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?J? ES',s .~EL E.L!~"7ES L1BRARY P0nM 5030 JUN 1 51972. TREASUR'f OEPAR1MENl A:) 4 ') r rj 'J '-) f \. TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR RELEASE ON DELIVERY TUESDAY, OCTOBER 1, 1968 REMARKS OF THE HONORABLE HENRY H. FOWLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY OF THE UNITED STATES AND UNITED STATES GOVERNOR OF THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND AND THE INTERNATIONAL BANK FOR RECONSTRUCTION AND DEVELOPMENT AT THE JOINT ANNUAL DISCUSSION OF THE BOARDS OF GOVERNORS OF THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND AND THE INTERNATIONAL BANK FOR RECONSTRUCTION AND DEVELOPMENT AND ITS AFFILIATES SHERATON PARK BOTEL, WASHINGTON, D.C. TUESDAY MORNING, OCTOBER 1, 1968 Fellow Governors and Honored Guests: We meet once again in the noble cause of international cooperation. Our works -- the works of peace -- embody the hopes and dreams of all men. It is my pleasure to welcome my fellow Governors and other guests to Washington once again after our memorable and enjoyable meeting last year in Rio de Janeiro. I offer congratulations to our two world organizations and the countries they represent in the quality of leadership secured in the year past for the years ahead. In the election of President McNamara of the Bank and the reelection of Managing Director Schweitzer of the Fund, we in the free world are fortunate. I am happy to welcome the entry into membership of Botswana, Lesotho, Malta and Mauritius during the past year. F-1366 - 2 I At this meeting we can for the first time speak of the Special Drawing Rights in terms of formal legal amendments approved by the Board of Governors now in the process of acceptance by member governments. The SDR facility makes a timely entrance on the world's stage. It is increasingly evident that there is a clear need for a supplementary reserve facility of this character. The events of the past year have already shown that monetary authorities can act with greater confidence because of the prospective establishment of this facility. My Government has been proud to act promptly both to ratify the amendments establishing the Special Drawing Rights facility and deposit its instrument of participation. I earnestly hope that all of the members of the Fund will approve and join in the new facility. Indeed, the monetary system as a whole would benefit if the requisite number of governments completed the process of ratification and certified participation to the Fund by the end of this calendar year. The Fund could then, early in 1969, consider the activation of the facility to provide supplementary reserves in the years ahead. For the first time in the world's history, we shall be looking to the leadership of an international institution to provide conscious direction in recommending the amount of growth in world reserves which the international community needs to facilitate trade and development. Article XXIV sets forth general guidance to the Fund on discharging its responsibility under the new amendments: !fIn all its decisions with respect to the allocation and cancellation of special drawing rights the Fund shall seek to meet the longterm global need, as and when it arises, to supplement existing reserve assets in such manner as will promote the attainment of its purposes and avoid economic stagnation and deflation as well as excess demand and inflation in the world. - 3 - "The first decision to allocate special drawing rights shall take into account, as special considerations, a collective judgment that there is a global need to supplement reserves, and the attainment of a better balance of payments equilibrium, as well as the likelihood of a better working of the adjustment process in the future." Already the Executive Dir.ectors of the Fund have concluded that "action in the area of reserve creation might well become an essential element in international cooperation aimed at achieving a lasting international payments equilibrium in a world environment of satisfactory economic growth and of resumed progress toward liberalization of current and capital transactions. 1I The Annual Report of the Fund examines recent developments in world reserves and concludes with these words: "In sum, reserve developments over the past several years have been dominated by special and erratic influences that, on balance, have led to a substantially slower accumulation of countries' official reserves than in prior periods. Such developments could not, over the longer run, be expected to provide the basis for a satisfactory performance of the world economy." During the years 1966 and 1967, global reserves rose only slightly more than $3 billion. Monetary gold reserves, in fact, declined substantially. The upward secular trend of reserves was maintained only by an increase of over $5 billion in foreign exchange and in claims on the Fund. With both the United States and the United Kingdom having taken vigorous measures to reduce their deficits, reliance on accumulation of these currencies for increases in world reselVfS would be unwise. The maj or indus trial countries, excluding the U.S. and U.K., in fact have added only about $500 million to reserves during the l2-month period from July 1, 1967, to June 30, 1968. This is not· enough to assure the continued high growth of world trade, world capital movements, and world income. - 4 It is fortunate, therefore, that we can look forward to the Special Drawing Rights to provide the needed secular growth in reserves. I believe that in the months ahead the need to activate this facility -- and on a large enough scale -- will be a very urgent matter on our agenda. The principles and considerations bearing upon activation of Special Drawing Rights also suggest an examination of the substantial progress now being reported by the two major reserve currency countries in their efforts to achieve balance of payments equilibrium in their own accounts. We have reason to be heartened by the signs of progress now emerging in the economy of the United Kingdom. We look forward to continuation of this trend as the realistic program employed by the British Government makes its full mark upon the international transactions of that oountry. As far as the United Ststes is concerned, I am pleased to report that our accounts are moving towards equilibrium. Since our meeting in Rio, the devaluation of the pound sterling, the subsequent run on the monetary gold stock, and a deterioration in the U.S. balance of payments, caused the United States to reassess its contribution to the balance of payments adjustment process. President Johnson, in a Message to the Nation on January 1, launched an Action Program designed to strengthen both the current and the capital accounts of our balance of payments. With the first six months' statistics already in hand and with early indications on the third quarter, there is clear evidence that substantial progress is being made towards the President's target. The delay in the imposition of the tax bill until the end of June will certainly influence our timetable but not the result. With the passage of the fiscal restraint package in June of this year, the economy was put on a more sustainable path of expansion. The fiscal package will cut some $20 billion from the Federal budget deficit in fiscal 19690 As this strong medicine works and our economy moves into better balance we anticipate an improvement in our trade position. Our private capital account has already shown a remarkable improvement. - 5 Results so far this year from the overall balance of payments program are gratifying. On a seasonally adjusted liquidity basis, the first quarter deficit of $660 million was down substantially from the fourth quarter 1967 deficit of $1,742 million. The second quarter showed a continuing favorable trend with a deficit of $170 million o One of the most striking developments has been the substantial surplus on official reserve transactions during the first half of this year. Results, so far in the third quarter, are encouraging. Whatever the outcome of our election, I am confident that the United States has arrived at a fixed and determined policy to bring our balance of payments into equilibrium as a national and international responsibility of the highest priority and to move in a determined way toward restoring price stability in an atmosphere of balanced growth. This is a major source of my confidence in the future of our international accounts. The decisive vote to increase taxes and to decrease projected public expenditures -- both unpopular measures in an election year -- should go far to sustain confidence in the dollar, the economy on which it is b"l:ed, ;:;10 our system of government. This vote was a momentous decisio~ -- to pay our nation's bills and order our economic arid financial affairs in such a manner as to reduce sharply the twin deficits in our Federal budget and in our international balance of payments. I believe that this action will m~~e possible and probable a return to far better balance in our F~~2ra1 ~udget, in our international payments, and in our economy during the fiscal year 1969, which began on July 1. This action by the President and the Congress of the United States to impose fiscal restraint was designed in large part to protect and strengthen thr_ Financial system of the free world and discharge the responsibilities of the United States in making the adjustment process work. - 6 - I join the Hanaging Director in his observation that: "The renewed momentum in the world economy over the past year has depended too much on the overly rapid expansion in the United States. It is vital that, as the U.S. advance slackens, those countries for which expansion is indicated on domestic and external grounds should take up the role of pacemaker. In the meantime, I am happy to note that it has recently proved possible for some leading European countries to generate a larger outward flow of long-term capital." Over the longer run, our task will be to extend the record of vigorous economic growth that has been established during the 1960's. With the economy and the national finances now coming into better balance, our domestic expansion, with its unprecedented duration of 91 months, has been placed on a much more secure basis -- with promising effect on our balance of payments. Apart from the unilateral efforts of the United States and the United Kingdom to strengthen the position of the reserve currencies and provide balance to the economies on which they are based, the functioning of the international monetary system has been strengthened by impressive developments in international financial cooperation. Notable examples are the enlargement of the "swap" networks among a number of major financial nations and their proven effectiveness in dealing with several potentially destabilizing short-term capital movements, the arrangement recently announced to strengthen the position of sterling, and the decision of the participants to maintain their commitments under the General Arrangements to Borrow. An even more significant and far-reaching step was the agreement on measures to arrest the decline of monetary gold reserves and to insulate the international monetary system from the destabili~ing influences of the private gold market and speculation in gold. I refer to the agreement on gold policies of the central bank representatives of the active gold pool nations meeting in Washington on March 17 and the .3 - 7 subsequent expressions of support from most of the rest of the world. The meeting of the Group of Ten at Stockholm provided additional underpinning to that consensus and to the monetary system as a whole. I had the occasion, in an address on September 24, 1968, here in Washington, to re-state the gold policies of the United States and to set forth in some detail the important relationship we see between these gold policies and the stability of the international-monetary system. I refer any interested Governor to the full text of that speech. I will only repeat here a few paragraphs pertaining to the operations of the International Monetary Fund: " •••• The international monetary system has a vital stake in maintaining the value of gold in existing monetary reserves at $35 an ounce -neither less nor more. This provides assurance both to the countries who hold a large proportion of their reserves in gold and to those who hold a small proportion of their reserves in gold. It is clearly \vithin the capabilities of the system to provide such an assurance, and the United States believes it is important to the stability of the system that this be done. But for gold producing countries that assurance must run only to their monetary reserves and only after they have disposed of their newly mined gold, and any price stability assurance that is provided should not apply to newly mined gold or that held in private hands. "In giving assurance on existing monetary reserves, we will not accede to any proposal that puts a floor under the private market, thereby assuring the speculators who have built up their hoards of gold that they may unload it at no less than the monetary price." I also said in that address and repeat here: "Given the unique position of gold, as both a commodity and a monetary instrument, special problems could still arise in the twn-tier system. It should be possible to devise s~l~tions for such problems -- provided such solut:ons dre designed to strengthen and do not threaten to weaken the two-tier system for gold and the Mr~etary system as a v}hole." - 8 I would like at this point to venture a few remarks about the future. The new facility for Special Drawing Rights is a major forward step in the evolutionary process of improving the international monetary system. It has received wide support among economists, academic, business and financial leaders and, of course, among monetary officials. In the United States it enjoys broad and enthusiastic bipartisan support in the Congress. This happy situation is the result of the thorough study and painstaking discussions of the problem in international bodies, in legislative committees, in academic circles and in the financial press during the period in which the Special Drawing Rights plan evolved. I would hope that further evolutionary changes in the international monetary system would emerge in the same way. The only appropriate way to seek improvement in the system is through the same procedure of careful study, widespread official and public discussions and carefully considered action o The further evolution of the system may not involve such fundamental changes as we have seen in 1968, but, while conserving our proven arrangements, we must be prepared to consider change at all times and with an open mind. The reason is very clear. The purpose of the international monetary system is to make it possible for all of us to produce more at home, to trade more with each other, to use capital on the widest and most efficient scale, to visit more with each other, and to help each other, in an atmosphere of financial stability. The stronger the monetary system, the better we can do these things; the weaker the monetary system, the more we will have to restrict ourselves -- at home and abroad. Monetary officials must keep abreast of new ideas and proposals and be willing to examine them in full and free discussion. Such new proposals come from economists, either in the academic or the business world, from the private business community, from legislative committees and from monetary officials themselves. For example, the Subcommittee on International Exchange and payments of the Joint Economic Committee of the U.S. Congress recently suggested for study some specific proposals to improve the monetary system. - 9 Academic economists and others without operating responsibilities in the international monetary system can become troubled that many of their proposals do not seem to receive a full hearing from monetary authorities. The authorities, on the other hand, sometimes charge that these proposals from outside sources are not properly grounded in the problems and conditions of the real world. Without careful official examination no one can say at present whether, in the process of official and public discussions and interchange of views, ideas on this important subject will evolve into an area of common ground and constructive actione The central point is that if useful proposals do not attract the interest of responsible monetary officials and are not thoroughly assessed for feasibility, desirability and acceptability they may fade into the background and be lost. This we cannot afford. For this reason, I approve most heartily the sentiments expressed by the Managing Director in his opening remarks, "The world does not stand still and the effort to improve the monetary system which serves it is an unremitting task." I take comfort in his position that, "standing as it does at the heart of the system, the Fund is deeply committed to this task e •• " /that/ "it will remain alert to those needs and actively explore what contribution it might make to the further strengthening of the world monetary system" /that/ "continuing attention will have to be paid to the workings of the adjustment process, the long-term structure of reserves, and the role of reserve currencies within that structure. " In a few months I shall leave my responsibilities as Secretary of the United States Treasury and United States Governor of the Fund. Therefore, it would not be appropriate for me to launch specific initiatives with which my successor would have to deal without his having participated in the launching. For this reason I do not advance any specific proposal; I take no stand in favor of or against any particular proposal. But, may I suggest that the appropriate institutional mechanisms he mobilized early next year to work on further improvements of the international monetary system in the context of the completion of the ratification of the amendments for Special Drawing Rights. - 10 - I repeat my central point: We started with the strong foundation built at Bretton Woods. We built an impressive network of international cooperation on that foundation. We built a major addition to that foundation in the Special Drawing Rights Amendment. We must be prepared in the future, as we have in the past, to approach together and to work out together additional ways to strengthen the international monetary system. To do less is to fail in our responsibilities to maintain and advance our public trust. II I turn now to the field of development finance. President McNamara's opening remarks yesterday were bold, challenging and constructive. He has placed before us his plan of action -- grounded in practicality and constructed with VlSlon. We have heard from him how the Bank plans to move along its course at an accelerated pace while probing into new fields. I believe this plan is right. I have confidence that as Governors of the World Bank we will respond to his leadership. The urgent need to do so is rooted not only in the hopes of hundreds of millions of people, denied and deprived, but in the well-being of the interdependent family of nations. Over the years, the distinguished Presidents of the World Bank, its senior management and staff have molded the Bank into a solid lending institution of unquestioned excellence. They have given the Bank worldwide stature as a prime mover of development finance, as the best forum in which to examine development problems, and as a source of creative initiatives. We welcome President McNamara's prompt move to obtain the services of Lester B. Pearson of Canada to conduct a "grand assize" of the development process. Such a comprehensive appraisal will be a vital element in devising a broadened international consensus on assistance to the developing countries -- this consensus has suffered gravely in recent years from the combined shocks of budgetary and balance of payments difficulties in capital exporting countries, compounded by international monetary disturbance and somber events in a number of aid recipient countries. The Commission will enjoy the fullest support and cooperation of the United States. - 11 - \.]e have made maj or progress on many of the great problems of development. We have created an institutional structure for countries to join in the common purpose of helping to improve the harsh conditions of life in which large segments of the world's population exist. A viable institutional framework for development now in fact exists. We have created, extended and consolidated a framework embracing both multilateral and bilateral elements. that permits external assistance resources to flow and be properly coordinated. This great institution, the World Bank, has grown from a single entity in the early postwar years to a healthy family of specialized institutions. Regional banks have emerged in Latin America, Africa and Asia as major financing instruments, closely attuned to the needs and opportunities in the specific regions they are designed to serve. Moreover, as President Johnson, speaking of the Middle East said on June 19, 1967, "In a climate of peace, we here will will do our full share in support of regional cooperation." In creating this complex of institutions we have not built haphazardly. Our architecture has been coherent and innovative, complementary, and responsive to needs. We have also witnessed the response of the developing countries to the need to organize themselves in order to attract and efficiently exploit the external assistance that \v'dS available. The extent of these efforts to upgrade the capacity to apply aid effectively has varied from country to country, but several elements have increasingly emerged: the formulation of development objectives and multi-year plans; improvement in the technical capacity to design well and execute efficiently projects that are sound and economically justified; institution of self-help measures that give external donors assurance that domestic economic and human resources are being diligently applied; and creation and maintenance of a climate that attracts foreign private investment, without which an unsustainable burden will fall on official external financing. Although much has already been done by many developing nations to bring about those conditions that will yield a maximum flow of resources for development, we must recognize that more remains to be doneo - 12 I turn now to a pressing development problem whose solution \Jill require all our ingenuity and best efforts. '1111:· l~; t[le financial resources problem; it will dominate the development process in the decade ahead. By and large, we know what must be done, and we have the instrumentalitie~ to do it. But the component that is still lacking is the crucial one -- a sustained volume of financial resources at a level high eno,ugh to do the job. Finding the answer to this problem is a formidffile task and the new replenishment of IDA is a major element in this effort. Absolute top priority should be given to the successful completion of the governmental approvals necessary to bring this replenishment into effect. I am hopeful that the United States Congress will act soon to authorize U.S. participation in this replenishment of IDA. An executive proposal to that effect h2S been pending before the legislative body since last spring. The establishment of IDA and an earlier replenishment of its funds received strong bipartisan support from the United States Congress and three Presidents Eisenhower, Kennedy and Johnson. The basic reason for this record of support has been the conviction that a multilateral approach to development assistance is a desirable nati0nal policy and an essential feature of international tinancial cooperation in the world in which \..Je 1 i ve. I can tell my fellow Governors that U. S. participation in the new replenishment agreement has received the overwhelming approval of the House Banking and Currency CommLttee with bipartisan support and that it is favored by a preponderant bipartisan majority of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. I express again my continued hope that procedural difficulties and views by a limited number of opponents will not block early approval -- particularly in view of the fact that approval by the United States is essential to the replenishment agreement becoming effective . ..'.. ,\ ..'.. ,.. '" ..J... I would like now to mention a few of the ideas bearing on the solution of the problem of assuring an adequate volume of development finance on which I think a broad agreement exists. - 13 1. Strengthening the, Multilateral Approach -- It is no longer open to question that a strong multilateral approach holds the greatest promise for marshalling major amounts of funds for development on an equitably shared basis . The multilateral financial institutions have a well-earned reputation for efficient operations, deriving in large part from the enlightened management they enjoy and the cumpetent staffs they have assembled. They maintain a rigorous objectivity in the financial and technical assistance they render and they demand of their borrowers economic performance based on dispassionate comparison of efforts and potentialities. For all these rea~ons, the multilateral institutions inspire confidence on the part of governments and private investors alike that they have the capacity to administer wisely the funds that are entrusted to them. Because of the confidence they now enjoy, the multilateral institutions are in a unique position to exercise constructive leadership in the critical proc~ss of mobilizing development resources that will be adequate in relation to the demands of the developing world. The stronger their leadership becomes, the stronger their potential for attracting financial resources in \vorld markets. This means leadership in marshalling capital for development finance, guiding the determination of needs and priorities, in selecting the best approaches to the development task, in encouraging both developing nations and capital exporting nations to pursue sound and helpful p()licies. It alst) means leadership in d~veloping approaches and techniques to ensure that the balance of payments of donor countries is taken fully into account in arranging the flows of development funds. This kind of objective leadership cannot and should nnt be undertaken by any ~ingle n2tio~, either donor or r~clplent. Only by making full use of the leadership potential of the international financial institutions can we mount the most effpctive attack on the prcblen;~ of development finance. - 14 2. Broadening the Sources of Multilateral Development Financing -- A truly multilateral approach to development financing requires a broad multilateral ism in the source of borrowed funds as well as in the capital structures of the institutions. Excessive dependence on a single capital market is not sustainable over the long term, nor is it desirable from the standpoint of the institutions themselves, which need the flexibility that can only come from widely diversified sources of borrowed funds. International institutions can'and should play an important part both in developing capital markets and in finding other ways of drawing resources from balance of payments surplus countries. Their objective must be the continued strengthening and expanding of the resource base of development finance. 3. Improving the Mobilization of Domestic Resources by Developing Countries -- A third factor on which the solution of the resources problem of the seventies will depend is the efficiency with which governments of the developing countries mobilize their own resources. This involves a tax system and a tax administration that is oriented to balanced economic growth and a set of domestic policies that is conducive to private savings and investment and the avoidance of the disruptions and distortions that characterize unchecked inflation. I would list among the irreducible minimum of sound financial policies necessary for growth a public expenditure program that is formulated with clear priorities in mind, incentives to balanced growth, stable prices, appropriate wage policies, and maintenance of realistic exchange rates. These policies and economic conditions are part of the essence of the self-help concept. Certainly of great importance in this connection is the establishment of an effective and efficient tax system. The developing nations themselves do -- and must continue to -- provide the bulk of the resources needed for their development This is not only because unlimited external resources are not available, but also because too much reliance on external resources would bring an intolerable debt burden. Revenues raised domestically, therefore, are inevitably a first resource for development and the pace of development will in consequence depend in large part on the revenues yielded by the tax system. 7 - 15 Substantial international efforts such as the Inter-American Conference of Tax Administrators have already been devoted to encouraging ways to make tax systems more efficient and thereby make revenues available as a source of development finance. But more can be done. For example, tax administrators and tax policy officials in a particular geographic region can establish forums for regular exchange of ideas and experience. The IMF, the World Bank and the regional banks can add a new dimension to their activities -by more active leadership in fiscal operations. They can synthesize existing bodies of experience and analysis and disseminate the product widely in forms most useful and practical for developing countries. j Beyond these steps, the multilateral development finance institutions can, in their own lending operations, give greater recognition to those countries making the greatest relative effort to mobilize their domestic resources. 4. ComEatibility of Multilateral Development Finance with the Adjustment Process -- I have always regarded it as axiomatic that the development finance mechanism should function in a way that reinforces the workings of a sound international monetary system. This means that development finance must contribute to expandifLg levels of trade and payments and the smoother flows of international capital. It must also be consistent with what ~.ve have come to describe as the balance of payments adjustment process, This matter is closely related to the central problem I am addressing in these remarks -- that of assuring a flow of development finance that is both sustained and adequate. We can expect such a flow only if we can arrange that it function to ameliorate, rather than exacerbate the imbalance in world payments and that it exercise a stabilizing rather than a destabilizing influence on world payments. Development finance must therefore take into account balance of payments considerations as these considerations affect the ability of donor countries to provide resources. I have already touched on the role of the multilateral banks in mobilizing resources in the private and public capital markets. I should refer here to the recent IDA replenishment proposal as an excellent example of the way safeguards for deficit donor countries can be integrated - 16 into an international understanding without sacrificing any of the fundamental principles that have been the strength of such institutions. 5. Private Enterprise and Development -- I believe it has also become clear even to those who may have had lingering doubts that the adequacy of the flow of resources depends in large measure on the attraction of private investment, domestic and foreign, into development channels. Official financing, vital as it is and will be, cannot be the major element in the financing of development. Of key importance is the far greater volume of private capital flowing internally and from abroad. In my own vie~, and I know it is shared here, fostering conditions for the full application of the creative energies of private entrepreneurship is essential for accelerated developmentc And it is also essential that these conditions be attractive for foreign as well as domestic private investment, for with the former come additional benefits of new productive technology as well as management techniques, One need look no further than the group of countries that can be considered development "success stories" to confirm that vigorous private enterprise development plays a key role in practically all such countrieso Recent U,N, figures show a close correlation between net private capital inflows and high rates of growth The lesson should be plain. 0 Let me add a further thought regarding the character -- rather than the volume -- of private investment flows in the future. Just as the early post-war years were ones in which new mechanisms evolved to channel the flow of public development finance, so is the present period one in which new mechanisms are evolving in the field of private foreign investment. The multi-national operating company, the multi-national management service company and other structures now emergent represent the emerging multilateralism in the private investment sector. It is in the interest of all concerned that we facilitate movement in these new and significant directions. - 17 III Last year in Rio, the Governors of the Fund and Bank called on the staffs of the Fund and Bank for studies on the problem of stabilization of prices of primary products. Although it has not been possible for the organizations fully to complete their work on this important and demanding task, I compliment them on what they have been able to do in examining this question. The analytic part of the study which has been transmitted officially to Governors contains a very full discussion of many important aspects of this wide~ranging topic. There is urgent need for more attention to the root causes of market difficulties and to the possibilities of better coordination of trade, production and development policies. The case of coffee, where we can have, five years of experience, has shown both that there is scope for assisting developing countries through price stabilization arrangements and that where success is obtainable in such a price arrangement it hinges ultimately on bringing supply and demand into balance, at an equitable level and encouraging diversification. It is well that the Bank and Fund staffs have broken new ground in working together on this difficult problem and it is urgently necessary that both become more involved in this area in the future. There can be no lasting improvemen:: in commodity market conditions without more attention to helping the developing countries make the necessary adjustment in policies and plans These are areas in which the Fund and Bank, respectively, are already making important contributions. These institutions are well-situated to do more, with benefit to our collective interests, if they are permitted and invited to play a more active role in the international consideration of particular commodity problems and in the framing of specific proposals to ameliorate them. We shall look forward to the further work to come with deep interest and sympathy. I am glad to support the resolution which the President and Managing Director have put forward to the Governors on behalf of the Executive Directors. - 18 IV Fellow Governors, in this last meeting with you as the United States Governor may I be permitted a personal word. For nearly four years as Under Secretary of the United States Treasury and the last three and one-half years as Secretary, I have been privileged to work with many of you in the common cause of international financial cooperation for peace, prosperity and development. I am grateful to you, my colleagues, for the many kindnesses and courtesies bestowed on me in countless meetings here, in your countries, and at our other international gatherings. We have pursued together the development of ever firmer policies and programs of international cooperation which logically flow from the earlier foundations which our countries built together in the years following World War II. The past seven and one-half years have been fruitful in putting international cooperation in the economic and financial area on an ever more intensive, intimate, and productive basis. Let us look back on a few examples. -- The General Arrangements to Borrow and the 1965 expansion of the resources of the Fund which have given it a much more substantial capacity to perform the task originally allotted to it at Bretton Woods. -- The creation of huge currency swap networks, now totalling almost $10 billion, which have proven valuable tools in minimizing the destabilizing effects of short-term capital flows. -- The quick, quiet, informal, and effective means to assist nations that have found themselves in temporary monetary difficulties -- Canada, Italy, the United Kingdom, and, most recently, France. - 19 -- The expansion of multilateral aid to the developing nations through the enlargement of the resources of the International Development t, s,c)Ociation, the Inter-American Development Bank, 2nd the creation of regional banks in Asia and Africa. The reciprocal r~duction of tariff barriers in the "Kennedy Round". -- The development in the Fund and the OEeD of machinery for the multilateral sllrveillance of the adjustment process and the 2reation of standards and guidance for the industrial countries in the 1966 Report to the OECD on lIThe Adjustment Process". -- The development of a new facility in the Fund for Special Drawing Rights to provide an orderly expansion of world monetary reserves. Cooperation on gold policies in the interest of greater stability for the international monetary system. But looking ahead I am confident that the future holds opportunities for even greater and mor~ significant progress i:-1 this a.rea of our common aspirat ions. For the United Stutes, participation in the creation of these building LLJ_.:(S of international financial cooperation flows logically from the basic policies laid down at the end of T:Yor-ld War II and pursued- by Presidents Truman, L;~c;!:-:-,hO\'Jer, Kennedy and Johnson, with the bipartisan Slipp~rt of the U.S. Congress. venture not only the hope but solid confidence d" -L this pursuit of international economic and financial : ~)(,i)eration \>.,7i1l be continued by theil!' successors because ~ t .t ; presents the deepest aspirations of the American people for ~iving with their neighbors on this planetc I I have the same confidence in the future policies the other member countries of the Bank and the Fund. are born of the same aspirations. cf tCi As President Johnson said yesterday: bi::: wise". 000 They "Let us not fail TREASURY DEPARTMENT /0 WASHINGTON, D.C. October 2, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE R;~LR4.SE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this publJc notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to thf! aggregate amount of ~,2,700,000,000, or thel~eabouts, for ca,3h and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing Octobe:' 10, 1968, in the amount of $2,602,052,000, as fvlJ.oWf!~ 91-day bills (to natuL'lty d.ate) to be issued in the amount of $1,600,000,000, or thereabouts, additional amount of bills d~ted July 11, 1968, mature January 9, 1969, originally issued in the $1,102,029,000, the additional and original bills interchangeable. October 10, 1968, representing an and to amount of to be freely 182-day bills, for $ 1,110,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated October 10, 1968, and to mature April 10, 1969. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value). Tenders will be received gt Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Daylight Saving time, Monday, October 7, 1968. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury De~artment, Washi~gton. Each tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price orfe~ed must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be eupplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. Banklp.g institutions generally may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to submit tenders excppt for thetr own account. Tenders will be received without deposit ~~om incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment 01' 2 ;,ercent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an ~ncorporated bank or trust company. F-1367 - 2 - Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to tnese reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on October 10, 1968, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing October 10, 1968. Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are pxcluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owne.~ of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department' Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON. D.C. Oc tober 4, 1968 FOR IMHEDIATE RELEASE UNITED ST;;.TES- UNITED KINGDOM INCOME TAX TkEATY NOT APPLICABLE TO CAYMEN ISLANDS Effective January 1, 1969, the income tax treaty between the United States and the United Kingdom that was extended to Jamaica (including the Cayman Islands) in 1959 will no longer apply to the Cay~an Islands, the Treasury Department announced today. The termination does not affect any other aspect of the tax convention between the U.S. and U.K. TIle group of three Cayman Islands are about 200 miles northwest of Jamaica. Termination of the tax convention has been achieved In accordance with procedure provided for in the convention. Background The tax convention of April 16, 1945, between the United States and the United Kingdom, as modified by protocols signed on June 6, 1946, May 25, 1954, and August 19, 1957, was extended to a number of British overseas territories, including Jamaica, as of January 1, 1959. The United States considered that the extension of the treaty to Jamaica also made it applicable to the Cayman Islands w!lich were then under the same administrative organization as Jamaica. Jamaica attained its independence on August 6, 1962, and assumed all the obligations and responsibilities that had previously been in force under the U.S.-U.K. income tax treat yo The Cayman Islands, however, remained a dependent territory under British jurisdiction. F-i368 - 2 - Feom time to time the Teeasury Depaetment has received inquiries as to whether the U.S.-U.K. tax treaty, as extended to Jamaica, continued to apply in the case of the Cayman Islands. The British Government's view is that the tax convention never applied to the Cayman Islands, even though the islands were administered together with Jamaica. The United States considers the matter to be largely academic, since the Cayman Islands do not impose an income tax, and therefore such key provisions of the treaty as the eeduced U.S. withholding tax on dividends would in any case not be applicable. Nevertheless, to eliminate any further questions concerning the application of the convention in the future, the United States, on June 30, 1968, gave notice to the British Government terminating its application to the Cayman Islands after December 31, 1968. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON. D.C. FOR RELEASE 6:30 P.M., Monday, october 7, 1968. RESULTS or 'lUASURI' S WEEKLY BILL omRIIG '!be 'l!reasury Departaent announced that tbe tenders tor two series ot 'rreasury bills, ODe series to be an ad4itional. issue ot tbe bills dated July 11, 1968, and tbe other series to be dated october 10, 1968, vhich were ottered on october 2, 1968, were opened at the Federal Reserve Banks todaYT 'D!Dders vere invited. tor $1,600,000,000, or tbereabouts, of 91-4&7 bills aDd tor ,1,100,000,000, or thereabouts, ot 182-day 'bills. b details of the tvo serie. are as tollows: RAIGE or ACCEP'.5D 91-day ~a.ury 182-day ~asury bills _turfy April 10, 1969 Apprax. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 97.:502 !/ 5. !3!37J S.386~ 97.277 97.289 5.362~ 1/ bills COOETI1!IVE B.tm: --:;:-::=.;;tur:;::;:..;;i;;;;;lngIiil..",;;J;::;:au::::;:ua~ry&..-.;;;9.,-=l~96~9~ Approx. Equ1T. Annual Bate Price 5.236J High 98.678 S.M.l. 98.650 Low Average 98.666 5.277'" !I af Excepting 1 tender of $50,000 -g8~ ot the uount of 9l-c1ay bills bid for at the low price was accepted S8~ ot the amount of l82-day bills bid tor at the low price was accepted 10TAL TElDERS APPLIED JOB AID ACCEPtED BY FEDIBAL RESERVE DISTRICTS: District BostoD lew York Philadelphia Cleveland Riclllllond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis M1nDeapolis !'ansae City Dallas San Francisco mruB I. I. I AP,Elied For Acceltecl $ 24,168,000 $',128,000 1,506,998,000 1,022,998,000 26,222,000 31,222,000 55,2:39,000 35,239,000 1:3,'32,000 13,432,000 53,160,000 56,160,000 166,791,000 166,791,000 52,695,000 57,795,000 22,518,000 ZZ,518,000 :32,864:,000 :32,864.,000 Z2, 091, 000 29,117,000 128,261,000 128,602,000 $llP1iSd For ;111,000 Accepted $ 8,811,000 1,409,7:32,000 16,919,000 35,855,000 1,015,000 26,9:30,000 14:2,594,000 22,912,000 19, 785,OQO 17,524.,000 22,508,000 1:30,366,000 825,832,000 6,919,000 25,835,000 1,015,000 16,130,000 92,594,000 11,712,000 17,785,000 15,524.,000 1:3,508,000 52,:306,000 $2,104:,906,000 $1,600,4:05,000 ~ $1,865,997,000 $1,100,037,000 . ~ Includes $324:,232,000 nODca.petitive teDders accepted at the average price ot 98.666 Includes $15:3,2'3,000 noncompetitive teDders accepted at the average price ot 97.289 ~se raware on a baDk discount basis. 1l1e equi'ft1ent coupon is.ue yields are 5.42~ tor tbe 91-4&7 bills, aDd 5.5~tor the l82-day bills. '.1369 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR RELEASE ON DELIVERY October 7, 1968 REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE FREDERICK L. DEMING UNDER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY FOR MONETARY AFFAIRS AT THE FIFTIETH ANNIVERSARY CONVENTION OF THE AMERICAN GAS ASSOCIATION CIVIC CENTER, PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA MONDAY, OCTOBER 7, 1968, AT 11:00 A. M. (EDT) The United States is presently in a period of political transition, with a new Administration scheduled to take office in less than four months. Both major Parties have advisors and task forces busily engaged in appraising the current scene, domestically and internationally, delineating the problem areas of today and tomorrow, and, hopefully, outlining policies to deal with them. I propose to discuss with you two key areas -- the domestic economy and the balance of payments -- and to cite to you two major financial problem areas of the future. In a period like the present, it is useful to take a double sighting -- one into the past and one into the future. The present high ground we have reached gives us an excellent vantage point to look back over the path we have traveled. It is obviously more difficult to see the path ahead, partly because we have to look upward and partly because we have to build the path as well as travel it. The Domestic Ecollomy At the conclusion of the 1950's, most people looked forward to the glowing prospects of the next decade -- the Soaring Sixties. The major domestic economic problems of the 1950's were slow economic growth -- stop and go economic expansion with three recessions -- and either sharp or creeping inflation. Not until late in the period was the inflationary situation brought under reasonable control, and the decade ended with a recession o In real terms, economic growth averaged just over 3 per cent from 1950 to 1960, which period includes the sharp expansion of the Korean War. From early 1953 to early 1961, the real growth rate was only 2 per cent. F-1370 - 2 From early 1961 until now, the real growth rate has averaged 5 3 per cent, as the economy picked up to its full potential c This 92 month expansion has been the longest and strongest in the Nation's historyo And this has been accomplished with an average price increase no greater than in the previous eight years. 0 Of course, part of this acceleration in growth of output was due to "make-up" from the recession trough of early 1961 -putting idle resources to work. With a full employment economy and little, if any, slack, the growth rate for the next eight years will be smaller, since it will have to rest almost entirely upon growth -- both in quantity and quality -- of new capacity and increased manpower. But, even so, this should permit an annual rate of real growth in the 4 to 4-1/2 per cent rangeo Whether we achieve that range depends upon how well both the public and the private sectors manage their economic affairs c Let me illustrate what the costs of slower growth are and what we have obtained from faster growth. If the economy had grown from early 1961 through 1967 at the growth rate of the previous seven years, output in real terms would have run $120 billion below its actual level. That figure is larger than the current total of Federal expenditures on goods and services o If the economy can be kept on a growth path of 4 to 4-1/2 per cent for the next ten years, we can increase national output by more than $400 billion. That figure is more than the current total output of the Common Market or the Soviet Union. Strong U. S. growth in this decade so far has brought great material gains both at home and abroad. At home, since early 1961: 11 million new jobs have been created. Average income per person, after taxes and corrected for price changes, has risen by one-third. 13 million Americans have moved out of the poverty area. In the past two years alone, more Negroes and other nonwhites have risen above poverty than in the previous six years. - 3 - Abroad, the more vigorous American economy in the 1960's has meant a more vigorous expansion of world trade and a faster rate of growth in world output. In an increasingly interdependent world economy, the economic performance in each country is linked, in greater or lesser degree, with the economic performance of all countries. So, the Soaring Sixties have been characterized by economic growth. With proper policies, we should be able to continue on that growth path. And, if we do, the American economy, running at capacity cruising speed, can continue to be a mighty engine of economic and social progress. But there are some problems -- both old and new. The current expansion was unique in the virtual stability of costs and prices up to mid-1965. Since then, costs and prices have risen far too rapidly and have threatened to disrupt the domestic expansion and to undercut our competitive position internationally. A major factor in the recent imbalance has been the Federal budget deficit. We had near balance in the Federal budget in fiscal 1965 and a deficit of less than $4 billion in fiscal 1966. But, in fiscal 1967, the budget deficit was $8.8 billion, and, in fiscal 1968, it was $25.4 billion. These deficits, which had to be financed by borrowing, placed heavy pressure on domestic money and capital markets already under pressure from rising demands of private enterprise and State and local governments. Interest rates rose sharply in 1966, receded temporarily in early 1967, and then rose to new heights in the first part of this year. There was some fiscal restraint and sharp monetary restraint in 1966. We had a crunch in the financial markets in the late Summer of 1966. In January, 1967, the President's Budget Message called for increased taxes for fiscal 1968, and, in early August, a specific request for additional taxes went to the Congress. Action was slow, but finally a tax increaseexpenditure restraint program was enacted into law in late June, 1968. While the program was delayed, it finally passed strongly, with bipartisan support in an election year -- an act of considerable political courage. - 4 - The legislation, plus certain other fiscal actions, will reduce the Federal budget deficit by some $20 billion from fiscal 1968 to fiscal 1969. This will mean a roughly equivalent reduction in Federal financing requirements and should produce a significant lessening of pressures on the financial markets and some reduction in interest rateso It also should produce -- as it is designed to -- a needed "cooling-off" in the economy, a measured slowing in the pace of domestic expansion and a reduction in cost-price pressures. Some observers profess to see dangers of fiscal "overkill" in the program of fiscal restraint. While these dangers should not be dismissed out-of-hand, they are unlikely to eventuateo The move to fiscal restraint has restored a much better balance of effort between fiscal and monetary policy. Adaptation of the fiscal-monetary mix to changing circumstances can be done. A major piece of unfinished business in the economic area is an effective program for cost-price stability. The association of low levels of unemployment with price inflation is not a problem peculiar to the United States. All major countries have sought to devise some means to insure a workable pattern of wage-price stability. None of these efforts can, as yet, be regarded as completely successful. Some have worked very well -- such as our own wage-price guideposts -- until subjected to excessive demand pressures. But in no case has a completely successful approach been devised. Formerly, it had been hoped that effective use of monetary and fiscal policy might be sufficient to achieve full employment without inflation. But both our own experience and that of every Western nation suggest that monetary and fiscal policy, alone, are not enough. A Cabinet Committee on Price Stability, appointed by President Johnson, has been heavily engaged in a study of how to effect a return to a workable pattern of wageprice stability. With fiscal restraints in place, the economic environment next year should permit substantial progress toward wage-price stability. The efforts of an incoming Administration in this area will deserve full support. Another set of problems -- not new, but newly recognized -is in the social area. Indeed, the contrast between affluence and poverty, between promise and reality, has been sharpened by the demonstration that the economy can produce relative abundance. A rising tide of expectations has threatened at times to outpace even the vast productive achievements of later years. - 5 - I shall speak later of specific financial problems in this area. Here, I merely want to point out again that the American economy, running at full cruising speed, has great capacity to produce social as well as economic progress. It will be the task of the new Administration to insure continued capacity operation. The Balance of Payments I have spoken elsewhere, and in some detail, about the history and anatomy of the United States balance of payments. Here, it is necessary only to give a brief backward glance. In any real sense, the United States did not have a balance of payments problem until the late 1950's. We did have statistical deficits in eleven of seventeen years between 1941 and 1958, but the cumulative defiCit, all the liquidity baSiS, was less than $10 billion, or not quite $600 million per year. We actually gained gold reserves in that period. The entire deficit, and more, was financed by increased dollar holdings of foreigners. The dollar was not only as good as gold; it was better, because the dollar holder earned interest. The basic reaso~for our balance of payments strength were our overwhelmingly strong economy, relative to a world just recovering from the ravages of global war, and our equally overwhelming strength in our international reserves. We had a large surplus on trade and services and a modest surplus on capital account, if we consider the income on foreign investment as well as the outflow. We spent heavily on foreign aid both grant and loan -- and we carried almost all of the burden of Free World defense. In other words, we acted the part of a great, a strong, and a responsible nation. But, after 1957, there was a changed situation. The rest of the world had grown stronger and more competitive -- particularly the industrial countries of Western Europe and Japan. Our surplus on trade and services shrank. We managed to cut back some on Government and military expenditures abroad, but we continued to carry a disproportionate burden of Free World defense. And capital flowed out in increasing volume o Even with rising returns on our foreign investment, we went from surplus to deficit on capital account -- a deficit which totalled $2 5 billion in 1964, the worst year. 0 - 6 - In just three years, 1958-1960, we had a balance of payments deficit of more than $11 billion -- more than the total for the previous 17 years. From 1961 through 1964, the deficit was cut back, mainly by reduced expenditures abroad for military and Government account and by a better trade surplus, as our costs and prices were held steady. The average deficit for 1958-60 was $3.7 billion; for 1961-64, it was $205 billion. The balance of payments programs of 1965 and 1966 led to improvement in the capital account, and the deficits were cut again -- to an average of $1.3 billion. Then, in 1967, a whole series of events -- most particularly the uncertainties in the international exchanges, a rise in capital outflows and in the foreign exchange costs of Vietnam, and some deterioration in our trade and service account -- brought the deficit back to $3.6 billion. The President's January 1, 1968, program was deSigned to bring us back into balance of payments equilibrium, to restore confidence in the dollar, and to strengthen the international monetary system. The program was in two primary parts. First, and of key importance, was the President's call for tax increase and expenditure control, wage and price restraint, and the avoidance of crippling strikes that would inhibit exports and increase imports. Second was a series of five programs: two designed to lessen net capital outflow for direct investment, portfoliO investment, and foreign loans; one aimed at further net reduction in our expenditures abroad on Government and military account; one aimed at export expansion; and one aimed at reduction in our tourist expenditures abroad. All parts of the program were and are necessary, We, and the rest of the world, have learned that proper fiscal and monetary poliCies are a necessary -- vital, if you will -but not sufficient condition for balance of payments equilibrium. A lot of capital outflow, military expenditures, and tourist expenditures are not responsive to fiscal and monetary policies. Here it is important to recognize three facts. First, we should not weaken our security efforts in any substantive or real sense, but we should work toward full implementation of the prinCiple that the foreign exchange costs of the common defense should be neutralized -- there should be no windfall gains or losses. We have done a lot in this field, but we need to do more -- our net costs are still far too high. - 7 Second, the program on direct investment has not aimed at reducing gross investment abroad but at reduction in the financing flows from the United States. The volume of our direct investment has continued to increase substantially, but more of it is being financed by borrowing abroad. The goose that lays the golden eggs is very much alive and the eggs have gotten bigger. Third, our net deficit on tourist account was about $2 billion last year. The long-run solution is to increase tourism by foreigners in the United states. But it is important to cut the net drain now. Our payments position has shown sharp improvement so far in 1968. On a reasonally adjusted liquidity basis, the last quarter 1967 deficit was $1.7 billion. In the first quarter of 1968, it dropped to $660 million and, in the second quarter, to $170 million. Preliminary indications for the third quarter are encouraging. Thus, the program -- to the extent it has been carried out -- is working well. I have already noted that the fiscal program'was not put into force until mid-year. It had an immediate effect on confidence, and it should have a favorable effect on the trade balance, as it works to cool off the economy. With an overheated economy in the first half of this year and with strikes, or anticipated strikes, in key areas on the docks, in copper and in steel -- our imports rose sharply, and our trade surplus was virtually destroyed. It should improve in future months, as a better balanced economy reduces the excessively swollen volume of our imports. But we need to improve exports as well. That means we must hold and improve our international competitive position. The gains we have registered so far this year have come mainly in the capital accounts. We have reduced the outflow from bank lending and on direct investment account -- the latter, as noted, by borrowing abroad. We have benefitted solidly by the heavy inflow of foreign capital into American equities -- reflecting confidence in the U. S. economy and in the dollar. And we have had considerable success in reducing the net foreign exchange costs of Government and military spending abroad. - 8 - But it is both premature and immature to talk of dismantling any elements of the balance of payments program. We need large and sustained improvement in our trade surplus; we need effective action to contain the travel deficit; and we need fuller cooperation to neutralize the foreign exchange costs of our military and Government expenditures abroad. It would be the height of irresponsibility to relax any part of our program now. The strength of the dollar internationally, and the structure of the international monetary system, require that we reach sustainable and reasonable balance in our international accounts. Gold Following the devaluation of sterling in November, 1967, the gold markets came under heavy speculative pressure. Of the total U. S. gold outflow last year of $102 billion, more than $1 billion came in the fourth quarter. In the first quarter of 1968, the outflow increased to $1.4 billion. In March, the United States and her Gold Pool partners took action to arrest the drain on monetary gold stocks and the Washington Communique of March 17 effectively separated the private gold market from the monetary gold circuit. On September 24, 1968, Secretary Fowler, in a major speech, restated the United States' position on the international monetary system and the role of gold in the system. He noted that the international monetary system rests on four pillars: " A strong and well-balanced U. S. economy with a strong dollar •••• A fixed $35 per ounce official price of gold and a dollar convertible into gold at that price by monetary authorities. of other currencies into dollars at stated rates of exchange. Conve~tibility Adequate international reserves and credit facilities to support the system." - 9 The Gold Pool countries recognized these pOints in their Washington Communique when they stated that "as the existing stock of monetary gold is sufficient in view of the prospective establishment of the facility for Special Drawing Rights, they no longer feel it necessary to buy gold from the market." Two weeks later at Stockholm, the Ministers and Governors of the Group of Ten countries "reaffirmed their determination to cooperate in the maintenance of exchange stability and orderly exchange arrangements in the world 1'Jased on the present official price of gold." In his September 24 speech, Secretary Fowler said: liThe internati.onal monetary system has a vital stake in maintaining the value of gold in existing monetary reserves at $35 an ounce -- neither less nor more • It is clearly within the capabilities of the system to provide such an assurance, and the United States believes it is important to the stability of the system that this be done. But, for gold producing countries, that assurance must run only to their monetary reserves and only after they have disposed of their newly mined gold, and any price stability assurance that is provided should not apply to newly mined gold or that held in private hands. • 00 "In giving assurance on existing monetary reserves, we will not accede to any proposal that puts a floor under the private market, thereby assuring the speculators who have built up their hoards of gold that they may unload it at no less than the monetary price. " "Given the unique position of gold as both a commodity and a monetary instrument, special problems could still arise in the two-tier system. It should be possible to devise solutions for such problems -- provided such solutions are designed to strengthen and do not tJ reaten to weaken the two-tier system for gold and the rronetary system as a whole." The two-tier gold system has worked well since its birth last March o In large part, that has been due to the widespread support for the system among the countries of the Free World, as well as those countries which issued the Washington and Stockholm statements. In part, it has been due to the strengthened confidence in the U. S. economy and the dollar. - 10 The signatories of the Washington and Stockholm Communiques recognize the point made by Secretary Fowler that there may be some special problems that could still arise in the two-tier system for gold producing countries, and particularly for South Africa, which depends heavily on gold as an export product. Last Friday, in Waslnngton, they issued the following statement: "The Central Bank Governors of Belgium, Canada, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kim~dom, and the United States met during the meetj,ngs of the Bank and Fundo Representatives of the International Monetary Fund and the Bank for International Settlements also attended the meeting. "The Governors unanimously agreed on a common position based on the Washington declaration of March 17, 1968, regarding the disposal of newly mined gold. It has, however, not proved possible to reach agreement with South Africa at tl1is meeting." The statement, of course, speaks for itself. The central point is the unanimous agreement on a common position based on the Washington declaration. These important countries are united and, I am sure, are supported by the vast majority of countries belonging to the IMF. Financial Problems of the Future During the next ten years, two major problem areas of finance will challenge the best efforts of the United States and one, perhaps both of them, will require concentrated attention by other advanced countries of the world. For the United States, the first problem -- bigger by far than the second in terms of financial requirements -- is to find ways to provide capital finance for public purposes designed to strengthen and improve what might be called social welfare infrastructure. By this term, I mean urban redavelopment, the renovation of the ghettos, the proviSion of public housing, the enlargement of public education and health facilities, the restructuring of transportation facilities, the provision of clean water and air. In one sense, the problem is not a new one; in a more realistic sense, it is a brand new one by virtue of its recognition and by virtue of the very size of its financial requirements. Let me give you some indication of its size. - 11 Net State and local debt in 1947 was less than $15 billion. Last year, it was $113 billion -- almost $100 billion larger than 20 years earlier. Mere continuance of that trend would make it $240 billion ten years from now. Add in the new programs noted above, and it is not difficult to visualize another $150 billion requirement. It is clear that requirements of this order of magnitude will demand the most efficient, imaginative, and sound means of mobilizing capital that we can devise. I have spoken elsewhere of one approach to this problem a National Urban Development Bank. Other suggestions have been made -- for a Municipal Bond Guarantee Corporation; for a Community Development Bank; for a Domestic Development Bank. Each is aimed at the basic objective of providing an efficient means of mobilizing the Nation's capital resources. We shall need to come to a consensus on a particular approach. That approach should embody two basic principles: Development of one efficient marketing instrument with broad investment appeal. Coordination of issues and control over programs requiring finance. A development institution would issue its own securities, backed by Federal guarantee, and relend the proceeds to program agencies -- either Federal lending agencies or directly to State and local agencies, depending on Congressional decisions as to individual program structure and control. Aside from the Federal guarantee, which would help marketing and minimize interest costs, a Federal Government contribution, to the extent necessary and desirable, could come from interest rate subsidies clearly identified -- provided by direct Congressional appropriations. The second problem, which will affect both the United States and other advanced countries, is to find ways to provide increased developmental capital finance for the less-developed countries of the world -- both for infrastructure and for expansion of the agricultural and industrial base o The financial requirements for the United States, or for any other country, are significantly less than those for domestic social welfare infrastructure, but there are other problems -- perhaps most notably the balance of payments problem. - 12 - must be devised to f1 t these financing needs into halance of payments adjustment process so that, when a c~~I_~r' is in surplus, it can export more capital to developlng countries and, when in deficit, it can export lesso At the same time, it is desirable to increase the total amount of capital eAport and aS6ure that volume for a period of time o Metlt~,ds ttiP The Uni ted States p;.'oposed an 8.pproach of this type in the current reple~ishment of funds ~or the International D~V810nment Association. The Organization for Economic C08~~~~~lO~ arld Development, composed of some twenty countries, suggested, in a 196h report on the adjustment process g that 3u:cplus countries or-en their capital markets more freely to borrowings by intern~tional financial institutions, such as the World Bank or the regional development banks. Both of these approaches need further development and implementation through international agreement o Both will lead to more multilateralization of development finance, which should be more efficient, both in terms of raising the capital and in ~8rrns of channeling it where it can do the most good. Finally, I shouJ.d note two points. Both of these financial problems -- domestic social welfare infrastructure and development finance -~" can be resolved only wi thin a framework of a strongly expanding domestlc and world economy. That is an absolute requi~ement to generate the savings and the tax revenues for the needed finance~ And growing economies, themseJve3~ need the thrust of dynamic new investment, which, itself, requires high savingso --000-- m'aTEO STATES SAVmGS BONOS ISSUED AND RED:::~MED THROUGH September 30, 1968 (Dollar amounts in millions - rounded and will not necessarily odd to otals) DESCRIPTION AMOUNT ISSUED.v1 !.J AMOUNT OUTSTANDING Y A-1935 thru D-1941 F and G-UJ-l1 thru 1952 J and K-1952 thru1955 - 5,003 ?9,521 3,156 4,996 '29,477 3,131 7 44 25 .14 .15 .79 1,875 8,279 13,323 15,5),0 12,206 5,531 5,2L.4 5,419 5,3L.5 4,672 L.,0L.3 L.,237 4,836 4,928 5,133 4,955 L.,662 4,538 4,252 4,254 4,292 4,135 4,606 4,491 4,392 4,722 4,673 2,285 620 1,650 7,299 11,778 13,645 10,540 1!,590 )!,193 4,232 4,096 3,528 3,054 3,172 3,530 3,519 3,599 3,423 3,14L. 2,905 2,651 2,533 2,396 2,262 2,329 2,271 2,150 2,085 1,768 421 7L.7 225 979 1,545 1,895 1,667 941 1,051 1,187 1,2L.9 1,14L. 989 1,065 1,306 1,409 1,534 1,532 1,518 1,63L. 12.00 1,7';1. 1,896 1,873 2,277 2,220 2,242 2,637 2,905 1,864 - 128 157,490 113,510 43,979 27.92 3,168 1,390 2,316 5,393 L2.?2 79.51 12,268 4,558 7,710 62.85 169,757 118,068 51,689 30.L.5 597 497 100 37,680 170,355 208,03L 37,603 118,565 156,169 76 51,789 51,R65 UNMATURED Series E!../: 1941 1942 1943 19H 19-15 1946 1947 19-18 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 195-1 1955 1956 1957 1953 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 19GB Unclassified Total Series Series % OUTSTANDING OF AMOUNT ISSUED I YA TURED Series Serif's Series AMOUNT REDEEMED H H E (1952 thru MaY,1959).Y (June, 1959 thru 1968) Total Series H Total Series E and Series J and K H (1956 thru 1957) {Total All Series Total unmatured matured Grand Total 5,485 6,783 I 11.83 11.60 12.19 13.66 17.01 20.oL 21.90 23.37 2L..49 2L..46 25.14 27.01 28.59 29.89 30.92 32.56 36.01 37.68 40.46 44.18 45.30 49.44 49.43 51.05 55.8L 6?17 81.58 1,60~ - !/ 1C1~des accrued dis count. 'urrent redemption value. t option of owner bonds may be held and will earn interest for additional periods after original maturity dates. lcludes matured bonds which have not been presented for redemption. Form PO 3812 - TREASURY DEPARTMENT - Bureau of the Public Debt 16.75 .20 )O.bO 24.93 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON, D.C. October 9, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE 'l'FillASURY MARKET TRANSAC'l'lONS IN SEPTEMBER During September 1968, market transactions in direct and guaranteed securities of the Government investment accounts resulted in net purchases by the Treasury Department of $45,132,950.00. 000 F-1371 TREASURY DEPARTMENT , WASHINGTON. D.C. Oc tober 9, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of ~2,700,OOO,000, or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for T~easury bills maturing October 17,1968, in the amount of $ 2,703,718,000, as follOWS: 91-day bills (to maturity date) to be issued in the amount of $1,600,000,000, or thereabouts, additional amount of bills dated July 18,1968, mature January 16,1969, originally issued in the $ 1,100,618,000,the additional and original bills interchangeable. October 17,1968, representing an and to amount of to be freely 182-day bills, for $1,100,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated October 17,1968, and to mature April 17, 1969. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at mRturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the clOSing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Daylight Saving time, Monday, October 14, 1968. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury De~artment, Washington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three deCimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. F-1372 - 2 Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on October 17,1968, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing October 17, 1968. Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return orily the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department' Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR RELEASE UPON DELIVERY FRIDAY, October III 1968 REMARKS OF THE HONORABLE JOSEPH W. BARR THE UNDER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AT THE 38TH ANNUAL BANK MANAGEMENT CONFERENCE OF THE NEW ENGLAND COUNCIL TO BE HELD AT THE STATLER HILTON HOTEL IN BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS FRIDAY, OCTOBER 11, 1968, at 1:00 P.M. HOH FOREIGN INVESTORS AND BANKERS LOOK AT THE UNITED STATES In July of this year I read a story in the Wall Street Journal which described a European-born New York couple who had suddenly become terribly concerned about economic conditions in the United States. This couple had managed to save $10,000, and they decided that the safest thing to do was to take their money out of their bank account in the United States and invest it in Europe. At that particular time in July we had only fragmentary statistical data on the second quarter balance of payments, but I had enough to tell me that this couple was in the classical position of the odd-lot trader were swimming against the stream. While they were moving their funds out of the United States, there was a F-1373 they -2tremendous inflow allover the world into our security markets, into our real estate, and into our banks. In other words, the view of the United States that was held by this New York couple was not shared by the rest of the world. It was not until August that we had complete data on the balance of payments for the first half of 1968, and then the evidence was quite clear. As you all know, for the second quarter of 1968 our trade surplus was minute, but it was offset by a huge flood of capital that poured into this country. Although I shall not indulge in the luxury of predicting, I am led to believe that this flow of capital probably is continuing through the third quarter of the year. It is never easy to put one's finger on the precise reasons why capital moves from country to country. How- ever, last week we had a magnificent opportunity to conduct our own private opinion poll among the distinguished men and women who were delegates or guests at the latest of the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, held in Washington. There were 111 nations represented, and Secretary Fowler, -3Under Secretary Deming, Assistant Secretary Petty or I talked to representatives of all or nearly all of them at one time or another. The conversations at these meetings among officials of the Central Banks and Finance Ministries of various nations always reminds me of the song, "How Are Things in Glocca Morra?" If you would substitute the exotic names of Kabul, Kuala Lumpur, Abidjan, and Caracas for the equally exotic words Glocca Morra, then the opening words of the conversation would follow precisely the lines of the song. We, being Americans, and sharing the somewhat masochistic traits of all Americans, were never content to leave it at this point. We would inevitably ask, "What do you think about the United States?" "How do you account for this enormous inflow of capital that we have been receiving during the past six months?" The answers we received, of course, varied from country to country, but they followed a remarkably similar pattern. The responses that I am going to detail for you today were gleaned from many sources, but I will ascribe them to a person whom I will call "Old Composite." -4"Old Composite" represents the views of Swiss bankers, German manufacturers, Dutch shippers, Malaysian rubber planters, Argentine cattle barons, and the Middle East oil sheiks, to name just a few. specific question When queried on the of why we were having this huge inflow of capital into the United States, "Old Composite's" answers would tend to be along these lines: First of all, "Old Composite" would argue that the United States was one of the few really secure places in the world and he means physical security. The disturbances in France, and the invasion of Czechoslovakia, sent a pronounced tremor through the world investment community. Investors allover the world came to the sudden conclusion that the world was not quite as safe as they had thought. When they came to this conclusion, they also decided to increase the percentage of portfolio investments which they held in America. Although there have been occasions when I have become restless at the necessity for getting up $1.6 billion per week for the Department of Defense, I-must admit that this investment seems to have paid off handsomely in recent -5months. But I must also state, with some sadness, that these decisions reflected not only confidence in the United States but a deep and serious concern over the collective security arrangements for Europe and the rest of the world. Second, "Old Composite" mentions a fact that should be obvious to most of us, but which we often tend to overlook -- the fact that on the continent of North America, the United States, Canada and Mexico seem to live in peace and understanding with each other. This may come as a bit of a shock to those of us who engage in the sometimes vigorous discussions among these three nations as we work to keep an economy moving on this continent despite the political boundaries bisecting the economy on the north and on the south. Whatever the reaction, I can tell you that we in the Treasury take great satisfaction in this particular response. We have labored mightily with our colleagues in Canada and in Mexico to de-fuse the economic issues which could so easily divide us. Thirdly, "Old Composite" would mention the fact that our democratic institutions seem viable and strong. Let -6- me tell you to what, precisely, he refers. He refers to the fact that we had the sheer courage to raise our taxes in an election year and the raw honesty to pass a fair housing law which guarantees that a black man's money is as good as a white man's money when it comes to buying one of the simple needs of life -- a home. The Finance Minister of one of the most disciplined countries that I know stated that he was amazed that we could raise taxes in an election year. He stated that it would not be easy to duplicate this feat in his own country. Fourthly, "Old Composite" refers to the incredible strength of the American economy. In that connection, "Old Composite" was almost absolutely representative. Every Finance Minister talks about the strength of the United States economy in envious terms, and his envy is often related to the enormous educational lead that the United States has over every country in the world. To those of us in the financial world who are inclined to think in terms of fiscal discipline, rational monetary policies, stable price levels, and orderly security markets, this may seem surprising. However, if there is one refrain that -7ran through nearly all conversations, it was to the effect that the United States possesses an enormous and educated labor force beyond comparison with any in the world. For his fifth item, "Old Composite" says that only in the United States of America could he find a set of markets with enough breadth and depth to enable him to take a position, or to liquidate a position, without an undue effect on the price level. And lastly, "Old Composite," speaking more in the role of a European investment banker than in any other character, acknowledges that the hard work done by the then Under Secretary Fowler and Ambassador Robert McKinney, who worked on the Foreign Investors Tax Act, and the successful passage of this legislation,~ impact on his investment decisions. had a great The study and this legislation cleared away much of the tax debris that was impeding the free flow of investment funds into this nation. And he refers in this context to the enormous investment in time and salesmanship that we have made in bringing this legislation to the attention of the investment -8- counselors, the bankers, the finance ministers, and central bankers of the developed world. After we had listened to this series of comments on why foreign capital waS flowing into the United States, we inevitably raised some additional questions. One of the first questions that we usually asked was whether or not these distinguished gentlemen were disturbed by the unrest that waS all too apparent in our universities. If we expected any comfort or any consolation, we were sorely disappointed. Many of the distinguished finance ministers who were conversing with us found this to be a hilarious question. Quite a few of these gentlemen, especially those from Latin America and Asia, seem to have been student leaders in their own college days. When we asked about student unrest, they would reply that in their opinion it was high time that the American students learn that there was more to life than football, panty-raids and goldfish swallowing. For those of you in this audience who are trustees of academic institutions, I can only convey the impression of these distin,guished financiers that student -9unrest is merely a phenomenon which the North American continent should have been expecting to appear for some time past. When we asked whether they were not concerned about the racial disturbances that had perplexed our cities, these distinguished gentlemen inevitably became much more serious. Racial tensions are not unique to the United States. As a matter of fact, they persist in many parts of the world. But the balanced observers among those with whom we talked seemed to hold the opinion that we are attacking the problem of race in a rational and open manner not sweeping the issue under the rug. We are making efforts, they say, to bring into the productive stream of our economy those people who are disadvantaged by race, education or by background. They feel that this process must inevitably be beset by friction, social difficulties and sometimes violence. But they go on to point out that friction, misunderstanding and even occasional outbursts of violence, are vastly preferable in an open society to the repressions of a closed society which inevitably lead to an explosion. -10- All of these gentlemen could see continued friction in our society. None of them could see an explosion. This, in short, is my attempt to summarize for you what our foreign colleagues think about the United States. / Their opinion of us is possibly much higher than our own opinion of our achievements and our position in the world today. Let me recount a conversation with one extremely knowledgeable central banker. He was aware, because I had informed him, that Secretary Fowler has named me the Treasury officer responsible for coordinating the machinery for the orderly transition of our Department to a new Administration in January. He remarked to me that the new Administration is going to receive a remarkably strong and going financial system. These were the items that he ticked off -- and he is absolutely correct. He said, number one, you are going to turn over a Federal budget that is shifting towards balance -- from a huge deficit of $25.4 billion. -- You are going to turn over a nation whose balance of payments accounts are at least manageable -- although your trade account is dreadful. -11- -- You are going to turn over a Treasury that is dealing with money markets that are relatively stable and orderly. You are going to turn over a dynamic, growing economy with the best educated labor force in the world. Your swap lines (our lines of credit to other nations) are almost clear. -- Your gold cover has been removed and your gold reserves are clear. The snR will probably be approved by the IMF and will be awaiting activation. You will have only one demerit against you at the moment -- and that is your recent record on prices and wages -- but even here your record is still one of the best in the industrial free world. Taken all in all, this gentleman concluded, you are turning over a Treasury with enormous assets of reserves and credits, an economy with great attraction to the investment capital of the free world, and a democratic system that enjoys the respect of the world for its lasting strength and resourcefulness. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT , October 10,1968 RELEASE ON RECEIPT TREASURY SECRETARY FOWLER NAMES A. CLEWIS HOWELL AS SAVINGS BONDS CO-CHAIRMAN FOR STATE OF FLORIDA A. Clewis Howell, President, Marine Bank and Trust Company, Tampa, Florida, has been appointed by Secretary of the Treasury Henry H. Fowler as volunteer State Co-Chairman for the Savings Bonds Program in Florida, effective immediately. Mr. Howell -- along with V. H. Northcutt, Honorary Chairman of the Board, The Broadway National Bank of Tampa, who has served as State Chairman since October 1946 -- will head a committee of state business, financial, labor and governmental leaders. The committee -- working with the Savings Bonds Division -- will assist in promoting the sale of Savings Bonds and Freedom Shares throughout the state. Mr. Howell was born in Ithaca, New York, on January 7, 1924. He moved to Florida in 1927, attended local schools and the Asheville Preparatory School. He entered the University of Florida in 1942, was called into the Navy the following year and was discharged as an ensign in 1946. He received a B. S. Degree in Business Administration from the University of Florida in 1949. He has been with the Marine Bank and Trust Company since 1949, serving as Assistant Secretary, Assistant Vice President, and Executive Vice President. In June 1960, he succeeded his father, the late George B. Howell, as President. Mr. Howell has been serving as Savings Bonds Chairman for Hillsborough County. He is a director of the Florida State Fair Association, Florida State Chamber of Commerce, the Marine Bank and Trust Company, Reeves Fences, Inc., Founders Life Assurance Company, and - 2 - Commercial Bank of Tampa. He is Chairman and President of Midway Bank at Tampa, and Secretary of Myrtle Hill Memorial Park, Inc. He is also a member of the Executive Council of the American Bankers Association. Mr. Howell has served as President and Director of the Tampa Chapter of the American Red Cross, President of the Exchange Club, Commodore of the Tampa Yacht and Country Club, President of the Tampa Clearing House Association, President of the Greater Tampa Chamber of Commerce, and Director of the United Fund and Merchants Association. Mr. Howell is married to the former Wynnette Bowden White of St. Petersburg. They have three daughters -- Wynnette, Hilary and Heidi. 000 TREASURY DEPART~J1ENT ~~~~-:3~jr..~v-r..\.l~~_·... '·'~"'~IT..\l._~Z~~~~t.!{!_d".l.~~...~ ---... ~... WASHINGTON, D.C. FOR n,E,lEDgTE REIEAS.-! October 10, 1968 SALE OF JUNE TAX ANTICIPATION BILLS The Trea.sury Department anno"t1-llced today the forthcoming auction of $3 billion of tax anticipation bills maturing in June 1969. The bills will be auctioned on Thursday, October 17, for paYTclcnt on Thursday, October 24. Commercial banks may make payment of their own ~md their cnstomers' accepted tenders by credit to' Tree,sury ta.x and lean acceunts. The bills ma.ture on J'une 23, 1969, but ma,y be used at fact:! value in payment of Federal income taxes due on June 15, 1969. F-1374 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON. D.C. FOR Jl.IHEDIATE RELEASE October 10, 1968 TREASURY OFFERS $3 BILLION IN· JUNE TP:l. BILLS The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invitee tenders for $3,000,000,000, or thereabouts, of 242-day Treasury bills, to be issued on a discount basis under competitive ~Jd noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided. The bills of this series will be dated October 24, 1968, and 'Till mature June 23, 1969. They will be accepted at face value in payment of income taxes due on June 15, 1969, and to the extent they are not presented for this purpose the face amount of these bills ,viII be payable "lithout interest at maturity. Taxpayers desiring to apply these blils in payment of JUne 15, 1969i income taxes may submit the bills to a Federal Reserve Bank or Branch or to the Office of the Treasurer of the United States, Washington, not more than fifteen days before that date. In the case of bills submitted in payment of income taxes of a corporation they shall be accompanied by a duly completed Form 503 and the office receiving these items vlill effect the deposit on June 15, 1969. In the case of bills submitted in payment of income taxes of all other taxpayers, the office receiving the bills will issue receipts therefor, the original of which the taxpayer shall submit on or before June 15, 1969, to the District Director of Internal Revenue for the District in which such taxes are payable. The bills will be issued in bearer form only, and in denonlinations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (mattITity value). Tenders '\-1ill be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Daylight Saving tirr.e, October 17, 1968. Tenders will not be received at the Tree.st'!.:ry Department, Hashingt-on. Each tender must be for an ~ven multiple of $1,000, and in the case of conpetitive tenders the price offererl mnst be expresGed on the basic of 100, ",ith not more than three decimals, e. G., 99.925. }'ractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forr:1s ano. forwarded in the special envelopes . ."hich vlill be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions Hill not be permitted to submit tenders except for their m/I1 account. Tenders will be received without deposit fro!1l incorporated banks e. nd trust compe.nies and from responsible and recosnized dealers in investment securities. TendE!rs from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the fa.ce amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated b811k or trust company. All bidders are required to agree not to purchase or to sell, or to make any agreements with respect to the purchase or sale or other disposition of any bills of this issue at a specific ro.te or price, tt.'1til after one-thirty p .r,1" E3.8t;.ern DayliGht Saving tlme, October 17, 1968. F-1375 - 2. - Irnmediately after the closing hour, tenders v1ill be opened at the Federal Reserve Bru1ks and Branches, follm;ing which public announcement v1ill be made by the Treasur""J Department of the amount and price range of accept eo_ bids. Those submitting tenders 1'7ill be ad':ised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in "YThole or in part, w-:.c1 his action in any such respect sha.ll be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for $400,000 or less vlithout stated price from anyone bidder ,-Jill be accepted in full at the averaee price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids. Payment of accepted tenders at the prices offered must be made or completed at the Federal Heserve Bank in cash or other immediately available flmds 'on October 24, 1968, provided, hOl'lever, any qualified depositary i-1ill b~ permitted to r:ake payment by credit in its Treasury tax and loan account for Treasury bills allotted to it for itself 8~d its customers up to any amount for ,\>lhich it shall be qualified in excess of existing deposits "t'lhen so notified by the Federal Reserve Bank of its District. The income derived from Treasury bills, '\>lhether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not h~we any exemption, as such, snd loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills arc subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or state, but al'e exempt from all taxation now or hereafter lliposed on the prinCipal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United states, or by any local taxing au.tho:;:oity. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at "'hlch Treasury bills are originaJJ.y sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under SectioTlS 154 (b) encl 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discolmt at i'lhich bills issued hereunder e.re sold is not considereo. to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otheIl'lise disposed of, and. such bills are excluded fron consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the mmer of Treasury bills (other thc.n life ins 1).rance companies) issued hereu..'1der need include in his income tax return only the difference betvleen the ])rice paid 1'01' such bills) whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity durine the taxable year for 1'1hich the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. t Treasury Department Circula:c lIo. 418 (current revision) Dnd this not.ice, prescribe th~ tern!s of the Treasul'Y bills and eovern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circula.:c may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank. or Branch. TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON, D.C. October 11, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY HONORS EMPLOYEES ANNUAL AWARDS CEREMONY In its Fifth Annual Awards Ceremony, the Treasury Department today honored 132 employees for outstanding service and significant operational contributions. In the fiscal year ended last June 30, Treasury employees received more than $620,000 in awards for adopted suggestions for improved Treasury operations and other outstanding service. Estimated first year benefits to the Treasury, in the form of cost reductions and increased efficiency, have averaged $3.3 million annually over the past four years. Among those recognized at the awards ceremony, held at the Departmental Auditorium, Washington, D.C., were: Two persons who received the Alexander Hamilton Award for demonstrating outstanding leadership while working closely with the Secretary. 60 persons, who during the year had received either of the Treasury's two top awards, for Exceptional Service or for Meritorious Service. 31 employees who, through outstanding suggestions or service, contributed to significant monetary savings, increased efficiency, or distinct improvements in government service. 29 employees for excellence in furthering special administrative programs. Ten supervisors, for notable achievements in encouraging employee contributions to efficiency and economy. F-1376 (MORE) - 2 - In addition, the awards ceremony, honored 15 long-time career employees of whom eight have served more than 40 years, three more than 45 years, and four more than 50 years. The program also carried the names of 21 prominent citizens upon whom the Secretary had previously conferred the Department's Distinguished Service Award. The Awards were presented by the Sec~tary of the Treasury, Henry H. Fowler, who also honored six Treasury bureaus. The Bureau of the Mint was cited for outstanding participation in the performance phase of Treasury Department's Incentive Awards Program. The Bureau of Accounts was recognized for oustanding achievement in its suggestions program. The Bureau of Customs was commended for its action to improve communications and services to the public, especially at port facilities. The Inter-nal Revenue Ser-vice was singled out for leadership in cost r-eduction and management improvement resulting in fiscal year savings of more than $16 million dollars. The U.S. Secret Service was r-ecognized for- its safety record among bureaus with 1,000 or more employees. The U.S. Savings Bonds Division earned the pr-ivilege of permanently retaining the plaque for safety for its r-ecor-d among bureaus with less than 1,000 employees. Attached is a list of those r-ecognized, and their citations. EMPLOYEE SUGGESTIONS AND SERVICES Recognition by the Secretary of outstanding suggestions or exemplary services which served to effect significant monetary savings, increased efficiency, or improvements in Government operations. SAM R. BLAND (Retired), Formerly Supervisory Accountant, Bureau of Accounts For outstanding contributions in the development and improve~ ment of central financial reporting of the Government, including the recent implementation of recommendations of the President's Commission on Budget Concepts. Special Service Award-$500. BENNIE L. COOPER, Supervisory Tax Examiner, Southeast Service Center, Internal Revenue Service, Chamblee, Ga. For suggesting elimination of IRS Form 2889 furnished to the Social Security Administration, since she recognized that they were already receiving a computer printout containing the information; thereby saving many man-hours spent in preparing this form. Estimated savings-$16,OII. Suggestion Award-$655. WILLIAM H. HAGER, Administrative Clerk, Office of the Assistant Secretary for International Affairs For significant contributions to the Office's worldwide supply and property accounting operations. Superior Work Performance Award-$500. CHARLES E. HARTMAN, Jr., Assistant Foreman, Coil Processing, Postage Stamp Division, Bureau of Engraving and Printing For initiative, ingenuity and resourcefulness in making major improvements in the layout for wrapping and packaging postage stamp coils. Estimated savings-$30,754. Special Service Award$805. 5 MARTIN W. HASKELL, cisco, Calif. Jr., Special Agent, U.S. Secret Service, San Fran- For excellent performance and outstanding courage in a situation of extreme public importance, involving great personal danger. Special Service Award-$500. HARVEY L. JONES, Formerly Tool and Die Maker, U.S. Mint, Denver, Colo. For suggested improvements in coinage operations which resulted in the reduced maintenance and increased life of blanking die sets, improved quality of cut blanks and a considerable reduction in the grinding time of coinage die bodies. Estimated savings$51,706. Suggestion Award-$1,750. TONY Z. KENNEDY, Machinist, Construction and Maintenance Division, Bureau of Engraving and Printing For developing a method which substantially reduced inking time on presses used to print serial numbers on currency. Estimated savings-$43,995. Suggestion Award-$870. GERALD H. LIPKIN, National Bank Examiner, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, New York, N.Y. For outstanding competence and resourcefulness in recruiting and developing a large number of Assistant National Bank Examiners during a period of dynamic banking growth. Special Service Award-$500. BERNICE H. McALLISTER (Retired), Formerly Tax Technician, Cleveland District, Internal Revenue Service Through her diligence she uncovered fraudulently filed Federal individual income tax returns. Estimated savings-$lOO,OOO. Special Service Award-$500. RUBY K. PETERSON, Technical Assistant to the Director, Interpretative Division, Office of the Chief Counsel, Internal Revenue Service For the highly exemplary manner in which she discharged her responsibilities, thereby increasing the operational efficiency of the Division. Superior Work Performance Award-$500. 6 CHARLES E. PHILLIPS, Industrial Engineering Technician, Engineering Division, Bureau of Engraving and Printing For proposing and developing an idea which increased the production of Food Coupons by approximately 14.3 percent. Estimated savings-$UO,OOO. Special Service Award-$1,160. BRENTON G. THORNE, Assistant Regional Commissioner (Alcohol and Tobacco Tax), Western Region, Internal Revenue Service, San Francisco, Calif. For a suggested procedure to insure compliance with licensing regulations issued under the Federal Firearms Act. Estimated savings-$10,OOO. Suggestion Award-$500. JOHN J. WEISS, Representative in Trusts, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, Chicago, Ill. For outstanding technical competence, resourcefulness and ingenuity in formulating a revision of trust department examining procedures. Estimated savings-$16,025. Suggestion Award$655. JOHN M. WROTH, Criminal Investigator, Bureau of Customs, Miami, Fla. For alertness and intuition which resulted in the arrest of two persons and eventual seizure of approximately 25 pounds of heroin. Special Service Award-$750. RICHARD J. WYCHE, Machinist, Construction and Maintenance Division, Bureau of Engraving and Printing For modification to die bars on postage stamp perforating-coiling machines which tripled their usage. Estimated savings-$15,115. Suggestion Award-$630. MICHAEL J. LAPERCH, Jr., Special Investigator HENRY D. PYLA, Formerly Special Investigator Alcohol and Tobacco Tax Division, North Atlantic Region, Internal Revenue Service, New York, N.Y. For their outstanding performance on an undercover assignment relating to the operations of a dangerous extremist organization. Group Special Service Award-$800. 7 PLASSIE WILLIAMS, Spttial Investigator, Alcohol and Tobacco Tax Division, Central Region, Internal Revenue Service, Cincinnati, Ohio JAMES F. COLLINGTON, Special Investigator JOHN H. WADDOCK, Special Investigator Alcohol and Tobacco Tax Division, North Atlantic Region, Internal Revenue Service, New York, N.Y. For their outstanding performance on an undercover assignment relating to illegal traffic in firearms. Group Special Service Award-$l,OOO. JAMES LANE, Special Agent LEROY MARTIN, Special Agent ALBERT REIDER, Special Agent JOHN B. SIDDALL, Special Agent JAMES ZIEMBA, Special Agent NICHOLAS GAGLIO, Special Investigator MARTIN PASCALE, Special Investigator JAMES A. TAYLOR, Special Investigator TERRY LATORE, Shorthand Reporter JEAN SPONOSKI, Clerk-Stenographer Intelligence Division, Newark District, Mid-Atlantic Region, Internal Revenue Service For their unusual performance as a special investigative team which resulted in the indictment and successful trial of the principal operators of a large wagering combine. Group Special Service Award-$3,900. 8 AWARDS TO SUPERVISORS Recognition by the Secretary of notable achievements by supervisors in encouraging employee contributions to efficiency and economy. These supervisors were selected from Bureau nominees after consideration of such factors as the size of groups supervised, the value of contributions, and the nature of action by the supervisor. ARTHUR R. ADAMS, Assistant Regional Commissioner for Administration, Bureau of Customs, Chicago, Ill. For his significant contribution in leading his Region to the highest position in the Customs Service in suggestions. SEYMOUR BERNETT, Foreman of Plate Printers, Plate Printing Division, Bureau of Engraving and Printing For outstanding personal leadership in promoting the use of the Incentive Awards Program to reduce operating costs as manifested by the many significant contributions made by his employees. JEROME F. BRYAN, Chief, Coin Branch, Cash Division, Office of the Treasurer, U.S. For developing a keen sense of cost consciousness and maintaining high employee morale resulting in a 25-percent increase in production with no increase in personnel. LAVERGNE G. CELESTINE, Supervisor, Claims Branch, Chicago Disbursing Center, Division of Disbursement, Bureau o~ Accounts For her success in developing in employees a sense of the trUe importance of their assignments, thus achieving a high level of cooperation and efficiency. ELIZABETH C. DOACHOK, Supervisor, Card Punch and Examination Unit, Issue and Retirement Processing Section, Bureau of the Public Debt, Parkersburg, W. Va. For exceptional leadership in promoting employee morale and for the efficient utilization of manpower and machines which enabled her unit to increase productivity and process a continuing increased workload. 318-639--68----2 9 MARY N. HALLER, Administrative (Personnel) Officer, Administrative Branch, Kansas City Disbursing Center, Division of Disbursements, Bureau of Accounts For significant achievements in employee motivation through expert training and guidance and for dedicating herself to the fullest performance of her total supervisory responsibilities. DOLORES E. HILL, Supervisor, Payment Processing Section, Diversified Payments Branch, Waoh;ngton Disbursing Center, Division of Disbursement, Bureau of Accounts For significant achievements if. :rlining and encouraging employees to improve production coincident with implementation of a new check processing method. ROBERT E. LAHAYNE, Foreman, Machine Shop, Construction and Maintenance Division, Bureau of Engraving ad Printing For leadership in promoting strong employee interest and active participation in the Incentive Awards Program, resulting in his employees making substantial contributions to increased efficiency and improved work operations. OLIVE G. McDUFFIE, Supervisor, Reconcilement and Reports Section, Control Branch, Check Accounting Division, Office of the Treasurer, U.S. For achieving outstanding effectiveness in encouraging employees of her section to process a substantially greater workload with a very minimal increase in staff. HARRY A. RICHARDSON, Guard Supervisor, Security Division, Bureau of Engraving and Printing For commendable leadership and genuine interest in effectively encouraging employee participation in the Incentive Awards Program, resulting in increased efficiency and improved security. 10 SPECIAL AWARDS FOR EXCELLENCE IN FURTHERING SPECIAL ADMINISTRA· TIVE PROGRAMS Recognition by the Secretary for outstanding contributions to furtherance of a number of administrative programs "'n which the President has asked for special attention and extra effort from the Executive Branch of the Government. MICHAEL A. ALTIERI, Chief, Personnel Branch, Buffalo District, Internal Revenue Service For outstanding leadership in the Equal Employment Opportunity Program and placement and training of the disadvantaged in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area thus providing needed manpower and improving the image of the Internal Revenue Service. ELSIE M. BOYD, Examiner-Reviewer, Correspondence and Ruling Unit, Claims and Ruling Section, Division of Loans and Currency, Bureau of the Public Debt, Chicago, Ill. For her noteworthy contribution in improving communications and services to the public by her outstanding ability in the preparation of correspondence and the high caliber of her writing. HENRY W. COHEN, Inspector, Office of Inspection and Audit, U.S. Secret Service For noteworthy contribution in developing and maintaining improved communications and services to the public, involving the promotion and enhancement of the image of Federal, State and local law enforcement agencies with civic and business officials and community leaders, as well as the general public. ERMA F. CORDOVER, Personnel Officer, U.S. Savings Bonds Division For providing outstanding guidance and leadership which made possible meaningful summer assignments for disadvantaged youth in the numerous small offices of the Savings Bonds Division throughout the country. 11 EUGENE A. DABNEY, Placement Officer, Personnel Branch, Southeast Service Center, Internal Revenue Service, Chamblee, Ga. For outstanding contributions in the placement and training of the handicapped including the mentally retarded, the blind, mentally restored, deaf, amputees, and epileptics. WILLIAM H. DARLINGTON, Superintendent, Melting and Refining Division, U.S. Mint, Denver, Colo. For demonstrating outstanding leadership in furthering and developing the Equal Employment Opportunity Program and the Program for Improved Communication and Service to the Public. E. DICKINSON, Assistant Chief, Returns, Receipts and Contact Branch, Los Angeles District, Internal Revenue Service LoIS For outstanding contributions in improving Internal Revenue Service communications with tax practitioners during the initial stages of converting the processing of individual income tax returns from a manual operation to the Automatic Data Processing System. HERBERT C. DIXON, Jr., Special Agent in Charge, Eisenhower Protective Division, U.S. Secret Service, Gettysburg, Pa. For noteworthy contribution in developing and maintaining improved communications and services to the public, involving the diplomatic and effective coordination of public contacts with former President Eisenhower. JAMES P. FOGARTY, Program Manager, Office of the Assistant Regional Commissioner, Data Processing, Mid-Atlantic Region, Internal Revenue Service, Philadelphia, Pa. For the development of a program which helps to insure that the public receives prompt, courteous, accurate responses to inquiries concerning refunds, balance due notices, and Service Center correspondence. 12 HILDRED H. HANTEL, Administrative Assistant-Office Manager. U.s, Savings Bonds Division, San Francisco, Calif. For contributing to the effectiveness of the Saving. Bonds Program by providing intelligent, accurate and prompt information and services in a pleasing, courteous and helpful manner to the general public, Government agencies and Savings Bonds volunteers throughout Northern California. ADELINE N. JORDAN, Section Chief, Office Audit Branch, Los Angeles District, Internal Revenue Service For. outstanding efforts in improving the Equal Employment Opportunity Program and participation in numerous community activ ities. ARmOR H. KLOTZ, Director, Appellate Division, Internal Revenue Service For leadership in fostering cost reduction and management improvement in the disposal of appellate cases at a saving in 1968 of $6.7 million when compared to 1962 efficiency. GLENARD E. LANIER, Major, White House Police Force, U.S. Secret Service For noteworthy contribution in developing and maintaining improved communications and services to the public rdating to special and public tours of the White House. CLEBURNE MAIER, Regional Commissioner, Bureau of Customs, Houston, Tex. For excellent in furthering the Cost Reduction and Management Improvement Program, the Equal Employment Opportunity Program and special placement programs. MARJORIE B. MAKI, District Director, Bureau of Customs, Minneapolis, Minn. For outstanding service to the public, the Bureau of Customs, and to the Federal establishment as Chairman of the Minneapolis-St. Paul Federal Executive Board. 13 KATHLEEN H. MEIKLE, State Director, U.S. SavingJ Bonds Division, Salt Lake City, Utah For her ability to communicate and establish good relations with volunteers whose support and cooperation are needed to promote a successful Savings Bonds Program for the state. CLIFTON A. MOORE, Group Supervisor, Collection Division, Provi· dence District, Internal Revenue Service For outstanding accomplishments in Equal Employment Oppor. tunity, civic affairs, and placement and training of the disadvantaged throughout the state of Rhode Island. GERALD MURPHY, Systems Accountant, Systems Staff, Bureau of Accounts For his leadership of projects for reducing costs and effecting management improvement in the Bureau of Accounts as well as for projects that have had an impact on improving financial management throughout the Government. RUEBEN H. NELSON, Chief, Personnel Branch, Admjni~tration visiQn, Phoenix District, Internal Revenue Service OJ- For outstanding leadership and implementation of the Equal Employment Opportunity Program for the Phoenix District and 50 other Federal agencies located in Maricopa County, Arizona. M. OHANIAN, Supervisory Digital Computer Systems Analyst, Division of Disbursement, Bureau of Accounts ALICE For developing procedures which have expedited payment service to social security beneficiaries, vendors and other recipients of Government checks and for accelerating' communications to the public on check payment matters. FLOkENCE H. PENLAND, Supervisory Information Receptionist, Office of the Director, Bureau of Engraving and Printing For outstanding performance, over a period of years, as receptionist for the Bureau of Engraving and Brinting. The efficiency .. patience, courtesy and tact she displays to the thousands of visitors have greatly enhanced the Bureau's public image. 14 JANE PERKINS, Management Analyst, Management Analysis Office, Office of the Treasurer, U.S. For a high level of leadership and professional ability that has been a major factor in the success of the cost reduction and management improvement program. EMORY P. ROBERTS, Assistant to the Special Agent in Charge, Presidential Protective Division, U.S. Secret Service For noteworthy contribution in developing and maintaining improved communications and services to the public, involving the diplomatic and effective treatment provided the White House Staff and all callers at the entrance of the Office of the President. SIDNEY S. SOKOL, Commissioner, Bureau of Accounts For leadership in fostering managerial practices and a work environment highly favorable to the furtherance of true equality of opportunity for employment in the Bureau. HAROLD M. STEPHENSON, Chief, Division of Loans and Currency, Bureau of the Public Debt For accomplishing significant improvements in the quality and responsiveness of correspondence with the security holding public and in providing service to the financial community. KATHLEEN TALTY, Administrative Officer, Washington Disbursing Center, Bureau of Accounts For demonstrated leadership and outstanding effectiveness in planning, administering, and coordinating activities in placement and training of the disadvantaged and the handicapped. ROBERT H. TERRY, Director, Western Region Service Center, Internal Revenue Service, Ogden, Utah For outstanding leadership in furthering the objectives of the Equal Opportunity Program and the promotion of fair housing in the Ogden area. 15 D. WALTER, Office Management Specialist, Securities Division, Office of the Treasurer, U.S. MARIE For exemplary performance in serving the public and stimulating effective employee relations with the public in the processing of Government securities transactions. McRAE WILLIAMS, Laboring General Foreman, Plant Services Division, Bureau of Engraving and Printing For outstanding contributions to the Youth Opportunity Program in assigning 90 disadvantaged youths to meaningful and worthwhile job duties as well as his effective utilization of the services of retardates, helping them to become useful members of society. 16 THE SECRETARY'S ANNUAL AWARDS Th~ Secr~tary r~cogniz~ of the Tr~asury presents honorary awards ~flch y~ar to bureaus for outstanding performance in fI number of areas. SECRETARY'S AWARD FOR INCENTIVE AWARDS PROGRAM (PERFORMANCE) Bureau of the Mint For the best overall results in effectively recognizing employee performance which significantly exceeded normal job requirements. Over 7 percent of all personnel of the Bureau of the Mint received cash awards and 8.7 percent of eligible personnel received within-grade pay increases for high-quality performance during fiscal year 1968. SECRETARY'S AWARD FOR INCENTIVE AWARDS PROGRAM (SUGGESTIONS) Bureau of Accounts For the best overall results in the suggestion program during fiscal year 1968. For each 100 employees on its rolls, the bureau adopted 20 suggestions and had estimated savings of $1,877. SECRETARY'S AWARD FOR EXCELLENCE IN IMPROVING COMMUNICATIONS AND SERVICES TO THE PUBLIC Bureau of Customs For a variety of actions taken on a broad front by headquarters and field employees to improve port facilities and services, to establish new mechanisms for the exchange of information with the importing public, and to take every possible means to inform and educate the public on Customs requirements. 17 SECRETARY'S AWARD FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCOMPLISHMENT IN THE COST REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM Internal Revenue Service For creative and effective leadership that resulted in the best overall cost reduction results in fiscal year 1968. Savings during this period exceeded $16 million and surpassed the annual goal by $6 million. SECRETARY'S AWARD FOR SAFETY US. Secret Service For showing the greatest reduction in the frequency of disabling injuries over the preceding 4-year average among bureaus with more than 1,000 employees. The Service reduced its rate to 1.6 injuries per million man-hours worked, a reduction to 33 percent of the previous 4-year average. US. Savings Bonds Division For showing the greatest reduction in the frequency of disabling injuries over the preceding 4-year average among bureaus with 1,000 or fewer employees. The Division reduced its rate to 0.9 injuries per million man-hours worked, a reduction to 22 percem of the previous {-year average. 18 CAREER SERVICE RECOGNITION Recognition by the Secretary of employees in the Washington, D.C., area who attained 50, 45, or 40 years of Federal Service during fiscal year 1968. 50 Years of Federal Service Mary E. Barrett Lawrence Fleishman Rachel E. Fox T. Leroy Greer (Retired) Office of the Treasurer, U.s. Bureau of Customs Bureau of the Public Debt Office of the Treasurer, U.S. 45 Years of Federal Service Robert A. Dillon Edward F. Ferneyhough Rae R. Zaontz (Retired) Office of the Secretary Office of the Treasurer, U.S. Internal Revenue Service 40 Years of Federal Service Wilbur E. Beall (Retired) Katie M. Devine George C. Harris Oscar T. Neal Paul F. Schmid Floyd E. Wagner John C. Walter Joseph Zlotshewer Office of the Treasurer, U.S. Office of the Treasurer, U.S. Office of the Treasurer, U.s. Internal Revenue Service Internal Revenue Service Bureau of Engraving and Printing Internal Revenue Service Bureau of Customs 19 MERITORIOUS SERVICE AWARD The Meritorious Service Award is next to the highest award which may be recommended for presentation by the Secretary. It is conferred on employees who render meritorious service within or beyond their required duties. MICHAEL D. BIRD, Formerly Finnncial Economist, Office of Tax Analysis, Office of the Secretary For significant contribution in the analysis of problems in the field of individual income taxation. UNUM BRADY, Assistant Special Agent in Charge, Kansas City Office, U.S. Secret Service For outstanding service, unusual competence and personal dedication in the protection of the obligations of the United States from counterfeiting and forgery. BURKE, Assistant Special Agent in Charge, Vice Presidential Protective Division, Office of Protective Force5, U.s. Secret Service ROBERT R. For outstanding service, unusual competence and personal dedication in arranging protection for Vice President Hubert H. Humphrey during his October 1967 visit to Viet Nam to represent the President of the United States at the inauguration of President Thieu and Vice President Ky of Viet Nam. THOMAS G. DESHAZO, Deputy Comptroller of the Currency For outstanding contributions to the growth and development of the banking industry during a period of unprecedented bank expansion. 20 WILLIAM B. DUNLAP, Jr., Chief, Internal Audit Division, Office of the Secretary For exceptional initiative in directing the internal audit program and in innovating and developing modern methods of conducting audit operations. R. COLEMAN EGERTSON, Regional Administrator of National Banks, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, Philadelphia, Pa. For outstanding technical competence, ingenuity, and sustained superior performance in formulating and maintaining unusually high standards of bank supervision in the Third National Bank Region. ERNEST M. GENTRY (Retired), Formerly Assistant Commissioner, B urea u of Narcotics For exemplary performance and dedicated service as Assistant Commissioner and as District Supervisor, Bureau of Narcotics. J. ELTON GREENLEE, Director, Office of Management and Organization, Office of the Secretary For the execution of major management studies which have led to more effective Departmental programs to reduce costs and strengthen management controls. VICTOR H. HARKIN, Officer in Charge, Fort Knox Bullion Depository, Bureau of the Mint For the superb leadership he provided a special priority project and for the general excellence of his performance. PAUL T. HENNINGER (Retired), Formerly Senior National Bank Examiner, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, Denver, Col. For his outstanding professional competence, thoroughness, and continued high quality performance for 40 years as a National Bank Examiner M. HUGHES, Director, Office of Security, Office of the Secretary THOMAS For effective leadership in directing the Treasury's security program and providing protection to the Department's interests with a responsible mixture of forcefulness and compassion. 21 MELVIN C. JOHNSON, Supervising Customs Agent, Bureau of Customs, Los Angeles, Calif. For outstanding contributions to customs enforcement programs during 29 years of dedicated service to the Bureau. J. MARVIN KELLEY (Retired), Formerly Regional Counsel, Southwest Region, Internal Revenue Service, Dallas, Tex. For outstanding executive leadership and significant contributions toward the more efficient handling of all legal matters and cases in the Region. HAZEL B. KERN (Retired), Formerly Assistant for Administrative Management to the General Counsel, Office of the Secretary For her contribution to the high morale, efficient management and smooth operation of the Office of the General Counsel. ROBERT L. LARSON, Director, Kansas City Disbursing Center, Bureau of Accounts For exceptional management ability which contributed to significant cost reductions and advances in productivity in conjunction with high employee morale, and strong leadership tn enhancing the image of the Federal Government. WILSON LIVINGOOD, Special Agent, Presidential Protective Division, Office of Protective Forces, U.S. Secret Service For outstanding service, unusual competence and personal dedication in arranging physical protection for Vice President Hubert H. Humphrey during his February 1966 visit to Viet Nam. ALLEN F. MARSHALL, Assistant Director of Personnel (Employment), Office of the Secretary For unusual contributions to the growth of sound personnel management in the Treasury Department, especially in furthering the President's program for placement of the handicapped and other special employment programs. 22 LILLIAN C. McLAURIN, Treasury Department Librarian, Office of Administrative Services, Office of the Secretary For outstanding manage-ment and leadership qualities in transforming the Treasury Library into a first-class service capable of meeting the requirements of high-level professional personnel. DONALD E. MILLER, Formerly Chief Counsel, Bureau of Narcotics For exemplary leadership and unusual competence in furtherance of domestic and international narcotic controls, in contributing towards addict rehabilitation, and in directing public education concerning marihuana abuse. DOLORES D. MORGAN, Personnel Officer, Bureau of Accounts For dedicated and sustained performance as a staff adviser and leader, resulting in the continuing improvement of personnel management within the Bureau. L. DAVID Mosso, Assistant Commissioner, Bureau of Accounts For inspired and dedicated leadership in the Bureau and for exemplary performance in representing the Treasury's efforts to improve financial management throughout the Government. T. PAGE NELSON, Director, Office of International Gold and Foreign Exchange Operations, Office of the Assistant Secretary for International Affairs For outstanding competence and resourcefulness in planning and directing activities relating to international gold and foreign exchange operations. MARY F. NOLAN, Director, Employment Policy Program, Office of the Secretary For her aggressive leadership of Treasury's Equal Employment Opportunity Program and her dedication to the principles of equal opportunity. 21 EDWIN M. PERKINS, Assistant to the Commissioner, Internal Revenue Service For consistently demonstrated superior ability and exemplary service as a special adviser and consultant to the Commissioner on tax administration problems and plans of national significance. RICHARD L. POLLOCK, Formerly Financial Economist, Office of Tax Analysis, Office of the Secretary For major strides and analyses which led to the development of better understanding of the effects Gf tax policies in business investment and in the economy. WILLIAM A. ROBSON, Regional Administrator of National Banks, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, Memphis, Tenn. In recognition of the outstanding professional competence, devotion to duty, and extraordinary ability displayed while planning and directing the broad activities of the Eighth National Bank Region. GABRIEL G. RUDNEY, Chief, Personal Taxation Staff, Office of Tax Analysis, Office of the Secretary For major contribution to the formulation of tax and fiscal policy in support of major tax legislation. WALLACE A. RUSSELL (Retired), Formerly Assistant Director, Alcohol and Tobacco Tax Legal Division, Office of the Chief Counsel, Internal Revenue Service For exceptional contributions in developing legal plans, legislative programs, and management procedures for the Alcohol and Tobacco Tax activity. LOUIS B. SIMS, Assistant Special Agent in Charge, Intelligence Division, U.S. Secret Service For outstanding service, unusual competence and personal dedication in arranging for Vice President Hubert H. Humphrey during his October 1967 visit to Viet Nam to represent the President of the United States at the inauguration of President Thieu and Vice President Ky of Viet Nam. 24 NORMAN E. SIMS, Jr., Deputy Director, Office of Budget and Finance, Office of the Secretary For the high quality of his leadership and individual contributions to the effective financial management of the Department. STANLEY L. SOMMERFIELD, Chief Counsel to the Office of Foreign Assets Control, Office of the Secretary For demonstrated outstanding ability and unusual devotion to duty in areas of law and policy important to the national security of the United States. ROBERT H. TAYLOR, Deputy Assistant Director, Office of Protective Forces, U.S. Secret Service For outstanding service, unusual competence and personal dedication in arranging protection for Vice President Hubert H. Humphrey during his February 1966 visit to Viet Nam to confer with leaders of Southeast Asian countries. THOMAS A. TROYER, Formerly Associate Tax Legislative Counsel, Office of the Secretary For major contributions to the development and successful completion of significant and complex tax legislation. HOWARD A. TURNER, Deputy Commissioner for Central Accounts and Reports, Bureau of Accounts For outstanding technical and managerial achievements in developing and implementing the Treasury's Government-wide accounting and financial reporting innovations embodied in the recommendations of the President's Commission on Budget Concepts. THOMAS W. WOLFE, Director, Office of Domestic Gold and Silver Operations, Office of the Secretary For exemplary service and contributions as an economics expert on monetary policy and debt management, and as a former Director of the Executive Secretariat. 25 EXCEPTIONAL SERVICE AWARD This is the highest award which may be recommended for presentation by the Secretary. The award is conferred on employees who distinguish themselves by exceptional service within or heyond their required duties. RICHARD D. BARKER (Retired), Formerly Supervisory Digital Computer Systems Analyst, Office of Fiscal Assistant Secretary For major contributions to the simplification, modernization and efficient performance of technical fiscal operations of the Treasury Department, and for high professional competence in the application and design of electronic data processing systems for these operations. GERA1lD M. BRANNON, Director, Office of Tax Analysis, Office of the Secretary For his exemplary leadership and accomplishments in providing the substantive and quantitative economic analyses that are key ingredients in formulating Treasury tax policies. MANSEL R. BURRELL (Deceased), Formerly Criminal Investigator, Bureau of Narcotics, Chicago, Illinois For outstanding courage and devoted service which resulted in his death during an undercover assignment. TRUE DAVIS, Formerly Assistant Secretary of the Treasury For extraordinary leadership and diplomacy in his supervision of the Bureau of Customs, the Bureau of Engraving and Printing and, until its transfer to the Department of Transportation, the United States Coast Guard. 26 HENRY L. GIORDANO, Formerly Commissioner, Bureau of Narcotics For extraordinary contributions in leading the war against illicit narcotics. RUDY P. HERTZOG (Retired), Formerly Associate Chief Counsel (Litigation), Internal Revenue Service For exceptional legal and managerial ability while occupying a number of very responsible positions within the Office of the Chief Counsel, Internal Revenue Service. JAMES F. KING (Retired), Formerly Assistant to the Secretary for Public Affairs For providing the Secretary of the Treasury with sagacious advice, backed by rapid execution of programs designed to place Treasury decisions fully and accurately before the public of the United States. WINTHROP KNOWLTON, Formerly Assistant Secretary for International Affairs For outstanding contributions to this country's efforts to overcome its balance-of-payments problem, maintain the international strength of the dollar and meet its vital international economic and financial responsibilities. CEDRIC W. KROLL, Government Actuary, Office of Debt Analysis, Office of the Secretary For the expert technical advice and contributions on actuarial matters that he has provided the Treasury Department and the Federal Government, especially in facilitating progress in consideration of the Truth-in-Lending bill. JEROME KURTZ, Tax Legislative Counsel, Office of Assistant Secretary for Tax Policy For performing a major role on the Treasury Department's fiscal policy team. 27 MICHAEL E. MCGEOGHEGAN, Deputy Commissioner-in-Charge of the Chicago Office of the Bureau of the Public Debt For outstanding contributions to the modernization and effective management of the record keeping, accounting, and auditing of savings bonds and other public securities. PETER D. STERNLIGHT, Formerly Deputy Under Secretary of the Treasury for Monetary Affairs For invaluable contributions in the field of debt management and in the overall formulation of domestic policy especially in connection with legislation for raising the limit on the national debt and on the tax surcharge proposed in August 1967. MELVIN I. WHITE, Formerly Deputy Assistant Secretary for Tax Policy For contributions in shaping the thinking, within and without the Treasury, on the nature and structure of tax changes to meet swings in the economy and in the area of tax reform. 28 ALEXANDER HAMILTON AWARD This award is conferred by the Secretary to individuals personally designated by him to be so honored. It is generally restricted to the highest officials of the Department who have worked closely with the Secretary for a substantial period of time and who have demonstrated outstanding leadership during that period. Chairman of the Advisory Committee on Internanational Monetary Arrangements and Formerly Secretary of the Treasury DOUGLAS DILLON, For his wisdom and sound advice in the development of the Special Drawing Rights Plan from a mere concept to a formal international agreement. This plan will pennit the world for the first time to create the monetary reserves needed to sustain international trade and finance by the exercise of a considered and collective judgment. SEYMOUR - E. HARRIS, Senior Consultant to the Secretary of the Treasury For significant contributions to the economic and fiscal policies that have brought unparalleled prosperity to the American people. 29 DISTINGUISHED SERVICE AWARD The highest Treasury recognition which may be conferred by the Secretary on an individual not employed by the Department for unusually outstanding assistance to the Department. FRANCIS M. BATOR, Professor, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, Cambridge, Mass. EDWARD M. BERNSTEIN, President, EMB (Ltd), Washington, D.C. KERMIT GORDON, President, The Brookings Institution, Washington, D.C. WALTER W. HELLER, Professor, Economics Department, University of Minnesota. ANDRE MEYER, Lazard Freres & Company, New York, N.Y. DAVID ROCKEFELLER, President, Chase Manhattan Bank, New York, N.Y. ROBERT V. ROOSA, Brown Bros. Harriman & Co., New York, N.Y. FRAZAR B. WILDE, Chairman Emeritus, Connecticut General Life Insurance Company, Hartford, Conn. For distinguished service as members of the Advisory Committee on International Monetary Arrangements. HAROLD BOESCHENSTEIN, Chairman, Owens-Corning Fiberglas Corp., New York, N.Y. For distinguished service as Chairman of the Treasury Consulta· tive Committee of The Business Council. 30 EUGENE N. BEESLEY, President, Eli Lilly & Co., Indianapolis, Ind. ROGER M. BLOUGH, Chairman, Uaitld States Steel Corp., New York, N.Y. BERT S. CROSS, President, Minneeota Mining Minn. & Mfg. Co., St. Paul, PAUL L. DAVIES, Chairman, FMC Corp., San Jose, Calif. FREDERIC G. DONNER, Chairman, General Motors Corp., New York, N.Y. G. KEITH FUNSTON, Chairman, Olin Mathieson Chemical Corp., New York,N.Y. THOMAS S. GATES, Jr., President, Morgan Guaranty Trust Co., New York,N.Y. FRANK R. MILLIKEN, President, Kennecott Copper Corp., New York, N.Y. DAVID PACKARD, Chairman, Hewlett-Packard Co., Palo Alto, Calif. SIDNEY J. WEINBERG, Partner, Goldman, Sachs & Co., New York, N.Y. HENRY S. WINGATE, Chairman, International Nickel Co., Inc., New York, N.Y. ALBERT L. NICKERSON (Ex officio), Chairman of the Board, Mobil Oil Corp., New York,N.Y. For distinguished service as members of the Treasury Consultative Committee of The Busineu Council. 31 ••••• ~YERNIIE"T 'RIMTIN' OFFICI, ,U. Program Supplement 5th Annual Awards Ceremony Awards listed below were approved subsequenT to the printing of the regular program EMPIDYEE SUGGESTIONS AND SERVICES JAMES D'AMELIO, Special Agent, U. S. Secret Service, New York, N.Y. For outstanding performance in a series of highly hazardous undercover assignments leading to a number of successful prosecutions and the recovery of a sizeable amouat of counterfeit bills. Superior Work Performance Award - $500. MERITORIOUS SERVICE AWARDS DONALD S. CHADSEY, Criminal Investigator, Enforcement Branch, Alcohol and Tobacco Tax Division, Internal Revenue Service For exceptional technical and managerial ability in the drafting and review Gf legislation and regulations in connection with the recently enacted "Omnibus Crime Control and Safe Streets Act of 1968." JOHN W. COGGINS, Director, Alcohol and Tobacco Tax Legal Division, Internal Reven~ Service For exceptional technical and managerial ability in the drafting and review of legislation and regulations in connection with the recently enacted "Omnibus Crime Control and Safe Streets Act of 1968." 3] CHARIES C. HUMPSTONE, Deputy Special Assistant to the Secretary (for Enforcement), Office of the Secretary For his important contributions to the effective discharge of the Department's enforcement responsibilities. SAMUEL M. JONES, III, Deputy to the Assistant Secretary (Congressional Relations), Office of the Secretary For his invaluable assistance to the passage of Treasurysponsored legislation. THURMOND E. SHAW, Chief, Technical Branch, Alcohol and Tobacco Tax Legal Division, Internal Revenue Service For exceptional technical and managerial ability in the , drafting and review of legislation and regulations in connection vi th the recently enacted "Omnibua Crime Control and Safe Streets Act of 1968." EDWARD P. SNYDER, Director of the Office of Debt Analysis, Office of the Secretary For outstanding contributions in developing Treasury policy on new legislation for Federal Credit programs and financial guidelines for management of loan programs. JOSEPH L. SPIlMAN, JR., Deputy to the Assistant Secretary (Congressional Relations), Office of the Secretary For his invaluable assistance to the passage of Treasurysponsored legislation. MARK A. WEISS, Special Assistant to the Under Secretary For highly important staff assistance which contributed significantly to the making and execution of Treasury policy. EXCEPl'IONAL SERVICE AWARDS RAYMOND J. ALBRIGHT, Assistant to the Secretary for National Security Affairs For exemplary assistance in the achievement of a coordinated and significant effort by the United States Government to minimize the foreign exchange costs of our international se~ity arrangements. JOHN H• .AlJTEN, Director, Office of Financial AnalYSis, Office of the Secretary For exemplary service to the Secretary and other officials through his lucid analyses of economic and financial developments, his exceptional contributions in the drafting of public statements, and his mature and balanced judgment. ROY T. ENGLERT, Deputy General' Counsel For outstanding contributions to the Treasury Department for more than 17 years, as an attorney, Chief Counsel to the Comptroller of the Currency, Assistant General Counsel and in his present position. 35 T. PAGE NELSON, Director, Office of International Gold and Foreign Exchange Operations, Office of the Assistant Secretary for International Affairs* For outstanding competence and resourcefulness in planning and directing activities relating to international gold and foreign exchange operations. JAMES J. ROWLEY, Director, U. S. Secret Service For carrying out far-reaching changes in the organization and operations of the Secret ~ervice, substantially enhancing the ability of the Service to cope with the nation-wide increased incidence of criminal activity and violence. *Listed in error under the Meritorious Award category in the regular program. TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON, D.C. FOR RELEASE 6: 30 P.M., Monday, October 14, 1968. RESULTS OF mEASURY' S WEEKLY BILL OnERIBG '!he Treasury Department announced that the tenders for two series of Treasury bills, one series to be an additional issue of the bills dated July 18, 1968, and the other series to be dated October 17, 1968, which were offered on October 9, 1968, were opened at the Federal Reserve Banks today. Tenders were invited for $1,600,000,000, or thereabouts, of 91-day bills and for $1,100,000,000, or thereabouts, of 182-day bills. The details of the two series are as follows: RANGE OF ACCEPTED COMPETITIVE BIDS: High Low Average 91-day Treasury bills maturing January 16, 1969 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 98.667 5.273'11 98.638 5.388~ 98.649 5.345~ 182-day Treasury bills April 17 , 1969 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate IIf1 turing 97.284 97.250 97.256 Y 5.372J 5.44~ 5.428~ Y 98~ of the amount of 91-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted 94~ of the amount of 182-day bills bid for at the low price vas accepted 'ro'lYlL TENDERS APPLIED :roR AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DIS1'RICTS: District Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco 'roTALS AEElied For Acce~ted $ 22,559,000 $2,559,000 1,759,365,000 1,082,165,000 18,448,000 33,448,000 35,293,000 35,293,000 14,094,000 14,094,000 43,363,000 36,363,000 176,042,000 150,740,000 46,428,000 55,428,000 19,881,000 19,881,000 34,701,000 34,701,000 28,776,000 35,776,000 111,480,000 116,480,000 -- AEE11ed For $ 14,474,000 1,576,973,000 17,260,000 40,670,000 5,486,000 32,144,000 160,781,000 27,793,000 18,168,000 17,404,000 21,888,000 186,129,000 $2,346,430,000 $1,600, 928,000a/ $2,119,170,000 AcceEted $ 14,474,000 759,623,000 7,260,000 27,670,000 5,486,000 23,611,000 110,481,000 18,763,000 If,048,000 16,344,000 12,828,000 88,869,000 $1,101, 457, OOO:?/ af Includes $332,136,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 98.649 ~ Includes $162,433,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 97.256 Y These rates are on a bank discoo.nt basis. 'lbe equivalent coupon issue yields are for the 91-day bills, and 5.66~ for the 182-day bills. 5.4~ 1'''-1377 TREASURY DEPARTMENT , WASHINGTON. D.C. October 16, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of t 2,700,000,000, or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for 'l'reasury bills maturing October 24,1968, in the amount of ~ 2,701,807,000, as follOWS: 91-day bills (to maturity date) to be issued 1n the amount of $1,600,000,000, or thereabouts, additional amount of bills dated July 25,1968, mature January 23,1969 originally issued in the $1,100,161,000, the additional and original bills ~nterchangeable . October 24,1968, representing an and to amount of to be freely 182-day bills, for $ 1,100,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated October 24,1968, and to mature April 24,1969. The bills of both serl~s will be issued on a discount baais under competitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at 'Hturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They 11111 be issued in bearer form. only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Daylight Saving time, Monday, October 21,1968. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury De~artment, Washington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the baSis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. up Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders rrom others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank )r trust company. F-1378 - 2 Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to tnese reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three rlecimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on October 24,1968, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing October 24,1968. Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained froo t any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT October 16, 1968 FOR RELEASE TO A.M. NEWSPAPERS THURSDAY, OCTOBER 24, 1968 SECRETARY FOWLER NAMES ROCHE OF GENERAL MOTORS AS 1969 CHAIRMAN FOR PAYROLL SAVINGS CAMPAIGN James M. Roche, Chairman of the Board of Directors and Chief Executive Officer of General Motors Corporation,has been appointed Chairman of the Uo So Industrial Payroll Savings Committee for 1969 by Secretary of the Treasury Henry H. Fowler. Mr. Roche served as a member of the Committee and as Chairman of the Committee's campaign in the Automotive Industry in 1967 and 1968 Under his leadership, his industry and his company achieved outstanding records in the enrollment of Payroll Savers for the purchase of U. S. Saving's Bonds and Freedom Shares. 0 The U. S. Industrial Payroll Savings Committee was established in January 1963 by then Secretary of the Treasury Douglas Dillon to encourage the thrift habit of regular savings by employees of industry through the regular purchase of Savings Bonds o Mro Roche succeeds William Po Gwinn, Chairman of United Aircraft Corporation, who will remain active in the 1969 Committee campaigno Other members of Mr. Rochels Committee include Daniel J. Haughton, Chairman of the Board, Lockheed Aircraft Corporation, 1967 Chairman; Lynn Ao Townsend, Chairman of the Board, Chrysler Corporation, 1966 Chairman; Dr. Elmer W. Engstrom, Chairman of the Executive Committee, Radio Corporation of America, 1965 Chairman; Frank Ro Milliken, President, Kennecott Copper Corporation, 1964 Chairman; and Harold So Geneen, Chairman and President, International Telephone and Telegraph Corporation, 196~ Chairman. In thanking Mro Roche for his willingness to Savings Bonds capacity, Secretary Fowler observed the business leaders who will serve with him will tribution to the stability of the economy and the cial period o (more) serve in this key that Mr. Roche and be making a concountry in a cru- - 2 Mr. Rochels Committee will organize a nationwide Payroll Savings campaign to increase the number of employees regularly buying Series E Bonds and Freedom Shares. During the past six years, the Committee -- which is composed of the chief executives of America's leading companies -- has conducted highly productive campaigns which have made a major contribution to the sound management of the debt and the Government's efforts to stabilize the value of the dollar o The annual sale of the $25-$200 denomination Savings Bonds and Freedom Shares is now at a level of $3 08 billion -- a record for the post-World War II period, and a billion dollars higher than when the Committee was organized in January 1963. Mro Roche began his General Motors career in 1927 when, at the age of 21, he took a job as a statistician at the Cadillac Motor Car Division Chicago sales and service branch. Within a year, he was named assistant to the Chicago branch manager o He was transferred to New York in 1931, as assistant region a1 business manager o In °1933, he was transferred to Detroit as assistant manager of the Cadillac Business Management Department. Two years later, he was appointed National Business Management Manager for Cadillac. Q When Cadillac converted to defense production during World War II, Mro Roche was appointed director of personne10 In 1949, his area of responsibility was broadened to include public relations o The following year he became general sales manager o On January 1, 1957, he was appointed general manager for Cadillac and a vice president of General Motors o He was named vice president of the General Motors Marketing Staff on June 1, 1960 0 On September 1, 1962, he was elected an executive vice president and a member of the Board of Directors. He became General Motors' 13th president in 1965, and assumed his present post on November 1, 19670 His 1ong~time community participation was recognized in December 1966 when he received the 1966 Brotherhood Award presented by the Detroit Round Table, National Conference of Christians and Jews o - 3 - He is a member of the Board of Directors of the Automotive Manufacturers Association and the Economic Club of Detroit o He is a trustee of the National Safety Council. Other memberships include the Society of Automotive Engineers, the Engineering Society of Detroit and the American Ordnance Association o Among his recent civic and community responsibilities are membership on the New Detroit Committee -- a committee which came into being following the Detroit civil turbulence in the summer of 1967 -- and the presidency of the Detroit Press Club Foundation o Mro Roche holds four honorary degrees -- a doctor of laws from Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan; a doctor of laws from John Carroll University, Cleveland, Ohio; a doctor of science from Judson College, located in his home town of Elgin, Illinois; and a doctor of laws from Fordham University, New York City. Mro Roche is married to the former Louise McMillan of Elgino The Roches have three married children, a daughter and two sons o 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT ! WASHINGTON. D.C. R RELEASE 6: 30 P.M., ursday, october 17, 1968. RESUL'l'S 0., mEASURY'S OFFER OF $3 BTI.IJON OF ~ TAX BILLS TreaSUl7 Depart1lent announced that the tenders for $3,000,000,000, or ereabouts, at 24.2-day !reasury 2Bx Anticipation bills to be dated October 24, 68, and to JIIlture June 23, 1969, which were offered aD October 10, 1968, were ened at the Federal Reserve Banks today. 'l!le The details of this issue are as tallows: Total applied for - $6,9.0,551,000 Total accepted - $3,000,231,000 Ba~ ot accepted competitive bids: !I Equivalent rate ot discount approx. 5.14.~ per annu. " " II " " 5 .193;" " " It "5.17a;"" " .. Excepting one tender at $3,000,000. (5~ at tbe amount bid tor at the low price was accepted) High - 96.54.5 Law ATerage - 96 •509 - 96.519 !I (includes ~,351,000 entered on & noncompetitive basis and accepted in full at the aTe rage price shown be low ) Federal Be serve Oistrict Boston Ilew York ?h1lade 1phia ~leveJ.and RichJlond ~tlanta. :hicago 3t. Louis lirmeapolis WlsaS City )aUas Ian Francisco 1bis is on a bank. discount basis. 9 '!be Total Applied Por • 289,210,000 S,Oe,S93,OOO 295,175,000 -'64.,555,000 85,84.5,000 241,735,000 825,587, 000 204,295,000 272,330,000 132,331,000 160,870,000 94.5,225,000 Total Accepted • 211,310,000 923,943,000 171,575,000 189,825,000 $6,9£0,551,000 $3,000,231,000 39,5~,000 1'1,4.35,000 515,537,000 130,655,000 1~,130,OOO 83,481,000 50,070,000 396,725,000 equivalent coupon issue yield 1s 5.4~ TREASURY DEPARTMENT • WASHINGTON, D.C. October 17, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY TO END $5 U.S. NOTE ISSUE; WILL DISTRIBUTE $100 ~OIES INSTEAD The Treasury Department announced today that it will soon stop issuing 55 IJnited States Notes -- the only denomination of such notes now distributed -- and begin issuing SlOO United States Notes. The Treasury explained that the change has nothing to do with the amount of currency available to commerce but only with cutting the cost of sorting notes unfit for continued circulation. The Federal Reserve System, whose currency comprises 99 percent of pClper lr.oney in circulation, will continUE:: t, issue the familiar federal Reserve Notes in all present denominations. Uni ted States Notes make Up less than one percent of circulating currency and the change will have no practical effect on money users. In fiscal year 1967, 340 millin~ unfit 85 notes of both types -- United ~tates and Federal Reserve -- \Vere t-etired compared to only 5.5 million in the SlOO denomination. With elimination of $5 United States Notes there will be fewer notes to sort by type for retirement and thu~ a cost saving. By law, the Treasury must keep $322,539,016 of United States Notes outstanding, but retired llotes ;-nay be replaced bv any denomination. Eventually, $100 will be the only denomination in which both Treasury and the Federal Reserve Banks issue cUJ:rency. Like the current $100 Federal Reserve Note, the new SlOO United States Note will bear a portrait of Benjamin Franklin. Differences in the two notes -- including designations on the front side and colors in which seals and serial numbers are printed -- will make them easily distinguishable. 000 F-1380 lREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON. D.C. October 17, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S MONTHLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of ~l,500,OOO,OOO, or thereabouts, for cash and iri exchange for Treas:1ry bills maturing October 31,1968, in the amount of ~4,20l,432,000, as follows: 27~day bills (to maturity date) to be issued in the amount of $500,000, 000, or thereabouts, additional amount of bills dated July 31,1968, mature July 31,1969, originally issued in the $1,000,963,000, the additional and original bills interchangeable, October 31,1968, representing an and to amount of to be freely 36~day bills, for $1,000,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated October 31,1968, and to mature October 31,1969. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Daylight Saving time, Thursday, Oc tobe r 24, 1968, Tenders will not be received at the Treasury De~artment, Washington. Each.tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. (Notwithstanding the fact that the one-year bills ~ill run for 365 days, the discount rate will be computed on a oank discount basis of 360 days, as is currently the practice on all issues of Treasury bills.) It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. up Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from F-1381 - 2 - responsible and recognized dealers 1n investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompan1ed by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. Irnmed ia te ly after the c los ing hour, tenders wi 11 be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on October 31, 1968, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing October 31,1968. Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments -will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest 01' gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department' Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained froDI any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington, D.C. REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE WILLIAM F. HELLMUTH, JR. DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY FOR TAX POLICY BEFORE THE 81st ANNUAL MEETING OF THE AMERICAN INSTITUTE OF CERTIFIED PUBLIC ACCOUNTANTS MAYFLOWER HOTEL, WASHINGTON, D.C. WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 16, 1968, 10:00 A.M. THE CRITICAL ISSUE OF PRIORITIES Much attention in these last weeks before the election is centered on the probable differences between the future policies of the United States dependi~g upon whether Vice President Humphrey or Mr. Nixon is elected President on November 5. Let me emphasize that regardless of who the next President is, the pressures on the Federal budget are enormous and they will continue to grow. This is a fact of the political economy, which no President, no Administration, no Congress can ignore or escape. These pressures for budget resources result from the development of new claimants as well as from expansion of existing programs. A decade ago, the major interest groups were the military, the veterans, the farmers, and those - 2 benefitting from public works. During the Administrations of President Kennedy and President Johnson, major new programs have been introduced in the fields of health and education. In 1965 Congress enacted the Elementary and Secondary Education Act which for the first time provided major Federal assistance to all the school districts in the country. In the same year, Congress also passed the landmark legislation establishing Medicare and Medicaid. Thus two large and powerful groups -- those interested in education and health -- have become successful and major claimants on Federal budgetary resources. And many people interested in education and health will continue to press their demands for additional Federal support. Probably none of the 22,000 school boards in the U.S. thinks it has the funds it needs to educate our children as the parents, teachers, and school administrators would like. In addition, there are the increasing thousands of college and university students who strain the financial capacity of these institutions forcing trustees and college presidents to seek additional Federal support. As Under Secretary of the Treasury Joseph W. Barr - 3 - has said earlier this year* the demands for Federal funds for education will be clamorous and insistent, and pressed with the ferocity of a tiger -- no matter which political party is in power. No doubt the demands for additional funds for medical care will grow. This has been the history of medical care and health insurance costs in the budgets of other great industrial nations, most of whom adopted such legislation before the u.s. did. Thus while education and health are two powerful and relatively new claimants on the budget, the traditional claimants are potent also. National defense, as we all know, is currently taking almost $80 billion, of which $28.6 billion is estimated as the cost of Vietnam. With the end of fighting, however, only a part of this $28 billion amount is likely to be saved. Some military forces now in Vietnam will be relocated, some perhaps disbanded, others may remain in Vietnam. The military will seek to catch up in those areas where their budgets have *Speech made before the Town Hall of California, Los Angeles, California, June 25, 1968, Treasury Release F-128l. - 4 been curtailed since 1965, such as construction,and research and development. From another approach, the Defense budget in fiscal year 1964 before the large American build-up in Vietnam was about $54 billion a year. By fiscal year 1970 inflation will have added about 15 to 20 percent or roughly $9 billion. to the pre-Vietnam costs, bringing a 1964 defense effort to about $63 billion. This total would be about $15 billion -- or about half the estimated cost of Vietnam -- below the current budget level for Defense. The current budget amounts for Defense and International Affairs and Finance, of course, reflect the current diplomatic and security objectives of our Government, and the mission of these agencies relative to these objectives. Thus it is difficult to see how this part of the budget can be much changed beyond the reductions resulting ftom the hoped-for peace in Vietnam, given our present objectives and the world situation. The recent Soviet occupation of Czechoslovakia and the Pueblo incident are developments which create more pressure on the Defense budget. - 5 - The other traditional budget claimants are not fading away: Veterans (with costs growing with the addition of the Vietnam veterans) Farmers (with costs up this year due to an abundant harvest) Public works (including in a current definition of public works not only an expansion of the interstate highway system, but also space exploration, and the supersonic transport plane) Other new claimants are already vymg for support through the Federal budget. One need reflect only on the public pronouncements from all sectors of the community, or the Republican or Democratic platforms, about meeting the problems of the cities and of the poor. Housing, transport congestion on the ground and in the air, revisions in our welfare and income maintenance programs, and pollution control are other programs with popular appeal, political muscle, and large dollar needs. Some favor solutions through direct Federal spending programs, others through generous sharing of Federal - 6 revenues with the State and local governments, and still others through tax credits to yield Federal revenues to subsidize private sector actions. State and local governments can be expected to continue their requests for more Federal aid. Various versions of expanded grants, greater Federal responsibilities, ·tax credits for State and local taxes, or revenue sharing to assist the State and local governments will undoubtedly receive serious, and in some cases favorable, consideration over the next few years. The fiscal year 1970 budget projections indicate the normal increase in costs of continuing programs in an expanding economy with a growing population. For example, the normal grcMth of government services and related costs include three billion more pieces of mail to deliver; three million more tax returns to process, and 20 million more travelers to visit national parks. Social security benefits increase as a natural result of a growing number of persons over 65, to say nothing of the periodic increases in benefits. This normal growth will account for about $6 billion of additional expenditures - 7 in fiscal year 1970. (In addition legislation has already been passed authorizing a pay increase to make Federal pay scales competitive with private employment at a cost of $3.5 billion in fiscal 1970.) Thus the new President and the new 9lst Congress will face large demands and an almost irreversible growth in the Federal budget. Fortunately, the receipts from the Federal tax system rise automatically with the growth in the economy. Economic growth of about 4-1/4 percent a year together with high employment and healthy profits will generate an increase of $12ro $15 billion a year in receipts from our Federal tax system. This "fiscal dividend" or "growth dividend" makes possible and practical the meeting of the higher priority demands for more public goods and services, as well as financing the normal growth in Federal spending. Tax Credits and Other Special Tax Provisions The current fad in tax proposals is the tax credit. Tax credits are offered as panaceas to solve most of our country's economic and social problems. proposals would include tax credits for: A partial list of - 8 Housing for low- and moderate-incomes New factories in ghettos and rural poverty areas Job training for the hard-core unemployed Additional costs of employing older persons Air and water pollution control equipment College tuition and fees The costs of underground installation of electrical transmission lines Political contributions We even had one letter proposing tax credits for married couples who have celebrated their 25th wedding anniversary. Tax credits are offered as a cure-all for almost everything. Now almost all the items on this list are important problems, and the Federal Government has a significant role to play in seeking solutions to most of these problems. The crucial question is how to attack these problems most effectively and most efficiently; in other words, how to get the greatest benefit for the budget resources used. The Treasury does not take a doctrin,aire position against tax credits -- witness the investment credit which - 9 the Treasury recommended and supported. But the Treasury does urge that direct spending and loan programs be considered carefully and thoroughly as alternatives to tax credits. Tax credits are not all bad -- nor all good -- just as expenditure programs are not all bad nor all good. Each should be judged on its merits -- what it accomplishes compared to what it costs and whether any alternative would yield a more favorable benefit-cost ratio. The case for the invest- ment credit differs from most other tax credits. The intent of tax credits for investment in machinery and equipment is to promote economic growth, to improve productivity and efficiency for all businesses and industries. It has a broad economic objective, not limited to specific industries or geographic locations. There is a mythology about tax credits that they do not cost anything. The major reason for this myth seems to be that tax credits are relatively hidden; they do not appear in the budget; their cost is not included in the budget totals or in the functional areas to which they apply; often their cost is not known. - 10 Generally tax credits in the Internal Revenue Code continue for indefinite periods. Unlike direct spending and loan programs, there is no periodic legislative review to determine whether they continue to match national objectives and whether their cost in terms of revenue foregone fits the benefits obtained from the credits. The tax credits are generally open-ended, available to all taxpayers who meet the conditions prescribed. There is no statutory limit on the amount of budget resources they use. On one occasion an advocate of a particular credit stated that he was seeking a tax credit because the Congressional committee which dealt with the expenditures in that area had turned down the direct spending approach. Should a tax credit be acceptable for a purpose for which a case cannot be successfully made for direct spending? As accountants, you favor clear and full disclosure of all relevant financial information. That is what we at the Treasury favor for tax credits (and other special tax provisions) -- that each one be clearly identified with the functional objective it is supporting and that each such - 11 - credit be costed to show the revenue foregone. Also in assist- ing your clients who may be deciding between different types of machinery, different methods of financing, or expansion into new markets, you would price out the costs and probable returns of the different choices. That is what the Treasury urges in considering alternative methods of solving various serious and difficult problems with tax credits, direct spending, or loans. We urge that there be the same tests of cost effectiveness, contribution to national objectives, full disclosure in the budget, periodic review, and revision with changing objectives, as are applied to the spending and loan programs. It is relevant, and encouraging, to note that Congressman Wilbur D. Mills, Chairman, Committee on Ways and Means, has taken a strong position against the extension of tax credits to other objectives, however worthy. It is also relevant and encouraging to note that Congressman John W. Byrnes, ranking Republican member of the Committee on Ways and Means, has generally taken a position in opposition to tax credits. - 12 A new approach, or a fuller development of this approach of cost effectiveness of special interest to accountants, is the tax expenditure budget. Such a budget treats the revenue cost of special tax provisions as a tax expenditure, an expenditure through the tax system. Tax expenditures become a third means to influence or direct economic activity, in addition to the two now appearing in the budget, namely, direct expenditures and net lending. In a full presentation, tax expenditures would be presented by budget functions along with direct spending and net lending directed toward the same objective. For example, the Federal budget under the functional heading of Housing and Urban Development shows about $4 billion of direct spending and net lending, but nowhere in the budget appears the revenue foregone through special tax provisions for the same objectives. The revenue cost is estimated at $1.9 billion for the deductibility of interest on mortgages on owner-occupied homes; $1.8 billion for the deductibility of property taxes on these same homes; and some additional millions due to accelerated depreciation on residential real estate along with a relatively weak recapture provision. - 13 Comparable examples of special tax provisions are found in most functional categories in the budget, including special provisions for the aged, for extractive industries, for commercial banks and mutual financial institutions, for certain employee fringe benefits, and for agriculture. The tax expenditure budget then would include for each program or function in the budget the full costs no matter whether direct spending, net lending, or special tax pro- visions were the method (or methods) chosen to support the program or function. Coordination of Revenue and Expenditure Decisions The recent long but finally successful battle for the tax surcharge which resulted in the Tax and Expenditure Control Act of 1968 raised questions about the budget making procedures in the Congress when the President submits his budget each January. As you know, any requests for tax changes go to the House Ways and Means Committee and then to the Senate Finance Committee. The money bills are considered by the Appropria- tions Committees in both Houses. At no point does the - 14 Congress consider the entire budget, or the relation of expenditures, loan programs, and taxes to each other, and to the current and projected economic situation. The 1968 Revenue and Expenditure Control Act is unique among recent acts of Congress because it includes in a tax bill limitations on expenditures and on new obligational authority. The Congressional negotiations before this legis- lation was passed included close contacts between the taxwriting Committees and the Chairmen and other representatives of the Appropriations Committees. These consultations were on an informal basis in 1968, but they did accomplish an important objective of coordination of revenues and expenditures. Secretary of the Treasury Fowler pointed out earlier this year that the Congressional Reorganization Act of 1946 provided for a Joint Legislative Committee on the Budget. This Joint Committee was made up of all members of the House Ways and Means Committee, the Senate Finance Committee, and the House and Senate Appropriations Committees. The function - 15 of this Committee was to consider the financial position of the U.S. Government in light of the President's budget recommendations and set a maximum figure for total expenditures. The Committee would present this figure as a concurrent resolution to both Houses. If adopted, the amount in the resolution became Congress' instruction to itself to limit total appropriations. The Joint Legislative Committee on the Budget was active during 1947 and 1948, and a concurrent resolution setting an upper limit on appropriations was adopted in 1948. Since then, the Committee has been inactive. In view of theincreasing importance of the budget for the economy and to determine Federal programs, a revival of the Joint Legislative Committee on the Budget -- inactive since about 1948 -- would be one way to insure better coordination between the revenue and appropriation legislation. A regular- ization of the informal consultations which evolved in the spring of 1968 would be another path to coordination, without the formality of a joint resolution required by the Congressional Reorganization Act of 1946. - 16 For the Treasury, let me commend your interest in tax policy and tax reform. I invite you to join in the appraisal of our present system, using your professional competence to analyze and evaluate carefully and logically the reform proposals when they are presented, suggesting improvements in the recommendations you find weak or misdirected, and supporting publicly those which your analysis shows will strengthen and perfect our tax system. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON, D.C. R RELEASE 6:30 P.M., oday, October 21, 1968. RESUL'l'S or TREASURI I S iflElI.I BILL OnERIlIG Tbe Treasury Department announced that the teDders for two series of Treasury 115, one series to be an ac1ditioDal issue at the bills dated July 25, 1968, and the Iler series to be dated October 24, 1968, which were offered on October 16, 1968, were ~ned at the Federal Reserve .,nt' today. ~nders were invited tor $1,600,000,000, thereabouts, of 91-day bills and tor $1,100,000,000, or thereabouts, of 182-day 11s. The details ot the two series are as follows: 91-4&y !reasury bills mturing January 23, 1969 Approx. Equ1v. Price Amma1 Rate 98.651 S.337i 98.623 5."7j 98.636 S.39G; MGE OF ACCEPTED 4PETITIVE BIDS: High Low Average 3~ 4:5~ 182-day Treasury bills mturing April 24, 1969 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 5.4:14,J 97.263 97.234 5.4:71~ 97.24:1 5.~7~ ot the a.ount ot 91-clay bills bid for at the low price was accepted ot the 8lIlount ot 182-day bills bld tor at the low price vas accepted rAL TENDERS APPLIED lOR AID ACCEPl!ED IX FEDERAL RESERVE DIS'l'RICTS: )istrict :laston .iew York ?hilade lphia !leveland iichmond ~tlanta !h!cago Louis linneapolis ~t. (ansas City )allas )an FranCisco TO~ Accepted Appl1ed ror Applied lor Accepted $ 5,865,000 $ 16,863,000 22,193,000 • 22,193,000: 843,733,000 1,513,258,000 1,693,05',000 1,064,054,000 : 5,323,000 15,323,000 34,426,000 19,426,000. : 34,897,000 39,097,000 39,4:73,000 39,473,000 4,811,000 4.,811,000 12,251,000 12,251,000 : 27,550,000 37,187,000 38,668,000 '0,768,000 58,035,000 136,335,000 150,59i,000 : 177,094:,000 17,702,000 27,402,000 44,689,000 : 4:9,789,000 19,249,000 13,649,000 22,340,000 22,340,000 16,551,000 22,651,000 3S,77~,OOO : 35,775,000 12,134,000 21,134,000 21,428,000 29,128,000 59,829,000 242,776,000 129,316,000 137,316,000 r $2,293,605,000 $1,600,205,000 !I $2,096,086,000 $1,100,077,000 ~ Includes $307,222,000 Donca.petltive teDders accepted at the average price of 98.636 Includes $146,763,000 DODca.petitive teDders accepted at tbe average price of 97.241 ~ese rates are on a bank discount basis. !lhe equivalent CoopOD issue yields are 5.5~ tor the 91-day b111s, and S.6~ for the 182-day bills. 382 TREASURY DEPARTMENT October 21, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE BANKS AND OTHER FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AUTHORIZED TO REDEEM "FREEDOM SHARES" Secretary of the Treasury Henry H. Fowler today announced that legislation enabling banks and other paying agents for u. S. Savings Bonds to redeem Savings Notes (Freedom Shares) has been signed by the President. Formerly, Freedom Shares had to be taken or forwarded to a Federal Reserve Bank or the Treasurer of the United States for redemption. Freedom Shares, which must be bought in combination with Series E Bonds of the same or larger denomination, were first placed on sale May l, 1967. They must be held for one year after the issue date before they can be redeemedo 000 F-1383 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON. D.C. October 23,1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY OFFICIAL ELECTED VICE PRESIDENT OF INTERPOL James Pomeroy Hendrick, Special Assistant to the Secretary of the Treasury (for Enforcement) ,was elected Vice President of the International Criminal Police Organization (INTERPOL) at its recent General Assembly in Tehran, Iran. Hendrick, who assumed his present post in April 1967, had previously served Treasury in various enforcement capacities during 14 years as a Deputy Assistant secretary. His wartime career included intensive work on internal security, administration of the Code of Military Justice and confinement and rehabilitation of American military prisoners as an assistant to Brig. Gen. Edward S. Greenbaum and later to Secretary of War Robert P. Patterson. Hendrick was the principal U.S. advisor to the United Nations Human Rights Commission at the time of drafting and approval of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights to whose spirit the INTERPOL constitution specifies adherence in services rendered. F-1384 (MORE) - 2 - Established in 1923, INTERPOL includes 103 member countries whose enforcement officers meet yearly to discuss dealing with crimes involving more than one nation. The INTERPOL Secretariat in St. Cloud, France, provides year-round service in the exchange of information that can lead to apprehension of international criminals. It also conducts symposiums and studies on the techniques and practices of enforcement. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT - AF WASHrNGTON. D.C. October 23, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $2,700,OOO~OOO,or thereabouts, for cash and exchange for Treasury bills maturing October 31, 1968, in the amount of $4,201,432,000, as follows: in 9 Lday bills (to maturity date) to be issued in the amount of $ 1,600,000,000, or thereabouts, additional amount of bills dated August 1, 1968, mature January 30,1969, originally issued in the $1,100,928,000, the additional and original bills interchangeable. October 31, 1968, representing an and to amount of to be freely 18~day bills, for $1,100,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated October 31, 1968, and to mature May 1, 19690 The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, October 28, 1968. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury De~artment, Washington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and ·in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. F-1385 - 2 Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, foll~'ing which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to tnese reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on October 31, 1968, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing October 31, 1968. Cash and exchange tenden will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest 01' gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or 1055. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained froG any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 I THEASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR HELEASE ON DELIVERY-'HO~~ORABIJE fHEDERICK IJ, DEMING UNDER SECRETAllY O}' THE TRE/~SURY FOn MONETARY AFFAIRS REMAHKS BY THE AT THE NATIONAL CONVENTION OF THE BAN1( ADMINISTRATION INSTITUTE REGENCY HYATT HOUSE, ATLANTA, GEORGIA WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 23, 1968, 10:45 A.1L, EDT THE SHORT A1'.TD LONG OF IT My talk today deals with the short-run outlook for Federal finance and with some long-term aspects of the growing capital requirements for public purposes. lhe short-run period is fiscal 1969 -- July 1, 1968, through June 30, 1969. The longer period cannot be so precisely defined in tcrll1s of time but may be thought of as covering the next ten to twelve years -- through the 1970's. Both short and long-term aspects are important. They both have implications for markets, for interest rates, for debt management, for fiscal policy, and for monetary policy. The Short-Run Outlook for Federal Finance To comprehend the short-rnn outlook for Federal finance, it is highly important to grasp two fundamental background points -- one substantive and the other technical. F-1386 - 2 The substantive point is that the Federal Government's budgot defici t "li 11 swing from $25.4 bi Ilion in fiscal 1968 to less tho.n ~;5 bi Ilion in fiscal 1969 0 That is the key economic point which I want to develop in detail. The technical point has to do with the new unified budget concept introduced in JalLua:J.:'y of this year, based on the recor,lPlendations of the Presid~ntially appointed Commission on Budget Concepts chaired by David M. Kennedy, Chairman of the Conti nental I lltnois National Banlt and Trust Companr 0 In general, the new unified budget makes it much easier to analyze and understand the impact of Federal fiscal policy decisions on the money and capital markets. Nevertheless, since some Federal lending agencies were in the budget in fiscal 19G8 but either arc or will be out of it in fiscal 1969, when I talk of the differing market impact of Federal finance in these two fiscal years, I shall do some reconciliation. I'll go into that point in a bit more detail later. Let us loo}: first at the key point of substance. Enactment and approval in June of the Reve.me and Expenditure Control Act of 19G8 initiated a major turnabout· in the fiscal position of the Federal Government and a reversal of its i.lUpac t upon the money and capi tal markets. - 3 - The budget deficit for fiscal 196B was $25.4 billion. The January Budget Message estimn.ted the fiscal 1969 deficit at $8 billion, with expenditures projected at $186 1 billion 0 and revenues at $178.1 billion. The latter figure assumed legislative passage of the requested 10 percent surcharge on corporate and individual income tAxes, continuation of the excise taxes originally scheduled for reduction on April 1, 1968, and the scheduled increase in Social Socprity taxos on January 1, 1969 0 As passed, the legislation included the surcharge and excise tax actions o Italso included a ceiling on expenditures for fiscal 1969 and required, in addition, a $10 billion cut in new obligational authority. The ceilin~ on fiscal 1969 expenditures, in effect, requires a $A billion cut in spendin~. By the time the legislation was passed, the original expenditure estimate of $186 1 billion, which included net Federal lending, had been 0 raised by $4.4 billion, due mainly. to increased costs in four categories -- Vietnam ($2.3 billion), interest payments ($900 million), veterans' benefits ($400 million), and various payments from Social Security trust funds ($800 million) 0 While the spending ceiling was set in the legislation at $180.1 billion, increases in these areas were exempted, so that the effective ceiling became $184.4 billiono - 4 Subsequent exer1pt1ons were gi vell certain TV A expendi tures, Commodity Credit progra.ms, and certain matching grants to the States for social welfare. The exemptions moan that noneXClllpted pl'ogl'an:s will not have to be cut further if exempted expenditures run above estimates. But cuts of $6 billion have to be ma.de in the nonexempted spending categories. The midyear budget review, completed just a month or so ago, estimated fiscal 1969 outlays, including Federal lendinG, at $18104 billion -- the effective ceiling level. Revenues were estimated at $179.4 billion, up from the original estimate mainly because late passage of the tax legislation had the effect of throwing some revenue originally expected in fiscal 1968 into fiscal 1969. The deficit for fiscal 1969 thus was forecast at $5 billion. That figure is .likely to be reduced. Even with the exemptions noted above, it is expected that fiscal 1969 outlays will stay roughly in line with the ceiltng figure and run in the neighborhood of $185 bil;ion. Revenues in September and October, however, have been running significantly higher than expected. Therefore, I expect the fiscal 1969 deficit to be appreciably below $5 billion. I shall note later what effect this has on our borrowing plans for the remainder of this calendar yearo - 5 - A budget swing of more than $20 billion will have a major effect UpOl1 the course of the economy in fiscal 1969, as well as on the volume of Federal financial demand in the money and capital maJ'1;.:ets ~ I certainly do not expect the economy to shrug off, without notice, the tax-expenditure packa.ge any more than I expect it to be thrown into a recossion by fiscal overkill. The economy vms and is stronger than was believed v:hen fiscal overkill was talked about. Such weaknesses as were stressed seemed to be transitory, rather than fundamental. The~' probably reflected as much as anything the undesirable imbalance ill our policy measures which resulted from the long delay in enactment of the tax-c~penditure legislation. Certainly no one responsible for policy expects recession to come from the fiscal measures. The goal is to slow down the economy to a safe cruising speed -- not to slam on the brakes for an abrupt stopo be proceeding smoothly, rather proceeding. th~n The adjustment seems to abruptly, but it is The third qua'rter GNP increase was down from the second quarter rise, but by less than I had hoped. quarter fiGures should indicate further slowdown. Fourth I expect indeed, we should all hope -- that the retardation will be gradual but also positive and effectivee - 6 - I turu now to the second background"point -- the technical one. The new unified budget draws all Federal accounts into oue budget. It thus is much more meaningful than the former budget presentations in measuring the over-all economic impact of Federal fiscal operations. The new unified budget includes in its outlay totals the net lending of Federal agencies -- but only those agencies ill which there is an element of Federal ownership. From a budget standpoint, the net lending concept is measured by the difference between loan disbursements and repayments. The latter includes prepayments and direct sales of assets. It docs not include the issuance of participation certificates, which arc treated as a means of financing, rather than as negative expenditures. From a broad economic viewpoint, there is another concept of net lending by Federal agencies. That concept recognizes that, while agency activity affects the over-all allocation of credit, on a net basis it is essentially neutral. What is borrowed in one sector of the market is used to supply funds to another. For my purposes, I shall treat the total of Federal finance demand on the markets as including direct Treasury borrowing and agency borrowing without reference to it being inside or outside the budget. - 7 The Federal Land Banks and the Federal Home Loan Banks are not included in the budget totals because they are outside the budget -- since there is no Federal ownership involved. The Budget Commission's test for inclusion or exclusion was Federal ownership. Government 0 That recommendation was accepted by the The fiscal 1968 and 1869 bU~Get include the activities of these two agencies. totals do not Nevertheless, I include their borrowings in my figures on Federal finance A complicating factor is that Fannie Mae's Secondary Marl~et Operations went pri va Itt,/ September. Its net lending consequently is in the fisca~ budgot totall, but the acti vi t.y of only one quarter is in the 1969 budGet total I have given you. Just passed legislation permits the Federal Inter-· mediate Credit Banks and tho Banks for Cooperatives to retire their Government-owned stock, and they are expected to be outside the budget by year-end, although their activities are included in both the fiscal 19G8 and 1969 totals I have cited. But, for my purposes, I include these agency borrow- 1ngs in the total of Federal finance demand. By these inclusions, I conform more to market appraisal than to real economic impact or to budget concept. In this transition period, this approach -- for market purposes -seems appropriatc o - 8 - Now, wi th thonc inlportant baclq~;l"ou~Hl points out of the way, I turn to the specifics of the short-run outlook for l"ec.le:t'l.'!..l fi no..nce. It is useful to look at this in half-year periods, simply bcc(lu~~e on revenues. thero is a strong sCF.sona,l f;:;',ctor operu ting The first half of each fiscal year -- the July _ Decembor period -- typically sees only about 45 percent of the entire fiscal year revenues. January - June period TIle second half -- the brings in the other 55 percent. Apnrt from any rising or fnlliu3 trend, expenditures are spread fairly evenly throughout the fiscal year. Thus, even with a budget in balance, there would bG a deficit in the July - December period, matched by a surplus in the January June period c The Treasm:y v.'ould year and repay in the second. bOl'~ow in the fil'st hal~ This is a major reason why Vie finance a lot of our first half requirements with tax anticipation bills. NOw, let us look at the contrast between the two balfyears of fiscal 1968 and the two half-years of fiscal 19690 Remember that the budget deficit for billion. fi~cal 1968 was $25.4 While I expect the ].969 deficit to be less than $5 bi Ilion, I usc the $5 bj,llion figure because it is the latest official figure. - 9 - The swinr; bcb'/cen tho t\'.'o full fisca.l yearf; thus is $20.4 billion, and it is dividod about equally between the The dofici t between July - December, 1967, was lu=tJ.f-yeaJ·s. $19.7 billioJl; this half-year, va esti~ate it at $10.1 billion, a favorable swing of $0.6 billion. In tho January - June, lS38, period, the deficit was $5.1 billion; in tho fj,J.'s t 11:).1.:( of calonc1ar 18(;9, Wf~ CX1)(~C t a curp ltlS of $5. I b:i.llicli., a fav01'able s\?ing of $10.8 bilJion. Vie lWCcl operations. chanr;es :i.n to trans 1a te these bu::1zet Tiu~t r:'tCz"!lS Treasury cash t1uvt Fe :r iGures into r.1arl';:ct !lave to adjust them for po~i tion, for sale~~ of ~;ecuri ties ma.inly specials or nonmarkctables -- to the Government lnves tr:lcll t Accounts, for s:1.1cs of nonmarketa.ble secur i ti os to other holders, and for Federal Reserve Open liarket tions. In adCition~ op~ra it will be useful to split borrowings between direct Treasury issues and agency issues and add in not only the agoncy issues that are reflected in the bud.get but those outside the budget also •. As noted, the latter adjustment is made solely for marl~et impact comparabi Ii ty the market still tends to view all agency finance as part of over-all Governmeut finance deinand, whether or not it is technically \'1i thin or wi thout the budget. - 10 - The first cOlllpari~~on is between July - December, 1967, and the saMe period in 1968. After all of the adjustments noted above, the net market dema.nd of Federal finance direct Treasury borrowings, plus agency borrowings both in and out of the budget -- was almost $15 billion in the 10G7 poriod, ~s against an estimated $8.5 billion in the 19G3 period -- a swing of more than $6 billion. Net Treasury bon:'o\:'ings in the last six months of calendar 19G7 were about $13 billion; in the similar period of 1968, they will be just $5.5 billion. Agency borrowings net in the two peJ:locls were or will be $1. 7 and $3.1 billion. But ths real differonce shows up when we break down the figures into quarters. In the third quarter of calendar 1967, net market borrowings on direct Treasuries and agencies totalled about $8 billion. The third quarter of 1968 saw comparable borrowings of close to $7 billion -- not much less than in the same period of the previous year. But, in the fourth qual'ter of last year, not Treasury and agency borrowings combined were almost $7 billion. In the fourth quarter of this year, they will net out to about $1 billion. It is highly important to note this pointo demand of Federal finance on the markets is over. The peak The Treasury has already raised all of the net new cash it needs in calendar 1968. - 11 - In effect, all it needs to do for the is to rollover its maturing debt. b~lance of this year This afternoon, the Treasury will announce its debt operations for tho remainder of 1968. That announcement ~ill indicate that, in view of increased revenues, net cash borrowing for the remainder of 1968 will be unnecessary. The picture for January - June, 1969, is even more fHvorable. In the first six months of this yen.r, direct Troasury borrowinG, plus agency borrowing -- both inside and outside the budget -- was almost $3 billion. In the first half of calendar 1969, it will be only $1.5 billion. And, after adj us tment for Treasury cash, inves tr,len t of Government Investment Accounts, assumed Federal Reserve Open Market purchases, and sales of nonmarketables, the swinG will be almost $9 billion. That is, Federal finance, in effect, will be repaying the market $8 billion in the first six months of calendar 1969, rather than the net borrowing of about $1 billion in the comparable period of 1968. To summarize, fourth quarter 1937, plus first half 1968, resulted in net market demand for Federal finance of about $9 billion. This was after adjustment for Treasury cash, purchases of Government Investment Accounts and the Federal Reserve, and sales of nonmarketables. It included all direct Treasury finance, plus all agency borrowings, whether within or without the budget. - 12 - Fourth quarter 19G3, plus first half 1969, will result in a net market paydown of about $7 billion -- on the same bo.sis. I~ Thn t swing of $t.6- bi Ilion in lessened market ~easurcs financc o the real impact of the fiscal package on Federal It is a real swing, and a very si~nificant Given this picture, what is the outlook for rates? one. inter(~st P.t a mintliluln, it is certainly h{)xd to see upward pJ:c::;:.;sun-:; on them. runnill~ del~land In f(1.ct, wi til the ccono:::y e;~pcctcd to be at a lower and safer speed, and \':i th the sharply lessened requirements for Federal finance, it would seem reasonable to ey.pect somcwhat lower rates ovcr the next six to nine months. This should be healthy for the ecollorny and for Fodera 1 finance. Financing Public RcquircLlcnts Over the Longel~ Term The preceding discussion clearly suggests that, over the ncar-term future, the pressure on the securities market, exerted by the public sector should, in the aggregate, diminish very markedly. The technical task of financing these reqlrlre- ments, moreover, should not present undue difficulties. When we look ahead to the longer term, however -- for the next t~n years or beyond -- the picture is different. - 13 For here, the financing requirements that can be envisaged are truly formidable, and there is a pressing need for finding more imaginative and efficient means of mobilizing the needed capital. The area that presents the greatest challenge relates to the financing of what I call the infrastructure for social welfare. In this area, needs have risen with dramatic force in the recent past -- and promise to advance even more sharply in the years ahead. I include in this category urban redevelopment and renovation of ghettos, enlargement of public housing, restructuring of public transportation facilities, combatting air and water pollution, and enlarged and improved education and health facilities. Some of these tasks involve continuation of past activities. Others are essentially new in character. But, in the total, the magnitude of the financing requirements will be massive. It may almost be said that the change in quantity is prospectively so great as to make the financing problem a change in kind, as well as in amount. Some of the activities I have cited may be undertaken and financed entirely by State and local governments. Some others may be wholly within the sphere of Federal responsibility. But, for the most part, these activities will require some form of Federal assistance to, and Federal partnership with, the State and local governments. - 14 What is needed now -- and is, indeed, beGinning to tnkc place -- is a this sea:rchin~ p~l.l'tncrship SCOiJ8 will cal} :[01' amounts of the direction and financial discipline local incbpendc:nce and flexibility. 101' broad clecisjons 1:.C\'! look as to hm'l It will require a proper balance o}~dorly over-~ll and nmplc comprchen~~i ve be developcd in the Illost effecti ve and CD.Il satisfactory fashion. bctv,'ecn and 011 It the absolute and relative needs to bo fin?nced directly from tl:Xil'- timl 2.nd thc.; extent to which they can be lJlct ini tially by bOrJ.'o\'/in:;. ,",'here tax;::.tion is involved, em optimum sharing of the burden betwcen the Fcderal Governncnt and States anc1 locali ties is required. In the C2c;je of borrowing, questions arise as to the optimum mix between direct Federal borrowing, traditional State and local debt financing, and resort to other, and partly new, types of ~n borro~ing arrancements. all cases, there is a need to search for the most efficient, economical, and equitable means of financing -means that will optiuize the bGl1ci;Lts and minimize the overall costs to the taxpayer, moans to permit the raising of funds in the capi tal marl:ets at the lov/est cost feasible, and means that can be flexibly 2.d:lptcct to chanGing needs. And, in my juclp:H:~nt, it is important thnt the financing procedu:re be clear and visible, so that intelligent choices alT.ong 2,ltcrn:1.tivG l';1cthods can be can be clearly identified. I;'!::-;'C:O and subsi dy elemcnts - 15 ~ Let me concentrate here on those spending needs that are likely to be financed, at least in the first instance, the issuance of debt, rather than oy tax largely throut~h fuuds. Clearly, a major share of the emerging needs will have to be financed in this way. Th8. t does not mcan, of course, that the Federal share can be met without a significant contribution from the tax sidc o contribution n,ty CUlilC This tax-financed about in the for1l1 of dobt service grants, involvinG payments of interest or of capital -- or both -- on locnlly issued debt; it may entail outright taxfinanced Federal subsidies granted for projects that also require lal'gc public borrcHI:i.nr.;; l t may result siw.ply because States and localities can issue tax-c~empt securities. IIow large arc the cap:i.tal nC0ds of the types considered here that arc J.il~(;ly to arise ovcr tho next few years? can they bost be financed? I{oV/ And what impact is such financing likely to exert on capital markets generally? The Magnitude oJ the Task. In 1947, net State and local debt was less than $15 billion. By 1957, it had Grown to $47 billion; and, it stooel at ~;113 billion. last year, A rac:I.'C continuance of this growth trend would ra.ise the lovol of outst8.nding State and local debt ten 1~~rs from now by about $120 billion -- to a level of $210 billiono - 16 But this is only part of the story. On top of the norm3,l grO\','th proj ccted, it appears that there will be a very suu;"tantL:.l increa.se ill State and local deut as a result of new and expo, llctcd assis Ltnce. pr()f~l':ll;lS i l1VO 1 vJ 1113 Federal financial E8 t i :,Iatc;j of the 111:01 y lilagni t.ude of this in- crease vary widely, not only because the costs of different progr~~,hs to s01vc Ollt' Ul't;(?))t socia.l and environm~ntal pl'oblcll~. arc oftcn vel')' difficult to project, but ah;o because of diffel'cnt asscssm.:mts as to hoy/ fully the States and localitics will actually seek to mccct those probler.ls. Let me j1. v ..;t etto one typo this point. 0:[ the COll[J'css calculation that illustrates cn~Lcted, or cauw close to enacting, provision::; fOJ.' FcdcTal c<lpi tal n.ssistance :in the form of debt service grants for a expanded State and local programs. s8~ie3 of new or ~reatly It is useful to look at the Copgressional authorizing legislation for such assistance and them to cctlcu18. tc ""hat it impli es for the growth of State and local c1el)t financin[;o For excunple, Congress authorized addi tional debt service grants for puulic next h:o yell's 0 housin~ This wi 11 of $150 million a year for the [;1;:>.;::8 possi ble a total of about $3 hi Ilion a ye3x in acldi tional local debt fin,ancing for thi s purpose. I fane aSSW1CE:; that addi tional COllGi:ess ional authorizations wi 11 be maintDined 2.t the salile level over the - 17 next decade, the total added debt frO];l this program alone would come to $30 billion. Federal as~~istan('.e I am not including projected to 10Vl incoMe housing unde:;.' tIliE headir,g this would bc a much larr;er private as well as public SUIll, since it v'ould CUCCI,I PC:L!::S housin~. Using simi lar calculation:::> for three other program areas on which Congress completed action in 19G8, one fin~s a potential net increase in State 2nd local debt over the next dccz:.de of about $20 billion for colleGe housing, acaclenic facili tics, and the vocational education progralil, although some of this will presumably be for private nonprofit institutions. The debt sel'vice grant approach v/Us also authorized for the anti-water pollution program in legislation which passed both the House and the Senate this year, though it did not survive the adjournment rush o Assuming a continua- tion of the annual level of new dollar authorizations in the enabling legislation, the potential increase in State and local debt for these purp6~es over the next decade is $40 billion. In addition, the Senate passed a bill in 19G8 which authorized debt service grants on obligations issued by State and local bodies, as well as nonprofit institutions, for hospital modernization. The needs in this area have been estimated at over $10 billion. - 18 Thus, assuming that the Congress follows through on the debt service grant approach in just these six program areas, tho potential increase in State and local debt over the next decade is about $100 billion. To this amount, one would need to add new financing require;nents for mass 'transi t, other urban redevelopment activities, municipal airports, anti-air pollution efforts, and other areas in which Federal programs have been established and are expected to be increased. Taking all this into account, it is not at all difficult to visualize a total rise ill State and local debt over the next ten years of $150 billion or more, in addi tion to the "normal" gl'owth of $120 billion cited earlier. That would mean that, in ten yoars, State and local debt would be rising by $30 to $35 billion or more a year, rather than by $10 billion, or less, as at present. To some extent, the new programs cited may substitute for what I have counted as "normal" growth. But this overlap may not be large; the new programs cited will deal essentially with new types of needs. Also, the annual new dollar authori- zations which Congress has now provided for the next few years may not be continued at the same level for a decade. Given the pressure of underlying needs, however, it seems at least as likely that, on balance, we will see increases rather than reductions in Congressional authorizations as the decade progresses. - 19 lar~e In citing these potentially very figures, it has not been my purpose to suggest that the indicated requirements cannot be financed through debt issues, My hunch is, in fact, that, in a strongly crowing economy and with continued progress iu tapping new sources of savings, the task will, in the end, prove manageable, If the economy expands at a rate in real terms of 4 to 4-1/2 percent over the next decade -- which is quite practicable under intelligent economic policies in both public and private sectors working togethe)~ we would have a GNP in 1978 of some $1. 3 tri Ilion, which would Generate a lot more tax revenues and a lot more savings, Dut there can be no doubt that I evell so, the tasl~ will be more manageable only if we have major improvements in methods of mobilizing capital. The Need for New Financing Approacl~es. In calling for such i Illprovements, I assume that the traditional means of financing State and local government needs will have a continued role, particularly in the financing of tasks that have customarily been entirely in the province of such governments. But I do not think that these means alone will be adequate to cope with the demands generated by new types of programs h~ge additional or that they can fully satisfy the criteria of maximum efficiency and economy. - 20 As I hn.VG inuicatGu p:':'0vioLJsly, by far the IU()st pl'or,li:3iz 1 :; apprc)1.eh fo:c mobilizinG the needed new capi tnl in a more tnG!lt e~~fic:~(jn.t m::mncr v:ould seeril to lie in the establiGh- of a new central fj.nancinr; insti tution for domestic development -- such as a National Urban Development E~nk. Many (Efferent pl"oposals for such a central devclopn18nt financin~ institution have recently baen offered, and the neeel is to reach ~.LTeCJl1Cllt on the more precise characte:dstics of such an institution. As I see it, the new il1"S ti tu tion would i~,sue its OW11 securities, backed by Federal guarantee, and relend the proceeds to pro~rarn agencies -- either to Federal lending agencies or directJ.y to State and local bodies, depending on Con~ressional ancl contX'o 1. help decisions as to individual program structure Asi de 1'\~l..rtctinG f.l'OlTl the Federal guarantee, which "iOuIcl and minimize intel'est costs, a Fede:t'8.1 con- tri l)'..ltio11, to the e):tcnt nccessa:l.'y 3.nd def;irable, fl~OU cOl~lc1 COj!10 clc?_l'ly identified intc:cest r.ate subsidies given bon.'o\','C'l'S f).'ol;) t:lO iDstitution and p'rovid8d by direct Congressiorlrl.l appl'opria tions. The advan t().~';es oJ the nc\",' apprortcll v.'ould be lJ1ani fold. Fi 1'S t, the nC';! l n~~ ti tn t ion could d 8ve lop one c:f fie i en t market in~ i n~:J tru~ilcn t _.- or broad 8pPc8.1 to various f~mi ly of i IlS trumen ts -- wi tIl inv~stor classes. - 21 It could thus tap a much widor marhet than the many instruments now being issued by a great variety of Federal agencies and State and local agencies receiving Federal assistance. The market for such instruments would also be likely to attain much greater depth than alternative financing means for urban dovelopment purposes, Thus, secondary markets should develop which would allow ready "shiftability" of the securities among investors. In speaking of "one" efficient marketing instrula811t, I do not nccessari ly mean that the institution would issue only- a Single type of instrument. It could offer a number of closely related types of securities, but tailored in ways that broaden the range of reachable investors, similar to the spectrum of offerings now used in Fedoral debt management, itself. But these instruments should be carefully designed to fit into a cohel'c:at whole. Probably variations in types should be relatively few for some time; and their relation to the Treasury's debt, itself, would have to be carefully conside~ed. Second, in contrast to the present fragmentation of financing efforts, the new institution would automatically provido for coordination of issuos and requiring finance. cont~ol over prozrams - 22 'f'lnl;::;, a centra.l fin~ncinG insti tuU.on y/oulcl h:~ve the grca 1.8st J flexibility in goins to tho mal'J:et a.t the best time and with the vo 1 Uij1~, !]';t tUl'i ti c::.~, and oth01' term:::) and coudi tioils which would enable it to borroTI at a significantly lower inter8st ra.t.e than could bo obtained by several smaller, special purpose iDstitutions, tit;1in~, season~tl each with its own special problems of f'1.ctors, and other progJ.~am considerations. I do not think, incidontally, that tho answer to the financi.ng probl€Jtns over the next decade will be to establish a separate new institution for each problem area, such as an education bank, a pollution control banh:, a ban1:, ctc. rfhe d:i.lfic\.11 ty wi ill this tr~.nsportation app~~oach -- in addi tion to tho duplication of effort and the problem of finc1ing that much fillClllcing talent ._- is the proli:feriltion of financinu jnfjtr11111(~nts v:hich \','ould devolop and the problem of coor.cl:i.n:>..tin:; these issues in the marl~et. Of course, even a central financ- ing institution could decentralize its lending activities, oi the)..' in terms of loan purpose or f,80graphic region. But I think thETC is a pe:t·sl.n.s~ ve case f01' a centralized npr\j~oC1.ch to ~obilizin~ Third, capital funds. the new approach pC1'ui ts the fliost ccono[:dcal financinc; of tho Growing new lloads, lo:>};:(~d vie\,lpoint of the Federal GovernLlcnt or State and local governments. f1"0111 at 01 thor frOll! the the vicv!point of - 23 - If all of these new needs were to be financed in the tax-exempt municipal bond market, which, by its very nature, is limitod in capacity, the additional volume of financing would tend to have the effect of significantly increasing State and municipal borrowing costs, not only for these new programs but across-tho-board for all State and municipal government program3. The proposed new institution would avoid these problems by operating in a far broader market. The net cost to the Federal budget, moreover, would bo minimized through the use of the proposed development bank, which would issue taxable securities. 'l'hese considerations gi ve the Federal Goverl1ljiCnt and State and local governments a community of interest in finding the financing means that will be DoSt economical for all levels of government combined. And I am confident that means can be found which will not iQpinge in any way on the ultimate fiscal independence of State and local governments, which now rely mainly on the tax-exempt concept. Sor::c Implica tion~. Even if the fo_r~_~api ta I bur~conillg Mar~cts. new needs that we now cllvisa~e arc financed in a much more efficient fashion than is now the caso, such financin3 vill be bound to have a major impact on capital and securities markets generally. - 24 Added to continuing large private requirements -- and notably the likelihood that new housing needs will exert much greater pressures on the general capital markets than in the past -- it will almost certainly mean that the average level of long-term interest rates will be higher than in the 1950's and early 1960's, when they were quite low. 'i'll).S their i;:; r1('-(:: VG1'y to ililply that ratcs will But i t hiLh J:'Gcord: levels. as to ho~ lon~ ~o can afford when a vcrazc i ntcrcst rates levels indicated rn~d.nt(';n0.ncc of fo)~ \':(;T8 It suggosts that continued th8 Ltatuto!.'Y ~.-·J./1 p2TC(~nt you 11:: v c thc r;hu:ct-.l'UJl, the p.l:c:;s\'~l'e clil:1ini~~h sh:n'ply 1 1'2..tcs, OVC~l' tJJc: ceilinG on lO~lg·· m"-n8.~:;encnt. CO;-;1lnCnt sl!CJ).'t Cl.ud of Fc(ic:!'al lon[': fin~.nce of it. clcm~nd For the will y:i th consequently lcs~.-, Pl'cssl1.:ce on int(:j:U/~ l(J:~~c.': J'UD, il1fr~tst:nJ.c "Lurc \"::1.11 plac~ SUCCCS:'30::S raise qnostiOllG substall tiaJ.ly b8J 0\'1 the thc intEl'c. Cone 1 udillf"'; th81'C (~08G to continue accepting attitudes 60;;lC ol:::;taclc to :.icnmd I'ccl(;l'al ct8bt So not COTilO do'o':':'l fr.OLI the 118C(;0 vO::l.'y hcztvy r.-el1 in LC:ctine the 000 h~I.('d 3m: f~ocial c~sLanc1s v:c1:;','.).'(:' ontl)c capit~.l firranci<"1.1 problCi:Js of TREASURY DEPARTMENT - WASHINGTON. D.C. October 23, 1968 The Treasury today announced that it is offering holders of the no~c0 and bonds nl",['urins Nover::bcr 15, 19G8, and the bonds maturinG DeccJl~ber 15, 19G8, the rieht to exch<'.Tl[';e their holdint;s for an 18-month note or a 6~ycal' note. The sect1l'ities eligible for exch"mgc are as fol10Hs: 5-1!4~~ Treo'0ul~ ~Iotcs of Series D-1968, maturing November 15, 1968, Tre[t~u:cy Bonds of 1968, maturing November 15, 1958, and 2-1/2? Treasury Bonds of 1963-68, r:laturing December 15, 1968. 3-7/U% The notes being offered are as fol1o'V1S: 5-5/e~ Treasur'J Notes of Series B-1970, dated November 15, 1968, due ~lay 15, 1970, at 99.85 to yield about 5.73%, and an C',dditionc.l amount of 5-3/4~ Treasury Notes of Series A-1974, dat.ed Novcr.lber 15, 1967, due Nove~Ilber 15, 1974, at par. About $1,652 million of such notes are outstanding. In the case of excl1a.'1Ges for the 5-5/8~ notes subscribers will recci V2 payment of ~l. 50 per $1,000. C', co.~l: In the case of exch::U1e;es of the 2-1/2~ bonds interest will be aJju::;teJ '15 of Decer,ber 15, 1968: (1) subscTibers submitting silbscriptions for the 5-5l:'J:,~ notes ..Till be cil~;r8ed (¢.!:.S6l60 per $1,000) interest from November 15 to Decerober 15, 1958, on such notes and credited "lith ~12.50 per $1,000) interest frOM Ju.'1C 15 to Dece,;:bcr 15, 1968, on the 2-l/2~ bonds plus the cash payment (~1.50 per $1,000) on accoID1t of ~r.e issue price of the notes, for a net payment to then of ~9.33C~O per $1,000; e.nd (2) subscribers sub:ni ttine; subscriptions for the 5-3/4:j~ notc3 'I':ill be Charged ($4.76519 per ~1,000) interest from lTovember 15 to DeceMber 15, 19C;8, on such notes r..nrl credited ',<lith ($12.50 pel' $1,000) interest from June 15 to DeccE'.bel' 15,1968, on t:o.<2 2-1/2% bonds for a net payment to them of $7.73481 pSI' $1,000. The public holds about $5.6 billion of the securities eligible for exchanGe, and. about ¢G.:3 billion is held by Federal Reserve a!1d Govern:;:ent accoill1ts. Cash subscriptions for the new notes will not be received. The boo~<:s -.:ill be eyen for three days only, on October 28 thrOUGh Octooer 30, for the receipt of sub~c:dptions. Subscriptio:1s DclJI'2S~ed to a, Fcc>=:rc:',l R·.~:- :..r'/t; 3: ,,:---: or Bl'c'J:~h, or to the O::~:i.ce of the Trcc.surer of the ~jnited StJ.tes, ar.d pb.cei in the I!lail bc:.~o::::-e ::ddnic;hJc OC'cober 30, I-iill be considered as ti~:ely. The ?Cl.y:.',~:.t c ;j deUvery date for tr.e notes 'dill be Hoverr,oer 15, 1968. ~hc notes Hill be rr'.1.d-2 F-13J7 - 2 - available in registered as well as bearer form. All subscribers requesting registered notes will be required to fUrnish appropriate identifying numbers u required on tax returns and other documents submitted to the Internal Revenue Service. Coupons dated November 15, 1968, on the securities maturing on that date should be detached and cashed when due. The November 15, 1968, interest due on registered securities will be paid by issue of interest checks in regular course to holders of record on October 15, 1968, the date the 'transfer books closed. Coupons dated December 15, 1968, on the bonds due on that date must be attached. Interest on the 5-5/8~ notes will be payable on May 15 and November 15, 1969, and May 15, 1970. Interest on the 5-3/4% notes will be pB\Yable on May 15 and November 15 until maturity. TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON. D.C. R RELEASE 6:~0 P.M., ursday, October 24, 1968. RESULTS OF TREASURY I S MOBTBLY BILL OFFERING 1he Treasury Department announced that the tenders for two serie s of Treasury 11s, one series to be an additional issue of the bills dated July 31, 1968, and the series to be dated October 31, 1968, which were offered on October 17, 1968, were ened at the Federal Re serve Banks today. ~nders were invited for $500,000, 000, or ereabouts, of Z7~-day bills and for $1,000,000,000, or thereabouts, of 365-day bills. e details of the two series are as follows: ~er NGE OF ACCEPTED mTITIVE BIDS: High Low Average 273-day Treasury bills maturing July 31, 1969 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 95.883 ijJ 5.42§iJ 95.859 5.461~ 95.870 5.446~ 11 ~ Excepting 3 tenders totaling $2,591,000; 365-day Treasury bills maturing October 31, 1969 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 5.38~ 94.536 flI 94.506 5.41~ 94.524: 5,401, : Y 'EI Excepting 1 tender of $2:38,000 96" of the amount of 273-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted 6~ of the amount of 365-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted eAL TENDERS APPLIED FOR AND ACCEPTED BY FEIERAL RESERVE DIS'mICTS: )istrict :hicago It. Louis linneapolis Ansas City 1a118s :an FranCisco AEl21ied For AcceI:!ted 23,000 $ 23,000 $ 411,549,000 1,055,189,000 573,000 5,573,000 499,000 3,499,000 931,000 931,000 9,155,000 6,155,000 22,051,000 96,131,000 17,170,000 25,170,000 2,400,000 10,400,000 744,000 744:,000 5,910,000 11,910,000 118 z395 z000 32 z183.z000 Applied For $ 31,330,000 1,514:,607,000 11,604,000 23,514,000 1,978,000 22,892,000 136,447,000 4:0,666,000 10,4:86,000 7,592,000 12,073,000 174 z 953 z000 IDw.s $1,317,120,000 $ 500,188,000 sI $1,988,14:2,000 ~oston ~w York ~hi18de 1phia :ieve1and lichmond ~t18nta AcceI:!ted $ 330,000 889,250,000 1,604,000 11,864,000 1,978,000 8,044,000 25,447,000 34:,666,000 486,000 6,592,000 2,073,000 17,2753Z0oo $1,000,087,000 ~ Includes $16,4:79,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 95.870 Includes $37,171,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 94.524 These rates are on a bank discount basis. The equivalent coupon issue yields are 5.71~ for the 273-day bills, and 5.11~ for the 365-day bills. i-1388 TREASURY DEPARTMENT , WASHINGTON. D.C. October 25, 1968 FOR A.M. RELEASE SATURDAY. OCTOBER 26, 1968 TREASURY DEPARTMENT ANNOUNCES PROPOSED REGULATIONS ON RESTRICTED STOCK PLANS The Treasury Department today announced the pllblicativn of proposed regulations affecting the taxation of restricted stock plans. The proposed regulations, published in the Federal Register of Saturday, October 26, 1968, relate to the rules for determining when and how much compensation is to be included in the taxable income of an employee \cr an independent contracter) as a result of a transfer to him of stock or other property subject to restrictions which substantially reduce the value of that property. An example of such a restriction is a provision that the employee cannot sell the stock before retiring from the company. The proposed regulations would not apply to stock which has been transferred on or before October 26, 1968 Background Since the Congressional tightening of the rules relating to stock options in 1964, a growing number of employers are turning to alternate deferred compensation arrangements, such as restricted stock plans The intended tax effect of these plans is to defer the time when the employee must pay tax on the compensation represented by the stock until the restrictions lapse, often many years after the stock is issued to him, but then to have the amount of compensation to be taxed limited, despite this deferral, to the value of the stock (without its restrictions) at the time it was issued, Thus, all appreciation subsequent to the issuance of the stock would be excluded in determining the employee's taxable compensation and, if taxed at all, would be taxed at capital gain rates F-1389 - 2 These plans may involve the use of the employer's own stock or, as has recently developed, the use of stock of a completely unrelated company or companies. These arrangements in effect are designed to allow an employee to use part of his compensation to build up an investment portfolio, which may even be deversified, under extremely favorable tax conditions, i.e., without paying tax on the funds invested over the period the portfolio is growing and then, when tax is due, paying that tax only on the value at the time the investment was made, without regard to appreciation which has taken place in the intervening period o EXQlanation of Proposal The Treasury Department has re-examined its rules in this area to insure that they are consistent with the tax results of comparable transactionso As a result of this examination, it has become apparent that the present rules concerning the issuance of restricted stock are not consistent with the rules now in effect for a closely comparable transaction, that of the issuance of non-qualified stock options. (A non-qualified stock option is an option issued to an employee which does not meet the conditions for special tax treatment established by the Revenue Act of 1964.) In the latter case, the amount of compensation is measured by the value of the stock at the time it comes fully under the employee's control rather than by referring back to the lower value at an earlier date as under restricted stock plans. The proposed regulations would achieve comparable results by measuring the amount of compensation under a restricted stock plan by the value of the stock at the time the restictions lapse. The non-qualified stock option rules are based on judicial interpretation, including a Supreme Court decision, (Commissioner v. LoBue, 351 U. S. 243, 1956), of the applicable statutory provisionso These same provisions are equally applicable to restricted stock plans with the result that the same tax treatment should applyo The Congress has permitted rules different from the general rules regarding compensation to apply only when specified conditions are met, as in the qualified stock option rules revised in 1964. Restricted stock plans do not meet these special conditions. - 3 - Submission of Comments Those wishing to comment on the proposed regulations will have a period of 30 days (until November 25, 1968) to submit written statements to Commissioner of Internal Revenue, Attention: CC:LR:T, Washington, D. C. 20224 A public hearing on the matter will be held starting on Tuesday, December 3, 1968, at 10:00 AoM. EST, and continuing if necessary on Wednesday, December 49 .in Room 3313, Internal Revenue Service Building, Constitution Avenue between 10th and 12th Streets, N.W., Washington, D. C. Persons who plan to attend the hearing should notify the Commissioner of Internal Revenue, Attention: CC:LR:T, Washington, D. C. 20224. Notification of intention to attend the hearing may be given by telephone, 202-96403935. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR RELEASE UPON DELIVERY MONDAY, OCTOBER 28, 1968 PST REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE STANLEY S. SURREY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE FIFTH ANNUAL DEVELOPMENT FORUM URBAN AMERICA INC. INTERNATIONAL HOUSE, UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY, CALIFORNIA - 10:00 AM PST TAX ASSISTANCE FOR HOUSING ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR THE FEDERAL TAX STRUCTURE AND THE FEDERAL BUDGET Introduction I appreciate the opportunity to address this dis tinguished group, concerned in its various ways with the tremendous tasks facing this country in the field of housing and urban development. As you know, in the next three decades or so, urban population and urban area will double. In this span of time we are literally confronted with the challenge of building a second and greatly advanc~d America. This means putting in place as much housing, educational buildings, office space, industrial and commercial construction, and their infrastructure as have been accumulated since settlement began early in the 17th century. F-1390 - 2 The achievement of this goal will place demands on our know-how and resources, including our ability to focus intelligent and rational monetary and fiscal policy in support of the efforts of the architect, the engineer, the builder, the financier, and the urbanologist. Income Tax Assistance and Housing: A Dilemma In order to plan our future in a rational and effective manner, we should be aware not only of the magnitude of the urban growth trend and the needs it involves, but also of the vital but often not recognized interrelationship between housing or construction generally and the Federal tax system. This interrelationship -- or at least some critical aspects of it -- is what I would like to discuss with you today. The purpose of my remarks is to pose to you the dilemma which I believe now exists and which plagues our approaches to the solution of our lower-income housing problem. The nature of this di~emma can be stated very briefly: more and better lower-income housing is a prime goal of national policy some have suggested that a prime instrument to achieve this goal is tax assistance, tax subsidy, tax credits, or what you will - 3 but careful examination of the tax assistance presently provided shows difficulties -- even glaring defects that have been created by that assistance with respect to both (1) a fair tax system and (2) proper budgetary control. This points to a problem of Choice, of national decision making. This dilemma can be avoided. There are effective non- tax route methods available to assist and support our housing efforts: direct grants, loans, loan guarantees, interest subsidies, rent supplements, the creation of new financial institutions such as an urban development bank, and the strengthening of the existing structure of savings and credit institutions. It is our hope, therefore, that the dilemma can be resolved by using a combination of non-tax routes to our housing goals. Let me describe in greater detail" both the dilemma and some of the reasons for tRis urgent hope that it can be resolved. Tax Assistance for investment in rental housing It is a familiar fact that income tax laws now provide preferential treatment in the housing field which subsidizes - 4 both rental real estate operators and housing consumers. It is the rental housing investment aspect of this tax subsidy with which I am primarily concerned today. The total revenue cost of this tax assistance system to rental housing investment is difficult to estimate because of the limitations of available data on housing investment activity and the complex interplay between the relevant tax provisions and housing transactions. runs into very large amounts. Nevertheless, the cost Before reckoning the dollar amount more exactly, let us take a closer look at the tax assistance now given for investment in all buildings, including rental housing. The income tax law allows accelerated depreciation methods which the Treasury considers unrealistic for investors in buildings. For new buildings, as on machinery and equipment, the law permits the use of the 200 percent declining balance and sum of the years-digits methods. The former permits the annual write-off of the original cost of a building at a rate equal to twice the corresponding straight line rate. An approximately similar pattern of write-off is allowed under the sum of the years-digits method. Under the 200 percent - 5 declining balance method, the tax write-off in the first full year on a 40-year building is 5 percent of cost (twice the 2-1/2 percent straight line rate). the be years-digi~method Under the sum of the corresponding percentage would 40 or about 4.88 percent. 820 For used buildings, the law and regulations permit the 150 percent declining balance method, which provides a rate equal to 150 percent, the corresponding straight line rate. The write-off in the first year on a 40-year building would thus be 3-3/4 percent of cost in the first year. The following brief summary indicates the first year, first 5-year, and first lO-year write-off as a percentage of a building's cost under 25- and 40-year lives and the four major alternative depreciation formulas: : 200 percent : 150 percent declining Sum-Of-~h~ declining : : balance : years dlglt: balance :25-year :40- y ear :25-year: 40-y e ar: 2~-year :40- y ear: 25-year :'"4-=-O--y-e-a-r life life life life life life life life Straight-line Year 1 4% 25 8 % % " 5 7.7% % 4.9% 6.0% 3.75% First 5-year total 20 12·5 34.1 22.6 35.4 23.2 26.6 17.4 First la-year Total 40 25 56.6 40.1 63.1 43.3 1[6.1 31.8 - -~" ;::x - !:C"....... -~ -;r----;~ ~~-=-~ ~p-- - 6 After accelerated depreciation begins to run low, the real estate may be resold subject to capital gain rates. (At the time of sale there is only a limited recapture i.e., taxation at ordinary rates of a part of the gain on disposition reflecting a portion of prior depreciation deductions taken on the property ation on real estate. of this excess depreci- As a result of the limited recapture the gain representing the excess depreciation is subject primarily to capital gains tax though the depreciation had offset income taxed at ordinary rates.) The seller can then repeat the accelerated depreciation process on another new building. The buyer can recommence depreciation with a stepped-up basis on the old property using the 150 percent declining balance method, but with a generally shorter tax life which may give about as favorable a rate as the 200 percent declining balance rate on the original investment. In combination \\lith leveraging --. use of a high ratio of mortgage debt to the property's cost -- the accelerated depreciation advantages are concentrated on a relatively thin equity capital commitment, giving rise to the familiar real estate tax shelter. Under this arrangement, depreciation - 7 and mortgage interest not only wipe out the taxable rental income from the property but also give rise to depreciationcaused "tax losses" which can be applied against other income. Real estate investors also enjoy advantages of tax deferral on their gains through the tax-free swapping rules, installment sale provisions, and the refinancing to withdraw equity capital growth as tax-free borrowing proceeds. They also enjoy the ability to obtain an early return of a major part of their equity commitments almost at the outset through the deduction of interest costs on construction loans and local property taxes on the entire project. It is difficult to estimate the over-all revenue cost of the real estate tax shelter in its various forms and arrangements, taking into account the fact that while the capital gains tax provides a partial recoupment of excess tax depreciation it also encourages repeated cycles of sales to restore tax basis and r.enew the accelerated write-of process. i Looking at the accelerated depreciation provisions by themselves, it is evident that where allowable tax depreciation exceeds the actual rate at which buildings are used up and become obsolescent, income tax liabilities are - 8 deferred. The accelerated depreciation tax schedules pro- vide a faster write-off than this economic erosion process, and considerably faster in the early years than the rate of mortgage debt amortization under the typical level payment plan. It is conservatively estimated that for all buildings, the revenue cost of allowing tax depreciation methods that write off the cost faster than straight line amounts to some $750 million annually. For residential buildings, the revenue cost would amount to about $250 million annually. Effects of present tax assistance for housing What do these millions of tax assistance -- actually a form of Federal outlay -- accomplish? The difficulty of answering that question is one of the key objections to the present system. There are no reliable quantitative estimates -- and it may be virtually impossible to obtain them of the effect of the present preferential tax provisions on building and housing investment, production, and maintenance. We are spending hundreds of millions of dollars annually, billions over the years, but we don't really know what we are getting - 9 for this tax money. Lacking quantitative assessment of what we are getting for this tax assistance, what are the qualitative effects? In broad outline, the experts tell us, the effects of the Federal income tax assistance seem to show the following pattern: the tax assistance provided, through accelerated depreciation and capital gain treatment, for housing investors and landlords presumably tends to encourage rental housing supply in the aggregate but who know how much; the a priori effect one would logically expect -- after all, millions of tax dollars are being provided annually -- cannot be reliably measured either in terms of buildings in the aggregate, housing generally, or low-income housing the tax stimuli are probably more effective for luxury- and moderate-income rental housing where profitability and appreciation prospects relativE: to risk are inherently more attractive than in lower-income housing the "trickle-down" supply effect for the lowerincome rental housing market is apparently slow and uncertain in a growing general housing market - 10 capital and other resource demands engendered by the existing tax stimuli probably tend to expand luxury housing, commercial, office, motel, shopping center and other forms of more glamorous investment, squeezing out lower-income housing the investor tax stimuli depend on and are sensitive to favorable financial leverage and interest rates relative to rents, so that they are turned on and off abruptly with abrupt changes in monetary policy; as a consequence, investors apparently rank loan term factors high and ahead of taxes in deciding whether to invest the tax benefits are not focused on new construction but are spread over repeated turnover of older properties; this may support the market and prices for older housing but the beneficial feedback to new construction incentive iS'probably not proportionate to the revenue cost the present treatment seems to create a tax environment favorable to frequent turnover which tends to discourage long-range "stewardship" and adequate maintenance - 11 - the tax stimuli probably aid new construction more than improvement or remodeling of existing housing since it appears that remodeling of risky lowincome projects cannot be conventionally financed as well as new housing We have looked at rough estimates of the revenue cost of this tax assistance. We have examined qualitatively some of the patterns of effect and they are not reassuring. We have noted that there are no quantitative assessments of the effect. This lack of clear, positive values on the benefit side is one of the defects of the present tax assistance system. Now let us take a look at how the tax subsidy route fits with the standards of a fair tax system. Incompatibility of tax assistance with an equitable tax system The cost of tax incentives for building -- residential and other -- cannot be counted solely in terms of revenue aggregates. It has a compelling significance in terms of its impact on individual taxpayers, on the sharing of government costs under a system supposedly dedicated to progressive and equitable tax principles, and on the phenomenon which so frequently discredits the American income tax system -- the - 12 individual with millions of dollars of income who makes little or no contribution to the Nation's revenue resources. Here we literally "come down to cases." Real estate operators The Treasury recently examined a sample of tax returns of taxpayers more aptly to be termed "non- taxpayers"-- engaged in real estate operations who enjoyed substantial income receipts. As an illustration of what this examination showed, out of one group of 13 individual returns for the year 1966, depreciation "losses" reduced the Federal tax liability of 9 of them to zero and of 2 others to less than $25. In the aggregate, the 13 taxpayers studied -- all of whom had very substantial gross incomes -- reported capital gains on real estate of $1,260,000, depreciation deductions of $462,334, and net rental "losses" of $370,000 after deducting all expenses and depreciation. Over a 7-year pe~iod one real estate operator had capital gains (chiefly from real estate sales) of over $5-1/2 million, and dividends, management fees, and other income of nearly $2 million -- a total income of about - 13 - $7-1/2 million. Yet because he had real estate "losses" arising from depreciation deductions, he paid only $800,000 in taxes, an average effective rate of 11 percent. Eleven percent is the effective tax rate paid annually by a married wage earner (two children) with around $10,000 of income. "Passive" investors in real estate The above tax returns represented individuals actively engaged in real estate operations. What about the larger group of "passive" real estate investors -- investment bankers, corporate executives, stockbrokers, and other "high-bracket" individuals -- who participate in syndicates leasing buildings of various kinds? The Treasury examined the returns of a number of passive real estate investors for 1964. Almost without exception, the real estate investments were made through syndicates or limited partnerships which leased the property, often to su~stantial business enterprisl On the average, these taxpayers showed a wage or salary income of $140,000 and reported real estate deductions in excess of real estate income of $77,500, which - 14 deductions offset other income. On the average, these real estate investors paid tax on only 53 percent of what would have been their taxable income except for these real estate "losses." This average "loss" of $77,500 resulted in average tax savings of about $45,000 per taxpayer or 58 percent of the "loss." Depreciation and interest expenses amounted to $1.46 for each dollar of real estate income reported. These investors presumably systematically sought and exploited unreal "tax losses" from real estate. The unreality of these "tax losses" is indicated by the fact that the cash rentals exceeded all cash expenses plus mortgage amortization payment so as to provide a favorable cash return to the taxpayers, calculated at over 10 percent on equity, on the basis of reasonable assumptions as to the depreciable base and financing. Capital gains on disposition The Treasury has also studied a number of sales transactions in which gains on real estate were reported. Nearly all of the properties had been depreciated under accelerated methods and had operated at a "loss" for tax - 15 purposes during an average holding period of 4 years, The properties were sold at an average price in excess of original cost. Many of the gains reflected pre-1964 depreciation not subject to "recapture" under the limited recapture rules adopted in 1964 for post-1963 depreciat-i on. But even if thos\~ limited recapture rules had been [u11y applicable to the gains, about two-thirds of the prior depreciation deductions would not have been recaptured at ordinary rates but would have been reported as capital gain. To be more specific, if the limited recapture had been applicable to the pre-1963 deprecia;:ion as well, about 70 percent of the gain would still have been capital gain and about 70 percent of that capital gain would have been attributable to prior depreciation deductions on the properties. 1/ This indi- cates the inadequacy of the limited recapture under the present statute. Incompatibility of tax assistance with Budget control and efficient expenditure allocatio~ Let us turn from the effect on the fairness of the tax system of this special tax assistance and consider the effect 11 In effect, 80 percent of the gain represented prior depreciation. - 16 - 011 the Federal Pudget. We necessarily hear much and concern ourselves much these days, and properly so, with the need for effective budgetary control and modern scientific budgetary procedure. This means counting costs clearly and accurately and weighing them against the benefits bought with the taxpayer's dollar. As we have seen, the present special tax provisions for buildings are costly to the government. They result in an annual revenue reduction of approximately $750 million -perhaps more. This is roughly the amount of tax expenditures the revenues foregone -- due to these special provisions. The direct expenditures (exclusive of net lending) in the Federal Budget to assist private building construction come to about $500 million. Thus the amount of budget resources used for buildings in the form of tax expenditures is about one and one-half times as large as comparable direct expenditures. The general defects of "tax expenditures" as distinguished from direct spending are well known. The tax expenditures: elude periodic scrutiny by the Executive branch and the substantive Congressional committees in the particular spending field - 17 their cost is buried in tax returns and hard to calculate before or after the event they escape disclosure to a public which has every right and need to know what is done with their tax dollars. This is not idle rhetoric. A Congress which spent months in poring over the details of the new Housing Act of 1968 and in scrutinizing and setting the appropriations for housing in the 1969 Budget did not spend one minute in considering the hundreds of millions of dollars spent through the tax system on building and housing. Yet we know that this money has not given us the kind of housing we want, where we want it, and when we want it -- indeed, as we have seen, we do not know what it has given us. And the fault lies not with the Congress but with the system, for these millions are literally hidden they do not appear anywhere in the Budget or in the Internal Revenue Service's Statistics of Incom~. Out of sight, out of mind. To sum up on the effects of the present system of accelerated depreciation and related tax treatment of real estate operators and investors -- the real estate tax shelter the system , - 18 is costly and inefficient as a means of getting more housing or other construction offers no assurance that construction resources are directed to priority needs; indeed surmised it may be it diverts promotional talent, capital, and other resources into forms of building which are less essential than many basic housing needs is basically incompatible with the operation of a fair tax system and the important objectives of tax reform is also incompatible with budgetary responsibility since it involves substantial tax-expenditure commitments via the revenue side of the budget which escape the tests and controls of sound modern budgetary procedures. Some Historical Background These observations on the wisdom of the present depreciation system for buildings.are reinforced by its historical background. The present accelerated methods were initially adopted in 1954 with industrial machinery and equipment primarily in - 19 in mind. Acceleration of depreciation for buildings in 1954 appears to have been a happenstance, coming along as an inadvertent appendage to the liberalization directed at machinery and equipment. No conscious decision was made to adopt the present system as a useful device to stimulate building or to provide us with more or better housing, let alone lower-income housing. The present tax system for 1/ buildings just happened. This "inadvertency" in the extension of accelerated provision to buildings, however, has created a variety of unanticipated problems. Because of the typically high rates 1/ Dan Throop Smith, one of the prime architects of the 1954 liberalization, has said, in commenting on the need for further liberalization for machinery and equipment as of 1961 (prior to the 1962 guideline revision and the investment credit): "It is not needed for real estate, depreciation allowances on which are probably too liberal. These allowances might even be reduced, though the repeal of the capital gains provision may take care of the worst of the present unfair tax advantages achieved through real estate transactions." Smith's remarks clearly indicate the primary concern in 1954 with liberal tax depreciation on machinery and equipment., in his words "the most important form of depreciable property from the standpoint of industrial productivity." Dan Throop Smith, Federal Tax Reform, McGraw-Hill Company, New York, 1961, Chapter 6, p. 157 - 20 - of debt financing in real estate, the advantages of acceleration based on the entire depreciabl~ relative to a thin margin of equity cost loom much larger ca~ital. The availability of the accelerated methods for buildings has thus created a variety of tax problems: deferral of tax, conversion of ordinary income into capital gain, tax-free dividends, spillover of depreciation losses against other income, the phenomenon of the negative tax on real estate earnings with the result that the after-tax income from real estate is greater than the before-tax income, and the development of all the exaggerated forms of tax avoidance inherent in the debt-financed real estate tax shelter. Tax Incentive Proposals for Lower-Income Housing The present system of tax incentives for building works badly. Nevertheless, daily we hear of new plans and proposals to apply tax incentives to help build lower-income housing. Lower-income housing -- particularly in ghetto areas -seems to require a higher rate of return than other construction. The present tax rules themselves tend to direct the main flow of capital toward higher-income housing where the tax shelter is most attractive. Moreover, because of inherent - 21 income and market limitations on lower-income housing it would be hard to make it competitive with other more attractive forms of real estate investment. Tax incentives for lower-income housing therefore would have to go to extreme lengths and be highly selective in a form which provides offsets against other income limits the investor appeal to wealthy seekers after the tax shelter costs more than a direct expenditure approach Any type of tax incentive based on the cost of the asset acquired, whether it be a credit or acceleration of depreciation, involves difficulties where there is disparity between the total cost or basis on which the incentive is calculated and the equity capital portion of that basis. These problems would be particularly great (as shown by the experience with accelerated depreciation) in the case of lower-income housing, or indeed any real estate, where (1) a substantial part of construction cost is typically financeq by debt and (2) leveraging provides returns to equity investors which are far out of proportion to the equity capital they put up. Suggestions have been made to get around the leveraging problem by scaling the incentive down as debt increases or - 22 basing it in effect on equity capital. But this would give rise to problems of tracing the source of equity capital since financially strong investors can borrow on their general credit or on other security to that formally qualifies rs ~ll-equity ~cquire financed. an asset If tracing is given up as impracticable, scaling the credit up in proportion to equity or down in proportion to debt financing would then discriminate against those not in a position to acquire the property without specific debt financing. Moreover, tax credits and similar incentives for lowerincome housing or any real estate only help persons with "other" and taxable income. Thus they do not help smaller and "local" investors or tax-exempt organizations. Need for re-examination of present tax assistance for building With this background, we feel that the facts and financial logic cast doubt on the desirability of any new tax credits or similar incentives for housing. Indeed 1 it seems evident that our public policy should proceed with a careful re-examination ,..If what we already have in the tax law for building. The Government -- and the lower-income tenant -- would both be better off if action were taken to recapture some of - 23 the $750 million of lost revenue now being used for building and to apply it in a direct and affirmative way toward the lower-income housing we so desperately need. This restruc- turing of the Budget would make these millions directly available to carryon present and potential new programs for lower-income housing and other needs of the cities. There are means available to provide Federal assistance directly to private housing activity through: loans loan guarantees interest subsidies rent supplements ~idies for site costs direct purchase and delivery under contract (turnkey programs) the creation of an urban development bank dedicated to financing housing and simi~ar urban improvements the bolstering and expansion of the capability of the present financial institutions such as banks and savings and loan associations. Indeed, Vice President Humphrey a few days ago suggested a comprehensive housing program combining a number of these - 24 - methods. We would therefore not be left without formidable resources if we were to relinquish the tax incentive route as the method for government assistance. The millions of dollars we now spend on tax assistance to building could thus be wisely spent and we do not have millions of dollars to waste. The t:iJiguitous tax incentive -- and the "overworked tax machine" Let us return to tax incentives and the problems associated with our present system of tax assistance to housing. My earlier remarks are not intended to single out building for the problems of tax incentive plans are not limited to building. The issues involved and my comments apply across the entire spectrum: manpower training, pollution control, education, ghetto industries, regional economic development, employment of the handicapped, and the various other meritorious objectives for which tax incentives have been advocated. These incentives have been advanced most recently in full panoply in the Republican Party Platform -- a platform which involves tax incentives costing well over $5 billions -- and in Mr. Nixon's policy positions. During the past week, The Wall Street Journal in its editorial column commented very cogently, I believe, on the - 25 Republican Presidential candidate's proposals for a system of tax credits in attacking the problems of the cities. The editorial observed that the tax credit method: further complicates an already complex tax structure provides tax benefits the results of which are impossible to determine buries its costs among thousands of tax returns tends to become imbedded in the tax law after the need which may have called it into existence has passed is especially weak in the area of urban problems since by itself a hunger for tax savings is a flimsy basis for building a workable effort The editorial concluded that "it would be worthwhile to explore alternatives before cranking up the overworked tax machine and sending it off in yet another direction." Mr. Nixon recently submitted written answers to questions put to him by the Editors of The New Republic. They asked if he felt he had explained with sufficient clarity that the tax incentives he had proposed are forms of Federal subsidy and - 26 - are not substitutes for Federal expenditure. His reply sug- gested that the difference lay in the ability of tax incentives to use and strengthen private institutions, disperse administrative responsibilities to lower and more local levels, and allow flexibil~ty and experimentation rather than "perpetuating over-rigid Federal directives." His answer touched on and I believe exposed the essential weakness of the specialized tax incentive idea for furthering particular objectives. In such fields as lower-income housing standards are needed, expert approval of projects is required, the government must have assurance that it is gettihg something for the taxpayer's money being used to assist private investors. If these safeguards are not present, waste and failure to achieve objectives will result. The receipt of tax assistance without standards and criteria of performance is understandably attractive for tax-shelter seekers; but it should be recognized for what it is in a specialized field like housing a wasteful method of government procurement. In spending Federal funds, the government is acting to obtain things in return -- specific, tangible things,. in specified quantities, and in forms which meet specifications. - 27 ~ Spending cannot be willy-nilly. If willy-nilliness is desired as part of the idea of a working partnership with private enterprise, if we don't want to impose specific standards, we can make direct expenditures just as willynillyas tax incentives. Some businessmen -- and Mr. Nixop in his answer to the New Republic -- apparently see the tax incentive as a simple, automatic and self-enforcing method in contrast with other ways of dealing with the Federal Government. But they have been misled I think in their approach to tax incentives for social welfare purposes by the experience of business under the 7 percent investment credit for new machinery and equipmente That credit does work simply and automatically, for its purpose and concept are far different in nature from the tax incentives now being suggested. The only questions involved under the allowance of the investment credit are whether it is a new machine, what is its cost, and is its depreciable life more than a certain number of years. The answers to all these questions, we must remember, were determined by already existing tax ruleso Internal Revenue Agents do not ask: Is the purpose of the machine to meet a special need in the business; is it - 28 - in:! illg used only for that purpose; it is really effec tive for that purpose -- the kinds of questions they would have to decide under an anti-pollution incentive. Agents do not ask: Is the machine to be used in a depressed rural area, or an area of urban employment; was it a "run-away" machine from another area; is its operation so automated that it will not encourage significant employment -- the kinds of question they would have to decide for the business as a whole under a tax incentive for location in depressed rural or urban areas. Agents do not ask: Is this a special type machine; is the machine being properly used and properly cared for; what are its daily maintenance costs; what overhead costs are allocable to it as compared with ordinary machines; did it displace another machine; was it obtained from a qualified supplier; what was being done with it when it temporarily broke down -- the kinds of questions they would have to decide for employees under a manpower training incentive. Agents do not ask: will the machine turn out a product at a cost that customers with limited funds can afford to buy; will the products be of the type and design and character - 29 - that we desire those customers to have; are other machines better equipped or designed to turn out that product more efficiently -- the kinds of questions they would have to decide under a tax incentive for lower-income housing. The purposes and concept of the investment credit and its relationship to the effect of our tax system on incentives to invest were thus served by the broad, blanket approach of that credit. But no one is prepared to urge that such a blanket approach would be appropriate for these social areas. We will find the same complexity, and the same inadequacy of any simple, automatic tax incentive solution, wherever we turn in these areas. There are inherent difficulties and inefficiencies in the use of tax incentives to cope with the specific characteristics of these social problems. Take as a simple but important illustration the proposal in the Republican Platform that "the fo~er 100 percent income tax deduction will be restored for medical and drug expenses for people over 65." Even this most humanitarian type of tax incentive -- for medical care for the elderly -- cannot stand up under close analysis. It is innocuous on its face - 30 and who can be against this generosity to the elderly? it costs $200 million. But More importantly, who gets the $200 million: 45 percent would go to taxpayers with incomes over $50,000 -- 3 percent of the aged. 70 percent would go to taxpayers with incomes over $20,000. 4 percent would go to the aged with incomes under $5,000 -- who constitute about 30 percent of the aged. A very strange way to distribute $200 million worth of medical assistance to the aged -- and a way no one would follow if the $200 million were spent directly. And so it is with all these fields. Once we pass the phase of urgent stereotyped pleas for a tax incentive, of wrapping up these huge social problems in the paragraph or two, or even the single sentence, of incentive," and we move OR '~et's have a tax to the exploration of the problems in depth and of the alternatives available -- when this occurs we then see the beginnings develop of a needed manifold approach. - 31 - Rr--as\\esaw earlier in the discussion of tax assistance to housing -- there are available a wide arsenal of programs and methods outside the tax system by which the Government can provide direct assistance to meet our social needs. Moreover, these direct measures do not have the potential for making tax-free millionaires as do tax incentives -- as we saw in the concrete cases considered under the present tax treatment for building. The use of tax incentives in company with any efforts at Federal tax reform would thus be a case of one step forward and two steps backwards. The possibilities for assistance outside the tax system are indeed far wider than the normal dialogue in this field has indicated. Thus, Secretary Clifford's recent speech on the many ways in which our vast military procurement can contribute to the social needs of our country opened up whole new vistas -- concentrated research in lowering the cost of housing through advances in technology and design; the construction of a whole new generation of model hospital; the use of the military school system as a catalyst to develop our new educational technology; the use of procurement procedures to attack the problems of hard-core unemployment. - 32 nli. of tllese steps would involve a cooperative effort with priyate industry. And industry itself is recognizing that tttere are many possible ways in which it can join with Government in meeting our social needs, ways that do not require special tax benefits. One further word on the budgetary aspects of these tax ir'centive proposals is in order. Those who see the need for expenditure control, so that our Budget resources are wisely husbanded and spent, also see tax incentives for what they a:ce -- hidden spending. They are, after all, expenditure programs -- channeled not through the regular legislative and appropriation committees of Congress but through the tax committees -- House Ways and Means Committee and Senate Finance Cormnittee. Will the doors of those two committees J'vJing wide open to these spending programs? The Ways and l'leans Cormnittee in the House, led by Chairman Mills, fought and won the battle of expenditure control in connection with [he 10 percent surcharge. In 1967 Mr. Mills, in a statement inserted in the Congressional Record (December 13, 1967), strongly attacked tax incentives as "backdoor spending" and had only harsh words to - 33 - say about them. In a recent speech, October 16, 1968, he again referred to these incentives as "backdoor spending" and their high cost in revenues -- in a speech which also emphasized the need for strong expenditure control. Congressman Byrnes, the ranking Republican on Ways and Means who is on record against the investment credit, has not favored the use of tax incentives. Senator Long, Chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, said in a speech this year: "Tax reform in the shape of new tax credits and deductions are also being advocated today as the best means of solving unemployment in the ghettos and in rural areas like Appalachia, or for getting new housing in the slums. "Tax credits are also hailed by many Congressional figures as the solution for air and water pollution. "I am reluctant to go the tax credit route to achieve the promised land these bills describe. I do not feel that we should puncture holes on our Federal income tax structure by means of tax incentives if we can find other ways of achieving the desired ends." Conclusion We have seen the dilemma posed by the tax assistance approach to housing and other social problems. caught within the confines of that dilemma? trary. But are we Quite the con- Our appraisal of existing tax provisions for building - 34 ha~ disclosed hidden budgetary resources which can be diverted directly and affirmatively to the housing sector. Our examination of new tax incentives suggests that tax incentives are the wrong route -- a route incompatible I,fith a fair tax system and tax reform and incompatible ',vith responsible budgetary control. Moreover, in the light of the variety of competing tax incentive claimants, this is almost certainly a self-defeating approach. There are a variety of methods, including the fascinating new prospect of a National Urban Development Bank, which will broaden the spectrum of techniques at our disposal and promise a more fruitful partnership between the whole private sector aleC. government in dealing with housing and other inner city needs. REASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON, D.C. t RELEASE 6 :30 P.M., day, October 28, 1968. :RESULTS OF TREASUn' S WEEKLY BILL OPFElUBG ibe 'ft'easury Department announced tbat the teDders for two series of Treasury .1s, one series to be an aclditional issue ot the bills dated August 1, 1968, and the ler series to be dated October 31, 1968, which were offered on October 23, 1968, were !ned at the Federal Reserve Banks today. iencJers were invited for $1,600,000,000, ~reaboutB, ot 91-day bills and tor $1,100,000,000, or thereabouts, of 182-day .1s. The details of the two series are as follows: rGE OF ACCEPTED IPETIrIVE BIDS: High Low! Average !I 6~ 5~ ~ 91-day Treasury bills maturing January 30, 1969 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 98.625 !I 5.44~ 98.612 5.491~ 98.617 5.471~ 182-day Treasury bills maturing May 1, 1969 Approx. Equiv • Price Annual Rate 97.250 5.44Oj 5.495~ 97.222 97.253 5.473~ 11 Excepting one tender of $1, 300,000 of the amount of 91-day bills bid tor at the low price was accepted of the amount of 182-day bills bId for at the low price was accepted TENDERS APPLIED FOR AlID ACCEPrED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRIC'l'S: listrict leston ew York hllade1phia leveland 1cbmond ,tlanta hicago t. LOUis inneapolis ansas City e.llas an FranCisco 1Umrs AEl!lied For AcceEted $ 27,941,000 $ 17,941,000 1,806,906,000 1,150,106,000 17,974,000 32,974,000 31,034,000 31,034,000 14,691,000 16,191,000 29,461,000 44,741,000 155,581,000 198,586,000 38,675,000 53,475,000 12,242,000 22,242,000 25,359,000 26,359,000 18,552,000 25,952,000 90 J 5'Ei,OOO 172,146,000 ·· ·· AEElied For 23,326,000 $ 1,396,947,000 18,872,000 54,994,000 7,150,000 28,493,000 141,465,000 30,745,000 19,212,000 11,967,000 21,574,000 132,219,000 $2,458,553,000 $1,600,168,000 ~ $1,886,964,000 AcceEted , 13,326,000 803,647,000 8,812,000 40,514,000 7,150,000 21,993,000 96,593,000 20,305,000 11,212,000 11,967,000 12,094,000 52,719,000 $1,100,392,000 ~ Includes $296,298,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 98.617 Includes $143,106,000 noncompetitIve tenders accepted at the avera81 price of 97.233 ihese rates are on a bank discount basis. 1'be equivalent coupon issue yields are 5.6~ tor the 91-day bills, aDd 5.71~ far the 182-day bills. F-1391 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington, D.C. FOR RELEASE UPON DELIVERY REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE WILLIAM F. HELLMUTH, JR. DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY FOR TAX POLICY BEFORE THE 39th ANNUAL MEETING OF THE INDEPENDENT PETROLEUM ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA STATLER-HILTON HOTEL, DALLAS, TEXAS TUESDAY, OCTOBER 29, 1968, 9:30 A.M., CST TAX EXPENDITURES AND TAX REFORM We at the Treasury Department welcome your interest in Federal taxes and tax legislation. The Independent Petroleum Association of America properly makes its views known on tax matters which affect it directly. I expect the other speakers this morning will focus on tax matters dealing primarily with oil and gas. Therefore I will talk about two different issues, which provide some of the background for discussion of taxation as it relates to the petroleum industry. The Tax Expenditure Budget Tax expenditures, my first topic, refer to the array of special provisions of. tax exemptions; deductions, exclusions, credits, and prefer~ntial rates which use budget resources through the tax system to provide incentives and support for various activities in the private sector. F-1392 This subject is - 2 most timely because of the references in both the Democratic and Republican Platforms to tax incentives, and especially the emphasis in the Republican Platform to the importance of tax credits and other tax incentives. Let me emphasize that regardless of who the next President is, the pressures on the Federal Budget are enormous, almost irreversible and they will continue to grow. This is a fact of our political economy, which no President and no . Congress can escape or ignore. The budgetary pressures result from the problems and tensions, the hopes and aspirations of the country and world we live in and which we help to shape. Our defense and inter- national expenditures reflect the world situation and our commitments to economic and military security for ourselves and other nations. At home, the traditional claimants on the budget besides the military the farmers, the veterans, benefeciaries from public works have been joined in recent years by new and powerful claimants for the aged, for educa- tion, for health, and perhaps the poor, and the disadvantaged - 3 - who are still in the process of developing their political muscle. And ahead are still more claimants for urban transit, clean air and pure water, and income maintenance -- all of which will certainly generate popular and political appeal for budget resources. Although we are a wealthy and prosperous country with a record of more than seven years of uninterrupted prosperity, neither as individuals nor as a society do we have the resources to do all the things which need to be done and which we want to do. This is abundantly clear when we look at the Budget of the Federal Government. Even with the end of the war in Vietnam -- which hopefully will be soon -- the pressures on the Federal Budget will not end, but only will shift emphasis to other programs. With the prospect then of severe budgetary pressures for years to come, all of us would agree that we should use our budgetary resources to meet the most important and pressing needs, and that we should insist that budgetary resources be used as effectively and efficiently as possible. - 4 The Federal Budget has two sides, with expenditures and net lending on the outlay side and tax receipts on the income side. Our procedures for a close, careful, and annual scrutiny of outlays are very well developed both in the Executive branch and in the Congress, to determine that the program merits support and that the appropriations are used efficiently, to serve the intended purpose. The appropriations and spend- ing for most programs are reviewed every year and usually increased or reduced to meet changing conditions. The income from tax receipts is the other side of the budget. Tax legislation is examined with care both by the Executive and Congress when changes are proposed and adopted. But here the similarity to the outlay side ends. Most pro- visions in the tax system, once adopted, remain in effect almost indefinitely. The tax laws contain dozens of special provisions to support and encourage activities in the private sector. These are not subject to the automatic, regular, periodic review which is typical of expenditures and net lending. Many of these special tax provisions represent alternatives to direct government expenditures or loan programs to accomplish certain objectiveso - 5 An example of government spending and special tax provisions for the same general objective could be found in the Federal programs to assist the aged. The budget presents line items for the Department of Health, Education and Welfare detailing expenditures, including retirement benefits and medicare for the aged. But the budget contains no line item for the $2.3 billion expended through the tax side of the budget to aid the elderly in the form of an additional personal exemption, the retirement income credit, and the exclusion of social security benefits from income tax. Numerous other special tax provisions, which do not appear in the budget, are used rather than direct expenditures or loan programs fully presented in the budget to aid certain activities -- for example, to assist natural resource industries, to encourage homeownership, to aid financial institutions, to subsidize charitable contributions, to support certain employer financed fringe benefits, to reduce the interest cost of state and local borrowing, etc. "Treasury Assistant Secretary Stanley S. Surrey has labelled all these special tax provisions as'~ax expenditures'. He summarizes this idea as follows: - 6 - "Through deliberate departures from accepted concepts of net income and through various special exemptions, deductions, and credits, our tax system does operate to affect the private economy in ways that are usually accomplished by expenditures -- in effect to produce an expenditure system described in tax language." The current fad in suggestions to meet our social needs is the tax incentive. Tax incentives -- in the form of tax credits or special deductions -- are offered as panaceas to solve most of our country's economic and social problems. A partial list of proposals would include tax credits for: Housing for low- and moderate-income families New factories in ghettos and rural poverty areas Job training for the hard-core unemployed Additional costs of employing older persons Air and water pollution control equipment College tuition and fees The costs of underground installation of electrical transmission lines Political contributions We even had one letter proposing tax credits for married couples who have celebrated their 25th wedding anniversary. Tax incentives are offered as a cure-all for almost everything. - 7 Now all the items on this list involve important problems, and the Federal Government has a significant role to play in seeking solutions to most of these problems. The crucial question is how to attack these problems most effectively and most efficiently; in other words, how to get the greatest benefit for the budget resources used. The Treasury does not take a doctrinaire position against tax credits -- witness the investment credit which the Treasury recommended and supported. But the Treasury does urge that direct spending and loan programs be considered carefully and thou:q~hly as alternatives to tax credits. Each tax credit proposal should be judged on its merits -- what it accomplishes compared to what it costs and whether an alternative expenditure or net lending approach would yield a more favorable benefitcost ratio. The case for the investment credit differs from most other tax credits. The intent of tax credits for invest- ment in machinery and equipment is to promote economic growth, to improve productivity and- efficiency for all businesses and industries. It has a broad economic objective, not limited to specific industries or geographic locations. - 8 - There is a mythology about tax incentives and tax credits that they do not cost anything. The major reason for this myth seems to be that tax incentives and tax credits are relatively hidden; they do not appear in the budget; their cost is not included in the budget totals or in the functional areas to which they apply; often their cost is not known. The Republican Platform recommends that tax credits and other tax expenditures be used to combat pollution, to provide incentives for worker training, to attract industrial plants to urban and rural poverty areas, to offset partially the costs of a college education. If adopted, these special tax provisions would involve a revenue cost of at least $5til1ion a year. Such legislation will be as significant quantitatively in using budget resources and perhaps adding to a Federal deficit as an equal amount .of direct Federal spending. In an editorial, liThe Overworked Tax Machine", the Wall Street Journal of October 23, 1968, referred to proposals to adopt a system of tax credits to enlist greater - 9 help from business in attacking the problems of poverty and the cities. "Tax credits are of course only a form of sub- sidy" said the editorial. It concluded " .•• it would be worthwhile to explore alternatives before cranking up the overworked tax machine and sending it off in yet another direction." When public opinion and Congressional attention focus on control of government spending, the itemized expenditure side of the budget receives close scrutiny but the tax expenditures are not subject to the same review. For example, earlier this year when Congress, apparently reflecting the public mood, was much concerned about Federal spending and the size of the prospective deficit, little, if any, attention was given to a review of tax expenditures. In other words, there is a double standard between direct expenditures and net lending on the one hand which have to clear the hurdle of budgetary review every year, and tax expenditures on the other hand where there are no more hurdles once the tax provision is adopted. The Independent Petroleum Association of America would be most interested in how the Natural Resources section of - 10 a tax expenditure budget might appear. This budgetary function would include as tax expenditures the revenue cost of the special tax provisions applicable to natural resources. It might identify as special tax provisions the excess of percentage depletion over cost depletion, the expensing of certain exploration and discovery, and intangible drilling costs, and the capital gains on coal and iron ore royalties. The revenue cost of these provisions is estimated at $1.6 billion a year. A tax expenditure budget might report the budget resources used for Natural Resources in fiscal year 1968 as follows: Billion Direct expenditures ....••.••••..• $ 2.4 Net lending ••.•..•.••..••••.•••. * Tax expenditures .•••.•...••.••.. 1.6 1 otal .............. fi • • 4.0 *$16 million There would, of course, be similar sections for the other functions -- Agriculture, Education, Health, Labor and Welfare, etc. - 11 Please remember that no value judgment is made here that these amounts or these forms of aid are good or bad. Each special tax provision, just like each government expenditure, should be evaluated on its merits -- the benefits it provides compared to the costs. Rather we are suggesting full dis- closure of resources used so that the Congress, the Executive agencies, the interest groups involved, and the public will be well informed in the interest of proper budgetary controls and resource allocation. Proponents claim that tax incentives are to be preferred to direct spending or net lending, in that the tax incentives decentralize decisions, enlist private initiative, allow variety, and are automatic and self-administering without the delays and burdensome paperwork of government contracts. The Government carries out most of its activities by contracts with and purchases from private business. Why is it suddenly different in dealing with social 'tlelfare. activities froll contracting for such things as post office building, the Apollo VII spacecraft, and Department of Defense purchases? - 12 If we are to have sound budgeting, Congress, the Executive branch, and the public are going to expect and probably insist upon a review of the relation of benefits to costs. For tax incentives, the review would be done by the Internal Revenue Service, while with expenditure and contracts the negotiation is with a program agency, such as the Department of Defense, Housing and Urban Development, or Transportation. If tax incentives were used to encourage such objectives as job training for hard-core unemployed, pollution control equipment, and location of plants in low-income urban areas, an Internal Revenue agent would be expected to review the tax deductions claimed for these purposes. He would have to check, for example, whether the job trainees were from the hard-core unemployed, what the applicable training costs were, what overhead costs, if any, are applicable, the duration of the training, and many other questions relevant to the program. There would be comparable questions under pollution control, location of plants in poverty areas, and the other programs. - 13 The Internal Revenue agents are qualified and experienced in accounting and financial matters. in the ar~a~ ofth~ In the customary matters training, there must be determinations in such areas as depreciable lives, the allocation of profits between domestic and foreign subsidiaries, the unreasonable ac'cumulation of corporate profits, and other matters. As you know, these matters may involve disagreements between taxpayer and the Internal Revenue Service. There would necessarily ,be elements of discretion or judgment in administering tax credits for these new programs. In such fields as manpower training and pollution control, the Internal Revenue agents would be required to review programs in which they are not expert or experienced. On the other hand, the program agencies such as the Departments of Labor, and Health, Education and Welfare have the expertise and competence in these fields. Thus if there is review for budget control and efficiency, the tax incentive provisions would not be automatic and selfenforcing. If they are not subject to review, then there would be the obvious risks of creating inequities in the tax system without achieving the intended social purpose. - 14 In effect, the Treasury is suggesting a full reporting of tax expenditures on a basis consistent with outlays and loan programs. Such a presentation should be done annually, presenting the tax expenditures by categories together with direct expenditures and net lending. Such reporting would exhibit in a single document the full cost of each program, including direct expenditures, tax expenditures, and net lending. Such a presentation would lead to better under- standing, budget choices based on more complete information, and improved control. Identification and evaluation of the various special tax measures might well turn up some which should be terminated, others which should be replaced by direct expenditures to promote the objective more effectively, and perhaps still others which should be expanded. We urge that there be the same tests of cost effectiveness, contribution to national objectives, full disclosure in the budget, periodic rev1ew, and revision with changing objectives, as are applied to the spending and loan programs. - 15 It is relevant to note that Congressman Wilbur D. Mills, Chairman, Committee on Ways and Means, in a speech entitled "Back Door Spending", in the House of Representatives on December 13, 1967, strongly opposed the extension of tax credits to other objectives, however worthy. It is also relevant to note that Congressman John W. Byrnes, ranking Republican member of the Committee on Ways and M~ans, has generally taken a position in opposition to tax credits. ... 16 ... Tax Reform Tax reform is an important and timely subject. The Treasury Department has a continuing interest in all fiscal policy and tax matters, including tax reform. We use tax reform here to_mean the structure of our tax laws, particularly the provisions which define taxable income, rates of tax, and the administrative requirements of reporting and payment. In structural tax reform, we do not include here fiscal policy - which makes use of taxes, spending, and debt management to influence the level of economic activity. Nor do we include policies and programs as to how the revenues are to be spent or distributed. It should also be clear that structural tax reform is not primarily tax reduction. Income tax reduction was accomplished by the Revenue Acts of 1962 and 1964, which reduced tax rates on individuals by an average of 19 percent, and corporate rates, including the effect of the investment credit, by approximately an equal percentage. - 17 The Excise Tax Reduction Act of 1965 reduced excise taxes substantially by repealing many of the excises and providing for the gradual reduction of some others. Rate reductions on autos and telephone service were removed by subsequent legislation. In addition to tax reduction, the 1962 and 1964 legislation included a number of significant reform provisions for individual and corporate income taxes. Some of the more , important of these reforms included: Information returns on dividends and interest Restrictions on certain travel and entertainment expenses Recapture of gains on depreciable personal property Limited recapture of gains on sale of real estate Fuller taxation of foreign tax haven corporations, cooperatives, and mutual fire and casualty insurance companies Strengthened personal holding company provisions Limited deductions of tax-free reserves of savings and loan associations and mutual savings banks - 18 -- Revised taxation of certain employee fringe benefits, including sick pay, group life insurance premiums, and stock options Repealed dividend credit Limited deductibility of certain state and local taxes for nonbusiness purposes. The 1965 legislation simplified the Federal excise taxes by repealing taxes on many items from mechanical pencils and cosmetics to electric appliances. With subsequent changes, the major Federal excises are now limited to those on, tobacco, alcoholic beverages, motor vehicle fuel, autos, trucks and parts, telephone service, and air travel. The Treasury Department has for many months given priority to the preparation of tax reform proposals. Secretary of the Treasury Henry H. Fowler in a speech* last month summarized the recent development of plans for tax reform as follows: "After the reforms of the Revenue Acts of 1962 and 1964 and 1965, the Treasury Department undertook a major effort to prepare tax reform proposals of a comprehensive nature in 1966 and 1967. The plan was to launch a major legislative effort on the heels of the enactment of *Speech made before the National Industrial Conference Board, New York, New York, September 20, 1968, Treasury Release F-l354. - 19 - the temporary surcharge legislation. Because of the delays in enacting the surcharge legislation and the fact that substantial tax reform requires extensive legislative consideration, there was no suitable opportunity to push these proposals on to the legislative calendar." Recognition of the desirability of tax reform is not limited to those in the present Administration. Both the Republican and Democratic Party Platforms endorsed tax reform. The Republican Platform plank states: "The imperative need for tax reform and simplification will have our priority attention ... " The Democratic Platform says: "The goals of our national tax policy must be to distribute the burden of government equitably among our citizens and to promote economic efficiency and stability. We have placed major reliance on progressive taxes, which "are based on the democratic principle of ability to pay. We pledge ourselves to continue to rely on such taxes, and to continue to improve the way they are levied and collected so that every American contributes to government in proportion to his ability to pay. "A thorough revamping of our federal taxes has been long overdue to. make them more equitable as between rich and poor and as among people with the same income and family responsibilities. All corporation and individual preferences that do "not serve the national interest should be removed. Tax preferences, like expenditures, must be rigorously evaluated to assure that the benefit to the nation is ~orth the cost." - 20 - There are several objectives to seek in tax reform. The Federal tax system should be made more equitable -individuals and families should be taxed on the basis of ability to pay, persons with equal incomes and similar family responsibilities should be taxed equally and, other things equal, persons with higher incomes should pay more tax than those with smaller incomes. The tax system should be neutral; decisions should be made on business and economic grounds, not for tax reasons. The tax system should as far as possible protect incentives and promote efficiency. Tax reform should strive for simplicity. A number of tax reform proposals have been suggested by members of Congress, tax practitioners and scholars, and Treasury officials. posals. Let me describe several of these pro- Please understand that these proposals are not limited to those on which the Treasury has taken a position and should not be taken as a forecast of tax reform recommendations. Income Taxes and Poverty. One concern is the income taxes which fallon persons below the poverty income levels. - 21 The Department of Health, Education and Welfare has determined poverty guidelines which, adjusted to 1968 levels, establish an income of about $1,700 for an individual, $2,200 for a couple, and $3,500 for a family of four as the minimum£vels to avoid poverty. The burden of income taxes on those in poverty should be lifted. There are now an estimated 2.2 million family units who have incomes below the poverty level who now pay Federal income taxes. Through the introduction of the minimum standard deduction in 1964, the point at which the income tax begins was raised from $667 to the present $900 for an individual, but this is only slightly more than half the poverty level of $1,700. For example, an individual with $1,700 of wages under present law pays $115 of Federal income tax. Comparably, a couple becomes subject to tax if income exceeds $1,600, although still $600 below the poverty line. How would you deal with this problem? One possible solution would be an increase in the minimum standard deduction to remove or lighten tne income tax burden on the poor and the near poor. - 22 High Income Recipients. Another problem arises at the higher side of the income scale. Due to various special tax provisions, there is a wide dispersion in effective rates applicable to persons receiving high incomes, say $200,000 and above a year. Materials have appeared in the Congressional Record and in Congressional Committee hearings documenting the wide range of effective tax rates on these high incomes. For example, material presented in Senate Finance Committee hearings* revealed that on 20 tax returns reporting more than $500,000 of adjusted gross income in 1959 there was no income tax. Wide publicity has been given to the fact that some high-income recipients pay little or no income tax while others with the same incomes pay average effective rates above 60 percent on adjusted gross income. I believe you will agree with me that it is not fair that different persons with the same levels of incomes should pay such widely different taxes. It is 'inequitable and lndefensible that a small nYmber of persons with incomes )ver $200,000 should pay no taxes at all, while the typical ~U.S. Senate, Committee on Finance, 88th Congo 1st. Sess. Revenue Act of 1963, Hearings, p. 28. ... 23 ... family of four generally pays some tax on all income above $3,000 a year. Senator Russell B. Long, Chairman of the Senate Finance Conunittee, followed by other legislators, has suggested a minimum tax so that no American with a large amount of net income could avoid paying some income tax. Platform supports a minimum tax. The 1968 Democrati':2 The various proposals for a minimum tax generally require that the taxpayer must pay at least a specified percentage of income defined more broadly than the present statutory income definition, and thus include some currently excluded sources of income. The minimum tax could be calculated by applying to the broader base a new special rate schedule lower than the present rate schedule. Of course, if present law indicates a higher tax, the tax liability would remain at the present level. Taxation of the Aged. Taxation of the elderly is another area of concern both for equity and for simplicity. Of the 20 million persons over 65 in the United States, about 4.8 million pay Federal income tax. Special tax provisions which benefit the elderly include the exemption of social security - 24 benefits from tax, the retirement income credit and the extra exemption of $600. The revenue cost of these provi- sions is $2.5 billion. These tax provisions have grown piecemeal over a long period of years and only recently have been subject to a systematic review. The present provisions fail to meet the tests of fairness, efficiency, and simplicity on three counts: (1) They discriminate against the older person who continues to work after age 65. income and the s~e Given the same amount of family situation, the elderly worker pays a much higher tax than an elderly retiree. For example, an elderly couple, both over 65, reciving $6,000 of income, including average social security benefits and other income from sources other than wages and salaries, would pay $138 of income tax, while another couple with the same income all from wages would pay $450 of tax. (2) The benefits of the current special provisions are most valuable to those in the highest income brackets. The special deductions and exclusions provide tax savings which rise as tax rates rise. - 25 (3) The present special provisions for the elderly are so complicated and detailed that most elderly persons need assistance to fill out their returns to qualify for existing tax benefits. The Treasury last year recommended major revisions to simplify and make fairer the tax provisions for the aged, and also to eliminate the existing tax discrimination against the aged who continue to work. The proposal provided for taxa- tion of social security benefits and repeal of the double exemption and the retirement income credit, and provided instead a special exemption of $2,300 for single taxpayers over 65 and $4,000 for married couples when both are over 65. Under this proposal, approximately 500;000 taxpayers over 65 would no longer pay any income tax and another 2.5 million would have received tax reductions. This proposal was presented as part of the Administration's 1967 Social Security bill, but Congress decided not to consider this important income tax revisibn as part of social security legislation. approach. The Treasury continues to support this general - 26 Transfers of Appreciated Property at Death. Under present law, appreciation on capital assets which is transferred at death is not subject to income tax. As you know, the heir is allowed to take the assets' value at time of death of the donor as his basis. Thus the appreciation in value of the securities, real estate, or other capital assets which occurred during the deceased's lifetime is forever exempt from income tax. It is, however, included at market value in calculat- . ing the estate tax, but so are other assets in the estate on which income tax has been paid. This exclusion from income tax of these gains creates inequities between those taxpayers who hold capital assets until death, those who realize their gains while alive, and those who have no capital gains. This exclusion also serves to lock in the middle-aged or senior citizen holding assets which have substantially appreciated in value. If he sells, he pays capital gains tax on the gains. If he continues to hold the assets, there is no capital gains tax on the appreciation in value, and his heir acquires the higher basis. - 27 The Treasury has called attention to the desirability of revisions in the rules relating to the transfer of property by death or gift, to achieve both a more rational tax treatment of appreciated assets so transferred and a more equitable estate and gift tax system with less tax distortion in family disposition of property. Conclusion To sum up, tax incentives in the form of tax credits and other special provisions will serve to lower taxes for the recipient and possibly may encourage some of the recipients to undertake an effort toward a national objective which he otherwise would not have done. By and large, however, the various tax expenditures are relatively inefficient uses of budget resources -- primarily because they are hidden, and there is no accounting for or review of their benefits, effects, and costs. They distort the allocation of resources which would result from the operation of a free market in association with a neutral tax system. They are generally incompatible with equity in the tax system and with effective budgetary control. - 28 - Tax reform on the other hand aims to make the tax system more fair and equitable, to remove barriers to work, investment, and saving,to improve neutrality so that the free market and price system allocate resources, to simplify understanding and compliance, and to adopt transition rules which arefuir to those who made plans based on existing law. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT ( WASHINGTON, D.C. October 29, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE COUNTERVAILING DUTY INVESTIGATION ANNOUNCED ON CERTAIN STEEL MILL PRODUCTS FROM ITALY The Treasurv Department announced today that it LS initiating a countervailing duty investigation with respect to certain steel mill products imported from Italy. The notice of investigation, which will be published in the Federal Register of October 30, 1968, reports that the Treasury is investigating a complaint of subsidization of a number of steel mill products exported to the United States from Italy. The products under investigation are enumerated in the countervailing duty proceeding notice. Under the United States countervailing duty law, if the i'rC'<tsury Derartment finds that a "bounty or grant" (within the mecilling of the law) is being paid, it is requi tOed to as ses s an equivalent coun te rvai1ing duty. The notice of countervailing duty proceeding allows ]0 days for submission of data, views, and arguments concerning the existence or nonexistence and the net amount of a bounty or granto During the p~riod January through June 1968 exports from Italy of the steel mill products under investigation totaled approximately $17 million. 000 F-1393 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON, D.C. October 30, 1968 ~OR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders ror two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of t2,700,000,000, or thereabouts, for cash and exchange for Tr~as:lry bills maturing November 7,1968, in the amount of ~2,702,015,000, as follows: in 91-day bills (to maturity date) to be issued in the amount of $ 1,600,000,000, or thereabouts, additional amount of bills dated August 8,1968, mature February 6,1969, originally issued in the $1 103,181,000, the additional and original bills inGercnangeab1e. November 7,1968, representing an and to amount of to be freely 182-day bills, for $ 1,100,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated November 7,1968, and to mature May 8, 1969. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $~,OOOJ $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value). ~~mpetltive Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, November 4, 1968. Tenders will not be ~'ecelved at the Treasury Del'artment, Washington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive Lenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e. g., .99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Heserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. up Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank ~r trust company. ~ustomers F-1394 - 2 Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be I final. Subject to tnese reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on December 2, 1968 cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills rna turing November 30 1968 Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash a~justmentswi1l be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest 01' gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bi lIs are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department" Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the cond it ions of the ir issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained fr()£l' any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON. D.C. October 30, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY DEPARTMENT ANNOUNCES REDUCTION IN COUNTERVAILING DUTY ON FRENCH EXPORTS The Treasury Department announced today that the rate of countervailing duty to be assessed on dutiable products exported from France on and after November 1, 1968, will be reduced from 2 5 to 1.25 percent of the f.o.b. price of the merchandise The reduction is based upon the fact that under the provisions of French Decree 68-581, as amended, the French Goverr~ent is making an equivalent reduction in the subsidy being paid on the export of this merchandise. All dutiable French oroducts subject to the subsidy program in France have been subject to a countervailing duty of 2.5 percent since September 14, 1968, under the provisions of Treasury Decision 68-192 which was published in the Federal Register on August 14, 1968. The new rate will remain in effect until the subsidy program is discontinued or until the amount of the subsidy is again modified. Notice of the new rate will be published in the Federal Register of November 1 000 F-1395 TREASURY DEPARTMENT ( WASHINGTON. D.C. November I, 1968 IMMEDIATE RELEASE PRELIMINARY RESULTS OF CURRENT EXCHANGE OFFERING Preliminary figures show that about $10,077 million, or 84.5%, of the $11,929 .ion notes and bonds maturing November 15 and December 15 have been exchanged for two notes included in the current offering. Subscriptions total $7,768 million for the 5-5/8% notes of Series B-1970 and 5-3/410 notes of Series A-1974, of which $2,432 million for 5-5/8% notes and $1,266 million for the 5-3/4% notes were received from the .ic. ;09 million for the Of the eligible securities held outside the Federal Reserve Banks and Government )unts $2,919 million, or 73.7% of an aggregate of $3,963 million, of November 15 lrities and $779 million, or 49.1% of an aggregate of $1,587 million of December ~aturities were exchanged: Following is a breakdown of securities to be exchanged (amounts in millions): ELIGIBLE FOR EXCHANGE Securities Date Due SECURITIES TO BE ISSUED 5-5/8% 5-3/4'10 Notes Notes B-1970 A-1974 Total Amount $6,631 557 580 $7,768 '4% notes, D-1968 11/15/68 $ 8,984 '8% bonus, 1968 1,158 11/15/68 1,787 '2~ bonds, 1963-68 12/15/68 ,1 $11,929 $1,664 246 399 $2,309 $8,295 803 979 $10,077 UNEXCHANGED Arnount --L $ 689 7.7 355 30.7 808 45.2 $1,852 1 5.5 - Details by Federal Reserve Districts as to subscriptions will he announced later. 000 F-1396 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON. D.C. RELEASE 6: 30 P')(., !II lovellDer " 1968. RESULTS OJ' 'l.'m!ASURy I S WEElCLY BILL OJ7ERIlG 1he Treasury DepELl'tment aDllOWlced that the tenders for two series of Treasury 5, one series to be an additional issue ot the billa dated August 8, 1968, and the r ser1es to be dated November 71 1968, which were ottered. on October 30, 1968, were ed at the Federal Reserve Banks today. Tenders were invited tor $1,600,000,000, bereabouts, of 91-day ~il18 and tor $1,100,000,000, or thereabouts, ot 182-day 8. ibe details of the two series are as follows: 91-dal Treasury bills 1118 ~j}l6 February 6 J 1969 Approx. Equiv • Price Annual Rate E 01 ACCEP.DW ETITIVE BIDS: 98.~!7 11gb Low 98.588 98.596 Aver&i'! !I Excepting 65~ ----s7rn~ 5.586~ 5.55~ 182-day Treasury bills ma turing Mal 8, 1969 Price 97.184 97.154t 97.161 11 ;g Approx. Equ1v. Annual Rate S.57()iJ 5.62~ 5.616~ Y 1 tender of' $10,000 ot the amount ot 91-day b:Uls bid for a t the low price was accepted ot the aaount ot 182-day billa bid tor at tOe low price was accepted 7,. L mDEI'CS APPLIED FOR AID ACCEP'JED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS: .tr1et Istoo v York dl.&delphia .Inland cbaond il.aDta dcago Louis i. .maeapolis .oa. City .11u oil lrancisco m'llLS ApE lied For • Z3,765,000 1,800,637,000 56,528~000 38,811,000 18,839,000 31,506,000 182,029,000 40,370,000 22,391,000 23,867,000 29,373,000 135,0021 000 Acce~ted $ 3 , 165,000 1,1:31,887,000 21,528,000 38,817,000 18,839,000 29,006,000 156,229,000 34r,020,000 20,391,000 25,86'7,000 24:,023,000 77,652,000 $2,383,124,000 $1,600,024,000 !I A12E11ed For 12,321,000 1,623,747,000 11,810,000 57,924.,000 4,231,000 20,341,000 125,397,000 21,150,000 16,967,000 13,716,000 19,626,000 111,822,000 • $ccePted $2,0~,052,00O $1,101,055,000 ~ 12;-3Zi;000 829,861,000 7,733,000 4t9,654,000 3,987,000 16, 34rl, 000 75,397,000 15,815,000 11,461,000 13,316,000 12,626,000 52,531,000 .Deludes $298,965,000 nonccapet1tiva tenders accepted at the average price ot 98.596 Aol.u4e. $128,432,000 Ilollcaapeti ti ve ten4ers accepted at the average price of 97.161 hi •• rates are on a. bank discount basis. TIle equivalent coupon issue yields are ;. n~ tor the 91-day bills 1 and 5. a6~ tor the 162-day bills. F-1397 TREASURY DEPARTMENT , WASHINGTON. D.C. November 4, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of ~2,700,000,000, or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing November 14,1968, in the amount of $2,701,242,000, as follOWS: 91-day bills (to maturity date) to be issued November 14,1968, in the amount of $ 1,600,000,000, or thereabouts, representing an additional amount of bills dated August 15, 1968, and to mature February 13,1969, originally issued in the amount of $1,101,147,000, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182 -day bills, for $1,100,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated November 14,1968, and to mature May 15, 1969. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturi ty value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the clOSing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Friday, November 8, 1968. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury De?artment, Washington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the baSis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e. g., .99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. F-1398 - 2 Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be I final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed a t the Federal Reserve Bank on November 14,1968, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing November 14 1968. Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest 01' gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bi 11s are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department' Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained froo' any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT , WASHINGTON, D.C. November 6, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MINT TO STOP ORDERS FOR 1969 PROOF COIN SETS Eva Adams, Director of the United States Mint, said today the Mint will stop accepting orders today November 6, 1968 -- for 1969 proof coin sets. The Mint's maximum production of more than three million sets has been reached, Miss Adams added, and all orders received after today will be returned o Proof coin sets consist of one each of the five denominations of circulated coins -- the half dollar, quarter, dime, nickel and cent. These coins are produced at the Mint's San Francisco Assay Office, where production and manpower limitations preclude production of additional 1969 sets. They are sold only in sets, with a limit of 20 sets per order. The price of $5.00 per set includes first class registered mail fee. Production of the 1969 sets will not begin until January, 1969, and mailing will continue throughout the year. 000 F-l399 TREASURY DEPARTMENT , WASHINGTON, D.C. November 6, 1968 ~OR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY ANNOUNCES AGREEMENT ON ESTATE TAX CONVENTION WITH THE NETHERLANDS The Treasury Department announced today that agreement had )een reached on the substance of the first estate tax convention )etween the United States and the Kingdom of the Netherlands. The new convention covers the Federal estate tax and the ~etherlands inheritance taxes. It is part of an effort to ~stablish an estate tax treaty network complementary to the ~xisting income tax treaty network which includes almost all nember countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and )evelopment (OECD). Twelve estate tax conventions now are in ~ffect between the United States and other countries. The U.S.-Netherlands convention is based on the model estate :ax convention published in 1966 by the OECD, and will be the first negotiated by the United States since enactment of the foreign Investors Tax Act of 1966. This Act encourages foreign )ortfolio investment in the United States. While it retains J.S. estate tax jurisdiction on foreign portfolio investments in :he United States, with reduced rates and increased exemptions, :he treaty process is available, as in the case of the income tax, :0 negotiate further reductions or exemptions for foreign investors m a recipropal basis with countries having effective death taxes. Under Netherlands law and the OECD model convention the ~state of a decedent who was only temporarily present in the !ountry may be subject to estate or inheritance tax. Such tax ~ules in the past have posed problems for American businessmen ~n Europe working for a branch or corporate affiliate of an ooerican firm. The proposed convention will permit executives of me country to reside in the other country for a reasonable leriod of time without being subjected to the estate or ~nheritance tax jurisdiction of the latter should they die while :here. This approach, included for the first time in a United ;tates estate tax treaty, thus meets a problem not dealt with in :he aEeD model convention. ~-1400 (MORE) - 2 It is expected that the convention will be signed before the end of the year and sent to the Senate for ratification. It will have effect with respect to estates of decedents dying on or after the date instruments of ratification are exchanged. 000 UNITED STATES SAVINGS BONDS ISSUED AND l:EDEEMED THROUGH October 31 (Dollar amounts in milliofts - rounded and will not necessarily add to totals) AMOUNT ISSUEOP DESCRIPTION IRED 'Ies A-1935 thru D-1941 ~if'S F and crt 941 thru 1952 ~ies J nnd K-1952 thru 1955 AMOUNT REDEEMEDY AMOUNT OUTSTANDING 1968 , Y "lo OUTST ANDING OF AMOUNT ISSUED .11 5,003 29,521 3,156 4,996 29,477 3,132 7 u3 2u .15 .76 1,816 8,282 13,330 12,210 5,534 5,2u7 5,u23 5,3u9 4,676 4,046 4,240 4,840 4,932, 5,137 h,960 4,667 h,543 4,251 4,261 4,30,2 4,lh,2 4,614 4,499 4,400 4,731 h,682 2,683 608 1,652 7,306 11,789 13,658 10,551 4,597 4,200 4,242 4,104 3,537 3,061 3,180 3,539 3,529 3,611 3,h35 3,1$8 2,921 2,665 2,550 2,409 2,275 2,343 2,289 2,170 2,115 1,829 573 661 22u 975 1,541 1,885 1,659 937 1,041 1,181 1,245 1,139 985 1,060 1,301 1,403 1,527 1,525 1,509 1,622 1,593 1,711 1,893 1,867 2,271 2,210 2,229 2,616 2,853 2,110 -53 11.94 11.77 11.56 12.13 13.59 16.93 19.95 21.78 23.28 2u.36 24.35 25.00 26.88 28.45 29.73 )0.75 32.33 35.70 37.42 40.15 44.00 45.07 49.22 49.12 50.66 55.29 60.9h 78.64 158,013 113,9h9 44,064 27.89 5,h85 6,816 3,190 1,417 2,295 5,399 41.84 79.21 12,301 4,607 7,694 62.55 170,314 118,556 51,758 30.39 598 508 37,680 170,912 208,591 37,605 119,064 156,669 ,TURED ~Ies E!.J: 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 ' 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 :1968 1~,543 I Unclassified Total Series E ries H (1952 thru May, 1959) 11 H (June, 1959 thru 1968) Total Series H Total Series E and H ries J and K ( 1956 thru 1957) {Tot.l mat.red I Series Total unmatured Grand Total 9011 74 51,848 51,922 u accrued d;,coUiu. I~ redemption wlue. ,~~" :1,ownl~~Jd' II1II1. be held and will earn in',real (or adJilioMI period, a(kr original maturity date •• we __ I w/aid /tow ftO' hu,. p,• .,,.,ed lor redemption. Eeaa-PJtDll~ TREASURY DEPARTMENT - Bur.au" th. Public D.bt - 15.05 .20 30.)4 ?h.89 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington, D. C. November 7, 1968 MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESS Secretary Fowler will attend the NATO Meetings in Belgium on November 14, 15 and 16, as a member of the U.S. delegation. Before and after the NATO sessions he will visit the United Kingdom, The Netherlands, France, Italy and Germany to exchange final views with the Finance Ministers with whom he has worked in the last few years, particularly on the outlook for the creation of Special Drawing Rights, the U.S. balance of payments, and problems in the trade area arising out of non-tariff barriers. His itinerary calls for him to be in London on November 9, 10 and 11, Paris on November 12, The Hague on November 13, Brussels on November 14, 15 and 16, Rome on November 17 and 18, and Bonn on November 19, returning to Washington that day. He will be accompanied by Under Secretary for Monetary Affairs Frederick L. Deming; Edward R. Fried, of the White House Staff; George H. Willis, Deputy to the Assistant Secretary for International Monetary Affairs; Douglass Hunt, Special Assistant to the Secretary; Mrs. Mary E. Harris, Confidential Assistant to Secretary, and myself. ~~~ G6~hn F. Kane ~ Assistant to the Secretary (Public Affairs) TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON. D.C. 'R RELEASE 6: 30 P.K. I iday, loveJlber 8, 1968. RESULTS or TREASURY'S WEILY BILL OJTERIJIG 'Dle Treasury Department announced tbat the teDders tor two series ot Treasury 11s, ODe series to be an additional issue ot the bills dated August 15, 1968, and e otber series to be dated Bove!lber 1', 1968, which were offered on lovember 4, 168, were opened at the rederal Reserve Banks today. i\!wrs were invited tor ,600,000,000, or thereabouts, ot 91-day bills and tor $1,100,000,000, or tberelouts, ot 182-clay bills. The details ot the tvo series are as tollows: 91-clay Treasury bills maturing February 13, 1969 Approx. iquiv. Price Annual Rate 98.624 5.4'" 5.50:3j 98.609 98.614 5.483~ Y IGE OJ' ACCEP.mD NPmTIVE BIDS: High Low Average 182-clay Treasury bills maturing May 15, 1969 Approx. Equiv • Price Annual Rate 97.186 5.566~ 97.160 97.168 5.618j 5.602~ !I 2'~ ot the amount ot 91-day bills bid tor at the low price was accepted 6~ ot tbe aaount ot 182-day bills bid tor at the low price vas accepted 1'JlL 'l'DDIRS APPLIED lOR Am> ACCEP'lED BY lEDEBAL EESERVE DISTRICTS: District Boa ton lev York Philadelphia Cleveland RicblloDd. Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco m'mLS 1,074,206,000 13,343,000 25,672,000 1',294,000 33,397,000 21',196,000 35,282,000 23,777,000 2','92,000 17,000,000 109 z'14., 000 AE;21ied lor $ 6,720,000 1,4.66,084,000 15,865,000 64,456,000 4,840,000 30,391,000 130,823,000 27,175,000 16,522,000 11,513,000 19,954,000 148.z642,OOO Accepted $ 15,720,000 793,154,000 5,865,000 $2,429,107,000 $1,600,239,000 !I $1,942,985,000 $1,100,117,000 AE,E1ied For • Accerted 2$,236,600 $5,166,000 1,769,806,000 28,343,000 25,672,000 14,294,000 42,'27,000 254,132,000 46,042,000 23,777,000 26,'92,000 25,000,000 147,&886,&000 46,1~,000 4,840,000 21,933,000 75,823,000 18,820,000 15,867,000 11,213,000 14,644,000 86.z092 z000 !I Includes $265,591,000 noncOlllpetitive tenders accepted at the average price ot 98.614, Includes $127,288,000 nODcaapetit1ve tenders accepted at the average price of 97.168 ::'lese rates are on a -Ilk discount basis. ibe equivalent coupon issue yields are 5.6'~ tor the 91-day bills, and 5.85~ tor the 182-day bills. '-1hm TREASURY DEPARTMENT : WASHINGTON. D.C. November 12, 1968 NOTE TO EDITORS: Attached, as released by the Hhite House, are copies of Secretary Fowler's November 5 letter of resignation and the President's letter of acceptance. Also furnished as being of possible interest is a copy of the enclosure to Secretary Fowler's letter which summarizes "the current economic and financial situation which our successors are inheriting as I see it today.·' E. A. Comee Acting Assistant to the Secretary for Public Affairs Enclosure F-1402 - NOVE MBER 8, 1968 FOB IMMEDIATE RELEASE Office of the White House Press Secretary -. - - - - -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -- - THE WHITE HOUSE TEXT OF THE LETTEl~ TO TEE PRES:DENT FR OM SECRET AR Y OF THE TREASUR Y HENRY H. FOWLER A year and a half ago we discur:sed some personal circumstances which caused me to cor..clder a return to private life. In the light of the economic and financial problems then confronting the nation at home and abroad, I deferred my departure. Now the situation is quite different. Today, the nation's current economic, fiscal and financial posture and near-term outlook seems reasonably satisfactory and stable. On March 31 you announced your retirement as of January ("0, 1969, and today, November 5, a new President will be elected. You have been understanding and sympathetic with my need to relinquish my official responsibilities sometime before the end of the year, so that I may make some definite personal decisions for private life. In this context. I am submitting my resignation as the Secretary of the Treasury and. with your consent, will leave that office on or about December 20. Of course, after December 20 I would expect to mak~ myself available to you, the acting officials of this Department, and the officials of the new Administration for whatever time would be desirable to complete the process of orderly transition for which we are making careful preparation. In this connection, it may be useful to sumrnarize the current economic and financial situation which our successors are inheriting as 1 see it today. May I reassert what is implicit from our relationship after my previous resignation as Under Secretary in April 1964 and my service since )'lou recalled me to this office - - my personal loyalty and devotion to you, my deep admiration for the extraordinary ability, courage and dedication with which you have ennobled the office of the Presidency, and my gratitude for letting me share with you and my Cabinet colleagues the unprecedented accomplishments, as well as the difficulties, of the national government in these recent years. It is my conviction that your Presidency is one in which the national government fulfilled, to an unusual degree, the purpose and promise of the Preamble of the Constitution for those living and generations to come. In leaving, may I thank you and Mrs. Johnson and your staff for the personal kindness and unfailing friendship which Trudye and I will always treasure. And, needless to say, I hope that when we have returned to private life and are no longer just across the street, there will be opportunities for two grandfathers to enjoy relaxing together as we recall the strenuous times. God bless and keep you, Mr. President. #### FOR IMMEDIATE FE LEASE NOVEMBER 8, 1968 Office of the White House Press Secretary .------ -- - - .. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - TEE WHITE HOUSE TEXT OF THE LETTER FROM THE PRESIDENT TO SECRETAR Y OF THE TF.EASURY HENRY H. FOWLER For three and one-half years you have sat at my side at the Cabinet table while we met the tests of our time. 1 really know that the great adventure we have shared is drawing to a close when I accept your lette r of re signatlon. You leave behind you a legacy to all the American people that few men could claim. When the gold crisis threatened to destroy the world's monetary system, your firm leadership helped to avert disaster and assure the strengtr. of the dollar. You were the grand architect of the most significant reforms in the international monetary systerri since Bretton Woods. You were the man at the bridge who steerf''i through Congress the ~nL inflation tax so es sential to our prosperity. And that prosperity - - without parallel in the history of nations -- will forever bear your mark. Men who know your reputation, and children who have never heard your name inherit that gift which you have labored so hard to fashion. 1 know, Joe, a.t what personal cost you have served the people of America well beyond the period of your initial commitment. You are one of the American great, who will be long remembered as the Secretary who thought of financial values in the broader context of human values. Lady Eird and I have always treasured the strength which you and Trudye have given us through the bleesin~ of your friendship. We. look forward to drawing on that streng1', 111 the rears ahead. #### FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE NOVEMBER 8, 1968 Office of the White House Fress Secretary THE Vv'HITE HOUSE MEMORANDU!\ii FOR THE FRE3IDENT FROM HENRY H. FOWLER. SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY The economy continues to grow at a substantial pace maintaining its record performance of 93 months of uninterrupted prosperity. Unprecedented economic success in the years of your Administration have stretched the expansion that began under Fresident ¥.ennedy in 1961 from a bit over the average 30-month duration to one now in its 93rd month - - with general expectations for an indefinite continuation, given continuity in the policies now being followed. This unprecedented growth and prosperity is amply reflected in all the indices of a dynamic economy -- output, income before and after taxes, production and business activity, employment, unemployment. wages and profits. Employment is reasonably full and unemployment remains under the four percent level that has characterized recent years. Our free enterprise economy continue s to generate jobs at a rate commensurate with the entry of trained young people into the labor force. At the same time it is steadily modernizing its plant and equipment to increased levels of producti vity. The growth rate accompanying this expansion has added nearly $370 billion of annual Gross National F roduct to the approximately $503 billion annual rate that existed in 1960. In other words, in the course of this 93-month expansion it is as though the nation had annexed territory and population with an economy in excess of the total national product of all the nations in the European Economic Community or roughly comparable to the total Gross National Froduct of the Soviet Union last year. The nation has met in the year past an even sterner test than moving from a stagnant economy to a dynamic one -- the imposition of necessary restraint. In the last fiscal year strains and pressures threatened this sustained prosperity, the strength of the dollar, and our international monetary system -- as an excessively exuberant economy coincided with increasing military expenditures, a deteriorating balance of payments and a devaluation of the E ritish pound with resulting instability in the gold and foreign exchange markets. The remedial measures you proposed in August 1967 in your Tax Message and your New Year's Day Balance of F-ayments l'l~essage have been largely adopted and are being executed, to the extent authorized by law. - MORE - - 2 They are proving successful. Intolerable deficits in our budget and international payments in the last fiscal year are being eliminated. We are approaching b~ance in our Federal budget and equilibrium in our international payments in the fiscal year 1969 that began last July 1. The Revenue and Expenditure Contrail ct, enacted belatedly last June, has locked Federal finances into an appropriate posture through next June 30, 1969. Shifting from a fiscal stimulus to moderate fiscal restraint, the fiscal policy of this Act, coupled with the appropriate monetary policy being pursued by the Federal Reserve Foard, is making possible the achievement of other desired ends -- avoiding excessive growth with its excess of demand, arresting an inflation, and enabling the economy to move back toward reasonable price stability, given accompanying voluntary restraint in private price and wage decisions. N!Oreover, the shift away from a huge prospective Federal deficit has eliminated the overhang of large Federal financing demand on the money markets. This has resulted in more orderly markets and some decline in interest rates from peak levels of earlier this year, with somewhat lowe r rate 5 Qventue.lly in prospect. The execution of your r-:.ction f rag ram announced last January has substantially improved our balance of payments situation. It has moved from a huge deficit in 1967 to near equilibrium in the second and third quarters of this year on the liquidity hasis of measure. There is a substantial surplus thus far this year on the official settlements basis. There is reasonable prospect of continuing improvement next year, assuming, as I hope will be the case, that there is no dismantling of your Action I rc'~ram and the initiatives launched in that F rogram to improve our trade rourplus and reduce the net deficits in government military expenditures abroad and private travel are vigorously pursued until a durable surplus or long term equilibrium is assured. There are favorable prospects for the future of our current account. The sharp decline in the trade surplus resulting from a flood of imports has bottomed out and !1as been rising steadily in recent months. And there is some pro1:ability of reduction in the net drain of military expenditures in the Far East. An effective attack to prevent an increasing travel deficit awaits legislative action. Eecause the fundamental measures have been taken, even in the forbidding climate of an election year, the dollar is strong and confidence in it is reflected not only in the recent Pnnual lvleeting of the International lvionetary Fund, but in the decisions of private investors and the conduct of central bankers the world over. This underlying strength is supported by factors in addition to the fundamental measures, such as: 1. The bottoming out of the long term decline in the level of our monetary re:::erves, with a substantial increase in gold holdings since last March. - lviOilE - ·3· 2. The paydown in our borrowing from the IMF, thereby freeing all but $200 million of our gold tranche of $1, Z90 million of automatic credit for financing. 3.' The increase in the "swap" network between the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and the monetary authorities of other powerful financial nations and institutions to an availability level of $10. Z billion for the United States. 4. The t'll'actical clearing of U. S. ca1ls on the "swap" network necessitated by the short term dollar flows into central banks last faU and winter. 5. The removal of the gold cover limitation on the use of reserves. An intangible but nonetheles s significant source of strength and stability for the world economy, of which the United States and the U. S. dollar is an integral part, is the recent progress that has been made for enlarging and intensifying the scope, scale and nature of international financial cooperation. This progress, evolutionary in character, has involved measures of accord for international financial cooperation to maintain and improve a functioning international monetary system. These measures had a variety of objectives: (a) Avoid the panic and disruption that normally accompany war and special strains on the currencies of important trac1ing nations. (b) Forge a new international monetary facility to provide an orderly expansion of world monetary reserves, and (c) Establish and maintain arrangements for cooperation on gold policies in the interest of greater stability for the system. Quick, quiet, informal and effective means to as sist nations that have found themselves in temporary monetary difficulties this year -- the United Kingdom and, most recently, France ~- give confidence for the future. The successful development and operation of the so-called two-tier system for gold since the agreement on gold policies of Central Bank representatives of the gold pool nations meeting in vVashington last March 17, and the subsequent expressions of support of most of the rest of the world, now reveal that agreement as a most significant and far-reaching step. It has arrested the decline of monetary gold reserves and insulated the international monetary system from the de~ stabilizing influences of the private gold market and speculation in gold. The agreements reached at Rio de Janeiro last September and in Stockholm last lvlarch for the creation of a new facility for .special Drawing Rights in the International Monetary :Fund are the culmination of years of intensive study and negotiation. Acting in concert, the world I s leading nations have taken the long step toward the provision of an international monetary system in which reserve needs can be met through conscious and deliberate action. This constitute s the greate st forward step in the improvement of the international monetary system since the creation of the International IVionetary Fund itself. MORE - 4 • An amendment to the Articles of A greement of the Fund providing the new Special Drawing Rights facility has been completed pursuant to the decisions at Rio de Janeiro and Stockholm. It was submitted to governments last May 31 with the near unanimous approval of the Governors of the member nations of the Fund. Since that time ZO countries out of the 67 necessary, possessing 43 percent of the weighted vote of the 80 percent necessary, have ratified the amendment. It has not been formally rejected by any membe r government. Information indicates the likelihood of completion of the ratification process by the end of the year or early January. The most serious problem confronting the economy is to carry through the process of disinflation now under way and restore price stability without excessive unemployment or slow and inadequate growth too long endured. VIe have turned the corner toward price stability. But the turn and improvement, limited in time and quantity, leaves a price and wage performane far from satisfactory. Maintaining the proper mix of fiscal and monetary policies is the fundamental and essential element. IvIoreover, the nation must continue to expand training and retraining programs to improve the match of labor skills to market needs and facilitate the mobility of workers an,d jobs. In addition to these measures we must continue to encourage the high levels of investment and co('rdination to improve efficiency that have characterized recent years, vigorously apply the anti-trust laws, and carry through on the reduction of tariff barriers without imposing quotas on imports. A supplementary anti-inflation program has been in preparation for six months by the Cabinet Committee on Price Stability. It is designed to deal with inflation-prone sectors, such as medical services and construction costs and to provide new proposals for securing responsible wage and price behavior on a voluntary basis in those sectors of the economy where there is a substantial national interest in wage and price decisions. # # # TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON. D.C. November 12, 1968 FOR A.M. RELEASE WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 13, 1968 TREASURY A:-JNOUNCES FINP-L REGULATIONS ON INTEGRATION OF PRIVATE PENSION PLANS \tJITH SOCIAL SECURITY BENEFITS The Treasury Department today ann01..1nced publication of regulations on the inte~ration of private pension and other retirement plans with Social Security benfits. The regulations will appear in the Federal Register of Wednesday, November 13, 1968, At the same .time, the Treasury announced that the Internal Revenue Service will publish shortly a supplemental revenue ruling to assist interested parties in applying the new regulations. The regulations generally concern t!1e provlslon of the Internal Revenue Code that a private pension plan, as a prerequisite to obtaining the special tax treatment accorded to qualified plans, may not discriminate in favor of officers, shareholders, supervisory personnel, and highly compensated employees. They provide specific standards for determining whether a pension plan designed to supplement the Social Security system meets this statutory nondiscrimination rule. The regulations are needed to adjust the income tax rules in the light of changes :in the Social Security system made through the legEiation of 1965 and 1967. The final Treasury regulations are based on proposed regulations issued on July 6, 1968. The final version of the regulations adopts the fundamental principle in the proposed regulations that 30 percent represents the proper integration percentage under the current Social Security program. The integration percentage is the maximum rate at which a pension plan, which does not provide benefits on compensation covered by Social Security, may provide benefits on compensation over the level covered by Social Security, without violating the statutory non-discrimination requirement. The prior integration percentage was 37-1/2 percent u F-l403 - 2 Transition Rules The regulations provide liberal transition procedures for changing over to the revised rules in order to avoid any major disruption of retirement plans: (1) No change whatever is required oefore January 1, 1972. Since nany employers will undoubtedly in any event up~rade their pension plans over the next three years, they will be able to adjust to the ne1;v rule.c::: hd thout unexpected costs and additional administrative workload. (2) Even after that date, no change is required with respect to the benefit structure under a plan for employee service existing prior to January 1, 1972. Thus, an employee may receive a benefit determined under the old 37-1/2 percent integration percentage for his service prior to 1972 even though that benefit is computed as a percentage of the wages he is earning at the time of his retirement after 1972. (3) Finally', an employer may guarantee an employee that, as a minimum, he will receive a pension no smaller than what he would receive based an the plan's existing benefit formula and his current wage level. Thus, the portion of his pension to which the employee has developed the strongest expectations -i.e., what he will receive under the plan based on his current wage level -- need not be affected. Hence, employees close to retirement will feel little or no effect from the new rules. In summary, the Treasury regulations adjust to the changes in the Social Security situation and eliminate potential discrimination with a minimum of disruption to the private pension system. Principal Changes From Proposed Regulations Written comments on the proposed regulations and those made at the public hearings September 16 and 17, brought out some practical problems that would have been created for pension plans under the proposed regulations. The final version of the regulations contains the following principal revisions with the objective of removing as many of these problems as is possible consistent with the basic requirement of nondiscrimination. - 3 - (A) The effective date of the new rules, as they relate to existing plans, is delayed from January 1, 1971, until January 1, 1972. This revision will allow more time for plans to develop and make any changes needed to meet the new rules o (B) Provisions have been added to give the employer more flexibility in setting his integration level (i.e., the wage level above which he intends to supplement Social Security benefits)o Under the proposed regulations, if an employer wanted to use a uniform integration level for all employees (instead of a level which varied according to the employee's age in line with the method for determining Social Security benefits), his choices were substantially limited. Comments were received to the effect that a varying integration level procedure would cause practical problems and that more flexibility should be permitted in adopting a uniform level. This flexibility has been added in the final regulations by allowing an employer to use any wage level he desires as a uniform integration level. However, if an employer chooses an integration wage level which will restllt in any group of employees receiving neither Social Security benefits nor private plan benefits on a band of their wages, he must make an appropriate reduction in the integration percentage to adjust for this fact. For example, if an existing plan which provides no benefits on wages below its Social Security integration level is amended to conform to the new rules as of January 1, 1972, it may adopt a benefit formula which provides a pension equal to 30 percent of an employee's wages in excess of any specified level up to $6,000. The employer may set his integration level above $6,000, if he makes a proportionate reduction in his 30 percent benefit formula. (C) A provision has been added to permit employers to keep existing funding arrangements intact during the transition to the new integration percentageo Even though plans generally gear their benefits to an employee's rising compensation, many presently fund this benefit under a basic contract providing a benefit based on the employee's wage level at the time the contract is entered intoo - 4 When an employee's wages increase, a supplemental contract is purchased to provide the additional pension. Under this type of plan, it is likely that, even if an employer adapts to the new integration percentage by reducing his benefit schedule, most employees will, by reason of increased wages, ultimately receive larger benefits under the new schedule than are being funded under the basic contract. Under a new procedure added in the final regulations which allows an employer to guarantee an employee at least what he would have received under the plan as now in effect based on his 1967 wage level -- the basic contract would not have to be cancelled although it may technically provide an excess benefit until the employee's wages increase sufficiently. This new procedure would not apply, however, to the owners of a business (i.e., those who own more than 10 percent of the stock) since their basic contracts often will in fact prove to be discriminatory. This is because the salaries of this group tend to level off as the earnings are left in the business. When this occurs, if the benefits' under the basic contract are based on a discriminatory integration percentage, they will exceed those computed under the new 30 percent standard. CD) As has been the rule for many years under the prior regulations, a plan may continue to utilize a normal retirement age for women which is below age 65 -but not less than age 60 -- without having to make an adjustment in the 30 percent integration figure to reflect the fact that the Social Security program sets age 65 as the normal retirement age. Thus, for example, a plan will not be considered discriminatory in favor of the highly paid merely because it provides women employees a 30 percent benefit -- beginning at age 60 -- on wages in excess of the Social Security wage base and no benefit on wages below the wage base. The proposed regulations would have required integrated plans to conform to the age 65 normal retirement age under Social Security. The fact that a normal retirement age for women of less than age 65 will not be considered discriminatory in favor of highly-paid employees under the Internal Revenue Code does not, of course, have any bearing on whether such a provision as to retirement age violates any Federal or State law, such as Federal and State fair employment laws. - 5 - For example, it should be noted that Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, as interpreted by the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission, prohibits differentials in mandatory and optional retirement ages for men and women, with limited exceptions for existing practices which are now being brought into compliance. Each of these revisions in the proposed regulations was made to meet a practical problem which pension plans would otherwise have faced in conforming to the new integration rules o They will thus materially ease the transition to the new rules. Background of the New Regulations -- Non-Discrimination Rules The Internal Revenue Code specifically provides that as a condition to qualifying for the tax benefits reserved for qualified pension plans, the employer must establish a plan which does not discriminate in favor of officers, shareholders, supervisory personnel or other highly paid individuals. The objective of this condition is to insure that the special tax benefits flow to a broad range of employees. In its simplest terms, the non-discrimination requirement means that if an employer is going to provide an employee earning, say, $15,000 a year with a pension equal to 50 percent of his pre-retirement salary, an employee earning $7,000 must likewise be provided a pension equal to at least 50 percent of his pre-retirement salary, if the pension plan is to qualify for the special tax benefits o The Internal Revenue Code and regulations have long provided that in determining whether an employer's plan meets this nondiscrimination test, consideration may be given to the benefits provided (other than by the employee) under the Social Security program to the end that if the combined package of those Social Security benefits and the private plan benefits are nondiscriminatory, the plan will qualify under the Code. To apply this provision, two steps are necessary: (1) The Social Security benefits have to be valued; and (2) Since both the employer and his employees contribute to the Social Security system, a determination has to be made as to what portion of the benefit package may be fairly credited to the emp10ye r o For example, suppose an employer sets up a pension plan under which he is going to provide a pension equal to 37-1/2 percent of an employee's wages in excess of the Social Security wage base and no pension on wages below that level. The employer can j~tify this obvious apparent discrimination in his pension plan in favor of the higher paid employees only by asserting dIal lIe is prOViding an equivalent 37-1/2 percent - 6 pension on wages below the Social Security wage base through the Social Security system. The essence of the Treasury Department regulations is to provide rules for determining whether he is, in fact, doing this. For if the employer is not providing a comparable pension for his lower-paid employees under the Social Security program, then the inescapable conclusion is that his plan is discriminating agains t these employees in violation of the tax qualification rules. In this situation, the mere fact that the excluded employees will receive a comparable amount of Social Security benefits is not enough to prove non-discrimination. This is because, while the employer is paying the full cost of the pension he is providing his higher-paid employees under his private plan, his employees are required to share with him the cost of their Social Security benefits. Thus, in judging whether nondiscrimination exists, a fair allocation of an employee's Social Security benefits must be made between the employee's contributions and those of his employer and only the portion allocated to the employer taken into account. Under prior regulations, a 37-1/2 percent pension had been determined to represent a fair valuation of what the employer should be credited with under Social Security. Thus, even though a private plan gave a 37-1/2 percent benefit on wages in excess of those covered by Social Security, and no benefit on wages below this level, the plan was not considered to be discriminatory because the employer was deemed to have provided through Social Security a comparable 37-1/2 percent benefit on the lower wage band o However, if the plan provided a larger differential than 37-1/2 percent between the benefit on wages in excess of those covered by Social Security and the benefit (if any) on wages covered by Social Security, it was discriminatory. These regulations were written in 1958. Since then, two significant sets of Social Security amendments have been enacted and the system itself is 10 years older. The question behind the issuance of the new regulations is whether, in light of these factors, a 37-1/2 percent pension still represents a fair valuation of the pension an employer should be credited with under Social Security. The new regulations conclude that it does not, and that under the current situation, a 30-percent r-:ension is much nearer the true measure of the employer-provided So~ial Security benefit. - 7 As a consequence of this change in the Social Security picture, an employer's plan which is now integrated under the existing 37-1/2 percent concept is, in fact, discriminating in favor of the higher-paid employees, since that employer is giving his lowerpaid employees only a 30 percent pension under Social Security. Under the new regulations a plan has various alternatives for removing this discrimination which is clearly in violation of the statutory provisions. It may pay a benefit of 7-1/2 percent under the private plan with respect to wages below the Social Security wage base (so that the 30 percent Social Security benefit plus the plan's 7-1/2 percent benefit equals the plan r s 37-1/2 percent benefit for wages above the Social Security wage base); or it may reduce the pension payable with respect to earnings above the Social Security wage base by 7-1/2 percent. An alternative course would be to do a little of each, which would permit the plan to remove its discrimination and yet maintain its current cost level. In any event, the fact that the plan r s existing formula may have provided equality 10 years ago does not alter the fact that it does not today and thus does not provide a legal basis for allowing it to continue to discriminate. What Caused the Integration Percentage to Change? Considering that Social Security benefits as well as Social Security taxes have continued to increase, what has happened to warrant a change in the amount of Social Security benefits that employers are considered to be providing? The primary reason for the change is that at present employees are in fact paying through their contributions for a greater portion of their Social Security benefits than they did 10 years ago. In testing :liscrimination, therefore, the employer should be given credit for a lesser portion than in the past. In the early days of the Social Security program, in order to provide adequately for their retirement, employees who were :::lose to retirement when the program began were generally 5ra nted benefits near the maximum, even though because of the lewness of the system neither they nor their employers would ::ontribute significant amounts towards the funding of these )enefits This practice was also followed with respect to the :>ubstantial benefit increases which have been provided through the years as the system was brought to its current levels. Q - 8 Thus, in the past an employee's Social Security benefit was only partially funded through contributions based on his earnings. The excess was made up out of money contributed by younger employees and their employers. Nevertheless, in constructing the integration rules, the historical approach has been to determine the portion of the Social Security benefit paid for by an employee's contributions and to give his employer credit for the remainder even though the employer, in fact, paid for only a part of this remainder. At the time of the 1950 amendments, the contributions of the average employee then in the work force would pay for only about 6 percent of his benefit, and the Social Security integration percentage was set by crediting the employer with 94 percent of Social Security benefits. Even by 1958, although the average employee may have been contributing to Social Security for his whole working c~reer, he was still paying for substantially less than half of his benefit because he was entitled to benefits at almost the maximum level permitted under the 1958 amendments despite the fact that he would contribute the increased taxes associated with the increased benefits for only a portion of his working career. Accordingly, the Social Security integration rules continued to credit the employer with considerably more. (78 percent) than one-half of the total Social Security package.l/ This situation has changed over the past 10 years. Even with the enactment of the 1965 and 1967 benefit increases, there has been a sharp increase in the portion of the Social Security benefit which is actually being paid for by the employees. For example, the average-age employee (approximately 40) who is entitled to the maximum Social Security benefit under the 1967 amendments will contribute 5002 percent (assuming a 3-3/4 percent interest rate) of the cost of his Social Security benefits, and the employer only 49.8 percent. On the other hand, contrary to the situation in the past, there has not been an offsetting increase in the size of the Social Security benefit for an employee entitled to the maximum benefit. Consequently, there has been an overall reduction (to the neighborhood of 30 percent of wages) in the Social Security benefit which an employer can now reasonably be considered to be providing 0 !l Although the percentage of Social Security benefits allocated to the employer decreased from 1950 to 1958, the size of the benefit to be allocated increased to an offsetting extento The result has been a level integration percentage of 37-1/2 percent. - 9 Conceptually, there has always been a serious question as to nether the prior concept of attributing more than 50 percent of ne cost of the Social Security benefit to the employer makes ational sense since, in fact, the employee has contributed qually with the employer, the payroll taxes on employers and mployees being at the same rate. Now that a mathematical computation roduces an almost even split, it is app~opriate to shift from the athematical computations and to allocate on a 50-50 basis onsistent with the contribution pattern. Thus, in lieu of the past practice of precisely determining hat the employee pays for under Social Security and giving the mployer credit for the remainder, the new regulations adopt 50-50 allocation of the benefit between employer and employee ontributions. As indicated above, this change in concept has effect on the end result reached in the regulations, since :ollowing the historical mathematical approach would also produce . 50-50 allocation under the existing facts (50.2 percent for the ~ployee and 49.8 percent for the employer). Moreover, the adoption of the 50-50 allocation does not represent a marked departure from past policy. This was recognized as a logical future step in 1951 in Mimeograph 6641 J95l-l CB 41) which pointed out: "Actuarial cost estimates • • • indicate that the aggregate employer and employee contributions under the scale provided in /the Federal Insurance Contribution/ Act as a;ended will, in the long run, approximate the cost of the OASI benefits. Since the employee and employer contributions under the Act are equal, it may be considered that in the long run contributions of employees will in the aggregate pay approximately half the cost of the OASI benfitso" (Emphasis added.) In summary, the new regulations set forth a rate of 30 percent is the new integration percentage. This percentage is consistent dth the present Social Security situation and represents the maximum Talue which an employer should, in constructing his pension plan )rogram, be able to assign to the benefits he provides his employees mder the Social Security program and still maintain a nonliscriminatory plan. The final regulations were approved by Stanley S. Surrey, \ssistant Secretary for Tax Policy, and Sheldon S. Cohen, ~onunissioner of Internal Revenue. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON. D.C. November 13, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY MARKET TRANSACTIONS IN OCTOBER Duri~g October 1968, market transactions in direct and guaranteed securities of the Government investment accounts resulted in net purchases by the Treasury Department of $405,748,000.00. 000 F-1404 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON, D.C. November 13, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $2,700,000,000, or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing November 21,1968, in the ,amount of $2,701,648,000, as follows: 91.day bills (to maturity date) to be issued 1n the amount of $.1.,600 I 000,000, or thereabouts, additional amount of bills dated August 22,1968, mature February 20,1969,originally issued in the $ 1,101,172,000,the additional and original bills interchangeable. November 21,1968, representing an and to amount of to be freely 182-day bills, for $ 1,100,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated November 21,1968, and to mature May 22, 1969. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer fo~ only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, '100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturi ty value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, November 18, 1968. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury De~artment, Washington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of ,1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used, It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on applicatIon therefor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. F-1405 - 2 Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at th Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announce- e ment will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be ' final. Subject to tnese reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on November 21,1968, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing November 21 1968. Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash adjus'tmentswill be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or ga in from the sa Ie or other d ispos ition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the c and it ions of the ir issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained fron ' any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT t WASHINGTON, D.C. November 14, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE STATEMENT BY ACTING SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY JOSEPH W. BARR "I am proud that a Treasury official, Assistant Secretary for Administration Artemus E. Weatherbee, has won a 1968 Rockefeller Public Service Award. I have watched Mr. Weatherbee at work for some years now and so can confirm from personal knowledge the judgment of Princeton's Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs in conferring the honor upon him. "But I am pleased for yet another reason, namely the confirmation thus afforded that the ability to make scarce budget resources work with maximum effectiveness is worthy of recognition and acclaim. Not nearly enough good things have been said about public servants like Mr. Weatherbee who can move into a large organization like Treasury to tighten up its management, get things done and save money at the same time. "Happily, there are many men like Mr. Weatherbee in our government -- men who like him can and do successively and effectively serve such disparate agencies as the State Department, the Post Office and the Treasury whose high competence has so much to do with making it work and work well. In honoring him, the award also spotlights the breed he represents. This is something that should happen more often." 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 15, 1968 STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE HENRY H. FOWLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY ON THIRD QUARTER BALANCE OF PAYMENTS RESULTS, 1968 In the third quarter of this year, the United States continued in the pattern of the two previous quarters to make substantial progress toward achieving equilibrium in its international balance of payments. In the third quarter, the U.S. had a small surplus of $35 million, measured on a seasonally adjusted liquidity basis. This is the first quarterly surplus on the liquidity basis that we have had since the second quarter of 19650 In the third quarter, we had a surplus of $439 million (seasonally adjusted), measured on the official settlements basis. For three successive quarters, the deficit of the United States has moved toward equilibrium with the impetus provided by President Johnson's Action Program for the Balance of Payments announced New Year's Day. The huge deficit of $1,742 million (liquidity basis) in the fourth quarter of 1967 was reduced to $680 million in the first quarter of 1968 as the program got unde~ay, moved downward to $160 million in the second quarter and now for the third quarter has changed to a surplus. The results are no less impressive in the official settlements measure. In the fourth quarter of 1967, the deficit on this basis reached the very high level of $1,082 million o However, this deficit declined to $552 million in the first quarter of 1968 and changed to surpluses of $1,523 million and $439 million, respectively, in the second and third quarterso F-1406 - 2 - For the first nine months of 1968, we had a deficit of $805 million, measured on the seasonally adjusted liquidity basis and a large surplus of $1,410 million, measured on the official settlements basis. This compares with a nine-month liquidity deficit of $1.8 billion and a deficit of $2.3 billion measured on the official settlements basis for the similar period in 1967. As I mentioned on August 16 in commenting on the second quarter results, this progress, however welcome, is somewhat unbalanced and elements may to some extent be transitory. Therefore, we cannot let up in our efforts to implement all of the balance of payments measures contained in President Johnson's Action program o We must continue with this program in the months ahead and must assure that all segments of the economy share proportionately in this effort until equilibrium is established on an enduring basis. We have had success in most of the areas covered by this comprehensive program. However, two significant aspects of our international balance of payments, trade and tourism, are not at all satisfactory, despite the improving trade balance in the third quarter as compared with the second quarter. In these areas, as well as the control of government expenditures overseas, we must intensify our efforts. Only by pressing through on these longer-term measures will we be able to do what we all want to do -- relax and eventually remove restrictions on the free flow of capital without endangering equilibrium. Trade The trade account showed some improvement from the second to the third quarter. However, our trade surplus for the first nine months of 1968 was only $307 million (seasonally adjusted), or $409 million at an annual rate as compared to annual surpluses of more than $4 billion in recent years. In the fourth quarter further improvement may be expected, but our trade results for the year as a whole will not be satisfactory. Our efforts to restrain an over-heated economy which sucked in imports at an unusually high rate, and to expand exports, should yield further improvement in next year's trade picture o However, we face a prolonged effort to rebuild the trade surplus to a satisfactory level. In pursuing this effort we must not back away from our firm resolve to seek equilibrium in our balance of payments in the year ahead. - 3 - Tourism As I have repeatedly pointed out, the United States must take action to reduce the widening tourist deficit, I put forward a detailed long-term program for promoting travel to the United States which unfortunately the 90th Congress did nbt approve. This plan called for a temporary tax based upon expenditures of U.S. travelers made outside the Western Hemisphere and for a ticket tax. A portion of the revenue to be obtained from these levies would be used to create a Special Fund to finance a program to encourage foreign travel to the United States. This fund, under the direction of the President, would provide the resources for a five-year program, including both Government actions and Government support of private sector activities aimed at increased tourism to this country. On July 31, 1968, I wrote to Senator Long, Chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, about the vital nature of this proposal to deal with the ever-widening travel gap. I said: "It is imperative that the Government of the United States make a positive, vigorous start on a solution to this problem of arresting and reversing the trend of increasing deficits in our balance of payments attributable to foreign travel." I hope that the next Congress will understand the longrun needs and be more receptive to such a plan to finance the imaginative recommendations set forth by Ambassador McKinney's Travel Task Force. Government Expenditures Overseas On New Year's Day, President Johnson emphasized that "we cannot forego our essential commitments abroad, on which America's security and survival depend. Nevertheless, we must take every step to reduce their impact on our balance of payments without endangering our security." Recent events in both Europe and Asia underscore our continuing resolve to meet these needs. While we have taken major steps to reduce the costs of Government personnel overseas, benefits from these efforts will accrue only gradually in the months ahead. We must continue to work with our NATO allies to minimize the foreign exchange costs of keeping American forces in Europe. Both in Europe and in Asia we have made progress in neutralizing our military costs but - 4 much more remains to be done. Achievement on this account is necessary to assure long-run mutual security with sustainable foreign exchange costs. The improvement of $195 million in our balance of payments in the third quarter over the second quarter was more than exceeded by the $290 million improvement in the trade account. The quarterly trade balance changed from a deficit of $20 million in the second quarter to a surplus of $270 million in the third. Exports increased 6.5 percent over the second quarter to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $35.4 billion, while imports rose by only 3.0 percent to an annual rate of $34.3 billion. This is a welcome trend in contrast to the first two quarters of this year in which imports increased much more rapidly than exports. Other significant transactions during the third quarter on which information is now available included: A seasonally adjusted increase in U.S. bank claims on foreigners of $197 million. An increase of long-term deposits by foreigners in U.So banks of $99 million. Purchases by foreigners of U.S. securities, other than Treasury issues, of $933 million, of which $425 million was net purchases of U.S. stocks and a further $422 million represnted bonds issued abroad by U.So corporations to finance direct investment activities 0 Purchases by official foreigners of $410 million in non-convertible medium-term Treasury securities, of which $250 million were bought by Canadian authorities. Purchases by U.S. citizens of $366 million of new foreign securities, after seasonal adjustment, about two-thirds of which were Canadian issues. Gains of $74 million in U.S. gold holdings. - 5 - For the first three quarters of 1968: Purchases of UoS. securities by fureigners totaled $2,708 million, (versus $982 million during the same period last year), of which $1,509 million represented bonds issued abroad by U.S o corporations to finance direct investment activities and another $1,238 million represented net purchases of U.So stocks. Long-term deposits by foreigners in UoS. banks amounted to $346 million, down $474 million from the same period last year o U.S. banks reduced their claims on foreigners by $305 million on a seasonally adjusted basis, whereas during the same period in 1967 they increased them by $554 million. U.S. residents' purchases of new foreign securities, seasonally adjusted, were $1,052 million ($205 million less then similar purchases last year), over four-fifths of which were Canadian issues or issues of international institutions which were offset by redeposits by these institutions. Foreigners purchased $1,445 million in nonconvertible medium-term U.S. Treasury issues; in 1967 they bought $335 million during the first nine months. While we may be heartened by the 1968 results to date, we cannot be satisfied that our balance of payments has yet reached sustainable equilibriumo We have achieved the first order of business in the President's Action Program to deal positively with the balance of payments deficit and to assure confidence in the American do11ar o Responsible fiscal and monetary policies have contributed greatly to this confidence The Revenue and Expenditure Control Act of 1968, passed after too long a delay, demonstrated the will of the United States to handle its affairs responsiblyo 0 - 6 Apart from these fundamental and continuing efforts, the notable progress achieved in 1968 has necessarily relied primarily on temporary measures. For example, the longterm measures to increase exports, to reduce non-tariff barriers and to increase foreign investment and travel in the United States have only begun to have an impact o Moreover, the continuation of a high level of military expenditures in the Far East has limited our ability to neutralize Government expenditures abroad. Until the full effects of these measures materialize, we cannot abandon the program through which we are building a base for sustainable equilibrium in our international accounts. To this end, the Secretary of Commerce announced today the extension of the mandatory Foreign Direct Investment Program into 1969. The program will be continued with modifications, (1) to provide additional flexibility for companies with limited or no foreign investment experience; (2) to reduce the administrative burden by an increase in the minimum annual investment which is generally authorized; (3) to assist firms which have unusually low investment quotas in relation to the earnings of their foreign direct investments; (4) to remove impediments to increased exports to the foreign affi1:iates of U.S. firms and (5) to meet the unique problems of a few industries o These changes add clear incentives based upon earnings and remove inequities which became apparent this year. At the same time, they will p reserve the balance of payments gains achieved in the field of direct investment. Some have argued that the mandatory restraints on direct investments, by reducing capital outflows, are "killing the goose that laid the golden eggs". This has not been and need not be the case. Total foreign direct investment of U.S. firms has continued to grow and to yield greater remitted income to the companies and increased returns to the U.S. balance of payments. This has been true and it will be true in the future. These firms have financed their foreign expansion out of foreign financial sources to a greater degree than before because of the program. It is clear that plant and equipment expenditures abroad by U.S o firms have continued to increase in 1968. Even in continental Western Europe, where the restraints have been most severe, U.S. firms have been able to increase their expenditures. Thus, in 1968 the foreign direct - 7 - investment program will achieve its objective -- to shift the financing of direct investment increasingly to foreign sources. This has been accomplished with no reduction in the volume of investment, with no undue pressures on international capital markets, and with major benefits to the U.S. balance of payments. Rather than undermine the very substantial progress made in 1968, with all its benefits to the international monetary system, we must redouble our effort to take care of the unfinished business in the President's Action Program. These needs will be no less compelling for the new Administration and the new Congress in the year ahead than they are today. For that reason, we consider it desirable to move forward on all segments of the Action Program in the coming year. The modifications in the Foreign Direct Investment Program have been announced at this time to facilitate the investment planning of about 3,000 business firms which the program affects. In the near future, we will announce an ovel:'-all balance of payments program for 1969 affecting Government expenditures as well as other segments of the economy, including revised Federal Reserve guidelines for lending institutions. The temporary measures have served us well. They have brought the necessary immediate improvement in our balance of payments and have given renewed confidence in the strength of the United States dollar and its role in a strong fl:'ee world economy These temporary measures, appropriately modified, are needed for some additional period. In time, I am confident that as the longer-tel:'m measures instituted this year yield increasingly large benefits,then the restraint achieved by the temporary measures may be phased out. 0 President Johnson said on New Year's Day: "The action program I have outlined in this message will keep the dollar strong. It will fulfill our responsibilities to the American people and to the free world". In noting our progress since that message, we must not lose sight of these responsibilities. 000 )R IMMEDIATE REU':ASE November 14,) 18G8 CU}~.BE.i\JT SUBSCRIPTION li'IGUI1LS I'On EXCHJ-UJGE O}TJI'EHn~G The results of the Trcasul'J" s cnrrc!nt exchange offering of 5-5/8~b notes dated November 15, 1968, maturing Hay 15, 19'/0, C),nd 5-'3/~l:% notes dated Novc((,ber 15, 1967, "lith interest from NovC[;:i1eY 15, 1968, maturing ,Novem·ber 15, 1974, re su:mnnri7.:ecl in the folla-wing t2.bles. --------_....- .. -.~-.,..-- -----.;...- ... .... .. Amomrc •.. ---..,,,,--.~ ---------.~-----..-.--- .. -.,.-.-,-.-----..-.-,..-.. For C9.8(1 Hc'(-:"crp.'t:Lon -··----.. ,. -;/ . '--·-'. r:·-·-.. -< ... -··c:··~"-::l~·-· .. I:' 0,; I: OJ, l'ct:~l Excll[Ocl',:,ec3 }'or Puc'J5,(: Issuf)s Eligible Eligible 5-:)Jt7J-'5=:574~;--------" Cie,l.:.H01c1 .. ' for. 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COLMAN DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AT THE HARVARD BUSINESS SCHOOL CLUB OF CLEVELAND MID-DAY CLUB, CLEVELAND, OHIO, TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 19, 1968, 12:00 NOON, EST THE INTERNATIONAL CHALLENGE TO AMERICAN BUSINESS Today I would like to talk to you about the international challenge to American business. My title is deliberate -- it is a variation on the theme, The American Challenge, the title of the most widely read new book in Europe and perhaps all of the Western World in the last two years. The author of this book, Jean-Jacques Servan-Schreiber, is a highly respected French journalist much concerned with the seemingly overwhelming vitality of American business operations in Europe. He holds out the prospect that American business in Europe may soon become the third ranking industrial establishment in the world following only the United States itself and the Soviet Union. I find refreshing his perspective about the dynamic aspects of the American economy and American business methods. Perhaps one day we may look back and find his understanding of the American economy as perceptive as de Toqueville and Lord Bryce were in their writings about American life nearly a century ago. In particular! - 2 - In particular, I think it useful to draw upon his views in discussing what is one of our most perplexing economic problems, the international balance of payments of the United States. Let us review first the history of the problem and efforts to deal with it. Then with the ins~ghts of this European commentator, we might look at the role of American business in possible solutions of the problem. The United States has had a deficit in its international balance of payments almost continually since the end of World War II. In the immediate post-war years, these deficits were welcomed both here and abroad. It was a matter of conscious policy of the United States to run a balance of payments deficit as a corollary of the massive efforts to rebuild viable economies in Western Europe and Japan so necessary for political stability. As a result, these countries have prospered, achieved political stability and remained allies in the post-war period. We may now chafe that these countries have become our principal competitors in world commerce, including American markets. But as businessmen you know that these countries also comprise most of our principal trading partners. They have/ - 3 - They have become regions offering some of the most attractive markets for direct investment as well as exports. Indeed world trade, so largely dependent upon commerce among the major industrial countries, has consistently grown more rapidly than national production. In balance of payments terms, we paid a high price to assist in the reconstruction of the Free World. I think rightfully so -- in a cost/benefit context, we can truly say both political and economic returns have been enormous. We transferred real resources without strings, igniting and fueling the great economic engines outside North America. As the singular financial power in the early post-war period, we nurtured the international monetary system to its present strength as the lubricant for unprecedented levels of multilateral trade and investment. We were exceedingly generous in trade negotiations, giving primary impetus to the steady reduction of trade barriers. These are policies not to be abandoned even though our challenges today are different. By the close of the 1950's, European economies had been well launched. Currency convertibility became a fact. and investment began to soar. Trade And the so-called dollar shortage vanished from the newstands. Instead for the first time, we heard that the United states had a balance of payments/ - 4 payments problem. Our continuing deficits led to expanding dollar holdings larger than some countries were willing to have in their official reserves. We were caught between the stones of declining gold reserves and rising liabilities to foreigners. It is useful to look at the numbers. From 1941 to 1957, the United States had an average annual deficit of less than $600 million. We had a surplus from trade and services of $5.2 billion per year, almost enough to finance the average annual deficit of $6.6 billion on military and Government transactions -- a period which included World War II, the Korean War and the Marshall plan. In the following ten years, the story changed dramatically. The United States had a cumulative deficit of $27 billion, an annual average of over four times that in the 1941-1957 period. We financed this deficit first by the sale of $11 billion of gold and then mostly by increasing dollar claims against us. In the ten years ending in 1967, our surplus on trade and services declined to an average of $2.6 billion per year. The deficit on military and Government account, however, still ran at a high level averaging $5.5 billion per year. Our capital/ - 5 - Our capital account, which had average surpluses of $800 million per year in the 1941-1957 period now was only slightly above break even. What has happened in those sectors involving American business? Our trade surplus, which averaged about $3 billion per year in the 1950's, rose above $5 billion annually in the first half of this decade. Since then it has fallen sharply to $3.5 billion in 1967 and perhaps only $1 billion this year. Exports have continued to grow at a very respectable rate despite an overheated domestic economy. But imports have mushroomed because of temporary shortages of certain raw materials, rapidly expanding consumer incomes, greater appetites for foreign goods by consumers and industry and improved distribution by foreign manufacturers in the- lush American market. In the service account, we have experienced a steadily increasing deficit in the past two decades, reflecting mainly rising net expenditures on travel and transportation. The negative balance has grown from $600 million per year in the early 1950's, to $1.3 billion in the early 1960's, to $2.6 billion last year. Here too we see the effects of rapidly increasing disposable income in the United States. The resu1ts/ - 6 - The results on capital account have been more e rra t'lC ti -- su::pj_I.U1 averaging $1 billion per year in most of the 1950's and t'. Jefici t of similar magnitude in the early 1960' s. deficits ~~re These largely due to the surge in foreign direct in- vestment by American business, frem less than $1 billion per year after World War!I to over $6 billion in 1964. By the same token, the increasing stock of direct investment has yielded increasing income, including fees and royalties -from about $1 billion per year in the late 1940's to close to $6 billion last year. Overall, the capital aCCOU:lt turned to a strong surplus CIa in the last three years has a ::asul t of the balance of pay- menta programs of the United Stilt•• Government. These programs, including the temporalY restraints which have affected American busine.s, havf kept our balance of payments problems manageable. With a reluced trade surplus, with heavy foreign exchange costs of military requirements within Europe and Asia, with a businees rush to make foreign investments and with a burgeoning con~urner appetite for foreign travel and foreign goods, these restraints have been necessary to buy the time to work out mer. fundamental adjustments. Over the years, the United States Government has dealt with the problem in a variety of ways. In the latter years of the Eisenhower Adrniniatratiol, we began tying our forei~ assistance/ - 7 - assistance to u. S. procurement and introduced arrangements to reduce the balance of payments effects of American military forces in Europe. Following the 1960 gold rush, president Kennedy laid out the first detailed program to minimize balance of payments deficits. Further programs, largely voluntary in the restraints called for from the private sector, were introduced in 1963 and 1965. Finally, in the wake of the sterling devaluation last fall, President Johnson on New year1s Day introduced a comprehensive set of measures affecting both the public and private sectors, including mandatory restraints on foreign direct investment. At each stage, the programs have advocated a combination of short-term restraints and long-term positive measures for seeking adjustment in our balance of payments. Temporary measures to restrain bank lending and direct investment abroad have been mixed with long-term programs to improve our trade account, to increase tourist receipts, to foster foreign investment in the united States and to improve the international monetary system. At the same time, we have sought greater burden sharing in the protection of the Free World and complementary adjustments from those ·countries having persistently heavy balance of payments surpluses. The results/ - 8 - The results so far this year have been very encouraging, For three successive quarters, the deficit has moved toward equilibrium with the impetus of President Johnson's Action program. The huge deficit of over $1. 7 billion l.n the fourth quarter of 1967 has been successively reduced in the following periods. In the third quarter of 1968, the United States had a small surplus of $35 million (seasonally adjusted), measured on the liquidity basis -- the first quarterly surplus since 1965. In commenting on those results last Friday, Secretary Fowler said: "While we may be heartened by the 1968 results to date, we cannot be satisfied that our balance of payments has yet reached sustainable equilibrium. We have achieved the first order of business in the president's Action Program to deal positively with the balance of payments deficit and to assure confidence in the American dollar. Responsible fiscal and monetary policies have contributed greatly to this confidence. The Revenue and Expenditure Control Act of 1968, passed after too long a delay, demonstrated the will of the united States to handle its affairs responsibly. - 9 - "Apart from these fundamental and continuing efforts, the notable progress achieved in 1968 has necessarily relied primarily on temporary measures. For example, the long-term measures to increase exports, to reduce non-tariff barriers and to increase foreign investment and travel in the United States have only begun to have an impact. Moreover, the continuation of a high level of military expenditures in the Far East has limited our ability to neutralize Government expenditures abroad. Until the full effects of these measures materialize, we cannot abandon the program through which we are building a base for sustainable equilibrium in our international accounts •••.• "Some have argued that the mandatory restraints on direct investments, by reducing capital outflows, are 'killing the goose that laid the golden eggs'. This has not been and need not be the case. Total foreign direct investment of U. S. firms has continued to grow and to yield greater remitted income to the companies and increased returns to the U. S. balance of payments. be true in the future. This has been true and it will These firms have financed their foreign/ - 10 their foreign expansion out of foreign financial sources to a greater degree than before because of the program. 1I Quite clearly a major aspect of our balance of payments, on both sides of the ledger, has been the drive of U. S. business to capture foreign markets. Servan-Schreiber terms the European Community the new frontier of American business. His reference is to the recent boom of American direct investment in Europe, more rapid there than anywhere else both at home or abroad. He points out that U. S. firms control, for instance, 15 percent of consumer goods production, 50 percent of semi-conductor production, and 80 percent of computer production in Western Europe. He emphasizes that the giant U. S. firms, not the medium-sized ones, have played the major role in penetrating Europe. He underscores the im- portance of size in sponsoring research and development. In describing the plight of European firms in the face of this competition, Servan-Schreiber concludes that size, technological superiority and the real sources of strength. financi~l reSOurces are not The disparity, in his view, stems rather from the American art of organization, the mobilization/ - 11 mobilization of intelligence and the talent to innovate in the development of products and markets. This innovative talent, in turn, he believes stems from American emphasis on social mobility, individual responsibility and investment in educ~tion. The importance of the giant sized American firms in direct investment is clearly stated. From our own figures we know that some 100 firms account for roughly three-fourths of all foreign direct investment by united States business. Approximately one-fourth of all direct investment is accounted for by less than a score of companies in the extractive industries, particularly oil. Among all the large corporations of the Free World, in each size category, American firms generally out-number all of the others by a factor of three or four times. The multinational corporation is a relatively new phenomenon which has grown rapidly in recent years. It is estimated that total world direct investment is in the neighborhoOd of $85 billion and that total commerce emanating from these investments is about $170 billion annually. Of the total direct investment, over 60 percent is American. By 1975, it is estimated that 25 percent of the approximate $1 trillion gross national product of the rest of the Free World will come from branches and subsidiaries of u. S. corporations. In looking/ - 12 In looking to the future, we must question whether the dominance of U. S. corporations in multinational business , and particularly in direct investment, is likely to accelerate, Over 3,000 American direct investors, representing more than 20,000 incorporated businesses, presently report to the Department of Commerce under the Foreign Direct Investment Regulations. Since only the first 100 account for such a large portion of the total amount of American foreign investment, is it probable that direct investment flows will accelerate as the balance of the 3,000 firms try to emulate their big brothers in going after foreign markets? I believe that this is not likely to be the case. Analysis of the effects of foreign investment on domestic firms and foreign business is extremely complex and presently froth with controversy. Many groups of economists have tried to discern whether foreign direct investment by American firms is displacing exports and thus over the long run aggravating our balance of payments problems and reducing domestic employment opportunities. I will not attempt to debate with the economists on macro-economic grounds. However, I think we should look at the record of particular companies. one can draw some inferences from statistics about the leading corporations published by Fortune - 13 Fortune magazine. It appears that the major firms which are the largest foreign direct investors do not have the highest returns on capital. Indeed, a recent Fortune list of 25 "big players in the global game" showed that most of these firms had returns on capital generally at or below the median returns in their respective industries. Those American firms which in recent years have shown the most consistently superior performance in terms of return on capital have generally not been large foreign direct investors. Those companies with the highest returns on capital are generally leaders in either technological or marketing innovation. Case studies indicate that many of these tap foreign markets by exporting,licensing or franchising as much as or more than by foreign direct investment. Practically none of our great merchandising firms has any foreign activity. Finally, the newest category among American corporations, the large conglomerates, have almost no representation in international business. The National Foreign Trade Council has recently studied the relationships of foreign direct investments and exports among some 600 American firms. One of the interesting con- clusions is "that in most situations, a prerequisite for the making of a foreign investment has been the loss or absence of ani - 14 of an export market ••• They stress the importance of a fall in exports resulting from either government action, or from other suppliers becoming more competitive ••• " The study con- tinues that government restriction induced direct investment more often in less developed countries; in Europe, increased local competition more frequently induced direct investment. Interestingly enough in the last five years while direct investment has boomed at 13 percent per year, U. S. exports have grown at a very respectable rate of over 8 percent per year, faster than gross national product. out'side of the special case of Canada, export gains were greatest in trade with the less developed countries despite the alleged restrictions. Furthermore, despite increased competition from foreign manufacturers, the strongest growth in exports in the last five years has been in finished manufactured items. Clearly American business in the aggregate has not lost its ability to compete in export markets. The point of all this is simple. I think the time has corne for each business manager to question whether foreiqn direct investment is the best road to high returns on investment for U. S. firms competing in foreign markets. we had too much of a fad? Have Will the high profits forecasted for foreign plants shrink as competition grows keen? Did thes e/ - 15 - Did these profits really materialize in the first place? Will the fixed assets overseas become liabilities for particular firms five or ten years hence because they do not have the size, the technical strength and the innovative capacities of their American parents? Can foreign direct investment dollars offer higher rewards in marketing than in production facilities? In many cases, I would surmise the answers to these questions will increasingly militate against major foreign direct investments at least in fixed assets. Rather we may find that U. S. firms will come again to prefer to compete in foreign markets by exporting products or exporting knowhow by licensing. united States goods are still highly com- petitive; United States firms with their great innovative talents, even more so. swing to exporting. I would expect that the pendulum will This has been the case before. With large and' rapidly growing markets abroad, with rapid communication and transportation now available to all parts of the globe and with the taste of foreign markets that over 3,000 U. S. direct investors now have, I think the reestablishment of a favorable trade surplus will not take long as the pendulum swings. The possibilities/ - 16 The possibilities for American firms in foreign markets are enormous. These are just beginning to offer both the size and the demands typical to the great North American markets. united States firms excel not only in the high technology industries but also in the service industries, in mass merchandising and in mass distribution, the equally great frontiers in world business. In meeting the challenge of these markets, American business will serve itself and will help the balance of payments. As in direct investment, so it is in exporting that a few hundred U. S. firms account for the bulk of our international business. I believe the second and third tiers of u. S. firms, giants by any standards other than our own, will find that exporting to these markets will offer high returns and maximum corporate flexibility_ If I am correct, then I believe we will experience a marked improvement in our balance of payments. The trade surplus of former years can readily be reestablished, returns on capital account will continue to grow and direct investment will account for a proportionately smaller outflow. These swings should provide the increased foreign earnings necessary to cover the ongoing costs of our international responsibilities. - 17 We hear a great deal about foreign competition in American markets and ominous calls for protectionist measures. Many aggrieved parties may attempt to justify tariffs Or quotas or other barriers on balance of payments grounds. These are ill-founded arguments. American business and American workers have far more to lose than to gain by a return to the protectionism of the 1930's. I do not belittle the dislocation that foreign com- petition may bring in certain areas. I do not wish to minimize the need for us to press vigorously for the removal of foreign trade barriers and unfair trade subsidies. We should not lose sight, however, of our great size and strength. In slightly over three years, the increase in our gross national product has been greater than the total GNP of anyone of our trading partners. The 20 largest U. S. in- dustrial firms have aggregate capital greater than the reserves of all the rest of the countries of the Free World. We devote less than four percent of our gross national product to export markets. Most of our emerging giant business firms have yet to apply their innovative skills to foreign marketing. I have no doubt that American business, in its own enlightened self-interest, can readily face the international challenge. TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON. D.C. !LEASE 6::30 P.)1. , '1.1 November 18, 1968. RESULTS or i'REASURY' S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING 'lhe ~easury DepartDEnt &DDounced that the tenders for two series of Treasury " one series to be an additioDa1 issue of the bills dated August 22, 1968, and Ither series to be dated lfovember 21, 1968, which were oftered on November 13, were opened at the Federal Reserve Banks today. ~nders were invited for )0,000,000, or thereabouts, of 91-day bills and for $1,100,000,000, or there;8, ot 182-day bills. '!be details of the two series are as follows: : OF ACCEPTED :'1'l'n:VE BIDS: High Low Average 91-day Treasury bills matU,fiK February 20, 1969 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 98.623 5.447~ 98.610 5.49~ 98.614 5.483~ Y 182-day Treasury bills maturins May 22, 1969 Approx. Equiv. Annual Rate Price 97.144 f}} 5.64§J 97.120 5.697~ 97.129 5.67~ Y ~ Except 1 tender of $1,000. 27~ 72~ J of the amount of 91-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted of the amount of 182-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted TENDERS APPLIED FOR AID ACCEPTED BY I'EDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS: Itr1ct ston f York lladelphia !ve1and !hmond lants Lcago . Louis meapolis lsas City las 1 Francisco 'mTALS Applied For Acce12ted $ 25,641,000 $ 15,2:31,000 1,867,228,000 1,151,578,000 15,521,000 30,521,000 28,845,000 29,925,000 13,676,000 13,676,000 20,885,000 :39,257,000 206,402,000 251,862,000 36,041,000 50,541,000 19,118,000 25,118,000 24,601,000 24,626,000 14,275,000 2&,875,000 74,261,000 156,695,000 AE121ied For $ 7,846,000 1,656,298,000 15,911,000 60,399,000 5,225,000 31,899,000 166,425,000 26,576,000 21,392,000 15,535,000 20,485,000 __115,905,000 $2,559,963,000 $1,600,434,000 ~/ $2,145,894,000 AcceEte~- $ 7,846,000 815,098,000 5,911,000 33,059,000 5,225,000 14,246,000 114,883,000 17,740,000 16,252,000 14,889,000 10,485,000 44,815,000 $1,100,449,000 c/ lcludes $284,199,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 98.614 lcludes $142,446,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price ot 97.129 :lese rates are on a bank discamt basis. ']he equivalent coupon issue yields are .6'~ tor the 91-4&y bills, and 5.95~ tor the 182-day bills. TREASURY DEPARTMENT t WASHINGTON, D.C. JMMEDIATE RELEASE November 18, 1968 TREASURY'S MONTHLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders or two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of L,500,000,OOO or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for reasury bills maturing November 30, 1968, in the amount of 1,500,519,000 as follows: -day bills (to maturity date) to be issued $ 500,000,000 or thereabouts, dditional amount of bills dated August 31, 1968, ,ature August 31, 1969, originally issued in the 1 000,387,000 the additional and original bills nterchangeable. 272 n the amount of December 2, 1968, representing an and to amount of to be freely 365 -day bills, for $1,000,000,000 or thereabouts, to be dated ovember 30, 1968, and to mature November 30, 1969 The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under ompetitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at aturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They 111 be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, 5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 maturity value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches p to the c lOSing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard lme, Friday, November 22, 1968. Tenders will not be ecelved at the Treasury De~artment, Washington. Each tender must e for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive enders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, lth not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not e used. (Nat.withstanding the fact that the one-year bills will run for 36:-) ays, the discount rate will be computed on a bank discount basis of 360 days, s iG currently the practice on all issues of Treasury bills.) It is urgen that enders be made on the nrinted forms and forwarded in the special envelopes hich will be suppliedoy Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of cust~mers rovided the names of tne customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than anking institutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their 0wn ccount. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and rust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment secri ties. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of th,: ace amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless t.he tenders are accompanied by n express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. -1409 - 2 Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be I final. Subject to tnese reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on December 2, 1968 cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills rna turing November 30 1968 Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash a~justmentswi1l be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest 01' gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bi lIs are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department" Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the cond it ions of the ir issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained fr()£l' any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 TO BE DEt!VE'RED BY: FOR RELEASE UPON CHARLES R. HARLEY, DIRECTOR OFFICE OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL POLICY COORDINATION AND OPERATIONS DELIV~RY RElvtARKS BY THE HONORABLE JOHN R. PETTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY FOR INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS BEFORE THE BANKING AND FINANCE SENINAR OKLAHOMA STATE UNIVERSITY STILLWATER, OKLAHOHA TUESDAY, NOVE~·mER 19, 1968, 12 Noon, EST. THE POLITICAL ENVIRONMENT OF BALANCE OF PAYMENTS DECISION MAI(-ING Introduction: If these remarks can make any contribution to a broader understanding of the balance of payments adjustment process, it will be because they will reflect the point of view of a practitioner rather than the vision of a theo~etician. Many fertile and experienced minds are actively at work attempting to broaden our knowledge of those processes by which payments imbalances are removed. wi thin that groi',j.ng framework I would like to discuss some of the practical problems encountered in attempting to implement a balance of payments program. We are discovering that the application of economic prescriptions can indeed do a great deal for the general health of national economies and for the world economy. But I believe many of us are becoming a little more humble with respect to the ability to apply public policies with precision and exactitude of timing. Among other lessons, we are learning that the older 2 title of "political economy" has real meaning when we try to apply economic programs through governmental procedures in \'lhich political influences -- in the broadest sense of the term -are inevitably present and frequently dominant. The problem of international imbalance illustrates both the lack of precision in implementation of policies and the importance of political limitations. It involves in an extraordinarily complex way political influences, not in just one nation but in more than a hundred individual countries. Perhaps, it is remarkable under these circum- stances that the imbalances are as small as they are. For example, in doing a study in the Treasury Department on the need for intern21tion::~l re~crves, "le found that the aggregate total of the gross reserve gains of all reserve gaining countries averaged only a little over 3 percent of world imports annually during the years 1954-66. That is, one can say that the disequilibrium to be covered by reserve additions was no more than 3 percent. true that these data may not be too meaningful. It is It is almost tautological to say that, apart from reserve acquisitions or losses, capital movements will in some way offset other items in a country's balance of payments. '1'0 have any useful understanding of the problems of disequilibrium we must look beyond statistics and must also, perhaps, give up the pleasures of dealing with aggregate 3 totals. We must grub into the balance of payments accounts of individual countries. And, vie will find that for each country satisfactory equilibrium will represent a unique pattern of current account and capital account items. We knm." hOvlever, that if a country is persistently facing exchange pressures, and having to resort to borrm';'ing official reserves, there is something wrong. If this persists a long time, we conclude in an .empirical way that corrections are needed in that country's balance of payments pattern. On the other hand, if a country is continually faced with an influx of reserves and has to resort to special techniques in an effort to push these reserves out of the country, we may conclude that it is suffering from some kind of persistent surplus. One of the facts \-lhieh becomes clear under this rough rule of thumb approach is that there are significant differences among capital movements: that under some condi tions capital imports are not inconsistent \'1i th a lasting equilibrium, while in other cases they are inconsistent. For the surplus countries, some capital exports are consistent with a lasting equilibrium, and others are not. The basis for distinguishing among types of capital movements requires further technical analysis as a first step, and further absorption into the \';orking philosophy of government officials as a second step. 4 The other side of the coin is that oUJ~ intense concen- tration on balance of payments problems in recent years has also led to increased attention to those bare bones aspects of the accounts -- trade, tourism, military expendi tures, aid trans fers • We have been asking what is the appropriate structure of a country's noncapital balance of payments appropriate to its stage of economic develop- ment and appropriate to its responsibilities in the world. These efforts should further improve our understanding of the process by which payments imbalances can be adjustede The Monetary Frame\vork of Adjustment Process Before touching upon some of the political problems in reducing imbalances, I should. like to glance backward over the history of international imbalance in the past 20 years. By the time of the Bretton Woods Conference in 1944 many economists were convinced that it was no longer possible to apply the full discipline of the earlier gold standard theory because this might require excessive deflation and unemployment in deficit countries. No doubt this belief was heavily influenced by the experience of the United Kingdom in the t",enties "'hen severe deflation accompanied an effort to make viable the prewar parity of the pound sterling at $4.86, despite the heavy inflation and economic losses of World War I. The British undenvent great hardship during the twenties in attempting to compete with Continental countries whose exchange rates had been established at much more favorable levels, relative to internal wage and other costs. 5 It is worth remembering that the Articles of Agreem2nt of the Fund did not assume convertibi Ii ty for capital transactions. In effect, the framers of those Articles recognized that a system of stable exchange rates might be threatened by large scale capital movements, and the founders at Bretton Woods were perhaps most immediately concerned \·li th preventing competitive exchange depreciation \'lhich had proved so disruptive in the intervlar p8xiod in the field of trade in goods and services. They \'lere quite prepared to see capital movements restrained if this was necessary to maintain stability. Furthermore, the Articles also made provisions, in conjunction Hi tIl tho G!'..TT I for the tc:nporary applicutioTl of import quotas and exchange controls on current transactions, when this was justified by a temporary balance of payments problem. If the maladjustment in the current accounts appeared to be more than temporary, then the Fund Articles contemplated that a "fundamental disequilibrium" \'lould be found to exist and that this could be corrected by an exchange adjustment, with the approval of the Fund. Finally, there was inserted in the Articles the so-called "scarce curren~i clause" procedure, which was designed to penalize an excessively strong surplus country by permitting deficit countries to discriminate in their trade and exchange restrictions against such a ~trong surplus country. In effect this system made allm·mnce for the political problem of national resistance to excessive deflation. It 6 was also designed to meet the fears resulting from the experience of the thirties that countries might resort to competitive depreciation in exchange rates that would have a serious effect on international trade. This fear of competitive depreciation was very strong. It was hoped that competitive depreciation could be avoided by the pressure of world opinion in 'the Fund, by providing machinery for supplying reserve credit, and by permitting temporary trade and exchange restrictions. The Bretton ~Joods system thus attempted to counter some major difficulties that had been experienced in the inteI'\tJ'arpcriod. Not surprisingly, the problems of the posb;ar period were not entirely the same as those of the interwar period and in fact the monetary system did not evolve in the \'lay it \-laS expected to evolve at Bretton Woods. Instead of current account convertibility, the world proceeded first to external convertibility on both current and capital account, and then to a large degree of resident convertibility even on capital account. The balance of payments provisions permitting the use of quotas and exchange restrictions for temporary adjustment purposes were seldom called upon, partly because new fears had arisen that such measures would become lasting restrictions of a protectionist character. Along with this, discrimination developed, not as a me~ns of penalizing surplus countries under 7 the scarce currency arrangements, but primarily as a means for promoting European integration among a group of Continental European industrial countries, which became the major surplus region of the world. Nevertheless, despite the failure of history to f01lm'1 the plans of the Bretton Woods planners, those planners did , foresee correctly tLat the post\'lar world would face very impo:L"tant political limitations on the adjustment process. Adjustment and the Political Environment In considering the elements which make up the political environment in ,·;hich adjustment process decisions are made I would like to consider (1) general political limitations, (2) some characteristics of the U. S. political environment, and (3) some characteristics of the political environment of the surplus countries of Western Europe. General Limitations There are three broad and basic considerations of political policy that have narrowed the scope for the adjustment of international imbalances in '-:lays other than through movements of relatively liquid capital. 1. Major countries are reluctant to apply deflationary measures and to incur unemployment in the interest of international adjustment, unless such measures are also needed to contain domestic inflation. The German Hininter of Economic Affairs, Karl Schillc::c', acknouledged this point and made an additional one \:lhen he spoke ahout certain political implications of the a~justment 8 process at the Annual Heeting of the International Honetar.y Fund and the Horld Bank this fall. He said: " ••. no nation should be urged to accept unemployment as a means of restoring balance of payments equilibrium. But neither should any nation be forced to sacrifice its mm price stability merely bec(.ruse other nations are in an inflationary process." 2. As illustrated by Minister Schiller's statement, su.rplus countries C.re um'lilling to inflate excessively in order to eliminate their surpluses. It is quite understandable that surplus countries may be reluctant to permit incomes and prices to rise domestically as rapidly as in the rest of the world, particularly if they think the rest of the world is undergoing excessive inflationary pressure. standable. This is under- In terms of the adjustment process, is it practical? The classical gold standard adjustment mechanism worked through a combination of deflationary pressures in the deficit country and inflationary, or at least expansionist, pressures in the surplus countries. There is now rather broad agreement that the deflationary side of thfs adjustment process must clearly have some limits -- althou9h there may be less agreement on the application of this policy. The wide recognition of the need for a deficit country to avoid inflationary developments is more than just a "tip of 9 the hat" to the deflationary prescription of an earlier age. For the other side of the adjustment process it is recognized there must also be some effective response on the part of those surplus countries reserves and other \.,hos~ forms of liquid asset holdings are grovling persistently. Such countries should consciously seek a more rapid rate of economic e;=pansion as one method of bringing their international position into equilibrium. rapid ? ll That is the question. target be noticeably affected? HOvl rapid is "more Should the price stability If it isn't, is there enough of a contribution to the adjustment process? 3. There is strong political resistance to any change in exchange rates. This resistance npplies both to appreciation and depreciation, though for some\'1hat different reasons. Devaluation is interpreted unfavorably politically \.,hile revaluation incurs the concerted opposition of domestic producers. This resistance, up to the point of fundamental disequilibrium, of course, is highly desir~ble. 'l'he Political Environment of the U. S. Adjustment Process The political environm3nt in vlhich U. s. balance of payments adjustment decisions are made is governed by our political system, by the nature and diversity of our economy, by our political and social vision of the type of world \'ihich \'1e believe should exist and by our conception of the role the United States should play in helping to shape this type of world. 10 Our t"lO-party system, ar..d the clear division of responsibility between the Executive Branch and the Legislative Branch, strongly influence the decision making process. lvhen the Executive Branch develops measures \Ilhich may ultimately involve legislation, careful and frequent consultations are made to sound out the vim'ls of Cong1:€!SS. Perhaps the quickest and clearest way of emphasizing that important legislation requires a meeting of minds in the Executive and Legislative branches is to cite the period of time between tha President's announcement in January of 1967 of his intention to seek a tax surcharge and passage of the legislation by the Congress in June 1968, a period of seventeen months. 'J.1his delay \'laS costly in terms of time, and in the balance of payments adjustment process time is frequently the most precious of all conu-nodi ties. He have found that \.;hen our economy is overstretched, \·,hen the rate of growth becomes too fast, \-Ie experience a surge in imports which moves the ratio of imports to gross national product well above the expected trend line. Such a surge in imports may have lasting effects long after inflationary pressures are brought under control. In the same ,-lay, distortions created in the \vage and price level are only absorhed over a period of time considerably longer than that involved in bringing those distortions about. 11 Leadership Role The role of world leader in which the U.S. finds itself involves the assumption of many national objectives which are given high priority. The liberalization of world trade over the last 20 years has been championed by the U. S. and the lead this country has taken in its trade negotiations and general policies have occasioned the tremendous growth in world trade Hhich the world has enjoyed. In the trade area \"here the computation of trade effects of given actions is a science of insufficient exactitude I political conside:cations play their role in determining the final bargain. This has been an acceptable price to pay for the contribution our trading policy has made to the creation of a freer world trading community. Because the United States believed that the unification of Western Europe \'71 th full participation of Gennany was the road to political and military st2bility in Europe, it spurred the European countries to establish the Common Jvlarket. It \'laS clearly recognized that this would involve closer trading relationships among the members and a strengthening of the economies of nations which are our major competitors for export markets. r7hether the benefits to the U. S. economy from the faster rate of growth in European markets exceeds the 12 losses frGL\ the reduction in the U. S. share of thcso markets caused by EEC preferential arrangements may never be determined. The United States has supported the creation of mutual security nrrangements in several areas of the \<lorld. t'le -----,'thu~c believe tht-;se arrnngements are required for a \\Torld order in Hh:Lch free people may make their mm decisions regarding the course tlwir countries are to follm., and the typo of lGl1dcrship tlwy arc to have. Aggrandizement and externally sponsored rebellion have no place in a ,..,orld of this type. These mutual security arrangements are for the common good of the free world and they come about through the common agreement of the participating cOUlli;ries. It is clear that these arrangements affect the payments of the United States. b~lance of In the framework of NATO, for example, it made sense for the burden of defense expenditures in Europa to fall upon the U.S. balance of after the \'lar. pal~ents for a period European countries Here themselves having very difficult balance of payn;ents· probl€ms end struggling to rebuild their reserve positions. But it has been clear for some time that this is no longer sensible. We now \li tness the curious situation of a deficit area paying out dollars to add to the reserves of European countries that are in strong surplus positions, "'hile at the same time providing defensive forces to support the security of Uestern Europe. 13 Moreover, and this is too frequently overlooked, the existence of U. S. troops in Europe has 5.n itself provided an important additional advantage to these countries by allowing them to use more of their own manpoHer and financial resources on economic pursuits rather than maintaining substantially larger armed forces, Similar benefits accrue to Japan as well. The situation requires a change in posture. That is why such vigorous efforts are undenray to establish more equitable financial arrangements within the NATO alliance. But the point I am making this morning is that our mutual security objectives I which ",ere accorded the highest priority long before high priority was accorded to the objective of balance of payments equilibrium, involves balance of payments costs of sUbstantial magnitude. These priorities result from political decisions: not only political decisions made in Washington, but political decisions of our allies that these costs must be incurred to keep the world free. is clear that balance of pa~nents It adjustment process deCisions must be considered in the broad context of our nrutual security obligations. The development of viable economies in the less ~eveloped countries of the world is another objective that this country is seeking to champion both by our 01-111 efforts and through our influence in world affairs. The 14 volume of funds employed in foreign aid over the years is ample testimony to the will and desire Qf this nation to support development. In order to reduce the impact of foreign assistance on our balance of payments, \'le have tied our aid to procurement of goods in this country -- a clear effort to accommodate b10 high priority objectives. In all candor, we must admit that the tying of economic assistance has not decreased the cost of goods purchased by the LDCrs with these monies. On the other hand, we have been able to maintain a higher level of assistance than would other"lise have been supported by the Congress. ! have mentioned only a fe,., of many examples of the political problem of reconciling high priority objective~ which, ",hile not necessarily conflicting, are certainly competing for attention and for resources. In the balance of payments adjustment context the issue is this: To what extent do the policies and responsibilities of the United States as a world leader conflict with its responsibilities -- both to itself and to the other countries of the world -- to maintain a strong and viable balance of payments position in order that the dollar, the key currency of the world, shall remain unassailable? At what point would our measures of balance of payments correction stop becoming beneficial for the \-lOrld and start becoming harmful? To \vhat extent is it desirable that our capacity for ",orld leadership --- which peoples 15 of the free world encourage us to exercise be con·· strained by balance of payments disciplines? We have demonstrated a remarkable capacity to subdue these con-· flicting objectives and take the necessary decisions. The size of the U. S. economy and its share in ",orld trade is so great that balance of payments actions desirable in themselves -- in terms of balance of payments progress for the United states -- can only be taken, if at all, after due allowance has been made for their economic impact on other countries. Specific balance of payments measures adopted by the united States have been modified to temper their impact on certain economies overseas. The history of the Interest Equalization Tax in 1963 with respect to Canada is a clear example of this. , 'U. So Balance p of Payments and the Domestic Economy - A - final point which affects the political environment surrounding balance of payments decisions in the United states involves the relatively low visibility of the balance of payments in our economy. trade represents only se~en International percent of the united States GNP. With the exception of a few localities and industries, foreign trade is not looked upon as a major source of livelihood for either the companies or the workers of this nation. In the minds of the Congressional constituents, the balance of payments is a matter less understood, less 16 relevant and less interesting than the Local School Board bond issue and it probably doesn I t get as much conscious attention as even that neglected issue. The impact of this fact becomes apparent when government witnesses appear before Congressional Appropriations Committees seeking funds for the promotion of export trade fairs, encouragement of foreign tourism, balance of payments statistical improvements, and minimum staff support for the foreign direct investment program. If I have exaggerated in cataloguing some of the political barriers to what might appear to an outside observer to be the relatively easy task of balancing the international accounts of this country, I have done so to guard against any tendency to ignore their presence. I hope I have not indicated that these barriers are necessari- ly bad. The political priorities this nation adopts are chosen by the people of this country in the most democratic way and they have general support. aware ~- I am fully as you are -- that the meshing of conflicting objectives is indeed a primary function of government. What I find both important and encouraging is the fact that wi thin the confines of a comple)~ of other national objectives -- we have been able to carry out a series of meaningful balance of payments programs over the past eight years _ These have been adopted to deal with rapidly 17 changing conditions, They have not yet brought us into sustainable equilibrium -- that is true. But they have now put us wi thin reach of our goal as lve expect tha.t the encouraging trend of the last three quarters ,,,ill continue. Finally I \-,hat is most comforting is that even in an election year, the national interest in a strong economy and a strong dollar clearly took precedence over more narrow political considerations. I only need to record that it ,,,,as by a vote of two-thirds of t,he House of Representatives and, more particularly, t\vo .... thirds of each party \ld thin the Jlouse that the tax surcharge was passed. I believe the passage of this tax legislation demonstrates that the influence of conflicting political forces is reconcilable and these forces must therefore be kept in perspective. Nevertheless ( their existence plays an 5.mportant role in the shaping of a program, and this must be borne in mind, lest a discussion of the subject become all too theoretical. The Responsibilities of Surplus countries and Their Political Enviro·nment· . , t The issue of the burden of responsibility of the adjustment process and how this is shared bet,,,een surplus and deficit countries is perhaps the most fundamental one facing the international monetary system no,,~ that arrangements have been made for the creation of supplementary reserve assets. ~'he science of balance of payments adjust:ment is relatively new and the nature of the responsibility cf the 18 surplus countries is only beginning to be understood. Therefore, it should not be surprising that there is no broad body of agreement regarding the technology of adjustment -- that is, what type of balance of payments program can be devised and put into effect by a surplus country in view of the prevailing political environment. We are indebted to a report by lvorking Party 3 of the Economic Policy committee of the OECD published in August 1966 entitled "The Balance of Payments Adjustment Process" for much of what we do understand regarding the adjustment process. In discussing the responsibilities of surplus and deficit countries, paragraph 62 of the report says: "Wherever possible, it is desirable that adjustments should take place through the relaxation of controls and restraints over international trade and capital movements by surplus countries, rather than by the imposition of new restraints by deficit countries." to give than to follow. The prescription is easier The external forces which do so much to create the atmosphere required to support a difficult political decisi.on are stacked against the deficit country. The surplus country experiences few such pressures. In short, the surplus country suffers the embarrassment of riches and the deficit country suffers the shame of poverty. ~ore There is ample evidence that one can tolerate embarrassment than shame. 19 The balance of payments adjustmGnt process is so full . of subtleties that one can understand the corr~on failure to comprehend that the system works best when each nation operates at or around equilibrium. It is too easy to relate balance of payments accounting to every other form of accounting where a surplus is a "good thing" and a deficit the opposite type of thing. Yet, a country in persistent surplus may be as destabilizing to the system as a persistent deficit country. This fact is not well understood beyond the realm of a fe,., international monetary specialists. This lack of broad understanding of the obligation of the surplus country contributes to a political environment in ",hich polic~nakers do not really feel the need for action on their part. Many still feel that getting rid of the surplus is solely the problem of the deficit country. The Working Party 3 report lists some of the areas where contributions from the surplus countries should be expected. What political problems would implementation of the recommendations .entai 1 ? (1) Increasing the level of domestic demand in the surplus country is, of course, a first recommendation. My earlier quotation from Minister Schiller indicates the general limits that are placed upon this reco~~endation. 20 (2) The WP-3 study points out that it ,.;ould be desirable for surplus countrie~ to increase their aid contributions both by facilitating access of multilateral lending agencies to ti1cir capital markets and by the extension of aid on an untied basis. Increasing the volume of bilateral assistance, of course, involves a budgetary cost whatever the balance of payments position of the country may be. therefore, It is probable, that improved access to the local capital market may prove to be a more practical, if less satisfactory, contribution in this area. The question of reducing the extent to which bilateral aid is tied gives free rein to domestic interests which can be expected to argue that tax money, if it is to be gi ven a~."ay to foreign countries, should at least be spent within the domestic economy. Against the clamor of local political voices, abstract considerations regarding the responsibility of the surplus nation all too often go unheeded. (3) The acceleration of tariff reductions is another action surplus countries can reasonably take to fulfill their adjustment process responsibili ties. This policy \-las f0110Hed by some Euro- pean countries in the 1960's in support of 21 measures to increase competition at home and counter inflationary pressures. A more recent example concerns the ,3.cceleration/deceleration proposal with respect to the Kennedy Round \vhich '\-las worked out earlier this year. Basically, it has been proposed that other countries accelerate their negotiated Kennedy Round tariff cuts and the United States slow down its cuts. This would have the effect of keeping up the momentum of the liberal trade movement while facilitating the adjustment process. It is important that these proposals be implemented. (4) The Working Party report implicitly recogni2es the trade diversionary effect of some border tax adjustments when it recommends that surplus countries postpone changes in such taxes if the likely effect would be to work against the adjustment process. The counseling of the international monetary economists in this regard has not prevailed against the counseling of domestic revenue and fiscal advisers and political interests. This is true with respect to the change-over in the indirect tax system Germany implemented at the first of this year, and it is true with respect to the change-overs due in a fe,., weeks in 22 the Netherlands and, 1 Only a very few people are the entire issue of the effect u1 taxes. This fact breeds misunde~ arena in both the direct tax countries. COD. t in Belgium. in~ormed concerning rade of indirect dings in the political les and the indirect tax The implicit assUil1pti:)11 in the GATT treatment of border taxes -- that they have no trade diversionary effect -is fostered by protectionist interest in indirect tax countries and the theoretical arguments of their fiscal people reinforce the pOlitical attitude engendered. Some interests in direct tax countries look upon a border tax adjustment as exactly equal to a customs duty, and they don't understand the implications of the price shifting argumentation. In each case domestic political positions are reinforced, rendering more difficult the equitable resolution of a problem which thoughtful analysts agree exists. (5) Many surplus countries employ special tax and other incentives to encourage foreign direct investment in specified areas within their own economies. In an effort to strengthen their own economic position and all too frequently without regard to their balance of payments position and adjustment responsibilities, countries continue to foster programs which dole out tax incentives, tax holidays 23 long-term subsidized loans, -I- "lOrker-training~ subsidies, preferential contracts, etc. Inducements are offered to bring in foreign technology, to relieve a surplus country of import needs of a given product, to provide the base for additional exports, and to create local jobs, We have, therefore, the anomalous situation of the Government of a surplus country urging deficit countries to adjust, while at the same time subsidizing capital outflows from the deficit country. Conclusion i There are many other rigidities, historical holdovers and specific structural factors that ,,,ork against rather than for the attainment of equilibrium. only a representative sample. I have review'ed Nevertheless, I cannot help feeling that in addition to all of these specific hindrances to adjustment is one very pervasive, understandable and all too hUman difficulty. This is the simple fact that having attained a comfortable surplus position through a combination of political and economic factors, any nation has an instinctive tendency to preserve that position. This is particularly true with respect to countries that enjoy a strong trade and current account position as this is instinctively felt to be a more dependable and lasting position of strength than one L-( '/ 24 which depends upon capital inflow. ! I am afraid that this tendency will not be easily reversed. This will make the proper functioning of the adjustment process more difficult. What then is the answer to a situation where the demands upon the balance of payments adjustment process will continue and the competing (and at times conflicting) national objectives sometimes inhibit the timely and complete implementation of balance of payments measures -- a question as pertinent to surplus as it is to deficit countries. I feel sure that the answer for the future is to be found in ever closer international cooperation. We have seen a truly remarkable advance in the past decade in the willingness and ability of governmental authorities to seek agreed solutions to the ever-changing problems which they have faced. The most striking example is found in the very close working relationships which have been developed in connection with the international liquidity discussions. The best known result of that work is the agreement for establishing a mechanism for the creation of Special Drawing Rights. But before that agreement was reached, a habit of cooperation had been firmly established which yi~lded practical results in the management of short-term capital flows in the mutual interests of the cooperating countries and in the establishment of medium term credits designed to support world monetary stability. 25 perhaps the most remarkable result of all is the fact that the concept of change itself has been accepted. When that concept has heen accepted by highly responsible leaders it seems to me one can face with increased confidence developments \vhich will no doubt evolve in the future. Circumstances and leadership have now created an atmosphere hospitable to inquiry and exploration and new approaches. The annual reports of at least three of the central banks of OECD members included the theme: we are going through a rapidly changing time in the evolution of the international monetary system. This outlook breeds preparation and healthy adjustment. I believe that we should now -- building upon the reality of past cooperation -- concentrate increasingly on improving the adjustment process. We may find that we vlill look with decreased priority upon the relatively easy adjustments \'lhich depend upon cooperative management of capital accounts and look for more persistent correctives in the current account. This hospitality to new approaches will encounter t~e understandable and politically influenced issue of relative national priorities. Progress toward the three major economic goals -- growth, full employment and price stability -- is determined by the type of fiscal and monetary policies governments pursue. The mix of these 26 policies varies not only vIi th current economic conditions but more basically with the relative priority a nation places, for example, on growth compared to price stability. The ranking of these national priorities and the relation to the adjustment process can only be appreciated in terms of the political environment uhich sets these priorities. The workings of the adjustment process will always be strongly influenced by these political forces. Quite apart from the problems of the political environme~t which I have emphasized today, understanding of the adjustment \'le suffer from inadequate mechanis~ on the technical level. It is important that our consideration of the problem be continued and expanded if we are to continue to be prepared to respond constuctively to changing situations as they arise. REASURY DEPARTMENT : WASHINGTON, D.C. November 19, 1968 IR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY ANNOUNCES AGREEMENT ON ESTATE TAX CONVENTION WITH ISRAEL The Treasury Department announced today that general agreement lS been reached on the substance of the first estate tax convention ~tween the United States and Israel. This agreement was negotiated during a series of meetings U.S. and Israeli tax officials in Tel Aviv. The U.S. ~legation was headed by Stanley S. Surrey, Assistant Secretary Jr Tax Policy. ~tween The new convention covers the Federal estate tax and Israel 1heritance taxes. It is part of an intensive effort by the 1ited States to establish an estate tax treaty network which ill complement our existing income tax treaty network. There is c> income tax convention currently in effect between Israel and he United States. Twelve estate tax conventions are now in effect etween the United States and other countries. The prospective U.S.-Israel convention is based on the model state tax convention published in 1966 by the Organization for conomic Cooperation and Development and will be the second egotiated by the United States since enactment of the Foreign nvestors Tax Act of 1966. On November 6, 1968, the Treasury nnounced general agreement on an estate tax convention with the etherlands. That treaty is expected to be signed before the end f this year and sent to the U.S. Senate for ratification. The Foreign Investors Tax Act of 1966 encourages foreign ortfolio investment in the United States. While it retains U.S. state tax jurisdiction on portfolio investments in the United :tates, with reduced rates and increased exemptions, the treaty Irocess is available, as in the case of the income tax, to legotiate further reductions or exemptions for foreign investors m a reciprocal basis with countries having effective death taxes. (MORE) - 2 Under Israeli law and the OEeD model conventions the estate of a decedent who was only temporarily present in the country.y be subj ect to estate or inheritance tax. Such a tax may impose problems for American businessmen working abroad for a branch or corporate affiliate of an American firm. The proposed conventi~ will permit executives of one country to reside in the other country for a reasonable period of time without being subjected to the estate or inheritance tax jurisdiction of the latter should they die while there. This approach, therefore, meets a problem not dealt with in the DEeD model convention. It is expected that delegations from both countries will meet next year in the United States to complete arrangements. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON, D.C. IMMEDIATE RELEASE November 19, 1968 TREASURY OFFERS ADDITIONAL $2 BILLION TIl JUNE TAX BILLS The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders for )00,000,000, or thereabouts, of 203-day Treasury bills (to maturity date), Ie issued December 2, 1968, on a discount basis under competitive and non~titive bidding as hereinafter provided. These bills will represent an .tional amount of the series of bills dated October 24, 1968, to mature June 1969, originally issued in the amount of $3,010,446,000. The additional original bills will be freely interchangeable. They will be accepted at ! value in payment of income taxes due on June 15, 1969, and to the extent r are not presented for this purpose the face amount of these bills will be ilile without interest at maturity. Taxpayers desiring to apply these bills in 1ent of June 15, 1969, income taxes may submit the bills to a Federal Reserve c or Branch or to the Office of the Treasurer of the United States, Washington, more than fifteen days before that date. In the case of bills submitted in n.ent of income taxes of a corporation they shall be accompanied by a duly ?leted Form 503 and the office receiving these items will effect the deposit June 15, 1969. In the case of bills submitted in payment of income taxes of other taxpayers, the office receiving the bills will issue receipts therefor, original of which the taxpayer shall submit on or before June 15, 1969, to District Director of Internal Revenue for the District in which such taxes payable. The bills \01ill be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations $l~OOO, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity ue) • Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the closing r, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Tuesday, November 26, 1968. Tenders 1 not be received at the Treasury Department, Washington. Each tender must be an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price ered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three deCimals, ., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the nted forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by eral Reserve Banks or Branches on applica~ion therefor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of customers proed the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking titutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. ders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from ers must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury ls applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payt by an incorporated bank or trust company. L411 - 2 All bidders are required to agree not to purchase or to sell, or to make any agreements with respect to the purchase or sale or other disposition of any billa of this issue at a specific rate or price, until after one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Tuesday, November 26, 1968. Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, follOWing which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject My or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be fl~ Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for *",00,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in t\111 at the average price (ill three decimals) of accepted competi ti ve bids. Payment of accepted tenders at the prices offered must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank in cash oro~ immediately available funds on December 2, 1968, provided, however, any qualified depositary will be permitted to make payment by credit in its Treasury tax and loan account for Treasury bills allotted to it for itself and its customers up to any amount for which it shall be qualified in excess of existing deposits when so notified by the Federal Reserve Bank of its District. The income derived fram Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the B~ or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treat ment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to esta.te, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exet,lpt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the prinCipal or interest the1'l of ny any state, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local ta.xing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which TreasUl'l bills are ori~inally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sedions 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the 8l!Iount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on orj_ginal issue or on subsequent purchase, &nd the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice, prethe terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. s~rlbe BORDER TAX ADJUSTMENTS MD THE GENERAL AGREEMENT ON TARIFFS AND TRADE by THE HONORABLE JOHN R. PETTY Assistant Secretary for International Affairs united States Treasury Department prepared for delivery to The Canadian Tax Foundation 21st Annual Conference Toronto, Canada November 2G, 1968 to be Published in The Canadian Tax Journal's Report of the Proceedings of the Conference Papers for the Panel on "Tariffs and Trade" Introduction Introducing my subject has been made immeasurably easier as a result of a recent article in the September-October issue l of The Canadian Tax Journal. / Mr. Robert Latimer, the author, has done an admirable job in defining "The Border Tax Adjustment Question," and lucidly pointing up the issues. His article provides an added timeliness to the need I see for a discussion of this subject. At the outset, let me say that the importance the United States attaches to the issue of' border tax adjustments was signaled by President Johnson in his 1968 New Year's Day Balance of Payments Message, when he declared: "In the Kennedy Round, we climaxed three decades of intensive effort to achieve the greatest reduction in tariff barriers in all the history of trade negotiations. Trade liberalization remains the basic policy of the United States. "We must now look beyond the great success of the Kennedy Round to the problems of non-tariff barriers that pose a continued threat to the growth of world trade and to our competitive position. - 2 - "American commerce is at a disadvantage because of the tax system of some of our trading partne:t"::3. Some nations give across-the-board rebates on exports which leave their port and impose special border tax charges on our goods entering their country. "International rules govern these special taxes under the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade. These rules must be adjusted to expand international trade further." I believe it would be useful to provide the background for this passage. First, let me review the history of the border: tax adjustment problem, and then go on to bring this subject up to date by discussing the multilateral negotiations now under way in GATT. Background The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade was intended to institutionalize the system of international trade much as the International Monetary Fund was designed to provide rules and order to the international financial system. Both sprang forth from the despair of war and the hopes kindled by the prospects of peace. Each has made a substantial contributio~ to economic growth, trade and prosperity that exceeded e:;.;,p\:.:: •.••• .:1 ( .. - 3 - However, the world of 1968 is a different world than that of 1946. New demands are now being made of th€sc institutions and some are being met. ~~i2d We are now in the process p for instance, of amending the articles of the IMP to make provision for Special Drawing Rights which will better meet the international monetary needs of the future. A fresh look at the GATT is called for, too. Highest on the priority list for this fresh look are those provisions pertaining to border taxes. The problem here, in brief, is this: The GATT permits member countries to provide a fuil .t tc.bdt~l;'; for indirect taxes levied on their exports and to impose equivalent border taxes on imports. On the other hand, GATT prohibits any rebate or import levy for direct taxes. The basic premise underlying these provisions is now being widely questioned. At one time, theorists argued that the burden or incidence of indirect taxes was entirely passed on to cons()mers while direct taxes were wholly absorbed by producers. rules reflect this supposition. The GATT However, it is increasingly recognized today that this is not the case in actual pr-actice and that as a result the border tax adjustment rules of GATT bestow trading advantages on countries which employ multi'-::'; indirect taxes. c",'~2 f - 4 tlistory The provisions in GATT relevant to border taxes, basically Articles II, III and XVI, are drawn from the Havana Charter of the 1940's which was intended to found the International Trade Organization. These provisions were themselves either a compromise (for example, Article XVI) or were adapted from provisions of numerous bilateral trade treaties, including especially the U.S.-Canada reciprocal trade agreement of the rnid-thirties.~/ There is no unified section of the GATT which deals exclusively with border taxes and it is quite clear that the provisions of the GATT which cover border tax adjustments were not the product of a carefully reasoned theory, or of experience molded in the crucible of extensive usage. The lack of precise or concentrated thinking about the border tax problem is illustrated by the absence of explicit definitions 3/ of key concepts. .In view of the symmetry implied in border tax adjustments, an interesting historical note is that the provisions on the compensatory tax on imports and the relief of indirect taxes on exports developed quite separately. The GATT rules con- cerning these two elements of border tax adjustments are found in several articles of the General Agreement and in related interpretive notes and Working Party reports. The basis - 5 - for the application of compensatory taxes on imports is found in Articles 111:2 and II:2(a), which deal primarily with the relationship between internal taxation and imports. The provision with respect to exports is found in Article XVI, which deals with subsidies. This is hardly the handiwork of a drafter intent upon transcribing the destination principle of taxation into a permanent international agreement. Import Tax Burdens: Article 111:2 limits the imposition of internal charges on imported goods to the amount of those charges applied directly or indirectly to like domestic products. By reference to Article 111:1, provision is made that such charges on imports shall not be applied "so as to afford protection to domestic production." Article 11:2 (a) explicitly provides that a limitation on increasing the tariff on goods bound through international agreement does not prevent the imposition or increase of compensatory border taxes. Export Tax Relief: The 1946-47 version of Article XVI only contained a notification and consultation procedure in cases where the trade effects of subsidies are considered to be serious. It did not define subsidies nor how to limit them. It was not until the GATT Contracting Parties reviewed the various articles of the General Agreement in 1954-55 that a partially successful effort was made to answer these - 6 - :wo questions. In reaching partial agreement a rule with respect to export tax relief was made by the following lnterpretive note: "The exemption of an exported product from duties or taxes borne by the like product when destined for domestic consumption, or the remission of such duties or taxes in amounts not in excess of those which have accrued, shall not be claimed to be a subsidy." While the focus of this change limited the definition of an expor t su bS1· dy th ere was, h owever, no e 1'" 1m1nat1on 0f ' 4/ su b' S1 d 1es.- Instead it was agreed that there would be no introduction of new, nor extension of existing, subsidies on manuf actured goods. The long negotiation to find language to limit the use under GATT of export subsidies achieved a breakthrough in 1960 when the United States and the other industrialized countries in the GATT agreed in a Declaration to cease granting export 5/ subsidies on manufactured products.The Working Party report which constituted the basis for the Declaration contained a list of measures considered as forms of export subsidies. By indirection, this extended the interpretive note to Article XVI by excluding from the definition of an export subsidy the rebating or exemption of mUlti-stage indirect taxes. Clearly, the implications of this Declaration - 7 - were not adequately considered by the United States. Part of the reason was, perhaps, due to political considerations: u.s. the did not want to appear to be raising obstacles to the tax harmonization objectives of the European Common Market. Nevertheless, there must have been some concern with the interpretation of this article because a special provision for review of the operation of the provisions of Article XVI were inserted at the Review Session. The drafters did not seem content to rely on Article XXX which provides for the review and amendment of all of the GATT Articles. Conclusions on History This brief review of the GATT articles demonstrates that there is no consistent rationale behind the GATT rules on border tax adjustments, nor clear-cut guidance on the meaning of the GATT provisions. Articles II and III were incorporated almost in their entirety from existing prac6/ tices, probably modeled after a U.S.-Canadian commercial treaty.- The separate treatment of the import duties and the history of clarifying the status of export remissions confirms that no consistent consideration was given to this subject; certainly no specific economic theory was used as the underpinning for the treatment of border tax adjustments. Instead, it would appear that the matter of "border tax rules" was not even a contentious issue. codified certain practices. Rather, these rules simply - 8 - It is not surprising that the drafters of the GATT were willing to accept the status quo. Problems quite apart from the question of border tax adjustments demanded the attention of the drafters. In a postwar, exchange-control world, where fixed exchange rates were at best approximations of reality, concern voiced about the discrimination that would arise if the world shifted to a buyer's market would probably have been met by some retort such as "we'll worry about that problem if and when it ever arises. II Little wonder. In the late 1940' s and early 1950's, border tax rates were low -- in the range of 2-4 percent -- and limited to around one-sixth of the goods traded -- and then only in the case of a few nations. Further- more, a seller's market existed in which demand was highly unresponsive to small price variations. Finally, the $10 billion commercial trade surplus of the United States in 1947 must have had an effect on the attitude of the U.S. negotiators. This is best illustrated by the then prevalent and understandable U.s. policy of deliberately encouraging a transfer of financial assets to Western Europe in order to facilitate European reconstruction. 1953 DEEe Review As early as 1953 there began to be some recognition of the fact that border tax adjustments could create advantages for nations using them. The likelihood of this occurring tended to grow as other barriers to trade fell, and the adjustments - 9 - were substantially increased. This recognition came in the Working Party on Artificial Aids to Exporters, part of the OEEC Steering Board for Trade. This Working Party discussed the possible trade diversionary effect of the introduction of the French value-added tax. Some opposing views existed and one of the participants (and then committee chairman) offered a proposal designed to limit the distortion to trade from full tax remissions. The proposal was an attempt to reach a compromise between divergent views and to prevent a disastrous race between OEEC countries in the area of fiscal incentives. 1) The basic provisions of the proposal were: Full relief of exported goods from a single-stage indirect tax would be permitted; 2) A limitation would be placed on the total amount of relief exported goods could obtain fram other forms of indirect taxes and from direct taxes. The limit would be set as a percentage of the value of the goods at the point of export; 3) A transition period would be established in order to permit nations to reach the common limit; and 4) A consultation procedure would be es- tablished. - 10 - It is interesting to note that this proposal explicitly recognizes a divergence of views concerning (a) the effects of remissions of direct and indirect taxes; (b) the difference between single-stage and multi-stage indirect taxes; and (c) the need for some limitation to these adjustments. The sug- gested solution presented a pragmatic and arbitrary solution to a difficult theoretical and political problem. Unfortunately, there was not enough awareness of the significance of the proposal, and the other members of the Working Party were unwilling to moderate their positions. OECD Border Tax Consultations In 1963, U.S. concern about the trade effects of border taxes was further aroused by the decision of the member states of the EEC to harmonize their tax systems, by adopting the value-added tax (TVA). The U.S. Government requested the OECD to undertake a careful and comprehensive study of border tax adjustments. In making the proposal, the U. S. stated: "A study of this subject is particularly timely at the present moment. A number of countries which impose turnover tax adjustments at the border are contemplating changes in the level of such compensatory adjustments, others are considering a change in the method of applying the tax (e.g., a change from the cascade to a value-added type) and some countries which heretofore have not employed a general sales tax by the central government are considering introducing it ••• " - 11 In order to create a better atmosphere in which to review border tax adjustments, the U.S. sought agreement in the OECD for a standstill (i.e., a temporary agreement not to make border tax changes). The Common Market countries opposed the idea, arguing that agreement on a standstill would interfere with their objective of attaining a harmonized tax system by 1970. They were, nevertheless, prepared to agree to a notification procedure which would keep the OECD countries informed about actual and contemplated changes in border tax adjustments. They also were prepared to agree to consultation in the OECD on these changes. This notification procedure was adopted as a second best solution. In 1967, at the request of the united States, an ad hoc group of the OECD undertook a consultation with Germany on the general trade and payments effects of the German Government's announced switch to a value-added tax system scheduled for January 1, 1968. followed. A series of carefully prepared meetings The discussions in this OECD group revealed a considerable difference of opinion on the effects on trade of border tax adjustments. The German delegation not only argued that the TVA was perfectly trade neutral but also that - 12 the shift from the then existing cascade type indirect tax to a TVA system would not appreciably improve Germany's competitive position. Germany's EC partners. This contention was supported by This is curious, because during this same period three of these countries -- France, Belgium, and the Netherlands -- were simultaneously moving to increase the level of their own border tax adjustments for the publicly acknowledged purpose of combating the impact on their trade of the German changeover. II Ironically, the notification procedure worked best for those countries which felt no necessity for it. This explicit and public recognition by Common Market governments of the trade effects of the German changeover of their indirect tax systems destroyed the German contention that the shift was of no signi~icance to international trade." Testimony of European businessmen further demonstrated the true picture. The Business and Advisory Committee (BIAC) to the OECD, gave practical evidence of the serious limitations 81 of the theory underlying border tax adjustments.- Briefly, the essence of their views was that "in a strongly competitive situation the prices obtainable -- and hence the degrees of tax shifting -- are substantially determined by the market itself." If this report is correctly interpreted, they hold - 13 that there are a great variety and interdependence of factors ~hich influence tax shifting, but primary importance is attached to the market situation. Of course, if economic conditions are buoyant, there may be a greater possibility of tax shifting than in a depressed and declining economy, just as there is a greater possibility of increasing profits. It seems to me that even though it is extremely difficult, if not impossible, to measure the degree of tax shifting, it is grossly inequitable to maintain, as the GATT rules do, that indirect taxes are always fully shifted forward into product prices. By the same token it is wrong to hold that no direct taxes are ever shifted -- forward -- to any degree. Perhaps most Significant, and for the economist most difficult to measure, is the fact that today we have much more of a buyer's market than existed during World War II and immediately thereafter when the GATT rules were drafted. Not only is there increased competition among firms, but the freer trading world fostered by GATT advances substantially the size and number of competitors. Moreover, the development of competitive products (e.g. steel and aluminum) expands the range of competition. Mounting Concern in the U. S. In the United States, concern about the adverse trade effects of border tax adjustments has been mounting steadily, not only in the Executive Branch of the U. S. Government but in industry and the Congress as well. - 14 Individual companies have spent considerable time and effort analyzing the effect of changes in border tax adjustments on their exports. Industry associations, such as the Manufacturing Chemists Association (MCA) and the National Association of Manufacturers (NAM), to name but two, also have taken a hard look at the problem. 91 And the key Congressional committees concerned with this problem have looked into this subject. In statements recently submitted to the House Ways and Means Committee the two trade associations mentioned above pointed to the increasing awareness that United States exporters clearly face a competitive disadvantage arising from the GATT rules 101 on border tax adjUstments. In another indication of concern, the Action Committee on Taxation of the National Export Expansion Council, early in 1966, expressed the view that the GATT rules on border taxes .. are discriminatory 111 against the United States " - and specifically called for a renegotiation of GATT. As for America's position at intergovernmental meetings, the u. S. representative to the OECD Consultations on Germany repeatedly voiced concern about the trade effects of the changeovers in indirect tax systems occasioned by the EC tax harmonization. He pointed out that increases in border tax adjustments would compound the trade advantages gained by the indirect-tax countries. Moreover, he said, for - 15 a country with a large balance of payments surplus to undertake a changeover at that time was directly contrary to its responsibility to the better working of the process by which international balance of payments adjustment is achieved. The August 1966 report of Working Party 3 of the Economic Policy Committee of the OECO recoqnized the responsibility of balance of payments surplus countries, and on this particular issue it said: lilt was noted that on occasions when the national structure or level of indirect taxation was being reformed, the accompanying change in export rebates or import levies or other adjustments can have an impact on international trade, and that further consider~tion might be given to the question whether countries could undertake to take account of their prevailing balance of payments situation in deciding on the timing of such changes in 'border tax' adjUstments."l2/ Germany's January 1, 1968 changeover from a cascade type turnover tax with a rate averaging 4 percent on each turnover to a value-added tax of 10 percent on most commodities perhaps did more than any other single act to solidify a u.s. Government attitude that more equity must be achieved in the 13/ GATT rules as they pertain to border taxes.-- - 16 Therefore, the U. S. pursued the issue in the GATT forum itself. Ambassador Roth, the President's Special Trade Representative, called attention to our serious concern over non-tariff barriers in his statement at the GATT Ministerial meeting on November 23. These measures adversely affected our trade, and he asked GATT to press ahead and organize itself for a timely resolution of this problem. This initiative resulted in the GATT Ministerial Meeting agreeing to the formation of groups to deal with: (1) Non-Tariff Barriers (2) Border Taxes (3) Subsidies and Countervailing Duties It was believed that with these groups working concurrently, each at a pace suited to its own purpose, a framework conducive to achievement would be established. On January 1, 1968, President Johnson called attention to the disadvantage to u.S. trade posed by the provisions of the GATT rules on border tax levies and rebates and called for adjustment of these rules. In March of 1968, the United States reviewed the problem with the GATT Council and established the terms of reference for a Working Party to examine the problem of border tax adjustments. began discussions. On April 30, this Working Party It is now under way in its task. - 17 - GATT Negotiations At the initial meeting of the Working Party, April 30May 2, the U.S. raised three general problems which we believed should be corrected. rules are inequitable. First, the GATT border tax We questioned whether there should be any border adjustments to compensate for differences in taxation. If there must be border adjustments, then they should be designed to equate the price effect of all taxes direct as well as indirect. The current GATT rules on border tax practices, limiting adjustment to indirect taxes, (and then 100%) do not reflect adequately this principle. The second general problem concerns the trade diversionary effect of changes in border adjustments; in addition, it is concerned with the relationship of the timing of such changes to the balance of payments adjustment process. The third area of concern is the ambiguity in the present rules which allows protective national practices to be justified by interpretations that are at times selfserving. This ambiguity illustrates the need for more pre- cise definitions and a code of practices. - 18 Elaborating on the first general problem associated with the GATT, the present border adjustment rules apply the origin principle to direct taxes and the destination principle to indirect taxes.l4/ Under the destination principle pro- ducts are taxed at the point of consumption. Since exported products are consumed abroad they should not pay the indirect tax that would pertain if the goods were consumed at home. Therefore, exports are relieved of the indirect tax burden. Imported goods, on the other hand according to the destination principle, should carry the same indirect tax burden to avoid a "privileged position" over goods produced domestically. Accordingly, tax frontiers are established at the border. On the other hand, it is argued that regardless of the rate of direct taxes, the sales prices of the products are unaffected. Consequently, border adjustments would not be justified, even if the destination principle were employed for direct taxes because the direct tax is presumably not passed on to the point of consumption. In contrast, the origin principle states that goods should be taxed at the point of production; thus, border adjustments are not permitted. It is the origin principle toward which the Common Market is moving for transactions between member states. Interestingly, the Common Market decision to harmonize tax systems and eventually to adopt a common tax system was based on the desire to eliminate - 19 tax frontiers. The argument was advanced that such fron- tiers constitute both a psychological and a real obstacle to a truly free exchange of goods and services. The origin principle must not be overlooked in seeking a solution to the border tax problem. Adjusting for in- direct taxes means that one aspect of government policy is singled out for special treatment. There are no adjust- ments for a wide range of other government measures which directly affect prices. Nor are there adjustments for many forms of taxation which affect prices. Frequently, government economic policies affect private industry and trade but they are not necessarily accompanied by offsetting action. More- over, many of the governmental services financed by indirect taxes may be provided through the private sector in other countries. To this extent, the border tax adjustment rules have an influence on the distribution of activities between the government and private sector. This is a wholly in- appropriate by-product of the GATT rules. Only in the case of indirect taxes is there an institutionalized provision for offset. Modern economic theory suggests that the distinction implicit in the GATT treatment of direct and indirect taxes is an extreme and arbitrary assumption which does not stand - 20 - the test of economic reality. lSI While economists and businessmen may disagree on the extent of the forward shifting of indirect and direct taxes, they do agree that the extreme assumptions which are necessary to make the present GATT rules trade neutral are an inadequate approximation of reality. Therefore, a border adjustment equivalent to the full internal indirect tax tends to stimulate exports and provide protection against imports.l61 In brief, the present provisions of the GATT divert trade and thereby disadvantage countries such as the United States and Canada which rely primarily on direct taxes. Not only are the GATT rules unfair, they are illogical and unreasonable. There is a contradiction between the way in which direct taxes are treated in the provisions relating to subsidies and in the provisions relating to border tax adjustments on the import side. If the remission of direct taxes is considered a subsidy, this is presumably because it is felt that this would have an effect on the price of the exported products. But if direct taxes had an effect on price, it could be argued that adjustments should be made in respect to them at the border. Furthermore, there should be no presumptions about the administration of direct tax remissions being more difficult than v - 21 indirect tax remissions and thus no additional concern about the price effects of the former due to administrative problems. The second general problem concerns changes by a nation in its border tax adjustment practices. There are three categories of changes: (1) When the level of the indirect tax within the country and at the border is changed by the same amount. Germany's 1% increase on July 1 is a case in point; (2) When the amount of adjustment at the border is different from the domestic level of the tax and this difference is "corrected". (A level of adjustment lower than the tax is "under compensation"; a higher level of adjustment is "over compensation"). Belgium's increase in border adjustments in 1967 and 1968 are examples of a country moving from "under compensation" to "full compensation". The German border tax change in November 1968 is an example of a move from "full compensation" to "under compensation". It is argued that the German change on January 1, 1968, included a few cases of "over compensation" going to "full compensation"; (3) The third involves the changeover resulting from the adoption of a new type of indrect tax. Germany did this on January 1, 1968 and the Netherlands will do it a year later. Within the three categories mentioned, changing the degree of adjustment at the border without commensurate - 22 - changes in the relevant indirect tax brings about the most striking effects on trade. Other changes are considerably more difficult to measure -- but frequently no less significant in their impact upon trade. The increasing use of border adjustments suggests, however, that governments actually believe there are trade effects. In any case, changes in border tax adjustments to eliminate "under compensation" clearly have favorable trade effects on the country making the change. The increase in the export rebate and import surcharge can be looked at as having exactly the same effect as a devaluation on the trade account -- it improves the competitive position of the country making the change and thereby strengthens their trade account. Such actions by a trade surplus country exacerbate the problems of countries working towards balance of payments equilibrium and are directly counter to the surplus countries' responsibilities to assist the international adjustment process. The third general problem with the GATT border tax adjustment rules concerns the extent to which the lack of trade neutrality is aggravated by techniques used in the administration of border tax adjustments. For example, - 23 - (a) the necessity of using averaging techniques to determine the amount of adjustments, as is the case in any Cascade Systeml8/; (b) by the inclusion of secondary indirect taxes (taxes occul tes) which are not "borne by the produce", in border adjustments; and (c) the arbitrary assumption of tax and Bubsidy allocation on grain sales within the EC on agricultural products. These technical determinations are left open to national judgment because of the lack of precision in the GATT rules and by the complexity of the issues. Assumptions employed by fiscal and trade technicians are not likely to err on the side of trade neutrality. Due to the complexity of manufacturing processes, the difficulty of cost accounting and the varying tax systems of the countries making border adjustments it is impossible to accurately determine the indirect tax actually borne by domestic goods. The "real number" is a changing number in any event -- by product and in response to market factors. This is likely to be more true of a multi-stage turnover tax than a single stage retail tax. As products undergo varying stages of production, the tax burden will vary between commodities. In order to avoid the task of ascertaining the tax burden on each commodity, averages are used to determine a mean rate for a commodity class and the appropriate border - 24 - adjustment. By their very nature, averages result in trade distortion as some commodities receive adjustments in excess of the domestic tax burden while other commodities are "under compensated". The GATT rules permit adjustment for taxes levied on or borne by goods. Although there is not much confusion about the fact that GATT, as presently drafted, classifies corporate income taxes as direct, there is a large controversy about the status of other taxes. Many countries adjust for taxes on such items as gasoline, general overhead expenses, capital, etc., taxes which are difficult to consider as levied on a specific product. We believe the arbitrary adjustment for such taxes, often referred to as taxe occulte, is contrary to the GATT rules and trade diversionary in effect. The combination of erroneous shifting assumptions, taxe occulte, averaging and changes in border tax adjustments combine to make the present GATT rules far from trade neutral; in fact, they are damaging to your trade and ours.19/ The obvious next question is what alternatives exist which are more neutral and less discriminatory. - 25 Approaches to Solutions One approach that has been suggested is that the U.S. not seek a change in the GATT rules but, instead, adopt its own Federal indirect tax system. Here, I concur with Mr. Latimer's statement in his article in the Canadian Tax Journal which I referred to at the outset of my remarks. He said: "The essence of the border tax debate is that, countries should be at liberty to choose the structure and level of taxation consistent with their notions of economic growth and tax equity, without at the same time prejudicing their international trading position.tl201 As a second approach, there have been some who argue that the u.S. should disregard the GATT and make similar border adjustments, with or without reference to our direct taxes. GATT is too vital a multilateral institution for such a course of action to recommend itself. A third approach involves multilateral negotiations to reduce the inequities in the present rules, while harmonizing international tax practices as they pertain to trade between nations. In the last analysis, what is needed is a - 26 - sane, simple and practical way to resolve this problem. A workable set of rules can be devised and these rules could promote the objectives of the GATT. Such an approach would be in the greater interests of the whole trading community in serving to avoid practices prejudicial to the trade of any contracting party. Within this framework, the use of the origin principle in trading has definite attraction. It would eliminate an unnecessary barrier to trade, remove a discriminatory feature of the rules governing trade, and provide a consistent treatment for the trade effects of government tax and economic policy. many Whatever its attractions -- and I think they are the origin principle poses serious problems. The most prominent of these is how do you implement the principle in the fixed exchange rate system we now have. Other approaches, of course, could be based on the destination principle. However, under the present rules we have seen broadly increased uses of border tax adjustments resulting from changeovers in tax systems. The present rules have encouraged the adoption by other countries of indirect taxes permitting border tax adjustments. The proliferation of "adjustable" indirect tax changes is startling, and in trade terms frightening. Moreover, present rules provide - 27 - no limit whatsoever to the degree of "adjustment" permitted for indirect taxes. If allowed to continue unrestrained, this proliferation will work to undo much of the progress towards freer international movement of goods, services and capital. In conclusion, the GATT rules must be improved in such a way that they do not permit nations to achieve a trade benefit through the adoption of one domestic tax system over another. A pragmatic and equitable solution must emerge from the GATT negotiations now in progress. Our trading partners did not agree to a "standstill" on new border tax adjustments while the existing rules were under discussion. The result has been that adjustments have continued to mount, rewarding protectionist sponsors and arousing the envy of others who might be tempted to take similar trade restrictive actions. for drawn-out deliberations. There is no longer time The proliferation of changes and new border taxes gives great urgency to the GATT work. Footnotes !I Robert Latimer, "The Border Tax Adjustment Question" The Canadian Tax Journal (September-October 1968) !I 49 stat 3960 (1936). 11 For example, the meaning of the phrase linking the import charqe at the border with "charge ••• applied, directly, or indirectly, to like domestic products" was not given. !I Although no attempt was made to define what was meant by duties or taxes borne by the like product, examination of the discussion at the Review Session related to Article VII (dealing with customs valuation) provides some clarification. During these discussions it was agreed that the note to Article XVI would permit the exemption from, or remission of: Effective May 14, 1936 "Only (i) internal taxes of the kind which are levied directly on the goods exported (or directly on the materials going into the manufacture of such goods), as distinct from (ii) other taxes (income tax, etc.)". Although this provides som~ guidance on the question of direct and indirect taxes, it does not indicate the status of "hidden taxes" (i.e., those not imposed on the exported product itself or on the materials incorporated in the product) • ~ The 1960 GATT Working Party on Subsidies Report stated that the governments prepared to accept this Declaration agreed that, for the purpose of that Declaration a list of certain enumerated practices "generally are to be considered as subsidies in the sense of Article XVI:4." This Report, which contained the direct/indirect tax dichotomy in the list of practices was adopted by the Contracting Parties, the most important representative body within the GATT organizational structure. However, the Contracting Parties did provide for a review of the provisions of Article XVI. Paragraph S of Article XVI states: "The contracting Parties shall review the operation of the prOVisions of this Article from time to time with a view of examining it effectiveness, in the light of actual experience, in promoting the objectives of this Agreement and avoiding subsidization seriously prejudicial to the trade or interest of contracting Parties." !I During the 1930's, when this treaty was written, exchange rates fluctuated. There was probably little concern about the price effect of the import adjustment as such effects would be absorbed by exchange rate changes. LI See e.g., (a) French Finance Minister Debre's speech to the OECD Ministerial Meeting, November 30, 1967; (b) Dutch Finance Minister DeBlock, Memorandum to the Dutch Parliament, October 4, 1967~ and (c) Belgian Cabinet communique following their meeting at Knatte. To illustrate the nature of these comments the following is an excerpt from DeBlock's statement: ~They (ed: the government) feel, however, that Dutch industries are right in fearing that they will be adversely affected as a consequence of such a change (ed: adoption of German TVA) in the situation in Germany. '" there is sufficient reason to take legislative measures ensuring that international competitive position of Dutch industry does not deteriorate too much." These related actions demonstrate the tendency towards proliferation inherent in the present GATT rules. The absence of a limitation invites other countries to take similar action. In a recent official paper~ the German government has in fact admitted that the changeover to the value added tax had a substantial effect on export prices. " ••• in contrast to earlier Government expectations, the changeover to the value-added tax system after all turned out to favor exports from the point of view of prices. At any rate, average export prices declined by 2.2 percent from January to September." Ministry of Economics, "The Necessity for Protection Against External Economic Influences" Section 1, informal transa1ation by U. S. Embassy, Bonn, Germany, November 29, 1968. !I Unpublished report dated June 1967. !I The Logic of the Border Tax Mechanism, Government Finance Division, National Association of Manufacturers, October 1965. ~ Heatings before the CQmmittee on Ways and Means, House of Representatives, 90th Congress, Part 10, p. 4489. 11/ Taxation and Exports, Action Committee of the NEEC, February 1966, p. 17. -12/ - 13/ See U.S. Treasury Department, "Maintaining the strength of the United States Dollar in A Stronq Free World Economy" (Washinqton: Government Printinq Office, 1968) p. 74. For a brief discussion of the destination and origin principles, see Carl S. Shoup, "Indirect and Direct Taxes and Their Influence on International Trade, a paper submitted to the House Ways and Means Committee, June 1964. ~/ The material on shiftinq of general taxes has become quite extensive. For a review of the debate, se. John F. Due, "Sales Taxation and the Consumer II , American Economic Review (December 1963) pp. 1073-84. -16/ Stanley S. Surrey, "Implications of Tax Harmonization in the European Common Market II, a speech before the National Industrial Conference Board, New York (February 1968). !y This was the case for inteqrated companies. -18/ In a cascade system, the tax burden on a product depends in part on the number of transaction. it undergoes. As this will vary from product to product, and even for different units of the aame product, there is no sinqle estimate of burden which can be universally applied. Therefore averaqes are used. For a theoretical discussion of the trade effects of border taxes, see Richard Musqrave and Peg9Y Richman, Allocation Aspects, DOmestic and International, in John Due, editor, The Role, of Direct and InOirect Taxes in the Federal Revenue System (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1964). W Op. cit., p. 409. TREASURY DEPARTMENT : WASHINGTON, D.C. November 20, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of ~2,700,000,OOO,or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for 'rreasury bills maturing November 29,1968, in the amount of $2,699,896,000, as follows: 90 -day bills (to maturity date) to be issued in the amount of $ 1,600 OOO,000, or thereabouts, additional amount of bil t s dated August 29,1968, mature February 27,1969, originally issued in the $1,104,479,000, the additional and original bills interchangeable. November 29,1968, representing an and to amount of to be freely 18~day bills, for $1,100,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated November 29,1968, and to mature May 29,19690 The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They w1jl be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, November 25,1968. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury De?artment, Washington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be rece ived without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. F-1412 - 2 Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at t Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and pric! range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasu expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be I final. Subject to tnese reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three riecima1s) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on November 29,1968,1 cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills rna turing November 29,19680 Cash and exchange tend will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject ~ estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bi lls are excluded tram consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunde ,eed include in his income tax return only the difference between che price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which thE return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and thi ~otice prescribe the terms of the Treasu~y bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of (-he circular may be obtained tram any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT 4 WASHINGTON. D.C. November 21, 1968 ~OR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY DEPARTMENT ANNOUNCES COUNTERVAILING DUTY ORDER ON SKI-LIFTS AND PARTS FROM ITALY The Treasury Department announced today that it has sent to ~he Federal Register for publication, notification of countervailing iuties to be imposed on importations of ski-lifts and parts from [ta1y. The countervailing duty action is the result of an investigation ~onducted by the Bureau of Customs following a complaint of sub,idization submitted by Hall Ski-Lift Company, Inc., Watertown, ~w York. The matter arises under section 303 of the Tariff Act )f 1930 (19 U.S.C. 1303)0 The Treasury Department's order \vill lppear in the Federal Register on Friday, November 22, 1968. The countervailing duties will be assessed on the importation )f these products 30 days after publication of notification in the ~ustoms Bulletin. The notification ~ill appear in the Bulletin )f Wednesday, December 4, 1968, Thus the countervailing duty vill become effective on Saturday, January 4,19690 Treasury representatives explained that the countervailing iuties on ski-lifts and parts are intended to counteract lubsidies by the Government of Italy on exports to the United ,tates of these produc ts. Countervailing duties will be assessed only on shipments vhich receive benefits from the subsidy program. The amount of :he countervailing duties will be equal to the amount of the ';ubsidy. Treasury representatives stated that the amounts of the [talian subsidies in this case range from approximately $21.16 o $51.16 per short ton, depending upon the particular parts leing imported. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT -,-- ' ~ ;; WASHINGTON. D.C. 'OR RELEASE 6: 30 P.M., 'tiday, N:Jvember 22, 1968. RESULTS OF TREASURY'S K>NTRLY BILL OFFERING Treasury Department announced that the tenders for two series of Treasury lills, one series to be an additional issue of the bills dated August 31, 1968, and ib~ other series to be dated November 30, 1968, which were offered on November 18, L968, were opened at the Federal Reserve Banks today. Tenders were invited for ~500,OOO,OOO, or thereabouts, of 272-day bills and for $1,000,000,000, or thereabouts )f 365-day bills. The details of the two series ere as follows: Dle 272-day Treasury bills BIDS: __ma_tt_lr_i~n~g,-A_ugu;;;w..;;~s..;..t_3;;.;;1~'--.:;;.l9.;..;6::;..;9~ Approx. Equiv. Annual Rate Price 95.716 5.67OJ High 5.71l~ 95.685 Low 95.699 5.693~ Average :lANGE OF ACCEPTED ~OMPETITIVE Y 365-day Treasury bills maturing November 30, 1969 Approx. Equiv. Annual Rete Price 94.370 5.5531' 94.328 5.594~ 94.355 5.568~ )} 2~ of the amount of 272-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted 12~ of the amount of 365-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted 'roTAL TENDERS APPLIED FOR AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRIC'lE: District Boston New York Philade Iphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis KBnsas City !MaUas San Francisco mTALS Applied Far $ 18,497,000 1,443,443,000 12,462,000 28,793,000 4, 372,bOO 15,515,000 174,945,000 16,856,000 12,951,000 10,100,000 31,802,000 202,068,000 Accepted $ 2,076,000 825,002,000 2,4:62,000 3,691,000 1,872,000 3,630,000 82,145,000 6,416,000 951,000 6,600,000 1,802,000 63,368,000 $1,337,233,000 $ 500,033,000 ~/ $1,971,804,000 $1,000,015,000 Accepted Applied For $ 3,046,000 $ 3,046,000 398,302,000 988,302,000 1,464,000 12,464,000 2,785,000 14,985,000 1,062,000 3,562,000 4,719,000 18,019,000 21,052,000 81,552,000 4,295,000 6,795,000 5,455,000 12,455,000 2,660,000 4,160,000 1,482,000 11,482,000 1801 411,000 53,711,000 E/ ~ Includes $21,166,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 95.699 ~I Includes $46,747,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 94.355 11 These rates are on a bank discount basis. '!he equivalent coupon issue yields are 5.97~ for the 272-day bills, and 5.9~ for the 365-day bills. F-1414 TREASURY DEPARTMENT , WASHINGTON, D.C. November 22, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 22, 1968 STATEMENT BY THE HONORABLE HENRY H. FOWLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY OF THE UNITED STATES AT CONCLUSION OF G-lO MEETING IN BONN, GERMANY FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 22, 1968 This meeting, called with my full support, was aimed at finding, through multilateral consultations, means of dealing with short-term destabilizing influences in the international monetary s ys tern. It has met that aim. The leading financial countries in the world have come to a common assessment of the current currency problems and reached a common view on how the nations of the Group of Ten can act together to deal with it. This is the course which the free world has built up carefully in recent years. It has served us well, with fruits of continuing growth and prosperity for all. The decisions of this gathering speak powerfully for the combination of international monetary strength and multilateral rationality which has been molded. The contributions of the various governmenrnrepresented at this meeting to this rational process streSs the fact that the day of the narrow, nationalistic short-range view of international finance has been replaced by one in which all of the partners have come to recognize that the preservation of the whole cannot be sacrificed to any of the parts. The United States will do its full share to help effectuate the measures to be undertaken by the Group of Ten. 000 F-1415 TREASURY DEPARTMENT t WASHINGTON. D.C. November 22, 1968 ~OR IHMEDIATE RELEASE ;RIDAY, NOVEMBER 22, 1968 Bonn CO~~NIQUE OF THE MINISTERS AND GOVERNORS OF THE GROUP OF TEN MEETING IN BONN 20 THROUGH 22 NOVEMBER 1968 1. The Ministers and Central Bank Governors of the ten countries part ic ipat ing in the Gene ra 1 Arrangements to Borrow met in Bonn on 20th to 22nd November 1968 under the chairmanship of Mr. Karl Schiller, Minister of Economics, Federal Republic of Germany. Mr. Pierre- Paul Schwe itzer, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund took part in the meeting, which was also attended by the president of the Swiss National Bank, the Deputy Secretary General of the OECD, the General Manager of the BIS and the Vice President of the Commission of the European Commun it ie s . 2. The meeting was called by its chairman, Minister Schiller, on the proposal of several member countries. The Ministers and Governors had a comprehens ive and thorough exchange of views on the basic problems of balance of payments disequilibria and on the recent speculative capital movement. 3. The participants agreed that international monetary stability is the joint responsibility of all countries in the international economic community. Both deficit and surplus countries expressed their willingness to contribute effectively to the stability of the international monetary system through appropriate and concerted economic policies. They agreed on measures to counter speculative capital movements. 4. Minister Schiller explained the decision of the Federal Government of Germany to introduce immediate tax relief on imports of 4}, of the va lue and a tax burden on exports of 4/0 of the ir value. These measures will substantially reduce the German trade surplus. The German government also intends to restrict certain short-term transactions of German banks with non-res idents; and the Federal Bank has dec ided yes terday to raise to 100% the reserve requirement on additions to banks' liabilities to foreigners. F-14l6 - 2 - 5. After thorough discussion of the German measures the Ministers and Governors agreed that these measures would make a significant contribution to the stability of the monetary system and the adjustment process. In the light of those measures, they endorsed the decision by the Federal Government to maintain the parity of the D-Mark. 6. The French Economic and Finance Minister explained the sUuation of the French currency, the measures already taken toward a restoration of internal and external equilibrium, and the problems still to be solved. 7. It was decided to set up a new central bank credit facility for France in the amount of $2 billion. This is in addition to France's substantial drawing facility in the IMF. 8. The decision on the above mentioned credit facility underlines the determination of monetary autho~ities to counter speculation and to offset the effect on reserves of destabilizing shortterm capital flows. For the same purpose the Governors, together with the BIS, will examine new central bank arrangements to alleviate the impact on reserves of speculative movements. 9. The participants welcomed the measures taken which will make a major contribution to the restoration of international payments equilibrium. 000 Removal Notice The item identified below has been removed in accordance with FRASER's policy on handling sensitive information in digitization projects due to copyright protections. Citation Information Document Type: Transcript Number of Pages Removed: 16 Author(s): Title: Date: CBS Television Network, "Face the Nation", Guest: The Honorable Henry H. Fowler, Secretary of the Treasury 1968-11-24 Journal: Volume: Page(s): URL: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://fraser.stlouisfed.org TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON, D.C. roB RELEASE 6::30 P.M., ~aaay, - love1lber 25, 1968. RESULTS OF 'mEASURI I S WEEKLY BILL OFFERDG '!be Treasury Department announced that the tenders for two series ot 'l'reesury bills, one series to be an additional issue ot the bills dated August 29, 1968, and the other series to be dated November 29, 1968, which were otfered Oil November 20, 1968, were opened at the Federal Reserve Jaw today. ~nder8 were invited tor $1,600,000,000, or thereabouts, ot 90-day bills and tor $1,100,000,000, or thereabouts, of 181-day bills. 111e details ot the two series are as follows: ~ or ACCE~ COMPETITIVE BIDS: High Low Average 3~ 90-day freasury bills _turing February 27, 1969 Approx. Equiv . Price Annual Rate 98.649 5.IOIJ 98.6:32 98.6:38 5.472j 5.448~ 181-day ~easury bills maturing May 29, 1969 Approx. Equiv. Annual Rate Price 97.208 5.553* 97.188 5.593~ 97.198 5.573~ !I Y of the amount of 90-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted agij of the amount of 181-day bills bid tor at the low price was accepted row, TElDERS APPLIED FOR AID ACCEPTED II FEDERAL RESERVE DIS'l'RICTS: District Boston lew York Pbllade 1ph1a Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. LOUis MiDDeapol1s Kansas City Jallas San FranCisco Applied For Accerted $ 26,904,000 $6,901,000 1,082, 2'B, 000 1,821,448,000 17,221,000 :32,221,000 3:3,947,000 :33,947,000 14,,066,000 14,066,000 35,784,000 39,824,000 142,823,000 179,091,000 40,624,000 50,344,000 27,885,000 29,245,000 35,141,000 35,141,000 17,549,000 26,229,000 135,835,000 185,775,000 roms $2,474,2:35,000 $1,600,027,000 ApE lied lor $ 10,180,000 !/ Acee,ted $"0,180,000 1,531,842,000 16,566,000 55,32:3,000 5,241,000 26,713,000 1:33,336,000 32, 65l-,000 22,230,000 16,060,000 18,508,000 162,":3,000 785,5:32,000 6,566,000 30,713,000 5,241,000 16,263,000 73,336,000 25,121,000 21,510,000 16,049,000 8,508,000 101,138,000 $2,031,093,000 $1,100,157,000 ~/ ~ Includes $284,031,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 98.638 ~J Includes $151,208,000 nonccapetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 97.198 !:I !lese rates are on a bank discount basis. Tbe equivalent coupon issue yields are 5.6~ for the 90-day bills, and 5 .81~ for the lSI-day bills. '-1417 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON, D.C. t REI1'JSE 6: 30 P.M., leday, lovember 26, 1968. RESULTS 01 mEASURY' SOFFER 01 ADDI'l'IOlfAL $2 BILLIOK :m JUlIE TAX BILLS ibe Treasury Department announced that the tenders tor an additional $2,000,000,000, tobereabouts, of i8x Anticipation Series Treasury bills dated October 24:, 1968, ~lDg JuDe 23, 1969, were opened at the Federal Be serve Banks today. '!be add! tiom1 NIt ot bills, which were offered on Bovember 19, 1968, will be issued December 2, is, (203 dals to _turi ty date). b details ot this issue are as follows: Tote1 applied tor - $',370,993,000 Total accepted - $2,000,403,000 age (includes $356,153,000 entered on a noncompetitive basis and accepted in full at the average price shown below) ot accepted competitive bids: High - 96.972!1 - 96.891 _ 96.905 Low Average Equivalent rate of discount approx. 5.37oj per annUll " """ " 5 •5l3j" " II "" It "5.4:8~ II " ( 3~ ot the amount bid for at the low price was accepted Excepting 3 tenders totaling $600,000 !I Federal Be serve Distriet IOstCll Ie" tork Philade lphia Cleve laM RiebaODd Atlanta Chicago St. Lou1s MiDneapolis Jansas C1ty 181la8 SID lranc1sco f ib1s 1s on a bank discalnt basis. 1'-1418 Total Applied ror $ 205,780,000 1,790,424,000 295,391,000 183,305,000 78,860,000 150,978,000 458,250,000 175,033,000 283,115,000 103,840,000 168,660,000 4:77,291,000 Total Accetted $4,370,993,000 $2,000,4.03,000 'Dle equiva1e~.t • 1~,1!§o,ooo 443,624,000 211,397,000 109,735,000 4.2,860,000 116,978,000 317,980,000 117,583,000 192,175,000 93,340,000 47,660,000 1'-5,291,000 coupon issue yield is 5. 73'/.. 1:1 TREASURY DEPARTMENT , WASHINGTON, D.C. November 27, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S ·wEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury O~ps.rtment, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $2 700,000,000, or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing DecemDer 5,1968, in the amount of $2,701,354,000, as follows ~ 91-day bi 1~ ~ "." maturity date) to be issued December 5, 1968, in the a~ount of $1,(100,000,000, or thereabouts, representing an addltlom~.l lmount of bills dated September 5,1968, and to mature March 6, 1969, originally issued in the amount of $1,102,679,000, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills I f'')~' $1,100,000,000, or thereabouts December 5, 1968, and to mature June 5, 1969. J to be dated The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and non~ompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $'30,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the clOSing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, December 2, 1968. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury De~artment, Washington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed -:m the basis of 100 J with not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from ~Sponsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face ~ount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express gual·anty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. F-1419 - 2 Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasur expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, . in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to tnese reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on December 5, 1968, in cash or other immed~~tely available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills rna turing December 5,1968. Cash and exchange tende~ will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for . differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate) inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT t WASHINGTON, D.C. November 27, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE UNITED STATES-EAST AFRICAN COMMUNITY HOLD PRELIMINARY DISCUSSIONS ON INCOME TAX TREATY The Treasury Department announced today that as a result of exploratory talks held recently between the United States and the countries of the East African Community it has been found that a basis exists for an income tax treaty 0 At present the United States has such a treaty with only one African country, the Union of South Africa o The East African Community, comprised of Kenya, Uganda, and Tanzania, has a Common income tax structure as well as a cornmon tax administration. The discussions were held with the Community tax authorities in Nairobi, Kenya. The U.S. delegation was headed by Stanley S. Surrey, Assistant Secretary for Tax Policyo The primary purpose of the income tax treaty would be to eliminate double taxation resul ting from the taxation of the same item or items of income by both countries and to establish procedures for mutual assistance in the administration of income taxes. Persons having an interest in such a wish to offer comments or suggestions may writing. Comments should be submitted by to Stanley So Surrey, Assistant Secretary Washington, D. C. 20220. 000 F-1420 convention who do so in December 20, 1968, of the Treasury, TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE SPEECH OF THE HONORABLE JOSEPH M. BOWMAN, JR. ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE AMERICAN MANAGEMENT ASSN., INC. MONDAY, NOVEMBER 24, 1968, NEW YORK CITY, N.Y. It is a pleasure to be here today to participate in the same program with such a distinguished group of financial experts. Let me make it clear, however, at the outset that I do not place myself in the category of a financial expert. I am not an economist, but a Georgia lawyer who happens to have had eight years experience working with the United States Congress. When asked to comment on the Congressional prospects in those areas with which the Treasury has jurisdiction, namely the fiscal and monetary areas, my visceral reaction was that any comment could only be speculation and conjecture. Those of us who have worked with the Congress are always the most hesitant when it comes to projecting a possible result on any issue. An illustration of my role as an Assistant Secretary of the Treasury can best be made by citing an incident which occurred a few days before the President's recent message calling for surtax legislation was sent to Capitol Hill on August 3, 1967. On that particular day I was called into Secretary Fowler's office and I was asked point-blank by the Secretary if the tax increase could be passed by the Congress. I immediately launched into the pros and cons of whether or not we needed a tax increase. Secretary Fowler immediately interrupted me and said: "Joe, that was not my question. I asked simply, can this Bill pass the House and the Senate." I answered in the affirmative, though I must admit that my opinion changed no less than twenty times during the ensuing months. I only cite this example to make it clear from the start that my role at the Treasury has been that of a liaison officer with the U.S. Congress and if it has, in fact, influenced the making of fiscal policy, it has done so only insofar as my judgment has been relied upon in those cases when I was asked to analyze Congressional reaction to measures sent to the Hill by the Treasury. - 2 - In the course of contemplating what I intend to say today, I am convinced that a firmer and less speculative prognosis can be made this year than perhaps ever before in recent history. I have one very good reason why I am more confident in this, and I will corne to that in just a moment. The major unknown factor, of course, will be what the new Administration will decide and what new policies they will follow in the economic area. I will not attempt to give advice or to speculate on these matters, nor do I think anyone can at this time, other than the Presidentelect and his closest advisers. The point is that whatever is presented to the Congress in the fiscal and monetary areas, I think the result will be fairly predictable. Most of the Congress, though Democratic in makeup, will give the new Administration reasonable and conscientious cooperation and will accept most of what is offered by the Nixon Administration in this area so long as the Ways and Means Committee and the Finance Committee are convinced that those proposals are for the economic good of the country, and that will be determined not only by the persuasive powers of the cabinet and sub-cabinet officers, sent to the Hill by the new Administration, but by the economic situation existing in the world at that time, and the Administration's ability to predict the result of Congressional action or inaction and make the Congress believe those predictions. In order to demonstrate to you why I believe the new Administration will be moderately successful with the Congress in the economic area, I must discuss a few specific issues which have arisen in the past and which will most assuredly arise during the 9lst Congress. The most obvious issue is the question of the surtax and the present Administration's handling of that legislation and the difficulties it encountered in passing it. As you .all know the present tax surcharge will expire on June 30, 1969 and the question in the forefront in the economic news is what will happen thereafter. That prognosis can't be discussed without reviewing its recent passage by the Congress and the effect of that passage not only on the immediate economic situation existing at that time, but the precedent it set for future taxation legislation. At the same time one might look at the difficulty the Administration had in getting the tax surcharge enacted during the 90th Congress. I remember well when we first - 3 - polled the Congress immediately after sending the tax message to the Hill on August 3, 1968. Although representatives of many conservative business groups joined in supporting this increase and the great majority of economists said that it was necessary, and although Treasury secretary Fowler, Budget Director, Charles Schultz, Chairman of the Counsel of Economic Advisers Gardner Ackley, the American Bankers Association, and others testified in their support of this Bill, a head-count on August 27 showed only 61 Democrats firmly in support of it. 42 others supported it only if it were supported by spending cuts and 13 others refused to support it unless tax reform were added to the surcharge. A few days later 58 Republicans were polled and out of those 58, only 7 supported the Bill unequivocably and 22 promised their support if it were accompanied with spending cuts. The reason for this lack of support was obvious to those of us who were talking to these members of Congress. They were purely and simply afraid of the political reaction in their districts to a tax increase. They could not believe that a member of Congress could vote for a tax increase and survive an election. One phrase was heard over and over again from the members as we in the Treasury asked for their support. "I am getting 50 letters a day they said, from people who write in on lined paper with pencils who say they'll never vote for me if I support this bill. These letters aren't coming from special interest groups. They're coming from individual citizens, writing voluntarily with no urging from anyone". It was the following year before the Bill came to the floor of the Senate on April 2, passing with a vote of 53-35 and to the House floor on June 20, only five months before the election. The Bill passed the House 268-150 with 154 Democrats voting in favor of it and 114 Republicans voting in favor of it. A no more difficult climate could ha~e existed in which to raise taxes. Every excuse imaginable was given to representatives of the Administration by members of Congress--they said, "you should have called ita war tax" (we did, by the way) , "you should have brought it up sooner", they said; "I can't be re-elected if I vote for it", they said. But nevertheless, we passed it, after nearly a year of intensive work and substantial modification. There were periods of time from August 1967 to June 1968* (*the date the Bill was passed), when we could only get a handful of votes and could not see where the votes for passage were coming from no matter how much we argued for fiscal responsibility and no matter with what urging we predicted impending disaster. II , II - 4 There were many times during the year 1968 when only one man in this countr~ refused to accept what was then thought to be the political reality that it was impossible to pass a tax bill in ,--.1 election year, and who thought and felt that this Bill wO' ld be enacted, and that man was my boss, secretary Fowler. Those of us who were skeptical had actually, in our most confidential conversations, begun to doubt that our system (f government could adequately function ln the type of emergenc 1 that existed. Well, we passed the Bill, and let us look at the politica. record. The fact of the matter is that the tax bill had little or no effect on the outcome of the Congressional election. There is a net increase of only four Republicans in the new Congress and it is to the everlasting credit of the Republican party that it laid aside partisanship and supported this Bill. How many incumbent Republicans were defeated because they voted for the tax bill? The answer is that not one Republican was defeated for re-election .because of voting for the surtax. Only two Republicans were defeated for re-election and both of them voted against the tax bill. How many Democrat incumbents who voted for the tax bill were defeated for re-election? The answer is four. But three Democrat incumbents who voted against the tax bill were defeated for re-election. It simply was not an issue. Many of the defeated incumbents were thrown against other incumbents because of Congressional redistricting. Representative Vanik defeated Representative Bolton, and both voted against the tax bill. Rep. Steed, who voted for the surtax defeated Rep. Smith (Okla.), who voted against the surtax. Rep. Broyhill (N.C.) defeated Rep. Whitener and both voted for the tax bill. Rep. Roush, who was defeated by Rep. Adair, is the only example of an incumbent who voted for the surtax being defeated by an incumbent who voted against it. In New Mexico, both incumbent Democratic Congressmen were defeated for re-election by newcomers. Both ran at large throughout the entire state. Yet Rep. Walker voted against the tax bill while Rep. Morris voted for it. It is clear that the tax bill had little or no effect on the Democratic incumbents and I believe more members of Congress recognize that the question of tax legislation, so long as that legislation is considered critical, does not have great political impact so long as the American people are made aware of the necessity for the legislation. This educational process is one of the - 5 - most difficult tasks of all, however, and it was only a series of events, all of which made headlines across the country that succeeded in making Americans aware of the necessity for action. Despite the testimony and efforts of leading American businessmen, economists and professional associations, it was escalating prices and interest rates that were most readily understood by the American people. Devaluation of the British pound was announced on November 18, 1967. The London gold market was closed the weekend of March 17, 1968, after the Administration had succeeded in removing the gold cover on the 15th of March. By that time, there was general awareness in the Congress and in the country that the letter-writers who opposed the surtax must either be converted or ignored. In my opinion, no Congressman when he returns to his district to run for re-election will run on one issue alone--taxes, Viet Nam, or crime in the streets. He will, in most instances, run on the service he gives his constituents-~and this is what most incumbents proceeded to do. In the winter and spring of 1969 when the new Congress is organized it will not be faced with the immediate prospect of re-election and it will have much less political concern about taxes. There will be a calm atmosphere totally different than that which always prevails during the second session of a Congress. But it will be more tranquil not only because it is the beginning of the Congress, and two years from the next election, it will be calmer because the Congress will have realized that a 10% surtax, legislation that to many was considered politically fatal, was enacted during an election year with virtually no effect on the makeup of the Congress. A precedent will have been set, and though the setting of that precedent was difficult, as the setting of most precedents is difficult, the preced.ent will have been set, and precedents are more easily followed than established, and less blood-letting will occur when the need for action again arises. Congressmen are becoming better economists. Their conversations are more sophisticated, they are more anxious to learn and they are more willing to listen to what economists and businessmen say. The upshot is that they are going to listen to the advice given by the new Administration's top economic advisers whether they are Democratic or Republican, and they will act or not act on a continuation of the tax surcharge in accordance with that advice, and the recommendation of the Ways and Means Committee, which is in itself the most highly regarded, and certainly the most powerful, fiscal policy body on Capitol - 6 - Hill. What else does all of ttli 1-3 prove? It proves that tile new economics are here to stay. There was a time durinq the difficult months of trying to enact a tax bill when many of us, and I exclude Secretary Fowler, were saying the new economics were fine in theory, but simply not practicably applicable. We were saying that half of the new economics would work. You could lower taxes when you needed to lower them (although you will remember it took us months to get the tax cut through Congress), but that when the time came to increase taxes it could be done. Well, that cynical observation has been proved false. Taxes were raised. The Congress will react to the best economic advice it can receive, and the President-elect is the type of person in my opinion who will certainly pretty much adhere to present economic policies. The new economics will certainly be on the conservative side. Chairman Mills, of the Ways and Mean. Committee, has said that if the tax surcharge i8 extended he will insist upon expenditure reductions, employee ceiling restrictions and a small budget. There has been a great deal of talk and a great many articles about the President-elect's proposals for tax incentives and insinuations that Chairman Mills would oppose them. It is my opinion, after working with Chairman Mills for some time, that if tax credits are viewed by the Ways and Means solely on the basis of tax policy, one would say that this Committee would reject them. But don't forget that the Committee has written other tax incentives legislation, such as investment tax credit, because the overall purpose of that legislation outweighed limiting its consideration to tax policy alone. Of course, all of the tax incentives brought before the Ways and Means are not going to be enacted, but again it is my opinion that the Committee will weigh each one of those billa individually and it will weigh each one of them in the light of all of the factors involved, not just tax policy. Perhapa the Committee will decide that taxTncentives for the purpose of improving the situation in the ghettos far outweigh any negativism about tax incentives. On the other hand, perhaps the Committee will decide that the problem of the ghettos would be better solved by other means. My point is that I do not believe that the incoming Administration and the Ways and Means Committee, and the Finance Committee ar 7 going to be immediately at loggerheads, but are instead g01ng to greet each other in much more of a spirit of cooperation than anyone expects. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR RELEASE ON DELIVERY EXPECTED AT NOON, PST, MONDAY, DECEMBER 2, 1968 REMARKS OF THE HONORABLE JOSEPH W. BARR THE UNDER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AT THE SIXTH ANNUAL BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC OUTLOOK CONFERENCE OF THE PORTLAND STATE COLLEGE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION AND THE PORTLAND CHAMBER OF COMMERCE PORTLAND HILTON HOTEL, PORTLAND, OREGON MONDAY, DECEMBER 2, 1968 It is a great pleasure for me to be in Oregon again not only because of the people who live here in such magnificent natural surroundings, and in a vigorously independent political climate, but because it is almost as far as you can get from Washington and still stay in the country. Getting out of Washington is the best kind of medicine for federal officials, even though in exactly seven weeks they will be former federal officials. Places like Portland, Oregon, and not Washington, D. C., are what the United States is about. F-142l - 2 I have been asked to talk about the business and financial outlook but I find that order. a very large Of courSe I can say that it is good -- which it certainly is, provided we have learned the lessons of the past. But I sense that since such recitations are more than common these days you will not object if I address myself to an aspect of the long-range business outlook that is almost never discussed at meetings like this. The importance to our domestic economy of a sound and expanding pattern of international trade and finance is, I take it, beyond dispute. Yet as I move among businessmen and academicians I almost never hear them discuss the close inter-relationship of these fields and the world-wide security posture of the United States. - 3May I pose this s~ple and stark question: How can one look realistically at the problems of world trade and investment without taking into account the security arrangements that provide the environment for trade and investment, and the huge sums of foreign exchange that we as a nation are spending around the world in support of these arrangements? This year we are spending nearly $3.5 billion in foreign exchange because of our troop deployments in Europe, Japan and Southeast Asia and ~Jr in the Mediterranean and the China Sea. naval deployments For the seven years, 1961 - 1967, the net foreign exchange costs of our military deployments totaled $17.4 billion -- only slightly less than the direct investment outflow of $17.7 billion over the same period and slightly more than the total $16.3 billion liquidity deficit sustained in this sevenyear span. No other country in the world could hope to earn such a staggering amount of foreign exchange through its commercial transactions. So it is really impossible to be "realistic" about the problems of foreign trade and foreign investment unless we first came to grips with this huge sum of foreign -4exchange in our military accounts. The foreign exchange we spend must be earned one way or another by our exporters, our lenders, and our investors; and after the exchange has been earned, competition inevitably develops as to its allocation. As we all know, over the past eight years the competition for foreign exchange has forced government intervention the Interest Equalization Tax of 1963, the voluntary restraints on lending and inve8tment of 1965, and President Johnson's Action Program of January 1 of this year with its mandatory investment controls, as well as programs in the areas of exports, travel and government expenditures. I hope that I will not be a Cassandra if I predict flatly tha~ without some .ort of discipline, in the years ahead we will not be able to meet all the demands for foreign exchange from our Government and our private economy. I just do not think it realistic to assume that in the near future we as a nation will be able to say to the military, "Forget about foreign exchange costs U ; to AID, "Don I t bother wi th tying our development assistance to U. S. goods and services"; to our allies, "Don't worry -5- about doing your fair share in mutual security"; while at the same ttme telling U. S. lenders, investors, importers and travelers, "Spend, lend, invest or buy what you want where you want." The pent-up demands, in my opinion, would swamp the foreign exchange earnings that I can foresee. Therefore I believe that private importers, lenders, investors and travelers must resign themselves to some competition for foreign exchange with the Government -- and in major part, that means the military. At the Los Angeles Town Hall in June, I pointed out that over the past few years we have built into our Federal budget significant outlays for education, transportation, housing, pollution control, crime control.and health insurance that for the first time post a severe challenge to the defense establishment for the domestic tax dollar. In much the same way business will also compete with the military to allocate the available pool of foreign exchange. But business will not be battling alone. Secretaries Anderson and Gates under PresidEI1 t Eisenhower; Secretaries Dillon, Fowler, McNamara and Clifford under Presidents Kennedy and Johnson; and the Joint Chiefs of Staff under all three -~ Administrations, have worked with vigor and Lmagination to hold down and to offset the exchange costs of our military operations. Were it not for these effort., the $17.3 billion total I mentioned earlier easily could have exceeded $25 billion over the past seven years. These efforts are continuing. What I want to suggest today is not a solution but an approach. Over the past fev years I have often wondered why the people who were most concerned in this area of foreign trade and foreign invesbDent never speak out on this vital and intimately related issue. When we ask corporate executives about the financial and econami. aspects of our mutual security arrangements, usually what we get is a blank stare. As I read through Congressional hearings, I never notice anyone from the private sector addressing htm.elf to these issues. The hearings on foreign relations are replete with conflicting arguments as to the military and diplomatic effectiveness of our policies; they are Singularly silent on the exchange costs. -7- To be perfectly fair, I suppose that the reasons that this huge item of foreign exchange is ignored or at least not referred to are several. would include the (1) I would imagine that they following~ A sheer lack of knowledge. It is not customary for this nation, or any nation for that matter, to broadcast its estimates of the military capabilities and intentions of nations who may be hostile. Therefore same of the evidence upon which a corporate executive could develop an opinion is not easily available. (2) I suppose there is a general reluctance to challenge the diplomats and the military on their own ground. (3) Any attempt to discuss the exchange costs of our military deployments inevitably risks a series of charges from certain quarters of public opinion. min~ At a it could be charged that the discussions were subordinating security affairs to financial considerations. At the worst, the old cry of "soft on coamunism" could be raised. These are telling reasons for keeping silent in this highly sensitive area. But I suggest that this -8- .ilence . .y be a luxury that the United State. bu.ine•• and fivri.l c~ity no laager c.n .fford; that this .ileac. i. not nec ••••rily in the best inter•• t. of the DDit.d State.; and that this .ilence i8 Dot n.c ••••rily a halp to tho.. leader. -- both .tlit.ry aDd civilian -- who ar. cbar.ed with the defen.e of the United State •• Let ~ 11 ',~.trate what I mean by theae point.. Anyone who looka at tbe hi. tory of international finance in the year. 1961 and 1968 mu.t certainly be impre •• ed with the ~ ironic fact that the Soviet Union ill an intran.ilent .cod in it. ·relationa with Europe unintentionally can be a very araat help to our balance of payaent.. Even the indom.table Aaarican traveler tends to forego hi. European vacation vben the Soviet UDiOll rattle. the .aber. iDVe.~t that fund. are even ~e .enaitive. 'l1le flow of The point i. a, di.cu•• ioa of tr.de and invea t8eDt IIU. t proceed on the ".UllptiOll that we are living in a world of re•• onable p..c. ad reasonable order. I would .eriou.ly doubt that .uch a world 1. pos.ible unle.. the United State. picka up it. .bare of peace-keepinl re.pon.ibilitie. and the re.ultinl coat •• -9tOn the other side of the coin, the military is well aware indeed that it is not deploying Roman legions who are going to li""e off the lande On the contrary, our forces overseas must pay their way with dollars that end up as exchange earnings in the country in which they are spent. The military is aware that it would be impossible for them to meet their responsibilities unless they are supported by a dollar that is strong and viable in international financial markets. So the interests, it seems, are mutual. There is no basic conflict on objectives between the business and the financial community on the one side and the defense establishment on the other. Moreover, let me venture that the store of knowledge available to the business and financial community on conditions in various parts of the world is huge and rapidly growing. There is no reason why this information and the ideas and opinions it should generate, should not be shared with the Executive and wtth the Congress. A decade of public service has convinced me that governments have no monopoly on information or insight. On the contrary, we in the Treasury have been particularly fortunate -l~ that the business, financial, labor and academic leaders of this nation feel absolutely no hesitancy in speaking bluntly to us on matters in which they are concerned. Sometimes these blunt comments sting a bit, but they still are enormously helpful. It would seem to me that to approach this whole subjecL ~ealistically, it would be perfectly appropriate for business leaders to ask representatives of State, Defense,and the Joint Chiefs of Staff to discuss with them some of the following issues: (1) Are there any reasonable alternatives to the foreign exchange costs that we currently are incurring for military bases in Japan? (2) If a decision is reached to maintain security forces in various parts of the Far East, what can these countries do to minimize the foreign exchange burden we carry as a result of these deployments? (3) Do the transportation capabilities of the new generation of military aircraft promise any hope of reducing our European and Asian deployments? (4) What can European nations do to help offset the exchange costs (in excess of $1 billion) of our deployments - 11 - on that continent? (5) What sorts of alternatives do we face when the United Kingdom pulls out East of Suez and what is the cost of these alternatives in terms of foreign exchange? I see no reason why the economic and financial aspects of these issues should be discussed only behind closed doors and under the title of security. The key figures are available in public testimony for anyone who is interested, and certainly the business community should be interested. I therefore suggest that there is every reason for corporate leadership to seek more open discussions with military, defense and diplomatic leaders and with the Congress on the inter-relationship between our security posture around the world and our policies on international trade and investment Diplomacy and warfare are demanding disciplines in which an amateur is easily exposed. On the other hand, inter- national finance is an equally demanding discipline whose spokesmen can and should speak to the diplomats and military leaders with candor and with assurance. I can assure them that if they stay with the subject they know, they will be listened to and respected. In urging a more open 0 - 12 discussion of the economic issues that are inextricably intertwined with our diplomatic and military policies, I will repeat that such a discussion in my opinion, would be good for business, good for the military and the diplomats, and good for the country. 000 I TREASURY DEPARTMENT ~, .~l WASHINGTON. D.C. ., . Ii RELiASE 6: 30 P.J(., !!!!II Deeeaber 2, 1968. RESULTS OF TREASURI'S WEEKLY BILL Ol'J'ERIIG '1!1e !reasUl7 Depart.nt aDllOUDced that tile tenUre tor two aerie. ot ~e..U17 .lis, 0111 series to be an additional iSBue ot the bills dated Septe... r 5, 1968, III the other series to be dated Decellber 5, 1968, which were ottered OIl .Oftllber , 1968, were opeDf>.'tI. at the Federal Reserve BaDks today. '.atD4er. were iDV1ted tor 600,000,000, or thereabouts, ot 91-day bills aDd tor $1,100,000,000, or tbereIOO.ts, ot 182-day billa. 1'he details ot the two eeries are ae tollows: a or ACCIP'5I) 1lPEi'I'fIVE lIDS: 91-day !reasur, bills _turiy March 6. 1969 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 11gb 98.585 5.598J Low Average 98.567 98.576 5.669j 5.633j 182-4&1 ~e..U17 bills .aturinS JUne 5. 1969 Apprax. Equiv • Price .Annual Bate 97.120 !I 5.697J 97.092 5.752~ 5.73(1/, 97.103 11 11 yExcept1Dg 1 tender ot $S, 000 16j ot the uount ot 91-4&)' bills bid tor at the low price vas accepted 92j ot the &IIOUDt ot 182-day bills bid tor at the low price vas accepted )TA!. '1DDERS APPLIED FOR .AID ACCEPrED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISmICTS: District Boston lev York Philade lphia Cleveland Ricbaolld Atlanta Chicago St. Louis lI1DDeapol1s fauas City Dallas SaD Prancisco roTALs ~ InCludes Applied For Accefted $ 31,517,000 $9,517,000 1,778,765,000 1,110,765,000 12,505,000 27,505,000 37,656,000 37,656,000 11,4.05,000 11,4.05,000 30,121,000 35,121,000 192,609,000 199,309,000 4:3,768,000 36,516,000 22,4.97,000 24:,4.97,000 29,093,000 27,093,000 17,798,000 27,798,000 134..z650l 000 81.z 682l 000 $2,381,084,000 $275, 738,000 AEl!lied For $ 5,825,000 1,433,481,000 17,4.71,000 4:2,070,000 5,04.5,000 23,64:5,000 125,856,000 25,672,000 18,284:,000 15,349,000 20,575,000 14:2.z772 l 000 $1,600,164,000 ~ $1,876,045,000 nonc~titive Acce;2ted • 5,825, 000 812,281,000 12,071,000 31,990,000 5,045,000 16,04.5,000 115,856,000 18,4.72,000 12,624.,000 13,349,000 10,575,000 4:6 z132 1.OOO $1,100,265,000 ~ tenders accepted at the average price ot 98.576 I InCludes $14.1,556,000 nonccapetitive tenders accepted at the average price ot 97.103 ~:: rates are on a be.nlt disc::>unt basis. 1he equivalent crupon issue 11e1ds are .7J~ tor the 91-4&1 bills, and 5.98j tor the 182-4&y bills. TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR RELEASE ON DELIVERY (EXPECTED AT 8:00 P.M.,EST MONDAY, DECEMBER 2,1968) ADDRESS OF THE HONORABLE HENRY H. FOWLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AT THE ANNUAL JOINT MEETING OF THE NATIONAL AND STATE BANK DIVISIONS OF THE AMERICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION MADISON HOTEL, WASHINGTON, D.C. MONDAY, DECEMBER 2, 1968, 8:00 P.M., EST I understand that somewhere in the White House a member of the President's staff has put up a sign that reads: "Work harder. The end is near." If 30, the man who conceived it has nicely grasped the realities of the situation o The end is indeed near. But notwithstanding a common impression that very little is happening in Washington these days, a lot of people in the Johnson Administration find on the contrary that there is not much choice about working hard. __ They are working hard on preparations to make the transition to a new Administration as smooth and efficient as possible. And there is plenty to do on other counts in the always pressing ongoing business of winning the peace in Southeast Asia, pursuing our national security in other key areas, moving forward at home on the urgent problems of poverty and the general welfare, and advancing the work of national and international prosperity with progress. Of especial interest to the economic and financial community there are the responsibilities under law to take such actions as submitting a budget for fiscal year 1970and coming up with several presidential messages to the new Congress, including President Johnson's last State of the Union address and his final Economic Report. F-l423 - 2 And finally there is the fact that the modern world simpl will not mark time while Americans sort themselves out in a shift of leadership. As an illustration, I need only cite my own activities in recent weeks which, among other things, found me spend in g 14 long - - and, as you may have read entirely placid -- days in Europe. Apart from the period at the end of my stay, I was there, together with Secretaries Rusk and Clifford, to help formulate the NATO alliance response to the new challenge of the Soviet Union, symboliz ed by what has happened in Czechoslovakia The measures agreed to, after all, are going to cost something. o The time was ripe for pressing a vital matter. This was the need to "institutionalize," on a NATO-wide basis, the assl~ptions and practices involved in European offsetting of the U.S. balance of payments deficit component incurred as a result of the substantial continued presence of U.S. forces in W~stern Europe and the Mediterranean. The problem has been around a long time, of course, but the approach to managing it has lacked a policy framework, multilaterally developed and accepted, in which bilateral negotiations could more realistically and effectively proceed. Plainly, the time when NATO turned to toning up the muscle that deters Soviet adventureswas also the time to do something about making the Alliance viable in the financial as well as the military and political sense. In paragraph 8 of the communique of the North Atlantic Council Ministerial meeting on November 15 and 16, the following multilateral policy declaration is included: "They (the Ministers) also acknowledged that the solidarity of the Alliance can be strengthened by the cooperation between members to alleviate burdens arising from balance of payments deficits resulting specifically from military expenditures for the collective defense." Thus, a national policy announced by president Johnson in his New Year's Day message on the balance of payments becomes a NATO policy, adding,for the future, both strength to the Alliance and to our ability to discharge our commitments to it consistent with the maintenance of a strong dol lac - 3 - While I was on the continent, I also seized the opportunity to talk with various fellow Finance Ministers about early ratification and activation of Special Drawing Rights in the International Monetary Fund as well as the increasingly nettlesome matter of non-tariff barriers to trade that 100m large as the execution of the Kennedy Round reduces the more familiar tariff schedules. The immediate relevance of the former to future operation of the international monetary system was underscored during my visit by disquieting developments in the exchange market for French francs and German marks. It is important to ratify and activate promptly the Special Drawing Rights amendment so as to be sure there are adequate reserves for world trade and development, ease the adjustment process between surplus and deficit countries, and avoid a damaging scramble for reserves. Early and adequate activation would lessen three dangers to the monetary system: 1. There would be less pressure for restrictions on trade and other international transactions, resulting from severe competition among countries to retain or build up reserves. 2. There would be less upward pressure on world interest rates. 3. An adequate growth of world reserves would lessen exchange pressures which arise from time to time and place a heavy burden on international credit faci1ities o - 4 - Moreover, this action will clear the decks for preparing a new agenda of work on needed improvements in the international monetary system other than the orderly provision of increasing reserves to the world supply. And non-tariff barriers to trade, of course, are one of the big reasons for fearing that this country and its chief trading partners may be on a collision course of mutually damaging protectionism. There was another aspect of the informal bilateral exchanges with my counterparts in the nations of Western Europe. It provided an opportunity for me to express my appreciation to them for their participation in the many acts of financial cooperation in which we had joined together over recent years, perhaps on the most intensive scale in history, and to bespeak their continued intimate cooperation with my successoro We were all conscious of the need to pursue, diligently and persistently, ways and means of improving international monetary arrangements on the evolutionary basis which characterized recent years and was climaxed in the development of the Special Drawing Rights amendment and the two-tier gold price system. There were expressions of concern about the instability in the foreign exchange markets involving certain currencies and the determination to act affirmatively to avert a crisis or deal with ito - 5 But, as is sometimes the case in the world of finance, events in the markets overtake quiet diplomacy and prompt public and affirmative action by governments and central banks becomes the order of the day. This was the situation which developed in the latter part of the week of the NATO meeting and with which we were confronted on our long planned and fortuitously scheduled visit to Bonn, in West Germany, beginning on the evening of Monday, November 18. At this time I will not expand on what I have already said publicly -- on national television and to a news conference in Washington a week ago today -- concerning the recent meeting in Bonn of the so-called Group of Ten nations and the developments that followed. It is at such a time of rapid movement in what surely is my last talk as Secretary of the Treasury under the auspices of the American Bankers Association that I would like to offer a report that might be labeled "Where We Stand," describing some of the strengths of our economic and financial underpinning and some of the spots that should receive our attention if the structure is to remain solido I believe this to be appropriate, without preempting or anticipating the proposals of the outgoing or incoming Presidents, because we may take it that the new administration leadership is at one with the old leadership and the leadership of this great organization in understanding that uninterrupted prosperity does not just happeno Where, then, does the American economy stand on the eve of this Administration's turning over to other hands such instruments of control or influence as are at the federal government's disposal? The answer begins, I should think, with the most impressive statistic of all. We stand at the opening of our country 's ~th consecutive month of prosperity, a span of nearly eight years of continuous good times o - 6 - We can get some idea of the accomplishment this represents for the economy by remembering that the average duration of previous good times was 30 months. This means that the period of prosperity in which we find ourselves -and no economist that I know has predicted that its end is imminent -- already has lasted more than three times longer than the economic bookies of eight years ago would have been likely to bet on. Wherever one looks among economic indices he sees the statistical detail that adds up to the conclusion that continuing growth and prosperity are impressive. Here, very briefly, are some of the signals that tell us this is so: o On an estimated third quarter showing the gross national product was running at an annual rate of $871 billion with the third quarter annual rate of growth in constant prices a shade above five percent • • A gross national product rate of $871 billion is some $370 billion higher than it was in 1960, a gain that is larger than the total 1967 GNP of the European Common Market and roughly equal to that of the Soviet Union in the same year. It is a familiar comparison, I know, but I like it because it so graphically illuminates the gargantuan scale of this country's economic performance. • Personal income is up to an annual rate of $694 billion, rising some $16 billion in the third quarter o After the impact of increased taxes, the disposable portion of that resource is still up at a respectable $6 4 billion compared to a $12 billion average rise in the second quarter. This translates to a $593 billion rate in what people have to spend or save, up some $46 billion in the past year. 0 - 7 - • The production index has risen, on the basis of recent revision, in the last two months and by October was nearly five percent above its level a year earlier. The unemployment rate in September and October was 3.6 percent, while the economy continues to effectively absorb trained young persons. Moreover, investment in plant and equipment is on the rise after a brief second quarter dip and is adding to our productive capacityo • Finally, corporate profits have been running beyond a record breaking $90 billion before taxes and $50 billion after taxes. Now there is one short word for the economy I have been describing in the indices I have cited, and that is dynamic. The prime mover in this dynamism, it goes without saying, is the bustling productivity of the American industrial and commercial apparatus and the energy and talent of the men and women who make it goo But at the same time I would not leave any doubt -and I know that bankers, above all, do not need to be reminded of this -- that government policies have more than a little to do with making the economic machine tick along at proper speeds o Thus, I think I can safely assert that eight years of sustained growth is proof enough that the frequent periods of economic stagnation such as marked earlier periods in our history can be avoided if the right policies are followed in Washington. The test of these policies over the last eight years was a stern one. Essentially what was accomplished in the first five years of the decade was an excercise in those adjustments that tend to liberate rather than restrain an economy, adjustments consisting, to a large extent, of selective but nonetheless important reductions in taxes. But as you all know there came a time when the strains and pressures of growth called into serious question our capacity to maintain a sound prosperity, together with world respect for the dollar and its place as the key trading and reserve currency. Not only was the economy bounding along at a rate faster than was safe, but the cost of maintaining military operations in Vietnam while meeting commitments elsewhere was going up, with consequent effects on government spending and inflation. - 8 Concurrently, the U.S. balance of payments deficit was getting worse and the devaluation of another reserve currency, the British pound sterling, severely shook the gold market and the exchange arrangements which are at the heart of the international monetary system. It was time, in short, to bite the bullet of economic restraint, which meant raising taxes, and to move in force and on a broad front against the payments deficit. The response to these challenges in an election year is now history and very significant historyo The remedial measures proposed by president Johnson, in his Tax Message in August 1967, and in his New Year's Day Balance of Payments Message, have been largely adopted and are being executed, to the extent authorized by law. They are proving successful. Intolerable deficits in our internal budget and international payments are being eliminated. We are approaching balance in our federal budget and equilibrium in our international payments in the fiscal year 1969 that began last July 1. The outlook today is a far cry from a year ago when the nation was confronted with a budget deficit for fiscal 1968 of $25 billion and a balance of payments deficit for calendar 1967 of about $3.5 billion. This change was strikingly reflected in attitudes toward the dollar at the annual meeting here of the International Monetary Fund in late September and the emergency meeting of the Group of Ten in Bonn, Germany, ten days ago. At no time was the strength of the dollar, the cornerstone of the international monetary system brought into question. This feeling was responsive to a substantial correction of our fiscal position, an accompanying policy of monetary restraint, the substantial improvement in our balance of payments, and a general belief that our excessive economic expansion is coming gradually under control without being snuffed out. - 9 - The Revenue and Expenditure Control Act, enacted belatedly last June, is being faithfully executed. It has locked federal finances into an appropriate posture through next June 30, 1969. Coupled with the appropriate monetary policy n~ being pursued by the Federal Reserve Board, the shift from fiscal stimulus to moderate restraint is not only appropriate but necessary. Maintaining the proper mix of fiscal and monetary policies after next June 30 is the fundamental element in the task of meeting the most serious problem confronting the economy -- carrying through the process of disinflation now underway and restoring price stability without excessive unemployment or slow and inadequate growth too long endured. An encouraging turn in the direction of price stability in the third quarter was followed by discouraging figures in October. They all add up to a turn and improvement, limited in time and quantity, leaving a price and unit labor cost performance far from satisfactory. But if the nation persists in a policy of prudent restraint in governmental fiscal and monetary policies coupled with the same voluntary attitude on the part of private persons and organizations making wage and price decisions, the desired result is surely obtainableo On the balance of payments front, it was a pleasure to announce, the week before last, that for the first time in three~years there was a quarterly surplus on both the liquidity and official settlements bases of measure 0 - 10 This achievement reflects the distinct trend toward payments equilibrium that began when the President announced his Action Program last New Year's Day. The deficit of $1.7 billion on the liquidity measure that was registered in the last quarter of 1967 was reduced to $680 million in the first quarter of 1968, to $160 million in the second quarter, with a $35 million surplus registered in the third quarter. This progress, though welcome, is also spotty and Some of it may be transitory. It is spotty because two big elements in our payments account -- trade and tourism are far from satisfactory -- and a third, a reduction in net deficit in government military expenditures in Southeast Asia, is difficult to effect under present circumstances. There is reasonable prospect of continuing improvement next year. This assumes, as I hope will be the case, that there is no dismantling of President Johnson's Action Program and that the initiatives launched in that Program to improve our trade surplus and reduce the net deficits in military expenditures abroad and private travel are vigorously pursued o The Secretary of Commerce recently announced the Foreign Direct Investment Program for 1969, with s~me. . adjustment of the previous regulations to help avo~d ~ne~u7ties. In a short time from now, we expect to announce the rema~n~ng features of the Action Program for 1969. The underlying strength of the dollar is supported by factors emerging during the last year other than these fundamental balance of payments measures. Let me cite a few: First of all, it appears that the long term decline in the level of our monetary reserves is bottoming out; a trend marked by substantial increase in our gold holdings since last March. Further, all but $200 million of our gold tranche of $1.3 billion ($1,290 million) in automatic financing credit in the International Monetary Fund is again free. - 11 On top of this, some $10.2 billion is available to the United States in consequence of broadening of the "swap" network arrangements of the Federal Reserve Bank of New Yorko Our calls on the network of last fall and winter, caused by short term flows into central banks, are practically clear. And of course our use of reserves is no longer restrained by the gold cover limitation o In our relations with what may be called our chief monetary allies we have supported and engaged in endeavors that quickly, quietly, informally and effectively put the resources of all behind those who found themselves in temporary difficulties It happened once in the case of the United Kingdom and it has happened twice in the case of France. 0 Surely a highlight in cooperation came last March 17 when we -- meaning the United States and the participating countries in the Gold Pool -- were able to conceive and place in operation the so-called two-tier gold system. Not only has the arrangement since drawn general support in both word and deed but it has worked by abruptly stemming the diminution of monetary gold reserves while insulating the monetary system from the private gold market and those who speculate in it. The last year was also marked, of course, by the actions in Rio de Janeiro and Stockholm setting in train, after years of painstaking preparation, the provision of a new international monetary reserve called Special Drawing Rights The ratification of the amendment to the Articles of Agreement of the International Monetary Fund establishing this facility is proceeding satisfactorily, and when, in 1969, as I confidently predict, this process has been completed and drawing levels determined, the world will have taken the most fundamental progressive step in monetary affairs si nce Bretton Woods. As matters stand, ratification has been accomplished by 23 of the needed 67 countries, which translates into 44~ percent of the weighted vote of 80 percent ultimately required o 0 - 12 This brings me to the very important matter of where we stand in relation to the international monetary system and indeed to that system itself, since you are all aware that I participated in the Group of Ten meeting at Bonn when the latest crisis again put the system to another test. To me, the important thing about the Bonn meeting, and about the actions taken by governments principally involved in the latest monetary emergency, is the further gain made for the principle of cooperative multilateral action in financial affairs affecting major countries and major currencies It was for this reason that I urged that the meeting be convened o The acceptance of that principle in the international monetary field means that any major destabilizing influences should be considered and assessed not by one nation alone, or by two nations, but by all of the nations that have a major stake in the functioning of the system. 0 Maybe the assessment and action agreed will involve compromise or not go as far as some would wish o That is often the nature of dealing between sovereign nations. But the important fact is that the approach to the problem at Bonn was multilateral and every effort was made to concert rational policies, and reach common decisions with financial partners. What happened in Bonn represented another step away from the narrow, nationalistic and short range view of international finance and toward true world cooperation in the interest of eve~y nation. As such it was a logical development in the history of fruitful multilateral teamwork which our nation has helped write in recent years o 'These recent events, highlighting some of the difficulties of the working of the so-called "adjustment process" between strong currencies and weak currencies and countries with balance of payments surpluses and those with deficits, have renewed attention to the desirability of pursuing further evolutionary changes in the international monetary systemo I made the need for this pursuit the subject of my valedictory comment at the recent Annual meeting of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank on October 1. - 13 - These comments seem worth reviewing in the new perspective of the events of November 15-22. In recent days the question has been posed: "Do you favor convening a new international monetary conference to examine the workings of the system?" Moreover, since the Bonn meeting there has been a good deal of press commentary on the need for reform of the international monetary system and the crash calling of- a crash conference to that end. In my concluding comments at the annual meeting of the International Monetary Fund I noted the approval of a new facility for Special Drawing Rights as a major forward step in evolutionary 'process of improving the international monetary system, resulting from the thorough study and painstaking discussions of the problem in international bodies, in legislative committees, in academic circles and in the financial press. I expressed the hope that "Further evolutionary changes in the international monetary system would emerge in the same way. The only appropriate way to seek improvement in the system is through the same procedure and careful study, widespread official and public discussions, and carefully considered action." As a departing elder, I took the liberty of adjuring my colleagues on the need to consider change at all times and with an open mind, saying "Monetary officials must keep abreast of new ideas and proposals and be willing to examine them in full and free discussion." These were not empty words. The Treasu~y Department, in collaboration with representatives of the Federal Reserve System, the Department of State, the Council of Economic Advisers and the White House staff, had for some time been studying some of the concrete proposals being advanced. In so doing it had benefitted from the advice and experience of members of the Advisory Committee on International Monetary Arrangements. - 14 Citing the sources of some specific new proposals, I then joined with approval Managing Director Schweitzer of the Fund in his opening remarks that "The world does not stand still and the effort to improve the monetary system which serves it is an unremitting task" -- that the Fund would "actively explore what contribution it might make to the future <itrengthen:i ~l(,' of the world monetary system"; that I'continuing attention will have to be made to the workings of the adj'1stment process, the long term structure of reserves, and the role of reserve curcenoies within that structure." Noting an intention to leave my responsibilities as Secretary of the Treasury and U.S. Governor of the Fund within a few months, I stated that, "It would not be appropriate for me to launch specific initiatives with which my successor would have to deal without his having participated in the 'aunching" saying further: "For this reason I do not advance dny specific proposal; I take no stand in favor of or against any particular proposal. But, may I suggest that the appropriate institutional mechanisms be mobilized early next year to work on further improvement in the international monetary system in the context of the completion of the ratification of the amendment for Special Drawing Rights." My concluding comment on the subject was: "I repeat my central point: We started with the strong foundation built at Bretton Woods. We built an impressive network of international cooperation on that foundation. We built a major addition to that foundation in the Special Drawing Rights Amendment. We must be prepared in the future, as we have in the past, to approach together and to work out together additional ways to strengthen the international monetary system. To do less is to fail in our responsibilities to maintain and advance our public trust." In maintaining the momentum for improving the international system by assuring adequate liquidity which has pro ~ed the Special Drawing Rights Amendment and the two-tier golu agreement, it may be well to repeat once again what was sai~ at the launching of that effort in July 1965: mon~rary - 15 "I am privileged to tell you this evening that the president has authorized me to announce that the United States now stands prepared to attend and participate in an international monetary conference that would consider what steps we might jointly take to secure substaneial improvements in international monetary arrangements. Needless to say, if such a conference is to lead to a fruitful and creative resoluuion of some of the free world's monetary problems, it must be preceded by careful preparation and international consultation. "To meet and not succeed would be worse than not meeting at all. Before any conference takes place, there should be a reasonable certainty of measurable progress through prior agreement on basic points." It was against this background th~t last week I commented on calls for a new international monetary conference to examine the system as follows: "I believe, with the completion of the work on Special Drawing Rights, there will be a good deal of study and comment by experts both outside government circles and inside government circles on what are the next steps and measures for improvement. I don't believe this should be approached with a great big international monetary conference called, and I would want my successor in the office of Secretary of the Treasury to be in at the take-off rather than at the landing, and I would think that his judgment as to the nature of the negotiations, the pace of the negotiations, and the subject matter of the negotiations is the important thing. And, as I said at the meeting of the International Monetary Fund in September, I believe that we are by no means satisfied with the workings of the existing system and that we must constantly concert our brains and our experience and our efforts to a steady evolutionary development." - 16 Which brings me to the end of what I have to say tonight, with a single exception that is partly personal and partly official. Taking the official aspect first, I want, as Secretary of the Treasury, to again thank the members of the American Bankers Association for the way in which you have stood at our side in the common cause of keeping the American economy healthy and vigorous, maintaining a strong dollar, and discharging our national and international responsibilities to achieve equilibrium in our balance of payments. To take an example, without the ABA, in common with parellel support elsewhere in the business and financial community, the essential passage of the surtax legislation on which so much hinges might well have been impossible. On the personal side I will simply say that my association with the ABA has been completely rewarding in the sense of sheer satisfaction that comes from working effectively and progressively with the fine people for gOJd ends. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT , 2.59 WASHINGTON. D.C. December 3, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE UNITED STATES FOREIGN GOLD TRANSACTIONS FIRST THREE QUARTERS, 1968 The Treasury announced today that the United States made net purchases of monetary gold from foreign countries of approximately $73 million during the third quarter of 1968. As shown in Table 1, attached, the major purchases by the United States were from France ($240 million). The largest sale by the United States was to Algeria ($49.9 million). Following the large loss of $1,362 million in the first quarter, there has been a small net gain of gold of about $50 million in the succeeding six months. Table 2, attached, shows quarterly sales of gold by the United States to other countries during the first three quarters of 1968 to enable them to pay the gold portion of their quota increases in the International Monetary Fund. Deposits of like amounts of gold were made by the IMF with the United States to mitigate effects upon the U.So gold stock of quota increases. negligible. F-1424 Transactions in the third quarter were TABLE 2 UNITED STATES MOOETARY GOLD TRANSACTIOOS WITH FOREIGN COUNTRIES MITIGATED THROUGH SPECIAL DEPOSITS BY THE IMF (Millions of U.S.$) January 1 - September 30, 1968 Area and Country Lat1" Ame1:1gl Chile Daninican Republic Total First Quarter Second Quarter Third Quarter -603 -0.4 Total -6.3 -0.4 --6.6 -6.6 AiiI Burma Jordan Malaysia Total Africa Algeria Cameroon Central African Rep. Chad Congo (Brazzaville) Dahomey Gabon Ivory Coast Mauritania Worocco Niger Rwanda Upper Volta -2 0 -0.4 -2.0 -0.6 -103 -3.8 0 -0.2 -1.3 -1.4 - - -204 -0 08 -0.2 -0 01 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.9 -0.1 -0.6 -0.1 -0.8 -0 0 2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -002 -0.1 -0.9 -0.1 -0.6 -0.1 Total -0 02 -303 -0.1 -3.6 Total -8.2 -507 -0.1 -14.0 +8.2 -11.3 ,,( +0 01 -3.0 D4F Deposit * Reflects IMF deposit of $5.7 million and withdrawal of $17 0 million 0 2 ~? I.; L. TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington, D. C. MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESS December 3, 1968 Secretary Henry H. Fowler, responding to press queries concerning his future plans, today stated that he intends to Join the investment banking firm of Goldman, Sachs & Co., New York City, on January 1, as a general partner. The Secretary's resignation was accepted by the President on November 8, to take effect on December 20. Copies of the Secretary's biographical resume accompany this memorandum. Copies of his letter of resignation and the President's reply, which were distributed to the press on November 8, are available at the Treasury Public Affairs Office, Room 3423, Main Treasury Building, Phone WOrth 4-2041. ~.~ • Kane he Secretary c Affairs) HENRY H. FOWLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AND PlACE OF BIRTH: Roanoke, Virg in ia, September 5, 1908. Jefferson High School, Roanoke, Virginia. Roanoke College, 1925-29, A.B. Yale University Law School, 1929-33, LL.B. (1932) J.S.D. (1933) 1933-41 Attorney in private law practice in Wash.,D.C., EER: with Covington & Burling and with various government agencies. 1941-44 Assistant General Counsel, Office of Production Management and War Production Board. 1944 Economic Advisor, U.S. Mission for Economic Affairs, London. 1945 Special Assistant to Administrator, Foreign Economic Administration. 1946-51 Private law practice as senior member of Fowler, Leva, Hawes and Symington, Washington, D.C. 1951 Deputy Administrator, National Production Adminis tra t ion. 1952 Administrator, National Production Authority. 1952-53 Administrator, Defense Production Administration. 1952-53 Director, Office of Defense Mobilization, and Member of National Security Council. 1953-Feb.Resumed private law practice as senior member of 1961 Fowler, Leva,Hawes and Symington, Wash. ,D. C. Fe b . 3, 1961Apr.10,1964 Under Secretary of the Treasury. Apr. 1964 Returned to private law practice as senior member of Fowler, Leva, Hawes and Symington,Wash.,D.C. Mar.18,1965 Nominated by President Johnson to be Secretary of the Treasury. Mar.25,1965 Confirmed unanimously by the Senate. Apr. 1,1965 Took the oath at the White House as Secretary of the Treasury. HER ASSOCIATIONS: Member of Commission on Money and Credit, 1958 to 1961; National Committee on Government Finance of the Brookings Institution, 1960-61. Trustee of Roanoke College, the Funds of the Protestant Episcopal Church in the Diocese of Virginia. NORARY DEGREES: Roanoke College, Salem, Virginia, Wesleyan University, Middletown, Connecticut, and the College of William & Mary, Williamsburg, Virginia. ,RRIED: Trudye Pamela Hathcote,'October 19, 1938, of Knoxville, Tennessee. Children: Mrs. Roy Campbell Smith IV,Upper Montclair, New Jersey; Mrs. James Francis Gallagher, New York City. Three grandchildren. ;SIDENCE: 209 South Fairfax Street, Alexandria, Virginia. :ATION: APRIL, 19b7 BIOGRAPHICAL SKETCH OF SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY HENRY H. FOWLER Henry H. Fowler took the oath of office as Secretary of the easury at a ceremony held at the White House on April 1, 1965. Mr. Fowler, who has spent half of his career in Government service, 'eviously served as Under Secretary of the Treasury from February 3 ~ 161, until April 10, 1964, when he returned to private law practice ; senior member of the Washington firm of Fowler, Leva, Hawes and ,mington. As Under Secretary, Mr. Fowler served as a general deputy J Secretary Dillon, playing a crucial role in the,shaping and in the ~etment of the Revenue Acts of 1962 and 1964, the liberalization of epreciation procedures. and the cool:'dination of related programs ~signed to promote the economic expansion of 1961 to date. On October 3, 1963, Mr. Fowler was appointed head of a residential Task Force to seek ways of meeting our balance of payments roblem by encouraging greater foreign investment in Ameri.:an eeurities as well as greater foreign financing for American orporations operating abroad. On April 27, 1964, the Fowler Task oree reported its recommendations to President Johnson. The President as submitted to Congress legislative proposals issuing from that eport, and a large measure of the current voluntary program to mee t he balance of payments prob lem is based on its recommenda tions . A graduate of Yale Law School and a lawyer by profession, Ir. Fowler ·first entered Government in 1934, when he joined the legal itaff of the Tennessee Valley Authority, where he assisted in the lreparation and successful conduct of the four year litigation !stablishing the constitutionality of that program. By 1939, he had :isen to Assistant General Counsel of the TVA and subsequently served IS Chief Counsel of a Subcommittee of the Senate Committee on EducaU.on Ind Labor. Prior to and during World War II mobilization, from 1941 to 1944, he was an Assistant General Counsel of the Office of Production 1anagement and a fterward of the War Produc t ion Board. therea fter nrforming missions in Great Britain and Germany in 1944 and 1945. ~fter spending the next five years in private law practice, he returned to Government service from 1951 to 1953 -- to work in the .nobilization build-up following the outbreak of hostilities in Korea. He held successive posts as Administratpr of the National Production Authority, Administrator of the Defense Production Administration, Director of the Office of Defense Mobilization and member of the National Securi ty Counc il. Mr. Fowler then resumed private practice until his appointment as Under Secretary of the Treasury in 1961. (OVER) - 2 Mr. Fowler served as a member of the Co~~ission on Money and Credit from 1958 to 1961, and of the National Committee on Govern~n Finance of the Brookings Institution from 1960 to 1961. HE is a Trustee of Roanoke College and of the Funds of the Protestant Episcopal Church in the Diocese of Virginia. Mr. Fowler has received distinguished alumni awards from Tau Kappa Alpha and from Roanoke College, as well as the highest Treasury Department honor -- the Alexander Hamilton Award. Mr. Fowler was born in Roanoke, Virginia, September 5, 1908, the son of Mac': Johnson and Bertha Browning Fowler. He graduated from Jefferson Hig~ School, Roanoke, Virginia in 1925 and from Roanoke College in 1929. He received his bachelor of Laws degree from Yale University Law School in 1932, and his doctorate of lurid1 Science in 1933. He holds honorary degrees from Roanoke College Salem, Virginia, Wesleyan University, Middletown, Connecticut, and the College of William & Mary, Williamsburg, Virginia. Mr. Fowler is married to the former Trudye Pamela Hathcote of Knoxville, Tennessee. They have two daughters, Mrs. Roy Campbell Smith IV of Upper Montclair, New Jersey; and Mrs. James Francis Gallagher, New York City, and three grandchildren. Their home is in Alexandria, Virginia. APRIL,1967 TREASURY DEPARTMENT ; = '!"? WASHINGTON. D.C. December 4,1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $2,700,000,000, or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing December 12,1968, in the amount of $ 2,701,428,000, as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) to be issued December 12, 1968, in the amount of $1,600,000,000, or thereabouts, representing an additional amount of bills dated September 12, 1968, and to mature March 13, 1969, originally issued in the amount of $1,100,203,000, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills, for $1,100,000,000, dated December 12, 1968, and to mature or thereabouts, to be June 12, 1969. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, December 9, 1968. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury Department, Washington. Each tender must be for an even mUltiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three de~imals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and fo~arded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application the refor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of Customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to S~bmit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from F-1425 - 2 - responsible and recognized dectler~ from others must be accompanied :")y amount of Treasury bills applied f 0 accompanied by an express gU8Ld.!lty or trust company. in investment securities. Tenders payment of 2 r:'':> '-rent of the face r, unless thp tenders are of p8 ylTlent by an incorporated bank Immediatelv after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches} Eollowing which public announce. ment will be made by the Treasw:-y Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rej ec tioi' t:l':' reaf. The Secre tary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his act~on in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in fu11 at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on December 12, 1968, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing December 12, 1968. Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on thp principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank 0bO~ranch. TREASURY DEPARTMENT , "'6~ v t:.. WASHINGTON. D.C. December 4, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY SECRETARY FOWLER HONORS EIGHT IN RECOGNITION OF LEADERSHIP, SERVICE Secretary of the Treasury Henry H. Fowler today presented the Department's highest awards to eight men in recognition of their services to Treasury and the nation. Mr. Fowler presented the Alexander Hamilton Award for outstanding leadership in the work of the Department to Frederick L. Deming, Under Secretary of the Treasury for Monetary Affairs, and George H. Willis, Deputy to the Assistant Secretary for International Monetary Affai ~s. The Exceptional Service Award for distinguished performance of duty was conferred upon John R. Petty, Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs; William B. Dale, U.S. Executive Director of the International Monetary Fund and Special Assistant to' the Secretary of the Treasury; and Livingston T. Merchant, U.S. Executive Director of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development and its affiliates and Special Assistant to the Secretary. Mr. Fowler presented the Distinguished Service Award, the highest recognition Treasury can give to non-Treasury employees, to Edward R. Fried, Special Assistant to the President on foreign economic and financial policy; William McChesney Martin, Jr., Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; and Robert M. McKinney, who has been a leader in government efforts to increase foreign investments and foreign travel expenditures in the United States. Mr. Deming, former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, was cited for "a brilliant and outstandingly successful record in meeting extraordinary challenges in the areas of international and domestic finance during the past several years and in serving as a principal architect of major reforms in the international monetary system." F-1426 - 2 - "S-( f'.. Mr. Willis, a senior Treasury career officer, was commended for his work in the successful negotiation of the Special Drawing Rights facility in the International Monetary Fund. Mr. Petty, a former vice president of the Chase Manhattan Bank, was cited for his major contribution to the nation's 1968 balance of payments program and his role in international financial and trade negotiations. Mr. Dale, former Deputy Assistant Secretary for International Affairs in the Department of Commerce,was honored for his "exceptional contl-ibutions to the international monetary programs and policies of the United States." Mr. Merchant, former Ambassador to Canada and Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs, was cited for outstanding service in advancing Treasury and United States policies in the field of international development finance. Mr. Fried, former Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for International Resources, was honored for his "key role" in shaping the Special Drawing Rights facility and for other service which '~as done much to preserve the economic leadership of the United States." Mr. Martin was recognized for "his very great contributions to the preservation and strengthening of the international monetary system and his effective work in maintaining the strength of the dollar, both at home and abroad." Mr. McKinney, a Santa Fe, New Mexico, newspaper publisher and former Ambassador to Switzerland, was honored for his servicp as Executive Officer of the Presidential Task Force on International Investments, Chairman of the Industry/Government Special Task Force on Travel, and Chairman of the Presidential Commission on Travel. The award cited his substantial contributions to the government's success in increasing foreign investment in U.S. securities and foreign travel in the United States. Copies of the citations accompanying the awards are attached. 000 Attachments CITATION Ae.e.x.andvc. HamU.ton hsJaJtd FJte.dVLi.c.k. L. Veming M UndVt Se.CJte;to..JtIj o~ :the. TJte..ct&Wtlj nOll HonetM.y A6&aiA6, FJte.dWcJ~ L. Vem.i.ng hM uwbLU,he..d a b~an-t and ot.Lt6.:tancUngly .6ue.e.eA.6 nul Jte.coJtd ht mee;U.ng ex.:tJw..oJt(UnaJttj e.hctU.e..ngu in the MeM on -in-teJtna.U.onai. and domuilc. o.{.itane.e d.u.I'.J..ng the pM t .6 e veJta..f.. yeCJ..!1..6 an d in .6 Vl.v-ing a..6 a pltinupa..f.. aJLc.Wec.t 0 0 maj Oil. Ite.. -6 OJt1M ht :th e in-tv.JtC'..tiona..f.. moneA.aAy .6ljl.dem. At home, the e.ool jadgmen-t, bJtoad v-i.6-ion, and gJteA.t J:#'ta.c.tic.ai. .6 fU..U. he ha..6 b'to ug h.t to tit e :ta.6 fu 0 -6 manag.Lng tit e pub.uc. debt a.n.d to th e deve1.opmc.at 06 bltoadVt ee.onomi.e. and oinanc.ia..f.. poUUe...6 have been htva-e..u.a.ble to the .6 oWld e.vo.e..u.t.ion 06 the Nmon'.6 ee.onomy. In:tbmationa1.ly, he hM made a de.wive. e.o n.ttU.b uXio n. to th e .6 tJteng :tite.tUng 0 6 tit e e.W.tA...hg 6inan Ua1. .61j.6:tern, :th e .unpILo verne. nt 06 the ba1.ane.e.-06-payme.nt.6 adjU.6.tme.nt pMe.U.6, the c.tr..e(1,.Uon 00 the :b.iJO UVl. gold .6lj.6 .tern, <1Yi. d - - 1110.6 t .un po tr..ta.n.t.e.y - - to :the. ev otuU.o n . 0 -6 new cvur..a.n.g em e.n..t6 nOll. gJtowth in inte.tula.Uolla1 Jtu Vl.vU XJlat, -<-VI. the WOltcU 06 Pltuident JohMon, "ma..tl.k the glteate..6.t 60 fU.VAAd .6 te p '<.n WOl!1.d -6.uw.nc..<.a.t e.o 0pvz.a.Uo n ..i.n :th e twenty yeCJ..!1..6 .6 ine.e .the. c.tr..e..a:Uo n o 6 tit e I at eJtna.tio 11M Mo ne.:taJr.y Fand. " In a..U. :thu e .tCt6 fu, he ha..6 .6 hOWn ex.:tJw..oJtd-<-naJty !J VL6 e v Vl.ane.e, un ncu:..u.ng goo d hwnoJt, /temaJtk.able. neg o.t,i.a.Ung .61U£.e. altd :that JtaJte c.ombination 06 Cll.eative imag-inaUon, a .6 e.me 06 balane.e. and pe.tt.6pe.c.tive., and an ab.(L{;t tj ;to .tJuuu w..te. v-i.6 io it into .6 oud ac.hle. v e.me.n.t. 1n Jtee.o 9tUUo 11 0 0 :til u e. a.c. e.ompw hme.nt.6 06 an ot.Lt6.ta.ncii..ng pubue. .6 eltvant, :th e lUg hut .ttee.og tUUon w.i.;t.hht :the. POWVl. 0 6 .the S e.c.tr..e.:taJr.y 0 -6 :th e. T1te.a..6 Wty - - :th e Ae.exandVl. Ha.mi.Uo n lw.Jattd - - -<..0 hVl.e.b lj c.o n 6Vt/ted. r\ ) en Co ~ITATI0N Ae.exande1L HamLUon AwaJuJ. GeoJtg e H. WLU.iA GeoJz.ge Ii. (;J-U.U6 htU had a .tong an,-{ dU,wtgL!whed cCJtee1L 06 .6CAv-i.c.e .in the lAea.6u!ty. It ha.6 been CJtowned dwu.Yl.g ;t!uJ., PM:t yeaJt C!J~t the .6UCCU.6nu1.. negotiation 06 .the Spec.-<.a£ V!taLv-<-ng TUg!ltJ., 6ac..i.Li..tlj -<-H :the I n..teJtl1a.Uonct{. f.lonetMy Fund. In -the £a..boJUoU6 e6&0Jt.t ofl tIle PJtececUn9 aOUlt ljea.'L6, t~ undvv5.:ta.YLcU.ng 06 the mone:taJty .6lj.6tem, h.w MUll. -<-11 oJUg-<-fl.ai. ManUiilantJup .iJt unc!uv..;t-ed Me.a.6 and It-U !ugh degJtee 06 peJL.6eVe1LWtce. have. been ,{,;lva1.u.a.b.e.e.. an 111 -the.6e v.ita.e. negotia.tion..6 bect.i.ng the economy 0 & .the FlLee WoJt£.d, he fleA wo"J~e.d cUJtecily wUh -tile Se.CJte:taJz.y aJtd the UndeJt Se.ClLe:ta.Jty nOli. t.:Ol1etMY AS &a.<..M wtd eaJU1ed .theht de.ep !teAped. He. /UU5 a£..60 e.Mned the. adrr0ta;Uolt 06 :the -Zeadvv5 06 the pJUHUpa£. fi,i.nwlce. nu.n.wVUeA a;:d cenVr.ai.. bal1!z.,5. H.w pd-i.e.nce, .<..n..te.gJt.<..ty w'Ld .6-<-l1gu£a..Jt competence have been a mode.£. 06 the but -U1 pubUc "su.v.{.ce. T{:e e.x.a.mp.e.e he hM p.~ot'i.ded will be6-<-L5 ft.<...6 !to.te. tU the ,5el1.io!t caJteeJt 06M..cc.Jt in :the. in..tVUla.:Uona£. a66a.iJr.6 06 the TILeMUlty and.the M.exande1L HamiUon ALIJMd ~ [)JtarI..te.d .in li.ecogruuon 06 ~ u.nique. co;"..tUbutiOJtll a..6 Vepu.ty :to the M.6.ill:tan:t SeCJte:taJr..y 60IL In:teJtna.tiona£. Mone.tM.y A6 nc:UM. "-l 0') CD CITATION ExcepUona1. SeJLv.i.ce 1vIJaJul. John R. Pd;ty In ,the pa&t two yeaJt4, John R. Pd;ty ~ b!wugtz;t cLi.6wtcti..on to the. TIl.eMWty wUh ,uv..igh. :t6, er:.eJL[JY and lea.deMfUp .6ef.dom ;)ound among young men new to govvmmeltt .6eJtvice. He M.6umed the dt.Lti..u 06 M.6i.6t.a.n:t SeClletalltj nOlL InteJLna..Uonai. A0"60.JJt..6 .in the mO.6t Ult.6e.tU.ed pruod the .i.n..tvma..Uona1. monuaIlY .6lj.6tem hM 6aced il1 the P0.6t-Wall eJta.. WUh uncanny wi.6dom and cLi.6patch, he contJUbuted ..i.r:. a. majolL way to the 1968 ba1.ance 06 paymelti..6 pltoglLam nOlLged .in an atlllo.6pheJ1..e 06 CIli.6i.6. (;J{ute caNtying .:the bWtden 06 11-U TlLea.6Wtf} dutiu, he gave peJ'...6onai. leadeMhip to the Foltu[J11 ViJtec.t Invutment PlLoglLaJn .in ill eaJtly datj.6, helping to pioneeJt lLegu. ia..tioM a.nd poUc.iu 6ecti..llg the eJtWte intetr.na.tioaM. a..c:t.<..v.<.:tiu 06 u. bU.6.inu.6 6..u-11n.6. Since thea he hM been d.<.tr.ec..:te.y lr..e.6polv..ible nolr.. impo/Lta.nt 6ina.nua..t negoUa..UoM with I~ey Eu/wpe.o..n, Japanu e rotd Canadian 66i~ • FittaUy he 11M wtdVt..:talz.ea the c.Jtuc...<.a..e.. ta.6b.. 06 caNtyin[J oorJlJaIld ,u1 th.e Oltga.l1iza..Uon 06 the GeneAa..t Aglr..eVnent on Ta.tr..<.66.6 and Ttr.ade a contentioU.6 and involved tr.eview 00 botr.deJL taxu. ThlLoughout IUA .6 etr.vice, Wt. Petty eaJl.ned the a..dnww.u.on and 6ect1..on 06 ~en.i..otr. 066i~ and 06 a1.l 06 hiA .6ta66 •• ao s. ° ao I\) -'J ~'::'.l CITATION Exc.ep-tionai. SeJLv.i.c.e /JuJaJtd w.uu.am B. Vale At, Uni.-t",d S.ta;te6 Exec.u:Uve V-iAecto,'t 06 the In.tCJnw.:t<,ol1al f.{one:f:Mlj Fwtd and Special.. A6~i...6:tan:t :to :tlze SeC'Ae:ta./'''1J u fJ :the TlLeM Wl.lj, (~.1.i.tU.a.m B. Vale 11M made exc.eptiona.i con:tJLi.bu.Uon6 :to :the iMeJtna.U.OI1a.i mone:taJty plLogMJn& and paUUu 06 :the Uni:ted S:ta.tu. He 1ut6 ably lLeplLueY'.:ted :the SeClC.et.My 06 :the TJtecu,Wl.1j and :the UrzLted S:ta.:tu '<"1 the In.teJu1a.tionai. A!ondaJtlj Fund oVeJt a pvUod .01 which :the ,in:teJu1a..ti.ona£. mone:taJty .6 y~tem lLequ-i.lC.ed .6:tJc.eng:thened .i..nteJl.ita.tiona.i coopeJ'~on, new coacepa and .i.mag.i.na..ti.ve applLoa.c.hu :to med .6hoJtt-1U.m emeJc.gency neecL~ aHd :the longeJt-:tvun evo!u:Uon 06 the .6Y.6tem. He hM appUed UYLU6ua.! :techn.i.cal ab.i.idy, :togetheJc. wWt h.een judgment. and nego:Ua:Ung competence :to a w.i.de and valUed Mea 06 .i..n-teJtna..ti.onai.. moneXcvr.y plLobl~. H.i..6 out6tancLi.ng pe.Jc.o oJtmance and PILO t eM.i.ov;,ai.. competence have cOrWUbuted cLi.Jc.ec.:t.ty to tite lLuolu-tion 06 complex .i.nteJu1ationa1. mone..taJty pJtoblem6 and :to :the .6tJteJtgtlLen.£ng 06 :the .i.J'Lte.Jc.nCLUona.i mone:taJr.y .6!/!>:tem. a6 fltL. Va1.e' ~ out6:taJtcLi.Jtg .6 eJc.v.i.ce :to :the Un.i.:ted S:ta:te6 WM mo,~t lLecent.e.y ev.went 1~:tolC.-i.c Amendment :to the Atc.;Uclu of, AglLeemen.t 0& :t'lLe In:teJtna..ti.ol1al Mone.taJty Fund plLov.i.d-i.ng 601L Special VlLaw.i.ng 1Ughu. in the negotia.Uon 06 the MIL. Vale' ~ ~ eJc.v.i.c.u have not only Jte6tec.:ted ClC.ecLU on :the TJteMWl.Y Veparvtroent and :the Uni:ted s.ta.tu GoveJtnmen:t, but :they have al.6 0 exempU6.i.ed :tIl<2- lughe.6t ~.tanda!td 06 PJt06u~.i.ona.e. abUUy 06 :the Un.Ued sta:tu pUbUc. ~eJLv'<'ce. f\) ~ CITATION Exceptional SelLv.i..ce AJAJaJul Uv.i.ng~.to n T. MeJLC.han;t AI, United S;(:a,tu Exec.u.U.ve Vbr.edolr. 06 the Inte/l.na.t.i..ona£. Bank. nolr. Recon.6Vw.c.tion and Vevelopment and d..6 a6 fi-Ua;tu, Uv.ing~:ton T. MeJl.C.han:t hM made an exc.eptional. c.ontJUbuti..OIt :to :the advanc.e.men.t 06 :the Tlr.eMWLtj VepaJc_tme.nt and United S:ta.:te.-~ poUuu ..ut :the 6-i..ehi. 06 .int.vuta.Uonai. development M.naHc.e. VW-vL119 a peJUod when muc.h new gltOwul Wlt6 blUJk.en -in .the n.ield 06 muU.il.tLteJr..ai. developme.nt 6-inanc.e 1tM, ouUtancLi..ng expeJL.i.enc.e, judgmmt and cLi..ploma.c.y advanc.ed :the ..uUelLu:U bo:tft 06 .the U.Uted s:ta.:tu and 06 .the WolLid Bank. and .i..U 6.i...U.a.tu. an A6 Speci..a1. M~.v.,:to.JU .to :the Sec.tr.e:taJr.y o{ .the Tlr.eMWLY he gave w.v.,e and vahLed .to the Sec.tr.e:taJr.y br-:the 60ltmu1..cU:.i..ol1 0& Uni.ted s:ta.:tu plWgJr..Cl.JW 601r. paJc.U.upaLi..on .ilt ~uc.h v..(.w. muV:i.1.a:teJt.a.l endeavoltJ lt6 :the lr.ep.e.en.i6/tmen:t and ert£.a.Jc.gement 06 :the c.o~ei. lLUoutr.c.U 06 :the In:telLna.ti..onai. Veve1.opment M~ocJ..a.;ti.on. He mo~:t ab.e.y Ir.eplr.u en:ted .the Sec.lte:taJuj and the Unli:ed s:ta.:tu -Ut :the .in:teJuta.:Uonai. negoti.a.:Uo~ 601r. :that lr.ep.e.eYiAAhment. He made a cU6:ti..ngtU1,hed c.on:tJLi..btLti..on :to c.onglr.u~.i..otla.t and pubUc. undeJl..&:t.:ancUng 06 U. S. paJLti..c.ipa..t<.on .in mu.£..t.il..a.tVLaf. developmen:t 6.inanc.~ plLogJUUM. . In h-i.A c.a.pa.cU:y lt6 U. S. Exec.uti.ve Vbr.ectolL 06 .the (tJolLtd Bank. and ili a66-<.Li.a..tu, MIL. MeAc.han.t hlt6 added ~.i..gni..6.ic.ant£.y to an a.-fJteruiy ou.t6.taYLd.i..ng Ir.ec.oltd 06 a.c.c.ompwhmeY1.t6 .in .the pub£..i.c. ~eJLv.i..c.e on beha.t6 06 :the na.:ti..ona1. .i..nteILut. H.v., ~eJLv.i..cu have not onl.y lLe6l.ec.:t.ed c.ltecLi;t on .the TlLe0..6uJLy VepaM:ment and .the United Statu GoveILnmen:t., but :they have ~o exempU6.ud .the highut ~:to.ndaJtd. 06 publ..i..c ~elLv.i..c.e. f\) -.J I\J CITATION V.L6Ungcd6hed SVtv..tce AJ,4JcvuJ. EdwcvuJ. R. FJU.ed FoUow..tng twenty yeaJt.6 06 oub.d,ancWtg .6eAV..tce. ..i.n :the Ve.paJLtlnen:t 06 S.ta..te, Ecirt'CVld 1~. FtUed WM caLLe.d UPOy; to .t Vtve. cv.. S;JCC to.i. AM-<Atant .to .tt. . e PlLc/.>..tdclLt. :to adv..i..6e. lum ill :the. v,LW de.c.< 6~01l..6 06 nOILU0H CC_l;" "'JIltC and o"utanual poU,-U. He. .6Vl.ve.d ..til a p~od 06 unplLecedel1..ted .6.tJLCUE~ on the economy 06 .the. Uru.:ted S.tatu, on :the. fiounda.:t..i.on.6 a S .the -<-n.te.lLna.:t..i.onal mOI'LetaJLy .6 U.6.tem and on .the VelLY PJL{"Huptu 06 btade. Ube.ILa.e..i..6m advance.d -<-n .the. P0.6.t-WM e.ILa. lIt caJrfLying out It..w dutiu .thu e. pM.t two year.;.;, Mf(". FlL-i.c_d hM wonfz.ed ctO.6uy and e66e.ctive.-ty wLth TlLe.MUlLY 066iuaJ:l,. He. qu..-i.ch£y glLMpe.d .tIle. co/);pte.x dema.nd6 06 .the. Uru.:te.d S.ta:tu' ba1..ance 06 pa.ymeftU. H..w -i.r..6..i.ph:t6 and c.oU/U(9e. have. be.en vaal. ..i.n[JlLecLi.eitU ..in .6iLaping a c.olilp.tex n-iJu'J1Ua..t plLog'WJn .tfu:t:t hM been ecoltomi_cal.1.u c.olu:dJwilive, pou;uca..t.eU v..i.abte at home and -iJuvu1({"uonmy ac.c.eptabte.. He {UV:> .6e1Lved in a (ley /Late ..i.n .6hap..i.11g .the Sp~ua.t. VItrut1..i.ng lUg/::t6 lla.c.M).;ty in th~_ IIuvuta.:t..i.onal. Mone..tMy Fund and in momef1.:t.6 on CIL-W..i..6 he hM be.e.n equ.o.£ly vCLtua.b.te ifl negotia.t-i.oH.6 f.ead..i.ng .to the. :two-tiVt [Jo.ed :.y.t ter.:. A.t ea.c.h vV..L'....t CJW.6.clLoad, he. Iw..6 1Le. plLU, elu e.d :tJ1 e P1te.6..i.d e. nt bfL.LU{,a.nily, fJ a..6 qu..-i.c.Uy ItU at v e.d po UUe.6 a; ld .6:tJta.:te.giu wUIUn th.e. Exe.cutive Bltanch and ha.6 done. much. .to pItUe.ltve. .th.e. econorr...ic l.e.adeJt.6lUp a 6 .the UnUed S.ta.tu. r") -J (,,0 CITATION V,uUngLLi..6hed SeJLv-i.e.e Awevtd WULiam j'vle.Chuney MaM:in~ llL. . The ChcUA.man ofi the BOMd on GovV'..nOM 0& .t:le FedVUli.. RUeJ1.ve SY.6.tem, William Me.Chel.>ney Marvt{.JI, llL., /1CU:t lLendelted 9li.eat .6e1tv-i.c.e to .the TlLea.6uJty VepaMine.n:t and .the Nat,.i.on nOlL many yeCT..lr..¢. 0 6 h-i..6 yeltlj g/'tea:t e.o n:tM.buti.o I'I-~ .to and .6bc.e.ngtherU.ng 0 fi .the -<.n.tVU1CLUonai. mone.ta.lty .6Y.6.tem .tIVtOu.gh IU.4 pCV!.:t<.upat,.i.on -in ;the negoti.a.;t{.on6 oil a pian tOIL a /1 ellJ -i.n.teJLnat,.i.onai. ILU eltve a.6.6 e.t - - .tIt e SpecA..a1. VItaJ,u{.l1g lUg h.t.6 -Ut .the 1n.tvuuU:-i.onai. Mone;taJz.y Fund -- and h-i..6 e6 ilec..Uve woltk -in mcU~g .the .6bc.eng.th 06 .the doUaJt, both at home and abltOa.d. TI~ the awa.ltd -i..6 -in lLee.o 9 nLt-io n pILei.> eltva.Uon ." ) ----,J .~ CITATION V-iA:Ungu.i4hed Se/l.v.[c.e. kNaJui. RobeJLt M. Mc.JGinne.y TlLe.CUWty'.6 VL6tingr..U.1Jhe.d Se.Jr.v.[c.e. AwaJzd·.i..6 helLe.by glLaJ1..te.d t:o Robe.Jr.t: M. Mc.K..tnne.y ..tIt lLe.c.ogn.LUon 06 t:h.e. ..tnge.nc..U,ty, dilige.nc.e. and pe.Jr.c.e.paon he. appUe.d M Exe.c.u.tive. 066..tc.e.Jr. 06 t:he. PlLe.-6..i.de.nU.a..e. TtUk FoJtc.e. Olt Int:e.Jr.Ilmon.a.& Invut.me.ItU, ChaiJunan. 06 t:he. Indw.dfl.y/GovVLl'Une.nt: Spe.c...i.a1. Tcuk FolLC.e. on TMVei. and ChaiJulJan 06 t:he. PlLU..i.de.I~ ComnU,M..ton on TMVei.. H.i..6 e.66ow c.onbUbute.d 1>uD.6:ta.iLti..all.y t:o the. u. S. Go V e.Jr.Itme.Jtt: '.6 .6 uc.C.U.6 .[n a.:ttai..n..i.ng ..tnc.Jr.e.tU ed 6olLUg it .<.n ve1>tme.nt ..tn u. S • .6e.c.Wt..i.Uu and ..tnc.Jr.e.tUe.d 60lLugn expenditwte1> nOll tMve£.. .<.n t:he U. S. f\) -.I (n 276 TREASURY DEPARTMENT t WASHINGTON. D.C. December 6, 1968 MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESS: Assistant Secretary of the Trea'311xy Stanley S. Surrey's remarks beiore the 73rd Annual Congress ot American Industry of the National Association of Manufacturers, Friday, December 6, 1968, 2:30 P.M., will be read by Mr. William F. Hellmuth, Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Treasury. Text attached. F-1427 TREASURY DEPARTMENT 277 Washington FOR RELEASE UPON DELIVERY FRIDAY. DECEMBER 6, 1968 REMARKS BY THE. HONORABLE STANLEY S. SURREY ASS ISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE 73RD ANNUAL CONGRESS OF AMERICAN INDUSTRY OF THE NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MANUFACTURERS THE WALDORF-ASTORIA, NEW YORK, NEW YORK FRIDAY, DECEMBER 6, 1968, 2:30 PM EST A VALUE-ADDED TAX FOR THE UNITED STATES A NEGATIVE VIEW Tax meetings this year have found a new topic for discussion -- or what is advertised as a new topic: the United States have a value-added tax? Should The question appears to be a new one when so phrased, especially since some speakers seldom bother to explain what a value-added tax is and how it functions. But if the topic were phrased more accurately "Should the United States have a national sales tax?", then we would at once perceive we simply are carrying on a discussion that has been with us for three decades or more -- and posing a question to which the answer has consistently been in the negative. The value-added tax properly comes in only as a subtopic: If the United States is to have a national sales tax, should it take the form of a value-added tax or some other form, such as a retail tax, a wholesale tax or a manufacturers - 2 - tax? Nor, really, when put this way, is the subtopic a new one. Treasury Department files contain a lengthy analy- sis of the value-added tax made in 1941, when consideration was being given to the choice of tax measures to finance military expenditures. Background -- European Use of Value-Added Taxes What is new today is that the European countries are in the process of adopting value-added taxes -- France has had one for many years, Germany adopted one this year, the Netherlands, Sweden and Belgium will do so next year, and so on. But a word of perspective is in order. All of these countries have had a national sales tax of one form or another for many years, usually the inefficient turnover tax. Hence the main topic for them therefore was not whether to have a national sales tax but whether -- in order for th~n to harmonize their tax systems under the European Economic Community -- they should adopt the value-added form of sales tax as the common denominator. For reasons growing out of their political and tax histories, which in some countries involved the inability to effectively collect a mass income tax, they had already chosen to utilize high rate sales taxes. The significant point is that they were concerned 278 ... 3 - with the subtopic, i.e., the form of a sales tax to achieve harmonization, and not the main topic, should there be a sales tax at all. They had answered that question, as I have said, many years before, for their national sales taxes go back at least to post-World War I days. Now we all know what is a retail sales tax -- forty-four States and some cities have this tax. We also know what is a wholesale sales tax and we know what is a manufacturer's sales tax. What then is a value-added tax? A value-added tax is merely a complex method of collecting a retail sales tax. 1/ Using the recent German tax as a model, let me explain how it works: The German tax is imposed at a 11 percent rate on almost all sales of goods (ard SOI1E ser:vit:es) by any business. Let us start 1/ The authorities recognize the value-added tax for what it is -- a sales tax. For example, a publication entitled Tax Harmonization in Europe and U. S. Business published this year by the Tax Foundation contains the flat statement "The consumption type of value-added tax (one in which capital equipment items are deductible) can be described as a retail sales tax." A look at the index of a recent public finance book (Modern Public Finance by Bernard P. Herber, Richard D. Irwin, Inc., Homewood, Illinois, 1967) for value-added tax encounters the familiar instruction, see "Sales taxes." . - 4 - with a manufacturer: He applies an 11 percent rate to his total sales to find the preliminary tax due. From this he subtracts the taxes he has paid on his purchases and the net is payable to the Government. In essence, the tax is thus on the "value-added" by him as represented by the difference between the value of his total sales and the value of his total purchases. "Purchases" include all types of goods (and some services) -- components either as raw materials or semi-processed goods; capital goods, such as plant machinery and equipment; goods used up in manufacture; business furniture, etc. The manufacturer, of course, will bill his wholesale customer for the 11 percent tax on the sales price of the articles he sells, just as the manufacturer was earlier billed 11 percent on his· purchases from his suppliers. The tax is invoiced separately on all sales and is thus not hidden in the sales price. The process is repeated at the wholesale stage -- the wholesaler pays the Government 11 percent.of his sales less the taxes paid previously by the wholesaler on his purchases· and the wholesaler then bills the 11 percent tax to his customers. But of course no pyramiding should occur since the - 5 - 279 the taxes paid by the wholesaler are kept apart from the price of the goods he purchased and he can subtract this tax cost. The process is repeated once again at the retail stage -- the retailer pays the Government 11 percent of his sales, less the taxes the retailer paid -- and of course the retailer charges his customer for the 11 percent tax. The process ends there if the retail sale is for personal consumption -- food, an automobile, furniture, clothing. But if a business concern buys the article for use in its business -- sayan automobile or a desk -- the process begins again as the concern will subtract the tax on the automobile or desk from its tax bill. There is one additional important facet to note: the German system, tax is due each month. Under Suppose a concern has paid more tax on its purchases than is due on the sales to its customers -- its sales may be slow, for example. The Government then makes a refund each month of any excess tax paid, so that the cost of carrying the value-added tax is not borne by the concern beyond a month or two. All this adds up to an 11 percent retail sales tax on personal consumption -- the 11 percent value-added levy is - 6 designed to be passed along from concern to concern until the consumer is reached and he is left with the tax. The 11 percent tax is not intended to enter into the price structure until that final sale -- until then it is a tax item that accompanies each sale, is kept separate on the books, and is so indicated. If the tax item is not promptly moved along the business chain, the Government refunds it promptly. (If a concern has to finance the tax during this month or two, this financing cost would enter into the price structure.) Should the United States Have a National Sales Tax -- Domestic Considerations Against this background, let us return to the main question: tax? Should the United States have a national sales Proponents of the idea have two courses of action open. One is to argue that our tax system should bring in more revenue and the added revenue should come through a sales tax. They seldom take this route however. What arguments there are for higher tax revenues come from those seeking greater Federal expenditures to meet social problems, and the proponents of value-added sales taxation are usually not in this camp, but rather most likely to be in the camp - 7 - of reducing Federal expenditures. Moreover, if we need higher revenues, our Federal income tax system is capable of producing those revenues. The other course of action is to say the sales tax should be substituted for part of the income tax, generally the corporate tax. So the general question comes down to: Should we reduce, for example, our corporate tax to about 30percent and make up the $15 billion in revenue through a 3 percent sales tax? What would the United States gain through this change? Those who support Federal use of a value-added tax generally start by stating that the United States should derive a larger portion of its revenue from indirect taxes, that is, sales taxes. This view is often supported by resort to foreign experience. If certain foreign countries relying heavily on indirect taxes are growing relative to ours, the conclusion is drawn that the faster rate of growth is the result of the emphasis on indirect taxation. This argument in turn is usually associated with the idea that substitution of a tax on sales to raise part of the revenue now derived from the corporate income tax would stimulate growth through enhancement of the profitability of investment in - 8 corporate equity. the is enhanceu~nt pres~nted If foreign examples are not favorable, of corporate investment to stimulate growth alone. But if one looks at the tax systems of various industrialized nations over a period of time and relates them to the rate of growth of their economies, there seems to be no relationship -- or one strong enough to be observed in the total effect of all factors -- as is sometimes claimed to exist between the components of the tax system of a country and its economic growth. Of course, the tax systems of countries do have economic consequences or President Johnson wouldn't have proposed the recently enacted surcharge to help restrain our overheated economy. But to say that heavy reliance on indirect taxes compared to direct taxes is a significant factor in economic growth is a naive view of a complex problem. As a matter of fact, one would be just as naive to say that the reason the United Kingdom has had a relatively slow rate of growth in recent years is because it raises a high proportion of its revenues from indirect taxes. France is another country with a high indirect tax ratio -- the highest in Europe -- - 9 - which has had considerable problems in maintaining an adequate growth rate over the years. On ·the other hand, we have been doing pretty well in the United States as far as growth is concerned -- at least for the past eight years sales tax. and we do not have a national While there were significant changes in the Federal income taxes and excises in the last eight years, the emphasis of our Federal revenue system on individual and corporate income taxes was not changed. We believe the revisions made, especially the investment credit and the depreciation guidelines~ are in considerable part responsible for our eight years of economic expansion. Dur- ing the period from 1960 to June 1968 employment increased by 13 million persons or 20 percent. Unemployment declined from 6.7 percent of the labor force in 1961 to less than 4 percent today. Business investment for new plant and equip- ment increased from less than $36 billion in 1960 to the current level of $65 billion. And gross national product grew by 46 percent in terms of constant dollars between 1960 and the third quarter of this year. The business profits picture has been bright indeed in these eight yeas. Ca.p:mte pDfits - 10 after taxes were less than $27 billion in 1960 -- the annual level for the third quarter of 1968 was $51 billion. So it is hard ·to see how one can complain about the absence of a sales tax on grounds of economic growth here in the United States. Such facts as these naturally have required the more sophisticated proponents of greater reliance on indirect taxation to minimize pure growth as an argument for changing the character of our Federal tax system. A more subtle variation of the growth argument then is that the corporate income tax leads to tax induced distortions in the flow of capital that lowers the total efficiency of the economy. Then there are those who merely stand by the old assertion that the corporate income tax is so high as to be unfair to corporate equity owners. The argument as to the "fairness" of taxing corporate income and the incentive and distributional effects of such taxation will continue as long as there is a corporate tax. Far be it for me to try to deny that a separate tax on corporate profits does not have capital distributional and incentive effects. It does -- and some could be corrected - 11 - 282 by appropriate revisions in our corporate tax rules. But the real question is whether there are advantages to corporate profits taxation~hich believe so. The. his tory of corporate income taxation in offset the disadvantages. I this and other industrialized nations has shown that there is a significant tax-paying capability inherent in the corporate structure. And the taxation of corporations and their dividends hardly seems to noticeably dampen the advantages that investors find in corporate equities. More- over, if we desire to adjust our income tax structure to tilt it, or rebalance it, or what you will, so as to favor investment, there are ways to accomplish this -- witness the investment credit --without having to resort to an entirely new tax. Since proponents of a value-added tax for the United States so often refer to the tax system of foreign countries as a precedent or model for the use of indirect taxes, I wonder why, if they are so worried about the level of our corporate tax, that they so conveniently ignore the corporate tax rates in the same countries. Heavy reliance of a country on indirect taxation does not mean low corporate - 12 rates. Both Germany and France have a rate of over percent on undistributed corporate profits. Kingdom's rate is in the 40's. at~L ~ The Unit d Moreover, we have rea on- assurance irom United States firms with internat onal operations and cnrough our data on the foreign tax cr dit that the effective rate of European corporate income axes is quite comparable to that of the United States. One is tempted to deduce from this that there is i type of Parkinson's law in taxation, to wit, for ever: type of taxation used by a Government the legislators will :ind expenditure needs that require raising the tax rates maximum politically tolerable level. In any case, 1 ) an~ the )ne interes ted in subs titution of a· value-added tax for pc 't of the corporate income tax should very carefully cons idE ' the overall tax burden in foreign countries. He will fine that every European country (with Switzerland the only eXCE raises a far higher amount of taxes, in relation to does the United States. G~ Is it because they have both ,tion) " than ncome and sales taxes at the national level and we have only the income taxes? Certain virtues have been claimed for the value-a ded .:.ax in the name of "neutrality". Neutrality means a g eat - 13 - 283 many things to different people and it is surrounded with a highly favorable semantic aura. As best I can judge, the claim for neutrality comes down on final analysis to the contention that all end-products and services would be taxed at the same rate. This only means that the value- added tax like any other sales tax may theoretically be designed -- although this doesn't happen in practice not to be selective and not to discriminate among goods and services. For the business sector, the neutrality of the va1ue-aidea iax simply means the neutrality of the nontaxpayer -- tor the value-added tax is not designed as a tax on business, but merely casts the business unit in the role of a collector of taxes from the ultimate consumer. Let us take a closer lOOK at the supposed advantages of neutrality. The value-added tax is claimed to apply equal burdens on businesses ~n bOUl profit and loss posi- tions, thus removing the corporate tax immunity of a loss enterprise. The claim is also made that with a value-added tax, unlike the cor'porate income tax, industries presently enjoying a preferred tax position as well as those not occupying a preferred tax position will begin to pay the - 14 same tax. These claims obscure what is now happening under the corporate tax and what would happen in the event of a switch to a value-added structure. The corporate tax now applies with different weight among firms and industries depending upon their profit status and the tax rules that have evolved. These differen- tials would be reduced pro tanto with the lightening of the corporate tax. Instead of being corporate taxpayers these businesses would all be intended to become, under the structure of the value-added tax, as I have just indicated, tax collectors from final consumers. In the same way a switch from the corporate tax to value-added taxation would result in different benefits as between corporate and noncorporate sectors and activities, the benefits of course going to those activities now predominantly conducted in the corporate form. There would be no relief for those now operating in the noncorporate form. All, however, would become collectors under the value-added tax as distinguished from actual burden bearers. We might also look more carefully from the standpoint of neutrality at what would happen to different industries and bus iness units in their new role as tax co'llec tors under ... 15 the value-added tax system. ")QA Lv" Elasticities of demand for different goods and services are not the same, so that even a flat rate of value-added tax is not neutral except in a highly formal sense. In practioe, consumer response and sales volume changes will vary as between industries, and this consequence might not appeal to many who may have been initially beguiled by the neutrality argument. In practice, also, "neutrality" in the various va1ueadded tax countries has yielded to a structure of preferentia1 rates, so that even the equal consumer tax rate claim of neutrality would seem highly problematical. If we look at the political realities and the use of the value· added tax abroad, they discriminate among types of product and exempt some activities. In view of this background and the trend in State retail sales taxation, we would foresee some type of exemption for food and medicine along with medical and hospital services, education, and similar activities in the event of any value-added tax experiment in this country. No matter how desirable we may consider these exemptions, they detract from the purported neutrality of the va1ue ... added tax for a significant proportion of consumer expenditures. - 16 European value-added taxes reveal, as I have suggested, important departures from "neutrality." The German tax, probably in large degree because of technical problems, exempts financial institutions. The French tax exempts them, but includes a special tax on part of their activities. Small firms are another special aspect. In France, small businesses can pay a flat sum instead of computing tax on value added. The French tax has four rates: a normal rate; an increased rate for luxury items; an intermediate rate for certain utilities, hospital care, certain food stuffs, etc.; and a reduced rate for widely consumed foods, tourist hotels, etc. The German tax has two rates: a general 11 percent rate and a 5-1/2 percent rate for agricultural products in general. One should not overlook the fact that the changes involved in adapting to a value-added tax structure would have differing impact on different sectors of the economy and would require some time to complete the resulting economic adjustments. The initial effects of substituting a value-added tax for part of the corporate income tax could thus be far from "neutral" as between different business firms and industries. - 17 - 285 Another argument for a value-added tax used by some indeed, it seems to be the only argument that Professor 1/ Harberger strongly advances for the tax as an instrument of flexible fiscal policy. is its potential The claim is made that there is only one way to change its effect -raise the rate up or down -- while there are many ways in which income taxes can be adjusted and thus controversy and delay are bound to ensue if the latter are used for countercyclical adjustments. But this view underestimates the ability of legislators to find ways in ~hich to vary a tax one can readily imagine some" legislators insisting that only the value-added rates on "luxury goods" should be raised when a temporary tax increase is needed, and so on~ (Witness the recent French changes in which each of the four different rates in the French value-added tax was changed by a different amount.) Moreover, the statement that necessary adjustments would be effected more speedily for a value-added tax than for an income tax because the character of the income tax adjustments -- should it be the individual tax or the corporate tax, should the progression be altered, should exemption levels be changed?, etc. -- is always controversial 11 Harberger, A Federal Tax on Value Added, in The Taxpayers Stake in Tax Reform (Chamber of Commerce of the United States, 1968), p. 21. - 18 and hence involves delay is simply wrong. The history of the 10 percent surcharge clearly demonstrates this. The lengthy legislative gestation period for that surcharge was caused by differences of opinion as to the economic outlook and fiscal policies, especially expenditure policy, and not as to the details of the change as such. Indeed, in the whole period of eleven months in which the surcharge was before the Congress, the Tax Committees spent less than one-half hour on the details of the surcharge recommendation, and this was on the last day of the Conference Committee discus s ion. Moreover, the final produc t varied hardly at all from the form recommended by the President. The debate was entirely over the need for the surcharge and whether it would be accompanied by expenditure restrictions -- and any consideration of a comparable change in a value added tax would have been subject to exactly the same debate. Our problems relating to the use of the income tax for countercyclical purposes are not problems of technique or mechanics. 1/ 1/ The recent Brookings book, Agenda for the Nation, contains in an article by Herbert Stein a proposal to use systematically a positive., negative, or zero surcharge on income taxes as a countercyclical device. - 19 They are issues of fiscal policy at the political level differences between Presidents and Congresses over the fiscal policies to be pursued-- and the nature of the tax involved will not alter those issues. I thus can find no persuasive reasons to shift to a national sales tax. The Conference Report of the National Bureau of Economic Research and the Brookings Institution in 1964 on the subject of "The Role of Direct and Indirect Taxes in the Federal Revenue System" ends with the same conclusion: "It is hard, then, to find much support for more reliance on indirect taxation in the record of the conference, even though some participants came, and left, with a disposition toward this view." Indeed, there are a number of persuasive reasons against such a shift. It would mean the substitution of a regressive tax for a progressive tax and on equity grounds this would be a distinct step backwards. Value-added tax proponents meet this objection in three ways. One course is to argue that the corporate tax itself is shifted forward, so no change in regressivity would be involved. This argument of 100 per- cent forward shifting of the corporate tax is of course - 20 - difficult to sustain, and if true would undermine the argument by some proponents that shifting to a value-added tax would increase after-tax corporate profits. Another course is to acknowledge some increase in regressivity but consider this a lesser disadvantage than the purported advantages of the tax in fostering economic growth and giving corporate investors more "reasonable" tax treatment. But this defense is only as good as those "purported advantages" and as shown above they do not carry the needed weight. A third course is to minimize the regressivity objection, either by arguing that the degree of regressivity would not really be burdensome or by suggesting that it could be removed by appropriate exemptions, particularly one for food. There also is another "anti-regressivity" approach to sales taxation which could be used, although I personally have not seen it mentioned in connection with value-added tax proposals. This is the annual income tax credit (or refund if no income tax is due) that has been introduced by six of the States with sales taxes. But a food exemption, or a personal credit or refund system, would only roughly compensate for the regressive feature of a value-added tax. The device of a - 21 - r"lQ7 LUI food exemption, for instance, would give a larger advantage to the family which, for whatever reason, spent a larger proportion of its income on food than another unit with the same income. The device of a per capita credit or refund system would benefit most those units which put a larger portion of their income to nontaxable uses, such as savings. As a practical matter, any measure instituted to minirnize or remove the regressive effect on consumers of a value-added tax would still leave the tax less progressive than the corporate tax which it is intended to supplant. Here, of course, I am assuming that a considerable portion of the corporate income tax is not shifted forward. The addition of a new mass Federal tax also has its costs in taxpayer compliance and administration. The pro- ponents of a value-added tax tend to gloss over this factor and indeed they would be well advised not to discuss it. They admit there will be the start-up problems associated with any new tax. Since this is an admitted problem, I will not elaborate on it except to say that putting into effect a tax which is as pervasive as a value-added tax could be a real - 22 administrative task because of the large number of units involved. Let us skip over the initial process and assume that the tax is in working order. The first aspect to be noted is that the number of returns to be handled would run between 25 and 30 million a year, about a 25 percent increase in the present level of returns now processed by the Internal Revenue Servic~. This figure assumes quarterly returns (as in the case of excises) with exemption for farms, medical services, and certain financial services. Without these exemptions, the number of returns would be increased by another 15 million. number of new tasks. Taxpayers would be burdened with a If we followed our present excise tax procedure for current payment, and I see no reason why we would not, they would have to compute and pay their tax liability to bank depositories twice a month. Internal bookkeeping of firms also would be increased by the need to keep records of the tax paid on purchases. The United States all in all probably has the world's most carefully structured and administered income tax. Is it because it is essentially our only national tax and therefore we work hard at continually improving it? The European - 23 countries must spread their efforts over both an income tax and a sales tax. The more children in a family, the less attention each gets. To sum up this part of the discussion, from a domestic point of view it is hard to see how a national sales tax has anything to offer for our Federal tax system. It would add another large layer of work for taxpayers and the Internal Revenue Service without any reduction in current workloads. There seem to be no offsetting economic benefits to be gained that cannot be accomplished without that step. Substitution of a sales tax for part of the corporate income tax (or the individual income tax for that matter) would lessen the equity of our Federal tax system. 1/ And our experience in recent years shows that the necessary degree of economic growth can be assured within the structure of our income tax system. Clearly, a proposal for a value-added tax would involve a political battle of the first order. The Democratic Party platform for 1968 stated: 11 If we are looking around for taxes to be substituted for, it would seem more appropriate to offer the Federal payroll taxes as a candidate rather than the income taxes. - 24 "The goals of our national tax policy must be to distribute the burden of government equitably among our citizens and to promote economic efficiency and stability. We have placed major reliance on progressive taxes, which are based on the democratic principle of ability to pay. We pledge ourselves to continue to rely on such taxes, and to continue to improve the way they are levied and collected so that every American contributes to government in proportion to his ability to pay." The AFL-CIO platform proposals presented to the two conventions in 1968 were specific on this issue: r~ll efforts to make inroads on the progressivity of the federal tax structure should be repulsed. These include_proposals for a national sales, transaction, or value-added tax." Many business groups and businesses would also oppose the tax. Our country would not be well-served by provoking such a political battle for a tax that has so little to offer to our tax system. All in all a sales tax is a second-best tax to an income tax, and why do we need a second-best tax. 11 1/ Professor John Due, an acknowledged authority on sales taxes, has concluded: "On the whole, the sames tax must be regarded as a second-best tax -- one to be employed only if various circumstances make complete reliance on income and other more suitable taxes undesirable. A carefully designed sales tax is not perhaps as objectionable as it was once regarded; it offers definite advantages over widespread excise tax [footnote continued on next page] - 25 .. A Retail Tax Is Preferable to A Value-Added Tax So, as to the major topic, "Should the United States have a national sales tax?", I would answer in the negative. But even if the answer were yes, why should a value-added tax be chosen as the form of the sales tax? Why not a retail sales tax? In the United StcEtes, forty-four of our States have retail sales taxes. So do some of our cities. Over 97 percent of our population live in States with sales taxes. Over 97 percent of our retail.establishments are located in States having such taxes. Thus, today, a retail sales tax is being administered in the United States -- and successfully administered. Therefore if the Federal tax system is to have a national sales tax, why not simply use the retail tax structure we already have. We could adopt a national retail tax and allow a uniform credit 17 [Continuation of footnote from page 24J systems, with their inevitable discrimination among various consumers and business firms and their tendency to distort consumption patterns; and it is definitely superior to high rate 'business' taxes with uncertain incidence and possible serious economic effects. But it must be regarded as secondary to income taxation, in terms of usually accepted standards of taxation." Due, Sales Taxation (1957) 41. - 26 of so many points for State sales taxes. States that wanted a higher rate than the credit could "ride" the Federal tax. What is gained by having a value-added tax rather than a retail sales tax? As far as I can see, the answer is more paper work and administrative chores -- and greater temptations for exemptions and special rates. As pointed out earlier, the end result of a value-added tax is that the retailer collects the tax from his customers. Let us assume a 5 percent rate. Under a 5 percent retail sales tax, a retailer collects 5 percent of the sales price from its customers and pays the full 5 percent to the Government. That's the end of the matter. Under a value- added tax, a retailer first pays 5 percent to its wholesaler on goods purchased, then collects 5 percent from its customers on the retail price and pays the net difference to the Government. Thus, if the wholesale l,rice is $70 and the retail price is $100 before tax, the retailer pays the wholesaler $3.50, collects $5 and pays $1.50 to the Government. Clearly the retailer is worse off, since it has had to carry the cost of paying the $3.50 until it makes the sale to its customer, whereas under the retail tax the retailer pays nothing until a sale is made. - 27 - r f r v . Clearly the Government is worse off because it is collecting the $5 in bits and pieces: $1.50 from the retailer; say $1.00 from the wholesaler (suppose the manufacturer's price is $50 -- the wholesaler collects $3.50 from the retailer but has paid the manufacturer $2.50, leaving a net of $1.00); say $1.50 from the manufacturer and the rest from various suppliers of the manufacturer. While the Govern- ment gets part of the $5 in earlier, it has the administrative problems of dealing with all the other units in the productive process. These units in turn -- wholesalers, manufacturers and suppliers are all involved in paper work under the value-added tax whereas they are free of it under the retail tax. The retailer itself has an additional burden under the value-added, for it must keep track of purchases and sales alone whereas only sales records are involved in a retail sales tax. Hence it is really nonsense for a country with an already functioning retail sales tax structure to add a value-added structure that collects in more complex and burdensome fashion the amounts that could be collected under the retail sales tax procedure. - 28 - Proponents of the value added tax like to say the tax is a "form of tax on business." antism. This is pure obscur- It is a tax on household and other non-business customers and all the rest is paper work and accounting imposed on business to end up with the retailer collecting the tax from the customers. Maybe a country that can't collect a retail tax successfully takes out insurance against too much revenue being lost in poor compliance at the retail level by collecting a tax at least at the wholesale and manufacturer's level. But a country that can collect a retail tax doesn't need all this wasteful paraphernalia. International Considerations Let us now return to our main topic United States have a national sales tax? Should the The discussion above states my view that on the basis of domestic considerations such a step would not be desirable and would not be an improvement in our Federal tax system. The next question is whether, if we accept this conclusion, should the answer nevertheless be altered because of international considerations? Many proponents of a value-added tax would - 29 - 291 reply in the affirmative, and indeed rely on international considerations to differentiate the present discussion of the need for a sales tax from the previous debates on that subject in this country. This reliance on international considerations is based on the structure of a value-added tax as applied to international trade. In examining this structure, let us first consider exports. A country with a value-added tax, while recogniz- ing the effect of the tax on domestic prices, will attempt to prevent the tax from increasing export prices. It does so by not requiring a manufacturer (or other exporter) to pay the value-added tax on its exports. It also rebates to that manufacturer (or exporter) the value-added taxes it has paid to its suppliers so that it does not incur those tax costs for its exports. Step two, however, is not unique to exports, for the manufacturer selling in the domestic market also receives a rebate of its tax costs. At the same time, the country will see that imports are subject to the value-added tax by imposing a border tax on the imports equal to that tax, thereby making imports subject to the same tax as domestically produced goods. There is nothing - 30 - mys terious or tricky in this approach. We do the same in the United States for our single stage manufacturer's taxes on automobiles, cigarettes, alcohol, and so on -- namely, rebate the tax (if previously paid) on that part of the output which is exported and collect an equivalent excise tax on imports. Why then is it said that a country having a value-added tax is favored thereby in its international trade. Some business concerns and groups have a simple, first level answer -- they say that a German exporter of machine tools, for example, is exempted from an 11 percent value-added tax if it sells for export but not if it sells domestically, so that exports are favored by the 11 percent differential. This simply means, however, that a German exporter of machine tools does not pay a sales tax in Germany -- but neither does a United States exporter of machine tools pay a sales tax in the United States. same basis. Hence both in this respect are on the They also say a German exporter receives a rebate of 11 percent of the cost of its purchases, while the AP1erican exporter does not. But the German exporter has paid taxes equal to that 11 percent rebate, while the American - 31 r">rIi exporter did not. - I J r' '\.j~ So in this respect they also end up on the same bas is. And so it is with imports -- machine tools coming into Germany must pay an 11 percent tax because machine tools produced in Germany pay that tax. Machine tools coming into the United States do not face a border tax in the United States because machine tools produced in the United States 1/ do not pay such a tax. Clearly we must look beyond these first level contentions to find an international trade e~fect. Some proponents of a value-added tax assert that while this system of border tax adjustments keeps that tax from affecting international prices, we in the United States who do not have a sales tax but do have a corporate tax do not have comparable border tax adjustments to reflect that corporate tax. But this argument has validity only if the corporate tax is shifted forward in prices and thus, without the rebate, would affect the export price -- a point we can consider in a moment. At any event, since the principal European countries 1/ See the statement of Roy A. Wentz, Chief Counsel, Federal and Foreign Tax Division, E. I. du Pont de Nemours & Company, to the National Foreign Trade Convention, Nov. 20, 1968, pointing this out. - 32 also have corporate taxes at about the same effective level, they are in the same posture in this regard and this argument thus has no weight. Let us move from these clearly inadequate first level arguments of the proponents of a value-added tax to a further analysis, in the context first of an increase in United States tax revenues through a value-added tax. If we assume that a newly imposed value-added tax is fully reflected in domestic prices -- an assumption that is strengthened if the tax is introduced under full employment conditions since the monetary policy accompanying such a tax change would presumably be designed to permit that result -- but refunded or rebated on exports, there would be no change in export prices, and imports will be subject to a border tax adjustment in the same percentage as domestic prices have been increased. This should leave the overall terms of international trade as neutral as possible, although equal percentage increases in prices of all domestic and imported products and services may cause some shifts in demand between various types of products and services. ,_ q L '.. r~ r \.J - 33 Now we have to work into our analysis the possible effects of reducing the corparate income tax and substituting the value-added tax 'which, of course, is really the major objective of the value-added tax proponents. In order for this substitution to advance our trade we must assume that the corporate tax was shifted forward to an appreciable extent and the lack of rebate for that tax on exports keeps the forward-shifting in the export price. On the other hand, the price-increasing effect of the value-added tax through the forward-shifting of that tax is kept out of the export price under the exemption and rebate process. We here reach the unsettled contro- versy as to whether the corporate tax is and if so, to what extent, shifted forward in prices. I still take the consensus of economic thought as favoring the view of a less than full shifting, and for many economists considerably less, so that the possible benefit for trade would be related to the degree of shifting. Let us try another avenue of analysis. The value-added tax, as we earlier noted, is passed forward in an accounting sense and expected also to be shifted forward in an economic - 34 sense through a price rise. But suppose it is not fully shifted forward in prices due to market conditions. Then a manufacturer forced to absorb some of the tax effects on its domestic sales and thus reduce its profits, but not having that consequence on its exempted export sales, could well turn more of its energies to exporting its product and thereby enlarge the country's international trade. Similarly, foreigners exporting the same product to the value-added tax country will suffer lower profits and be less induced to push those exports. If this be so, a country with a value-added tax would have some trade advantage through such an incentive to exports and the disincentive for imports. The situation can vary from product to product depending on price elasticities. Moreover, as respects the European tax systems, the advantage can have disappeared under earlier exchange rate and other international adjustments. 1/ We could also add the comment 1/ The Europeans could be deriving a present advantage in substituting value-added taxes for their existing turnover taxes. Thus, the export rebates under the prior turnover taxes probably undercompensated exporters for the costs of those taxes, so that the introduction of the full compensation possible under the value-added tax structure, without a concomitant change in the domestic price level, could assist those exports. And in countries (Sweden) where the existing retail tax did not exempt sales of goods consumed by businesses, substitution of a valueadded tax would have a similar effect. - 35 - that given full employment, the absence of full forward shifting would presumably be due to a reasonably tough monetary policy. If it takes such a policy to produce a trade advantage, then presumably the advantage could also be obtained by the same monetary policy without the accompanying resort to the value-added tax. And finally, for the trade advantage to be significant the rate of value-added tax must be quite high, at levels commensurate with the European rates. But a value-added tax applied in the United States at such levels would swamp our existing tax system -- even a 10 percent rate would mean a revenue yield considerably greater than our total corporate tax. In this view, to complete this discussion, there can be some trade advantage in having a value-added tax in a tax system. What then should the United States do? In considering this question, we should note that the advantage would not be unique to the value-added tax. It would exist, under this analysis, for any type of sales tax where that tax -- be it a value-added tax, retail tax, wholesale tax, or manufacturer's tax -- could not be fully passed forward in price. Business groups asserting there are trade - 36 advantages for the European countries with value-added (and formerly turnover) taxes have not fully perceived this and hence have often excluded the British who have a wholesale tax, or the Canadians who have a manufacturer's tax, from the list of trade-favored countries. But the presence of the paraphernalia of border tax rebates and compensating import taxes under a value-added tax and its absence under a retail sales tax or any other single stage tax (sinceau~ explicit paraphernalia are not needed but are implicit in the single stage system) should not prevent them from recognizing that if indirect taxes do produce a trade advantage, then that advantage will exist whether the structure of the indirect tax be a multiple or single stage sales tax. Now, back to the question of what the United States should do to offset the trade advantage considered to accrue to a country with a relatively high sales tax system. Some t.llropeans say the answer is simple -- let the United States adopt a sales tax. But this answer would mean that those countries with a sales tax would be imposing their tax will on the rest of the world -- and in effect intervening to affect the free domestic choice of a country's tax structure. - 37 - Remember, our hypothesis here is that absent international considerations the United States should not adopt a sales tax. We in the United States want to retain our freedom of action to maintain a tax system of our own design. glad to take ideas from other countries. We are However, we are, and rightly should be, independent in wanting to select the types of taxes, rates, exemptions, and other features, and the division in our Federal system of taxing powers and tax decisions between the various levels of government. After all, the American Revolution' was fought in part to win the right to determine our own tax system. On the other hand, we do live in a world economy. balance of trade is important. Our We need to be aware of the extent to which the tax systems and nontax measures of other countries can affect our exports and imports and our general trade position. The question then comes down to this: How can the United States -- or other countries -- continue to exercise full freedom in the design of our domestic tax system, consistent with our notions of tax equity, tax efficiency, - 38 proper economic growth and all the other relevant considerations, and still live on trade competitive terms with countries which, exercising a similar freedom, choose to have high rate sales taxes? Under these circumstances, an appropriate solution firm would be to adopt border adjustments, limited to charges on imports or rebates on exports or both, rather than to overturn and revamp our existing tax system which has evolved over many decades to meet our needs. These border adjustments would not be part of a value-added tax or other sales tax, and would not involve any changes in domestic taxes. Rather, they would simply be border adjustments at the rate thought appropriate in the existing international setting. Since there would be no change in the domestic tax system and hence in the domestic price structure, a border charge on imports would tend to raise the prices of imports to American buyers or reduce the profits of foreign sellers, thus improving the competitive position of United States producers and discouraging imports. On exports, the rebates would tend to lower the prices of United States goods in world markets or increase the profits of American exporters - 39 and thus tend to increase exports. These border adjustments could be administered by the Customs Bureau. It is interesting to note that Germany in the converse situation -- when it desired to dampen its trade surplus -has recently done just this. It has adopted border adjust- ments -- independent of its tax system -- by taxing its exports at a 4 percent rate and reducing the compensating import tax from 11 percent to a net 7 percent (though still allowing an 11 percent credit to the importer on his resale). Under the German view of its tax system, with its 11 percent value-added tax, "neutrality" as to exports and imports in the sense of attempting not to have its domestic tax system affect the prices of exports or favor imports -existed at an exemption for exports (and an 11 percent rebate on purchases representing taxes paid) and an 11 percent tax on imports. A 4 percent tax on exports and a 7 percent tax on imports -- in effect a 4-point burden on exports and a 4-point benefit to imports -- is thus an unneutral posture favorable to other countries. In the United States national tax system with the absence of a national sales tax, "neutrality" in the indirect tax area - 40 - exists at a zero tax on exports (and no rebate) and a zero 1/ charge on imports. If we were to adopt a 4 percent export rebate and a 4 percent import charge, then we would achieve an unneutral pos ture vis -...; vis our domes tic incl:irr>ct tax systan to 2/ protect our trade. (We would be taking such a posture 1/ The text here oversimplifies the U.S. tax system. We do have selective national excises, e.g., on gasoline, automobiles, telephone use, and State and local retail taxes, and the like. In many cases these taxes enter into the cost of doing business and hence affect export prices and favor imports. On the average an export rebate around 2 or 2-1/2 percent would reflect these tax costs and keep them out of world prices; there could also be an equivalent 2 or 2-1/2 percent import tax. The impact of these tax costs on the various product lines differs of course, with the range running from about 1-1/2 percent to 4 percent of export sales prices. Similar situations exist for some other countries. ~/ The recent French change is of a different order from the German action. The French repealed a 4-1/4 percent payroll tax paid by employers, which had gone to general revenues, and increased the value-added tax rates from 1 to 5 percentage points on various goods to make up the loss in revenue. The purpose was to stimulate French export trade. Initially, the payroll and value-added tax changes would aid French exports and dampen imports provided businesses adjust prices to reflect repeal of the 4.25 percent wage tax. If the wage tax repeal reduces costs by, say, 2 percent and the value-added tax is raised on the average by the same percent, the result would be that prices in France of domestically produced products would be unchanged, the price of imports (assuming no backward shifting to the foreign supplier) would increase by 2 percent, and prices of products exported would decline by 2 percent. Actual results could be much less favorable than the above. The chances of French businessmen (faced with cost increase pressures) reducing prices by the full amount of the wage tax repeal are problematical, even though pressured to do so by the Government. The transportation, gas, - 41 because we felt our trade position was adversely affected by the existence per se of high indirect taxes in other countries, the assumption we are here making in this part of the discussion.) Under present GATT rules, border adjustments are permitted for indirect taxes -- sales and excise taxes -- but not for other taxes. The United States this year asked for and obtained the establishment of a Working Party to reexamine the whole aspect of border adjustments under GATT. One aspect of the re-examination could well be to permit countries not having a high indirect tax system permanently to adopt within limits border adjustments independent of their domestic tax structures if they so desire. It could result also in imposing some upper limits on the total border adjustments countries with indirect tax systems could make. This approach would provide an appropriate inter- national accommodation to the basic question we are considering, that of freedom for domestic tax action without Continuation of footnote from page 40: and electricity price increases also imposed will be offsets to part of the wage tax repeal. (British exporters picked up a lot of the pound's devaluation by raising their export prices in British money units.) - 42 - prejudicing a country's trade position. 1/ Conclusion Our existing Federal tax system, in varying degrees, provides equity, incentives, certainty, and familiarity. It is by no means perfect but any change should be in the direction of improvement, balancing the various goals it seeks to achieve. Viewed from the standpoint of domestic considerations the addition of a national sales tax would clearly not improve our present Federal tax system. And, if a national sales tax were ever thought desirable, it should take the form of a retail tax and not a value-added tax. In this light, to change major parts of our tax system and adopt a value-added tax or other form of national sales tax for the primary purpose of encouraging exports or discouraging imports would mean incurring severe losses as to 1/ In essence the GATT discussion comes down to the United States asserting that if the existence of a high indirect tax per se helps the trade position of a country, then GATT should permit a country without such a tax a method of defending itself without having to change its domestic tax 5 truc ture . If the exis tence of a high indirec t tax per se does nct so help the trade position, then there is no point to our considering a value-added tax or urging a GATT change. 43 several other equally or more important objectives. Such a change is clearly undesirable. 1/ It is also unnecessary because there exists an alternative which permits accomplishment of both goals -- preservation of our existing tax system and improvement in our trade position if we consider it disadvantaged because other countries have high indirect taxes. That alternative consists in adopting limited border adjustments for the United States that are not dependent on our adopting a value-added tax. The present GATT review is one way of reaching an international trade accommodation that would produce this method of achieving world-wide tax harmonization combined with freedom of choice and absence of trade disadvantage in structuring domestic tax systems. 1/ Foreign trade, although of substantial importance, represents only a small part of U. S. gross national product. U. S. exports, for example, have accounted in recent years for about 5.8 percent of GNP. Exports for most other industrial countries represent much larger percentages of their GNP's -- between two and four times as large as the U. S. percentage for Britain, Canada, France, West Germany, Italy, Japan, and Sweden, for example. Thus these other countries have stronger reasons to tailor their basic tax systems to reflect their dependence on foreign trade. Even so, the origin of their reliance on high indirect taxes traces to domestic tax considerations. UNITED STATES SAVINGS BONDS ISSUED AUD REDEEMED THROUGH November 30, 1968 (Dollar amounts in millions - rounded and will not nccc5sarily odd to totols) AMOUNT REDEEMEO AMOUNT ISSUEO.!J DESCRIPTION !./ A M 0 IJ N T I '7" 0 U T STAr. Ci I II G OUTSTANDING!J: OF AMOUNT ISSUED I I I U:\ED )ries A-I035 thru D-1041 "rirs F a!ld G-1941 t!lru 1052 crirs J ,lllci K-1952 thru 1955 ,ATURED eries E}j: 1041 1942 1943 4,996 29,478 3,133 7 43 23 .14 .15 .73 I I I -II I 1,876 8,285 13,334 15,548 12,218 5,537 5,250 5,427 5,352 4,679 4,049 4,242 4,844 4,936 5,142 4,964 4,673 4,549 4,260 4,267 4,310 4,148 4,621 4,506 4,406 4,739 4,691 2,953 675 JOH 1045 1946 1047 10-18 1940 1950 1051 1052 1953 1954 1955 195G 1057 1958 1959 lOGO 1961 1962 19G3 1964 1%5 196G 1967 IGG 8 Unclassified Total Series E Series H (1952 thru 'May, 1959) 2J H (June, 1959 thru 1968) Total Series H Total Series E and H eries J and K ( 5,003 29,521 3,156 i 1956 thru {Total matured \11 Series Total unmatured _ Grand Total 1957) 1 " 1,653 7,310 11,796 13,666 10,558 4,601 4,204 4,247 4,109 3,541 3,065 3,184 3,545 3,535 3,618 3,442 3,166 2,931 2,673 2,560 2,416 2,282 2,352 2,299 2,183 2,132 1,862 662 732 224 975 1,538 1,882 1,661 936 1,ct6 1,179 1,244 1,138 984 1,057 1,300 1,401 1,524 1,522 1.,507 1,618 1,587 1,707 1,894 1,866 2,270 2,207 2,224 2,607 2,829 2,292 -57 158,483 114,322 44,160 5,485 6,845 3,205 1,442 2,279 12,330 170,813 I ! , ! i 11.94 11.77 11.53 12.10 13.59 16.90 19.92 21. 72 23.24 24.32 24.30 24.92 26.84 28.38 29.64 30.66 32.25 35.57 37.25 40.00 43.94 44.99 49.12 48.98 50.48 55.01 60.31 77.62 I I I I I ! I! I I !! I I I I I I I I I , ,I - 27.86 I i 5,4~ 41.55 78.95 l 4,647 7,683 62.31 I 118,969 51,843 30.35 598 518 80 37,080 171,410 209,090 37,606 119,487 157,094 73 51,923 51,996 !J urles arcrucd discount. ent redemption value. bonds may be held and will earn interest Jor additional periods aJter original maturity dates. u es matured bonds whieh have not been presented Jor redemption. 'PJ'on of owner !"er", ~D 3812 - TRi'\~URY DEPARTMENT - Bureau of the Public Debt I I I I 1 '1 I 13.38 I I .19 30.29 2L 87 I - J TREASURY DEPARTMENT , WASHINGTON. D.C. December 7, 1968 MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESS: Assistant Secretary of the Treasury Stanley S. Surrey's remarks before the Federal Tax Institute of New England, Saturday, December 7, 1968, 12:15 P.M., will be read by Mr. William T. Gibb, III, Deputy Tax Legislative Counsel of the Treasury Department. TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR RELEASE A.M. NEWSPAPERS SUNDAY, DECEMBER 8, 1968 REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE STANLEY S. SURREY ASS ISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE FEDERAL TAX INSTITUTE OF NEW ENGLAND JOHN HANCOCK HALL, BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS SATURDAY, DECEMBER 7, 1968, 12:15 PM EST PAST AND PROLOGUE IN TAX POLICY The National Archives Building in Washington contains the inscription "What is Pas t is Prologue." This is a comforting thought for an archivist, and may indeed be necessary for his well-being. I do not propose today to consider whether the thought is a truism for Federal tax policy, and certainly it has not always been so in past years. Of course, I would like to believe that the recent past -- let us say eight years -- should be a relevant guide to the future in the tax field, but here I recognize disqualification on the ground of prejudice. At any event, actions and thoughts in that recent past are there as directional guides for the years ahead if one chooses to consider the mapwork as useful. So permit me today --, in a really impossibly brief and sketchy F-l428 - 2 - way -- to consider some aspects of that recent past and some of the directional guides. The Broad Economic Front On the broad economic front, the past eight years have been very good indeed for the United States. They have been eight years of sustained and adequate economic growth -contrasted with three recessions in the previous eight years. One can produce endless and varied data and statistics to describe those years -- not quite but almost as many as those which our sportswriters use to fill their newspaper pages and books. Whether it be in terms of a low unemploy- ment rate, new jobs, additions to GNP, increased average income, growth in investment in plant and equipment, increased corporate profits, overall price stability, and so on -- all have shown remarkable gains. It has not been an easy period to achieve all this -for it started with a high unemployment rate and an anemic rate of growth and ends in the turbulence of war years. That turbulence has caused us to fasten our economic seat belts and to be buffeted a bit, as reflected in recent price and interest rate rises. But price stability is hard to achieve lr2 - 3 in war years and certainly we have been spared the controls and greater inflation of other periods of large military expenditures. Moreover, after unfortunate delay we did adopt the needed restraint and can see a moderation in the turbulence -- though still recognizing that effective fiscal policy has many hostages to fortune in the uncertainties that mark periods of military activity and transition to peace. This favorable economic growth was not an unplanned lucky event. We have a government of laws but fiscal poli- cies are made by men. The policies are a conjunction of fiscal tools; economic forecasting as to what can be expected without action taken; the design of the action needed and the tools to be used to change the forecasted result if change is warranted; the will to take that action; and an understanding that the process must be endlessly repeated as conditions and forecasts change. Our economic progress has been a result of improvement in all these aspects, but most of all in the will to use fiscal tools when action was required. - 4 The landmarks here are the income tax reduction of 1964 undertaken in a period when our economy was weak and under the restraint of too high a tax burden -- but undertaken when our budget was in a deficit, a fact that, for all its essential irrelevance, would in the past have prevented this step; the excise tax reduction in 1965 undertaken for the same fiscal purpose; and the temporary 10 percent surcharge enacted in 1968 when our economy became too strong and restraint was needed but undertaken in an election year amidst a war which lacked the support marking the previous military activities that had prompted tax increases in the past. ures easily enacted. Nor were these legislative meas- The tax reduction of 1964 and the tax surcharge of 1968 involved legislative debate, doubts and desires and required a high order of political skill to shape the solutions, garner the votes, and achieve the goals. The will to take the needed fiscal steps and the consequences of those steps have, I believe -- and here one hopes past is prologue -- heightened our ability to discriminate among fiscal tools and to improve our fiscal techniques. The power of tax reduction to promote economic growth is - 5 now evident, whether the reduction called for is permanent or temporary. The surcharge technique as a tool for a temporary change in income tax levels, when temporary change is required, has received acceptance. Indeed, in the eleven months that the surcharge was under Congressional consideration,the Tax Committees spent less than a half hour on the structure of the surcharge itself -- and that at the end of the Conference Committee deliberations. The final legislation in this regard followed in almost every respect the President's recommendation. (Parenthetically, the experience with the temporary suspension and restoration of the investment credit as a technique showed the problems of that approach, as the Treasury had expected, and that approach is unlikely to be tried again.) It is encouraging to note that the adoption of the surcharge was not an issue in the 1968 election. partisan support. When it was finally passed it had bi- An analysis of the election returns of the House of Representatives does not indicate that any member was defeated because he had voted for the tax surcharge -- an outcome strongly contrary to some expectations when the House considered this legislation. - 6 - Our experience shows that our problems relating to the use of the income tax for countercyclical purposes are not problems of techniques and mechanics as respects the structural changes required. Rather, they are issues of fiscal policy at the political level -- differences between Presidents and Congresses over the right fiscal policies to pursue and over the economic outlook. The task here is to seek methods and procedures of resolving those issues and differences more rapidly, since countercyclical action requires for its best results that the action be taken promptly -- a lesson of the 1968 experience. Structural Aspects -- and Legislation Let us turn now from the broad economic scene to structural aspects of the tax system. eight years. Here much has happened in This is not the time for a detailed review, but some of the events may be sketched briefly. The Revenue Acts of 1962 and 1964 marked the most serious efforts since World War II to cure abuses in the tax structure -- and they achieved around $2 billion of revenue increasing revisions, a figure larger than all of the revenue measures since that period combined. Nearly every important change was a - 7 ') ( l'~ significant struggle in itself, for the issues had consid erable emotional content and controversy as well as tax significance -- remember expense accounts, the dividend credit, tax havens, compliance in reporting dividends and interest, and the like. Many an important matter was decided by a vote or two in the Tax Committees, and one learned from hard experience the problems involved in securing 13 votes in the Ways and Means Committee and 9 votes in the Senate Finance Committee in controversial matters. Each matter had special problems which made for great difficulty in achieving change. Thus the efforts to achieve a rational tax structure for investment abroad bad to face the task of a complete re-orientation of tax thinking and policy in keeping with the new international requirements faced by the United States. Before this, legislation in this field had been pretty much a question of efforts constantly to reduce the tax on foreign income, with only a few understanding what the contests were all about. There were failures as well as successes. But no real- ist expects full success in proposals for tax revision, or indeed in tax policy generally, for the Congress has always - 8 been the final arbiter of tax policy in the United States. And the task of revision is difficult -- measured in an analogy to exploration by the efforts involved in the discovery of the Poles, with the way strewn with the bones of many an explorer, rather than by the modern systems of research and technology through which we are mastering the world of space. Nor are there unlimited opportunities to push the issues of tax revision. Many trains run on the tracks of our Tax Committees and tax revision must take its turn along with Social Security, Public Assistance, Trade, Customs and other legislation. Quite often, also, all tracks must be cleared for certain measures, including fiscal policy legislation, which in principle must highball along, such as the temporary surcharge. Finally, failure can have its educational values and pave the way to future progress. Thus, as examples, I believe there are many now who, on reflection, in contrast with earlier held views, would say the Treasury was right in 1963 in urging the principle of income taxation at death on the appreciation in value of assets owned by the decedent or in urging reform of depreciation rules in the real estate field. - 9 • J , ....... To continue the brief summary, the Excise Tax Reduction Act of 1965 ended our system of discriminatory excise taxes; the Federal Tax Lien Act of 1966 modernized our tax lien procedures; a succession of legislative measures achieved current payment for corporations and graduated withholding for individuals and, coupled with administrative measures requiring prompt payment of withheld taxes and excise taxes, have given the United States a fully current system of tax collection; the Foreign Investors Tax Act of 1966 provided a wholly revised and rational tax policy for foreigners investing in the United States; the Interest Equalization Tax Act gave us a flexible tool for controlling portfolio flows abroad. And in between were numerous, varied, and less extensive measures to solve specific problems. In the international area, statutory improvements were accompanied by modernization and expansion of our treaty network. A new structure for income tax treaties was devised, building on the DEeD Model Draft where appropriate, and the process of securing adoption of this modernized version through agreements with developed countries is well along. A basis for treaties with less developed countries, - 10 varying in approach depending on the particular situations involved, has been established, and is ready for fuller implementation when the Senate Foreign Relations Committee regards our international position and our domestic budgetary posture as appropriate to permit extension of the investment credit to investment abroad. A new version of an estate tax treaty, building where appropriate on the OECD Model Draft, has been developed which will afford greater opportunity for foreign portfolio investment in the United States and greater protection for the estates of our business executives and others who may die while on overseas assignments. The process of obtaining adoption of this type of treaty is now under way, with basic agreements reached with the Netherlands and Israel. These efforts at international tax cooperation have been supplemented by affirmative positions taken by the United States in the OECD Fiscal Committee seeking steady development of the tax principles to govern international transactions, especially in the field of the allocation of income and deductions. Structural tax revision involves the correction of inequities to taxpayers as well as the correction of tax - 11 - abuses and escapes favorable to taxpayers. Here also steady progress has been made in improving the tax structure -- in the introduction of the minimum standard deduction; the splitting of the first bracket of tax into four brackets; the introduction of an averaging system; the adoption of a new deduction for employee moving expenses; the unlimited carryforward of capital losses; the inclusion of tips in Social Security wages; the revised treatment of dealer's reserves. Tax revision also involves innovative measures to keep the tax structure abreast of economic changes. The invest- ment credit in 1962, the recapture as ordinary income on the sale of personal property of excess depreciation deductions, and the administrative depreciation reforms of 1962 and 1965, creating the guideline system and the reserve ratio test, have established the framework for a rational tax treatment of investment in machinery and equipment. The guidelines have put an end to haggling and uncertainty and the reserve ratio test is a workable device to achieve selfcorrection within those guidelines, as our soon to be published computer study of depreciation rules demonstrates. - 12 Allow me to spend a moment on the subject of depreciation. Despite the improvements just mentioned, we still have many miles to go before all of the problems in the depreciation field are solved. The tax structure was severely wounded by the introduction in 1954 of accelerated depreciation methods without any groundwork of advance study to develop the safeguards and rules necessary to accompany the liberality of those methods. Such surgery produces a severe shock from which the recovery is painful, difficult and slow. This is not to say that accelerated depreciation of machinery and equipment is wrong. But in the realistic world of tax planning and maneuvering, where every possible avenue of tax escape is ingeniously exploited to the full, the failure to provide adequate safeguards when accelerated depreciation was offered is clearly evident in retrospect. It has taken years to correct, through recapture, the "ordinary income - capital gain advantage" accorded to personal property, and this is but the beginning of the steps toward recovery. We still face all the abuses, the tax escapes, and the economic distortions in the real estate area -- all because accelerated depreciation happened - 13 1(,7 to be given to real property as well as personal property; we face the abuses and business distortions involved in the leasing of machinery and equipment (here linked with the tax limit on the investment credit); we face the payment of tax-free dividends by many companies who use accelerated depreciation for tax deduction purposes and the computation of tax earnings and profits but straight-line depreciation for book purposes. Some of these difficulties -- such as leasing -- could be solved administratively and studies are here under way, but considerable legislation, especially as respects real estate, will be needed before all the damage is repaired. And there are still those who urge even more acceleration for depreciation! As stated above, structural tax revision involves the correction of tax abuses, the elimination of unfairnesses, and the introduction of innovative changes. But along with these tasks of regaining lost terrain and seeking improvement, there is also the constant task of not yielding new ground and opening up new avenues of escape and preference. Much of the late 1940's and 1950's consisted of a steady erosion of the tax structure. But in the last eight years there have been no real breaches of that structure, with - 14 the exception perhaps of the self-employment pension plan and that has its limitations. And in the treatment of the "little tax bills" the efforts to separate justifiable correction from unfair preference and deal with each in appropriate fashion have yielded a high degree of success. In this matter of not taking backward steps one can see the dangers ahead. Much could be lost, for example, in pursuing the "will-of-the-wisp" of value-added taxation in an effort to improve our trade position, or in plunging the tax structure into a maelstrom of tax incentives and tax credits. Structural Aspects -- and Administrative Rules The tax structure is shaped by interpretations embodied in regulations, rulings, and other administrative pronouncements as well as by legislation. The last eight years have produced a steady pace of activity designed to improve the administrative interpretation of the Internal Revenue Code. One facet of this effort has involved the clarification and deepening of administrative guidance in various fields. few examples: A - 15 The depreciation guidelines earlier mentioned provided a uniform, consistent system for the handling of the depreciation deduction and replaced the inconsistencies, discriminations, and arbitrariness under the prior method of negotiation and haggling. The consolidated return regulations revised the rules in this area to accord with modern accounting practices for consolidated balance sheets and profit and loss statements. The regulations on the deduction for educational expenses continued the evolution of the tax rules to match the changing patterns in training. The recent pension plan regulations modernized the rules governing integration with Social Security benefits to keep pace with the changes in Social Security legislation and the maturing of that system. The Section 482 regulations faced the challenging task of articulating the guidelines, drawn from modern accounting and management practices, to govern the allocation of income and deductions - 16 - among related enterprises, especially in the international area. The earnings and profits regulations under Subpart F for the first time provided a system for establishing the profits of foreign enterprises, based here also on modern accounting concepts. Another facet of this administrative activity has been the correction of earlier administrative mistakes. The task of administrators is to make wise and proper decisions. A part of that task is the responsibility and duty of recognizing when that standard has not been achieved ani errors have occurred. Here also the effort has been to acknowledge the errors and effect the correction. As examples: The regulations providing for the recognition of gain on the creation of swap funds. The regulations on the treatment of advertising of exempt organizations as an unrelated business (here no earlier error was involved, but rather the culmination of a long study pending which the contrary rule was permitted to obtain). - 17 The proposed regulations on the taxation of industrial development bonds. The recent ruling denying deduction generally for prepaid interest. The correction of the ruling on split-dollar life insurance. The pending revision of the restricted stock regulations. In some of these instances the administrative action was followed by legislative consideration and efforts to undo the administrative interpretation. The outcome in each case was, however, essentially favorable to the position taken administratively and the end result was a structural improvement in the area involved. Thus, most recently, in the matter of industrial development bonds two legislative measures this year finally ended in taxation of these bonds subject to a $5 million exception for projects under that size. As a matter of tax policy even a $5 million industrial development bond issue is inappropriate and the proposed regulations had contained no dollar amount exception -- there are more efficient non-tax routes to assist industrial expansion -- but a $5 million issue is a long - 18 - cry from the tax-free issues of $150 million with which 1968 opened. The formulation of proper tax policies at the administrative level provides an especially difficult challenge. The great danger is that of lethargy -- a hidden lethargy amidst the volume of day-to-day activity that characterizes a large organization. Unless extreme care is taken this great activity -- essential as it is to the overall tasks of tax collection -- will obscure the unwillingness or inability to perceive and face issues of tax policy. In this regard I would here like to repeat some earlier words on the importance of administration to tax policy, which were in the course of discussing certain financing techniques (industrial development bonds, tax-exempt organizations borrowing to acquire businesses, and leasing of machinery and equipment): "Congress enacts legislation intended to provide a particular tax benefit or tax result for a designated group in order to accomplish a rational purpose -- a tax-exempt interest status to municipal bonds to assist localities financially and to achieve a Federal-local relationship which both levels of government consider desirable for reasons apart from strictly financial considerations; a tax-exempt status to charitable organizations to encourage philanthropy in the United States; depreciation deductions that are as appropriate - 19 as possible to the measure of taxable income; investment credits to achieve an increase in industrial modernization and expansion. But there are those outside the group intended to be benefited waiting to seize on every such tax benefit to see how its operative mechanics may be distorted to achieve advantages wholly foreign to the purpose behind the benefit. "If not checked in time these distortions begin to assert a legitimacy of their own -- to assert tax squatters' rights against the Treasury. It is then said that administrative action cannot be taken to dislodge them, and a legislative command is required. Sometimes the Revenue Service itself grants a cloak of legitimacy through favorable rulings in the early stages of the transactions before their structure and scope have been clearly analyzed and appreciated. Then when it has become clear to all that the distortion has created a major problem, it is said that the administrative error cannot be corrected by the administrators who made it. "Indeed, many of the tax preferences that today create severe unfairness in our tax system and permit many individuals and coprorations to escape their share of the tax burden were never legislated at all by the Congress. Instead, their beginnings lie in a Treasury Regulations or administrative ruling, illconsidered or ill-conceived at the time or -- to be more charitable, because every tax policy official wonders what mistakes his successors will charge against him -- handed down to meet a legitimate problem and then in turn itself distorted. The fact that many of these tax preferences carry this bar sinister in their heritage does not, of course, make their present beneficiaries any the less forceful in defending their tax advantages. "And so another lesson emerges from these illustrations -- vigilance, skill and imagination in tax administration can be a powerful force in the maintenance of equity in the tax system. It can likewise be - 20 a powerful force to protect legislators from having to grapple years later with difficult legislative issues which they had no hand in creating." 1/ Research Capability The conduct of tax policy today demands a high order of research capability. The problems are intricate and complicated, and the search for the data and analysis needed to help in their resolution must be avidly pursued if the solutions are to meet the standards our tax system merits. Moreover, quite an arsenal of material is required to answer the problems and questions of the host of businesses and individuals affected by any new proposal, as well as to counter the intense probing for possible weaknesses in a proposal, in so many ways and from so many angles, that inevitably accompanies its consideration. In the past eight years, the Treasury staff engaged in ::ax policy ac tivities has doubled, and that part occupied Tith international tax matters has grown almost five fold. 'here are now around fifty-five professionals (economists, 2wyers and accountants) in the tax policy area. Their work ~s supplemented by the activities of the Internal Revenue il Tax Trends and Bond Financing, an address before the Municipal Forum of New York, June 13, 1968 (Treasury Release F-l273). - 21 - 3 11 ~4 Service, a large number of formal consultants drawn from many quarters, and by the assistance that is informally given over a wide area by those willing to make their expertise available to the Government. Accompanying this enlargement of staff and consultants, there has been an increasing use of the tools of modern economic research -- econometric models and analysis, computer analysis, and the like. These tools are being applied to the study of problems and proposals and to the task of revenue forecasting and estimating. The use of "tax models" under the individual, corporate, and estate and gift taxes a representative statistical sample of tax return data on tape for computer use -- has greatly enhanced the capability of the Treasury to estimate the effects of proposals for change. Also, data are being gathered to undertake for the first time systematic studies of the tax position of identical taxpayers over a period of time, which will provide considerable insight into the effects of the tax structure and income fluctuations (or their absence) taken together. These efforts are supplemented by programs that will add nontaxable receipts to the taxable income data, and non-taxpayers to the taxpayers in the models. - 22 The Treasury has also engaged in large scale studies designed to advance our knowledge in a variety of fields. For example, it has financed work by several outstanding scholars on the effects of tax policy on investment; it has recently published a study on Overseas Manufacturing Investment and the Bdlance of Payments; it will publish shortly a computer study and detailed analysis of Tax Depreciation and the Need for the Reserve Ratio Test; and it has studies under way in a variety of areas, such as the effects of tax policy on real estate. Throughout it has maintained close liaison with other institutions and individuals engaged in tax research and facilitated their studies by making the needed data available. But even though the research capability and activity have been greatly expanded, the proper development of our tax structure and our tax policies in the years ahead will require still larger research resources. The Government tax research base is still small when compared to that existing in other areas and in relation to the complexity and importance of tax issues. Moreover, there must be constant attention paid to the mix of research -- Treasury - 23 consideration of immediate problems; Treasury research on the likely issues a few years ahead, on matters that should be pushed forward as issues, and on analysis to provide a better basic understanding of the workings and effects of our tax system; the obtaining of contract research by outside organizations and individuals in these areas; and the encouragement of research activity generally in the tax field. Relationship of Tax Policies to Budget Expenditures The imperative need to move forward in the solution of our social problems has brought to the Treasury a new dimension of activity not usually associated with the Department. This largely comes about because for nearly every social problem that we face we can be sure to find some groups that will urge the use of the tax system as the path to a solution. Such solutions can be generally classi- fied under the heading of tax incentives or tax credits -and the familiar items here are incentives or credits for education, manpower training, pollution, urban and rural development, housing, and so on. For the Treasury to stand idly by and watch a procession of tax incentives would be to permit a rapid deterioration of our tax structure. - 24 But disinclination to regard tax incentives as the path to solution is not enough, for it still leaves the problems unsolved. Consequently the Treasury has had to engage in research, on its own account and in cooperation with other agencies, on the problems themselves and on the possible nontax solutions that should be explored or advanced. This obviously expands the research requirements of the Treasury, though it has the advantages of keeping it fully involved in a great variety of domestic matters not usually considered as falling under tax policy. This activity in turn has led to a fuller exploration of those existing tax policies which, through tax preferences and special rules, depart from the normal concepts applicable to the determination of taxable income and thereby provide within the tax system an array of so-called "tax expenditures." These tax expenditures represent the tax revenues being "spent" (through being lost to the tax system) to achieve the specific nontax goals represented by the special rules. In this regard the tax expenditures stand as alternatives to the direct Government expenditures, in the form of loans, grants, guarantees, and the like, that could have been utilized to achieve those same specific goals. - 25 This exploration of the tax expenditure concept has involved efforts to describe and quantify the existing tax expenditures, in much the same fashion as direct Government expenditures are identified in the Budget. It has also led to studies designed to compare, on a cost-benefit approach, the efficiency of the tax expenditure route compared with the direct expenditure route and to identify the factors relevant to that comparison. Such studies relate both to existing preferences and proposed tax expenditures through new tax incentives or credits. These efforts indicate that in some areas of Government the tax expenditures are a sizeable amount, in absolute terms and in relation to the amount of direct budgetary expenditures. One would hope that other agencies of Govern- ment having direct cognizance over the activities involved would also take an interest in these tax expenditures. There is considerable basis for the belief that in some situations the amounts involved in the tax expenditures could be utilized more efficiently if they were spent as direct expenditures. - 26 - Continuing Revision The task of structural revision of our tax system should be regarded as an ever-continuing effort. Secretary Fowler earlier this year stressed this need, in speaking of areas of concern to the Treasury in which continuity of policy is essential. He used these words: "A third area for policy continuity in 1969 is tax reform. After the reforms of the Revenue Acts of 1962 and 1964 and 1965, the Treasury Department undertook a major effort to prepare tax reform proposals of a comprehensive nature in 1966 and 1967. The plan was to launch a major legislative effort on the heels of the enactment of the temporary surcharge legislation. Because of the delays in enacting the surcharge legislation and the fact that substantial tax reform requires extensive legislative consideration, there was no suitable opportunity to push these proposals on to the legislative calendar. "It is clear that tax reform must be a matter of high priority as respects tax policy and the work of the Congress. I and my associates in the Treasury have called attention to some of the areas that we feel should be given consideration. As one example, there is the impact of our present tax system on those in poverty. A country concerned about the plight of the poor should certainly be concerned about not imposing the 10 percent surcharge on low income taxpayers. At the other end of th~ scale is the serious problem of those taxpayers with very high annual incomes who make little or no contribution to the Federal Government because of the use, singly or in combination, of many of the tax preferences adopted for particular purposes. There is also need for an extensive, searching review of the rules unut:.L tn~ estate and gift taxes and the associated question of the treatment of transfers of appreciated assets at death under the income tax. - 27 "Two cardinal principles should guide us in considering tax reform. One is that the standards of equity and fairness and desirability must be applied in the context of the world today. Tax provisions adopted to serve certain needs in the past must constantly be tested to see if they are still appropriate. We must ask what is the net benefit to the nation from such a provision in terms of the present cost -- what is the efficiency and effectiveness of the tax provision as contrasted with other forms of Government assistance that may not have the sideeffects of income tax liberality to individuals or corporations that accompany the use of the tax route? "The second principle is that change from yesterday's rule to today's new need must be orderly and fair, so that those who had planned their businesses or lives on the basis of the earlier provisions may have an orderly transition to the new standards. But it is orderly transition that I am emphasizing and not stagnation or indefinite postponement of any change, for tax preferences should not be a hereditary matter handed down from one generation to the next." 1./ The reform that Secretary Fowler spoke of involves change in the tax structure. As he indicates, there is much to be done -- there always will be -- in this area. In addition to such structural reform, there are important aspects of tax policy and expenditure policy having a relationship to the tax system that 11 wil~ one can expect, be debated in the period Address before the National Industrial Conference Board, September 20, 1968 (Treasury Release F-1354). - 28 - ahead. Just as illustrations, one can refer to such matters as income maintenance or negative income tax programs now the subject of inquiry by a Presidential Commission; the need for re-examination of the benefit structure of the Social Security system and its financing, together with improvements in the structure of the private pension plan sys tern; the worry over the effec t on S tate and local interest costs and on individual windfall benefits through the greatly expanded use of State and local tax-exempt bonds that loo~ just ahead and for which solutions such as an Urban Development Bank have been advanced; the wisdom of revenue sharing and the feasibility of the various alternatives suggested; procedures to achieve the pace of action necessary to carry out needed countercyclical tax action effectively; procedures to achieve better coordination of Congressional consideratioo of revenues and expenditures. Conclusion If the tax ac tivity of the pas t is indeed prologue, then the years ahead will continue t.O be ac tive ones. This is it should be in the tax field, for the appropriateness, equity, and vitality. of a tax system depend upon constant a8 - 29 attention. Proven fiscal tools are not the exclusi.ve prop- erty of any Administration or political party. the problems. Neither are There are the difficult problems that accumu- late over the years and yield only slowly to solution. There are the new problems whose outlines are already apparent. And there are the unforeseen problems that come suddenly on the scene. All must command our efforts if we are to achieve, not perfection, but that high degree of effectiveness and fairness which can properly be demanded of those who have chosen to make tax matters their professional career. TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON, D.C. RRELEASE 6 :30 P.M., oday, December 9, 1968. RESt:L'IS vi? TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department announced that the tenders tor two series ot Treasury 11s, one series to be an additional issue of the bills dated September 12, 1968, d the other series to be da~d December 12, 1968, which were offered on December 1968, were opened at the Federa 1 Reserve Banks today. Tenders were invited for ,600,000,000, or thereabouts., c f en-day bills and for $1,100,000,000, or therelouts, of 182-day bills. 'Ille details of the two series are as follows: .NGE OF ACCEPTED lMPE'l'ITIVE BIDS: High Low Average 91-day Treasury bills maturi~ March 13, 1969 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 5.72~ 98.554 98.524 5.839i 98.537 5.788~ ? Y 182-day Treasury bills maturing June 12, 1969 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 97.029 5.877J 97.002 5.93~ 97.014: 5.906~ Y ~ Excepting 1 tender of $75,000 3~ of the amount of 91-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted 5~ of the amount of V?2-day bills bid far at the low price was accepted OTAL TENDERS APPLIED FOR AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS: District Boston New York Philade 1phia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago st. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City I611as San Francisco Applied For $ 22,947,000 1,532,36S,000 39,295,eC() 50,210,000 22,717,000 4-6,. 623 ~ ()c·(; 156. 2 g~; , :~J.}: 48,758,COO roTALS $2,172,281,000 " 28~188,UO() 34,J51,)00 31,302,000 159,517,000 Applied For $ 13,815,000 1,404,073,000 23,4:17,000 56,163,000 8,582,000 31,029,000 121,168,000 24,644,000 22,376,000 20,256,000 25,384:,000 181 z14:6,2000 Acce;Eted 6,995,000 $ 767,403,000 9,417,000 40,163,000 6,035,000 22,931,000 77,668,000 21,944,000 15,851,000 18,051,000 14,974,000 99 z024 z000 $1,600,021,000 ~ $1,932,053,000 $1,100,456,000 AcceEted $ 22,94:7,000 1,010,428,000 27,475,000 50,210,000 20,717,000 42,629,000 141,299,000 44,758,000 28,188,000 34,051,000 23,302,000 154 z017 z000 £I ~/ InCludes $323,379, 000 D\)n~';mpeti tive tenders accepted at the average price of 98.537 ~/ Includes $162,084,000 nor!'200rrx'tttive tenders accepted at the average price of 97.014 ~ '!hese rates are on a bank d' :~c.:J1.mt basis. r.Ihe equivalent coupon issue yields are 5.96~ for the 91-day b11:::" and 6.17;' for the 182-day bills. F-1429 r::" v .-- , ! TREASURY DEPARTMENT , WASHINGTON, D.C. December 10, 1968 FOR IIvllvIEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY rvf..ARKET TRANSAC TIONS IN NOVEMBER During November 1968, market transactions in direct and guaranteed securities of the Government investment accounts resulted in net purchases by the Treasury Department of $41,750,250.00. 000 F-1430 TREASURY DEPARTMENT t WASHINGTON, D.C. December 11, 1968 ?OR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY SECRETARY FOWLER HONORS FOUR IN RECOGNITION OF LEADERSHIP AND SERVICE Secretary of the Treasury Henry H. Fowler today conferred the Alexander Hamilton Award -- the Treasury Department's highest honor -- upon four members of his staff. The awards went to: Sheldon S. Cohen, Commissioner of the Internal Revenue Service; Fred B. Smith, the Department's General Counsel; Robert Ao Wallace, Assistant Secretary; Douglass Hunt, Special Assistant to the Secretary. Mro Cohen, a Washington attorney prior to being appointed Commissioner in 1964, was cited for the quality of tax administration during a time when revenue collections were riSing to succes si ve all time highs. Mr. Cohen, the citation said, ''has brought to the Commissionership professional qualifications rarely, if ever, equalled." During Mr. Cohen "s tenure, the citation noted, "revenue collections have risen to successive all time highs as the quality of tax administration has steadily strengthened. Mr. Cohen has assured this by making orderly and equitable development of the Code -- apart from revenue considerations -- a matter of policy at the Se~ice. At the same time he has set new standards for courtesy and assistance to taxpayers." Mr. Smith, a career attorney with the Treasury Department s~ce 1943, was cited for his legal leadership in the development md carrying out of successful policies on such diverse matters ·1431 - 2 - reduction in tourist exemptions from customs duties, the :hanging of the coinage system of the United States, the !limination of gold and silver backing of currency, providing .ncreased resources for international banking institutions, and >roviding authority for effective control of interest rates paid >y domestic financial institutions. IS Mr. Wallace, former assistant to Senator Paul H. Douglas md staff director of the U.S. Senate Committee on Banking and ~urrency, was cited for his vital role in the formulation of ~deral economic policies, particularly in his close ~ssociation with the Council of Economic Advisers, the Bureau )f the Budget and the Federal Reserve Board. In addition, ~r. Wallace was cited for his management of the Bureau of the ~nt, the formulation and execution of international trade polkies and the development of consumer protection legislation, especially the Consumer Credit Protection Act of 1968. As the Department's Equal Opportunity·· officer, he has led the program to achieve full equality of employment in the Treasury for members of all minority groups. Mr. Hunt, a Washington, D. C., attorney prior to his Treasury Department appointment in 1961, was cited for important contributions to virtually every area of the Department's activity. "Through his willingness to apply his talent and energy unstintingly, he has developed an exceptional knowledge and understanding of the entire range of Treasury policies and programs. In a very real sense, he has become an important and wise adviser to all of the principal officials of the Department, and a ~ey participant in the formulation and execution of Treasury policy," the citation said. 000 Attachments CITATION AluandeJt Hami.Ltolt ~ Shddon S. COhVl VIUlVJ.ing on 1&i4 ba.c..kgltOWld i.n. .thtt. InteJUUtl P.C.Vel'ULt. Se.Jtv.iee tU a 4t4~ 6 .utCJt a.6 Clue.6 Cc~e.l- ...a ba.C.Jz9ILOu.nd ~VLl.c.hed by tt6~ccJ..oUon Lu.Uh. cU6.tl.ngu,Uhe.d lmr.J ~.{.IUr.4 and uniVeJl.6.i:Uu--Sheldcn S. CohrJl luu bMtl9S~ to .tht. Cornmi6~i.onVL6hJ.p u4,i01UtL qu.aU.6.lc.a.t.i.on.6 JtllIL~U. ,i6 f.VM, (quaUc.d. attolUte.!1 and p!tO, UtldC!Jl h...U le.adlVt.6h.l.p, veul1g ~t!c.hn.U!a,l quU.t.l0116 J.n .the. 1ntv.nal Revenue Code have. be.en deaLt ~ t%J1d Ite.&oive.d .in an" e.ven-handed, eoUlU'tge.oU4 l7lanneJL, JLc.6l~c.t.lng h.U OliJJIl deep c.;t.h.lcal. eonv-iUion". au. OveJr. the. l.tut bOUle. ljet.tllA, Ile.ve.nue. eo~cti.On.4 havE!. It.l.6en to 4Uc.c.U.6.lve t.U2( h.t9~ 44 .the qruttUtj 06 .tax admi.n/./)tJc.a.t,um Iuu .6tettd..U.tj 4.tJte.ngthene.d. Wt. Cohe.n fuu, 4U6U1Led t]t.-U. by maJung oltdeJtLy and e.qu.i.ta.ble de.vc.lopt;~nt 06 .tllt/. Codt.--apal'.1. lltom J&.evenu.e. C!J)n~.ic!e!ULUoIU--(L ma..ttelL 06 pol1..c.1j bt :the. Svr.v-ic.e. A.t tlte. 4\ amI!. .time. Ite. hcu .6 et nent 4.tandaJt.d4 ~ Ole. coLLlLte." if and a:.64,u.tanc.e. .to .tax.pa. yeJt4 • .ut Thue. a.c.c.ornp.U.6hJ1te.nU., 1tl6 loljaUlj and hiA ~C.n6e. o~ /tonoll Me. a..U .the!.. btaclU;lon 06 .tlle Na;Ucn'. 6..i1t.6.t,SUJletaJty 06.tht.. TJl.e.GUUIt!/. 1:t..i..6 .tllC1te~OJt(t. mO.4t 6u.tU19 tJutt 1.fI&.. Cohen be. 4 Jte.eipic.nt 06 .t:hf. AlUJ1.lldqjL flam.iUon N.lJMd. CITATION Ale.xculdC!.IL UamU.t.on h4Ja.!t.d FIle.d 8. SmLth a.ble. advocate, I,kllled ne.gQt.lo:tolt, .6U.peJLl.tJ1L Q.rlmi.n.uVtatoIt and ttJ.uc. cOc.LJudolt, GerzeJUti. Cotv..&el FJr..e.d B. smWt ita.& made ou.t..6ta.n.cUllg COn;tlt..[hLLt.loilA t:.o the. 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Uniled Sta..tu, ne.c.e,6~aJt!l c..t.un..i.J.etU.olt c~ no!d and .6UvVr., oack.lng 06 cultlLe;tc.!.f, pJtovid.i.tlfj i ..IlCJtI!.a.l>r.d ItMCtVtC.U nOlL hLteJLna.:Uon.a.e. bcut~;J!9 '('H6tLtut.i.(tr11;, P"I.OV.l.cUll.9 .(.tLCltCa6e.d lLe4CWLC.c..6 t.o the. govvutmcn-t .tJzJlCU3ft the ~ale of., paJLti..cA..pa.:ti..on/) .in [loV".Imr.~ent ct64C..t6, Md pltOv..u:U.YI{J au.t.itcJU.ty GOIL en6ect.ive con.tJr..oJ:. 06 i ..uteJr..u.t M;t(!4 pa,Ld by domu.t(.c. (;.i.ndneia.l ..iA6 ~n4. He. ~o pl.a~(!d 1I.u J.n.tt.[jItUIj, It.-U dedic.a:tWn, h.U 1d.[J/t dc.g/te.e. 06 l)Jto~c..6~.i.onal CO"'11'e.t~I'jC(!, hU k.lrtdU"r...6t., and It.,U e.~ample, have pllov,wed wtexc.dl.cd lcade.Ml1.i..p .to the. L('.!j(ti. O.i..v.u..Lon, ana. lutve e.M.ned him .tlte lLupeet and a.dm.Ur..a:tI..on 06 bo:th h.iA .6ta6 ~ and ~ c..OU€.a.EUU .th!r.O(Lg/1CU,t the. VtpalttlDeItt. CITATION Ale.x4ndeJL lltunU:t.cn 1w.:a.Jtd RobtJtt WaU.a.ce. M4.l.4~tt 41t unLUt~!1 Se.cJldaluj RovC!.JLt t~aUa.c.t.. 11M dc.n:CH4Vt4t.f.d c.bU...U.1.l .to e.xecute. wU.h cLi..6tiJlc.Uon dlveJr.4e ecmb.i.nat.icn 06 Jte4pon4,lb.l..u.t.i.u. He. htU 4e.Jtve.d a.6 a ktJ.,f advJ..6tJt on e.ccno:~ l'(JUc.y, Jlte.p!r.e.6(ULt.itI!) the. SeCJtetMij in .tec.hn.lc.al tutd pou..c.y c.ooJuLintLt..l.on L..;~tJl .the. CouncU 06 Eecnomie Adv,ueJU" the S,tltc.au. 06 .the. Bud9c.t rutd tit,. FedVtal. RuVtvc. BoaJtd. Ue. h.a4 bt.tlc « piUne.i.pa.l TIl.e.a4tL1l.y ..i.ntelUla:Uo1Ull. .tJLade. poUeiu. ~zt 1.n .the. 6(J~rdJl.t:.:t.Lon and e.xec.fl:Clem cQ lie. hM pl.a~;e.d a Ileq ItOte .i.n .the de.vdopment 06 c.cn~umClC. plWtecti.cn l.e.B.u.ttLt.iOIt, :the mo.&.t notable. pltoduet bung .the. COIU.UF.'!eJl CIl.e.dit PMtec-tl.cn Act 06 1968. He. itaA etlJtJt.icd .i.rlpolLtml.t llupo~i..b1.l.UrJ ioll. TJteaAUJUJ rl/)Uc..i.c~ en .6li.ve/t and the cchla..9~, and haA 6U.peJtV,u e.d :the. 0~on4 06 .the. nu-\~au. 06 the ;.tint. HI. ha.6 .4Vtved M the. Ve.paJttme.nt' 4 f.mp/.(Jljme.nt PoUc..t.j 066·LceJL, ~!J the p.'to9!(am .:to ach-te.ve lu.,U. e.qual,.UfI emp.e.cyme~:.t oppcfl..tr.l.J1.U:y in the. T..tc.cUUJtf/ nOll. membClt& (10 a.U m1.no Jl.Ufj gJwul>.6. on 7'1 c.M.1tif-urg cut aU 06 It.ib V(UU.J!t:.i a.nd ~mpc". tan.t Jtfl.ll rOj1~i.l).i.U;t1.(!A. he. JuUl d'<.~ :~lA:!cd an exceptional cor.:u.(.)14t.i.cn 06 tc.c.hn.ical c.oM;.~c.tenc.~# ru1.m.Uii.otJUtti.ve c:.blU:t~', ~oUHd ju.dqmu't-t and .ta.d. H~ lttU vJo!Lked cl.olleJ:.y mtd l!fi6e.cti..v~.l.lj wit.h :(j,(lO .6(tC.c.e.s.6.i.ve Sec/t.e..to.lr..le.~ c6 .tile. TJte46UJ\Y and ;tilW ot:hVL 1-vundpa.l ruiv,weJL6. and ha.4 mctde a majcll c.cn.Vtl.l.)U;t.('OJ'l .to many .Wi}'tOJc.ttuJ:t a4pe.c.U 06 .the. Ve,.\X.VIttle.,tt'.6 woll.k. .0 " ~ '- N CITATION At.e.xl1ndVl. Ham.LUon /v.JJaJul VougltU6 Hunt VOU.gltt6' HWtt hlU 4(?./lVe.d .swe.e. 796J lUl an 1..l'1vai.tw..ble e~c.mb('.It c6 the :top TIi..~.a6u.Jry lI:ta66. rfu.t ~ Spc.e.lAl M4L\tant to the Un«eJL Se.CJtd.aJt.y, and h.utCe. 7965 a4 Specl~.1. A&~.uta.n~ :to .tite Se.CJtetM.1}, he ha.6 c.on,t1t,ibu.tt.d .im1-"O/LtalLtJ!.f! ;to v.ilr.tt.u'tl,!y eVe/Ll} Mea 06 .the. VepaJt.tn:cn:t' 4 llct1..VWJ. .the. TlteMUJUj a. ke.c.n .i.t'vteUJ!.d. an ttnu..6uaL bJr.c.ttcLth ()~ ,(n.tcJt~6.a, a. pai..lw.ta.k.i.ng attention to dC'..ta.il., f.tJld an abJ.Ut.:! .to r.;a6,teJt. a v(!Juc.:t:.y 00 nove,! and complex. '/'ubjec..a. T/!Jtouai1 h.16 wiU...ingI'tM4 .to april} hi.A .ta1.ert;C ({nd c.ne.Jt.[~y un~wtti;:gl.lj, he. halt de.v"-1..opeG an cx.cep.t.(.ona.t kno£'Jie£ige. a.nd Wtde~.taHcUl1!l "6 :tite. e::ti..J:.e I:.rotge 00 Tlc.e.a5uJty POiA..ctl'A WId ph.O[J'UU7t6. III a vC.lqr JtC'Al. .!e.,u,e~ he h{U) becoMe a.n .impOJI.:taJlt lll'~d Lu.Ue. adv..u.VL to a..tt 00 tite f'4i.n.c.lpal. 06 i.ief.al..6 c If the VepaJr.tmeftt, and a. her: pM.:ti.c.l.jXU1..t .in :the. 6o}lr.;ui..a;Uon and e.x.c.cu.ticn 06 TJte.aAulty poUcy. Ill. bltOught ~(I At tJ. .c. 4ame. .t1.rr.e., he. 11M prJL6olLme.d w.UJt COn.6«,te.nt decU.caUoll .in W li.ole lU the. .i.r.tPlc.cUc.te a.4&L.\tan.t t.o the. ((I'ldClr. Se.C/Le;tCt/Ltj and :the. SeClte..tMy. Tlte. tCH9 ItCW'oA he hM de.vote.d to tlle. "lthVt.a.tded ~ Iz~ 06 adr.-..l.,1..6tvUlt!J tholl e. 06 n.i.cM and c.cctuUna.1:-iltg .thW:. W,",IUz. "JLth aU. othVL TJlettJWtIj ~.ta.G6 Ittlve. Ug!t.tWfld tIle. bUltdcn.4 06 l..u 4upeJLlc".,6 a.nd c.on.tJubu:ted .6.i.!1/u(;'£Cftll.tltj to .tl1e oltdeJ&l..tj and e·6ne.c..Uve. 6UtLc..tiO..uI'lB 0& the Ve.rMtTrIen.t .i.rt 9eJtCJutt and .l...t4 p"Uc..{(mak.o19 macJwt eJty J.n palLtLc.u1AJr.. JUIV(t JLU good Judgme.nt;, h,U 4en~U1.v.uq, and h.iA wJ,!el.~,1.4h devcUcn to h.u Jr.e.6"Olt.6.l.b.u:..it1.U ItUptet 06 h.U eotleasue& aJld .the. gJULt.l.:t.ude. 0' .the. V(1,paJ~en.t. . t.tWlt.d IWn .the. TREASURY DEPARTMENT , WASHINGTON. D.C. December 11, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by for two series of Treasury bills $2,700,000,000, or thereabouts, Treasury bills maturing December $ 2, 701 , 750 , a s follow s : °°°, this public notice, invites tenders to the aggregate amount of for cash and in exchange for 19, 1968, in the amount of 91-day bills (to maturity date) to be issued December 19, 1968, in the amount of $ 1,600,000,000, or thereabouts, representing an additional amount of bills dated September 19,1968, and to mature March 20,1969, originally issued in the amount of $1,100,108,000, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills, for $1,100,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated December 19, 1968, and to mature June 19, 1969. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value) • Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, December 16, 1968 Tenders will not be received at the Treasury Department, Washington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three deriimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. 0 Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to S~bmit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received wIthout deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from F-1432 - 2 t:"esponsib1e and t:"ecognized dealet:"s in investment securities. Tenders from others must he accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Tt:"easut:"y bills applied fat:", unless Lhe tenders are accompanied by an express ~uaranty of payment by an incorporated bank at:" trust company. Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announc ment will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rej ection thereof. The Secre tary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenden for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on December 19, 1968, cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing December 19,1968. Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank 060~ranch. TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR RELEASE 9: 30 A.M., CST OR 10 :30 A.M., EST FRIDAY, DECEMBER 13, 1968 STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE ROBERT A. WALLACE ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE A HEARING OF THE U. S. COMMISSION ON CIVIL RIGHTS SAN ANTONIO, TEXAS, DECEMBER 13, 1968 Mr. Chairman and members of the Commission, I am pleased to testify concerning the Treasury Department r s activities as a compliance agency to administer the requirements of Executive Order 11246 as they apply to Federal depositary banks. These requirements involve equal employment opportunity practices with respect to hiring, promotion, training and other personnel activities. In a recent attempt to assess progress achieved in this area, we made a survey of 230 banks in 20 large cities. It shows that 5,400 more Negroes held bank jobs in 1968 than in 1967, a one-year' increase of nearly one-third. During the same one-year period bank employment of Spanish-surnamed Americans in those cities rose 2,700, also a jump of almost one-third. The fact that these improvements occurred within a single year means that many of the banks in these 20 cities have achieved real progress in their efforts to extend equal opportunities to minority groups. However, some banks have, so far, done very little in this area; so we still have a big job ahead of us. Commercial banks with Federal deposits did not immediately become subject to the Equal Opportunity Executive Order 11246 when it was issued in September 1965. Almost a year after that order was issued, it was ruled by the Attorney General and the General Counsel of the Treasury that the 12,000 banks holding deposits of Federal Government funds were covered by these Federal nondiscrimination regulations. Government deposits with depositary banks were determined to be contracts covered by the Executive Order 0 F-1433 - 2 - It was by announcement right here in San Antonio that president Johnson advised the Nation of these new rules that had been published by the Treasury Departmento TIle Federal funds made available to the Federal depositaries increased the lending capacities and hence the earnings of the banks receiving them. Federal funds on deposit in these banks in recent times have averaged about $4 billion. In September 1967, commercial banks, savings banks, and Savings and Loan Associations who serve as issuing and paying agents for U.S. Savings Bonds and notes were also included in the coverage of Executive Order 11246. Specific guidelines for compliance by the depositary banks and the issuing and paying agents were released in November 1967 and published in the Federal Register. Government-wide regulations issued by the Labor Department call for compliance reviews of the larger covered institutions. About 2,000 of the 12,000 banks which serve as depositaries have 40 or more employees and so would be affected. Few would dispute the fact that the banking industry, until fairly recently, has hired very few minority employees o Nonwhites, Spanish-speaking and other minority groups held some of the lowest paid jobs, for the most part blue-collar positions, but their presence in white-collar positions was a rarity. As a result, Spanish-speaking Americans, black Americans, and other minority groups did not formerly seek employment where they felt they had not been welcome. It became apparent to us at Treasury that to overcome these continuing conditions, the Treasury Department needed to make members of the banking industry aware not only of the obligations to taking positive and dramatic action in their total employment p~actices, but also of the value of such policies. To administer the bank program, we have a very small staff. In the beginning we requested appropriation for the assignment of 15 persons to engage in a program of review and assistance to the banks to assure their compliance with the Executive Order o Congress did not approve our request - 3 - "'1.• v . I I and granted us no appropriation, requiring the Secretary of the Treasury to absorb all costs. Despite restrictions on Federal spending, he found it possible to permit the hiring of three professional persons. This is the extent of the staff to date. It is a competent staff. I will share with you Some of the things we have learned and have accomplished which I believe are significant. While much more might have been accomplished with a staff the size we requested, we have nevertheless utilized what resources we had to secure maximum overall resul ts • During the past year and a half we have contacted, by correspondence, the Chief Executive Officer of every commercial bank in the country and of each savings and loan association and savings bank who were issuing and paying agents of D.S. Savings Bonds and Savings Notes. We informed these financial institutions of their obligations under Executive Order 11246 which now required them to be in compliance with Equal Employment Opportunity provisions that affected all Federal Government contractors. We provided each of these financial agents with guidelines in the form of questions and answers o We met with officials of the banking industry at their conventions and explained to them the requirements of the Executive Order which called for affirmative equal employment practices and we provided them with guidance on how to develop more effective recruitment activities among minority groups Because we have a small staff, we actually developed for the banking industry a self-analysis guide which we encourage banks to utilize in order that they may determine a practical, working approach to the problems of ending discrimination and complying with the obligations they now have as Federal contractors 0 0 We have found during the past year and a half that large numbers of banks are anxious to improve their hiring of minorities but that they often did not know how to recruit them. In many cases, a commitment to change the image of the industry has been frustrated because banks have followed some of the same old recruitment practices which over the period of many years have become a matter of habit. To enable the banks to move forward with greater ease during this past year we conducted several innovative programs. I believe that it was necessary for me to meet with as many heads of banks as I could and explain the ~quirements of the Executive Order and help them understand their obligations for taking affirmative action in ending discrimination in employment. My office has conducted a - 4 - 3?~ . v series of four conferences under the j oint auspices of the American Bankers Association and the United States Treasury Department These four conferences provided us an opportunity not only to stress the requirements and obligations but also in workshop technique to provide specific guidelines and assistance that have produced results. Meetings were held in Philadelphia, Lansing, Los Angeles and Chicago. Their purpose was to bring together the heads of banks approximately 400. The results accomplished in these four sessions could not have been achieved by our small staff working with single banks, one at a timeo 0 I am submitting for the record, a summary of the most recent conference held in Chicago. It will indicate to you the positive, affirmative, innovative program that has produced results. As I went about the country, I became impressed with the real need to impress upon the members of the banking community that their obligation under the Executive Order is for equal employment opportunity for all Americans -- I felt they needed to know and understand the problems of exclusion facing Spanish-speaking Americans who needed good jobs and job training and who wanted to be hired by the banking industryo So we have talked to the bankers about the needs of Spanishspeaking people and of the neglect up to this time in soliciting them to compete for jobs. I am aware that the Mexican American is and has been a neglected American, that he has faced and still, regrettably, faces handicaps in language, education, jobs, heal th and housing opportunities. I have impressed upon bankers that the Mexican-American, over 5~ million strong, represents the second largest minority group in this country and provides living testimony to the repeated failures among this group to realize the American dream. We are telling banks that they must meet the problems of employment of the Mexican-American, of the American Indian, of the black American, of the Orientals, of the Puerto Ricans living on the mainland, of those religious minorities -Jews and Catholics -- who have not been given a fair shake in getting job opportunities and in climbing the ladder of success in the world of work. - 5 There is no mystique connected with the Executive Order. It is a straight-forward document which sets forth employment requirements to do business with the Federal Government. Our area of concern here is Section 202 of the Order. This section spells out the provisions that are included in every Government contract. At this point, I would like to quote pertinent paragraphs that make up the Equal Employment Opportunity Clause. The first is "The contractor will not discriminate against any employee or applicant for employment because of race, creed, color, or national origin. The contractor will take Affirmative Action to insure that applicants are employed and that employees are treated during employment without regard to their race, creed, color, or national origino Such action shall include, but not be limited to, the following: employment, upgrading, demotion, or transfer; recruitment or recruitment advertising; layoff or termination; rates of pay and other forms of compensation; and selection for training .08 " This portion of the first paragraph of the clause is the heart of the entire program. So many people ask what is affirmative action. The Department of Labor has not defined affirmative action and has announced that it does not intend to do so. I think it needs to be defined. I, therefore, defined affirmative action for the bankers a year ago in September at the American Bankers Association Convention in New York and we continue to hammer away at promoting an understanding of this important hitherto undefined termo My definition is "Affirmative Action means applying management techniques and controls over all personnel actions that are normally applied to any program that you want to succeed. It means analyzing the methods, procedures, and results of personnel actions at all levels to determine whether they have resulted in the exclusion of qualified or trainable workers because of 'race, intentionally or unintentionally. It also means taking direct immediate and appropriate corrective action if discrepancies are found between policy and practiceo" We have just scratched the surface but there have been Some significant result's. In everyone of the 40 banks throughout the country where we have conducted a review of the personnel programs and equal employment practices we have ,...3() ~-, - 6 - seen improvements. As a result of the conferences we have held, we have been able to ask banks to take affirmative action and to furnish us a report, 90 days thereafter, of activities and progress following the conference. In an amazing proportion of banks whose staffs we have met, there has been an increase and broadening in the recruitment, hiring and upgrading of minority group persons, to the mutual benefit of the banks and their communities. We have recently revised the agreement that Federal depositaries be required to sign when they get their qualification to hold Federal deposits. This makes it clear that they are expected to take affirmative action in fulfilling their requirements and at the same time, provides for assurances of the elimination of segregated facilities and conditions. We hope that the number of banks disqualified for deposits because of non-compliance can be kept to a m1n1mum. However, the Department has made its requirements clear and four banks have lost their Federal deposits because they refused to take any action to meet the equal employment opportunity requirements. This action has served notice to the entire banking industry that the Treasury Department will use sanctions for noncompliance when it is necessary. We have had an opportunity during the last several weeks to compare some of the statistics that are filed annually by banks with over 50 employees. I have some comparative data for 8 of the larger San Antonio banks. In 1967 these 8 banks employed 1,096 people of whom 81 were minority group persons. The breakdbwn of minorities were 70 Spanish-speaking, 10 Negroes and 1 Oriental. In 1968, these same 8 banks employed 1,138 people, 42 more than in 1967. But, in 1968 the minority utilization had jumped from 81 to 243 and we found that these ~ banks were now employing 216 Spanish-speaking people, 24 Negroes, 2 Orientals and 1 Indian. Of course much remains to be done but it is good to know that in less than a year, t~e minority utiliz.ation has tripled -- from 81 to 243. This should provide evidence that a real start is underway and that minority group persons in the city of San Antonio can find encouragement in this and therefore make inquiries about and apply for employment and training opportunities. Most important, they can make these inquiries for employment with the expectation that they now must get a fair shake and if they are qualified or qualifiable, they will probably be hired. - 7 There are 4 additional banks in San Antonio which were not required to file reports with the Government in 1967 but which did file in 1968 and as a consequence, I have data for l2 banks on 1968 employment. Although all these cannot be compared with previous years, there is some evidence of an upward move in the utilization of the Mexican-American and the black American by the San Antonio banking industry. These 12 bank reports indicate a total employment of 2,075. Of this number 425 are minority group persons broken down as follows: 364 Spanish-speaking and I assume Mexican-Americans, 54 Negroes, 6 Orientals and 1 Indian. This represents 140 male and 285 female minority group members. I shall be happy to answer any questions about the program which the Commission may direct. Thank you. Attachments SAMPLING OF 230 BANKS IN THE Total employees Total minority group ~O LARGEST CITIES Negro Oriental Indian SpanishAmerican 1L968 268,381 37,317 ·22,457 3,140 230 11,490 ~967 241,759 28,658 17,084 2,643 148 8,783 Overall Minority Utilization - 1968 ............. 13.9% 1967 ............. 11.9% 00 Increase: Jobs Percentage 26,622 8,659 11% Office of Employment Policy Program U.S. Treasury Department Washington, D.C. 20220 30.2% 5,373 31.5% 497 18.8% 82 55.4% 2,707 30.8% (..0 W I'\) - 9 - 333 20 CITIES COVERED IN TREASURY SURVEY 1. Washington, D. C. 2. New York, New York 3. Los Angeles, California 4. Newark, New Jersey 5. San Francisco, California 6. Chicago, Illinois 7. Detroit, Michigan 8. St. Louis, Missouri 9. Kansas City, Missouri 10. Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 11. Dallas, Texas 12. Cincinnati, Ohio 13. Baltimore, Maryla nd 14. Cleveland, Ohio 15. Houston, Texas 16. Boston, Massachusetts 17. Milwaukee, Wisconsin 18. Minneapolis - St. Paul, Minnesota 19. Buffalo, New York 20. Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON. D.C. December 12, 1968 FOR Th1J:vlEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY ANNOUNCES SCHEDULE FOR REGULAR WEEKLY AND MONTHLY BILL AUCTIONS DURING THE HOLIDAY SEASON The Treasury announced today that the regular weekly bill auction that would normally be held on Monday, the 23rd, will be held on Friday, December 20. The day for the auction is being advanced to assure ample time between it a.nd the payment date during the pre-holiday season. Payment for and delivery of the bills will be on the normal day, Thursday, December 26. For the subsequent weekly bill auction the announcement inviting tenders will be made on Monday, December 23, and the auction will be held on Friday, the 27th. The pa.yment and delivery day for these bills will be Thursday, Janua.ry 2. The Treasury added that the regular monthly bill auction will be announced on Monday, December 16 with the auction taking place the following Monday, December 23. December 31. F-143~ The payment and delivery date for these bills will be Tuesday iREASURY DEPARTMENT . =~~ '!!2S?~'=''!'' - = WASHINGTON. D.C. FOR RELEASE 6: 30 P.M., ~onday, December 16, 1968. RESULTS OF lm'ASURY I S WEEKLY mLL OFFERING 'lhe Treasury Department announced that the tenders for two series of Treasury bills, one series to be an additional issue of the bills dated September 19, 1968, aJXl the other series to be dated December 19, 1968, which were offered on December 11, 1968, were opened at the Federal Reserve Banks today. '!'enders were invited for $1,600,000,000, or thereabouts, of 91-day bills and for $1,100,000,000, or thereabouts, of 182-day bills. The details of the two series are as follows: RANGE OF ACCEP'lED COOE'nTIVE BIDS: 91-day Treasury bills la2-day Treasury bills maturing June 19, 1969 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate _--.;.;1D8~tu~r;...;i....;;ng;;w,....Ma=..;;r;...;c;.;;;h:.....;;;.2.;..0,l.......::l;;,;;9~6.;..9_ Price 98.503 High Low 98 • .a4 98.492 Average Approx. Equiv. Annual Rate 5.922J 5.997~ 5.966~ ~.970 5.993J 6.033~ 96.950 96.958 Y 6.017~ ~/ 7~ of the amount of 91-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted 67~ of the amount of 182-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted 'ruTAL TENDERS APPLIED FOR AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RE3ERVE DISffiICTS: District Boston New York Phi lade 1phi8 Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City AEElied For $ San FranCisco 1,706,273,000 32,170,000 49,024,000 15,005,000 4:4,537,000 203,101,000 49,513,000 28,931,000 35,118,000 30,900,000 162,935,000 IDTALS $2,383,329,000 ~llas Acce~ted 25,822,000 $5,822,000 1,073,023,000 17,170,000 49,024,000 15,005,000 35,607,000 178,101,000 45,513,000 26,931,000 33,118,000 22,9(0,000 88,635,000 ApElied For $ 15,858,000 1,635,894,000 18,013,000 40,872,000 14,393,000 42,071,000 145,635,000 29,920,000 18,285,000 21,885,000 22,160,000 169,979,000 $1,600,849,000 ~/ $2,174,965,000 AcceEted $ 5,858,000 810,444,000 8,013,000 36,772,000 8,263,000 25,204,000 55,005,000 24,053,000 11,125,000 19,786,000 11,830,000 83,899,000 $1,100,252,000 ~/ ~ Includes $314,949,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 98.492 ~ Ineludes $175,430,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 96.958 j '!hese rates are on a bank discount basis. '!he equivalent coupon issue yields are 6.l4~ for the 91-day bills, and 6.2~ for the 182-day bills. 1-1435 TREASURY DEPARTMENT .. ---....-....---. WASHINGTON. D.C. December 16,1968 JR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S MONTHLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by )r two series of Treasury bills L,500,000,000, or thereabouts, ~easury bills maturing December 1,499,494~000, as follows: this public notice, invites tenders to the aggregate amount of for cash and in exchange for 31,1968, in the amount of 273-day bills (to maturity date) to be issued December 31 , 1968 , 1 the amount of $500,000,000, or thereabouts, representing an jditional amount of bills dated September 30,1968, and to ature September 30,1969, originally issued in the amount of 1,000,607,000, the additional and original bills to be reely interchangeable. 365-day bills, for $1,000,000,000, ated December 31,1968, and to mature or thereabouts, to be December 31, 1969. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under ompetitive and noncompetive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at aturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They ill be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, 5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 maturi ty value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches p to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard ime, Monday, December 23, 1968. Tenders will not be eceived at the Treasury Department, Washington. Each tender must ~ for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive anders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, lth not more than three dec"imals, e. g., 99.'925. Fractions may not 'e used. (Notwithstanding the fact that the one-year bills will run or 365 days, the discount rate will be computed on a bank discount asis of 360 days, as is currently the practice on all issues of reasury bills 0) It is urged that tenders be made on the printed orms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied Y Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on :lpp1ication therefor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of lstomers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such anders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to F.l,436 - 2 submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be recel~ without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rej ection thereof. The Secre tary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on December 31, 1968, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing December 31,19680 Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank 050aranch. .~~ V 3""7, i TREASURY DEPARTMENT ; = WASHINGTON. D.C. December 16, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by for two series of Treasury bills $ 2,700,000,000, or thereabouts, :Treasury bills maturing December $ 2,709,535,000, as follows: this public notice, invites tenders to the aggregate amount of for cash and in exchange for 26,1968, in the amount of 91-day bills (to maturity date) to be issued Decemeer 26,1968, in the amount of $1,600,000,000, or thereabouts, representing an additional amount of bills dated September 26,1968, and to mature March 27,1969, originally issued in the amount of ~,l02,282,000, the additional gnd original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills, for $ 1,100,000,000, dated December 26,1968, and to mature or thereabouts, to be June 26, 19690 The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturi ty value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Friday, December 20, 1968. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury Department, Washington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three dec'imals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and fo~arded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application the refor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of provided the names of the customers are set forth in such Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to ;~bmit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received nthout deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from ~ustomers ~enders. F.. 1437 - 2 - responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. T"~ from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the ~ amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bat or trust company. Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public ann~ ment will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenden for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from any ~ bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for-the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on December 26, 1968, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing December 26, 1968. Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the Uhited States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank 0oO~ranch. TREASURY DEPARTMENT 4 WASHINGTON, C.C. December 17, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TUESPAY DECEMBER 17, 1968 I I The following letters relating to the application of U. So balance of payments measures to Canada were exchanged yesterday between Secretary of the Treasury Henry H. Fowler and Canadian Minister of Finance Eo J. Benson. December 16, 1968 Dear Minister Benson: In completing the 1969 United States Balance of Payments Program and while arranging for an orderly transition, I thought it would be useful to review the unique financial relationship which exists between our two countries. This was last described in the exchange of letters I had on March 7, 1968, with your predecessor, Mitchell Sharp. In my letter I noted: "Unicpe financial relations between our two countries have been a mutual support to both and to the international monetary system. These relations have served the interests of both our countries without interfering with the domestic·po1icies of eithero" Events since March add a new endorsement to this judgment. This unique relationship which our two countries share is a natural reflection of a cornmon and peaceful border of some 5,500 miles. It reflects as well the importance of trade and capital and neighbors who move across this invisible boundary. Recognizing this interdependence, we have long since believed that it is not in the interest of either country to occasion destabilizing influences on our currencies which might inhibit the other country in the pursuit of its own economic objectiveso To this end, our policies in this field have been to support our overall objectives to our mutual advantage 0 3:39 - 2 This is the reason, notwithstanding the cr1S1S then raging in the gold markets of the world and only shortly after the President's New Year's Day balance of payments measure, that in March we were able to exempt Canada from our balance of payments measures. This exemption and your reaction to it was indeed "mutual supporto" Canada was thus assured of access to our markets for a wide range of capital transactions, enabling Canada to continue its traditional method of financing its current account deficit with the United States and permitting financial institutions in both countries to operate flexibly. This latest recognition of the interrelationship of our international payments is also the reason you have taken constructive actions to ensure that Canada is not used as a "pass-through" channel by which the purpose of the United States Balance of Payments Program might be frustrated. Moreover, the policy under which you invest your foreign exchange holdings is to our mutual advantage. This is also the reason that in the exchange of letters last March we reiterated the basic principle that it would not be Canada's intention to increase its foreign exchange reserves through borrowing in the United States. Implementation of this principle does not require that Canada's reserve level be limited to any particular figure. We are well aware of Canada's need for flexibility with respect to reserve levels in order to accommodate the adaptation of monetary policy to the changing needs of its domestic economy, seasonal factors and other influences of a temporary nature. This statement of objectives recognizes that under circumstances in which an improvement in the payments position of the United States is essential to the strengthening of the world monetary system, it is in Canada's own interest to avoid hindering the achievement of this objective by unnecessary borrowing in the United States. In recent times capital markets in other countries have developed a capacity which has attracted borrowers from many countries. Canadian authorities have taken advantage of these expanding capital markets to raise funds in substantial quantities. These developments now offer Canada an alternative means of achieving an increase in its reserves whenever Canadian authorities believe this is desirable. In addition, Canada has given strong support to the arrangements for new Special Drawing Rights which, when activated, will offer a source of regular and automatic additions to - 3 '"'1'-.' .., I international reserves o Both our countries,along wit~ ., other nations, actively support the ratification of this new facility in the International Monetary Fund and the activation of these reserve assets as soon as possible. In undertaking this review of our relationship, I have been very much aided by the knowledge and experience our respective governments have gained through the close consultations which form such an important part of this relationsip. These consultations will, of course, continue to permit us to keep each other fully informed of our views regarding current financial developmentso The unique financial arrangements we have developed, expressed first with the joint statement of July 21, 1963 and brought up to date today, provide support to the payments positions of both countries and hence strengthen the international monetary system. Sincerely yours, Henry Ho Fowler The Honorable Edgar Jo Benson Minister of Finance Ottawa, Ontario, Canada - 4 ? . - ,~q .1. December 16, 1968 Dear Secretary Fowler: I welcome the review of financial relationships between Canada and the United States which you have provided in your letter of today's date. As you have noted, the Canadian Government is keenly aware of the importance to Canada and to the world, as well as to the United States, of the strength of the United States dollar and, as a means to that end, of a continued improvement in the international payments position of the United States. With this in mind, the Canadian Government has adopted policies to ensure that the exemption of Canada from the United States Balance of Payments Programme would not endanger the success of that programme In particular, we have taken steps to prevent Canada from becoming a "pass-through" channel for the flow of capital from the United States. We have also found various appropriate means of supporting the payments position of the United States. Thus the Canadian Government has invested its United States dollar reserves ~n excess of working balances) in special non-marketable issues of the United States Treasury. It also turned to the expanding capital markets of Europe to find funds with which to rebuild Canada's foreign exchange reserves. In the course of this year substantial sums have been added to our reserves as a result of borrowings of the Government of Canada and other Canadians outside the United States, and the investment of these sumS has provided support to the payments position of the United States o We expect, as you note in your letter, that the implementation of the Special Drawing Rights scheme in the International Monetary Fund will provide an additional well-regulated scource of new reserve assets. 0 ... 5 ... I too have found very useful the close consultations which have corne to form such an important aspect of the relationship between our two countries. I look forward to a continuation of them as a means of keeping each other fully informed of our views regarding current financial developments. In the light of all these considerations I can reiterate to you that it is not an objective of Canadian policy to achieve permanent increases in our exchange reserves through unnecessary borrowing in the United States I fully share the view expressed in your letter that the implementation of this principle does not require that Canada's reserve level be limited to any particular figure, and that our reserves may be expected to fluctuate to accommodate the adaptation of monetary policy to the changing needs of the domestic exonomy, seasonal influences, and other influences of a temporary nature. o Yours sincerely, Eo J. Benson Minister of Finance TREASURY DEPARTMENT 4 WASHINGTON, D.C. December 17, 1968 FOR RELEASE AT 5 :00 P.M. (EST) TUESDAY, DECEMBER 17, 1968 COVEY T. OLIVER SWORN IN AS NEW U.S. DIRECTOR OF WORLD BANK BY TREASURY SECRETARY FOWLER Covey T. Oliver was sworn in today as U. S. Executive Director of the International Bank for Recons truc tion and Development (World Bank) by Treasury Secretary Henry H. Fowler. Ambassador Oliver will serve a two-year term, succeeding Ambassador Livingston T. Merchant, who retired. Ambassador Oliver leaves the post of Assistant Secretary of State for Inter-American Affairs and U. S. Coordinator for the Alliance for Progress, which he assumed on June 30, 19670 Prior to that he served as Ambassador to Colombia from 1964 to 1966. Born at Laredo, Texas on April 21, 1913, Ambassador Oliver attended the University of Texas, from which he received Bachelor of Arts (1933) and Bachelor of Laws degrees (1936), both summa cum laude. He subsequently obtained Master of Laws (1953) and Doctor of Juridical Science (1954) degrees from Columbia University. He is a member of phi Beta Kappa and the Order of the Coif. Ambassador Oliver's career encompasses extensive experience in both the governmental and academic fields. Admitted to the Texas bar in 1936, he served on the faculty of the University of Texas Law School until 1941, entering the government service in 1942 as Senior Attorney for the Board of Economic Warfare. He was then appointed a Foreign Service Reserve Officer and assigned to Madrid to conduct economic warfare and blockade operations for State, Treasury and the Board of Economic Warfare. From 1944 to 1949 Ambassador Oliver served in Washington in a number of positions largely related to United States economic policy toward Occupied Germany, Austria, and Japano He was also a member of the United States delegations to the 1946 Paris Peace and Reparations Conferences and the Austrian Treaty Commission in Vienna (1947). F-1438 (OVER) - 2 - Ambassador Oliver returned to the academic world between 1949 and 1964. He was Professor of Law at the University of California at Berkeley until 1956 and thereafter Professor of International Law at the University of Pennsylvania. During this period he was Director of International Studies for the Berkeley campus, and a Carnegie Endowment Lecturer at the Hague Academy of International Law in 1955 and a Fulbright Teaching Fellow at the University of Sao Paulo in 1963. Since 1963, he has been a member of the Inter-American Juridical Committee of the Organization of American States. Both as Ambassador to Colombia and as regional Agency for International Development administrator for Latin America, Dro Oliver has had wide experience and heavy responsibility as to United States bilateral assistance programs o Professional memberships of the new Treasury official include the American Bar Association, the International Law Association, and the American Society of International Law. He is a former editor of the American Journal of International Law. Ambassador Oliver's published works include a monograph, "The InterAmerican Security System and the Cuban Crisis", and "The Restateme of Foreign Relations Law of the United States" (co-authored). In addition, he is a contributor to various legal periodicals, primarily The American Journal of International Law a Ambassador Oliver is married to Barbara Frances Hauer Oliver, and they have five children. TREASURY DEPARTMENT ( WASHINGTON, D.C. December 18, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE UNITED STATES AND BELGIUM TO DISCUSS REVISION OF INCOME TAX CONVENTION Representatives of the United States and Belgium are expected to meet in early February in Brussels to discuss revision of the income tax convention between the two countries, the Treasury Department announced today. The existing convention was signed in 1948. It has been ~ended several times, most recently by a protocol adopted in 1965, and in its present form is due to expire on January 1, 1971. The revision is expected to be extensive, as in the case of the recently revised treaty with France and an earlier treaty with the United Kingdom. The discussions will take into account changes in the tax laws of the two countries during the past several years, and the "Draft Double Taxation Convention" published in 1963 by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. The negotiations are expected to cover such issues as the definition of permanent establishment, taxation of profits, income of professional persons, employees of foreign corporations and investors, and provisions for consultation and resolution of cases involving double taxation o Those interested in the proposed new convention may wish to consult the recently ratified convention between the United States and France That convention is No. 6073 in "Treaties and Other International Acts Series" publ ished by the Department of State 0 0 Persons wishing to comment or submit information concerning the proposed treaty are requested to do so by January 10, 19690 Their comments or observations should be sent to Assistant Secretary of the Treasury Stanley S. Surrey; Treasury Department, Washington, D. Co 20220 000 F-1439 TREASURY DEPARTMENT 4 WASHINGTON, D.C. December 20, 1968 FOR AoMo RELEASE MONDAY, DECEMBER 23, 1968 The attached exchange of letters between Secretary Fowler and the president concerning the 1969 Balance of Payments Program is for A.M. Release Monday, December 23, 1968. Secretary Fowler's letter was written in his capacity as Chairman of the Cabinet Committee on Balance of Payments. Attachments F-1440 '34S THE WHITE FOR A.M. RELEASE MONDAY, DECEMBER HOUSE December 18, 1968 rYear Mr. Secretary: I have reviewed and app roved the rep 0 rt 0 f the Cabinet Committee on Balance of Payments setting forth recommendations for 1969. Our balance of payments program consists of a series of ongoing policies in a number of related areas. It must at all times be coordinated and pulled together o We have made our recommendation for 1969 at this time to facilitate an effective transition to the new Administration and the orderly development of future policies in this important area. We have made a great deal of progress in 1968 toward our goal of a healthy equilibrium in our balance of payments. More progr~ must be achieved to assure the continued strength of the United States dollar. The stability of the international monetary system, and the great amount of world trade which it supports, depend upon that strength. I would like to thank you and the other members of the Cabinet Committee on Balance of Payments for your determined efforts to propose and to do whatever is necessary to keep the dollar strong. Sincerely, /s/ Lyndon B. Johnson Lyndon B. Johnson The Honorable Henry H. Fowler Secretary of the Treasury ~3, 1968 ~~ ~. V II ~tI~~:~ 4" I I FOR A.M. RELEASE MONDAY, DECEMBER 23,1968 THE SECRETARY OF THE fREASURY WASHINGTON December 17, 1968 b'~ ,,", Dear Mr. president: Near the end of each year beginning in 1965, your Cabinet Committee on Balance of Payments has submitted a recommended Program to guide and coordinate the many Federal activities relevant to our international balance of payments. This letter report will set forth the recommendations of the Cabinet Committee on Balance of Payments for the 1969 Program. Your approval of this Program should facilitate an effective transition and orderly development of future policies in this important area. With my colleagues on the Cabinet Committee and the aid of your staff, we have coordinated the execution of the Action Program contained in your Balance of Payments Message to the nation last New Year's Day. A 1968 Progress Report will be separately submitted. We have also considered together the nature and extent of the program needed for 1969 if the nation is to build on the progress made in 1968 and achieve a viable and durable equilibrium in our international balance of payments. It is submitted below. The Cabinet Committee on Balance of Payments has worked with me in preparing the 1969 Program. The following participants join with me in these recommendations: The Secretary of Defense The Secretary of Commerce The Secretary of Transportation The Under Secretary of Agriculture The Under Secretary of State for political Affairs The Administrator of the Agency for International Development The Special Representative for Trade Negotiations The Director of the Bureau of the Budget The Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers The Chairman of the Federal Reserve System. - 2 - A few preliminary comments are in order concerning the overall policy framework in which these recolnmendations are submitted. Our determination to achieve equilibrium in our international accounts is as vital today as it WaS on January 1, 1968, the day you announced your Balance of payments Action Program. The removal of our international payments deficit remains "a national and international responsibility of the highest priority". "The execution to date of the broad and comprehensive Action Program you announced on last New Year's Day has substantially improved our balance of payment~ situation. A huge deficit in 1967 has been whittled down to near equilibrium in the second and third quarters of this year on the liquidity basis of measure. There is a substantial surplus for the first three quarters on the official settlements basis. We. are pleased that the nation is making substantial progress toward aChieving equilibrium in our international balance of payments. But we cannot be satisfied with the relative composition of its components. Our progress is spotty and some of it may be transitory. It is spotty because two big elements in our current account -- trade and tourism -- are far from satisfactory, and a third -- a reduction in net deficit in Government military expenditures in Southeast Asia -- must in large measure await the restoration of peace in the area. There is reasonable prospect of continuing improvement next year. This assumes that there is no dismantling of the ongoing elements of your Action Program. It also assumes that the initiatives launched in that program to improve our trade surplus and reduce the net deficits in military expenditures abroad and private travel will be vigorously pursued. Until these elements of the program are effectively executed, we will not have the durable surplus or the assurance of a long-term equilibrium that will enable us to abandon some of the temporary and less desirable measures we have been forced to employ. ""4 Q...,. .j - 3 - These temporary measures have served us well. They helped bring the necessary ilmnediate improvement in our balance of payments and have given renewed confidence in the strength of the United states dollar. These temporary measures, appropriately modified, are needed for some additional period. As the longer-term measures, instituted last year and in some of the preceding years, yield increasingly larger benefits, the restraint achieved by the temporary measures may be phased out. To complete our task, a continued and sustained effort will be needed. This is the quickest and surest route to the strong and viable payments position which \vill permit US to eliminate those aspects of our program that are not wholly compatible with the free flow of trade and capital movements. These are the underlying principles which your Cabinet Committee on Balance of Payffients believes should govern the program in 1969. I. A Stable Economy and the Restoration of a Heafthy United states Trade Surplus Should Ee the primary Ohjecflve..... !.or 1969. The keystone of a sound international financial position of the United States and of the dollar is a trade surplus. Without it, the United States cannot do what is natural and desirable for its role in the Free World -- to export capital, to provide its share of the cornmon defense, to give foreign aid, and to have large numbers of its citizens traveling abroad. Hence, the first order of business in your last New Yearrs Day Message was for Congress to enact an antiinflation tax, which, coupled with expenditure restraint and appropriate monetary policy, could help stern the inflationary pressures which threatened our economic prosperity, stability and our trade surplus. You also urged labor and management restraints in wage-price decisions and instructed your principal officers in the economic area to work with leaders in business and labor to make effective a voluntary program of wage-price restraint. A similar instruction on preventing our exports from being reduced and our imports increased by crippling work stoppages was prescribed. -, 4 Unfortunately, delays in attending to this first order of business in 1968 contributed to a ~ontinued instability in the economy and a very substantial decline in our trade surplus. However, the progress that has been made in recent months has laid the foundation for a much better national performance in the area in 1969 and y~ars ahead, if the nation carries through with the program now in progress. The Revenue and Expenditure Control Act, finally enacted in late June, established our commitment to fiscal restraint. The Congress and the President will have to decide in the months ahead on fiscal policy for the period beginning July I, 1969. This policy will require decisions on expenditures and taxes necessary to provide that degree of fiscal restraint which is a fundamental element in' an adequate follow-through in the ongoing process of disinflation, restoration' of our 'competitive position and provision of a healthy trade surplus. This fiscal policy, coupled with appropriate monetary policy by the Federal Reserve Board, will make possible the avoidance of the excessive demand that has contributed to the decline in our trade surplus. It will also enhance our competitive position by arresting inflation and enabling the economy to move back toward reasonable price stability, given accompanying voluntary restraint in wage-price decisions. ' The Cabinet Committee on Price Stability, after consUltation with business and labor leaders, including the President's Labor-Management Advisory Committee, is submitti~g a report on the progress made and the plans for future coopera tive efforts on the wage-price front. In 1968 we witnessed the adverse effects on our international trade position of the work stoppage in copper and the potential work stoppages in steel and ori th~ docks. These focused renewed attention on the need for both labor and management to recognize the implications of their actions and' their positions on wage disputes and their relationship to the protection of our' national interest in maintaining the stre~gth of the dollar. - 5 - 2. Initiatives Pursued in 1968 to Assure Fairness to United States Trade in world Markets Should Culminate in 19 G9 in Cooperative Action by the United States and Our Tradlng Partners. In 1969 further reduction of non-tariff barriers and appropriate cha~ges in the General Agreements on Tariff and Trade rules on border tax adjustments must be achieved. International trading rules and practices are established through multilateral consent and negotiated in the multilateral forum of the GATT. In early 1968 united States representatives inaugurated a deter~ined effort to eliminate non-t2~iff barriers, revi0w agricultural trade, achieve improvements in the trading rules and minimize the disadvantages to our trade which arise from differences in the applic~tion of national tax systems to exports and imports. The GATT Committee on Industrial Products has developed a catalogue of non-tariff barriers to trade and is now turning to the removal of these restrictions. Similarly the Agriculture Committee of the GATT is conducting a general review of agricultural trade problems. In attempting to solve problems in these areas, we must be reali.stic· in our objectives and timetable. On the other h~nd, we cannot be satisfied without real progress soon to eliminate the significant non-tariff barriers. We must bear in mind that the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 does not permit the United States to compensate with trade concessions the removal by others of ill~gal non-tariff barriers. The GATT Working Party on Borde~ Taxes must complete its task as early as possible next year. We believe there is a structural disadvantage to the United States, and to other predominantly direc~-tax countries, which arises from the border tax adjustment system as presently permitted under the GATT rules. The lack of an overall limitation on border tax adjustments, the proliferation of the practice, and the unequal treatment prejudicial against one tax system as opposed to another are problems in the GATT rules which must be addressed. - 6 The United States has also raised the issue of the provisions in the GATT rules which pertain to the process by which international payments imbalances are adjusted. Under the GNCT, countries sUffering temporary balance of payments difficulties may introduce ~hort-term trade restricting practices such as quotas but the GATT is silent on th~ responsibilities of surplus countries. We have seen, in the month of November, two countries employ other measures which also facilitate the adjustment of their balance of payments position. Through the manipulation of b0rder tax adjustments, both' France and Germany are endeavoring to influence their trade accounts in a manner conducive' to better overall payments equilibrium. This course of action was chosen as an alternative to a change in parity -- an action which would have a permanent effect on trade. This experience should be examined to consider its lasting implications for the process by which a nation's intern~tional payments are bro~ght into balance. 3. Dep~rtment of Commer~e Should I~tensif~ ~ffC?rts to ~~1c1 Conunerc~.al E~ports . Genc:t:"a}ly c?n0. J.n _~9~unct:t.£.n. \·n.th. FO:,(f'J q~ The Assistance, an{ the Agency for International Development Should Continue Measures to Assure Additionality and to Mi~imi~e Substitution in Forei9n Assistance. The long-term trade promotion program which you outlined in your New' year's Day Message should be pursued vigorously. These efforts have been helpful to date, and they will have to be reinforced. The recent reco~~endations of the National Export Expansion Comnlittee provide suggestions for reinforcements. These should be considered . . . The efforts of AID and other concerned agencies to minimize the balance of payments cost of bilateral economic assistance have been successful in keeping these costs to a minimum. The principles by which this is done are established. The implementation of these principles has now been under way for some time; and the regular, vigilant administration of these methods is what is required and is what we are receiving. - 7 Some of the most important by-products of economic assistance are the trading benefits arising from the development and growth of viable economies abroad. We trade and prosper together. Our tied bilateral economic as~istance, which transfers real resources has the effect of facilitating the introduction of American goods and services to these fore~gn markets. In distant ~reas, purchases of capital goods, often bo~ght to last for a lifetime, provide a continuing introduction of the product names of our factories to foreign buyers. In 1969 we m~st concentrate on developi~g follow-up sales after thesE early "calling cards" have been delivered. Industry, assisted, if need be~ by Government, must expand . upon the export opportunity created by our economic assistance. This will require a sustained and positive proqram. The Comm8rce Department has cooperated closely with AID in seeking ways to maximize united States commercial exports followin~ upon the foreign assistance program. In the area of publicity, Commerce provides information on AID business opportunities through a variety of media such as International Commerce and Quar~erly Summary_of Future Construction Iiliroad. In addition to information available through these publications, Commerce provides information on AID export opportunities and guidance on the procedures for selli~g under the AID programs directly to American businessmen through personal contacts. The Commerce Department also puts' together annual united States trade and investment programs for approximately 60 countries of main commercial interest in the world. Specific informational, promotional, and policy activities to be carried out in support of the program objectives are delineated. For countries with AID Mi~sions, the AID operations generally constitute an important factor in achieving progress toward the investment program objectives. Additionally, the Department of Commerc~ through its trade programs, commercial exhibits and trade missions actively assists the United States exporter. - 8 - 4. Consistent \"i th Our Security Coromi tments, the Nation in-Y969 Should-Continue to Mlnimize Its Net"MIIi ta_~~ Deflci t b]_~educi~.9. Tnese Expenditur7s.When~ver Conditions perm~t an? £X ~~utrallzlng T~em Through C~peratlve Actlon by Our Ailles. We should stand by the principles which you enunciated in the January 1 program: "We cannot forego our essential commitments abroad, on which Am~rica's security and survival depend. "Nevertheless, we must take every step to reduce their impact on our balance of payments without endangering our security." As we look at our overall balance of payments position and prospects, it remains a key concept that the foreign exchange drain from United states defense expenditures outside our borders for mutual security is an extraordinary item in the balance of payments. It should be met by special governmental action -- it does not result from normal economic developments; nor is it subject to normal economic management through fiscal, monetary and incomes policies. We need to maintain existing programs and constantly seek new ways to reduce our defense expenditures abroad. The types of actions by the Defense Department to reduce net foreign exchange costs during the years 1961-1967, as described in "Ivlaintidning the strength of the United States Dollar in A Strong Free ~vor1d Economy", Tab B, United States Treasury Department, January 1968, and in the Supplemental Progress Report for 1968, must be constantly pursued. We welcome the extensive cooperation from countries in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and in other parts of the world during 1968 to minimize our military foreign exchange costs through: purchase in the United States of their defense needs; and investments in long-term United States securities. - 9 - In 1969 \'7C Hill \'1~ini- to contimJc) cooperation and conclude new arrangements, wi th po.l,ticuL-; r cmpll as is on Nl\.TO Europe. In th6 coming year, we Hill want to build on past experience in ways which: proceed from the N1\'['O recogni_tion of the principle that the solidarity of the Alliance can be strengthened hy cooperation between members to alle~iatc burdens arising from balance of payments deficits reSUlting specifically from milita~y expcrditures for t~e collective defense; increase tte emphasis on purchases in the United states to meet country needs for the improvements NATO has recently called for in country forces; and reduce reJj 2ncc on invcstmcr: in long-term United states securities as a means for dealing with our foreign exchange costs resulting f~om defense experiditures outside our borde~s, since these investments do not provide the basis for a long term solution. J .::::; In other parts of the vlorld, we should give particular attention to the Far East. Military expenditures related to Vietnam and the prospective longer-term security situation in the region may be expected to continue a heavy drain on United States foreign exchange. We will be looking to countries in the region to continue and expand their' cooperation with us to deal with this problem on a continuing basis. Active negotiations to this end should be a continui~g responsibility of the Secretaries of State, Treasury, and Defense. Of course, the principal opportunity to achieve actual reductions in our gross defense expenditures abroad, without damage to our long-term mutual security interests, is most likely to occur in connection with progress in the negotiations looking to a peaceful settlement of the conflict in Southeast Asia. - 10 Even before our substantial involvement in military operations in Vietnam in 1965, United States military expend~ tures in the major Far Eastern countries were considerable. The direct foreign exchange costs of these expenditures averaged about $700 million per year before 1965. They are curren·tly runni!lg approximately $1. S billion ~i9".her. This heavy direct loss of dqllars to and through East Asia must be reduced when the fighting stops. Therefore, a high priority must be given to the problem of neutralizing, .1·.0· the maximum possible extent, the balance of payments cost of our security forces in East Asia while the fighting continues, and reducing the gross cost when the fighting diminishes or ceases. 5. The Manda~~y and Temporary Forei~ir~c~ '?:3"ye~tment Pr,?gram, as Announce,d ~n Mod~f~ed Form bx-the Secretary of Commerce on NovemE'er 15, 1968~should_be Main_r aJ.,pe9.. The mandatory direct investment control program for 1968 not interrupb:;d th~ hig-h, indeed, unprecGC:cnte;c1, level of total American investment· abroad. It has had the intended effect of reducing capital outflows from this country by increasing the use· of funds borrowed overseas for direct investment by united states affiliated enterprises. ~)as Our base for future earnings continues to increase and the present balance of payments costs are maintained within tolerable limits. The private sector has for the most part understood this. The best way to keep the program temporary is to press ahead vigorously on all features of the balance of payments front. . There is little disagreement that this program should be temporary and terminated as soon as possible. It is the vie\V' of your Cabinet Committee that it is not possible to terminate the program in 1969 without running a grave risk that Our progress toward balance of payments equilibrium would be reversed and a heavy deficit become a likely prospect. As stated earlier in the principles governing the formulation of the 1969 program, until the· nation has a durable surplus or the assurance of long-term equilibri~, it would be unwise to abandon some of the temporary and less desirable measures that it has been forced to employ. - 11 - " r " r',) v '-, L This has a special relevance to the Foreign Direct Investment Program as the following observations underscore: First, overseas investments by American business (excluding Canada, which is exempt from the direct investment pr~gram~ are project:d to increase again in 1969, with plant and equ1pment expend1tures reaching close to $8 billion _u~ f:om ~n estimated $7.5 billion this yea:, and up from $4.6 bllllon 1n 1964, the last year before the 1ntroduction of the voluntary program. Second, in order to hold the balance of payments impact of such invest~ent in 1968 to the $206 billion you targeted last January, it may be necessary for United States companies and their foreign affiliates to utilize between $2 and $2.5 billion of the proceeds of foreign borrowing in addition to foreign borrowing for day-to-day working capital requirements. To meet the new target for foreign direct investment of $2.9 billion in 1969, we project it may be necessary for business to utilize another $2 - $2.5 billion in foreign borrowing next year. ~'hird, growing restraint upon capital flows fl.'om the united Stat~s sin6e the start of the voluntary program in February 1965 has resulted in a substantial, and ~o some extent abnormal level of foreign debt by united States companies and th8i~ foreign affiliates, as compared to what it might otherwi.e have been without the foreign direct investment programs. We do not have any precise' way to measure its size, but it could approach $5 billion by the end of this year. Fourth, during the past four years, in cooperation with the capital programs, many united states companies have decreased their overseas liquidity through the reduction of inter-company accounts and the'repatriation of earnings, and as a result, are more active, albeit reluctant, borr6wers for working capital purposes. All trols in outflows mate the of this suggests that termination of capital con1969 could'result in a sharp increase ,in capital and retained earnings -- it is difficult to estiprecise amount for much will depend upon market - 12 conditions and other factors, but there is a potential exposure of as much as $3 - $4 billion. The outlook for 1969 does not permit taking the risk of that much additional direct investment hampering progress in our balance of payments program. Basically, the 1969 Foreign Direct Investment Program will folloH closely the format of this year' s program'. Hm'lever, some additional leeway is needed (a) to provide additional flexibility for companies with limited or no overseas investment experi0.nce; (b) to make the Regulations more responsive to thc3e companies whose investment quotas are unrealistically low in relation to the return flow of earnings from their direct investments; (c) to assure that the p~ogram does not unnecessarily inhibit the growth of intercompany exports of American goods and servlces to foreign affiliates; and (d) to enable the Office of Foreign Direct Investments to be more responsive to special industry problems and some of the inequities in the Regulations which have become apparent during 1968. We recognize that just to maintain their existing overseas operations on a sound basis, companies must have the capability to retain abroad a certain percentage of their foreign earnings. Furthermore, retention of a portion of foreign earnings will be necessary to insure an orderly retirement of the groHing debt being cOntracted abroad. We therefore recommended that the target level of direct investment be increased to insure that every company has, in 1969, an investment quota of at least 20 percent of its 1968 earnings from foreign direct investment. This change was announced on November 15. Some adjustment in the target was also necessary to assure that United States companies have additional quotas to expand exports of. goods and services through their foreign affiliates. . . Further adjustments of the target were needed to make the Program more responsive to hardships arising from the application of the Regulations to special industries such as the international construction and transportation industries, whose operations and accounting procedures do not dovetail with the Regulations; to provide relief for companies whose ability to meet the repatriation requirements _. 1 3 - of the Rcgnlat~cns is r(~~i-·cff';; Ll~7 Jr.'vl o~ control; c to enC01.l.rC1g2 p r iV01-C invc"c:;1-'11 'nt of Cl QPueJoF n:"J. character in the less developed arCn~; ond to provide: companies \Vi th no or limited prior overseas invcsbnent 02XpOj~j(:nc~r; - \Vi th a somewhat h~ghcr level of p~rmitted direct inV0st~cnt. .1. ,: (,[ I Finally, to CD:,I-·J,'- (,;y,~-'nics to plan ah,no anc1 to insure that investment projects wlth lmportant future balance of payments potentiaJ ar~ not ~isrouraged, the Office of Foreign' Direct JnvestrV'll;ts ('voJ ve'd .i L:.s incremsn tal earnings forrnula, under 'Which c=tc1cli CiOl'21 c1i rc:c t investm8nt in f1ltu}:-e years is authorized on th~ b~si~ of future inc~cRcntal e&rni~gs. The Fedc!:al Reserve program has required a great deal of United states fjnancial institutions and they have responded well. Since 1964, United States corunGrcial banks have not increased the volume of United States credits to foreign borrowers, even t:lough the foreign bank'_Lj business has grovm substantially in- all other respects •. In their international operation, united States banks have had to meet the demands of clients for foreign loans within their voluntary ceili~gs and through the extensive use of resources in foreign branches'. The prospects for 1969 do not permit any basic cha~ge in the need for restraint on foreign lending of United States banks and other United States financial institutions. Accordingly, the existing voluntary ceilings for foreign lendi~g' by these institutions should be continued for 1969. During the coming year, attention should be, given to the effect of the program on increasing united States receipts as well as on reducing united States capital outflows. Since 1964, annual ex~orts from the United States - 14 have incrcRsed by about 32 percent. Financing to support the "groHth in exports has become available as banks have changed the composition of their portfolios of foreign credits response to the voluntary pr~gram and to a lesser extent by the usc of funds in foreign branches and by the expansion of the Export-Import Bank's direct lending. The Federal Reserve Board intends, in the light of developments in the United Stat~s and abroad, to re~iew its Voluntary Foreign Credit Restr~int program early in 1969 in order to det~rrnine whether additional flexibility for financing United States exports might usefully be provided in the pr~gram's" guidelines in 7. Eg~_ct!-ization Tax, Vlhich Expires J~~y_ 3l~96~., Should be Extended ",'i th the !!:.e Interest Exist:.ing Authori:!Y to Vary the Ra"t"C-from 1-1!2-P"Grcen-::-Dovln to Zero, Depending on crrCl.1rrts "lc.nce s . The size ~nd efficiency of the American capital market necessitated the Interest Equalization Tax in 1963. This tax has served to facilitate greatly t~e expansion of the Eu!:'opeCln capital me rket. and to devel r L) addi t.ional techniques fo:~ emplo:/ing savings around the vlOr.id in productive investments. Through preserving an exemption for lesser developed countries, the access they need for developm~nt assistRnce is assured. In 1967, Congress granted the President certain dis· cretionary &uthority in order tha~ the purpose of the legislation -- Hhich is to limit but not prevent access to the capital market from developed countries -- is best served. In 1969, this legislation will need to be extended. In order that we have available a method for phasing out this tax, the existing authority to vary the rate of" the tax from zero to 1-1/2 percent per anr.um should be retained. 8. A Five-Year Program is Needed to Narrow the Travel Deficit Through Promotion of Foreign Travel in the United States by BOth public and Private Action. As has been pointed out repeatedly to the public and to the appropriate Con~ittees of Congress, the trend of the contribution of travel to and from the united States to our balance of payments deficit is such that 'the united States cannot continue to ignore the problem. - 15 It waS for this reason that in your New Year's Day Mess~ge you so~gh~ to reduce the travel deficit by calling for voluntary actlon and appropriate legislation. In 1967 this deficit exceeded $2 billlon. If the nation is to prevent the tourist deficit from continuing to rise and possibly exceed $4 billion by 1975 (as United States disposable income and the portion of it spent on foreign travel increases, and the new a~rplanes with larger ca~acities and greater speeds bri!l9 1m '~.;..' fares), t~12 r.:l'::'ion must begin to implement ~ a cor~preh(;L;.;i Ve J o~19 -. [.<.-;1 ' l)rogram to increase rapidly the amount of .r:orei.]l'I "-Y""'H~") t, thi~ country. The President's Comnission, formed in 1967, has provided numerous suggestions wor1..:hy 0.: Cl :~tentic:l, not only for immediate measures already taken in 1968, but for the longer term future. Although final figures are not yet available, we must anticipate a continued large travel deficit in 1968. It might well have been larger but for the fact that many of the remedial measures recoIn..rnendec1 by your Commission \vere carried out by Government and voluntarily by the private sector. The longer-term me2..SUres recommended by your Commission to promote travel to the United States will require regular and adequate financing. The simple fact is that the Onited states has a smaller' annual budget for promoting tourism than that of almost any other industrial country. One way to finance an appropriate and effective travel promotion program would be to eliminate the exemption of international flights from the long existing five percent tax on airline tickets and to dedicate a portion of the proceeds to a special fund to be used and expended for travel promotion during the fiscal years 1970-74. There are, of course, other" ways. Early Congressional action is highly desirable. . We must not allow an increased tourist deficit to jeopardize progress in other areas of the balance of payments nor to necessitate the maintenance of temporary restrictive measures on capital flows, nor to handicap the United States in discharging its national security commitments outside the united States. - 16 - * * '* The Cabine-t Conuni ttee on Balance of Payments believes that these policies will continue the very real gains already achieved under the Action Program you announced last New Yeart~ Day, will maintain the strength of the dollar, and \vill contribute to a strong free \vorid economy. In, the year ahead, these policies will help to preserve these, gains and their contribution to a strong free world economy. Faithfully yours, Henry H. Fowler The President The White House TREASURY DEPARTMENT ? ; WASHINGTON, C' C. FOR RELEASE 6: 30 P.M., Friday, December 20, 1968. RESULTS OF mEASURY' S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING '!be Treasury Department announced that tbe tenders for two series of Treasury bills, one series to be an additional issue of the bills dated September 26, 1968, and the other series to be dated December 26, 1968, which were offered on December 16, 1968, were opened at the Federal Reserve Banks today. ·~l'.lders were invited for $1,600,000,000, or ~reabouts, of 91-day bills and for $1,100,000,000, or thereabouts, of 182-day bills. '!be details of the wo series are as follows; RANGE OF ACCEPTED 91-day Treasury billa CC»IPETI TrVE BIDS: __ma_tur..;.;.;;..;...ing~_Mar~..;..ch~2;;...7'"""-..;;;.1..;..96;;..9;....-._ Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate - 6.195J 98.434 High 98.405 6.31~ Low 98.413 6.27~ Average 182-day Treasury bills maturing June 26, 1969 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Ra4le 96.810 6.31~ 96 07.c.9 6 • .c.31~ 96.764 6.401~ !I ~ Excepting 1 tender of $100,000 of the amount of 91-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted 2~ ot the aJIlount of 182-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted 3~ roTA!. TENDERS APPLIED FOR ABD ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS: District Boston New York Phllade 1phia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis MinneapOlis Iansas City lJillas San Francisco 'ID'mLS A1l!lied for Acce!ted $ 22,860,000 $2,860,000 1,14.7,:355,000 2,080,095,000 12,091,000 30,091,000 45,575,000 46,819,000 1.c.,513,000 14,513,000 22,085,000 31,695,000 135,.c.66,000 274,566,000 36,355,000 39,255,000 18,443,000 23,193,000 36,839,000 43,284,000 14,939,000 19,939,000 103,898,000 236,505,000 $2,862,815,000 f2-1ied for 4,274,000 Acce12ted $ 4,27',000 28,506,000 183,181,000 21,163,000 17,40',000 24,587,000 19,576,000 148,859,000 837,563,000 9,970,000 31,733,000 9,540,000 19,506,000 78,666,000 18,863,000 8,404,000 22,587,000 12,576,000 46,359,000 $1,600,418,000 ~ $2,412,156,000 $1,100,041,000 1,849,363,000 19,970,000 83,733,000 11,5~,000 £I Includes $269,759,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 98.413 Includes $151,513,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 96.764 ~se rates are on a bank discount basis. The equivalent coupon issue yields are 6.47 ~ for the 91-day bills, and 6. 71 ~ for the 182-day bills. F-1441 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON. D.C. December 20, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE JOINT COMMISSION ON COINAGE TAKES ACTION ON HALF DOLLAR FUTURE AND COIN MELTING BAN Secretary of the Treasury Henry H. Fowler, Chairman of the Joint Commission on the Coinage, today announced the resul ts of a poll of all Commission members as suggested at the December 5 meeting on the future of the half dollar and the coin mel ting bano A substantial majority of the Commission recommended that the Treasury reques t legis lation to authorize the minting Df a non-silver clad coin to replace the existing 40 percent silver half dollar. The Mint "']QuId be expected to continue ~roducing the 40 percent silver half dollar at the present mthorized rate of 100,000,000 pieces a year until such new mthori ty is gran ted. A substantial majority of the Commission also recommended iliat the Congress enact legislation to make the current ~ministrative ban on the melting of silver coins permanent md applicable to all V.So coins. Secretary Fowler, who favored this course of action at the December 5 meeting, !~ressed the view that the present ban should be continued mtil Congress can decide this issue through legislation. Draft legislation will be prepared by the Treasury for iubmission to the "l'xt Congresso 000 -1442 TREASURY DEPARTMENT ! WASHINGTON. D.C. December 20, 1968 FOR A.M. RELEASE MONDAY, DECEMBER 23,1968 THE NETHERLANDS PREPAYS MARSHALL PLAN LOAN TO EASE U.S. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS SITUATION The Government of the Netherlands today paid in full the $6505 million remaining balance on U.S. loans extended to it under the Marshall Plan. The prepayment covered amounts due between 1976 and 1983 according to the original amortization schedule. The prepayment was made by the Netherlands as an appropriate form of cooperation in the light of the overall UoS o balance of payments situation. Arrangements for the prepayment were agreed within the framework of discus s ions which the U. S. has conducted with its allies in Europe concerning cooperation to alleviate the effects on the U.S o balance of payments from defense expenditures for the common security. The original 1948 loan was for $129.5 mil1ion o An earlier prepayment of $49 million was made on July 17, 1963, together with final payment of $21 million outstanding In a 1945 Export-Import Bank Loan. Other payments on the Marshall Plan loan were made on the original schedule. 000 F-l443 • .J I, _ TREASURY DEPARTMENT . t WASHINGTON. D.C. December 23, 1968 MEMRORANDUM TO THE PRE SS : President Johnson announced today that he had made a recess appointment of Joseph W. Barr as Secretary of the Treasury for the remainder of the administration. He succeeds Henry Ho Fowler whose resignation was effective December 20. The president also announced a recess appointment for Barr as Vo S. governor of the IMF, the IBRD (and associated institutions), IDB and ADB. Barr will also replace Fowler on all Cabinet and other committees o 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON. D.C. ~ RELEASE 6: 30 P.M., :>nday, December 23, 1968. RESULTS OF TREASURY'S )l)BTHLY BILL OrFERI1fG '!be '!Teasury Department announced that the tenders for two series of Treasury ills, one series to be an additional issue of the bills dated September 30, 1968, od the other series to be dated ~cember 31, 1968, which were offered on December 6, 1968, were opened at the Federal Reserve Banks today. Tenders were invited for 500,000,000, or thereabouts, of 273-day bills and for $1,000,000,000, or thereabouts, f ~5-day bills. The details of the two series are as follows: WE OF ACCEPrED OO'ETI TIVE BIDS: Righ Low Average 273-day Treasury bills maturing September 30, 1969 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 95.14.7 6.4.0dJ; 95.059 6.516~ 95.084 6.4.83~ 11 365-day Treasury bills maturing December 31, 1969 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 93.531 6. MO'JI 93.425 6.485~ 93.499 6.4.1~ 11 4~ of the amount of 273-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted 58~ of the amount of 365-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted OTAL TENDERS APPLIED FOR AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS: District Boston New York Phllade lphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Lallas San Francisco Al!l!lied For 229,000 $ 1,054,857,000 6,212,000 1,291,000 1,280,000 6,163,000 67,075,000 7,634,000 374,000 829,000 11,198,000 96,898,000 Accel!ted 229,000 $ 393,4.17,000 1,212,000 1,291,000 1,280,000 2,663,000 23,075,000 5,634.,000 374,000 829,000 3,198,000 66,898,000 roTALS $1,254,040,000 $ Chicago Apl!lied For $ 15,275,000 1,437,307,000 12,526,000 18,709,000 3,884,000 8,074,000 159,299,000 17,717,000 5,776,000 4,572,000 12,350,000 100,736,000 500,100,000!/ $1,796,225,000 Accel!ted $ 5,275,000 762,467,000 2,526,000 13,4:63,000 3,884,000 4,074,000 124,299,000 14.,717,000 5,776,000 4.,572,000 5,350,000 53,636,000 $1,000,039,000 ~/ Includes $18,841,000 nonccxnpeti tive tenders accepted at the average price of 95.084 Includes $56,303,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 93.499 'lbese rates are on a bank discount basis. '!be equivalent coupon issue yie lds are 6.8~~ for the 273-day bills, and 6.84~ for the 365-day bills. F-1444 TREASURY DEPARTMENT t = WASHINGTON. D.C. December 23,1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $2,700,000,000, or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturingJanuary 2, 1969, in the amount of $ 2,701,605,000, as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) to be issued January 2, 1969, in the amount of $1,600,000,000, or thereabouts, representing an and to additional amount of bills dated October 3,1968, mature April 3, 1969, originally issued in the amount of $1,101,507,000, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills, for $1,100,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated January 2, 1969, and to mature July 3, 1969. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetive bidding as het"einafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturi ty value). Tenders will be t"eceived at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Friday, December 27, 1968. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury Department, Washington. Each tender must be for an even mUltiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and fo~arded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application the refor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of Customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to S~bmit tenders except t;-'r their own account. Tenders will be received wlthout deposi t from inccrporated banks and trust companies and from F-1445 - 2 - respons ible and recognized deale rs in inve s tment securities. Tendet'l from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated ban or trust company. Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public annOlJ ment will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rej ec tion the reof. The Sec re tary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subj ec t to these reservations, noncompetitive tende for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from any ~ bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on January 2, 1969, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing January 2, 1969. Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excludec from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunde need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which thE return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and th: notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank 06o~ranc~. TREASURY DEPARTMENT .--.-.--- - - - _.- - WASHINGTON. D.C. December 30, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY ANNOUNCES REDUCTIO~ IN COUNTERVAILING DUTY ON CANNED TOMATOES AND CANNED TOMATO CONCENTRATES FROM ITALY The Treasury Department announced today that it lS reducing the countervailing duty which it has been assesslng on canned tomatoes and canned tomato concentrates from Italy. The reduction follows an equivalent reduction by the Italian Government in the amount of the subsidies being paid on exports of these products to the United States. Since this reduction took effect on November 27, the countervailing duty will be reduced on all exports of these products from Italy on and after that date. The countervailing duty reduction will amount to approximately 16-2/3 percent in the case of canned tomatoes, and approximately 9.1 percent in the case of canned tomato concentrates. The announcement of this action will be published in the Federal Register of December 31, 1968. The countervailing duty on canned tomatoes had originally been set at 18 percent of the invoice value, but not more than 1800 lire per 100 kilos. Eighteen hundred lire per 100 kilos is approximately 1-1/4 cents per pound. Under the new rate for canned tomatoes the ccuntervailing duty will be reduced to 1500 lire per hundred kilos. F-1446 - 2 - The countervailing duty on canned tomato concentrates was originally set at 15 percent of the invoice value, but not more than 3300 lire per 100 kilos. Thirty-three hundred lire per 100 kilos is approximately 2-1/2 cents per pound. Under the new rate for canned tomato concentrates the countervailing duty will now be reduced to 3000 lire per hundred kilos. The new rates will remain in effect until the subsidy program is terminated or until the amount of the subsidy is again modified. The original countervailing duty actions were announced on April 18, and took effect on June 1, 1968. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT 4 -- WASHINGTON. D.C. RELEASE 6: 30 P.M., day, ~cember 27, 1968. RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING TIle Treasury Department announced that the tenders for t1.io series of Treasury ls, one series to be an additional issue of the bills dated October 3, 1968, and other series to be dated January 2, 1969, which were offered on December 23, 8, were opened at the Federal Reserve Banks today. Tenders were invited for 600,000,000, or thereab':mts, of 91-day bills and for $1,100,000,000, or therelilts, of 182-day bills. The details of the two series are as follows: GE OF ACCEPTED PET! TIVE BIDS: High Low Average 91-day Trea sury bi :_ls maturing April ~ 1969 Approx. Equiv. Price Annua 1 Ra. te 98.451 6.128% 6 .·502~ 98.407 6.i9:3~ -y Y 1:1 ~ Excepting one tender of 37~ 2~ 182-day Treasury bills maturing July 3, 1969 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 96.816 6.298% 96.785 6.359i 96.799 6.332'; $S, 000 ot the amount of 91-day of the amount of 182-day bi lis bid for at the low pri.ce was accepted b~lls bid for at the low price was accepted 11 TENDERS APPLIED FOR AND ACCEPTED BY rlillERAL RESERVE DISTlUCTS: ansas City sUes an Francisco AEl)lied For $ 24,898,000 1,581,663,000 23,343,000 29,294,000 12,000,000 30,308,000 152,497,000 38,753,000 21,691, (;'00 21,909,000 29,217,000 159,841 1 000 AcceEted $ 14,898,000 1,093,663,000 19,343,000 29,294,000 12,000,000 30,308,000 152,487,000 36,753,000 21,691,000 21,909,000 23,217,000 144,841,000 TOTALS $2,13l,414,000 $1)600,404,000 listrict Ioston lew York. )hilade lphia :leveland tichmond .tlanta hieago :t. Louis ~nneapolis !!I ApE1ied For 4,986,000 $ 1,453,917,000 14,883,000 34,804,000 4,802,000 14,480,000 154,979,000 29,933,000 17,096,000 14.~ 984,000 23,885,000 _,107,936,000 Acce}2ted 4,986,000 $ 807,767,000 4,783,000 34,804,000 4,802,000 13,730,000 119,542,000 29,233,000 10,096,008 14,984,000 16,885,000 38,636,000 $1,876,685,000 $1,100,248,000 ~ [neludes $269,610,000 noncompeti tlve tenders accepted at the a.verage price of 98.433 lneludes $157,899,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 96.799 lbese rates are on a bank discount basis. The equivalent coupon issue yields are 3.39% for the 91-day bills, and 6. 63i for the 182-day bills. l447 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON, D.C. December 27, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE UNITED STATES -- IVORY COAST TO HOLD DISCUSSIONS ON INCOME TAX CONVENTION Discussions have been scheduled between the United States and the Republic of the Ivory Coast to consider whether a basis exists for an income tax convention between the two countries, the Treasury Department announced today. The talks are expected to be held in Abidjan, the capital of the Ivory Coast, in early February. The primary purpose of the income tax treaty would be to eliminate doub12 taxation resulting from the taxation of the same item or items of income by both countries and to establish procedures for mutual assistance in the administration of income taxes. Persons having an interest in such a convention who wish to offer comments or suggestions may do so in writing. Comments should be submitted by January 25, 1969, to the Office of International Tax Affairs, Department of the Treasury, Washington, D. C. 20220. 000 F-1448 364 TREASURY DEPARTMENT ; ::: WASHINGTON, D.C. December 30, 1968 MEMO TO THE PRESS: Attached for immediate release is the text of a December 20, 1968, letter to the President from Secretary of the Treasury Henry H. Fowler in his capacity as Chairman of the Joint Commission on the Coinage. Similar letters were sent to the President of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives. F-1449 '":e;r:~.J '-- / ' - ' TM Coin., Aet of 1%5 aDthorlled the P'rnideot to establish • JoiM eo.t.stcm ... the Coh...,.. "nte Act specified that the c..inin be e.posod of 24 . . . ." -. six frotI Saute, six trn t . . . . . . of lepre.eatative., tear fftMI Ex.cutin Inndl (Secleta?y of tlte Tft...1'1, Seefttary of CClDleKe I' 01 rector 01 the Bare.. of the ladpt, and Director af the M1llt), and ei~t public IIIIJ!IIIbers to be RaM b1 the Prestdnt. The SecTetllry of the Treuuy desipated as C'hait"ll8. It was the hrtftTlt of the Omans. that the r....tlsiea han a ~t.l ret. 1ft the tonulatitm _4 i.~ta tioa of all sllYer and coinage poliey deeisloft3 fteeessary to co.plete the t1'llUition fl'ftll silftT tt') 7WJUi IftT col"s. The Coads.toa was to,...UIH eft May I, 1 %7, with the appointll!&l1t of tt. public Raben. w. ne Coiraap Act as.igned to the .Joint Comission • wide HA,e of Specifieal1y, tlccordin~ tf) the Act, th~ Jotllt COIBiswin .. the Col1l&~ '~sh.tl study th'!! !"I,-o~1 .ado in tite t-rl,..fttstion 0' the eo1nA~ pTO~rA~ e~t.hl~shed by this Aet, .ad ."all Nri •• tn. ti_ to tiM, ~ueh .attt'~ as the ".ods of the eco11OllY 101" eo!"s, the .taadan:lJ for th~ el'rlnAp, ~hnololieal drfel~.ts in Netal1u1"gy and cola •• 1eetOT devices, the availability of yari.s ..-talR, renewed mbrti_. of th~ s11ve1" 4o11a1", the ti_, whew, ad cf ftUIISteees uMe7' wbieh th. United Stat••• hculd ceas. to . i . d . the "riee of .11ver, lind ethel" Ct)nsiooTatiou rel.".t to the _i1lteUDee or en adequate and tt.hl~ emu,. '1St.... It shall. ",. ti_ to tiM, give tt~ IldYiee ;md ~co~:rtlen!t win, ?eSJlect to t),.e aatten to the President, the Sccret317 of the T1"0HUl'Y. and the ConI'ftS!. t, ~siblUti". The J&int Ca..i!sien h~lrl its first meoting on ~y IB, 1961. Tn all t it has wet stx tbles and has serv@a in " CGIltimtatd aHJyiscry capaeity, ~artid'P ..tinJ in all \~y ~liey (~;leision.s. ~'or Sil..... aM ColtJ~ Policy Decisions -- t-far 1(l(.~. - Dece1lMr 1%8 At the ti_ of the Co.ds5ion's tint 1!eetill, 01\ Nay 18, 1%7, th4 'rftuury, tinder the IIrthority of the ec,l 'fta~ Art 01 1965, 'III tloldh~, the price of silw1" at ~1.1Cl _ nwaee thTnu;.n Uftftltltrlcted 5a18' at that pria of its "'ree" st1ftY (tdlver Mt held ror the redemption of SUftT eerti neates) ttl all paTen.sen. foftlrb and domestic. This lcept the - 2 - wort. pltee of .ilwr at tM '1.29 1....1 'onateill.. the ..ant... _ltl., . . . . . . . . of U. s. Ill. .~ eel.. fer tIle . . . .f ...... aU", ,N .. abe expMitia, Itl_ . , tile _ .... ddet . . . . .t.s ad . .ute" te _ t the a.t1y'I . . . f . ed•• eewt. . . ".. ,...._~ . . t_ At tM ...t1., _ ...,. II. IM7. Co vt ..i _ _ 1..... . . cnetdIM la . . .eo 1 • • • •1.. 1Jy t'-e ?nu&uT that ••_ ~ ell-. .. Ii. . .l~ te puJ'ChMns et.... ~_ . . . .tic S...strlal . . . • 1 dl_4 ....latt. . . . . . thea I ..... t. nqt1in 1*fth.en of .Ihw tI Use c.ftlftcate. entlltt., that tM sll..r -.1....... I. ct•••tle __~., opentl.... I • ..witl. . , naa!atl- __ t ...... ~ ..thrtty the Col.... Act pt'8JtlMtl., the .-t1lerlu4 _lt1at. tre.tiD« . . .sport of .tl~ eel. . .f the U1d.t" Statee. _.cat...... Tn_., 0' pac"... The NUeJl fer tM actS• . , May II. 1M', that eM,.. fer .U~ . . . . the 1IIIrntrict" ••1.. policy had be.- t. Ii_, 1M "" 1IIay 15 It hatl lIppa1Wt that the TftMfft7 c.al4 _t ..ed. tM, Nt. of sal. . vltllorat COIIplet.ly ail_till, 1'ttI .t. . . ., ,.... .U... vit" ••• ,..latlwly .hert ".ri.. of ti... The heavy pucJaa........ .., W ........ priadJtal1Y by , ...tea, .estly leT "eo.. .xpeft. 111 caeectlen vitll the tftldutl. . . Nay 18, IN7 ••t ....., .... ,.,....,.,. sal . . .f allYn'• • IfOIIP '-111•• _alen , . . . . . . cl... '" oJan whip wn }MIllIS., . . that . . . bat .... . . ......... The C I ....r Nrl.... t .... elat_ ... NIl . . . . tMe lePalad. . . . lid ....... I. e..e~ .1.., wle. tMy . . .1. M • •lftcl tit c.ut ., oat. 1ft. -.,Id..etea . f tMtr 1. . . . . . . . . .'181• .nits . . a.... If., 0* t- t_ .. CI . . . . .ttoa. Repnseatatlw fa. . . lilt ........ "pilatl_ tld~ pup•• 1ft tile tnth Cnpa. (If. , ... 1307 . . H. I. 11171). ... t. "'._IY fer .at . . 111" .... 311M 1917. Ial. . ., .Uwr te ....Ihlal . . . __ I . _ at .........11 t. _ _ • 01 u... widell .-1........ete4 " . Mmal .....trl.l _tIft? _ _ • .,. .4.1.'. the p"t'O&leU wer 1-1/2 hllliOft el_ eel.. , aM t'- _1_ e* el_ eel.... 1ft e1ralatl_ aacI 1. the l.,ntort . . ., tile Mlilt . . 'Men!. . . ."" "a ft..tl,. . . . . d .affld....t to - . t the tIMlq .... .... if YirtuaJly all'" .il. .1" c.t•• _n wit. . . . . f1W clnaladby }n'f.Yate 1ae14eft. Theft .... thftefore. _ 1. . .1" . . , jatlflcaden lIt. . SIn1'Iu sappll. . ., ,...,....,. .llwr to pdYate . . . . at ",nee-. ...-untiell,. ...Iow the pn.alllq _Nt 1...1 • _t. ""I', _at.,.'. "1" .. ...... ~he tiM! decl.t.. t. ltalt .11. .r ••1_ at , ........ pd. was .... ~ tlle ..un I . . . .,. rwt ..... wltl the e.ua.. C 1.1.. II • • Itt..... 3tily Ie. At t.t. _ d.... c.....Iea _ tho~'ly 1trt.,.. _ the T'r....~ ..,,17 . , .11.-. . . . . Ji. . I"'. t_ est!. . . . of tM Tn...,. ap.aty to _ t ~l. ""I" _ Its ':[,r> '.JOO - 3 ~ilyer eowdn~ years. S,ecifieal1y. the Co~s~ion wa~ jud~ent of the Trerurul')", t"'e Ivai Illble supply of lupply over the "dYhftd that in the dIver .al adequnte to (1) l"MHm all silver certificates likely to be of's"d until th~!)e "d~tion rirhtl ~"ded nn .1une 211. J 1)(-.8, (2) mint ,,11 ~~oody lo!al f d01ltu'~ COft~~S, and (~) f{')T tTansfer 165 e" t\Jn(l~ hl'G heen 3nprOPTtAt~~ hy the ~i]lion ounces of silver to the d~fense whl stockl'ile tm Jtml" 24, 1%~, 3...1 roqul!'e1i ~ lIN. It wat the Treasury's view tlHlt 8~t.,. 1'ItPkin~ 1ll1owanee for all U,ft,f' ()hlh!stions the "rell~'Jry would sti 11 hav" fl. v"'rf lArge snrplu, ('If ~1l ver hy the end ",r .Ju"e 19()~. raven this fnvorshlp. !IIu",lus inventory ~ituat1on. the C()mlItission was advt,ed th.at thE> "'~~~UTV could t!lllintain sales o4! ~dlver to th~ nTivnte 1I8r"~t <weT t"te e~inr yeaI'. Slnc~ theT1t ltI~! no longer any justification fnr 5el H n~ t~t, ~ut'plu!l ~ 1 1vel" at Ii 5uhsidv :noice, i t "'a~ reCOIiUlended thRt tlte salt-:~ "e r,mde at thA ~oin~ 1Mlrkct p-::-ice. prefera.bly thl"OUgh 8 emmet! tive hid l'roceduTe. Tlle chie' tldvllnt A~S of Minta! ninr Tr ••!ury sates of' silvltT weNJ~ (1) tIlt' ~'T'()fits from !;uch !alt's would be a It.tbstsnttll incn1l'te1lt to t~ r;OVp.rn_1!t'!' revenue, (1) the ,ales Wf)uld haV8 8 favorable h81ane~ of en ~ayments erf~et through ~duci"" the neod for silver l~orts, lind silver no lon\'ftT needed hy the Treasury could hrne'it the oohlir. throut!h ctmVo1'!ton hy ,'!"~vate Industl'Y to useful ~u~oses such a~ fila. defense need!. etc. "cro'l"dl 'l"dy. the r~i ssion al'lpmvp.d f\ ~f!~oluticm t hat the Trf'llSUlj' te'r"d",.te it! "fll~cy of :";f'llin" 'J"O'III it~ !'1'j";~k~ lit ~1.79 "el' ounce and, Pt"Ovlded that i~ in t~). jl1i!mnent l'f "hi' Tri~:1~ry it wouln ~~tVe sufficient ~ilv~!' to lI~et : t, 5tc~JtOt",.. ohltr1ll.tions ~ 1"'1- rPjlard to tho stnc\pil~ and l'erle"'!"ti.,n of si;\'er c:ertlf1cRte~. 'Ina}.:" fhtu~ !ales of ~i1ver pe,.iodically under a cO'fll'l')etit~ve hid l"l"O~duTe at a T3t~ ','ot exc:eedin~ 2 1dllion ouncel ~r ~ee'k ° Tl'le 2 p!illion ~mco weekly TRte "'~~ let M the figure which IP~~ximately ~ualed the ~rovailin~ deficit between the industrial co"s~tion O£ ,Uver and dmtestic mning t'roduetion. The r.OIIId.s~lon ~urthel' ~co1"Me,,~ed that !it1ch S~105 '-).., etn';"uc-tfld in lot ~~"T1er which would a'ford ,..11 pnre;8~el'S lUI well as 11l1"~e Thlrchass" an opportunity to bid and that t~ c;ec'l'8tRTy of the 1''t''a!!llry' continu~ to make rermrt, to the Cf)"IIt\i~,ion ~ thA rt'~ul t~ of t"o ~al e>~ And other fRcts reI at1nJ! to !il~r IUppl1es. ~(l'(Yirmin~ Au~st 4, 1 "fS1, t~e (",enel'al t)~rvtC&9 Acll!'i nist1"8tion. !Ie; 8~~nt for tl'e T~"'mrv. he~8n offeri n~ si Iver for ~lll., to d~e~tic i nt..'ustrl <11 nsr.n undeT t~t..' shove conditions. These ~"1f!!\ ~ave ~nt' r.1'e{\ to date. At SUMet"{U"nt 1'IMtetin~ of tl\~ f.o1!r."!i ~!C:(\n in Septemb~T 19~7 and iT! 'farch and Julv nf 1 %~. thf; r.omd ~~ion ~~d ;".t ~ined 3 cln!e rntew ('rVer tl'e Tl"eft5Ury'S ~ilvel' stml'Ues. -t the me~tin~ on March 1, 10~~, t'1e r,01llTlissi f)TI en"01~d in a 'l"rea"lt'V Pntr'oso.l to "",1 t s ilvc'!' c~in5 h~l (~ in Government inv.tori!'s m~:-1 t T\~lu~'" rof T'-~ i Iver 1-·ul Ho" "mtm~ tl-) at offflred At WN!'kly roSA sales. At this !'JHtetiT'l. t~e Co~j5siofl al~o lonl'Oved M inc'e-rhtlte e()T\tinuati(tPl of the coin lt~lting haJ1. - 4 - A.t the ftlf'etin~ to t!-f" dlsno~Bl Tnt8SUry. t~on on .July 15, 1~6R, the Co"",i~nion ~8VO consi,teraUon of the 2.n ~11U.on Tare silver doll_" held hy the advic:e of the Comaiss ion, the Chd man l1Jl!"ointed an Int~ra,eney c~tt~~ of t~e tare ~ilv~T to work out • plan for t~e oquitable dollars fnr its eonsiderntion. dispo~ttion At its l"Ieotil1( on Dece~her 5, 1(168, t!w Cm'!ll!ission comploted it!l HCOtIIIIen1ation.1I on the remaininl •• jor silver and coina,qe ilSUets. With ~~llrd t<" the '1. (\ ,...~ !5 ilver dollars held hy the T~asuTY, the COI'JIJissio1'1 rec~nde~ that th.y be ~~ld hy the r.SA at mi~l~ fixed prices ¥it~ M option tn the huyeT to include an alternate ~)id price to hI'" considere<i in t~9 cv~t t~e numhor of coin~ ordered exceed~d the ml~ber of ~oin5 ftvatlnl-.Je. !fnd(':t' this plan, evetryone would have an equal opportunity t~ ac~ire the~~ eRch coins ~ith nn initial limit of one coin per buyer in cate)~0ry. t')", (')theT issues considered at the neeemher S neeting, a substantilll Tl\t\jorlty of thE" r:~is~ion recotmftGnded thlltt the TrelUury roqu85t le,hla- I! tio" to ~lace the exi~ting 4n ~rcent silver ~~lf dollar with a ~o~!il~r c1;vl coin, Althou~h over ~M ~1111on of the 1(' pel"ccnt !lilver half dolla" h~ye l'een tlQirrted, very few ft'n' r~i rcul at .... d t hrouqh the Federal ~e5eTVe r(ank~. A l'Iaj~rlty of the COfllPftt ~sioll concluded th~t there 1 B an iwr.>ortant ccmmercial fH!ed fOT a drcul~tin~ half dollar eoin and that t"is need can h~st he ~et hy the mntinQ: rtf a no"silvol' cla.d half dol1l1r. A lIdnorlty of th<- rC"lmi~ui("ln favored the contirued nroduction of tho !ilver half dollaT. ~ snhstantis.l l'MjoTi ty of the Conni s~ion a150 recol"~tmd4'd t rat the \'ongT"OtI!S enact lCJ!i:o;lation to ma.\:e the current ad~in1strQtiva hsn on the Meltin~ of dIver eoins peT'llanent and applieahle to all U. $. coins. Thi~ ?ecO!!ll1ftendat1~n W~ largely based on the vie11 thnt atlY profits 1"("~ulttn~ tlle s21c of silver In U. S. coin.~ should b~ realizt"d ~'v the 1"'Iu't,lie A~. It W''-I,,1~ through their ;'ov('l"llJ'Aent T3theT than to lNHviduAl "~'.··lers of thes(' eoins. ~ permanent coin "':\(lltin~ hAn would also h~lp assure tre adequate ,Hrculati on of t~e 11onsl1ver cotn.~c in t~e ~v~nt of future market price situ~tions in other Metals si~lar to thflt which occurred with silver. A Minol"ity of the COIItf"liS5ion, em the nthf!!T hAM. felt th~t the coin meltinJt hall should he ended. In their vie~, t',~ ban WRS difficult to enf~e. and its end would _l::e R ~t\hst1lTltial 111:1ntity of !ililver in hoarde-d coiT'! availahle illlll"<iiatcly fOT i ru",u rt l-i a1 use. ' ro!II ~.e Pre~~nt ~il veT :-.ne Coi nage 51 tuation On July 11. lr'jf.7, h~fore silver ~:t]f"~ \fere ~er.un undor the GSA CfmTH"titive hid fl1'Oa-OuTe, "the TNaru-ry "'nd availal-Jle S21 million OUT'C05 ~ilveT .f of silver in eoin inv~tOTies, !"Ivr-T' t'~f\ next 1~ ~'"t~~, tmoroxlT'1!.tely 1()/; r,illion ouncos of 'dIver in nf .h1C~ ~l ~llion c~si~te~ ,. - J - eoln1 .....ded to the T?easuTY' ••vail.~l~ silver lu~~l, hy not redt'allatlar eoin. they tflt!'e ""tuT'fted to the "edent ftesene _.t,. ~ .., Ill' tl,lt laM 1~ -Mflt~ Tlorlot!, the 1'ftaJu1'1 t , IlIpply of .tt ..,. va ~-tf th1'OU~ (11 ~~A. 881C!! ('}f 1'" .Ul1..". ftUftaS(?l tU.,." cept!fie"te T'Mft..,tlon~ Teqtti1"in, 41~ -dtHOll 0Ul\~' (~ cet .... of t),e ttmHdy hal r doUI,. min, 4~ .t 111011 t'JDften rot) H5 at 1110n OUf\c.tJ which vas t.,.• .,.~f~,"""~ t~ t~ def. . . . . tocl.pUe; ad (~) 1t Irlll iM omlee. lost thrtm," the ~ to reet 1'a 1ate . . . of the wn ..." ~1'\' ~o'd ill'! hytl*vrtorl,., f)f "ixed ftl"T Iftd coJac! eelM. A~ • fttmlt nf these add! ti(HI1 Imd deJuctions t th. Tftuu1'Y nov ~oYeebor ~~. 1~~8' 14~ .tllion GUncos of all.et rtf wMef, . . .!th.,tod l~ .0 U.on MlftC" t'''nst~ts of ~ttftr h, celt iWft'ftterl •• ttt the ~J!t ad '.donl 1I.~ bnts. no.t lYel' ain•• Whlc~ cl.'l'l~ will BeYeT ~ u~.hte .s c!reuJat1nl ooiftac~, are betn! .1ted illto baT ~t1ftl" at a ftte sufficient to r,alRtaht tne ~ 111111019 once -.kt,- '.l~s tn"ther with • ,..,e~ stlPrly. If ftftCeJt • .".. thf I haJ ...ttahle weltt~R rat~ (R~ 0' ceulA he suh'tafttiatly i~cre.~~d. All of the Tre8"1H1"'f"1 CUl'ft~t ~u"!\ly t:t( t\ilYer, bath In bulUon ad b eoha •• Uf! ~'1. 1niekJy N~• • y.Ua~le 't)r 5111e t!tl"Oaf(h the GSA with tbe .see."tl_ . , a\o/{)Tel'iutely l ' IfItllton OtmUS w~td~ nqlsi1"81 further ftn.tw, to nt1"tKt ~ ~ld c_~ent ."d a"mrt U tt! llfOJ\ OUftces or .4M I t . elad _teT'i a1 ,..~ene~ rOT' t"e (tJl"'MHrt: 1, authtni zed til •• .,. ".1' deliaI'. "ith t~ 'tint'. Jtftseqt ftlinin, ",.our~ •• the 2~ llillton MlRe.,t .tft4 wit!> ""Ie! C81\ ~ !"en Md l~to us.hlo f ..... at • ratct 0' ,.,.. 1 to ft .t 11 Ifm Otw.ces a )'••r der-nd.h,~ Oft the 1'Os.,.cal us.d. n. a..-mt ef IUTI'lutJ I 11"1" t~. ~tW.",....,t wU 1 hne ..-Uahl. feT di ~.t ill t~ ..net depeads pan ly "POD \thAt conrnlsioa.l Hthtft Is tate'll wi th ,..,aTd to the futu .... (tf th • • ~ lMftent Illver hal f 4011a1'. t. ttw. etllTht fiscat y.ar. the C<mve~s has IIPP1'D}'riated ..fn d ItIIt fIaad. to ,,7'6doec 1 ~f' wi 1110n ...tnme..ty b a 1t _11 US • n-ll _ t ntq\Itfta .~t IS wri 1 Hen euae•• ef .Uver. l' it 1s decided t. eentl • • ttfntift, the s11"1' bat' doll.T in future rean, sea. porticm T"UD1"1'~ ou·ftDt .tl..1' holdlnrs voald ~"Iu..hly be •• t aside 'or thts ptn"POH"Oft i ' the Mfttinf of t't. half dollar v." 1. tot" ___ teo " . H the Cnt~ .. C...t'lion !'ge."..,ndJ, funllet- .t'fttift~ of sit.,.,. hat f dollaY' i. t.1"'Idnated. thn otwioutly th. . .tIn "I supply woald NceN ttl1"Plu. to T!'&u,,1'Y ne6ds. It ,nOllld b. aotod that t~ T,..uarr .toe~ ,,'l .it..,.. t. t. M scmStt lnteft8cl u • _utayY ",e!'ft, ..,. t. it a ItMtplle tOT ,mHtnl Ccwmant ptlTf'OHS .iMe this tuneti . . it Wi by the "'flll11,. de'.se stodpi Ie of 1~~ ~ lHem 4M\C•• 118" "."r ~l8t . , the Offle. ef f--rr-cy 'I."bt,. ThuI, al1ftl' sappUe. aft .,,1. te aatl . . ftrttne ,al •• heto the _~ftt fo., tvo y.an .... 1.., ..1'. cowtt~ ., t"_ t". .,...t", - (, - 5iM'1t tt~ fi"t !!Ntinr nn ~fay lit, 11)(,7, the Cninate Cooml,.ion !-I.~ hoftn \:ent tnfoMlO~ on etJ1'Tttnt and plPmned nroduetion of coin., coin fnv~torieJ, anrl t~o ~tAn1S of coins in ~1reul.tion. Over the ~ntiN ~~te~ fro. ~ay 1~~7 t~~~h Noy~er or l~~~. the volUMe of ciroulltln, coin.~e "a.4J he<."n Etm.le for n11 eo~.,.cial nt'eds, Itnd no ~i~it'lcant eo~n ~"ort .re~ tUlVe '<'\4t~ evi dent. Thi s ~nti fyi nfl rl!"~ul t has been rrf"',," ly ~e to t~ timely tTan~itlo~ r~" ~ilver to clad coina~p. and the e~dJ ti OUI manner in which tJ,e rTOf:;t'<1l1 to exp~nd the prod\Jction nf th. ~w clad coins ~.~ carri~ nut. Thu~. ~t the crit'cal ~~ent when s .ul:t5tMtiAl rl5~ in the world '!\ ~D.rket price of !'11 ver l~cllne tnevit&hle, t~e Trt"R..'1uTy' hAd huilt Uf'\ a su(ficlcmt cl ~d c"i"s to fully meet CO'JJlWrctR 1 n~ed~. re~{'"rv~ supply of The Smoo1'~, tran~ition f'!'fJftl clrculAti.nr: silvf'lr coins to JlTi",arily clad <:01 nil W4S f'urther hel~ed l.,y the ban OJ1 t}'e mel tl nf! and oxport of ~i1Vf'T coins put into effoct iT'! )1ay of 1~t.7, This action r4rtieularly cl'\T\trfhuted to kc~ptn~ a 5uhstlllntial vol~t't of silver eol"s in circulation t~~gh~Jt the neri~ ~f heavy .~s~onftl c~~rci.l need in the latter ~lf 1%7, Tho M.int~n&ne.., of the C«)in _ltin~ 'lan thT'OUgh l!'f.A a150 hu he4n ert~lv l-:~ll"'flll 1" enabIin, the' Treasury to llcCtuqulat" it! !'reqent sub~tl'mti ~1 hT'Vl.',tOrv of ~i 1Vt"T eol nft. Com 1 nued 5l'1 es of the 5 ilver ,~ th~e eoin~ will enahle ~h ~ilver promlceTs and U5~rs to mn~e a to th~ inevitahltt point at W1iicl, they will h(lt !t~thf!T' ~l(~j'l't~er:t c01!mlet.ly d"n('nd~nt urx>n private sourc~~ of ~ill"f'r sU"0!lly. TN- T'''-~t -r,.w veAM ~;W~ !'~~rt t"'~ ~.,.~d'·nl t:''':l~in~ out of s11v~r 3S mor.etary and coi l1."p.., l"1etA 1 thrnu!!l,nut t"'e fre~ WOT} d • In t'le United ~t ft1:6~. t"o t~An!': i t j on h4$ h~en cRnied out 5T'lN"t. Illy and wi th(\ut <H~rtrr'tin~ ttif3 ('".~rC'e lind trt\~~e of t~~ c(')untrv, thft ohJective whid 1'9' hlWlt~ ()f W1~Ot' eoncenl. In eontn5t to nt~er countTis.5 whieh, heeause <"f the ri~e in tJ,e f'ric~ 0' ~ilv€\r are still .exveriencin, serioul coin,,~e llrol,l~M, the rJni teet States now Hl~ a ~nUl'ldl Y TUYlctioni rtf. ~in"s:;e 5y!tet'l Rnd '1 Inr,ft ~u1"Plus ~tC)el; of !'ilver 2lJI wfpll. This gratif'yinp, situation i~ ~n ~xcell&nt ha.ch~l"OU1'\d for 1t1'lY f'i"IiI "ctten ~tt~\ r~!4pect to the future th~ ~i1ver half' dollAr And the coin ~eltiJ";$t hen. A 0' Faithfully yours, The })resi dent ~ W'hite flouse TREASURY DEPARTMENT ( :::: WASHINGTON. D.C. December 31, 1968 R IMMEDIATE RELEASE IESDAY, DECEMBER 31, 1968 ALL U.S. DRAWINGS ARE REPAID TO INTERNATIONAL HONETARY FUND The Treasury announced today that all of the U.S. drawings the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have been repaid. The repayment fully restores the U.S. gold tranche position $1,290 million. Gold tranche means that portion of a country's Wsubscription that is made in gold. It represents the amount country may draw virtually automatically. Of $1,840 million in total drawings since 1964 by the United tates, $1,090 mill ion were cons idered as technical drawings since rawn currencies were sold by the United States to other Fund iembers for their use in making repayments. Most of the U.S. repayments, $1,555 million, resulted when ther countries drew dollars from the Fund, including $600 million the United Kingdom, France and Canada this year. The full restoration of the U.S. reserve position in the und was accomplished by direct U.S. payment of approximately 285 mill ion in currenc ies of Be 19ium, Italy and the Netherlands uring November and December. 000 -1450 TREASURY DEPARTMENT ( $ APE: WASHINGTON. D.C. December 31, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $2,700,000,000, or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing January 9, 1969 in the amount of $ 2,702,784,000, as follo~"s: 9~day bills (to maturity date) to be issued January 9, 1969, in the amount of $ 1,600,000,000, or thE reabouts, representing an additional amount of bills dated October 10, 1968, and to mature April 10, 1969, originally issued in the amount of $1,103,127,000, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills, for $ 1,100,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated January 9, 1969, and to mature July 10, 1969. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncornpetive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, January 6, 1969. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury Department, Washington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decImals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application the refor. Ban~.{ing institutions generally may submit 'tenders for account of Customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from F-1451 - 2 responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. T~n from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the f~ amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated b. . or trust company. Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public ann~ ment will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tender. for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from any ~ bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on January 9, 1969, cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing January 9, 1969. Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank 0oO~ranch. TREASURY DEPARTMENT , = WASHINGTON. D.C. December 31, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESS: Secretary of the Treasury Joseph W. Barr today released the text of identical letters from the President to the Speaker of the House of Representatives and the President of the Senate concerning the tax reform provisions of the Revenue and Expenditure Control Act of 1968. Secretary Barr also released the text of a statement on the subject by Chairman Wilbur Mills of the House Committee on Ways and Means. The text of the' letters and statement are attached for immediate release. In connection with the release of letters and statement, Secretary Barr said: "Both I and Secretary-Designate David M. Kennedy concur in the procedural arrangements set forth in the President's letter of this date to the Speaker of the House and the Pres ident of the Senate." F-14S2 )t~ - 2 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Text of December 31, 1968, letters from the President to the Speaker of the House and President of the Senate Concerning Tax reform provisions of the Revenue and Expenditure Control Act of 1968. THE WHITE HOUSE December 31, 1968 "The Treasury Department specialists in tax policy sometime ago undertook a major effort to prepare tax reform proposals of a comprehensive nature. "The Congress, in the Revenue and Expenditure Control Act of 1968, requested that proposals for a comprehensive reform of the Internal Revenue Code be submitted by December 31. "The studies and proposals for tax reform have been developed by the staff of the Treasury Department. "These studies and proposals, although reviewed by Secretary Fowler, should be viewed primarily as the technical product of the Treasury staff. I have not received, considered or made any judgments on these staff proposals. They are the technical product of the tax specialists in the Department and have not been discussed or examined by me. "I have conferred with the Chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee and the Chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, the Committees handling this legislation, concerning what seems most appropriate under existing circumstances. We believe that in justice to the administration that will take Jffice within the next month and who will have to live with and admi.nister any legislation passed, it is only appropriate that they have the opportunity to examine carefully and make their judgment on these matters. All data pertaining to this matter will be made available to the incoming Secretary of the Treasury promptly and he and I have discussed this procedure and the Secretary-Designate concurs in this dec is ion. "The Chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee has been informed that since the Congress will not resume until January 3rd all data are available to the Congress when they deSire to receive it. I have been today informed by the Chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee, the ranking minority member and the new Secretary that they will make their arrangements for the proper consideration of any tax proposals that may be desired at a date acceptable to them. Sincerely, /s/ Lyndon B. Johnson" - 3 - J .7) . L FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Statement by the Honorable Wilbur D. Mills, Chairman Committee on Ways and Means, House of Representatives "The Treasury Department has informed me that they have completed their technical recommendations referred to in the Revenue and Expenditure Control Act of 1968 and this material is being made available to the incoming Administration. The Department has informed me that this material is available to the appropriate Committees of Congress at any time they desire to receive it. "The Congress was not in session on the December 31 date referred to in the Act and under the circumstances I think it desirable for a new Administration to review this material and work out arrangements with the Ways and Means and the Finance Committees for hearings on these tax proposals at a time convenient to both. Russell B. Long of the Senate Finance Committee and Senator John J. Williams and Congressman John W. Byrnes, ranking minority members of the two concerned committees, concur in this procedure. '! ~Chairman December 31, 1968 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON, D.C. January 3, 1969 FOR USE IN MORNING NEWSPAPERS MONDAY I JANUARY 6, 19. 69 MOROCCO ADDED TO COUNTRIES WHERE UNITED STATES CITIZENS MAY BUY LOCAL CURRENCY FROM UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT The Department of State and the Treasury Department announced today that United States citizens visiting or residing in Morocco may purchase Moroccan dirhams from the United States Embassy and Consulates General in Morocco. Sales will be mad~ at the official rate of exchange, and no conversion fees will be charged. U.S.·owned foreign currencies are now being sold to American tourists, businessmen and residents in eight countries. The others are Ceylon, Guinea, India, Israel, Pakistan, Tunisia and the U.A.R. (Egypt). Purchases of these United States-owned currencies by private American citizens relieve strain on the United States balance of payments by reducing the flow of dollars abroad. The United States Covernment, therefore, urges Americans to take advantage of these arrangements. In Morocco, Moroccan dirhams owned by the U.S. Government may be purchased at the United States Embassy in Rabat and at the American Consulates G~meral in Casablanca and Tangier in exchange for United States currency, personal checks drawn on a bank in the United States or for United States travelers checks. Purchasers must present their passports for identification. F.. 1453 TREASURY DEPARTMENT , WASHINGTON, D.C. January 3, 1969 FOR ~DIATE RELEASE INDUSTRIAL PAYROLL SAVINGS COMMITTEE MEETS JANUARY 8 WITH SECRETARY BARR The U. S. Industrial Payroll Savings Committee, made up of top executives of Americ an bus ines s and indus try, meets in Washington on Wednesday, January 8, to review program accomplishments in 1968 and to formulate plans for the 1969 campaign. Secretary of the Treasury Joseph W. Barr, former Secretary Henry H. Fowler, Secretary-designate David M. Kennedy, and other officials will meet with the Committee. James M. Roche, Chairman of the Board, General Motors Corp., Detroit, Mich., is to be installed as 1969 Chairman, succeeding 1968 Chairman William P. Gwinn, Chairman, United Aircraft Corp., East Hartf ord, Conn. Gwinn is to preside over the meeting, to be held in the Benjamin Franklin Room of the Department of State's Diplomatic Functions Suite, with a reception at 11:30 a.m., and a luncheon at 12 :15 p.m. Other speakers on the day's program include Under Secretary of the Treasury for Monetary Affairs, Frederick L. Deming, and Glen R. Johnson, National Director of the Treasury's Savings Bonds Division. A special message from President-elect Richard M. Nixon, to be released in New York that afternoon, will be read by Secretary-designate Kennedy. During the past year, the Committee -- members of which led Payroll Savings activities in the major industrial and geographical areas of the nation -- spearheaded a drive in which 2,400,000 new payroll savers or savers who increased their purchases were signed up for the regular purchase of Savings Bonds and Freedom Shares. Of these, nearly 719,000 were from within the companies of the Committee members. In terms of dollar volume, the Committee's accomplishment comes to $3.8 billion. A list of the 1968 and 1969 Committee members is attached. 000 '-1454 3: s . I U. S. INDUSTRIAL PAYROLL SAVINGS COMMITTEE 1969 MEMBERS Ex Officio General Chairman Honorable Joseph W. Barr Secretary of the Treasury 1969 Chairman Taiile's M. Roche Chairman of the Board General Motors Corporation Detroit, Michigan 1963-1968 Chairmen William P. Gwinn Chairman United Aircraft Corporation East Hartford, Connecticut ( 1968 Chairman ) Daniel J. Haughton Chairman of the Board Lockheed Aircraft Corporation Burbank, California ( 1967 Chairman ) Lynn A. Townsend Chairman of the Board Chrysler Corporation Detroit, Michigan ( 1966 Chairman ) Dr. Elmer W Engstrom Chairman of the Executive Committee Radio Corporation of America New York, New York ( 1965 Chairman ) 0 Frank R. Milliken President Kennecott Copper Corporation New York, New York ( 1964 Chairman ) Harold S. Geneen Chairman and President International Telephone and Telegraph Corporation New York, New York ( 1963 Chairman ) Geographic Members Edd H. Bailey President Union Pacific Railroad Company Omaha, Nebraska R. F. Barker Chairman of the Board PPG Industries Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Rexford A. Bristol Chairman of the Board The Foxboro Company Foxboro, Massachusetts Edwin 00 George President The Detroit Edison Company Detroit, Michigan J. E. Gosline President Standard Oil Company of California San Francisco, California L. Fo Graffis President Bendix Field Engineering Corporation Owings Mills, Maryland - 2 - Harold B. Groh President Wisconsin Telephone Company Milwaukee, Wisconsin Floyd D. Hall Chairman of the Board Eastern Airlines New York, New York William L. Lindholm President Chesapeake and Potomac TelephOll Companies Washington, D. C. Sanford N. McDonnell President McDonnell Aircraft Corporati~ St. Louis, Missouri Fred L. Hartley President Union Oil Company of California Los Angeles, California Donald A. McMahon President Monroe International Orange, New Jersey Robert Ro Herring President Houston Natural Gas Corporation Houston, Texas T. R. May President Lockheed-Georgia Company Marietta, Georgia Palmer Hoyt Editor and Publisher The Denver Post Denver, Colorado Gordon M. Metcalf Chairman of the Board Sears, Roebuck and Company Chicago, Illinois Stephen F. Keating President Honeywell, Inc. Minneapolis, Minnesota Horace A. Shepard President TRW Inc. Cleveland, Ohio Sherman R. Knapp Chairman Northeast Utilities Wethersfield, Connecticut Alfred J. Stokely President Stokely-Van Camp, Inc. Indianapolis, Indiana Harold R. Lilley President Frito-Lay, Inc. Dallas, Texas Robert M. Wachob President The Bell Telephone Company of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, Pennsylvania - 3 - Michael Daroff President and Chairman of the Board Botany Industries, Inc. New York, New York T. A. Wilson President The Boeing Company Seattle, Washington Industry Members William R. Adams President St. Regis Paper Company New York, New York Edward S. Donnell President Montgomery Ward & Company Chicago, Illinois J. L. Atwood President North American Rockwell Corporation El Segundo~ California B. R. Dorsey President Gulf Oil Corporation Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Thomas G. Ayers President Coomonwealth Edison Company Chicago, Illinois Henry W. Gadsen President Merck & Company, Inc. Rahway, New Jersey Harry O. Bercher Chairman of the Board International Harvester Company Chicago, Illinois Ben S. Gilmer President American Telephone & Telegraph Co. New York, New York Charles G. Bluhdorn Chairman of the Board Gulf & Western Industries, Inc New York, New York Edwin H. Gott President U. S. Steel Corporation Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 0 John W Brooks President Celanese Corporation New York, New York Harold Eo Gray Chairman of the Board Pan American World Airways, Inc. New York, New York Hugh G. Chatham President Chatham Manufacturing Company Elkin, North Carolina Herbert E. Harper President Public Service Coordinated Transport Maplewood, New Jersey 0 .. 4 William J. Kane President The Great Atlantic & Pacific Tea Company, Inc. New York, New York T. Vincent Learson President IBM Armonk, New York Roger Lewis President and Chairman General Dynamics Corporation New York, New York E. L. Ludvigsen Chairman Eaton Yale & Towne, Inc. Cleveland, Ohio Michael R. McEvoy President Sea-Land Service, Inc. Elizabeth, New Jersey Louis W Menk President Northern Pacific Railway Company St. Paul, Minnesota 0 William H. Moore Chairman of the Board Bankers Trust Company New York, New York William Wood Prince Chairman of the Board Armour & Company Chicago, Illinois T. J. Ready, Jr. President Kaiser Aluminum & Chemical Oakland, California C~ Honorable Raymond P. Shafer Governor of Commonwealth of Pennsylvania Harrisburg, Pennsylvania Sterling T. Tooker President The Travelers Insurance Companj Hartford, Connecticut George R. Vila Chairman and President Uniroyal, Inc. New York, New York R. G. Wingerter President Libbey-Dwens-Ford Company Toledo, Ohio U. S. INDUSTRIAL PAYROLL SAVINGS COMMITTEE 1968 MEMBERS Ex Officio General Chairman Chairman Honorable Joseph Wo Barr Secretary of the Treasury William Po Gwinn Chairman United Aircraft Corporation East Hartford, Connecticut Geographic Members Charles F. Adams Chairman of the Board Raytheon Company Lexington, Massachusetts Robert 0 Fickes Former President and Chairman Philco-Ford Corporation Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Edd Ho Bailey President Union Pacific Railroad Company Omaha, Nebraska Richard A. Goodson President Southwestern Bell Telephone Coo Sto Louis, Missouri Robinson Fo Barker Chairman of the Board PPG Indus tries Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania J o Eo Gosline President Standard Oil Company of California San Francisco, California Charles Ho Dolson President Delta Air Lines, Inc o Atlanta, Georgia Roy C. Echols Chairman of the Board Indianapolis Water Company Indianapolis, Indiana Francis Eo Ferguson President The Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Company Milwaukee, Wiseons in 0 Fred Lo Hartley President Union Oil Company of California Los Angeles, California Sherman Ro Knapp President , Northeast Utilities Wethersfield, Connecticut John F Lyneh President La Gloria Oil and Gas Company Houston, Texas 0 - '" Wilfred D. MacDonnell President Kelsey-Hayes Company Romulus, Michigan Donald A. McMahon President Monroe International Orange, New Jersey Robert D. O'Brien Chairman Pacific Car and Foundry Co. Renton, Washington Robert To Person President Public Service Company of Colorado Denver, Colorado Vernon Ro Rawlings Vice President Martin Marietta Corporation Baltimore, Maryland Robert W. Reneker President Swift & Company Chicago, Illinois Frederick W. Roth President Gould-National Batteries, Inc. St o Paul, Minnesota Clyde Skeen President Ling-Temco-Vought, Inc. Dallas, Texas INDUSTRY MEMBERS William R. Adams President Sto Regis Paper Company New York, New York J. Lo Atwood President North American Rockwell Co El Segundo, California Orville Eo Beal President The Prudential Insurance C of America Newark, New Jersey Do Co Burnham President Westinghouse Electric Corp Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania du Po Copeland Chairman of the Board E. 10 du Pont de Nemours & Company, Inc. Wilmington, Delaware Lo S. Donnell President Montgomery Ward and Compan Chicago, Illinois Edwa~d Floyd Do Hall Chairman of the Board Eastern Airlines New York, New York Horace Ao Shepard President TRW Inc. Cleveland, Ohio Ben S. Gilmer President American Telephone and Telegraph Co. New York, New York - 3 James Mo Hait Chairman FMC Corporation San Jose, California To Vincent Learson President IBM Armonk, New York Herbert Eo Harper President Public Service Coordinated Transport Maplewood, New Jersey J o Preston Levis Chairman of the Executive Committee Owens-Illinois, Inc. Toledo, Ohio John Do Harper President Aluminum Company of America Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Michael Ro McEvoy President Sea-Land Service, Inc. Elizabeth, New Jersey Honorable Richard J o Hughes Governor of New Jersey State House Trenton, New Jersey Louis Wo Menk President Northern Pacific Railway Company St. Paul, Minnesota W. Maxey Jarman Chairman of the Corporation Genesco, Inc Nashville, Tennessee 0 Byron Jay Former President The Great Atlantic & Pacific Tea Company, Inc o New York, New York David M. Kennedy Chairman of the Board Continental Illinois National Bank and Trust Company of Chicago Chicago, Illinois Joseph Lo Lanier Chairman WestPoint-Pepperell, Inc o West Point, Georgia Robert Lo Milligan Chairman of the Board Pure Oil Company Palatine, Illinois Thomas Fo Patton Chairman and President Republic Steel Corporation Cleveland, Ohio William Wood Prince Chairman of the Board Armour and Company Chicago, Illinois James Mo Roche Chairman of the Board General Motors Corporation Detroit, Michigan - 4 - Watson F. Tait, Jro Chairman of the Board Public Service Electric and Gas Company Newark, New Jersey Jack Valenti President Motion Picture Association of America, Inc o Washington, D. C. Charles Co Tillinghast, Jro President Trans World Airlines, Inc. New York, New York George Ro Vila Chairman and President Uniroyal, Inc New York, New York 0 FORMER CHAIRMEN 1967 1964 Daniel J. Haughton Chairman of the Board Lockheed Aircraft Corporation Burbank, California Frank Ro Milliken President Kennecott Copper Corporation New York, New York 1966 1963 Lynn A. Townsend Chairman of the Board Chrysler Corporation Detroit, Michigan Harold So Geneen Chairman and President International Telephone and Telegraph Corporation New York, New York 1965 Dro Elmer Wo Engstrom Chairman of the Executive Cormnittee Radio Corporation of America New York, New York TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON. D.C. RELEASE 6:30 P.M., lay, January 6, 1969. RlSULTS OF !RiA.SURY I S WEElLY BILL OWERIBG '!be '!reasU17 Depart.-nt &JlDOWlced tba t the tenders tor two serie s of Treasury LS, one series to be an &Ad! tional issue ot the bills dated October 10, 1968, the other series to be dated January 9, 1969, which were offered OD December 31, ~, were opeDed at the Feeleral Reserve Banks today. TeDders were invited for ;00,000,000, or tbereabouta, ot 9l-day bills aDd tor ,1,100,000,000, or thereabouts, L82-day bills. '!'be details of the two series are as tollows: 1E OF ACCEP.rED 9l-day Treasury bills ?ETI'l'.IVE BIm: _ _1IIB._t_ur;. . . .,; i;.; .; ng.l L,. O;,.. Ap~r_1.;;;..1_1;..0J.,-:1=-9;..;;6~9_ Approx. Equ1v. Price Annual Rate 98.44.3 6.16OJ High 98.4:21 Low 6,2"7~ 98.4:26 Average 6.227~ 182-day Treasury bills -.aturing July 10, 1969 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 96.798 Y 96.17' 96.782 Y 6.334~ 6.381~ 6.365~ ~ Excepting one tender ot $800.1' 000 3~ ot the uount of 91-daJ bills bid for at the low price was accepted 34.~ ot the 8.IIOUnt of 182-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted L 'lENDERS APPLIED FOR A1ID ACCEPJ:ED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS: lstrict >ston ~w York lilade lphia eve land eDoM AEElied Por 32,032,000 1,84.5,911,000 35,247,000 39,142,000 17,223,000 lanta 59,359,000 icago 264:,995,000 56,625,000 • Louis nneapol1s 22,276,000 Dsas City 36,989,000 Has 36,092,000 n Francisco 192 z00'.z000 'roTALS • $2,638,895,000 Acce~ted $2,032,000 1,074,781,000 20,247,000 39,142,000 17,223,000 4:7,404:,000 129,135,000 49,094,000 18,291,000 3',952,000 26,092,000 121 z6'9 z 000 Applied For 8,653,000 1,567,627,000 22,431,000 47,936,000 13,082,000 39,686,000 163,788,000 37,174:,000 24,591,000 29,230,000 • 28,~27,OOO 112 z690 z 000 '1,600,~2,OOO ~ $2,095,215,000 • Accel!ted 8,653,000 775,4:07,000 10,9-'8,000 -'0,936,000 9,082,000 28,186,000 89,088,000 32,712,000 17,281,000 27,230,000 18,327,000 4.2 z190 z000 $1,100,04:0,000 ~/ Deludes $36',559,000 DODCc.pet1tive tenders accepted at the avera~ price of 98.'-'6 neludes $237,737,000 Donca.pet1tive tenders accepted at the average price of 96.782 hese rates are on a bank discount basis '!he equivalent coupon issue yields ere .4:l~ for the 91 day b11ls, and 6.67~ for the 182 day bills. -11+55 TREASURY DEPARTMENT , WASHINGTON, D.C. January 8, 1969 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE INDUSTRIAL PAYROLL SAVINGS COMMITTEE SETS 1969 GOAL OF 2.2 MILLION SAVERS Fifty-eight of America's top executives, representing 23 geographic areas and 28 industries and state government, met with Secretary of the Treasury Joseph W. Barr today to initiate plans to sign up 2,200,000 Americans as new savers or savers who increase their allotments for the purchase of U. S. Savings Bonds and Freedom Shares for 1969. They are members of the U. S. Industrial Payroll Savings Committee, which was first established in 1963" For 33 of the group, this was their first such meeting" They were installed officially as members of the 1969 Committee following their meeting with Secretary Barr, former Secretary Henry H" Fowler, Secretary-designate David Mo Kennedy, and other Treasury officials, in the Department of State's Benjamin Franklin Dining Room" Each was presented with a Certificate of Appointment signed by the Secretary" Secretary Barr stated "This Committee has given a new direction to the Savings Bonds Program" On total sales of nearly $5 billion, about $3,,8 billion was in the small denomination Bonds -- the heart of the payroll savings market" In 1962, before this Committee was formed, small denomination sales were $2.6 billion and represented 61 per cent of sales o Not only have your total sales increased to $3 8 billion, but you now generate over 76 per cent of the total sales,," 0 The Chairman of the Industrial Payroll Savings Committee for 1969 is James M. Roche, Chairman of the Board, General. Motors Corp", Detroit, Mich. In his remarks, Mr. Roche sa~d "Savings Bonds are a tangible expression of patriotism, a way to stand up for America. They attest to a citizen's love of country, to his pride and faith in America" Millions of Americans -- including thousands of our men in Vietnam -regard buying Savings Bonds as a positive way to put their money where the ir heart is." F-1456 - 2 Mro Roche succeeds William Po Gwinn, Chairman, United Aircraft Corp., East Hartford, Conno Mro Gwinn will remain active as a member-at-large of the 1969 Committee, joining with other former chairmen -- Daniel J o Haughton, Chairman of the Board, Lockheed Aircraft Corpo, Burbank, 1967; Lynn A. Townsend, Chairman of the Board, Chrysler Corpo, Detroit, 1966; Dr. Elmer Wo Engstrom, Chairman of the Executive Committee, Radio Corporation of America, New York, 1965; Frank Ro Milliken, President, Kennecott Copper Corporation, New York, 1964, and Harold S. Geneen, Chairman and President, International Telephone and Telegraph Corpo, New York, 1963. In addition to providing over-all direction for the national Payroll Savings effort, the business executives who formed the 1968 Committee spearheaded Payroll Savings campaigns in their own companies ~- for a total of more than 718,000 savers o The Committee exceeded its national goal of 2,000,000 new savers or savers who increased their purchases by nearly 20 per cent. In commenting on the Committee's accomplishments, Secretary Barr said, "Your campaign theme -- 'Protect Freedom/ Promote Payroll Savings' -- has come alive throughout the industries of America, due to the dynamic motivation of every member of this stellar Committee o Both individually and as a great team, yours has been aninspiring success o " Former Secretary Fowler commended the Committee to Secretary-designate Kennedy and the incoming Secretary to the Committee o Mr. Kennedy, who served as chairman for the Banking Industry on the 1968 Committee, noted the challenges which face the Nation and the importance of maintaining the strength of the do1lar o During his remarks, he read a message from President-elect Richard Mo Nixon. Another highlight of the meeting was the presentation of awards to outgoing Chairman Gwinn and members of his Committee. Mr. Gwinn received the Treasury's Gold Medal of Merit, while Committee members were presented with Silver Medals of Merit. - 3 - The meeting was opened by Frederick Lo Deming, Under Secretary of the Treasury for Monetary Affairs, who introduced the new members of the 1969 Committee. Glen Ro Johnson, National Director of the Treasury's Savings Bonds Division, complimented the Committee on its accomplishment and outlined the guidance and logistical support available from his Division. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT 4 = WASHINGTON, D.C. January 8, 1969 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY DEPARTMENT RELEASES STUDY ON TAX DEPRECIATION AND RESERVE RATIO TEST The Treasury Department today announced publication of a research study on some basic issues related to the persistent problem of depreciation for tax purposes. Entitled Tax Depreciation And The Need For the Reserve Ratio Test, the study was made over a three-year period by Richard Lo Pollock, with the assistance of Consad Research Corporation of Pittsburgh and New York. Until recently an economist with the Department's Office of Tax Analysis, Dr. Pollock is presently Assistant Professor of Economics and on the staff of the Economic Research Center at the University of Hawaii. This is the second in the series of Tax policy Research Studies issued by the Departmento The first, released in May, 1968, was entitled Overseas Manufacturing Investment and the Balance of Payments. While the present study is intended to stand on its own as a research monograph rather than a reflection of Treasury policy, it does confirm many of the expectations of the Department's original 1962 depreciation reform guidelines. BACKGROUND The Treasury Department in July, 1962, announced liberalization of its depreciation guidelines, which suggested shorter depreciation lives for business assets grouped into nearly 100 classes. These lives were considerably shorter than the lives most business firms had had been taking for tax purposes under prior administrative practices and procedures. F-l457 - 2 An integral part of the 1962 guidelines was the reserve ratio test. It provided an administrative technique to determine that the tax lives used by the taxpayer were realistic for him, that is generally corresponding to his actual replacement cycle over the long run. The opportunity to use the shorter guideline lives with the accompanying tax savings is dependent beyond a transition period on a conformity between the guideline lives and the taxpayers actual replacement cycle. Since publication of the guidelines, discussion about depreciation has focused on the Treasury's emphasis on realism in depreciation as implemented by the reserve ratio text. On the one hand, that test was criticized as inefficient and capricious in its results. On the other hand, it was argued that in principle realism should not be a standard and that the guideline depreciation lives ought to be available to a taxpayer even if his own actual replacement cycle was considerably longer. SUMMARY OF PRESENT STUDY The Department thought the two assertions discussed above deserved serious investigation." A project was developed to analyze the overall issue of "How will depreciation deductions and the reserve ratio test work out in typically complex h'..1siness situations in the long run?" ~I. In particular, the focus was on two basic questions: First, does the need for tax equity and neutrality between similarly situated taxpayers justify a serious effort to keep depreciation deductions realistic? Second, is the reserve ratio test an efficient indicator of the realism of the depreciation life for a particular taxpayer? For further observations about the study, see the speech of Assistant Secretary Stanley S. Surrey, "A Computer Study of Tax Depreciation Policy," before the Computers and Taxes Conference of the National Law Center, George Washington University, June 18, 1968, Treasury release F-l277. - 3 - The answers to these questions, according to the stud~are: Realistic tax depreciation is important from an equity point of view, in that a tax depreciation policy which does not insist on linking tax lives to actual replacement lives would result in an intolerable cost in terms of inequities between similarly situated taxpayers. The use of tax lives shorter than actual lives produces effective tax rates for the nonconforming taxpayers which are considerably lower than those of the conforming taxpayers. This suggests that arbitrary lives for depreciation should not be utilized for providing tax incentives for investment. The existing reserve ratio test does serve as a fair and efficient administrative technique to enforce the correspondence between actual depreciation lives and tax depreciation lives which is necessary for the realistic and meaningful determination of taxable income. The study disclosed some relatively minor situations where this would not be the case, and these are now being dealt with as a result of the study. METHODOLOGY OF STUDY To investigate the issues, the Treasury had Consad design a business simulation model set up to describe the experience of a business firm over a period of 50 years o The program was structured to permit the introduction of a large number of characteristics of a business firm, such as irregular growth, profitability, and retirement dispersion, thus providing some confidence that the basic questions were being thoroughly investigated in all kinds of complex business situations 0 The program calculated and printed out the actual reserve ratio for the firm year by year in a form that indicated whether it passed or failed the reserve ratio test under a wide variety of simulated situations. It also printed out the yearly profitability of the firm on a before-tax and after-tax basis on a varie.ty of profitability measures. - 4 In sum, the study consisted of mUltiple runs of the model in differing situations to answer the two questions cited earlier. COMPUTER TECHNOLOGY: A NECESSARY TOOL In the foreward to the study, Stanley So Surrey, Assistant Secretary for Tax Policy, notes: "Tax policies must be made in a world in which we don't have nearly as much information as we would like to have. Decisions must be made on the basis of best judgments and where analyses show need for more information, we must push ahead with finding out more about our world o In the area of depreciation there were grounds for a judgment that requiring tax depreciation to conform realistically to actual lives makes an important difference -- taxpayers whose tax lives were too long felt horribly put upon. "These and other judgments must be reviewed as we develop tools to find out more about the real world o The development of the computer technology has provided tools in surprising wayso In this case, it proved possible to recreate, or as the in-experts say, simulate the real world and see what differences alternative depreciation policies make. "Publication of Mro Pollock's work provides some support for our earlier judgments but it also opens new avenues to further deepen our understanding of the world we live ino" The l34-page study is for sale, at $1.50 a copy, by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D. C. 20402. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR RELEASE ON DELIVERY EXPECTED AT 3:30 P.M., EST REMARKS OF THE HONORABLE DAVID M. KENNEDY SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY-DESIGNATE AT THE ANNUAL MEETING, U.S. INDUSTRIAL PAYROLL SAVINGS COMMITTEE BENJAMIN FRANKLIN ROOM, DEPARTMENT OF STATE WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 8, 1969 I have had a close association with the Savings Bonds program -- in a very minor way in 1941 when I was at the Federal Reserve, as an Assistant to the Secretary of the Treasury during President Eisenhower's administration, as a banker, and finally as a member of this Industrial Payroll Savings Committee. The report of Mr. Gwinn's 1968 committee, and the challenge set forth by Mr. Roche for the 1969 committee, have reminded me more forcefully than ever before that business leadership is the most vital ingredient in the success of the Savings Bonds program. As I look ahead to my new duties as the Secretary of the Treasury, I look with extreme pleasure at the $52 billion of the federal debt which represent the current Savings Bonds holdings. I know what this means to debt management operations, and what it means to the health of our economy. The Bond program lives because of the Payroll Savings Plan. And the Payroll Savings Plan lives and thrives because we have men like you dedicating themselves to it for the good of the country and the good of the individual employee. So as Secretary of the Treasury I will be depending very heavily upon you -- for your leadership, your influence, your organizational skills, your devotion to the ideal of a stronger America. Chairman Roche has accepted in your behalf a challenging campaign goal for 1969. It is an important goal, and one which I very much hope you will meet or even surpass. I am confident of your ability to do so, and I pledge you my full support in this accomplishment. - 2 For now, let me conclude with three quick and obvious observations: First, the Savings Bond itself has thoroughly proven its worth, both as an instrument of thrift and as a means of involving ordinary citizens in the financial affairs of government. Second, the Payroll Savings Plan, for which American industry can take full credit, is surely the most effective device ever invented for painless and systematic saving. Third, the scope and depth of non-partisan volunteer support for the Savings Bonds program at every level of American life -- is a tremendously impressive example of patriotism in action. And so I welcome and look forward to the opportunity of working in this vital area of public debt management -and particularly of being associated with outstanding business leaders like yourselves in making Savings Bonds, and the Payroll Savings Plan, a way of life for employer and employee alike, in the interests of building a better and stronger America. 000 F-1458 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR RELEASE ON DELIVERY EXPECTED AT 2: 15 P. H. EST REMARKS OF THE HONORABLE JOSEPH W. BARR SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AT THE ANNUAL MEETING, U.S. INDUSTRIAL PAYROLL SAVINGS BENJAMIN FRANKLIN ROOM, DEPARTMENT OF STATE vJEDNESDAY, JANUARY 8, 1969 CO~wrrTTEE In presenting the awards to Mr. Gwinn and the members of his committee, I cited the dollar amount of sales and the number of people signed up. These achievements are impressive in terms of their magnitude as numbers. The committee was given an assignment and a target which they exceeded by nearly 20 percent. In most American cities, this would be sufficient, but in the city of Washington billions are tossed around in conversation and news stories as though they were confetti. Thus, for the education of us bureaucrats it might be instructive to stop a moment and try to visualize the real meaning of a billion dollars All too frequently we give the impression of reducing the number by eliminating the zeros and subs ti tuting a decimal point. 0 Suppose, then, that one of you gave your wife the assignment of spending a billion dollars, an assignment most of them would like. As we do with this committee, suppose you set a target, a spending rate of $1 per minute, 24 hours a day, seven days a week. This appears reasonable -- $60 an hour, or $1440 a day although on occasion you may feel your wife approaches or even exceeds that target. But to spend a full billion dollars, your wife would have had to start at 3:50 a.mo, September 11, 68 A.D. By starting then, and only then, could she walk in and report the task completed at 3: 30 this afternoon. That, gentlemen, is a billion dollars and this committee produced nearly four of these in the past year o Gentlemen, we again congratulate you on a job well doneo F-1459 - L - As long as your wife was back there in 68 A.D. it might also be instructive to have her report on another transition in governmento She would have started her assignment during the transition of power in the Roman Empire from the Emperor Nero to Vespasian. We seem to have made some improvements in the process as there were three temporary Emperors with varied but violent ends in the interval. Vespasian waited a year after Nero's abdication via an assisted suicide to announce his own accession. Vespasian's troops took six months to deliver the votes by the sword~ and after that Vespasian took a leisurely ten months to arrive from Alexandria to take on the job. The new administration will find the trip from Alexandria only slightly less timeconsuming. Today, however, we are more civilized and a lot less violent. The outgoing Administration is still on the job and the passage of power is going forward in good order -witness the presence of the Secretary-designate David Kennedy at this session. The outgoing Administration set up the machinery of this 1969 committee, but it is to Mr. Kennedy that you will be reporting. I know this transition will proceed smoothly as the new Secretary not only understands the savings bonds program, but has worked with you on this committee during the past year. Understanding the savings bonds proGram is important. To many people, it is simply a payroll deduction and a periodic receipt of a $25, $50 or $100 bond. Others have a vague concept that this somehow helps the Government, but just how is a mysteryo Others remember that savings bonds were the war bonds of World War I I and helped finance that national effort -- including the advertisements saying that an $18c75 purchase of a $25 bond bought a carbine for a soldier. These concepts are related to the importance of savings bonds but are over-simplifications of the real story. Savings bonds were first actively promoted in May 1941 when the Series E bond was designed. The war in Europe threatened to expand into a wider conflict and our defense expenditures meant larger deficits which the Treasury would have to finance. When we were finally drawn into the war, the costs enlarged to the limit of the productive capacity of the American economy. A financial plan was needed because it was clear that 50 percent or more of the costs was going to be financed by borrowings in spite of an eight-fold increase in taxes o The first requirement of borrowings was to finance war expenditures, but borrowings were also a~ed at a mopping-up of savings in any and all forms. ... 3 - One emphasis was on savings institutions, such as insurance companies, mutual savings banks, and savings and loan associations. And these provided over $29 billion of the Federal Government's financing needs during the 1939 to 1946 period Business corporations, individuals in their noncorporate business operations, local governments and other investors lent the Gov~rnment over $48 billion. Q These were unbelievably large amounts in the context of those times, but they would still have left a sizable amount to be financed through the commercial banks. But thi~ inflationary potential was significantly reduced by the purchase and retention of over $30 billion in Series E bonds. Even then the end product was that commercial banks had to finance $58 billion of the war deficit. However, bank financing and the expansion of the money supply would have been far larger if it had not been for the familiar E bond. Put another way, the Series E bond mopped up over $30 billion of consumer purchasing power, making the controls over prices, wages and resource allocation work better. In addition, from a Treasury financing viewpoint, about 18 percent of the financing burden placed on the private sector was raised in this least inflationary form. There is a colloquial phrase, "That's very good, but' what have you done for me recently?" Most observers are aware of the World War I I experience, but they are not aware of the post-war contribution of saving~ bonds to sound finance at any time, including now p Using the ~ Secretary's ~ budget concept, plus the federally-sponsored agencies (which are outside that budget), we can derive a rough measure of the importance of savings bonds ~ during the postwar period In this measurement we exclude internal financing such as investments of the Social Security trust funds. We also exclude the debt acquisitions of our central bank, the Federal Reserve System o o In contrast to World War II, when financing demands on the private sectors of the economy exceeded 35 percent of expenditures, postwar financing claims of this kind have amounted to less than 3 percent of expenditures. Even so, with the growth of expenditures, the Treasury and Federal agencies have gone to the private sector to borrow over $50 billion since 1946 0 - 4 During this time, however, Series E bonds, plus the H's and the new Freedom Shares, have grown from $30 billion to over $42 billion. Thus, this program has been the source for meeting well over 40 percent of credit demands of the Federal Government placed on the private sector. One consequence has been that virtually none of the Government debt increase has been financed, on a net basis, with commercial banks. Additionally, because bonds are primarily bought out of current income the plus for economic policy in restraining inflation has been significant but, although we in Treasury appreciate this fact, it has been largely ignored in both financial and economic journals. The reason for the lack of focus is probably not difficult to see. Monthly gains of savings bonds and Freedom Shares have been running $50 to $100 million a month and the problems of the economy are calculated in billions. It is only when one takes a longer look that the month·bymonth contribution of savings bonds adds up to a significant amount in terms of national problems. In the environment of the past year, when our net demands on private credit markets totaled over $13 billion, far above the post-war yearly average of $2~ billion, these monthly gains nevertheless did 6 percent of the job. The net gain -til outstanding bonds and notes amounted to $800 million. More importantly, in the year ahead, with our total financing job more modest, savings bonds will again be supplying a good part of our needs o In this distinguished company, I need not dwell at length on the continued need in 1969 for sound Federal finance to reduce the pressures on the value of the dollar both at horne and abroad, This committee has given a new direction to the savings bonds program. On total sales of nearly $5 billion, abo~t $3.8 billion was in the small denomination bonds and Freedom Shares -- the heart of the payroll savings market. In 1962, before this committee was formed, small denomination sales were $2.6 billion and represented 61 percent of sales. Not only have your total sales increased to $308 billion, but you now generate over 76 percent of the total sales. The main impetus of this program is becoming more and more a reaching out for the small savero This, I submit, is good for the country in building citizen interest and a stake in fiscal affairs. It is also of great :conomic importance in reducing inflationary pressures on the economy. - 5 .,. The goal you have for the 1969 Share in Ame~ica Campaign is to enroll 2,200,000 employees as either new savers or as larget participants o I have every confid~nce that pnder James M. Roche, Chairman of the Board of Genell'al Motors corporation, the committee will do as well for Secretary~ designate David Kennedy as it has for us during the past six years. Gentlemen, I thank you for Secretaries Dillon, Fowler and myself. It is now your assigpment, but, after January 20, I will continue to watch with great intepest and every confidence you will reach your tatg~to ouo TREASURY DEPARTMENT 3 WASHINGTON. D.C. January 8, 1968 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $2,700,000,000, or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing January 16, 1969, in the amount of $2,701,696,000, as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) to be issued January 16, 1969, in the amount of $ 1,600,000,000, or thereabouts, representing an additional amount of bills dated October 17, 1968, and to ~ture April 17, 1969, originally issued in the amount of $1,101,755,000, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills, for $ 1,100,000,000, dated January 16, 1969, and to mature or thereabouts, to he July 17, 1969. The bills of· both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at ~turity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, January 13, 1969. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury Department, Washington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three dec·ima1s, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and fo~arded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application the refor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of Customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from '·1460 - 2 responsible and recognized dealers In investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcl ment will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or:- r:-ejection thereof. The Secre tary of the Treasury expressly reserves the r:-ight to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder:- will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on January 16, 1969, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing January 16, 1969. Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal 0r interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank 050~ranch. TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON, D.C. January 8, 1969 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE FEDERAL RESERVE NOTE SERIES TO BE SIGNED BY SECRETARY BARR The Treasury announced today that an issuance of $1 Federal Reserve Notes, Series 1963B, will bear the signature of Secretary Joseph W. Barr. It pointed out that the issuance means that every Secretary of the Treasury since 1914, when the signature requirement was initiated, will have signed a currency series. According to James A. Conlon, Director of the Bureau of Engraving and Printing, new techniques in use permit issuing the series without increased unit cost or interruption of normal currency production operations. He said that present technique requires engraving the new signature in only one 32-subject master plate. The previous method requiring 384 signature plates, Conlon explained, could not have been used in time to maintain the historical relationship of the Secretary to a currency issue. Full conversion to the changed technique at this time will also expedite subsequent issue of a new series for Secretary-designate David M. Kennedy. Mr. Kennedy's series will be identified as Series 1969 since it will also include the first use of the new Treasury Seal on all Federal Reserve Notes. The Bureau of Engraving and Printing estimates it will produce a minimum of 100 million of the new Barr notes which will continue in production until they are replaced by the Kennedy issue. F-l46l TREASURY DEPARTMENT t WASHINGTON, D.C. FOR IMt·1EDIATE REUASE January 8, 1969 SALE OF JUNE TIJ.. ANTICIPATION BILLS The Treasury Department announced today the forthcoming auction of $1-3/4 billion of tax anticipa.tion bills maturing in June 1969. The bills ar~ in addition to the $5.0 billion of June tax antiCipation bills already outstanding. The bills will be auctioned on Tuesday, January 14, for payment on Honday, January 20. Commercial bai1ks may make payment of their own and their customers I accepted tenders by credit to Treasury tax and loan accounts. The bills mature on June 23, 1969, but May be used at face value in payment of Federal income taxes due on June 15, 1969. TREAS'URY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON, D.C. Jl.MEDIATE RELEASE January 8, 1969 TREASURY OFFERS ;.DDITIONAL $1-3/4 BILLION IN JUNE TAX BILLS The Treasury Depart:nent, by this public notice, invites tenders for $1,750,000,000, thereabouts, of l54-day Treasury bills (to maturity date), to be issued January :::C, '69, on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter ovided. These bills will represent an additional amount of bj Ils dated Octol~r 24, 68, to mature June 23, 1969, originally issued in the amount of $3,010,446,000 (an ,ditional $2,001,143 ,000 was issued December 2, 1968). The additional and original 11s will be freely interchangeable. They will be accepted at face value in payment income taxes due on June 15, 1969, and to the extent they are not presented for this rpose the face amount of these bills will be payable without interest at maturity. xpayers desiring to apply these bills in payment of June 15, 1969, income taAes r:-.ay bmit the bills to a Federal Reserve Bank or Branch or to the Office of the Treasurer the United States, \lTashington, not more than fifteen days before that date. In the se of bills submitted in payment of income taxes of a corporation they shall be companied by a duly completed Form 503 and the office receiving these items will fect the deposit on Jun£> 15, 1969. In the case of bills submitted in paynent of come taxes of all other taxpayers, the office receiving the bills will issue receip":.s ere for , the original of which the taxpayer shall submit on or before June 15, 1969, the District Director of Internal Revenue for the District in which such taxes are yable. The bills will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, ,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and ;jn.ooo,OOO ("mturity value). Tenders will be r'cci.',re,l at Federal Reserve . . , r cs ani Branches up to tl'" ~.Y" ".ne our, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Tuesday, January 14, 1969. Tender: "'ill ot be received at the ?reasury Department, Washini::ton. Each tender must be f0r an ren multiple of $1,000, and in the case of compet:iti ve tenders the price offercrl rrur,t expressed on the basis of 100, with not ~ore than three deCimals, e.G., 99.92~. actions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be ~ade on the nrinted fo!'''1~ and rwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Fed.eral Reserve B~~1ks C')r anches on application ther~for. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of customers pr')ded the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than ban'd~~: stitutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. nders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust cOr.1panies d from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders :f.'!'o!"". hers must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury bills Plied for, Wlless the tenders are accompanied b~r an express guaranty of pa~e:'lt by an corporated bank or trust company. All bidders are required to agree not to purchase or to sell, or to make any ~eernents with respect to the purchase or sale 0": 8~her disposition of any bills of s issue at a specific rate or price, until after ':me-thirty p.m., Eastern S :::lll1darc1 lIle, Tuesday, January 14, 1969 . .463 - 2 Irrtrlediatcly after the closing h·=>ur, tenders will. be opened at the lateral Reserve Banks and Branches, follO"lling \·,hich public announce!nent will be made by the Trea~ury Department of the amount and price ranee of accepted bids. !h~se sub!':littinr: tenr1er~ 't-lill be al'vised of the acceptance O~ rejection thereof'. The ~ecretar of the Trea:mry expressly reserves the right to a.ccept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his actian in any such respect shall be final. Sub~ect to these reserv~ti~ns, nonco~petitive tenders for $200,000 or less without stnted price fr . . .r. anyone binder ':'lill be accepted in full at the average price (in threr rieci""als) of accepted carr.pet:i t i ve '..:irls. Payment:)f accepted tenders at the prices offered ,,:ust' be Made or c·:>r.-ple":".ecl at the Federal Reserve Bank in cr: "'lh or other immediately ava:lat fund::; on JarlUary 20, 1969, provided, ho't>1ever, any qualified depositary will be per'" it to :nakc paynent h~," credit in its Treasury tax and loan account for Treasury bills allottcrl t~) :i t for ~.tf,elf and i ts cu::;t()~ncrt; up to any n!l'!ount for which it shall be qualified in exees:::: of existing deposits when so notif5.ed by the Federal Reserve Ban; of :i,ts District. The incone cier:.ved fro~ Treasury hills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other di~po8i ti::m of the bills, does not have an;,' exemption, as such, and loss frc the sale or other di:::posi ti)n of Treasury bills does not have any special treat~ent, such, under the In~ernal Revenue Code of 1954. The bill~ are sub;ject to estate, inhl i tance ,:!.:. ft ar other excise taxe::;, vlhether Federal or State, but are exempt fror: a1: taxati0n nml or hereafter imposed on the princ:i.pal or interest thereof by any state, any of the posses~i~nc of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. F9r purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally Sf OJ' the Uni ted ~tates is considered to be interest. Ur.der Sections 454 (b) and 1221 of the Internal Revenue Code ':)f 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued he under are ~olcl is not consinered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or 0tl wise disposed of, and such bills are excluded :Crom consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issue hereunder need include j.n his inc~me tax return only the difference between the pric paid :f'Jr such bj 11::;, vlhe:'i1e'!" ~n 'Jriginal issue ":"r on s'J.bsequent purchase, and the amount actually received ei the:r upon sale or redemption at maturity during the ta;cao ~rear for which the return is made, as ordinary gain 01' loss. Treasury Departrr:ent Cir~ular No. 418 (current rc'rision) and this notice, prescribe the terr:~~ ')f the T~E'asur~' "oills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of thc c~.rcular :"lay oe :::btained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. TREASURY DEPARTMENT ; WASHINGTON. D.C. January 9, 1969 OR IMMEDIATE RELEASE U.S. TAX TREATY WITH TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO EXTENDED THROUGH 1969 The existing income tax convention between the United 'tates and Trinidad and Tobago, which had been scheduled to erminate at the end of 1968, has· been extended until eeember 31, 1969, the Treasury Department announced today. xtension of the present treaty was agreed to through an l{ehange of diplomatic notes. The convention now in effect with Trinidad and Tobago, rought into force December 19, 1967, is an interim agreement hile discussions between that country and the United States ontinue on an income tax convention of general application. The interim convention deals only with the rate of withholdng tax on distributed profits. It provides that dividends paid y a corporation of one of the contracting states to residents n the other contracting state shall be subject to a withholding u rate of 25 percent, rather than the statutory rate of 30 ereent which applies in both countries. However, the withholdng rate is reduced to five percent on dividends paid by a orporation of one state to a corporation of the other state hieh owns 10 percent or more of the outstanding voting stock of he paying corporation. In addition, the withholding tax ~osed by Trinidad and Tobago on the profits paid to its home ffice by a permanent es tabl ishment of aU. S corporation is lso reduced to five percent. 0 Negotiations on a cQmprehensive income tax treaty, which ill follow the pattern of other U.S. treaties in dealing with usiness income and other forms of investment income, are xpected to be concluded during 1969. 000 -1464 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON. D.C. January 9, 1969 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY SECRETARY BARR HONORS RENO ODLIN, TACOMA BANKER, WITH DISTINGUISHED SERVICE AWARD Secretary of the Treasury Joseph Wo Barr today presented the Distinguished Service Award to Reno Odlin, Chairman of the Board and Chi€f Executive Officer) Puget Sound National Bank, Tacoma, Washington, for outstanding service to the Treasury Savings Bond Program. The Distinguished Service Award is the highest recognition the Treasury ean give to non-Treasury employees. A prominent banker and staunch supporter of the Federal government's savings bonds program for 27 years, Mr. Odlin was cited for '~ide experience, perceptive knowledge and dedicated leadership" in assisting the Treasury in maintaining "a strong economy and sound dollar through prudent management of the public debto" Mr. Od1in was appointed by Treasury Secretary Henry Morgenthau, Jr., as the first Washington State Chairman of the War Finance Committee in 1942, and he has served the Treasury continuously in successor Savings Bonds organizations In his work on Savings Bonds, Mro Odlin has been a featured speaker at many state associations throughout the country. He is a past president of the American Bankers Association, past Chairman of the ABA Savings Bonds Committee and is currently Chairman of the Executive Committee of Volunteer State Chairmen of the UoS. Savings Bonds program o Attachment: citation 0 CITATION DISTINGUISHED SERVICE AWARD RENO ODLIN The Department of the Treasury's Distinguished Service Award is hereby granted to Reno Odlin, Chairman of the Board, Puget Sound Na'tional Bank, Tacoma, Washington, in recognition of his devoted service to the U. S. Savings Bonds Program, and for his valued advice to the Department on Government financing~ As an outstanding banker and President of The American Bankers Association, 1964-65; past Chairman of the ABA Savings Bonds Committee; and, currently, Chairman of the Executive Committee of Volunteer State Chairmen, he has demonstrated wide experience, perceptive knowledge and dedicated leadership, contributing substantially to the Treasury's constant and vigorous endeavors to maintain a strong economy and sound dollar through prudent management of the public debt. His loyalty and patriotism have strengthened the volunteer tradition on which the U.S. Savings Bonds Program was founded more than' a quarter century ago. UNITED STATES SAVWG~ CONDS ISSUED Arm n~DEEM!::n Tl-iROUGt! Decellber (Dollar amounts in mi Ilion, - rounded and will not ncco:uorily add to totol s.) OESCRIPTION M.IOUNT ISSUEO.u ATU:\ED 5,003 29,521 3,660 S.':it's :\-1935 thru D-1941 se:it's r' and G-l!Hl thru 1052 Series J and K-1952 thru 1956 1941 194~ , 1943 19H 1945 1946 19-17 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 " IS'j9 ~ 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 ,lS68 Unclassified Total Series E Series H (1952 thru May, 1959) 21 H (June, 1959 thru 1968) Total Series H Total Series E and H I 4,996 29,418 3,598 {Total All Series Total unmatured matured Grand Total "'Iudts or.crucd di$ COUllt. CII,I redemplion volue, of IIwner QOnu$ t __I may b8 hc~ IJ an d w,'ll 1 42 62 ,-.,,,, I'D J8ll - I .14 1.69 I - 224 911 1,529 1,818 1,651 932 1,041 1,114 1,240 1,133 980 1,051 1,294 1,394 1,516 1,513 1,495 1,601 1,511 1,695 1,886 1,861 2,262 2,196 2,211 2,586 2,182 2,592 11.93 11.11 11.46 12.01 13.55 16.82 19.82 21.61 23.14 24.19 24.18 24.11 26.69 28.21 29.45 30.45 31.97 35.21 36.91 39 .. 68 43.61 44.78 48.87 48.65 50.08 54.45 59.19 15.41 158,910 114,748 44,222 21.82 5,485 6,816 3,223 1,469 2,262 5,407 41.24 18.64 12,360 4,692 1,668 62.04 111,330 119,440 51,890 30.29 93 07 21, 29.03 38,184 111,423 209,601 38,012 119,501 151,519 11~ .29 30.29 24.82 ~URY ! .14 1,655 1,318 11,808 13,681 10,511 4,608 4,213 4,258 4,118 3,550 3,.013 3,182 3,555 3,546 3,630 3,455 3,1.80 2,949 2,689 2,571 2,433 2,295 2,)67 2,318 2,204 2,163 1,919 845 579 ' , allJd"ll'OA4 1 D8"'od' earn_Inlcrc., lor if aJter il Af.40IJlIT '%OUTSTANOIM; OUTHANOINOY OF AMOUNT ISSUED 1,818 8,289 13,331 15,559 12,228 5,541 5,253 5,432 5,358 4,683 4,053 4,243 4,849 4,941 5,141 4,969 4,616 4,556 4,266 4,272 4,319 4,156 4,629 4,514 4,415 4,749 4,700 3,431 523 Series J and K 1957 011111111 !J - NMATURED series E!J: _ AMOUNT Re:OEEMEO 31, 1968 -56 51,9);1 52,028 '. . dal •• , or'I,nal tnO,ur"y DEPARTMENT _ Bu,eau ., th. Pultllc O.b, , Ir ~ ! - I I TREASURY DEPARTMENT , WASHINGTON. D.C. January 10, 1969 FOR IMMED lATE RELEASE TP~ABURY MARKET TRANSACTIONS IN DECEMBER During December 1968, market transactions in direct and guaranteed securities of the C~vernment investment accounts resulted in net purchases by the Tre~sury Department of $178,611,500.00. 000 F-1465 P.IO(;°APIIICAL SKFTUI OF r.Oj~;[RT /I.. l':/\LL/\CE ASSIS't'AYi' SrC)~ETA1("( OF 'i'HEtSil~Y Rohcrt A. ''.~allac(', AssisL8nt Sec-rete"'.})' of the: '[rc:tsllIY in the !~c:n;')cr1y t ... 1 • • " J t • rr··· l 'HJ tne , 1 and .Jonnson tlUPlUilstraoons, 13.S I;cen C1 l:ey ornCl(l (,:)\,clopm(::tL or~ . • eCClnornc "ana " rlwmC:i.a ' . . 1 po ]"lClC;. lie }(as l'cr)T.:;scrl·~E:d Tl'(;2SUl'Y l%l-()g llatH)'11ru on a ntlTilht::r of C,'lhinct-Jev(;l nolicy P'()ul):' CT(;crl'cc! for this task, including the economic II'fro·tka" -- TrCaS1..lT)" Couf,c11 of Econouic Advisors, and Bll'feau of the Rlld:;:ct ... _. ~llH1 also the "Q1iac1J'ic~c1," the Troibl. plus cl representative of the FodcT<:tl t:.CSf'l'\'C Hoard. Rorn in (1klahor.18, Wallace hZls he en a :rcs1(k~ni.: of the Chicar,o arca since 1()46. He' attcnrk:d the lJnivcrslty of ChicCl!;\) ,·,'heY.:: he received a Ph.D. c1egj'cc and caiTe to l'!as!~i1yt(jn in !C)!lC) as assist<1nt to fCfi,>(~Y SerlatoI' Paul H. DC~lgl2.s. From lQ5S to lC)5() ~allace SCTvCJ as Staff Director of the U. S. Senate Rankinf~ 2nd Currency Cor:nnittce ~dlich cleaTs lcp,islatio!J affecting domestic Rtld intel1iat-t()I1;:~1 financial irlstitl1tions, housin~; :lnci econor'ILc st~,hiliz8tion. He co'nc1uctcd the C(imrnittce's EJ5S Study of the Stock ~iia'd:ct and it~ 19:io invcsti~U'l'cion of h2rl~d.rt,~ activities affected by the th\::~fts of lllinojs StC1te Auditor ()l'ville E. lIod~:c. _ Hefo)',: joining t~1e Treasury HI lC)nl, ~<!,Jl~ce \';as, for tll'O years, consu}t,:;-'Lt to .John F. Kennedy, pa:i"ticinatin f: in his caTir~);}igns fOT hoth his nomin0tion and his election to the P'residency. WCl112ce's T"tcasllry duties have aJso covered (1) Suncl'vis50n of the U. S. Hint, inclllc1irt\~ the changeover to ~, 1',::·..t coinar;3 system and silver policies; (2) Negotiatioi1 CJnd irmlencntation c,; intC'1'1l2tional trade agreements on textiles and autoTnolli les; P) /Ioministcrinr: ; " Tre<LsuTY equal onportunity proQr~j11S -l'equireplcnts to end r2d~1 discl'iHii ' jon in hiring by TrcClsury agencies and by fin,mcial institutions Hith Peele]', 1 dCl)osi ts or othel' fonis of Govcn1n;cnt contra.ct.s . In 106S t'Jall acc r2 cei ved the Tn;asuTY licpartri,,":nt' s Exceptional Servi cc k'!:lrd foy his work in the developr,',::nt of national economic poJicies J for prenarin,g P)"O;;l'~l"S to overcor;~'3 natiom·.'i c13 coin 2nd s i 1VCT short ages I and for his leadership in the eC[u?l opnortllnitics Drogl'<l~;I. In ]C)68 he \'las given the Alex:mder Ham}, lton A','/;)Td, the Tl'c,:sury' s highsst honol'. Wallac8 has lectured, written articles and 2 hook, Cong}~ssional Control ~ rederal SncTtI1i 11;~. I!e is 47 years 01 d, ma:rricd al"ld has th reechildl'en :---- ----------_. January 1Q(i':) STATEMENT BY THE HONORABLE STANLEY S. SURREY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON INTERNATIONAL EXCHANGE AND PAYMENTS OF THE JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE ON A REVIEW OF U.S. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS POLICIES MONDAY, JANUARY 13, 1969, 10:00 A.M. Mr. Chainnan and Members of the Subcommittee: I am happy to have this opportunity to discuss with you some of my views on the relationship between tax policy and the current account of the U,S. balance of payments. The major portion of my remarks will deal with the of tax policy and U.S. foreign trade. questi~n I will also deal, ifl somewhat briefer form, with tax policy and overseas travel by Americans, and I will offer a few words on some comments on a recent Treasury sponsored study on the balance of payments effects of foreign investment. I. TAX POLICY AND INTERNATIONAL TRADE One matter I have been asked to discuss is that of the relationship between tax policy and the level and structure of international trade. I would like to discuss both the effects of the overall tax structure and changes in it on a country's ability to compete internationally and the effectiveness and desirability of tax incentives or other specific F-1466 - 2 - provisions of the tax laws designed to promote a country's export trade. A second matter is that of the relationship between the external effects of a country's tax system, particularly the impact of taxes on trade, and its domestic economic impact. Even if we allow that the overall tax structure may have trade effects, to what extent, if at all, should we feel constrained by balance of payment considerations in making the tax policy decisions which are most appropriate for the domestic economy? The recognition of the need for Government action to improve our trade surplus should not automatically lead us to the conclusion that a change in tax structure is the appropriate Government response. There are other means at our disposal for achieving the desired trade objectives, through the sorts of programs now being developed in the Commerce Department or, if necessary, . through other forms of direct assistance, which can avoid many of the undesirable economic effects inhere.nt in the use of tax devices. Tax structure and International Trade Typically, when a country imposes a indirect tax, it does so with the intention that the tax should not affect the ability of the country to compete internationally. In - 3 - order to achieve this obj ecti ve such tCl.~-(:es, be multistage turnover taxes, single stage \.;hetL~r sale~ tt. s~/ taxss, value-added taxes or specific excises t are not impo;ea on exports, while imports are subject to tax at as are comparable domestic products. th~ Sfulle level These border tax ad- justments -- a term covering both the export exemption or rebate and the import tax are applied on the view that indirect taxes are always shifted forward and fully reflected in product prices. The adjustments are designed to prevent this from happening in the case of exports and to require impor·ted goods to bear the same competi ti ve tax burden. When a country imposes an income tax, however, no such adjustments are made at the border. This approach is based on the view that income taxes are not shifted forward into prices, and, therefore, no adjustment is required to free exported goods from the price effects of these taxes or to impose a tax on imports~ These traditional approaches are reflected in the rules of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) which provide that countries may exempt exports from indirect taxes, or remit indirect taxes already paid on goods which are exported, and may also impose such taxes on imports up to the level of these taxes on comparable domestic products. - 4 - Under the GATT no such adjustments at the border are permitted for direct taxes. Though there was no systematic analysis preceding the codification of these rules in the GATT, the rules seem to have been based on the existing practicffiwhich all countries utilized and on the implicit tax shifting assumptions which I have described. If it were true that generally applicable indirect taxes are always fully shifted forward into higher prices and direct taxes are not to any extent reflected in product prices, then the GATT rules and these practices should give us no cause for concern regardless of inter-country differences in tax structure. Their result would be a system of world prlces free of tax induced distortions. This is not the place to review in detail the literature and theory of tax shifting. Let it suffice to say that studies have indicated that taxes on business profits to some extent may be shifted forward into prices, at least under some circumstances. There also is widespread agree- ment among economists that indirect taxes may not in all cases be fully shifted forward for, like other costs, the extent to which tax costs are recoverable depends in large measure on general economic conditions and on conditions in particular markets or at particular points in time. On !( '-" : \ 01 , \ - 5 - neither of these propositions is there agreement on the extent of shifting. However, the most general view held by economists is that indirect taxes are, as a working rule, largely shifted forward while business income taxes are much less likely to be shifted forward. If all indirect taxes are not fully shifted forward, and some direct taxes are partially shifted, at least under certain conditions, then the GATT rules relating to adjustments at the border for domestic taxes do not necessarily render domestic tax systems trade neutral. Under these circumstances the structure of a country's taxes may affect its international competitiveness. A country which relies heavily on high rate indirect taxes and derives little revenue from direct taxes, would be favored in this regard over a country which relies heavily on income taxes and derives a small part of its revenue from indirect taxes. To keep the discussion in proper perspective, however, we must note that most of the European countries, whose high rate indirect taxes represent a greater proportion of their GNP than ours, also tend to be higher tax countries, in total, than the United States, in relation to GNP. The situation is not that the United States has high income taxes and the Europeans have high sales taxes, but rather that both have high income - 6 - taxes, especially in the corporate sector, and, in aadition, the Europeans have higher indirect taxes than we do. The corporate tax burden in the united States is not significantly different from that in most of the major European countries both in terms of the ratios of corporate taxes to GNP and in terms of effective rates of tax. is some shifting of the corporate income tax Thus, if there to roughly the same extent in all countries, this factor alone should not affect the structure of world trade, since prices in all countries would be affected in roughly the same degree by the domestic income taxes, leaving relative international prices unaffected. We have, however, no a priori reason to expect that the extent of corporate tax shifting is .necessarily the same in all countries. If a country imposes high indirect taxes as a major part of a relatively high overall level of taxes, in terms of the ,ratio of taxes to GNP, the consequent·relatively large border adjustments may provide a trade advantage compared to a country with low indirect taxes as part of a lower overall level of taxes only to the extent that the indirect taxes are not fully reflected in product prices. This assumes, as seems to be the case, that the effective level of corporate income tax in countries with high overall - 7 tax burdens is not appreciably di fferent fraIL t, ~>::: L ~ ';':'. n- tries with lower overall tax burdens, and that t'le oj:!.f£erences in overall tax burden are a reflection largE::!Y of the differences in the levels of indirect taxation. It ::\.1&') assumes that the degree of shifting, if any, of the o"o:cporate tax is not substantially different between countries. We should keep i.n mind that this discussion of indirect taxes is relevant regardless of the type of broad-based indirect tax we are considering. A high rate retail sales tax, a manufacturers' sales tax, a wholesale sales tax, a value-added tax or a cumulative turnover tax, if they impose comparable overall burdens, will all affect overall international cor.lpetitiveness, if at all, in the same manner and to roughly ·.:he same extent. The effects may differ for different products, firms or industries, however, depending on the nature of the tax. Th.e advantage which may 'accrue to high rate indirect tax countries is most likely to manifest itself in the folIO·~fi.ng way: A manufacturer in a country imposing a value- added tax or other form of sales tax which cannot be fully f:hifted forward would absorb a part of the tax on its domestic sales and reduce its profits. But its tax exempt export sales would not force a reduction in profits from - 8 - those sales. In such cases, the higher profits earned from export sales provide an incentive to devote greater effort to exporting to countries with a tax. correspondingly high indirect Similarly, foreigners exporting into the country will be forced to absorb a part of the tax in order to compete with domestic producers and will be less likely to push exports into the country_ Thus, a value-added tax or other sales tax which is not fully shifted coupled with full border adjustments, would provide a trade advantage to the country irnpos'ing the tax in the fonn of an export incentive and import disincentive. For this advantage to be signifi- cant, the rate of the indirect tax must be high, in the general range of the present European taxes. Changes in Tax Structure and International Trade While the extent to which difference3 in overall tax structure per se necessarily affect the character of level of world trade may not be altogether clear, certain types of changes in tax structure, such as those which are associated with the present shift to a harmonized value-added tax in the EEC, may have substantial trade effects, beneficial to the country making the change, regardless of the assumption one makes as to the shifting of the taxes involved. These are changes which, in one way or another, result in an increase in the level of border adjustments with no overall changes in the effective level of domestic indirect taxation, - 9 - and therefore presumably no effect on internal prices. A shift from a cascade type cumulative turnover tax to a value-added tax was made in Germany in 1968 and the Netherlands on January 1, 1969. in These shifts involved changes from a tax system where appropriate border adjustment levels are difficult to determine and are frequently below the comparable level of domestic indirect tax burden to a system where the domestic tax can, in an accounting sense, be accurately and fully reflected in the level of border adjustments. This is true because the cascade tax levied at one stage becomes imbedded in the cost structure of the product at subsequent stages and cannot be separately identified. The value-added tax, on the other hand, is separately invoiced and, therefore, the cumulative tax payment can be identified at any stage. Such a shift from partial compensation to full compensation through changes in border adjustments can only benefit the trade of the country making the change, at the expense of its trading partners, even though it is perfectly legal within the present GATT rules. Countries making such changes, however, generally argue that they are not creating a trade advantage for themselves but are eliminating the disadvantage which arose from the previous undercompensation, with which they - 10 - have lived for many years. What they fail to recoqnize, however, is that previous changes in exchange rates and in price levels around the world may have adjusted for this past "undercompensation ll , so that the current change in the level of border adjustments does, in fact, result in a present trade advantage for that country at the expense of others. In speaking of full or undercampensation at the - border, in this context, I am speaking only of the relationship of border rates to nominal domestic rates without prejudging the question of full or partial shifting of the domestic tax. shifting. This benefit would result even with full The benefit, a fortiori, would be greater to the extent that there is less than full shifting. The German Economics Ministry, in a recently published paper has said that, contrary to its prior expectations of negligible improvements in German export competitive.ness from the shift to TVA, German export prices have declined by 2.2 percent since the introduction of TVA. The Economics Ministry has not explained the cause of this price decline, but the amount of decline is presumably, at least in part, an indication of the increase in the effective level of border adjustments. Still another variety of tax structure change which affects a country's trade resulted from the November 1968 - 11 - monetary crisis. The French Government in an effort T.:.O improve the French trade balance, eliminated a payroll tax. for which no adjustments were made at the border, and replaced it with increases in the value-added tax, with a presumably equivalent revenue impact, for which border adjustments are made. This change was intended to improve French trade performance and is likely to have that effect. There is no reason to assume that other cou.ntries could not benefit their trade accounts from similar changes in tax structure. There are a number of examples in recent European experience of countries increasing the levels of their border adjustments under a cascade tax without making any change in their domestic taxes. Such changes are rationalized as neces- sary to eliminate undercompensation. They frequently take the form of adjustments to reflect taxes paid on certain types of expenditures which had not previously been accounted for at the border, such as the purchase of capital goods and certain business serv ices. Cou.ntries making these changes consider them to be consistent with the GATT rules, though it is not at all clear that the drafters of the GATT intended the rules to be construed to include adjustments for taxes on outlays which are not directly related to the traded goodS. - 12 - Changes of this type necessarily have beneficial trade affects, since there is no domestic change associated with the change in border adjustments, and therefore no possi- bility for a tax-related change in domestic prices. Response to These Issues As the level of indirect taxation and accompanying border adjustments has, in recent years, risen in many countries, we have come to recognize more and more clearly that we are operating in an international system based on a set of rules which, rather than neutralizing the trade affect of domestic tax systems, may have the effect of creating a. trade advantage for countries relying heavily on high rate indirect taxes. It certainly has the effect of creating an advantage for countries which -- under the rules -- change their level of border adjustments without changing domestic tax levels. What are the possible ways of dealing with this situation? Before considering that question, let me state one overriding caution: We must be very careful, in considering these possible alternatives, that we avoid the danger that these problems may force us, in making domestic tax policy decisions, to give a far greater weight to external effects - 13 - than would otherwise be considered appropriate or desirable. For example, in the recent discussions in this country of the desirability of imposing a Federal value-added tax, many of the proponents of adopting such a Federal tax, in an effort to achieve a possible trade advantage, have ignored serious potential adverse effects on the domestic economy, on tax equity and on tax administration of the introduction of a value-added tax. A variety of approaches to remedy the present international situation have been considered, both unilateral and multilateral. We have chosen first to exhaust the possibil- ities for a multilateral solution, within the GATT and the OECD. The U.S. Government was instrumental in initiating a discussion and analysis in the OEeD of the problems which the present border tax adjustment rules and practices create. This discussion alerted other countries to the seriousness with which we view this problem. It resulted in the estab- lishrnent of a procedure whereby member countries must notify the OECD of any changes in their border adjustments. The option is then open to any member to request consultations on the trade effects of such changes. During the past year and a half, this consultative procedure has been used three - 14 times: with Germany, to examine the trade effects of the shift from cascade to value-added taxation; with the Netherlands, to examine the effects both of increases in border adjustments under the cascade tax, in anticipation of the shift to TVA, and of the shift to TVA itself; and with Belgium, to examine the trade effects of increases in border adjustments under the cascade tax. The consultations have not been successful in producing general agreement on the trade effects of these changes, but they have been most useful in providing an opportunity for all of the participants to sharpen their understanding of the issues and to establish a record of their positions. The basic rules which govern the conduct of international trade rest in the GATT, and the United States has focused its efforts to achieve a permanent change in the rules on that body. In response to an American initiative, agreement was reached in early 1968 among the contracting Parties of the GATT to set up a working party to study the border adjustment problem. This working party was convened last April, and has been meeting at regular interva.ls since then. In his opening statement, and in subsequent remarks, the U.S. delegate has clearly stated the view that the present rules are illogical, inequitable and ambiguous, and - 15 - that the absence of a limit on the level of bord,,::L" r'J'::j 'lstments for indirect taxes could lead to a proliferation of border adjustments which would operate to the detr~"!'i(eDt of world trade. Under its terms of reference, the working party has examined the basis for the present border adjustment rules their legislative history, as it were -- and is currently engaged in a detailed examination of border adjustment practices in those countries participating in the working party. This has built on the work of the OECD in focusing clearly on the inadequacies, for the world economy in 1969, of the present rules. The next and clearly the most important task of the working party is to come forward with a workable al ternati ve to the existing provisions. This phase of the discussion should begin with a minimum of delay. In reaching its solu- tion, the working party must be guided by several important considerations: (1) that a country should be free to employ the structure and level of domestic taxation which is consistent with its own assessments of tax equity and economic growth and stabilization policies and should not be unduly constrained - 16 ~n this respect by international trade con- siderations nor should it be put at a competitive trade disadvantage or obtain a competitive advantage because internal fiscal policies require a tax structure of this or that nature; (2) that a continuation of the present system, with no effective limitation on the level of border adjustments, could lead to trade wars which would play havoc with the orderly fu.nctioni.ng of world trade; and (3) that the degree of administrative discretion pennitted in determining border adjustments, largely as a result of the ambiguities in the present rules, affords far too much freedom to tax administrators to affect world trade by administrative fiat. Any solution which gives adequate recognition to these three considerations should be satisfactory both from the point of view of the United States and the world trading community. While one u.s. concern in the GATT is with effecting a change to rationalize and clarify the provisions regulating the permanent border adjustment regime to be followed by the Contracting Parties, there is a second, somewhat related l( -1 l 0 I - 17 - objective which we should also consider. GATT signatories, operating within the terms of the Agreement, are limited to a single tool, quantitative controls, to assist during the correction of a temporary imbalance in the international payments. A more flexible tool, and one that is less damag- ing to the ultimate objective of free trade, may be desirable. I have pointed out elsewhere that a temporary border tax on imports and/or an export payment might permit this flexibility. The amount of this adjustment need not be related to the level or structure of a country's tax system, and could be determined, presumably in consultation with trading partners, solely with reference to a country's balance of payments position. Germany, in its response to the November 1968 currency crisis, has set an example for this sort of provision. In recognition of its responsibility as a surplus country, Germany has reduced the rate of its border adjustments below its domestic tax rate and thus shown that there need not, in all circumstances, be an exact relationship between the domestic tax system and the system of border adjustments. Of course, it is easy for trading partners to accept this sort of a change by a surplus country. Countries must be educated to accept the opposite change on the part of deficit countries. - 18 I must emphasize, again, however, that this sedrcb tor a flexible and responsive balance of payments adjustment tool to be used as a temporary measure must be kept separate from the search for a set of equitable permanent border adjustment rules. The two are not substitutes for each other , but rather are complements in a package of trade-tax policy measures which are relevant in the world of today. Studies have also been made regarding the possibility of introducing a system of border adjustment for the United States. Two approaches were considered. The first approach would have involved an export-import border adjustment for the indirect taxes now being paid by American producers, which taxes contribute to the costs of production of traded goods. These taxes include state retail sales taxes on machinery and bus iness services, and Federal and state excise taxes on such items as motor vehicles and parts, petroleum products, and telephone services when used by business concerns. According to our analysis, these taxes amount, on the average, to about 2 percent of product prices, though they vary widely among industries or product groups, from about 1 percent to over 4 percent. - 19 The second approach would have involved border adjustments, limited to charges on imports or payments O-;'-i exports or both, unrelated to domestic taxes and set at a level necessary to achieve the desired balance of payments result. These border adjustments would not be a part of a value-added tax or other sales tax, and would not involve any changes in domestic taxes. Rather, they would simply be border adjustments at the rate thought appropriate in the existing international setting. These border adjustments could be administered by the Customs Bureau. The appropriate level for this purpose would have been determined on the basis of demand elasticity estimates for U. S. exports and imports. These estimates would indicate the response in trade volume to a price change consequent on the given border adjustment. Both solutions were rejected at the time in favor of a multilateral approach. A border adjustment of the second type would not be regarded as consistent with the present GATT rules. An adjust- ment related to domestic taxes, that involved in the first approach, would be consistent with the interpretations of the GATT rules followed by many European countries. It would not, however, be consistent with the interpretation which we consider more appropriate, because it would include many taxes on - 20 - transactions which are not directly related to final products and because it would require considerable use of broad averages to calculate the appropriate rates. Another type of unilateral response being currently advanced by some persons in the United States is that of introducing a 1/ Federal value-added tax. have far-reaching effects. Such a change in our tax system would The proponents of such a change generally suggest that this tax be used to replace a part of the corporate income tax. They argue that a greater reliance, at the Federal level, on indirect taxation would spur economic growth, result in a more efficient utilization of capital resources, be mere neutral (i.e., apply with equal weight to all goods and services), provide a flexible tool for fiscal policy adjustments and finally -- and this is the primary argument in the view of many people -- lead to an improvement in our trade balance by permitting a broadened use of border tax adjustments. For each of these arguments for the tax there is an answer. Thus, there is little evidence, from recent European history, that a heavy indirect tax leads to a faster rate of economic growth ~or is there reason to suspect that the absence of a 1/ For a full discussion of this issue, see A Value-Added Tax for the United States -- A Negative View, by Stanley s. Surre Remarks before the 73rd Congress of American Industry of the National Association of Manufacturers, December 6, 1968. Treasury Release F-1427. - 21 broad-based national sales tax (for this, in fact, is what a value-added tax is) has retarded our own growth rate, which certainly has been highly satisfactory in recent years. Regarding the alleged distributional inefficiency of the corporate tax, to the extent that there are unwanted distributional effects of that tax many can be corrected within the structure of the corporate tax itself, so that all of the advantages of the corporate tax need not be thrown out to eliminate a f~w disadvantages. The neutrality claimed for the value-added tax would be likely to prove at least partially illusory. The European experience with value-added taxes has shown us that substantial departures from generality, and thus from neutrality, are the almost inevitable result of the political process necessary to establish the tax. France, for example, applies four different rates under its TVA, and provides special treatment for financial institutions, agriculture and small business. These pressures for departures from generality would probably be particularly strong in this country where, unlike most European countries, there is no tradition of broad-based indirect taxation at the national level. There is no reason to assume that a more rapidly responsive flexible fiscal policy can be achieved by adding a TVA to our present tax structure. The record of our 1968 10 percent tax - 22 surcharge shows that once the decision is made to the income tax can be adjusted quickly with full the s truc ture of the adjus tment. adjus~ taxes , agreel~nt on The difficul ties in'Jolved in reaching the basic decision to adjust taxes, however, would be present regardless of the type of tax being considered for adjustment. Thus, I find the arguments advanced for a shift to a value-added tax or a sales tax in the United States to be weak indeed. Moreover, the proponents of a Federal TVA give hardly any consideration to the major disadvantages of a TVA: It would be a far more regressive tax than the income taxes which it would replace, even if adjustments in the tax base were made to reduce the regressivity (a change which would also reduce the neutrality and allocative efficiency of the tax). Assuming the TVA is shifted forward to a greater extent than the corporate ta 4 , the substitution of TVA for the corporate tax would increase the domestic price level and have a similar effect on labor costs through the action of escalator clauses in labor contracts. The costs of compliance and collection to both the public and private sector would be high. Assuming quarterly reporting with exemption for farms, medical services and certain financial services, the number of returns per year to be processed would be between 25 and 30 million, a 25 percent increase in the total number of returns now handled by the Internal Revenue Service. - 23 - This entire discussion of the possible adoption of a TVA is, in a sense, too narrowly focused. The initial question should be do we, in this country, need a national broad based indirect tax? Only if th~ question is answered in the affirmative should we then proceed to the question of the form which a national sales tax should take -- a manufacturer's or wholesale sales tax, a retail sales tax, or a value-added tax. A value-added tax of the form used in Europe is equivalent in every respect but the method of collection to a retail sales tax. We have acquired substantial experience in this country in administering a retail sales tax, since such a tax is now in use in 44 states and a number of major cities. A retail tax, therefore, should be considered as a much more preferable alternative to the value-added tax, if a decision is made to move in this direction, since it would involve fewer firms in the tax collect~on process. The Europeans have opted for a value-added tax because they feel, for a variety of reasons, that they are unable to administer adequately a retail tax. We have already demonstrated our capacity for administering such a .tax. But I do not want to be misunderstood -- I am not suggesting a retail sales tax or any other kind of sales tax for the United States. I am only saying if ever a decision is made that we adopt a national sales tax for domestic policy reasons, it should take the form of a retail tax. - - ~ Finally, there is the question to what extent, if any, a value-added tax with full border adjustments may benefit u. S. trade. Clearly the benefit would be much less than the full amount of the associated border adjustment. Trade would be benefitted only to the extent of the sum of the non-shifted portion of the TVA and the shifted portion of the corporate tax which it replaces. In any event, as I have noted, the rate of the TVA would have to be quite high, in the general range of the European rates in order for the trade effect to be significant. However, even a 10 percent rate would yield revenues in excess of the yield of our total corporate tax. (Each 1 percent in the rate for a TVA for the United States would yield $4 to $5 billion depending on the base.) The question, then, which is not adequately considered by proponents of a value-add~d tax and which, in my view, should be given a negative answer is this: Are the costs in domestic tax equity and efficiency worth incurring in order to achieve a possible, and no more than relatively small, trade advantage? As I have noted, there are other means of achieving a trade improvement which do not impose such high costs on the domestic economy. The Use of Specific Export Tax Incentives My comments thus far have been related to the question of the effects of overall tax structure on trade -- what - 25 might be summarized as the "border tax adjustment problem". I would like now to comment briefly on a second aspect of the relationship of tax policy to international trade -the use of specific export tax incentives. The Treasury Department, working both alone and in cooperation with other agencies, considered this question at great length. A number of possible tax incentives re- lated to exports were considered. These included a credit against income taxes equal to percentage of the value ~ome of a firm's exports, or increases in exports; additional depreciation allowances or investment credits on assets used in export production or in production for increased exports; and additional deductions for current expenditures incurred in the promotion of exports. ~ were rejected for one or more of several reasons. The introduction of a tax credit or other form of tax incentive for export trade would make it difficult to resist similar tax incentives for other, equally worthy social or economics objectives. But such a proliferation of tax in- centives would quickly erode the revenue base and seriously weaken the income tax as an effective fiscal policy tool and as an efficient and equitable tax. These incentives could generate the charge that we were in a position of violating the GATT subsidy rules. This - 26 - could well lead to retaliation by our trading partners, both unilaterally and multilaterally, under the terms of the GATT. Such retaliation could neutralize any initial benefit which we might achieve from the incentive, and there 1S no assurance that we would not, in fact, come out as the net loser from such an exchange. In addition, we would be placed in the difficult posture of arguing that the rules should be changed, while we were, at the same time, being charged with violation of those rules. Furthermore, even abstracting from the problem of retaliation, it cannot be shown convincingly that any of these incentives would be able to produce a substantial increase in exports except at a substantial budgetary cost. The effect on exports depends in large measure on the assumption one makes as to the elasticity of demand for American exports. If, as many suggest, this elasticity figure is in the neighborhood of -2, the increase in exports resulting from a tax credit equal to a percentage of the value of exports would be roughly equal to the revenue cost if the full effect of the credit is reflected in ex- - 27 1/ port prices. If the tax reduction serves to increasc- export profits, rather than reduce export prices. t,he re--suIting increase in export effort could generate a gn~ater increase in exports. The implementation of these proposals would create difficult administrative problems. In order to provide the greatest return per dollar of lost revenue, any export incentive should be placed on an incremental basis, i.e., related only to increases in exports, increases in export promotion expenditures, etc. This approach, however, raises a variety of problems associated with establishing an equitable base period. As an example, I have only to refer you to our past experience with excess profits taxation. An incremental basis also creates an incentive to firms to create new export subsidiaries or to otherwise shift the channels for exports in order to benefit from a low level of base period exports, though there may be no increase in . total U. S. exports. 1/ A demand elasticity measures the responsiveness in demand to small changes in the price of a good. An elasticity of -2 denotes that with a 1 percent decline in price, the "quantity demanded increases by 2 percent. If, therefore, a tax credit equal to 3 percent of the value of an export were fully passed on in the form of a 3 percent reduction in price, the quantity demanded of that product would increase by 6 percent. However, total receipts would rise by less than 6 percent, since each unit purchased would be valued at the lower price. The increase in balance of payments receipts in this case works out to be approximately equal to the aggregate reduction in price Which is, by assumption, equal to the aggregate reduction in revenue receipts. - 28 If an incremental basis is not used, then substantial windfall gains to some exporters would result, as they receive tax benefits for activities which they would be carrying on in the absence of the incentive. This, clearly, would be a costly and inequitable way to promote exports. The question of who receives the tax relief must also be considered. If the benefit accrues to the actual ex- porter, we can expect to see a disruption in the established exporting patterns as manufacturers assume exporting functions previously carried out by independent export merchants, in order to increase their tax benefit. This can have a deleterious effect on exports, as the merchants who have developed ,overseas markets and have the knowledge and experience to exploit them are displaced by manufacturers who have less exporting experience. goes to the manufacturer, If the tax benefit (and which manufacturer - that of the components or that of the end product) regardless of who does the actual exporting, the difficult administrative problem of tracing exports is created. Conclusion on the Relation of Tax Policy and Trade I might summarize my remarks on the relationship between tax policy and trade with the following thought: Domestic taxes should not be viewed merely as tools which can be shifted back and forth in order to affect balance ~/( J - 29 of payments adjustments. If the rules governing international trade are su.ch that they impose undue constraints on the determination of sound domestic tax policy or dictate the direction of such policies, thus requiring a country to accept second best alternatives in terms of tax equity or administration, then these rules should be changed. I can conceive of few, if any, cases where a change in domestic tax law purely for balance of payments purposes would be appropriate, as long as there are other means available to achieve a similar objective. Unless the tax change in it- self is desirable for reasons of domestic tax equity, tax administration or fiscal policy, it should not be undertaken. II. TAX POLICY AND FOREIGN TRAVEL I turn now to another facet of the relationship of tax policy to the current account of our balance of payments the potential use of tax policy to affect our net travel balance. Foreign travel by u. S. residents constitutes a large minus item in our balance of payments. The latest review of the travel account by the Department of Commerce for the year 1967 estimates that u. S. residents spent over $4 billion for travel in foreign countries and for payments to foreign carriers. Foreign residents traveling in the united States - 30 - in turn are estimated to have spent $1.9 billion in this country and as fares to U. S. transocean carriers as part of a visit to this country. On a net basis, this works out to a deficit in the travel account of over $2.1 billion. We do not expect any improvement for 1968, as compared with 1967, despite the fact that the 1967 deficit reflected an unusually large increase because of the attractiveness of Expo 67. Our travel for a long time. account deficit has been growing bit by bit Going back ten years ago to 1958, the defi- cit as computed by the Department of Commerce was $1.4 billion. It has been estimated that by 1975 it could, if unchecked, exceed $4 billion if the trend is not altered. While our receipts from foreign travelers have been growing at a faster rate than our expenditures for foreign travel, the absolute dollar gap can widen for a long time because the growth 'of our expenditures started from a much larger base than that of foreigners. The President in his 1968 New Year's Day Message to the Nation on the balance of payments recommended reduction of the travel deficit by $500 million in 1968. This result was to be achieved by attracting more foreigners to travel in this country and by a reduced level of travel expenditures by U. S. - 31 - residen'ts to foreign countries outs ide the Wet: tern HemLs ,onere. The President asked for voluntary restraint by U. S. residents and legislation if this seemed appropriate. On a long t2rm u basis we have always recognized, of course, that the solution to the travel deficit must largely be sought through expansion in the number of foreign visitors to the United States. A number of steps have been taken to attract more foreign visitors to the United States in accordance with the report last February of the Industry-Government Special Task Force on Travel. Here our task is one of maintaining the momentum of a going program; and, in part, this means adequate financing of the Federal tourist agency -- the U. S. Travel Service. The other side of the coin is less cheerful. As the 1968 Progress Report of the Treasury on Maintaining the Strength of the United States Dollar in a Strong Free World Economy points out, " .•. our progress in the travel area has been one of the most disappointing parts of our 1968 balance of payments program." Last February Secretary Fowler recommended a three-part travel tax program. On a permanent basis the program would have provided an extension of the present 5 percent tax on domestic air tickets to all airline transportation and a reduction in the $100 duty-free tourist exemption and the $10 - 32 exemption for gift parcels arriving by mail. Then, for trips outside the Western Hemisphere, it was proposed that a tax be levied on water transportation and on tourist expenditures abroad in excess of a minimum amount. A bill reducing customs exemptions and extending the 5 percent ticket tax to all air travel was passed by the House, but no action was taken by the Senate Finance Committee. The letter of December 17, 1968 by Secretary Fowler as Chairman of the Cabinet Committee on Balance of Payments to President Johnson re-emphasized the necessity to commence the long-term efforts needed to halt the mounting trend in our travel deficit. He noted the need for adequate budgetary funds to stimulate foreign travel to this country. III. TREASURY TAX POLICY RESEARCH STUDY ON OVERSEAS MANUFACTURING, INVESTMENT AND THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS There is one further point which I would like to raise with you dealing with the restraint of foreign direct investmente Though it is not a current account problem, it is clearly a related issue. One effective program that we have pursued in the interest of achieving some short-term improvement in our balance of payments has been the program governing direct foreign investmente In 1968 the Treasury Department released a study entitled -33 - Overseas Manufacturing Investment and the Balance of Payments written by Professors Gary C. Hufbauer and F. Michael Adler. This study investigated in detail the effect of direct foreign investment on the balance of payments, and the study results indicated that a full payback, in balance of payments terms, of an overseas direct investment would require a period of up to 8 to 10 years to be achieved. This study has been subjected to some criticisms by two indus.try associations representing foreign investors, the National Foreign Trade Council and the Machinery and Allied Products Institute. The substance of the criticisms is an allegation that the recoupment period for the balance of payments loss associated with the initial investment is considerably shorter than estimated by Hufbauer and Adler. The viewpoint published by the National Foreign Trade Council in particular would suggest that the recoupment period is as short as two years. Many of the criticisms as to methodology and analysis appear wrong. Those which appear to have validity do not significantly alter the Hufbauer-Adler results. For the information of the Committee I would like to include in the record of the hearings at this __ point, as a supplement to this statement , a detailed discussion of these criticisms. TREASURY DEPARTMENT == = = R RELEASE 6: 30 P.M., esdey, January 14, 1969. RESULTS OF TREASURY'S OFFER O~\ .A.JJDITIONAI.. $1<~,i4 BLJ.lJON OF JV"NE TAX BILLS '!be Treasury Department annG:Jneed t~:~~ ~ teMerz~ .fo.r~n additional $1,750,000,000, thereabouts, of Tax Anticipation Se:ries Treasury r.ltJ h: jowd October 24, 1968, turing June 23, 1969, were opened. at the Federal nt'serve Banks today. '!he additional IOunt of bills, which were offered on January 8, 1969> vill be issued January 20, ~9, (154 days to maturity date). Total applied for - $5,019,185 O(;;~, Total accepted - $1, 750,OG3~OOO i , '. . '"' . ~ ,-. ,<,.", cr; ;:;V:"" t.,.rl.- .• '""(',l.C:::';"'~~''''''''';J;: IV\;", \.A'; - en te re d on a :nc(,:J~~:~1. '::t-".~ ;;'?::-' ~ ~,~d accepted in .full a'~ T.lle average price shown below) Hange of accepted coarpeti t1ve bieb: - High 97.4.76 - 97.450 - 97.459 Average Equivs.lent rate of discount approx. S.90~ per annum H It " -~. ~·o ~l~ " " " !I " 5.94~ " " " " " " y (54~ of the amount bid for at feder'S 1 Re serve $180,800,000 2,011,998,000 304,461,000 230,920,000 84,450,000 146,311,000 753,283,000 129,991,000 218,752,000 99,654,000 158,665,000 699,900,000 Total Accepted $ 89,200,000 526,858,000 114,369,000 92,352,000 38,350,000 54.,891,000 340,073,000 75,591,000 109,652,000 66,882,000 4:4,265,000 197,580,000 $5,019,185,000 $1,750,063,000 Total Applied For District Boston New York Philade lphis. Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Il111as San Francisco 'roTAL ~is is on a bank discount besis. F-1467 the low price was accepted) The equivalent coupon issue yield is 6.laj. l-Ill TREASURY DEPARTMENT , WASHINGTON. D.C. January 14, 1969 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASl TRF~SURY SECRETARY BARR HONORS THREE BANKERS IN RECOGNITION OF LEADERSHIP AND SERVICE secretary of the Treasury Joseph W. Barr today presented the Distinguished Service Award -- the highest recognition Treasury can give to non-Treasury employees to three officials of the Federal Reserve System. They were J. L. Robertson, Vice-Chairman of the Federal Reserve System; Alfred Hayes, President of the Fedpral Reserve Bank of New York, and Charles A. Coombs, Senior Vic~ Pr0sident of the New York Federal Reserve BanK. As a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System for 17 vears and as Vice Chairman for the past three, Mr.Robertson, the citation stated, "has borne unusual responsibilities for the effective and efficient functioning of the Federal Reserve System, including its administration of the Voluntary Foreign Credit:Restraint Program." Mr. Hayes was cited for his "effective coordination" between the Treasury and the New York Federal Reserve Bank "in those fields in which ... the Bank ... conducts market operations as fiscal agent for the Treasury Department." Mr. Coombs, promoted on January 2 to Senior Vice President of the New York Federal Reserve Bank, "arranged and carried out extensive operations for Treasury's Exchange Stabilization Fund with perception and despatch in the interest of international financial stability," the Treasury citation said. Attachments: copies of citations CITATION Distinguished Service Award J. L. Robertson As a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System for seventeen years and as Vice Chairman for the past three, J. L. Robertson has rendered distinguished service to the Treasury Department and the Nation. Because of the great demands placed on the Chairman by the System's international financial concerns, Governor Robertson,as deputy operating head of the Board of Governors, has borne unusual responsibility for the effective and efficient functioning of the Federal Reserve System, including its administration of the Voluntary Foreign Credit Restraint Program. He has diligently applied his broad knowledge and experience with energy and skill and has discharged his responsibilities with firmness, fairness and understanding. He has provided wise advice and counsel on economic and financial matters, including the effective management of the public debt. His strong leadership and unstinting efforts have benefitted immensely the Treasury Department and the Nation in every area in which he has been concerned. ---I:.. ---- ex(' " CITATION Distinguished Service Award Alfred Hayes As President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York for the past twelve years, Alfred Hayes has been a distinguished adviser on both domestic and international financial matters to the Treasury Department and to successive Secretaries of the Treasury. Throughout his tenure Mr. Hayes has assured effective coordination between the Treasury and the Bank in those fields in which the Federal Reserve Bank of New York conducts market operations as fiscal agent for the Treasury Department. He has shared unstintingly the wisdom and experience gained from an exceptional career in private and public finance. The close personal contacts Mr. Hayes has developed over the years with the leading financial officials of many countries, coupled with his broad understanding of economic forces and financial mechanisms, have qualified him uniquely as a mentor in problems of great importance to the Treasury and to the nation. In a period when international financial relationships have occupied a position of unusual significance his advice and support have well served the Treasury Department and the country. ~ ~ CITATION Distinguished Service Award Charles A. Coombs As Vice President of the Foreign Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Charles Coombs has rendered great service directly to the Treasury and broadly to the international monetary system during a particularly difficult period in the gold and foreign exchange markets. Under Mr. Coombs' direction, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has arranged and carried out extensive operations for Treasury's Exchange Stabilization Fund with perception and despatch in the interest of international financial stability. In addition, the Treasury has benefitted on a wide range of financial matters by his advice, wisdom and penetrating grasp of the intricacies of the exchange markets and the monetary system. ---~ \-' ~ STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE FREDERICK L. DEMING UNDER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY FOR HONETARY AFFAIRS BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITIEE ON INTERNATIONAL EXCHANGE AND PAYMENTS OF THE JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 15, 1969 10:30 A.M. EST Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: In 1968, we restored our full position in the International Monetary Fund -- $6,450 million. Our gold tranche of $1,290 million is, of course, virtually automatically avatlable, should we need it. In addition, in 1968 the Federal Reserve swap lines were enlarged -- to a total of $10.5 billion and, at year-end, our drawings on our swap partners were less than $450 million, down from a peak of $1.8 billion in December, 1967. -2To round out the international financial picture for 1968, I want to note three other achievements. In March, the two-tier gold system was established and has worked well. After suffering severe losses of gold reserves in late 1967 and early 1968, the drain of monetary gold into private hands was stopped. Since the end of March, UoS. gold holdings have increased net by $188 million. Also in March, the archaic gold cover requirement for Federal Reserve notes was removed, thus freeing up all of the U.S. gold stock for international monetary purposes. Also in March, final agreement was reached on a plan for a new international reserve asset -- the Special Drawing Ri gh ts, or SDR.. ."s of January 10, 1969, 29 countries with 47.54 percent of the weighted votes have ratified the proposed Amendment to the Fund's Articles of Agreement. When 67 countries, with 80 percent of the weighted votes, take this ratification action, and when countries wi th 75 percent of the vote deposi t ·-their certificates of participation with the Fund, the new machinery will be in place. I am confident that this will occur in the very near future. Activation of the new facility will, of course, come later -- but, I hope, fairly soon -- after a collective decision on amount. -3Finally, the international monetary system weathered a series of financial storms in 1968. International monetary cooperation successfully met the challenges it faced last year. Undoubtedly the system can and will be improved over time, but it should not be overlooked that it has worked well and has contributed greatly to world economic growth and the growth of world trade. Just a year ago, Secretary Fowler released the U.S. Treasury Department report entitled, "Maintaining the Strength of the United States Dollar In A Strong Free World Economy." That report gave the history of the United States balance of payments position, described various programs that-had been undertaken to resolve our balance of payments problem, and described in detail President Johnson's January 1 balance of payments action program. Last • month, Secretary Fowler released a supplement to that report enti tIed, "A 1968 Progress Report," which was based on the results of the first three quarters of this year. It described the progress we had made in 1968 and the actions still required. The Progress Report also repeated the text of the Jan~ary 1 Message and printed an exchange of letters between President Johnson and Secretary Fowler announcing the 1969 balance of payments program, as reco~ended by the Cabinet Committee on the Balance of Payments and approved by the President. The Cabinet -4Committee laid down the following principles, which they believed should govern the program in 1969. 1. A stable economy and the restoration of a healthy United States trade surplus should be the primary objective for 1969. 2. Initiatives pursued in 1968 to assure fairness to United States trade in world markets should culminate in 1969 in cooperative action by the United States and our trading partners. 3. The Department of Commerce should intensify efforts to expand commercial exports generally and in conjunction with foreign assistance, and the Agencyfor International Development should continue measures to assure additionality and to minimize substitutions in foreign assistance. 4. Consistent with our security commitments. the Nation in 1969 should continue to minimize its net military deficit by reducing those expenditures whenever conditions permit and by neutralizing them through cooperative action by our allies. 5. The mandatory and temporary Foreign Direct Investment Program, as announced in modified form by the Secretary of Commerce on November 15, 1968, should be maintained. 6. The Federal Reserve Voluntary Foreign Credit Restraint Program should be maintained with present ceilings -5- on foreign lending from the United States, but in the coming year attention should be given to possible modifications to encourage further the promotion and financing of exports by the commercial banking system. 7. The Interest Equalization Tax, which expires July 31, 1969, should be extended with the existing authority to vary the rate from 1-1/2 percent down to zero, depending on circumstances. 8. A five-year program is needed to narrow the travel deficit through promotion of foreign travel in the United States by both public and private action. Against this background, I would like to analyze in some detail the history and the anatomy of the United States balance of payments. For this purpose, I have had constructed two tables, Table I and Table II, which present the U.S. balance of payments from 1941 through 1967 in a different and, I believe, somewhat more useful analytical form than the conventional current account - capital account presentation. This analytical form, which in broad outline is not unique, is, I believe, particularly useful from the viewpoint of policy formulation. - 6 The two fundamental differences between the analytical models given in Tables I and II and the conventional presenthe tations are (l)/income on our foreign investment and the outpcyrnents on foreign investment in the U.S. are taken out of the traditional "Services" account, which is a current account item, and put into the "Net Private Capital" account; and, (2) the figures on u.S. Government receipts and payments, both current account transactions and net U.S. Government grants and loans, are consolidated in two accounts, which I call "Gover nncnt Grents and Capital, Includinc; Incerne" end ''Military Sales and Expenditures." There is one maj or exception to this second consolidation. Outpayments of interest on foreign holdings of u.S. Government securities are included in the capital account, which I call, without complete accuracy, "Net Private Capital." I will give the rationale for this inclusion later on. Table I shows the detail, consolidated into the accounts noted, for the over-all balance of payments. the detail for the it. Table II shows Net Private Capital account, as I define Table I balances to the familiar liquidity balance measurement but also shows, for the period after 1960, the c) t 1 I - 7 - official settlements measure. Data on this measure is not available before 1960, which is the major practical reason fo~ balancing the table to the 1iqUdity measure. Now', let me explain the specific accounts briefly. Column (1), Merchandise Balance, is the familiar trade balance -- the difference between exports and imports. excludes sales and purchases on military account. It Exports financed by U.S. economic grants and loans are included. Column (2), Services Balance, is quite different from the conventional account on sprvices. It includes outflous and inflows -- and thus the net -- on transportation, on travel, and on miscellaneous services account, the latter both private and Government, plus pensions and remittances also both Government and private. It might have been more consistent to have stripped out from this account Government payments and receipts for miscellaneous services and payments of Government pensions to those living abroad. In 1950, the net of these was about $200 million; in 1967, it was about $800 million. The reason for leaving these items in the Services Balance was partly because of the W) rk involved but mainly because the services were miscellaneous and the - 8 - pensions, a major portion, are not susceptible to policy action any way. The Services Balance does not include any inceme receipts or payments on investment; as noted, these are included in the Net Private Capital account. Nor does it include any mil tary or Government aid and loan transactions. These are included in the Military and Government accounts. Column (3) is merely the sum of Columns (1) and (2). Column (4), Government Grants and Capital, Including Income, includes both disbursements and repayments on loans and grants -- in other words, it is net. The account also includes interest and other income on Government loans and investments. It does not include foreign investments in U.S. Government securities or payments of interest on such securities. acco~nt. These are included in the Net Private Capital Government Prior to 1946, the data on the/ account include military grants. Column (5), Military Sales and Expenditures, is basically the foreign exchange costs of our military operations abroad, l~ss receipts on sales of military goods and services. Before 1952, the series is a pure expenditure series; from - 9 1953 to 1959, inclusive, it is expenditures minus deliveries of military goods and services; from 1959 on, it is expenditures minus cash receipts on military exports. From 1966 on, a separate Column, (6), indicates military "neutralization, It l-lhich is essentially financial transactions designed to offset the foreign exchange costs of our military expenditures undertaken in the common defense, but is not directly connected with foreign purchase of military goods and services from the U.S. I / Column (7) is the Net Private Capital Account; Column (8), the Liquidity Balance; Column (9), the Official Settlements Balance. Table II shows a breakdown of the Net Private Capital account in Table I. As can be seen, it includes capital outflows from the U.S. on Direct Investment, Column (10), and on Other Account (except Government), Column (11). It also includes income receipts on our private foreign investments and this Column, (12), includes receipts of fees and royalties from our direct investments abroad. merely nets Columns (10), (11), and (12). Investment Inflow is shown as Column (14). 11 Column (13) Net Foreign Income we pay to Technically, military neutralization did not begin until 1967 when financial transactions for that purpose were specifically linked to our military expenditures in particular countries. I have included transactions done in i966 and 1967, not then specifically counted as military neutralization but of the same type, only for purposes of comparability in this presentation. - 10 foreigners on their investments in the U.S. is shown in Column (15). That series includes payments by both U.S. private and public sectors, and a word of explanation should be given right here about this series. Income Payments to Foreigners is a composite of three separate payments. First is the dividends and interest earned on private investments in the U.S. by foreigners •. Such foreign investment is mainly portfolio investment, but there is substantial direct investment here also. Second is interest and dividends eanled· on investments in the U.S •. by public institutions or governments. It is important to recognize that there are public or governmental investments .- both direct and portfolio -- in the private U.S. economy. Some of these investments are in real estate; most are in the form of inte~st-earning deposits in U.S. banks. Neither of these types of investment are new developments, although .' . . .. ! . foreign central bank investments in U.S. bank certificates of deposit or time deposits have been extended both in amount and maturity in recent years, as interest rates in the U.S •. have risen. Third is the interest payments made on foreign holdings -- both public and private •• of securities. u.s. Government - 11 - In connection with this third category, it is important to recognize two facts. First, the U. S. has financed much of its deficits over the past 18 years by increasing its liabilities both to official and private holders of dollars. As the primary reserve and vehicle currency of the Free World, this has been a natural development. These dollars, of course, are held because of confidence in the U.S. economy, because there are major money and capital markets here which make it easy to buy and sell securities -- particularly Government securities -- and because investlilents in dollar securities earn a return. The rise in the volume of income payments to foreigners reflects ,in no small degree, the rise in U. S. dollar liabilities to foreigners - - both public and private. Second, included in those payments are interest payments U.S. on the special types of/securities held by official foreign accounts, such as Roosa bonds and the nonliquid securities sold to neutralize military foreign exchange costs. real difference between these latter and any other The only U.s. Government security is their non1iquidity, so that they are counted technically in the liquidity balance concept - 12 as capital inflo'tv. From the interest cost point of view, there is little, if any, difference between them and any oth~r Government security. I shall come back to this point later on in the analysis. Finally, Column (16), Errors and Omissions, is included in the Net Private Capital Account. Most analysts regard it as mainly an unrecorded capital item. Column (17) is the same as Column (7), Net Private Capital in Table I. Now, let us move to analysis of the figures as shown. You will note that I have grouped certain series of years and computed averages for those years. The first three groupings cover a period of 17 years -- World War II, the immediate post-war, and the 1950-57 periods. Note that the U.S. was in deficit on the liquidity basis -- and, if we had figures, I am sure it would show similar deficits on the official settlements basis -- in 11 of the 17 years. The average annual deficit for the entire period wa~ $563 miliion. And the U.s. financed its whole deficit in the 17 years -- some $9.6 billion -- by an increase in liquid dollar liabilities, about $7.7 billion to official holders and about $4.7 billion to private holders -- which adds up to more than - 13 the deficit. The difference Cdiae in our gold holdings, which, on December 31, 1957, were up $862 million from the end of 1940, and an improvement in our TI·W position of nearly $2 billion. Let us look at the individual accounts. The trade balance was in very substantial surplus until 1950 -reflecting two basic facts. One, we were the arsenal of democracy in World War II and, in the immediate post-war years, we had the only major industrial plant that was not damaged by war. say that we had the Free World. It is not much of an oversimplification to mos~ of the goods and most of the money in When you look at the Government Grants and Capital account, you can see that we gave or loaned the rest of the world money and, with it, they bought our goods. If you look at foreign investment in Table II, you can see that foreigners also sold off investments in the U.S. get funds to buy badly needed goods and services. to And, finally, even though they did not have much gold, they sold us gold and held dollars in preference -- the dollars earned income. We ran big surpluses on Services account in the war - 14 - years and were roughly in immediate post-war years. ba1a~ce on that account in the The foreign exchange costs of our military operations overseas were not all that high, and we had pluses on net capital account from our earnings on previous invest~ent and from errors and omissions, which probably reflected mostly capital inflow to the U.S. for safety reasons. Between 1950 and 1958, the world was being rebuilt -in large part due to our help. We were able to cut back considerably on Government grants and capital, but our military expenditures rose as we stopped formal occupation of former enemy countries but still maintained troops there and elsewhere, without covering their foreign exchange costs. Our Services account went into deficit as travel and transportation account worsened -- but the deficit was L/ l 7 - 15 - not too great. somevlhat. And our net private capital account improved Income on our foreign investment continued to rise, and it was not until the very end of the period that our capital outflmv increased sharply. while not large, did flow into the u.s. Foreign investment, and, inclusive of the inflmy on errors and omissions, exceeded income payments to foreigners. The big loser in this period was the trade account. Except for 1956 and 1957, it ·was substantially smaller than in the war or irmnediate post-war years. . Partly, that was due to recovery and industrial modernization and availability of goods from sources other than the U.S.; partly, it reflected sharper cost increases here than elsewhere and deterioration in our competitive position; partly, it reflected our willingness to suffer trade disadvantages not. .~ connected with costs; partly, it reflected reduction in our loan and grant programs. -16- But, even wi th all of these developments, our defici ts were not particularly large or disturbing. Statistically, they averaged no more than in the war years, and we financed them mainly with increased dollar liabilities to foreigners. Our gold stock at the end of 1957 was $1.7 billion below the balance at the end of 1949, but we still had considerably more gold than at the end of 1941. The real facts of the matter were that at no time between 1941 and 1958 was the U.S. in deficit in any meaningful sense. We saw our net reserve position deteriorate, but we could afford it, and, indeed, it was good for the world. The dollar was better than gold, and most foreigners preferred it. In essence, we acted with responsibility and with altruism and with enlightened . selfishness. It was good for us and for the world. In 1957, due primarily to the Suez crisis and the oil situation, we had a balance of payments surplus -of $578 million. Our trade and service surplus was $5. 4 billion; our Government and military deficit was $5.2 bi Ilion, and we still had a small net capital inflow. After 1957, the picture changes radically. By 1958, Western Europe and Japan had recovered from World War II -- as noted, due in large part to U.S. policy -- their currencies were basically convertible and their industrial plant strong and -17- competitive. The United States no longer had most of the goods and most of the money, but both we and the industrial world continued to act as though that still were the case. We continued to tolerate disadvantages to our trade and to encourage our people to travel and buy abroad. We continued to pick up most of the foreign exchange and budgetary check for the common defense of the Free World. And, to compound our difficulties, shggishness in the American economy and the investment opportunities in the expanding world economy brought an ever-increasing flow of private capital out of the United States. The rest of the world had grown used to increases in their international reserves and did not wish to see that process arrested. At the same time, they began inconsistently but nonetheless actually -- to get nervous and displeased about the continuing and increasing American deficits. They expressed this nervousness and displeasure by converting a large part of the dollar increases in their reserves into gold from the American gold stock. In the ten years, 1958 - 1967, the U.S. balance of payments deficits cumulated to almost $28 billion, or $2.8 billion per year on the average -- 4-1/2 times the average annual deficit of the previous 17 years. In financing that deficit, the United States increased its dollar liabilities to private and public -18- holders by over $17 billion. drop by almost $11 billion. But we also saw our gold stock Part of that decline was due to the gold rushes of late 1960 and early 1961 and late 1967. But most of it was a fairly steady attrition resulting from the need to finance our deficit. In a very rea sense, the balance of payments adjustment problem -- both for the world and for the United States -- in the 1958-67 period can be characterized as a struggle, both intellectual and real, to get the surplus countries of Western Europe to recognize that chronic surpluses were bad and to get the United States to recognize that chronic deficits were bad. - For far too long, we continued to say three things: deficit was good for the world; (b) (a) our it really was not very important anyway; and (c) at the same time we apologized for being in deficit. to say: (a) For far too long, Western Europe continued the U.S. should correct its deficit; (b) Europe had no respon.ibility for taking compensating action; and (c) proper demand management in the U. S. would do the whole job. In the past couple of years, however, real progress has been made on both sides in recognizing not only the oversimplification of the above propositions but the basic responsibilities which lay on both sides. Most helpful in arriving at this better and more appropriate pOSition have -19- been the regular discussions in the OECD, especially in its Working Party 3, and in the Group of Ten, as it considered the need for a new type of international reserve asset. Now, let us return to the analysis -- this time of the 1958 - 1967 period. As can be seen from the tables, I have grouped the 1958-67 years into four subperiods: 1958-50-, 1961-64; 1965-66; and 1967. Note that the trade balance in 1958-60 averaged just about the same as in 1950-57 and then improved strikingly in 1961-64. Note also that, while the trade balance deteriorated significantly from 1964 through 1937, it was still a respectable and a real surplus. Much of the good performance on the trade account in the 1960-65 years was due to the good " performance of the American economy from a cost viewpoint. The economy was running at less than optimum level during much of this period, but it was growing and cost stability was being maintained. As Vietnam began to put pressure on resources, however, higher cost trends began to develop. Failure to arrest these trends, I believ~, has been the basic factor in the deterioration of the trade balance. While we can never know for certain, my own jud~ment is that failure to enact the Revenue and Expenditure Control Act of 1968 in the summer of 1967, when it was introduced, was the -20major factor in our deterioratin~ trade balance in 19G8. That weakness was compounded by the strikes or threatened strikes in steel, copper, and the docks. The threat, culminating in the reality, of the current dock strike probably is responsible for temporarily arrestin~ the recovery of our trade balance that was evident this fdll. The Services Balance also shows steady deterioration throughout the period, being arrested only a bit in 1964. From 1957, when the Services Balance showed a deficit of $674 million, to 1967, when it was in deficit by $2,592 million, deterioration of almost $2 billion. by a billion; tourism, there was a TIle travel deficit worsened the transportation deficit, part of which reflects worsened by $700 million; deficit worsened by $600 million. the pensions and remittances These were offset in only a minor way by improvement in our miscellaneous services surplus. So we see that the average combined trade and services account improved by $2 billion from 1958-60 to 1961-64, despite some deterioration in the services account; dropped by $1.4 billion in the 1965-66 period, as the trade balance declid~d and the services balance worsened further; and dropped another $1.4 billion in 19G7, reflecting the same developments but with more accent on a sharply increased tourist deficit. -21- The Government Grants and Capital account in 1958-60 was slightly less in deficit than it had been in 1950-57. The deficit widened in 1961-64; widened slightly further in 1965-66; and was sharply higher in 1967 and 1968. In large measure, the early increases in the 1960's were due to increased aid and, in the late 19GO'F to increased lending by the Export-Import Bank. It should be noted that this account represents little financial drain. It mostly finances U.S. exports which might not take p lace wi thou t u. S. Government grants and loans. Much of the financing is tied to purchase of U.S. goods and services . . . Included in these totals are Export-Import Bank loans. The Military account deficit in 1958-60 was up significantly from the average of the previous eight years. Then, by a combination of military offset sales and reductions in costs, that account deficit was reduced substantially in 1961-64. The sharp rise after 1965 reflects almost entirely the direct foreign exchange costs of Vietnam. Beginning in 1966, we began to seek financial neutralization of the foreign exchange costs of our military expenditures abroad. In 1968, we more than doubled that neutralization of 1966 and 1967. A major point to stress in explaining changes in the U.S. balance of payments after 1957 is the capital account. Table II shows the developments in the components of that account. -22Direct investment outflow rose sharply in 1956 and 1957, fell back in ls53-60, and then more than doubled by 1966. Other private capital outflow, mainly borrowings by foreigners in our markets and bank lending abroad also began to rise sharply in 1956-57 and increased fairly steadily until 1964, when it peaked at ~ore than $4 billion. These accounts show two significant things. First, direct investment -- even in balance of payments terms -- was not cut back absolutely by the Voluntary Program in 1955 and 19G6 but was reduced somewhat in 1967 under a continuation of the Voluntary Program and not reduced much further in 1968 under the mandatory program. Wha t my arrangement of the data does not show -- but 111.'. Fiero's statement does -- is that the over-all foreign exch..l.n"ge costs of direct investment wer reduced quite significantly. The reduction is reflected, how- ever, in large part in Column (14), where part of the foreign investment inflow reflects foreign financing, through purchases of American corporate bonds, of U. S.' direct investment abroad. In point of fact, neither the voluntary or mandatory progr~ms ~ ever were designed to curtail gross U.S. investment overseas -but to shift the financing abroad and thus lessen the foreign exchange drain. In fact, the programs have succeeded. As Mr. Fiero points out, gross U.S. investment overseas has risen each year, with the 1968 increase expected to be 8 per cent. -23The second point is that other investment outflow dropped very sharply after 1964, due in part to extension of the Interest Equalization Tax to bank loans, in part to the Federai Reserve program and in part to the Commerce program on direct investment. The improvement in this account from 1964 to 1965 was about $3.9 billion. Of this the banks accounted for about $2.5 billion as their short-term loans to foreigners went from a net outllow of $1.5 billion in 1964 to a net inflow of $300 million in 1965. Long term bank loans to foreigners rose $900 million in 1964 and were up only $200 million in 1965. Most of the rest of the improvement reflected a swing by corporatIons in the Commerce voluntary program from a net outflow of $600 million in 1964 to a net inflow of $400 million in 1965. Some part of this very large improvement obviously was not sustainable and in 1966 the net outflow on other capital increased by $450 million, due mainly to a reversal of flows in the corporate account. In 1967, there was a sharp deterio- ration in this account due to three factors: 1. Americans increased their purchases of new issues of foreign securities by over $400 million between 1966 and 1967. Part of the increased purchases were issues of international organizations, such as the World Bank; -24part represented sales of bonds by the Government of Israel following the outbreak of hostilities in June of 1967; and part reflected an increase in new Canadian issues. 2. There was a reversal in 1967 of U.S. liquidation of foreign security holdings, a process that had been going on since the lET was put into effect in 1963. Net U.S. purchases of outstanding foreign securities in 1967 exceeded $100 million, compared with liquidation of about $325 million in the preceding year. 1966 of the lon~ The reversal in late downward trend in major foreign stock markets probably played a role in the resumption of U.S. purchases. 3. The easier reserve position of U.S. commercial banks in 1967 resulted in a very marked rise -- $660 million -- in their short-term credits to foreigners, although the great majority of banks remained within their ceilings under the Voluntary Credit Restraint Program. The bulk of the increase in 1967 credits went to Japan which had reduced its short-term U.S. banking obligations in the previous year. -25- In 19G8, some of these losses were recouped, primarily because the banks again reduced their foreign loans under a tighter Federal Reserve program. Income on ou~ foreign investment, including fees and royalties, rose very sharply throughout the period, proving two things. One, t~e restraint programs certainly did not kill the goose that laid the golden eggs, and two, in general this source of earnings is a powerful and growing help to our payments balance. -26- Now, note that the combination of restraint on outflow and growing earnings turned the net on U.S. capital (Column (13)) from a fairly large negative in 1964 to a very large positive in 1965 and following years. Net foreign investment inflow was modest throughout the 15 years from 1950 to 1965. Beginning in 1966, it increased sharply and continued to increase in 1967. doubled from 1967 to 1968. It more than I have noted that part of this development really represents foreign financing of direct U.S. investment abroad. Sale~ of u.S. corporate debt securities mostly for this purpose totalled about $550 million, in both 1966 and 1967 and, in 1968, are estimated at $2 billion. A large part of the improvement, however, reflected a real movement into U.S. equities, which began to escalate in late 1967 and continued throughout 1968. It may have been strengthened by the unrest in Europe in the late Spring of 1968, but it was well under way before that time. that part I believe probably a major part -- of the credit goes to the Foreign Investors Tax Act and the concerted movement of American financial houses to attract foreign portfolio -27- investment. A recent article :in U. S. News and World Report comments on this increase in purchase of U.S. equities, either direct or through mutual funds. Finally, some portion, but not a large one, reflects a shift in central bank or government investments in U.S. bank certificates of deposit from shorter to longer maturities. The increase in 1966 in such certificates was about $350 million; in 1967, was about $500 million; and, in 1968, is estimated at $200 million. For the most part, these shifts reflect interest rate considerations but, in some measure -- particularly from Asian sources -- they reflect the desire to help neutralize our increased military costs in separate Southeast Asia. These investments are/ from those I show in the military neutralization column. The difference is both in form and in explicit understanding with regard to neutralization of military expenditures. I have already commented on Column (15), Income Payments to Foreigners. The sharp and steady rise reflects -- as to be expected -- the rise in foreign investment in. the U.S. and the rise in U.S. liquid dollar liabilities to foreigners, both public and private. -28Now what lessons can be learned from this detailed analysis? 1. In my judgment they are the followin~: It is vital that we improve performance on the trade account. (a) In doing so these points are important: The economy must not be allowed to overheat. A sustainable rate of growth is desirable but a growth rate that strains resources, puts upward pressure On prices and costs, renders us less competitive, ~nd sucks in imports in extraordinary volume is not desirable -- either domestically or internationally. It is not desirable -- either domestically or internationally -- to deflate the economy substantially below its capacity_ (b) Every effort must be made to avoid crippling strikes in key industries that lead to lessened exports and increased imports. It takes a long time to recover from the effects of such developments. (c) We need to engage more heavily in export promotion and continue to improve our export fin~ncing machinery. (d) We must move strongly towardamaliorating the trade disadvantages which are built into the existing system. These include both non-tariff barriers and border tax-export rebate systems. -29- 2. It is vital that we 60ntinue to push toward further reductions in the net foreign exchange costs of our military expenditures incurred in the common defense of the Free World. We have done a good deal in this area; we must move to more sustainable programs and to greater amounts. (a) In this connection it is important to note: At the last meeting of NATO Ministers in November 1968, the following language was in the communique: "They (the Ministers) also acknowledged that the solidarity of the Alliance can be strengthened by cooperation between members to alleviate burdens arising from balance of payments deficits resulting specifically from military expenditures for the collective defense. It is now necessary to work out the implementing details. (b) After Vietnam, it will be important to capture the potential foreign exchange savings through better burden sharing of mutual defense costs in the Far East. (c) There is nothing inherently wrong in the military neutralization program -- offsetting foreign exchange costs through financial transactions that represent capital inflow to the U.S. Fundamentally. -30it costs the U.S. no more to pay interest on nOllliquid military neutralization securities than on any other U.S. Government securities in which foreign governments invest their reserves. Nevertheless, foreign governments do not wish to lock up too great a quantity of their reserves in .30 that the potential for iilfi~it9. S'.lC:l non-li~ui~ ~ecuritie~ tCd..lsactio.1S is .1'Jt But, more importantly, it is better practice to reduce the net foreign exchange costs of military expenditures through host country purchases of military goods an9 services from the U.S. or direct assumptions of some of the foreign exchange costs we bear and which accrue to. those countries . 3. It is vital that we continue to stimulate foreign investment inflow into the U.S. This is a perfectly sound method to aid our payments balance. Both direct and portfolio investment by foreigners in the U.S. is useful and helpful 4. For the time being it is essential that we continue to restrain capital outflows from the United States. -315. We must stimulate more foreign travel to the U.S. In summary, let me point out these facts. 1. Even if we succeed in stimulating travel to the US., it is unlikely that we can do more than to hold the deficit in service account to something like its level in 1967 and 1968. As a high income country, our people will travel abroad. Simple demand management policy -- even perfect demand management policy -- will not cut this outflow. So we will have to run fast ip promoting foreign travel here just to stay in the same place -- a substantial deficit. Here a 5 percent ticket tax with the proceeds going to finance a well-coordinated tourism program is highly important. 2. Government grants and capital help finance exports and are important in helping develop the less developed countries of the world. We should increase our level of foreign aid, but do so in a way that protects us when we are in balance of payments deficit and in a way that helps assure additionality of commercial exports. But it is unlikely that the gross drain -- as shown in Column (4) will decline. It is likely to rise -- and it should rise. -323. Military expenditures are not susceptible to demand management. We have to seek political cooperation to reduce their net foreign exchan~e drain. 4. If we assume a service outflow of $2.5 billion. a government capital outflow of $3.5 billion, and a net military outflow of only $1 billion, we need a $7 billion trade surplus just to balance these outflows and this leaves nothing for private capital export. net we need a 5. To the extent we export capital bigge~ trade surplus. It thus is highly important that we attract capital inflow here -- to offset gross capital out~ flow that cannot be covered by the trade account. (MORE) -33- ViJ.t; I might summarize my remarks at this point by saying that I believe the corrective or adjustment process in our balance of payments will have to occur to a significant extent in the capital accounts and not only in our current account items. I also believe this process will necessarily involve more policy coordination among the major countries, not only on general adjustment measures but on specific ones as well. General measures, working through changes in incomes and prices, here and abroad, s~ply do not have sufficient effect on military, foreign aid and, perhaps, some other types of transactions; and any effect they do have is likely to be diffused rather than concentrated among the countries most involved in such transactions. As I said last September at the annual meeting of the National Association ..of Business Economists: " ••••• the adjustment process is complex -- and, consequently, the attainment of successful adjustment has to involve both surplus and deficit countries and a whole range of policies and policy instruments. Proper fiscal and monetary policies -34- are of key importance in successful adjustment -but other policies, at least for the United States, and, I believe, for others, as well, are of high importance also. "Some types of transactions are primarily responsive to domestic fiscal and monetary policies; others are less so. Still others are influenced primarily by past economic policies and developments. Some reflect policy decisions of an essentially noneconomic nature." I believe this situation will continue; and that in addition to whatever balance of payments adjustment we achieve through general measures, we will also have to rely on some specific measures for achieving external balance. Not only are general measures ineffective for certain important types of u.s. transactions abroad; their use beyond a certain degree to influence transactions where they are effective may run into conflict with the achievement of one or more other major national objectives, such as full employment and steady economic growth. -35- Let me now mention tl<lO points on 'vhich you asked me to connnen t • The proposed temporary tax on travel expenditures plus a proposed 5% ticket tax on international flights was designed to achieve an immediate balance of payments saving by inducing travelers to moderate their expenditures while abroad and, at the same time, provide budget funds for financing over the next five years greatly stepped-up promotion campaigns for foreign travel to the U.S. The Congress did not acceP.t the Pl."oposed taxes -- the restrictive aspect of the proposal; but by not providing an alternative source of financing for the medium-term promotion campaign, it has left efforts to reduce our tourist deficit in suspension. I do not ~ow what views the new Administration might have on this matter,! but my own judgment, if I were continuing in office, would be to press Congress hard for more adequate funds for promoting foreign tourism to the U.S.; and, if this required additional financing because of overall budget considerations, renew the request for a 5% ticket tax on international flights • the same rate that has applied to domestic flights for years. The second matter is the Interest Equalization Tax which went into effect in July 1963 as a means of stemming the rapidly rising outflow of U.S. portfolio capital to other advanced countries. Foreign borrowers, by and large, seeking medium- and long-term funds here not because of any shortage of dollar exchange in their own countries, wer~ but because they could borrow here more cheaply for their domestic working capital needs than they could borrow in their own markets. The U. S. market was, in effect, playing a role which the domestic money and capital markets of other advanced countries should have filled; and this was costing our balance of payments heavily. The tax was certainly effective in stemming the portfolio outflow at which it was initially directed, and in early 1965 when it was applied to long-term bank loans, it reinforced the opera.tion of the banks' voluntary restraint program by screening out those foreign borrowers unwilling to pay the additional 1 percent per annum which the tax involved. Only about $120 million of foreign issues subject to the Interest Equalization Tax have been floated in the U.S. in the 5-1/2 years since the tax took effect. Countries -37- subject to the tax -- including Japan which has a limited exemption -- sold $356 million of issues here in 1962 and almost $700 million, at an annual rate, in the first half of 1963. Last year, as far as our data now show, they sold only $3 million hrre. Hence, without regard to any trend growth in their issues here, our balance of payments last year benefitted by a gross amount of around $700 million. With allowance for some trend growth, the amount would be even larger. The net benefit, of course, is less than this,for part of the potential outflow in the form of portfolio investment abroad was undoubtedly diverted lnto other forms of lending abroad. But we do not think the net benefit for our balance of payments was much less than the gross benefit for the following reasons. As noted above,! a large part of the pre-July 1963 outflow was essentially for domestic working capital use in the countries of the borrowers. After the Interest Equalization Tax took effect, they turned to their local or third country markets and stimulated a growth in the size of these markets (mostly in Europe) which was greatly abetted -38- by the efforts of U.S. investment bankers who had lost a considerable amount of their foreign business in the U.S. By the time the voluntary and mandatory restraint programs came along, the European markets were able to respond not only to the growing demand of many foreign borrowers outside the U.S. but also the large demand of U.S. direct investors who were induced by the rDlP to finance their direct investments through such borrowing. The inter- national securities market, outside the U.S., has grown from around $500 million in 1963 to around $5 billion in 1968 -- a tenfold increase in 5 years. This is an example of a temporary restrictive measure generating a useful long-term effect. But how temporary is the Interest Equalization Tax? pa~sed It was two years; and it has been renewed twice. initially for The last renewal added an administrative flexibility feature to the tax, designed in part to aid in phasing the tax out. In my judgment, the tax should be extended and the flexible authority retained. It is true that relative interest rates here and abroad, in December, favored foreign corporate borrowing here by onl}! aheut ,a half p,er:eent ... - wall under the 1.25 ,percent Intere~~ iij\lalization 'tax for~ign ho~w0We~. pe~ Cll}n\.ll1l Relative a stronger incentive to rather than abr,oad cost to a potenti&l inte~est rae~s. however~ for~i&n provided gQverm,lent;s to borrow here Also" tRe relative rate situatiqn has been affected b¥ the unusually liquidcenditions in certoi.n European credit markets -- namely in Germany and Italv by the tighti oonditions here. situation will last. PQrcen~ a year, fore:kSi&o issues on trhis and It is not cleaF hQW lQng this If we had l:educed the lntelr-es,t EqualiZ8tliQn.Tax rata to a Ber annum a half ~- th~r~ effecti~e -t;ni"ght ha.ve heen a ma~ket in ant-i~igation cost of, say" 3\l.+,g~ of that the, lnterest Equalization Tax rate would be raised. Insho~t. a reduction of the. rat.e seems. useful anly when thera is a clear·· p;t;oapeee· have t;Q ~e ~hat; t-h~ r;educ-tion will not tempor a:ry, __ The same point applies to Equalization Tax legislation. e~tension of the Interest I do not think it should be allowed to lapse until our balance of payments progress on other fronts is sufficiently assured to avoid any likely need for renewal of the tax. The tax has served and continues -40- to serve a useful function in restraining capital outflows; and it has done this with no observed adverse effect on pri~ate long-term capital inflows which have occurred at an unprecedented rate in the last year and a half. This completes my comments on the second example of a specific balance of payments measure, one which Congress has supported. In conclusion, a solution of the balance of payments problem remains among the nation's top priorities. towards a solution is ~ng Progress made on major sectors other than trade and tourism;-and theeLements for a gradual improvement in these accounts are at hand in the measures which we have designed. With a determination to end inflation, the continuation of certain specfic . balance of payments measures and responsible action by the surplus countries, I can foresee a successful end to our efforts. 000 'l'."\BLl: I . - U. S. B,"\Ll\.;;CL OF Pi\y;::r:;;TS - - - - - - - - - ( : : ; r . l i l Hciri,--------- (1) ;!erchandise Balance -------- (2) Services Balance (3) Balance on Goods and Services (4 ) (5) Gov. Grants <.: Capital Incl. Income ;iili tary Sales & ~pen. ~ -------- (8) (7) ;:ilitary l~eutrali- zation ,;et Private Capital e./ (9) Official Liquidity Settle. Balance Balance 1,119 d/ -205 d/ -1,979 d/ -1,859 d/ -2,737d/ -1,132 0/ n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. -162 -953 -1,763 -1,982 -2,434 -1,459 584 277 341 457 -305 271 -5,272 -6,055 --4,816 -5,551 -5,424 -493 -455 -799 -(21 -592 207 398 967 1,341 625 993 4,210 817 136 1,539 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 472 2,864 2,172 588 1,712 2,000 3,742 5,425 2,372 -3,531 -2,993 -2,176 -1,803 -1,282 -1,937 -2,168 -2,369 -2,282 -576 -1,270 -2,054 -2,423 -2,460 -2,701 -2,788 -2,841 -2,139 146 1,391 852 1,454 489 1,396 241 363 7')2 - 3,489 -8 -1,206 -2,184 -1,541 -1,242 -973 578 -1,257 n.a. n.a. n.;). n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a . 5,249 -'1,836 -1,575 599 -563 n.a. 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 !,verage 41- 45 1,927 5,688 10,516 11,926 7,228 7,457 84 1,290 1,762 1,800 318 1,051 2,011 6,978 12,278 13,726 7,5-16 8,508 -1,314 -6,507 -12,835 -14,060 -7,544 -C,452 1946 1947 1948 1949 i.verage 46-49 6,634 10,036 5,630 5,270 6,893 331 286 -165 -303 37 6,965 10,322 5,465 4,967 6,930 . •'JCrilge 50-57 1,009 2,921 2,481 1,291 2,445 2,753 4,575 6,099 2,947 -537 -57 -309 -703 -733 -753 -833 -674 -575 ,--.vc:ril<Je H-57 5,202 47 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 (6) c/ c/ c/ c/ c/ 0' 'l'."'.ilLE I. . (1) (2) U. s. L;~L1\::Cr.; OF P;W~:E~~TS (Cont.) ($ !".\i-Ilion) (3) (4) (5) ----- Services 3alance --.-- Balance on Goods and Services Gov. Grants & Capital Incl. Incotle ;·;ilitary Sales & Expen. ~I 1958 1959 1960 ,:.vcrage 58-60 3,312 985 4,743 3,013 -1,138 -1,411 -1,405 -1,318 2,174 -426 3,338 1,695 -2~280 -1,637 -2,446 -2,121 1961 1962 1963 1964 5,422 4,387 5,057 6,649 5,379 -1,491 -1,623 -1,818 -1,695 -1,657 3,931 2,764 3,239 4,954 3,722 65-66 4,728 3,635 4,182 -1,328 ··1,372 -1,850 1967 ,-.vcruge 58-G7 3,477 4,240 -2,592 -1,687 ;;crchandise Balance ,:-,verage 61-G4 1965 1966 "-~vcrage ":! ".J./ c/ (7 61 E./ (6 ) (7) ~:ilitary (8) lIet Private CaDi_tal £I Officia ... Liquidity Settle Balance DalanC! -3,135 -2,805 -2,768 -2,903 -124 998 -2,022 -383 -3,365 -3,870 -3,901 -3,712 n. . n ••. - 3, 4~ 3 n ••. -2,423 -2,569 -3,106 - 3,133 ·-2,808 -2,599 -1,966 -1,967 -1,889 -2,105 -1,279 -435 -838 -2,735 -1,322 -2,371 -2,204 -2,670 -2,800 -2,511 -1,3 7 -2,7';2 -2,On -1,5G4 -1,90G 2,900 1,763 2,332 -2,895 -3,086 -2,991 -1,865 -2,808 -2,337 743 372 525 2,035 1,280 -1,335 ·,1,357 -1,346 -1,239 2GG -512 885 2,552 -3,697 -2,727 -3,317 ·-2,512 734 14GV 1,823 -205 -3,571 -2,744 -3,40S -1,5·; G~.' ~ieutrali zation risures through 1952 .::.~e e:::;e!1oiturcs only; those fo~ 1953-59 arc net of "traw;fcrs" (io deliveries) on :dlitary !j.:.1es; those DCCJinninnr: I:: C: are net of cash receipts from uili tary·'s.:!lr=n contracts. L,clur.::i n 0 )1:" i vatc i.·la~~.1c;:.'':3 <!:-.ci receipts, an~ GovcrrlTlCnt p2.y:-·.cnts, of invest< '.cnt inCOr1C'i includes .ollGO long-tor;.l c.:qi ~.:ll inf 10'::5 fro: I [C:!:;:;:<;;: S"cvcrr.:lcnts not rclatec::. to r.d.li t.:!ry S<J les 0:" Dili tilry neutralization. L1I..:lu.:cs ~!ilitc.r'l (Tant~ I ·::·.!'C:i not seoaratel'l available bcfore 19~6. ··"'11·'r ~-'rl',-,s ,.lliC"::_, ~,"r0ci~~I" con:"-r""'lc ···jt 1 (,,,tel for l":'E on .. _ _ .::"_. ".. .•.. ~~ )JC .:' " v ;. .... ' .. vnr,::,<.,:c:G over 10 ~T.:.,:.rs i:-. -::~:::'c::r to cross";lt:(: to'liqui~ity' L:-:l<:l1cc, c,1'C::lOUg11 sue:l tr;:tjls;:ctiollS l-(~~r.:l;l only in 19G6. .,v",riHJc for lJGO-1S67. .~ ~._. ~...: ~.J_' (9) .,I~~ <;..O.J,. ... .l _'"~ L _ - • • '...'.'\I::L:L II-U.S. (lO) \)utflo\·, on :Jir.-Invest. (11) Otil(;;r Private Capital Outflow --"---_. _.. ------_ _------------_._- n;·Ll'.;;CL 0:' P.;Yi.'iL;;'... S: ..- - - Detail of Column 7, ',,:able I (12) ----r~·f:iTlioii)- Income Recci!.Jts ~ (13) i;et of Cols. 10-12 ..- - - - - - - - - . - . - - - . (14) (15) Foreign Invest:r.cnt Inflm; e/ InCOI:1e :>uy:ncnts to Foreigner ~ .. 1!J41 47 19 9U 71 100 27 40 -------- (17) (16) Lrrors and ;;e:t Private capital or:',issions Cols. 13-16 ~5 ::;34 277 341 457 --305 271 -212 218 -2J7 .- 24 5 ~49 -187 -15S ·155 -161 -231 -173 476 :1 3.4 - 37 -123 535 496 497 556 572 531 622 527 525 430 22 435 -327 ., 34 - G3 175 -10-1 -81 315 1,113 1,321 1,3':?7 1,162 402 126 415 34,1 447 -G15 -432 -261 -280 1,1')3 44 -333 7S() -- J:JO -183 --238 -135 107 -125 -J411 -2Go 737 -6 ,2 l~ -5·iO -30G 352 -'):55 1,610 3'-::5 765 101 He 1,3:;1 594 1:;55 -;..,~3 -~32 52 14G 249 297 ··269 -·i14 -421 . 't (i 1 -'120 -11 1,:313 1,754 1,7G6 I.;;..)"; -G21 -508 -052 -735 ·-GC 7 1 ~ jU -1,')!)1 -2, ,J42 -1,120 -1,135 JJ-:J7-.l,J7S .,-- 1:;42 1~43 1')1;<1 1943 :.\'lcr~gc 41-45 194G 1!)47 1) ,:~ -230 -74') -721 19~9 -GGO .- .\'....!r tl,..3~ ';\"-~J 1)3J li:J 1 1) :>2 "} II ,- -. _~J.J 1;; .) 7 ...... r ~- i._'.": c... • ~ _ ... : ~ : i.'- .;I -.~ 7 ' -lv~J 12 -·70 -147 -~50 54C ,...... 1,073 -374 -727 444 6b -5G d .545 -- 5') [; 2,328 2, G97 2,G50 2, lIe --G 39 ··473 500 G27 366 191 515 SC3 ] ,134 493 -·3:' 7 1, ,i25 .; -!2 50 J3~.i 445 2,!)~Jl 1,403 469 328 -Lin~ - -"',." ~ I_' .J (; 7 1,3:,1 &25 ~\ ('- r- ' ) u::>~ 1,454 4C? 1, 3 l ] G 241 3C3 7~\2 :"(;9 ~ -t.. ~ - Tl,l}!..L II-t.;.S. - -- - --------- (10) uutflow on ~ir.-Invest. (11) Detail of Colur:m 7, 'l'a!.:>le I (Cont.) !:illion) - - - - - - - - .- - - - - - - :.>X...i ,;.Ci.. OF PJ',Y!lL.;'",i·S: ---------r~- (12) Ot.'er Private Cari tal Outflm'o' 2 - lncone r:eceipts ~I - - - _. (13) ~'~ et of eols. 10-12 (14) (15) Foreign Investr:ent lnflo':! ~/ Income Payr::e.nts to Foreigner ~/ (16) Lrrors and Jnissions (17) ::ct Private Capital Co1s. 13-16 1958 -1,181 -1,372 1959 -1,674 1960 Average 58-60-1,409 -1,755 -1,003 - 2,204 -1,654 2,784 3,042 3,404 3,077 -152 667 -474 14 186 736 407 443 -669 511 -828 -1,063 -853 423 -1,598 1961 -1,654 1962 -1,976 1963 -2,328 1964 Average 61-64-1,889 -2,582 -1,772 -2,483 -4,250 4,024 4,528 4,811 -156 1,102 352 -fi92 102 -1,007 -1,110 -1,325 -1,';56 -1,225 -847 -997 -244 5,686 4,762 731 570 379 473 538 -737 -1,279 -435 -&38 -2,735 -1,322 -3,468 -326 -793 -560 6,308 2,514 2,273 2,394 55 2,044 1,050 -1,729 -2,074 -1,902 -315 -210 -263 525 2,033 1,280 -2,630 -1,980 7,374 4,365 1,724 2,924 1,823 851 -2,293 -1,355 -532 696 -396 -205 1965 1966 -3,623 ~verage 65-66-3,546 -3,020 1967 "v~r.3.se 58-67-2,109 -2,772 6,639 6,499 _.. _- - -- - - ---- - - - - --- - --- ill ~/ ~I -892 14 - SGO -124 998 -2,022 -383 ---- ._ ._---- - - - ------ ----_._------------ ---- -- - - --- - Ine1uc..;i:l<] fce.s anG roy.:::ltiC?s frol;! (jircct illvcst;;:c:nt nnJ excll.:l1in~ Govcr;"lr-ent i:1 V<.:s t f .c nt incol'!c. InclullC!:i Ions-tern inflo·..:s froll for c ic.:n ,:over;)llcnts not rc~latGd to I:ilitary S u les or n ilit il ry r. ~ utrali::.:ltion. Ir.cluCes L,. S. Govcrn: .lcnt p.:ly r. .cnts of invcst.:;,cnt income. SUPPLFHENTAL STATE1:·1ENf OF THE IlONORADLE FP..EDERICK L. Dm·H~:G UNDER -sEcrU~rAI~Y--OII'--'.rHE TREASUJZY FOR l·lONETARY AFFAIRS BEFORE THE SUBCOH>1ITTEE ON I}~TEnNATIONAL EXCHANGE AND PAYHENTS OF 'itlE JOINI' ECONOHIC Cm'1HITTEE l-lEDNESDAY, JANUARY 15, 1969 10:30 A.H. EST I1r. Chairman cmd Hcmbers of the COlT;,i.ni t tee: I a111 nO\q able to give you preliminary figures for 1968. The organization of the data is the same as appears in Tables I and II O~( my full statement. -..--_---.---..;--1968 U. S. BALANCE 0E-~Au'iliNJS -----------_._-- --------------------.-~---- TABLE I ($ million)-Estimated $ (1) l1erchandising Balance (2) Services Balance -2,315 Balance on Goods and Services -1,815 (4) Gov. Grants & Capital Incl. Income -3,640 (5) Military Sales & Expen. -3,600 . (3) (6) Military Neutralization (7) Net Private Capital (8) Liquidity Balance (9) Official Settle. Balance - .500 1,512 7,700 150 1,700 - 2 TAl)LE II (10) Outflow on Dir. Invest. $ -3,000 (11) Other Private Capital OutfIo,", -1,850 (12) Inc'orne Receipts 8,300 (13) Net of Cols. 10-12 3 ,l~50 (l!~) 6,950 Foreign Investment InfIoH (15) Income Paymentfj to Foreigner -2,800 (16) Errors end Omissions 100 (17) Net P~ivate Capit&l Cols. 13~16 7,700 - . In 1968, the United States had a surplus in its balance of payments on both the liquidity .. and the official settle- ments b2sis. On the liquidity basis, the surplus was the first since 1957 -figures "le have. ~round $150 million on the preliminary On the official settlements basis, the 1968 surplus, again on preliminary figures, was about $1.7 billion. The data on official settlements goes back only to 1960; we had a small surplus of about $300 million in 1966; every other year from 1960 through 1967, we had deficits. - 3 - The 1963 tctal is prel:i.minCl~cy hut relatively firm. The final is not likely to be more than $200 or $300 different from the preliminary. millio~ That may be quite a differ- ence from pUl·e fourth quarter figur.es \'lhich are the ones that are preliminary -- but not much for. the year. The real unceitalnties lie in the figures given for the specific ncconnts. \'le Trade figl1~ces are rensonably firm, for get monthly d£1.ta on these and they repi:esent essentially 11-month data extrapol~ted for the year. account cmd the neutrc:lization c:!cco~nt The military are f,:-.irly f5_j_'~'J; Gover.nment grants <'-nd capital is a highly p:c elimincn.:y cstirJlate. The net private capital item is really the balancing item, and its components in Table II are all most preliminary estimates. ~ve have reasonably good current figures on foreign purchases of U.S. stocks and bonds, and on U.S. bank lending abroad. But the capital flows of the past two months leave many of the figures for the individual capital accounts in a high state of uncertainty. To sum up, we are reasonably certain of the total for the liquidity balance; less certain, but not too much so, of the figures for the official settlements balance and the - components of Tc;blc I Duel no~ Lt (it COillponcnt figures in T cS.ble II. useful to •• all ccrtC1in of the Nevertheless, I t.hink it the figures. pn~sent With these 1963 figures, I can carry the analysis a step ftn:ther by cO'-'lparing 1968 Vlith 196{. and 1967. The trade p2rfo:cTnanc e in 1968 Has ve:r:y poor. The final figure seems likely to shm:7 a miscreblc $500 million surplus, down $3 billion relatively poor the 1961} level. in the dec line sho~}ing, fro~ last year's respectable but and Galin more th2,n $6 billion from I have a1 rc.?dy noted that the maj Oi..~ '·]2.S [k-lC Lor the overheated U. S. economy and that delay in passage of the tax bill probably cost us dearly in the trade balance. The primary element in the worsening of our trade balance was the expansion of imports. The trade balance also "Jas affected adversely, as noted eCJ.r1ier, by actual or threatened , .strikes. Perhaps a quarter of the deterioration from 1967 to 1968 reflected that factor. The Services Balance in 1968 showed some improvement from 1967, which had been especially adverse because of the attraction of Expo 67 in Canada. in this account is adverse. Obviously, the basic trend Relative to 1964, the 1968 - 5 Services account deteriorated $500 million. Thus the Balance on Goods and Services \kich had been strongly positive in 1964, and still positive in 1967, turned strongly negative in 1968. This \'Jas clearly the worst feature of the 1968 perfor1l1ance. The adverse balance on Government Grants and Capital actually improved a bit from 1967 to 1968, reflecting h.:.rd Government effm:ts to reduce outfloHS on this a.ccount. Relative to 1964, such outlays were higher by $500 million due in large part to lirLlch he&viel" f:1.n3Bci!lg of nO~l"lL1ili;';uLY goods and servlces exports by the Export··Import Dank. This financing, of course, strengthened our export position. Military expenditul"es, net of military sales rose $1.7 billion from 196L} to 1968 and \'lere up $300 million from 1967 to 1968. But with the concert rated effort to neutralize these fore:lgn exchClI~ge costs -- reflected in the doubling of . f: such arrangements from 1967 to 1968 -- the 1968 figure net of such neutralization was within $200 million of the 1964 outflow and $500 million better than in 1967. The real swing came in the Capital accounts. The net of capital outflmvs from the U.S. and the income inf101'1S 1 - 6 . ].Uc.lng " f'ces D1C all. d ' roy.::; lt~cs, " on o'J1" f ·orcJ.gn ~nvcstl1lcnt HClS a positive $3.5 billion in 1968 -- double \ih0t it Has in 1967 8ncl almost $4.5 billion better- than it \'7as in 1961~. And these figures do not reflect the real cutback in financial flows on direct investment account due to American business Eorroving abroad. Capi tal 1nfloH. That, as noted, is included in Foreign The favorable resul t in this area ' . . as a product of evel- grmving earn~tngs on our foreign investments and restraint on the foreien exchanze costs of our foreign .inves tm2nt. Foreign capital inflows in 1968 apparently reached close to $7 billion and outpaYill2nts of income to foreigners on their inves tments here ~dere about $2.8 billion. The capital infloHs in 1968 were $6.5 billion larger than in 196t~ and $t). billion largel- than in 1967. Income payments to foreigners \'le1.'e $1.3 billion more than in 1964 and $500 million more than in 1967. : ,. The infloH in 1968 represented purchases of American equities of close to $2 billion, purchases of American corporate debt instruments of about the sc@e amount, special receipts from foreign goverlliuents other than military neutralization of about $1.5 billion, and direct investments plus foreign co:nrnercial credits to U.5. borrmvers of about $1.5 billion,_ Finally, errors and omissions seem to have turned positive for. the first time since 1.959. Pulling all this detail together, we can see that 1968 relative to 1961~ sho'\'7ed a deterioration of $7.5 billion in the combination of trade, service and Government expenditures, and an improvement of $ 10.6 billion in the Capital account for a net improvement on the liquidity balance measure of $3.1 billion. Relative to 1967, the comparable figures are a deterioration in trade and service of $2.8 billion, an improvement in Govenuu211t acc.cunt of $700 million and c.n improvement in Capital account of $6.1 billion for a net gain on the liquidity basis of $3.9 billion. In my formal statement, I cited severa.1 conclusions \"hieh I distilled from the detailed analysis of the 1941-67 data on balance of payments. None of those conclusions are changed from analysis of the preliminary 1968 data. Nevertheless, I have some additional COJ1l11ents to make as a result of that analysis. 1. The 1968 balance of payments result reflected mainly a strong balance of payments program, the Action Program announced by the President on January 1. p~rts Those of the program that were put into effect -- the mandatory direct investment program, the strengthened - 8 Federal llcsc}:ve progra!n, ~nd the drive to reduce the forciBn exchange costs of Government -- including military expenditures overseas -- worked very well. Failure to enact promptly \vhat the President 2. called the first order of business Expenditure heavily. 3. ~_ontrol the Revenue and Act of 1968, cost our trade account So did the strikes or threatened strikes. We also got no help from removal of trade disadvantages or deliberate actions -- e.g., Kennedy Round acceleration by our trading partners -- on our trade problem. 4. Hhile tourism "las not as big a drain in 1963 as in 1967, that was due to special factors. a good lm.1g-r~ngc here. \ole have no financing for that plan. 5. We have plan to attract foreign tourists Most of the capital inflow that occurred in "- 1968 Has solid and the result of deliberate policy oJ:; deliberate attempt to secure it. Some -- equally solid -- may have reflected unrest and uncertainty in Europe and realization that even an overheated U.S. economy was an attractive placE to invest. .. 9 - 6. There is no reason not to eXp2ct .continuation of the favorable capital position. Earnings on our forei.gn investments should continue to increase; investment in Ame:r.ican equities should continue substantial especially if the economy comes into better balance; borroHings b American corporatioi.1S ovej~seas should continue, if needed. 7. Thus, our balance of payments position in 1968 is not "fragile" or "unsound." Hhether we should balance in other years in this "lay is, of COU1"Se, another question. Ny an:'\'78i:." is that .such a balance is not really good for the world. 8. Thus, I want to restress the conclusion in my formal statement. lvc need to improve the trade balance; we need to drive even harder to offset military foreign exchange costs. We need to begin effective action to hold the Services clefici t in bounds. And continue to attract foreign capital. If we do these \ole need to things, we can fire up our mID capital outflo\'ls. 9. This is the real road to both a solid and a responsible balance of payments equilibrium. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR RELEASE AT 12:00 NOON (EST) WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 15, 1969 (THERE SHOULD BE NO PREMATURE RELEASE OF THIS MATERIAL NOR SHOULD ANY OF ITS CONTENTS BE PARAPHRASED, ALLUDED TO, OR HINTED AT IN EARLIER STORIES) STATEMENT BY THE HONORABLE JOSEPH W. BARR SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AT THE PRESS BRIEFING ON FISCAL YEAR 1970 BUDGET TUESDAY, JANUARY 14, 12:00 NOON (EST) AT FEDERAL OFFICE BUILDING 7 This is a responsible, realistic budget in terms of what the country needs and can afford and what the Congress can be expected to do. It is also consistent with our responsibilities at home and abroad to keep the dollar strong and respected. It is geared to the realities of our economic situation. There are times when budget deficits are appropriate. not such a time. This is Therefore, we are recommending the continua- tion of the 10 percent surcharge for one year and a surplus of $3.4 billion in fiscal year 1970. Fiscal 1969 is expected to show a surplus of $2.4 billion. Revenues for the current year, fiscal 1969, are estimated at $186.1 billion, an increase of $32.4 billion over actual receipts of $lj3.7 billion in fiscal year 1968. The rise antici- pated for 1969 will exceed by a considerable amount any past year-to-year increase. - 2 The record rise in revenues reflects both the large gains In income achieved in calendar year 1968 and increases resulting from tax legislation. Approximately $15 billion of the increase in receipts in fiscal 1969 arises from the $71 billion gain in GNP in calendar 1968 and from a change in the pattern of corporation tax payments. The remainder, more than $18 billion, reflects changes in taxes. The income tax surcharge enacted in 1968 increases receipts in fiscal 1969 by approximately $12 billion. The tightening of provisions relating to the current payment of corporate estimated tax payments increases receipts by $1 billion. Both of these increases reflect a bunching of receipts in fiscal 1969 because of the delayed enactment of the legislation. Employment taxes also rise substantially in 1969 because of the increase in the wage base from $6,600 to $7,800 effective January 1, 1968, and the increase in the combined employment rate from 8.8 percent to 9.6 percent on January 1, 1969. The increase in the employment tax in fiscal 1969 over 1968 because of these changes is estimated at approximately $4 billion. In fiscal 1970, receipts are estimated at $198.7 billion, an increase of $12.6 billion over the estimate for fiscal 1969. - 3 As contrasted with fiscal 1969, the rise in receipts in 1970 is due almost entirely to economic growth. This estimate is based on a projected gross national product of $921 billion for calendar year 1969, an increase of $60 billion over calendar year 1968. The personal income share of the projected gross national product is $736 billion, an increase of $50 billion over calendar year 1968. Corporate profits for calendar year 1969 are estimated at $96 billion, an increase of $4 billion over calendar year 1968. Almost the entire increase of receipts in fiscal year 1970 reflects this economic growth. Enactment of the fiscal restraint package last June was a decisive change for the better in our financial position. Large budget deficits meant heavy federal borrowing and extra pressure on the private credit markets. Now, with the budget moving into surplus, we face an entirely different situation. Let me direct your attention to the section entitled Budget Financing in the tables on page 10. You can see that in fiscal year 1968 we borrowed $23 billion from the public. You can see that in fiscal year 1969 we will repay the public $3 billion and further repay an additional $4 billion in fiscal year 1970. This is a huge and dramatic swing and effectively - 4 takes the government out of the competition for credit and puts us in the position of a supplier of credit. As fiscal policy takes hold the Federal Reserve should have more leeway in determining its policies. Monetary policy can be more flexible and ready to adjust to a changing situation. risks of a credit crunch have been greatly reduced. The And during the period ahead, with the budget moving into surplus, overall pressures on the credit markets should gradually lessen. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON. D.C. January 15, 1969 'OR IMMEDIATE RELEASE THE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by {or two series of Treasury bills ~2,700,000,000, or thereabouts, rreasury bills maturing January ~ 2,700,317,000, as follows: this public notice, invites tenders to the aggregate amount of for cash and in exchange for 23, 1969, in the amount of 91-day bills (to maturity date) to be issued January 23, 1969, in the amount of $1,600,000,000, or thereabouts, representing an ~ditional amount of bills dated October 24, 1968, and to Mture April 24, 1969, originally issued in the amount of ~ 1,100,123,000, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills, for $1,100,000,000, iated January 23, 1969, and to mature or thereabouts, to be July 24, 1969. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under :ompetitive and noncompetive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at naturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They dll be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, )5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 ~maturity value) • Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches Ip to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard :ime! Monday, January 20, 1969~ Tenders will not be :ecelved at the Treasury Department, Washington. Each tender must le for an even mul tiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive :enders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, lith not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not ~e used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and :orwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal leserve Banks or Branches on application the refor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of ustomers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such enders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to ~bmit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received lthout deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from -1468 - 2 responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by pay-ment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express f':,uarar.ty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Fede~al ReStive Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range -:'>.:: 3'::.cepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Sec~tary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect s~lall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. S2ttlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be m",,-e 0;;:" compl,2t(d at the Federal Reserve Bank on January 23, 1969, in ca:;h or· other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of 7reasury bills maturing January 23, 1969. Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for diffe~ences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, d:-::~ ~oss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills dops not have any special treatment, as such, under the T~':~=.l?rr~al Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estat",," i,'theritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or ::.;~ -': e, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Unde: Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank 050~ranch. TREASURY DEPARTMENT t WASHINGTON. D.C. January 15, 1969 MEMORANDl~ FOR THE PRESS: The attached text of a talk given recently by James Pomeroy Hendrick, Special Assistant to the Secretary of the Treasury for Enforcement and Vice President of INTERPOL, is distributed as of possible interest. F-1469 Remarks of James Pomeroy Hendrick, Special Assistant to the Secretary of the Treasury for Enforcement and Vice President of ICPO-INTERPOL Before the 63lst Graduating Class of the Treasury Law Enforcement School The other night I saw the beginning of a movie replayed on TV. Alps. Scene: A mountain high up in the Down the steep slope sped a skier, performing his traverses and parallel turns with unusual verve and grace. One heard in the distance a crack, as if a small branch of a tree had been broken. suddenly the skier fell. be so clumsy? had hit him. Then How could so expert a man But no -- it was not a fall, something He was lying inert. zooms back up the mountain. Now the camera We see a heavy-jowled man in military uniform caressing his telescopic sight rifle. "One more INTERPOL agent dead!" he growls in a thick foreign accent. istic stooges! "Decadent capital- My country will get rid of them all!" So starts the movie and so go the impressions of many people in regard to this extraordinary - 2 - organization, the International Criminal Police Organization, familiarly known as INTERPOL (a name which, by the way, has been registered as a trademark by the Organization in the United States and a number of other member countries). A False Impression Actually the movie gave a completely false impression of what INTERPOL is about. INTERPOL deals with law enforcement when it involves crosslng international borders -- a robber, a counterfeiLer, a rapist, or what have you, who after committing his crime flees from one country to another. But INTERPOL never involves itself in political, military, religious or racial matters. These activities are forbidden by its constitution. INTERPOL's Mission INTERPOL concerns itself only with normal, every-day crime, and it is pledged to action always in conformity with the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, whose twentieth anniversary we have recently celebrated. It is concerned with apprehension of - 3 - criminals, exchange of information, identification, arrest, extradition. In addition, it also works in the field of crime prevention. It puts out literature on counterfeits, automobile thefts, and any number of other subjects designed to facilitate the law enforcement officer in his task of dissuading potential criminals from breaking the law before they actually do so. It also holds symposiums on these and other subjects. There is such a symposium going on right now on technical methods of tracking down criminals. Treasury's Dr. Maynard Pro, from the Alcohol and Tobacco Tax Laboratory, is in Paris at this moment advising other member country experts of the extraordinary progress made by the United States in neutron activation. This technique makes possible conviction of a safecracker by proving that dust on the floor by the safe in question is the same as that on his trouser knees, gathered there when he knelt to do his work. And by proving further that such dust could not have come from any other place in the world. - 4 - History A word about the Organization's history. The idea of INTERPOL arose in 1914 when a number of police officers, magistrates and lawyers met in Monaco to lay the foundations for international police cooperation. Here was established an International Criminal Police Congress. A few months later World War I broke out and the plan was shelved. In 1923 the International Criminal Police Congress met again, this time in Vienna. Delegates from some 20 countries approved creation of an International Criminal Police Commission. Its head- quarters was established in Vienna and a satisfactory start made with operations limited to Europe. But again hostilities brought a stop to the activity with the advent of World War II. In 1946 high ranking enforcement officers met In Brussels to breathe new life into the temporarily discontinued Commission. At this meeting the Organization's constitution was revised and headquarters set up in Paris. This time there were only - 5 19 member countries represented, but in contrast to the past they came from all parts of the world. By 1956 the membership had increased to 55 countries. A meeting was held in Vienna; here significant regulatory changes were agreed to which have remained for the most part unchanged. Organization - The General Assembly Since grown to more than 100 members, from Algeria to Zambia, INTERPOL is directed by a General Assembly, meeting once a year to discuss matters of crime and of organization. The 1968 Assembly recently held in Iran took up, among other substantive matters: Recent develop- ments in juvenile delinquency, disaster victim identification, international currency counterfeiting, forged bills of lading, police planning, international drug traffic, and protection of works of art. Among organizational subjects considered, in addition to budget, elections and appointments, was a United States plan, which was unanimously approved, for better auditing procedures. - 6 Held each year in a different country (the last Washington meeting was in 1960), the Assembly provides an unrivaled opportunity for top echelon enforcement officers throughout the world to exchange views and to become well acquainted so that when problems arise involving two countries the officer in each will know just whom he is deali