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11/2/2021

Treasury Announces Marketable Borrowing Estimates | U.S. Department of the Treasury

Treasury Announces Marketable Borrowing Estimates
November 1, 2021

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WASHINGTON -- The U.S. Department of the Treasury today announced its current estimates
of privately-held net marketable borrowing[1] for the October – December 2021 and January
– March 2022 quarters.[2]
During the October – December 2021 quarter, Treasury expects to borrow $1,015 billion
in privately-held net marketable debt, assuming an end-of-December cash balance of
$650 billion.[3] The borrowing estimate is $312 billion higher than announced in August
2021, primarily due to the lower beginning of quarter balance, somewhat o set by a
lower end-of-quarter balance and higher receipts.
During the January – March 2022 quarter, Treasury expects to borrow $476 billion in
privately-held net marketable debt, assuming an end-of-March cash balance of $650
billion.[3]
During the July – September 2021 quarter, Treasury borrowed $103 billion in privately-held
net marketable debt and ended the quarter with a cash balance of $215 billion. In August
2021, Treasury estimated privately-held net marketable borrowing of $673 billion and
assumed an end-of-September cash balance of $750 billion. The $570 billion decrease in
borrowing resulted primarily from the decrease in the end-of-September cash balance and,
to a less extent, from an increase in receipts and a decrease in expenditures.[4]
Additional financing details relating to Treasury’s Quarterly Refunding will be released at 8:30
a.m. on Wednesday, November 3, 2021.
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[1] Privately-held net marketable borrowing excludes rollovers (auction “add-ons”) of
Treasury securities held in the Federal Reserve System Open Market Account (SOMA) but
includes financing required due to SOMA redemptions. Secondary market purchases of
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11/2/2021

Treasury Announces Marketable Borrowing Estimates | U.S. Department of the Treasury

Treasury securities by SOMA do not directly change net privately-held marketable borrowing
but, all else equal, when the securities mature and assuming the Fed does not redeem any
maturing securities, would increase the amount of cash raised for a given privately-held
auction size by increasing the SOMA “add-on” amount.
[2] These borrowing estimates are based upon current law and do not include any
assumptions for the impact of additional legislation that may be passed.
[3] The end-of-December and end-of-March cash balances assume enactment of a debt limit
suspension or increase.
[4]

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