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8/4/2021

Quarterly Refunding Statement of Deputy Assistant Secretary for Federal Finance Brian Smith | U.S. Department of the …

Quarterly Refunding Statement of Deputy Assistant Secretary for
Federal Finance Brian Smith
August 4, 2021

WASHINGTON — The U.S. Department of the Treasury is o ering $126 billion of Treasury
securities to refund approximately $58.6 billion of privately-held Treasury notes and bonds
maturing on August 15, 2021. This issuance will raise new cash of approximately $67.4
billion. The securities are:
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A 3-year note in the amount of $58 billion, maturing August 15, 2024;

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A 10-year note in the amount of $41 billion, maturing August 15, 2031; and

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A 30-year bond in the amount of $27 billion, maturing August 15, 2051.

The 3-year note will be auctioned on a yield basis at 1:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday, August 10,
2021. The 10-year note will be auctioned on a yield basis at 1:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday,
August 11, 2021. The 30-year bond will be auctioned on a yield basis at 1:00 p.m. EDT on
Thursday, August 12, 2021. All of these auctions will settle on Monday, August 16, 2021.
The balance of Treasury financing requirements over the quarter will be met with weekly bill
auctions, cash management bills (CMBs), and monthly note, bond, Treasury InflationProtected Securities (TIPS), and 2-year Floating Rate Note (FRN) auctions.

PROJECTED F INANCING NEEDS AND ISSUANCE PLANS
Treasury does not anticipate making any changes to nominal coupon and FRN auction sizes
over the next quarter. However, continuing current issuance sizes and patterns may provide
more borrowing capacity than is needed to address borrowing needs over the intermediateto-long term. Accordingly, Treasury will continue to monitor the fiscal outlook while
considering potential ways to reduce auction sizes in a manner that is aligned with
borrowing and liquidity needs. As part of that process, Treasury will continue to engage with
a variety of market participants to better understand the supply and demand dynamics for
existing securities, with an expectation of announcing an initial set of auction size reductions
as soon as the November refunding announcement.
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Quarterly Refunding Statement of Deputy Assistant Secretary for Federal Finance Brian Smith | U.S. Department of the …

Treasury plans to address any seasonal or unexpected variations in borrowing needs over
the next quarter through changes in regular bill auction sizes and/or CMBs.

TIPS F INANCING
Since January 2021, Treasury has increased TIPS auction sizes in all tenors (new issues and
reopenings) by around $1 billion each month, amid solid demand, in order to stabilize the
percent of TIPS to total marketable debt outstanding. This gradual increase will continue
with a $1 billion increase in the August 30-year reopening compared to its respective
issuance size last year, in the September 10-year reopening compared to the May reopening,
and in the October 5-year new issue compared to the April new issue. Any additional
issuance size changes will be announced quarterly in subsequent refunding statements.
While flexibility will be maintained to adjust TIPS issuance at each refunding quarter, we
expect total gross issuance of TIPS to increase by $15 billion to $20 billion in CY 2021.

SOF R-INDEXED F RN
Treasury has completed its internal review of this product and will consider whether an FRN
linked to the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) is necessary to meet its intermediateto long-term borrowing needs as it evaluates the evolving fiscal outlook and its overall
product suite.

B ILL ISSUANCE
The amount of net new cash still being raised from coupon issuance will allow Treasury to
continue gradual reductions in bills as a percent of Treasury debt outstanding, in a manner
consistent with recommendations made by the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee
(TBAC) at its November 2020 meeting. Accordingly, Treasury plans to further modify its
regular cadence of CMBs. Treasury anticipates that weekly issuance of the 6-week CMBs will
cease a er settlement on August 19, whereas weekly issuance of the 17-week CMBs will
continue at least through the end of October.

DEBT LIMIT
The Bipartisan Budget Act of 2019 suspended the debt limit through July 31, 2021.[1] Since
that date, Treasury has begun using extraordinary measures to finance the government on a
temporary basis. As Secretary Yellen recently outlined in a July 23 letter to Congress, the
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Quarterly Refunding Statement of Deputy Assistant Secretary for Federal Finance Brian Smith | U.S. Department of the …

period of time that extraordinary measures may last is subject to considerable uncertainty
due to a variety of factors, including the challenges of forecasting the payments and receipts
of the U.S. government months into the future, exacerbated by the heightened uncertainty in
payments and receipts related to the economic impact of the pandemic. Given this, Treasury
is not able to currently provide a specific estimate of how long extraordinary measures will
last.
Please send comments or suggestions on these subjects or others related to debt
management to debt.management@treasury.gov.
The next quarterly refunding announcement will take place on Wednesday, November 3,
2021.
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[1]

For more information about the debt limit, see https://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/financial-markets-financial-institutions-

and-fiscal-service/debt-limit.

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