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f+r to , A' 3~q ~. \S? 1/, ~, TREASV,RV PFPl~ LIBRARY POOM 5030 JUN 1 ~ 1972 TREASURY DEPARTMENT ~.UG 15 1967 TREASURY DEPARTft1ENT UNITED STATES SAVINGS BONDS ISSUED AND REDEEMED THROUGH February 28, 1967 (Dollar amounts in millions - rounded and will not necessarily add to totals) DESCRIPTION AMOUNT ISSUED..!! MATURED Series A-J935 thru D-194J ________ Serif's F and G-1941 lhru J 952 Series J and K-1952 thru 1954 AMOUNT REDEEMED !J AMOUNT OUTSTANDING ?J '7n OUTSTANDING OF AMOUNT ISSUED -- 5,003 29,521 2,236 4,994 29,461 2,193 9 59 43 .18 .20 1.92 1,861 8,217 13,223 15,424 12,103 5,469 5,170 5,334 5,259 4,597 3,979 4,169 4,754 4,840 5,039 4,854 4,556 4,421 4,134 4,130 4,159 4,004 4,449 4,)43 4,247 4,124 1,618 7,166 11.565 :.3 ,377 II) 302 4,453 4,030 4,068 3,935 3,379 2,924 3,031 3,352 3,320 3,367 3,165 2,858 2,624 2,422 2,310 2,178 2,OL.O 2,046 1,938 1,741 1,007 243 1,050 1,657 2,047 1,801 1,015 1,111 1,266 1,325 1,218 1,055 1,138 1,402 1,520 1,671 1,689 1,699 1,797 1,712 1,821 1,981 1,964 2,40) 2,405 2,1)06 3,117 1).06 12.78 12.53 13.27 11.88 18.56 22.07 23.73 25.19 26.50 26.51 27.30 29.49 31.40 33.16 34.80 37.29 40.65 41.41 44.09 47.63 49.05 54.01 55.38 59.01 75.58 773 855 -82 - 147,634 105,072 42,562 28.83 5,485 6,02) 2,731 941 2,754 5,083 50.21 84.39 11,508 3,672 7,836 68.09 159,112 108,744 50,399 31.67 1,511 1,006 505 36,760 160,653 197.413 36,648 109,750 146.398 50,903 UNMATURED Series E}j: 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 Li ,,_ :'\. '-""!-I'. \ ' ~y "- ,~" ; RGOi~ 5D30 111-:: 1 !)-IYh 7 l' U H \ Ut.t'Al:llll'; l:.l'J - Unclassified Total Series E Series H (1952 thru May, 1959)}j H (June, 1959 thru 1967) Total Series H Total Series E and H Series J and K (1955 thru 1957) {Total matured All Series I Total unmatured Grand Total - - - ~ III ~1.011 Includes arcrucd discount. Current redemption value. _ _ __ , , _ , 4t option of owner bonds may be held and Will earn InlNest for addlllOrl.'," pertods after ongwal matuflty dales. fncludes matured bonds which have not been presented inr redemptiun. Form PO 3912 - TREASURY DEPARTMEN7 - Bureau af the Public Debt 33.42 .30 31.69 ~5..ill.l __ UNITED STATES SAVINGS BONDS ISSUED AND REDEEMED THROUGH i1arch 31, 1967 (Dollar amounts in mi lIions _ rounded and wi II not necessarily add to totals) DESCRIPTION AMOUNT ISSUED.!! MATURED Series A-1935 thru D-1941 ___ Series F' and G-1941 thru 1952 Series J and K-1952 thru 1954 - 5,003 29,521 2,236 4,995 29,463 2,200 Y '70 OuTSTANDING OF AMOUNT ISSUED - .18 .20 1.61 9 5B 36 --- - UNMATURED SNies E}j: 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 1948 H)49 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1,862 8,220 13,231 15,427 12.107 5,472 5,174 5,338 5,263 1:,600 3,982 u,173 4,759 u,8hS 5,045 4,861 4,S65 4,)~27 4,139 4,137 u,16(, 4,011 4,456 4,350 4,255 4,511 2hh Unclassified Total Series E Series H (1952 thru May, 1959)..v H (June, 1959 thru 1967) Total Series H Total Series E and H Series J and K ( 1?55 thru {Total matured All Series AMOUNT OUTSTANDING AMOUNT REDEEMED l j Total unmatured Grand Total 1957) 1,621 7,180 11,587 13,406 10,327 h,h69 4,Oh8 4,085 3,952 3,394 2,938 3,Oh~ 3,370 3,342 3,392 3,196 2,884 2,649 2,h39 2,326 2,201 2,059 2,072 1,966 1,783 1,21) - ?)lO ],040 12.89 12.65 12.43 13.10 14.69 18.31 21.7r, 23.47 24.93 26.22 26.'22 27.01 29.19 31.04 32.75 34.21 36.82 hO.19 , l~kr' ~ " ~,O21 1,779 1,002 1,126 1,2.53 1,312 1,206 1,Ouu 1,127 1,389 1,504 1,652 1,M3 1,681 1,779 1,702 1,811 1,965 1, 9~1 ,2,384 2,J84 2,h72 3,295 244 43.78 u7.1? )l8.61l 53.50 54.80 58.10 73.04 100.80 1.~1.12 577 575 2 .35 148,1ge 105,524 42,f)74 28.50 5,L85 6,0'15 2,752 968 2,733 5,107 49.83 54.07 11,560 3,720 7,thO ()7.82 159,758 109,243 ~o,514 31.~2 1,511 1,036 475 36,760 16J,269 193,029 36,657 110,2P.O 1461 937 102 50,990 21.092 !.I Includes accrued discount. Current redemption villue. At option of OI_(Jnrr hond8 may be held and will earn intprest for additional periods after original maturity dClles. Includes matured uorlds which have not been presented for redpmption. F"u.. PO 3812 - TREASURY DEPARTMENT _ Bureau of the Public Debt 31.lili .28 31.62 21).80 -~ UNITED ~ [AT ~S S",\fINGS BONDS ISSUED AND REDEEMED THROUGH April 30, 1967 (Dollar amounts in mil!ions - rounded and will not necessarily add to totals) DESCRIPTION AMOUNT ISSUEOl! MATURED Series A-) 935 thru D-1941 -Serit's F' and G-1941 thru 1952 _ _ _ _ Series J and K-1952 thru 19S4 5,003 29,521 2,236 AMOUNT REDEEMED !J AMOUNT OUTSTANOING2j % OIJTSTANOING OF AMOUNT ISSUED 8 .16 .19 1.39 4,995 24,464 2,205 UNMATURED --- 57 31 -.c - --- 239 1,037 1,642 2,012 1,773 999 1,122 1,250 1,)08 1,203 12.eh 12.61 12 .L.o 13.04 14.64 18.25 21.67 23.40 24.e3 26.13 26.12 26.92 29.06 30.91 32.59 34.01 36.61 40.GO 41.00 43.66 46.96 48.L6 53.14 54.1..7 57.63 70.72 Series E}j: 1,862 8,223 13,238 15,43C 12,110 5,47S 5,178 5,3h2 5,267 4,604 3,985 4,176 4,7 63 4,850 5,050 4,866 4,570 4,L3.? 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 4,119 4,143 4,172 4,0]1 4,464 4,358 4,262 4,559 566 Unclassified Total Series E 1,623 7,186 11,596 1),tI8 10,338 4,476 4,056 4,091 3,959 3,401 2,91w 3,052 3,379 3,351 3,403 3,211 2,897 2,660 2,448 2,334 2,213 2,069 2,092 1,983 1,806 1,335 18 582 582 148,690 105,921 l,Oul 1,124 1,384 1,499 1,646 1,655 1/73 1,773 1,701 1,809 1,959 1,945 2,372 2,)74 2,456 3,224 548 I ! I , 96~52 - - 42,7 69 28.76 I -- Series H (1952 thru May, 1959)21 H (June, 1959 thru 1967) Total Series H 5,847 6,756 2,888 871 2,959 L.,886 50.61 72.32 11,603 3,759 7,844 67.60 - Total Series E and H Series J and K ( 1955 thru 1957) { Total matured All Series Total unmatured Grand Total 1.60,293 109,680 50,613 1,512 1,063 449 36,760 161,805 198,565 36,663 llO,743 147,406 96 51,062 51,159 31.58 ~ Includes arcrued discount. : Current redemption value. A t option of owner bonds may be held and will earn interest for additional periods after originaL milturity dates. Includes matured bonds which have not been presented for redemption. Form PD 3812 - TREASURY DEPARTMENT _ Bureau of the Public Debt 29.70 .26 31.56 25.76 - J COR R E C T ION I N STATEMENT BY THE HONORABLE STANLEY S. SURREY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON WAYS AND MEANS HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ON TITLE V OF H.R. 5710 RELATING TO THE TAX TREATMENT OF THE ELDERLY MARCH 1, 1967 On Page 5, in paragraph number 3 (retirement income), the first sentence should read: "This complex provision grants a maximum credit against income tax equal to 15 percent of an individual's first $1,524 of eligible retirement income and 15 percent of the first $2,286 for a married couple where only one spouse qualifies." (Not the first $2,268 for a married couple) 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington 1 STATEMENT BY THE HONORABLE STANLEY S. SURREY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE COMMITrEE ON WAYS AND MEAl'JS HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ON TITLE V OF H.R. 5710 RELATING TO THE TAX TREATMENT OF THE ELDERLY MARCH 1, 1967 Mr. Chairman: I appreciate this opportunity to present the details of the President's recommendations for improving the income tax treatment of the elderly which he included in his Message on Older Americans. Congress has been mindful of the financial problems associated with old age and has created far-reaching direct programs, such as the Social Security and Medicare systems, aimed at their solution. Another significant form of assistance to the elderly has been provided by special income tax benefits to those over the age of 65. This tax program costs the Federal Government approximately $2.3 billion a year in tax revenues. Yet it has been developed in a piece- meal fashion over the years -- part administratively, part by committees other than this one -- without ever having been subject to an over-all review by this Committee and by Congress to assure that the system is achieving its objective in an equitable and uniform manner. When viewed comprehensively, it seems clear that the present system of tax benefits for the elderly is not directed where the benefits would be F-830 2 - 2 - most effective in solving the financial problems of this group. The present system is subject to criticism on many grounds: -- It grants more relief to those We have retirement income -- pensions, dividends, interest, rents -- than to those who continue working past the age of 65 and whose income, therefore, is in the form of wages and salaries. -- It is of sUbstantially more value to those elderly with higher incomes than it is to those in the lower income brackets. -- It is exceedingly complex. Recognizing that special tax provisions for the elderly are based upon the special financial needs associated with old age, the task then becomes one of directing the tax relief -- in a simple, fair, and uniform manner -- to those who are in the most need of it. It is to this goal that the President's proposals I am discussing with you today are directed. These proposals will not change the aggregate revenue cost of the benefits available to the elderly. Rather, they represent a re- structuring of the system within the present revenue cost. This would be accomplished by replacing the present complex and discriminatory provisions with a flat exemption -- $2,300 for single persons and $4,000 for married couples -- available to all lower income and middle income elderly alike. 3 - 3 There are about 20 million persons over the age of 65. Of these, about 4 million pay income tax or join in the filing of a return on which income tax is paid. The President's proposals will not change the tax-free status of almost 16 million elderly who now pay no tax. Of the remaining group of elderly, about 2.8 million will have tax reductions. Thus, for the great majority of the elderly -- over 18.5 million persons, more than 92 percent of the total -- the President's recommendations will not change their position of being free of income tax burdens, or they will result in a tax reduction. The tax liabilities for the remaining group of individuals will be increased and thereby brought more in line with those of taxpayers under age 65 with similar amounts of income. For all of the elderly, the new system would be simple and straightforward. Present Law The details and explanation of the tax benefits available to the elderly under present law are these: 1. An extra $600 personal exemvtion -- and a related $100 mini- mum standard deduction are allowed to each person 65 or over. This provision is obviously of increasing benefit to higher bracket taxpayers. This extra exemption reduces the taxes of those in the highest bracket by $420 but is worth only $98 to a taxpayer in the lowest bracket. 4 - 42. Social Security and Railroad Retirement benefits are excluded from income tax. The exclusion from the tax base of these items also is of most benefit to those in the higher tax brackets. A top bracket taxpayer receiving $1,000 a year from social security retirement payments enjoys $700 of tax relief by reason of the exclusion, while one in the lowest brackets may benefit by only $145 from the same exclusion. There is no sound tax principle that supports a complete exclusion for social security and railroad retirement benefits. These benefits are essentially in the nature of retirement income benefits and are comparable to those paid from a private retirement plan. The exclusion of social security retirement benefits is a tax anachronism granted administratively in the days when benefits were low, and the social security system was in its infancy and viewed as a "welfare" program. The exclusion of railroad retirement benefits was granted by a different committee to create parity of treatment with social security. To continue these exclusions as benefits grow will accen- tuate (1) the greater tax benefits given to the wealthy and (2) the arbitrary differences in tax treatment of elderly individuals with the same total incomes which now result from taxing various kinds of income differently. As I have already indicated, the major purpose of the President's proposal is to :reTJlace these exclusions· - ~s well as tha, other oom- plicated special tax benefits now available to the elderly -- with a 5 - 5 flat special exemption available to all lower and middle income elderly alike. Under the proposal, however, no elderly person whose income consists only of social security or railroad retirement benefits would become taxable -- either on the basis of the present levels of these benefits or those which have been proposed by the President. Furthermore, on an over-all basis, the proposal leaves 90 percent of the present social security recipients untaxed, and reduces taxes for an additional 5 percent on the basis of present levels of social security. 3. A retirement income credit is allowed. This complex provision grants a maximum credit against income tax equal to 15 percent of an individual's first $1,524 of eligible retirement income and 15 percent of the first $2,268 for a married couple where only one spouse qualifies. The sole justification advanced for the retirement income credit is that it provides tax benefits to individuals receiving pension or investment income -- but little or no social security benefits somewhat comparable to the exclusion for social security. This credit, however, discriminates most unfairly against those who continue working after reaching age 65. This arises because wage income is not eligible for the retirement income credit and, in addition, wage income reduces the amount of that credit available 6 - 6 for investment and pension income. Consequently, an individual over 65 whose entire income consists of dividends, interest, and private pension benefits, can under present law receive an unlimited amount of this income and still qualify for the retirement income credit. If single, he does not start paying tax until his income exceeds roughly $3,100. On the other hand, for a single person up to age 72 who is forced to supplement a small pension by working after retirement, the maximum allowable retirement income credit begins to diminish as his wages exceed $1,200 and is completely eliminated if he earns as little as $3,000. He would start paying taxes at $1,600 if his income consisted solely of his wages. This difference is unwarranted. The elderly person who by economic circumstances is required, or who out of a desire to be active and productive chooses, to continue working should not have withheld fram him the tax relief available to one living on dividends and interest or a substantial pension. Furthermore, the retirement income credit is one of the most complex provisions of the Internal Revenue Code which is applicable to a broad range of individual taxpayers. Its detailed and complicated rules require an entire page on the tax return. Experience indicates that it is so complicated that many of the elderly do not understand it and therefore lose the benefits to which they are entitled. - 7 - 7 This present complex, confusing, and discriminatory system -which is far more favorable to the retirement income of the elderly than to their wages and salaries -- is not a rational structure. This structure of taxing the elderly seems to have been dictated by a chain of events rather than by a considered judgment of this committee or the Congress. As I previously mentioned, the exclusion for social security benefits was established by administrative ruling while the railroad retirement benefit treatment was acted upon by a different committee. The retirement income credit has generally been discussed only in the narrow context of attempting to equate the tax treatment of other forms of retirement income with that already granted to social security benefits. The President's Proposal The proposed revision of the income tax treatment of the elderly would eliminate these unfair and complex features of existing law and would provide, instead, a relatively simple and uniform method of giving tax relief to all elderly taxpayers in relation to their need. The exclusions for social security and railroad retirement benefits, the retirement income credit, and the extra $600 personal exemption and $100 minimum standard deduction -- the entire present structure would be replaced by a uniform special exemption. Persons who have attained the age of 65.--The proposal would allow a special exemption of $2,300 to all single taxpayers who have 8 - 8 attained the age of 65 and a special exemption of $4,000 to a married couple where both are over the age of 65. -y In the case of a mar- ried couple where one is over 65 and one is under 65, the allowable exemption would be $2,300. These taxpayers would, of course, still retain the personal exemption of $600 and the minimum standard deduction, applicable to all taxpayers. These special exemptions would be reduced dollar-for-dollar for the amount of income -- including social security and railroad retirement benefits received during the taxable year in excess of $5,600 in the case of a single individual and $11,200 in the case of a married couple. However, in order to reflect the retireets own con- tributions to the social security or basic railroad retirement system, the amount of his special exemption would, in no case, be reduced below an amount e~ual to one-third of the amount of these benefits included in his income for tax purposes. For a taxpayer without social security or railroad retirement benefits, the special exemption would phase out at the income level of $7,900 for a single person and $15,200 for a married couple. Additional particulars under the proposal are: The $2,300 special exemption is numerically e~uivalent to the present maximum primary social security benefit ($1,600 rounded) and the extra $600 personal exemption and its related $100 minimum standard deduction. To arrive at the $4,000 married couple's exemption, there is added $800 representing the wife's social security benefit and $700 representing her extra $600 personal exemption and related $100 minimum standard deduction, with the total rounded to $4,000. - 9(1) Only those social security and railroad bene- fits which are paid as retirement benefits would no longer be excluded. Thu~ disability benefits, lump-sum death benefits, and children's benefits would remain excludable from income. The exclusion for these benefits essentially parallels the tax treatment of similar payments made under a private arran§8ment. (2) The provision which, under certain conditions, permits a taxpayer to claim an exemption for an elderly parent he is supporting would be revised to allow the parent to receive up to $1,200 -- rather than the present $600 -- of gross income before the exemption is disallowed. This change would reflect the fact that by virtue of being included in income, social security and railroad retirement benefits would be included for the first time in applying the income test. (3) The minimum income limits for filing a return in the case of individuals over age 65 would be raised from $1,200 to $2,800 gJ to reflect the higher income levels at which individuals would be completely exempt The figure $2,800 represents the value of the new special exemption ($2,000), the $600 personal exemption, and a $200 standard deduction available to a married taxpayer filing a separate return. It represents the smallest possible dollar combination (on a rounded basis) of these benefits in the case of any taxpayer. Due to a drafting error, the bill erroneously reflects the new filing level as $2,600 rather than $2,8000 10 - 10 from tax under the proposal. For married couples, the $2,800 would be in terms of their combined income in recognition ttmt their joint income is conside:Lel~ in :),p- plying the phase-out rules for the new special exemption. Persons under the age of 65.--Under existing law, persons under age 65 need not include their social security or railroad retirement benefits in income and, in addition, those individuals receiving a pension under a public retirement system are eligible for the retirement income credit. In keeping with the recommendations for those over age 65, the proposal would eliminate these preferences. It would substitute instead, for the individuals involved, a special deduction equal to the lesser of (1) the actual amount of . 3/ such benefits recelved or (2) $1,600. - The $1,600 limitation on the amount of the deduction would be reduced dollar-for-dollar to the extent that income received exceeds $5,600 in the case of a single taxpayer or $11,200 in the case of a married taxpayer, but not below an amount equal to one-third of any social security or railroad retirement benefits included in income. 17 The $1,600 deduction ceiling is numerically equivalent to the present exclusion for the maximum primary social security benefit ($1,600 rounded) and is more than adeq\.<ate to reflect the value of the retirement income credit (15 percent of the first $1,524 of retirement income). It represents the same value assigned to these benefits in constructing the special exemption for persons over the age of 65. - 11 - Effect of the Proposal The proposed revision of the tax treatment of all elderly and retired persons represents a balanced revenue program of tax simplification and reform. Eliminating the retirement income credit while at the same time extending comparable benefits to individuals in the lower and middle income groups -- regardless of the nature of their income -- will: -- Vastly simplify the tax computation for most individuals receiving retirement income; -- Eliminate the existing discrimination against those who continue working after age 65. The loss in tax revenues which will result from extending the uniform special exemption to all lower and middle income persons over age 65 without regard to the source of their income will be balanced by removing the benefits of this special exemption from those individuals whose income levels demonstrate that old age has not created financial hardship. Under the proposal, all single persons with incomes -- from all sources including social security and railroad retirement benefits of $3,22~ or less would be exempt from income tax. All married couples, where both are 65 or over, with incomes of $5,7772/ or less This reflects the special exemption of $2,300; a personal exemption of $600, and the 10 percent standard deduction of $322 on $3,222 of income. This reflects the special exemption of $4,000, two personal $600 exemptions, and a 10 percent standard deduction of $577 on $5,777 of income. 12 - 12 - would be exempt. These results obtain regardless of source of in- come -- wages, pensions, social security or railroad retirement benefits, or investment income. This will mean that almost a half million older persons of the 4.2 million persons now taxable will be completely relieved of any income tax liability. Of the elderly persons above these income levels, nearly all single persons over age 65 with incomes up to $5,800, and nearly all married couples where both are over 65 with incomes up to $11,600, will obtain tax reductions. In addition, many elderly single persons with incomes over this level and up to $1,300, and many elderly married couples with incomes up to $14,000, will also receive tax reductions depending on the composition of their income. In total, of the elderly above the new fully exempt level, nearly 2.3 million would have their income taxes reduced in varying amounts depending on the nature of their income and its consequent treatment under present law. The remaining 1.4 million older taxpayers will have their taxes increased. They will lose the special tax benefits now available to them since they have no demonstrable need for special tax relief. Of course for many of these the increased social security benefits proposed by the President will completely or materially offset the tax increase. 13 - 13 Since railroad retirement benefit levels are considerably higher than the social security levels, the present tax benefits extended to railroad retirees through the exclusion of their benefits from income tax are likewise greater than for elderly persons receiving social security or other forms of retirement income. For this reason, the income levels at which railroad retirees will be unaffected or will receive tax reductions or will have tax increases under the proposal are somewhat lower than in the case of other elderly persons. The effect of the proposal is thus to place these railroad retirees in the same tax position as social security recipients or other elderly with the same total income. As stated earlier, the proposal leaves completely free of tax those persons receiving only railroad retirement benefits. Of the 14.5 million aged persons receiving social security benefi ts, 90 percent would not pay any tax under the President's proposals so that their social security benefits will, in fact, remain nontaxable, assuming the present level of benefits. Another 5 percent of the recipients presently taxable because of other income would have their taxes reduced. For this group also the effect of the proposal will be to continue the exemption for their social security benefits. If there is an increase in social security benefits of the nature recormnended by the President, tax increases will be realized by only an additional 1.5 percent of the social security recipients -- about 14 - 14 200,000 persons. Moreover, as stated earlier, no elderly person re- ceiving only social security benefits, either at present or under the President's program, will be subject to tax. In summary, the President's proposal has been carefully designed to correct three major problems that presently exist under our tax treatment of the elderly: -- The proposal will simplify the tax return and tax filing problems of all older people. It will end the unfair and serious discrimination against those older perons who, by force of circumstances or desire, continue working after age 65. -- Finally, it will insure that the benefits extended through our tax system to the elderly -- vlhich will remain at their present $203 billion level -- will go to those who, because old age has imposed particular financial problems, need tax relief the most. It) TITLE V -- TAX TREATMENT OF THE AGED Technical Explanation of Retirement Benefits Received Under the Social Security &nd Railroad Retirement Systems in Gross Income. I~clusion At present all social security benefits (by administrative ru~ing) and railroad retirement benefits (by law) are excludable from gross income. Paragraph (a) of Section 503 of the bill creates a new section 82 of the Internal Revenue Code which provides for the inclusion in gross income of virtually all social security and railroad retirement benefits which are in the nature of retirement benefits. More specifically, the basic retirement annuity paid to a covered "I.'orker) as well as the benefit paid to his wife if she is not otherwise eligible on her own right are includible in income for tax purposes. On the other hand, the following types of benefits would not be includible in income: (1) Disability pensions paid to workers and their families. Under the social security system, a disabled worker and possibly members of his family are entitled to benefits out of the disability fund until the worker reaches age 65. These would be nontaxable. Payments to him and other members of his family after he reaches age 65 convert to retirement benefits payable out of the Old Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund, and as such (with the exception of child's benefits) would be includible in income. This treatment corresponds with the rrsick pay" provisions applicable to disability payments received under private plans. (2) Payments to the minor children of a retired, disabled, or deceased employee. (3) Lump sum death benefits. 16 - 2 - Dependency exemption. A taxpayer may claim a personal exemption for any dependent with less than $600 of gross income and for whom he provides half the support. Frequently, this exemption arises in the case of a taxpayer supporting an elderly parent. At present, in applying the "$600 gross income test," social security and railroad retirement benefits are ignored because they are not included in gross income for tax purposes. This would no longer be true under the bill, with the result that the gross income of elderly taxpayers receiving social security will automatically be increased by the ~ount of these benefits, and, thus, if no change were made the possibility would exist that many elderly persons formerly claimed as dependency exemptions by their children or by others could no longer be so claimed. This result is not per se improper, since social security and railroad retirement benefItS are as much economic income as are private retirement pension benefits. Nonetheless, in order to prevent in many cases the loss of a dependency exemption by relatives who support an elderly social security or railroad retirement pensioner, section 504(b) of the bill ~ends section 15l(e) of the Internal Revenue Code to provide that persons aged 65 or over may receive up to $1200 of gross income and still be claimed as dependency exemptions. The bill contains two technical amendments with respect to the inclusion of social security and railroad retirement benefits in gross income. Section503(b) of the bill is a clarifying amendment intended to foreclose the possible applicability of section 101(b) of the Internal Revenue Code (which provides for an exclusion from income of certain employee death benefits) to social security or railroad retirement annuities paid to the survivors of deceased insured workers. Most annuities paid to survivors of covered workers are paid by reason of the age of the recipient; they are the s~e annuities as would be paid to the worker's spouse or parents if the worker were alive at retirement. In other words) these annuitd..e~ arE; esse'ntlc~,Jly in the nature of retirement benefits and should be -taxed as such. section 506(c) of the bill conforms the Railroad Retirement Act by modifying the provision exempting railroad retirement benefits from all taxes, so as to reflect their inclusion in gross income for Federal income tax purposes. - 3 110 Repeal of the Retirement Income Credito 17 Section 501 of the bill provi&es for the repeal of section 37 of the Internal Revenue Code, the retirement income credit. The retirement income credit is a very complex provision intended to extend tax benefits, somewhat comparable to the tax benefits resulting from the exclusion of social security and railroad retirement from gross income, to retired individuals who are not covered (or only partially covered) by the social security and railroad retirement programso The retirement income credit is, basically, a credit against the taxpayer's tax e~ual to 15 percent of his first $1524 of retirement income. The $1524 base is raised to $2286 in the case of a married couple with both spouses over 65 but where only one has retirement income or otherwise qualifies for the credit. Retirement income eligible for the credit includes, in the case of a person over 65, pension benefits, rents, interest, and dividends; in the case of a person under 65 it includes only pension benefits received from a public retirement system. The $1524 maximum base is reduced by the amount of social security or railroad retirement benefits received. The reason that the retirement income credit is so complex is that, because it is intended to parallel the social security exclusion, it incorporates limitations upon the credit comparable to those that the Social Security Act imposes upon the amount of and entitlement to maximum social security benefitso Thus, the credit is only allowable if the individual had received earned income in excess of $600 in each of any ten calendar years before the year in question. In addition, the $1524 base is reduced, pursuant to a specified formula, if wages in excess of $1200 ($900 in the case of an individual under age 62) are received. This $1200 level was intended to equal the level at which social security benefits begin to be cut back because of earned income. The $1524 and $2286 maximum credit bases were derived from the maximum annual social security retirement annuities receivable by a covered worker and by a covered worker and his spouse, respectively, under the Social Security Act as amended through 1958. III. Repeal of the Extra Personal Exemption and Related Minimum Standard Deduction. Section 504 (a) repeals the prOV1Slon allowing each taxpayer over the age of 65 an additional $600 personal exemption. This will automatically result in the elimination of the $100 minimum standard deduction that is related to that personal exemption. Taxpayers over the age of 65 will still be eligible for the basic $600 personal exemption allowable to each taxpayer. - 4 IV. 18 Special Exemption for Individuals Over Age 65. To replace the tax benefits described above, section 504 (c) of the bill £reates a new special exemption (section 154 of the Internal Revenue Code) for persons aged 65 or more. To ~ualify for the exemption the taxpayer must have attained age 65 before the close of the taxable year involved. For a single person the annual special exemption is $2300. For a married couple where both are over 65, each may ~ualify for a $2000 annual exemption -- for a total of $4000 on a joint return. Section 153 of the Code is applicable in determining marital~9tatus. If the spouses file separate returns each takes a $2000 exemption. g; For married couples where only one spouse is over age 65, the one over age 65 may ~ualify for a $2300 exemption (i.e., the same as a single person), whether or not a joint return is filed. The one under 65 is not entitled to a special exemption but may be entitled to the new retirement income deduction if she is receiving social security, railroad retirement, or public retirement system benefits (see item. V for description of this proposal). The special $2300 exemption which the bill provides for the single person over 65 is approximately e~ual to the total tax benefits resulting from the following provisions of existing law, which would be eliminated: 1. Exclusion of social security benefits, u~ to the present annual max1muro of $1600 (rounded), from gross income. tSection 503 (a) of the bill el1miE~testhe social security and railroad retirement exclusions). 2. The extra $600 personal exemption allowable to individuals over age 65 (Section 504 (a) of the bill repeals this exemption). 3. The extra $100 minimum standard deduction that is related to the extra $600 personal exemption (Section 504 (a) of the bill also has the effect of eliminating this extra minimum standard deduction). The special exemption does not replace, but is an ad~ition to the regular $600 personal exemption which is available to all taxpayers at any age. The $4000 total exemption which the bill provides for a married couple both over 65 is slightly greater than the total tax benefits resulting from the following provisions of existing law, which would be eliminated: 1. The exclusion of the worker's social security benefits, up to the present annual maximum of $1600 (rounded), from gross income. 2/ If both spouses are over age 65 but only one spouse has gross income and the other spouse is not the dependent of another, then the spouse with the gross income may claim a total $4000 special exemption (i.e., his own $2000 plus his spouse's $2000) even on a separate return. This provision parallels the existing section 151 (b) of the Internal Revenue Code, which allows one spouse to claim the other spouse's personal exemption even on a separate return -- as long as the non-filing spouse has no income and is not the dependent of another. 19 - 5 2. The exclusion from gross income of the spouse's social security benefits, up to a maximum of .$800 (rounded), whieh represent the maximum receivable by a spouse who does not qualify for benefits in her own right. 3. The two extra $600 personal exemptions plus the two $100 minimum standard deductions that are related to these extra exemptions. The total $4000 exemption slightly exceeds the total of these benefita. This gives some recognition to the fact that some spouses will receive, as a result of their own work experience, social security benefits greater than one-half of the other spouse's benefits. The special exemptions are allowed as deductions from adjusted gross income. However, there is no requirement that the individual itemize his deductions in order to qualify for the special exemption. This method of handling the special exemption -- which is· the same as that followed for the $600 personal exemption -- will permit the standard deduction to be computed on an income base which includes social security or railroad retirement benefits but which has not yet been reduced by the offsetting special exemption. This will, in effect, result in an added benefit to many of those taking the standard deduction. The allowance of the special exemption is limited to taxpayers at the lower and middle income levels. This is accomplished as follows: For a single person, the special exemption is reduced dollar-for-dollar by the amount of his adjusted gross income in excess of $5600. However, it is never cut back to a figure below o~~-third of the basic social security or railroad retirement benefit~he has included in his income for that year. This represents a very rough -- and generous -- allowance for recovery of the employee'B contributions to the social security or railroad retirement programs. Thus, for a single person with no social }j Railroad retirement supplemental annuities though includable in gross income, are not included for purposes of computing the one-third cutback floor. No part of such benefits represents a return of the employee's contributions since the supplemental annuity program is entirely noncontributory. - 6- 20 security or railroad retirement benefits, the special exemption will be completely phased out at a $7900 adjusted gross income level. However, if his taxable income includes $1500 of social security benefits, his special exemption will in no event be reduced below $500 (one-third of $1500) no matter how high his adjusted gross income. For a married couple filing a joint return, where one spouse is 65 or over and the other is under 65 the special exemption will remain at $2300. However, in this case the exemption will be cut back dollar-for-dollar for adjusted gross income in excess of $11,200 (1. e. double the cut back level for a single person) - but not below one-third of the social security and R.R. retirement benefits actually included in income. For a married couple filing a joint return where both spouses ar~ age 65 or over a total exemption of $4000 is allowable. This in turn is c t· back dollar-for-dollar for adjusted gross income in excess of $11,20:,) but nOL below one-third of the social security and railroad retirement benefits included in the couplets income. Thus, for a couple with no social security or railroad retirement income, the special exemption will be completely phased out at $15,200 of adjusted gross income. However, if $2400 of their taxahle income consists of social security benefits, their combined special exemptlcn \;ill level out at $800 once they reach $14,400 of adjusted gross income. For a married couple filing separate returns, the cutback is applied separately to each spouse's exemption but on the basis of their combined incomes. That is, ~ach special exemption is cut back by the amount by which one-half of their combined income exceeds $5600. The use of the combined income in their case will remove any artificial incentive to file separate returns in order to take advantage of an uneven distribution of income among the spouses. The social security and railroad retirement benefits that are being included in income under the bill will also be included in the adjusted gross income base for applying the cutback provisions. Miscellaneous amendments. Section 506 (a) of the bill amends section 4 of the Internal Revenue Code to permit the Internal Revenue Service ~o prescribe optional tax tables reflecting the new special exemption. Section 506(b) of the bill is a technical amendment to section 144 of the Internal Revenue Code. Section 144 of the Code presently provides that taxpayers with less than $5000 of adjusted gross income may not use the standard deduction unless they elect to use the optional tax tables. The bill adds an exception to this rule for persons over 65 who, unless the Secretary or his delegate issues tables, will not be permitted to elect the optional tax. 21 - 7- v. Special Retirement Income Deduction for Persons Under A~e 65. Section 503(a) of the bill creates a new section 218 of the Internal Revenue Code. Under this section, each individual under age 65 is entitled to a deduction equal to the amount of social security, railroad retirement, and public retirement system benefits included in his gross income -- subject to a ceiling on the deduction of $1600 and a phase-out provision for higher-income taxpayers. The new section contains a definition of "public retirement system" which is identical with the definition presently in the retirement income credit. This deduction is personal to the taxpayer receiving the specified types of income; thus, married couples cannot combine their deductions to permit the deduction of more than $1600 of benefits received by one of the spouses. For example, if a retired teacher under age 65 is receiving an aruma1 pension of $2000 and his wife, who is also under 65, receives 1:1.0 social security, railroad retirement or public retirement system benefits, the husband may qualify for a deduction of no more than $1600 and the wife is allowed no retirement income deduction -- even if a joint return is filed. Under the law of community property states, the husband and wife in the above example would each be considered as having $1000 of retirement income. In order to provide for equal treatment of all married couples, no matter in what state they reside, the new section 218 provides that their retirement income shall not be so prorated for purposes of applying the new retirement income deduction. Thus, the result in the above example will be the same in all states. Under present law, some married taxpayers living in community property states are able, in effect, to claim two retirement income credits, instead of the one credit available to married couples in non-community property states, under the facts of the above example. This would be the case if neither spouse had significant wage income. On the other hand, community property rules may operate to the detriment of such a couple. If the retiree has retirement income but his wife has ,rage income, her wage income will presently operate to reduce his retirement income credit base. The proposed repeal of the retirement income credit, and the special community income provision of the new section 218 will eliminate these anomo1ies. section 502(a) of the bill amends section 62 of the Internal Revenue Code to provide that the new retirement income deduction will be allowed as a deduction in arriving at adjusted gross income. Thus, the retirement income (social security, railroad retirement and public retirement pensions) which is includable in gross income and then offset by the new section 218 22 - 8 deduction will not be included in adjusted gross income upon which the 10 percent standard deduction is computed. If this were not true, the mere receipt of social security, railroad retirement, or public retirement system benefits could produce a tax lower than that which would have been payable if this income were not received. On the other hand, section 502(c) of the bill amends section 170(b)(1) of the Code and section 502(d) of the bill amends section 213 of the Code to provide that for purposes of computing the limitations on the charitable contribution and medical expense deductions, respectively, adjusted gross income is computed without regard to the retirement income deduction. Since the charitable contribution and medical expense limitations are intended to represent a certain proportion of the taxpayer's spendable income it would not be appropriate to reduce the base against which they are applied by the retirement income deduction, which does not represent a cost of acquiring gross income but is merely a special benefit related to the particular source of the income. Furthermore, if the retirement income deduction were to reduce adjusted gross income for purposes of the medical expense deduction floor, in many cases the undesirable situation would result that a taxpayer's medical expense floor would increase when he reaches 65 and becomes entitled to the $2300 special exemption (which does not reduce adjusted gross income) instead of the retirement income deduction. The new $1600 retirement income deduction replaces: 1. The exemption from gross income of social security retirement benefits received by a person under 65. 2. The comparable railroad retirement exemption. 3. The retirement income credit for persons receiving pensions under a public retirement system. The $1600 ceiling a result of either the of $1600 (rounded)) or for the first $1524 of represents the maximum benefits now available as exclusion of social security from income (maximum the retirement income credit (which is available retirement income). As in the case of the special exemption for those over age 65, the $1600 retirement income deduction ceiling will be reduced dollarfor-dollar to the extent that adjusted gross income, including social security and railroad retirement benefits, exceeds $5600 in the case of a single taxpayer and $117200 in the aase of a married couple. The deduction ceiling will never be reduced, however, to an amount leas than one -third of any social security and railroad r~_tirement benefi ts in~luded in the taxpayer's gross income. In the case of a married pe~son, the cutback is applied on the basis of one-half of the combined adjusted gross income of both spouses. 2.-; - 9 In either case, the cutback operates to reduce the deduction ceiling. Thus, for example, if a single person under 65 has $6000 of adjusted gross income, including $1000 of social security benefits, his retirement income deduction will be $1000 even though his income exceeds the $5600 cutoff levp.l by $400. This is because his deduction ceiling has only been reduced to $1200 w.ich is still above his otherwise allowable deduction. Since the new retirement income deduction is a deduction arriving at adjusted gross income rather than an exemption, persons entitled to the deduction may use the optional tax tables. VI. Filing Re~irement. Under existing law a person age 65 or over must file a tax return if his income exceeds $1200. As a consequence of the present proposal this requirement can be raised and a person 65 or over will only be required to file a tax return if his income, together with his spouse's income if married, exceeds $2800. Under no conceivable set of circumstances will any person age 65 or over have tax liability if his income (or their income in the case of a married couple) is less than this amount. ~1 VII. Effective Date. The new special exemption and retirement income deduction -- as well as the repeal of the present provisions -- would apply to taxable years beginning in 1968. This seems most compatible with the July 1, 1967 effective date for the social security increases. !I Due to a drafting error the bill sets the filing requirement at $2600 rather than the correct amount which is $2800. The $2800 amount reflects the fact that a married t~r 65 or over whose spouse is also 65 or over and who files a separate return is entitled to only one-half of the couple's $4000 aged exemption, his $600 personal exemption, and an additional allowance to reflect the 10 percent standard deduction. The filing requirement was arrived at by rounding these three elements to the lowest even amount that could appropriately represent a filing requirement for all persons 65 or over. 24 March 1, 1967 APPENDIX Illustrative Tables Table of Contents Table 1 Income Levels Below Which Taxpayers Over 65 Would Have a Tax Reduction and Above Which Taxpayers Would Have an Increase Under the President's Proposals, Single Persons Table 2 Same as above, but for Married Couples. Table A-I Present Tax and Tax Change Under Proposal for Selected Taxpayers With Wage Income Only as Compared to a Regular Taxpayer Table A-2 Tax Changes Under Proposal for Taxpayers With Average Social Security Benefits and Retirement Income, Single Individual, Age 65 Table A-3 Same as A-2, but for Married Couple, Both Age 65. Table A-4 Tax Changes Under Proposal for Taxpayers With Maximum Social Security Benefits and Retirement Income, Single Individual, Age 65 Table A-5 Same as A-4, but for Married Couple, Both Age 65. Table A-6 Tax Changes Under Proposal for Taxpayers With Maximum Social Security Benefits and Retirement Income, Married Couple, Husband Age 65, Wife Under 65 2 ~.-.· ~. - 2 - Table A-7 Tax Changes Under Proposal for Taxpayers With Average Social Security Benefits and Retirement Income, Married Couple, Husband Age 65, Wife Under 65 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis 26 Table 1 Income Levels Below Which Taxpayers Over 65 Would Have a Tax Reduction and Above Which a Tax Increase Under the President's Proposals Single Individuals Income level separating tax cut from increase Income level above Social :whichafter-tax income security :decreases as a result increase of tax proposal and proposed : Soc. Sec. increases lJ {imum primary social security benefit ($1,630) Y 1. No retirement income credit 1/ $5,833 11 $244 $ 6,580 =ra:e social security benefit ($1 008) 9 2/ 2;- $5,988 6,393 $151 151 $ 6,485 6,793 1. Max. retirement income credit 5/ 2. No retirement income credit ~ $6,041 6,825 $312 312 $ 6,975 1. 2. Max. retirement income credit No retirement income credit 1imum social security benefit ($5 2 8) y 10,400 §j social security benefits 21 1. Max. retirement income credit 2. No retirement income credit ~ 'ice of the Secretary of the Treasury )ffice of Tax Analysis $6,095 7,300 $ 6,095 7,300 March 1, 1967 Present income level before social security increase. The calculations assume use of the standard deduction. These levels are higher for itemizers. The maximum which was received by a significant number of beneficiaries. No retirement income credit because social security income exceeds $1,5 24 . Average Primary retirement benefits for those receiving such benefits. Maximum retirement income when earnings do not exceed $1,200 or taxpayer is over age 72. No retirement income credit when eliminated by earnings. Minimum primary retirement benefits. For taxpayers using the standard deduction with incomes between $3,222 and $3,234 there would be a slight tax increase which could be as much as $1. This point is higher than other cases because the increase in social security payment is relatively large and the change in taxable income relatively small. In one case the $312 income increase is reduced by the lost $149 retirement income credit while the other, having no RIC, is free to apply the full $312 to an increase in taxable income. 27 Table 2 Inc,)me Levels Below Which Taxpayers Over 65 Would Have a Tax Reduction and Above Which a Tax Increase Under the President's Proposals Married Couple, Both Age 65 Income level above Social which after-tax income Income level separating tax:security: decreases as a result cut from :increase: of tax proposal and increase :proposed: Soc. Sec. increases 11 social 1. ~verage No retirement income credH '1/ $11,635 $12,651 social security benefit ($1,530) !£l 1. 2. Max. retirement income credit 5/ No retirement income credit ~/- $11,875 12,470 $230 230 $12,590 13,056 $12,029 13,205 $467 467 $13,380 14,770 linimurn social security benefit ($792) ~I 1. 2. [0 Max. retirement income credit 5/ No rettrement income credit 2;- social security benefits 1. 2. Max. retirement income credit 5/ No retirement income credit 2/- Iffice of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis $12,327 14,000 $12,327 14,000 March 1, 1967 / Present income level before ,social security increase. The calculations assume use of the standard deduction. These levels are higher for itemizers. :/ Maximum which was received by a significant number of beneficiaries. j No retirement income credit because social security income exceeds $2,286. Assumes the husband receives retirement income and wife receives none. I Average primary and supplemental benefits for those receiving such benefits. :; Maximum retirement income when earnings do not exceed $1,200 or taxpayer is over age 72. No retirement income credit when eliminated by earnings. / Minimum primary and supplemental retirement benefits. Table A-l Present Tax and Tax Change Under Proposal for Selected Taxpayers With Wage Income Only l/ (1) Wage income (2 ) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) Single Individual, Age 65 Present Regular :Difference: :Difference in: tax for tax paid :in tax of tax of over elderly by taxover 65 Tax and under :Tax change due to : tax- : payers and under 65 after :payers proposal under 65 under 65 proposal proposal ?J: (3)-(2) (3)-(5) (8) (10) Married Couple Regular Difference tax paid in tax of by taxover 65 payers and under 65 under 65 (9) Present tax for elderly taxpayers?/: (5)-(2) o $329 $ -209 ll4 242 429 1,168 137 1,075 1,580 1,742 162 12,500 2,206 2,398 15,000 2,938 20,000 (12 ) (13) (ll) Both Age 65 :Difference In: tax of' over Tax and under :Tax change due to under 65 after proposal proposal : proposal (9)-(8) I$ o $ 200 $200 -315 290 501 93 44 686 1,742 o 162 192 2,398 o 3,154 216 3,154 4,666 4,918 252 50,000 18,874 19,230 100,000 47,774 48,182 (9)-(11) (ll)-(8) o $200 2ll o 501 $ -290 914 228 222 692 -464 1,ll4 1,342 228 58G 756 -528 192 1,567 1,831 264 1,256 575 -3ll o 216 2,062 2,335 273 2,285 50 223 4,918 o 252 3,160 3,48)+ 324 3,484 324 356 19,230 o 356 13,388 13,964 ° 576 13,964 o 576 408 48,182 o 408 37,748 38,460 712 38,460 o 712 $ 3,000 $ 209 $ 32 9 $120 5,000 557 671 7,500 1,031 10,000 $ $ Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Tax Analysis March 1,1967 1I Proposal to eliminate the retirement income credit and present age exemption, include social security benefits in AGI, and grant a new age exemption of $2,300 for singles and $4,000 for married couples both over 65 to be reduced dollar-for-dollar for income in excess of $5,600 if single and $11,200 if married and both over 65 but not to go below one-third of social security benefits. £/ Assumes standard or minimum standard deduction through $10,000 income and itemized deductions equal to 10 percent of' income above $10,000. l"\.) CO Table A-2 Tax Cbanges Under Proposal For Taxpayers With Averl3.~ Social Security Benefits and Retirement Income !I Single Individual, Age 65 (1) Present incane 2 _ (3) (2) (2L _ (4) _.12)_ .. (7) _ (8) (9) :Differenc& TaX unaer : Difference: Tax -change due to Regular: in tax of: eld-er:ty : in tax of proposed tax law : Present proposal: ov""r and Percent Percent : tax for : tax 1)aid : over 65 and . prior to : under 65 of of elderly : by tax;unarr ;:'5 OAS! aftpr present present tax4: increases : propos~l_ Dollars tax incCllle (10) (ll) (12) Total effect of proposed tax law and OAS! benefit increases Net after-tax e: inccune cbange Tax increase due to OAS! benefit increas~s under proposed tax law 5 - $ 2,000 $ 0 307 ° 270 607 $ 110 270 300 6,000 7,500 10,000 479 754 1,276 792 1,089 1,648 12,500 15,000 20,000 50,000 100.000 1,845 2,526 4,172 18,212 47,012 2,290 3,033 4,777 19,028 47,954 3,000 5,000 $ llO $ °0 $ llO 0 242 -65 313 335 372 481 1,075 1,648 311 14 2 321 372 0.4 42.6 II 29·2 445' 507 2,290 3,033 4,777 19,028 47,954 0 0 0 445 507 605 816 942 24.1 20.1 14.5 It.5 2.0 605 816 942 0 °° Office of the Secretary of the Treasury, Office of Tax Analysis y $ 270 365 0 -21.2% -1. 31> $ 0 0 23 0.0 4.3 3.7 55 §/ 33 28 3.6 33 36 42 61 68 3.4 3·0 1.6 0·9 $J51~ (ll) °° -42 $ 151 151 193 57 354 400 94 -203 -249 478 543 647 877 1,010 -327 -392 -496 -726 -859 $ March 1, 1967 Pro~osal to eliminate the retirement income credit and present age exemption, include in income social security benefits, and grant a new age exemption of $2,300 reduced dollar-far-dollar for income in excess of $5,600 but not to go below one-third of social security benefits. Present income is AGI plus social security benefits ($1,008 average). ?J Tax computation assumes standard or minimum standard deduction through $10,000 incomes, itemized deductions of 10 percent of income for incomes higher ]) than $10,000. is the tax that would apply to a taxpayer under age 65 whose family situation is the same, married or single, and who received an ~mount of income I::J This equal to the total income of the aged reduced by one-third of social security, or railroad retirement as the case may be and has itemized deductions equal to 10 percent of present income of the aged (Col. 1). A 15 percent increase in social security income of $151 brings it to $1,159. The age exemption phase-out accounts for a $55 tax increase being associated with a $151 increase in social security benefits. The effect on higher incomes is not as great since the phase-out terminates at $7,514. At $7,514 and above taxpayers receive the $386 minimum age exemption equal to onethird social security income after benefit increases. 43 percent tax increase is due to the age exemption phase-out. At $7,564 and above the age exemption is reduced to ~ constant $136 so tax changes 1I The due to the reduction are increasingly smaller fractions of present tax liabilities. ij N CD Table A-3 Tax Changes Under Proposal For Taxpayers With Average Social Security Benefits and Retirement Income Married Couple, Both Age 65 (1) Present Incane g; $ 2,000 3,000 5,000 (6) (7) (8) (9) under :Difference: Tax change due to : Present Regular: in tax cf: elderly : in tax of proposed tax law : tax for : tax l'aid : over 65 proposal: over and Percent Percent : elderly : .by· tax-: and prior to ~under 65 of of present tax-' : :payers :under 65 OASI: after present : payers U~-er E5 4} _ increases : propos~l_ Dollars tax incane (3)-{2) (~) (r) (r) (~) (2) $ (3) 0 0 0 $ (4) !I (5) (11) (10) (12) ~ifferenC6 Tax 0 125 416 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 125 416 0 0 125 416 0 0 0 $ % % $ a o $ 230 0 0 o o 230 230 -40 -78 -113 270 308 343 206 635 720 1,253 1,499 24 -405 -490 -1,023 -1,269 6,000 7.500 10,000 97 332 739 567 818 1,245 470 486 506 28 222 586 539 596 659 -69 -110 -153 -71.1 -33.1 -20.7 -1.2 -1.5 -1.5 29 12,500 15,000 20,000 50,000 100,000 1,138 1,612 2,664 12,540 36,747 1,719 2,214 3,341 13,719 38,154 581 602 1,25(1 2,214 3,341 13,719 38,154 463 0 118 10.4 0.9 4.0 3.4 2.4 1.4 88 677 1,179 1 ;40'7 a 0 0 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury, Office of Tax ~a1ysis 602 677 1,179 1,407 37.31.1 25.4 9.4 3.8 Total effect of proposed tax laW' and OASI benefit increases Net after-tax Tax increase due to OASI benefit increasks 1.IDder proposed tax law 5 $ 32 40 33 43 74 92 Y March 1, 1967 1/ Proposal to eliminate the retirement income credit and present age exemption, include in income social security benefits, and grant a new age exemption - of $4,000 reduced dollar-for-dol1ar for income in exces's of $11,200 but not to go below one-third of social seturity benefits. 2/ Present income is AGI plus social security benefits ($1,53 1 average). 3/ Tax computation assumes standard or minimum standard deduction through $10,000 incomes, itemized deductions of 10 percent of income for incomes higher - than $10,000. 4/ This is the tax that would apply to a ~axpayer under age 65 whose family situation is the same, married or single, and who receives an amount of income - equal to the total income of the aged reduced by one-third of social security or railroad retirement as the case may be and has itemized deductions equal to 10 percent of present income of the aged (Col. 1). 5/ $230, a 15 percent increase in social security income to $1,761. ~/ The age exemption phase-out accounts for an $88 tax increase being associated with a $230 increase in social security benefits. The effect on higher incomes is not as great since the phase-out terminates at $14,613. At $14,613 and above taxpayers receive the $587 minimum age exemption equal to one-third social security income after benefit increases. The 37 percent tax increase is due to the age exemption phase-out. At $14,690 and above the age exemption is reduced to a constant $5 10 so tax changes due to the reduction are increasingly smaller fractions of present tax liabilities. 11 w C_ Table A-4 Tax Changes Under Proposal For Taxpayers With Maximum Social Security Benefits and Retirement Income !I Single Individual, Age 65 (1) (3) (2) (4) :Differenc~ : Present Present incane 2 $ 2,000 3,000 5,000 6,000 7,500 10,000 12,500 15,000 20,000 50,000 100.000 Regular: in tax (£: : tax -paid: over 65 : by~ tax-: and :under 65 '+ : $ 0 $ 79 235 3 - 2 $ 79 (5) (6) (7) Tax under : Difference: elderly : in tax of proposal: over and prior to ~ under 65 OASI after increases $ 0 $ 79 235 326 211° 568 235 297 449 708 1,213 747 1,044 1,594 298 336 381 481 1,044 1,59 4 266 1,748 2,404 2,224 2,959 L.76 2,224 2,959 4 6OlO 18:9 7 47,813 0 0 4.0flh l/,929 46,666 19~~6~ 47,813 555 ~ i,147 0 242 0 ° °0 ° Office of the Secretary of the Treasury, Office of Tax Analysis y y ]J !:.I f; 11 (8) (9) change due to proposed tax law Percent Percent of of present present tax incerne (10) (11) (12) Tax °0 $-29 Tax increase due to OASI benefit increas~s 1.mder proposed tax law 5 Total effect of proposed tax law and OASI benefit increases Net after-tax Net tax chan incCJ!lle change 2~4-(11) 0 -10.7% -0.6% 32 336 381 7.1 47.5 31.4 0·5 4.5 3.8 476 555 27.2 23.1 ~~ 1~.1 1,147 2.5 ·5 11 3.8 3·7 4 .0 1.1 r $ 3 37 88 § 30 41 52 58 68 94 110 0 3 8 $244 241 236 120 366 422 124 -122 -178 528 '613752 1,072 1,257 -284 -369 -508 -828 -1,013 $ March 1, 1967 Proposal to eliminate the retirement income credit and present age exemption, include in income social security benefits and grant a new agE exemption of $2,300 reduced dollar-for-dollar for income in excess of $5,600 but not to go below. one-third of social security benefits. Present income is AGI plus so(Oia~ security bEr..efi,·,,· ($1,6~o maxllnwn). Tax computation assumes standard or minimum standard deduction through $10,000 incomes, itemized deductions of 10 percent of income for incomes highEr than $10,000. This is the tax that would apply to a taxpayer under age 65 whose family ~ituation is the same, married or single, and who reCEiVEs an ~ount of income equal to the total income of the aged reduced by one-third of social security, or railroad retirement as the case may be and has itemized deductions equal to 10. percent of present income of the aged (Col. 1). A 15 percent increase in the maximum primary social security benefit equals $244. The age exemption phase-out accounts for an $88 tax increase being associated with a $244 increase in ~or.ial security benefits. The effect on tigher incomes is not as great since the phase-out terminates at $7,275. At $7,275 and above taxpayers receive the $625 minimum age exemption Equal to onethird social security income after benefit increases. The 48 percent increase is due to the fact that the increase in taxable income resulting from the inclusion of maximum sQcial security benefits and the phase-out is a large fraction of present tax. At higher incomes the social security inclusion is a constant and hence an increasingly smaller fraction of present tax. w ........ Table A-5 Tax Changes Under Proposal For Taxpayers With.MaximumSocial Security Benefits and Retirement Income !I Married Couple, Both Age 65 (I) (2) (3) _ (:22 (4} :Differenc~ .(6} Tax under elderly proposal prior to : Present Regular: in tax (£: : tax for : tax "paid: over 65 : elderly : .by· tax,- ; and Present : tax; :payers ;under 65 OAS! income gj ; J2ayers ]JlJl}der E5!±/; . increases m-{2) $ 0 0 $ 82 $ 82 368 368 78 299 696 515 760 1,187 437 461 491 1,124 1,524 2,549 -12,214 36,330 1,652 2,147 3,256 13,573 37,971 528 623 707 1,359 1,641 3,000 5,000 6,000 7,500 10,000 12,500 15,000 20,000 50,000 100.000 $ : Dil i"erence: : in tax of :over and :under 65 after :propos~l_ I \ \ ( (7) (8) (9) T ax change due to EroEosed tax law Percent Percent of' of present present Dollars tax incane I \ ( \ 0 0 $ 82 368 28 222 586 487 538 601 $- 1,256 2,147 3,256 13,573 37,971 396 132 623 707 1,359 1,641 $ ° 0° 0 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury, Office of Tax Analysis (10) Tax increase due to OASI benefit increas~s under proposed tax law 5 0 0 50 - 77 -110 -64.1% -25.8 -15.8 -0.8% -1.0 -1.1 11.7 40·9 27·7 11.1 4·5 1.1 4.2 3·5 2.7 1.6 1/ $ (n) (12) Total effect of. proposed tax law and OAS! . benefit increases Net after-tax 0 0 o o $ 367 46 50 66 $- 4 27 - 44 371 394 411 274 677 775 1,4i6 1,788 93 -310 -408 -1,109 -1,421 142 6/ 54 63 117 147 3(,7 March 1, 1967 1/ Proposal to eliminate the retirement income credit and present age exemption, include in income social security benefits and grant a new age exemption of $4,000 reduced dollar-for-dollar for income in excess of $11,200 but not to go below one-third of social se~urity benefits. 2/ Present income is AGI plus social security benefits ($2,445 maximum). 3/ Tax computation assumes standard or minimum standard deduction through $10,000 incomes, itemized deductions of 10 percent of income for incomes higher - than $10,000. 4/ This is the tax that would apply to a,taxpayer under age 65 whose family situation is the same, married or single, and who receives an amount of income - equal to the total income of the agen reduced by one-third of social security, or railroad retirement as the case may be, and has itemized deductions equal to 10 percent of present income of the aged (Col. 1). 5/ A 15 percent increase in the maximum primary and supplemental social security benefit equals $367. b/ The age exemption phase-out accounts for a $142 tax increase being associated with a $367 increase in social security benefits. The effect on higher - incomes is not as great since the phase-out terminates at $14,263. At $14,263 and above taxpayers receive the $937 minimum age exemption equal to one-third social ~ecurity income after benefit increases. . 11 The 41 percent tax increase is due to the age exemption phase-out. At $14,385 and above the age exemption is reduced to a constant $815 so tax changes due to the reduction are increasingly smaJler fractions of present tax liabilities. W "-.:. Table A-6 ~AX (1) (3) (2) . (4) :Differenc~ Present incerne Changes Under Proposal For Taxpayers With Maximum Social Securit,y Benefits and Retirement Income Married Couple; Husband Age 65, Wife Under 65 !I (5) (6) Tax under : Difference: : Present Regular: in tax cr: elLlerly : in tax of : tax for : tax -paid: over 65 proposal: over and : elderly : .by' tax-; and prior to : under 65 : tax: :payers :under 65 OASI after payers. ~~Qd-€r f8~: _ . increases : propos9-1 , y : (7) (8) (9) Tax change due to proposed tax law Percent Percent of of' present present income DOllars tax (10) Tax increase due to OASI benefit increas~s under proposed tax law 5 (12) Total effect of' proposed tax law and OASI e (3)~ $ 0 120 261 $ $ $0 0 33 ° 0 23 $ 244 244 221 8 -2 2 236 246 242 203 407 475 887 1,080 41 -163 -231 -643 -836 5,000 150 6,000 7,500 10,000 301 532 949 562 8ll 1,239 261 279 290 275 492 905 287 319 334 - 26 - 40 - 44 -8.6 -7.5 -4.6 -0.4 -0.5 -0.4 34 38 46 12,500 15,000 20,000 50,000 100,000 1,346 1,835 2,902 .12,894 37,151 1,712 2,207 3,332 13,703 38,134 366 372 430 809 983 1,468 2,207 3,332 13,703 38,134 244 0 0 122 372 430 809 983 9·1 20.2 11.4 6.3 2.6 1.0 2·5 2.2 1.6 1.0 81 35 45 78 97 $ 0 0 $ 0 0 $ 0 0 120 4n $ 2,000 3,000 (11) 1)~0 120 271 - 10 -6.710 -0.210 °0 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury, Office of Tax bnalysis ° $ 0 §j March 1, 1967 1/ Proposal to eliminate the retirement income credit and present age exemption, include in income social security benefits and grant a new age exemption - of $2.~OO reduced dollar-for-dollar by the amount which one-half of income exceeds $5,600 but not to go below one-third of social security benefits. 2/ Present income is AGI plus social security benefits ($1,630 maximum). 3/ Tax comrutation assumes standard or minimum standard deduction through $10,000 incomes, itemized deductions of 10 percent of income for incomes higher -4/ This than $10,000. is the tax that would apply to a taxpayer under age 65 whose family situation is the same, married or single, and who receives an amount of income - equal to the total income of the aged reduced by one-third of social security, or railroad retirement as the case may be, and has itemized deductions equal to 10 percent of present income of the aged (Col. 1). 5/ A 15 percent increase in the maximum primary social security benefits equal $244. The wife does not qualify for any social security benefits and has - fl..! no retirement income. The age exemption phase-out accounts for an $81 tax increase being associated with a $244 increase in social security benefits. The effect on higher incomes is not as great since the phase-out terminates at $14,550. At $14,55 0 and above taxpayers receive the $6 2 5 minimum age exemption equal to one-third social security income after benefit increases. vu (~ Table A-7 Tax Changes Under Proposal For Taxpayers With Average Social Security Benefits and Retirement Income 11 Married Couple, Husband Age 65, Wife Under 65 {2} {1} (3) _ {42 (52 Tax under Present Regular : in tax c£: elderly tax for : tax -paid: over 65 proposal elderly : by' tax- : and prior to tax-: ;payers ;under 65 OASI 12a:lers 31lJIld-er &5 !:J: increases O1-=r2) ~ifferenc~ : : : Present income gj : $ 2,000 3,000 5,000 $ 0 0 167 6,000 7,500 10,000 324 551 979 12,500 15,000 20,000 50,000 100.000 1,400 1,895 2,981 13,115 37,4]4 * 9 150 444 $ 9 150 277 $ 0 0 140 {6} :Difference: : in tax of :over and :under 65 : after ;propos~l ( $ ) ( ) 9 150 304 {7) (8) (2) Tax change due to proposed tax law Percent Percent of' of' present present Dollars tax : income I \ ( \ $ 0 0 - 27 -16.2% -0·5% (10) 0 0 $20 597 851 1,278 215 492 905 322 359 373 - 49 - 59 - 74 -15·1 -10.7 - 7.6 -0.8 -0.8 -0·7 21 24 29 1,757 2,252 3,390 13,803 38,258 357 357 409 688 824 1,468 2,23 8 3,390 13,803 38,258 289 14 0 0 0 68 343 409 688 4.9 18.1 13·7 5.2 824 2.2 0·5 2·3 2.0 1.4 0.8 38 28 48 61 50 $- fi (12) Total effect of proposed tax law and OAS! Tax increase due to OAS! benefit increas~s under proposed tax law 5 273 300 299 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury, Office of Tax Analysis (11) 0 0 7 $ 151 151 158 - 28 - 35 - 45 179 186 196 118 381 437 736 885 33 -230 -286 -585 -73YMarch I.,. 1967 y y Proposal to eliminate the retirement income credit and present age exemption, include in income social security benefits and grant a new age exemption of $2,300 reduced dollar-for-dollar by the amount which one-half of income exceeds $5;600 but not to go below one-third of social security benefits. Present income is AGI plus social security benefits ($1,008 average). Wife does not qualify for any social security benefits and has no retirement income computation assumes standard or minimum standard deduction through $10,000 incomes, itemized deductions of 10 percent of income for incomes higher JJ Tax than $10,000. 1:) This is the tax that would apply to a ~axpayer under age 65 whose family situation is the same, married or single, and who receives an ~mount of income equal to the total income of the aged reduced by one-third of social security, or railroad retirement as the case may be and has itemized deductions equal to 10 percent of present income of the aged (Col. 1). A 15 percent increase in social security income of $151 brings it to $1,159. The age exemption phase-out accounts for a $50 tax increase being associated with a $151 increase in social security benefits. The effect on higher incomes is not as great since the phase-out terminates at $15,028. At $15,028 and above, taxpayers receive the $386 minimum age exemption equal to one-third social security income after benefit increases. ~ Co -A. TREASURY DEPARTMENT March 1, 1967 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $2,300,OOO,OOO,or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing March 9, 1967, in the amount of $2,305,029,000, as follows: 9~day bills (to maturity date) to be issued March 9, 1967, in the amount of $1,300,000,000, or thereabouts, representing an additional amount of bills dated December 8,1966, and to mature June 8, 1967, originally issued in the amount of $1,000,599,000, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182 -day bills, for $1,000,000,000, or tt1ereabouts. to be daten March 9, 1967, and to mature September 7, 1967. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the cloSing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, March 6, 1967. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury De~artment, WaShington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and 1n the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth 1n such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. F-831 - 2 - Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and prke range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rej ec t ion there of . The Secre tary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on March 9, 1967, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing March 9, 1967. Cash and exchange tenden will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of t~e United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which tM return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (currer:: revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bil L, and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT 9 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE RHODESIAN TRANSACTION REGULATIONS The Treasury Department announced today it has issued regulations governing trade with Southern Rhodesia, under an Executive Order of January 5, 1967, by President Johnson. The Rhodesian Transaction Regulations prohibit, unless licensed by Treasury: Imports into this country of Rhodesian products named in a U.N. sanctions resolution of December 16~ 1966. These Rhodesian products include asbestos, hides, skins and leather, meat and meat products, chromium, copper, iron ore, pig iron, sugar, tobacco and certain by-products items,wherever made. Dealings abroad in these products by Americans and by Rhodesian subsidiaries of U.S. firms. Exports from abroad to Rhodesia, by Americans, of arms, aircraft, oil, motor vehicles, and some other products not of U.S. origin, directly or through a third country for transhipment to Southern Rhodesia. (Control of exports of arms and other goods of U.S. or~g~n to Southern Rhodesia falls under export controls exercised by the State and Commerce Departments). Penalties for violation of the regulations call for imprisonment for not more than 10 years, a fine of not more than $10,000, or both. The Treasury said that in line with the President's Executive Order of January 5, it would license imports or other dealings in the products involved which had been exported from Southern Rhodesia prior to December 16, 1966. In addition, it said it would in general license in those cases where payment had been made by Americans prior to January 5, 1967. This provision was made to avoid cases of undue hardship arising from transactions F-832 - 2 - made before the date of the Executive Order. Applications for such licenses must be filed with the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The Rhodesian Transaction Regulations apply only to the products mentioned and related financial and commercial transactions. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT March 1, t IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY OFFERS ADDITIONAL $2.7 BILLION IN JUNE TAX BILLS The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders for ,700,000,000, or thereabouts, of 101-day Treasury bills (to maturity :e), to be issued March 13, 1967, on a discount basis under competitive 1 noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided. The bills of this ~ies will be designated Tax Anticipation Series and represent an litional amount of bills dated October 18, 1966, to mature June 22, 196~ Lginally issued in the amount of $2,006,632,000 (an additional )0,885,000 was issued December 12, 1966). The additional and original LIs will be freely interchangeable. They will be accepted at face Lue in payment of income taxes due on June 15, 1967, and to the extent ~y are not presented for this purpose the face amount of these bills Ll be payable without interest at maturity. Taxpayers desiring to )ly these bills in payment of June 15, 1967, income taxes have the Lvilege of surrendering them to any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch or to ~ Office of the Treasurer of the United States, Washington, not more in fifteen days before June 15, 1967, and receiving receipts therefor )wing the face amount of the bills so surrendered. These receipts may submitted in lieu of the bills on or before June 15, 1967, to the )trict Director of Internal Revenue for the District in which such taxes ~ payable. The bills will be issued in bearer form only, and in lominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000, 1 $1,000,000 (maturity value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to ~ closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Tuesday, ~ch 7, 1967. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury Department, ,hington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and in ~ case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on ~ basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e.g., 99.925. lctions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed ~s and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by leral Reserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of ltomers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to )mit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received :hout deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from :ponsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders 33 - 2 from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face 4IIo~ of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company_ All bidders are required to agree not to purchase or to sell, or t: make any agreements with respect to the purchase or sale or other disposition of any bills of this issue at a specific rate or price, Until after one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Tuesday, March 7, 1967. Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price rangeoi accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptant or rej ection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or rej ect any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for $400,000 or less without stated .price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimal s) of accepted competitive bids. Payment of accepted tenders at the prices offered must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank in cash or other immediately available funds on March 13, 1967, provided, however, any qualified depositary will be permitted to make payment by credit in its Treasury tax and loan account for not more than 50 percent of the amount of Treasury bills allotted to it for itsell and its customers up to any amount for which it shall be qualified in excess of existing deposits when so notified by the Federal Reserve BanK of its District. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under tht Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inhff" itance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation ~E amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) a~ 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills a excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner ~ Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder 7.: include in his income tax return only the difference between the pr~e paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purcha:: and t~e amou~t actually received either upon sale or redemption at " matur~ty dur~ng the taxable year for which the return is made as ordl~~ gain or loss. ' T:;:'easury Department Circular No _ 418 (current revision) and this ~c: pre ~cr~be the terms of the Trea sury bills and govern the conditions 'ot thelr issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained from any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE COSTS OF PRINTING CURRENCY REDUCED The Treasury said today that its Bureau of Engraving and Printing has got the cost of printing United States currency down to less than nine tenths of a cent per note. And -- thanks to technological improvements in printing processes -- the cost should go even lower during the next two years. During Fiscal Year 1966 the Bureau delivered 2,281,648,000 currency notes at a cost of $19,208,344. This price included material, labor and overhead. The resultant unit cost, $8.42 per 1,000 notes, compares with $9.92 per unit cost in Fiscal Year 1951. The Bureau, on the basis of current believes it can reduce this unit cost to current 1967 fiscal year which ends June drop even lower -- to $8.11 -- in Fiscal cost information, $8.30 during the 30. It should Year 1968. The Bureau has converted from flat bed printing presses to modern high-speed rotary presses, contributing to cost reduction in printing currency. 000 F-834 TREASURY DEPARTMENT March 1, 1967 FOR Il-'ll,1EDlATE RELEASE SALE OF TAX ANTICIPATION BILLS The Treasury Department announced today the sale of $2.7 billion of tax anticipation bills maturing in June 1967. The bills are in addition to the $2.8 billion of June tax bills already outstanding. The bills will be auctioned on Tuesday, Ivlarch 7, for payment on Monday, Harch 13. Commercial banks may make payment of up to 50 percent of the amount of their own and their customers' accepted tenders by credit to Treasury tax and loan accounts. The bills mature on June 22, 1967, but may be used at face value in payment of Federal taxes due on June 15, 1967. The Treasury indicated that after this sale of tax bills it contemplates no further open market borrowing to raise new cash durinG the balance of this fiscal year. 000 F-835 TREASURY DEPARTMENT March 3, 1967 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE UNITED STATES FOREIGN GOLD TRANSACTIONS IN 1966 Monetary gold transactions between the United States and foreigners in 1966 resulted in net sales amounting to approximately $431 million. As shown in Table I attached, aggregate purchases by France totaled about $601 million, all of which took place in the firstnine months of the year. In the absence of these sales to France and of $141 million in sales for domestic uses, the United States gold stocks would have shown a net increase from all other monetary gold transactions of $170 million for the year. During the fourth quarter U. S. net gold sales to foreign countries amounted to $86 million, and sales to domestic users to $35 million. Fourth quarter transactions included the sale of $60 million of gold to Italy, which restored Italian gold reserve holdings to their approximate level at the beginning of 1966. Data in Table II attached, show transactions with member countries of the International Monetary Fund associated with payments of the gold portion of their quota increases. Sales of gold for this purpose are deposited by the International Monetary Fund with the United States and the effects upon the U. S. gold stock of the quota increases are mitigated. No further transactions took place in the fourth quarter. 000 F-836 42 TABLE 1 UNITED STATES NET Ua.lETARY GOLD TRANSACTIDI'JS WITH FOREIGN COUNTRIES .AND INTERNATICHAL INSTITUTIDI'JS January 1, 1966 - December 31, 1966 (In millions of dollars at $35 per fine troy ounce) Negative figures represent net sales by the United States: positive figures, net purchoses Third Fourth Second First Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter 1966 1966 1966 1966 Afghanist.:m -1.2 Argentina Brazil -0.9 +100.0 Canada Ceylon -0.1 Chile Colombia +7.0 Costa Rica -0.1 Denmark -5.0 Dominican Republic -0.1 Egypt -1.1 France -102.9 Greece Haiti * Honduras * Irel&nd -0.4 Italy Jamaica -1.0 Lebanon -10.8 Liberia -1.2 Mexico Nicaragua -1.0 Pakistan -0.2 Philippines -1.5 -3.0 -0.1 -0.1 -1.5 -0.4 -0.1 * * -220.7 -0.1 -0.1 -0.8 +7.0 -1.4 -0.1 -0.5 -18.9 -0.1 -0.9 -0.1 -277.3 +9.6 * * -0.9 ** -0.6 * * -0.4 -60.0 -0.1 -0.1 * -0.2 -0.1 -0.2 -2.5 -0.1 -2.5 -20.0 -0.2 -0.1 -D.l Sudan Surinam Switzerland Syria Tunisia Turkey United Kingdom Uruguay Yugoslavia All Other -0.1 -10.6 -0.5 +50.0 -0.5 -10.9 -0.6 +50.0 -1.9 +11.0 -0.2 -1.5 -1.8 -7.2 -0.1 -0.6 -0.1 +126.0 -0.1 -0.6 -0.1 -143.5 -167.2 Total -34.0 Total U. S. Gold -173.2 -208.6 Outflow: -68.3 (Inc luc.ing dor::es( -29.7) tic transactions of: ) (- 34. J) (-41.4) Figures may not add to totals due to rounding. *Less than $50,OCXJ.OO. -0.1 +10.0 -0.1 -0.2 +10.0 0.1 Calendw:' Year 1966 -3.7 -21.5 -2.8 +200.0 -0.1 -6.0 +6.6 -0.4 -5.0 -0.3 -1.1 -600.9 +9.0 -0.1 -0.1 -1.7 -60.0 -1.0 -10.8 -1.5 +10.0 -1.2 -0.8 +7.5 -0.3 -0.1 -0.7 -0.1 -2.5 -2.0 -2.0 -1.8 -12.5 +79.8 -0.4 -2.8 -0.4 -85.9 -430.6 -121.0 -571.2 (-35.1) (-14 0•6 ) -0.2 -0.1 -10.2 -20.1 4")UTABLE 2 UNITED STATES 1-.10N1t.1'ARY GOLD TRANSACTICNS ;'lITH FOREIG~ COUNTRIES MITIGATED THROUGH SPECIAL DEPOSITS BY TH2 D.1F (Millions of U.S.$) 1966 Fourth Second Third First Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter Country -0.8 Algeria -17.5 N Argentina -25.0 Austria -0.2 Cameroon -0.1 Central African Republic -4.0 Ceylon -0.1 Chad -0.6 Congo (Kinshasa) 0 -1.3 Costa Rica -0.1 Dahomey -B.3 Denmark Dominican Republic -0.4 -1.3 Ecuador -1.0 Ethiopia -0.1 Gabon -10.0 Greece N -1.0 Guinea -0.2 Haiti -1.0 Honduras -4.0 Iraq -0.2 Ivory Coast -1.5 Jamaica -56.3 Japan E -1.3 Korea -1.0 Liberia -1.0 Malagasy -1.0 Mali -0.1 Mauritania -0.9 Morocco -1.0 Nicaragua -0.1 Niger -B.B Philippines -0.1 Republic of Congo (Brazzaville) -0.2 Rwanda -0.9 Somalia -3.0 Sudan -18.7 Sweden -2.0 Syria -l .. B Tunisia -0.1 Upper Volta -0.3 Vietna'TI. -28.6 -17.9 -130.7 IarAL +28.6 +17.9 +130.7 IMF DEPOSIT TOTAL GRAND TOIAI. 1966 1965 +177.2 +34.3 211.5 TREASURY DEPARTMENT RELEASE 6:30 P.M., day, March 6, 1967. RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERrnG The Treasury Department anno·-.mced that the tenders for two series of Treuury 11, one series to be an additional issue of the billa dated December 8, 19bG, and the er series to be dated March 9, 1967, which wwre offered on March 1, 1967, were ned at the Federal Reserve Banks today. Tenders were invited for $1,300,000,000, thereabouts, of 91-day bills and for $1,000,000,000, or thereabout., of IB2~ .18. The details of the two series are as follows: ACCEPI'ED PETITlVE BIDS: 91-day Treasury bills m&turing June 0, 1967 iGE OF Ib2-day Treasury bills maturing Septamber 7, 1967 AFprox. Equiv. Price A.;mual Rate ----------~~--~~~~Approx. EqL.i.iv. PriCE; h.nnuti Rate 98.915 98.892 98.902 iiigh Low Average 4.292% 4.383% 4.341.% ·• ~/ · 97.830 97.792 91.80' 4.292% 4.367% _.340% Y 44% of the amoll.'1t of 91-ctay bills bid for at the low price was accepted 14% of tLe aalount of lJ2-da;y bills bid for at the low price was accepted Jistrict 30aton ~ew York AEP1ied For t San Francisco 24,664,000 1,3.56,706,000 25,209,000 47,551,000 17,115,000 55,166,000 312,256,000 60,990,000 19,099,000 26,520,000 23,953,000 118,I+g3,,000 TOTALS ~p2,Oi)7, 712,000 Philade1phi. ::leveland =1.ichillond AUanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kans.as City Dallas Accepted AEElied For i Accel,:ted 1,809,000 $ 1,221,618,000 12,329,000 22,978,000 8,646,000 36,700,000 216,782,000 39,992,000 12, A) 4, 000 9,502,000 16,977,000 135,636,000 $ 14,664,000 779,986,000 12,759,000 1.~4,551,OOO 11,115,000 50,166,000 137,200,000 51,990,000 1,,099,000 26,070,000 21,953,000 118,48),OOO · · $1,300,036,000 :/ $1,801,181,000 7,809,000 633,218,000 4,329,000 22,978,000 8,646,000 31,708,000 81,182,000 39,492,000 12,204,000 9,502,000 12,971,000 135,636,000 $1,000,281,000 ~ Includes $260,423,000 noncompetitive tenderi accepted at the average price of 98.~2 Includes $108,423,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 97.806 These rates are on a bank discount basis. The equivalent coupon issue yields are 4.47:t for the 91-day bills, 2'ld 4.51% for the l82-day bills. F-837 45 ADDRESS OF THE HO\JORMLE ROBERT A. v/ALLACE ASSISTN~T SECRETARY OF TREASURY BEFORE THE U. S. SAVINGS B()!\lD LUNCHEON LELAt\JD MOTOR HOTEL, SPRINGFI ELD, I LU['JOI S MARCH 7, 1957 THE OVERALL PERFORi'14J\1CE OF THE NATIONAL TO OUR EARLY J,l\NUARY EXPECTATIONS. CQ\!SU~1ER ECONO~~Y IS IN GENERAL CQ\!FORl'-tllNCE SALES ARE RUNNING LO\I/ER, BUT HOME CONSTRUCTIONAJ'JD INVENTORY PURCHASES ARE HIGHER TH,l\N 'dE HAD PROJECTED. RECENT PRIVATE SURVEYS AND THE HEAVY DEtv1A!\lD FOR CORPORATE BORRO'tIiNG LEAD US TO EXPECT NO HA.JOR SURPRISE IN BUSINESS INVESH'1ENT INTENTIONS. THE CONTINUED HIGH RATE OF INVENTORY ACCUr'1ULATION HAS BEEN BY SOME AS A DISAPPOINTl'-1ENT. VIE\~ED vJHILE THIS PR08ABLY ,..,lEANS LESS DEfv1.l\.t\lD FOR PRODUCTIO'-l IN THE FUTURE THERE ARE, NEVERn-iELESS, THO HEALTHY FACTORS: (1) THE DEPRESSING EFFECT OF LO,/ER CURRENT CCNSUt·1ER SALES IS OFFSET, N\ID (2) THE PRICE PRESSURES EXPECTED LATER THIS YEAR \'JILL BE Iv'ODERATED BY l.ESS NEED TO INCREASE INVENTORIES. OF COURSE, THOSE OF US HHO STUDY ECONm-1IC TRENDS POSSESS NO POdERS TO FORESEE ALL EVENTUALITIES. IN THE ABSENCE OF SUCH PO'tlERS, \'iE MUST DEPEND ON THE SIMPLE TOOLS OF LOGIC AND THE BEST STATISTICS vJE C.AN MUSTER. THUS, WHILE CO\lSUMERS ARE NOT CURRENTLY BUYING AS f.1UCH AS v,lE THOUGHT THEY \vOUlD, THE FACT REW\INS THAT PERSONAL INCmJIE 1S HIGH ,£lIND GROVI1NG "fELL. SINCE THE PUBLIC IS ACQUIRING FElt/ER AUTOMOBILES A"JD HOUSES, PEOPLE OBVIOUSLY ARE SAVING MORE, AS EVIDENCED BY THE RISE OF ACCOUNTS IN THE NATION'S THRIFT INSTITUTIONS. SO THE BUYING POHER IS THERE AND HE f'1UST STILL EXPECT A RESU"1PTION OF A HIGHER RATE OF HIGH ACTIVITY IN THE SECO>m HALF OF 1967. 48 - ? - THIS LEAV[S UI'KH/~\lGED OF A [, PER CENT TA0 SHOULD BE tv'v'I.DE UP, THAT ARE STILL VERY THE CALCULUS UPO\j \!HICH l'iE S,L\SED OU2 PRorOS/\L SURCH/\~GE, ~lO\.'J, EFFECTIVE t\T ~IID-yc!\R. l'lE DO :·!OT H-mW AGAH-lST THIS PROPOSAL UPO\l THe SASIS OF F~f~ASO:1A[3LY CLOSE TO THOSE UPO~'l \-/HICH THE r·n~ms D:'::W::LOPi',c:~ns ~![ED FOR A HID-- YEAR TAX INCREASE \-IAS PROJECTED: A SLUGGISH FIRST HALF DLJRIt-1G v/HICH STf/V'i GATHERS FOR A PI CK-UP IN TilE SECOND Hr'\LF. EXTRA DEFENSE COSTS 8E FU'!NICED ~/IUsT PERHAPS vIE COULD HAVE BEEN AE3LE TO GET THROUGH A CO;·'i?/\RATIV~LY PERIOD OF HEAVY DEFENSE EXPEr--1DITURES ViITHOUT TAX INCREASES. NEVI TAX INCREASE IS RECOi/~'}ENDED BRI EF BY THE TIHE THE TO TAKE eFFECT, HO'.-!EVER, VIE I'JI LL HP,VE KAD T\-/O YEARS OF THESE EXPEf·mITURES Nm THEY WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AS THE FISCI\l_ 1968 BUDGET SHO''!IS. NEXT SUt"w'1ER, THEREFOR:'::, THE TH"i::: TAg FOR THE FISCAL 1968 INCREASES. ~'iILL CQi\'C TO PICK UP THE IF I'/E FAIL TO DO SO, BUDGET DEFICITS HILL GROll) BEYOND THE BOUNDS OF PRUDENCE AND NE\'! If'JFLATIOr-.!ARY FORCES VII LL BE U\lLEASHED. WE ARE HOPEFUL THAT IT \'II LL NOT BE NECESSARY TO EXPERIENCE PRESSURES BEFORE ACTIO\! Q'J THE TAX PROPOSAL C,l\f"J 3~ r~E\'1 TAKEN. THERE HAS BEEN sor·1E TALK THAT PERHAPS CIVILIAN EXPENDITURES BY $5-1/2 BI LLIQ\l, THE A~OUNT OF THE TAX INCREASE. WOULD ALL BE HI\PPY. INFLATIOI'J.t;RY CN~ BE CUT \'IERE THI S POsS I BLE, VIE HO:JEVER, THE PRES I DE~n HAS .D..LREADv PARED CIVI LINI EXPENDITURES TO t\ POINT \-JHERE FURTHER REDUCTIONS OF $5-1/2 BILLION \,,rOULD C/I.USE REAL D~_GE A POINT THEM. TO VIT/\L PROGRAJ'1S. ~"'HERE THAT ~II THE PRES I DENT HAD CUT THE BUDGET LAST YEA~ TO CO\JGRESS, RATH2:R THf'oJ'J SLICING THE REQUESTS, ACTUALLY .ADDED TO LL BE A PR03LEt-1 THIS YEAR, TOO. EXPEt~DITURES ~1UST BE HELD DO'..lN TO BUDGET LEVELS DURING THE COJ''1ING FISCAL YEAR, OR THE ANTI-HlFLATIO\lARY T/\,X fv1EASURES vllLL BE AT LEAST PARTIALLY NULLIFIED. - 3 - DURING THE PAST 20 YEARS OUR COUNTry HAS REDUCI~ ~·1JI,DE GREAT STRIDC:S ItJ THE BURDEN OF THE NATIOi\jI\L DEBT VklICH HAD GRO\'/N TRU'H;DOUSLY DURING HORLD VJAR I I. PRODUCTIO~L IN 19L~G, THE DEBT REPRESENTED 1341'6 OF TOTAL NATIONAL THIS RATIO HAS BEEN I'JHITTLED DOI.'N TO AN ESTIi'"\.'\TED 41 % IN FISCAL 1958. IN SIZE, IT HAS GROI·1N ABOUT 19% SINCE 1946, 'tIHILE CORF)ORATE DEBT HAS RISEN BY 4 Lt0 9oj STATE AND LOCAL DEBT BY 550% At\m THE DE8T OF INDIVIDUALS BY 710%. THIS RECORD OF HOLDlt\G DO\'i'N THE DEBT HUST BE CONTINUED. IS A 6% SURCHARGE TO Flf\lANCE ADDED DEFEf\lSE SPENDH~G ASKIN:; TOO fvlUCH OF AMER I CAI\!S? 1. HERE VIE SHOULD BEAR IN l'<11 ND TI'/O PO I NTS : PRESIDENT JOHi\lSON'S TAX REDUCTIO'~ PROGRt,'v\S OF 19G4 JlND 1955 REDUCED OUR TAX PAYI"lENTS BY $20 BILLION AT CURRHH INCa'\E LEVELS. A 6% SURCH/-\RGE HOULD REDUCE THIS TAX SAVING TO $15 BILLIO'L THREE-FOURTHS OF THE TAX CUT v!OULD REfvtAIN IN FORCE. 2. AMERICA1\lS ENJOY THE LO'..:EST TAX BURDEN OF ANY MAJOR INDUSTRIAL COUt\JTRY IN THE \oJORLD -- AND THIS INCLUDES TAXES LEVIED AT ALL LEVELS OF GOVERNMENT. TilE ESTIt1tl.TES OF THE ORGNHZATION FOR ECONO'1IC COOPERATION AND DEVELOPfv1ENT SH0\1 THAT AS A PROPORTION OF TOT.4L NATIONL\L PRODUCTION, FRENCH CITIZENS PAID 38.5% H~ TAXES; GERJ~1AJ\IY, 3l f.4%; ITALY, 29.6 90; GREAT BRITI'. . IN, 28.6 95; AND THE U.s." 27.3%. THESE FIGURES ARE NOT CITED TO IMPLY THAT N/,ERICANS ARE HAVI~K; IT EASY. THE MAIN PURPOSE OF THE 1964 AND 1965 TAX CUTS HAS TO PErJ·1IT THE PRI VATE SECTOR OF OUR ECONQ\1Y TO FLOURISH BY ALLEVIATING THE BURDEN OF HIGH T,nXES. BUT THE FIGURES DO SHOl,~ THAT \'JE CA"J AFFORD TO PAY FOR OUR RISING DEFENSE COSTS AND KEEP OUR ECONO'·1Y HEALTHY. 48 - 4 -- RE CENT ECOI'Kli'·1 I C pr·~(1Gr~ES S -----------OUR NATION I-I;\S TOO HUCH AT STAKE TO RISi< FAR FRO"1 PERFECT, VIE HAVE GREATLY It..JCREASED H~FLATIO~lr\RY OUf-~ EXCESSES. ilHILE KNOI/ILEDGE OF ECCNO"HC PHENO\1ENA I"vf\JD \'JE MUS T HAVE THE COUR!\GE TO i,tM-E USE OF Til I S KNOI/LEDSE. THE EN'\CT1'-1ENT OF THE EHPLOYi-1HJT P,CT IN 194G V/P..5 A HI LESTO~'~E COUNTRY f S POll T I CAL ftND DEAL MORE IN THE ECO~la'11 INTERVENI~G C DEVELOP;vlENT, 21 YEARS. AI~D H~ OUR VIE HAVE LEA.RNED A GREAT Tt-It: FI",CT THAT ECOf~O"lIC STAGNATIOi\j MARKED THE 1950'S, AS H~DICATED BY THE RECORD OF THREE RECESSIor'-JS, SLUG(:ISH CROlllTH AND, AT THE SN1E TIhE, THE V!ORST PE,..,\CETH·iE INFLATION YEARS IN RECENT HI STORY, HAS SO\tETHING TO DO HI TH THE FP,cr THAT r1ANY OF THE ECOj\lO\HC TOOLS WE HAVE EMPLOYED IN THE S IXTI ES vn TH CONS IDERA8LE SUCCESS \'JERE THEN Oi\jL Y THEORIES. EVEN TODAY THESE ARE STILL BEING Ii'HJROVED UPOhL VIE I-V-\vE LEARi£D SI~1PLY THAT DEALJI.!G vlITH THE BUSINESS CYCLE INVOLVES t,1UCH MORE THAN FOLLO\'lING THE CONVENTIONAL APPROACH TO CQ-iPENSATORY MO~lETARY AND FISC,'\L POLICIES imlCH IN PRACTICE HAS tv1EANT HAINLY RELIANCE ON THE SO-CALLED AUTOVtATIC STABILIZERS. THE KEY POLICY DEVELOPr1ENTS IN THE SIXTIES \'1ERE THE REDUCTIONS OF 1962, 1964 AND 1955. EVEN BEFORE THE VIET EXPANSIOr~ARY t~Nl TAX ESCALATI ON, THESE POLICIES t1ADE POSSIBLE ~N ENVIRONHENT FAVORABLE TO 4-1/2 YEN6 OF UNINTERRUPTED PEACETIiv1E ECONO"lI C EX PANS 10:'J -- THE LONGEST AND STROi~GEST IN HISTORY -- WITH THE tvtOST STABLE PRICES OF Al'JY INDUSTRIALIZED NATION IN THE \~ORLD. LAST YEAR, WITH THE HEAVY BURDEN OF VIET NPI'1, DEFINITE ANTI·~INFLATIOt~ARY POLICIES BECA"lE NECESSARY. THESE \'!ERE CARRIED OUT \'/ITH r",ODEPJ-\TE P-ESTRAIIH IN NON-DEFENSE EXPENDITURES AND t-1EASURES HHICH RAISED REVEt-\UES BY SPEEDH!G 49 - 5 UP TAX COLLECTIONS N~D RESTORlf\~G CERTAIN EXC I SE Trl\X REDUCTI O(~S. ACTION BECAVlE NECESSARY LAST SU'-lt1[R AND IN SErJTEt~BER, ADDI TIOi'JAL THE PRESIDENT P;:OPOSED A $3 BILLION CUTBACK IN NE~'/ CIVI LIAI'J SPENDH,JG PROGP,6j'1S AND A TB·1PORARY SUSPENSION OF THE INVESTHENT TAX CREDIT. THESE f-1EASURES ~':ERE EFFECT! VE. THE AVERi\GE LEVEL OF CCNSUv1ER PRI CES ROSE 2.9 PER CENT BET\'/EEN 1965 J1ND J 9GG -- LESS TH/\N SEr,':EEN THE PEACET!fvlE YEARS 1956 AND 1957. THI S PRICE INCR[ASE CO'~PARES VERY FAVOR6,BLY vII TH THOSE IrIHICH OCCURRED IN OTHER f'LAJOR COUNTRIES \'IHICH PRESSURES OF INTENSIFIED DEFENSE spalDING. N.Af.1 a'~ \'~ERE NOT SUBJECT TO THE COi'JSIDERING THE BURDEN OF VIET TOP OF A FULL Et'lPLOYHENT ECONO\1Y, A PRJ CE HlCREASE OF LESS THMJ 3 PER CENT CAN ONLY BE CHARACTERI ZED AS A RE~''ARKAL3LE PERFOPJ·tL\J\JCE. GROSS NATI O~JAL PRODUCT JLHPED $S8 BI LLIOi~ OVER 1955 -- AN INCREASE OF 8-1/2%. EVEN AFTER ADJUSTING FOR THE UN1;iANT[D PRICE INCREASES THE REAL GAIN "lAS 5-1/2% -- BETTER THAN OCCURRED IN THE (vI/\JOR COUNTRIES OF EU~OPE. UNEMPLOYHENT STAYED AT OR BELO':! 4% ALL YEAR. TOTAL ca..jPE~JSATION OF H1PLOYEES AND NET INCQ\1E PER FAR1'1 ROSE 10% ~'!HILE CORPOP/-\TE PROFITS CLHtlBED 8%. NOR HAVE THE DISADVANT;\GED BEEN LEFT BEHIND. UN8tlPLOYHENT Nv10f'\G NEGRO MEN h'HI CH HAD REACHED 12% IN 1961 FELL TO LESS Tf-1A"J 5%. DURING THE SA'''lE 6-YEftR PERIOD, THE NL1'1BER OF AREAS OF SU3STNHIAL UNEt"1PLOYI"IENT DECliNED OVER A HlNDRED TO EIGHT AND THE NLJ"1BER OF N·1ERICANS 7 MI LLION. tt\EAN\'/HI LE, PRODUCTIVITY J OR OUTPUT PER I1~ ~'tPN FRCiv~ POVERTY FELL BY NE,6RLY HOUR LEAPED 19 PER CENT AI\[) $220 BILLION HORTH OF BUILDWGS, EQUIPi'tlENT, IHPROV5'v1ENTS AND INVENTORY WERE ADDED TO OUR GROSS STOCK OF PRIVATE PRODUCTIVE CAPIT.~L. ~II ..JV - 6 OF COURSE, MUCH REMAINS TO BE Da~E. EVEN A 2.9 PER CENT PRICE INCREASE IS TOO MUCH AND THIS RATE MUST BE BROUGHT DOvJi'l. MOREOVER, HHI LE MOST OF THE 3 MI LLION JOBLESS PERSONS AT THE END OF THE YEAR COULD BE CALLED "FRICTIONALLY UNEtvlPLOYED," THERE ARE ABOUT ONE ~lILLION ~'JORKERS h1HO FIND IT EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TO FIND A STEADY JOB. THESE ARE THE "HARD CORE" \J\lEMPLOYED -- LACKING SKILLS; THE VICTIMS OF DISCRIMINATION; THOSE UN~~ILLING OR UNABLE TO lvtOVE TO NE\'J AREAS AND OCCUPATIONS; THE PHYS I CALLY OR EMOTI ONALLY HANDICAPPED. FLJRTHER, EVEN N-1Qi\lG THOSE EMPLOYED SQ\1E 2 MI LLION BREADyJIN~JERS DID NOT EARN ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A MINIMLJv1 STANDARD OF DECENT SUBSI STENCE. HQ\1E CONSTRUCTION, THE SECTOR OF THE ECONOMY HARDEST HIT BY TIGHT MONEY LAST YEAR, IS STILL IN A DEPRESSED STATE, ALTHOUGH THERE ARE SIGNS THAT RECOVERY IS LNDERHAY AS t10NEY CONDITIO\lS EASE. MOVING INTO 1967, VIE SEE EVIDENCES THAT THE ECQi\lOMY IS NOT NEARLY SO BOQ\1ING AS IT WAS A FEVI MONTHS AGO. YET, UNEMPLOY1'-1ENT REt-1AINS Lm,!, STATE AND LOCAL EXPENDITURES CONTINUE A HEALTHY RISE AND DEFENSE SPENDING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE CLIMBING. THE PRESIDENT'S NEH BUDGET IN DETE~"'INIi'~ THE BEST FISCAL POLICY IN HIS BUDGET FOR FISCAL 1958, THE PRESIDENT CONFRONTED A DI LEt'il'tIA. THE ECONC'MY CLEARLY NEEDED MI LD STIMULATION IN THE EARLY fv10NTHS OF THIS CALENDAR YEM, IN ORDER TO PERMIT ECONOVlIC ADJUSTMENTS SUCH AS ALLO'dING TIME FOR EASIER CREDIT CONDITI()!\!S TO RESTORE HOUSING. YET WITH DEFENSE SPENDING CONTINUING TO RISE, ALONG WITH STATE AND LOCAL ACTIVITY, AND HIGHER SOCIAL SECURITY BENEFITS BEGINNING AT MID-YEAR, - 7 THE DEGREE OF STIMULATION HOULD CLEARLY NEED TO TAPER OFF. THE PROBLEM \~AS SOLVED BY RECC1vMENDING A NE\l/LY DEVELOPED TAX POLICY -- FLEXIBLE ENOUGH TO PERI'lIT ADJUSlMENTS BUT EFFECTIVE ENOLGH TO CONTAIN THE PRESSURES OF THE ADDED DEFENSE SPENDING DURING THE FISCAL YEAR BEGINNING NEXT JULY. THUS 1 THE PRESIDENT'S RECa~~ENDATIONS CALL FOR A MODEST NATIONAL INCO~E BUDGET DEFICIT OF $3.8 BILLION FOR FISCAL 1967, DECLINING TO $2.1 BILLI~~ FOR FISCAL 1958. QUARTER BY QUARTER, THE NATIONAL INCOfv1E BUCGET SHOULD REACH A BAlANCE, OR EVEN SURPLUS, BEFORE THE END OF FISCAL 1958. HE BE LI EVE TH IS FI SCAL PROGRN"l WILL PROVI DE THE PROPER ENVI ROi'l1·'1ENT FOR STABLE EXP,L\NSION. $47 BILLION. vIE EXPECT A 1957 GNP OF $787 BILLION, A RISE OF PRICE RISES CANNOT BE SHUT OFF CQ\1PLETELY, BUT VIE EXPECT TO BETTER THE 1966 RECORD BY A GOOD fvV'-RGIN. GI'lP IN REAL TERMS -- ADJUSTED FOR PRICE INCREASES -- SHOULD GROW AT A RATE CLOSE TO 4 PER CENT. THIS IS LESS TH/IN THE 5-1/2% GRO\1TH LAST YEAR, BUT ltHTH CURRENT HIGH LEVELS OF EMPLOYMENT AND PLANT UT I LI ZAT I ON, I TIS ABOUT AS HIGH AS VIE C.AN PLAN ON I F HE ARE TO CONTAIN INFLATIONARY PRESSURES. PROFITS .AND INCO'-1ES SHOULD CONTINUE TO RISE, BUT THE LACK OF SLACK "JILL KEEP THE INCREASES BELOH THOSE ATTAINED LAST YEAR. UNEMPLOYi'-1ENT SHOULD STAY AT THE CURRENT, RELATIVELY FULL EMPLOYMENT LEVELS, AND THERE SHOULD BE SCME UPGRADING AS HORKERS FIND Et-1PLOYMENT IN fY10RE PRODUCTIVE JOBS. HE ALSO HOPE TO MAKE INROADS Ch'J HARD CORE UNH1PLOYfv'IENT THROUGH '-1ANPO'tJER TRAINING PROGR.AMS. - 8 WE SHALL CONTINUE TO FACE BALANCE OF PAYiv1ENTS PRESSURES BECAUSE OF OFFSHORE VIET tW1 EXPENDITURES AND OVERSEAS TROOP REQUIREMENTS, BUT NE\f! EFFORTS WILL BE tv10UNTED IN THIS AREA. MEANHHILE, THERE IS t·1UCH THE PRIVATE CITIZENS CAN DO. ~frlEN PRESIDENT JOP.NSON ANNOUNCED THE TREASURY DEPARTMENT'S NEH "FREEOOV1 SHARES" ON FEBRUARY 21, HE TERt-1ED THEM t:A CHEERFUL CO'1PA"lION TO THE POPULAR SERIES E SAVIl\iGS BOND", AS YOU KNO\'J, "FREEOO'vi SHARES" WILL BE AVAILABLE ONLY TO THOSE HHO REGULARLY BUY SAVINGS BQ"mS THROt.X;H PAYROLL SAVINGS DEDUCTIONS WHERE THEY \'-10RK OR BOi'JO-A-fv\OhlTH PLANS i'lHERE THEY BANK. THE NHI NOTE -- LIKE THE SERIES E SAVINGS BOND -- \'JILL BE SOLD AT A DISCOUi-H AND \'IILL ACCLJv1ULATE INTEREST OVER ITS LI FE, THE SMALLEST DENa4INATION WILL BE SOLD fOR $20.25 lIND \lJILL PAY $25 AT THE END Of 4-1/2 YEARS. NOTES WITH MATURITY VALUES Of $50, $75 AND $100 WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE. TI-lE EFFECTIVE RATE OF INTEREST FOR "FREEDO''i SHARES" -- \-JHEN HELD TO MA.TURITY -- VII LL BE 4.74 PER CENT. SERI ES E BONDS, \'JHI CH MATURE IN 7 YEARS, PAY AT THE RATE OF 4.15 PER CENT, HHEN HELD TO t''iATURITY. "FREEDa1 SHARES" MUST BE HELD AT LEAST ONE YEAR BEFORE THEY MAY BE REDEE!'1ED. SERIES E BONDS t-iAY BE REDE8'1ED IN 60 DAYS. THERE IS AN ANNU\L LIt<tITATION OF $1,350 ON "FREEDOM SHARES". THE PNNUAL Ut-1ITATION ON SERIES E HOLDINGS IS $20, 000. THE ACTUAL MECHANICS OF THE PLAN ARE SIMPLE. IF YOU INVEST $39 -- $18.75 FOR A $25 E BOND liND $20.25 FOR A "FREEDQ\1 SHARE" -- liND HOLD BOTH TO l'-iATURITY -YOU WILL GET BACK $50 -- HALF OF IT IN 4-1/2 YEAAS, THE REST IN 7 YEAAS. - 9 _. IF, FOR EWLwLE, YOU NO,'J ALLOT $G. 25 Fr~Of'l YOUR PAYCHEC}~, THUS PURCHASING A $25 SERIES E BOi'ID EVERY THREE PAYDAYS, YOU tl!JW INCf<.U\SE YOUR DEDUCTIO\J TO $9.75 AND BUY Of\lE $2) E GONO Nm O'~E $25 f1Fr~EEDo!l SHARE" EVERY FOUR PAYDAYS. IN Lr\LNCHH~G THE 1957 "SHi\RE IN FREEDOI''1l1 CN'1PAIGI~, PRESIDErn JCkl~~SO:~ SAID -IIFREEDOH t/lUST P,T ALL TIJ-'E5 BE DEFENDED J GECAUSE IT I S AT ALL TIj\'ES BESIEGED. FIELD. NOT ALL OF US ARE CALLED TO FIGHT f'tL\NY OF US ~1UST, a~ THE BATTLE- QUIETLY ,liND FIRI"ILY; DO \yHAT HE CAN N,lD ALL THAT ViE MUST HERE AT HOI'/iE. BUYING BO"ms, REGULARLY, IS AS IVtPORT,lINT TO THIS NATION IN THE LO:\jG REACH OF HISTORY AS ALf'10S T ANYTH I NG \'IE C,lIN DO. 1I\'iE CAN DO t'm LESS THA\J THOSE vT!'iO FJ GHT ,liND Dl E FOR OUR FREEDOr1S. LAST YEJ\R, AYlERI C.AN SERVI CEt"'!EN BOUGHT AU-lOST $350 HI LLIO\J 'tJORTH OF SAVINGS BONDS -- CLOSE TO $90 HI LU O'J IN THE LAST QUARTER ALC'NE. BATTLE Ho.'JORS COi'-1E HARD IN VIETNN1, BECAUSE THE PRI CE OF HOi'mR I S OFTEN THE PRI CE OF LI FE. YET, IN JLNGLE A\lD HNvlLET -- 0\1 SH I PBOARD AJ\JD ,lI.I RF IE LD --- THERE I 5 EVERY AJvlE'RICA'~ UNIT PRIZES. THE t-m~UTE t1N~ O'~E TROPHY THAT IT IS NOT THE ENE~W'S FLAG. IT IS FLAG THAT SWiBOLI IES gO PER CENT OR BETTER PARTICIPATICN IN THE PAYROLL SAVHJGS PLPN. 11 DURING THE CLOSED-CI RCUIT TELECAST ~'/HI CH ORIG I Nl'l.TED IN \':;\SHI:'lGTO;-.J AND I NAUGUPATED THE NE','/ 19 G7 PROGRAM TO LEADE RSH I P Gr-~OUPS Ir'>l 32 CIT I ES AROUND THE NATIQ\J, GENERAL FORCES IN VIETNN~, HILLIJl~\1 C. \;'ESTi>10RE1JlND, COi.'JvtANDER OF THE LNITED STATES REPORTED TI-lAT 72 PER cnlT OF THE t)tEN IN HIS BUYING SAVINGS BO\lDS REGULARLY. CO'/w"W~D ARE II/11'J INVESTt'ENT If~ THE FUTURE OF lV'llERI CA 54 - 10 IS NOT A GAM3LE, ITIS A SURE THING," THE GENERAL S.4.1D. TREASURY SECRETARY HENRY H. FOtlLER POINTED OUT THAT THE NEH "FREEDO'1 SHARES!! V,IERE DESIGNED TO ATTRACT NEH SAVINGS, NOT TO CAUSE SHIFTS IN EXISTING SAVINGS. "FREEDOt'1 SHARES" -- WHICH GO ()\J SALE Q'\J MAY 1 -- VlILL BE OFFERED FOR Q\JLY n~o LO~GER YEARS OR U'-JTIL THE END OF THE VIETNAIvl v{AR, WHICHEVER IS THE PERIOD OF TIME. (l\I FEBRUARY 23, 1967, THE EXECUTIVE COlNCIL OF THE AFL/CIO PASSED A RESOLUTION CALLING UPON ALL l1\lIO\J IN FREEDOM" CAl'v1PAIGN A SUCCESS. ~'Efv'3ERS TO HELP t·1AKE THE 1967 "SHARE PRESIDENT GEORGE MEANY, IN URGING ALL PROG~l SEGMENTS OF THE AFL/CIO TO GIVE FULL BACKING TO THE SAVINGS BONDS SAiD, "THE U-.JITED STATES IS ENGAGED IN A PAINFUL ~JAR IN DEFENSE OF FREEDOI'~ -THE FREEDOM OF A NATION TO SEEK ITS, ay'lN DESTINY, SECURE AGAINST AGGRESSION. EACH DAY, .AJY1ERICANS GIVE THEIR LIVES TO THAT CAUSE. DRIVE \~ITH BY SUPPORTING THE BCND DOLLARS, \'/E AT HOME CN'>! DEMO\JSTRATE IN AT LEAST A S~1.A.LL HAY OUR WILLINGNESS TO 00 OUR PART • • • AS INVEsn'lENTS, THE SONDS OFFER ABSOLUTE SECURITY AT A\l ADEQUATE INTEREST RATE. II RENO ODLIN, A PAST PRESIDENT OF THE AMERICAN BA\lKERS ASSOCIATICN, RE~RKED "THERE f S NOTHING MAGIC A'30UT SAVINGS BONDS, BUT THERE IS MAGIC IN PAYROLL SAVINGS". Q\J HIS VIEH HAS U'-JDERSCORED BY A FACTORY \~ORKER IS COI'i',1ENT THE PAYROLL SAVINGS PLAN -- "IF YOU DON'T SEE IT, YOU DG-J'T SPEND ITlI. VICE PRESIDENT HUBERT H. HUivlPHREY, CLOSING SPEAKER ON THE TELECAST, CAUTIO\JED THAT TITHE ROAD TO FREEDOM IS NOT A FREE SUPERHIGH\'IAY. THERE ARE SOME TOLL STATIONS ALONG THE HAY." THROUGH YOUR SUPPORT AND PARTICIPATIOhl, VIE CAN t1INIMIZE THOSE TOLLS. SIGN UP FOR ALL THAT YOU CAN. AS THE 1967 CAMAPIGN SLOGAN SAYS -- IN REFERENCE TO OUR FIGHTING t'iEN IN VIETNN1 -- "BUY \'/HERE YOU It-IORK -- THEY DO." 00 00 00 --." '- TREASURY DEPARTMENT ( RELEASE 6:30 p.r., ~day, Barch 7, 1967. RESULTS OF TrlEASURY I S OFFER OF ADDITIONAL $2.7 BILLIOlJ IN JUNE TAX SILLS The Treasury Department announced that the tenders for an additional ~2,700,OOO,OOO, thereabouts, of Tax Anticipation Series Treasury bills dated October It, 1966, .Iring June 22, 1967, were opened at the Federal Reserve Banks today. The additional llIlt of bills, which were offered on Narch 1, 1967, will be issued l-'Iarch 13, 1967, 1 days to maturity date). The details of this issue are as follm·lS: Total a0plied for - $3,923,799,000 Total accepted - $2,702,560,000 (includes :$22).+, 5~):), om enter2d on a noncompetitive basis and accepted in full at the average price shown beloN) Range of accepted competitive bids: High Low Average - 98.641 - 96.788 - 90.795 (61;~ Equivalent rate of discount approx. 4.1.3l"per annum II II II II 4.320;; 11 II • It II II II 4.29~ 11 11 of the amount bid for at the low price vias accepted) Federal Reserve District Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis I1inneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco TOTAL This is on a bank discount basis. F-S38 II Total Aoolied for ~·"162,982,000 1,665,972,000 119,420,000 l44,654,000 56,690,000 133,715,000 667,110,000 124,475,000 161,920,000 73,260,000 197,801,000 395,800,000 Total Accetted $" lId,Or~4,OOO 1,169,992,000 58,420,000 101,654,000 41,090,000 104,145,000 423,090,000 63,225,000 11 7 , 647 , 000 65,587,000 27,071,000 327 ,S~IS , 000 $3,923,799,000 ~2,702,56(),OOO The equivalent coupon issue yield is 4.'-1.2%. Y FOR RELEASE AFTEru~OON NEWSPAPERS OF THURSDAY, MARCH 9, 1967 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington 56 REMARKS BY ARNOLD SAGALYN, DIRECTOR OFFICE OF LAW ENFORCEMENT COORDINATION, U. S. TREASURY DEPARTMENT, AND U. S. REPRESENTATIVE INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL POLICE ORGANIZATION - (INTERPOL) BEFORE THE NATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON LAW ENFORCEMENT SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY -- SESSION ON WEAPONRY CHICAGO, ILLINOIS, THURSDAY, MARCH 9, 1967 THE POLICEMAN'S GUN IS BACKFIRING Approximately 100 years ago, Gilbert and Sullivan innnortalized the refrain, "A policeman's lot is not a happy one. II We have not done very much to improve it since then. This neglect is exemplified in our primitive, inadequate police weapons. To protect himself and the community and to maintain law and order, a police officer today must still depend on the sarne weapons which were standard equipment for our police nearly 100 years ago the police stick and a lethal gun. Science and Technology come back from the moon, and look at our urban craters! For the limitations and ineffectiveness of the police officer's weapons leave him dangerously exposed to the 2 hazards he faces in his work. Today, every time a police officer responds to a call for assistance, every time he stops a person who has violated a law, he faces the risk of physical injury and death. Statistics compiled by the Federal Bureau of Investigation indicate that one out of every ten police officers, more than 20,000 men, will be assaulted this year. attacked, 40% will suffer personal injury. Of those During the six- year period between 1960-1965, 278 police officers were killed in the line of duty. Incomplete reports 80 far indicate that more than 50 men died from injuries in 1966. An equal, if not larger, number of officers will lose their lives this year. Our obsolescent, 19th century police weapons are jeopardizing the safety of more than just our police. They are also posing a danger to the peace and welfare of our urban communities. In the past few years there haa been increasing evidence that the employment of these same defensive weapons -particularly the gun -- to enforce the law and maintain civil order is creating far worse problems than those the police are attempting to solve. 3 For the police officer's basic weapon, his gun, lacks the flexible response capability needed to deal with the specific type of problem involved. The inability of the police officer to control the degree and deadliness of this physical force in proportion to the nature and quality of the threat has put him -- indeed the entire community -in a critical dilemma. Let us look at some of the problems our police face when they have to rely on conventional police weapons. The need to use physical force and weapons often develops when an officer is making an arrest. If there is resistance, the officer may be physically assaulted or threatened with a dangerous weapon. Under such circumstances the officer feels compelled to take effective counter-measures to defend himself, as well as to secure the arrest and custody of the violator. Take the case of resistance which does not appear to involve a threat of physical injury. This is often the situation encountered in dealing with drunks. The police officer currently has no effective capability to handle the , re.isting person without the u •• of so•• physical forc. that may prove injuriou.. H. must .ither qrappl. with the per.on and seek to re.train hi. bodily, or h. muat try to incapacitate him with his police stiCk. If the police officer faces the ri.k of .erious injury, whether it be fro. phy.ical a ••ault, a knife, or a gun, he has no really effective alternative to shooting hi. assailut in .elf defense. If the problem involve. a person who tri.. to flee, either on foot or by car, the police offic.r i. strongly motivated to prevent the escape. the fugitive by shooting him. This often means stopping Such shootings have beeft the cau.e of severe critici •• in many communities lately. Thi. has heen particularly true when the persona who are injured or killed are not hardened or habitual criminals, but instead are juveniles and youths. Por public policy and our laws regard such young people in a special way. We hold out greater hope for their rehabilitation and return to society as lawful, productive members of their communities. The police officer also faces public condemnation When 5 he shoots a person whose offense is of a relatively minor nature and does not involve a crime of violence. Moreover, shots fired at a fugitive, even when they are just warning shots, have sometimes injured or killed innocent bystanders. The resulting unfavorable community reaction has further aggravated the problem of the police in their relations with the public. The police face another serious dilemma in dealing with individuals and crowds involved in demonstrations. This is particularly true when such demonstrations may start out peacefully, but later develop into lawlessness and acts of violence. Since the persons participating in lawful demonstra- tions are not criminals and tend to include women and children, and considering the fact that many innocent spectators may be drawn to the scene, the absence of any appropriate, effective alternative to the use of conventional police weapons to control such situations poses an appalling problem for the police as well as for the entire community. Riot sticks and guns -- in fact, any type of injurious physical force -- are recognizably a very unsatisfactory way of dealing with such law enforcement 6 problema. Aa you can .ee, the police are forced to make a fearful choice. The weapona and physical force now available to them result in either too much or too little restraint. At the present time, they have no safe and effective capability to control improper human behavior or to neutralize various types of physical threat without inflictinq some temporary or permanent physical injury on the victims. As indicated earlier, in dealing with the wide range of law enforcement problems with their varying degree. of seriousnesl and danger, our police officers have a critically limited and inflexible spectrum of defensive and offensive options from which to choose. The result has been increasing accusations of excessive, unnecessary police force and a serious worsening of communitypolice relations in many urban areas. More and more the police officer who resorts to the use of his police weapons to deal with offenders of varying degrees finds himself abused and threatened with physical assault by the victims of his enforcement action, aa well as by hostile sympathizers in 7 the area. In some communities police force has tended to incite retaliatory violence. An analysis of recent riots by the staff of the President's crime Commission led to the observation that the use of conventional police force and related police practices, while lawfully employed, were often the incendiary factor that ignited the widespread disorders and rioting ~ihich have taken place in a number of our cities during the past few years. The following specific examples illustrate very sharply the important considerations and consequences involved in using injurious police force in many urban communities today: July 16, 1964 - A New York police detective is confronted by a knife in the hand of a 16-year-old boy. youth. In defending himself, he shoots and kills the Public indignation and anger spark five days of rioting that result in one death, 118 injuries, millions of dollars in property damage, and an embittered community. September 6, 1966 - In Atlanta, Georgia, a police officer shoots and injures a youth susp~cted of 8 stealing a car. As a result of the .hooting, protest demonstrations are organized which erupt into rioting. september 27, 1966 - In San Franci8co, California, a juvenile fleeing from a car believed to ha•• been stolen is shot and killed by a police office~. This shooting ignites three days of rioting and violenc •• If the purpose and justification of our polio. weaponry is to protect lives and property, maintain public order, and enforce compliance with our laws, we need to ••k ourselves whether our present policy and methode of applying physical force are proving counter-productive. ror when the use of police force to deal with a law enforo. . .at problem results in far greater harm to the public .afety aad welfare of the community than the offense in who •• name it wag employed, it is time to reevaluate the value and wi.dam of auch a police practice. While such physical force may temporarily auppr... a violation of the law or counter a threat to individual or public safety, in the long run the employment by the police 9 of injurious and lethal force will only aggravate the unsatisfactory police-community relations currently existing in so many urban areas. To the extent that our police weapons serve to engender counter-violence and inflame the community, their continued use as now employed will pose grave consequences for our domestic tranquility. The legal justification governing the use of deadly force against a person suspected of a felony appears to be based on the historical precedent that at one time every felony was punishable by death. ator wrote: In this connection one legal comment- "The rule that an officer or a private person may do all that is reasonably necessary to effect an arrest for an atrocious felony, even to the taking of the life of the arrestee, is of ancient origin. Originally it was based upon the theory that such a one had forfeited his life to the community, for all felonies were punishable by death at the time." Today there are few crimes in the united States which are punishable under the law by death. Indeed, there has been an increasing number of states which have abolished 10 capital punishment or e1s. severely restricted it. application. Only one person was executed durinq 1966 in the entire United States. MOreover, the report of the President·s Crime Commie.ion states: MAll available data indicate that judq.s, juries, and governors are becoming increasingly reluctant to impose or authorize the carrying out of a death sentence." Insofar as its deterrent effect is concerned, the Commission found that there was no discernible correlation between the availability of the death penalty and the homicide rate. In the light of the changes which have occurred in recent years to restrict if not eliminate capital punishment, it would seem appropriate and prudent to limit the police use of firearms and deadly force to those situations where it is necessary to save a life or to prevent serious bodily harm. In the absence of any serious physical danger to the police officer or any other person, the use of a gun or other means of deadly force to effect an arrest or maintain law and order does not seem justified. Such a policy and prohibition would clearly be in the best interest of the police as well aa the public, and would eliminate the source of many grievance. 11 that now aggravate police-community relationa. This is the time, also, for all of us concerned with the processes and philosophy of the law to ask: Can a civilized democratic society based on due process of law countenance the physical injury or killing of a person without due process? Particularly when the offense is of such a nature that the person so convicted in a court of law would not suffer a penalty worse than the 108s of some property or only his liberty for a relatively short period of time? As a practical measure, a great deal can be done to bring police practices in the use of deadly force into accord with the realities of present attitudes toward capital punishment. This can be accomplished by police administrators through the issuance of proper guidelines on the use and justification of physical force and lethal weapons in dealing with specified violations or threats an officer may encounter in the course of duty. The failure of responsible officials to provide clear guidelines and policy as to when police may employ physical force has placed an unreasonable burden 12 and responsibility on the individual officer. The absence of such instructions has undoubtedly encouraged the police practices which have generated charges of unnecessary police force and led to retaliatory violence. While the police officer is instructed on the proper care of the gun and is taught how to shoot, he is generally given little, if any, guidance as to when he should shoot. The relatively few police departments that have any written policy or guidelines governing the use of firearms tend to limit them to merely counseling officers to "exercise the greatest possible caution U or lito use good judgment". In essence, the decision to shoot -- and perchance to kill -is left entirely up to the discretion and judgment of an officer. In the Federal Government, the Federal Bureau of Investigation and the Treasury law enforcement agencies have a firm written policy that a firearm is not to be used exeept in the defense of a life. However, in most local conmunities today, a police officer is authorized to use his firearm in dealinq with felony situations where no threat to life is involved. ~') \./ '- 13 And many law enforcement agencies permit the use of a gun in apprehending peraona whose offense may involve at best only a suspicion of a property crime or even a misdemeanor. The practice of shooting to stop a speediftg motorist, for example, is far from an isolated occurrence. The President's Crime Commission took special note of this dereliction when it commented on the failure in most cities to provide police officers with guidance as to when firearms may be drawn and used. In its report to the President a few weeks ago, it made the following recommendation: "A comprehensive regulation should be formulated by every chief administrator to reflect the basic policy that firearms may be used only when the officer believes his life or the life of another is in imminent danqer, or when other reasonable means of apprehension have failed to prevent the escape of a felony suspect whom the officer believes presents a serious danger to others." A similar prohibition on the use of deadly force is proposed in the Model Penal Code of the American Law Institute. 14 While the promulgation of needed guidelines on the use of his weapons will lead to improved community-police relations, they will not help the individual police officer who will still be exposed to serious personal injury from assault and dangerous weapons. For his present weapons are often ineffective in countering and neutralizing the physical threats he faces. Be needs -- and needs urgently -- new and more effective means of assuring his and the public' s protection and of keeping the peace _ He needs a weapon capable of control- ling the wide range of law enforcement problems he must deal with every day_ The application of science and technology now makes it possible to develop alternative, non-injurious methods which will provide a police officer with equal if not superior security to his gun and his police stick. Such a weapon should be capable of immobilizing and neutralizing an assailant or offender for a short period of time, without any harmful aftereffects. It should have an additional capability to mark a person or vehicle seeking to escape from the officer with a readily identifiable color, odor or other recognition feature, thereby helping to assure the identification and apprehension of the fugitive. We hope eventually to be able to look forward with some 15 confidence to a single, all-purpose weapon that will provide the police officer with a highly effective offensive as well as an assured defensive capability. It should be a weapon that will safely, harmlessly neutralize physical threats: and it must enable the police officer to control unlawful and violent behavior of persons in a way that will earn the confidence and support of the entire community. In the final analysis, it is important that we all recognize that the real source of police power is derived from public support and cooperation. Without the respect and cooperation of the public, the police cannot function successfully. While they may continue to enforce the law and maintain law and order through fear and physical force, they will do so at the cost of an increasingly hostile, alienated community in which there can be no real security or peaceful orderly progress. The applications of science and technology have created fantastic new defensive capabilities and sources of strength for our national security. They can play an equally important role in helping our law enforcement agencies assure the civil security in our urban communities. TREASURY DEPARTMENT March 8, 1967 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $ 2,300,000,000, or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing March 16, 1967, in the amount of $2,303,920,000, as follows: 91 -day bills (to maturity date) to be issued March 16, 1967, in the amount of $1,300,000,000, or thereabouts~ representing an additional amount of bills dated December 15,19b6, and to mature June 15,1967, originally issued in the amount of $1,000,868,000,the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills, for $1,000,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated March 16,1967, and to mature September 14,1967. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, March 13, 1967. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury De~artment, Washington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. F-839 - 2 - Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasu~ expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on March 16, 1967, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills ma turing March 16, 1967. Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bi lIs are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the" owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained fr(J any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 65 TREASURY DEPARTMENT March 8, 1967 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE WI'mHOLDING OF APPRAISEMENT ON PIG IRON The Treasur,y Department is instructing customs field officers to withhold appraisement of pig iron from Romania pending a determination as to whether this merchandise is being sold at less than fair value within the meaning of the Antidumping Act, 1921, as amended (19 U.S.C. 160 et seq.). This withholding order will apply to importations entered, or withdrawn from warehouse, for consumption, after publication of the order which will appear in the Federal Register in the near future. Under the Antidumping Act, determination of sales in the United States at less than fair value would require reference of the case to the Tariff Commission, which would consider whether American industry was being injured. Both dumping price and injury must be shown to justif.y a finding of dumping under the law. The information alleging that the merchandise under consideration was being sold at less than fair value within the meaning of the Antidumping Act was received in proper form on January 19, 1967. Pursuant to section 14.6(d), Customs Regulations (19 CFR 14.6(d», an "Antidumping Proceeding Notice" pertaining to this merchandise was published on page 3404 of the Federal Register of March 1, 1967. 66 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR RELEASE ON DELIVERY REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE STANLEY So SURREY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE TAX EXECUTIVES INSTITUTE 17TH ANNUAL MID-YEAR CONFERENCE AT THE SHOREHAM HOTEL, WASHINGTON, DoC THURSDAY, MARCH 9, 1967,2:15 P.Mo,EST o (Delivered by Richard O. Loengard, Jr., Special Assistant for International Tax Affairs) CURRENT DEVELOPMENTS IN THE UNITED STATES TREATMENT OF INTERNATIONAL TAX MATTERS I appreciate this opportunity to give you a survey of developments relating to international tax matters. I shall be talking about significant changes taking place as a result of continuing efforts to provide the proper framework for the tax treatment of transactions that cross our borders. The Treasury welcomes your comments, which will, I can assure you, be closely studied. We may start with the legislative changes. Last year saw the enactment of the Foreign Investors Tax Act, the first comprehensive revision of our tax treatment of foreign investors. It accomplished the purpose sought: a more rational tax structure for foreigners with United States income that would be consistent with international standards, reflect a proper balance of tax treatment for our own citizens, and eliminate irrational and unwarranted barriers to foreign investment in the United States. The Act was drawn up carefully to achieve its objectives without offering improper tax incentives to attract investment here that would have led to matching or even greater incentives by other countries, in a fruitless scramble for investment dollars. Nor does the Act seek to claim an undue F-840 - 2 - share for the United States out of the income generated by international investment -- a claim that not only could have placed obstacles in the way of our obtaining a proper part of that investment but also could have led to excessive demands by other countries regarding the earnings from our investments overseas. This Act broke new tax ground in several of its approaches. It met the problem of how unilaterally to rationalize our structure for taxing foreigners -- without thereby losing our bargaining power to obtain through tax treaties proper treatment for our citizens who invest or trade abroad -- by delegating authority to the President to withdraw our unilateral concessions if he found our rules were not being reciprocated. This preservation of bargaining power was also strengthened by giving the President authority to raise income tax on foreigners to the extent and in the way necessary to combat any discriminatory action by foreign countries against our taxpayers. Next, as insurance that the liberality, in contrast to prior law, of some of the new rules applicable to foreigners, especially the estate tax rate reductions and the confinement of our income tax to the withholding rates, would not lead to tax-motivated expatriation by our citizens, the Act applies for 10 years the rates applicable to our citizens to the United States property and income of such persons. The Act dealt with the increasing tendency of foreigners to take advantage of the mechanistic and precise formulation of our rules regarding the source of income -- and hence the scope of our asserted jurisdiction to tax foreigners -by developing arrangements that avoided United States tax on certain business activities conducted by them in the United States, and thus in some cases utilizing the United States as a tax haven. The solution devised is that of increasing the jurisdictional scope of our income tax to reach certain described income that is "effectively connected" with such business activities, again carefully described,in the United States. This step places our jurisdictional rules -- and thus our ability to assert a proper claim for our share of tax in these situations -- on a parity with those of most other countries, which had long used similar rules. a 3 - 68 There are, however, some doctrinal hazards in the Act as it emerged from the Congress. The extension of the jurisdictional scope of our tax system to reach these business activities, through the concept of "effectively connected," left our traditional source rules unchanged. Other countries bring such income within their tax jurisdiction by treating it as having its source within their country. As a consequence, we use more structural building blocks than these countries do in applying their tax to these types of income. On the other hand, our approach lends itself more easily to our allowance of a foreign tax credit against our tax on this income. In addition, the jurisdictional test of "effectively connected" in these cases unfortunately uses terminology similar to that applied to meet a different situation -that of whether certain investment income, whose source is traditionally regarded as being from within the United States, is so related ("effectively connected") to a trade or business in the United States so as to be taxed along with the income of that trade or business rather than being taxed separately under the rules relating to investment income. But hopefully Regulations, and commentators, will be able to allay any confusion that might result from these doctrinal hazards. These Regulations are now in process. The other important legislation involves the Interest Equalization Tax and the bill just reported by the House Ways and Means Committee. The purpose of the Interest Equalization Tax is to insert a tax wedge in the international transactions by which foreigners borrow or otherwise obtain our capital that compensates for the differential betWeen our lower interest rates and the higher rates that are charged abroad. This is done so that the amount of our capital that goes abroad will not be materially increased as the result of our policy to maintain lower interest rates for our domestic economy. This purpose of the Interest Equalization Tax must be achieved in a world where interest rates in various countries are to a large degree the reflection of a variety of domestic fiscal and monetary policies constantly changing in response to a variety of economic conditions. - 4 - 69 The monetary powers of modern governments are exercised in a highly flexible fashion. Consequently, a tax wedge whose amount is rigidly fixed will not always be able to perform its task -- the wedge may at different times be too little or too large. The task is to achieve a mechanism that permits the wedge to expand or contract as the differential itself varies in response to monetary policies here and abroad. Only in this way can we permit our monetary policy to perform its important tasks without undue distortion by balance of payments considerations. In response to this objective, the new legislation as reported by the Ways and Means Committee gives the President authority to vary the rates of lET tax so that their effect on international interest differentials can vary from 1 percentage point to 1-1/2 points, rather than remain at a fixed rate. When we turn to administrative activity, developments largely relate to a number of Regulations and rulings which are now being brought to a final conclusion. Most important here are the Regulations relating to Sections 482 and 861 of the Code, involving allocations of income and expenditures in international transactions. A large number of helpful comments have been received and we are in the process of reviewing them. These Regulations clearly plow new tax ground in the attempt to formalize the rules of allocation that should govern the relationships between taxpayers and the United States Government and between the United States ,Government and foreign governments. We believe that one of the major advantages derived by taxpayers and the Government from publication of the guidelines in these Regulations will be the element of certainty injected into the application of these provisions of the statute. We realize that in the past the statute has not always been applied consistently, especially in the foreign area. This inconsistency of approach was, of course, the reason for granting the relief found in Revenue Procedure 64-54. This aspect can be even more significant in situations where there are delays in completion of United States tax audits, as a result of which Section 482 issues may be decided years after the events to which they relate took place and have an impact on transactions in all of the intervening years which remain open. One of the major purposes of the Regulations is to give taxpayers the opportunity to plan their affairs - 5 - 7. ' I •. : in such a way as to reduce substantially the risk of adjustment on audit and the consequent long-term uncertainty on the finality of their overseas transactions. The Regulations thus mark the closing of one chapter of tax administration, characterized by taxpayer arrangements made and IRS agent scrutiny conducted without the discipline of guidelines, and the opening of a new chapter involving that discipline through an integrated set of guidelines. But we are hopeful that the Regulations will also mark the path to further developments in this field. We believe they will add impetus to the growing efforts of management to obtain objective methods of measuring the achievements and progress of the v.arious components of our larger international enterprises. It is the fate -- and responsibility -- and opportunity of tax measures and regulations to give a formal structure to many of the somewhat formless and more loosely conceived rules that guide business interrelationships. But once management and their advisors see their working rules of thumb captured in a formal structure and set down with greater sharpness and particularity, they are generally induced to focus more intently on those rules and their objectives. This r~sult is all to the good, for it can only lead to progress in developing our tools and processes for the task of measuring profits and performance, a task that is of vital importance to modern business. Equally, we are hopeful that this effort on the part of the United States will cause other countries to look with similar care at their own rules in this area. To move this process along, we are proceeding within the DECD Fiscal Committee both to explain our rules and then to ask other Governments questions of this nature: Will you allow as deductions the payments which the marketing or manufacturing subsidiaries in your jurisdiction would need to make to its United States parent under our rules? Would you be satisfied to obtain payments from marketing or manufacturing subsidiaries in our country to your parent companies in accordance with these' rules? Where we are both agreed on the operative rule -- say, an arm's length sales price or a charge of services at cost -- but may initially reach variant results on applying the rule to the facts of a particular case, how will we harmonize our approaches? In this fashion we can achieve the coordination among Governments necessary for fair international treatment of taxpayers. - 6 - 71 Closely tied in with these efforts is the study we are making of the competent authority procedure. Modern tax treaties -- and tax treaties under modern conditions place increasing reliance on an efficient and informed working of this procedure. These treaties, like any tax statute, require an alert and effective administration and the competent authority procedure is the administrative agency for our tax treaties. Here also we are combining a study of our own effectiveness with efforts in the OECD Fiscal Committee to consider these same issues on the international level. More closely related to our domestic tax rules is the proposed Revenue Procedure on the operative effects of Section 367. The published proposal has brought forth many helpful comments which are now being studied. Work is also proceeding in a companion area, that of the application of Section 351 to transfers of know-how to foreign subsidiaries. We recognize the existing dissatisfaction with the present rules and are seeking an appropriate solution. Let me now turn to our international tax treaties. We will shortly sign the revision of our income tax treaty with France •. This is far more than a simple revision, and really represents a whole new treaty. It is our first negotiation with a country desirous of staying as closely as possible to the DECD model draft in structure and terminology. As is to be expected, active negotiation around a model develops a number of probing questions with respect to the model that were not surfaced in its formulation. The French negotiation has resulted in an adaptation of that model in its technical aspects to a concrete treaty between two countries with tax structures that differ in a number of ways. In large part the French treaty should prove to be a model we can use in negotiations with other countries that lean strongly to the OECD draft. ~ Two events last year marked our tax relations with the South American countries. We negotiated an interim treaty with Trinidad and Tobago as a step toward the complete revision that was initiated as a consequence of changes in their domestic tax system. Honduras terminated its treaty with the United States. This was the first treaty that had been negotiated with a less developed country -- in 1956 -- and its termination grew out of its 72 - 7 inadequacies. While we are quite desirous of negotiating a new treaty, we are also conscious of the need to have our treaties with Latin American countries develop along a common basic pattern. We hope that this year we will be able to make substantial progress toward starting a tax treaty network with the Latin American countries. We have been engaged for some time in negotiations with Brazil and are encouraged by their progress. We are also currently negotiating a tax treaty with Jamaica. The current treaty with that country is an extension of the former United Kingdom treaty. As stated above, negotiations with Trinidad and Tobago are also scheduled for this year. We are also hopeful other Latin American countries will be entering into discussions with us to explore the feasibility of negotiations. There is great awareness in Latin America of the desirability of tax treaties -- an awareness which we share in this country and an interest which is matched in many industrialized countries seeking increased trade and investment with that area. These tax treaties can playa most useful role in the economic development and integration of that area. Moreover, treaties by Latin American countries with industrailized countries of other continents will in turn facilitate the negotiation of a network of treaties among the Latin American countries themselves. Such a network -long ago accomplished within the European economy -- is one of the steps needed to achieve a common Latin American market and a harmonization of their tax structures. Our steps to modernize and expand our treaties with the industrialized world and to extend our tax treaty relationships to the less developed world must be matched by steps to coordinate the many new treaties that have resulted and are in progress. One aspect of the latter task is to proceed, as far as the realities of the negotiating process permit, with basic models -- principally one for industrialized countries, with some variations depending on the attraction possessed by the DEeD model in some of its aspects, and one for less developed countries. ?-I - 8 - 'v The realities of negotiation often produce certain differences in language and structure. However, these differences frequently are not intended also to produce changes in substance. As a consequence,we believe that coordination depends finally on develbp.h:I~: a master set of treaty regulations that will delineate both the substantive rules that are common to the various treaties and the variations in those rules. In this way we would identify those cases where changes in terminology are intended to have substantive significance. In addition, we can also coordinate the interpretation of those new statutory rules introduced last year which embody similar concepts. We have made considerable progress in developing this approach to treaty regulations and are hopeful our goal can be achieved. We are also preparing for ac tivity in the es tate tax treaty area now that the OECD has finished its formulation of a draft model for these treaties. There is considerable interest in a number of countries in estate taR treaties and we share that interest. We would be aided by your examination of the OECD model, and we invite your comments. 000 74 Statement of Fred B. Smith Generq,l Counsel of the Treasury Dcp[(rtm'2nt To the Subconunittee on Administrative Practice and ProcedUl":; of the Senate Judiciary Cc:nlmi ttee on S., 518, r;~J,rch 7, 1967 I velcome the opporhmity to appear before the Sub c orrlmi ttee on Administrative Practice and Procedure on behalf of the 'l.'reas-· ury DepartmEnt, on S. 518, and to comment on this revised legislation to amend the Administrative Procedure Act of 1946. As you know, representatives of the General. Counsel's office have participated. actively in the consideratLm by this Subcommittee of s. 1663 gress. in the 88th Congress and of S. 1336 in the 89th Con- We also participated in the Symposium on S. 1336, held December 1, 1966, under the sponsorship of the Special Committee on a Code of Federal Administrative Procedure of the America,n Bar Association, with a panel on which your staff was represented. We are gratified that the consideration by this Subcommittee of these past presentations has resulted in substantial and valuable revisions of the legislation to meet many of the serious objections advanced on behalf of this Department. Our past criticisms have been directed towa.rd those provisions of the prior bills which we have believed would handicap the efficient, fair and effective administration of the laws within the 1'esp::msibili ty of the Treasury Department, particularly, the laws governing internal revenue taxation and customs duties. Also, some of these provisions, by delaying the administrative process, would have operated against the interests of our citizens. - 2 - 7r:. , My comments toclay are presented in the S8.me spirit. He welcome all the cha.nges that no\-[ distin[:;uish, S. 518 fr8Dl S. 1336. HOiVever, there remain a fe"r basic problems sufficient iml)Ortancc to explain to the 1,..7}~j('h CO;:li':: we consider of Ltee at SO;:l:; lenGth, in the hope and expectation that these IJroblems also Tn!ly be satisfactorily resolved. The basic problems respecting aujudication thr:)ughout S. 518 stem from the ambiguous and circular definitions in section 2 of , a d'd''''' ' " " aaJUGl-, ,' f our k ey wor d s re 1 a t Ing ~o JU lca~lon -- " procee d J.ng, rI " or d er, " an d" par t y. " ' ca t lon, These definitions appear, 1 logical order, in subsections (g), (d) and (b) of secti::m 2. ~ It will be observed that "proceeding" is defined, in relevant. part, as adjudication; "adjudication" means 8.gency process for the formulation of an order; 'brder" is defined as the final disposition in a proceeding involving named parties, and "party" is 1 Ii(g) 'Agency proceeding' means any agency process as defined in subsections . . . (d) of this section." "(d) 'Adjudication' means agency process for the fonnulatLm, amendment or repeal of an order. rI rI(d) 'Order' means the whole or any part of the fjnaJ disposition . . • by any agency in any proceeding, including licensing, to determine the rights, obligati:ms and privileges of named parties." !feb) 'Party' includes any pers::m or agency named or a:1"1itted as a party, or properly seeking and entitled as of right to be admitted as a party, in any agency proceeding." OJ 7E - 3 defined as a person named or admitted in a ;proceedi~s. The defini- tions, therefore, lead in a circle back upon themselves. I am pointing this out, not as an exercise j 11 semantic s, but because the intelligent administration of at lc&st seven w~jor provisions of this legislation is dependent upon a and form understanding of these four key words. cle~r These seven major provisions are the following: Section 3(b) requires every agency to make avail13-ble for public inspection and copying, and to index with jdentifying infolmation "all orders made in the adjudication of cases." Section 5(b) requires that "in all other cases of adludication [i. e., not required t8 be decided on the record after opportU11ity for a hearing] the agency shall by rule pr:wide procedures 'which shall promptly, adequately and fairly inform the agency and the ~arties of the issues, facts and arguments involved." Section 5(c) requires every agency to "afford all parties an opporbmi ty, at- such time in advance of the proceedings . • . or, . • . at any time thereafter to submit and have considered offers for the settlement or adjustment of the questions presented." Section 6(a) provides that "[eJvery parll 8h211 be accorded the right to appear in person or by or ~.d th counselor other duly qualified representative in any agency proceeding or investigation." U11~ 77 - 4- I I Section 6( e) requires every aGency, UJlless oUlerwise provided by statute, to "iSS"lle SUbpCIW.S upon request to any party to an ~udicat).~~." Section 6(h) requires every agency to make available, apparently in all 1?roceedinSE" depositions and discovery, either to the same extent as in Federe.l district court proceedings or as otherwise proYided by published rule. Section 9(b) places penalties up::m agency publicity which a court. finds was issued to discredit "a 12ar~ to an II . agency procee d lng. I should hope that the fair implication derived from t11E~ definitions of the four key words in section 2 and their usage in the above sections would be that adjudication is an agency process in which a named party participates in the presentation of issues of fact, law or discretion, which process culminates in a final decision (which may be accompanied by findings of fact and conclusions of law, namely, an "opinion" under section 2(d)), thus constituting a relatively formal quasi-judicial proceeding. However, the definitions of the key words relating to adjudication may actually include under adjudication a wide variety of additional agency actions which constitute determinations of the rights, obligations, and privileges of named persons, where under authority of law the agency reaches these determinations unilaterally solely on the basis of documents submitted, or facts otherwise before it, without participation by the person concel'ned. - 5Characteristically, this type of agency action results only in an initial determination which is subject to, protest or appeal either within the agency or to a court, but which is final if not protested or appealed. For example, the vast quantity of customs and internal revenue determinations are made on the basis of the docwnents submitted by the person concerned, with the statutory right of protest to the agency or to the specialized Customs Court or Tax Court. Apparently all initial determinations are considered by the drafters of this legislation to be adjudications because the new last sentence of section 5(b), pertaining to what ~~y be referred to as informal adjudications, provides that the subsection "shall not apply to initial determinations vii th respect to public property, loans, grants, benefits, contracts, inspections, tests or elections." Since initial determinations by the Customs Bureau and the Internal Revenue Service of assessments of duties and taxes are not included in this exemption, it certainly could be argued that they are covered. However, they may in fact be excluded by the new opening clause of this subsection "[ uJnless expressly otherwise provided by statute," since the procedure for the assessment of duties and taxes is covered in the Customs and Revenue laws. (We would hope, however, that at a minimwn a statement would be put in the Committee Report to this effect, in order to be sure of the availability of this clause in such customs and revenue cases.) 79 - 6However) even j.f section 5(b) did not require semi- adversary proceedings in the countless millions' of initial determinations of duties and taxes, it would still be necessary to decide the application to these determinations' of the other provisions of S. 518, which I have listed, for the public disclosure of all final opinions and orders in the adjudication of cases, for providing an opportunity for Il settlement," for the appear- ance of parties and counsel, for the required issuances of subpenas, etc. The application to the initial determinations de- scribed of procedural privileges and requirements designed for adversary proceedings is clearly inappropriate, but seems to be required by the use of the key words pertaining to adjudication throughout s. 518. To cure the ambiguity and circularity of the legislative definitions, I recommend that the definition of adjudication in section 2(d) be restricted to the type of proceeding which the Committee appears to have in mind. One means of accomplishing this would be the addition of an exclusionary sentence stating that "adjudication does not include the initial determination which an agency is authorized by law to make unilaterally on the basis of documents submitted, or facts before it." AIl alterna- tive method would be to re-define the term "adjudication" to mean "agency process for the receipt and examination of evidence and argument on disputed issues of law, fact, or discretion, and for decision resulting in the formulation, amendment or repeal 8' I - 7 of an order. II ..J '''' Drafts of these alternative Cimendwcnts, and of amendments later prolX)scd to other sections, aTe a LtG.cheLl to my written statement. There are three areas in section l~ Gn rulemnking in vihic~l this Department strongly recornmencls clal'ificatior; to prt'veht confusion amonG interested pers::ms and the agendc:s and needless litigation, and to carry out the apparent intent of the of this legislation. 1. 1nese areas are the d~~i:l.fters followinl~: The legal effect of a petition "Thich, under sUDsecti:xl (g), any interested I,erson may make for the issuance, 8JY!2,Jru;1C::L '. ; exception f:rom or repeal of a rule needs to be mlJ.de definite. The proposed wording of subsection (b), referring to "l'ulemaking to be ll..l1dertaken by the agency on its mID motion or pursuant t~, petition," might be taken to require the initiation and completion of rulemaking procedures pursuant to any petition received, regardless of its merits. The chaotic effect of such an inter- pretation may be seen clearly, for example, in revenue operations where the stability and reliability of promulga.ted rules are of cardinal importance. Revenue rules 'would be in a con stant state of upheaval if rulemaking were required on the strength of every petiti8n. We recommend that the text of section 4(b) or the Committee report make clear that rulemaking 'p'1rS'12.nt to petition is to occur only with the consent of the 2gency. 2. Subsection (d) on emergency rules contai~lS a provision on the extension of eInergency rules which is if. ;oIlsistent vrith 81 - 8- the eX])lane.tL:m given by the Senate Co!maittee in its rq)ort on this provision in S. 1336. The provision reads: "The agency m:ly extend such emergency rule for a pe:t'ic.1d not to exceed one year only by commencement, prior to the e:h:pirati,)ll of the ori[,;ina1 effective period, of a ru1emaking proceeding . . . " This sentence is generally read to me8.n that an emergency rule may be ext.ended only for a period not to exceed one year despite the completion of the new rulemaking procedures. The Senate Conunittee Report on S. 1336, hen'lever, (page 11) explains that the agency 'dill have a year in which to complete the proceeding and re-issuance of the emergency rule or a successor ruJ.e covering the situation. On the strength of the explanation, it is reconmended that the ~lrase "for a period not to exceed one yearH be deleted from its present position and added as a limitation on the rulemaking proceeding described in the latter part of the sentence. The final phrase might then read "upon giving notice reQuired by subsection (b) of this section, and by completing the rulemaking proceeding within a period not to exceed one year from the original date for the expiration of the emergency rule." 3. tion (h). The Treasury welcomes the new exemption (6) in subsecThis addition exempts from the notice and public proce- dure provisions of section 4 "rulemaking that relates solely to ," the establishment or revision of monetary ra t es or po 1 ley. is important, however, that this exemption be lillderstood p- -v t~ e~~ brace the various monetary and fiscal operations set forth in 82 - 9- the statement regarding this exemption which is being proposed to the Judiciary Committee for its report by, the Com:ptroller :)f the Currency, the Board of Governors of the Fec'lel'~l Reserve System, the Federal Home Loan Bank Board, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, This statement is to the effect that the ex- emption is intended to cover "actions establishing, maint'aininc, or modifying interest, dividend, or credit rates, terms and conditions, or reserve balances, and actions involving debt issuance or management or the formulation of directives as to securitiE's or currency transactions, the execution of which is related to the implementation of effective monetary or fiscal policy." The Treasury endorses this proposed statement for the reasons ad';s.nced by these four agencies, specifically, the disruptive effect on financial markets and financial institutions of prior published notice and public participation in proposed financial regulation. I should like to add at this point that the Treasury also endorses and supports the other proposed amendments and Corrrrnittee report suggestions which the four banking agencies have jointly submitted for the Committee's attention. III. Emergency action The provision for emergency action in section 5(a)(7) ap- plies only to formal adjudication under section 5(a). However,- it should also be available in the much larger area of so-called informal adjudication covered by 5 (b), particularly if the definition of adjudication is left as broad and indefinite as it is. - 10 The Treasury Department needs to take emergency action, for example, in the administration of sectio;) 5 of the "Trading vti th the Enemy Act (50 U.S.C. App. 5). The Office of Fo~~e:1.gn Assets Con- trol must be in a position promptly to bloc}: assets in the United States from movement to proscribed areas, such as CO!Ylpnmist Cl::ina, Cuba and North Viet Nam, action Vlhich vrould be vitiated if the Office had to inform the o\Vner of the assets in advance of the "issues, facts and arguments involvec1" in the blocking action. ConseQuently, we strongly recommend that the emergency action provision be made a separate subsection of section 5. IV. Ancillary matters The Treasury recomrnends the amenQment of three of the sub- sections of section 6, in the interest of effective enforcement of criminal and revenue laws. 1. Subsection (a) on appearance provides in its second sentence that every party shall be accorded the right to appear in person or by or Vlith counsel in any agency proceeding or investigation. Since the term "party" is defined only in terms of an agency proceeding, it is' not clear Vlho must be accorded the right to appear in person or by counsel during an investjgation. If the provision means that any person \Vho is th~ subject of an investigation must be accorded the right to appear, the provision would cripple law enforcement activities where investigations must generally proceed without disclosure to the subject to investigation. person~ The testimony and even the lives of informants may be jeJpardized by the appearance in the 84 - 11 - investigation of the suspected law violator. Furtherworc, a tax- payer might argue tbat this second sentence. entitles him to be present, either personally or by counsel, c1udng questioning of witnesses 'before the Service. These results cannot have be(;n in- tended by the drafters of the lec;islation. The reference to in- vestigation in this sentence should be dropped. 2. Section 6(d) on investi8ation provides that every per- son who voluntarily or involuntarily submits data or evidence shall be entitled to retain or procure a copy or transcript thereCJf. Our objection is that this subsection OP.1its the further provision in secticm 6(b) of the APA that in a nonpublic investigatory pnceeding the witness may, for good cause, be limited to inspection of the official transcript of his testimony. The value of the present provision lies in the well lmovlD fact that a witness may vo1untarily or invohmtarily make his CJpy of the transcript available to the person under investigation, partic 11larly in a criminal investigation, and thus prejudice the Government's case. The intimidation of witnesses by prospective defendants has occurred with particularly horrible results in connection with the enforcement of the narcotics laws. At present there is no criminal statute to preclude possible intimidation of a witness at the investigative stage. In the absence of such a statute it is believed that the present restriction on furnis~iEg transcdpts to witnesses in nonpublic investigations should be preserved. 3. Section 6(g) provides a new computation of time but makes the termination dependent upon whether the last day of the period 85 - 12 .. is a holiday or half-holiday. This leaves open the question of what constitutes a holiday in the given circLUnstances. clarification provided by the Internal Reven,~lC' The CDde orl this point, 26 U.S.C. 7503, suggests th~t the cxi~~ence of a holiday or half-holiday should depend upon "There the determinative act or event occurs, in the District of Columbia or a partlcular state. Amendment of this section is reconIDlended for this purpose, The foregoing statement attempts to single out those provisions of S. 518 of particular concern to the Treasury Deps,rtment. This does not mean that vle do not share in other 8,drrdnistrative problems embodied in S. 518 vlhich Irlay be discussed by other agencies. VIe are grateful to the Committee for its attention to our statement and respectfully urge that the recommendations we have advanced be carefully considered. Attachment Recommendations for Amendment ,of S. 518 Submitted by Fred B . Smith, General Counsel, Treasury De::;-Y::l.ltm2nt To the Subcommittee on Administrative PrD,ctice and Procedure At its Hearings, !'i.l.rch 7, 1967 Definition of Adjudication Alternative 1: ing sentence: At the end of section 2(d) add the follo'tr- "Adjudication does not include the initial deter- mination which an agency is authorized by law to w3ke unilaterally on the basis of documents submitted or facts before it. It Alternative 2: Strike the last sentence of section 2(d) aJld substitute the follovTing: "'Adjudication' means agency process for the receipt and examination of evidence and argurrlent on disputed issues of law, fact or discretion,and for decision resulting in the formulation, amendment or repeal of an order. 1I Ru1emaking .Provisions In section 4(b) insert the vtords "with its consent" following the words "on its own motion or" on line 15 of page 19. In section 4(d) strike the second sentence and substitute the following sentence: "The agency may extend such emergency rule only by commencement, prior to the expiration of the original effective period, of a rulemaking proceeding dealing with the same subject matter as did the emergency rule, upon giving notice required by subsection (b) of this section, and by completing the rulemaldng proceeding wi thin a period not to exceed one year from the original date for the expiration 'Jf the emergency r ul e. " - 2 - Q 7 v I Emergency Action Omit paragraph (7) in section 5(a), insert the provisions of paragraph (7) following section 5(c) as section 5(d), and change the word "subsection" to "section" at the end of tre first sentence. Ancillary Matters "' In section 6(a) Appearance, strike the words "or investigation" at the end of the second sentence. In section 6(d) Investigations) strike the period at the end of the section, insert a comma, and add the follo\<ling clause: "except that in a nonpublic investigatory proceeding the wit!1ess may for good cause be limited to inspection of the official transcript of his testimony." In section 6(g), insert at the end thereof the following sentence: "Holiday or half holiday means a holiday or half holiday in the District of Columbia or, if the determinative act or event occurs else\-lhere, in the state in which such act or event occurs." TREASURY DEPARTMENT March 13, 1967 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY MARKET TRANSACTIONS IN FEBRUARY During February 1967, market transactions in direct and guaranteed securities of the government for Government investment accounts resulted in net purchases by the Treasury Department of $5e·5 ,355,500.00. 000 F-841 TREASURY DEPARTMENT 89 q March 13, 1967 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY DECISION ON SHOES UNDER THE ANTIDUMPING ACT The Treasury Department has determined that leather shoes from Romania, including men's and boys' of welt construction, and also shoes other than men's and boys' of welt construction, are not being, nor like~ to be, sold at less than fair value wi thin the meaning of the Antidumping Act, 1921, as amended (19 U.S.C. 160 et seq.). Notices of intent to discontinue investigation and to make a determination that no sales exist below fair value were published in the Federal Register on November 8, 1966. The notice with respect to men's and boys' shoes of welt construction stated that the termination of sales and the exporter's assurances that future sales, if any, would not be below fair value, were considered to be evidence that there are not and are not likely to be sales below fair value. The notice with respect to shoes, other than men's and boys' of welt construction stated that price revisions and the exporter's assurances that future sales would not be below fair value, were considered to be evidence that there are not and are not like~ to be sales below fair value. No persuasive evidence or argument to the contrary was presented within 30 ~s of the publication of the above-mentioned notices in the Federal Register. Customs officers are being instructed to proceed with the appraisement of this merchandise from Romania without regard to any question of dumping. Imports of leather shoes from Romania, men's and boys' of welt construction, received during the period May 1, 1964, through December 31, 1966, were valued at approximately $360,000. Imports of leather shoes from Romania, other than men's and boys' of ~elt construction, received during the period April 1, 1965, through Decem- Jer 31, 1966, were va.lued at approximately $425,000. TREASURY DEPARTMENT March 13, 1967 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY DECISION ON FUR FELT HAT BODIES UNDER THE ANTIDUMPING ACT The Treasury Department has determined that fur felt hat bodies from Czechoslovakia are not being, nor likely to be, sold at less than fair value within the meaning of the Antidumping Act, 1921, as amended (19 U.s.C. 160 et seq.). A "Notice of Intent to Discontinue Investigation and to Make Determination That No Sales Exist Below Fair Value," was published in the Federal Register on November 30, 1966, stating that, because of price revisions, and because of unconditional assurances given by the exporter that no future sales of the merchand.ise will be made to the United States at less than fair value, there were not, and were not likely to be, sales of such merchandise below fair value. The complainant submitted a written request for an opportunity to present views in person in opposition to the above-mentioned notice. The opportunity was afforded to the complainant, and all interested parties of record were notified and were represented at the hearing. All written and oral argument presented in opposition to this notice were given full consideration. Imports of the involved merchandise received during the period January 1, 1965, through October 31, 1966, were valued at approximately $332,000. TREASURY DEPARTMENT ( t RELEASE 6 :30 P.M., March 13, 1967. Lday, RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department announced that the tenders for two series ot Treasur,y one series to be an additional issue of the bills dated December IS, 1966, and ! other series to be dated March 16, 1967, which were offered on March 8, 1967, were !ned at the Federal Reserve Banks today. Tenders were invited for $1,300,000,000, thereabouts, of 9l-day bills and for $1,000,000,000, or thereabouts, of 182-da.y .1s. The details of the two series are as follows: ~sJ raE OF ACCEPl'ED rPETITIVE BIDS: High Loll' Average 91-day Treasury bills maturing June lSI 1967. Approx. Equiv. Price .Annual Rate 98.920 4.273% 98.908 4.320% 98.911 4.308% Y 182-d.ay Treasury bills maturing September 14, 1967. Approx. EqUiv. Annual Rate • Price ; --9-7.....8~S6~4.241% 97.841 4.271% 97.844 4.265% Y : 84% of the amount of 91-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted 27% of the amount of 182-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted 'AL TENDERS A?PLIED FOR AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISmCTS: listrict ,tlanta :hicago :t. Louis [inneapolis :ansas City lallas :an Francisco APE1ied For AcceEted I 20,282,000 $ 10,282,000 1,542,227,000 792,294,000 27,970,000 15,920,000 41,355,000 28,598,000 22,422,000 16,182,000 70,967,000 53,947,000 339,246,000 119,916,000 SS,8U,OOO 32,035,000 21,104,000 12,872,000 35,229,000 35,141,000 25,466,000 18,226,000 166,098,000 250,238,000 TOTALS $2,452,317,000 $1,301,511,000 \aston York )hilade1phia :leveland few 181i1oDd t =I Accepted AEElied For $ 12,509,000 # 2,,09,000 1,915,872,000 875,914,000 15,130,000 6,67.3,000 29,748,000 17,768,000 14,210,000 4,210,000 37,693,000 10,163,000 3U,107,000 41,333,000 37,171,000 11,21l,OOO 10,471,000 5,531,000 10,187,000 10,087,000 17,248,000 6,998,000 259,215,000 9,010,000 $2,670,561,000 $lJlOO1,~1,000 EI Includes 8287,108,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 98.911 Includes $.116,894,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price or 97.844 These rates are on a bank discount basis. The equivalent coupon issue yields are 4.43% for the 91-day bills, and 4.43% for the 182-day bills. F-842 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington Statement by the Honorable Henry H. Fowler Secretary of the Treasury Before the House Banking and Currency Committee Monday, March 13, 1967 10:00 a.m. Mr. Chairman, I welcome the opportunity to appear before this distinguished committee. In today's session, I hope to provide you with an overall view of the nation's general economic posture from a long range perspective as background for your legislative consideration of areas under the jurisdiction of this committee. Other committees of Congress exercise specific jurisdiction over taxes and appropriations. However, this committee must be concerned with the results of fiscal policy because of its impact on the nation's financial markets and over-all economic stability. first on the public debt. Therefore, I would like to touch Then I shall discuss recent fiscal, economic and balance of payments developments. After that I shall be glad to answer questions. Total defense costs will rise $5.3 billion in fiscal 1968. To cover these additional defense expenditures, the budget proposes that income tax payments be increased by $5.5 billion in fiscal 1968. While providing adequately for our national security overseas, the President's fiscal recommendations conserve and maintain programs underpinning economic security and opportunity here at home. Deficits Caused by Viet Nam Total expenditures for the fiscal years 1966, 1967, and 1968 are, of course, very large. However, Chart 1 shows that aside from the special costs of Viet Nam in the three fiscal years ending with 1968, we would be running large and increasing surpluses, assuming, of course, the additional resources of men, materials and production facilities employed because of F-843 - 2 - the Viet Nam conflict could be transferred to other uses in our economy and not be merely idle. In fiscal 1966, with Viet Nam costs removed, the outlays would come to $100.9 billion compared with receipts of $104.7 billion giving a surplus for that year of $3.8 billion. Even if we subtract the $1.2 billion extra revenues from the Tax Adjustment Act of 1966, which was enacted because of Viet Nam, there would still be a surplus of $2.6 billion. In the current fiscal year, 1967, we expect a jump in Viet Nam costs to $19.9 billion, which if eliminated, would yield a surplus of $10.2 billion. Again eliminating the extra revenues produced by last year's Tax Adjustment Act, $4.6 billion in fiscal 1967, we would still wind up the year with a large surplus -- $5.6 billion. The fiscal 1968 budget includes $22.4 billion in special Viet Nam costs. Were this to be eliminated, we would have a gigantic surplus of $14.3 billion. Since the new tax recommendations are being made to help finance a part of these costs we should eliminate the $5.5 billion in revenues from this source. Even after this is done, however, the surplus would still come to $8.8 billion, which would be the highest surplus in our history. These surpluses, eXCluding Viet Nam costs, are potential surpluses. They could have been used to reduce tax rates, retire debt, or possibly to undertake or expand programs that have had to be passed up or restricted because of Viet Nam requirements. - 3 - The Public Debt in Perspective The projected budget deficits resulting mainly from increased defense costs will, of course, require the Federal debt to rise. There is no question, however, of the capacity of our economy to carry the extra burden. In the first place, the Federal debt has grown at a much slower rate than the economy. From the peak of more than one and one-third times the GNP in fiscal 1946, as shown on Chart 2, the pub lie debt has steadily declined, dropping to 58% in 1960 and to 45% in 1966. will fall further to about 41% in 1968. This would compare with 51% in 1940, before the large wartime debt rise began. Federal debt ~ We estimate that it By this measure, the size of the a steadily lessening strain on the carrying capacity of the economy. While the dollar amotmt of the Federal debt was growing slowly -- and declining relative to GNP -- State and local debt and private debt of businesses and individuals was growing rapidly. As Chart 3 shows, in the 20 years since 1946 the public debt increased by 27% while the debt of other borrowers increased to between 5 to 8 times their 1946 levels. In consequence the Federal share of total indebtedness in the cotmtry, as indicated on Chart 4, declined from 58% at the end of 1946 to 29% by December 31, 1960, and was only 22% at th~ end of last year. During most of the postwar period, this relative decrease in the Federal debt enabled the private economy to expand sharply without overstraining our resources. The burden of the Federal debt on each individual has also been sharply reduced since 1946. The growth in our populntion has substantially exceeded the increase in the Federal debt and as a re~ult, dropped from $1,909 in 1946 to $l,62R In 196b. the debt per person has Adjusting the per capita q .. Vv - 4 - debt for changes in the price level, in Chart 5 we used 1957-59 dollars, the burden per capita has declined from $2,849 to $1,439 -- or almost 50 percent. Using current dollars the decline would be less than $1,000. An even more striking story is told when we relate the debt per person to income received. As shown in Chart 6 the decline in Federal debt per capita from $1,909 in 1946 to $1,628 in 1966, is contrasted with disposable income. Per capita disposable personal income -- the income left after Federal as well as State and local taxes -- rose from $1,132 in 1946 to $2,567 in 1966. In relative terms therefore, the debt has declined from 169% of disposable income in 1946 to 63% in 1966. SecondlY, while the debt burden has been decreasing relative to the economy, so has the interest burden. Despite the rise in debt and interest rates, interest on the debt as a percent of GNP declined from 2.3% in 1946 to 1.9% in 1960, and even after the sharp 1966 rise in rates is still about 1.8%. Interest on the public deht is shown relative to receipts In Chart 7. In 1946 it was 12% of receipts, rising to 16% in 1950, and in 1968 are estimated at 11%. Thus even on this least favorable basis the interest burden has declined. In terms of all these measures, it would seem that, despite the increasing total of the national debt since World War II, the nation is able to bear the present burden of the existing public debt without impairment of the private economy. - 5 - Each of these measures shows that the burden of the public debt has been reduced during the past two decades. I want to stress this trend. In terms of all these measures, it is abundantly clear that we are today well able to bear the present and prospective burden of the public debt. The Tax Burden in Perspective All Administrations since World War II have worked hard and consistently to hold down civilian expenditures and get maximum efficiency out of every dollar of Federal spending. Before the step-up of our activities in Viet Nam, these efforts were successful enough to permit substantial tax reductions in 1962, 1964 and 1965. The 1962 tax reduction included the investment credit. In 1964 the reductions in personal and corporate income taxes made cuts averaging 20%. The 1965 Act removed excise taxes on over 200 separate items. As shown in Chart 8, these tax actions resulted in saving taxpayers nearly $23 billion a year at fiscal 1968 income levels. Largely as a result of these tax reductions, Americans enjoy the lowest tax burden of any major industrial country in the world -- and this includes taxes levied at all levels of government -- Federal, State and local. As shown in Chart 9 the estimates of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development show that as a proportion of total national production, French citizens paid 38.5% in taxes; Germany, 34.4%; Italy, 29.h%; Great Rritain, 28.6%; and the U.S., 27.3%. These figures are not cited to imply that Americans are having it easy. The main purpose of the 1964 and 1965 tax cuts was to permit the private sector of our economy to flourish by alleviating the burden of high taxes. 97 - 6 - But the figures do show that we can afford to pay for our rising defense costs and keep our economy healthy. National Economic Performance The response of the National economy to these public finance po1i,cies of recent years is shown in Chart 10. In the 1955-60 period our annual rate of growth was only 2.2%, far lower than virtually all of the other major countries. 4.7%. In the 1960-65 period, it more than doubled, rising to Thus, while most of the major European countries were experiencing falling growth rates, -our own was rising to a position of leadership. The truly remarkable thing about our growth during this period was that it was achieved with the most stable price level of any major industrialized country in the world. This is shown in Chart 11. Between the 1955-60 period and the 1960-65 period, the rate of price increase in the United States declined from 2.0% to 1.3%, accompanying a tremendous rise in production. The United States continued its world leadership in growth and price stability in 1966 despite the impact of the war in Southeast Asia. As shown in Chart 12, our growth rate of nearly 5-1/2% exceeded that of all the major nations in Europe. Moreover, as shown in Chart 13, the United States had one of the best price records among the industrialized nations despite the heavy demands on the economy resulting from our activities in Viet Nam. Keeping consumer price increases below 3% under circumstances of great strail was obviously a significant achievement. - 7 The gains ln both growth and stability during the period SInce 1961 are illustrated in Chart 14. This shows that our average growth rate stepped up from 2.2% in the 1955-60 period to 4.7% in the 1960-65 period. add 1966 to that 5-year period, the growth rate reached 4.8%. improvement in price movements was also marked. If we The Thus price increases, as measured by the GNP deflator, averaged 2.6% in the 1955-60 period, but dropped to 1.4% in the 1960-65 period. Even if we add the Viet Nam year of 1966, average price increases were only 1.7% still considerably less than the 1955-60 interval. In the 18 month period from June, 1965 to December, 1966, the United States absorbed an extra $15 billion in expenditures as a result of our activities in Viet Nam. on prices. Ohviously such a burden has added to pressures In presenting his Budget a year ago, the President recognized that pressures would be great. That is why he proposed not only holding civilian expenditures at minimum levels, but also an increase in revenues through the Tax Adjustment Act of 1966. Selective fiscal restraint in the form of a $3 hillion deferment of expenditures and a suspension of the investment tax credit, was proposed and adopted later in the year. Thus, while price rises hegan to accelerate during 1966, these pressures slackened in the final months of the year. Monetary policy moved away from stringency as did fiscal policy. Last week the President recommended lifting the investment credit suspension because of the reduced pressures on the economy. Q~ V'-..J - 8 - How well the economy has performed during the first 18 months of Viet Nam compared with its performance in other l8-month periods is shown in Chart 15. During the first 18 months of the Korean conflict, consumer prices jumped 11.1%. of Viet Nam. This compares with 4.2% during the first 18 months Such an increase is unwelcome, but remarkably moderate, considering the pressures of an extra $15 billion defense expenditures during that period. The record was even better than the 18-month peacetime period, June 1956 to December 1957, when consumer prices rose 4.6%. Chart IS also compares wholesale price and wholesale industrial price movements during the Viet Nam period with earlier periods. Again, recent price performance was better than either the Korean or the non-war period. The stability of these prices is vital to the maintenance of our balance of payments position. Balance of Payments Progress I come now to the balance of payments situation which has been a source of national and international concern since the late 1950's with massive deficits and serious declines in our gold reserves in 1958, 1959 and 1960, resulting in the mounting of a diverse program to deal with the problem in 1961 which was intensified in 1963 and, again, in 1965. goal of payments equilibrium was well within sight. By mid-1965, our Since then, the Viet Nam conflict has, of course, had a significant adverse impact. Despite these extra costs, we have held our ground. balance and gold losses are shown in Chart 16. Our "liquidity" The liquidity balance treats changes in liquid-dollar holdings of private foreigners as part of the measure of our deficit. On this basis, last year's deficit was somewhat - 9 - over $1.4 billion -- roughly $100 million more than in 1965. This minor increase should be viewed against a far greater rise in direct foreign exchange costs associated with Viet Nam and an increase in indirect costs due to sharply higher imports. year. Gold losses amounted to $571 million last This was much below the $1.7 billion in 1965 which included a $259 million payment in connection with the increase in IMF quotas. Chart 17 views the "official reserves transaction" balance which places the change in private foreign holdings of liquid dollars "above the line", and focuses on official holdings of reserves. On the other hand, it includes changes in certain of our non-liquid liabilities to foreign official institutions which are not part of the liquidity deficit. On this basis, we actually showed a slight surplus of about $175 million on the basis of preliminary figures. This was the first such surplus since 1960, when we began to keep figures in this fashion. The surplus was due in large part to the tight credit situation -in the U. S. and the unsettled condition of sterling during part of the year. As a result, dollars which might otherwise have moved into foreign official reserves remained in private hands. On trade account, our surpluses declined by a little more than $1 billion in 1965 to about $3.7 billion last year. Chart 18. The trade results are shown in As you will notice, our exports continued to rise strongly more than 11 percent. by But, imports rose hy almost 19 percent primarily because of the faster pace of the economy and rising military orders. growth in imports is expected to taper off this year. The In fact, imports showed practically no change between the third and fourth quarters of last year. - 10 - 101 An improving trade balance wi 11 be very important in the advance toward equilibrium. Therefore, we are stressing the need for an early return to cost-price stability. As I have indicated earlier in my remarks, the price record in the past 18 months was a very good one, judged by previous standards. Now, the President's over-all fiscal and financial program is designed to keep the economy moving ahead steadily and safely while we make a prompt return to relative stability in our costs and prices. Much is made of the U. S. balance of payments deficits, and properly so because they are a real threat to the position of the United States as the world banker and the dollar as the leading reserve currency because of the lessening liquidity in our position. But, there is another side to this story which reflects the continued growth in our international financial strength. The fact is that while foreigners have been increasing their assets and investments in the United States, our own businessmen and to a much lesser extent, our government financial arms, have been increasing United States assets and investments abroad at a much higher rate. Chart 19, for example, shows that in 1961, the United States position abroad rose $3.5 billion while foreigners position here rose only $2.2 billion. In 1962, the United States position jumped $5.3 billion while foreigners dropped six tenths of a billion. period of the '60's. This situation has been maintained throughout the At the end of 1965 United States assets and investments abroad totaled $106.1 billion whereas foreign assets and investments in the United States added up to only $5R.9 billion. - 11 In 1961 our assets and investments abroad totaled $75.0 billion and foreign assets and investments in the United States totaled $46.9 billion. Thus between 1961 and 1965 United States assets and investments abroad rose $31.1 billion while foreign assets and invcstments in the United States grew only $12 billion. Since the dollar is vital in its use as a worldwide reserve currency, it is important that wc constantly strive to bring our balance of payments into equilibrium. Nevertheless, the United States has continued in a very strong worldwide financial position as indicated in the Chart. Mr. Chairman, this completes my statement. 00 00 00 Thank you very much. - 11 In 1961 our assets and investments abroad totaled $75.0 billion and foreign assets and investments in the United States totaled $46.9 billion. Thus between 1961 and 1965 United States assets and investments abroad rose $31.1 billion while foreign assets and investments in the United States grew only $12 billion. Since the dollar is vital in its use as a worldwide reserve currency, it is important that we constantly strive to bring our balance of payments into equilibrium. Nevertheless, the United States has continued in a very strong worldwide financial position as indicated in the Chart. Mr. Chairman, this completes my statement. 00 00 00 Thank you very much. With and Without Viet Nam Programs $Bi1. $Bil. Without Viet Nom *----...., r +8 +8 Surplus +4 +4 o -3.4 -4 Ii Deficit -8 -8 1964 1965 ~ With Viet Nom ·x- I. -12 I -4 -8.1 -8.2 1 1966 1967 1968 1-12 */nc/udes both tax and expenditure programs. Office of the Secret8J) of the Treasury 8- 215-A 134 Percent f25 Public Debt as a Percent of Gross National Product J-I. o (r 1942 Fiscal Years 1945 0/0 800 •• . .-. End of Calendar 1946 = 100 ••• .- .-. .., 700 •••• ••• •• 600 Slole and Local , •••••• •• Individual '\ ••••••• ..-... ••• •••• .....-•••~ ---"~ •• •• ,,- __ fIII" I" Office of the Secretary of the Treasury -," ", / ~ ~ 500 400 ""til" .-.- ." ,," ~Corporale ",'" 300 -,,,-200 I 100 ~ Federal \ zr~ 1946 •• •• • •• •••• ~ "~' I 1950 1955 December 31 1960 1966 I 8-1535 %of Total As % of Total 100 '-t 13 + I 32 I 60r41 40~ I ~ I-~ 58 )5 I 39 1,,~c~l~ I ~......l ---. -- ~-" .. 20~ I ~~FlJdl!ro/~~~-l 0 22 Il~ 1946 \. Office of the Secretary of the Treasury 1950 ~. 1955 December 31 1960 1966 ./ 8-1534 DOLLARS ~ 2,849 2,000 1,000 '-A ( ~=:J 0: 1955 ~---------------------June30----------------------~ Office of the Secretary of the Treasury 8-1537 PER CAPITA FE.DE.RAL DEeT AND O'£'PO~ABLE PERSONAL INCOME DOLLARS 0 10 Debt as %of Income Dollars Per Capita .12,567 2,000 1,909 I Federal Oebl* •• • •• •• .... •• 200 ••••• 1690/0 .....• ••••• awy~3m L)))wMI,628 150 100 1,000 63% 50 "-_\ o K<Y<4«Y<l«V<K«<=<Y/V~ 1946 '50 '55 '60 '66 "*June 30, each year. Office of the Secretary of the Treasury o '::) "r «"««<'VA/:<K<4«J({{«K{(({{""'"1 I94SV/'50 '55 '60 "- '66 "'Calendar years. 8-1532 % 16% 15 '~~n ::.... ..::: .... ~ ~~~~ ::11 !!!I II II ........ ...... .. :::::::::::: ....... . : : : : ::: : :: ... ........... ........... . ;.. .\ . ~i. ... ~~ ~i. n ...H . , ~~':. . . . 10 5 '. - f--' o! 1 · · 1 ... +...... 1946 l -I ..H! ........ +.HH 1950 .!.H ........ !. ...... H.. l ..... j ...... !' 1955 1960 Fiscal Years 1965 '68 ) Note: /967(Jnd '68 estimoted Office of the Secretar} of the Treasury 8-1536 Chart 8 EstLffiated Effect on Fiscal Year Receipts (Administrative Budget) of Tax Changes Since 1962 ($ billions) 1963 Fiscal years ~64:_ J.90 1966 1967 1968 Revenue Act of 1962: + 0.8 - 1. 6 - 1. 9 + 0.8 + 0.8 - 1.4 - 1. 5 -.1. 6 - 1. 7 - 1. 8 - 2.4 - 8.7 - 1. 5 + 1.0 -12.4 - 2.9 + 2.0 -14.1 - 3.2 + 2.0 -15·5 - 3.2 + 2.2 Revenue Act of 1965: Excise reduction ..... , ..... ,. - 2.2 - 3·7 - 4.l Tax Adjustment Act of 1966 Graduated withholding and increase declaration 70 to 80 percent ........................... . Acceleration of corporate payments ......•..... Excise tax increases .....•............•....... + 0.1 + 1.0 + 0.1 + 0.4 + 3.0 + 1.2 - 0.2 - 1. 3 +-1:.:...2. -17.0 -17.4 -22·9 Investment tax credit ..................•...... Other provis ions ....•......................... Depreciation guidelines of 1962 1 - 1.1 - 1. 3 - 1.4 - 2.1]11 - 1. 3 ]1 +0.8 +0.8 Revenue Act of 1964: Individuals .........................•......... Corporations ................................. . Acceleration of corporate payments .. '" ...... . Total, enacted to date ...........•..•.. I - 2.4 + 0.3 - 4.1 -ll·5 Proposed Legislation Individual ...............•..............•..... Corporation .................................. . Excises .....•.............•................... Total, enacted and proposed ............ 1 - 2.4 + 3.4 + 0.2 + 2.1 - 0.4 - 4.1 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury, Office of Tax Analysis -ll·5 -17·0 -17.2 -17.8 February 3, l~ Note: This table is presented only for nistorica1 background. Although figures for any one year are believed to be reasonably accurate approximations, with possibility of duplication, they cannot be used for estimateo of year-to-year Changes. ~ Including effect of Investment Credit Suspension Act of 1966. t-'" /--ol ;.- Total Taxes For All Levels of Government as 0/0 of GN P 0/0 0/0 40 I 38.5 140 ~ 34.4 30 20 10 1--1 - 1 29.6 V-'-'..,-'..,..,A - - - I ----------------~I 11f@f{(fflt] - I 30 20 10 II! #--A r-... N o rc 1 France Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Germany Italy U.K. o u.s. FO~422 % 0/0 71 17 6 '955-'60~1!!1-'960-~5 1 ~ .{{ :.;-:-:.; ----------------------------- 16 ~ 5~1 15 :}»>I 14 :::::::::::::::::1 :»~:>~~ nu::tm :::;:;:;:;:;:::;: :::::::: -";..- :::·:u:/]-::::::::::: L:::!:.H:i!:I----He?} ~::::: --------11 3 ;:;:::;:;:::;:;: i:::::I:::':. __-~ -------l12 ;:;:;:;:;:::;::: j>--!. ~~ ...._. t' United States France Germany (F.R.) United Kingdom *Rea/ GNPat market prices. Office of the Secretary of the Treasury FO-407-1 ' 1% %. 8I 1955-00 _11~i111960-~5 [j:j:ji~[j[ I8 61 4 2 16 ------------------~14 f - I- - - - - - - - - -----112 1f - - - - - ~ ~ ~ ii.i.!!!!!!:!·I: oI w///j::i:::i:::::::::. United States all<<4....., France r««<!'" Germany ( F.R.) V««J':-:-:-:-:-:'::-' Italy WPA':';-:i':-:::' 1 0 United Kingdom Source: OECD and Economic Report of tile Preslden! Office of the Secretary of the Treasury FO-408-4 0/0 % GROWTH GROWTH 6 6 5Y2 """ 5 5 4 4 3 :3 2 2 I~~ :--1 \J o ! V«<<aG"" "'""'"<<<'I r«<<<<<<<<4 Wff«<H<A W/P'/{///4 U.S. Ito Iy France Germany (F.R.) United Kingdom Office of the Secretary of the TredSury ! 0 FO-420 1965 to 1966 % 0/0 6 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 =;:;:::;:;:;:::;::::::::::::::::::::::::::::=::::::::::::::::1 2 :.:.:-:.:.:-:«.;-:.;:::::: . )::::):::::;:;:;\:::;j m ))::))):'2'.:9':))):)::: : :i'i': :?~·~§: ;li:!i:! ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 2 ~:~: ~:~:~:~: ~:~: ~:~:~:~:~: ~ :~:~: :::::::::;:::::::::::::::::::,: 1::::::i!::2:::3::'~:::::: ~ ~ (y-' u. s. Office of the Secretar) of the TrCdsuC) U. K. Germany France Italy FO-421 "'I~r- unvw I H AND PRICE COMPARISONS 1955 -'60, 1960-'65 and 1960-'66 % Annual Rate of Real GNP Growth Annual Rate of Price Change * 6 +4.7% 4 +4.8% I +2.6% ...........•. +2.2% 2 ~ RSR ~ ~ --...\ oI .. __ IBM IH:HHU:::y:::::m::!,:] [:,!.!.,!:::::::,:':::::UU:::::!] 1::!!::::U!:::::::mU::::U::1 1955-'60 1960-'65 1960-'66 1955-'60 1960-'65 1960-'66 *GNP Price Deflator. Office of the Secretary of the Treasury C-1I33 - Non-war - - - - - - t - Vietnam 5 --------------~I 5 +3.8% DS';';':: -" '-...J O! M?lX" r«««? t·;·:.;·:·:·:.;.:.:·:··" I 'X'¥'NS' r«««? p••••.•••••••.••••;.;.:.;,! r?OOOO9OI ["'<<ZQ ,:-:.:.;.;.;.;.;:=:=:;:-. , 0 June '50 - June '56 - June '65 - June '50 - June '56 - June '65 - June '50 - June '56 - June '65 Dec.'SI Dec:57 Dec.'66 Dec:51 Dec.'57 Dec.'66 Dec.'51 Dec:S7 Dec.~66 *All commoddies other thon form ondprocessed foods. Office of the Secretary of the Treasury C-1I32 0: AND GOLD SALES $Bil. $Bil. -41 /-4 -31- ------------------------------------------~1-3 ~~~~ :-:.;.:.;.;.:. ~;i; _ 1958 111~il_ '59 '60 ~ -2.7 -2.2 - - '61 '62 '63 *Prelimnary estimate. Office of the Secretary of the Treasury FO-417-A-1 TRANSACTIONS BASIS" AND GOLD SALES $Bil. $Bil. -31- -2 ------------------------------------------------------~1-3 Officiol Reserve Tronsocllons f-- B%nce \ -2.7 -------11 : / (Jfftes - - mm>-::!:!:l:::::!, ~<»::-!:l:::::i>:ii a;vvv.......: -1.5 -2 I-I -1.3 -1.7 -.9 : ol! ..... 0 -.I * +1 1 , 1960 '61 '62 '63 '64 '65 '66 +1 *Preliminary estimate. Office of the Secretary of the Treasury FO-416-3 SBiI.'--- \$Bil. Aid_I "nr'mports 30t--1- - Exports: Com'l 251--1- - ~ --------------------------------~130 I ;\ \ \t~\: : "·.':':-::::'f\m~~ :':1 "'" Surplus 201 3 I • • • • • • 1- 1 48 1_ 15~_1 ..O 3.3 ~~~ ::::::f}~' - ii' -125 / Ij ';0:0:';.;.1----1 ~~f r;} 15 1 ::::;:: 1:::::::::%:: 5 ols~~FU"U ~:.:::'~6~2~~'~6'3illLJI!!ILJI'-IIl~1I1J o *Prelirninory estlmote. Office of the Secretary of the Treasury FO-401- A-2 II'IVt:.::S I M~NT POSITION, 1961-'65 $BiI. $8il +10.8 +10 +8 ------------------------------~I+IO t - I- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ----------------------------------;1 r l- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - +8 +7.0 +6 +4 f-- + r l- - - - - - - Pi" In wi 3.5 +2 : : : : : : : : :~ 1::i:~~r:U:iml-11 IIf ............. 56 1: ll8S8Sl As Increase in u.s. 'Sets IJ Investme. t. / ' Abroad 1l:S ---1 +6 -----~1+4 [I I I [ I I I II r!dl f--- :.:!·!: i:·! !: o::::::::::::::::::t::::·::II~:::I:::::::::ImH:::::t:::::::~ Increase in Foreign Assetsinathe Investments ../ u.s. r 2 o -0.6 1 -2 1 19 61 '62 '63 '64 '65 1 -2 Memo: At end of1965: U.S assets and investments abroad total $1061 bl/lion. Foreign assets and investments in U.S lotol $589 billion. Source: Deportment of Commerce. Office of the Secretary of the Treasury FO-423 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington 123 STATEMENT BY THE HONORABLE HENRY H. FOWLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE HOUSE WAYS AND MEANS COMMITTEE ON H. R. 6950 TUESDAY, MARCH 14, 1967, 10 A.M. EST Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I welcome this opportunity to discuss the recommendation for reinstating the 7 percent investment credit and accelerated depreciation presented in the President's Message of March 9, 1967 and to express the Treasury's views on the bill before you, H. R. 6950. I also want to thank the Committee for the promptness with which it arranged to hold these hearings. Once again the Congress is demonstrating its ability to act speedily and responsibly to meet the requirements of sound economic policy. I favor the immediate restoration of the investment credit and accelerated depreciation. As members of this Committee are well aware, I have always been a strong exponent of the investment credit. Since its ince~tion in 1962, the credit has unquestionably made a substantial contribution to promoting high levels of investment and economic growth, and to the generally remarkable performance of our economy in recent years. F-844 - 2 - It is an essential, and should be an enduring, part of our tax system. As members of this Committee also know, I carne to the decision last September that suspension was an appropriate measure only after very careful consideration. I made clear in my testimony before this Committee, and elsewhere, that I regarded the suspension bill as a temporary measure. The suspension legislation itself emphasized the temporary nature of the suspension by providing for automatic restoration of the credit and accelerated depreciation on January 1, 1968. However, it was never my view that the January 1 date was in any way binding or immutable as a termination date. Rather, it was my full expectation that the suspension period would actually be terminated whenever economic, or other conditions made such action appropriate. As I stated before this Committee in answer to a question from Congresswoman Griffiths: "I think the expression of the date li.e., Jan. 1, 19687 is really an expression of the intent and purpose of both the President and the Congress to renew the credit when the economic circumstances and surroundings are more propitious. I don't think there is anything magic about the January 1, 1968, date or the 16 months' period. It is simply a planning period." 12~J - 3 - This view that it would be desirable, indeed obligatory, to reinstate the credit as soon as conditions warrant it, was expressed both by the President and the Congress. In his signing statement the President said: "If . . . any earlier reinstatement would be appropriate, I shall recommend prompt legislative action to accomplish that result." The reports to the Congress of both the House Ways and Means Committee and the Senate Finance Committee stated: "If military requirements in southeast Asia should decrease before January 1, 1968, or if for some other reason it should become apparent that suspension of the investment credit and suspension of the use of the accelerated depreciation methods with respect to buildings are Q£ longer necessary to restrain inflation, the Congress can promptly terminate the suspensions. The Administration has also indicated that it would recommend terminating the suspension period before January 1, 1968, under such conditions." In brief, the Administration and the Congress fully intended that the suspension of these important investment incentives should be terminated just as soon as the objectives of the suspension had been accomplished. Their objectives have been accomplished and therefore the incentives should be restored. 12b - 4 The Aim and Purpose of the Suspension In my statement before you last September, I emphasized that the suspension of the investment credit was not a revenue measure. It was an economic measure, with a limited, well defined purpose: namely, to relieve the excessive pressures that were clearly observable in the capital goods sector, which in turn were causing strains in the financial and money markets and the highest interest rates in 40 years, and depriving the homebuilding industry of needed credit availability. The suspension legislation was rot intended as an overall, across-the-board, measure of fiscal restraint. Its focal concern was specifically to curb the excessive boom in the market for capital goods. It was to do this by inducing business firms to postpone the placing of orders for -- or starting the construction of -- machinery and equipment, and commercial and industrial building. Mission of the Suspension Law Accomplished On the basis of the evidence that we have been observing, analyzing and carefully appraising, we can now state without qualification that the mission assigned to the suspension of the investment credit and accelerated depreciation has been accomplished. 12 - 5 - l!! the market for capital goods: New orders for machinery and equipment have, beginning in October, declined steadily, reaching a level in January of this year of 7 percent below September 1966. Moreover, in January shipments actually ex- ceeded orders 17 percent and this was the first month that backlogs actually fell since June 1963. The average rate at which capacity is being utilized in the machinery industry has dropped noticeably to a healthier and more efficient rate. In electrical machinery, for example, it has declined from 97 per· cent to 91.5 percent. The shortages of skilled labor are not so nearly acute today as they were last summer. And, looking ahead, the recent Survey of Investment Plans for 1967, conducted by the Department of Commerce and the Securities and Exchange Commission shows a modest increase of less than 4 percent. This is within the growing productive capabilities - 6 of our machinery industries. It is in sharp contrast to the increases of 16 percent and 17 percent which occurred in 1965 and 1966. Thus, while demand for capital goods remains at a high, even record level, it now reflects a healthy buoyancy in the capital goods industries and not the excessive, threatening, boom conditions that prevailed last summer. One important result of this favorable development is in the area of our balance of payments. During 1965 and the first three quarters of 1966, imports of capital equipment jumped by an average of 13 percent per quarter. In the fourth quarter of 1966 the rise in imports of capital equipment was only 3.9 percent and this in part reflected deliveries on orders placed in earlier quarters. There is an excellent prospect of a levelling off of imports, now that domestic producers can take care of demands. 19 the financial and money markets: A dramatic dectme in interest rates from the highest levels in 40 years has occurred. Three-month Treasury bills are down one and one-quarter percentage points, from 5.60 percent to 4.35 percent. 128 - 7 - Ten-year Treasury securities are down about seven-eighths of a percentage point. Short-term Federal agency securities are down one and three-eighths percentage points. New corporate Aa bonds are down nearly seveneighths of a point. New municipal bonds are down two-thirds of a point. The net inflow of funds to savings and loan institutions is now proceeding at a much more healthy rate. In the four months ending January, the inflow was at an annual rate of $8 billion. Last summer the annual rate of inflow was as little as $0.1 billion. Credit availability for homebuilding has improved and mortgage rates have started to come down. In October the seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts had sunk to a low of 848 thousand units; in January starts had reached one and a quarter million units ~easonally adjusted, annual rates). Corporate financial demands, while strong, are being accommodated in an orderly manner and yields are down. 1 .0:,1 \../ \ ..., - 8 Preliminary estimates suggest that for the first quarter of this year corporate issues are running below last year. This contrasts with the first three quarters of 1966 when corporate security offerings were substantially above the year earlier levels. While the situation has considerably improved in our financial and money markets, I do not want to give the impressian that further substantial easing is unwanted or unnecessary. Far from it. There is room for further declines in interest rates, in our own financial markets, and in that of other countries. I hope and expect to see those declines realized, and I expect that credit will continue to become more readily lvailable, particularly for homebuilding. In the currently improved financial market environment, I believe that restoration of the investment credit is entirely :onsistent with maintaining good balance in the financial narkets in the months ahead, and it is conistent with achieving Eurther improvement in those markets. There is the important )roviso, however, that the Federal Government's own demands Ln the credit markets must be kept within measured bounds. - 9 - In view, then, of the moderate and sustainable pace at which investment is now proceeding, and in view of the clear trend toward ease in our financial and money markets, continued suspension of the investment credit is no longer appropriate. This valuable incentive to business investment -- and the accelerated methods of depreciation -- should be restored at the earliest possible date. The bill before you provides for such restoration. Explanation of the Bill The suspension statute adopted by Congress last fall generally denies the investment credit for property ordered, acquired, or placed under construction during the suspension period. Similarly, the statute denies use of the forms of accelerated depreciation introduced into the tax law in 1954 primarily, the double declining balance and sum of the yearsdigits methods -- for real property which does not qualify for the investment credit if the construction of the property begins during the suspension period or is ordered during the suspension period. The statute defines the suspension period as the period beginning on October 10, 1966, and ending on December 31, 1967. - 10 Section 1 of H. R. 6950 amends the definition of the term "suspension period" to provide that the period terminates on March 9, 1967, rather than December 31, 1967. As a consequence, property ordered after March 9, property acquired after March 9 (except that acquired pursuant to a suspension period order), and property whose construction is begun after March 9, would qualify for the investment credit or 1954 Code accelerated depreciation under the usual rules governing those tax benefits. Section 2 of the bill amends both the investment credit and the accelerated depreciation portions of the suspension statute for property whose construction (by a self-builder or self-contractor) is begun during the suspension period, but not completed during that period. Under these amendments, the portion of the basis of the completed property attributable to construction which is performed after the suspension period, and which was not ordered during the suspension period, will qualify for the investment credit or 1954 Code accelerated depreciation, as the case may be. This section was not included in the President's recommendation for restoration of the investment credit and - 11 accelerated depreciation. It is minor in its impact, and I have no serious objection to its inclusicq if it is not to become the basis for exceptions to the operation of the suspension and its termination on the terms provided in the legislation enacted last year. If, however, it should become a basis for exceptions, I would, then, urge its removal. The general effect of the bill, then, is to restore the investment credit and accelerated depreciation for property ordered, acquired, or constructed after March 9, 1967. Relation to the Surcharge The question naturally arises as to what bearing the termination of the suspension has on the President's recommendation for a surcharge on corporate and individual income taxes. The two measures, however, are essentially quite different in design and purpose. As I have already indicated the suspension of the investment credit was not a revenue measure and had a specific and limited objective -- to dampen the excessive boom in the market for capital goods. The excessive boom is over, and there is no reason for continuing the suspension. - 12 The surcharge, on the other hand, is an overall acrosSthe-board fiscal measure designed to cope with the economic and budgetary situation as we anticipate it for the latter half of 1967 and throughout 1968. be in need~ We expect the economy to overall restraint during that period. We will certainly not want a resumption of monetary strains then either, and this will require that the Government's own demands on the credit markets be kept in bounds. The surcharge will help achieve both these major objectives. Conclusion In conclusion let me emphasize the need for prompt, favorable action on H. R. 6950. Delay will only do harm to the economy, and the more delay the more the harm. Also, let me advise strongly against any exception to the terms provided in the bill for the termination of the suspension. To make exceptions would be a serious breach of equity and impair the good faith of the Congress and the Executive Branch of the Government. TREASURY DEPARTMENT ; IMMEDIATE RELEASE INCOME TAX TREATY WITH BRAZIL SIGNED The Treasury Department today announced the signing of an income treaty between Brazil and the United States. It is the first orne tax convention between this country and a South American ntry. The treaty, signed March 13 in Rio de Janeiro, is expected to sent shortly to the Senate. If ratified this year, it will take ect January 1, 1968. It is anticipated that negotiations with several other South rican countries will be undertaken in the course of the year. Provisions of the treaty include: -- Allowance of a 7 percent investment tax credit for investment in machinery and equipment in Brazil by United States firms. The credit is modeled after the investment tax credit applicable under the United States Internal Revenue Code. The investment tax credit would be allowed under the same conditions as those applicable to the domestic investment tax credit. Consequently, this aspect of the treaty would apply only when the domestic credit is operative in the United States. The treaty limits Brazilian withholding tax to 20 percent on dividends flowing to the United States from direct investment in Brazil. The Brazilian withholding tax on interest paid to financial institutions in the United States and on royalties paid to United States licensors is limited to 15 percent. In general, other prov1s10ns of the treaty parallel prOV1S10ns in ~ tax conventions between the United States and European countries. Details of the agreement will be made public when the treaty is to the Senate for advice and consent to ratification. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington ~ ... 1 VV FOR USE IN AFTERNOON NEWSPAPERS OF THURSDAY , MARCH 16 , 1967 REMARKS OF THE HONORABLE HENRY H. FOWLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE A LUNCHEON MEETING OF THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA INDUSTRIAL PAYROLL SAVINGS COMMITTEE AT THE ST. FRANCIS HOTEL, SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA THURSDAY, MARCH 16, 1967,12:30 P.M., P.S.T. Buying and holding U. S. Savings Bonds are actions more important to our nation's economic stability today than ever before These bonds not only support our fighting men in Vietnam and our commitment to the defense of freedom throughout the world, but they strengthen our economy at home and guard against the forces of inflation. 0 In the days and months to come, all of us -- in government, in banking and finance, in industry and commerce -- must share an extra burden of responsibility in maintaining a steady economic footing while we continue to move ahead v Now, more than ever before, it is essential that we finance our debt in the soundest possible way; that we do 'all we can to place more of the debt in the hands of savers You well know that participation in the Savings Bonds program is a measurable and effective means of accomplishing both these objectives, because you -- as Savings Bond volunteers in Northern California -- have done an outstanding and admirable sales job. The following few statistics speak loudly of your accomplishments: v In 1966 your sales passed this and went on of your quota You set ne\-] savers for the same v F' u46 dollar goal was $136,600,000. You to $148,252,000, making 108.5 percent your sights on a target of 35,700 year, but you nearly doubled it -- - 2 - 137 adding 73,704 new savers for a whopping 206 percent of your goal. You have every right and reason to be proud of this accomplishment. I can tell you that your Government is proud of it. But I must also remind you that more is needed, and will have to be accomplished. Your coming sales battle will be tough. You are challenged by a 1967 sales goal of $244,600,000 and a quota of 136,500 new payroll savers. But remember: While you knock on doors, thousands of our valiant men will be wading through rice paddies and slugging it out with an elusive enemy in the jungles of Vietnam. We are giving you what we feel certain is a valuable assist in meeting this challenge: a new, attractive product. This is the "Freedom Shares," sales of which begin May 1. We have an unmatched sales organization -- all volunteers -- to put this Savings Note and the familiar Savings Bonds into the financial backstops of our Payroll and Bond-A-Month savers. Let me mention just a few: Mr. George Meany and the Executive Council of the AFL/CIO have enthusiastically endorsed our new "Freedom Shares" product. They are actively engaged in an expanded program to promote the campaign. Other volunteers are to be found in depth throughout the leadership of business and industry. Their hub of endeavor is the U.S. Industrial Payroll Savings Committee so ably directed by its Chairman, a Californian -- Dan Haughton, President of the Lockheed Aircraft Corporation. It is a pleasure to pay respect here today to Dan Haughton's distinguished service to this program. There are many others, here and elsewhere, such as Jack Countryman of California Packing Corporation, your Area Chairman, who is calling the signals for your awn important campaign. And let me mention Jim Haight, Chairman of the Board of FMC Corporation, 1966 Chairman; and Reed Hunt, Cha irman of the Board of Crown -Ze llerbach, our 1965 and 1964 Chairman. F-846 - 3 - 13~ We should also recognize the great achievement of Mr. Hornby Wasson, President of Pacific Tel and Tel whose record was 86 percent participation among 90,000 employees number one job in the whole Bell System; and Gene Treffethen, Executive Vice President of Kaiser Industries, whose record was among those above the 50 percent mark. In the various states, there also are volunteer State Chairmen for Savings Bonds drawn largely from the field of banking and finance -- like Paul Hoover, Chairman of the Board of Crocker-Citizens National Bank, who works closely with our Regional Director, Harold Stone, and our State Director, Newton McCarthy. Finally, and very important, cooperating with our volunteer State Chairmen as Honorary State Chairmen are the Governors of the States. We can not be stopped with such a team. At the outset of my remarks, I mentioned the fact we all have an extra burden of responsibility in maintaining a steady economic footing under current circumstances. President Johnson's admini~tration has taken the lead in responsible economic conduct through economic policies in the difficult and uncertain months of the recent past. I want to give you just a little background on the conduct of economic policy in the last 15 months because it is a necessary background to the understanding of our current policy stance. I think that when we are able to look back upon 1966 in historical perspective, it is quite likely that 1966 may stand out as a year when the United States economy went through one of the most remarkable adjustments of all time It witnessed a tremendous, fast-moving, surging drive of political, financial, and economic pressures which threatened to overload our economic circuits. And it witnessed the actions which were taken to meet and contain that drive to make the adjustments which averted the threat -- and to make these adjustments more smoothly, with less harm to the worthwhile directions of the total economy, than was ever the case under similar circumstances in the past. 0 In 1966 our nation faced: For one thing, a business expansion boom of historic proportions at a time of nearly full employment and utilization of industrial capacity; F-845 - 4 - 139 Second, and the result of an emergency that history will mark as a great watershed of the second half of this century, the intensification of the war in Vietnam, with all of its real and pyschological disturbances. Viewing this situation last spring, I described the outlook in the following terms: I~e have essentially two questions before us. The first is how best to shift smoothly to a lower level of real growth from the high levels of 1964 and 1965 in the current atmosphere of economic exuberance, aggravated by Vietnam. "And the second question is, once we have made this transition, how do we best sustain and employ our growth, at full employment and with stable prices 0 ••• "While we cannot expect in the years immediately ahead to maintain the unusually high growth rates of the past several years, neither can we welcome a return to the very much lower rates of growth we have had throughout much of this century.oo •.. "Our effort today -- as it was a year ago -is to try to make the transition to a sustainable rate of growth as smooth as we can, to slow down without stalling. But today the circumstances are far different than they were a year ago -- and, with the advent of Vietnam and all the uncertainties surrounding it, they are far more difficult to assess." Now, in early 1967, a very considerable part of that difficult passage has been negotiated. But we had to do battle along the way with complicating pressures that added contradictory problems to the 1966 economic scene. Excessive credit demands combined with stern but necessary monetary restraint led by early summer to unusual conditions in the money markets. A cost-be-damned scramble for credit ensued. At the very same time there was a sharply F-846 - 5 - 14u contradictory development: weaknesses in the stock and bond markets followed by weakness in vital sectors of the economy auto production, housing and consumer durables. Gnawing uncertainities were aroused by the hints in the forepart of the year that beneath the boiling surface of the economy there were congealing cool spots. When we take account of the massive size of the forces that were at work within and upon the economy last year, it appears to me that we met and passed rugged and unusual tests with dislocations that were perhaps as small as could be expected under the circumstances. A welter of argument is of course aroused by a year of such change, uncertainty and large scale developments This tends to obscure the fact that grave dangers were avoided. Even more important, it also tends to hide accomplishments. Therefore, let me recount for you, if only very briefly, some of the very great achievements of the year just past: 0 First, two achievements that influenced all the rest: -- Our gross national product increased by the extraordinary amount of some 5~ percent, after allowance for price rises. -- The already enormous productive power of the United States economy was further bolstered by a record increase in industrial capacity, reflecting, in large part, the successful use in past years of investment incentives. This added capacity, and millions of new workers added to the employed labor force,were critical to the successful transition of 1966', without them we could not have dealt successfully with the strong rise in defense and civilian production of 1966 with only about a 2 percent rise in the industrial component of the wholesale price index. Let me note, in contrast, that: industrial prices rose more than 10 percent between 1950 and 1951 under the pressure of the Korean build-up; and by more than last year's 2 percent in both 1956 and 1957 in the midst of the last sizable expansion, when no comparable defense build-up took place. F-846 14.L - 6 In this setting these further achievements were made in 1966: At home: Industrial production rose 9 percent; Net income per farm rose more than 10 percent; 2 million more workers found employment; Unemployment averaged below 4 percent; Corporate profits climbed 8 percent. And internationally: We held our own, and made some progress, in bringing our balance of payments problem under control despite the substantial increase during 1966 in our foreign exchange costs due to the war in Vietnam. Our gold loss was cut by more than 50 percent below the previous year: except for French purchases we would have added nearly $200 million of gold to our stocks. Perhaps most remarkable of all -- and as important as any other factor all this was accomplished without the imposition of those price, wage, and materials controls that have been found necessary in past similar national emergencies. There was -- and is -- a further national dividend from our experience in 1966. This is, that the fact of having met and coped with such large-scale and highly volatile problems of free enterprise at one of its moments of excess gives us confidence thdt in the future also we shall be able to deal with big, fast economic adjustments without being forced to resort to the use of controls. This new knowledge of the capabilities of the American free enterprise economy may in the end turn out to be the greatest of all our many substantial gains in 1966. For this confidence is in itself a major factor in the future successful use of moderate measures even in situations of great urgency and pressure. One of the darkest F-846 - 7 clouds that overhung events in 1966 was fear, based with good reason on past experience, that in the end we might have to suspend freedom of economic choice temporarily. Further, the knowledge gained from 1966 will permit better coordination, better timing, better foreknowledge of what is likely to happen, so that the inequities and price increases of 1966 can be much further reduced in future times of economic stress. Now for the current year: Let us note, first of all that in the coming period, as in that just past, we will be living with the Vietnam situation, with all the uncertainty and potential change that this or any other war situation ever known implies. We must live with the fact that even the most carefully considered plans may be upset by the imponderables of war until the time comes -- whenever that may be -- that this emergency cools down. Secondly, we should note that 1967 will in all likelihood witness further economic shifts and changes. These will require the most prudent handling, such as President Johnson's Budget and tax policies strive to provide. It was these considerations that led the President to say, in his Economic Message of a few weeks ago: "Our task for 1967 is to sustain further sound and rewarding economic progress while we move toward solutions for the problems we met in 1966. It will require a flexible and delicate balance of economic policies." The tax and spending programs in the President's Budget are designed to deal, flexibly and with good balance, with the economic developments that the year 1967 is expected -- now as when the Budget was issued -- to produce. In the large, this is: a first half that is sluggish by comparison to recent experience, and a second half in which the tempo picks up again. Thus, government policy is designed to be stimulative in the first half and moderating in the last half. F-846 - 8 But the first big move in the new year -- the President's recommendation now before the Congress to restore the tax incentives to investment suspended last fall -- was made not for the above reasons but to keep a promise. The view that it would be desirable, indeed obligatory, to reinstate the investment tax credit as soon as conditions warranted it, had been expressed both by the President and the Congress. In his statement upon signing the suspension legislation the President said: "If . . . any earlier reinstatement would be appropriate, I shall recommend prompt legislative action to accomplish that result." The reports to the Congress of both the House Ways and Means Committee and the Senate Finance Committee stated: "If military requirements in southeast Asia should decrease before January 1, 1968, or if for some other reason it should become apparent that suspension of the investment credit and suspension of the use of the accelerated depreciation methods with respect to buildings are no longer necessary to restrain inflation, the Congress can promptly terminate the suspensions. The Administration has also indicated that it would recommend terminating the suspension period before January 1, 1968, under such condition." In brief, the Administration and the Congress fully intended that the suspension of these important investment incentives should be terminated just as soon as the objectives of the suspension had been accomplished. Their objectives have been accomplished and therefore the incentives should be restored. On the basis of the evidence that we have been observing, analyzing and carefully appraising, we can now state without qualification that the mission assigned to the suspension of the investment credit and accelerated depreciation has been accomplished. Here is some of this evidence: F-846 - 9 - In the market for capital goods: New orders for machinery and equipment have, beginning in October, declined steadily, reaching a level in January of this year of 7 percent below September 1966. Moreover, in January shipments actually exceeded orders 17 percent and this was the first month that backlogs actually fell since June 1963. The average rate at which capacity is being utilized in the machinery industry has dropped noticeably to a healthier and more efficient rate. In electrical machinery, for example, it has declined from 97 percent to 91.5 percent. The shortages of skilled labor are not so nearly acute today as they were last summer. And, looking ahead, the recent Survey of Investment Plans for 1967, conducted by the Department of Commerce and the Securities and Exchange Commission shows a modest increase of less than 4 percent. This is within the growing productive capabilities of our machinery industries. It is in sharp contrast to the increases of 16 percent and 17 percent which occurred in 1965 and 1966. Thus, while demand for capital goods remains at a high, even record level, it now reflects a healthy buoyancy in the capital goods industries and not the excessive, threatening, boom conditions that prevailed last summer. One important result of this favorable development is in the area of our balance of payments. During 1965 and the first three quarters of 1966, imports of capital equipment jumped by an average of 13 percent per quarter. In the fourth quarter of 1966 the rise in imports of capital equipment was only 3.9 percent and this in part reflected deliveries on orders placed in earlier quarters. There is an excellent prospect of a levelling off of imports, now that domestic producers can take care of demands. F-846 - 10 - 145 In the financial and money markets: A dramatic decline in interest rates from the highest levels in 40 years has occurred. Three-month Treasury bills are down one and one-quarter percentage points, from 5.60 percent to 4.35 percent. Ten-year Treasury securities are down about seven-eights of a percentage point. Short-term Federal agency securities are down one and three-eights percentage points. New corporate Aa bonds are down nearly seven-eights of a point. New municipal bonds are down two-thirds of a point. The net inflow of funds to savings and loan institutions is now proceeding at a much more healthy rate. In the four months ending January, the inflow was at an annual rate of $8 billion. Last summer the annual rate of inflow was as little as $0.1 billion. Credit availability for homebuilding has improved and mortgage rates have started to come down. In October the seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts had sunk to a low of 848 thousand units; in January starts had reached one and a quarter million units (seasonally adjusted, annual rates). Corporate financial demands, while strong, are being accommodated in an orderly manner and yields are down. Preliminary estimates suggest that for the first quarter of this year corporate issues are running below last year This contrasts with the first three quarters of 1966 when corporate security offerings were substantially above the year earlier levels. F-846 - 11 - While the situation has considerably improved in our financial and money markets, I do not want to give the impression that further substantial easing is unwanted or unnecessary. Far from it. There is room for further declines in interest rates, in our own financial markets, and in that of other countries. I hope and expect to see those declines realized, and I expect that credit will continue to become more readily available, particularly for homebuilding. In the currently improved financial market environment, I believe that restoration of the investment credit is entirely consistent with maintaining good balance in the financial markets in the months ahead, and it is consistent with achieving further improvement in those markets. It will, of course, continue to be necessary for the Federal Government to keep its own demands in the credit markets within measured bounds. The question naturally arises as to what bearing the termination of the suspension has on the President's recommendation for a surcharge on corporate and individual income taxes. In this respect, it is necessary to note, firsc, that the two measures are quite different in design and purpose. First, the suspension of the investment credit was not a revenue measure and had a specific and limited objective -- to dampen the excessive boom in the market for capital goods. The excessive boom is over, and there is no reason for continuing the suspension. The surcharge, on the other hand, is an overall across-theboard fiscal measure designed to cope with the economic and budgetary situation as we anticipate it for the latter half of 1967 and throughout 1968. We expect the economy to be in need of overall restraint during that period We will certainly not want a resumption of monetary strains then either, and, as I have indicated, this places more than the usual bounds upon government demands. The surcharge will help achieve both those major objectives In closing let me express a debt of gratitude from Treasury to you who are doing so much in the promotion of the sale of Savings Bonds. The growing stockpile of Savings Bonds assists the Treasury materially in managing the nation's finances -maintaining a stable economy at home, and a strong economic position internationally, to back our stand for freedom in Vietnam and elsewhere in the world. F-846 - 12 The fact that so many Americans participate in the regular purchase of Savings Bonds is irrefutable and inspiring evidence of the effective energies and talents that you leaders of business, labor and industry have put into our programs to promote the buying and holding of these bonds. This has been a primary factor throughout the more than 25 years that the Savings Bonds Program has been in effect. In promoting Savings Bonds, you have contributed -- as you will be contributing again this year -- not only to the nation's economic defense, and hense its military strenght, but to its spiritual well-being in addition. President Johnson summed it up when he said, in announcing the new Freedom Shares program last month: "We can do no less than those who fight and die for our freedoms, Last year, American servicemen bought almost $350 million worth of Savings Bonds -close to $90 million in the last quarter alone. Battle honors come hard in Vietnam, because the price of honor is often the price of life. Yet in jungle and hamlet -- on shipboard and airfield -- there is one trophy that every American unit prizes. It is not the enemy's flag. It is the Minute Man Flag that symbolizes 90 percent or better participation in the Payroll Savings Plan. II 000 F-846 14r TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR USE IN AFTERNOON NEWSPAPERS OP FRIDAY, MARCH 17, 1967 REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE HENRY H. FOWLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE 14TH ANNUAL MONETARY CONFERENCE OF THE AMERICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION AT THE DELMONTE LODGE, PEBBLE BEACH, CALIFORNIA FRIDAY, MARCH 17,1967,1:30 P.M., P.S.T. A FOR A - WORLD MONETARY SYSTEM --GREATER SOCIETY OF NATIONS I am grateful for the privilege of addressing for the second time this distinguished Monetary Conference, representative of so many important nations. Last year at Granada, Spain, my emphasis was on the emergence of new opportunities to foster international economic cooperation. My message here today is that new national political decisions to realize these opportunities must be taken promptly and decisively in our community of nations to assure continued progress, security and growth. The changed circumstances in which many, rightly or wrongly, feel released from those wants and fears that once bound them solidly together are all the more reason for zealously sharing in the common responsibility for an effective world monetary system. This is not only my personal view -- should we fail to act, and act soon, to renew and strengthen international economic cooperation. My hopes -- and fears -- are widely shared in this country. As evidence, permit me to cite the following words from a Report of the Subcommittee on International Exchange and payments of the Joint Economic Committee of the U. S. Congress, issued last Fall and significantly entitled: "Twenty Years After: An Appeal for the Renewal of International Economic Cooperation on a Grand Scale." It said: F-847 - 2 - "The world is in trouble -- deep trouble -in at least five different areas of economic negotiation and policy: trade; aid to less developed countries; maintaining a balance in international payments; international monetary reform, and maintenance of stable price levels in economies marked by full employment and rapid economic growth." I can tell you that the misgivings expressed in those words are shared by many in the Congress -- and elsewhere in the United States -- beyond the circle of highly important legislators who wrote that Report. And I am sure that in many other countries also there is an upwelling of this same feeling that unless we act soon and affirmatively, we may find in a very short time that we have let pass away from us one of those tides " .... in the affairs of men which, taken at the flood, leads on to fortune ...• " All eyes focus this month and next on the Kennedy Round of trade negotiations. An early and successful outcome is vital if the nations involved are to avoid a grave risk of binding the world into sterile knots of timid, self-limiting national or regional restrictionism. Equally decisive moments are ahead for efforts to build a more effective world monetary system. Despite some shortcomings, a network of national and international arrangements has financed successfully in the last twenty years a collective economic growth and expansioo in trade and development that is a landmark in history. Indeed, while there or a halt in other areas collaboration, the field financial cooperation is activity. is much evidence of a pulling apart of established international of international monetary and flourishing at a flood tide of But there is no doubt in the minds of knowledgeable men -- public and private -- that, despite all this activity, some significant and decisive improvements are necessary if retrogression is to be avoided and continufug progress assured toward a world monetary system for a greater society of nations. F-847 - 3 - "j 4~ '...I ....___ I shall discuss three areas where improved arrangements are vital, timely and attainable: 1. National economic and financial policies designed for growth with stability, improved capital markets, and a balance of payments adjustment process that supports, rather than strains, the international monetary system. 2. A U. S. balance of payments program designed to achieve long term equilibrium in a manner that adds to rather than takes from free world security, trade, exchange and deve lopment. 3. A satisfactory means of deliberate and adequate creation of international reserves. I. National economic and financial policies designed for growth with stability, improved capital markets, and a balance of payments adjustment process that supports rather than strains the international monetary system. It has become clear that, in important parts of the Atlantic Community, there is now a problem of maintaining full employment and vigorous economic growth, and not only a problem of maintaining stable prices in the presence of full employment and rapid growth. In the United Kingdom, of course, restrictive but necessary measures have been taken to promote the objectives of sterling stability and the restoration of balance of payments equilibrium. The prospects for economic growth in Continental Europe this year fall short of the 4.1 percent annual rate consonant with the target established by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development for 50 percent growth in national product during the decade of the 1960's. F-847 - 4 Only last November, in its publication, The Observer, the OECD projected that the real growth of domestic product in OECD Europe would fall to 3~ percent this year, as compared with 4 percent in 1965 and an estimated 4 percent again last year. Now, deterioration in the economic outlook in some countries suggests that the estimate for 1967 should be scaled down from that figure. This threat of a slowdown in Europe's growth reflects many factors. Among the underlying causes are: First, as the industrial economies moved through the rapid growth payoffs of the modernization of their productive systems, resulting in large part from war reconstruction and access to larger market areas, they found in moving up to full utilization of their manpower and equipment that they were confronted by a serious problem. This problem was: how to keep their growth advancing satisfactorily without fast rising prices and without unsettling their balance of payments current accounts. Second, there was a political disinclination to employ fiscal policy, actively and flexibly, as a countercyclical weapon, or to forge an effective incomes policy. Third, caught between fear of inflation and a feeling that other policy courses were too difficult, public authorities in many European countries have largely concentrated on general monetary restraint, reflected until very recently in ever higher interest rates and tightness of credit. We need now to renew the de termina tion we expressed in the OECD in 1961 to aim -- by our individual and our collective efforts -- at not less than a 4 percent rate of economic growth in our community of nations. Despite the doubts of the timid that we could, or should, aim so high, the OEeD countries as a whole achieved a gr~th rate in the first half of the 1960's of 4.9 percent in real terms. Consequently, it is time to re-emphasize that many of our hopes rest upon a vigorously rising growth curve. It should bemderscored that a valuable weapon against inflation is rising production at stable or lower unit costs, F-847 - 5 made possible by new investment and continuous and generous outlays for education and training of the workforce. This is not to discount the active control of the supply of money and cred it as a key element in any program to achieve sustained and adequate growth with reasonable price stability. But it is designed to emphasize the importance of other related policies: Policies that promote rapidly increasing efficiency; Policies that appropriately relate government spending and the level of taxes; Policies that appropriately relate the rate of increase in government spending and the rate of economic growth. Countries that shield themselves from inflation behind a long maintained wall of interest rates so high, or a shortage of credit so great, as to unduly and persistently discourage borrowing and investment risk the danger of economic stagnation. The trouble with the stagnation cure is that, by discouraging investment and public outlays that tend to lift the productive skills of the workforce, productivity also stagnates and unit costs go up. Consequently, first among the resolves of our community :)f na t ions in 1967 - - and for the year s ahead - - mus t be a firm intent to engage in those public policies, and encourage those private policies, that promote a healthy rate of growth Jy keeping demand in balance with capacity, and raising rroductivity so as to permit both profits and wages to i.ncrease in a sustainable relationship to productivity. On :uch a tide, we can embark to greater things. Among policies that can contribute to healthy economic rowth are policies -- public and private -- tending to keep he cost of money within reason and keep credit available. t was to this end that I me t in January with several other inance ministers at the country home of the British Prime 847 - 6 Minister. We resolved there that we would, each accordi~ to conditions in his own country, aim consciously at a of monetary and fiscal policies designed to deal with inflation and the balance of payments adjustment process that would tend to keep interest rates from rising to t~ point where investment -- the goose from which all golden eggs must come is arrested. mu Moreover, it was agreed tha t economic pol icy choices in a given country should have regard to their effect in other countries. The prime example of what we were concerned about is, of course, a country with a balance of payments equilibrium or surplus which concentrates on high interest rates to restrain domestic inflation, thereby pulling in funds from the outside to add to surpluses with potentially unbalancing effects in other countries. Given this situation, the other countries affected will escalate their own interest rates as a holding operation, impose other res traints on the flow of capital, or go into a deficit. The Chequers meeting was an attempt to give effect, upon a multi-national scale, to the use of national economic policy to smooth and ease the processes of adjustment of international payments balances along the lines suggested last August by the Economic Policy Committee of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development in the very excellent Working Party Three Repor t on the Balance of Payments Adjustment Process. Only a little reflection is needed to see that if the joint and separate efforts envisaged at Chequers are successful in keeping money rates within reason generally, we will have struck a blow effective in all the directions the OECD Report suggested -- toward more efficient economies, toward better balance and more flexible and selective use of both fiscal and R10netary policies, and very specifically toward capital markets much better able everywhere to amass savings and channel funds to the points of investment needs. On the same weekend of the meeting of Finance MinisterS at Chequers there was an equally significant conference of 60 private bankers and industrialists from Europe, North America and Japan at Cannes, France under the sponsorship of the Atlantic Institute and the Business and Industry Advisory Committee of the OECD. This conference focused OIl these main points: F-847 149 - 7 - 1. The improvement of national capital markets; 2. Means of improving international linkages and capital flows; 3. The impact of government policies on capital markets. Both the Background Papers and the Recommendations opted at the conclusion of the Conference are required ading for all public officials and private persons who are the convictions stated in the opening paragraphs of ,e Recommendations: Increased investment is required to assure a rapid increase of production and productivity. With monetary stability and a high level of employment, this brings higher real wages and incomes for all. This sequence is the essence of sound economic growth. Both governments and private enterprise require ever greater quantities of investment capital as a consequence of the growth of population and the quickening pace of technical progress. At the same time OECD member countries ought to increase their flow of capital to developing countries. This growing demand for capital is not being met by comparable increases in supply. To meet the additional needs, measures must be taken to improve capital markets. Moreover, recourse must be had to more effective use of budgetary policy and adequate self-financing for public and private enterprise. The January meetings at Chequers and Cannes, as well as Ls meeting here, are encouraging illustrations of continued :ort to bring coordinated national economic and financial .icies to bear effectively so as to promote healthy >nomic growth, improved capital markets and a payments ustment process that supports rather than strains our ~ernational mone tary sys tern. - 8 - II. A U. S. balance of payments program designed to achieve long term equilibrium in a manner that adds to rather than takes from free world security, trade, exchange and development. The U. S. balance of payments, and programs designed to affect it, must be viewed in several perspectives. Whether enjoying surpluses or coping with deficits, the u. S. balance of payments adjustment process has become a key element in the political, military, diplomatic and international economic policies of the United States and of major concern to the world at large. This is true for several reasons: First, the key role of the United States in free world security, trade, exchange and economic development; Second, the important role of United States generated capital, public and private, and the business activity that flows from it, in many countries outside the United States; Third, the special position of the dollar as a reserve and transaction currency on a world wide scale, making it the keystone of the international monetary system on which free world trade and development depend. Another perspective is the long series of deficits in U. S. payments. Beginning in 1958, rising claims upon our gold stock signalled the end of the world's almost total postwar dependence upon the dollar, the increasing strength, desirability and convertibility of other currencies, and the availability of sufficient dollars in foreign official holdings to permit a shift in the mix of monetary reserves in favor of gold. The series of heavy deficits in the three years 1958-60, averaging $3.7 billion per year, on the "liquidit y " bas is, and accompanied by gold outflows averaging nearly $1.7 billion per year, signalled the need for a program to bring U. S. payments into substantial equilibrium. F-847 - 9 - JJt l Beginning in 1961 the U. S. government initiated a series of measures to reduce the deficit without disrupting trade and trave1,and without abandoning its key role in free world security and deve lopment. This effort was thrown off target by at least four developments, each transitory and somewhat unpredictable: 1. The Berlin crises with the necessary force build-up in 1961-2; 2. A sharp upswing in the levels of private foreign borrowing in 1962 and 1963; 3. A sharp increase in private capital outflows between 1962 and 1964; 4. The rapid increase in military foreign exchange costs in late 1965 and in 1966 resulting from stepped-up military operations in Southeast Asia. Despite these adverse developments the deficit, easured on a liquidity basis, fell from the average of $3.7 illion in the years 1958-60 to an average of $2.5 billion n the years 1961 through 1964. In 1965 and 1966 it as further reduced to $1.3 billion and $1.4 billion respectively. his occurred despite an increase during that time in net ilitary expenditures outside the United States because f Vietnam costs exceeding $950 million and a decrease in ur trade surplus from the peak level of 1964 by $1.9 illion in 1965 and by $3 billion in 1966. On the official settlements basis, there was an average of $0.5 billion in 1965-66, compared to $2.2 billion the preceding five years. ~ficit 1 I am not going to dwell today on the short term or measures being used to restrain or moderate private lpital flows. We are relying on them to keep our deficit Ider control during the period of our special commitments l Southeast Asia, the period required to realize the ~nefits of our long-range program. ~mporary 847 - 10 - There is already too much emphasis in public discussion on this holding opera non , tending to obscure both the existence and strategy of the long range program we are employing in the balance of payments adjustment process. That program -- for coming into, and maintaining, a sustainable equilibrium -- is essentially a long term one, aimed at solving the problem, not by a resort to restrictions or withdrawals that are damaging to free world security, trade, exchange and development, but by making use of this nation's unexampled economic strength in the context from which that strength has been derived: competitive free enterprise. The success of this strategy and program, it should be understood by all concerned here and in other countries, depends importantly on (1) an open, competitive and cooperative international economic order and (2) substantially strengthened multilateral arrangements to insure the financial viability of programs for free world security and aid to developing nations. I continue to find it necessary and relevant to emphasize to my colleagues from other countries that the way in which this nation handles its balance of payments problem depends in large measure on the cooperation it receives from other countries in the process, and upon the way in which other important financial nations act in dealing with their own domestic and international monetary problems. I find it also necessary to emphasize that this cooperation is not a rna tter of helping the U. S. deal with its problem, but a matter of enabling the United States deal with its problem without: undermining the international monetary system, subjecting that system, by unilateral action to radical and undesirable change, or withdrawing from commitments involving the security and development of others. The United States' long term balance of payments objective -- stated most simply -- is to reach and sustaw ~he degree of equilibrium necessary to preserve confidence ~n the stability of the dollar, both as a transaction and as a reserve currency. F-847 t - 11 - Our long term measures for achieving sustainable payments equilibrium are not matters for the future. They are in being as a program of action that is already showing effects. The success of this program requires, at home, general recognition, and acceptance in action, of the proposition that this is a problem requiring the attention and energy not just of the government but of both the public and private sectors, throughout the nation. Abroad, it is necessary for the realization to grow that if the United States is to carryon its balance of payments adjustment process in a constructive rather than a damaging manner, it will require not only our own action but the cooperative response of others as well. Our long range approach to our payments problem upon the following propositions: 1. The United States must continue to export Government capital for bilateral economic assistance, and ~9r contributions to multilateral development assistance institutions. 2. The United States must continue defense expenditures abroad for mutual security in the Free World. 3. The United States must continue, over time, to export private capital. This is practical; it is sensible; it is necessary. Moreover, the dividend and royalty receipts for past investments must continue to be brought home -- and in increasing amounts -- to reward the stockholder and benefit the balance of our payments. 4. The United States must continue to discharge its worldwide respons~biliti~ to the international monetary system through its reserve currency and transactions currency roles. -847 rests - 12 - In order to support continued, even though fluctuat~ governmental and private outflows, the United States wil1~_ to earn a large current account surplus to accommodate those outflows -- certainly larger than it earned in 1966 or in 1965. Industrial nations, particularly those in surplus, must assume a greater share of the burden of adjustment as well as of economic assistance. Now let me give you an outline of what our long range program includes, looking first at what is being done to increase receipts from abroad. Exports First and foremost, we must maintain levels of costs and prices necessary for a strong competitive position in world markets. In the export promotion field the Commerce Department is now engaged in a host of important and productive works which have a direct beneficial impact on exports today and provide even greater promise for tomorrow. Commencing several years ago the Commerce Department expanded its Trade Mission and Commercial Fairs Program. The figures of attendance and sales concluded demonstrate that these slow germinating efforts are now bearing excellent fruit. Information available to the business community at the Commerce Department provides a valuable index and guide to export~minded firms. Further, through the National Export Expansion Council more companies are being made aware of the opportunities available in selling abroad. The Export- Import Bank has a new red iscount £ae ility, and it is steadily streamlining its lending and guarantee programs. More needs to be done in the export field. To this end, a number of questions are being raised: Has the Govern~nt simplified its regulations -- tax and otherwise -- and its financial facilities enough? Is American business throughout the world as imaginative and aggressive as it might be? Must more be done -- perhaps directly -- to F-847 - 13 - 1 v,_ r; 'j stimulate the interest of our commercial enterprises to sell abroad? Have we done enough to compete at home, on a fair and nonrestrictive basis,with goods now imported? We must constantly ask ourselves such questions and re-evaluate the answers. Travel The President has announced that he will shortly appoint a Special Travel Task Force to recommend means by which the u. S. Government, working in cooperation with the private sector,can accelerate foreign travel here. Although the travel gap has been widening ($1.8 billion in 1966 compared to $1.3 billion in 1960), receipts from overseas visitors have doubled since 1960. A well-financed, joint Government-private sector effort can surely bring results. Foreign Portfolio Receipts By the Foreign Investors Tax Act, the United States has attempted to help make the tax treatment of investors in this country more equitable. The Treasury is now working with TIembers of the financial community to spread the realization that U. S. corporate securities are one of our nost promising export products. In the financial fie1d,severa1 countries have invested :I. portion of their reserves in longer term United States tnvestments. The yields earned by these investments in long term instruments -- purchased with varying maturities :0 provide for liquidity needs - - make them a produc tive lanner in which to carry official reserves . . nve s tmen t Inc orne We come now to a point at which our basically long range iew of our payments problem, and what we can and should do bout it, shows through in our short term program. It is a ital part of our long term payments outlook that our income rom investments abroad should steadily increase, and hould be regarded as a bulwark of long range U.S. balance f payments strength. -847 - 14 Now, let me make two points: First, our voluntary program does not seek to cut off the flow of United Sta tes private investment overseas. What we do seek is to moderate those outflows by means tMt mitigate their impact upon our international payments accounts. Second: From 1960 through 1965 American investment in Europe in manufacturing, petroleum, mining and smelting enterprises has averaged $2.7 billion annually. By and large, fixed investment expenditures were more than covered by direct outflows of funds from the United States, retained earnings and depreciation allowances. Financing from foreign sources has covered only working capital requirements. u. S. contributions to European prosperity in the form of new plant have come basically from the U. S. On an overall basis, there is no reason why local funds should not finance part of the fixed investment as well as local working capital needs. On a world -wide basis, plant and equipment expenditures overseas came to $6.2 billion in 1964,and 39 percent of it was financed directly from the U. S. Retained earnings and depreciation allowances approximately financed the remainder. The gross figure for 1967 may come to $10 billion, with the amount directly financed from the United States less than 30 percent, so that the net direct investment outflow figure should be no higher than it was in 1964. Improving Foreign Capital Markets Increased efficiency of foreign capital markets is a vital ingredient in the successful working of the international adjustment process -- which is in essence what I have been discussing. The need for this development is dramatically illustrated by several facts. Between 1958 and 1965 t~ , United States was a net exporter of capital in the amount 0; billion as a result of foreign issues on the domestic market less domestic issues abroad. In the same perioo F-847 15,1 - 15 the Common Market countries were net importers through security issues, and indeed on overall capital accounts had a net influx of almost $1 billion. In these 8 years these EEC countries were running surpluses on current account amounting to $13.5 billion. Thus, in that case, not only was there a failure to export capital, but imports of capital were defeating the balance of payments adjustment process. The importance of the issue need not be dramatized to this audience. Nor do I have to point out that great strides forward are not taken quickly. Nevertheless many forces are working in the direction of freer and larger markets, and results indicated by one index, the volume of international issues, increased substantially. Local markets too have participated in this expansion and, perhaps more importantly,financia1 interests, both government and private in developed nations,seem to want to move in this same direction. Efforts are underway to improve the gathering of savings and the efficient employment of these funds in improved and freer capital markets. This is responsibility in the private area exactlyana1ogous to responsibility inthe world of public economic assistance and mutual security. Moderating Foreign Exchange Costs of our Overseas Commitments. Better Burden Sharing The determination of the share a nation should bear in helping to meet the economic assistance requirements of the less-developed world and the security requirements of our community of nations requires difficult and continuous decisions on a host of issues. These issues cannot be resolved solely on the basis of domestic resources or budgetary considerations. I believe the Asian Development Bank represents the kind of burden-sharing necessary if the industrial nations are, together, to promote economic progress in the 1ess-devSoped world in the decades ahead. The Bank has capital of nearly a billion dollars, of which $200 million came from Japan, $200 million from the United States, $415 million from other regional donors, and $150 million from Western Europe and Canada. F-847 - 16 While no absolute prec~s~on is suggested in the relationship of these numbers, they reflect a realization on the part of many nations that they have responsibilities that they must meet them, and that the United States should' not and cannot bear the whole burden, or even a majority of it any longer. We will be asking the Congress this year for new funds for the Inter-American Development Bank, the International Development Association, and the Asian Development Bank. In making each request, we have asked and will continue to ask our selves: (a) What are other donor countries contributing? (b) How aggressively have the institutions in question attempted to borrow in the capital markets of other donor countries? (c) What are the recipients doing, through self-help efforts, to utilize the money efficiently? (This is one of their key roles in "burden-sharing. ") (d) What safeguards are the institutions providing for donor countries that may from time to time be in balance of payments difficulty themselves? In another area, AID is making a diligent effort, through progressively-refined tying techniques, to ensure that our overseas economic assistance is provided, to the greatest extent possible, in the form of U. S. goods and services. Net dollar outflows on government grants and capital have been reduced from $1.1 billion in 1961 to an estimated $736 million in 1966. In addition there is increasing effort to make sure that Government-financed exports do not substitute for commercial exports that would have been purchased in any event. In the long term this should contribute substantially to the development of commercial markets. the military side, we are seeing now the difficulties that ensue when alliances, although effective militarily and politically, lack viable financial formulations. On F-847 - 17 This cannot happen again, and our long-range program involves a maj or effort to see that it does not. Between 1961 and 1965 net military foreign exchange expenditures were reduced from $2.5 billion to $1.6 billion despite the Bprlin Cris is build up. In 1966) because of Vietnam, the gap widened again. But even without Vietnam the burden on the United States balance of payments from its contribution to international security could be large. The United States has vast resources -- we have been and are willing to utilize them freely in the defense of freedom -- but the foreign exchange problem adds complications. Improved Financial Arrangements Ways must be found to neutralize these foreign exchange costs. Alliances which rest on important political, social, economic and military plans should not be made vulnerable because foreign exchange financing problems have not been resolved. We should be able -- indeed we must find ways to work constructively with our allies on forms of mltilateral financial arrangements designed to neutralize the foreign exchange consequences of the locations of our troops and those of our allies. The arrangements should be long term and provide financial viability to our alliances. Discussions now under way between the United States, the United Kingdom and the Federal Republic of Germany designed to work out security and financial arrangements in a trilateral setting may point the way to designs that could embrace other multilateral arrangements. Looking back over the elements of the U. S. long range program for balance of payments adjustment, it can be fairly stated that its realization would, as I have indicated it should, support, rather than strain, the healthy working of the international monetary system and free world security, trade, exchange and development. F-847 - 18 III. A time for decision on contingency planning for adequate international reserves Whatever may be our resolves in favor of economic growth, whatever else we may do to make more rational use of the economic resources available to us, however we may strive to improve the processes of adjustment of our international payments balances, whatever we may do to share more equitably the tasks of defending the peace and encouraging the processes of economic growth beyond our own borders, all our good resolves and all our efforts can be frustrated for lack of adequate growth in world reserves. Yet, the facts are that: During the past two years the traditional processes by which world reserves are increased have not yielded a growth of liquidity; Such inadequate growth of reserves as has occurred in the past two years was due to ad hoc, uncontrolled and impermanent special tactors, that cannot be projected to the future. Only one conclusion can be drawn from this picture of prevailing uncertainty as to the future of reserve growth through presently available processes, and that conclusion is the heart of my message to this international monetary conference: We can no longer take continued reserve growth for granted. Consequently, since we want our economies to continue to grow at healthy rates, there is no time to waste before we agree upon new means for adding to the world's ability to increase monetary reserves. We should therefore make it our conscious aim to arrive at agreement, in our negotiations during the next few months, on the structure and major provisions of a contingency plan for reserve creation, a plan sufficiently developed to be presented for approval to the Governors of the International Monetary Fund when they meet at Rio de Janeiro in September. F-847 -19 - If we take a conservative view of the time that would be required after IMF action to attain ratification by the legislatures of the scores of nations that would be parties to such a plan, the machinery could not come into being for about a year. Whether that is, or is not, an adequate time schedule for getting the machinery in place to make the creation of a new reserve asset a practical possibility depends upon the course of events. Let me make it entirely clear that I am talking about the need to complete and approve contingency planning for reserve creation, and not about the activation of the machinery we agree upon. Agreement on the plan would in itself be reassuring to the markets. But the uncertainties surrounding the future growth of reserves, with the means now a hand, are so great, while the need for increased liquidity to finance a continued healthy growth in our domestic economies and in world trade is so certain, that the desirability of having new means available to create reserves, for use when needed, has become uncontestable and current. I want to examine this need for agreed-upon facilities for keeping the growth of world liquidity consonant with world economic growth against the background of the principal arguments that have been advanced for delay. Before that, however, let me say that one of the most compelling reasons for current agreement upon a contingency plan for reserve creation is the fact that it would lay to rest the malaise that now afflicts the international system as it contemplates a growing world confronted by increasing uncertainty about the future adequacy of reserves F-847 -20 - We must attribute to the current uncertainty as to how new reserves are to be supplied to the international monetary system in the future the suggestions heard recently that the official price of gold be increased. This suggestion is regarded by the great preponderance of financial and economic opinion as undesirable, inequitable and impractical. By official statement, the United States has made it unequivocally clear that the price of gold will not exceed what it has been since 1934 -- $35 an ounce -- and that any suggestion to the contrary -- either to meet needs for additional international liquidity or for any other reason -is completely unacceptable to the United States. One of the principal causes of the drift, that I noted at the outset of these remarks,away from the processes of international economic collaboration and liberalization and in the direction of national and regional restrictionism must also be attributed at the root to uncertainty as to whether, in the future, mechanisms will exist that will dependably supply liquidity when needed. Such agreement would serve the very important purpose of giving assurance that we shall be able in the decades ahead to complete and extend the great work of world economic and social betterment of the past two decades marked by the growth of international economic cooperation, trade liberalization and return to currency convertibility. Finally, let me just state plainly a plain truth: All countries wish to increase their reserves This is not possible unless the total of reserves increase. The following are the disagreeable implications of that plain truth: In a situation in which reserves are not increasing and in which it is not clear how or how much they can increase in the future, it is only possible for some countries to F-847 -21 increase their reserves at the expense of losses by other countries. In an international competition designed to gain reserves, C01.:.ntries rely upon defensive beggar-thy-neighbor measures that restrain international trade and investment, and domestic growth. It is difficult to see how, in these circumstances, there can be any question as to the need for an agreed contingency plan for adding to world reserves when and as needed. The idea that the United States looks to reserve creation as a means of solving balance of payments deficits ours or any other country's -- is false. The obvious fact is that such abuse of the new asset would quickly weaken, and soon destroy, its usefulness as a monetary reserve. It should be abundantly clear to all that we would not seek the means to create reserves only to destroy the usefulness of the new assets. Let me restate our position: First, we seek a way for the nations of the world to supplement monetary reserves with a deliberately created asset in order to be able to deal with the world's real and demonstrable need for additional reserves, when and to the extent that need makes itself evident. This would of course be the global need. Second, we seek the means for doing this upon the basis of the informed and responsible judgment of the monetary and financial authorities, arrived at through due deliberations of the members of the International Monetary Fund, with appropriate consideration for the responsibilities of the principal capital-generating nations. Third, as I have indicated in the foregoing section of these remarks, we are striving for agreement on contingency plans for reserve creation in the context of an insistent program -- long term and short term -- for curing our balance of payments deficit that is achieving its objectives, excepting for the time being, the abnormal and impermanent foreign currency costs of the war in Vietnam. Our balance of payments program must for the present make use of short term measures to compensate for the foreign exchange cost of Vietnam, so long as they persist. The problem of arriving at a sustainable payments equilibrium position now lies chiefly in a transition to long term from short term measures for dealing with our foreign exrhange balances. F-847 - 22 - We look~ in this matter, to our own program for balancing ~)ur fore ign exchange cos ts - - and to such improvements in international financial arrangements as better capital markets, fairer burden sharing and better adjustment processes Reserve creation is a necessity above, beyond and separate from the payments ~roblem. It is sometimes asserted that the very existence of P. S. balance of payments deficits implies increases in world reserves, and that, therefore, so long as we have deficits) another means for increasing reserves would be redundant and perhaps even harmful. The facts are the following for 1965 and 1966: The traditional means for increasing reserves -chiefly additions to world monetary gold and additions to foreign exchange held as reserves other than by special transactions -- resulted in a decline of just over $1 billion ~n world reserves. There was a modest growth of reserves in these two most recent years, amounting to about $2.5 billion all told, but this was due entirely to special transactions, largely to special borrowing from the IMF, swap arrangements, conversions by the United Kingdom of dollar investments into dollar reserves and other special factors. In considering the implications of current developments for the future of reserve growth, it should be kept in mind that much of the reserve growth of the past two years resulted, as I have just indicated, from borrowings of various kinds. These will be -- indeed, are being -- repaid. As they are repaid, existing reserves are cancelled out. Also in considering the future prospects for reserve growth by the means presently at hand, it must be asked, what has happened recently to the traditional sources of reserve increases? First, the flow of gold into official reserves, which averaged ralf a billion dollars a year in 1960-64, has stopped. In 1965, official reserves got only a quarter of a billion dollars additional gold. In 1966, gold in official hands actually declined -- perhaps by as much as $100 million -for the first time in modern history. F-847 - 23- Second, it must be asked, why did not continued dollar balance of payments deficits increase reserves, even though we did not get gold additions? The answer lies in the fact that conversions of dollars into gold have more than offset dollar additions to official reserves in the past two years. To the extent that dollars are used to draw down our gold stocks, world liquidity is decreased. This happens because our reserves are in the form of gold. Consequently, when France -- to mention the chief, but not only purchaser of U.S. gold -- uses some of its dollar reserves to purchase our gold, Fren~h reserves remain the same in amount although changed in form, but our reserves decline, and consequently, total world reserves are diminished. It cannot be said that current circumstances altogether rule out any further growth of reserves through traditional processes. But that is not the point. The point is that the reserve needs of the world -- including the need to reverse the long downtrend in the reserves of the United States -- will substantially exceed any such remaining flexibility that traditional reserves can provide. We should not -- indeed, must not wait to set up the machinery for creation of a new reserve asset. The time to do so is now, this Spring and this Summer. The technical experts of the Group of Ten and the IMF have labored long and, to their everlasting credit, have corne up with the main provisions of the technical solution to the problem. There are only a few major issues yet to be treated. Their work will be embodied in reports to be issued later this year. It is our hope, expectation and position that.at the Annual Meeting of the International Monetary Fund ~n September of this year the Governors will approve the structure and major provisions of a specific plan. F-847 - 24What is needed now is simply the realization that the time of need is not far off, and the political will to assemble the parts of the solution that lie before us, and agree upon the assembled whole as a contingency plan. There are very serious risks, should we permit the doubts of one or two governments to keep the rest of uS from doing what we know should be done. We have noted, in an earlier portion of these remarks, an assessment of the nature of those risks. We have glimpsed their potential for world economic, social and political trouble. Let me conclude this part of our discussion with a statement of what it is that we seek. We seek to assure ourselves -- and the rest of the world -- that when in the course of our economic and social growth we have need of reserves as an essential base for international finance in all its aspects we shall not have to retreat into stale and timid and destructive restrictionism, for want of means to make liquid reserves available. We seek an open, competitive, fruitful world economy, made up of open, competitive and fruitful national economies, as the indispensable means that will permit us, and the rest of the world, to get on with the work of building, upon the basis of our individual better societies, a Greater Society of Nations. 000 F-847 15S TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR USE IN AFTERNOON NEWSPAPERS OF WEDNESDAY, MARCH 15, 1967 REMARKS OF THE HONORABLE HENRY H. FOWLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE A LUNCHEON MEETING OF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA INDUSTRIAL PAYROLL SAVINGS COMMITTEE AT THE AMBASSADOR HOTEL, LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA WEDNESDAY, MARCH 15, 1967,2:00 P.M., P.S.T. When President Johnson announced our new "Freedom Shares" less than a month ago, he set off a new surge of energy in the campaign for buying and holding u.S. Savings Bonds. This surge is needed, because this year the Savings Bonds program is more important to our economic stability than ever. There is today an impelling need for a greatly stepped up bond program to help finance the Vietnam War in the soundest possible way, and to promote a healthy, stable economy. The bond program, with your help, has done well in the past year. Holdings of Savings Bonds now stand at a record high of more than $50 billion. But sales this year must be even larger. And with the addition of the "Freedom Shares," which President Johnson has called "a cheerful companion" to the regular Savings Bonds, the bigger sales and holding figures will be reached. We all bear special responsibilities, in the context of the special conditions of 1967, for a high level of responsible economic conduct. One facet of this, as I have just indicated, will be found in a new and more urgent application of your time, talent and energy to Savings Bonds sales assisted by the availability of an attractive new product -- the Savings Note. But we will also need special care and responsibility on the part of all to pick our way successfully through the changeable economic terrain we expect to encounter this year. F-848 - 2 - 159 I want to discuss the prospects with you, but to understand better where we are going, we must first look back to where we have just been. I think it is likely that 1966 may stand out in historical perspective as a year when the United States economy went through an economic adjustment that was both remarkable and significant. The year witnessed a large scale, fast-moving drive of political, financial, and economic pressures which threatened to overload our economic circuits. And it witnessed a series of actions which were taken to meet and contain that drive, more smoothly, with less harm to the worthwhile directions of the total economy, than was ever the case under similar circumstances in the past. In 1966 our nation faced: For one thing, a business expansion boom of historic proportions at a time of nearly full employment and utilization of industrial capacity; Second, and the result of an emergency that history will mark as a great watershed of the second half of this century, the intensification of the war in Vietnam, with all of its real and psychological disturbances. Viewing this situation last spring, I described the outlook in the following terms: "We have essentially two questions before us. The first is how best to shift smoothly to a lower level of real growth from the high levels of 1964 and 1965 in the current atmosphere of economic exuberance, aggravated by Vietnam. "And the second question is, once we have made this transition, how do we best sustain and employ our growth, at full employment and with stable prices .... F-848 - 3 - "While we cannot expec t in the years immediately ahead to maintain the unusually high growth rates of the past several years, neither can we welcome a return to the very much lower rates of growth we have had throughout much of this century .... "Our effort today - - as it was a year ago -- is to try to make the transition to a sustainable rate of growth as smooth as we can, to slow down without stalling. But today the circumstances are far different than they were a year ago -- and, with the advent of Vietnam and all the uncertainties surrounding it, they are far more difficult to assess." Now, in early 1967, a very considerable part of that difficult passage has been negotiated. But we had to confront along the way complicating and contradictory problems. Let me give you an idea of the contrariness of economic events as seen from the policy maker's seat: Excessive credit demands combined with stern but necessary monetary restraint led by early summer 1966 to demands for credit in which the cost of money seemed at times not to matter to many borrowers. But simultaneously there was a sharply contradictory development: weakenesses in the stock and bond markets followed by weakness in vital sectors of the economy -- auto production, housing and consumer durab1es. The surface of the economy was boiling. But hints kept coming in that the boiling surface concealed congealing cool spots below. One of the outstanding products of such a year is bound to be a welter of controversy. So far as 1966 is concerned this conceals two highly important facts: first, that grave dangers were avoided, and, second, that there were solid accomplishments. Therefore, I want to take a few moments to look beneath the currently boiling surface of controversy to the inside story of what really happened in 1966. F-848 "' 6'.L .1 - 4 First, two overall achievements that made all the rest possible: Our gross national product increased by the extraordinary amount of some 5~ percent, after allowance for rising prices. The already enormous productive power of the United States economy was further bolstered by a record increase in industrial capacity, reflecting, in large part, the successful use in past years of investment incentives. This added capacity, and millions of new workers added to the employed labor force, were critical to the successful transition of 1966; without them we could not have dealt successfully with the strong rise in defense and civilian production of 1966 with only about a 2 percent rise in the industrial component of the wholesale price index. Let me note, in contrast, that: industrial prices rose more than 10 percent between 1950 and 1951 under the pressure of the Korean build-up; and by more than last year's 2 percent in both 1956 and 1957 in the midst of the last sizable expansion, when no comparable defense build-up took place. In this setting these further achievements took place in 1966: At home: Industrial production rose 9 percent; Net income per farm rose more than 10 percent; 2 million more workers found employment; Unemployment averaged below 4 percent; Corporate profits climbed 8 percent. F-848 - 5 - And internationally: We held our own, and made some progress, ~n bringing our balance of payments problem under control despite the substantial increase during 1966 in our foreign exchange costs due to the war in Vietnam. Our gold loss was cut by more than 50 percent below the previous year: except for French purchases we would have added nearly $200 million of gold to our stocks. And now I come to something that, in my opinion, cannot be too strongly emphasized: Perhaps most remarkable of all -- and as important as any other factor -- all this was accomplished without the imposition of those price, wage, and materials controls that have been found necessary in past similar national emergencies. There was -- and is -- a further highly significant national dividend from our experience in 1966. This is, that the fact of having met and coped with such large-scale and volatile problems of free enterprise at one of its moments of excess, without resort to heavy handed measures and despite the advice of many to be heavy handed, gives us confidence that in the future also we shall be able to deal with big, fast economic adjustments v.Jith"ut departures from the context of free enterprise. This new knowledge of the capabilities of the American free enterprise economy may in the end turn out to be the greatest of all our many substantial gains in 1966. For this confidence is in itself a major factor in the future successful use of moderate measures even in situations of great urgency and pressure. Further, the knowledge gained from 1966 will permit better coordination, better timing, better foreknowledge of what is likely to happen, so that the inequities and price increases of 1966 can be much further reduced in future times of economic stress. F-848 16 . /, . .J \.,1 - 6 - Now for the current year: Let us note, first of all that in the coming period, as in that just past, we will be living with the Vietnam situation, with all the uncertainty and potential change that this or any other war situation ever known implies. We must live with the fact that even the most carefully considered plans may be upset by the imponderables of war until the time comes -- whenever that may be -- that this emergency cools down. Secondly, we should note that 1967 will in all likelihood witness further economic shifts and changes. These will require the most prudent handling, such as President Johnson's Budget and tax policies for 1967 strive to provide. It was these considerations that led the President to say, in his Economic Message of a few weeks ago: "Our task for 1967 is to sustain further sound and rewarding economic progress while we move toward solutions for the problems we met in 1966. It will require a flexible and delicate balance of economic polic ies ." The tax and spending programs in the President's Budget are designed to deal, flexibly and with good balance, with the economic developments that the year 1967 is expected now as when the Budget was issued -- to produce. In the large, this is: a first half that is sluggish by comparison to recent experience, and a second half in which the tempo picks up again. Thus, government policy is designed to be stimulative in the first half, and moderating in the last half. But the first big move in the fiew year -- the President's recommendation now before the Congress to restore the tax incentives to investment suspended last fall -- was made not for the above reasons but to keep a promise. The view that it would be desirable, indeed obligatory, to reinstate the investment tax credit as soon as conditions warranted it, had been expressed both by the President and the Congress. In his statement upon signing the suspension legislation the President said: F-848 - 7 "If .... any earlier reinstatement would be appropriate, I shall recommend prompt legislative action to accomplish that result." The reports to the Congress of both the House Ways and Means Committee and the Senate Finance Committee stated: "If military requirements in Southeast Asia should decrease before January 1, 1968, or if for some other reason it should become apparent that suspension of the investment credit and suspension of the use of the accelerated depreciation methods with respect to buildings are no longer necessary to restrain inflation, the Congress can promptly terminate the suspensions. The Administration has also indicated that it would recommend terminating the suspension period before January 1, 1968, under such conditions." In brief, the Administration and the Congress fully intended that the suspension of these important investment incentives should be terminated just as soon as the objectives of the suspension had been accomplished. Their objectives have been accomplished and therefore the incentives should be restored. On the basis of evidence that we have been observing, analyzing and carefully appraising, we can now state without qualification that the mission assigned to the suspension of the investment credit and accelerated depreciation has been accomplished. Here is some of this evidence: In the market for capital goods: New orders for machinery and equipment have, beginning in October, declined steadily, reaching a level in January of this year of 7 percent below September 1966. Moreover, in January shipments actually exceeded orders 17 percent and this was the first month that backlogs actually fell since June 1963. F-842, - 8 The average rate at which capacity is being utilized in the machinery industry has dropped noticeably to a healthier and more efficient rate. In electrical machinery, for example, it has declined from 97 percent to 91.5 percent. The shortages of skilled labor are not so nearly acute today as they were last summer. And, looking ahead, the recent Survey of Investment Plans for 1967, conducted by the Department of Commerce and the Securities and Exchange Commission shows a modest increase of less than 4 percent. This is within the growing productive capabilities of our machinery industries. It is in sharp contrast to the increases of 16 percent and 17 percent which occurred in 1965 and 1966. Thus, while demand for capital goods remains at a high, even record level, it now reflects a healthy buoyancy in the capital goods industries and not the excessive, threatening, boom conditions that prevailed last summer. There is an important result of this development in the area of our balance of payments. During 1965 and the first three quarters of 1966, imports of capital equipment jumped by an average of 13 percent per quarter. In the fourth quarter of 1966 the rise in imports of capital equipment was only 3.9 percent and this in part reflected deliveries on orders placed in earlier quarters. There is an excellent prospect of a levelling off of imports, now that domestic producers can take care of demands. In the financial and money markets: A dramatic decline in interest rates from the highest levels in 40 years has occurred. Three-month Treasury bills are down one and one-quarter percentage points, from 5.60 percent to 4.35 percent. Ten-year Treasury securities are down about seven-eights of a percentage point. Short-term Federal agency securiti~s are dawn one and three-eights pertentage po~nts. - 9 New corporate Aa bonds are down nearly seven-eights of a point. New municipal bonds are down two-thirds of a point. The net inflow of funds to savings and loan institutions is now proceeding at a much more healthy rate. In the four months ending January, the inflow was at an annual rate of $8 billion. Last summer the annual rate of inflow was as little as $0.1 billion. Credit availability for homebuilding has improved and mortgage rates have started to come down. In October the seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts had sunk to a low of 848 thousand units; in January starts had reached one and a quarter million units (seasonally adjusted, annual rates). Corporate financial demands, while strong, are being accommodated in an orderly manner and yields are down. Preliminary estimates suggest that for the first quarter of this year corporate issues are running below last year. This contrasts with the first three quarters of 1966 when corporate security offerings were substantially above the year earlier levels. While the situation has considerably improved in our financial and money markets, I do not want to give the impression that further substantial easing is unwanted or unnecessary. Far from it. There is room for further declines in interest rates, in our own financial markets, and in that of other countries. I hope and expect to see those declines realized, and I expect that credit will continue to become more readily available, particularly for homebuilding. F-848 - 10 - . .·6-" t , In the currently improved financial market environment, I believe that restoration of the investment credit is entirely consistent with maintaining good balance in the financial markets in the months ahead, and it is consistent with achieving further improvement in those markets. It will, of course, continue to be necessary for the Federal Government to keep its own demands in the credit markets within measured bounds. The question naturally arises as to what bearing the termination of the suspension has on the President's recommendation for a surcharge on corporate and individual income taxes. In this respect, it is necessary to note, first, that the two measures are quite different in design and purpose. First, the suspension of the investment credit was not a revenue measure and had a specific and limited objective -- to dampen the excessive boom in the market for capital goods. The excessive boom is over, and there is no reason for continuing the suspension. The surcharge, on the other hand, is an overall across-the-board fiscal measure designed to cope with the economic and budgetary situation as we anticipate it for the latter half of 1967 and throughout 1968. We expect the economy to be in need of overall restraint during that period. We will certainly not want a resumption of monetary strains then either, and this will require that the Government continue to watch its own demands on the credit markets. The surcharge will help achieve both these major ob j e c t i ve s . It is clear that in the 1967 setting buying and holding U.S. Savings Bonds are actions more important to our nation's economic stability than ever before. These bonds not only support our fighting men in Vietnam and our commitment to the defense of freedom throughout the world, but they strengthen our economy at home and guard against the forces of inflation. Now, more than ever before, it is essential that we finance our debt in the soundest possible way; that we do all we can to place more of the debt in the hands of savers. F-848 - 11 You well know that participation in the Savings Bonds program is a measurable and effective means of accomplishing both these objectives, because you -- as Savings Bond volunteers -- have done an outstanding and admirable sales job. We are giving you what we feel certain is a valuable assist in meeting this challenge: a new, attractive, product. This is the "Freedom Shares," sales of which begin May 1. We have an unmatched sales organization -all volunteers -- to put this Savings Note and the familiar Savings Bonds into the financial backstops of our Payroll and Bond-A-Month savers. They include: Mr. George Meany and the Executive Council of the AFL/CIO have enthusiastically endorsed our new "Freedom Shares" product. They are actively engaged in an expanded program to promote the campaign. Other volunteers are to be found in depth throughout the leadership of business and industry. Their hub of endeavor is the U. S. Industrial payroll Savings Committee ably directed by its Chairman, a Californian -- Dan Haughton, President of the Lockheed Aircraft Corporation. Many others, such as Jim Haight, Chairman of the Board of FMC Corporation, 1966 Chairman; and Reed Hunt, Chairman of the Board of Crown-Zellerbach, our 1965 and 1964 Chairman. Mr. Hornby Wasson, President of Pacific Tel and Tel whose record was 86 percent participation among 90,000 employees -number one job in the whole Bell System; and Gene Treffethen, Executive Vice President of Kaiser Industries, whose record was among those above the 50 percent mark. The volunteer State Chairmen for Savings Bonds, drawn largely from the field of banking and finance -- men like Harold Stone, our Regional Director, and our State Director, Ne\v ton tvfcCarthy. - 12 I have left to the last, because he is the Chairman for this area, mention of Tex Thornton. It is my pleasure to pay tribute here today to his distinguished participation in the effort to increase investment in Savings Bonds. He is the kind of man who makes things go. With a 1966 sales dollar goal of $192 million, you sold $205 million in the Southern California area -- reaching 107 percent of your quota and marking the first time that your sales results had gone over the $200 million mark in the 11 counties of your area. Your 1966 target for new savers was 62,000. Instead you added 130,000 new savers, more than double your goal. Our country needs these new savers, and these individuals themselves are fortunate indeed in having embarked on a program of systematic savings. In 1967 you are challenged here in Southern California, by a goal of $244,600,000 Savings Bonds sales -- and of adding 136,500 new payroll savers to your lists. With Tex Thornton calling the signals, I have no doubt you will do it. Let me close with these remarks by President Johnson, when he announced the new "Freedom Shares" program last month: "We can do no less than those who fight and die for our freedoms. Last year, American servicemen bought almost $350 million worth of Savings Bonds -- close to $90 million in the last quarter alone. Battle honors come hard in Vietnam, because the price of honor is often the price of life. Yet, in jungle and hamlet -- on shipboard and airfield -- there is one trophy that every American unit prizes. It is not the enemy's flag. It is the Minute Man Flag that symbolizes 90 percent or better particpation in the payroll Savings Plan." F-848 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT March 15, 1967 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $2,300,000,000, or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing March 23,1967, in the amount of $2,305,959,000, as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) to be issued March 23,1967, in the amount of $I., 300 ,000,000, or thereabouts, representing an additional amount of bills dated December 22,1966, and to matureJune 22, 1967, originally issued in the amount of $1,006,055,000, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182-day bills, for $1,000,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated March 23, 1967, and to mature September 21, 1967. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, March 20, 1967. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury ve~artment, Washington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. up Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth ir. such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. F-849 - 2 - Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on March 23, 1967, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing March 23, 1967. Cash and exchange tender will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained ft, any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT March 16, 1967 IN ANSWER TO INQUIRIES: In response to requests for comment on the further reduction of the British bank rate, announced today, the U. S. Treasury said that it welcomed this additional move in the direction of lower interest rates, as further evidence of improvement in Britain's international financial position. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington IMMEDIATE RElEASE FRIDAY, MARCH 17,1967 F-850 The Bureau of Customs announced today prelimina~! figures on imports for consnmption of the following commodities from the beginning of the respective quota periods through March u, 1967: : Un it of :Imports as 0 f : _co_m_rn_o_di_t_Y_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _.;.....P_e.-r_i_o_d_an_d--:,Q'_llan_t_i_t.:,.y__ -_-=..::.!S.uanti ty : March 4, 1967 1'a.ri:f-Rate Quotas: tI • • • • • • Calendar year 1,500,000 Gallon ,vhole Milk, fresh or sour •• Calenjar year 3,000,000 Gallon CreA.Jll, fresh or sour Cat':,}e" 700 1bs. or :tIore ea~~j - (o:"he:- than dairy $ •••• .,"" ••• 0 396,u97 Jan. 1, 1967 - ........ 0 C:;.ttle, less thai 200 lbs. each •••••••••••••• 0 • • • • • • 31, 1967 120,000 Head 1966 200,000 Head Cal£:ndar year 24,883,313 Mar. 12 mos. from Ap.:-il 11 ?'ish, fresh or frozen, fi1- lctei, etc., cod, h~jdock, hake, pollo~k, cusi, and ro 38 fi 5 h "(: ~ ••••••• " ••• e q 011 Pound Quota fillec¢/ announced Pound 10,797 ,877 Du,OOO,OOO (~uot~ filled filled fi.lled To be Tuna Fish •• " •••••••••• ,.. (j • e or Irish potato~s: Cer"ti fied seei •••••• " •••• Other ••••• Calendar year ~~ite ., Sept. 15) 1966 LS,ooo,OOO 84,000,000 Pieces ~uota 0 •• 0.0 ••••• No'l. 1, 1966 Oct. 11, 1967 ••••••••••••••• ~ Calendar year 1,}30,00(' Number .L, •••••••• 0 •••••• Calendar year 2,L60,GOO Number 1, 1.3 ~ , 1//}./ 0 ea • • • • • • • • I) •• Knives, forks, an,d SPOO:lS 1,rith st'3.inles3 steel handles ••••••• ~i~Jhiskbrooms Other brooms QUl)t~ Pound Ponnd 12 mns. from ' 26 r:'.),4) SL'l./ ----------------------,-----------------------------fer ~/ Ir::p')l't;:; con3~~iiptio;) at the quota rate ::tre lim.i ted to 5,220,828 pounds iuring t~e first? months of r,he c:liendar year. ~I D Imports:1s of March 10, 1967. TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington IHMEDIATE RELFASE FRIDAY, MARCH 17, 1967 F-851 The Bureau of Customs h~s announced the following preliminary figures showing the imports for consumption from JanuarJ 1, 1967, to March U, 1967, inclusive, of commodities under quotas established pursu~t to the Philippine Trade Agreement Revision Act of 1955: Commodity Suttons ••••••••• Established Annual Quota Quantity S10,OOO : Unit of Quantity =Imports as of :March U, 1967 Gross 25,234 1,860,690 •••• o ••••• 120,000,000 Number Coconut oil ••••• 268,800,000 Pound 6,000,000 Pound 1,9u3,446 3,900,000 Pound 301,100 Ci~ars Cordage •••••••• 0 Tobacco ••••••••• Qu ota filled ...........U!L1.L.I-I..L l!. ~~ FRIDAY, MARCH 17, 1967 F-852 Preliminary data on imports for consumption of cotton and cotton waste chargeable to the quotas established by Presidential Proclamation No. 2351 of September 5, 1939, as amen1ed, am. as modified by the Tariff Schedules of the United StAtes which became effective August 31, 1963. (The country designations in this press release are those specified in the appeniix to the Tariff Schedules of the Uni ted States. There is no political connotation in the use of outlooded names.) COTTON (other than linters) (in pounds) Cotton urrler 1-1/8 inches other tha.1'l rough or harsh umer 3/4" Imports September 20. 1966 - March 13. 1967 Cmll1try of Origin Egypt and Sudan •••••••••••• Peru. ••••••••••••••••••••••• In1ia and Pakistan ••••••••• China •••••••••••••••••••••• Mexico ••••••••••••••••••••• Brazil ••••••••••••••••••••• Union of Soviet .30cialist Republics •••••• Al' gentina •••••••••••••••••• H~.i ti ..................... . Ecuador •••••••••••••••••••• V ~ Established Quota 783,816 247,952 2,003,483 1,370,791 8,883,259 618,723 Country of Origin Imports 50,4~ 11,241 475,124 5,203 237 9,333 11 ~I ~ Established Quota Honduras •••••••••••••••••••• Paragu~ •••••••••••••••••••• Colombia •••••••••••••••••••• Iraq •••••••••••••••••••••••• British East Africa ••••••••• Indonesia and Netherlands New Guinea •••••••••••••••• British w. Indies ••••• ~ ••••• Nigeria ••••••••••••••••••••• British W. Africa ••••••••••• Other, including the U.S •••• Except Barbados, Bermuda, Jamaica, Trinidad, a.n:i Tobago. Except Nigeria and Ghana. Cotton 1-1/8" or more Established Yearly Quota - 45.656.429 1bs. Imports August 1. 1966 - March 13. 1967 Staple Length 1-3/8" or more 1-5/32" or more and under 1-3/St' (Tanguis) l-l/St' or IOOre and umer 1-3/St' Allocation 39.590,778 Imports 31,295,569 1,500,000 120,625 4.565,642 4,130,101 752 871 124 195 2.240 71,388 21,321 5,377 16,004 Import~ COTTON WASTES (In pounds) COTTON CARD STRIPS made from cotton having a staple of less than 1-3/16 inches in length, COMBER WASTE, LAP WASTE, SLIVER WASTE, AND ROVING WASTE, WHETHER OR NOT MANUFACTURED OR OTHERWISE ADVANCED IN VALUE: Provided, however, that not more than 33-1/3 percent of the quotas shall be filled by cotton wastes other than comber wastes made from cottons of 1-3/16 inches or more in staple length in the case of the following countries: United Kingdom, France, Netherlands, Switzerland, Belgium, Germany, and Italy: Country of Origin Established TOTAL QUOTA Total Imports Sept. 20, 1966, to _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _~_ _ _ _ _ _~:~M~~~c~h~1~3u,~1~9W United Kingdom •••••••••••• Canada •••••••••••••••••••• France •••••••••••••••••••• India and Pakistan •••••••• Netherlands ••••••••••••••• Switzerland ••••••••••••••• Belgium ................... . Japan •••••••••.••••••••••• China ..................... . Egyp t ••••••••.••.••••••••• Cuba •••••••••••••••••••••• Germany ••••••••••••••••••• Ita ly ......••.•...•....... 4,323,457 239,690 227,420 69,627 68,240 44,388 38,559 341,535 17,322 8,135 6,544 76,329 21,263 34,048 67,453 31,583 16,058 5,482,509 149,142 Established 33-1/3% of futa1Qoota Imports Sept. 20, 1966 toM~~~,~~ 1,441,152 34,048 75,807 31,583 22,747 14,796 12,853 25,443 7,088 Other, including the U. S. 11 Included in total imports, column 2. Prepared in the Bureau of Customs. F-852 1,599,886 65,631 1/ TREASURY DEP AR'lNENT Washington IMMEDIATE RELEASE FRIDAY, MARCH 17, 1967 F-853 The Bureau of Customs announced today the following preliminary figures on imports entered for consumption under the absolute import quotas provided for in section 12.71, Customs Regulations, for coffee grown in nonmember countries of the International Coffee Organization for 12-month period beginning November 15, 1966. COFFEE (Green - In pounds) Country Established Quota Total Imports as of Mar. 13, 1967 Bolivia 1,850,800 967,121 Guinea 1,454,200 QUo ta filled Liberia 2,511,800 1,535,640 Paraguay 2,644,000 Yemen 1,850,800 110,628 BasketY' 6,610,000 1,529,099 11 Basket quota allocated to unlisted nonmember countries and to listed nonmember countries after respective quota filled. NOTE: Honduras and Kenya are now members of the International Coffee Organization. Therefore, Honduran and Kenyan coffee is no longer subject to quota. TREASURY DEPARTMENT FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE RICHARD O. LOENGARD, JR. RECEIVES TREASURY AWARD Richard O. Loengard, Jr., who is leaving the Treasury Department today to resume private law practice as a partner with Strasser, Spiegelberg, Fried, and Frank, of New York City, has been awarded the Department's Meritorious Service Award by Secretary of the Treasury, Henry H. Fowler. During the past 2~ years Mr. Leongard has been Special Assistant for International Tax Affairs to Stanley S. Surrey, Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Tax Policy. Mr. Loengard has also been Deputy Tax Legislative Counsel for International Tax Affairs in the Office of the Tax Legislative Counsel. Mr. Loengard received his award from Assistant Secretary Surrey, who cited Mr. Loengard's work in helping to formulate the Treasury Department's legislative proposals leading to the Foreign Investors Tax Act of 1966, his work on Interest Equalization Tax legislation, and his participation in negotiations between the United States the United Kingdom, and France on international income tax treaties. The award citation said: "He .•.. was able with perceptive insight and remarkable patience, to keep coordinated the many strands of concept and doctrine that ran through those activities." Mr. Loengard, 35, attended Phillips Exeter Academy, completed undergraduate work at Harvard College in 1953, and received a law degree from Harvard Law School in 1956. He is a member of the American Bar Association. Mr. Loengard, a native of New York City, is married to the former Janet Sara Senderowitz, of Allentown, Pennsylvania. They have a daughter, Maranda Cecilia. ~-854 000 STATEMENT BY THE HONORABLE HENRY H. FOWLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SENATE FINANCE COMMITTEE ON H. R. 6950 MONDAY, MARCH 20, 1967, 10 A.M., EST Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I welcome this opportunity to discuss the recommendation for reinstating the 7 percent investment credit and accelerated depreciation presented in the President's Message of March 9, 1967 and to express the Treasury's views on the bill before you, Ho Ro 6950. I am very appreciative of the promptness with which you and the House Ways and Means Committee arranged to hold hearings on this important matter. The Congress is once again demonstrating its ability to act speedily and responsibly to meet the requirements of sound economic policy. I favor the immediate restoration of the investment credit and accelerated depreciation. As members of this Committee are well aware, I have always been a strong exponent of the investment credit. Since its inception in 1962, the credit has unquestionably made a substantial contribution to promoting high levels of investment and economic growth, and to the generally remarkable performance of our economy in recent years. -'17I P _ - 2 - 0·0 The investment tax credit is an essential, and should be an enduring, part of our tax system. As members of this Committee also know, we came to the decision last September that suspension was an appropriate measure only after very careful consideration. I made clear in my testimony before this Committee, and elsewhere, that I regarded the suspension bill as a temporary measure. By providing for automatic restoration of the credit and accelerated depreciation on January 1, 1968, the legislation itself emphasized its temporary nature. However, it was never my view that the January 1 date was in any way binding or immutable as a termination date. Rather, it was my full expectation that the sus- pension period would actually be terminated whenever economic, or other conditions made such action appropriate. As I stated before the House Ways and Means Committee last September in answer to a question from Congresswoman Griffiths: "I think the expression of the date Li.eo, Jano 1, 1968/ is really an expression of the intent and purpose of both the President and the Congress to renew the credit when the economic circumstances and surroundings are more propitious. I don't think there is anything magic about the JanU8y.y 1._. 1968, date or the 16 months' period. It is slmply a planning period. rt - 3 - And again, as I stated before this Committee last October in response to a question from Senator Williams: "The Administration will be alert to any change in the situation and will be prepared to recommend terminating the suspension period before January 1, 1968, if a change in circumstances makes that at all possible, and I would hope that the Congress would, in turn, be willing to entertain such a reconnnendation o " This view that it would be desirable, indeed obligatory, to reinstate the credit as soon as conditions warrant it, was expressed both by the President and the Congress o In his statement upon signing the investment credit suspension the President said: "If any earlier reinstatement would be appropriate, I shall recommend prompt legislative action to accomplish that result." 0 • 0 The reports to the Congress of both the House Ways and Means Committee and the Senate Finance Committee stated: "If military requirements in southeast Asia should decrease before January 1, 1968, or if for some other reason it should become apparent that suspension of the investment credit and suspension of the use of the accelerated depreciation methods with respect to buildings are no longer necessary to restrain inflation, the Congress can promptly terminate the suspensions. The Administration has also indicated that it would recommend terminating the suspension period before January 1, 1968, under such conditions." - 4 In brief, then, the Administration as well as the Congress fully intended that the suspension of this important investment incentive should be terminated as soon as it became apparent that the conditions giving rise to the suspension no longer prevailed. It is now clear that those conditions necessitating suspension are no longer prevalent and the investment credit should be restored. The Reason for the Suspension In my statement before you last October, I emphasized that the suspension of the investment credit was not a revenueproducing measure. It was an economic measure, with a limited, well defined purpose: namely, to relieve the excessive pressurel that were clearly obser,.Table in the capital goods market, which were compounded cf enlarged military demands superimposed on a vigorous expansion of civilian business investment. In turn, these pressures were causing strains in the financial and money markets resulting in the highest interest rates in 40 years, and depriving the homebuilding industry of needed credit availabilityo The suspension legislation was not - 4 In brief, then, the Administration as well as the Congress fully intended that the suspension of this important investment incentive should be terminated as soon as it became apparent that the conditions giving rise to the suspension no longer prevailed. It is now clear that those conditions necessitating suspension are no longer prevalent and the investment credit should be restored. The Reason for the Suspension In my statement before you last October, I emphasized that the suspension of the investment credit was not a revenueproducing measure. It was an economic measure, with a limited, well defined purpose: namely, to relieve the excessive pressures that were clearly observable in the capital goods market, which were compounded of enlarged military demands superimposed on a vigorous expansion of civilian business investment. In turn, these pressures were causing strains in the financial and money markets resulting in the highest interest rates in 40 years, and depriving the homebuilding industry of needed credit availabilityo The suspension legislation was not - 5 - intended as an overall, across-the-board, measure of fiscal restraint. Its focus was specifically concerned with curbing the excessive boom in the capital goods sector and alleviating credit tightness. It was to do this by inducing business firms to postpone the placing of orders for -- or starting the construction of -- machinery and equipment, and commercial and industrial building. Su~ension Law no Longer Justified On the basis of the economic evidence that is available to us, which I can assure you we have prudently and carefully appraised, we can now affirm that the special conditions giving rise to the suspension legislation no longer exist, and therefore the investment credit and accelerated depreciation should be restored. Here is some of this evidence: In the market for capital goods: New orders for machinery and equipment have, beginning in October, declined steadily, reaching a level in January of this year of 7 percent below September 1966. Moreover, in January shipments actually ex- ceeded orders and the order backlog fell for the first time since 1963. - 6 The average rate at which capacity is being utilized in the machinery industry has dropped noticeably to a healthier and more efficient rate. In electrical machinery, for example, it has declined from 97 percent to 9105 percent o The shortages of skilled labor are not so nearly acute today as they were last summer. And, looking ahead, the recent Survey of Investment Plans for 1967, conducted by the Department of COlnrnerce and thp Securities and Exchange Commission shows a modest increase of less than 4 percent. This is within the growing productive capabilities of our machinery industries. It is in sharp contrast to the increases of 16 percent and 17 percent which occurred in 1965 and 1966. Thus, while demand for capital goods remains at a high, even record level, it now reflects a healthy buoyancy in the capital goods industries and not the excessive, threatening, boom conditions that prevailed last summer. - 7 One important result of these developments is seen in the area of our balance of £~ent~o During 1965 and the first three quarters of 1966, imports of capital equipment jumped by an average of 13 percent per quarter. In the fourth quarter of 1966 the rise in imports of capital equipment was only 3.9 percent and this in part reflected deliveries on orders placed in earlier quarters. The current prospect of a levelling off of imports, now that dJmestic producers can take care of demands, is excellent. A dramatic decline in interest rates from the highest levels in 40 years has occurred. Three-month Treasury bills are down one and three-eighths points, from 5.60 to 4.240 Ten-year Treasury securities are down more than one full point. Short-term Federal agency securities are down one and seven-eighths points. New corporate Aa bonds are down three-fourths of a point. New municipal bonds are down seven-tenths of a point. - 8 - The net inflow of funds to savings and loan institutions is now proeeeding at a much more healthy rate. In the four months ending January, the inflow was at an adjusted annual rate of $8 billion. Last summer the annual rate of inflow was as little as $0.1 billion. Credit availability for homebuilding has improved and mortgage rates have started to come down. In October the seasonally adjusted annual rate of private housing starts had sunk to a low of 848 thousand units; in the first two months of this year starts (seasonally adjusted, annual rates) averaged nearly one and onefifth million units. Corporate financial demands, while strong, are being acconnnodated in an orderly manner and yields are down. Preliminary estimates suggest that for the first quarter of this year corporate issues are running below last year. This contrasts with the first three quarters of 1966 when corporate security offerings were substantially above year earlier levels. - 9 -' While the situation has considerably improved in our financial and money markets, I do not want to give the impression that further substantial easing is unwanted or unnecessary. Far from it. There is room fo'+ furthe'r declines in interest rates, in our own financial markets, and in the financial markets of other countries. Particularly, there is room for the recent welcome declines in rates on short-term Treasury issues to spread to other types of securities and borrowing rates. I hope and expect to see those declines realized, and I expect that credit will continue to become more readily available, especially for homebuilding. In the currently improved financial market environment, I believe that restoration of the investment credit is entirely consistent with maintaining sound balance in the financial markets in the months ahead, and it is consistent with achieving further improvement in those markets. There is the important proviso, however, that the Federal Government's own demands ~n the credit markets must be kept within measured bounds. In v~ew, then, of the moderate and sustainable pace at which investment is now proceeding, and in view of the clear trend toward ease in our financial and money markets, -wcontinued suspension of the investment credit is no longer appropriate. It is incumbent upon us, therefore, to restore the credit to the normal, long-run role it is designed to fulfill in the tax structure. Relation to the Economic Outlook and the Surcharge The termination of the suspension of the investment credit, of course, restores some incentive to investment that was inoperative during the suspension period. I do not, however, consider that such action is being taken for the purpose of stimulating the economy. Rather, I view it as simply restor- ing to its normal, functioning role what is essentially an integral part of the permanent tax structure, which, whenever reimposed would have a stimulating effect. We are, of course, undergoing some adjustment downward from the hectic pace of advance that characterized the economy during much of 1966. This was only to be expected, and it was expected in the analyses and fiscal program presented by the Administration earlier this year. But it is also my expectation that due to factors such as a levelling of inventory investment at a sustainable rate, a rising level of - 1'1 consumer buying and recovery in homebuilding -- reflecting the basically expansionary impact of current fiscal and monetary policy -- the pace of activity is expected to step up by the second half of 1967. Nevertheless, we will continue our close watch on economic developments just as we have been doing right a10ngo The question naturally arises as to what bearing the termination of the suspension has on the President's recommendation for a surcharge on corporate and individual income taxes. The answer essentially is that the two measures are quite different in design and purpose. As I have already indicated, the suspension of the investment credit was not a revenue measure. and limited objective It had a specific to dampen the excessive boom being experienced last year in the market for capital goods. The excessive boom is over, and there is no reason for continuing the suspension. - 12 The surcharge, on the other hand, is an overall acrossthe-board fiscal measure designed to cope with the economic and budgetary situation and outlook as we anticipate it for the latter part of 1967 and throughout 1968, assuming the implementation of the President's other recommendations and the continuation of hostilities on their current scale in southeast Asia. We will want to reduce our budgetary deficits in fiscal 1968 from the projected levels of fiscal 1967 if the economic outlook permits. We will certainly not want to risk a "resumption of monetary strains and a return to higher interest rates then either, and this will require that the Government's own demands on the credit markets be kept in bounds. The surcharge will help achieve these objectives. Explanation of the Bill The suspension statute adopted by Congress last fall generally denies the investment credit for property ordered, acquired, or placed under construction during the suspension period. Also, the statute denies use of the forms of accelerated depreciation introduced into the tax law in 1954 -- primarily, - 13 the double declining balance and sum of the years-digits methods -- for real property, not qualifying for the investment credit, if the construction of the property began during that period. The statute defines the suspension period as the period beginning on October 10, 1966, and ending on December 31, 1967. The law prescribes 11 exceptions from these general rules, allowing the investment credit or accelerated depreciation to property orde~ed, acquired, or constructed during the suspension period if various conditions are met. It also permits each taxpayer a $20,000 exemption for investment credit purposes and a $50,000 exemption for accelerated depreciation purposes. Section 1 of H. R. 6950 amends the definition of the term "suspension period" to provide that the period terminates on March 9, 1967, rather than December 31, 1967. As a con- sequence, property ordered, acquired, or placed under construction after March 9 would qualify for the investment credit or 1954 Code accelerated depreciation under the usual rules governing those tax benefits. - 14_ Section 2 of the bill as passed by the House makes two further changes in the suspension statute enacted last fall. First, for the original rule disqualifying property altogether for the investment credit or accelerated depreciation if construction was begun during the suspension period, this section would substitute a rule denying the credit or accelerated depreciation only for that portion of the basis of property which is attributable to construction during the suspension period. For example, where a taxpayer began construction of a building during the suspension period but did not complete it during the period, he would be permitted to elect the 1954 Code methods of accelerated depreciation for the portion of the basis of the building attributable to construction performed after the close of the suspension period. Secondly-- and of much wider application -- section 2 would delete the provisions of the original suspension statute which disqualified property for the investment credit or accelerated depreciation by reason of orders placed during the suspension period. - 15 It would allow a full credit or accelerated depreciation for all property delivered after the suspension period regardless of when the property was ordered. The bill, thus, does not restore the investment credit on the terms provided by the original suspension legislation. Rather, it retroactively grants the credit to many taxpayers who would, because of their involvement in stipulated activities during the suspension period, be ineligible for the credit under the existing law. This is not in accord with the President's recommendation, which called simply for early termination of suspension but no other change in the terms of the suspension law. In not following the President's recommendation, the bill seems to me to cause inequitable treatment of those taxpayers who did refrain from placing orders or starting projects during the suspension period. They have lost their place in their suppliers' line and have foregone profits from the early use of new equipment. I would prefer a bill which would simply carry out the President's - 16 recommendation restoring the investment credit on the terms provided by the original suspension legislation. Conclusion In conclusion, I believe delay at this stage may produce uncertainties that would only be harmful to the economy. Therefore, I emphasize the need for prompt action on terminating the suspension. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT IR REL&ASE 6:30 P.M., Illciq, }.larch 20, 1967. , RESULTS OF TREASURY'S 'WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Departaent announced that the tenders for two series of Treaaur.r Us, vne series to be an additional issue of the bUla dated Decaaber 22, 1966, ,d the other series to be dated March 23, 1961, whioh were offered on ){arch 15, 1967, re opened at the Federal Reserve Banke today. Tenders ore invited for $1,300,000,000, thereabouts, of 91-day bills and for $1,000,000,000, or thereabouts, of 182-dAy Us. The details of the two series are a8 follows: 91-day Treasury bi11s ... turi~ June 222 1967 Approx. !quiv • Annual Rate Prie. HUE OF ACCEPl'ED IlPETITIVE BIDS: High 98.911 98.959 98.963 tow Aver&ge 4.071% 4.118% 4.102% : : 182-ds.y' Treasury bills ..turins se;etember 21a 1967 Price 97.988 97.968 97.915 Y .lpprox. Equiv. .lImul Rate 3.980% 4.019% 4.. 005% Y 42% of the amount of 91-day bUls bid for at the 1011' price was accepted 57% of the 8lI.ount ot 182-day bills bid tor at the 1011' price was accepted ~AL TENDERS APPLIED FOR AND ACCEPTED BY FEDIRAL RESERVE DISTRICTS: listr1ct 'oston n York hUade1phia leve1and 1chmond tlanta tlicage ~. Louis lDneapolia lJlSas City Lllll Franois co 111 'ro'lALS Applied For 23,134,000 1,690,851,000 25,948,000 39,745,000 18,046,000 &:J,918,OOO 331,013,000 163. 1 ],'.000 lcceEted 12,634,000 894,190,000 13,848,000 30,877,000 12,046,000 33,065,000 129,557,000 41,568,000 21,485,000 33,833,000 11,458,000 59.fxn.OOO $2,494,915,000 $1,300,164,000 • 54,~,ooo 28,739,000 35,913,000 23,258,000 For $ 13,416,000 1,576,585,000 14,793,000 13,029,000 10,333,000 33,049,000 294,444,000 24,519,000 10,183,000 10, 500 J 000 11,852,000 Applied • !I Acee,eted 3,416,000 $ 814,435,000 4,943,000 ll,437,OOO 4,333,000 1l,372,OOO 72,507,000 11,929,000 6,883,000 10,450,000 6,809,000 195,216,000 ..4l..6.J 6, (0) $2,208,039,000 $l,OOO,l)O,CXX> EI mcludes $292,798,000 noncompetitiTe tenders accepted at the &Terage price of 98.963 meludts $1l2,115'000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the aTerage price ot 97.975 The.1 rates are on a bank discount balis. The equiTalent lJoUPOft issue yie1da art ~.21% for the 91-day billl, and 4.16% tor the 182-da1 billllG - 855 TREASURY DEPARTMENT = March 20, 1967 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE The Treasury Department's Cost Reduction-Management Improvement Program is expected to yield an estimated record saving of over $130 million for the 12 months ending June 30, 1967. The estimated total of $130.5 million in savings, and avoided costs, expected for this fiscal year is described in detail in a semiannual cost reduction progress report which the Department has submitted to the President. The savings estimates include $50.5 million from improvements in the internal operating functions of the Department, and $80 million from improvements in fiscal operations. The $80 million benefit from improvements in fiscal operations represents cost avoidance derived mainly from the effects of earlier availability and steadier flow of funds resulting from accelerated collection and deposit of revenue liabilities of businesses and individuals 0 000 F-856 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR RELEASE ON DELIVERY REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE JOSEPH W. BA.RR UNDER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AT THE NATIONAL INSTALMENT CREDIT CONFERENCE OF THE AMERICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION CONRAD HILTON HOTEL, CHICAGO, ILLINOIS WEDNESDAY, MARCH 22, 1967,10:15 A.M., CST (Delivered by Edward P. Snyder, Director, Office of Debt Analysis) THE GUARANTEED STUDENT LOAN PROGRAM How to finance a college education for their children is a very common problem of concern to growing millions of American families. I am sure that many of you here share a personal, practical interest in this subject. I also have a strong feeling, if I can persuade you that the allocation of some of the resources of your banks to the guaranteed student loan program makes sense, that we will jointly have made a significant contribution to a solution to a basic problem in our soc ie ty. In inviting me to address this National Instalment Credit Conference, Charly Walker said two things: First, this is a highly important group of bankers from an operational viewpoint for the guaranteed student loan program. Second, it is probably the most outspoken group of bankers as regards the unprofitability of student loans under the present program and in existing money markets. - 2 - 1, a....: \,J .... J This gathering, therefore, provides a peculiarly appropriate forum for a discussion of the program, and for some comments on what we in Government are prepared to do to see that the program will work, and why we believe this is so important. As a Treasury official, I have most frequently addressed my remarks to the great subjects of the United States' posture in its balance of payments, its economic outlook, its system of taxation, and its monetary policy. These are inextricably tied up with our level of education. Compared with the rest of the world, our most significant national advantage probably lies in our educational level -the so-called technological and management gap which so disturbs our competitors around the world. Education is closely allied with our economic outlook. As the Council of Economic Advisers pointed out in its recent annual report, some studies indicate that over one-fifth of our economic growth in the past 3 or 4 decades can be. directly attributed to education, and perhaps another fifth can be attributed to the general advance of knowledge. If education lifts us all to a higher level of real income, some of the most basic assumptions of tax policy may have to be re -examined. Finally, a highly affluent society with a high level of education is surely a society that will use to the fullest the credit resources that are available in this nation. In emphasizing these economic consequences, I am well aware that the most significant end-product of education is a rise in our level of civilization -- an increase in our capacities to elevate the quality of our lives. So, in speaking on a subject which may seem somewhat o~t of the mainstream of the usual Treasury interest, I am address1ng a basic issue affecting our current and potential national economic power. I also am speaking about a subject that directly involves my current responsibilities and yours. The stakes are big and our goal is big: to assure that every student accepted for enrollment into college will be able to meet the costs of his college education. - 3 This will take a concerted effort by all of us believe that the guaranteed student loan program is a fundamental part of this program. and r To achieve our goal -- and by 1972 we are aiming to have some $6.5 billion in loans outstanding to over 2 million student borrowers -- I know that we will have to overcome many obstacles. As the President said, however: "If administra tive changes in the program are necessary, we will make them. If 3ny amendments to the legislation are in order, we will submit appropriate recommendations to the Congre s s . " The loans themselves, however, must be made by the banks and other lending institutions of this country, so in a very basic sense it will be up to you whether this program succeeds. The Need We Face We as Americans have traditionally been imbued with a desire to give our children the best education available. Our whole history as a nation, from the Northwest Ordinance of 1787 down to the Higher Education Act of 1965, has reflected our continuing determination to educate our children the best way we know how. But the time span from the end of the Second World War to date has marked a dramatic change in our attitudes toward higher education. Just a few figures will illustrate the remarkable change in recent years. In 1930, total expenditures on a higher education in this country were about $630 million. A few years after the Second World War, the figure was more than four times greater about $2.7 billion. In the current year, 1967, the expenditures are expected to reach a level of approximately $16.8 billion -- almost 30 times the 1930 level. In the decade from 1955 to 1965, the total enrollment in our institutions of higher education increased by just over 3 million students. In the next decade we are anticipating an even larger increase -- 3-3/4 million students -- and this is probably on the conservative side. How do we meet this problem? - 4 How do we, as individual parents, raise the money to meet the expenses of college -- expenses that have risen steeply in recent years and show little or no sign of leveling off in the future? How do we, as citizens, allocate our resources to pay the teachers and to build the classrooms and laboratories and housing needed to accommodate this surge of young Americans into the colleges and universities? The two questions cannot be easily divided. The need to finance the required growth of the institutions will almost inevitably be reflected in higher costs to the students and their families. I do not intend by this comment to take sides in the argument over free State tuition. I merely regard it as prudent to assume that at least a portion of the cost of enlarging and improving our colleges will be borne by the current crop of students. I might add that if we are to preserve our private institutions of higher learning -- and I am sure all of us want to -- this trend toward higher costs then surely becomes a problem we inevitably must confront. If we are faced with the problem of ever-higher costs when American families currently are groaning under what they consider to be an extremely heavy burden, then what is the answer? There are several alternative courses of action one of which is currently on our statute books. Let me list for you some of the proposals that are circulating in the public domain, with my own personal comments on their utility. Then I should like to discuss with you the potentials of the guaranteed student loan legis la t ion. The Tax Credit Proposal One of the more politically attractive proposals currently being discussed is a plan to give a tax credit to those families who are incurring the costs of higher education. The Senator from Connecticut, Mr. Ribicoff, has advocated just such a proposal. Congressman Ford, has also thrown his support behind this approach. I must say that the first reaction of most people to the idea of a tax credit for the expenses of their children in College, is enthusiasm. But this enthusiasm is tempered by a closer look. - 5 - Senator Ribicoff's proposal would allow the parents of a college student a maximum of $325 each year as a credit against taxes. The credit would be less if the student's tuition and books totaled less than $1500. And of course if the family had so little income that they owed no tax, they would get no benefit at all from the cred it. This plan would cost the nation roughly $1.5 billion the firslt year (according to Treasury estimates) and up to $2 billion a year within a few years. These are nee small sums of money. But laying aside the parochial Treasury concern about spending such large sums, Senator Ribicoff's proposal seems to have two basic defects: First, it operates as a sort of "reverse" scholarship -that is, it gives the highest reward to the families with the highest incomes sending their children to the most expensive schools. I know of no college which would give its aid funds in such an ups ide -down fashion. Second, in spite of the substantial cost to the Federal Government, $325 per student is not nearly enough to meet the current and the prospective burden that faces so many American families. Senator Ribicoff argues that his plan is designed to provide money for the institutions, through higher tuition, as well as to ease the burden on families. I sympathize and concur in this dual objective. However, increased tuition may merely widen the educational opportunity gap between families of moderate means and those with ample means. On balance, I think there are better means of using our Federal resources in the area of financing higher education. The Loan Guarantee Plan The program which, to my mind, currently offers the United States the greatest "bang for a buck" is the guaranteed student loan program enacted into law in the Higher Education Act of 1965. The program is relatively new; it has many bugs as you know tha t mus t s till be worked out; but in my opinion it offers great promise to millions of American families. - 6 - This program starts from a premise that we have been very slow to accept in this nation -- that an investment in education is as sound, if not sounder, than investment in a house or in a car. It now is an accepted fact that a college education is an income-producing asset. For that reason, our traditional reluctance to go into debt to finance an education seems a bit peculiar and unreasonable. However, as the costs of education continue to spiral, the American people, in their pragmatic way, are finding for themselves that perhaps it does make sense to borrow to finance the education of their children. Perhaps they have begun to borrow for education simply because they have found it impossible to meet these costs out of current income or current savings; but it is my personal opinion that it is an eminently sensible decision. How does the guaranteed loan program work? In principle, it really is quite simple. It merely extends into this area the concept of a government guarantee to back up a loan made by a private financial institution. I believe that the potential in the area of education is as promising as it has proved to be in the area of housing. Let me trace through the idea: Any American boy or girl who can get admitted to a college should be able to go to this local commercial bank, savings and loan association, mutual savings bank, or credit union to submit a loan application. The lending institution is willing to make the loan, the State student loan guarantee agency then will guarantee the loan up to $1,000 per year (or in some states up to $1500 per year). Repayment of the loan will begin 9 to 12 months after the student leaves college or graduate school. If his family's "adjusted family income" is $15,000 or less, while the student is in school the government will pay the interes t. When repayment begins, the interest rate to the student runs at 3 percent if his family's income is below the specified level, with the government paying the balance. If the family income is above that level, the student pays the full 6 percent. Despite the complete and enthusiastic cooperation of the American Bankers Association, the two savings and loan association leagues, the Association of Mutual Savings and Banks , and the credit unions' association (CUNA International), the program has had a difficult beginning. - 7 After it was enacted into law in the fall of 1965, it took the Office of Education about 6 months to really get started. Many states had to enact enabling legislation and state legislatures did not rush to appropriate their share of the guarantee funds with the enthusiasm that we might have expected. Paper work was another complicating factor -- almost inevitable in any new government program. But the troubles largely can be traced back to the "tight money", which began to be evident in April last year. Tight money made life extremely difficult for the savings and loans and the mutual savings banks, and, to a lesser degree, for the credit unions and the commercial banks. It made most financial institutions think twice about committing themselves to new and untried loan programs. Lenders also discovered that the costs of getting these loans on the books were more than they had antic ipa ted. All of these difficulties, with the exception of tight money, are almost inevitable with any new program. Despite them, we still succeeded in the Fall semester of 1966 in getting out loans totaling $173 million to nearly 211,000 students. For the full 1966-1967 year, our original target was loans to 962,000 students, totaling $700 million. At the moment, we are guessing that we will actually hit a level of 300-350,000 loans totaling $250-300 million. All in all, this is not a bad beginning for a first year effort under adverse conditions. But it is not good enough. The need is now. Based on the results in four states with loan standing programs, the demand is close to our estimates and it appears many potential borrowers in most parts of the country are not yet able to find loans. We had been aware that the program was not developing as rapidly as we had hoped it would, but I think Charls Walker and the American Bankers Association deserve a lot of credit for coming to us to tell us the reasons for the difficulties, as they saw them. Their presentation persuaded us that we had to look into the way in which the program is operating to find ways to simplify and streamline the paper work and to assure maximum lender participation under changing market conditions. On January 23, with the approval of Secretary Gardner and Secretary Fowler, I put together a Task Force composed of the Treasury, the Office of Education, and the Bureau of the Budget, to see what we could de to move the program ahead. - 8 The Task Force met with commercial bankers, mutual savings bankers and representatives of other financial institutions; it looked ' closely and conscientiously at administrative costs, paper work, pooling of resources, the creation of a secondary market, improvement in State participation, and -- perhaps most important -- from your view point -- what can be and should be dane to assure that lenders will be able approximately to cover their costs, including the cost of money, so that guaranteed student loans will be reasonably competitive with other loans, as was the intention when the Higher Education Act of 1965 was enacted. With regard to lender returns, the Task Force focused on three alternatives. First, the proposal that interest income from student loans be exempted from Federal income taxes. From your view point, this is an attractive alternative; from our point of view, however, it has a number of serious drawbacks. We hope, for example, to bring into this program other lending institutions in addition to commercial banks. Tax exemption would not provide them the same incentive to participate. Second, the possibility of increasing the interest rate in the program. This would mean legislation to permit the interest rate to be changed from time to time in accordance with changing market conditions. From your point of view, this alternative could result in conflicts with State usury laws. From our point of view, the added cost -- if it were paid by the Federal Goverpment -- would be spread over the whole term of the loan. Third, the payment of placement fees. Under this proposal you would receive some compensation at the time you incurred the cost of putting a loan on your books. On the other hand, the first year budgetary costs would be somewhat larger than under the second alternative. The Office of Education has also indicated that it would like to see a part of these fees paid at the time the loan is converted to a payment status. This would be to encourage prompt reporting of the changes in status and the reduction in the interest benefit payable by the Federal Government. I should also mention another point. The guaranteed loans under this program are eligible as collateral for Treasury Tax and Loan Accounts. Their use for this purpose should give you somewhat more flexibility in the management of your resources. The Task Force's recommendations are now going forward to be reviewed by Secretary Gardner, Secretary Fowler, the Budget Director, Mr. Schultze, and Chairman Ackley of the Council of Economic Advisers. We are all aware that time is of the essence. There are only three months remaining until the end of June. Before we know it the 19671968 school year will be at hand and students throughout the country - 9 - will be seeking guaranteed student loans in larger volume than ever before. This means that we cannot delay taking th9 actions wbfch will affect the program for the 1967-1968 schoolyear. There is tim~ enough, but not too much time. The college students of today will be your best customers tomorrow. This should be reason enough for you to want to participate as fully as possible. Our interest in the success of this program is also clear. (1) This program unquestionably gives us the greatest leverage in the use of the financial resources of the United States. A tax credit plan providing a maximum benefit of $325 per family would cost us a billion and a half dollars a third year. This loan program, if it progresses as we think it can, could make 6-1/2 million loans totaling $6.7 billion available at an annual interest subsidy cost to the Federal Government of only a fifth that amount. (2) Through loans of as much as $1,000 to $1,500 a student, this program offers meaningful financial assistance. In fact, if it gets under way as I think it will, and if college costs increase as I predict, these limits may have to be raised. (3) The program is intimately involved with all sectors of the financial community, the academic community, and State government. To many, this spells chaos, cumbersome operations, and endless argumentation. I do not look at it that way. There is a lot of arguing and negotiation ahead before we hammer out a completely satisfactory program, but this is precisely the sort of "creative federalism" that President Johnson has continually emphasized. For the price of some difficulties to start, in the long run the broad-based support that will be generated will pay magnificant dividends in the interests of all of us. If history is any indicator, the problem of financing the costs of higher education, both the costs to students and the costs to the institutions, will be met -- no matter what the cost may be, and no matter what party controls our political destiny. I would recommend to you the study of the alternatives. I would hope that you would agree with me that the guaranteed loan program provides the most promising solution currently available to-mee-t-·~ pr..oblem of financial assistance to the student. - 10 I believe that we are getting much closer to our goal of being able to say to every American boy and girl, "If you can get admitted to a college, the financial resources that you need will be available." Implementation of this program should make this promise a reality. It should make the financial burden of education a tolerable burden for American families. It should provide at least part of the financial basis that American colleges and universities now need and will need. And, finally, it should enable us to reach into the ghettos and the pockets of rural poverty, to draw out and to educate those disadvantaged Americans to whom a higher education a few years ago was literally unthinkable. I have confidence that the American banking industry, joined in a cooperative effort with other lending institutions, the States and private guarantee agencies, and with the Federal Government will help us solve a problem that involves one of the fundamental aspirations of millions of American families. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT = March 21, 1967 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Secretary of the Treasury Henry H. Fowler today sent the following letter to Senator George A. Smathers. Copies of the letter were also sent to other members of the Senate Finance Committee. Attachment F-8S7 COpy March 21, 1967 Dear Senator Smathers: My purpose in writing this letter is to make quite clear my position on the restoration of the investment credit and the House bill, H.R. 6950, now before the Senate Finance Committee. I believe it is appropriate for me to do so at this time in the light of the events and discussion bearing on the question of restoring the credit which have occurred since the President's recommendation to the Congress on March 9, 1967. There are two paramount concerns involved in the restoration of the investment credit: one is to assure restoration of the investment credit to its long-run functioning role in our tax structure, now that suspension has served its purpose, which the Congress and the Administration assumed the obligation to do when enacting the suspension legislation. The other major concern is to protect revenues and the budgetary position of the Federal Government. Consistent with these overriding concerns I, therefore, strongly believe that the investment credit and accelerated depreciation should be fully restored as of March 10, 1967. No retroactive change or modification, however, should be made with respect to the rules provided in the suspension legislation governing eligibility for the investment credit for property ordered, acquired or placed under construction during the period October 10, 1966, through March 9, 1967. With regard to the provision for raising the limit on the use of the investment credit from the present 25 percent of tax liability to 50 percent, I believe this liberalizing provision should not go into effect until January 1, 1968. COpy -2The revenue loss from this approach would be considerably less than that involved in H.R. 6950. For the fiscal years 1967 and 1968 together, the loss would amount to $605 million compared to a loss of $1.28 billion under H.R. 6950. The difference between the two losses, amounting to $675 million, is attributable to two factors: the granting of the credit to property ordered but not delivered during the suspension period, which accounts for $395 million; and the application of the liberalized ceiling on March 10, 1967 rather than January 1, 1968, which accounts for the remaining $280 million. An even greater loss, amounting to $1.53 billion would be involved in the proposal, advocated by some, to completely roll back the suspension to October 10, 1966, and also make the ceiling liberalization effective on that date. As you know, the projected deficit in the administrative budget for Fiscal 1967 is $9.7 billion and for Fiscal 1968 $8.1 billion, assuming the enactment of the six percent surtax income tax on individuals and corporations proposed by the President. For Congress to carry out the obligation undertaken at the time of the enactment of the suspension of the investment credit, namely, to restore it when economic circumstances make that appropriate, will add an additional $605 million to the deficits for these two years or require some adjustment upward in the proposed surtaxes. This additional cost is inescapable as a price we have to pay for restoring the credit in timely fashion to its place as a part of our permanent tax structure. However, there is no need in equity or for any other reason, from the standpoint of the Treasury, for Congress to change the rules it established for eligibility for the credit when the suspension period was over which are specifically prescribed in the suspension Act of last year. Thus, there is no need for any further revenue loss in connection with this legislation. I cannot stand by lightly and watch these budget deficits increased merely to give a windfall to taxpayers who had no basis for assuming they would get the investment credit on orders placed during the suspension period. Neither do I think it is necessary or obligatory to make available the liberalized limit on the credit from 25 percent from taxes to 50 percent before January 1, 1968. -3- Following the Administration's proposals on these two points, as compared with the House bill approach, will save the Government $675 million in these fiscal years in which we are facing these sizable deficits; as compared to a proposal now being considered in the Committee to lift the suspension back to October 10, 1966, the date of the original enactment, the difference is nearly $1 billion. The course of fiscal responsibility under these circumstances is very clear. I strongly urge the Committee to tak~ the necessary action to implement the approach I have here outlined and thus minimize either the need to incteas~ the national debt, finance a larger deficit by going to the public markets for money or laying additional tax burdens through the income tax route. Sincerely yours, (Signed) Henry H. Henry H. Fowler The Honorab Ie George A. Smathers United States Senate Washington, D. C. 20510 Fow~er TREASURY DEPARTMENT FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S MONTHLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public not1ce, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $1,400,000,000, or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing March 31,1967, in the amount of $1,400,808,000, as follows: 275-day bills (to matur1ty date) to be issued March 31, 1967, 1n the amount of $ 500,000,000, or thereabouts, representing an additional amount of bills dated December 31,1966, and to mature December 3l,1967,originally issued in the amount of $901,030,000, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 366-day bills, for $900,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated March 31, 1967, and to mature March 31, 1968. The b1lls of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, ,100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturi ty value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Tuesday, March 28, 1967. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury Department, Washington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be usedo (Notwithstanding the fact that the one-year bills will run for 366 days, the discount rate will be computed on a bank discount basis of 360 days, as is currently the practice on all issues of Treasury bills), It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. Banking institutions generally may subm1t tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking 1nstitutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received Without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from F-858 - 2 responsible a~d recognized- dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. Immediatelv after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Fvderal Reserve- Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on March 31, 1967, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing March 31,1967. Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the ter~s of the Treasury bills and govern the c~nd~tions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained froc 2~~ :ederal Reserve Bank or Branch. TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington STATEMENT BY THE HONORABLE IIENRY H. FOWLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SENATE S~lALL BUSINESS COH~llTTEE WEDNESDAY, t.tARCll 22, 1967, 10:00 A. ~1. I am very pleased to appear at these important hearings. The efforts of your Committ.ee to learn more about the present position of small business, and its outlook, and hO\oJ it can be kept vigorous and dynami c deserve the fullest support throughout the Government and the public. Prosperous and growing small business enterprises are vital to the maintenance of a strong, free and competitive economy. I can assure this commi ttee that this basic premise as an important factor in all the economic policy actions of the Administration. The Small Business Stake in an Expanding Economy While there are in existence a number of programs designed to promote small business and others being proposed -- the primary influence upon small business is t.he overall condition of the economy. Swings in aggregate economic activity tend to have more than a proportionate effect on smaller enterprises. This has been evident in past recessions. For example: During the 1954 recession, pre-tax earnings of the smallest manufacturing corporations (those with assets under $1 million) declined by nearly 29 percent, while earnings of larger corporations dropped by 12 percent. Again, In the 1958 recession, earnings of the smallest corporations declined by 31 percent, compared with 19 percent for larger corporations. This effect is seen even during the relatively mild 1960 recession, when earnings of the small corporations fell 22 percent, compared wi th 7 percent for the larger corporations. F-859 - 2 - It is of special importance to a healthy small business community in our economy that this phenomenon operates also in the other, and positive sense: smaller enterprises tend to make greater gains in a peirod of general prosperity than do the larger businesses. During the six uninterrupted years of economic expansion since 1960 we have seen remarkable and widely shared gains in economic progress and welfare in the United States. Small business has participated greatly in this prosperity -- whether measured by growth in number of firms, increases in number of firms, increases in absolute value of sales and profits, rates of return on capital or the share of total purchases and contract awards by the Federal Government. For example: -- The earnings of the smallest manufacturers over the past six years increased at a more rapid rate than those of larRer manufacturing corporations. For the first three quarters of 1%6, profi ts l)cforc taxes of these corpor:ltions marc than tripled the level of six years earlier, compared with the l:.1r~er corporations whose profits douhlcd over the same period. -- After-tax earnings of small corporations rose significantly both absolutely and in comparison with larger corporations. The relatively superior performance of small corporations in these years. in part, may reflect the ability of such companies to expand operations without commensurate increases in costs. Certain special tax advantages I \vill discuss later. also helped to provide a relatively greater increase in after-tax earnings of small corporations. - 3 - All these factors contributed to a significant trend rise in beforeand after-tax rates of return on capital to small business. During the third quarter of 1966, pre-tax profits per dollar of sales in small-size corporations reached 6.1 cents, up from 5.0 cents a year earlier. The rate of pre-tax profit on stockholders I equity reached a postwar high of 32 percent in this latest quarter, compared with 26 percent a year earlier. Strong advances also were made by large corporations, but not to the same degree. Another clement contributing to the impressive sales and profit performance of small business was the solid record of fair allocations of Federal contracts to small business. During 1966, Department of Defense prime contracts for procurement to small business amounted to 21 percent of the total value. This was higher than the 20 percent share in 1964 and 1965 and 16 percent in 1963. In civilian executive agencies, the fiscal year 1966 small business share amounted to 22 percent of the total value of procurement. It is of further particular importance to the small businessman that despite the demands brought on by the hostilities in Vietnam we have not resort~d to the broad range of controls on production and defense materials such as occurred during the Korean War. As hearings of this Committee have well documented, small business has been at a relative disadvantage under extensive production and materials control systems in the past. - 4 There are other aspects of the small business picture which, on the surface, are less encouraging. While the number of small businesles continues to grow -- achieving a 1-1/2 percent annual increase in the past two years -- their relative share in the total number of U. S. business concerns has slipped. In manufacturing~ the smallest corporations those, to repeat, with assets of less than $1 million -- registered sales during the first three quarters of 1966 which were nearly SO percent higher than in 1960. But this was not as great as the increase in sales of larger corporations, which rose nearly three-fifths over this period. The latest available comprehensive sales figures, those for the third quarter of 1966, show sales for the smallest corporations up 12.3 percent above a year earlier, while sales of larger sized corporations increased 13.6 percent. The share of national income going to small business has probably diminished over the last decade. But, by and large, the position of small business has strengthened appreciably during the current economic expansion. Recent months have witnessed a leveling off in sales to consumers which has undoubtedly been noticed by both small and large businesses. However, personal income has continued to rise and unemployment remains low. We believe that when these factors are coupled with still higher expenditures for defense and for state and local improvements, and also easier credit conditions which will be of particular benefit to homebuilding, the pace of economic expansion wi 11 pick up again. Indeed, the slower pace of expansion in this current half year period was anticipated in the economic - s program set out by the President at the start of the year. It is in light of this pattern that current fiscal planning is in terms of a tax surcharge to take effect later this year, and not in the current period of lesscneu exuberance. Small Business and Taxation A numher of ne\~ or strengthened provisions of the tax law in the last six years recognize particular problems faced by smaller businesses. These provisions are: Reversal of corporate normal and surtax rates. 1964 reduced the tax rate applicable to the first The Revenue Act of ~~2S,OOO of corporate income from 30 percent to 22 percent, a 27 percent reduction at a time when the tax rate on corporate income in excess of $25,nOO was being reduced by slightly over 8 percent. The annual tax saving for the 500,OnO corporate firms with taxable incomes of $25,000 or less totaled about '<;270 million beginning in 1964. Accomplished through the reversal of the corporate normal and surtax rates, this special reduction for small husiness represented a long-sought reform in the corporate rate structure to ell courage the growth and survi val of small companies. General rate reduction. The Revenue Act of 1964 gave neh' meanIng and content to the national policy declared by the Congress in the Employment Act of 1946. At a critical stage in our economic development this tax reduction legis lation gave the private economy a boost. Small business - 6 - had a vital stake in this maj or legis lation both in its capaci ty as taxpayer and in its capacity as beneficiary of enlarged purchasing power for its output of goods and services. Small business benefited consiuerably from the cuts in indiviuual income tax rates in 1964 \vhi ell averaged 20 percent. TIlCse rate cuts applied to the O\'/'ners of about four mi Ilion unincorporated husinesses. Small business benefits in a special \vay from a fiscal policy aimed at increasinr, economic stability because small businesses with limited financial resources are most likely to be adversely affected in a recession. The successful economic policy directed at maintaining high employment over the last six years has greatly reduced the failure rate of small businesses and [las made possible the launching of ncVl ventures which could not have heen successfully launched unuer recession conditions. Income averaging. A number of small unincorporated businesses in a variety of traues ano industries have wiuely fluctuating incomcs. fi rms wi 11 bencfi t from the income-averaging provision l~cvcnue Act. Such of the 1064 It applies to any individual whose ordinary income for the taxable year increases by more than one-third (but at least $3,000) over his average income for the prior four years. In effect, the taxpayer is alloweu to treat any amount over the one-thi rd increase as though he had earned it over a five-year period -- and his overall income for that year is thus taxed at a considerably reduced rate. - 7 - For example consider a businessman whose business profit and corresponding taxable income for the five years 1962-1966 were as follows: Profit Taxable income 1962 $30,000 $25,000 1963 5,000 1,000 1964 33,000 26,000 1965 30,000 23,000 Subtotal IOO,OOa 1966 75,000 90,000 Without averaging, this businessman, assuming he were married, would be subject to a marginal rate of tax as high as 60 percent on his 1966 income, and would pay a total tax for 1966 of $39,180. I~ith averaging, however, the marginal rate will range up to 4S percent, and his total tax on 1966 income \vill amount to $32,120. of $7,060. Thus, averaging provides this businessman with a tax saving - 8 - Income averaging is particularly advantageous to small businesses and has provided them with very substantial tax savings. In 1965, more than hal f of the tax reduction from income averaging went to individuals whose principal source of income was from business, partnership, or profession net profit. Their tax savings totaled nearly $86 million of the $168 mi Ilion savings for all taxpayers. Averaging was used by nearly 135,000 taxpayers whose principal income was from these sources. The investment credit. Several features of the investment credit law enacted in 1962 provide particular advantage to small business. In general. the investment credit has been limited to an amount equal to 25 percent of the annual tax liability. This limitation will be increased to SO percent effective for periods after January I, 1968 if Congress enacts the President's recommendations to lift the suspension of the credit. However, in recognition of the problems of small business this limitation is not imposed on the first $25,000 of tax liability. A 3-year carry back and a 5-year carry forward of unused investment credit were provided in the original legislation. The carry forward was recently extended to 7 years, further protecting the firm with uneven earnings or uneven investment against waste of unused credit benefits. These carryover provisions are likely to be of particular benefit to smaller firms which frequently have uneven patterns of earnings and investment. In addition, the amount of used property that may be counted for investment credit purposes is limited to $50,000 in a year. This covers the full purchases of small and medium sized businesses but restricts the investment credit of used property acquisitions by a large business. - 9 - Investment credit suspension. When it became necessary to suspend temporarily the investment credit and the accelerated depreciation methods on buildings in 1966. special exemptions were designed to help small business and farmers. and equipment. These provisions exempted up to $20.000 the cost of machinery They also exempted from the suspension of accelerated depreciation a building or buildings costing no more than $50,000. These exemption rules were specifically deSigned to help small business enterprises and independent farmers. Effect of investment credit combined with other tax measures. The tax treatment of new investment for machinery or equipment may be illustrated in terms of the percentage of the cost of an asset subject to tax writeoff or equivalent charges against income in the year of acquisition. In the case of a 10-year asset costing $10.000, purchased by a firm subject to the 22-percent corporate normal tax rate, the following deductions or equivalents may be taken: 20-percent initial allowance (1958 law) $2,000 7-percent investment credit expressed as an equivalent deduction from income 3,182 First-year depreciation (double-declining balance depreciation, 10-year life) Total 1,600 6.782 As these figures demonstrate, the various allowances under present law and the proposed reinstatement of the investment tax credit would in effect permit tax free recovery of two-thirds of the cost of a machine or other equipment item with a IO-year life in the year of its acquisition. To the extent the depreciable life is shorter than the 10-years assumed in the example, the proportion of capital recovery would be still greater. - 10 - The average IS-percent reduction in tax lives resulting from the 1962 liberalization of depreciation guidelines is assumed to be already reflected in the la-years used here. Prior to this reduction, the tax life would have been 11.75 years, with the result the first years double-declining balance depreciation would have been $338 less than the $1,600 indicated. Measures such as liberalized depreciation, the special low corporate tax rate and the proposed reinstatement of the full investment tax credit all serve to increase the internally generated flow of cash needed to make new investments. This is especially important to the capital scarce and growing small firm. There are several problem areas in the current tax law which call for remedial legislation for the benefit of small business. Changes dealing with these prob lem areas should be made. Abuses in the Exempt Organization Area. The Treasury Department has recently recommended legislative action upon two problems in the exempt organization area Foundations. 0 f concern to small business. Advantages whicll tax exemption confers upon private foundations has made some of these organizations formidable and successful competitors \'Ji th taxable businesses. Defects in the present tax on the unrelated business income of private foundations make it possible for many foundations to arrange their business enterprises so as to largely or entirely immunize the profits from tax. Even if the present unrelated business income tax contained no avenues of avoidance, the commercial enterprises conducted or controlled by private foundations would still possess significant competitive advantages over those owned by taxable entities. - 11 - Because contributions to foundations are deductible, the capitalization of foundation businesses is accomplished with tax-free dollars, rather than after-tax dollars. The tax immunity of dividends, interest J and other proceeds stemming from passive sources enables foundations to supply capital to their business endeavors with exempt income. Experience with foundation-owned businesses has shown that they are frequently free from demands for current distributions of earnings -- often an important competitive advantage. Because of these competitive problems, and other unfortunate consequences attendant on foundation involvement in business, the Treasury Department has recommended that Congress adopt legislation requiring private foundations to dispose of substantial business interests which are unrelated to exempt activities. Investment Borrowing by Exempt Organizations. In 1965 the Supreme Court approved capital gains treatment for persons who sold a business to a tax-exempt organization under an arrangement designed both to immunize the business profits from tax and to provide payment of the purchase price only from those profits. The decision provides a powerful incentive for the owners of businesses and other classes of productive property to sell to exempt organizations, rather than taxable purchasers, because the tax exemption of the proceeds being used to finance the purchase price makes it possib Ie for the exempt entity to pay a substantially higher price than anyone else can afford. small enterprises. This tax incentive thus stamps out many promising And it places taxpaying business enterprises at a substantial competitive disadvantage in acquiring other businesses. To deal with this problem and related difficulties flowing from the Supreme Court - 12 decision, legislative proposals are being developed -- similar to bills upon which the Ways and Means Committee held hearings last year -- which would restore competitive parity in this area. The advantage employed by large chains of corporations using multiple surtax exemptions. The advantage enjoyed by large chains of corporations using multiple surtax exemptions is a serious burden on small business competitors. The special provisions, including a 6 percent penalty tax enacted in 1964 applicable to corporations using multiple surtax exemptions, did not appreciably reduce the special tax advantage of the large corporate chains. Further steps are necessary to reduce the ability of the large multiple corporate chains or complexes to pre-cmpt a large portion of the benefits intended to assist small corporate business. Some $150 million of unintended tax windfalls to multiple groups is involved. Revision of the tax option corporation provisions. The 1958 legislation providing tax benefits for small business is not trouble free. In particular, the provisions penni tting corporations to elect not to pay corporate tax in a manner "somewhat like partnerships" are complex. result it has been difficult for small business to use this election. As a These provisions now arc being explored by the Treasury staff in discussions with an American Bar Association Section on Taxation committee and the staff of the Joint Committee on Internal Revenue Taxation. These discussions should prove fruitful and result in a proposal to revise this special election - 13 - to make it more available to small business by eliminating the complexity in the way the election operates, as well as some unintended hardships and some unintended benefits. The use of industrial development bonds by states and municipalities. Abuses of the tax exempt borrowing privilege extended to our state and local governments are becoming a source of major concern to everyone interested in industrial financing and to everyone interested in the integrity of our federal taxing system. In 1960 when only 13 states authorized industrial development bonds the total of new issues in that year amounted to only $70 million. By 1966 the annual volume of new issues had increased over sevenfold to $500 million and the number of states that sanctioned some form of this abuse of their borrowing status had increased to 35. The industrial development financing technique was originally developed and used as a means of attracting relatively small industrial concerns to rural areas. In recent years, however, it has been used to create multi-million dollar facilities for some of the largest industrial corporations in the country. Tax-exemption has thus been utilized for the benefit of large industrial concerns which do not face the major problem confronting small business firms, that is, securing loan funds at a reasonable cost. In either case the practice represents a costly and uncontrolled waste of federal tax dollars that should be stopped. I think this review suggests that the tax advantages already available to small business are such that caution is in order in considering any new special tax advantages for small business. Such benefits may, despite the - 14 best intentions, turn out in practice to be of greatest benefit to large weal thy enterprises and thereby worsen the competi ti ve position of small business. They may go beyond any demonstrated genuine need for financial assistance through the tax system. Their costs to the revenue system may outweigh scattered and hard-to-measure benefits. As a very practical case in point, consider the existing special low rates on the first $25,000 of corporate earnings. As we have just seen, the spread between the 22 percent rate and the general 48 percent corporate rate creates the problem of multiple incorporation whereby benefits intended for small business frequently misfire and give large corporate chains an unfair advantage. While there may be particular instances in which tax relief is the sound way of dealing with a particular small business prob lem, the substantial use already made of the tax system for this purpose suggests that further steps require increasing caution and increasingly careful examination of the existing framework of tax benefits. Small Business and Financial Markets The bulk of small business financing is done in private financial markets. While there does not seem to be any particular reason to believe that the legitimate financial needs of sma1l business are going unmet. this is an area where our statistical information is meagre. In 1958 the Federal Reserve Board published the results of a major study on the availability of financing for small business. The study included the various needs of small business for financing and sources of funds, and a detailed statistical study of bank lending to small business in an effort - IS to determine whether tight money had a discriminatory impact on small business. The Federal Reserve's study still stands as the most thorough examination of small business financing that has been undertaken. However, in the course of the intervenin g 10 years from the end of the period examined there have been important changes in the financial environment in which American business. large or small. operates. The 1958 study su~gested that \vhile short-tern financing through banks and trade sources was generally adequate. there appeared to be some gaps in the avai lalJi 1i ty of longer-term and venture capital. in 1959 and 1960 Two subsequent surveys described in Chairman :--tartin '5 recent statement to your Committee -- confirmed that small business firms encountered greater difficul ty in satisfying their financing needs in the areas of long-term debt and equity capital. In an effort to plug some of the gaps. Congress in 1958 expanded the authority of the Small Business Administration and made it a penn anent agency. In connection with the demonstrated need in the area of long-term financing and equity capital, the Small Business Investment Act established the Small Business Investment Company Program in 1958. While the program has not been problem-free and many SBIC's have encountered financial difficulties, the program has contributed to an increased flow of venture capital to small business. Since the Small Business Investment Act of 1958, Congress has on several occasions expanded the tools and lending programs of the SBA. The participation sales legislation, strongly supported by the Treasury and enacted last year. provides an efficent and orderly method for transferring to the private sector financial assets held by the Small Business Administration and other Federal - 16 - agencies. As Mr. Boutin pointed out in his statement before your Committee, the participation sales program enables the Small Business Administration , through the Federal National Mortgage Association, to market participation certificates based upon loan pools and thus obtain funds for its lending programs. During the past five years or so there has emerged a more competitive climate in banking and finance. This relates in part to increased competition for time and savings deposits and the need to put them to work profitably. It relates also to relaxation of some of the restrictions on the lending undertaken by various financial institutions and to the increased number of branches of financial institutions and the number of bank charters. The prepared statement of Comptroller Camp to your Committee has pointed to the structural changes in banking that have occurred in recent years and their importance for small business financing. As a result banks and other lenders have taken a more positive attitude toward making loans and toward taking risks, and the general availability of funds to small business firms increased appreciably. This greater credit availability has contributed to the improved performance of small business discussed in Mr. Boutin's statement of March 1 to this committee. A question explored in the Federal Reserve's earlier study of small business financing and one that has been the source of considerable practical and theoretical interest is whether small business is subject to discrimination under tight money conditions. - 17 In periods of monetary restraint previous to our most recent experience, the impact of restraint fell heavily on commercial banks and their customers. Bank credit grew only slightly and banks were forced to ration their lending. Rationing sometimes took the form of restricting credit to customers in less powerful financial condition, usually smaller firms. But even ignoring this aspect of monetary restriction, the burden may fall most heavily on smaller firms because they do not have ready access to impersonal credit markets. Larger fi nns, not ab Ie to find adequate accommodation at commercial banks. could bid for funds in the open market smaller finns could not. To some extent, of course, by relying on trade sources for financing, smaller firms could tap nonbank sources indirectly. In more recent years banks have been able to compete strongly for time deposits, thus expanding their business loans long into a period of monetary restraint. Because banks could compete effectively for time deposits, much of the burden of monetary restriction was shifted to impersonal credit markets and to the thrift institutions. The latter development was not altogether desirable, for it placed a heavy burden on the mortgage market and the homebuilding industry. However, it docs appear that elsewhere in the economy smaller business finns fared reasonably well in competing for credit in 1966 and they appeared to be under considerably less pressure than during past periods of monetary restriction such as in 1956-57. - 18 - Small Business and the Balance of Payments. A strong competitive position in world markets is essential for our balance of payments. Our balance of payments programs recognize the contribution that small business can make, particularly in the export field. Mr. Linder has described to your Committee how the financial programs of the Export-Import Bank are designed to increase the participation of small and medium-size firms in this country's export trade. Mr. Trowbridge has explained the comprehensive programs of the Department of Commerce which help our small businesses to expand their sales abroad, and to enter foreign markets for the first time. The Small Business Administration is also actively pursuing the goal of greater participation by smaller business. The participation of these smaller firms is frequently in the form of supplying components to major exporters -- making their contribution relatively inconspicuous but no less real. Small business can also help our balance of payments in such areas as tourism, banking, and finance. Through their own efforts and by contributing to a generally more competitive atmosphere at home, small businesses help to insure our ability to meet import competition. We must make certain that we take full advantage of the resources of the small business community in all of these areas. Conclusion In concluding, I would return to my earlier stress on the controlling fact that the greatest assistance we can give to small business flows from policies encouraging an open, competitive, prosperous economy, making the fullest practicable use of all its resources, including the invaluable resources of small business. We do need to study the changing nature of the - 19 - problems faced by small businesses and to insure that our programs move adequately with the times. It seems to me that the further question is not, what more -- other than maintenance of such favorable general conditions business, but, rather, the question should be: should we do for small Are we doing through public policy, everything that we can, and should, do to avoid any loss of the benefits of an open, competitive and prosperous economy to small business due to lack of information, lack of financial strength or other possible disadvantages of small size. r think we should be energetic in seeking to offset any such penalties. I think that if we are, we will find that we free small business from the need for special advantages. Therefore, the leadership provided by your Committee and the Small Business Administration is extremely welcome. r am sure that all branches of the Government will be working with you to determine how we can best insure that small business remains the vital force in our economy that it has been in the past. 00 00 00 TREASURY DEPARTMENT March 22, 1967 FOR IMMEDIATE RELtASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notlce, lnvites tenders for two serles of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $2,300,000,000, or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for Treasury bliis maturing March 30, 1967, in the amount of $2,304,771,000, as follows: 9~day bills (to maturity date) to be issued March 30 1967 in the amount of $1,300,000,000, or thereabouts, representing an' additional amount of bills dated December 29, 1966, and to mature June 29, 1967, originally issued in the amount of $1,001,292,000, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 18~day bills, for $1,000,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated March 30, 1967, and to mature September 28,1967. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (mat uri ty value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the cloSing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard time, Monday, March 27, 1967. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury De~artment, Washington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. F-860 - 2 - Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at t Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Trea~ expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on March 30, 1967, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing March 30, 1967. Cash and exchange ten will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other dispositioo of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal ~ State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed oc the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to ~ interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills aD sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bi lIs are exc1uch from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereun need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upoo sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which t return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and t notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. TREASURY DEPARTMENT ; FOR RELEASE 12:00 NOON, THURSDAY, MARCH 23, 1966 SECRETARY FOWLER ANNOUNCES APPOINTMENT OF GLEN R. JOHNSON AS NATIONAL DIRECTOR, U. S. SAVINGS BOND DIVISION Secretary of the Treasury Henry H. Fowler today announced the appointment of Glen R. Johnson as National Director of the U. S. Savings Bonds Division. Mr. Johnson has been State Director of the Savings Bond Division in Minnesota since 1962. Under his direction Minnesota's annual percentage gain in Savings Bonds sales rose from 48th among the states to first. Mr. Johnson was born in Lake Lillian, Minn., May 2, 1929. He attended Gustavus Adolphus College and the Minnesota School of Business between 1946 and 1949. His first federal job was as aU. S. pos tal clerk in the early 1950' s. In 1949 he founded the Lake Lillian Crier, a weekly newspaper, of which he was editor and publisher until 1961. He also published Fishing and Boating News, a sporting publication. Mr. Johnson was appointed Deputy Director and Area Manager of the Minnesota U. S. Savings Bonds Division in May, 1961, and became State Director in January, 1962. He has been President of the Lake Lillian Chamber of Commerce; Chairman of the Kandiyohi County United Fund and of the county Mental Health Association; organizer and President of the Kandiyohi County Press Association; Secretary of the Congregation of the Lake Lillian First Lutheran Church, and is an Honorary Member of the Minnesota Newspaper Association. He has been active in the Red Cross, March of Dimes and Cancer Drive. Mr. Johnson was named Twin City Civil Service "Employee of the Year", in the leadership category, in 1965 -- one of three Federal employees selected from a field of 16,000. That same year, he won Treasury's Certifl_cate of Merit Award. F-861 Mr. Johnson is married to the former LaVonne Corley of Lake Lillian. Mr. and Mrs. Johnson have three children, Vicki, 17; David, 13; and Lori, 12. Mr. Johnson's parents are Mr. and Mrs. Oscar Johnson of Lake Lillian. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT 4 FOR IMMEDIATE USE UNDER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY JOSEPH W. BARR AND CONGRESSIONAL ADVISERS TO VISIT AFRICAN COUNTRIES Under Secretary of the Treasury Joseph W. Barr is departing for Africa today for discussions with the Tunisian Minister of Planning and National Economy, Ahmed Ben Salah, the Ethiopian Minister of Finance, Menasse Lemma, the Minister of Finance of Kenya, J. S. Gichuru and the Minister of Finance of the Ivory Coast, Konan Bedie. The Treasury Under Secretary will discuss with the four African Ministers their experience with the International Development Association and the International Finance Corporation. He will also consult in Abidjan, Ivory Coast with President Mamoun Beheiry of the African Development Bank and his colleagues. TheU. S. Government is considering ways in which the United States could appropriately respond to the request of the African Development Bankfur United States participation in a special fund to finance worthy projects beyond the means of the Bank's ordinary capital. These discussions will be carried out in the light of President Johnson's statement that United States aid policy toward ~frica will encourage the African activities of the World Bank and its affiliates, direct more resources into projects and programs involving more than one African country and seek breakthroughs in private investment in Africa. Under Secretary Barr will be accompanied by members of ~ngress concerned with U. S. financial participation in the Jperations of the World Bank, the International Development \ssociation and other multi-national development institutions. They are: From the House Banking and Currency Committee: Rep. Abraham J. 1ulter; Rep. Seymour Halpern; Rep. Leonor K. Sullivan; 862 - 2 - Rep. Albert W. Johnson; Rep. Robert G. Stephens, Jr.; Rep.Chester L. Mize; and Rep. Tom S. Gettys. From the House Appropriations Committee: and Rep. Silvio O. Conte. From the House Foreign Affairs Committee: Rep. Jeffery Cohelan Rep. Donald M. Fraser. Mr. Barr will also be accompanied by Assistant Secretary Knowlton and staff officials from the Treasury, the State Department, the Agency for International Development and interested Congressional committees. Mr. Barr will be in Tunis March 24-27, in Addis Ababa, March 27-29, in Nairobi, March 29-April 2 and in Abidjan April 3. lie will return to Washington April 3. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT lR RELEASE 6:30 P.M., lndq, March 27, 1967. RESULTS OF TREASURY I S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department announced that the tenders for two series of Treasury Llls, one series to be an additional issue of the bills dated December 29, 1966, ld the other series to be dated March 30, 1967, which were offered on .March 22, ~67, were opened at the Federal Reserve Banks today_ Ter'ciers were invited for L,300,OOO,OOO, or thereabouts, of 91-day bills and for tl,iiOOO,OOO .. OOO, or there)outs, of 162-day bills. The details of the two series are as follows: UfGE OF ACCEPTED )},(PETITIVE BIDS: 91-day Treasury bills maturing June 29 , 1967 ---------~L-~A-p-pr~o~x~~~E-qUl~·V-. Price High Low Average 182-day Treasury bills maturing September 28, 1967 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 98.955 98 .. 947 98 .. 951 Annual Rate 4.134% 4.166% 4.1S~ Y : 97.957 97.930 4.041% 4.095% 97.941 4.073% ~/ 55% of the amount of 9l-day bills bid for at the 10. pr:...ce was accepted 44% of the amoWlt of 182-da.y bills bid for at the lo\\f price was accepted lTAL '~.lNDERS APPLIED FOR AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RL.'SERVE DISTRICTS: District Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago st. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco TOTALS AEElied For : Acce.eted AEElied For 11,088,000 $ 20,188,000 $ 10,188,000 892,787,000 1,679,203,000 18,348,000 30,348,000 28,866,000 28,866,000 13,980,000 13,980,000 28,889,000 54,303,000 lhl,017,OOO 334,117,000 39,374,000 50,409,000 14,356,000 19,546,000 29,498,000 35,505,000 14,L14,ooo 24,764,000 68,737,000 233,827,000 . 15,398,000 3,051,000 28,3lili,ooo 293,717,000 13,792,000 9,784,000 9,592,000 14,727,000 _J82.B?6 i OQQ $2,525,656,000 $1,300,L54,OOO !i $1~ 795,910,000 $ 1,201~981,OOO 11,610,000 ACC9.eted $ 1,088,000 690,521,000 3,610,000 15,398,000 3,051,000 17,104,000 153,717,000 9,092,000 9,2841 000 9,592,000 4, "(27,000 82,938,000 ~l !)I}')() ,122,000 EI Includes $273,667,000 noncompetitive tenders accept'] At the averc:-,ge pricE:.' of 98.951 Includes $ 94,905,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average iX''-:'~ of 97 .9L!J I These rates are on a bank discount basis. 4.26% for 'the 91-day bills, and 4.23% for F - 863 The equivalent coupon issue yields are the 182,-cAY Dills. TREASURY DEPARTMENT FOR Th1MEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY DECISrCN 00 FISHERY PRODUCTS UNDER THE ANTIDUMPING ACT The Treasury Department has determined that shrimps, lobster tails, and lobsters, fresh frozen or cooked frozen, from the U.S.S.R. are not being, nor likely to be, sold at less than fair value within the meaning of the Antidumping Act, 1921, as amended (19 U.S.C. 160 et ~.). A "Notice of Tentative Determina- tion," Vias published in the Federal Register on January 31, 1967. All written submissions received in opposition to the tentative determination were given full conSideration, but none contained persuasive grounds justifying a different conclusion. v~s No request made of the Secretary of the Treasury for an opportunity to present views. Customs officers are being instructed to proceed with the appraisement of this merchandise from the U.S.S.R. vdthout regard to any question of dumping. Imports of the involved merchandise received during the period January 1, 1966, through October 31, 1966, were valued at approximately $500,000. There have been no reports of importations of the merchandise under consideration subsequent to the foregoing period. TREASURY DEPARTMENT ( ~ RELEASE 6 :30 p.)1.., 28, 1961. ~sday, )larch RESULTS OF TREASURY'S MONTHLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department announced that the tenders for two series of Treasury L1s, one series to be an additional issue of the billa dated December 31, 1966, and , other series to be dated March 31, 1967, which were offered on March 22, 1961, were Ined at the Federal Reserve Banks today. Tenders were invited for $500,000,000, or Ireabouts, of 275-day bills and for $900,000,000, or thereabouts, of .366-day billa. details of the two series are as follows: IGE OF ACCEPTED IPETITlVE BIDS t High Lf)w Average 275-day Treasury bills December .31, 1967 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 96.899 4.059% 96.872 4.095% 96.885 4.078% Y maturin~ · · 366-cia.y Treasury bills maturing March 31l 1968 lpprox. !qUiy. Price Annual Rate 9$.870 4.062% 95.839 4.093% 95.858 4.07~ Y 35% of the amount of 275-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted 56% of the amount of 366-day bills bid far at the low price was accepted III. TENDERS APPLIED FOR AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS: lstrict )stOn !WYork tiladelphia Leveland Lemond ilant. licago ;. Louis JIIleapolis illSas City :llaB n Franciaco TOTAlS s Flied For A;eE11ed For AcceEted I 20,000 : 30,L.86,OOO 20,000 $ 1,131,£91,000 917,948,000 395,959,000 9,188,000 4,)24,000 324,000 • : 10,416,000 24,004,000 25,416,000 760,000 7f:iJ,OOO 7,737,000 16,062,000 5,484,000 15,484,000 34,961,000 305,307,000 201,769,000 9,698,000 4,952,000 : 8,252,000 1,146,000 3,579,000 U,146,ooo 2,928,000 1,549,000 1,549,000 12,079,000 6,550,000 11,550,000 116,z173,z009 95.z205.z000 37 1 95°,,002 · · · $1,299,423,000 $ 500,071,000 !I $1,669,132,000 AcceEted I 19,166,000 666, h)1, 000 1,188,000 8,974,000 1,737,000 6,062,000 110,307,000 6,598,000 1,859,000 2,926,000 8,079,000 66 1673 1000 $ 900,002,000 PI noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average pr~c~ ot 96.885 fucludes $40 127 000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average pr~ce of 95.858 These rates ke ~n a bank discount basis. The equivalent coupon issue yields are 4.2$% for the 275-day bills, and 4.28% for the ,366-day bills. Includes $18,1l6,ooo ~- 864 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Ulal"ch 20, 1967, FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL ,Jli t, KING The Treasury Department, by this pub11·:: not:!;,:;€':, >l:' i,'CS tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $2,300,000, 000, or thereabouts, for c ash and :to exchar'f~ -, ~o r Treasury bills maturing April 6,1967, in ~r,e amOi..H~t o;~ $2,300,427,000, as follows: 1 91-day bills (to maturity date) to be is':LA€': in the amount of $ 1,300,000,000, Jr' thereabcltlts additional amount of bills dated January c,", 196 7 , mature July 6,1967, originally iSSll,ed in ';-he $ 1,001,157, 000 ,the additional and oY-if2,inal billa interchangeable. J April 6, 1967, representing an and to amount of to be freely 182-day bills, ror $1,000,000,000, or thereaj)U~3, to be dated ApriI6,1967, and tr) mature Octobt:: S, 196i. The bills of both series will lJe lssued O~1 a dlscou;-lt basiS under competitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinaftpJ:" pro.,ided, and at maturity their face amount will be payaole without .. nterest • . 'l'hey will be issued in bearer form only, and in denon:lnatlons of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 ana $1,000,000 (maturi ty value). Tenders will be received at Feceral Hesel"'ve Banks and Branches to the closing hour, one-thirty p oIn., Eastern :Jtandard time, Monday, April 3, 1967. Ten~ers will not be received at the Treasury De?artment, Washingtoi:. Each tender must be for an even mu1r:lple of $1,000, and in the case of ccmpetttive tenders the price offered must be pxpressed on the basis cf 1.00, with not more than three declm~ls, e. g., 9So925. Fractions may not be used. It 1s urged that t~nder2 be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the sp-?c 1al envelopes wl~l:' :).fL.l be supplied by Fedp.ral Reserve Banks or Branches on application :.11er0'f'or. up Banking instltutJons generally l11.a;/ sut.'r(,_, . . :"';=,,:de;:~; for account. of customers provided the names of the cus~omerB ?re s~~ forth in such tenders. Others than banking lnstltutl'Jns will no~lJ€'; perm:1t::eC to submit tenders except for their 0'1/0 account. L2nde:'2 'i :..11tx' re~€.ived without deposit from incorporated banks aw' tri<~"')< ties 3,<;' from responsible and recognized dealers in ~liVf,.'.IV.1C '-':>" ur';.t:. ie;;.. . "en.ders from others must be accompanied bypo':'i~ "n" ':,..; "~~~sl,.,,f th,~ fac'· amount of Tre~l'3u.ry bills applied fo", ',~:.:L,,~:;n "-~ ":(:.~;derc; 3 Y'f' accompanied bJ.' an express guaranty of payment ~J1 3'1 inC0P'iJ':>r'ated -ank or trust company. 2 F-865 - 2 Immediatelv after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on April 6, 1967, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing April 6, 1967. Cash and exchange tender will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. o The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or state, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasu ry bills (other than life insurance c ompan ies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which t~ return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revis ion) and thi notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained f any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 ~OR USE IN MORNING NEWSPAPERS OF fHURSDAY, MARCH 30, 1967 REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE HENRY H. FOWLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AT THE LAUNCHING OF UNITED AIR LINES' 1967 DISCOVER AMERICA CAMPAIGN STATLER-HILTON HOTEL, WASHINGTON, D. C. WEDNESDAY, MARCH 29, 1967, 6:30 P.M., EST I am indeed pleased this evening to be invited to the inaug~rat~on of United Air Lines' extraordinary promotion campa~gn program. 1n support of President Johnson's Discover America In its brief two year existence, Discover America, Inc. has worked vigorous 1y to deve lop the Amer ican tour is t marke t. Until 1965 the United States lacked a single organization which could serve to coord inate the many diverse tourist programs of private industries. Now, in Discover America we have such an organization and I am confident that these unusual resources will be properly developed. There is another important reason this evening for my enthusiasm over the programs of Discover America and United Air Lines. This reason relates to one of our most important national efforts -- achieving for this country a proper balance of international payments. In recent years, with the continually :-isin g leve~ of income of the average American and the grovnng attract10n of foreign -- particularly European -- travel, Am~r~cans have tended to seek more and more travel opportunlt1es abroad. The result has been a rapid growth in our d tourist expenditures overseas -- a gro~th which.has outpace our receipts from foreign visitors com~ng to thlS country. In 1955 our total travel payments to foreign co~ntr~es were approximately $1.4 billion. In 1966 we are estvuatl.ng that this dollar outflow will reach the $3.4 billion mark. - 2 This figure in itself would not be significant were it not for the wide gap between our own expenditures abroad and our receipts from foreign visitors in the United States. On the receipts side, we are now estimating that in 1966 the total dollar inflow will total approximately $1.6 billion, an encouraging rise from less than $1 billion in 1961. The net result, however, is a tourist deficit in 1966 around $1.8 billion. When we compare this $1.8 billion deficit on tourism with our overall deficit on a liquidity basis of $1.4 billion in 1966, we can understand the vital role which our tourist expenditures play in our overall balance of payments results. The ultimate solution to containing our tourist deficit lies in the success of efforts of private organizations such as Discover America and United Air Lines. Tourism throughout the world has become a major industry. The enormous tourism boom in such areas as Western Europe, the Mediterranean, Japan, Mexico, etc., is largely the result of vigorous marketing efforts. We in Government and private industry are only beginning to realize the great potential which lies before the American tourist market. American enterprise has traditionally been quick and aggressive in seizing favorable market opportunities for its products. Our product is travel in America and our market consists of the many millions of travelconscious Americans and foreigners. Competition among nations for this market is intense, and timing is highly important. Unless we in the United States can act quickly to capture a profitable share of this dynamic market, we may find ourselves obtaining only marginal benefits from international tourism. The Administration fully supports the combined efforts of organizations such as United and Disco~er Ame:ica to develop a profitable tourist market It lS our Judgment that your initiative and imagination are by far the best ways to help correct our unfavorable tourism balance.and enhance our tourist market for Americans and non-Amerlcans alike. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT 5 = March 29, 1967 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE DR. HOWARD GETS TREASURY'S ALEXANDER HAMILTON AWARD Secretary of the Treasury Henry H. Fowler today presented the Treasury's Alexander Hamilton Award to Dr. Frank Leland Howard, director of the Treasury's Office of Domestic Gold and Silver Operations. The Alexander Hamilton Award is the Treasury's highest honor. It was established in 1955 to "give recognition for outstanding and unusual leadership in the Treasury Department" and "to be awarded those whose leadership in the Treasury is such as to bring outstanding and unusual service and benefit to the Government and so to the people of our Nation." Dr. Howard leaves Federal service on March 31, after nearly 33 years of service in the Treasury Department. He began his employment with the Bureau of the Mint on April 30, 1934. Beginning as an auditor he rose through the ranks to become assistant director, and in several instances, acting director of the Mint. Dr. Howard's formal resignation took effect on December 30. He agreed to remain for several months as a consultant. The award to Dr. Howard cited him for having "contributed with distinction to the formulation and execution of Treasury policies concerning the domestic control of monetary metals," and noted that his advice has been sought by other Government agencies, Members of Congress and by foreign governmen t s • From June 9 to August 25, 1945, Dr. Howard served as AdVisor to the Supreme Headquarters, Allied Expeditionary Forces, directing the work of inventorying the precious metals collected by the Nazis during World War II and stored in the Reichsbank at Frankfort, Germany. - 2 - In 1948, he served as Advisor to the Commanding General, Eighth Army, Yokahama, Japan, on matters relating to an inventory of precious metals in Eighth Army's custody. Under the Point IV program, he advised Peruvian officials, during August and September 1951, on the organization and modernization of the National Mint of Peru. In the Spring of 1957 he was head of a special mission to Pakistan and India, working out arrangements for the return of Lend-Lease silver. In November and December, 1965, Dr. Howard was a Consultant to the Government of Australia on various monetary and mint problems, particularly the decimal coinage system. During that period he also inspected the Sudanese Mint and conferred with Sudanese officials on matters related to Coinage. Born in Hodgenville, Kentucky, Dr. Howard, 59, received his B.S. degree in Business Administration from the University of Kentucky. He took his M.S. and Ph.D. degrees in Economics from the University of Virginia. He was Assistant Director of the Mint from 1938 until 1961. In October 1961, the Office of Domestic Gold and Silver Operations was established and Dr. Howard was named its first director. Dr. Howard lives at 3413 Dent Place, N.W., Washington, D.C. The citation to his award is attached. 000 elf,' !~12:r,ander l' ~:'.:m~( TI;Jl~ I-rami 1 tou ~'~HCird Lelauo Howard a lunL-tiIll2 o::---=icial o~ the United State.s Treasury i:i:cst as j\.ssistant Director ot the l"~int and later as tne ~irst Director of the O££ice o~ Domestic Gold and Silver lIpet"a tiolJ.s, you have eontr i.butcd ".,it~1 dis tine Lion \:0i::£12 _ v ~:r~ . u 1ft ~..LGl" ·3 ~ .~ 1 ' .- i . . i ~-" ~). rr~::: 2c~ .3 Ui":/ .:':<.... . 1 if'; .:'_::' .. 3 (;.c..r~~ 21:1 a ~1..11v til-..; C('l-llestic control V_l,h.Jl,etary Iiletals. L::'S De~i::I.rtmeIlt) t..it.. : J '_' You h<:lve ueIllons tra ted 6rea t tecimica 1 LuowlC!u;;e and astute jud6ment in cousistently providin2, sound l'econn •. enGCitiuns and advice on the cielicatE: aGe comflex L1terrelatiollshLvs bet\veen Ilioneta~-y metals and uOi.!lestic f).nd :i.oreion econoITLic <lE::VelOphleuts. Your 1.1t.~lp has beel! sousht by otlwr GOVGrnli1ent aGencies, l:embers OJ: Conoress and by ~orei6n governments, add modernized currency sys te111S in several part~ oi the world stand as lltOnlli1lCl1CS to Y0ur 2.ssistance. Yuur record ot more dIan 30 fears O~ out~tan~~nb lendersai~ in tne Tre<.'. su::-y De~artli!ent DaLes you a \'\nrtny l.:ecir·icr t 0 . ':iH-: .lexanci2~ .1.c1h:ilton /~~'I':!~C, tnc ~lit.il~St rel..~')::'Eitiol! \.;ri':·d~;_L, -;:ll(: • .J ",-.L 0 '1'"-' ,~ __ .. ~. t--' '-11 ..f_ :;.... . " ' _ ••. , ' - , , ..... L.JC __ .L.. l.,.; --.O.L j r: \ J .. _ '·l.. .......I .0_ "-'~e"'~ur'·' .l L. l..'-V I. Treasury Department Fiscal Year 1968 Appropriation Hearings General Statement of the Secretary Mr. Olainnan and Members of the Treasury Subconuni ttee on Appropriations, I am pleased to appear before you as the first witness in support of the 1968 budget request of the Treasury Department. Heads of each of the Treasury bureaus will appear before you later to discuss in such detail as you may wish the many important functions performed in the Treasury. This year we do not have the Coast Guard with us. The Department of Transportation is now established and transfer of the Coast Guard has been completed. Its association with related activities in the new Department should do much to enhance its opportunities and effectiveness. We wish for the Coast Guard a new era of ever finer achievement. On March 20 the Cormni ttee on Appropriations of the House of Representatives in House Report No. 144, reported H.R. 7501, making appropriations for the Treasury Department for fiscal year 1968. The Bill, as ra~sed by the House on r-.1arch 22, 1967, provides $915,726,000 for regular annual operating appropriations. A reduction of $12,147,000 was made in the budget estimates slwrnitted by the President. I would like to discuss generally the requests which we included in the President's Budget and then comment on the effects of .. 2 - the reductions made by the House. In the Treasury Department we are doing everything we can think of to accomplish the tasks that have been assigned wi!h the fewest possible people and at the least possible cost. These hearings give us an opportunity to explain our work plans and to present the financial plans we have developed to accomplish them. We thank you for the understanding and support of this Corrmittee over our many years of association. It is our intention to keep our affairs in such order that your constructive interest will always be merited. We welcome any suggestions you may have to improve service or save money. Requests for regular operating appropriations in the President's Budget totaled $927.9 million for 1968 -- an increase of $30.7 million over appropriations to date for 1967 and proposed supplementals included in House Documents No. 83 and 91. By comparison. the increase we requested for these accounts last year was $56 million. was tight. This year is terribly tight. Last year This year hits a new low in requests for increases to meet service workloads that inevitably grow with population and economy. The Departmental Management Improvement Program This Committee has been watching and supporting our efforts to deal with these ever-increasing workloads for years. Since 1946 w~en the fonnal Departmental Management Improvement Program was started, - 3 - $271 million have been saved as a result of aggressive efforts to do the job for less cost. Elimination of low priority work, reorgani- zations. automation of repetitive tasks, work simplification, employee training. an imaginative approach in the use of people, machines, and space have been the means of the improvements. In the year just past, fiscal year 1966, we have set a new record for management savings. Our goal under the President's Cost Reduction Program -- the latest extension of our long tenn lvtanagement Improvement Program -- was $34.1 million. We saved $44.5 million and the equivalent of 3,600 man-years of employee effort. We established a goal of $50 million at the beginning of fiscal year 1967, including savinis of the Coast Guard. CAlr proll"- emphasizing cost-consciousness goes to every level of supervision. For exanqJle: Employee suggestions of improved ways to do things saved $2.9 million last year. Productivity was increased at the Bureau of Engraving and Printing by installing and perfecting the use of new currency presses, savings were made in procurement contracts, the useful life of old equipment was prolonged, more economical engines were found to be satisfactory for five Coast Guard cutters. The list of major items is long -- there are 77 items. These are some of the ways we keep our appropriation requests at such low levels. I know that other witnesses will be glad to go into more detail on some of these items when they testify. - 4 - Planning, Programming and Budgeting System This past year we instituted the Planning, Programming and Budgeting System in the 1.)epartment. This approach looks at operations in terms of programs rather than organizational units and evaluates them in terms of priorities, costs, and benefits. Part IV of the President's Budget contains summary data on the Department's maj or programs, showing resources used and related output measures the first time su~~ data have been available. This activity is still in its developmental phase but has already proved a useful adj Wlct to the budget making process. Principal Chanses in ~propriations The Bureau of the Mint is showing a substantial reduction from its 1967 funding level for operating expenses. The principal increases are $a3.S-million for Internal Revenue Service. $2.1 million for the Bureau of Custans, $1.-3 million for the Secret Service, and $1.5 million for the Bureau of Accounts. in the other bureaus are very small. Olmges I would like to explain the principal increase items briefly if I may, and comment in passing on the remaining appropriation requests. ~mv " T nrp~ent for the record at j, thi~ noint. 5ummary statements ... .7 on the 1968 budget estimates for all the annual appropriation accounts of the Department and a statement comparing the 1968 budget estimates with the amounts provided in the House Bill. - 5 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Annual Appropriations for Treasury Department for 1967 and Estimated Requirements for 1968 (In millions of dollars) 1967 Appropriations y ReauJ.ar Annual Operating Appropriations: Increase 1968 or Budget Decrease (-) Estimates $7.1 $7.3 $0.2 33.0 34.S 1.5 21.4 6.3 53.8 90.4 14.6 6.6 52.1 -0.3 2.1 -6.8 0.3 -1.7 19.0 173.0 473.2 20.1 177.0 501.0 0.8 1.1 4.0 27.8 0.8 Total. Internal Revenue Service -- 665.1 698.9 33.8 Office of the Treasurer, U. S. -.----U. S. Secret Service ----------------- 6.3 15.6 6.6 16.9 0.2 Total, Re~l!r Annual Operating ApproprIatIons ----------------------- 897.2 927.9 30.7 Office of the Secretary -------------Bureau of Accwnts: Salaries and Expenses -------------Fund for Payment of Government Losses in Shipment --------------Bureau of Customs -----_.------------Bureau of the Mint ------------------Bureau of Narcotics -----------------Bureau of the Public Debt -----------Internal Revenue Service: Salaries and Expenses -------------Revenue AccoWlting and Processing -Compliance ----.-.-----------------Federal Tax Lien Revolving FWld - - -- 0.3 88.3 1.3 Note: Amounts are roWlded and may not add to totals. y Includes $18.8 million for proposed supplementals for Public Law and wage board pay increases, of which $5.1 million is to be derived by tr~~sfer from the Bureau of the ~lint 1967 appropriation of $26.5 million. and . $2.0 million for proposed program supplementals for the Bureau of the Publlc Debt, the U. S. Secret Service, and the Fund for Payment of. Go,:enunent Losses in Shipment. Does not reflect $509 thousand approprlatlon transfer to GSA for rental of general purpose space. TREASURY OOPARTl>fENf Comparative Statement of 1968 Budget Estimates and House Allowances (Dollars in thousands) Bureau and Appropriation Reaalar Annual Operating Appropriations: Office of the Secretary -------------liueau of Accounts: Salaries and expenses -.-----------Fund for Payment of Government Losses in Shipment --------------Bureau of Customs -------------------Bureau of the ~tint: Salaries and Expenses -----.-------Construction of ~tint Facilities ---Bureau of Narcotics ---------.-------Bureau of the Public Debt -----------Internal Revenue Service: Salaries and Expenses -------------Revenue Accounting and Processing -Compliance -- •• --------------------Federal Tax Lien Revolving Fund ---Total, Internal Revenue Service -Office of the Treasurer, U. S. ------U. S. Secret Service: Salaries and Expenses -------------Construction of Training FacilitiesTotal, Regular Annual Operating Appropriations ----------------------- 1967 Appropriation (AdjustedY) 1968 Budget Estimate Av.P6s~-~j'ijiiount Av~s~-AmOufit House Bill Compared w:LtI! Reconmended in Restoration 1967 House Bill Request 1968 Estimates Aeeropriation for 1968 Amount Av. Pos. J\iiiOurit Av. - POs. - - .AIIIOunt Av. Pos. Miount Av. Pos. 557 Y $7 ,101 572 $7,317 552 $7,015 1,367 32,988 1,354 34,500 1,354 34,500 8,333 265 88,278 8,561 90,400 8,593 90,700 +32 2,205 21,393 1,443 14,600 1,373 14,000 -70 461 2,513 6,275 53,794 4.66 2,349 6,565 52,084 466 2,349 6,565 52,048 20,060 1,524 177,024 21,493 501,016 43,408 800 19,960 177,000 490,000 500 698,900 66,425 687,460 3/ 1,484 3/ 18,959 1,531 21,201 - 172,966 21,493 473,207 44,408 42,624 65,309 665,132 67,432 1,201 15,631 1,274 82,697 897,205 84,223 751 6,348 772 6,588 772 6,588 16,919 1,274 16,850 927.873 33.158 915,726 IS $228 70 600 -5 -$86 -13 1,512 +300 260 -265 2,422 -600 -832 -7,393 -36 5 -164 290 -1,746 -1,000 -100 -24 -ll,016 -300 40 292 784 1,001 4,034 16.793 500 1,000 U,016 -1,007 -11,440 1,116 22,328 1,000 11,016 -69 73 1,219 -12,147 461 18,521 1,085 1l,8~4 -20 -7 -1,065 -$302 21 1/ Adjusted to reflect prO';1oscd strrplcment:t1 appropri:ltions incluJcJ in ,:ouse Document 83 and House Document 91. 240 1/ Reflects funds transferred from the Office of Emergency Planning for errergency preparedness functions of the Treasury Department. Beginning in fiscal year 1968, it is proposed that th~se funds be appropriat~d. d~rect1y to the Of~ice of the Secretary. 3/ Reflects the transfer of the program eValuatIon functions from the Reports DIVISIon (Data ProceSSIng) to the Planning and Analysis Division (Planning and Research). 0- - 7 INfERNAL REVENUE SERVI CE We requested appropriations of $698.1 million for the operating expenses of the Internal Revenue Service. This is an increase of $33 million over the 1967 requirements. increase to $21.8 million. The I-louse Bill reduced this Stating the increases in terms of the three individual appropriations will highlight the budget actions we planned and show the House Bill allowances. Budget Estimate House Bill tIn millions) Salaries and Expenses --- $1.1 $1.0 Revenue Accounting and Processing ------------ 4.1 4.0 Compliance -------------- 27.8 16.8 $33.0 $21.8 Total increase in operating expenses --------------- We are requesting restoration of the House reduction of $11 million in the "Compliance" appropriation. The reductions applied to "Salaries and Expenses" and "Revenue Accounting and Processing" will be absorbed, we hope, through additional managements improvements yet to be identified. Compliance Improvement To meet the program requirements of all our bureaus within the level of estimates which we have included in the 1968 Federal budget posed some difficult decisions. The determination on funding for - 8 - the Internal Revenue Service reflects a particularly careful assessment of total Treasury responsibilities. We determined to trade off as many of the wants of the other Treasury bureaus as possible to provide resources to increase the tax enforcement effort. Additionally, within the Revenue Service we chose to lease equipment for purchase later rather than purchase in 1968 in order to provide still other funds for enforcement. As a result of these actions, you will note that SZ7.S-million -- 84% of the IRS increase -- 70% of the total Treasury increases requested -- was allocated to Compliance improvement. The Bureau of the Budget fully concurred in this allocation of resources. Public Confidence The Internal Revenue Service is effecting gross revenue collections at the phenomenally low cost of less than 50 cents per $100. It is able to do so principally because of an extraordinarily high level of taxpayer compliance. This high level has been achieved as a result of strong enforcement and taxpayer assistance programs over a period of many years. These programs have been successful in building public awareness and confidence that the tax laws are being fully and fairly enforced, that there is a reasonable expectation that cheaters will be detected and punished, and that the laws are being applied equitably and reasonably to all classes of taxpayers in all parts -of the country. The public knows that compliance - 9 - assistance is available to those who need it, and that the tax officials are firm, fair, and honest. Without this public confidence our self-assessment tax system could not exist and we all know the disastrous consequences which would result to our Federal financial structure. Additional Revenues Under the President t s Budget estimate, the Internal Revenue Service would produce over $5-1/2 billion in direct enforcement revenue from Service operations in 1968. This is an estimated increase of $450 million over 1967 -- or over 13 times the total increase of $33.8 million requested for the entire Service. We consider this direct revenue alone a highly profitable return on the proposed investment. But even more important than that is the indirect revenue which is engendered from the spreading effect of enforcement and taxpayer assistance programs. In a sense, what we have proposed here is an investment in "preventive maintenance." We must not allow public confidence to be lost or the high level of voluntary compliance to deteriorate. Drop in Audit Coverage Tax return audit coverage in the higher income categories has dropped significantly over the past few years from the level achieved - 10 - in 1960 -- a level which we have considered to be a guidepost. This is because of the rising number of tax returns. and the increasing proportion of returns which are in the corporation, estate and gift, and higher income individual brackets. These higher incoJre. more complex returns yield more revenue but take more time and require audit in the field. I have here a chart that depicts the gradual decline in the field audit coverage from 1.4 percent of returns in 1960 to 1.0 percent of returns in 1967. We wished to improve to 1.2 percent of returns in fiscal 1968. The chart also shows how we have tried to apply the less time consuming office audit techniques to as many returns as possible. Audits performed at the Internal Revenue Service offices, however. can involve only the investigations of transportable records. s~ler Revenues from these cases amount to less than 10 percent of the revenues from field audit of the larger more difficult returns although the number of audits made in the office is very much larger. The change in tax return workload is illustrated by these figures: Whereas from 1960 to 1970 the total number of returns filed is expected to increase by 20 percent, individual returns of adjusted gross income of $lOtOOO and above will increase 214 percent, corporation returns 63 percent, estate and gift tax returns, 94 percent. PERCENT OF TAX RETURNS AUDITED %1 1% 5 5 4.6 4 4 3.8 I-' o >- 3 3 2 2 o Field ~....... Audit O! , . f95?Si 1960 , .!809S! '61 Office of the Sec:tetary of the Treasury r d .!888SI '62 , . . . '888$1 '63 , ...•.•. '8888' ,»RSsgt I· .• R§iI l··· ..... ga I •. .• 1888' '64 '65 '66 '67 '68 Fiscal Years 10 I Z-907 - 11 - The returns that are increasing most rapidly are those that place the heaviest burden on field audit. The audit program provides for the examination of certain percentages of the various types and classes of returns filed. Sheldon Cohen will explain the program when he appears before you. He will tell you that the drop in coverage of the higher income returns has also been due to increased thoroughness of audit (which pays off well in revenues and public confidence) and to the very limited manpower made available. The request made here for increased funding for compliance operations will not restore the 1960 level of audit coverage, but it is essential to halt the downward trend. That downward trend, if not halted, is certain to lead to poorer compliance and a loss in revenue far in excess of operating costs saved. I would like to caution against any notion that the Master File ADP System of tax return processing is so comprehensive that the additional revenues we seek will be achieved without this investment in enforcement. has It is true that the Master File System had a sall.Jtary effect on voluntary compliance. It has also helped to limit our manpower needs in the Delinquent Accounts and Returns area by facilitating offsets of refunds against delinquent accounts, by automatically issuing second notices of unpaid amounts due, ~~d providing leads to persons not filing returns. But those - 12 effects have already been considered and we have included no request for any manpower increase for collecting delinquent accounts or securing delinquent returns -- despite sizeable workload increases. The Master File System is also assistiDg in illpnwiq tile selection of returns for audit -- and that too has been taken into accoWlt in our request. But the Master File System. the cOO1puters t cannot interview taxpayers, examine books and NC01"ds. and make teclmical judgments. It takes lumJan beings of intelligeau:e. honesty. and thorough training to audit tax returns. bear ancl resolve taxpayer appeals. make tax fraud investigations. anc1 represent the United States in litigation. It is for these p1!pOMS that this request is submi tted and it is because of the i.JIpn'tace of accomplishing these purposes that I so strongly and eatDeStly endorse this request and suggest that restoration of these funds is a desirable and essential investment. Finally, there should be no complacency regarding ec>q)liance levels. high as they are. Results of studies of errors on income tax retums show a continuing disturbing level of noncompliance and tax errors. Technological Advancements The amount of increase requested for the Revenue Service beyond that for effectual enforcement is principally to continue our efforts - 13 - to modernize revenue accounting and returns processing. It provides for putting individual master file processing on a full year basis in the final remaining regions of the country. It also includes extension of single font optical scanning to the six remaining service centers at a cost of approximately $1 million -- This the CUlmination of a testing program provided in fiscal year 1967 and conducted at the Southeast Service Center (Atlanta). It inCludes $2 million for the installation and lease of direct data entry systems at six service centers. This system, too, was described last year. ConInissioner Cohen will give you the details on these newest electronic means to reduce costs and increase efficiency. Very briefly, however, what is involved is this: gptical S~g System This equipment can read documents which we prepare ourselves and send out to the taxpayer for some information from him. lVhen the documents are returned to us they can be re-read and the information transmitted direct to magnetic tape without an intervening punching process. The equipment will pay for itself within three years. Direct Data Entry System This system is being tested at the Southeast Service Center. It permits an operator to transcribe data from returns into equipment - 14 - which will automatically verify and convert it to magnetic tape without intervention of the key punching process. It results also in considerable savings in key punch, verification, and error resolution costs. The Service is not requesting funds to purchase direct data entry systems at the other six service centers in 1968, but simply to install them and lease. After testing, evaluation, and modification in the Southeast Center. delivery of the remaining six systems can be effected near the end of the fiscal year 1968. The $2 million requested will provide $1.6 million for installation costs and $400,000 for the lease. Operation of the direct data entry system is expected to save about $1 million a year at each of the service centers. If the system meets our expectations, as I have every reason to believe it will, 1 will wish to request funds for purchase in the 1969 budget. Not only will these technological advances pay for themselves and result in savings, but they offer a practical way of keeping up with the ever-rising flood of paperwork without adding enormously to the staffs of key punchers and verifiers. BUREAU OF CUST(M) In 1968 the Bureau of Customs faces staggering increases in the inward flow of merchandise, carriers, and persons. We ask for - 15 small increases in manpower to meet the demands of this workload and to strengthen foreign mail examination, where greatly increased revenues are certain to be realized. The 1968 estimate for the Bureau of Customs was $90.4 million, an increase of $2.1 million over the 1967 requirements of $88.3 million. Action by the House provided an additional $300 ,000 for this appropriation J which was obtained by a reduction in the same amount from the new Federal Tax Lien Revolving Fund. No adjustment has been requested because we are keenly aware of Customs' problems, and, at this time. we have no experience basis with the Tax Lien Fund. Of the total increase, $1.6 million, is for costs built into the present program. These costs are for within·grade promotions, trainee-to-journeyman promotions, additional 1968 costs of program increases financed on a part-year basis in 1967, and the additional cost in 1968 of the last year's pay legislation. Measurable Workload Determining the level of funding for the Bureau of the Customs lends itself fairly well to the measure of resources provided and results obtained. Much of Customs workload is measurable and the measures reflect the long term trend of more and more persons and cargo entering the United States. We can point to the quadrupling of numbers, of merchandise entries and the six-fold increase in Customs -16revenues in the last twenty years -- accomplished with only a 5 percent rise in employment. Within the restricted budget we did all that we could to provide additional resources for needs that are illustrated in the following examples: The volume of importations. people, and carriers entering the United States, all of which must be processed by Customs, continues to spiral upward at an almost unbelievably rapid rate. Aircraft arrivals from foreign countries are increas- ing at the rate of nearly 15 percent per year. entries are going up 10 percent per year. Formal merchandise During fiscal year 1966 the number of formal entries filed by importers total 2,011,000 and invoices received totaled 3,240,000 -- substantially more than estimated in our 1967 budget submission. The value of imports rose from $19.7 billion to $23.3 billion, an almost unprecedented increase of 18.2 percent. Similarly, Customs collections reached nearly $2.5 billion, up 20 percent over 1965. 'There is every indication that similar increases are now being experienced and will be experienced in the remainder of fiscal year 1967 and in fiscal year 1968. Workload increases of this magnitude cannot be processed without additional manpower. During fiscal year 1966 more than 192 million persons arrived in the United States ~t our seaports, airports, and across our - 17 land borders. More than ZOO million people will cross our borders in fiscal year 1968, the equivalent of nearly seven people every second. Additional inspectional manpower is urgently needed to process this tremendous increase in arriving persons. Carriers arriving totaled more than 57 million in 1966 and are expected to reach 64 million in 1968. Mail from foreign countries is flooding Customs' facilities. Mail Examination The largest single program increase proposed is an intensification of foreign mail examination. Frequently the great volume of mail received makes impossible the examination of mail parcels containing merchandise valued as high as $50 even though the statutory limit is $10 for bona fide gifts and $1 for other merchandise. In this area we propose to increase our expenditures by $690,000, with a resulting revenue increase of at least $7,000,000. In addition to increasing revenue collections, the additional mail examination will provide an important increase in protection against the illegal introduction of narcotics and many other kinds of prohibited or restricted merchandise. Recently we have seen increased efforts to smggle marihuana by mail. - 18 For the first time, as an adjunct to the new Planning, Programming,and Budgeting System, funds are requested for a small Customs Headquarter's Program, Planning and Analysis Staff. A significant start in the program structure development of the system has been made, and we are now moving into the development of an infonnation system to support the program structure. BUREAU OF THE MINT The estimate for Bureau of the Mint operating expenses for 1968 was $14.6 million -- a decrease of $11.9 million below the amount originally appropriated for 1967. The 1968 request was a decrease of $6.8 million from that appropriation as adjusted for a proposed transfer out of $5.1 million under the pay increase supplemental. This estimate was reduced $600 thousand by the House. A restoration for the full amount is requested. The coinage program for the fiscal year 1968 called for production of 6.6 billion domestic coins. We believe that this is the lowest production that should be considered consistent with sound management of the overall coinage requirements of the United States. With the continued heavy production during the fiscal year 1967 of the new clad COins, it is expected that sufficient quantities will have been produced to pennit substantial cutBacks in the dime and quarter denominations in 1968. - 19 Inventories of coins in the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches have improved considerably in all denominations with the exception of the half-dollar and pressures on the Mints have been greatly relieved. These inventories were built up partially as a result of the program undertaken by the Mint to fill the urgent need for coins and by the siImll taneous program of producing enough coins of the new alloy to replace entirely the subsidiary silver coin in circulation. At this time. the program to produce the needed replacement coin is about 50 percent complete. We should continue this program until we are assured that sufficient coins are available to conduct the Nation's business. All required funds to complete the new Philadelphia Mint have been appropriated. Construction which began on October I, 1965. is scheduled for completion in January 1968. Mint Operating Fund For some time we have had under consideration a method of financing for the Mint which would provide the flexibility to meet sudden changes in demand for coin. A change in financing was proposed by the General Accounting Office some years ago. This legislative proposal has been introduced under S. 1156 and referred to the Banking and Currency Committee. The 1968 Budget Document has been printed in terms both of the regular appropriations for Salaries and Expenses and Mint permanent aCcolDlts and the proposed "Mint Operating Fund. " - 20 If the proposed Mint Operating Fund has been approved prior to the beginning of fiscal year 1968, appropriate action will be taken on the request for the Salaries and Expenses appropriation. UNITED STATES SECRET SERVI CE The estimate for the U. S. Secret Service for fiscal year 1968 was $16,919,000. The House provided $16,850,000 -- an increase of $1,219,000 over the requirements for fiscal year 1967. I'm sure that the Service can accept the challenge to find management improvements to offset this reduction. In my appearance before this Committee last year, I noted the progress of the Secret Service in implementing the program increases approved by the Congress. Many of these objectives have been accomplished and the protective capabilities of the Service are being constantly refined. Actions have been taken to comply with the recommendations of the Warren Cormnission and this budget provides support to continue development of the Secret Service in line with those recommendations. The selection and appointment of additional personnel and the initial training of the new Special Agen~have the remarkably short period of eighteen months. objective reached a milestone. been completed in Another program The automatic data processing - 21 - system began operation in the first quarter of fiscal year 1967 and is being refined and developed to provide vital intelligence data to support the protective operations of the Service. The enforcement activities of the Service have increased. consistently with the rising crime trends associated with other areas of law enforcement. Investigation of counterfeiting and forgery of Government obligations must counter a tide of riSing volume in those criminal activities. This budget includes provisions for this essential support in training, protective specialities and added clerical assistance. The White House Police have assumed additional security responsibilities that will require 37 additional policemen. This will increase the force to the statutory employment limitation of 250 police approved by the Congress. BUREAU OF NARCOTICS The estimate for the Bureau of Narcotics for fiscal year 1968 as approved by the President and the House is $6,565,000 -- an increase of $290,000 over the requirements for fiscal year 1967. Since 1964 , the illicit traffic in marihuana has been increasing rapidly. Arrest statistics indicate that the problem has doubled during the past two years. In an effort to cope with the increased problem, manpower has been diverted from the work on other illicit - 22 - narcotic traffic. In order to contain the narcotic traffic and attempt to restrict the growing problem in marihuana by utilizing our manpower in the most economical manner, funds are requested for the initial cost of automating records pertaining to permissive activities, for two-way radios and for dictating equipment. An increase of $100,000 has been earmarked for training of additional numbers of state and local narcotic officers at the Bureau of Narcotics Training School. This activity has met with enthusiastic response fram state and local officials. It has much potential benefit in dealing with the narcotic problem. The foreign enforcement program which strikes at the sources of supply of narcotic drugs sent to the United States continues to play an essential part in the total enforcement effort. Without the foreign program, there is little question that the narcotic problem in the United States would be far greater than it is today; however. we will evaluate our current effort before requesting further increases in this staff. BUREAU OF ACCOUNTS The estimate for'the Bureau of Accounts for fiscal year 1968 as approved by the President and the House is $34.5 million, an increase of $1.5 million over 1967. Measurable workload for the disbursing and depositary receipt activities is almost 4 percent higher than 1967; but a one percent reduction in employment is nevertheless planned. - 23 - The increase of $1.5 million over 1967 includes $1.3 million. to reimburse the Post Office Department for additional check mailings. The remainder of the increase is needed to finance the Bureau's own operating costs for added workload and additional functions. If the 1968 program were to be accomplished at 1967 operating costs, an additional $555,000 would be required. The 1968 estimate has been reduced, however, by establishing a goal of saving $555,000 through projected management improvements. These savings are expected to result from planned modifications in the depositary receipt system and further productivity advances in all other activities. As an example, a net reduction of 15 positions is planned for the disbursing actiYity despite a workload increase of over 14.1 million items. Productivity to be achieved in this function is projected at annost 5 percent above the 1967 rate. We appreciate the encouragement of this Committee that has helped us to achieve continuing increases in productivity through the maximum use of automatic data proceSSing equipment. OFFICE OF TIlE TREASURER, U. S. The estimate for the Office of the Treasurer of the United States for fiscal year 1968 is $6.6 million, an increase of $240 thousand over the amount required for 1967. This estimate was not changed by the House. The increase will provide 21 positions, such as claims examiners, accountants, and computer programmers who are - 24 - needeu to keep abreast of the increasing workload related to the payment of checks. Eighty thousand dollars of the increase will be used to purchase electronic equipment now being rented. Almost 70 percent of the appropriation requested for this Office will be used to fund activities concerned with (1) paying the increasing volume of Govenunent checks, which now exceed half a billion, and reconciling such payments to reports of issues submitted by disbursing officers, and (2) processing the hundreds of thousands of claims which invariably arise due to the lost, theft, and forgery of GoverIlJOOnt checks. The outstanding efficiency of the electronic data processing systems used to handle this enormous and constantly expanding workload coupled with increased employee productivity resulting from improved procedures has enabled this Office to handle effectively what would otherwise prove to be an almost insurmountable paperwork problem. Computer automation is being further extended to encompass additional programs when found to be feasible. For example, advantage is being taken of the unique capabilities of card-to-tape converting equipment to record tax deposit information on reels of magnetic tape. These in turn will be furnished to the Internal Revenue Service for use in reconciling payments claimed by taxpayers with tax deposits. The equipment is also used to process about ZOO million postal money orders for the Post Office Depar~nt on a reimbursable basis. - 25 - BUREAU OF THE PUBLIC DEBT For the appropriation "Administering the Public Debt" we requested $52.1 million for fiscal year 1968. This appropriation finances the salaries and expenses of the Bureau of the Public Debt. estimated at $44.7 million, and the United States Savings Bonds Division, estimated at $7.4 million. The House reduced this estimate $36 thousand to apply against the cost of maintaining personnel in the Savings Bonds Division. No appeal is made for this item. The estimates have been adjusted to include supplemental requirements of $1.9 million for the fiscal year 1967, transmitted by House Document No. 83. These additional amounts will provide for expanded promotion and sales of the Series E savings bond, for promotion and sale of the new savings instrument, for additional workload now being experienced in the current program, and for pay increase costs. A budget amendment for 1968 to cover these new costs is now pending in the Bureau of the Budget. Work volume is increasing substantially. Volwoos of issues for 1967 are now estimated to be 128.7 million which is an increase of 8 million over previous estimates. The volume of issues for 1968 is now expected to reach 164.7 million. U. S. SAVINGS BONDS DIVISION The U. S. Savings Bonds Program, which has always played a significant role in Treasury Department debt management, has assumed - 26 - even greater importance in view of the increased cost of the conflict in Vietnam and the added inflationary pressures on the economy. Tens of millions of Americans regularly invest in Savings Bonds thus providing the Treasury with a very important source of noninflationary financing. The total of $50.2 billion outstanding in Series E and H Savings Bonds as of December 31, 1966, represents 23 percent of the publicly held portion of the Federal debt. The net gain in the value of bonds outstanding amounted to $964 million including accrued interest during 1966. Since the interest rate was increased in February 1966 from 3.75 percent to 4.15 percent~ sales of the Series E and H Bonds have increased 10.4 percent over the corresponding period in 1965. Sales of Series E Bonds during calendar year 1966 amounted to $4.5 billion, the highest sales for any year since 1946. Much of this increase in sales resulted from the enrollment of 2.2 million new regular Payroll Savers during the course of a year. Sales of Series E and Ii combined were $4.9 billion, or the highest since 1956. The program continues to enjoy the voluntary support of business and industrial leaders, labor organizations t bankers, and of the various advertisini media which anIUlally donate more than - 27 ~ $50 million worth of time and space to savings bonds. This public service performed at no cost to the Treasury, makes the Savings Bonds Program compare most favorably with the cost of alternative financing methods. OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY I will have to ask that most of the reduction made in the funds for the Office of the Secretary be restored. OUr principal increases were $228,000 for 15 new positions and operating expense costs. Ten of these new positions are for departmental direction of equal employment opportunities activities. We plan to establish an office whose functions will include the investigative, review and audit work involved in the enforcement of laws, Executive Orders and regulations relating to equal opportunity for employment in all areas. The major workload will be in connection with contractual arrangements, particularly those with banks serving as Government depositaries. Two more positions are required for the workload of the Office of the Under Secretary for Monetary Affairs which has increased to the point that it cannot be handled with the small staff now available. This office llas added responsibilities in the capital markets, securities analysis, participation sales, and other areas closely related to the financing and management of the public debt. - 28 - The remaining three positions are required in the administrative service area to handle increased workload. We are requesting that $228,000 of the $302,000 reduction made by the House be restored. The remaining $74,000 was a request in our appropriation for Civil Defense Mobilization functions. We understand from the House Report that these will be funded from a single Government-wide appropriation SlMMARY In conclusion let IDe emphasize the serious need for restoration of the three items of House reduction of which I have spoken: The $11 million for "Compliance" Internal Revenue Service; the $600 thousand for the Bureau of the ?-lint, and the $228 thousand for the Office of the Secretary. The increase of $27.8 million for "Compliance" Internal Revenue Service appears to be a large increase for a single year, but at the time we required large sums to automate our processes and establish the master file the audit phase of the work could not receive the resources needed. We all agree that the automation was essential and has paid handsome dividends both in additional revenues and in manpower savings. It is now necessary to meet the audit workload imposed by greater and greater numbers of returns and larger and more complex returns. Commissioner Cohen will tell you that he has Completed studies showing the close correlation between accuracy - 29 - in the return made and the taxpayer's expectation of audit. I am pleased with the reputation of the Internal Revenue Service for efficiency and I am completely confident that the restored fWlds will be prudently and effectively administered. The Bureau of the Mint has overcome the coin crisis which we faced two years ago. I appreciate the assistance of this Committee in that difficult period. There is some danger in not completing our goal of an inventory that is sufficient to all of the outstanding subsidiary silver coin. Restoration of the funds for the Mint will provide additional protection against a sudden withdrawal of silver coin from circulation. In the Office of the Secretary we must assume new responsibilities and accept added workloads. These duties will have to be performed. My staff at the current level cannot adequately meet all the demands. CONCLUSIOO Treasury bureaus are facing a very difficult year with the funding levels we are requesting. Principal officers are prepared to appear before you to explain their programs in the detail you may wish. This completes my overall statement on the Treasury's 1968 budget estimates. I would like to make a comment on the 1967 supplemental requests and then I will be pleased to answer questions and to discuss this budget and Treasury operations generally. - 30 - 1967 SUPPLEMENTAL In my statement I have compared our 1968 budget requests to the 1967 amounts appropriated to date and proposed supplementals included in House Documents Numbered 83 and 91. I would like to provide a table which shows the derivation of these amounts. These supplemental requests will provide funds to meet the cost of Public Law 89-504 for classified employees, Public Law 89-810 for White House Police, and costs of certain wage board rate increases, and additional program requirements for the Secret Service and the Bureau of the Public Debt. They also will include an item to restore the Fund for Payment of Government of Losses in Shipment, administered by the Bureau of Accounts. I have previously discussed the additional program reqirements for the Bureau of the Public Debt. The additional program requirements for the Secret Service will provide for the cost of reimbursing employees for moving expenses provided by Public Law 89-516 and for increased costs of protective travel. - 31 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Statement of Pay Costs and Supplemental Requests Fiscal Year 1967 Program Requirements ice of the Secretary ...... - .. --~au of Accounts: llaries and Expenses md for Payment of Government Losses in Shipment - .. - .... ---- -------- Total Pay Costs AIoount of Pay Costs Absorbed $181,250 $54,250 290,756 290,756 3,175,000 690,000 :au of the Mint ------------.. 955,123 955,123 au of Narcotics ------ ........ -- 172,000 35,000 au of the Public Debt ------ 1,364,000 $127,000 265,000 $265,000 of Customs -------------- ~au Supplemental Requested 2,485,000 137,000 1,900,000 536,000 mal Revenue Service: laries and Expenses - .. -----~enue Accounting and Processing ----------------~liance ---.--------------- 525,000 229,000 296,000 4,106,000 12,756,000 606,000 1.649,000 3,500,000 11,107,000 :e of the Treasurer -------- 206,500 206,500 I Secret Service -- .. -------- 389,000 lllaneous and Irus t FWld :OWlts --- _. -- - -- -- - -- -- ---- Subtotal ----------------- 2,018,000 619,505 619,505 24,137,134 5,335,134 20,820,000 5,107,000 -5,107,000 10,442,134 15,713,000 ption by transfer from the eau of the Mint to Compliance, emal Revenue Service .. -- .. -. , Pay Costs and Adjusted )lemental Requirements .... --- - 30, 1967 2,018,000 1,003,000 614,000 24,131,134 TREASURY DEPARTMENT RELEASE 6: 30 P.M., 3.~, April 3 a 1967. RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFP'ERmG The Treasury Department announced that the tenders for two series of Treasury one series to be an additional issue of the bills dated January 5, 1967, and )ther series to be dated April 6, 1967, which were offered on March 29, 1967, were !d at the Federal Reserve Banks today. Tenders were invited for $1,300,000,000, lereabouts, of 91-day bills and for $1,000,000,000, or thereabouts, of 182-day ). The details of the two series are as follows: i) 91-day Treasury bills maturin~ July 6 z 1967 Approx. Equiv • Price Annual Rate 99.002 3.948<% 98.990 3.996% : 98.995 3.976% Y I OF ACCEPTED :TITIVE BIDS: High Low Average 1B2-day Treasury bills maturin~ October 5 z 1967 Approx. Equiv. Annual Rate Price 97 .988 ~ 3.98011 97.967 4.021~ g7.579 3.998% 11 !I Excepting 13~of ~~ of 1 tender of $1.,000,000 the amount of 91-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted the amount of l82-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted TENDERS APPLIED FOR AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS: !£! n ork delphia. land :md ta go ~uis lpolis 3 City ~ancisco TCYrAlS Applied For Acce:eted 22,284,000 $ 12,244,000 $ 890,768,000 l, 680,179, 000 16,654,000 28,654,000 29,515,000 29,815,000 14,886,000 14,886,000 31,248,000 47,148,000 108,501,000 158,851,000 34,103,000 46,334,000 19,021,000 23,456,000 32,479,000 32,479,000 21,754,000 33,624,000 89,012,000 134,833,000 APElied for $ 12,095,000 1,482,240,000 13,328,000 46,641,000 2,841,000 34,393,000 ll6,866,000 19,084,000 ll,782,000 9,382,000 14,925,000 100,346,000 AcceEted $ 2,095,000 798,240,000 9,748,000 17 ,391,000 2,841,000 21,393,000 52,866,000 10,584,000 7,457,000 9,382,000 8,925,000 59,816 ,000 $1,300,185,000 £I $1,863,923,000 $1,000,738,000 $2,252,543,000 £I :ludes $289,683,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 98.995 :lUdes $96 , 909 , 000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 97.979 . . Id !se rates are on a bank discount basis. The equivalent coupon lssue YJ.e s are 18~ for the 91-day bills, and 4 .15~ for the 1B2-day bills. F-867 TREASURY DEPARTMENT ( April 3, 1967 FOR USE IN MORNING NEWSPAPERS OF TUESDAY, APRIL 4, 1967 Secretary Fowler today announced the appointment of James Pomeroy Hendrick as Special Assistant to the Secretary of the Treasury (For Enforcement). Mr. Hendrick will supervise or coordinate Treasury law enforcement activities and direct the Treasury's participation in the President's program to abate crime. The Treasury has the most extensive law enforcement establishment in the governmen t • Mr. Hendrick will have direct superv~s~on over the U. S. Secret Service, the Bureau of Narcotics and the Office of Law Enforcement Coordination (including the Treasury enforcement school). As the principal adviser to the Secretary on all law enforcement matters, he will coordinate all enforcement activities of the Treasury and provide policy and technical guidance for law enforcement operations of the Bureau of Customs and the Internal Revenue Service. Since June 1962 Mr. Hendrick has been Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Treasury with supervisory responsibilities in the fie Ids of Cus toms, Engraving and Printing, and the U. S. Coast Guard. For 9 years previously he served in a number of senior Treasury positions in these same fields. Before joining the Treasury Department, Mr. Hendrick was actively involved in the initial formulation of U. S. policy both in the United Nations and the Marshall Plan. From 1948 to 1953 he was with the Economic Cooperation Administration and successor organizations and for 2 years previously with the Department of State serving as principal adviser to Mrs. Franklin D. Roosevelt both in the United Nations General Assembly and the Human Rights Commission. From 1941 to 1946 Mr. Hendrick was Department firs t as a civilian employee military capacity. He rose to the rank a tour of duty as Assistant to the late F-868 with the War and later in a of Colonel and served Robert P. Patterson, - 2 Under Secretary and later Secretary of War, who awarded him the Legion of Merit. Before entering government service Mr. Hendrick practiced law with the firm of Winthrop, Stimson, Putnam & Roberts in New York City. Mr. Hendrick was born in Wainscott, New York in 1901. He graduated from Groton School, Yale University (EA. 1923) and Yale Law School (LLB. 1927) and also attended Corpus Christi College, Cambridge, England, in 1924. He was an editor of the Yale Law Journal. Articles by Mr. Hendrick on the subjects of Customs and Human Rights have been published in the American Journal of International Law, the Department of State Bulletin and Scribner's Dictionary of American History. Mr. Hendrick is married to the former Elinor Sullivan. They have two sons, Arthur and Robert, and one daughter, Alice (Mrs. James Sutton Hardigg). 000 REASURY DEPt\RTMENT = April 4, 1967 JR IVMEOIA TE RELEASE Secretary of the Treasury Henry H. Fowler today sent the following atter to Senator Russell R. Long. April 4, 1967 Dear Senator Long: ru. i . in reapon •• to your request for the Treasury' 8 vi_ OIl propoaala to repeal tho Pre.1datt1al Election C._ign lund AI:. t of 1966. IDacCment of dhe Long bill, after public hearings at which var10ua propoaala vere presentad, va. the flr.t tangible step toward solving the problem of financing ever-mounting political campaign coats. It. effect in forthcoming pr•• idential elections .hould be to all.viate .ignificantly problema which have long been the source of concem in the conduct of national political campaigns: reliance of political parti.s on small group. of walthy contributors; and lack of certainty that .ufflcient funda will b. available to partie. to aesure the full and fr•• public discuasion of i.sue. Otic.lsary for an informed electorate. tho.. Clearly . . ahould not discard a law which ha& the potential of malting a .ignificant contribution to our political prc,.c •• s "lthout giving it a fair and re••onable trial. Indeed, ita p . . .age hu already precipitated much thoughtful .tudy and public couuentary directed toward improving tiw, basic approach -a,odled in the Ac t. nu.. pub lie corurtem and awarene•• have b..:l benet icial. It ~ resulted in many con.tructive IJuggellt1t?ru1 which merit careful coasldarat1oa. lor example, I understand that YI,JU have alrudy propo ••d certain chang... 'lbe CoBptrollar General a;.pd the advl80ry cOlllllitt. . appointed by him pureuant to the Act, an no. .tudying tbia law and are in the of de~/.lop1ng rapl.tiems 'Ulldar it. proc... 169 - 2 - The public hearings which you intend to hold concerning po•• ible amendment. to thia measure will provide an opporturdty for the consideration of constructive chang... '!be Treaaury w1ll be pleased to participate 10 this effort and offer whatever a8sistance may be nec •• sary. Stncerely your•• ca~ HC"N"~ Henry '!be Honorable Russell B. Long United States Senate Washington, D.C. 20510 H. r~·,..,.19t R. Fowler TREASURY DEPARTMENT OR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders or two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of l,300,OOO,OOO, or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for reasury bills maturing April 13, 1967, in the amount of ~,302,903,000, as follows: 91-day bills (to maturity date) to be issued April 13, 1967, n the amount of $1,300,000,000, or thereabouts, representing an :ldltlonal amount of bills dated January 12, 1967, and to ature July 13, 1967, originally issued in the amount of .,000 1 205,000, the additional and original bills to be freely ,tercnangeable. 183-day bills, for $1,000,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated ril 13, 1967, and to mature October 13, 1967. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under IInpetltive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at lturlty their face amount will be payable without interest. They .11 be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, iJOOO, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 laturity value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard me, Monday, April 10, 1967, Tenders will not be celved at the Treasury De~artment, Washington. Each tender must for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive nders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, th not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and Narded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal serve Banks or Branches on application therefor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of 3tomers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such mers. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to )mit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received ;hout deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from Iponsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders 1m others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face lunt of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are ompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank trust company. 870 - 2 Immediatelv after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at th Federal Reserve~ Banks and Branches, following which public announce· ment will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treas~ expres sly reserve s the right to accept or rej ec t any or a 11 tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or comp leted a t the Federa 1 Reserve Bank on April 13, 1967, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing April 13, 1967. Cash and exchange tendE will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or ga in from the sa Ie or other d ispos it ion of the bills, does not have any exempt ion, as such, and los s from the sa Ie or other d ispos ition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to ~ interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bi lIs are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunde need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which thE return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and thi notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE JOSEPH W. BARR UNDER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON THE JUDICIARY OF THE U. S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ON H.R. 5384 FRIDAY, APRIL 7,1967,10:00 A.M., EST Mro Chairman, I welcome the opportunity to appear in support of the enactment of the bill introduced by Representative Celler as H.R. 5384, which I deem to be of great importance to the welfare of this country and its citizens. Mr. Sheldon S. Cohen, the Corrnnissioner of Internal Revenue is here with me. He will discuss the Administration's proposals in more detail than I can. Let me begin, it I may, Mr. Chairman, with a brief summary. First, the main objective of this bill is to give the federal government control over firearms in the areas of interstate and foreign commerce where state governments have no powers. Second, we view this legislation as part of a joint Federal~State effort to bring about a needed improvement in the nation's system of firearms regulation. Third, the legislation we are proposing is in the spirit of creative Federalism that pervades President Johnson's March 17 Message to Congress on The Quality of American Government, in which the President said: F-87l - 2 "Today the Federal system rests on an interlocking network of new relationships and new partnerships among all levels of government." "Administration of programs which are the joint responsibility of federal, state, and lccal governments should be strengthened; II It is against that background, Mr. Chairman, that I offer the following observations: The bill before you would repeal the Federal Firearms Act now codified as Chapter 18 of Title 15, United States Code, and would substitute a new and improved system of Federal regulation of interstate and foreign commerce in firearms under Title 18, United States Code. The Treasury Department would retain the responsibility of administering these regulatory controls. H.Ro 5384 implements legislative recommendations which the President set forth in his Message to the Congress of February 6, 1967. It would put substantially into effect the legislative program for Federal regulation of traffic in firearms strongly urged by the President's Commission on Law Enforcement and Administration of Justice in its February 1967 report titled "The Challenge of Crime in a Free Society." - 3 - This distinguished group of citizens, headed by Under Secretary of State Nicholas Katzenbach, our former Attorney General, included among its members nationally recognized leaders in the judiciary and in the fields of law, law enforcement, penology, and local government. The Commission's study found agreement among police administrators of major cities that easy accessibility of firearms is a serious law enforcement problem. The Commission found that state and local laws intended to control traffic in firearms tend to be nullified by the fact that firearms are too often available in neighboring jurisdictions under less restrictive legislation, or free from any regulation. Accordingly, the Commission favored both the enactment by the states of laws prohibiting acquisition and possession of firearms by certain classes of persons who might be inclined to use them for criminal purposes, and the enactment of Federal legislation that would complement state and local laws and assist state and local governments in achieving their goals. The bill before you for consideration is designed to reflect the Commission's recommendations. 1 Bhould like now to state briefly my understanding of what it would do and, - 4 in order to eliminate misconceptions, what it would not do. Among other things, H.R. 5384 would: (1) Channel interstate and foreign commerce in firearms through Federally licensed importers, manufacturers and dealers -- thereby prohibiting the commercial mail-order traffic in firearms (although licensees could ship interstate to nonlicensed persons rifles and shotguns lawfully purchased in person at the licensee's place of business and which the consignee could lawfully receive and possess at his place of residence); (2) Prohibit sales of firearms by Federal licensees to persons under 21 years of age, except that sales of sporting rifles and shotguns could continue to be made to persons of at least 18 years of age; (3) Permit a Federal licensee to sell a firearm (other than a rifle or shotgun) only to persons who are residents of the state where the licensee is doing business; (4) Curb the flow into the United States of surplus military weapons and other firearms not suitable for sporting purposes; (5) Bring under effective Federal control the importation and interstate shipment of large caliber weapons such as - 5 - bazookas and antitank guns, and other destructive devices·, (6) Provide for a licensing system with meaningful standards and annual fees somewhat higher than those now applicable under the Federal Firearms Act, so as to assure iliat licenses will be issued only to responsible persons actually engaging in business as importers, manufacturers, and dealers. The dealer's first year annual fee, set at a figure higher than the standard fee, would be available to help defray the cost of applicant investigations; (7) Prohibit a nonlicensee from transporting into or receiving in his state of residence a firearm (other than a shortgun or rifle), purchased outside that state, or a rifle or shotgun which it would be unlawful for him to purchase or possess in that state or political subdivision thereof; (8) Provide for adequate record-keeping by licensees (to include data indentifying purchasers) and for authority to furnish record information to state and local law enforcement authorities; and (9) Retain the penalties now provided in the Federal Firearms Act for interstate transportation of firearms to or by felons and the interstate transportation of firearms which have been stolen or had their identifying number removed; -6and in addition would punish interstate transportation of a firearm with intent to cOImnit a felony therewith. H.R. 5384 is not in any sense "anti-gun" legislation. (1) The bill would not outlaw possession or use of firearms by law-abiding citizens. (2) No requirement of this bill would be violative of the Second Amendment to the Constitution. Those opposed to firearms controls have created a misconception of this constitutional provision by asserting that the amendment provides that "the right of the people to keep and bear arms shall not be infringed." However, the complete amendment must be considered to determine the right granted to whom. I understand that the Attorney General will file a brief with this subcommittee on this point. (3) The bill would not prohibit the acquisition of firearms for sporting purposes, or for any other legitimate use. Sportsmen will continue to be able to obtain firearms although under the bill they would need to procure them from local licensed dealers and manufacturers and thus be subject to the requirements of their respective state and local laws. Indeed, they can travel to another state and purchase a rifle or shotgun from a licensed dealer there and bring it home with them without interference if the purchaser's - 7 state and local law does not forbid the purchase and possession of such a firearm. Only two minor restraints are laid upon the sportsmen of this country. They will not be able to travel to another state and purchase a pistol or concealable weapon, and they will not be able to obtain a mail-order shipment from another state of a rifle or shotgun, unless they made the purchase in person and the purchase and possession is legal in their home state and locality. Such minor inconveniences cannot be avoided if the legislation is to make it possible for the states to regulate effectively the acquisition and possession of firearms. Obviously, state authorities cannot control the acquisition and possession of firearms if they have no way of knowing or ascertaining what firearms are coming into their states through the mails or, in the case of concealable weapons, by personally being carried across state lines. (4) The bill would not interfere with interstate transportation of firearms by the ordinary citizen hunter, marksman or householder. Neither would it preclude the interstate shipment of a gun to a licensee for adjustment or repairs, nor the return or replacement of such a gun by the licenseeo - 8 - (5) The bill would not prohibit possession or use of firearms by those too young to purchase them. It is recognized that some parents may wish their minor children, who are sufficiently mature to be entrusted with them, to enjoy the use of firearms for recreational purposes. (6) The restriction on imports would not preclude the importation of all surplus military rifles. Some of these weapons are suitable for or readily adaptable to use in hunting and could be brought in for that purpose. (1) The bill would not interfere with activities of collectors of antique firearms. "Antique firearms," as defined in the bill, are not subject to the bill's controls since they are specifically excluded from the definition of "firearm. " - 9 - As I have already indicated, the major purpose of the bill is to institute Federal controls in areas where the Federal Government can and should operate, and where the state governments cannot, the areas of interstate and foreign commerce. Under our Federal constitutional system, the responsibility for maintaining public health and safety is left to the state governments under their police powers. Ba8ieally, it is the province of the state governments to determine the conditions under which their citizens may acquire and use firearms. I would emphasize that it is one of the important objectives of this legislation to strengthen and make more effective the exercise of the powers of the state and local -- governments to regulate the sale of firearms in the public interest. I expect this Federal legislation to inspire more adequate state and local legislation -- and to make that more adequate non-Federal reaulation enforceable where it is now all tooeasy to evade and will always be easy to evade in the absence of such Federal regulatory controls as H. R. 5384 sets up. - 10 - The bill would correct serious weaknesses of the existing Federal Firearms Act concerned with licensing and record keeping. Under existing law, anyone other than a felon can, upon the mere allegation that he is a dealer, and open payment of a fee of $1.00, obtain a license. Some 104,000 dealer licenses were outstanding as of January 1, 1967. Approximately 25 per cent of these were held by people not actually engaged in business. The purpose of licenses by these people puts them in position to obtain personal guns at wholesale or to avoid laws that prohibit mail shipment of concealable weapons and prohibit shipment into states that require purchase permits. This is a wide open situation in which licenses can be obtained by irresponsible elements, thus facilitating the acquisition of weapons by criminals and other desirables. The bill before you, by increasing license fees and imposing standards for obtaining licenses, will go a long way toward rectifying this situation. Commissioner Cohen, whose organization is responsible for the administration of the Federal Firearms Act, will discuss this aspect in more detail. He will also supply facts and figures illustrating the problems encountered in enforcing existing law because of incomplete or inaccurate licensee - 11 - records and the need for more effective record-keeping requirementl. This bill cannot, of itself, eliminate crime. However, let us not lose sight of the fact, stated by the President in his February 6 Message to the Congress, that "Any effective crime control program requires the enactment of firearms legislation. *** This legislation is no panacea for the danger of human irrationality and violence in our .ociety. But it will help to keep lethal weapons out of the wrong hands." Today, the people of the United States are living under the most nearly ideal conditions ever achieved by any society. Yet, their peace of mind and security is threatened by the spreading cancer of crime and juvenile delinquency. It is absolutely essential that steps such as those proposed in this bill be taken to bring under control one of the main elements in the spread of this cancer, the indiscriminate acquisition of the weapons most frequently utilized in crimes of violence. - 12 - Right now, any person can acquire firearms with ease. This includes criminals, juveniles without the knowledge or consent of their parents or guardians, narcotic addicts, mental defectives, armed groups who would supplant duly constituted public authorities, and others whose possession of firearms is s~ilarly contrary to the public interest. This situation is a matter of serious national concern. The Treasury Deparcment's experience with the Federal Firearms Act has resulted in a feeling of frustration since the controls provided by it are so inadequate. The drafters of H. R. 5384 had in mind these inadequacies and have, I believe, designed a bill which, when enacted, will provide effective regulation while presenting a minimum of inconvenience to the law-abiding citizen in the acquisition, ownership and use of firea~ for legitimate purposes. These light restraints are surely a small price to be borne by sportsmen gun owners when weighed against the potential benefits to the citizenry generally. There are indications that those opposed to additional firearms regulation will assert that the present Federal - 13 - statutes controlling firearms are adequate, but that these statutes are not adequately enforced. Thus, it will be inferred that any present deficiencies in firearms controls result not from lack of statutory authority, but from lack of proper enforcement. Let me remind you that the Attorney General has already advised the Subcommittee that existing Federal firearms laws are largely ineffective and inadequate. Within these recognized limitations, I can assure you that the Treasury Deparcaent has vigorously enforced the provisions of the present .ational Firearms Act and Federal Firearms Act. Commissioner Cohen will offer statistics covering same aspects of the firearms enforcement program. As the President so aptly stated: "To pass strict firearms control laws at every level of government is an act of simple prudence and a measure of a civilized society. Further delay is unconscionable." I strongly urge that this Committee report H. R. 5384 to the Kouse of Representatives at an early date. 00000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR USE IN MORNING NEWSPAPERS OF TUESDAY, APRIL 11, 1967 REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE HENRY H. FOWLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AT THE ANNUAL MEETING OF THE KENTUCKY CHAMBER OF COMMERCE BROWN HOTEL, LOUISVILLE, KENTUCKY MONDAY, APRIL 10,1967,7:00 P.M., EST THE USES OF TAX POLICY I am truly glad to be back in Louisville tonight, and particularly happy to be accompanied to your distinguished gathering by Congressman John Watts. He is one of the most influential and respected members of the Congress, and I can testify that in his execution of his duties as a member of the House Ways and Means Committee he is one of the most informed Members of the House. I prize his advice and I value his friendship. However, since he doesn't always agree with the Treasury, don't blame him for my mistakes. Tonight I want to talk to you from the viewpoint that you, as representatives of private enterprise, and I, as a representative of your government, share together as partners in the responsibility for progress in our nation's affairs and particularly for its economic progress. One of the personal beliefs to which I adhere very strongly is that there can be no true progress in America unless it is based on a true partnership between the national government and the private sector -- business, labor, finance and agriculture. For my part, I feel that this partnership is working out very well indeed. But ,lest I be accused of special pleading to prove this, let me, before I turn to my specific Subject for this evening, cite you some evidence from two organs of public opinion which are not always necessarily in agreement with the views of this Administration -- the ~ York Times and the Wall Street Journal. -=;.;;.:.;;..~ F-872 - 2 The New York Times, in its Sunday Magazille of March 19, 1967 , notes-that the manufacturing capacity of the United . States has doubed since 1951. We have added as much ~n the way of new plant and machinery in the last 15 years, says the article, as we built during the first 150 years of the nation's industrial history. And we may well double that capacity, says The Times -- and the actual output -- again in another 15 to 20 years. The Wall Street Journal, in a January 31, 1967 article, said, and I quote: "In one sense, there is an almost monotonous sameness about the country's economic record in recent years. "Business has become better and better and better. Employment has gone up and up, American affluence, already the envy of foreign lands, has grown and grown and grown." This is true. The threat of economic stagnation -that used to plague our economy with slow growth and recurrent recessions and cause our foreign friends and enemies to think that the United States and the free enterprise system were losing their drive -- is no more. It has disappeared in the wake of 74 months -- over six years of dynamic growth. To give you a picture of how well our industrial giant is progressing, let me cite some familiar economic indexes covering the recent past. In a period of three years under President Johnson's Administration, civilian employment that is, new and additional persons at work -- has increased by 5 million, 133 thousand -- a figure which nearly matches the employment gain of the entire previous eight years. The additional numbers of persons at work in the last three years exceeds the total employment increase from 1953 to 1961. The unemployment rate during thre three-year period decreased by 1.9 percent, as against an increase of 1.3 percent in the previous eight years. The real Gross National Product, in 1958 dollars, increased by about - 3 - $97 billion, not too far from the $113 billion of the previous eight years. It is as though we had annexed the rate of the output of economies of the present size of Italy and the Netherlands in the last three years. There are three other figures which are closer to home for you: real per capita disposable income, in constant 1958 dollars, increased by 281 dollars in that three-year period, as against 218 dollars for the previous eight years. Industrial production increased by 26 percent, in the three-year period as against a 29 percent increase during the preceeding eight years. And corporate profits after taxes increased during the shorter period by $15.3 billion as against a $6 billion increase for the entire previous eight year figure. I think these illustrations tend to show that our partnership in this country is working out pretty well. My subject tonight is "The Uses of Tax Policy." And I am fully aware that any subject dealing with taxation particularly when discussed on a day which falls so close to April 15 involves some very tender feelings. Let us all take some consolation, however, in some little-known facts: In the past five years, we have had personal and corporate income tax cuts averaging 20 percent. In 1962 with the legislative enactment of the investment tax credit and the liberalization of depreciation, new and powerful incentives for investment were provided. In 1965, over 200 separate items had excise taxes removed from them. All told, the tax reductions effected in that period will save taxpayers nearly $23 billion a year at fiscal 1968 income levels. Largely as a result of these tax reductions, the U.S. today enjoys the lowest tax burden of any major industrial nation in the world. Again, this is not my own figure, but that of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, representing the industrialized nations. The OECD's estimates show that as a proportion of total national production the citizens of France are paying 38 5 percent in taxes. The Germans are paying 34.4 percent. In Italy the figure is 29.6 percent. In Great Britain it is 28.6 percent. And, finally, lowest on the list, the U. S. pays 27.3 percent. And this is for taxes at all levels of government -- Federal, state and local. 0 - 4 I feel, in brief, that our federal tax policy can be used to help achieve what all of us want: continued prosperity, price stability and growth for the· United States. I share the views of the distinguished Chairman of the House Ways Committee, the Honorable Wilbur Mills, who defined the problem very ably in a recent speech, from which I quote: " . . surely we can all agree that the primary or overriding role of the Federal tax system is-to raise in a fair and equitable manner the necessary revenues without which government cannot operate. At the same time there also is a widening agreement that with moderation our tax system can also be used to provide economic stability and growth for the private economy." With this background, I want to focus my remarks tonight on several areas in the use of federal ta~ policy which are of immediate and basic interest to all of us. They are: First, the need for a flexible tax policy in dealing with sharp adjustments up and down in the economy as a result of war, recession or other substantial de-stabilizing influences, giving rise to conditions where resort to flexible fiscal and monetary policy is the alternative to dra~tic measures of government control or int~rventiQn Qr suffering severe economic illnesses. Second, the need and prospects for tax reform in the near future, and, Third, the longer-orange outlook for tax rate realignment and reduction at a time -whenever it may be -- when we can look beyond the demands of the situation in SQutheast Asia. - b - Indeed, a rapidly changing pattern of tax policy characterized the other experiences along with direct controls You will recall that just before the Korean War, Secretary of the Treasury Snyder proposed a reduction in excise taxes which passed the House in a bill that would have reduced excise taxes by about one billion dollars. Then the Korean War intervened, and a bill passed with a $5 billion tax increase, and instead of there being any reduction of the excise taxes, they were maintained and increased. So, changes in circumstances quite properly justify changes in fiscal and monetary policy_ Policies cannot be static in a world as rapidly changing as ours. We must adapt them to meet new problems and needs. This, I believe, is what we have done. To illustrate specifically, let me refer briefly to the Tax Adjustment Act of 1966, the suspension and restoration of the investment tax credit, and the President's proposal for a temporary six percent surcharge on existing income taxes. The accomplishments of the Tax Adjustment Act, since it was passed early in 1966, have been somewhat obscured by the daily shuffle of headlines. This legislation increased the revenues needed for the Vietnam War in 1966-67 by a total of about $6 billion. In so doing, it introduced graduated withholding taxes on individual taxpayers and shortened the previously-scheduled transition period to put corporate tax payments on a pay-as-you-go basis comparable to that affecting individuals. The suspension of the investment credit last Fall was not a revenue measure. It had a specific and limited objective -- to dampen the excessive boom in the market for capital goods, with its inflationary impact leading to high interest rates and damage to our balance of payments in the form of heavy imports of machinery_ The excessive boom is now over and there is no reason for continuing the suspension. The President recommended it be lifted and the Congress is acting. - 5 - It has been suggested in some quarters that the fiscal monetary and budgetary proposals of the Administration ~ . the last eighteen months present to the American public a posture of an alternating or gyrating economic policy. Thl' short answer is that the unusual demands of tne war in Southeast Asia, coming on top of a burgeoning economy, gaVE' rise to the need for a flexible use of fiscal and monetary policy. There is a marked dis tinc t ion to be made be tween the present situation and our earlier experiences during World War II and Korea, periods when direct controls price, wage and salary controls, priorities and allocation of materials and facilities to restrict civilian demand were used in order to expand production and keep the economy from getting out of bounds. It was my privilege to participate in the mobilization programs of World War II, and to be in charge of the Defense Production Administration and the Office of Defense Mobilization in the latter part of the Korean War. 1 know from first hand experience how confining and burdensome the direct controls can be to any business, and how, in those periods, small businesses and new businesses were clearly at a disadvantage. In the current situation, dealing with Vietnam, we are proceeding generally within the framework of a free market economy, in which there is an absence of the direct controls that were used in the other two experiences. In the Vietnam situation, we have dealt with the econom~ aberrations that are always a consequence when there is a rapid increase in demand by relying on a flexible use of fiscal and monetary measures to permit us to keep a free en terprise economy unmarked by d irec t government controls. I want to make it clear that I have no apologies in saying in September, fiLet us suspend our investment tax credit," and, in March, "Let us put it back." This is prec ise ly one of the example s of the use of fiscal policy that make it possible for the private sector of the economy to make the necessary adjustment without dr· direct government controls. And I think one of the prime accomplishments during this particular period has been the fact that the adjustment of this strong and well-balanced econor.1Y \vas accomplished within the context of flexible r:1onetaryand fiscal restraint, and without the impositi~ of price, \'iage and ma terial ('~ols 'illJ::.h as were found lTI past similar national emer~~ncies. - 8 When one speaks of tax reform, I suppose it is inevitable that the phrase should call to mind the existence of inequities in a tax system and their elimination. Quite apart from the existence of such inequities, however, I like to think of the subject of tax reform in a positive sense; in the sense that tax reform should truly mean the way in which we can reduce the rates of tax as well as providing for both equity and simplicity. The Revenue Acts of 1962 and 1964 marked a real turning point in tax reform in a structural, as well as an "economic" sense. The revenue raising or base broadening structural changes which had come about as a result of all the Revenue Acts passed prior to the 1962 and 1964 Acts -- from the year 1940 on -- totalled only approximately $600 million. The total which was raised by such changes from 1953 to 1961 was less than $200 million. But the 1962 and 1964 Acts contained nearly $1.7 billion in so-called base broadening revenue raising changes. And at the same time, they not only increased the equity of the income tax system -- by eliminating or reducing some special preferences -- but they turned the increased revenues back into rate reductions and investment incentives for all. Thus, they accomplished a good measure of "economic" tax reform in addition to that which was achieved through net tax reduction. Let me give you some examples of structural reforms occasioned by the 1964 Act. It included limitations on tax preferences accruing from group term insurance, bank loan insurance, sick pay exclusion, casualty loss deduction, utilization of personal holding companies, multiple properties for charging depletion, and realization of capital gains on quick sales of real estate in connection with excessive depreciation. It also eliminated deductions of certain State and local taxes which were difficult of uniform and equitable administration, as well as the dividend credit which was providing a great advantage for the large inves tor. Many similar structural reforms could be cited in connection with the 1962 Act. - 7 - The six percent surcharge proposal, on the other hand, L'ncUmpassl's an overall, across-the-board fiscal measure UL'S igncd to c ope with the economic and budge tetry situation as we anticipate it for the latter part of 1967 and ttroughout 1968, assuming the implementation of the President's other recommendations and the continuation of hostilities on their current scale in Southeast Asia. We need to pay for the increased cost of war projected for t~ next fiscal year. We will want to reduce our budgetary deficits in fiscal 1968 from the projected levels of fiscal 1967 if the economic outlook permits. We will certainly not want to risk a resumption of the monetary strain of tight money and a return to higher interest rates at that time and this ,-,viII require that the Government's own demands on the credit markets be kept in bounds. The surcharge will help achieve these objectives. I have tried to illustrate, by these examples, how tax policies can be used in times of substantial adjustment with positive results for sustaining high levels of employment and without a resultant damaging inflation. And, of course, a flexible tax policy can be used to promote economic stabilization when the economy is threatened by recession as well as by inflation. However, due to the fact that we are enjoying the seventh year of a continually expanding economy, we have not had occasion to use a "quickie" tax cut for that purpose. I come now to the second of the three things I want to talk about this evening: the need for and the prospects of tax reform in the near future. Later this year, the President's Message on Tax Reform will be submitted to the Congress. In his Economic Message to the Congress for this year, the President hailed the American tax sys tem as one in which we can take pride and one which, in most of its elements, is unsurpassed by any other tax system in the world today. He also made it clear that the system can be -- and should be -- improved. I t seems clear tha t our tax laws, as they stand today, impose burdens on some of our citizens which are clearly unfair. In other cases, they grant special preferences to ind i v idua Is and groups which are jus t as clear ly inequitablE - 10 - imbedded in the Constitution, it is not the experts but the elected representatives who decide the shape and substance of these reform proposals. The President submits his recommendations in a Tax Message. With the Constitution providing that revenue proposals originate in the House, it is the function of the House Ways and Means Committee, of which Congressman Watts is a key member, to make the initial determinations which are voted upon by the entire House, reviewed and revised by the Senate Finance Committee and the entire Senate, then become the subject of a conference between ranking members of the two committees and finally passed back to the President for his approval or rejection. Much remains to be done by all of these groups and bodies, following the traditional processes. For example, while much attention has been devoted to the income tax structure, corporate and individual, and to the inequities of the former crazy-quilt pattern of excise taxation, the whole realm of estate and gift taxation has not had any major legislative review or overhaul since 19420 Rate schedules and basic exemptions in the estate and gift tax laws have thus remained unchanged for 25 years. Complexities and inequities in this important area have crept in through a long series of piecemeal changes by statutory amendments and court decisions. The present structure places a high premium on the form and timing of the transfer of property. A comprehensive reexamination of these provisions of the law to reduce the complexities of estate planning and correct rules which work inequities or induce taxpayers to dispose of their property in ways which they would not otherwise choose, is long overdue. This comment by no means implies that the income tax structure could not still bear substantial improvement. Because we emerged from the period 1962-1964 with an improved tax structure, this is no reason why we should call a halt to future steps toward tax reduction and a more equitable and simplified tax structure which is more fully consistent with sustained full employment and vigorous growth. Our present system , however improved it may be over older ones, . 1S still capable of stalling or holding back our economy at a "somewhat higher altitude." It still tends to take too large a proportion of the increases we have enj oyed over the past six years in personal and business income. We - 9 The 1962 and 1964 Acts eliminated a good deal, but not as much as the President and the Treasury recommended, of the special preferences which led to an erosion of the tax base. The Act of 1964 also represented a commendable switch from the old pattern of opening even more loopholes in order to combat top-heavy rates on taxable incomes. It set the desirable design of the future -- the provision of necessan revenues at the lowest possible tax rates whenever tax . reduction through base broadening opportunities are presen~d The Act of 1964, however, was not our last major tax reform. In 1965, the repeal of the highly discriminatory and unfair system of selective excise taxes which had developed as emergency measures in World War II and the Korean War and even earlier, gave a substantial added measure of equity and simplicity to our tax system. Indeed, in the Tax Adjustment Act of 1966 and the separate administrative measures taken last year to speed collections, the inequities of collecting from some taxpayers on a pay-as-you-go basis and from others on a deferred basis, were eliminated, and the tax system was greatly improved by the actior. For us to get to the point at which such beneficial actions as these can be taken, much hard work must be done. Chairman Mills made this abundantly c lear in a recent speech in which he said, and I quote, 11 • • • tax reform requires a vast amount of preparatory work, both technical and in terms of education of the American people. Many of the re forms which were accompl ished in 1964 ac tually represented the culmination of work which had been done quite some time before that date. . . tax reform cannot be achieved overnigh Let us look behind that statement. At the Treasury Department, an able and expert group of hard -working people, economis ts, lawyers, accountants and other specialists, led by Assistant Secretary for Tax pol~Y Stanley Surrey, has labored, and is laboring, to help pro v1d suggestions for achieving the best possible system we need for the times. This team works together with a similar . dedicated staff of experts which operates under the directl( of the Joint Committee on Internal Revenue Taxation of the Congress. But, in the final analysis under our system, - 12 - local agency, are fixed to meet the issuing agency's interest payments and the amortization of the principal of the bonds. In other words, the corporation is in effect borrowing from the public, but obtaining a tax exemption for the interest. This means that the interest rate which the corporation obta'ins will be below the market rate which it would otherwise have to pay. Now, more and more, this device is being used by corporations which are financially strong and quite capable of obtaining their funds through normal market channels. When they turn to the local issuing agency for these funds they -- and the local agency -- are getting into an arrangement which distorts the tax-exemption privilege and which, in the long run, simply forces the Federal tax system to support their financing. This is indeed a far cry from the original intent of the exemptions -- which was to encourage corporations which lacked capital of their own to set up businesses in areas of high unemployment, generally in rural areas. In another example, there is no doubt whatsoever that there are abuses of the tax system by tax-exempt private foundations. Those foundations which are created solely to keep intact a family's control of a business enterprise are clearly distorting the original intent underlying the tax benefits and exemptions granted for charitable contributions and philanthropic organizations. Now, I repeat: let no one take this recital of these particular examples, or others mentioned earlier, as an outline of the President's forthcoming tax reform proposals, upon which much preparatory work has been done on which there is still work in progress. I cite them only as evidence of the fact that tax reform, a complicated matter, has many facets that can be explored. Despite all this, during the last five years we have made a strong beginning in the use of tax reform as the means of achieving what I feel we want to achieve -- the things I have stressed earlier: tax reduction, equity and simplicity. - 11 - have to seek to keep the tax structure's revenue capability [rom growing too fast -- as the private incomes and economic capacity of the nation enlarge, as I know they will. In short, we must still go a far way if we are to rid our tax structure -- and our income tax in particular of its impediments to an efficient flow of capital, its unlike treatment of like incomes, and its excessive burdens on small incomes. Le t us remember, in cons idering the burdens of people with small incomes, that they represent the area of the tax brackets where the customers of business and agriculture live. The people with $10,000 a year, and less, account for almost 85 percent of all taxable returns. They are the people who will put a large part of any tax reduction into the stream of spending -- help create the healthy demands upon our economy which can call forth new techniques and technologies, create new jobs and make new investments profitable. Horeover, we have become increasingly aware that tax reform must be responsive to changing situations. Without in any way getting into a discussion of what the President might recommend, but solely to point up some of the thorny problems inherent in tax reform, let me cite some examples of inequities and economic distortion which arise from provisions of our tax laws which, however justified at the time of their enactment, have become subject to certain abuses. Very often, of course, there are good business reasons for the creation of affiliated corporate groups. But the good reason for an affiliated group does not make sense as a good reason for giving that group multipe corporate tax exemptions. A single enterprise is involved. If it is divided in to sub-groups which are ca lled "subs id iaries ," rather than divided into branches or divisions of the business ,that does not rationally entitle the enterprise to be the recipient of a host of tax exemptions. Similarly, changing patterns have occurred with tax exempt industrial development bonds, rapidly growing in numbers and amounts, and being sold, in effect, on the credit of a private corporation which has bought or leased a facility from the issuing local agency. The rents, or sales installments, \vhich the sP*,poratjon pays to the - 14 The fact is that -- quite apart from the vicissitudes of the moment -- Vietnam or no Vietnam -- tax increases or tax cuts -- the American economy has reached a stage of strength, efficiency and power for good, the maintenance of which will depend, in great part, in the future, upon the wisdom with which all of us choose to use it. And, I firmly believe, it is a very fortunate thing that this has come about during a period in which there is a broader acceptance by all of us -- in Government, in business, and in all walks of life -- of the responsibility for the general well-being that each one of us bears, individually and in our occupational and economic groups, for the conduct of our economic affairs and in the expression of our political will. What will the future be like? No man alive knows the answer to that in any detail. But any sensible man will admit that there are three elements of great responsibility which lie ahead of us, as Americans, in at least the next ten years. They are: 1. The defense of freedom and peace. 2. Preserving and strengthening the free enterprise system. 3. Joining with other nations who bell"eve in these things in building a Grea t er Society of Nations, within wh~ch there will be opportunity for securlty and for self-expression. For us to engage in these tasks means that our economy. will have to operate close to its full capacity for produ~tl0n and growth. To achieve this full production and g:-owth wl11 four equlpment and mean full use of our manpower, f u 11 use 0 "and management methods full use of all of the technolog1~s , techniques that management an d I a b or c an discover or 1nvent. We will have to continue to learn how to sus:ain a ~igh " growt h ,cu tt"1ng down inflatl0n as rate of real economlC . 1t ith might appear and fighting any deflationary interruptlo~s'hw the tools at' our command. Our tax policy will be one 0 t e most powerful of these tools. - 13 We know that any tax system, unless it is periodically rev ie\ved and re formed, can become slipshod, can deve lop grave defects, such as those I have mentioned, and can become obsolescent in a way which can both act as a barrier to sound economic growth and at the same time shake popular faith and morale. Your government does not intend to let this happen. Now here is the third item on my agenda for this evening's talk: the longer-range outlook for tax rate realignment and reduction. We must look beyond the revenue consuming demands eX resisting Communist aggression in Vietnam to the time when instead of devoting increased revenues to national security we can make a desirable allocation of the additional revenues that flow from economic growth under an existing tax structure between tax reduction, reduction of the public debt and increased government civilian expend itures. This prospective decision gives rise to a number of vital economic and fiscal policy questions which are of the highest importance in the decade ahead. How can our tax policy be used, given a reasonable amount of peaceful times over the years in our immediate future, to continue and strengthen the long, healthy upward climb of the American economy? What influences can we expect will be brought to bear upon it from other economic sources? These questions bring us back full circle to the Revenue Act of 1964 and its immediate aftermath which added a new, but little understood dimension to the importance of coordinating tax policy with other matters -- budget expenditures, monetary and credit policy, and debt management. I ask you to look behind the jargon of the moment -the talk of "the new economics" or "f iscal dragn or "fiscal dividend" or '!gap analysis" or "policy mix," etc., and view this range of our national economic decisions as the late President Kennedy and President Johnson have viewed them. Pre s ident Kennedy once observed tha t our economic decision should involve not so much the clash of grand ideologies as the sober and dispassionate treatment of a marvelously productive modern economic machine. - 16 - But, let me return to the forecast of the Joint Economic Committee of the Congress: Very wisely, the study opens with a sensible warning, and I quote: "This higher rate of growth will not be achieved automatically, but will require improvements and adjustments in economic policies, both public and private, if it is to be achieved in a manner that does not generate undesirable inflationary byproducts." In brief, to reach this level, or any other higher standard of living than we have now, we must have priorities. There will be, given the increased gross national product, an annual increase in public revenues. This dividend must be fed back in some part, and in some manner, to sustain the private sector which delivers it -- to feed the goose which lays the golden eggs. To this end -- the maintenance of a strong economy free from repressive taxation -- we will want to adopt tax reduction, with emphasis upon rate reduction, as a conscious long-term policy. Only in this way can we avoid fiscal drag and ensure that the fiscal dividend payable out of growth can be reinvested in the "growth business" of our economy. Without this consc ious determination, our economy can almost unaware be saddled with 1966 tax rate levels and an expanding public sector, decade after decade, so that it is constantly squeezed by a growing tax load in relation to a proportionately shrinking private sector which must, after all, pay for our defense, our consumer needs, and our public improvements. In plainer words, at some point in the future there lies ahead of us the opportunity for tax rate reductions not today, nor tomorrow, nor, for all we know, next year or the one after it. That depends on the coming of peace in Asia. But the day will surely come when tax reduction will become an important economic step for us to take. We must be ready to take that step when the opportunity offers. Already economic plans for the post-Vietnam period are being developed in the Executive Branch pursuant to an instruction by President Johnson in his Economic Message in January calling for a "maj or and coordinated effort to review our readinesso" The first of six items on the agenda was the request "to consider possibilities and priorities for tax reduction." - 15 l ~m not endorsing any particular foreca~t of any group forecasters 3S the U. S. goal for the next ten years. Yet it is interesting to note that three such forecasts seem to point out requirements and conclusions that are remarkably a 1 ike. l)[ In one instance, the National Planning Association report titled "Goals, Priorities and Dollars," done late last year, concludes that if we are to do what we want to do by 1975 ,',Ie will need a gross national product by that year of over $1 trillion (in 1962 values) -- or more than half again as much as we have now. Second, a study under the auspices of the Life Insurance Association of America calculates that we can maintain an orderl growth, in constant dollars, of 4-1/2 percent fron now until 1976, allowing for an annual average increase of about 1 percent in consumer and wholesale prices. Now, over the past six years we have averaged an annual produc t ion increase in cons tant dollars of s lightly less than 5 percent, while our economy absorbed large numbers of unemployed people and gave them jobs and put a great amount of unused production facilities to work. And here is a third forecast for our economy for the period from now on: a study by the Joint Economic Committee of the Congress projecting U.S. economic growth to 1975. This study concludes that we have a potential for an economic growth rate of between 4 and 4~ percent per year between 1965 and 1975. I t is intere sting to note tha t even if we average less growth over the next 10 years than we have over the past six, we would still be able to lift our gross national product to $1 trillion in 1975, and still be dealing in an American dollar which is the strongest and most stable unit of currency in the world. Now, 1 repeat, I am not endorsing the conclusions of any of these studies as a national goal. But should this growth b2 reached, and I firmly believe it can be reached, it is likely that in 1975 the average American family can enjoy an income, in today's dollars, of something more than S10,000 a~nua1ly com~a~ed to the approximately $7,000 of last year. - 18 to get people to work -- to get the machine producing more. But when the economic machine is working at the high level of performance we can reasonably expect over the future years, we have to use great care and yet maximum flexibility in our approach to keep that growth at a sustainable pace not so fast as to induce inflation and not so slow as to invite stagnation or recession. The action of tax policy toward maintaining a high growth rate, high productivity and high employment, along with reasonably stable prices, cannot do the job alone. It must be reinforced by expenditures and policies which will raise the quality of our products and increase our efficiency in producing them. I am referring to wr need for increasing the skills of our workers through training programs, and the need for encouraging education,Iesearch and private technology. The contributions of the millions of people in this country who are either unemployed or underemployed must be called forth. Their talents must be developed. Their education must be improved. This is primarily a matter of sheer morality; the very close secondary reason is that we simply cannot afford to go without the skills they can supply. And some of our tax revenues must go toward expenditures for this purpose. We must accept this not as a burden, but as an opportunity. If there is one thing about taxation that we have learned as Americans of this generation, it is that there is no s~ch thing as a tax policy for all seasons. Conditions and needs change. Disaster overtakes those who are callous toward, or indifferent to, the signs of obsolescence in their businesses; so, with our economy, we must keep a weather eye open for the changes of the times and gear our tax system to fit them. - 17 Now, let me make it clear that tax reduction does not necessarily mean corresponding revenue loss. From 1955 to l( there was no significant tax reduc tion, ye t budge tary receipl rose only $17.6 billion -- an increase of 29 percent. Yet it fiscal years 1961 through 1966, with individual and business income taxes reduced on an average of some 20 percent and rno! Federal excise taxes eliminated, receipts increased by $26.9 billion, or 35 percent. But the possibility of tax reduction -- at some point in our future -- is only one element to which we will have to addressourselves. We must also seize opportunities to use the fiscal fruits of growth to reduce the national debt and its burden on the budget. Debt reduction, as well as debt management and monetary policy, has a role to play in holding down or decreasing the cost of carrying the debt, thereby re leas ing revenue s for tax reduc tion or increased expenditur Moreover, like debt management, debt reduction can be handle in a manner that is stimulative to the private sector. It need not be associated with a restraint on the economy. We mus t also look forward to increas ing our expenditure for the public sector, for all of the worthwhile humanitari, programs and benefits of which our nation is capable. The task is this: As our revenues grow, along with our gross national product, there is going to be a multitud, of demands for the extra money. We must decide, calmly, carefully, patiently and skillfully, where it is to go. If we do everything that everybody will want to do -- if we appropriate all of it for expenditures which are more desirable than necessary -- we will miss the opportunity fo a better life, a more secure and happy life, for all of us the years ahead. This is why the concept of Federal expenditure control is an interrelated part of a sound tax policy for growth. To make the most of our opportunity, we are going to n the virtues of restraint and prudence, and we are going to have to work, with pa tience and unders tand ing, at complex tasks. When things are not going too we 11 with our economy when times are tough, to use the vernacular -- when the . economy is slack -- the people who guide it have pretty SlIT choices to make. There is nothing very complicated about t h 1 0rk which is done then. The job is to perk things up -- - 19 I can assure you here tonight that we will maintain a vigilant survey of economic developments in order to determine what tax actions are necessary. They will be prudently and carefully appraised and brought to the attention of the Congress to permit it the proper time for th0rough evaluation and debate. And as for the responsiveness of the Congress to changing economic conditions, and its ability to act re.sponsibly, the Joint Economic Committee Report says: "Congress has the ability to act rapidly on tax matters and has demonstrated this ability on many pas t occas ion." Such responsible actions have time and again been demonstrated, most recently by the speedy consideration in both chambers of President Johnson's request for the restoration of the Investment Tax Credit on machinery and equipment purchases and the accelerated depreciation allowances for new buildings. A tax structure is like an investment portfolio. It is not something which we can acquire, and then stowaway in a safe and forget. It needs watching and revising. The task of alert surveilance over our tax system, of using it as one of a series of measures to tend to that marvelous, productive machine -- the American economy -- is one that every responsible group, like your awn, and every thoughtful citizen, must share with the government, in partnership, if we are to obtain the best results, the full promise, of the American economy in the decades ahead. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT ( R RELEASE 6 :30 P .)1., ndal, April 10 I 1967. RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department announced that the tenders for two series of Treasur.y 11a, one series to be an additional issue of the bil1~ dated January 12, 1967, and e other series to be dated April 13, 1967, which .-ere offered on April S, 1967, were ened at the Federal Reserve Banks today. Tendere were invited for $1,300,000,000, thereabouts, of 91-day bills and for $1,000,000,000, or thereabouts, of 18,-day 11s. The details of the two series are as follows: 91-day Treasury bills J?lY 13 2 1967 Approx Equiv. Price Annual Rate 99.0l.a 3.770% 99.033 3.825% 99,,037 3.810% y' NGE OF ACCEPTED maturin~ MPETITIVE BIDS: G High Low Average · : • : · · 183-day Treasury bills October 13 t 1967 _ Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 98.050 !I 3.836% 98.034 3.868% 98.040 3.856% 11 matur~ Excepting 1 tender of $4,055,000 , of the amount of 91-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted , of the amount of 183-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted rAL TENDERS APPLIED FOR AND ACCE?I'ED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS: )istrict lOstOn lew York AEElied For t 22,792,000 :hicago :t. Louis linneapo1ie :ansae City ellas an Francisco 1,743,702,000 24,915,000 33,307,000 18,374,000 64,933,000 273,168,000 73,601,000 22,391,000 40,281,000 32,474,000 184,219,000 TOTALS $2,534,169,000 hllade1ph1a :leve1and tiehmond ,tlanta 12,702,000 ·· Acce!ted 782,759,000 12,704,000 32,557,000 18,374,000 45,813,000 128,028,000 63,)87;000 19,277,000 40,281,000 20,914,000 123,864,000 $1,300,726,000 ApE1ied For S 25,682,000 1,388,18),000 13,210,000 44, 591,OCO 3,762,000 · · £I 34,107,000 279,396,000 30,944,000 13,172,000 1l,463,OOO 17,592,000 140,354,000 $2,002,456,000 Accel$ed • ,682,000 688,323,000 5,210,000 20,941,000 3,762,000 17,101,000 115,936,000 24,624,000 11,301,000 11,L63,OOO 7,862,000 78,274,000 $1,000,485,000 ~ Includes #310 446 000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 99.037 ~cludes $107:597:000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 98.040 These rates are on a bank discount basis. The equivalent coupon issue yields are 3.91% for the 91-day bills, and 4.00% for the 183-day bills. TREASURY DEPARTMENT ( FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY MARKET TRANSACTIONS IN MARCH During March 1967, market transactions in direct and guaranteed securities of the government for Government investment accounts resulted in net purchases by the Treasury Department of $75,279,500.00. 000 F-874 TREASURY DEPARTMENT = ( FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY MARKET TRANSACTIONS IN MARCH During March 1967, market transactions in direct and guaranteed securities of the government for Government investment accounts resulted in net purchases by the Treasury Department of $75,279,500.00. 000 F-874 rREASURY DEPARTMENT 4 ?OR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY DECISION ON PLASTIC CONTAINERS UNDER THE ANTIDUMPING ACT The Treasury Department announced today that it is issuing notice of intent to close its investigation with resDect to ;he possible dumping of plastic containers from Canada-manu'actured by Reliance Product s Ltd., Winnipeg, Canada. 1 The notice, which will be published in an early issue of ;he Federal Register, announces that the investigation is being :losed with a determination that these plastic containers are lOt being, nor likely to be, sold at less than fair value within he meaning of the Antidumping Act of 1921, as amended 19 U.S.C. 160 et seq.). Two types of plastic containers were imported from that firm, lamely industrial type and consumer type. Purchase price was found o be not lower than the adjusted home market price with regard to ,11 except 5-gallon industrial containers. The 5-gallon industrial ontainers represented the bulk of the imports of this type. Promptly after being advised of the existing margins as to hese 5-gallon containers, the manufacturer revised its prices and ave assurances that there would be no future sales at less than air value regardless of the disposition of this case. The complainnt was advised of this and subsequently withdrew its complaint. Appraisement of the above-described merchandise from Canada anufactured by Reliance Products Ltd., Winnipeg, Canada, will coninue to be withheld pending further determination. Imports of the involved merchandise received during the period lnUary 1, 1966, through October 31, 1966, were valued at approxiltely $58,000. TREASURY DEPARTMENT OR ~DIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of ~2,300,000,000,or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for rreasury bills maturing April 20,1967, in the amount of ~2,302,437,000, as follows: ~or 9l-day bills (to maturity date) to be issued April 20, 1967, In the amount of $1,?300 ,000 ,000, or thereabouts, representing an ldditional amount 01- bills dated January 19,1967, and to ~tu~ July 20,1967, originally issued in the amount of il ,000 ~ 906,000, the additional and original bili.~. to be freely .ntercnangeable. 182 -day bills, for $ 1,000 ,000 ,000, or therea!.)outa, to be dated t\pril 20,1967, and to mature Oc tober 19, 1967. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under ompetitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at laturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They 'ill be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, 5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 maturi ty value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches p to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m .. Eastern Standard ime, Monday, April 17, 1967. Tenders will not be 'eceived at the Treasury De~artment, Washington. Each tender must e for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive enders the price offered must be expressed on the basiS of 100, ith not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not e used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms ar.d orwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal eServe Banks or Branches on application therefor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of ustomers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such enders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to ~bmit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received lthout deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from !Sponsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders rom others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face nount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are :companied by an express guaranty of paymedt by an incorporated bank t' trust company. F-875 _ '7 _ Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federa 1 Re serve B~ nks and Branc he s, f 0 11 ow ing, wh ich pub 1 ic announcemenl will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, . in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price [rom anyone bidder wi 11 be accepted in fu 11 a t the average pr ice ( l l l three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or c omp le ted a t the Federa 1 Re serve Bank on April 20, 1967, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing Apri120,1967v Cash and exchange tender will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. Thv income derived from Treasury bills, whethe~ interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bi lls are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasu ry bills (other than 1 ife insurance c ompan ies) is sued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which t~ return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Departmen t Circu lar No. 418 (current revis ion) and thi: notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained £1 any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington IMMEDIA TE RELFASE rHURSDAY, APRIL 13, 1967 F-876 The Bureau of Customs announced today the following preliminary figures on imports entered for consumption under the absolute import quotas provided for in section 12.71, Customs Regulations, for coffee grown in nonmember countries of the International Coffee Organization for l2-month period beginning November 15, 1966. COFFEE (Green - In pounds) country Established Quota Total Imports as of AEr. 10, 1967 Bolivia 1,850,800 1,027,056 Guinea 1,4%,200 Quota filled Liberia 2, t;ll, 800 Quota filled Paraguay 2, 61~h,GOO Yemen 1,ct;0,800 185,740 Basket~/ 6,610,000 3,,301,720 11 Basket quota allocated to unlisted nonmember countries and to listed nonmember countries after respective quota fillect. TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington Il1·LEnIATE RELEASE THURSDAY, APRIL 13, 1967 F-877 The Bureau of CUstoms has announced the folloldng preliminary figures shm-ring the imports for consumption from January 1, 1967, to April 1, 1967, inclusive, of commodities under quotas established pursuant to the Philippine Trade Agre€ment Revision Act of 19~~: GOl11llloriity Buttons ••••••••• . Established Annual '~uota Quantity ~10,000 Unit of Quantity Gross :Impo:'ts as of : fl.pril 1, 1967 44,874 120,000,000 Number Coconut oil ••••• 268,800,000 Pound Quota .:'illed Cordage ••••••••• 6,000,000 Pound 2,1403,168 Tobacco 3,900 ,000 Pound 356,100 Cigars ••• 0 0 ••••• ••• 0000.0 2,351,240 F-B7B Pre.l.1m1na.ry data on imports for consumpUon of cotton and cotton waste chargeable to the quotas estAh11 sbed b;y Presi.dential Pl'Oclalllation No. 2.351. of September 5, 1.939, as lUI8l1dad, am as JIIOdif'i.ed h7 the Tarif'f Schedules of' t.he United States which became effective August .31, 1.963. 'The country designations in this press release are those specified in the appen:i1x to the Tariff' Schedules of the tnaited. States. There is no political connotation in the us of outmoded names.) " C9!Jnt17 ot Or!&:!! Egrpt and Sudan•••••••••••• Peru ••••••••••••••••••••••• lJdia and Pakistan ••••••••• China •••••••••••••••••••••• Mexico ••••••••••••••••••••• Brazil ••••••••••••••••••••• Established Quota 783,816 247,952 2,003,483 1,370,791 8,883,259 618,723 Argentina •••••••••••••••••• Hatti •••••••••••••••••••••• ~r •••••••••••••••••••• 1I ~cept Bubldos. Benula. Y Eltcept Nigeria cd Ghana. Established Quota Honduras •••••••••••••••••••• •••••••••••••••••••• Co~a.b1a •••••••••••••••••••• Iraq •••••••••••••••••••••••• British East Africa ••••••••• 50,h87 Par~ 87,175 11 Union of Soviet Socialist Republics •••••• Country of Origin Imports 475,124 5,203 237 9,333 ~I ~ Inionesia and Netherlanis New Guinea•••••••••••••••• British W. Indies ••••••••••• .1geria••••••••••••••••••••• British W. Africa••••••••••• Other. i ncl"'htg the U.s .... Jaaica. Trinidfd, and Toba&o. Cotton 1-~8tt or .,re Established Yearlr Quot( - 45.656;420 Ths. Ig!ortB Augyt 1. 1966 - April 10.1967 Staple Length or more 1-5/32!' or mre am unler 1-)18" (Tanguis) l-1/sn or mre ant urder 1-3/an 1-3/an Allocation Impnrts 39.590,""8 31,753,233 1.500,000 120,625 4..565.642 4,1)0,101 752 871 l24 195 2.240 n,388 21,321 5.717 16,ooz.. !rret"ts - 2- COTTON WASTES (In pounds) corrON CARD STRIPS made from cotton having a staple of less than 1-3/16 inches in length, COMBER WASTE, LAP WASTE, SLIVER HASTE, AND ROViNG \~ASTE, WHETHER OR NOT HANUFACTURED OR OTIlERWISE ADVANCED IN VALUE· Provided, however, that n0t '··,ore than 33-1/3 percent of the quotas shall be filled by cotr~on wastes other than comber wastes made from cottons of 1-3/16 inches cr more in staple length in the case of the foll~wing countries: United Kingdom, France, Netherlands, Switzerland, Belgium, Germany, and Italy: ------------ ------------_._---_. Es tab l i shed Total Imports TOTAL QOOTA Country of Origin Sept. 20, 1966, to April 10, 1967 United Kingdom.. ••• Canada.......... •• . •. France ••••••••••••• India and Pakistan •••••••• Netherlands ••••••••••••••• Switzerland ••••••••••••••• 4,323,457 239,690 227,420 69,627 • ••• Cuba ••••••••••••••• Ge rmany. • . . • .•...•.•... Italy .................... . Other, including the U. S. 5,482,509 ~I 1nc~uded in total 31,~83 16,OS8 68~240 44,388 38,559 341,535 17,322 8,135 6,544 76,329 21,263 Belgium ••.. ., .........••..• Japan •.•...•....•........• China ••• Egyp t. • • 34,oLe 67,LS3 imports, column 2. Established 33-1/3% of Total Quota Impnrts 1/ Sept. 20, 1966 to April 10, 1967 1,441,152 34,oL8 75,807 31, ~83 22,747 14,796 12,853 11,691 25,443 7,088 160, ,333 1,599,886 65,031 TREASURY DiPARTMmr Washington IMMEDIATE RELEASE THURSDAY, APRIL 13, 1967 F-879 The Bureau of CUstoms announced today preliminary figures on imports for conof the following cOMmOdities from the beginning of the respective quota periods through April 1, 19671 ~t1on S I 'ilmmodity ~arirf-Rate ,Unit Period and Quantity or Quotas: fresh or sour ••••••• Calendar year 1,500,000 Gallon Thole Milk, fresh or sour •• Calendar year 3,000,000 Gallon :attle, 700 lbs. or more each (other than dairy cows) •••••••••••••••••••• Jan. 1, 1967 Mar. 31, 1967 ~ream, attIe, less than 200 Ibs. each ••••••••••••••••••••• 12 mos. from April 1, 1966 ish, fresh or frozen, filleted, etc., cod, haddock, hake, pollock, cusk, and rosefish ••••••••••••••••• Calendar year Fish •••••••••••••••••• Calendar year lite or Irish potatoes: Certified seed ••••••••••• 651,129 Y 120,000 Head 4,707 200,000 Head 125,42~1 24,883,31~/·pound To be ~ :Imports as of :Quantity :April 1, 1967 Quota filled announced Pound 13,971,635 111,000,000 45,000,000 Pound Pound Quota filled Quota .filled Quota filled other •••••••••••••••••••• 12 mos. from Sept. 15, 1966 lives, forks, and spoons with stainless steel Nov. 1, 1966 - hmdles •••••••••••••••••• Oct. 11, 1967 84,000,000 Pieces ~skbrooms •••••••••••••••• Calendar year 1,380,000 Number 1, 297,11J./ her brooms ••••••••••••••• Calendar year 2,460,000 Number 1,523,9#1 • Imports as of March 31, 1967. Inports for consumption at the quota rate are limited to 6,220,828 pounds during the first 3 months of the calendar year. Imports as of April 7, 1967. -2- Comnodity Period. and Quantity :Unit cf :Imports as of :Quantity :April 1, 1967 ',csolute Quotas: ?utter substitut3s containing over h~j of hutterfat and butter oil .•••••.•••••• Calendar year r.ihers of cottor. processed b'l t not spun ••••••••••• 12 mos. ~rom sept. 11, 1966 PPRnuts, shelled or not shelled, blanched, or utnenvise prepared or preserved (except peanut butter) ••••••••••••••••• F-879 1,200,000 Pound 1,000 Pound 1,709,000 Pound Quota filled 12 mos. froTr. P.ug. 1, 1966 Quota filled STATEMENT OF JOSEPH W. BARR UNDER SECRETARY, U. S. TREASURY DEPARTMENT BEFORE THE SENATE COMMITTEE ON BANKING AND CURRENCY ON S.S (TRUTH-IN-LENDING ACT OF 1967) Thursday, April 13, 1967 Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: The President, in his message of February 16, 1967, to the Congress on Consumer Protection, recommended legislation be enacted to require lenders and credit sellers to provide consumers with full and complete information on the cost of credit. The President said: "I recommend the Truth-in-Lending Act of 1967 to assure that, when the consumer shops for credit he will be presented with a price tag that will tell him the percentage rate per year that is being charged on his borrowing. "We can make an important advance by incorporating the wisdom of past discussions on how the cost of credit can best be expressed. As a result of these discussions, I recommend legislation to assure -"Full and accurate information to the borrower; and "Simple and routine calculations for the lender." I am pleased to appear before you to support Senator Proxmire's Truth-in-Lending Bill, 5.5, which would carry out the President's recommendation. F-880 - 2 - s.s is a realistic, practicable, and workable bill. Its most important feature, the requirement to state the finance charge as an annual percentage rate, in addition to its statement in dollars and cents, will provide for uniform disclosure of finance charges for the first time in this Nation's history. This purpose is clearly within the tradition of our economic system which relies on the discretion of informed consume~to express their preferences in the market. poorly in- formed consumers, or even well informed consumers who are unable to communicate effectively in the market because of the jumbled terminology, cannot be good citizens in a free economy. 5.5 will give the American consumer the information he needs to compare the costs of credit from different sources with what he can earn on his savings and to make an intelligent credit decision. The practical application of the annual rate requirement has been studied at length, both by this Committee and by the Administration. We have concluded that such a requirement will impose no significant burden or difficulty with respect to the overwhelming majority of credit transactions in the United States. We do not agree with critics of this legislation who argue that the complexity and variety of credit transactions make accurate disclosure of finance charges very difficult, if not impossible. - 3 We believe that most creditors will find it both practical and desirable to employ standard tables specifying the annual rate applicable to their particular credit plans. I want to come back to this point because the question of workability was a legitimate objection in the past. It no longer is and should no longer be an excuse to delay action. I want to emphasize the workability of S.5 because I believe no member of this Committee or of the Congress and no legitimate lender or credit seller really is opposed to the disclosure of the true cost of credit if this can be done without imposing excessive hardships or burdens. Consumer credit is essential to the American way of life and our economic system. Consumer credit is used to finance a large proportion of durable goods purchases and a sizeable part of nondurable purchases. Last year, outstanding consumer credit, excluding mortgage credit, totaled $95 billion. Judg- ing from the fact that new instalment credit made in a year roughly equals the amount outstanding, it appears that consumer credit financed about $100 billion of individuals' purchases in 1966. This is more than one-fifth of total personal consumption expenditures as recorded in the national income accounts. Again leaving aside mortgage credit, consumers last year paid in interest and other credit charges approximately $13 billion for the use of consumer credit. This is a large sum it is approximately as large as our interest payments on over - 4 $300 billion of Federal debt -- it is more than consumers spent for men's and boys' clothing for furniture and ap- pliances -- for electricity, gas and water -- for doctor and dentist bills -- for alcoholic beverages -- almost as much as for gasoline and oil over half of what was spent on women's and children's clothing -- and about half ~f new and used automobile purchases. While the consumer has some knowledge of the goods and services he is buying, and in almost all cases knows the price, few consumers are really aware either of the dollar cost or of the annual percentage rate paid for the use of credit. This lack of knowledge has certainly contributed to the abuse of credit. For this, we need only look to the rising tide of em- ployee bankruptcies -- cases filed in U. S. District courts in 1965 were 66% above the number in 1960 and over 500% above 1950. It is clearly evident that the consumer now finds it impossible to select from all the credit sources available that one which is cheapest or best for his needs. The array of practices makes a rational choice among the alternatives almost impossible. This Committee has had abundant testimony on this point in the past. This is an area in our economy that has grown so fast it has created its own language. Much of it is beyondcomprehensi~n for most who are even very sophisticated in finance and who find difficulty in distinguishing add-on, discounts, precomputer, Rule of 78's, service charge, finance charge, interest, term price differential, sales price vs. cash price, etc. The variety of rate ~.vtations is peyond belief and sometimes ridiculous. - 5 Even a financial expert, who knows the ins and outs of credit, would find the correct solution difficult in the absence of uniform standards for disclosure. such confusion in a $13 billion consumer purchase category is not in the national interest. Credit can be described as the lubricant of our economy. When either the use or the supply gets out of kilter, the economy suffers. S.5 will promote the efficient flow of credit, since it will give consumers an adequate basis to determine and choose the most economical source of credit. S.5 seeks to supply the consumer with essential information on the total cost of borrowing. It will enable the con- sumer to come to an intelligent decision as to which source of credit is cheapest by putting the cost quoted by all sources of credit on the same basis. This could be done in a number of ways, if this were the only objective. But many con- sumers also have another choice -- they can borrow the money or they can use existing savings. In the latter case, con- sumers need to compare the cost of credit with the earnings on their savings. In financial practice the earning power of savings is traditionally expressed as a percent per annum. Thus, it is reasonable to apply this same standard of comparison to consumer credit, to have the total cost of credit -including interest and other credit charges -- expressed as a percent per annum on the unpaid balance. basis called for in 5.5. This is exactly the - 6 - Finally, the required disclosure of an annual percentage rate of finance charge would in no way prejudice lenders under the usury laws of the States in which they operate. S.s covers only the rate of finance charge and does not deal with interest rates, which are properly regulated by the States. I believe that no merchant or banker or other legitimate lender really objects to the principle that his customers should know the truth about what they are paying for the use of credit. As I read the record, the objections that have been raised are that the bill would lay an onerous burden on legitimate lenders and sellers on credit. I firmly believe, however, that the tables that have been furnished the committee have solved that problem. Need For The Legislation Let us remember that consumer credit, as it is known today, is largely a post World War II phenomenon. It has grown up after most of the other credit regulatory agencies of the Federal Government had become well established. So we as a Nation find ourselves with no agency principally responsible for the consumer credit industry as it affects the public. The bill makes no provision for such, but it does assign responsibility for establishing the rules and regulations regarding credit disclosure to the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. The Board is the primary source of consumer - 7 - credit statistics and origin of the major consumer credit studies. Once the bill is established and its provisions made known as to all major conditions, and, with the assistance of a united financial industry using the same terminology and methods of expressing finance costs and rates, it is reasonable to assume that the bill will become largely self-enforcing. Consumers will be able to utilize in their credit experiences the same rate concepts they have learned to use in savings experiences. Thus, there is reason to expect a greater alertness on the part of consumers and creditors to the basic facts of credit living. S.S will apply to anyone who extends credit to the consumer, whether a bank, merchant, department store, finance or loan company. But it would not control or limit the amount of their finance charges in any way. Moreover, S.5 would not displace State action in this area. While many States, in addition to Massachusetts, regulate consumer credit and call for the disclosure of certain kinds of credit information for certain kinds of credit transactions, the overall picture in this field is widely dive~gent and un- satisfactory from the standpoint of the consumer who needs a uniform basis for comparing finance Charges. - 8 - The Federal Government must act to fill this need to enable the average American to obtain credit on the beat terms for his particular needs and financial resources. Far from displacing State action, the passage of S.5 will actually encourage existing and prospective approaches at the State level. It is our expectation that Federal action now will help pave the way for States to adopt similar disclosure measures, perhaps along the lines of a Uniform Consumer Credit Code, which is now under study. With truth-in-lending a settled national policy, State action to assure full credit disclosure, as well as to provide other safeguards in the consumer field, could be more easily and quickly enacted. As I noted earlier, the legislation specifically provides that the administrative agency shall exempt any class of credit transactions from the requirements of the Truthin-Lending Act where it determines that such transactions are effectively regulated by State law. Thus, a clear priority is given State" legislation. I would emphasise again that S.5 is a disclosure law only and will not in any way limit or otherwise control the rate or amount of finance charges. These matters are left to State law and to competition of the market place. This legislation would: - 9 - (1) require every individual or firm engaged in the business of extending credit to furnish every prospective consumer of credit a clear, written statement of the amount of the finance charge to be paid for the extension or use of credit. (2) enable consumers to compare the relative cost of credit by having creditors state finance charges in terms of dollars and cents and in terms of an approximate annual percentage rate. There are, however, basic exemptions for: (1) Business credit. (2) Credit transactions involving the purchase and sale of stocks,bonds, and other securities which are already under the jurisdiction of the securities law. "Credit" is clearly defined to mean consumer credit. As defined in 5.5, it clearly does not include credit to business firms. As a rough rule, this would mean that credit incurred in the purchase of "depreciable property," as interpreted by the Internal Revenue Service would be exempt. exempts credit with government The bill also agencies, and their instrumentalities and credit transactions with a broker-dealer registered with the 5. E. C. "Finance charge" includes all the charges which result from the consumer's use of credit and from which he would be free if he had paid cash or not borrowed from the lender. The - 10 general guideline -- to which I would subscribe is that finance charges include all of the charges that accompany credit and which the consumer becomes liable for if he opts to borrow rather than not borrow, or to buy on credit rather than pay cash. Two areas of concern, of which I am aware, are credit life insurance and housing closing costs: With respect to insurance, some creditors carry this risk at no direct cost to the individual borrower. Until 1955, for example, small loan companies, operating under the Russell Sage philosophy that the customer should be quoted one credit charge only -- to eliminate the temptation to disguise the cost of credit in a subterfuge of additional charges -- were expressly prohibited from making additional charges, including any charges for insurance. Credit unions typically insure their borrowers for life and disability; the cost is included in the interest rate paid by the borrower. Some other financial institutions also follow this practice of carrying blanket policies. Others, however, give consumers the option of carrying insurance. And a third group makes the insurance coverage a condition of the loan extension. Clearly the latter class of creditors should include premiums in the finance charge. In those cases where insurance is clearly optional or, as stated in the Department of Defense directive, neither the credit vendor or lender has a direct - 11 interest in the sale of the insurance, then the insurance premiums would not be part of the finance charge. What remains admittedly, is a grey area which would bear further study of prevailing practices to determine their rightful placement. with regard to housing costs, I resubmit for the record the two statements supplied in previous hearings by the Federal Housing Administration which satisfy me that guidelines are sufficiently clear for the administrative a§ency to prescribe rules and regulations which would be within the intent of the bill and would be welcome by the housing finance industry. (1962-pagella; 1963-64-pages lIb - lld) The total amount to be financed needs no discussion, but the next three terms do. Taken together they define in practi- cal, operational terms the actuarial method for computing the true rate. The definition is liberal in that it does not prescribe any specific time period, but allows each creditor and consumer to select the payment period of greatest mutual convenience daily, weekly, biweekly, monthly, quarterly, annually. If there are irregular time periods in the contract, it may be assumed that the most frequent payment period would be the appropriate time unit. The ratio of the finance charge for the period to the unpaid balances for this lapsed time is the rate, not only for the period but the rate prevailing throughout the total life - lla - 190 TRUTH IN UlllDING-19U FoUowinliJ the claulbtlOIl : Itemt 1. ~adIIr" ,..__ ._._ ••••••••••••••••~ •••••••••••••••• _•• _.-. __ •••••••••• ~_ ••••• X •••• ___ • t~ 8~':e~1=:r .\.ar,,:~~~~~~r)~~~~I_~_~~~~~~:.~.~~~~~::::::::: 'X::::::::: X. ~p~ liii.---· .. -.-.-.·.· ••• ·.·-..•• · .....•.••.•••.... --••••• -............ X......... . • ODS rllC D loaJ»-lupectioD and escrow company oharaes._.............. X ......... . ,: ~1~~~~t101L •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• -.-.-.- •••••••••••••• ~... X ••••••••• go"erace o~ mortcace ~OUDI ••••••••••••••••••• - .. -..................... X ••••••••• •. Prep.::a'i[:J~f~~ eQulty_ ••••• --.-.-•• --••••••••••• -- •• -.-••••••••••••••• -•• -. X. ~e:,~ga'e::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::.:::::::.: -X:::':"" e. SettlelMnt cbarl8 (assumln, tbla 11 a tee for preparln, tbe settlement .tate: ment and related lervices otber tban attorney·s). 10. Recording costs: •.••.• :.:::: X. x. ~:J~~~~:::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::~:::::::::::::: .:::::::::: x. 11. Apportionment ottues and _mentS .......... _..................................... , X. II. APPOrtionment of lnltlat premium for fire and ca.sualtylnBurance ....................., . X. 11. Broker's fee (it broker obtains ftnanclni for borrower or some tervice of tbat X ••••••• :. nature). tor future payment. 01 t8:188. InsIlJ1lJlC8 (including both casualt)' •••••••••••• X. and ute of borrower). 11. Adjustments 01 purchase price resUltln, from supplemental BgreelDlntl _..... __ ••• , X. between vendor and vODdile, or vendee and others (additions to or .ubtractions from purchase Price because 01 Inclusion or exclualoll of ltamt, n. Escrows ~Ibt::~:f: ~r:rro!~"iues ................................._...................... X. It ~!ft;~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ :~~~~~~~~~ ~: It. 17. Notary lee: :: ~~'f~:~:.,~~::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: ~::::::::: II. blsurnnce property over term of mortJ8i8 ............................................ QD X. II. Maintenance and lIIPIIn••• _ ........................... · ••••••• • ........................ X. , FHA and VA do not permSt bam, purcbaseJ1l to pay discounts. 1 hope that th18 information will be ot assistance to your committee in ibl eollsideration of the truth·in·lending bill Sincerely JOUla, MILTON P. 8&KU, Gtmertll Oo.,n.eJ. Senator BENNETT. Just for the record, some of these charges whieh we agree are incident are not included in the statement that you have made, are not included in the printed form that Mr. Hardy presented to us. They: are outside it. There is just one other area on which I would like to build a very brief record. Mr. SEHER. Senator Bennett, if you are going to turn to something else, I think it might be helpful on this point to show: What should a roster of items be to which your question should be directed' I think that i s Senator BBNNETI'. That is what I am trying to get at. Mr. SEHER. Because you have a. closing sheet there which might have some local jargon in it which might not be typical. Senator BENNE'rl'. Right. I am Just interested in a general list which can be generally applicable. Mr. SEMER. Yes. In response to a question in a letter that Senator Douglas sent us on December 21 of la.st year, "What kinds of charges are permitted under State laws ¥" This is what we were referring to earlier-- - lIb - 1251 3. Differences in the Types and Costs of Fees and Charges Levied by Different Types of Institutions Extending Housing Credit No information is available on the t~es and amounts of fees and charges levied by different types of institutions in making mortgage loans. It should be noted in this connection, however, that many oC the charges paid at the time of the loan closing are not under the control of the lender and are not collected by or for him, such 8.8 for title insurance, property survey, Federal and State stamps on deeds; recording of mortgage and deed. Some of the other charges made may reflect work performed by employees of the lender or hr. outsiders, such as, the appraisal of the property. The mortgagee's imtial service charge, however, is under the control of the lender. Credit Unions Credit unions are limited, under the Federal Credit Union Act, to a maximum interest rate of 1 percent per month on unpaid balances, and this fate must include all charges meident to making the loan. We understand that Federal credit unions make very few mortgage loans, probably because the maximum 5-year maturity permittei on 'loans they may make limits their operation8 in this relpect. The following information provided by the Bureau of Federal Credit Unions, Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, explains the specific chargee which are mauded or exCluded from. ~ 1 pereent per month rate. . lIe 1252 TRUTH IN LIlNDING-l De3-Of None of the following coste incident to making & loan ma, be charged to the borrower if it results in a total coat of more than 1 pereent per month (or 12 percent per annum) on unpaid bai&I'cea: 1. Inspecting and appraising real or personal property. 2. Recording of chattel mortgages, real eatate mortgagee or other lien instrumente. ' a. Title search. 4. Bringing ahatract of title to real estate up to date. 5. Attorney's opinion as to title and validity of credit union', lien. 6. Title insurance. 7. Title certificate. S. Preparin~ deeds of trust, mortgages, or other lien inatrumentl. 9. Chattel hen nonfiling insura.nce. 10. Credit investigation and credit reports. 11. Credit life (borrower's protection), dilAbiIity, health, or Rcciden t insurance. 12. Filing assignments of personal property such &I life insurance policies, mortgages, etc.. Items of cost related to the following have been held to be outside the limitation of interest ch argea , and the borrower may he required to pay them: 1. Preparing release of mortgage or other lien instrument. 2. Recording release of lien. 3. Hazard insurance on the property, such u fire, theft, liability, collision, windstorm, or other casualties. 4. Restoring clear title to borrower . .... Fees or Charges Paid by the Borrower on a -Housing" Credit Transaction Which Should Be Regarded as Incident to the Credit Transaction While some of these individual items may be considered as incident to the credit transaction, and some may not, there are others which may fall in either category or be divided between the two categories, depending upon tbe particular circumstances involved. The listing presented below represents an attempt to classify into the categories desired, the individual items of loan closing costs which appear in ta.ble 4 in the information provided in answer to question 2. It should be noted that many of these charges which are paid at the time of loan closing, are not under the controi of the lender and are not collected by the lender. 1. Items which may be considered as incident to the credit tra.nlaction: Photos FHA examination fee Mortgage tax (in the nature of a Mortgagee initialle"ice fee stamp tax, etc.) Mortgagee appraiaal fee Survey (of property) Credit report - lId - TRUTH IN LENDING--1963-64 1253 2, Items which may not be considered as incident to the credit transaction: Title search. Title abstract. Escrow fee (usually a charge by an attorney to bold moneys involved in the settlement, such as for paying off an existing second mortgage or other liens, and thereby assures clear title). Revenue stamps (on the deed). Title tmnsCer tax. (Prepaid items, such as for real estate taxes, special assessments, ground rents, hazard insurance premiums, and the initial FHA mortgnge, insurance p~emiu!ll nre e~cluded f!om these FHA data, 8.8 was prevIOusly explamed m the mfonnatIon presented in answer to question 2.) 'l'itle insurance, Where required solely for the benefit of the lender and in amount equal to the mortgage amount, the charge shouJd be included in category 1 above. Where the insurance is also provided for the protection of the owner and may also be extended to cover his equity in the {>roperty, part of the charge should be included in category 2 above. Preparation of deed and documents, Would include preparation of the deed and mortgage, and therefore should be divided between categories 1 and 2. Attorney's fees. Practices appear to differ among communities in the way this item appears on the settlement statements at loan closing. In some areas, the attorney's fee may also include title search if conducted by him and possibly preparation of the deed and the mortgage, Thus, part DC this fee may be included under category 1 and pa.rt under category 2, depending upon what items are covered. Closing fee. Attorney services for the borrower at closing. Generally, this does not include preparation of deed a.nd mortgage, but in some cases may include this. Probably should be divided in 80me manner between categories 1 and 2. Notary fees (for mortgage and deed). Should be divided between categories 1 and 2. Recording fees (for mortgage and deed). Should be divided between categories 1 and 2. Broker's commission. Under FHA regulations this is optional with the borrower. He may, if he so desires, negotiate with a broker to Il.ITange financing or to represent his interests at closing. This charge occurs infrequently, but to the extent it does, it belongs in ca.tegory 1 or 2 depending upon the eircumstances involved. Adjusted interest. This adjustment for interest is made to cover the interest for the period between the time the loan is closed and the date of the first monthly payment on the mortgage. This 'represents, in effect, a prep~yment of lDter~t on the 10l!-n and would represen$ oart of the total mterest to'be 'palC;l over the life of theloan," - 12 - of the contract. For purposes of comparison with other annual rates this periodic rate is expressed in an annual rate. r would like to emphasize that this annual rate becomes i~al and true as it is actually applied to bhe periodic credit balances. As each payment is made, this rate ib applied to determine the portion of the payment that is applied to the finance charge, with any remainder of the payment used to reduce the principal. This procedure is strictly in accordance with the United States Supreme Court decision in 1839 and is generally known in consumer finance as the United States Rule. Although the actuarial rate is no stranger to horne financing or to the business and financial community generally, it has failed up to now to gain widespread acceptance in the consumer credit field, in part because tables were not readily available for short terms and for the wide range of rates which are charged. Also, consumer loans are frequently made to persons whose wages and salaries are irregular and whose ability to repay may also be irregular, thus presenting special problems. r am exceedingly pleased and proud of the tables that have been produced by our Government Actuary. These tables can be used to find the actuarial rate for any contract, however irregular the payments may be. Only the common facts normally required in a contract need be known: The schedule of payments, the finance charge, and the amount financed. The tables can be used equally well to find the finance charge, - 13 - if the rate, amount to be financed and payment schedule are known. And, some dealers may use such tables to find the payments required to payoff an amount to be financed at a given rate and finance charge. This is a recital of what most of us learned in seventh grade arithmetic, namely, that there are four parts to the equation !=Prt and if three of the four terms are known, the fourth can be computed. This was simple arithmetic for straight single payment loans, but for instalment loans, unless one starts with the rate and constructs a schedule of payments using the United States Rule, a table is needed. We now have such a table~ It has been predicted that the necessary set of tables would be the size of the Manhattan telephone directory. I have here in my hand a 20-page table covering a range from 8-7/8% to 14-7/8% for periods of one to 60 months. The complete set of booklets for ranges from 0 to 42% with a 3% overlap in books would number only 260 pages. Few creditors would need more than two books. Gentlemen, I also wish to point out that a major portion the of/table is for values needed only to accomodate irregular payments. We published these books to prove, however, that irregular payments present no technical obstacle to the disclosure of credit cost and annual rate, and that such a set of rate tables could be produced. Having proven this, we believe greater simplification is possible. I am impressed - 14 by several facts which convince me that we need not burden the industry with this detail: (1) First, our best information indicates that fewer than 5% of credit contracts are irregular. Many of these could be treated as regular contracts without greatly affecting the accuracy of the rate calculation. (2) A majority of the states, which have retail instal- ment sales and small loan acts, require payments to be made in "substantially equal periods of time and substantially equal amounts." This is essentially the law in at least 22 States. (3) Many of the States tolerate certain minor irregular- ities or provide convenient interpretations that avoid the necessity of counting days and allow slight deviations in payment, especially the final payment. One State,for example, counts any time lapse of 15 or more days as one month, so that all payments can be considered to be monthly for purposes~of computing the rate. (4) The U. S. Department of Agriculturetwhich is responsible for extension of considerable amounts of farm credit, and therefore should be aware of any special problems of farmers whose repayment schedules are timed to the sale of cash crops and not to a monthly salary, has not raised any problems related to irregularities in scheduled payments. Farmers and school teachers are the groups more frequently cited as needing special considerations. Teachers credit unions use the actuarial rate quotation with no apparent problem. - 15 - (5) The Department of Defense Directive is based on a monthly repayment schedule, and to my knowledge has not created special problems for creditors. I conclude, the regulatory authority should be able to find ways to accomodate most of the irregularities, and still preserve the objective of the bill to require disclosure of a reliable comparative rate as well as cost, in ways which will make it possible to reduce the 260 pages to one page. And I submit this one page table, which you will recognize as the table Treasury supplied to the Department of Defense. I esti- mate that this one page can handle all but a small minority of contracts. Creditors wishing to accomodate customers with very peculiar credit requirements can "tailor make" contracts using the detailed tables or by constructing a schedule of payments. Forms of Credit The disclosure of finance charges is given in two sections. The first pertains to contract or closed-end credit, and the latter to revolving or open-end credit. There seems to be a disposition to tag these two forms of credit to the credit vendors and lenders who developed the forns. That is, some refer to the open-end form as "retailer" credit and the contract form as cash loan instalment purchase credit. - 16 Such references are both inaccurate and unnecessary. They are inaccurate because open-end credit is no longer used exclusively by stores. Banks are rapidly including this form of credit extension in their services. Contract credit is not limited to financial institutions but is a major form of retail credit. This terminology is unfortunate, for it relates to the sources of credit and not to the purpose of the bill to disclose essential information to the consUmer. The two types of credit recognized by the bill reflect the facts: m~rely Consumers may contract for an amount of credit at a certain cost to be repaid by meeting a fixed schedule of ?ayments, constructed at a certain rate. That is all four components are known and embraced in the contract. Or, the consumer may contract for a "line of credit" to be repaid under broad repayment guidelines, with the rate known but the finance charge not known until the credit is actually used. Consumers need and business can supply both closed-end (contract) and open-end (revolving) credit. Both ar.e legitimate and desirable forms of credit; each requires comparable disclosure. Sec. 4(a) of S.5 requires disclosure of the basic elements of the closed-end contract, allowing both parties to agree in subsection (9) to terms which would be imposed in the event of deviation from contract terms. This might provide both parties - 17 an opportunity to make suitable accornodations to minor irregularities. We have worked out examples of various types of contract credit to prove the workability of the table, and we have also reworked these problems, waiving the irregularities, to indicate how simplifying rules do not greatly affect the disclosure. Sec. 4(b),apply~o straightforward. open-end credit, seems to me also to be I appreciate the fact that many creditors now quoting a monthly rate of 1-1/2% would prefer not to quote 18%. But if this is a requirement for all, its impact on any one creditor will be fair. I am not convinced by the argument that this higher rate disclosure will affect their sales. So far as I know, there is no evidence that full disclosure requirements in any area have adversely affected the interests of legitimate businesses engaged in that area. The Dollar Rate I should also like to discuss the argument advanced that consumers do not understand percentages or rates, but do understand dollars. The argument is made that credit should be ex- pressed as a dollar add-on rate and not as a percentage rate. 1. The dollar cost of a credit contract is unique to that contract: it is not comparable with contracts of other amounts and duration. Some help is afforded if the facts are - 18 expressed as finance charges per $100 of the contract. is the term needed for use of our tables. This This does not provide comparable information because of different durations. 2. The dollar per hundred per year. add-on rate is usually quoted as dollars I am disposed, however, to argue that even casual readers of highway signs and newspaper and TV advertising are more familiar with the % sign as an expression of rate. Furthermore, the finance industry must find percentages to be meaningful or it would not spend such large sums in advertising percentage rates. 3. But I understand that the proponents of dollar add-on mean something more than this: They propose that the dollar add-on expresses the rate to be applied to the amount to be financed and not to the credit used. Since in instalment credit the amount used is approximately 1/2 the beginning amount of credit extended, the actuarial rate is approximately twice the dollar add-on rate. It is, perhaps, because this half-rate seems so economical that the creditors are inclined to view this as the type of rate consumers seem to understand. Why should we have a double standard? Why should a finan- cial institution quote dollar amounts to the public when lending money and percentage amounts when borrowing money from the public? If dollar add-on is what ought to be quoted, this single standard of disclosure would require that a bank currently - 19 - paying 4-3/4% on savings would be required to advertise: "Our dollar add-on rate on savings is $2.59". This may seem ridiculous, but that is the way I view the entire dollar add-on argument. I am convinced that we should stop thinking in terms of a double standard of one set of terms for credit customers and another for many of those same people when they are depositors. - 20 Workability of S.S I want now to return to the question of workability, and to nail this down once and for all. The Committee has been provided with a set of tables prepared by the Government Actuary, and I would like to go through some examples with the Committee, first demonstrating that with relative ease even an ex-Congressman can find the annual rate for any credit transaction with a high degree of accuracy. Then I want to demonstrate that with an acceptable degree of tolerance, even these calculations can be greatly simplified except for the most extraordinary and improbable kinds of credit deals. Example 1. My first example is the most usual type of instalment credit transaction -- a series of equal or level payments. This is the ordinary type of instalment credit con- tract that a consumer enters into when he buys, for example, a refrigerator or a washing machine or an automobile on time. This is Example 1 on page 1 of the blue book. The con- sumer buys an automobile for $2,500, pays $500 down, and has a balance of $2,000 to finance. months are $67.22. His monthly payments for 36 36 times $67.22 is $2,419.92. The finance charge is the difference between this and $2,000, or $419.92. The finance charge per hundred is $419.92 divided by the number of hundreds in $2,000; this gives $21.00. - 21 Now to find the annual rate of finance charge, all we have to do is to look down the first column in the table (page 9) to 36 months: Look across to find $21.00, which lies be- tween $20.65 and $21.08, and read up to 12-3/4 percent. there's our answer. And That wasn't hard. Example 2 is a variation of Example 1. In some cases the arithmetic on an instalment credit contract doesn't work out exactly and the last payment is adjusted either up or down. So let's look at Example 2 on page 1 of the blue book. Here we have a television set which is sold for $395. The finance charge is $39.50 and the instalment contract is for 18 months. The first 17 payments are level -- $24 each. The final payment is $26.50. First we calculate the finance charge per hundred. is $39.50 divided by the number of hundreds in $395. This This gives $10.00. Since we have an odd last payment, we need to turn to page 25 of the blue book to the Odd Final Payment Table. We look down the first column to $25 -- the amount of each level payment -- and across to $26.50 -- the amount of the last pay- ment. This falls between $26.25 and $28.75, so we read up between these two figures and find a string of +.1 adjustments - 22 in the little table at the top. The first column in the little table tells us that if we have over 12 payments we use the correction on the bottom line, which is +.1. this to the number of monthly payments. We add This makes it 18.1 months. Now we turn to the Annual Percentage Rate Table (page 7), look down the first column to 18.1 months, read across to the finance charge per one hundred -- $10.00. $9.93 and $10.14. This lies between We read up and find the approximate annual rate is 12-1/4 percent. That wasn't very hard either, and it gets easier when you've done it two or three times. Example 3 is a series of level payments, but the first payment is not due for 3 months and 24 days. Ordinarily in an instalment contract the first payment is due in one month, so in this case we have an extension of 2 months and 24 days beyond the normal first payment date. First, let's calculate the finance charge per hundred. The loan maybe to a teacher who is paid on a nine months schedule and won't have any income coming in until school reopens is for $200. There are 12 payments of $18 each. The total is $216, so the total finance charge is $16 or $8 per hundred. Now we turn to page 23 to get the amount of the extension in decimals. The table is set up so you don't even have to - 23 calculate the extension. payment Just look up the time to the first down the first column to 3 months and across to 24 days to find the adjustment factor -- 2.80. Now let's turn to the Annual Percentage rate table (page 5) • Read down the first column to 12 months. Move over to the second column -- the equivalent point in months. This equivalent point is the weighted average time that the loan is outstanding. ment -- 2.80. Find the value there -- 6.44. 6.44 plus 2.80 is 9.24. Add the defer- Look down the second column to find the value closest to this number. 9.22 is a little closer than 9.27, so we read across the table from 9.22 to locate the finance charge per hundred -- $8.00. falls between $7.87 and $8.07. This Read up and the approximate annual rate is 10%. I'm going to skip Example 4. This is just a combination of Examples 2 and 3. Example 5 on page I of the blue book is a single payment loan. When we've covered this, we will have covered probably 95 percent or more of all consumer credit contracts. In this case we have the purchase of $250 of merchandise to be paid for in 3 months and 21 days with a single payment of $257.50. The finance charge is $7.50 -- $257.50 minus $250. finance charge per hundred, then, is $7.50 divided by the n~er of lOOts in $250. This gives $3.00 per hundred. The - 24 - Now let's turn back to the Deferment Table on page 23. The payment is due in 3 months and 21 days. the first column to three months. Look down Read across to 21 days. The deferment is 2.70. Turn to the Annual Percentage Rate Table. payment -- first column. We have one The equivalent point for one pay- ment is, of course, 1.00 second column. factor -- 1.00 plus 2.70 and read down the second column to the nearest value to 3.70. Add the deferment 3.68 is a little closer than 3.73, so we read across from 3.68 to find the values between which the finance charge per hundred lies. $2.99 and $3.07. $3.00 is between Read up to find the approximate annual rate -- 9-3/4 percent. Now I'm going also to skip Examples 6, 7 and 8. These and Example 9, which I want to go through, are not problems they are demonstrations of the ways in which the table can be used by lenders in setting their finance charges. Example 9 illustrates the add-on rate which is very commonly used in automobile finance. What we have here is a finance charge of $6 per hundred per year. There are 18 monthly instalments -- a year and a half -- so the total finance charge per hundred dollars is 1-1/2 times $6, or $9 per hundred, which is what we need for the tables. - 25 Now we turn to the Annual Rate Table (page 7). month line is at the top of the page. The 18 Read across to find the values between which $9 per hundred lies -- $8.83 and $9.04. Read up to 11 percent. By interpolation, a more accurate rate is 11.08 percent, but the tables are set up so that the answer should generally be within 1/8 of 1 percent without this additional step. The Committee might also be interested in the annual percentage rate for a 6 percent add-on for a two year instalment contract. The finance charge per hundred is $6 times 2 or 12 dollars. We look down column 1 in the Annual Rate Table (page 7) to 24 months. Read across to $12.00, which he hit on the button this time. Read up. The approximate annual rate is exactly half way between 11 and 11-1/4 percent, so it is precisely 11-1/8%. Now I've also got some more complicated examples, and then I want to go back and rework all of these examples using the one page Defense Department rate table. Then I want to talk about the simplest problem of all -- revolving credit -and conclude with some comments on mortgage credit. Example 1 on page 2 of the blue book is a balloon payment. These are prohibited by law in many States, but even so they seem to be fairly common. - 26 The example is complicated because we've also assumed a deferment, but I thought I should show you that these complications can be handled easily. in financial mathematics. It doesn't take a graduate degree Any clerk who is allowed to set up an instalment contract can handle the tables. In this case we have 10 payments of $50 each beginning in 1 month and 28 days. The 11th payment -- the final pay- ment -- is $150, due at 11 months and 28 days. First, we calculate the finance charge per hundred. is the fundamental calculation. This 10 payments of $50 each is $500 plus one payment of $150 is $650. The cash price is $610, so the finance charge is $40 -- $650 minus $610. The finance charge per hundred is just $40 divided by the number of hundreds in $610. This isn't the easiest calculation with- out paper and pencil; but the answer is $6.56 per hundred. The main point to bear in mind in solving these cases that are really irregular is that the main schedule is a combination of "sub-schedules". Here we have a sub-schedule of 10 equal payments, and another one of just one payment. We deal with them separately. Second step. Looking at the first sub-schedule of 10 payments, let's find the decimal equivalent of the 28-day extension. Remember we don't actually have to calculate the extension. The Deferment Table (page 23) is set up so that all you need to look for is the time to the first payment -- - 27 1 month and 28 days. The table is based on a 30-day month; this is conventional and is a practice followed by most lenders in dealing with fractional parts of a month. The decimal deferment value for 1 month and 28 days is 0.93. All right. Now we go to the Annual Rate Table. Our first level payment sub-schedule is for 10 payments (page 5). down the first column to 10 months. column to find the equivalent point. 0.93 to get 6.39. Look Look across to the next This is 5.46. Add the Move on down the second column to find this value; in this case we have it exactly. Then look across to column 3 to get the equivalent factor -- .610. Next, we have our second "sub-schedule" of one payment of $150 which is not due for 11 months and 28 days. We go back to the Deferment Table on page 23 and find the decimal deferment value -- 10.93. Turn to the Annual Rate Table (page 3), look down the first column to one month -- we have just one of these payments. Go across to the second column to find the equivalent point -- we should have remembered this would be 1.00 -- add the deferment factor to get 11.93, look down the second column (page 7) -- hit it again and across to the third column to find the equivalent factor 1.108. Now we have to do some multiplications This makes it a little more complicated, but this is a complicated credit transaction. Not only that, but it's too compli~ated really - 28 to be believable. I can't imagine very many cases of this kind. Multiplications: We have ten payments of $50. gives a $500 total for the first "sub-schedule". This We mUltiply this times the equivalent factor -- .610 -- to get $305. In the second "sub-schedule", we have one payment of $150 times its equivalent factor -- 1.108 -- or $166.20. The sum of $305.00 and $166.20 is $471.20. We divide this by the total payments -- $650 -- and $471.20 divided by $650 is .725. This is the weighted equivalent factor, so we turn back to the Annual Percentage' Rate Table (page 5), and look down column 3. .725 is closer to .727 than to .722, so we read across on the .727 line. The finance charge per hundred -- $6.56 lies between $6.50 and $6.66. Read up, and the approximate annual rate is 10 percent. Now I'm going to do one more example -- example 3 on page 2 of the blue book. Examples 2 and 4 are simply varia- tions of Example 3 and other examples we've already gone through. Example 3 is just to illustrate that the tables do work, since I've never heard of an instalment contract like this and my staff hasn't been able to explain to me how a credit seller or a credit borrower could get involved in this kind of arrangement. - 29 Anyway, we have this schedule: a a a a a a payment of $100.00 at 1 month and 9 days payment of $100.00 at 2 months and 1 day payment of $75.00 at 4 months and 10 days payment of $65.00 at 5 months and 9 days payment of $25.00 at 8 months and 6 days, and final payment of $51.83 at 10 months and 8 days. Total payments amount to $416.83. If the cash price is $400, the finance charge is $16.83 and the finance charge per hundred is $4.21. Now we need to make up a table, listing the amounts of each payment (see table p. 31). Then we turn back to page 23 to the deferment table and read from it for each payment the decimal deferment value. 1 month and 9 days, 0.30; 2 months and 1 day, 1.03; 4 months and 10 days, days, 9.27. 4.30~ 3.33~ 5 months and 9 8 months and 6 days, 7.20; 10 months and 8 days, And we set these values down next to the payments. Now we go to the Annual Percentage Rate Table. The equiva- lent point for 1 payment is 1.00 so we add 1.00 to each of the deferment values. Then we look down column 2 to the adjusted deferment values and look across to column 3 for the equivalent factors which we need to copy down because we are going to multiply each payment by its equivalent factor. Going down the line in column 2 we find that 1.30 in column 2 gives us .127 in column 3, 2.03 in column 2 gives us .199 in column 3, and so on. Now we mUltiply the equivalent factors by their corresponding payments. That is .127 times the first payment of $100 is 12.70 • • 199 times $100 is $19.90 etc., down the column. - 30 Now we add up all of these products -- $12.70 plus 19.90 plus 31.28 plus 33.15 plus 19.40 plus 49.91 -- and get the total of $166.34. ments We divide the total by the sum of the pay- that is $166.34 by $416.83 -- and get the weighted equivalent factor -- .399. Then we go back to the Annual Percentage Rate Table (page 3) read down column 3 to the nearest figure to .399 .398 -- read across to the finance charge per hundred -$4.21 -- this is between $4.15 and $4.24 -- read up to the annual rate -- 12 percent. Anyone who would go to the lengths of designing an instalment contract like this surely deserves to have to do this amount of work. But it really wasn't that hard and would be a lot simpler with a proper work sheet. - 31 - payment Deferment 1 month value 1. 0.30 + 1.00 2 1.03 + 1.00 3 3.33 + 1.00 4 4.30 + 1.00 5 7.20 + 1. 00 6 9.27 + 1.00 = = = = = = Equivalent points Equivalent factor 1.30 .127 x $100.00 $12.70 2.03 .199 x 100.00 19.90 4.33 .417 x 75.00 31.28 5.30 .510 x 65.00 33.15 8.20 .776 x 25.00 19.40 10.27 .963 x 51. 83 49.91 $416.83 $166.34 $166.34 divided by $416.83 equals .399 Amount Product - 32 Now I want to go back through these same examples to illustrate that the determination of the annual percentage rate can be made even easier if we allow a reasonable degree of tolerance in the statement of the rate. First of all, the blue book is a formidable looking document. I have here, the Department of Defense Table for com- puting approximate annual percentage rates for level monthly payment plans. books. This is one sheet instead of 11 of these blue Here are copies of the Defense Department Tables for the Committee. It is not as precise. The rate intervals are wider -- 1/2 of 1 percent to a full 1 percent and more -- and the periods are in whole numbers, not in tenths. Even so, I am going to demonstrate that good results can be gotten from this one page table, covering rates from 5 percent to 36 percent and 1 to 60 payments which compare favorably with an acceptable degree of tolerance -- with the more accurate rates determined with a good deal more labor from the blue books. And I am going to do this using some additional simplifications. Example 1, page 1, is easy. the blue book. It works just like it did in Take the Defense Table. Look down column 1 to 36 months, read across to the finance charge per hundred -- $21.00 -- between $20.43 and $22.17. Read up to 13 percent. - 33 - Our answer before was 12-3/4 percent, but I don't see any reason to complain about that. If we interpolated, we would get 12.83% identically from either table. Example 2. The odd final payment is $26.50, the level payments are $24.00. At a glance we can see that the odd final payment is closer to 1 level payment thah it is to 2, so we call it I level payment. Add I to the 17 level pay- ments 18 payments. Table incidentally I should tell the Committee that the Read down column 1 of the Defense Defense Table was also prepared by the Government Actuary, Mr. Kroll -- read down column 1 to 18. Read across to the finance charge per hundred, $10.00, read up to the rate 12 percent. We got 12-1/4 percent when we used the blue book. Example 3. Here we have a deferment -- and right here I would like to give the Committee a,sheet containing the rules we are following. This is labelled Form No. I. The rules will take care of deferments and odd final payments, except for large balloons. Single payments are also covered. The finance charge per hundred is $8.00, we calculated that before. 24 days. The first payment is not due for 3 months and That is, the first payment is extended for 2 months and 24 days. Double this to the nearest month 4 months and 48 days. 6 months. Add the 6 to the number of payments -- 12 payments plus 6 equals 18 payments. to 18 months. Round it Read down Read across to the finance charge per hundred. - 34 - Read up to the rate -- 10 percent. we got from the blue book. Example 4. This is the same answeI Not hard. We skipped that before. The finance charge per hundred is $6.29. It's easier now. The first payment is due in only 21 days instead of a full month. days early. months. This is 9 Double that to get 18 days which rounds to .6 We have to go to tenths of months here because we have a double adjustment, one for deferment and one for odd final payment. The last payment, $7.80 is less than one-half of the level payment amount of $20. With a quick division we find that it comes to .4 of a level payment. - 35 - Now if we add our adjustments to the number of equal payments, 10, we get 10 -.6 + .4 = 9.8 payments. We used a minus .6 because the first payment was early, you will recall. Now we round our 9.8 to 10 and read down the first column to 10. Read across to the finance charge per hundred $6.29 -- read up to the rate of 13-1/2% (half way between 13% and 14%). The blue book rate is 13-3/4% in this case, so we have a discrepancy of 1/4%. I"wQ~ld like to add at this pOint that various degrees of refinement can be used as the regulating agency sees 'fit. Converting days to decimal parts of a month is simple enough. You need only divide by 3 and move the decimal 1 place to the left. An Gdd final payment table is not a particular burden. The Defense Department Table could be made with slightly finer intervals. What I am demonstrating now is what might be considered as a starter with respect to the tolerances which might eventually be set down by the regulating agency. Example 5, a single payment. got a rate of 9-3/4%. From the blue book, we The payment is due 3 months and 21 days, so the extension is 2 months and 21 days. Double this -- 4 months and 42 days. This rounds to 5 months. Add 5 to the number of payments -- 1. Enter the table at 6, read across to the finance charge -- per hundred -- $3.00. of 1%. Read uptolO%. The difference is one-quarter - 36 - We can skip the rest of the examples on page 1, since as I explained before they really are there to illustrate how a lender can use the tables to set up payment schedules. Now I want to take up the more complicated examples on page 2 of the blue book. Then I'll corne to revolving credit. Example 1 involves a balloon payment which is three times the normal payment. I have here Form No. II, which gives the rules we have to follow in this case. - 37 - The level payments don't start for 1 month and 28 days, so the extension for these payments is 28 days. 56 days -- round to the nearest month -- 2 months this down on paper. below it - 11. Double this ~~ and put Put the number of level payments down The final balloon payment of $150 is three times one of the normal level payments -- put down 3. Add up 2, 11 and 3 to get 15 -- in effect treat the payment schedule as a schedule of IS-level payments. Defense table to 15 months. Read across to the finance charge per hundred -- $6.56 -- read up to 10%. we got before. Now go down the That's the same rate - 38 - Now I'm not going to go through the other three examples on page 2 of the blue book unless the committee wants me to. I do have the answers worked out, and 'r would like to submit See page 38a. a comparative table for the record./ It shows this: That the approximate method using the Defense tables gives results which are acceptable even within narrow tolerances in terms of the more accurate results that can be gotten from the blue books. Now I want to conclude by talking about revolving credit this is the department store credit with which all of us are familiar. I have heard the arguments: that some consumers don't have to pay any service charges because they pay within thirty days. That the average rate the consumers pay is only 8 or 9%, even though the store is charging 1-1/2 percent per month. We need to get this in focus in terms of the purpose of the bill, which is to assure that consumers are fully informed of the cost of credit so that they can make intelligent decisions about how to use credit. In these terms, it is not important that the consumer buys a shirt on the 3rd of April, is billed on the 17th of April, and has until the 17th of May to pay without incurring any credit charges. This is a cash transaction, up to that point. The point at which it becomes a credit transaction, ~o far as the purpose of this bill is concerned, is the point at which the consumer becomes subject to credit charges. - 38a- Annual Rate Calculation Comparisons Blue book Short method Difference Page 1 Example 1 12-3/4 13 +1/4 2 12-1/4 12 -1/4 3 10 10 4 13-3/4 13-1/2 -1/4 5 9-3/4 10 +1/4 Page 2 1 10 10 2 10-3/4 11 +1/4 3 12 11 -1 4 13-1/2 13 -1/2 - 39 - This is the only thing that concerns him. He surely is not going to borrow elsewhere to pay off his revolving credit, unless it is to avoid paying service charges. He's not going to draw on his savings except for the same reason. This is why I say that revolving credit is the simplest kind of credit to handle for the purposes of this bill. If the store charges 1-1/2% per month, the annual percentage rate is 12 times 1-1/2 or 18%. If it charges 2% a month, the annual percentage rate is 2 times 12, or 24% a year. Finally, I want to say a word about mortgages. here a set of Mortgage Yield Tables. I have This is publication No. 135 of the Financial Publishing Company. Let me show you how easy this is. This is why I left it to last, because it is so easy. Suppose our homebuyer wants to buy a$25,000 house, and he's looking for a $20,000 mortgage. So he goes to the lender and arranges a 6% 25 year mortgage for $20,000, and then he goes to settlement and discovers that he's being charged two points, $400, and that there are additional settlement charges which are directly related to the fact that he's getting a mortgage -mortgage recording fees, title insurance, etc. -- amounting to another $450. This is another 2-1/2 points, so altogether Our homebuyer is in for 4-1/2 points. - 40 - Let's just take the Mortgage Yield Table, turn to page 343, he's in effect paying 4-1/2 points so we look at a price of 100 minus 4-1/2 or 95-1/2, go over to the last column which is the yield to maturity, and read off 6.49. This is the annual percentage rate that this credit is costing him. - 41 5ummary and Conclusion I have spent a lot of the committee's time on the actual computations needed under 5.5. I hope I have demonstrated to your satisfaction that there is no credit transaction that cannot be solved with relative simplicity by the tables before you. I want to remind the committee again that some 95% of all the credit transactions in this Nation can be computed easily under the first four simple 2xamples I have cited. But my experience in Government has shown me that the Congress is unwilling to place even moderately harsh burdens on only five percent of the business community. For this reason, I have been at pains to demonstrate that even the more complicated examples can be handled with relative ease using the Defense Department table and some simple adjustment rules. I would like to conclude with this simple statement: In my opinion, there is no real debate in the Congress or in the country over the desirability of the objectives specified in this legislation. The workability factor seems to have been the chief stumbling block in the past. I hope the effort that the Treasury has put forward has effectively demolished this objection. TREASURY DEPARTMENT ( mEASE 6:.30 P.M., "1& April 11, 1961. RESULTS OF TREASURY' S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING announced that the tenders tor two series of Treasury 5, one series to be an additional issue of the bills dated January 19, 1961, and the ~ series to be dated April 20, 1967, which were otfered on April 12, 1967, were ~d at the Federal Reserve Bank8 today. Tenders were invited for $1,.300,000,000, ~eabouts, of 9~ay bills and for $1,000,000,000, or thereabouts, ot l82-day I. The details of the two series are as fo110"'-8: The Treasury Department 91-day Treasury billa maturing J~ 20 1 1967 Approx. EqUiv. Price Annual Rate 99.016 Y .3.893~ 99.009 .3.920% 99.01~ .3.905% !I t OF ACCEPTED i'TITlVE BIOO : High Low Average * t •• : r · 182-day Treasury bills maturing Ootober 19, 1967 Approx. EqUiv. Price .Annual Rate 98.009 3.938% 97.998 .3.9~ 98.003 3.950% 11 Exc~ting 1 tender of $150 000 of e amount of 91-day biils bid for at the low price was accepted 8% of the BIlount of 182-day bUls bid for at the In price li\i"U accepted TENDERS APPLIED FOR AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS: tr10t tOn York hde1phia veland bmond ant. cago Louis aeapolis sal City' las Francisco TOTALS , Applied For Applied For AcceEted 19,554,000 : $ 22,441,000 29,554,000 I 1,481,838,000 1,682,441,000 849,067,000 19,084,000 1.5,241,000 27,U7,OOO 29,.310,000 29,44l,000 29,341.,000 : 12,250,000 12,034,000 3,719,000 25,641,000 40,855,000 25,144,000 334,116,000 146,896,000 345,556,000 4.5 , 808 ,000 21,54h,000 58,996,000 10,861,000 11,617,000 : 17,137,000 11,220,000 25,168,000 : 29,108,000 19,279,000 14,873,000 25,441,000 195, 447,zOOO 212 2555 2000 10$1 645 2000 : · · $2,510,751,000 $1,300,448,000 £I $2,174,566,000 AcceEted I 1,741,000 653,888,000 5,284,000 13,064,000 3, 779,0CJ0 9,416,000 23.3,538,000 11,444,000 5,107,000 9,965,000 9,179,000 44 z17302 000 $1,000,518,000 sI Leludes $273 195 000 non COIlpe ti tiTIt tenders accepted at the average price of 99.01) lelUdes n07' t:l:J9' 000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 98.003 tel' rates ':'e o~ a bank discount buis. The equivalent coupon issue yields are ,01% for the 91-day h1118, and 4.1O,C for the 182-dq bill•• TREASURY DEPARTMENT April 19, 1967 IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of ~2,300,OOO,OOO,or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for rreasury bills maturing April 27, 1967, in the amount of ~2,303,803,OOO, as follows: ~or 9~day bills (to maturity date) to be issued April 27, 1967, or thereabouts, representing an ldditional amount of bills dated January 26, 1967, and to ~ture July 27, 1967, originally issued in the amount of 1999,932,000, the additional and original bills to be freely .nterchangeable. In the amount of $1,300, 000, 000, 18~day ~pril bills, for $1,000,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated 27, 1967, and to mature October 26, 1967. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under ompetitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at ,aturity their face amount will be payable Without interest. They 111 be issued in bearer form. only, and in denominations of $1,000, 5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 maturi ty value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches one-thirty p.m., Eastern Standard lme, Monday, April 2 4 , 1967. Tenders will not be !ceived at the Treasury De~artment, Washington. Each tender must ! for an even multiple of ~1,000, and in the case of competitive 3nders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, lth not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not ! used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and )rwa~ed in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal !serve Banks or Branches on application therefor. p to the clOSing hour Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of lstomers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such !nders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to :bmlt tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received .thout deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from sponsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders Om others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face ount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are companied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank trust company. 882 - 2 - Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at tt Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and prke range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasu: expre s s ly re serve s the right to accept or re j ec t any or a 11 tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Se tt lemen t for accepted tender s in accordance wi th the b ids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on April 27, 1967, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing April 27, 1967. Cash and exchange tend will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not ~~ any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other dispositioo, of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject ~ estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal ~ State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to ~ interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bi lIs are exclud from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunc need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upoo sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which tl return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and tl notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obta~~ any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 050 TREASURY DEPARTMENT FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S MONTHLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders tor two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $ 1,400,OOO,000,or thereabouts, for cash and 1n exchange for T~asury bills maturing April 30,1967, in the amount of ~,401,513,000, as follOWS: 275~day bills (to maturity date) to be issued May 1, 1967, in the amount of $ 500 ,000,000, or thereabouts, representing an add1t1onal amount of bills dated January 31, 1967, and to mature January 31,1968, originally issued in the amount of ~OO,967,000, the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 366-day bills, for $900,000,000, or thereabouts,. to be dated April 30, 1967, and to mature April 30, 1968. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at matur1ty their face amount will be payable without interest. They ~111 be 1ssued in bearer form only, and 1n denominat1ons of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (matur1 ty value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up o the closing hour, one-thirty porn., Eastern Standard time, Tuesday, pril 25, 1967. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury e~rtment, Washington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of 1,OOO,and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must e expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, .g.,99.925. Fractions may not be used. (Notwithstanding the fact hat the one-year bills will run for 366 days, the discount rate will e computed on a bank discount bas is of 360 days, as is currently the cactice on all issues of Treasury bills.) It is urged that tenders ~ made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes tich will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on )plication therefor. Bank1ng institutions generally may submit tenders for account of Qstomers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such enders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to lbm1t tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received lthout deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from F-883 - 2 responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of :' pt-rcent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. Immed iate ly after the c los ing hour, tenders wi 11 be opened at tr Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and pr~e range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rej ec t ion there of . The Secre tary of the Treasul expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on May 1, 1967, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing April 30, 1967. Cash and exchange tend will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other dispositioo of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bi lIs are exclude from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereund need include in his income tax return only the difference be~een the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which th return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revis ion) and th notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. l TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR RELEASE: UPON DELIVERY REMARKS OF THE HONORABLE HENRY H. FOWLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AT THE 14TH ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL AZALEA FESTIVAL LUNCHEON GOLDEN TRIANGLE HOTEL, NORFOLK, VIRGINIA THURSDAY, APRIL 20, 1967, 12:30 P.M., EST It is a great pleasure for me to have the opportunity to speak here at the headquarters of the NATO Atlantic Fleet. It is an official pleasure because NATO, while it is a key part of our international security, is something more than that. It also has important political and economic aspects in today's world, and I am officially deeply interested in the economic side of NATO. Apart from this, it is a great personal pleasure for me to take part in this Azalea festival, and join you in honoring the charming young ladies who grace it. In connection with NATO, I feel that it is a most fortunate coincidence that the young lady who has been selected as Queen of the festival this year comes to our shores from Belgium -- an ally small in territorial size -- great in power -- rich in wisdom -- and courageous in time of adversity. The military headquarters of NATO in Europe has moved this year to Belgium, as you know, and I feel that it is a happy quirk of history that here at the Atlantic Fleet Headquarters at this time we are honoring a lovely representative of the Belgian nation. At the last NATO Ministerial meeting, Belgian Foreign Minister Harmel introduced a resolution, which has since become known as the Belgian Resolution, or the Belgian Initiative, to set up, within NATO, a high-level commission for the review and examination of the future course of NATO in view of changing conditions. This commission will be particularly concerned with political and economic aspects of the alliance. It will make a preliminary report to the Ministerial Meeting to be held in June, and will make its final report in December. F-884 - 2 - To conduct such a review is indeed a wise move at this point. For we are looking today at a NATO which is in process of change -- and that change is a tribute. to the vast economic and industrial advances which the nations of Europe have made since the end of World War II and the days of the Marshall Plan. It is against this current, up-to-date backdrop that I would like today to take a look at NATO in the context of the Atlantic Community. The Atlantic Community has come about for very good reason -- principally the need for free men to band together for protection of their freedomo Many of the underlying factors which brought about the creation of NATO in the first place continue to grow apace -and despite the headlines, they continue to knit our nations together. Time and distance continue to shrink. Businessmen and technicians continue to weave their intercontinental links. The jets are loaded these days with them coming from or going to another continent for some commercial or scientific purpose. The seats they do not occupy hold tourists bent on visiting countries other than their own for reasons of kinship, culture, scenery or sheer pleasure. The health of our economy is associated with the health of the economies on the other side of the ocean. And we know that commerce has become so international that one of my big problems as Secretary of the Treasury is to work out with finance officials of other nations improved international monetary arrangements to avoid restrictions on this commerce and facilitate the free flow of goods, tourists and capital. There are countless and meaningful links of history, culture, religion and blood. And, of great significance, we share a history of parliamentary democracy. Ideas of government and of the freedom of man have flowed back and forth across the Atlantic. The colonial philosphers drew much of their inspiration and many of their ideas from the writings of ancient Greece and Rome as well as their continental and British contemporaries. Basically we share the same kind of economic and industrial organizations. We - 3 - have stable and abundant economies, the kind which, if properly harnessed, could do much to dispel hunger and misery not only in our own countries but in the less developed areas of the world. We are truly interdependent -- militarily, economically and politically. We are a small world and we are becoming more so every day, despite those who would like to turn the clock back to a past when the nation-state was supreme. Never has the old cliche, "Time waits for no man" been more true than it is today. The clock has passed nationalist thinking. The North Atlantic Alliance is designed to establish and maintain security for the region. The treaty signed on April 4, 1949, opened a new era in the diplomatic history of the United States, so different from our past history of aloofness and non-involvement that stretched back to our beginnings as a nation. May I add it was also a new era for Western Europe, marking the organization of the mutual security of that war-torn area on a basis far different from the haphazard, and often unsuccessful arrangements of the past. In the military field, NATO is achieving its basic purpose. It has prevented any further Soviet encroachment in Europe. It has helped create an important by-product of greater reasonableness in Soviet policy toward the West. It has achieved and, despite French military withdrawals, maintained an integrated planning and command staff and logistic structures. In short, if we are enjoying today a "thaw" in East-West relations, NATO is the peace insurance which helped bring it about -- and this is no time to drop that insurance. In the rightful current emphasis on making NATO "more than a military alliance" let us not forget that we would be worrying about other and more tragic problems if NATO had not been a successful defensive military shield behind which we could nourish our great prosperity and strengthen our institutions. No doubt we need some changes and modifications in the Fire Department we created eighteen years ago o That recognition of need for change should not suggest that we need a weaker Fire Department in a world where violence and force and the threat of force remain so sadly widespread in the world around us. Let me suggest that it is fitting and only fair that the allocation of the costs of - 4 the modernized Fire Department among those protected should be considered at the same time that the question of forces and other strictly military matters are considered. I would like to turn briefly now to some of the economic and monetary aspects of NATO and the Atlantic Community which it serves. All our eyes, these days are turned toward the Kennedy Round negotiations in Geneva. These negotiations are moving toward their late April-early May deadline. The United States' cards are on the table. We want freer trade on a reciprocal basis. We hope that the barriers will continue to fall. And it would tragic -- and there be grave repercussions -- if the Kennedy Round were to fail. To sustain this trade, we must also assure a financial viability for the Atlantic Community. And, in the context of NATO, an important step is being taken to assure this financial viability. Since last fall, a series of trilateral meetings have been held by the governments of Germany, Great Britain and the United States. One of the purposes of these meetings has been to find a fair solution to one element of the problem of assuring financial viability for the Alliance and the Community it serveso These trilateral discussions came about partly because of Germany's expectation that in the coming year her purchases of military supplies from the U. S. and Britain will be substantially less than in the past. Prior to this, we had found a solution to the foreign exchange cost of stationing troops in Germany -- where NATO needs them most -through these German purchases. These so-called" offset" purchases helped to offset the pressure on the U. S. balance of payments at the same time that they enabled Germany to satisfy equipment needs for its NATO commitments in the most efficient manner. Now, as a matter of fairness, no ally, ideally, should suffer a balance of payments loss or receive a balance of payments gain as a result of participating in NATO. Just as the nations of this alliance work together to provide the men and the weapons which all of us must have for our safety -- so should they cooperate in order to achieve fairness in the financial consequences which the need for these men and weapons bring about. - 5 - The system of advance agreement among the allies for purchase from each other of the arms they will need, in prescribed amounts the "offset" concept -- can be discontinued, so that each nation can decide what military procurement it wishes to make in the light of that country's obligation to the alliance. However, the allies should also find other ways to deal with the residual foreign exchange effects caused by the basing of military forces away from their native land. In the tripartite talks which our government is conducting with Germany and Britain, our position is that decisions on the force levels each nation supplies should be made jointly, in NATO, and not unilaterally, and that they should be made on the basis of broad security considerations. The talks were designed as a preliminary to the NATO force level talks to be held this spring. They are proceeding satisfactorily, and the three governments will very likely have recommendations for NATO prepared in a short time. The tripartite talks could well constitute the takeoff point for longer-range arrangements. These should seek to remove the foreign exchange constraints which if left unsolved, will weaken the financial fabric on which our community depends. Earlier I referred to the well established fact that during the eighteen years of the Alliance the economic and financial power of the Western European members has been greatly enhanced -- not only by the atmosphere of relative peace and security that NATO has created, but by a developing fabric of international economic and financial cooperation. The monetary reserve position of Western Europe has expanded to provide financial strength to the individual countries and to the area. The United states, through its military expenditures in NATO, has made a clear and tangible contribution to the building up of the reserves which should be recognized. The balance of payments adjustment process and new international monetary arrangements are vital to the maintenance of the Alliance and the Atlantic Community in a sound and balanced financial posture. - 6 - Today the U. S., after many years of balance of payments deficits and declining reserves, cannot, as it has in the past, supply reserves to the rest of the world without regard to its own reserve position. The supply of the traditional types of reserve assets -- gold and the national reserve currencies -- will fall far short of the demand for reserves in the years ahead. A situation can be foreseen in which countries will be able. to increase their reserves only at the expense of losses by other countries -- and a shrinkage of world reserves, just as has been the case in the most recent year, can occur unless a suitable plan for the creation of new reserves is agreed upon. It is our hope, expectation and position that at the Annual Meeting of the International Monetary Fund in September of this year the Governors will approve the structure and major provisions of a specific plan. The political will to bring them about is up for the test in the forthcoming negotiations. We cannot permit the doubts of one or two to prevent the rest of us from doing what we know must be done. What is it that we seek? We seek the assurance that when there is a need of reserves as an essential base for international finance in all its aspects this would not lead to retreat into stale and timid and destructive restrictions for want of means to make liquid reserves available. We seek an open, competitive, fruitful world economy as the indispensable means that will permit us, and the rest of the world, to get on with the work of building a Greater Society of Nations. We seek, in other words, the financial underpinning that will be necessary for the Atlantic Community to do its job in the world -- in relation to itself, in relation to aiding the developing societies on toward the abundant life, in relation to maintaining and furthering the detente with the Soviet and its allies. We seek, in short, to assure a better world at peace. In playing your indispensable role in building this better world you here at Norfolk have our hopes, our thanks and our prayers. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT 5 = April 20, 1967 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY ANNOUNCES APPOINTMENTS OF ASSISTANTS FOR INTERNATIONAL TAX AFFAIRS Secretary of the Treasury Henry H. Fowler today announced ·tbe appointments of Joseph H. Guttentag, as Special Assistant 'forlnternational Tax Affairs, and Robert T. Cole, as Deputy Special Assistant for International Tax Affairs. Mr. Guttentag and Mr. Cole will work in the office of Assistant Secretary for Tax Policy, Stanley S. Surrey. Mr. Guttentag will also be Deputy Tax Legislative Counsel (International), and Mr. Cole will be Associate Tax Legislative Counsel (International). Mr. Guttentag, who is 38, was born in Brighton, Massachusetts. He received an A.B. degree from the University of >·:i.chigan in 1950 and an LL.B. at Harvard Law School in 1953. Before his Treasury appointment Mr. Guttentag was a partner in the Washington law firm of Surrey, Karas ik, Gould and Greene. ~ar1ier he practiced law in Detroit, with McClintock, Fulton, )ooovan & Waterman. From 1954 to 1957, he was in the United ,tates Air Force, Judge Advocate General's Department. Mr. Guttentag is a former editor of the Harvard Law Review. ie has written and lectured on various aspects of the U.S. Tax iystem. He currently is Adjunct Professor of Law at Howard Jnivers ity, Washington, D. C. He is married to the former Merna Cohn of Detroit. They .ive (at 3901 Harrison Street, N. W.) in Washington, D. C., with :heir two sons. Mr. Cole, 35, was born in New York City. He received a .S. degree in Economics from the Wharton School of Finance nd Commerce, at the University of Pennsylvania in 1953, and n LL.B. from Harvard Law School in 1956. He also received an cademic Post Graduate Diploma in Law from the London School of conomics in 1959. "885 - 2 - Prior to joining the Treasury, Mr. Cole was with the New York Law firm of Nixon Mudge Rose Guthrie Alexander & Mitchell. From 1957-1959 he was in the United States Air Force ,Judge Advocate General's Department. A former editor of the Harvard Law Review, M·'. Cole was United States Rapporteur, Congress of the Internatiunal Fiscal Association, held in paris, in 1963. Mr. Cole is married to the former Margaret Hall of Bury, England. They presently make their home in Long Beach, Long Island, and are soon expected to move to the Washington area. They have two daughters. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR USE IN MORNING NEWSPAPERS OF FRIDAY. APRIL 21, 1967 REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE JOSEPH W. BARR UNDER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE CONTEMPORARY CLUB INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA THURSDAY, APRIL 20, 1967, AT 8:00 P.M., EST I thought it might be useful to discuss with you tonight some of the Treasury's thinking on one of the great problems of our times: the need for a new level of international cooperation in handling our international economic affairs. I want to discuss with you two separate aspects of this proo1em: the need for more adequate international monetary reserves and the need for better means of handling the world's balance of payments problem, including a more cooperative approach to sharing the costs of world economic improvement and world security. It is almost two years ago now that Secretary of the Treasury Henry H. Fowler drew the world's attention to the need for a fundamental re-examination of the international monetary system. At the heart of the suggestions made in July 1965 by Secretary Fowler was a conviction that if we are to continue the tremendous, and tremendously beneficial, economic growth and improvement which has characterized the free world in the post-war era, there would soon be a need for more international reserves than were likely to be supplied by additions to official reserves in the form of newly available gold or U. S. dollars. The negotiations that began almost two years ago, based upon these suggestions, were at that time felt in some quarters to be dealing with a problem that, while real, would probably not become pressing for some time. But we in the United States always felt this problem to be of a more imminent nature than did many people in Europe. F-886 - 2 Information which has recently become available about the events during the past two years, very strongly confirm our view. The facts are that: During the past two years the traditional processes by which world reserves are increased have not yielded a growth of liquidity; Such inadequate growth of reserves as has occurred in the past two years was due to ad hoc, uncontrolled and impermanent special factors, that cannot be projected to the future. What, then, has happened recently to dry up the traditional sources of reserve increases? First, the flow of gold into official reserves, which averaged half a billion dollars a year in 1960-64, has stopped. In 1965, official reserves got only a quarter of a billion dollars additional gold. In 1966, gold in official hands actually declined -- perhaps by as much as $100 million -- for the first time in modern history. Second, even though U. S. balance of payments deficits continued, these deficits did not show up as they had in the past as additions of dollars to monetary reserves. Why? The answer lies in another crucial fact: the fact that during the past two years conversions of dollars into gold .chiefly by France -- have more than offset dollar additions to official reserves. Only one conclusion can be drawn from this picture of prevailing uncertainty as to the future of reserve growth through presently available processes, and that conclusion is the following: We can no longer take continued reserve growth for granted. Consequently, since we want our individual economies, and the world economy as a whole, to continue to grow at healthy rates, there is no time to waste before we agree upon a new means for adding to the world's ability to increase monetary reserves. - 3 - Let me emphasize that I am not saying that current circumstances altogether rule out any further growth of reserves through the traditional processes for reserve growth. But that is not the point. The point is that the reserve needs of the world -- including the need to reverse the long downtrend in the reserves of the United States -will substantially exceed any such remaining flexibility that traditional reserves can provide. Consequently, we should not -- indeed, must not -- wait any longer to set up the machinery for the deliberate creation of a new reserve asset. Now let us look at the balance of payments aspect of the world monetary system. The United States has had balance of payments deficits in every year since 1950, with the exception only of 1957. These dollar outflows have been the principal sources of growth in world monetary reserves in the post-war era. Reserves are increased when dollars that go abroad flow from commercial channels into the possession of Central Banks and become a part of a nation's monetary reserves. By the late 1950's, our dollar outflows had become very large, averaging $3.5 billion a year on the overall, or liquidity basis, in 1958, 1959 and 1960. Since dollar outflows become potential claims upon our gold stock when those dollars come into the possession of official holders abroad, these very large outflows built up dollar holdings abroad to the point that the u.S. Government had to take action to abate the further growth of such claims. Beginning in 1961, the U. S. Government initiated a series of measures to reduce the balance of payments deficit. It has been -- and is -- our aim to bring our payments into equilibrium without the use of restrictive measures that would disrupt trade and travel, and without abandoning our key roles in free world security and economic development. Despite a number of adverse developments our deficits, measured on a liquidity basis, have fallen from an average of $3.7 billion in the years 1958-60 to an average of $2.5 billion in the years 1961 through 1964, and, in 1965 and 1966, to $1.3 billion and $1.4 billion respectively. This radical improvement in the last two years occurred despite - 4 an increase in net military expenditures outside the United States due to Vietnam costs exceeding $950 million, and a decrease in our trade surplus -- also accountable, in part at least, to Vietnam -- from the peak level of 1964 by $1.9 billion in 1965 and by $3 billion in 1966. On the official settlements basis, there was an average deficit of $0.5 billion in 1965-66, compared to a $2.2 billion average in the preceding five years. In part we are using short-term, temporary measures to dampen our dollar deficits by moderating private capital outflows. We are relying on these holding operations to keep our deficit under control during the period of our special commitments in Southeast Asia and during the period required to realize the benefits of our long-range program. These, of course, may very largely be overlapping time periods. This short term holding operation tends to obscure both the existence and strategy of the basic program we are employing in the balance of payments adjustment process. Our basic program -- for coming into a sustainable equilibrium -- is essentially a long term one, aimed at solving the problem by making use of this nation's unexampled economic strength in the context from which that strength has been derived: competitive free enterprise. Let me stress that our long term measures for achieving sustainable payments equilibrium are not matters for the future. They are in being as a program of action that is already showing effects. Let me summarize them: EXPorts First and foremost, we must maintain levels of costs and prices necessary for a strong competitive position in world markets. In the export promotion field the Commerce Department is now engaged in a host of important and productive works which have a direct beneficial impact on exports today and provide even greater promise for tomorrow. - 5 The Export-Import Bank has a new re,discount facility, and it is steadily streamlining its lending and guarantee programs. But we realize that more needs to be done in the export field. To this end, a number of questions are being raised: Has the Government simplified its regulations -tax and otherwise -- and its financial facilities enough? Is American business throughout the world as imaginative and aggressive as it might be? Must more be done -- perhaps directly -- to stimulate the interest of our commercial enterprises to sell abroad? Have we done enough to compete at home, on a fair and nonrestrictive basis, with goods now imported? We must constantly ask ourselves such questions and re-evaluate the answers. Travel The President has announced that he will shortly appoint a Special Travel Task Force to recommend means by which the U. S. Government, working in cooperation with the private sector, can accelerate foreign travel here. Although the travel gap has been widening ($1.8 billion in 1966 compared to $1.3 billion in 1960), receipts from overseas visitors have doubled since 1960. A well-financed, joint Governmentprivate sector effort can surely bring results. Foreign Portfolio Receipts By the Foreign Investors Tax Act, the United States has attempted to help make the tax treatment of investors in this country more equitable. The Treasury is now working with members of the financial community to spread the realization that U. S. corporate securities are one of our most promising export products. In the financial field, several countries have invested a portion of their reserves in longer term United States investments. The yields earned by these investments in long term instruments -- purchased with varying maturities to provide for liquidity needs -- make them a productive manner in which to carry official reserves. - 6 - It must be obvious to all concerned, here and in other countries, that the success of this long term program depends importantly on (1) the continued existence of an open, competitive and cooperative international economic order and (2) substantially strengthened multilateral arrangements to insure the financial viability of programs for free world security and aid to developing nations. Although this should be obvious, we nevertheless continue to find it necessary and relevant to emphasize to our colleagues from other countries that the way in which the United States handles its balance of payments problem also depends on the cooperation it receives from other countries in the process, and upon the way in which other nations with major roles in world economic affairs act in dealing with their own domestic and international monetary problems. We find it also necessary to emphasize that this cooperation is not a matter of helping the U. S. deal with its problem, but is a matter of enabling the world to deal with its payments problem without: undermining the international monetary system; subjecting that system to radical and undesirable change, or withdrawing from commitments involving the security and development of others. Let me give you an example. It is a vital part of our long term payments outlook that our income from investments abroad should steadily increase, and should be regarded as a bulwark of long range U. S. balance of payments strength. To this end, our voluntary program for temporarily moderating our private investment outflow avoids cutting off the flow of United States private investment overseas. What we do seek is to moderate those outflows by means that mitigate their impact upon our international payments accounts. However, permanent long term improvement here depends importantly upon changes that must take place in other countries. Why? One reason lies in the fact that in too many countries, governments have so pre -empted the flows of saVings that private capital markets are thin and costly. - 7 This results in calls upon American financing for projects in foreign countries that can and should be financed by foreign capital markets. To give you a little insight on this problem and its importance: Between 1958 and 1965, the United States was a net exporter of capital in the amount of $7.9 billion as a result of foreign issues on the domestic market less domestic issues abroad. In the same period, the Common Market countries were net importers through security issues, and indeed on overall capital accounts they had a net influx of almost $1 billion. In conjunction with that, let us note that in these years the EEC countries were running surpluses on current account amounting to $13.5 billion. Thus, not only was there a failure by these countries to help adjust world payments by the export of capital, but, by importing capital they were defeating the balance of payments adjustment process. As another example of the role of better international cooperation in overcoming the world's payment problem, let us look at the need for better burden sharing. The determination of the share a nation should bear in helping to meet the economic assistance requirements of the less-developed world and the security requirements of our community of nations requires difficult and continuous decisions on a host of issues. These issues cannot be resolved solely on the basis of domestic resources or budgetary considerations. I believe the Asian Development Bank represents the kind of burden-sharing necessary if the industrial nations are, together, to promote economic progress in the 1essdeveloped world in the decades ahead. The Bank has capital of nearly a billion dollars, of which $200 million came from Japan, $200 million from the United States, $415 million from other regional donors, and $150 million from Western Europe and Canada. - 8 - While no absolute prec~s~on is suggested in the relationship of these numbers, they reflect a 'realization on the part of many nations that they have responsibilities, that they must meet them, and that the United States should not and cannot bear the whole burden, or even a majority of it any longer. We will be asking the Congress this year for new funds for the Inter-American Development Bank, the International Development Association, and the Asian Development Bank. In making each request, we have asked and will continue to ask ourselves: (a) (b) (c) (d) What are other donor countries contributing? How aggressively have the institutions in question attempted to borrow in the capital markets of other donor countries? What are the recipients doing, through self-help efforts, to utilize the money efficiently? What safeguards are the institutions providing for donor countries that may from time to time be in balance of payments difficulty themselves? The U. S. Government has acted vigorously on its own to reduce the foreign exchange costs of economic assistance and military outlays. Net dollar outflows on government grants and capital have been reduced from $1.1 billion in 1961 to an estimated $736 million in 1966. In addition, there is increasing effort to make sure that Government-financed exports do not substitute for commercial exports that would have been purchased in any event. - 9 - Between 1961 and 1965 net military foreign exchange expenditures were reduced from $2.5 billion to $1.6 billion despite the Berlin Crisis. In 1966, because of Vietnam, the gap widened again. But even without Vietnam the burden on the United States balance of payments from its contribution to international security could be large. The United States has vast resources -- we have been and are willing to utilize them generously in the defense of freedom but the foreign exchange problem adds complications. It comes down to this: alliances which rest on important political, social, economic and military plans should not be made vulnerable because foreign exchange financing problems have not been resolved. We should be able -- indeed we must find ways -- to work constructively with our allies on forms of multilateral financial arrangements designed to neutralize the foreign exchange consequences of the locations of our troops and those of our allies. The arrangements should be long term and provide financial viability to our alliances. Discussions now under way between the United States, the United Kingdom and the Federal Republic of Germany designed to work out security and financial arrangements in a trilateral setting may point the way to designs that could embrace other multilaterial arrangements. It is not only the Treasury that is worried about the kind of world that we are going to have in the near future should we fail to act as a community of nations, and to act soon, to renew and strengthen the types of international economic cooperation that I have been discussing. Our hopes, and our fears, are widely shared in the Congress and, I think it is safe to assume, therefore,in the country. There is concrete evidence of this. Permit me to cite, in support of my view, the following words from a report of the Sub-committee on International Exchange and Payments of the Joint Economic Committee of the United States Congress issued last fall, and significantly entitled: "Twenty Years After: An Appeal for the Renewal of International Economic Cooperation on a Grand Scale". This said: "The world is in trouble -- deep trouble -- in at least five different areas of economic negotiation and - 10 policy: trade; aid to less developed countries; maintaining a balance in international payments; international monetary reform, and maintenance of stable price levels in economies marked by full employment and rapid economic growth." For many months now we have been asking for a rededication of the great community of nations embracing Western Europe, the Americas, Japan, Australia and New Zealand to the proposition that we shall each gain the most individually when we cooperate to gain the most altogether. We have reminded our friends and allies that if this rededication is not very soon seen to be forthcoming in concrete terms some rather unpleasant alternatives must be faced. These pleas and warnings have been taken by some as a suggestion that the United States is in the process of making a radical change in its international monetary policies. Nothing could be farther from the truth. What has been changing, what has changed and what is subject to even further change is our view of what other nations can and -- in view of the very much improved economic circumstances abroad -- what others should do. We think they can and should do much more by way of cooperation than they could have done in the past. We think that others can and should now do unto the world economy as we have done unto that economy ever since World War II. Let me spell that our just a little. We are exerting every effort in our discussion of our balance of payments problem, in our programs to solve that problem, and in our negotiatiore for the improvement of international monetary arrangements to the end that there should be no change in our basic international monetary policies. With respect to gold, let me note two recent and controlling statements by the Treasury: On January 10, in response to inquiries with respect to press reports from Paris suggesting that study he given to raising the price of gold as one of the means of meeting international liquidity needs, the Treasury stated: - 11 "The price of gold is determined by its relationship to the United States dollar. This relationship has been fixed at $35 per ounce since 1934, and will remain there. Any suggestion that the price of gold be raised -- either to meet needs for additional international liquidity or for any other reason -is completely unacceptable to the United States. Future international monetary arrangements must be based on this fact. This has been made clear to French financial authorities." On April 11, in response to inquiries concerning statements made the week before as to the possibility of any change in current U. S. gold policies, the Treasury said: "(1) These statements have no official standing or inspiration. They were made by private citizens and reflect only their avn views; (2)1here is no contemplated change in U. S. policy toward the buying, selling or price of gold. (3) This has always been our position and remains so." Perhaps our posture would be even better understood if we spelled out just a little the roots of our international economic policy as it stands today as an index of the responsibilities of the rest of the world if we are to be able to continue our policies unchanged. In the 1930's and during World War II a vast part of the world's monetary reserves flowed to this country. In the two decades since World War II, the United States, has operated as the world's banker, by reason of taking over the responsibilities of the world reserve currency nation. In this role the United States has recycled world reserves, restoring a sound and balanced pattern of monetary reserves among the nations, in good relation to the size of national economies and the participation of nations in the world's trade. - 12 Now the important thing here is to understand clearly how this was done. Reserve holdings were restored through the adoption and long continued operation of a foreign economic policy which is unparalleled in world history and which has resulted in an unexampled era of world economic and social and political improvement. The principal elements of U. S. foreign economic policy by which a viable and, indeed, highly beneficial international monetary system has been established since World War II are the following: 1. A liberal trade policy, by which the U. S. has permitted most of the world to lift itself by its own bootstraps through ever more open access to the largest, richest, and most swiftly growing market in the world, the United States market. 2. A liberal view of our responsibility for the economic well-being of other countries, through which we have laid out $15 billion for assistance to Western Europe under the Marshall Plan and, subsequently, through Fiscal Year 1966 $50.7 billion for development assistance to the less developed countries. 3. A liberal and conscientious view of our responsibilities -- in a world too weak to defend itself -- for the defense of that world against the dangers of aggression from the Marxist world. We have borne the chief costs of this burden and we still do so today. In the defense of freedom, we have spent no less than $860 billion from 1946 through 1967. 4. A liberal policy towards the world's need for private capital under which U. S. bankers and other businesses have been free to go almost anywhere with their money without limitations as to amounts. It is the dollar outflows resulting from these policies which rebuilt the world's reserves, chiefly the reserves of ilie other industrially developed nations in Western Europe, - 13 - the British Commonwealth and Japan. The dollars that have lodged in official accounts as a result of our trade, aid and capital outflow policies have been used to the extent desired by foreign governments to rebuild their gold stocks because we have followed without change our policy of converting official holding of dollars into gold at $35 an ounce. I think it is possible to summarize this whole rather complex sweep of events fairly simply as follows: We wound up World War II with a large monetary reserve. Through open-handed trade, aid, and capital outflow policies that have benefited the rest of the world -- and the United States -- to an unprecedented degree, we have recycled that surplus to fertilize the world economy and make it grow as never before. What we now say to the rest of the world may be summarized, I think, as follows: The work of rebuilding the world's reserves -- and in this way reconstituting the world economy shattered by the Great Depression and World War II -- has been done by the United States. The present and controlling fact is that the job is finished. It is now up to the rest of the world to join with us in keeping this good work going. Nations that have continuing surpluses should be aware that they are just as much out of balance as nations that have continuing balance of payments deficits. Nations with continuing surpluses should realize that there is an obligation upon them to take positive action, through liberalized trade, aid, defense burden-sharing, and capital outflow policies to recycle their surpluses to do the World's work, rather than to hoard their surpluses. Finally, it should be realized by the world that it is only in the presence of this two-way balance of payments adjustment pattern that nations with continuing deficits can expect, or be expected, to come into sustainable equilibrium through the use of sound internal and external economic policies. - 14 - Let me just add that the plan for reserve creation that we are seeking during this Summer is completely apart from the balance of payments problem. No one in a reasonable frame of mind can suppose that we would seek a new reserve asset to supplement dollars and gold only to weaken the value of that asset by attempting to use it to finance chronic payments deficits. Our objective is to reach balance of payments equilibrium by the virtues of our own economic strength and through the soundness of our own economic policies, operating together with the appropriate cooperative actions of the rest of the world along the lines that I have just mentioned. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT !! April 20, 1967 FOR USE AT NOON THURSDAY, APRIL 20, 1967 TREASURY ANNOUNCES COUNTERVAILING DUTY ORDER ON STRUCTURAL STEEL UNITS FROM ITALY FOR ELECTRICAL TRANSMISSION TOWERS The Treasury Department announced today that it has sent to the Federal Register for publication a notification of countervailing duties to be imposed on importations from Italy of steel units for electrical transmission towers. The countervailing duties will be assessed on all importations of these steel units entered following 30 days after publication of the notification in the Federal Register. These duties are intended to counteract subsidies paid by the Government of Italy on exports to the United States of the steel units in question. The amount of the countervailing duties will be equal to the amount of the subsidy. This was declared in the Treasury Department's notification to be 13.67 lira per kilo. At the current exchange rate of the lira, this is equivalent to $22.40 per long ton (2240 pounds). The countervailing duty action is the result of an extensive investigation conducted by the Bureau of Customs following a complaint of subsidization submitted by an ad hoc committee of galvanized transmission tower fabricators. The committee's complaint was filed pursuant to section 303 of the Tariff Act of 1930 (19 U.S.C. 1303). The following fabricators were represented on the a~ hoc committee: Nashville Bridge Company, Nashville, Tennessee United States Steel Corporation, Pittsburgh, Pa. F-887 - 2 - Lehigh Structural Steel Co., Allentown, Pa. Bethlehem Steel Co., Pittsburgh, Pa. Blaw-Knox Company, Pittsburgh, Pa. Anchor Metals, Hurst, Texas Muskogee Iron Works, Muskogee, Okla. Creamer and Dunlop, Tulsa, Okla. Flint Steel Corporation, Tulsa, Okla. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT April 19, 1967 In response to inquiries, the Treasury Department said today: The Treasury has no comment on the Communique of the Finance Ministers of the EEC nor on press reports of the Ministerial meeting at Munich pending further clarification. Representatives of the EEC countries will be attending meetings beginning next Sunday of the Group of Ten and Joint Meetings of that body with the Executive Directors of the IMF. At those meetings, the positions of the EEC countries can be more accurately determined. The U. S. position with respect to international liquidity is unchanged. The United States continues to believe that there is a pressing need for a plan that, when activated, will provide an adequate supplement to monetary reserves of gold and dollars, so as to insure the continued growth of a sound world economy. 000 RELEASE ~Ifn 'f... DAY, APRIL 21, 1967 Address of the lIonorable Robert A. Wallace .~, ~ ~. Assistant Secretary of Treasury Before the Annual Seminar of the Municipal Treasurer's Association Disneyland Hotel, Anaheim, California April 21, 1967, 2:15 p.m. PST \ .' ....J THREE TAX ISSUES IN TilE NATIONAL ECONmW; THE 6% SURCIIARGE, INDUSTRIAL BONDS AND REVENUE SHARING One of the rare opportunities enjoyed by tllost" of us serving in the Government is meeting from til"1c to t~me ,~ith distinguished groups from different parts of t:le country. It is a special privilege for ne to lfle0t tod.::ty ~vi t:l t:lC Treasury's municipal countcrp.::trts :lCrc ill California, and to silare liith you some thoughts about T:lutters of nutual concern. T;lcrc has all..rays lJeen mUC,1 corm~lent about t:le stepped-up acti vi ties l!e)"lever, it S0eu:~ to 1'1(; t,lat CVCI: gr~:lter changes have occurrc:J ill the H1Unicipalities, 'tJilere t,le vast nc\V cliallcllteS of tOlby's J,o;Jilc society llCl1l::l.Jld dilibCIlt effurt an~ resuurcefulness froill cac:, of us. 'r:le sheer ;Hoxiilitj' of LUbe llumb,-"rs of l)t'Ollle tHings sllcciul 1)ro~)lcI:1S and custs to citl ~:ovCrI1lncHts. Your particular jo;)S -- tae rcsponsL)ilitiBs as wdl as opportunities -can :)C \lell uescribcu wit:l one of t,lC neh'cr phrases: That's ,v(lere t:IC action is. anu L;rmving co);]plexity of Federal finances. For exaIllj?lc, I al:l cOllfidcgt t:lat tile average CItIzen Joes not realize just hOI, Tilucil Ilis own G.Cli:ands for lilUnicipal puLllic il'iprover.Jcnts and services llave ~:ro'~ll ill tlw past 2,,/ rears. Local eX1lcn,"litures -- incluJi,lA eJucation, transiJortation, cleaner l/ater, oj)jJortullitic:s for recreation, and ~Cr;la~lS r,lost vital of aU, ecollomic 0t'IJortunity -- lcapeu frat:' S') billion in 19M; to al)out S50 billioJl in 1:)6(,. 1\5 a consequence, locol taxes nave multiplied as ilas local deht. Local deot :las bailooneu to six tir:les its size 20 years ago \vhilc the Pcderal de~)t lJO".vLl -- even \~itjl i~orca and Viet i';arl -- il<lS Jrift cd u}) only auout a .!::"ourt,\ -- less tJ1aIl OIle and a half I)(.:rccnt J. year. "\lJJ, as you ~;nO\v Letter t;Wll anyone else, it is t:le T~l.micip::ll treasurcr who must collect existing local taxes, elreara up ncw methods of financing cor.1ffiunity improvements, anel nanagc growing ucbts. T;lis means your responsibilitics nave piled up. Yuu need skilled tcc;micians to help you meet the challenge. /\1lc.l -- perhaps more important -- you also necJ political acumen to survive. ,'Jot t:wt I would bel itt Ie our feueral fin<1ncial pro;) lcms, even for a minute. Twenty years ago t;ICY had already reac!.eJ (~2S0 billion. fortunately our debt hasll't grown as fast as yours or l~e woule:. be stTIlggling to manage a one and a half trillion dollar reueral debt. We have enougil troubles \vitn the present "level of $331) billion. - 2 - This is my first visit to Disneyland, but I dare not tarry. Otherwise, critics may claim that future Treasury policies originated here in Fantasyland. The Proposed 6\ Tax Surcharge Last January, I think at least a few were firmly convinced that we had already spent some time here. They apparently felt that only Fantasyland could have spawned a proposal for a tax increase when the national economy seemed to them to be headed for a recession. After all, hadn't the last three months of 1966 witnessed a slowdown in personal consumption expenditures, a piling up of unwanted inventories, a deceleration of investment and housing starts at the lowest level since 19571 How could the Administration project a surging economy needing a tax hike in the face of such indicators? I thought I overheard one observer remark that Treasury, rather than Adam Clayton Powell, should have issued the record, "Keep the Fai th, Baby." Blind faith, of course, played no part in formulating our recommendations. As Treasurers yourselves, you know that tax increase proposals do not win popularity contests. So you also know that such a policy would never be advanced without the most careful analysis and thorough consideration. When the 6% surcharge was proposed last January, we fully expected that the first half of 1967 would be sluggish. What else could we have anticipated with sales increases slowing down in the midst of bloated inventories? Therefore, the April estimate of First Quarter GNP showing only a $5 billion increase did not surprise us. But, we estimated and still expect a very different picture in the second half of 1967. That, of course, is the basis for the tax proposal. - 3 Of course, those of us who study economic trends possess no powers ) foresee all eventualities. In the absence of such powers, we must depend 1 the simple tools of logic and the best statistics we can muster. We noted, lr example, that while consumers had not been buying as much as usual, the let remained that personal income was high and growing. People obviously have been increasing their liquid assets as evidenced ,the jump in the amount of savings flows into the nation'S thrift institutions. I the potential buying power is there. And, we can still expect a resumption . a higher rate of economic acti vi ty in the second hal f of 1967. In the meantime, while individuals may temporarily be saving more than Personal ending for services has maintained a fast pace. Your own expenditures for nicipalities -- in fact all expenditures of state and local governments -e still pushing strongly upward. The defense expenditures of the Federal vernment will keep on rising, and higher transfer payments are sure to ne from Social Security benefit hikes. Meanwhile, easier credit conditions ve already begun to loosen the logjam that held back housing expenditures ual, many kinds of expenditures have continued to move higher. ;t year. All this means rising demand which should stimulate business investment lestment that can be more easily financed in this year's money and capital ~kets . The strong rise in demand, which our analysis indicates will occur er in the year, could lead to growth at rates which cannot be sustained hout inflationary pressures. The recent spate of good news -- upturns in industrial production, sing, retail sales and bank credit; the containment of price increases unemployment levels -- supports our proj ections for a higher rate of wth. Thus. our January projection of a slow first half and a hooming ond half, which critics have panned is actually panning out. We were fident that it would, but we have, nevertheless, maintained a safety tor: the tax increase was not proposed to take effect until it will tleeded, after midyear. We are not attempting to predict exactly when the economy will shift high gear or when we should start easing on the brake with a tax :harge. I am sure that it will not be done until our projections of a Inger second half of 1967 can be backed up with more statistical evidence. I firmly believe that such evidence will become abundant. I - 4 - liithout tax rate increases we have withstood $20 bi Ilion of extra defense expenditures since the Viet Nam escalation began in July 1965 J and ,,,e \-Jill spend an additional $S billion before June 30. But, total defense expenditures will rise still another $5-1/2 billion in fiscal 19()8 and we are convinced that it must be financed out of current revenues if we are to avoid new inflationary pressures. At the same time J proposcd civilian expenditures have been held to minimum levels J and we hope very much that Congress will not increase them. Thus, without the proposed surcharge, we would face a budget deficit of some $13 billion -- clearly inflationary when imposed on an economy with Ii ttle slack. President Johnson's tax reduction programs of 1964 and 1965 cut our tax payments by $24 billion at 1967 income levels. A 6% surcharge would reduce this tax saving to about $18 bi llion. Three-fourths of t!lC earlier tax cuts would, therefore, remain in force. In considering whether a 6°6 surcharge to finance added spending to support our soldiers in Viet Nalll is asking too much of Americans J we should ~ear these points in mind. Tax Exempt Industrial Bonds Let me turn now to another subject of particular ,Lnterest to you as municipal officials concerned wi til improving the economic and industrial bases of your areas and to the Treasury which is responsible for tax policy. This concerns the issuance of tax-exempt secun tles to finance aid to pri vate companies locating in particular States and localities. At present, State and local governments in about 32 States may issue tax-exempt industrial development bonds in order to build facilities for lease or sale to private companies, for purposes of attracting industry into tile area. We estimate that through 19n6 more than one and a third billion uo11ars of industrial developmcnt honus have been issued, most of it since 1960. The recent increas es result from the fact that more States anJ localities have begun to use ti1is device -- some to finance facilities for use 'oy very large companies whose fixed capital re4uiremcnts arc quite extens i ve . OVer the years there has been considerable discussion concerning the use of tax-exeTiliJt oonds for tllis purtl0se, and ti,is issue lIas become a very significant one in ViC\1 of t:1C nWilber of States and locali ti td.es involvcu anti as companies of considerable size are gaining advantage from tile usc of funds secured tJ1rougll tax-exempt fi naneing. As Secretary Powler pointed out in a statement ilefore tile \~hite ilouse practice of Conference for State Legislative LeaJers last June, tlle - 5 industrial development bond financing is defended on the grounds that it helps to bring industry and jobs to low-income, labor-surplus areas. lIowever, thoughtful critics have prophesied that the practice would eventually become self-defeating. The advantage to any State or municipality decreases as more States and locali ties enter the field. Recent experience appears to support this view. If this trend continues, a situation will develop where large amounts of Federal funds are being expended through the tax exemption feature with no corresponding economic benefit. Industrial development bond financing is therefore a high priority issue under active study by the Treasury Department. Apart from the fact that no locality can attract finns with promises of industrial development bonds, if all other localities are doing the same thing, there is another serious problem in industrial development bonds of \vhich you should be aware. This has to do with the mechani cs of tax-exempt interest which causes interest costs to rise. If there were in existence only a few tax-exempt bonds, one would expect that these would be bought up by the few high rate taxpayers \~ho would benefit most by tax exemption. There are an appreciab Ie number of individual taxpayers facing a marginal rate of 70 percent. Thus, if we had only a few tax-exempt bonds, the competition between these buyers would drive interest rates on these bonds down sharply. probably to a level close to 70 percent below rates on comparable taxable issues. In fact, however, there are already a lot of tax-exempt bonds in the market; and the sellers have had to turn to buyers \~ith much lower marginal tax rates than 70 percent. The marginal buyer in a lower tax bracket determines the market rate on these bonds. The bonds carry, therefore, a much lower discount compared to taxable bonds than \'vould occur if there were only a few exempt bonds. Our own recent cstir.late of this discount was only about 30 percent. If the supply of tax exempts expand much further, this can only continue to push down even more the discount which tax exempts carry and thus increase borrowing costs for traditional State and local functions. - 6 - Revenue Sharing Finally, I would like to touch briefly on the rather delicate and also extremely complex issues of revenue sharing. The attractiveness of a new source of funds for State and local use cannot be denied. Perhaps something may ultimately come of this, but not for some time for two reasons: First, there are no current Federal budgetary surpluses -- only deficits, and this will likely continue at least as long as the Viet Nam conflict. Second, there are a great many issues to be decided before any revenue sharing program can be launched. All of you are aware that the proposals for revenue sharing take a variety of forms. Of the bills introduced in the 90th Congress, some propose the return of a percentage of Federal income tax collections (primarily income tax collections, but in some cases all tax collections) to the States in which they are collected. Others, like the so-called Heller-Pechman proposal, would return to the States on a per capita basis an amount equal to 1 or 2 percent of the Federal individual income tax base. Still others propose tax sharing to provide Federal assistance for educational purposes only, others for education, health, and welfare; and one bill would make the money available for law enforcement. Another bill would tie the money to modernization of State. and local government with each State's modern government program being reviewed by regional coordinating committees and the Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations before it received a share of the funds. As to the use of the money, some bills leave it completely unencumbered; and some bills attempt broad directions as to use. Certainly, the deepest cleavage as to use of the money lies in the different ways that cities are provided for. Some bills leave the local distribution entirely to the State. Others provide that a specific percentage should go to local governments, although they are usually vague as to what local government units are to share in the funds. With such a variety of friends, the idea of revenue sharing hardly needs any enemies. - 7 - The crucial nature of this problem is also highlighted by the fact that the tent of revenue sharing includes those who want to see it in addition to the expected growth of categorical grant-in-aid programs plus others who want to see it instead of some future growth in categorical grants. It would seem that the revenue sharing question is subsidiary to a number of expenditure questions, that must be settled beforehand. Some supporters of revenue sharing argue that no matter how expenditures develop some pressure needs to be taken off State and local tax systems. This, however, is possible without revenue sharing, for example, by a more generous credit device against Federal taxes along lines that have been explored by the Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations. One advantage of these devices, compared to revenue sharing, is that they preserve the identity between the government that plans the expenditure and the government that sets the tax rate. A major disadvantage of tax credits is that they leave less room for equalization between States. It has been a real pleasure to be with you here today. you very much. 00 00 00 Thank Supplementary Statement of Robert A. ~allace Assistant Secretary of Treasury, before the California ~lunicipal Treasurer's Association, Disneyland tlotel Anaheim, California, April 21, 1967, 2: IS p.m. 20 QUESTIONS TO BE ANS\~EREO BEFORE DfCISIONS ON REVENUE SJ/AHING CAN DE ~'!ADE 1. Some revenue sharing proposals are based on an anticipated and continuous growth in Federal revenues. 1I00v much growth in revenues can we be safe in counting on, taking economic fl uctuations into account~ 2. To the extent that there is such a dependable rrowth in Federal revenues, how should it be divided as hetween (a) tax reduction, (b) greater expenditures for national programs, (c) deht retirement, and (d) more expenditures for States and localities? 3. To what extent is there a fiscal imbalance between Federal and State governments? Some studies indicne that State and local governments face growing financial problems, hut others assert that their rrowing pro?,rams can he financed without further extensive tax increases. 4. To what extent is revenue sharing merely a device to circumvent State and local electorates \Vho have rejected new tax proposals designed to finance additional spendinr? 5. \\:-tat would be the effect of revenue sharing on Federal fiscal flexihil i ty? Would it be politically poss i hI e to cut back such a program if the nation were to become involved again in a massive defense effort, or if inflation became a serious problem? 6. Is it proper to separate the spending and taxing function, with Conpress levying the taxes but others makinr the spending decisions? 7. \iould the granting of Federal tax credits to individuals for a percentarc of State and local income taxes })e preferable to fund allocations? 8. Should revenue sharing replace existing grant-in-aid pro?,rmr.s or be in addition to them? 9. If a partial replacement of existing proprams is contemplated, on what basis should cutbacks be made? 10. Should fund allocations be made on the basis of annual Congressional appropriations or direct disbursement? 11. If the appropriations process is followed, would this lead to great uncertainties each year as to how much money will be made availahle? - 2 12. If direct disbursement is used. would this be an abdication of the Congressional power of the purse? 13. What general formula should be used for distrihution of funds? Distribution of percentage of Federal income tax collections from each state, per capita basis, proportionately more for the poorer states, or some other method? 14. Should funds be used for purposes of national policie.-: or should they have strings attached? If strings are attached, how would they be enforced? 15. If funds are to be used for national purposes, Illhat should these purposes be -- education, health and welfare, urban renewal, law enforcement or some combination of these? 16. How should funds be allocated wi thin the States as between the State. cities, counties, school districts. sanitary districts, park districts, etc.? 17. Should there be standards to assure honest ancl efficient use? Ivhat should they be? If so, 18. If stand<1Tds are to he enforced by the Pederal Government, what ap,ency would enforce them? 19. If standards are to be enforced within the States, this could involve 50 di fferent groups. Would sllch a decentral1. zation of pI nnninr. una administr:1tion of standards he efficient and appropriate? 20, r,llat <lbout Civil Ri,i,;hts requirements connected Illith be extended or ignored? ~;rants? l'iould these TREASURY DEPARTMENT q 'OR RELEASE 6::30 P. M. , bnday, April 24, 1967. RESULTS OF TREASURY 1 S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department announced that the tenders for two series of Treasury 111s, one series to be an additional issue of the bills dated January 26, 1967, ndthe other series to be dated April 27,1967, which were offered on April 19, 967, were opened at the Federal Reserve Banks today. Tenders were invited for 1,300,000,000, or thereabouts, of 9l-day bills and for $1,000,000,000, or thereoouts, of 182-day bills. The details of the two series are as follows: UlGE OF ACCEPTED )MPETITlVE BIDS: H1gh !ow Average 9l-day Treasury bills maturing July 27, 1967 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 3.691% 99.067 ~ 99.058 3.727% 99.061 3.715% 182-day Treasury bills matur1ng October 26, 1967 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 98.106 3.746% 980086 3.786~ 98.093 3.772% 11 11 !I Excepting 1 tender of $300,000 92% of the amount of 9l-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted 50% of the amount of 182-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted ITAL TENDERS APPLIED FOR AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL rusERVE DISTRICTS: District Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond ~tlant8 Chicago 3t. I()uis liinneapolis '{ansas City )allas >8.n Francisco roTAIS Accepted A12121ied For 9,444,000 $ 19,444,000 $ 922,502,000 1,638,642,000 17,781,000 29,944,000 29,210,000 29,274,000 11,505,000 11,505,000 32,519,000 44,619,000 125,962,000 312,962,000 43,612,000 49,636,000 12,266,000 16,306,000 30,763,000 32,763,000 15,448,000 24,528,000 49 , 710 ,000 154,110,000 : : : : : : : : : : : : Applied For Acce;Eted $ 25,895,000 $ 15,895,000 807,991,000 1,382,991,000 5,880,000 17,880,000 24,338,000 29,338,000 2,626,000 2,626,000 15,502,000 29,102,000 52,816,000 253,816,000 21,665,000 24,015,000 7,318,000 10,068,000 9,905,000 9,905,000 7,134,000 14,634,000 29 , 269,000 65,619,000 $2,363 , 733,000 £I $1,865,889,000 $1,300,722,000 $1,000,339,000 £I Includes $259,206,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 99.061 ~cludes $96 137 000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 98.093 These rates ~re ~n a bank discount basis. The equivalent coupon issue yields are 3.8l~ for the 91-day bills, and 3,91~ for the 182-day bills. 188 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR RELEASE: UPON DELIVERY REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE HENRY H. FOWLER CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS GOVERNOR FOR THE UNITED STATES AND SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AT THE INAUGURAL SESSION, EIGHTH ANNUAL MEETING BOARD OF GOVERNORS, INTER-AMERICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK SHOREHAM HOTEL, WASHINGTON, D.C. MONDAY, APRIL 24,1967,2:30 P.M., EST behalf of the Government and the people of the United States, it is an honor to welcome this highly distinguished assemblage attending the Eighth Meeting of the Board of Governors of the Inter-American Development Bank. It is a great personal honor that has been given to me to preside at this first meeting in Washington, the seat of the Bank. I know that the heavy and extensive program of work laid out for us this week will contribute to the continued success and growth of this great institution. On As in all years, we are meeting to further a great common cause -- the well being and improvement of our hemisphere and the world. This year our meeting has a special significance in the light of the just completed historic session of our Presidents at Punta del Este, Uruguay, where our Inter-American Development Bank has been given major assignments in agriculture, education and health activities, and in furthering multi-national projects. These efforts are not only important in and of themselves, but they are a basic prerequisite to success in achieving ~aningful economic integration and the development of a great Latin American common market. The Presidents of our countries already have set the theme for this meeting when they recognized the benefits of joint action to accomplish the goals of integration and development, and stated: Latin America will create a common market. 889 We will lay the physical foundations for \atin American economic integration through multinational projects. - 2 - We will join in efforts to increase substantially Latin American foreign trade earnings. We will modernize the living conditions of our rural populations, raise agricultural productivity in general and increase food production for the benefit of both Latin America and the rest of the world. We will vigorously promote education for development. We will harness science and technology for the service of our peoples. We will expand programs for improving the health of the American peoples. Latin America will eliminate unnecessary military expenditures. A great deal has transpired since we met in Mexico City a year ago. There has been progress in the Hemisphere under our Alliance for Progress, and the Bank has continued to make its important contribution to that progress. We have increased flaws of external assistance. Further, we have increased self-help performance in mobilizing domestic resources and in carrying out necessary reforms. We will hear further during the next few days haw this institution of ours, the "Bank of the Alliance," the "Bank of Integration," the Inter-Amer'ican Deve lopment Bank, has led the way in this hemispheric war against special privilege and poverty. We have come a long way since 1960, for we no longer have to hold out hope with mere words. There are activities in operation which further the economic and social being of the peoples in the member countries. Our Bank, which has passed the $2 billion mark for loan commitments, has touched almost every facet of the economic and social fabric in this Remis phere • We truly have an historic meeting in front of us. The Board of Executive Directors and the Management of the Bank, under the outstanding leadership of President Felipe Herrera, has had a record year and has developed a full tentative agenda for our consideration to set the stage for the future. We - 3 - are called upon to respond to the needs and aspirations of the peoples in this Hemisphere by requesting our governments to expand the resources of the Bank, both in the Ordinary Capital and the Fund for Special Operations. We have had submitted to us a recommendation on the admission of the first new member to this young institution. We are asked to consider the steps which need to be taken to accelerate resources from non-member countries to the Bank. Finally, we will need to act on a new procedure for the election of Executive Directors. This is indeed a large task, but I am sure that when the week ends we will have carried out our responsibilities and will be able to present to our governments successful fruits of our labors. The wide respresentation at this meeting from every part of the world, covering both public and private institutions, is another sign of the importance of our institution and these deliberations. These organizations and governments have an important role to play in the development of the Hemisphere. One of the reports placed before us by the Board of Directors clearly sets forth the positive role many of the industrialized countries of the world have played in the development of the Hemisphere through the provision of resources to the Bank. On the other hand, it also reports conditions that call for correction where non-member countries are benefiting from Bank resources without any commensurate recognition of the Bank's capital needs and requirements. It is significant that we have present here representatives of the foreign and domestic private sector. We welcome them -- representatives of business, labor and cooperatives -- and I am sure we do not have to stress before this audience the truism that the free private sector in each of the countries is the key to a successful development effort. The flow of priva te inves tment, which has improved recently, has not yet achieved the necessary level to accomplish our broad objectives. It is important that all of our governments take all possible steps to accelerate and facilitate that flow. I hope that the Bank may be able to playa more significant role in this area. - 4 We should congratulate the Bank management on selecting as the topic for the deliberations of the Round Table this year, "Latin American Agricultural Development in the Next Decade". There is no more crucial facet of the development of the Hemisphere facing us today than the problems of rural development. We have been indeed fortunate in the United States to have available an up-to-date penetrating survey and analysis conducted in U. S. Congress on the problems of agricultural development in Latin America and of the Bank's role. I commend to the Governors two extremely valuable reports of the Sub-committee on International Finance of the House Banking and Currency Committee) under the able and inspired leadership of Representative l-h'nry S. Reuss. These reports conclude that the emerging 1;\lorld food crisis can be avoided in Latin America, where indeed the prospects for expanded food production are far more favorable than in other developing areas of the world. Hhat is needed is additional capital both from domestic and external sources, additional investments and -- crucially -- more adequate and purposeful comprehensive planning for agricultural development. The Bank, too, has taken exceptional intellectual leadership in dealing with this problem by undertaking a challenging study entitled, "Agricultural Development in Latin America: Current Status and Prospects ,11 and has carried this forward by contuinuing here at the Shoreham Hotel for the rest of the week the Round Table Discussions. This year will be an historic year for our Hemisphere. We have had the Meeting of the Presidents. We are inaugurating here today our Eighth Annual Meeting of the Inter-American Development Bank here in Washington. In Se ptember, our sis ter institutions, the International Monetary Fund and the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development will meet in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, to face some major international financial issues. In inaugurating our deliberations I believe we have a responsibility to take into account the arena of international financial problems in order to place our discussions in the proper context. We are actively engaged in negotiations on the future of the international monetary system and new arrangements to assure the continued and adequate growth of - 5 - international liquidity. This is a matter of vital interest to us all, and to the future of the Bank, which I am confident will culminate in historic decisions in Rio de Janeiro. Another financial problem of hemispheric concern is the problem of the United States balance of payments. The termination of the persistent deficit in the United States balance of payments and the continued strength of the dollar as the keystone of the international monetary and trading system remain objectives of the highest national priority to the United States. The report of the Executive Directors before us at this meeting provides recognition that these objectives are also of interest to the Bank, and I am sure that my fellow Governors will agree that these objectives are ofcritical interest for each of their nations individually as well as for the Hemisphere as a whole. What is required is a continuing cooperative effort, taking account of the role and responsibilities of the United States throughout the free world, and designed to avoid actions which by threatening the United States balance of payments would also endanger continued assistance to free world development and the search for growth with stability. I am pleased to note, as Governor for the United States, the cooperative measures adopted in the Bank and the further measures proposed by the Directors for our consideration during the coming week in conjunction with redoubled selfhelp and mutual assistance efforts. The United States, for its part, takes its responsibility very seriously -- both toward the Bank, in which it is the major stockholder, and toward the Hemisphere. By its actions in the past, and, I can assure you, today the United States strongly supports the concepts of multi-lateral assistance embodied in the Charter, and the important place of Latin America in the world. As an introduction to a most significant week I have only sketched for you the highpoints. I am sure there will be opportunity for all delgations, including the United States, to comment on these and other important matters. In addressing ourselves to the task before us in the coming week, let us bear in mind the words which president. . Johnson at Punta del Este addressed to the youth of our nat~ons. "The time is now. The responsibility is ours. Let us declare the next 10 years the Decade of Urgency Let us match our resolve and our resources to the common tasks until the dream of a new America is accomplished in the lives of all our people." 0 - 6 - I again welcome all the delgations to my country and dedicate ourselves to the task at hand which will influence the future course of this institution. I hereby declare the Eighth Meeting of the Board of Governors of the Inter-American Development Bank inaugurated. 000 'REASURY DEPARTMENT £ RELEASE 6:.30 P.M., 2S, 1967. !&, 'prll RESULTS OF TREASURY'S MONTHLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department announced that the tenders for two series of Treasury .s, one Slrie8 to be an additional issue of the bills dated January 31, 1967, and other 11l"1e8 to be dated April 30, 1967, which were offered on April 19, 1967:1 were led at the Federal Reserve Banks today. Tenders were invited for $.500,000,000, or 'tabout., or 275-day bills and for t9oo,000,000, or thereabouts, of 366-day bills. det&U. or the two series are as follows: .g OF ACCEPl'ED f:rITIVE BIDS: High Low Average 275-day Treasur.y bills maturing January 31, 1968 Approx. EQUlve Price Annual Rate 97.089 3.811% 3.870% 97.044 97.065 3.842% Y ·: • : t : : J6~ Treasury bills maturing April 30, 1968 Approx. Equi v. Price Annual Rate 96.122!1 3.814% 96.066 3.870% 96.104 3.832% 11 af Excepting 3 tenders totaling $1,359,000 15% of the amount of 275-d.ay bills bid for at the low price was accepted 16% of the amount of 366-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted L TENDERS APPLIED FOR AND ACCEPrED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS t strict aton 1 franCisco AcceEted AEElied For $ 200,000 200,000 410,202,000 946,952,000 4,045,000 5,045,000 655,000 655,000 1,559,000 1,559,000 5,116,000 7,116,000 29,283,000 227,783,000 940,000 2,940,000 8,.325,000 8,950,000 1,275,000 1,275,000 7,100,000 11,100,000 31,385,000 51,635,000 TOTAIS $1,265,210,000 $ 500,085,000 N' York iladelphia eveland almond Lanta Lcago , Louis lIIeapolb lsas City Uas ~cludes • : · : · £I ~1ied For 36.328,000 1,102,996,000 10,712,000 13,705,000 5,827,000 8,367,000 267,603,000 8,085,000 3,332,000 4,367,000 11,375,000 62,427,000 $1,535,124,000 AcceEted i 27,488,000 659,116,000 3,512,000 13,705,000 5,827,000 8,367,000 120,243,000 6,085,000 3,332,000 4,367,000 8,375,000 39 z58 7,000 c/ $900,004,000 -' $14,924,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average pri~e of 97.065 ncludes $32,688,000 DODcompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 96.104 'hese rates are on a bank discount basis. The equivalent coupon issue yields are \.OQJ for the 275-day bills, and 4.01%for the 366-ciay bills. TREASURY DEPARTMENT ! April 26, 1967 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders the aggregate amount of cash and in exchange for rreasury bills maturing May 4,1967, in the amount of ~2,302,827,OOO, as follows: ~or two series of Treasury bills to ~2,300,OOO,OOO,or thereabouts, for 9~day bills (to maturity date) to be issued May 4, 1967, In the amount of $1,300,000,000, or thereabouts, representing an Idd1tlonal amount of bills dated February 2, 1967, and to tature Augus t 3, 1967, originally issued in the amount of ;1,002,103,000,the additional and original bills to be freely .nterchangeable. 18~day bills, for $1,000,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated 1ay 4, 1967, and to mature November 2, 1967. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under ompetitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at laturlty their face amount will be payable without interest. They '111 be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, 5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 maturity value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches p to the c lOSing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Daylight Saving lme,Monday, May 1, 1967. Tenders will not be eceived at the Treasury De~artment, Washington. Each tender must e for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive enders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, lth not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not ! used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and )~arded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal !serve Banks or Branches on application therefor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of lstomers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such mders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to Ibmlt tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received .thout deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from !Sponslble and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders 'om others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face lount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are companied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank trust company. 891 - 2 Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at tl Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rej ec t ion there of. The Secre tary of the Treasu expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his ~ction in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in thre~ decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on May 4, 1967, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing May 4, 1967. Cash and exchange tend will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other dispositioo of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal ~ State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to ~ interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills a~ sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bi lIs are exclude from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasu ry bills (other than 1 ife insurance c ompan ies) is sued hereund need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which tr return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and tI notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. TREASURY DEPARTMENT ( FOR USE IN MORN ING NEWS PA PERS OF THURSDAY, APRIL 27, 1967 MAJOR STOVER, COMMANDING OFFICER, WHITE HOUSE POLICE FORCE, RETIRES, APRIL 30 Major Ralph C. Stover, Commanding Officer of the White-House police Force will retire April 30, 1967, after 34 years of Government service. This was announced today by United States Secret Service Director, James J. Rowley. Major Stover, 56, was born in Elkhart, Indiana. He attended North Central College, Naperville, Illinois, and the School of Engineeringat Minnesota University. Major Stover joined the Metropolitan Police Department on August 1, 1936 and transferred July 1, 1940 to the White House Police. During World War II he served in the United States Navy and re turned to the White House Police Force in 1946. On January 1, 1958 he was promoted to Commanding Officer of the White House Pol ice. Major and Mrs. Stover have three children; daughter Judy is with United Airlines; daughter Bonnie is a Freshman at Maryland University and 'son Jeff attends the Rolling Crest Junior High School in Hyattsville, Maryland. The Stovers live at 1303 Legation Road, Hyattsville, Maryland. 000 ~-892 TREASURY DEPARTMENT s ( April 26, 1967 FOR USE IN MORNING NEWSPAPERS OF THURSDAY, APRIL 27, 1967 NEW COMMANDING OFFICER OF WHITE HOUSE POLICE APPOINTED United States Secret Service Director, James J. Rowley, today announced the promotion of Inspector G1enard E. Lanier of the White House Police to Major, the Commanding Officer of this Force. Inspector Lanier replaces Major Ralph C. Stover who is retiring April 30, 1967. A native of Petersburg, Virginia, Major Lanier, 52, was appointed to the Metropolitan Police Department on October 1, 1940 and transferred to the White House Police on April 9, 1942. On July 3, 1966 he was promoted from Captain to Inspector, the second highest position on the White House Police Force. Under the supervision of the Director of the Secret Service, the White House Police Force is responsible for protecting the Executive Mansion and the President and his immediate family while in residence. Major Lanier was the first member of the White House Police to receive a Certificate in Police Administration, from American University. He also received a Bachelor of Science degree in Business Administration from American University and is a graduate of the FBI National Academy. He served in the United States Navy from July 1935 to September 1939 and from July 1943 to July 1946. Major Lanier is married to the former Frances Shutters of Washington, D. C. Their daughter, Mrs. Sandra Rowlett, lives in Hyattsville, Maryland; their son, Kenneth, attends the Richmond Professional Institute. The Laniers live at 935 South Wakefield Street, Arlington, Virginia. 000 F-893 TREASURY DEPARTMENT FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE April 26, 1967 TREASURY ANNOUNCES $22.1 BILLION REFUNDING The Treasury today announced that it is offering holders of the note issue maturing May 15, 1967, and the certificate, note and bond issues maturing June 15 and August 15, 1967, an opportunity to exchange their holdings at attractive yields. The securities eligible for exchange and those being offered are as follows: Securities eligible for exchange and their maturity dates Securities offered in exchange and their maturity dates 4-1/4% 2-1/2i 4-l/4~ notes, C-1968 4-3/4~ notes, B-1972 a/15/68 5/15/72 4-3/4~ notes, B-1912 5/15/72 notes, D-1967 bonds, 1962-67 5/15/67 6/15/67 PREREFUNDING 5-1/4% ctfs., A-1967 '3-5/4% notes, A-1967 4-7/8% notes, E-1967 8/15/67 8/15/67 8/15/67 The new 4-1/4% notes are being offered at 99.95, which proVides a yield of 4:.2~. The new 4-3/4% notes are being offered at par. Details showing cash and interest adjustments for subscribers exchanging securities due June 15 and August 15 appear in Table 1. Approximate investment yields appear in Table 2. Both ta.bles are attached. The public holds $9.0 billion of the securities eligible for exchange, and about $13.1 billion is held by Federal Reserve and Government investment accounts. Cash subscriptions for the new notes will not be received. The books Will be open for three days only, on May 1 through May 3, for the receipt of subscriptions. Subscriptions addressed to a Federal Reserve Bank or Branch, or to the Office of the Treasurer of the United States, and placed in the mail before midnight May 3, will be considered as timely. The payment and ielivery date for the new notes will be May 15, 1967. Interest on the securities naturing June 15 and August 15, 1967, Will be adjusted as of May 15, 1967. The lew notes Will be made available in registered as well as bearer form. All 3ubscribers requesting registered notes will be required to furnish appropriate ldentifying numbers as required on tax returns and other documents submitted to ;he Internal Revenue Service. This is a taxable exchange. 894 - 2 - Coupons dated May 15, 1967, on the securities maturing on that date should Coupons dated June 15, 1967, and August 15, .967, on the securities due on those dates must be attached. The May 15, 1967, nterest due on registered securities will be paid by issue o~ interest checks .nre~r course to holders of record on April 14,1967, the date the transfer looks closed. Ie detached and cashed when due. Interest on the 4-1/4% notes will be payable on August 15, 1967, and on 'ebruary 15 and August 15, 1968. Interest on the 4-3/410 notes will be payIble on November 15, 1967, and thereafter on May 15 and November 15 until )B.turity. TABLE NO.1 Payments due to Subscribers in the May 1~67 Refunding (In dollars per $100 face value) Payment to (+) or by (-) subscribers on account of issue price of offered securities 3ecurities to ,e exchanged . ~-1/4~ Note 1/15/67 l-1!2% Bond 6/15/67 :-1/4~ ~-i/2~ ;-1!4~ ;-'5/4~ :-7!8~ Accrued interest to :Net amount May 15, 1967, on :to be paid securities exchanged:to subscriber to be paid to subscribers For the 4-1/4' Note ;f 8/15/61 !I -------1.031088 For the 4-3/4~ Note of 5/15/12 Note 5/15/67 Bond 6/15/67 Cert. 8/15/67 Note 8/15/67 Note 8/15/67 +.050000 -.050000 -------- .050000 .981088 -------- !I -.100000 +.300000 -.150000 +.200000 1.031018 1.290746 0.921961 1.198550 .931088 1.590746 . 771~61 1.39~550 j Interest will be paid in regular course. TABLE NO.2 Investment returns in the May 1967 Prerefunding Securities eligible for exchange Approximate investment yield from 5/15/61 to maturity 1/ 5-1/4% Certificate 8/15/67 3-3/4% Note 8/15/67 4-7/8% Note 8/15/67 4.12% 4.72 4.12 reinvestment .. Approximate rate of the extension period 4.1910 4.71 4.79 efice of the Secretary of the Treasury Yields to nontaxable holders (or before tax) on issues offered in exchange based on prices of eligible issues (adjusted for payments on account of issue price). Prices are the mean of bid and ask quotations at noon on April 25, 1967. I Rate for nontaxable holder (or before tax). E/ TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington i\ nO FOR USE IN AFTERNOON NEWSPAPERS OF SATURDAY, APRIL 29, 1967 REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE STANLEY S. SURREY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE FEDERAL TAX INSTITUTE OF NEW ENGLAND JOHN HANCOCK HALL, BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS SATURDAY, APRIL 29, 1967, 12:30 P.M., EST CURRENT DEVELOPMENTS IN TAX POLICY The topic of Current Developments in Tax Policy is best approached by placing present tax policies in the broader perspective of recent history and future prospects. In this way we can see how our current tax policies fit into a longer range program and a way of thinking about the uses of tax policy. For it is the attitude regarding the uses of tax policy that marks the main theme of tax policy in the present and preceding Administration. The main economic goal of these two Administrations has been the high level utilization of our real resources within a framework of reasonable price stability -- that is, to achieve a growth in real Gross National Product that matches our potential, with unemployment pushed to as low a level as we can through appropriate fiscal and monetary policies, supplemented by special training and related programs. Also, it has been an important aim to maintain an appropriate balance of payments position, so that accomplishment of our domestic objectives will not be hindered by international financial concerns. The consistent theme of tax policy through seven years has been to use tax policy in an affirmative manner to achieve this economic goal. It will be the consistent theme in the years ahead. The manner in which tax policy is so used -the substantive programs which reflect this use -- has changed F-895 - 2 - and necessarily will constantly change, as the economic conditions in which the goal is being pursued themselves change. For the goal is never won forever -- there is no permanent trophy to be carried home for success in one year or three years. Instead, the coming of each New Year relentlessly challenges us to seek continued advancement toward our goal. We are involved in a perpetual obstacle race, with new obstacles constantly being introduced and old obstacles rearranged to appear different. Insights once obtained must constantly be re-examined and new insights sought if we are successfully to negotiate each net set of obstacles. In the first years of this decade the main obstacles to be overcome were a growth rate lagging far behind our potential, a discouraging pattern of recessions followed by recoveries that quickly faltered into new recessions, and a consequent high unemployment rate. Tax policy in this setting was aimed at spurring investment, thereby generating a higher productive capacity and more jobs. The substantive tax program involved the adoption of an investment credit to correct a tax structure imbalance that appeared to hamper our obtaining the needed investment level. This credit was supplemented by administrative measures removing restrictive factors in the application of tax depreciation rules. These 1962 measures were then followed by the massive tax reduction of the 1964 Act, designed to produce a strong consumer demand and the markets needed to encourage our producers to push their investment plans. The reduction in tax rates also acted to improve incentives to invest by strengthening the ra te of re turn and cash flows. This 1964 tax reduction was the first to recognize the of our tax structure to generate such a strong revenue intake in periods of ris ing economic ac tivity that the intake soon exerted a drag on that very activity and made continuous forward progress impossible. The 1964 tax reduction also freed us from the shackles of a rigid budget balance posture and enabled fiscal policy to provide a res ponse tha t would reflect economic conditions rather than mathematically suit a figure resulting from the additions of many disparate items of expenditure and receipt in our budget. The need to strengthen consumer demand was again reflected in 1965 in the Excise Tax Act of that year, in which that need became the opportunity for a major reform of a crazy-quilt excise tax s truc ture • p~er - 3 - These programs met with success -- a strong business expansion, rising incomes and profits, a falling unemployment rate, a GNP capable of sustaining broad social programs. But then in the latter part of 1965 the obstacles changed -- the demands of the Vietnam conflict showed us once again that no economic forecasting is safe against the intrusion of external events we cannot control. A high pace of Government military expenditures demanded that a policy of fiscal stimulus be switched to a program of fiscal restraint, but without clear signs to chart the size or timing of that restraint. Tax policy was therefore shifted from stimulus to restraint, which called for increasing revenue collections to dampen an inflationary potential. This need became the opportunity to achieve desirable improvements in our current collection procedures. The substantive programs of the Tax Adjustment Act of 1966 reflected this dual target -- graduated withholding, a speed-up in the transition to current payment by corporations, and current payment of the self-employment Social Security tax. This was accompanied by administrative programs in both 1966 and this year speeding up the deposit of withheld taxes and excise taxes. And there is still room for further improvement, as reflected in the President's current recommendations regarding thecorporate estimated tax. As the year 1966 progressed, with a high level of economic activity insured through strong private investment, strong consumer demand and rising Governmental military expenditures, fiscal policy had to cope with emerging price instability and serious imbalances in the business expansion. Moreover, the tasks of fiscal policy were conj oined by the difficulties being experienced in charting the proper course for monetary policy. These obstacles culminated in September, 1966, in a threatening financial situation, as interest rates rose alarmingly, the money supply contracted, and business investment still proceeded at an unsustainable level. Suspension of the investment credit was the tax policy response chosen, and another step in tax flexibility was taken. But it was taken with an awareness that the particular step was not without the problems of the two trans itions in the step involved -- the transition from allowance of the credit to suspension and the transition from suspension to restoration. This step was therefore accompanied by a frank recognition that only the unusual events of last September -a serious financial situation, an unsustainable business investment boom, and wartime expenditures -- would call for this particular response of tax flexibility. It was accompanied by strong expenditure tightening. - 4 The immediate goals sought were obtained -- the financial tension subsided, the investment pace began to be more manageable, and monetary policy could begin to ease and adjust the imbalances, as in housing, that had accompanied its tightening. We thus come to the year 1967 a.nd a new set of obstacles, even more challenging. The imbalances of 1966 are giving way to an economic advance that will show a more even front, as business investment moderates its prior pace and housing starts to catch up. This moderation in business investment signaled the end of the need for the suspension of the investment credit, perhaps a bit earlier than had been foreseen. The President accordingly recommended restoration of the credit, with this step thus completing the application of tax flexibility initiated last September. The differing views on the terms of the restoration underscore the belief expressed last year that only that combination of unique circumstances would call for this form of tax flexibility. The economic radars that scanned the horizon in January forecast for the immediate months a pause in the economy, as the components of the advancing economic front regrouped and balanced their relationships. An important factor in this pause has been the downward adjustment in inventory accumulation. Other factors are the moderation in the growth in plant and equipment investment and the low level of housing activity which reflected the past period of tight money. Those radars that scanned further ahead forecast that the economic front would later gather momentum from a variety of sources -- increased Social Security expenditures, the pace of Government expenditures, resumed strength in housing, the end of the inventory adjustment, and a pick-up in consumer spending. In the absence of tax action, the Federal budget would move more strongly into deficit and fiscal policy would become highly stimulative. Instability in the form of inflationary pressures would again threaten. It would be desirable to meet that obstacle through tax policy rather than through a resumption of monetary tightening lest we become locked into a level of high interest rates. This forecast in January thus called for over-all tax restraint, in contrast to the specialized restraint in. the business sector that was needed last September ~ The hearings and discussions of last year on the techniques of tax flexibility, notably before the Fiscal Policy Subcommittee of the Joint Economic Committee -- hearings that had been urged by the Administration -- indicated that the most appropriate application of tax flexibility for this purpose was a surcharge - 5 on individual and corporate income tax liabilities. The President in January recommended this course. For Budget and revenue estimating purposes a precise starting date was needed and July 1 was chosen. But tax flexibility and rational economic policy obviously do not always demand rigid adherence to dates based on prior economic forecasts. The task is to match policy as closely as possible to current forecasts as these forecasts sharpen and change -- not to rigidly match action to a previously set timetable that was itself only a forecast based on earlier and therefore less reliable data. The economic radars still indicate that in the months ahead the predicted momentum will gather. While the radars are still not equipped to pinpoint the exact month of change, this summer is still the governing forecast. The important point, however, is to recognize that as forecasts sharpen and more clearly foretell the change, we should not be misled by looking backwards or even around us at the figures that reflect the pause we are now moving through. Instead, we must concentrate on what is forecasted for the period ahead. We must be willing to act on what that forecast implies, not because it is infallible but because it is far better than the unfounded assumption that the present condition will continue simply because it is the present. We can be willing to act on the forecast because the tax change that is being recommended -- a temporary income tax surcharge -- is an adjustment that after its adoption can be readily removed earlier than the targeted date for its termination if the economic radars then begin to forecast different and unexpected signals. We must remember that the aim is not always to see that forecasts are borne out. Rather, it is to so alter economic conditions that forecasts of undesirable instability ahead, either of an inflationary nature or a downward trend, will not turn out that way and that the forecasted instability will instead be replaced by a more desirable economic situation. The surcharge thus rests on a forecast of too exhuberant an economy in the latter part of the year and an intention to prevent that forecast from becoming actuality. The recommendation of the surcharge was a frank statement of Government opinion and policy -- what it expects will happen Without policy action and how it plans to solve the problem. If the problem starts to shape up differently, then of course a different solution will be called for -- but as of now that is not what our current knowledge tells us. - 6 - The use of tax policy is thus at present an exercise in tax flexibility -- as we attempt to keep our high level economy as close to optimum operating conditions as we can in the face of the inevitable instabilities flowing from the Vietnam hostilities. Necessarily tax flexibility means tax change, to keep the economy on a proper course. Rigidity in tax policy is an impossible course -- the policy that brought success in one year can bring great difficulties the next year. We must seek tax adjustments responsive to predicted economic conditions, and attempt to stru~cure them so that the change is accompanied by the least strain on taxpayers and tax administration in applying and accommodating to those changes. Change is necessary because rigidity is disaster, but change should not itself cause needless instabilities. When Vietnam hostilities end, a new set of conditions will appear and the use of tax policy will in turn have a different content. A most likely use is that of tax reduction, as the revenue structure will presumably have to adapt to lower military expenditures. The nature of the adaptation -how much reduction, in what mix of temporary and permanent change, in what mix of rate change and structural alteration necessarily must await the events that condition the tax response. Let me turn now to another goal and another use of tax policy. Whatever the ever-changing character of the economic role of tax policy, we are always involved in the raising of revenues to pay for Government expend itures as well as to fulfill the revenue raising targets that the economic role sets. Tax policy is charged with the task of raising those revenues with fairness, with the least interference in the efficient utilization of our resources, and with the lowest possible level of difficulty in compliance and administration. It is this use of tax policy with which tax reform is concerned. The achievement of this goal of tax policy is one of constant efforts at improvement -- past decisions turn out to have been misguided or no longer sensible under changed circumstances; a new pattern of economic and social conditions forces tax thinking into new areas; new compliance techniques make certain steps feasible for the first time; perenially intractable problems may yield to new solutions; a better - 7 understanding is gained of the effects of taxation in a particular area. The needs for improvement are endless and the response must be continuous over many areas. This use of tax policy in this decade has proceeded steadily, through a variety of measures aimed at improving the tax structure-the Revenue Acts of 1962 and 1964, the Excise Act of 1965, the Tax Adjustment Act of 1966, the Foreign Investors Tax Act of 1966, the Federal Tax Lien Act of 1966. Along with these major legislative measures have been many major administrattve measures in Regulations and rulings -consolidated returns, the international tax area, unrelated business income, for example -- and many minor legislative measures. But the effort must remain continuous. We are all aware of the many possible areas of inquiry. We will have different sets of priorities and different approaches and different emphases -- but we are all seeking change in our tax structure rather than embalmment. The Treasury has often mentioned some of its current concerns -- industrial revenue bonds, multiple corporations, private pension plans and foundations, to name a few. It has called attention to the fact that the estate and gift taxes represent the only part of our Federal tax structure that has remained unexamined by the Congress over a long period. The recent parallel studies by the Brookings Institution on the economic side and the American Law Institute on the legal side clearly indicate that there are promising paths to improvement of the se taxe s . An area of reform now before the Congress concerns the President's recommendations for revision of the income tax treatment of the elderly. The existing income tax benefits extended to the elderly cost about $2.3 billion annually in tax revenues. The Administration's proposals for revision of these tax rules would not alter this revenu~ cost. The proposals aim only to redirect this relief, in a uniform manner, to benefit those elderly most in need of it and at the same time to simplify the structure of the tax rules applicable to the elderly. But these proposals appear to be surrounded by a fog of confusion and misrepresentation. Some critics portray in detail the suggested elimination of the present $600 added exemption and the retirement income credit. But they do not mention the substitution under the proposals of a simple blanket special exemption of $2,300 for - 8 - a single person and $4,000 for a married couple where both are over age 65. Other critics state that Social Security benefits will be subject to tax, and add that this is unfair because the beneficiaries will have made payment of Social Security taxes before retirement. But they do not mention that the costs of those taxes will be taken into account through the blanket exemption, which in no event would be reduced below one-third of the benefits included in income. Nor do the critics point out that about two-thirds of the elderly now subject to income tax will rece~ve a tax reduction under the proposals -- almost all married couples below $11,600 and single persons below $5,800. There are about 20 million persons over the age of 65. Of these, about 4 million now pay income tax or Jo~n in the filing of a return on which income tax is paid. The President's proposals will not change the ta~-free status of the almost 16 million elderly who now pay no tax. Of the remaining group of elderly, about 2.8 million will have tax reductions. Thus, for the great majority of the elderly -- over 18.5 million persons, more than 94 percent of the total -the recommendations will not change their position of being free of income tax burdens, or they will result in a tax reduction. The tax liabilities for the remaining group of elderly will be increased and thereby brought more in line with the tax liabilities of those taxpayers under ~ge 65 with similar amounts of income. This also has been criticized. But in criticizing the increases that are involved for the wealthier elderly, the critics do not indicate why a person with $20,000 or $50,000, or $100,000 of income, even though elderly, needs the special tax benefits that Congress granted because of the special financial problems associated with age. The financial problems of most of the elderly come dm-vn essentially -- as do all financial problems -- to a lack of in~ome. But -- where the income levels are in these higher ran3es -- there is no justification to apply a lower tax on a $20,000 or $50,000 income when received by a person over age 65 than when received by a person under that age. To keep the matter in perspective, an income of $20,000 a year is over twice the average family income in the United States. In addition, many of the needs - 9 - that a younger family faces have already been met by the family over 65 -- the house and furniture are paid for, and the like. Editorials and similar comment critical of the taxation of Social Security benefits may well have given those now receiving those benefits the impression that their wellbeing is threatened. But the real facts are completely the other way around. Under the proposed changes annual tax reductions of approximately $220 million dollars would go to the taxpaying elderly below $10,000, and the overwhelming number of Social Security recipients are below that level. Nor do the real facts end here. The proposed special exemption ($2,300 for a single person and $1.'-,000 for a married couple) take fully into account the present levels of Social Security benefits. But this does not mean that furutre Social Security benefit increases will automatically be taxed to all recipients. The regular j.ncome tax exemptions and deductions, which are allowable in addition to the special exemption, will together with the special exemption shelter from income tax payment future Social Security benefit increases for all who have only this source of funds and, indeed, for most other recipients. For example, the maximum Social Security benefit payable to a married couple under present law is about $2,500 per year. This would rise to about $2,700 under the President's Social Security proposals. But this is not even half the amount of income necessary before any income tax WOU 13t be due under the proposed changes, since the couple would not owe tax until their income exceeded $5,800 a year. In other words, for a married couple living only on Social Security benefits, the maximum benefit level would have to more than double before the income tax would become a factor. If they are now rece~v~ng average Social Security benefits (about $1,500 per year), their benefits would have to more than triple b8fore they would owe any tax. Viewed in another way, it is only the addition of nonSocial Security income tax that could cause a tax to occur and here the leeway is also significant. Even if Social Security benefits were to reach $3,000, there would still be a $2,800 leeway to absorb pension or other income before the recipients became taxpayers. - 10 In sum, for the overwhelming number of Social Security recipients, the proposal will have no effect on their Social Security benefits or will actually result in a tax reduction. This will also be true well into the future. There are 14 million Social Security recipients. About 12.6 million are now free of income tax, and would remain so. Only about 1.4 million are taxpayers now. Half of these would receive tax reductions under the proposal. The rest -- 700,000 out of 14 million recipients -- would have increases, but to do so they must have an income of over about $6,000 if single and about $12,000 if married. And for many these increases would be offset by the increases proposed in Social Security benefits. It is therefore a pretty safe assumption -- keeping in mind the kinds of people who are prone to be concerned about anything touching their Social Security benefits -- that the letters any newspaper, any organization, or any Congressmen may be receiving from Social Security recipients who have become concerned by what they read or hear about these proposals can be answered simply and clearly: "If you are not paying an income tax today, you will still continue to be free of tax -- if you are paying a tax, you will receive a tax reduction." To continue with our discussion of general tax reform, the President in his Economic Report has stated that he will submit a tax reform message later this year. He has delineated several useful principles to apply at this time to tax reform proposals -- they should be considered apart from significant rate changes or tempo~ar.y tax increases or decreases, such as the six percent surcharge, and they should not occasion a significant net gain or loss in revenue. While the various components would thus involve revenueraiSing or revenue-losing measures, over-all they would balance out with no significant net change. We may, of course, as respects this use of tax policy, look ahead even beyond this reform message to notice that many significant policy areas will be under study, in Government and in private research. We must learn more about the - 11 - relationship of the income tax system to those persons who lie outside that system, and this involves the interrelationships between our Social Security system, our welfare system and the proposals for negative income taxes and income guarantees. The President has stated he will appoint a Commission to study much of this ground. We must also make sure that the benefits of economic growth spread to all 2nd that all may share in them, or the affluence we seek for our people will become social injustice. We must strive to protect against any unfairnesses that may result from the necessary uses of tax flexibility, the necessary adJustments in monetary policy, and the necessary reliance on macroeconomic measures. We must not allow our tax system and its uses for economic policy to be regarded as involving only sterile counters remote from the human beings whose lives th~ affect. The measures to accomplish all of this will not, of course, lie entirely within the tax system. But those who work with tax policy must aid in joining tax policy with other economic and social measures to achieve these desired objectives. I have been considering the uses of ta~: policy. These uses, as you can see, are many and varied, and perhaps to some may even appear too ambitious or wide-ranging in what is sought to be accomplished. But let me h8sten to assure you that they are indeed modest alongside the claims that some have made for the use of tax policy. There are those who urge tax policy as the solution for almost all of our social ills and problems. If you object to polluted air or polluted water, then a tax incentive will clean it right upo If a college eduction appears too costly to a family, then a tax credit will open the college doors. If our business firms are not training enough workers, then a tax incentive will set them to improving worker skills. If private enterprise and city officials will not eradi.cate our slums, then a tax incentive will remove this urban blight. If businesses won't locate in depressed areas, then a tax incentive will show them the way. If electric compan~.es will not place their transmission lines underground, then a tax incentive will turn the soil. If urban transportation is too slow and too antiquated, then a tax incentive will make it fast and attractive. Indeed, all you need to learn what is wrong with - 12 America is to read the tax bills in Congress -- wherever you see a tax proposal, that is where the action is. Now, as Assistant Secretary for Tax Policy, I am not at all sure why I should object to these suggestions that the tax system can cure all our problems. For clearly I could well become an economic czar were Congress to agree to this course. I, and my small staff, could control all our new social programs and the other Departments, such as Labor, HEW and HUD, would have so little to do they could be merged into one small Department and thereby simplify Government. All this almost seems to be how the world v70uld look to a Treasury Department official on an LSD trip. But I do not use LSD and I have the cautious feeling our social problems can not be so simple that a tax device indeed the same tax device -- will solve all of them. I suspect that there are better ways to clean our rivers and skies, to eradicate our urban ills, to give a college education to all who are qualified. Those ways will require loan guarantees, credit programs, direct subsidies and other Federal expenditure programs, and our facing up squarely to the costs involved. A major appeal of the tax device is that it hides the budgetary cost and, of course, this appeal is strong from the standpoint of the private interests affected. But this should not deter us from the rational calculations and arialyses which must be made to weigh the benefits of alternatives expenditure programs. The sheer weight of the various demands being placed upon Government makes it urgent we obtain the utmost efficiency in the use of public funds, and that we fully recognize the amount of funds allocated to each demand. That efficiency and recognition cannot be obtained by hiding the costs in the intricacies of our tax system. Nor could that tax system survive the cumulative weakening of its strength and its fairness that would be involved in this massive use of tax incentives. We must therefore be alert to the non-uses as well as the uses of tax policy. Nor is this sentry duty assigned solely to Government officials. Those who work daily with the tax sys tern - - those lawyers and accountants and scholars - 13 who know the strengths and the weaknesses of that system -must also stand their watch. For it is you who counsel daily with a far wider audience of businesses and individuals than the words of Washington can reach. Those businesses and individuals have a vital stake in how our tax system is shaped. Yours, then, is a vital role in explaining the issues surrounding tax policy, in clarifying the choices. No one can ask for blanket agreement and conformity on the choices to be made. But we can hope for an understanding of the concerns that must be weighed in reaching those choices. And it is to this task that your talents can bring accomplishment. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR RELEASE IN MORNING NEWSPAPERS OF SATURDAY, APRIL 29, 1967 REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE HENRY H. FOWLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AT THE ANNUAL DINNER OF THE AMERICAN SOCIETY OF INTERNATIONAL LAW STATLER HILTON HOTEL, WASHINGTON, D.C. FRIDAY, APRIL 28,1967,7:15 P.M., EST INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC RELATIONS AND THE RULE OF LAW ----- The common interest of those involved in international law and a United States Secretary of the Treasury is a rapidly developing one. It was not always so. I daresay that the first Secretary of the Treasury -- Alexander Hamilton -- found it rarely necessary t( deal in international law. The only significant occasion I recalJ was when his duties required him to negotiate some loan agreements with Dutch bankers to provide some needed resources for the fledgling nation. But today it is far different. My concern with international law, and lawyers, and international legal institutions is an ever growing preoccupation. The chief financial adviser to the President naturally shares with everyone else a desire for a greater degree of world order and the rule of law. But he has a specialized interest The financial costs and dislocations involved in maintaining security through armed conflict present major dangers to economic stability. That is important in all nations. But it is of particular importance in the nation which, without imperial ambitions or a thirst for dominance, fmds itself thrust into a position of world leadership and responsibility for security with freedom. 0 F-896 - 2 j - The U. S. Treasury Secretary is also the United "States Governor of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, and its affiliates the newly created Asian Development Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank which concluded its Eighth Annual Meeting in Washington this week. In these capacities he is aware of the increasingly important role of legal processes and arrangements in promoting economic development through public international banking institutions which pool public resources and borrow private capital on an international scale and lend it on internationally determined standards to many public authorities or private institutions sponsored by the member country. And in that position one is even more aware than most that public resources and initiatives cannot alone meet the challenge. Therefore, I am deeply interested in the future of private multinational companies. These engines of capitalism which channel private capital, initiative and know-how into development an an international scale should be enabled by legal processes and principles to make their contribution to a growing world economy. As the United States Governor of the International Monetary Fund, I share, with most of my colleagues, a desire to update and adapt the international legal and financial procedures in the Bretton Woods Charter to the increasing dimensions of world trade, thereby avoiding a new wave of the restrictionism and economic stagnation that marked the early Thirties. It would not surprise you, I am sure, to know that over half of my working hours are devoted to the international financial affairs that flow from and make possible United States involvement in international affairs in a framework of law or legal arrangements. That is why as a lawyer -- perhaps I should qualify that -- a former lawyer -- I am delighted to bring the Treasury into the proceedings of this great society. My pleasure at being with you is only exceeded by the difficulty I encounter in saying anything profound or useful about our mutual interests. Indeed, it is a hardy soul that ventures into this no man's land -- that dangerous, unclaimed terrain that stretches between international economics and the rule of law. One can stand securely in one or the other of these disciplines. But it is not easy to effect a happy joint venture. - 3 - Perhaps, as lawyers, we should blame the economists whose leading spokesman, Lord Keynes, described their attitude most succinctly. He began his tribute to the legal advisers who made such a brilliant contribution to the success of the Bretton Woods Conference in 1944 by saying "I have to confess that, generally speaking, I do not like lawyers." He went on to say that "too often lawyers busy themselves to make common sense illegal . . • and are men who turn our poetry into prose, and our prose into jargon." Lord Keynes said he wanted the lawyers "to devise means by which it will be lawful for me to go on being sensible in unforeseen conditions some years hence." I think we would acknowledge now, that the lawyers at Bretton Woods had made it possible to go on being sensible in "unforeseen conditions some years hence." But let us not lay all the blame on the economists. Too often, lawyers take a narrow technical approach to the application of international law to international economic affairs -- and in this light -- are inclined to the view that very little has been or can be accomplished. A broader view of international law in international economic affairs is needed. We must not think alone in terms of those provisions which are enforcible in a court of law -- but of all those rules and norms of conduct which govern the activities of nations -- and which they feel some compulsion to adhere to -- in their dealings with each other, and in their treatment of foreign citizens and enterprises. Viewed in this light, progress in the past twenty-odd years has been great. Let us not forget the economic framework that has been established for international traders and investors. The American Society of International Law and its Review and Development Board have already made outstanding contributions in this fie ld . But, it would not be unfair to say, however, that over the years diplomats, political scientists and lawyers have mainly thought and written about and discussed the role of the rule of law in internation"ll relations in the context of the problems of peace-keeping and security. The development and improvement of law and techniques for adjudication of political disputes is necessary to the survival of life and human institutions on this planet. However, it has been demonstrated that a prerequisite to establishment of the rule of law is an economic framework Within which all countries -- developed and less developed can make the most of-tnei.:r resources, human and economic. - 4 This connection between peace and international economic opportunity has firm roots in our own history. Wilson's Fourteen Points included "removal so far as possible of all economic barriers to the establishment of equality of trade conditions among nations". From that dream to the reciprocal trade program developed in part as a reaction to the dangers to peace resulting from the discriminatory trade practices and bilaterilization of trade of the 1930's, to the Atlantic Charter of 1941, our country has made clear that a rational world economy is an essential to peace. While the post World War I settlement failed to establish the basis for a rational world economy, even before World War II was over, planning began on the institutions that would eliminate restrictions on the free flow of trade and payments. The goal was an open and competitive world operating in an atmosphere of comity. From these ideals grew the Bretton Woods institutions -the International Monetary Fund and the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development -- and the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade. These multilateral economic organizations and others patterned after them have grawn and flourished. They have helped to bring closer to reality the rule of law in international economic affairs. The IMF Articles of Agreement represented a dramatic step forward. For the first time a code of conduct for international monetary relations was established. Perhaps most significant in this code was the creation of formal exchange stability obligations and the bringing of exchange rate changes under international jurisdiction. In addition, Fund approval must be obtained to impose restrictions on current payments and all members must avoid discriminatory curr~ncy arrangements. The framers of the TIMF remembered vividly that in the 1930's predatory exchange depreciations and competitive restrictimls ~ current transactions had reduced international trade and contributed to worldwide depression and even war. These rules of international law contained in the Articles have undoubtedly been a major factor in the unexampled prosperity the Free World has enjoyed in the last two decades. The International Monetary Fund was also provided a pool of resources upon which countries could draw to help them live up to the IMF code of conduct by aiding them in meeting the strains of temporary imbalances. In administering this pool of resources, the Fund has evolved a body of practices under which fire Fund members have a clear idea of the - 5 - policies they must follow in order to obtain access to the resources of the Fund. Thus, although not constituting, strictly speaking, international law, guidelines have been established under multilateral auspices which do constitute mternational standards for the conduct of economic policy. While exchange rate policies and restrictions on current account payments were subject to international supervision, capital flows were left unregulated by the IMF Articles. The Codes of Liberalization of Capital Movements and Invisible Transactions promulgated by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development are aimed at the elimination of restrictions in this area. One important result of these Codes is the establishment of a forum in which countries' restrictions may be reviewed aD tested in the light of their impact on the world economy. Parenthetically, it is not surpr1s1ng that the IMF Articles, having made such a profound change in public international law, have also had an impact on private international law. Specifically, the Fund Articles make exchange contracts in violation of exchange control regulations that are consistent with the IMF articles unenforcible in the territories of any member. This was a very significant change in legal thinking since in many cases foreign exchange control laws were labeled as "revenue" or "penal" laws and were unenforcible in the courts of another country. The decision of the Supreme Court in Kolovrat v. Oregon made it clear that the United States' adherence to the Fund agreement had established a public policy which an individual State had to respect and against which it could not set up its own public policy. On the other hand, the case of Banco do Brasil demonstrates that private international law cannot advance significantly beyond the area of agreement among nations on norms of conduct in economic affairs. The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade has also been an indispensible element in the development of the postwar economic structure. It, too, has furthered the rule of law in international economic affairs. Under the auspices of the GATT tariffs have been reduced overall by about 45 percent. Moreover, as the IMF has provided a code of conduct in monetary affairs, the GATT has set down accepted rules of conduct in trade relations. It has regulated resort to some nontariff restrictions and has provided a forum for hearing complaints and adjudication of disputes. - 6 In a way similar to the IMF's role in setting guidelines for mternationally accepted standards for the conduct of economic policy, the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development has also added to the framework of a rational economic order. Member countries know what policies thE¥ must follow in order to obtain the assistance of the Bank and of its affiliated institutions, the International Finance Corporation and the International Development Association. For instance, countries in default of their international obligations or which are not making substantial efforts to remedy defaults, are not eligible for loans from the Bank. Bank members are keenly aware that failure to meet international commitments will not only mean ineligibility for Bank assistance, but will deter other private or public capital inflow. Consortia of lenders under the auspices of the Bank for the purpose of implementing approved development programs have had an important demonstration effect in gaining acceptance for agreed rules of economic conduct. Thus, without estatlishing substantive rules of law, these institutions have created internationally agreed norms for the ~nagement of economic affairs. These activities of the Bank have also given support to the lawyers endeavoring to settle the private aspects of countries' international obligations. Additional progress in this effort has been made in Latin America by the InterAmerican Development Bank. I believe the same will be true of the Asian Development Bank, which is just beginning operations. In one area the experience of the Bank with standards of economic conduct has taken specific form. The World Bank, ~der the leadership of its illustrious past president, Eugene Black, was in the forefront in working out means for the settlement of investment disputes. In the beginning, this was done on an informal, "good offices" bas is. That experience led to agreement promoted by the current President, George Woods, on a Convention for the Settlement of Investment Disputes providing for the creation of a facility as an affiliate of the Bank for the mediation and conciliation of investment disputes. The Convention entered into effect ~ October 14, 1966, and the center opened its doors in February of this year. Five developed countries and ~enty-three less developed countries have already adhered to the Convention. - 7 - Every international lawyer should be aware of this new facility for the orderly mediation or arbitration of problems arising between investors and host governments. Like the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, the decisions reached through the use of this facility are bound over time, in my opinion, to add to the body of law and norms of economic conduct which are so important in the development of a rational and just world economic system. Consideration is also being given to further embodiment of economic practices into specific codes of conduct. The IBRD is now studying a multilateral insurance scheme which would provide insurance against political risks to investors in foreign countries. The OECD has had under consideration an investment code which would provide rules for the treatment of private foreign investment by host governments. It is too early to say whether insurance and investment codes can be embodied in formal agreements. Much work remains to be done. This is true particularly in the area of non-tariff barriers to trade. Pnwever, it is encouraging that these subjects are being given study. We know from past experience that it is very difficult to elaborate agreed practices into international law rules until there has been long experience and general acceptance of this experience. This principle has been aptly put by Justice Cardozo. He said, "Life casts moulds of conduct, which will some day become fixed as laws. Law preserves the moulds, which have taken form and shape from life." It will be some time before our experience with solutions to the new problems we are now facing will be ready for codification into rules of law. It is clear that we have now assimilated many of the economic problems of the postwar world -- the dream of Bretton Woods of a world generally free of payments restrictions has largely been achieved. Many of the new problems have been generated by our past successes and result from an increasing integration of the world e,conomy. This integration is both a cause and a consequence of rapidly growing international trade -- now exceeding $200 billion a year. A solution to those problems resulting from a closer mtegration of the world economy is patently not susceptible at the present time and in all cases to embodiment in formal codes of international conduct. Yet it is vitally important - 8 - that countries understand one another and consider the mternational consequences of their economic policies. It is not surprising, therefore, that institutional arrangements have evolved allowing countries to keep abreast of the economic policies followed by others and bring their influence to bear so that the development of domestic economic policy will also reflect the interests of the world economy as a whole. For example, in Working Party Three of the GECD and through the IMF consultations with member governments, "confrontations" are regularly held in which countries must justify their economic policies and be made acutely aware of the international interests. Going beyond this, Working Party Three has recently published a report on the Balance of payments Adjustment Process in which guidelines are suggested for the proper policies to be followed in meeting the problems of deficit or surplus. In the international monetary area, the problems of financing deficits and surpluses also have an impact on the entire international monetary system. Arrangements have been made for a review and appraisal process of various elements in international liquidity for financing of surpluses and deficits. The purpose of this "multilateral surveillance ," by Working Party Three of GECD, is to give a more comprehensive up-to-date review of major trends and afford a better basis for strengthening policy cooperation, as well as providing a forum for discussing measures appropriate for each country. Perhaps at some time in the future experience with these procedures will lead to agreed rules or standards of international economic conduct that will nearly approach the status of international law, in the broad sense that term is being used this evening. The Treasury, under the leadership of Assistant Secretary for Tax Policy Stanley Surrey, has been carrying on a series of negotiations for new or improved tax treaties to bring greater harmony, order and fairness to this important area. Given the rates of tax whic~ are applied in the world of today, the failure to apportion income from international transactions among the countries involved, so that each might grab what it can, would produce tax burdens of a magnitude that would quickly bring to a halt international trade and investment. Recognizing this, countries have tended to exercise restraint in the international reach of their tax systems The rules incorporated in tax treaties are in part a reflection of this restraint and have come about because 0 - 9 w of the substantial uniformity of their national laws, arising from a common legal system, common notions of equity, and a common philosophical approach born of the same literature, tradition, history, or the like. The treaty rules, however, have gone beyond the national laws, since there is not complete uniformity, and have in turn produced changes in national laws. A treaty agreement may be reached on the allocation of income from a given transaction between two countries, but one of the signatories may not be empowered by its law to impose a tax on the income allocated to it. It would have given up revenue without receiving anything in return. Nations there-fore tend to adopt as internal legislation the international treaty rules agreed upon. Treaty rules are thus not merely ad hoc arrangements. They must be entered into with an understanding of their implications for our relations with other countries and for our domestic policies if we are to build and maintain a rational and consistent approach to the taxation of international transactions. Our tax treaties also make a contribution to the development of international law by creating a mechanism for the settlement of differences among the tax authorities of the signatory countries. We have not yet reached the day when disputes which cannot be settled by the authorities themselves will be turned over to some tribunal, but it may be coming. Consideration might also be given to bringing increasingly other areas of economic conduct within the sphere of international concern. Promotion of exports, some coordination of monetary policy, and antitrust policy are areas where fruitful work may be done in bringing about an international concord which may, if achieved, be embodied in rules of fair conduct for governments or private parties as the case may be. There are challenges that we now face that must be solved if we are to progress in the future toward the rule of law in international economic affairs: Can adequate international reserves be provided through new collective decision-making machinery? Can payments imbalances be smoothly corrected under conditions of widespread convertibility and free movement of capital? Can non-tariff barriers to trade be reduced? Can adequate assistance be - 10 provided to developing countries and can we have steady economic growth without inflation? The answer to each of these questions is not only an economic challenge, it is a challenge to the ability of nations to order their economic affairs in a rational way. In evolving an economic order to meet these problems, there will eventually have to be new international rules and new techniques. Success in the Kennedy Round is of crucial importance to the maintenance of the growth of world trade. The growth of trade and payments is threatened by the possibility that there will be insufficient international reserves. It is our hope that agreement will be reached at the International Monetary Fund Annual Meeting in September 1967 on an adequate plan for the creation of reserve assets. Finally, there is the acute problem of providing sufficient resources for the growth of the less developed countries under conditions that encourage self-help, promote the adjustment process in the international balance of payments, and still preserve broad competitive choices. The international development institutions have made a significant contribution to this development. But more must be done. They are sorely in need of additional resources. The Inter-American Development Bank, the International Development Association, the Asian Development Bank, and the African Development Bank need additional funds with . to finance their activities in the coming years. All developed countries must contribute to this effort and ways and means must be found for making this contribution. That was the principal current concern of this week's meeting of the Inter-American Development Bank. The respect of nations for the role of private enterprise in the international economic order should be one of the prime objectives of international law in the last third of this century. - 11 Private initiative in the international area depends upon the existence of order, nondiscrimination, and due process. To the lawyers dealing with international clients, the area of interest, the problems confronted are very specific. For, in spite of all of the developments I have cited, a corporation doing business in a foreign country may still be confronted with the ofttimes difficult problem of achieving some form of fair treatment along the lines of our constitutional guarantee of due process. The evolution and growth of the multinational corporation is of major importance in the development of the world's resources. Multinational corporations with their technological skills, research facilities, capital, patents, equipment and experience drawn from successful operations, serve a most useful economic and social function in the countries of their operations. Their growth is already a significant factor in the development of the world's economy. In money terms, from the U. S. experience we can get some idea of the contribution of these companies. In 1950, U. S. exports were about $10 billion. In 1965, exports had climbed to over $27 billion. My comparison, however, in those same years, direct investment abroad by U. S. firms totaled $12 billion in 1950 and had risen to almost $50 billion at the end of 1965. Sales by U. S. foreign manufacturing affiliates totaled over $42 billion in 1965, of which $34 billion were local sales. Add to these indicia of goods and services provided by our foreign trade and investment a steady source of employment, social stability, tax revenues, advances in technical knowledge, and the growth of affiliated industries and services and one can understand the desire on economic and social grounds of host countries to accept the multinational corporation. Despite this we all know of the many difficulties still facing the multinational corporation in operating in a host country, including restrictions on fields of endeavor, the necessity for foreign management, expropriation without adequate compensation, compliance with local regulations and laws contrary to the law of the county of ownership, and, in some cases, strict limitations on repatriation of earnings. There are no simple, easy solutions to the problems which a mUltinational corporation may face. ~or those of you whose clients call for legal advice on how to overcome these problems, I am sure there are many frustrations. You recognize and understand, of course, the necessity for a multinational - 12 corporation to adjust to the realities of the national policies and laws of the host country; to establish itself as a good citizen, paying just taxes, having an enlightened policy for the benefit of employees within the social context of the host country. You must be prepared to demonstrate to the host country the benefits it will derive from the presence of the corporation. The burden of the lawyer is indeed a difficult one in these circumstances. He must be prepared to negotiate in advance the necessary understandings and safeguards for his client's establishment and operation; if they do not already exist in the law. The difficulty is, of course, that often there are no standards upon which such understandings can be made or judged. It is in this area perhaps that the United States Government has a responsibility to increase its efforts to convince nations of the world to reach agreed-upon codes for the treatment of foreign investment. On the other hand, it is the responsibility of the host country to recognize and understand that it, too, must adhere to rules of conduct which would allow the successful operation within its borders of a multinational corporation. Indeed, without these rules of conduct, the economic progress of a less developed country may be stifled because an investor is simply not going to be attracted to an area where he is not wanted or where there is a possibility of his becoming not wanted. We cannot expect to achieve uniformity in the treatment of multinational corporations throughout the world. Many countries are at an early stage of their economic development by comparison with the United States and, for example, the countries of Europe. To be realistic, we have to recognize that, along with their aspirations for rapid development, some of them are going through a period of excessive nationalism which may inhibit the attainment of the essentials of due process as we have come to understand them. In part, therefore, the achievement of due process will be dependent upon the acceptance of multinational corporations as being desirable and upon our success in alleviating their fears of undue foreign influence over the development of their economies in the context of their social and political institutions which may differ from ours. We cannot expect solutions to come overnight. This is a long-range goal on which both government and private efforts must - 13 continue to be exerted. We have seen some advance. As I mentioned, the Settlement of Investment Disputes Convention is a step in the direction of due process. The approval of the membership of the U. S. in that Convention was helped by the support of organizations such as the Bar Association of New York, the Philadelphia Bar Association, the National Association of Manufacturers, and the National Foreign Trade Council. Additional steps by way of international conventions are only one way to provide for the multinational corporation the due process which would allow most efficient economic development. The interest and help of organizations of lawyers and business are vital to help bring such conventions and agreements to fruition. The great body of international law which governs the economic dealings among nations has already evidenced a connection with private transactions. It is my conviction that the time is opportune to work on adding to the solid structure of international economic order so that our cherished belief in due process can be applied to private international transactions. In closing, may I express the hope, tinged by a residue of professional pride, that, in the future, international economic affairs may not become the exclusive preserve of economists and diplomats -- but that lawyers may increasingly bring to this field the beneficient balance that can come only with the rule of law. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT 4 F.ELFASE 6:30 P.M., .ay, May 1, 1961. RESULTS OF TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department announced that the tenders for two series of Treasury s, one series to be an addiM,onal issue of the bills dated February 2, 1961, and other series to be dated May 4, 1961, which were offered on April 26, 1961, were .ed at the Federal Reserve Banks today. Tenders were invited for tl,300,OOO,OOO, hereabouts, of 91-day bills and for $1,000,000,000, or thereabouts, of 182-d.ay s. The details of the two series are as follows: 91-day Treasury bills maturing August 3, 1961 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 99 •060 3. 719% 99.043 3.786% 99.047 3.770% !I L OF ACCEPI'ED ETITIVE BIDS High WW Average y 182-day Treasury bills maturing November 2, 1967 Approx. Equiv. Price Annual Rate 98.038 98.016 98.025 Y 3.881% 3.924% 3.907% Excepting 2 tenders totaling $475,000 98% of the amount of 91-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted 3% of the amount of 182-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted L TENDERS APPLIED FOR AND ACCEPl'ED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS: 3trict ston r York lladelphia ;veland :hmond lanta lcago , Louis meapolis Isas City las I franCisco TOTALS AEElied For AcceEted AEElied For $ 34,275,000 $ 19,679,000 $ 9,629,000 1,1142,096,000 1,608,248,000 923,041,000 14,943,000 17,355,000 26,943,000 17,535,000 23,459,000 · 23,459,000 3,253,000 8,464,000 8,464,000 18,161,000 33,181,000 41,213,000 149,133,000 174,L93,000 123,393,000 · 14,235,000 32,285,000 41,891,000 8,633,000 14,746,000 : 15,146,000 8,038,000 21,957,000 22,009,000 17,921,000 lu,041,OOO 23,067,000 81,46$,000 81,241,000 97,731,000 · · i $2,102,943,000 $1,300,686,000 ~ $1,812,100,000 AcceEted $ 4,275,000 834,186,000 4,355,000 7,835,000 3,253,000 9,379,000 78,253,000 8,744,000 7,248,000 8,038,000 7,921,000 26, 612,000 $1,000,102,000 sI ncludes $234,306,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 99.041 ncludes $90,107,000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 98.025 hese rates are on a bank discount basis. The equivalent coupon issue yields are .87% for the 91-d.9.y bills, and 4.05% for the 182-ciay bills. TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington STATEMENT OF HONORABLE JOSEPH W. BARR THE UNDER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY ON H. R. 7476 HOUSE BANKING AND CURRENCY COMMI'.r1'EE MAY 1, 1967 Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I appreciate the opportunity to appear before you today in support of H. R. 7476, a bill which would provide a basis for dealing with our silver stocks in an orderly way. To lay a foundation for understanding the need for this legislation I should like, with the Committee's indulgence, to review briefly the history of our silver policy during the last few decades. Under various acts aDd proclamations relating to newly mined domestic silver, and the Silver Purchase Act of 1934, we purchased, from 1934 to 1959, 3 billion ounces of ounce. silv~r at an average price of 58.7 cents per Until the second World War, world production of silver exceeded consumption. Thereafter, the trend reversed; however, it was not until 1959 that the combination of the needs of industry and others for silver and the Treasury's increased use of it for coinage began appreciably to exceed world production. The gap widened steadily, but for a time the Treasury was able to fill it by the sale in the market of silver from its non-monetized stockpile. The increased demand for silver for in- dustrial and other use was in that way satisfied temporarily. By November of 1961, however, it became clear that the unrestricted sale fram our non-monetized stockpile could not continue and on November 28 of that year President Kennedy, upon the Treasury's recommendation, directed that F-898 - 2 the sale of this silver be discontinued and that our coinage needs be met by using silver released through the retirement of unfit silver certificates of the $5 and $10 denominations. As you know, the Treasury's monetary use of silver was not limited to coinage. By law a portion of the silver purchased under the Purchase Acts was required to be used to back silver certificates, most of them of the $1 denomination, the only currency of that denomination then being issued. Also, to the extent that the public's needs for $1 bills did not require the use of all of our silver excess to·our coinage needs, we had issued some silver certificates of the $5 and $10 denominations. By 1961, it had become evident, however, that our existing stocks of silver could not for long accomplish both purposes, that is, provide silver for coinage and backing for silver certificates. consequently, the issuance of $5 and $10 silver certificates was stopped. the drain on silver but not enough. This reduced Therefore, the Treasury proposed and the Congress enacted the Act of June 4, 1963, Public Law 88-36, which accomplished two things. First, it authorized the secretary, at his option, to redeem silver certificates with silver bullion instead of silver dollars. Our supply of silver dollars, which had not been minted since 1935, had dropped from more than 500 million at that time to 81 million by 1963. Second, the Act authorized the issuance of $1 Federal Reserve notes to be substituted for $1 silver certificates. of that year they were in production. In November From November of 1963 until October - 3 of 1964 both $1 silver certificates and $1 Federal Reserve notes were issued. By September of 1964 we were producing enoUgh $1 Federal Reserve notes to satisfy the needs of the public and in early October the issuance of silver certificates was stopped altogether. In the meantime, because of the suspension of the unrestricted sale of our silver to the market, the market price of silver began to rise. From a price of $0.91 in 1961, it gradually rose until in 1963 it reached the price of $1.29+ per ounce, the monetary value of silver. We could not allow the market price to rise much above its monetary value because this would threaten the continued circulation of our silver coinage. It would become profitable to melt subsidiary coins for their silver content at about $1.40 an ounce. Therefore, beginning on July 23, 1963, the Treasury offered to the public silver bullion at its monetary value in exchange for silver certificates. It was not necessary to require, however, that silver certificates be presented physically in exchange for bullion. out doing so. A simple procedure made it possible to obtain silver withsubstantial amounts of unfit silver certificates were being retired each day, and an arrangement was made whereby persons wishing to acquire bullion would request the New York or San Francisco Federal Reserve Banks to purchase unfit silver certificates which were in the process of retirement and exchange them for bullion. This worked satisfactorily and as bullion was released an equivalent amount in unfit silver certif- icates was retired. - 4Until recently, the rate of retirement of unfit certificates exceeded bullion losses through this exchange method, and, since no new silver certificates were being issued, we were able to accumulate a supply of unencumbered silver in excess of 300 million ounces. year and a half, however, that trend was reversed. During the last Bullion losses began to exceed certificate retirements, and the sale of free silver at its monetary value, as authorized by the Coinage Act of 1965, coupled with the use of silver for COinage, has reduced our uncommitted silver to about 90 million ounces. After silver ceased to be used for the purpose of backing new issuances of silver certificates, it became necessary to find a substitute for silver for coins. After an exhaustive study, we recommended and the Congress enacted the Coinage Act of 1965, which authorized the substitution of nickel and copper for silver in our dimes and quarters and reduced to 40~ the silver content of the half dollar. This Committee and the Congress as a whole quickly recognized the urgency of this problem and acted responsibly and with alacrity. We have now reached the point at which further action is necessary. At the present time, we have total stocks of silver of about 520 million ounces. Of this amount, almost 430 million ounces are required by law to be held as reserves for $555 million of silver certificates outstanding. This leaves only about 90 million ounces of so-cal 1 e d "free available. S1·1ver II - 5 We are asking the Congress, therefore, to authorize the secretary of the Treasury to write off an amount of outstanding silver certificates which he determines have been lost or destroyed, or are held in collections, and will never be presented for redemption. On the basis of past ex- perience we know that not all of the outstanding silver certificates will be returned for redemption. Many of them have been lost or destroyed and many more can be expected to be held by collectors. Experience would indicate that at least $150 million could be written off immediately, thus freeing about 116 million ounces of silver. After further experience with the trend of retirements of silver certificates we might be able to write off an additional amount. We are also asking the Congress to provide that holders of silver certificates would have one year from the date of the legislation to redeem their silver certificates for silver if they desire to do so. Atter one year silver certificates would continue to be legal tender on a par with Federal Reserve notes, but they could no longer be redeemed in silver. This is a perfectly reasonable provision which recognizes the fact that we cannot permit one form of currency to acquire a speculative value in excess of that of other forms, but at the same time provides an ample period during which those who presently hold silver certificates may acquire silver if they wish. Since the passage of the Coinage Act of 1965, our mints have accomplished an amazing feat of producing in the short space of 21 months the unprecedented amount of 7.8 billion of the new subsidiary coins. At the - 6 present time, we are approaching the limits of capacity of our facilities for storage of new coins available to be issued if needed. It is our belief that we probably have in circulation, in inventory, and in production, a sufficient amount of the new coins so that if the existing silver coins in circulation should begin to disappear, we would have enough coins to meet the country's needs. However, it is difficult to estimate the total needs of the country for COinage, and we feel that we can take no chances in this regard. Accordingly, we are continuing heavy production of the new coins at all of our mints to insure an amount of the new coins in circulation and in inventory which, according to every estimate, will be more than sufficient to meet any potential needs of the country for coinage. The Joint Commission On The Coinage established under the Coinage Act of 1965, to which I will refer more later, will, of course, want to satisfy itself that we have and are making enough coins to meet the needs of the country. During this interim period, particularly between now and the end of this year, we must have available sufficient amounts of free silver to sell to industry at the monetary value of $1.29+ per ounce in order to maintain the market price within a narrow margin of this figure. Were we to stop selling silver, the market price could be expected to rise rapidly. Once it exceeded the price of $1.40 per ounce, the silver coins in circulation would have greater value as silver than as coins and would undoubtedly be withdrawn fram circulation in substantial runounts. - 7 The question may be asked as to whether the Administration, by asking for this legislation, is not invading the province of the Coinage Commission. In our opinion, this legislation is necessary to preserve the optiomwhich the Coinage Act of 1965 placed in the Coinage Commission. The Coinage Act instructed the Commission to review and make recommendations upon such matters as the needs of the economy for coins, the standards for the coinage, technological developments and the availability of various metals, renewed minting of the silver dollar, other considerations relevant to the maintenance of an adequate and stable coinage system, and '~he time when and circumstances under which the United States should cease to maintain the price of silver." Enact- ment of H. R. 7476 will make it possible for the Coinage Commission to consider these and related questions in an objective way without being placed under the pressure of dealing with an emergency situation. The President will shortly announce his designation of members to serve on the COinage Commission. The Congress has previously designated its representatives to serve on the Commission. It is planned that the Commission will be convened and commence its studies promptly. Early next year its findings and recommendations should be available to the Executive branch and to the Congress, and may serve as the basis for any ultimate legislation which may be needed with respect to silver and oUr coinage. In the meantime, the bill before you will make it possible - 8 to maintain the status quo. I strongly urge you to report favorably on this bill and to recommend its enactment as being in the public interest. \.&1 ... I Calendar Year I 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966: Jan. Feb. March April May June July Augus Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1966 1967: Jan. I Bullion Silver exchanged used in for silver coina~eL _certificate sl I I -38.2 -41.4 -46.0 -55.9 -77.4 -111.5 -203.0 -320.3 -14.9 -8.2 -5.7 -3.7 -1.4 -2.5 -1.3 -2.7 -3.4 . II -4.2 I -2.3 i -3.4 I -53.9 !I -3.9 : -4.5 I -19.0 -141.4_ -77.4 -3.3 -9.5 -11.1 -12.6 -15.4 -15.1 -12.4 -18.0 -17.0 -9.1 -11.1 -4.9 I -140.6 I -20.0 i -10.4 £1-13.0 I -L Silver dollurs ni'lirl I ! ()1Jt, -12.7 -15.7 -16.2 -23.8 -27.4 -51. 5 -19.8 Ul.l.~~~ons C , troy ounce s) I l.otal OtherJl change causes' in of I silver rhr'lnnp 1 stocks +142.8 +10.8 -5.5 -49.8 +10.4 -2.0 -2.1 -16. 7 -.9 -1.5 - .1 -3.8 -2.3 -1.2 -.5 -2.2 -.8 +.2 9I II +91. -46.3 I -67.7 1-129.5 -94.4 'I -184.0 1-366.3 I -414.4 I r ' -19.1 I -19.2 -16.9 -20.1 -20.1 -18.8 -14.2 -22.9 -21. 2 -13.1 -14.2 -.8 -9.6 -1.3 -14.9 -209.4 -2.3 -26~2 I -17.9 : -3.0 -18.4 I ~t?! -+. G I SilverY' stock at end of 2,106.2 2,0.59.9 1,992.2 1,862.7 1,768.3 1,584.3 1,218.0 803.6 784.5 765.3 748.4 728.3 708.2 689.4 675.2 652.3 631.1 618.0 603.8 594.2 594.2 568.0 550.1 1 Memorandum: Bullion equivalent of silver certificatesYat end of period He d y In circuF.R. Banks \ Total 1,683.5 1,651.1 1,632.0 1,616.3 1,536.0 1,440.4 188.3 209.3 215.9 191. 2 177.5 105.4 952.3 82.1 503.4 486.4 478.3 471. 0 461. 3 456.4 449.8 444.8 440.4 437.8 436.3 433.9 431. 8 431. 8 427.9 426.5 24.7 29.4 26.0 20.3 19.7 13.0 13.4 13.4 12.3 10.2 7.2 5.9 6.8 6.8 7.9 6.8 1,871.8 1,860.4 1,847.9 1,807.5 1,113.5 1,545.8 1,034.4 528.1 515.8 504.3 491. 3 481. 0 469.4 453.2 458.2 452.7 448.0 443.5 439.8 438.6 438.6 435.8 433.3 Feb. Mar. PI -6.0 531.7 Includes purchases, lend-lease returns, net sules and transfers to Government agencies, sales to industry during 1959-1961, variation in the amount of subsidiary coin ond bullion held in the Treasurer's General Account, and a residual discrepancy arising from the fact that coinage and bullion exchanges are shown here on a Mint accounting basis while the total change in silver stocks is shown on the more widely available Treasury Daily Statement basis. YAs shown in the Treasurv Daily Statement. The total includes approximately 64.8 million ounces held by certain agencies of the Federal Government. ] / Issued after June 30, 1929. W Preliminary. i Source: Treasury Daily Statements, Circulation Statements and unpublished material. TABLE l.--Estimated Free World Silver Consumption and Production, 1949-66 (In millions of fine troy ounces) Coinage Industry and the arts Total consumption U.S.A. Colr·ndllr ye~lr 153.1 190.1 190.5 212.9 22/1.6 2J0.5 258.5 260.7 :.H)/l-,2 3L16.6 356.5 I 3().5 118.2 8/1.7 37.S 36.0 3(1. 2 I~ 1.. J 73.5 7').5 lil.4 ll().O l15.0 ge) .l~ 57.9 81.2 50.2 103.9 55.9 77 .4 111. 5 203.0 320.3 53.9 ~/~. lJ7.1 127 .6 9 1()6./~ 1 55.3 53.H 7..67.1 375.6 107.7 ()l~. Indicated deficit (-) Total coin:lge (2) (1) ]949-53 average ... lY~3-57 average .•• 1958 .......•...... ] 959 ........•.•.•. 1960 ...•.• '........ 1961 (rev.) ....•.. 1962 (rev.) .....•. 1963 (rev.) ..•.... 1964 (rev.) •...... 1965 ...... , .. , ...• 1966 ........•.•... Coinage foreign New production Deficit excluding ,111 coinage delll;lIld (-) (3) (4) (5) (6) 237.8 263.6 270.0 299.3 328.5 376.6 386.1 l~2 7 .1 571. 3 722.2 464.2 173.9 191.0 205.8 188.4 206.9 203.2 209.0 214.6 210.7 215.3 231.0 -63.9 -72.6 20.8 .9 15.3 -24.5 -17.7 -36.3 -49.5 -/~6. 1 -93.5 L-- - -6/~. 2 -110.9 -121. 6 -173.4 -177.1 -212.5 -360.6 -506.9 -233.2 -131. 3 -125.5 - Source: Co1wnns (1) .-mu (2) are frol1\ H.-mdy and 1l.1rman, Annual Reviews. Column (4) is derive,l from the ,,,arld tot;) 11' puhl ished in the Annual Rcpor ill of the Dircc tar of the Mint and compiled by the Bure.1U of Mines, except for 1966 which is from Handy & llanll<1n'S 1966 Annu.1l Review. Production for the following countries has been subtracted from the world totals: Czcchoslov.1J<i.1, East Germany, HunGLlry, Rwn.:l11ia, Poland, U.S.S.R •• China. and North Korea. o:;uver CerUfica Small Size Issued, Redeemed, and Outstanding Ca lendar Year ~ 1J61 18G? l ' 63 * 1~ 64 H 65 H 66 January I ) February March Apr!l May June July August September October November December Total - 1966 ,nc.., Issued Equivalent of ounces @ 1.29+ Amount 970,360,876 891,018,563 741,868,876 345,089,250 I $1,254,608,000 1 , 152 , 024 , 000, 959,184,OOOj 446 , 176 , 000' I I I I I !, 1 !I , II I 1 I, I I I, I Outstanding End of Period Equi va lent of Amount ounces @ 1 29+ Redeemed Equivalent of ounces @J 1 29+ Amount 988,842,671 987,827,293 907,975,733 857,322,949 510,502,262 $1,278,503,654 1,277,190,842 1,173,948,421 1,108,457,953 660,043,328 12,003,637 12,179,939 I 14,356,287 I 10,465,266 10,350,312 6,758,200 j 5,462,484 II 0,109,509 , 4,633,166 I iI I I I I L1 hh7 C)Q7 2,707,306 January February 3.164.1 357 2,239,816 March .I *Issue of silver certificates discontinued October 1964. I Source: Currency ledgers in U. S. Trea surer's Office. I I 15,519,854 15,747,800 18, 561,6641 13,530,849 13,382,222, 8,737,875 I 7,062,606 7,899,163 5,990,356 h n1t:; 177 3,500,355 1i 4,091,290 2,895,924 1,817,424,234 1,720,615,505 1,554,508,648 1,042,274,949 531,772,687 $2,349,801,028 2,224,634,186 2,009,869,765 1,347,587,812 687,544,484 519,769,050 507,589,111 493,232,824 , 482,767,558 472,417,246 465,659,046 460,196,561 , 454,087, 052 1 449,453,886 I 672,024,630 656,276,830 637,715,166 624,184,317 610,802,095 602,064,220 595,001,614 587,102,451 581,112,095 L1.1L1 t:;7t:; 7flc:: QOQ I 437,255,151 I 434{090,794/ 431,850,978 ()7c:. 71Q 565,339,993 561,248,703 558,352,779 Table 4 Balance of Unobligated Silver Fine troy ounce s , ill! Dec. 31 Fine troy ounce s 1966 9,316,071 Jan. 31 Feb. 28 March 31 April 30 May 28 June 30 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 21,782,451 34,858,034 11,955,943 41,838,514 36,622,914 30,372,231 47,389,683 41,193,304 41,841,469 72,126,924 111,076,708 150,279,688 Jan. 29 Feb. 28 March 31 April 30 May 28 June 30 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 29 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 173,453,081 207,456,180 237,534,851 272,833,253 272,630,144 295,181,641 301,790,451 325,158,600 310,038,501 298,109,717 282,281,615 271,845,717 Jan. 31 Feb. 28 March 31 April 29 May 31 June 30 July 29 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 264,763,644 257,693,663 255,174,576 245,505,248 235,815,939 223,763,203 215,004,080 198,172,851 181,687,234 173,185,839 161,707,676 154,283,359 1967 Jan. 31 Feb. 28 March 31 130,757,145 116,043,701 99,851,803 Source: Daily Treasury Statements 'l'r)'()l(~ 5 United Stutes currency v!ritten off pursuant to Old Series Currency Adjust-ment Act, approved June 30, 1961 Public Law 87-66 ___ • _ _ _ _ _ • I ---l I __ ~ind of Currency • • _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ . . _ _ _ _ _ _ --------_~_~ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Cumulative I total i s s u e d ! Tlleasury Notes of 1890 $447,,435,0..00 G pld Certificate sis sued !prior to July 1, 1929 ~ _ _ ._ ._~ ______ .__ ._ -_-~':--- Written Off - - ...: - - August 19621 November 19G4l---.l1!OJLl.~..6..6_! __T_Qtfll October 1961! $1,000,000 13,447,187,300 $9,000,000 -.' 0 - '-, ---'-:"':,-:::- - ----,---.7_ I (Jutstandin:] pee. 3l:_19.£.fi.. $100,000 $ 31,000 $1,131,00 $10,534 6,000,000 1,600,000 16,600,00 745,429 eiold Certificutes issued July 1, 19~9 <mci sub~ ,;(~:.~ :;l'!t ..~!~ '.':~-:;to I ?:SQ1,530,OOO 0:-~('(i!'t 7,350,000 '/;350(000 3,490,690 Series 1934 Silver CCi'LiIic~LC:s iSSl!0d 12,374,855,800 15,000,000 14,500,000 230,000 29,780,000 HO,814 14,081,209,155 15,000,000 13,500,000 420,000 28,920,000 210,405 Federal Reserve Bunk Notes issued prior to July I, 1929 761,9tl4,OOO 1,000,000 1,000,000 63,000 2,063,000 30,442 Federal Reserve Notes issued prior to Ju! y 1, 1929 19,971,560,000 18,000,000 14,000,000 2,450,000 34,450,000 1,193,087 prior to July 1, 1929 National BanK Notes issued prior to July 1, 1929 United SLCitC'.'; ?To;:cs is,;\)cc! n 'rO'LiI! Source: e'l!l")I':; J.crl(I"r~; I e,903,12'1,8081 prior to July 1, 1929 U. S. ,-~)-;c). 1 nn n~') I 'l'r".l:,1l·, ,.".0; ()~;;c:c. 1 noo ,0;0---' S8, 000 I _ 34 , Q.QQ.~9J.l.0 .. I_. __ LlL._QQ0: __ .. ]'1,~iL,.0_o_QI _ _ ._ :~:~-l- '11.100 ,o.Qo_.l 1 (,.3) G_,j)oQ ,__ .1'11\ ,1J.3G ,000' 7? ,111 _.~, . ;"~'J ;\L~. , United States Silver consumption and sources of supply Calendar Years of 1949 through 1966 (In mi1l1:ms of fine troy ounces) I I I j Average, 11949 - 58 1959 1960 1961 19 63 1962 Industria 1 consumption Less: New production 97.4 38. 1 Difference Add: U. S. coinage 59.3 36.6 I 1101.0 ; 23.- 0 102.0 36 . 8 --I I 78.0· 41.4 I r- 95.9 - 1119.4 Total accounted for Discrepancy ~inus va lues imply net additions to domestic inventory) i . 1-55.3 1-45.0 ;-4G.3 -96.0 ~145.6, r=== I - .1 ! I 137.0 1<LO 150.0 4LO 1110.0 _ 35.0 120.5 3 Z-0 75.0 83.5 203.0 98.0 320.3 108.0 53.9 286.5 418.3 161.9 +55.7 -12.2 +22.3 -366.3 -414.4 -209.4 -310.6 !-426.6 -187.1 65.2 46.0 70.6 55.9 74.1 77.4 I 111.5 111.2 126.5 151.5__ 1186.S I -80.9 -30.5 +15.4 i 105.5 110.4 34 .1) _._36 . 3 I Accounted for by Net commercia 1 imports Lend-lease, returns (-) Change in TWiJsury stocks 1966 (Rev. ) • Equals: Indicated deficit 1965 I I -9.1 -10.4 1-129.5 -112.9 -149.0 1-166.0 -216.05 II -22.5 -14.5 -30.0 I: , -63.3 -8.3 -94.4 I -32.5 . -29.5 ! -15.7 1-67.7 I ./ .... ,-184.0 I I I I ;-27.2 I ! -1.7 -24.1 -8.3 -25.2 I Source: Const'mption, coinage, and prod'JcUon data from Annual Reports of the Director of the Mlnt, except for 1966 when const.:mption and production are from I-Iandy & Hnrman's 1956 Annual Review. Net commercial imports from Handy & H<Jrm3n's Annual Reviews and Minerals Yearbooks. Lend-lease returns from Annual Reports of the Director of the Mint. Change in Trca sury silver stocks from Trca sury Daily Stn'.:ements. TREASURY DEPARTMENT May 2, 1967 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY DECISION ON ALUMINUM SHEATHED COAXIAL CABLE UNDER THE ANTIDUMPING ACT The Treasury Department announced today that it is issuing a notice of intent to close its investigation with respect to the possible dumping of aluminum sheathed coaxial cable, also known as insulated electrical conductor cable, imported from Canada, manufactured by Canada Wire & Cable Company, Ltd., Toronto, Canada. The notice, which will be published in an early issue of the Federal Register, announces that the investigation is being closed with a tentative determination that this merchandise is not being, nor likely to be, sold at less than fair value within the meaning of the Antidumping Act, 1921, as amended (19 U.s.c.160 et ~.), The merchandise under consideration is commonly used to conduct television signals from antennas to receivers. Appraisement of the above-described merchandise from Canada, manufactured by Canada Wire & Cable Company, Ltd., Toronto, Canada, has not been withheld. Imports of the involved merchandise received during the period April 1, 1966, through January 31, 1967, were valued at approximately $300,000. TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR USE IN AFTERNOON NEWSPAPERS OF TUESDAY, MAY 2, 1967 REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE WINTHROP KNOWLTON ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY FOR INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS AT THE LUNCHEON MEETING OF THE WORLD AFFAIRS COUNCIL SHERATON-PLAZA HOTEL, BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS TUESDAY, MAY 2, 1967, 12 NOON, EDT THE UNITED STATES BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PROBLEM: I. A LONG-RANGE STRATEGY Introduc tion I want to discuss with you today a problem that is statistical; sexless; senseless, in the eyes of some; and remote in the minds of most. In other words, the United States balance of payments. Despite these distasteful characteristics, the subject has recently been embraced with considerable conversational fervor; the light shed upon it appears to vary in inverse proportion to the conversational heat. You are all no doubt familiar with the problem in a general way -- and many of you are familiar with its intricacies. For every year but one of the last seventeen, the United States has paid out more dollars to foreigners than it has taken in. Some of these dollars have moved into the hands of foreign monetary authorities who can convert them into gold if they so desire. In 1956 the amount of liquid dollars held by foreign countries totaled $14.6 billion, and our gold stock totaled $22.1 billion. By the end of 1966 foreign liquid dollar holdings had grown to $27.9 billion ($13.7 billion in official hands), and our gold stock had dropped to $13.2 billion. F-899 - 2 - As the problem persists, individual sectors of our society tend increasingly to blame other sectors for the deficit. The prescription of some (outside the Administration) is to have us bring back our troops from Western Europe or drastically to reduce our foreign economic assistance programs. Some (not in the financial business) would reduce or eliminate various types of private capital outflows. Others (presumably not members of the jet-set) select the American tourist, conveniently pictured as sipping champagne and ogling barebosomed girls in a Paris night club, as the villain. And still others (usually those doing poorly in trade) would have us erect trade barriers. Each group views its ~ contribution to the deficit as morally sacrosanct and economically viable in the long run -- even if costing us a few dollars in the short run. As if this chorus were not sufficiently diverting for the policy makers, there is a simultaneous dialogue in progress over whether the steady increase in U. S. liquid liabilities and the steady decline in reserve assets is really a problem at all. Here our advice ranges from that of distinguished professors who view the process as one of normal banking intermediation and exhort us "not to do something but just stand there ll to the disciplinary exhortations of foreign central bankers, who pursue cure of the deficit with the religious zeal of Captain Ahab in pursuit of the White Whale. We are confronted, on the one hand, by those who would have us break the link to gold (the only question being whether to do it now, with $13 billion left, or to let it all drain out first) and, on the other, by those who would apply a good dose of old-fashioned economic discipline, stagnate the economy, and, presto, bring ourselves into equilibrium. Somewhere in between are advocates of a lIdollar bloc. lI None of these groups -- in my view -- lives in the real world as it exists today, or as we want it to exist in the future. - 3 - II. Basic Assumptions Today, I want to discuss United States balance of payments problem -- and our strategy -- in what I hope is a more frontal and pragmatic way. Time does not permit me to discuss the closely-related problem of international liquidity and the negotiations in progress for the reform of the international monetary system. With respect to the United States balance of payments per se, I will assume that: It is a problem. The problem must be solved. It can only be solved through effective, long-range measures. It need not be solved by restrictive measures and can, as a practical matter, be solved largely by a combination of increasing our private balance of payments receipts and exercising restraint over our Government outlays. It requires an organized approach in which the talents and resources of the Government and private industry are more effectively coordinated. And, finally, it cannot be solved without positive action by other countries. III The Short-Term Strategy I will comment on the short-run picture only in passing by saying that shorter term measures include: The Interest Equalization Tax, which we are attempting to extend and strengthen; the Vcluntary Federal Reserve Program to restrain capital outflows from banks and other financial institutions; - 4 - the Voluntary Commerce Program designed to moderate direct investment outflows. Like the shots of cortisone pumped into Sandy Koufax's left elbow, these measures have enabled us to produce a respectable balance of payments performance during a difficult -- and presumably temporary -- period in which Vietnam costs have had an important adverse impact. They have enabled us to reduce our liquidity deficit i n the last two years to $1.4 billion, on average, compared t o $2.8 billion, on average, in the preceding five years ; they helped reduce our official settlement deficit to $0.5 billion, on average, in the last two years, compared to $2.2 billion, on average, in the preceding five years , IV. The Long-Range Strategy A. Goal The United States' long-range balance of payments objective -- stated most simply -- is to reach and sustain the degree of equilibrium necessary to preserve confidence in the stability of the dollar as a transactions and reserve currency. (I use the word preserve advisedly. Confidence in the dollar exists today. The fact that 94 percent of our gold losses to foreign central banks in the last three years are attributable to purchases by one central bank suggests these drains relate to factors other than lack of confidence in our currency.) B. Structure We must achieve this objective in the right way. I suggest that the most rational and desirable profile for balance of payments equilibrium would be one in which: The United States would meet its fair share of international commitments on behalf of mutual security in the Free World and economic development in the poorer nations of the Free World. - 5 - The United States would export private capital. We have the most efficient capital market in the world; to deprive a world that needs capital of access to this economic resource would, over the long run, constitute an act of economic perversity. To cover these Government outflows and private capital ouflows, the United States would increase its balance of payments receipts from a variety of sources, of which the most important are exports of goods and services, including travel; direct investment income, including royalties; and foreign portfolio investment. C. Implementation Let me now suggest specific ways in which we can increase the receipts and limit the payments in question. As you will see, a.chievement of the des ired balance of payments profile will require new actions, better planning, and a greater sense of urgency on the part of many people. It also requires, in my opinion, far greater self-confidence in ultimate success than many analysts in Government,in business, and in the academic community have lately professed. 1. Increasing Our Trade Surplus The time has come for us to improve our trade surplus by launching a powerful long-range export drive. Price and cost stability are essential ingredients of success in this endeavor. After out-performing our major competitors with respect to costs and prices in the period 1960-65, we did no better than hold our own in 1966. If we are to increase our market share in the future, as we must, we must again out-perform our major competitors in this important respect. With respect to export promotion, the Commerce Department has already greatly intensified its efforts. U. S. Trade Missions, begun in 1954 largely as goodwill tours, have been entirely recast as vehicles for hard-selling of American products, services, and investments abroad. - 6 - Attendance at Commercial Trade Fairs has climbed from 1.6 million persons in fiscal 1963 to an estimated 5 million in fiscal 1967 to date. The number of U.S. firms participating in these fairs has jumped from 147 in 1963 to 522 thus far in 1967 and may well exceed 1,000 by the end of the year. Commerce is now storing in computers vast new quantities of information on the international trading interests of 23,000 U.S. corporations. Of these, 10,000 are not now exporting but have indicated an interest in doing so. Commerce helps these novice exporters by suggesting a variety of established channels for distributing their products overseas. The recent report of the National Export Expansion Council (the so-called Kim~erly Report) struck just the right note, in my view, when it stated: "An export expansion program, projected for ten years, should be planned to analyze the total potential for American exports, market-by-market, based upon three kinds of growth: (1) a normal growth based on an expanding world economy; (2) a penetration growth based on taking business away fLom foreign countries which are competitors; and (3) the introduction of new products and services which are presently unavailable in world markets. "There should be an expansion of electronic data processing involving market information, trade opportunities, identification of prospective exporters, and the compilation of export data to permit tabulation of results." With respect to export financing, we have made progress in the last year in streamlining the operations of the Export-Import Bank. It has simplified its procedures. It has a new rediscount facility. New loan authorizations by the Bank are up 70 percent to an annual rate of $3.7 billion in fiscal year 1967. Additional measures to improve the quality and quantity of support the United States can give exporters in the field of finance are under active consideration by the Administration and the Congress. - 7 In the tax field, we have in the last year streamlined regulations relating to exports. The Government has under continuing review the relationship between tax systems here and abroad; if differences exist or should materialize that would put our exporters at an unfair disadvantage, we intend to take appropriate measures to correct the situation. The United States is extraordinarily competitive at the two extremes of the export spectrum -agriculture and advanced technology. The world food outlook is such that we can be optimistic about the demand for our agricultural production and our ability to supply greater quantities of food to help meet it. In advanced technology, our computer industry -- to cite one example -- has in the last fifteen years reduced the cost of making 100,000 calculations from $1.38 to 3-1/2 cents -- the kind of price reduction that does not show up in official statistics measuring national competitiveness. The nature of modern technology is such, furthermore, that it quickly "attaches itself" to other, more II humdrum" manufac tured produc ts (the machine tool is now often "computer-controlled") so that our technological lead -- if maintained -- should manifest itself across a growing range of export products. Thus, given an economic policy in which cost and price stability are emphasized, given adequate support by the Government in the fields of promotion, finance, and taxati.on, and given adequate interest by exporters themselves, we ought to increase our trade surplus substantially in coming years. We should certainly have that as a major national policy objective. A United States trade surplus $3-$4 billion higher than the $3.7 billion of 1966 is not going to create havoc domestically in an economy with a gross national product of $760 billion or in an expanding international trading world in which the exports of all countries currently exceed $200 billion. We have had a trade surplus of this magnitude before, in 1964. A return to such a level -- or new high ground -- is essential to a healthy solution of our paymens problems. - 8 2. Increasing Our Travel Receipts As one Washington economist likes to point out, a travel gap is really no different than a banana gap, or a steel gap, or a widget gap. The kinds of institutions and measures necessary to stabilize or narrow the travel gap -- $1.8 billion in 1966 -- are, in fact, similar to those necessary to increase our merchandise trade surplus. Last year, the U. S. Travel Service operated with a minuscule $3 million budget -- a budget that compares with $10 million for Canada, $10 million for Spain, $7 million for Mexico, $5 million for France, and $5 million for Greece. Imagine what could be accomplished with a major budgetary effort on the part of the U.S. Government -more funds not only for the U.S. Travel Service, but also for improved customs and reception centers, translation services, better park facilities, and so on. One can let one's imagination run wild in terms of a variety of actions -- governmental and non-governmental -that would increase foreign travel to the United States. For example: Why can't we have an attractive, comprehensive guide book for the United States, translated into a variety of foreign languages? Why can't we give foreigners "standby" status on domestic airlines similar to that given to students and military personnel? Why can't we fill thousands of empty university dormitory beds at vacation periods, pLovide revenues to the universities in question, and law cost lodgings to foreign student travelers? Why can't we develop a system of certified guides using U.S. students with a high level of foreign language proficiency and familiarity with U.Sv history and points of interest? - 9 Why can't our airlines fight harder at international air conferences for differential air rates encouraging traffic to the United States? Why can't we have a permanent World's Fair of Science and Technology -- a scientific Disneyland, located somewhere in the United States -- that would attract tourists and promote U. S. exports as well? We need more interest, more action, and more imagination by both the Government and the private travel business. I am h9peful that the new travel task force about to be appointed by the President will make recommendations for institutional arrangements and for increased budgetary support of such an effort. 3. Increasing Our Direct Investment Income There is much debate about the effect of direct investment on our trade balance. Some Analysts contend that the construction of manufacturing plants abroad preserves markets and promotes American exports. Others allege that the transfer of production from the United States to the foreign country results in a loss of U. S. exports. One does not have to resolve this debate to reach the conclusion that at the very least direct investment must be sufficiently profitable to permit corporations to send home a steadily increasing stream of dividend and royalty income. The surplus of income over direct investment outflow must grow. Recent performance on this score has been disappointing. Since the beginning of 1960, U.S,-contro1led corporations have invested $42 billion (net of depreciation) in new plant and equipment and working capital outside the United States. The annual amount of such investments -- financed from earnings retained from abroad, other foreign funds, and funds from the United States -- rose from $3.7 billion at the beginning of the decade to nearly $10 billion in 1966. According to our estimates, this $42 billion investment has produced an incremental return in the form of earnings and royalties of only about 7 percent. (I include retained as well as repatriated earnings in this calculation.) - 10 Since only about 37 percent of the financing for this investment came from the United States, the performance in balance of payments terms has been better but still inadequate. The annual excess of dividend and royalty income over direct investment outflows doubled, from $1 billion to $2 billion, in the period 1960-62. It has since remained on a $2-billion plateau. These poor results can be attributed, in part, to a number of special factors -- hopefully largely non-recurring. It would be difficult for corporate managements to increase domestic investments across a broad range of industries as rapidly as these expenditunres have been climbing abroad in recent years without making mistakes. The business of making investments abroad is inherently more difficult than making them here -- there are the added difficulties of language, distance, finding personnel. Mistakes have undoubtedly been made, and it seems reasonable to assume that recent rates of increase cannot be sustained on sound business grounds. There has undoubtedly been an element of "fashion" in recent overseas spending. A study last fall by a New York investment banking firm of 40 U. S. corporations accounting for 70 percent of U. S. direct investment in Western Europe indicated that almost half gave the desire "to be a worldwide enterprise" as the most important reason for making the investments in question; only 10 percent gave the desire to "earn a higher rate of return or profit margin" as the most significant motivation. Even the best conceived investments of the last two years may not yet be providing maximum potential rates of return because of start-up costs. Growth rates in certain important countries have slowed; favorable results have thus been delayed. The cost of financing abroad is higher than here. In response to the voluntary ~ogram6 administered by the Department of. Commerce, firms have - 11 been financing a larger percentage of their investment with funds obtained outside the United States 67 percent in 1966 as against 54 percent in 1960. The higher cost of foreign financing should have only a minor impact over the long run -- but it has its most telling impact in the early states of operation. Past investment ought to become more profitable as mistakes are corrected, and operating rates improve. Future investment decisions by business should be more selective and prudent. If these favorable trends can be coupled with a moderate further reduction of direct investment outflows from the United States as European capital markets adjust to higher levels of overseas borrowing by U. S. corporations, the excess of our dividend and royalty receipts annually over direct investment outflows -- could and should increase by $2-$3 billion by the end of the decade. Our present program and our long-range strategy are based on this premise. 4. Increasing Foreign Portfolio Investment in the United States. Just as the United States travel industry must regard the sale of U. S. travel facilities to foreigners as an export, so the ,financial community should look upon U. S. securities as exports. In exercising its fiduciary responsibilities, the investment community cannot, of course, put itself in the position of never recommending sales of domestic securities by foreigners. However, a number of the factors that make the United States a natural exporter of capital (its efficient money and capital markets make it cheap and convenient for foreigners to raise funds here) also make it a natural importer of certain types of foreign capital over the long run. The breadth of trading in our securities, the quantity and quality of information available on corporations, the speed with which information is transmitted to stockholders, the variety of investment instruments that are available (a new kind of mutual fund has recently been invented) make the United States a place where every long-term investor should put a portion of his savings. If he does, then outflows of other needed types of capital from the United States will be offset, in part, by these inflows, and we will have ~ more ratjonal~ ~if not perfectly balanced, two-way flow of funds. / - 12 The Fowler Task Force Report of 1965 addressed itself to this problem. Passage of the Foreign Investors Tax Act, designed to end tax discrimination against foreign investors, represents the latest and most important effort of the Government to ~mplement the recommendations of that group. The financial community is already hard at work selling securities to foreigners. It can probably do more. Is there any way in which the industry can organize itself, on a cooperative basis, to provide foreign investors with more up-to-date, consistent information on changes in securities regulations? to translate brokerage material into foreign languages? and to encourage more corporations to translate reports into foreign languages? Can foreign investment decision-makers be brought here more often and in larger numbers to visit companies uniquely American in managerial approach and in technological and merchandising skill? If such visitors were interested in obtaining first-hand exposure to United States economic policy-makers whose views are not irrelevant in investment decision-making top government officials would be at their disposal. Looking to the more distant future, should our stock and commodity exchanges view themselves in more global terms, open for longer hours, providing material in all major languages, and beaming quotations via communications satellites to the major financial centers of the world? - 13 There may be considerable scope also for investment in a variety of medium- and long-term U. S. instruments by those stewards of central bank assets who are more concerned with the creative utilization of their nation's reserves than with the preservation of sterile and outmoded traditions. As the Bible tells us, the steward who buried his master's talent in the sand was dismissed; those who wisely invested the talents entrusted to them earned their master's trust and praise. 5. Limiting Government Foreign Exchange Expenditures We in the Government must not delude ourselves or others that the balance of payments deficit will disappear automatically when the Vietnam fighting stops and our foreign exchange costs in Southeast Asia drop. They will drop -- and hopefully quite substantially -- but like the month of June, they may "bust out allover" again, in other forms,unless we exercise self-discipline and insist that other nations do their fair share -- in the military and economic assistance field -- in meeting joint responsibilities. We have already made quite an effort to hold down the foreign exchange costs of our military and economic assistance programs. We have tied our bilateral aid so that virtually all of our aid money returns to us in the form of exports. Our job now is to make sure that the exports we receive from aid-tying do not simply substitute for exports we would have received anyway. A Treasury-Cornmerce-State-AID team will begin visits later this month to a number of major aid-recipient countries to see how performance can be improved. We must intensify our technical assistance efforts, training personnel in less developed nations in the skills needed to sell and service U. S. products in their home countries. The United States Government should consider bringing more technicians from developing countries to the U. S. for training, not only in order to obtain exports while our aid programs are in progress but also after they have phased out. - 14 In the field of multilateral economic assistance, the emergent Asian Development Bank with 20 percent of the capital provided by the United States, and the rest by Japan, Canada, Western Europe and other regional donors represents the kind of burden-sharing necessary if the industrial nations are, together, to promote economic progress in the less-developed world in the decades ahead. With respect to other multilateral institutions, an increased U. S. contribution to the World Bank's soft loan window (International Development Association) will be contingent upon satisfactory balance of payments safeguards. The Executive Directors of the Inter-American Development Bank are looking at ways in which the balance of payments burden of their operations can be more equitably distributed. In the military field, the Defense Department has already taken a broad range of steps -- in the handling of procurement, construction, and personnel -- to minimize the balance of payments costs of its activities. It has accelerated the sale of military equipment. Trilateral discussions between Germany, the United Kingdom, and the United States, the results of which are to be announced today, have included consideration of the problem of equitable financing of required troop levels. The determination of a nation's "fair share" of economic and military assistance is not a simple matter. As Secretary Fowler recently stated, this issue can no longer be resolved solely by relating the size of a given country's contribution to the size of its gross national product. The form in which a donor provides aid, the terms of its aid, and its internat~onal liquidity position must be taken into account. With U. S. negotiators approaching these critical matters in this spirit, I am confident we will cut the foreign exchange costs of our various overseas commitments from present levels when the fighting in Vietnam stops. V. Surrunary What I have been suggesting today is that a marginal - 15change in world trading patterns, spearheaded by a well organized, long-range U. S. export drive, can increase our trade surplus by $3-$4 billion; that more profitable overseas direct investment and a continuation of our present strategy, which calls for financing more of that investment from overseas sources, will lead to a $2-$3 billion gain in our direct investment accounts; that a more vigorous effort in the travel field will enable us, at worst, to prevent further deterioration in the travel deficit; that better organized efforts to sell U. S. securities by the U. S. securities industry will lead to a secular uptrend in foreign portfolio inflows compared to the flat trend of recent years; and that governmental discipline and hard-headed negotiations on burden-sharing will enable us to reduce official foreignexchange expenditures. Together, these changes which do not alter the character of the United States' role in the international world -- could bring a dramatic over-all change in our balance of payments results. It would be naive to expect all of these things to happen quickly, or easily, or all of them to fall into place together in a given year. As we move toward equilibrium by reducing our deficits, other countries with payments imbalances in the form of surpluses must also move into equilibrium. The program that I have outlined above for the United States calls for adjustment in the trade surpluses of these countries, improvement in their capital markets, and the export of more capital from them on more generous terms to the less-developed world. Many countries have been seduced by the belief that time alone would yield a solution to their deficit. Milton Gilbert of the Bank for International Settlements has put it as follows: "In case after case in the post-war period we have seen deficit countries procrastinate and play around with half measures while the situation deteriorated, while reserves were drawn down, and while liquid resources were - 16 borrowed from abroad -- not because the need for policy action was not clear but because political difficulties stood in the way of firm action. And then, as the means of financing the deficit became scarce and a cr~s~s developed, such obstacles were brushed aside; the policy actions previously claimed to be impossible and unworkable suddenly became possible and did work." In the last resort, other deficit nations have invariably turned to a variety of restrictive devices to solve this problem: among them, controls on capital flows, on tourism, on trade; deflationary measures that have slowed demand for imports, increased exports, and at the same time thrown hundreds of thousands of individuals out of work. Surely these are not appropriate measures for the United States. Surely the United States has the time to solve this problem through the application of sound long-range measures. Today, I have tried to list the kinds of positive, expansionary measures that I believe will solve our problem. Taken alone, certain of the measures I have described will have a trivial impact. But the cumulative impact of all these measures could be great -- resulting in better business for the American businessman, greater long-range flexibility for the United States Government in international affairs; and a larger -- not a smaller -- economic pie for the world. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington .'"" .:) FOR RELEASE IN AFTERNOON NEWSPAPERS FRIDAY, MAY 5, 1967 REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE STANLEY S. SURREY ASSISTANT SECRETARY FOR TAX POLICY UNITED STATES TREASURY DEPARTMENT BEFORE THE INTER-AMERICAN CENTER OF TAX ADMINISTRATORS PANAMA CITY, PANAMA, FRIDAY, MAY 5, 1967 TAX POLICY AND TAX ADMINISTRATION The topic we are discussing today is that of the relationship between tax policy and tax administration. In the first conference of tax administrators to be held by the Inter-American Center of Tax Administrators such a topic is a fitting one. It serves to remind us of the purpose of the activities we are discussing at this conference. Put simply, administration serves to carry out policies and tax administration serves to carry out tax policy. The operational task of tax adminis tra tion cons is ts of the collection of tax revenues. Those revenues are to be collected within the framework of the laws that represent tax policy. Tax administration in the large consists of the efficient and effective processing of paper and the conduct of investigations to secure compliance in the payment of taxes. Those taxes are the constituent elements of tax policy. Tax administration is thus the agent of tax policy. Tax policy is therefore in the position of a principal whose position may be improved or damaged by the strengths or weaknesses of the agent. But the path runs both ways. Tax policy must be premised upon a realistic understanding and appraisal of the capabilities of tax administration. My purpose, based on my background of experience in the United States, is to explore some of the implications resulting from this relationship between policy and adminis tra tion. F-900 - 2 - First, tax administration serves as the bridge between decided tax policy and the taxpayer. Tax administration must therefore transpose tax policy to operations which are understandable to the taxpayer -- and, indeed, make the taxpayer understandable to the tax policy planners. The tax administrator must take the decisions of tax policy, expressed in the complicated form and language of legislation and regulations, and present them to taxpayers in a comprehensible manner that will enable taxpayers to understand and meet their obligations. The basic tools of the tax administrator for this purpose are the tax forms and instructions. Tax policy planners will inevitably here cast a real challenge to the tax adminis trators, for modern tax sys tems are complex and in many respects growing more complicated. It will take a high order of ingenuity, experimentation and innovation to meet this challenge. Moreover, the path of successful tax administration lies in having taxpayers undertake as much of the paper work of taxation as is possible -- filling out of tax returns and computation of tax liability, withholding of tax on payments of income to others, furnishing of information returns on such payments of income, keeping orderly books and records in accordance with proper accounting principles, and so on. This will permit the tax administrator to concentrate his limited resources on the tasks that his agency alone can perform and thus increase its productivity. But success in this effort lies in the administrator's ability to educate the taxpayer to his responsibilities. Essentially this task of the tax administrator as the bridge between tax policy and the taxpayer is to simplify the complexities of tax policy_ The often expressed goal of tax policy -- tax simplification -- thus relies for its achievement on the ability of tax administration to produce the most important aspect of simplification -- a readily understood and readily operative tax system. Second, tax administration in implementing decided tax policy must be fully consistent with the criteria of that policy. It is, of course, obvious that good tax administration can furnish more revenue than poor tax - 3 - administration and thereby provide a more favorable situation for tax planning. But poor tax administration is more than merely the collection of inadequate amounts of revenue. Poor administration often means the concentration of effort on one type of tax or one form of income to the neglect of the rest of the tax structure. Thus, for example, the administration of an income tax that focuses on the collection of that tax on wages and salaries, because it is easier to reach that form of income, and neglects the application of the tax to investment income or professional income or business income is not effective tax administration, no matter how successful it is in taxing wages and salaries. Its concentration on one form of income distorts the policy of the income tax and turns it into an inequitable measure. Even where tax administration conscientiously seeks a fair application of the income tax, outmoded or inefficient audit practices, both in the selection of cases to audit and in the techniques of auditing, can turn an equitable tax into an inequitable one because of its uneven impact on taxpayers in the same general class. The inability to spot new techniques of taK avoidance and to cope with them has a similar consequence. Of course, these defects of tax administration will usually be reflected in inadequate collections. But the point I wish to emphasize goes well beyond the poor showing in collections. Rather, it cautions that the essential structural characteristic of the income tax -- which generally causes tax policy planners to view that tax with favor -- that is, its equitable nature arising out of its relationship to ability to pay, is greatly diminished if in day-to-day administration this objective of the income tai is not achieved. Again, still using the income tax as an illustration, poor administration may consist of the retention of outmoded principles that can likewise affect adversely the fairness of the tax. Thus, insistence on outmoded and inflexible rules of depreciation, inventory practices, or accounting methods, can mean that in actual practice a tax dependent for its fairness on an accurate measure of net profits will be inequitable because of distortions in the determination of those profits. In countries where accounting prinCiples are well advanced, much can be gained through discussions between tax administrators and leaders in the - 4 accounting profession to determine the causes of disputes between tax administrator and taxpayer in the determination of the tax liabilities of business taxpayers, especially those utilizing the services of accountants. Third, tax administration must aid tax policy planning in as affirmative a way as possible. Up to this point I have been discussing decided tax policy -- existing taxes and tax laws -- and the responsibilities of tax administration in carrying out decided policies. But tax policy planners face the constant challenge of change -- change in economic and social goals, change in economic conditions. They must use fiscal policy in a responsive and responsible manner, and this generally means frequent changes in tax laws. New taxes, new adaptations of existing taxes through changes in their structure or their rates, the discarding of some taxes, these are the ways in which tax policy planners respond. But such response will not always be along a welltrodden tax path. New taxes and structural changes in existing taxes should prompt the question to the tax administrator -- Can you handle this plan, this suggestion, this proposal? Can you administer this? It may be a new withholding system, a system of current tax collection, a new pattern of exemptions, a way of taxing income earned abroad, a way of taxing foreigners, a method of taxing capital gains, a new exc ise tax. Whatever the change, these questions always invoke the responsibility of the tax administrator. Indeed, they are a challenge in the exercise of responsibility, for a sound answer calls for the application of informed and open-minded judgment. A tax administration afraid of innovation, comfortable in the status quo and in familiar routines, is likely to take the easier path by saying the new plan cannot be administered and then dressing up the answer with a veneer of administrative jargon and expertise. But in so protecting its comfortable existence it is false to its responsibilities. For the task of the administration is to serve tax policy and not to thwart it. These questions asked by tax policy planners should be met by the fullest exercise of ingenuity and innovative skill. The administrators should ask themselves, "How can we make the plan work? Has it been tried elsewhere and with what results? What are the possibilities of failure and what are the weaknesses, and what changes in the plan and the policy could offset them?" - 5 - This does not mean that every proposal of the policy planners requires a yes answer as to its feasibility. Some proposals can be unworkable. But the responsible tax administrator will remember that his client is the policy planner, and that the client will respect a no answer only if he has confidence that the administrator is basically seeking ways to make plans work rather than ways to find them unworkable. Fourth -- and here I shift the focus of responsibility to the policy planner -- tax policy has obligations to the tax administrator. It must seek to avoid loading unnecessary tasks on the tax administrator, or tasks whose performance drains away too much of his resources. The tax policy planner must therefore avoid structural factors in taxes that involve too much complexity for mass operations and instead must seek as far as possible to confine complexity to those types of taxpayers that can themselves administer the complexities. He must discard outmoded taxes, and alter tax rules that breed constant litigation. He must moderate tax rates where full and effective administration would make them too onerous. And he must seek to formulate wherever possible guidelines for administrators and taxpayers for those areas of the tax law that are phrased in general terms. A good part of recent changes in United States tax regulations and rules has involved the furnishing of such guidelines for example, in depreciation and in the adjustments of the accounts of related taxpayers, such as parent and subsidiary corporations or enterprises owned by the same taxpayer. Of course, the tax administrator must be alert to inform the tax policy planner of these trouble spots and seek his aid. Far too often tax administrators seem content year in, year out to struggle, sometimes resignedly and sometimes with spirit, with problems just not worth struggling about. Instead, they should be counselling with tax policy planners on how to surmount the struggle by a new policy that involves a different approach. The ta< planner must also be alert to provide tax administrators through his tax policy with modern techniques of tax administration -- such as withholding systems, current collection of taxes, the use of information returns, and so on. He must see there are no legislative impediments to the use of modern accounting techniques to measure net profits. And, above all, he should furnish the administrator with adequate funds and adequate power to secure proper personnel, - 6 - to train them well, to provide them with good working conditions, and to maintain ahlgh morale that induces competent and honest performance. Personnel in tax administration occupy a key position in the affairs of government. The policy planner must fully assist the tax administrator in securing and retaining competent personnel desirous of fulfilling that role. Against this general background of the broad aspects of the relationship between tax administration and tax policy, it may be helpful to consider some specific matters in that relationship which current and future events indicate are likely to require the attention of tax administrators. Put another way, given the likely path of tax policy changes in the years just ahead, what should tax administration be planning and preparing for. Availability of Data to Measure Effectiveness of Tax Policy. -- Tax policy planners are above all interested in the effectiveness of their plans. They want first to be able to predict as accurately as possible what will be the consequences of their tax proposals and next to be able to assess the actual effectiveness of those proposals that have been enacted and thereby have become decided tax policy. The fulfillment of both tasks requires adequate data. A considerable part of the economic and statistical data needed will come from outside the tax system. But much, perhaps most, can and should be produced as a product of tax administration. Predictability of the results that alternative tax plans will produce is greatly heightened by the degree of success that has been achieved in administering existing tax laws. A high order of success in the handling of existing tax policy -- accomplished through competent personnel, good methods and procedures, honest enforcement, a tax-paying public informed as to its responsibilities -- will permit the policy planner to have confidence that his revenue predictions for a particular proposal will be borne out in actual operation. He will be able to assume that a Similarly competent administration will be accorded to the new policy. On the other hand, weaknesses in the administration of existing policies are likely to be reflected in the handling of the new policies, absent specific policy changes to meet the problems that caused those weaknesses. - 7 - Hence tax policy planners need the data that measure. the nature of current operations -- and they need this data in accurate, reliable and understandable form. What is the degree of present voluntary compliance, what does it indicate as to whether taxpayers can take on new duties and obligations? What is the status of the processing of returns and other documents -- and are there such backlogs that new paper work will simply swamp the whole machinery? With the tax policy planner thus in a position to predict the degree of "administrative discount" that should be applied to a new policy proposal, he must then look to the tax administrator for whatever information the latter may have that will assist in shaping the substantive content of the new policy. Here he seeks a whole variety of facts regarding the taxpayers and activities affected by the proposal. The competence and currency with which data from tax returns and like sources are gathered will determine how fortunate he will be. Quite often, he will unhappily find that the existing data are quite sketchy. Still, tax policy must move ahead and the laws will be passed. But this shortage of initial information in the formulation of tax policy should be no excuse for a future lack of data with which to judge the effectiveness of the decided policy. Here the tax policy planner should collaborate with the tax administrator and indicate at the outset what data regarding tax effects under the new policy it would be helpful to gather for this purpose. Tax forms should be planned which will provide the data and the proper tabulations should be scheduled. Much of future tax policy will concern itself with economic development. Many countries will experiment with tax incentives and tax remissions, with special provisions shaped to achieve economic or social goals. These countries must be in a position to judge as well as possible whether the ends sought are being obtained, or whether instead the revenues foregone through tax incentives and remissions have become revenues wasted. Such revenue reductions are but expenditures of Government in another form. Like expenditure policies, their effectiveness must be assessed at frequent intervals, or else the tax system will be a collection of expensive but useless measures. It is well to remember that tax administrators are often the only link between the tax policy officials of one Administration to the next, so that only the administrators can provide the necessary collection of data. - 8 Planning For Broad-Based Taxes.-- In many countries tax policy planners will be seeking to broaden the base of the tax system and apply it to an increasingly larger portion of the populaCbn. The tax administrator in these countries must therefore constantly be assessing his organization from the standpoint of its capability for expansion of operations. He must not be content to see at present a smoothly purring organization and let it go at that. Instead, he must ask himself how well will the machinery be functioning a few years ahead under a heavier and perhaps different workload. Will it be able to handle more returns, the processing and audits of returns showing relatively small amounts of income, a greater variety of taxpayers and a greater variety of forms of income, and so an? How well will the present system adapt to the new methods and new technology in administration that lie just ahead? Ownership of Capital.-- Tax policy planners will be concerning themselves increasingly with the process of capital formation and capital accumulation. Their concern will involve many aspects and will in turn place many new and varied demands upon administrators. Only a few examples are needed to illustrate the point. The first example relates to the corporation-shareholder relationship and the evidence of that relationship. In the United states, the United Kingdom and some other countries, the basic corporation law requires essentially that shares of stock be in registered form. As a consequence the tax administrator is generally in a position to ascertain the ownership of a corporation and obtain the identity of the :individual shareholders •. Where stock is registered in the name of a nominee, the tax administrator has the authority to require disclosure by the nominee of the true owner. The trend in bonds and other debt obligations is also increasingly to the use of registered instruments. In other countries, however, bearer securities pzedominate and the task of the tax administrator -- and the policy planner -- is more difficult. In these countries tax administrators will have to devise ways to cope with the problems presented by bearer securities and work toward the use of registered instruments. Techniques will have to be developed, pertinent to the forms of security ownership and to the pattern of corporate organization, that will enable the tax administrator to trace stock and bond ownership. - 9 - Problems of a somewhat similar nature relate to other forms of private wealth. Thus some countries will be seeking, in connection with urban development, to dampen speculation in urban property and may turn to the tax system for this purpose, particularly the taxation of gains from sales of such property. Consequently tax administrators must develop techniques to keep track of changes in the ownership and value of urban properties. Indeed, tax administrators -- and the accounting and legal professions -- increasingly will have to see that the data pertinent to all important forms of wealth for the purposes of a tax system are available, so that policy planners are free to assess the policy implications of various plans against a background that can assume the general feasibility of their plans. Such data relate to the tax cost of property, ownership and changes in ownership, changes in values and in the character of use, current costs and capital improvements, and the like. Land Utilization. -- Land utilization is another major area to which policy planners will be directing their attention. There is often a tendency to defer agrarian reforms until cadastral surveys are completed, but such a complete survey need not be a prerequisite. Instead -- and until more is done -- tax administrators must develop a capability in measuring performance in the utilization of land and in devising simple techniques for identifying parcels of property so that their productivity can be determined and assessments levied, if a policy calls for it, according to the degree of utilization. Multinational Corporations and Common Marketso -- Modern international trade and investment have seen an accelerated increase in the growth of multinational enterprises -enterprises with a corporate headquarters in one country and with subsidiaries and branches located in many other countries. Generally these enterprises have had their headquarters -the parent or top corporation -- in developed countries. But the formation of a Common Market in Central America and Latin America is likely, in turn, to give rise as well to Latin American multinational enterprises with the corporate headquarters in one of the Latin American States and with the component units scattered throughout the other countries in the Common Market area. - 10 Tax administrators therefore will have to keep abreast of developments in this movement for a Common Market and to anticipate the problems of administration that will be encountered in their tax relationships with such multinational enterprises. The problem, of course, exists even today in connection with the multinational corporations operating in Latin America which have their headquarters in developed countries elsewhere. Indeed, administrators throughout the industrialized world are beginning only now seriously to grapple with the problems of tax administration involved in such multinational operations. For example, the United States is in the process of formulating the guidelines to govern the administration of the provision of its tax law requiring a proper allocation of income and expenditures among the component parts of these multinational operations. Moreover, the provisions in international tax treaties relating to this matter are now being more carefully analyzed and structured so that they will provide appropriate methods of international accommodation to the inevitable problems of allocation. Consequently Latin American tax administrators will find, in developing expertise and techniques to deal with the problems of allocation that arise in the context of the application of their tax systems to these enterprises, that they will also be putting themselves in a position to handle with confidence the issues arising under this aspect of double taxation treaties. Tax Flexibilityo I have several times referred to the necessity for tax policy planners to be alert to the need for changes in tax policies. More and more it is being recognized that tax policy has a major role to play in promoting economic growth accompanied by reasonable price stability. It is equally being recognized that the path to this objective is not that of rigidity in policy. Economic conditions, affected both by internal and international developments, can change rapidly and today's satisfactory tax policy can quickly become the course of disaster under changed conditions. The tax policy planner will therefore try to follow a flexible tax policy and to that end will be seeking to deter- - 11 - mine which kinds of taxes and which variations in those taxes lend themselves to such flexibility. For the most part policy planners are still in the learning state as respects a flexible tax policy and the tax tools for its exercise. The tax administrator must be in a position to accommodate his operations to this flexibility in policyo He must be able quickly to implement a decision for a temporary increase or decrease in the rates of income taxes or in the rates or scope of excise taxes. He must be able to cope with a sudden decision to suspend particular tax incentives and then to restore them just as quickly. It is this area of the execution of a flexible tax policy that the tax administrator and tax policy planner must work in closest harmony, for it is here that each will find his skills and insights placed under the greatest strain. The tax policy planner has his problems of short-range economic forecasting and of prediction as to the economic consequences of alternative courses of tax policy. The tax administrator will have his problems -- the load put on his operating resources through the need to implement sudden changes in course, especially if the changes involve new approaches. He perhaps can learn from the experiences of other countries which have gone through similar situationso Conferences such as this are one means of developing the communication of these experiences among tax administrators and policy planners. In conclusion, we can see that the overriding need in the relationship between tax policy and tax administration is a relationship of harmony, based on mutual understanding and info~med communication. Tax administration exists to carry out tax policy. This essential function can only be successfully accomplished if both the tax policy planner and the tax administrator share fully in a frank appreciation of the problems and goals of each other. The tax administrator must conscientiously strive to execute the tax policies that have been decided upon. He must, however, at all times give the tax policy planner a frank realistic picture of the existing operations and future capability. The tax policy planner must be realistic in the tasks that he sets for the tax administrator as the result of policy choices. Realism in the recognition of the problems - 12 of tax administration will come far more readily on the part of the tax policy planner if he feels in turn that the tax administrator is using all of his resources of skills, imagination and innovation to accomplish in a positive manner those courses of policy deemed appropriate by tax policy planners. The degree to which tax policy can serve in procuring satisfactory economic development and desirable social changes thus rests on the success that the tax policy planner and the tax administrator have in achieving this harmonious relationship. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE UNITED STATES AND ARGENTINA SIGN EXCHANGE AGREEMENT Secretary of the Treasury Henry H. Fowler, the Ambassador of Argentina, Alvaro C. Alsogaray, and the President of the Central Bank of Argentina, Pedro E. Real, today signed a $75 million Exchange Agreement between the United States Treasury and the Government and Central Bank of Argentina. The Exchange Agreement is for a one-year period. It is designed to assist Argentina in its efforts to promote economic stability and freedom in its trade and exchange system. The Agreement provides for the conduct of exchange operations, as deemed mutually desirable and advantageous. The United States may purchase Argentine pesos with dollars from time to time, and Argentina will subsequently repurchase the pesos. These operations will have as their objective maintenance of the stability of the U. S. dollar/Argentine peso exchange rate and, thereby, the promotion of confidence in the foreign exchange market and increasing trade and other exchanges between the two countries. The Agreement signed today complements the $125 million stand-by arrangement with Argentina announced on May 1, 1967 by the International Monetary Fund. 000 F-90l May 2, 1967 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE JOINT RELEASE OF THE TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD ON EXCHANGE OF LETTERS ON GERMAN RESERVE POLICY Public announcements were made today by the u. S., British and German Governments on the results of discussions among the three countries concerning their military forces in NATO and the balance of payments consequences of U. S. and U. K. troop deployments in Germany. The U. S. press release refers to the fact that the German Bundesbank, in agreement with the German Government, has made known its intention to continue its practice of not converting dollars into gold as part of a policy of international monetary cooperation. In this connection, the Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve Board are releasing herewith the texts of an exchange of le tters between the President of the Bundesbank, Karl Blessing, and the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, William McChesney Martin, Jr., concerning the Bundesbank's general reserve policy. Also released was the text of a letter to the Bundesbank from Chancellor Kiesinger, stating that the German Government supports the Bundesbank's policy. Attachments 000 F-902 Airmail April 13, 1967. The Honorable: Karl Dlcllsing, P::csident, Dcutuchc Bundellbank, Ta.unu&a.nla~e 4 .. 6 u Fl'tl.nluurt (Maln), Gc:zon1any. Dear Ka.rl: t am pl~aG cd to acknowled~o receipt or your leUe .. 30. 1967, toaetbcr with a copy of thi!r letter from Chancellor Kicaingcr to you of the io.me <!atc. or March Your letter speaks Cor itsct! recn.rdin3 the !lundc$oank'$ policy with. reli-pcct to convert.>lons of dollar. into gold from the U. S. Treo,$ury. a.nci tbe aupport of tAg Govcrn,ocJlt o£ the Federo.l RepubUc of Ocrmany £01' tbia policy i~ made aroply clear in tae Chancellor'. letter. 1 am deeply g~atc(ul {or your ef£orta and &.mdel'13t:::.nding in bringing thi. about and 1 am ouro it. will prove n-.utually very bGlpful. Please accept my warm appreciation. Wlth aU i00d wiab ••• Sincerely your •• Wm. Mc:C. MArtin. JI". DEUTSCHE BUNDESBA.N,K.. CER PRAsJDENT FRAHKJI'URT AJo\ MAlM. March 30 t 1967 wr. Wm. Mce. Mar t i n , Jr. Chairman of the Boa~d of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Was h i n g ton D.C. 20551 Dear Mr. Martin, There occasionally has been soma concern expressed in the United States that DM expenditures resulting from the presence of American troops in Germany lead to United States losses of gold. In this connection we would like to point out three things. (1) Changes in Bundesb~nk reserves reflect a combination of developments in all p~rt6 of the Germ~ balance of paycentsJ (2) Did expenditures for American troops in Germ3l1Y and compensating German military purch~3e8 in the United States are only two factors in that balance; (3) German foreign exchange reserves have ohown very little net change over the past several years. Furthermore, the situation should be viewed within the context of the general reserve policy of the Bundesbank. You are, of course, well aware of the fact that the Bundesbank over the past few years h~s not converted any of the dollars accruing out of German foreign exchange surplusses ,J~J r~·~ into gold from the United Treasury. The increases in our "gold reserves over these years came about mostly through gold sales of the IMF in connection with the DM purchases for the British drawings in the IMF and through our partiCipation in the Central Banks' Gold Pool. By refraining from dollar conversions into gold from the United States Treasury the Bundesbank haa intended to contribute to international monetary cooperation and to avoid any disturbing effects on the foreign exchange and gold markets. You may be assured that also in the future the Bundesbank intends to continue this policy and to play its full part in co~tr1but1ng to international monetary cooperation. (TIUSUTIOI) Fi':DEfU\i, REPUBLIC OF GERMANY THT<', FEDSIU\L CHANCElLOR Bonn, March 30, 1967 l'r. ](:-trl Blessinv, Frcsidnnt of the German Federal Bank (Deutsche Bundesbank) p .0,' Box 3611 6 F ran k fur t /Mai n Dear Nr. BlessinG: The Federal Government has taken note of the letter of March 30, 1967 from t.ho Dundeshank to the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board. The Fedel'al Government approves of the content of this letter and supports the policy of international monetary cooperation, reflected therein. The Federal Government bases its approval on the assumption that the American partners will consider the Bundesbank's declaration of intent to he a cnntribution toward facilitating the progress of the offset negotiations with respect to the period after July 1, 1967. The Federal Government has also taken note of the intention of the Bundesbank .. to purchase with reserve funds U.S. Government medium-term securities --. in the total amount of $500 million in four equal quarterly instalments, beginning July 1, 1967. Very sincere~ yours [signed] K i e sin g e r TREASURY DEPARTMENT FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $ 2,300,000 1.°00, or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for Treasury biils maturing May 11 1967 in the amount of $2,300,030,000, as follows: ' , 91 -day bills (to maturity date) to be issued May 11, 1967, in the amount of $1,300,000,000, or thereabouts, representing an additional amount of bills dated February 9,1967, and to mature Augus t 10, 1967, originally issued in the amount of $1,000,116,000,the additional and original bills to be freely interchangeable. 182 -day bills, for $1,000,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated May 11, 1967, and to mature November 9, 1967. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturi ty value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Daylight Saving time, Monday, May 8, 1967. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury DeFartment, Washington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of ~l,OOO, and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from responsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of TreasUry bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. - 2 Immediately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at th Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treas~ expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on May 11, 1967, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing May 11, 1967. Cash and exchange tende will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bi lIs are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunde: need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which t~ return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and thi notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained f any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT ( FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE MICHAEL BENSON NAMED STAFF ASSISTANT TO UNDER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY Michael Bensor. has been appointed staff assistant to U~der Secretary of the Treasury Joseph W. Barr. Mr. Benson has been a correspondent for Reuters (News Agency) Ltd., since September, 1965. Prior to that he had been Washington Bureau Chief of the American Banker. Mr. Benson, 31, has written for Finance magazine and the Christian Science Monitor. He began his career in journalism with the New York Times. He was born in New York City and attended public schools there. He graduated from Queens College of the City University of New York in 1958, and subsequently attended New York University Graduate School of Business Administration. Mr. Benson has been a member of the White House Correspondents Association, the National Press Club, the New York Financial Writers Association and the National Aviation Club. Mr. Benson is single and resides at Arlington (2115 North 18th Street) Virginia His parents, Mr. and Mrs. Joseph R. Benson, reside at Ardsley, New York. 0 000 F-904 STATEMENT BY THE HONORABLE TRUE DAVIS ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AND UNITED STATES EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR OF THE INTER-AMERICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON INTERNATIONAL FINANCE OF THE BANKING AND CURRENCY COMMITTEE, HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES }MY 3, 1967, 10 A.M. Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I am pleased to accompany Secretary Fowler and Assistant Secretary Gordon on their appearance in support of the proposal for an increase in the resources of the Fund for Special Operations of the Inter-American Development Bank. Secretary Fowler has presented you the reasons for the proposed increase. Assistant Secretary Gordon has given you the political and economic context in which the Inter-American Development Bank operates. As United States Executive Director of the Bank I would like to add some comments on the organization, management, and operations of the Bank. I might add that I make these comments against the back- ground of one having come into governmental service after a long career in domestic and international business. Under the Bank's Charter, the Board of Executive Directors is !lresponsible for the conduct of the operations of the Bank." In the fulfillment of this duty the Board takes an active, direct and continuous interest in the affairs of the Bank. As of April 15, the Board has authorized from all available resources 407 loans, totaling $2.037 billion. These loans are described in greater detail in the Report of the Executive Directors recommending these increases in the resources of the Bank. report is available as an annex to the present report by the National Advisory Council. F-90S Suffice it to say that the loans cover the broadest This - 2 spectrum of activities -- agriculture, education, health, industry and mining, water and sewerage, housing, transportation and electric power. They cover governmental and private loans, technical assistance and preinvestment financing, mUlti-national loans and regional development. In short, the Bank is the single most comprehensive lending institution which represents to our Latin American friends their Bank for the Alliance for Progress. This multitude of activities and responsibilities places a heavy burden on the Bank's organization and management and, of course, its Board of Executive Directors. The Board is expected to be familiar with the details of all loan transactions in order to determine whether or not they comply with the letter and spirit of the Bank's Charter. This involves a careful examina- tion of the economic, financial and technical analyses of the project as contained in the loan document. If the loan is not fully satisfactory, changes are proposed and referred back to the staff to negotiate with the borrower. Under provision of the Bank's Charter, loans from the Fund for Special Operations can be granted only if the United states Director votes positively for the proposal. In addition to passing on loan applications the Board makes determinations on matters of general policy and organization and is consulted on basic management problems by the management of the Bank. Under the Agreement, the United states appoints its Executive Director. The remaining six Executive Directors are elected by the Latin American members without participation by the United States. - 3- As required by the Agreement, the Executive Directors are persons of recognized competence. When the procedures for the election of the Latin American Directors were originally drafted in 1959, it was expected that Cuba would become a member of the Bank. When that country remained outside the Bank, the balanced Latin American representation which the election procedures were designed to assure was disturbed. The proposed Resolution on election to the Board of Directors would rectify this situation to the satisfaction of the Latin American members and would in no way affect United states representation or voting power in the Bank. Since the proposed Resolution involves an amendment to part of the Bank's Articles of Agreement, Congressional authorization is required in order that the United states Governor may vote for the Resolution. Since there are many development programs, national and international, operating in Latin America, there is an unquestionable need to look at coordination efforts. Within the United States government, the National Advisory Council is the forum where every loan is reviewed and we achieve effective coordination of this Bank's efforts with other United States and international financing agencies. With regard to the Bank, I am in wholehearted agreement with the statements contained in your recent report, Mr. Chairman, that coordination at the headquarters level and in the field is an absolute necessity to avoid duplication of effort and insure maximum Use of scarce capital resources. I believe there have been notable improve- ments in this area from the early days of the establishment of the Bank, - 4 both in relating overall country programs and performance to the Bank's activities and in approving and carrying out individual projects. We now have the Inter-American Conunittee for the Alliance for Progress, ClAP, which provides a multilateral framework to establish standards of performance, to spur self-help measures, and to evaluate institutional programs, including fiscal and monetary reforms. The CIAP also provides the forum where the AID, the IBRD, the Export-Import Bank, and the IMF and the IDB are able to meet together and exchange views and information and concert their efforts. The office of the Program Advisor represents the Bank in these matters. This office has in recent years moved into developing multi-year programs as part of a total country development strategy and has related these programs to the work of other external financing agencies, particularly to the United states bilateral efforts. Addi tionally, tIle Bank has been establishing and strengthening its field offices so that the dialogue goes on in the field as well as in Washington. There have been gaps in the past and there continues to be room for improvement. However, the AID Mission Directors in an annual meeting here in 1Nashington last week reported that the last year has shown major improvements. To assure that its organization and procedures are kept current wi th the increasing workload and modern techniques, the Bank has contracted with a leading United States management consulting firm. The Bank has established within its Operations Department a division of loan administration. This unit is focusing attention on the implementing actions needed to bring the loan into final fruition. q " - 5 - Also, a controller of operations with a small staff has been established to spot-check all operations and delve into particular problem matters. These organization units are additional to the usual internal auditor and audits conducted by Price Waterhouse and Company. The Baw<: has continuously been irrmroving its disbursement centrols and procedures. In order to hold out hope to the peoples of the Hemisphere that actions were underway to deal with their pressing economic and social problem.s, in the early stage of the Bank there were cases where perhaps loans were authorized too rapidly. As greater understanding of the development process and of working with external financial agencies has occurred, it has been possible to complete many conditions prior to the authorization of the loan, rather than authorizing the loan and the funds remaining unused until those conditions were fulfilled. Authorization of loans prior to contract signing enables the borrower to raise its contribution to the project, to carry out the final stage of the complete engineering plans, or to take other preliminary but essential action that it would otherwise not take unless it had the assurance that financing would be available. The Bank has established mechanisms which provide that disbursements will be made only as expenditures are incurred for specific goods and services and the conditions upon which the loan is made has been met. It is, therefore, possible to follow each item financed by the Bank from the determination of specifications and the placement of an order to the delivery of an item and its actual use in the project. As a general - 6 rule, the Bank engages the service of project engineers, consulting firms, and other specialists required for proper inspection and supervision of each operation with the borrower bearing these special costs. The Bank continues to accelerate its disbursements within the bounds of sound and careful management. At the end of 1965, 38 percent of the Bank's portfolio was disbursed; at the end of 1966 this was increased W 42 percent. The nature of many of the Bank projects in less developed countries requires that the period of disbursement be much longer than in the United states. There are also cases where the halting or slowdown of disbursements is necessary to accomplish the desired reforms, particularly in the pioneering efforts of loans for agriculture and education. In addition, the Board conducts a detailed review semiannually of the slowmovine and problem loans in order to take the necessary action, including cancellations. The Board and the management agree that funds cannot be earmarked and 'l1.'1spent with the needs of the Hemisphere so great and the resources limited. One important test of the ability of an organization is the calibre of its personnel. In general, the Bank has reason to be proud of the dedicated Harth and Latin Americans on its payroll. The Bank has at its top levels leading specialists in the agricultural, education, legal, economic, ~d engineering fields. Here again we cannot be satisfied and need to continue to improve the calibre of all personnel and representation of the United states talent on the staff of the Bank. As Secretary Fowler said at last week's Board of Governors' meeting, "I believe each of our - 7 - governments equally has the responsibility of assuring that the Bank has at its disposal - even if only for a relatively short time - the intellectual and teclmical best that the Hemisphere can produce. II I cannot close without calling your attention to the real accomplishments financed by the Fund for Special Operations and the Social Progress Trust Fund, listed in the Bank I S report, Socio-Economic Progress in Latin America, provided to the members of the Committee. There are listed the success stories in houses built, roads constructed, jobs created, savings and loan institutions established, school rooms being utilized, and agricultural credits provided. To summarize, the Inter-American Development Bank -- the Bank of the Alliance, the Bank of Integration -- is a truly multilateral institution, where the United States has an important role to play. As a multi- lateral institution it can do many things which are difficult to achieve bilaterally and the United States will continue to obtain many benefits from this arrangement. We are certain that the necessary coordinating arrangements and policies and control mechanisms are equal to the task before us, and that the development process is so dynamic that the necessary changes will be effected on the basis of experience and needs of the Hemisphere. STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE HENRY H. FOWLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON INTERNATIONAL FINANCE OF THE HOUSE COMMITTEE ON BANKING AND CURRENCY ON INCREASING THE RESOURCES OF THE FUND FOR SPECIAL OPERATIONS OF THE INTER-AMERICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK MAY 3, 1967 - 10 A. M. Mr. Chairman and Members of the Subcommittee: It is a pleasure to appear before you today in support of a proposal to increase the resources of the Fund for Special Operations -- the FSO -- of the InterAmerican Development Bank. The proposed legislation on this matter was transmitted to the Congress on April 28. There has also been submitted to the President and to the Congress a Special Report of the National Advisory Council on International Monetary and Financial Policies. This Special Report describes the background and the details of the proposal F-906 - 2 and includes a recommendation of the Council that the Congress act favorably on the proposal. I have also made available to the members copies of the Bank's latest Annual Report, for the year 1966. I have with me today the Assistant Secretary of State for Inter-American Affairs, Mr. Lincoln Gordon, and the United States Executive Director of the Bank, Assistant Secretary of the Treasury, Mr. True Davis. With your permission, I should like to make an intro· ductory statement on the proposal, after which I will call upon these gentlemen to supplement my remarks. Mr. Gordon will provide you with information on the general context in which the proposal is presented -- the Alliance for Progress and, most notably, the recent meeting of the Presidents of America in Punta del Este. - 3 Mr. Davis will testify regarding the Bank, and describe its management and its administration of the tasks entrusted to it by the inter-American community. * * * The Fund for Special Operations of the InterAmerican Development Bank was establi.shed as the socalled 'soft-loan window" of the Bank. It has long been amply clear that the less-developed countries cannot assume on conventional banking terms the capital required to advance their development. The problems of economic and social development are too vast, and the resource transfers required from the more-developed to the less-developed countries are too great. This has been recognized in our own bilateral assistance programs, which have long provided the more liberal terms appropriate for long-term development. Among the international - 4 institutions, the problem had been recognized prior to the establishment of the Bank by the creation of the International Development Association, IDA -- as an essential partner of the World Bank, to make loans on softer terms than was otherwise possible by the World Bank. As is the case with IDA, the funds to support FSO lending activities can be obtained only from member contributions. There are no private sources of funds on the soft terms required. The United States has participated in the concessional lending activities of the Inter-American Development Bank through two separate facilities -- the Social Progress Trust Fund, created by the United States and administered by the Bank, and the FSO. Through 1964, the United States contributed $525 million to the SPTF - 5 - and $150 million to the FSO. In 1965, however, it was decided to terminate further contributions to the SPTF, to assign the functions heretofore performed by it to the FSO, and to increase the United States contribution to the FSO as the sole remaining soft-loan operation within the IDB. In order to pro- vide for this expanded level of activities, the Congress authorized a U. S. contribution of $750 million in support of FSO operations foreseen through calendar year 1967. * * * It is now necessary to consider a further replenishment of the resources of the FSO. The last replenishment, as I have noted, was intended to provide - 6 for operations through 1967. The Governors of the Bank at their meeting in Mexico City in 1966 instructed the Executive Directors to study the position of the Bank's resources and possible needs subsequent to 1967, and to prepare a report and recommendations for consideration at the 1967 Governors meeting. You will find before you, as an Annex in the Special Report of the National Advisory Council, the Report which the Executive Directors submitted to the Governors at their meeting here in Washington last week. After considera- tion of the Directors' Report, I joined the other Governors in adopting a Resolution recommending that the Bank's members take the necessary steps, under their constitutional processes, to make effective an increase of the resources of the FSO, as recommended by the - 7 Executive Directors, beginning at the end of this calendar year. But in moving, as I have done, from the meeting of the Bank's Governors in Mexico and their meeting here last week, I have passed over a year of historic consequence to Latin America and interAmerican cooperation. This was a year of intense activity which culminated in the meeting of American Presidents three weeks ago, and the promulgation on April 14th of the historic "Declaration of the Presidents of America." The development of the Inter-American Development Bank in its brief existence has been profoundly affected by two great milestone events in inter-American cooperation. The first of these was the Act of Bogota - 8 of 1960. This brought us to recognize the key role of social development in economic improvement. Next was the Charter of Punta del Este, establishing the Alliance for Progress as the guide for all our efforts toward the betterment of the Hemisphere and the lives of our peoples. The replenishment of the Fund for Special Operations which we are now asking you to approve would be the first concrete imp1ementation of the third landmark event -- the Declaration of the Presidents, giving new vigor ~nd new directions to the Alliance of the Americas. The Report of the Executive Directors, the deliberations and actions of the Governors, and the proposal which is now before you have fully taken into account the decisions of the Presidents at Punta del Este. - 9 In accordance with these decisions, the Latin American members of the Bank have again resolved to increase and strengthen their own self-help efforts. This resolve finds its tangible expression in the proposal to double the future contribution of the Latin American members of the Bank to the Fund for Special Operations. For the three years 1965-1967, their contribution in their own currencies was the equivalent of $150 million; for the next three years, they propose to make contributions the equivalent of $300 million. Moreover, the principle of self-help is now being extended to that of mutual self-he1p_ The four largest Latin American members -- Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, and Venezuela -- propose to permit a substantial portion of their contributions to be used - 10 by the Bank to make loans to the other members, which are relatively less industrialized and have relatively weaker financial and resource capabilities. As is m2de clear in the Report of the Executive Directors, the future activity of the expanded FSO -- as well as the activity of the entire Inter-American Development Bank -- will be oriented especially toward those problem areas singled out for special attention by the Presidents. The urgent problem of rural modernization and improved agricultural production -- especially of food -- will be given the highest priority,as it deserves. I would not miss this occasion to note the extremely valuable contribution toward our understanding of the critical issues at stake, for Latin America and - 11 - the entire world, which was made last Fall by this Subcommittee and its distinguished Chairman. Your efforts have greatly influenced the approach to the problem reflected in the Declaration of the Presidents as well as in the policies of the Bank set forth in the Report of its Directors. Please accept my personal appreciation of your contribution. In addition to redoubled efforts in agriculture, the Bank proposes an extension of its activities in education and health in the directions laid down by the Presidents. And the Bank now proposes to move forward even more vigorously in the new direction agreed upon by the Latin American Presidents -- toward the multinational infrastructure required for the development of Latin America. - 12 To this end, the Bank has already established a "Pre-investment Fund" within the FSO to carry out the urgently needed feasibility studies and other necessary preparations for the execution of multinational projects. The Bank proposes to devote annually up to $100 million of its resources (both Ordinary Capital and FSO) toward the financing of such projects. Multinational projects will not only assist in bringing the Continent together by improved transportation and communications and beginning the exploitation of the vast physical resources possessed in common -- such as water and power -- but also further the Common Market objective which the Latin American Presidents have set for themselves. - 13 It was to meet this new responsibility to move forward with multinational projects that President Johnson, in his message to the Congress of March 13th, on the forthcoming meeting of the Presidents, proposed an increase of $50 million in the annual level of our contributions to the FSO, over and above the $250 million annual level of our contributions in the past. The proposal before you thus seeks your authorization of a $900 million U. S. contribution to the FSO over a three-year period. Such a U. S. contribution stands in a ratio of 3 to 1 to the proposed contributions of the Latin American members, in contrast to the ratio of 5 to 1 which applied in the last increase of FSO resources agreed in 1965. - 14 As Secretary of the Treasury, as well as United States Governor for the Bank, I have uad the responsibility to assure myself that the operations of the Bank -- as of the other international institutions -- are conducted in a manner consistent with our balance of payments policy. Beginning with their last expansion in 1965, loans from the U. S. contribution to the FSO were made subject to the same procurement regulations applied in the SPTF. Such funds must be spent in the United States, except in cases where the Bank may approve procurement in a Latin American member country when this is considered advantageous to the borrower. Dollar funds may also be used in the country of the borrower to finance local project costs, but the dollars must then be spent in the United States under - IS - special letter of credit procedures similar to those of our o~m bilateral aid program. The substantially enlarged Latin American contribution to the FSO now proposed will help to limit the use of dollars necessary to finance local project costs, and the Dank has also proposed to limit the use of dollars for local costs -- except for agriculture and education -- to the levels achieved on the average in 1966. The special letter of credit technique will also be kept under revi~l to improve its effectiveness. Taking Clccount of these meoClSt'res to strengthen U. S. export additionality associated with U. S. assistance, and on the basis of our experience in the SPTF, we estimate that about 90 per cent of FSO funds disburspd in the future will return to the U. S. - 16 I am happy to report to you that I have met ~17i.th complete understanding and cooperation on the part of the Bank in measures to safeguard the U.S. baLm,:e of ?Ayments. For example, I shoulc1 like to quote for you some passages from the recent Report of the Bank's Directors on the proposed increase in resources: "Many activities of the Fund require a substantial amount of local currency expenditure. However, in relation to the financing of local costs with dollars, recognition must be Given to the problem of the balance of payments of the United States, and the Bank will attempt to hold - 17 such financing to an appropriate minimum. The Bank is also striving to improve the present procedures whereby such local cost financing is carried out with the least effect on the United States balance pa)~entso In the light of these problems, which should be regarded as basically transitory in nature, the Bank and its members fully appreciate the difficulties inherent in United States responsibilities in the free world. Accordingly, the Bank proposes to cooperate in the greatest possible degree with the United States - 18 in meeting these difficulties by suitable measures, which obviously would be subject to review as conditions changed. The percentage of dollar financing for local costs will be established in accordance with the nature and priority of the projects but in such a manner that, on the average, this percentage, except in relation to education and agriculture, will not exceed the level which prevailed in - 19 At last week's meeting of the Governors, I was especially gratified to hear, in several of the public speeches and in a number of privste conversations, expressions of understanding regarding the U. S. balance of payments, of realization that our problem in this respect is also one of vital interest to the Bank and invididua1 countries, and of willingness to cooperate with the U. S. in finding ways to meet the problem. The Governors understand that we can afford to give assistance, bilaterally and through the Bank, in the form of real goods and services and nor in the form of financial transfers which might be used to increase or maintain purchases from industrial countries in payments surplus with the U. S. or for other purposes damaging to the U. S. balance of payments. - 20 - Although not a part of the proposal before us today, I should nevertheless like to inform the Subcommittee of a new initiative related to the Ordinary Capital resources of the Bank of considerable interest for the U. S. balance of payments. As the Subcommittee is aware, procurement with Ordinary Capital funds may take place anywhere in the free world on an international competitive basis. There has been increasing concern in the Bank that this procedure has benefitted a number of the industrial capital-exporting nations out of proportion to the resources these same countries have made available to the Ordinary Capital in the form of long-term untied loans or bond-issues in their markets. At their meeting last week, the Governors instructed the Directors - 21 to study this situation carefully, explore alternative courses of action, and adopt or propose corrective measures for implementation no later than January 1, 1968. A report of the Directors on this matter indicates that one of the basic principles underlying such measures must be the establishment of a link between the benefits which non-member countries derive from the Bank and the resources they provide, by limiting procurement to those countries making an adequate contribution to the resources of the Bank. * * * In concluding this statement, Mr. Chairman, let me stress the following thought: - 22 - If the Inter-American Development Bank is to continue to playa key role in this venture, and to take on the new challenge and responsibilities laid down by the Presidents last month at Punta del Este, it is essential that it have resources equal to the tasks it faces. That is the reason for the request we are making to replenish its Fund for Special Operations. I urge that you act favorably on this legislation at an early dnte. Thank you, Hr. Chairman. TREASURY DEPARTMENT FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE SECRETARY FOWLER CALLS FIRST MEETING OF THE JOINT COMMISSION ON THE COINAGE Secretary of the Treasury Henry H. Fowler has called the first meeting of the Joint Commission on the Coinage for Wednesday, May 24, at 10:00 a.m. in Room 4121 of the Main Treasury Building, Washington. Secretary Fowler is Chairman of the Commission, which was created by the Coinage Act of 1965 to advise the President, the Secretary of the Treasury and the Congress on implementation of the coinage program; needs of the economy for coins; standards for coins; technological developments and other considerations relevant to maintaining an adequate coinage system, minting of silver dollars and official maintenance of the price of silver. F-907 - 2 - Members of the Commission represent the public, the Executive Branch and the Congress. They are: The Honorable Henry H. Fowler Secretary of the Treasury Chairman The Honorable Alexander Trowbridge Acting Secretary of Commerce Mr. Julian B. Baird St. Paul, Minnesota The Honorable Charles Schultze Director, Bureau of the Budget Mr. Amon Carter, Jro Fort Worth, Texas The Honorable Eva Adams Director, Bureau of the Mint Mr. William C. Decker New York, New York The Honorable John Sparkman Senate Banking and Currency Committee Mr. Samue 1 M, Fleming Nashville, Tennessee The Honorable Wallace F. Bennett Senate Banking and Currency Committee Mr. Edward H. Foley Washington, D. C. The Honorable Wright Patman House Banking and Currency Committee Mr. Harry Francis Harringron St. Louis, Missouri The Honorable William B. Widnall House Banking and Currency Committee Mr. Eugene S. Pulliam Indianapolis, Indiana The Honorable John O. Pastore United States Senate Mr. Harry E. Rainbolt Norman, Oklahoma The Honorable Alan Bible United States Senate The Honorable Thomas H. Kuchel United States Senate The Honorable Peter H. Dominick United States Senate The Honorable Ed Edmondson United States House of Representatives The Honorable Robert N. Giaimo United States House of Representatives The Honorable United States The Honorable United States Silvio o. Conte House of Representatives James F. Battin House of R~presentatives oUo TREASURY DEPARTMENT ( May 4, 1967 MEETING OF JOINT COMMISSION ON THE COINAGE At the request of Chairman Patman of the House Banking and Currency Committee the first meeting of the Joint Commission on the Coinage has been changed to Friday, May 26 from Wednesday, May 24, 1967. 000 F-907A STATEMENT OF HONORABLE JOSEPH W. BARR THE UNDER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY ON S. 1352 SENATE BANKING AND CURRENCY C(l.1MI'rl'EE MAY 4, 1967 10:00 A. M. Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I appreciate the opportunity to appear before this Committee in support of S. 1352, a bill which would provide a basis for dealing with our silver stocks in an orderly way. To lay a foundation for understanding the need for this legislation I should like, with the Committee's indulgence, to review briefly the history of our silver policy during the last few decades. Under various acts and proclamations relating to newly mined domestic silver, and the Silver Purchase Act of 1934, we purchased, fram 1934 to 1959, 3 billion ounces of silver at an average price of 58.7 cents per ounce. Until the second World War, world production of silver exceeded consumption. Tbere- after, the trend reversed; however, it was not until 1959 that the combination of the needs of industry and others for silver and the Treasury's increased use of it for coinage began appreciably to exceed world production. The gap widened steadily, but for a time the Treasury was able to fill it by the sale in the market of silver from its non-monetized stockpile. The increased demand for silver for industrial and other use was in that way satisfied temporarily. By November of 1961, however, it became clear that the unrestricted sale fram our non-monetized stockpile could not continue and on November 28 of that year President Kennedy, upon the Treasury's recommendation, directed that - 2 - the sale of this silver be discontinued and that our coinage needs be met by using silver released through the retirement of unfit silver certificates of the $5 and $10 denominations. As you know, the Treasury's monetary use of silver was not limited to coinage. By law a portion of the silver purchased under the Purchase Acts was required to be used to back silver certificates, most of them of the $1 denomination, the only currency of that denomination then being issued. Also, to the extent that the public's needs for $1 bills did not require the use of all of our silver excess to'our coinage needs, we had issued some silver certificates of the $5 and $10 denominations. By 1961, it had became evident, however, that our existing stocks of silver could not for long accomplish both purposes, that is, provide silver for coinage and backing for silver certificates. Consequently, the issuance of $5 and $10 silver certificates was stopped. the drain on silver but not enough. This reduced Therefore, the Treasury proposed and the Congress enacted the Act of June 4, 1963, Public Law 88-36, which accomplished two things. First, it authorized the Secretary, at his option, to redeem silver certificates with silver bullion instead of silver dollars. Our supply of silver dollars, which had not been minted since 1935, had dropped from more than 500 million at that time to 81 million by 1963. Second, the Act authorized the issuance of $1 Federal Reserve notes to be substituted for $1 silver certificates. of that year they were in production. In November From November of 1963 until October - 3 of 1964 both $1 silver certificates and $1 Federal Reserve notes were issued. By September of 1964 we were producing enough $1 Federal Reserve notes to satisfy the needs of the public and in early October the issuance of silver certificates was stopped altogether. In the meantime, because of the suspension of the unrestricted sale of our silver to the market, the market price of silver began to rise. From a price of $0.91 in 1961, it gradually rose until in 1963 it reached the price of $1.29+ per ounce, the monetary value of silver. We could not allow the market price to rise much above its monetary value because this would threaten the continued circulation of our silver coinage. It would become profitable to melt subsidiary coins for their silver content at about $1.40 an ounce. Therefore, beginning on July 23, 1963, the Treasury offered to the public silver bullion at its monetary value in exchange for silver certificates. It was not necessary to require, however, that silver certificates be presented physically in exchange for bullion. out doing so. A simple procedure made it possible to obtain silver withsubstantial amounts of unfit silver certificates were being retired each day, and an arrangement was made whereby persons wishing to acquire bullion would request the New York or san Francisco Federal Re- serve Banks to purchase unfit silver certificates which were in the process of retirement and exchange them for bullion. This worked satisfactorily and as bullion was released an equivalent amount in unfit silver certificates was retired. - 4Until recently, the rate of retirement of unfit certificates exceeded bullion losses through this exchange method, and, since no new silver certificates were being issued, we were able to accumulate a supply of unencumbered silver in excess of 300 ~illion ounces. year and a half, however, that trend was reversed. During the last Bullion losses began to exceed certificate retirements, and the sale of free silver at its monetary value, as authorized by the Coinage Act of 1965, coupled with the use of silver for coinage, has reduced our uncommitted silver to about 90 million ounces. After silver ceased to be used for the purpose of backing new issuances of silver certificates, it became necessary to find a substitute for silver for coins. After an exhaustive study, we recommended and the Congress enacted the Coinage Act of 1965, which authorized the substitution of nickel and copper for silver in our dimes and quarters and reduced to 4~ the silver content of the half dollar. This Committee and the Congress as a whole quickly recognized the urgency of this problem and acted responsibly and with alacrity. We have now reached the point at which further action is necessary. At the present time, we have total stocks of silver of about 520 million ounces. Of this amount, almost 430 million ounces are required by law to be held as reserves for $555 million of silver certificates outstanding. This leaves only about 90 million ounces of so-cal1e d "f ree available. S~°1ver II - 5We are asking the Congress, therefore, to authorize the Secretary of the Treasury to write off an amount of outstanding silver certificates which he determines have been lost or destroyed, or are held in collections, and will never be presented for redemption. on the basis of past ex- perience we know that not all of the outstanding silver certificates will be returned for redemption. Many of them have been lost or destroyed and many more can be expected to be held by eollectors. Experience would indicate that at least $150 million could be written off immediately, thus freeing about 116 million ounces of silver. After further experience with the trend of retirements of silver certificates we might be able to write off an additional amount. We are also asking the Congress to provide that holders of silver certificates would have one year fram the date of the legislation to redeem their silver certificates for silver if they desire to do so. After one year silver certificates would continue to be legal tender on a par with Federal Reserve notes, but they could no longer be redeemed in silver. This is a perfectly reasonable prOVision which recognizes the fact that we cannot permit one form of currency to acquire a speculative value in excess of that of other forms, but at the same time provides an ample period during which those who presently hold silver certificates may acquire silver if they wish. Since the passage of the Coinage Act of 1965, our mints have accomplished an amazing feat of producing in the short space of 21 months the unprecedented amount of 7.8 billion of the new subsidiary coins. At the - 6 present time, we are approaching the limits of capacity of our facilities for storage of new coins available to be issued if needed. It is our belief that we probably have in circulation, in inventory, and in production, a sufficient amount of the new coins so that if the existing silver coins in circulation should begin to disappear, we would have enough coins to meet the country's needs. However, it is difficult to estimate the total needs of the country for coinage, and we feel that we can take no chances in this regard. Accordingly, we are continuing heavy production of the new coins at all of our mints to insure an amount of the new coins in circulation and in inventory which, according to every estimate, will be more than sufficient to meet any potential needs of the country for coinage. The Joint Commission Act of on The Coinage established under the Coinage 1965, to which I will refer more later, will, of course, want to sat!sfy itself that we have and are making enough coins to meet the needs of the country. During this interim period, particularly between now and the end of this year, we must have available sufficient amounts of free silver to sell to industry at the monetary value of $1.29+ per ounce in order to maintain the market price within a narrow margin of this figure. Were we to stop selling silver, the market price could be expected to rise rapidly. Once it exceeded the price of $1.40 per , ounce the silver coins in circulation would have greater value as silver than as coins and would undoubtedly be withdrawn from circulation in substantial mnounts. - 7 The question may be asked as to whether the Administration, by asking for this legislation, is not invading the province of the Coinage Commission. In our opinion, this legislation is necessary to preserve the options which the Coinage Act of 1965 placed in the Coinage commission. The Coinage Act instructed the Commission to review and make recommendations upon such matters as the needs of the economy for coins, the standards for the coinage, technological developments and the availability of various metals, renewed minting of the silver dollar, other considerations relevant to the maintenance of an adequate and stable coinage system, and lithe time when and circumstances under which the United states should cease to maintain the price of silver." Enact- ment of S. 1352 will make it possible for the Coinage Commission to consider these and related questions in an objective way without being placed under the pressure of dealing with an emergency situation. The President has recently announced his designation of members to serve on the Coinage Commission. The Congress had previously designated its representatives to serve on the Commission. It is planned that the Commission will be convened and commence its studies promptly. The first meeting of the commission has been tentatively set for May 24, 1967. Early next year its findings and recommendations should be available to the Executive branch and to the Congress, and may serve as the basis for any ultimate legislation which may be needed with respect to silver and our coinage. In the meantime, the bill before you will make it possible - 8 to maintain the status quo. Before closing I should like to refer to one additional issue which has been raised in connection with this proposed legislation. That is the issue of setting aside silver for the national stockpile of strategic metals. Since it is necessary at present for us to continue to hold the price of silver at $1.29 in order to protect our coinage, and since we will remain obligated for a period of one year to redeem all silver certificates presented for redemption, we cannot transfer silver to immediately. ~ stockpile However, we are as certain as we can be that a very large percentage of the outstanding silver certificates will never be presented for redemption with the result that we will have at the very least 200 to 250 million ounces of silver remaining after one year, when we will no longer be obligated to maintain silver as a reserve for silver certificates. Therefore, we would have no objection to an amendment to s. 1352 which would provide for the transfer at the end of one year of 165 million ounces of silver to the national stockpile. draft amendment which would acccmplish this purpose. This . . . . .eat. 18 identical with that adopted by the House Banking and CUrrency Committee this week. I strongly urge you to report favorably on this bill and to recommend its enactment as being in the public interest. Attachment Amendment to S. 1352 to provide for transfer of silver to the stockpile Page 2, at the end of line 5 insert: "upon the expiration of one year after the date of enactment of this Act, the Secretary of the Treasury shall transfer to the General Services Administration not less than 165,000,000 fine troy ounces of silver as a reserve for national defense purposes. The disposition of such silver shall be governed by section 5 of the Strategic and Critical Materials Stockpiling Act, as amended (53 stat. 8ll; 50 U.S.C. 98a-h). " Page 2, line 12, inunediately after "States" insert: "(other than silver held subject to section 5 of the strategic and Critical Materials Stockpiling Act)". Analysis of Chanqes in U. S. Treasury Silver Stocks Since 1958 (In millions c Bullion exchanged for silver certificates Calendar Jear 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966: Jan. Feb. March April May June July August Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1966 1967: Jan. -38.2 -41.4 -46.0 -55.9 -77.4 -111.5 -203.0 -320.3 -14.9 -8.2 -5.7 -3.7 -1.4 -2.5 -1.3 -2.7 -3.4 -4.2 -2.3 -3.4 -53.9 -3'.9 -4.5 -19.0 -141.4 -77.4 -3.3 -9.5 -11.1 -12.6 -16.4 -15.1 -12.4 -18.0 -17.0 -9.1 -11.1 -4.9 -140.6 -20.0 -10.4 I Silver dollars OtherJl causes of ~ troy ounces) 'lotal change SilverY stock atti end of Tn h 1 ..-- Memorandum: Bullion equivalent of silver certificatesYat end of period He d Y F .R. Banks Total :L +142.8 +91.9 -12.7 -46.3 -15.7 +10.8 -16.2 -67.7 -5.5 -23.8 -49.8 -129.5 +10.4 -27.4 -94.4 -51. 5 -2.0 -184.0 -19.8 , -2.1 1-366.3 -16.7 1-414.4 -.9 Ii -19.1 -1.5 -19.2 -16.9 - .1 -20.1 -3.8 -20.1 -2.3 -1.2 -18.8 -.5 -14.2 -2.2 -22.9 -.8 -21.2 +.2 -13.1 -.8 -14.2 -9.6 -1.3 I -14.9 [-209.4 -2.3 I -261"2 • I ! -,3.0 -17.91 -18.4 . ! .21 +.6 I I 1 I I 2,106.2 2,059.9 1,992.2 1,862.7 1,768.3 1,584.3 1,218.0 803.6 784.5 ?65.3 748.4 728.3 708.2 689.4 675.2 652.3 631.1 618.0 603.8 594.2 594.2 568.0 550.1 531.7 1,683.5 1,651.1 1,632.0 1,616.3 1,536.0 1,440.4 952.3 503.4 486.4 478.3 471. 0 461.3 456.4 449.8 444.8 440.4 437.8 436.3 433.9 431. 8 431. 8 427.9 426.5 188.3 209.3 215.9 191. 2 177.5 105.4 82.1 24.7 29.4 26.0 20.3 19.7 13.0 13.4 13.4 12.3 10.2 7.2 5.9 6.8 6.8 7.9 6.8 1,871.8 1,860.4 1,847.9 1,807.5 1,113.5 1,545.8 1,034.4 528.1 515.8 504.3 491. 3 481. 0 469.4 <153.2 458.2 452.7 448.0 443.5 439.8 438.6 438.6 435.8 433.3 Feb. Mar. EI -6.0 E/ -13.0 , Includes purchases, lend-lease returns, net sales and transfers to Government agencies, sales to industry during 1959-1961, variation in the amount of subsidiary coin und bullion held in the Treasurer's General Account, and a residual discrepancy arising from the fact that coinage and bullion exchanges are shown here on a Mint accounting basis while the total change in silver stocks is shown on the more widely available Treasury Daily Statement basis. VAs shown in the Treasurv Daily Statement. The total includes approximately 64.8 million ounces held by certain agencies of the Federal Government. Y Issued after June 30,1929. EI Preliminary. Source: Trei3sury Daily Statements, Circulation Statements and unpublished material. Table 2 TABLE l.--Estimated Free World Silver Consumption and Production. 1949-66 (In millions of fine troy ounces) Co inane Deficit Industry and the arts Total conswnption U.S.A. CDlrndlir ye~lr (1) Coinage foreign New production Indicated deficit (-) excluding (4) (5) (6) all coinage dem.11l<) (-) Total coin,1gc (2) (3) - .-.1949-53 average ... 1<JYl-57 average.,. 1958 .... .............. 1959., ......•..•. \ 153.1 190.1 190.5 212.9 22l,. () 1%0 ..... , . . . . . . . . 1CGi ' -,. '.t rev - • \.1., •••• , I, 1 ~' () 2 ( ,_~ c v • ) . ~ . • ~ 0 .. 2:.\').5 :')3.5 U)O.7 ' (j: ," \/ . ) , . • " . . . : '. i ()l 1 {)e,/, (l· ...·V. i ....... 1 {) () 5 ~ ~ i 0 'I {o(-l) J' .. • • .. .. .. .. Q .. .. .. '\Dif I .,;. i • :) G. () 5 3:·~, ••••••••••••••• 0 -------SOllrt'\,: Column~; 3().5 37.5 :W.2 1,1.4 I, (). 0 55.9 77 .4 111. 5 20J.0 320.3 53.9 t.S.2 36.0 /f 1.3 f,·5.0 57.'J S1.2 50.2 r,/f . 9 (,L,. 1 55.3 53.i) 8/,.7 73.5 7lJ.5 H() ./f 103.9 137.1 127. () H,() . If 267.1 375.6 107.7 237.8 261.6 270.0 299.3 328.5 376.6 386.1 lf27. 1 571. 3 722.2 464.2 173.9 191.0 205.8 188.4 206.9 203.2 209.0 214.6 210.7 215.3 231.0 -63.9 20.8 -72 .6 -61L 2 -110.9 -121.6 -173.4 -177.1 -212.5 -360.6 -506.9 -233.2 .9 15.3 -24.5 Ii -17.7 -36.3 -49.5 -/f6. 1 -93.5 -1.31.3 -125.5 ---- (1) :mu (2) are 11'011\ lI:mdy "nd 1I.1rman, Annual Revi.ews. Column (4) i.s uerived from the \oIor1d LOt,lls l'uhlisht·J in the Annual j{cporlso[ the Director of the Mint and compiled by the Bure.lu of Mines, except for }')6G which :is from H.mely E, 11;1l11l~m's 1966 Annu:l1 Review. Production for the following countries has been suhtr,'cted frol11 the world totals: C;:echoslov;-.)<i,1, E.:1st Cerlll.1ny, lIunGary, Rum,:mia, Poland, U.S.S.R., Chin,1, and North Korea. Table 3 S11 vee Certifica Sma 11 Size Issued, Redeemed, and Outstanding Gi'lendar Year 1961 196? '" 1963 1914 19'5 191>6 January February March April May Tune Tuly August September October November December Total - 1966 Issued Equivalent of ounces @ 1.29+ Amount 970,360,876 891,018,563 741,868,876 345,089,250 Redeemed Equivalent of Amount ounces @ 1 29+ $1,254,608,000 1,152,024,00° 959,184,000 4 4 6 , 1 7 6 , 0 0 O'1 I I I I I I I I I I I I 1967 988,842,671 987,327,293 907,975,733 857,322,949 510,502,262 Source: I Currency ledgers in U. S. Trea surer's Office. 1,817,424,234 $2,349,801,028 2,224,634,186 1,720,615,505 2,009,869,765 1,554,508,648 1,347,587,812 1,042,274,949 687,544,484 531,772,687 $1,278,503,654 1,277,190,842 1,173,948,421 1,108,457,953 660,043,328 12,003,637 12,179,939 14,356,287 , 10,465,266 10,350,312 6,758,200 5,462,484 6,109,509 4,633,166 4,667,987 2,711,123 I 2,112,320 I 91,810,230 I 2,707,306 January February 3,164./357 2,239,816 March *Issue of silver certificates discontinued October 1964. -----~ Outstanding End of Period Equi va lent of Amount oun~es (a) 1 29+ I I I 15,519,854 15,747,800 18,561,664 13,530,849 13,382,222/ 8,737,875 7,062,606 7,899,163 5,990,356 6,035,377 3,505,290 I 2,731,080 118,704,136 i I' 3,500,355 I f 4~091,290t 2,895,924 519,769,050 507,589,111 493,232,824 482,767,558 472,417,246 465,659,046 460,196,561 454,087,052 449,453,886 444,785,899 1 442,074,7771 439,962,457 I 439,962,457 ! 672,024,630 656,276,830 637,715,166 624,184,317 610,802,095 602,064,220 595,001,614 587,102,451 S 81 , 112,095 575,076,718 571,571,428 568,840,348 568,840,348 437,255,151 434(090,794 431,850,978 565,339,993 561,248,703 558,352,779 ~. -- --- I Table 4 Balance of Unobligated Silver Fine troy ounce s Fine trOY ounce s 1966 Dec. 31 9,316,071 Jan. 31 Feb. 28 March 31 April 30 May 28 June 30 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 21,782,451 34,858,034 11,955,943 41,838,514 36,622,914 30,372,231 47,389,683 41,193,304 41,841,469 72,126,924 111,076,708 150,279,688 Jan. 29 Feb. 28 March 31 April 30 May 28 June 30 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 29 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 173,453,081 207,456,180 237,534,851 272,833,253 272,630,144 295,181,641 301,790,451 325,158,600 310,038,501 298,109,717 282,281,615 271,845,717 Jan. 31 Feb. 28 March 31 April 29 May 31 June 30 July 29 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 264,763,644 257,693,663 255,174,576 245,505,248 235,815,939 :23,763,203 215,004,080 198,172,851 181,687,234 173,185,839 161,707,676 154,283,359 1967 Jan. 31 Feb. 28 March 31 130,757,145 116,043,701 99,851,803 Source: Daily Treasury Statements '1';) b l~) 5 United Stutes currency '.'!fitton off pursuant to Old Series Currency Adjustment Act, approved June 30, 1961 Public Law 87-66 .J ---CUmulau-;;;--l---.-----.---.---------- ------ _J~ind of Currency~_____ Treasury Notes of 1890 r=-october 196!1 total issued $447,.435,000 Gold Certificates issued prior to July 1, 1929 --w~itt-;~ - - -. --j Outsca~di,;';- August l~ November 1964l.-.-.ill[lJ><-_l9..f)J)___ 1__T_Q1;I---~---ll:_L9Jlli.. $1,000,000 13,447,187,300 -Off'-'- ------ -.- -- $9,000,000 $100,000 $31,000 $1,131,00 $10,534 6,000,000 1,600,000 16,600,00 745,429 Gold Certificutes issued Jul~/ 1. 19~9 iwd :-:,~C:~~:;l~t ~!~01-":'tOI SLlb- r>'\.:('''r't ?:5 Cll ,SflO,OOO Seri0;, 193t1 7,350,000 /;350,000 3,4%,690 Silver C'ci.\..lfic~L(;s iS~llcd prior to July 1, 1929 12,371,855,800 15,000,000 14,500,000 280,000 29,780,000 I Ii 0,814 14,081,209,155 15,000,000 13,500,000 420,000 28,920,000 210,46-5 Federal Reserve BiJnk Notes issued prior to July 1, 1929 761,9<14,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 63,000 2,063,000 30,442 Federal Reserve Notes issued prior to July 1, 1929 19,971,560,000 18,000,000 14,000,000 2,450,000 34,450,000 1,193,087 Ni'ltionul Ban)( Notes issued prior to July 1, 1929 Uniied Sliitcs jToi:cs i S;'llCd prior to July I, 1929 8,903,1\2'1, 808 1 7? :5'/9.1 "" . ..- 'J'OLU 1 Source: C1.lf(;IICY J.cd(v~n; U. S. n<;'"ll 'frl!U~;\I"(:r's o~r;cc. 1 1 • ___ I__ ?:.~_!..Q.Q_~L9...Q_~__.I_._.L4.!L_OPJ)__ ;__.J_1...,_L1.£,_QOQ f)0~., ~_;o-~T~,~,'_~9~~~OO t.. '/1.1_00 ,_Q.QQ. .I J 2_, 3_1 (l_.JJ9.Q '__ J.'H ,."J.n, 000 ,1__ .__ 7.?, .~ll ,~tl?. _. S ,:)0<) Table 6 United States Silver consumption and sources of supply Calendar Years of 1949 through 1966 (In mil1i:ms of fine troy ounces) ! I Average, , Industria 1 consumption L9SS: New production Ii 97 • 4 38.1 1101. 0,Ii 102. 0 ; 23.0 36.8 59.3 36.6 I 41.4 7B.O I--~--~j-- Difference l\dd: U. S. coinage Equa Is: Indicated deficit .. Accounted for by Net commerci<ll imports Lend-lease, returns (-) Cha nge 1,n TreD sury stocks Totol accountea for I ! I I 95.9 -BO.9. ~S.2 (Rev.) II 0 . 4 34L9_~,~_36~ I--~---T- I' 70.6 55.9 I 1966 - 74.1 77.4 110.0 120.5 131.0 150.0 35---.Jl 17.0 19~0 A?O 75.0 111.5 83.S 203.0 98.0 320.3 108.0 53.9 : ! 119.4 111.2 , ,1-55.3' ,-29.5 I -15.7 -67.7 1-45.°, j-46.3 , I I I I I, 126.5 !-112 • 9 1B(;.5 151.5 I -30.5 :-145 .6 _ 16.0 i I +15.4 -96.0 105. 5 /1. 1965 418.3 I Ii -9.1 -10.4 1-129.5 I -63.3' -32.5 +55.7 -12.2 +22.3 -366.3 -414.4 -209.4 -310.6 -426.6 ::l.£!7~ -8.31 .... -94.4 I I ;-184.0 , I 1-149.0 -166.0 [-216.5 ,-~.--------, -'-.-~ Discrepancy 6ninu5 values imply net additions to domestic inventory) -.1 j I 1- 27 • 2 I -1.7 -22.5 -14.5 -30.0 1 ,) -24.1 -8.3 -25. Z--':-. Source: Const'mption, coinage, and proG'.JcUon datu from Annual Reports of the Director of the Mlnt, except for 1966 when const.:mptlon und production are frorn Handy & Horman's 1956 Annual Review. Net commercial imports from Handy & H Qrmo n' s l\nr:ua 1 r~Gview sand Minera Is Yearbooks. Lend-lea se returns from Annua I Re~orts of the Director of the Mint. ChQnge In Trcusury silver stocks from Treasury Daily Stu:ements. TREASURY DEPARTMENT FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE PRELIMINARY RESULTS OF TREASURY REFUNDING Preliminary figures show that $11,718 million, Or 52.9%, of the $22,142 million securities of the five issues eligible for exchange have been exchanged for the two new notes included in the current refunding offer. About $10,379 million, or 92.9-/0 of the $11,177 million outstanding, were exchanged by holders of securities due May 15 and June 15, and $1,339 million, or 12.2/0 of the $10,965 million outstanding, were exchanged by holders of securities due August 15. Subscriptions total $6,431 million for the 4-1/4% notes of Series C-1968 and $5287 , million for the 4-3/4% notes of Series B-1972, of which $2,001 million for the 4-1/4% notes and $2,711 million for the 4-3/4% notes were received from the public. , Of the eligible securit.ies held outside the Federal Reserve Banks and Government accounts $ 3,429 million, or 81.510 of an aggregate of $4,207 million, of May 15 and June 15 maturities and $1,283 million, or 26.5 10 of an aggregate of $4,839 million, of August 15 maturities .Tere exchanged. Following is a breakdown of securities to be exchanged for the new notes (amounts in millions) : Amount SECURITIES TO BE ISSUED 4-3/4% 4-1/4% Notes Notes Total B-1972 C-1968 $ 9,748 ~i)5, 793 1,4.29 $11,177 638 $6,431 ELIGIBLE FOR EXCHANGE Date Due Securities 4-1/4% notes, D-1967 2-1/2% bonds, 1962-67 Total May & 5/15/67 6/15/67 June maturities PREREFUNDING 5-1/4% ctfs., A-1967 8/15/67 3-3/4% notes) Ji-1967 8/15/67 4-7/8% notes, E-1967 8/15/67 Total prerefunding maturities Grand Totals 293 833 213 $1,339 5,919 2,929 2,z117 $10,965 ~22 z142 $3,493 455 $3,948 $6 z431 $5 z 287 UN EX CHANG ED Amount -L $ 9,286 $ 462 336 798 4..7 23.5 7.1 5,626 2,096 1,904 ~~ 9,626 95.0 $11,718 $10 z424 4,7.1 lz093 $10,379 293 833 213 $1,339 (!. y 71.0 89.9 87.8 Details by Federal Reserve Districts as to subscriptions will be announced later. F-908 TREASURY DEPARTMENT 0'" · '_'~ ~('i~. WASHINGTON. D.C. .~. .••• May 5, 1967 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY SECRETARY FOWLER NAMES ROBERT WILLIAM (BOB) FELLER AS NEW SAVINGS BONDS CHAIRMAN FOR THE STATE OF OHIO Robert William (Bob) Feller, former big league baseball star and now an insurance and investment consultant of Cleveland, Ohio, was today appointed by Treasury Secretary Henry H. Fowler as volunteer State Chairman for the Savings Bonds Program in Ohio. Mr. Feller began his professional baseball career in 1935 with the Cleveland Indians. He retired at the end of the 1956 baseball season. During his long career, he pitched three "nohitters". He was voted the Indians' IIMan of the Year" twice, and played on 9 All-Star teams, including the Service All-Stars of 1942. He also participated in two World Series. His record of 348 strikeouts in one season is still the American League record. He was inducted into Baseball's Hall of Fame in July 1962. During World War II, he served in the Navy -- enlisting two days after Pearl Harbor attack. Most of his 44 months in the Navy were spent on board the USS Alabama, where he earned 8 battle stars in the gunnery department. At the time of his retirement in 1956, he purchased an insurance agency in Cleveland and is still working in this field as an independent insurance and investment consultant. Mr. Feller has written two books and numerous articles for newspapers and magazines and has appeared frequently on radio and television. He has received honorary degrees from Rollins College, Winter Park, Fla.; Morningside College, Sioux City, Iowa; and the University of Dubuque, Dubuque, Iowa. Mr. Feller married Virginia Winther of Waukegan, Illinois, in 1943. They have three sons, Steve, 21; Ma:ty, ~9; and Bruce, 16. The Fellers have lived in Gate Mills, Oh10, S1nce 1948. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT R RELEASE 6:30 P.M., D?:q, May 8, 1967. RESULTS OF TREASURY I S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Depart&ent announced that the tenders for two series of Treasury lis, one series to be an additional issue of the bills dated February 9, 1967, and e other series to be dated May 11, 1967, which were offered on May 3, 1967, were ened at the Federal Reserve Banks today. Tenders were invited for $1,300,000,000, thereabouts, of 91-day bills and for $1,000,000,000, or thereabouts, of 182-day lis. The details of the two aeries are as follows: NGE OF ACCEPl'ED MPETITIVE BIDS: High Low Average · · 91-day Treasury bills • maturing August 10 2 1961 t Approx. EqUiv. • Price Annual Rate : : 99.079 3.6411% : 99.069 3.683% !I: 99.012 3.671% 182-day Treasury bills November 92 1961 Approx. Equi v • Annual Rate Price 3.820% 98.069 98.056 3.845% 98.063 3.831% Y maturin~ 98% of the amount of 91-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted 13% of the amount of 182-day bills bid for at the low price was accepted rAL TENDERS APPLIED FOR .AND ACCEPTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS: District Boston ~ew York Philadelphia ~leveland iichmond ~tlanta ~hicago 3t. Louis tinneapolis (ansas City lallas >an Francisco TOTALS Accepted : Applied For Applied For 8,998,000 $ 12,307,000 $ 18,998,000 I 889,795,000 1,333,556,000 1,636,339,000 13,107,000 20,880,000 26,001,000 38,574,000 33,437,000 39,084,000 14,339,000 2,529,000 14,339,000 29,~7,ooo 47,477,000 68,337,000 123,927,000 181,916,000 178,127,000 42,263,000 24,205,000 49,464,000 12,290,000 11,699,000 17,630,000 27,725,000 10,070,000 29,370,000 15,209,000 18,571,000 25,409,000 108 66,460,000 121 2240,000 2319,000 Accepted $ 2,307,000 736,706,000 6,880,000 23,387,000 2,529,000 20,735,000 107,444,000 21,831,000 9,529,000 9,970,000 11,701,000 47,079,000 !I $1,786,946,000 $1,000,098,000 $2,224,344,000 $1,300,164,000 £I Includes $255 415 000 noncompetitive tenders accepted at the average price of 99.072 Includes ~104:367:000 noncompetitive tenders accep~ed at the aver~ge price ~f 98.063 These rates are on a bank discount basis. The equJ.valent coupon usue yielos are 3.77% for the 91-day bills, and 3.97% for the 182-day bills. :-909 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR USE IN MORNING NEWSPAPERS OF WEDNESDAY, MAY 10, 1967 REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE TRUE DAVIS ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AND UNITED STATES EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR OF THE INTER-AMERICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK BEFORE THE INTERNATIONAL TRADE CLUB OF GREATER KANSAS CITY COMMERCE TOWER, KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI TUESDAY, MAY 9, 1967, 8:00 P.M., CDT OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS IN TRADING AND FINANCING WORLD PROGRESS It is always a pleasure for me to meet with businessmen who are engaged in trade, who are concerned with trade, and who realize the importance of trade to a nation's economy and a people's welfare. The free flow of trade -- of a country's products and services -- is essential for a country's economic growth and development. Without this -- sustained economic growth and development -- no country can long maintain a decent standard of living for its people, or raise the standard of living so its people may enjoy the technological benefits of our age. Our job -- yours and mine -- is both challenging and exhilarating. For we are building bridges between peoples and countries over which may pass not only a free flow of goods to enrich the human body, but also a free flow of ideas to enrich the human mind and spirit. We should never lose sight of the fact that wherever there flow between countries unimpeded rivers of commerce, nurtured by common interests and mutual goals, there also flow rivers of communication that develop friendship between peoples, understanding between diverse minds, and respect and tolerance for each other's culture. The tangible goods and the intangible ideas flow together, for they are inter-related. The suppression of one, or the nurturing of one, affects the life-flow of the other. - 2 - There are many ingredients necessary for healthy trade growth, the most important of which is peace. More than a hundred years ago, Ralph Waldo Emerson, in discussing trade and conditions which nurture its growth, said that "trade is a plant which grows wherever there is peace, as soon as there is peace, and as long as there is peace." Since the end of World War II we have had two decades of relative peace. The growth and expansion of world trade during this period is unprecedented in the long history of man. Ten years after the end of World War II world exports amounted to $103.6 billion. Last year, two decades later, world exports had climbed to $204 billion, almost doubling those of 1956. This clearly substantiates Emerson's statement. Yet when we examine these world trade figures we find some disquieting facts. We find, for instance, that the share of the low-income countries in the world exports decreased from 24 to 19 percent during the period 1956-66. And of all the Latin American countries, onlywo, Peru with a 14 percent increase and Mexico with a 7 percent increase, substantially improved their position in the world of foreign trade and commerce. Peace alone, then, does not insure the trade growth or development of a country. There are other essential ingredients -- such as capital for investment in plants and equipment, technical knowledge, a high degree of literacy and education, the absence of discriminating tariff barriers inhibiting a country's flow of goods and services, and a desire, above all else, on the part of wealthy, industrialized nations of the world to assist less developed countries so they may compete more evenly, and more equitably share the fruits of man's achievements. Our thoughts at the moment are riveted South -- to Latin America, where 240 million people now reside, and where, by the year 2000 if the present population rate continues, some 625 million people will live How they live is of vital importance to the pe~ and stability of our Western Hemisphere. 0 For too long the people in most Latin American countries have been condemned to underdevelopment. Adjacent to portions of new cities that have witnessed an architectural renaissance are some of the worst slums in the world. The disease of illiteracy afflicts tens upon tens of millions of people. Unemployment, which breeds misery and anguish, exists in the largest cities and the smallest villages. Not only is the potential of human resources not achieved throughout the Americas , but much of their natural resources are undeveloped. - 3 - Conditions in many countries until recently prevented political stability and political continuity -- the sine qua ~ of sustained economic progress. Last month it was my good fortune to accompany President Johnson to Punta del Este where he met with other Presidents of the Americas. The problem they faced, conditioned by an air of urgency and a feeling that time is running out, was to forge a plan of united action that would accelerate the speed of social reform and the pace of economic development. Toward this end, they forged the "Declaration of the Presidents ," which I would like to briefly summarize for you in light of its significance and the participating role that we will play. The Presidents agreed: 1. To create and support a Latin America Common Market, which will facilitate the free movements of goods and services; 2. To expand Latin American trade to other countries of the world; 3. To lay the physical foundations for Latin American economic integration through multi-national projects that will bind the nations of the hemisphere in great transportation, power, and river developments, opening the way for the movement of both people and goods throughout the continent; 4. To modernize living conditions of rural populations and substantially increase food production to feed their expanding population; 5. To vigorously promote education for development, expand programs for improving the health of Latin Americans, and harness science and technology for the services of all; and 6. To eliminate unnecessary military expenditures. Creating a Common Market for Latin America will not be an easy task. It will begin in 1970. It will take another fifteen years of patient negotiation before barrie:s are removed to permit the unimpeded flow of goods, cap~tal, manpower, and technology so essential for the economic progress of all countries. - 4 - During the past ten years Latin America's share of world commerce has steadily declined, while Africa's has increased. The value of Latin American exports during the same period only grew at an average annual rate of 3.9 percent, while the average yearly growth rate for world exports was twice as great. On the one hand, the need for development money in Latin America rapidly increases, while income from exports, which are vital to every country's balance of payments position, continues to lag. As we increase our trade to Latin America and as Latin America increases trade among themselves and betvleen us and other highly developed nations there will arise many problems and conflicting opinions in the complicated area of tariff and trade. Concessions will have to be made by all countries including us. We have already committed ourselves to exploring with other industrialized countries the possibilities of temporary preferential tariff advantages not only for Latin America but also for other developing countries in the markets of industrialized nations. Traditional nationalistic barriers in the Americas will also have to give way to regional and hemispheric goals. The ~.]ealthier countries of the world will have to work together to help developing countries increase their trade and accelerate their rate of economic grOfNth. The renaissance Latin Americans must undertake in what President Johnson calls the "Decade of Urgency" staggers the imagination. Each year over a million new homes must be built. At least 140 million new jobs must be created. Hundreds of thousands of new classrooms must be constructed. Somehow there must be trained and educated hundreds of thousands of teachers, technicians, doctors, dentists, agronomists, and other scientistso Although the challenges are formidable, they are not overwhelming. There is not one problem we in the Americas face that cannot be overcome as long as we are unswerving in our resolution. The assistance that we in the United States can render will be useful, as President Johnson emphasized, only as it reinforces the determination of Latin Americans and builds an their achievements. I was particularly impressed with a phrase used by President Johnson at PlUlta del Este, when he said that "this is not a job for sprinters, but long distance runners." The contemplated view of future plans must be correlated with achievements of the past. Since the beginning of the Alliance for Progress in 1961, these achievements have benefited the economy of individual countries and millions of - 5 - Latin Americans. We agreed, in 1961, to provide Latin America with a billion dollars a year in grants, food, and technical assistance. We also promised to promote foreign investments in those countries that promised to undertake necessary financial and social reforms and mobiliz e their resources for essential economic development. We undertook these commitments at a time, you will recall, when Latin America seemed on the verge of violent social and political revolution, when Communist activity disrupted governments and spread terror and violence among millions of people, when riots were regular occurrences, and money fled the countries for safe havens abroad -- money that should have remained in Latin America to help its economic development. A few statistics will illustrate the extent and type of achievements accomplished by our programs. In the area of education -- 28,000 classrooms were built, 160,000 teachers trained, and more than 15 million textbooks distributed. Some 13 million school children and 3 million pre-school youngsters participated in school lunch programs. In the area of housing -- 350,000 units were built, 2,000 rural wells dug, and over a thousand portable water supply systems built to benefit 20 million people. In the area of public health deaths caused by malaria fever dropped in 10 countries from over 10,000 to less than 3,000 in only three years' time. Today over 100 million people are protected from malaria. More than a thousand health centers, including hospitals and mobile medical units, are in operation. In the agricultural area -- 16 countries passed legislation dealing with vitally needed land reforms. With our assistance over a million acres of land have been irrigated, and over a hundred thousand acres of land reclaimed. More than 700,000 agricultural loans have directly benefited more than 3-1/2 million people. The Inter-American Development Bank -- the Bank of the Alliance for Progress, the Bank of Integration -- is the institution through which we have channeled, and will continue to channel, much of our financial assistance to Latin America. The Bank has seven directors, six of which are elected by Latin American members. The United States appoints its Executive Director, and in this capacity I have served since being nominated by President Johnson and confirmed by the Senate last year. The Board of Directors take an active, direct, and continuous interest in the affairs of the Bank. As of April 15, it had authorized from all available resources 407 loans totaling over $2 billion. These loans cover the broadest spectrum of our activities throughout Latin America agriculture, education, health, industry and mining, water and - 6 - sewerage, housing, transportation and electric pawer. In short, the Inter-American Development Bank is the most comprehensive lending institution which represents to our Latin American friends their bank for the Alliance for Progress. Within the Bank itself there are two types of lending activities: First, we have loans from the Ordinary Capital Resources which are similar to commercial bank loans, with interest rates of 6 percent plus and for normal length of duration as found in commercial banking circles; then we have the Fund For Special Operations which was established as the so-called "soft loan window" of the Bank. It has long been amply clear that the less developed countries cannot assume on conventional banking terms the capital required to advance their development. The problems of economic and social development are too vast and the resource transfers required from the more-developed to the less-developed countries are too great. This has been recognized in our bilateral assistance programs, which have long provided the more liberal terms appropriate for long-term development. These loans bear interest rates of from 3 to 4 percent with longer periods of time for repayment. As I mentioned earlier, the Bank has made over 400 loans totaling more than $2 billion. One of the most effective means by which Latin Americans have been hastening their own technological development, economic growth, and social progress has been through the wise application of these loans. But these bank loan figures, however, do not tell the whole story -- for they helped finance projects that cost over $5 billion. The difference of some $3 billion represents the amount Latin Americans have invested in their own progress. Of this total expenditure of more than $5 billion, over $2-1/2 billion went into developing agriculture, industry and mining. Expenditures for electric power, housing, and water and sewerage systems accounted for almost another $2 billion. The remainder was channeled into educatiOn, pre-investment and export financing. Through 1964 we contributed to the Social Progress Trust Fund of the Inter-American Development Bank $525 million, and another $150 million to its Fund for Special Operations. - 7 - In 1965 -- because of the success of the Bank's operations and the pressing need for more capital to expand its level of activities -- the Congress authorized a U. S. contribution of $250 million a year to the Bank's FSO through 1967. Only last week Treasury Secretary Fowler and I appeared before a Congressional committee in support of the President's desire to increase our aid to the Bank by $50 million a year over and above the $250 million annual level of our contributions in the past. These increased funds can help finance a portion of the cost of multi-national projects, such as hydro-electric plants, modern communication networks, bridges, dams and roads -all of which are essential to bring Latin Americans closer together as partners in hemispheric progress. The United States contribution of $900 million over a three-year period stands in the ratio of three to one to the proposed contribution of the Latin American members. This is in contrast to the ratio of five to one that applied in the last increase of FSO resources agreed upon in 1965, and the ratio of eleven to one when the Bank began. Over the past six years, as contributions to the Bank by partners and non-partners increased, disbursement of loans and technical assistance authorizations have steadily increased. Latin American countries have consistently contributed more of their own resources to the execution of development projects. By so doing, their governments have intensified their own involvement with the future destiny of their people. If the remarkable achievements of thepast six years are to be accelerated to keep pace with the future's essential requirements, it is imperative that the Inter-American Development Bank obtain additional capital resource contributions from other countries of the free world, and by borrowing in the world's capital market through short and long-term bond issues. This will not be especially easy, since the competition among developing nations for capital is vigorous. It increases, moreover, in proportion to a country's desire to sustain achievements already made, support their investments that made these achievements possible, and build upon them. More and more, Latin America will be looking to private·capital investment from the industrialized cOlmtries of the world. - 8 What has our contribution been to Latin America in terms of dollars since the Alliance for Progress started a little more than six years ago? We pledged to invest a billion dollars a year -- and we have kept our pledge to our neighbors. Most of this money went out through AID -- United States Agency for International Development -- in the form of bilateral assistance programs. These loans provided more liberal terms appropriate for long-term social and economic development. When the Alliance for Progress was created, we set as a target goal $300 million of new U. S. private investment annually in Latin America. Our private capital investment since 1962, when foreign investment had reached a ten year all-time low, has paralleled the increased aid to Latin America through international and U. S. Government financial agencies. As political stability and economic sensibility in Latin America prevailed over economic indifference and political apathy, creating an atmosphere of confidence and integrity, foreign U. S. investments gradually increased. The evidence from actual performance is no less dramatic. During the past six years the gross investment of the Latin countries approximated $91 billion, of which $80 billion -about 88 percent -- came from within Latin America itself. It is easy to forget that the Latin countries are carrying by far the greater share of the burden of their own development. It could not and should not be otherwise, as the Latin American Presidents were clearly aware at the Summit Meeting. Our Government, as I earlier emphasized, not only will continue to invest in Latin America's future -- which is an investment in the peace and stability of the Western Hemisphere but will increase this investment in the years ahead. The important partner to Government investment is private investment. One cannot do the job alone, nor can one be substituted for the other. Each type of investment complements the other, and both types are vitally necessary. Conditions during the past five years, as well as the philosophy underwriting agreements reached by the Presidents of all the Americas at Punta del Este last month, clearly indicate to me that the climate is propitious for substantially increased private investments through Latin America -- and we should take advantage of this opportunity now, Looking back from where we are now, I would assume that 150 years ago, the Mississippi Valley and the Amazon Valley offered the same opportunity with the same risk of investment. - 9 History has shown that the investment placed in the Mississippi Valley made a handsome profit for the investors who were willing to take the risk. Now the Amazon Valley -- as well as other parts of the Americas -- is potentially ready to return a handsome profit to those who are willing to invest there. Businessmen now recognize, I believe, that private enterprise, capably managed and operated for both the benefit of individual Latin American inhabitants of a country and for company stockholders, can flourish and prosper under a wide variety of socialistic governments. Enlightened Latin American leaders, deeply concerned with increasing the rate of social and economic development in their countries, are just as conscious as enlightened American businessmen of the mutuality of interests that unite them. Both are working toward common goals. A prosperous, thriving economy now is essential for future peace and prosperity. To the extent that private capital creates and nurtures economic growth and development, to that extent does it enrich the institution of private enterprise and strenghten the foundations upon which it rests. The United States will maintain its $300 million annual contribution for the next three years to the IADB's Fund for Special Operations -- in addition to increased contributions in other areas of our economic and cultural partnership. At the same time, we expect other industrialized nations of the world to increase their aid to Latin America, as well as other developing nations -- both in the form of direct aid to individual countries and in the form of capital resources to regional development banks. It is my firm conviction, as well as our Government's, that countries which are accumulating savings in the form of reserves should, if they are to accept their proper responsibilities to the welfare of mankind, permit public and private capital to flow to the less developed countries in reasonable magnitude and on reasonable terms. The industrialized countries should share their surpluses by giving -- as the United States has -multilateral and regional financing institutions liberal access to their capital markets. The richer nations of the world not only must continue aid to Latin America, but the degree of their aid must be appreciably increased if we are to accelerate the pace of technological and economic development. And accelerate we must in the years ahead in light of anticipated population increases and the pleas of human beings for more help so that they can ultimately better help themselves. - 10 - We are so closely allied in the fraternity of nations and the brotherhood of mankind that the weakness of one country, no matter how small, directly or indirectly affects the strength of all. The free world's ability to act in unison and harmony, to bring its moral strength and purpose of conviction to bear on the resolution of international problems, ultimately rests on the physical strength of every country and the moral strength of its people. To the extent that richer countries accelerate economic growth and development in underdeveloped and developing countries, to that extent do we strengthen the innumerable ties that unite us as free sovereign nations and as free human beings. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY MARKET TRANSACTIONS IN APRIL During April 1967, market 'transactions in direct and guaranteed securities of the government for Government investment accounts resulted in net purchases by the Treasury Department of $180,0)2,900.00. 000 F-910 TREASURY DEPARTMENT FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE TREASURY'S WEEKLY BILL OFFERING The Treasury Department, by this public notice, invites tenders for two series of Treasury bills to the aggregate amount of $2,300,000,000, or thereabouts, for cash and in exchange for Treasury bills maturing May 18, 1967, in the amount of $2,302,320,000, as follows: 91-day bills (to matur1ty date) to be issued May 18, 1967, in the amount of $1,300,000,000, or thereabouts~ represent1ng an additional amount of b1lls dated February 16, 1'j67, and to mature August 17, 1967, or1g1nally issued in the amount of $1,00L,414,000, the additional and original bills to be freely Interc tlange able . 182-day bills, for $1,000,000,000, or thereabouts, to be dated May 18, 1967, and to mature November 16, 1967. The bills of both series will be issued on a discount basis under competitive and noncompetitive bidding as hereinafter provided, and at maturity their face amount will be payable without interest. They will be issued in bearer form only, and in denominations of $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, $50,000, $100,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 (maturity value). Tenders will be received at Federal Reserve Banks and Branches up to the closing hour, one-thirty p.m., Eastern Daylight Saving time, Monday, May 15, 1967. Tenders will not be received at the Treasury De~artment, Washington. Each tender must be for an even multiple of $1,000, and in the case of competitive tenders the price offered must be expressed on the basis of 100, with not more than three decimals, e. g., 99.925. Fractions may not be used. It is urged that tenders be made on the printed forms and forwarded in the special envelopes which will be supplied by Federal Reserve Banks or Branches on application therefor. Banking institutions generally may submit tenders for account of customers provided the names of the customers are set forth in such tenders. Others than banking institutions will not be permitted to submit tenders except for their own account. Tenders will be received without deposit from incorporated banks and trust companies and from ~sponsible and recognized dealers in investment securities. Tenders from others must be accompanied by payment of 2 percent of the face amount of Treasury bills applied for, unless the tenders are accompanied by an express guaranty of payment by an incorporated bank or trust company. F-911 - 2 Imm~diately after the closing hour, tenders will be opened at the Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, following which public announcement will'be made by the Treasury Department of the amount and price range of accepted bids. Those submitting tenders will be advised of the acceptance or rejection thereof. The Secretary of the Treasury expressly reserves the right to accept or reject any or all tenders, in whole or in part, and his action in any such respect shall be final. Subject to these reservations, noncompetitive tenders for each issue for $200,000 or less without stated price from anyone bidder will be accepted in full at the average price (in three decimals) of accepted competitive bids for the respective issues. Settlement for accepted tenders in accordance with the bids must be made or completed at the Federal Reserve Bank on May 18, 1967, in cash or other immediately available funds or in a like face amount of Treasury bills maturing May 18, 1967,. Cash and exchange tenders will receive equal treatment. Cash adjustments will be made for differences between the par value of maturing bills accepted in exchange and the issue price of the new bills. The income derived from Treasury bills, whether interest or gain from the sale or other disposition of the bills, does not have any exemption, as such, and loss from the sale or other disposition of Treasury bills does not have any special treatment, as such, under the Internal Revenue Code of 1954. The bills are subject to estate, inheritance, gift or other excise taxes, whether Federal or State, but are exempt from all taxation now or hereafter imposed on the principal or interest thereof by any State, or any of the possessions of the United States, or by any local taxing authority. For purposes of taxation the amount of discount at which Treasury bills are originally sold by the United States is considered to be interest. Under Sections 454 (b) and 1221 (5) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954 the amount of discount at which bills issued hereunder are sold is not considered to accrue until such bills are sold, redeemed or otherwise disposed of, and such bills are excluded from consideration as capital assets. Accordingly, the owner of Treasury bills (other than life insurance companies) issued hereunder need include in his income tax return only the difference between the price paid for such bills, whether on original issue or on subsequent purchase, and the amount actually received either upon sale or redemption at maturity during the taxable year for which the return is made, as ordinary gain or loss. Treasury Department Circular No. 418 (current revision) and this notice prescribe the terms of the Treasury bills and govern the conditions of their issue. Copies of the circular may be obtained fro~1 any Federal Reserve Bank or Branch. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington. FOR RELEASE IN MORNING NEWSPAPERS OF FRIDAY, MAY 12, 1967 REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE STANLEY S. SURREY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE AMERICAN PENSION CONFERENCE HOTEL NEW YORKER, NEW YORK, NEW YORK THURSDAY, MAY 11, 1967, 8:00 P.M., EDT I very much appreciate this opportunity to meet with you to discuss recent developments in the field of employee benefits. While there are many interesting facets of this area, I would like particularly to consider some of the issues concerning the private pension system which were raised by the 1965 Report of the President's Committee on Corporate Pension Funds. As you know, this Report looks at the private retirement system from many aspects to see how it is fulfilling its expectations and responsibilities. While the Report concludes generally that the private retirement system is serving an important function in the over-all retirement program of this country, it does point up several areas where improvement seems necessary if the system is to continue to meet its responsibilities. Although the Report had been carefully considered within the Government for about three years, the Administration realized that the complexity and importance of the issues involved warranted close examination and analysis of the Report by the business community, labor organizations, and others before affirmative action was taken in the nature of legislative proposals. Thus, the Report was released in January 1965, not as a catalog of proposed legislation but rather for the purpose of initiating public discussion of the issues with which it dealt. The Report has succeeded in its objective of stimulating considerable public interest and discussion. Many companies, organizations, and individuals have submitted critiques to the Government. While the comments from the business community have contained some interesting and provocative thoughts, many of us in Government were somewhat disappointed that most of the comments were negative in tone and merely indicated general opposition to any :hange. There have been few positive suggestions for improvements ln the existing statutes or regulations. I recognize that this F-912 - 2 - was only a temporary and initial response, and that more constructive views are gradually being formulated and advanced. Before discussing what has been going on within the Government, let me briefly set forth some over-all views on the matter of pension plan reform. While I, of course, cannot speak for them, I believe that they also represent the views of other Government officials involved. We believe that the private retirement system is fulfilling a major role in our economy as a vital supplement to the basic social security system. We recognize that flexibility in the private system is desirable so that it may serve the particular needs of individual companies and their employees. However, we think there are areas where the system is failing to come up to the standards necessary for it to meet its basic objectives. These are areas where improvements appear appropriate and needed. We are anxious that the improvements be made in a way which will not needlessly disrupt existing and future plans. At the present time, the situation within the Government is as follows: The Inter-Agency Staff Committee was reactivated almost a year ago. Its main activity has been to hold a series of meetings with knowledgeable groups to discuss certain of the recommendations in the Cabinet Committee Report. The discussions centered on the recommendations relating to: (1) vesting, (2) funding and reinsurance, (3) broadening of employee coverage, (4) fiduciary responsibility, and (5) additional disclosure. These were the particular areas in which it was thought that the issues had been refined to the point where detailed discussions would be helpful. The discussions did not deal with broad philosophical points but rather with the considerations which must be taken into account in developing concrete proposals. The groups with whom meetings were held included employers, unions, representatives of jointly trusteed multi-employer plans, actuaries, accountants, banks, and insurance specialists. We on the Government side found these meetings extremely helpful. For example, many comments made at these meetings vJere reflected in the eventual proposals on fiduciary responsibility and disclosure which were submitted by the President to Congress in his Consumer Message in February of this year. F-9l2 - 3 - Furthermore, as a result of these meetings, we have dropped from our current agenda one of the earlier recommendations _ .. that is, the proposed elimination of the option to limit plan coverage to the salaried and clerical group. We found that the Cabinet Committee's rather broad recommendation for mandatory coverage of all employees did not take adequate account of the wide variety of situations where such a requirement may not be realistic -- as, for example, where a particular group of employees indicate a preference for a different type of retirement plan or, perhaps, for a cash wage' increase or another type of fringe benefit. For this reason, it was decided that it would not be appropriate to proceed with this recommendation at this time. These meetings, as well as the staff work following them, have also brought us considerably further along in our thinking with regard to minimum vesting and funding requirements, and on the question of whether a practical reinsurance proposal can be developed. In fact, fairly specific staff proposals for legislation on these points have now been developed. I think it would materially advance the discussion in this area if the broad aspects of these proposals were made available to you -for your consideration and constructive criticism. As you will note, the staff proposals differ in some important respects from those set forth in the Cabinet Committee Report. This is the result of a careful re-evaluation of each of the original proposals in light of the comments and criticisms which have been received. The new proposals contain definite structural improvements -- and as a consequence represent an example of the mutual benefits to be gained from an open exchange of ideas between Government and the private sector. For example, these new proposals have been carefully developed with the aim of making certain that they would not involve Government interference with individual plan decisions on the investment of pension funds or the selection of specific actuarial methods and assumptions. I hope that each of you will evaluate the proposals in a constructive manner and within the context of the objectives of the private retirement system -- that is, from the standpoint not only of individual employers and employees but also of society as a whole. Let me mention some of the building-blocks in these proposals. F-9l2 - 4 - First on the matter of vesting: (1) Vesting of pension benefits is a desirable and needed part of the structure of private pension plans. Our modern society -- involving dynamic changes in industries, businesses, and products and great mobility in individuals' working lives -- requires the stability accorded by vesting of benefits if the private pension system is to work properly. Without vesting of benefits, employees can find themselves devoting large portions of their'working lives to an employer only to find when a move is necessary, that those years have bought nothing toward their security on retirement. We must recognize that the necessity for a move can, under today's conditions and those likely in the future, originate as well in the career plans of the employee and his family as in the business plans of an employer. I have found very little genuine disagreement with the principle of vesting. The issue is how to devise the mechanics of a vesting standard and the mechanics of transition to that standardu (2) As to those mechanics: The staff proposes that participants in private pension plans be granted vested rights after 10 years of service with the employer. This recommendation is based on the principle that 10 years is a sufficiently extended period of time for the value of an employee's service to be explicitly recognized for pension purposes It represents about one-fourth of the typical working life of an employee. Loss of benefits for such a period of service, were an employee to move elsewhere, would therefore represent a substantial reduction in his retirement security. 0 The 10-year period would generally begin to run at the time the employee is first hired. However, in order not to require the vesting of relatively small benefits, an employee's service before age 25 could be disregarded if that service is not taken into account under the pension plan. The required vesting standard would only apply to the normal form of retirement benefit, such as a straight life annuity or a life annuity with a term certain. It would not haVe to be applied to other benefits under the plan, such as special early retirement allowances. F-91 - 5 - The amount of benefit which should be vested in an employee leaving before retirement age would be a specific portion of the benefit he would have received at retirement, determined by the ratio of his actual credited service to the credited service he would have had had he remained until retirement age. The staff carefully considered but rejected allowing vesting to be deferred until a certain age. With an age requirement set at 45 years or above -- which seem to be the levels suggested by some -- too large a segment of an employee's working life could be excluded from pension coverage if he were to change employment before he reached age 45. (3) Transitional features would be provided so that employers may build up gradually to the maximum increase in plan costs. I believe that this matter of transition is a basic concern of the business community in the area of vesting. Certainly this concern is understandable. But fortunately it can be fully met by a recognition, first of the need for a period of transition, and second of the desirability of as much flexibility as possible in the mechanics of the transition. A broad transitional rule which would seem appropriate -at least for many plans -- would provide that the new vesting standard need only be applied with respect to benefits for service after the new requirement goes into effecto In other words, only benefits for future service -- service after the effective date of the change -- need be vested o But service prior to that date would count toward the 10 years required service before benefits are to be vested. This would not be the only transitional path under the staff proposal. There are undoubtedly employers who would be unwilling to differentiate between future and past service since, to do so, would not distinguish between long-service and short-service employees. They may prefer a transition more favorable to long-service employees. Accordingly, optional arrangements to phase-in the 10 year vesting standard would be made available under which that standard would not become fully applicable until 10 years after the legislation becomes effective. F-9l2 - 6 - One such alternative would permit a plan to adopt a 20-year vesting standard -- applicable to the full benefit earned to the date of termination -- for employees who leave during the first year after the legislation becomes effective, and then systematically to reduce this standard so that after 10 years all employees leaving with more than 10 years of employment would receive vested rights. Under another alternative, the lO-year standard would apply immediately but only with respect to a specified percentage of an employee's benefits depending on when he left the company: if he left in the first year after the effective date of the legislation, only 10 percent of his benefit would need be vested; if he left in the second year, 20 percent, and so forth. Under either of these alternatives, however, there would be no distinction between past and future service benefits, unlike the broad transitional rule earlier mentioned. There may, of course, be other transitional arrangements which might better meet the needs of particular plans, and the staff would certainly explore them. In any event, no change in plan provisions would be required for the first two or three years after a bill is enacted in order to allow time for renegotiation of labor contracts. Thus, the total transitional period would really be in the nature of 12-13 years. Any evaluation of the lO-year vesting standard proposed by the staff must be made within the context of these transitional rules. The staff proposal does not call for 10-year vesting tomorrow or the next year. Instead, it is really suggesting this standard for 12 or 13 years from now and, in this respect, appears to recognize the eVolutionary process that is constantly at work within the plans themselves. Thus, in comparing the staff proposal with actual plan experience, the proper point of reference is not the present but rather what is likely to be the attitude 12 or 13 years from now. F-9l2 - 7 - (4) New plans -- another aspect of real concern to many in the business community -- would not be required to meet any vesting standard for employees leaving during the firs t five years the plan is in e ffec t. This de lay would recognize that often plans are initially set up to meet the situation of a few long-service employees nearing retirement age. It may not be feasible, jn this situation, for an employer at once to meet the cost of providing for these employees and also the cost of vesting for other employees leaving during the first few years. Our meetings with the outside groups were very helpful in pinpointing the problems and considerations relevant for new plans. On the matter of funding of benefits and reinsurance: (1) Reasonable assurance that accrued pension benefits will actually be paid is also a desirable and needed part of the structure of private pension plans. A pension plan is nothing more than an empty promise to an employee if years of service spent in the belief that he is adding to his security on retirement turn out to be years of illusion because the promise turns out to be only words on paper and the funds to make it real are lacking. No amount of fine print in a pension plan explaining that a vested benefit may be something different in the end from an actual paid benefit will assuage the feeling of unfairness and indeed of deception on the part of the employee. Nor can it meet the real hardship that deprivation of a vested and therefore expected, benefit may mean. An employee will thus inevitably -- and understandably indict his employer and the Government for any failure of funds when he seeks to exchange his promise of a vested benefit for actual payments. Just as the beneficiaries of life insurance and the depositors in savings institutions clearly expect a rational and modern society to protect their reliance on the institutions of that society, so will the beneficiaries of pension plans expect similar protection. F-91 ? - 8 - It is thus really inescapable that employers and the Government have a common obligation, and thus a common goal, to provide for the security of the employee by assuring the resources from which benefit commitments can be met. Here also therefore the issue is not whether there should be adequate protection but how to devise the mechanics for that protection without unduly interfering with 'the operations and flexibility of the private retirement system. (2) As to those mechanics, the staff proposal would measure a plan's funding adequacy by comparing its assets with the liabilities to which it is committed that is, its liabilities for vested benefits. This relationship would be reported to the Government every three years. In recommending this approach, the staff concluded that the relation between assets on hand and liabilities for vested benefits is a meaningful test of the ability of a plan to honor its benefit commitments. An employee is not particularly concerned with actuarial methods and rates of funding accrued liabilities; rather, he is most interested in the relationship between the benefits promised by the plan and the funds available to meet those benefits. Substantially this same measure of funding adequacy is being used by the Pension Research Council in its study -- under the leadership of Professor Dan McGill of the University of Pennsylvania -- of the funding status of a broad range of plans. (3) While the ultimate goal of such a funding standard would be "assets equal to vested liabilities", plans would be given 25 years in which to reach this goal. This approach recognizes that plans generally begin with large past service liabilities that can realistically be funded only over an extended period of years. More specifically, a plan would each year have a funding target -- in terms of a percentage of assets F-912 - 9 - measured at market value to vested liabilities -- which it must meet, and this target would be increased at an annual rate equal to four percent of vested liabilities. Adjustments in the schedule would be permitted to account for amendments to the plan which substantially alter liabilities. Furthermore, to ease the transition for existing plans, a more gradual schedule would be applied for the first few years after the legislation is enacted. (4) Such a stretching out of funding by the employer for vested benefits, so that full funding would not have to be reached for a number of years, will meet a genuine concern of employers and others that the requirement of full funding not be a drain on their resources. But this solution for the employer's problem will be no answer to an employee seeking actual payments in cases -- hopefully rare -- in which the gradual funding proves insufficient to meet actual claims in the event of a termination of the plan in the interim period. Such an employee can rightfully state that a solution which leaves him empty-handed is not a rational solution. He will still view the private pension system -employers -- and society derelict in their trust. As a consequence, the staff proposes the establishment of a common fund which would be available to meet any particular plan's unfunded liabilities in the event of its termination while moving towards full funding. Under the staff proposal, each plan would make contributions to the common fund based on the amount of its unfunded vested liabilities. If a plan is terminated for business reasons, amounts from the common fund would be available to make up the difference between its funding target and its vested liabilities which cannot be covered by the assets in the plan. In this fashion, employers as a group would be providing the difference between target funding and full funding of the vested benefits of the private pension plan system. To preserve the integrity of each separate private plan the termination protection would not apply to the extent an employer has not met his prescribed funding target, whether because of a deficiency in contributions or an abnormal drop in the value of the assets in the fund. Moreover, penalties would be applied to a plan if it remained below its funding target for more than three years. Th~se are some of the building blocks which our staff people believe will make for sound vesting and funding-reinsurance proposals. Let me reiterate, however, that these building blocks are not official Government proposal s, either of any Department F-912 - 10 or of the Cabinet Committee. They are under study -- just as I hope you and others interested may study them. I assure you that we do not feel that all wisdom in the world on this or any other issue rests with the Government. It is often difficult for us in the Government to appreciate fully the varying practical problems which necessarily arise over the wide spectrum of business. The managers of private plans in turn may recognize that being close to th9se problems can make the problems loom larger than they really are. They may find it beneficial therefore to see what can be accomplished when one turns from recognizing problems to a genuine effort to solve those problems. I, therefore, hope you will share your constructive thoughts with us as we consider these staff proposals. I can assure you that we will receive any suggestions with an open mindo While we may not go along with all of your thinking, I can't help but believe that such sharing of ideas would be mutually beneficial to the Government and to industry. That is the primary message I have for you today. I wanted you to know that we are moving ahead towards formulating our recommendations respecting private pension plans, and that you should not mistake our considered deliberations for any slackening in our feeling that the private pension plan system can be strenghtened. Before concluding I would like to take a few minutes to discuss the present status of our review of the rules for integrating private pension plans with the social security system. Here also we appear to face a situation in which the policy objective seems clear, that of requiring plans which take credit for social security benefits to do so under an approach that will insure their basic fairness and non-discriminatory character. The task, again, is one to devise the mechanics of integration in a way which avoids discrimination yet does not involve private plans in a constant process of change and difficult adjustments. As you may be aware, we have announced the appointment of an Advisory Panel of experts to advise us on this matter. That Panel held its initial meeting with us late last month. It is assisting us in evaluating the large number of comments which have been received from interes~ persons in response to the Internal Revenue Service Announcement requesting background material. The Panel is also considering the effects on integration of further F-9l2 - 11 - possible changes in the social security system. In view of the major social security changes which the President has proposed, and which are now being considered by the House Ways and Means Committee, I believe that any final results respecting this integration matter must, of necessity, await Congressional action on the pending social security measure. Again, I appreciate very much the opportunity to meet with you today. Your chosen careers lie in the formation and management of private pension plans. You have thus undertaken to be responsible for the retirement security of many millions of American workers. I know you are fully aware that this is a very large responsibility. Society can rightly look to your skills and your talents -- and your genuine sense of concern, indeed your conscience in your chosen profession -- and hold you accountable to it in meeting that responsibility. It knows that you will be faithful to that trust, for it is the accomplishment of that faithfulness which is your reward -- in a real sense the knowledge of that accomplishment will be your retirement security in your professional careero 000 F-9l2 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR USE IN MORNING NEWSPAPERS OF FRIDAY, MAY 12, 1967 REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE JOSEPH W. BARR THE UNDER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY BEFORE THE UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO'S GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS (EXECUTIVE PROGRAM COURSE) CHICAGO, ILLINOIS THURSDAY, MAY 11, 1967, 7:00 P.M., CST PUBLIC REGUlATION OF BUSINESS: A TREASURY VIEW I am delighted to have the opportunity tonight to join in a discussion of an important subject with the students and faculty of a very distinguished school. I would venture a guess that many of you, when you think of the Treasury, instinctively think of taxes -- that vital but universally distasteful subject. I suspect that you have been counting on me to inject this topic into your discussions. If so, then at least on this one occasion I shall not disappoint my listeners. It is particularly appropriate to come to the University of Chicago to comment on tax policy. The "Chicago School" in economics has some very definite views on policy in this area. I will say right at the outset that I propose to disagree emphatically with some of those views at the same time that I agree with others. I should like to discuss two different aspects of the overall problem of tax policy as it presents itself to one Who has spent most of the years since 1960 in the United States Treasury. First, the use of tax policy in the regulation of business in the broadest sense, that is, as an instrument of overall economic policy. F-9l3 - 2 - Second, the more particularized use of tax policy to regulate business by encouraging specific business decisions. On the first point, I shall have to take issue with my distinguished friend, Professor Milton Friedman, on the relative roles of fiscal and monetary policy. On the second point, I find myself much more in agreement with Professor Friedman and his colleagues of the "Chicago School". I. Broad Economic Policy We all can agree, I believe, that the United States is committed -- and properly so -- to the goals of economic growth, full employment, and price stability. Having said that much, we may well be at the end of near-universal agreement on this subject. For there are some who believe that our capability for understanding and predicting the course of the United States economy is so limited that it is futile to attempt by government action to keep the economy on a steady course toward our agreed objectives. Most observers do not accept that dismal conclusion. And certainly in practice the government has not accepted it. Our abilities as seers certainly do have limitations. But at the same time we have been able to make economic projections of a fair degree of reliability. Under these circumstances it runs against the grain, for most of us, to adopt a passive, fatalistic view. We must take the best judgment available as to the trend of the economy and, when that judgment requires, act to avoid anticipated economic dislocations. This brings me, then, to the unpleasant need to disagree with Milton Friedman. If we have accepted the necessity of attempting to act upon our economic projections to achieve the goals we seek, just how shall we do so? The strong emphasis of the "Chicago School" is on the use of monetary policy. I believe that public support for this emphasis is gradually shifting. Let us look at the most recent historical evidence. 1966 was most certainly a trying -- although instructive year for government officials concerned with economic policy. We faced rising civilian demand in an economy already approaching full utilization of capacity. On top of this situation was added (starting in late 1965) a sharp increase in defense expenditures required by our commitments in Vietnam. We thus operated a booming civilian economy and - 3 - carried on a substantial war effort, all without the government controls that generally have been associated with previous military actions of this magnitude. The task of regulating the economy in these difficult circumstances fell upon fiscal and monetary policy. We had much more fiscal restraint than most people realize. The various fiscal measures applied -- accelerated collection of taxes, restoration of certain excise taxes, and suspension of the investment tax credit -~ probably added up to something in the order of $10 billion of fiscal restraint. Monetary policy, however, also played an extremely active role, as you know. According to some estimates, the amount of economic restraint induced last year by the policies of the Federal Reserve Board fell roughly in the same order of magnitude as the $10 billion of fiscal restraint that I have already mentioned. Secretary Fowler and I had the unpleasant experience of being advised, from one source or another, almost every week that we were presiding over the highest interest rates in 40 years. At any rate, I have come to the tentative conclusion that last year the burden of restraint was shared in roughly equal proportions by fiscal policy and monetary policy. The question now before us would be, "What does last year's history indicate for current and future policy decisions?" I have never believed that an operating official of the United States Treasury can indulge himself very far in the pleasurable pursuit of economic theory. I interpret my responsibility as trying to discern the directions in which we should move and trying to ascertain whether or not we have enough support in the country and in the Congress to move in those directions. I will defer -- until after my responsibility in the Treasury has ended -- any attempt to go deeper into the pursuit of theoretical objectives. With this as a guideline, just where do we stand in the Congress and in the country on the question of utilizing fiscal pol icy to aEfse t economic swings. I be 1 ieve there is a broad consensus in the country and in the Congress that it is most appropriate for us to keep our tax sys tern under co~tinual scrutiny to make certain that its long-range application can result in steady and sustainable economic growth. I emphasize "continual scrutiny" because we must be alert to anticipated developments that would cause our tax structure to become a hindrance to satisfactory economic growth. - 4 - The harder question arises when the nation is confronted with a demand situation of such magnitude and inflationary potential that resort either to direct controls or to a dangerously tight credit policy is the only alternative to tax action. If I read the country and the Congress correctly, I believe that if the nation were to be confronted with this situation, it would probably be possible to persuade the Congress to take tax action. Last year's history tends to support this viewpoint. On the other side of the coin, if we were confronted with strong recessionary tendencies, I believe that the country would accept tax reduction, as well as some of the more traditional anti-recession measures, as a means of combatting the waste of human and material resources which inevitably accompany a severe economic downturn. I can say that we in the Treasury would have great difficulty in standing passively by while major distortions in the economy were taking place. Thus, it would seem that we clearly have at hand the use of tax policy for long-range economic objectives. I believe we have at hand the use of tax policy to counteract major economic disturbances when the alternative corrections (direct controls, dangerously tight credit policies, or abnormally large expenditure swings in the Federal budget) might well prove more distasteful than adjusting to a tax change. I do not believe that there is agreement on the use of frequent changes to correct minor fluctuations in the business cycle. This is my estimate of where we stand today. We ought to have the support necessary to finance the Vietnam War and our domestic objectives without being forced to resort to either controls or dangerously tight credit policies to avert the dangers of inflation. I think that we ought to have the support for tax reduction after the fighting has stopped if such action fits rationally into our postwar planning. We have not arrived at any theoretical utopia. I will depend upon others to continue the discussion incident to moving towards that objective. But we as a nation have moved far when we recognize that there is an alternative to the use of direct controls or monetary policy in periods of excess demand. I am confident that we will at least consider the use of tax policy if we are confronted with a serious deficiency of demand in the post-Vietnam era. - 5 This is a long step forward, but realistically it leaves to the Federal Reserve Board at this moment the major burden of responsibility for" fine tuning". We can accomplish a minor portion of this responsibility by adjusting Federal expenditure levels, but this process involves so many time lags that it must realistically rank quite low when compared with the tools available to the Federal Reserve System. Thus, while I would not argue that Professor Friedman has been routed from the field', still I would submit that there has developed in the nation strong support for the thesis that the use of fiscal policy as an alternative or as a supplement to monetary policy should be considered in times when the nation is threatened with violent economic dislocations. II. Specific Regulation through the Tax System Let me turn now to another aspect of tax policy -- one that is more obviously related to the subject matter of public regulation of business. Here I believe I shall have the pleasure of being in fundamental agreement with the views of the "Chicago School". My subject here is the tax code as a vehicle for specific programs aimed at particular economic or social objectives. We have had, currently have, and no doubt will continue to have many proposals for tax incentives -- the incorporation into our tax laws of provisions intended to induce businessmen to make various business decisions in a way that the proponent of the incentive deems desirable. On the general run of these proposals, the traditional Treasury position -- which I heartily endorse -- is oppositiono As the distinguished Chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee has put it, " .•. the primary or overriding role of the Federal tax system is to raise in a fair and equitable manner the necessary revenues without which Government cannot operate." In doing so, I believe that our objective should be to strive for "neutrality" in the impact of the tax system on business decisions. - 6 - Fundamentally I feel that it is poor policy to have the tax code interfere with the normal competitive operations of the market place in allocating capital to various segments of the economy. This is the "philosophical" underpinning for the goal of neutrality. There are, however, a number of very practical reasons for opposing the use of the tax code as an instrument for detailed regulation of business. Let me delve into these for a moment. We in the Treasury are as'saulted daily with a variety of plans for special tax incentives. The goals are almost invariably commendable ones - - education, manpower training, pollution control, and assistance to depressed areas, to name just a few. In a sense it would be most comforting to think that problems such as these could be solved simply by enacting some tax incentive. But these answers, in my opinion, are too simple to be satisfactory. Here are some of the reasons: 1. Assistance through the tax law is a hidden form of assis tance. If the Government has an expenditure program to achieve some non-revenue objective, it is subject to careful annual scrutiny in the budget process and the appropriation process. We make serious efforts to determine whether we get what we pay for. An "expenditure" made through a special benefit in the tax law, however, tends to become permanent and immutable. There is not the same opportunity to evaluate its efficacy -- except for occasional forays by some crusader, such as your former Senator, Paul Douglas, who often questioned whether particular tax provisions were doing what they were supposed to do. 2. Tax credits must be administered by revenue agents who, in general, do not have the specialized expertise to make the judgments called for in what is really a non-tax program. The proposals for tax credits for worker training are a good example. The bills that have been introduced refer generally to worker training programs, but what is training is not so obvious. Could an employer set up a program of so-called training and use it for routine work aSSignments? It would take some expertise to distingUish practice work and just plain work. The bills also would deny the credit for training in supervisory, managerial, or scientific skills. Recognizing these features in borderline cases is no easy matter. - 7 - 3. With a tax incentive, it usually is impossible to distinguish between efforts that are the result of the incentive and efforts that would have occurred even without it. This means that some part -- frequently a large part -- of the Government's revenue loss may go as a windfall to those who were prepared to take action without regard to the incentive. In the on-the-job training program of the Department of Labor (OJT) an effort is made to negotiate contracts for specific expansions in training programs in which the Labor Department is in a position to make whatever financial commitment is necessary to bring about the expansion. In some cases this may require more than the flat credit provided in the bills (10 percent), in other cases less. 4. Tax incentives must rely exclusively on the profit motive. From a social standpoint, in a society which is concerned with poverty and unemployment and which has some aversion to paying the idle poor, one proper goal in designing training programs is to make employable a person who would otherwise be unemployable. The business profit motive would tend to be concerned with the increased productivity of the trained worker and might tend to concentrate on raising semi-skilled workers to the skilled category; it might show little direct concern for the unemployable. I think that although there may be some indirect benefits for the unemployable from the general upgrading of labor, a better combination can be achieved by covering both objectives of training in specific government programs such as OJT and Youth Corps where a tax credit approach gives scant recognition to the problem of the unemployables. 5. A tax credit approach is limited to providing incentives for firms with taxable incomes. It could be of little use to a new employer with uncertain prospects. It would be of no use to nontaxable groups, such as labor unions and community organizations or trade associations, that have set up useful training programs under OJT. The short of it is -- as the manpower training example shows -- that tax devices generally turn out to be quite inefficient and ineffective as methods for regulating specific business conduct. This, added to the fundamental desirability of neutrality in the tax system, seems to me to necessitate an effort to resist most special tax incentives, and to eliminate those that already have crept into our tax code. - 8 This has been much of the gist of tax reform in recent years. The Treasury has made persistent efforts -- some successful and some not so successful -- to get the tax system out of the business of encouraging particular types of business activities or particular types of business organizations: In the late 1950 l s the specially-favored tax position of the life insurance industry was substantially' cut back. The tax favoritism accorded to mutual and cooperative forms of businesses has been reduced, particularly for savings and loan associations, mutual fire and casualty insurance companies, and farm cooperatives. Important steps have been taken to reduce the distorting effects upon investment of the favored position of foreign tax havens. These items are of course only a sampling. My personal view is that, even in those instances in which our tax reform proposals have not been adopted, the game has been well worth the candle. I believe that it is a usefUl and constructive step for us to lay before the Congress and the people our views on these matters, and to encourage increased debate and public understanding of the goals of tax policy. I am hopeful that we will soon have further proposals before the Congress. The President announced in his Economic Report that he intends to make recommendations this year for further tax reform. These recommendations again will include areas in which, if the Congress concurs, we can move forward in the direction of tax neutrality toward "non-regulation" of business through the tax system. I cannot leave this subject without emphasizing one important qualification upon the objective of tax neutrality. Our tax system cannot operate in a vacuum, because our economic system itself does not operate in a vacuum. We live in a world in which the economy of one country increasingly is affected by the economies of other countries. In this context, our tax system cannot truly be neutral unless it takes into account the tax systems of other nations, and their resulting effects upon tnternational c9mpetition. This was a main rationale behind the lnve~~ment crea~t. - 9 However, with this one qualification I would insist that a neutral tax policy provides the best economic climate for intelligent decisions on the allocation of our Nation's resources. It makes good sense from the standpoint of equity as well as economics. And finally, while taK burdens are rather grudgingly accepted by all of us, the degree of acceptance drops rapidly if certain sectors of the economy feel that they are carrying more than their fair share of the load. Therefore, I should like to assure my good friend~ Professor Friedman, that in my personal opinion a neutral tax policy is not only good economics -- it is good politics. 000 ,"' TREASURY DEPARTMENT , ,J FOE IMMEDIATE HELEASE TREASURY DECISION ON TUBELESS TIRE VhLVES UNDER THE ANTIDUHPIHG ACT rrhe Treasury Department announced today variouE actions it, plans to tate in connection "Ti th its investigation of the possible dumpinc; of valves, tubeless tire " finished from West Germany and f'rom Italy. The actions will be published in two documents) one pertaininB to Hest Germany and OrlC pertaininc; to Il:.aly, which will appear in an early issue of the Federal Register. 'rhe Federal ReGister document vrith reGard to \{est Germany "'ill cover D. n.oLice of intent to discontinue ::nvcsUgation as to certain valves. The docwnent will also cover a tentative neBative determination that certain val ves are not being) and are not lj.kely to be) sold at less than fair value and a tentative affIrmative determination that otncr valves are being; or are lil;:ely to be; sold at less than fair value. The Federal Ree;istcr docur,lent ,,riCh rq;ard to Italy will be a notice that valves from tl1at country are beine, or e.rc lil:ely to be, sold at less than fair value. 'rllese action::: are tal,en under the Antidumping Act) 1921, as amended (lS' V.S.C. 160 et seq.). The intent to discontinue ir..ves tigation vrill apply to val veE TR 41 1f, 4lU, 420) 423 and lj25 produced by ERA Ventilfabrik, Muhlheim Am l'1ain, West Germany) as to whieD. the manufacturer has terminated shipments and civen assurances thac there would be no future sales at less than fair valu.e reGardless of the disposition of this complaint. The negative part of the tentative determination will apply Lo (1) val ves TR 413 and 415 produced by ERA Ventilfabrik, Muhlheim Am Main; West Germany; if purchased in quantities of over 33;000 units per month over a significant period of ti.me and (2) valves 413 and 415 produced by Alligator Ventilf'abrik, Hurttemberg) Germany. The affirmative part of the tentative determination as to West Germany w1ll apply to all other finished tubeless tire valves from that ~ountry. As noted above, the tentative deterr.lination as to Italy is affirmative as to all finished tubeless tire valves. The withholding of appraisement notices which "Tere published in the Federal Register of October 12, 1966, as to West Germany and on October 20,. 15166) as to Italy will continue in effect pending further determination. Imports of the involved merchandise from West Germany received during the period November 1) 1965, through November 30) 1966) were valued at approximately $112,000. The information with regard to Italian imports of the involved merchandise covers the period March 1 through December 31, 1966. These imports were valued at approximately $250,000. TREASURY DEPAR'IMmr Washington, D. C. IMMID lATE RELEASE F-914 FRIDAY, MAY 12, 1967 Preliminary data on imports for consumption of cotton and cotton 'Waste chargeable to the quotas established by Presidential Proclamation No. 2351 of September 5, 1939, as amerxied, ani as modified by the Tariff Schedules of the United States which became effective August 31, 1963. (The country designations in this press release are those specified in the apperrlix to the Tariff Schedules United States. There is no political connotation in the use of out.mxied names.) C)f the COTTON (other than linters) (in pounds) Cotton urrler 1-1./8 inches other than rough or harsh under 3/4" ~I1-s S®tember 20. 1966 - May 8 .. 1967 Country of Origin Egypt and Sudan •••••••••••• Peru. ••••••••••••••••••• ~ ••• India and Pakist~~ ••••••••• Brazil ••••••••••••••••••••• 783,816 21+7,952 2,003,483 1,370,791 8,883,259 618,723 Union of Soviet Socialist Republics •••••• ~rgentina •••••••••••••••••• 475,124 5,203 China •••.•..•.•••••••••• Mexico •••••••••••••••••• iI • • $ •• Haiti •••••••••••••••••••••• Ecuador •••••••••••••••••••• !I Except Established Quota Honduras •••••••••••••••••••• 50,487 Paragu~ 93,043 9,333 am. •••••••• 8 ••••••••••• 752 871 Colombia •••••••••••••••••••• Iraq •••••••••••••••••••••••• 124 British East Africa ••••••••• lrrlonesia and Netherlands 2,240 New Guinea •••••••••••••••• J/ British W. Indies ••••••••••• ~J Nigeria ••••••••••••••••••••• ~ 237 Barbados, Bermuda, Jamaica, Trinidad, and Ghana. ~ Except Nigeria Country of Origin Imports Established Qqota British W. Africa••••••••••• Other, incl.uding the U.s •••• Tobago. Cotton 1-1/8" or more Established Yearly Quota - 45.656.420 1bs. !mPOrts Aug:\St 1. 1966 - MaY 8. 1967 staple Length 1-)/8" or more 1-5/32" or more ani urxier 1.-3/gt, (Tanguis) l-l/B" or more and under Allocation Imports 39,590,778 33,682,87h 1..500.CXX> 1.51.,695 195 n,388 2l,J21 5,377 16,004 lIDpgrts - 2- COTTON WASTES (In pounds) COTTON CARD STRIPS made from cotton having a staple of less than 1-3/16 inches in length, COMnER WASTE, LAP WASTE, SLIVER WASTE, AND ROVING WASTE, WHETHER OR NOT MANUFACTURED Or,. OruERWISE ADVANCED IN VALUE: Provided, however, that not more than 33-1/3 percent of the quotas sha 11 be filled by cotton wastes other than comber wastes made from cottons of 1-3/16 inches or more in staple length in the case of the following countries: United Kingdom, France, Netherlands, Switzerland, Belgium, Germany, and Italy: Country of Origin Es tablished TOTAL QOOTA Total Imports Sept. 20, 1966, to May United Kingdom •••••••••••• Canada. • • • • • • • . • . • • .•••. France .•.••...•........... India and Pakistan •••••••• Netherlands ••••••••••••••• Switzerland ••••••••••••••• Belgium •••••.••••.••.••••• Japan •••••••••••••••••• " •• China ••••••••••••..•.••••• Egyp t ••••.•••.•••••••••••• Cuba •••••••••••••••••••••• Germa.ny ••••••••••••••••••• Italy ......•.••...•......• Other, including the U. S. 4,323,457 239,690 227,420 69,627 68,240 44,388 38,559 341,535 17,322 8,135 6,544 76,329 21,263 5,482,509 11 Included in total imports, column 2. Prepared in the Bureau of Customs. F-914 8, 1967 3L,OL8 67,L53 31,583 16,OrJa Established 33-1/3% of Total Quota Imports Sept. 20, 1966 to May 8, 1967 1,441,152 3L,OL8 75,807 31,583 22,747 14,796 12,853 33,839 25,443 7,088 22,1L8 182,981 1,599,886 87,779 1/ TREASURY DEP AR'lME)lT Washington IMMEDIATE RELEASE FRIDAY, MAY 12, 1967 F-915 The Bureau of Customs announced todq preliminary figures on imports for conmmption of the following commodities fro. the beginning of the respective quota periods through April 29, 1967: COlIIIJ¥)dity :Period and Quantity :Unit of : Imports as of :Quantity : Apr. 29, 1967 Tariff-Rate Quotas: Cream, fresh or sour ••••••• Calendar year 1,500,000 Gallon Whole Milk, fresh or sour •• Calendar year 3,000,000 Gallon Apr. 1, 1967 June 30, 1967 120,000 Head 495 each ••••••••••••••••••••• 12 mos. from April 1, 1967 200,000 Head 21,842 Fish, fresh or frozen, filleted, etc., cod, haddock, hake, pollock, cusk, and rosefish ••••••••••••••••• Calendar year 24,883,31311 Pound Tuna Fish •••••••••••••••••• Calendar year 69,472,200 Pound 17,635,140 White or Irish potatoes: Certified seed ••••••••••• Other •••••••••••••••••••• 12 mos. from 114,000,000 Sept. 15, 1966 45,000,000 Pound Pound Quota filled Quota filled Knives, forks, and spoons with stainless steel handles •••••••••••••••••• Nov. 1, 1966 Oct. 11, 1967 84,000,000 Pieces Quota filled Whiskbrooms •••••••••••••••• Calendar year 1,380,000 number Other brooms ••••••••••••••• Calendar year 2,460,000 Number Cattle, 700 lbs. or more each (other than dairy cows) •••••••••••••••••••• Cattle, less than 200 lbs. 664,954 Quota filled Quota filled 1, 911, sooY 11 Imports for consumption at the quota rate are limited to 12,441,656 pounds during the first 6 months of the calendar year. Y Imports as of May 5, 1967. -2- CoJlD)di ty . Period and Quantity :Unit of :IDIPorts as of :Quantitl:Apr. 29, 1967 Absolute Quota;: Butter substitutes containing over 45% of butterfat and butter oil ••••••••••••• Calendar year 1,200,000 Pound Fibers of cotton processed but not spun ••••••••••• 12 mos. from Sept. li, 1966 1,000 Pound Peanuts, shelled or not shelled, blanched, or otherwise prepared or preserved (except peanut butter) •••••••••••••••• 12 11K) s. from Aug. 1, 1966 1,709,000 Pound Quota filled Quota filled TREASJRY DEPARTmT Washington IMMEDIATE RELEASE FRIDAY, MAy 12, 1967 The Bureau figures showing April 29, 1967, pursuant to the F-916 of Customs baa annDllllced the following preli.minary the imports for consumption from January 1, 1967, to incluSive, of commodities under quotas established Philippine Trade Agreement Revision Act of 1955: Comodit,. Annual .: Established Quota Quantity .• Unit of Quantity sIl!pOrts as of sApr. 29, 1967 Buttons ••••••••• ~10,OOO Cigars •••••••..• 120,000,000 RwIIber Coconut oil ••••• 268,800,000 Pound Quota rUled Cordage ......... 6,000,000 Pound 2,894,788 Tobacco ......... 3,900,000 Pound W.3,6OO Gross 84,477 3,O49,26~ TREASURY DEP AR'IMENT Washington IMMEDIA TE RELEASE FRIDAY, MAy 12, 1967 F-917 The Bureau of Customs announced tod~ the following preliminary figures on imports entered for consumption under the absolute import quotas provided for in section 12.71, Customs Regulations, for coffee grown in nonmember countries of the International Coffee Organization for 12-month period beginning November 15, 1966. COFFEE (Green - In pounds) Country Established. Quota Total Imports as of May 8, 1967 Bolivia 1,850,800 1,670,404 Guinea 1,454,200 Quota filled Liberia 2,511,800 Quota filled Paraguay 2,644,000 Yemen 1,850,800 229,834 BaskeJi 6,610,000 4,652,775 11 Basket quota allocated to unlisted listed norJnember countries after nonmemb~r countrie~ respect~ve quota and to f~11ed. TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR RELEASE ON DELIVERY (EXPECTED AT 12:30 P.M. FRIDAY, MAY 12, 1967) REMARKS OF THE HONORABLE HENRY H. FOWLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY TO THE NATIONAL MACHINE TOOL BUILDERS ASSOCIATION STATLER HOTEL, WASHINGTON, D. C. FRIDAY, MAY 12, 1967, 12:30 P. M., EDT It was nearly five years ago when I last had the opportunity to discuss with you the importance to our national economy of a healthy machine tool industry and an adequate rate of investment in capital goods in general, as a means of increasing productive capacity and of modernizing existing capacity in line with the lastest achievements of technology. Our last previous visit together in September, 1962 -came at a most significant time for your industry and for the national interest in increasing investment and technological development. The Treasury Department had just inaugurated new and improved depreciation guidelines. The initial version of the investment tax credit was on the verge of adoption by the Congress after a long and difficult struggle for its adoption in the interests of making our capital recovery tax structure adequate to encourage economic growth and in the interests of making United States industry modern and competitive. At the Treasury -- where I was Under Secretary -- we recognized that these sweeping changes in tax policy would pay benefits for many years to come -- benefits to business and to all of our citizens through a more rapidly growing and efficient economy. - 2 - I need not review for this audience the fruits of those decisions and the follow-up changes in our national economic mix centered around the Revenue Act of 1964. Let me just note the following, very briefly. The investment tax credit was adopted toward the end of 1962, a few months after the administrative announcement of new depreciation guidelines. In that year business expenditures for plant and equipment came to a little over $39 billion. Plant and equipment outlays had grown by about 14 percent in the four years, 1959-62. In 1966, the fourth year after passage of the investment tax credit, capital expenditures stood at $60.5 billion -- a four-year growth of more than 62 percent. Meanwhile, nonfarm output per man-hour grew very nearly half again as fast in the four years, 1963-1966,as productivity increased in 1959-62. Having some familiarity with the ups and downs of the capital goods industry and its vital machine tool sector over the last 25 years, I know it is not enough to look back on these past accomplishments and the escape from the relative stagnation in this sector in the late Fifties and early Sixties. It is not enough to escape for a few years from an antiquated capital recovery system. This vital spark in the U.S. economy ought not fall prey again to the ills of the past that have afflicted this highly cyclical industry. We all remember the period after World War II and the Korean War when, as a result of having passed the peaks of defense production and being confronted by surplus equipment in stocks and surplus capacity in place, this industry and, indeed, the whole capital goods sector fell upon the inevitable lean years. Therefore, I would propose today that we look ahead into the post-Vietnam period, whether that be near or far, to consider what private and public policies would be conducive to enabling this industry, and the entire capital goods sector, to play fully its vital role in our national life. But before doing so it may be useful to review again just why it is important as a matter of national policy -- tax or otherwise -- to be concerned on this score. - 3 - I tried to cast up this account in the Fall of 1961, and I will go back to that analysis, if I may, for most of what I said then seems relevant today as we peer ahead into the post-Vietnam era. My comments then were as follows: "First, increasing investment levels in machinery and equipment in the years ahead will help make our present economic recovery a vigorous and long lasting one. Additional expenditures on machinery and equipment and the plants and facilities necessary to house it will create more jobs in the capital goods industries. There is a startling association between vigorous and lengthy upswings in the economic cycle and a healthy increase in the levels of capital goods expenditures. Our last three recoveries have lasted forty-five months, thirty-five months and twenty-five months, respectively, in that order. Since World War II approximately 14 quarterly periods, or 23 percent of the total, have been periods of recession. Already some economic forecasters are warning that the rising economy may level off in mid-1962 or early 1963, and that there is a real danger of another slump. The projection of a healthy increase in investment levels for machinery and equipment, whether for modernization or for expansion, would be added insurance that the current recovery would reverse the trend to ever shorter up-swings and give promise for a healthy and more enduring recovery." Let us note, at this point in 1967, that we are presently in the 76th month of an economic expansion that began in February of 1961. The endurance of this period of prosperity and economic and social improvement of every kind so far beyond the two to three year period that seemingly become the best to be expected by the early 1960s is therefore coincident with the existence of the investment tax credit and the general lightening of the tax overburden on the United States economy that took place under the Kennedy and Johnson Administrations. The second general benefit to be expected from stimulating capital investment, I said in 1961, was the fact that increasing investment levels in machinery and equipment would do double duty in increasing our rate of economic growth. The figures previously cited, suggesting a relationship between equipment investment and economic growth, merely reflect the proposition that expanding the production base, or improving its efficiency, or both, should lead to higher output. As investment in plant modernization and expansion contributes to a larger export trade for our nation, as it puts people to work in the capital goods industries, as it preserves and expands our domestic market through competitive efficiency, it contributes to the eCOD0my's long-term growth. - 3 - I tried to cast up this account in the Fall of 1961, and I will go back to that analysis, if I may, for most of what I said then seems relevant today as we peer ahead into the post-Vietnam era. My comments then were as follows: "First, increasing investment levels in machinery and equipment in the years ahead will help make our present economi recovery a vigorous and long lasting one. Additional expenditures on machinery and equipment and the plants and facilities necessary to house it will create more jobs in the capital goods industries. There is a startling association between vigorous and lengthy upswings in the economic cycle and a healthy increase in the levels of capital goods expenditures. Our last three recoveries have lasted forty-five months, thirty-five months and twenty-five months, respectively: in that order. Since World War II approximately 14 quarterly periods, or 23 percent of the total, have been periods of recession. Already some economic forecasters are warning that the rising economy may level off in mid-1962 or early 1963, and that there is a real danger of another slump. The projection of a healthy increase in investment levels for machinery and equiprilent, whether for modernization or for expansion, would be added insurance that the current recovery would reverse the trend to ever shorter up-swings and give promise for a heal thy and more enduring recovery." Let us note, at this point in 1967, that we are presently ill the 76th month of an economic expansion that began in February of 1961. The endurance of this period of prosperity and economic and social improvement of every kind so far beyond the two to three year period that seemingly become the best to be expected by the early 1960s is therefore coincident with the existence of the investment tax credit and the general lightening of the tax overburden on the United States economy that took place under the Kennedy and Johnson Administrations. The second general benefit to be expected from stimulating capital investment, I said in 1961, was the fact that mcreasing investment levels in machinery and equipment would do double duty in increasing our rate of economic growth. The figures previously cited, suggesting a relationship between equipment investment and economic growth, merely reflect the proposition that expanding the production base, or improving its efficiency, or both, should lead to higher output. As investment in plant modernization and expansion contributes to a larger export trade for our nation, as it puts people to work in the capital goods industries, as it preserves and expands our domestic market through competitive efficiency, it contributes to the economy's long-term growth. - 4 - In this respect, we can note in 1967 that in the four years after 1962 the U. S. economy grew, in real terms, by 22 percent, whereas in the four years 1959-62 the economy grew in real terms by only half as much -- approximately 11 percent. As the third general point with respect to the desirability of investment incentives I noted that increasing investment in ,the modernization of machinery and equipment is vital to a long-term solution of our newest economic problem bound up in the phrase''balance of payments." If the nation is to finance the maintenance of our military forces overseas, as well as finance our investment abroad, and that minor portion of our foreign aid which is in dollars, it must sell more merchandise abroad than it buys -- at least $6 billion more. This places a high premium upon the competitive position of U. S. based production in relation to foreign manufacturing. The simple truth is that the U. S., to a large extent, is depending on the aggressive, competitive drive of American business to meet the underlying problem behind our balance of payments deficits without diminishing our national security world position. We cannot report victory here, and I shall have more to say later about our balance of payments problem as it stands today. Vietnam has knocked the chance to overcome this problem out of our hands for the time being. Nevertheless, our trade balance must be one of the most important elements of any desirable long range solution when in the post-Vietnam period we shall be able to reach sustainable equilibrium in our foreign payments. And we can take heart from the fact that with the investment credit and other tax incentives to investment in being, our trade surplus rose to a historic high in 1964 of $6.7 billion, before Vietnam intervened. Now, neither here nor in any of the other aspects of the investment problem that I am discussing do I mean to be understood as implying that the tax incentives to Dlvestment worked a lone miracle in the United States economy during the 1960s. But I think that it is obvious that the incentives given to investment in the United States in the last few years have been an important element, indeed one of the most important policy elements, in the growth of the great economic strength that we have witnessed in our - 5 country in recent years. The contrast with the economic stagnation of the late 1950s, and the coincident fact that in those years investment in particular was lagging, simply cannot be overlooked. Obviously, therefore, in investment incentives we have) if not a genie, a very good and faithful servant, in whose presence our affairs have greatly prospered. And yet there are hazards in the way of keeping them on the books -- in fact the investment tax credit, as everyone here is keenly aware, is presently off the books and we are trying hard to get it back in place. We will succeed in that, and promptly, I am confident. But, there are those who think the investment tax credit can properly be used as a countercyclical tool. I would like you to understand my position on this score. In a speech prepared for delivery to the Business Council last October, the very week the investment credit suspension was enacted in the Congress, I said: "I am convinced that the encouragement provided to business by the credit to modernize and expand its use of capital equipment is essential to maintaining full employment with stable prices, and to keeping our industry competitive with foreign goods. The President and his Administration fully share these views. "It was therefore, only after very careful study and with great reluctance that we reach the conclusion that suspension of the investment credit is an appropriate measure at this time. I stress suspension -- and not repeal -- since the credit should be regarded, as President Johnson's Message indicated, as an essential and enduring part of our tax structure. "The investment credit is a basic part of our tax system that should be suspended only in times of active hostilities at least on a scale such as characterizes the present situation. Even under such circumstances, I would, as I have made clear in the past, be chary of suspending the investment credit unless the combination of a rapidly expanding civilian economy and increasing and special defense needs made this course compelling. I am opposed to treating the investment credit as a countercyclical device, to be suspended and restored with the normal ups and downs in our economy. - 6 - "The present situation is unique and was quite unforeseeable when the credit was adopted and stress was put -- and properly so -- on its permanent character. We then contemplated a peacetime economy and thoughts of a country engaged in hostilities on the present scale were far from our minds. But hostilities can cut ruthlessly across many plans and procedures designed to meet problems of a country at peace. We are deeply committed to an extensive military operation in Southeast Asia which shows no signs of early termination. Its effects on our economy are clearly evident. We are also confronted with a monetary situation of almost unparalleled tightness, which is producing distortions in our economy and the highest levels of interest rates in more than 40 years." And during my appearance before the Senate Committee on Finance this Spring for the restoration of the credit, I was asked if it would not be likely that if another boom developed, suspension of the credit would again be requested. I replied: "Well, given the same unusual set of circumstances that existed late last August and early September, my answer would have to be in the affirmative. However, it would be my expectation that it would be most unlikely that such a situation would ever occur except perhaps at a time when there would be a war that should emerge suddenly at a time when the economy was in a state of full employment and capacity was being utilized up to the hilt. I would think that in such an emergency this is the kind of a move that would be under cons ideration. "Only in the event of a return of tha t unusual set of conditions would I ever personally foresee a position in which a further suspension would be requested." Our position that the investment tax incentive is a part of the fabric of our tax system, to be taken out, if at all, only under such highly unusual conditions as we faced last Fall, will, I think come to be more readily and more generally accepted in the post-Vietnam future than it has been in the past. - 7 - I believe this will be the case because the tax incentive to investment is a step in the direction of reducing the tax burden the American economy carries, and I am convinced that after Vietnam both public and private economic policy will be based upon a general acceptance of the idea that general and sustained tax reduction is desirable. In such a context, the logic of keeping the tax overburden upon the investment process -- which lies at the root of economic growth -- will be obvious. It was not obvious in the past when there was widespread belief that the only way to keep the government's revenues at an adequate level was to keep taxes high. Acceptance of the idea that we can -- and should -operate with generally lower tax rates will result, I think, from the currently growing awareness of two high important and closely inter-related facts that can now be demonstrated but that have in the past been doubted and debated: First, the benefits to tre economy of lightening its tax load are so great, and are made evident so quickly in an upswing in the economic growth curve, that the Government gains revenue by reducing tax rates quickly enough to make the risk of adding to deficits from tax rate reductions very temporary, and swiftly overcome. Second, the Federal government has the will to recognize and operate upon the basis of the corollary to tax rate reduction: that spending must be controlled, on a priority basis, so that any initial deficits from tax reduction are not exacerbated, and so that the succeeding increases in revenues become fiscal dividends available for us, not just in increased outlays, but across the board, for further tax rate reduc tion, to offse t revenue los ses from tax re form, to retire Federal debt when that is of a high payoff nature in terms of the future growth and efficiency of the American economy and society. Let us look very briefly at the record of the past few years, for it is this record of economic growth, and increasing revenues flowing from tax reduction, together with a record of highly responsible control of Federal spending that, I am convinced, has laid the groundwork for the continuation -including the use of tax incentives to investment -- of the process of tax rate reduction in the post-Vietnam period. - 8 Since the passage of the Revenue Act of 1964, tt~t is, during the four fiscal years that have been completed or budgeted since then, we have had the following results: There have been declining deficits -- or surpluses in every year except 1961 in the Administrative and the National Income Accounts Budgets. In the third budget system in use, the Cash Budget, the deficit declined l:1Vo years and rose two years. In the Administrative Budget, during the four fiscal years, revenues rose by $37.5 billion, while spending roses $37.3 billion. In the Cash Budget, revenues are up by $52.6 billion, while spending is up by $52.1 billion. In the National Income Accounts Budget, revenues are up by $51.6 billion, while spending is up very slightly more, by $52.3 billion. Now, let me emphasize that that record includes the swift and very substantial rise of Vietnam outlays estimated to total somE' $48.5 billion in Fiscal Years 1966, 1967 and 1968. Obviously, there would be growing surpluses in these years if these special and temporary costs were elimated. This would be true even if the revenues resulting from the tax increases enacted or proposed to help finance Vietnam -- estimated at $10.8 billion including the proposed 1968 surtax -- were also eliminated. And there would still be surpluses even if effect is given to the increase in revenues attributable to the general economic stimulus of production for Vietnam. Thus, such as been the excellence and speed of the results upon Federal revenues of tax reduction in 1964, and sllch has been the tenacity and effectiveness of President Johnson's control of Federal outlays, that, with only very modest tax increases, we have been able during the four fiscal years for which he is responsible, including three years of accelerated spending in Vietnam, for the most part to hold increases in Federal outlays below increases in revenues, and to keep our deficits declining -- or to have surpluses -- almost all years. I think that is a record-t6at will lead to continued tax reduction in the post-Vietnam period as a principal feature of governmental economic policy. In turn this policy should stimulate turning the fruits of technology into new products and new processes which should keep investment levels in machinery and equipment on an increasing scale. Finally, let us look at the importance of keeping up a strong flow of investment in capital goods -- thereby keeping the level of American technology high and rising by comparison with any other in the world, with respect to one of our most persistent and important national problems: our balance of payments. During the Vietnam conflict, we are holding this problem in check by the use of various cooperative measures by which the business community and American lenders voluntarily limit their outflows of dollars abroad, and by stringent control of the foreign exchange costs of American economic and military assistance abroad. But these measures, particularly to the extent that they interfere with the flow of private capital across international frontiers, are less than ideal, and we do not look to them for the long range solution to our payments problem, after the economic pressure and distortions caused by Vietnam are behind us. The most rational and desirable profile for long range balance of payments equilibrium would be one in which: The United States would meet its fair share of international commitments on behalf of mutual security in the Free World and economic development in the poorer nations of the Free World. The United States would export private capital. We have the most efficient capital market in the world; to deprive a world that needs capital of access to this economic resource would, over the long run, constitute an act of economic perversity. To cover these Government outflows and private capital outflows, the United States would increase its balance of payments receipts from a variety of sources, of which the most important are exports of goods and services, including travel; direct investment income, including royalties; and foreign portfolio investment. -10 The United States is extraordinarily competitive at the two extremes of the export spectrum -- agriculture and advanced technology. In advanced technology, our computer industry -- to cite one example -- has in the last fifteen years reduced the cost of making 100,000 calculations from $1.38 to 3-~ cents -- the kind of price reduction that does not show up in official statistics measuring national competitiveness. The nature of modern technology is such, furthermore, that it quickly "attaches itself" to other, more "humdrum" manufactured products (the machine tool is now often "computer-controlled") so that our technological lead -- if maintained -- should manifest itself across a growing range of export products. A United States trade surplus $3-$4 billion higher than the $3.7 billion of 1966 is not going to create havoc domestically in an economy with a gross national product of $760 billion or in an expanding international trading world in which the exports of all countries currently exceed $200 billion. We have had a trade surplus of this magnitude before, in 1964. A return to such a level or new high ground -is essential to a healthy solution of our payments problems. We can expect to get back to a trade surplus of near $7 billion more only if American goods are competitive throughout the world in price, are available in sufficient quantity so that orders are promptly filled, and are equal to or better than the highest quality elsewhere. This is merely another way of saying that our trade surplus depends upon the maintenance in the U. S. of the leading edge of technology. And we can only have that if we maintain our incentives to invest. 000 TREASURY DEPARTMENT Washington FOR RELEASE ON DELIVERY (EXPECTED AT 11:30 A.M. SATURDAY MAY 13, 1967) REMARKS BY THE HONORABLE HENRY H. FOWLER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY AT THE BUSINESS COUNCIL IN HOT SPRINGS, VIRGINIA SATURDAY, MAY 13, 1967, AT 11: 15 A.M., EDT Fiscal Policy and National Goals After Vietnam I want to discuss with you today one of the least noticed but most important parts of President Johnson's Economic Report to the Congress for this year. The President notified the Congress that he had instructed his principal economic policy advisers to begin at once a major and coordinated effort to work out plans for an orderly economic transition from war to peace after the fighting dies down in Vietnam. He directed that initial reports be prepared, and that they be kept up to date pending the time near or far -- when our efforts succeed in bringing peace to Vietnam on an honorable basis. President Johnson's instructions for post-Vietnam planning have set afoot the most explicit, detailed and inclusive effort the nation has ever made to plan during time of war for the return to peace. This effort is going forward in a context entirely different from the setting in which post-war economic planning has previously been enmeshed during World War II and the Korean conflict. Many of you here can remember the fears for the economy that mingled with the nation's prayers for peace during World War 110 War production had transformed the United States from a country still partly feeling the paralysis of - 2 - the Great Depression into a country producing at the uttermost stretch, with many millions of its men off the labor market and in the armed forces. In the language of those years, the post-war economic problem could be summed up in the anxious question: "What is the country going to do when Uncle Sam stops paying $100 billion a year for war?" Everyone here remembers -- some of you probably very vididly -- the disturbing face of the post-Korea economic problem. The problem was: how to climb down from the excessively high tax rates that had been the chief means of financing the war, and, secondly, how to restore economic freedom to a country that had mobilized for war production by the imposition of price, wage and production controls. To bring out the almost startling contrast, as we look forward to peace after Vietnam, I need to cite only a few words from the "After Vietnam" section of President Johnson's recent Economic Report. He gave the following as the context for post-Vietnam planning: "When hostilities do end, we will be faced with a great opportunity, and a challenge how best to use that opportunity. " We look forward to the return of the time when all our efforts can be directed, as we wish them to be, to the productive and creative pursuits of peacetime, without the nagging fear of idleness and depression that darkened our thoughts of peace in World War II. Nor do we face the difficulties and dangers of hacking our way back to freedom of enterprise out of a jungle of repressive taxation and economic controls, as after Korea. It is my purpose here today to develop the proposition that instead -- given the smooth and effective transition in the post-Vietnam period, presumably a time of diminishing levels of defense expenditures, that good policies and a firm awareness of our economic and social goals can provide we can have in the post-Vietnam years an expanding economy giving us fiscal dividends, in the form of growing revenues, - 3 - that will make available choices among several attractive and beneficial courses of action. The challenge to us, as President Johnson noted, will be how best to use our opportunities. Important to the best use of these opportunities ahead is a full realization of the relationship of conditions of adequate economic growth, high employment and reasonable price stability to a renewal of the pre-Vietnam policy mix that included the control of increases in Federal spending, tax reduction and diminishing deficits. I want also to emphasize that the balanced free market economy with which we can expect to emerge after Vietnam, barring any radical departures from present conditions in that conflict, is the result of some little noted facts -- chiefly, the facts that during the conflict, except for special Vietnam outlays, Federal spending has been held well below increases in revenues, economic controls of the type that characterized previous wars have been avoided, and drastic tax increases have not been imposed. I. Fiscal Policy and National Goals Before Vietnam It is very likely that the Revenue Act of 1964 will come to be regarded as one of the watershed events in the evolution of u.s. economic policy. One of the principal reasons for thinking so is the new directions the Act gave to the uses of fiscal policy. These new directions at long last freed us from concepts that had dominated our efforts to escape from the Great Depression and succeeding recessions, and the high-tax hangovers of World War II and the Korean conflict. Let me quote from those deeply concerned with the enactment of this legislation. The change in direction was very well described in a statement by Chairman Mills of the House Ways and Means Committee in the Fall of 1963, while the Revenue Act of 1964 was still being debated. Chairman Mills said: "There are two roads the Government could follow toward a larger, more prosperous economy -- the tax reduction road or the Government expenditure increase road. There is a difference -- a vitally important difference -- between them. The increase in the Government expenditures road gets us to a higher level of economic activity with larger a~d larger shares of that activity - 4 initiating in Government -- with more labor and capital being used directly by the Government in its activities and with more labor and capital in the private sector of the economy being used to produce goods and service on Government orders. The tax reduction road, on the other hand, gets us to a higher level of economic activity -- to a bigger, more prosperous, more efficient economy -- with a larger and larger share of that enlarged activity initiating in the private sector of the economy -- in the decisions of individuals to increase and diversify their private consumption and in the decisions of business concerns to increase their productive capacity -- to acquire more plant and machines, to hire more labor, to expand their inventories -and to diversify and increase the efficiency of their production. "Section I of the bill is a firm, positive assertion of the preference of the United States for the tax reduction road to a bigger, more progressive economy. "The further meaning of Section I of the bill is that no Government activity is to depend for its justification on the amount it contributes to the total spending of the economy, because we prefer to reduce taxes and allow individuals and business concerns in their own right to make their contribution." Next, let me cite a few words from a speech on the proposed Revenue Act that I gave in Philadelphia early in 1963: "The increased revenues that will flow from a stronger, faster growing economy will not bring us to a balanced budget or surplus unless the Executive and the Congress practice expenditure control . . . That is why the - 5 - President, in his Budget Message (for Fiscal 1964) stressed the matter of expenditure control policy firmly and specifically. He rebutted any notion that rising Federal revenues in the years ahead mean that Federal outlays should rise in proportion to such revenue increases. He established a practical doctrine of expenditure control consistent with other national requirements by asserting that, as the tax cut becomes fully effective and the economy climbs toward full employment, a substantial part of the revenue increases must go toward eliminating the deficit." In signing the Revenue Act which he had labored so manfully to have enacted, President Johnson said: "This is a bold approach to the problems of the American economy. We could have chosen to stimulate the economy through a higher level of Government spending. We doubted the wisdom of following that course. Instead we chose tax reduction and at the same time we made conscientious and earnest attempts to reduce Government expenditures and we are constantly looking a t those expend iture s . " Not only was expenditure control espoused as the corollary of this historic Act -- after passage of the Act, expenditure control was practiced by President Johnson and his Administration, and it will continue to be. It is chiefly due to this control of Federal non-Vietnam spending that we can expect to emerge from the present conflict barring radical and unforeseen changes -- with a balanced and healthy economy, an economy ready to generate large fiscal dividends at tax rates that spending control has permitted to be held at moderate levels. The contrary -- that Federal spending has proceeded unbridled in recent times -- is often assumed or asserted. But successful control of Federal expenditures is a fact that can be demonstrated by examination of the record. Let us, then, look at the factual record of the Government's income and outgo since passage of the Revenue Act of 1964. - 5 - President, in his Budget Message (for Fiscal 1964) stressed the matter of expenditure control policy firmly and specifically. He rebutted any notion that rising Federal revenues in the years ahead mean that Federal outlays should rise in proportion to such revenue increases. He established a practical doctrine of expenditure control consistent with other national requirements by asserting that, as the tax cut becomes fully effective and the economy climbs toward full employment, a substantial part of the revenue increases must go toward eliminating the deficit." In signing the Revenue Act which he had labored so manfully to have enacted, President Johnson said: "This is a bold approach to the problems of the American economy. We could have chosen to stimulate the economy through a higher level of Government spending. We doubted the wisdom of following that course. Instead we chose tax reduction and at the same time we made conscientious and earnest attempts to reduce Government expenditures and we are constantly looking a t those expend iture s . " Not only was expenditure control espoused as the corollary of this historic Act -- after passage of the Act, expenditure control was practiced by President Johnson and his Administration, and it will continue to be. It is chiefly due to this control of Federal non-Vietn