Page 3 ' Country Amount Nepal Pakistan Sri Lanka 26.0 8.0 25.0 Total, Europe, Middle East, and North Africa Afghanistan Egypt Yemen, POR Total, Latin America Paraguay Purpose Power Tarfaela Dam Agricultural Development 38.2 10.0 25.0 3.2 Irrigation Development Finance Company Aden Port 4.0 4.0 Pre-investnsnt ANNEX 2 \r INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CORPORATION The Administration is requesting $112 million asspart of a $480 million capital increase in the International Finance Corporation of which $45 million would be appropriated for FY 77. International negotiations concerning this capital increase have not yet been completed although this proposal has received widespread support from both developed and developing countries, and formal international agreement is anticipated in the very near future. The proposal would result in a substantial reduction — from 33% to 25% — in the U.S. share of IFC capital. As the Committee has not had occasion to deal with IFC for many years, the following reviews briefly the role and the activities of IFC. Role The IFC was established in 1956 to promote private investment in the developing countries. While it is organizationally and financially separate from the World Bank, it is affiliated to it by a common Board of Directors and President, and its 104 country members must be shareholders of the World Bank in order to join. The Corporation's interest lies in stimulating and supporting private sector activities in developing countries. Its principal function is, to stimulate the flow of private capital into productive investments by bringing together investment opportunities, domestic and foreign private capital, and experienced management. Among international development institutions, it is unique in its ability to operate without a government guarantee on its loans, or on its participation in equity investments. The Corporation's policy is to make an investment only where sufficient private capital could not be obtained on reasonable terms and where the project will contribute to development and have the prospect of being profitable. Where it invests in capital stock, it remains a minority partner without management control. It basically supports only private enterprises although under certain conditions, IFC will participate in enterprises in which there is some government ownership provided they are managed on a business-like basis. IFC loans are made at near commercial interest rates with seven to twelve-year maturity. Where it buys stock, it expects to receive reasonable dividends. - 2 - Activities Considering its small initial capital base of $100 million, the Corporation has had a significant impact upon development because of its success in leveraging its own funds: it has generated more than $4 of private investment for every $1 of its own invested in projects. Since its inception, the Corporation has been associated with about $6.4 billion of investments and has assisted in financing some 250 enterprises in 57 developing countries. Most of these enterprises have been medium-sized firms, controlled by local groups with local management. After a slow beginning, IFC's commitments have grown rapidly in recent years from $51 million in 1968 to $212 million in 1975. IFC's cumulative gross commitments of $1.3 billion, as of December 31, 1975, are more than four times the 1968 level. Some Examples of IFC Projects IFC, through its projects, serves a number of purposes and activities. In the area of large mineral projects, IFC's key function is not the provision of capital, which large international companies can provide, but to act as the neutral intermediary between the companies who fear nationalization, and the governments of developing countries, which want to be assured that such projects wiil be in their long-term economic and social interests. A good example of IFC's involvement is a $620 million copper venture in Peru; a country whose relations with multinational corporations has been difficult. IFC's investment was small — $15 million; but its presence, which has been approved by the Government of Peru, serves as an assurance of fair treatment on both sides. The project will develop the copper deposits of Cuajone in Southern Peru with reserves estimated at 468 million tons, in accordance with an agreement between the Government of Peru and the Southern Peru Copper Corporation which represents a consortium of four U.S. firms. It will produce 2,500 jobs and earn for Peru about $150 million annually in foreign exchange by 1982. In accordance with national legislation, the employees and workers will eventually own half of the project. Another example in Kenya, a country of less than $200 annual per capital income, illustrates IFC's role in the transfer of technology. The project, the first integrated pulp and paper mill in East Africa, will introduce a technology new to the area and provide training to local workers. IFC is - 3 investing $17 million of a total cost of $50 million. Its role in assessing project feasibility and arranging financing was crucial. With the associated tree replanting, the project will result in 2,300 jobs, and produce 45,000 tons of paper annually saving Kenya $8 million per year in foreign exchange. In the Philippines — approximately $2 million was invested in the Maria Cristina Chemical Industries to help finance a $4.7 million electric arc furnace that will double productive capacity by producing some 21,000 metric tons of ferroalloys a year. The project, located in a depressed area on the island of Mindanao, will be supplied by more than 2,000 new backyard charcoal makers who are expected to earn well over twice the average annual family income in the region. It will also use other locally available raw materials and hydroelectric power, thus permitting production for world markets at competitive costs. Prospective annual net foreign exchange benefits were estimated at $5 million, partly through exports and partly through import substitution. In addition, ownership of the company is being broadened by including greater employee participation in the equity. Capital Increase The Corporation needs a capital increase now in order to maintain its growth rate of the past five years. Without the assurance of an increase, it would have to begin to restrict planned commitments beginning in fiscal 1977 and new equity investments would essentially cease by the following year. The U.S. strongly supports such a capital increase for several reasons. International support for the private sector will make a notable contribution to accelerating the pace of development and is very much in accord with U.S. interests reflecting our own confidence in free enterprise and the private sector. Second, while IFC has done an excellent job in 20 years in utilizing its initial small reservoir of funds it seems reasonable that IFC has some catching up to do if it is to remain a significant international institution. It is worthy of note that the World Bank's capital has tripled in that same 20 year period. Third, the present capital base has become so small that it inhibits the Corporation from undertaking somewhat riskier ventures for smaller business and in poorer countries for fear of unacceptable losses. Fourth, the scale of significant investment projects has increased enormously since the '50s and the IFC should be in a position to support reasonably large projects as well as small ones. - 4 IFC also wants to play a more active role as a intermediary in the minerals field facilitating arrangements between large private corporations and the governments of developing countr ies. The U.S. share of the $480 million increase in issued capital stock is $112 million, or about 23% compared to our 33% share of current capital. This proportion reflects more accurately the current U.S. position in the World Bank than the present share which is based on the U.S. position in the late '50s. Germany, Japan and the OPEC countries will have larger shares. The resolution governing the capital increase requires that if a country is not in a position to make a binding commitment to pay for all its subscribed shares, it must pay for at least 40% of its quota. This means that if the authorization bill is approved by the Congress, then the U.S. will need an appropriation for 40% of its subscribed shares in order to make an initial commitment to IFC. As a result the Administration is requesting a $45 million appropriation. This figure differs from the budget figure of $41.7 million because negotiations were not fully defined when the budget submission was made. The Administration expects to ask for appropriations for two additional installments in FY 1978 and 1979. The following attachment will provide greater detail about IFC's activity, its sources of financing and the capital increase. / # Geographical Distribution of Loans and Equity Investments The table below indicates the geographical distribution of IFC activity. Latin America is the regional leader followed by Asia. The Southern Europe designation is mainly Turkey and Yugoslavia, as well as loans to Greece and Spain. TABLE 1 GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION OF IFC ACTIVITIES (as of December 31, 1975) Amount ($ Millions) No. of Enterprises I. Regional Latin America Asia Southern Europe Africa Middle East II. 100 63 37 37 14 $ 545.1 317.0 288.6 122.3 58.2 (41%) (24%) (22%) ( 9%) ( 4%) 251 $1,331.2 (100%) 21 9 12 13 13 9 8 11 8 7 $262.9 1[20%) 128.5 1;io%) 118.1 1; 95) 76.1 (: 6%) 69.9 1: ss) 58.4 1! 42) 53.2 I: 4%) 51.8 1' A.") \ 44.1 1\ *3o' 3lal 42.5 1I 3%) Leading Countries Brazil Yugoslavia Turkey Philippines Mexico Indonesia Argentina India Korea Iran f Source of IFC Financina The two tables below illustrate a) IFC's dependence on borrowing from the private sector via loan participation, and from the IBRD, and the diminish ing importance of caniial as a source of financing and of equity as a form of 1 n W f i C + m<-iir» +• For loan operations resources, IFC relies primarily on borrowings from the World Bank. It is limited in the amounts of its borrowings by its Articles which prohibit total debt from exceeding four times IFC's net worth (unimpaired subscribed capital and surplus), so long as IFC is indebted to the Bank. As of June 30, 1975, IFC's net worth was $178 million, placing the limit upon IFC borrowings at $712 million. As of the same date, IFC had already borrowed $448 million and would reach the ceiling in early FY!979 at presently projected rate of operations. Because World Bank loans cannot be used to purchase stock, IFC's equity investments may not exceed its unrestricted mainly capital and accumulated reserves resources. As of June 30, 1975, these resources totalled $183 mi 11 i compared to existing investments of $127 million. TABLE 2 SOURCES OF IFC FUNDS ($ Millions) Actual - FY71-75 Income 42 I[ 7%) Capital Subscriptions and Loan Repayments 78 I[13%) IBRD and Netherlands Loans Portfolio Sales 272 1[462) 25 I: 4%) Calls on Participants 166 1[29%) 583 1;ioo%) TABLE 3 IFC FINANCING TRENDS 6-30-70 6-30-75 a) Financed by 1) capital and reserves 2) borrowing 90% 10% 40% 60% b) IFC debt outstanding as % of its disbursed loans 18% 78% c) Equity investment as % of portfolio 30% 22% I ni FACTUAL SUMMARY OF CAPITAL INCREASE (in millions of dollars) Proposed Increase ' After Increase Authorized capital (12/31/75) 110 540 650 Issued capital stock (12/31/75) 107.6 480 587.6 Unallocated shares 2.4 60 62.4 Form of Commitment a) subscribe to shares allocated, and b) make a binding commitment to pay. Exceptional procedure where a commitment to pay must be qualified because of legislative procedures: commitment for payment for a minimum of 40% must be unqualified, and, appropriate legislative action allowing an unqualified commitment to pay for the remaining 60% should be obtained as quickly as practicable. Since our commitment to pay is subject both to authorization and appropriation legislation, this is the procedure the United States will follow. Payment schedule a) August 1, 1977 20% - U.S. share of 22.5 20% unqualified commitment for additional share of 22.5 b) August 1, 1973 Unqualified commitment above is due c) August 1, 1979 20% - U.S. share of 22.5 d) August 1, 1980 20% - U.S. share of 22.5 e) August 1, 1981 20% - U.S. share of 22.5 6. Schedule for U.S. legislation on IFC Date of Submission Amount ($ Millions) Authorization bill March 1976 112 FY77 Appropriation March 1976 45 FY78 Appropriation January 1977 33 FY79 Appropriation January 1978 33 General Data 1) Resolution approving increase will become effective on December 31, 1976, or such later date as the Directors may determine. 2) Shares related to the increase will not be issued before August 1, 1977. 3) Shares'will be issued only when paid for in U.S. dollars. 4) Each share has a par value of $1,000 and is issued at par. 0 Annex 3 INTER-AMERICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK The IDB is in immediate need of additional resources to finance Latin American development. Its ordinary capital commitment authority was virtually exhausted at the end of 1975. Approval of most new loans must now be made in the form of contingent commitments pending replenishment of the Bank's capital resources. The loan commitment authority of the concessionary Fund for Special Operations (FSO) will be exhausted in 1976 even if the U.S. is able to contribute $225 million as recommended by the Conference Committee on the FY 1976 appropriation bill. To allow the Inter-American Development Bank to continue to play a key role in Latin American development the Administration is seeking funding for the U.S. participation in the replenishment of the IDB's resources for the 1976-79 period. IDB OPERATIONS AND MANAGEMENT Background. The Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) came into existence on December 30, 1959; it made its first loan in February 1961. Nineteen Latin American countries and the United States were charter members. Trinidad and Tobago joined the Bank in 1967f Barbados and Jamaica in 1969 and Canada in 1972. In its fifteen years of existence, the Bank has assumed an important and growing role in Latin American social and economic development, not only from the point of view of actual project financing, but also through technical assistance, and development planning and programming. The IDB has proven to be a well-managed organization and an innovative lender continually finding new ways to improve its development impact by concentrating on the key development bottlenecks. Because it has the experience and staff to give our contributions a major multiplier effect on development, the IDB is one of our most cost effective development investments. -2The Bank carries out its financing operations through two lending windows, the ordinary capital and the Fund for Special Operations (FSO). The IDB also serves as administrator for special funds provided by several member and non-member countries. The single largest of these funds is the U.S. Social Progress Trust Fund (SPTF), which was established in 1961. With the approval of a $15 million loan for El Salvador in January 1976, virtually all of the total $525 million available on soft terms for additional social development projects in the poorest countries had been committed. In addition, the IDB and the U.S. Government are coordinating closely on programming the local currency reflows from SPTF loans so as to maximize their usefulness in financing technical assistance and appropriate activities related to FSO-funded projects. The IDB also administers a $500 million Trust Fund established by Venezuela in February 1975, from which loans totalling $83 million were extended in 1975 on terms similar to ordinary capital loans. The ordinary capital window currently provides development loans at an 8 percent interest rate with maturities ranging from 15-30 years. It obtains its funds largely from the financial markets of the world, borrowing against callable capital, much the same as the World Bank. The Fund for Special Operations was designed to offer financing for economic and social development when lending on conventional terms is not appropriate. FSO loans are made at 1-4 percent interest for 20-40 years. FSO loans have been extended entirely from resources provided by the Government of the United States, Canada, and the Latin American members of the Bank. Until 1973, repayment of FSO loans was in local currencies. Since then, such loans are repayable in the currencies lent. Subscribed Share Capital. At the end of 1975, IDB subscribed capital totalled $5,965 million, of which the paid-in portion was $983 million, and callable capital $4,982 million. The U.S. Callable share Capital. was 40 percent. The callable portion of ordinary capita! is a contingent liability of the subscribing countries which can be called solely and only to the extent necessary, to meet obligations of the Bank to its bondholders. Callable capital constitutes a guarantee which makes it possible for the Bank to issue its own securities in private financial markets. 0 -3As long as the Bank is able to meet the obligations on its bonds from the proceeds of principal and interest repayments by borrowers on their loans, or from the other resources of the Bank, the callable capital will not impose any burden on member governments. Should calls be necessary they must be a uniform percentage of all member governments capital shares, although each member is liable to the full amount of its callable capital subscr iption. The net income of the IDB during 1975 was $59 million, raising its total reserves to $297 million. These reserves provide assurance to the holders of the Bank's obligations regarding their financial soundness and a substantial margin against potential calls on callable capital. Because they have built up reserves against losses and continue to add to these reserves from net earnings, the IDB has never found it necessary to take recourse to callable capital. In fact recourse to callable capital is highly unlikely since it would imply massive and sustained defaults by borrowers. To date, there have been only two defaults in the IDB of which $1.8 million remains unrecovered. These were loans to private enterprises made before government guarantees were required for all loans. Ordinary Capital Borrowing. The Bank has expanded the market for its bonds in capital markets worldwide. Less than one-half of its borrowings have been in the U.S. market. As of December 31, 1975, $633.3 million of the Bank's outstanding debt of $1,580.4 million was represented by long-term bond issues placed in the U.S. market. Borrowing in 14 non-member countries, mainly in Europe accounted for $821 million and $125.8 million has been borrowed in Latin America. Fund for Special Operations. The Fund for Special Operations was initially established with authorized resources of $150 million. The United States provided $100 million and the Latin American countries $46.3 million, half in dollars and half in their national currencies. The resources of the FSO were increased by $3,173 million during replenishments in 1964, 1965, 1967 and 1970. To date, the United States has made available $2,765 million to the FSO, not including the $225 million recommended by the Conference Committee on April 1. -4The FSO makes loans on concessional terms primarily to finance projects with an emphasis on social development such as in health, education, and rural water supply. The small proportion of FSO loans that are extended to the more developed countries consist almost exclusively of local currencies and are reserved for projects that, while very worthwhile and socially important, are not likely to generate a stream of income sufficient to amortize an ordinary capital loan. The bulk of FSO lending is directed to the less developed borrowing countries and in those cases may be used also for income generating projects. The rationale is that the poorest countries need concessional convertible currency assistance regardless of the nature of the project. In accordance with Bank policy, and at U.S. urging, the most developed Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico), are reducing their borrowing from the FSO. FSO convertible currency commitments to these countries and Venezuela dropped from $90 million in 1973 to $67 million in 1974 and to $45 million in 1975. In 1974 Venezuela stopped all borrowing from the FSO. During the period of the replenishment these four countries plus Trinidad and Tobago have agreed not to seek convertible currency loans from the FSO. The Bank will concentrate its soft-term lending on the neediest member countries and on those sectors that have the greatest direct impact on low-income groups, such as agriculture, education, health, and water supply and sewerage. The Latin American member countries also contribute their own currencies to the FSO. The Bank uses these local currencies primarily for loans in the contributing country. The Bank has also used the currencies of its more developed member countries -- Argentina, Brazil, Mexico and Venezuela — to finance projects in other member countries when these countries are suppliers of Bank-financed imports. Under the terms of the proposed replenishment this arrangement for expanded use of local currencies will be extended to all currencies contributed to the FSO. Bank Lending Activities. In its fifteen year operating history, the IDB has loaned $8.8 billion in support of Latin American economic and social development. Of this total, about $4 billion in loans were made from the Bank's ordinary capital resources and $4.1 billion from the FSO . The total amount loaned by the IDB from 1961 to the end of 1975 represents about 40 percent of the total development financing received by Latin America from the IBRD, IDA, AID and IDB. In 1975 alone the IDB accounted for 47 percent of official external capital for Latin America. IDB loans have financed projects involving a total investment of over $20 billion. /, 0 V Roughly a quarter of its loans, or $2 billion, financed high-priority agricultural development projects. An additional $1.9 billion was lent for electric power projects and $1.6 billion for transportation and communications. It also provided substantial sums in the water supply, housing and education sectors Innovation in Lending. Among all of the international development banks, the IDB has perhaps been the most innovative lender. The following represents several types of activities in which the IDB has been in the forefront with a proven record of accomplishment: — The IDB has been the leader in lending for integrated rural development where organizational and logistical problems are especially difficult, such loans combining rural health services, education, small farmer credits, and feeder roads. Rural water supply is also a good example of a sector in which the IDB has played a pioneering role by providing potable water to the Latin American rural population through loans in nearly all of its member countries. Over the past five years, IDB-financed projects provided potable water for the first time to an estimated additional 10 million people. Even with this effort, only 25 percent of Latin America's rural population has access to this service. — IDB has taken the lead in lending through cooperatives. Availability of loans for use by cooperatives has increased to 80% of the Bank's agricultural credit loans and all of the loans for rural community development and rural electrification. In several countries loans to increase the domestic supply of fisheries have also been made through cooperatives. And in October 1975 the Bank approved a $9 million loan to the Latin American Confederation of Cooperatives to support its efforts to strengthen programs being carried out in 10 countries. -- The IDB is in the forefront in encouraging Latin American integration projects. With a view to increasing economic efficiency, the IDB has taken a leading role in promoting individual projects that benefit more than one member country. Examples include IDB loans for the Acaray hydroelectric project in Paraguay, which delivers part of its output to Argentina and Brazil; an integrated road project that serves several countries in Central America, and the Trans-Andean highway between Argentina and Chile. Utilization of Resources . Heavy use of callable capital and reliance on borrowing operations to raise private capital have provided needed leverage and reduced U.S. budgetary outlays, clearly very desirable results. Last year, the Inter-American Development Bank began promising major new efforts to raise additional private funds for economic development projects. -6A new "Complementary Financing" program permits commercial banks and other organizations to take up without recourse the earlier maturities of specific loans. In turn, the IDB agrees to perform the necessary technical analysis and act as collection agent for a fee. The interest rates charged by the commerrcial banks vary at a given spread above a reference rate. (Either the prime rate in the United States or the Libor in London.) This new procedure makes possible direct participation by private banks in the development process at appropriate maturities and interest rates and at reduced risk. Thus far the IDB has utilized $30 million of complementary financing. During 1976 the Bank hopes to mobilize an additional $100 million. The procedure also helps to introduce some IDB borrowers to the private capital markets. As their creditworthiness reputation develops, they will be able to borrow more in this area and eventually require less lending by the IDB. In yet another exercise to expand usable resources, the Bank and its member countries are looking for ways to improve the "four currency agreement" in which local currency of one developing member country may be used to finance projects in another. The U.S. Executive Director recently asked Bank management for a further study of how the IDB can derive maximum benefit from the local currency contributions of its member countries. Trends in Lending. Turning to the most recent developments in IDB lending policies, the Bank continues to channel assistance to the poorest and least developed member countries. In calendar year 1975, for example, $306 million of FSO resources went to category D borrowers which are the least-developed members of the Bank, including such countries as Haiti, Paraguay, Bolivia and Central America, exclusive of Costa Rica. Emphasis is also being placed on helping the poorest elements of the population within these countries. For some time, the IDB has led the way in financing of potable water, rural electricity, and health and education projects, and also tried to reach poor farmers with agricultural credit programs. During claendar year 1975, the Bank approved loans totalling $138.7 million to cooperatives and similar organizations. Of this total, $53.67 million came from FSO resources and $9.0 million was supplied from the Social Progress Trust Fund. Bank management estimated that more than 1.6 million individuals will benefit from the work to be undeertaken by the cooperative enterprises. In January of this year, the IDB approved additional loans involving $12.1 million for cooperatives in programs which should benefit 110,000 more oeople. In the same month, the IDB also approved expenditures of $48.0 million over three years to assist the Inter-America Foundation in its programs. The -7Administration of the Bank is now preparing a proposal to provide between $10 and $20 million to the Inter-American Savings and Loan Bank. In this program, concessional funds from the Social Progress Trust Fund would be used for the benefit of lesser income participants of S and L's in Latin America. Efforts to Increase Effectiveness of Lending Programs The Bank also is concerned with efficiency. Last year, the IDB took the lead in establishing a new Hemispheric Committee to help promote greater agricultural production. Its membership consists of representatives from A.I.D., the World Bank and other international organizations interested in agriculture. The objective of this group is innovative and constructive change, not only in the projects, the Bank and others finance, but also in the government policies which ultimately determine how successful these individual projects will be. Greater participation by private business and application of modern methods is certainly one avenue to be followed. Another extremely important prospect is the application of intermediate technology. The use of idle labor with new methods and simple or less sophisticated tools needs much greater emphasis as a factor for more effective utilization of scarce foreign capital. Within the Bank, particular efforts have been made in this respect in agriculture in Brazil, Colombia, the Dominican Republic and Mexico. A recent loan to Mexico for integrated rural development, approved by the Bank's Board of Directors in October of 1975, offers especially interesting possibilities for application of intermediate technology. It is designed to provide permanent employment and raise income levels of 1.3 million people in 15 regions of Mexico. Directly productive investments under the loan include establishment of small orchards and development of quarries and industries including brick-making, garden produce processing plants, and sewing shops. Naturally, the leading objective of employment generation calls for use of the most appropriate technologies and this aspect of the program will be closely supervised. As a necessary correlative to these direct investment projects in Mexico there are such infrastructural investments such as water supply systems, home schools and health centers. Completion of the entire program is expected to double or triple annual family income in the 15 regions and to increase the total value of production by $35 million per year. Another recently approved loan involving rural health services in Haiti presents an excellent example of how the Bank's work in a critically important field in affecting poor people -8in rural areas. The loan amounts to $6.3 million from FSO resources and is designed to build and equip 36 dispensaries, 23 health centers and one new health and training center. Bank management has estimated that it will benefit 1.9 million people in both the northern and southern regions of the country. The Bank is giving steadily increasing attention to projects which directly benefit the poor. One of the best indicators of the attention given by the IDB to the needs of the poor is the percentage of concessionary loans made to the poorest Latin American countries. The percentage rose steadily from 17% in 1970 to almost 55% in 1975. This trend is continuing. IDB REPLENISHMENT AND NONREGIONAL MEMBERSHIP The proposed replenishment of the IDB's resources for the 1976-79 period provides for an increase of $5,303 million in the authorized capital stock of the Bank, and $1,045 million in the FSO, for a total of $6,348 million. Of this total, the U.S. would provide $2,250 million, the Latin Americans would furnish $3,588 million and Canada would provide $307 million. The proposed membership of twelve nonregional countries will also increase the Bank's capital. The nonregional countries, ten from Europe plus Japan and Israel, will contribute to the Bank about $745 million over a three-year period (1976-1978). This total would be divided equally between the Bank's hard loan and soft loan windows, providing about $373 million to subscribed capital and another $373 million to the FSO. Proposed U.S. Subscriptions and Contributions. The U.S. share of the capital increase would be $1,650 million, of which $1,200 million is to be subscribed in three equal installments of $40 million paid-in and $360 million in the form of callable capital in FY 1976, FY 1977, and FY 1978. An additional $450 million of callable capital is to be subscribed in FY 1979. U.S. contributions to the FSO would total $600 million, to be provided in three annual installments of $200 million over the period FY 1977-79. The U.S. share of total new resources for the IDB during this replenishment period would be 30 percent compared with the 48 percent U.S. share during the last replenishment initiated in 1970. The composition of U.S. participation would be 73 percent capital and 27 percent FSO, compared to 45 percent and 55 percent, respectively, in the 1970 replenishment exercise. The impact on budget outlays would be only $720 million, compared with $1,150 million under the 1970 replenishment. -9Creation of Inter-Regional Capital Stock. The most important change in the Bank required by the entry of the nonregionals is the creation of a new series of capital stock to be designated as inter-regional capital stock. This new stock will be created to avoid certain limitations attached to ordinary capital borrowings which would reduce the utility of the new members' subscriptions. In the past, the Bank has included covenants in its bond issues which restrict the amount of total borrowings backed by its callable ordinary capital resources to the callable capital of the United States available on demand. The existence of this covenant means that contributions to the callable capital of the Bank from countries other than the United States cannot serve the purpose of supporting additional IDB borrowing. Beginning in 1975 such covenants were no longer included in the Bank's bond issues. Since such covenants were included in previous bond issues — some of which will not mature until 1995 — the holders of these bonds could enjoin the Bank from borrowing for its ordinary capital resources in excess of the U.S. callable capital subscription until all these bonds have been retired or redeemed. Thus, the Bank has decided to create a new category of capital under which it will be able to borrow against the callable capital of countries other than the United States. Any member country would have the option of subscribing in whole or in part to either ordinary capital or inter-regional capital. For the 1976-78 period, one-half of the U.S. subscription would be made to inter-regional capital. In the same period, Canada and Venezuela would make 100 percent of their subscriptions to inter-regional capital, as would the nonregional countr ies. For the purpose of computing voting power and preemptive rights, no distinction is to be made between ordinary and interregional capital. An eventual merger between ordinary and interregional capital is anticipated when bonds with the restrictive covenants are no longer outstanding. Effect on U.S. Voting Power. The effect of the new memberships and the proposed replenishment would be to reduce U.S. voting power from the present 40 percent to slightly less than 35 percent. In the FSO, this voting power would preserve the veto of the United States since decisions on soft loan operations must be approved by a two-thirds majority. Moreover, one of the proposed amendments to the IDB Charter provides that the United States will have not less than a 34.5 percent voting share in the Bank as long as it wants such a share. -10- ft Budget Impact. The impact of these requests on the U.S. budget over the next several years is substantially less then the total authorization. Of the $2,250 million authorization request, actual cash outlays would amount to $720 million ($120 million paid-in capital and $600 million FSO). This cash outlay represents 32 percent of our total participation, a reduction from the $1,150 million, which represented 64 percent of the last replenishment. Our $1,530 million subscription to callable capital is not expected to require any expenditures now or in the future because such capital would be called only in the highly unlikely event of a massive and widespread default by Bank borrowers. Appropriation of the first $40 million of the three equal installments of paid-in capital and the first $200 million of three equal installments of callable ordinary capital would be sought in FY 1976. Since the covenants limiting borrowing to the amount of U.S. callable capital available on demand would not apply to inter-regional callable capital, we would propose not to seek appropriation of the $930 million proposed for subscriptions to inter-regional callable capital. On the basis of authorization legislation, our inter-regional callable capital would be backed by the full faith and credit of the United States. Payment of the paid-in portion would be in the form of a letter of credit, and only a part of this would result in cash outlays in FY 1976. An appropriation would be requested in FY 1977 for the first $200 million of the U.S. contribution to the FSO but only a small fraction of this amount would result in budgetary expenditures in FY 1977. Appropriations for the balance of the U.S. contribution to the FSO would be sought in FY 1978 and FY 1979. ANNEX 4 ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK The Asian Development Bank was created in 1966 to foster economic growth and cooperation in the poorer countries of Asia and the Far East. The Bank has 27 regional members providing 72% of its capital and 14 nonregional members, including the United States, Canada, and 12 West European countries providing 28% of its capital. The aggregate voting power of the developed member countries, which include all the non-regional members plus Australia, Japan, and New Zealand, represents approximately 54% of the total. The United States participated actively in the establishment of the Bank and its subscription to the Bank's capital stock currently amounts to $361.9 million or 11% of the total. Bank Resources The Bank's ordinary capital lending, at interest rates of 8.75 and terms of 15-25 years, is financed from its subscribed capital and the proceeds of- its borrowings. As of December 31, 1975 the ADB's subscribed capital stock amounted to $3,201.5 million of which 33% was paid in and 67% was callable. Callable capital is used exclusively to guarantee borrowings from the international capital markets and represents a potential budgetary outlay only in the unlikely event that the Bank could not meet its obligations to bondholders. Through a bond covenant the ADB is restricted to borrowing an amount not more than approximately 97% of its convertible callable capital, currently $1,264.4 million. If the Bank were to limit its new commitments to amounts which could be financed without additional capital, the Bank had resources sufficient to commit only $184 million in new loans as of December 31, 1975. Given the virtual exhaustion of commitment authority, the Bank has already initiated discussions on a capital replenishment. The U.S. has not yet taken any position on the size and timing of such a replenishment, although it is clear that additional funds are needed relatively soon. The U.S. subscribed its first of three installments to the first ADB capital replenishment in FY 1975. Most other countries completed their subscriptions to the replenishment during 1973-1975. The request for"$120.6 million in FY 1977 completes the US contribution to the replenishment and is vital to the lending program of the ADB as the figures mentioned above indicate. The funds are urgently needed - 2 to permit continued ADB lending to countries such as the Philippines, South Korea, Indonesia, and Thailand — the major 1975 ADB borrowers. These Asian rim countries have shown strong self-help efforts to achieve economic growth and are of particular importance to the United States. Of the $120.6 million sought for FY 1977 only $24.1 million are paid-in funds which will entail budgetary outlays. The remaining $96.5 million is callable capital which is not likely to require any US outlays. In FY 1975 only the $24.1 million of paid-in was appropriated, but on the basis of authorizing legislation the US subscribed the full $120.6 million first installment. However, we subscribed to the callable capital only reluctantly because we believe callable capital for this relatively new bank should be appropriated. We are happy that the Senate/House Conference Committee on April 1 recommended appropriation of the full $120.6 million for FY 1976. The callable capital proportion of the third installment is also being requested in FY 1977 for appropriation. Appropriation of this amount does not increase Treasury outlays but it gives financial analysts and the bond market greater confidence in the ADB's bond issues and, thus, with no real cost to the United States, the ADB will be able to borrow at better rates and longer terms than otherwise. Completion of the US subscription to the first replenishment will also allow us to increase our voting power in the Bank, which is now 9.5 percent, to close to the original 16 percent. In 1975 the ADB borrowed $322.8 million in world capital markets of which $75 million (23%) was raised in the United States. This was the first ADB issue in the U.S. since early 1971 as the Bank has been relying more heavily on the Japanese and West European markets. The U.S. notes, with an 8.5 percent coupon rate, were priced at 99 percent with full maturity in five years. Bank Lending Activities From its establishment through December 31, 1975 the Bank has approved 150 loans from ordinary capital resources, for projects in 15 member countries, in an aggregate amount of $1,925 billion, of which $684 million has been disbursed. In CY 1975 the Bank committed $494 million for new loans. Tne Bank has become an important institution in Asian development, and being a regional organization, olays a major role in mobilizing self-help resources and bringing local knowledge to Asian development problems %• ; In response to suggestions by the Administration and Congress and by its own borrowers, the ADB has been paying increasing attention to the social impact of its operations. Of particular concern to the Bank are efforts to create employment opportunities and increase rural incomes. Lending for agriculture and agro-industry was over 37% of total ADB/ADF lending in 1975 compared with 24.5% in 1974. The extent of this change in sector emphasis during the past couple of years is shown by the fact that despite the 1975 lending program, cumulative Bank loans to public utilities at the end of 1975 totalled $907 million (35.1%), compared with agriculture's $589.4 million (22.8%). Recent irrigation and land development projects have been used by the Bank to provide not only infrastructure, but also farmers' credit, seeds, fertilizer, and other inputs as well as improved marketing facilities. Additionally, more attention is being given to the development of extension services and other farmers' institutions. The objective of such integrated projects is to ensure that all the various factors needed to increase productivity are provided in the appropriate "balance An example is the Pulangui River Irrigation Project in the Philippines approved in 1975 which includes all of the following elements: construction of irrigation canals, drainage system and roads; establishment of two pilot farms for demonstration of extension services and the introduction of intensive rat control measures; the improvement of the land tenure system; other farm services such as timely supply of farm credit, fertilizer, and other farm inputs. The benefits of the project include employment totaling 2.6 million man-days during the construction period and about 477,000 man-days after the construction of the Irrigation project and improved income distribution in the area as crop production incomes of nearly 3000 small farmers increase from $191 at present to $1,572 after 1982 for self-owners and $1,365 for leaseholders. Many of the same concerns are also being addressed for the first time in other sectors. For example, in 1975 the Bank provided financial and technical assistance for sewerage and slum redevelopment projects. These projects, 0 - 4 - together with water supply, are a part of the ADB's efforts to increase the direct impact of its operations on lower income groups in urban areas. Under the Bandung Urban Development and Sanitation Project a comprehensive study will be conducted for the improvement of housing, roads, footpaths, water supply, sewerage, solid waste disposal, health clinics, and other facilities. The first stage of the subsequent project will improve living conditions of about 34,000 households with average incomes of less than $50 per month. Asian Development Fund When the Bank was established it was recognized that it would have to provide financing on concessional terms to meet the needs of its poorer developing member countries. Prior to 1973 the ADB's soft-loan special funds were contributed on an unscheduled basis through bilateral arrangements made by the Bank with donor countr ies. In 1973, the ADB's Board of Governors, with United States support, adopted a resolution creating a new multilateral special fund, the Asian Development Fund, to which all contributions would be made and used on the same terms and conditions. Subsequently, agreement was reached among the Bank's developed country members on an initial resource mobilization for the new ADF of $525 million for the three-year period ending December 31, 1975. In FY 1972 and FY 1975 the Congress authorized U.S. special funds contributions totaling $150 million, of which $100 million has been appropriated and contributed to the ADF. The final U.S. contribution of $50 million to the initial mobilization is included in the FY 1976 appropriation request. As of December 31, 1975 the ADF/SF had committed $658.8 million for concessionary loans. This left only $40.9 million remaining for new commitments in 1976, not including the >ov million U.S. contribution requested for FY 1976. no^Re^°gnizing the dePletion of ADF resources, multilateral W e r e h e l d in 1 9 7 5 w i t h a thl A^t°nS view to replenishing eS Ur S Uring these r nJ ° r * ° negotiations the U.S. " e tated th3t he could give no J S .? indication of 9 f a U S the ini ^ ef t^'u ° ' " contribution, in part because S had n0t Yet to t X in?*- f d i e t e d its contribution tial i H resource mobilization of the ADF and conC nCer ni had o Spf h i ?5 U ' S - Participation in a replenishment did indicate IZL tl* W l t h C o n ^ e s s The U.S. representative G U S c o n t of the ^DB La i5 ' ' ^ s to be a strong supporter ?riS?iS; B tr2 h nSS f " ^ ^ ^ «Pect to continue con- if - 5 - % Recognizing that the U.S. was unable to commit itself concerning the specific timing or amount of any U.S. contribution, the ADB Board of Governors on December 3, 1975, adopted a resolution providing for the replenishment of ADF resources. The resolution provides for an ADF replenishment in an amount not to exceed $830 million for the 1976-78 period. Most donor countries agreed to contributions equal to approximately 150 percent of their initial contributions. As no decision has yet been made on the total U.S. contribution to be requested for the ADF replenishment, the United States reserved its position on the $231 million proposed in the resolution for the U.S. share while commenting that such an amount seemed large. We formally abstained on the resolution. Pending final determination of the total three year U.S. contribution level, draft legislation authorizing an initial U.S. contribution of $50 million for FY 1977 has been transmitted to Congress. Since contributions by other countries beyond the first year of the replenishment are contingent on U.S. participation, a U.S. commitment of the $50 million in FY 1977 is essential for the successful implementation of the total ADF replenishment package. This amount represents the same level appropriated in FY 1974 and FY 1975 and requested in FY 1976. The Administration has not yet determined the level of ADF appropriations to be requested for FY 1978 and FY 1979; in any case the level will be below the suggested $231 million. Special Fund Operations In 1975 the ADF approved concessionary loans totaling $166 million, which was considerably less than the Bank's expected program of $200 million in part because no loans were approved for South Vietnam, Cambodia, or Laos. The loans went to the poorest South Asian and Pacific states with Bangladesh, Pakistan, Burma, and Sri Lanka as principal borrowers. Agricultural and agro-industry projects accounted for 65% of the total lending and public utilities for 29%. Only Asian countries with 1972 per capita incomes of less than $300 are eligible for the loans which carry a service charge of 1% with maturities of 40 years including 10 years grace period on repayments. Indochina The Asian Development Bank, with strong U.S. support, made loans to South Vietnam, Cambodia, and Laos in previous years when conditions in these countries were quite different from the present situation. In April, 1975, the Bank suspended - 6 - 0 all loan operations in Vietnam and Cambodia. Operations have not resumed and no new loans have been considered or approved. There has been no contact by the ADB with Cambodia since last April. Although the Vietnamese have indicated some interest in the IMF, IBRD, and ADB, our attitude, and that of the ADB, is that benefits are limited to those countries willing to accept and implement the obligations and responsibilities of membership including Bank staff access to national economic data, freedom of staff entry and movement, adherence to conditions stipulated in loan agreements, and international competitive bidding for project procurement. Until the present governments of South Vietnam and Cambodia agree to follow these procedures we expect no ADB financial assistance to these countries. At this time there is no evidence that these countries are prepared to comply with ADB requirements. In Laos the ADB is closely monitoring its operations to ensure that loan conditions are being met and the projects properly implemented. As indicated below, the actual amount of funds disbursed to suppliers for projects in Vietnam, Cambodia, and Laos as of December, 1975, was only $12 million. ADB/ADF Indochina Loans (U.S. millions $) South Vietnam Cambodia Laos 1/ Loans Approved Amounts Disbursed $44.6 1.7 11.7 $5.7 .6 5.7 A Paid-in 1/ Convertible Currencies $ 4.5 1.2 0.2 Contributed to ADB by these countries Conclusion AS Secretar Y Simon pointed out in his speech at the ADB annual meeting in Manila last year, Asia has a special significance for the United States. He echoed President Ford s promise that the United States would continue to " " k cooperatively with others in maintaining the security and building the prosperity of the region. In an increasingly interdependent world, the United States, as a nation of the W 6 rnltltL A V S t h e A t l a n t i c , must remain involved. The competence of the Asian Development Bank is a strong asset in assisting our efforts to achieve these goals. 2 ><> ANNEX AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT FUND Authorization for US membership in the African Development Fund (AFDF) is presently pending before Congress. The House of Representatives voted in favor of the authorizing legislation (HR 9721) on December 9, 1975 and the Senate on March 30, 1976. A conference is expected to be scheduled shortly to resolve differences in the Senate and House versions of the bill. The Administration is requesting an amendment to the FY 1976 budget or a supplemental budget to provide $15 million to be made available to the AFDF in three annual installments over the FY 1976-1978 period. African Development Bank. The AFDF is the concessional loan affiliate of the African Development Bank (AFDB). The AFDB was established in the early 1960's to assist in the economic and social development of the newly independent African nations and to promote economic cooperation among them. The Bank's membership is exclusively African, with 41 member countries presently subscribing convertible currencies to the ordinary paid-in capital of the Bank amounting to $235 million. Through December 31, 1975, the Bank had authorized $317 million for ordinary capital loans for 107 projects in thirty-seven member countries, mainly in the public utilities and transport sectors. The Bank faces an extremely challenging task because Africa is the world's least developed continent. Over half of the twenty-five poorest, least developed countries in the world are in Africa; thirteen of the world's eighteen land-locked developing countries are African; twenty-two of thirty-three of the United Nations' "most seriously affected" (MSA) countries are African. About 75 percent of the African population is engaged in subsistence agriculture and in half of the countries per capita income is less than $100 per year. Because of these dramatic problems many of Africa's developing states simply cannot afford to borrow at the 6% rate of interest for 8 to 20 years offered by the Bank for many of their high priority development projects. To meet the need for softer terms for these projects, the Bank decided to establish a source of concessional funds. -2Establishment of the African Development Fund. In 1966, in recognition of these problems and in an effort to increase the involvement of the industrial nations in African development efforts, the Bank undertook discussions with developed countries on establishing a concessional facility associated with the Bank. After six years of negotiations, and with U.S. assistance in drafting the charter, the African Development Fund was inaugurated in July 1973. The present members of the Fund are Canada, Brazil, Japan, Saudi Arabia, twelve European donors and the Bank itself representing all of its member countries. The Fund is legally spearate from the Bank and managed by its own board of directors, six of whom are chosen by the Bank and six by the door countries. A 75 percent weighted vote is required for all operational decisions. The Fund uses the Bank's staff and draws upon its expertise, as do the concessional funds of the other international development lending institutions. All loans bear a 3/4 of one percent service charge, with a forty-year maturity plus a ten-year grace period. The Fund directs its loan resources toward social development projects. Although all members of the AFDB are theoretically eligible for concessional loans, only the poorest recevie them in practice. Fund Resources. Since the Fund's establishment, donor nations have pledged about $145 million in concessional loan resources and the Bank has contributed another $7 million. The proposed U.S. appropriation of $15 million for the African Development Fund—which represents about 9 percent of the contributions so far pledged by members would bring the level of total subscriptions to about $167 million. The United States would be the fourth largest contributor, after Canada which has pledged $25 million and Japan and Germany, each of which has pledged $16.7 million. The AFDB recognizes the importance of concessional lending in a region as poor as Africa and is continuing to seek additional resources for the Fund, through the enlistment of new members, the increase in donor subscriptions, and bilateral loans and grants. The replenishment of the Fund's capital resources for the 1976-1978 period was discussed in Paris in November 1975, the fourth in a series of such meetings. The AFDF hooes that the current donor members will contribute twice as much in the next three years as in tne last three years. The proposed U.S. contribution would be 0 paid in over the new replenishment period. Thus, it is likely that the United States share would drop substantially in donor ranking. Fund Operations. During the first two years of operation (1974 and 1975) the Fund made 40 loans totalling $140 million to finance projects, predominantly in the area of agriculture. Sixteen of these loans, for $60 million, have been for long-term development projects such as village wells, roads, earthen dams, and irrigation in the six drought-affected countries comprising the Sahel. The Fund staff has laid out an ambitious lending program over the next three years. Management has estimated that during the 1976-78 period, the Fund will lend between $350 and $385 million. As of October 1975 the Fund's pipeline contained 93 projects, mainly in the agricultural and transport sectors, totaling $304 million. During late November 1975, a delegation of Treasury officials, Congressmen and Congressional staff visited four West African countries in order to view at first hand the activities of the World Bank and the African Development Bank and the economic problems of the borrowing countries. In Mali, of one of the world's poorest countries which has suffered from severe drought in recent years, the group visited two projects which had benefited from AFDB/AFDF loans. One, a state-owned textile mill, manufactured printed cloth to be marketed locally from raw cotton produced in Mali. The plant not only provided much needed employment for some 850 Malians, but helped conserve scarce foreign exchange by reducing the need for importing the goods. The group was also shown a demonstration well shaft that had been dug by hand and reinforced with concrete to teach people from outlying bush areas modern well-drilling techniques. The AFDF project uses non-capital intensive or intermediate technology, which can be used in villages and on farms. This "operation wells" program designed by the Government of Mali to meet the water requirements of the rural population and livestock, is a significant example of a development project (to which the AFDF contributed $4.4 million) directly improving the daily lives of the poor. In Liberia the delegation visited the Liberian Bank for Development and Investment (LBDI) which had received $3 million from the AFDB. The AFDB has made similar loans to -4national development finance corporations like the LBDI throughout Africa. In visiting a Liberian-owned chicken farm near Monrovia, the group saw an example of how the AFDB line of credit was being used effectively to extend small loans to individual Liberians, for productive purposes. US Membership in Fund. Because the US participated in the drafting of the agreement establishing the Fund, we would have been eligible to be an "original participant" had we contributed to the Fund by December 31, 1974. This would have made our membership in the Fund automatic and entitled us to participate in the election of directors in May 1975. Because we did not meet the December 31 deadline, the terms of our membership are not at this moment defined and our entry into the Fund is subject to unanimous approval by the Board of Governors. We believe that, if the proposed appropriation is approved, we will be able to negotiate membership in the Fund under terms similar to the original charter conditions. One aspect on which we have already held informal discussions with the Fund Management concerns Article 13 of the Fund's charter which provides for maintenance of value on currency holdings during the period after a member's contribution has been paid and before the funds are lent out or exchanged for another currency. In order to avoid being subject to this limited maintenance of value obligation, we have secured agreement from the Fund management that our contribution would be converted to another currency on receipt. According to Article 13, this procedure will free the US from any maintenance of value obiigation. Importance of Africa to U.S. Africa has a growing economic significance for the U.S. Total U.S. exportsto all Africa rose from $3.7 billion in 1974 to around $5.2 billion in 1975. As a result, Africa's share of U.S. world exports grew from 3.7% in 1974 to 4.2% in 1975. Under the articles of the Fund, procurement of goods and services for projects financed by the Fund is limited to members only. Until the United States joins the Fund U.S. exporters and contractors will be unable to compete for this potentially substantial source of export earnings reoresented by Fund projects. Moreover, our export sector and service firms will be at a major disadvantage in terms of follow-uo business and will not have incentives to establish markets in some Atr ican countr ies. -5* During the ten-year period from 1964 to 1974, U.S. investment in Africa quadrupled. Investment and trade in minerals and petroleum account for the largest share of U.S. economic activity in Africa. Three-quarters of U.S. direct investment in Africa are in these areas. In 1974, African petroleum alone accounted for 26 percent of total U.S. imports of crude oil. For the first nine months of 1975 Africa's share rose to 34 percent. During the same period we obtained the following percentages of our mineral imports from Africa: cobalt—36%; manganese—44%; antimony—40%; platinumum—39%. In addition to minerals, we obtain 21% of our coffee and 48% of our cocoa from Africa exporters. Despite several problems, U.S. participation in the AFDF is consistent with our national interest. Looking at the African continent from the perspective of the long' term, the extent to which we can assist, through the AFDF, in raising the living standards of Africa's poor, is clearly in the U.S. interest. Following enactment of the authorization the Administration hopes that prompt action will be taken on the request for $15 million of appropriations in FY 1976 for the AFDF. Early action is necessary to permit the U.S. to join the Fund before the annual meeting in early May. At that meeting elections will be held for executive directors, providing what may be the only opportunity during the next three years for election of a U.S. executive director. If these appropriations are provided in FY 1976, the Administration does not plan to request additional appropriations for the AFDF in FY 1977. TRENDS IN SHARE OF INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT BANK RESOURCES PROVIDED BY THE UNITED STATES (7o of Contributed Resources) ADB IDB OC IBRD IDA Initial Contribution 41.4 42.6 43.1 First Replenishment 32.9 41.9 Second Replenishment 28.0 FSO OC SF 68.5 20.0 28.6 43.1 68. 5 ^ 18.2 40.0 43.1 83.3 Third Replenishment 39.9 41.2 75.0 Fourth Replenishment 33.3 32.4 66.7 57.4 Fifth Replenishment Cumulative U.S. Share 25.3 37.7 40.4 69.2 18.8 28.6 > x 1/ ON If the SPTF is included, the U.S. provides a total of 90.7% of IDB concessional resources through the first replenishment. OIDB March 12, 1976 fc International Development Bank Loans To OPEC Countries FY 1974 Through FY 1976 (millions of dollars) Country iAbu Dhabi Algeria Ecuador Indonesia Iran Iraq Kuwait Libya :igeria Qatar Saudi Arabia Venezuela Total FY 1974 ADB/IDB World Bank SF Bank IDA OC FSO FY 1975 World Bank ADB/IDB SF Total Bank IDA OC FSO 157.5 157.5 48.0 23.2 5.5 55.7 4.0 84.4 165.32 332.0 48.0 84.0 11.78 21.54 265.0 - 265.01 35.0 23.5 77.1 14.2 52.5 Total 48.0 62.5 423.3 FY 19761/ World Bank ADB/IDB SF Grand Bank IDA 0C FSO Total Total 46.0 68.0 40.7* 66.05 46.0 251.5 40.7 187.6 134.05 722.67 52.5 317.5 173.0 248.0 • ,m 75.0 22.0 - 75.0; 173.0 - - 22.0!- 590.7 89.5 11.78 77.24 769.22 609.5 22.0 112.1 37.7 759.3 114.0 - 106.75 - 220.751749.27 •'•' Includes $29.6 million from Venezuelan Trust Fund. 1/ Through March 1, 1976. E3 M X OIDB March 11, 1976 V ANNEX 8 CO-FINANCING OPERATIONS BETWEEN BANK/IDA AND ARAB DEVELOPMENT BANKS (in US$ millions equivalent) IBRD LOAN IDA CREDIT CO-FINANCING INSTITUTION 0 AMOUNT LENT TOTAL PROJECT COST COUNTRY AND PROJECT FY Burundi- Coffee Improvement 76 5.2 Kuwait Fund 1.2 Rwanda- Highways 70 76 9.3 9.5 Saudi Fund 5.0 25.7 Sudan- Irrigation Supplemental 73 75 42.0 20.0 Kuwait Fund Kuwait Fund Arab Fund Saudi Fund 11.0 39.0 14.5 28.0 96.0 Tanzania- Textiles Maize 75 76 15.0 Kuwait Fund BADEA 1/ 15.0 5.0 44.3 38.0 Zaire- Mining 75 100.0 100.7 435.0 Water Supply 76 21.5 Libyan-Arab Foreign Bank BADEAi/ 10.0 70.4 Ghana- Cocoa 76 14.0 BADEA!/ 5.0 30.0 Mauritania- Ports Highways 76 75 8.0 3.0 Kuwait Fund Kuwait Fund 8.3 3.8 27.5 13.7 Nepal- Hydroelectric 76 26.0 Kuwait Fund 17.5 63.0 Algeria- Ports 74 18.0 70.0 Arab Fund 20.0 Kuwait Invest- 60.0 ment Company Cement 76 46.0 Local Algerian 89.8 Egypt- Fertilizer 74 Banks 22.1 20.0 Arab Fund 23.8 Kuwait Fund 10.2 Abu Dhabi Fund 10.1 Libyan-Arab Foreign Bank 3.4 Cocton Ginning 74 25.6 Qatar Suez Canal . 75 50.0 34.5 IS 5 Saudi Fund 50.0 Kuwait. Fund 34.5 Saudi Fund Cement 75 10.0 40.0 Abu Dhabi Railways 75 23.0 37.0 Qatar Telecommunications 75 65.0 Arab Fund 23.0 Saudi Fund 1/ Arab Bank for Economic Development in Afri„a 30.0 Saudi Fund 7.5 148.0 293.2 214.4 132.4 2SS.0 8^.0 •>Q6.3 •73.4 pfANNEX 8 cont'd - 2- COUNTRY AND PROJECT FY IBRD LOAN IDA CREDIT CO-FINANCING INSTITUTION AMOUNT LENT v Jordan - Thermal Power 73 Power 76 10.2 5.0 Syria - Thermal Power 74 25.0 75 8.6 Kuwait Fund 33.0 62.6 Abu Dhabi Fund 15.0 lunisia Gas Pipeline Phosphate Sewerage emen, A. R. Agriculture Water Supply Agriculture Highways Water & Sewerage emen, P. D. R. Highways Ports qgoslavia Oil Pipeline Totals 71 73 75 7.5 23.3 28.0 Kuwait Fund Arab Fund 10.2 13.4 TOTAL PROJECT COST 25.0 22.0 Kuwait Fund Kuwait Fund Saudi Fund 2.5 6.9 30.0 14.3 64.2 86.1 73 74 75 75 75 10.9 6.25 10.0 9.0 8.1 Kuwait Fund Abu Dhabi Fund Abu Dhabi Fund Kuwait Fund Arab Fund 5.9 1.0 10.0 5.0 21.0 17.5 6.8 23.2 15.7 31.2 75 76 15.5 3.2 Kuwait Fund Arab Fund 15.3 13.6 31.8 17.6 76 49.0 Kuwait Fund Libya 125.0 70.0 377.0 485.9 366.65 1,141.8 3,321.2 $240 million for the first installment of the fourth replenishment of IDB ordinary capital ($40 million of paid-in capital and $200 million of callable capital); $15 million for the initial U.S. contribution to the African Development Fund. FOR RELEASE ON DELIVERY STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE WILLIAM E. SIMON SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON BANKING, HOUSING, AND URBAN AFFAIRS UNITED STATES SENATE ON S.3133 APRIL 8, 1976, 10:00 A.M. Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee; Thank you for giving me the opportunity to discuss with you the subject of questionable foreign payments abroad by U. S. corporations. In my testimony today, I will touch on some broad policy issues involved in bribery and other questionable payments by (1) reviewing the current status of the Administration's initiatives in this area and (2) outlining my views on S.3133, which you are considering. Mr. Chairman, I welcome your contribution to the efforts to deal with this very difficult problem as I share you concerns about the problem of bribery and other illicit payments outside the United States. Both government and business should unite in unequivocally condemning illegal or unethical activities by American business, whether at home or abroad. Corruption, whether it involves bribes to secure overseas government contracts, illegal contributions to political candidates here at home, or any other form of graft, is abhorrent on ethical grounds and undermines the functioning of a competitive free enterprise system. It results in higher prices and lower quality of goods and services to the consumer. Bribes and kickbacks are based on the power of an individual to allocate business in an arbitrary manner and, thereby, to interfere with the normal competitive reasons for making trade and investment decisions. Not only does this distort trade and investment flows but it also erodes the general reputation of the American business community, may adversely affect our relations with foreign governments and can contribute to a general deterioration in the climate for fair and open international trade and investment. Bribery is, therefore, not only morally wrong but is destructive of the basic economic principles on which our country was built. Accordingly, the Administration has attached the highest priority to finding solutions to the problem of WS-774 corrupt practices in international economic affairs and has initiated a number of efforts toward this end- Domestic Actions Taken J?o2£ I think that it would be useful for me to review briefly with you the initiatives currently under way within the Executive Branch. Internal Revenue Service. Let me outline for you first some of the steps which the Internal Revenue Service can, and is, taking in this area as part of its continuing program to combat corporate tax evasion and avoidance. At my direction, the Internal Revenue Service has intensified its investigations of tax evasion and avoidance by U. S. corporations through improper deductions of bribes, kickbacks, and similar illicit payments made abroad and in the United States. As part of the Service's efforts to uncover corporate tax evasion and avoidance wherever it exists, it has issued instructions to its Revenue Agents to: — make it mandatory to interview selected corporate officers and key employees regarding the use of slush funds, and to secure written affidavits in appropriate situations: — refer to the Intelligence Division any false statements made in connection with these affidavits for appropriate criminal action; — examine corporate officers1 individual tax returns at the same time as the corporation return is being audited; — use summons to gain access to financial information; — make use of the IRS Office of International Operations to examine books and records of U. S. companies abroad; — use coordinated and simultaneous industry-wide audits of the principal concerns in a given industry furnishing similar services or products; — examine international transactions of multinational corporations; — strengthen our cooperative efforts with other nations with whom we have tax treaties. The Internal Revenue Service is currently receiving taxrelated information from the Securities and Exchange Commission. This information is being disseminated to IRS field offices where the particular corporations are being, or will be, examined by audit teams including some of its best revenue agents including international and computer specialists. 3 - - 2*7 We do not keep statistics on the additional tax collected specifically from investigations of illegal payments by major corporations or for any other specific issue. Audits of such corporations usually involve a number of issues making it a difficult task to isolate the additional tax resulting from this one item. However, as a result of these intensified efforts by the IRS and other agencies to uncover tax evasion and avoidance schemes, several major corporations have disclosed that they have been making illegal payments. In addition, the Intelligence Division is an active participant in the IRS effort in dealing with this erosion in corporate and personal integrity. Criminal prosecutions will be vigorously pursued when prosecution standards are met. The Intelligence Division is currently investigating 34 major corporations to determine whether illegal payments were fraudulently claimed as tax deductions or credits. The Internal Revenue Service's efforts in this area cannot be viewed as a panacea in the area of improper or illegal payments, however. The Service's responsibility is to determine whether taxpayers' treatment of such payments was proper or resulted in a violation of Federal tax statutes. Securities and Exchange Commission. As you know, the Federal securities laws which the SEC administers are primarily designed to protect investors by assuring full and fair disclosure of material facts regarding the nature of business operations of companies which have issued registered securities. The SEC is to be commended for its activities in obtaining disclosure of material facts regarding the conduct of publicly-held corporations on the foreign payments question. To date, the Commission has brought court actions against some of this nation's largest publicly-held corporations. In each, the SEC has alleged that the defendants violated the reporting provisions of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 by filing periodic reports with the Commission which omitted or misstated material information. In those cases where settlements have been reached, the judgments enjoin the defendants from further violations of the Federal securities laws, and are enforceable by criminal contempt proceedings in the event of further violations. In addition, certain ancillary relief has been obtained where typically the subject company has been required to establish a special committee generally comprised of independent members of its board of directors, in order to conduct a full investigation of the irregularities alleged in the Commission's complaint. Upon the conclusion of an investigation, such special committees submit a complete report of the investigation to the board of directors, which, of course, has the ultimate responsi- - 4 bility for reviewing and implementing any recommendations contained in the report. Lastly, the SEC has also instituted a voluntary disclosure program where approximately 25 publicly-held corporations have voluntarily come to the Commission's staff to discuss the existence and disclosure of improper and illegal practices in the past five years. A prerequisite for entering this voluntary program is that the board of directors declare that the company shall end all such practices and authorize a complete investigation of all related matters covering this five year period. Departments of Defense and State. Action has also been taken by the State and Defense Departments in connection with the administration of the Foreign Military Sales Program. They are, for example, making an effort to ensure that foreign governments are fully informed of all agents' fees that are included in the price of defense goods and services sold to them under the program. In addition, if the foreign government advises that a fee is unacceptable or if the Defense Department determines that a fee is unreasonable or not bona fide, the DOD will not allow the fee under the FMS contract. International Initiatives Complementing these domestic actions, we have also taken a variety of initiatives in international forums aimed at cooperative action among governments to deal with this problem. OECD. In September of last year at the annual meeting of the International Monetary Fund, the United States proposed to other industrial countries the idea of cooperative international action to curb illicit payments. They all responded positively. Two months later, a provision on ethical conduct was included in the draft Guidelines for Multinational Enterprises under negotiation in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. United Nations. Another initiative was taken by the United States early last month in the United Nations Commission on Transnational Corporations where we proposed a comprehensive international agreement to curb corrupt practices. In presenting this proposal, the United States outlined a number of principles on which we feel the agreement should be based. These include the following: it would apply to international trade and investment transactions with Governments; it would apply equally to those who offer or make improper payments and to those who request or accept them; 70 — importing Governments would agree to (i) establish clear guidelines concerning the use of agents in connection with government procurement and other covered transactions and (ii) establish appropriate criminal penalties for defined corrupt practices by enterprises and officials in their territory; — all Governments would cooperate and exchange information to help eradicate corrupt practices; — uniform provisions would be agreed for disclosure by ae enterprises, agents, and officials of political contributions, gifts, and payments made in connection with covered transactions. Although the members of the Commission were not in a position to give a definitive reaction to our proposal, we were encouraged by their initial responses. We were also pleased by the action of the Commission, which referred our proposal to its parent body, the Economic and Social Council (ECOSOC), with a recommendation that the Council take the issue up as a matter of highest priority. We anticipate that the ECOSOC will form a group of experts from member governments to draft the agreement and hope to see the results of their work within a short time. GATT. In November of last year the Senate passed Senate Resolution 265 which called for the U.S. Government to seek an international code of conduct covering bribery, kickbacks, and other similar activities as part of the multilateral trade negotiations currently being conducted under the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade and in other appropriate international forums. Subsequently, the United States urged our trading partners that an international code of conduct on business practices be made a major goal of the negotiations. Information Exchange. Lastly, the State Department, the Justice Department and the SEC have developed procedures to facilitate the exchange of information on questionable payments with interested foreign governments through cooperative arrangements with their law enforcement officers. President's Task Force I believe that these activities represent a significant response to the problem of corrupt practices in international economic affairs. I anticipate that they will be strengthened and intensified under the coordination of the new Cabinet-level Task Force on Questionable Corporate Payments Abroad, which the President established last week. The Task Force was charged - 6 by the President, in part, with ensuring that existing government actions to deal with corrupt practices abroad will be fully coordinated. It also has a mandate to conduct an indepth review of this matter and to recommend any new Federal Government actions as it may feel are necessary. The Task Force is chaired by Secretary Richardson, and I am privileged to be a member. In my judgment there is no person more eminently qualified to assume this responsibility than Elliot Richardson. I intend to give him my full support in our search for effective and practical solutions to this problem, and the Committee will look forward to working closely with the Congress in this effort. As our work progresses, we will certainly do our best to promote an interchange of ideas with individuals and groups in the private business sector and other sources as well. Private Sector Initiatives I think it is important to emphasize, however, that the search for solutions to this problem cannot be solely the concern of governments. It is critical for the private sector to come to grips with the problem. This obligation extends not only to those firms that have engaged in corrupt practices, but also to the business community, as a whole. The sad fact is that the unethical practices of a small percentage of our business community are coloring our views of almost the entire private sector. The vast majority of businessmen are honest. What is required today, however, is more leadership from those businessmen who have deep convictions, will stand up for them and will go to the public to state the case for ethics in business, instead of keeping quiet while the free enterprise system comes under increasingly heavier attack. As I indicated at the outset of my statement, these practices, aside from being morally wrong, cause serious distortions in the operation of the free market and have negative effects on the reputation of business in general. All firms, even those who have not indulged in illegal practices, are adversely affected as a result. All of us who want to preserve our free enterprise system find such conduct abhorent and we must join in an international effort to find ways to deal with the problem. 23/ In this connection, I was gratified to learn last month that the International Chamber of Commerce had formed a Commission on Unethical Practices — a blue-ribbon panel of business leaders from many nations — to develop guidelines for promoting ethical and proper conduct in international commercial affairs. In addition, I understand that a number of individual firms have created special task forces to establish procedures to prevent unethical practices by their employees. These actions indicate that the private sector does see the need to deal squarely and effectively with this problem. I know that such efforts will be a constructive adjunct to initiatives being taken by the United States and other countries and look forward to seeing their results. Comments on S.3133 C, In the same vein, I welcome your initiative in introducing S.3133 and appreciate the opportunity to discuss it with you. While I am strongly attracted by the general principle of greater disclosure, I do have some reservations as to the approach taken in the bill to achieve it. More specifically, I think we must also look at this bill in relation to the initiatives the United States now has underway in international organizations. Our chief concern here is that a unilateral effort like that involved in S.3133 might undercut the vital principle that cooperative action by the whole international community of nations is needed in order to deal effectively with this problem. It is a truism that it takes two to make a bribe. We must discourage those who offer bribes, to be sure, but any effective approach must also strive to deter those who solicit and accept illicit payments as well. - 8 The bill would require that a broad range of payments made abroad be disclosed to the public, even though the vast majority of these payments would likely be legitimate payments for agents and representatives engaged to assist in the sale of goods and services to governments and government corporations. In this respect, the disclosure requirements in the bill may go too far in that (1) a great amount of paperwork associated with reporting would be required by both the private sector and the SEC and (2) a number of what are ordinary, legitimate and confidential matters relative to commercial relationships would be opened up for examination by competitors, customers and governments. The bill would place a heavy responsibility on the Securities and Exchange Commission for enforcing both its disclosure requirements and its criminal sanctions, both of which would take the SEC into areas beyond its basic mandate of protection of investors. Whether this should be done requires further study and, of course, the views of the SEC and the Department of Justice should be taken into account. In this regard I might note that the disclosure and criminal sanctions would be applicable only to corporations which have issued registered securities and thus come within the ambit of the Securities Exchange Act. I question whether any new disclosure requirements and criminal sanctions should be limited only to corporations with registered securities, as a bribe offered by a privately-held corporation or a partnership is no different from a bribe offered by a publicly-held corporation. The upshot of my remarks is that while I support the intent of the bill before you today, I have serious reservations as to whether it represents the optimal approach to dealing with the problem of bribery and corrupt practices in international commerce. Although domestic legislation may be needed, the problems in this area are complex and should be carefully considered before we take action. The Task Force on Questionable Corporate Payments Abroad was established specifically to give these problems and possible solutions a hard and searching analysis and evaluation before we commit ourselves to one course or another. I suggest that you give us a chance to look into these matters further before taking action on this legislation. In this process we will exclude no reasonable possibility, but we will of necessity take into account the considerations I have just outlined. Mr. Chairman, I also have a few technical points to make with respect to specific aspects of this bill. Our staffs can get together later to explore them, so I will you orietly not an spell idea tothem mention of where out some inour detail of principal these now.questions concerns Rather, I in lie. would order For like toexample, give J3J one section of the bill has the effect of automatically adopting as a part of U.S. criminal law the relevant criminal laws of all foreign nations. Do we want this? One consequence of retaining this provision might be to create a situation where a single act was punishable under the laws of two countries. Finally, enforcement of the provisions of the bill could well result in the extraterritorial application of U.S. law and might require the U.S. Government to investigate the conduct of foreign government officials, resulting in potentially serious political problems with other countries. The Lockheed Situation Before concluding my statement, Mr. Chairman, I would like to take a moment to bring this Committee up to date on the Lockheed situation. When I appeared before you in my capacity as Chairman of the Emergency Loan Guarantee Board (ELGB) last August and again on February 19, I indicated that the ELGB strongly condemned the payment of any type of bribe or kickback for the same basic reasons I have described today. Since last summer, when it became aware that Lockheed had been involved in these practices, the ELGB has acted on a number of fronts to stop these activities. Initially, the ELGB insisted, as a condition to the continuance of the guarantee program, that Lockheed cease making any further questionable payments, and the ELGB worked with Lockheed to develop a definitive corporate policy to control the Company's relationship with foreign consultants. That policy expressly prohibits any foreign commissions or other payments that are not legitimate business expenses which would be deductible on the Company's U.S. tax returns. It also prohibits the maintenance of any slush fund or other fund outside normal accounting channels. The details of the plan were adopted by Lockheed's Board of Directors in a resolution that provides that any Lockheed employee who violates the policy will be dismissed immediately. During the fall of last year, Lockheed, under ELGB supervision, took steps to assure full implementation of its new policy. I might add that, at your request, copies of Lockheed's policy and the Company's plans to implement it were furnished to you last month. The ELGB has been closely monitoring Lockheed's activity under its new policy and will continue to do so. To complement that monitoring effort, the ELGB intends, in connection with Lockheed's refinancing plan, to insist on an amendment to its Agreement with Lockheed and the lending banks that will expressly define the making of future improper payments as an event of default. These amendments also would establish a formal system of reporting to the ELGB to assure that no wrongful payments are made in the future. In addition, the - 10 - 3tf ELGB will require a special accounting of past payments from a committee of outside Lockheed directors that has been established. On February 19, I stated that we were in the process of negotiating with Lockheed for the names of the countries in which payments to government officials were known or suspected to have been made. We are close to completing these negotiations and in addition have obtained a substantial amount of detailed information relating to existing and potential foreign sales. Lockheed's revised 12/75 Financial Forecast will be completed within the next two weeks, at which time the ELGB staff will be in a position to finish its assessment of the impact that disclosure of foreign bribes may have on Lockheed's operations and hence the repayment of guaranteed borrowings. I would like to add that based on the ELGB's assessment of the company fs latest forecast thus far, I still believe there is a reasonable prospect that Lockheed will be able to return to the private capital markets by the time the Government guarantee program ends. Lastly, I would note that, following the February 19 hearings, the GAO made a request of Lockheed and of the ELGB for further access to Lockheed records. Lockheed has recently agreed to provide the GAO access to its records concerning foreign agents and consultants in exchange for the GAO's promise that the information obtained would be kept confidential I am informed that the GAO sent a team out to Lockheed fs headquarters last week to begin their review of those records. The Treasury Economic Analysis group has begun an update of its assessment of the impact of a Lockheed failure. Although this analysis has been delayed pending the availability of Lockheed's 1975 yearend audited financial statements, Lockheed has indicated this information will be available in the next few days, and our analysis can then be completed shortly. Conclusion. In sum, Mr. Chairman, I share your concern about the problem of bribery and corruption, at home or abroad. Although, I do have significant reservations as to the general approach embodied in S.3133 as well as some of its specific provisions, I agree with the objectives you are seeking. There is no room in our society for such practices. What is needed is a united effort by business and government. The fact of the matter is that no free society or free economy can long survive without an ethical base. Since the President's Task Force on Questionable Corporate Payments Abroad has just been established, I believe we should be given some time to analyze this important area more deeply. I assure you that we are committed to finding the proper solutions. LetoOo us work together to formulate recommendations for action. Department theTREASURY NGTON, D.C. 20220 T E L E P H O N E 964-2041 J33April FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE 7, 1976 RESULTS OF AUCTION OF $2.5 BILLION OF 14-DAY TREASURY BILLS The Treasury has accepted $2.5 billion of the $7.6 billion of tenders received for the 14-day Treasury bills to be issued April 8, 1976, and to mature April 22, 1976, auctioned today. The range of accepted bids was as follows: Price High Low Av e r a g e 99.815 99.811 99.812 Discount Rate 4.757% 4.860% 4.834% Tenders at the low price were allotted 56% WS-775 Investment Rate 4.83% 4.94% 4.91% FOR RELEASE ON DELIVERY STATEMENT OF DALE S. COLLINSON T A X LEGISLATIVE C O U N S E L D E P A R T M E N T OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE WAYS AND MEANS COMMITTEE APRIL 12, 1976, 10:00 A.M. Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: Thank you for inviting me here today to discuss the status of the Airport and Airway Trust Fund. In your press release announcing these hearings you indicate your interest in determining "whether the taxes currently dedicated to that trust fund should be continued at existing levels, reduced, or otherwise modified. n In m y statement I will discuss the general tax policy principles bearing on such a determination and supply current information regarding the financial condition of the trust fund. Representatives of the Department of Transportation will cover the transportation policy issues. History of Air Transportation Taxes Preliminary to any assessment of the propriety of the excise taxes presently levied on air transportation, it is essential, I believe, to recall the process by which we arrived at the present situation. This history is familiar to most of you, and I will, accordingly, keep m y summary brief. Since the adoption of the Air Commerce Act in 1926, the Federal Government has exercised a vital role in the development of the country1 s air transportation system. The Federal Government has directly subsidized air carriers, financed aircraft development and airport construction, and has maintained and operated important elements of the airway system. Initially, the posture of the Federal Government was clearly one of subsidizing the development of airports and the airway system through general revenue appropriations. The cost of the federal programs was, thus, assessed against the populace as a whole, through general taxes, rather than the specific users of airport facilities and the airway system. Air transportation was a new industry and could not be expected to sustain, in its infancy, the full financial burden of the extensive capital expenditures that were then needed. WS-776 J£7 - 2As the air transport industry grew and achieved maturity, it was recognized that it was no longer appropriate to defray from general revenues the Federal Government's costs for the development, operation and maintenance of airports and the airway system. Over a period of years, the Congress has, accordingly, ^adopted a series of air transportation excise taxes as "user charges" designed to collect those federal costs from the users of airports and the airway system. Thus, the Tax Rate Extension Act of 1962 dropped the general excise tax of 10 percent on passenger transportation, which was originally enacted during World War II as a revenue measure. But it retained a 5 percent tax on air passenger transport as a user charge. The 5 percent user tax was made permanent by the Excise Tax Reduction Act of 1965. More generally, the latter Act reflected an attempt to eliminate use of excise taxes as general revenue measures and instead, in the words of your Committee's report on the Act, to "restrict continuing Federal excises to taxes in the nature of benefit charges (primarily those devoted to the highway trust fund), sumptuary excises on alcoholic beverages and tobacco products, and items taxed for regulatory purposes. " The fullest implementation of the user charge concept as regards air transportation taxes was achieved in the Airport and Airways Development Act of 1970. This aspect of the Act was summarized in the report of the Committee on Interstate and Foreign Commerce as follows: "To provide additional revenue for the financing of the increased Government outlays for the expansion and development of the airport and airway system, the administration proposed new and increased air user taxes to pay for an increasing portion of the total Government expenditures for the air transportation system. Without the new and increased user taxes, the general taxpayer would be required to finance most of the cost of the system through general fund appropriations, if the need is to be met. . . . The Ways and Means Committee agreed that the users of the Federal aviation system could properly pay for a greater share of the cost than at present, and that the goal should be for the civil part of this system to eventually become self-sustaining from the air user taxes. As indicated in table 2, the civil share deficit is expected to decline from about $3 75 million in Fiscal 1971 to about $36 million in Fiscal 1979. " Section 208 of the Airport and Airways Development Act of 1970 created the Airport and Airway Trust Fund. Section 208(f) provided that amounts in the trust fund were to be available, as provided by - 3appropriation acts, to defray (1) expenses incurred under Title I of the Act, (2) expenses incurred under the Federal Aviation Act of 1958 and attributable to planning, research and development, construction or operations and maintenance of air traffic control, air navigation, communications, or supporting services for the airway system, and (3) those portions of the administrative expenses of the Department of Transportation which are attributable to activities described in (1) and (2). In short, section 208(f) contemplated that the receipts of the trust fund would be broadly available to meet the civil part of the government's expenditures for the air transportation system. This was, of course, consistent with the statement of Congressional intent previously quoted from the report of the Interstate and Foreign Commerce Committee. In fact, however, the Airport and Airway Trust Fund operated under the principles adopted in 1970 only during the 1971 and 1972 Fiscal Years. The Airport and Airways Development Act was amended in 1971 to severely restrict the expenditures that could be made out of the trust fund, and it is that change in the original provisions that is responsible for the greatest part of the present substantial surplus in the trust fund. To see what happened, it is sufficient to examine the treatment of operation and maintenance expenses. Prior to the 1971 amendment, trust funds could be used to pay the operation and maintenance expenses of the air traffic and navigation system. Appropriations totaling $1,023 million were authorized from the trust fund for such expenses through Fiscal Year 1972. A s a result of the 1971 amendment, these activities have been funded, beginning with Fiscal Year 1973, from general fund revenues. The significance of the change for the financial condition of the trust fund is readily apparent from a comparison of the experience of the trust fund during its first two years (Fiscal Years 1971 and 1972) with that of the following three years (Fiscal Years 1973-1975). Fiscal Years 1971-1972 ($ millions) Fiscal Years 1973-1975 ($ millions) Net user tax receipts Federal payment to fund Transfers of general fund balances Interest $1,211 647 $2,561 73 876 - 4 124 Total receipts $2,735 $2,759 Receipts J3f - 4Fiscal Years 1971-1972 ($ millions) Fiscal Years 1973-1975 ($ millions) Expenditures Operations Grants in aid for airports Facilities and equipment Research and development Other $1,078 167 345 85 Total expenditures $1,677 I $ 80 767 752 198 1 $1,800 But for the transfer to the trust fund in Fiscal Year 1971 of previously appropriated but unexpended general revenue account balances and the transfer to the fund in Fiscal Year 1972 of a federal payment from general revenues, the trust fund would have been in deficit at the end of Fiscal Year 1972. A s previously indicated, it was not anticipated under the 1970 legislation that the fund would become selfsufficient until 1979, and the legislation therefore provided for just such transfers in order to bridge the gap between revenues and expenses. If operation and maintenance expenses had not been shifted from the trust fund to general revenue financing, payments into the trust fund from the general revenues would have been required during the last three fiscal years in accordance with the original plan; and there would be no significant trust fund surplus. The effect of the 1971 amendments was instead to peg expenditures below net tax receipts, with the predictable result that the trust fund is experiencing a mounting surplus. Tax Policy It is the existence of the trust fund surplus, which stood at over $2.3 billion at the end of February on a cash basis and which had uncommitted balances at the end of Fiscal 1975 of $890 million, that presents the question "whether the taxes currently dedicated to [the] trust fund should be continued at existing levels, reduced, or otherwise modified.' But the answer to that question lies not in the financial condition of the trust fund but in the basic principles of economic and tax policy that have led over the years to the adoption of the present user taxes on air transportation. The user charge concept, which has been reaffirmed by every President since Harry Truman, is grounded in basic principles of iair competition, fair taxation, and efficient allocation of resources. <#<7a - 5-- Fair Competition. Air carriers compete with water, rail and road carriers for passengers and freight. Requiring each mode of transportation to bear its share of the cost of federally provided transport facilities is necessary to ensure fair competition. -- Fair Taxation. The cost of special services and facilities should be borne by those who use them and thereby reap the benefits rather than the general taxpayer, where the persons benefitted are fully able to pay. That is, the users should pay unless there is some overriding justification for redistributing income from the general taxpayer to the users. -- Efficient Allocation of Resources. If users of special services or facilities are not required to pay their share of the costs, the market system for matching demand and supply at a price reflecting value to the purchaser and cost to the supplier will be inoperative. The users will demand more of the services or facilities than they would if the price fully reflected the cost, and resources will be shifted from more productive activities to the special services or facilities. These reasons for assessing air transportation user charges are independent of the existence of a surplus in the trust fund. The trust fund is a useful accounting mechanism to emphasize the direct relationship between the costs of the system and the receipts from the user charges. It also assures that the user charges are expended for the purposes for which they were collected. But the principles of fair competition, fair taxation, and efficient allocation of resources would require the levying of user charges at least at the present levels even if no trust fund had been created. While we conclude that the existence of the trust fund surplus is not grounds for reducing the present air transportation user charges, we recognize that the existence of a very substantial and mounting surplus creates practical political problems. For one thing it makes more difficult resistence to pressures to expend larger sums for the purposes authorized under the trust fund provisions, over and above the sums actually needed or that would be justified in terms of the Nation's overall priorities. -6The preferable solution would, of course, be to return to the precepts underlying the 1970 legislation and to authorize the use of trust fund monies for the operation and maintenance of the airway system. The Administration, however, is seeking only the expenditure of trust fund monies for the maintenance of the facilities of the airway system. One final tax policy issue should be noted. This concerns the allocation of air transportation user charges among different classes of users, for example as between general aviation and commercial aviation. In principle, each user should pay his individual allocable portion of the total costs. Such exactness is, of course, impossible; it is necessary here, as elsewhere, to accommodate the competing claims of equity, simplicity and administrative convenience. The air transportation user taxes are, thus, a combination of ticket taxes, fuel taxes, annual license taxes, and international departure taxes designed to allocate the charges equitably among different classes of users. This allocation takes into account the fact that the costs of the system are partly dependent on usage and partly attributable to the necessity to have facilities available on a standby basis to meet peak demands on the system. For example, the justification for an annual license fee is that the cost of maintaining peak demand capacity should be allocated among all users, independently of the actual use of the airways by each licensed aircraft. More generally, the determination of the appropriate user tax burdens for different classes of users requires an allocation of costs among users, which presents difficult engineering and economic issues that fall mainly in the province of the Department of Transportation rather than the Department of the Treasury. Financial Condition of Trust Fund Attached to this statement is an analysis of the accumulated receipts and expenditures of the Airport and Airway Trust Fund through February 29, 1976. As previously noted, the cash balance in the trust fund at the end of February was in excess of $2.3 billion and the uncommitted balance at the end of Fiscal 1975 was $890 million. Conclusion As a result of a sustained effort over many years, your Committee in cooperation with several different Administrations has put in place a combination of air transportation user taxes that have tried to implement sound principles of fair competition, tax equity, and economic etiiciency. W e urge the Committee not to abandon the ground thus gamed and to maintain essentially the present level of user tax revenues, The solution to the trust fund surplus lies, we believe, in returning f i o l ^ f + P a r w W a ? t 0 t h e P r e c e P t s o f the 1970 legislation by authorizing use of trust fund monies for the maintenance of the facilities in the airway system. o O o AIRPORT AND AIRWAY TRUST FUND RECEIPTS AND EXPENDITURES CUMULATIVE THROUGH FEBRUARY 29, 1976 Cumulative through June 30. 1975 July 1, 1975 through February 29. 1976 / Cumulative through February ?Q, 1Q7f> I.MCHFTS: IlCt.. T.i" (Transferred fro. General Fund) . ,. m y lUuld f««l o t h e r t b a n 6»sollne . . . •• • • f" T l r t s used on aircraft s.' TuD.a used on aircraft 4. oesollne: . Commercial 4. cents tax t\ . ^on-commercial A cents tax Non-co»rercial 3 cents tax c' Transportation by Air. seats, berths, etc 6 e! ua« of international travel facilities . 7'. Transportation of propertj. cargo. . . . 8. use of elTll aircraft Total Tax Receipts Lees reimbursement to Oeneral Fund-Refund of Taxes «nd Estimated Tax Credits: 1. Commercial Aviation Gasoline £. Kon-Comaerclal GasoHne 3. Civil Aircraft 4. Any LlQuld Fuel other than Gasoline Total Reimbursement for Tax Refunds . . . Ret Tax Receipt C. Federal Payments Transfers from the General Fund_L( Interest income. Net Receipts II.EXPENDITURES A Federal Aviation Administration 1. Operations 2. Orants-ln-ald for airports S. Facilities and Equipment 4. Research and Development B. Aviation Advisory Commission - Salaries and Expenses C. Interest on refund o f t a x e s Total Expenditures II. BALANCE END OF PERIOD • • • 118,128,597.78 8,220,000.00 1,380,000.00 16,618,377.00 540,000.00 70,000.00 134,746,974.78 8,760,000.00 1,450,000.00 6,200,000.00 68,221,531.76 49,878,717.73 3,009,581,797.48 232,818,321.87 187,330,762.01 98,682,468.20 800,000.00 7,578,576.00 5,681,432.00 520,198,798.26 33,043,159.00 29,195,009.00 15,472,124.17 7,000,000.00 75,800,107.76 55,560,149.73 3,529,780,595.74 265,861,480.87 216,525,771.01 114,154,592.37 3,780,442,196.83 629,197,475.43 4,409,639,672.26 5,600,000.00 917,211.21 1,719,244.28 102,933.96 8,339,389.45 900,000.00 40,475.42 211,520.99 299,483.39 1,451,479.80 3,772,102,807.38 720,279,000.00 873,032,809.39 124,064,291.36 627,745,995.63 4,399,848,803.01 -068,984,674.63 5,489,478,908.13 696,730,670.26 720,279,000.00 873,032,809.39 193,048,965.99 6,186,209,578.39 1,158,667,454.04 934,182,023.59 1,098,057,298.91 283,121,415.28 1,940,670.19 71,417.55 3,476,040,279.5f 2,013,438,628.57 530,861.97 215,818,107.96 128,192,666.04 47,488,806.96 -013,725.97 392,044,168.90 304,686,501.36 1,159,198,316.01 1,150,000,131.55 1,226,249,964.95 330,610,222.24 1,940,670.19 85,143.52 3,868,084,448.46 2,318,125,129.93 6,500,000.00 957,686.63 1,930,765.27 *02,417.35 9,790,869.25 ASSETS HELD BY THE DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY ASSETS: Investments in public debt securities: Government account series, Treasury certificates of indebtedness, Airport and Airway Trust Fund series maturing June 30: . ^ „..,,„ «,«« «o 6 5/8% of 1976 , , - • , -• .- $1,936,148,000.00 6 3/4% of 1976 — , fc , 1,936,148,000.00 Total Investments, par value Undisbursed" balance Total Assets • • 2.013.438,628.57 Wa1 ,-» oon ton «;7 77,290,628.57 $ 49,129,000.00 404,917,000.00 $1,887,019,000.00 404,917,000.00 355,788,000.00 -51,101,498.64 2,291,936,000.00 26,189,129.93 304.686,501.36 2.318.125,129.93 / Unexpended balances of certain General Fund accounts transferred to the trust fund Pursuant.to the Airport and Airway Revenue Act of 1970, section 280(c). T «• S. Treasury Department Bureau or\Government Financial Operations «- f. RPAjnlvine Funds Trusts g. Branch FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Contact; S. Cox Extension 2861 April 8, 1976 TREASURY AMENDS ELIGIBILITY REQUIREMENTS FOR PARTICIPATION IN TREASURY'S MINORITY BANK DEPOSIT PROGRAM Secretary of the Treasury William E. Simon announced today that the Treasury has amended eligibility requirements for banks seeking to participate in the minority bank deposit program administered by the Treasury to include banks that meet the following criteria: 1. More than 50 percent of the bank's stock is owned by women; 2. The majority of the Board of Directors are women; and 3, A significant percentage of women hold senior management positions. Heretofore, banks whose stock is more than 50 percent owned by members of minority groups or which are independently controlled by minority group members were eligible to participate in the program. Thus, today's action enlarges the universe of banks eligible to participate. The minority bank deposit program was established in 1970 to help carry out the objectives of the Federal Minority Business Enterprise Program, that is, to provide opportunity for full participation in our free enterprise system by socially and economically disadvantaged persons. Secretary Simon said that it is clear beyond doubt women have not had the opportunity to participate fully in the ownership and management of banks and that the purpose of the new criteria for Treasury's minority bank deposit program is to build on the intent of Executive Order 11625 while also serving two other objectives. First, a bank meeting the new criteria will inherently be more likely to assure equal credit opportunities for women and thereby assist in carrying out the intent of the Equal Credit Opportunity Act (15 U.S.C. 1691). Second, while improvement in the number of women in senior banking positions has been achieved by Treasury as part of its contract compliance efforts pursuant to Executive Order 11246, the present action also serves as affirmative action in this direction. The Secretary announced that upon adoption of the new requirements, The First Women's Bank of New York had been added to the list of banks participating in the minority bank deposit program. oOo WS-777 J?w April 12, 1976 Attached is a preliminary analysis on "U. S. Taxation of the Undistributed Income of Controlled Foreign Corporations," prepared by the Office of International Tax Affairs of the Treasury Department, for consideration by the House Ways and Means Committee Task Force on the Taxation of Foreign Income. The analysis does not represent an Administration position and does not contain recommendations. WS-778 S. Taxation of the Undistributed Income of Controlled Foreign Corporations Department of the Treasury April 1976 PREFACE This preliminary analysis was prepared by Gary Hufbaucr and David Foster of the Office of International Tax Affairs for consideration by the House Ways and Means Committee Tar.k Force on the Taxation of Foreign Income. The analysis does not represent an Administration position and does not contain recommendations. In the event that the Task Force recommends legislation, it is anticipated that the Treasury Department will comment on those recommendations. 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS Issue 1 Present Law 4 1. Classical system of taxation 4 2. Exceptions to recognize economic reality and avoid double taxation 5 (a) Consolidated return 5 (b) Dividends received deduction 5 (c) Subchapter S 6 3. Exceptions to.discourage tax abuse by individuals . 6 (a) Accumulated earnings tax 6 (b) Personal holding company tax 6 (c) Foreign personal holding company 7 4. Exceptions to discourage tax abuse by corporations 8 (a) Section 367 \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \8 (b) Subpart F and its exclusions .10 (i) Minimum distribution .13 (ii) Less developed country corporations . 13 (iii) 30-70 rule 14 (iv) Shipping income 14 (v) Agricultural sales 14 Analysis 16 1. International tax neutrality 16 2. Constitutional problems 28 3. Foreign reaction 31 (a) Tax treaties 32 (b) Foreign statutory change 35 (c) Average foreign tax rates 38 4. Administrative aspects 43 5. Investment impact 45 6. Financial impact 52 7. Revenue impact 57 (a) Policy options 59 (b) Behavioral change 62 (i) Change in distribution rates 64 (ii) Foreign vs. domestic investment . . .66 (iii) Minority participation and "decontol". 71 (iv) Higher foreign taxes 76 8. Summary of the analysis 77 (a) Tax neutrality 77 (b) Tax avoidance 78 (c) Tax simplification 79 (d) Investment and financial impact 79 (e) U.S. tax revenue 80 tions Retain present system 78 Broaden subpart F 82 (a) The substantial reduction test 82 (b) 50 percent subsidiaries 83 (c) Shipping income 83 (d) "Runaway plants" and tax holiday manufacturing 84 (e) Simplification 85 Partial or complete termination of deferral 85 (a) Required minimum percentage distribution . . . 87 (b) Allocation of the deemed distribution between CFCs 87 (c) The extent of consolidation 87 (i) Individual foreign corporation approach 88 (aa) Hop-scotch method 89 (bb) Link-by-link method 90 (ii) Consolidation of foreign operations. . . 91 (iii) Consolidation of worldwide operations. . 93 (d) The problem of decontrol 94 Terminate deferral in the context of repealing domestic tax preferences 95 SW1 LIST OF TABLES Table 1 Estimated Tax Revenue Consequences in 1976 of Achieving Alternative Standards of International Tax Neutrality with Respect to U.S. Corporations in Non-Extractive Industries Table 2 Comparison Between Foreign Tax Relief and Foreign Input Subsidies Table 3 Statutory and Realized Corporate Income Tax Rates on Manufacturing Firms, 1974 25 37 39 Table 4 Estimated Impact of Terminating Deferral on Selected Economic Variables for Multinational Manufacturing Firms . 49 Table 5 The Effect of Deferral on the Use of Local Debt by a Hypothetical Foreign Subsidiary . . . . 53 Table 6 Financing of Foreign Affiliates, 1972 56 Table 7 Actual Revenue From Subpart F and Potential Revenue from Termination of Deferral, with Overall Limitation on Foreign Tax Credit Table 8 Revenue Changes from Alternative Proposals to End Deferral 58 Table 9 Termination of Deferral with Alternative Consolidation Requirements and with Current Dividend Distribution Rate Table 10 Revenue Effect of 100 Percent Dividend Distribution Rate 61 60 55 Table 11 Termination of Deferral with Assumed Changes in Investment Location and Means of Finance . . . 67 Table 12 Termination of Deferral with Assumed Adverse Impact on Competitive Position of U. S. CFCs . . . 68 Table 13 Net Earnings by Extent of U. S. Ownership in Foreign Affiliates 73 Table 14 Revenue Changes from Subpart F and Termination of Deferral with Increase of Non-CFC Earnings . . 75 3& I. ISSUE Since the introduction of the Federal income tax in 1913, the United States has employed a "classical" system of taxing corporations and their shareholders. Under a classical system, corporations and their shareholders are separately taxed. A corporation's tax liability is not affected by the amount of dividends it distributes to its shareholders, and conversely (with limited exceptions) a shareholder's tax liability depends on dividends received, and is not affected by either the amount of tax paid by the corporation or by the corporation's retained earnings and profits. These principles extend to a U.S. shareholder in a foreign corporation. No U.S. tax is imposed on the U.S. shareholder until (and unless) the shareholder receives dividends from the foreign corporation. This consequence of a classical system of taxation is called deferral, because the U. S. tax on the income of a foreign corporation is deferred until dividends are paid. The bulk of U.S. investment in foreign corporations is undertaken, not by individual shareholders, but by U.S. based multinational enterprises. So long as earnings are retained abroad by foreign corporate subsidiaries, the U.S. parent corporation pays no U.S. tax on the foreign - 2 income.-^ If taxable corporate earnings are defined the same way abroad as in the United States, and if the host government applies a tax rate lower than the U. S. corporate tax rate of 48 percent, the difference in rates represents a temporary tax saving to the parent corporation. Multinational firms based in the United States argue that deferral is necessary to allow them to compete on even terms with foreign firms. In their view, tax neutrality requires the same rate of taxation on all firms operating in the same country. The U. S. multinational firms suggest that the termination of deferral would bring about changes in foreign tax practices and dividend distribution rates that would erode or eliminate U.S. tax revenue gains, and that, without deferral, the foreign expansion of U.S. firms would be curbed, profits and U. S. tax revenues might decline, and U. S. exports to foreign markets might fall. Others object that deferral enables foreign investment to enjoy tax advantages not available for domestic investment. In this view, tax neutrality requires the same taxation of investment at home and investment abroad. Expressing concern for the impact of foreign investment on American jobs, and the loss of potential tax revenue, labor groups 1/ The foreign subsidiary may pay interest, royalties, and management fees to the U.S. parent corporation, and these types of income would, of course, be taxed currently by the United States. in particular have questioned the continuance of deferral. This concern was expressed most strongly in the late 1960s and early 1970s. Since 1972, a system of flexible exchange rates and the DISC legislation have, to some extent, answered the concern over foreign tax advantages. -4II. 1. 2*3 PRESENT LAW -r.lag-slcal system of taxation. Under present law, a corporation and its shareholders are taxed separately. The corporation is taxed on its earnings; the shareholders are taxed on distributed dividends. This known as a "classical" or separate entity system of taxation. By contrast, under an "integrated" system of taxation, either the taxes imposed on the corporation are claimed (in whole or part) as a tax credit by the shareholder, or the corporation is allowed a reduced tax rate on dividends paid. Britain, France, Germany, Canada, Japan, and other industrial countries have adopted various types of integrated tax systems. The Administration has proposed an integrated system for the United States, and the proposal is now under Congressional consideration. Over the years, the United States has made limited exceptions to its separate entity system of taxation. Cer- tain exceptions are intended to recognize the economic unity of an affiliated group of corporations within the United States, to avoid double taxation when dividends are distributed from one corporation to another, or to encourage small business. Other exceptions are intended to discourage - 5 tax abuse by individuals investing in domestic or foreign corporations. Subpart F is principally designed to discourage tax abuse by U.S. corporations which control foreign corporations. 2. Exceptions to recognize economic reality and avoid double taxation. (a) Consolidated return. Under specified circumstances (Section 1501), related domestic corporations are permitted to file a consolidated return. The consolidated return recognizes the economic unity of a corporate group. Through the mechanism of a consolidated return, the profits of one domestic corporation may be used to offset the losses of another. In this way, related corporations can share their investment risks.- A foreign corporation cannot, however, 2/ join a consolidated return.— (b) Dividends received deduction. Dividends distributed from one domestic corporation to another are entitled to an 85 percent or 100 percent dividends received deduction, depending on the extent of affiliation between the two corporations (Section 243). The purpose of the dividends received deduction is to avoid double taxation at the corporate level. Dividends received by a domestic corporation from 1/ Only one surtax exemption can be claimed on the consolidated return. 2/ Certain contiguous country corporations, defined under Section 1504(d), are allowed to join a consolidated return. a foreign corporation are not eligible for the deduction.(c) Subchapter S. Under Subchapter S (Sections 13711379) certain small corporations can elect to be treated for tax purposes much like a partnership. If an election is made, there is no corporate tax, all earnings (whether or not distributed) are taxed to the shareholders, and losses can be claimed as a deduction by the shareholders. The purpose of Subchapter S is to encourage small business. 3. Exceptions to discourage tax abuse by individuals. (a) Accumulated earnings tax. The Revenue Act of 1913 contained the antecedents of today's accumulated earnings tax (Section 531) . This is a penalty tax imposed on a corporation when it unreasonably accumulates earnings for the purpose of shielding shareholders from personal income taxation. (b) Personal holding company tax. In 1934, Congress enacted the personal holding company tax (Sections 541-547). This is a penalty tax on the undistributed personal holding company income of a corporation that receives at least 60 percent of its adjusted ordinary gross income from passive investment sources and certain types of personal services, 1/ The dividends received deduction is available for dividends paid by a foreign corporation which earns at least ^U percent of its gross income from a U.S. trade or busi ness (Section 245). 7 " - 2<r£ and is owned to the extent of more than 50 percent in value by five or fewer individuals. The tax applies to the corpora- tion and not to the shareholders. The tax can be mitigated if the corporation declares a "deficiency dividend. " (c) Foreign personal holding company. In 1937, Con- gressional investigation brought to light the formation of "incorporated pocketbooks" abroad by United States citizens. These corporations, designed to collect and retain passive investment income, were domiciled in countries, such as the Bahamas and Panama with little or no corporate income tax. As foreign corporations, they could not be effectively taxed either on their accumulated earnings or as personal holding companies. The Congressional remedy was to enact the foreign personal holding company legislation (Sections 551-558) which taxes each U. S. shareholder on his pro rata share of the foreign corporation's undistributed income. Certain tests must be met before the foreign corporation is characterized as a foreign personal holding company. At least 60 percent of its gross income must be derived from passive sources (dividends, interest, rents, royalties, capital gains, income from an estate or trust, personal service income and certain other items) , and more than 50 percent in value of the stock must be owned by not more than five U.S. individuals. When these tests are met, each shareholder is - 8 deemed to receive a distribution from the foreign personal holding company, and deferral of U. S. tax liability on the foreign income is effectively precluded. The foreign personal holding company legislation did not reach foreign investment companies that sold shares widely among U.S. individuals. Such companies, domiciled in low-tax jurisdictions, could thus retain their dividend and interest income free from U. S. tax. The shareholders could later realize the income in the form of capital gains, if and when the shares were sold. The Revenue Act of 1972 abolished this device in one of two ways. Either the gains realized by the shareholder on disposition of the stock would be taxed as ordinary income to the extent of accumulated earnings (Section 1246), or the foreign investment company could enter a binding election to distribute at least 90 percent of its income annually (Section 1247). 4. Exceptions to discourage tax abuse by corporations. (a) Section 367. The Internal Revenue Code permits numerous types of tax-free corporate reorganizations. One corporation may acquire another, a subsidiary may merge into a parent, or a corporation may divide into several 1/ The individual shareholders are not permitted to claim a credit for any foreign corporate income tax paid. The deemed paid credit (Section 902) is only available to U. S. corporations. parts, all without creating a taxable event. The underly- ing philosophy is that, so long as assets remain in "corporate solution", and are not distributed to individual shareholders, reorganization is a matter of economic convenience for the firm and need not provide an occasion for taxation. Reorganizations that involve foreign corporations create an exception to this basic philosophy. The concern arose very early that domestic or foreign corporate income that had not previously been taxed by the United States could forever leave its tax jurisdiction through corporate reorganization. In 1932, the predecessor of Section 367 was enacted. It prevents tax-free exchanges involving foreign corporations unless "it has been established to the satisfication of the Secretary or his delegate that such exchange is not in pursuance of a plan having as one of its principal purposes the avoidance of Federal income taxes." In any reorganization involving a foreign corporation, the U.S. taxpayer must first obtain a Section 367 ruling from the Internal Revenue Service that the exchange is not in pursuance of such a plan, or the transaction will be treated as a taxable event. Often the taxpayer must pay a "toll charge", involving partial recognition of the gain, in order to receive a favorable Section 367 ruling. The ruling might also be accompanied by a closing agreement an - 10 which preserves the U. S. tax base (Revenue Procedures 68-23 and 75-29). (b) Subpart F and its exclusions. The early anti- abuse provisions were addressed to situations where an individual U. S. shareholder took advantage of lower U. S. or foreign corporate tax rates, or where a U.S. corporation took advantage of the tax-free reorganization provisions. The Revenue Act of 1962 partially terminated deferral in answer to the tax abuse which may arise when a U. S. parent corporation takes advantage of lower foreign corporate tax rates on ordinary income in tax haven countries. The Kennedy Administration originally sought the complete termination of deferral, but Congress adopted a more focused approach. The history and drafting of subpart F (Sections 951-964) indicate that it represents a compromise between the complete termination of deferral and the classical system of taxing foreign corporate income. The purpose of subpart F is to terminate deferral in tax abuse situations, yet otherwise retain the separate taxation of a foreign corporation and its U. S. shareholders. Subpart F, as enacted in 1962, taxes U.S. shareholders currently on the income of a controlled foreign corporation J&e - 11 - when the nature of the corporation and its sources of income combine to exhibit tax haven characteristics. The foreign corporation is potentially subject to subpart F if it is a controlled foreign corporation (CFC), that is to say, if the voting stock is more than 50 percent owned by U. S. "shareholders", defined as individuals or corporations each 1/ controlling at least 10 percent of the voting stock. If the foreign corporation can establish that it did not have as one of its purposes a substantial reduction in taxes (Section 954(b)(4), it will not fall within Subpart F. The substantial reduction test is not defined with reference to U.S. taxes. Rather the test is whether taxes have been reduced by com- parison with the taxes that would have been imposed by the buying or selling country, or the paying or receiving country, if a third country corporation had not been interposed in the transaction (Regulations 1.954-1(b)(4), example (1)). A company which was not organized with tax reduction as one of its significant purposes can, however, still have subpart F income on individual transactions undertaken for the purpose of tax avoidance. A controlled foreign corporation's income is subject to subpart F if it is derived from the insurance of U. S. risks, or if it is characterized as foreign base company income. Foreign base company income includes: (i) foreign 1/ In the case of a controlled foreign corporation that insures U.S. risks, the test is whether more than 25 percent of the voting stock is owned by U.S. shareholders. (Section 957(b)) . - 12 personal holding company income (interest, dividendsrents, and similar categories of passive income); (ii) foreign base company sales income (income derived by the CFC from selling or buying personal property to or from a related person, if the property is both produced and sold for use outside the country in which the CFC is incorporated) ; and (iii) foreign base company services income (income derived from the performance of technical, managerial, or similar services or on behalf of a related person outside the country of CFC incorporation) . When the foreign corporation and the composition of income meet these statutory tests, the U.S. shareholders are generally deemed to receive a distribution of retained earnings and are taxed accordingly, with provisions for a foreign tax credit (Sections 960 and 962) . As a backstop to subpart F, the Revenue Act of 1962 required that when a U.S. shareholder disposes of shares in a controlled foreign corporation, the gains must be reported as ordinary income to the extent of earnings and profits accumulated after 1962 (Section 1248).- This provision forestalls the 1/ An exception was made for the disposition of shares in a less developed country corporation (Section 1248(d)(3)). accumulation of earnings in a CFC not subject to subpart F, and the taxation of that income at more favorable capital gains rates. A The Revenue Act of 1962 provided several exclusions to the general rule of current U. S. taxation of subpart F income. The Tax Reduction Act of 1975 repealed or modi- fied four of the exclusions and added one new exclusion. (i) Minimun} distribution. The parent corporation could elect a so-called "minimum distribution1'. The mini- mum distribution was a constructive distribution of earnings from CFCs with and without subpart F income. If the minimum distribution showed that average foreign taxes were equal to a certain percentage or within certain percentage points of the U. S. tax rate, the deemed distributions under subpart F were reduced or eliminated. The minimum distribution election was repealed by the Tax Reduction Act of 1975. (ii) Less developed country corporations. The subpart F income of a CFC derived from and reinvested in "qualified investments" in less developed countries was excluded from the definition of foreign base company income. Less developed countries were broadly defined to include all nations outside of industrial Europe, Canada, Japan, Eastern Europe, and the Sino-Soviet bloc. „ This exclusion was repealed by the Tax Reduction Act of 1975. l - 14 (iii) 30-70 rule. If less than 30 percent of CFC income was characterized as foreign base company income, then a special rule provided that none of the income would retain that character and no deemed distribution was required. If between 30 and 70 percent of the income was characterized as foreign base company income, then the actual percentage would have that character and that percentage would be subject to a deemed distribution. Above 70 percent, the entire CFC income would be characterized as foreign base company income and would be deemed distributed. The Tax Reduction Act of 1975 changed the 30 percent rule to a 10 percent rule. (iv) Shipping income. As originally enacted, subpart F provided an exclusion from foreign base company income for income derived from, or in connection with, the use of any aircraft or vessel in foreign commerce. The Tax Reduction Act of 1975 required that shipping income be reinvested in shipping operations to qualify for this exclusion. (v) Agricultural sales. The Tax Reduction Act of 1975 modified the definition of foreign base company sales income to exclude income from sales of agricultural commodities which are not grown in the United States in commercially marketable quantities. The Tax Reform Act of 1975, H. R 10612, passed by the House and now under consideration by -15 - z&y the Senate, would broaden this exclusion to cover agricultural products which are significantly different in grade or type from agricultural products grown in the United States. 2<f - 16 III. ANALYSIS 1. International tax neutrality. * Tax neutrality is a broad concept which is often defined in conflicting ways. Whether foreign corporate income is taxed by the United States currently or only when dividends are distributed is one element in a definition of international tax neutrality, but it is not the only element. The relationship between deferral and international tax neutrality must be viewed in the overall context of U.S. and foreign tax rules. Tax neutrality at the corporate level— for foreign investment can be defined either with reference to the taxation of domestic profits, or with reference to the taxation of the profits of competing foreign firms. These alternative standards are usually designated as "capitalexport neutrality" and "capital-import neutrality". In their pure forms, the concepts of capital-export neutrality and capital-import neutrality say nothing about the division of tax revenue between home and host country tax authorities. In principle, either type of neutrality could be reached consistent with various revenue sharing arrangements between the taxing authorities. In practice, under present international rules, each type of neutrality tends to be associated with a certain division of revenue. 1/ This paper does not analyze tax neutrality at the individual level. - 17 - ^ Capital-export neutrality is achieved when the total rate of corporate tax on foreign profits is the same as on comparable domestic profits. For example, if the French subsidiary of an American firm pays 40 percent of its profits in tax to France, and if the United States corporate tax rate was a uniform 48 percent, capital-export neutrality would be served by a current U. S. corporate tax of 8 percent on the French subsidiary's profits. In order to achieve capital-export neutrality under existing domestic tax law, several underlying conditions must be met. First, host country taxes paid should be credited against the home country tax liability, with the refund of excess foreign taxes; alternatively, home country taxes should be credited against the host country tax liability; Second, foreign income, including undistributed subsidiary earnings, should be taxed currently to the parent corporation by the home country; Third, the home country should employ the same accounting practices in calculating domestic and foreign profits (in particular, the same depreciation conventions should be used); Fourth, any capital subsidies provided for investment in the home country (for example, an investment tax credit) should be available for investment abroad. Similarly, preferential taxation of export earnings, such as the DISC, should be extended to foreign production; Fifth, the same treatment should apply to sub-Federal income taxes levied at home and abroad. If state and local taxes are deductible at home, then to the same extent they should be - 18 deductible in computing taxable foreign source income; Sixth, losses of foreign subsidiaries should be deductible to the same extent as the losses of the parent companies. Capital-export neutrality could alternatively be achieved under a domestic tax law which was free of all corporate tax preferences, and instead taxed corporate income at a uniformly lower rate. In order to achieve capital-export neutrality under such a neutral domestic tax law, several conditions must be met, many the same as before. First, (and this is the main difference), tax preferences for domestic corporate income must be repealed, and nominal corporate tax rates must then be lowered so that there is no net revenue change from the taxation of domestic income; Second, host country taxes paid should be credited against the home country tax liability, with the refund of excess foreign taxes; alternatively, home country taxes should be credited against the host country tax liability; Third, foreign income should be taxed currently by the home country; Fourth, the home country should employ the same accounting practices in calculating domestic and foreign profits; Fifth, the same treatment should apply to sub-Federal income taxes levied at home and abroad; Sixth, losses of foreign subsidiaries should be deductible to the same extent as the losses of the parent companies. - 19 - Jl<3f A regime of capital-export neutrality, whether achieved under existing domestic tax law or under a neutral domestic tax law, would, unlike present law, encourage U. S. firms to locate their productive facilities wherever pre-tax returns promised to be greater. A firm would be indifferent between a 20 percent pre-tax rate of return on investment in Canada, in Brazil, or in the United States, for it would receive the same after-tax return in all cases. Tax considerations would play no role in investment decisions, pre-tax returns on U. S. investments of equivalent risk would ultimately be equalized around the world, and the United States capital stock would be allocated in a manner designed to maximize world production.— Capital-import neutrality for corporate investment is achieved when firms of all nationalities operating in one industry -- for example, the Italian office equipment industry -- pay the same total tax rate on profits earned in the country where the industry is located --in this 2/ case Italy.— Pure capital-import neutrality in this 1/ This statement ignores the misallocation caused by tariffs, quotas, and other impediments to free international trade. 2/ When a host country has an integrated system of taxing corporations and their shareholders, the analysis of capital-import neutrality can become more complicated. This discussion envisages a host country with a classical separate entity system of taxation. - 20 - 2^ situation would emerge if Italian tax law made no differentiation among enterprises of diverse national origin. For example, Italy could not withhold tax on dividends, interest, and royalties paid to foreign corporations unless it also withheld tax on such payments to Italian corporations. Furthermore, foreign nations should make no attempt to impose an additional tax on corporate earnings arising in Italy. Indeed, one way of achieving capital-import neutrality is through the unilateral exemption of corporate foreign source income from domestic taxation, as is virtually done by France and the Netherlands.— Under territorial taxation, as this approach is called, the home government relinquishes all tax claims, and the host government collects all-the tax revenues arising from the enterprise. However, a revenue sharing arrangement between the host and home countries would equally be consistent with capital-import neutrality. Capital-import neutrality is sometimes called 'competitive" neutrality, because firms of diverse national origin compete on an equal tax basis in any particular country and industry. Because tax considerations do not distort competition, capital-import neutrality promotes the most efficient use of resources between firms in that country and industry. 1/ France and the Netherlands do tax a small portion of corporate foreign source income. - 21 - jfy, Both in legislation and in bilateral tax treaties, the United States has attempted to ensure the type of tax neutrality appropriate to different situations, while at the same time protecting U.S. sources of tax revenue. Thus, United States taxation of the foreign income of U. S. owned firms embodies a mixture of capital-export neutrality, capital-import neutrality, and revenue protection clauses. The keystone of U. S. taxation of American enterprise abroad is the foreign tax credit. Subject to certain limits, U.S. firms may take a credit against their tentative U. S. tax for the foreign income tax levied on the repatriated earnings of foreign corporate subsidiaries— , on the total earnings of foreign branches, and on interest, rents, royalties and fees paid from foreign sources. The foreign tax credit essentially cedes to the host country the first slice of tax jurisdiction, and hence most of the revenue. To the extent that a U.S. firm repatriates dividends, interest, rents, royalties or fees from its foreign corporate subsidiary, or operates abroad through foreign branches, the foreign tax credit may come close to ensuring capital-export neutrality. 1/ There is both a direct credit (Section 901) for foreign withholding taxes on dividends, and an indirect credit (Section 902) for foreign taxes paid on the underlying corporate earnings. - 22 There are several reasons why the foreign tax credit does not achieve capital-export neutrality under existing law. The U. S. foreign tax credit limitation rules operate so that when foreign taxes exceed the tentative U. S. tax on foreign source income, the excess foreign tax credit cannot be claimed currently (but it can be carried forward or carried back to other taxable years). If the excess credit could be claimed without limit, foreign governments could erode U. S. tax revenues on domestic source income. But because the excess foreign tax credit cannot be claimed, capital-export neutrality disappears whenever the foreign tax rate exceeds the U.S. rate. Foreign investment offer- ing a given pre-tax return then becomes less attractive than domestic investment offering the same return. In addition to the foreign tax credit limit, other features of the law reduce the extent of capital-export neutrality. U. S. parent corporations cannot offset the losses of foreign subsidiaries against domestic income, although the losses of foreign branches of U. S. corporations may be offset against domestic income. The investment tax • y credit is not available for capital expenditures abroad, and the asset depreciation range (ADR) cannot be used for A- 1/ Section 48(a)(2). - 23 - J?£ computing earnings and profits of a foreign subsidiary. DISC is not available for exports by foreign subsidiaries. Like the limit on applying the foreign tax credit, these measures shield the U. S. Treasury and promote domestic investment, at the expense of capital-export neutrality. Two asymmetries, however, favor foreign over domestic investment: U.S. taxation of foreign subsidiary earnings is deferred until dividends are declared, and foreign subFederal taxes may be credited against the tentative U. S. tax, whereas U. S. state and local taxes can only be deducted from earnings. To the extent that the earnings of a foreign corporate subsidiary are not remitted as dividends, United States tax practice comes close to achieving capital-import neutrality. No current U.S. tax is levied on those earnings; instead U.S. taxation is deferred until repatriation. (Under the foreign personal holding company legislation and subpart F, certain kinds of tax haven income may be taxed currently, whether or not repatriated.) When earnings are retained abroad, deferral places the American-owned 1/ The tax rules provide that guideline periods, but not the asset depreciation range, may be applied to property predominately used outside the United States (Revenue Procedure 72-10; Regulation 1.964-1(c)(i)(iii)). - 24 foreign subsidiary on much the same tax footing as its local competitors. Pure capital-import neutrality cannot be achieved, however, unless the United States (and other countries) abandon their claim to tax foreign source income (although home countries could seek revenue sharing arrangements with host countries) and host countries pursue a strict policy of non-discrimination. In essence, an American multinational enterprise can elect to have its foreign ventures taxed either under a modified form of capital-export neutrality (by operating through a foreign branch or by distributing the earnings of a foreign subsidiary) , or under a modified form of capital-import neutrality (by operating through a foreign subsidiary and retaining the earnings abroad). In neither case is the neutrality pure, and the level of purity partly depends on the host country. The 197 6 revenue consequences of present law, and of possible changes, are summarized in Table 1 for the nonextractive industries.- Corporate pre-tax foreign earnings were about $24.9 billion, foreign taxes claimed about 1/ The taxation of petroleum and hard minerals involves special considerations which do not easily fit into the concepts of capital-export neutrality and capital-import neutrality. For this reason, Table 1 is confined to the non-extractive industries. Tabic 1 Estimated Tax Revenue Consequences in 197h of Achieving Alternative Standards of International Tax Neutrality with Respect to U.S. Corporations in Non-Hxtractive Industries (Millions of Dollars) Capital-export neutrality With extension of With removal of U.S. domestic tax U.S. tax preferences preferences to foreign investment :< for domestic investment Capi tal-import neutrality Foreign source income of U.S. corporations, before taxes 24,900 24,900 24,900 Present total taxes on the foreign source income of U.S. corporations under current law Net U.S. taxes Foreign taxes 12,270 1 ,970 10,300 12,270 1,970 10,300 12,270 1,970 10,300 Change in total taxes on the foreign source income of U.S. corporations in non-cxtractive industries -1 ,590 -2,990 1,970 890 890 Remove U.S. tax preferences for foreign investment Western Hemisphere Trade Corporation deduction Non gross-up of dividends from l.DC corporations Deferral of tax on retained profits of foreign subs 1d1ar1es Allowance of credit for foreign taxes comparable to state income taxes Allow credit (or refund) for foreign taxes in excess of overall limitation 36 5 36 5 450 450 - 180 -180 Remove U.S. tax preferences for domestic investment and reduce U.S. corporate tax rate on domestic and foreign source income to 33 percent 1/ Extend U.S. domestic investment tax preference to foreign investment Investment tax credit Asset depreciation range Domestic International Sales Corporation (DISC) 2U 55 2TJ 55 - 3,700 2,300 1,000 -300 1,000 -1,970 Adopt territorial income tax Hypothetical total taxes on the foreign source income of U.S. corporations in non-extractive industries Office ol the Secretary ot the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 10,680 9,280 10,300 April 5, 1976 - 26 $10.3 billion (41 percent of earnings) and U.S. tax collections were about $2.0 billion (8 percent of earnings). A standard of pure capital-import neutrality at the corporate level would require zero U. S. tax collections on corporate foreign source income. The adoption of a territorial system would thus involve a 1976 revenue loss of nearly $2.0 billion by comparison with present collections. This revenue loss could be unilaterally absorbed by the United States, or it could be shared between the United States and various host countries. Capital-import neutrality, in whatever manner achieved, would not of course answer those critics of deferral who wish to increase U. S. tax revenues and promote domestic investment. A standard of capital-export neutrality under existing domestic tax law would also reduce the revenue collections of U. S. and foreign tax authorities (assuming the revenue loss is shared). In 1976, the net revenue loss from a system of pure capital-export neutrality would have been almost $1.6 billion. The net loss represents a combination of revenue effects. If the law were changed to end deferral, to provide a deduction rather than a credit for that portion of foreign taxes which correspond to U. S. state and local taxes, and to eliminate certain minor nonneutralities, there would be revenue gains. But these gains would be more than offset if the law were also change J7£ - 27 to compensate for foreign taxes in excess of the tentative U. S. tax, and to extend the investment tax credit, the asset depreciation range and DISC to investment abroad. A standard of capital-export neutrality under a neutral domestic tax law would likewise reduce the revenue collections of U. S. and foreign tax authorities on U. S. investments abroad. After the repeal of domestic tax preferences, and a compensating reduction in rates so that the corporate tax on domestic income remained unchanged, the nominal U. S. corporate tax rate could be reduced from 48 percent to 33.2 percent. As a result, however, current U.S. revenues from foreign source income would decline by $3.7 billion. This would be partly offset by higher revenues from the termination of deferral, from the repeal of the WHTC, from gross-up of dividends from less-developed country corporations, and from other changes. But a net revenue loss of $3.0 billion on foreign source income would remain after all adjustments. Few would argue that the United States should unilaterally implement a standard of capital-export neutrality and incur all the associated revenue costs. Such a stan- dard would require tax cooperation between the United States and foreign governments. On the other hand, legislation by the United States to end deferral would not, by itself, move the international tax system closer to a standard of - 28 capital-export neutrality. Rather, it would reinforce the existing preferential taxation of corporate profits earned within the United States. 2. Constitutional problems. The taxation of a share- holder on the constructive receipt of a corporation's undistributed earnings raises constitutional issues. Can such earnings properly be viewed as "income" under the terms of the Sixteenth Amendment? This issue has recently been litigated in connection with subpart F. The court decision:; upholding subpart F provide some indication of the potential reach of U S. law if a wider termination of deferral is 2/ sought. The Sixteenth Amendment gives Congress the power to impose income taxes. If a tax is not levied on "income", it would be considered a "direct tax" under the ruling in Pollock v. Farmer's Loan and Trust (157 U.S. 429, 158 U.S. 601, 1895), and would require apportionment among the states according to population. The opponents of subpart F have relied on the Pollock opinion to argue that the current taxation of each CFC shareholder's portion of undistributed 1/ It should be emphasized that the investment tax credit or DISC can exert a very different impact on investment per dollar of revenue cost than, for example, deferral or the foreign tax credit. Therefore, an examination of total revenue gains and losses under alternative tax systems provides only a rough guide to their impact on the location of investment. 2/ Subpart F has withstood legal attacks based on the due process clause of the Fifth Amendment, the principles of international law, and the Sixteenth Amendment. The Sixteenth Amendment issues are most important, and they are the only ones discussed here. The discussion draws on a paper by Howard Liebman. - 29 - J/7/ earnings and profits cannot possibly constitute a tax on "income" and must, therefore, be apportioned among the states as a "direct tax." The basis for this reasoning lies in the decision of Eisner v. Macomber (252 U. S. 189, 1920) holding that a stock dividend on accumulated profits is not "income" under the Sixteenth Amendment. But Macomber was a close decision and has since been undercut by numerous judicial exceptions. Thus, in 1961, the Treasury Department's General Counsel concluded that, "enactment of [subpart F] is appropriately within the constitutional powers of the Congress both to lay and collect taxes and to regulate commerce with foreign nations."This view has been upheld by the Tax Court: The Supreme Courtf s pronouncements have been to the effect that taxation of undistributed current corporate income at the stockholder level is within the Congressional power.2/ Although the Supreme Court has not ruled on subpart F, other courts have endorsed the Tax Court's position. There appears to be no constitutional barrier to the termination 1/ Memorandum from Robert H. Knight to Treasury Secretary Dillion, June 12, 1961, in President's 1961 Tax Recommendations, Hearings before the House Committee on Ways and Means, 87th Congress, 1st Session (1961), Volume 1, p. 322. V Estate of Leonard E Whitlock, 59 T. C. 490, 507 (1972); artirmed 494 F.2d 1297 (10th Circuit, 1974). - 30 - of deferral for a wider class of income than that presently defined in subpart F. A more general termination of deferral would, however, provide an incentive for U. S. shareholders to "decontrol" their existing controlled foreign corporations and to take minority positions in new ventures rather than establish new controlled foreign corporations. The incentive to escape current taxation might be mitigated if the ownership threshold used to define a controlled foreign corporation were reduced to 50 percent or less. However, a lower threshold might conflict with the "constructive receipt" doctrine underlying both subpart F and the foreign personal holding company legislation. If the U. S. shareholders are not a closeknit, controlling group that can force the declaration of a dividend, the constitutionality of a lower threshold under the Sixteenth Amendment and the due process clause of the Fifth Amendment must once again be assessed. How can the United States tax a shareholder on an undistributed gain when the shareholder lacks the degree of control required to realize the imputed gain? It may seem "patently unfair and unjust to tax anyone on income which he has not received and which is not within his control."-7 1/ Statement of Randolph W. Thrower, Hearings before the benate Committee on Finance, 87th Congress, 2d Session (1962) part 6, p. 2251. - 31 - P The most recent cases dealing with subpart F have indicated that actual control rather than numerical control is the key issue. In Garlock (58 T.C. 423, 1972) "actual control" by U.S. shareholders in a reorganized Panamian subsidiary was found where the U.S. shareholders only owned 50 percent, and foreign investors, chosen for their sympathy towards the management, owned callable cumulative preferred stock. Hans P. Kraus (59 T.C. 681, 1973; affirmed, 490 F.2d 898, 2d Circuit 1974) presented similar facts. The court looked to substance rather than form and concluded that divestment in order to avoid the impact of subpart F must result in actual decontrol. These and other cases suggest that subpart F could be extended to situations where U.S. shareholders own less than 50 percent of the foreign corporation, provided that U.S. shareholders exercise actual control. 1/ 3. Foreign reaction. Any significant change in the U.S. approach to deferral would raise tax treaty questions and might prompt offsetting foreign tax legislation. 1/ Income from the insurance of U.S. risks earned by a foreign corporation which is owned more than 25 percent by U.S. shareholders in presently taxed under Subpart F (Section 953 and 957(b)). The 25 percent test has not been litigated, and it is not clear whether it furnishes a precedent for a less than 50 percent ownership test in the absence of actual control. - 32 - 2V (a) Tax treaties. The United States has in force tax treaties with 37 countries, (including extensions to former colonies). Four treaties have been signed and await ratification by the U.S. Senate and foreign parliamentary bodies Eleven tax treaties are in various states of active negotiation. The deferral of U. S. tax on the income of controlled foreign corporations is not specifically addressed in these treaties. The U.S. has made no treaty commitments which would preclude partial or total elimination of deferral. However, the classical U. S. system of taxation and the consequent deferral of U. S. taxation of retained foreign corporate earnings are well understood by foreign tax officials, and these elements of U.S. law play an important role in treaty negotiations. Less developed countries frequently raise the issue of a tax sparing credit. The tax sparing credit is a home country foreign tax credit for taxes waived by the host country, usually through a tax holiday or preferential tax rates designed to encourage a particular industry. The United Kingdom, France, Germany, Japan, Canada and most other industrialized countries grant a tax sparing credit in their bilateral tax treaties with less developed countries. During the 1950's and 1960's, the United States negotiated seven treaties with either a tax sparing credit (Pakistan, India, Israel, and the UAR) or, as a substitute, an investment tax credit (Brazil, Thailand, Israel). In none of the seven cases, did the credit provisions receive Senate approval. The United States Treasury no longer negotiates treaties with either a tax sparing credit or an investment tax credit. However, in negotiations with less developed countries, the United States has emphasized that deferral does not frustrate local tax incentives. If the host country chooses to reduce its corporate tax rates as an investment incentive measure, the United States will not absorb the incentive through offsetting taxation so long as the foreign subsidiary reinvests its earnings abroad. Moreover, the U.S. ordering rule for associating dividends with earnings and profits ensures that U.S. taxes need never erode the foreign tax relief, even if earnings are distributed during the post-tax relief period. The United States follows a last-in-first-out rule in tracing dividends to the underlying earnings and profi Thus, suppose Country X grants a five year tax holiday, and in the sixth year imposes a 45 percent tax on current earnings During the tax holiday period, the controlled foreign corporation accumulates earnings and profits of $12 million, but distributes no dividends. In the six year, the corporation earns $3.63 million (before tax), pays foreign taxes of $1.63 million, and therefore has after-foreign-tax earnings of $2.0 million. A dividend of $2.0 million is distributed to the - 34 U. S. parent. The entire dividend is deemed to be paid out of current earnings, and none of the dividend is deemed to be paid out of accumulated earnings. The grossed-up divid1/ end for U S. tax purposes will be $3.63 million. The net U. S. tax on the dividend, after allowance for the foreign 2/ tax credit of $1.63 million, would be $0.11 million.-' The combination of deferral and the dividend inventory rule has proven satisfactory to many of our tax treaty partners. Developed countries have not had to negotiate the U.S. tax treatment of their own tax relief provisions for particular regions or industries. Less developed countries have often dropped their initial demands for a tax sparing credit or similar provisions. If the United States were to terminate deferral, some treaty countries would no longer be satisfied 1/ Under present law, dividends for a less developed country corporation are not grossed-up, and a different formula is used to calculate the foreign tax credit. H.R. 10612 would require the gross-up of such dividends. 2/ In this case, the deemed paid foreign tax credit is calculated as : Dividend ^ . <-OY Fa-rn-i^rro o-F+-^ t„ = z— earnings alter foreign tax $2 0 = fj^ x $1.63 = $1.63 x Foreign corporation income tax & K The tentative U. S. tax before the credit would be 48 percent of $3.63 million, or $1.74 million. After the foreign tax credit of $1.63 million, the net U. S. tax would be $0.11 million. - 35 - ^^^ with existing arrangements. They might seek new negotiations with a view toward provision of deferral by treaty. Alternatively, they might take unilateral statutory steps along the lines discussed below. (b) Foreign statutory change. If the United States limits the extent of deferral, countries which provide tax relief as an incentive measure might narrow the scope of that relief to exclude companies which would be subject to current U. S. taxation. The result could be heavier foreign taxation of U S . controlled foreign corporations, by comparison with competing firms either owned locally or by third country parent firms. In selected instances, heavier foreign taxation might serve to equalize the taxation of U. S. investment at home and abroad, but it would erode the potential gains in U. S. tax revenue from the termination of deferral, and it might put U. S. firms at a severe competitive disadvantage . There are several ways foreign taxes on U. S. controlled foreign corporations could be selectively increased. Subsidiaries of U. S. corporations might no longer be eligibile for special tax holidays and investment tax credits. Egypt» f° r example, under present law provides tax relief for foreign investors only if the home country does not tax the income either when earned or distributed. Alternatively, withholding taxes could become payable on deemed dividend - 36 distributions, as well as on actual dividend distributions, and withholding tax rates could be increased. In cases where the foreign country wished to encourage U.S. firms, methods could be found which would circumvent the U. S. termination of deferral. The foreign country could provide tax relief for joint ventures in which the U S. corporation held a minority interest, and therefore was not subject to current U. S. taxation. Alternatively, the foreign country could provide U. S. controlled corporations with input incentives, -- for example wage or energy subsidies -- while taxing the CFCs at rates close to the U. S. corporate rate. This possibility is illustrated in Table 2. In both situations, the firm has sales of 1,000, raw material costs of 400, and wage costs of 500. In Case A, with U. S. deferral, a tax holiday in the foreign country ensures that the firm realizes after-tax income of 100. In Case B, without U. S. deferral, a wage subsidy of 100 coupled with a foreign corporate tax of 50 percent ensures that the firm still realizes after-tax income of 100.-^ 1/ The wage subsidy cannot be conditioned on the payment of tax, or it would be regarded as a tax refund for purposes of calculating the U. S. foreign tax credit. On average wage subsidies might equal corporate tax payments for a group of firms, but (unlike the example) they would not be identical for each firm. - 37 - Table 2 Comparison Between Foreign Tax Relief and Foreign Input Subsidies Case A U.S. taxation with deferral Foreign tax holiday Sales Raw materials Wages Less: wage subsidy Income before tax Foreign tax Income after foreign tax Deemed or actual dividend dis tribution U.S. tax after foreign tax credit Income after all taxes 1,000 400 500 100 100 100 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis Case B U.S. taxation without deferral Foreign corporate tax of 50% plus wage subsidy 1,000 400 500 (100) 200 100 100 100 100 February 3, 19 76 - 38 In the eyes of the firm, little has changed.- In both cases, the foreign government collects no tax, in the second case, the wage subsidy just offsets the tax, and in both cases the United States collects no tax. It is not clear what the United States would gain by encouraging foreign 2/ countries to undertake this sort of fiscal subterfuge.-' (c) Average foreign tax rates. With the termination of deferral, many foreign countries would be concerned about the U. S. tax status of subsidiaries engaged in particular industries and regions. Although national average tax rates often conceal the situation for individual industries and regions, they do perhaps indicate the most seriously affected nations. Table 3 shows 1974 statutory and realized corporate tax rates, the withholding rate applied to dividends payments to the U. S. , and the total (corporate and withholding) realized tax rate on grossed-up dividends for more than 60 countries. Realized corporate tax rates are computed as the ratio of taxes paid to the U. S. definition of pre-tax 1/ In the long run, however, the firm may respond differently to a wage subsidy than a tax holiday. For example, a wage subsidy might induce the firm to use more labor and less capital to produce a given level of output. 2/ It should be noted that the foreign tax credit mechanism generally encourages foreign governments to tax dividends, interest, rents, royalties, and other foreign income paid to U. S. corporations at a rate near 48 percent. Table 3 Statutory and Realized Corporate Income Tax Rates on Manufacturing Firms, 1974 Count ry Canada Statutory Tax Rates Corporate Distributed Tax Rate 1/ profits tax 2/ rate, if different 48.0 Local Income taxes Realized Corporate tax rate 3/ 13.0 41.1 15.0 53.4 37.5 32.5 48.0 43.0 11.9 12. 7 41.9 17.1 36.0 40. 5 30. 3 43.1 27.1 44.6 Withholding tax rates on dividends distributed to U.S. Total realized Statutory : Realized tax rate on or Treaty : Rate on Rate : grossed-up grossed-up : dividends dividends 15.0 8.8 49.9 5.0 2.3 9.4 3.4 2.6 8.5 15.0 2.8 3.6 8.3 55 46 35 50 51 38 17 44.8 21.2 42.^ 49.4 40.8 45.9 30.7 52.9 Europe: Aust r ia Belgium Denma rk France Germany Greece Ire land Italy Luxembourg Nether lands Norway Spain Sweden Swi tzerland United Kingdom 55.0 42.0 36.0 50.0 51.0 38. 2 50.0 43.8 40.0 48.0 26. 5 32.8 40.0 8.8 52.0 27. 5 0 25.0 15.0 0 27. 0 4/ 13.0 4/ 5/ 14.0 0 4/ 21.3 25.0 28.0 26.2 15.0 5.0 5 0 15.0 30.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 15.0 5.0 5.0 26.4 4.4 2.9 4.1 6.4 8.9 10.5 Oceania Aus t ra 1 ia New Zealand 47.5 45.0 42.9 51.7 15.0 5.0 8.6 2.4 51.5 54.1 42.0 42.9 42.2 28.2 20.0 12.0 11.6 8.6 53.8 36.8 La t in Amer ica Mexic o Argent i na VO cont inued Statutory tax rates Count ry Corporate tax rate 1/ Brazil Chile Columbia Ecuado r Peru Uruguay Venezuela Cos ta Rica El Salvador Guatemala Honduras Nicaragua Panama 96. 7 41. 7 36.0 20.0 55.0 37.5 50.0 40.0 15.0 52.8 40.0 30.0 50.0 Distributed : Local profits tax _.: income rate, if different— : taxes 33.5 Withholding tax rates on dividends distributed to U.S. Realized Realized S tatutory rate on corporate or treaty grossed-up 3/ tax rate rate dividends 30 39 47 18 47 25 30 33 7 21 25 1 15 40.0 25.0 40.0 20.0 40.0 30.0 25.0 15.0 15.0 38.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 10.0 17.4 24.2 10.5 32.5 15. 7 18. 7 10.5 9.9 35.1 7.9 3.7 0.0 8.5 Total realized tax rate on grossed-up divid e n d s 47. 7 63.6 57.8 51 63 43 40 43 42 28 28 1 23 Africa: Algeria Morocco Liberia Ethiopia Kenya Nigeria Rhodesia South Africa Zambia o 50.0 48.0 45.0 40.0 40.0 45.0 40.0 43.0 45.0 0.0 54.5 5. 7 6/ 38.6 19.0 18.0 25.0 15.0 18.0 11.4 14.1 18.0 65.9 19. 8 38.6 29.1 19.0 41.3 50.6 38.8 0.0 0.0 30.9 41.9 28.0 12.5 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 10.1 14.3 10.4 8. 7 10.8 10.5 44. 7 15.1 60.0 30.0 10.0 53. 7 16.6 8.5 64.2 61.3 23.6 21.2 57.0 39. 3 25. 7 31.0 11.1 52. 2 68.1 4.7 Middle East: Iran Israel Lebanon 10.0 56.5 42.0 55.0 42.0 60.0 60.0 33. 3 3.4 15.0 Asia: Sri Lanka India V N& Table 3 - continued Withholding C o u n t ry Statutory Corporate Tax Rate 1/ Malaysia Pakistan Phill ipplnes Singapore Ta iwan T h a i land Hong Kong Japan Indonesla Tax Rates Distributed 2/ profits tax r a t e , if d i f f e r e n t 40 60 35 40 25 30 15 40 45 28.0 on d i v i d e n d s tn Loca 1 Income taxes 12.0 Rea11 zed Corporate tax rate 3/ 27 52 29 26 6 14 15 47 36 Statutory or Treaty Rate tax : : TT . S Realized : Total realized tax r a t e on Rate on : grossed-up grossed-up d iv i d e n d s dividends 40.0 15.0 35.0 40.0 10.0 25.0 0.0 6/ rates distributee) 10. 0 20.0 56. 7 59. 7 54.2 56.1 15.4 36.2 15.5 53.0 49. 1 28.8 7. 1 24.6 29.2 9.4 21 .3 0.0 5.6 12.7 Other Western Hemisphere: Bahamas Bermuda Netherlands A n 1 1 1 les 34.0 Dominican Republic Jama i c a 41.1 45.0 40.0 45.0 P u e r t o Rico Trinidad & Tobago O f f i c e of Office NOTES: the S e c r e t a r y of of Tax A n a l y s i s 0.0 0.0 the 5.1 0.3 5. 1 0.3 15.0 0.0 0.0 21 22 18.0 37.5 12.2 36.7 15.0 10.0 14 .1 29.0 13.2 4.5 6/ Treasury 4. 5 35 51 25 43 6.3 April _1/ For some countries, 1974 rates were unavailable and 1973 rates were used. 2/ The distributed profits tax rate reflects both split rates and imputation systems. 3/ Estimated by increasing (or decreasing) the 1968 realized corporate rate for manufacturing by the percentage change in the statutory corporate rate. 4/ Dividends are fully deductible from earnings in Greece and Norway; in Belgium, they are deductible within limits, 5_/ Included in the corporate rate. 6/ This is the realized rate for all industries SOURCES: M.E. Kyrouz, "Foreign Tax Rates and Tax Bases," National Tax Journal, March 1975; unpublished data. 6, 1976 - 42 earnings and profits, which is the base from which the 3/ deemed paid foreign tax credit is computed.The realized rates are estimated from 1968 data, adjusted for changes in statutory rates between 1968 and 1974. The figures in Table 3 are confined to the manufacturing sector. Termination of deferral would have its greatest impact on manufacturing. Realized foreign tax rates on mineral income frequently exceed the U. S. tax rate, so deferred U. S. taxation makes no difference. Undistributed corporate earnings arising in the trade, finance, and insurance sectors are to some extent taxed currently under subpart F (as amended by the Tax Reduction Act of 1975). Thus, low foreign tax rates applied to those sectors are already partly offset by current U. S. taxation. Table 3 reveals that realized corporate tax rates on manufacturing are generally well below the statutory rate. The median ratio of realized to statutory tax rates in 1974 was approximately 80 percent; in only 11 of the 63 countries did the realized rate exceed the statutory rate. 1/ The term "realized tax rate1' indicates the ratio between taxes paid and earnings and profits, as reported for U.S. tax purposes. By contrast, the term "effective tax rate" often refers to the ratio between taxes paid and book income, as reported for financial purposes. Foreign effective rates for selected countries are reported in Survey of Current Business, May 19 74 (Part I) - 43 - Jt?& For purposes of evaluating the consequences of terminating deferral on a country-by-country basis, the correct procedure is to compare foreign total realized tax rates on grossed-up dividends with the U.S. statutory corporate rate of 48 percent. 1/ The U.S. foreign tax credit is so designed that the termination of deferral would usually result in higher U.S. taxation of retained corporate income in those countries with realized tax rates below the U.S. statutory rate. 2/ Table 3 reveals that in 1974, 26 countries imposed a total realized tax rate on grossedup dividends above the U.S. statutory rate of 48 percent, while 37 countries imposed total realized rates below the U.S. statutory rate. The partial or complete termination of deferral would principally affect U.S. investment in the 37 countries in the latter category. 3/ Of these 37 countries, 27 were less developed countries which presumably rely on tax relief to promote development. 4. Administrative aspects. U.S. "shareholders" in a controlled foreign corporation are required to report the CFC's earnings and profits under U.S. accounting standards. This information is needed to calculate the deemed paid T7 The realized U.S. corporate tax rate on domestic source income was about 41 percent in 1974, but the U.S. statutory rate and not the realized rate applies to foreign source income. 2/ This generalization does not apply to U.S. firms which use the overall limitation in reporting the foreign tax credit, and also have excess foreign tax credits. 3/ This statement assumes that the termination of deferral would lead to the imposition of withholding taxes on the deemed distribution, or that companies would distribute 100 percent of their earnings. To the extent earnings are retained abroad, and no foreign withholding taxes are imposed, the better comparison is between the realized foreign corporate tax rat^T and the (J S. statutory rate of 48 percent. - 44 1/ foreign tax credit. In most cases, therefore, the eli- mination of deferral would require little information not 2/ already reported for U.S. tax purposes. However, in practical terms, the Internal Revenue Service would need to expand its auditing efforts and its staff of international specialists very substantially if deferral were terminated. The present IRS staff includes some 150 international specialists. These specialists are responsible for questions concerning international pricing and allocation of expenses, subpart F, DISC and similar special status corporations, and other international tax issues. In 1974, about 700 international audits were completed. 1/ The deemed paid credit (Section 902) is calculated as: Dividends ^ ^ _ , . , Earnings and profits X Forei Sn lncome tax = Deemed Pald cre The denominator of the first term on the left must be calculated according to U.S. accounting standards. Note that earnings and profits is an after-tax concept. 2/ Additional information would be required to the extent that the definition of earnings and profits for purposes of the deemed paid foreign tax credit (Sections 902 and 964) differs from the general definition of earnings and profits Moreover, CFCs that presently distribute no income would now be required to report earnings and profits. Under existing law, the direct and deemed paid foreign tax credits are generally more than sufficient to offset U. S. tax liability on dividends from foreign subsidiaries. From a practical standpoint, therefore, it is not rewarding for the Internal Revenue Service to examine the majority of CFC returns (in 1974, about 40,000 CFC returns were filed). But with the partial or complete termination of deferral, the exact calculation of the earnings and profits of a foreign subsidiary would become more important. The IRS would have to increase its international staff very substantially to meet the new demands. 5. Inve s tmen t imp act. With the termination of deferral foreign subsidiary corporations, facing a higher tax rate than competing local firms, might diminish their activities. Out of a given volume of pre-tax earnings, CFCs would have fewer funds available for reinvestment. In order to maintain the same after-tax earnings as a percentage of investment, they might sacrifice less profitable product lines and, where possible, they might raise prices. result, CFC sales abroad might contract. As a But there is a wide range of opinion on the ensuing consequences for investment in the United States. Some observers believe that investment would be partly shifted back to the United States, thereby increasing U.S. corporate earnings. These observers contend that foreign and domestic investment are at least partial substitutes, and that, when markets and investment opportunities are - 46 - lost in one area, multinational firms will reallocate their resources to another part of the globe. Other observers contend that little or no investment would be shifted back to the United States. They argue that profitable investment and production opportunities are highly specific both in time and place, and that the loss of foreign markets abroad does little to create new investment opportunities in the United States. Indeed, the loss of foreign markets might impair the access of American producers to new foreign technology, and might impede the realization of economies inherent in large scale production and international specialization, with a consequent attenuation of domestic investment opportunities. Professor Horst has constructed a mathematical model to simulate the impact of terminating deferral on manu1/ facturing investment in the United States and abroad. In this model, foreign and domestic investment are assumed to be partial substitutes for one another. Investment in each location is determined both by relative after-tax rates of return, and by the firm's overall supply of 1/ las Horst, "American Multinationals and the U.S. ^ ini?tcher Sch°o1 of Law and Diplomacy, mber 1975. - 47 - <?/£ financial resources. The model assumes that a multinational manufacturing firm maximizes its global after-tax earnings. The firm invests both in the United States and in a single foreign country. Its investment can be financed out of its own retained earnings, with new equity capital, or with borrowed funds, raised either in the American or in the foreign capital market. U.S. funds can be transferred to the foreign affiliate either as equity capital or as interest-bearing debt. The division of taxable income between countries depends on investment and sales in each country, and on the level of deductibile intrafirm expenses, such as interest payments, royalties, and head-office charges. A change in tax policy, either in the United States or abroad, will have two conceptually distinct effects: a substitution effect, resulting from any change in the aftertax rate of return on foreign or domestic investment; and a liquidity effect, resulting from any change in after-tax earnings available for reinvestment. The size of the sub- stitution and liquidity effects depends not only on the opportunities for investing and borrowing in the two countries, but also on the firm's own internal use of debt and equity capital. - 48 Although the model is basically simple, it requires more than thirty equations to capture the details of foreign and domestic investment opportunities and tax systems. Many parameters must be estimated before usuable results can be obtained. As in any exercise of this nature, the results are subject to a considerable margin of error. The results are summarized in Table 4. The estimates portray the investment impact after complete adjustment to the termination of deferral. Complete adjustment could, of course, require several years. Both the substitution effect and the liquidity effect are reflected in the estimates. The estimates in Table 4 suggest that the stock of plant and equipment investment in the United States manufacturing sector might ultimately increase by $2.2 billion (a change of 0.7 percent) with an end to deferral, while the stock of U.S. owned manufacturing assets abroad might ultimately decrease by $3.5 billion (a change of 2.3 percent). Consolidated after-tax earnings would decrease by about $980 million. U.S. corporate taxes would increase by about $1,000 million. Foreign corporate income and withholding taxes would decline Table 4 Estimated Impact of Terminating Deferral on Selected Economic Variables for U.S. Multinational Manufacturing Firms 1/ (Millions of Dollars) ; Initial Values: Estimated Changes Total domestic assets 2/ 314,000 2,200 Total foreign assets 2/ 151,000 -3,500 Consolidated after-tax earnings V 28,500 -980 U.S. corporate income tax on domestic and foreign income after investment tax credit and foreign tax credit 3/ 13,400 1,000 47 Foreign corporate income and dividend withholding taxes 7,700 -210 5/ Office of the Secretary of the Treasury April 6, 1976 Office of Tax Analysis Sources: The estimated changes are adapted from estimates made by Thomas Horst, "American Multinationals and the U.S. Economy," Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, November 1975, and unpublished work. The initial values are derived from: U.S. Senate, Committee on Finance, Implications of Multinational Firms for World Trade and Investment and Labor, February 1973; Survey of Current Business, October 1975; Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1975; U.S. Treasury Department, Statistics of Income 1972: Corporation Income Tax Returns. 1_/ The initial value figures refer to the year 1974. The estimated change figures represent the impact after complete adjustment to the termination of deferral. The figures in the estimated change column include the impact resulting from the extension of subpart F in the Tax Reduction Act of 1975. 2/ The initial value figures are based on the 1970 estimates for giant multinational manufacturing firms contained in Implications of Multinational Firms, p. 432, increased to reflect smaller manufacturing firms with overseas investment (15 percent of total overseas investment), and increased again to reflect growth between 1970 and 1974 (Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1975, p. 500; Survey of Current Business, October 1975). The foreign asset figures include investment by foreigners in U.S. affiliates. The estimated changes are based on Professor Horst's model. 3/ The initial values refer to the consolidated after-tax earnings and U.S. and foreign income — taxes for all manufacturing firms claiming a foreign tax credit. The estimated changes are based on Professor Horst's model. 4/ This estimate reflects additional U.S. taxes from: (i) subpart F as expanded by the Tax ~~ Reduction Act of 1975 ($250 million); (ii) termination of deferral with worldwide pooling, an overall foreign tax credit limit, and current dividend distribution rates ($365 million); (iii) an increase in U.S. investment and the greater use of equity capital in the United States ($385 million). Detail is shown in Table 11. 5/ This estimate reflects a decline in foreign taxes resulting from: (i) a decrease in foreign _ investment; (ii) the greater use of debt capital for foreign affiliates. - 50 by about $210 million. These revenue estimates, like the underlying investment impact estimates, are based on the 1/ assumptions of the particular model. Professor Horst!s model attempts to capture a variety of interactions between U.S. parent corporations and their foreign subsidiaries. Even so, the model requires many simplifying assumptions. In particular, the following complicating factors are not considered. The model assumes that foreign and domestic investments are partial substitutes, and then proceeds to calculate the extent of substitution. Many observers would dispute the assumption of a substitute relationship between foreign and domestic investment. If the assumption is wrong, the estimates of additional investment in the United States and larger U. S. tax revenues are also wrong. Professor Stobaugh, for example, contends that the termination of deferral could lead to a cumulative decline in the profitability and investment both of foreign affiliate y and their U.S. parent corporations. The U.S. multinational 1/ Revenue estimates made under various assumptions are presented in section 7. 2/ Robert B. Stobaugh, "The U.S. Economy and the Proposed U.S. Income Tax on Unremitted Earnings of U.S. Controlled Foreign Manufacturing Operations Abroad," Harvard Business School, 1975. - 51 firms would have fewer funds available for reinvestment, and in order to maintain the same after-tax rate of return, they might concede some business to competing foreign firms. With slower growth and smaller sales, they might be less able to improve techniques of production, and they would have a smaller base for spreading research, administrative, and other fixed costs. The cumulative effect could be lower profits and a decline in investment, both in the United States and abroad. Apart from investment changes resulting from corporate decisions, foreign governments might alter their own tax rules in response to the termination of deferral. The changes could be designed not only to offset U. S. revenue gains, but also to counter any shift of investment towards the United States. For example, foreign governments might provide special investment incentives for non-American firms. Through bank financing and other avenues, these incentives could indirectly attract capital from the United States. These considerations suggest that the changes portrayed in Table 4 should be viewed as upper limit estimates of the investment impact of terminating deferral. - 52 6. Financial impact. Foreign subsidiaries can finance their expansion either by issuing debt or by increasing equity capital (including the retention of earnings). The funds can be provided either by the parent corporation or by unrelated investors. A change in deferral would affect the tax cost of only one source of capital, namely equity funding provided by the parent corporation. Other sources of capital would be available on the same tax terms as before. With a limitation on deferral, the foreign affiliate thus might find it more advantageous to finance expansion through external local borrowing, or through intrafirm debt, rather than through equity capital supplied 1/ by the U.S. parent corporation. The net effect is that a larger share of earnings might be paid out as interest and a smaller share might be retained or paid out as dividends. Table 5 presents a hypothetical example to illustrate the case in which local borrowing is increased after the termination of deferral. For simplicity, a U.S. corporate tax rate of 50 percent and a foreign corporate tax rate of 25 percent are assumed. Foreign earnings before interest charges are kept constant throughout the analysis, implying 1/ Financial shifts of this type are included in Professor Horst's model of investment decisions discussed in the previous section. Table ', 1/ The Effect, of Deferral on the Use of Local Debt by a Hypothetical Foreign Subsidiary With U.S. Deferral Some Local All Equity Debt Finance <2> Without U.S. Deferral Some Local All Equity Debt Finance Foreign Subsidiary 2/ 1. Foreign earnings before interest charges 2. Interest paid locally 3. Foreign taxable income 4. Foreign corporate tax at 25 percent 5. U.S. corporate tax at 50 percent, after credit 6. Foreign income after all taxes 100 100 100 100 0 20 0 20 100 80 100 80 25 20 25 20 0 0 25 20 75 60 50 40 U.S. Parent i 7. Domestic taxable income 200 2,30 200 230 8. U.S. corporate tax on domestic income at 50 percent 100 115 100 115 9. Domestic income after tax 100 115 100 115 10. Total income after tax 175 175 150 155 11. Total U.S. tax 100 115 125 135 Consolidated Results Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis February 4, 1976 1/ The following assumptions are made: (a) the foreign interest rate equals 10 percent; (b) the foreign debt Ln cases (2) and (4) equals 200, and the addition to domestically owned assets also equals 200; (c) pre-ti:ax earnings equal IS percent of domestically owned assets; (d) no actual distribution of dividends is made from the subsidiary to the parent. 2/ The foreign subsidiary is 100 percent owned by the U.S. parent corporation. u> - 541/ the same real level of foreign activity. fa No dividends are distributed from subsidiary to parent, and thus no withholding taxes are paid. The firm can choose between raising a certain amount of debt abroad, limited to 200 in this example, or financing the affiliate entirely with equity capital. If it raises debt abroad, the parent can reduce its equity commitment to the foreign affiliate and increase its use of equity capital in the United States. The interest rate on foreign debt is assumed to be 10 percent, while domestically owned assets are assumed to earn 15 percent before tax. Domestic assets thus earn a higher pre-tax return than the cost of foreign debt. This is a crucial assumption; otherwise it would not be sensible for the firm to incur the risk of borrowing abroad. Under present U.S. law, the firm would be indifferent between borrowing abroad and financing the affiliate entirely with equity. In both cases, its total after-tax 2/ income would be 175. 1/ In fact, foreign operations would probably contract in face of the higher tax burden on foreign earnings. 2/ The tax authorities of the two countries are not, however, indifferent to the means of finance. The substitution of local debt for equity capital would reduce foreign corporate tax from 25 to 20 and increase U.S. corporate tax from 100 to 115. If deferral is terminated, the picture changes. The firm's total income after tax declines, and U.S. tax collections rise. Equally important, the firm now has an incentive to borrow abroad. Consolidated income after tax is 150 with all equity financing and 155 with some local debt. The hypothetical firm can increase its after-tax income by redeploying some of its assets to the United States. The process of redeployment would increase U. S. tax from 125 to 135. The partial or complete termination of deferral could place some foreign subsidiaries in the position of this hypothetical firm. They might find it advantageous to substitute local borrowing for parent firm 1/ equity. It is difficult to estimate the potential importance of tax-induced changes in means of finance. Many firms may have already borrowed abroad as much as they realistically can. Foreign debt has advantages, but it also has risks -in particular the risk of credit rationing with a change in government policies abroad. Likewise, there may be administrative and other limits on intrafirm debt. Table 6 illustrates the extent of debt and equity financing by foreign affiliates in 1972. New foreign debt 1/ A similar example could be devised to illustrate the effect of substituting intrafirm debt for equity financing. - 56 ^ Table 6 1/ Financing of Foreign Affiliates, 1972 (Percent of Total Funds) : Petroleum : Manufacturing : Other Source of funds: 1. Internal funds: 15.6 Retained earnings 2. External funds: 4.5 Equity capital: 0.1 U.S. owned 2/ Foreign owned Debt capital! U.S. owned: 24.2 intrafirm debt 2/ 0.7 unrelated financial institutions 1.9 Foreign owned: 53.0 related firms unrelated financial 100.0 institutions Total Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis Source: 45.1 23.8 5.5 3.4 4.1 3.9 5.0 5.9 2.8 5.0 1.8 20.1 36.4 37.2 100.0 100.0 February 4, 1976 U.S. Department of Commerce, Survey of Current Business (July 1975). Detail may not add to totals due to rounding. 1/ Estimates are based on a sample of majority-owned foreign affiliates. _ 2/ The apportionment of funds between U.S. owned equity and intra-firm debt was based on the ratio of net equity to total net capital outflows for 1973 reported in U.S. Department of Commerce, Survey of Current Business (October 1975), p. 47. supplied a major part of available funds, ranging between 38 percent in the case of manufacturing affiliates to 57 percent in the case of other industries. Intrafirm debt and other debt from U.S. sources supplied between 8 and 25 percent of available funds. New equity capital from the United States only supplied between 4 and 6 percent, while retained earnings supplied between 16 and 45 percent of available funds. There appears to be little scope for the substitution of fresh debt for fresh equity capital, but fresh debt might, to a limited extent, replace retained earnings. 7. Revenue impact. In general, revenue estimates are made to indicate actual or potential U.S. tax collections resulting from the existing tax structure or a change in that structure. The focus here is on changes in tax revenue resulting from the partial or complete elimination of deferral, or the selective expansion of subpart F. Background estimates are also given for present tax revenues attributable to subpart F. The Tax Reduction Act of 1975 substantially extended the scope of subpart F, and correspondingly reduced the scope of remaining revenue gains from the termination of deferral. These effects are reflected in the comparison between estimates for 1974 and 1976 in Table 7. Note that the collateral tax changes enumerated in Table 1 which would - 58 - 0 Table 7 Actual Revenue from Subpart F and Potential Revenue from Termination of Deferral, with Overall Limitation on Foreign Tax Credit (Millions of dollars) 1974 Calendar Year Tax Liabilities Changes Resulting from the Tax Reduction Act of 1975 1976 Calendar Year Tax Liabilities 1/ Total actual and potential revenue from current taxation of CFC retained earnings 615 n.a. 615 Potential revenue from the termination of deferral, total 2/ 590 -225 365 0 0 0 Mining Petroleum and Refining 0 0 0 Manufacturing 577 -215 362 Other 13 -10 3 Actual revenue from subpart F, total 25 225 250 Pre-1975 revenue 25 n.a. 25 225 225 Tax Reduction Act changes 3/ Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis April 6, 1976 n.a. indicates not applicable. 1/ It is assumed that there was no change between 1974 and 1976 in corporate foreign source income affected by deferral. 2/ These estimates assume: (i) dividends from less developed country corporations are "grossed up" for purposes of calculating the tentative U.S. tax and the foreign tax credit; (ii) foreign subsidiary losses are fully offset against foreign subsidiary profits; (iii) all firms use the overall limitation in calculating the foreign tax credit; (iv) no behavioral change. 3/ The Tax Reduction Act changes were: (i) eliminate minimum distribution ($100 million); (ii) eliminate the less developed country corporation exception ($15 million); (iii) change the 30-70 rule to a 10-70 rule ($75 million); (iv) repeal the shipping exclusion ($35 million). - 59 - J%7 move the United States closer to a system of capital-export neutrality are not shown in Table 7. Instead, Table 7 focuses on the taxation of undistributed earnings viewed in isolation. The estimates of possible revenue gains from the further termination of deferral are influenced both by the policy option chosen and by possible behavioral changes. (a) Policy options. The revenue estimates obviously depend on three important policy choices: (i) the extent to which deferral is eliminated or subpart F is extended; (ii) whether the overall or the per-country limitation is applied to the foreign tax credit; (iii) the extent to which foreign subsidiary losses are permitted as an offset against foreign subsidiary profits. The policy options are spelled out in Part IV. Tables 8 and 9 present revenue estimates for the alternative policies. The revenue estimates are based on the standard assumption of no behavioral change, discussed below. Certain important features should be noted. The great majority of firms elect the overall limitation in calculating the foreign tax credit. Under the Tax Reduction Act of 1975, petroleum firms are required to use the overall limitation for foreign oil related income in taxable years ending after December 31, 1975. The Tax Reform Act of 1975, H.R 10612, enacted by the House and now under Senate consideration, Table 8 1/ Revenue Changes from Alternative Proposals to End Deferral (Millions of Dollars) Required Percentage Distribution 2/ 100 75 50 1976 Calendar Year Tax Liabilities ±1 Earnings and Profits Plus Earnings and Profits Branch and Royalty Income Overall Per-Country Overall : Per-country Limitation 4_/ Limitation Limitation Limitation 4/ $ 3 65 215 55 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis $ 630 385 150 $ 365 150 10 $ 630 250 50 February 3, 1976 1/ The estimates assume: (i) dividends from less developed country corporations are "grossed up" for purposes of calculating the tentative U.S. tax and the foreign tax credit; (ii) CFC profits and losses are consolidated on the same basis as the foreign tax credit limitation r hat; is, either on an overall or a per country basis; (iii) no behavioral change, in particular the current dividend distribution rate is maintained. 2/ With a 100 percent required distribution, deferral is totally ended. With a 75 percent or 50 percent inquired distribution, U.S. parent corporations would be deemed to have received the differences between 75 percent or 50 percent of income (defined either as earnings and profits or as earnings and profits plus branch and royalty income) and the amount actually received (either dividends or dividends plus branch and royalty income). 3/ These figures represent additions to 1976 revenues collected under subpart F ($250 million). 4/ These estimates assume that the per-country limitation is already in place, and that ~ deferral is then ended. The revenue changes refer only to the additional impact of eliminating deferral. ON o - 61 - ^ . Table 9 Termination of Deferral with Alternative Consolidation Requirements and with Current Dividend Distribution Rate 1/ (Millions of Dollars) : 1976 Calendar Year : Tax Liabilities 2/ Overall limitation on foreign tax credit Worldwide consolidation of CFCs 365 No consolidation of CFCs 1,100 3/ Per-country limitation on foreign tax credit —' Country consolidation of CFCs 630 No consolidation of CFCs 1,300 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury April 6~j 1976 Office of Tax Analysis 1/ These estimates are variants of the estimates in Table 5. The estimates assume: (i) dividends from less developed country corporations are "grossed up"; (ii) no behavioral change, in particular, the present dividend distribution rate is maintained 2/ These figures represent additions to the 1976 revenue collected under subpart F ($250 million). 3/ These estimates assume that the per-country limitation is already in place, and that deferral is then ended. The revenue changes refer only to the additional impact of eliminating deferral. - 62 would extend compulsory use of the overall limitation to all 1/ firms. The overall limitation permits extensive tax averaging between income from high-tax and low-tax jurisdictions. Thus, the elimination of deferral coupled with the overall limitation produces less revenue than the elimination of deferral coupled with the per-country limitation. If losses are not allowed as an offset against profits as between related subsidiaries, the revenue estimate becomes very much larger. This reflects the substantial losses experienced by foreign subsidiaries. Contrary to popular belief, it is not true that the bulk of foreign losses are concentrated in foreign branches. Rough estimates for 1975 indicate that foreign subsidiaries experienced losses of $2.2 billion while foreign branches had losses of $0.3 billion. (b) Behavioral change. Revenue estimates are usually based on a standard assumption of no behavioral change. The standard assumption is useful in two respects: first, it 1/ The reason for compulsory use of the overall limitation is to prevent U.S. corporations from offsetting foreign branch losses incurred in some countries against U.S. source income, while claiming a foreign tax credit on foreign source income earned in other countries. However, transition rules would permit continued use of the percountry limitation for selected hard mineral firms. Puerto Rico and the U.S. possessions are not included in the compulsory overall limitation rule. - 63 - J/J2, is helpful to know the initial impact of a tax measure before adjustment occurs; second, the nature, extent and speed of behavioral changes are not easily forecast.* Yet behavioral changes usually accompany any important tax measure. In the international tax area, not only will multinational firms adjust their dividend distribution rates, investment decisions, and financing policies in response to U.S: tax legislation, but also foreign governments may modify, their own. tax rules. (i) Foreign subsidiaries might increase their dividend distributions in order to ensure and accelerate recognition of the foreign tax credit for dividend withholding taxes. (ii) The extent of investment in foreign subsidiaries might be curtailed. At the same time,/U.S. parent firms might increase their investment in the United States. The financing of foreign subsidiaries might be modified to reduce reliance on intrafirm equity, and increase reliance on intrafirm debt, and more importantly, external debt. (iii) U.S. parent firms might place greater stress on minority participation in new ventures and they might attempt to "decontrol" some existing CFCs. -(iv) Foreign governments might selectively increase their own taxation of U.S. controlled foreign corporations. Each of these reactions would affect the revenue implications of terminating deterral. Some would increase - 64 U.S. revenue; others would decrease U.S. revenue. The follow- ing paragraphs summarize the possible revenue consequences of these behavioral changes. (i) Change in distribution rates. U.S. foreign subsidi- ries typically distribute approximately 45 percent of their after-foreign-tax earnings. The revenue estimates in Table 7, 8, and 9 are based on this distribution rate. By contrast, Table 10 shows the revenue effect of increasing the distribution rate to 100 percent of foreign after-tax earnings. U.S. revenue gains would be substantially or completely eroded because foreign withholding taxes creditable under 1/ section 901 would be larger. In fact, if the termination of deferral induced a 100 percent distribution rate, with an overall limitation on the foreign tax credit and worldwide consolidation of foreign subsidiary income, the U. S. revenue loss would be $375 million. Under a per-country limitation, the revenue loss would be $105 million. The revenue losses are calculated by reference to tax otherwise collected under subpart F, as expanded by the Tax Reduction Act of 1975. The reason for these revenue losses is that additional foreign withholding taxes would be credited against existing U.S. 1/ The same revenue effects would result if foreign governments imposed withholding taxes on deemed distributions of foreign affiliates. J/? Table 10 Revenue Effect of 100 Percent Dividend Distribution Rate (Millions of Dollars) 1976 Calendar Year Tax Liabilities Overall : Per-Country Limitation : Limitation £/ Total actual and potential revenue from current taxation of CFC earnings -125 , Potential revenue from 100 percent dividend distribution rate 1/ -375 -105 _5 5 Mining Petroleum and Refining ' ;'! '• . 145 115 -240 Manufacturing 315* Other -55 15 Actual revenue from subpart F, total 250 250 Pre-1975 revenue 25 25 Tax Reduction Act changes 225 225 office of the Secretary of the Treasury February 3, 1976 Office of Tax Analysis 1/ The estimates assume: (i) dividends * from less developed country corporations are "grossed up" for purposes of calculating the tentative U.S. tax and"the foreign tax credit; (ii) CFC profits and losses are pooled on the same basis as the foreign tax credit limitation; (iii) no behavioral change, except that all CFCs increase their actual dividend distribution rates to 100 percent. 2/ These estimates assume that the per-country limitation is already in place, and that deferral is then ended. The revenue changes refer only to the additional impact of eliminating deferral. - 66 - $)j taxes collected both on subpart F income and on foreign source interest, rents, royalties, fees, and branch income. The revenue losses would be more than proportional to any increase in dividend distributions from the current rate of about 45 percent to the hypothetical rate of 100 percent. Most of the loss would occur with the first increments in the overall dividend distribution rate, since additional dividends would presumably be distributed first from CFCs paying the highest foreign taxes. (ii) Foreign vs. domestic investment. Tables 11 and 12 present rough and conflicting estimates of the revenue consequences of changes in investment behavior resulting from the termination of deferral. The revenue estimates in Table 11 are based on Professor Horstfs model which attempts to measure the investment and financial position of a multinational firm after it has fully adjusted to the termination of deferral. The model, described in section 5, assumes that the firm can to some extent choose between foreign and domestic investment, and between alternative means of financing its assets. The estimates in Table 11 are made from two starting points: the current dividend distribution rate and a 100 percent dividend distribution rate. The dividend distribution rate affects both the division of revenue changes between the Tcrniln;it Ion of Deferral with Assumed Changes in Investment Location and Means of Finance (Millions of Dollars) 1976 Calendar Year Tax Liability Current Dividend : 100% Dividend Distribution Rate : Distribution Rate Total actual and potential IJ. S. revenue from current taxation oi CFC earnings, with specified investment >i\\d financing changes ]_/ 1,000 260 Actual revenue Irom subpart F, total 250 250 Potential revenue from termination of deferral with no investment or financing changes 365 -375 Potential revenue from possible changes in investment and financing: 2/ (1) Effects on foreign source income— (a) Decrease in CFC earnings (b) Decrease in royalties, fees, and interest repatriated to the United States (2) Effects on domestic source income — (a) Increase in domestic investment (b) Increase in use of equity capital in the United States and increase in use of external debt abroad Change in foreign revenue from corporate income and dividend withholding taxes 3/ (1) Effect of 100 percent dividend distribution rate on dividend withholding taxes (2) Effect of reduced size and increased use of external debt by CFCs on corporate income tax and withholding tax 385 385 -15 -15 -10 -10 90 90 320 320 -210 630 o> Addenda: Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Oft ice of Tax Analysis 1/ 2/ 840 -210 -210 February 4, 1976 The estimates assume: (i) dividends from less developed countries are "grossed up" for purposes of calculating the tentative U.S. tax and the foreign tax credit; (ii) worldwide pooling of CFC profits and losses, and an overall limitation on the foreign tax credit; (iii) specified behavioral changes in dividend distribution rates, investment and financing. The detail underlying these figures appear in Tables 7 and 10. The estimates represent the revenue impact after full adjustments to the current taxation of CFC earnings, including adjustments to the Tax Reduction Act of 1975. The adjustments would, in fact, take several years. The estimates are adapted from a model developed by Thomas Horst, "American Multinational and the U.S. Economy," Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, November 1975. 3/ The estimates assumes no change tn foreign tax laws. ^ ^ Table 12 Termination of Deferral with Assumed Adverse Impact on Competitive Position of U.S. CFCs (Millions of Dollars) Calendar Year Tax Liabilities 1976 ; I9BI Estimated U.S. revenue from corporate taxation of all foreign source income with termination of deferral 1/ Estimated U.S. revenue from corporate taxation of all foreign source income under current law 2/ Estimated change in U.S. revenue with termination of deferral Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 2,610 3,200 2,245 3,600 365 -400 April 6, 1976 CO 1/ The 1976 figure is based on estimated 1976 revenues plus the potential revenue from complete termination of deferral. The 1981 figure is adapted from a model developed by Robert B. Stobaugh, f,The U.S. Economy and the Proposed U.S. Income Tax on Unremitted Foreign Earnings of U.S. Controlled Foreign Manufacturing Operations Abroad," Harvard Business School, 1975. 2/ The 1976 figure reflects the Tax Reduction Act of 1975. The 1981 figure assumes an annual growth rate of 10 percent in the foreign source of U.S. corporations. V^ ^ - 69 United States and foreign governments, and the total amount of these changes. The potential U.S. revenue gain from changes in the location of investment and the means of finance, after all adjustments have taken place, is very roughly estimated at $385 million whether the dividend distribution rate remains at current levels or increases to 100 percent. The figure of $385 million reflects a revenue loss of about $25 million from smaller CFC earnings and reduced intrafirm payments of interest, rents, royalties, and management fees, and a revenue gain of about $410 million from larger U.S. corporate investment and a shift in the means of finance. Foreign subsidiaries would rely to a greater extent on local debt finance, while U.S. parent corporations would use more equity capital. These calculations do not take into account possible attempts by foreign governments to offset the shift of investment location and means of finance through modification of their own tax laws. Under current dividend distribution rates, the model suggests that firms would pay an additional $750 million in U.S. taxes while they would pay $210 million less in foreign taxes. The net increase in corporate tax payments at home and abroad would thus be $540 million. Under a 100 percent dividend distribution rate, the model suggests - 70 - j/j that firms would pay an additional $10 million in U.S. taxes and an additional $630 million in foreign taxes. The net increase in corporate tax payments at home and abroad would be $640 million under this assumption. The revenue estimates in Table 12 are based on Professor Stobaugh's model which attempts to measure the long-term consequences of placing U.S. controlled foreign corporations at a competitive disadvantage through the termination of deferral. Again, these calculations do not take into account possible offsetting measures by foreign governments. The Stobaugh model assumes that higher U.S. taxes on CFCs will, after a period of time, cause a cumulative contraction in their market share, profitability, and the remittance of interest, royalties, and management fees to the U.S. parent corporations. Moreover, CFCs will find it advantageous to distribute a larger share of earnings and rely more heavily on debt finance." The predicted result is a cumulative reduction in U.S. taxes not only on the foreign earnings of CFCs but also on the associated types of foreign income paid to U.S. parent firms. In 1981, five years 1/ Both the Horst and Stobaugh models envisage a larger role for debt finance if deferral is terminated. - 71 after the termination of deferral, the model estimates that U.S. taxes on all foreign source income would be $400 million less than under present law. In succeeding years, the adverse revenue impact would be even larger. (iii) Minority participation and "decontrol11. If deferral is terminated, some multinational firms might seek to minimize the impact of current U.S. taxation either by undertaking new foreign investments through minority ownership in joint venture arrangements or by "decontrolling" some of their existing CFCs. Either way, the retained earnings of the foreign corporation would not be subject to current U.S. taxation. However, decontrol of an existing CFC could entail substantial U.S. taxes on accumulated earnings and profits. Moreover, even if decontrol in the tax sense does not involve the total loss of control, it at least inhibits managerial flexibility, and makes international business decisions more difficult. A new minority ownership arrangement raises similar problems. While the difficulties associated with decontrol and minority ownership arrangements cannot be quantified, a useful perspective may be gained by comparing the total tax burden on U.S. multinational corporations with and without deferral. In 1976, total U.S. and foreign taxes on foreign source corporate income, other than income earned by the petroleum sector, will be approximately $12.3 billion. The complete termination of deferral might increase the tax 1/ burden by as much as $0.6 billion, or by 5 percent. Because this figure is relatively modest, and because the tax costs alone of reorganization are substantial, it seems unlikely that many multinational firms would reorganize their corporate structure as a means of avoiding current 2/ U.S. taxation. Table 13 gives the estimated structure of foreign affiliate earnings classified by the percentage of U.S. ownership in the affiliate. -Only 5.2 percent of profits were earned by foreign affiliates owned less than 50 percent by U.S. parent corporations. Even if this percentage doubled or tripled, and the growth were concentrated in low-tax countries, the tax avoidance would be modest. If deferral was terminated, and if the proportion of earnings accounted for by non-CFC foreign affiliates subsequently increased to 10 percent, the revenue gain would be reduced by $50 million; at 15 percent, the reduction in revenue gain would be $100 million (Table 14). 1/ This figure, from Table 7, assumes an overall limitation on the foreign tax credit and includes subpart F revenue. 2/ J.L. Kramer and G.C. Hufbauer, "Higher U.S. Taxation Could Prompt Changes in Multinational Corporate Structure," International Tax Journal, Summer 1975. - 73 - jfe2 Table 13 Net Earnings by Extent of U.S. Ownership in Foreign Affiliates (Millions of Dollars or Percent) U.S. ownership percentage 1975 : net earnings 1/ Percent of net earnings BY AREA All Areas 17,495 100.0 95-1007. 50-94% 25-497. 10-247. 1-9% 14,290 2,290 584 285 46 81.7 13.1 3.3 1.6 0.3 Canada 2,846 100.0 95-1007. 50-94% 25-49% 10-24% 1-9% 1,904 781 93 44 21 66.9 27.5 3.3 1.6 0.7 Western Europe 5,957 95-100% 50-94% 25-49% 10-24% 1-9% 4,742 815 176 205 11 79.6 13.7 3.0 3.4 0.2 Latin America and other Western Hemisphere 2,628 100.0 95-100% 50-94% 25-49% 10-24% 1-9% 2,387 185 43 9 4 90.8 7.0 1.7 0.4 0.1 . - 74 Table 13 - continued U.S. ownership percentage Africa, Asia and Australia "" -1973 net earnings 1/ 6,065 5,109 514 321 109 7 BY INDUSTRY 95-100% 50-94% 25-49% 10-24% 1-9% Percent ot net earnings 100.0 84.2 8.5 5.3 1.8 0.1 Petroleum 6,183 100.0 95-100% 50-94% 25-49% 10-24% 1-9% Manufacturing 5,475 560 92 29 26 7,286 88.6 9.1 1.5 0.5 0.4 100.0 95-100% 50-94% 25-49% 10-24% 1-9% All other industries 5,668 1,138 300 160 19 4,026 77.8 15.6 4.1 2.2 0.3 100.0 95-100% 50-94% 25-49% 10-24% 1-9% 3,145 592 192 26 1 78.1 14.7 4.8 2.4 0.0 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis Source April 6, 1976 Based on Table B-10 of the Preliminary Draft of U.S. Direct Investments Abroad 1966 Part Ients Data (U. S. Department of Balance of Pa^iyme Commerce, 197u;, pp $3^84; and Table 9 of J. Freidlin and L.A. Lupo, "U.S. Direct Investment Abroad in 1973," Survey of Current Business, (August 1974), Pt. II, pp 16-17.— 1/ Net earnings are after-foreign tax. Foreign affiliates .include foreign branches, counted as 100 percent owned by the U.S. parent corporation. Table 14 Estimated Revenue from Subpart F and Termination of Deferral with Increase of Non-CFC Earnings 1976 Calendar Year Tax Liability 5% of Earnings : 10% of Earnings : 15% of Earnings in non-CFCs : in non-CFCs : in non-CFCs Total actual and potential revenue from current taxation of CFC retained earnings Actual revenue from subpart F, total 615 565 515 250 250 250 Potential revenue from termination of deferral, total 1/ 365 365 365 -50 -100 Change in revenue from new minority participation or decontrol of CFCs 2/ Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis February 4, 1976 1/ These estimates assume: (i) dividends from less developed country corporations are "~ "grossed up" for purposes of calculating the tentative U.S. tax and the foreign tax credit; (ii) foreign subsidiary losses are fully offset against foreign subsidiary profits and all firms use the overall limitation in calculating the foreign tax credit; (iii) no behavioral change other than the specified changes in non-CFC earnings. 2/ Assumes that incremental non-CFC earnings are taxed by the foreign government at a 20 percent rate, including withholding taxes. Non-CFC earnings are defined as the earnings of those foreign affiliates which are owned less than 50 percent by"U.S. shareholders." - 76 The potential revenue loss could be a greater problem if foreign affiliates owned exactly 50 percent by "U.S. shareholders" generally escape classification as CFCs. Under the Garlock and Kraus decisions, U.S. ownership of exactly 50 percent of a foreign affiliate, coupled with actual U.S. control of the affiliate, will meet the test of subpart F. (iv) Higher foreign taxes. If deferral were terminated, foreign governments could selectively increase the tax burden on U.S. controlled foreign corporations in situations where the general foreign tax rate is lower than the U.S. tax rate. Alternatively, they could raise withholding tax rates and treat deemed dividend distributions as actual dividend distributions for withholding tax purposes. Such changes in foreign tax practices would take time, and would probably not occur as an immediate response to the termination of deferral, but the long-term result of such changes would be lower U.S. tax collections and higher foreign tax collections. The revenue outcome would be similar to the estimates presented in Table 10 for a 100 percent distribution - 77 - rate. U.S. taxes collected on the retained earnings of foreign subsidiaries would be diminished as a result of higher foreign taxes. 8. Summary of the analysis. Before turning to the policy options, it might be useful to restate the major issues and findings. The debate surrounding deferral has often lacked a clear definition of objectives. The termination of deferral has been urged at different times by different groups seeking at least five different objectives. (a) To improve tax neutrality; (b) To eliminate tax avoidance; (c) To simplify the tax law; (d) To discourage foreign investment; (e) To increase U.S. tax revenues. These different objectives can lead to conflicting policies. (a) Tax neutrality. The termination of deferral would, of course, be diametrically opposed to the principles of capital-import neutrality. However, current taxation of retained CFC earnings is urged as a step not toward capitalimport neutrality, but rather as a step toward capitalexport neutrality. But the termination of deferral, would not by itself advance the standard of capital-export neutrality. With the end of deferral, the U.S. tax system would on the whole favor domestic investment even more than - 78 it does now. Collateral changes would be required in the investment tax credit, the accelerated depreciation range, DISC, and other tax practices in order to approach capitalexport neutrality. (b) Tax avoidance. In the context of foreign corporate investment, tax avoidance is sometimes very broadly defined to occur whenever the realized foreign tax rate is less than the statutory U.S. rate of 48 percent. If this broad definition is accepted, then the termination of deferral would eliminate virtually all cases of tax avoidance. However, tax avoidance is often defined more narrowly, either with reference to realized U.S. tax rates or with reference to artificial corporate structures and business arrangements. When tax avoidance is defined with reference to realized U.S. tax rates, then its extent is much less significant. The investment tax credit, asset depreciation range, DISC, and other domestic tax preferences all serve to reduce the realized U.S. corporate tax rate on domestic income which, in 1974, was about 41 percent. 1/ However, the termination of deferral would generally subject CFC income to a tax of 48 percent. Tax avoidance would be more than offset, and in fact, foreign corporate income would generally be taxed at a higher rate than domestic corporate income. T7 The figure of 41 percent does not reflect the base broadening measures contemplated in Table 1. - 79 - ^ ^ When tax avoidance is defined with reference to artificial corporate structures and business arrangements, then the appropriate solution might involve an extension and strengthing of subpart F rather than the general termination of deferral. 1/ (c) Tax simplification. It has been argued that the termination of deferral would lead to the simplification of tax law and administration. Subpart F could be repealed, since all CFC income would be taxed currently. Moreover, there would be somewhat less pressure on arm's-length pricing rules (Section 482), on the non-recognition provisions involving transfers of capital, technology, and other property to foreign corporations (Sections 351 and 367), and on reorganizations involving foreign corporations (Section 367). However, the partial termination of deferral would introduce numerous new complications into the tax code. These complications include the determination of a minimum percentage distribution and the allocation of a deemed distribution between CFCs (in the case of partial termination) , the measurement of a subsidiary earnings and profits and taxable income according to U.S. accounting standards, the extent of consolidation of CFCs, and rules to deal with attempted avoidance through decontrol These complications are discussed in Section 3 of part IV. (d) Investment and financial impact. Based on one economic model, it has been calculated that the termination of y It should be noted that the overall limitation, which permits an averaging of taxes imposed by high-tax and lowthL C ?eferra^ " " ^ " ^ m °re potential for tax avoidance - 80 deferral might, over a period of time, cause U.S. corporations to reduce their foreign assets by as much as $3.4 billion, and increase their domestic assets by $2.2 billion (Table 4). These estimates depend on numerous assumptions, and may represent extreme statements of the investment impact. Other models suggest that U.S. corporations would reduce both their U.S. and foreign investment as a result of the termination of deferral. In general, the estimates do not reflect the possibility of adverse foreign reaction. In addition to its impact on real investment, the termination of deferral might encourage firms to change their means of finance. Some firms might find it advantageous to substitute borrowing for parent firm equity. The extent of such substitution would depend on a variety of considerations, including tax rules adopted by host countries. (e) U.S. tax revenue. The effect of terminating deferral on U.S. revenue depends on several factors. Under the standard assumption of no change in corporate or foreign government behavior, the revenue gain could be $365 million (Table 7). Other assumptions suggest lower revenue gains, or even revenue losses. For example, under the assumptions that all CFC earnings would be actually distributed following the termination of deferral, the U.S. loss could be $375 million (Table 10). - 81 IV. OPTICNS Legislative options on deferral can be grouped into four broad categories: (1) retain the present system; (2) broaden subpart F to include more types of income; (3) partly or completely terminate deferral by requiring that deemed and actual distributions equal some portion of all of CFC earnings; and (4) terminate deferral in the context of repealing domestic tax preferences. Option (3) involves secondary questions as to the extent of consolidation between subsidiaries, and the choice of a per-country or an overall limitation on the foreign tax credit. !• Retain present system. It can be argued that no further legislation is needed on the deferral issue. The Tax Reduction Act of 1975 substantially extended subpart F, and as a result the principal areas of tax abuse have been closed off. Further legislative restrictions could prove counterproductive by accelerating actual distributions, triggering legislative reactions abroad, reducing the profitability and growth of American firms, adding complexity to the Internal Revenue Code and placing administrative demands on the Internal Revenue Service. Moreover, while the present tax system favors foreign - 82 investment in some cases, it favors domestic investment in many other cases. 2. Broaden subpart F. Subpart F could be broadened in several respects, consistent with its objective of reaching foreign income with tax abuse characteristics. (a) The substantial reduction test. Under section 954 (b)(4), a CFC that does not have as one of its significant purposes a substantial reduction of taxes is generally excluded from subpart F.— This exemption underscores the anti-tax avoidance purpose of the statute, but it has been drafted in a manner that limits the application of subpart F. The test is basically whether* the effective tax rate paid by the foreign corporation equals or exceeds 90 percent, or is not less than 5 percentage points lower than, the effective foreign tax rate that would have been paid if the income had not passed through a foreign base company (Regulations 1.954-3(b)(4), example (1)). Certain foreign countries impose low rates of tax, while others exclude certain kinds of income from taxation altogether. Therefore, the CFC can meet the 90 percent or the 5 percentage point test, yet still be paying far less than the U. S. corporate tax rate of 48 percent. Moreover, the test poses substantial administrative difficulties, because it requires 1/ Particular items of income may still be taxed under subpart F if the transaction was structured to avoid taxes. - 83 - J7371 the Internal Revenue Service agent to have an intimate knowledge of third country tax laws. This difficulty could be eliminated in the context of subpart F by recasting the "substantial reduction" test to refer not to alternative foreign tax rates, but to the U. S. corporate tax rate. If the present "substantial reduction" test obstructs the revenue gains projected under subpart F as expanded by the Tax Reduction Act of 1975, then very large amounts of revenue could depend on an appropriate modification, perhaps as much as $100 million. However, this amount is not additional to, but rather a part of, the revenue collections already estimated for subpart F. (b) 50 percent subsidiaries. The present language of subpart F appears to exclude foreign corporations that are owned exactly 50 percent by U, S. shareholders. However, the Tax Courts have found that 50 percent ownership, combined with actual control, will suffice for subpart F purposes. The statute could be strengthened to include foreign subsidiaries owned 50 percent by U. S. shareholders, with a rebuttable presumption of actual control. The revenue consequences of this change are estimated at less than $5 million. (c) Shipping income. The Tax Reduction Act of 1975 included international shipping income under subpart F, to the extent it is not reinvested in shipping operations. However, - 84 - j & the earnings of most shipping companies are likely to come within the reinvestment exclusion. Subpart F could be broadened to include all shipping income, whether or not reinvested. Such a provision should be related to other changes in the taxation of shipping income discussed in the Treasury Paper on the "Tax Treatment of Income from International Shipping," February 1976. The potential revenue gains are estimated at $70 million. (d) "Runaway plants" and tax holiday manufacturing. In 1973, the Treasury proposed that tax haven manufacturing corporations, defined to include "runaway plants" and tax holiday operations, should be taxed currently under provisions similar to subpart F. A runaway plant would be defined as new investment in a controlled foreign corporation which realized more than 25 percent of its gross receipts from the manufacture and sale of products to the United States, and paid a foreign effective tax rate of less than 80 percent of the U. S. corporate tax rate. A tax holiday manufacturing corporation would be defined as any controlled foreign corporation which increased its investment in excess of 20 percent during or in anticipation of a foreign tax incentive. Foreign tax incentives would be broadly defined under regulations prescribed by the Secretary of the Treasury. The tax haven manufacturing proposal would increase revenue by about $25 million. - 85 - & (3) Simplification. Although subpart F was based on the earlier foreign personal holding company statute, no effort was made to combine the two pieces of legislation or enact identical statutory tests to define the controlling group or constructive ownership. As a result, there is some overlap between the two statutes, and a foreign personal holding company may also be subject to subpart F. A foreign per- sonal holding company can. also be a personal holding company, with a penalty tax imposed both on the company and on the shareholder. These statutes could be simplified by taxing foreign personal holding companies within the framework of subpart F, and by establishing a mutually exclusive boundary between personal holding companies and foreign personal holding companies. Simplification and rationalization of the law would probably not provoke an adverse foreign reaction. The revenue effect would be minimal. 3. Partial or complete termination of deferral. Some observers contend that the separate entity system of taxing foreign corporations reduces U. S. tax revenue and encourages foreign investment at the expense of domestic investment. These observers argue that the remedy lies in the partial or complete termination of deferral. Other observers point out that the termination of deferral might produce only short-run revenue gains, and that, y - 86 as an isolated step, it would move the United States further away from a system of capital-export neutrality. Moreover, adverse foreign reaction could be intense, especially from countries such as Israel, Egypt, and Ireland which promote industrial development through tax relief. The complete termination of deferral would clearly replace subpart F, but the partial termination of deferral would not serve the same function, since subpart F provides for current taxation of all CFC income in selected situations. Partial termination legislation would need to be carefully coordinated with existing subpart F to avoid overlapping coverage that could cause very severe administrative problems for taxpayers and the Internal Revenue Service. In any event, partial termination would require very complex legislation. The revenue estimates for the complete termination of deferral under the standard assumption of no behavioral changes range from $365 million to $630 million depending on whether an overall or per-country limitation is used for the foreign tax credit. If allowance is made for behavioral change, the revenue gains would be less, and there might even be a revenue loss of up to $375 million from the termination of deferral. The partial termination of deferral would involve both smaller revenue gains (under the standard assumption) and smaller revenue losses (under the worst case assumption). - 87 The partial or complete termination of deferral involves several choices as to coverage and mechanics. The important choices are outlined in the following paragraphs. (a) Required minimum percentage distribution. The partial termination of deferral would involve a percentage test for the distribution of earnings and profits. To the extent actual distributions do not meet the minimum percentage, earnings would be distributed on a deemed basis. The percentage could be based on after-tax earnings and profits, or on after-tax earnings and profits plus other categories of foreign source income, such as interest, royalties, management fees and branch earnings. The broader the base amount, the easier it is to meet the test, as illustrated by Table 8. (b) Allocation of the deemed distribution between CFCs. The partial termination of deferral would also involve allocation of the deemed distribution between CFCs. This allocation is both to trace the foreign tax credit associated with each deemed distribution and to maintain an inventory of deemed distributions for each CFC. The allocation could be made on a pro rata basis with respect to the undistributed earnings of all CFCs, or the allocation could be made only with respect to the CFCs not meeting the minimum percentage. The allocation rule should be consistent with the consolidation rule. (e) The extent of consolidation. In the case of partial termination, the question arises whether the minimum percentage applies to each CFC individually, or to a U.S. parent corporation1 CFCs grouped on a country, on a worldwide, or on some other basis n the case of complete termination, the extent of consolidation's, also important. The wider - 88 the grouping, the smaller the revenue impact of any given percentage test, as shown in Table 8. reflects two phenomena: This relationship first, some CFCs have losses, and these losses increase the apprent distribution rate of profitable CFCs; second, CFCs with high foreign taxes already tend to distribute a larger percentage of earnings than CFCs with low foreign taxes, and if high-tax CFCs are consolidated with low-tax CFCs, the average creditable foreign tax is increased. There are several possible consolidation alternatives. (i) Individual foreign corporation approach. This approach would employ the present subpart F mechanism of computing the income to be deemed distributed separately for each foreign corporation. There would be no consolidation of foreign corporations either with other foreign corporations owned by the same U. S. parent, or with the U. S. parent itself. Losses and blocked currency already create problems under this system, and these problems would become more important if deferral were eliminated. Under the individual foreign corporation approach, there are two methods for computing the amount of income of a lower-tier subsidiary which is included in the income of the U.S. shareholders: the so- called "hopscotch" method; and the so-called "link-by-link" method. - 89 (aa) Hop-scotch method. This is the mechanism by which subpart F presently attributes the income of a lower-tier CFC to its shareholders. Under this method, the income is attributed directly to the U. S. shareholders, and cannot be offset by any loss incurred by intermediate foreign corporations. Under this method there are problems concerning the source country of a deemed distribution. In addition, if the intermediate corporation is in a country which restricts the repatriation of earnings, there can be blocked currency problems. Compulsory adoption of the overall limitation for the foreign tax credit (as proposed in H.R 10612) would render 1/ almost moot the source problem. However, if the percountry limitation is retained, it would be necessary to establish a source rule for the deemed dividend. Under present law, actual dividends are sourced in the country of incorporation of the subsidiary paying the dividend to the U. S. shareholder. Thus, if lower-tier CFC A distributes dividends to higher-tier CFC B, which is turn distributes dividends to the U. S. parent corporation, the dividends are sourced in country B. The rule more in keeping with the intent of the per-country limitiation would require that dividends be sourced in the country of incorporation of the lower-tier subsidiary which earns the income. 1/ A problem could still arise for a CFC with U. S. source income. - 90 Blocked currency creates a problem under subpart F, and the problem would continue if the hop-scotch method were used more widely. The problem here is the effect on the lower- tier corporation if the intermediate corporation's country of residence restricts distributions so that the lower-tier corporation cannot distribute up the chain of ownership. Thus, the U. S. shareholder might be taxed on income which he could never realize. One solution is to apply the present blocked currency rules as if the country of incorporation of the lower-tier subsidiary restricts the repatriation. (bb) Link-by-link method. The link-by-link method was considered by the Treasury in 1962. It was rejected partly because its complexity was not justified in light of the limited goals of subpart F as then enacted. The question now is whether the complete or partial termination of deferral with its impact on all foreign corporations controlled by U. S. persons, would justify reconsideration of the link-bylink approach. Under the link-by-link method, the retained earnings of a lower-tier subsidiary would be constructively distributed up the chain of ownership. The profits of a lower- tier subsidiary would thus offset the losses of a higher-tier subsidiary in the same chain. However, there would be no offset of losses in the lower-tier by profits in the highertier, nor would there be offsets as between different chains of CFCs owned by the same U. S. parent. - 91 - ^3/ If the per-country limitation of the foreign tax credit is retained and the present income source rules are not changed, the source of the deemed distribution would be the country of incorporation of the first-tier corporation. Again, this result circumvents the purpose of retaining the percountry limitation, and suggests a reconsideration of the source rules. If the link-by-link approach is adopted, the computation of earnings and profits must be correspondingly altered. If the constructive distribution is treated as an actual distribution, the earnings and profits of the lower-tier foreign corporation should be reduced by the amount of the constructive distribution, and the earnings and profits of the foreign corporation next in the chain should be correspondingly increased. This process should continue up the chain to the domestic parent. Thus each controlled foreign corporation would keep two sets of accounts: one set would reflect actual distributions while the other set would reflect deemed distributions for U. S. tax purposes. These two sets of books are presently kept for CFCs subject to subpart F. (ii) Consolidation of foreign operations. Under this method, all foreign corporations within a controlled group would file a consolidated return in a manner similar to that currently available for domestic corporations. The consoli- dated return would presumably reflect only the U. S. parent corporation's share of the earnings and profits of its CFCs. - 92 If the consolidated return shows an overall profit on foreign operations, the U. S. parent corporation would receive a deemed distribution of the foreign profit. If the consolidated return shows an overall loss, the parent might be allowed to claim the loss as a deduction against domestic income, or at least carry over the loss against future foreign profits. The purpose of a rule limiting the deductibility of overall foreign losses would be to protect the U. S. tax base. Which foreign corporations would be allowed (or required) to consolidate? Consolidation should probably be limited to foreign corporations which are members of the same affiliated group, as that term is defined in section 1504(a). However, consideration might be given to lowering the required ownership to 50 percent from 80 percent, so that most controlled foreign corporations would be includable in the consolidated return, or even to 10 percent so that all CFCs would be includable. Consolidation could be required, or it could be provided as an elective alternative to computation of income on an individual foreign corporation basis. If an election is provided, it would seem best to make it binding for future years, revocable only with the consent of the Commissioner. Standards for allowing revocation could be included in the legislative history or in the statute. - 93 Blocked currency would raise problems. 373L If one of the foreign corporations in the affiliated group is prevented by its home country from making a distribution, what is the effect on the group? Should that corporation be excluded from the group, or should it be assumed that the rest of the group will be able to distribute enough to make up the difference? A percentage test might be appropriate so that if the income of the blocked currency corporation is less than a fixed percentage of the income of the group (for example, 10 percent) then that corporation will be consolidated; otherwise it will be excluded. (iii) Consolidation of worldwide operations. Under this approach the controlled group of corporations would file a single U. S. tax return for its worldwide operations rather than separate returns for domestic and foreign activities. Questions concerning corporations to be included, an elective as opposed to a mandatory system, and blocked currency exist here as with the consolidated foreign operations approach. Additional questions arise. Should an electing corporation still be treated as a foreign corporation for purposes of section 367? tial is gone. Arguably not, because most tax avoidance potenOn the other hand, high overall foreign tax rates might make it advantageous to transfer income producing assets from the United States to tax havens. Worldwide consoli- dation clearly raises several difficult issues. 0 (d) The problem of decontrol. The partial or complete termination of deferral could encourage firms to decontrol their existing CFCs and to take minority positions in new joint ventures as a means of avoiding U. S. taxation. If decontrol and minority positions are a matter of concern, the foreign tax credit for deemed paid taxes (Section 902) might be limited to those U. S. shareholders claiming "actual control" of the foreign corporation (alone or acting in concert with other U.S. taxpayers), and thus presumptively subject to current taxation of earnings retained by the foreign corporation. Minority U. S. shareholders in a foreign corporation could thus elect either current taxation coupled with the deemed paid credit, or deferral without the deemed paid credit.—' Under present law, the deemed paid credit is not available for passive portfolio investments, generally defined as investments where U. S. corporate shareholders have less than 10 percent ownership or investments by individuals. The rationale of the deemed paid credit is to avoid double taxation when a U. S. corporation has an active management stake in the foreign investments. An explicit link between "actual 1/ In both alternatives, a credit for direct foreign taxes, for example, withholding taxes on dividends, would still be available under Section 901. - 95 - §(?<f control" and the deemed paid credit would bring the basic purpose of section 902 into sharper focus. The estimated amount of deemed paid foreign tax credit claimed in 1976 for foreign corporations owned less than 50 percent by U. S. shareholders is about $250 million. It is uncertain how much of this amount would be claimed under an "actual control" election, and it is very difficult to predict the potential extent of decontrol following the termination of deferral. 4. Terminate deferral in the context of repealing domestic tax preferences. As Table 1 indicates, the termination of deferral as an isolated measure would move the U. S. tax system further away from a standard of capital-export neutrality for the non-extractive industries.— The partial or complete termination of deferral, by itself, would favor manufacturing and other non-extractive investment in the United States by comparison with investment abroad. If tax neutrality between domestic and foreign investment is the goal, then deferral should be changed only in the context of a broader program. Specifically, the termination of deferral should be accompanied by collateral tax changes. 1/ This is true whether capital-export neutrality is defined by reference to present U.S. taxation of corporate income, or by reference to U. S. taxation of corporate income in the absence of domestic tax preferences. - 96 Certain of the collateral changes would increase tax revenue, namely, elimination of the Western Hemisphere Trade Corporation (+ $20 million), inclusion of less developed country corporations in the gross-up requirements (+ $55 million), and provision of a deduction rather than credit for foreign taxes comparable to state taxes (+ $450 million).Other collateral changes would substantially decrease tax revenues, namely, elimination of restrictions on the foreign tax credit (- $180 million), extension of the investment tax credit to foreign non-extractive investment (- $1,000 million), extension of the asset depreciation range to foreign investment (- $300 million) , extension of the DISC to export goods produced abroad (- $1,000 million). The net decrease in tax revenues from non-extractive industries under a system of capital-export neutrality could 2/ thus reach $1,590 million.— Extensive tax cooperation and negotiation between the United States and foreign governments would be required to achieve a system of capitalexport neutrality. It would not be reasonable for the United States alone to absorb the entire revenue loss. On the other 1/ The first two changes are proposed in H.R 10612. 2/ This figure is calculated in reference to present U. S. taxation of domestic corporate income. The net figure calculated in reference to U. S. taxation of corporation income with no tax preferences would be $2,990 million (Table 1). Both figures assume no change in corporate behavior. St* hand, the United States could not increase its own revenues through the termination of deferral and reasonably expect other countries to undertake all the revenue losing changes required to achieve a system of international tax neutrality. JV7 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE April 9, 1976 TREASURY REFERS COLUMBIA MINT CASE TO FEDERAL TRADE COMMISSION David Macdonald, Treasury Assistant Secretary for Enforcement, Operations and Tariff Affairs, today referred a two-dollar bill advertising promotion by the Columbia Mint, of Washington, D . C , to the Federal Trade Commission. "The Columbia Mint", Macdonald stated, "has run several full-page advertisements in nationally-distributed newspapers over the past two weeks, beginning March 28, advertising the sale of 'official', 'first day issue1, $2 bill philatelic folio collector's items. The items offered by the Columbia Mint are in no way connected with the Department of the Treasury and the Treasury Department neither encourages nor endorses the sale of these items." "Because the Columbia Mint's advertisements state that they are issuing the $2 bill 'through the cooperation of the Treasury Department1 , I have referred this matter to the Federal Trade Commission for their consideration and review of the possibility of misleading advertising." oOo WS-779 FOR RELEASE ON DELIVERY STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE WILLIAM E. SIMON SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY ON MAJOR TAX REVISIONS AND EXTENSION OF EXPIRING TAX CUT PROVISIONS BEFORE THE SENATE FINANCE COMMITTEE WASHINGTON, D.C, TUESDAY, APRIL 13, 1976, 10:00 a.m. Mr. Chairman and members of this distinguished Committee: On March 17, 1976 I presented to this Committee a comprehensive statement on major tax revisions and the extension of expiring tax cut provisions. All of our proposals are fully spelled out in that statement. This morning, I will simply highlight briefly some of the more important aspects of our program, and answer any questions you may have. Fairness of Tax System In my March 17 statement, I indicated that a major issue before you concerns the way to enhance the fairness of the tax system. We are fortunate to have a highly successful tax system which over the years has commanded widespread respect and a high degree of voluntary compliance. We can be sure that Americans will continue to support this system so long as they have confidence that all are paying their fair share and as long as they feel they are getting their moneys' worth. Many people today feel that taxes are being imposed upon them without their consent, and that too many of their fellow taxpayers are escaping their responsibility through dozens of loopholes. We all believe that our tax system should be fair and equitable, that it should be simple, and that it should promote efficient use of our resources. But we cannot move toward these goals if we continue to have a system which permits individuals with high economic incomes to pay little or no tax. Unabated, this practice not only undermines seriously the progressivity of the income tax, but equally important, undermines its perceived fairness. WS-780 -2- 09 In my previous testimony, I urged you to adopt our LAL (Limitation on Artificial Losses) proposal. The House has already done so. We believe that LAL effectively limits the principal tax benefit associated with tax sheltersdeferral of tax liability--by applying the fundamental concept that the income and the expenses of generating that income should be matched. I also referred to the problem of high-income taxpayers who do not pay their fair share of the tax because of sub- ^ stantial exclusions from income. We renewed, in modified form, our 1973 MTI (Minimum Taxable Income) proposal to de$l with this problem. MTI is an alternative tax which will subject taxpayers to progressive income tax rates. I am, of course, aware that over the past few weeks you have received testimony on LAL and MTI. I am generally pleased that many of the witnesses have supported the MTI alternative tax concept as opposed to the present minimum tax. There have also been proposals that would apply an 0 alternative tax such as MTI as the sole vehicle to deal with the dual problem of deferrals of tax liability and exclusions from taxable income. The claim is made that this is simpler than the combination of LAL and MTI. I am not convinced that this is the case, but in any event, this is not the real issue. The real question for you to consider is whether these proposals deal as effectively as our recommendations with the two distinct problems of deferrals and exclusions. If these proposals are not at least as effective as ours, are you willing to say to those millions of Americans who correctly perceive tax shelters to be a tax break for sophisticated and rich taxpayers that we have opted for a less effective remedy because it may be simpler? In this context, we should not lose sight of the fact that an ineffective solution simply means that our income tax is not as fair as it should be and that low- and middleincome taxpayers are bearing a heavier tax burden than would otherwise be possible. We continue to believe that LAL, in combination with MTI, will solve effectively the two distinct problems of deferrals and exclusions which have undermined progressivity of the tax Iand its like perceived In the the area of capital formation, would to fairness. asize again how important it is that we make some Capital Formation g& progress in removing the impediments to the process of investment in our economy. The rapid development of the U.S. economy over the years has resulted from the favorable combination of the Nation's natural resources, our productive labor force, and the efficient application of capital which has emphasized reliance on competitive market forces and profit incentives to stimulate growth and efficiency. The allocation of human and material resources has generally been left to the market rather than to unwanted government controls, although such intervention has unfortunately increased. The resulting decisions about prices and output are not the result of central planning; instead, they reflect the long-term balance between what we want and what can be supplied. The market system has served us well and it remains the key aspect of our productive economy. We must assure that the flow of new capital and its effective use are not hampered by the tax system for in the long-run we shall all be the losers if we do not. Several of the proposals before you are designed to offset the drag on capital formation now built into the tax system. Among the steps which should be taken toward this objective are: -- Make permanent the investment tax credit at its present level of 10 percent, to increase the incentive for enterprise to invest; -- Reduce the top corporation tax rate from 48 to 46 percent and make permanent the other rate and exemption changes effected in 1975 to encourage investment in this sector, and to offset slightly the tax bias against corporate investment; -- Adopt the President's Broadened Stock Ownership Plan to reinforce the objective that all Americans participate in the free enterprise system and thereby strengthen its economic, social and political base of support; -- Adopt the sliding scale treatment for capital gains to increase the rate of capital formation and to reduce the "lock-in" effect which prevents investments from flowing to their most productive uses. -4- 3?) -- Adopt our proposal for the integration of the corporate and personal income taxes to remove fully and permanently the tax bias against corporate investment arising from the double taxation of corporate income. We should not neglect to make progress on integrating corporate and personal income taxes. This is a very fundamental change which directly confronts the distortive effects of the tax system on the financial structure of our corporate sector, which removes fully the bias against corporate investment and which honestly recognizes that the burden of taxes is ultimately borne by people. Let us also catch up with our competitors in the world marketplace by taking the step that most of them have already taken-integration of corporate and personal income taxes. These measures are not designed to produce mere shortrun stimulus. They should themselves be regarded as investments--investments in a prosperous future of higher wages, better jobs, and an economy with the muscle we shall need to do the things we want to do as a Nation. Broadened Stock Ownership Proposal More specifically, we are very enthusiastic about the prospect of adoption of our Broadened Stock Ownership Proposal which I discussed in detail on March 17. By allowing deferral of taxes on certain funds invested in common stocks, we would be encouraging broadened stock ownership by low- and middle-income working Americans and thereby enabling them to demonstrate their faith in the free enterprise system. It is only as we strengthen the public support for our free enterprise system that we can begin to find the much needed sources of capital for our corporate sector. We believe that our proposal will at once engender a greater sense of participation in the free market system by thie large group of lowand middle-income Americans and give them an opportunity to build a reasonable estate for themselves and their heirs. Capital Gains and Losses The sliding scale proposal for the taxation of capital gains and losses which I also discussed on March 17 is designed to promote capital formation and make sure that investments flow to their most productive uses. At the same time, the proposal will reduce the unwarranted taxation of inflationary gains. J& Under our proposal, the amount of capital gain which may be deducted in computing adjusted gross income will increase the longer the asset has been held by a taxpayer. If an asset has been held for less than one year, the gain would be fully taxable; if held between one year and five years, 50 percent of the gain would be taxable. If the asset has been held from five up to 25 years, the percentage of the gain which is taxable will decrease by 1 percentage point for each year that the asset has been held. Thus, if an asset has been held for 25 years only 30 percent of the gain would be taxable. The sliding scale proposal represents a sensible rule ofcthumb to avoid converting the income tax into a capital levy on shifts in investments and, as I mentioned earlier, it will reduce the unwarranted taxation of inflationary gains. As I explained in my March 17 testimony, we have assumed that our proposal will not have an impact on Fiscal 1977 receipts. DISC With respect to DISC, I am pleased to announce that the 1974 Annual Report on DISC has now been completed by Treasury. This morning I have distributed to you copies of the report. In my March 17 statement I discussed the DISC provisions, emphasizing that the Administration supports DISC in its present form and opposes the cutbacks contained in the House Bill. Total U.S. exports have increased dramatically in recent years, from $43 billion in 1971 to $106 billion in 1975, and the U.S. share of the exports of industrialized countries has grown from 18.2 percent to 20.2 percent in this period. DISC has contributed to this growth in U.S. exports, and has helped expand our position in world markets. Treasury estimates suggest that the total DISC effect in the period covered by the Report was an export stimulus of $4.6 billion. Projections indicate that the effect of DISC on exports in 1976 could be as large as $9 billion. The employment associated with these additional exports in 1976 is estimated at as much as 300,000 jobs. These additional exports and jobs come at a time when we are experiencing unutilized economic capacity. The repeal or reduction of the DISC program would adversely affect exports and the associated employment. DISC has encouraged firms to invest in the United States -6- £r3 rather than abroad and we must continue to meet foreign competition. DISC helps U.S. firms achieve this goal. The contributions made by DISC provide persuasive arguments not only for the continuation of DISC, but also for making no changes in DISC at this time. Moreover, it must be remembered that DISC has been in place for only a short time. Many companies have made significant investments in reliance upon it. DISC, like the investment credit, should not be turned on and off, depending on the whim of the moment. We must resist the temptation to adopt stopand-go policies which create a climate of great uncertainty for business planning. Foreign Withholding Finally, I would like to urge you again to eliminate the existing withholding tax provision on foreign investments in U.S. securities. Our present withholding system is counterproductive. It hampers our economy, impedes the competitive position of U.S. financial markets in the international capital markets, denies access to foreign capital markets, favors short-term foreign debt investment, and needlessly complicates our tax law, in order to raise an insignificant amount of revenue. It should be repealed promptly. Elimination of the withholding tax will increase investment by foreigners in the United States. It will also improve the relative attractiveness of long-term securities and reduce the present imbalance favoring short-term securities and bank deposits (which are presently exempt from withholding) Access to foreign funds will permit the United States to continue its role as a capital exporter, including the recycling of funds flowing into and out of the oil producing countries. Further, elimination of the tax will assure our financial markets of maintaining their preeminence in the international _ so equity and other rules relative to source of income. Finally, repeal of the withholding tax will eliminate what has become a complex patchwork of legislative and treaty provisions and thereby simplify one area of the tax law. The basic point is that the many benefits of eliminating the tax outweigh the small revenue loss. - 7 - S r Conclusion This morning, I have merely emphasized the highlights of our tax program. As I mentioned in my March 17 testimony you have before you an extremely challenging agenda. Let us take the steps I have urged upon you in the direction of a better income tax code, but let us not stop there. Let us have these steps represent a part of the process of continuing true tax reform which will take us eventually to a tax system which looks as though someone had constructed it on purpose, a simple progressive tax on a broad base which adequately reflects individual taxpayer's ability to pay. That is the tax break all Americans are waiting for o 0 o Y 3& April 12, 1076 SUMMARY OF THE INVESTIGATION INTO THE HANDLING BY THE INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE OF THE INCOME TAX RETURNS OF SENATOR JOSEPH M. MONTOYA AND RELATED MATTERS In October, 1975, the Inspection Division of the Internal Revenue Service commenced an investigation into allegations that Senator Joseph M. Montoya had received preferential treatment by the Internal Revenue Service in connection with matters pending before the Service, as a result of directives issued by the national office. Following publication of an article in the Washington Post on October 19, 19755 Secretary of the Treasury William E. Simon directed that an inquiry into the allegations contained in the article be conducted under the supervision of the General Counsel of the Treasury independent of the Inspection Division investigation. This is a summary of the report prepared by Richard R. Albrecht, General Counsel of the Treasury, with the assistance of two staff attorneys, and submitted to Secretary Simon. The report documents a series of instances in which our system of taxation appears to have been influenced by fears and concerns over the effect that proposed Internal Revenue Service action might have on an influential elected official. At the time of the actions that were the subject of this investigation, there existed among a number of senior IRS officials a noticeable concern for the potential power that Senator Montoya had over the IRS. This concern stemmed from the Senator's position as Chairman of the Treasury appropriations subcommittee and from the adverse publicity the Service received during oversight hearings chaired by the Senator. It was intensified during 1973 by the Watergate hearings and the publicity about IRS "enemies" lists and the Special Services staff. Some of the actions and decisions by IRS officials may be characterized as reflecting questionable judgment. However, any conclusion that is critical of that judgment can be made only with the benefit of hindsight. Most of the actions that may now be called into question were taken in the good faith belief that they were necessary to protect the IRS from further WS-781 allegations ofthe improper conduct time. that Those actions have administering combined beenwith reasonably tax complex foreseeable system structure to at create atthat the andresults outset. procedures for may not -2- 3*r The investigation upon which the report is based focused on six specific issues, five of which involved alleged preferential treatment accorded Senator Montoya or members of his family by the Internal Revenue Service. The sixth involved the question of improper disclosure of information from the Senator's tax returns by present or former government employees. In each of the five instances there were found examples of deference to Senator Montoya and his potential power over the Internal Revenue Service, in some instances involving a considerable number of IRS employees. Chronologically, the first allegation of preferential treatment involved improper interference by officials of the IRS national office with attempts by the Albuquerque district office to collect delinquent taxes from two taxpayers located in Senator Montoya?s home state. The report reached the following conclusions based upon the investigation of this issue Following an inquiry by Senator Montoya, the Albuquerque District Director concluded, and reported to the Senator, that the seizure of a dry-cleaning business for unpaid withholding taxes was proper and should not be changed. About ten days later, after contacts with IRS officials in the Southwest Region by the Deputy Commissioner, who was scheduled to testify before Senator Montoya in a few days, the seized business was released. Further, after a subsequent discussion between regional officials and the Deputy Commissioner, action on the tax delinquency of another taxpayer in New Mexico was postponed. It appears that the release from seizure and the postponement of proceedings were directed by the Deputy Commissioner. Although the then Deputy Commissioner does not acknowledge issuing such an order, the Acting Regional Commissioner and the Albuquerque District Director reasonably interpreted his instructions as requiring the release and postponement. -3- s& Although Senator Montoya expressed the opinion to the District Director that the seizure was a mistake, the orders for its release were not the result of direct action by the Senator, but rather the result of unfavorable publicity combined with the pending appearance of IRS officials before a subcommittee chaired by Senator Montoya. At no time did the District Director or anyone else affected by the orders to release the seizure report the fact to the Inspection Division of the IRS, although established procedures required the reporting of any improper order. The second matter investigated concerned the alleged twoyear delay by national office officials of an attempt by the Albuquerque district to audit certain of the Senator's tax returns. The report reached the following conclusions based upon the investigation of this issue: The Albuquerque District Director wanted to pursue an Intelligence Division investigation of Senator Montoya in mid-1973. The Commissioner and Deputy Commissioner concluded the Intelligence Division investigation should not go forward at that time and issued instructions to that effect. Their decision was based in part on a concern that the IRS not undertake an investigation that would appear to be motivated by a desire to "punish" Senator Montoya as an "enemy" of the IRS or of the administration. There was some justification for such a concern, based on Senator Montoya!s oversight hearings, his membership on the Watergate Committee, current publicity about "enemies" lists and other accusations against the IRS, as well as the Albuquerque District Director's previous expressions of dislike for the Senator. There also existed noticeable concern among many senior officials of the IRS for any reaction the Senator might have, as a member of the IRS appropriations committee, to any IRS inquiry or investigation into his income taxes. Although the Intelligence Division investigation was stopped because of the above concerns on the part of national officials, and this course of action was ^ accepted by the region and district because of an inadequate development of evidence, no routine audit was commenced in its place. Senior officials of the IRS were hopeful that the Senator's 1972 return would be selected by computer for audit review, thus providing a vehicle for initiating an audit. Actions taken with an eye to speeding up the possible selection of the Senator's 1972 return for audit had the opposite effect and virtually assured that the return would not be selected for audit. Due to an unusual sequence of events, many of them related to technical IRS procedures for dealing with tax returns and selecting them for audit, the return was never processed through the normal audit selection procedure. Subsequent reviews of whether the Senator's returns were improperly by-passed by the audit process did not second-guess the initial decision but considered whether an audit should have been initiated at that later time. There are legitimate audit issues on at least two of the Senator's returns that should be reviewed. No stigma should be attached to such a review since the purpose of an audit is to review and verify the information submitted by a taxpayer on his return. The Senator was unaware of any proposed or threatened audit or investigation of his tax returns, and none of the actions of the IRS resulted from direct action by the Senator. Although IRS procedures called for reporting of any improper interference with a tax matter, and several individuals believed the investigation into the Senator's taxes was being improperly thwarted, none of them reported that fact to the IRS Inspection Division. The third series of events investigated concerned alleged improper interference by national office officials with district and regional intelligence gathering activities involving the Senator and members of his family. The report reached the following conclusions based upon the investigation of this issue -5- Jif Officers in the national office denied a request for surveillance of a meeting between an IRS confidential informant and members of the Montoya family because they believed the facts did not justify the method of surveillance requested. They also erroneously believed that the Commissioner had ordered that no action be taken with regard to the Senator without the Commissioner's prior approval, and believed this case did not warrant the Commissioner's attention. Based upon the mistaken belief of certain officials that they had instructions to that effect, two packages of information, possibly relevant to any review of the Senator's returns, were withheld from the Albuquerque district, at least temporarily. This was done without the knowledge of either the Commissioner or Senator Montoya. The fourth event investigated concerned the allegation that the Albuquerque District Director was transferred due to his actions in dealing with matters related to Senator Montoya. The report reached the following conclusions based upon the investigation of this issue: There was an attempt by some IRS official or officials to arrange the transfer of the Albuquerque District Director because of his actions with respect to Senator Montoya's tax returns, but their actions did not result in his transfer. The District Director's transfer, which occurred almost two years later, was probably based upon and justified by the personnel and managerial problems which existed then and which had long plagued the Albuquerque office. Although the Senator knew of the managerial problems in the Albuquerque office and of an IRS review of these problems, he did not request the District Director's transfer. The fifth allegation involved interference by regional officials with the commencement of an Intelligence Division investigation by the Albuquerque district of a member of Senator Montoya's There family. The report reached the following conclusions existed a strong difference of opinion between basedofficials upon the in investigation of this issue: the Southwest regional office and Albuquerque $S1 -6- district office as to the proper procedure for initiating an inquiry into the tax filing status of a member of Senator Montoya's family. Regional officials eventually directed the district to use the procedures advocated by the region, in part because of concern for embarrassing the IRS and offending Senator Montoya. Although several officials in the district believed the region's actions were improper, none reported that fact to the Inspection Division as required by IRS procedures. Senator Montoya was unaware of any proposed audit or investigation of one of his family members, and none of the actions taken by IRS officials resulted from direct actions of the Senator. The final allegation covered by the report concerned the improper disclosure to the Washington Post of income tax information from Senator Montoya's tax returns by present or former Internal Revenue Service officers or employees. The report reached the following conclusions based upon the investigation of this issue: The Washington Post story included information of the nature contained on tax returns. Since such information is not readily available from other sources, it is reasonable to assume there was an improper disclosure of information from Senator Montoya's tax returns. Although the investigation is continuing, it has not been possible to ascertain the persons responsible for the disclosure. * * The report concludes with comments on the results of this investigation and recommendations for action. It is imperative that the Internal Revenue Service operate in an even-handed manner, treating all taxpayers alike regardless of their station in life. It is equally important to our self-assessment tax system that the public perception of our tax system is that all will be treated alike. The IRS must not appear to show either favoritism or antagonism towards any taxpayer or group of taxpayers. -7- J3d In order for the image of the IRS to be maintained on this plane, it is doubly important that the tax treatment of public figures be above reproach. The allegations in recent years that the IRS was used to reward friends and punish enemies certainly tarnished that image. It is possible that the adverse publicity resulting from those allegations has prompted some IRS officials to be overly cautious out of a genuine and wellmotivated desire and concern for the Service's reputation for fair play. It would be unfortunate, however, if it appeared to the public that people in high places could receive favorable treatment because of their position or by using their influence over the IRS. It is not only direct or conscious action that can result in uneven treatment or the appearance of a double standard. However, the Internal Revenue Service cannot tolerate any actions that result in or appear to result in anything less than objective, even-handed treatment, regardless of whether the action was intentional or unintentional. The IRS does have procedures and systems to deal with the risks discussed above. Proper management supervision and internal controls should avoid most instances of harassment of a taxpayer by the Service. Any IRS employee who is told to do something he considers improper is under orders to report that fact to the Inspection Division. The Inspection Division is independent of the management chain of command—except at the very top—and an employee's complaint should not result in any jeopardy of his job or prospects for advancement. Investigations by the Inspection Division have effectively policed the conduct of IRS employees in prior cases. But, in this instance, the system did not work properly. Perhaps it failed because many of the decisions were made by top management at the national office—an unusual place for decisions to be made involving the conduct of an individual tax case. The involvement of high officials may have deterred some employees from reporting to Inspection. Participation by the Commissioner may have had a particularly deterring effect because the Assistant Commissioner (Inspection) reports to the Commissioner. But it is just this situation—involvement of senior officials—that is likely to occur when an important public figure is involved. Therefore, we recommend that consideration be given to the adoption of new techniques or systems—as well as developing a greater awareness of the present systems—to overcome the weaknesses demonstrated by this report. IVc spec J I'lca I ly ri.voimiuMid the following: 1. A review should be made of the organization and procedures for reporting and investigating allegations of misconduct by supervisory officials in the IRS. Such a study may be expanded to include a review of such procedures throughout the Treasury Department. 2. In the meantime, current policy should be well publicized within the IRS to encourage employees to report immediately any attempts to influence or interfere with a pending audit, investigation or review. 3. Consideration should be given to the feasibility of adopting a policy of automatic audits of all elected Federal officials and Presidential appointees periodically if they have not been selected for audit by other means. This subject should be discussed with the Joint Committee on Internal Revenue Taxation. 4. Efforts should be made to educate the public concerning the fact that an IRS audit is principally an effort to verify information submitted on a taxpayer's return, and that no stigma should be attached to being selected for audit. 5. Senator Montoya's personal income tax returns for all open years should be promptly reviewed by the IRS for audit potential. All information concerning the Senator the IRS has in its possession, from whatever source derived, should be made available to the persons in charge of the review. oOo STATEMENT BY THE HONORABLE WILLIAM E. SIMON, SECRETARY OF TREASURY ON THE RELEASE OF A JUSTICE DEPARTMENT INVESTIGATION OF IRS COMMISSIONER DONALD C ALEXANDER Secretary of the Treasury. William E. Simon today expressed pleasure at the Attorney General's announcement that the Justice Department investigation has cleared Internal Revenue Service Commissioner Donald C Alexander of any wrongdoing. Secretary Simon said he was tremendously pleased that, after an intensive investigation by the FBI and Justice Department attorneys, they were able to conclude that there was no evidence to support any of the allegations of improper conduct by the Commissioner. Simon noted that, although the charges turned out to be unfounded, he believed it was important that they were thoroughly investigated in order to maintain public confidence in government officials and institutions. Secretary Simon reaffirmed his prior expressions of confidence in the honesty and integrity of Commissioner Alexander and described Alexander as a dedicated, capable public servant. Secretary Simon also released today a summary of the investigation conducted by the Treasury Department into the handling by the Internal Revenue Service of the income tax returns of Senator Joseph M. Montoya of New Mexico and related matters. The Secretary noted that some of the actions and decisions by IRS officials described in that report appear to have involved questionable judgment. He pointed out, however, that any conclusions critical of that judgment can now be made only with the benefit of hindsight, and it is clear that the very actions that might now be questioned were taken at that time in the good faith desire to avoid further allegations of improper conduct by the IRS. Simon also noted that the investigation produced no evidence that Senator Montoya at any time sought favored treatment from the IRS, and none of the matters reported resulted from direct action by the Senator. The Treasury investigation report made a number of recommendations to the Secretary. Simon indicated that all of those Recommendations have been accepted, and steps are being taken to implement them. WS-782 J^-3 - 2 Secretary Simon stated that he believes that American taxpayers are entitled to a tax administration system that is not only efficient and effective, but also has the highest integrity. He stated that he and Commissioner Alexander would continue to work to provide a tax system deserving of the public's confidence. 0O0 ASURY partmentofth INGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 964-2041 J** FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE April 12, 1976 RESULTS OF TREASURY*S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $2.7 billion of 13-week Treasury bills and for $3.4 billion of 26-week treasury bills, both series to be issued on April 15, 1976, were opened at the Federal Reserve Banks today. The details are as follows: 26-week bills maturing October 14, 1976 RANGE OF ACCEPTED 13-week bills COMPETITIVE BIDS: maturing July 15,- 1976 Price High Low Average Discount Rate 98.786 a/4.803% 98.777 4.838% 98.779 4.830% Investment Rate 1/ Price Discount Rate Investment Rate 1/ 4.93% 4.97% 4.96% 97.449 97.432 97.438 5.046% 5.080% 5.068% 5.25% 5.29% 5.27% a/ Excepting 1 tender of $100,000 Tenders at the low price for the 13-week bills were allotted 19%. Tenders at the low price for the 26-week bills were allotted 5%. TOTAL TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS: District Received Boston 55,665,000 $ New York ,004,490,000 Philadelphia 48,170,000 Cleveland 43,925,000 Richmond 53,975,000 Atlanta 35,440,000 Chicago 343,670,000 St. Louis 63,745,000 Minneapolis 40,605,000 Kansas City 61,915,000 Dallas 35,395,000 San Francisco 457,830,000 T0TALS$6,244,825,000 Accepted $ 22,260,000 2,296,825,000 46,905,000 39,255,000 22,455,000 31,450,000 59,085,000 30,430,000 10,365,000 43,015,000 24,795,000 77,230,000 Received Accepted $ 38,480,000 5,367,135,000 94,745,000 60,055,000 49,890,000 30,955,000 181,115,000 67,500,000 58,400,000 30,475,000 52,835,000 285,365,000 $ 11,480,000 3,086,235,000 10,995,000 48,465,000 13,540,000 21,455,000 57,215,000 40,500,000 25,400,000 22,275,000 14,835,000 48,725,000 $2,704,070,000 b/ $6,316,950,000 $3,401,120,000 c/ V Includes $411,510,000 noncompetitive tenders from the public. = Includes $225,095,000 noncompetitive tenders from the public. y Equivalent coupon-issue yield. WS-783 NGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 964-2041 Scr FOR RELEASE U P O N D E L I V E R Y STATEMENT BY THE HONORABLE GERALD L. PARSKY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SENATE COMMITTEE ON BANKING, HOUSING AND URBAN AFFAIRS WASHINGTON, D.C. WEDNESDAY, APRIL 14, 1976, AT 10:00 A.M. Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I am pleased to be here today to discuss the President's proposal for an Energy Independence Authority (EIA). This initiative should be seen as part of the President's comprehensive energy policy -- a policy that is aimed at removing our country's excessive dependence on others for our energy. Specifically, the President has set as our goals: -- In the near-term, 1975-77, halt our growing import dependence by reducing oil imports by 2 million barrels per day (MMB/D) before the end of 1977. -- In the mid-term, 1975-85, attain energy independence by achieving invulnerability to oil import disruption; this means a 1985 import range of 3-5 MMB/D, replaceable by stored supply and emergency measures. WS-784 "2 " 3*6 In the long-term, beyond 1985, mobilize U.S. technology and resources to supply a significant share of the Free World's energy needs. To achieve these objectives we cannot rely on government alone. We must, in large part, depend on our private sector for the large capital investment necessary to develop energy supplies. The task of mobilizing the needed private capital would be very challenging under the best of circumstances. However, the government has compounded the difficulties through its regulation and control of the energy industry; and for a variety of reasons, the private sector is having difficulty financing certain types of important energy projects. Most of these difficulties could be overcome through timely and innovative regulatory actions and through removal of other impediments to the development of oil, coal and gas and the growth of nuclear power. The fact that we must face, however, is that these needed regulatory actions and policy decisions will be too slow in evolving. The President has determined that we can't wait and, accordingly, has proposed the EIA in order to ensure the timely development of important sectors of our energy industry. If EIA is viewed as a substitute for taking the needed regulatory reforms, or if it is seen as a substitute for the private sector, its purpose will have been defeated and it will be counterproductive. If, however, it serves as a temporary bridge to the time when regulatory impediments are removed and evolves as a supplement to the private sector, then it can play an important role in bringing a sensible energy policy to this country. - 3In my testimony today, I will concentrate on the financial considerations which led to the EIA proposal and some of the more important consequences of EIA operations. In particular, I would like to discuss with you (1) the expected capital requirements of our energy industry, (2) the reasons why many important energy projects may not be financed by the private sector, and (3) the capital market impacts of EIA. Energy, Industry Capital Requirements A number of studies have been made concerning the capital requirements of the energy industry. In most cases1these studies have analyzed the requirements based on several assumed scenarios, and the resulting estimates of the overall levels of capital requirements for the energy sector for 1975-85 produced by these studies range from about $480 billion to about $680 billion in 1975 dollars. A $580 billion figure would seem reasonable to us. In order to assess the relative size of this figure, it should be compared with estimated business spending on new plant and equipment of roughly $2,000 trillion in 1975 dollars over the,1975-85 period. When viewed in this light, the $580 billion energy investment figure would constitute roughly 30 percent of estimated- business fixed investment over the period, which would be well within the range of historical - 4experience. Over the 1965-74 period, for example, energy investments as a percentage of total business fixed investment averaged 29% and ranged from 24% to 33%. Despite the fact that capital needs for energy are not out of proportion to historical trends, an important concern is the extent to which private investors will be willing tn finance the necessary investment in energy. Historically, the energy sector financed a relatively small percentage of its investment from funds raised externally. For example, it is estimated that during the early 1960fs about 25% of fossil fuel investment was financed externally while the investor owned electric utilities financed about 35% of their capital needs this way. However, over the past decade the energy sector and business in general has tended to rely more and more on external financing, especially debt.. During the late 60's and early 70's the fossil fuel industry financed roughly 30-40% of its requirements externally; and the level of external financing for investor owned utilities ranged from 50-70%. The result has been that the energy sector has taken an increasing share of total funds supplied by the private capital market. Over the 1961-65 period the energy industry's share of the total amount 6f funds raised by business in U.S. capital markets averaged 18 percent. The energy sector's share rose to 21 percent for the 1966-70 period and then to. 28 percent in 1975, a year when other capital market demands were depressed. Estimates for the 1975-85 period suggest the U.S. capital market will provide some $1.1 trillion (in 1975 dollars) to the business sector and that the energy industry will require on average 25% of these funds. We believe that the capital market will have the capacity to provide this level of funding to the energy industry. However, given the current uncertainties and regulatory climate, we do not believe that all of the necessary funds will actually flow to the energy sector in the needed amounts. Energy projects will have to compete with projects from other sectors; and the capital will normally flow to the most economically attractive projects--that is, where it can be most profitably employed in terms of private market criteria. Most of the needed conventional energy sector investments would be able to attract the necessary financing from private sources without Federal financial assistance such as that contemplated by EIA. There are, however, some types of projects which, for various reasons, are less likely to be able to attract funds from the private markets during the next 10 years without some form of government assistance. It's for this very reason that the President decided to propose EIA. To more fully appreciate 0 - 6the need for EIA, I would like to look briefly at some of the reasons why the private sector may not finance such projects. Reasons Why The Private Market May Not Finance Certain Types of Energy Projects There is no single all pervasive reason why certain types of energy development projects are not being financed in the private markets. In most cases where Federal assistance may be required, there is a combination of factors which create uncertainty in the minds of potential investors and prevent them from committing funds without some form of Federal participation. (1) The most* important of these reasons are the following: Some energy projects included in our national energy program are marginal and, in some cases, not economic at current market prices. For example, synthetic fuel plants are at best only marginally economic at current prices; and because of uncertainty over future world oil prices and government regulation, most synthetic fuel projects are not attractive to private investors. Federal financial assistance will be needed if we are to accelerate the commercialization of synfuels and other promising emerging energy technologies. which is necessary to improve the financial viability of -7- J?/ certain segments of our energy industry and to provide requisite assurances to potential investors. As a prime example of this regulatory neglect, I would cite the inadequate rate increases granted to electric utilities by • , • ••> . •> state commissions which have resulted in straining the financial condition of these utilities and in the deferral or cancellation of large amounts of new generating capacity. Almost half of the energy sector's projected capital requirements in the 1975-85 period are in the electric utility sector. Electric utilities are faced with the need to raise more capital than the oil companies over this period, but will have less than half the revenue base of these companies. While recent regulatory actions have resulted in some improvement in the financial situation of electric utilities, these companies can be expected to face future financial difficulties unless additional action is taken to provide for adequate rates and for a stronger cash flow. Without innovative regulatory actions such as including construction work-in-progress in the rate base, we may continue to have periods during which the financial condition of the electric utilities retards the undertaking of needed investment. In the natural gas industry, if private financing is to be arranged for certain needed major projects, deregulation .of new gas prices and still other types of innovative - 8regulatory actions may be needed. These include approval of "all events full cost of service" tariffs which pass some of a project's risk to gas consumers and, possibly, consumer surcharges, which could be used to help finance exploration and development of new gas supplies. Lastly, decontrol of crude oil prices would substantially improve the ability of the petroleum industry to finance energy projects and would also provide needed incentives for conservation and for the development of new supplies. As you know we are phasing such controls out over a 40 month period. The President has made it clear that we should do whatever we can to assure decontrol takes place as rapidly as possible. We must all make sure that the 40 month program will be fully implemented so that we can once and for all do away with that set of government regulations which encourages wasteful consumption of oil and discourages needed investment that will result in additional supplies. (3) Some energy projects have special risks which the private market may not be willing to bear without innovative regulatory devices and/or some form of government assistance. Examples of these tynes of projects are those involving the commercialization of technologies untested in the private market. The technological risk is often compounded by regulatory uncertainty^, and private investors may not be will 373 to bear these risks without Federal assistance. In many cases, these special risks are compounded by long construction lead times which also make investors reluctant to commit funds. Synthetic fuel plants, for example, have a lead time of at least five years; and the typical nuclear power plant has a 10 year lead time. Basic Federal Government and Regulatory Actions to Assure Adequate Energy Investments The basic long run solution is to move forward as rapidly as possible with policy changes and regulatory reforms which will strengthen the ability of private firms to attract needed capital. " For example, decontrol of energy prices would materially assist in financing of energy projects by improving cash flow and providing needed incentives to marginal projects. In the tax*area, there are a number of measures which the President has proposed which would facilitate capital formation in general or would improve in particular the financial strength of the electric utilities industry. We also need to encourage the-private sector to adopt innovative approaches to ^arranging'the financing of needed major energy projects. - 10 These kinds of actions must be taken. The problem, however, is that many of these will take time, and we simply can't wait. As the President has repeatedly emphasized our dependence is growing and we must do whatever we can now to reverse this trend. Therefore, the President has proposed the Energy Independence Authority as a temporary measure which will assist the energy sector over the next 10 years in drawing^capital to needed energy projects which might not otherwise obtain financing from the private capital markets. The Scope of the EIA As we evaluate the EIA, I think it is important to focus on precisely what EIA is designed to do and, as importantly, what it will not do. EIA is not intended to provide government assistance to all energy projects and it is not meant to substitute the government for the private sector, which will continue to provide the bulk of the funds for our energy development. It is a supplement to the private market and aimed essentially at some of the critical bottlenecks in the energy finance field which may not be overcome in a reasonable time period by the private sector without Federal assistance. The Energy Independence Authority is designed to provide up to $100 billion of financial assistance to energy projects which: -n (1) 37? Will contribute significantly to energy independence, and (2) Would not otherwise be undertaken by the private sector without governmental financial assistance. The EIA would have a limited life of ten (10) years (subject to a single three-year Presidential extension). The financial outlays and commitments of the EIA are intended to be recovered by the government and will be used in conjunction with private sector financing to the maximum possible extent. The legislation requires EIA to use loans and loan guarantees to the maximum extent practical; but EIA is also permitted to provide guarantees of price, purchase and leaseback facili- ties, and purchase convertible and equity securities. Grants in aid would be excluded. The projects that could be supported by the EIA range across the full spectrum of the energy field and include emerging energy technologies, energy supply infrastructure, major conventional energy projects and emerging energy conservation technologies. In addition, through the EIA legislation, the Federal Energy Administration would be empowered to certify projects as being of critical importance to achieving national energy goals. The EIA would establish new procedures for coordinating and expediting Federal regulatory proceedings that affect 3K - 12 energy projects and require sound and expedited regulatory responses from regulatory Commissions having authority over EIA-financed utility projects. The Energy Independence Authority will be, in short, a Federal undertaking of large scope and magnitude and result in substantial Federal involvement in financing certain types of energy projects. Some would argue that the Federal Government should not be so involved. I would agree if I felt that the needed regulatory changes would take place in a timely fashion. However, we have not seen evidence that this will happen and because of the overriding national importance of meeting our energy policy objectives in a timely manner, some Federal involvement is necessary. In 1973, we saw what could happen to us because of our heavy reliance on foreign energy sources. That experience, coupled with the continuing control that others exert over the price of oil, has resulted in a determination to reduce our reliance on insecure supplies which create an unacceptable danger to our economic prosperity and our national security. In order for this goal to be achieved, we must increase domestic energy supplies, diversify sources of imports, create strategic stockpiles, and reduce the excessive demand for energy. EIA will provide critical assistance in meeting these objectives. $77 - 13 However, the EIA legislation should not be considered as a substitute for the needed regulatory and energy policy actions which,over the long run,are essential to achieving our energy objectives. This is not the intention of the EIA proposal, and we must do everything we can to assure that it will not happen. In this regard, I think that the Committee should pay special attention to those provisions of the proposed legislation which are intended to encourage and facilitate needed regulatory reform. Specifically, Section 304(c) of the Act requires, as a condition of assistance to a regulated utility, sound and expedited regulatory response from state regulatory commissions. For example, the legis- lation requires that the relevant regulatory commission agree with the EIA and the regulated firm to a rate covenant that assures adequate earnings to protect EIA's investment. In addition, Title VI of the legislation provides a procedure to expedite Federal regulatory decisions with respect to energy projects. By reducing the time needed for regulatory action, the legislation would help remove some of the regulatory uncertainty which prevents private capital from flowing to many energy projects. -14 - J;/ Impact on the Capital Markets I would now like to turn to an assessment of the impact that EIA assistance will have on our capital markets. In providing financial assistance to the energy sector through the EIA, we believe that every effort should be made to minimize the cost of the EIA program to the general taxpayer, and to maximize the efficiency of this program. Minimizing the level of financial support requires flexibility in the forms of support that can be provided. In addition, the exact form of the most appropriate financial assistance will vary from situation to situation depending on the technology, the regulatory environment, the nature of the companies involved, and competitive market considerations. Accordingly, we believe that it is desirable to allow EIA to have a broad range of methods for providing financial assistance. Even with such flexibility, concern has been expressed about the impact of EIA on the capital markets. I believe that we must face the fact that there may be considerable market impact. The central question is whether the urgent need for energy development outweighs any adverse capital market impact. Any type of Federal financial assistance which results in projects which would not have otherwise been undertaken will lead to some redirection of resources within the capital markets. This is as true for EIA as for any other government program. If EIA is to be effective in 377 - 15 helping to solve our energy dependence problems, the EIA will have to divert capital from other areas of our economy into the energy sector. Moreover, because the financial incentives provided by EIA will have little or no effect on the overall supply of capital, EIA loans or loan guarantees will increase the demand for capital and tend to raise both private and government borrowing costs. This is also true of other government lending and loan guarantee programs. There is nothing unique about the EIA program in this respect. In this regard, the net annual flow of funds in the U.S. credit markets is expected to be about $239 billion in fiscal year 1976. Of this amount, $137 billion, or 57 percent, will be required to finance the federal budget deficit and net borrowings for off-budget federal programs, leaving only $102 billion to finance the private sector. Further, total government borrowings this fiscal year will have an even greater impact on the long-term securities markets. We expect that such borrowing will absorb 82 percent of funds available in the long-term securities market. The funding of the EIA would add to the already large government presence in the capital markets and have an important impact on both the overall allocation of credit and the financing costs of both government and private borrowers. We must, however, remember that some redirection of capital flows is the intended effect of EIA and an inevitable consequence if we a_re to assure priority to energy development. Furthermore, the EIA assistance will be spread over a relatively long time period. The EIA would provide an average of $10 billion per year in the late seventies through the mid 1980's, with the largest part of such assistance likely to be provided in the period from 1980-1986 when the overall economy will have grown by 25-30%. This would represent roughly 13% of the projected yearly energy investments of $70-80 billion and roughly one-third of the external finance raised for energy sector investments during that period. The precise nature of EIA's impact on interest rates and the allocation of capital is impossible to predict with any certainty. The aggregate size and the precise mix of the demand for capital will be influenced by the size of federal deficits, government fiscal and monetary policy, the rate of inflation, the strength of and duration of our economic recovery, the financing needs of the private sector and of state and local governments. Any one of these factors could have a substantially greater effect on capital markets than EIA activity. In addition, the bill contains a number of provisions designed to minimize the impact of EIA operations on the capital markets. First, Section 303 of the bill requires in - 17 - ^ the EIA to seek the maximum amount of financing from nonEIA sources in connection with any project which EIA undertakes. Second, Section 306 requires the concurrence of the Secretary of the Treasury as to the timing and substantial terms and conditions of each security issue backed by the Federal Government. This provision is, in my view, an absolutely essential part of the EIA proposal in that it not only helps minimize the impact on the capital markets but reduces the effects of EIA activities on government borrowing costs. Third, Section 314 of the proposed legislation contemplates an advisory panel which would review the effects of EIA financial activities on the functioning of the capital markets, including the effects on the volume and distribution of capital flows to and within the energy development sector of the economy. Such a panel could keep continual watch on the effect of EIA activities on our capital markets and ensure that the impact was minimized. Fourth, Section 801 of the proposed legislation gives the members of the Energy Resources Council an opportunity to comment on any financial assistance granted by EIA. This would give the Secretary of the Treasury and other members of the ERC concerned with the financial implications of the program an opportunity to give their advice on the capital market impacts of EIA assistance to any given project. - 18 Cost of the EIA Program to the Taxpayer The fact that EIA is designed to provide assistance to projects which are too risky for the private sector to undertake has led many to conclude that EIA will lose billions of dollars for the U.S. taxpayers. This will not be the case. The mere fact that a project involves risks greater than those which the private sector is willing to assume does not mean that the project will necessarily lose money. Many inherently sound projects are not financed by the private sector because of regulatory delays and uncertainty, or the long lead times of certain energy projects. EIA assistance in such cases does not mean that EIA would be financing a "losing project." In structuring this authority, we have tried to provide safeguards so that there will be no cost to the taxpayer from EIA operations. As you know, EIA is designed to be self liquidating. The loans it makes are expected to be repaid, appropriate guarantee fees will be changed, and EIA is expected to pay a return to the Treasury on its equity capital. It is, of course, possible that EIA might sustain losses -- particularly in its programs to encourage new energy technologies. However, the legislation has built-in special provisions to limit certain types of riskier financial assistance. Specifically, Section 308 provides that high - 19 - 373 risk loans, direct investments, product price guarantees or other direct financial assistance may not be provided if reserves established to meet contingent liabilities created in connection with such assistance exceed the sum of EIA's paid-in capital, earned surplus and gains on disposition of property. In such a case, the maximum loss to the taxpayer would be the initial equity contribution, unless Congress provided further equity capital. Conclusion In conclusion, it is clear that EIA operations will impact on our capital markets. It is also clear that EIA will result in the reallocation of capital toward the energy industry. However, the proposed legislation contains a number of provisions to minimize adverse market effects. Furthermore, inherent in the EIA proposal is the belief that some reallocation or diversion of capital is needed if we are going to achieve our energy goals. Also central to the proposal is the belief that EIA is not a substitute for market solutions and regulatory reform but a temporary supplement to the private market. It is with these two objectives in mind that we are calling for the creation of EIA. jvy April 13, 1976 FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $5,900,000,000 , or thereabouts, to be issued April 22, 1976, as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) in the amount of $2,500,000,000, or thereabouts, representing an additional amount of bills dated January 22, 1976, and to mature July 22, 1976 (CUSIP No. 912793 ZZ 2), originally issued in the amount of $3,392,765,000, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills, for $3,400,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated April 22, 1976, and to mature October 21, 1976 (CUSIP No. 912793 B6 2). The bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing April 22, 1976, outstanding in the amount of $ 10,608,010,000, of which Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks, for themselves and as agents of foreign and international monetary authorities, presently hold $3,081,580,000. These accounts may exchange bills they hold for the bills now being offered at the average prices of accepted tenders. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form in denominations of $10,000, $15,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value), and in book-entry form to designated bidders. Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Mondav, April 19. 1976. Tenders will not be received at the Department of the Treasury, Washington. Each tender must be for a minimum of $10,000. multiples of $5,000. Tenders over $10,000 must be in In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e.g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government WS-785 (OVER) -2- M securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positional with respect to Government securities and borrowings thereon may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting competitive tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500,000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on April 22, 1976, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing April 22, 1976. ment. Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treat- Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Under Sections 454(b) and 1221(5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and the bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder must include in his Federal income tax return, as ordinary gain or loss, the difference between the price paid for the bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made. Department of the Treasury Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice, prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. oOo 3ft> BIOGRAPHICAL NOTES ROBERT A. GERARD ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY CAPITAL MARKETS AND DEBT MANAGEMENT Robert A. Gerard signed the oath of office as Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Capital Markets and Debt Management on April 14, 1976. Nominated to the newly established Treasury post by President Ford on March 19, his appointment was confirmed by the Senate on April 13. Mr. Gerard joined Treasury in December 1974, as the first Director of the new Office of Capital Markets Policy. He was appointed Deputy Assistant Secretary for Financial Resources Policy in September 1975, continuing in that position until becoming Assistant Secretary. Earlier, 1970-1974, Mr. Gerard specialized in banking and securities law as an Associate with the Washington firm of Wilmer, Cutler & Pickering. From 1969 to 1970, he was Law Clerk to Judge Carl McGowan of the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit. He is a graduate, magna cum laude, of Columbia University Law School, 1969, and cum laude, of Harvard College, 1966, and a member of the Bar Association of the District of Columbia. At Columbia he was Notes & Comments Editor of the Law Review, and a Harlan Fiske Stone Scholar. As Assistant Secretary, Mr. Gerard is responsible for all domestic financial market matters. He serves as principal advisor to the Secretary, Deputy Secretary, and Under Secretary for Monetary Affairs on debt management, federal financing, the financing of non-federal sectors of the economy, and general capital markets policy. In addition, Mr. Gerard oversees policy and control of Treasury operations in relation to the Federal Financing Bank. He is directly responsible for Treasury functions under the New York City Seasonal Financing Act of 1975 and for overall policies relating to state and municipal finance and capital markets. WS-786 - 2 His other responsibilities include policy direction and control over staff work on the substance of proposed legislation on regulation, lending, investment, and deposit powers of private financial institutions, the operations of other private financial intermediaries and analysis of activity in all financial markets. Also, his office is responsible for development of legislative and administrative principles and standards for federal credit activities, working closely with federal credit agencies in the evaluation and design of new credit programs and legislation. Born October 19, 1944 in New York City, Mr. Gerard is married to the former Elizabeth Coolidge Gallatin. They have two children, Celia Coolidge and Robert Gallatin, and reside in Washington, D. C. -oOo- 4-14-76 CO rH CN Z3 C 9derai tinancing DanK (/> CVJ a> o WASHINGTON, D.C. 20220 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE April 19, 1976 sff SUMMARY OF LENDING ACTIVITY March 16 - March 31, 1976 Federal Financing Bank lending activity for the period March 16 through March 31, 1976 was announced as follows by Roland H. Cook, Secretary: The Student Loan Marketing Association (Sallie Mae) borrowed $30 million on March 16 at an interest rate of 5.235%. The loan matures June 15, 1976. Sallie Mae used the proceeds of the loan to repay a $30 million note maturing with the Bank. Sallie Mae borrowings are guaranteed by the Department of Health, Education and Welfare. On March 17, the FFB purchased a $500 million 5 year Certificate of Beneficial Ownership from the Farmers Home Administration. The maturity is March 17, 1981. The interest rate is 7.92% on an annual basis. The United States Railway Association borrowed against the following Notes guaranteed by the Department of Transportation: Interest Date Note Amount Maturity ' Rate 4/1/76 5.239% 12/26/90 8.055% 1,000,000 4/1/76 5.093% 5 400,000 4/1/76 5.093% 3/31 3 500,000 4/1/76 5.207% 3/31 5 242,000 4/1/76 5.207% 3/17 5 $10,000,000 3/25 6 795,000 3/25 3 3/25 3 On March 30, the U.S. Railway Assoc, signed Note #8 with the Bank. The note allows USRA to borrow up to $228 million. The Association will loan the funds to the Consolidated Rail Corporation (ConRail) under section 211 O J of the Railroad Revitalization and Regulatory Act of 1976. The final maturity of the note is April 30, 1979. The USRA borrowed $20 million against this note on March 31, 1976 at a semiannual interest rate of 7.328%. WS-787 3& 2The National Railroad Passenger Corporation (Amtrakl made the following drawings from the FFB: Maturity Interest Rate 12,000,000 6/14/76 5.194%,: 7 10,000,000 6/14/76 5.131% 3/30 6 130,000,000 6/29/76 5.207% 3/31 7 5,000,000 6/14/76 5.207% ' Date Note # 3/19 7 3/29 Amount On March 31, 1976 Amtrak borrowed $120,000,000 against Note #9, a $120,000,000 renewable line of credit with the Bank. The interest rate is 5.343%. The line is renewable on July 29, 1976. The final maturity of the line is 4/30/77. Proceeds of the loan were used to repay Amtrak Note #4. On March 19, the Bank advanced $1,045,918.13 under a November 25,1975 agreement with Amtrak and others to finance 26 GE electric locomotives. This agreement provides for ^oon p P a y m e n t s wi th a final maturity date of July 15, interest rate X ;™ is 8.125%. Amtrak borrowings from the FFB are guaranteed by the Department of Transportation. The Federal Financing Bank made the following loans to utility companies guaranteed by the Rural Electrification Administration: Interest Date Borrower Amount Maturity Rate 3/19 South Mississippi $5,235,000 3/27/78 6.9641 Electric Power Association 3/31 Oglethorpe Electric 3,855,000 12/31/10 8.0651 Membership Corp. 3/31 Associated Electric 4,000,000 12/31/10 8.065% Coop., Inc. 3/31 Southern Illinois 900,000 3/31/78 6.9051 Power Corporation Interest payments are made quarterly on the above loans. - 3The FFB made the following advances to' borrowers guaranteed by the Department of Defense under the Foreign Military Sales Act: Interest Date Borrower Amount Maturity Rate 3/19 Republic of $17,314,463.10 6/30/83 7.555% Korea 3/26 Government of 1,049,700.00 4/30/83 7.524% Argentina 3/29 Government of Morocco 11,649,070.00 6/30/83 7.485? 3A29 Government of Israel 22,365,109.96 6/10/85 7.624 Q, •o 0, 3/31 Government of 685,357.15 9/30/85 7.526 China On March 23, the Bank purchased $2,483,000 of notes from the Department of Health, Education and Welfare, The Department had previously acquired the notes which were issued by various public agencies under the Medical Facilities Loan Program. The notes purchased by the Federal Financing Bank are guaranteed by the Department of Health, Education and Welfare and mature on July 1, 2000. The interest rate .is 8.081%. On March 24, the Bank purchased the following debentures from Small Business Investments Companies: Interest Company Amount Maturity Rate Capital Investment, Inc. (Wisconsin) 3,000,000 3/1/86 7.905 Louisiana Equity Capital 100,000 3/1/86 7.905 Corp. These debentures are guaranteed by the Small Business Administration. On March 31, the Tennessee Valley Authority borrowed $140 million at an interest rate of 5.207%. The loan matures on June 30, 1976. Proceeds of the loan were used to repay $110 million of notes maturing with the Bank and to raise additional funds. - 4On March 23, the Federal Financing Bank entered into an agreement with the Rural Electrification Administration to purchase up to $600 million in Certificates of Beneficial Ownership in insured notes and other obligations of the Rural Electrification and Telephone Revolving Fund. The obligations in the Fund are loans made by REA pursuant to the Rural Electrification Act to entities which own or contemplate owning rural electric and telephone systems. The first CBO sale to the Bank in the amount of $166,374,000 took place on March 31, 1976. The CBO matures on March 31, 2006. The rate of interest is 8.205%. Federal Financing Bank loans outstanding on March 31, 1976 totalled $21.7 billion. \tUtpartmento\ HINGTON, D.C. 20220 ' EASURY TELEPHONE 964-2041 397, ADDRESS BY THE HONORABLE WILLIAM E. SIMON SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SOUTHERN METHODIST UNIVERSITY DALLAS, TEXAS, APRIL 15, 197 6 Thank you, Dean Coleman, Chancellor Tate, Ladies and Gentlemen, It is a pleasure and D0. honor for me to participate in this S.M.Uc "vote1' pixgrsia ano I v:elac:n tbic opportunity to meet with a crcos section of you" outstanding- student body ana the convYRinrtY it is par:, of. 1 r*. nave a specia:. sen.>e or purpose today, aa a guest £•; eaker ia the Lone Star State in an election yea." with a Li V4. o i.".:? c - J- to hear from at lease one cut-er-etate speaker who wasn * t rumvinc; for President. I world lire ...o anqaoe I am not attar your votest \v nut soiiie of the grave is your shared concern and thoughts about issues that will still economic issues facing our couiv be with us long after the dust of the 1976 campaign trail has settled and issues that will help to snape the kind of lives you live long after you have left your college days behind. For this reason, I was glad to learn ••'•rem your program sponsors that you wanted to hear about the econon.y So often, m an election yea:-:, secondary issues -- everything from nofault insurance to abortion-on-demand -~ elbow the really major issues off-stage. Yet it is israer like the economy ; — • -> W O: >oi. ou: " niPueaee every C- ooect; especially 'the economy ™ thalives, day in and out, every year instead of once every four years Here, then is a capsule review of where we have been economically, where we stand today, and some of the crucial decisions we still face. Economists generally aoree -[.hat the recenrbori hit bottom i-w vpriJ-' that the recovery began sooner than expected, and ha f it has been stronger than expected, Only a few months a 3°, we began to see light at the" end o f the tunnel. Today, we are nearly out of the tunnel and on our way to recovering a ru U head of steam. For example: 393 — 1975 opened with inflation raging at nearly 13 percent. That rate has been cut in half to approximately 6 percent. — Last spring, unemployment had reached nearly 9 percent. It has now dropped to 7.5 percent and our forecasts indicate a continuing downward trend.. Other signs point to an economy that is regaining its vitality: Real GNP, the stock market, personal income, industrial output, housing starts, retail sales — all are registering gains and this reflects a rising public confidence about the economy that contrasts sharply with the deep pessimism reported by polltakers only a few months ago. But although we made considerable headway in 1975 and we are making even more in 1976, this i s no time for complacency. Inflation is not yet under control and the jobless rate is still too high. That is why the Administration is urging Congress to adhere to a brood-gauged plan to further nurture and stimulate the natural forces of growth in our private enterprise economy. An essential element of this plan is to put the brakes on the dizzying momentum of Federal spending — to slow the rate of increase to about 5 percent this fiscal yeare contrasted with 40 percent the past two fiscal years. This will allow us to continue to make progress on inflation and, at the same time, will make additional tax cuts possible for businesses and individuals and set the stage for a balanced budget within three years. Further, the President has urged tax measures designed to stimulate job creation generally, encourage the building of sorely-needed electric power facilities, and increase construction of plant and equipment in areas where unemployment has topped 7 percent. Finally, the Administration has proposed elimination of the unfair double taxation of dividends that retards capital formationc This is the only major proposal I know about that, seeks to correct the imbalance between corporate debt and equity. We must redress this imbalance to allow the financial markets to channel societyfs savings more efficiently to the more promising investment opportunities. And, as you also know, improving our lagging capital investment pictv is absolutely essential to meet our long-term goals of more jobs, higher incomes, greater productivity, lower inflation and susta ined crrowth. - 3 - w These steps and the balanced program we have pursued thus far are designed to fight inflation and unemployment simultaneously and strenghthen the private sector of our economy. We firmly believe that this course is working, that it is right for the nation, and that it is leading us back to the position of robust growth and expanding opportunities. And yet you will hear a mournful chorus of rhetoric out of Washington, especially "as the election campaign draws closer, claiming that we aren't spending enough, aren't pressing hard enough, aren't pushing enough panic buttons to solve our problems. Despite our steady gains, many of these critics assume there must be a basic flaw in the system and they cast about for other remedies: governmental control over economic planning •-- guaranteed jobs for everybody at government expense — a new round of wage and price controls •-- and many other encroachments on the market place. Frankly. I believe that many of these critics suffer from that Park Twain called "loyaJty to petrified opinions." They faj.l to see that efforts- to strengthen the public sector at the expense of the private sector are a large part of the problem, not part of the solution. They refuse to recognize that the same excessive cfove.rnment fiscal,- monetary and regulatory policies they call for today have led to abase of our economy and helped trigger, first,- a storm of inflation in the early 1970s and, second, the severe recession from which vre are now recovering. And they fail to comprehend a gathering mood in this country against the further expansion of big government. They suffer from the economic variety of Potomac Fever — the delusion that all economic cures must originate in Washington with the Federal government. As President Eisenhower once remarked, "There are a number of things wrong with Washington, and one_of them is that everybody has been too long away from home. However, public disenchantment with big government does not mean that all Americans are necessarily immune from the superficial appeal of quick-fix government programs whose short-term benefits are well publicized but whose long-term impact in terms of inflation and economic stagnation is carefully masked from view. It may seem strange,and it is certainly ironic, but a t a time when the vast majority of Americans are enjoying such^ abundance and opportunity, too many of us have lost sigat of the principles and institutions that have made our W *Y of life possible. -4 - This is certain]y not true in many countries abroad. I was reminded of this fact during my recent two-week trip to the Middle East. Israel and the Arab states have sharp differences, of course. But on one thing they are agreed. They all have a profound admiration for the achievements and performance of the American economy. The leaders of the Middle East believe, as I do, that the United States has developed the most dynamic and efficient economic system ever devised. Largely because of this, they see the United States as the major source of strength and stability in today's unstable world. But here in the United States, somewhere along the line there seems to have been a dangerous breakdown in communication. Secretary of Commerce Elliot Richardson put it succinctly the other day when he said that producers and consumers in this country tend to view each other as antagonists — despite the fact that neither can thrive without the other. Too many Americans — especially those born into an affluent society which seemed to have no beginning or end, no cause and no effect -- have lost sight of, or have never been taught, the actual dynamics of prosperity in a free society. Today, when nearly everybody takes the fruits of the free enterprise system for granted -- the abundance, the opportunities, the freedom of choice, and the chance for learning, travel ana general upward mobility -•- not everyone understands the basic economic facts of life that have produced these benefits. Because of this, I believe that the time is ripe for an economic heart-to-heart talk with "the American people; And I believe that the men and women who make up our free enterprise economy — in business, in the professions, in the factories — must do even more than they are now if such a national dialogue is to succeed. What is at stake is not simply the future of this or that company, or even this or that industry. At stake is the survival of the private sector, and, because of the interlocked nature of our freedoms, the survival of the individual liberties which can never long endure after the collapse of a societyfs free enterprise system. ThL; problem of communications exists, as I have had ample opportunity to observe in my job as Secretary of the Treasury, and it is getting worse, not better. It is a question of both policy and perception, for a faulty view or understanding of the economy makes faulty economic policymaking almost inevitable. -6- tyf Part of the problem is a matter of image. Frequently, those who support bigger government spending and more government domination of the private sector are perceived as concerned and socially progressive individuals who "care," who are champions of persecuted underdog. On the other hand, people who warn that the government should not and cannot effectively solve every new problem that comes down the pike, and who advocate instead the strengthening of the free enterprise system, are seen as either outdated ideologues or a new generation of economic exploiters — indifferent to human suffering and only out to make a fast buck for themselves or their companies. This stereotype wouldn't matter if it were not so misleading — so blatantly phoney. My experience in Washington has convinced me that almost every man and woman in a position of high public trust cares deeply about the well-being of our citizens, especially those who are impoverished or face disadvantages because of artificial bairriers of sex or color or national origin. The central question is not who cr=res the most •»•- we all care. It is rather the method we choose to broaden prosperity, reduce human hardship and meet, our other national goals without sacrificing our freedoms or destroying the most successful economic system that, man has even known. We can talk about the free enterprise system until we are blue in the face, but it still won't mean much to those who do not understand what it really means and what makes it work. It's like trying to discuss the birds and the bees sensibly with with somebody who is unshakable in his belief that babies are delivered by the stork. People who have never seen what happens to countries with state-controlled economies simply have no standard for comparison. & They have never witnessed the long lines of workers and housewives who have to cue up for hours to buy a poor selection of over-priced food and state-manufactured clothing and merchandise. They don't realize what a miracle of variety, economy and productive competition an average shopping center found anywhere in the U.S. would represent to most of the world's people. They have never asked themselves why a country like the Soviet Union, with some of the richest grain land in the world — but with an agricultural system owned and operated by the government — cannot even feed its own people without turning to American farmers who own their own land, make their own decisions and feed not only their fellow Americans but millions of others as well* vhry have n"-var lived in cou.n-tr.ies whore the seemingly idealistic dream of a society witonr private •proparoy or profit::- has burned into a nightmare reality: where the state and the state alone dictates what kind of education you will receive., whether or not you will be allowed to travel, what kind of jot you can have, what you will be paid, what you can buy with your own earnings, where you will live and, ultimatel}7; where you will be buried. The truth is that regimented societies inflict upon their citizens not only a political regime that reduces the individual, in Churchill's phrase, to a mere fraction of the state, they also inflict an economic regime that smothers enterprise and breeds inefficiency. Let's face it: Without the individual profit motive, people simply do not work as hard, produce as much, or bother to come up with as many fresh ideas and new improvements. Whether we like it or not, this is an immutable law of human nature. Unfortunately, like clean air, economic freedom is something most people don't really appreciate until it begins to run out — and then it is often too late. So I submit to you today that if America continues down the road toward greater governmental spending and greater governmental control over our economy and over our lives -— a road that we have been traveling for several decades — then all of us will be condemned to an economy riddled by chronic inflation and incurable unemployment and those who come after us will be robbed of their personal and economic freedoms. 'that is really what is at issue underneath the semantics" and the misleading labels. -8- V1 Let me be specific about how our private enterprise economy has been undermined by excessive government policies. Just before the New Deal, government spending at all levels — Federal, state and local — was about 10 percent of our total national output. Today, because budgets have mushroomed, government accounts for almost 40 percent of the GNP. And if recent trends prevail, the government's share of the total economy will reach 60 percent before the end of this century. Let's put present spending in dollar•signs. Today, and every day during this fiscal year, the Federal Government will spend $1 billion. And this week and every week this fiscal year it will go into debt an additional $1 billion. Since 1962, when the federal budget hit the $100 billion mark, it has almost quadrupled, and has been in the red for all but one of those years. The interest on thr federal debt alone try the end of fiscal 1913 will have climbed to $36 billion. The amount in fiscal 1977 will reach $45 billion. That's more than we spent in any one year on the war in Vietnam. It is almost half of what we will be spending on total national defense next year. And it is money, I'm sure you will agree, that could better be spent on improvements in health care, public transportation, rebuilding our cities or any of a dozen other national needs. Anyone who has ever kept a checking account or managed the smallest household budget.v^ww^ that ^^^ it ^^ spells ^^^.^^ disaster ^_^ idget knows to borrow and spend more than you take in for too long. Heavy government borrowing has fueled inflation and driven up interest rates so that strains have developed in money and capital markets. Businessmen feel these strains when they try to get loans to expand their businesses and create new jobs: Consumers feel the pinch when they try to buy a new home without paying an arm and leg in mortgage interest, and some of you have probably realized the problem when you have tried to secure low interest student loans in a tight credit market. Throughout the nation, we see signs that taxpayers, who have so long borne the burden of heavy government spending, are close to open rebellion. In the 19 7 4 elections, f or example, voters across the country turned down more than 75 percent of all bond issues on the ballot. And eight state legislatures, fed up with rising national debt, have now adopted resolutions calling for a constitutional amendment requiring a balanced national budget. As one state representative put it: "I don't want the government spending my grandchildren into a poorhouse." T 1 . 1 n 1 —.: 1 -9- J/*4 So our major concern as we work our way to a sound and durable recovery is to avoid another dose of the same poison which brought on the recession in the first place: rampant inflation fed by runaway federal spending. But spending isn't the whole problem. As government spending has grown by leaps and bounds, so too have government controls, regulettion and red tape. Did you realize that government agencies, with an army of 100,000 on the payroll, exercise direct regulation over 10 percent of everything bought and sold in the United States and indirect control over almost every other sector of the private economy? The avalanche of paperwo?/:k required by this regulatory network is a tremendous burden on smal.l and big businesses alike. Business spends an incredible $20 billion a year just to fill out government .terms. General Motors recently calculated that it spent more, than $*•«.? billion in 1974 just to comply with existing government regulations o:c get ready for new ones. This is more than it cost to run the entire Federal Government for all of the first 75 years of our history —- and that includes the Louisiana Purchase. Some of these regulations are, of course, necessary and in the public interest. But many more of then are counterproductive, wasteful, and obsolete. And as President Ford has repeatedly stated, those regulations and regulatory bodies that no longer serve a useful purpose should be abolished, before we strangle in our own red tape. Consider the case of natural gas. Because of the unwillingness of some politicans to deregulate natural gas, many areas of the country will continue to experience gas shortages that will cost them jobs, inflict individual discomfort and inconvenience and slot7 the pace of economic recovery. All this because a handful of politicians refuse to deregulate natural gas and let the simple but crucialfree market principle of the profit motive come into play. The economic fact of life is that products which people are willing to pay for will be produced, as an adequate price will insure an adequate return. Things for which people are not willing to pay an adequate price — or which government does not allow to be sold at an adequate price — will not be produced. This is not only the essence, but the genius of free enterprise. So today, when so many of America's rich energy resources remain untapped, and when the need for energy independence is greater than ever, much of our natural gas potential goes undeveloped because politicians refuse to admit that you cannot take'away the incentive to produce and encourage production at the same time. We still have the choice of acting in our own best energy interests instead of reacting to decisions made by foreign countries. We must start thinking of the energy challenge in terms of American jobs, homes, food and financial security. Our economic well-being and national security depend upon American control of the American economy. We cannot jeopardize the future by avoiding the tough energy choices terry. But we must pay the price necessary to give us cammand of our own economic destiny. bet me give you another example of hew big government, if •wed to get out of control, threatens the best interests not -'-dy of businesses but. consumers. Today, many politicians and y lits are calling for the massive dismantling of the Ame: •;. petroleum industry through divestiture. At a time when we should be encouraging domestic oil pr-v- ration to make America less dependent on foreign imports, they advocate a wholesale disruption of the complex and highly productive free enterprise structure that still makes it possible for Americans to drive their cars, heat their homes and turn the mighty wheels of industry at a lower cost than in any other major industrial nation. It seems to me that those who urge divestiture have a moral obligation to show us how — if at all — divestiture will benefit the consumer and the nation. So far, they have utterly failed to do so, relying instead on anti-business rhetoric and the vague promise that somehow, if they are allowed to go after American oil corporations with a hatchet, the price of gas will go down. This is illogical and self-destructive. It makes about as much sense as asserting that you can get better mileage out of your car by chopping it up into tiny pieces. In fact, You will probably get no mileage'at all. And it will cost you more — not less —- to get the mechanism repaired and back in working order again. But, in an age when imagery is often more persuasive than the facts, people sometimes lose sight of the basic truths. 1/6H Speaking in 1865, Lincoln said, "I have faith in the people... the danger is in their being misled. Let them know the truth and the country is safe," What I have been trying to emphasize.here today is the need to hammer home the truth — the economic facts of life -to the American people, especially the young Americans like you who must lead us in the years ahead. It is a story that cannot be vividly portrayed on television like the war in Vietnam or the urban riots of the sixties. Yet it is the one thing that affects every aspect of our lives. And I am convinced that the American public — and young Americans — have not irrevocably closed their ears to this story. The polls tell us that businessmen themselves rank low in public confidence; and yet the principles of private enterprise rank high. A. majority of Americans say they want more regulation of businesses, and yet business is the most popular major field of study among college students ~— above education., science cava the humanities. Vie can strike a responsive chord in telling this story to the American people if we tell it in human, comprehensible terms. For when we talk about our free enterprise economy we are talking about food on the table, goods on tne shelves and services at the counter. We are talking about medical breakthroughs that have added 10 years to our lives in tne past generation. We are talking about labor-saving devices that have freed millions of women for productive careers and the pursuit of self-enlightment. We are talking about five out of every six jobs in America and wages and benefits that stagger the imagination of the rest of the world. We are talking about a productive base that pays for government support of the elderly, the jobless, the poor, the dependent and the disabled. And we are talking about basic freedoms; to choose a career, to choose what and where we buy, to choose where and how we live, and yes, to swim against the tide — as did Fulton and Ford and Edison — things you could never do living in the gray shadow of conformity under a regimented society. And this is the heart of what I am trying to express to you — the vital human importance behind all those gray, boring facts and figures that litter the financial page each day. J/63 No man can be free and a slave at the same time. No society can sacrifice its economic freedoms and responsibilities and still expect to preserve the individual economic rights of its citizens. This is particularly important to those of you who are just beginning your adult lives. Whatever happens to me down the road, I have already had the opportunity to live and prosper as a free man. It is an experience that nothing can take away from me, no matter what the future may hold. So I am not very worried for my own sake. But I do worry about what the future holds for my children — some of whom are the same age as you. For as I have tried to show here today, there are a number of alarming economic trends already at work that are undermining your futures. They aren't inevitable and they can be stopped. But they must be recognized and under: cood before they can be mastered. And until they are mastered; your future freedoms are in jeopardy, along with the very essence of the independent competitive *-.. pirit that has made Pmerica the richest, freest country in the world. In this Bicentennial year, if we Iceep alive the spirit that infuses our national character ~~ the spirit of personal freedom and free enterprise — then we can be certain that it will endure for another 20 0 years and more. But, if we let free enterprise wither away, we 3iiay be sure that our other freedoms and individual liberties will expire as well. We must not, we will not, allow this to happen. Thank you. -0O0- wm*^—-™" " • » ——m* • ^Department of theTREASURY SHINGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 964-2041 ADDRESS BY THE HONORABLE WILLIAM E. SIMON SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE HOUSTON CHAMBER OF COMMERCE HOUSTON, TEXAS,. APRIL 15, 1976 J/&Y Thank you, Mr. Walbridge, Mayor Welch, distinguished members of the Chamber of Commerce committees, ladies and gentlemen: It is a tremendous pleasure for me to be here in Houston again. The recollection of your hospitality is still warm from my visit vrith you la.:,t December at the 13 5th Annua .1 Meeting of the Houston Chamber. That occasion was a memoraoj.; one for me and I have been looking forward to a return engagement ever since. And on th: par i.n occasion, I have an aidded sense of mission. I feel that, in this -busy election vear, with key presidential primary coming up h^re in Texas, you deserve a little change of pace; you deserve to hear from at least one out-of-state speaker who' isn't running for President. • So here I am, asking not for your votes, but for a few minutes of shared thoughts on some of the basic facts and problems facing America — the sort of thing that sometimes gets buried in the political rhetoric of an election year. Let me begin with a subject of enormous importance to the country and, even more so, to the Houston area — energy. Houston is not just the sixth largest city in the nation and one of our major refining centers. It also houses our largest concentration of chemical and petrochemical ^ industries and is our largest manufacturer and distributor of petroleum equipment. So, to a considerable extent, when we talk about eneroy in America, we're talking about Houston. ^And, lord knows, there's been an awful lot of talk about energy lately, much of it dancerously misinformed ori • : l u a r l Y misinformed have been some of the loud, Politically .motivated cries for divestiture and furthergovernment controls in the energy field. #oS~ -2 These cries may yield a few short-term political returns in an election year, but they are not in the best interests of the country- Our whole economic system is based on the simple market principle that products which people are vailing to pay for will be produced, and an adequate price will insure an adequate return. Things for which people are not willing to pay an adeouate price will not be produced. This is not only the essence, but the genius, of free entertris Arbitrary controls and politically motivated regulations that strangle the profit motive can only, in the long run, make the consumer as well as the producer suffer. That is why the Administration I serve feels so strongly about deregulation in general and deregulation of natural gas in particular. It is also why we continue to oppose those who would inject more federal interference into the energy field. For the facts show that free enterprise is the strongest force we have going for us in our efforts to meet the energy challenge. Consider the record to date. Despite inflation ami the oil embargo, Americans still pay 3.ess to heat tre.-.r homes, fuel their cars anc Keep the mighty wheels of industry turning than ant ether major industrial power •— thanks to our free enterprise system of energy production. Unfortunately, this hasnVt stopped some people from trying to make a scapegoat of the energy industry. Imagine, this is the only sector of our economy that is still under price controls. What a monumental con job on the part of political demagogues who have convinced a naive public that you can control prices and encourage production at the same time — that you can take away the incentive to drill and still expect efficient development of America's untapped energy abundance. Yet Jba sorry to say that the enemies of the free enterprise system seem to be winning the propaganda war. One recent result was the passage in Congress of energy legislation that neither I nor President Ford felt compietely comfortable with. However, given the current political climate and the composition of the Congress, the president had to choose between a comoromise or no energv leqisjation J at all. This ^Administration fully recognizes the dangers post y excessive government controls. And we w:i 11 continue to everything we can to eliminate unnecessary controls and • revent the establishment or new ores. */&£> -3~ Speaking from personal experience, I know all too well how an originally small, temporary bureaucracy can take on a life of its own and spread its tentacles. During the energy crisis I was called on to head the federal government's effort to cope with the problems raised by that national emergency. Little did I suspect that, in becoming the so-called "Energy Czar" I would also be present at the creation of a vast new federal energy empire. The energy crisis ended and we weathered the storm. I went on to another job. But the Federal Energy Administration is still with us. It has taken on a life of its own and is-still a large and growing part of the Washington scene a striking example of the cancer of big government.. Another striking example of heedless government interferer.ee is the growing chorus of politicians and pundits calling for divestiture" of the oil industry. those who urge the fractionaliratiov c\'\ iridi" r:trhave -~v h a vae moral" a m o r aobligatio 1 oVdiaotion of this complex and crucial incustry to show us hot — if at air — divestiture till benefit the consumer and the nation. So far, they have utterly failed to do so, -relying insterd on anti-business slogans, political rhetoric: and the vague promise that somehow, if we go after the oil companies with a hatchet, the price of gas will go down. This is illogical ana self-destructive. It mates about as much sense as asserting that you can get better mileage out of your car if you chop it up into small pieces. In fact, you may get no mileage at all. And it will cost you more — not less — to get the delicate mechanism repaired and back in working order once the damage has been done. So I repeat to you my personal commitment to the Principles of free competition and minimum government interference in the energy field. But I also remind you that neither I nor the Administration I serve can win this battle alone. We still have tire choice of acting in our" own best nergy interests instead of reacting to decisions made by "oreign ^countries. We must start thinking of the energy isis in terms of American jobs, homes, food and financial security. T"! Cf.:?iHC i- r - T' OS -\'\^r• Our economic well-being and national security depend -4upon American control of the American economy. We cannot •jeopardize the future by avoiding the tough energy choices today. We must pay the price necessary to give us command of our own economic destiny. We need your help in getting our side of the story across to the public. And I hope that each of you as individuals and as businessmen and women with a strong personal stake in the energy industry, will devote more of your time and efforts to getting that story across. If you don't do it, who will? Energy, of course is an international as well as national matter. A few weeks ago I returned from a two-wee]-: tour of the Middle East. That fascinating and turbulent part of the world has many dangerous protlems. however, I came away from my trip with one positive impression. Today, despite old animosities and conflicts, both the 7-rrabs and the Israelis, rega?~dless of their political opinions; reali.m that the United States had developed, the most dynamic and efficient economic system the world has eve'r 'known. They sot the United States as the "major source of strength and stability — economically as well as politically — in an unstable world. As Secretary of the-Treasury, I found this encouraging because I am convinced that the way to a peaceful world political order is through a strong stable world economic order. For the Middle East, peace and prosperity can and must, go hand in hand. As I look around this room,- 'i re^ili.te that there are some among you whose businesses were hard-hit by the recent recession and simultaneous double-digit inflation. Perhaps you might think that the leaders of the Middle East have the vaiong impression in viewing the United States as being super-strong economically. Perhaps you would think that, on the contrary, our economy is in trouble and our economic future uncertain. I would agree certainly, our economy has undergone some trials in the last few years that have made for some unpleasant results both in unemployment and. inflation. But, despite this, our country remains the world's greatest economic power -- and, believe me, the tor id knows it. 3::ven pociay, we are proving our basic strength by the speed and e security of our recovery from the recession as compared h ot her industrial nations around the world. We still have a long way to go, but we are on the road o recovery and we can all take heart from the first round .Progress that was made during 197 5. 4 J/d! -5— Nineteen seventy five opened with inflation raging at 13 percent; we have cut that rate in half •— to about six percent. — During the spring of 1975, the unemployment rate reached nine percent; today it is down, to 7.5 percent. — Over the past year over 2 million people have found work and the number of people employed today is at a record high. — During the third quarter of 1975, we registered the biggest single jump in the GNP in 25 years and the fourth quarter's pace, while slower, still indicates the recovery is maintaining its momentum. Thus we made considerable heacVay in 1975, and we will make even more in 1976. But it's not good enough and this is certainly no time for corrolacencv. The unenroiovment rate is still far higher than we can tolerate. And inflation is by no means completely under control. In fact, it remains the most dcingerous anem^ of real economic growth. And ail of us — especially there with a ray in feccral spending -— must do everything we can to prevent another inflationary spiral. The ruinous inflation that crested in 197i was the chief cause or the severe recession of 197 5; if we embark once again on excessive fiscal and monetary policies resulting in double-digit inflation, I guarantee you we will have an even worse recession than before. Let us hope that it will never be said that the pain and suffering of the 1974-7 5 recession were i]r vain because tno politicians in Washington refused to face the economic facts of life. But the problem is not confined to politicians alone. It may seem strange, and it is certainly ironic, but at a tune when Americans are enjoying such great, abundance end such great opportunity, too many of us have lost sight of the principles and institutions that have made our way of life possible. Somewhere along the line, there has been a dangerous breakdown in communications. Too many Americans -~ especially those born into can aniuent society which seemed to have no beginning or end, no cause and no effect have lost sight of, or have never -en taught,-*the dynamics of prosperity in a free society. ^ ^ Today, when nearly everyone takes the fruits of the ^ee enterprise system for granted — the abundance, the PPortuiuty, the freedom of choice, the unprecedented -6opportunities for learning, travel, and general upward mobility — not everyone understands the basic economic facts of life that create all these benefits. Small wonder then, that when economic difficulties like the recession hit. millions of otherwise reasonable people fall for the quack nostrums of politicians who arc more interested in promising than performing:, and for quick-fix government spending that provide some short-term relief but only aggravate the long-term economic ills of inflation and stagnation in the private sector. Because of this, I believe that the time is ripe for an economic heart-to-heart talk with the American people. And I believe that organizations like the Chamber must do even more than they are now doing if such a national dialogue is to succeed. V?hat is at stake is not just the future of this or that industry. At stcike is the survival of the private sector, and the individual liberties which have never long survived the collapse of a society: s free enterprise system. Unless we get the facts across today, the America of tomorrow — of cur children and Grandchildren — will be doomed to* a system cf economic and political bondage that is the very opposite of all thatpwe hole dear. The problem already exists, as I have had ample opportunity to observe, and it is getting worse, not better. It is a question of both policy and perception, for faulty perception of the economy makes faulty economic policy almost inevitable. And I am firmly convinced that, taken together, misunderstanding and misdirection of the American economy have become the central, underlying problem of our times. Part of it is a matter of image. Frequently, and especially to youthful idealists, those w7ho support bigger government spending and more government domination of the Private sector are perceived as concerned, socially progressive men and women who "care" in a nutshell, they are seen as the humane champions of the Persecuted underdog. ~7~ On the other hand, those who warn that the government should not — and cannot — effectively solve every new problem that comes down the pile, and who advocate instead the strengthening of the free- enterprise system are seen as either outdated theorists or a new generation of economic exploiters, indifferent to human suffering and only out to make a fast buck for themselves and their companies. To make matters worse, surface appearances often tend to confirm this inaccurate impression. .Advocates of big government are able to wax eloquent for hours about the ills they imagine they can cure by cranking out more currency and soaking up more credit through massive deficit spending. They have as many arguments as there are social, economic and political problems — even though the spending they advocate, as we have seen with the great society's war on poverty, is often part of the problem rather than part of the solution. Those of us who recognise the fallfcy of the big government approach have only one argument. lib; the right one, hut, by dint of repetition, people are getting tired of hearing about it. For we constantly in voire foe free entarp: system, too often without defining the freedoms and the opportunities that it, and it alone, provides. We chant a slogan, a label, without defining it in comprehensible: human terms. We can talk about the free enterprise system until we are blue, in the face, but it still won't mean anything to those who do not understand what it really is and what mares it work. It's like trying to sensibly discuss the birds and the bees with someone who is unshakable in his belief that babies are delivered by the stork. People who have never seen what happens to countries with state-controlled economies simply have no standard for comparison. They have never witnessed nousewives who have to cue food and department stores of overpriced food stapler anu merchandise. the long lines of workers and up for hours outside state-owned in order to buy a poor selection and state-manufactured clothing They don't realize what a miracle of variety, economy productive competition the average American shopping -enter would represent to nine-tenths of the earth's people. 0 -8~ They have never asked themselves why a country like th Soviet Union, with some of the largest, richest tracts of qrainland in the world, but with a government-owned and y;\.\n agricultural system,' cannot even feed its people withoutturning to American farmers who own their own land, make their own decisions and feed not only our own people, but millions of others as well. Too often they have been taught to scoff at the very profit and property motives which make our prosperity possible. They have never lived in countries where the seemingly idealistic dream of a non-profit, propertyless society has turned into a nightmare reality — where the state ana the state alone dictates what kind o7 education you wi_P_ rec-~-"vwhether or not you will be allowed to travel; what kind or job you can have; what you will be paid; what merchandise you can buy with your earrings; there vou will lime; vi.rm you will receive medical treatment; and; ultim. temp, the:-'-.vou will be buried. They have not seen first.--hand the politic. *. . . . aftermath in societies where the government has oertrovrr free enterprise. For the personal rights all American:;cberirh — freedom of \7O37>}0rr) r freedom of speetn T-:ud rrtr of association — have never long endured once economic freedom has been destroyed. As Alexander ! cr -'- o warned so long ago, "power over a man's substance a: power over his will." Without the individual profit motive, people simply d' not work as hard, produce as much, or bother to come up wi as many new improvements. Whether we like it or not, it i: an immutable law of human nature. Unfortunately, like clean air, economic freedom is something most people don't really appreciate until it begins to run out —- and then it is often too late. So we have reached the point where, although the free enterprise system works, and Works better than any othereconomic system in effect anywhere, in the world — and although it^eeds, clothes and houses more people tore ^fluently than any other while serving as the unoerpiittrn ° ur fr ee society -~ it is somehow losing the war to an -len philosophy of government control and" i M' -9economic irresponsibility that has never worked but has somehow managed to preserve ah aura of idealism and altruism that attracts many young idealists. All of these misconceptions would be unimportant if they were not so misleading — so blatantly phoney. My experience in Washington has convinced me that almost every man and womrn in position of high public trust cares deeply about the well being of our people, especially those who are impoverished or face disadvantages because of their sex or the color of their skin. The central question is not who cares the most, but rather how we broaden prosperity and reduce human hardship without sacrificing our freedom or destroying are most successful economic system that man has ever known. I subm.it to you today that if America, continues down the road toward greater governmental spending and greater governmental control over our economy and our lives ~~ a road tiirt \ve have been moving steadily down for several decades — then our children will be robbed of their personal and economic freedoms. And, in the meantime, all of us will be condemned to an economy riddled by chronic infratio?-; and incur^hie unemployment. That is really what is at issue underneath the semantics and the misleading labels, and of course young .Americans have an even greater stake in the outcome than che rest of us. Let's look at a few facts about government spending. For most of our history, the Federal Budget staved somewhere below the $100 billion mar]; ™ usually way below it. Then, in 19G2, we finally hit $100 billion — and that was only the beginning. Seven years later, the budget broke the $200 billion barrier and then, only four years after that, we hit the $300 billion mark. And new, in our bicentennial year, we have reached the point where the Federal Government ^ spending $1 billion a day. The veryi. size of such numbers makes them almost meaningess to the average American. But there are ways of getting Chr'™r S a g e a c r o s s * F o r trample; suppose that^on the day S as born, a man had iron given $1 billion on the pnn ! ;/' <-onori 11 nn -'-h-*4- \ ,. , . l - -on moat no or has he:rs spent $1,000 every day. 0 -10seven days a week. How long would- that $1 billion last? Adding it up, I think you 1 11 find that today, almost 200 years later, the grandchildren would still not have spent the full billion dollars. . Yet our Federal government is spending $1 billion every single day, and going into debt another $1 billion every week. And as the budget grows, the government comes to occupy a more and more dominant role within our society. In 193 0, government spending at all levels — Federal, state and local — amounted to about ] 0 percent of the Gross National Product. Today, because budgets have mushroomed, government accounts for nearly 40t of our entire national o't-rtt and if rcco v, r t r e n d s "eta-vat"* the ^^--r.o-- -~ -- ---g ; r- 5pm'1 a of the total economy could reach 6 0 percent before the end of this century. For taxpayers, the bard! on of paying the gover: -men t' a bills has become co heavv that many are row in ore?! rebellion In the 1974 general elections, for example, voters across the country turned down some three quarters of c:tl bond issues on, the ballot. But too many get around this public opposition by voting more federal spending without increasing taxes. The result has been a string of Federal Budget deficits. that are unparalleled in our history. In 16 of the last 17 years, the budget has been in the red. And now, just when a balanced, healthy economic recovery has begun, the advocates of hig spending would have us launch another round of reckless spending and runaway inflation. It is up to us to stop them. I wish that there was some way for television cameras to portray this story as vividly as they did the war in Vietnam or the race riots of earlier years. For, while the visual images are less dramatic, the problem is every bit as Pressing and important. But, as the groat 19th century hislorirn Thomas Carlyl.e once said- rhl \ \ \ r-;-< '] c« ( ^^r<p,r -• <- 4-^« "pp~—-1 ^r^^-nrr- " On "he surface, it seems nothing more than a pile -of charts and lumble of numbers so large as to be incomprehensible in everyday terms. To put it mildly, economics seloom makes sexy' news stories. And yet the economy is the cue thing fo^ , a f f e c t s Gv cry other aspect of American life — the freV^ ° a t ' t h G quality o f o u r education, our mobility, our ^•edom of choice in careers, services and merchandise, and material anct personal sense of-pride and independence. a M -11The smallest shock to the economy is felt in every limb of the body politic. And that is a big story, if only a graphic gripping way of telling it could be found. Consider the case of the Federal debt and its impact. As the debt climbs rapidly u p w a r d s , we have to pay higher and higher interest cost on it. By the end of fiscal year 1976 we will have spent $36 "billion in interest payments alone. That's more than we spent in any single year on the war in Vietnam. I t f s more than a third of our national def- Q ^ i budget. And it is money that could be better spent on nee; such as public transportation, health care or airy of a dcz worthy purposes. This heavv borrowing by the government has also aggra" inflation and increased interest r a t e s , creating strains i: money ? n d c a p i t a 1 ma r}: e t s « T h i s , i n tu r n ,' affects e v e r y o rfrom the businessman interastod in expanding his plant to create new jobs, to the young couple trying to buy their first home without paying an. arm and a leg in mortgage interest. Reckless government spending is the basic cause of inflotiojr, and inflation was the underlying cause of the worst recession our country has experienced in a generatio: a recession we are only now beginning to recover from. It was inflation that cuased a loss of real income an the confidence of consumers, prompting the sharpest droo i consumer spending since World War I I . And it was infratio: that helped dry up the flow of savings into our thrift institutions, driving up interest rates and causing the housing industry to collapse. i -{-"h t h e So one of our prime concerns as we proceed wit! economic recovery is to avoid another dose of the poison that brought the recession on. in the first place - ramparr inflation fed by runaway federal spending. B 3t s endirj l P 9 isn't the whole problem. There is also 'he matter of government control and regulation for, as government spending has grown by leaps and b o u n d s , so too nas federal j;ed tape. Did 3. ^. a y ° u realize that sol^Cr r e g u l a t - o n over ]0 simo ln t h e U n i t e d States st every other sector government agencies now exercise percent of everything boucht arc and indirect regulation over of the private economy? -12Did you know that it costs private industry — and that means each one of us as consumers — approximately $2 0 billion a year just to do the. paper work demanded by Federal bureaucrats? Some of these regulations are, of course, necessary. But many of them are counter-productive, wasteful, or obsolete. And as President Ford has repeatedly stated, those regulations and regulatory bodies that no longer serve a useful purpose should be abolished, before we strangle in our own red tape. Let me conclude with these few observations: As we enter our third century as a nation, I believe the time has come not to reappraise our dedication to a better life for all — that dedication is clear •-••• bat to reappraise what we can pay for and how we can do it. The current plight of New York City, the disease that afflicts the British economy, and the overwhelming sire of our c-wn Federal deficits are al i grate varnirgr to us. We can pay for what we now have and provide for the future only if cur great capi.taiist economy does its job •-- procuces goods in ii V free market and makes a sufficient p I am.sick and tired of people apologizing for the free enterprise system. It has given this cou.ntry the highest standard of living and the greatest prosperity ever known, and of most importance, has helped to give us the greatest freedom ever known to man. And it will continue to do that unless it is crushed by the juggernaut of big Government. What we need are not fewer but more capitalists in the United States — more people with a real and direct stake in the profits generated by a productive economy. be cannot continue to have more and more of our citizens involved only m receiving benefits from the government and fewer and fewer people responsible for paying for the benefits. We must broaden the base of those who work and narrow the base of those who are able but don't want to work. President Ford urged that we strike a "new balance" in our national life: — A balance that favors greater freedom and vitality -or our private enterprise system, -x -.- -x -» - -. - - A balance that favors greater honesty and realism in baling with the challenges of* our time. -13These are great goals — goals worthy of the greatest nation on earth. We should not begin our Bicentennial year by retreating into the past, but by going forward into the future with a common combination of patience, realistic hope, courage and common sense. If we work together with common purpose and conviction — with pride in ourselves and "our nation —- the goals we share today can become the first achievements of our third century together. President Ford has set a course which points us in the right direction and will permit us to get a grip on these problems, but it will take several years, not months, to bring this about. Unfortunately, the election is only a bit over seven months away. There will be calls from the opposition for "sweeping charges" and "broad new initiatives" which will really mean bigger spending, bigger deficits and ultimately bigger governmental control of the. economy. We mrtet persuade the hmaricar people that this course is wrong' and that the other approach is much sounder :.. n the long run. The reai. choice is between greater government control or greater individual freedom. That is the decision before us. ?7-/0i /3 -v-wt 100 fad S, <7 i S /: ^AJJ^LSUJ L ' / . / & 0.... _• j* f • S^tsy^'^X. v-.-tu //z C0C i,Mf "/i/7% * * * 1 .* i •* f -. „1.~-. 0 fA ~ 7 ^ '7£ ~5 , r- 7 2 •m Ik Department of the TREASURY HINGTON, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 964-2041 4/7 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE April 19, 1976 RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL AUCTIONS Tenders for $2.5 billion of 13-week Treasury bills and for $3.4 billion of 26-week Treasury bills, both series to be issued on April 22, 1976 were opened at the Federal Reserve Banks today. The details are as follows: RANGE OF ACCEPTED 13-week bills COMPETITIVE BIDS: maturing July 22. 1976 High Low Average Price 98.802 98.793 98.796 Discount Rate 26-week bills maturing October 21. 1976 Investment Rate 1/ 4.739% 4.775% 4.763% 4.86% 4.90% 4.89% Price 97.442 97.420 97.427 Discount Rate Investment Rate 1/ 5.060% 5.103% 5.089% 5.26% 5.31% 5.30% Tenders at the low price for the 13-week bills were allotted 27%. Tenders at the low price for the 26-week bills were allotted 36%. TOTAL TENDERS RECEIVED AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS: District Received 19,435,000 Boston $ New York ,526,525,000 Philadelphia 84,745,000 Cleveland 59,995,000 Richmond 32,110,000 Atlanta 53,740,000 Chicago 259,280,000 St. Louis 73,915,000 Minneapolis 46,310,000 Kansas City 33,700,000 Dallas 34,260,000 San Francisco 277,280,000 TOTALS$5,501,295,000 Accepted $ 16,435,000 2,159,480,000 28,615,000 28,345,000 20,700,000 44,740,000 47,815,000 35,065,000 11,310,000 27,725,000 14,260,000 68,170,000 Received Accepted $ 10,500,000 $ 8,000,000 4,510,680,000 2,866,880,000 5,805,000 5,805,000 87,885,000 41,485,000 39,080,000 34,065,000 31,525,000 29,225,000 305,270,000 181,410,000 66,890,000 48,890,000 47,065,000 37,065,000 18,665,000 18,665,000 25,185,000 18,685,000 217,890,000 109,890,000 $2,502,660,000 a/$5,366,440,000 $3,400,065,000 b/ £/ Includes $353,295,000 noncompetitive tenders from the public. ^ Includes $181,005,000 noncompetitive tenders from the public. 1/ Equivalent coupon-issue yield. WS-788 <f> i n a> ,-« 'E vo o u l nnancing DQIIK WASHINGTON, D.C. 20220 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE ES £8 April 19, 1976 J//? SUMMARY OF LENDING ACTIVITY March 16 - March 31, 1976 Federal Financing Bank lending activity for the period March .16 through March 31, 1976 was announced as follows by Roland H. Cook, Secretary: The Student Loan Marketing Association (Sallie Mae) borrowed $30 million on March 16 at an interest rate of 5.235%. The loan matures June 15, 1976. Sallie Mae used the proceeds of the loan to repay a $30 million note maturing with the Bank. Sallie Mae borrowings are guaranteed by the Department of Health, Education and Welfare. On March 17, the FFB purchased a $500 million 5 year Certificate of Beneficial Ownership from the Farmers Home Administration. The maturity is March 17, 1981. The interest rate is 7.92% on an annual basis. The United States Railway Association borrowed against the following Notes guaranteed by the Department of Transportation: Interest Date Note Amount Maturity Rate 4/1/76 5.239% 12/26/90 8.055% 1,000,000 4/1/76 5.093% 5 400,000 4/1/76 5.093% 3/31 3 500,000 4/1/76 5.207% 3/31 5 242,000 4/1/76 5.207% 3/17 5 $10,000,000 3/25 6 795,000 3/25 3 3/25 On March 30, the U.S. Railway Assoc, signed Note #8 with the Bank. The note allows USRA to borrow up to $228 million. The Association will loan the funds to the Consolidated Rail Corporation (ConRail) under section 211 (h) of the Railroad Revitalization and Regulatory Act of 1976. The final maturity of the note is April 30, 1979. The USRA borrowed $20 million against this note on March 31, 1976 at a %. semiannual interest rate of 7.328a WS-787 - 2The National Railroad Passenger Corporation (Amtrak) made the following drawings from the FFB: Amount Maturity Interest Rate Date Note # 3/19 7 12,000,000 6/14/76 5.194%6: 3/29 7 10,000,000 6/14/76 5.131% 3/30 6 130,000,000 6/29/76 5.207% 3/31 7 5,000,000 6/14/76 5.207% On March 31, 1976 Amtrak borrowed $120,000,000 against Note #9, a $120,000,000 renewable line of credit with the Bank. The interest rate is 5.343%. The line is renewable on July 29, 1976. The final maturity of the line is 4/30/77. Proceeds of the loan were used to repay Amtrak Note #4. On March 19, the Bank advanced $1,045,918.13 under a November 25,1975 agreement with Amtrak and others to finance 26 GE electric locomotives. This agreement provides for serial repayments with a final maturity date of July 15, 1989. The interest rate is 8.125%. Amtrak borrowings from the FFB are guaranteed by the Department of Transportation. The Federal Financing Bank made the following loans to utility companies guaranteed by the Rural Electrification Administration: Interest Date Borrower Amount Maturity Rate 3/19 South Mississippi $5,235,000 3/27/78 6.964% Electric Power Association 3/31 Oglethorpe Electric 3,855,000 12/31/10 8.065% Membership Corp. 3/31 Associated Electric 4,000,000 12/31/10 8.065% Coop., Inc. 3/31 Southern Illinois 900,000 3/31/78 6.905% Power Corporation Interest payments are made quarterly on the above loans. * / & • 3The FFB made the following advances to' borrowers guaranteed by the Department of Defense under the Foreign Military Sales Act: Interest Date Borrower Amount Maturity Rate 3/19 Republic of $17,314,463.10 6/30/83 7.555% Korea 3/26 Government of Argentina 1,049,700.00 4/30/83 7.524 3/29 Government of Morocco 11,649,070.00 6/30/83 7.485% 3A29 Government of Israel 22,365,109.96 6/10/85 7.624% 3/31 Government of 685,357.15 9/30/85 7.526% China On March 23, the Bank purchased $2,483,000 of notes from the Department of Health, Education and Welfare, The Department had previously acquired the notes which were issued by various public agencies under the Medical Facilities Loan Program. The notes purchased by the Federal Financing Bank are guaranteed by the Department of Health, Education and Welfare and mature on July 1, 2000. The interest rate .is 8.081%. On March 24, the Bank purchased the following debentures from Small Business Investments Companies: Interest Company Amount Maturity Rate Capital Investment, Inc. (Wisconsin) 3,000,000 3/1/86 7.905% Louisiana Equity Capital 100,000 3/1/86 7.905% Corp. These debentures are guaranteed by the Small Business Administration. On March 31, the Tennessee Valley Authority _w n . . m u ^ x ^ u rate x«uv, wx. *~~ •140 million at an interest of ^.*-v,,u. 5.207%. The Jun 30, 1976 t?i ? - Proceeds of the loan were used •110 million of notes maturing with the Bank and additional funds. bo rrowed .jan m a t u r e s lo to repay to raise - 4 On March 23, the Federal Financing Bank'entered into an agreement with the Rural Electrification Administration to purchase up to $600 million in Certificates of Beneficial Ownership in insured notes and other obligations of the Rural Electrification and Telephone Revolving Fund. The obligations in the Fund are loans made by REA pursuant to the Rural Electrification Act to entities which own or contemplate owning rural electric and telephone systems. The first CBO sale to the Bank in the amount of $166,374,000 took place on March 31, 1976. The CBO matures on March 31, 2006. The rate of interest is 8.205%. Federal Financing Bank loans outstanding on March 31, 1976 totalled $21.7 billion. 4£z R$¥t'$W of ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS April 9, 1976 THE COMING INVENTORY BOOM On top of the continuing strength in consumer spending (the primary force in the current economic expansion), prospects now point to an inventory boom — one that might carry the economy to higher economic growth rates later this year and next than were officially forecast last January. Indeed, the prospective huge volume of inventories that businesses may wish to accumulate to achieve a desired relationship with sales might be frustrated — because of limited resource capability. Otherwise, an "inventory explosion" could well develop. Real Nonfarm Inventories and Final Sales of Goods and Structures Inventory-Sales Ratio .40- .38 .36 •Long-term Trend .34 i i i i i i i i i 10^_ i i i i i i i i Percent Change (from 4 quarters earlier) Inventories ' ' I l I I I i I I-i i i I i i i I i i i I i i i I i 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 76-1 est. Changes in inventory investment typically represent an important swing element in rates of change in GNP during economic contractions and expansions. During periods of decline in economic growth, inventories accumulate because production cannot be curtailed quickly enough in reaction to the decline in "final sales" (i.e., GNP less inventory change). In contrast, periods of economic upswing typically are characterized by under-accumulation of inventories — because production cannot be expanded quickly enough to provide for the deficiency of stocks resulting from rapid advances in final sales. That pattern is being repeated in this latest business cycle experience. As real final sales declined during the course of 1974, the inventory-sales ratio for the economy reached a 443 - 2 - postwar high by the end of that year, as shown in the chart on page one. In the subsequent economic expansion that has now proceeded into the first quarter of 1976, real final sales rose dramatically, an increase that has not only absorbed the inventory overhang which had developed, but also has created shortages in stocks in some areas. During this period, the inventory-sales ratio (the real value of stocks in relationship to the real value of final sales of goods and structures) plummeted from a postwar high of .41 in the fourth quarter of 1974 to an estimated .38 in the first quarter of 1976. Allowing for trends in this ratio, the estimated first quarter 1976 value indicates, at the very least, the restoration of some balance in the aggregate. (As indicated below, the ratio appears low at retail and somewhat high at the manufacturers ' level.) The decline in the inventory-sales ratio primarily registered an advance in final sales for the economy at large at a rate of about 4 1/2% from the first quarter of 1975 to the first quarter of 1976 (consumer spending increased at a more rapid pace over this period — about 5 1/2%, while other elements of final sales, business fixed investment, net exports and Government, rose somewhat less) . It was this accelerated rate of expansion in final sales that has erased much of the inventory overhang and set the stage for 1976 as a year of an inventory boom. The magnitude of that boom that might be expected is indicated by the experience of other postwar expansions. Advances in inventories have roughly matched increases in final sales of goods and services (though on occasion the change of stocks might lag the change in sales by a few quarters) . This has been the invariable postwar pattern — swings in real inventory holdings roughly follow swings in real final sales, as shown in the lower panel of the chart on page one; the magnitude of the fluctuations in inventories over most of the post-Korean war period has roughly matched that of final sales of goods and services. It is this relationship which promises to provide the basis for an inventory boom later this year and in 1977. Real final sales might be expected to rise 5%, or somewhat more, over the four quarters of 1976. This expectation would rely on the average experience in the rate of growth in final sales during the four previous economic recoveries; and on an analysis of expected demands by the consumer and business sectors. 42.V - 3 - If this rate of final sales is realized, then inventory accumulation could be expected to be very sizeable. In 1972 dollars, inventory investment that would be associated with this rate of final sales increase would average in the neighborhood of $16 billion per quarter. If that $16 billion were to be realized, real economic growth in 1976 would amount to 7% — nearly 1% more than had been projected in the Budget and the Economic Report. However, that rate of accumulation in inventories wouldappear unlikely because: • Acceleration of production could not feasibly proceed quickly enough to satisfy an already rapid rate of consumer spending, as well as to build inventory. • Inventory accumulation may be limited by business caution, due to memories of the excesses in stock building in 1974. • Some overhang of excessive inventory remains — especially in the metals. • For a while, the composition of expected output would be weighted toward consumer goods, which requires relatively less time in production than capital goods or defense equipment, which means that a smaller buildup of goods-in-process inventories might be expected. Nevertheless, some markup in the rate of real growth from the January 1976 projections appears in order. That correction might be in the neighborhood of an accumulation of $10 billion — which would raise total GNP real growth in 1976 by additional 1/2 percent more than in the January estimates. The principal source of that correction might be expected at retail. As shown in the chart on the next page, the level of inventories in relation to retail sales has been pared drastically. Despite the strong rebound of retail sales in 1975 and early 1976, merchants' ordering to restock shelves has been extremely cautious. By the last quarter of 1975, the constant dollar value of retail inventories to consumer goods purchases had reached the lowest level since 1969, while early reports for the first quarter of this year point to a further decline. If retailers do not restock soon, sales gains will be smaller than they otherwise would be. Presumably, ordering for re-stocking will grow stronger, contributing to the inventory expansion to be expected in 1976 and 1977. - 4 - Ratio of Retail Store Inventories to Consumer Purchases of Goods 150r(Constant dollars) In contrast, some overhang of production materials and supplies still exists at the manufacturing level, especially among durable goods manufacturers. (Some of this overhang has been masked by shifts in accounting methods, which have distorted the commonly cifce4 ratios of book value inventories to sales.) Expectations of an .130inventory boom in 1976 rest on the assumption that some .125 balance of stock-sales 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ratios/ in the aggregate, had been reached by the end of the first quarter of this year; and that re-ordering has begun and will be showing up in figures not yet calculated. Already, some indicators which normally lead swings in inventory stocks would suggest that the boom will be developing. Among them are: • The proportion of manufacturers reporting inventories to be too high had fallen by the fourth quarter of 1975 to that averaged during 1972, prior to the inventory scramble of 1973. • By year-end 1975, manufacturers who characterized inventories as too low were about the same proportion as in mid-1973. Only 1.1% of the dollar value of manufacturers' inventories were reported as in excess, about the same as late 1973, and down from 4.4% in late 1974. In the first quarter of this year, the proportion of companies reporting 60 day or more commitments to purchase production materials had already returned to rates of early 1973. The proportion of firms reporting slower deliveries has mounted sharply to 50% midway in the first quarter of this year, up sharply from 16% a year ago, which was the lowest level since just prior to the Korean War. - 5 - All these indicators would appear to signal that rebuilding of stocks is ahead. Indeed, the return of many of these indicators to late 1972 or early 1973 levels may foreshadow the eventual emergence of some market congestion should the recovery proceed at too rapid a pace. Initiator: Russel Reviewer: OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY OFFICE OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS Liebling Department of theTREASURY U OFFICE OF REVENUE SHARING WASHINGTON, D.C. 20226 TELEPHONE 634-5248 7-/127 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE FRIDAY, APRIL 23, 1976 CONTACT: PRISCILLA CRANE (202) 634-5248 The amount of General Revenue Sharing money to be paid each of nearly 39,000 states and local governments for the period 7/1/76-12/31/76 (Entitlement Period Seven) was announced by the U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Revenue Sharing today. A total of $3.3 billion will be distributed to all general governments in the United States in two quarterly payments, in October 1976 and January 1977. These allocations of shared revenues in the General Revenue Sharing Program have been made using data provided by the U.S. Bureau of the Census, the Bureau of Indian Affairs, the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Internal Revenue Service as required by law. Fiscal year 1975 data on local tax effort and intergovernmental transfers and estimated 1973 population and 1972 per capita income figures were used in making the new allocations for local governments. Data used for the interstate allocations were: 1975 population; 1970 urbanized Population; 1972 per capita income; FY 1974 state and local taxes; 1974 general tax effort factor; 1975 state individual income taxes; and 1974 Federal individual income tax liabilities. These data have been published and are available from the Office of Revenue Sharing today, as well. -more- -2- +&? Amounts to be paid for Entitlement Period Seven also reflect adjustments to fiscal year 1976 amounts, based on calculations made with verified and improved data obtained during the current year. The amounts that states and local governments may expect to receive have been printed on Planned Use Report forms mailed today to each recipient State, county, city, town, township, Indian tribe and Alaskan native village in the United States. On the Planned Use Report form, due to be returned to the Office of Revenue Sharing by June 25, 1976, the Chief Executive Officer of each recipient government must report that government's plans for uses of the revenue sharing money it will receive in October and January. The Planned Use Reports must be published locally in newspapers of general circulation. In addition, the news media in each area -- including bi-lingual news media -- must be informed about the report. A copy of the report and supporting documentation must be made available for public inspection at a location announced on the published report form. The publication requirement in the revenue sharing law was intended to provide citizens with information about the General Revenue Sharing Program as it affects their communities. Citizens may suggest changes in proposed uses of the money before it has been spent. -more- -3- ^>f Governments that fail to file Planned Use Reports with the Office of Revenue Sharing will not receive their quarterly checks on schedule. The funds will be held by the Office of Revenue Sharing until the forms have been properly published and filed. Title I of the State and Local Fiscal Assistance Act of 1972 authorized and appropriated $30.2 billion to be distributed to all units of general government in the United States over a five year period, from January 1972 through December 1976. Thus far, the Office of Revenue Sharing has made payments totaling $25.1 billion. President Ford has requested the Congress to renew General Revenue Sharing past its present deadline of December 1976. -30- Attachment (Summary of amounts by state) GENERAL REVENUE SHARING ENTITLFMFNT PERIOD T REVENUE SHARING SUMMARY NAME REVENUE SHARED EP1 - EP 6 REVENUE TO BE SHARED EP 7 TOTAL ALABAMA 447(662*946 53*655*635 501*318(581 ALASKA 35*954*661 6*163*852 42(118(513 ARIZONA 270*566*622 31*568*633 302(135(455 ARKANSAS 277*650*786 35*184*413 312(835*199 CALIFORNIA 2*833*814**30 355*937*060 3*189(751*890 COLuHADO 283*428.418 36*952*898 320(381.316 CONNECTICUT 344*574*611 42*338*167 386(912*778 DELAtfAHt 80*389,615 10*593,740 90,983.3*5 HIST OF COLUMBIA 117*663.975 13*937*679 131*601*654 FLOKIOA 797.944.296 100.068.236 898.012*532 GEOHGIA 559*788,105 70.155*647 629.943.752 HA»AlI 117*813.980 15*093*313 132.907,293 IDAHO 107,452.155 12*106*000 119,558.155 ILLINOIS 1.364.075.043 171.003.774 1*535.079*717 INDIANA 561.025.278 70.477.608 631*502*886 IUMA 371,152,194 41,020.818 412*173*012 KANSAS 253*986*584 29.780.133 283.766.717 KENTUCKY 435*773,556 55.764.577 491*538.133 LOUISIANA 604.741,704 73.221,373 677.963.077 "AINE 165.105.P44 20*362*152 185.467,996 MAWYLANn 530,112.786 66*700*249 596,813.035 MASSACHUSETTS 851,6*4,962 105.127.729 956.772.691 *1CHIGAN 1,133,423.308 136.985.459 1*270.408*767 MINNESOTA 537,702.337 66.863.683 604*566*020 MISSISSIPPI 429,362,420 50,541,781 479.904,201 "ISSOuwi 504,773,4^9 62,791,007 567,564,506 MONTANA 104,415.853 12,314,508 116,730,361 VE6-JASKA 188.283.919 20,996*442 209,280,361 NEVADA 59.492.^24 8,341,504 67,834,028 NE* HAMPSHIRE 65.349,^03 11.111.869 96,461,472 NE» JERSEY 839.008,455 104.703.165 943.711,620 Nt> Mfc'xICO 168,696,409 21.475.863 190,172,272 \t« ruRn 2,992.504,147 377.918.901 3,370,423*048 N(!"1M CAROLINA 678.b28.827 83.446,756 762,075.583 NORTH OAKOTA 99.761 ,666 9,427,804 109,189,470 "Hlu 1.073.421.551 134,452,879 1,207,874,430 OKLAHOMA 298.880,685 36,356,454 335,237,139 OHtbO^ 269.272,210 35.843,413 305,115,623 PENNSYLVANIA 1, 409.223.986 176,000,540 1,585,224,526 •^HOJE ISLANO 119,201.645 14,321,168 133,522,813 SOUTH CAKOLINA 368,988,870 46,187,186 415,176,056 SOUTH DAKOTA 115,804,732 10,631,185 126,435,917 TENNESSEE 505,594,163 62,208,572 567,802,755 TEXAS 1,275.788,21? 165,025,582 1,440,813,794 UTAH 157,659,236 18,748,068 176,407,304 VERMONT 77,094,«82 8,817,077 85,911,959 VIRGINIA 532,979,151 67,500,587 600,479,738 ••ASHINGTON 386*953,353 50,782,459 437,735,812 WEST VIRGINIA 258,028,119 30,607,715 288,635,834 WISCONSIN 673*921,526 80,488,915 754,410,441 WYOMING 47,702,700 5,424,767 53,127,467 ° NATIONAL TOTALS * 26,804,241,859 3,327,529,195 30,131,771,054 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Remarks of David F. Bradford Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Tax Policy at the National Association of Manufacturers Conference Washington, D. C. April 20, 1976 Feedback Effects and Tax Policy Analysis The title of this conference, "The Economic Impact of Tax Proposals: Are Revenue Estimates Enough?" is, I hope, a rhetorical question. Certainly academic students of the economics of public finance will find it a curious one. I'm sure one would have difficulty finding the subject of revenue estimating on a course syllabus, or discovering any significant writings on the subject in the vast volume of economic literature about taxes. In saying this, I do not intend to belittle the importance of high quality analysis of the revenue consequences of tax policy choices. Clearly this is a proper component of intelligent decision-making, and the skill with which this function is carried out by the Treasury staff members is extraordinary. However, the economic analysis of tax policy by and large treats the revenue aspects as secondary, a matter of the constraint within which the objectives of fairness and efficient resource use are to be pursued. In the legislative process, however, revenue effects of tax law changes seem to have a disproportionate importance. Often whether or not a proposed tax change is accepted turns on the estimated revenue consequences, and revenue effects are often used as a measure of the degree to which a reform serves the objective of equity, which is essentially unrelated to revenues. WS-790 - 2 I am not sure why this is so, but I can suggest two reasons. One is the budgetary setting within which tax law changes are necessarily made. While year by year budget balance is no longer considered necessary, the terms in which budget objectives are set tend to emphasize the revenue total. The budget represents an important component, perhaps the most important one, of the plan of action by which resources are directed to government use. And because the Federal Government is such a large actor in the system this plan must account as well for the influence of government actions on the private economy. In the budget-making context this means especially the consequences for the level of employment of labor and capital resources and the rate of price inflation. We all know, or we should know, that the budgetary aggregates — spending and receipts — represent very imperfect measures of the influence of the government on the private economy, even on such gross aggregate measures of the performance of the private economy as the level of employment and rate of inflation. Tax policy is bound to affect differentially different sectors of the economy. Further, policy alternatives which have the same tendency to stimulate or retard the aggregate level of activity are bound to have different implications for tax receipts in a given period. However, it is exceedingly difficult to describe a budget's total effects, and I think most people regard it as a heartening advance that Congressional procedures have been developed which attempt to deal with this issue at all. Still the principal instrument by which budget control is exercised in that procedure is the overall revenue constraint. That is, the main method by which Congress attempts to coordinate its fiscal program to the budget horizon is an aggregate which cannot recognize the subtleties of the effect of the composition of the revenue picture. In my view, given the state of the forecasting art, the dullness of this instrument of control is not very serious. However, it does put a tremendous burden on the revenue estimates of tax alternatives, since these estimates have a crucial bearing on the package of tax proposals which "fits" the revenue target in the budget. 4& - 3 r- I noted that two^possible reasons for the great emphasis on revenue estimate^^in^the legislative process had occurred to me. * The first; is the budgetary setting of tax legislation. The; second is the considerable ignorance that exists about the functioning of the market system and the way in which taxes impinge on it, The result is a tendency to regard revenue effects as the most important ones. The ignorance is by no means confined to legislators, and I do not wish ±o exaggerate the accomplishments d£ economic science. However, I think it is clear that economists have thus far failed to communicate /peV^uasivefy what they have learned//at least about the appropriate questions which should be raised in making tax policy choices. It is useful to, distinguish several types of responses of the economy^ to tax changes. First, changes in total revenue may resiilt in "a change in ,total spendable income, thereby altering total demand forTgoods and servicer and the rate of uhemployment. Second, altered tax rules may cause changes in behavipr directly, by. reducing the incentive to pay dividends, to hire\'constructiQn iajaor, to buy particular pr6du6ts,^aLnd the like. Third, changes in the structure of the" tax4system' may,alter the future potential productive capacity of the economy: by affecting-, throughout the economy, the-desire to accumulate new capital, to undertake education and advanced training, or to employ labor and capital efficiently. Income and Employment Effect's of Tax Changes The first type of feedback is the short-run consequence of tax changes for unemployment, inflation, and revenues that accompany budgets in preparation. A good part of the recent attention paid the subject of feedback effects, or secondary, tertiary, and "ripple" effects of tax proposalston the national economy has concerned revenue estimates in the context of budgeting for Fiscal Year 1977. It has been said that traditional estimates made by Treasury staff of tbe revenue gains and losses of various proposed tax revisions are poor guides to policy because they fail t(^ account for-the changes in income and employment which occur :as^the private economy adjusts to these tax,changes. <If a proposal to broaden the tax base, for\example,, causes consumers to spend less and businesses to curtail capital expansion, these - 4 behavioral responses will tend to reduce the tax base. The result, the argument goes, is a smaller increase in revenues than revenue estimators had predicted. In extreme cases, it is argued that tax revenues will actually fall, and, more importantly, there will be a waste of resources through unemployment. For example, the question is asked/ does the estimate of $3.3 billion of revenue pick-up in FY 1977 attributable to the increase in social security tax rate proposed by President Ford take into account the dampening effect such a tax increase will have on the economic recovery? The answer is "sort of." To explain that answer, let me refer to the revenue estimates included in the Budget of the United States Government for Fiscal Year 1977. According to the projections there, the total receipts in FY 1977 under existing and Administration-proposed legislation were anticipated to be $351.3 billion. The budget document provides, as well, the effects on tax receipts of each of a series of legislative changes, such as the proposed social security tax rate increase ($+3.3 billion) or the already-enacted Revenue Adjustment Act of 1975 ($-1.3 billion). An example of such a breakdown is given by the following table, taken from the budget document. Changes in Budget Receipts [In billions of dollars] 1977 estimate Receipts under tax rates and structure^in 371.3 effect January 1, 1974 Increase in import fee on petroleum products administrative action Enacted legislative changes: Social security taxable earnings base increases: $13,200 to $14,000 effective Jan. IV 1975 r $14,100 to $15,300 effective Jan. 1, 1976 $15,300 to $16,500 effective Jan. 1, 1977 1/ Tax Reduction Act of 1975 Revenue Adjustment Act of 19 75 + 2.1 + 2.4 + .8 + .4 -1.3 0^ - 5 Liberalized deduction for individual contributions to pension-plans -.5 Reduction in telephone excise tax -.9 Increase in SMI (medicare) premium +. 3 Total, receipts under existing legislation 374.6 Changes due to tax proposals: Individual and corporation income tax reduction effective July 1, 19 76 -2 8.1 Financial Institutions Act -.3 Stock ownership" incentives -.3 Accelerated depreciation on investment in high unemployment areas ' Social security tax rate increase from 11.7% to 12.3% effective Jan. 1, 1977 1/ Unemployment tax tateand base increase Jan. 1, 1977 ' ' Other ; * ; +3.3 +2.1 +.1 Total, receipts under existing and proposed legislation Source: -.3 351.3 Budget of the United States for Fiscal Year 1977. Some figures are revised. 1/ The effect of the taxable earnings base increase is calculated using a tax rate of 11.7%. The effect of the tax rate increase is calculated using a taxable earnings base of $16,500. The meaning of the revenue aggregate for FY 1977 is clear enough, but to what questions are the other numbers the answers? i think most of us would like them to be of the following sort: - 6 "Question: What will be the effect on FY 1977 social security tax receipts if the rate increase proposed by the President (from 11.7 to 12.3 percent) is not adopted and if the Government does everything else as planned in the budget?" (The underlined phrase is often left unstated, but something of the sort must be assumed.) Unfortunately, the answer is "It depends." It depends on the meaning of "everything else as planned." — Will the Federal Reserve make no adjustment to the change in Government debt outstanding? — If revenues are reduced after accounting for feedbacks, how is the greater deficit to be financed? Will an offsetting change be made in some other tax? Will debt be retired or expenditures increased? -., Thus, the question of the effect*of making changes > in apparent isolation is not well specified—some assumption must be made about the decisions made about other policy instruments available to the Government, (including for this purpose the Federal Reserve System). What are the assumptions about other policy instruments underlying Treasury projections? While they are not spelled out, they amount to this: that Government will tend to adjust its plans in light of developments to keep the economy on the path set as the objective in the budget. Thus, Treasury methods of projecting tax receipts do take into account the effect of tax law changes on the course of the economy in the short run. The question to which such estimates are addressed is of the following kind: "Question: What will be the effect on FY 1977 receipts from the social security tax if the increase from 11.7 percent to 12-3 percent proposed by the President is not adopted by Congress and if instead the Government takes other measures to assure the attainment of the path of the economy projected in the budget?" "Answer: A decrease of $3.3 billion." ^J7 - 7 As we have seen, such estimated receipt changes do incorporate feedback effects in that they are consistent with the path of the economy expected to result from adopting the budget. To calculate the effect of the entire "package" of tax and expenditure plans contained in the budget requires a kind of simultaneous determination—we cannot estimate receitps until we know GNP; we cannot know GNP until we know receipts and expenditures (which are also sensitive to GNP) . The approximation to this simultaneous determination is carried out by coordinated staff work of the so-called "Troika," consisting of the Office of Management and Budget, the Council of Economic Advisors and the Treasury. The expected course of the economy under a variety of alternative fiscal and monetary options is calculated in the course of developing overall economic oolicy recommendations by the Administration and the Congressional budget committees. However, it seems most appropriate that decisions about the structure of taxes assume that the overall objectives of fiscal policy are realized. With respect to the structure of taxation, i.e., deductions, depreciation rules, credits, and the like, we should aim for a system which we regard as fair and which promotes the efficient use of the nation's resources. The level of taxes can in principle generally be adjusted in a way which does not alter any given desirable structure. Price Effects of Tax Changes The second of the feedback effects, the price effects, consist of changes in behavior attributable to the direct impact of the tax. While often there is no sound empirical basis for calculating these effects, traditional revenue estimates incorporate such responses in those selected cases where there is broad agreement on the direction and size of the change. Examples of such estimates are (1) the change in purchases of gasoline that would accompany a change in the gasoline excise tax rate, (2) induced dividend payout accompanying the corporate integration proposals or (3) projected use of a new statutory plan, such as DISC or the proposed BSOP, which did not exist before the change m the tax law. These estimates could be improved, given more resources and greater knowledge of the relationships, and this is one source of "feedback" controversy. - 8 Considerable interest is often focused on these allocative effects of tax changes. For example, the application of proposed tax shelter limits to investment in real estate may be expected to alter the amount of such investment, affecting first the construction industry and then the level and price of real estate services. Another example is the investment tax credit. By making this feature of the tax system permanent at the 10 percent level we can anticipate that the level of investment in machinery and equipment will be somewhat larger than would otherwise be the case, and we may be interested in estimating the effect of this on employment in the capital goods construction industry and on the division of output between sectors more or less favored by this incentive. The methods available for this analysis are different from those used in projecting aggregate output and the associated employment and tax receipts. Short-run forecasting models, which have been designed to give the best possible estimates of the aggregate effects, have not been refined to the point where they can be used to give reliable forecasts about the composition of income and employment. As a result, the short-run projections made by Treasury staff are generally developed by starting with a long-run analysis and then using estimates of the rate at which the adjustment to the long run takes place. However, the rate of unemployment and near term level of tax collections do not depend upon these sectoral changes alone, as some other estimates of feedback effects imply. Unemployment and other measures of short-term economic health depend upon the overall fiscal and monetary posture. If that posture is unchanged, reduction in demand for output in one sector will be offset, perhaps completely, by increased demand elsewhere. Long-Run Analysis The emphasis of long-run analysis is on questions of the level and composition of productive potential in the economy, since the degree of slack cannot be forecast very far into the future. The long-run questions are also significant, however, and the tax system profoundly affects the answers. - 9 Asking "long-run" questions also makes certain guides to tax policy more clear. It is not the real object of tax policy to minimize or maximize revenue flows. The basic long-run fiscal policy issue is the fraction of the nation's resources which should be devoted to collective consumption and how much of the resources left in the private sector should be redistributed through welfare and similar transfer programs. The tax system to finance this policy should be designed to harmonize with the distribution objectives while interfering as little as possible with the efficient allocation of resources. The fact that a tax change would raise $X of increased revenue in 1985 is not necessarily a virtue. What is important is whether it improves the functioning and fairness of the economic system. The central concern of long-run analysis is with the effects of the fiscal system on the rate of capital accumulation and the efficiency with which the available capital stock and labor force are used. Economic analysis provides us with some presumptions about the relative effects of different policies on capital formation and efficiency. For example, because an income tax introduces a differential between the total yield from an investment and the "after tax" yield on which the investor bases his decision there is a presumption that the capital stock is "too small." In the choice between consumption and investment, the balance is tilted toward consumption. There are investment opportunities with yields sufficiently attractive to induce people to forego some consumption, but these go unexploited because of the tax. Another and equally serious problem is the effect of the tax system on the allocation among sectors of the investment which is made. For example, it has long been recognized that the existence of a separate corporation income tax results in a differential between the before tax yield on investment in this and the noncorporate sector. By reallocating the present investment from the lower yield noncorporate to the higher yield corporate form, a gain in output could be obtained at no cost to the economy. - 10 Let me give some examples of the sort of conclusions which have been reached by economists who have studied these questions. In a 1966 study Professor Arnold Harberger concluded that the extra tax on income from corporate capital resulted in the equivalent of a loss of approximately one-half percent of GNP per year due to the divergence between the before tax yield in that sector compared to the noncorporate sector. More recently, in a calculation similar in spirit, Professor Martin Feldstein concluded that the result of shifting the tax on capital income fully onto labor income would lead to an increase of about one percent in effective output. This gain would be due to closing the gap between before tax and after tax yield on investment. Such calculations are surrounded with qualifications by their authors, and I run a danger of misrepresenting them by presenting their carefully derived and largely illustrative results as "conclusions." One qualification which these and other authors would strongly emphasize is that such calculations do not attempt to evaluate the distributional consequences of the changes being analyzed. However, even here the work of economists suggests that apparenetly obvious propositions may be incorrect. For example, by now many people recognize that "good jobs" require the support of capital investment in the form of machines, education, etc. But it would come as a surprise for most that a shift of taxes from capital to labor income could lead to an increase in the after-tax earnings from labor. A parameter of the economic system, known in the jargon as the "elasticity of substitution of capital for labor," plays a crucial role in this possibility. Michael Boskin has recently estimated the value of this parameter for the United States economy to be around .5, a value which makes distinctly possible such an apparently paradoxical result. Calculations of the sort just described provide reason to think about redesign of our tax system to achieve some of the long term gains they suggest are possible. Unfortunately, at this point we do not have at our disposal quantitative models of the U.S. economy which permit us to trace with confidence the path of productive capacity over time under different tax policy consequences. However, I think we know enough about the economy to conclude it is not a perpetual motion machine. To decrease the rate w - 11 - of tax on capital income will require us to finance the change with other taxes '(e.g., by a move toward a consumption-based tax) or.by a reduction in the trend of government spending^ To obtain a sense for the alternatives which might be available we constructed a highly simplified model of the growth of the United States economy. It incorporates speci fie relationships: . between the fraction of income saved and the rate of returns to the saver, . between the after-tax wage and labor effort supplied, . between the rate of saving and net accumulation of capital, . between the taxes levied on wages and capital income and government outlays, . between input of labor and capital services and GNP. To this model economy we in taxes on income from by an equal decrease in resulting effect on the in the following table: applied a $30 billion cut capital. This cut was financed government expenditure. The path of the economy is described Estimated Changes Due to $30 Billion Initial Tax Reduction on Capital Income — As Compared to 19 76 Levels Low Estimate High Estimate • Pnl 1 • • • Fill 1 'V7 ' 1977 :Effeet: * 1978 : ' 1979 : 'VT^ : Effect 1977 Capital stock ($ billion) ; 1978 : ' 1979 : 5.7 11.2 16.4 119.6 13.8 27.1 39.5 278.2 GNP ($ billion) 0.5 1.0 1.5 10.5 1.6 3.2 4.7 32.3 Employment (thousands) 0 0 0 0 31.2 60.3 82.8 602.3 Revenue ( $ billion) -29.9 -29.7 -29.6 -27.0 -29.5 -29.1 -28.7 -20.9 - 12 A model of this kind, while fitted with parameters which are intended to be "realistic" serves much more importantly the function of enforcing consistency. In thinking about the effects of tax change over the long run on such variables as capital stock, it is essential that all of the relationships just summaried be taken into account. I draw two lessons from the exercise: (1) Even a fairly large reduction in tax on capital income may have a relatively modest effect on the long-run capital stock. The change in this example is about 1/6 in the tax and leads to a change of between 3 and 6 percent in the ultimate stock (relative to trend). (2) Even under optimistic estimates of the responsiveness of saving and labor force participation, the induced changes in revenues do not come close to covering the initial cut. Conclusions From all this I draw two basic conclusions about feedback. First, on the negative side, I believe that there has been too much attention paid to the revenue estimating aspects of this subject. If, on the other side, discussions such as this one will lead all of us to refocus on the real issues of long run tax analysis— the effect of the tax system on the distribution of the output of the economy and the efficiency of resource use— I think we shall have been well served by the debate. oOo 043 Contact: J.C. Davenport Extension 8585 April 20, 1976 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE ANTIDUMPING INVESTIGATION INITIATED ON METAL-WALLED ABOVE-GROUND SWIMMING POOLS FROM JAPAN Assistant Secretary of the Treasury David R. Macdonald announced today the initiation of an antidumping investigation on imports of metal-walled above-ground swimming pools from Japan. Notice of this action will be published in the Federal Register of April 21, 1976. The Treasury Department's announcement followed a summary investigation conducted by the U.S. Customs Service after receipt of a petition alleging that dumping was occurring in the United States. The information received tends to indicate the prices of the merchandise exported to the U.S. are less than the constructed value of such or similar merchandise produced in Japan. The imported merchandise usually consists of three components sold together as a package: a wall, a frame (composed of a seat and uprights), and a liner. The wall and the frame are generally made of steel or aluminum, and the liner is made of vinyl. The larger units are referred to as "family pools11 and the smaller pools as "splashers." Imports of the subject product are dutiable under a basket provision of the Tariff Schedules of the United States. Imports from Japan are believed to amount to at least $4.5 million annually. WS-791 JU J- JL f\ r\ t\ WfU REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE WILLIAM E. SIMON SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE BETTER BUSINESS BUREAU LUNCHEON ROCHESTER, NEW YORK APRIL 21, 1976 Thank you Representative Conable, Congressman Horton, members of the head table, ladies and gentlemen: I am delighted to be with you today and to learn first hand of some of the efforts your organization is making to stimulate a climate of economic development in the Rochester area. I'm fully aware that your town has earned the reputation of being an economic leader with a strong and diversified industrial base. Being here also affords me the pleasure of seeing again my good friends, Representatives Barber Conable and Frank Horton, both men of outstanding talent, a credit to their constituencies, and valued friends of this Administration. As I look around this room, I realize that among you are many whose businesses were hard-hit by the recent recessii. : and simultaneous double-digit inflation. Perhaps I can cheer you with some words of optimism. For, although I will be the first to warn that we still have a way to go, we are now well into a period of economic expansion. — 1975 opened with inflation raging at 13 percent, we have now cut that rate in half. — During the spring of 1975, the unemployment rate reached nine percent, today it has fallen to 7.5 percent. — And earlier this week we learned that real GNP, that is, total output after adjusting for inflation, increased at an annual rate of 7-1/2 percent during the first quarter of 1976. WS-792 — Other signs point to an economy that is gaining increasing momentum: Personal income, industrial output, housing starts, retail'sales, the stock market — all are registering solid gains and this reflects rising public confidence about the economy that contrasts sharply with the deep pessimism reported by the polltakers the middle of last year. Thus we made considerable headway in 1975, and the outlook for 1976 remains encouraging. But that;' sr still nbt^good enough, and this is certainly no time for complacency. Unemployment is still intolerably high, and inflation is by no means under complete control. In fact, it remains the most dangerous enemy of real economic growth. The ruinous inflation that crested in 1974 was the chief cause of the recession of 1975. Let us learn from history so that it will never be said that the pain and suffering of the 1974-75 recession were in vain — that the politicians in Washington again ignored the national interest and refused to accept economic reality. Of course when I speak of economic reality, I mean to emphasize the difference between performance and promise. There is already a tendency on our national scene, which shows every sign of intensifying as the elections draw closer, to look with great alarm upon the current unemployment and inflation figures. There is a seemingly endless stream of political rhetoric about the insensitivity of this Administration for not spending massively enough and acting decisively enough to solve all our problems. But for once, let us not fall prey to those who tour the country, their bags brimming with instant quack cures — self-proclaimed compassionate people whose spending proposals promise everything, but deliver us only one thing: more inflation. Indeed I urge you, as intelligent and objective citizens to ask yourself a few fundamental questions. How could the most dynamic economic system in the world become infected with the diseases of inflation and unemployment at the same time? As a people where did we lose our way? I believe it is imperative to decide how we got ourselves into this mess if we're really sincere about getting out of it permanently. Economists argue about this a good deal. Many politicians are ignoring the question entirely, seeking instead to capitalize on the effects of the problems. But to me there is no real mystery about how we got there, nor what we must do. To an objective observer, the first and most glaringly obvious fact is that our economic problems do not stem from a - 3 lack of compassion, concern or vision on the part of the Federal government. Since President Eisenhower left office: — The number of domestic spending programs has increased tenfold. — The American people have spent over one trillion dollars on social programs for people and communities that needed help — a commitment that now equals 73% of our entire budget. — The staple of our national life has become politicians with grand visions and even grander promises of what can be accomplished if they can just spend more of our money and be given greater authority over our lives. So over the past 15 years, the government has tried many, many solutions. Yet the problems persist and our people are now more frustrated, disillusioned, and cynical. This doesn't mean there are no answers. It means only, I would suggest, that we have been taking fundamentally the wrong approach. We suffer not from a lack of government action, but from an excess of government action. The trouble with the Federal government is that it is trying to do more than its resources permit, to do many things that it cannot do very well, to do some things that it should not do at all, and to do all these things at the same time. Excesses in governmental action have been most damaging to three critical areas affecting the economy: — fiscal policy — monetary policy — regulatory policy No one who has followed the pattern of Federal spending in recert years can fail to be impressed by its explosive growth. — The Federal budget has quadrupled in 15 years; — We have had 16 budget deficits in 17 years; — And we have doubled the national debt in just 10 years time. It took 75 years for our national debt to reach one billion dollars. Today government spending is causing the debt to grow by one billion dollars every week. The Federal Government today is the nation's biggest single employer, its biggest consumer, and its biggest borrower. And if present trends continue until the end of the century, 4*f7 Government at all levels will account for almost 60% of our gross national product. Once government achieves that degree of dominance over your lives, much of the economic and political freedom you now take for granted will have been lost. The alarming fact is that in every country in which this percentage has increased there has been a tendency to move toward instability, toward minority government and toward a threat to a free society. The only outstanding exception that I know of at the moment is Sweden, and I am somewhat mystified why it is an exception. Britain is the outstanding current demonstration with government spending equalling 60 percent or more of the national income. The issues involved are by no means narrowly economic. They concern fundamental principles of equity and of social stability. The problem of growing government spending is that however good those intentions which underlie the growth, those intentions are not achieved, that instead the growth in government spending makes low-income people worse off, undermines social cohesion and threatens the very foundation of a free and representative government. Partly to accomodate the federal government's borrowing needs in the private markets, there has been a significant shift in monetary policies. From 1953 to 1965 the money supply of the United States was growing at approximately 2-1/2% and we enjoyed relative price stability. From 1965 to the present, however, the average rate of growth o f the money supply has more than doubled and it is no accident that during this same period we have had spiraling inflation. This past decade has also witnessed an excessive growth in the regulatory responsibilities of the federal government. This is an area of particular concern to you in Rochester, as well it should be. Government agencies now directly regulate over 10% of everything bought and sold in the United States and indirectly regulate almost every other industry of the private economy. The power of the army of more than 100,000 government regulators has become incredibly strong. Just to fill out the necessary forms, the American people must now spend over 130 million work hours a year. This regulatory process has become so burdensome, for all business big and small, that it is threatening the continued viability of free enterprise. General Motors for example, recently estimated that it spent more than 1.3 billion dollars in 1974 just to comply with existing government regulations and get ready for new ones. That is more than it cost to run - 5 the entire Federal government for all of the first 75 years of our history. But, as bad as that is, at least GM can live to fight another day. Smaller businesses have not been so lucky. Consider the case history of one Ed Sohmers, a typical American businessman, who honestly and conscientously tried to comply with Federal rules and regulations. Ed Sohmers was general manager of Marlin Toy Products, Inc., a Wisconsin company that made a toy cited as unsafe in November 1972 by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration. The toy, a plastic ball containing colored pellets, was declared unsafe, the FDA said, because if it broke open a child could swallow the pellets. No matter that Marlin had been marketing the toy since 1962 and had received no complaints. Mr. Sohmers recalled the toy at a cost of $95,000, removed the pellets and thought his problems were over. But, as he and his 85 employees were preparing for the 1973 holiday season making the toy and other products, a new Federal Agency — The Consumer Product Safety Commission — took over the safety regulation of toys and other products. In the process, some of the paperwork on the Marlin plastic toy went astray. Shortly thereafter, the Commission published a banned products list and sure enough, the Marlin plastic toy was on the list. Ed Sohmer's protest fell on deaf ears. The erroneous list has been distributed to thousands of toy shops and the Commission refused to recall its 250,000 copies "Just to take one or two toys off the list," as they put it. Predictably, the incorrect list caused order cancellations from all over the country. Marlin found itself with a $1.3 million loss and had to lay off all but ten of its 85 workers, many of whom were handicapped. As Marlin's toy business plummeted, its paperwork problems skyrocketed: — Mr. Sohmers had to write more than 700 letters in an effort to obtain enabling legislation that would permit him to sue for damages. * — He spent two weeks and $15,000 gathering documents for an appraisal company to prove the loss of business. - 6 — Three employees had to work two seven-day weeks pouring through documents that went back to the founding of the business in a household kitchen in 1947, in order to answer government inquiries. — And while all this was going on, the Justice Department, pleading a heavy workload, was able to obtain delays on the company's court action against the government. Today, Marlin is out of the toy business. Marlin1s Toys' difficulties are just one example of the thousands of bureaucratic bungles that have taken their toll in both human and financial terms. In this case, government regulatory overkill took a tragic economic toll on human beings. Many of Marlin's discharged employees, especially the handicapped, could not find other jobs. It finally managed, through the intervention of the U.S. Congress, to bring its case against the government to court. I recently came under criticism from the Consumer Product Safety Commission for having told Marlin's story as an example of "bureaucratic bungling" to a group of small businessmen in Dallas. The Commission's chairman, Richard 0. Simpson, wrote me and I quote: "Although your statements accurately reflect the allegations Marlin Toy Products, Inc. have made, I believe it inappropriate for you to publicize them when those very allegations are being contested in court." The government's position, wrote Mr. Simpson, "is that the principal cause of company's problems results from its own mismanagement." When I got that letter, naturally I did a little more checking of the facts. I discovered by Mr. Simpson's own admission in letters to Mr. Sohmers of Marlin in March 1974, and to Senator Eastland in July 1974, that the Commission's listing was indeed an error — an error committed by the Commission and not one that was the result of Marlin's mismanagement. Was it inappropriate of me to speak of Marlin's plight in a public forum in the first place? I submit that it was not. Was it inappropriate to mention that the all-mighty U.S. Government made a mistake? I submit that it was not. - 7 And I submit finally, that we need more,not less, public discussion of regulatory and other matters that directly affect businesses and individuals throughout the country. Just recently I learned the Agriculture Department probably spent several hundred thousand dollars of the taxpayers money and employed four judges just to determine whether a man with a trained dog and pony act could ply his trade without a 25 dollar federal license. It turns out he cannot. When you objectively add up all these facts of excessive government spending, excessive expansion of the money supply and excessive governmental regulation, one conclusion seems inescapable, our inflation and our resulting unemployment were made in Washington, D.C. Here's just part of what the bill now adds up to. Our current federal budget is equivalent to about $2,000 a head for every man, woman, and child in this country. Our national debt equals almost $3,000 for every citizen. And government regulation adds approximately $2,000 to the costs of purchases made by each American family every year. How can anyone make the case that the increase in government benefits has in any way kept up with the increase in government costs? The fact is that governmental excesses of the past 15 years have become the strong underlying cause of inflation during the 1960's. They remain so today. The rise in spending has added enormously to the aggregate demand for goods and services in the economy, thus forcing up prices. And the government's heavy borrowing needs require it to soak up 80% of all new long-term loanable capital, leaving only 20% to the entire private sector, which nevertheless must produce virtually all our goods and services and employ 83% of our workforce. This increasingly massive governmental presence has been an important factor in the persistent rise in interest rates, and the strains in the financial markets. Moreover, it is clear that the cumbersome regulatory procedures of the government have too often only stifled competition and added billions of dollars to the price of consumer goods. Now I am not saying that governmental excesses are the sole cause of our inflation and recession that followed in its wake. The recent quadrupling of oil prices and rising food prices have also played a significant part. But it is the recklessly explosive growth in government that has reaped the greatest destruction. The evidence is in and it proves conclusively to me that government, far from being our greatest source of prosperity ^ry and material security as some people would have us believe, has now become a direct threat to our survival as a free society. And so that is why I must appeal to you this afternoon, not only for your support, but also for your direct participation in a massive effort to preserve the economic freedoms that have given this country both the greatest prosperity and the greatest freedom ever known to man. For what is at stake now is not just the survival of this or that industry. What really is hanging in the balance is the survival of our private sector, and the individual liberties which have never long survived the collapse of a society's economic freedoms. The problem is a matter of both policy and perception. Bad perception leads inevitably to bad policy/ and I am firmly convinced that, taken together, misunderstanding and misdirection of the American economy have become the central underlying problem of our times. Unfortunately the perception of what is right or wrong is too often inaccurate, because it is described inaccurately as a superficial division between those who "care" and those who are "callous." Many of today's youth view those who consistently advocate bigger government as the savior of the modern world out to rescue the persecuted underdog. On the other hand, those who advocate less government and the strengthening of free enterprise are often dismissed out of hand as greedy exploiters out to make a fast buck for themselves or their companies. And — because image is so all important and bad news is big news — those who supposedly "care" are often afforded greater media exposure to expound about all our social ills and to claim they cure them by just cranking out more currency and soaking up more credit through massive deficit spending. In reality, of course, this is no cure at all. It is this same destructive approach that is at the very root of the problems we are struggling with today. Big government isn't the solution; it's a large part of the problem. We who insist on the superiority of the free enterprise system, emphasizing its competition, efficiency, and profitability are nevertheless losing our argument. We tend to converse in slogans and labels, while the proponents of big government speak in more appealing, seemingly more humane terms. This is unfortunate, and to me it would be difficult to imagine any greater irony. For even the most cursory glance at history shows us that the American economy is the most successful the world has ever known — precisely because it is an essentially humane creation of the people, by the people, and for the people. The performance of our economy proves this. In the period since the early 1960s — a period during which one abuse after another has been inflicted upon our private sector, it has nevertheless managed to outperform all others. — In the last 15 years, real purchasing power of Americans has jumped by 40 percent, average family income has risen to over $13,000 a year, 20 million new jobs have been created, and we have cut in half the number of people below the poverty line. — Our farmers harvest more than twice as much grain with fewer workers compared to a generation ago. — Medical science has added 10 years to our lives over this period. — And Americans today have more leisure time for study, recreation and self-improvement than any society in recorded history. We continue to spend about 90 percent of our personal disposable income on ourselves. No other country — no other system — has achieved so much for its people. Yet these tremendous achievements are the product of the same free-market system that now finds itself under attack. Where does the Free Enterprise System stand today? For all the talk about excessive profits, it's a system that, on the average, offers a profit incentive of less than five cents on the dollar, a small reward for all the effort and risk-taking that goes into developing and operating a successful business. Nevertheless, it remains the real productive source of our nation's wealth, as well as that of each individual American. Despite the growing influence of government over our lives, the private sector produces the food we eat, the goods we use, the clothes we wear, the homes we live in. It is the source of five out of every six jobs in America, and it provides directly and indirectly, almost all the pressure for the rest of the jobs in our all-too-rapidly expanding public sector. It is the foundation for defense security for ourselves and most of the Free World. It is the productive base that pays for government spending to aid the elderly, the jobless, the poor, the dependent and the - 10 - 0J3 disabled. Indeed, far from being the anti-human caricature painted by political demagogues, the American private sector is in reality the mightiest engine for social progress and individual improvement ever created. In a nutshell, all of the material and spiritual values that make our country unique and make us so proud to be Americans could not exist without the free enterprise system. Yet many people still fail to understand the crucial link between our economic and our political freedom. Destroy one, and the other will soon disappear. I can assure you that this administration is fighting to ensure the survival of your economic freedoms. But to succeed, we must have the active participation of business leaders like yourselves in reopening the lines of communication to the American people. It's been said that communication is the web that holds civilization together, perpetuating its values and traditions. Never has that function been more important than today. We must — all of us — communicate the great story of freedom. — We must dispell the confusion that has made free enterprise a dirty word, and convince them that business, profits and people are all mutually interrelated. — We must let our lawmakers and leaders in government know that they cannot continue to work at cross purposes with the very system that generates our wealth, our strength and our freedom. — We must make people aware that runaway spending and unending deficits are sopping up much needed capital for productive jobs, and are only fueling inflation — a silent thief that picks every American's pocket, undermines confidence, and turns the desperate to government for still more illusory help. But words are certainly not enough, the living example is much more meaningful. That is why I urge each of you: — To set a high moral and ethical standard by eliminating any practices in your organizations and operations that may be questionable. — To square practices with principles by supporting deregulation across the board, not just selectively; by helping to end government subsidies, quotas and handouts, bailouts or other inducements that offer a superficial empty promise of security in exchange for sacrifices of freedom and, mmentofthetREASURY „NGT0N,D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 964-2041 ^ ADDRESS BY THE HONORABLE WILLIAM E. SIMON SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY UNIVERSITY OF TULSA TULSA, OKLAHOMA APRIL 22, 1976 Thank you Senator Bartlett, Mayor LaFortune, President Twyman, ladies and gentlemen: It's wonderful to be in Oklahoma, and I'm especially pleased to be here for a number of reasons: -- To see first hand the remarkable progress underway here in Tulsa, situated in your dynamic Southwest, the fastest growing region in the country. — To meet with the people whose hard work, self reliance, and leadership are making this modern day success story possible. — To visit with the officials and students of this university which is well known outside the state for its fine school of petroleum engineering, and other energy research and development courses. — And finally of course, to have the chance to see operate on their own home turf your talented Senators Dewey Bartlett and Henry Bellmon. I'm blessed with somewhat of a unique opportunity tonight in that this audience is so diverse, consisting of students, faculty, business leaders and members of the general community. I want to be sure to address my remarks to all of you. I also have a special sense of purpose tonight. With the 1976 presidential race heating up I thought you deserved to hear from at least one out-of-state speaker who wasn't running for President. I am not after your votes. But what I would like to engage is your shared concern and thoughts about some of the grave economic issues facing our country — issues that will WS-793 -2- //n still be with us long after the dust of the 1976 campaign trail has settled and issues that will help to shape the kind of lives the students among you live long after you have left your college days behind. Here, then is a capsule review of where we have been economically, where we stand today, and some of the crucial decisions we still face. Economists generally agree that the recession hit bottom last April, that the recovery began sooner than expected, and that it has been stronger than expected. Only six months ago, we began to see light at the end of the tunnel. Today, we are nearly out of the tunnel and on our way to recovering a full head of steam. For example: — 1975 opened with inflation raging at nearly 13 percent. That rate has been cut in half at approximately 6 percent. — Last spring, unemployment had reached nearly 9 percent. It has now dropped to 7.5 percent and our forecasts indicate a continuing downward trend. — And earlier this week we learned that real GNP, that is, total output after adjusting for inflation, increased at an annual rate of 7-1/2 percent during the first quarter of 1976. — Other signs point to an economy that is gaining increasing momentum: Personal income, industrial output, housing starts, retail sales, the stock market — all are registering solid gains and this reflects a rising public confidence about the economy that contrasts sharply with the deep pessimism reported by polltakers the middle of last year. But although we made considerable headway in 1975 and we are making even more in 1976, this is no time for complacency. Inflation is not yet under complete control and the jobless rate is still too high. That is why the Administration is urging Congress to adhere to a broad-gauged plan to further nurture and stimulate the natural forces of growth in our private enterprise economy. An essential element of this plan is to put the brakes on the dizzying momentum of Federal spending — to slow the rate of increase to about 5 percent this fiscal year, contrasted with 40 percent the past two fiscal years. This will allow us to continue to make additional tax cuts possible for businesses and individuals and set the stage for a balanced budget within three years. Jj£(r Further, the President has urged tax measures designed to stimulate job creation generally, encourage the building of sorely-needed electric power facilities, and increase construction of plant and equipment in areas where unemployment has topped 7 percent. Finally, the Administration has proposed elimination of the unfair double taxation of dividends that retards capital formation. This is the only major proposal I know about that seeks to correct the imbalance between corporate debt and equity. We must redress this imbalance to allow the financial markets to channel society's savings more efficiently to the more promising investment opportunities. And, as you also know, improving our lagging captial investment picture is absolutely essential to meet our long-term goals of more jobs, higher incomes, greater productivity, lower inflation and sustained growth. These steps and the balanced program we have pursued thus far are designed to fight inflation and unemployment simultaneously and strengthen the private sector of our economy. We firmly believe that this course is working, that it is right for the nation, and that it is leading us back to the position of robust growth and expanding opportunities. And yet you will hear a mournful chorus of rhetoric out of Washington, especially as the election campaign draws closer, claiming that we aren't spending enough, aren't pressing hard enough, aren't pushing enough panic buttons to solve our problems. Despite our steady gains, many of these critics assume there must be a basic flaw in the system and they cast about for other remedies: governmental control over economic planning — guaranteed jobs for everybody at government expense — a new round of wage and price controls — and many other encroachments on the market place. Frankly, I believe that many of these critics suffer from what Mark Twain called "loyalty to petrified opinions." They fail to see that efforts to strengthen the public sector at the expense of the private sector are a large part of the problem, not part of the solution. They refuse to recognize that the same excessive government fiscal, monetary and regulatory policies they call for today have led to abuse of our economy and helped trigger, first, a storm of inflation in the early 1970's and, second, the severe recession from which we are now recovering. And they fail to comprehend a gathering mood in this country against the further expansion of big government. They suffer from the economic variety of Potomac Fever -- - 4 the delusion that all economic cures must originate in Washington with the Federal government. As President Eisenhower once remarked, "There are a number of things wrong with Washington, and one of them is that everybody has been too long away from home." However, public disenchantment with big government does not mean that all Americans are necessarily immune from the superficial appeal of quick-fix government programs whose short-term benefits are well publicized but whose long-term impact in terms of inflation and economic stagnation is carefully masked from view. It may seem strange, and it is certainly ironic, but at a time when the vast majority of Americans are enjoying such abundance and opportunity, too many of us have lost sight of the principles and institutions that have made our way of life possible. This is certainly not true in many countries abroad. I was reminded of this fact during my recent two-week trip to the Middle East. Israel and the Arab states have sharp differences, of course. But on one thing they are agreed. They all have a profound admiration for the achievements and performance of the American economy. The leaders of the Middle East believe, as I do, that the United States has developed the most dynamic and efficient economic system ever devised. Largely because of this, they see the United States as the major source of strength and stability in today's unstable world. But here in the United States, somewhere along the line there seems to have been a dangerous breakdown in communication. Secretary of Commerce Elliot Richardson put it succinctly the other day when he said that producers and consumers in this country tend to view each other as antagonists — despite the fact that neither can thrive without the other. Too many Americans — especially those born into an affluent society which seemed to have no beginning or end, no cause and no effect — have lost sight of, or have never been taught, the actual dynamics of prosperity in a free society. Today, when nearly everybody takes the fruits of the free enterprise system for granted — the abundance, the - 5 - ¥0 opportunities, the freedom of choice, the chance for learning, travel and general upward mobility — not everyone understands the basic economic facts of life that have produced these benefits. Because of this, I believe that the time is ripe for an economic heart-to-heart talk with the American people. And I believe that the men and women who make up our free enterprise economy — in business, in the professions, in the factories — must do even more than they are now if such a national dialogue is to succeed. What is at stake is not simply the future of this or that company, or even this or that industry. At stake is the survival of the private sector, and, because of the interlocked nature of our freedoms, the survival of the individual liberties which can never long endure after the collapse of a society's free enterprise system. This problem of communications exists, as I have had ample opportunity to observe in my job as Secretary of the Treasury, and it is getting worse, not better. It is a question of both policy and perception, for a faulty view or understanding of the economy makes faulty economic policymaking almost inevitable. Part of the problem is a matter of image. Frequently, those who support bigger government spending and more government domination of the private sector are perceived as concerned and socially progressive individuals who 'tare," who are champions of the persecuted underdog. On the other hand, people who warn that the government should not and cannot effectively solve every new problem that comes down the pike, and who advocate instead the strengthening of the free enterprise system, are seen as either outdated ideologues or a new generation of economic exploiters — indifferent to human suffering and only out to make a fast buck for themselves or their companies. This stereotype wouldn't matter if it were not so misleading — so blatantly phoney. My experience in Washington has convinced me that almost every man and woman in a position of high public trust cares deeply about the well-being of our citizens, especially those who are impoverished or face disadvantages because of artificial barriers of sex or color or national origin. The central question is not who cares the most — we all care, it is rather the method we choose to broaden prosperity, - 6 reduce human hardship and meet our other national goals without sacrificing our freedoms or destroying the most successful economic system that man has ever known. We can talk about the free enterprise system until we are blue in the face, but it still won't mean much to those who do not understand what it really means and what makes it work. It's like trying to discuss the birds and the bees sensibly with somebody who is unshakeable in his belief that babies are delivered by the stork. People who have never seen what happens to countries with state-controlled economies simply have no r standard for comparison. They have never witnessed the long lines of workers and housewives who have to queue up for hours to buy a poor selection of over-priced food and state-manufactured clothing and merchandise. They don't realize what a miracle of variety, economy and productive competition an average shopping center found anywhere in the U.S. would represent to most of the world's people. They have never asked themselves why a country like the Soviet Union, with some of the richest grain land in the world — but with an agricultural system owned and operated by the government — cannot even feed its own people without turning to American farmers who own their own land, make their own decisions and feed not only their fellow Americans but millions of others as well. They have never lived in countries where the seemingly idealistic dream of a society without private property or profits has turned into a nightmare reality: where the state and the state alone dictates what kind of education you will receive, whether or not you will be allowed to travel, what kind of job you can have, what you will be paid, what you can buy with your own earnings, where you will live and, ultimately, wheie you will be buried. They have not seen the erosion of incentive and opportunity — the general lowering of morale — in democracies that have given themselves over to pursuit of the welfare state and the controlled economy at all costs. For the personal rights all Americans cherish — freedom of worship, freedom of speech and freedom of association — have never long endured once economic freedom has been destroyed. As Alexander - 7 Hamilton warned so long ago, "Power over a man's substance amounts to power over his will." The truth is that regimented societies inflict upon their citizens not only a political regime that reduces the individual, in Churchill's phrase, to a mere fraction of the state, they also inflict an economic regime that smothers enterprise and breeds inefficiency. Let's face it: Without the individual profit motive, people simply do not work as hard, produce as much, or bother to come up with as many fresh ideas and new improvements. Whether we like it or not, this is an immutable law of human nature. Unfortunately, like clean air, economic freedom is something most people don't really appreciate until it begins to run out — and then it is often too late. So I submit to you tonight that if America continues down the road toward greater governmental spending and greater governmental control over our economy and over our lives — a road that we have been traveling for several decades — then all of us will be condemned to an economy riddled by chronic inflation and incurable unemployment and those who come after us will be robbed of their personal and economic freedoms. That is really what is at issue underneath the semantics and the misleading labels. Let me be specific about how our private enterprise economy has been undermined by excessive government policies. Just before the New Deal, government spending at all levels — Federal, state and local — was about 10 percent of our total national output. Today, because budgets have mushroomed, government accounts for almost 40 percent of the GNP. And if recent trends prevail, the government's share of the total economy will reach 6 0 percent before the end of this century. The alarming fact is that in every country in which this percentage has increased there has been a tendency to move toward instability, toward minority government and toward a threat to a free society. The only outstanding exception that I know of at the moment is Sweden, and I am somewhat mystified why it is an exception. Britain is the outstanding current example with government spending equaling 60 percent or more of the national income. The issues involved are by no means narrowly economic. They concern fundamental principles of equity and of social - 8 stability. The problem of growing government spending is that however good the intentions which underlie the growth, those intentions are not achieved, that instead, the growth in government spending makes low-income people worse off, undermines social cohesion and threatens the very foundation of a free and representative government. Let's put present spending in dollar signs. Today, and every day during this fiscal year, the Federal government will spend $1 billion. And this week and every week this fiscal year it will go into debt an additional $1 billion. Since 1962, when the Federal budget hit the $100 billion mark, it has almost quadrupled, and has been in the red for all but one of those years. The interest on the Federal debt alone by the end of fiscal 1976 will have climbed to $36 billion. The amount in fiscal 1977 will reach $45 billion. That's more than we spent in any one year on the war in Vietnam. It is almost half of what we will be spending on total national defense next year. And it is money, I'm sure you will agree,-that could better be spent on improvements in health care, public transportation, rebuilding our cities or any of a dozen other national needs. Anyone who has ever kept a checking account or managed the smallest household budget knows that it spells disaster to borrow and spend more than you take in. Heavy government borrowing has fueled inflation and driven up interest rates so that strains have developed in money and capital markets. Businessmen feel these strains when they try to get loans to expand their businesses and create new jobs: Consumers feel the pinch when they try to buy a new home without paying an arm and leg in mortgage interest, (and some of you have probably realized the problem when you have tried to secure low interest student loans in a tight credit market). Throughout the nation, we see signs that taxpayers, who have so long borne the burden of heavy government spending, are close to open rebellion. In the 1974 elections, for example, voters across the country turned down more than 75 percent of all bond issues on the ballot. And eight state legislatures, fed up with rising national debt, have now adopted resolutions calling for a constitutional amendment requiring a balanced national budget. As one state representative put it: "I don't want the government spending my grandchildren into a poorhouse." - 9 So our major concern as we work our way to a sound and durable recovery is to avoid another dose of the same poison which brought on the recession in the first place: rampant inflation fed by runaway Federal spending. But spending isn't the whole problem. As government spending has grown by leaps and bounds, so too have government controls, regulation and red tape. Did you realize that government agencies, with an army of 100,000 (on the payroll), exercise direct regulation over 10 percent of everything bought and sold in the United States and indirectly regulate almost every other sector of the private sector? The avalanche of paperwork required by this regulatory network is a tremendous burden on small and big businesses alike. Business spends an incredible $20 billion a year just to fill out government forms. General Motors recently calculated that it spent more than $1.3 billion in 1974 just to comply with existing government regulations or get ready for new ones. This is more than it cost to run the entire Federal government for all of the first 75 years of our history — and that includes the Louisiana Purchase. Some of these regulations are, of course, necessary and in the public interest. But many more of them are counterproductive, wasteful, and obsolete. And as President Ford has repeatedly stated, those regulations and regulatory bodies that no longer serve a useful purpose should be abolished, before we strangle in our own red tape. Consider the case of natural gas. Because of the unwillingness of some politicians to deregulate natural gas, many areas of the country will continue to experience gas shortages that will cost them jobs, inflict individual discomfort and inconvenience and slow the pace of economic recovery. All this because a handful of politicians refuse to deregulate natural gas and let the simple but crucial free market principle of the profit motive come into play. The economic fact of life is that products which people are willing to pay for will be produced, and an adequate price will insure an adequate return. Things for which people are not willing to pay an adequate price — or which government does not allow to be sold at an adequate price — will not be produced. This is not only the essence, but the genius of free enterprise. - 10 So today, when so many of America's rich energy resources remain untapped, and when the need for energy self-sufficiency is greater than ever, much of our natural gas potential goes undeveloped because politicians refuse to admit that you cannot take away the incentive to produce and encourage production at the same time. We still have the choice of acting in our own best energy interests instead of reacting to * decisions made by foreign countries. We must start thinking of the energy challenge in terms of American jobs, homes, food and financial security. Our economic well-being and national security depend upon American control of the American economy. We cannot jeopardize the future by avoiding the tough energy choices today. But we must pay the price necessary to give us command of our own economic destiny. Let me give you another example of how big government, if allowed to get out of control, threatens the best interests not only of businesses but consumers. Today, many politicians and pundits are calling for the massive dismantling of the American petroleum industry through divestiture. At a time when we should be encouraging domestic oil production to make America less dependent on foreign imports, they advocate a wholesale disruption of the complex and highly productive free enterprise structure that still makes it possible for Americans to drive their cars, heat their homes and turn the mighty wheels of industry at a lower cost than in any other major industrial nation. It seems to me that those who urge divestiture have a tremendous obligation to show us how — if at all — divestiture will benefit the consumer and the nation. So far, they have utterly failed to do so, relying instead on anti-business rhetoric and the vague promise that somehow, if they are allowed to go after American oil corporations with a hatchet, the price of gas will go down. This is illogical and self-destructive. It makes about as much sense as asserting that you can get better mileage out of your car by chopping it up into tiny pieces. In fact, you will probably get no mileage at all. And it will cost you more -- not less — to get the mechanism repaired and back in working order again. But, in an age when imagery is often more persuasive than the facts, people sometimes lose sight of the basic truths. #6? -nSpeaking in 1865, Lincoln said, "I have faith in the people...the danger is in their being misled. Let them know the truth and the country is safe." What I have been trying to emphasize here today is the need to hammer home the truth — the economic facts of life — to the American people, especially the young Americans who must lead us in the years ahead. It is a story that cannot be vividly portrayed on television like the war in Vietnam.or the urban riots of the sixties. Yet it is the one thing that affects every aspect of our lives. And I am convinced that the American public — and especially young Americans — have not irrevocably closed their ears to this story. The polls tell us that businessmen themselves rank low in public confidence, and yet the principles of private enterprise rank high. A majority of Americans say they want more regulation of businesses* and yet business is the most popular major field of study among college students — above education, science and the humanities. We can strike a responsive chord in telling this story to the American people if we tell it in human, comprehensive terms. For when we talk about our free enterprise economy we are talking about food on the table, goods on the shelves and services at the counter. We are talkiig about medical breakthroughs that have added 10 years to our lives in the past generation. We are talking about labor-saving devices that have freed millions of women for productive careers and the pursuit of self-enlightenment. We are talking about five out of every six jobs in America and wages and benefits that stagger the imagination of the rest of the world. We are talking about a productive base that pays for government support of the elderly, the jobless, the poor, the dependent and the disabled. And we are talking about basic freedoms; to choose a career, to choose what and where we buy, to choose wheieand how we live, and yes, to swim against the tide as did Fulton and Ford and Edison — things you could never do living in the gray shadow of conformity under a regimented society. And this is the heart of what I am trying to express to you the vital human importance behind all those gray, boring tacts and figures that litter the financial page each day. . ^° man can be free and a slave at the same time. No Y can sacrifice its economic freedoms and responsibilities - 12 - 4tr and still expect to preserve the individual economic rights of its citizens. This is particularly important to those of you who are just beginning your adult lives. Whatever happens to me down the road, I have already had the opportunity to live and prosper as a free man. It is an experience that no one can take away from me, no matter what the future may hold. So I am not very worried for my own sake. But I do worry about what the future holds for my children — some of who are the same age as you students here in this audience. For as I have tried to show here tonight, there are a number of alarming economic trends already at work that are undermining your futures. They aren't inevitable and they can be stopped. But they must be recognized and understood before they can be mastered. And until they are mastered, your future freedoms are in jeopardy, along with the very essence of the independent competitive spirit that has made America the richest, freest country in the world. In this Bicentennial year, if we keep alive the spirit that infuses our national character — the spirit of personal freedom and free enterprise — then we can be certain that it will endure for another 200 years. But, if we let free enterprise wither away, we may be sure that our other freedoms and individual liberties will expire as well. We must not, we will not, allow this to happen. Thank you. 0O0 (""TREASURY | . D.C. 20220 ,ux TELEPHONE 964-2041 " *- REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE WILLIAM E. SIMON SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE WILL COUNTY BAR ASSOCIATION JOLIET, ILLINOIS, APRIL 21, 1976 (Off the cuff) You know, I have heard our National Anthem sung many times in the last few years, but I have never heard that song rendered as beautifully and movingly as it was tonight by Juliet King. I only hope I speak about America half as well as she sings about it. Congressman O'Brien, Mr. Garrison, Miss King, Father Niles, Mr. Mahoney, ladies and gentlemen: It gives me great pleasure to be here tonight to share with you your 29th annual Law Day Dinner. Our legal heritage has given us standards of democracy and justice that are unequalled in the rest of the world. It is our balanced system of law that keeps us from the brink of chaos on the one hand and tyranny on the other. In short, our system of law helps to guarantee us our liberty. Two hundred years ago when our founding fathers framed the original Constitution, they knew that a fair system of national law would protect us from the excesses of both the Right and the Left. As we honor that system of law here tonight, with the theme of "Law and Liberty," I am reminded of a poll taken several years ago. The polltakers read an anonymous document to a number of citizens asking them their opinion of it. A majority did not like it — said it was too far out. What they did not know was that the document was a paraphrase of the Bill of Rights. By relating this story, I do not mean to imply that many Americans disapprove of our guiding principles of rreedom as written by the founding fathers. On the contrary, re Americans are demonstrating their patriotism in this faifh n i a l Y e a r t h a n e v e r b e f o r e ' an<* reaffirming their WhiJ lh ~~ l f n 0 t t h e i r knowledge of — our legal system. Y believe h^,le in our laws and our Constitution, many nave WS-794never read them. 4&7 -2For a time, law can survive — on the basis of tradition, trust and sheer weight of habit. But ultimately, without a proper knowledge of the law, people can be too easily led astray. Knowledge and understanding are the only ultimate guarantees for the survival of any system; legal, social or economic. I cite this particular case about the Constitution only as one example. I could also point to examples of popular ignorance about the free enterprise system, our legislative process, government regulations, our tax laws, and a host of others. Such misinformation breeds unfortunate misunderstandings That is what I believe is happening in America today: Too many people do not know the political, legislative and economic laws that govern our country, and that ignorance threatens the structural soundness of our nation. In my own area of responsibility, this misunderstanding and ignorance abound. Now it may seem strange, and it is certainly ironic, that at a time when Americans are enjoying such great abundance and such great opportunity, too many of us have lost sight of the principles and institutions that have made our way of life possible. Somewhere along the line, there has been a dangerous breakdown in communications. Too many Americans — especially those born into an affluent society which seemed to have no beginning or end, no cause and no effect — have lost sight of, or have never been taught, the dynamics of prosperity in a free society. Today, when nearly everyone takes the fruits of the free enterprise system for granted — the abundance, the opportunity for learning, travel, and general upward mobility — not everyone understands the basic economic facts of life that created all these benefits. Small wonder then, that when economic difficulties like the recent recession hit, millions of otherwise reasonable people fall for the quack nostrums of politicians who are more interested in promising than performing, and for quick tix government spending programs that provide some short term relief but only aggravate the long-term economic ills or inflation and stagnation in the private sector. 46 -3Because of this, I believe that the time is ripe for an economic heart-to-heart talk with the American people. What is at stake is not just the future of this or that industry. At stake is the survival of the private sector, and the individual liberties which have never long survived the collapse of a society's free enterprise system. Unless we get the facts across today, the America of tomorrow — our children and grandchildren — will be doomed to a system of economic and political bondage that is the very opposite of all that we hold dear. The problem already exists, as I have had ample opportunity to observe in my job as Secretary of the Treasury. And it is getting worse, not better. It is a question of both policy and perception, for faulty perception of the economy makes faulty economic policy almost inevitable. And I am firmly convinced that, taken together, misunderstanding and misdirection of the American economy have become the central, underlying problem of our times. Part of it is a matter of image. Frequently those who support bigger government spending and more government domination of the private sector are perceived as concerned, socially progressive men and women who "care" — in a nutshell, they are seen as the humane champions of the persecuted underdog. On the other hand, those who warn that the government should not — and cannot -- effectively solve every new problem that comes down the pike, and who advocate instead the strengthening of the free enterprise system are seen as either outdated theorists or a new generation of economic exploiters indifferent to human suffering and only out to make a fast buck for themselves and their companies. To make matters worse, surface appearances often tend to confirm this inaccurate impression. Advocates of big government are able to wax eloquent for hours about the ills they imagine they can cure by cranking out more currency and soaking up more credit through massive deficit spending. hey have as many arguments as there are social, economic and political problems — even though the spending they advocate, as we have seen with the Great Society's War on overty, i s often part of the problem rather than part of the solution. -4Those of us who recognize the fallacy of the big government approach have only one argument. It's the right one, but, by dint of repetition, people are getting tired of hearing about it. For we constantly invoke the free enterprise system, too often without defining the freedoms and the opportunities that it, and it alone, provides. We chant a slogan, a label, without defining it in comprehensible, human terms. We can talk about the free enterprise system until we are blue in the face, but it still won't mean anything to those who do not understand what it really is and what makes it work. It's like trying to sensibly discuss the birds and the bees with someone who is unshakable in their belief that babies are delivered by the stork. People who have never seen what happens to countries with state-controlled economies simply have no standard for comparison. They have never witnessed the long lines of workers and housewives who have to queue up for hours outside stateowned food and department stores in order to buy a poor selection of overpriced food staples and state-manufactured clothing and merchandise. They don't realize what a miracle of variety, economy and productive competition the average American shopping center would represent to nine-tenths of the earth's people. They have never asked themselves why a country like the Soviet Union, with some of the largest, richest tracts of grainland in the world, but with a government-owned and run agricultural system, cannot even feed its people without turning to American farmers who own their own land, make their own decisions and feed not only our own people, but millions of others as well. Too often they have been taught to scoff at the very profit and property motives which make our prosperity possible. They have never lived in countries where the seemingly idealistic dream of a non-profit, propertyless society has turned into a nightmare reality — where the state and the state alone dictates what kind of education you will receive; whether or not you will be allowed to travel; what kind of job you can have; what you will be paid; what merchandise you can buy with your earnings; where you will live; where you will receive medical treatment; and, ultimately, wht^e ^7# -5you will be buried. They have not seen the erosion of incentive and opportunity — the general lowering of morale — in Democracies that have given themselves over to pursuit of the welfare state and the controlled economy at all costs. For the personal rights all Americans cherish — freedom of worship, freedom of speech and freedom of association — have never long endured once economic freedom has been destroyed. As Alexander Hamilton warned so long ago, "Power over a man's substance amounts to power over his will." Without the individual profit motive, people simply do not work as hard, produce as much, or bother to come up with as many new improvements. Whether we like it or not, it is an immutable law of human nature. Unfortunately, like clean air, economic freedom is something most people don't really appreciate until it begins to run out — and then it is often too late. So we have reached the point where, although the free enterprise system works, and works better than any other economic system in effect anywhere in the world — and although it feeds, clothes and houses more people more affluently than any other while serving as the underpinning of our free society — it is somehow losing the semantic war to an alien philosophy of government control and economic irresponsibility that has never worked but has somehow managed to preserve an aura of idealism and altruism that attracts many wishful thinkers. I am simply saying that those of us who believe in the free enterprise system have got to do a better job of getting our story across. All of these misconceptions would be unimportant if they were not so misleading — so blatantly phony. My experience in Washington has convinced me that almost every man and woman in a position of high public trust cares deeply about the well being of our people, especially those who are impoverished or face disadvantages because of their sex or the color of their skin. The central question is not who cares the most, but rather how we broaden prosperity and reduce human hardship without sacrificing our freedom or destroying the most successful economic system that man has ever known. J/11 -6I submit to you today that if America continues down the road toward greater governmental spending and greater governmental control over our economy and our lives — a road that we have been moving steadily down for several decades — then our children will be robbed of their personal and economic freedoms. And, in the meantime, all of us will be condemned to an economy riddled by chronic inflation and incurable unemployment. Let's look at a few facts about government spending. For most of our history, the Federal budget stayed somewhere below the $100 billion mark — usually way below it. Then, in 1962, we finally hit $100 billion — and that was only the beginning. Seven years later, the budget broke the $200 billion barrier and then, only four years after that, we hit the $300 billion mark. And now, in our bicentennial year, we have reached the point where the Federal Government is spending $1 billion a day and going into debt another $1 billion each week. As the budget grows, the government comes to occupy a more and more dominant role within our society. In 1930, government spending at all levels — Federal, state and local — amounted to approximately 10 percent of the Gross National Product. Today, because budgets have mushroomed, government at all levels accounts for almost 4 0% of our entire national output. And if recent trends prevail, the government's share of the total economy could reach 60 percent before the end of this century. The alarming fact is that in every country in which this percentage has increased there has been a tendency to move toward instability, toward minority government and toward a threat to a free society. The only outstanding exception that I know of at the moment is Sweden, and I am somewhat mystified w hy it is an exception. Britain is the outstanding current demonstration with government spending equalling 60 percent or *iore of the national income. The issues involved are by no means narrowly economic. f K - C ? n C e r n f u n d a m e n t a I principles of equity and of social stability. — t h e problem of growing government spending is nat however good the intentions which underlie the growth, nose intentions are not achieved, that instead the growth in government spending makes low-income people worse off, undernes social cohesion and threatens the very foundation of a **ee and representative government. /ff* -7For taxpayers, the burden of paying the Government's bills has become so heavy that many are now in open rebellion. In the 1974 general elections, for example, voters across the country turned down some three quarters of all bond issues on the ballot. But we in the Federal Government get around this public opposition by voting more Federal spending without increasing taxes. The result has been a string of Federal budget deficits that are unparalleled in our history. In 16 of the last 17 years, the budget has been in the red. And now, just when a balanced, healthy economic recovery has begun the advocates of big spending would have us launch another round of reckless spending and runaway inflation. It is up to us to stop them. I wish that there was some way for television cameras to portray this story as vividly as they did the war in Vietnam or the race riots of earlier years. For while the visual images are less dramatic, the problem is every bit as pressing and important. But, as the great 19th century historian Thomas Carlyle once said, political economics is the "dismal science." On the surface, it seems nothing more than a pile of charts and a jumble of numbers so large as to be incomprehensible in everyday terms. To put it mildly, economics seldom makes "sexy" news stories. And yet the economy is the one thing that affects every other aspect of American life — the food we eat, the quality of our education, our mobility, our freedom of choice in careers, services and merchandise, and our material and personal sense of pride and independence. The smallest shock to the economy is felt in every limb of the body politic. And that is a big story, if only a graphic, gripping way of telling it could be found. Consider the case of the Federal debt and its impact. As the debt climbs rapidly upwards, we have to pay higher and higher interest costs on it. In fiscal year 1976 we will have spent $36 billion in interest payments alone. The amount in fiscal 1977 will reach $45 billion or $125 million per day. That's more than we spent in any single year on the war in Vietnam. It's more than a third of our national defense budget. And it is money that could be better spent on needs such as public transportation, health care or any of a dozen worthy purposes. 0$ -8This heavy borrowing by the government has also aggravated inflation and increased interest rates, creating strains in money and capital markets. This, in turn, affects everyone from the businessman interested in expanding his plant to create new jobs to the young couple trying to buy their first home without paying an arm and a leg in mortgage interest. Reckless government spending and credit policies are the basic causes of inflation, and inflation was the underlying cause of the worst recession our country has experienced in a generation. It was inflation that caused a loss in real income and the confidence of consumers, prompting the sharpest drop in consumer spending since World War II. And it was inflation that helped dry up the flow of savings into our thrift institutions, driving up interest rates and causing the housing industry to collapse. So one of our prime concerns as we proceed with the economic recovery is to avoid another dose of the poison that brought the recession on in the first place — rampant inflation fed by runaway Federal spending. But spending isn't the whole problem. There is also the matter of government controls and regulation, for as government spending has grown by leaps and bounds, so too has Federal red tape. Did you realize that government agencies now exercise direct regulation over 10 percent of everything bought and sold in the United States and indirectly regulates almost every other sector of the private economy? Did you know that it costs private industry — and that means each one of us as consumers — an estimated $20 billion a year just to do the paper work demanded by Federal bureaucrats? Some of these regulations are, of course, necessary. But many of them are counter-productive, wasteful or obsolete. And as President Ford has repeatedly stated, those regulations and regulatory bodies that no longer serve a useful purpose should be abolished, before we strangle in our own red tape. Hi* -9As the Yale historian, Charles Reich, described the nefarious end purpose of over-regulation: "We cannot safely entrust our livelihoods and our rights to the discretion of authorities, examiners, boards of control, character committees, regents, or license commissioners. We cannot permit any official or agency to pretend to be the sole knowledge of the public good. We cannot put the independence of any man... wholly in the power of other men. " As we celebrate "Two hundred years of liberty and the law" here tonight, it is wise to remember that economic independence goes hand in hand with individual political freedoms. If we forfeit our economic freedom, all too soon we may find ourselves bereft of our political liberties as well. In closing, I'd like to remind you of what President Eisenhower said on the first U.S. Law Day: "The clearest way to show what the role of law means to us in everyday life is to recall what has happened when there is no rule of law. The dreaded knock on the door in the middle of the night." If the Bar Association continues its struggle to uphold the principles of liberty in this country of ours by preventing the knock on the door in the middle of the night, then I can do no less by pledging to struggle to prevent another symbol of the end of economic freedom: the wheelbarrow full of inflated, worthless money. America can continue to be the citadel of freedom and justice for all only if each of us does our share. Thank you. 0O0 ^Otpattmcnt of tne INGTON, D.C. 20220 TREASURY TELEPHONE 964-2041 HI?' ADDRESS BY THE HONORABLE WILLIAM E. SIMON SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY JACKSONVILLE UNIVERSITY COMMENCEMENT JACKSONVILLE, FLORIDA - APRIL 24, 1976 Dr. Spiro, Mr. Botts, Mr. Hadlow, members of the Bicentennial Graduating Class, Ladies and Gentlemen. It is a particular pleasure for me to participate in Jacksonville University's Graduation this year and to accept this honorary degree. Not only has this University been selected as a Bicentennial College, but it has the further distinction of operating in the black -- no mean accomplishment in these days. In fact, to someone like myself who must agonize daily over our national debt, Jacksonville University is like an oasis in the desert. It is a melancholy truth that more commencement addresses have been listened to more patiently, delivered more solemnly and forgotten more promptly than any other form of human discourse. Although I try desperately, I am unable to recall what was said at my graduation from Lafayette College in 1951. The distinguished speaker doubtless oozed sage advice, but he was merely looked upon by my classmates as the last remaining roadblock separating us from our diplomas. Today I would like to talk with you for a few moments about a challenge that faces us all: how to deal with a rapidly changing way of life. An ancient philosopher once observed that there is nothing permanent except change." This observation has always been accurate, but it is particularly pertinent today. Why even the failure to read one day's newspapers or watch the evening news on television can literally leave you several Cabinet members behind. In the four years that each of you has spent here at this diversity, amazing social and scientific developments have aken place around the globe. And they have come at a rate ^aranteed to cause what was popularly become known as "future Ln°fh'" I t i s U p t o e a c h o f u s t o deal with this new reality the best possible way. Some of you will choose an area of 'oi?rQfilization a n d m a k e t h a t your career. Others will dedicate selves t o c r e a t i n g a strong family life. It is obvious Lnf S ? e c t r u m u P o n which you can imprint your achievements is ^•7^" - 2 Your academic studies have ranged from anatomy to zoology. There is little that I can add to your studies except to make this point: You will discover in every field of endeavor that the world is very different now than what it was when you parents were in school; indeed, it...is already very different from when you entered college. Few people foresaw only a few years ago that oil-producing nations of the Middle East would suddenly rise to world power, that the United States would be engulfed in the worst economic difficulties in a generation, or that a President of the United States might resign from office. Rapid change has come not only in the economic and political spheres but in others as well, as environmentalists have begun to study possible limits to industrial growth and scientists fathom more deeply the use of the world's resources. It is important that you learn and understand the contours of these changes in our civilization, but it is perhaps even more important that you learn a more fundamental lesson: How to cope with change and become the master of it. Some of the leaders of our society argue that because we are living in a new age, we must adopt new values and new lifestyles. I would urge you instead that before you make such a choice, you re-examine the old values and the old lifestyles. The progression of the Western life has not followed an even, upward course — it has certainly had its zigs and zags — but over the years certain values have endured and stand ready to serve you now during an age of turmoil and confusion. Beliefs in a higher being and in the dignity of man, the primacy of the individual over the State, love of family and of mankind — these are the foundation blocks of our civilization. At this stage of your lives, you are not expected to have all of the answers, but you are expected to ask many of the right questions. Certainly one of the most important questions is one of basic purpose. What do I really want to do with my life: How can I — in some big or small way — make a contribution to my country and the world I live in? Each of us serves in some way. Our relations with our family and friends inevitably cast us in the role of influencing their lives. The question is whether we serve as a positive force or a negative one. And the question also is whether we are willing to stretch our horizons to the limit, learning to be of service not only in the home and on the job also in the community and the Nation. W9 - 3 Serving the country has become one of the great challenges of our time. Many of our public leaders in Washington labor long hours, and not one of them has ever received a dozen long-stemmed roses with a card reading "Thanks, the United States of America." We usually receive more complaints than compliments, because we all know how hard it is to please all of the people all of the time. But let me assure you: Just as the work may often be thankless on a day-to-day basis, the rewards of knowing you are helping your fellow countrymen are greater than the pleasures of a handshake, a dozen roses, or a plaque on the wall. Patriotism in times of peace is a quiet blessing without neon lights. Its supporters usually remain nameless. As the late Adlai Stevenson described it, "Patriotism...is not short, frenzied outbursts of emotion, but the tranquil and steady dedication of a lifetime. In recent years there has been an unfortunate groundswell of people who shirk their responsibilities to come to the aid of their country. People have lost much of their faith in government at all levels, nationally as well as locally. Many of our brightest young people have dropped out altogether. There is a widespread feeling of frustration, of skepticism, and even of despair. As a result the Nation suffers because leadership at all levels finds it increasingly difficult to meet the needs of our day. Even more disheartening, the refusal of people to serve others destroys the commitment to others which is a cornerstone of America's greatness. Such withdrawal from public service and the mood of cynical despair will not destroy the Nation overnight, but the corrosive mood may eventually erode the strength of our public institutions and our desire for social, economic, political and spiritual progress. Our history books show us that nations begin to fail when their citizens lose their interest in the Nation's welfare. The late historian Arnold J. Toynbee believed that the decline of the great nations of the past can be directly attributed to a lack of spiritual faith during changing times. The Roman Empire lasted almost six hundred years. If you had been alive then, would you have been able to imagine the end of the Roman Empire? Never, because power breeds a mask of self-confidence where the people in power and the citizens they represent shield themselves from any savage truths pointing to the fissures in the foundation of their power. Mt - 4 America is only two hundred years old, quite young when compared to the longevity of ancient Rome. Yet in those two centuries we have significantly changed the world through the contributions of our scientists, our inventors, our artists, our laborers, and all those who have dedicated their lives to serving the public good. Can you imagine all that we can create in another 400 years? Inventors say, close your eyes and imagine the world as it might be. I would add: open your hearts and your minds and then go forth in the great pioneering spirit of the past to create the new world as it should be. I am deeply troubled today because I believe that many of the difficulties we have in this country are of our own making — and that not enough people have yet awakened to the dangers we are continuing to create for ourselves. Let us ask for a moment: What has made this a great Nation? What has made people across the globe talk about the American Dream? Has it been the land and our natural resources? To be sure, we have been blessed with an abundance of resources, but in tht Soviet Union we see a land mass that is much larger than our own/ is equally well endowed, and yet the Soviet land yields a much smaller harvest of goods to its people. Today the Soviets turn to the United States for the grain they so badly need. Does our secret lie in the talents of our people? To be sure, we are blessed with one of the largest and most talented populations that the world has ever known, but in China today we see a population that is four times as large as our own, whose civilization was developed far in advance of our own, and yet today their standard of lifting is far below ours. So our land and our people, while they have both been essential parts of the American story, are not the whole story. A third ingredient — the ingredient that is missing in the Soviet Union and China, the ingredient that has always made us different — has been our commitment to human liberty. For two hundred years people have streamed to our shores in search of freedom -- freedom of religion, freedom of speech, freedom of the press, freedom of assembly, and freedom to seek their fortunes without fear or favor of the Government. Each of these freedoms was planted firmly in our Constitutional soil; each grew and thrived in the climate of freedom. But each has become such a familiar part of our landscape that I wonder whether we now take them too much for granted. 01 - 5 There is nothing plastic or artificial about freedom, nor is there any guarantee of its permanency. As Dwight Eisenhower once said, "Freedom has its life in the hearts, the actions, and the spirit of men, and so it must be daily earned and refreshed — else like a flower cut from its life-giving roots, it will wither and die." Early in this century the idea began to take hold in the United States that the problems of our society were growing so large that individuals could no longer cope with them. Instead, people began asking the Government to assume responsibility for solving our problems -- and to do things for them that they once did for themselves. Government gradually became a beneficent protector against the evils of modern day life. That trend sharply accelerated during the 1960's as we were promised that through the powers of Government, we could fight a land war in Asia, create a Great Society, achieve permanent prosperity, abolish the business cycle, eradicate pollution, and put a man on the moon — all at the same time. It just couldn't be done, even by the most powerful nation on earth. What the 1960's has left us is a residue of disillusionment and distrust. The grand promises of the 60's have become the broken promises of today. Young people like yourselves in particular have soured on politics and politicians — and I can't say that I blame you. In my work at the Treasury Department and in the energy field, I have also found that the decade of the 1960's and on into the 1970's has also left us with a very unhappy legacy of economic problems — potentially ruinous inflation and extremely high levels of unemployment. There is no question in my mind that one of the chief villains of our economic troubles has been the enormous growth of the Federal government itself in recent years, growth that has witnessed: — A quadrupling of the Federal budget in just 15 years; — A string of 16 budget deficits in 17 years; — And a doubling of the national debt in just 10 years time. Of course, the energy crisis, food shortages, wage and price •nd £°1S a n d t h e l i k e h a v e c o n t r i buted significantly to higher 1 « higher rates of inflation and unemployment. But the under|lng momentum has been built up by the excessive economic policies he Federal Government for more than a decade. - 6 The tragedy of such misguided policies is that they were sold on the mistaken notion that they would help the poor, the elderly, the sick and the disadvantaged. Yet when those policies trigger inflation and unemployment, who gets hurt the most? The same ones the politicians claimed they were trying to help — the poor, the elderly, the sick and the disadvantaged. Even more fundamentally, the decade of the 1960's accelerated the trend toward Big Government and the diminishing of economic and personal freedoms in the United States. The Federal Government has now become the most dominant force in our society: It is the biggest single employer, the biggest consumer, and the biggest borrower. Fifty years ago, Government at all levels spent 10 cents of every dollar spent in this country. Today is spends almost 40 cents of every dollar, and if current trends prevail, it will be spending as much as 60 cents of every dollar by the year 2000 — when most of you will be in the prime of life. When Government exercises such enormous authority in our economy, it also exercises control over many of the economic decisions of its citizens -- and when economic freedom disappears, you can be certain that your personal and political freedoms will not be far behind. The inextricable relationship between economic freedom and personal freedom is sometimes overlooked by those who constantly seek to expand the powers of government, but it is plain to see in countries such as the Soviet Union and China today. It was also plain to our forefathers. Let me read to you from letters that Thomas Jefferson wrote to three of his friends: — "I...place economy among the first and most important of republican virtues, and public debt as the greatest of the dangers to be feared." -- "I am not among those who fear the people... To preserve their independence, we must not let our rulers load us with perpetual debt. We must make our election between economy and liberty, or profusion and servitude." "If we can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people, under the pretense of taking care of them, they must become happy." Those were the thoughts of Jefferson, and they are as relevant now as they were then. It distresses me today that America has wandered so far from its original moorings. Our society is in the state of apparent drift and the direction is not encouraging 0 7 To me, looking at our economic problems, the answers are relatively clear. We are now in the midst of a healthy economic recovery, and we know what to do to make it lasting. It won't be easy and it won't be fast; the sins of a decade cannot be paid for by a year of penance. But we can do it if we have the wisdom and the courage. We must strive to reduce our chronic budget deficits in Washington, to begin living within our means and to scale down our mounting demands on the Government. Please do not misunderstand me: There are many good and noble goals that the government must continue to serve. It would be foolhardy to dismantle many of the programs now in place. But the time has come to show a greater sense of moderation and self-restraint, learning to trust more to our own ingenuity and initiative and less to those in positions of official power. To accomplish these great goals of the future, I would suggest, we urgently need a continuing infusion of fresh new blood in our political and economic systems — young men and women who understand both the glories as well as the mistakes of the past, who have a sense of the enduring values of our civilization, and who share an ardent desire to shape a better world for themselve and their children. We must drawn upon young people from every walk of life — rich and poor, East and West, professionals and laborers. And surely you are in the forefront of those who can serve this Nation — young men and women who can master the changes in our society because they are firmly anchored in a lasting set of beliefs. Some critics claim that the familiar institutions of family, church, schools, and democratic political processes are no longer pertinent in today's atmosphere of change. To contrary, they are even more important than ever and represent our only real hope of overcoming the confusion and cynicism that pervades every layer of our society. AS t le an * cient philospher Mencius stated 2,000 years before Thomas Jefferson and John Adams, "The men of old, wanting to clarify and diffuse throughout the empire that light which comes from -Looking straight into the heart and then acting, first set up good government in their own states; wanting good government in neir own states they first established order in their families; anting order in their families they first disciplined themselves; siring discipline in themselves they first rectified their hearts." - 8 We must become personally involved to preserve and strengthen the virtues of our civilization. Families will not be strengthened unless we care enough to make them better. Churches will not provide spiritual leadership unless they affect the lives of people who are participating in their programs. Our schools will not produce educated and committed graduates unless students and teachers participate more effectively. Finally, our democratic political institutions will not function effectively unless there is increased personal involvement. In the Congressional elections of 1974 only 37 percent of the Nation's eligible voters participated. The media and pessimistic leaders constantly tell us that respect for public leaders and institutions has fallen to very low levels and that people feel that withdrawal is the only proper response. This approach, of course, is the worst thing that could happen. If the American people withdraw from public affairs we will never be able to correct the mistakes of the past or solve the problems of the future. In years to come I do not want the last third of this century to be remembered as a time of lost opportunities and lackluster leadership in America. I want this time to be recalled as the era when our energy was equal to the emergency and our commitment equivalent to the challenge. And that is where you come in. Today marks the beginning of a new chapter in each of your lives -- the beginning of a new voyage of discovery, adventure, struggle and achievement. But in beginning this great personal adventure of life, I urge you not to lose sight of the bigger picture — of the people and the problems that make up the world around you. Twenty, thirty or even forty years from now, when you look back on your lives and careers, you will find that the most satisfying things of all are not those you have accumulated for yourselves but those you have left behind for others — achievements, inspirations and examples to your fellow men and women. Good luck and God's blessings to each and every one of you — not only for the individual lives you will lead in the years ahead, but for the contributions that each of you can make to building a better country and a better world. Thank you. oOo 4 £5 REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE WILLIAM E. SIMON SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE OKLAHOMA CITY CHAMBER OF COMMERCE OKLAHOMA CITY APRIL 23, 1976 Thank you, Dean McGee, President Jim Harlow, Mr. Lyon, Mr. Knotts, members of this distinguished organization, and ladies and gentlemen: I greatly appreciate your warm welcome and I am delighted to be in one of the biggest, friendliest and most progressive cities in the United States. Having seen your rising skyline and other visible signs of your growth and diversified economy, it's almost impossible to believe that less than 90 years ago, there stood on this spot only a railroad depot and a few modest homes. Oklahoma City has been mushrooming ever since -- a city with a spirit of self-reliance and promise that many older cities in the nation would do well to copy. It is small wonder that the Southwest is the fastest growing region in the country. Everything out here points ahead to tomorrow rather than back to yesterday. And it is individuals like yourselves and organizations like the Oklahoma City Chamber of Commerce that have kept this spirit alive. On this particular occasion, I have an added sense of mission. I feel that, in this busy election year, the people of Oklahoma deserve a little change of pace; you deserve to hear from at least one out-of-state speaker who isn't running for President. So here I am, asking not for your votes, but for a few minutes of shared thoughts on some of the basic facts and Problems facing America — the sort of thing that sometimes gets buried in the political rhetoric of an election year. WS-796 w Let me begin with a subject of enormous importance to the country and, even more so, to your state — energy. There's been an awful lot of talk about energy lately and much of it dangerously misinformed. Particularly misinformed have been some of the loud, politically motivated cries for divestiture and further government controls in the energy field. These cries may yield a few short-term political returns in an election year, but they are not in the best interests of the country. Our whole economic system is based on the simple market principle that products which people are willing to pay for will be produced, and an adequate price will insure an adequate return. Things for which people are not willing to pay an adequate price will not be produced. This is not only the essence, but the genius, of free enterprise. Arbitrary controls and politically motivated regulations that strangle the profit motive can only, in the long run, make the consumer as well as the producer suffer. That is why the Administration I serve feels so strongly about deregulation in general and deregulation of natural gas in particular. It is also why we continue to oppose those who would inject more federal interference into the energy field. For the facts show that free enterprise is the strongest force we have going for us in our efforts to meet the energy challenge. Consider the record to date. Despite inflation and the oil embargo, Americans still pay less to heat their fuel their cars and keep the mighty wheels of industry turning than any other major industrial power — thanks to our free enterprise system of energy production. Unfortunately, this hasn't stopped some people from trying to make a scapegoat of the energy industry. Imagine, this is the only sector of our economy that is still under price controls. What a monumental con job on the part of political demagogues who have convinced a naive public that you can control prices and encourage production at the same time — that you can take away the incentive to drill and still expect efficient development of America's untapped energy abudance. Yet I'm sorry to say that the enemies of the free enterprise system seem to be winning the propaganda war. One recent result was the passage in Congress of energy legislation that neither I nor President Ford felt completely comfortable with. However, given the current political climate and the composition of the Congress, the President had to - 3 - U& choose between a compromise or no energy legislation at all. This Administration fully recognizes the dangers posed by excessive government controls. And we will continue to do everything we can to eliminate these unnecessary controls as fast as possible and prevent the establishment of new ones. Speaking from personal experience, I know all too well how an originally small, temporary bureaucracy can take on a life of its own and spread its tentacles. During the energy crisis I was called on to head the Federal government's effort to cope with the problems raised by that national emergency. Little did I suspect that, in becoming the so-called "Energy Czar" I would also be present at the creation of a vast new federal energy empire. The temporary hysteria ended and we weathered the storm. The crisis continued and I went on to another job. But the Federal Energy Administration is still with us. It has taken on a life of its own and is still a large and growing part of the Washington scene -- a striking example of the cancer of big government. Another striking example of heedless government interference is the growing chorus of politicians and pundits calling for divestiture of the oil industry. It seems to me that those who urge the fractionalization of this complex and curcial industry have a tremendous obligation to show us how — if at all -- divestiture will benefit the consumer and the nation. So far, they have utterly failed to do so, relying instead on anti-business slogans, political rhetoric, and the vague promise that somehow, if we go after the oil companies with a hatchet, the price of gas will go down. This is illogical and self-destructive. It makes about as much sense as asserting that you can get better mileage out of your car if you chop it up into small pieces. In fact, you may get no mileage at all. And it will cost you more not less — to get the delicate mechanism repaired and back in working order once the damage has been done. So I repeat to you my personal commitment to the Principles of free competition and minimum government interference in the energy field. But I also remind you that neither I nor the Administration I serve can win this b attle alone. - 4 We still have the choice of acting in our own best energy interests instead of reacting to decisions made by foreign countries. We must start thinking of the energy crisis in terms of American jobs, homes, food and financial security. Our economic well-being and national security depend upon American control of the American economy. We cannot jeopardize the future by avoiding the tough energy choices today. We must pay the price necessary to give us command of our own economic destiny. We need your help in getting our side of the story across to the public. And I hope that each of you as individuals and as businessmen and women with a strong personal stake in the energy industry, will devote more of your time and efforts to getting that story across. If you don't do it, who will? Energy, of course is an international as well as a national matter. A few weeks ago I returned from a two-week tour of the Middle East. That fascinating and turbulent part of the world has many dangerous problems. However, I came away from my trip with one positive impression. Today, despite old animosities and conflicts, both the Arabs and the Israelis, regardless of their political opinions, realize that the United States had developed the most dynamic and efficient economic system the world has ever known. They see the United States as a major source of strength and stability — economically as well as politically — in an unstable world. As Secretary of the Treasury, I found this encouraging because I am convinced that the way to a peaceful world political order is through a strong stable world economic order. For the Middle East, peace and prosperity can and must, go hand in hand. As I look around this room, I realize that there are some among you whose businesses were hard-hit by the recent recession and simultaneous double-digit inflation. Perhaps you might think that the leaders of the Middle East have the wrong impression in viewing the United States as being super-strong economically. Perhaps you would think that, on the contrary, our economy is in trouble and our economic future uncertain. I would agree certainly, our economy has undergone some trials in the last few years that have made for some unpleasant results both in unemployment and inflation. But, - 5 - W despite this, our country remains the world's greatest economic power — and, believe me, the world knows it. Even today, we are proving our basic strength by the speed and the security of our recovery from the recession as compared with other industrial nations around the world. We still have a long way to go, but we are on the road to recovery and we can all take heart from the progress that was made during 1975. 1975 opened with inflation raging at 13 percent; we have cut that rate in half - - t o approximately six percent. — During the spring of 19 75, the unemployment rate reached nine percent; today it is down to 7.5 percent. — Over the past year over 2 million people have found work and the number of people employed today is at a record high. — And earlier this week we learned that real GNP, that is, total output after adjusting for inflation, increased at an annual rate of 7-1/2 percent during the first quarter of 1976. Thus we made considerable headway in 1975, and we will make even more in 1976. But it's not good enough and this is certainly no time for complacency. The unemployment rate is still far higher than we can tolerate. And inflation is by no means completely under control. In fact, it remains the most dangerous enemy of real economic growth. And all of us — especially those with a say in federal spending must do everything we can to prevent another inflationary spiral. The ruinous inflation that crested in 1974 was the chief cause of the severe recession of 1975; if we embark once again on excessive fiscal and monetary policies resulting in double-digit inflation, I guarantee you we will have an even worse recession than before. Let us hope that it will never be said that the pain and suffering of the 1974-75 recession were in vain because the politicians in Washington refused to face the economic facts of life. But the problem is not confined to politicians alone. It may seem strange, and it is certainly ironic, but at a time when Americans are enjoying such great abundance and such great opportunity, too many of us have lost sight of the principles and institutions that have made our way of life possible. Somewhere along the line, there has been a dangerous breakdown in communications. - 6 Too many Americans — especially those born into an affluent society which seemed to have no beginning or end, no cause and no effect — have lost sight of, or have never been taught, the dynamics of prosperity in a free society. Today, when nearly everyone takes the fruits of the free enterprise system for granted — the abundance, the opportunity, the freedom of choice, the unprecedented opportunities for learning, travel, and general upward mobility — not everyone understands the basic economic facts of life that create all these benefits. Small wonder then, that when economic difficulties like the recession hit, millions of otherwise reasonable people fall for the quack nostrums of politicians who are more interested in promising than performing, and for quick-fix government spending that provide some short-term relief but only aggravate the long-term economic ills of inflation and stagnation in the private sector. Because of this, I believe that the time is ripe for an economic heart-to-heart talk with the American people. And I believe that organizations like the Chamber must to even more than they are doing if such a national dialogue is to succeed. What is at stake is not just the future of this or that industry. At stake is the survival of the private sector, and the individual liberties which have never long survived the collapse of a society's free enterprise system. Unless we get the facts across today, the America of tomorrow -- of our children and grandchildren — will be doomed to a system of economic and political bondage that is the very opposite of all that we hold dear. The problem already exists, as I have had ample opportunity to observe, and it is getting worse, not better. It is a question of both policy and perception, for faulty perception of the economy makes faulty economic policy almost inevitable. And I am firmly convinced that, taken together, misunderstandings and misdirection of the American economy have become the central, underlying problem of our times. Part of it is a matter of image. Frequently, and especially to youthful idealists, those who support bigger government spending and more government domination of the private sector are perceived as concerned, socially pro- 4f? - 7gressive men and wpmen*who "care." In a nutshell they are seen as the humane champions of the persecuted underdog. On the other hand/ those who, warn that the government should not — and cannot -- effectively solve every new problem that comes down.*the pike, and who advocate instead the strengthening of the free enterprise system are seen as either outdated theorists or a «new generation of economic exploiters, indifferent to human suffering and only out to make a fast buck for themselves and their companies. To make matters worse, surface appearances often tend to confirm this inaccurate impression. Advocates of big government are able to wax eloquent for hours about the ills they imagine they can cure by cranking out more currency and soaking up more credit through massive deficit spending. They have as many arguments as there are social, economic and political problems -r- even though the spending they advocate, as we have, seen with the Great Society's War on Poverty, is often part of the problem rather than part of the solution. Those of us who recognize the fallacy of the big government approach have only one argument. It's the right one, but, by dint of repetition, people are getting tired of hearing about it. For we constantly invoke the free enterprise system, too often without defining the freedoms and the opportunities that;it, and it alone, provides, we chant a slogan, a label, without defining it in comprehensible, human terms. We can talk about the free enterprise system until we are blue in the face, but it still won't mean anything to those who do not understand what it really is and what makes it work. It's like trying to sensibly discuss the birds and the bees with someone who is unshakable in his belief that babies are delivered by the stork. People who have never seen what happens to countries with state-controlled economies simply have no standard for comparison. They have never witnessed the long lines of workers and housewives who have to queue up for hours outside stateowned food and department stores in order to buy a poor selection of overpriced food staples and state-manufactured clothing and merchandise. - 8 They don't realize what a miracle of variety, economy and productive competition the average American shopping center would represent to nine-tenths of the earth's people. They have never asked themselves why a country like the Soviet Union, with some of the largest, richest tracts of grainland in the world, but with a government-owned and run agricultural system, cannot even feed its people without turning to American farmers who own their own land, make their own decisions and feed not only our own people, but millions of others as well. Too often they have been taught to scoff at the very profit and property motives which make our prosperity possible. They have never lived in countries where the seemingly idealistic dream of a non-profit, propertyless society has turned into a nightmare reality -- where the state and the state alone dictates what kind of education you will receive; whether or not you will be allowed to travel; what kind of job you can have; what you will be paid; what merchandise you can buy with your earnings; where you will live; where you will receive medical treatment; and, ultimately, where you will be buried. They have not seen the erosion of incentive and opportunity — the general lowering of morale -- in democracies that have given themselves over to pursuit of the welfare state and the controlled economy at all costs. For the personal rights all Americans cherish — freedom of worship, freedom of speech and freedom of association -have never long endured once economic freedom has been destroyed. As Alexander Hamilton warned so long ago, "Power over a man's substance amounts to power over his will." Without the individual profit motive, people simply do not work as hard, produce as much, or bother to come up with as many new improvements. Whether we like it or not, it is an immutable law of human nature. Unfortunately, like clean air, economic freedom is something most people don't really appreciate until it begins to run out — and then it is often too late. So we have reached the point where, although the free enterprise system works, and works better than any other economic system in effect anywhere in the world — and although it feeds, clothes and houses more people more affluently than any other while serving as the underpinning - 9 of our free society — it is somehow losing the war to an alien philosophy of government control and economic irresponsibility that has never worked but has somehow managed to preserve an aura of idealism and altrusism that attracts many young idealists. All of these misconceptions would be unimportant if they were not so misleading — so blatantly phoney. My experience in Washington has convinced me that almost every man and woman in a position of high public trust cares deeply about the well being of our people, especially those who are impoverished or face disadvantages because of their sex or the color of their skin. The central question is not who cares the most, but rather how we broaden prosperity and reduce human hardship without sacrificing our freedom or destroying the most successful economic system <that man has ever known. I submit to you today that if America continues down the road toward greater governmental spending and greater governmental control over our economy and our lives — a road that we have been moving steadily down for several decades — then our children will be robbed of their personal and economic freedoms. And, in the meantime, all of us will be condemned to an economy riddled by chronic inflation and incurable unemployment. That is really what is at issue underneath the semantics and the misleading labels, and of course young Americans have an even greater stake in the outcome than the rest of us. Let's look at a few facts about government spending. tor most of our history, the Federal Budget stayed somewhere Deiow the $100 billion mark — usually way below it. Then, in 1962, we finally hit $100 billion -- and that was only the beginning. Seven years later, the budget oroke the $200 billion barrier and then, only four years arter that, we hit the $300 billion mark. And now, in our bicentennial year, we have reached the point where the eaeral Government is spending $1 billion a day. The very size of such numbers makes them almost ^aningless to the average American. But there are ways g t h e mess on th a g e across. For example: suppose that daY Christ was bor on lh n , a man had been given $1 billion tne condition that he or his heirs spent $1,000 every day, seven days a week. How long would that $1 billion last? Adding it up, I think you'll find that today, almost 2000 years later, the grandchildren would still not have spent the full billion dollars. In fact, the money would not run out until 2716, 740 years from now. Yet our Federal government is spending $1 billion every single day, and, more importantly, going into debt another $1 billion every week. And as the budget grows, the government comes to occupy a more and more dominant role within our society. In 19 30, government spending at all levels — Federal, state and local -- amounted to about 10 percent of the Gross National Product. Today, because budgets have mushroomed, government accounts for nearly 40% of our entire national output, and if recent trends prevail, the government's share of the total economy could reach 60% before the end of this century. The alarming fact is that in every country in which this percentage has increased there has been a tendency to move toward instability, toward minority government and toward a threat to a free society. The only outstanding exception that I know of at the moment is Sweden, and I am somewhat mystified why it is an exception. Britain is the outstanding current demonstration with government spending equalling 60 percent or more of the national income. The issues involved are by no means narrowly economic. They concern fundamental principles of equity and of social stability. The problem of growing government spending is that however good the intentions which underlie the growth, those intentions are not achieved, that instead the growth in government spending makes low-income people worse off, undermines social cohesion and threatens the very foundation of a free and representative government. For taxpayers, the burden of paying the government's bills has become so heavy that many are now in open rebellion. In the 19 74 general elections, for example, voters across the country turned down some three quarters of all bond issues on the ballot. But the Federal Government gets around this public opposition by voting more federal spending without increasing taxes. The result has been a string of Federal Budget deficits that are unparalleled in our history. In 16 of the last 17 years, the budget has been in the red. And now, just when a balanced, healthy economic recovery has begun, the advocates - 11 of big spending would have us launch another round of reckless spending ahdrirunaw£y inflation. It is up to us to' stdp them. I wish that there was some way for television cameras to portray this story as vividly as they did the war in Vietnam or the race riots of earlier years. For, while the visual images are less dramatic, the problem is every bit as pressing and important.'* l But, as the great 19th century historian Thomas Carlyle once said, political economics is the "dismal science." On the surface, it seems ^nothing more than *a pile of charts and a jumble of numbers so"large as to be incomprehensible in everyday terms.' To put it mildly, economics seldom makes "sexy" news stories. And yet the economy is the one thing that affects every other aspect of American life — the food we eat, the qualityvof our education, our mobility, our freedom of choice in careers, services and merchandise, and our material and personal sense of pride and independence The smallest shock to the economy is felt in every limb of the body politic. And that is a big story, if only a graphic gripping way of telling it could be found. Consider the case of the Federal debt and its impact. As the debt climbs rapidly upwards, we have to pay higher and higher interest costs on it.' By the end of fiscal year 1976 we will have spent $36 billion in interest payments alone. In fiscal 1977 it will come to approximately $45 billion, or $125 million a day. That's more than we spent in any single year on the war in Vietnam. It's more than a third of our national defense budget. And it is money'"that could be better spent on needs such as public transportation, health care or any of a dozen worthy purposes. This heavy borrowing by the government has also aggravated inflation and increased interest rates, creating strains in money and capital markets. This, in turn, affects everyone from the businessman interested in expanding his plant to create new jobs, to the young couple trying to buy their first home without paying an arm and a leg in mortgage interest. - 12 Reckless government spending is the basic cause of inflation, and inflation was the underlying cause of the worst recession our country has experienced in a generation — a recession we are only now beginning to recover from. It was inflation that caused a loss of real income and the confidence of consumers, prompting the sharpest drop in consumer spending since World War II. And it was inflation that helped dry up the flow of savings into our thrift institutions, driving up interest rates and causing the housing industry to collapse. So one of our prime concerns as we proceed with the economic recovery is to avoid another dose of the poison that brought the recession on in the first place — rampant inflation fed by runaway federal spending. But spending isn't the whole problem. There is also the matter of government control and regulation, for as government spending has grown by leaps and bounds, so too has federal red tape. Did you realize that government agencies now exercise direct regulation over 10 percent of everything bought and sold in the United States and indirect regulation over almost every other sector of the private economy? Did you know that it costs private industry — and that means each one of us as consumers — approximately $20 billion a year just to do the paper work demanded by Federal bureaucrats? Some of these regulations are, of course, necessary. But many of them are counter-productive, wasteful, or obsolete. And as President Ford has repeatedly stated, those regulations and regulatory bodies that no longer serve a useful purpose should be abolished, before we strangle in our own red tape. Let me conclude with these few observations: As we enter our third century as a nation, I believe the time has come not to reappraise our dedication to a better life for all — that dedication is clear — but to reappraise what we can pay for and how we can do it. The current plight of New York City, the disease that afflicts the British economy, and the overwhelming size of our own Federal deficits are all grave warnings to us. We can yfy - 13 pay for what we now have and provide for the future only if our great capitalist economy does its job — produces goods in a free market and makes a sufficient profit. I am sick and tired of apologizing for the free enterprise system. It has given this country the highest standard of living and the greatest prosperity ever known, and of most importance, has helped to give us the greatest freedom ever known to man. And it will continue to do that unless it is crushed by the juggernaut of big Government. What we need are not fewer but more capitalists in the United States — more people with a real and direct stake in the profits generated by a productive economy. We cannot continue to have more and more of our citizens involved only in receiving benefits from the government and fewer and fewer people responsible for paying the benefits. We must broaden the base of those who work and narrow the base of those who are able but don't want to work. President Ford urged that we strike a "new balance" in our national life: — A balance that favors greater freedom and vitality for our private enterprise system. — A balance that lf^vors greater honesty and realism in dealing with the challenges of our time. These are great goals — goals worthy of the greatest nation on earth. We should not begin our Bicentennial year by retreating into the past, but by going forward into the future with a combination of patience, realistic hope, courage and common sense. If we work together with common purpose and conviction • with pride in ourselves and our nation — the goals we share today can become the first achievements of our third century together. President Ford has set a course which points us in the right direction and will permit us to get a grip on these problems, but it will take several years, not months, to bring this about. Unfortunately, the election is only seven months away. There will be calls from the opposition for "sweeping changes" and "broad new initiatives" which will really mean bigger spending, bigger deficits and ultimately bigger governmental control of the economy. We - 14 must persuade the American people that this course is wrong and that the other approach is much sounder in the long run. The real choice is between greater government control or greater individual freedom. That is the decision before us. Thank you. 0O0 497 REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE WILLIAM E. SIMON SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF BUSINESS ECONOMISTS TULSA, OKLAHOMA, APRIL 22, 1976 Senator Bartlett, Ladies and Gentlemen: It is always a pleasure to come to the Southwest and to Tulsa in particular. This town and this region blend the best qualities of two frontiers. There is a venturesome and confident attitude here that reflects the spirit of the old frontier. The virtues of hard work, self-reliance and individual enterprise are still happily in evidence here in Tulsa and the Southwest. And today you stand on a new technological frontier as an advanced computer center and an integral part of the domestic energy complex which means so much to the future of the American economy. Other speakers on your program this morning will be dealing with the hard details of the energy situation and some aspects of the capital availability problem in the economy generally. My own remarks will center on the role of government in our recent economic past and the potential threat this poses for a secure economic future. As I look around this room, I realize that among you are many whose businesses were hard-hit by the recent recession and simultaneous double digit inflation. Perhaps I can cheer you with some words of optimism. For, although I,will be the first to warn that we still have a way to go, we are now well into a period of economic expansion. — 1975 opened with inflation raging at 13 percent, we have now cut that rate in half. — During the spring of 1975, the unemployment rate reached nine percent, today it has fallen to 7.5 percent. — and earlier this week we learned that real GNP, that is, total output after adjusting for inflation, increased at an annual rate of 7-1/2 percent during the first quarter of 1976. WS-797 4?f — Other signs point to an economy that is gaining increasing momentum: Personal income, industrial output, housing starts, retail sales, the stock market — all are registering solid gains and this reflects rising public confidence about the economy that contrasts sharply with the deep pessimism reported by the polltakers the middle of last year. Thus we made considerable headway in 1975, and the outlook for 1976 remains encouraging. But that's still not good enough, and this is certainly no time for complacency. Unemployment is still intolerably high, and inflation is by no means under complete control. In fact, it remains the most dangerous enemy of real economic growth. The ruinous inflation that crested in 1974 was the chief cause of the recession of 1975. Let us learn from history so that it will never be said that the pain and suffering of the 1974-75 recession were in vain — that the politicians in Washington again ignored the national interest and refused to accept economic reality. Of course when I speak of economic reality, I mean to emphasize the difference between performance and promise. There is already a tendency on our national scene, which shows every sign of intensifying as the elections draw closer, to look with great alarm upon the current unemployment and inflation figures. There is a seemingly endless stream of political rhetoric about the insensitivity of this Administration for not spending massively enough and acting decisively enough to solve all our problems. But for once, let us not fall prey to those who tour the country, their bags brimming with instant quack cures — the self-proclaimed compassionate people whose spending proposals promise everything, but deliver us only one thing: more inflation. Indeed I urge you, as intelligent and objective citizens to ask yourselves a few fundamental questions. How could the most dynamic economic system in the world become infected with the diseases of inflation and unemployment at the same time? As a people where did we lose our way? I believe it is imperative to decide how we got ourselves into this mess if we're really sincere about getting out of it permanently. Economists argue about this a good deal. Many politicians are ignoring the question entirely, seeking instead to capitalize on the effects of the problems. But to me there is no real mystery about how we got here, nor what we must do. To an objective observer, the first and most glaringly obvious fact is that our economic problems do not stem from a lack of compassion, concern or vision on the part of the Federal government. Since President Eisenhower left office: 49? - 3— The number of domestic spending programs has increased tenfold. — The American people have spent over one trillion dollars on social programs for people and communities that needed help — a commitment that now equals 73 percent of our entire budget. — The staple of our national life has become politicians with grand visions and even grander promises of what can be accomplished if they can just spend more of our money and be given greater authority over our lives. So over the past 15 years, the government has tried many, many solutions. Yet the problems persist and our people are now more frustrated, disillusioned, and cynical. This doesn't mean there are no answers. It means only, I would suggest, that we have been taking fundamentally the wrong approach. We suffer not from a lack of government action, but from an excess of government action. The trouble with the Federal government is that it is trying to do more than its resources permit, to do many things that it cannot do very well, to do some things that it should not do at all, and to do all these things at the same time. Excesses in governmental action have been most damaging in three critical areas affecting the economy: — fiscal policy — monetary policy — regulatory policy No one who has followed the pattern of Federal spending in recent years can fail to be impressed by its explosive growth. — The Federal budget has quadrupled in 15 years; — We have had 16 budget deficits in 17 years; — And we have doubled the national debt in just 10 years time. It took 75 years for our national debt to reach one billion dollars. Today government spending is causing the debt to grow by one billion dollars every week. The Federal Government today is the nation's biggest single employer, its biggest consumer, and its biggest borrower. And if present trends continue until the end of the century, Government at all levels will account for almost 60 percent of our gross national product. Once government achieves that degree of dominance over your lives, much of the economic and political freedom you now take for granted will have been lost. - 4 - J^ The alarming fact is that in every country in which this percentage has increased there has been a tendency to move toward instability, toward minority government and toward a threat to a free society. The issues involved are by no means narrowly economic. They concern fundamental principles of equity and of social stability. The problem of growing government spending is that however good the intentions which underlie the growth, those intentions are not achieved, that instead, the growth in government spending makes low-income people worse off, undermines social cohesion and threatens the very foundation of a free and representative government. Partly to accomodate the federal government's borrowing leeds in the private markets, there has been a significant shift In monetary policies. From 1953 to 1965 the money supply of the Jnited States was growing at approximately 2-1/2 percent and we mjoyed relative price stability. From 1965 to the present, iowever, the average rate of growth of the money supply has more :han doubled and it is no accident that during this same period 'e have had spiraling inflation. This past decade has also witnessed an excessive growth in he regulatory responsibilities of the federal government. Governent agencies now directly regulate over 10 percent of everything ought and sold in the United States and indirectly regulate almost very other industry of the private economy. The power of the rmy of more than 100,000 government regulators has become ncredibly strong. Just to fill out the necessary forms, the merican people must now spend over 130 million work hours a year. - 5Consider the case history of one Ed Sohmers, a typical American businessman, who honestly and conscientiously tried to comply with Federal rules and regulations. Ed Sohmers was general manager of Marlin Toy Products, Inc., a Wisconsin company that made a toy cited as unsafe in November 1972 by the U. S. Food and Drug Administration. The toy, a plastic ball containing colored pellets, was declared unsafe, the FDA said, because if it broke open a child could swallow the pellets. No matter what Marlin had been marketing the toy since 1962 and had received no complaints. Mr. Sohmers recalled the toy at a cost of $95,000, removed the pellets and thought his problems were over. But, as he and his 85 employees were preparing for the 1973 holiday season making the toy and other products, a new Federal Agency — The Consumer Product Safety Commission — took over the safety regulation of toys and other products. In the process, some of the paperwork on the Marlin plastic toy went astray. Shortly thereafter, the Commission published a banned products list and sure enough, the Marlin plastic toy was on the list. Ed Sohmer's protest fell on deaf ears. The erroneous list has been distributed to thousands of toy shops and the Commission refused to recall its 250,000 copies "Just to take one or two toys off the list," as they put it. Predictably, the incorrect list caused order cancellations from all over the country. Marlin found itself with a $1.2 million loss and had to lay off all but ten of its 85 workers, many of whom were handicapped. As Marlin's toy business plummeted, its paperwork problems skyrocketed: — Mr. Sohmers had to write more than 700 letters in an effort to obtain enabling legislation that would permit him to sue for damages. — He spent two weeks and $15,000 gathering documents for an appraisal company to prove the loss of business. — Three employees had to work two seven-day weeks pouring through documents that went back to the founding of the business in a household kitchen in 1947, in order to answer government inquiries. And while all this was going on, the Justice Department, Pleading a heavy workload, was able to obtain delays on the company's court action against the government. Today, Marlin is out of the toy business. £23- 6 Marlin Toys' difficulties are just one example of the thousands of bureacratic bungles that have taken their toll in both human and financial terms. In this case, government regulatory overkill took a tragic economic toll on human beings. Many of Marlin's discharged employees, especially the handicapped, could not find other jobs. It finally managed, through the intervention of the U.S. Congress, to bring its case against the government to court. I recently came under criticism from the Consumer Product Safety Commission for having told Marlin's story as an example of "bureacratic bungling" to a group of small businessmen in Dallas. The Commission's chairman, Richard 0. Simpson, wrote me and I quote: "Although your statements accurately reflect the allegations Marlin Toy Products, Inc. have made, I believe it inappropriate for you to publicize them when those very allegations are being contested in court." The government's position, wrote Mr. Simpson, "is that the principal cause of the company's problems results from its own mismanagement." When I got that letter, naturally I did a little more checking of the facts. I discovered by Mr. Simpson's own admission in letters to Mr. Sohmers of Marlin in March 1974, and to Senator Eastland in July 1974, that the Commission's listing was indeed in error -- and error committed by the Commission and not one that was the result of Marlin's mismanagement. Was it inappropriate of me to speak of Marlin's plight in a public forum in the first place? I submit that it was not. Was it inappropriate to mention that the all-mighty U. S. Government made a mistake? I submit that it was nc?t. And I submit finally, that we need more, not less public discussion of regulatory and other matters that directly affect businesses and individuals throughout the country. Just recently I learned the Agriculture Department probably spent several hundred thousand dollars of the taxpayers' money and employed four judges, just to determine whether a man with a trained dog and pony act could ply his trade without a 25 dollar federal license. It turns out he cannot. - 7 When you objectively add up all these facts of excessive government spending,excessive expansion of the money supply, and excessive governmental regulation, one conclusion seems inescapable. Our inflation and our resulting unemployment were made in Washington, D. C. There's just part of what the bill now adds up to. Our current federal budget is equivalent to about $2,000 a head for every man, woman and child in this country. Our national debt equals almost $3,000 for every citizen. And government regulation adds approximately $2,000 to the costs of purchases made by each American family every year. How can anyone make the case that the increase in government benefits has in any way kept up with the increase in government costs? The fact is that governmental excesses of the past 15 years have become the strong underlying cause of inflation during the 1960's. They remain so today. The rise in spending has added enormously to the aggregate demand for goods and services in the economy, thus forcing up prices. And the government's heavy borrowing needs require it to soak up 80 percent of all new longterm loanable capital, leaving only 20 percent to the entire private sector, which nevertheless must produce virtually all our goods and services and employ 83 percent of our workforce. This increasingly massive governmental presence has been an important factor in the persistent rise in interest rates, and the strains in the financial markets. Moreover, it is clear that the cumbersome regulatory procedures of the government have too often only stifled competition and added billions of dollars to the price of consumer goods. Now I am not saying that government excesses are the sole cause of our inflation and recession that followed in its wake. The recent quadrupling of oil prices and rising food prices have also played a significant part. But it is the recklessly explosive growth in government that has reaped the greatest destruction. The evidence is in and it proves conclusively to me that government, far from being our greatest source of prosperity and material security as some people would have us believe, has now become a direct threat to our survival as a free society. And so that is why I must appeal to you this afternoon, not only for your support, but also for your direct participation in a massive effort to preserve the economic freedoms that have given this country hoth the greatest prosperity and the greatest freedom ever known to man. For what is at stake is not just the survival of this or that industry. What really is hanging in the balance is the survival of our private sector, and the individual liberties which nave never long survived the collapse of a society's economic freedoms. - 8 The problem is a matter of both policy and perception. Bad perception leads inevitably to bad policy, and I am firmly convinced that, taken together, misunderstanding and misdirection of the American economy have become the central underlying problem of our times. Unfortunately the perception of what is right or wrong is too often inaccurate, because it is described inaccurately as a superficial division between those who "care" and those who are "callous". Many of today's youth view those who consistently advocate bigger government as the saviors of the modern world out to rescue the persecuted underdog. On the other hand, those who advocate less government and the strengthening of free enterprise are often dismissed out of hand as greedy exploiters out to make a fast buck for themselves or their companies. And — because image is so all important and bad news is big news — those who supposedly "care" are often afforded greater media exposure to expound about all our social ills and to claim they can cure them by just cranking out more currency and soaking up more credit through massive deficit spending. In reality, of course, this is no cure at all. It is this same destructive approach that is at the very root of the problems we are struggling with today. Big government isn't the solution; it's a large part of the problem. We who insist on the superiority of the free enterprise system, emphasizing its competition, efficiency, and profitability are nevertheless losing our argument. We tend to converse in slogans and labels, while the proponents of big government speak in more appealing, seemingly more humane terms. This is unfortunate, and to me it would be difficult to imagine any greater irony. For even the most cursory glance at history shows us that the American economy is the most successful the world has ever known — precisely because it is an essentially humane creation of the people, by the people, and for the people. The performance of our economy proves this. In the period since the early 1960s — a period during which one abuse after another has been inflicted upon our private sector, it has nevertheless managed to outperform all others. — In the last 15 years, real purchasing power of Americans has jumped by 40 percent, average family income has risen to over $13,000 a year, 20 million new jobs have been created, and we have cut the number of people below the poverty line in half. — Our farmers harvest more than twice as much grain with fewer workers compared to a generation ago. — Medical science has added 10 years to our lives over this period. — And Americans today have more time forpersonal study, disposable recreation history. We and income continue self-improvement on ourselves. to spend about than any 90leisure percent society of inour recorded •1 <*> - 9 No other country — no other system — has achieved so much for its people. Yet these tremendous achievements are the product of the same free-market system that now finds itself under attack. Where does the free enterprise system stand today? For all the talk about excessive profits, it's a system that, on the average, offers a profit incentive of less than five cents on the dollar, a small reward for all the effort and risk-taking that goes into developing and operating a successful business. Nevertheless, it remains the real productive source of our nation's wealth, as well as that of each individual American. Despite the growing influence of government over our lives, the private sector produces the food we eat, the goods we use, the clothes we wear, the homes we live in. It is the source of five out of every six jobs in America, and it provides directly and indirectly, almost all the pressure for the rest of the jobs in our all-too-rapidly expanding public sector. It is the foundation for defense security for ourselves and most of the Free World. It is the productive base that pays for government spending to aid the elderly, the jobless, the poor, the dependent and the disabled. Indeed, far from being the anti-human caricature painted by political demagogues, the American private sector is in reality the mightiest engine for social progress and individual improvement ever created. In a nutshell, all of the material and spiritual values that make our country unique and make us so proud to be Americans could not exist without the free enterprise system. Yet many people still fail to understand the crucial link between our economic and our political freedom. Destroy one, and the other will soon disappear. I can assure you that this Administration is fighting to ensure the survival of your economic freedoms. But to succeed, we must have the active participation of business leaders like yourselves in reopening the lines of communication to the American people. It's been said that communication is the web that holds civilization together, perpetuating its values and traditions - 10 Never has that function been more important than today. We must — all of us — communicate the great story of freedom. — We must dispell the confusion that has made free enterprise a dirty word, and convince them that business, profits and people are all mutually interrelated. — We must let our lawmakers and leaders in government know that they cannot continue to work at cross purposes with the very system that generates our wealth, our strength and our freedom. — We must make people aware that runaway spending and unending deficits are sopping up much needed capital for productive jobs, and are only fueling inflation — a silent thief that picks every American's pocket, undermines confidence and turns the desperate to government for still more illusory help. But words are certainly not enough, the living example is much more meaningful. That is why I urge each of you: — To set a high moral and ethical standard by eliminating any practices in your organizations and operations that may be questionable. — To square practices with principles by supporting deregulation across the board, not just selectively; by helping to end government subsidies, quotas and handouts, bailouts or other inducements that offer a superficial empty promise of security in exchange for sacrifices of freedom and, — To initiate and in some cases intensify our efforts to inform and educate the public about the benefits and realities of private enterprise. This, ladies and gentlemen, is the crucial theme that must be communicated broadly and deeply into the national consciousness: The American production and distribution system is the very wellspring of our nation's strength — the source of present abundance and the basis for our hopes of a better future. America can solve its pressing problems if it preseryes and continues to improve this immensely productive system. And in this process, we'll also be preserving the freedoms that made it all possible. Let us make that our common resolve. Thank you. 0O0 £V7 REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE WILLIAM E. SIMON SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE CARBONDALE CHAMBER OF COMMERCE CARBONDALE, ILLINOIS APRIL 29, 1976 Thank you, . Congressman Simon , Mayor Eckert, President Brandt, Mr. Emerson, distinguished guests, Ladies and Gentlemen: It's a pleasure to join you in this well-deserved tribute to Senator John Gilbert and a very special pleasure to be among so many good friends here in Carbondale. When Paul Simon, your able Congressman, and my good friend, invited me to join you here tonight I responded most enthusiastically for two reasons. First, I want to get in on record once and for all that the Simon who is spearheading the Draft Hubert Humphrey movement and the Simon who is Secretary of the Treasury are not related. And second, I always enjoy coming to Illinois, a great state of great sons who have given much to our nation. Abe Lincoln, Everett Dirksen, Adlai Stevenson, Charles Percy and others too numerous to mention all have in common a unique spirit. It is a spirit that stems directly from this heartland of America -- a spirit of vitality, self-reliance, individuality and dignity. And it is a spirit that is too rare these days in Washington -- the city that subscribes to Ben Franklin's dictum that "three may keep a secret if two of them are dead." After more than three years in Washington, one other thing is also apparent to me. Washington is full of politicians -- present company excepted, of course -- who tend to be obsessed with our immediate problems and with creating instant formulas and overnight panaceas to solve them. It is almost a cardinal sin in that city to look beyond November in an election year. WS-798 As a non-politician, I am going to commit that sin tonight and I ask your indulgence as we take a longerterm view of where we have been and where we are going as we confront our economic problems. There is a strong irony in the fact that when the need for long-term vision about our economy has never been greater, we are being deluged with a series of suggestions of quick fixes for our economic ills0 Those who call for these magic cures claim that we aren't spending enough, aren't pressing hard enough, aren't pushing enough panic buttons to solve our problems. Despite our steady economic gains many of these critics say there is some basic flaw in our system and they bombard us with countless sleight-of-hand remedies: governmental control over economic planning -- guaranteed jobs for all at government expense - - a new round of wage and price controls -- and other so-called solutions. Frankly, I believe that many of these critics suffer from what Mark Twain called "loyalty to petrified opinions." They fail to see that efforts to strengthen the public sector at the expense of the private sector are a large part of the problem, not part of the solution. They refuse to recognize that the same excessive government fiscal, monetary and regulatory policies they call for today have led to abuse of our economy and helped trigger, first, a storm of inflation in the early 1970s and, second, the severe recession from which we are now recovering. And they fail to comprehend a gathering mood in this country against the further expansion of big government. They suffer from the economic variety of Potomac Fever -- the delusion that all economic cures must originate in Washington with the Federal government. As President Eisenhower once remarked, "there are a number of things wrong with Washington, and one of them is that everybody has been too long away from home." But before we look at where we are going, I'd like to take a moment to look at where we have been in the recent past -- and to itemize our recovery from the worst recession in more than a generation and the worst inflation in our peacetime history. As we work our way out of one of the most:; severe economic slowdowns of the entire post-war experience, I believe that the decisions we have had to make, and are making, will serve as an instructive guide to the future. S»7 Many of you in this room who are small businessmen and women may still be feeling the effects of the recent double-digit inflation and severe recession. Perhaps some of you fear that our immediate economic future is uncertain and that you may wake up tomorrow to face a new round of inflation, tighter credit and more unemployment. Let me put things into perspective. We have had extensive and impressive evidence that our national economy is on the road to a healthy recovery. Economists generally agree that the economy began to recover a year ago, that the recovery began sooner than expected, and that it has been stronger than expected. This is not to say that everything is fine. But for 12 months the U.S. economy has been expanding rapidly, and the benefits of a reviving private sector have already accomplished much in unwinding the severe inflation and unemployment caused by the stop-go policies of the past decade. -- 1975 opened with inflation raging at nearly 13 percent. That rate has been sharply reduced to approximately 6 percent. In fact, over the last three months for which we have statistics, December through February, consumer prices have only risen at an annual rate of 4.4 percent. Over the last five months, wholesale prices have actually declined. We do not expect those experiences to continue. But we have made significant progress already and more can be expected if responsible policies are followed. -- Last spring, unemployment had reached nearly 9 percent. It has now dropped to 7.5 percent and our forecasts indicate a continuing downward trend toward 7 percent by the end of the year. -- And last week we learned that real GNP, that is, total output after adjusting for inflation, increased at an annual rate of 7-1/2 percent during the first quarter of 1976. -- Other signs point to an economy that is gaining increasing momentum: personal income, industrial output, housing starts, retail sales, the stock market -- all are registering solid gains and this reflects a rising public confidence about the economy that contrasts sharply with the deep pessimism reported by polltakers the middle of last year. - 4 - 0 But although we made considerable headway in 1975 and we are making even more in 1976, this is no time for complacency. Inflation is not under complete control and the jobless rate is still too high. Right here in Jadkson County, unemployment is running above the national average -and this translates into hardship and suffering for many families. And per capita family income in this area and in many other areas of the Nation is still too low. Let me assure you that we will not be content until the rising vigor of the economy nationally is reflected in communities that have been hardest hit by recent economic conditions. But there is another basic consideration we must not lose sight of. Inflation remains the most dangerous enemy of future economic growth, and we must do nothing to unleash another inflationary spiral. Ruinous inflation was the chief cause of our recent recession. Inflation hits everyone, rich, poor and middle class alike, the small business owner, the college professor, the college student and Caterpillar Tractor. It erodes the value of our dollars, stifles profits and real earnings, drives up interest rates and puts the pinch on investment and expansion. In short, it drains the life-blood and vitality from our society. We can indeed take comfort from the fact that the symptoms of inflation are receding for now; but the root cause of the disease remains. I refer to the excessive governmental fiscal, monetary and regulatory policies that we have pursued over part of the past 40 years, particularly over the last decade. These policies, the legacy of the Great Depression of the 1930's, could lead to even worse recessions and more ruinous inflation in the future if we do not learn from history and act now, before it is too late. Let us just look at a few economic trends and facts : In 1930, government spending at all levels amounted to approximately 10 percent of the GNP. Today government accounts for almost 40 percent"of our entire national out put, and if this trend continues, the government's share of the economy will reach 60 percent within 2 5 years. -- In just 15 years time the Federal budget has quadrupled. 6 §" -- We have failed to balance the budget for 16 of the past 17 years. -- And in just ten years time, we have doubled the national debt. It took 75 years for our national debt to reach one billion dollars. This year, government spending is causing the debt to grow by one billion dollars every week. -- And the average American bears a tax burden of over 30 percent of his earnings -- that means working for the government instead of yourself from January to May. The Federal Government today is the nation's biggest single employer, its biggest consumer, and its biggest borrower. Partly to accommodate the Federal Government's borrowing needs in the private markets, there has been a less noticed but equally significant shift in monetary policies. From 1955 to 1965, the money supply of the United States was growing at approximately 2-1/2 percent a year. During that period we enjoyed relative price stability. But from 1965 to the present, the average rate of growth in the money supply has more than doubled. It is no accident that during this same period we have also had spiraling inflation. The alarming .fact is that in every country that has given way to these trends, there has been a tendency :to move toward instability, toward minority government and toward a threat to a free society. The important point here is that the issues involved are by no means narrowly economic. They concern fundamental principles of equity and of social stability. The problem of growing government spending is that, however good the intentions which underlie the growth, those intentions are not achieved; that, instead, the growth in government spending makes low-income people worse off, undermines social cohesion and threatens the very foundation of a free and representative government. This past decade has also s.een tremendous growth in the regulatory apparatus of the government. Government agencies now exercise direct regulation over 10 percent of everything bought and sold in the United States and indirectly regulate almost every other sector of the private economy. Just to fill out the necessary Federal forms, the American people now spend over 130 million work hours a year. Indeed -6- iuui_u ui J-ICC cui-crpri^v *•• • - - —i--- - . - « ing costs involved. Last year, business spent an estimated $20 billion just to do the paper work demanded by Federal bureaucrats. Of course, it is you and I and every otner consumer who pay for this in the form of higher prices and higher taxes. This is not to say that some government regulations are not necessary and even desirable. We must control the quality of the air we breathe, the food we eat and water we drink. These are all desirable regulatory objectives. But do we really need government telling businessmen what the height of their office washrooms should be? It is the case history of one Ed Sohmers, a typical American businessman, who honestly and conscientiously tried to comply with Federal rules and regulations. Ed Sohmers was general manager of Marlin Toy Products, Inc., a Wisconsin company that made a toy cited as unsafe in November 1972 by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration. The toy, a plastic ball containing colored pellets, was declared unsafe, the FDA said, because if it broke open a child could swallow the pellets. No matter that Marlin had been marketing the toy since 1962 and had received no complaints. Mr. Sohmers recalled the toy at a cost of $95,000, removed the pellets and thought his problems were over. But as he and his 85 employees were preparing for the 19 73 holiday season making the toy, a new Federal Agency -- the Consumer Product Safety Commission -- took over the safety regulation of toys and other products. In the process, some of the paperwork on the Marlin plastic toy went astray. Shortly thereafter, the Commission published a banned product list and, sure enough, the Marlin plastic toy was mistakenly included on the list. Ed Sohmer's protest fell on deaf ears. The erroneous list had been distributed to thousands of toy shops and the Commission refused to recall its 250,000 copies "just to take one or two toys off the list," as they put it. Predictably, the incorrect list caused order cancellations from all over the country. Marlin found itself with a $1.2 million loss and had to lay off all but ten of its 85 workers, many of whom were handicapped. As Marlin1s toy business plummeted, its paperwork problems skyrocketed. -- Mr. Sohmers had to write more than 700 letters in an effort to obtain enabling legislation that would permit him to sue for damages. -7-- He spent two weeks and $15,000 gathering documents for an appraisal company to prove the loss of business. -- Three employees had to work two seven-day weeks pouring through documents that went back to the founding of the business in a household kitchen in 1947, in order to answer government inquiries. -- And while all this was going on, the Justice Department, pleading a heavy workload, was able to obtain delays on the company's court action against the government. Today, Marlin is out of the toy business. Marlin Toys' difficulties are just one example of the waste and suffering caused by over-regulation and bureaucratic bungling. In this case, over-zealous government regulation took a tragic economic toll on human beings. I recently came under criticism from the Consumer Product Safety Commission for having told Marlin's story as an example of "bureaucratic bungling" to a group of small businessmen in Dallas. The Commission's Chairman, Richard 0. Simpson, wrote me and I quote: "Although your statements accurately reflect the allegations Marlin Toy Products, Inc. have made, I believe it inappropriate for you to publicize them when those very allegations are being contested in court." The government's position, wrote Mr. Simpson, "is that the principal cause of the company's problems results from its own mismanagement." When I got that letter, naturally I did a little more checking of the facts. I discovered by Mr. Simpson's own admission in letters to Mr. Sohmers of Marlin in March, 1974, and to Senator Eastland in July, 1974, that the Commission's listing was indeed an error -- an error committed by the Commission and not one that was the result of Marlin's mismanagement. Was it inappropriate of me to speak of Marlin's plight in a public forum in the first plaee? I submit that it was not. Was it inappropriate to mention that the allmighty U.S. Government made a mistake? I submit that it was not. And I submit finally, that we need more, not less Public discussion of regulatory and other matters that directly affect businesses and individuals throughout the country. -fl- it is not just Mr. Sohmers and other victims of overregulation that suffer the consequences of big government. We all .pay the bill, and^ ,itfs^gettinq bigger every year.Look at the figures. . _ '"'" Our current Federal budget is equivalent to about $2,000 for every man, woman and child in America. Our national debt equals almost another $3,000 for every citizen. And government regulation adds about $2,000 to the costs of purchases made by each American family every year. How can anyone make the case that government benefits have in any way kept up with government costs? Indeed, is it any wonder that if present trends continue, government at all levels could account, as I pointed out earlier, for almost 60 percent of our GNP by the end of the century? If we ever let government become such a dominant part of our society, I have no doubt that most of our economic freedoms will disappear. And when that happens the precious individual freedoms we enjoy will soon erode after them. Thomas Jefferson understood this close link between individual and economic freedom. To preserve our independence, he once wrote, "We must not let our rulers load us with perpetual debt. We must make our choice between economy and liberty, or profusion and servitude." When you add up all these facts of excessive government spending, excessive expansion of the money supply and excessive governmental regulation, one conclusion seems inescapable. If there is such a thing as truth in packaging, both our inflation and our resulting unemployment should bear the label "Made in Washington, D.C." The fact is that governmental excesses of the past 15 years were the strong, underlying cause of inflation during the 1960s. They remain so today. The rise in government spending has added enormously to the aggregate demand for goods and services in the economy, thus forcing up prices. And the government's heavy borrowing requirements means that this year it will soak up 80 percent of the capital in the capital markets, leaving only 20 percent to the entire private sector, which nevertheless must produce virtually all our goods and services and employ 83 percent of our work force. -9- This increasingly massive governmental presence has been an important factor in the persistent rise in interest rates and the strains we have seen in the financial markets. Moreover, it is clear that the cumbersome regulatory procedures of the government have too often stifled competition which has inevitably added billions of dollars to the price of consumer goods. The evidence is in and it proves conclusively to me that government, far from being our greatest source of prosperity and material security as some people would have us believe, has now become a direct threat to our survival as a free society. As we enter our third century as a nation, I believe the time has come not to reappraise our dedication to a better life for all -- that dedication is clear -- but to reappraise what we can afford to pay for this goal and how we can best achieve it. The current plight of New York, the malaise affecting many other state-controlled economies and the overwhelming size of our Federal deficits are all grave warnings to us. We can pay for what we now have and provide for the future only if our great free enterprise economy is allowed to do its job -- to produce goods and jobs in a free market at a fair price. I am sick and tired to apologizing for free enterprise. It's our profit system that has given this country a prosperity that is now the envy of the entire world. If we were to listen to some of our critics and run our businesses the way they would run the government, there would be no profits to tax, no revenues to collect, and thus no programs to fund. This great country of our* has the human resources, the economic resources, and a productive and creative economic system to keep going and growing if we will only look at the facts as they are. At the height of the energy crisis, the doom peddlers pounded away at an inventory of disasters -- dollar gas, dollar bread, dollar sugar, and even dollar toilet paper. The disasters never came. 511 During the debate of New York City's fiscal problems, many of the same voices joined together in a chorus of doom promising that, unless President Ford wrote New York a blank check, there would be a collapse of the international finance system. It never happened. If each of us will just act responsibly and consider the facts calmly in deciding the political and economic issues of the day, we have every reason to be optimistic about our country's future. The free enterprise ideals and principles that have guided this nation for 200 years will be true to us as long as we are true to them. That is why the Administration is urging Congress to adhere to a broad-gauged plan to further nurture and stimulate the natural forces of growth in our private enterprise economy. An essential element of the plan is to put the brakes on the dizzying momentum of Federal spending --to slow the rate of increase to about 5 percent this fiscal year, contrasted with a jump of 40 percent from Fiscal Year 1974 to Fiscal Year 1976. This will allow us to continue to make progress on inflation and, at the same time, will make additional tax cuts possible for businesses and individuals and set the stage for a balanced budget within three years. Further, the President has urged tax measures designed to stimulate job creation generally, encourage the building of sorely needed electric power facilities, and increase plant and equipment construction in areas where unemployment has topped 7 percent, which includes virtually every major job market in Illinois and many other parts of the Mid-West. Finally, the Administration has proposed elimination of the unfair double taxation of dividends that retards capital formation. This is the only major proposal I know about that seeks to correct the imbalance between corporate debt and equity. As you well know, we must redress this imbalance to allow the financial markets to channel society's savings more efficiently into promising investment opportunities. And, as you also know, improving our lagging capital investment picture is absolutely essential to meet our long-term goals of more jobs, higher incomes, greater productivity, lower inflation and sustained growth. -11- These steps and the balanced program we have pursued so far are designed to fight inflation and unemployment simultaneously and strengthen the private sector of our economy. We firmly believe that this course is working, that it is right for the Nation, and that it is leading us forward towards robust growth and expanding opportunities. One hundred and one years ago, Lincoln said, "I have faith in the people. . .The danger is in their being mislead. Let them know the truth and the country is safe." The truth is what I have tried to emphasize here tonight. As business and professional people, each of you benefits from our great free enterprise system. Each of you knows first-hand -- sees every day -- the strengths of a free economy. And each of you knows, as I do, that while the free enterprise system is not perfect, it has provided us with the highest standard of living ever known to man, unparalleled national wealth, and individual freedoms that are the envy of the world. For when we talk about our free enterprise economy, we are talking about food on the table, goods on the shelves and services at the counter. We are talking about medical break-throughs that have added 10 years to our lives in the past generation. We are talking about labor-saving devices that have freed millions of women for productive careers and the pursuit of self-enlightenment. We are talk1ing about five out of every six jobs in America and wages and benefits that stagger the imagination of the rest of the world. We are talking about a productive base that pays for government support of the elderly, the jobless, the poor, the dependent and the disabled. And we are talking about basic freedoms, freedom to choose a career, to choose what and where we buy, to choose where and how we live, and yes, to swim against the tide -- as did Fulton and Ford and Edison -- things you could never do living in the gray shadow of conformity under a regimented society. And so I would like to ask each and every one of you here tonight to help preserve that system. If we work together, with pride in ourselves and in our past, the goals we share for the future can become the first great achievements of America's third century. ^ &f These steps and the balanced program we have pursued so far are designed to fight inflation and unemployment simultaneously and strengthen the private sector of our economy. We firmly believe that this course is working, that it is right for the Nation, and that it is leading us forward towards robust growth and expanding opportunities. One hundred and one years ago, Lincoln said, "I have faith in the people. . .The danger is in their being mislead. Let them know the truth and the country is safe." The truth is what I have tried to emphasize here tonight. As business and professional people, each of you benefits from our great free enterprise system. Each of you knows first-hand -- sees every day -- the strengths of a free economy. And each of you knows, as I do, that while the free enterprise system is not perfect, it has provided'us with the highest standard of living ever known to man, 'unparalleled national wealth, and individual freedoms that are the envy of the world. For when we talk about our free enterprise economy, we are talking about food on the table, goods on the shelves and services at the counter. We are talking about medical break-throughs that have added 10 years to our lives in the past generation. We are talking about labor-saving devices that have freed millions of women for productive careers and the pursuit of self-enlightenment. We are talking about five out of every six jobs in America and wages and benefits that stagger the imagination of the rest of the world. We are talking about a productive base that pays for government support of the elderly, the jobless, the poor, the dependent and the disabled. And we are talking about basic freedoms, freedom to choose a 'career, to choose what and where we buy, to choose where and how we live, and yes, to swim against the tide --as did Fulton and Ford and Edison -- things you could never do living in the gray shadow of conformity under a regimented society. And so I would like to ask each and every one of you here tonight to help preserve that system. If we work together, with pride in ourselves and in our past, the goals we share for the future can become the first great achievements of America's third century. £'? But if we allow those who call for "sweeping changes and broad new government initiatives" to prevail (and their cries are louder in this election year), it will mean higher spending, higher deficits, higher taxes and greater control by the government over our lives. As Daniel Webster once said, "God grants liberty only to those who love it, and are always ready to guard and defend it." For more than two centuries, Americans have met that challenge. If we keep alive the spirit that infuses our national character -- the spirit of free enterprise that each of you personifies -- then we can be certain that it will endure for many centuries to come. Thank you. 0O0 REASURY ,D.C. 20220 « TELEPHONE 964-2041 FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. April 20, 1976 TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $6,100,000,000 , or thereabouts, to be issued April 29, 1976, as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) in the amount of $2,600,000,000, or thereabouts, representing an additional amount of bills dated January 29, 1976, and to mature July 29, 1976 (CUSIP No. 912793 A2 2 ) , originally issued in the amount of $3,501,865,000, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills, for $3,500,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated April 29, 1976, and to mature October 28, 1976 (CUSIP No. 912793 B7 0 ) . The bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing April 29, 1976, outstanding in the amount of $6,305,065,000, of which Government accounts and Federal Reserve Banks, for themselves and as agents of foreign and international monetary authorities, presently hold $2,616,620,000. These accounts may exchange bills they hold for the bills now being offered at the average prices of accepted tenders. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form in denominations of $10,000, $15,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value), and in book-entry form to designated bidders. Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to one-thirty p.m., Eastern Daylight Saving time, Monday, April 26, 1976. Tenders will not be received at the Department of the Treasury, Washington. Each tender must be for a minimum of $10,000. multiples of $5,000. Tenders over $10,000 must be in In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e.g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government WS-799 (OVER) & -2- \ securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their positions with respect to Government securities and borrowings thereon may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. own account. Others will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting competitive tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $500,000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on April 29, 1976, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing April 29, 1976. ment. Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treat- Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Under Sections 454(b) and 1221(5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and the bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder must include in his Federal income tax return, as ordinary gain or loss, the difference between the price paid for the bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made. Department of the Treasury Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice, prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. oOo f2Z Contact: J.C. Davenport Extension 8585 April 22, 1976 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE WITHHOLDING OF APPRAISEMENT ON TANTALUM ELECTROLYTIC FIXED CAPACITORS FROM JAPAN Assistant Secretary of the Treasury David R. Macdonald announced today a withholding of appraisement on tantalum electrolytic fixed capacitors from Japan pending a determination as to whether they are being sold at less than fair value within the meaning of the Antidumping Act of 1921, as amended. This decision will appear in the Federal Register of April 23, 1976. Under the Antidumping Act, the Secretary of the Treasury is required to withhold appraisement whenever he has reasonable cause to believe or suspect that sales at less than fair value may be taking place. A final Treasury decision in this investigation will be made within three months. Appraisement will be withheld for a period not to exceed six months from the date of publication of the "Withholding of Appraisement Notice" in the Federal Register. Under the Antidumping Act, a determination of sales in the United States at less than fair value requires that the case be referred to the U.S. International Trade Commission which would consider whether a United States industry is being or is likely to be injured, or is prevented from being established, by reason of such sales. Both sales at less than fair value and injury must be found before a finding of dumping can be issued. Upon a finding of dumping, the applicable merchandise is then subject to the assessment of special duties. Imports of the subject merchandise from Japan amounted to $1.3 million during January-October 1975. Tantalum electrolytic fixed capacitors are dutiable under item 685.80 of the Tariff Schedules of the United States. WS-800 * * * cT-23 Contact: Richard Self Extension 2951 April 22, 1976 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY ANNOUNCES FINAL COUNTERVAILING DUTY DETERMINATION ON BEEF IMPORTS FROM THE EC Assistant Secretary of the Treasury David R. Macdonald announced today a final determination under the Countervailing Duty Law that bounties or grants are being paid on imported frozen boneless beef from European Community Countries. Notice to this effect will be issued in the FEDERAL REGISTER of April 23, 1976. A notice of initiation of investigation coupled with a preliminary countervailing duty determination was published in the April 1, 1976, FEDERAL REGISTER. Information before the Treasury indicates that exports of frozen boneless beef to the U.S. receive export restitution payments under the European Community's Common Agricultural Policy. During 1975 imports of frozen boneless beef from European Community Countries were approximately $3.6 million. * WS-801 * * Department of the'fREASURY TELEPHONE 964-2041 STATEMENT BY THE HONORABLE JAMES J. FEATHERSTONE DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY (ENFORCEMENT) OF THE TREASURY before the PRIVACY PROTECTION STUDY COMMISSION April 22, 19 76 j&y 2:00 P.M. Mr. Chairman and Members of the Commission: The Treasury Department appreciates this opportunity to comment upon its role and responsibilities with respect to Titles I and II of Public Law 91-50 8, commonly referred to as the Bank Secrecy Act. We are grateful to the Commission for having scheduled hearings at this time to enable us to develop the underlying history and purposes of the law and the implementing regulations, and to clear up some misunderstandings about government access to bank records. The Treasury Department firmly supports the purpose of the Act now just as it did when Chairman Patman introduced the initial legislation. The bank recordkeeping requirements and the reporting provisions contained in the regulations issued to implement the Act have assured the public that the basic financial records essential to the proper investigation of white collar crime, corruption, and tax evasion will generally be available when the appropriate government authorities need them. Furthermore, we believe that we have been able to accomplish this primary objective without sacrificing our interest in observing the Constitutional prohibition against unreasonable searches and seizures and in avoiding unnecessary incursions into the privacy of individuals. Our desire to attain these goals is well documented in the legislative history of the Act. WS- 802 -2LEGISLATIVE HISTORY Foreign bank secrecy and bank recordkeeping legislation was introduced in the House of Representatives on December 3, 1969 (H.R. 15073) by Congressman Wright Patman. It was aimed at the prevention of the use of secret foreign financial facilities for illegal purposes by persons subject to U.S. laws. Hearings were held before the House Banking and Currency Committee on December 4, 6 and 9 of 1969, and February 10, March 2 and 9, 1970. Testimony by representatives of the Department of Justice, Department of the Treasury, and the Securities and Exchange Commission revealed the growing use of secret foreign bank accounts for a wide variety of illegal purposes by U.S. citizens and residents. Thus, this legislation grew initially out of concern over the use by criminal elements and others of secret foreign bank accounts to evade income taxes and hide the fruits of their illegal activities. However, the bill also reflected Congressional concern over the availability of records maintained by domestic financial institutions relating to those engaged in organized and "white collar" crime. As introduced, the House bill required U.S. banks to copy checks and certain other instruments, maintain certain records, and permit the Secretary to have access to such records; it required U.S. financial institutions and those dealing with them to report certain U.S. currency transactions to the Treasury; and it required citizens, residents, and persons doing business in this country to report certain transactions with foreign banks. When the House Subcommittee on Financial Institutions held hearings on this bill a Treasury spokesman testified that we supported the objectives of preventing the use of foreign bank accounts for illegal purposes, but that we felt that the proposed bill went too far, that additional work was required to determine the best way to achieve its objective without hampering commerce, injuring the status of the dollar, creating undue administrative burdens, and infringing upon the traditional freedoms of American life. We were particularly critical & of the provisions of H.R. 150 73 which would have given the Internal Revenue Service unlimited access to private bank records. We opposed any such broad "survey" power. We also were critical of the provisions of the bill which made mandatory the photocopying of all checks. A Treasury task force was studying the international banking transactions area and had developed certain proposals for legislative action similar to those in the House bill. In the domestic area, however, we observed that the bill as drafted provided the Secretary with little or no flexibility with respect to the implementation of its requirements. As a result of our efforts, the provision giving Treasury broad access to bank records was deleted from the bill. However, the House Committee disagreed with us that the domestic recordkeeping area required further study. The bill reported out by the Committee contained the following Congressional findings and statement of purpose: "Sec. 21. (a) (1) The Congress finds that adequate records maintained by insured banks have a high degree of usefulness in criminal, tax, and regulatory investigations and proceedings. The Congress further finds that photocopies made by banks of checks, as well as records kept by banks of the identity of persons maintaining or authorized to act with respect to accounts therein, have been of particular value in this respect. "(2) It is the purpose of this section to require the maintenance of appropriate types of records by insured banks where such records may have a high degree of usefulness in criminal, tax, or regulatory investigations or proceedings. The House Report justified these positions as follows: "In recent years a few sizeable banks have abolished or limited the practice of photocopying checks, drafts and similar instruments drawn on p7 them and presented to them for payment. This failure to maintain photocopies of checks has frustrated law enforcement personnel in securing evidence necessary to criminal, tax, and regulatory investigations and proceedings. Many cases have either been dropped or their conclusion has been long delayed because of the difficulty or impossibility of obtaining photocopies or records of essential checks, drafts or similar instruments." (p. 11) * * * "The importance of photocopies of checks to effective law enforcement, especially where white collar crimes are concerned, simply cannot be overestimated. The recipient of a direct or indirect bribe, for example, will make no record of his receipt of the money, and the person who wrote the check will take pains to see that it is totally destroyed after cancellation. In many instances, payments by check which are not necessarily illegal in and of themselves may constitute the only way that the prosecution can establish the existence of a relationship or pattern of conduct which may be essential to making its case. Finally, the maintenance of check photocopy records by banks raises no constitutional issues and poses no threat to individual liberty. As has been pointed out, banks have wide experience with maintaining these records, and the banking industry has a creditable record of maintaining their confidentiality. There is nothing in this bill which would make such records any more accessible to law enforcement officers, much less anyone else, than they now are." (p. 16) The House Report also commented: "Read in conjunction with the findings set forth in section 21(a) and the requirement in section 21(b) that the Secretary 'shall prescribe regulations to carry out the purposes of this section, •' the statement of purpose leaves the -5- £* Secretary little choice but to request upon the effective date of the legislation, that banks photocopy all checks except for those exempt under subsection (i) , discussed below." (p. 16) Subsection (i) provided that "this section shall not apply to domestic financial transactions involving less than $500." Senate Action Thereafter, Senator Proxmire introduced S. 36 78. Title I of that bill contained the same findings, purpose clause, and photocopying requirements as H.R. 150 73, with the exception of the exclusion for checks under $500. When this bill was being considered by this Subcommittee, Treasury made the following comments concerning governmental access to bank records: "We decided against seeking specific statutory authority extending the rights of the Internal Revenue Service to survey the records of international transactions in banks and other financial institutions. In deciding this, we considered the constitutional prohibition against unreasonable searches and seizures and the need to avoid unnecessary incursions against the right of privacy. While it is clear that obtaining records by established discovery procedures from the banks and other institutions in connection with the examination of a particular taxpayer would not violate these rights, provision for a survey of such records raises a much more serious question. We are also concerned that surveys or information returns could have an adverse effect on legitimate foreign investment in the United States. It has been the tradition overseas to place great emphasis on the privacy of financial transactions and a breach of this tradition could adversely affect the flow of foreign funds to the United States." We also indicated our concern that the Senate bill could be interpreted as requiring the Secretary of the Treasury to issue regulations providing that all banks photocopy all checks drawn on them, or under the House bill, all checks of less than $500 used in domestic S4? financial transactions. The Senate Committee Report makes no mention of this issue but simply discusses the domestic recordkeeping requirements as follows: "Many of these records are already kept by financial institutions and it is not the committee's intent to encumber these institutions with a substantial volume of additional paperwork. The committee has, however, received testimony from law enforcement officials on the high degree of importance of having access to copies of checks drawn on commercial banks. Mr. Will Wilson, Assistant Attorney General, has testified that copies of bank checks are 'very important' to law enforcement activities and 'very helpful' in the collection of income taxes. The U.S. Attorney for the southern district of New York has said that the availability of copies of bank checks is 'an indispensable tool of law enforcement.' A former IRS agent testified that the microfilming of checks 'is really a vital tool'. "According to Assistant Attorney General Wilson, microfilm copies of checks are important because they are frequently the direct evidence of a financial transaction which would otherwise be difficult to prove. Copies of checks are valuable in investigating domestic crimes as well as those involving secret foreign bank accounts. For example, a single microfilmed check in the amount of $5.20 helped in the conviction of Frank Costello"While most commercial banks maintain copies of checks as a normal business practice, some of the larger banks have stopped microfilming in recen years. This has placed a burden on law enforcement officials and has made it more difficult to obtain evidence of financial transactions. The cost of microfilming has been estimated to range between one-half of a mill and 1 1/2 mills per check, a cost that does not appear to be unduly onerous compared to the normal service charge of 10 cents per check." (p. 5) S^/ Conference Committee Action The Conference Committee report notes that the House passed bill required the microfilming of checks, and that the Senate bill amended this congressional purpose by requiring the maintenance of such records only where the Secretary determined their usefulness in the various proceedings. This difference in views was resolved in conference by preserving the House purpose clause (new sec. 21(a)(2) of the Federal Deposit Insurance Act) and relegating the Secretary's authority to a subordinate clause (new sec. 21(b)). The Conference Committee also deleted the $500 exclusion from the recordkeeping requirements in the House bill and amended sec 21(c) to require that any exemptions granted by the Secretary from the recordkeeping requirement must be "consistent with the purpose of this section." This Conference Committee bill was approved by both Houses and enacted into law. - 8 FINANCIAL RECORDKEEPING AND REPORTING REGULATIONS In March, 1972, the Treasury Department issued regulations as Part 103 of Title 31 of the Code of Federal Regulations to implement Titles I and II of Public Law 91-508 effective July 1, 1972. The provisions can be classified into the following categories: (1) Those pertaining to the recordkeeping practices of banks and other financial institutions. (2) Those requiring reports of currency transactions, foreign financial accounts, and the international transportation of monetary instruments. (3) Those requiring financial institutions to identify their customers. (4) Those requiring persons having foreign financial accounts to report them and to maintain records of them. Banks, savings and loans, securities brokers, dealers in foreign exchange, agents of foreign banks, and certain other financial institutions are required to retain the original or a copy of the following records: (1) Each extension of credit in excess of $5,000 except for those secured by real estate. (2) Records of instructions given or received concerning the transmission of more than $10,000 in credit, funds, currency or other monetary instruments, checks, or securities out of the United States. - 9- ° Bank and bank-type institutions, such as savings and loans, credit unions, and agents of foreign banks must also retain a copy of the following records: (1) Documents granting signature authority over each deposit or share account. (2) Statements of account. (3) Checks and other charges in excess of $100 that are posted to accounts. (Checks drawn on certain high volume accounts are exempt.) (4) Each check or other item in excess of $10,000 transmitted outside the United States. * (5) Each check or draft in excess of $10,000 drawn on or issued by a foreign bank which is paid by the domestic bank. (6) Each check in excess of $10,000 received directly from a foreign financial institution. (7) Records of each receipt of currency, other monetary instrument, securities, checks, or credit received from a foreign financial institution. (8) Records necessary to reconstruct a checking account and to furnish an audit trail for each transaction over $100. Securities brokers within the jurisdiction of the SEC have been subject to recordkeeping regulations for many years, even before Treasury issued 31 CFR 103. The Treasury regulations, however, added the requirement that brokers obtain a signature card of similar document establishing trading authority over an account and that - 10 - r they make a reasonable effort to obtain a Social Security number for each account. The reporting requirements are a mixture of the old and the new. There is a requirement that financial institutions file a report with the IRS concerning any unusual, domestic transaction involving more than $10,000 in currency. This is only a modification of a similar provision that was in effect for more than 25 years before it was repealed by the current regulations. The previous regulations required banks to report any unusual customer transaction involving more than $2,500. The major differences are that there has been no attempt to conceal the current reporting requirement from the public and that penalties have been provided for the willful failure to file the reports. One of the new reporting requirements calls for reports of the international transportation of currency and certain monetary instruments in excess of $5,000. A traveller carrying a reportable amount must file a report with the Customs Service at the time he enters or leaves the United States. If the monetary instruments are transported in some other manner, the report must be filed with Customs before the shipment enters or leaves this country. A United States resident who receives a shipment from overseas is required to file a report with Customs within 30 days after the shipment is received in the United States. There is a third reporting requirement that actually went into effect before the regulations were issued. The IRS included a question concerning the ownership or control of foreign financial accounts on the Federal income tax returns for 1970. Persons with a financial account were also required to file an additional report furnishing additional information about the account. Under the regulations, they are, in addition, required to retain certain records pertaining to the account. - 11 The regulations reinforce the precept "know your customer" which is widely accepted in financial circles. A financial institution is required to verify and record the identity of any person for whom it handles a transaction that is required to be reported. Verification of the identity of a non-depositer may be made by examination of a drivers license, passport, or other document normally accepted as a means of identification. There is also a requirement that financial institutions make a reasonable effort to obtain a Social Security or other taxpayer identification number for each deposit account. These provisions establish a minimum identification requirement. Financial institutions have a vital interest in knowing their customers. Each year banks and brokers routinely guarantee the authenticity of the endorsements on checks .and stock certificates worth billions of dollars. While the risk resulting from this service is occasionally dramatized by an incident similar to the Clifford Irving-H. Hughes affair, most of us are unaware of the tens of thousands of attempted forgeries that occur each year. The Secret Service alone investigated more PENALTIES than 75,000 check cases last year. The Act and the regulations provide a variety of penalties and enforcement measures that include seizure and forfeiture, cease-and-desist orders, fines, and imprisonment. For example, currency or other monetary instruments that are imported or exported without being properly reported are subject to seizure and forfeiture. In lieu of the forfeiture, a civil penalty up to the amount of the currency or monetary instruments involved may be assessed. The usual civil and criminal penalties available for willful violations of the regulations are limited to a $1,000 fine and, in addition for criminal violations, 1 year in prison. However, a criminal violation of any of the provisions authorized by - 12 Title I of the Act that is committed in furtherance of the commission of a violation of Federal law punishable by imprisonment for more than 1 year may result in a fine of as much as $10,000 and imprisonment up to 5 years. Furthermore, anyone who willfully violates a reporting requirement in furtherance of another violation of Federal law may be fined $500,000 and imprisoned for 5 years. This penalty would be applicable to the failure to report an interest in a foreign financial account, if, for example, that failure were related to a tax fraud scheme. We believe that, as these penalties become more widely known, they will become a powerful deterrent to persons using secret foreign bank accounts to violate our laws. OF RESPONSIBILITY FOR SECURING COMPLIANCE DELEGATION Responsibility for assuring compliance with the requirements of the regulations is delegated as follows (1) To the Comptroller of the Currency, with respect to national banks and banks in the District of Columbia; (2) To the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, with respect to State bank members of the Federal Reserve System; (3) To the Federal Home Loan Bank Board, with respect to insured building and loan associations, and insured institutions as defined in section 401 of the National Housing Act; (4) To the Administrator of the National Credit Union Administration, with respect to Federal credit unions; (5) To the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, with respect to all other banks except - 13 agents of foreign banks which agents are not supervised by State or Federal bank supervisory authorities; (6) To the Securities and Exchange Commission, with respect to brokers and dealers in securities; (7) To the Commissioner of Customs with respect to reports of transportation of currency or monetary instruments and forfeiture of currency or monetary instruments; (8) To the Commissioner of Internal Revenue except as otherwise specified in this section. Overall responsibility for coordinating the procedure and efforts of the agencies listed herein and assuring compliance with this part, is delegated to the Assistant Secretary (Enforcement, Operations, and Tariff Affairs). USEFULNESS OF THE REQUIRED RECORDS AND REPORTS We think of the regulations as providing a system for detecting and documenting the overwhelming majority of the crimes committed for economic gain. Of course, the records banks are required to keep are the heart of the system. Most sizeable payments are made by check today. Although charge cards are gaining in popularity they are ultimately reflected in a charge to a bank account. Except for cash transactions and the physical movement of currency abroad, most substantial transactions by U.S. persons will be reflected in some way in domestic bank accounts. The currency transactions reports and the reports of the international transportation of currency were intended to fill the recording gap resulting from the use of cash. In addition, the reports are designed to alert law enforcement officials to unusual transactions that might warrant investigation. In the U.S. today, the use of - 14 - 3~*7 cash for sizeable transactions is very limited. The Federal Reserve banks no longer circulate bills in denominations over $100, and the bankers have been talking about not only a cashless, but a checkless society. More and more payments are being handled through credit cards and computers. Our experience has shown that large cash payments have a relatively high probability of being connected with some tax evasion, or drug trafficking. It is apparent that most organized crime, white collar crime and tax evasion is undertaken for economic gain. Law enforcement agents who are required to document such gain must rely on the records of financial institutions in many instances. Without the record retention requirements established under the Bank Secrecy Act there would be no assurance that the necessary records would be maintained by the banks and other institutions. In the majority of criminal tax cases, the suspect does not make his books and records available to the IRS special agent. The agent must reconstruct the suspect's financial transactions to determine his taxable income. A large percentage of IRS recommendations for prosecution are based on two indirect methods of proof that depend heavily on records of the subject's bank account. One, the net worth and expenditures method requires an analysis of all checks issued for personal living expenses, entertainment, travel, etc. The other procedure requires deposit slips to establish the subject's income and checks to reconstruct his allowable expenses and deductions. The following summaries illustrate the importance (1) The St. Louis District is presently of bank records and reports in IRS cases: conducting an investigation that was assisted in part by the fact that the provisions of 31 CFR 103 were adhered to. During the course of the investigation the special agent came into possession of a Form 4789, Foreign Currency Transaction - 15 Report, which indicated that the taxpayer had negotiated approximately $100,000 in cash. This discovery led the agent to additional sources of income, unknown bank accounts and new leads. The Form 4789 was required under 31 CFR 103. A prominent Midwest druggist was sentenced to three years in prison for a tax evasion scheme involving extensive use of cashier's checks. He purchased stock in his name using cashier's checks in the name of professional athletes. Various sports figures testified that the taxpayer induced each of them to buy cashier's checks and to open safe deposit boxes. The taxpayer then gave them large amounts of currency to buy cashier's checks payable to stock brokers on behalf of the taxpayer. The scheme was discovered when an athlete's name was used as the payee, rather than the stockbroker. Additional taxes and penalties were in excess of $550,000. The availability of bank records of cashier's checks and safe deposit box rental accounts was essential to the successful conclusion of this case. On December 9, 1974, a corporate president was fined $4,000 after a plea of Nolo Contendere to filing a false income tax return in violation of Section 7206(1). Since the taxpayer had refused to turn over any of his personal records it was necessary to reconstruct financial transactions through extensive use of bank records. The bank furnished microfilm records of his transactions which made possible the discovery of unreported sources of income. The taxpayer made regular use of cashier's checks. The bank records made it possible to identify these checks and, thereby, uncover hidden assets and savings accounts. Bank records also were valuable in refuting the taxpayer's defense that the funds were being held for his children. The defense was negated by the reconstruction of the children's income and expenses through bank records and tax returns which proved that the children did not have funds available to give their father. Unreported income was in excess of $150,000. On May 20, 19 75, Hawaii's crime syndicate boss was sentenced to 24 years in prison for violations of Sections 7201 and 7206(1), IRC. During the trial the Government proved that the syndicate collected nearly a million dollars of extortion money during three years. The money was invested through front men into legitimate businesses. Bank records were used extensively to trace the flow of money from one corporation to another. This analysis enabled those persons involved to be identified and to testify as Government witnesses. Personal expenditures of approximate $400,000 were uncovered through this method. A former IRS revenue agent and his business partner were sentenced to prison terms of four years and one year, respectively, for tax evasion. The case was worked using the bank deposit method of proof. The taxpayers' records were destroyed making it necessary to rely heavily on bank records for reconstruction of income. All unreported receipts of the business were converted to cash. Extensive use was made of money orders and cashier's checks. Checks which had been cashed rather than deposited, were traced by examining bank microfilm of the checks and tracing funds to the purchase of money orders and cashier's checks, many times in fictitious names. The bank documents placed the funds in the hands of the partner and led to testimony which revealed the ex-revenue agent's involvement. -17- SVo In drug enforcement cases involving large scale, international conspiracies, the use of bank records is constantly increasing. Many of the large payments and the sizeable profits associated with an organized narcotics smuggling and distribution ring must be reflected in the bank records in some way. In one case currently under investigation, at least 15 banks, located in the U.S. and seven other countries, were used by members of the ring. The records of the domestic banks involved will play an important role in establishing the nature of the alleged violations and information gained from the domestic banks may facilitate access to the foreign bank accounts. The IRS Form 46 83, U.S. Information Return on Foreign Bank, Securities, and Other Financaal Accounts, was initially designed to provide the IRS audit personnel with additional information concerning a foreign financial account that a taxpayer disclosed on his income tax return. When a return reporting a foreign bank account is considered for audit, the information on the Form 46 83 is taken into consideration with other available data in making a decision concerning its disposition. If the return is assigned to a revenue agent for examination, the revenue agent is alerted to the location and the nature of the account. Since the 19 75 tax returns no longer carry a question concerning foreign financial accounts, the Forms 46 83 provide the primary indication that a taxpayer has an interest in or control over a foreign bank account. The domestic currency transaction reports that are required to be filed with the Internal Revenue Service on Forms 4789 are matched with tax related allegations and open cases. Those that are not immediately selected to be used in a criminal investigation are made available to the Audit and Collection Divisions for possible use in a tax examination or a delinquency investigation. One of the principal benefits from this reporting requirement is that it presents an additional obstacle to drug traffickers. The illegal traffic in drugs generates enormous quantities of currency. The industry, which is largely cash and carry, is generally estimated to amount to billions of dollars annually. At some point, this currency must enter the banking system and be recirculated. The requirement that large and unusual currency transactions be reported presents a problem to the criminal and makes his crimes more difficult to conceal. The IRS Form 4790, which is used to report the international transportation of currency and monetary instruments to the Customs Service, was intended to discourage illegal schemes involving the international transportation of large amounts of currency or negotiable instruments in bearer form. Just as sophisticated tax evasion, large scale drug trafficking, and political or commercial corruption frequently entail large domestic currency transactions they are also the types of violations that are likely to entail international movement of monetary instruments. At the time the law was enacted, Treasury officials did not fully anticipate its potential in the fight against drug traffickers. This reporting provision was seen principally as a measure to discourage the skimming of untaxed income from gambling casinos and similar sources. Today, we believe that this requirement can be used very effectively against drug smuggling activities. Although the need for some of the provisions of 31 CFR 103 pertaining to security brokers is questionable in view of their similarity to many of the SEC regulations, it is still essential that brokers be subject to certain provisions of the regulations. One reason is that SEC regulations do not require brokers to secure signature cards or similar account authorities from their customers. In addition, since the securities industry is often used as a channel for the investment of funds from questionable sources, brokers should be required to file the reports concerning currency and securities that are specified by the regulations. EXPERIENCES IN IMPLEMENTING THE ACT The implementation of the regulations by those Federal agencies having the responsibility for ensuring compliance with their provisions appears to have been quite effective. We have received only a small number of reports concerning apparent violations from law enforcement agencies, and the bank examiners have reported relatively few violations of the major recordkeeping provisions. A surprising number of smaller banks, however, have failed to inquire concerning the purpose of loans in excess of $5,000 as required by the regulations. The IRS has received over 40,000 Forms 4789 reporting unusual currency transactions since the regulations went into effect in July 19 72. In addition the IRS has detected a number of apparent criminal violations of the requirement to file Forms 4789. In one metropolitan area, employees of a bank were alleged to have assisted drug traffickers by accepting bills of smaller denominations in exchange for $50 and $100 bills. Millions of dollars were involved. The bank employees received a commission for agreeing not to file the required Forms 4789. This investigation has also resulted in 11 income tax investigations. More than 43,000 Forms 4790, the reports of the international transportation of currency and monetary instruments, have been filed with the Customs Service since the regulations went into effect. Through January 31, 19 76, 360 seizures were made, 11.8 persons were arrested, and 2 3 convictions were obtained. More than 50 cases are pending. The following is a representative sample of some of the cases that Customs has initiated: (1) The subject was a courier between various cities in the U.S., Canada, and the Bahamas. In 19 73 he flew a private airplane into Florida from the Bahamas and executed a Form 4790 for $66,000. Verification disclosed that he was carrying $100,000. He was tried in U.S. District Court for criminal violations of 31 CFR 10 3 and 18 USC 1001. He was found not guilty -20on all charges. The issues raised during the trial were without precedent and contributed to the apathy of the jury. The subject, however, paid a substantial administrative penalty to the District Director of Customs. In 19 73, the subject drove a private automobile into the U.S. at Detroit and gave a negative Customs declaration. He denied possession of currency which would require reporting. Secondary search of the vehicle disclosed $17,850 in a package concealed behind the instrument panel. Subject was charged with currency violations and subsequently was tried and found guilty by jury in U.S. District Court. He fled while on bail and is at present a fugitive. In December 1973, the subject drove a private vehicle into the U.S. at Champlain, N.Y. and when stopped by a Customs inspector, denied possession of currency which would require reporting. Subsequent search of the vehicle disclosed 32 cloth bags containing Canadian silver coins valued at $27,500. Subject subsequently entered a plea of guilty to violation of 18 USC 545 and was sentenced to a fine of $500 and one year probation. In 19 74, the subject arrived at JFK International Airport and was accorded a continued Customs examination. A personal search revealed $80,000 in one-hundred dollar bills concealed in his socks. He admitted that the currency was the result of an illegal ticket discounting operation involving an airline and a travel agency. The subject was arrested. -21- f0/ In 1974, the subjects arrived by commercial air at Atlanta from Mexico City. Routine examination of luggage disclosed one of them to be in possession of negotiable common stock certificates valued at $530,000. He denied ownership of the certificates and accused his companion, who also denied ownership. They subsequently admitted that the certificates were stolen in the U.S. The subjects had unsuccessfully tried to dispose of them in Mexico. At the time they were apprehended, the subjects were returning to the U.S. with the certificates. They were arrested for currency violations and conspiracy and, after a hearing before the U.S. Magistrate, were bound over for grand jury action. In 1974, the subject arrived at Anchorage International Airport from Japan and responded negatively to the currency question on his baggage declaration. During a continued examination, an envelope containing $9,000 was found in his coat pocket, and after questioning he produced four additional envelopes containing a total of $35,000. The subject, a U.S. resident and self-employed importer, was arrested and charged with a currency violation and 18 USC 1001. In 1974, the subject drove a private automobile into the U.S. In response to direct questioning, he stated that he had less than $5,000 in currency on his person, yet a search of the vehicle disclosed $34,000 in U.S. and Canadian currency concealed under the floor carpet. Subject claimed to be a money speculator; however, subsequent investigation disclosed him to be an associate of known major narcotics suspects in Canada. -22He was charged with currency violations and admitted to $50,000 bail pending disposition of the case. (8) In 1974, the subject, travelling alone, arrived by commercial air from Europe and was accorded a continued examination by Customs patrol officers who discovered $80,000 in U.S. and foreign currency and bearer instruments concealed on her person, in the lining of her purse, and in her luggage. The money was seized. She was a U.S. citizen, married to an alien, and had been residing in Europe. She claimed the currency and instruments were jointly owned with her husband and represented earnings from their business in Europe. The subject was subsequently charged with violation of 18 USC 1001, but she has fled the United States and is at present a fugitive. According to information developed in Rome the subject's husband was an associate of "Lucky" Luciano, and he had been ordered to travel to the U.S., marry a U.S. citizen, and remain available. Subsequent to his original entry into the U.S., the husband was granted a voluntary deportation. Later his application for reentry was denied under a provision relating to suspected narcotic traffic, and he opened a business in Europe. -23- 5 The California Bankers Case In June of 19 72, complaints were filed in the U.S. District Court of San Francisco against the Secretary of the Treasury by Fortney H. Stark, Jr., and others, and by the California Bankers Association challenging the constitutionality of the Bank Secrecy Act, and as a preliminary action the court on June 30, 19 72, issued a temporary restraining order preventing the Treasury Department from implementing the reporting provisions of the regulations which were due to become effective on the following day. On September 11, 19 72, a three-judge Federal Court by a two-to-one decision granted a preliminary injunction against enforcement by the Treasury Department of the provisions of the Act requiring reports of domestic financial transactions involving the payment, receipt or transfer of United States currency or monetary instruments. The Court, however, unanimously upheld the sections of the Act requiring reports of foreign financial transactions and the sections imposing recordkeeping requirements on financial institutions. The portions of the Act struck down by the District Court related to the Secretary of the Treasury's authority to require financial institutions and individuals to report on domestic financial transactions whenever he finds that such reports would have a high degree of usefulness in criminal, tax, or regulatory investigations or proceedings. The court stated that the mere general possibility that these reports would help in such investigations was insufficient to justify the invasion of one's rights to privacy in his financial affairs. The District Court concluded that these provisions of the Act violated the Fourth Amendment of the Federal Constitution, which protects the people against unreasonable searches and seizures. The other provisions of the Act were upheld. Without expressly saying so, the District Court appeared to hold that, (1) bank customers have a reasonable expectation of privacy in their financial transactions; (2) that it is reasonable for the drawer of -24a check to regard himself as the real owner of checks on his account with the bank; (3) information shown on his checks may not be transferred to government agencies without at least some notice, summons, subpoena or warrant in connection with a legitimate pending inquiry; and (4) the Fourth Amendment protects the bank customer's right of privacy in his financial affairs. On appeal to the Supreme Court of the United States, the plaintiffs conceded that the Fourth and Fifth Amendments do not prevent Congress from requiring businesses to maintain adequate records. They also concede that privacy rights of third parties under the Fourth and Fifth Amendments are not violated when businesses produce such records for governmental use pursuant to lawful subpoena or summons, but they argued that such recordkeeping requirements are limited to situations in which the records are necessary to determine tax liability or to ensure proper regulation of an industry. They pointed out that the Act requires banks to maintain records needed to ensure compliance by others with provisions of federal law. Yet neither the Fourth nor the Fifth Amendment contains any such limitations on the authority of Congress to require maintenance of records. Numerous provisions of the Internal Revenue Code and the Treasury regulations thereunder require financial institutions and other third parties to maintain records of the financial transactions of their customers, employees, and others with whom they deal. Moreover, the recordkeeping provisions of the Act raise far less serious Fourth and Fifth Amendment questions than those in Couch v. United States, 409 U.S. 322 (19 73), where the Supreme Court upheld the right of the Internal Revenue Service to require production of a taxpayer's own financial records in the possession of his accountant. Indeed, unlike such taxpayer records, which remain the property of the taxpayer, title to the financial records here resides in the financial institutions themselves. Bank records have traditionally been subject to summons or subpoena by governmental officials. Therefore, it cannot be said that bank customers have a reasonable J V? svr expectation of privacy which would call forth any Fourth or Fifth Amendment protection for the records. Couch v. United States, supra; United States v. Cleveland Trust Co., 474 f.2d 1232 (6 Cir. 1973). Nothing in the cases or in logic would indicate that a different rule should apply in the case of records needed for regulatory or criminal law enforcement purposes. It is no less important to achieve effective enforcement of the norms of conduct set forth in the regulatory and criminal laws than in those relating to revenue. It has long been established that records maintained for tax purposes may be utilized in the investigation and prosecution of other laws, including the criminal laws. Indeed, virtually all records maintained pursuant to one statute may be used in the enforcement of other statutory schemes. United States v. Silverman, 449 F.2d 1341 (2d Cir. 1972). The Supreme Court held that the Bank Secrecy Act was a valid attempt to detect illegal use of secret foreign bank accounts and the "heavy utilization of our domestic banking system by the minions of organized crime." In upholding the recordkeeping requirements, the Supreme Court held them to be a proper exercise of congressional power to deal with crime in interstate and foreign commerce. The court also said that the requirement for reporting foreign transactions was within Congress' authority to regulate foreign commerce. - 26 Mr. Chairman, since the enactment of the Bank Secrecy Act we have been confronted with various legislative proposals to amend substantively not only P.L. 91-508 but also the entire body of Federal law regarding law enforcement access to records. Our foremost concerns have been the possible legislative creation of a probable cause standard where it has never before existed and the establishing of a business customer's standing to receive notice of requests for access to records and to intervene in the criminal investigative process which seeks such records. The creation of a probable cause standard for access to the financial records of a banking institution would have a very detrimental impact upon law enforcement, interfering with quite ordinary investigative techniques, and leaving investigators with a scarcity of preliminary informational resources. What is involved in the investigative process was described succinctly by the Department of Justice in tesitmony concerning H.R. 214, the Bill of Rights Procedures Act, before the House Judiciary Committee's Subcommittee on Courts Civil Liberties and the Administration of Justice: "A criminal investigation must begin somewhere. Many, if not most, criminal investigations are instituted upon the basis of allegations and suspicions. Federal agents do not usually start out with probable cause to believe that a certain person committed a certain offense, and that certain items of real evidence, or the fruits of crime, or contraband can likely be found at a certain location. Investigations ordinarily proceed by inquiring of a large number of people in the hope of developing evidence amounting to probable cause. When investigators go to written records, they are not doing anything essentially different from when they ask questions of the persons who made or were involved in making the records, except that the records preserve memories that may be lost." f) - 27 The financial records maintained by banks regarding their account holders are often reviewed as an essential preliminary step in criminal investigations and are likely to be of particular significance in investigations of organized crime figures, narcotics traffickers, corrupt public officials, and other white collar criminals. A probable cause standard for examination of bank records would be a shield for criminals with large movements of money and complex financial maneuvers but would constitute a crucial impediment to the public's right to protection from criminal enterprises flourishing through predations concealed in our financial system. Basic to the legislative initiatives for a probable cause standard for access to financial records is the presumption that a customer of financial institution has a Fourth Amendment right, enforceable by him, in records of his financial transactions with others, when those records are the property of another party to the transaction. Yet nearly every Federal court to consider this issue has declined to recognize any proprietary interest by a customer in such records and has ruled that a bank customer has no standing to challenge reasonable access by Federal investigators to such records. Harris v. United States, 413 F2d 316 (9th Cir. 1969); Dosek v. United States, 405 F2d 405 (8th Cir. 1968); Galbraith v. United States, 387 F2d 617 (loth Cir. 1968); DeMasters v. Arend, 313 F2d 79 (9th Cir. 1963); and Foster v. United States, 265 F2d 183 (2d Cir. 1959). Again, Mr. Chairman, I direct the Commission's attention to the Justice Department's testimony on H.R. 214: "The Fourth Amendment protection to which a person is entitled ought not to be extended solely because the person wishes something to be private. As the Supreme Court said in Katz v. United States, 389 U.S. 347, 351-52 (1967), the Fourth Amendment: . . . protects people, not places. What a person knowingly exposes to the public, even in his own home or office, is not a subject of Fourth Amendment protection. iCitations omitted,J But what he seeks to preserve as privater even in an area accessible to the public, may be constitutionally protected, - 28 The Katz case then raised the matter of the person's reasonable expectation of privacy. Many of the kinds of transactions that would be covered under [such legislative proposals] are indeed "private" transactions, in that they are not displayed for general public consumption. But they are hardly "private" transactions in any other sense. Records kept of these transactions, especially when owned and maintained and used by the other parties to the transactions, are records that are commonly inspected by or at least exposed to a number of people. For instance one expects that when a check is written, records of its progress through the clearinghouses and eventually on the books of the drawee bank will be seen by many people. No expectation of privacy in such records, at least as the phrase is used in Katz, would appear to exist. It is our view that a warrantless search is not unreasonable unless the Government, without probable cause or exigent circumstances, intrudes into an area in which the "proprietor" has a reasonable expectation of privacy. See Katz v. United States 389 U.S. 347 (1967). Those things which an individual exposes to public scrutiny, things which he does not himself safeguard from third parties, are not protected by the Fourth Amendment. It follows that records of transactions of an individual which, in the normal course of events, can be viewed or obtained by persons whom that individual evidences no desire to select or restrict are not items in which the individual has an expectation of privacy." Those legislative proposals which envision notification of and standing to oppose requests by law enforcement officials for access to financial records are clearly in conflict with the cases and would make records sacrosanct far beyond what is now the law. We cannot find a reasonable justification for granting such privileges to account holders. SSI Certainly, before creation through legislation of rights which may adversely impact on the alleged beneficiaries of such rights is undertaken, the proponents of such "rights" should present clear and convincing examples of actual abuses of the access process. Equally essential would be proof that the demonstrated wrongs are of such volume and impact that the public interest in a remedy will clearly outweigh the advantages to the public which already inhere in the present system of access. We are confident that the advocates of such changes cannot sustain their burden of proof. We are unaware of any record of measurable abuse by law enforcement officials resulting from their undisclosed access to financial records even though such access has been employed routinely over many years. However, we believe it is abundantly clear that the American public will suffer substantially from these unnecessary hindrances to criminal investigations. Clearly, notice to an account holder that law enforcement officials wish to review bank records concerning him will frequently sabotage the ongoing investigation. Since access to financial records is commonly an initial element in developing a criminal case, exposure of the Government's interest in those records will allow a suspect to alter his operations, to falsify or destroy evidence (including witnesses), or to flee the jurisdiction even before an indictable case can be developed or an arrest made. Even if an investigation survived notice to the account holder, it would be equally vulnerable from the delay caused by the account holder's "right" to contest the disclosure. Delay would be much more than a timeconsuming burden upon and an additional physical hazard for a Federal agent; it would be another opportunity for a criminal suspect to alter his operations or take other evasive and escape actions as described above. - 30 _ The Duty to Give Evidence This brief exposition of the case law has shown that bank' customers have no proprietary interest within the scope of the Fourth Amendment in records maintained and owned by financial institutions simply because information about the customers is physically embodied in them. The records are the property of the financial institutions maintaining them, and the Fourth and Fifth Amendments do not bar reasonable inspections of those records by law enforcement officials. Federal cases also hold that whatever duty, if any, a financial institution has to keep customers' account records confidential, it is outweighed by the greater duty to give evidence. This obligation to give evidence is deeply rooted in the common law as imperative to the administration of justice, and it underlies the rejection of a "right of privacy" for customers regarding the records of financial institutions. Professor Wigmore has cogently stated the rule, thus: "For more than three centuries it has now been recognized as a fundamental maxim that the public (in the words sanctioned by Lord Hardwicke) has a right to every man's evidence." And while claims are made for exemption from this duty, those few which are recognized "are distinctly exceptional, being so many derogations from a positive general rule." The duty to give evidence flows from fundamental requirements of justice in a society of ordered liberty. The administration of justice must be a search for truth regarding which men can, hopefully, exercise wisdom. From Hellenic antecedents, through the history of the English common law, to our own Constitution, men have recognized that civilized society must be more than an amalgam of free individuals but, on the other hand, it is not merely an ordered community. Justice has, thus, been made an institution of our society requiring that the knowledge of all men be made available to its instruments with allowance for only the most clearly drawn and strongly reasoned exceptions. Without the imposition of such an obligation, truth cannot be sought and justice cannot be done. £S3 -31That special interests in some states have managed to achieve some legislative immunity from the duty to give evidence does not diminish the wisdom of the common law obligation or its recognition by the courts. Nor has its concomitant, that privileges^ are "derogations from a positive general rule .. /and/ therefore, to be discountenanced" lost its standing before the courts. Rather, the principles of the testimonial duty and the rejection of insufficiently based privileges have received recent reinforcement by two history-making decisions of the Supreme Cout, Branzburg v. Hayes, 40 8 U.S. 665 (19 72) and United States v. Nixon, 418 U.S. 683 (1974). Branzburg dealt with a group of appeals from different journalists who had been subpoenaed by grand juries to provide information regarding criminals and extremist groups with whom the reporters had met, in one manner or another, in gathering material for exclusive stories. Various claims were made by the appellants including First Amendment assertions that a privilege necessarily attached to communication between newsmen and their "confidential news sources." In addressing the case of one petitioner who had asserted a claim of a "newsman's" privilege, the Court cited with approval Professor Wigmorefs description and analysis of the duty to give evidence and the strong argument against exemptions (4 08 U.S. at 690) . In flatly rejecting the concept of a First Amendment reporter's privilege, the Court stated: "Until now the only testimonial privilege for unofficial witnesses that is rooted in the Federal Constitution is the Fifth Amendment privilege against compelled self-incrimination. We are asked to create another by interpreting the First Amendment to grant newsmen a testimonial privilege that other citizens do not enjoy. This we decline to do. Fair and effective law enforcement aimed at providing security for the person and property of the individual is a fundamental function of government and . . . we perceive no - 32 basis for holding that the public interest in law enforcement and in ensuring effective grand jury proceedings is insufficient to override the consequential, but uncertain, burden on news gathering that is said to result from insisting that reporters, like other citizens, respond to relevant questions . . . of a valid grand jury investigation or criminal trial." (408 U.S. at 689).. More recent, of course, is the Supreme Court's discussion in United States v. Nixon of the presumptive privilege of the President described therein as having "all the values to which we accord deference for the privacy of all citizens [as well as] the necessity for protection of the public interest in candid, objective, and even blunt or harsh opinions in Presidential decision-making." (418 U.S. at 682). Stated succinctly, the Presidential privilege is "fundamental to the operation of government and inextricably rooted in the separation of powers under the Constituion." Yet despite the impelling bases for the Presidential privilege, the Supreme Court balanced it against "our historic commitment to the rule of law," and found that the "very integrity of the judicial system and public confidence in the system depend on full disclosure of all the facts . . ." (418 U.S. at 683). In reciting for comparison some of the other "weighty and legitimate competing interests" protected by privileges — Fifth Amendment self-incrimination protection, attorney-client and priest-penitent communications — the Court restated the rule that "exceptions to the demand for every man's evidence are not lightly created nor expansively construed, for they are in derogation of the search for truth." (418 U.S. at 710). Following this principle, the Court then found that, in the absence of military, diplomatic or national security secrets, even the extraordinary presumptive privilege of the President was outweighed by the need for information in the fair administration of justice. These two landmark cases have again emphasized the compelling claim to "every man's evidence" which inheres in our constitution and the precepts of justice. Strong arguments were made in Branzburg that the First Amendment guarantee of a free press demands the recognition of a "reporter's privilege" and in Nixon that the separation of powers high level doctrine communications and the need establish for confidentiality privileges - 33 transcending the needs of our criminal justice system. In each instance the Court recognized the historically preferred status of the asserted privilege; and in each case the Court rejected the incursion on the criminal justice system. Should we, in the face of such decisions, now accept a claim of privilege for records of a business relationship which, is at best, tenuously associated with another person's expectation of privacy? Let us examine this further. If a privilege were to be recognized for protecting the banker-customer association against examination of transactional records, it would have to meet the four fundamental conditions described by Wigmore as the recognized prerequisites to establishment of a communications privilege: " (1) The communications must originate in a confidence that they will not be disclosed. " (2) This element of confidentiality must be essential to the full and satisfactory maintenance of the relations between the parties. "(3) The relation must be one which in the opinion of the community ought to be sedulously fostered. "(4) The injury that would inure to the relation by the disclosure of the communication must be greater than the benefit thereby gained for the correct disposal of litigation." (emphasis in original). Test Number One is certainly debatable since neither American case law nor Public Law 91-508 can reasonably serve as a predicate for banks to offer customers any assurance of confidentiality from authorized law enforcement officials. Furthermore, the movement of financial papers through ordinary channels of commerce necessarily involves the imposition of others into the association between customer and financial institution. An expectation ^s - 34 of non-disclosure would be less than reasonable in the circumstances of today's business practices. Test Number Two clearly cannot be met by the relationship of financial institution-to-customer. Confidentiality is patently not essential to the full and satisfactory maintenance of such a relationship. This is demonstrated by the practice of the financial community itself which, as a business convenience and precaution, exchanges information from records of customers seeking sejTVicas from different institutions. Today's booming credit industry also involves intrusion by credit bureaus and other businesses upon bank information about customers. Yet no diminution in the public's use of checking accounts and credit arrangements has resulted. Number Three is controverted by the line of court decisions holding against the assignment to financial records of a confidential status from Federal law enforcement officials. In addition, our credit-oriented society has continuously fostered more expeditious and accurate mechanisms for financial transactions rather than the confidentiality of information concerning the bank-customer relationship. Test Number Four cannot be met because the public suffers no measurable injury from law enforcement access to records of financial institutions while it benefits greatly in the administration of justice. As I hope this testimony and the record of previous hearings on bank secrecy have made clear, society gains significantly from the availability to law enforcement authorities of relevant financial records but forfeits no rights. Of course, many other associational relations have been claimed to have such a privilege and in some cases, privilege has been granted in whole or in part by legislative enactment. But the fundamental requirements which have historically limited the privilege to a few highly justified relationships have been left unexplored by legislatures confronted with strong advocacy from 5 - 35 special interests who seek advantage over other members of society iwthout meeting the hard tests described by Wigmore and looked to by the courts. We submit, Mr. Chairman, that the impetus for establishing a privilege for the records of financial institutions is the result both of supposed benefits to the financial community and also of attributing the status of a "right" to circumstances for which there is no reasonable expectation of privacy, thus capturing new adherents despite the lack of demonstrable abuses. Who, after all, wants to advocate the violation of peoples' privacy? What we do advocate is the continuation of the non-privileged status of financial records and the applicability of Public Law 91-508 to financial transactions. We are not seeking expansion of powers regarding official access to records of financial institutions. Yet in merely asking that the law not be changed, the Government is too often characterized as seeking to violate a right which does not even exist. In the "privacy rights" campaign we are constantly met by the example of foreign bank secrecy laws. One recent article claims that Americans are "much more subject to government investigation and intimidation" than foreign nationals who are protected "through the use of many national referendums and banking privacy." Interestingly, that article notes in passing, but makes no further comment upon, the strong differences between the civil law systems with their placing of the burden of proof upon the accused and our common law legal system and the presumption of innocence. But these differences bear greatly upon the need, or lack thereof, for access to financial records. In the United States, an arrest warrant cannot be issued without a finding of probable cause to believe a crime has been committed and that the defendant has committed it. A search warrant also may issue only upon a finding of probable cause. In our system the accused is presumed to be innocent, and the Government bears the burden of proof to the contrary beyond a reasonable doubt. -36Thus, limited in the manner in which the Government can bring a suspected criminal to account, we must rely upon each citizen for evidence and must be able to examine bits and pieces of information which are not constitutionally imbued under the Fourth and Fifth Amendments with confidentiality. Only by this process of sifting and examining information which often proves to be irrelevant can we develop cases against criminals involved in complex illegal schemes. Furthermore, under our Fifth Amendment a citizen is secure against compulsion to appear before police authorities and account for himself. We must develop our case from witnesses and physical evidence. But the civil law system will demand a personal explanation of charges even if the result is self-incriminatory. For civil law countries therefore, the investigatoryaccusatory process is simpler. An individual under suspicion bears the burden of proof to justify his actions and, thus, to prove himself innocent. Under such circumstances, the liberty of "bank secrecy" need not be breached to achieve the government's end, a' prosecutable case against a criminal, since the suspect himself is bound to produce his own refutation of accusations against him. The point here is that the recurring calls for "bank secrecy" like that of some civil law countries, ignore the crucial distinctions between our common law traditions of criminal justice and the civil law systems of most of Europe. I am certain that none of us wish to exchange our form of criminal justice for the possible enhancement of a privacy interest in records of financial institutions. Yet if financial records were to be accorded a confidential privilege regarding law enforcement officials, it would encourage a system like that of the civil law nations in order to continue to enforce the criminal laws against major organized crime figures, narcotic traffickers, and white collar criminals engaging in sophisticated and complex illegal financial maneuvers. -37CONCLUSION Mr. Chairman, under current case law and Public Law 91-50 8, we have the means in our free society for the reasonable examination of records of financial institutions without undue burdening of the institutions possessing such records or unfair intrusions upon the persons to whom such records may relate. The availability of such information is a logical companion to our country's goal of achieving justice for all. Were we now to create a "right of privacy" where it has never existed, which strongly conflicts with society's right to evidence, and which has not been demonstrated to be needed, we will have taken a significant step toward inducing atrophy in the criminal investigative process. If expanded to other related business contexts, such as hotel records or gasoline stations receipts, effective law enforcement would cease. We urge the Commission to balance the strong need for law enforcement officials to gain evidence from financial institutions against the manufactured right of privacy in such information which the courts have rejected. Having done so, we are confident that you will join us in strong support of the Financial Transactions and Currency Reporting Act. Mr. Chairman, that concludes my statement. I will be happy to answer any questions you may have. 0O0 lepartmentoj REASURY TELEPHONE 964-2041 IGTON, O.C. 20220 <6 & I FOR RELEASE AT 4:00 P.M. April 22, 1976 TREASURY'S 52-WEEK BILL OFFERING The Department of the Treasury, by this public notice, invites tenders for $3,185 million, or thereabouts, of 364-day Treasury bills to be dated May 4, 1976, and to mature May 3, 1977 (CUSIP No. 912793 D4 5 ) . The bills will be issued for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing May 4, 1976. This issue will provide $750 million of new money for the Treasury as the maturing issue is outstanding in the amount of $2,435 million, of which $1,092 million is held by the public and $1,343 million is held by Government accounts and the Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents of foreign and international monetary authorities. Additional amounts of the bills may be issued to Federal Reserve Banks as agents of foreign and international monetary authorities. Tenders from Government accounts and the Federal Reserve Banks for themselves and as agents of foreign and international monetary authorities will be accepted at the average price of accepted tenders. The bills will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form in denominations of $10,000, $15,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value) and in bookentry form to designated bidders. Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to one-thirty P-m., Eastern Daylight Saving time, Wednesday, April 28, 1976. be received at the Department of the Treasury, Washington. for a minimum of $10,000. Tenders will not Each tender must be Tenders over $10,000 must be in multiples of $5,000. In the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e.g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. Banking institutions and dealers who make primary markets in Government securities and report daily to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York their Positions with respect to Government securities and borrowings thereon may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are s e t tenders *-«» forth in such tenders. Others will not be permitted to submit except for their own account. Tenders will be received without (OVER) S~d£ -2deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. Public announcement will be made by the Department of the Treasury of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting competitive tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for $500,000 or less without stated price from any one bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank or Branch on May 4, 1976, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing May 4, 1976. equal treatment. Cash and exchange tenders will receive Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills/ Under Sections 454(b) and 1221(5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is considered to accrue when the bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and the bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder must include in his Federal income tax return, as ordinary gain or loss, the difference between the price paid for the bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made. Department of the Treasury Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice, prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. oOOo 3~4>3 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE April 23, 1976 RALPH M. FORBES LEAVES TREASURY POST Secretary of the Treasury William E. Simon today announced the resignation of Ralph M. Forbes as Special Assistant to the Secretary for Debt Management effective May 8, 1976. Mr. Forbes was appointed by Secretary Simon on April 2, 1975. Since that time Mr. Forbes has had primary responsibility for the formulation of public debt financing policy. Additionally, Mr. Forbes served as Vice President of the Federal Financing Bank. "Ralph Forbes joined the Treasury a year ago," Secretary Simon said, "at what was a particularly difficult time in the history of public debt management. The Treasury this past year borrowed more than at any time since World War II. To borrow on the average almost $2 billion a week in new money and to refinance the hundreds of billions in maturing securities without totally disrupting the capital markets has been one of the great challenges Treasury has faced in recent years. Ralph Forbes1 expertise and dedication in this area have been essential in meeting this challenge. " oOo WS-804 £&9 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE April 23, 19 76 CORRECTION OF TREASURY'S 52-WEEK BILL ANNOUNCEMENT The auction date in yesterday's offering announcement of 52-week bills was incorrectly stated as Wednesday, April 28. The auction will be Thursday, April 29. OoO WS-805 S 6J~ FOR RELEASE 9:00 P.M. EST, APRIL 22, 1976 STATEMENT OF JOHN A. BUSHNELL DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE NINTH ANNUAL MEETING OF THE ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK BOARD OF GOVERNORS JAKARTA, INDONESIA - APRIL 23, 1976 Mr. Chairman, Fellow Delegates, and Distinguished Guests. On behalf of President Ford and Secretary Simon my delegation wants to stress our continuing deep concern with accelerating development in Asia. We also want to repeat our wholehearted support for the Asian Development Bank — the key regional development finance institution. As a nation of the Pacific as well as the Atlantic, the United States has a vital interest in continued development and improved living standards for all the people of Asia. In our increasingly interdependent world increased peaceful cooperation among nations enhances the welfare of all. International Economic Situation At the Eighth Annual Meeting of the Bank last year Secretary Simon identified three central economic issues facing the world in 1975: First, to restore economic growth and price stability around the world. Second, to adapt to the energy shock in ways that will provide more secure sources of energy and will support a pattern for orderly growth; and — Third, to adjust our financial policies to accommodate massive shifts in international flows of funds. Fortunately, today we can already see substantial progress on each of these economic problems. The pace of economic activity is already picking up rapidly in a number °f countries. In the United States our economy has now been growing for nearly a year and we are already seeing the effects °f this growth on. the demand for the imports of the regional WS-806 3d& - 2 - members of the ADB. With the completion of the downward adjustment of inventories in the United States along with similar favorable indications from other countries, we expect the faster growth in the developed countries will have a much more apparent effect on demand for the exports of developing countr ies. Most countries have also made substantial progress in reducing price inflation. Some regional members of the ADB have set an example for all of us in bringing price inflation under control. However, for many countries, including the United States, inflation rates are still higher than we would expect during a period when productive capacity is not strained. Clearly continuing progress in reducing inflation rates is one of the greatest challenges we face over the next year as productive capacity is more fully utilized throughout the world. Considerable progress has been made in many countries in adapting to the energy shock. In the United States we still have much to do to supply our energy needs more fully from domestic sources. As our oil consumption rises and production falls, we expect the increase in our oil import bill in 1976 to be almost as large as our current account surplus in 1975, assuming no change in oil prices. We welcome the greatly increased emphasis the ADB has given to helping member countries develop indigneous energy sources as a major contribution to their own development and to a better energy balance in the world. Over 20 percent of ADB lending was in the enermy field last year and most of this was for domestic energy sources such as the power project in Thailand based on lignite and the Garung Hydroelectric project here in Indonesia. Just last month the Bank approved a project to expand Korean coal production. This ADB emphasis should continue. Finally, private financial markets have done an outstanding job of moving funds from surplus to deficit countries. We expect that the private markets will continue to play this critical role. We tend to look only at the net borrowing or lending of countries. Thus we overlook the fact that many countries have both large inflows and large outflows of long-term capital. Many of the countries which provide support for the Asian Development Bank have been large net borrowers in recent years even while they have been providing capital to the Bank. This year the United States will be in a similar position as it is unlikely that our current account surplus will be nearly as large as our capital outflows to £6 7 - 3 support development in the poorer countries. It should be recognized that this situation makes it harder to build popular support for development assistance. In most cases the interest and other terms on the borrowing of donors are far harder than the terms of our support to the ADB and other development programs. Despite the many strains of the past year I believe we can all take pride in the fact that most countries have maintained their commitment to open trading arrangements and a relatively free international flow of funds. I am particularly impressed by the fact that developing countries have relied heavily on aggregate monetary, fiscal and exchange policies in adjusting to recent difficulties. They have also made excellent efforts to maintain relatively open markets for imports. These policies suggest that most developing countries are increasingly understanding the advantages to their development of more intensive participation in an interdependent world connected by increasing links of trade and financial flows. Moreover, we have made substantial progress in improving the international system to deal with the sort of problems faced in the past couple of years as well as to assist with longer term development problems. The IMF has agreed on amendments to provide for improved longer term stability in international trade and payments and for a substantial increase in quotas, particularly for developing countries. — The Compensatory Financing Facility of the IMF has been enlarged to assist in financing shortfalls in export earnings for reasons beyond a country's control. — A trust fund is being established in the IMF that will use profits from the sale of a portion of the IMF's gold to provide concessional assistance to overcome temporary balance-of-payments problems. — Agreement appears to be near on the creation of the International Fund for Agricultural Development to help increase food production in developing countries. — My own country has initiated a system of generalized tariff preferences as part of our efforts to liberalize imports from developing countries. £6? - 4 — Negotiations are virtually completed for a World Bank capital increase and discussions have started on the fifth replenishment of the International Development Association. We expect agreement within the next few days on a fivefold increase in the capitalization of the International Finance Corporation. This general increase — the first since IFC was founded in 1956 — will permit substantial additional capital assistance to private firms in Asia. With an increase in capital, the IFC can play an even more important role than in the past in helping to build a strong private sector which is essential to economic growth in developing countries. The Role of the International Development Banks The international development banks remain the primary multilateral source of capital for long-term economic growth. These banks last year made new commitments of $8.5 billion for nearly 400 projects in over 80 countries. However, economic development is not primarily a matter of money. While money is needed, the key factors determining the success of development efforts are the policies and priorities followed by each country. The development banks make important contributions in precisely such areas, and in institution building. In recent years the banks have accelerated the process of spreading development benefits to the poorer people by placing greater emphasis on agriculture, the family farm, and cooperatives — an emphasis we encourage and support. The regional banks in particular have an important role to play, because they reflect the desires and needs of their regional members and have an expertise and understanding of local conditions and problems. Role of ADB The role of the ADB is to bring its special expertise and local knowledge to the development problems of Asia. The Bank has done this well, due in large part to the leadership of President Inoue. I would like to take this occasion to express my country's appreciation for his dedicated service to the Bank. The Bank's growing impact on Asian economic progress is reflected in its activities last year: Lending for agriculture and agro-industry was over 37% of total ADB/ADF lending in 1975 compared with 24.5% in 1974; we believe the 1975 proportion is about the right emphasis on agriculture. - 5 The Bank has given greater emphasis to the use of intermediate technology in Bank-financed projects. Recognizing that traditional capital-intensive projects are often neither the most cost effective nor the most appropriate, the Bank has focused attention on the basic use of labor, combined with less capital intensive technology, by supplying labor with appropriate tools — be it a wheelbarrow, a 4 or 5 horsepower hand tiller, or a hand operated water pump. In this way the Bank is able to make use of idle manpower in its developing member countries and at the same time, spread its limited resources such that it reaches many more people. We hope the Bank will greatly expand its use of appropriate intermediate technology in the future. The Bank also deserves credit for its efforts to mobilize co-financing for development projects. The Bank's cooperation with OPEC nations in financing fertilizer projects is well known. Co-financing in cooperation with private banks and other private financial institutions has the potential to be a major source of development finance. Such arrangements increase private sector involvement in the development process and stretch the Bank's scarce resources. We congratulate the Bank on opening a a new horizon through the recent water supply loan to Singapore in which the ADB arranged co-financing with a private financial institution. We hope there will soon be many such loans involving co-financing. Such arrangements also help to introduce developing countries to the international capital market and thereby initiate the process of establishing on-going financial relations for further access to private financial markets. Through the mechanism of cofinancing, smaller banks and other financial institutions may also begin to lend to developing nations by benefiting from the project appraisals carried out by the development banks. In order to maximize the development impact of ADB operations, we. continue to believe that it should reduce its financing of cost overruns. The Bank should use its financial and human resources to develop new projects, instead of allocating additional scarce resources to projects already underway. ^70 - 6 With the rapid growth in lending from $254 million in 1971 to $660 million in 1975 it would be prudent in the period immediately ahead for the Bank to concentrate on improving the quality of new loans and on continuing to seek more effective implementation of loans underway. To further this effort, the Bank must work toward a system of more intensive project supervision. As the Bank becomes stronger it should also become more active in the difficult sectors where innovative lending is needed — such as in rural development and other projects to reach lower income groups. Another area to consider should be equity investments by the Bank in productive, employment-creating enterprises. Such investments could encourage policies and institutions which would further promote and broaden participation in the development process. The Articles of Agreement of the Bank authorize the Bank to make equity investments. I would urge that the Bank actively study how it might make equity investments and that the Board of Directors consider the matter in the near future. To finance its rapidly rising disbursements on loans the Bank borrowed more in 1975 than in all previous years combined. In 1976 it has already borrowed more than in all of 1975. However, much of the Bank's borrowing is still relatively short-term in comparison with the maturities of its lending. Greater effort may be needed to increase the average maturity of the Bank's borrowing. The confidence the markets are now showing in Bank obligations suggests that longer terms are becoming feasible. During the past year there appear to have been more interruptions in meeting financial obligations to the ADB and the proportion of Asian Development Fund resources tied up in inactive loans has increased. My government feels that the Bank should exercise its normal responsibility by taking action to collect amounts due and to assure that funds which are not being used are reprogrammed where appropriate so that the 1976 ADF program can be implemented to the maximum extent possible. U.S. Support for the ADB Speaking for my Government, I want to emphasize that the Administration will continue its strong support for the ADB. Subject to final Congressional action we will soon subscribe our second installment of $120.6 million 6 7/ - 7 to the first replenishment of the Bank's ordinary capital and make a further contribution of $25 million to the initial resource mobilization of the ADF. I hope we will complete this financing commitment to ADF and also subscribe to the remainder of our share of the capital increase by October or November after approval of our FY-77 budget. The United States supports the replenishment of the ADF. I would hope shortly to be able to announce a U.S. contribution target for the replenishment which will be higher than our previous contr ibution. The United States also supports a replenishment of the Bank's ordinary capital. We believe that in laying out the criteria for replenishment it is appropriate for the Bank to review its lending, borrowing and financial policies. The ADB is entering a stage of rapidly increasing loan disbursement and borrowing requirements. It is a period when the ADB must move from financing its loans from paid-in capital to relying primarily on private capital markets. The increased reliance of the Bank on private capital markets, in turn, makes it all the more important for the Bank to maintain a solid financial position. An improvement in its financial indicators and its general creditworthiness will reduce the cost of money to the Bank and help lengthen the maturities of its issues. The Bank's financial position could be strengthened by some modifications in various ADB financial policies. This is important because bond purchasers will look not only at the degree of governmental support for the Bank, whether through paid-in or callable capital, but also at the financial operations and management of the Bank itself. In this regard I note with concern that the Bank's income in 1975 did not increase from the level in 1974, even though the scale of the Bank's operations increased substantially. The Bank's financial statements for 1975 indicate that this was due to sharply increased borrowing and administrative costs, changes in currency values, and increased funding of grant technical assistance. Specific policies which we believe are necessary to improve the financial strength of the Bank include: (1) that the Bank's lending rate more fully cover the costs of its borrowings and operations, (2) that the effective commitment fee charged on undisbursed loans more closely parallel the practices in the other international development banks, (3) that the Bank make efforts to find ways other than use of Bank income to fund grant technical assistance, and (4) that the Bank restain the growth of administrative expenses. 6 7<Z - 8 Our goal, and the goal of all friends of the Bank is a financially viable and strong regional institution that is secure in international capital markets, requiring decreasing amounts of paid-in capital, and building reserves sufficient to set aside portions to help finance ADF operations. It is our hope these can be achieved over the course of the next few years. Before I close I want to express our great appreciation to the Government of Indonesia for hosting this Ninth Annual Meeting of the Asian Development Bank. We have looked forward to visiting this dynamic and growing city of Jakarta and to this opportunity to discuss the challenges and opportunities facing Asia and the ADB. In closing, I think it is worth remembering that the fundamental purpose of the ADB, and of all the development lending institutions, is to helo the people in developing countries improve their living conditions. The basic justification for U.S. support of the ADB and of the other development banks has to be that they do a good job in using money to help the developing countries help themselves and that this development reaches the people in these countries in a way that justifies U.S. taxpayer support. The practical effects of our contribution will be spread to the poorest villages, slums, and isolated areas in Asia where little is known of the United States or the ADB, but where improved seed, a well, a visiting health team, availability of credit, or a road to the market can make — at small cost — an immense difference in the quality of life. oOo mpartmemvfMREASURY ||^ 6HINGT0N, D.C. 20220 TELEPHONE 964-2041 J"73 FOR RELEASE UPON DELIVERY STATEMENT BY THE HONORABLE GERALD L. PARSKY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEES ON INTERNATIONAL RESOURCES, FOOD AND ENERGY; INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC POLICY; INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS; AND INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND COMMERCE OF THE HOUSE COMMITTEE ON INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS WASHINGTON, D.C. MONDAY, APRIL 26, 1976, AT 3:30 P.M. UNCTAD IV: THE U.S. APPROACH TO CURRENT ECONOMIC ISSUES Mr. Chairman, members of the Committee, I welcome this opportunity to discuss the range of international economic issues that will be the subject of intense debate and negotiations during the fourth session of the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD IV). We approach this meeting sympathetic with the aspirations of the developing countries. We want to work with them in seeking practical, realistic solutions to their problems. Although each country is different, presenting unique problems which require individual solutions, there are certain WS-807 - 2- needs that are shared and in turn there are certain priciples which should apply to all. All of the developing countries want to improve the economic conditions of their peoples, and they want the help of the developed countries in undertaking this effort. We wish to see the growth and stability of the economies of these countries. It is clear to us all that this world cannot indefinitely endure half rich and half poor. The United States has played, and must continue to play a leadership role. We have given significantly of our resources, both financial and human, to help in this process, and we will continue to do so. I believe the basic question is not one of commitment to help, but rather one of process. How can we best get the job done? As such, I believe there are several basic principles that we should bear in mind: A country's economic growth rate will be determined by the skill with which it utilizes its own resources, not its status as an industrial or less developed country. Foreign aid can make an important contribution to development, but what developing countries do for themselves will determine how they will grow. - 3- Investment is the central propellant behind economic development. While we must be sensitive to the need to provide direct aid to those who face drastic immediate problems, over the long run the best way to assist developing countries significantly is by helping them to create a better climate for increased investment in their country. We must keep this goal in mind when initiating new programs of bilateral and multilateral assistance. The development of a strong private sector is essential. In the United States and other industrial countries, the private sector has the technology and management expertise to help developing countries. We must not adopt policies that will undermine maximum use of this sector. The free market may not be perfect but no other system has been devised which will increase production, improve efficiency and stimulate growth in a better way. Our efforts should be aimed at helping other countries improve conditions for - 4the better operation of the market system by removing government controls. We must resist the erection of additional impediments to market forces. With these principles in mind, I believe the United States must continue to lead others away from political rhetoric to practical solutions. Simplistic analysis and overstatement, no matter how well intended, will simply not help move us forward. I do not believe that calls for controlled commodity markets, massive transfers of resources, and wholesale debt rescheduling or moratoria are either realistic, or indeed necessary. As we approach the problems of the developing countries, we must not let the emotions of the international political arena distort the economic realities. For example, some have expressed the view that "all of the developing countries" are facing disastrous balance of payments difficulties requiring blanket solutions by the developed countries. The recent world-wide recession has certainly impacted the developing countries severely, but they are not all teetering on the brink of economic disaster, nor do they all share the same problems. In fact, although a large number of 3~v7 - 5developing countries have been experiencing abnormally large current account deficits as the result of the increased prices of their oil imports and weakened export markets, the deficits have been financed without disrupting existing institutional arrangements. A number of developing countries have proven creditworthy for substantial borrowings of private capital, while other countries have benefitted from increased aid flows. There is reason to be optimistic that financing will again be adequate in 1976, particularly in view of lower requirements as a result of increased exports and the new resources provided for by the Jamaica meetings. Some individual developing countries will encounter particularly difficult problems meeting their balance of payments financing requirements, and we must find ways to properly assist them, but we do not believe that this will be a general problem requiring blanket solutions. This brief discussion of the realities of the LDC balance of payments situation is only meant to illustrate the dangers of oversimplification, and I will more thoroughly discuss this issue later. But I want to make clear that we have attempted to shape our policies and proposals on 3 7S - 6an objective analysis of the realities of the economic situations of the individual developing countries, not on the basis of misleading generalities that could result in inappropriate, even harmful solutions. UNCTAD IV in Perspective Before turning to the specific issues which will arise at UNCTAD IV, let me briefly review the events leading up to this Conference. The past two years have seen a considerable change in the relations between the developed and developing world. In 1974, elements of confrontation dominated the scene and certain relations became strained, as the LDCs put forward their initial proposals for a "New International Economic Order," which was elaborated in the Charter of Economic Rights and Duties of States adopted in December 1974, over the strong opposition, and negative votes, of the U.S. and several other industrial countries. Such an atmosphere was truly counterproductive for all, and in 1975 there was a major change in our relations with the developing world. At the Seventh Special Session of the United Nations last September, Secretary Kissinger put forth a broad range of positive proposals and consensus - 7was reached on an approach to a number of major economic issues that will be dealt with at UNCTAD IV. Agreement was also reached last fall to begin a serious dialogue between the Western industrial nations, the oil-producing developing countries, and the oil-importing developing countries at the Conference on International Economic Cooperation (CIEC). The CIEC has resulted in an unparalleled, intense dialogue between the developed and developing world. Representatives from eight industrialized and nineteen OPEC and non-oil developing nations are meeting each month in Paris in the four commissions on energy, raw materials, development, and financial affairs which form the CIEC. UNCTAD IV will be another important part of this dialogue. This meeting, which brings together almost all countries, including socialist states, will help determine whether or not the North and South can continue a serious joint effort to identify and solve problems relating to our economic relations and avoid the nonproductive confrontation of the past. A broad range of vitally important issues will be discussed at UNCTAD IV, including commodities, trade, debt, official development assistance, transfer of technology, - 8and the future role of UNCTAD. A primary focus, will certainly be on commodities, where UNCTAD advocates an "Integrated Program" that includes many features we find « unacceptable, and on the financing problems of the developing countries, where UNCTAD seeks generalized relief measures. I would now like to describe our approach to these two important areas, as well as the other important issues with which UNCTAD IV will be concerned. Commodities We expect that the commodities issue will be one of the most important issues at UNCTAD IV. It's difficult to predict precisely what the developing countries really want, but if we look at the Manila Declaration formulated last February and the UNCTAD Secretariat's documentation for UNCTAD IV, I think we can get a pretty good idea. It would appear that they are seeking endorsement of a so-called "Integrated Program" -a series of simultaneously negotiated commodity agreements which would use buffer stocks as a price regulating mechanism. The buffer stocks would be financed by a Common Fund, which would at the outset command about $3 billion in resources, with $1 billion from governments, £*/ - 9 of which UNCTAD suggests roughly ten percent be contributed by the U.S. In addition, the LDCs want prices of their raw materials to be indexed to the prices of manufactured goods, they want the availability and concessionality of compensatory finance improved, and they are anxious to improve their access to developed country markets for raw materials and processed and semi-processed goods. The most controversial aspect of the UNCTAD commodity program is the Integrated Program and its central mechanism, the Common Fund. The UNCTAD Secretariat and many developing countries appear to be seeking at UNCTAD IV an agreement with the developed countries to: hold a series of individual commodity negotiations between producers and consumers which would lead to commodity agreements for those commodities. At a minimum UNCTAD would hope to get such negotiations underway for a "core" of ten products, including cocoa, copper, cotton, hard fibers, iron ore, jute, rubber, sugar, tea, tin. agree in principle to the creation of a Common Fund and establish a negotiating conference to determine the precise structure and modalities of such a fund. - 10The Common Fund is the glue which holds the Integrated Program together. It is, intended to be more th^n a buffer stock financing mechanism. UNCTAD hopes.that such^an institution would actively perform,the role of a catalytic agent to prod producers and consumers to agree;pn specific commodity agreements., UNCTAD envisages that^producers in particular,would be stimulated by the availability of funding for buffer stocks to overcome their own differences and push hard for an agreement. The United States has made.clear in the past that we cannot endorse this aspect of the UNCTAD approach to commodity problems, and we will do so again, at UNCTAD IV. We do not believe that a generalized commitment can be made to form commodity agreements, particularly agreements based on a specific market intervention mechanism such as a buffer stock. We believe that each commodity has its own unique characteristics of production, transport,_storability, marketing, and consumption, and thus thati commodity problems can only be dealt with on a case by case basis. We will also not support the concept of a Common Fund for buffer stocks, particularly as a new independent international institution which would play an activist role in attempting to form agreements for individual commodities. While we generally believe buffer stocks to be a price stabilization technique that is preferable to alternative market intervention devices such as export controls, which may build rigidities into the market, the applicability of buffer stocks must be determined only on a case by case basis. We have carefully reviewed the ten commodities which UNCTAD has proposed as the core of its Integrated Program and we are skeptical of the viability or utility of buffer stocks as a stabilizing tool for most of those products. We also believe that the appropriate method and sources of financing to support the mechanisms of a commodity agreement must vary with the circumstances of each commodity. These methods might include such techniques as commercial borrowing, direct contributions by participants, export taxes, or loans from existing international institutions. If there is sufficient consensus among major producers and consumers of a given commodity that an agreement is necessary, and agreement is also reached that a buffer stock is the appropriate technique to stabilize prices for that commodity, we are willing to support a variety of different avenues of financing the stock, but although we cannot support aspects of the "Integrated Program" nor the Common Fund, we do believe that a positive approach to commodity problems is needed. It's for this reason that over the past year and a half we have conducted an intense review of £79 - 12 U.S. commodity policy. We created an interagency Commodity Policy Coordinating Committee, reporting directly to the Economic Policy Board and the National Security Council, to undertake this task. Through this mechanism, the U.S. has reviewed the UNCTAD proposals and formulated our own comprehensive approach. In this review, we have found that we could support a number of the objectives the UNCTAD program is intended to achieve. These would include a reduction in excessive fluctuations in prices and supplies; the expansion of efficient processing of primary commodities and diversification of productive capacity in developing countries; increased stability in developing countries1 export earnings; and a lowering of trade barriers against processed and semiprocessed forms of raw materials. We believe the best means to accomplish these goals, however, are different from the UNCTAD approach. It is our firm conviction that the market mechanism is on the whole the most, efficient method of assuring that supply and demand of commodities are kept in balance in a dynamic world. Although markets do not always operate efficiently, the appropriate remedy is to strengthen their functioning, not intervene or further impede market operations. ^P3~ - 13 At UNCTAD IV the U.S. will stress its own proposals in the commodity field: We believe that the most fundamental solution to problems of wide swings in export earnings as a result of changes in prices and demand for commodities is to be found in compensatory finance. The recent reform of the IMF compensatory finance facility, in line with U.S. recommendations at the Seventh Special Session, provides very substantial additional balance of payments support to those developing countries that experience fluctuations in their export earnings, while avoiding direct intervention in commodity markets. We have also proposed to broaden the proposed Trust Fund to include additional compensatory financing to developing countries that are particularly dependent on commodity exports, where there is a balance of payments need. A decision on this proposal depends on the creation of the Trust Fund and some experience with its operations. Commodity problems should be analyzed on a case by case basis in forums composed of interested producers and .consumers. Where specific problems - 14 arf identified, we will examine proposed solutions and make suggestions of our own. Those proposed solutions may range from research- and development i measures to promote consumption and improve market ) ^ it } distribution"systems and production efficiency, to' the creation of buffer stocks to stabilize prices and enhance supply security. In most cases, we believe that coiriiiiddity problems will best be solved through strengthening the market mechanism, not by circumventing or thwarting it. We support the creation of producer-consumer groups for all major traded commodities where these do not now exist. We will seriously study specific commodity problems in such forums in order to improve the operation of markets in those commodities. We are moving toward such a forum for copper and we are willing to look at others such as bauxite or iron ore. We continue to be concerned that the investment climate in many developing countries may rePsult in discouraging needed investment altbgether or in forcing, investment in less productive, but safer locations; in developed countries. We have urged that the. World Bank Group increase its role in raw £77 - 15 materials investment by combining its resources and technical expertise with those of the private sector. We are also discussing the possibility of proposing the creation of a new investment institution which could be associated with the World Bank to promote such investment. In this way, we believe the U.S. has a positive, comprehensive, and workable program to deal with commodity issues. We believe the solutions we propose meet the real needs of the developing countries. We hope that all participants in UNCTAD IV will maintain a constructive and realistic attitude in the commodity discussions, and that agreement will be reached on a realistic, viable program for further action in this field. Development Issues: Aside from commodity issues, the other major concern at UNCTAD IV will involve problems of developing country finance, particularly debt. Before discussing this issue in depth, however, I would like to make some observations on development issues in general, as debt is only one aspect of the larger question of how developing countries obtain the external resources they need for development purposes. £Tf - 16 Development is a process requiring the infusion of capital, technology, and management skills on a sustained and substantial scale. While we believe that the developing country itself is the main source for most of these resources and must therefore make the effort necessary to hold down present consumption in the interest of higher living standards in the future, international support is also indispensable. At UNCTAD IV, the most sensitive issue related to the general question of aid flows is expected to be the demand by developing countries that the industrial countries increase their concessionary aid flows in order to achieve the so called UN Second Development Decade target of 0.7% of GNP. This compares with actual aid flows from industrial countries of 0.33% of GNP in 1974, the latest year for which such data are available. The U.S. supports a substantial increase in such flows to the developing countries and has been increasing its own development assistance. We do not however, support the .7% target -- which is clearly unrealistic for the U.S., since it would require over $11 billion annually in bilateral aid, as compared with the $3.4 billion (0.251 of GNP) provided in 1974. A number of DAC countries have accepted the target in principle but only seven have committed themselves £f? - 17 to achieve the target by 1980. Sweden actually achieved 0.7% in 1974 -- the first DAC country to do so. Concessionary aid flows are important for development of poorer countries, but not as important for the other developing countries as export promotion and other types of capital flows. For this reason, the U.S. made a number of initiatives at the UN Seventh Special Session last fall in the areas of capital market access, transfer of technology, and direct investment. Private capital markets are already a major source of development funds, either directly or through intermediaries. The World Bank and regional development banks borrow extensively to lend to developing countries. We have requests before Congress or will soon be making requests to expand the callable capital of several of these institutions. As you know, such capital serves to guarantee IFI borrowings in the private markets. The more successful developing countries are the ones that rely heavily on borrowing in private capital markets. It is estimated that the developing countries borrowed roughly $10 billion from private sector sources in 1975, mainly in the form of commercial bank lending. has, therefore: The U.S. ^9d - 18 Contributed actively to the work of the IMF/IBRD Development Committee to explore ways to improve access for developing countries. Supported a major expansion of the resources of the IFC -- the World Bank affiliated investment broker with the widest experience in supporting private enterprise in developing countries. Proposed creation of an International Investment Trust to mobilize portfolio capital for investment in local enterprises. Reviewed our own conditions for LDC access to our capital markets and developed a technical assistance program within AID to facilitate LDC knowledge of and access to the U.S. capital market. The other two areas of concern -- transfer of technology and private investment -- are closely related. Technology is vital to development, and international transfer of technology to the developing countries is necessary in view of the cost and skills required to develop it. Private invest- ment is an important source of technology, as well as a source of managerial talent and capital. 59/ - 19 Among the initiatives we have supported in these areas are: An International Industrialization Institute, to sponsor and conduct research on industrial technology. An International Center for the Exchange of Technological Information. Voluntary and non-binding guidelines for technology transfer to guide governments and enterprises in this area, including the element of restrictive business practices. A voluntary and non-binding code of conduct for multinational corporations to improve the understanding of all parties regarding their mutual obligations. We believe that the U.S. is in a position to play a very forthcoming and constructive role at UNCTAD IV in these three areas vital to the development of developing countries -- capital market access, technology, and investment. The Financing Difficulties of Developing Countries Having briefly covered general development issues, including the various proposals the U.S. has made to deal with the development needs of the developing countries, - 20 let me turn to the finance question in greater detail, with particular attention to debt. UNCTAD IV comes at a period after the non-oil exporting developing countries have experienced two years of abnormally large balance of payments deficits as the result of increased oil prices, the accompanying recession in the industrial countries, and world wide inflation. Deficits on current account, which had averaged $9 billion annually in the early 1970's, jumped to $28 billion in 1974 and an estimated $35-37 billion in 1975. These increased deficits have been largely financed by borrowings which of course will increase debt service payments in future years. Because of these circumstances, many of the developing countries have focused all their attention on debt; whereas we believe that the primary issue is really the balance of payments. In this regard, we believe that the balance of payments situation for the developing countries as a whole is beginning to improve. We project that the aggregate deficit of the non-oil developing countries will decline by perhaps $5 billion in 1976, and that as a result new external borrowing will also decline. Projections of debt servicing prospects are difficult, particularly in view of the wide diversity of debt situations £73 - 21 and the fact that the capacity of individual countries to respond to debt problems varies widely. It should be noted that a relatively small number of countries account for the bulk of the debt and, in particular, of the borrowings on commercial terms. Furthermore, the poorer developing countries most affected by recent economic events cannot resort to private market borrowings to offset the higher prices of oil and other imports and have to depend upon concessional capital. In view of low interest rates and grace periods, such capital has a limited impact on debt servicing, particularly in the short run. Debt servicing is only one of the elements of the balance of payments problems, but of course any sustained deterioration in a country's balance of payments position makes debt service more difficult. It is encouraging, therefore, that improvement in the current account positions of developing countries is anticipated as the pace of recovery quickens in the industrial world and commodity exports and prices increase. Despite this, many countries see no way to finance their desired development programs without substantial further borrowings over the next several years. - 22 This situation has led the developing countries, with the strong backing of the UNCTAD Secretariat, to set forth a number of sweeping proposals to alleviate their internal debt situation. These proposals are based on the premise that debt rescheduling would provide fastacting relief for their balance of payments situation and supplement what they consider to be inadequate flows of development assistance. The proposals include: For public development credits: Waiving debt service payments by the mostseriously-affected countries for the remainder of the decade; and Converting such credits to grants for the least developed countries. For private credits: An international fund to refinance service payments over a period of 15-25 years at commercial rates of interest. In addition: A conference of major developed creditors and interested debtor countries to be convened in 1976 under UNCTAD auspices. -- A shift in the forum and chairmanship for debt rescheduling from the traditional creditor club - 23 - J~9£~ arrangements to the IMF. The United States is deeply sympathetic with the balance of payments position of the non-oil developing countries and, together with other creditor countries, has taken a number of steps to make available funds supplemental to normal aid flows to meet the financial strain of the developing countries erected by the oil price increase and the onset of world-wide recession. The United States will continue its efforts in cooperation with other creditor nations to increase and direct aid flows to those countries in greatest need and to improve the access of developing countries to private capital markets. However, we cannot agree to proposals for generalized debt relief, debt moratorium, and new institutions for refinancing commercial debt and the like for a number of reasons: The proposals assume there is a debt problem per se for all non-oil developing countries; we believe that focusing on debt alone obscures the overall balance of payments situation, which for many countries is improving. The proposals assume that all non-oil developing countries or groups of non-oil developing countries are encountering extreme problems in meeting their debt service payments; we believe that debt service - 24 problems are limited to very few countries. -- The proposals assume that financing through debt rescheduling should be based on the amount of past debt or debt service payments incurred. We believe finance needs must be evaluated on a case by case basis, taking into account a country's present circumstances and future prospects. The proposals assume that commercial credit can be rolled over for extended,periods of time; wc believe that commercial institutions cannot be relied uponr to provide increasing amounts of private capital if the ultimate timing of repayment is continually subject to question. They assume that proposals for debt relief can be undertaken without any adverse effects on developing country creditworthiness and new capital flows; we believe rescheduling adversely affects developing countries creditworthiness and new capital flows. In short, we believe that adoption of these proposals could lead to a severe deterioration in international credit relationships. We strongly believe that these proposals are not in the best interest of the debtor countries - 25 because they will destroy their creditworthiness and the ability to borrow from public and private sources in the future. With regard to institutional arrangements for debt rescheduling, the United States is willing to recommend that the IMF play a greater role analyzing technical issues related to rescheduling exercises than it has in the past. That would be in addition to its traditional task of negotiating standby agreements that give the creditors some assurance that the country requesting debt rescheduling will follow policies that will turn its economic situation around. However, we firmly believe that actual negotiations to reschedule a country's external debts should remain in the creditor club context. process. A debt rescheduling is a very delicate Debtors want a lenient rescheduling; creditors wish to be repaid as soon as possible. To shift the forum and chair from the creditor club arrangement -- which has served both debtor and creditor countries well over the years through a series of extremely difficult debt rescheduling exercises -- to the IMF, would expose the IMF to the conflicting views of debtor and creditor countries and thereby threaten to undermine the basis of its neutrality which is of paramount importance to the continued success of the Fund. ft' It could also lead to pressures to reschedule IMF drawings, thereby undermining the monetary character of the Fund. We have recently appraised the nature and extent of the external debt situation of the developing countries, and have found the external debt situation of the great majority of non-oil developing countries to be manageable. The details of these findings were contained in our "Report on Developing Countries External Debt Relief Provided by the United States", submitted by Secretary Simon to this committee on January 30, 1976. Since the report was prepared, the economic situation in several of the countries has improved. Thus, for example, some countries, such as Bolivia, Peru and Uruguay, now appear in a more favorable light, du6 to the rise in economic activity of OECD countries and higher commodity and metal prices. Countries such as Chile and Zambia, which rely heavily on copper exports for foreign exchange earnings, now face a somewhat more manageable situation, as the price of copper has risen from 55 cents a pound in early January of this year to close to 70 cents. As for countries such as Brazil and Mexico, which the report noted have large private sector debts but also have productive and diversified economies, the anticipated strong pick-up in their exports to developed countries reinforces our earlier conclusion that they will be able to finance their projected deficits and avoid debt servicing difficulties in 1976. ^77 - 27 As for the most seriously affected (MSA) countries, it is significant to note that two MSAs, India and Pakistan, account for over one-half of the debt service of all MSAs. It is our perception that the economies of both India and Pakistan are performing much better than most people realize. For example, India is expected to attain a real growth rate on the order of 5 - 6 percent this year and next, and its trade deficit should narrow somewhat next year. India's international reserves have increased from $1.4 billion in December 1975 to over $2 billion in March. This amount is sufficient to cover about 5 months1 imports which is quite good for a developing country. Pakistan's growth rate is also projected at about 5 percent, its reserves are sufficient to cover almost three months' imports, and Pakistan will continue to benefit through at least 1978 from the debt rescheduling arrangement of 1974. As for the other MSAs, the picture is mixed. Some countries, such as Bangladesh, have contracted large amounts of external debt mainly from multilateral and bilateral institutions. Since most of these credits carry extremely low interest rates, the actual debt service payments falling due this year and next are relatively small. To conclude, U.S. policy has been, and will continue to be, to extend credit on the explicit understanding that it will be repaid according to the schedule agreed upon 6 - 28 by the borrower at the time the credit is authorized and signed. The U.S. does not consider general debt relief to be appropriate for providing official economic assistance to the developing countries. Our policy on debt rescheduling is to evaluate the merits of each debt reorganization proposal on a case-by-case basis, predicated on the principle of basic adherence to scheduled terms of credit payment. Within this framework, our objective is to encourage countries to undertake appropriate corrective policies in order to minimize the incidence of debt rescheduling and relief operations. Monetary Issues In view of the comprehensive monetary reform package that was agreed at Jamaica, I would not anticipate extended debate on longstanding proposals by developing countries to restructure the monetary system or an effort to re-open a settled agreement. While some may feel that the reforms do not go far enough, I believe that most recognize that the package as a whole -- involving important amendments to the IMF Articles of Agreement, quota increases, and expansion of access to IMF resources -- achieves the desired balance and provides substantial benefits for all countries. Without attempting to comment in depth on all the complex - 29 provisions of the agreement, I would like to note the most significant elements. The new more flexible exchange arrangements focus on achieving the underlying economic stability that is a prerequisite for true exchange rate stability. Countries are given wide latitude in choosing those particular exchange rate practices best suited to their own needs so long as they fulfill certain obligations calling for, among other things, the promotion of stable underlying economic conditions and non-manipulation of exchange rates to gain unfair competitive advantage. Past efforts to mandate stability by requiring maintenance of fixed rates provided only the appearance of stability and often required extensive controls and restrictions to sustain them. Such measures disrupted development efforts by impeding trade, limiting investment flows and forcing cut-backs in aid. Concrete steps have been initiated to phase gold out of a central role in the monetary system. The IMF Articles will be amended to eliminate any important monetary role for gold in the Fund and to provide for the future disposition of IMF gold holdings. In addition, the IMF will begin disposal, under existing authority, of 50 million ounces of gold owned by the Fund (about one-third of its total holdings), 25 million ounces to be sold for the benefit of developing countries -- I already mentioned the - 30 Trust Fund -- and 25 million ounces to be sold to IMF members in proportion to quotas. The developing countries will clearly obtain substantial benefits from these steps, including the major share of the benefits from the agreed Fund gold sales. I am aware of some concerns of developing countries that abolition of the official price might result in a strengthened role for gold and in increases in liquidity primarily for developed countries. concerns are warranted. I do not believe these The comprehensive actions being taken genuinely place gold on a one-way street out of the monetary system. The SDR will be made a more usable asset under the amendments, thereby increasing its potential to become the principal reserve asset in the system, a long-sought objective of the developing countries. Proposals for an SDR-aid link were dropped from the monetary negotiations at an early stage of the Interim Committee discussions, and the U.S. will continue to oppose an SDR-aid link should the proposals resurface in UNCTAD. The link would be an inappropriate means of providing aid and is inconsistent with the monetary functions of the SDR. In addition to amendments, IMF quotas will be increased by about one-third, thus ensuring that the Fund is in a position to meet members' future financing needs. 6a3 - 31 The quota share, and thus the voting share, of developing countries has also been increased, thereby enhancing their voice in IMF decision-making. Monetary issues raised at UNCTAD IV may be introduced in the context of the effort to find international financing to meet the balance of payments problems of developing countries. Thus there may be efforts to use the IMF for this purpose. The Fund is the sole international institution with responsibility for promoting the needed economic adjustments that represent the only lasting solution to a country's payments difficulties. The importance of IMF financing therefore transcends the actual amounts involved, crucial as they may often be, because it is closely linked to adoption of economic policies designed to correct the underlying cause of countries' problems. The IMF has greatly expanded access to its resources to help meet the enlarged balance of payments financing needs of its members in the present period. In the past year, developing countries have borrowed nearly $2-1/2 billion from the IMF, nearly four times the peak annual drawings prior to the oil price rise. And, with agreement on a comprehensive monetary package in Jamaica in January the Fund's capacity to deal with members' payments problems has been strengthened importantly. - 32 -- A Trust Fund managed by the IMF as trustee will be established and begin operations in the very near future to provide balance of payments support on concessional terms for the poorest countries. Resources will be obtained by utilizing part of the gold owned by the IMF, through market sales over a four year period. Thus an asset which has not been used in recent years will be mobilized to assist needy countries in meeting their current balance of payments difficulties. Other financial contributions to the Trust Fund will be welcomed. -- A major liberalization of the IMF Compensatory Financing Facility has been implemented that will be expecially useful in dealing with payments problems in this period of recession-induced fall-off in export earnings. It is noteworthy that in the first quarter of this year, the liberalized facility has already provided nearly $500 million in loans, an amount that is more than 40 percent above the previous peak annual level of loans. -- Access to the IMF's regular credit facilities has been temporarily expanded by 4 5 percent, pending implementation of the agreed increase in quotas. -. The IMF Buffer Stock Facility has also been liberalized. These measures represent a vigorous effort by the 6, - 33 IMF to help its members, developed and developing, to deal with their immediate financing problems. They also represent a reasoned response, and we do not feel it is desirable, indeed possible, for the IMF to attempt to do more. It is clear that the IMF cannot meet all the financing needs of the developing countries and that its design, as a monetary institution, is inappropriate to meeting development financing requirements. The resources available to the IMF are finite, and steps to increase access further could seriously impair the Fund's liquidity, to the detriment of developed and developing countries alike. A major strength of the IMF, and the basis of its international prestige and support, is its unique monetary character. The private markets frequently rely on the Fund's "discipline" to ensure that countries experiencing balance of payments problems adopt the sound domestic policies that are the essential prerequisites for maintenance of credit-worthiness. The policy conditions applied by the IMF thus provide an important safeguard for private lenders, in that they know IMF involvement will entail the adoption of policies by borrowers that will strengthen their external positions and enable them to repay their loans. Should the market's perception,of this role for the IMF be weakened by an erosion of IMF conditionality, it is quite possible that a resulting reduction in private credit availability - 34 would more than offset any potential increase in IMF financing. This is one of the basic reasons why we cannot support a further allocation of SDR's according to the principle of an aid-SDR link. A further weakening of conditionality would seriously disrupt the flow of private credit to the developing countries, and make achievement of their development objectives even more difficult. Trade Although noncommodity trade issues will not be a central theme at UNCTAD IV, some developing countries may seek greater commitments from the developed countries on special and differential treatment in the Multilateral Trade Negotiations and for improvements on the various systems of tariff preferences now in existence. The developing countries are impatient over progress in the MTN, and have argued that little progress has been made toward granting them the kind of special trade treatment suggested in the Tokyo Declaration of 1973, which launched the current negotiations in Geneva. They are particularly interested in being exempted from limitations on the use of export subsidies and in receiving special treatment or exemptions in safeguard actions, such as the recent U.S. escape clause actions on specialty steel and footwear. - 35 They are interested in rapid action on the tropical products negotiations in Geneva. We are sympathetic with interests of developing countries in securing additional benefits for their international trade, in increasing their foreign exchange earnings, diversifying their exports, and accelerating the growth of their trade. The MTN will provide great benefits to the developing countries. The tariff cutting formula we have introduced will help the LDCs by increasing their general access to the U.S. market, and by reducing the degree of tariff escalation on semi-processed and processed products. The U.S. has made a sound proposal in the tropical products negotiations, and we too hope for rapid progress. We do believe that some kind of special and differential treatment for developing countries will prove feasible in certain areas of the MTN, such as negotiation of general rules on subsidies and countervailing. However, we believe that the issue of special and differential treatment for developing countries can only be dealt with in the context of particular codes on other specific areas being negotiated, and cannot be moved at a faster pace than the discussions on these issues. We will also stress at UNCTAD IV, as we have in the MTN, that the developing countries themselves can and must make 6t>7 Co? - 36 contributions to the MTN, consistent with their levels of development. This issue of supply access is a case in point. Furthermore, we believe that special treatment for developing countries must be linked with a phase-out mechanism, so that as a developing country becomes more advanced and competitive on the world market, its special treatment will be phased out and it will begin to assume the same responsibilities as other developed members of the world trade community. As for generalized systems of preferences, the developing countries would like to see these systems made a permanent part of the world trading system and considerably liberalized. We believe that as preferences are unilateral voluntary actions by the developed countries, they are not subject to negotiations, either in UNCTAD or at the MTN. We believe the new U.S. system is a good one, and as we gain experience with it we will examine possibilites of improving it. While we will certainly listen to the suggestions of others as to what improvements might be useful, actual decisions are strictly an internal U.S. government affair. Conclusion I hope that my testimony has made clear that the U.S. government has expended a great deal of effort in carefully analyzing the problems identified by UNCTAD and the solutions proposed by the Secretariat and by developing countries. It should be clear that we believe that today's 6*? - 37 world calls for cooperation among countries. In that regard we feel that we can agree with much of the articulation of the problems and long-range goals identified by UNCTAD and the developing countries. There are differences of opinion with respect to the solutions to these problems. We will not reject any proposed solutions out of hand, but explain why we do not believe certain approaches would be in the interest of the world. Further we have developed proposals of our own which we believe will accomplish the same objectives more effectively. It will be our task at Nairobi to lay these various proposals on the table and begin the process of arriving at a consensus on where to go next. If 1976 can be characterized as a year of dialogue, perhaps the work accomplished over the next months will make 1977 the year of consensus. FOR RELEASE UPON DELIVERY April 27, 1976 STATEMENT OF GERALD L. PARSKY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY FOR INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS BEFORE THE SENATE FOREIGN RELATIONS COMMITTEE APRIL 27f 1976 at 10:00 A.M. I welcome this opportunity to appear before your Committee this morning in support of S. 3103, which would authorize a U.S. contribution of $50 million to the Asian Development Fund (ADF), the concessionary lending facility of the Asian Development Bank (ADB). It is contemplated that this amount, which has been included in the 1977 budget, would be the first installment of a three-year U.S. contribution to the ADF to be spread over fiscal years 1977-1979. Before discussing the details of this legislation and the total replenishment proposal, I would like to address briefly the importance of U.S. participation in the international development banks and then provi