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3/1/2024

New U.S. Department of the Treasury Analysis on Inflation Reduction Act Benefits | U.S. Department of the Treasury

New U.S. Department of the Treasury Analysis on Inflation
Reduction Act Benefits
March 1, 2024

Inflation Reduction Act Benefits Go Beyond Climate, While Fiscal Costs Overstate Real Costs
to the Economy
WASHINGTON – Today the U.S. Department of the Treasury published analysis arguing that
the Inflation Reduction Actʼs benefits are greater than publicized projections while the
economic costs are lower than fiscal costs.
The analysis by Deputy Assistant Secretary for Climate & Energy Economics Arik Levinson,
Economist Karl Dunkle Werner, Economist Matthew Ashenfarb, and Senior Policy Advisor
Annelise Britten argues that projections of the IRAʼs e ect on reducing greenhouse gas
pollution underestimate the IRAʼs benefits, and typical projections of the IRAʼs e ect on the
federal budget overstate the IRAʼs costs to the U.S. economy.
The Treasury o icials and sta write, “The IRA will yield cumulative global economic benefits
from reduced greenhouse gas pollution of over $5 trillion from the present to 2050. That
understates the IRAʼs benefits by counting only climate benefits, omitting … the fact that the
IRA will also reduce local air pollution, providing domestic health and productivity gains to the
United States. Lower-bound estimates of the benefits from those local pollution reductions
range from $20 to $49 billion in 2030 alone, compared to that yearʼs climate benefits
estimated at $137 billion.
“The IRAʼs projected costs to the U.S. federal budget are mostly reductions in taxes owed by
U.S. taxpayers or increases in federal payments to those taxpayers. Those are important but
overstate the true resource costs the IRA imposes on the U.S. economy, because they only
include one side of each transaction. Tax credits paid by the federal government are received
as benefits by American drivers who purchase electric cars, homeowners who install e icient
heat pumps, and investors who build factories and power plants to equip and fuel the clean
energy transition.”
Full text of the analysis is available here.
https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy2148

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3/1/2024

New U.S. Department of the Treasury Analysis on Inflation Reduction Act Benefits | U.S. Department of the Treasury

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https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy2148

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