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3/19/2020

Top Economists Agree: Tax Reform Will Lead to Substantial Economic Growth | U.S. Department of the Treasury

Top Economists Agree: Tax Reform Will Lead to Substantial
Economic Growth
November 27, 2017

Washington – Treasury Secretary Steven T. Mnuchin received a letter Saturday from nine of the
nation’s leading economists addressing the implications of tax reform for economic growth

.

“We are very encouraged that findings by this preeminent group of economists supports our
strong belief that the tax reform proposals before Congress will lead to substantial economic
growth,” Secretary Mnuchin said.
The letter states that 30 basis points is a fair estimate of the incremental annual growth that will
result from corporate tax reform. Additionally, the letter notes that with permanent full
expensing, 40 basis points would be a fair estimate.
The letter further states that other components of tax reform, such as reducing rates for pass
through businesses and individuals, will increase growth above this level.
The letter’s signers are:
Robert J. Barro, Paul M. Warburg Professor of Economics, Harvard University
Michael J. Boskin, Tully M. Friedman Professor of Economics, Stanford University; Chairman
of the Council of Economic Advisers under President George H.W. Bush
John Cogan, Leonard and Shirley Ely Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University;
Deputy Director of the O ice of Management and Budget under President Ronald Reagan
Douglas Holtz-Eakin, President, American Action Forum, former director of the
Congressional Budget O ice
Glenn Hubbard, Dean and Russell L. Carson Professor of Finance and Economics (Graduate
School of Business) and Professor of Economics (Arts and Sciences), Columbia University;
Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers under President George W. Bush

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3/19/2020

Top Economists Agree: Tax Reform Will Lead to Substantial Economic Growth | U.S. Department of the Treasury

Lawrence B. Lindsey, President and Chief Executive O icer, The Lindsey Group; Director of
the National Economic Council under President George W. Bush
Harvey S. Rosen, John L. Weinberg Professor of Economics and Business Policy, Princeton
University; Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers under President George W. Bush
George P. Shultz, Thomas W. and Susan B. Ford Distinguished Fellow, Hoover Institution,
Stanford University; Secretary of State under President Ronald Reagan; Secretary of the
Treasury under President Richard Nixon
John. B. Taylor, Mary and Robert Raymond Professor of Economics, Stanford University;
Undersecretary of the Treasury for International A airs under President George W. Bush
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